Simulation Statistics for Pool Heaters (10000 samples)

LCC Savings Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

1 Improved HX -$18 $877 $1 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 

2 Improved HX -$40 $2,580 $25 -$1 $0 $0 $0 $133 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) -$98 $3,617 $22 -$56 -$7 $0 $0 $165 

4 Power Venting -$321 $6,552 -$6 -$174 -$116 -$63 $0 $349 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX -$432 $7,414 -$52 -$278 -$207 -$120 $0 $355 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX -$1,791 $8,488 -$632 -$1,088 -$885 -$742 -$533 $0 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing -$2,553 $11,696 -$1,322 -$1,922 -$1,693 -$1,503 -$1,165 -$324 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX -$2,758 $16,145 -$1,361 -$2,130 -$1,860 -$1,620 -$1,136 $0 

Payback Periods Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

1 Improved HX 0.2 20.0 5.3 0.9 2.2 4.0 6.7 17.4 

2 Improved HX 0.1 45.5 5.4 0.7 1.6 2.7 5.1 25.5 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 0.3 105.5 15.2 1.6 4.4 8.6 16.3 60.0 

4 Power Venting 0.6 234.5 32.3 2.9 8.3 18.2 37.8 129.1 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX 0.7 327.3 39.0 3.7 9.9 19.2 37.7 152.7 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 1.5 888.4 85.8 7.6 19.6 38.1 77.8 413.6 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 2.0 1489.1 99.2 10.6 25.3 44.5 90.8 452.2 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 1.7 872.7 74.1 8.1 19.9 33.2 67.7 347.2 

Retail Price Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $1,163 $1,350 $1,304 $1,208 $1,229 $1,350 $1,350 $1,350 

1 Improved HX $1,182 $1,370 $1,324 $1,226 $1,248 $1,370 $1,370 $1,370 

2 Improved HX $1,206 $1,395 $1,349 $1,250 $1,272 $1,395 $1,395 $1,395 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber)$1,261 $1,455 $1,408 $1,306 $1,329 $1,455 $1,455 $1,455 

4 Power Venting $1,413 $1,584 $1,537 $1,426 $1,451 $1,584 $1,584 $1,584 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $1,517 $1,697 $1,647 $1,531 $1,558 $1,697 $1,697 $1,697 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $1,943 $2,157 $2,098 $1,959 $1,993 $2,157 $2,157 $2,157 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $2,780 $3,060 $2,984 $2,800 $2,849 $3,060 $3,060 $3,060 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $3,018 $3,317 $3,235 $3,038 $3,092 $3,317 $3,317 $3,317 

Installation Cost Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $255 $4,838 $1,936 $334 $549 $2,117 $3,069 $3,605 

1 Improved HX $255 $4,838 $1,936 $334 $549 $2,117 $3,069 $3,605 

2 Improved HX $255 $4,838 $1,936 $334 $549 $2,117 $3,069 $3,605 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $255 $4,838 $1,936 $334 $549 $2,117 $3,069 $3,605 

4 Power Venting $310 $4,838 $1,947 $334 $554 $2,127 $3,082 $3,609 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $310 $4,838 $1,947 $334 $554 $2,127 $3,082 $3,609 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $376 $5,004 $2,048 $406 $675 $2,198 $3,197 $3,734 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $376 $5,004 $2,048 $406 $675 $2,198 $3,197 $3,734 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $376 $5,004 $2,048 $406 $675 $2,198 $3,197 $3,734 

Total Installed Price Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $1,444 $6,187 $3,240 $1,544 $1,786 $3,464 $4,415 $4,955 

1 Improved HX $1,463 $6,207 $3,260 $1,562 $1,805 $3,484 $4,435 $4,975 

2 Improved HX $1,487 $6,233 $3,285 $1,586 $1,829 $3,510 $4,461 $5,000 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber)$1,544 $6,293 $3,344 $1,642 $1,887 $3,570 $4,521 $5,060 

4 Power Venting $1,756 $6,422 $3,484 $1,762 $2,010 $3,711 $4,665 $5,193 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $1,862 $6,535 $3,594 $1,867 $2,117 $3,823 $4,777 $5,305 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $2,362 $7,161 $4,146 $2,367 $2,681 $4,354 $5,353 $5,891 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $3,209 $8,065 $5,032 $3,212 $3,542 $5,258 $6,256 $6,794 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $3,448 $8,321 $5,283 $3,451 $3,786 $5,514 $6,513 $7,051 

Total Operating Cost (sum over lifetime discounted) Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $83 $131,613 $5,099 $655 $1,772 $3,254 $5,777 $14,347 

1 Improved HX $82 $129,971 $5,040 $651 $1,757 $3,219 $5,711 $14,175 

2 Improved HX $80 $126,808 $4,927 $642 $1,722 $3,151 $5,586 $13,843 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $79 $125,284 $4,873 $638 $1,706 $3,118 $5,528 $13,680 

4 Power Venting $78 $123,883 $4,780 $596 $1,655 $3,059 $5,420 $13,501 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $77 $122,431 $4,728 $591 $1,640 $3,027 $5,359 $13,348 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $76 $120,452 $4,813 $706 $1,752 $3,147 $5,478 $13,336 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $72 $115,218 $4,626 $689 $1,696 $3,034 $5,269 $12,768 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $69 $109,296 $4,415 $670 $1,635 $2,908 $5,027 $12,134 

Annual Gas Use (MMBtu) Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 1.98 236.27 34.1 2.51 14.36 27.48 41.65 113.64 

1 Improved HX 1.95 233.39 33.7 2.47 14.18 27.13 41.12 112.20 

2 Improved HX 1.90 227.83 32.9 2.41 13.83 26.46 40.12 109.48 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 1.88 225.16 32.5 2.38 13.66 26.14 39.63 108.19 

4 Power Venting 1.86 222.04 31.8 1.86 13.15 25.82 38.86 105.74 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX 1.83 219.39 31.4 1.83 12.99 25.52 38.40 104.48 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 1.79 214.29 30.7 1.79 12.69 24.92 37.50 102.05 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 1.71 204.77 29.3 1.71 12.13 23.81 35.84 97.52 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 1.62 193.99 27.8 1.62 11.49 22.56 33.95 92.38 

Annual Electricity Use (kWh) Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 0 7 2.3 0 2 2 3 4 

1 Improved HX 0 7 2.3 0 2 2 3 4 

2 Improved HX 0 6 2.3 0 2 2 3 4 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 0 6 2.3 0 2 2 3 4 

4 Power Venting 1 80 8.5 3 5 7 10 20 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX 1 79 8.4 3 5 7 10 20 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 1 78 8.3 3 5 7 10 20 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 1 74 8.0 3 4 6 9 19 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 1 71 7.7 2 4 6 9 18 

Burner Operating Hours Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 5 1575 128 12 47 91 156 370 

1 Improved HX 5 1555 127 11 46 90 154 365 

2 Improved HX 5 1517 123 11 45 88 150 356 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 5 1498 122 11 45 87 148 352 

4 Power Venting 5 1480 121 11 44 86 147 347 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX 5 1463 119 11 44 85 145 343 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 4 1429 116 10 43 83 141 335 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 4 1365 111 10 41 79 135 320 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 4 1293 105 9 39 75 128 304 

Annual Maintenance Cost Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $0 $183 $70 $0 $47 $69 $91 $138 

1 Improved HX $0 $183 $70 $0 $47 $69 $91 $138 

2 Improved HX $0 $183 $70 $0 $47 $69 $91 $138 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $0 $183 $70 $0 $47 $69 $91 $138 

4 Power Venting $0 $183 $70 $0 $47 $69 $91 $138 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $0 $183 $70 $0 $47 $69 $91 $138 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $0 $264 $102 $0 $68 $100 $132 $199 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $0 $264 $102 $0 $68 $100 $132 $199 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $0 $264 $102 $0 $68 $100 $132 $199 

Annual Repair Cost Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $0 $329 $23 $0 $0 $0 $0 $190 

1 Improved HX $0 $329 $23 $0 $0 $0 $0 $190 

2 Improved HX $0 $329 $23 $0 $0 $0 $0 $190 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $0 $329 $23 $0 $0 $0 $0 $190 

4 Power Venting $0 $909 $35 $0 $0 $0 $0 $262 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $0 $909 $35 $0 $0 $0 $0 $262 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $0 $909 $35 $0 $0 $0 $0 $262 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $0 $909 $35 $0 $0 $0 $0 $262 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $0 $909 $35 $0 $0 $0 $0 $262 

Repair Year Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 1 21 7 2 4 6 9 13 

1 Improved HX 1 21 7 2 4 6 9 13 

2 Improved HX 1 21 7 2 4 6 9 13 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 1 21 7 2 4 6 9 13 

4 Power Venting 1 21 7 2 4 7 9 13 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX 1 21 7 2 4 7 9 13 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 1 21 7 2 4 7 9 13 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 1 21 7 2 4 7 9 13 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 1 21 7 2 4 7 9 13 

Household Characteristics Percentile

min max average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

Pool Heating Load (MMBtu) 2 184 26 2 11 21 32 88

Base Case Efficiency 0.78 0.95 0.82 0.79 0.79 0.82 0.82 0.86

Lifetime 3.1 24.8 10.0 5.1 7.4 9.7 12.1 16.1

DiscountRate 0.0% 54.1% 5.2% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 7.6% 13.3%

Base Markup 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8

Incremental Markup 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4

2013 Average Natural Gas Prices (2009$) $11.64 $17.86 $13.43 $11.64 $11.64 $12.46 $14.13 $17.86

2013 Average LPG Prices (2009$) $20.10 $34.26 $29.27 $20.10 $28.47 $28.82 $29.20 $34.26

2013 Average Electricity Prices (2009$) $0.08 $0.17 $0.12 $0.09 $0.10 $0.11 $0.14 $0.16

Component failure - % Pilot Ignition Repair 41.2%

Component failure - % Electronic Ignition Repair 8.7%

Component failure - % Power Vent Repair 5.9%
Simulation Summary for Pool Heaters

Pool Heaters Simulation Results - 10000 samples

USER OPTIONS: Average LCC Results Payback Results

Installed Lifetime LCC Net No Net No

Level Description Price Oper. Cost* LCC Savings Cost Impact Benefit Median Average Impact Undefined

Energy Price Trend 0 0.78 - Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $3,240 $5,099 $8,339

1 0.79 - Improved HX $3,260 $5,040 $8,300 $1 0% 98% 1% 4.0 5.3 98% 0% 

Start Year 2 0.81 - Improved HX $3,285 $4,927 $8,212 $25 5% 72% 23% 2.7 5.4 72% 0% 

3 0.82 - Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $3,344 $4,873 $8,217 $22 27% 51% 22% 8.6 15.2 51% 1% 

# of Trials 4 0.83 - Power Venting $3,484 $4,780 $8,264 -$6 60% 23% 17% 18.2 32.3 23% 2% 

5 0.84 - Power Venting, Improved HX $3,594 $4,728 $8,322 -$52 64% 21% 15% 19.2 39.0 21% 1% 

6 0.86 - Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $4,146 $4,813 $8,959 -$632 88% 9% 3% 38.1 85.8 9% 0% 

7 0.90 - Sealed Combustion, Condensing $5,032 $4,626 $9,658 -$1,322 96% 1% 3% 44.5 99.2 1% 0% 

8 0.95 - Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $5,283 $4,415 $9,698 -$1,361 95% 1% 4% 33.2 74.1 1% 0% 

All dollar values are in 2009 $ * discounted and summed over lifetime

AEO 2010 (Early Release) - Reference Case

2013

10000 Run
LCC & Payback Calculations for Pool Heaters

RECS Household # 2540 Annual Cash Flow Calculations

Import Parameters LPG Price Elec. Price Discount Annual Cash 

Year of Purchase 2013 Age Year ($/MMBtu) ($/kWh) Factor 0 1 2 3

Lifetime 10.0 years 0 1.00 $1,544 $1,562 $1,586 $1,642

Discount Rate 7.7% Base Case EF 0.78 1 2013 34.26 0.11 0.93 $747 $737 $719 $710

Baseline Efficiency Level 0 2 2014 35.39 0.11 0.86 $771 $762 $743 $734

3 2015 36.07 0.11 0.80 $786 $776 $757 $748

Burner Annual Heating Energy Install- Total Annual Total First Year Cumul. Life Total 4 2016 36.82 0.11 0.74 $802 $792 $773 $763

Eff. Thermal Operating Retail ation Installed Maint. Repair Oper. Cost Cash Cycle LCC Pay- Repair Operating Net No Net PB PB 5 2017 37.44 0.11 0.69 $816 $806 $786 $776

Level Description Efficiency Hours LPG Elec Price Cost Price Cost Cost* 2013 Flow Cost Saving back Year** Cost Cost Impact Benefit no impact undefined 6 2018 38.12 0.11 0.64 $1,067 $1,056 $1,036 $1,026

(hours) (MMBtu) (kWh) ($) ($) ($) ($) ($) ($) ($) ($) (year) 7 2019 38.42 0.11 0.60 $837 $827 $806 $797

>> 0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 0.78 87.2 21.8 2 ######### $334 $1,544 $39 $0 $747 $9,918 $7,191 ######### 8 2020 38.69 0.11 0.55 $843 $833 $812 $802

1 Improved HX 0.79 86.1 21.5 2 ######### $334 $1,562 $39 $0 $737 $9,833 $7,141 $51 2.1 ######### 1 9 2021 38.96 0.11 0.51 $849 $838 $818 $808

2 Improved HX 0.81 83.9 21.0 2 ######### $334 $1,586 $39 $0 $719 $9,659 $7,030 $161 1.5 ######### 1 10 2022 39.20 0.11 0.48 $854 $844 $823 $813

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 0.82 82.9 20.7 2 ######### $334 $1,642 $39 $0 $710 $9,619 $7,022 $170 2.7 ######### 1 11 2023 39.52 0.11 0.44 $861 $851 $830 $819

4 Power Venting 0.83 81.9 20.5 6 ######### $334 $1,762 $39 $0 $702 $9,651 $7,082 $109 4.9 ######### 1 12 2024 39.83 0.12 0.41 $868 $857 $836 $826

5 Power Venting, Improved HX 0.84 80.9 20.2 6 ######### $334 $1,867 $39 $0 $694 $9,665 $7,126 $66 6.1 ######### 1 13 2025 40.14 0.12 0.38 $875 $864 $843 $832

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 0.86 79.1 19.8 6 ######### $434 $2,396 $57 $0 $678 $10,122 $7,603 -$411 12.3 ######### 1 14 2026 40.31 0.12 0.36 $879 $868 $846 $836

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 0.90 75.5 18.9 6 ######### $434 $3,237 $57 $0 $648 $10,636 $8,223 ########## 17.1 ######### 1 15 2027 40.63 0.12 0.33 $886 $874 $853 $842

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 0.95 71.6 17.9 6 ######### $434 $3,476 $57 $0 $614 $10,503 $8,211 ########## 14.5 ######### 1 16 2028 40.92 0.12 0.31 $892 $881 $859 $848

* Repair cost used only after warranty period at a certain year and only once 17 2029 41.33 0.12 0.29 $901 $889 $867 $857

18 2030 41.59 0.12 0.26 $906 $895 $873 $862

HOUSEHOLD INFORMATION: 19 2031 42.00 0.12 0.25 $916 $904 $882 $871

RECS Household # 2540 20 2032 42.39 0.12 0.23 $924 $912 $890 $879

21 2033 42.84 0.12 0.21 $934 $922 $899 $888

Input Capacity 250000 kBtu/hr 22 2034 43.26 0.12 0.20 $943 $931 $908 $897

Pool Heating Load 17.00 MMBtu 23 2035 43.71 0.12 0.18 $953 $941 $918 $906

24 2036 44.07 0.12 0.17 $961 $948 $925 $914

2013 2007/2008 25 2037 44.43 0.12 0.16 $968 $956 $933 $921

Energy Prices for Household (in 2009$) 2013 Price Price Factor Avg. Price 26 2038 44.79 0.13 0.15 $976 $964 $940 $929

Gas Price $ / MMBtu 27 2039 45.16 0.13 0.14 $984 $972 $948 $936

LPG Price $34.26 1.02 $33.49 $ / MMBtu 28 2040 45.53 0.13 0.13 $992 $980 $956 $944

Elec. Price $0.11 0.98 $0.12 $ / kWh 29 2041 45.90 0.13 0.12 $1,001 $988 $963 $952

* All costs in 2009 dollars 30 2042 46.28 0.13 0.11 $1,009 $996 $971 $959

31 2043 46.66 0.13 0.10 $1,017 $1,004 $979 $967

32 2044 47.04 0.13 0.09 $1,025 $1,012 $987 $975

33 2045 47.42 0.13 0.09 $1,034 $1,021 $995 $983

34 2046 47.81 0.13 0.08 $1,042 $1,029 $1,003 $991

35 2047 48.20 0.13 0.08 $1,051 $1,037 $1,012 $999

36 2048 48.59 0.13 0.07 $1,059 $1,046 $1,020 $1,008

37 2049 48.99 0.13 0.07 $1,068 $1,054 $1,028 $1,016

38 2050 49.39 0.14 0.06 $1,077 $1,063 $1,037 $1,024

39 2051 49.80 0.14 0.06 $1,085 $1,072 $1,045 $1,032

40 2052 50.20 0.14 0.05 $1,094 $1,080 $1,054 $1,041

41 2053 50.61 0.14 0.05 $1,103 $1,089 $1,062 $1,049

42 2054 51.03 0.14 0.05 $1,112 $1,098 $1,071 $1,058

43 2055 51.44 0.14 0.04 $1,121 $1,107 $1,080 $1,067

44 2056 51.86 0.14 0.04 $1,130 $1,116 $1,089 $1,075

45 2057 52.29 0.14 0.04 $1,140 $1,125 $1,097 $1,084

46 2058 52.72 0.14 0.03 $1,149 $1,134 $1,106 $1,093

47 2059 53.15 0.14 0.03 $1,158 $1,144 $1,115 $1,102

48 2060 53.58 0.14 0.03 $1,168 $1,153 $1,125 $1,111

49 2061 54.02 0.14 0.03 $1,177 $1,163 $1,134 $1,120

50 2062 54.46 0.15 0.02 $1,187 $1,172 $1,143 $1,129

51 2063 54.90 0.15 0.02 $1,197 $1,182 $1,152 $1,138

52 2064 55.35 0.15 0.02 $1,207 $1,191 $1,162 $1,148

53 2065 55.81 0.15 0.02 $1,216 $1,201 $1,171 $1,157

54 2066 56.26 0.15 0.02 $1,226 $1,211 $1,181 $1,167

55 2067 56.72 0.15 0.02 $1,236 $1,221 $1,191 $1,176

56 2068 57.19 0.15 0.02 $1,246 $1,231 $1,200 $1,186

57 2069 57.65 0.15 0.01 $1,257 $1,241 $1,210 $1,195

58 2070 58.12 0.15 0.01 $1,267 $1,251 $1,220 $1,205

59 2071 58.60 0.15 0.01 $1,277 $1,261 $1,230 $1,215

60 2072 59.08 0.16 0.01 $1,288 $1,271 $1,240 $1,225

61 2073 59.56 0.16 0.01 $1,298 $1,282 $1,250 $1,235

62 2074 60.05 0.16 0.01 $1,309 $1,292 $1,260 $1,245

63 2075 60.54 0.16 0.01 $1,320 $1,303 $1,271 $1,255

64 2076 61.03 0.16 0.01 $1,330 $1,313 $1,281 $1,265

65 2077 61.53 0.16 0.01 $1,341 $1,324 $1,292 $1,276

66 2078 62.04 0.16 0.01 $1,352 $1,335 $1,302 $1,286

67 2079 62.54 0.16 0.01 $1,363 $1,346 $1,313 $1,297

68 2080 63.05 0.16 0.01 $1,374 $1,357 $1,323 $1,307

69 2081 63.57 0.16 0.01 $1,386 $1,368 $1,334 $1,318
ash Flow by Efficiency Level

4 5 6 7 8

$1,762 $1,867 $2,396 $3,237 $3,476

$702 $694 $678 $648 $614

$725 $717 $700 $669 $634

$739 $731 $714 $682 $646

$755 $746 $728 $696 $659

$767 $758 $741 $708 $671

$1,017 $1,008 $1,095 $1,061 $1,023

$787 $778 $760 $726 $688

$793 $784 $765 $731 $693

$799 $789 $771 $736 $698

$803 $794 $775 $741 $702

$810 $800 $782 $747 $708

$816 $807 $788 $753 $713

$823 $813 $794 $759 $719

$826 $816 $797 $762 $722

$833 $823 $804 $768 $728

$839 $829 $809 $773 $733

$847 $837 $818 $781 $740

$852 $842 $823 $786 $745

$861 $851 $831 $794 $752

$869 $858 $839 $801 $759

$878 $868 $847 $810 $767

$887 $876 $856 $818 $775

$896 $885 $865 $826 $783

$903 $893 $872 $833 $789

$911 $900 $879 $840 $796

$918 $907 $886 $847 $802

$926 $915 $893 $854 $809

$933 $922 $901 $861 $815

$941 $930 $908 $868 $822

$948 $937 $915 $875 $829

$956 $945 $923 $882 $835

$964 $953 $930 $889 $842

$972 $960 $938 $896 $849

$980 $968 $946 $904 $856

$988 $976 $953 $911 $863

$996 $984 $961 $918 $870

$1,004 $992 $969 $926 $877

$1,012 $1,000 $977 $934 $884

$1,021 $1,008 $985 $941 $892

$1,029 $1,017 $993 $949 $899

$1,037 $1,025 $1,001 $957 $906

$1,046 $1,033 $1,009 $964 $914

$1,054 $1,042 $1,018 $972 $921

$1,063 $1,050 $1,026 $980 $929

$1,072 $1,059 $1,034 $988 $936

$1,080 $1,068 $1,043 $996 $944

$1,089 $1,076 $1,051 $1,005 $952

$1,098 $1,085 $1,060 $1,013 $959

$1,107 $1,094 $1,068 $1,021 $967

$1,116 $1,103 $1,077 $1,029 $975

$1,125 $1,112 $1,086 $1,038 $983

$1,134 $1,121 $1,095 $1,046 $991

$1,144 $1,130 $1,104 $1,055 $999

$1,153 $1,139 $1,113 $1,063 $1,007

$1,162 $1,149 $1,122 $1,072 $1,016

$1,172 $1,158 $1,131 $1,081 $1,024

$1,182 $1,168 $1,140 $1,090 $1,032

$1,191 $1,177 $1,150 $1,099 $1,041

$1,201 $1,187 $1,159 $1,108 $1,049

$1,211 $1,196 $1,169 $1,117 $1,058

$1,221 $1,206 $1,178 $1,126 $1,067

$1,231 $1,216 $1,188 $1,135 $1,075

$1,241 $1,226 $1,197 $1,144 $1,084

$1,251 $1,236 $1,207 $1,154 $1,093

$1,261 $1,246 $1,217 $1,163 $1,102

$1,271 $1,256 $1,227 $1,173 $1,111

$1,282 $1,267 $1,237 $1,182 $1,120

$1,292 $1,277 $1,247 $1,192 $1,129

$1,303 $1,287 $1,257 $1,201 $1,138
Rebuttable Payback Period Calculation for Pool Heaters

Rebuttable PBP is determined based on DOE's Pool Heater Test Procedure conditions (10 CFR, 430 subpart B, Appendix P) 

Efficiency 

Level

Thermal 

Efficiency Potential Design Option Manufacturer Production Cost (MPC)*

2009$

Gas-fired Pool Heaters with Standing Pilots - Representative Input Capacity of 250,000 Btu/h

0 78% Standing Pilot Baseline $568

1 79% Improved HX $579

2 81% Improved HX $593

3 82% Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $626

4 83% Power Venting $716

5 84% Power Venting, Improved HX $778

6 86% Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $1,031

7 90% Sealed Combustion, Condensing $1,528

8 95% Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $1,669

Gas-fired Pool Heaters with Electronic Ignition - Representative Input Capacity of 250,000 Btu/h

0 78% Electronic Ignition (Baseline) $587

1 79% Improved HX $598

2 81% Improved HX $612

3 82% Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $645

4 83% Power Venting $716

5 84% Power Venting, Improved HX $778

6 86% Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $1,031

7 90% Sealed Combustion, Condensing $1,528

8 95% Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $1,669

Gas-fired Pool Heaters Combined (Shipment Weighted) - Representative Input Capacity of 250,000 Btu/h

0 78% Electronic Ignition (Baseline) $585

1 79% Improved HX $596

2 81% Improved HX $610

3 82% Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $643

4 83% Power Venting $716

5 84% Power Venting, Improved HX $778

6 86% Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $1,031

7 90% Sealed Combustion, Condensing $1,528

8 95% Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $1,669

` * The manufacturing production cost (MPC) includes the direct labor, direct material, and direct overhead. 

** The manufacturing selling price (MSP) includes manufacturer profit and non-production costs, such as selling, general and administrative expenses, resea

Manufacturer Costs (per unit) from Engineering Ana
Total Manufacturer 

Selling Price (MSP)** Incremental MSP

Retail Installation Maintenance BOH Fuel Electric

Total 

Installed

2009$ 2009$ 2009$ 2009$ 2009$ hr MBtu/yr kWh/year 2009$

$738 $1,265.14 $1,811.36 $70.45 104 30.32 0.00 $3,077

$753 $14 $1,284.75 $1,811.36 $70.45 103 29.99 0.00 $3,096

$771 $33 $1,309.70 $1,811.36 $70.45 100 29.36 0.00 $3,121

$814 $75 $1,368.51 $1,811.36 $70.45 99 29.06 0.00 $3,180

$931 $192 $1,528.92 $1,946.79 $73.99 98 24.46 5.14 $3,476

$1,011 $273 $1,639.42 $1,946.79 $73.99 97 24.17 5.08 $3,586

$1,340 $602 $2,090.34 $2,047.81 $105.30 94 23.60 4.96 $4,138

$1,986 $1,248 $2,976.14 $2,047.81 $105.30 90 22.56 4.74 $5,024

$2,170 $1,431 $3,227.44 $2,047.81 $105.30 85 21.37 4.49 $5,275

$763 $1,307.46 $1,946.79 $72.70 104 26.03 0.26 $3,254

$777 $14 $1,327.07 $1,946.79 $72.70 103 25.70 0.26 $3,274

$796 $33 $1,352.02 $1,946.79 $72.70 100 25.06 0.25 $3,299

$839 $75 $1,410.83 $1,946.79 $72.70 99 24.76 0.25 $3,358

$931 $168 $1,537.38 $1,946.79 $73.99 98 24.46 5.14 $3,484

$1,011 $248 $1,647.88 $1,946.79 $73.99 97 24.17 5.08 $3,595

$1,340 $577 $2,098.80 $2,047.81 $105.30 94 23.60 4.96 $4,147

$1,986 $1,223 $2,984.60 $2,047.81 $105.30 90 22.56 4.74 $5,032

$2,170 $1,407 $3,235.90 $2,047.81 $105.30 85 21.37 4.49 $5,284

$761 $1,304.08 $1,935.96 $72.70 104 26.37 0.24 $3,240

$775 $12 $1,320.97 $1,935.96 $72.70 103 26.04 0.24 $3,257

$794 $31 $1,345.92 $1,935.96 $72.70 100 25.41 0.23 $3,282

$837 $73 $1,404.74 $1,935.96 $72.70 99 25.10 0.23 $3,341

$931 $168 $1,533.99 $1,946.79 $73.99 98 24.46 5.14 $3,481

$1,011 $248 $1,644.49 $1,946.79 $73.99 97 24.17 5.08 $3,591

$1,340 $577 $2,095.41 $2,047.81 $105.30 94 23.60 4.96 $4,143

$1,986 $1,223 $2,981.21 $2,047.81 $105.30 90 22.56 4.74 $5,029

$2,170 $1,407 $3,232.51 $2,047.81 $105.30 85 21.37 4.49 $5,280

g, general and administrative expenses, research and development, and interest.

Cost Data Energy Use Data Summary Economics

facturer Costs (per unit) from Engineering Analysis Consumer Costs from the LCC Analysis Total Costs
Energy Use Calculation for Pool Heaters (10 CFR, Appendix P)

Total 

Operating

Simple 

Payback Product Class QIN QP

2009$/yr years BTU/h BTU/hr

Gas Pool Heaters (250,000 Btu/h) - Pilot Ignition

$567.34 0 0.78 Thermal Efficiency - Standing Pilot Baseline 250,000 1,000

$561.95 3.63 1 0.79 Thermal Efficiency - Improved HX 250,000 1,000

$551.59 2.83 2 0.81 Thermal Efficiency - Improved HX 250,000 1,000

$546.60 4.98 3 0.82 Thermal Efficiency - Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 250,000 1,000

$475.39 4.34 4 0.83 Thermal Efficiency - Power Venting 250,000 0

$470.61 5.27 5 0.84 Thermal Efficiency - Power Venting, Improved HX 250,000 0

$492.70 14.22 6 0.86 Thermal Efficiency - Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 250,000 0

$475.48 21.20 7 0.9 Thermal Efficiency - Sealed Combustion, Condensing 250,000 0

$456.00 19.75 8 0.95 Thermal Efficiency - Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX250,000 0

Gas Pool Heaters (250,000 Btu/h) - Electronic Ignition

$499.23 0 0.78 Thermal Efficiency - Electronic Ignition (Baseline) 250,000 0

$493.83 3.63 1 0.79 Thermal Efficiency - Improved HX 250,000 0

$483.43 2.82 2 0.81 Thermal Efficiency - Improved HX 250,000 0

$478.42 4.97 3 0.82 Thermal Efficiency - Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 250,000 0

$475.39 9.64 4 0.83 Thermal Efficiency - Power Venting 250,000 0

$470.61 11.90 5 0.84 Thermal Efficiency - Power Venting, Improved HX 250,000 0

$492.70 136.62 6 0.86 Thermal Efficiency - Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 250,000 0

$475.48 74.87 7 0.9 Thermal Efficiency - Sealed Combustion, Condensing 250,000 0

$456.00 46.94 8 0.95 Thermal Efficiency - Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX250,000 0

$504.86 Equations for calculating the Energy Consumption of Pool Heaters

$499.46 3.13

$489.06 2.65 EF

(BOH * Q_IN + ( POH - BOH ) * Q_P ) / 1000000 Average annual fossil fuel energy for pool heater

$484.06 4.84 EAE BOH * PE Average annual auxilary electrical energy consum

$475.39 8.17 BOH LOAD / (Q_IN * E_T) average number of burner operating hours = 104 

$470.61 10.26

$492.70 74.27

$475.48 60.89 Variable Definitions

$456.00 41.76

QIN Rated fuel energy input

POH Average number of pool operating hours = 4464 h

QP Energy consumption of continously operating pilot light if employed

PE Electricity Consumption of the heater including the electrical energy to the recirculating pump

ET Thermal efficiency

LOAD Pool Heater Load Value derived from 1993 Pool Heater Rulemakin

Summary Economics

Total Costs
Average Gas Pool Heating Load = 203 Therms

ET PE EOUT* EIN* EFFYHS* POH BOH** EF EAE

% kW MMBtu/year MMBtu/year % hr/yr hr/yr MMBtu/year kWh

78 0.000 20.30 30.3 66.9 4400.0 104.1 30.3 0.0

79 0.000 20.30 30.0 67.7 4400.0 102.8 30.0 0.0

81 0.000 20.30 29.4 69.1 4400.0 100.2 29.4 0.0

82 0.000 20.30 29.1 69.9 4400.0 99.0 29.1 0.0

83 0.053 20.31 24.5 83.0 4400.0 97.8 24.5 5.1

84 0.053 20.31 24.2 84.0 4400.0 96.7 24.2 5.1

86 0.053 20.31 23.6 86.0 4400.0 94.4 23.6 5.0

90 0.053 20.31 22.6 90.0 4400.0 90.2 22.6 4.7

95 0.053 20.31 21.4 95.0 4400.0 85.5 21.4 4.5

78 0.003 20.30 26.0 78.0 4400.0 104.1 26.0 0.3

79 0.003 20.30 25.7 79.0 4400.0 102.8 25.7 0.3

81 0.003 20.30 25.1 81.0 4400.0 100.2 25.1 0.3

82 0.003 20.30 24.8 82.0 4400.0 99.0 24.8 0.2

83 0.053 20.31 24.5 83.0 4400.0 97.8 24.5 5.1

84 0.053 20.31 24.2 84.0 4400.0 96.7 24.2 5.1

86 0.053 20.31 23.6 86.0 4400.0 94.4 23.6 5.0

90 0.053 20.31 22.6 90.0 4400.0 90.2 22.6 4.7

95 0.053 20.31 21.4 95.0 4400.0 85.5 21.4 4.5

al fossil fuel energy for pool heaters.

al auxilary electrical energy consumption for pool heaters.

ber of burner operating hours = 104 h in test procedure 

 from 1993 Pool Heater Rulemaking

Heating Seasonal Efficiency























Equipment Price & Markups

Import Parameters RECS Household # 2540

from: RECS HH Data

Pool Heater has Pilot? 0 Pool Heaters Equipment Price All costs in 2009 $ Pool Heaters Markups

(0=no , 1=yes) Manufacturer 1.30

replacement (1) or new (2) ? 1 Mnfr. Incr. Mnfr. Retail Price Baseline Incremental

Div & Lrg State 13 Level Description Efficiency Cost Cost incl. Tax Wholesaler 1.35 1.11

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 78% $587.00 $763.10 $1,209.13 Contractor (repl.) 1.10 1.10

Export Parameters 1 Improved HX 79% $598.00 $777.40 $14.30 $1,227.76 Builder 1.31 1.26

to: LCC&Payback Calcs 2 Improved HX 81% $612.00 $795.60 $32.50 $1,251.47 Sales Tax 1.067 1.067

Level Retail Price 3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 82% $645.00 $838.50 $75.40 $1,307.36 Repl. Unit 1.58 1.30

0 $1,209 4 Power Venting 83% $716.00 $930.80 $167.70 $1,427.61 New Units 1.77 1.40

1 $1,228 5 Power Venting, Improved HX 84% $778.00 $1,011.40 $248.30 $1,532.62 

2 $1,251 6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 86% $1,031.00 $1,340.30 $577.20 $1,961.11 

3 $1,307 7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 90% $1,528.00 $1,986.40 $1,223.30 $2,802.85 Baseline Markup 1.58

4 $1,428 8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 95% $1,669.00 $2,169.70 $1,406.60 $3,041.66 Incremental Markup 1.30

5 $1,533

6 $1,961 Average Markups for Rebuttable Payback Analysis

7 $2,803 Manufacturer's Cost Total Average Baseline Markup 1.65

8 $3,042 Pilot Elec. Ign. Pilot Elec. Ign. Total Average Incremental Markup 1.34

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $568.00 $587.00

1 Improved HX $579.00 $598.00 $11.00 $11.00

2010 Sales Tax Rates 2 Improved HX $593.00 $612.00 $25.00 $25.00

By Division and Large States Tax Rate RECS Fraction 3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $626.00 $645.00 $58.00 $58.00

1 New England 6.1% 4.4% 4 Power Venting $716.00 $129.00

2 Mid Atlantic 6.6% 8.1% 5 Power Venting, Improved HX $778.00 $191.00

3 East North Central 6.9% 12.1% 6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $1,031.00 $444.00

4 West North Central 6.9% 2.4% 7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $1,528.00 $941.00

5 South Atlantic 6.6% 10.9% 8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $1,669.00 $1,082.00

6 East South Central 7.9% 2.7%

7 West South Central 8.4% 1.1%

8 Mountain 6.8% 9.3%

9 Pacific 7.5% 3.2%

10 New York State 8.5% 4.5%

11 California 9.2% 21.6%

12 Texas 8.1% 7.7%

13 Florida 6.7% 12.1%

U.S. Average (weighted based on RECS households)7.5%

Cost Incremental
Energy Use

Import Parameters Energy Use of Pool Heaters with Electronic Ignition

from: RECS HH Data

Pool Heating Energy for Household 21.79 MMBtu Level Description Thermal QP PE PEstandby BOH EF EAE

Pool Heater has Pilot? 0 Efficiency Btu/h kW kW hr/yr MMBtu/yr kWh

(0=no , 1=yes) 0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 78% 0 0.0025 0.0005 87.2 21.8 2.4

RECS Year 2005 1 Improved HX 79% 0 0.0025 0.0005 86.1 21.5 2.4

2 Improved HX 81% 0 0.0025 0.0005 83.9 21.0 2.4

Export Parameters 3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 82% 0 0.0025 0.0005 82.9 20.7 2.4

to: Summary 4 Power Venting 83% 0 0.0525 0.0005 81.9 20.5 6.5

Level BOH Gas Use Elec. Use 5 Power Venting, Improved HX 84% 0 0.0525 0.0005 80.9 20.2 6.4

hr MMBtu kWh 6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 86% 0 0.0525 0.0005 79.1 19.8 6.3

0 87 21.8 2.4 7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 90% 0 0.0525 0.0005 75.5 18.9 6.1

1 86 21.5 2.4 8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 95% 0 0.0525 0.0005 71.6 17.9 5.9

2 84 21.0 2.4 

3 83 20.7 2.4 

4 82 20.5 6.5 Pool Heating Load = 17.00 MMBtu

5 81 20.2 6.4 

6 79 19.8 6.3 Pilot energy use 1,000 Btu/hr

7 76 18.9 6.1 Input Capacity (Qin) 250,000 Btu/hr

8 72 17.9 5.9 Thermal Efficiency (existing) 78%

Pool Operating Hours Distribution (POH) 4400

RECS Year Thermal Efficiency (Existing) average 4464

2001 78% min 235

2005 78% max 8760

mode 4400
RECS HH Data

Export Parameters RECS 2001-2005 Household Data - Pool Heaters

to: Summary RECS ID # 2540

Heating Fuel Type 2 Original Division

1=gas; 2=LPG LBNL ID Adj Weight Weight RECS Year DOEID Region Division Lrg State +LrgState CD65 HD65 TYPEHUQ YearMade

to: Energy Price 1742936 2958098 4357281 

Division+LrgState index 13 1 7118 12081 12081 2005 43 1 1 0 1 900 5788 2 4

Division 5 2 14295 24262 24262 2005 52 4 9 2 11 1370 912 2 7

to: Markups and Installation Cost 3 21288 36130 36130 2005 58 2 3 0 3 900 5571 2 8

replacement or new? 1 replacement 4 3442 5842 24262 2005 286 4 9 2 11 3875 682 2 10

1 33% 1 = new 5 14903 25293 25293 2005 378 4 8 0 8 2379 3145 2 8

2 67% 2 = replacement 6 5214 8849 36753 2005 428 3 5 4 13 3623 546 2 5

7 21655 36753 36753 2005 502 3 5 4 13 3433 580 2 9

to: Energy Use 8 15130 25678 25678 2005 573 3 7 3 12 3398 1197 2 7

Household Adjusted Fuel Use (Ein) 21.79 MMBtu/ yr 9 25315 42964 42964 2005 685 3 5 4 13 4397 108 2 4

Pool Heater has Pilot? 0 (1=yes, 0=no) 10 16647 28253 28253 2005 725 3 7 3 12 2945 2088 2 8

RECS Year 2005 11 12576 21345 21345 2005 780 4 9 2 11 763 923 2 3

12 16533 28060 28060 2005 824 2 3 0 3 993 6837 2 13

 Sampled House ID 50 13 13432 22797 22797 2005 856 4 8 0 8 3485 1152 2 4

14 4820 8181 33978 2005 863 4 9 2 11 378 4719 2 1

Pool Heater Load Calculation 15 4441 7537 31306 2005 873 4 9 2 11 588 2376 2 5

Adjustment Type 4 PoolHeaterOnly 16 14903 25293 25293 2005 1057 4 8 0 8 2360 3281 2 8

Energy Use Adjustment (kBtu/yr) 0 17 3533 5996 24902 2005 1063 4 9 0 9 418 3959 2 4

RECS Other Gas Use 21790 18 3691 6264 26016 2005 1066 3 7 3 12 2850 1592 2 10

Pool/Spa Energy Use 21790 19 3226 5476 22742 2005 1099 4 8 0 8 4436 927 2 10

Minimum 1976 20 18700 31737 31737 2005 1100 4 9 2 11 1550 621 2 5

HeaterType 2 21 12576 21345 21345 2005 1131 4 9 2 11 1348 2646 2 9

22 3442 5842 24262 2005 1132 4 9 2 11 397 4675 2 6

Pilot Ignition 23 21655 36753 36753 2005 1155 3 5 4 13 3792 248 2 12

Pool Heater Installation in Div&LrgSt 1-10 59% 24 15293 25955 25955 2005 1160 4 9 2 11 1379 1728 2 8

Total PH with pilot 8% 25 16389 27816 27816 2005 1162 4 9 0 9 325 4596 2 7

Pool Heaters with pilot in Div&LrgState 1 to 10 0 26 16530 28055 28055 2005 1320 2 3 0 3 618 7807 2 1

Fraction in Div&LrgSt 1-10 w/ pilot 1 13.6% 27 15293 25955 25955 2005 1356 4 9 2 11 831 1024 2 4

Fraction in Div&LrgSt 1-10 without pilot 0 86.4% 28 13432 22797 22797 2005 1361 4 8 0 8 964 4500 2 5

29 18766 31850 31850 2005 1469 4 8 0 8 4268 695 2 9

Spa Weight Adjustment 30 12483 21186 21186 2005 1536 4 9 2 11 307 2428 2 5

Spa Heater Only Fraction 0.15 31 5214 8849 36753 2005 1584 3 5 4 13 3651 541 2 7

Spa Heater Weight 0.24 32 20378 34586 34586 2005 1622 3 5 4 13 2554 1207 2 9

Calculation 0.24 33 15130 25678 25678 2005 1623 3 7 3 12 3426 1044 2 7

34 4161 7062 29329 2005 1685 1 2 0 2 1314 5401 2 8

RECS RECS 35 8596 14588 14588 2005 1784 1 1 0 1 365 8624 2 5

2005 2001 Avg. 36 5274 8951 37178 2005 1846 1 2 1 10 1125 5503 2 1

LPG Fraction 19% 18% 19% 37 22314 37871 37871 2005 1847 4 9 2 11 1403 2626 2 6

38 15293 25955 25955 2005 1900 4 9 2 11 1312 1325 2 3

Energy Use Adjustment (kBtu/yr) RECS 2005 RECS 2001 39 15447 26217 26217 2005 1988 4 9 0 9 327 4592 2 6

Cooking+Dryer 13521 10743 40 17233 29248 29248 2005 2070 3 5 0 5 1769 3138 2 8

CookingOnly 6805 6847 41 5718 9705 40308 2005 2100 1 2 0 2 1288 5086 2 4

DryerOnly 7326 4296 42 3226 5476 22742 2005 2174 4 8 0 8 4268 985 2 7

Pool or Spa Only 0 0 43 2784 4724 19621 2005 2297 3 6 0 6 1237 4137 2 9

44 15293 25955 25955 2005 2308 4 9 2 11 1227 1343 2 6

RECS Data for Total Energy Use of Other Gas Appliances Avg Energy Standard 2X 45 2078 3526 14646 2005 2314 1 1 0 1 892 6333 2 10

Sample Count Number of HHs Use Max Min Deviation Average 46 18559 31498 31498 2005 2359 2 3 0 3 1355 4803 2 13

RECS 2005 47 22054 37430 37430 2005 2405 1 2 1 10 795 6632 2 1

Cooking+Dryer 471 12598149 13521 70153 783 7470 26260 48 3865 6559 27242 2005 2451 4 8 0 8 864 5419 2 11

CookingOnly 707 17725947 6805 85510 225 6669 13384 49 3028 5139 21345 2005 2532 4 9 2 11 1121 2401 2 5

DryerOnly 167 4406423 7326 55465 1412 5320 13241 50 21655 36753 36753 2005 2540 3 5 4 13 3607 549 2 10

RECS 2001 51 15293 25955 25955 2005 2544 4 9 2 11 766 1051 2 2

Cooking+Dryer 456 10717891 10743 38537 2016 4675 19470 52 3236 5491 22807 2005 2547 4 9 0 9 200 4307 2 8

CookingOnly 799 17020036 6847 34780 692 4075 13003 53 15293 25955 25955 2005 2655 4 9 2 11 1552 1273 2 5

DryerOnly 193 4577950 4296 15176 0 2084 8592 54 3987 6767 28107 2005 2696 1 2 0 2 1558 4968 2 1

55 12037 20429 20429 2005 2779 3 6 0 6 2180 3057 2 13

Pool + Spa Pool Only Spa Only 56 21655 36753 36753 2005 2957 3 5 4 13 3372 591 2 7

Distribution by Division and Lrg State Div+lrg St Div 1 2 3 57 13432 22797 22797 2005 2959 4 8 0 8 1564 3677 2 7

1 4% 4% 0% 6% 3% 58 3690 6262 26008 2005 2995 4 9 2 11 0 2618 2 1

2 8% 13% 0% 10% 10% 59 4502 7641 31737 2005 3023 4 9 2 11 525 1244 2 10

3 12% 12% 5% 16% 3% 60 4540 7704 31999 2005 3027 1 2 0 2 1017 5633 2 3

4 2% 2% 0% 3% 3% 61 749 1271 5279 2005 3068 2 4 0 4 1922 4550 2 1

5 11% 23% 5% 14% 5% 62 3220 5465 22697 2005 3125 4 9 2 11 918 1056 2 5

6 3% 3% 0% 3% 3% 63 5028 8533 35440 2005 3258 3 5 0 5 1726 3151 2 7

7 1% 9% 0% 0% 7% 64 4273 7252 30119 2005 3270 4 9 0 9 124 7030 2 6

8 9% 9% 12% 9% 9% 65 25991 44112 44112 2005 3305 2 3 0 3 1652 4558 2 9

9 3% 25% 0% 4% 5% 66 20370 34572 34572 2005 3339 3 5 4 13 3486 521 2 12

10 4% 0% 6% 3% 67 18854 31999 31999 2005 3402 1 2 0 2 1067 5449 2 2

11 22% 51% 11% 30% 68 3682 6249 25955 2005 3427 4 9 2 11 737 1062 2 11

12 8% 21% 3% 12% 69 3236 5491 22807 2005 3514 4 9 0 9 111 4702 2 8

13 12% 6% 15% 7% 70 14383 24411 24411 2005 3596 1 2 1 10 1095 5377 2 7

Weight (Number of Households) 1742936 323675 1157820 261440 71 4893 8304 34488 2005 3627 3 7 0 7 2116 3369 2 12

19% 66% 15% 72 13373 22697 22697 2005 3632 4 9 2 11 1029 1022 2 5

73 18559 31498 31498 2005 3689 2 3 0 3 1537 4659 2 8

74 3007 5103 21193 2005 3713 4 8 0 8 4398 761 1 10

75 16811 28531 28531 2005 3718 3 7 3 12 3158 2189 2 8

76 11766 19969 19969 2005 3784 4 9 2 11 476 2255 2 4

77 4580 7773 32284 2005 3880 3 7 3 12 3966 842 2 8

78 3220 5465 22697 2005 3975 4 9 2 11 1043 1018 2 5

79 18029 30599 30599 2005 3989 3 7 3 12 3344 1810 2 10

80 21025 35683 35683 2005 3990 3 5 0 5 1345 4523 2 7

81 15821 26851 26851 2005 4095 2 4 0 4 1269 5957 2 9

82 8568 14541 14541 2005 4113 1 1 0 1 932 5994 2 3

83 16938 28747 28747 2005 4120 1 2 0 2 1116 5309 2 4

84 16561 28107 28107 2005 4189 1 2 0 2 1242 5362 2 3

85 4008 6802 28253 2005 4197 3 7 3 12 2973 2077 2 9
86 18302 31063 31063 2005 4198

2404 1565 475324

87 2271 3854 16008 2005 42031101 910 620021

88 2849 4835 20080 2005 42793606 2362 286925

89 14903 25293 25293 2005 43374808 3166 167524

90 19337 32819 32819 2001 10041101 671 597821

91 8605 14604 14604 2001 10641202 704 526322

92 2618 4444 18456 2001 1121492 11 646 173025

93 11566 19630 19630 2001 14391202 1045 478121

94 4231 7180 29821 2001 1598492 11 446 153923

95 6545 11108 11108 2001 18261101 777 531223

96 14586 24755 24755 2001 18923505 1133 459129

97 7118 12080 12080 2001 21191101 903 505325

98 9942 16874 16874 2001 22583606 1626 383629

99 8783 14906 14906 2001 23223606 1626 383627

100 10389 17632 17632 2001 2376492 11 1050 129023

101 4375 7426 30842 2001 24123505 1669 247427

102 12458 21144 21144 2001 24404808 2255 268634

103 4289 7279 30233 2001 2461354 13 3675 42125

104 11065 18780 18780 2001 25572303 974 475229

105 7954 13499 13499 2001 26943606 1626 383627

106 2126 3608 14986 2001 27971202 722 56512 10

107 8605 14604 14604 2001 28431202 704 526322

108 4827 8193 34028 2001 2866354 13 3308 52223

109 3285 5575 23153 2001 2888492 11 1856 191225

110 3363 5708 23708 2001 29384808 3509 169225

111 5951 10100 10100 2001 29581101 416 807223

112 2409 4088 16979 2001 2993492 11 1856 191222

113 2483 4213 17500 2001 30183707 2115 291528

114 2899 4920 20434 2001 3130121 10 1216 429821

115 38779 65816 65816 2001 3189354 13 3308 5222 10

116 2664 4522 18780 2001 32332303 802 577721

117 12832 21779 21779 2001 32643505 1648 259225

118 11065 18780 18780 2001 32892303 620 621535

119 2419 4105 17051 2001 33263606 1315 364929

120 10273 17436 17436 2001 34564808 5161 109327

121 11857 20123 20123 2001 35112303 802 577721

122 17595 29862 29862 2001 35253505 1139 406827

123 7192 12206 12206 2001 3657121 10 1251 424221

124 6450 10948 45469 2001 3721373 12 3086 118929

125 1682 2854 11854 2001 37454808 346 741821

126 2489 4225 17547 2001 3921492 11 828 244325

127 6339 10759 10759 2001 39551101 590 643327

128 10004 16979 16979 2001 4110492 11 1820 20942 11

129 52593 89260 89260 2001 41843505 1072 439429

130 4818 8176 33959 2001 4190492 11 2041 184929

131 4190 7111 29534 2001 4258373 12 2642 229437

132 3122 5299 22010 2001 4304492 11 544 141323

133 6090 10336 42927 2001 43172303 1083 488927

134 4806 8158 33881 2001 4346373 12 3086 118929

135 25293 42927 42927 2001 43632303 1083 488927

136 11201 19010 78956 2001 43713707 2078 32872 10

137 25293 42927 42927 2001 44152303 1083 488928

138 4804 8153 33861 2001 4439492 11 579 197125

139 4056 6883 28588 2001 44612404 922 715321

140 9638 16358 16358 2001 44801202 1404 416823

141 3491 5925 24607 2001 4523492 11 544 141329

142 10232 17365 17365 2001 4524492 11 106 608323

143 20444 34697 34697 2001 45473505 1330 299729

144 4327 7343 30500 2001 45664808 5161 109323

145 21837 37062 37062 2001 4618373 12 2642 229425

146 3143 5335 22157 2001 46543505 1497 311821

147 3515 5965 24775 2001 46711202 1271 439823

148 12048 20448 20448 2001 47031202 1045 478125

149 10233 17367 17367 2001 47744909 357 419527

150 2828 4799 19933 2001 4808492 11 544 141325

151 2639 4479 18601 2001 4834373 12 3086 118927

152 14238 24165 24165 2001 4846121 10 638 595734

153 2699 4581 19026 2001 48991101 711 587225

154 13518 22942 22942 2001 50224808 5161 109324

155 12121 20571 20571 2001 5101492 11 2256 28692 10

156 12121 20571 20571 2001 5102492 11 2256 28692 12

157 2749 4665 19375 2001 5124492 11 828 244325

158 11865 20138 20138 2001 5311121 10 1251 424221

159 13852 23510 23510 2001 5408492 11 960 157627

160 3335 5661 23510 2001 5538492 11 960 157629

161 2531 4295 17838 2001 56201202 1271 439825

162 2366 4015 16676 2001 56892404 922 715321

163 20444 34697 34697 2001 57413505 1330 299729

164 12048 20448 20448 2001 58461202 1045 478125

165 20009 33959 33959 2001 5849492 11 960 157624
Pool Heater Characteristics Fuel Use

Adjusted Pool or SpaPH/Spa Heater Other

SWIMPOOL POOL FUELPOOL RECBATH FUELTUB DRYRFUEL FUELFOOD Fuel Use Fuel Appliance

1 1 2 0 99 5 2 61368 2.00 2 CookingOnly

1 1 1 1 1 5 1 19847 1.00 1 CookingOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 30931 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 5 14092 3.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 1 1 5 1 17677 1.00 1 CookingOnly

1 0 99 1 2 2 5 13972 3.00 2 DryerOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 31287 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 1 5 1 42302 1.00 1 CookingOnly

1 1 1 0 99 1 5 21323 2.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 1 1 1 5 61425 1.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 25500 1.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 1 1 1 5 22348 1.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 14916 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 0 99 1 1 1 1 7891 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 0 99 1 1 5 5 1976 3.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 1 5 1 44559 1.00 1 CookingOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 20575 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 0 99 1 1 5 5 6180 3.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 11662 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 0 99 1 5 21682 2.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 1 1 5 5 28189 1.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 0 99 1 1 1 5 10161 3.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 31287 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 52495 1.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 1 5 5 5 31282 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 5 5 1 14852 2.00 1 CookingOnly

1 1 1 1 5 1 1 55264 2.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 0 99 1 5 53212 2.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 15439 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 2 0 99 5 5 15259 2.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 5 1 2 1 5 31112 3.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 11248 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 5 5 5 25622 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 5 1 12673 3.00 1 CookingOnly

1 1 2 0 99 5 5 39002 2.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 16244 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 1 1 5 5 42276 1.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 0 99 1 5 45840 2.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 2 0 99 5 5 15259 2.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 5 5 5 32595 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 6412 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 0 99 1 2 5 5 10432 3.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 5 5 2221 3.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9680 1.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 15153 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 0 99 1 1 42186 2.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 2 0 99 5 2 50323 2.00 2 CookingOnly

0 9 99 1 1 5 1 4780 3.00 1 CookingOnly

0 9 99 1 1 5 1 6846 3.00 1 CookingOnly

1 1 2 0 99 5 5 21790 2.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 0 99 1 1 188457 2.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

0 9 99 1 2 5 2 18970 3.00 2 CookingOnly

1 1 1 1 1 1 5 18021 1.00 1 DryerOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 14826 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 68038 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 2 0 99 2 2 39344 2.00 2 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 16817 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 11132 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 15525 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

0 9 99 1 1 1 5 7121 3.00 1 DryerOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 5 18997 3.00 1 DryerOnly

1 0 99 1 1 1 5 8524 3.00 1 DryerOnly

0 9 99 1 1 5 5 2927 3.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 5 6439 3.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 27478 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 1 5 5 51316 1.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 1 5 1 1 27547 2.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 0 99 1 1 1 1 20956 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

0 9 99 1 1 1 1 13663 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 2 0 99 5 5 15252 2.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 1 5 1 8203 3.00 1 CookingOnly

1 1 1 1 1 1 5 19826 1.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 1 34289 2.00 1 CookingOnly

9 9 99 1 2 99 2 25929 3.00 2 CookingOnly

1 1 1 1 1 5 5 18809 1.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 38545 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

0 9 99 1 2 5 2 6176 3.00 2 CookingOnly

0 9 99 1 1 1 5 9580 3.00 1 DryerOnly

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 31907 1.00 1 Cooking+Dryer

1 1 2 0 99 5 5 3836 2.00 2 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 2 0 99 5 2 25911 2.00 2 CookingOnly

1 1 2 0 99 5 2 72659 2.00 2 CookingOnly

1 1 1 0 99 5 5 31287 2.00 1 PoolHeaterOnly

1 1 1 0 99 1 5 31957 2.00 1 DryerOnly

1 0 99 1 1 1 1 22932 3.00 1 Cooking+Dryer
1

110 99 5 5 14360 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 1 20830 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

09 9911 5 5 2506 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 5 1 6894 2.001 CookingOnly

1120 99 5 1 236271 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 1 5 59068 2.001 DryerOnly

10 9911 5 5 11209 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 1 1 46747 2.001 Cooking+Dryer

09 9911 1 1 31395 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

1110 99 1 5 58200 2.001 DryerOnly

11111 5 5 117695 1.001 PoolHeaterOnly

1120 99 5 5 5297 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

1120 99 5 5 25287 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 5 1 121010 2.001 CookingOnly

1110 99 5 1 43437 2.001 CookingOnly

09 9911 5 5 19394 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

11115 5 5 75062 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9912 5 5 7306 3.002 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 5 1 46967 2.001 CookingOnly

1110 99 5 5 63798 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9912 2 5 25030 3.002 DryerOnly

1110 99 1 5 48185 2.001 DryerOnly

09 9911 99 1 3621 3.001 CookingOnly

09 9911 1 1 30937 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

10 9911 5 5 13761 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

1120 99 5 5 5754 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 1 33071 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

09 9911 5 5 12807 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 1 20935 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

1110 99 5 5 14605 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 5 17581 3.001 DryerOnly

1110 99 5 5 31748 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 5 5 30822 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 5 5 21759 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

11212 5 5 46851 1.002 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 1 1 141225 2.001 Cooking+Dryer

1120 99 5 5 7946 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

1120 99 5 5 114436 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 5 5 8861 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 5 5 4688 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 1 23388 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

11215 5 5 4749 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

11111 5 1 115817 1.001 CookingOnly

1110 99 5 1 41328 2.001 CookingOnly

09 9912 5 5 53360 3.002 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 5 5 18103 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 5 1 13859 3.001 CookingOnly

09 9911 5 1 19023 3.001 CookingOnly

10 9911 1 5 14501 3.001 DryerOnly

1110 99 5 5 63298 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 5 5 11760 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 5 5 58192 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

10 9911 5 5 13515 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 1 13658 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

1120 99 5 5 53337 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 1 46875 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

11111 1 1 43437 1.001 Cooking+Dryer

1110 99 1 1 52080 2.001 Cooking+Dryer

10 9911 99 5 6560 3.001 PoolHeaterOnly

11115 5 5 57893 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9912 5 1 53360 3.002 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 5 1 18021 3.001 CookingOnly

11215 5 5 53360 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

1110 99 5 1 51947 2.001 CookingOnly

09 9911 1 1 63496 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

09 9911 1 1 30144 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

1110 99 1 5 44663 2.001 DryerOnly

09 9911 1 5 20239 3.001 DryerOnly

11115 5 1 35653 2.001 CookingOnly

11111 1 1 35878 1.001 Cooking+Dryer

11111 1 1 40787 1.001 Cooking+Dryer

09 9911 1 5 17723 3.001 DryerOnly

1110 99 1 5 60955 2.001 DryerOnly

11115 5 5 128097 2.001 PoolHeaterOnly

09 9911 1 5 18417 3.001 DryerOnly

09 9911 1 5 13007 3.001 DryerOnly

09 9911 1 1 5959 3.001 Cooking+Dryer

1110 99 1 1 52080 2.001 Cooking+Dryer

11215 5 5 26542 2.002 PoolHeaterOnly

11115 5 1 24664 2.001 CookingOnly
Base Case Efficiency Lookup

Import Parameters Baseline Efficiency Distribution for 250 kBtu/h Pool Heaters (forcasted for 2013)

from: RECS HH Data with Pilot Elec. Ignition

Pool Heater has Pilot? 0 Level EF % EF %

(0=no , 1=yes) 0 78% 3.4% 78% 1.5%

1 79% 62.1% 79% 24.2%

2 81% 13.8% 81% 21.2%

Export Parameters 3 82% 20.7% 82% 28.8%

to: Summary, Installation Cost 4 83% 0.0% 83% 3.0%

RECS Household # 2540 5 84% 0.0% 84% 12.1%

Base Case Efficiency 78% 6 86% 0.0% 86% 7.6%

7 90% 0.0% 90% 0.0%

8 95% 0.0% 95% 1.5%

100.0% 100.0%

Source: Models Data Worksheet (Based on FTC Directory May 2009 and mfr product literature).

with Pilot Elec. Ignition

EF Sampled 78% 78%
Pool Heater Model Characteristics

Sources: FTC July 2009, CEC 2/5/2010, and manufa

Base Case Efficiency Distribution PARENT COMPANY

to: Base Case Efficiency Lochinvar Corp.

with Pilot Elec. Ignition Lochinvar Corp.

Level EF % % Lochinvar Corp.

0 78% 3.4% 1.5% Lochinvar Corp.

1 79% 62.1% 24.2% Lochinvar Corp.

2 81% 13.8% 21.2% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

3 82% 20.7% 28.8% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

4 83% 0.0% 3.0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

5 84% 0.0% 12.1% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

6 86% 0.0% 7.6% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

7 90% 0.0% 0.0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

8 95% 0.0% 1.5% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

100% 100.0% 100.0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

Input Capacity Distribution Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

300,000 250,000 150,000 Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

50,000 0% 50,000 0% 50,000 4% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

74,990 0% 74,990 0% 74,990 2% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

100,000 0% 100,000 0% 100,000 6% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

125,000 0% 125,000 0% 125,000 10% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

130,000 0% 130,000 0% 130,000 4% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

150,000 0% 150,000 6% 150,000 10% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

175,000 0% 175,000 7% 175,000 12% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

199,500 0% 199,500 4% 199,500 6% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

200,000 0% 200,000 10% 200,000 16% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

250,000 25% 250,000 18% 250,000 30% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

266,000 5% 266,000 4% 266,000 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

300,000 12% 300,000 9% 300,000 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

325,000 8% 325,000 6% 325,000 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

332,500 5% 332,500 4% 332,500 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

333,000 3% 333,000 2% 333,000 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

350,000 8% 350,000 6% 350,000 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

399,000 12% 399,000 9% 399,000 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

399,990 8% 399,990 6% 399,990 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

400,000 13% 400,000 10% 400,000 0% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

100% 100% 100% Waterpik Technologies, Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

pool and spa heater pool/spa heaters spa heaters

to: Energy Use
Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Pentair Inc.

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Hayward Industries

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma

Paloma
uly 2009, CEC 2/5/2010, and manufacturer websites

MANUFACTURER BRAND

MODEL 

NUMBER

FUEL TYPE 

gas/oil/lpg

INPUT 

BTU/hr.

THERMAL 

EFFICIENCY % SOURCE

Lochinvar Corp. EnergyRite ER(N,L)152 Natural Gas 150,000 86.6 FTC 2009

Lochinvar Corp. EnergyRite ER(N,L)202 Natural Gas 200,000 86.3 FTC 2009

Lochinvar Corp. EnergyRite ER(N,L)252 Natural Gas 250,000 87.8 FTC 2009

Lochinvar Corp. EnergyRite ER(N,L)302 Natural Gas 300,000 86.4 FTC 2009

Lochinvar Corp. EnergyRite ER(N,L)402 Natural Gas 400,000 86.9 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Hi-E2 EHE350N** Natural Gas 350,000 95.0 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LD125N** Natural Gas 125,000 79.2 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LD175N** Natural Gas 175,000 79.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LD250N** Natural Gas 250,000 79.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LD325N** Natural Gas 325,000 82.1 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LD400N** Natural Gas 399,000 82.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LG125N** Natural Gas 125,000 79.2 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LG175N** Natural Gas 175,000 79.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LG250N** Natural Gas 250,000 79.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LG325N** Natural Gas 325,000 82.1 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LG400N** Natural Gas 399,000 82.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LJ125N** Natural Gas 125,000 79.2 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LJ175N** Natural Gas 175,000 79.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LJ250N** Natural Gas 250,000 79.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LJ325N** Natural Gas 325,000 82.1 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Lite 2 LJ400N** Natural Gas 399,000 82.3 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. LXi LXI250N** Natural Gas 250,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. LXi LXI300N** Natural Gas 300,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. LXi LXI400N** Natural Gas 399,000 81.8 FTC 2009

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZM 125 Natural Gas 125,000 78.2 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZM 175 Natural Gas 175,000 79.6 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZM 250 Natural Gas 250,000 80.8 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZM 325 Natural Gas 325,000 80.4 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZM 400 Natural Gas 400,000 81.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZE 125 Natural Gas 125,000 78.2 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZE 175 Natural Gas 175,000 79.6 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZE 250 Natural Gas 250,000 80.8 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZE 325 Natural Gas 325,000 80.4 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. Legacy LRZE 400 Natural Gas 400,000 81.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. LT/LX LT250N Natural Gas 250,000 80.8 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. LT/LX LT400N Natural Gas 400,000 81.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. LT/LX LX250N Natural Gas 250,000 80.8 CEC 2/5/2010

Jandy Pool Products Inc. LT/LX LX400N Natural Gas 400,000 81.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. MasterTemp MSTRTMP175 Natural Gas 175,000 84.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. MasterTemp MSTRTMP200 Natural Gas 200,000 84.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. MasterTemp MSTRTMP250 Natural Gas 250,000 84.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. MasterTemp MSTRTMP250HD Natural Gas 250,000 81.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. MasterTemp MSTRTMP300 Natural Gas 300,000 84.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. MasterTemp MSTRTMP400 Natural Gas 399,990 84.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. MasterTemp MSTRTMP400HD Natural Gas 399,990 81.0 FTC 2009

Sta-Rite Industries, Inc. Max-E-Therm SR200HD Natural Gas 200,000 81.0 FTC 2009

Sta-Rite Industries, Inc. Max-E-Therm SR200NA Natural Gas 200,000 84.0 FTC 2009

Sta-Rite Industries, Inc. Max-E-Therm SR333HD Natural Gas 333,000 81.0 FTC 2009

Sta-Rite Industries, Inc. Max-E-Therm SR333NA Natural Gas 333,000 84.0 FTC 2009

Sta-Rite Industries, Inc. Max-E-Therm SR400HD Natural Gas 399,990 81.0 FTC 2009
Sta-Rite Industries, Inc. Max-E-Therm SR400NA Natural Gas 399,990 84.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 100 DSI Natural Gas 100,000 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 100 MV Natural Gas 100,000 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 150CH Natural Gas 150,000 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 200CH Natural Gas 200,000 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 250CH Natural Gas 250,000 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 300CH Natural Gas 300,000 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 350CH Natural Gas 350,000 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 400CH Natural Gas 399,990 79.0 FTC 2009

Pentair Pool Products, Inc. Minimax 75 Natural Gas 74,990 79.0 FTC 2009

Hayward Pool Products Universal H-Series Low-NOx H150FDN Natural Gas 150,000 82.0 Mfr website

Hayward Pool Products Universal H-Series Low-NOx H200FDN Natural Gas 200,000 82.0 Mfr website

Hayward Pool Products Universal H-Series Low-NOx H250FDN Natural Gas 250,000 82.4 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products Universal H-Series Low-NOx H300FDN Natural Gas 300,000 82.0 Mfr website

Hayward Pool Products Universal H-Series Low-NOx H350FDN Natural Gas 350,000 82.8 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products Universal H-Series Low-NOx H400FDN Natural Gas 400,000 82.8 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H150ED2 Natural Gas 150,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H200ED2 Natural Gas 200,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H250ED2 Natural Gas 250,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H300ED2 Natural Gas 300,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H350ED2 Natural Gas 350,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H400ED2 Natural Gas 400,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H1501 Natural Gas 150,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H2001 Natural Gas 200,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H2501 Natural Gas 250,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H3001 Natural Gas 300,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H3501 Natural Gas 350,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H4001 Natural Gas 400,000 80.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Hayward Pool Products H-Series H100ID1 Natural Gas 100,000 81.0 CEC 2/5/2010

Raypak RP2100 -R206A-EN- Natural Gas 199,500 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R266A-EN- Natural Gas 266,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R336A-EN- Natural Gas 332,500 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R406A-EN- Natural Gas 399,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R207A-EN- Natural Gas 199,500 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R267A-EN- Natural Gas 266,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R337A-EN- Natural Gas 332,500 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R407A-EN- Natural Gas 399,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R206A-MN- Natural Gas 199,500 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R266A-MN- Natural Gas 266,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R336A-MN- Natural Gas 332,500 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak RP2100 -R406A-MN- Natural Gas 399,000 82.0 FTC 2009

Raypak Versa -R055B-MN Natural Gas 50,000 81.0 FTC 2009

Raypak Versa -R055B-EN Natural Gas 50,000 81.0 FTC 2009

Raypak Versa -R130A-MN- Natural Gas 130,000 81.0 FTC 2009

Raypak Versa -R130A-EN- Natural Gas 130,000 81.0 FTC 2009
BASIC 

MODEL?

PILOT 

LIGHT IGNITION TYPE Low Nox?

Control 

Type

Dual Temp 

Controls? Venting Type

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES Manual TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition AVAILABLE Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition AVAILABLE Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition NO LCD Display TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition AVAILABLE LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft
TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Hot Surface Ignition YES LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual TRUE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO Manual FALSE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO LCD Display FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark YES LCD Display FALSE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark YES LCD Display FALSE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark YES LCD Display FALSE Forced Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark YES LCD Display FALSE Forced Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE TRUE Standing Pilot (Millivot) NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft

TRUE FALSE Direct Spark NO Manual FALSE Natural Draft
Installation Cost

Import Parameters

from: RECS HH Data Basic Electricity Condensate Total 

Repl/New? (1=Repl; 2= New) 1 Costs Connection Removal Cost

Pool Heater has Pilot? (0=no , 1=yes) 0 Replacement Installation Cost (2009$)

Division +4 lrg State 13 0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $274 $60 $334

Heating Fuel Type (1=NG; 2=LPG) 2 1 Improved HX $274 $60 $334

2 Improved HX $274 $60 $334

Export Parameters 3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $274 $60 $334

to: LCC&Payback Calcs Installation 4 Power Venting $274 $60 $334

 Cost (2009$) 5 Power Venting, Improved HX $274 $60 $334

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $334 6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $274 $60 $100 $434

1 Improved HX $334 7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $274 $60 $100 $434

2 Improved HX $334 8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $274 $60 $100 $434

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $334 New Construction/Owner Installation Cost (2009$)

4 Power Venting $334 0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $895 $101 $996

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $334 1 Improved HX $895 $101 $996

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $434 2 Improved HX $895 $101 $996

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $434 3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $895 $101 $996

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $434 4 Power Venting $895 $101 $996

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $895 $101 $996

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $895 $101 $100 $1,096

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $895 $101 $100 $1,096

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $895 $101 $100 $1,096

Installation Cost Components (2009$) Total Cost

Basic Installation Costs

0 Baseline (Replacement) $274

1 Baseline (New Construction/Owner, Natural Gas) $1,836

2 Baseline (New Construction/Owner, LPG) $895

Electronic Ignition Design Adders

3 Electricity Connections (New Connection) $101

4 Electricity Connections (In-Kind Reconnect) $60

Condensing Design Adders

5 Condensate Removal Adder $100

Source: 2009 RS Means and consultant information (See Appendix 8-A)

Installation Cost Calculations and Data

Installation Cost Calculations Total

Crew Labor Hours Unit Material Labor SubTotal Unit Factor Labor Hours Material Labor Total

PH Installation (Retrofit)

Trip Charge Q1 1 Ea. $0.00 $31.43 $31.43 1.00 1.00 $0.00 $47.18 $47.18

Setting, connecting start-up (labor only) Q1 2 Ea. $0.00 $62.87 $62.87 1.00 2.00 $0.00 $94.36 $94.36

Remove Old Pool Heater Q1 1 Ea. $0.00 $31.43 $31.43 1.00 1.00 $0.00 $47.18 $47.18

Connection to P-Trap PVC lines or redo condensate Q1 1 Ea. $35.00 $31.43 $66.43 1.00 1.00 $38.50 $47.18 $85.68

Total 5.00 $38.50 $235.90 $274.40

Pool Heater Installation (New Construction/New Owner) LPG Cost

Setting, connecting start-up (labor only) Q6 8 Ea. $0.00 $264.02 $264.02 1.00 8.00 $0.00 $396.30 $396.30 $396.30

Water Piping (Schedule 40, threaded, with couplings, and clevis hanger, 1" diameter)Q6 0.122 L.F. $1.09 $4.02 $5.10 50.00 6.09 $59.68 $301.68 $361.36 $361.36

Gas Piping 1" diameter (Schedule 40, threaded, with couplings, and clevis type hangars, 10' O.C., black) Q6 0.128 L.F. $3.22 $4.24 $7.46 100.00 12.84 $354.37 $635.82 $990.18 $49.51

Connection to P-Trap PVC lines Q6 1 Ea. $35.00 $33.00 $68.00 1.00 1.00 $38.50 $49.54 $88.04 $88.04

Total 27.93 $452.54 $1,383.34 $1,835.88 $895.21

Electricity Connection (In-Kind Reconnect)

Motor Connections (Flexible conduit and fitting, 115 volt, 1 phase, up to 1 HP motor)1 Elec 1 Ea. $9.00 $33.67 $42.67 1.00 1.00 $9.90 $50.10 $60.00

Electricity Connection (New Outlet for New Owner of Retrofit switching from Pilot Ignition)

Trip Charge 1 Elec 0.5 L.F. $0.00 $16.84 $16.84 1.00 0.50 $0.00 $25.05 $25.05

Lighiting outlets (Box (4") and wire (for fixture), Type NM cable) 1 Elec 0.32 L.F. $0.00 $10.77 $10.77 1.00 0.32 $0.00 $16.03 $16.03

Motor Connections (Flexible conduit and fitting, 115 volt, 1 phase, up to 1 HP motor)1 Elec 1 Ea. $9.00 $33.67 $42.67 1.00 1.00 $9.90 $50.10 $60.00

Total 1.82 $9.90 $91.19 $101.09

2009 RS Means Standard Union Labor Costs (2009$) Labor Cost Choice (1=Regional; 2=Sample Weighted Avg; 3=National)1

Crew Cost per Labor Cost per Labor-Hour

No. Description Labor-Hour Factor Bare Costs Incl. O&P

Q6 2 Steamfitters, 1 Steamfitter Apprentice 3 $46.07 0.72 $33.00 $49.54

1 Elec 1 Electrician 1 $47.00 0.72 $33.67 $50.10

Q1 1 Plumber, 1 Plumber Apprentice 2 $43.88 0.72 $31.43 $47.18

Q9 1 sheet metal worker, 1 sheet metal worker apprentice 2 $42.48 0.72 $30.43 $46.83

1 Carp 1 Carpenter 1 $39.95 0.72 $28.62 $44.39

2009 RS Means Labor Costs Markups (Standard Union)

Trade Workers Comp.

Aver Fixed 

Overhead Overhead Profit Total

Plumber 7.8% 16.3% 16.0% 10.0% 50.1%

Electrician 6.5% 16.3% 16.0% 10.0% 48.8%

Sheet Metal 11.6% 16.3% 16.0% 10.0% 53.9%

Carpenter 17.8% 16.3% 11.0% 10.0% 55.1%

Material Costs Markup 10.0%

Div & 4 Labor Cost Factor Sample Weighted

1 1.18 4%

2 1.27 8%

3 1.12 12%

4 0.97 2%

5 0.73 11%

6 0.75 3%

7 0.66 1%

8 0.82 9%

9 1.06 3%

10 1.66 4%

11 1.25 22%

12 0.66 8%

13 0.72 12%

Nat. Avg. 1 1.01

 Intermediate Calculations

Labor Costs Location Factors

Bare Costs (2009$) Total Values including O&P (2009$)

Description

Laborers per Crew
Maintenance and Repair Costs

Import Parameters

from: Lifetime

Equipment Lifetime (year) 10

from: RECS HH Data

Pool Heater has Pilot? (0= No; 1=Yes) 0

Division +4 lrg State 13

to: LCC&Payback Calcs Maint. Repair Costs by Components Year Component Fails

Design Cost pilot / elec. Ign. Power Vent pilot / elec. Ign. Power Vent

(2009$) (2009$) (2009$) yr yr

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition $235.90 $0 $0

1 Improved HX $235.90 $0 $0

2 Improved HX $235.90 $0 $0

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) $235.90 $0 $0

4 Power Venting $235.90 $0 $0

5 Power Venting, Improved HX $235.90 $0 $0

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX $340.75 $0 $0

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing $340.75 $0 $0

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX $340.75 $0 $0

Maintenance Frequency 6

Warranty Period (years) 1

Repair Frequency Index

to: Forecast Cells (1-Yes, 0-No)

Pilot Ignition Repair 1

Electronic Ignition Repair 0

Induced Draft Repair 0

 Export Parameters

 Intermediate Calculations

Maintenance Costs Frequency (yr) Cost (2009$)

Baseline Maintenance 6 $235.90

Advanced Design Maintenance 6 $340.75

Repair Costs Failure Year Cost (2009$) Correlation Factor

Pilot Ignition Repair Cost 5 $113.74 1

Electronic Ignition Repair Cost 12 $172.95 1

Induced Draft Repair Cost 15 $406.06 1

Source: 2009 RS Means and consultant information (See Appendix 8-B)

Maintenance and Repair Cost Calculations and Data

Maintenance Cost Calculations

Description Crew Labor Hours Unit Material Labor SubTotal Unit Factor

Maintenance Cost Baseline

Trip Charge 1 Plum 0.5 Ea. $0.00 $17.46 $17.46 1.00

Measure millivolt signal, clean burners, clean HX, start up heater check temperature rise 1 Plum 4 Ea. $0.00 $139.70 $139.70 1.00

Total

Maintenance Cost Advanced Design

Trip Charge 1 Plum 0.5 Ea. $0.00 $17.46 $17.46 1.00

Measure ignition signal, clean burners, clean HX, measure combustion differential pressure, start up heater check temperature rise 1 Plum 6 Ea. $0.00 $209.55 $209.55 1.00

Total

Repair Cost Calculations

Description Crew Labor Hours Unit Material Labor SubTotal Unit Factor

Pilot Ignition Repair Cost

Trip Charge 1 Plum 0.5 Ea. $0.00 $17.46 $17.46 1.00

Repair (pilot device) 1 Plum 1.25 Ea. $20.00 $43.66 $63.66 1.00

Total

Electronic Ignition Repair Cost

Trip Charge 1 Plum 0.5 Ea. $0.00 $17.46 $17.46 1.00

Repair (electronic ignition) 1 Plum 1.75 Ea. $50.00 $61.12 $111.12 1.00

Total

Induced Draft Repair Cost

Trip Charge 1 Plum 0.5 Ea. $0.00 $17.46 $17.46 1.00

Repair (electronic ignition) 1 Plum 2 Ea. $250.00 $69.85 $319.85 1.00

Total

2009 RS Means Standard Union Labor Costs (2009$) Labor Cost Choice (1=Regional; 2=Sample Weighted Avg; 3=National) 1

Laborers Cost per Labor Cost per Labor-Hour

Bare Costs (2009$)

Bare Costs (2009$)
Crew No. per Crew Labor-Hour Factor Bare Costs Incl. O&P

1 Plum 1 Plumber 1 48.75 0.72 $34.93 $52.42

2009 RS Means Labor Costs Markups (Standard Union)

Trade Workers Comp.

Avg Fixed 

Overhead Overhead Profit Total

Plumber 7.8% 16.3% 16.0% 10.0% 50.1%

Material Costs Markup 10.0%

Div & 4 lrg states Labor Cost Factor Sample Weight

1 1.18 4%

2 1.27 8%

3 1.12 12%

4 0.97 2%

5 0.73 11%

6 0.75 3%

7 0.66 1%

8 0.82 9%

9 1.06 3%

10 1.66 4%

11 1.25 22%

12 0.66 8%

13 0.72 12%

National Avg. 1 1.01

Labor Costs Location Factors
Total

Labor Hours Material Labor Total

0.50 $0.00 $26.21 $26.21

4.00 $0.00 $209.69 $209.69

4.50 $0.00 $235.90 $235.90

0.50 $0.00 $26.21 $26.21

6.00 $0.00 $314.54 $314.54

6.50 $0.00 $340.75 $340.75

Total

Labor Hours Material Labor Total

0.50 $0.00 $26.21 $26.21

1.25 $22.00 $65.53 $87.53

1.75 $22.00 $91.74 $113.74

0.50 $0.00 $26.21 $26.21

1.75 $55.00 $91.74 $146.74

2.25 $55.00 $117.95 $172.95

0.50 $0.00 $26.21 $26.21

2.00 $275.00 $104.85 $379.85

2.50 $275.00 $131.06 $406.06

Total Values including O&P (2009$)

Total Values including O&P (2009$)

Energy Prices (by Division and Large States)

Import Parameters Residential Energy Prices (in 2009$)

From RECS Household: Year of Energy Prices

Div & Lrg State 13 Div. &

Lrg State

1

Export Parameters 2

To LCC Summary: Residential Energy Prices (in 2009$) 3

4

Elec Price Gas Price LPG Price 5

Year of Energy Price 2008 2008 2007 6

Sampled Annual Energy Price $0.116 $21.80 $33.49 7

$/kWh $/MMBtu $/MMBtu 8

9

10

11

12

13

U.S. Avg

RECS Pool Heater Sample
 Energy Prices (in 2009$)

2008 2008 2007 RECS

Elec Gas LPG Fraction

$ / kWh $ / MMBtu $ / MMBtu 4.4%

$0.175 $17.9 $30.1 8.1%

$0.130 $16.7 $30.3 12.1%

$0.105 $14.5 $23.6 2.4%

$0.087 $14.6 $20.9 10.9%

$0.102 $19.6 $28.2 2.7%

$0.093 $17.6 $27.1 1.1%

$0.096 $16.2 $24.4 9.3%

$0.098 $13.2 $25.0 3.2%

$0.103 $13.6 $29.3 4.5%

$0.182 $18.3 $29.6 21.6%

$0.138 $13.0 $30.7 7.7%

$0.130 $16.0 $27.6 12.1%

$0.116 $21.8 $33.5

$0.117 $15.6 $26.2

$0.122 $16.2 $28.6




Energy Price Trends (based on AEO 2010)

Import Parameters AEO 2010 (Early Release) Residential Energy Price Projection for Electricity, Nat Gas and LPG

from: User Options (GUI) 1 Reference Case

Fuel Price Projection Index 1 2 High Growth Scenario

Census Division 5 3 Low Growth Scenario

i.e. AEO 2010 (Early Release) - Reference Case

Export Parameters Energy Price For Census Division: 5

to: Summary Electricity Price Natural Gas Price LPG

AEO 2010 (Early Release) - Reference Case (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in cent / kWh) (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu)

Elec Gas LPG Ref. High Low Ref. High Low Ref. High Low Ref. High Low Year Div 1

Trend Relative to 2008 2008 2007 2007 30.05 30.05 30.05 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.13 16.13 16.13 28.67 28.67 28.67 2007 50.04

2008 1.000 1.00 1.14 2008 31.26 31.26 31.26 10.66 10.66 10.66 16.64 16.64 16.64 32.82 32.82 32.82 2008 51.88

2009 1.033 0.81 0.97 2009 32.28 32.29 32.30 11.02 11.02 11.02 13.55 13.55 13.55 27.81 27.81 27.81 2009 48.00

2010 0.940 0.78 0.94 2010 29.39 29.43 29.35 10.03 10.04 10.01 12.96 13.02 12.89 26.87 26.87 26.87 2010 46.62

2011 0.934 0.83 0.94 2011 29.21 29.30 29.01 9.97 10.00 9.90 13.89 13.97 13.68 26.95 26.63 26.45 2011 43.23

2012 0.963 0.84 0.98 2012 30.09 30.31 29.68 10.27 10.34 10.13 14.03 14.18 13.73 28.11 27.70 27.42 2012 46.39

2013 0.982 0.82 1.02 2013 30.68 31.05 30.07 10.47 10.59 10.26 13.63 13.84 13.28 29.33 28.85 28.49 2013 47.32

2014 0.979 0.82 1.06 2014 30.61 31.11 29.85 10.44 10.61 10.18 13.64 13.94 13.21 30.28 29.90 29.35 2014 47.61

2015 0.976 0.83 1.08 2015 30.50 31.23 29.60 10.41 10.65 10.10 13.82 14.27 13.43 30.87 30.94 30.42 2015 47.29

2016 0.981 0.84 1.10 2016 30.65 31.58 29.74 10.46 10.78 10.15 13.91 14.39 13.51 31.51 31.62 31.01 2016 47.05

2017 0.987 0.84 1.12 2017 30.85 31.93 29.90 10.53 10.89 10.20 13.93 14.43 13.50 32.04 32.16 31.44 2017 46.97

2018 0.988 0.84 1.14 2018 30.89 32.07 29.70 10.54 10.94 10.13 13.98 14.48 13.48 32.63 32.76 31.98 2018 46.85

2019 0.982 0.84 1.15 2019 30.69 32.21 29.39 10.47 10.99 10.03 14.05 14.53 13.46 32.88 32.89 32.25 2019 46.78

2020 0.985 0.85 1.16 2020 30.79 32.57 29.32 10.51 11.11 10.00 14.18 14.63 13.56 33.11 33.15 32.28 2020 46.84

2021 0.989 0.86 1.16 2021 30.91 32.62 29.22 10.55 11.13 9.97 14.33 14.74 13.75 33.34 33.52 32.35 2021 46.84

2022 0.988 0.87 1.17 2022 30.89 32.54 29.22 10.54 11.10 9.97 14.56 14.99 14.12 33.55 33.96 32.81 2022 46.99

2023 0.990 0.88 1.18 2023 30.95 32.52 29.24 10.56 11.10 9.98 14.70 15.20 14.30 33.82 34.29 33.00 2023 47.15

2024 0.994 0.89 1.19 2024 31.07 32.78 29.09 10.60 11.19 9.93 14.76 15.59 14.26 34.09 34.85 33.36 2024 47.03

2025 0.993 0.89 1.20 2025 31.05 32.90 28.81 10.59 11.23 9.83 14.85 15.47 13.91 34.35 35.24 33.16 2025 46.73

2026 0.996 0.90 1.20 2026 31.13 32.95 28.80 10.62 11.24 9.83 14.99 15.43 13.95 34.50 35.52 33.26 2026 46.81

2027 1.000 0.91 1.21 2027 31.26 33.03 28.92 10.66 11.27 9.87 15.15 15.71 14.35 34.77 35.94 33.57 2027 47.16

2028 1.002 0.93 1.22 2028 31.33 33.00 28.84 10.69 11.26 9.84 15.41 15.77 14.49 35.02 36.05 33.51 2028 47.45

2029 1.014 0.94 1.23 2029 31.71 33.35 29.12 10.82 11.38 9.94 15.71 16.25 14.89 35.37 36.16 33.64 2029 47.89

2030 1.023 0.96 1.24 2030 31.99 33.66 29.34 10.92 11.48 10.01 16.01 16.46 15.10 35.59 36.57 34.13 2030 48.42

2031 1.034 0.98 1.25 2031 32.31 34.00 29.66 11.03 11.60 10.12 16.38 16.90 15.49 35.95 36.84 34.33 2031 48.93

2032 1.042 0.99 1.27 2032 32.58 34.28 29.89 11.12 11.70 10.20 16.55 17.04 15.62 36.28 37.23 34.72 2032 49.25

2033 1.045 1.00 1.28 2033 32.67 34.37 29.98 11.15 11.73 10.23 16.63 17.14 15.71 36.67 37.60 35.05 2033 49.44

2034 1.051 1.01 1.29 2034 32.86 34.57 30.15 11.21 11.80 10.29 16.81 17.32 15.88 37.03 37.99 35.42 2034 49.57

2035 1.058 1.02 1.31 2035 33.08 34.80 30.35 11.29 11.87 10.36 16.90 17.41 15.96 37.41 38.37 35.77 2035 49.91

2036 1.065 1.03 1.32

2037 1.072 1.04 1.33

2038 1.078 1.05 1.34 For energy price trend after 2035:

2039 1.085 1.06 1.35 Electricity - the rate of change from 2025 to 2035 is used

2040 1.092 1.08 1.36 Gas - the rate of change from 2020 to 2035 is used Year Div 1

2041 1.099 1.09 1.37 LPG - the rate of change from 2020 to 2035 is used 2007 50.04

2042 1.106 1.10 1.38 2008 51.88

2043 1.113 1.12 1.39 2009 48.02

2044 1.120 1.13 1.40 2010 46.84

2045 1.127 1.14 1.42 2011 43.43

2046 1.134 1.16 1.43 2012 46.76

2047 1.141 1.17 1.44 2013 47.87

2048 1.149 1.18 1.45 2014 48.36

2049 1.156 1.20 1.46 2015 48.38

2050 1.163 1.21 1.47 2016 48.28

2051 1.171 1.22 1.49 2017 48.34

2052 1.178 1.24 1.50 2018 48.39

2053 1.185 1.25 1.51 2019 48.22

2054 1.193 1.27 1.52 2020 48.01

2055 1.201 1.28 1.54 2021 47.81

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Electricity Price (AEO2010)

Reference

High

Low

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Gas Price (AEO2010)

Reference

High

Low
2056 1.208 1.30 1.55 2022 48.24

2057 1.216 1.31 1.56 2023 48.57

2058 1.224 1.33 1.57 2024 48.90

2059 1.231 1.34 1.59 2025 48.62

2060 1.239 1.36 1.60 2026 48.25

2061 1.247 1.38 1.61 2027 48.58

2062 1.255 1.39 1.63 2028 48.91

2063 1.263 1.41 1.64 2029 49.04

2064 1.271 1.43 1.65 2030 49.27

2065 1.279 1.44 1.67 2031 49.94

2066 1.287 1.46 1.68 2032 50.20

2067 1.295 1.48 1.69 2033 50.43

2068 1.303 1.49 1.71 2034 50.54

2069 1.311 1.51 1.72 2035 50.90

2070 1.320 1.53 1.74

2071 1.328 1.55 1.75

2072 1.337 1.57 1.76

2073 1.345 1.58 1.78

2074 1.354 1.60 1.79 Year Div 1

2075 1.362 1.62 1.81 2007 50.04

2076 1.371 1.64 1.82 2008 51.88

2077 1.379 1.66 1.84 2009 47.98

2078 1.388 1.68 1.85 2010 46.49

2079 1.397 1.70 1.87 2011 42.92

2080 1.406 1.72 1.88 2012 45.76

2081 1.415 1.74 1.90 2013 46.49

2082 1.424 1.76 1.91 2014 46.74

2083 1.433 1.78 1.93 2015 46.41

2084 1.442 1.80 1.94 2016 46.00

2017 45.82

2018 45.50

2019 45.21

2020 45.12

2021 45.12

2022 45.65

2023 45.95

2024 45.60

2025 44.97

2026 45.03

2027 45.32

2028 45.61

2029 46.30

2030 46.81

2031 47.30

2032 47.61

2033 47.80

2034 47.92

2035 48.25

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080

Electricity Price Trend

AEO 2010 

(Early 

Release) -...

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080

Gas Price Trend

AEO 2010 

(Early 

Release) -...



































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8

41.80 29.18 24.89 30.05 25.04 33.42 27.89 35.43 31.82 2007 16.68 14.90 11.55 11.91 16.13 13.85 12.28 10.87

43.58 30.44 25.41 31.26 27.30 37.81 28.82 33.84 33.29 2008 16.79 15.76 12.32 11.80 16.64 14.56 13.34 10.94

41.33 28.75 27.02 32.28 27.88 33.35 28.65 32.18 32.33 2009 14.69 12.72 10.28 10.36 13.55 11.68 10.64 10.15

39.68 28.17 26.82 29.39 26.97 31.56 27.74 32.56 30.94 2010 14.47 12.10 9.77 9.85 12.96 11.08 10.08 9.87

36.86 26.49 25.96 29.21 26.23 29.33 28.49 32.43 29.90 2011 15.09 13.10 10.60 10.75 13.89 11.89 10.97 10.84

40.20 27.61 26.27 30.09 26.57 31.03 28.84 32.98 31.08 2012 15.18 13.27 10.66 10.83 14.03 12.00 11.09 10.84

40.97 27.91 26.49 30.68 26.59 31.18 28.96 33.50 31.47 2013 14.88 12.92 10.30 10.51 13.63 11.67 10.74 10.34

40.40 28.14 26.73 30.61 26.61 31.23 28.94 33.82 31.49 2014 14.73 12.74 10.26 10.43 13.64 11.71 10.75 10.32

40.41 28.28 26.58 30.50 26.40 31.39 28.92 33.57 31.43 2015 14.82 12.83 10.41 10.54 13.82 11.92 10.93 10.47

41.15 28.67 26.58 30.65 26.53 31.91 28.97 33.39 31.64 2016 14.87 12.87 10.49 10.62 13.91 12.03 11.01 10.63

41.74 28.69 26.62 30.85 26.80 32.16 29.06 33.22 31.80 2017 14.89 12.87 10.51 10.65 13.93 12.05 11.00 10.73

42.01 28.67 26.54 30.89 26.85 31.99 29.13 32.97 31.78 2018 14.96 12.90 10.58 10.72 13.98 12.11 11.03 10.84

41.90 28.67 26.44 30.69 26.67 31.98 29.24 32.77 31.68 2019 15.02 12.95 10.65 10.79 14.05 12.21 11.08 10.95

42.32 28.82 26.51 30.79 26.80 32.18 29.67 32.82 31.84 2020 15.10 13.03 10.76 10.90 14.18 12.35 11.19 11.11

42.72 29.05 26.55 30.91 26.86 32.29 30.07 32.88 32.01 2021 15.24 13.15 10.88 11.01 14.33 12.52 11.32 11.18

42.85 29.15 26.58 30.89 26.78 32.49 30.39 32.90 32.08 2022 15.46 13.36 11.08 11.21 14.56 12.76 11.53 11.33

43.24 29.38 26.48 30.95 26.74 32.67 30.62 32.89 32.20 2023 15.52 13.45 11.15 11.22 14.70 12.92 11.65 11.08

43.33 29.66 26.41 31.07 26.77 33.00 30.53 32.65 32.28 2024 15.49 13.45 11.09 11.11 14.76 12.99 11.68 10.78

43.12 29.56 26.22 31.05 26.73 33.21 30.76 32.58 32.26 2025 15.63 13.53 11.15 11.17 14.85 13.08 11.73 10.99

43.33 29.56 26.08 31.13 26.76 33.52 31.26 32.82 32.40 2026 15.81 13.67 11.32 11.35 14.99 13.22 11.83 11.24

43.59 29.66 26.01 31.26 26.78 33.84 31.77 32.95 32.57 2027 16.01 13.83 11.50 11.57 15.15 13.37 11.94 11.49

43.95 29.77 25.96 31.33 26.83 34.21 32.14 33.01 32.73 2028 16.27 14.06 11.76 11.82 15.41 13.64 12.17 11.75

44.77 30.02 26.01 31.71 27.08 34.93 32.65 33.18 33.13 2029 16.57 14.33 12.01 12.06 15.71 13.95 12.43 11.98

44.97 30.28 26.16 31.99 27.28 35.59 33.13 33.39 33.46 2030 16.87 14.61 12.30 12.34 16.01 14.31 12.74 12.21

45.48 30.39 26.32 32.31 27.49 36.26 33.67 33.64 33.81 2031 17.22 14.95 12.63 12.67 16.38 14.70 13.08 12.52

45.91 30.58 26.54 32.58 27.58 36.86 34.11 33.81 34.11 2032 17.40 15.10 12.77 12.83 16.55 14.83 13.17 12.69

46.12 30.67 26.46 32.67 27.66 37.24 34.44 33.90 34.26 2033 17.52 15.19 12.85 12.93 16.63 14.90 13.18 12.84

46.49 31.01 26.53 32.86 27.86 37.54 34.84 34.04 34.49 2034 17.75 15.39 13.07 13.14 16.81 15.12 13.36 13.06

46.65 31.14 26.85 33.08 27.93 37.87 35.19 34.18 34.71 2035 17.90 15.51 13.24 13.32 16.90 15.34 13.53 13.21

Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8

41.80 29.18 24.89 30.05 25.04 33.42 27.89 35.43 31.82 2007 16.68 14.90 11.55 11.91 16.13 13.85 12.28 10.87

43.58 30.44 25.41 31.26 27.30 37.81 28.82 33.84 33.29 2008 16.79 15.76 12.32 11.80 16.64 14.56 13.34 10.94

41.40 28.78 27.02 32.29 27.89 33.34 28.65 32.18 32.35 2009 14.69 12.72 10.28 10.36 13.55 11.68 10.64 10.15

39.77 28.24 27.45 29.43 26.96 31.58 27.84 32.67 31.04 2010 14.55 12.16 9.83 9.92 13.02 11.14 10.13 9.96

37.09 26.59 26.80 29.30 26.27 29.40 28.70 32.67 30.08 2011 15.17 13.19 10.67 10.83 13.97 11.96 11.04 10.94

40.64 27.96 27.06 30.31 26.77 31.42 29.15 33.37 31.43 2012 15.31 13.40 10.79 10.96 14.18 12.14 11.24 11.00

41.83 28.49 27.32 31.05 26.93 31.66 29.57 34.09 32.00 2013 15.09 13.13 10.49 10.69 13.84 11.87 10.94 10.50

41.24 28.94 27.58 31.11 27.10 31.74 29.66 34.59 32.13 2014 15.02 13.02 10.53 10.69 13.94 12.01 11.05 10.61

41.35 29.35 27.54 31.23 27.12 32.24 29.88 34.54 32.30 2015 15.26 13.24 10.82 10.94 14.27 12.36 11.36 10.84

42.03 29.91 27.56 31.58 27.45 32.78 30.30 34.51 32.66 2016 15.29 13.30 10.93 11.04 14.39 12.49 11.47 11.12

43.08 29.96 27.61 31.93 27.85 33.31 30.37 34.48 32.98 2017 15.38 13.32 10.97 11.09 14.43 12.53 11.47 11.23

43.60 30.13 27.66 32.07 28.06 33.22 30.53 34.27 33.09 2018 15.44 13.36 11.04 11.18 14.48 12.60 11.50 11.36

43.80 30.49 27.66 32.21 28.13 33.26 30.58 34.10 33.18 2019 15.51 13.41 11.11 11.26 14.53 12.66 11.54 11.51

44.17 30.74 27.80 32.57 28.43 33.51 31.24 34.22 33.46 2020 15.57 13.48 11.21 11.36 14.63 12.79 11.63 11.65

44.54 30.73 27.97 32.62 28.48 33.63 31.62 34.18 33.57 2021 15.74 13.59 11.23 11.35 14.74 12.92 11.72 11.63

Electricity Regional Price Forecasts Natural Gas Regional Price Forecasts

(in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu)

Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario

(in 2008$ / MMBtu)

Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario

(in 2008$ / MMBtu)
44.65 30.58 28.01 32.54 28.45 33.92 31.93 34.24 33.62 2022 16.01 13.84 11.51 11.65 14.99 13.17 11.93 11.85

44.90 30.65 27.86 32.52 28.35 34.12 32.29 34.51 33.72 2023 16.07 13.96 11.58 11.69 15.20 13.27 12.02 11.61

45.38 31.00 27.94 32.78 28.44 34.83 32.32 34.34 33.99 2024 16.27 14.19 11.73 11.72 15.59 13.70 12.35 11.37

45.13 31.10 27.84 32.90 28.55 35.46 32.47 34.19 34.10 2025 16.29 14.17 11.75 11.74 15.47 13.75 12.39 11.48

44.91 31.09 27.70 32.95 28.55 35.80 33.12 34.51 34.20 2026 16.31 14.16 11.79 11.78 15.43 13.78 12.39 11.59

44.81 31.25 27.72 33.03 28.54 36.03 33.47 34.55 34.30 2027 16.54 14.36 11.93 11.96 15.71 13.90 12.47 11.74

45.02 31.37 27.74 33.00 28.54 36.20 33.79 34.59 34.39 2028 16.68 14.46 12.07 12.12 15.77 13.99 12.55 11.98

45.80 31.60 27.84 33.35 28.79 36.66 34.34 34.76 34.73 2029 17.00 14.78 12.27 12.33 16.25 14.21 12.72 12.20

45.80 31.68 27.87 33.66 29.03 37.11 34.67 34.90 34.96 2030 17.24 14.99 12.52 12.55 16.46 14.58 13.05 12.35

46.43 31.90 28.10 34.00 29.24 37.93 35.32 35.19 35.39 2031 17.63 15.37 12.88 12.92 16.90 14.97 13.39 12.71

46.81 32.04 28.30 34.28 29.34 38.49 35.74 35.35 35.67 2032 17.80 15.51 13.02 13.06 17.04 15.10 13.48 12.85

47.06 32.17 28.23 34.37 29.42 38.93 36.11 35.45 35.84 2033 17.94 15.62 13.10 13.17 17.14 15.17 13.49 13.02

47.41 32.51 28.30 34.57 29.64 39.22 36.52 35.60 36.08 2034 18.17 15.82 13.32 13.39 17.32 15.40 13.67 13.24

47.59 32.65 28.65 34.80 29.71 39.57 36.89 35.75 36.31 2035 18.33 15.94 13.50 13.57 17.41 15.63 13.84 13.39

Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8

41.80 29.18 24.89 30.05 25.04 33.42 27.89 35.43 31.82 2007 16.68 14.90 11.55 11.91 16.13 13.85 12.28 10.87

43.58 30.44 25.41 31.26 27.30 37.81 28.82 33.84 33.29 2008 16.79 15.76 12.32 11.80 16.64 14.56 13.34 10.94

41.33 28.74 27.02 32.30 27.88 33.34 28.64 32.18 32.33 2009 14.69 12.72 10.28 10.36 13.55 11.68 10.64 10.15

39.57 28.08 26.82 29.35 26.94 31.48 27.68 32.48 30.88 2010 14.41 12.04 9.71 9.79 12.89 11.01 10.01 9.80

36.50 26.23 25.81 29.01 26.05 29.06 28.28 32.23 29.67 2011 14.89 12.90 10.41 10.57 13.68 11.68 10.76 10.67

39.27 27.14 26.03 29.68 26.24 30.40 28.43 32.61 30.60 2012 14.89 12.98 10.38 10.56 13.73 11.71 10.80 10.57

39.67 27.19 26.13 30.07 26.06 30.32 28.43 32.95 30.78 2013 14.54 12.59 9.97 10.19 13.28 11.33 10.41 10.00

38.92 27.16 26.20 29.85 25.93 30.54 28.32 33.23 30.70 2014 14.32 12.34 9.86 10.04 13.21 11.30 10.34 9.94

38.42 26.92 26.01 29.60 25.57 30.62 28.15 32.95 30.46 2015 14.44 12.47 10.04 10.18 13.43 11.54 10.55 10.05

39.12 27.70 25.97 29.74 25.76 30.89 28.20 32.69 30.68 2016 14.46 12.48 10.10 10.23 13.51 11.63 10.62 10.20

40.21 27.76 25.98 29.90 25.98 31.32 28.05 32.37 30.87 2017 14.46 12.46 10.09 10.23 13.50 11.63 10.58 10.21

40.34 27.57 25.76 29.70 25.84 31.08 28.00 31.85 30.68 2018 14.44 12.42 10.08 10.23 13.48 11.61 10.54 10.26

40.15 27.36 25.58 29.39 25.51 30.69 27.91 31.52 30.40 2019 14.44 12.41 10.09 10.24 13.46 11.61 10.51 10.36

40.26 27.48 25.54 29.32 25.61 30.82 28.29 31.62 30.46 2020 14.48 12.46 10.17 10.31 13.56 11.74 10.58 10.46

40.96 27.75 25.53 29.22 25.60 30.88 28.53 31.45 30.55 2021 14.68 12.61 10.28 10.38 13.75 11.97 10.78 10.52

41.28 27.78 25.55 29.22 25.50 31.24 28.96 31.58 30.69 2022 15.00 12.94 10.64 10.75 14.12 12.37 11.13 10.79

41.63 27.90 25.43 29.24 25.33 31.48 29.44 31.69 30.81 2023 15.04 13.02 10.68 10.75 14.30 12.47 11.20 10.57

41.15 28.03 25.30 29.09 25.12 31.96 29.02 31.39 30.71 2024 14.93 12.92 10.54 10.57 14.26 12.41 11.10 10.24

40.57 27.77 25.01 28.81 24.83 31.77 29.17 31.05 30.43 2025 14.80 12.72 10.45 10.50 13.91 12.33 10.99 10.31

40.72 27.88 24.88 28.80 24.75 31.61 29.65 31.31 30.47 2026 14.92 12.79 10.56 10.62 13.95 12.39 11.02 10.54

41.18 28.19 24.88 28.92 24.75 31.04 30.06 31.29 30.53 2027 15.21 13.05 10.71 10.81 14.35 12.51 11.10 10.74

41.34 28.07 24.70 28.84 24.62 31.54 30.01 31.24 30.55 2028 15.40 13.23 10.97 11.04 14.49 12.85 11.37 10.96

42.07 28.05 24.63 29.12 24.72 32.38 30.63 31.46 30.91 2029 15.79 13.59 11.30 11.35 14.89 13.26 11.73 11.25

42.45 28.18 24.65 29.34 24.83 33.21 31.17 31.64 31.22 2030 16.11 13.88 11.68 11.73 15.10 13.67 12.11 11.60

42.84 28.34 24.86 29.66 25.06 33.73 31.64 31.88 31.54 2031 16.43 14.19 11.94 11.99 15.49 14.00 12.39 11.82

43.29 28.49 25.03 29.89 25.12 34.34 32.08 32.04 31.83 2032 16.61 14.34 12.10 12.16 15.62 14.15 12.49 12.02

43.47 28.59 24.97 29.98 25.20 34.67 32.37 32.12 31.96 2033 16.73 14.42 12.16 12.25 15.71 14.20 12.50 12.14

43.82 28.90 25.03 30.15 25.38 34.96 32.75 32.26 32.19 2034 16.95 14.62 12.37 12.46 15.88 14.42 12.67 12.36

43.97 29.02 25.34 30.35 25.44 35.26 33.08 32.39 32.39 2035 17.09 14.73 12.54 12.62 15.96 14.63 12.82 12.50

Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario

(in 2008$ / MMBtu)

Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario

(in 2008$ / MMBtu)



































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat.

11.92 12.94 2007 31.19 30.76 22.56 22.56 28.67 27.75 27.75 23.98 28.95 26.25

12.40 13.48 2008 34.05 33.69 26.37 23.08 32.82 30.87 30.44 28.23 34.34 29.35

11.25 11.39 2009 28.85 28.55 22.34 19.55 27.81 26.16 25.79 23.93 29.10 24.90

10.79 10.89 2010 27.07 27.17 21.82 19.25 26.87 25.39 25.18 23.34 26.28 24.01

11.61 11.78 2011 27.15 27.25 21.90 19.34 26.95 25.48 25.26 23.43 26.36 24.09

11.65 11.87 2012 28.31 28.41 23.06 20.49 28.11 26.63 26.42 24.58 27.52 25.25

11.07 11.48 2013 29.52 29.62 24.28 21.71 29.33 27.85 27.63 25.80 28.73 26.47

11.00 11.41 2014 30.48 30.58 25.23 22.67 30.28 28.81 28.59 26.76 29.69 27.44

11.16 11.56 2015 31.07 31.17 25.82 23.25 30.87 29.39 29.18 27.34 30.28 28.03

11.31 11.65 2016 31.71 31.81 26.46 23.89 31.51 30.03 29.82 27.98 30.92 28.67

11.42 11.69 2017 32.24 32.34 26.99 24.43 32.04 30.57 30.35 28.52 31.45 29.21

11.52 11.76 2018 32.82 32.92 27.58 25.01 32.63 31.15 30.94 29.10 32.04 29.80

11.61 11.83 2019 33.08 33.18 27.83 25.26 32.88 31.40 31.19 29.35 32.29 30.06

11.76 11.95 2020 33.31 33.41 28.06 25.49 33.11 31.63 31.42 29.58 32.52 30.29

11.82 12.07 2021 33.54 33.64 28.29 25.72 33.34 31.87 31.65 29.82 32.75 30.53

11.92 12.26 2022 33.74 33.84 28.50 25.93 33.55 32.07 31.86 30.02 32.96 30.73

11.79 12.29 2023 34.02 34.12 28.77 26.20 33.82 32.35 32.13 30.30 33.23 31.01

11.44 12.20 2024 34.29 34.39 29.04 26.47 34.09 32.61 32.40 30.56 33.50 31.28

11.57 12.29 2025 34.55 34.65 29.30 26.73 34.35 32.87 32.66 30.82 33.76 31.55

11.78 12.46 2026 34.70 34.80 29.45 26.88 34.50 33.02 32.81 30.97 33.91 31.70

12.04 12.66 2027 34.97 35.07 29.72 27.15 34.77 33.29 33.08 31.24 34.18 31.98

12.25 12.90 2028 35.22 35.32 29.97 27.40 35.02 33.54 33.33 31.49 34.43 32.23

12.49 13.16 2029 35.57 35.67 30.32 27.75 35.37 33.89 33.68 31.84 34.78 32.59

12.71 13.44 2030 35.79 35.89 30.54 27.97 35.59 34.12 33.90 32.07 35.00 32.81

13.01 13.78 2031 36.15 36.25 30.90 28.33 35.95 34.47 34.26 32.42 35.36 33.17

13.18 13.93 2032 36.48 36.58 31.23 28.66 36.28 34.80 34.59 32.75 35.69 33.51

13.31 14.03 2033 36.86 36.96 31.62 29.05 36.67 35.19 34.98 33.14 36.08 33.90

13.56 14.25 2034 37.22 37.32 31.98 29.41 37.03 35.55 35.34 33.50 36.44 34.26

13.73 14.40 2035 37.61 37.71 32.36 29.79 37.41 35.93 35.72 33.88 36.82 34.65

Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat.

11.92 12.94 2007 31.19 30.76 22.56 22.56 28.67 27.75 27.75 23.98 28.95 26.25

12.40 13.48 2008 34.05 33.69 26.37 23.08 32.82 30.87 30.44 28.23 34.34 29.35

11.25 11.39 2009 28.85 28.55 22.34 19.55 27.81 26.16 25.79 23.93 29.10 24.90

10.89 10.96 2010 27.07 27.17 21.82 19.25 26.87 25.39 25.18 23.34 26.28 24.01

11.70 11.86 2011 26.82 26.92 21.58 19.02 26.63 25.15 24.94 23.10 26.04 23.77

11.81 12.01 2012 27.89 27.99 22.65 20.09 27.70 26.22 26.01 24.17 27.11 24.84

11.22 11.66 2013 29.04 29.14 23.81 21.24 28.85 27.37 27.16 25.32 28.26 26.00

11.26 11.69 2014 30.09 30.19 24.85 22.29 29.90 28.42 28.21 26.37 29.31 27.06

11.51 11.96 2015 31.14 31.24 25.89 23.32 30.94 29.46 29.25 27.41 30.35 28.10

11.76 12.10 2016 31.81 31.91 26.56 23.99 31.62 30.14 29.92 28.09 31.03 28.78

11.89 12.16 2017 32.35 32.45 27.11 24.53 32.16 30.68 30.47 28.63 31.57 29.33

11.96 12.23 2018 32.95 33.05 27.71 25.13 32.76 31.28 31.06 29.23 32.17 29.94

12.09 12.31 2019 33.08 33.18 27.84 25.27 32.89 31.41 31.20 29.36 32.30 30.07

12.22 12.42 2020 33.34 33.44 28.10 25.53 33.15 31.67 31.45 29.62 32.56 30.34

12.21 12.47 2021 33.71 33.82 28.47 25.89 33.52 32.04 31.83 29.99 32.93 30.71

LPG Regional Price Forecasts

(in 2008$ / MMBtu)

Updated Regional Residential LPG Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario

(in 2008$ / MMBtu)
12.46 12.73 2022 34.16 34.26 28.90 26.33 33.96 32.48 32.27 30.43 33.37 31.16

12.37 12.77 2023 34.49 34.59 29.24 26.66 34.29 32.81 32.60 30.76 33.70 31.50

12.04 12.87 2024 35.04 35.14 29.79 27.21 34.85 33.37 33.15 31.31 34.25 32.05

12.09 12.89 2025 35.44 35.54 30.18 27.60 35.24 33.76 33.54 31.71 34.64 32.45

12.17 12.92 2026 35.71 35.82 30.46 27.88 35.52 34.04 33.82 31.98 34.92 32.74

12.32 13.09 2027 36.13 36.23 30.87 28.30 35.94 34.45 34.24 32.40 35.34 33.16

12.46 13.22 2028 36.24 36.35 30.99 28.41 36.05 34.57 34.35 32.51 35.45 33.28

12.70 13.49 2029 36.36 36.46 31.10 28.53 36.16 34.68 34.46 32.63 35.56 33.40

12.85 13.71 2030 36.77 36.87 31.51 28.94 36.57 35.09 34.88 33.04 35.98 33.81

13.19 14.08 2031 37.04 37.14 31.79 29.21 36.84 35.36 35.15 33.31 36.25 34.09

13.35 14.23 2032 37.43 37.53 32.17 29.60 37.23 35.75 35.54 33.70 36.64 34.48

13.49 14.33 2033 37.80 37.90 32.55 29.98 37.60 36.12 35.91 34.07 37.01 34.86

13.74 14.55 2034 38.18 38.28 32.93 30.36 37.99 36.51 36.29 34.46 37.39 35.25

13.91 14.71 2035 38.57 38.67 33.32 30.75 38.37 36.90 36.68 34.85 37.78 35.64

Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat.

11.92 12.94 2007 31.19 30.76 22.56 22.56 28.67 27.75 27.75 23.98 28.95 26.25

12.40 13.48 2008 34.05 33.69 26.37 23.08 32.82 30.87 30.44 28.23 34.34 29.35

11.25 11.39 2009 28.85 28.55 22.34 19.55 27.81 26.16 25.79 23.93 29.10 24.90

10.73 10.83 2010 27.07 27.17 21.82 19.25 26.87 25.39 25.18 23.34 26.28 24.01

11.45 11.59 2011 26.65 26.75 21.41 18.85 26.45 24.98 24.76 22.93 25.87 23.60

11.39 11.59 2012 27.61 27.71 22.38 19.82 27.42 25.94 25.73 23.90 26.83 24.57

10.76 11.14 2013 28.68 28.78 23.46 20.90 28.49 27.01 26.80 24.97 27.90 25.64

10.64 11.01 2014 29.55 29.65 24.32 21.77 29.35 27.88 27.67 25.84 28.77 26.51

10.76 11.18 2015 30.62 30.72 25.38 22.82 30.42 28.94 28.73 26.90 29.83 27.57

10.91 11.25 2016 31.20 31.30 25.97 23.41 31.01 29.53 29.32 27.49 30.42 28.16

10.93 11.25 2017 31.63 31.73 26.40 23.84 31.44 29.96 29.75 27.92 30.85 28.60

10.97 11.25 2018 32.18 32.28 26.94 24.38 31.98 30.51 30.29 28.46 31.40 29.14

11.06 11.27 2019 32.45 32.55 27.21 24.65 32.25 30.77 30.56 28.73 31.66 29.41

11.16 11.35 2020 32.48 32.58 27.24 24.68 32.28 30.81 30.59 28.76 31.69 29.45

11.24 11.48 2021 32.54 32.64 27.31 24.75 32.35 30.87 30.66 28.83 31.76 29.52

11.50 11.82 2022 33.01 33.11 27.77 25.21 32.81 31.34 31.13 29.29 32.23 29.99

11.38 11.84 2023 33.20 33.30 27.96 25.40 33.00 31.53 31.31 29.48 32.42 30.18

10.98 11.66 2024 33.56 33.66 28.32 25.75 33.36 31.88 31.67 29.84 32.77 30.54

10.98 11.55 2025 33.36 33.46 28.12 25.56 33.16 31.69 31.47 29.64 32.58 30.34

11.14 11.66 2026 33.46 33.56 28.23 25.67 33.26 31.79 31.58 29.74 32.68 30.45

11.33 11.87 2027 33.77 33.87 28.53 25.97 33.57 32.09 31.88 30.05 32.98 30.75

11.53 12.09 2028 33.71 33.81 28.48 25.92 33.51 32.04 31.82 29.99 32.93 30.70

11.82 12.44 2029 33.84 33.94 28.61 26.05 33.64 32.17 31.96 30.12 33.06 30.84

12.16 12.78 2030 34.33 34.43 29.10 26.54 34.13 32.66 32.44 30.61 33.55 31.32

12.38 13.05 2031 34.53 34.63 29.29 26.73 34.33 32.86 32.64 30.81 33.75 31.53

12.58 13.22 2032 34.91 35.01 29.68 27.12 34.72 33.24 33.03 31.20 34.13 31.92

12.69 13.30 2033 35.25 35.35 30.01 27.45 35.05 33.58 33.36 31.53 34.47 32.25

12.93 13.51 2034 35.61 35.71 30.37 27.81 35.42 33.94 33.73 31.89 34.83 32.62

13.09 13.66 2035 35.97 36.07 30.73 28.16 35.77 34.30 34.08 32.25 35.19 32.98

Updated Regional Residential LPG Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario

(in 2008$ / MMBtu)














































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































Discount Rate

Export Parameters DISCOUNT RATE (Real Interest Rate) FOR REPLACEMENT/RETROFIT ONLY Distribution of Real Interest Rates REAL Gains and Losses for Various Assets

to: Summary RECS id# 2540 Finance Method Share Min Max Mean 1st Mortgage Home Equity Credit Card Installment Loans Other Residence Other LOC Savings CD - 6mo. Treasury Corp AAA Stocks Mutual

Discount Rate 7.7% 1 Home Equity Loans (after tax) 3.7% 0.4% 42.5% 3.9% rate wt rate wt rate wt rate wt rate wt rate wt Year Accounts CDs Sav Bonds Bonds S&P 500 Fund

2 Credit card 2.1% 0.0% 36.9% 10.7% 0.5% 0.059 0.004 0.089 0.000 0.055 0.000 0.345 0.2% 0.129 0.1% 0.043 1977 -0.6% 1.2% 1.4% -12.7% -8.0% 

3 Other Installment Loans 1.6% 0.0% 93.5% 6.0% 1.6% 0.192 0.015 0.084 0.014 0.019 0.014 0.020 1.5% 0.061 1.4% 0.033 1978 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% -1.0% -0.4% 

4 Other Residence Loans 5.3% 0.2% 17.9% 4.4% 2.5% 0.280 0.026 0.154 0.025 0.019 0.024 0.040 2.5% 0.084 2.5% 0.014 1979 0.1% -1.9% -1.5% 6.4% 3.7% 

5 Other Line of Credit 0.5% 0.1% 54.1% 8.8% 3.5% 0.244 0.035 0.257 0.035 0.033 0.034 0.053 3.5% 0.153 3.5% 0.044 1980 -0.5% -2.0% -1.4% 16.1% 10.1% 

6 Checking Accounts 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 0.147 0.045 0.180 0.045 0.044 0.045 0.057 4.5% 0.149 4.5% 0.065 1981 5.0% 2.8% 3.5% -13.6% -8.1% 

7 Savings and Money Market 15.3% 0.0% 4.0% 2.3% 5.4% 0.043 0.054 0.112 0.056 0.061 0.056 0.067 5.5% 0.177 5.5% 0.124 1982 6.0% 6.2% 7.2% 13.4% 11.0% 

8 CD (6 month) 8.6% -1.1% 6.1% 2.2% 6.4% 0.020 0.064 0.047 0.067 0.070 0.067 0.075 6.5% 0.127 6.7% 0.094 1983 5.9% 7.7% 8.6% 18.5% 14.9% 

9 Savings Bonds (Treasury) 1.4% -2.0% 7.8% 3.4% 7.4% 0.007 0.075 0.036 0.075 0.040 0.075 0.033 7.5% 0.059 7.6% 0.052 1984 5.5% 6.1% 7.8% 8.0% 1.8% 3.8% 

10 Bonds (Corporate AAA) 9.5% -1.5% 8.6% 4.1% 8.5% 0.004 0.085 0.019 0.087 0.060 0.086 0.040 8.6% 0.025 8.7% 0.090 1985 5.4% 4.5% 7.0% 7.5% 26.7% 20.1% 

11 Stocks (S&P 500) 29.0% -38.9% 33.4% 7.7% 9.5% 0.002 0.095 0.009 0.096 0.055 0.095 0.037 9.4% 0.014 9.5% 0.089 1986 6.0% 4.6% 5.8% 7.0% 16.3% 12.8% 

12 Mutual Funds (stock/bond) 18.6% -25.8% 23.6% 6.2% 10.5% 0.001 0.106 0.006 0.106 0.052 0.106 0.029 10.6% 0.004 10.5% 0.068 1987 3.3% 3.2% 4.8% 5.5% 2.1% 3.0% 

Total 100% wt.avg. 5.1% 11.6% 0.001 0.118 0.002 0.115 0.058 0.115 0.019 11.6% 0.005 11.6% 0.063 1988 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 11.9% 9.5% 

12.4% 0.001 0.127 0.003 0.126 0.049 0.125 0.027 12.6% 0.004 12.5% 0.065 1989 3.0% 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 25.4% 18.1% 

Finanace Method # Sampled 11 13.5% 0.000 0.137 0.000 0.136 0.044 0.135 0.019 14.7% 0.005 13.5% 0.019 1990 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% -8.0% -4.3% 

Real Interest Rate for that method 7.7% 14.4% 0.000 0.147 0.002 0.147 0.087 0.147 0.037 15.7% 0.001 14.7% 0.040 1991 2.7% 1.6% 3.8% 4.4% 25.0% 17.9% 

16.7% 0.000 0.167 0.000 0.156 0.074 0.156 0.017 16.6% 0.003 15.6% 0.018 1992 2.1% 0.7% 4.5% 5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 

22.9% 0.000 0.175 0.000 0.164 0.055 0.165 0.019 17.9% 0.001 16.5% 0.027 1993 1.1% 0.3% 3.5% 4.1% 6.8% 5.7% 

0.425 0.001 0.176 0.053 0.176 0.019 17.3% 0.011 1994 1.3% 2.3% 4.7% 5.3% -1.2% 0.8% 

0.185 0.019 0.185 0.012 18.5% 0.006 1995 2.2% 3.1% 3.9% 4.6% 33.4% 23.6% 

0.194 0.023 0.194 0.007 19.1% 0.012 1996 2.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 20.3% 14.7% 

0.205 0.012 0.205 0.007 20.2% 0.009 1997 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 28.9% 20.7% 

0.214 0.005 0.215 0.005 21.5% 0.007 1998 3.4% 3.8% 4.0% 4.9% 26.4% 18.9% 

0.225 0.003 0.223 0.002 22.1% 0.002 1999 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 18.3% 13.4% 

0.236 0.001 0.234 0.003 23.5% 0.002 2000 1.7% 3.1% 2.5% 4.1% -12.0% -7.2% 

0.246 0.003 0.246 0.004 25.4% 0.004 2001 1.8% 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% -14.3% -8.7% 

0.255 0.003 0.253 0.003 54.1% 0.002 2002 1.3% 0.2% 3.8% 4.8% -23.2% -14.2% 

0.263 0.002 0.266 0.000 2003 -0.2% -1.1% 2.6% 3.3% 25.5% 17.9% 

0.273 0.000 0.278 0.000 2004 -0.7% -0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 7.9% 6.0%

0.284 0.000 0.285 0.000 2005 -0.1% 0.3% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.3%

0.293 0.000 0.293 0.001 2006 1.1% 2.0% 1.6% 2.3% 12.0% 8.5%

0.369 0.000 0.341 0.000 2007 2.0% 2.3% 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4%

0.361 0.000 2008 0.2% -0.7% 0.4% 1.7% -38.9% -25.8%

0.436 0.000 2009 3.6% 1.2% 4.5% 5.7% 26.4% 19.1%

0.443 0.000 Avg. 2.3% 2.2% 3.4% 4.1% 7.7% 6.2%

0.472 0.000 2 X Avg. 4.5% 4.5% 6.7% 8.2% 15.3% 12.5%

0.935 0.000 Min -0.7% -1.1% -2.0% -1.5% -38.9% -25.8%

Avg. 3.0% 100% 3.9% 100% 10.7% 100% 6.0% 100% 4.4% 100% 8.8% 100% Max 6.0% 6.1% 7.8% 8.6% 33.4% 23.6%

Min 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% Std. Dev. 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.9% 11.5%

Max 22.9% 42.5% 36.9% 93.5% 17.9% 54.1% Source: Golden West Financial Corporation, Federal Reserve, and Demodaran Online

Dist. 3.0% 3.9% 10.7% 6.0% 4.4% 8.8% 

Sources: Estimate using 1989, 1992, 1998, 1998, 2001, 2004, and 2007 Survey of Consumer Finances
Lifetime

Lifetime 

 Export Parameters

to: Summary

Lifetime 10.0 years

Source: See Appendix 8-C

Assumptions

Lifetime distribution (years)

Mean min max max percentile

10 3 20 0.995

Calculated Values for Weibull Functions

Lifetime distribution (years)

Beta Alpha Likeliest value Solver Error

2.18 7.90 9 0.0

(Shape) (Scale)

Page 5525
Worksheet Cell Address Forecast Name Forecast Units DataSet Count Median Min Max Average 5% 25% 50% 75% 95%

Energy Use I18 Pool Heating Load MMBtu1 10000 21.43284 1.54128 184.29138 26.3682864 1.54128 10.9134607 21.43284 32.2529601 87.7638183 100%

Base Case Efficiency C12 Base Case Efficiency1 10000 0.82 0.78 0.95 0.816616 0.79 0.79 0.82 0.82 0.86 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs D6 Lifetime years1 10000 9.65141636 3.13903444 24.7723968 9.97318898 5.07390867 7.4460578 9.65034754 12.1147977 16.0929536 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs D7 DiscountRate1 10000 0.040100160 0.54052261 0.0515923 0.00044999 0.02047351 0.04009995 0.07634942 0.1327603 100%

Equipment Price Q16 BaseMarkup2 10000 1.7685 1.57570271 1.7685 1.7133556 1.58273608 1.6104825 1.7685 1.7685 1.7685 100%

Equipment Price Q17 IncrMarkup3 10000 1.3986 1.29557778 1.3986 1.3709913 1.30136077 1.3241745 1.3986 1.3986 1.3986 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs D33 Average Natural Gas Prices1 8146 12.4638 11.6413 17.8638 13.4329 11.6413 11.6413 12.4638 14.129 17.8638 81%

LCC&Payback Calcs D34 Average LPG Prices1 1854 28.824 20.0978 34.264 29.2718 20.0978 28.47 28.824 29.2001 34.264 19%

LCC&Payback Calcs D35 Average Electricity Prices1 10000 0.114 0.0789 0.1714 0.1164 0.091 0.0985 0.114 0.1363 0.1598 100%

Maint. And Repair Cost D30 Component failure - % Pilot Ignition Repair1 10000001 0.411500011 100%

Maint. And Repair Cost D31 Component failure - % Electronic Ignition Repair1 10000001 0.087300001 100%

Maint. And Repair Cost D32 Component failure - % Power Vent Repair1 10000001 0.059300001 100%

Energy Use D14 Annual Gas Use - level00 MMBtu 05 10000 27.478 1.976 236.271 34.1385564 2.506 14.36 27.478 41.6492691 113.635836 100%

Energy Use D15 Annual Gas Use - level01 MMBtu 05 10000 27.1301772 1.95098734 233.387148 33.7107621 2.47427848 14.1782278 27.1301772 41.1220631 112.197407 100%

Energy Use D16 Annual Gas Use - level02 MMBtu 05 10000 26.4602963 1.90281481 227.833063 32.8868619 2.41318519 13.8281481 26.4602963 40.1162871 109.478377 100%

Energy Use D17 Annual Gas Use - level03 MMBtu 05 10000 26.1376098 1.87960976 225.157619 32.4899832 2.3837561 13.6595122 26.1376098 39.6327053 108.18864 100%

Energy Use D18 Annual Gas Use - level04 MMBtu 05 10000 25.8226988 1.85696386 222.037807 31.7690198 1.85696386 13.1487479 25.8226988 38.8589881 105.73954 100%

Energy Use D19 Annual Gas Use - level05 MMBtu 05 10000 25.5152857 1.83485714 219.3945 31.3908171 1.83485714 12.9922151 25.5152857 38.3963811 104.480736 100%

Energy Use D20 Annual Gas Use - level06 MMBtu 05 10000 24.921907 1.79218605 214.292302 30.6607981 1.79218605 12.6900706 24.921907 37.503442 102.050951 100%

Energy Use D21 Annual Gas Use - level07 MMBtu 05 10000 23.8142667 1.71253333 204.7682 29.298096 1.71253333 12.1260675 23.8142667 35.8366224 97.5153536 100%

Energy Use D22 Annual Gas Use - level08 MMBtu 05 10000 22.5608842 1.6224 193.990926 27.7560909 1.6224 11.4878534 22.5608842 33.9504843 92.3829666 100%

Energy Use E14 Annual Electricity Use - level00 kWh 06 10000 2.387239810 6.54133603 2.298546530 1.6222487 2.38720528 3.06018212 3.99004712 100%

Energy Use E15 Annual Electricity Use - level01 kWh 06 10000 2.384310420 6.50145907 2.295546430 1.61825548 2.38391344 3.05706959 3.98440957 100%

Energy Use E16 Annual Electricity Use - level02 kWh 06 10000 2.379134830 6.424659 2.289768470 1.61283386 2.37912916 3.05012174 3.97753716 100%

Energy Use E17 Annual Electricity Use - level03 kWh 06 10000 2.374999250 6.38766384 2.286985180 1.61053571 2.3748747 3.04731018 3.97202176 100%

Energy Use E18 Annual Electricity Use - level04 kWh 06 10000 6.75909426 0.57481907 80.3641625 8.50010347 2.60703177 4.6062764 6.75903016 9.92944871 20.4125727 100%

Energy Use E19 Annual Electricity Use - level05 kWh 06 10000 6.70461934 0.57136697 79.447816 8.4254944 2.59407218 4.57713963 6.70454245 9.83657611 20.1843403 100%

Energy Use E20 Annual Electricity Use - level06 kWh 06 10000 6.60165386 0.56470362 77.6790542 8.28148154 2.57216476 4.51804782 6.60146614 9.66990329 19.7437987 100%

Energy Use E21 Annual Electricity Use - level07 kWh 06 10000 6.4089656 0.55226535 74.3773654 8.01265754 2.52652356 4.41564305 6.4086664 9.34073416 18.9423522 100%

Energy Use E22 Annual Electricity Use - level08 kWh 06 10000 6.19824327 0.53819048 70.6412438 7.70846197 2.48176901 4.29793544 6.19793375 8.97081629 18.0649291 100%

Energy Use C14 Burner Oper. Hr. - level00 kWh7 10000 91.4958718 4.94 1575.14 128.248135 11.5430248 47.04 91.4943455 156.008 369.705821 100%

Energy Use C15 Burner Oper. Hr. - level01 kWh7 10000 90.3376962 4.87746835 1555.20152 126.624741 11.3969106 46.444557 90.3361892 154.033215 365.026001 100%

Energy Use C16 Burner Oper. Hr. - level02 kWh7 10000 88.1071358 4.75703704 1516.80148 123.498204 11.1155054 45.2977778 88.105666 150.229926 356.013013 100%

Energy Use C17 Burner Oper. Hr. - level03 kWh7 10000 87.0326586 4.69902439 1498.3039 121.992129 10.9799505 44.7453659 87.0312067 148.397854 351.671391 100%

Energy Use C18 Burner Oper. Hr. - level04 kWh7 10000 85.9840723 4.64240964 1480.25205 120.522344 10.8476619 44.2062651 85.9826379 146.609928 347.434386 100%

Energy Use C19 Burner Oper. Hr. - level05 kWh7 10000 84.9604524 4.58714286 1462.63 119.087554 10.7185231 43.68 84.9590351 144.864571 343.298263 100%

Energy Use C20 Burner Oper. Hr. - level06 kWh7 10000 82.9846279 4.48046512 1428.61535 116.318076 10.4692551 42.664186 82.9832436 141.495628 335.314582 100%

Energy Use C21 Burner Oper. Hr. - level07 kWh7 10000 79.2964222 4.28133333 1365.12133 111.148384 10.0039549 40.768 79.2950994 135.206933 320.411712 100%

Energy Use C22 Burner Oper. Hr. - level08 kWh7 10000 75.1229263 4.056 1293.27284 105.298469 9.47743092 38.6223158 75.1216731 128.090779 303.547937 100%

Equipment Price C13 Retail Price - Level 0$ 09 10000 1349.5424 1163.4989 1349.5424 1304.2522 1207.7859 1228.9592 1349.5424 1349.5424 1349.5424 100%

Equipment Price C14 Retail Price - Level 1$ 09 10000 1369.5423 1182.0256 1369.5423 1323.8574 1226.3954 1247.8949 1369.5423 1369.5423 1369.5423 100%

Equipment Price C15 Retail Price - Level 2$ 09 10000 1394.9969 1205.6052 1394.9969 1348.8094 1250.0801 1271.9949 1394.9969 1394.9969 1394.9969 100%

Equipment Price C16 Retail Price - Level 3$ 09 10000 1454.9968 1261.1854 1454.9968 1407.6249 1305.9085 1328.802 1454.9968 1454.9968 1454.9968 100%

Equipment Price C17 Retail Price - Level 4$ 09 10000 1584.0876 1412.768 1584.0876 1536.7386 1426.0241 1451.0233 1584.0876 1584.0876 1584.0876 100%

Equipment Price C18 Retail Price - Level 5$ 09 10000 1696.8147 1517.1916 1696.8147 1647.2405 1530.9138 1557.7517 1696.8147 1696.8147 1696.8147 100%

Equipment Price C19 Retail Price - Level 6$ 09 10000 2156.8143 1943.3071 2156.8143 2098.1595 1958.9313 1993.2727 2156.8143 2156.8143 2156.8143 100%

Equipment Price C20 Retail Price - Level 7$ 09 10000 3060.4497 2780.38 3060.4497 2983.957 2799.7405 2848.8219 3060.4497 3060.4497 3060.4497 100%

Equipment Price C21 Retail Price - Level 8$ 09 10000 3316.8131 3017.8594 3316.8131 3235.2597 3038.28 3091.543 3316.8131 3316.8131 3316.8131 100%

Installation Cost D13 Installation Cost - Level 0$ 10 10000 2116.9168 255.2734 4837.9097 1935.9561 334.4077 549.1232 2116.8733 3068.8081 3605.2415 100%

Installation Cost D14 Installation Cost - Level 1$ 10 10000 2116.9168 255.2734 4837.9097 1935.9561 334.4077 549.1232 2116.8733 3068.8081 3605.2415 100%

Installation Cost D15 Installation Cost - Level 2$ 10 10000 2116.9168 255.2734 4837.9097 1935.9561 334.4077 549.1232 2116.8733 3068.8081 3605.2415 100%

Installation Cost D16 Installation Cost - Level 3$ 10 10000 2116.9168 255.2734 4837.9097 1935.9561 334.4077 549.1232 2116.8733 3068.8081 3605.2415 100%

Installation Cost D17 Installation Cost - Level 4$ 10 10000 2127.0064 310.3924 4837.9097 1946.7902 334.4077 553.553 2126.9965 3081.7535 3608.8243 100%

Installation Cost D18 Installation Cost - Level 5$ 10 10000 2127.0064 310.3924 4837.9097 1946.7902 334.4077 553.553 2126.9965 3081.7535 3608.8243 100%

Installation Cost D19 Installation Cost - Level 6$ 10 10000 2197.6766 376.0189 5004.2034 2047.8109 406.0497 674.5492 2197.5046 3197.0109 3734.2503 100%

Installation Cost D20 Installation Cost - Level 7$ 10 10000 2197.6766 376.0189 5004.2034 2047.8109 406.0497 674.5492 2197.5046 3197.0109 3734.2503 100%

Installation Cost D21 Installation Cost - Level 8$ 10 10000 2197.6766 376.0189 5004.2034 2047.8109 406.0497 674.5492 2197.5046 3197.0109 3734.2503 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J14 Total Installed Price - level00$ 11 10000 3464.1153 1444.1204 6187.452 3240.2083 1543.5358 1786.0148 3464.1044 4415.0907 4954.7838 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J15 Total Installed Price - level01$ 11 10000 3484.1152 1463.0508 6207.452 3259.8134 1562.1659 1805.0727 3484.1044 4435.0907 4974.7838 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J16 Total Installed Price - level02$ 11 10000 3509.5698 1487.144 6232.9065 3284.7655 1585.877 1829.3283 3509.5589 4460.5452 5000.2383 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J17 Total Installed Price - level03$ 11 10000 3569.5697 1543.9352 6292.9065 3343.581 1641.7674 1886.502 3569.5589 4520.5451 5060.2383 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J18 Total Installed Price - level04$ 11 10000 3710.6963 1756.0638 6421.9973 3483.5289 1762.0165 2009.5122 3710.6561 4664.5168 5192.6843 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J19 Total Installed Price - level05$ 11 10000 3823.4235 1862.3987 6534.7244 3594.0308 1867.0228 2116.9296 3823.3833 4777.244 5305.4115 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J20 Total Installed Price - level06$ 11 10000 4354.2608 2361.9397 7161.0177 4145.9704 2367.158 2680.6877 4354.2028 5352.7131 5890.837 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J21 Total Installed Price - level07$ 11 10000 5257.8963 3208.9016 8064.6532 5031.7679 3212.1251 3541.7591 5257.8383 6256.3486 6794.4725 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs J22 Total Installed Price - level08$ 11 10000 5514.2597 3447.7061 8321.0165 5283.0706 3450.6646 3786.0469 5514.2016 6512.712 7050.8359 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K14 Annual Maint. Cost - level00$ 120K 10000 68.97180 182.8899 70.44530 47.2751 68.9718 91.4449 137.9436 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K15 Annual Maint. Cost - level01$ 121K 10000 68.97180 182.8899 70.44530 47.2751 68.9718 91.4449 137.9436 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K16 Annual Maint. Cost - level02$ 122K 10000 68.97180 182.8899 70.44530 47.2751 68.9718 91.4449 137.9436 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K17 Annual Maint. Cost - level03$ 123K 10000 68.97180 182.8899 70.44530 47.2751 68.9718 91.4449 137.9436 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K18 Annual Maint. Cost - level04$ 124K 10000 68.97180 182.8899 70.44530 47.2751 68.9718 91.4449 137.9436 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K19 Annual Maint. Cost - level05$ 125K 10000 68.97180 182.8899 70.44530 47.2751 68.9718 91.4449 137.9436 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K20 Annual Maint. Cost - level06$ 126K 10000 99.62590 264.1742 101.75430 68.2863 99.6259 132.0871 199.2518 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K21 Annual Maint. Cost - level07$ 127K 10000 99.62590 264.1742 101.75430 68.2863 99.6259 132.0871 199.2518 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs K22 Annual Maint. Cost - level08$ 128K 10000 99.62590 264.1742 101.75430 68.2863 99.6259 132.0871 199.2518 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L14 Annual Repr Cost - level00$ 130L 1000000 329.3348 22.55810000 190.4947 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L15 Annual Repr Cost - level01$ 131L 1000000 329.3348 22.55810000 190.4947 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L16 Annual Repr Cost - level02$ 132L 1000000 329.3348 22.55810000 190.4947 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L17 Annual Repr Cost - level03$ 133L 1000000 329.3348 22.55810000 190.4947 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L18 Annual Repr Cost - level04$ 134L 1000000 909.1512 35.42550000 261.9154 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L19 Annual Repr Cost - level05$ 135L 1000000 909.1512 35.42550000 261.9154 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L20 Annual Repr Cost - level06$ 136L 1000000 909.1512 35.42550000 261.9154 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L21 Annual Repr Cost - level07$ 137L 1000000 909.1512 35.42550000 261.9154 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs L22 Annual Repr Cost - level08$ 138L 1000000 909.1512 35.42550000 261.9154 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs R14 Repair Year - level00 140R 1104 5.97944346 1.00045986 21.1168944 6.62825148 2.05307159 4.04303048 5.97632514 8.81616814 12.8945355 11%

LCC&Payback Calcs R15 Repair Year - level01 141R 1104 5.97944346 1.00045986 21.1168944 6.62825148 2.05307159 4.04303048 5.97632514 8.81616814 12.8945355 11%

LCC&Payback Calcs R16 Repair Year - level02 142R 1104 5.97944346 1.00045986 21.1168944 6.62825148 2.05307159 4.04303048 5.97632514 8.81616814 12.8945355 11%

LCC&Payback Calcs R17 Repair Year - level03 143R 1104 5.97944346 1.00045986 21.1168944 6.62825148 2.05307159 4.04303048 5.97632514 8.81616814 12.8945355 11%

LCC&Payback Calcs R18 Repair Year - level04 144R 1191 6.60954053 1.00045986 21.1168944 7.05575271 2.25037407 4.45181211 6.59387457 9.16109602 13.1406997 12%

LCC&Payback Calcs R19 Repair Year - level05 145R 1191 6.60954053 1.00045986 21.1168944 7.05575271 2.25037407 4.45181211 6.59387457 9.16109602 13.1406997 12%

LCC&Payback Calcs R20 Repair Year - level06 146R 1191 6.60954053 1.00045986 21.1168944 7.05575271 2.25037407 4.45181211 6.59387457 9.16109602 13.1406997 12%

LCC&Payback Calcs R21 Repair Year - level07 147R 1191 6.60954053 1.00045986 21.1168944 7.05575271 2.25037407 4.45181211 6.59387457 9.16109602 13.1406997 12%

LCC&Payback Calcs R22 Repair Year - level08 148R 1191 6.60954053 1.00045986 21.1168944 7.05575271 2.25037407 4.45181211 6.59387457 9.16109602 13.1406997 12%

LCC&Payback Calcs O14 Life Cycle Cost - level00$ 150O 10000 6754.0063 1638.8282 133335.676 8339.2635 2969.229 5117.351 6753.6438 9153.9022 17521.3158 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O15 Life Cycle Cost - level01$ 151O 10000 6739.339 1656.517 131711.825 8300.2169 2975.3109 5120.0539 6738.9896 9108.2862 17367.0573 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O16 Life Cycle Cost - level02$ 152O 10000 6699.1416 1678.2191 128572.306 8212.2101 2975.9937 5108.9079 6698.8308 9014.7141 17066.7442 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O17 Life Cycle Cost - level03$ 153O 10000 6732.106 1733.8585 127104.199 8216.6125 3025.7747 5146.4221 6731.536 9018.5503 16970.583 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O18 Life Cycle Cost - level04$ 154O 10000 6796.1103 1855.08 125823.034 8263.744 3096.0298 5234.1342 6795.3837 9068.1731 16820.6577 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O19 Life Cycle Cost - level05$ 155O 10000 6885.2204 1960.6793 124474.863 8322.3239 3190.6731 5324.4451 6883.8104 9118.2447 16799.1268 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O20 Life Cycle Cost - level06$ 156O 10000 7577.7859 2459.7888 123040.503 8959.2649 3834.9927 5945.4487 7575.7519 9791.5191 17326.954 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O21 Life Cycle Cost - level07$ 157O 10000 8366.7737 3311.1377 118643.732 9657.982 4662.1031 6745.7189 8366.667 10482.0174 17652.7687 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs O22 Life Cycle Cost - level08$ 158O 10000 8504.3623 3549.3093 112958.703 9697.5886 4856.1355 6918.7648 8503.772 10518.5435 17328.5269 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P15 LCC Savings - level01$ 161P 100000 -18.1637 877.2178 0.695600000 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P16 LCC Savings - level02$ 162P 100000 -40.0817 2579.7383 24.9057 -1.4954000 133.3503 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P17 LCC Savings - level03$ 163P 100000 -98.3781 3617.3866 22.3129 -56.464 -6.930900 165.2529 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P18 LCC Savings - level04$ 164P 10000 -62.8591 -320.5655 6551.9175 -6.2764 -174.4668 -115.6553 -62.87910 349.3359 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P19 LCC Savings - level05$ 165P 10000 -119.4983 -432.2909 7414.2133 -52.4921 -278.4323 -206.9201 -119.53150 354.5568 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P20 LCC Savings - level06$ 166P 10000 -742.3123 -1791.1071 8488.2539 -631.8108 -1087.5978 -884.691 -742.3924 -532.58190 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P21 LCC Savings - level07$ 167P 10000 -1502.7286 -2553.0384 11695.5305 -1321.8928 -1921.7855 -1692.5028 -1502.7581 -1165.3915 -323.9763 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs P22 LCC Savings - level08$ 168P 10000 -1619.6211 -2758.1176 16144.6117 -1361.2203 -2129.7334 -1859.8409 -1619.7261 -1136.37070 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q15 Payback - level01$ 171Q 143 3.999996 0.23529388 19.99998 5.27206729 0.85193471 2.185345 3.999996 6.66666 17.3716063 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q16 Payback - level02$ 172Q 2821 2.65467298 0.14377753 45.4545 5.4022196 0.65268 1.57029352 2.65467298 5.090904 25.45452 28%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q17 Payback - level03$ 173Q 4737 8.57142 0.32053021 105.45444 15.212369 1.60786956 4.41739685 8.57142 16.2858567 59.99994 47%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q18 Payback - level04$ 174Q 7469 18.1682358 0.58344582 234.54522 32.3241243 2.93897589 8.25174 18.1581517 37.818144 129.09078 75%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q19 Payback - level05$ 175Q 7860 19.2022956 0.72803434 327.2724 39.0052089 3.67079006 9.91734545 19.2022956 37.727235 152.653977 79%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q20 Payback - level06$ 176Q 9086 38.1406001 1.4854236 888.353091 85.7789592 7.60142365 19.6450476 38.1406001 77.8096504 413.621764 91%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q21 Payback - level07$ 177Q 9874 44.5101026 2.00789724 1489.06105 99.2091717 10.5557479 25.2763573 44.494283 90.8311999 452.205195 99%

LCC&Payback Calcs Q22 Payback - level08$ 178Q 9874 33.2158103 1.72066243 872.712214 74.0928187 8.11874669 19.9220077 33.2158103 67.7163741 347.220563 99%

LCC&Payback Calcs S14 Total Oper. Cost - level 0$S0 10000 3254.3586 82.9945 131613.193 5099.0552 654.8578 1772.2236 3253.6989 5777.3574 14346.8581 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S15 Total Oper. Cost - level 1$S1 10000 3219.5298 81.9634 129970.815 5040.4035 650.5517 1756.6766 3219.2263 5711.2272 14174.6463 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S16 Total Oper. Cost - level 2$S2 10000 3151.2662 79.9777 126807.717 4927.4446 641.8624 1722.2364 3150.8587 5585.8242 13842.979 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S17 Total Oper. Cost - level 3$S3 10000 3117.8954 79.0212 125284.03 4873.0315 638.4737 1705.5818 3117.8415 5527.7061 13680.2569 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S18 Total Oper. Cost - level 4$S4 10000 3059.4114 78.3431 123883.283 4780.2152 595.9865 1654.7678 3059.0666 5420.4548 13501.0622 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S19 Total Oper. Cost - level 5$S5 10000 3027.1225 77.4288 122430.688 4728.2932 591.2482 1639.8667 3026.8965 5359.4215 13348.0232 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S20 Total Oper. Cost - level 6$S6 10000 3146.6371 75.664 120452.066 4813.2944 706.4075 1752.4285 3146.6266 5478.3389 13335.5941 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S21 Total Oper. Cost - level 7$S7 10000 3034.1774 72.3697 115218.222 4626.2141 689.1848 1696.3902 3033.8225 5268.7715 12767.9023 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs S22 Total Oper. Cost - level 8$S8 10000 2908.1775 68.6419 109295.714 4414.518 669.746 1634.8043 2908.1633 5027.4864 12133.6061 100%

LCC&Payback Calcs T15 Net Cost - level 1 naT1 43111111111 0%

LCC&Payback Calcs T16 Net Cost - level 2 naT2 545111111111 5%

LCC&Payback Calcs T17 Net Cost - level 3 naT3 2701111111111 27%

LCC&Payback Calcs T18 Net Cost - level 4 naT4 5999111111111 60%

LCC&Payback Calcs T19 Net Cost - level 5 naT5 6425111111111 64%

LCC&Payback Calcs T20 Net Cost - level 6 naT6 8753111111111 88%

LCC&Payback Calcs T21 Net Cost - level 7 naT7 9615111111111 96%

LCC&Payback Calcs T22 Net Cost - level 8 naT8 9455111111111 95%

LCC&Payback Calcs U15 No Impact - level 1 naU1 9846111111111 98%

LCC&Payback Calcs U16 No Impact - level 2 naU2 7179111111111 72%

LCC&Payback Calcs U17 No Impact - level 3 naU3 5123111111111 51%

LCC&Payback Calcs U18 No Impact - level 4 naU4 2301111111111 23%

LCC&Payback Calcs U19 No Impact - level 5 naU5 2054111111111 21%

LCC&Payback Calcs U20 No Impact - level 6 naU6 900111111111 9%

LCC&Payback Calcs U21 No Impact - level 7 naU7 126111111111 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs U22 No Impact - level 8 naU8 126111111111 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs V15 Net Benefit - level 1 naV1 111111111111 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs V16 Net Benefit - level 2 naV2 2276111111111 23%

LCC&Payback Calcs V17 Net Benefit - level 3 naV3 2176111111111 22%

LCC&Payback Calcs V18 Net Benefit - level 4 naV4 1700111111111 17%

LCC&Payback Calcs V19 Net Benefit - level 5 naV5 1521111111111 15%

LCC&Payback Calcs V20 Net Benefit - level 6 naV6 347111111111 3%

LCC&Payback Calcs V21 Net Benefit - level 7 naV7 259111111111 3%

LCC&Payback Calcs V22 Net Benefit - level 8 naV8 419111111111 4%

LCC&Payback Calcs W15 PB flag 1 - level 1 naW1 9846111111111 98%

LCC&Payback Calcs W16 PB flag 1 - level 2 naW2 7179111111111 72%

LCC&Payback Calcs W17 PB flag 1 - level 3 naW3 5123111111111 51%

LCC&Payback Calcs W18 PB flag 1 - level 4 naW4 2301111111111 23%

LCC&Payback Calcs W19 PB flag 1 - level 5 naW5 2054111111111 21%

LCC&Payback Calcs W20 PB flag 1 - level 6 naW6 900111111111 9%

LCC&Payback Calcs W21 PB flag 1 - level 7 naW7 126111111111 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs W22 PB flag 1 - level 8 naW8 126111111111 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs X15 PB flag 2 - level 1 naX1 11111111111 0%

LCC&Payback Calcs X16 PB flag 2 - level 2 naX20 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0%

LCC&Payback Calcs X17 PB flag 2 - level 3 naX3 140111111111 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs X18 PB flag 2 - level 4 naX4 230111111111 2%

LCC&Payback Calcs X19 PB flag 2 - level 5 naX5 86111111111 1%

LCC&Payback Calcs X20 PB flag 2 - level 6 naX6 14111111111 0%

LCC&Payback Calcs X21 PB flag 2 - level 7 naX70 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0%

LCC&Payback Calcs X22 PB flag 2 - level 8 naX80 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0%

END
Pool Heaters

Simulation Results: Input to NIA

Eff.

Level Description

(MMBtu) (kWh)

0 Baseline - pilot or elect. Ignition 78% 34.1 2 

1 Improved HX 79% 33.7 2 

2 Improved HX 81% 32.9 2 

3 Improved HX, More Effective Insulation (Combustion Chamber) 82% 32.5 2 

4 Power Venting 83% 31.8 9 

5 Power Venting, Improved HX 84% 31.4 8 

6 Sealed Combustion, Improved HX 86% 30.7 8 

7 Sealed Combustion, Condensing 90% 29.3 8 

8 Sealed Combustion, Condensing, Improved HX 95% 27.8 8 

All dollar values are in 2009 $

EF Annual 

Gas Use

Annual 

Elec. Use
($) ($) ($)

$3,240 $70 $237 1.5%

$3,260 $70 $237 26.7%

$3,285 $70 $237 20.6%

$3,344 $70 $237 28.2%

$3,484 $70 $357 2.5%

$3,594 $70 $357 11.5%

$4,146 $102 $357 7.7%

$5,032 $102 $357 0.0%

$5,283 $102 $357 1.3%

Repair 

Year % of total

Annual 

Repair 

Cost

Annual 

Maint. 

Cost

Total 

Installed 

Price