City specific shrunken estimates for the 0-3 distributed lag

**Total mortality CVD mortality**  **City State**  **coef se**  **t City**  Albuquerque NM 0.00053 0.00042 1.27 Albuquerque Atlanta GA 0.00030 0.00029 1.02 Atlanta Austin TX 0.00045 0.00039 1.15 Austin Baltimore MD 0.00052 0.00031 1.64 Baltimore Birmingham AL 0.00029 0.00036 0.82 Birmingham Boston MA 0.00068 0.00033 2.08 Boston Boulder CO 0.00060 0.00042 1.43 Boulder Broward FL 0.00059 0.00038 1.55 Broward Canton OH 0.00049 0.00040 1.22 Canton Charlotte NC 0.00057 0.00038 1.50 Charlotte Chicago IL 0.00048 0.00030 1.60 Chicago Cincinnati OH 0.00051 0.00036 1.41 Cincinnati Cleveland OH 0.00060 0.00035 1.68 Cleveland Colorado Springs

CO 0.00050 0.00042 1.19 Colorado Springs Columbus OH 0.00074 0.00037 2.01 Columbus Dallas TX 0.00058 0.00032 1.82 Dallas Denver CO 0.00035 0.00041 0.86 Denver Detroit MI 0.00105 0.00034 3.04 Detroit GreensboroughNC 0.00048 0.00040 1.20 Greensborough Honolulu HI 0.00049 0.00042 1.16 Honolulu Houston TX 0.00016 0.00026 0.62 Houston Jersy city NJ 0.00035 0.00038 0.93 Jersy city Kansas City KS 0.00092 0.00039 2.38 Kansas City Los Angeles CA 0.00027 0.00021 1.28 Los Angeles Miami FL 0.00061 0.00037 1.63 Miami Milwaukee WI 0.00066 0.00038 1.73 Milwaukee Nashville TN 0.00046 0.00038 1.20 Nashville New Haven CT 0.00065 0.00036 1.78 New Haven New OrleansLA 0.00022 0.00037 0.58 New Orleans NYC NY 0.00109 0.00024 4.64 NYC Oklahoma CityOK 0.00062 0.00038 1.63 Oklahoma City Orlando FL 0.00049 0.00038 1.29 Orlando Philidelphia PA 0.00062 0.00031 1.99 Philidelphia Phoenix AZ 0.00071 0.00037 1.90 Phoenix Pittsburg PA 0.00028 0.00033 0.86 Pittsburg Provo/Orem UT 0.00053 0.00042 1.25 Provo/Orem Sacramento CA 0.00057 0.00039 1.46 Sacramento St. Louis MO 0.00054 0.00033 1.63 St. Louis Salt Lake CityUT 0.00048 0.00041 1.17 Salt Lake City San Diego CA 0.00045 0.00037 1.20 San Diego San FranciscoCA 0.00057 0.00042 1.36 San Francisco Seattle WA 0.00049 0.00038 1.29 Seattle Spokane WA 0.00059 0.00041 1.42 Spokane Tampa FL 0.00012 0.00037 0.34 Tampa Terra Haute IN 0.00066 0.00042 1.57 Terra HauteTulsa OK 0.00087 0.00039 2.23 Tulsa

Washington DCDC 0.00010 0.00036 0.27 Washington DC Youngstown OH 0.00045 0.00039 1.14 Youngstown**Al l respiratory**  **mortality State**  **coef se**  **t City**  **State coef**  NM 0.00079 0.00041 1.92 Albuquerque NM 0.00079 GA 0.00061 0.00034 1.82 Atlanta GA 0.00106 TX 0.00078 0.00040 1.96 Austin TX 0.00078 MD 0.00097 0.00035 2.74 Baltimore MD 0.00093 AL 0.00053 0.00038 1.39 Birmingham AL 0.00077 MA 0.00077 0.00036 2.12 Boston MA 0.00106 CO 0.00084 0.00041 2.02 Boulder CO 0.00085 FL 0.00075 0.00039 1.92 Broward FL 0.00080 OH 0.00081 0.00040 2.01 Canton OH 0.00081 NC 0.00086 0.00039 2.20 Charlotte NC 0.00080 IL 0.00125 0.00037 3.34 Chicago IL 0.00078 OH 0.00068 0.00038 1.78 Cincinnati OH 0.00088 OH 0.00079 0.00037 2.14 Cleveland OH 0.00095 CO 0.00079 0.00041 1.91 Colorado SpringsCO 0.00079 OH 0.00077 0.00038 2.01 Columbus OH 0.00080 TX 0.00075 0.00036 2.11 Dallas TX 0.00089 CO 0.00083 0.00041 2.02 Denver CO 0.00088 MI 0.00142 0.00037 3.89 Detroit MI 0.00104 NC 0.00074 0.00040 1.85 GreensboroughNC 0.00086 HI 0.00076 0.00041 1.84 Honolulu HI 0.00082 TX 0.00063 0.00031 2.03 Houston TX 0.00047 NJ 0.00079 0.00039 2.05 Jersy city NJ 0.00085 KS 0.00098 0.00039 2.49 Kansas City KS 0.00096 CA 0.00031 0.00024 1.26 Los Angeles CA 0.00042 FL 0.00078 0.00038 2.06 Miami FL 0.00082 WI 0.00074 0.00039 1.89 Milwaukee WI 0.00095 TN 0.00070 0.00039 1.78 Nashville TN 0.00065 CT 0.00104 0.00038 2.74 New Haven CT 0.00098 LA 0.00068 0.00039 1.75 New Orleans LA 0.00079 NY 0.00125 0.00026 4.71 NYC NY 0.00086 OK 0.00090 0.00039 2.30 Oklahoma CityOK 0.00083 FL 0.00066 0.00039 1.71 Orlando FL 0.00080 PA 0.00096 0.00036 2.69 Philidelphia PA 0.00079 AZ 0.00087 0.00039 2.24 Phoenix AZ 0.00096 PA 0.00060 0.00036 1.68 Pittsburg PA 0.00063 UT 0.00080 0.00041 1.93 Provo/Orem UT 0.00083 CA 0.00075 0.00040 1.90 Sacramento CA 0.00079 MO 0.00078 0.00036 2.13 St. Louis MO 0.00087 UT 0.00079 0.00041 1.94 Salt Lake City UT 0.00085 CA 0.00069 0.00039 1.79 San Diego CA 0.00079 CA 0.00082 0.00041 2.00 San Francisco CA 0.00087 WA 0.00082 0.00039 2.10 Seattle WA 0.00084 WA 0.00077 0.00041 1.88 Spokane WA 0.00082 FL 0.00060 0.00038 1.55 Tampa FL 0.00061 IN 0.00086 0.00041 2.10 Terra Haute IN 0.00081OK 0.00101 0.00040 2.54 Tulsa OK 0.00077

DC 0.00054 0.00038 1.42 Washington DCDC 0.00072 OH 0.00077 0.00040 1.93 Youngstown OH 0.00091**se t** 

0.00041 1.96 0.00037 2.84 0.00040 1.95 0.00038 2.48 0.00039 1.96 0.00038 2.80 0.00041 2.10 0.00040 2.00 0.00040 2.02 0.00040 2.02 0.00037 2.08 0.00039 2.26 0.00039 2.43 0.00041 1.96 0.00039 2.04 0.00038 2.33 0.00040 2.18 0.00039 2.69 0.00040 2.13 0.00041 2.03 0.00036 1.31 0.00040 2.15 0.00040 2.40 0.00031 1.35 0.00039 2.08 0.00040 2.40 0.00040 1.65 0.00039 2.49 0.00040 1.97 0.00035 2.44 0.00040 2.09 0.00040 2.02 0.00038 2.08 0.00040 2.44 0.00038 1.64 0.00041 2.04 0.00040 1.99 0.00038 2.28 0.00040 2.11 0.00039 2.02 0.00040 2.16 0.00040 2.10 0.00040 2.03 0.00039 1.56 0.00041 2.000.00040 1.92

0.00039 1.83 0.00040 2.28City specific original NOT shrunken estimates for the 0-3 distributed lag

**Total mortality CVD mortality**  **City State**  **coef se**  **t City**  Albuquerque NM 0.00054640.0021590 0.25 Albuquerque Atlanta GA 0.00009500.0003940 0.24 Atlanta Austin TX -0.00001930.0010487 -0.02 Austin Baltimore MD 0.00050030.0004676 1.07 Baltimore Birmingham AL -0.0002644 0.0006544 -0.40 Birmingham Boston MA **0.0009140 0.0005197**  1.76 Boston Boulder CO 0.00416640.0029306 1.42 Boulder Broward FL 0.00087900.0008833 1.00 Broward Canton OH 0.00015810.0012392 0.13 Canton Charlotte NC 0.00075480.0008710 0.87 Charlotte Chicago IL 0.0004317 0.0004208 1.03 Chicago Cincinnati OH 0.0004613 0.0006921 0.67 Cincinnati Cleveland OH 0.00075740.0006473 1.17 Cleveland Colorado Springs

CO -0.00055630.0025129 -0.22 Colorado Springs Columbus OH 0.00138150.0007381 1.87 Columbus Dallas TX 0.00064190.0004768 1.35 Dallas Denver CO -0.0020026 0.0015529 -1.29 Denver Detroit MI 0.0020503 0.0005896 3.48 Detroit GreensboroughNC 0.00011540.0011455 0.10 Greensborough Honolulu HI -0.00204110.0033076 -0.62 Honolulu Houston TX -0.0000648 0.0003351 -0.19 Houston Jersy city NJ -0.00036000.0008618 -0.42 Jersy city Kansas City KS 0.0028977 0.0009481 3.06 Kansas City Los Angeles CA 0.0001876 0.0002470 0.76 Los Angeles Miami FL 0.00088480.0007884 1.12 Miami Milwaukee WI 0.00122770.0008808 1.39 Milwaukee Nashville TN 0.00016040.0008948 0.18 Nashville New Haven CT 0.00098620.0007128 1.38 New Haven New OrleansLA -0.00089440.0008038 -1.11 New Orleans NYC NY 0.00134560.0002836 4.75 NYC Oklahoma CityOK 0.00100100.0008605 1.16 Oklahoma City Orlando FL 0.00033570.0008238 0.41 Orlando Philidelphia PA 0.00074410.0004694 1.59 Philidelphia Phoenix AZ 0.00135650.0007978 1.70 Phoenix Pittsburg PA -0.00008750.0005176 -0.17 Pittsburg Provo/Orem UT 0.00050490.0032240 0.16 Provo/Orem Sacramento CA 0.00079020.0009730 0.81 Sacramento St. Louis MO 0.00057230.0005401 1.06 St. Louis Salt Lake CityUT -0.00012690.0014791 -0.09 Salt Lake City San Diego CA 0.00017410.0007905 0.22 San Diego San FranciscoCA 0.00154100.0021307 0.72 San Francisco Seattle WA 0.00034150.0008609 0.40 Seattle Spokane WA 0.00203620.0020325 1.00 SpokaneTampa FL -0.00106160.0007258 -1.46 Tampa

Terra Haute IN 0.00740130.0030285 2.44 Terra Haute Tulsa OK 0.00282050.0010092 2.79 Tulsa Washington DCDC -0.00102330.0006823 -1.50 Washington DC Youngstown OH -0.00005010.0010661 -0.05 Youngstown**Al l respiratory**  **mortality State**  **coef se**  **t City**  **State coef**  NM 4.37E-050.00324892 0.01 Albuquerque NM -3.87E-03 GA 2.53E-040.00057282 0.44 Atlanta GA 2.41E-03 TX 5.62E-040.00153089 0.37 Austin TX -6.35E-04 MD 1.41E-030.00067401 2.09 Baltimore MD 1.57E-03 AL -9.17E-040.0009569 -0.96 Birmingham AL -5.84E-06 MA 6.58E-040.00074063 0.89 Boston MA 2.45E-03 CO 0.00500.00453465 1.11 Boulder CO 8.08E-03 FL 3.36E-040.00117008 0.29 Broward FL 7.78E-06 OH 9.59E-040.00165783 0.58 Canton OH 2.20E-04 NC 1.39E-030.00120806 1.15 Charlotte NC 2.18E-04 IL 3.19E-030.00086219 3.70 Chicago IL 5.01E-04 OH 8.81E-060.00096683 0.01 Cincinnati OH 1.58E-03 OH 0.00080.00083362 0.92 Cleveland OH 2.42E-03 CO -2.36E-040.00380417 -0.06 Colorado SpringsCO -4.60E-03 OH 5.89E-040.00098298 0.60 Columbus OH 4.52E-04 TX 6.13E-040.00070328 0.87 Dallas TX 1.32E-03 CO 1.66E-030.00237822 0.70 Denver CO 4.20E-03 MI 3.65E-030.00078362 4.66 Detroit MI 3.27E-03 NC -0.00010.00165204 -0.08 GreensboroughNC 1.94E-03 HI -3.96E-030.00450865 -0.88 Honolulu HI -3.19E-04 TX 4.12E-040.00047267 0.87 Houston TX -7.58E-04 NJ 7.53E-040.00111592 0.67 Jersy city NJ 1.29E-03 KS 2.74E-030.00129231 2.12 Kansas City KS 4.32E-03 CA 4.80E-050.00030032 0.16 Los Angeles CA -1.51E-04 FL 6.87E-040.00093243 0.74 Miami FL 7.44E-04 WI 1.95E-040.00129142 0.15 Milwaukee WI 3.86E-03 TN -2.10E-040.00126418 -0.17 Nashville TN -3.03E-03 CT 2.27E-030.00094008 2.41 New Haven CT 3.12E-03 LA -2.01E-040.00113448 -0.18 New Orleans LA -2.77E-04 NY 1.56E-030.00034417 4.52 NYC NY 9.45E-04 OK 1.71E-030.0011775 1.45 Oklahoma CityOK 9.51E-04 FL -3.01E-040.00109143 -0.28 Orlando FL 3.25E-04 PA 1.41E-030.00069776 2.02 Philidelphia PA 5.28E-04 AZ 1.40E-030.00112933 1.24 Phoenix AZ 3.38E-03 PA 1.23E-050.00071217 0.02 Pittsburg PA -1.00E-03 UT 3.36E-040.00469574 0.07 Provo/Orem UT 6.62E-04 CA 2.64E-040.00134509 0.20 Sacramento CA 5.19E-05 MO 6.89E-040.00076685 0.90 St. Louis MO 1.26E-03 UT 5.19E-040.00220187 0.24 Salt Lake City UT 2.20E-03 CA -6.20E-050.00109023 -0.06 San Diego CA 2.94E-04 CA 1.68E-030.00275502 0.61 San Francisco CA 5.87E-03 WA 1.04E-030.00125119 0.83 Seattle WA 1.03E-03 WA -6.69E-040.00299384 -0.22 Spokane WA 3.56E-04FL -6.88E-040.00103647 -0.66 Tampa FL -2.57E-03

IN 7.00E-030.00407751 1.72 Terra Haute IN -2.63E-03 OK 3.39E-030.00140485 2.41 Tulsa OK -1.18E-03 DC -7.99E-04 0.000939 -0.85 Washington DCDC -9.38E-04 OH 3.69E-040.00142308 0.26 Youngstown OH 3.67E-03**se t** 

0.00490961 -0.79 0.00096678 2.49 0.00218522 -0.29 0.00099715 1.58 0.00145466 0.00 0.00100061 2.45 0.00691485 1.17 0.00209677 0.00 0.00253856 0.09 0.00206375 0.11 0.00094987 0.53 0.00141219 1.12 0.00141127 1.71 0.00522311 -0.88 0.00163627 0.28 0.00109024 1.21 0.00320061 1.31 0.0013044 2.50 0.00246148 0.79 0.00691984 -0.05 0.00075473 -1.00 0.00175507 0.73 0.0020492 2.11 0.00047989 -0.32 0.00164308 0.45 0.00193251 2.00 0.00187599 -1.62 0.00152377 2.05 0.00211145 -0.13 0.00069282 1.36 0.00188614 0.50 0.00175918 0.18 0.0010427 0.51 0.00170613 1.98 0.00117033 -0.86 0.00658179 0.10 0.00191827 0.03 0.00114543 1.10 0.00315949 0.70 0.00160764 0.18 0.00416756 1.41 0.00189374 0.54 0.00394859 0.090.00156689 -1.64

0.00623205 -0.42 0.00239432 -0.49 0.00160252 -0.59 0.00227714 1.61