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July 29, 2003. Email message from Brian Card To JEMcMahon@lbl.gov cc mscholand@navigantconsulting.com, ehong@navigantconsulting.com, BAAtkinsonlbl.gov, A_Denver@lbl.gov SubjectFurther nema comments Also put in a courtesy call to Joe Howley and some points he mentioned follow: - Electric rate seemed high street lighting and off-peak load. - Looking at a 24 year cycle in 2009. Not sure that Merc Vap will make it that long. Unlikely to have any sold in the lastY2of that lifetime. (This is not typical - since this product line is dying). If it goes to zero don't bring anything back in 1cc. Suggested 3 sensitivities - current decline, faster and even faster decline. - should get more input from the rural utilities that will probably be most affected by this. Maybe instead of doing all the assumptions of what would replace - possibly survey them - if this lamp eliminated what would you do. Could use the utility trade associations. Brian Card Office of Building Technology Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Department of Energy 202-586-9228 brian.card@ee.doe.gov

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--------------------------------------------------------------------------- Forwarded by Brian Card/EE/DOE on 03/03/2003 03:40 PM
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# I TTHowley, Joseph G

I (GECP)" I I <Joseph.How1ey@Light ing.GE.com> 03/03/2003 11:23 AM 

# I + >

I To: "Brian.Card@EE.DOE.GOV'TT<Brian.Card@EE.DOE.GOV>

CC: Bryan.Berringer@EE.DOE.GOV, Ronald.Lewis@EE.DOE.GOV, craupdyke@nema.org, "'Bleasby, Peter'" I <bleasby@osi.sylvania.com>, "'Dale Work'" <dale.work@philips .com>

Subject: RE: Follow-in for HID and ER/BR data

>

Brian, As a follow up to your questions, the attached information has been approved for release. The Lamp section has approved an additional survey for the detailed lamp data that we discussed last week. In addition, the Fixture Section will also be contacted with regard to a special survey.
Joe Joseph G. Howley Jr. GE Lighting Manager - Industry Relations & Environmental Marketing Phone: 216-266-9729 Dial Comm: 8*346_9729 Fax: 216-266-3381 Dial Comm Fax: 8*346_3381 joseph.howley@lighting.ge .com

# #tt4-

United States Government Department of Energy 

# Memorandum DATE: January28, 2003 REPLY TO: Brian Card, EE-2J SUBJECT: DOE Request for Further HID and ERIBR Lamp data TO: Joe Howley, NEMA/GE Thanks for meeting with us on January 21St. We thank you for the data NEMA has provided and will provide to the Department - it is essential for us to arrive at informed decisions. During the meeting, we verbally requested additional data - summarized below (this includes additional data identified after the meeting that would be useful.) HID • The data provided earlier gave 1.8 million MV lamps in 2000, the data provided on the 21st was 2.6 million in 2001 (a 44% increase). Can you provide some insight into this? What are expectations for the future increase/decrease for MV? • Can you provide the breakdown in for HID in 2001 for MV, MH, HPS annual sales? • Can you provide trend data for intervening years (1994-2000) for Mercury Vapor Lamps for the breakdowns you provided for 2001, DOE is especially interested in "Medium Based - All" and "175 Watt - Mogul Based". What is the trend is looking like (straight-line curve or is there a plateau occurring)? • In what markets do you see the Mercury Vapor persisting? • Does the HID and MV lamps data provided by NEMA include imports? If not, what percent of total U.S. sales does this account for? For the portion that are imports where are these lamps coming from? • For the decline in MV is this a reduction in sales of MV or a decline in NEMA member's share of that market? • Can you provide any insight into what breakout is for the175Watt (cobra, dusk to dawn, and what else)? • Can you provide any indication for the MH what percent are pulse start? • For the medium base MV lamps can you describe the applications (landscape, explosion proof, and what else)? • Could NEMA poll two or three major commercial fixture manufacturers on the percent of mercury vapor fixtures shipped for the following categories: down lights, recessed lensed, low bay, high bay, flood lights, wall packs, garage fixtures, area/parking (post mounted), street lights, and dusk to dawn? BR/ER • Can you provide us with the average wattage in the breakdowns you provided (BR 30

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## 85 watt, BR3O

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## less than 66 watt, etc.)? • In the BR/PAR/B-PAR, BR Lamps, what is the market trend (what areas are

# #13 growing/declining). Data points in the 10 previous years would be helpful. • What is the current and historical numbers for hR (halogen infrared). Is this included in "Halogen PAR38" and "Halogen PAR3O"? Cc: Bryan Berringer Ronald Lewis Craig UpdykeMillions of Units



## Mercury Vapor Market with Non-NEMA Imports

________________ NEMA Non-NEMA Imports Total Mercury

Vapor Market 1 1993 4.6 0.8 5.4 2 1994 4.8 0.7 5.5 3 1995 4.5 0.9 5.4 4 1996 4.4 0.7 5.1 5 1997 3.5 1 4.5 6 1998 2.8 2 4.8 7 1999 2.7 2.1 4.8 8 2000 1.8 1.4 3.2 9 2001 2.6 0.8 3.4 10 2002 2.4 0.5 2.9 Ii Non-NEMA Imports DNEMA

cc •\ % oj c Cl, q,Millions of Units

______ 1999

_________ ______ 2000 2001 2002 NEMA Non-NEMA Total NEMA Non-NEMA ______ Total NEMA Non-NEMA Totai NEMA Non-NEMA 

### total Mercury Vapor 2.7 2.1 4.8 1.8 1.4 3.2 2.6 0.8 3.4 2.' 0.5 2.9 Metal Halide 18.1 0.8 18.9 18.1 1.4 19.5 18.3 0.3 18.6 18.8 0.4 19.2 1-ugh Presuje Sodium 12.6 0.9 13.5 11.5 0.3 11.8 11.5 0.0 11.5 11.7 0.0 11.7

Total 33.4 3.8 37.2 31.4 3.1 34.5 32A 1.1 33.5 32.9

# L 0.9 33.0

Totals - Millions of Units

_______ HPS Metal HalideMercury 1999 13.5 18.9 4.8 2000 11.8 19.5 3,2 2001 11.5 18.6 3.4 2002 11.7 19.2 2.9

Percentages

_________________

HPS Metal Halide _______ Mercury 1999 36.3% 50.8% 12.9% 2000 34.2% 66.5% 9.3% 

# L2001 34.3% 55.5% '10.1% 2002 34.6% 56.8% 8.6% 40 - _____________ _________________ 

# __F

__ __ DMercu 20 - ________ ________ OMetal Halide

1II __._=iDHFS

1999 2000 2001 2002

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## H- 

# I

__ __ 1999 2000 2001 

## . 2002