Statistical evaluation of the May 15 - September 30, 2002 BaseB1 CMAQ simulation across the OTR (including all of VA) Daily average PM2.5 mass and speciation at EPA Speciation Trends Network sites (N = 49) PM2.5 mass, SO4, NO3, NH4, EC, OM (assumed to be 1.8 times the blank-corrected OC, where blanks are assumed to be constant and monitor-specific), and soil/crustal (IMPROVE definition) Only those times when the observed and predicted concentrations agreed to within a factor of 25 are considered in this analysis July 6-9 data were excluded because of the influence of the Quebec forest fires Site names: first 9 characters = AQS code, last character = parameter occurrence code

Statistics: observed average predicted average coefficient of determination, R2

normalized mean error root mean square error fractional gross error

mean absolute gross error

mean normalized gross error

mean bias

mean normalized bias

mean fractionalized bias normalized mean bias

Statistics are organized two ways - "by date" (consider all valid observed/predicted data pairs at all sites on a given day) and "by site" (consider all valid days at a given site) Since the data are predominantly 1-in-3 day

samples, only

every 3rd day are displayed hereobs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, %MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

20020517 9.89 11.88 0.627 44.59 5.77 42.13 4.41 42.67 1.99 7.97 -3.36 20020520 7.81 10.78 0.219 44.71 4.38 36.23 3.49 48.99 2.97 44.12 30.61 20020523 13.65 20.750.281 56.89 9.39 41.69 7.77 56.37 7.09 52.04 36.83 20020526 17.5 19.50.211 35.67 8.28 36.52 6.24 42.74 1.99 16.81 3.85 20020529 20.33 18.8 0.039 33.9 7.91 35.1 6.89 33.03 -1.53 -7.24 -14.48 20020601 16.03 12.24 0.443 27.21 5.32 35.84 4.36 28.14 -3.79 -24.7 -32.91 20020604 11.41 10.61 0.327 29.94 5.41 30.42 3.42 31.23 -0.8 3.05 -4.72 20020607 6.01 5.12 0.216 30.35 2.22 34.42 1.83 35.48 -0.9 -7.37 -18 20020610 19.16 18.99 0.79 19.89 5.27 20.63 3.81 23.17 -0.16 6.04 1.72 20020613 14.88 12.4 0.264 32.61 6.29 35.04 4.85 33.49 -2.47 -7.88 -15.93 20020616 9.94 15.26 0.257 68.71 9.7 51.8 6.83 84.61 5.32 66.43 27.84 20020619 18.15 21.86 0.221 36.26 9.45 31.06 6.58 41.87 3.71 29.02 16.47 20020622 23.13 24.16 0.167 31.53 9.58 32.1 7.29 30.66 1.03 7.32 -0.87 20020625 32.89 22.32 0.691 38.81 14.88 44.81 12.76 39.02 -10.57 -20.11 -30.22 20020628 13.07 12.13 0.147 44.75 7.11 48.07 5.85 49.09 -0.95 -0.53 -15.43 20020701 34.08 20.29 0.375 42.42 17.03 51.8 14.46 40.38 -13.79 -36.84 -48.85 20020704 25.58 12.9 0.289 49.74 13.93 68.59 12.72 49.04 -12.68 -48.8 -68.35 20020707 20020710 18.56 8.24 0.57 55.58 11.39 79.99 10.32 54.64 -10.32 -54.64 -79.99 20020713 13.59 15.56 0.081 33.1 6 30.01 4.5 34.31 1.97 18.16 9.71 20020716 17.8 11.64 0.647 38.77 8.03 45.88 6.9 37.13 -6.16 -31.25 -41.44 20020719 36.92 29.26 0.741 23.53 10.87 29.36 8.69 23.97 -7.66 -21.17 -26.89 20020722 28.12 19.43 0 40.62 13.17 45.14 11.42 37.67 -8.69 -23.44 -33.06 20020725 9.65 10.23 0.249 31.31 4.37 30.11 3.02 36.66 0.58 18.97 8.04 20020728 23.59 24.8 0.504 30.27 9.05 31.58 7.14 30.31 1.22 2.18 -5.26 20020731 16.21 12.22 0.418 26.88 5.82 34.51 4.36 27.45 -4 -25.26 -32.48 20020803 18.45 16.37 0.322 27.63 6.44 28.14 5.1 25.59 -2.08 -9.7 -14.6 20020806 7.04 6.43 0.62 25.77 2.73 25.18 1.81 25.66 -0.61 -1.34 -6.94 20020809 6.4 11.50.269 85.26 7.99 51.33 5.46 85.67 5.1 75.97 39.83 20020812 34.94 36.150.122 21.28 10.12 21.59 7.43 22.39 1.21 7.11 2.76 20020815 18.56 17.350.016 35.67 8.83 33.39 6.62 36.02 -1.21 5.65 -3.84 20020818 20.01 17.15 0.55 24.45 5.93 27.78 4.89 24.44 -2.85 -16.11 -20.72 20020821 10.65 13.350.285 35.08 5.32 30.74 3.73 41.4 2.7 34.16 22.15 20020824 13.01 17.46 0.008 60.88 10.51 49.05 7.92 74.74 4.45 55.59 25.73 20020827 13.52 16.76 0.561 33.59 6.48 30.18 4.54 37.73 3.24 27.81 19.21 20020830 7.32 10.04 0.05 56.23 5.59 46.34 4.12 72.08 2.72 57.54 28.3420020902 6.59 8.11 0.692 33.44 3.02 30.71 2.21 40.88 1.52 28.51 16.52

20020905 7.98 9.91 0.414 31.77 3.82 27.98 2.54 38.81 1.93 32.75 21.31 20020908 13.11 22.23 0.064 77.25 13.64 50.34 10.13 77.03 9.12 70.92 41.77 20020911 10.83 13.550.085 44.04 7.15 38.18 4.77 56.69 2.72 39.86 17.93 20020914 17.7 22.66 0 41.37 10.7 35.8 7.33 64.28 4.95 51.61 21.53 20020917 15.51 19.62 0.493 31.85 6.63 28.79 4.94 38 4.11 34.05 24.37 20020920 15.27 17.56 0.027 42.09 8.61 36.4 6.43 48.38 2.29 33.33 18.14 20020923 8.34 10.32 0.045 45.05 5.45 38.11 3.76 50.76 1.98 32.3 14.92 20020926 8.42 10.59 0.253 33.17 3.33 29.28 2.79 34.13 2.17 26.79 20.26 20020929 12.96 17.50.481 41.71 7.18 37.47 5.41 60.46 4.54 55.24 31.69NMB, %N

20.1212 3843 51.9320 11.3943 -7.5318 -23.6738 -6.9819 -14.9241 -0.8612 -16.6140 53.5517 20.4338 4.4619 -32.1431 -7.2311 -40.4741 -49.5820

-55.5820 14.4643 -34.6122 -20.7443 -30.912 6.0542 5.1520 -24.6540 -11.2622 -8.639 79.6912 3.4636 -6.5119 -14.2640 25.3920 34.1943 23.9917 37.093423.0116

24.2344 69.5220 25.1641 27.9920 26.4842 14.9922 23.7931 25.7221 3544obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, %MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

0900190035 12.83 10.12 0.211 42.37 7.88 45.6 5.44 38.63 -2.71 -11.75 -25.2 1000100035 17.51 15.16 0.843 23.09 5.43 28.73 4.04 25.67 -2.35 -10.29 -16.35 1000320045 17.06 15.750.765 26.84 6.49 27.31 4.58 27.3 -1.32 1.96 -3.04 1100100435 19.36 18.650.591 24.27 6.34 24.3 4.7 24.69 -0.71 4.95 0.46 2400300195 19.15 16.14 0.82 23.35 7.85 22.7 4.47 21.75 -3 -6.23 -9.62 2400300196 26.78 15.950.611 42.18 13.94 49.75 11.3 38.2 -10.83 -34.78 -46.67 2400530015 19.04 17.43 0.588 27.36 7.27 26.85 5.21 26.49 -1.61 1.07 -4.12 2451000535 21.79 17.92 0.603 26.11 7.8 27.45 5.69 24.56 -3.87 -11.42 -16.35 2501300085 11.28 18.13 0.602 60.68 8.37 49.47 6.85 71.8 6.85 71.8 49.47 2502500425 13.12 18.13 0.113 60.43 9.79 53.69 7.93 96.75 5.01 82.28 36.04 2502500426 12.54 17.24 0.269 54.09 8.12 48.87 6.78 77.1 4.71 65.5 34.91 3301100205 11 12.57 0.615 38.48 5.26 39.46 4.23 51.38 1.57 37.32 21.71 3301500145 11.29 11.12 0.59 31.3 4.74 33.4 3.53 35.31 -0.17 10.42 1.64 3400700035 16.56 16.36 0.52 32.67 7.47 30.42 5.41 32.65 -0.2 10 2.39 3402300065 14.61 13.16 0.401 37.56 7.32 41.12 5.49 43.19 -1.45 9.16 -4.29 3402300066 14.68 14.32 0.583 35.39 6.35 37.13 5.2 41.15 -0.36 11.33 0.31 3402730015 9.45 12.24 0.49 45.1 5.05 40.78 4.26 55.51 2.79 45.16 28.86 3403900045 17.24 16.750.377 33.34 7.39 34.38 5.75 36.66 -0.48 7.5 -2.64 3600500836 15.16 23.02 0.415 63.04 12.18 48.6 9.56 71.53 7.86 63.44 37.66 3600501105 15.65 31.550.494 103.57 17.87 74.75 16.21 144.29 15.89 142.93 73.26 3602900056 18.47 14.66 0.786 29.51 8.04 30.74 5.45 27.5 -3.81 -10 -15.28 3603100035 9.23 5.050.722 48.88 6.71 56.95 4.51 42.71 -4.17 -32.03 -48.29 3605560015 13.85 14 0.669 29.02 5.7 29.78 4.02 34.38 0.15 14.64 6.27 3606100625 11.75 20.41 0.272 76.14 10.88 56.95 8.95 89.77 8.66 88.74 55.88 3608101246 14.82 19.150.569 40.97 7.67 37.2 6.07 47.89 4.33 40.11 27.41 3610100035 15.13 9.82 0.731 40.5 8.47 45.68 6.13 36.84 -5.31 -27.23 -37.62 4200100015 20.79 17.22 0.617 28.52 9.5 30.72 5.93 27.73 -3.57 -11.28 -17.35 4200300086 22.93 19.83 0.536 28.64 8.79 29.65 6.57 27.96 -3.1 -4.06 -9.68 4200300215 22.88 19.64 0.652 26.62 8.27 26.78 6.09 28.56 -3.24 -3.3 -10.35 4202701005 17.34 13.74 0.93 22.13 5.96 20.58 3.84 17.89 -3.6 -14.77 -17.62 4202901005 17.07 15.87 0.84 21.59 5.01 24.94 3.69 23.8 -1.2 -2.41 -6.81 4204304015 19.63 17.62 0.77 24.33 6.75 26.37 4.78 25.44 -2.01 -1.23 -5.59 4204500025 16.07 16.63 0.793 24.75 5.15 25.35 3.98 28.09 0.57 9.71 4.38 4204900035 13.37 11.28 0.773 24.36 4.03 31.2 3.26 26.82 -2.09 -13.67 -20 4206920065 18.08 11.14 0.755 42.93 11.72 41.87 7.76 34.19 -6.94 -24.97 -34.58 4207100075 20.63 22.97 0.7 27.14 8.1 24.16 5.6 28.89 2.33 20.13 14.354209500255 12.49 14.550.566 32.19 6.89 33.06 4.02 57.35 2.06 44.3 18.06

4209903015 15.93 13.550.684 25.53 5.82 30.99 4.07 26.34 -2.37 -15.91 -22.21 4210100047 17.17 17.03 0.488 32.25 7.69 31.99 5.54 36.18 -0.14 13.62 4.17 4210101365 15.69 19.41 0.649 45.55 8.72 47.63 7.15 75.94 3.72 66.94 37.18 4212550015 20.47 17.02 0.539 24.51 7.07 25.18 5.02 22.45 -3.45 -11.98 -15.91 4212900085 23.96 17.24 0.605 31.98 11.01 32.36 7.66 26.62 -6.72 -22.22 -28.37 4213300085 23.38 19.49 0.684 26.68 8.59 27.1 6.24 23.92 -3.89 -10.37 -14.94 4400700225 12.07 11.37 0.175 51.12 8.55 47.21 6.17 51.35 -0.7 22.2 7.68 4400710105 13.18 11.96 0.15 51.41 8.68 48.52 6.77 53.19 -1.22 16.02 -0.77 5000700125 12.03 8.33 0.634 38.36 7.39 40.18 4.62 34.85 -3.7 -14.58 -25.35 5152000065 19.45 17.46 0.281 31.49 7.97 30.73 6.13 32.14 -2 3.89 -3.96 5176000205 18.4 15.67 0.48 27.75 6.17 30.41 5.1 28.51 -2.73 -8.23 -13.61 5177000145 22.23 14.61 0.475 35.12 12.33 36.33 7.81 29.02 -7.62 -26.06 -33.72NMB, %N

-21.1332 -13.4422 -7.7221 -3.6838 -15.6811 -40.4625 -8.4550 -17.7759 60.68 6 38.1729 37.5631 14.320 -1.5141 -1.2236 -9.9134 -2.4720 29.4712 -2.837 51.8344 101.5244 -20.6322 -45.2345 1.0840 73.7114 29.2535 -35.0946 -17.1723 -13.5152 -14.1432 -20.7621 -7.0419 -10.2222 3.5221 -15.616 -38.419 11.32116.4917

-14.9119 -0.8443 23.7422 -16.8529 -28.0431 -16.6221 -5.8216 -9.2614 -30.7945 -10.2621 -14.8236 -34.2920obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, %MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

20020517 2.98 3.08 0.654 32.77 1.2 39.95 0.98 36.43 0.1 -0.94 -10.59 20020520 2.84 2.43 0.7 20.64 0.7 22.76 0.59 20.23 -0.41 -14.51 -17.67 20020523 4.07 5.91 0.644 47.44 2.17 39.77 1.93 63.05 1.84 60.53 37.02 20020526 6.03 9.16 0.204 63.44 5.22 53.5 3.83 92.41 3.13 77.36 34.3 20020529 9.1 8.66 0.439 39.08 4.08 39.98 3.56 40.56 -0.45 2.2 -8.5 20020601 4.61 4.71 0.687 20.43 1.29 22.47 0.94 23.28 0.1 5 0.82 20020604 2.93 2.86 0.883 19.68 0.84 19.68 0.58 21.27 -0.07 4.09 0.39 20020607 1.45 1.27 0.271 44.04 0.84 49.06 0.64 49.05 -0.18 -9.99 -26.88 20020610 6.53 6.88 0.957 10.85 1.08 21.28 0.71 27.41 0.35 24.18 17.91 20020613 4.89 5.150.525 24.24 1.76 23.12 1.18 27.22 0.27 11.29 4.89 20020616 3.3 6.12 0.548 85.45 3.53 57.22 2.82 109.75 2.82 109.75 57.22 20020619 6.27 8.50.483 39.04 3.21 35.96 2.45 52.47 2.24 50.15 33.51 20020622 8.86 10.29 0.29 35.11 3.59 34.57 3.11 37.42 1.43 21.1 12.3 20020625 14.4 10.01 0.868 34.27 6.05 47.48 4.93 46.25 -4.38 -9.97 -23.76 20020628 3.87 3.76 0.839 11.64 0.71 9.6 0.45 9.7 -0.12 -1.55 -2.51 20020701 11.52 8.91 0.782 29.34 4.56 30.19 3.38 28.92 -2.61 -11.77 -19.04 20020704 7.99 4.79 0.526 40.76 3.77 50.37 3.26 39.22 -3.2 -37.72 -48.98 20020707 20020710 5.75 2.850.689 51.24 3.46 72.59 2.94 51.26 -2.9 -44.47 -67.12 20020713 3.5 5.24 0.328 55.3 2.48 43.63 1.94 61.68 1.73 56.26 36.92 20020716 4.55 3.98 0.831 28.79 1.66 35.55 1.31 41.27 -0.57 7.96 -4.9 20020719 17.3 17.36 0.794 22.24 4.71 32.27 3.85 61.28 0.06 38.79 3.41 20020722 10.83 9.21 0.924 28.63 3.97 29.72 3.1 30.38 -1.61 0.27 -5.13 20020725 2.63 4.6 0.472 91.63 2.84 69.6 2.41 135.28 1.97 126.55 59.16 20020728 9.95 11.850.412 34.43 3.99 31.62 3.43 34.36 1.9 19.74 12.63 20020731 4.58 4.63 0.702 27.55 1.72 26.76 1.26 25.76 0.05 -2.41 -7 20020803 6.48 6.51 0.588 21.55 1.75 23.82 1.4 25.25 0.04 9.01 4.62 20020806 2.27 2.50.891 25.54 0.79 31.7 0.58 44.18 0.23 36.13 22.82 20020809 1.04 2.11 0.85 104.24 1.38 65.52 1.08 108.45 1.07 106.01 62.9 20020812 15.08 21.53 0.261 51.48 8.81 43.11 7.76 59.02 6.46 52.63 35.65 20020815 6.2 8.12 0.432 41.48 2.95 38.9 2.57 53.79 1.92 48.48 33 20020818 8.74 7.94 0.539 16.04 1.84 16.86 1.4 15.33 -0.8 -6.93 -9.03 20020821 2.84 3.99 0.869 40.68 1.41 41.29 1.16 61.69 1.14 60.96 40.54 20020824 5.05 8.36 0.198 76.19 4.91 60.73 3.84 125.75 3.32 120.28 53.96 20020827 3.36 4.03 0.814 31.05 1.41 40.2 1.04 67.7 0.68 52.96 21.75 20020830 1.99 2.8 0.073 66.63 1.95 54.01 1.32 91.77 0.81 74.36 30.7920020902 1.9 1.93 0.765 39.45 0.98 41.82 0.75 47.99 0.03 15.91 -0.98

20020905 2.34 2.64 0.743 30.04 0.99 27.69 0.7 32.28 0.3 13.69 5.83 20020908 3.49 6.01 0.04 83.84 3.85 56.34 2.92 94.45 2.53 84.06 43.87 20020911 3.82 4.89 0.273 42.2 2.33 37.83 1.61 59.27 1.07 47.98 24.91 20020914 6.51 7.87 0.005 27.97 2.68 25.03 1.82 39.12 1.35 32.45 17.49 20020917 5.78 7.91 0.59 44.39 3.27 40.04 2.57 55.3 2.13 51.76 36.08 20020920 5.88 6.66 0.758 34.98 2.56 35.49 2.06 47.85 0.78 39.06 25.38 20020923 2.91 3.350.507 36.43 1.27 34.99 1.06 43.36 0.45 27.89 16.7 20020926 1.92 2.11 0.199 19.73 0.5 18.95 0.38 22.02 0.18 13.25 9.49 20020929 4.85 5.26 0.819 30.04 2.3 28.69 1.46 30.41 0.4 5.47 -0.92NMB, %N

3.3212 -14.3241 45.2119 51.8741 -4.9118 2.2538 -2.2319 -12.1341 5.3512 5.4442 85.4518 35.6939 16.120 -30.4431 -2.9711 -22.6841 -40.0820

-50.4820 49.543 -12.5223 0.3644 -14.9112 74.7941 19.1420 1.142 0.5622 9.9840 103.0712 42.8238 30.9219 -9.2142 40.1621 65.7444 20.1618 40.78341.617

12.6945 72.3821 2841 20.7920 36.8841 13.1922 15.4131 9.4921 8.3143obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, %MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

0900190035 3.52 3.89 0.424 50.16 2.63 44.52 1.76 52.38 0.38 24 6.77 1000100035 6.83 7.8 0.867 26.3 2.72 26.32 1.8 31.9 0.96 19.85 11.71 1000320045 6.87 8 0.7 38.83 4.17 34.9 2.67 48.15 1.13 27.64 10.89 1100100435 7.74 7.950.666 31.48 3.34 31.13 2.44 33.13 0.21 9.29 1.89 2400300195 8.37 7.19 0.79 24.32 4.04 21.77 2.04 19.66 -1.18 -7.66 -10.83 2400300196 9.8 8.08 0.814 26.97 3.68 31.86 2.64 30.02 -1.72 -7.52 -14.33 2400530015 7.41 7.56 0.712 28.14 3.13 28.26 2.08 32.47 0.16 10.8 2.61 2451000535 7.76 7.87 0.696 27.73 3.35 27.37 2.15 30.81 0.12 8.83 0.89 2501300085 3.27 4.150.941 28.6 1.09 26.06 0.93 30.67 0.88 27.43 22.66 2502500425 3.88 4.850.591 42.94 2.38 39.26 1.67 71.01 0.96 59.49 25.33 2502500426 3.36 4.67 0.556 55.65 2.51 52.42 1.87 145.55 1.31 136.85 41.73 3301100205 2.96 3.28 0.73 40.95 1.77 37.12 1.21 47.58 0.32 29.43 15.06 3301500145 3.09 3.52 0.776 32.12 1.64 34.7 0.99 42.86 0.42 23.52 10.09 3400700035 5.98 6.950.656 41.2 3.5 37.06 2.46 51.64 0.97 33.74 15.63 3402300065 4.85 5.22 0.6 41.43 2.91 44.18 2.01 60.88 0.37 33.2 7.21 3402300066 5.11 5.87 0.648 42.39 3.14 45.95 2.17 72.8 0.76 43.17 10.07 3402730015 5.28 5.4 0.626 41.12 3.03 45.76 2.17 51.72 0.12 17.11 -2.46 3403900045 4.96 5.57 0.585 41.52 2.76 41.7 2.06 53.62 0.61 26.87 7.06 3600500836 4.3 6.21 0.537 58.22 3.5 50.13 2.5 79.55 1.91 66.65 33.61 3600501105 4.73 7.58 0.695 64.58 3.86 60.15 3.06 112.68 2.85 108.69 55.49 3602900056 6.21 6.66 0.801 35.24 2.98 43.73 2.19 62.15 0.44 39.79 17.33 3603100035 3.08 2.47 0.847 32.84 1.8 46.7 1.01 56.53 -0.61 15.03 -8.11 3605560015 4.74 6.02 0.768 42.95 2.82 45.42 2.04 74.25 1.27 65.4 35.36 3606100625 2.99 4.850.338 72.28 3.17 49.11 2.16 90.62 1.86 88.05 46.28 3608101246 4.73 6.06 0.474 49.62 3.38 44.83 2.35 66.86 1.34 51.8 24.97 3610100035 6.1 5.050.876 26.09 2.7 24.13 1.59 22.57 -1.04 -6.47 -10.72 4200100015 8.06 8.51 0.651 36.39 4.95 32.95 2.93 46.52 0.45 18.74 -1.18 4200300086 8.65 9.650.653 28.95 3.68 26.76 2.5 32.84 1.01 21.58 14.07 4200300215 8.82 10.57 0.613 33.99 4.5 30.76 3 43.55 1.75 32.9 18.33 4202701005 6.75 7 0.931 18.34 1.53 22.59 1.24 25.26 0.25 11.48 7.39 4202901005 6.3 7.850.812 33.26 3.74 31.92 2.1 43.86 1.54 28.22 13.31 4204304015 8.13 8.28 0.772 26.71 3.45 27.5 2.17 28.99 0.15 5.65 -1.97 4204500025 5.89 7.56 0.783 37.83 3.6 31.96 2.23 42.31 1.68 32.61 20.64 4204900035 4.99 6.43 0.84 43.47 3.01 36.36 2.17 44.27 1.43 29.58 18.89 4206920065 7.23 5.73 0.777 35 4.08 32.73 2.53 32.91 -1.5 -4.66 -13.79 4207100075 8.3 8.87 0.759 28.78 3.91 30.93 2.39 37.18 0.56 13.84 3.044209500255 4.59 6.53 0.785 53.61 3.53 44.49 2.46 74.51 1.95 61.62 29.32

4209903015 6.65 7.81 0.789 37.56 3.53 36.37 2.5 46.8 1.16 26.53 12.3 4210100047 6.17 6.66 0.657 36.73 3.27 36.86 2.27 52.23 0.48 30.47 10.76 4210101365 6.61 8.350.672 44.96 4.42 39.08 2.97 57.41 1.75 50.09 30.45 4212550015 7.51 9.4 0.576 36.36 3.91 30.05 2.73 37.32 1.89 29.21 21.04 4212900085 9.43 10.13 0.641 31.52 4.17 30.25 2.97 35.18 0.69 17.31 9.95 4213300085 8.1 8.66 0.87 22.84 3.14 22.57 1.85 25.94 0.57 7.71 1.29 4400700225 3.66 4.02 0.278 59.19 3.61 48 2.16 65.9 0.36 43.54 18.6 4400710105 3.77 4.42 0.329 65.91 3.51 54.68 2.49 86.68 0.64 60.97 22.1 5000700125 3.56 2.84 0.848 33.07 2.02 43.33 1.18 45.98 -0.72 5.38 -8.73 5152000065 6.97 7.49 0.304 38.51 3.21 38.33 2.69 51.43 0.52 30.09 12.44 5176000205 6.62 7.52 0.693 25.55 2.13 26.48 1.69 34.9 0.9 26.06 16.67 5177000145 8.75 7.47 0.615 26.74 3.26 29.29 2.34 31.18 -1.28 0.03 -8.51NMB, %N

10.6632 14.0922 16.4322 2.6938 -14.1311 -17.5325 2.1450 1.4959 26.89 6 24.8229 38.8521 10.9822 13.744 16.1437 7.7134 14.7919 2.2531 12.3136 44.3145 60.1744 7.1321 -19.7645 26.8740 62.214 28.2836 -17.1146 5.6523 11.6352 19.8832 3.6921 24.4618 1.8722 28.4521 28.7416 -20.6919 6.792042.3817

17.4719 7.8542 26.4321 25.2229 7.3431 7.0222 9.8416 17.0214 -20.2245 7.3921 13.6136 -14.6320obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

20020517 0.53 0.93 0.034 138.79 0.94 99.03 0.73 137.56 0.4 71.2 -3.84 20020520 0.56 1.850.368 231.82 1.52 103.8 1.31 269.5 1.28 264.69 97.43 20020523 1.65 3.16 0.635 93.17 1.95 68.83 1.53 173.04 1.52 168.04 62.27 20020526 1.75 1.21 0.411 50.03 1.06 73.07 0.88 53.02 -0.54 -32.46 -57.13 20020529 1.62 1.18 0.506 41.24 0.77 64.24 0.67 53.72 -0.44 -15.66 -39.14 20020601 1.08 1.01 0.253 49.44 0.83 60.34 0.54 53.01 -0.07 -1.28 -24.34 20020604 0.74 0.9 0.163 56 0.54 47.84 0.41 59.51 0.16 26.67 5.52 20020607 0.42 0.4 0.075 50.95 0.27 57.06 0.21 59.16 -0.02 8.77 -17.49 20020610 0.93 1.92 0.708 108.22 1.59 66.35 1.01 95.38 0.99 76.29 33.74 20020613 1.72 1.33 0.22 52.81 1.22 62.38 0.91 68.19 -0.38 6.07 -25.69 20020616 0.75 1.52 0.839 117.21 1.29 78.68 0.88 94.62 0.77 46.72 1.4 20020619 2.38 3.150.123 83.79 2.69 78.96 1.99 131.59 0.77 89.71 13.37 20020622 1.13 2.42 0.072 146.19 2.47 71.67 1.65 146.2 1.29 115.15 27.97 20020625 1.47 1.4 0.359 61.89 1.36 64.29 0.91 73.28 -0.07 19.49 -11.34 20020628 0.98 0.44 0.162 61.28 0.79 96.13 0.6 61.15 -0.54 -52.78 -88.72 20020701 0.88 0.92 0.299 81.75 1.15 79.34 0.72 77.41 0.04 -1.8 -43.61 20020704 0.89 0.39 0.091 70.44 0.69 108.84 0.62 69.61 -0.49 -55.27 -98.35 20020707 20020710 1.24 0.18 0.073 88.54 1.23 157.63 1.1 123.17 -1.06 -39.89 -137.44 20020713 0.77 1.84 0.232 170.85 1.91 91.91 1.31 171.03 1.07 139.05 40.18 20020716 0.42 0.50.631 83.69 0.49 82.32 0.35 77.93 0.08 3.71 -33.8 20020719 1.65 1.32 0.496 56.32 1.22 92.53 0.93 90.12 -0.33 -5.71 -68.2 20020722 0.7 0.3 0.141 56.6 0.49 88.77 0.39 53.78 -0.39 -52.42 -87.45 20020725 0.58 0.39 0.298 68.63 0.52 93.22 0.4 77.26 -0.19 -15.35 -59.69 20020728 1.2 1.7 0.712 80.22 1.5 92.24 0.96 80.13 0.5 1.2 -43.66 20020731 0.55 0.55 0.29 66.18 0.58 70.89 0.36 68.43 0 0.84 -34.46 20020803 0.95 1.01 0.287 64.8 0.91 62.92 0.62 71.01 0.06 12.34 -20.75 20020806 0.26 0.07 0.023 76.94 0.25 124.95 0.2 72.21 -0.19 -68.03 -121.24 20020809 0.26 0.950.217 292.72 1.15 102.68 0.76 261.96 0.69 226.05 48 20020812 0.88 1.28 0.149 102.59 1.47 81.06 0.9 104.11 0.4 51.04 -2.41 20020815 0.63 0.41 0.2 54.8 0.38 84.52 0.34 65.42 -0.22 -31.37 -66.15 20020818 0.59 1.08 0.595 124.92 1.23 87.58 0.74 108.44 0.5 45.93 -13.42 20020821 0.53 0.950.262 116.4 0.72 89.82 0.62 147.02 0.42 114.85 36.85 20020824 0.98 1.39 0.137 115.47 1.62 91.16 1.13 105.63 0.41 38.42 -18.33 20020827 0.89 1.96 0.619 129.7 1.52 80.38 1.16 137.56 1.07 116.44 45.8 20020830 0.46 1.04 0.442 132.76 0.83 70.49 0.61 138.47 0.59 130.1 59.7320020902 0.44 0.42 0.61 62.39 0.33 84.43 0.27 72.02 -0.01 -10.41 -47.79

20020905 0.34 0.49 0.451 77.44 0.39 67.45 0.27 84 0.15 45.8 5.22 20020908 1.05 3.09 0.229 198.43 2.91 87.82 2.09 278.15 2.04 266.58 69.43 20020911 0.48 1.46 0.004 227.86 1.91 101.91 1.1 330.51 0.97 296.17 47.95 20020914 1.07 2.4 0.701 141.27 2.19 75.36 1.51 135.47 1.33 117.9 52.66 20020917 1.2 1.64 0.275 66.04 0.99 60.64 0.79 91.02 0.44 68.84 31.15 20020920 0.74 1.03 0.224 62.8 0.58 60.44 0.46 71.85 0.29 41.22 11.25 20020923 0.51 0.8 0.098 96.22 0.62 77.2 0.49 116.43 0.28 78.67 18.02 20020926 0.77 1.52 0.073 115.58 1.16 74.58 0.89 141.67 0.76 123.17 46.16 20020929 0.78 2.28 0.289 194.48 1.75 97.73 1.53 267.49 1.5 265.87 95.8NMB, %N

76.512 227.741 92.0419 -30.9541 -27.2418 -6.436 21.7119 -5.8240 105.9212 -22.2642 102.4518 32.4439 114.5720 -4.4531 -55.4411 4.441 -55.5919

-85.5115 139.1743 19.9723 -20.0340 -56.1910 -32.4442 41.6420 0.3340 5.9822 -74.4833 266.4412 45.8438 -34.4419 84.1239 78.9621 42.1144 119.8618 128.4733-2.6917

42.2744 194.1821 201.1440 124.520 36.6841 38.7922 55.731 98.3321 190.6843obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

0900190035 0.58 1 0.328 135.72 1.4 100.99 0.79 135.76 0.42 62.55 -18.95 1000100035 0.88 1.150.193 70.44 0.95 64.45 0.62 82.59 0.27 37.12 -6.43 1000320045 1.05 1.11 0.245 68.56 0.83 75.58 0.72 85.78 0.07 29.96 -7.98 1100100435 0.79 0.72 0.161 66.02 0.79 72.81 0.52 60.79 -0.07 -11.48 -41.91 2400300195 0.63 0.9 0.015 118.7 0.94 86.26 0.75 146.2 0.28 102.21 13.94 2400300196 0.59 0.16 0.011 78.93 0.56 124.22 0.47 75.69 -0.43 -66.27 -118.2 2400530015 0.75 0.59 0.045 71.93 0.8 88.19 0.54 78.24 -0.16 -8.2 -55.83 2451000535 0.96 0.54 0.068 70.26 0.9 99.49 0.67 70.45 -0.42 -37.98 -79.96 2501300085 0.61 3.1 0.051 406.44 3.52 120.42 2.49 489.25 2.49 489.25 120.42 2502500425 0.89 2.2 0.107 164.44 2.29 70.97 1.46 199.31 1.31 183.29 48.73 2502500426 0.76 1.91 0.065 183.69 2.09 94.85 1.39 345.09 1.15 322.42 59.31 3301100205 0.41 0.44 0.05 88.34 0.49 89.91 0.36 99.33 0.03 21.04 -35.88 3301500145 0.45 0.47 0.107 76.91 0.51 90.77 0.35 93.24 0.01 9.93 -45.77 3400700035 1.15 1.54 0.353 71.95 1.15 65.21 0.82 89.75 0.39 56.27 16.16 3402300065 0.77 1.34 0.133 119.16 1.19 84.7 0.91 141.16 0.57 102.32 24.31 3402300066 0.83 1.43 0.212 107.18 1.36 73.98 0.89 119.15 0.59 84.94 23.32 3402730015 0.68 1.53 0.065 163.59 1.65 92.17 1.11 201.47 0.85 160.22 28.13 3403900045 1.27 2.12 0.389 86.43 1.64 66.35 1.1 112.18 0.86 82.73 22.04 3600500836 1.08 2.77 0.431 170.36 2.54 89.28 1.83 209.49 1.69 194.88 66.45 3600501105 1.36 2.66 0.487 107.6 1.93 74.47 1.47 157.76 1.29 146.64 58.81 3602900056 1.41 1.150.067 70.59 1.27 77.05 0.99 87.95 -0.26 26.01 -14.33 3603100035 0.15 0.1 0.002 80.33 0.16 102.1 0.12 82.77 -0.05 -20.43 -71.01 3605560015 0.85 0.8 0.328 70.62 0.77 80.84 0.6 79.46 -0.05 3.49 -34.41 3606100625 1.01 2.12 0.56 118.73 1.61 70.37 1.2 116.33 1.11 101.52 50.18 3608101246 1.23 2.38 0.494 107.91 1.73 72.98 1.33 136.42 1.14 124.01 53.94 3610100035 0.39 0.64 0.094 121.18 0.8 82.07 0.47 147.33 0.26 96.61 5.06 4200100015 0.93 2.09 0.152 141.67 2.04 86.16 1.31 219.7 1.17 208.41 68.78 4200300086 1.05 1.4 0.237 82.45 1.18 72.4 0.87 88.05 0.35 39.65 -0.64 4200300215 0.86 0.950.178 71.34 0.79 77 0.62 80.27 0.09 17.35 -22.35 4202701005 0.9 0.66 0.405 48.97 0.54 79.93 0.44 63.07 -0.24 -19.58 -51.65 4202901005 1.8 1.38 0.176 61.77 1.36 77.83 1.11 73.35 -0.43 -1.66 -38.26 4204304015 1.65 1.64 0.237 71.12 1.61 71.12 1.17 96.97 -0.01 51.45 3.81 4204500025 0.86 1.22 0.437 81.58 0.87 77.67 0.7 136.05 0.36 101.49 26.22 4204900035 1.12 0.50.159 70.18 1.24 98.98 0.79 68.59 -0.62 -37.67 -79.77 4206920065 0.56 0.47 0.039 60.27 0.49 65.38 0.34 59.93 -0.09 -3.24 -32.95 4207100075 2.93 3.650.101 64.6 2.64 55.73 1.9 87.09 0.72 64.06 24.764209500255 0.91 1.31 0.513 94.43 1.42 71.83 0.85 87.38 0.4 41.11 3.11

4209903015 0.73 1.250.132 126.55 1.56 75.35 0.92 138.22 0.53 103.17 22.89 4210100047 1.16 1.51 0.403 73.65 1.13 71.18 0.85 106.78 0.36 66.22 10.21 4210101365 1 1.06 0.385 68.56 0.83 81.06 0.68 137.93 0.06 95.68 16.46 4212550015 0.75 0.9 0.009 103.55 1.06 96.16 0.77 129.24 0.15 57.62 -23.33 4212900085 1.03 0.89 0.061 72.42 0.96 79.57 0.74 74.48 -0.13 5.61 -31.13 4213300085 1.49 1.74 0.186 72.43 1.34 71.3 1.08 91.63 0.25 50.5 8.24 4400700225 0.52 0.850.273 81.57 0.59 65.66 0.43 97.45 0.33 67.12 17.84 4400710105 0.49 0.94 0.052 127.11 0.86 91.5 0.62 147.31 0.45 97.65 10.99 5000700125 0.51 0.450.013 85.14 0.65 91.58 0.44 100.04 -0.07 11.62 -51.61 5152000065 0.92 0.42 0.054 61.27 0.69 87.96 0.56 58.1 -0.5 -44.21 -77.28 5176000205 0.6 0.61 0.193 79.76 0.72 91.75 0.48 81.64 0.01 -2.01 -53.19 5177000145 0.72 0.34 0.006 68.47 0.6 105.07 0.49 66.41 -0.37 -49.2 -91.07NMB, %N

71.1230 30.0422 6.3622 -8.4338 44.1111 -72.6224 -20.8946 -44.0758 406.44 6 147.5929 152.0822 7.7521 2.7739 34.3437 74.6534 70.7819 125.8329 67.4236 157.5545 94.7644 -18.1721 -32.4641 -6.2737 109.5614 93.0136 67.3946 125.9723 32.8852 9.9232 -26.4821 -23.5618 -0.5422 42.2921 -55.5515 -16.1919 24.562044.7216

72.419 30.9842 6.5122 20.1428 -12.9728 16.5822 62.7716 93.214 -13.1343 -53.8721 2.2335 -52.0516obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

20020517 1.02 1.4 0.578 53.73 0.74 38.34 0.55 46.94 0.38 30.57 19.1 20020520 1.04 1.43 0.675 39.51 0.48 34.49 0.41 44.59 0.39 42.89 32.63 20020523 1.75 2.97 0.617 70.94 1.38 53.62 1.24 115.09 1.22 113.61 52.02 20020526 2.42 3.07 0.197 50.84 1.66 49.82 1.23 77.25 0.66 52.61 18.08 20020529 3.15 2.86 0.044 39.6 1.39 43.31 1.25 40.56 -0.29 -8.03 -18.45 20020601 1.75 1.96 0.655 27.09 0.62 26.83 0.47 30.98 0.21 18.89 12.25 20020604 1.04 1.31 0.739 40.09 0.5 38.47 0.42 54.03 0.27 47.67 31.32 20020607 0.48 0.550.386 34.85 0.25 30.37 0.17 37.04 0.07 19.62 9.93 20020610 2.3 3 0.903 32.35 0.97 56.38 0.74 188.64 0.7 187.79 55.51 20020613 2.02 2.02 0.441 29.33 0.8 31.67 0.59 41.57 0 21.9 7.9 20020616 1.21 2.6 0.592 115.24 1.79 66.11 1.39 135.42 1.39 135.42 66.11 20020619 2.63 3.84 0.36 57.15 1.92 50.73 1.5 86.56 1.22 79.39 42.15 20020622 3.14 4.11 0.137 50.38 1.92 44.34 1.58 52.44 0.97 37.01 21.57 20020625 4.94 3.650.836 30.45 1.97 44.43 1.5 54.89 -1.28 9.77 -11.77 20020628 1.34 1.48 0.772 21.1 0.38 22.04 0.28 25.86 0.14 19.45 14.96 20020701 3.75 3.03 0.504 31.66 1.73 29.7 1.19 30.78 -0.72 -3.26 -12.88 20020704 2.3 1.77 0.6 28 0.82 29.76 0.64 26.62 -0.53 -16.61 -21.73 20020707 20020710 1.88 0.94 0.76 51.81 1.15 70.11 0.97 61.84 -0.94 -20.24 -47.48 20020713 1.24 2.29 0.149 92.13 1.36 63.74 1.14 107.94 1.05 102.3 56.57 20020716 1.48 1.49 0.763 32.76 0.58 44.08 0.48 57.26 0.01 32.51 13.7 20020719 6.23 4.7 0.855 26.92 2.05 33.74 1.68 29.04 -1.53 -19.14 -25.65 20020722 3.14 2.76 0.252 37.12 1.28 39.91 1.17 43.11 -0.39 5.66 -4.52 20020725 0.73 1.29 0.321 97.71 0.88 84.67 0.71 274.89 0.56 268.51 76.44 20020728 3.19 3.8 0.596 36.45 1.5 31.31 1.16 34.85 0.61 18.38 11.06 20020731 1.5 1.58 0.653 24.46 0.54 23.61 0.37 25.1 0.08 9.45 4.81 20020803 2.21 2.38 0.398 35.5 0.94 38.98 0.79 51.32 0.17 33.38 17.63 20020806 0.65 0.81 0.669 52.17 0.44 59.87 0.34 129.99 0.16 121.75 49.83 20020809 0.33 1.06 0.551 224.87 0.92 112.08 0.73 331 0.73 331 112.08 20020812 4.53 5.36 0.084 38.9 2.25 36.29 1.76 46.28 0.83 28.83 15.11 20020815 2.01 2.84 0.204 58.05 1.36 49.39 1.17 72.95 0.82 65 39.99 20020818 2.78 2.61 0.704 20.06 0.69 23.23 0.56 20.99 -0.18 -8.06 -11.79 20020821 0.93 1.63 0.698 75.57 0.79 66.92 0.7 144.51 0.7 144.51 66.92 20020824 1.75 2.62 0.004 81.97 1.91 69.1 1.43 182.34 0.87 161.51 42.26 20020827 1.38 2.28 0.731 65.92 1.03 54.31 0.91 86.93 0.91 86.93 54.31 20020830 0.55 1.29 0.17 136.49 0.93 85.46 0.75 270.38 0.74 269.19 84.2220020902 0.57 0.82 0.791 52 0.43 58.62 0.29 125.16 0.25 117.24 49.02

20020905 0.7 1.02 0.649 51.48 0.49 47.16 0.36 75.95 0.32 72.32 43.16 20020908 1.35 2.87 0.215 117.63 2.02 68.27 1.59 124.65 1.52 119.08 61.92 20020911 1.2 2.02 0.018 75.76 1.35 56.29 0.91 156.36 0.82 150.96 50.29 20020914 2.32 3.39 0.222 49.99 1.5 38.77 1.16 58.85 1.07 55.56 35.19 20020917 2.18 2.76 0.589 38.95 0.99 38.62 0.85 50.78 0.58 43.62 30.33 20020920 1.92 2.47 0.37 54.76 1.2 52.69 1.05 79.14 0.55 67.4 38.52 20020923 0.95 1.37 0.267 61.27 0.71 51.15 0.58 81.13 0.42 71.45 39.92 20020926 0.63 1.21 0.309 91.5 0.63 61.81 0.58 98.64 0.58 98.64 61.81 20020929 1.7 2.22 0.753 37.72 0.8 41.66 0.64 72.13 0.52 67.07 36.04NMB, %N

37.6712 37.3841 69.6919 27.2441 -9.1618 11.8438 25.9619 15.4840 30.5912 -0.0642 115.2418 46.2239 30.820 -25.9831 10.111 -19.1441 -23.0720

-5020 85.0143 0.8523 -24.6143 -12.3412 77.2241 19.2820 5.6241 7.5922 25.2538 224.8712 18.4238 40.8819 -6.342 75.5721 49.6443 65.9215 133.853244.5716

44.9145 112.2521 68.4641 46.0220 26.5441 28.7322 44.7931 91.521 30.4243obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, %MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

0900190035 1.09 1.50.331 69.3 1.11 59.98 0.75 96.23 0.41 77.9 34.26 1000100035 2.4 2.6 0.81 30.1 0.95 33.06 0.72 39.57 0.19 23.25 13.72 1000320045 2.51 2.66 0.861 28.12 0.98 31.62 0.71 55.13 0.15 43.21 18.04 1100100435 2.4 2.47 0.697 27.54 0.81 30.94 0.66 37.98 0.06 20.77 10.64 2400300195 2.22 2.34 0.934 18.07 0.5 24.81 0.4 34.21 0.13 27.56 17.75 2400300196 2.56 1.98 0.867 30.19 1.13 32.34 0.77 32.84 -0.59 -2.63 -10.21 2400530015 2.24 2.16 0.708 29.47 0.94 30.83 0.66 35.94 -0.07 17.34 8.01 2451000535 2.79 2.32 0.735 28.37 1.13 29.51 0.79 28.39 -0.47 -4.39 -10.23 2501300085 1.23 2.36 0.609 92.7 1.37 67.54 1.14 120.56 1.14 120.56 67.54 2502500425 1.34 2.39 0.555 85.74 1.46 66.55 1.15 137.61 1.05 132.78 61 2502500426 1.13 2.39 0.515 114.14 1.59 82.76 1.29 244.85 1.26 242.49 80.22 3301100205 0.82 1.12 0.773 56.56 0.55 61.69 0.46 126.13 0.3 118.94 53.3 3301500145 0.85 1.17 0.767 50.38 0.56 55.21 0.43 119.76 0.33 113.58 47.85 3400700035 2.17 2.69 0.585 50.01 1.42 45.96 1.09 74.86 0.51 62.78 31.59 3402300065 1.64 2.150.533 58.04 1.2 56.26 0.95 101.27 0.51 87.58 37.62 3402300066 1.67 2.4 0.591 55.79 1.36 48.98 0.93 106.68 0.73 99.03 40.48 3402730015 1.58 2.12 0.385 66.83 1.39 57.38 1.05 89.6 0.54 70.62 31.09 3403900045 2.01 2.650.518 51.37 1.44 48 1.03 88.24 0.64 72.96 28.51 3600500836 1.63 3.12 0.568 96.37 2.07 71.53 1.57 164.03 1.49 160.01 66.28 3600501105 1.98 3.58 0.674 82.66 1.99 72.95 1.64 160.66 1.59 158.56 70.22 3602900056 2.58 2.36 0.801 42.88 1.51 54.54 1.11 108.57 -0.22 78.82 18 3603100035 0.83 0.64 0.781 47.83 0.66 59.93 0.4 116.96 -0.19 83.85 15.71 3605560015 1.85 2.17 0.735 38.05 0.97 44.71 0.7 78.57 0.32 68.79 33.34 3606100625 1.21 2.4 0.286 104.2 1.7 69.28 1.27 141.49 1.19 139.75 67.42 3608101246 1.94 2.91 0.51 65.05 1.65 58.68 1.26 103.94 0.97 94.78 46.46 3610100035 1.78 1.72 0.758 32.15 0.82 33.37 0.57 39.7 -0.06 20.62 10.43 4200100015 2.59 3.38 0.536 41.43 1.73 34.59 1.07 65.42 0.79 59.94 28.27 4200300086 2.88 3.09 0.678 30.16 1.1 32.62 0.87 42.36 0.21 28.57 16.86 4200300215 2.68 2.86 0.732 27.06 1 29.59 0.73 40.54 0.18 29.34 16.61 4202701005 2.43 1.99 0.745 34.74 1.35 37.58 0.84 58.77 -0.43 29.27 1.28 4202901005 2.77 2.7 0.952 20.02 0.79 26.38 0.56 35.35 -0.07 19.43 8.14 4204304015 2.96 2.99 0.729 32.68 1.24 35.63 0.97 45.22 0.03 26.37 13.55 4204500025 1.99 2.650.841 44.36 1.12 47.22 0.88 138.43 0.65 136.37 44.91 4204900035 1.94 1.68 0.64 31.76 0.82 38.88 0.61 41.06 -0.26 5.41 -6.81 4206920065 2.14 1.53 0.653 43.29 1.38 47.16 0.93 144.69 -0.61 101.06 -9.24 4207100075 3.7 4.28 0.594 39.5 2.24 36.57 1.46 53.13 0.59 41.08 22.924209500255 1.59 2.23 0.57 50.38 1.32 39.42 0.8 57.71 0.64 52.45 33.22

4209903015 1.99 2.73 0.618 53 1.42 48.37 1.06 78.8 0.74 71.37 39.26 4210100047 2.33 2.65 0.6 42.26 1.33 42.92 0.99 86.74 0.31 72.15 25.43 4210101365 2.56 3.01 0.741 42.09 1.4 41.68 1.08 59.33 0.44 51.07 31.81 4212550015 2.11 2.21 0.66 29.98 0.77 30.96 0.63 38.58 0.11 23.19 13.53 4212900085 3.08 2.44 0.655 32.06 1.43 34.93 0.99 34.4 -0.64 -2.49 -11.27 4213300085 3.12 3.18 0.821 21.12 0.96 22.86 0.66 26.93 0.06 15.43 9.2 4400700225 0.95 1.58 0.306 96.36 1.2 84.39 0.91 227.58 0.63 219.8 74.29 4400710105 0.92 1.74 0.289 111.45 1.34 90.38 1.02 295.73 0.83 287.62 80.96 5000700125 1.3 1.16 0.805 41.46 0.85 55.37 0.54 99.4 -0.14 71.18 20.34 5152000065 2.44 2.02 0.203 38.6 1.2 40.45 0.94 43.56 -0.42 2.35 -10.99 5176000205 1.93 2.28 0.512 34.1 0.83 35.41 0.66 47.9 0.35 37.57 23.54 5177000145 2.69 1.72 0.187 41.26 1.54 46.05 1.11 36.66 -0.97 -24.9 -36.25NMB, %N

37.731 8.0922 5.8422 2.738 5.7711 -22.8625 -3.2950 -16.8459 92.7 6 78.7528 111.6719 36.3922 38.8643 23.6837 31.3334 43.6719 34.2931 31.9336 91.7545 80.1944 -8.4821 -22.643 17.2439 97.7614 50.3536 -3.4646 30.4323 7.3552 6.6532 -17.9221 -2.6518 1.0622 32.8821 -13.4316 -28.4419 15.842040.3716

37.1319 13.4642 17.3320 5.1229 -20.9231 1.8922 66.8516 89.9814 -11.143 -17.2521 18.0636 -36.1720obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, %MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

20020517 0.59 1.03 0.318 77.54 0.83 51.14 0.46 154.69 0.44 142.49 37.01 20020520 0.5 0.750.313 61.86 0.47 44.64 0.31 65.74 0.25 54.3 31 20020523 0.8 1.34 0.048 89.22 1.06 59.47 0.71 165.86 0.54 151.88 42.16 20020526 0.45 0.84 0.153 98.99 0.65 60.59 0.45 129.42 0.38 115.57 42.4 20020529 0.93 1.050.303 43.77 0.7 35.85 0.41 44.63 0.11 22.3 8.51 20020601 0.5 0.74 0.038 69.22 0.64 46.44 0.34 102.56 0.24 82.69 20.59 20020604 0.63 1.01 0.255 83.4 0.68 64.38 0.52 126.54 0.38 113.88 48.88 20020607 0.52 0.51 0.205 39.33 0.31 38.23 0.21 43.27 -0.01 9.65 -4.77 20020610 0.73 1.22 0.074 78.27 1.06 53.36 0.57 159.35 0.49 143.32 29.54 20020613 0.79 0.71 0.115 49.26 0.56 51.86 0.39 70.42 -0.08 23.27 -11.18 20020616 0.47 1.08 0.565 139.24 0.96 79.11 0.66 144.37 0.61 122.14 46.42 20020619 0.81 1.02 0.312 53.94 0.72 42.15 0.43 58.77 0.22 40.43 19.3 20020622 0.64 1.41 0.113 126.31 1.2 70.68 0.81 213.24 0.77 202.54 55.95 20020625 0.83 1.21 0.047 64.63 0.97 45.29 0.53 109.96 0.38 90.79 21.71 20020628 0.79 1.32 0.252 82.36 1.12 44.34 0.65 104.67 0.53 93.01 30.83 20020701 0.7 1.11 0.046 81.66 0.9 58.4 0.57 132.83 0.4 119.12 41.49 20020704 0.52 1.08 0.453 111.52 0.79 69.36 0.57 149.9 0.57 147.56 66.72 20020707 20020710 0.51 0.8 0.528 75.27 0.53 60.13 0.39 110.15 0.29 90.43 33.86 20020713 0.49 1.01 0.178 109.04 0.77 68.88 0.54 156.98 0.51 153.62 65.15 20020716 0.71 0.89 0.508 44.57 0.46 38.75 0.32 57.85 0.18 40.72 18.83 20020719 0.76 0.99 0.16 55.96 0.77 42.99 0.43 76.6 0.23 61.57 24.23 20020722 0.7 1.36 0.337 101.73 1.14 53.26 0.71 96.35 0.67 88.12 43.97 20020725 0.56 0.69 0.12 49.54 0.46 38.55 0.28 65.07 0.13 47.23 16.43 20020728 0.55 1.33 0.547 150.03 1.11 84.95 0.82 183.52 0.78 173.41 70.7 20020731 0.72 0.850.317 43.85 0.43 38.23 0.32 45.56 0.13 25.21 12.89 20020803 0.59 1.21 0.452 115.92 0.96 62.72 0.68 112.76 0.63 107.46 56.51 20020806 0.4 0.50.178 62.47 0.4 50.6 0.25 65.23 0.1 34.51 9.04 20020809 0.6 1.29 0.301 116.74 1.17 52.37 0.7 104.51 0.69 99.27 46.71 20020812 0.85 1.150.157 64.14 0.79 48.94 0.54 76.73 0.31 62.99 31.49 20020815 0.74 1.150.065 93.6 1.06 63.15 0.7 100.1 0.41 90.59 48.93 20020818 0.47 1.03 0.675 129.71 0.92 70.02 0.6 180.4 0.56 169.45 56.02 20020821 0.6 1.2 0.237 110.94 0.95 66.03 0.67 120.32 0.6 113.24 57.63 20020824 0.5 0.97 0.486 107.89 0.84 66.12 0.54 122.89 0.46 104.48 42.08 20020827 1.01 1.57 0.446 72.9 1.05 52.64 0.74 85.24 0.55 77.39 43.18 20020830 0.59 0.84 0.478 63.16 0.62 45.33 0.37 61.77 0.24 41.37 18.8220020902 0.38 0.78 0.121 122.77 0.61 74.98 0.47 171.9 0.4 161.02 60.74

20020905 0.57 0.8 0.22 63.21 0.54 47.05 0.36 70.82 0.24 55.18 26.41 20020908 0.74 1.54 0.73 111.92 1.1 65.55 0.83 109.85 0.81 105 59.03 20020911 0.6 0.69 0.367 43.59 0.4 39.85 0.26 45.2 0.09 17.29 2.67 20020914 0.45 1.28 0.52 185.18 1.06 96.49 0.84 281.39 0.83 279.92 94.94 20020917 0.85 0.950.284 43.88 0.55 37.45 0.38 46.34 0.1 21.9 7.18 20020920 0.86 1.19 0.061 73.05 1.01 49.89 0.63 72.57 0.33 58.2 30.11 20020923 0.49 0.74 0.281 71.16 0.64 45.8 0.35 68.98 0.25 51.36 23.52 20020926 0.76 0.9 0.352 44.14 0.47 37.57 0.34 49.92 0.14 34.99 19.6 20020929 0.49 1.1 0.098 132.81 0.9 73.51 0.65 206.58 0.61 202.03 68.31NMB, %N

73.7812 49.9343 66.8821 84.9243 12.0619 48.4437 61.1220 -2.2240 67.612 -9.8541 128.4418 26.7440 120.8321 46.2732 67.5111 57.4742 110.1522

57.1122 103.3645 25.5124 29.9245 95.3812 22.5544 142.3622 17.5942 106.6923 26.3841 114.0912 36.0238 54.7122 121.2742 99.6521 92.7245 54.6618 41.2633103.1118

41.446 109.1921 15.0442 183.6520 11.542 38.0122 51.8430 18.1322 124.1643obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

0900190035 0.52 0.61 0.326 41.49 0.27 40.52 0.22 54.26 0.09 31.1 10.64 1000100035 0.41 0.56 0.014 64.01 0.3 58.73 0.26 91.52 0.15 70.07 30.06 1000320045 0.72 0.79 0.001 27.37 0.25 27.71 0.2 32.5 0.07 16.9 9.28 1100100435 0.58 1.71 0.136 197.74 1.19 99.5 1.14 226.08 1.14 226.08 99.5 2400300195 0.52 0.750.409 44.09 0.29 38.34 0.23 55.32 0.22 54.62 37.62 2400300196 0.46 0.86 0.101 88.23 0.48 61.02 0.41 143.77 0.4 142.98 60.19 2400530015 0.62 1.48 0.246 138.68 0.94 82.42 0.86 165.93 0.86 165.93 82.42 2451000535 1 1.3 0.333 35.35 0.43 32.95 0.35 45.16 0.3 41.71 29.12 2501300085 0.27 0.86 0.258 213.56 0.64 102.08 0.59 271.95 0.59 271.95 102.08 2502500425 0.88 1.66 0.001 91.77 0.93 65.25 0.8 125.64 0.78 123.75 63.21 2502500426 0.84 1.62 0.007 97.71 0.97 70.31 0.82 180.99 0.78 177.93 66.92 3301100205 0.49 0.9 0.29 87.63 0.49 61.42 0.43 107.55 0.42 106.57 60.39 3301500145 0.43 0.83 0.217 91.68 0.48 62.61 0.4 124.02 0.39 123.1 61.6 3400700035 0.58 1 0.497 72 0.46 55.52 0.42 94.15 0.42 93.67 55.02 3402300065 0.52 0.76 0.092 58.06 0.36 48.83 0.3 82.79 0.24 74.74 40.02 3402300066 0.53 0.79 0.146 54.07 0.38 43.19 0.29 74.38 0.25 68.87 36.87 3402730015 0.34 0.57 0.179 77.13 0.32 57.72 0.26 134.13 0.23 127.01 49.63 3403900045 1.95 1.28 0.084 44.34 1.17 47.41 0.86 40.56 -0.67 -17.25 -30.01 3600500836 1.05 2.21 0.338 112.44 1.4 67.24 1.18 122.1 1.16 119.88 64.39 3600501105 0.97 3.57 0.12 269.11 2.72 116.38 2.6 472.83 2.6 472.83 116.38 3602900056 0.74 0.63 0.155 35.66 0.33 38.83 0.27 41.19 -0.12 1.02 -11.13 3603100035 0.2 0.13 0.137 44.52 0.12 50.88 0.09 40.19 -0.07 -22.56 -36.95 3605560015 0.45 0.550.092 42.95 0.25 44.95 0.19 74.96 0.09 56.42 20.36 3606100625 1.11 2.46 0.235 122.15 1.48 75.13 1.35 140.48 1.35 140.48 75.13 3608101246 0.7 1.52 0.116 124.12 1.03 76.46 0.87 174.97 0.82 171.61 72.37 3610100035 0.25 0.23 0.232 30.87 0.1 34.31 0.08 41.1 -0.02 6.6 -9.38 4200100015 0.36 0.32 0.051 36.73 0.18 36.78 0.13 34.55 -0.04 -7.09 -16.96 4200300086 0.91 0.99 0.534 21.28 0.25 22.47 0.19 27.75 0.08 18.41 12.19 4200300215 0.83 0.93 0.43 32.39 0.33 34.46 0.27 46.97 0.09 34.55 19.96 4202701005 0.43 0.450.327 27.93 0.15 28.11 0.12 30.49 0.01 13.65 7.44 4202901005 0.38 0.49 0.058 40.06 0.2 35.27 0.15 52.44 0.11 45.69 27.32 4204304015 0.71 0.6 0.124 36.31 0.33 38.76 0.26 40.8 -0.12 1.95 -10.5 4204500025 0.51 0.76 0.153 53.58 0.31 45.38 0.27 71.63 0.25 69.15 42.65 4204900035 0.5 0.39 0.145 39.33 0.24 48.87 0.2 76.47 -0.11 25.31 -17.98 4206920065 0.61 0.38 0.261 43.05 0.32 50.49 0.26 41.8 -0.23 -28.86 -42.48 4207100075 0.64 0.73 0.064 36.96 0.34 33.73 0.24 44.16 0.08 31.22 17.254209500255 0.52 0.53 0.284 31.81 0.23 32.38 0.16 48 0.02 27.64 8.22

4209903015 0.33 0.29 0.007 46.16 0.21 54.41 0.15 181.48 -0.05 135.66 -6.4 4210100047 0.69 1.09 0.279 58.68 0.46 48.81 0.4 80.46 0.4 79.73 48.05 4210101365 0.82 1.50.431 84.12 0.73 65.28 0.69 130.36 0.68 129.64 64.53 4212550015 0.48 0.42 0.128 35.84 0.21 38.32 0.17 34.82 -0.06 -6.8 -16.18 4212900085 0.85 0.49 0.296 42.61 0.44 50.98 0.36 38.33 -0.35 -36.85 -49.61 4213300085 1.05 0.650.035 44.9 0.55 52.84 0.47 42.36 -0.4 -32.11 -44.47 4400700225 0.46 0.76 0.003 65.99 0.38 47.97 0.3 79.8 0.3 79.39 47.55 4400710105 0.44 0.78 0.028 78.61 0.41 54.85 0.34 87.84 0.34 87.43 54.44 5000700125 0.37 0.44 0.06 40.98 0.21 39.97 0.15 67.84 0.07 49.37 17.51 5152000065 0.62 0.650.457 18.91 0.14 20.37 0.12 22.35 0.03 9.27 5.82 5176000205 0.37 0.650.154 77.66 0.34 61.98 0.29 148.67 0.27 144.24 56.78 5177000145 0.54 0.72 0.272 37.61 0.26 35.38 0.2 53.75 0.18 51.16 32.64NMB, %N

17.2132 35.922 9.3422 197.7437 43.2211 86.4325 138.6850 30.1659 213.5635 89.0929 92.2228 85.922 90.8545 71.4937 46.434 47.3520 67.4434 -34.5137 110.0445 269.1143 -15.7222 -32.8945 20.5640 122.1514 116.2835 -8.9646 -10.922 8.7352 11.2732 2.7321 28.4319 -16.5322 49.6721 -21.8116 -37.9219 13.02212.917

-14.7317 57.6842 82.9121 -11.8229 -41.9731 -37.9415 65.6316 77.913 18.9245 4.4121 72.4836 33.4620obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

20020517 4.74 3.56 0.071 54.07 3.84 52.99 2.56 90.13 -1.18 32.48 -23.15 20020520 2.4 2.73 0 77.09 2.56 72.24 1.85 168.34 0.32 140.31 32.24 20020523 5.08 4.9 0.094 41.91 3.39 43.07 2.13 166.96 -0.18 130.25 -4.07 20020526 5.1 3.3 0.156 48.58 3.33 57.42 2.48 51.84 -1.8 -17.07 -36.64 20020529 4.47 3.17 0.22 42.39 2.34 47.05 1.9 39.8 -1.31 -23.58 -35.58 20020601 7.12 2.36 0.043 72.86 5.46 109.46 5.19 98.19 -4.76 -36.07 -100.04 20020604 4.64 2.9 0.024 56.71 3.83 66.19 2.63 116.01 -1.75 49.62 -25.61 20020607 3.13 1.44 0 61.8 2.33 80.57 1.93 93.53 -1.69 -5.29 -63.04 20020610 7.17 4.01 0.009 64.48 5.9 72.47 4.62 140.45 -3.16 57.79 -43.93 20020613 4.27 1.84 0.018 60.16 3.49 73.19 2.57 53.16 -2.43 -41.79 -66.49 20020616 3.97 2.86 0.261 49.21 2.63 59.01 1.95 54.97 -1.11 -4.71 -27.37 20020619 6.55 3.46 0.165 52.72 3.93 72.44 3.45 60.38 -3.1 -31.04 -56.58 20020622 8.4 4.24 0.026 63.42 5.87 86.79 5.33 113.48 -4.16 11.58 -62.63 20020625 9.55 3.94 0.03 66.95 7.07 96.45 6.4 142.93 -5.61 30.38 -74.63 20020628 6.3 3.27 0.006 66.56 5.42 84.69 4.19 82.73 -3.03 -9.31 -55.32 20020701 13.3 4.29 0.041 71.38 9.96 108.01 9.49 84.12 -9.01 -50.38 -100.44 20020704 9.23 2.93 0.042 68.22 7.1 103.29 6.3 65.21 -6.3 -65.21 -103.29 20020707 20020710 9.53 2.14 0.142 78.48 8.31 128.21 7.48 163.65 -7.39 18.98 -111.67 20020713 7.7 3.46 0.048 57.2 4.82 80.01 4.4 58.13 -4.23 -49.89 -75.44 20020716 9.94 2.94 0.061 70.44 8.07 104 7.01 66.49 -7.01 -66.49 -104 20020719 10.22 2.93 0.028 72.08 7.96 112.03 7.37 70.42 -7.28 -69.6 -111.28 20020722 11.2 3.79 0.019 66.19 7.83 103.4 7.41 65.73 -7.41 -65.73 -103.4 20020725 5.43 2.08 0.023 63.61 4.06 89.38 3.45 59.95 -3.35 -57.61 -87.37 20020728 7.84 3.6 0.128 58.21 5.17 89.05 4.56 149.56 -4.23 42.4 -72.27 20020731 8.58 2.62 0.125 69.47 6.27 107.03 5.96 68.64 -5.96 -68.64 -107.03 20020803 9.64 3.43 0.257 64.42 6.7 98.91 6.21 64.64 -6.21 -64.64 -98.91 20020806 3.92 1.56 0.175 62.55 3.2 87.11 2.45 59.13 -2.36 -57.02 -85.38 20020809 5.84 4.26 0.198 38.62 2.61 47.77 2.25 37.86 -1.58 -27.71 -39.76 20020812 11.88 4.13 0.025 66.56 8.57 98.65 7.91 65.61 -7.76 -62.27 -96.12 20020815 8.2 2.99 0.001 66.76 6.26 95.1 5.47 63.42 -5.21 -58.94 -91.47 20020818 7.46 2.92 0.307 62.01 5.14 96.49 4.63 62.92 -4.55 -62.11 -95.74 20020821 6.39 3.49 0.107 49.81 3.68 63.83 3.18 46.77 -2.9 -42.42 -60.29 20020824 5.09 2.69 0.214 53.43 3.41 69.23 2.72 49.69 -2.4 -43.53 -64.72 20020827 8.5 4.76 0.192 48.28 4.8 62.8 4.1 46.21 -3.74 -41.53 -58.57 20020830 3.06 2.450.064 52.57 1.97 59.66 1.61 81.22 -0.61 25.05 -16.6520020902 3.13 2.550.111 40.73 1.7 45.12 1.27 45.07 -0.58 -0.38 -15.66

20020905 4.18 3.01 0.12 37.62 2.46 39.59 1.57 33.36 -1.16 -15.94 -26.26 20020908 7.9 5.850.265 32.18 3.27 39.18 2.54 30.47 -2.05 -25.64 -34.83 20020911 4.02 2.81 0.312 37.77 1.96 46.65 1.52 35.93 -1.22 -26.4 -38.84 20020914 6.9 5.06 0.173 37.15 3.01 46.5 2.56 41.2 -1.84 -17.33 -29.62 20020917 5.63 3.48 0.241 38.23 3.02 45.89 2.15 34.31 -2.15 -34.11 -45.69 20020920 5.54 3.93 0 46.54 3.2 50.56 2.58 42.97 -1.61 -22.01 -36.46 20020923 2.77 2.46 0.088 47.61 1.84 46.8 1.32 47.85 -0.31 2.44 -13.25 20020926 3.86 3.11 0.193 31.44 1.61 34.19 1.21 29.2 -0.75 -11.3 -19.14 20020929 5.65 4.4 0.025 39.54 3.23 38.41 2.23 33.81 -1.25 -9.62 -19.14NMB, %N

-24.8411 13.3442 -3.5220 -35.3342 -29.1919 -66.936 -37.6120 -53.9240 -44.0812 -56.8738 -27.9918 -47.2539 -49.5821 -58.7132 -48.111 -67.7241 -68.2222

-77.5922 -54.9845 -70.4424 -71.2846 -66.1911 -61.7243 -5422 -69.4742 -64.4223 -60.2241 -27.0412 -65.2838 -63.5721 -60.9242 -45.3521 -47.2145 -44.0218 -19.8932-18.4518

-27.8846 -25.9621 -30.2941 -26.6220 -38.1442 -2922 -11.2530 -19.4822 -22.0544obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

0900190035 5.34 2.21 0.141 59.83 4.31 74.23 3.2 51.32 -3.14 -45.46 -70.2 1000100035 5.05 1.86 0.313 66.04 4.21 88.79 3.34 61.7 -3.19 -49.8 -79.83 1000320045 6.31 2.48 0.202 61.46 4.76 78.38 3.88 53.89 -3.83 -51.27 -76.09 1100100435 7.84 4.12 0.209 50.48 4.85 61.28 3.96 48.55 -3.73 -35.22 -53.25 2400300195 6.03 3.41 0.173 48.82 3.91 59.67 2.94 48.9 -2.62 -27.95 -46.38 2400300196 8.76 3.39 0.457 61.35 6.27 80.86 5.38 55.65 -5.38 -55.65 -80.86 2400530015 7.2 3.51 0.208 53.85 4.79 68.98 3.88 51.87 -3.69 -40.71 -62.52 2451000535 8.7 3.93 0.204 54.97 5.76 70.26 4.78 49.99 -4.77 -49.61 -69.9 2501300085 5.01 3.24 0.216 41.25 2.92 45.73 2.07 35.61 -1.77 -23.86 -36.16 2502500425 7.19 4.09 0.044 49.31 4.4 59.2 3.55 46.87 -3.11 -29.14 -46.57 2502500426 8.82 4.01 0.021 60.33 6.88 74.54 5.32 57.35 -4.81 -32.33 -59.18 3301100205 6.58 3.96 0.372 41.98 3.93 46.59 2.76 35.09 -2.62 -29.1 -41.4 3301500145 6.54 3.28 0.15 51.93 4.56 62.09 3.4 43.77 -3.26 -39.89 -58.57 3400700035 6.61 2.8 0.158 60.11 4.97 74.42 3.97 53.21 -3.81 -43 -67.32 3402300065 5.94 2.52 0.024 64.05 5.15 77.22 3.8 69.66 -3.42 -17.9 -56.3 3402300066 5.45 2.63 0.109 56.89 4.17 67.47 3.1 50.52 -2.82 -32.17 -55.51 3402730015 5.8 2.3 0.053 62.6 4.89 76.71 3.63 52.53 -3.5 -42.5 -68.73 3403900045 8.5 3.550.085 60.16 6.12 77.58 5.11 54.66 -4.95 -47.94 -72.4 3600500836 7.39 5.55 0.22 38.13 4.05 43.29 2.82 40.81 -1.84 -5.6 -19.5 3600501105 6.11 9.58 0.114 67.69 5.03 63.05 4.13 256.03 3.48 250.7 56.8 3602900056 6.38 1.99 0.358 69.83 5.27 101.31 4.46 74.93 -4.4 -49.73 -90.16 3603100035 3.32 1.350.171 67.7 3 90.18 2.24 120.58 -1.97 23.23 -56.65 3605560015 4.8 2.73 0.245 55.08 3.4 72.69 2.64 168.02 -2.06 92.86 -30.99 3606100625 7 6.06 0.124 30.59 2.95 31.32 2.14 29.66 -0.94 -1.34 -8.42 3608101246 5.72 4.43 0.255 48.02 3.21 59.65 2.75 151.84 -1.29 97.89 -8.64 3610100035 4.93 1.47 0.058 72.63 4.3 102.96 3.58 68.71 -3.46 -56.84 -95.88 4200100015 6.72 1.71 0.088 75.98 10.13 94.06 5.11 66.56 -5.01 -44.57 -80.88 4200300086 8.59 3.150.147 64.36 6.92 83.45 5.53 57.79 -5.45 -50.54 -78.94 4200300215 7.79 2.69 0.472 67.52 6.64 88.55 5.26 62.12 -5.09 -51.68 -81.25 4202701005 4.77 2.39 0.571 57.13 3.84 64.66 2.72 58.4 -2.38 -16.02 -39.91 4202901005 5.44 1.88 0.289 71.93 4.87 97.74 3.91 75.36 -3.55 -36.55 -75.03 4204304015 6.39 2.39 0.414 63.48 5.08 84.02 4.05 57.7 -4 -52.9 -80.22 4204500025 5.61 2.48 0.066 57.47 4.05 71.84 3.22 50.4 -3.13 -45.87 -67.81 4204900035 5.22 1.36 0.363 74.02 4.56 111.4 3.87 70.56 -3.87 -70.56 -111.4 4206920065 6.47 1.81 0.503 71.98 6.16 93.54 4.65 60.11 -4.65 -60.11 -93.54 4207100075 7.45 2.65 0.39 64.94 5.96 86.94 4.84 58.59 -4.81 -56.26 -84.874209500255 4.78 2 0.095 60.98 4.23 74.73 2.92 52.96 -2.78 -43.59 -67.57

4209903015 7.97 1.42 0.214 82.23 7.75 133.42 6.55 79.13 -6.55 -79.13 -133.42 4210100047 7.15 3.29 0.174 56.61 4.95 69.21 4.05 52.03 -3.86 -38.89 -61.27 4210101365 6.46 3.72 0.024 54.46 4.75 64.39 3.52 65.9 -2.73 -0.02 -29.85 4212550015 6.75 1.99 0.204 70.72 5.71 99.33 4.77 64.66 -4.76 -63.31 -98.1 4212900085 7.98 2.02 0.335 74.69 6.92 111.22 5.96 69.92 -5.96 -69.92 -111.22 4213300085 8.22 2.98 0.525 63.76 5.97 88.62 5.24 60.33 -5.24 -60.33 -88.62 4400700225 6.87 2.89 0 61.86 5.64 79.75 4.25 105.57 -3.97 11.14 -59.16 4400710105 7.96 2.81 0.002 64.67 6.18 87.62 5.15 58.72 -5.15 -58.72 -87.62 5000700125 6.23 2.47 0.034 62.86 5.28 78.86 3.92 95.72 -3.76 -2.03 -68.03 5152000065 6.94 4.12 0.32 46.51 4.31 51.06 3.23 41.47 -2.82 -24.94 -37.78 5176000205 9.25 2.98 0.342 68.34 7.21 99.01 6.32 65.59 -6.27 -63.1 -96.97 5177000145 7.14 2.79 0.144 60.94 6.15 76.71 4.35 52.55 -4.35 -52.55 -76.71NMB, %N

-58.731 -63.2222 -60.6922 -47.5237 -43.511 -61.3525 -51.250 -54.8159 -35.3335 -43.1929 -54.4927 -39.8222 -49.8645 -57.6537 -57.534 -51.7220 -60.434 -58.2637 -24.9345 56.9141 -68.920 -59.343 -42.9837 -13.4114 -22.5334 -70.2845 -74.5622 -63.3952 -65.432 -49.8821 -65.3819 -62.6122 -55.7721 -74.0215 -71.9819 -64.4921-58.1516

-82.2317 -53.9843 -42.3321 -70.5129 -74.6931 -63.7615 -57.8816 -64.6714 -60.3745 -40.6221 -67.8136 -60.9420obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

20020517 0.56 2.11 0.318 290.83 2.09 110.62 1.63 281.86 1.55 269.34 90.56 20020520 0.35 1.7 0.147 390.21 1.54 131.01 1.35 468.25 1.35 468.25 131.01 20020523 1.05 2.7 0.133 162.88 2.09 84.61 1.7 174.73 1.65 170.76 80.22 20020526 0.57 1.91 0.087 238.15 1.59 101.91 1.35 289.87 1.35 288.86 100.78 20020529 0.6 1.88 0.114 217.54 1.77 89.37 1.3 236.22 1.29 234.06 86.99 20020601 0.63 1.550.238 146.99 1.14 76.13 0.92 150.33 0.92 150.33 76.13 20020604 0.45 1.6 0.305 256.04 1.32 103.51 1.15 257.23 1.15 257.09 103.37 20020607 0.38 0.87 0.097 131.48 0.62 80.74 0.5 211.59 0.49 210.74 79.85 20020610 0.73 1.96 0.186 167.46 1.6 79.7 1.23 180.27 1.23 178.42 77.74 20020613 0.43 1.26 0.055 200.67 1.06 98.37 0.87 260.57 0.83 255.34 90.72 20020616 0.27 1.51 0.109 476.68 1.6 129.45 1.28 541.08 1.24 533.55 118.37 20020619 0.67 1.93 0.045 193.47 1.6 97.79 1.3 247.19 1.25 245.26 95.43 20020622 0.52 2.12 0.711 307.34 1.87 109.39 1.6 289.22 1.6 289.22 109.39 20020625 0.83 2.23 0.025 170.65 1.75 89.22 1.41 223.38 1.4 222.64 88.43 20020628 0.59 1.86 0.079 227.2 1.8 89.65 1.35 226.37 1.27 210.77 69.13 20020701 0.58 2.07 0.002 255.7 1.77 106.68 1.49 317.83 1.49 316.89 105.68 20020704 4.59 1.74 0.032 62.18 3.07 93.43 2.86 61.49 -2.86 -61.49 -93.43 20020707 20020710 0.62 1.13 0.396 83.41 0.76 58.21 0.52 96.36 0.5 90.59 50.09 20020713 0.53 1.78 0.016 243.05 1.48 105.77 1.28 293.91 1.26 292.34 103.89 20020716 0.63 1.58 0.104 149.94 1.17 82.47 0.95 185.13 0.95 185.13 82.47 20020719 1.06 2.04 0.06 93.4 1.31 62.29 0.99 137.88 0.98 136.77 61.06 20020722 0.59 2.150.381 261.99 1.84 106.54 1.55 258.13 1.55 258.13 106.54 20020725 0.4 1.28 0.02 224.42 1.11 102.43 0.89 330.87 0.88 329.81 101.31 20020728 0.49 1.96 0.469 297.01 1.76 109.3 1.47 289.54 1.47 289.54 109.3 20020731 0.59 1.69 0.153 185.41 1.31 91.74 1.1 209.52 1.09 208.61 90.74 20020803 0.65 1.78 0.128 171.23 1.46 84.53 1.12 204.59 1.12 204.59 84.53 20020806 0.43 0.950.059 123.51 0.74 68.43 0.54 136.23 0.51 131.47 63.04 20020809 0.6 1.84 0.144 207.69 1.72 81.49 1.25 207.21 1.23 201.42 74.49 20020812 0.74 2.54 0.081 241.71 2.01 108.41 1.8 288.26 1.8 288.26 108.41 20020815 0.62 1.81 0.053 192.11 1.53 90.77 1.19 206.55 1.19 206.55 90.77 20020818 0.48 1.74 0.405 264.16 1.55 104.31 1.26 272.26 1.26 272.26 104.31 20020821 0.54 1.83 0.154 237.04 1.57 105.07 1.29 275.18 1.29 275.18 105.07 20020824 0.41 1.57 0.082 287.04 1.46 108.26 1.17 348.6 1.16 346.88 106.36 20020827 0.63 2.16 0.249 244.67 1.92 103.14 1.54 257.53 1.54 257.53 103.14 20020830 0.36 1.68 0.039 366.45 1.55 123.72 1.32 476.58 1.32 476.58 123.7220020902 0.16 1.28 0.233 687.04 1.22 152.06 1.12 762.24 1.12 762.24 152.06

20020905 0.41 1.86 0.057 349 1.66 124.45 1.44 440.98 1.44 440.98 124.45 20020908 0.54 2.74 0.182 411.39 2.6 126.41 2.2 452.87 2.2 452.87 126.41 20020911 0.66 1.650.055 167.95 1.37 93.16 1.11 226.84 1 220.87 85.69 20020914 0.46 2.66 0.072 480.31 2.51 135.3 2.2 574.43 2.2 574.43 135.3 20020917 0.48 2.23 0.082 364.64 2.05 126.1 1.75 435.91 1.75 435.91 126.1 20020920 0.48 2.29 0.002 372.32 2.21 121.88 1.8 425.44 1.8 425.44 121.88 20020923 0.32 1.67 0.074 427.28 1.64 126.93 1.36 469.87 1.36 469.87 126.93 20020926 0.38 1.750.424 355.16 1.52 126.34 1.36 402.69 1.36 402.69 126.34 20020929 0.36 2.2 0.044 505.65 2.03 143.72 1.83 651.69 1.83 651.69 143.72NMB, %N

277.212 390.2143 158.0920 237.7843 214.6818 146.9938 255.9619 129.1341 166.9412 190.5840 464.4417 186.8638 307.3419 169.4131 213.3911 254.341 -62.1820

81.220 239.2443 149.9422 92.7343 261.9912 222.3942 297.0120 183.7240 171.2322 117.9139 204.0712 241.7136 192.1119 264.1640 237.0420 285.243 244.6717 366.4534687.0416

34944 411.3920 151.1141 480.3120 364.6442 372.3222 427.2831 355.1621 505.6542obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3MNB, %MFB, %

0900190035 0.49 1.03 0 146.3 0.9 90.36 0.72 201.78 0.53 192.61 77.07 1000100035 0.58 1.2 0.061 132.32 0.92 87.11 0.76 231.45 0.63 224.79 78.36 1000320045 0.52 1.49 0.078 186.61 1.05 98.99 0.97 251.81 0.97 251.81 98.99 1100100435 0.72 1.69 0.024 159.85 1.28 97.05 1.15 215.72 0.97 211.7 91.09 2400300195 0.57 1.550.088 174.16 1.15 97.92 0.99 311.61 0.99 311.61 97.92 2400300196 0.93 1.48 0.071 126.78 1.39 100.24 1.18 221.89 0.55 207.89 80.11 2400530015 0.77 2.16 0.037 208.24 1.8 110.65 1.6 314.97 1.4 309.76 103.89 2451000535 0.96 1.96 0.023 120.3 1.3 81.05 1.16 161.03 1 156.74 75.29 2501300085 0.3 2.51 0.101 724.4 2.28 156.43 2.21 845.62 2.21 845.62 156.43 2502500425 0.74 2.9 0.014 297.67 2.33 124.87 2.22 483.14 2.15 481.6 123.15 2502500426 0.9 2.89 0.003 240.34 2.29 115.94 2.17 384.09 1.99 381.15 112.14 3301100205 0.41 2.6 0.226 542.34 2.32 145.47 2.2 720.25 2.2 720.25 145.47 3301500145 0.52 1.98 0.07 289.7 1.68 123.9 1.52 456.13 1.45 454.22 121.52 3400700035 0.66 1.52 0.104 151.02 1.15 92.7 1 221.17 0.85 217.93 88.13 3402300065 0.57 1.16 0.008 144.78 1.02 92.93 0.82 228.48 0.6 221.05 82.46 3402300066 0.48 1.2 0.14 147.63 0.84 87.71 0.71 208.73 0.71 208.73 87.71 3402730015 0.43 1.17 0.134 174.21 0.85 96.23 0.75 296.49 0.75 296.49 96.23 3403900045 0.85 1.7 0.001 124.89 1.27 83.58 1.06 179.45 0.85 175.26 76.74 3600500836 0.62 2.9 0 384.98 2.63 133.4 2.4 459.04 2.27 456.02 128.88 3600501105 0.73 4.68 0.005 551.13 4.15 149.46 4 713.07 3.96 712.16 148.46 3602900056 0.82 1.51 0.049 93.35 0.87 70.28 0.77 142.01 0.68 137.73 65.2 3603100035 0.38 0.39 0.019 82.49 0.75 69.44 0.31 140.92 0.01 116 33.77 3605560015 0.62 1.83 0.018 225.3 1.57 115.03 1.4 332.38 1.21 328.81 109.46 3606100625 0.73 2.52 0.015 243.21 1.89 111.86 1.78 311.94 1.78 311.94 111.86 3608101246 0.65 2.150.091 244.19 1.73 116.42 1.6 318.54 1.49 315.99 113.14 3610100035 0.37 0.73 0.006 131.03 0.67 83.6 0.49 189.97 0.36 183.76 73.84 4200100015 0.33 1.24 0.147 276.42 1 116.06 0.91 351.03 0.91 351.03 116.06 4200300086 1.08 1.56 0.009 93.33 1.42 73.55 1.01 134.94 0.48 124.02 57.54 4200300215 0.97 1.64 0.029 105.31 1.36 77.88 1.02 175.55 0.67 169.49 68.8 4202701005 0.44 1.250.174 182.37 0.88 97.14 0.81 234.79 0.81 234.79 97.14 4202901005 0.42 1.550.213 265.79 1.2 113.53 1.12 309.28 1.12 309.28 113.53 4204304015 0.49 1.73 0.162 252.82 1.31 111.21 1.24 297.74 1.24 297.74 111.21 4204500025 0.69 1.96 0.001 191.35 1.44 101.26 1.32 270.95 1.27 268.44 98.57 4204900035 0.62 0.98 0.269 66.83 0.48 54.95 0.41 98.37 0.36 94.17 49.9 4206920065 0.51 1.21 0.155 142.85 0.83 88.22 0.73 215.09 0.7 212.2 85.02 4207100075 0.53 2.74 0.078 421.17 2.32 135.31 2.21 515.38 2.21 515.38 135.314209500255 0.45 2.05 0.03 360.61 1.81 123.86 1.61 449.64 1.61 449.64 123.86

4209903015 0.48 0.91 0.095 101.95 0.58 73.76 0.49 176.76 0.43 170.61 66.56 4210100047 0.69 1.88 0.038 194.06 1.45 105.91 1.34 276.84 1.19 273.95 101.72 4210101365 0.43 2.23 0.176 416.24 1.89 141.53 1.8 735.12 1.8 735.12 141.53 4212550015 1.19 2.13 0.197 110.75 1.56 82.97 1.31 184.61 0.94 178.31 74.8 4212900085 0.75 1.36 0.055 101.42 0.92 72.68 0.77 134.65 0.6 130.14 66.36 4213300085 0.66 2.37 0.291 257.55 1.8 117.82 1.71 372.88 1.71 372.88 117.82 4400700225 0.43 1.26 0.001 192.89 0.92 98.83 0.83 278.03 0.83 278.03 98.83 4400710105 0.57 1.34 0.188 145.51 0.98 86.96 0.83 274.82 0.77 269.38 81.1 5000700125 0.44 1.03 0.001 158.82 0.85 91.03 0.7 217.87 0.59 211.99 83.14 5152000065 0.46 2.750.289 494.41 2.35 143.41 2.29 586.86 2.29 586.86 143.41 5176000205 0.53 1.650.017 212.36 1.25 103.31 1.12 284.74 1.12 284.74 103.31 5177000145 0.56 1.63 0.11 193.5 1.16 102.2 1.08 261.2 1.08 261.0 102.1NMB, %N

108.2932 108.8622 186.6121 133.9138 174.1611 59.3325 182.1450 103.5859 724.4 6 289.1228 220.8931 542.3419 276.3941 128.836 105.5334 147.6320 174.2112 99.7837 364.3244 545.8344 82.5622 2.3645 194.7340 243.2114 227.6535 95.5446 276.4223 44.3252 69.4632 182.3721 265.7919 252.8222 184.5321 58.0916 137.5819 421.1721360.6117

89.5519 172.8543 416.2422 79.3929 79.9531 257.5521 192.8916 135.1214 134.3645 494.4121 212.3636 192.920