# Short-Term Energy Outlook, July 2013

Table 1. U.S. Energy Markets Summary Total gasoline = 132.79bill gal Table 2. U.S. Energy Nominal Prices Ethanol in E10 = 13.28bill gal Table 3a. International Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories Total ethanol = 13.58bill gal Table 3b. Non-OPEC Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply Ethanol in E85 = 0.30bill gal Table 3c. OPEC Crude Oil (excluding Condensates) Supply E85 = 409.17mill gal Table 3d. World Liquid Fuels Consumption Table 4a. U.S. Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories Table 4b. U.S. Petroleum Refinery Balance Table 4c. U.S. Regional Motor Gasoline Prices and Inventories Table 5a. U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Consumption, and Inventories Table 5b. U.S. Regional Natural Gas Prices Table 6. U.S. Coal Supply, Consumption, and Inventories Table 7a. U.S. Electricity Industry Overview Table 7b. U.S. Regional Electricity Retail Sales Table 7c. U.S. Regional Electricity Prices Table 7d. U.S. Regional Electricity Generation, All Sectors Table 7e. U.S. Regional Fuel Consumption for Electricity Generation, All Sectors Table 8. U.S. Renewable Energy Consumption Table 9a. U.S. Macroeconomic Indicators and CO2

# Emissions Table 9b. U.S. Regional Macroeconomic Data Table 9c. U.S. Regional Weather Data

## Table 4a. U.S. Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook - July 2013

Total 2014 Total 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Mill barrels)(Bill gal) Supply (million barrels per day) Crude Oil Supply COPRPUS Domestic Production (a) ..................................... 7.74 7.81 7.88 7.95 8.01 8.00 8.05 8.11 8.21 8.33 8.44 8.51 PAPRPAK Alaska .............................................................. 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.41 0.39 0.41 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.50 PAPRPGLF Federal Gulf of Mexico (b) ............................... 1.35 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.37 1.38 1.40 1.38 1.37 1.42 1.47 1.49 PAPR48NGOM Lower 48 States (excl GOM) ............................ 5.88 5.95 6.02 6.08 6.14 6.20 6.26 6.31 6.37 6.42 6.47 6.52 CONIPUS Crude Oil Net Imports (c) .................................... 7.02 6.72 6.82 6.98 7.16 7.45 7.24 7.19 6.82 6.50 6.40 5.86 COSQ_DRAW SPR Net Withdrawals ......................................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 COSX_DRAW Commercial Inventory Net Withdrawals .............. -0.39 -0.25 -0.38 -0.20 0.11 0.11 0.28 0.09 -0.07 -0.10 0.02 0.47 COUNPUS Crude Oil Adjustment (d) .................................... 0.11 0.17 0.12 0.09 0.14 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.18 0.16 0.21 0.21 CORIPUS Total Crude Oil Input to Refineries ........................ 14.48 14.44 14.44 14.82 15.42 15.79 15.80 15.63 15.14 14.89 15.06 15.05 Other Supply PAGLPUS Refinery Processing Gain ................................... 1.03 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.06 1.08 1.06 1.07 1.04 1.03 1.04 1.08 NLPRPUS Natural Gas Liquids Production .......................... 2.41 2.42 2.45 2.45 2.46 2.43 2.42 2.43 2.48 2.52 2.55 2.52 PARNPUS Renewables and Oxygenate Production (e) ....... 1.04 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.05 1.04 1.04 1.04 EOPRPUS Fuel Ethanol Production .................................. 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 PAFPPUS Petroleum Products Adjustment (f) ..................... 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 PANIPUS Product Net Imports (c) ....................................... -0.53 -1.04 -0.97 -0.93 -0.94 -1.06 -1.31 -1.25 -1.23 -1.34 -1.37 -1.51 PPNIPUS Pentanes Plus ................................................. -0.10 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 LGNIPUS Liquefied Petroleum Gas ................................. -0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.14 -0.15 -0.14 -0.16 -0.11 -0.12 -0.07 -0.08 -0.05 UONIPUS Unfinished Oils ................................................ 0.50 0.47 0.55 0.54 0.60 0.60 0.54 0.60 0.65 0.60 0.46 0.39 OHNIPUS Other HC/Oxygenates ...................................... -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 MBNIPUS Motor Gasoline Blend Comp. ........................... 0.72 0.54 0.49 0.57 0.60 0.66 0.59 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.49 0.53 MGNIPUS Finished Motor Gasoline .................................. -0.43 -0.43 -0.40 -0.32 -0.39 -0.41 -0.39 -0.43 -0.44 -0.49 -0.52 -0.58 JFNIPUS Jet Fuel ............................................................ -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.12 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.10 -0.10 -0.11 DFNIPUS Distillate Fuel Oil .............................................. -0.52 -0.63 -0.67 -0.70 -0.75 -0.84 -0.97 -0.87 -0.89 -0.92 -0.85 -0.87 RFNIPUS Residual Fuel Oil ............................................. -0.15 -0.20 -0.14 -0.13 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.13 -0.10 -0.07 -0.08 -0.14 PSNIPUS Other Oils (f) .................................................... -0.38 -0.50 -0.50 -0.52 -0.55 -0.58 -0.59 -0.57 -0.60 -0.60 -0.55 -0.56 PROD_DRAW Product Inventory Net Withdrawals .................... -0.10 0.55 0.44 -0.09 -0.65 -0.48 -0.51 0.02 -0.15 0.35 0.14 0.34 PASUPPLY Total Supply ........................................................... 18.52 18.62 18.60 18.52 18.59 19.00 18.71 19.14 18.52 18.68 18.66 18.71

Consumption (million barrels per day) Natural Gas Liquids and Other Liquids PPTCPUS Pentanes Plus .................................................... 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.07 LGTCPUS Liquefied Petroleum Gas .................................... 2.72 2.65 2.44 2.18 2.13 2.11 2.15 2.22 2.20 2.35 2.45 2.67 UOTCPUS Unfinished Oils ................................................... 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 Finished Liquid Fuels MGTCPUSX Motor Gasoline ................................................... 8.19 8.42 8.61 8.80 8.83 8.91 8.89 8.99 8.61 8.66 8.51 8.51 3161.71 132.79 JFTCPUS Jet Fuel ............................................................... 1.33 1.34 1.37 1.40 1.40 1.48 1.45 1.45 1.39 1.36 1.38 1.36 DFTCPUS Distillate Fuel Oil ................................................. 3.99 3.99 3.89 3.80 3.79 3.85 3.60 3.82 3.83 3.88 3.94 3.89 RFTCPUS Residual Fuel Oil ................................................ 0.36 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.40 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.35 PSTCPUS Other Oils (f) ....................................................... 1.86 1.82 1.86 1.91 2.03 2.17 2.15 2.20 2.04 1.97 1.91 1.83 PATCPUSX Total Consumption ................................................. 18.52 18.62 18.60 18.52 18.59 19.00 18.71 19.14 18.52 18.68 18.66 18.71

PAIMPORT Total Liquid Fuels Net Imports ........................... 6.48 5.68 5.85 6.05 6.21 6.39 5.93 5.94 5.59 5.16 5.03 4.35

End-of-period Inventories (million barrels) Commercial Inventory COSXPUS Crude Oil (excluding SPR) ..................................372.4 379.5 391.3 397.3 393.8 390.5 382.0 379.2 381.3 384.5 383.9 369.4 PPPSPUS Pentanes Plus .................................................... 13.9 13.6 13.7 14.2 15.0 15.5 16.0 16.2 16.0 15.3 14.6 14.3 LGPSPUS Liquefied Petroleum Gas .................................... 115.2 103.9 103.0 113.7 128.2 141.4 152.2 161.7 164.6 161.1 149.4 132.1 UOPSPUS Unfinished Oils ................................................... 85.8 88.0 90.9 91.4 90.2 87.3 85.6 84.7 86.3 88.3 86.3 81.0 OHPSPUS Other HC/Oxygenates ......................................... 21.8 22.4 22.8 22.6 22.3 21.8 21.4 20.8 21.4 21.3 21.6 21.9 MGTSPUS Total Motor Gasoline .......................................... 236.2 234.8224.0216.8215.8 219.1 219.5213.0214.2 210.2 218.3226.1 MGPSPUS Finished Motor Gasoline .................................. 52.9 51.9 48.7 46.7 47.8 49.5 49.0 48.5 49.2 48.0 49.9 51.5 MBPSPUS Motor Gasoline Blend Comp. ........................... 183.3 182.9 175.4 170.1 168.0 169.6 170.5 164.4 165.0 162.3 168.4 174.7 JFPSPUS Jet Fuel ............................................................... 40.8 40.5 40.5 40.6 41.9 41.8 43.2 43.0 43.0 41.9 40.6 40.4 DFPSPUS Distillate Fuel Oil ................................................. 140.7 134.1 126.7 124.8 129.3 133.4 140.6 143.4 143.4 140.9 142.2 145.1 RFPSPUS Residual Fuel Oil ................................................ 37.7 37.3 37.5 37.1 38.0 37.3 37.0 36.0 36.5 37.8 38.8 37.9 PSPSPUS Other Oils (f) ....................................................... 49.6 51.5 53.5 54.1 54.7 52.1 50.2 46.3 44.1 41.8 42.7 45.3 PASXPUS Total Commercial Inventory ................................... 1,114 1,106 1,104 1,113 1,129 1,140 1,148 1,144 1,151 1,143 1,138 1,113 COSQPUS Crude Oil in SPR ................................................... 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 DFSQPUS Heating Oil Reserve .............................................. 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

Minor discrepancies with published historical data Projections:Generated by simulation of the EIA SPR: Strategic Petroleum Reserve HC: Hydrocarbons Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Petroleum Supply Annual, DOE/EIA-0340/2; and (g) "Other Oils" inludes aviation gasoline blend components, finished aviation gasoline, kerosene, Notes:The approximate break between historical (e) Renewables and oxygenate production includes 

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- = no data available (a) Includes lease condensate. (b) Crude oil production from U.S. Federal leases in (c) Net imports equals gross imports minus gross (d) Crude oil adjustment balances supply and

(f) Petroleum products adjustment includes 2014

## Table 8. U.S. Renewable Energy Consumption (Quadrillion Btu)

U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook - July 2013

2014 total 2014 total Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Quad Btu) (Bill gal) Electric Power Sector HVECBUS Hydroelectric Power (a) .............. 0.230 0.202 0.230 0.2360.271 0.272 0.2450.211 0.171 0.169 0.184 0.216 WWEPCONB Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.019 0.0170.018 0.0150.0160.018 0.020 0.020 0.018 0.0160.018 0.019 OWEPCONB Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.023 0.021 0.023 0.022 0.023 0.023 0.024 0.024 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.024 WNECBUS Wind ...........................................0.144 0.130 0.160 0.172 0.1660.150 0.124 0.118 0.124 0.148 0.152 0.165 GEECBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.014 0.013 0.014 0.013 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.013 0.014 SOECBUS Solar ...........................................0.003 0.004 0.008 0.010 0.013 0.0150.0150.014 0.012 0.008 0.0050.004 REECBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.433 0.386 0.453 0.469 0.503 0.492 0.442 0.402 0.362 0.378 0.3950.442

Industrial Sector HVICBUS Hydroelectric Power (a) .............. 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 WWICBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.1070.0950.100 0.099 0.099 0.100 0.1070.1050.102 0.1070.103 0.109 OWICBUS Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.0160.014 0.0150.014 0.0150.0150.016 0.0160.0150.0150.0150.017 GEICBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 REICBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.128 0.114 0.120 0.1170.118 0.119 0.1270.1250.121 0.1260.123 0.130

Commercial Sector WWCCBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.0060.0050.0050.0050.0050.0050.006 0.0050.0050.0050.0050.006 OWCCBUS Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 GECCBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 RECCBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.012 0.011 0.011 0.010 0.011 0.011 0.012 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.012

Residential Sector WWRCBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.0350.032 0.0350.034 0.0350.034 0.0350.0350.034 0.0350.034 0.035 GERCBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 SORCBUS Solar (d) ...................................... 0.024 0.021 0.024 0.023 0.024 0.023 0.024 0.024 0.023 0.024 0.023 0.024 RERCBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.062 0.056 0.062 0.060 0.062 0.060 0.062 0.062 0.060 0.062 0.060 0.062

Transportation Sector EOACBUS Ethanol (e) .................................. 0.091 0.084 0.0950.0950.098 0.0950.098 0.099 0.092 0.0970.093 0.095 BDTCBUS Biodiesel (e) ................................ 0.0150.014 0.0150.0150.0150.014 0.014 0.0150.0150.0150.0150.015 BFACBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.1060.098 0.109 0.109 0.113 0.109 0.113 0.114 0.1060.112 0.108 0.110

All Sectors Total HVTCBUS Hydroelectric Power (a) .............. 0.232 0.204 0.233 0.239 0.273 0.274 0.248 0.214 0.174 0.172 0.186 0.219 WWTCBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.1670.149 0.158 0.153 0.1550.1570.1670.1650.159 0.164 0.160 0.169 OWTCBUS Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.043 0.039 0.043 0.040 0.042 0.042 0.0450.044 0.041 0.041 0.042 0.044 WNTCBUS Wind ...........................................0.144 0.130 0.160 0.172 0.1660.150 0.124 0.118 0.124 0.148 0.152 0.165 GETCBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.020 0.018 0.019 0.018 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 SOTCBUS Solar ...........................................0.0270.026 0.032 0.033 0.0370.038 0.038 0.038 0.0350.032 0.028 0.027 EOTCBUS Ethanol (e) .................................. 0.092 0.086 0.0960.0960.100 0.0970.100 0.101 0.093 0.099 0.094 0.097 1.152 13.58 BDTCBUS Biodiesel (e) ................................ 0.0150.014 0.0150.0150.0150.014 0.014 0.0150.0150.0150.0150.015 RETCBUS Total Consumption ....................... 0.740 0.6650.7560.7660.8070.791 0.756 0.714 0.660 0.689 0.698 0.755

- = no data available (a) Conventional hydroelectric power only. Hydroelectricity generated by pumped storage is not included in renewable energy. (b) Wood and wood-derived fuels. (c) Municipal solid waste from biogenic sources, landfill gas, sludge waste, agricultural byproducts, and other biomass. (d) Includes small amounts of distributed solar thermal and photovoltaic energy used in the commercial, industrial, and electric power sectors. (e) Fuel ethanol and biodiesel consumption in the transportation sector includes production, stock change, and imports less exports. Some biodiesel may be consumed in the residential sector in heating oil.

Notes:The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics. Historical data: Latest data available from EIA databases supporting the following reports:Electric Power Monthly, DOE/EIA-0226 andRenewable Energy Annual, DOE/EIA-0603;Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109.

Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding. Projections:Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model. 2014 

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