Short-Term Energy Outlook, July 2013

Table 1. U.S. Energy Markets Summary Total gasoline = 132.79 bill gal

Table 2. U.S. Energy Nominal Prices Ethanol in E10 = 13.28 bill gal

Table 3a. International Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories Total ethanol = 13.58 bill gal

Table 3b. Non-OPEC Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply Ethanol in E85 = 0.30 bill gal

Table 3c. OPEC Crude Oil (excluding Condensates) Supply E85 = 409.17 mill gal

Table 3d. World Liquid Fuels Consumption

Table 4a. U.S. Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories

Table 4b. U.S. Petroleum Refinery Balance

Table 4c. U.S. Regional Motor Gasoline Prices and Inventories

Table 5a. U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Consumption, and Inventories

Table 5b. U.S. Regional Natural Gas Prices

Table 6. U.S. Coal Supply, Consumption, and Inventories

Table 7a. U.S. Electricity Industry Overview

Table 7b. U.S. Regional Electricity Retail Sales

Table 7c. U.S. Regional Electricity Prices

Table 7d. U.S. Regional Electricity Generation, All Sectors

Table 7e. U.S. Regional Fuel Consumption for Electricity Generation, All Sectors

Table 8. U.S. Renewable Energy Consumption

Table 9a. U.S. Macroeconomic Indicators and CO2 Emissions 

Table 9b. U.S. Regional Macroeconomic Data

Table 9c. U.S. Regional Weather Data
Table 4a. U.S. Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories

U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook - July 2013

Total 2014 Total 2014

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Mill barrels) (Bill gal)

Supply (million barrels per day)

 Crude Oil Supply

COPRPUS Domestic Production (a) ..................................... 7.74 7.81 7.88 7.95 8.01 8.00 8.05 8.11 8.21 8.33 8.44 8.51

PAPRPAK Alaska .............................................................. 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.41 0.39 0.41 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.50

PAPRPGLF Federal Gulf of Mexico (b) ............................... 1.35 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.37 1.38 1.40 1.38 1.37 1.42 1.47 1.49

PAPR48NGOM Lower 48 States (excl GOM) ............................ 5.88 5.95 6.02 6.08 6.14 6.20 6.26 6.31 6.37 6.42 6.47 6.52

CONIPUS Crude Oil Net Imports (c) .................................... 7.02 6.72 6.82 6.98 7.16 7.45 7.24 7.19 6.82 6.50 6.40 5.86

COSQ_DRAW SPR Net Withdrawals ......................................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

COSX_DRAW Commercial Inventory Net Withdrawals .............. -0.39 -0.25 -0.38 -0.20 0.11 0.11 0.28 0.09 -0.07 -0.10 0.02 0.47

COUNPUS Crude Oil Adjustment (d) .................................... 0.11 0.17 0.12 0.09 0.14 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.18 0.16 0.21 0.21

CORIPUS Total Crude Oil Input to Refineries ........................ 14.48 14.44 14.44 14.82 15.42 15.79 15.80 15.63 15.14 14.89 15.06 15.05

 Other Supply

PAGLPUS Refinery Processing Gain ................................... 1.03 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.06 1.08 1.06 1.07 1.04 1.03 1.04 1.08

NLPRPUS Natural Gas Liquids Production .......................... 2.41 2.42 2.45 2.45 2.46 2.43 2.42 2.43 2.48 2.52 2.55 2.52

PARNPUS Renewables and Oxygenate Production (e) ....... 1.04 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.05 1.04 1.04 1.04

EOPRPUS Fuel Ethanol Production .................................. 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92

PAFPPUS Petroleum Products Adjustment (f) ..................... 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20

PANIPUS Product Net Imports (c) ....................................... -0.53 -1.04 -0.97 -0.93 -0.94 -1.06 -1.31 -1.25 -1.23 -1.34 -1.37 -1.51

PPNIPUS Pentanes Plus ................................................. -0.10 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06

LGNIPUS Liquefied Petroleum Gas ................................. -0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.14 -0.15 -0.14 -0.16 -0.11 -0.12 -0.07 -0.08 -0.05

UONIPUS Unfinished Oils ................................................ 0.50 0.47 0.55 0.54 0.60 0.60 0.54 0.60 0.65 0.60 0.46 0.39

OHNIPUS Other HC/Oxygenates ...................................... -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08

MBNIPUS Motor Gasoline Blend Comp. ........................... 0.72 0.54 0.49 0.57 0.60 0.66 0.59 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.49 0.53

MGNIPUS Finished Motor Gasoline .................................. -0.43 -0.43 -0.40 -0.32 -0.39 -0.41 -0.39 -0.43 -0.44 -0.49 -0.52 -0.58

JFNIPUS Jet Fuel ............................................................ -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.12 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.10 -0.10 -0.11

DFNIPUS Distillate Fuel Oil .............................................. -0.52 -0.63 -0.67 -0.70 -0.75 -0.84 -0.97 -0.87 -0.89 -0.92 -0.85 -0.87

RFNIPUS Residual Fuel Oil ............................................. -0.15 -0.20 -0.14 -0.13 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.13 -0.10 -0.07 -0.08 -0.14

PSNIPUS Other Oils (f) .................................................... -0.38 -0.50 -0.50 -0.52 -0.55 -0.58 -0.59 -0.57 -0.60 -0.60 -0.55 -0.56

PROD_DRAW Product Inventory Net Withdrawals .................... -0.10 0.55 0.44 -0.09 -0.65 -0.48 -0.51 0.02 -0.15 0.35 0.14 0.34

PASUPPLY Total Supply ........................................................... 18.52 18.62 18.60 18.52 18.59 19.00 18.71 19.14 18.52 18.68 18.66 18.71

Consumption (million barrels per day)

 Natural Gas Liquids and Other Liquids

PPTCPUS Pentanes Plus .................................................... 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.07

LGTCPUS Liquefied Petroleum Gas .................................... 2.72 2.65 2.44 2.18 2.13 2.11 2.15 2.22 2.20 2.35 2.45 2.67

UOTCPUS Unfinished Oils ................................................... 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02

 Finished Liquid Fuels

MGTCPUSX Motor Gasoline ................................................... 8.19 8.42 8.61 8.80 8.83 8.91 8.89 8.99 8.61 8.66 8.51 8.51 3161.71 132.79

JFTCPUS Jet Fuel ............................................................... 1.33 1.34 1.37 1.40 1.40 1.48 1.45 1.45 1.39 1.36 1.38 1.36

DFTCPUS Distillate Fuel Oil ................................................. 3.99 3.99 3.89 3.80 3.79 3.85 3.60 3.82 3.83 3.88 3.94 3.89

RFTCPUS Residual Fuel Oil ................................................ 0.36 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.40 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.35

PSTCPUS Other Oils (f) ....................................................... 1.86 1.82 1.86 1.91 2.03 2.17 2.15 2.20 2.04 1.97 1.91 1.83

PATCPUSX Total Consumption ................................................. 18.52 18.62 18.60 18.52 18.59 19.00 18.71 19.14 18.52 18.68 18.66 18.71

PAIMPORT Total Liquid Fuels Net Imports ........................... 6.48 5.68 5.85 6.05 6.21 6.39 5.93 5.94 5.59 5.16 5.03 4.35

End-of-period Inventories (million barrels)

 Commercial Inventory

COSXPUS Crude Oil (excluding SPR) .................................. 372.4 379.5 391.3 397.3 393.8 390.5 382.0 379.2 381.3 384.5 383.9 369.4

PPPSPUS Pentanes Plus .................................................... 13.9 13.6 13.7 14.2 15.0 15.5 16.0 16.2 16.0 15.3 14.6 14.3

LGPSPUS Liquefied Petroleum Gas .................................... 115.2 103.9 103.0 113.7 128.2 141.4 152.2 161.7 164.6 161.1 149.4 132.1

UOPSPUS Unfinished Oils ................................................... 85.8 88.0 90.9 91.4 90.2 87.3 85.6 84.7 86.3 88.3 86.3 81.0

OHPSPUS Other HC/Oxygenates ......................................... 21.8 22.4 22.8 22.6 22.3 21.8 21.4 20.8 21.4 21.3 21.6 21.9

MGTSPUS Total Motor Gasoline .......................................... 236.2 234.8 224.0 216.8 215.8 219.1 219.5 213.0 214.2 210.2 218.3 226.1

MGPSPUS Finished Motor Gasoline .................................. 52.9 51.9 48.7 46.7 47.8 49.5 49.0 48.5 49.2 48.0 49.9 51.5

MBPSPUS Motor Gasoline Blend Comp. ........................... 183.3 182.9 175.4 170.1 168.0 169.6 170.5 164.4 165.0 162.3 168.4 174.7

JFPSPUS Jet Fuel ............................................................... 40.8 40.5 40.5 40.6 41.9 41.8 43.2 43.0 43.0 41.9 40.6 40.4

DFPSPUS Distillate Fuel Oil ................................................. 140.7 134.1 126.7 124.8 129.3 133.4 140.6 143.4 143.4 140.9 142.2 145.1

RFPSPUS Residual Fuel Oil ................................................ 37.7 37.3 37.5 37.1 38.0 37.3 37.0 36.0 36.5 37.8 38.8 37.9

PSPSPUS Other Oils (f) ....................................................... 49.6 51.5 53.5 54.1 54.7 52.1 50.2 46.3 44.1 41.8 42.7 45.3

PASXPUS Total Commercial Inventory ................................... 1,114 1,106 1,104 1,113 1,129 1,140 1,148 1,144 1,151 1,143 1,138 1,113

COSQPUS Crude Oil in SPR ................................................... 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696 696

DFSQPUS Heating Oil Reserve .............................................. 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

Minor discrepancies with published historical data 

Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA 

SPR: Strategic Petroleum Reserve

HC: Hydrocarbons

Historical data: Latest data available from Energy 

Petroleum Supply Annual , DOE/EIA-0340/2; and 

(g) "Other Oils" inludes aviation gasoline blend 

components, finished aviation gasoline, kerosene, 

Notes: The approximate break between historical 

(e) Renewables and oxygenate production includes 

Table of Contents

- = no data available

(a) Includes lease condensate.

(b) Crude oil production from U.S. Federal leases in 

(c) Net imports equals gross imports minus gross 

(d) Crude oil adjustment balances supply and 

(f) Petroleum products adjustment includes 

2014
Table 8. U.S. Renewable Energy Consumption (Quadrillion Btu)

U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook - July 2013

2014 total 2014 total

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Quad Btu) (Bill gal)

Electric Power Sector 

HVECBUS Hydroelectric Power (a) .............. 0.230 0.202 0.230 0.236 0.271 0.272 0.245 0.211 0.171 0.169 0.184 0.216

WWEPCONB Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.019 0.017 0.018 0.015 0.016 0.018 0.020 0.020 0.018 0.016 0.018 0.019

OWEPCONB Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.023 0.021 0.023 0.022 0.023 0.023 0.024 0.024 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.024

WNECBUS Wind ........................................... 0.144 0.130 0.160 0.172 0.166 0.150 0.124 0.118 0.124 0.148 0.152 0.165

GEECBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.014 0.013 0.014 0.013 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.013 0.014

SOECBUS Solar ........................................... 0.003 0.004 0.008 0.010 0.013 0.015 0.015 0.014 0.012 0.008 0.005 0.004

REECBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.433 0.386 0.453 0.469 0.503 0.492 0.442 0.402 0.362 0.378 0.395 0.442

Industrial Sector 

HVICBUS Hydroelectric Power (a) .............. 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003

WWICBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.107 0.095 0.100 0.099 0.099 0.100 0.107 0.105 0.102 0.107 0.103 0.109

OWICBUS Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.016 0.014 0.015 0.014 0.015 0.015 0.016 0.016 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.017

GEICBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

REICBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.128 0.114 0.120 0.117 0.118 0.119 0.127 0.125 0.121 0.126 0.123 0.130

Commercial Sector 

WWCCBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.006 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.006 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.006

OWCCBUS Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004

GECCBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002

RECCBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.012 0.011 0.011 0.010 0.011 0.011 0.012 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.012

Residential Sector 

WWRCBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.035 0.032 0.035 0.034 0.035 0.034 0.035 0.035 0.034 0.035 0.034 0.035

GERCBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003

SORCBUS Solar (d) ...................................... 0.024 0.021 0.024 0.023 0.024 0.023 0.024 0.024 0.023 0.024 0.023 0.024

RERCBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.062 0.056 0.062 0.060 0.062 0.060 0.062 0.062 0.060 0.062 0.060 0.062

Transportation Sector 

EOACBUS Ethanol (e) .................................. 0.091 0.084 0.095 0.095 0.098 0.095 0.098 0.099 0.092 0.097 0.093 0.095

BDTCBUS Biodiesel (e) ................................ 0.015 0.014 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.014 0.014 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015

BFACBUS Subtotal ................................... 0.106 0.098 0.109 0.109 0.113 0.109 0.113 0.114 0.106 0.112 0.108 0.110

All Sectors Total

HVTCBUS Hydroelectric Power (a) .............. 0.232 0.204 0.233 0.239 0.273 0.274 0.248 0.214 0.174 0.172 0.186 0.219

WWTCBUS Wood Biomass (b) ...................... 0.167 0.149 0.158 0.153 0.155 0.157 0.167 0.165 0.159 0.164 0.160 0.169

OWTCBUS Waste Biomass (c) ...................... 0.043 0.039 0.043 0.040 0.042 0.042 0.045 0.044 0.041 0.041 0.042 0.044

WNTCBUS Wind ........................................... 0.144 0.130 0.160 0.172 0.166 0.150 0.124 0.118 0.124 0.148 0.152 0.165

GETCBUS Geothermal ............................... 0.020 0.018 0.019 0.018 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019

SOTCBUS Solar ........................................... 0.027 0.026 0.032 0.033 0.037 0.038 0.038 0.038 0.035 0.032 0.028 0.027

EOTCBUS Ethanol (e) .................................. 0.092 0.086 0.096 0.096 0.100 0.097 0.100 0.101 0.093 0.099 0.094 0.097 1.152 13.58

BDTCBUS Biodiesel (e) ................................ 0.015 0.014 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.014 0.014 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015

RETCBUS Total Consumption ....................... 0.740 0.665 0.756 0.766 0.807 0.791 0.756 0.714 0.660 0.689 0.698 0.755

- = no data available

(a) Conventional hydroelectric power only. Hydroelectricity generated by pumped storage is not included in renewable energy.

(b) Wood and wood-derived fuels.

(c) Municipal solid waste from biogenic sources, landfill gas, sludge waste, agricultural byproducts, and other biomass.

(d) Includes small amounts of distributed solar thermal and photovoltaic energy used in the commercial, industrial, and electric power sectors.

(e) Fuel ethanol and biodiesel consumption in the transportation sector includes production, stock change, and imports less exports. Some biodiesel may be consumed in the residential sector in heating oil.

Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.

Historical data: Latest data available from EIA databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226 and Renewable Energy Annual , DOE/EIA-0603; Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-01

Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding. 

Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.

2014

Table of 

Contents