#4

July 29, 2003.

Email message from Brian Card

To JEMcMahon@lbl.gov

cc mscholand@navigantconsulting.com, ehong@navigantconsulting.com,

BAAtkinsonlbl.gov, A_Denver@lbl.gov

SubjectFurther nema comments

Also put in a courtesy call to Joe Howley and some points he mentioned

follow:

- Electric rate seemed high street lighting and off-peak load.

- Looking at a 24 year cycle in 2009. Not sure that Merc Vap will make it

that long. Unlikely to have any sold in the last Y2 of that lifetime.

(This is not typical - since this product line is dying). If it goes to

zero don't bring anything back in 1cc. Suggested 3 sensitivities - current

decline, faster and even faster decline.

- should get more input from the rural utilities that will probably be most

affected by this. Maybe instead of doing all the assumptions of what would

replace - possibly survey them - if this lamp eliminated what would you do.

Could use the utility trade associations.

Brian Card

Office of Building Technology

Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy

Department of Energy

202-586-9228

brian.card@ee.doe.gov

 EE-DET-03-001 COMMENT 04
4 eDver-Men1o-

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Forwarded by Brian Card/EE/DOE on 03/03/2003 03:40 PM

+ >

I TTHowley, Joseph G

I (GECP)" I

I <Joseph.How1ey@Light

ing.GE.com>

03/03/2003 11:23 AM

I +

>

I To: "Brian.Card@EE.DOE.GOV' TT <Brian.Card@EE.DOE.GOV>

CC: Bryan.Berringer@EE.DOE.GOV, Ronald.Lewis@EE.DOE.GOV,

craupdyke@nema.org, "'Bleasby, Peter'"

I <bleasby@osi.sylvania.com>, "'Dale Work'" <dale.work@philips .com>

Subject: RE: Follow-in for HID and ER/BR data

>

Brian,

As a follow up to your questions, the attached information has been

approved

for release.

The Lamp section has approved an additional survey for the detailed lamp

data that we discussed last week.

In addition, the Fixture Section will also be contacted with regard to a

special survey.

Joe

Joseph G. Howley Jr.

GE Lighting

Manager - Industry Relations & Environmental Marketing

Phone: 216-266-9729 Dial Comm: 8*346_9729

Fax: 216-266-3381 Dial Comm Fax: 8*346_3381

joseph.howley@lighting.ge .com

 EE-DET-03-001 COMMENT 04
#tt4-

United States Government Department of Energy

Memorandum

DATE: January 28, 2003

REPLY TO: Brian Card, EE-2J

SUBJECT: DOE Request for Further HID and ERIBR Lamp data

TO: Joe Howley, NEMA/GE

Thanks for meeting with us on January 21St. We thank you for the data NEMA has

provided and will provide to the Department - it is essential for us to arrive at informed

decisions. During the meeting, we verbally requested additional data - summarized

below (this includes additional data identified after the meeting that would be useful.)

HID

• The data provided earlier gave 1.8 million MV lamps in 2000, the data provided

on the 21st was 2.6 million in 2001 (a 44% increase). Can you provide some

insight into this? What are expectations for the future increase/decrease for MV?

• Can you provide the breakdown in for HID in 2001 for MV, MH, HPS annual

sales?

• Can you provide trend data for intervening years (1994-2000) for Mercury Vapor

Lamps for the breakdowns you provided for 2001, DOE is especially interested in

"Medium Based - All" and "175 Watt - Mogul Based". What is the trend is

looking like (straight-line curve or is there a plateau occurring)?

• In what markets do you see the Mercury Vapor persisting?

• Does the HID and MV lamps data provided by NEMA include imports? If not,

what percent of total U.S. sales does this account for? For the portion that are

imports where are these lamps coming from?

• For the decline in MV is this a reduction in sales of MV or a decline in NEMA

member's share of that market?

• Can you provide any insight into what breakout is for the 175 Watt (cobra, dusk

to dawn, and what else)?

• Can you provide any indication for the MH what percent are pulse start?

• For the medium base MV lamps can you describe the applications (landscape,

explosion proof, and what else)?

• Could NEMA poll two or three major commercial fixture manufacturers on the

percent of mercury vapor fixtures shipped for the following categories: down

lights, recessed lensed, low bay, high bay, flood lights, wall packs, garage

fixtures, area/parking (post mounted), street lights, and dusk to dawn?

BR/ER

• Can you provide us with the average wattage in the breakdowns you provided

(BR 30 -85 watt, BR3O -less than 66 watt, etc.)?

• In the BR/PAR/B-PAR, BR Lamps, what is the market trend (what areas are

 EE-DET-03-001 COMMENT 04
#13

growing/declining). Data points in the 10 previous years would be helpful.

• What is the current and historical numbers for hR (halogen infrared). Is this

included in "Halogen PAR38" and "Halogen PAR3O"?

Cc: Bryan Berringer

Ronald Lewis

Craig Updyke

 EE-DET-03-001 COMMENT 04
Millions of Units

Mercury Vapor Market with Non-NEMA Imports

________ ________

NEMA

Non-NEMA

Imports

Total Mercury

Vapor Market

1 1993 4.6 0.8 5.4

2 1994 4.8 0.7 5.5

3 1995 4.5 0.9 5.4

4 1996 4.4 0.7 5.1

5 1997 3.5 1 4.5

6 1998 2.8 2 4.8

7 1999 2.7 2.1 4.8

8 2000 1.8 1.4 3.2

9 2001 2.6 0.8 3.4

10 2002 2.4 0.5 2.9

Ii Non-NEMA Imports

DNEMA

cc •\ % oj c

Cl, q,

 EE-DET-03-001 COMMENT 04
Millions of Units

______

1999 _________ ______

2000 2001 2002

NEMA Non-NEMA Total NEMA Non-NEMA

______

Total NEMA Non-NEMA Totai NEMA Non-NEMA total

Mercury Vapor 2.7 2.1 4.8 1.8 1.4 3.2 2.6 0.8 3.4 2.' 0.5 2.9

Metal Halide 18.1 0.8 18.9 18.1 1.4 19.5 18.3 0.3 18.6 18.8 0.4 19.2

1-ugh Presuje Sodium 12.6 0.9 13.5 11.5 0.3 11.8 11.5 0.0 11.5 11.7 0.0 11.7

Total 33.4 3.8 37.2 31.4 3.1 34.5 32A 1.1 33.5 32.9 L 0.9 33.0

Totals - Millions of Units

_______

HPS Metal Halide Mercury

1999 13.5 18.9 4.8

2000 11.8 19.5 3,2

2001 11.5 18.6 3.4

2002 11.7 19.2 2.9

Percentages

________

_________

HPS Metal Halide

_______

Mercury

1999 36.3% 50.8% 12.9%

2000 34.2% 66.5% 9.3%

L 2001 34.3% 55.5% '10.1%

2002 34.6% 56.8% 8.6%

40 - _____________ _________________

__F

__ __

DMercu

20 - ________ ________ OMetal Halide

1II __._=iDHFS

1999 2000 2001 2002

-

__ H- __ I

1999 2000 2001

.

2002

 EE-DET-03-001 COMMENT 04