NEW JERSEY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

Statewide Expansion of Bicycle Facilitie s

RACM Analysis

Michael Baker Jr., Inc. Page 1 Control Measure:

This project covers the e xpansion of existing bicycle facilities and the creation of

entirely new facilities throughout th e state . This will encourage bicycle use for

work and other trip purposes, replacing some motorized trips and lead ing to a

reduction in emissions

Description:

Counties throughout the state of New Jersey have a number of programmed

(funded) and proposed bicycle facilities. These new and expanded facil ities will

help to attract shorter distant trips away from autos an d will have a corresponding

reduction in emissions. Both commuter trips and recreational trips will be

attracted to these new facilities.

Methodology:

The NJ

- AQONE software package, specifically the “Bicycle Improvements”

project type, was used in the ev aluation of the impact of the proposed bike trails.

S eparate run s w ere done for each county to reflect local conditions.

One of the major inputs into the analysis was the length of the existing bicycle

facilities and the total length of new facilities to be created. The GIS based

inventory data supplied with the NJDOT Bicycle/Pedestrian Master Planning

Phase Two CD ROM was used for this Information

. The se bicycle facility

inventory databases contain the follow information for both on and off road

facili ties:

1) A list of know, existing facilities

2) A list of programmed ( funded ) future facilities

3) A list of proposed (unfunded) future facilities

For the purposes of this analysis, the total amount of existing bike trails was set

equal to the total on

- road and o ff

- road recorded in the database. For the length

of the future (2009) bicycle trails, all of the programmed and 10% of the proposed

trails were included. The service area captured by the proposed bike trails was

assumed to be a 1 mile wide band along the total length of new the trails.

Inputs/Assumptions:

The length of the existing and future bicycle trails was obtained from the

NJDOT Bicycle/Pedestrian Master Plan Phase 2 Facility Inventory and is

summarized in Table 1

Project impacts were estimated usi ng the NJ

- AQONE Bicycle Improvements

methodology . This methodology estimates the total number of commuter and

recreational trips that the proposed facility would attract currently us ing autoNEW JERSEY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

Statewide Expansion of Bicycle Facilitie s

RACM Analysis

Michael Baker Jr., Inc. Page 2 The length of the additional trails was assumed to include all p rogrammed

(funded) facilities and 10% of proposed facilities. The relatively low 10%

figure was based on the assumption that most of the proposed trails, if built at

all, would not be completed within the next 4

- 5 year (the timeframe of the

RACM analysis)

For the remaining inputs, the default values supplied by the NJAQONE

software were used

The service area (an input required by the software) was approximated by

multiplying the total length of the new facilities by 1 mile, yielding an estimate

of the tota l service area

Each county was analyzed separately and results totaled statewide and by

non

- attainment area (both Ozone and PM 2.5) . Output from the software is

found at the end of this documentation.

Table 1: Inventory of Existing, Programmed and Propos ed Bike Trails in New Jersey

County Existing

(Miles) Programmed

(Miles) Proposed

(Miles) 10% of

Proposed

(Miles) Total

Effective

Future

(Miles) Estimated

Service

Area

(Miles)

Atlantic 38.78 14.90 191.44 19.14 34.05 36.05

Bergen 15.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00

Burlington 88.95 0.00 158.00 15.80 15.80 17.80

Camden 26.66 10.14 35.94 3.59 13.73 15.73

Cape May 23.05 12.22 2.73 0.27 12.49 14.49

Cumberland 0.67 0.00 80.08 8.01 8.01 10.01

Essex 40.46 20.48 5.53 0.55 21.04 23.04

Gloucester 4.43 3.65 9.30 0.9 3 4.58 6.58

Hudson 3.22 2.68 2.31 0.23 2.92 4.92

Hunterdon 120.99 3.63 182.03 18.20 21.84 23.84

Mercer 78.34 2.21 3.68 0.37 2.58 4.58

Middlesex 30.81 21.47 205.09 20.51 41.98 43.98

Monmouth 118.82 8.62 33.36 3.34 11.95 13.95

Morris 292.95 6.52 263.95 26.39 32.92 34.92

Ocean 21.98 4.61 21.90 2.19 6.80 8.80

Passaic 40.16 11.14 1.76 0.18 11.32 13.32

Salem 8.04 0.00 105.71 10.57 10.57 12.57

Somerset 52.38 23.28 0.00 0.00 23.28 25.28

Sussex 64.87 5.70 41.35 4.13 9.84 11.84

Union 14.15 0.00 16.41 1.64 1.64 3.64

Warren 5.94 1.57 1.32 0.13 1.70 3.70NEW JERSEY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

Statewide Expansion of Bicycle Facilitie s

RACM Analysis

Michael Baker Jr., Inc. Page 3 Results: Statewide Summer Day /Annual Benefits

Total VT Reduced = 992 trips/day Statewide

Total VMT Reduced = 2,591 miles/day Statewide

Emission Reductions (Statewide) :

Pollutant

Type Analysis Year 20 0 9

Tons/Day T ons/Year

VOC 0.002 7

-

NOx 0.00 18 0. 47

PM2.5

- 0.0 2

SO 2 - 0.01

Ozone Analysis

– Daily Benefits in New Jersey

Benefits

(Reductions) Ozone Non

- Attainment Area

New York

- N. New

Jersey

- Long Island,

NY

- NJ

- CT Philadelphia

Wilmin gton

- Atlanti c City

PA

- NJ

- MD

- DE

VT 839 153

VMT 2

, 193 398

VOC (Tons/Day) 0.0023 0.0043

NOx (Tons/Day) 0.0015 0.00029

PM2.5 Analysis

– Annual Benefits in New Jersey

Benefits

(Reductions) PM 2.5 Non

- Attainment Area

New York

- N. New

Jersey

- Long Island,

NY

- NJ

- CT Phi ladelphia

Wilmin gton

PA

- NJ

- DE

VT 204,500 534,000

VMT 19,500 50,750

NOx (Tons/Year) 0. 38 0.041

PM2.5 (Tons/Year) 0.0 17 0.0016

SO 2 (Tons/Year) 0.0 10 0.0010NEW JERSEY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

Statewide Expansion of Bicycle Facilitie s

RACM Analysis

Michael Baker Jr., Inc. Page 4 Cost/Benefit Analysis

Total costs were estimated as follows:

For Off

- Road Facilities : Capita l Cost: $150,000/Mile over 15 Years

Operating/Maintenance: $6,000/Mile/Year

Total Annual cost : $16,000/Mile/Year

For On

- Road Facilities

$4,500/Mile over 5 years = $900/Mile/Year

Total cost for the various non

- attainment areas are as follows:

County Esti mated Cost For Each AQ Region

Ozone PM 2.5

NY

- NJ

- CT PA

- NJ

DE

- MA NY

- NJ

- CT PA

- NJ

DE

Atlantic $0 $30,642 $0 $0

Bergen $0 $0 $0 $0

Burlington $0 $151,138 $0 $151,138

Camden $0 $74,948 $0 $74,948

Cape May $0 $148,908 $0 $0

Cumberland $0 $24,809 $0 $0

Essex $59,084 $0 $59,084 $0

Gloucester $0 $49,182 $0 $49,182

Hudson $2,624 $0 $2,624 $0

Hunterdon $24,157 $0 $0 $0

Mercer $0 $41,237 $41,237 $0

Middlesex $348,920 $0 $348,920 $0

Monmouth $111,905 $0 $111,905 $0

Morris $432,186 $0 $432,186 $0

Ocean $0 $103,530 $0 $0

Passaic $104,893 $0 $104,893 $0

Salem $0 $9,514 $0 $0

Somerset $110,063 $0 $110,063 $0

Sussex $145,873 $0 $0 $0

Union $1,477 $0 $1,477 $0

Warren $3,531 $0 $0 $0

Total $1,344,712 $633,907 $1,212,388 $275,268NEW JERSEY DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

Statewide Expansion of Bicycle Facilitie s

RACM Analysis

Michael Baker Jr., Inc. Page 5 Cost/Benefit Resul ts

Pollutant Cost/Benefit for Each Pollutant

Ozone * PM 2.5

NY

- NJ

- CT PA

- NJ

- DE

MD NY

- NJ

- CT PA

- NJ

- DE

VOC ($/Ton/Day) $2,345,969 $5,898,172

- - NOx ($/Ton/Day) $3,485,440 $8,847,258

- - NOx ($/Ton/Year)

- - $3,190,496 $6,660,958

PM2.5 ($/Ton/Year)

- - $69,788,164 $171,040,616

SO2 ($/Ton/Year)

- - $116,387,456 $287,033,677

*Daily Costs used in calculation of cost/benefit ratio are A nnual costs divided by 250