### Date Released: March, 2009 (Next release date is February, 2010)

By: Abt Associates Inc Data Modified: 5/10/2011 Data Sources: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo09/index.html Description: Supplemental Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2009 (Tables 72 through 85) Purpose: Electricity demand and prices by consumer type group are used for the electricity rate analysis.

File Contents: Worksheet Contents U.S. Contains Table 85 data pull. ECAR Contains Table 72 data pull. ERCOT Contains Table 73 data pull. MAAC Contains Table 74 data pull. MAIN Contains Table 75 data pull. MAPP Contains Table 76 data pull. NPCC Contains Table 77-78 data pull. FRCC Contains Table 79 data pull. SERC Contains Table 80 data pull. SPP Contains Table 81 data pull. WECC Contains Table 82-84 data pull. ElectricityDemandSummaryCompiles electricity demand info by NERC region and consumer group. ElectricityPriceSummary Compiles electricity price info by NERC region and consumer group.

Input Files: External data used in calculations/analysis: None

### End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12



### Region Sector Region and Sector 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ECAR Residential ECAR Residential 8.63 8.71 9.79 9.76 9.24 9.38 9.40 9.47 9.50 9.51 9.61 ECAR Commercial ECAR Commercial 7.69 7.70 9.64 9.62 8.85 8.86 8.75 8.68 8.68 8.68 8.78 ECAR Industrial ECAR Industrial 5.15 5.17 7.03 6.96 6.15 6.10 6.02 5.97 5.95 5.95 6.02 ECAR Transportation ECAR Transportation 8.20 8.06 9.02 8.97 8.00 8.00 7.92 7.83 7.73 7.64 7.60 ECAR All Sectors AverageECAR All Sectors Average 7.04 7.10 8.71 8.67 7.99 8.02 7.95 7.92 7.93 7.94 8.03 ERCOTResidential ERCOT Residential 13.62 12.76 13.23 13.03 12.01 12.28 12.39 12.72 12.72 12.85 12.87 ERCOTCommercial ERCOT Commercial 10.28 10.12 10.10 9.85 8.68 8.71 8.70 8.96 8.94 9.07 9.10 ERCOTIndustrial ERCOT Industrial 8.31 8.24 8.66 8.41 7.22 7.13 7.03 7.15 7.14 7.23 7.28 ERCOTTransportation ERCOT Transportation 8.90 9.38 10.32 10.32 9.24 9.36 9.20 9.61 9.87 10.25 10.52 ERCOTAll Sectors AverageERCOT All Sectors Average 10.98 10.60 10.93 10.71 9.61 9.70 9.70 9.93 9.93 10.05 10.09 FRCC Residential FRCC Residential 11.74 11.29 12.27 12.52 11.80 12.45 12.75 12.87 12.88 12.95 13.01 FRCC Commercial FRCC Commercial 10.27 9.81 11.10 11.75 10.27 10.79 11.03 10.99 10.92 10.92 10.94 FRCC Industrial FRCC Industrial 8.10 7.89 8.89 9.39 8.31 8.71 8.90 8.88 8.85 8.86 8.88 FRCC Transportation FRCC Transportation 9.13 8.99 9.78 10.40 8.95 9.28 9.33 9.12 8.87 8.65 8.43 FRCC All Sectors AverageFRCC All Sectors Average 10.85 10.41 11.52 11.96 10.91 11.48 11.74 11.78 11.76 11.79 11.83 MAAC Residential MAAC Residential 11.69 12.61 13.27 12.66 11.62 12.01 12.19 12.34 12.51 12.67 12.76 MAAC Commercial MAAC Commercial 11.27 11.79 12.04 11.32 10.21 10.48 10.48 10.55 10.79 10.98 11.11 MAAC Industrial MAAC Industrial 8.70 8.97 9.27 8.67 7.45 7.61 7.64 7.67 7.76 7.87 7.96 MAAC Transportation MAAC Transportation 10.12 10.47 12.06 11.59 10.16 10.39 10.49 10.53 10.62 10.71 10.74 MAAC All Sectors AverageMAAC All Sectors Average 10.88 11.55 11.91 11.27 10.19 10.47 10.53 10.60 10.79 10.95 11.06 MAIN Residential MAIN Residential 9.08 9.82 9.67 9.78 9.39 9.51 9.51 9.77 9.79 9.82 9.96 MAIN Commercial MAIN Commercial 7.91 7.90 8.55 8.58 7.89 7.88 7.75 7.94 7.95 7.98 8.15 MAIN Industrial MAIN Industrial 5.06 5.66 6.46 6.37 5.59 5.49 5.37 5.47 5.44 5.46 5.58 MAIN Transportation MAIN Transportation 7.33 7.51 8.70 8.67 7.75 7.68 7.53 7.53 7.37 7.28 7.26 MAIN All Sectors AverageMAIN All Sectors Average 7.30 7.75 8.23 8.25 7.65 7.64 7.53 7.70 7.70 7.73 7.87 MAPP Residential MAPP Residential 8.64 8.70 7.33 7.37 7.75 7.78 7.80 7.84 7.83 7.76 7.67 MAPP Commercial MAPP Commercial 7.01 7.56 6.95 7.24 7.17 7.20 7.27 7.28 7.27 7.21 7.14 MAPP Industrial MAPP Industrial 5.24 5.75 5.47 5.55 5.48 5.47 5.51 5.53 5.53 5.50 5.45 MAPP Transportation MAPP Transportation 5.96 5.98 6.55 6.63 6.32 6.13 5.91 5.91 6.28 6.62 6.93 MAPP All Sectors AverageMAPP All Sectors Average 6.99 7.36 6.58 6.71 6.81 6.82 6.85 6.87 6.86 6.81 6.74 NPCC Residential NPCC Residential 16.85 16.91 17.71 17.49 16.32 16.77 17.06 17.30 17.40 17.64 17.56 NPCC Commercial NPCC Commercial 15.45 15.20 15.59 15.07 13.61 13.70 13.58 13.62 13.70 13.95 13.94 NPCC Industrial NPCC Industrial 10.78 11.10 11.43 10.93 9.37 9.32 9.18 9.14 9.15 9.37 9.34 NPCC Transportation NPCC Transportation 14.29 14.39 16.25 15.76 14.31 14.56 14.81 14.97 15.05 15.32 15.19 NPCC All Sectors AverageNPCC All Sectors Average 15.29 15.13 15.64 15.27 13.91 14.08 14.07 14.13 14.20 14.44 14.40 SERC Residential SERC Residential 9.13 9.06 8.96 8.98 8.89 8.92 8.89 8.89 8.81 8.75 8.75 SERC Commercial SERC Commercial 7.91 7.84 8.03 8.26 7.73 7.71 7.68 7.60 7.50 7.42 7.42 SERC Industrial SERC Industrial 5.45 5.45 5.81 5.97 5.57 5.55 5.53 5.49 5.43 5.38 5.39 SERC Transportation SERC Transportation 7.05 6.72 7.16 7.38 6.76 6.64 6.48 6.27 6.02 5.78 5.58 SERC All Sectors AverageSERC All Sectors Average 7.62 7.60 7.71 7.85 7.55 7.56 7.52 7.48 7.41 7.36 7.37 SPP Residential SPP Residential 8.67 8.54 9.50 9.79 9.32 9.62 9.37 9.45 9.41 9.39 9.421 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12



### SPP Commercial SPP Commercial 7.37 7.23 8.16 8.59 7.98 8.24 8.02 8.03 7.99 7.98 8.05 SPP Industrial SPP Industrial 5.75 5.59 6.26 6.51 6.01 6.13 5.97 5.98 5.95 5.95 6.00 SPP Transportation SPP Transportation 6.43 6.51 6.98 7.26 6.50 6.42 6.22 6.59 6.94 7.31 7.70 SPP All Sectors AverageSPP All Sectors Average 7.35 7.22 8.15 8.49 7.97 8.20 7.97 8.00 7.97 7.96 8.01 WECC Residential WECC Residential 10.88 10.93 11.45 11.79 11.27 11.23 11.07 11.04 10.99 11.00 11.08 WECC Commercial WECC Commercial 10.24 9.84 10.37 10.43 10.03 9.87 9.63 9.46 9.34 9.32 9.39 WECC Industrial WECC Industrial 6.97 6.83 7.34 7.53 7.22 7.12 6.97 6.86 6.78 6.77 6.82 WECC Transportation WECC Transportation 9.81 9.70 10.30 10.49 10.05 9.74 9.37 9.04 8.77 8.58 8.47 WECC All Sectors AverageWECC All Sectors Average 9.66 9.51 10.07 10.28 9.85 9.74 9.54 9.42 9.34 9.33 9.40 US Residential US Residential 10.65 10.64 11.04 11.06 10.54 10.71 10.73 10.81 10.81 10.84 10.87 US Commercial US Commercial 9.68 9.58 10.09 10.09 9.31 9.36 9.27 9.26 9.22 9.26 9.30 US Industrial US Industrial 6.28 6.36 7.07 7.04 6.39 6.36 6.29 6.27 6.23 6.25 6.29 US Transportation US Transportation 10.37 10.45 11.66 11.55 10.35 10.41 10.41 10.37 10.29 10.29 10.19 US All Sectors AverageUS All Sectors Average 9.10 9.11 9.63 9.65 9.01 9.08 9.02 9.03 9.02 9.05 9.09

### End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour)

Region ECAR ECAR ECAR ECAR ECAR ERCOT ERCOT ERCOT ERCOT ERCOT FRCC FRCC FRCC FRCC FRCC MAAC MAAC MAAC MAAC MAAC MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAPP MAPP MAPP MAPP MAPP NPCC NPCC NPCC NPCC NPCC SERC SERC SERC SERC SERC SPP 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26



### 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 9.67 9.75 9.84 9.89 9.85 9.93 10.10 10.25 10.45 10.59 10.72 10.83 10.88 10.942 8.87 8.98 9.13 9.24 9.21 9.30 9.47 9.61 9.83 10.01 10.18 10.33 10.41 10.513 6.06 6.13 6.22 6.27 6.22 6.31 6.47 6.63 6.82 6.98 7.12 7.25 7.30 7.374 7.51 7.44 7.39 7.29 7.12 7.11 7.33 7.62 7.92 8.17 8.39 8.59 8.72 8.855 8.10 8.19 8.30 8.39 8.35 8.44 8.62 8.77 8.97 9.14 9.29 9.42 9.48 9.566 13.07 13.33 13.64 13.86 13.94 14.00 14.09 14.24 14.53 14.78 15.03 15.26 15.38 15.487 9.31 9.59 9.92 10.16 10.25 10.32 10.42 10.58 10.86 11.13 11.39 11.63 11.76 11.878 7.47 7.70 7.98 8.15 8.20 8.27 8.36 8.51 8.77 9.05 9.30 9.54 9.68 9.809 10.88 11.25 11.62 11.88 12.02 12.21 12.42 12.65 12.99 13.34 13.65 13.93 14.11 14.2610 10.29 10.57 10.89 11.12 11.20 11.28 11.38 11.54 11.83 12.10 12.36 12.60 12.73 12.8411 13.08 13.19 13.41 13.70 13.77 13.78 13.83 13.97 14.20 14.41 14.60 14.76 14.94 15.0212 10.94 10.98 11.12 11.32 11.31 11.27 11.28 11.38 11.53 11.67 11.81 11.93 12.03 12.0813 8.89 8.94 9.06 9.22 9.23 9.21 9.22 9.30 9.42 9.54 9.65 9.75 9.83 9.8714 8.18 7.97 7.84 8.18 8.61 9.03 9.58 10.06 10.56 11.05 11.50 11.93 12.31 12.6215 11.87 11.95 12.14 12.38 12.41 12.40 12.43 12.56 12.74 12.92 13.09 13.23 13.37 13.4316 12.76 12.75 12.82 12.81 12.81 12.92 13.16 13.43 13.81 13.94 14.13 14.27 14.18 14.3817 11.15 11.18 11.28 11.26 11.26 11.34 11.53 11.79 12.20 12.35 12.59 12.79 12.71 12.9518 7.92 7.90 7.97 7.93 7.90 8.00 8.24 8.52 8.88 9.04 9.24 9.40 9.36 9.5219 10.65 10.57 10.57 10.52 10.42 10.48 10.65 10.89 11.19 11.30 11.44 11.54 11.45 11.5620 11.08 11.09 11.18 11.17 11.17 11.27 11.49 11.76 12.15 12.30 12.51 12.69 12.61 12.8221 10.03 10.10 10.16 10.23 10.30 10.35 10.36 10.41 10.51 10.61 10.66 10.71 10.75 10.9222 8.23 8.34 8.45 8.57 8.65 8.70 8.71 8.77 8.87 9.00 9.09 9.18 9.26 9.4323 5.61 5.66 5.73 5.80 5.85 5.89 5.90 5.95 6.03 6.12 6.18 6.25 6.30 6.4924 7.11 6.97 6.85 7.05 7.26 7.49 7.72 7.92 8.12 8.30 8.44 8.58 8.70 9.0425 7.93 8.01 8.10 8.21 8.27 8.33 8.33 8.39 8.49 8.60 8.67 8.74 8.80 8.9826 7.64 7.57 7.52 7.46 7.40 7.38 7.34 7.31 7.27 7.23 7.20 7.20 7.26 7.3527 7.11 7.06 7.00 6.93 6.87 6.85 6.83 6.81 6.77 6.75 6.75 6.76 6.84 6.9628 5.43 5.39 5.36 5.32 5.28 5.26 5.25 5.24 5.21 5.20 5.21 5.22 5.27 5.3629 7.24 7.50 7.71 7.91 8.08 8.27 8.49 8.63 8.71 8.80 8.88 9.00 9.20 9.4630 6.71 6.66 6.62 6.57 6.52 6.50 6.48 6.47 6.43 6.41 6.40 6.41 6.48 6.5831 17.52 17.72 17.95 17.96 17.77 17.76 17.81 18.00 18.26 18.41 18.47 18.59 18.74 18.7932 13.98 14.28 14.63 14.74 14.63 14.64 14.70 14.88 15.18 15.40 15.51 15.68 15.90 15.9933 9.31 9.56 9.86 9.92 9.79 9.78 9.85 10.04 10.30 10.47 10.57 10.73 10.92 11.0034 14.98 15.12 15.34 15.25 14.98 14.98 15.01 15.21 15.46 15.61 15.69 15.85 16.02 16.1135 14.39 14.65 14.97 15.05 14.91 14.92 14.98 15.17 15.45 15.63 15.72 15.88 16.06 16.1436 8.78 8.81 8.81 8.83 8.83 8.89 8.93 9.07 9.24 9.39 9.52 9.62 9.73 9.8137 7.43 7.44 7.43 7.43 7.40 7.44 7.47 7.59 7.73 7.85 7.96 8.06 8.15 8.2238 5.39 5.40 5.40 5.41 5.39 5.43 5.46 5.55 5.66 5.75 5.83 5.90 5.97 6.0239 5.54 5.82 6.07 6.34 6.57 6.87 7.22 7.57 7.91 8.23 8.52 8.78 9.01 9.2240 7.39 7.42 7.42 7.44 7.44 7.49 7.53 7.66 7.81 7.94 8.06 8.16 8.25 8.3241 9.45 9.44 9.46 9.42 9.35 9.35 9.37 9.48 9.63 9.72 9.79 9.86 9.94 10.0042

### Region

SPP SPP SPP SPP WECC WECC WECC WECC WECC US US US US US 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26



### 8.09 8.10 8.14 8.12 8.05 8.06 8.09 8.23 8.37 8.48 8.58 8.68 8.78 8.8743 6.04 6.06 6.10 6.09 6.04 6.06 6.09 6.20 6.33 6.42 6.51 6.59 6.66 6.7344 8.05 8.33 8.57 8.79 8.92 9.12 9.38 9.69 9.99 10.22 10.44 10.64 10.82 10.9945 8.05 8.07 8.10 8.09 8.03 8.04 8.07 8.20 8.35 8.45 8.54 8.63 8.71 8.7946 11.22 11.32 11.43 11.49 11.44 11.44 11.55 11.76 11.95 12.13 12.32 12.46 12.62 12.7247 9.46 9.53 9.60 9.64 9.53 9.46 9.51 9.71 9.82 9.97 10.13 10.26 10.39 10.4848 6.92 6.98 7.04 7.07 7.00 6.98 7.00 7.15 7.25 7.38 7.51 7.61 7.72 7.7949 8.38 8.27 8.27 8.36 8.58 8.83 9.19 9.62 10.00 10.38 10.72 11.05 11.36 11.6250 9.50 9.58 9.67 9.72 9.64 9.61 9.68 9.88 10.01 10.17 10.33 10.46 10.59 10.6851 10.93 11.01 11.10 11.16 11.15 11.19 11.27 11.42 11.62 11.77 11.91 12.04 12.13 12.2352 9.35 9.44 9.55 9.61 9.57 9.58 9.65 9.79 9.97 10.12 10.26 10.40 10.48 10.5853 6.33 6.39 6.47 6.50 6.48 6.51 6.58 6.70 6.85 6.98 7.10 7.21 7.28 7.3654 10.05 10.03 10.07 10.06 10.00 10.08 10.26 10.51 10.79 11.00 11.18 11.37 11.50 11.6555 9.15 9.23 9.34 9.41 9.39 9.42 9.50 9.65 9.83 9.98 10.12 10.25 10.33 10.4356

### Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Region Sector Region and Sector 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ECARResidential ECAR Residential 175 185 180 180 183 183 184 181 182 182 183 ECARCommercial/OtherECAR Commercial/Other 152 160 162 158 164 166 169 171 174 177 180 ECARIndustrial ECAR Industrial 204 205 207 202 199 202 208 211 210 209 210 ECARTransportation ECAR Transportation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ECARTotal Sales ECAR Total Sales 531 550 549 540 547 553 562 564 566 570 575 ERCOTResidential ERCOT Residential 115 110 116 116 118 119 121 120 121 122 123 ERCOTCommercial/OtherERCOT Commercial/Other 93 93 98 99 100 102 103 105 106 108 110 ERCOTIndustrial ERCOT Industrial 84 81 82 80 80 80 83 84 83 83 83 ERCOTTransportation ERCOT Transportation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ERCOTTotal Sales ERCOT Total Sales 291 284 296 295 298 301 307 309 311 313 317 FRCCResidential FRCC Residential 110 112 113 111 116 117 119 119 120 122 123 FRCCCommercial/OtherFRCC Commercial/Other 88 89 92 92 95 97 98 100 101 104 106 FRCCIndustrial FRCC Industrial 17 17 17 17 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 FRCCTransportation FRCC Transportation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 FRCCTotal Sales FRCC Total Sales 215 218 222 220 228 230 234 236 239 242 246 MAACResidential MAAC Residential 95 99 102 102 103 103 103 102 102 102 102 MAACCommercial/OtherMAAC Commercial/Other 112 116 121 122 125 127 128 130 132 133 135 MAACIndustrial MAAC Industrial 57 56 59 56 55 56 57 58 58 58 58 MAACTransportation MAAC Transportation 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 MAACTotal Sales MAAC Total Sales 265 273 284 282 285 288 291 291 293 294 297 MAINResidential MAIN Residential 84 88 84 84 85 85 85 84 83 84 84 MAINCommercial/OtherMAIN Commercial/Other 92 95 95 92 96 97 98 100 101 103 105 MAINIndustrial MAIN Industrial 86 86 85 84 83 85 87 88 88 88 89 MAINTransportation MAIN Transportation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MAINTotal Sales MAIN Total Sales 262 269 264 260 264 267 271 272 273 275 278 MAPPResidential MAPP Residential 54 57 55 55 55 55 56 55 55 55 56 MAPPCommercial/OtherMAPP Commercial/Other 48 50 49 48 50 51 51 52 53 54 54 MAPPIndustrial MAPP Industrial 51 52 53 52 52 54 55 56 56 56 57 MAPPTransportation MAPP Transportation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MAPPTotal Sales MAPP Total Sales 153 160 157 155 158 160 162 163 164 165 167 NPCCResidential NPCC Residential 95 99 98 99 98 98 98 96 95 95 95 NPCCCommercial/OtherNPCC Commercial/Other 125 130 131 133 135 136 138 139 141 142 144 NPCCIndustrial NPCC Industrial 47 47 47 45 44 45 46 47 47 46 47 NPCCTransportation NPCC Transportation 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 NPCCTotal Sales NPCC Total Sales 268 278 278 278 279 281 283 283 284 285 287 SERCResidential SERC Residential 316 327 322 318 328 331 335 335 338 342 346 SERCCommercial/OtherSERC Commercial/Other 253 262 261 262 270 275 278 283 288 294 300 SERCIndustrial SERC Industrial 255 255 255 247 244 246 252 254 252 251 251 SERCTransportation SERC Transportation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SERCTotal Sales SERC Total Sales 824 845 838 827 844 852 866 872 879 887 897

### 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Region Sector Region and Sector 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
SPP Residential SPP Residential 69 69 69 69 70 70 71 71 71 71 72 SPP Commercial/OtherSPP Commercial/Other 72 73 73 73 75 76 77 78 80 81 82 SPP Industrial SPP Industrial 51 51 50 49 49 50 51 52 52 52 52 SPP Transportation SPP Transportation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SPP Total Sales SPP Total Sales 191 193 193 191 194 196 200 201 202 204 207 WECCResidential WECC Residential 236 242 243 244 243 243 245 241 241 242 244 WECCCommercial/OtherWECC Commercial/Other 260 267 265 263 275 279 284 289 295 301 308 WECCIndustrial WECC Industrial 155 155 152 148 149 151 155 156 156 157 158 WECCTransportation WECC Transportation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WECCTotal Sales WECC Total Sales 651 665 662 656 668 675 684 687 694 702 711 US Residential US Residential 1,352 1,392 1,389 1,384 1,406 1,412 1,421 1,409 1,415 1,423 1,435 US Commercial/OtherUS Commercial/Other 1,300 1,343 1,354 1,350 1,393 1,414 1,433 1,454 1,479 1,505 1,533 US Industrial US Industrial 1,011 1,006 1,014 986 979 992 1,020 1,029 1,026 1,025 1,027 US Transportation US Transportation 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 US Total Sales US Total Sales 3,669 3,747 3,763 3,726 3,785 3,824 3,881 3,899 3,928 3,960 4,003

### Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours)

Region ECAR ECAR ECAR ECAR ECAR ERCOT ERCOT ERCOT ERCOT ERCOT FRCC FRCC FRCC FRCC FRCC MAAC MAAC MAAC MAAC MAAC MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN MAPP MAPP MAPP MAPP MAPP NPCC NPCC NPCC NPCC NPCC SERC SERC SERC SERC SERC 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 184 186 188 189 190 191 193 195 196 198 200 202 203 2052 183 186 189 191 194 197 199 201 204 206 208 211 213 2163 211 212 211 210 210 211 212 213 214 215 217 218 220 2224 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 25 580 585 589 592 596 600 606 611 616 621 626 633 639 6456 124 126 128 130 131 132 134 136 138 139 141 143 144 145 7 112 114 116 117 119 121 123 124 126 127 129 130 132 1348 83 83 82 81 81 81 81 82 82 82 83 83 84 849 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 110 320 323 326 329 331 335 338 342 345 349 353 357 360 36411 125 128 130 132 133 135 137 140 142 144 146 148 150 15212 108 110 112 114 116 118 120 122 123 125 127 129 131 13313 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 1714 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 115 250 255 259 263 266 270 274 278 282 286 290 294 298 30216 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 115 115 11617 137 139 140 142 143 145 146 148 149 150 151 152 153 15418 58 58 58 57 57 57 57 57 57 58 58 59 59 6019 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 320 300 303 305 307 309 312 315 318 320 322 325 328 331 33421 84 85 85 86 86 87 87 88 89 89 90 91 92 9222 107 108 110 111 113 114 116 117 119 120 121 123 124 12623 89 90 90 89 90 90 90 91 91 92 93 93 94 9524 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 125 281 283 285 287 289 291 294 297 299 302 305 308 311 31426 56 56 57 57 58 58 59 59 60 60 61 62 62 6327 55 56 57 58 59 59 60 61 62 62 63 64 65 6528 57 58 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 59 59 60 60 6129 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 030 169 170 172 173 174 175 177 179 180 182 184 186 187 18931 95 96 96 97 97 98 99 100 100 101 102 103 104 10432 145 147 148 149 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 16033 47 47 47 46 46 46 46 47 47 47 48 48 49 4934 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 335 289 292 294 295 296 299 301 303 305 307 310 312 314 31636 351 356 362 367 370 375 380 386 390 396 401 406 410 41537 305 311 317 322 327 332 337 342 347 351 356 361 366 37238 250 250 248 246 245 245 246 247 247 247 249 250 251 25239 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 240 907 918 928 935 943 954 965 976 985 996 1,007 1,018 1,029 1,04141

### Region

ECAR SPP SPP SPP SPP SPP WECC WECC WECC WECC WECC US US US US US 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1
73 74 75 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 81 83 83 8442 84 85 86 88 89 90 92 93 94 95 96 97 99 10043 52 52 52 51 51 51 52 52 52 52 53 53 54 5444 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 045 209 211 213 215 217 219 221 224 226 228 231 233 236 23846 246 249 252 254 256 259 262 266 268 272 275 278 281 28347 313 319 325 330 336 342 347 352 356 361 365 370 375 38148 159 160 160 159 159 160 161 162 164 165 168 170 172 17549 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 350 720 729 738 745 753 762 772 782 790 800 810 821 831 84151 1,448 1,466 1,485 1,499 1,511 1,528 1,546 1,567 1,581 1,599 1,617 1,638 1,651 1,66752 1,559 1,584 1,609 1,632 1,657 1,680 1,703 1,724 1,743 1,763 1,784 1,805 1,828 1,85053 1,031 1,032 1,029 1,021 1,020 1,022 1,026 1,032 1,036 1,042 1,050 1,058 1,067 1,07754 9 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 1555 4,047 4,092 4,132 4,162 4,197 4,241 4,286 4,335 4,373 4,417 4,464 4,515 4,560 4,609562006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 32.53 32.53 32.82 33.97 34.07 34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.04 Combined Cycle 36.53 38.58 38.75 40.83 41.10 41.76 42.62 42.62 42.62 42.62 42.62 42.62 42.84 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 13.55 14.25 14.94 15.34 15.34 15.34 15.34 14.61 14.61 14.61 15.10 16.43 17.53 Nuclear Power 9.47 9.47 9.47 9.47 9.47 9.47 9.47 9.73 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 58.08 59.87 61.10 61.49 62.10 62.19 62.33 62.42 62.52 62.53 62.59 62.72 62.74 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 174.41 178.94 181.32 185.35 186.32 187.45 188.45 187.66 187.88 187.90 188.44 189.91 191.25

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.29 1.44 1.54 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.17 2.25 2.52 3.18 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.70 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 1.23 1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.43 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.50 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 2.38 6.16 6.54 7.60 8.47 8.48 8.50 8.51 8.53 8.54 8.56

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 1.81 2.92 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.85 0.92 1.05 1.13 1.21 1.21 1.25 1.37 1.37 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.85 0.92 1.05 1.13 1.21 1.21 1.74 3.19 4.51 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 2.38 6.41 7.39 8.52 9.52 9.61 9.70 9.72 10.26 11.73 13.07

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 Table 82-84. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Northwest Power Pool Area, Rock y Mountain Power Area and Arizona-New Mexico-Southern Nevada Power2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.38 0.38 0.43 0.51 0.55 0.68 0.74 0.81 0.89 Petroleum 0.17 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.28 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 Natural Gas 2.56 2.67 2.83 2.89 2.46 2.53 2.60 2.65 2.72 2.77 2.83 2.89 2.94 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.14 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.93 0.91 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.88 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.94 1.06 1.21 1.45 1.76 2.02 2.35 2.71 3.08 3.65 4.25 4.30 4.38 Other 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Total 4.31 4.40 4.71 5.02 5.86 6.17 6.59 7.08 7.55 8.29 9.01 9.18 9.40

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 235.68 242.32 243.17 244.27 242.81 243.35 244.61 241.15 241.48 242.20 243.85 245.91 248.92 Commercial/Other 259.52 267.21 265.45 262.69 274.95 279.15 283.72 289.06 295.15 301.42 307.56 313.43 319.14 I ndustrial 155.14 154.81 152.45 148.22 149.14 151.36 154.57 156.16 156.40 157.14 158.08 159.04 159.61 Transportation 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.85 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.96 1.01 1.07 1.12 1.19 1.26 Total Sales 651.16 665.16 661.90 656.02 667.76 674.74 683.82 687.33 694.05 701.83 710.61 719.57 728.93

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 6.04 11.70 12.13 9.86 9.09 9.76 8.88 9.95 10.87 10.67 9.90 9.53 10.09 Gross I nternational Exports 12.97 7.96 9.03 7.49 6.85 6.79 7.72 7.65 7.59 7.52 7.46 7.35 7.33 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 95.13 74.36 99.28 105.72 99.42 106.67 111.77 109.88 111.59 107.47 111.67 111.29 109.12 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 96.02 76.14 93.74 98.85 91.85 100.72 106.84 105.26 107.12 102.78 107.08 106.72 104.54 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 12.45 12.66 11.92 12.00 11.73 11.94 12.03 12.34 12.65 13.21 13.44 13.88 14.78 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 695.21 700.96 703.77 700.28 709.36 715.34 725.64 725.93 729.67 735.01 745.03 754.50 763.10 Total Net Energy for Load 917.82 883.77 929.87 934.20 928.30 951.22 972.87 971.03 979.48 976.66 994.571003.271008.96

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 219.04 223.29 228.22 225.95 238.10 248.16 248.89 248.08 248.47 248.74 244.45 244.78 244.69 Petroleum 2.55 2.54 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 Natural Gas 183.81 209.16 197.15 192.67 176.95 163.99 169.77 165.63 164.75 165.72 174.49 182.68 190.82 Nuclear 65.30 70.68 74.45 74.71 74.71 74.71 74.71 76.78 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 1.34 1.52 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Renewable Sources 10/ 230.41 201.31 210.53 213.54 226.16 235.02 238.79 241.95 245.15 249.11 254.64 255.60 256.14 Total Generation 702.44 708.50 710.85 707.35 716.44 722.42 732.72 733.00 736.74 742.08 752.10 761.57 770.17 Sales to Customers 695.21 700.96 703.77 700.28 709.36 715.34 725.64 725.93 729.67 735.01 745.03 754.50 763.10 Generation for Own Use 7.23 7.54 7.08 7.08 7.08 7.08 7.08 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 2.24 2.28 2.59 2.59 2.30 2.31 2.66 3.29 3.61 4.58 5.03 5.53 6.09 Petroleum 0.35 0.33 0.58 0.58 1.05 1.09 1.06 1.03 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.04 1.05 Natural Gas 13.24 13.63 17.89 18.35 15.18 15.71 16.11 16.52 16.97 17.39 17.85 18.31 18.83 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.97 0.87 1.81 1.81 5.00 5.05 4.75 4.80 4.63 4.63 4.64 4.68 4.97 Renewable Sources 10/ 4.27 4.48 4.35 4.77 5.35 5.88 6.57 7.28 8.15 9.40 10.58 10.84 11.41 Other 0.83 0.83 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 Total 21.90 22.43 27.60 28.49 29.28 30.42 31.54 33.31 34.80 37.45 39.55 40.81 42.74 Sales to Utilities 12.45 12.66 11.92 12.00 11.73 11.94 12.03 12.34 12.65 13.21 13.44 13.88 14.78 Generation for Own Use 9.46 9.77 15.68 16.49 17.55 18.48 19.51 20.97 22.15 24.24 26.11 26.93 27.97

Total Electricity Generation 724.35 730.93 738.45 735.85 745.72 752.85 764.26 766.32 771.54 779.53 791.64 802.38 812.912006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 10.88 10.93 11.45 11.79 11.27 11.23 11.07 11.04 10.99 11.00 11.08 11.22 11.32 Commercial 10.24 9.84 10.37 10.43 10.03 9.87 9.63 9.46 9.34 9.32 9.39 9.46 9.53 I ndustrial 6.97 6.83 7.34 7.53 7.22 7.12 6.97 6.86 6.78 6.77 6.82 6.92 6.98 Transportation 9.81 9.70 10.30 10.49 10.05 9.74 9.37 9.04 8.77 8.58 8.47 8.38 8.27 All Sectors Average 9.66 9.51 10.07 10.28 9.85 9.74 9.54 9.42 9.34 9.33 9.40 9.50 9.58

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 2.31 2.36 2.44 2.41 2.54 2.65 2.66 2.65 2.65 2.66 2.61 2.61 2.61 Natural Gas 1.54 1.72 1.71 1.68 1.55 1.43 1.45 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.48 1.54 1.60 Oil 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 3.89 4.11 4.16 4.10 4.09 4.08 4.11 4.07 4.07 4.08 4.10 4.17 4.22

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 97.11 102.96 98.11 96.85 98.34 99.63 100.21 99.40 99.44 99.65 99.43 100.50 101.42 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 356.09 377.50 359.74 355.10 360.56 365.31 367.45 364.45 364.60 365.37 364.57 368.49 371.89 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.48 Mercury (tons) 3.77 3.85 3.98 3.94 3.96 4.05 3.97 3.99 3.90 2.19 2.12 2.19 2.19

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 11.39 11.39 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 Combined Cycle 5.47 6.13 6.13 6.64 6.64 6.64 6.64 6.64 6.64 6.64 6.64 6.64 6.64 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 2.14 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 2.13 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 Nuclear Power 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 36.50 37.33 38.11 38.23 38.26 38.27 38.27 38.28 38.28 38.29 38.34 38.46 38.47 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 57.70 59.19 60.18 60.81 60.84 60.85 60.85 60.47 60.48 60.49 60.53 60.66 60.67

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Table 82. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Northwest Power Pool Area2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Coal 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.99 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.64 1.64 1.65 1.66 1.66

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.20 0.20 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 0.99 1.62 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.72 1.85 1.86

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.29 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.22 0.22 0.27 0.35 0.40 0.53 0.59 0.66 0.73 Petroleum 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Natural Gas 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.37 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.47 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.61 0.66 0.77 0.87 0.90 0.94 Other 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Total 1.02 1.06 1.08 1.11 1.07 1.11 1.21 1.35 1.46 1.71 1.88 1.99 2.12

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 79.15 81.82 83.69 83.99 83.09 83.21 83.55 82.25 82.26 82.43 82.93 83.57 84.54 Commercial/Other 71.34 74.29 74.95 74.14 77.68 78.88 80.20 81.73 83.47 85.27 87.02 88.70 90.34 I ndustrial 66.01 66.35 66.26 64.41 64.71 65.68 67.07 67.76 67.86 68.18 68.59 69.01 69.26 Transportation 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.43 Total Sales 216.77 222.74 225.18 222.83 225.78 228.08 231.13 232.06 233.94 236.25 238.93 241.69 244.57

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Gross I nternational I

mports 5.24 10.52 10.94 8.66 7.89 8.57 7.68 8.75 9.67 9.47 8.70 8.33 8.89 Gross I nternational Exports 12.36 7.74 8.62 7.18 6.55 6.48 7.42 7.35 7.28 7.22 7.15 7.05 7.03 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 17.33 16.55 17.80 18.00 17.61 17.64 17.94 17.76 17.76 18.08 18.01 16.32 14.64 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 43.07 23.15 23.39 31.02 24.23 29.02 36.03 47.31 38.28 51.09 36.59 38.78 41.28 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 1.40 1.43 1.36 1.38 1.23 1.30 1.46 1.68 1.92 2.36 2.53 2.82 3.33 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 256.18 255.85 247.93 254.84 250.78 256.46 267.36 277.68 268.64 282.50 271.50 278.32 284.52 Total Net Energy for Load 224.71 253.44 246.03 244.68 246.73 248.46 250.99 251.20 252.43 254.11 256.99 259.96 263.06

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 75.58 82.22 78.10 76.93 79.25 79.50 79.74 79.98 80.23 80.44 76.37 77.10 77.39 Petroleum 0.53 0.53 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 Natural Gas 23.62 28.73 26.80 32.72 19.02 17.56 26.05 34.02 22.58 34.02 22.41 28.08 34.02 Nuclear 9.33 8.11 8.78 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.51 0.50 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 Renewable Sources 10/ 147.10 136.26 134.35 136.39 143.71 150.59 152.77 154.87 157.02 159.25 163.93 164.34 164.31 Total Generation 256.67 256.36 248.31 255.22 251.16 256.84 267.74 278.06 269.02 282.88 271.89 278.70 284.91 Sales to Customers 256.18 255.85 247.93 254.84 250.78 256.46 267.36 277.68 268.64 282.50 271.50 278.32 284.52 Generation for Own Use 0.49 0.51 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 1.23 1.27 1.58 1.58 1.29 1.29 1.64 2.27 2.59 3.57 4.02 4.52 5.07 Petroleum 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 Natural Gas 1.07 1.11 1.42 1.53 1.49 1.59 1.68 1.77 1.86 1.96 2.07 2.17 2.28 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 10/ 2.34 2.39 2.13 2.16 2.25 2.37 2.52 2.64 2.87 3.20 3.43 3.61 3.96 Other 0.32 0.31 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 Total 4.97 5.10 5.24 5.38 5.29 5.52 6.11 6.95 7.60 9.00 9.79 10.56 11.59 Sales to Utilities 1.40 1.43 1.36 1.38 1.23 1.30 1.46 1.68 1.92 2.36 2.53 2.82 3.33 Generation for Own Use 3.58 3.68 3.88 4.00 4.06 4.22 4.65 5.27 5.68 6.63 7.26 7.74 8.26

Total Electricity Generation 261.64 261.46 253.55 260.60 256.45 262.36 273.85 285.01 276.62 291.87 281.68 289.26 296.49

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 7.5 7.8 7.4 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.6 7.7 Commercial 7.0 6.9 6.7 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.5 6.6 I ndustrial 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 Transportation 5.4 5.6 6.2 6.5 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 All Sectors Average 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.5

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 Transmission 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 Distribution 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 0.81 0.88 0.84 0.83 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.82 0.83 0.84 Natural Gas 0.19 0.23 0.22 0.27 0.16 0.15 0.21 0.27 0.18 0.27 0.18 0.22 0.27 Oil 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total 1.01 1.13 1.07 1.10 1.02 1.01 1.07 1.13 1.05 1.14 1.01 1.06 1.10

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.20 1.30 1.39 1.40 1.40 1.41 1.43 1.44 1.44 1.45 1.45 1.44 1.43 Natural Gas 5.94 5.54 9.08 6.39 6.50 6.35 6.47 6.39 6.31 6.44 6.48 6.67 6.84 Distillate Fuel Oil 14.39 15.37 20.19 15.46 15.49 16.45 18.11 18.57 19.39 19.94 20.13 20.15 20.33 Residual Fuel Oil 9.92 9.94 16.16 9.48 16.13 17.30 18.91 19.69 20.58 21.16 21.34 21.41 21.50 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.79 1.81 1.81 2.02 2.00 2.06

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 28.93 29.63 28.14 28.54 27.43 27.36 28.34 29.46 28.08 29.51 26.84 27.75 28.60 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 106.09 108.66 103.19 104.65 100.59 100.33 103.91 108.01 102.97 108.21 98.40 101.76 104.88 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.08 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 Mercury (tons) 1.57 1.64 1.65 1.63 1.55 1.66 1.56 1.71 1.60 1.38 1.32 1.44 1.50

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 16.83 16.83 16.92 18.07 18.17 18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 Combined Cycle 17.02 17.65 17.82 18.32 18.59 19.24 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.10 20.32 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 5.28 5.55 6.25 6.65 6.65 6.65 6.65 6.65 6.65 6.65 7.14 8.46 9.57 Nuclear Power 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 3.06 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 6.38 7.34 7.46 7.47 7.47 7.48 7.53 7.53 7.54 7.54 7.55 7.55 7.55 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 52.27 54.13 55.20 57.26 57.63 58.68 59.59 59.79 59.89 59.89 60.38 61.71 63.04

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.24 1.34 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.67 0.94 1.60 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.70 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.08 3.14 3.51 4.55 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.43 5.43 5.44 5.44

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 1.81 2.92 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Table 83. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Rocky Mountain Power Area and ArizonaNew Mexico-Southern Nevada Power Area2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.54 1.86 3.19 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 1.08 3.14 3.51 4.55 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.48 5.97 7.30 8.63

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Petroleum 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 Natural Gas 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.12 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.32 0.48 0.66 0.66 0.67 Other 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.35 0.55 0.60 0.64 0.71 0.78 0.95 1.14 1.16 1.18

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 69.29 73.70 70.51 71.34 73.34 73.93 74.85 74.54 75.28 75.96 76.86 77.89 79.16 Commercial/Other 67.59 71.27 68.70 67.57 72.11 73.63 75.26 77.08 79.14 81.29 83.37 85.37 87.30 I ndustrial 39.71 40.03 38.24 37.15 36.03 36.76 37.52 37.88 37.89 38.05 38.26 38.48 38.65 Transportation 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.14 Total Sales 176.65 185.07 177.51 176.12 181.55 184.39 187.71 189.58 192.40 195.41 198.61 201.86 205.26

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross I nternational Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 16.58 16.44 10.57 11.94 12.72 11.24 10.59 10.31 10.68 12.30 13.63 14.45 14.38 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 47.94 47.77 65.38 62.86 62.56 66.64 65.76 52.88 63.76 46.61 65.40 63.35 59.18 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 0.20 0.21 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 218.04 226.78 248.61 244.14 248.04 256.06 258.78 247.53 260.41 244.20 265.08 265.69 265.21 Total Net Energy for Load 186.88 195.66 193.97 193.41 198.41 200.89 203.87 205.24 207.63 210.20 213.65 217.14 220.80

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 118.59 116.82 122.95 122.07 130.84 136.48 136.95 135.87 135.98 136.02 135.78 135.35 134.93 Petroleum 0.15 0.14 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 Natural Gas 70.23 79.36 87.93 84.10 78.53 80.65 82.36 70.45 82.24 64.67 84.97 85.47 84.85 Nuclear 17.43 19.44 22.57 22.57 22.57 22.57 22.57 24.07 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.01 0.02 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 Renewable Sources 10/ 15.51 15.08 19.07 19.32 20.00 20.24 20.78 21.02 21.25 22.42 23.24 23.78 24.34 Total Generation 221.92 230.87 252.66 248.20 252.10 260.12 262.84 251.59 264.47 248.25 269.14 269.75 269.27 Sales to Customers 218.04 226.78 248.61 244.14 248.04 256.06 258.78 247.53 260.41 244.20 265.08 265.69 265.212006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Generation for Own Use 3.87 4.09 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 Petroleum 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.76 0.74 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.73 Natural Gas 0.63 0.66 0.81 0.92 1.04 1.13 1.22 1.31 1.40 1.50 1.60 1.70 1.81 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 Renewable Sources 10/ 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.15 0.24 0.31 0.40 0.51 0.64 0.97 1.31 1.32 1.34 Other 0.12 0.11 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Total 1.17 1.24 1.31 1.47 2.50 2.69 2.85 3.02 3.26 3.68 4.13 4.23 4.36 Sales to Utilities 0.20 0.21 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 Generation for Own Use 0.97 1.03 1.14 1.28 2.29 2.45 2.59 2.75 2.96 3.36 3.79 3.87 3.98

Total Electricity Generation 223.08 232.11 253.97 249.66 254.60 262.80 265.68 254.61 267.72 251.93 273.27 273.97 273.63

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 9.8 9.9 10.8 11.4 11.1 11.2 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.6 11.8 12.0 Commercial 8.3 8.3 9.2 9.6 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 I ndustrial 6.5 6.6 7.4 7.7 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 Transportation 7.8 7.7 8.5 8.9 8.0 7.9 7.4 7.4 7.7 8.2 8.6 9.0 9.4 All Sectors Average 8.5 8.5 9.4 9.9 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.7

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 5.8 5.9 6.8 7.1 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.4 Transmission 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 Distribution 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 1.25 1.24 1.31 1.30 1.39 1.45 1.46 1.44 1.45 1.45 1.44 1.44 1.44 Natural Gas 0.57 0.63 0.73 0.70 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.57 0.66 0.52 0.68 0.68 0.68 Oil 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.83 1.87 2.04 2.00 2.04 2.11 2.12 2.02 2.11 1.98 2.13 2.13 2.12

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.40 1.44 1.57 1.59 1.57 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.59 1.58 1.58 1.57 Natural Gas 6.41 5.39 8.62 6.18 6.46 6.39 6.46 6.33 6.32 6.36 6.54 6.71 6.87 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.81 14.78 19.98 15.42 15.91 17.12 18.69 19.11 19.97 20.62 20.82 20.86 20.91 Residual Fuel Oil 9.45 9.45 15.38 9.02 17.45 18.66 20.24 21.24 22.08 22.59 22.70 22.73 22.78 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.96 1.97 1.88 1.83 1.80 1.82 1.79 1.92 2.35 2.30 2.20

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 46.96 48.89 49.57 48.79 50.66 52.48 52.73 50.82 52.37 50.27 52.70 52.60 52.30 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 172.18 179.27 181.75 178.90 185.77 192.43 193.33 186.33 192.02 184.31 193.24 192.86 191.78 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 Mercury (tons) 1.90 1.97 2.00 2.02 2.12 2.04 2.03 1.93 1.97 0.70 0.69 0.65 0.55

Table 84. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Western Electricity Coordinating Council / California2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 15.58 15.58 15.58 15.58 15.58 15.58 15.58 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 Combined Cycle 14.05 14.80 14.80 15.87 15.87 15.87 15.87 15.87 15.87 15.87 15.87 15.87 15.87 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 6.14 6.56 6.56 6.56 6.56 6.56 6.56 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 Nuclear Power 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.54 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 15.20 15.20 15.52 15.80 16.36 16.44 16.53 16.61 16.69 16.70 16.71 16.71 16.72 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 64.44 65.62 65.93 67.28 67.85 67.93 68.01 67.40 67.52 67.52 67.53 67.54 67.54

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.39 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.32 1.41 1.41 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.44 1.45 1.46

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.81 0.89 0.97 1.05 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.81 0.89 0.97 1.05 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 0.32 1.66 2.23 2.31 2.39 2.47 2.56 2.56 2.57 2.58 2.58

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 Petroleum 0.15 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.102006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Natural Gas 2.16 2.27 2.39 2.43 1.99 2.03 2.08 2.10 2.15 2.18 2.21 2.24 2.26 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.14 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.87 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.48 0.57 0.71 0.92 1.14 1.33 1.58 1.84 2.10 2.39 2.72 2.74 2.77 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 3.02 3.06 3.32 3.56 4.24 4.46 4.73 5.02 5.31 5.63 5.99 6.04 6.10

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 87.24 86.80 88.97 88.94 86.37 86.21 86.20 84.36 83.95 83.81 84.06 84.45 85.21 Commercial/Other 120.60 121.64 121.80 120.98 125.15 126.64 128.26 130.25 132.54 134.86 137.17 139.36 141.50 I ndustrial 49.42 48.43 47.95 46.66 48.41 48.92 49.98 50.53 50.66 50.91 51.22 51.55 51.70 Transportation 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.60 0.62 0.65 0.69 Total Sales 257.74 257.36 259.21 257.07 260.43 262.27 264.98 265.69 267.71 270.17 273.07 276.02 279.10

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 0.80 1.18 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 Gross I nternational Exports 0.60 0.22 0.40 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 61.23 41.37 70.91 75.78 69.09 77.79 83.24 81.82 83.15 77.09 80.04 80.52 80.11 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 5.01 5.22 4.97 4.97 5.06 5.06 5.05 5.07 5.08 5.08 5.08 4.58 4.08 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 10.85 11.02 10.38 10.43 10.28 10.41 10.32 10.39 10.43 10.53 10.57 10.71 11.07 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 220.99 218.34 207.23 201.29 210.54 202.82 199.49 200.72 200.62 208.31 208.44 210.50 213.36 Total Net Energy for Load 288.25 266.47 284.35 283.43 285.75 286.85 288.89 288.75 290.02 291.75 294.87 298.03 301.35

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 24.88 24.25 27.17 26.95 28.02 32.18 32.20 32.23 32.26 32.28 32.31 32.33 32.37 Petroleum 1.87 1.86 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 Natural Gas 89.96 101.06 82.42 75.85 79.40 65.78 61.37 61.16 59.93 67.03 67.12 69.13 71.95 Nuclear 38.54 43.13 43.10 43.23 43.23 43.23 43.23 43.80 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.82 1.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Renewable Sources 10/ 67.80 49.96 57.11 57.83 62.46 64.19 65.24 66.06 66.88 67.45 67.46 67.48 67.49 Total Generation 223.86 221.28 209.88 203.94 213.18 205.47 202.14 203.35 203.25 210.94 211.07 213.13 215.99 Sales to Customers 220.99 218.34 207.23 201.29 210.54 202.82 199.49 200.72 200.62 208.31 208.44 210.50 213.36 Generation for Own Use 2.87 2.94 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 Petroleum 0.33 0.31 0.54 0.54 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 Natural Gas 11.55 11.85 15.66 15.91 12.65 12.99 13.21 13.44 13.70 13.93 14.18 14.44 14.74 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.97 0.87 1.81 1.81 4.91 4.96 4.66 4.71 4.55 4.55 4.56 4.60 4.89 Renewable Sources 10/ 1.86 1.99 2.11 2.46 2.86 3.21 3.65 4.12 4.64 5.23 5.83 5.92 6.11 Other 0.40 0.41 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 Total 15.76 16.08 21.05 21.65 21.48 22.21 22.58 23.34 23.95 24.77 25.63 26.02 26.80 Sales to Utilities 10.85 11.02 10.38 10.43 10.28 10.41 10.32 10.39 10.43 10.53 10.57 10.71 11.07 Generation for Own Use 4.91 5.06 10.66 11.21 11.20 11.81 12.27 12.95 13.52 14.24 15.05 15.31 15.73

Total Electricity Generation 239.62 237.36 230.92 225.59 234.66 227.68 224.72 226.69 227.20 235.72 236.70 239.15 242.79

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 14.8 14.8 15.8 16.0 15.0 14.8 14.6 14.5 14.4 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.42006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Commercial 13.3 12.5 13.3 13.1 12.8 12.5 12.2 11.9 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 I ndustrial 10.4 9.9 10.6 10.6 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 Transportation 12.6 12.4 12.9 13.1 12.6 12.2 11.7 11.3 10.9 10.7 10.4 10.2 9.9 All Sectors Average 13.2 12.8 13.6 13.6 13.1 12.8 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.2

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 7.3 6.9 8.2 8.2 7.6 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8 Transmission 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 Distribution 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 0.25 0.24 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 Natural Gas 0.78 0.85 0.76 0.71 0.74 0.62 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.62 0.62 0.64 0.66 Oil 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.05 1.12 1.05 0.99 1.03 0.96 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.97 0.97 0.98 1.00

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.46 1.50 1.60 1.62 1.59 1.59 1.60 1.59 1.59 1.61 1.60 1.59 1.59 Natural Gas 6.50 6.31 9.51 6.92 7.19 6.96 6.92 6.80 6.75 6.86 7.11 7.27 7.45 Distillate Fuel Oil 14.71 15.68 20.27 15.47 15.39 16.61 18.26 18.72 19.56 20.21 20.41 20.44 20.57 Residual Fuel Oil 9.92 9.94 16.16 9.48 17.98 19.23 20.68 21.34 22.15 22.71 22.87 22.91 22.84 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.80 1.82 1.83 1.85 1.87 2.02

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 21.22 24.43 20.40 19.51 20.24 19.79 19.15 19.12 18.98 19.87 19.89 20.14 20.52 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 77.82 89.58 74.80 71.55 74.20 72.55 70.21 70.12 69.61 72.85 72.93 73.86 75.23 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 Mercury (tons) 0.29 0.24 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.36 0.38 0.34 0.33 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.13

11/ I ncludes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small onsite generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic municipal waste. 10/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of during summer peak demand. I ncludes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ I ncludes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity.2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy I nformation Administration (EI A), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EI A-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable.Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 34.45 35.63 36.94 38.16 39.43 40.79 42.50 0.02 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.04 19.02 19.02 19.02 19.02 19.02 0.00 43.42 45.35 47.33 49.37 51.41 53.01 53.62 54.36 55.04 55.32 56.71 57.48 0.05 18.48 18.56 18.56 18.69 19.47 20.33 20.77 21.53 22.11 22.41 22.61 22.61 0.07 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 9.86 0.01 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.76 63.96 64.09 64.14 64.29 64.73 65.60 65.89 66.18 68.25 68.95 69.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 192.79 196.00 198.13 200.34 203.31 206.21 209.31 212.39 215.15 219.07 222.73 225.29 0.16

1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 0.00 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52 1.54 1.55 1.57 1.59 1.61 1.62 1.64 1.66 1.68 1.69 1.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.57 8.59 8.61 8.63 8.64 8.66 8.68 8.70 8.71 8.73 8.75 8.77 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 2.49 3.71 4.98 6.34 8.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80 2.73 4.72 6.75 8.80 10.39 11.00 11.75 12.42 12.71 14.09 14.86 0.00 3.87 3.95 3.95 4.08 4.86 5.72 6.16 6.92 7.50 7.80 8.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37 2.55 2.67 2.70 2.83 3.26 4.11 4.38 4.66 6.71 7.39 7.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 6.04 9.23 11.34 13.53 16.49 19.37 22.45 25.54 28.28 32.19 35.82 38.37 0.00 14.61 17.82 19.95 22.16 25.13 28.03 31.13 34.23 37.00 40.92 44.57 47.14 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 0.00End-Use Sectors 8/

Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

0.97 1.06 1.13 1.20 1.27 1.38 1.50 1.63 1.78 1.91 2.04 2.16 0.08 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.20 2.99 3.07 3.15 3.22 3.29 3.37 3.45 3.53 3.63 3.73 3.84 3.95 0.11 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.17 4.45 4.51 4.57 4.63 4.64 4.68 4.72 4.77 4.84 4.93 5.07 5.26 0.26 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.00 9.62 9.84 10.04 10.24 10.40 10.64 10.89 11.15 11.47 11.80 12.17 12.58 0.82

252.09 254.18 256.12 259.22 262.39 266.01 268.41 271.67 274.84 278.45 280.63 283.47 0.02 324.81 330.22 335.94 341.53 346.83 351.53 356.11 360.72 365.45 370.31 375.38 380.51 0.05 159.61 159.22 159.33 159.71 161.00 162.27 163.71 165.38 167.63 169.72 172.12 174.57 0.01 1.33 1.42 1.51 1.62 1.75 1.87 1.99 2.12 2.25 2.38 2.52 2.65 0.19 737.84 745.03 752.90 762.08 771.97 781.68 790.23 799.88 810.16 820.86 830.64 841.21 0.27

9.34 9.25 9.94 9.11 8.83 10.65 10.61 8.83 11.61 13.63 11.38 10.66 0.00 7.31 7.29 7.28 7.26 7.04 6.63 6.42 6.38 6.38 6.38 6.38 6.38 0.00 105.49 92.42 81.46 75.93 68.47 63.17 53.75 64.04 53.64 47.37 49.03 54.42 -0.16 100.90 88.46 82.02 77.15 68.26 63.03 54.04 64.15 53.08 47.84 48.57 55.71 -0.22 15.47 16.21 16.99 17.50 17.68 17.97 18.28 18.67 19.06 19.51 19.87 20.24 0.13 772.70 780.41 791.89 802.74 811.83 819.83 828.97 840.52 847.73 857.80 869.28 882.76 0.03 1011.22 994.04 989.58 989.69 982.12 981.27 972.081002.59 991.50 992.541004.521030.15 -0.22

244.55 240.64 239.70 239.03 238.43 239.35 247.86 258.20 267.40 277.21 289.47 302.84 0.03 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.71 0.76 0.81 0.85 0.91 0.97 -0.11 200.01 203.23 214.18 224.90 233.28 238.85 235.94 236.42 233.26 225.71 224.16 224.51 0.00 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 77.82 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.20 256.70 265.09 266.56 267.37 268.68 270.19 273.69 274.36 275.49 283.26 283.97 283.67 0.06 779.77 787.48 798.96 809.81 818.91 826.90 836.05 847.59 854.80 864.87 876.35 889.83 -0.20 772.70 780.41 791.89 802.74 811.83 819.83 828.97 840.52 847.73 857.80 869.28 882.76 0.03 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

6.70 7.37 7.89 8.42 8.94 9.80 10.70 11.62 12.74 13.72 14.66 15.57 0.11 1.03 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.08 1.13 1.14 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.19 1.19 0.36 19.29 19.87 20.64 21.23 21.78 22.33 22.91 23.52 24.19 24.98 25.73 26.56 0.16 5.08 5.14 5.39 5.41 5.50 5.42 5.36 5.42 5.32 5.34 5.29 5.22 0.08 11.87 12.31 12.70 13.03 13.00 13.10 13.22 13.35 13.53 13.77 14.10 14.53 0.23 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 -0.13 44.37 46.10 48.04 49.51 50.69 52.18 53.71 55.44 57.33 59.38 61.37 63.46 0.81 15.47 16.21 16.99 17.50 17.68 17.97 18.28 18.67 19.06 19.51 19.87 20.24 0.13 28.90 29.89 31.05 32.01 33.02 34.21 35.43 36.77 38.27 39.87 41.49 43.22 0.68

824.14 833.58 847.00 859.32 869.60 879.08 889.76 903.03 912.13 924.25 937.72 953.29 0.04End-Use Prices

(2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

11.43 11.49 11.44 11.44 11.55 11.76 11.95 12.13 12.32 12.46 12.62 12.72 0.01 9.60 9.64 9.53 9.46 9.51 9.71 9.82 9.97 10.13 10.26 10.39 10.48 0.01 7.04 7.07 7.00 6.98 7.00 7.15 7.25 7.38 7.51 7.61 7.72 7.79 0.01 8.27 8.36 8.58 8.83 9.19 9.62 10.00 10.38 10.72 11.05 11.36 11.62 0.02 9.67 9.72 9.64 9.61 9.68 9.88 10.01 10.17 10.33 10.46 10.59 10.68 0.01

2.61 2.57 2.56 2.55 2.55 2.56 2.63 2.72 2.80 2.89 3.00 3.12 0.03 1.67 1.68 1.75 1.81 1.86 1.89 1.86 1.86 1.83 1.77 1.75 1.75 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.15 4.29 4.26 4.32 4.37 4.41 4.45 4.50 4.59 4.65 4.67 4.77 4.88 -0.12

102.43 101.49 102.29 103.08 103.63 104.41 106.11 108.68 110.60 112.15 115.01 118.37 0.01 375.57 372.13 375.07 377.98 379.96 382.85 389.07 398.48 405.55 411.21 421.72 434.04 0.01 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 -0.01 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.02 2.19 2.20 2.16 2.21 2.18 2.17 2.18 2.20 2.19 2.26 2.37 2.36 -0.08

11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.59 11.73 12.21 0.3% 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 -0.1% 6.64 6.79 6.79 6.79 6.79 6.79 6.79 6.79 6.79 7.08 7.18 7.18 0.7% 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.89 2.67 3.47 3.91 4.67 5.25 5.55 5.75 5.75 4.4% 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.0% 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 38.48 39.66 39.79 39.82 39.96 40.07 40.88 41.15 41.32 41.61 42.28 42.29 0.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 60.67 62.01 62.13 62.30 63.22 64.13 65.38 66.41 67.16 68.03 69.15 69.64 0.7%Coal

Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.03 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.67 1.67 1.68 1.69 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.71 1.72 1.73 1.73 1.74 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.62 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.43 0.54 0.54 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.91 1.71 2.15 2.91 3.49 3.79 3.99 3.99 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.20 1.38 1.50 1.52 1.66 1.76 2.56 2.83 2.99 3.27 3.94 3.94 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.20 1.52 1.64 1.80 2.71 3.62 4.86 5.89 6.63 7.49 8.61 9.10 - - 1.86 3.20 3.33 3.49 4.41 5.32 6.57 7.60 8.35 9.22 10.34 10.84 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 - -

0.81 0.90 0.97 1.04 1.11 1.23 1.35 1.47 1.62 1.75 1.88 2.00 8.4% 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 7.2% 0.39 0.41 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.57 0.60 0.62 4.2% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.98 1.01 1.04 1.07 1.07 1.09 1.10 1.11 1.13 1.15 1.18 1.21 4.4% 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.0% 2.26 2.40 2.52 2.63 2.72 2.87 3.02 3.18 3.37 3.55 3.73 3.92 5.9%

85.57 86.22 86.81 87.82 88.85 90.05 90.81 91.87 92.91 94.09 94.78 95.70 0.7% 91.96 93.51 95.15 96.75 98.26 99.60 100.91 102.22 103.57 104.96 106.41 107.88 1.6% 69.27 69.08 69.13 69.30 69.87 70.43 71.07 71.80 72.79 73.71 74.76 75.84 0.6% 0.46 0.49 0.52 0.56 0.60 0.64 0.69 0.73 0.77 0.82 0.87 0.91 5.2% 247.25 249.30 251.61 254.43 257.58 260.72 263.48 266.63 270.04 273.58 276.82 280.33 1.0%Gross I

nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 8.14 8.05 8.75 7.91 7.64 9.45 9.41 7.63 10.41 12.44 10.19 9.46 -0.5% 7.01 6.99 6.97 6.96 6.74 6.32 6.12 6.08 6.08 6.08 6.08 6.08 -1.0% 12.95 11.26 9.01 7.32 6.65 4.23 2.26 4.32 1.89 1.66 0.97 2.31 -8.2% 36.71 23.82 19.26 16.35 14.19 10.18 8.44 8.13 6.07 5.76 5.56 5.72 -5.9% 3.78 4.27 4.66 5.01 5.13 5.42 5.72 6.03 6.42 6.75 7.08 7.41 7.4% 284.78 275.38 274.45 276.73 278.57 277.85 280.57 283.01 283.89 285.26 291.15 294.15 0.6% 265.94 268.15 270.64 273.67 277.06 280.44 283.40 286.79 290.46 294.27 297.75 301.53 0.8%

77.67 76.08 75.78 75.74 75.76 75.75 75.93 76.73 77.19 77.83 81.24 84.43 0.1% 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.17 -4.9% 34.02 20.11 18.45 20.62 21.99 20.91 20.75 21.99 21.99 22.27 24.35 23.70 -0.8% 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.91 0.4% 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 -5.9% 164.29 170.40 171.43 171.58 172.02 172.41 175.09 175.50 175.91 176.36 176.76 177.20 1.1% 285.17 275.77 274.83 277.12 278.96 278.24 280.95 283.40 284.27 285.64 291.53 294.53 0.6% 284.78 275.38 274.45 276.73 278.57 277.85 280.57 283.01 283.89 285.26 291.15 294.15 0.6% 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 -1.2% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

5.69 6.35 6.88 7.40 7.92 8.79 9.68 10.60 11.73 12.70 13.64 14.55 11.2% 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 11.5% 2.39 2.52 2.66 2.80 2.94 3.08 3.23 3.39 3.56 3.74 3.94 4.15 5.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.25 4.52 4.76 4.96 4.94 4.98 5.04 5.09 5.17 5.25 5.36 5.49 3.7% 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 -5.5% 12.59 13.65 14.57 15.43 16.07 17.14 18.24 19.37 20.74 21.99 23.24 24.49 7.1% 3.78 4.27 4.66 5.01 5.13 5.42 5.72 6.03 6.42 6.75 7.08 7.41 7.4% 8.81 9.39 9.90 10.42 10.95 11.72 12.52 13.34 14.33 15.24 16.15 17.08 6.9%

297.76 289.42 289.40 292.54 295.03 295.38 299.19 302.77 305.02 307.64 314.77 319.02 0.9%

7.8 7.9 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.7 8.9 8.9 9.1 9.2 0.8% 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.3 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8 8.0 0.6% 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 1.1% 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.5 6.8 7.1 7.4 7.6 7.9 8.1 8.3 1.8% 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.6 7.8 7.9 0.8%

3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 1.0% 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3% 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.1%

0.84 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.88 0.90 0.1% 0.27 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 -1.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -6.7%Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 1.11 0.99 0.97 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.07 1.09 -0.1%

1.43 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.52 0.7% 7.00 6.72 6.39 6.52 6.71 7.01 7.27 7.58 7.87 8.11 8.30 8.44 1.8% 20.53 20.60 21.02 21.29 21.42 21.62 21.89 22.20 22.57 23.06 23.41 23.77 1.9% 21.66 21.76 21.81 22.05 21.79 21.95 22.13 22.30 22.64 22.97 23.17 23.56 3.8% 2.13 2.24 2.26 2.28 2.21 2.21 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.20 2.08 2.08 0.4%

28.65 26.58 26.28 26.52 26.68 26.51 26.54 27.00 27.06 27.36 28.53 29.24 -0.1% 105.05 97.46 96.36 97.25 97.83 97.19 97.33 99.00 99.21 100.31 104.61 107.20 -0.1% 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 -1.1% 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 -0.4% 1.46 1.53 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.44 1.47 1.53 1.42 1.58 1.60 1.58 -0.2%

18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 18.55 19.73 21.05 22.26 23.53 24.76 25.98 1.9% 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.11 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 0.0% 20.71 21.82 23.14 24.43 25.68 26.58 26.58 26.58 26.58 26.58 26.58 26.58 1.8% 10.52 10.60 10.60 10.60 10.60 10.65 10.65 10.65 10.65 10.65 10.65 10.65 2.9% 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 0.4% 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 7.56 7.56 7.56 7.57 7.57 7.81 7.82 7.82 7.82 7.83 7.83 7.88 0.3% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 64.38 65.58 66.90 68.19 69.44 70.65 71.83 73.12 74.34 75.61 76.84 78.12 1.6%

1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.45 - - 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 5.44 5.45 5.45 5.45 5.46 5.46 5.46 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.48 5.48 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 2.49 3.71 4.98 6.20 7.43 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.61 1.72 3.04 4.32 5.57 6.48 6.48 6.48 6.48 6.48 6.48 6.48 - - 3.87 3.95 3.95 3.95 3.95 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -Renewable Sources 4/

Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.33 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.53 5.72 7.04 8.32 9.57 10.77 11.95 13.27 14.48 15.75 16.98 18.25 - - 9.97 11.17 12.49 13.78 15.03 16.23 17.42 18.73 19.95 21.22 22.45 23.73 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 - -

0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.0% 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 12.8% 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.56 5.6% 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 - - 0.67 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.75 0.78 0.83 14.2% 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.0% 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.30 1.34 1.37 1.39 1.44 1.48 1.54 1.60 7.8%

80.48 81.52 82.53 83.82 85.10 86.49 87.55 88.88 90.17 91.57 92.57 93.78 1.1% 89.18 91.03 93.01 94.89 96.60 98.15 99.63 101.14 102.68 104.30 105.98 107.73 1.8% 38.61 38.33 38.35 38.48 38.83 39.26 39.66 40.15 40.71 41.28 41.91 42.60 0.3% 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.32 0.34 0.37 0.40 0.43 8.8% 208.43 211.06 214.08 217.41 220.77 224.16 227.13 230.49 233.90 237.52 240.86 244.53 1.2%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 13.46 10.78 5.64 7.28 6.34 6.42 5.00 3.61 3.35 2.18 2.98 2.15 -8.5% 60.61 61.55 60.17 58.71 52.46 51.73 45.02 55.90 46.86 41.94 42.89 49.90 0.2% 0.41 0.43 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.61 0.64 0.67 5.2% 270.95 277.38 284.36 284.81 283.10 285.92 283.80 299.66 294.54 294.64 298.36 310.11 1.4% 224.21 227.04 230.28 233.87 237.48 241.13 244.32 247.93 251.61 255.50 259.10 263.04 1.3%

134.48 132.15 131.51 130.88 130.26 131.19 139.51 149.06 157.80 166.96 175.82 186.00 2.0% 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.59 0.64 0.69 0.73 7.4% 90.48 96.80 103.81 104.26 102.51 103.73 92.81 98.85 84.70 75.34 69.94 72.22 -0.4% 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 24.82 1.1% -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 - - 24.90 27.34 27.94 28.58 29.24 29.91 30.34 30.57 30.80 31.06 31.29 30.52 3.1% 275.01 281.43 288.41 288.87 287.15 289.97 287.85 303.72 298.59 298.70 302.42 314.17 1.3% 270.95 277.38 284.36 284.81 283.10 285.92 283.80 299.66 294.54 294.64 298.36 310.11 1.4%Generation for Own Use

Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.0% 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.76 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.85 0.85 28.0% 1.92 2.05 2.18 2.32 2.46 2.60 2.75 2.91 3.08 3.27 3.47 3.68 7.7% 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 - - 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.40 1.42 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.48 1.53 1.59 1.69 13.2% 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -5.5% 4.48 4.60 4.76 4.92 5.11 5.31 5.49 5.66 5.86 6.11 6.38 6.69 7.6% 0.41 0.43 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.61 0.64 0.67 5.2% 4.07 4.17 4.30 4.44 4.60 4.79 4.95 5.10 5.28 5.50 5.74 6.02 8.0%

279.48 286.04 293.17 293.79 292.26 295.28 293.34 309.38 304.46 304.81 308.80 320.86 1.4%

12.2 12.2 12.1 12.2 12.5 12.8 13.1 13.3 13.6 13.8 14.0 14.2 1.6% 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.8 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.2 0.9% 7.2 7.2 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.3 7.5 7.6 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 0.9% 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.7 11.1 11.4 11.7 12.1 12.4 12.6 12.8 2.2% 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.6 10.9 11.1 11.3 11.4 1.3%

6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.6 1.2% 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 3.1% 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.9%

1.43 1.41 1.40 1.39 1.39 1.40 1.47 1.55 1.63 1.71 1.78 1.88 1.8% 0.72 0.76 0.80 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.69 0.73 0.63 0.56 0.53 0.55 -0.7% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 5.7% 2.15 2.17 2.20 2.19 2.16 2.17 2.16 2.29 2.27 2.28 2.32 2.43 1.1%

1.57 1.56 1.55 1.56 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.61 1.63 1.67 1.69 0.7% 7.04 6.78 6.37 6.46 6.68 6.97 7.26 7.56 7.85 8.09 8.27 8.38 1.9% 21.13 21.11 21.18 21.37 21.34 21.53 21.80 22.16 22.45 22.97 23.33 23.69 2.1% 22.90 22.94 23.00 23.19 23.01 23.13 23.30 23.45 23.77 24.08 24.28 24.63 4.3% 2.22 2.36 2.38 2.39 2.40 2.37 2.59 2.63 2.63 2.60 2.41 2.07 0.3%

52.84 52.73 53.23 52.87 52.28 52.67 53.48 56.59 57.21 58.26 59.96 62.88 1.1% 193.75 193.33 195.16 193.87 191.69 193.14 196.10 207.49 209.76 213.64 219.84 230.57 1.1% 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 -0.2% 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.5% 0.61 0.57 0.55 0.58 0.55 0.61 0.60 0.56 0.64 0.56 0.64 0.66 -4.6%Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 4.31 0.0% 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 15.17 -0.1% 16.06 16.73 17.40 18.15 18.95 19.64 20.24 20.99 21.66 21.66 22.94 23.71 2.1% 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 -0.2% 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 5.58 0.1% 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 3.69 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 16.72 16.73 16.74 16.75 16.75 16.85 16.91 16.91 17.04 18.81 18.84 18.85 0.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 - - 67.74 68.42 69.10 69.85 70.65 71.44 72.10 72.86 73.65 75.43 76.74 77.53 0.7%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.48 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.46 1.47 1.48 1.49 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.55 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.19 0.86 1.53 2.28 3.08 3.77 4.37 5.12 5.79 5.79 7.07 7.84 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.21 1.26 1.26 1.38 3.15 3.17 3.17 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 - - 1.32 1.99 2.66 3.41 4.20 4.98 5.63 6.38 7.17 8.94 10.24 11.03 - - 2.78 3.46 4.14 4.89 5.69 6.48 7.14 7.90 8.69 10.47 11.78 12.57 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 - -

0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.0% 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.1%Natural Gas

Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 2.29 2.32 2.37 2.41 2.44 2.48 2.52 2.56 2.61 2.66 2.71 2.77 0.9% 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 16.6% 2.79 2.82 2.84 2.86 2.87 2.89 2.91 2.94 2.98 3.03 3.11 3.21 7.8% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 6.16 6.22 6.28 6.34 6.38 6.43 6.50 6.57 6.66 6.76 6.90 7.06 3.7%

86.04 86.44 86.78 87.58 88.44 89.48 90.05 90.91 91.77 92.79 93.27 93.99 0.3% 143.67 145.68 147.79 149.90 151.97 153.79 155.58 157.36 159.20 161.06 162.99 164.91 1.3% 51.74 51.80 51.85 51.93 52.30 52.58 52.98 53.42 54.13 54.74 55.45 56.13 0.6% 0.72 0.76 0.80 0.85 0.91 0.96 1.02 1.07 1.13 1.19 1.25 1.31 4.5% 282.16 284.68 287.21 290.25 293.62 296.80 299.63 302.77 306.22 309.77 312.96 316.35 0.9%

1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.1% 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 1.5% 79.08 70.38 66.81 61.32 55.47 52.52 46.49 56.12 48.40 43.53 45.08 49.96 0.8% 3.59 3.09 2.59 2.09 1.62 1.12 0.59 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.09 -16.2% 11.28 11.51 11.87 12.01 12.05 12.03 12.02 12.07 12.06 12.14 12.15 12.16 0.4% 216.97 227.65 233.08 241.20 250.17 256.06 264.61 257.84 269.31 277.90 279.77 278.49 1.1% 304.64 307.35 310.07 313.34 316.96 320.39 323.43 326.80 330.52 334.33 337.77 341.41 1.1%

32.39 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 32.41 1.3% 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 -13.3% 75.51 86.32 91.92 100.02 108.77 114.22 122.37 115.58 126.57 128.10 129.88 128.58 1.1% 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 44.08 0.1% 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -13.8% 67.51 67.36 67.19 67.21 67.42 67.87 68.27 68.29 68.77 75.83 75.92 75.94 1.8% 219.60 230.28 235.71 243.83 252.80 258.69 267.24 260.47 271.94 280.53 282.40 281.12 1.0% 216.97 227.65 233.08 241.20 250.17 256.06 264.61 257.84 269.31 277.90 279.77 278.49 1.1% 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 -0.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 - -

0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.0% 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 -3.7% 14.98 15.31 15.79 16.11 16.39 16.65 16.92 17.22 17.55 17.96 18.32 18.73 2.0% 5.00 5.06 5.31 5.33 5.41 5.34 5.28 5.34 5.24 5.26 5.21 5.13 8.0% 6.26 6.42 6.55 6.66 6.65 6.68 6.73 6.80 6.88 6.99 7.16 7.36 5.8% 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 -1.7% 27.30 27.84 28.71 29.16 29.51 29.73 29.99 30.40 30.72 31.27 31.75 32.28 3.1% 11.28 11.51 11.87 12.01 12.05 12.03 12.02 12.07 12.06 12.14 12.15 12.16 0.4% 16.02 16.33 16.84 17.15 17.46 17.70 17.97 18.33 18.66 19.13 19.60 20.12 6.2%

246.90 258.12 264.42 272.99 282.31 288.42 297.23 290.87 302.66 311.81 314.15 313.41 1.2%

14.4 14.4 14.3 14.1 14.1 14.2 14.3 14.4 14.6 14.7 14.8 14.8 0.0%Commercial

I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 11.8 11.9 11.7 11.5 11.5 11.7 11.7 11.8 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 -0.1% 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 0.0% 9.7 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.6 11.1 11.6 12.0 12.4 12.8 13.2 13.5 0.4% 12.2 12.2 12.1 11.9 11.8 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.6 0.0%

6.8 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.7 0.5% 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.4% 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 -1.1%

0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 1.5% 0.69 0.76 0.80 0.86 0.91 0.95 1.01 0.95 1.02 1.04 1.04 1.02 0.8% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -13.8% 1.03 1.11 1.14 1.20 1.26 1.29 1.35 1.29 1.37 1.38 1.38 1.36 0.9%

1.59 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.60 1.62 1.65 1.68 1.71 1.75 0.7% 7.61 7.38 6.87 6.86 7.05 7.34 7.53 7.80 8.08 8.30 8.44 8.52 1.3% 20.79 20.83 21.10 21.33 21.39 21.58 21.85 22.18 22.51 23.02 23.37 23.74 1.8% 22.96 22.74 23.06 23.21 23.43 23.63 23.84 24.03 24.27 24.63 24.92 25.34 4.2% 2.17 2.23 2.27 2.34 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.26 2.26 2.26 2.23 2.23 0.7%

20.94 22.19 22.79 23.69 24.66 25.23 26.08 25.09 26.34 26.53 26.53 26.25 0.3% 76.78 81.35 83.55 86.87 90.43 92.52 95.64 91.99 96.57 97.26 97.28 96.27 0.3% 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 -0.1% 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 2.3% 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 -2.9%2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030Table 81. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Southwest Power Pool

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 21.47 21.47 21.49 22.08 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 12.99 12.96 12.96 12.96 12.94 12.94 12.94 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 Combined Cycle 9.93 9.93 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 7.43 7.51 7.51 8.42 8.42 8.42 8.42 8.38 8.38 8.38 8.38 8.38 8.38 8.38 Nuclear Power 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 3.40 3.61 4.26 4.26 4.27 4.27 4.27 4.27 4.27 4.28 4.28 4.28 4.28 4.29 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 56.89 57.16 58.35 59.87 61.62 61.63 61.63 58.55 58.55 58.55 58.55 58.55 58.56 58.56

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.62 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.69 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.20 2.71 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 1.20 2.71 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.51

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10

End-Use Sectors 8/2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Coal 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 Petroleum 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 Natural Gas 0.81 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.39 0.41 0.47 0.54 0.68 0.83 0.87 0.87 0.89 Other 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 1.64 1.62 1.63 1.65 1.83 1.87 1.88 1.95 2.02 2.16 2.31 2.35 2.36 2.38

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 68.54 69.10 69.11 68.95 70.10 70.43 71.06 70.57 70.99 71.42 72.09 72.77 73.70 74.65 Commercial/Other 71.61 73.06 73.20 73.11 74.91 76.05 77.15 78.20 79.53 80.92 82.43 83.86 85.19 86.48 I ndustrial 50.81 50.59 50.19 49.11 49.11 49.88 51.43 51.87 51.72 51.75 51.94 52.06 52.09 51.86 Transportation 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 Total Sales 191.00 192.80 192.55 191.22 194.17 196.41 199.69 200.71 202.31 204.17 206.56 208.79 211.10 213.11

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross I nternational Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 17.78 16.99 14.28 17.25 21.91 17.36 18.15 18.77 19.07 19.14 21.19 23.16 20.57 20.77 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 15.93 15.57 19.20 17.55 19.80 18.18 17.15 17.31 17.18 17.32 17.31 16.46 15.29 15.23 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 1.05 1.07 1.17 1.17 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.53 1.54 1.67

Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers212.00 220.60 211.85 206.69 206.39 211.15 212.24 212.27 212.93 214.37 214.85 214.33 218.18 219.95 Total Net Energy for Load 214.90 223.09 208.10 207.57 209.88 211.71 214.65 215.15 216.26 217.63 220.18 222.56 225.01 227.16

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 140.02 141.97 139.94 137.28 142.69 144.79 145.95 146.39 146.82 147.24 147.73 149.55 151.36 153.76 Petroleum 0.28 0.39 0.57 1.58 0.57 0.58 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.57 Natural Gas 56.45 57.66 52.58 48.10 43.31 45.84 45.69 45.18 45.32 46.23 46.27 43.87 45.84 45.16 Nuclear 9.35 10.37 9.19 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.05 0.25 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 Renewable Sources 10/ 6.21 10.32 9.92 10.88 10.97 11.09 11.18 11.28 11.37 11.46 11.44 11.50 11.57 11.63 Total Generation 212.35 220.96 212.16 207.01 206.71 211.46 212.56 212.59 213.25 214.69 215.17 214.65 218.50 220.27 Sales to Customers 212.00 220.60 211.85 206.69 206.39 211.15 212.24 212.27 212.93 214.37 214.85 214.33 218.18 219.95 Generation for Own Use 0.35 0.35 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 3.09 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 Petroleum 0.03 0.04 0.12 0.12 0.59 0.55 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 Natural Gas 3.99 4.04 4.62 4.66 4.26 4.28 4.32 4.34 4.37 4.39 4.40 4.42 4.43 4.45 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.58 0.62 0.77 0.77 1.86 1.84 1.81 1.81 1.79 1.78 1.78 1.78 1.79 1.81 Renewable Sources 10/ 2.33 2.33 2.21 2.24 2.28 2.36 2.45 2.60 2.74 2.99 3.29 3.55 3.58 3.72 Other 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 Total 10.10 7.77 8.47 8.53 9.73 9.78 9.91 10.08 10.22 10.50 10.81 11.09 11.14 11.30 Sales to Utilities 1.05 1.07 1.17 1.17 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.53 1.54 1.67 Generation for Own Use 9.06 6.70 7.30 7.36 8.35 8.39 8.51 8.66 8.79 9.06 9.36 9.56 9.60 9.63

Total Electricity Generation 222.45 228.73 220.63 215.54 216.44 221.25 222.47 222.67 223.47 225.19 225.98 225.74 229.64 231.582006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 8.7 8.5 9.5 9.8 9.3 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.5 Commercial 7.4 7.2 8.2 8.6 8.0 8.2 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.1 I ndustrial 5.7 5.6 6.3 6.5 6.0 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 Transportation 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.3 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.6 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.3 8.6 All Sectors Average 7.4 7.2 8.1 8.5 8.0 8.2 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.1

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 4.8 4.7 5.7 6.0 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.6 Transmission 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Distribution 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 1.48 1.51 1.51 1.48 1.54 1.56 1.57 1.57 1.58 1.58 1.59 1.61 1.63 1.66 Natural Gas 0.53 0.54 0.48 0.45 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.44 0.43 Oil 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 2.01 2.05 2.00 1.95 1.96 2.00 2.01 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.04 2.08 2.10

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.25 1.43 1.58 1.49 1.49 1.53 1.56 1.58 1.61 1.65 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.67 Natural Gas 6.64 6.65 8.81 6.02 6.28 6.20 6.31 6.28 6.30 6.40 6.49 6.62 6.81 6.98 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.57 14.50 18.81 14.43 15.13 16.35 17.95 18.45 19.31 19.96 20.16 20.20 20.24 20.41 Residual Fuel Oil 6.44 6.45 12.47 6.15 21.57 22.87 24.35 24.68 25.38 25.77 25.73 25.68 25.63 25.63 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.76 1.79 1.78 1.66 1.65 1.65 1.66

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 52.21 52.77 52.20 51.11 51.95 52.86 53.19 53.29 53.44 53.73 53.95 54.27 55.16 55.92 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 191.42 193.51 191.42 187.39 190.50 193.82 195.02 195.39 195.93 197.00 197.81 198.99 202.24 205.05 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.39 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.29 0.26 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 Mercury (tons) 3.98 4.24 4.18 4.18 4.20 4.16 4.02 4.05 4.02 3.93 4.03 4.00 4.00 4.04

2/ I ncludes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

11/ I ncludes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. 10/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. I ncludes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

8/ I ncludes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic municipal waste2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

aeo2009.d120908a. Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy I nformation Administration (EI A), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EI A-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008).Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 23.86 24.03 24.03 24.14 24.70 25.27 0.7% 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90 -1.2% 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 10.46 0.2% 8.49 8.89 9.32 9.83 10.34 10.79 11.09 11.65 12.08 12.08 12.08 2.1% 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 0.0% 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.31 4.36 4.36 4.36 0.8% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 58.67 59.07 59.51 60.02 60.53 60.99 61.45 62.02 62.61 63.18 63.75 0.5%

2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 - - 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.72 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.51 4.51 4.51 4.51 4.52 4.52 4.52 4.52 4.53 4.53 4.53 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.28 0.84 1.41 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.11 0.51 0.94 1.45 1.96 2.41 2.71 3.27 3.70 3.70 3.70 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.11 0.51 0.94 1.46 1.96 2.41 2.88 3.44 4.03 4.59 5.16 - - 4.62 5.02 5.45 5.97 6.48 6.93 7.40 7.97 8.56 9.12 9.69 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 - -Coal

Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/

Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.0% 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 6.9% 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.0% 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 6.5% 0.89 0.93 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.05 1.07 1.11 1.16 5.9% 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.0% 2.39 2.43 2.50 2.51 2.52 2.53 2.55 2.57 2.59 2.64 2.71 2.3%

75.39 75.99 76.88 77.80 78.89 79.63 80.57 81.48 82.52 83.15 83.96 0.9% 87.72 89.02 90.29 91.55 92.74 93.88 95.01 96.17 97.38 98.65 99.90 1.4% 51.47 51.42 51.49 51.68 51.94 52.08 52.28 52.83 53.14 53.52 53.92 0.3% 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.29 0.32 0.34 8.9% 214.72 216.57 218.82 221.23 223.79 225.81 228.10 230.76 233.34 235.64 238.11 0.9%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 20.37 20.75 21.09 19.84 18.23 15.47 15.46 15.77 17.46 18.82 17.92 0.2% 14.25 11.98 11.54 9.18 7.34 5.32 3.71 4.05 4.30 4.23 4.98 -4.8% 1.89 2.19 2.76 2.73 2.74 2.76 2.78 2.80 2.82 2.84 2.87 4.4%

220.85 219.89 220.94 222.42 224.90 227.79 228.62 231.45 232.75 233.73 237.99 0.3% 228.87 230.85 233.25 235.81 238.54 240.70 243.14 245.97 248.72 251.17 253.81 0.6%

153.44 152.75 155.17 155.16 156.57 159.59 160.79 161.34 162.19 166.35 170.19 0.8% 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.61 0.63 2.1% 46.30 45.98 44.58 46.06 47.11 46.98 46.56 48.83 48.91 45.72 45.84 -1.0% 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 9.21 -0.5% -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 - - 11.69 11.75 11.78 11.79 11.81 11.81 11.84 11.86 12.22 12.21 12.49 0.8% 221.17 220.21 221.25 222.74 225.21 228.10 228.94 231.77 233.06 234.05 238.31 0.3% 220.85 219.89 220.94 222.42 224.90 227.79 228.62 231.45 232.75 233.73 237.99 0.3% 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 -0.4% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.0% 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.70 12.9% 4.47 4.50 4.53 4.55 4.57 4.60 4.62 4.66 4.70 4.73 4.79 0.7% 1.80 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.80 1.81 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 4.7% 3.79 4.10 4.69 4.68 4.72 4.76 4.82 4.89 4.97 5.09 5.24 3.6% 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.0% 11.39 11.72 12.34 12.35 12.42 12.49 12.58 12.68 12.80 12.96 13.28 2.4% 1.89 2.19 2.76 2.73 2.74 2.76 2.78 2.80 2.82 2.84 2.87 4.4% 9.50 9.54 9.58 9.62 9.68 9.73 9.80 9.89 9.98 10.12 10.41 1.9%

232.56 231.93 233.59 235.09 237.63 240.59 241.52 244.45 245.86 247.01 251.59 0.4%End-Use Prices

(2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

9.4 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.9 10.0 0.7% 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 0.9% 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.7 0.8% 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.4 9.7 10.0 10.2 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.0 2.3% 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 0.9%

5.6 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 1.3% 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3% 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 -0.6%

1.66 1.65 1.68 1.68 1.70 1.73 1.74 1.75 1.76 1.79 1.83 0.8% 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.44 0.44 -0.8% 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.8% 2.11 2.10 2.12 2.13 2.15 2.19 2.19 2.22 2.23 2.24 2.27 0.4%

1.68 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.72 1.74 1.76 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.82 1.0% 6.92 6.80 6.88 6.92 7.24 7.53 7.81 8.05 8.27 8.37 8.53 1.1% 20.45 20.53 20.71 20.60 20.86 21.14 21.37 21.66 22.18 22.54 22.97 2.0% 25.55 25.63 25.70 25.68 25.77 25.88 25.99 26.26 26.51 26.73 26.98 6.4% 1.68 1.67 1.68 1.64 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.66 1.65 1.64 1.64 -0.7%

55.93 55.65 56.34 56.51 57.14 58.18 58.46 58.95 59.18 59.84 60.79 0.6% 205.09 204.05 206.59 207.19 209.51 213.34 214.37 216.16 216.99 219.40 222.91 0.6% 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 -1.2% 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 -0.3% 4.13 4.06 4.13 4.19 4.14 4.22 4.12 4.02 4.02 4.18 4.09 -0.2%2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030Table 80. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Southeastern Electric Reliability Council 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 70.7671.3871.3872.03 71.8271.5672.1672.1672.1672.1672.6673.1673.1673.1673.16 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 Combined Cycle 37.95 38.63 39.8540.4240.9840.9840.9840.9840.9840.9840.9840.9840.9840.9841.16 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 32.21 32.95 32.8632.8632.6632.3632.3632.3632.3632.3632.3632.3633.0435.9038.38 Nuclear Power 32.55 32.88 32.88 33.1033.1033.1433.51 33.51 34.91 35.2235.2235.2635.3635.58 35.58 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 12.60 12.62 12.62 12.62 12.64 12.64 12.64 12.64 12.64 12.64 12.64 12.64 12.64 12.67 12.67 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 212.14214.51215.65217.09217.26216.74217.72217.72219.12219.43219.93220.46221.24224.34227.01

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.69 0.69 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 1.22 1.79 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.22 2.45 3.05 3.05 3.85 3.85 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 3.53 6.02 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.05 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.52 1.02 1.70 4.58 7.25 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 1.22 2.45 3.07 3.07 3.87 3.87 5.05 5.05 5.55 6.05 6.72 9.61 12.27

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.52 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.29 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.54 1.10 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.672006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Petroleum 0.27 0.36 0.39 0.39 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 Natural Gas 4.49 4.44 4.52 4.61 4.26 4.32 4.38 4.43 4.48 4.52 4.57 4.61 4.64 4.68 4.73 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.56 Renewable Sources 4/ 3.05 3.06 3.06 3.09 3.19 3.27 3.38 3.53 3.68 4.31 4.99 5.09 5.15 5.23 5.38 Other 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Total 8.98 9.03 9.14 9.26 9.47 9.61 9.77 9.97 10.16 10.83 11.56 11.70 11.79 11.92 12.12

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 315.96326.88321.52317.86328.39331.10334.97334.57338.15341.79346.49350.85356.45362.03366.55 Commercial/Other 253.01262.32260.97261.84270.41274.52278.31282.53287.83293.53299.51305.31310.99316.54321.83 I ndustrial 254.97255.28254.94246.94244.20245.71252.38254.11252.49251.04250.60250.48249.76248.30245.69 Transportation 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.61 0.64 0.68 0.72 0.76 0.81 0.86 0.91 0.98 Total Sales 824.47845.02837.97827.18843.57851.91866.27871.86879.14887.07897.36907.46918.05927.78935.05

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross I nternational Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 50.8637.5245.8953.88 62.5275.25 80.36 83.97 84.38 81.92 83.93 85.21 82.55 83.72 83.68 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 39.1943.8958.3057.9656.5254.7652.21 48.5250.3451.0750.5446.7545.7042.7441.45 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 6.10 5.94 6.42 6.58 6.93 7.14 7.36 7.53 7.72 7.92 8.11 8.35 8.64 9.27 10.46 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 841.66873.62900.58883.90887.77879.84885.10881.37888.13897.27905.39910.72923.23928.73933.95 Total Net Energy for Load 859.43873.19894.58886.39900.70907.48920.61924.34929.88936.04946.89957.53968.72978.99986.65

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 461.41468.76464.92460.40468.41469.41469.13470.46472.72474.08478.60483.86486.45487.37489.03 Petroleum 3.55 4.96 4.10 4.06 4.13 4.18 4.20 4.23 4.24 4.32 4.29 4.29 4.30 4.26 4.27 Natural Gas 105.63127.16146.21131.63121.90111.90113.64107.82103.64105.56107.06106.43115.35116.81120.40 Nuclear 249.34258.01259.99263.57263.57263.88266.85266.85274.99279.35280.35280.67281.46283.20283.20 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ -1.53 -1.52 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 Renewable Sources 10/ 28.13 21.45 35.9734.83 40.3941.1041.9242.6543.1844.6045.73 46.1246.31 47.7547.72 Total Generation 846.52878.82908.84892.14896.04888.11893.38889.65896.41905.55913.68919.02931.53937.03942.26 Sales to Customers 841.66873.62900.58883.90887.77879.84885.10881.37888.13897.27905.39910.72923.23928.73933.95 Generation for Own Use 4.86 5.20 8.26 8.24 8.26 8.27 8.27 8.28 8.28 8.29 8.29 8.30 8.30 8.30 8.31 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 3.25 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 Petroleum 1.39 1.38 1.68 1.68 3.45 3.31 3.45 3.45 3.41 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.42 Natural Gas 20.53 20.8224.1624.7923.4523.8824.3224.6825.0825.3925.7226.01 26.2626.5726.93 Other Gaseous Fuels 1.39 1.51 1.83 1.83 4.22 4.18 4.12 4.12 4.07 4.06 4.06 4.05 4.08 4.11 4.10 Renewable Sources 10/ 18.57 18.27 18.09 18.14 18.29 18.62 19.19 19.6820.1521.3822.7623.43 23.8224.4825.72 Other 1.89 1.87 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 Total 47.0047.0450.7751.45 54.4255.0056.08 56.95 57.7259.2961.0061.95 62.63 63.6265.17 Sales to Utilities 6.10 5.94 6.42 6.58 6.93 7.14 7.36 7.53 7.72 7.92 8.11 8.35 8.64 9.27 10.46 Generation for Own Use 40.9041.1044.3544.8747.4947.8548.7249.43 50.01 51.3752.8953.6054.0054.35 54.71

Total Electricity Generation 893.53925.86959.60943.59950.46943.11949.46946.60954.13964.85974.68980.97994.161000.651007.43

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour)2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Residential 9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 Commercial 7.9 7.8 8.0 8.3 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 I ndustrial 5.5 5.5 5.8 6.0 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 Transportation 7.1 6.7 7.2 7.4 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.8 6.1 6.3 All Sectors Average 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.9 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 Transmission 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Distribution 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 4.69 4.74 4.75 4.70 4.78 4.80 4.80 4.81 4.83 4.85 4.91 4.96 4.99 5.00 5.02 Natural Gas 0.94 1.13 1.24 1.12 1.03 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.97 0.98 1.01 Oil 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Total 5.67 5.93 6.03 5.86 5.86 5.79 5.79 5.76 5.76 5.79 5.86 5.91 6.00 6.03 6.07

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 2.16 2.19 2.36 2.35 2.32 2.32 2.31 2.30 2.29 2.29 2.26 2.24 2.25 2.24 2.25 Natural Gas 6.96 6.93 9.00 6.05 6.34 6.32 6.46 6.45 6.49 6.58 6.66 6.79 7.02 7.18 7.14 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.45 14.38 18.57 14.23 14.99 16.22 17.82 18.34 19.21 19.8620.0720.11 20.1520.3220.36 Residual Fuel Oil 8.03 8.06 13.11 7.69 12.78 14.01 15.59 16.44 17.27 17.78 17.90 17.94 17.98 18.08 18.06 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.89 1.83 1.80 1.78 1.78 1.79 1.80 1.82 1.84 1.90 1.95

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 154.18159.70156.76153.38154.37153.41153.42153.13153.26154.33156.11157.58159.48159.93160.89 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 565.33585.58574.77562.41566.02562.49562.54561.48561.97565.89572.42577.79584.76586.42589.95 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 2.47 2.16 2.05 1.92 1.94 1.77 1.69 1.91 2.23 1.05 0.94 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.99 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.76 0.71 0.84 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 Mercury (tons) 9.83 9.23 9.04 8.39 8.03 7.96 7.53 7.63 8.06 7.30 7.42 7.41 7.74 7.50 7.61

2/ I ncludes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

11/ I ncludes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy I nformation Administration (EI A), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EI A-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). 1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. I ncludes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators.

8/ I ncludes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-
10/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind
power.2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

aeo2009.d120908a. Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System runElectricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

73.1673.1673.1673.1673.1674.5676.21 78.79 81.99 84.34 0.7% 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.39 18.32 18.32 18.32 18.32 18.24 0.0% 42.4543.2245.03 46.7647.7847.7847.7847.7847.7847.78 0.9% 39.7741.7843.1644.63 46.4948.1749.5750.1450.1450.50 1.9% 35.58 35.58 35.58 35.58 35.58 35.58 35.58 35.58 35.58 35.39 0.3% 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 7.67 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 229.68232.47235.66238.85241.73244.73247.78250.94254.14256.58 0.8%

1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 - -

1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.40 4.05 6.63 9.83 12.18 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.47 2.24 4.05 5.78 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 6.80 - - 7.40 9.42 10.80 12.26 14.13 15.80 17.20 17.78 17.78 18.14 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 9.92 12.71 15.90 19.1021.9725.0528.1031.2634.4637.68 - - 14.94 17.73 20.9224.1227.0030.0733.1236.28 39.4842.71 - -

0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.15 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 2.16 - -

0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.0%Petroleum

Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.52 1.6% 4.78 4.84 4.88 4.94 4.99 5.05 5.11 5.18 5.25 5.32 0.8% 0.56 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 4.4% 5.65 6.01 6.01 6.06 6.11 6.18 6.27 6.37 6.51 6.69 3.5% 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.0% 12.43 12.85 12.90 13.00 13.11 13.24 13.39 13.55 13.76 14.06 1.9%

370.23375.22380.33386.14390.35395.51400.57406.30410.25415.02 1.0% 327.22332.38337.41342.12346.64351.18355.93360.90366.20371.52 1.5% 244.71244.95245.61246.62246.86247.38248.56249.54250.82252.13 -0.1% 1.05 1.12 1.23 1.31 1.40 1.50 1.59 1.69 1.78 1.88 5.6% 943.20953.68964.58976.19985.25995.571006.641018.421029.051040.55 0.9%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 83.78 83.22 80.53 81.14 87.82 86.02 84.11 79.91 71.5969.93 2.7% 40.6237.7237.11 34.7932.5627.7823.9525.13 25.7425.86 -2.3% 12.68 15.73 15.55 15.73 15.87 16.02 16.20 16.40 16.60 16.95 4.7% 939.41945.07958.86967.99968.51976.25985.851003.451023.401036.97 0.7% 995.261006.301017.831030.071039.631050.511062.211074.631085.851097.99 1.0%

489.30492.72492.24492.09493.04503.26515.34534.33557.96575.34 0.9% 4.27 4.27 4.29 4.27 4.26 4.32 4.38 4.45 4.52 4.61 -0.3% 125.72130.70144.49153.64153.08150.41147.73146.12142.27136.94 0.3% 283.20283.20283.20283.20283.20283.20283.20283.20283.20284.63 0.4% -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 -2.35 1.9% 47.5844.8445.3245.4745.6045.73 45.8746.01 46.1246.12 3.4% 947.72953.37967.17976.30976.82984.56994.161011.761031.711045.28 0.8% 939.41945.07958.86967.99968.51976.25985.851003.451023.401036.97 0.7% 8.31 8.31 8.31 8.31 8.31 8.31 8.31 8.31 8.31 8.31 2.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 0.0% 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.87 4.6% 27.3427.7428.13 28.53 28.9529.3629.8430.35 30.8631.47 1.8% 4.07 4.06 4.08 4.09 4.09 4.11 4.10 4.09 4.10 4.09 4.4% 27.9431.0430.8931.18 31.4231.7632.1932.6633.23 34.01 2.7% 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 -0.1% 67.81 71.31 71.5672.2672.9273.6974.5975.5676.65 78.45 2.2% 12.68 15.73 15.55 15.73 15.87 16.02 16.20 16.40 16.60 16.95 4.7% 55.1455.5756.01 56.53 57.0657.6758.3959.1760.05 61.50 1.8%

1015.531024.681038.731048.561049.741058.251068.751087.321108.361123.74 0.8%Residential

Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 8.8 8.9 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 0.3% 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.1 8.2 0.2% 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.0 0.4% 6.6 6.9 7.2 7.6 7.9 8.2 8.5 8.8 9.0 9.2 1.4% 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.3 0.4%

5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 0.3% 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.2% 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 0.0%

5.02 5.06 5.05 5.05 5.06 5.15 5.26 5.42 5.61 5.76 0.9% 1.04 1.07 1.17 1.22 1.21 1.19 1.17 1.16 1.13 1.09 -0.1% 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 -0.7% 6.11 6.17 6.26 6.32 6.32 6.39 6.48 6.62 6.79 6.90 0.7%

2.24 2.25 2.26 2.27 2.29 2.30 2.31 2.31 2.32 2.33 0.3% 7.07 7.15 7.16 7.54 7.85 8.13 8.36 8.58 8.68 8.82 1.1% 20.43 20.61 20.51 20.7721.0521.2821.5722.1022.4622.88 2.0% 18.17 18.30 18.21 18.36 18.54 18.67 19.00 19.32 19.52 19.88 4.0% 2.00 2.12 2.08 2.08 2.06 2.04 2.03 2.04 2.03 2.02 0.2%

161.52163.06164.39165.26165.38167.56170.22174.57179.63183.36 0.6% 592.26597.90602.75605.94606.41614.39624.15640.09658.63672.32 0.6% 0.98 1.01 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 -3.1% 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 -2.6% 7.70 7.86 7.88 7.78 7.87 7.86 8.10 7.81 8.02 8.06 -0.6%2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

### Table 79. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Florida Reliability Coordinating Council

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 10.49 10.49 10.49 10.49 10.49 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 Combined Cycle 16.12 17.26 17.4221.3621.3621.3621.3621.3621.3621.3621.7922.6823.93 23.99 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 10.00 10.48 10.46 10.79 10.79 10.77 10.77 10.77 10.77 10.77 11.00 11.49 11.67 11.67 Nuclear Power 3.78 3.78 3.78 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.79 5.11 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.64 0.70 0.70 1.15 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 51.33 53.01 53.15 57.88 57.93 57.86 57.86 57.86 57.86 57.86 58.53 59.91 61.3462.72

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.16 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.16 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 1.32 2.57 2.63 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.73 0.90 0.90 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.32 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.16 2.55 3.97 5.36 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 0.16 4.87 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 5.58 6.97 8.40 9.78

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Petroleum 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Natural Gas 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.39 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.50 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.73 Other 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 Total 0.88 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.25 1.46 1.48 1.49 1.50

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 109.95111.54112.79111.05115.81116.99118.55118.66120.20121.65123.48125.34127.63129.90 Commercial/Other 87.90 89.4091.6492.47 95.23 96.68 98.0099.53101.45103.55105.73107.88110.02112.12 Industrial 17.05 16.70 17.23 16.67 16.43 16.52 16.93 17.05 16.93 16.82 16.78 16.77 16.72 16.63 Transportation 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.36 Total Sales 215.14217.87221.91220.43227.72230.45233.75235.51238.87242.32246.31250.32254.72259.01

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 30.37 30.37 30.38 30.36 30.51 30.51 30.51 30.51 30.51 30.53 30.55 30.63 30.71 30.60 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 0.37 0.36 0.30 0.33 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.56 0.58 0.61 0.62 0.66 0.73 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers213.52216.09206.22205.51212.18214.48217.39218.65221.58224.58228.74232.88237.40241.97 Total Net Energy for Load 244.25246.81236.90236.20243.14245.47248.40249.69252.65255.69259.91264.14268.77273.30

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 61.81 65.09 72.79 71.85 72.83 72.45 72.73 72.97 73.23 73.81 73.85 74.08 74.31 74.59 Petroleum 22.78 19.96 13.70 13.15 14.01 14.47 14.53 14.59 14.67 14.75 14.76 14.71 14.68 14.68 Natural Gas 94.62 99.03 87.41 86.28 90.39 91.95 94.51 95.43 98.02100.64104.51108.44112.71109.39 Nuclear 31.43 29.2929.8030.12 30.12 30.12 30.12 30.12 30.12 30.12 30.12 30.12 30.12 37.72 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 Renewable Sources 10/ 2.84 2.73 2.82 4.42 5.15 5.80 5.81 5.86 5.87 5.57 5.81 5.86 5.91 5.91 Total Generation 214.63217.24207.68206.97213.65215.95218.85220.11223.05226.04230.21234.35238.87243.44 Sales to Customers 213.52216.09206.22205.51212.18214.48217.39218.65221.58224.58228.74232.88237.40241.97 Generation for Own Use 1.11 1.15 1.46 1.46 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 Petroleum 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 Natural Gas 0.44 0.47 0.59 0.70 0.93 1.01 1.07 1.14 1.21 1.25 1.31 1.36 1.41 1.46 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 10/ 1.48 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.56 1.59 1.63 1.65 1.68 2.03 2.40 2.41 2.46 2.52 Other 2.00 1.90 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 Total 4.28 4.23 4.21 4.33 4.61 4.71 4.81 4.91 5.01 5.40 5.82 5.89 5.98 6.10

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Sales to Utilities 0.37 0.36 0.30 0.33 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.56 0.58 0.61 0.62 0.66 0.73 Generation for Own Use 3.91 3.87 3.91 4.00 4.16 4.23 4.30 4.38 4.45 4.82 5.21 5.27 5.32 5.37

Total Electricity Generation 218.91221.47211.89211.31218.25220.66223.66225.02228.06231.44236.03240.24244.85249.54

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 11.7 11.3 12.3 12.5 11.8 12.5 12.7 12.9 12.9 12.9 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.4 Commercial 10.3 9.8 11.1 11.7 10.3 10.8 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 11.0 11.1 Industrial 8.1 7.9 8.9 9.4 8.3 8.7 8.9 8.9 8.8 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.1 Transportation 9.1 9.0 9.8 10.4 8.9 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.8 All Sectors Average 10.8 10.4 11.5 12.0 10.9 11.5 11.7 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.9 11.9 12.1

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 8.1 7.6 8.7 9.2 8.1 8.4 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.7 8.9 Transmission 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 Distribution 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 0.63 0.66 0.75 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 Natural Gas 0.76 0.79 0.73 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.84 0.86 0.89 0.86 Oil 0.23 0.20 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 Total 1.62 1.66 1.63 1.60 1.65 1.65 1.67 1.68 1.70 1.73 1.76 1.79 1.81 1.79

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 2.62 2.64 2.83 2.87 2.84 2.78 2.76 2.74 2.70 2.64 2.58 2.60 2.54 2.61 Natural Gas 8.42 8.85 9.84 6.75 7.00 7.37 8.09 7.77 7.83 7.89 7.96 8.04 8.20 8.24 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.36 14.27 18.43 14.13 14.98 16.18 17.82 18.30 19.17 19.83 20.0220.0620.1020.27 Residual Fuel Oil 8.07 8.09 13.14 7.71 12.30 13.51 15.11 15.85 16.70 17.23 17.36 17.42 17.47 17.58 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.75 1.73 1.69 1.69 1.67 1.69 1.72

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 36.73 37.41 36.6036.0436.98 37.06 37.3037.51 37.93 38.58 39.0439.52 39.95 39.64 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 134.68137.16134.20132.16135.61135.87136.77137.54139.09141.46143.16144.89146.48145.36 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.36 0.34 0.28 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.14 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 Mercury (tons) 1.19 1.21 1.13 0.92 0.98 1.02 1.09 1.09 1.05 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.67 0.71

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

municipal waste. 10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.

### Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.49 10.49 10.49 10.49 10.49 10.49 0.1% 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 10.44 0.0% 23.9924.5425.83 26.9728.23 28.6228.6228.6228.6228.6228.62 2.2% 11.67 11.67 11.67 11.67 11.74 12.44 13.02 13.08 13.08 13.08 13.08 1.0% 7.11 7.11 7.11 7.11 7.11 7.11 7.78 8.82 10.02 11.66 12.47 5.3% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.81 1.86 1.86 1.92 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 4.7% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 64.72 65.27 66.56 68.32 69.7070.97 72.28 73.4474.6476.29 77.10 1.6%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 - - 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 4.42 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.63 3.18 4.47 5.61 6.87 7.26 7.26 7.26 7.26 7.26 7.26 - - 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.98 1.67 2.26 2.31 2.31 2.31 2.31 - - 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.99 5.03 6.22 7.87 8.68 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.12 1.16 1.16 1.23 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 7.36 7.91 9.20 10.95 12.34 13.60 14.92 16.08 17.28 18.93 19.73 - - 11.78 12.33 13.62 15.38 16.76 18.03 19.3420.5021.7023.35 24.15 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

### Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other Industrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports Gross International Exports Gross Interregional Electricity Imports Gross Interregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 - -

0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.0% 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 -3.0% 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.52 2.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.85 5.8% 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.0% 1.52 1.55 1.59 1.60 1.61 1.63 1.65 1.67 1.69 1.72 1.75 2.8%

131.74133.30135.34137.44139.78141.56143.70145.77148.09149.80151.80 1.3% 114.10116.12118.06119.95121.72123.41125.13126.92128.81130.82132.85 1.7% 16.44 16.37 16.39 16.43 16.51 16.52 16.56 16.61 16.67 16.76 16.84 0.0% 0.38 0.40 0.43 0.46 0.48 0.51 0.54 0.57 0.60 0.63 0.66 4.7% 262.67266.20270.21274.28278.48282.01285.93289.87294.18298.01302.15 1.4%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 29.5928.5727.5626.55 25.53 24.4921.42 18.44 18.41 18.12 19.34 -1.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.82 0.97 1.20 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.34 1.37 6.0% 246.76251.35256.36261.67267.09271.84279.02286.14290.68295.00298.11 1.4% 277.16280.89285.13289.42293.85297.57301.71305.87310.41314.46318.82 1.1%

75.83 75.83 75.83 75.83 75.83 77.21 77.21 77.1277.21 77.21 77.10 0.7% 14.57 14.59 14.55 14.51 14.46 14.50 14.52 14.50 14.50 14.48 14.49 -1.4% 100.24100.77104.87108.13113.28116.62119.23118.28113.51105.41100.75 0.1% 51.51 55.54 56.51 56.51 56.51 56.51 60.60 68.17 77.49 89.92 97.68 5.4% 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.0% 4.92 4.92 4.92 7.01 7.33 7.33 7.78 8.39 8.30 8.30 8.40 5.0% 248.23252.82257.83263.13268.56273.30280.49287.61292.15296.47299.58 1.4% 246.76251.35256.36261.67267.09271.84279.02286.14290.68295.00298.11 1.4% 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.0% 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 -0.1% 1.52 1.60 1.67 1.75 1.82 1.90 1.98 2.07 2.17 2.27 2.38 7.3% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.60 2.74 2.97 2.96 2.98 3.00 3.02 3.05 3.09 3.13 3.17 3.3% 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 -0.3% 6.24 6.45 6.75 6.82 6.92 7.02 7.12 7.24 7.38 7.51 7.67 2.6%

### Sales to Utilities

Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.82 0.97 1.20 1.20 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.32 1.34 1.37 6.0% 5.42 5.48 5.55 5.62 5.69 5.77 5.85 5.95 6.06 6.17 6.30 2.1%

254.47259.26264.58269.95275.48280.32287.61294.85299.53303.98307.25 1.4%

13.7 13.8 13.8 13.8 14.0 14.2 14.4 14.6 14.8 14.9 15.0 1.2% 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.7 11.8 11.9 12.0 12.1 0.9% 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 1.0% 8.2 8.6 9.0 9.6 10.1 10.6 11.1 11.5 11.9 12.3 12.6 1.5% 12.4 12.4 12.4 12.4 12.6 12.7 12.9 13.1 13.2 13.4 13.4 1.1%

9.1 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.8 9.9 10.0 1.2% 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 2.7% 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.5%

0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.8% 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.87 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.87 0.82 0.79 0.0% 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 -1.3% 1.74 1.74 1.76 1.78 1.81 1.85 1.86 1.86 1.83 1.77 1.74 0.2%

2.57 2.60 2.60 2.62 2.63 2.66 2.65 2.65 2.68 2.71 2.74 0.2% 8.10 8.04 8.13 8.10 8.45 8.72 8.98 9.16 9.36 9.41 9.57 0.3% 20.31 20.3920.5720.4620.73 21.01 21.2421.53 22.05 22.41 22.84 2.1% 17.56 17.68 17.82 17.71 17.88 18.06 18.19 18.53 18.85 19.05 19.44 3.9% 1.69 1.73 1.88 1.84 1.84 1.81 1.87 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 0.0%

38.91 38.96 39.3439.7040.2240.8941.1941.05 40.56 39.69 39.11 0.2% 142.66142.84144.24145.56147.46149.92151.01150.52148.73145.53143.39 0.2% 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.12 -4.5% 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 -3.8% 0.74 0.70 0.70 0.85 0.86 0.84 0.89 0.79 0.86 0.85 0.76 -2.0%

### municipal waste.

10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030Table 77 - 78. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New York and New England

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 6.72 6.53 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 18.43 18.36 18.36 18.36 18.36 18.36 18.36 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 Combined Cycle 18.37 18.37 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 18.91 19.04 19.40 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 6.90 7.13 7.13 7.13 7.13 7.13 7.13 5.76 5.90 5.90 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 Nuclear Power 9.74 9.74 9.74 9.74 9.74 9.74 9.74 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 8.00 8.10 8.57 11.17 11.24 11.24 11.28 11.28 11.28 11.32 11.32 11.32 11.32 11.32 11.32 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 71.1271.1872.0274.63 74.6974.6974.73 72.2772.41 72.45 72.51 72.51 72.51 72.6473.00

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.01 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.49 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.14 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45 2.52 2.52 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45 2.52 2.52 2.55 2.55 2.69 2.73 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.92 3.28 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 1.01 3.62 3.68 3.68 3.72 3.72 3.86 3.90 3.96 3.96 3.96 4.09 4.45

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71

End-Use Sectors 8/2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Coal 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 Petroleum 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 Natural Gas 0.60 0.60 0.66 0.72 0.81 0.86 0.91 0.96 1.02 1.08 1.15 1.20 1.26 1.32 1.39 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.73 0.81 0.91 1.05 1.21 1.38 1.65 1.93 1.94 1.96 1.99 2.02 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.73 1.74 1.81 1.92 2.20 2.35 2.54 2.76 2.99 3.31 3.65 3.73 3.80 3.89 3.98

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 94.93 98.95 98.31 98.91 98.4998.2097.85 95.71 95.0994.58 94.58 94.8995.6496.4696.92 Commercial/Other 124.69130.29131.02132.85134.76136.34137.64138.98140.56142.00143.64145.31146.81148.15149.42 I ndustrial 47.1746.7747.03 44.83 43.9844.7446.0946.7646.6246.4946.6246.91 47.03 46.7646.20 Transportation 1.63 1.66 1.67 1.78 1.73 1.76 1.79 1.83 1.88 1.92 1.97 2.02 2.08 2.14 2.20 Total Sales 268.42277.67278.03278.37278.96281.03283.37283.28284.16284.99286.82289.13291.56293.51294.74

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 21.81 25.3629.2222.09 19.8020.29 19.04 19.82 19.87 15.45 14.93 14.43 17.4421.00 16.26 Gross I nternational Exports 3.67 4.94 5.48 5.33 5.35 5.40 5.54 5.70 5.56 5.41 5.26 5.16 5.16 5.10 4.73 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 26.7827.33 32.3732.7635.1935.4233.28 32.1231.3231.8431.61 31.11 31.3727.03 29.05 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 13.64 13.36 17.70 16.14 15.79 15.61 13.42 12.88 10.99 9.61 11.71 12.72 9.80 6.68 8.20 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 1.78 1.72 1.65 1.73 1.81 1.89 1.98 2.07 2.16 2.24 2.33 2.41 2.48 2.56 2.74 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 259.54265.54260.27266.91265.73266.19269.12268.07266.81269.14273.69278.00274.33273.93278.92 Total Net Energy for Load 292.60301.65300.32302.01301.38302.78304.46303.51303.61303.65305.60308.06310.66312.73314.04

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 39.73 40.65 37.75 37.05 38.3638.5239.13 39.63 40.1440.6041.0241.53 42.0441.9942.42 Petroleum 10.51 13.02 7.60 7.65 7.53 7.55 7.54 7.50 7.49 7.52 7.45 7.46 7.47 7.52 7.48 Natural Gas 91.8096.84102.65101.15 97.95 97.4099.1996.3094.0695.3999.06102.8098.5697.55102.03 Nuclear 79.15 79.43 77.8478.4478.4478.4478.4479.0879.0879.0879.0879.0879.0879.0879.08 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.81 0.53 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 Renewable Sources 10/ 43.9041.31 38.0046.1947.0447.8848.43 48.9649.4449.9450.4950.55 50.61 51.23 51.35 Total Generation 265.89271.77265.22271.86270.69271.16274.10272.85271.59273.93278.49282.80279.14278.75283.75 Sales to Customers 259.54265.54260.27266.91265.73266.19269.12268.07266.81269.14273.69278.00274.33273.93278.92 Generation for Own Use 6.36 6.23 4.95 4.95 4.97 4.97 4.98 4.78 4.78 4.79 4.80 4.81 4.81 4.82 4.83 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 Petroleum 1.06 0.87 0.93 0.93 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 Natural Gas 3.07 3.12 3.54 3.94 4.40 4.77 5.14 5.54 5.96 6.40 6.87 7.27 7.68 8.13 8.61 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 10/ 3.61 3.49 3.49 3.56 3.67 3.83 4.08 4.34 4.61 5.00 5.41 5.48 5.54 5.59 5.73 Other 0.21 0.21 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Total 8.78 8.52 8.85 9.33 9.82 10.35 10.97 11.63 12.32 13.14 14.03 14.49 14.96 15.46 16.09 Sales to Utilities 1.78 1.72 1.65 1.73 1.81 1.89 1.98 2.07 2.16 2.24 2.33 2.41 2.48 2.56 2.74 Generation for Own Use 7.00 6.80 7.20 7.59 8.01 8.46 8.99 9.56 10.16 10.90 11.70 12.09 12.48 12.91 13.34

Total Electricity Generation 274.68280.29274.07281.19280.51281.51285.08284.48283.91287.07292.52297.30294.10294.22299.83

End-Use Prices2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

(2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 16.9 16.9 17.7 17.5 16.3 16.8 17.1 17.3 17.4 17.6 17.6 17.5 17.7 18.0 18.0 Commercial 15.5 15.2 15.6 15.1 13.6 13.7 13.6 13.6 13.7 14.0 13.9 14.0 14.3 14.6 14.7 I ndustrial 10.8 11.1 11.4 10.9 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.6 9.9 9.9 Transportation 14.3 14.4 16.2 15.8 14.3 14.6 14.8 15.0 15.1 15.3 15.2 15.0 15.1 15.3 15.2 All Sectors Average 15.3 15.1 15.6 15.3 13.9 14.1 14.1 14.1 14.2 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.7 15.0 15.0

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 0.42 0.43 0.39 0.38 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.44 Natural Gas 0.78 0.81 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.82 0.82 0.80 0.78 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.82 0.81 0.84 Oil 0.12 0.14 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 Total 1.31 1.38 1.36 1.34 1.32 1.31 1.32 1.30 1.29 1.31 1.34 1.37 1.34 1.34 1.37

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 25.6928.2827.4927.0626.8726.6826.91 26.71 26.61 26.9827.51 28.1427.8027.6428.27 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 94.21103.71100.78 99.21 98.53 97.8498.6697.9497.58 98.92100.87103.17101.92101.33103.65 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.31 0.34 0.28 0.30 0.41 0.28 0.33 0.28 0.29 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 Mercury (tons) 1.20 1.35 1.21 1.17 1.30 1.28 1.33 1.44 1.30 0.32 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28

Table 77. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New York

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 3.19 3.00 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 11.27 11.20 11.20 11.20 11.20 11.20 11.20 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 Combined Cycle 7.74 7.74 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.41 8.73 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 5.09 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 5.26 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 Nuclear Power 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 5.02 5.07 5.54 5.64 5.69 5.69 5.72 5.72 5.72 5.76 5.76 5.76 5.76 5.76 5.76 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 39.4439.4040.2440.3440.3840.3840.4238.93 38.93 38.9738.9738.9738.9739.1039.43

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.542006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.01 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.46 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.25 0.58 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 1.01 1.11 1.16 1.16 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.36 1.69

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 Petroleum 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 Natural Gas 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.38 0.41 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.30 0.37 0.46 0.59 0.72 0.73 0.75 0.76 0.78 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.43 0.44 0.46 0.51 0.71 0.77 0.85 0.94 1.04 1.19 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.47 1.51

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 48.63 51.0751.1451.1450.9750.88 50.71 49.5949.2548.9748.9649.1249.5049.91 50.13 Commercial/Other 70.5473.7774.2775.2076.85 77.81 78.5279.1779.92 80.56 81.33 82.18 82.94 83.60 84.21 I ndustrial 23.3523.21 23.5222.4521.8422.23 22.8723.2023.13 23.0623.13 23.2723.31 23.1922.90 Transportation 1.40 1.42 1.45 1.50 1.49 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.60 1.63 1.66 1.69 1.73 1.77 1.80 Total Sales 143.91149.47150.37150.29151.16152.43153.64153.53153.90154.22155.09156.27157.49158.46159.05

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 12.50 14.37 15.82 14.34 10.83 9.67 9.00 9.37 9.53 5.89 4.12 3.71 7.59 10.14 6.18 Gross I nternational Exports 2.51 3.08 3.75 4.23 4.42 4.48 4.63 4.78 4.64 4.51 4.38 4.36 4.33 4.24 3.93 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 19.89 18.5821.6622.1624.5724.7924.4423.8224.6627.9424.6424.2025.1023.41 23.552006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 10.75 10.48 14.82 13.26 12.91 12.73 10.54 9.99 8.31 5.43 9.03 10.31 7.65 4.81 6.59 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 0.53 0.50 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.61 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 144.21147.46143.12143.62144.81146.52146.32145.60142.68139.90149.36152.70146.52143.74149.64 Total Net Energy for Load 163.86167.35162.43163.05163.30164.22165.07164.50164.44164.32165.24166.50167.80168.83169.46

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 17.66 18.35 17.96 17.28 17.84 17.65 17.89 18.03 18.21 18.27 18.36 18.50 18.64 18.68 18.75 Petroleum 6.97 8.14 5.17 5.18 5.18 5.18 5.19 5.24 5.24 5.22 5.23 5.23 5.22 5.22 5.23 Natural Gas 43.5546.9848.31 49.41 49.6250.7749.8748.4444.9941.75 50.5953.73 47.3744.3950.09 Nuclear 48.0547.5746.9247.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.28 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.02 0.01 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 Renewable Sources 10/ 29.7228.1926.03 25.7526.1726.91 27.3727.7828.1628.5729.0929.1429.2029.3729.48 Total Generation 145.98149.25144.77145.27146.46148.18147.98147.16144.25141.47150.92154.26148.09145.31151.21 Sales to Customers 144.21147.46143.12143.62144.81146.52146.32145.60142.68139.90149.36152.70146.52143.74149.64 Generation for Own Use 1.77 1.79 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.61 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 Petroleum 0.24 0.22 0.28 0.28 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 Natural Gas 0.58 0.60 0.70 0.80 1.00 1.10 1.19 1.31 1.44 1.59 1.76 1.92 2.08 2.27 2.48 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 10/ 0.64 0.61 0.60 0.64 0.70 0.77 0.88 0.99 1.12 1.31 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.59 1.62 Other 0.08 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 2.16 2.06 2.13 2.27 2.46 2.63 2.83 3.07 3.32 3.66 4.04 4.22 4.41 4.63 4.86 Sales to Utilities 0.53 0.50 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.61 Generation for Own Use 1.63 1.56 1.73 1.86 2.02 2.18 2.36 2.58 2.81 3.13 3.50 3.66 3.84 4.04 4.25

Total Electricity Generation 148.14151.31146.90147.55148.92150.81150.81150.23147.57145.12154.96158.48152.50149.94156.07

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 17.3 17.1 18.6 18.2 17.0 17.4 17.8 18.3 18.5 18.8 18.8 18.7 18.9 19.3 19.3 Commercial 15.9 15.6 16.6 15.8 14.2 14.2 14.1 14.4 14.6 15.0 15.1 15.1 15.5 15.9 16.0 I ndustrial 9.6 9.4 10.0 9.5 8.1 8.3 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.7 9.7 Transportation 14.4 14.5 16.4 15.9 14.4 14.6 14.9 15.2 15.3 15.7 15.6 15.4 15.6 15.8 15.8 All Sectors Average 15.6 15.2 16.2 15.7 14.3 14.4 14.5 14.8 15.0 15.4 15.4 15.3 15.6 16.1 16.1

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 8.6 8.3 9.4 8.9 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.6 9.0 9.1 Transmission 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 Distribution 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Natural Gas 0.41 0.42 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.41 0.39 0.45 0.48 0.43 0.41 0.45 Oil 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Total 0.67 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.69 0.68 0.66 0.64 0.70 0.73 0.68 0.66 0.70

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu)2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Coal 1.84 1.94 2.05 2.03 2.00 2.04 2.04 2.05 2.09 2.14 2.08 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 Natural Gas 7.77 7.68 9.80 6.66 6.93 6.86 6.97 6.86 6.82 6.87 6.98 7.12 7.23 7.32 7.28 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.06 13.96 18.58 14.22 15.22 16.52 18.12 18.64 19.51 20.1720.3620.4020.4420.6020.65 Residual Fuel Oil 7.87 7.89 12.81 7.51 10.33 11.64 13.27 13.96 14.82 15.41 15.62 15.72 15.87 16.03 15.93 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.96 2.09 2.00 2.28 2.57 2.10 2.47 2.46 2.54 2.54 2.64

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 12.77 14.04 13.94 13.85 13.98 14.00 13.87 13.77 13.41 13.09 14.17 14.60 13.88 13.51 14.19 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 46.8251.48 51.1250.7951.2751.3250.85 50.4849.1847.9951.95 53.53 50.8949.55 52.02 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.18 0.20 0.16 0.17 0.25 0.17 0.23 0.18 0.18 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Mercury (tons) 0.64 0.69 0.59 0.55 0.64 0.65 0.62 0.60 0.62 0.20 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17

Table 78. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New England

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 Combined Cycle 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.67 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 1.81 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 2.01 2.01 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 Nuclear Power 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 2.98 3.03 3.03 5.53 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.55 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 31.68 31.78 31.78 34.2934.31 34.31 34.31 33.3433.48 33.48 33.5433.5433.5433.5433.57

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.14 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.61 2.61 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.67 2.70 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.51 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.67 2.67 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.762006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Petroleum 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 Natural Gas 0.49 0.49 0.53 0.57 0.61 0.65 0.68 0.72 0.76 0.80 0.84 0.87 0.91 0.94 0.98 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.59 0.63 0.68 0.76 0.84 0.93 1.06 1.20 1.21 1.22 1.22 1.24 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.30 1.30 1.35 1.41 1.49 1.58 1.69 1.81 1.94 2.12 2.30 2.34 2.38 2.42 2.47

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 46.3047.8847.1847.7847.51 47.3247.1446.1245.8445.61 45.61 45.7646.1446.5646.80 Commercial/Other 54.15 56.53 56.75 57.6457.91 58.53 59.1259.81 60.6461.4462.31 63.13 63.8764.55 65.20 I ndustrial 23.8223.5623.51 22.3822.13 22.5023.2223.5623.4923.43 23.5023.6423.7223.5723.30 Transportation 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.29 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.37 0.40 Total Sales 124.51128.20127.66128.09127.81128.60129.73129.75130.25130.77131.73132.86134.08135.05135.69

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 9.32 10.99 13.40 7.75 8.97 10.62 10.04 10.45 10.34 9.56 10.82 10.71 9.85 10.86 10.07 Gross I nternational Exports 1.16 1.86 1.73 1.10 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.88 0.79 0.83 0.86 0.80 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 6.88 8.76 10.71 10.60 10.63 10.63 8.84 8.31 6.65 3.90 6.97 6.91 6.27 3.62 5.50 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.68 4.18 2.68 2.41 2.15 1.88 1.61 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 1.26 1.22 1.25 1.31 1.37 1.44 1.51 1.58 1.65 1.72 1.79 1.85 1.91 1.97 2.13 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 115.33118.08117.15123.29120.92119.67122.80122.47124.12129.23124.33125.30127.80130.19129.29 Total Net Energy for Load 128.74134.30137.89138.97138.08138.56139.39139.02139.17139.33140.36141.56142.86143.90144.58

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 22.0722.29 19.79 19.7720.5220.8721.2421.6021.9422.3422.6623.0423.4023.31 23.66 Petroleum 3.53 4.88 2.43 2.47 2.35 2.36 2.35 2.26 2.25 2.31 2.22 2.23 2.25 2.30 2.26 Natural Gas 48.2549.8654.3451.7448.33 46.6249.3247.8649.0753.6448.4749.0651.1953.1651.95 Nuclear 31.0931.85 30.9231.1631.1631.1631.1631.8031.8031.8031.8031.8031.8031.8031.80 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.79 0.52 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Renewable Sources 10/ 14.18 13.12 11.9820.4420.8720.9721.0621.1721.2821.3721.41 21.41 21.41 21.8721.87 Total Generation 119.91122.52120.45126.59124.23122.99126.12125.69127.34132.46127.57128.54131.05133.44132.54 Sales to Customers 115.33118.08117.15123.29120.92119.67122.80122.47124.12129.23124.33125.30127.80130.19129.29 Generation for Own Use 4.58 4.44 3.30 3.30 3.31 3.32 3.32 3.21 3.22 3.23 3.23 3.24 3.25 3.25 3.26 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Coal 0.22 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 Petroleum 0.82 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 Natural Gas 2.49 2.52 2.85 3.14 3.40 3.67 3.95 4.23 4.52 4.81 5.11 5.35 5.59 5.85 6.12 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 10/ 2.97 2.88 2.89 2.92 2.97 3.06 3.21 3.35 3.49 3.69 3.90 3.94 3.97 4.00 4.11 Other 0.13 0.13 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Total 6.63 6.47 6.72 7.05 7.36 7.72 8.14 8.57 9.00 9.48 9.99 10.27 10.55 10.83 11.22 Sales to Utilities 1.26 1.22 1.25 1.31 1.37 1.44 1.51 1.58 1.65 1.72 1.79 1.85 1.91 1.97 2.13 Generation for Own Use 5.37 5.24 5.47 5.74 5.99 6.28 6.63 6.99 7.34 7.76 8.20 8.42 8.64 8.87 9.09

Total Electricity Generation 126.54128.99127.17133.64131.59130.71134.26134.26136.34141.95137.56138.81141.60144.27143.76

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 16.4 16.7 16.7 16.7 15.6 16.1 16.2 16.2 16.2 16.3 16.3 16.3 16.4 16.6 16.5 Commercial 14.9 14.7 14.3 14.1 12.9 13.0 12.8 12.6 12.5 12.6 12.5 12.5 12.8 13.0 13.1 I ndustrial 11.9 12.7 12.9 12.3 10.6 10.4 10.0 9.6 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.1 Transportation 13.7 14.0 15.1 15.0 13.8 14.0 14.0 13.7 13.5 13.4 13.2 13.0 13.0 13.0 12.8 All Sectors Average 14.9 15.1 14.9 14.8 13.5 13.7 13.6 13.4 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.5 13.7 13.8

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 8.7 8.9 8.9 8.6 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.3 7.5 7.6 Transmission 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 Distribution 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 Natural Gas 0.37 0.39 0.43 0.41 0.38 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.41 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.39 Oil 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Total 0.64 0.67 0.67 0.65 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.63 0.67 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.67

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 2.98 3.04 3.15 3.19 3.17 3.04 3.00 2.96 2.92 2.86 2.82 2.80 2.82 2.83 2.82 Natural Gas 7.55 7.68 10.40 7.31 7.66 7.76 7.56 7.39 7.38 7.49 7.44 7.58 7.74 7.87 7.72 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.22 14.14 18.29 14.45 15.39 16.63 18.28 18.77 19.6520.31 20.5020.5420.5820.7520.79 Residual Fuel Oil 7.62 7.64 12.40 7.27 10.36 11.67 13.31 14.00 14.87 15.47 15.69 15.79 15.94 16.11 16.01 Biomass 2.25 2.36 2.46 2.31 2.32 2.23 2.19 2.16 2.12 2.08 2.04 2.00 1.99 2.04 2.14

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 12.92 14.24 13.54 13.21 12.89 12.69 13.04 12.94 13.20 13.89 13.34 13.54 13.92 14.12 14.08 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 47.3952.23 49.6648.4247.2646.53 47.81 47.4648.4050.93 48.9249.6451.03 51.78 51.63 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.17 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Mercury (tons) 0.56 0.65 0.62 0.62 0.66 0.63 0.71 0.83 0.69 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. I ncludes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ I ncludes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007.2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ I ncludes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic municipal waste. 10/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ I ncludes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy I nformation Administration (EI A), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EI A-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.55 6.70 7.05 0.7% 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.19 17.09 16.88 16.32 16.10 -1.6% 20.0220.7521.41 21.9922.53 22.7623.53 23.53 23.53 23.53 2.2% 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96 -0.9% 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.82 10.55 10.58 11.40 1.6% 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 11.32 11.32 11.32 11.45 11.51 12.95 13.01 13.01 13.03 13.24 4.6% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 73.6274.3475.01 75.7276.3277.9978.7279.4279.07 80.22 6.6%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 0

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.34 0.69 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1.11 1.83 2.50 3.08 3.62 3.85 4.62 4.62 4.62 4.62 0 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72 1.38 2.70 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.73 2.79 4.23 4.29 4.29 4.30 4.52 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 3.90 4.62 5.29 6.00 6.60 8.27 9.11 10.02 10.84 12.71 0 5.06 5.79 6.45 7.17 7.77 9.44 10.27 11.19 12.01 13.88 0

0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.27 1.49 2.04 2.27 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 1.12 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.81 3.02 4.20 4.92 0Coal

Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.0% 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 3.4% 1.46 1.53 1.62 1.70 1.80 1.90 2.01 2.13 2.26 2.40 14.4% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 2.05 2.08 2.10 2.13 2.16 2.20 2.26 2.33 2.43 2.56 15.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 4.08 4.20 4.30 4.41 4.54 4.68 4.85 5.04 5.27 5.53 33.0%

97.2798.1098.9299.95100.42101.24102.08103.12103.55104.22 0.5% 150.86152.22153.45154.49155.33156.17157.11158.06159.02159.94 1.8% 46.01 46.0946.2746.5446.8047.2447.6948.1848.7749.41 0.5% 2.26 2.32 2.40 2.47 2.54 2.61 2.68 2.75 2.82 2.88 6.5% 296.41298.73301.04303.45305.09307.26309.56312.10314.15316.45 9.3%

16.79 13.61 9.78 11.82 9.99 13.57 15.36 17.48 12.7621.05 -1.7% 4.76 4.49 4.50 4.53 4.06 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01 -3.2% 27.1224.8225.9721.91 22.75 19.60 19.03 20.61 20.8723.77 -3.1% 5.70 4.48 4.31 2.01 3.71 2.46 3.27 2.91 1.39 7.62-19.6% 2.87 3.05 3.05 3.13 3.24 3.35 3.47 3.61 3.75 3.91 7.0% 279.49285.79290.78293.00296.86297.35299.26297.78302.74300.09 1.1% 315.82318.30320.76323.32325.07327.39329.84332.55334.72337.18 1.0%

42.2642.1041.8842.2442.2242.0841.91 43.13 44.2947.74 1.4% 7.50 7.49 7.48 7.47 7.46 7.40 7.40 7.31 7.26 7.19 -5.8% 102.59108.91113.91115.45119.04114.72116.17108.78107.11100.16 0.3% 79.0879.0879.0879.0879.0879.0879.08 83.64 88.93 89.38 1.2% 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 19.5% 51.5051.65 51.8752.21 52.51 57.51 58.13 58.33 58.4958.91 3.7% 284.32290.61295.60297.83301.69302.18304.07302.56307.46304.7620.4% 279.49285.79290.78293.00296.86297.35299.26297.78302.74300.09 1.1% 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.81 4.79 4.72 4.67 19.3% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0

0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.0% 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 -0.1% 9.13 9.69 10.29 10.93 11.62 12.37 13.17 14.05 14.98 16.00 16.8% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 5.83 5.98 5.94 6.00 6.08 6.17 6.29 6.44 6.64 6.88 8.0% 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05-19.5% 16.71 17.41 17.98 18.68 19.4520.2921.21 22.2423.3824.63 5.2% 2.87 3.05 3.05 3.13 3.24 3.35 3.47 3.61 3.75 3.91 7.0% 13.84 14.36 14.94 15.55 16.21 16.94 17.74 18.63 19.6220.72 -1.8%

301.03308.03313.59316.51321.14322.46325.29324.81330.83329.39 1.4%(2007 cents per kilowatthour)

Residential Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

Table 77. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New York

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

17.8 17.8 17.8 18.0 18.3 18.4 18.5 18.6 18.7 18.8 0.4% 14.6 14.6 14.7 14.9 15.2 15.4 15.5 15.7 15.9 16.0 0.1% 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.9 11.0 0.0% 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.2 15.5 15.6 15.7 15.9 16.0 16.1 0.4% 14.9 14.9 15.0 15.2 15.4 15.6 15.7 15.9 16.1 16.1 0.2%

0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.48 1.1% 0.84 0.88 0.91 0.92 0.94 0.91 0.91 0.86 0.84 0.79 -0.3% 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 -5.1% 1.37 1.41 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.43 1.44 1.39 1.38 1.36 -4.3%

28.23 28.8629.2829.4929.8229.2029.2428.5728.6028.55 0.0% 103.52105.81107.35108.12109.35107.06107.21104.75104.88104.68 0.0% 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 -5.8% 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 2.1% 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.33-12.1%

2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 3.01 3.17 3.51 0.7% 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 11.07 0.0% 9.05 9.42 9.72 9.98 10.26 10.48 10.66 10.66 10.66 10.66 1.4% 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 3.89 -1.3% 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.22 5.43 -0.3% 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 5.76 5.76 5.76 5.86 5.87 5.87 5.87 5.87 5.89 6.10 0.8% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 39.7440.11 40.41 40.7741.0541.2841.4541.6441.1941.96 0.3%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 - -Combustion Turbine/Diesel

Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.34 0.69 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.77 1.14 1.44 1.71 1.98 2.20 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.46 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.90 1.27 1.57 1.92 2.21 2.43 2.61 2.80 2.97 4.24 - - 2.01 2.38 2.68 3.03 3.32 3.54 3.72 3.91 4.08 5.35 - -

0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 - - 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 1.12 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 2.28 2.78 - -

0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.0% 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 3.4% 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.56 0.60 0.65 0.71 0.77 0.83 0.90 9.4% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.80 0.81 0.83 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.96 1.02 1.08 1.17 11.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.56 1.62 1.68 1.74 1.81 1.89 1.99 2.11 2.24 2.40 7.7%

50.2950.6951.0751.5651.7752.15 52.5453.03 53.23 53.55 0.2% 84.90 85.49 85.99 86.37 86.64 86.89 87.18 87.48 87.82 88.11 0.8% 22.8022.8422.9223.0523.1823.4023.61 23.8524.13 24.46 0.2% 1.84 1.88 1.93 1.97 2.01 2.05 2.09 2.13 2.17 2.21 1.9% 159.83160.90161.91162.95163.60164.50165.43166.48167.35168.33 0.5%

6.84 3.61 1.29 2.08 2.35 4.25 5.40 8.21 4.25 12.59 -0.6% 3.92 3.71 3.69 3.68 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 3.16 0.1% 23.6722.1623.0621.0420.29 17.98 16.96 19.5820.84 19.80 0.3%Gross I

nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 4.35 3.40 3.51 1.47 3.45 2.46 3.27 2.33 1.02 7.59 -1.4% 0.64 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.76 0.81 0.85 0.91 0.96 1.03 3.2% 147.41152.11154.68154.92157.51157.86159.47154.18156.42156.68 0.3% 170.30171.43172.51173.62174.31175.27176.26177.39178.31179.35 0.3%

18.61 18.44 18.22 18.58 18.56 18.42 18.25 19.4720.63 24.28 1.2% 5.21 5.23 5.23 5.23 5.22 5.22 5.23 5.21 5.21 5.21 -1.9% 47.88 52.58 55.1454.83 57.33 57.65 59.25 52.5753.5654.41 0.6% 47.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2847.2842.81 -0.5% 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 16.6% 29.63 29.78 30.0030.1930.31 30.4730.6430.83 30.93 31.14 0.4% 148.98153.68156.24156.49159.08159.43161.04155.75157.99158.23 0.3% 147.41152.11154.68154.92157.51157.86159.47154.18156.42156.68 0.3% 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.55 -0.6% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.0% 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 -0.1% 2.73 2.98 3.27 3.58 3.92 4.29 4.69 5.14 5.59 6.10 10.6% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.65 1.68 1.72 1.76 1.80 1.85 1.93 2.03 2.15 2.28 5.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-15.5% 5.14 5.43 5.75 6.10 6.49 6.91 7.39 7.93 8.51 9.15 6.7% 0.64 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.76 0.81 0.85 0.91 0.96 1.03 3.2% 4.50 4.77 5.06 5.38 5.73 6.10 6.54 7.03 7.54 8.12 7.4%

154.12159.11162.00162.59165.57166.34168.42163.68166.49167.38 0.4%

19.1 19.1 19.2 19.4 19.7 19.9 19.9 20.1 20.2 20.3 0.7% 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.3 16.6 16.9 17.1 17.3 17.5 17.6 0.5% 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.9 10.2 10.4 10.5 10.7 10.9 10.9 0.7% 15.5 15.5 15.5 15.7 15.9 16.0 16.0 16.2 16.3 16.4 0.5% 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.4 16.7 16.9 17.0 17.2 17.4 17.5 0.6%

9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.4 1.0% 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 -0.1% 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 0.2%

0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.24 0.8% 0.43 0.46 0.48 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.4% 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 -1.6% 0.68 0.71 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.71 0.73 0.76 0.3%Coal

Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

Table 78. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New England

Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 2.07 2.02 2.02 2.03 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.09 2.10 0.4% 7.15 7.25 7.32 7.68 8.01 8.17 8.47 8.62 8.85 9.05 0.7% 20.73 20.91 20.8021.0621.3521.5721.8722.3922.7523.18 2.2% 16.13 16.29 16.07 16.19 16.36 16.51 16.84 17.09 17.32 17.52 3.5% 2.72 2.91 2.91 2.92 2.92 2.93 2.92 2.86 2.71 2.70 1.5%

13.86 14.34 14.51 14.55 14.81 14.77 14.91 14.35 14.72 15.68 0.5% 50.8252.58 53.2253.3454.2954.1454.6752.6053.9657.51 0.5% 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 -3.4% 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 -0.1% 0.17 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.20 -5.3%

3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 0.0% 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.12 6.02 5.81 5.25 5.03 -1.5% 10.97 11.33 11.69 12.01 12.27 12.28 12.88 12.88 12.88 12.88 0.8% 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 0.4% 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 4.71 5.36 5.96 1.9% 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 5.55 5.55 5.55 5.60 5.65 7.08 7.14 7.14 7.14 7.14 3.8% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 33.8734.23 34.5934.9635.2736.71 37.2737.78 37.8738.26 0.8%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.33 0.69 1.05 1.37 1.64 1.64 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.24 - - 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72 1.38 1.98 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.51 2.56 4.00 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 3.00 3.36 3.72 4.08 4.40 5.84 6.50 7.22 7.87 8.48 - - 3.06 3.41 3.78 4.14 4.45 5.90 6.55 7.28 7.93 8.54 - -Cumulative Retirements 7/

Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.15 1.36 1.92 2.14 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.15 1.36 1.92 2.14 - -

0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.0% 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.0% 1.02 1.06 1.10 1.15 1.19 1.25 1.30 1.36 1.42 1.49 5.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.25 1.27 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.30 1.31 1.35 1.39 4.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 2.52 2.58 2.62 2.67 2.73 2.79 2.85 2.92 3.02 3.14 3.9%

46.9847.41 47.8548.3948.6549.0949.5450.0950.3250.67 0.2% 65.9666.73 67.4668.11 68.6969.28 69.9270.5971.2071.83 1.0% 23.21 23.2523.3423.4923.6223.8424.0824.33 24.63 24.96 0.3% 0.42 0.44 0.48 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.59 0.62 0.64 0.67 4.6% 136.57137.84139.13140.50141.49142.76144.14145.62146.80148.13 0.6%

9.95 10.00 8.49 9.74 7.64 9.32 9.96 9.27 8.51 8.46 -1.1% 0.84 0.78 0.81 0.86 0.90 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 -3.3% 3.45 2.67 2.91 0.87 2.46 1.62 2.07 1.03 0.03 3.97 -3.4% 1.35 1.08 0.80 0.54 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.38 0.03-18.2% 2.23 2.39 2.35 2.40 2.47 2.54 2.62 2.70 2.79 2.88 3.8% 132.08133.67136.10138.08139.35139.49139.79143.60146.32143.41 0.8% 145.52146.86148.24149.70150.76152.12153.58155.16156.41157.83 0.7%

23.6623.6623.6623.6623.6623.6623.6623.6623.6623.46 0.2% 2.28 2.26 2.25 2.24 2.24 2.17 2.17 2.10 2.05 1.98 -3.8% 54.71 56.3458.7760.6261.71 57.0756.91 56.21 53.5545.76 -0.4% 31.8031.8031.8031.8031.8031.8031.8036.3641.6546.57 1.7% 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.9% 21.8821.8821.8822.0222.1927.0427.4927.4927.5627.77 3.3% 135.34136.93139.36141.34142.61142.75143.04146.81149.47146.53 0.8% 132.08133.67136.10138.08139.35139.49139.79143.60146.32143.41 0.8% 3.26 3.26 3.26 3.26 3.26 3.26 3.25 3.22 3.15 3.12 -1.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -Coal

Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. I ncludes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ I ncludes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.0% 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.0% 6.41 6.70 7.02 7.35 7.70 8.08 8.48 8.91 9.39 9.90 6.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.18 4.30 4.23 4.24 4.28 4.32 4.36 4.41 4.50 4.60 2.0% 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 -3.9% 11.57 11.98 12.23 12.57 12.96 13.38 13.82 14.31 14.87 15.48 3.9% 2.23 2.39 2.35 2.40 2.47 2.54 2.62 2.70 2.79 2.88 3.8% 9.34 9.60 9.87 10.17 10.49 10.83 11.20 11.61 12.08 12.60 3.9%

146.91148.91151.59153.92155.57156.13156.86161.13164.34162.01 1.0%

16.3 16.3 16.3 16.5 16.7 16.9 16.9 17.0 17.2 17.2 0.1% 12.9 12.9 12.9 13.1 13.3 13.5 13.6 13.7 13.9 14.0 -0.2% 10.0 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.8 11.0 11.1 -0.6% 12.5 12.7 13.1 13.5 13.9 14.2 14.5 14.8 15.1 15.3 0.4% 13.6 13.5 13.6 13.8 14.0 14.1 14.2 14.3 14.5 14.6 -0.1%

7.4 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.4 8.5 -0.2% 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 0.2% 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 -0.1%

0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.3% 0.41 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.33 -0.8% 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 -3.5% 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.69 0.69 0.68 0.66 0.60 -0.5%

2.81 2.81 2.82 2.80 2.83 2.84 2.85 2.87 2.88 2.89 -0.2% 7.60 7.69 7.75 8.10 8.41 8.52 8.80 8.99 9.17 9.30 0.8% 20.8721.0520.9421.21 21.5021.7222.01 22.5422.9023.32 2.2% 16.21 16.37 16.15 16.28 16.44 16.60 16.93 17.18 17.42 17.61 3.7% 2.21 2.35 2.21 2.18 2.19 2.19 2.26 2.26 2.26 2.30 -0.1%

14.37 14.52 14.76 14.94 15.02 14.43 14.33 14.22 13.89 12.86 -0.4% 52.7053.23 54.13 54.78 55.0652.91 52.5452.15 50.9247.17 -0.4% 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 -2.4% 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 2.2% 0.14 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.13 -6.8%7/ Generation to meet system load by source.

8/ I ncludes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic municipal waste. 10/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ I ncludes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy I nformation Administration (EI A), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EI A-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030Table 76. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Mid-Continent Area Power Pool 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 18.61 19.11 19.11 19.54 19.63 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 Combined Cycle 2.16 2.29 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 7.82 8.02 8.12 8.12 9.66 9.66 9.92 9.99 10.50 11.18 11.37 11.68 11.94 12.14 12.29 12.44 Nuclear Power 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.08 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 4.49 5.00 6.14 6.14 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 36.65 37.9939.7740.2041.8742.1042.3642.43 42.9443.6243.81 44.1244.3844.5844.73 44.88

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.76 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.78 2.45 2.55 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54 1.54 1.80 1.87 2.38 3.06 3.25 3.56 3.82 4.02 4.17 4.32 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.57 1.57 1.83 1.90 2.41 3.09 3.28 3.59 3.85 4.05 4.20 4.35 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 1.78 2.45 4.12 4.34 4.60 4.67 5.17 5.86 6.05 6.36 6.62 6.82 6.97 7.11

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.59 0.58 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.70 0.78 0.82 0.96 1.02 1.08 1.16 1.24 1.33 1.402006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Petroleum 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 Natural Gas 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.20 0.24 0.21 0.50 0.57 0.77 1.04 1.40 1.85 Other 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total 0.84 0.84 0.91 0.91 0.96 0.98 1.05 1.16 1.25 1.36 1.71 1.85 2.13 2.49 2.94 3.47

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 53.73 57.0954.9254.6255.43 55.41 55.6254.9655.0755.2955.7455.98 56.4456.9657.3957.66 Commercial/Other 48.2450.2548.9447.8750.2050.7251.2951.91 52.6953.53 54.4255.28 56.1457.0057.83 58.66 I ndustrial 51.4752.1952.9052.45 52.3953.85 55.3055.9455.9956.2956.8657.25 57.6257.48 57.2657.36 Transportation 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.14 Total Sales 153.49159.57156.81154.99158.07160.03162.27162.88163.81165.19167.10168.60170.30171.55172.60173.81

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports 13.23 12.00 14.61 13.17 13.98 13.94 13.22 12.90 12.44 10.43 11.04 10.84 11.04 11.24 11.30 12.15 Gross I nternational Exports 4.54 3.74 4.59 4.56 4.55 4.55 4.55 4.65 4.67 4.60 4.65 4.60 4.57 4.55 4.55 4.55 Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports 7.23 7.04 5.81 5.77 5.84 8.47 8.50 6.95 9.05 8.04 9.67 11.16 9.81 9.92 10.00 8.45 Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports 13.63 11.52 14.23 14.05 16.98 18.76 18.14 16.97 19.27 17.56 19.14 19.51 17.99 19.2620.19 18.99 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 1.10 1.09 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.18 1.34 1.57 1.77 2.00 2.78 3.08 3.72 4.54 5.56 6.76 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 158.96162.46168.00168.09172.69173.42175.19175.90176.84178.79179.44179.80180.58182.04182.92182.52 Total Net Energy for Load 162.34167.33170.66169.50172.07173.69175.56175.69176.16177.10179.15180.76182.58183.92185.05186.34

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 118.06118.74121.86120.28123.54123.31124.08124.62125.51127.20127.85128.38129.04130.49131.36130.28 Petroleum 0.68 0.67 0.44 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 Natural Gas 4.50 6.41 1.79 1.05 1.43 2.07 2.88 2.91 2.92 2.93 2.93 2.95 2.95 2.96 2.98 3.65 Nuclear 22.8924.7724.21 24.3924.3924.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.48 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 Renewable Sources 10/ 13.96 13.22 19.5421.7022.6522.9023.0723.21 23.2523.5223.5223.33 23.4523.4523.4523.45 Total Generation 160.36164.09168.11168.20172.80173.54175.31176.02176.97178.92179.57179.93180.72182.17183.06182.66 Sales to Customers 158.96162.46168.00168.09172.69173.42175.19175.90176.84178.79179.44179.80180.58182.04182.92182.52 Generation for Own Use 1.40 1.62 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 2.75 2.72 2.98 2.98 2.98 2.98 3.33 3.96 4.28 5.25 5.71 6.21 6.76 7.37 8.04 8.56 Petroleum 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 Natural Gas 0.16 0.19 0.23 0.28 0.32 0.35 0.37 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.55 0.59 0.64 0.69 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Renewable Sources 10/ 0.84 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.90 1.03 1.17 1.49 1.25 3.35 3.84 5.34 7.36 10.00 13.35 Other 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Total 3.88 3.84 4.15 4.20 4.51 4.66 5.16 5.94 6.60 7.37 9.94 10.96 13.06 15.73 19.0823.00 Sales to Utilities 1.10 1.09 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.18 1.34 1.57 1.77 2.00 2.78 3.08 3.72 4.54 5.56 6.76 Generation for Own Use 2.78 2.75 3.08 3.12 3.42 3.48 3.82 4.37 4.83 5.37 7.16 7.88 9.34 11.19 13.52 16.24

Total Electricity Generation 164.23167.92172.27172.41177.31178.20180.47181.96183.57186.29189.52190.89193.78197.90202.14205.66

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour)2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Residential 8.6 8.7 7.3 7.4 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.4 Commercial 7.0 7.6 6.9 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 I ndustrial 5.2 5.8 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 Transportation 6.0 6.0 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.9 6.3 6.6 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.1 All Sectors Average 7.0 7.4 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 4.1 4.5 3.8 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 Transmission 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Distribution 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 1.28 1.29 1.35 1.33 1.37 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.44 Natural Gas 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Oil 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 1.34 1.36 1.37 1.35 1.39 1.39 1.41 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.45 1.46 1.46 1.48 1.49 1.48

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.10 1.24 1.39 1.31 1.31 1.33 1.36 1.37 1.39 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.45 1.46 1.46 Natural Gas 6.73 6.65 9.45 6.35 6.68 6.51 6.50 6.40 6.40 6.49 6.57 6.71 6.88 7.04 6.95 6.72 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.96 14.91 19.50 14.92 15.23 16.50 18.06 18.60 19.4620.11 20.31 20.3520.3920.5620.6020.67 Residual Fuel Oil 6.32 6.33 10.30 6.0422.5823.9025.3725.9726.6426.9926.9226.83 26.7626.73 26.63 26.70 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.81 2.02 1.99 2.01 1.98 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.93

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 39.3840.6239.9739.41 40.53 40.51 40.9041.1041.4042.0042.2442.41 42.6243.11 43.4043.13 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 144.39148.93146.57144.52148.61148.55149.97150.69151.80153.99154.88155.49156.26158.06159.13158.13 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.36 0.36 0.32 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Mercury (tons) 3.70 3.70 3.66 3.46 3.66 3.85 3.85 3.79 3.85 3.66 3.68 3.70 3.70 3.78 3.75 3.79

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. I ncludes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ I ncludes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ I ncludes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic municipal waste. 10/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ I ncludes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy I nformation Administration (EI A), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EI A-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.83 19.83 19.83 19.83 0.2% 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.0% 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 2.84 0.9% 12.62 12.80 12.97 13.11 13.30 13.55 13.88 14.26 14.65 2.7% 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 3.09 2.52 -0.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 6.17 0.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 45.0545.23 45.41 45.5445.73 45.9746.3046.6846.49 0.9%

0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 - - 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.50 4.68 4.85 4.99 5.18 5.43 5.76 6.14 6.53 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.53 4.71 4.88 5.02 5.21 5.46 5.79 6.17 6.56 - - 7.29 7.47 7.65 7.78 7.97 8.23 8.56 8.94 9.33 - -

0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.83 - -

1.47 1.54 1.66 1.78 1.90 2.05 2.18 2.31 2.43 6.4%Petroleum

Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other I ndustrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross I nternational I

mports Gross I nternational Exports Gross I nterregional Electricity I

mports Gross I nterregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total Sales to Utilities Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 3.3% 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.20 5.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.38 2.97 3.56 4.11 4.59 4.96 5.18 5.07 5.02 17.1% 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.0% 4.08 4.74 5.46 6.13 6.74 7.28 7.63 7.67 7.74 10.2%

58.1758.7259.4059.83 60.45 61.0461.7762.1662.66 0.4% 59.4460.21 60.9461.6762.4063.15 63.91 64.68 65.39 1.2% 57.51 57.8458.25 58.4958.8459.28 59.7060.28 60.79 0.7% 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.28 7.7% 175.27176.93178.77180.19181.90183.70185.62187.38189.12 0.7%

11.65 10.90 10.40 11.88 11.59 11.43 11.69 11.18 10.50 -0.6% 4.46 4.38 4.21 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 0.4% 9.74 7.62 7.81 5.33 6.98 6.09 7.10 6.62 4.71 -1.7% 20.20 18.11 18.91 18.28 18.89 19.24 19.94 16.44 13.12 0.6% 8.14 9.65 11.27 12.81 14.19 15.38 16.17 16.22 16.36 12.5% 183.04184.02185.31185.49185.21187.35188.04187.36188.36 0.6% 187.91189.69191.66193.18195.02196.94199.00200.89202.76 0.8%

130.52131.62132.67132.67133.47135.58135.58135.61135.60 0.6% 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.52 -1.1% 3.84 3.65 3.89 4.07 2.99 3.02 3.71 3.03 4.03 -2.0% 24.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.4824.48 -0.1% 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.0% 23.5423.6223.6223.6223.6223.6223.6223.5923.59 2.5% 183.18184.16185.45185.63185.35187.49188.18187.50188.50 0.6% 183.04184.02185.31185.49185.21187.35188.04187.36188.36 0.6% 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14-10.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

9.09 9.61 10.47 11.36 12.28 13.41 14.39 15.33 16.24 8.1% 0.31 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.32 0.34 0.32 9.6% 0.75 0.80 0.86 0.91 0.97 1.04 1.11 1.18 1.28 8.6% 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 3.5% 17.31 21.6526.05 30.1433.6736.41 37.9937.1936.71 18.3% 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 -1.9% 27.5432.4737.8042.8547.3751.28 53.91 54.1454.64 12.2% 8.14 9.65 11.27 12.81 14.19 15.38 16.17 16.22 16.36 12.5% 19.4022.8226.5230.0433.18 35.9037.73 37.9238.28 12.1%

210.72216.62223.24228.47232.72238.76242.09241.64243.14 1.6%Residential

Commercial I ndustrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. I ncludes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ I ncludes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ I ncludes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic municipal waste. 10/ I ncludes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ I ncludes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy I nformation Administration (EI A), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EI A-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.4 -0.7% 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.8 7.0 -0.4% 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 -0.3% 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.2 9.5 2.0% 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.6 -0.5%

3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 -0.9% 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1% 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 -0.5%

1.45 1.46 1.47 1.47 1.48 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 0.7% 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 -2.4% 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -1.4% 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.52 1.54 1.55 1.54 1.55 0.6%

1.47 1.48 1.49 1.51 1.54 1.54 1.55 1.58 1.60 1.1% 6.75 6.85 7.13 7.40 7.68 7.97 8.21 8.37 8.53 1.1% 20.8620.7521.01 21.2921.5221.8022.33 22.6923.09 1.9% 26.7626.7626.8226.93 27.03 27.2827.5228.7627.95 6.7% 1.93 1.73 1.75 1.78 1.81 1.89 1.88 1.86 1.80 -0.3%

43.2543.63 44.03 44.0544.1744.9245.0044.9745.14 0.5% 158.59159.97161.46161.52161.97164.71164.99164.87165.53 0.5% 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.21 -2.3% 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 -1.3% 3.80 3.83 3.87 3.81 3.91 3.89 3.95 3.83 3.79 0.1%

### Table 75. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Mid-America Interconnected Network

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 28.73 28.6729.13 29.75 30.48 31.23 31.98 31.98 31.97 31.97 31.97 31.97 31.88 31.88 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 6.02 6.02 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 16.89 16.90 16.90 17.05 17.20 17.20 17.20 14.68 14.68 14.68 14.68 14.68 14.68 14.68 Nuclear Power 14.56 14.56 14.56 14.56 14.56 14.56 14.58 14.58 14.58 14.60 14.60 14.60 14.60 14.73 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.91 2.84 4.00 4.20 4.27 4.27 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.44 5.68 5.68 5.68 5.68 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 69.37 70.2472.43 73.4074.3675.11 75.9672.68 72.62 72.73 73.98 73.98 73.89 74.02

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.52 1.13 1.95 2.70 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 1.16 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 2.25 3.22 4.19 4.94 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.24 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.24 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 2.25 3.22 4.26 5.01 5.84 5.84 5.84 5.93 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.24 0.24 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.14 0.14 0.14 3.42 3.48 3.48 3.48 3.48 3.57 3.57

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 Petroleum 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 Natural Gas 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.34 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.38 1.38 1.40 1.41 1.96 1.97 2.02 2.04 2.06 2.13 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 83.75 87.85 83.71 83.66 84.69 84.65 84.83 83.53 83.45 83.59 84.06 84.24 84.77 85.37 Commercial/Other 91.81 95.42 94.7091.83 95.69 97.0498.37 99.76101.47103.21104.97106.67108.35109.95 Industrial 86.17 85.70 85.33 83.83 83.10 84.79 87.34 88.34 88.10 88.28 88.74 89.44 89.96 89.76 Transportation 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 Total Sales 262.00269.24264.02259.57263.76266.76270.84271.95273.35275.42278.12280.73283.47285.49

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 6.38 6.89 7.17 5.92 4.00 2.77 2.17 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.42 1.26 1.10 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 42.92 35.03 48.98 56.26 57.15 63.26 68.07 68.39 67.75 65.31 67.37 70.99 68.28 67.32 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 0.73 0.76 0.74 0.75 0.80 0.81 0.91 0.95 0.97 1.12 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.91 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 310.25319.37323.02327.83334.05343.91352.90354.26354.41353.30358.46364.98365.31366.61 Total Net Energy for Load 274.44291.99281.94278.24281.71284.24287.91288.40289.20290.68293.54296.29299.19301.31

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 172.42175.84178.54179.74188.95195.35202.32204.12199.16199.44200.51198.53191.13188.88 Petroleum 0.86 0.93 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.49 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.53 Natural Gas 13.41 17.00 17.23 18.12 14.11 17.52 18.91 15.84 13.81 13.71 13.03 17.76 16.72 16.45 Nuclear 120.89121.90117.34118.16118.16118.16118.36118.36118.36118.55118.55118.55118.55119.59 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.47 0.38 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 Renewable Sources 10/ 3.53 4.72 10.84 12.76 13.78 13.83 14.26 16.85 23.9922.83 27.59 31.35 40.11 42.89 Total Generation 311.58320.77325.01329.83336.05345.92354.91356.24356.39355.29360.45366.97367.30368.61 Sales to Customers 310.25319.37323.02327.83334.05343.91352.90354.26354.41353.30358.46364.98365.31366.61 Generation for Own Use 1.33 1.40 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.01 2.01 1.98 1.98 1.98 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.00 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 4.06 3.98 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 Petroleum 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.26 4.05 4.11 3.99 3.89 3.89 3.86 3.84 3.79 3.79 3.79 Natural Gas 0.89 0.97 0.99 1.04 1.67 1.71 1.73 1.76 1.80 1.83 1.88 1.92 1.98 2.04 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 Renewable Sources 10/ 1.22 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.20 1.22 1.52 1.64 1.70 2.19 1.39 1.42 1.44 1.46 Other 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Total 6.59 6.56 6.63 6.68 11.10 11.22 11.42 11.46 11.57 12.05 11.29 11.31 11.39 11.48

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Sales to Utilities 0.73 0.76 0.74 0.75 0.80 0.81 0.91 0.95 0.97 1.12 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.91 Generation for Own Use 5.86 5.80 5.89 5.94 10.30 10.41 10.51 10.52 10.60 10.93 10.41 10.42 10.49 10.56

Total Electricity Generation 318.17327.33331.65336.51347.15357.14366.33367.70367.96367.34371.74378.28378.69380.09

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 9.1 9.8 9.7 9.8 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.8 10.0 10.0 10.1 10.2 Commercial 7.9 7.9 8.6 8.6 7.9 7.9 7.7 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 Industrial 5.1 5.7 6.5 6.4 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.7 Transportation 7.3 7.5 8.7 8.7 7.7 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.1 7.0 6.9 All Sectors Average 7.3 7.8 8.2 8.3 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.1

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 4.6 5.0 5.6 5.6 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 Transmission 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Distribution 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 1.84 1.87 1.91 1.91 2.00 2.06 2.13 2.14 2.09 2.09 2.11 2.08 2.01 1.98 Natural Gas 0.12 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.15 0.16 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.14 0.14 Oil 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 1.97 2.04 2.06 2.08 2.14 2.22 2.30 2.29 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.24 2.15 2.13

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.36 1.49 1.64 1.57 1.55 1.58 1.62 1.64 1.66 1.73 1.72 1.71 1.72 1.72 Natural Gas 6.71 6.79 8.95 5.85 6.09 5.93 5.98 5.89 5.90 5.98 6.05 6.18 6.35 6.50 Distillate Fuel Oil 14.36 15.34 19.70 15.01 15.22 16.48 18.04 18.59 19.45 20.1020.3020.3420.3820.55 Residual Fuel Oil 27.19 30.33 64.1624.1843.19 51.2460.53 65.41 70.59 74.12 75.3476.25 77.1078.07 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.84 2.08 1.99 1.97 2.10 1.94 1.95

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 57.83 58.11 58.04 58.35 60.51 62.6464.65 64.65 62.86 62.99 63.2063.15 60.78 60.06 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 212.06213.09212.81213.96221.86229.68237.05237.04230.50230.98231.74231.54222.87220.21 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.95 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.75 0.82 0.75 0.53 0.51 0.49 0.46 0.45 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 Mercury (tons) 5.00 5.02 5.04 5.14 5.31 5.19 5.24 5.19 5.04 1.73 1.79 1.80 1.70 1.68

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

municipal waste. 10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.

### Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 31.88 0.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-21.0% 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.60 6.79 6.95 7.15 7.36 7.78 1.1% 14.68 14.70 15.09 15.56 16.41 16.89 17.27 17.67 18.08 18.47 19.21 0.6% 14.73 14.73 14.73 14.73 14.73 14.73 14.73 14.73 14.73 14.73 13.35 -0.4% 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 5.68 7.10 7.98 8.79 9.26 9.88 10.11 10.28 10.48 10.57 11.11 6.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 74.02 75.45 76.71 78.0079.32 80.42 81.22 81.95 82.76 83.46 83.77 0.8%

3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 - - 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.36 0.55 0.77 1.18 - - 0.00 0.02 0.41 0.88 1.73 2.21 2.59 2.99 3.40 3.79 4.53 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.49 2.90 3.78 4.59 5.06 5.68 5.91 6.08 6.28 6.37 6.91 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.49 2.92 4.18 5.47 6.79 7.89 8.69 9.42 10.23 10.93 12.62 - - 7.17 8.61 9.87 11.16 12.48 13.58 14.38 15.11 15.92 16.62 18.31 - -

0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 - - 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.38 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

### Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other Industrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports Gross International Exports Gross Interregional Electricity Imports Gross Interregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 3.57 4.95 - -

0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.1% 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.65 6.2% 0.40 0.41 0.43 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.56 0.59 0.63 4.3% 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.2% 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.30 0.36 0.57 0.72 5.9% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0% 2.08 2.10 2.12 2.14 2.16 2.19 2.21 2.26 2.35 2.59 2.79 3.1%

85.82 86.08 86.68 87.32 88.18 88.63 89.3690.1091.03 91.5092.17 0.2% 111.46113.03114.50115.92117.30118.60119.91121.27122.70124.21125.66 1.2% 89.42 89.57 89.82 90.37 91.02 91.4091.97 92.62 93.36 94.32 95.15 0.5% 0.44 0.46 0.49 0.52 0.55 0.58 0.61 0.63 0.66 0.69 0.72 4.4% 287.14289.14291.49294.13297.04299.21301.84304.63307.76310.72313.71 0.7%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.94 0.79 0.63 0.47 0.31 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 63.58 62.25 62.15 61.50 59.11 61.38 61.72 59.58 60.0460.09 60.29 2.4% 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.99 1.01 1.03 1.07 1.21 1.70 2.04 4.4% 364.77365.70368.22370.49371.31376.01379.27380.03383.65386.33389.35 0.9% 303.06305.17307.65310.43313.51315.80318.58321.52324.82327.95331.10 0.5%

187.27187.04186.52185.62185.36185.58185.72186.38187.23188.14192.99 0.4% 0.53 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.53 0.53 0.56 0.57 -2.1% 14.31 11.16 11.19 11.17 10.13 12.59 14.33 13.52 15.19 16.77 19.90 0.7% 119.59119.59119.59119.59119.59119.59119.59119.59119.59119.59112.52 -0.3% 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 -1.5% 44.8049.11 52.13 55.33 57.44 59.48 60.85 61.73 62.83 62.99 65.08 12.1% 366.78367.70370.22372.49373.31378.02381.27382.03385.65388.33391.33 0.9% 364.77365.70368.22370.49371.31376.01379.27380.03383.65386.33389.35 0.9% 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.98 1.5% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02 0.0% 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.83 4.06 4.18 4.28 3.96 4.01 4.28 3.92 12.4% 2.13 2.24 2.35 2.47 2.62 2.78 2.95 3.10 3.32 3.58 3.83 6.1% 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 1.0% 1.47 1.48 1.50 1.52 1.55 1.57 1.60 1.71 2.12 3.65 4.71 6.2% 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 -0.9% 11.57 11.69 11.82 12.00 12.41 12.71 13.00 12.95 13.62 15.70 16.65 4.1%

### Sales to Utilities

Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.99 1.01 1.03 1.07 1.21 1.70 2.04 4.4% 10.64 10.75 10.87 11.03 11.42 11.70 11.98 11.88 12.41 14.00 14.60 4.1%

378.35379.39382.04384.49385.72390.72394.28394.97399.28404.03407.98 1.0%

10.2 10.3 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.9 0.5% 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 0.8% 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.5 0.6% 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.4 8.6 8.7 9.0 0.8% 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.8 9.0 0.6%

5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.8 6.0 0.8% 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 2.4% 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 -0.2%

1.96 1.96 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.95 1.95 1.96 1.97 2.03 0.4% 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.1% 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -3.0% 2.09 2.07 2.06 2.05 2.04 2.06 2.07 2.07 2.10 2.12 2.20 0.3%

1.72 1.72 1.73 1.74 1.75 1.77 1.79 1.80 1.82 1.85 1.87 1.0% 6.45 6.30 6.36 6.43 6.77 7.05 7.34 7.60 7.83 7.96 8.11 0.8% 20.5920.6620.85 20.7420.9921.28 21.5021.7922.3222.6723.08 1.8% 77.63 77.93 79.57 78.55 79.60 80.92 82.10 84.27 86.36 87.6090.27 4.9% 1.97 1.98 1.97 1.80 1.83 1.84 1.87 1.90 1.89 1.89 1.85 -0.1%

59.24 58.83 58.71 58.43 58.26 58.65 58.90 59.08 59.5460.07 62.13 0.3% 217.21215.72215.28214.23213.64215.05215.96216.62218.31220.27227.80 0.3% 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.41 0.42 0.41 0.41 -3.1% 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 -1.7% 1.67 1.63 1.64 1.66 1.66 1.68 1.67 1.65 1.70 1.67 1.69 -4.6%

### municipal waste.

10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

### Table 74. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Mid-Atlantic Area Council

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 21.5921.5921.5921.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 Combined Cycle 13.27 13.27 13.27 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 13.69 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 10.54 10.54 10.54 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.64 10.68 11.12 11.12 11.37 11.70 Nuclear Power 13.27 13.27 13.27 13.27 13.56 13.70 13.70 13.70 13.70 13.70 13.70 13.70 13.93 13.93 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 2.15 2.28 2.51 2.76 2.89 2.89 4.02 4.02 4.22 4.22 4.38 5.20 5.55 6.00 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 69.91 70.05 70.28 71.0071.42 71.57 72.7072.7072.9072.9473.55 74.3675.19 75.96

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.48 0.48 0.73 1.06 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.38 0.38 1.51 1.51 1.71 1.71 1.87 2.69 3.04 3.49 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.38 0.38 1.51 1.51 1.71 1.75 2.36 3.17 3.77 4.54 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 0.23 1.00 1.13 1.13 2.26 2.26 2.46 2.50 3.11 3.92 4.53 5.30

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Petroleum 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 Natural Gas 0.35 0.35 0.39 0.43 0.57 0.61 0.65 0.69 0.74 0.80 0.86 0.92 0.98 1.05 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.31 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.27 0.33 0.41 0.50 0.61 0.90 1.20 1.22 1.23 1.25 Other 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 1.14 0.97 1.02 1.10 1.68 1.77 1.95 2.09 2.24 2.58 2.95 3.03 3.11 3.20

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 94.8498.96102.05101.56102.68102.88103.10101.59101.55101.58102.08102.83104.00105.19 Commercial/Other 111.82116.39121.02122.40125.42127.10128.45129.84131.51133.13134.94136.81138.59140.24 Industrial 56.52 56.14 58.73 56.25 54.91 55.72 57.26 57.97 57.75 57.51 57.61 57.86 57.90 57.57 Transportation 1.77 1.80 1.90 1.95 1.94 1.97 2.01 2.05 2.10 2.14 2.19 2.23 2.28 2.34 Total Sales 264.96273.29283.70282.17284.95287.67290.82291.45292.91294.37296.82299.74302.77305.34

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross International Exports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 29.15 31.03 45.11 45.81 48.6747.05 43.47 39.85 41.7644.5443.79 38.95 36.9034.07 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 17.24 15.90 19.05 20.3424.31 24.61 24.2923.6924.7826.81 25.8925.3626.21 25.16 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 1.47 1.46 1.29 1.35 1.40 1.47 1.63 1.71 1.78 1.80 1.87 1.92 1.95 2.02 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 282.66292.09276.82276.89279.79283.78289.48292.30292.19292.18294.54301.89307.96312.40 Total Net Energy for Load 296.04308.67304.16303.72305.55307.69310.29310.18310.95311.70314.31317.39320.61323.33

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 134.27135.46133.24131.66127.68127.55126.84125.56124.45128.74127.44127.75127.91128.88 Petroleum 2.29 2.95 4.42 4.44 4.47 4.48 4.49 4.51 4.51 4.60 4.66 4.66 4.67 4.68 Natural Gas 29.78 38.4825.4225.2220.5221.6922.6423.7721.75 19.56 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.16 Nuclear 109.56109.20106.69107.41109.73110.89110.89110.89110.89110.89110.89110.89112.77112.77 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 0.97 1.03 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 Renewable Sources 10/ 7.77 6.95 8.72 9.82 19.0620.8626.31 29.26 32.28 30.09 34.11 41.1645.1848.61 Total Generation 284.64294.08279.32279.39282.30286.30292.00294.82294.71294.71297.07304.42310.50314.94 Sales to Customers 282.66292.09276.82276.89279.79283.78289.48292.30292.19292.18294.54301.89307.96312.40 Generation for Own Use 1.98 1.99 2.50 2.49 2.51 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.52 2.53 2.53 2.53 2.54 2.54 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 1.10 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 Petroleum 0.32 0.29 0.36 0.36 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 Natural Gas 1.58 1.63 1.91 2.20 2.75 3.03 3.28 3.60 3.94 4.33 4.79 5.21 5.63 6.14 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.77 0.80 1.11 1.11 1.41 1.43 1.31 1.36 1.35 1.25 1.25 1.23 1.18 1.18 Renewable Sources 10/ 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.99 1.09 1.19 1.33 1.49 1.66 2.12 2.61 2.65 2.69 2.74 Other 0.12 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 4.88 4.82 5.34 5.68 6.56 6.95 7.72 8.24 8.75 9.48 10.44 10.88 11.29 11.85

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Sales to Utilities 1.47 1.46 1.29 1.35 1.40 1.47 1.63 1.71 1.78 1.80 1.87 1.92 1.95 2.02 Generation for Own Use 3.40 3.36 4.05 4.33 5.16 5.48 6.09 6.53 6.97 7.69 8.57 8.96 9.34 9.82

Total Electricity Generation 289.52298.89284.65285.06288.86293.25299.72303.06303.46304.19307.50315.30321.80326.79

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 11.7 12.6 13.3 12.7 11.6 12.0 12.2 12.3 12.5 12.7 12.8 12.8 12.8 12.8 Commercial 11.3 11.8 12.0 11.3 10.2 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.8 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.2 11.3 Industrial 8.7 9.0 9.3 8.7 7.4 7.6 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.0 7.9 7.9 8.0 Transportation 10.1 10.5 12.1 11.6 10.2 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.6 10.6 All Sectors Average 10.9 11.5 11.9 11.3 10.2 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.8 11.0 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.2

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 7.8 8.5 8.9 8.2 7.1 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.9 Transmission 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Distribution 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 1.38 1.39 1.31 1.30 1.26 1.27 1.26 1.25 1.24 1.29 1.27 1.28 1.28 1.29 Natural Gas 0.26 0.34 0.23 0.23 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 Oil 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Total 1.67 1.76 1.60 1.58 1.51 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.50 1.52 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.52

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 2.03 2.07 2.21 2.20 2.14 2.16 2.17 2.17 2.19 2.16 2.13 2.11 2.11 2.10 Natural Gas 7.85 7.74 9.84 6.65 6.94 6.89 7.00 6.91 6.89 6.95 7.06 7.19 7.33 7.44 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.14 14.04 18.54 14.20 15.16 16.43 18.03 18.54 19.41 20.08 20.2720.31 20.35 20.52 Residual Fuel Oil 7.96 7.99 12.93 7.58 10.84 12.13 13.75 14.45 15.30 15.88 16.07 16.16 16.28 16.43 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.94 2.01 1.95 2.15 2.35 2.04 2.29 2.25 2.31 2.36

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 41.8043.1042.3841.9240.3040.5240.5440.31 39.83 40.81 40.41 40.51 40.61 40.89 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 153.28158.05155.41153.71147.76148.57148.64147.79146.04149.65148.18148.54148.90149.91 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 1.16 1.06 1.06 1.17 0.90 0.48 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.27 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 Mercury (tons) 5.29 5.61 5.53 5.29 4.68 4.02 3.47 3.30 3.38 1.31 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.25

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

municipal waste. 10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.

### Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 21.55 22.21 22.61 23.00 0.3% 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.63 0.0% 14.06 14.62 15.11 15.76 15.76 15.76 16.01 16.01 16.01 16.01 16.01 0.8% 11.75 11.80 11.80 11.80 12.46 12.89 13.15 13.57 13.57 13.57 13.57 1.1% 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.93 13.31 13.31 0.0% 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 6.24 6.31 6.56 6.63 6.68 6.90 7.05 7.39 7.53 8.51 8.88 6.1% 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.15 - - 76.6477.33 78.09 78.8279.56 80.21 80.89 81.66 82.47 83.25 84.02 0.8%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 - - 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66 1.06 1.45 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.36 0.92 1.42 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.32 - - 1.11 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.82 2.25 2.51 2.93 2.93 2.93 2.93 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 3.73 3.80 4.05 4.12 4.17 4.39 4.54 4.88 5.02 6.00 6.37 - - 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.15 - - 5.22 5.91 6.67 7.40 8.14 8.79 9.47 10.24 11.05 12.45 13.22 - - 5.97 6.67 7.42 8.16 8.89 9.55 10.23 10.99 11.81 13.21 13.97 - -

0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.62 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

### Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other Industrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports Gross International Exports Gross Interregional Electricity Imports Gross Interregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.66 0.66 - -

0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 1.1% 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 2.8% 1.13 1.22 1.31 1.41 1.52 1.64 1.77 1.92 2.08 2.24 2.42 8.7% 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 5.1% 1.27 1.30 1.33 1.35 1.38 1.41 1.45 1.51 1.58 1.67 1.78 11.3% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 3.30 3.41 3.53 3.65 3.79 3.95 4.12 4.32 4.55 4.80 5.09 7.5%

106.01106.68107.80108.92110.25111.04112.17113.28114.61115.37116.37 0.7% 141.79143.43144.94146.32147.52148.57149.61150.73151.89153.15154.38 1.2% 56.88 56.64 56.73 56.92 57.23 57.47 57.92 58.35 58.84 59.45 60.12 0.3% 2.39 2.44 2.50 2.57 2.63 2.70 2.76 2.82 2.88 2.94 3.00 2.2% 307.08309.20311.96314.73317.63319.78322.46325.18328.22330.91333.87 0.9%

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 32.85 29.8426.1927.21 27.6927.2825.35 24.4221.87 17.44 19.27 -2.0% 25.61 24.5222.91 23.75 21.6220.77 18.35 17.31 19.81 22.08 23.25 1.7% 2.07 2.16 2.28 2.38 2.47 2.57 2.68 2.80 2.94 3.07 3.25 3.6% 315.86319.92324.79327.43327.79329.53331.76334.43342.55351.97354.26 0.8% 325.17327.41330.34333.27336.34338.61341.45344.33347.55350.40353.54 0.6%

129.83129.98130.42130.54130.49131.65132.33134.25139.57149.13154.26 0.6% 4.68 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.67 4.66 4.66 4.66 4.66 4.66 4.66 2.0% 19.7022.8725.6027.5627.53 27.6828.81 29.02 31.2432.18 32.28 -0.8% 112.77112.77112.77112.77112.77112.77112.77112.77112.77111.09107.74 -0.1% 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 -0.9% 50.58 51.34 53.03 53.60 54.04 54.48 54.91 55.43 56.03 56.62 57.02 9.6% 318.40322.47327.33329.98330.34332.08334.31336.97345.10354.51356.80 0.8% 315.86319.92324.79327.43327.79329.53331.76334.43342.55351.97354.26 0.8% 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.54 2.54 1.1% 0.06 0.12 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 - -

1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.7% 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 -0.1% 6.69 7.32 8.00 8.76 9.56 10.45 11.42 12.46 13.62 14.81 16.13 10.5% 1.11 1.11 1.10 1.14 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13 1.14 1.09 1.13 1.6% 2.78 2.85 2.93 2.98 3.04 3.10 3.18 3.29 3.42 3.58 3.77 6.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-15.5% 12.37 13.07 13.83 14.67 15.54 16.50 17.53 18.67 19.9721.28 22.82 7.0%

### Sales to Utilities

Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 2.07 2.16 2.28 2.38 2.47 2.57 2.68 2.80 2.94 3.07 3.25 3.6% 10.30 10.91 11.55 12.30 13.07 13.93 14.85 15.87 17.03 18.21 19.57 8.0%

330.83335.66341.35344.84346.08348.78352.05355.86365.29376.02379.86 1.0%

12.8 12.8 12.9 13.2 13.4 13.8 13.9 14.1 14.3 14.2 14.4 0.6% 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.5 11.8 12.2 12.4 12.6 12.8 12.7 13.0 0.4% 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.5 8.9 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.5 0.3% 10.5 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.9 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.4 11.6 0.4% 11.2 11.2 11.3 11.5 11.8 12.2 12.3 12.5 12.7 12.6 12.8 0.5%

7.8 7.8 7.9 8.1 8.4 8.8 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.2 9.4 0.5% 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.4% 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 0.3%

1.30 1.30 1.30 1.31 1.31 1.32 1.32 1.34 1.38 1.47 1.52 0.4% 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 -0.9% 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2.2% 1.54 1.56 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.63 1.65 1.71 1.80 1.85 0.2%

2.10 2.10 2.11 2.11 2.13 2.13 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.17 2.18 0.2% 7.40 7.26 7.32 7.38 7.76 8.10 8.27 8.56 8.73 8.96 9.18 0.7% 20.5620.6420.8220.71 20.9721.2621.4921.7822.31 22.6723.09 2.2% 16.35 16.53 16.68 16.49 16.62 16.79 16.95 17.28 17.54 17.77 18.01 3.6% 2.48 2.57 2.75 2.73 2.74 2.75 2.75 2.74 2.71 2.62 2.61 1.4%

41.23 41.6842.13 42.3742.3442.6943.01 43.6045.0047.63 48.87 0.5% 151.19152.84154.48155.35155.26156.55157.69159.88165.02174.66179.19 0.5% 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.25 0.26 -5.9% 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 -2.1% 1.25 1.28 1.31 1.28 1.27 1.19 1.22 1.24 1.27 1.25 1.29 -6.2%

### municipal waste.

10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

### Table 73. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - Electric Reliability Council of Texas

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 15.27 15.27 15.27 16.67 18.24 18.24 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 27.51 26.7026.31 26.31 26.31 26.31 26.31 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 Combined Cycle 24.71 25.2425.65 26.2026.2026.2026.2026.2026.2026.2026.2026.2026.2026.20 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 4.56 4.50 4.50 8.41 9.23 10.58 10.58 11.39 11.94 12.40 12.72 12.72 12.72 12.72 Nuclear Power 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.96 4.96 4.96 4.96 4.96 4.96 5.22 5.22 5.22 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 3.36 4.93 8.21 8.64 8.64 8.64 8.64 8.64 8.64 8.65 8.65 8.65 8.65 8.65 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 80.26 81.49 84.79 91.08 93.47 94.92 95.82 86.40 86.95 87.42 87.73 87.99 87.99 87.99

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.40 2.97 2.97 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 3.28 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.72 3.72 3.72 3.72 3.72 3.72 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 3.69 6.44 8.01 8.01 8.91 8.91 8.91 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92 8.92

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.54 4.36 5.71 5.71 6.53 7.07 7.54 7.85 7.85 7.85 7.85 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.54 4.36 5.71 5.71 6.53 7.07 7.54 7.85 7.85 7.85 7.85 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 3.69 9.98 12.37 13.72 14.62 15.44 15.99 16.45 16.77 16.77 16.77 16.78

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.34 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 Petroleum 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 Natural Gas 4.57 4.46 4.48 4.50 4.05 4.07 4.10 4.11 4.13 4.15 4.16 4.17 4.17 4.18 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.65 0.66 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.15 0.15 0.25 0.37 0.64 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.92 Other 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 Total 4.92 4.81 4.86 4.91 5.17 5.27 5.28 5.40 5.84 5.96 6.25 6.26 6.27 6.29

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 114.58110.13116.45116.35118.33119.22120.56120.04120.97121.78122.99124.44126.30128.12 Commercial/Other 93.29 92.58 97.85 99.09 99.74101.54103.17104.62106.46108.38110.49112.45114.21115.86 Industrial 83.54 81.01 82.05 79.65 79.87 80.46 83.26 83.82 83.35 83.11 83.06 83.00 82.73 82.24 Transportation 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.19 Total Sales 291.49283.79296.43295.17298.01301.30307.09308.58310.89313.40316.68320.05323.40326.40

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports 0.10 0.10 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.13 1.01 0.90 Gross International Exports 0.57 0.37 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 4.66 5.01 5.24 5.24 5.24 5.47 5.24 5.44 5.44 5.44 5.44 5.33 4.80 4.43 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 1.09 1.09 1.07 1.07 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 5.39 5.49 6.04 6.08 6.40 6.47 6.50 6.52 7.26 6.93 6.95 6.96 6.98 7.00 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers 290.10295.25304.80304.56305.13307.61313.23313.84314.80317.02320.46324.22328.37332.00 Total Net Energy for Load 298.59304.38315.69315.48317.42320.20325.62326.46328.15330.04333.50337.05340.58343.73

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 113.36116.49109.80107.33112.69114.95116.12116.26116.50116.75116.92117.11121.22122.77 Petroleum 1.54 1.12 0.42 0.39 0.38 0.39 0.36 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.48 Natural Gas 132.46133.51145.15142.07136.92136.26140.74141.07141.78143.77146.98148.46148.48150.54 Nuclear 41.2641.02 38.61 38.87 38.87 39.7039.7039.7039.7039.7039.7041.7441.7441.74 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 1.80 1.76 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Renewable Sources 10/ 6.76 8.55 16.2221.3021.68 21.71 21.7221.8221.83 21.83 21.81 21.85 21.85 21.86 Total Generation 297.18302.44310.27310.02310.60313.07318.69319.31320.26322.49325.93329.69333.84337.46 Sales to Customers 290.10295.25304.80304.56305.13307.61313.23313.84314.80317.02320.46324.22328.37332.00 Generation for Own Use 7.09 7.19 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.28 0.03 0.19 0.19 0.19 2.51 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 Petroleum 0.07 0.11 0.32 0.32 1.56 1.47 1.56 1.56 1.54 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 Natural Gas 22.61 22.8826.2026.3724.08 24.2224.4224.51 24.6724.7624.85 24.9424.9825.04 Other Gaseous Fuels 1.82 1.93 2.39 2.39 5.78 5.73 5.64 5.64 5.57 5.56 5.56 5.55 5.59 5.63 Renewable Sources 10/ 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.17 0.25 0.35 0.36 0.54 0.73 1.19 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 Other 0.70 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 Total 25.33 25.76 30.03 30.25 32.43 32.68 32.89 33.16 35.73 35.16 35.73 35.8035.89 35.98

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Sales to Utilities 5.39 5.49 6.04 6.08 6.40 6.47 6.50 6.52 7.26 6.93 6.95 6.96 6.98 7.00 Generation for Own Use 19.9420.2723.9924.1726.03 26.2026.3926.6428.4728.23 28.7828.8428.91 28.98

Total Electricity Generation 322.51328.21340.30340.27343.03345.75351.58352.47355.99357.65361.65365.49369.72373.44

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 13.6 12.8 13.2 13.0 12.0 12.3 12.4 12.7 12.7 12.9 12.9 13.1 13.3 13.6 Commercial 10.3 10.1 10.1 9.9 8.7 8.7 8.7 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.6 9.9 Industrial 8.3 8.2 8.7 8.4 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.7 8.0 Transportation 8.9 9.4 10.3 10.3 9.2 9.4 9.2 9.6 9.9 10.2 10.5 10.9 11.2 11.6 All Sectors Average 11.0 10.6 10.9 10.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.9 9.9 10.1 10.1 10.3 10.6 10.9

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 7.7 7.3 7.7 7.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.5 Transmission 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Distribution 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 1.23 1.29 1.16 1.14 1.19 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.24 1.24 1.29 1.31 Natural Gas 1.20 1.24 1.27 1.25 1.20 1.18 1.20 1.20 1.21 1.22 1.25 1.26 1.26 1.27 Oil 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Total 2.44 2.54 2.44 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.43 2.43 2.44 2.46 2.49 2.50 2.55 2.58

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.37 1.62 1.72 1.62 1.61 1.66 1.70 1.72 1.75 1.80 1.81 1.81 1.82 1.83 Natural Gas 6.65 6.65 8.77 5.95 6.16 6.08 6.23 6.22 6.26 6.37 6.45 6.57 6.77 6.95 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.37 14.29 18.45 14.16 15.07 16.27 17.90 18.37 19.24 19.8920.0820.1220.1720.33 Residual Fuel Oil 8.07 8.07 13.13 7.6921.2622.55 24.0424.6725.3725.75 25.7225.6725.6225.62 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.75 1.72 1.69 1.66 1.63 1.63 1.63

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 55.85 55.06 54.68 53.51 54.31 54.63 55.30 55.38 55.59 55.95 56.45 56.70 58.09 58.88 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 204.79201.87200.48196.19199.13200.32202.76203.07203.82205.16206.97207.89212.99215.89 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 Mercury (tons) 3.47 3.44 3.40 3.30 3.34 3.47 3.35 3.56 3.51 3.42 3.20 3.11 3.21 3.15

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

municipal waste. 10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.

### Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.14 19.26 19.85 20.5021.1021.72 1.5% 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 16.07 -2.2% 26.2026.2026.2026.2026.2026.2726.8026.8626.8626.8626.86 0.3% 12.72 13.10 13.97 14.86 15.78 16.51 16.68 16.83 16.98 17.16 17.32 6.0% 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 5.22 0.3% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 8.65 8.66 8.66 8.66 8.66 8.66 8.67 8.67 8.67 8.67 8.67 2.5% 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 - - 88.00 88.38 89.26 90.17 91.11 91.91 92.73 93.55 94.37 95.16 95.96 0.7%

3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 - - 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.74 3.74 3.74 3.74 3.74 3.75 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 8.92 8.93 8.93 8.93 8.93 8.93 8.94 8.94 8.94 8.94 8.94 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.71 1.36 1.97 2.58 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.60 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 - - 7.85 8.23 9.10 9.99 10.92 11.64 11.81 11.96 12.12 12.29 12.46 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 - - 7.85 8.23 9.11 10.02 10.96 11.76 12.58 13.39 14.21 15.00 15.80 - - 16.78 17.16 18.04 18.95 19.8920.6921.5222.33 23.15 23.95 24.74 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

### Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other Industrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports Gross International Exports Gross Interregional Electricity Imports Gross Interregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 10.63 - -

0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 7.0% 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.26 6.9% 4.20 4.22 4.23 4.24 4.26 4.28 4.29 4.32 4.34 4.37 4.40 -0.1% 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 6.5% 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.96 1.00 1.0723.9% 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.0% 6.30 6.32 6.34 6.36 6.38 6.40 6.43 6.40 6.42 6.49 6.62 1.4%

129.51130.72132.41134.16136.17137.55139.24140.89142.73143.89145.36 1.2% 117.45119.16120.89122.61124.23125.75127.24128.80130.42132.17133.96 1.6% 81.44 81.19 81.22 81.39 81.68 81.76 81.90 82.91 83.30 83.68 84.20 0.2% 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.30 0.33 0.36 0.39 0.43 0.46 0.50 0.53 9.0% 328.61331.31334.79338.46342.41345.42348.77353.03356.90360.24364.05 1.1%

0.78 0.67 0.56 0.44 0.33 0.21 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.1% 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 1.9% 4.20 3.99 4.46 3.66 2.68 1.39 1.74 0.87 1.69 1.74 1.74 -4.5% 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02-15.7% 7.03 7.05 7.07 7.09 7.12 7.14 7.17 7.07 7.08 7.10 7.14 1.2% 334.64337.78341.07345.83351.05355.60358.88364.32367.57371.01374.97 1.0% 346.06348.90352.56356.43360.59363.76367.29371.77375.85379.36383.36 1.0%

123.19121.63125.03127.09130.82135.44139.12143.47148.29152.77157.32 1.3% 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.60 0.62 -2.5% 152.84157.45157.41160.11161.59161.50161.08162.14160.55159.48158.86 0.8% 41.7441.7441.7441.7441.7441.7441.7441.7441.7441.7441.74 0.1% 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06-13.8% 21.78 21.8721.8021.8021.8021.81 21.81 21.8221.8221.83 21.83 4.2% 340.10343.25346.54351.29356.52361.06364.34369.78373.03376.47380.44 1.0% 334.64337.78341.07345.83351.05355.60358.88364.32367.57371.01374.97 1.0% 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 5.47 -1.2% 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 - -

1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 0.98 0.90 0.88 0.88 - - 1.54 1.56 1.56 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.86 13.0% 25.1625.31 25.43 25.53 25.65 25.7825.8926.0726.2626.4426.69 0.7% 5.61 5.57 5.56 5.59 5.59 5.60 5.63 5.61 5.60 5.61 5.61 4.7% 1.67 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.72 1.73 1.75 1.83 1.96 13.0% 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.0% 36.06 36.2036.32 36.45 36.59 36.73 36.89 36.67 36.79 37.05 37.71 1.7%

### Sales to Utilities

Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 7.03 7.05 7.07 7.09 7.12 7.14 7.17 7.07 7.08 7.10 7.14 1.2% 29.0429.1629.25 29.3629.4729.5929.7229.6029.71 29.9430.57 1.8%

376.17379.45382.87387.76393.13397.82401.25406.48409.85413.55418.19 1.1%

13.9 13.9 14.0 14.1 14.2 14.5 14.8 15.0 15.3 15.4 15.5 0.8% 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.9 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.8 11.9 0.7% 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.8 9.0 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.8 0.8% 11.9 12.0 12.2 12.4 12.6 13.0 13.3 13.6 13.9 14.1 14.3 1.8% 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.8 12.1 12.4 12.6 12.7 12.8 0.8%

7.7 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.4 8.7 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.5 1.1% 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0% 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 -0.3%

1.31 1.29 1.33 1.36 1.40 1.46 1.50 1.54 1.58 1.62 1.66 1.1% 1.29 1.33 1.33 1.35 1.36 1.36 1.35 1.36 1.35 1.34 1.34 0.3% 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -3.0% 2.61 2.62 2.66 2.71 2.77 2.82 2.86 2.90 2.93 2.96 3.00 0.7%

1.83 1.83 1.85 1.86 1.88 1.91 1.92 1.93 1.95 1.98 2.00 0.9% 6.91 6.84 6.94 6.96 7.29 7.58 7.87 8.10 8.31 8.40 8.55 1.1% 20.3720.45 20.63 20.5220.78 21.0621.28 21.5822.1022.45 22.88 2.1% 25.5425.6225.6925.6725.7625.8725.98 26.25 26.5026.7226.97 5.4% 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 -0.7%

59.32 59.39 60.5461.63 63.15 64.77 65.81 67.07 68.12 69.13 70.25 1.1% 217.52217.76221.98225.99231.55237.50241.30245.92249.77253.47257.59 1.1% 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.11 -3.6% 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 -0.4% 3.25 3.00 3.16 3.16 3.17 3.34 3.41 3.18 3.21 3.41 3.23 -0.3%

### municipal waste.

10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

### Table 72. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - East Central Area Reliability Coordination Agreement

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 83.80 84.38 83.75 84.03 84.69 85.26 86.48 86.48 86.48 86.48 86.48 86.48 86.45 86.45 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 3.51 3.46 3.46 3.46 3.46 3.42 3.42 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 Combined Cycle 11.45 11.45 12.13 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 12.67 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 21.01 21.0221.0221.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 21.05 Nuclear Power 7.75 7.75 7.77 7.83 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 1.52 1.52 2.11 2.11 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 132.70133.24133.89134.80135.57136.10137.32136.50136.50136.50136.50136.50136.48136.48

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 1.01 1.70 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.68 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 1.27 2.11 2.85 3.54 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 1.27 2.11 2.89 3.59 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.63 0.71 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.86 0.86 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.63 0.71 0.87 0.87 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.71 1.71

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 Petroleum 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 Natural Gas 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 Other Gaseous Fuels 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.37 0.39 0.42 0.47 0.53 0.58 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 Other 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.11 2.46 2.48 2.53 2.59 2.64 2.76 2.77 2.78 2.80 2.82

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 174.78184.91180.06179.60182.54182.85183.58181.28181.53182.14183.44184.29185.88187.55 Commercial/Other 151.76159.81161.62157.89164.03166.46168.77171.19174.17177.17180.23183.20186.11188.87 Industrial 203.66204.71206.64201.68199.20202.30208.31210.53209.63209.48210.02211.37212.15211.49 Transportation 0.84 0.87 0.89 0.87 0.89 0.92 0.96 0.99 1.02 1.06 1.10 1.14 1.19 1.23 Total Sales 531.03550.30549.21540.03546.66552.54561.62564.00566.35569.85574.80580.00585.32589.14

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports 1.26 2.25 2.12 1.87 1.79 1.79 1.80 2.02 1.80 1.83 1.85 1.67 1.53 1.33 Gross International Exports 2.83 3.14 3.66 3.94 4.17 4.20 4.13 4.17 4.10 4.04 3.98 3.92 3.86 3.81 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 2.82 2.39 14.78 11.33 9.16 7.57 8.78 10.75 9.79 8.04 8.92 8.64 7.46 7.23 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 34.51 28.76 31.66 35.75 44.1945.13 46.71 51.42 51.80 52.71 54.13 53.31 51.58 51.85 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 1.10 1.04 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.85 0.91 0.93 0.95 1.04 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.91 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers593.95608.90605.42605.93621.74629.15637.62641.20643.70648.42654.27659.33664.48669.15 Total Net Energy for Load 561.80582.69587.82580.25585.17590.04598.27599.32600.34602.57607.81613.31618.93622.97

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 507.72513.91512.61508.03524.65531.40536.44540.37542.69539.50542.29545.26547.64549.73 Petroleum 5.32 4.88 1.62 1.64 1.76 1.77 1.80 1.81 1.86 1.94 1.95 1.96 1.98 2.00 Natural Gas 18.03 24.81 26.96 30.8729.23 29.81 33.18 32.22 30.31 30.7032.03 32.83 33.41 34.03 Nuclear 58.05 61.81 60.88 61.73 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ -0.90 -1.50 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 Renewable Sources 10/ 6.82 6.10 5.78 6.08 6.27 6.33 6.37 6.96 9.01 16.44 18.16 19.45 21.63 23.57 Total Generation 595.04610.01606.84607.35623.17630.58639.05642.63645.13649.85655.70660.77665.92670.59 Sales to Customers 593.95608.90605.42605.93621.74629.15637.62641.20643.70648.42654.27659.33664.48669.15 Generation for Own Use 1.09 1.11 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.44 1.44 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 3.63 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.56 Petroleum 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 1.09 1.11 1.08 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.02 Natural Gas 0.50 0.54 0.56 0.60 0.93 0.96 0.99 1.01 1.04 1.07 1.10 1.13 1.17 1.22 Other Gaseous Fuels 2.96 2.69 3.30 3.30 3.99 3.99 3.89 3.93 3.91 3.84 3.84 3.82 3.79 3.80 Renewable Sources 10/ 1.82 1.69 1.70 1.72 1.75 1.80 2.04 2.18 2.29 2.69 2.31 2.34 2.37 2.39 Other 0.85 0.81 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 Total 9.86 9.39 9.88 9.94 12.00 12.10 12.23 12.40 12.52 12.87 12.51 12.55 12.59 12.66

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Sales to Utilities 1.10 1.04 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.85 0.91 0.93 0.95 1.04 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.91 Generation for Own Use 8.75 8.34 9.07 9.12 11.16 11.25 11.32 11.46 11.57 11.83 11.62 11.66 11.68 11.75

Total Electricity Generation 604.90619.40616.73617.29635.17642.68651.28655.03657.65662.72668.21673.32678.50683.25

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 8.6 8.7 9.8 9.8 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.8 Commercial 7.7 7.7 9.6 9.6 8.8 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 Industrial 5.1 5.2 7.0 7.0 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.2 Transportation 8.2 8.1 9.0 9.0 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.4 All Sectors Average 7.0 7.1 8.7 8.7 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 4.8 4.9 6.5 6.5 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 Transmission 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Distribution 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 5.18 5.26 5.06 5.02 5.19 5.26 5.31 5.35 5.37 5.35 5.38 5.42 5.44 5.46 Natural Gas 0.19 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 Oil 0.06 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total 5.43 5.56 5.32 5.31 5.46 5.53 5.60 5.64 5.65 5.63 5.67 5.71 5.74 5.77

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.75 1.78 1.93 1.91 1.90 1.93 1.95 1.95 1.97 1.96 1.93 1.92 1.91 1.90 Natural Gas 6.83 6.91 9.03 5.88 6.14 5.99 6.03 5.94 5.95 6.07 6.26 6.43 6.61 6.74 Distillate Fuel Oil 14.13 15.11 19.37 14.77 15.15 16.41 17.99 18.52 19.3920.0420.2420.2820.3220.49 Residual Fuel Oil 8.05 8.07 13.11 7.6821.53 22.83 24.3224.9625.6626.0426.01 25.9625.9025.91 Biomass 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.88 1.81 1.78 1.83 2.01 2.00 1.96 1.99 1.93 1.96

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 149.71153.34149.08148.30152.75154.79156.63157.71158.17157.54158.65159.57160.30160.98 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 548.95562.23546.63543.78560.07567.57574.32578.28579.95577.66581.73585.09587.78590.27 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 2.91 2.94 2.79 2.53 2.03 2.02 1.90 2.05 2.03 1.07 1.01 0.97 0.99 0.97 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 0.85 0.85 0.86 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Mercury (tons) 11.61 11.63 10.89 10.23 9.72 9.68 9.52 9.74 9.71 4.64 4.69 4.45 4.68 4.51

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

municipal waste. 10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.

### Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 86.45 0.1% 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 -1.2% 12.67 12.67 13.11 13.41 14.92 15.46 16.10 16.10 16.10 16.25 16.31 1.6% 21.3222.63 23.65 24.83 24.91 25.7726.5427.9629.4030.67 32.04 1.9% 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 0.1% 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.21 2.29 2.39 2.63 2.72 2.6% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 136.74138.06139.51141.00142.59143.99145.45146.95148.49150.15151.68 0.6%

2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 - - 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 - -

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.74 2.25 2.79 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.58 3.64 - - 0.27 1.58 2.61 3.79 3.87 4.72 5.49 6.91 8.35 9.62 10.99 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.18 0.28 0.52 0.62 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.32 1.63 3.09 4.57 6.16 7.56 9.02 10.52 12.06 13.73 15.25 - - 5.07 6.38 7.84 9.33 10.92 12.31 13.78 15.28 16.82 18.4820.01 - -

0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 - - 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

### Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other Industrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports Gross International Exports Gross Interregional Electricity Imports Gross Interregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 - -

0.65 0.71 0.77 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.2% 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 5.8% 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.39 4.6% 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.6% 0.74 0.76 0.77 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.87 0.94 1.11 1.25 5.7% 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.0% 2.84 2.92 3.01 3.11 3.14 3.17 3.21 3.26 3.34 3.53 3.70 2.5%

188.83189.70191.31192.95195.05196.25198.03199.84202.04203.28204.96 0.4% 191.48194.19196.72199.15201.47203.65205.82208.11210.52213.09215.62 1.3% 210.30210.34210.84211.97213.38214.16215.37216.73218.36220.42222.28 0.4% 1.28 1.33 1.39 1.47 1.53 1.59 1.66 1.73 1.79 1.86 1.92 3.5% 591.89595.57600.27605.54611.42615.65620.89626.41632.71638.65644.78 0.7%

1.11 0.98 0.77 0.62 0.53 0.37 4.18 4.15 4.18 4.18 4.07 2.6% 3.75 3.70 3.64 3.59 3.54 3.49 3.49 3.49 3.49 3.49 3.49 0.5% 6.02 6.77 5.68 6.07 4.97 6.98 5.59 5.93 4.73 6.60 9.20 6.0% 52.01 49.8747.4648.35 50.73 53.42 53.38 51.6842.88 35.83 33.17 0.6% 0.93 1.11 1.32 1.50 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.57 1.66 1.97 2.20 3.3% 673.58674.46678.06684.06693.79699.04702.09705.89704.82701.87702.99 0.6% 625.88629.75634.72640.31646.54651.01656.54662.37669.03675.31681.81 0.7%

551.79549.90548.48546.57546.01546.28546.23549.32549.77550.90552.93 0.3% 2.02 2.02 2.04 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 -3.6% 34.41 35.1037.81 43.81 51.97 56.37 59.00 59.40 57.61 53.87 52.80 3.3% 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 62.26 0.0% -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.8% 25.53 27.61 29.89 31.76 33.91 34.48 34.95 35.25 35.53 35.19 35.33 7.9% 675.02675.90679.50685.50695.23700.48703.53707.33706.26703.31704.43 0.6% 673.58674.46678.06684.06693.79699.04702.09705.89704.82701.87702.99 0.6% 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.1% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

3.56 3.95 4.45 5.04 5.04 5.04 5.04 5.04 5.04 5.04 5.04 1.5% 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.09 1.12 1.15 1.07 1.08 1.15 1.06 11.2% 1.28 1.35 1.42 1.50 1.60 1.70 1.81 1.91 2.05 2.21 2.37 6.6% 3.75 3.74 3.73 3.77 3.77 3.77 3.78 3.76 3.76 3.74 3.76 1.5% 2.44 2.52 2.59 2.62 2.66 2.69 2.74 2.85 3.17 4.20 4.95 4.8% 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 -0.8% 12.73 13.26 13.89 14.63 14.83 15.00 15.19 15.30 15.77 17.01 17.85 2.8%

### Sales to Utilities

Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 0.93 1.11 1.32 1.50 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.57 1.66 1.97 2.20 3.3% 11.79 12.14 12.58 13.13 13.32 13.48 13.65 13.73 14.11 15.04 15.65 2.8%

687.74689.16693.39700.13710.07715.48718.72722.63722.03720.32722.28 0.7%

9.9 9.8 9.9 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.9 10.9 1.0% 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.5 1.4% 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 1.6% 7.3 7.1 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.9 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.8 0.4% 8.4 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 1.3%

6.0 6.0 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.1 1.7% 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.2% 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 0.1%

5.48 5.47 5.46 5.44 5.44 5.44 5.44 5.48 5.48 5.49 5.52 0.2% 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.36 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.41 0.41 2.2% 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 -4.0% 5.79 5.78 5.79 5.82 5.86 5.89 5.91 5.95 5.94 5.93 5.94 0.3%

1.90 1.89 1.90 1.90 1.92 1.93 1.94 1.96 1.98 2.00 2.02 0.5% 6.67 6.47 6.51 6.55 6.85 7.14 7.43 7.69 7.94 8.09 8.26 0.8% 20.53 20.6020.7920.68 20.9421.23 21.45 21.7422.2722.6223.03 1.8% 25.83 25.91 25.9925.9626.0426.1626.2726.53 26.7927.01 27.25 5.4% 1.99 2.04 2.10 1.99 2.02 2.00 2.00 1.99 1.98 1.98 1.95 0.1%

161.64161.11161.13161.27161.99162.49162.73163.64163.38163.25163.75 0.3% 592.67590.73590.82591.31593.98595.78596.66600.00599.06598.60600.41 0.3% 0.98 0.98 0.94 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.92 0.90 -5.0% 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 -4.6% 4.48 4.42 4.37 4.36 4.36 4.32 4.43 4.40 4.45 4.25 4.40 -4.1%

### municipal waste.

10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

### Table 85. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region - United States

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ (gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal 309.79311.24311.21316.28320.99322.66326.13326.13326.12326.12326.62327.12327.00327.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 119.73118.77118.38118.38118.36118.27118.27101.82101.77101.77101.77101.77101.77101.77 Combined Cycle 176.52181.04185.88193.99194.81195.47196.33196.33196.33196.33196.76197.65199.13199.89 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 130.93133.28133.97139.80142.12143.15143.41139.63140.83142.02143.75145.87148.33152.68 Nuclear Power 100.22100.54100.56100.86101.22101.52101.91102.26103.79104.12104.12104.41104.74106.41 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 21.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.46 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 96.13101.46110.20114.53115.57115.66117.04117.14117.44117.58119.05120.01120.38120.87 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Capacity 954.78967.79981.661005.311014.531018.181024.551004.771007.741009.401013.531018.301022.811030.08

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.83 6.18 11.31 13.36 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 4.84 12.95 13.77 14.43 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.79 3.08 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 8.76 9.70 9.71 9.73 9.74 9.76 9.77 9.79 9.81 9.83 9.85 9.87 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Planned Additions 0.00 0.00 15.2031.89 38.01 40.73 45.2745.2846.4846.5046.5246.5446.5646.58

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 1.32 2.79 3.56 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.54 5.90 7.25 7.51 8.39 9.59 10.78 12.51 14.63 17.0921.44 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.32 Pumped Storage/Other 3/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.40 4.42 4.50 5.87 5.95 6.23 6.35 7.81 8.74 9.10 9.57 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Unplanned Additions 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.94 10.32 11.74 13.38 14.34 15.82 17.1421.2425.7029.98 36.89 Cumulative Total Additions 0.00 0.00 15.2038.83 48.33 52.47 58.64 59.62 62.3063.6467.7672.23 76.54 83.47

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal 0.00 0.00 0.86 1.14 1.56 1.94 2.14 2.14 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.26 2.26 Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.39 0.41 0.50 0.50 16.95 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.30 0.62 0.62 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 Nuclear Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Pumped Storage 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fuel Cells 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources 4/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Total 0.00 0.00 1.35 1.63 2.27 3.06 3.25 24.3624.4224.4224.4224.4224.5424.54

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 3.99 4.01 4.09 4.09 3.98 4.00 4.16 4.33 4.72 4.83 4.95 5.09 5.24 5.40 Petroleum 1.23 1.28 1.34 1.34 2.62 2.62 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.60 2.60 Natural Gas 14.08 14.04 14.44 14.73 13.79 14.05 14.33 14.56 14.83 15.09 15.36 15.60 15.83 16.09 Other Gaseous Fuels 1.76 1.46 1.46 1.46 3.86 3.82 3.76 3.76 3.71 3.71 3.70 3.70 3.73 3.75 Renewable Sources 4/ 5.99 6.15 6.33 6.77 7.45 8.11 8.92 9.96 11.05 13.57 16.26 16.57 16.97 17.47 Other 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 Total 27.8927.7928.5029.25 32.55 33.45 34.62 36.06 37.7740.6443.7244.4045.2246.17

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential 1351.591392.111388.971383.711406.001411.801421.471408.681415.081422.611435.421448.181466.431485.10 Commercial/Other 1299.741342.671354.031349.601393.161413.511432.901453.761479.111505.271532.521558.951584.391608.99 Industrial 1011.281005.831013.92985.88978.77991.851019.541029.311025.721024.661027.101031.051032.461028.60 Transportation 6.39 6.50 6.56 6.70 6.74 6.90 7.11 7.33 7.60 7.88 8.18 8.50 8.85 9.22 Total Sales 3669.013747.113763.483725.893784.673824.053881.023899.093927.503960.424003.224046.684092.134131.91

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports 42.44 51.40 59.3248.2245.91 47.0244.1845.9246.22 39.62 38.96 37.5941.1043.81 Gross International Exports 24.58 20.1423.33 21.8821.4921.5022.51 22.7422.4822.15 21.91 21.6021.4921.34 Gross Interregional Electricity Imports 271.15238.92300.31314.04322.45336.53342.22339.83344.49338.54348.35346.89334.55324.36 Gross Interregional Electricity Exports 274.17241.25303.93317.97326.61341.04346.85344.46349.26343.19353.19351.85339.41329.16 Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ 31.5431.58 31.4031.89 32.83 33.63 34.56 35.58 37.2438.28 39.3040.55 42.5645.09 Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers3874.853972.273974.673960.414008.814038.954092.134098.044115.414144.534189.484235.414277.864314.55 Total Net Energy for Load 3921.234032.774038.454014.714061.904093.594143.734152.184171.614195.634241.004286.994335.174377.32

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal 1969.782002.141999.891979.782038.122066.102081.842088.682089.912096.332100.882111.042116.022123.23 Petroleum 59.93 61.45 42.33 42.81 42.8743.53 43.71 43.8644.0644.2844.4244.51 44.63 44.79 Natural Gas 734.43813.82806.38780.95736.53722.29745.05730.08720.29728.18749.53769.38788.09796.19 Nuclear 787.22806.49799.00806.61809.46811.85815.01817.73826.91831.46832.45834.82837.50847.88 Pumped Storage/Other 9/ 4.43 3.88 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 Renewable Sources 10/ 352.07318.49360.03383.20414.85428.22439.58450.51467.09477.15495.09508.57524.56535.43 Total Generation 3907.854006.274008.243993.954042.434072.594125.804131.474148.864178.004222.974268.924311.404348.12 Sales to Customers 3874.853972.273974.673960.414008.814038.954092.134098.044115.414144.534189.484235.414277.864314.55 Generation for Own Use 33.0034.0033.57 33.5433.62 33.6433.67 33.42 33.45 33.47 33.49 33.51 33.5433.56 Distributed Generation 5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal 21.15 18.43 19.31 19.31 18.79 18.95 20.1421.4024.3625.1626.0627.0628.1729.40 Petroleum 3.76 3.58 4.54 4.54 13.43 13.26 13.35 13.19 13.13 13.17 13.15 13.07 13.07 13.06 Natural Gas 66.99 68.28 80.71 82.9477.97 79.93 81.77 83.50 85.45 87.25 89.25 91.09 92.92 94.93 Other Gaseous Fuels 8.62 8.52 11.39 11.3922.4222.3621.6621.81 21.4721.2821.2721.2721.5621.75 Renewable Sources 10/ 35.25 34.83 34.37 35.08 36.2437.75 40.1942.5745.20 50.23 55.76 57.6460.33 63.79 Other 6.81 6.71 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 Total 142.59140.35155.94158.89174.46177.87182.73188.10195.23202.72211.12215.75221.68228.55

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Sales to Utilities 31.5431.58 31.4031.89 32.83 33.63 34.56 35.58 37.2438.28 39.3040.55 42.5645.09 Generation for Own Use 111.05108.78124.54127.00141.63144.24148.17152.52158.00164.44171.81175.20179.11183.46

Total Electricity Generation 4050.444146.624164.184152.844216.894250.464308.534319.564344.094380.724434.084484.674533.084576.66

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential 10.6 10.6 11.0 11.1 10.5 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.9 10.9 11.0 11.1 Commercial 9.7 9.6 10.1 10.1 9.3 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.2 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.5 Industrial 6.3 6.4 7.1 7.0 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.5 Transportation 10.4 10.5 11.7 11.5 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.3 10.3 10.2 10.0 10.0 10.1 All Sectors Average 9.1 9.1 9.6 9.6 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.3

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation 6.0 6.0 6.7 6.7 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 Transmission 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 Distribution 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal 20.4620.8420.6620.4421.03 21.33 21.5021.5721.5821.6821.7421.85 21.9222.00 Natural Gas 6.39 7.06 7.00 6.79 6.42 6.24 6.32 6.21 6.15 6.20 6.37 6.51 6.64 6.70 Oil 0.65 0.67 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 Total 27.5028.5728.1427.7227.9428.0728.3228.2828.23 28.3928.6228.8729.0729.21

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal 1.74 1.78 1.94 1.92 1.89 1.90 1.92 1.92 1.93 1.94 1.93 1.92 1.92 1.92 Natural Gas 7.05 7.02 9.18 6.32 6.59 6.55 6.70 6.60 6.62 6.72 6.82 6.95 7.13 7.27 Distillate Fuel Oil 13.77 14.77 19.05 14.61 15.09 16.25 17.87 18.40 19.25 19.9020.0920.13 20.2220.38 Residual Fuel Oil 8.38 8.38 13.77 8.01 13.21 14.47 16.06 16.79 17.63 18.19 18.37 18.44 18.51 18.64 Biomass 1.99 2.02 2.05 2.00 1.96 1.93 1.89 1.96 2.08 1.95 2.04 2.06 2.05 2.09

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) 710.50731.35715.31705.93716.91722.73729.05729.18728.53732.56737.00742.33746.21749.47 Carbon Dioxide (million tons) 2605.182681.632622.822588.422628.662650.032673.182673.682671.292686.062702.322721.892736.092748.06 Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) 9.40 8.95 8.49 8.18 7.51 6.74 6.36 6.74 6.93 4.18 3.90 3.85 3.85 3.84 Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) 3.41 3.29 3.49 2.34 2.37 2.34 2.31 2.32 2.32 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.10 Mercury (tons) 49.0449.2848.0646.0245.1944.6843.3843.7943.8429.2429.1228.85 29.3629.09

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic

### 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

municipal waste. 10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a.

### Electricity Generating Capacity 1/

(gigawatts) Electric Power Sector Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Capacity

Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Planned Additions

Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage/Other 3/ Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ Distributed Generation 5/ Total Unplanned Additions Cumulative Total Additions

Cumulative Retirements 7/ Coal Oil and Natural Gas Steam 2/ Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine/Diesel Nuclear Power Pumped Storage Fuel Cells Renewable Sources 4/ 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030

327.00327.00327.00327.00327.00328.37331.37334.80340.26346.55352.53 0.5% 101.77101.77101.77101.77101.77101.77101.67101.57101.35100.79100.50 -0.7% 202.73207.73213.48220.09226.78229.94232.53234.19234.67236.43237.67 1.2% 155.83159.50164.55169.94175.54181.61186.70191.94195.58198.00201.02 1.8% 108.41108.41108.41108.41108.41108.41109.07110.11112.03113.09112.58 0.5% 21.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.4621.46 0.0% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 122.32123.95125.12126.78127.93129.71131.93132.95135.51137.55138.83 1.4% 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.22 0.27 - - 1039.531049.851061.841075.541089.011101.391114.871127.191141.071154.111164.86 0.8%

17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 17.02 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 15.29 - - 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 - - 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 9.89 9.92 9.94 9.96 9.98 10.00 10.03 10.05 10.07 10.09 10.11 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 46.6046.6246.6446.6746.6946.71 46.73 46.75 46.7846.8046.82 - -

1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.37 5.37 8.82 14.2820.5726.55 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 6.40 11.40 17.15 23.76 30.45 33.61 36.2037.86 38.3440.1041.34 - - 24.5928.26 33.31 38.7044.30 50.37 55.46 60.7064.3466.76 69.78 - - 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.99 5.03 6.95 9.25 11.89 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 10.99 12.60 13.75 15.38 16.51 18.2720.4721.4724.0026.03 27.28 - - 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.22 0.27 - - 46.31 56.61 68.58 82.2695.70108.06121.62134.04148.11162.93177.11 - - 92.91103.23115.23128.92142.39154.78168.36180.80194.89209.73223.93 - -

2.26 2.26 2.26 2.26 2.26 2.26 2.26 2.29 2.29 2.29 2.29 - - 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.10 17.20 17.42 17.97 18.27 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 5.27 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.24 4.40 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

### Total

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 4/ Other Total

Electricity Demand (billion kilowatthours) Residential Commercial/Other Industrial Transportation Total Sales

Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ Gross International Imports Gross International Exports Gross Interregional Electricity Imports Gross Interregional Electricity Exports Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers Total Net Energy for Load

Generation by Fuel Type (billion kilowatthours) Electric Power Sector Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Nuclear Pumped Storage/Other 9/ Renewable Sources 10/ Total Generation Sales to Customers Generation for Own Use Distributed Generation 5/

End-Use Sectors 8/ Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Other Gaseous Fuels Renewable Sources 10/ Other Total 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 24.5424.5424.5424.5424.5424.5424.6424.7624.9826.78 30.23 - -

5.58 5.77 5.98 6.20 6.43 6.67 6.92 7.17 7.42 7.67 7.92 3.0% 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.62 2.62 2.62 2.70 3.3% 16.41 16.77 17.13 17.49 17.88 18.31 18.75 19.25 19.8020.3721.01 1.8% 3.74 3.71 3.71 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.75 3.74 3.73 3.74 3.74 4.2% 18.13 19.03 20.18 20.8421.61 22.3723.0923.81 24.5425.3826.35 6.5% 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.0% 47.31 48.74 50.45 51.70 53.12 54.54 55.97 57.45 58.96 60.6462.57 3.6%

1499.161510.591528.031545.931566.901580.781599.131617.161638.001650.971667.42 0.8% 1632.421656.881680.361702.921723.671743.341763.031783.601804.991827.571850.05 1.4% 1021.191019.821021.661026.411032.381036.281041.911050.361058.031067.451076.81 0.3% 9.62 10.05 10.52 11.13 11.64 12.19 12.74 13.29 13.85 14.41 14.97 3.7% 4162.394197.344240.574286.394334.604372.594416.814464.414514.874560.394609.26 0.9%

38.7040.5435.7030.57 33.72 33.07 38.2742.65 47.08 39.61 46.39 -0.4% 20.8920.85 20.4220.09 19.48 18.59 18.50 18.50 18.50 18.50 18.50 -0.4% 309.13291.54279.31266.39253.45245.42246.20228.29219.16210.85220.30 -0.4% 313.77295.97283.64270.61257.56249.51250.46232.18222.86214.38224.03 -0.3% 48.64 53.72 60.02 61.8064.16 66.45 68.69 70.71 72.71 74.47 76.34 3.9% 4347.864377.734421.544473.054517.884555.614595.104638.754685.604739.364782.71 0.8% 4409.674446.714492.514541.114592.184632.454679.304729.724783.184831.404883.21 0.8%

2125.032118.922126.062125.222131.672151.782178.652212.372254.762312.082366.57 0.7% 44.7444.8444.9045.01 45.0245.1845.3645.5945.7646.0046.27 -1.2% 800.63823.70854.07896.46927.78938.23937.99935.87915.87894.58880.71 0.3% 861.67865.70866.66866.66866.66866.66870.76878.33892.20908.24907.46 0.5% 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 -7.8% 548.77557.56562.84572.68579.73586.74595.33599.56609.95611.33614.49 2.9% 4381.454411.324455.134506.634551.474589.194628.694672.324719.154772.834816.11 0.8% 4347.864377.734421.544473.054517.884555.614595.104638.754685.604739.364782.71 0.8% 33.59 33.59 33.59 33.59 33.59 33.59 33.59 33.57 33.55 33.47 33.40 -0.1% 0.06 0.12 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28 - -

30.73 32.17 33.71 35.35 37.07 38.8640.7042.5744.4446.3048.13 4.3% 12.97 13.05 13.06 13.15 13.52 13.68 13.83 13.41 13.50 13.88 14.22 6.2% 97.29100.11102.79105.55108.48111.61114.89118.51122.60126.81131.48 2.9% 21.6621.8221.81 22.0221.9721.91 22.0421.8621.8821.7821.76 4.2% 68.52 75.19 83.73 87.9492.96 97.69102.02105.94109.38112.64115.95 5.4% 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 5.62 -0.8% 236.79247.96260.73269.63279.63289.38299.11307.92317.42327.03337.17 3.9%

### Sales to Utilities

Generation for Own Use

Total Electricity Generation

End-Use Prices (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation All Sectors Average

Prices by Service Category (2007 cents per kilowatthour) Generation Transmission Distribution

Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 11/ Coal Natural Gas Oil Total

Fuel Prices (dollars per million Btu) Coal Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Oil Residual Fuel Oil Biomass

Emissions 12/ Total Carbon (million tons) Carbon Dioxide (million tons) Sulfur Dioxide (million tons) Nitrogen Oxide (million tons) Mercury (tons)

1/ Net summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2007. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also sell some power to the grid. 9/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, spent sulfite liquor, and non-biogenic 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030 48.64 53.72 60.02 61.8064.16 66.45 68.69 70.71 72.71 74.47 76.34 3.9% 188.15194.24200.71207.83215.47222.93230.42237.21244.71252.56260.83 3.9%

4618.294659.404716.054776.474831.324878.804928.024980.495036.825100.135153.56 0.9%

11.2 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.6 11.8 11.9 12.0 12.1 12.2 0.6% 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.6 0.4% 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 0.6% 10.1 10.0 10.1 10.3 10.5 10.8 11.0 11.2 11.4 11.5 11.7 0.5% 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 0.6%

6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.3 0.8% 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.3% 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 -0.1%

22.01 21.95 22.0422.0422.1222.33 22.5822.8923.25 23.7624.25 0.7% 6.73 6.88 7.06 7.34 7.53 7.59 7.56 7.54 7.39 7.23 7.12 0.0% 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.53 -1.0% 29.25 29.33 29.6229.89 30.16 30.43 30.65 30.95 31.16 31.51 31.90 0.5%

1.92 1.92 1.93 1.93 1.94 1.96 1.97 1.98 2.00 2.02 2.04 0.6% 7.15 6.96 7.04 7.12 7.46 7.73 7.99 8.24 8.45 8.57 8.70 0.9% 20.45 20.6020.81 20.7421.03 21.2821.51 21.8222.3422.7023.11 2.0% 18.55 18.75 18.93 18.89 19.06 19.26 19.42 19.7420.0720.3220.67 4.0% 2.16 2.21 2.30 2.22 2.22 2.24 2.25 2.25 2.23 2.19 2.15 0.3%

750.33750.80756.46760.82766.30773.04779.70788.38796.07807.82820.32 0.5% 2751.212752.922773.672789.662809.762834.482858.892890.712918.922962.013007.86 0.5% 3.87 3.84 3.83 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.77 3.76 3.79 3.76 3.75 -3.7% 2.11 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.11 2.11 2.12 2.12 2.13 -1.9% 29.3629.05 29.48 29.71 29.6029.77 30.03 29.7729.83 30.13 30.00 -2.1%

### municipal waste.

10/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 11/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 12/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). EMM = Electricity market module. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2007 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, DOE/EIA-0384(2007) (Washington, DC, June 2008). Other 2007 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, August 2000) and EIA, AEO2009 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2009.d120908a. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030