Reference Case

Low Economic Growth 

Case

Imported Crude Oil 6.036 5.596

Domestic Crude Oil 9.417 9.398

Total Crude Oil 15.31 14.85

Light Product Demand 16.05 15.66

Imported Light Products 1.6518 1.6327

Exported Products 2.9470 2.9742

Net Imported Products -0.8316 -0.8685

Other Product Demand 5.7909 5.6013

Refinery Capacity 18.13 18.13

refinery Utilization 84.42 81.89

Reduction in Imported Crude 0.4399

Reduction in Domestic Crude 0.0190

Reduction in Total Crude 0.4589

Percent change in Imported Crude 95.9

Reduction in Light Product Demand 0.3859

Reduction in Imported Light Products 0.0191

Reduction in Exported Products -0.0272

Reduction in Net Imported Products 0.0368

Reduction in Other Product Demand 0.1895

0.0000

Change in Refinery Utilization 2.5311

Percent reduction in Imported Crude Oil 95.86

Adjusted Reduction in Imported Crude 0.2950

Adjusted Reduction in Domestic Crude 0.0127

Percent reduction in imported crude oil 88.6

Percent reduction in domestic crude oil 3.8

Percent reduction in net imported product 9.5

101.9

2021
0.86
Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

6.080 5.586 6.109 5.555 6.168

9.289 9.256 9.191 9.153 9.073

15.23 14.70 15.17 14.57 15.11

16.00 15.55 15.94 15.44 15.85

1.6704 1.6416 1.6736 1.6467 1.6834

3.0084 3.0168 3.0601 3.0638 3.0903

-0.8911 -0.9151 -0.9425 -0.9639 -0.9757

5.8394 5.6196 5.8873 5.6463 5.9337

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13

84.01 81.10 83.65 80.39 83.34

0.4943 0.5539

0.0330 0.0376

0.5273 0.5915

93.7 93.6

0.4466 0.4976

0.0287 0.0269

-0.0083 -0.0037

0.0240 0.0213

0.2198 0.2410

0.0000 0.0000

2.9086 3.2625

93.75 93.64

0.3313 0.3731

0.0221 0.0253

85.9 86.9

5.7 5.9

6.4 5.4

98.1 98.2

2022 2023 2024
Factor used to account for higher energy density of crude oil
Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case

5.555 6.184 5.512 6.318 5.612

9.031 9.004 8.951 8.833 8.745

14.45 15.06 14.33 15.02 14.23

15.31 15.75 15.16 15.65 15.00

1.6450 1.6634 1.6495 1.6500 1.6252

3.0935 3.1168 3.1235 3.1657 3.1697

-0.9966 -1.0068 -1.0276 -1.0683 -1.0850

5.6771 5.9709 5.6937 5.9854 5.6944

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13

79.72 83.05 79.05 82.85 78.48

0.6130 0.6719 0.7055

0.0423 0.0533 0.0876

0.6553 0.7252 0.7931

93.5 92.6 89.0

0.5409 0.5966 0.6524

0.0384 0.0139 0.0249

-0.0032 -0.0067 -0.0040

0.0209 0.0208 0.0167

0.2566 0.2772 0.2910

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

3.6145 4.0002 4.3746

93.54 92.65 88.95

0.4158 0.4588 0.4879

0.0287 0.0364 0.0606

89.0 89.1 86.6

6.1 7.1 10.8

7.1 2.3 3.8

102.3 98.5 101.2

2024 2025 2026

Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

6.462 5.716 6.584 5.800 6.695

8.670 8.552 8.516 8.376 8.380

15.00 14.14 14.97 14.05 14.95

15.56 14.85 15.49 14.70 15.41

1.6412 1.6141 1.6260 1.5960 1.5957

3.2103 3.2106 3.2332 3.2444 3.2706

-1.1227 -1.1385 -1.1589 -1.1892 -1.2143

6.0167 5.7061 6.0421 5.7110 6.0318

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13

82.75 77.99 82.58 77.49 82.45

0.7464 0.7838

0.1177 0.1396

0.8641 0.9234

86.4 84.9

0.7185 0.7872

0.0271 0.0300

-0.0003 -0.0112

0.0158 0.0304

0.3106 0.3311

0.0000 0.0000

4.7664 5.0932

86.38 84.88

0.5211 0.5517

0.0822 0.0983

84.0 81.2

13.3 14.5

3.8 3.8

101.0 99.5

2027 2028 2029

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case

5.847 6.765 5.854 6.909 5.949

8.246 8.305 8.163 8.160 8.032

13.96 14.94 13.89 14.94 13.85

14.57 15.35 14.45 15.30 14.35

1.5695 1.5684 1.5466 1.5501 1.5207

3.2756 3.3319 3.3130 3.3945 3.3627

-1.2391 -1.2936 -1.2920 -1.3683 -1.3607

5.6876 6.0307 5.6692 6.0297 5.6594

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13

77.02 82.41 76.60 82.40 76.40

0.8486 0.9116 0.9599

0.1347 0.1420 0.1277

0.9832 1.0536 1.0876

86.3 86.5 88.3

0.8443 0.9008 0.9510

0.0261 0.0219 0.0294

-0.0050 0.0188 0.0317

0.0248 -0.0016 -0.0076

0.1895 0.3615 0.3703

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

5.4233 5.8114 5.9990

86.30 86.52 88.26

0.6930 0.6505 0.6909

0.1100 0.1013 0.0919

95.1 83.7 84.2

15.1 13.0 11.2

3.1 2.4 3.1

113.3 99.1 98.4

2029 2030 2031

Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

6.990 6.002 7.023 6.109 7.123

8.073 7.933 8.045 7.791 7.985

14.94 13.81 14.94 13.77 14.98

15.25 14.26 15.21 14.17 15.18

1.5457 1.5066 1.5341 1.5093 1.5330

3.4536 3.4143 3.4982 3.4791 3.5682

-1.4270 -1.4263 -1.4824 -1.4933 -1.5631

6.0267 5.6496 6.0105 5.6357 5.9942

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13

82.38 76.16 82.42 75.97 82.64

0.9880 0.9147

0.1399 0.2538

1.1279 1.1685

87.6 78.3

0.9991 1.0419

0.0391 0.0249

0.0393 0.0191

-0.0007 0.0109

0.3772 0.3749

0.0000 0.0000

6.2211 6.4453

87.60 78.28

0.7172 0.6727

0.1016 0.1866

83.2 74.8

11.8 20.8

3.9 2.4

98.8 97.9

2032 2033 2034

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case

6.124 7.273 6.154 7.428 6.197

7.753 7.872 7.709 7.755 7.662

13.75 15.02 13.74 15.06 13.73

14.10 15.16 14.02 15.13 13.95

1.5148 1.5329 1.5127 1.5392 1.5195

3.5436 3.6118 3.5874 3.6458 3.6383

-1.5594 -1.6132 -1.6055 -1.6503 -1.6540

5.6240 5.9852 5.6075 5.9738 5.5942

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13

75.85 82.86 75.78 83.06 75.76

0.9994 1.1193 1.2312

0.2314 0.1631 0.0922

1.2308 1.2824 1.3235

81.2 87.3 93.0

1.0797 1.1401 1.1772

0.0182 0.0202 0.0197

0.0245 0.0244 0.0075

-0.0037 -0.0077 0.0037

0.3702 0.3777 0.3796

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

6.7890 7.0735 7.3000

81.20 87.28 93.03

0.7443 0.8407 0.9310

0.1723 0.1225 0.0697

79.8 85.4 91.6

18.5 12.5 6.9

1.7 1.8 1.7

100.0 99.6 100.1

2034 2035 2036

Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

7.531 6.257 7.742 6.352 7.786

7.699 7.610 7.559 7.541 7.530

15.11 13.74 15.18 13.77 15.19

15.13 13.91 15.13 13.86 15.12

1.5333 1.5335 1.5239 1.5221 1.5101

3.7011 3.6778 3.7345 3.6788 3.7480

-1.7162 -1.6911 -1.7616 -1.7018 -1.7772

5.9889 5.5998 5.9975 5.5991 5.9819

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13

83.32 75.81 83.71 75.94 83.80

1.2730 1.3906

0.0894 0.0182

1.3624 1.4088

93.4 98.7

1.2225 1.2681

-0.0002 0.0018

0.0233 0.0557

-0.0251 -0.0598

0.3891 0.3984

0.0000 0.0000

7.5149 7.7705

93.44 98.71

0.9657 1.0581

0.0678 0.0138

91.5 96.7

6.4 1.3

0.0 0.1

97.9 98.1

2037 2038 2039

Low Economic 

Growth Case Reference Case

Low Economic 

Growth Case

6.362 7.867 6.367

7.512 7.480 7.499

13.75 15.22 13.74

13.80 15.10 13.75

1.5109 1.4988 1.4936

3.7203 3.7627 3.7403

-1.7543 -1.8168 -1.7899

5.5814 5.9565 5.5617

18.13 18.13 18.13

75.84 83.97 75.80

1.4245 1.4991

0.0182 -0.0192

1.4427 1.4799

98.7 101.3

1.3180 1.3476

-0.0008 0.0052

0.0277 0.0224

-0.0229 -0.0269

0.4005 0.3948

0.0000 0.0000

7.9575 8.1629

98.74 101.30

1.0925 1.1594

0.0139 -0.0149

Average over the years 2021 to 2040

96.0 99.7 87.6

1.2 -1.3 9.2

-0.1 0.4 3.1

97.2 98.8 100.0

2039 2040
90.8 Total percentage of importe
er the years 2021 to 2040
Total percentage of imported petroleum
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference

Crude Oil

 Canada 3.319465 3.235554 3.319785 3.188432 3.341267

 Mexico 0.398189 0.329823 0.398315 0.324843 0.405117

 North Sea 0.01824 0.016757 0.018327 0.016666 0.018505

 OPEC 1.815287 1.517711 1.841174 1.541975 1.866933

 Latin America 0.544586 0.455313 0.552352 0.462593 0.56008

 North Africa 0.054459 0.045531 0.055235 0.046259 0.056008

 West Africa 0.272293 0.227657 0.276176 0.231296 0.28004

 Persian Gulf 0.943949 0.78921 0.957411 0.801827 0.970805

 Other Middle East 0 0 0 0 0

 Other Latin America 0.364809 0.335149 0.366546 0.333313 0.370109

 Other Africa 0.091202 0.083787 0.091636 0.083328 0.092527

 Other Asia 0.072962 0.06703 0.073309 0.066663 0.074022

Total Crude Oil 6.080156 5.585811 6.109093 5.555221 6.16848

Light Refined Products 1/

 Canada 0.684849 0.673072 0.68618 0.675133 0.690181

 Northern Europe 0.417591 0.41041 0.418403 0.411667 0.420842

 Southern Europe 0.066815 0.065666 0.066944 0.065867 0.067335

 OPEC 0.133629 0.131331 0.133889 0.131733 0.134669

 Latin America 0.040089 0.039399 0.040167 0.03952 0.040401

 North Africa 0.034744 0.034146 0.034811 0.034251 0.035014

 West Africa 0.04677 0.045966 0.046861 0.046107 0.047134

 Persian Gulf 0.012027 0.01182 0.01205 0.011856 0.01212

 Caribbean Basin 0.033407 0.032833 0.033472 0.032933 0.033667

 Asian Exporters 0.167036 0.164164 0.167361 0.164667 0.168337

 Other 0.167036 0.164164 0.167361 0.164667 0.168337

Total Light Refined Products 1.670363 1.641639 1.67361 1.646666 1.683369

Heavy Refined Products 2/

 Canada 0.125064 0.125153 0.124889 0.124805 0.124718

 Northern Europe 0.089332 0.089395 0.089207 0.089146 0.089085

 Southern Europe 0.017866 0.017879 0.017841 0.017829 0.017817

 OPEC 0.125064 0.125153 0.124889 0.124805 0.124718

 Latin America 0.008755 0.008761 0.008742 0.008736 0.00873

 North Africa 0.087545 0.087607 0.087422 0.087363 0.087303

 West Africa 0.02001 0.020025 0.019982 0.019969 0.019955

 Persian Gulf 0.008755 0.008761 0.008742 0.008736 0.00873

Imported Liquids by Source

(million barrels per day)

Sources

2022 2023 2024
 Caribbean Basin 0.044666 0.044698 0.044603 0.044573 0.044542

 Asian Exporters 0.303728 0.303944 0.303302 0.303097 0.302888

 Other 0.187597 0.18773 0.187334 0.187207 0.187078

Total Heavy Refined Products 0.893317 0.893953 0.892066 0.891461 0.890846

 - - = Not applicable.

 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System.

natural gasoline, liquefied petroleum gases, olefins, ethanol, and biodiesel.

 2/ Includes residual fuel oil, asphalt, road oil, lubricants, petrochemical feedstocks, and unfinished oils.

 OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries - Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar,

Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela.

 Caribbean Basin = Bahama Islands, Colombia, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Netherlands Antilles, Panama, Puerto Rico, Trin

and Tobago, and the Virgin Islands.

 1/ Includes motor gasoline, motor gasoline blending components, aviation gasoline, jet fuel, distillate fuel oil, ethane,
Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference

3.206072 3.316306 3.238432 3.333754 3.302866 3.370225 3.316943 3.393368

0.330908 0.43064 0.325048 0.442892 0.320882 0.461959 0.349001 0.473708

0.016666 0.018551 0.016535 0.018954 0.016837 0.019387 0.017148 0.019752

1.51852 1.880214 1.452244 1.972661 1.483583 2.048577 1.535579 2.124246

0.455556 0.564064 0.435673 0.591798 0.445075 0.614573 0.460674 0.637274

0.045556 0.056406 0.043567 0.05918 0.044507 0.061457 0.046067 0.063727

0.227778 0.282032 0.217837 0.295899 0.222537 0.307287 0.230337 0.318637

0.78963 0.977711 0.755167 1.025784 0.771463 1.06526 0.798501 1.104608

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.33333 0.371022 0.330707 0.379075 0.336747 0.387742 0.342958 0.395032

0.083332 0.092755 0.082677 0.094769 0.084187 0.096936 0.085739 0.098758

0.066666 0.074204 0.066141 0.075815 0.067349 0.077548 0.068592 0.079006

5.555494 6.183692 5.511785 6.31792 5.612451 6.462374 5.71596 6.583871

0.674435 0.681992 0.676275 0.676517 0.666326 0.672885 0.661773 0.666658

0.411241 0.415849 0.412363 0.41251 0.406297 0.410295 0.40352 0.406499

0.065798 0.066536 0.065978 0.066002 0.065007 0.065647 0.064563 0.06504

0.131597 0.133072 0.131956 0.132003 0.130015 0.131295 0.129126 0.13008

0.039479 0.039921 0.039587 0.039601 0.039004 0.039388 0.038738 0.039024

0.034215 0.034599 0.034309 0.034321 0.033804 0.034137 0.033573 0.033821

0.046059 0.046575 0.046185 0.046201 0.045505 0.045953 0.045194 0.045528

0.011844 0.011976 0.011876 0.01188 0.011701 0.011817 0.011621 0.011707

0.032899 0.033268 0.032989 0.033001 0.032504 0.032824 0.032282 0.03252

0.164496 0.16634 0.164945 0.165004 0.162519 0.164118 0.161408 0.162599

0.164496 0.16634 0.164945 0.165004 0.162519 0.164118 0.161408 0.162599

1.644962 1.663395 1.649451 1.650042 1.625186 1.641182 1.614081 1.625994

0.124718 0.12644 0.124632 0.126366 0.126052 0.126336 0.125989 0.125877

0.089085 0.090315 0.089023 0.090261 0.090037 0.09024 0.089992 0.089912

0.017817 0.018063 0.017805 0.018052 0.018007 0.018048 0.017998 0.017982

0.124718 0.12644 0.124632 0.126366 0.126052 0.126336 0.125989 0.125877

0.00873 0.008851 0.008724 0.008846 0.008824 0.008844 0.008819 0.008811

0.087303 0.088508 0.087243 0.088456 0.088236 0.088435 0.088193 0.088114

0.019955 0.02023 0.019941 0.020218 0.020168 0.020214 0.020158 0.02014

0.00873 0.008851 0.008724 0.008846 0.008824 0.008844 0.008819 0.008811

2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
0.044542 0.045157 0.044512 0.045131 0.045018 0.04512 0.044996 0.044956

0.302888 0.307069 0.302679 0.306888 0.306125 0.306817 0.305974 0.305701

0.187078 0.18966 0.186949 0.189548 0.189077 0.189505 0.188984 0.188815

0.890846 0.903145 0.890231 0.902611 0.900368 0.902402 0.899924 0.899121

d unfinished oils.

 Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar,

s Antilles, Panama, Puerto Rico, Trinidad

t fuel, distillate fuel oil, ethane,
Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference

3.321267 3.476158 3.341444 3.561017 3.378742 3.608663 3.43137 3.593213

0.355939 0.469063 0.350803 0.457683 0.337211 0.471684 0.342006 0.491522

0.0174 0.020086 0.01754 0.020296 0.017562 0.020727 0.017847 0.020969

1.600879 2.147527 1.628304 2.137845 1.611049 2.206845 1.64028 2.275994

0.480264 0.644258 0.488491 0.641353 0.483315 0.662053 0.492084 0.682798

0.048026 0.064426 0.048849 0.064135 0.048331 0.066205 0.049208 0.06828

0.240132 0.322129 0.244246 0.320677 0.241657 0.331027 0.246042 0.341399

0.832457 1.116714 0.846718 1.111679 0.837746 1.147559 0.852945 1.183517

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.348006 0.40172 0.350806 0.405926 0.351231 0.41454 0.356944 0.419389

0.087001 0.10043 0.087701 0.101482 0.087808 0.103635 0.089236 0.104847

0.069601 0.080344 0.070161 0.081185 0.070246 0.082908 0.071389 0.083878

5.800093 6.695328 5.846759 6.765434 5.853848 6.909001 5.949073 6.989813

0.654369 0.654218 0.643498 0.64306 0.634098 0.635556 0.623505 0.633721

0.399006 0.398913 0.392377 0.39211 0.386645 0.387534 0.380186 0.386415

0.063841 0.063826 0.06278 0.062738 0.061863 0.062005 0.06083 0.061826

0.127682 0.127652 0.125561 0.125475 0.123726 0.124011 0.121659 0.123653

0.038305 0.038296 0.037668 0.037643 0.037118 0.037203 0.036498 0.037096

0.033197 0.03319 0.032646 0.032624 0.032169 0.032243 0.031631 0.03215

0.044689 0.044678 0.043946 0.043916 0.043304 0.043404 0.042581 0.043279

0.011491 0.011489 0.0113 0.011293 0.011135 0.011161 0.010949 0.011129

0.03192 0.031913 0.03139 0.031369 0.030932 0.031003 0.030415 0.030913

0.159602 0.159565 0.156951 0.156844 0.154658 0.155014 0.152074 0.154566

0.159602 0.159565 0.156951 0.156844 0.154658 0.155014 0.152074 0.154566

1.596023 1.595653 1.569508 1.568439 1.54658 1.550135 1.520743 1.545662

0.126248 0.125823 0.126082 0.125888 0.125991 0.125443 0.125605 0.12641

0.090177 0.089873 0.090059 0.08992 0.089994 0.089602 0.089718 0.090293

0.018035 0.017975 0.018012 0.017984 0.017999 0.01792 0.017944 0.018059

0.126248 0.125823 0.126082 0.125888 0.125991 0.125443 0.125605 0.12641

0.008837 0.008808 0.008826 0.008812 0.008819 0.008781 0.008792 0.008849

0.088374 0.088076 0.088257 0.088121 0.088194 0.08781 0.087924 0.088487

0.0202 0.020132 0.020173 0.020142 0.020159 0.020071 0.020097 0.020226

0.008837 0.008808 0.008826 0.008812 0.008819 0.008781 0.008792 0.008849

2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
0.045089 0.044937 0.045029 0.04496 0.044997 0.044801 0.044859 0.045146

0.306603 0.305569 0.306199 0.305727 0.305978 0.304648 0.305041 0.306996

0.189373 0.188734 0.189123 0.188832 0.188987 0.188165 0.188408 0.189615

0.901775 0.898733 0.900586 0.899198 0.899936 0.896024 0.897179 0.90293
Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference

3.446947 3.541662 3.556179 3.551211 3.548741 3.644773 3.547346 3.747947

0.342185 0.508797 0.344605 0.534471 0.345042 0.54321 0.350425 0.552497

0.018006 0.02107 0.018326 0.021369 0.018371 0.021818 0.018461 0.022283

1.672557 2.340893 1.65817 2.396288 1.678723 2.430257 1.701944 2.458803

0.501767 0.702268 0.497451 0.718886 0.503617 0.729077 0.510583 0.737641

0.050177 0.070227 0.049745 0.071889 0.050362 0.072908 0.051058 0.073764

0.250884 0.351134 0.248725 0.359443 0.251808 0.364538 0.255292 0.36882

0.86973 1.217264 0.862248 1.24607 0.872936 1.263733 0.885011 1.278577

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.360111 0.421408 0.366524 0.427383 0.367418 0.436367 0.369212 0.445665

0.090028 0.105352 0.091631 0.106846 0.091854 0.109092 0.092303 0.111416

0.072022 0.084282 0.073305 0.085477 0.073484 0.087273 0.073842 0.089133

6.001856 7.023462 6.108739 7.123044 6.123633 7.272789 6.153533 7.427744

0.617687 0.628994 0.618797 0.628538 0.621072 0.628472 0.620193 0.631078

0.376639 0.383533 0.377315 0.383255 0.378702 0.383214 0.378166 0.384804

0.060262 0.061365 0.06037 0.061321 0.060592 0.061314 0.060507 0.061569

0.120524 0.122731 0.120741 0.122642 0.121185 0.122629 0.121013 0.123137

0.036157 0.036819 0.036222 0.036792 0.036355 0.036789 0.036304 0.036941

0.031336 0.03191 0.031393 0.031887 0.031508 0.031883 0.031463 0.032016

0.042184 0.042956 0.042259 0.042925 0.042415 0.04292 0.042355 0.043098

0.010847 0.011046 0.010867 0.011038 0.010907 0.011037 0.010891 0.011082

0.030131 0.030683 0.030185 0.03066 0.030296 0.030657 0.030253 0.030784

0.150655 0.153413 0.150926 0.153302 0.151481 0.153286 0.151267 0.153922

0.150655 0.153413 0.150926 0.153302 0.151481 0.153286 0.151267 0.153922

1.506555 1.534131 1.50926 1.533019 1.51481 1.532858 1.512666 1.539216

0.125109 0.126118 0.124679 0.125065 0.124471 0.124696 0.124348 0.124246

0.089364 0.090084 0.089056 0.089332 0.088908 0.089068 0.08882 0.088747

0.017873 0.018017 0.017811 0.017866 0.017782 0.017814 0.017764 0.017749

0.125109 0.126118 0.124679 0.125065 0.124471 0.124696 0.124348 0.124246

0.008758 0.008828 0.008728 0.008755 0.008713 0.008729 0.008704 0.008697

0.087576 0.088283 0.087275 0.087545 0.08713 0.087287 0.087044 0.086972

0.020017 0.020179 0.019949 0.02001 0.019915 0.019951 0.019896 0.019879

0.008758 0.008828 0.008728 0.008755 0.008713 0.008729 0.008704 0.008697

2032 2033 2034 2035 2036
0.044682 0.045042 0.044528 0.044666 0.044454 0.044534 0.04441 0.044373

0.303837 0.306287 0.302792 0.303729 0.302286 0.302832 0.301989 0.30174

0.187664 0.189177 0.187019 0.187597 0.186706 0.187043 0.186523 0.186369

0.893637 0.900843 0.890564 0.89332 0.889077 0.890683 0.888203 0.887469
Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference

3.574214 3.831086 3.637882 3.940742 3.697567 4.012207 3.733467 4.021209

0.353225 0.558256 0.347336 0.577288 0.35046 0.582499 0.352763 0.611661

0.01859 0.022592 0.018772 0.023227 0.019055 0.023359 0.019086 0.023636

1.711379 2.463445 1.709096 2.527412 1.731965 2.490845 1.703043 2.536623

0.513414 0.739033 0.512729 0.758224 0.51959 0.747254 0.510913 0.760987

0.051341 0.073903 0.051273 0.075822 0.051959 0.074725 0.051091 0.076099

0.256707 0.369517 0.256364 0.379112 0.259795 0.373627 0.255456 0.380493

0.889917 1.280991 0.88873 1.314254 0.900622 1.295239 0.885582 1.319044

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.37179 0.451832 0.375449 0.464535 0.381098 0.467179 0.38171 0.472714

0.092948 0.112958 0.093862 0.116134 0.095275 0.116795 0.095428 0.118178

0.074358 0.090366 0.07509 0.092907 0.07622 0.093436 0.076342 0.094543

6.196503 7.530535 6.257487 7.742245 6.35164 7.786319 6.361838 7.878564

0.623002 0.628671 0.628747 0.624818 0.624069 0.619122 0.619454 0.614522

0.379879 0.383336 0.383382 0.380986 0.38053 0.377514 0.377716 0.374709

0.060781 0.061334 0.061341 0.060958 0.060885 0.060402 0.060434 0.059953

0.121561 0.122668 0.122682 0.121916 0.12177 0.120804 0.120869 0.119907

0.036468 0.0368 0.036805 0.036575 0.036531 0.036241 0.036261 0.035972

0.031606 0.031894 0.031897 0.031698 0.03166 0.031409 0.031426 0.031176

0.042546 0.042934 0.042939 0.04267 0.042619 0.042282 0.042304 0.041967

0.010941 0.01104 0.011041 0.010972 0.010959 0.010872 0.010878 0.010792

0.03039 0.030667 0.030671 0.030479 0.030442 0.030201 0.030217 0.029977

0.151952 0.153334 0.153353 0.152395 0.152212 0.151005 0.151086 0.149883

0.151952 0.153334 0.153353 0.152395 0.152212 0.151005 0.151086 0.149883

1.519517 1.533345 1.533529 1.523945 1.522121 1.510054 1.510862 1.498835

0.124501 0.123986 0.124278 0.123581 0.12429 0.124621 0.123965 0.123347

0.088929 0.088562 0.08877 0.088272 0.088778 0.089015 0.088547 0.088105

0.017786 0.017712 0.017754 0.017654 0.017756 0.017803 0.017709 0.017621

0.124501 0.123986 0.124278 0.123581 0.12429 0.124621 0.123965 0.123347

0.008715 0.008679 0.008699 0.008651 0.0087 0.008724 0.008678 0.008634

0.087151 0.08679 0.086995 0.086506 0.087003 0.087235 0.086776 0.086343

0.01992 0.019838 0.019884 0.019773 0.019886 0.019939 0.019834 0.019735

0.008715 0.008679 0.008699 0.008651 0.0087 0.008724 0.008678 0.008634

2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
0.044465 0.044281 0.044385 0.044136 0.044389 0.044508 0.044273 0.044052

0.30236 0.301109 0.301818 0.300124 0.301847 0.302652 0.301059 0.299556

0.186752 0.185979 0.186417 0.185371 0.186435 0.186932 0.185948 0.18502

0.889294 0.885615 0.8877 0.882718 0.887784 0.890154 0.885467 0.881048
Low growth Reference Low growth

3.752934 1.80% 1.60%

0.358708 -1.70% -3.50%

0.019089 3.50% 2.70%

1.678807 -1.60% -3.10%

0.503642 -1.30% -2.70%

0.050364 -3.00% -4.40%

0.251821 -1.80% -3.20%

0.87298 -1.70% -3.20%

0 - - - -

0.381788 -1.40% -2.10%

0.095447 -0.40% -1.20%

0.076358 -3.40% -4.10%

6.363131 -0.30% -1.00%

0.61239 1.00% 1.00%

0.373409 -0.80% -0.80%

0.059745 -1.00% -1.00%

0.119491 -0.70% -0.70%

0.035847 -1.40% -1.40%

0.031068 -1.30% -1.30%

0.041822 0.30% 0.30%

0.010754 1.50% 1.40%

0.029873 2.30% 2.30%

0.149363 -0.20% -0.20%

0.149363 -2.10% -2.10%

1.493634 -0.20% -0.20%

0.123802 3.10% 3.20%

0.08843 1.90% 1.90%

0.017686 2.30% 2.30%

0.123802 2.30% 2.30%

0.008666 -3.60% -3.60%

0.086661 5.30% 5.30%

0.019808 0.40% 0.40%

0.008666 3.50% 3.50%

2040 Growth Rate (2012-2040)
0.044215 1.00% 1.10%

0.300662 1.70% 1.70%

0.185703 3.50% 3.50%

0.8843 2.30% 2.30%
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

Production 1/

(million barrels per day)

 Lower 48 Total 8.900111 8.867136 8.824425 8.786826

 Lower 48 Onshore 7.188561 7.162668 7.15023 7.122798

 Northeast 0.034288 0.034403 0.032556 0.032523

 Gulf Coast 2.381176 2.370118 2.316759 2.309522

 Midcontinent 0.406339 0.40521 0.42771 0.422815

 Southwest 2.015574 2.007468 2.01127 2.009016

 Rocky Mountain 1.837814 1.835603 1.843294 1.838642

 West Coast 0.513369 0.509867 0.518641 0.51028

 Lower 48 Offshore 1.71155 1.704468 1.674195 1.664028

 Gulf 1.664602 1.657521 1.62862 1.618453

 Shallow 0.140141 0.139988 0.142083 0.141999

 Deep 1.524461 1.517533 1.486537 1.476454

 Pacific 0.046947 0.046947 0.045575 0.045575

 Atlantic 0 0 0 0

Wellhead Prices (2012 dollars per barrel)

 Lower 48 Average 97.80838 96.338959 100.253662 98.817451

 Lower 48 Onshore

 Northeast 94.112473 92.783409 96.664772 95.256226

 Gulf Coast 101.565804 100.093513 104.050888 102.638084

 Midcontinent 94.523308 93.143295 97.100655 95.593483

 Southwest 96.73336 95.191734 99.262184 97.774902

 Rocky Mountain 90.621925 89.277794 93.108444 91.702591

 West Coast 100.724861 99.140396 103.176003 101.782082

 Lower 48 Offshore

 Gulf 101.565804 100.093513 104.050888 102.638084

 Pacific 100.724861 99.140396 103.176003 101.782082

 Atlantic 100.388268 99.070137 102.775673 101.427277

2022 2023

Lower 48 Crude Oil Production and Wellhead Prices by Supply Region

Region

 1/ Includes lease condensate.

 - - = Not applicable.

 Note: Oil and Gas Supply Model regions are defined in Appendix F of the Annual Energy Outlook. Totals may not equal sum 

due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 may differ from official EIA data reports due to

internal conversion factors within the AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System.
Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013); EIA, Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380(

and EIA, Office of Energy Analysis. Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System.

 Sources: 2011 and 2012: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Petroleum Supply
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

8.727163 8.684845 8.677514 8.624203 8.525279 8.437649 8.380886 8.263172

7.107878 7.069014 7.040334 6.983428 6.896193 6.804597 6.776772 6.661268

0.032597 0.032646 0.030844 0.030725 0.028549 0.028418 0.024324 0.024243

2.263959 2.248317 2.224121 2.199647 2.191852 2.147961 2.174088 2.118921

0.44528 0.438848 0.46188 0.455662 0.432717 0.425399 0.411832 0.405837

2.004265 2.005962 1.96632 1.967267 1.905734 1.903286 1.853967 1.846131

1.845085 1.836385 1.841 1.824675 1.821488 1.795151 1.80013 1.768221

0.516692 0.506856 0.51617 0.505451 0.515852 0.504383 0.512432 0.497915

1.619285 1.61583 1.63718 1.640775 1.629087 1.633052 1.604115 1.601904

1.574737 1.571282 1.59384 1.597435 1.586689 1.590654 1.54154 1.53933

0.141077 0.140962 0.144515 0.142128 0.143759 0.143629 0.146613 0.138318

1.43366 1.43032 1.449324 1.455307 1.442931 1.447025 1.394927 1.401011

0.044548 0.044548 0.04334 0.04334 0.042397 0.042397 0.041327 0.041327

0 0 0 0 0 0 0.021248 0.021248

102.645958 100.853104 104.900368 102.782249 106.887436 104.930107 109.2752 107.149368

99.083099 97.526764 101.577057 99.30262 103.538445 101.595657 105.798943 103.672546

106.512489 104.646385 108.727554 106.616371 110.699409 108.742256 113.14904 110.94474

99.591713 97.84491 101.844383 99.676254 103.839073 101.813599 106.255486 104.071945

101.710388 99.889267 103.954224 101.778992 105.880997 103.898132 108.303497 106.10408

95.525131 93.871246 97.814186 95.749779 99.772545 97.882599 101.920731 100.05896

105.58136 103.926483 108.131889 106.006462 110.270653 108.192215 112.696999 110.55442

106.512489 104.646385 108.727554 106.616371 110.699409 108.742256 113.14904 110.94474

105.58136 103.926483 108.131889 106.006462 110.270653 108.192215 112.696999 110.55442

105.148201 103.486481 107.336594 105.257095 109.173943 107.232239 113.038216 110.911354

2024 2025 2026 2027

Outlook. Totals may not equal sum of components

ports due to
Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC, August 2013);
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

8.244573 8.104976 8.125161 7.990507 8.064343 7.922351 7.932957 7.805292

6.653513 6.54824 6.523207 6.434907 6.383477 6.311785 6.258595 6.190552

0.023502 0.023467 0.023068 0.022716 0.022286 0.022136 0.02163 0.02152

2.14563 2.099233 2.112138 2.071599 2.07325 2.039193 2.034595 2.004821

0.394679 0.392233 0.379515 0.376814 0.36359 0.361557 0.347439 0.345026

1.804189 1.795094 1.760746 1.755326 1.722773 1.720081 1.694137 1.691505

1.77217 1.740743 1.734296 1.710753 1.689474 1.671698 1.649228 1.631239

0.513343 0.49747 0.513445 0.4977 0.512102 0.497121 0.511565 0.496442

1.59106 1.556736 1.601955 1.5556 1.680866 1.610565 1.674362 1.61474

1.53046 1.496137 1.545068 1.498713 1.584825 1.530295 1.574176 1.514554

0.146829 0.142958 0.145839 0.143542 0.143921 0.144526 0.139111 0.138238

1.383631 1.353179 1.399229 1.35517 1.440904 1.385769 1.435065 1.376316

0.043514 0.043514 0.042577 0.042577 0.070796 0.055025 0.073127 0.073127

0.017085 0.017085 0.01431 0.01431 0.025246 0.025246 0.027059 0.027059

110.995583 108.8442 113.00386 110.621506 114.693359 112.061508 116.703568 113.656937

107.284348 105.291985 109.186829 106.999275 110.88205 108.297531 112.679344 109.900459

114.800568 112.635162 116.772446 114.381012 118.380623 115.696655 120.356071 117.225113

108.167122 105.851814 110.191055 107.655128 111.839012 109.132179 114.010544 110.891106

110.063263 107.806938 112.046005 109.568642 113.663773 111.166931 115.661476 112.821571

103.622887 101.683167 105.561508 103.401772 107.201324 104.688889 109.153198 106.210686

114.414192 112.344604 116.451683 114.187187 118.079697 115.570755 120.055336 117.05468

114.800568 112.635162 116.772446 114.381012 118.380623 115.696655 120.356071 117.225113

114.414192 112.344604 116.451683 114.187187 118.079697 115.570755 120.055336 117.05468

114.520943 112.412209 116.471664 114.136032 118.339943 115.738251 120.382896 117.41732

2028 2029 2030 2031

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

7.79967 7.719016 7.704468 7.588954 7.596154 7.503014 7.494101 7.390216

6.128838 6.069671 6.013788 5.956047 5.903867 5.843049 5.791162 5.730945

0.021191 0.021093 0.020659 0.020643 0.019888 0.020109 0.0191 0.019221

1.988744 1.966975 1.941352 1.927007 1.895096 1.883398 1.843749 1.837933

0.334477 0.333197 0.325831 0.324401 0.321337 0.318135 0.318279 0.310227

1.667218 1.664677 1.645648 1.640574 1.622184 1.614721 1.60502 1.595799

1.607493 1.589755 1.569666 1.55354 1.531489 1.51651 1.490282 1.476997

0.509714 0.493973 0.510631 0.489882 0.513874 0.490176 0.514732 0.490768

1.670832 1.649345 1.69068 1.632908 1.692287 1.659965 1.702939 1.659272

1.542279 1.517609 1.538468 1.501592 1.535595 1.502838 1.54986 1.504078

0.139531 0.137903 0.140406 0.139086 0.136076 0.136089 0.1337 0.131916

1.402748 1.379706 1.398062 1.362506 1.399519 1.366749 1.416159 1.372161

0.10258 0.105763 0.130363 0.109467 0.137733 0.138168 0.136281 0.138396

0.025973 0.025973 0.021849 0.021849 0.018959 0.018959 0.016798 0.016798

118.922768 115.930054 121.23806 118.722717 123.499855 120.6371 125.590073 122.317917

114.77874 112.050858 117.158493 114.489487 119.328743 116.290031 121.450577 117.947067

122.539429 119.424538 124.844772 121.89637 127.00766 123.775307 129.070984 125.42041

116.800583 113.442802 119.825394 117.188972 122.216454 119.015732 124.450798 120.873154

117.894066 115.056175 120.161224 118.612717 122.885612 120.632469 124.925697 122.460823

111.26149 108.453339 113.366493 110.968483 115.528435 112.707542 117.596268 114.230469

122.131439 119.230835 124.426384 121.8255 125.956573 123.740234 127.975883 125.225403

122.539429 119.424538 124.844772 121.89637 127.00766 123.775307 129.070984 125.42041

122.131439 119.230835 124.426384 121.8255 125.956573 123.740234 127.975883 125.225403

122.504211 119.590118 124.806946 121.978409 126.926399 123.768692 128.860779 125.377731

2032 2033 2034 2035

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

7.386033 7.293817 7.339821 7.250445 7.237151 7.189365 7.241581 7.16858

5.665342 5.61087 5.555617 5.487158 5.444775 5.371232 5.340479 5.272998

0.021293 0.018544 0.024065 0.017593 0.026145 0.019328 0.027762 0.022657

1.788208 1.784765 1.734106 1.730661 1.68166 1.679637 1.631678 1.630798

0.314977 0.30438 0.313427 0.301236 0.308989 0.299096 0.303458 0.298189

1.588877 1.579974 1.576182 1.55989 1.564958 1.544091 1.552804 1.529646

1.439325 1.433414 1.39853 1.39088 1.357903 1.344599 1.319116 1.308179

0.512662 0.489793 0.509307 0.486898 0.505121 0.48448 0.505661 0.483529

1.72069 1.682946 1.784204 1.763287 1.792376 1.818134 1.901103 1.895582

1.55264 1.529593 1.595032 1.585563 1.59863 1.636442 1.622759 1.661948

0.132069 0.132519 0.12847 0.131547 0.125397 0.12728 0.122333 0.125187

1.420571 1.397074 1.466562 1.454016 1.473233 1.509162 1.500426 1.536761

0.136691 0.138235 0.137591 0.1343 0.127465 0.127701 0.17087 0.168046

0.03136 0.015117 0.051582 0.043425 0.066281 0.05399 0.107474 0.065588

127.469971 123.769135 129.331207 125.82296 131.588776 127.543411 134.449875 130.055283

123.284927 119.413498 124.91304 121.352882 127.046906 122.860672 129.828384 125.373131

130.829636 126.770523 132.531296 128.732346 134.660233 130.382095 137.352585 132.830276

126.334633 122.342545 128.356567 124.346802 130.370377 126.356377 134.04982 128.961243

126.983871 124.047829 128.932526 126.135582 131.320297 127.771072 134.774384 130.184357

119.427788 115.616196 121.403931 117.580391 123.758728 119.256325 126.632462 121.812378

129.696075 126.566574 131.317551 128.552765 133.54245 130.213852 134.826904 132.595947

130.829636 126.770523 132.531296 128.732346 134.660233 130.382095 137.352585 132.830276

129.696075 126.566574 131.317551 128.552765 133.54245 130.213852 134.826904 132.595947

131.445129 127.524765 132.980713 129.420151 135.159256 131.038879 137.762634 133.490051

2036 2037 2038 2039

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

7.220181 7.192811 0.70% 0.70%

5.231455 5.168177 0.50% 0.40%

0.029056 0.025275 -4.10% -4.60%

1.572722 1.574737 2.10% 2.10%

0.297892 0.294778 -1.80% -1.90%

1.539118 1.514737 0.10% 0.10%

1.286249 1.274366 0.50% 0.50%

0.506418 0.484283 0.00% -0.10%

1.988725 2.024635 1.40% 1.40%

1.698679 1.738388 1.00% 1.10%

0.119727 0.12082 -2.70% -2.70%

1.578953 1.617568 1.60% 1.60%

0.175838 0.182517 2.80% 2.90%

0.114207 0.10373 - - - -

137.627213 132.893082 1.30% 1.20%

132.912704 128.115585 1.40% 1.30%

140.403458 135.613663 1.40% 1.20%

137.415436 131.756332 1.50% 1.40%

137.879364 132.963898 1.50% 1.30%

129.98877 124.748863 1.60% 1.40%

137.895203 134.942444 1.00% 0.90%

140.403458 135.613663 1.00% 0.90%

137.895203 134.942444 1.20% 1.10%

140.884201 136.240723 - - - -

2040 Growth Rate (2012-2040)

Reference Low growth

Production

 Crude Oil and Lease Condensate 12.1988 13.8656 16.45846 16.45848

 Natural Gas Plant Liquids 3.112325 3.211883 3.33177 3.33177

 Dry Natural Gas 23.04437 24.59239 24.71753 24.72496

 Coal 1/ 22.2213 20.6011 20.80596 20.79747

 Nuclear / Uranium 2/ 8.259212 8.050291 7.93316 7.93316

 Hydropower 3.106776 2.674079 2.58764 2.58764

 Biomass 3/ 3.903867 3.777297 3.951985 3.960938

 Other Renewable Energy 4/ 1.701541 1.966322 2.259844 2.259873

 Other 5/ 0.798717 0.410971 0.723955 0.723956

 Total 78.34691 79.14993 82.7703 82.77824

Imports

 Crude Oil 19.52161 18.57392 16.37808 16.37813

 Petroleum and Other Liquids 6/ 5.207584 4.257369 3.95015 3.950338

 Natural Gas 7/ 3.555409 3.212021 3.13214 3.131511

 Other 8/ 0.427262 0.355926 0.385821 0.385821

 Total 28.71186 26.39923 23.84619 23.8458

Exports

 Petroleum and Other Liquids 9/ 5.947325 6.285651 6.14894 6.149065

 Natural Gas 10/ 1.520622 1.633518 1.73094 1.73094

 Coal 2.75 3.22 2.845825 2.850312

 Total 10.21795 11.13917 10.7257 10.73032

Discrepancy 11/ -0.27028 -0.61288 -0.60343 -0.60413

Consumption

 Petroleum and Other Liquids 12/ 36.56187 35.87172 35.96645 35.96641

 Natural Gas 24.90846 26.20002 26.21782 26.22462

 Coal 13/ 19.62206 17.34367 18.46305 18.45094

 Nuclear / Uranium 2/ 8.259212 8.050291 7.93316 7.93316

 Hydropower 3.106776 2.674079 2.58764 2.58764

 Biomass 14/ 2.599807 2.52963 2.678998 2.68795

 Other Renewable Energy 4/ 1.701541 1.966322 2.259844 2.259873

 Other 15/ 0.351376 0.38714 0.38726 0.38726

 Total 97.11111 95.02288 96.49423 96.49785

Prices (2012 dollars per unit)

 Brent Spot Price (dollars per barrel) 113.241 111.65 106.5227 106.5227

Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary

(quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)

Supply, Disposition, and Prices
 West Texas Intermediate Spot Price (dollars

 p 96.54794 94.124 97.13951 97.13951

 Natural Gas at Henry Hub (dollars per mmB

tu) 4.071219 2.75 3.602241 3.609134

 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per ton) 16/ 41.74017 39.94 40.25187 40.08542

 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per million Btu) 1

6/ 2.07225 1.9829 1.987327 1.979787

 Coal, Delivered (dollars per million Btu) 17/ 2.608907 2.595455 2.57566 2.568531

 Electricity (cents per kilowatthour) 10.07312 9.843192 9.790025 9.784437

Prices (nominal dollars per unit)

 Brent Spot Price (dollars per barrel) 111.26 111.65 108.11 108.11

 West Texas Intermediate Spot Price (dollars

 p 94.859 94.124 98.587 98.587

 Natural Gas at Henry Hub (dollars per mmB

tu) 4 2.75 3.655918 3.662914

 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per ton) 16/ 41.01 39.94 40.85167 40.68274

 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per million Btu) 1

6/ 2.036 1.9829 2.01694 2.009288

 Coal, Delivered (dollars per million Btu) 17/ 2.563269 2.595455 2.614041 2.606805

 Electricity (cents per kilowatthour) 9.896905 9.843192 9.935907 9.930236

 1/ Includes waste coal.

 2/ These values represent the energy obtained from uranium when it is used in light water reactors. The total energy conte

is much larger, but alternative processes are required to take advantage of it.

 3/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste; biomass, such as corn, used for liquid fuels production; a

energy demand from wood. Refer to Table 17 for details.

 4/ Includes grid-connected electricity from landfill gas; biogenic municipal waste; wind; photovoltaic and solar thermal sour

 9/ Includes crude oil, petroleum products, ethanol, and biodiesel.

 10/ Includes re-exported liquefied natural gas.

 11/ Balancing item. Includes unaccounted for supply, losses, gains, and net storage withdrawals.

 12/ Estimated consumption. Includes petroleum-derived fuels and non-petroleum-derived fuels, such as ethanol and biodie

synthetic liquids. Petroleum coke, which is a solid, is included. Also included are natural gas plant liquids and crude oil consu

Refer to Table 17 for detailed renewable liquid fuels consumption.

non-electric energy from renewable sources, such as active and passive solar systems. Excludes electricity imports using rene

and nonmarketed renewable energy. See Table 17 for selected nonmarketed residential and commercial renewable energy d

 5/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, methanol, and some domestic inputs to refineries.

 6/ Includes imports of finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, alcohols, ethers, blending components, and renewable 

 7/ Includes imports of liquefied natural gas that are later re-exported.

 8/ Includes coal, coal coke (net), and electricity (net). Excludes imports of fuel used in nuclear power plants.

 13/ Excludes coal converted to coal-based synthetic liquids and natural gas.

 14/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste, non-electric energy from wood, and biofuels heat and c

production of liquid fuels, but excludes the energy content of the liquid fuels.

 15/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, and net electricity imports.
 17/ Prices weighted by consumption; weighted average excludes export free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) prices.

 Btu = British thermal unit.

 MmBtu = Million Btu.

 - - = Not applicable.

 Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012

are model results and may differ from official EIA data reports.

 16/ Includes reported prices for both open market and captive mines. Prices weighted by production, which differs from av

published in EIA data reports where it is weighted by reported sales.

Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System.

2012 petroleum supply values and 2011 crude oil and lease condensate production: EIA,

Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013).

Other 2011 petroleum supply values: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2

2011 and 2012 crude oil spot prices and natural gas spot prices at Henry Hub: Thomson Reuters.

Other 2011 and 2012 coal values: EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2012, DOE/EIA-0121(2012/4Q) (Washingto

Other 2011 and 2012 values: EIA, Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013).

 Sources: 2011 natural gas supply values: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Natural Gas Annual

2011, DOE/EIA-0131(2011) (Washington, DC, January 2013).

2012 natural gas supply values: EIA, Natural Gas Monthly,

DOE/EIA-0130(2013/06) (Washington, DC, June 2013).

2011 and 2012 coal minemouth and delivered coal prices: EIA,

Annual Coal Report 2012, DOE/EIA-0584(2012) (Washington, DC, December 2013).
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

18.1714 18.17143 19.26069 19.26111 20.33731 20.35608 20.36707 20.38084

3.355431 3.355426 3.42044 3.419502 3.522686 3.51975 3.562144 3.565136

24.813 24.80203 25.17142 25.10653 26.24614 26.19779 26.95925 26.81716

21.20813 21.05217 21.33547 21.12928 20.55317 20.17824 21.07619 20.48039

7.942981 7.942981 8.096229 8.096229 8.207116 8.207116 8.341359 8.341359

2.650622 2.650595 2.708722 2.708673 2.758986 2.75891 2.812461 2.841786

3.999223 3.958701 4.165426 4.133912 4.272749 4.226321 4.358019 4.266353

2.363217 2.359689 2.677506 2.727967 2.896839 2.962982 2.9291 3.003623

0.578064 0.578064 0.23144 0.23144 0.236749 0.236749 0.236542 0.236542

85.08206 84.87109 87.06735 86.81464 89.03174 88.64393 90.64213 89.93319

14.51565 14.51572 13.92823 13.76765 13.08244 12.81779 13.18978 12.7607

3.798181 3.809406 4.123303 4.09206 4.186587 4.172355 4.195612 4.180168

3.211857 3.220427 3.185718 3.178569 3.151988 3.117184 2.906159 2.887683

0.362466 0.362169 0.258845 0.258517 0.214698 0.21398 0.169664 0.168097

21.88816 21.90772 21.49609 21.2968 20.63571 20.32131 20.46122 19.99665

6.161191 6.161566 6.325125 6.325462 6.372116 6.379344 6.369073 6.392522

1.804597 1.804597 2.041902 2.035699 2.340453 2.330968 2.8305 2.820151

2.713122 2.713122 2.787627 2.787628 2.903229 2.903229 2.977612 2.977612

10.67891 10.67928 11.15466 11.14879 11.6158 11.61354 12.17719 12.19028

-0.35255 -0.23848 -0.32044 -0.32383 -0.42134 -0.41876 -0.41461 -0.40443

36.04917 35.94732 36.29656 36.10623 36.64803 36.37429 36.84814 36.38945

25.75713 25.7547 26.06639 26.00076 26.91232 26.83893 26.88526 26.73364

18.85438 18.69687 18.61506 18.40854 17.66945 17.29417 18.07537 17.47712

7.942981 7.942981 8.096229 8.096229 8.207116 8.207116 8.341359 8.341359

2.650622 2.650595 2.708722 2.708673 2.758986 2.75891 2.812461 2.841786

2.668582 2.62806 2.91476 2.884099 3.023198 2.976987 3.091439 2.999372

2.363217 2.359689 2.677506 2.727967 2.896839 2.962982 2.9291 3.003623

0.357792 0.357805 0.353992 0.353987 0.357065 0.357077 0.357641 0.357628

96.64386 96.33801 97.72922 97.28648 98.47299 97.77046 99.34078 98.14398

98.89627 98.90598 97.14554 96.92441 93.43969 93.09601 91.83688 91.29322
93.09797 93.10711 89.44554 89.24194 87.76968 87.44685 88.83688 88.31097

3.736404 3.733615 3.743775 3.716439 4.139597 4.116209 4.402371 4.369258

39.90328 39.61053 40.54359 40.18909 42.85118 42.39973 44.32767 43.8679

1.98007 1.9659 2.030353 2.013076 2.14289 2.122279 2.21316 2.194156

2.534882 2.519145 2.623843 2.601114 2.666846 2.638577 2.726632 2.692312

9.803955 9.746548 9.914938 9.762507 9.929106 9.696011 9.992896 9.806475

102.2 102.2 101.9539 101.9749 99.5735 99.97013 99.29673 100.3086

96.208 96.208 93.87283 93.89209 93.5313 93.90385 96.05305 97.03188

3.861222 3.857962 3.92908 3.910093 4.41134 4.420146 4.759973 4.800732

41.23629 40.92974 42.55038 42.28323 45.66413 45.53048 47.92838 48.19995

2.046216 2.031374 2.13085 2.117971 2.283559 2.278986 2.392933 2.410834

2.619563 2.603044 2.753716 2.73665 2.841911 2.833407 2.948114 2.958184

10.13147 10.07115 10.4057 10.27121 10.5809 10.41196 10.80461 10.77489

ter reactors. The total energy content of uranium

n, used for liquid fuels production; and non-electric

photovoltaic and solar thermal sources; and

ved fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, and coal-based

gas plant liquids and crude oil consumed as a fuel.

cludes electricity imports using renewable sources

nd commercial renewable energy data.

ic inputs to refineries.

nding components, and renewable fuels such as ethanol.

uclear power plants.

 from wood, and biofuels heat and coproducts used in the
ship (f.a.s.) prices.

 2011 and 2012

by production, which differs from average minemouth prices

2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012).

OE/EIA-0121(2012/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2013).

hington, DC, September 2013).

Natural Gas Annual
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

20.40698 20.419 20.47467 20.43725 20.35689 20.31257 20.06895 20.02904

3.571301 3.562718 3.57011 3.558874 3.537801 3.532928 3.486942 3.483947

27.80065 27.4536 28.81139 28.1313 29.72948 29.02497 30.35463 29.60694

21.51942 20.90383 21.66577 21.12957 21.69561 21.17685 21.82454 21.11433

8.301382 8.301383 8.281041 8.281041 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711

2.807105 2.837367 2.807286 2.837473 2.80738 2.837515 2.820622 2.837635

4.456756 4.366086 4.549244 4.465669 4.660515 4.518723 4.781521 4.623556

2.963052 3.039221 2.98826 3.053128 3.009697 3.087559 3.017597 3.103158

0.236668 0.236668 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875

92.06332 91.11987 93.38465 92.1312 94.18897 92.8827 94.74639 93.19019

13.18716 12.5663 13.08312 12.36347 13.14919 12.30647 13.37023 12.39526

4.2054 4.208025 4.212552 4.201756 4.211941 4.202538 4.218445 4.211223

2.746573 2.696172 2.560081 2.535251 2.393827 2.375883 2.309532 2.256332

0.152623 0.15072 0.157916 0.145774 0.165169 0.141437 0.161332 0.156451

20.29175 19.62122 20.01367 19.24625 19.92013 19.02633 20.05954 19.01926

6.355498 6.379632 6.332831 6.349673 6.296359 6.320009 6.262405 6.295549

3.368448 3.367027 3.935825 3.933828 4.299899 4.494548 4.592299 4.748716

3.053907 3.053907 3.073065 3.070708 3.131833 3.131833 3.152359 3.151185

12.77785 12.80057 13.34172 13.35421 13.72809 13.94639 14.00707 14.19545

-0.39736 -0.38723 -0.37137 -0.37045 -0.3495 -0.34787 -0.32663 -0.32438

36.92159 36.27466 36.90893 36.11302 36.85823 35.92844 36.77004 35.70171

27.02075 26.62512 27.27073 26.5678 27.65428 26.73429 27.89837 26.9392

18.44146 17.82357 18.57608 18.02836 18.55729 18.0139 18.65778 17.94283

8.301382 8.301383 8.281041 8.281041 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711

2.807105 2.837367 2.807286 2.837473 2.80738 2.837515 2.820622 2.837635

3.17603 3.083297 3.254736 3.171984 3.349997 3.215257 3.462363 3.316168

2.963052 3.039221 2.98826 3.053128 3.009697 3.087559 3.017597 3.103158

0.343218 0.34313 0.340899 0.34087 0.338922 0.338844 0.344019 0.342981

99.97458 98.32776 100.428 98.39368 100.7305 98.3105 101.1255 98.33838

92.4959 91.72765 94.37606 93.46445 96.56677 95.50937 99.0533 97.83627

2021
89.9959 89.24842 92.27606 91.38474 94.56677 93.53127 97.0533 95.86083

4.799526 4.629056 4.659445 4.739442 4.376477 4.51495 4.666059 4.439548

45.39918 45.00136 46.00825 45.74408 46.52229 46.30516 47.17603 46.83247

2.265799 2.250745 2.298764 2.286928 2.326292 2.316915 2.359769 2.347478

2.787476 2.755323 2.824931 2.799508 2.850596 2.830663 2.882941 2.855877

10.0997 9.977779 10.19156 10.06922 10.14027 10.10706 10.10081 10.05462

101.5405 103.4297 105.2127 108.4194 109.3729 114.2049 114.0292 120.6772

98.79604 100.6342 102.8715 106.0069 107.1077 111.8396 111.7268 118.2406

5.268842 5.219601 5.19446 5.497786 4.956861 5.398731 5.371521 5.476009

49.83849 50.74234 51.29109 53.06344 52.69182 55.36918 54.30858 57.76603

2.487357 2.537881 2.562717 2.652852 2.634791 2.77044 2.716542 2.895522

3.060045 3.106829 3.1493 3.247448 3.228626 3.384752 3.318813 3.522613

11.08729 11.25068 11.36179 11.68036 11.48502 12.08547 11.62795 12.40198

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

19.797363 19.726751 19.588774 19.507233 19.336222 19.24489 19.190516 19.075912

3.615733 3.581611 3.734002 3.69321 3.795619 3.759443 3.841077 3.807074

30.852615 29.915485 31.604639 30.53087 32.128975 30.882107 32.565762 31.201923

21.943829 21.239628 22.013521 21.402643 22.20298 21.413237 22.364708 21.523249

8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154716 8.154716

2.821391 2.837783 2.834963 2.837932 2.841253 2.838088 2.841416 2.838222

4.852269 4.706735 4.949065 4.748595 4.991743 4.800946 5.081632 4.849515

3.024961 3.122074 3.048689 3.129983 3.075994 3.145301 3.085657 3.159305

0.236875 0.236875 0.236668 0.236875 0.236668 0.236668 0.236875 0.236875

95.299744 93.521645 96.165031 94.24205 96.76416 94.475388 97.362358 94.846786

13.471543 12.375824 13.537369 12.309898 13.672913 12.314678 13.702909 12.219724

4.224775 4.201827 4.213912 4.199896 4.20438 4.185137 4.196534 4.181661

2.208058 2.124297 2.121711 2.042368 2.094624 2.011441 2.038294 1.957669

0.172805 0.169349 0.165868 0.157004 0.171333 0.162796 0.14894 0.135349

20.077179 18.8713 20.038858 18.709166 20.14325 18.674051 20.086678 18.494404

6.335088 6.338159 6.403109 6.39669 6.445256 6.441656 6.484701 6.485577

4.682336 4.833418 4.992368 5.185117 5.282618 5.297138 5.44732 5.461329

3.188219 3.188219 3.232064 3.232064 3.272233 3.264626 3.307855 3.269378

14.205644 14.359797 14.627541 14.81387 15.000107 15.00342 15.239875 15.216284

-0.312188 -0.305506 -0.283621 -0.29132 -0.260056 -0.27533 -0.243354 -0.247721

36.657078 35.429153 36.539845 35.178841 36.412403 34.919727 36.280689 34.63224

28.203798 27.029894 28.555622 27.207373 28.758499 27.414442 28.971956 27.513693

18.75152 18.036129 18.768921 18.150547 18.930254 18.1376 19.025957 18.2103

8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154716 8.154716

2.821391 2.837783 2.834963 2.837932 2.841253 2.838088 2.841416 2.838222

3.519106 3.379081 3.610688 3.424139 3.650854 3.47064 3.74386 3.51921

3.024961 3.122074 3.048689 3.129983 3.075994 3.145301 3.085657 3.159305

0.350907 0.349834 0.346535 0.345146 0.34339 0.340835 0.348266 0.344951

101.483467 98.338654 101.85997 98.428665 102.167358 98.421349 102.452515 98.372627

101.571045 100.177994 104.215752 102.635941 106.68821 104.905891 108.988052 107.003708

2022 2023 2024 2025
99.571045 98.205429 102.215752 100.666252 104.688217 102.939308 106.988045 105.040115

4.821756 4.483842 4.958053 4.699736 5.11958 4.795829 5.233528 4.974164

47.639824 47.474739 48.214897 48.127991 49.06646 48.784725 49.668922 49.247917

2.386652 2.383241 2.416909 2.416306 2.458772 2.449168 2.491694 2.475759

2.916656 2.891781 2.945767 2.925613 2.982548 2.952664 3.018979 2.986209

10.015067 10.092216 9.983873 10.082653 10.093805 10.067577 10.123871 10.113838

118.883827 127.704903 124.058952 135.413803 129.19516 143.289932 134.247238 151.178513

116.542931 125.190315 121.678146 132.815079 126.773239 140.60379 131.783722 148.404297

5.643625 5.715912 5.902091 6.200646 6.199606 6.550576 6.446456 7.027671

55.760033 60.519848 57.395256 63.498165 59.417515 66.634583 61.180248 69.579155

2.793456 3.038108 2.8771 3.187978 2.977474 3.345295 3.069172 3.497838

3.4138 3.686384 3.506655 3.859938 3.611746 4.033015 3.718661 4.219019

11.722136 12.865355 11.884852 13.302653 12.223194 13.751205 12.47019 14.289178

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

18.827377 18.639853 18.479458 18.22765 18.153067 17.853607 17.865959 17.576313

3.882074 3.840885 3.907962 3.863929 3.932132 3.893183 3.945454 3.895056

33.17931 31.425081 33.798073 31.912706 34.387623 32.403324 34.836823 32.868595

22.312677 21.501364 22.320375 21.500319 22.310526 21.440317 22.429293 21.521612

8.154716 8.154716 8.154711 8.154711 8.163456 8.154711 8.177249 8.154711

2.842601 2.838357 2.850831 2.838463 2.855819 2.838564 2.867222 2.842927

5.120971 4.902009 5.147976 4.919647 5.177241 4.956806 5.241425 4.976249

3.106894 3.170739 3.145751 3.193692 3.17336 3.218101 3.197264 3.231514

0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668

97.663292 94.709671 98.041809 94.847794 98.3899 94.995285 98.797363 95.30365

13.988398 12.444866 14.313476 12.679505 14.575418 12.861354 14.824636 12.966301

4.17438 4.164902 4.155082 4.141096 4.133234 4.110453 4.106264 4.081038

1.986471 1.920177 1.95378 1.887918 1.950454 1.873755 1.970111 1.869012

0.160833 0.137874 0.173443 0.142554 0.198209 0.150996 0.175567 0.155937

20.310081 18.66782 20.595779 18.851072 20.857317 18.996555 21.07658 19.072289

6.571178 6.571702 6.658559 6.651224 6.709257 6.713497 6.786674 6.779294

5.724477 5.540161 6.07186 5.885454 6.405602 6.216995 6.746223 6.575678

3.272009 3.231409 3.269187 3.230794 3.296443 3.235815 3.390912 3.345461

15.567664 15.343272 15.999607 15.767472 16.411301 16.166306 16.923809 16.700434

-0.231986 -0.238692 -0.219532 -0.21876 -0.211531 -0.208408 -0.191185 -0.183527

36.125835 34.343163 36.010014 34.070129 35.887566 33.801048 35.744495 33.519054

29.252851 27.619331 29.486954 27.725441 29.73498 27.866608 29.858309 27.962698

19.019447 18.228037 19.052816 18.241209 19.044132 18.188608 19.038383 18.15671

8.154716 8.154716 8.154711 8.154711 8.163456 8.154711 8.177249 8.154711

2.842601 2.838357 2.850831 2.838463 2.855819 2.838564 2.867222 2.842927

3.783503 3.568272 3.809391 3.58591 3.837834 3.626506 3.902033 3.645943

3.106894 3.170739 3.145751 3.193692 3.17336 3.218101 3.197264 3.231514

0.351854 0.350299 0.347044 0.3406 0.350301 0.339803 0.356361 0.34548

102.637695 98.272911 102.857513 98.150154 103.047447 98.033943 103.141319 97.859032

110.920845 108.871544 113.348221 111.160934 115.313896 112.976303 117.3424 114.764809

2026 2027 2028 2029
108.920845 106.908493 111.348213 109.199532 113.313896 111.016846 115.3424 112.808739

5.360766 5.134153 5.487433 5.272003 5.59464 5.3736 5.776204 5.547831

50.185238 49.834908 50.811157 50.52195 51.595455 51.241463 52.265583 51.846302

2.520603 2.505973 2.552941 2.543511 2.592211 2.580547 2.627047 2.612129

3.053654 3.021886 3.082893 3.056599 3.111119 3.081109 3.137243 3.103677

10.163352 10.085598 10.240662 10.220685 10.280457 10.27707 10.334393 10.303707

138.992798 159.03479 144.522156 168.14328 149.637344 176.928192 155.054718 186.313797

136.486633 156.167252 141.972107 165.176422 147.042038 173.859558 152.411942 183.138229

6.717474 7.499747 6.996632 7.974491 7.259898 8.415406 7.632601 9.006571

62.886166 72.796654 64.785652 76.420067 66.952965 80.247444 69.063057 84.169373

3.15852 3.660615 3.255072 3.847344 3.363789 4.041304 3.471346 4.240635

3.826476 4.414239 3.930775 4.623446 4.03715 4.825215 4.145512 5.038634

12.735503 14.7326 13.057131 15.459922 13.34046 16.094557 13.655731 16.727453

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

17.711773 17.40333 17.404036 17.128471 17.225822 16.923906 17.17374 16.622532

3.984065 3.918668 4.026133 3.936094 4.052212 3.964031 4.067114 3.990084

35.18605 33.372856 35.426735 33.549149 35.811348 33.762554 36.170731 34.001003

22.612162 21.669098 22.63945 21.70134 22.64122 21.677496 22.618437 21.686935

8.181016 8.154711 8.190217 8.154711 8.192535 8.154711 8.203629 8.154711

2.872291 2.843005 2.875683 2.843073 2.881055 2.84314 2.881191 2.843239

5.294027 5.024656 5.338264 5.042326 5.358579 5.062461 5.38223 5.082047

3.225287 3.247433 3.26386 3.259852 3.303057 3.273425 3.331328 3.28541

0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.23646 0.23646

99.303345 95.87043 99.401047 95.851685 99.702499 95.898392 100.064857 95.902412

15.004932 12.983387 15.326821 13.197363 15.512356 13.314757 15.581769 13.549527

4.078588 4.057458 4.059441 4.0269 4.060393 4.004359 4.039649 3.99533

2.013158 1.873117 2.05434 1.933619 2.023565 1.930051 2.023806 1.942017

0.118782 0.108195 0.115244 0.106665 0.109283 0.114827 0.100264 0.106275

21.215458 19.022158 21.555847 19.264545 21.705597 19.363995 21.745487 19.593149

6.907672 6.854432 7.022534 6.950993 7.127731 7.042706 7.204719 7.151627

6.963191 6.964603 7.108747 7.121623 7.279791 7.29592 7.377421 7.429931

3.552814 3.532385 3.612713 3.592756 3.655406 3.582644 3.655339 3.618609

17.423676 17.351421 17.743994 17.665371 18.062929 17.92127 18.237478 18.200167

-0.171375 -0.167665 -0.160147 -0.14785 -0.151667 -0.120462 -0.133417 -0.097412

35.649609 33.277729 35.566242 33.095238 35.488327 32.912827 35.416527 32.745407

30.030592 28.076645 30.164454 28.144724 30.343412 28.165445 30.593811 28.270893

19.006927 18.081627 18.969868 18.054014 18.927328 18.03335 18.900223 18.003294

8.181016 8.154711 8.190217 8.154711 8.192535 8.154711 8.203629 8.154711

2.872291 2.843005 2.875683 2.843073 2.881055 2.84314 2.881191 2.843239

3.953909 3.694345 3.995415 3.712037 4.015746 3.732187 4.039173 3.748593

3.225287 3.247433 3.26386 3.259852 3.303057 3.273425 3.331328 3.28541

0.346868 0.333336 0.347306 0.335069 0.345367 0.346504 0.340406 0.341262

103.266502 97.708832 103.373047 97.598709 103.496834 97.461578 103.706284 97.392807

118.993767 116.230247 121.067307 118.082336 123.396637 120.281227 125.632835 122.711456

2030 2031 2032 2033
116.993767 114.276695 119.067307 116.131638 121.396645 118.331734 123.632835 120.757957

6.034758 5.64707 6.169094 5.851986 6.359075 6.050321 6.585333 6.198103

53.14962 52.851368 53.745762 53.390923 54.279789 53.981659 54.963959 54.584862

2.668806 2.658302 2.696581 2.682808 2.724712 2.714702 2.756246 2.745277

3.171798 3.132777 3.195009 3.154068 3.219081 3.182331 3.24436 3.210133

10.425936 10.324251 10.520489 10.349606 10.553414 10.411896 10.573455 10.461965

160.186829 195.526932 166.207062 205.919861 172.806366 217.413681 179.548264 230.053223

157.494476 192.240601 163.461365 202.518112 170.005539 213.889877 176.689957 226.390915

8.12386 9.499716 8.469231 10.205084 8.905336 10.936224 9.411434 11.61989

71.548866 88.908577 73.784782 93.106651 76.014168 97.574249 78.551781 102.332939

3.592689 4.471897 3.701997 4.67846 3.815724 4.906946 3.939092 5.146707

4.269806 5.270077 4.386264 5.500274 4.508046 5.752205 4.63668 6.018196

14.035169 17.367847 14.443036 18.048332 14.779147 18.819965 15.111061 19.613562

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

17.050535 16.550041 16.813204 16.459606 16.564762 16.363443 16.449987 16.254816

4.0895 4.02003 4.082143 4.009636 4.054708 4.00287 4.094332 3.994071

36.517929 34.320919 36.887135 34.671249 37.160206 35.025181 37.48925 35.367256

22.650522 21.677013 22.676699 21.755203 22.573128 21.649076 22.325602 21.420486

8.215731 8.154711 8.228396 8.154711 8.269506 8.154711 8.319079 8.154711

2.883274 2.849832 2.889709 2.851765 2.892824 2.852507 2.892971 2.86255

5.418451 5.110288 5.442934 5.147247 5.466829 5.173742 5.494514 5.199347

3.384349 3.29442 3.442269 3.304714 3.530954 3.319651 3.612816 3.332871

0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646

100.446747 96.213715 100.698944 96.590576 100.749374 96.777634 100.915009 96.822563

15.789996 13.578166 16.123373 13.642287 16.466021 13.741631 16.688995 13.873507

4.01438 3.986428 4.000389 3.980057 3.990967 3.979446 3.971073 3.976148

2.037226 1.960567 2.055088 1.979314 2.097705 2.0211 2.138121 2.061986

0.091871 0.09643 0.108073 0.093616 0.112101 0.085089 0.123591 0.083086

21.933474 19.621592 22.286922 19.695276 22.666792 19.827267 22.92178 19.994728

7.316747 7.256863 7.396861 7.334403 7.459906 7.426569 7.557948 7.499065

7.466819 7.554155 7.603891 7.705195 7.738072 7.859837 7.840524 7.981259

3.723315 3.656878 3.807796 3.765373 3.712768 3.682183 3.504877 3.481556

18.50688 18.467896 18.808548 18.804972 18.910746 18.968588 18.903349 18.961882

-0.122196 -0.085676 -0.106838 -0.065407 -0.097599 -0.055918 -0.089205 -0.042692

35.381374 32.607857 35.365353 32.477226 35.345112 32.371124 35.36573 32.301842

30.859961 28.476776 31.101389 28.687305 31.283096 28.924797 31.548811 29.182652

18.859365 17.957857 18.820854 17.925045 18.813879 17.898851 18.782572 17.867922

8.215731 8.154711 8.228396 8.154711 8.269506 8.154711 8.319079 8.154711

2.883274 2.849832 2.889709 2.851765 2.892824 2.852507 2.892971 2.86255

4.075393 3.776823 4.102876 3.813782 4.131771 3.840288 4.162952 3.865556

3.384349 3.29442 3.442269 3.304714 3.530954 3.319651 3.612816 3.332871

0.336099 0.334817 0.333315 0.331738 0.335887 0.330309 0.337718 0.329998

103.995537 97.453087 104.284157 97.546288 104.60302 97.69223 105.022644 97.898102

127.705498 124.510269 129.765854 126.174187 131.605621 127.663841 133.752213 129.628586

2034 2035 2036 2037
125.705505 122.56031 127.765854 124.229553 129.605621 125.723747 131.752213 127.690247

6.736744 6.267483 6.924771 6.555499 7.184536 6.697116 7.227438 6.685741

55.749699 55.044285 56.368313 55.982605 56.489666 56.195335 57.159962 56.699223

2.79165 2.769052 2.823757 2.81169 2.834356 2.827396 2.866313 2.85095

3.267167 3.236015 3.292048 3.258547 3.316737 3.282623 3.339171 3.304189

10.648924 10.550886 10.742988 10.579538 10.84128 10.645356 10.919644 10.691734

186.30925 242.341187 193.273895 255.061127 200.220428 268.257996 207.86586 283.220642

183.391449 238.545883 190.29509 251.130051 197.177689 264.181305 204.757645 278.985626

9.82822 12.198748 10.313788 13.251942 10.930314 14.072543 11.232244 14.607426

81.333099 107.135719 83.955238 113.168839 85.941505 118.082367 88.832954 123.880005

4.072731 5.389559 4.205718 5.683832 4.312095 5.941162 4.454571 6.228932

4.766462 6.298434 4.903192 6.587154 5.045974 6.897724 5.189445 7.219199

15.535689 20.53577 16.000658 21.386538 16.493565 22.368917 16.970345 23.359968

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

16.149881 16.10915 16.099022 16.057278 15.996357 16.036381 0.50% 0.50%

4.065044 3.931273 4.032364 3.941248 3.991315 3.920468 0.80% 0.70%

37.855762 35.579891 38.182117 35.853085 38.370724 36.090431 1.60% 1.40%

22.32378 21.410332 22.450769 21.476879 22.610752 21.665577 0.30% 0.20%

8.370747 8.154711 8.434354 8.154711 8.49116 8.154711 0.20% 0.00%

2.894455 2.8635 2.900717 2.863639 2.901317 2.863791 0.30% 0.20%

5.52736 5.212928 5.57404 5.220307 5.606266 5.244791 1.40% 1.20%

3.714874 3.357712 3.796523 3.390991 3.888971 3.421023 2.50% 2.00%

0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.236253 0.236253 -2.00% -2.00%

101.138359 96.855957 101.706367 97.194595 102.093109 97.633423 0.90% 0.80%

17.153801 14.075157 17.249319 14.098662 17.425735 14.110908 -0.20% -1.00%

3.950523 3.960329 3.958355 3.942448 3.92962 3.917202 -0.30% -0.30%

2.164393 2.124006 2.193256 2.150311 2.277222 2.21452 -1.20% -1.30%

0.12378 0.095911 0.130121 0.108964 0.097823 0.092808 -4.50% -4.70%

23.392498 20.255404 23.531052 20.300385 23.7304 20.335438 -0.40% -0.90%

7.63188 7.515467 7.664593 7.592549 7.700371 7.634516 0.70% 0.70%

7.946939 8.103606 8.060628 8.223051 8.09186 8.26055 5.90% 6.00%

3.507544 3.488008 3.641567 3.570926 3.78604 3.765193 0.60% 0.60%

19.086363 19.107082 19.366789 19.386526 19.57827 19.660259 2.00% 2.00%

-0.073557 -0.023272 -0.063383 -0.030722 -0.06649 -0.030647 - - - - 

35.397236 32.245201 35.390163 32.139 35.353397 32.036709 -0.10% -0.40%

31.830194 29.330853 32.067436 29.50861 32.319588 29.777775 0.80% 0.50%

18.777382 17.857702 18.772505 17.852627 18.747803 17.834044 0.30% 0.10%

8.370747 8.154711 8.434354 8.154711 8.49116 8.154711 0.20% 0.00%

2.894455 2.8635 2.900717 2.863639 2.901317 2.863791 0.30% 0.20%

4.194007 3.883733 4.230904 3.892371 4.261736 3.915877 1.90% 1.60%

3.714874 3.357712 3.796523 3.390991 3.888971 3.421023 2.50% 2.00%

0.339146 0.334139 0.341411 0.337224 0.347764 0.335318 -0.40% -0.50%

105.518051 98.02755 105.934013 98.139175 106.311729 98.339249 0.40% 0.10%

135.774567 131.258636 138.460205 133.730652 141.456161 136.523712 0.80% 0.70%

2038 2039 2040 Growth Rate (2012-2040)
133.774567 129.325165 136.460205 131.798965 139.456177 134.593445 1.40% 1.30%

7.262855 6.943284 7.423724 7.161473 7.652016 7.189444 3.70% 3.50%

57.470722 57.231571 58.026016 57.516747 59.155956 58.570904 1.40% 1.40%

2.881977 2.877165 2.907769 2.890171 2.960135 2.938333 1.40% 1.40%

3.35985 3.325241 3.390973 3.351992 3.42591 3.37922 1.00% 0.90%

10.953766 10.767891 11.037162 10.862707 11.134843 10.797623 0.40% 0.30%

215.550919 298.352936 224.620239 316.288757 234.53244 335.89978 2.70% 4.00%

212.375778 293.95813 221.375687 311.720093 231.216492 331.150604 3.30% 4.60%

11.530252 15.782192 12.043307 16.937727 12.686941 17.68874 5.60% 6.90%

91.238487 130.088257 94.134041 136.033875 98.079788 144.106491 3.30% 4.70%

4.575325 6.53984 4.717194 6.835595 4.907864 7.229407 3.30% 4.70%

5.333979 7.558324 5.501083 7.927856 5.680112 8.314154 2.80% 4.20%

17.389812 24.475584 17.905289 25.691582 18.461422 26.566221 2.30% 3.60%

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

 Crude Oil

 Domestic Crude Production 1/ 9.416503 9.397527 9.288825 9.25585

 Alaska 0.412837 0.412837 0.388714 0.388714

 Lower 48 States 9.003667 8.984691 8.900111 8.867136

 Net Imports 5.888945 5.449039 5.942179 5.447834

 Gross Imports 6.036173 5.596268 6.080156 5.585811

 Exports 0.147228 0.147228 0.137977 0.137977

 Other Crude Supply 2/ 0 0 0 0

 Total Crude Supply 15.30545 14.84657 15.231005 14.703684

 Other Petroleum Supply 0.238948 0.18584 0.160282 0.115645

 Net Product Imports -0.83164 -0.86845 -0.891071 -0.915068

 Gross Refined Product Imports 3/ 0.989906 0.981467 1.006778 0.990698

 Unfinished Oil Imports 0.518693 0.518693 0.515077 0.515077

 Blending Component Imports 0.606742 0.605566 0.595522 0.595909

 Exports 2.946979 2.974172 3.008449 3.016753

 Refinery Processing Gain 4/ 1.070587 1.054287 1.051354 1.030713

 Product Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0

 Other Non-petroleum Supply 3.932692 3.915488 4.046521 4.006035

 Supply from Renewable Sources 1.026421 1.020795 1.04257 1.037225

 Ethanol 0.899872 0.883444 0.915509 0.898026

 Domestic Production 0.838685 0.818497 0.84875 0.831288

 Net Imports 0.061187 0.064947 0.066759 0.066739

 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0

 Biodiesel 0.088487 0.087073 0.089 0.08892

 Domestic Production 0.076729 0.075386 0.07703 0.07703

 Net Imports 0.011758 0.011687 0.01197 0.011889

 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0

 Other Biomass-derived Liquids 5/ 0.038061 0.050278 0.038061 0.050278

 Domestic Production 0.038061 0.050278 0.038061 0.050278

 Net Imports 0 0 0 0

 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0

 Liquids from Gas 2.60798 2.605733 2.704508 2.678952

 Natural Gas Plant Liquids 2.60798 2.605733 2.704508 2.678952

 Gas-to-Liquids 0 0 0 0

 Liquids from Coal 0 0 0 0

 Other 6/ 0.298292 0.288959 0.299444 0.289859

 Total Primary Supply 7/ 19.47709 18.94789 19.437809 18.825363

Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and Disposition

(million barrels per day, unless otherwise noted)

Supply and Disposition

2021 2022
 Product Supplied 5.790852 5.601329 5.839431 5.619617

 by Fuel 16.438384 16.047669 16.38804 15.935933

 Liquefied Petroleum Gases and Other 8/ 2.742324 2.691669 2.779921 2.720527

 Motor Gasoline 9/ 8.227413 8.11913 8.100252 7.968296

 of which: E85 10/ 0.162138 0.164995 0.204473 0.20991

 Jet Fuel 11/ 1.496483 1.484637 1.502339 1.488837

 Distillate Fuel Oil 12/ 4.319947 4.093233 4.348485 4.093716

 of which: Diesel 3.972164 3.752233 4.005528 3.758273

 Residual Fuel Oil 0.389863 0.385071 0.38962 0.384097

 Other 13/ 2.310882 2.183589 2.326933 2.17955

 by Sector

 Residential and Commercial 0.873473 0.869866 0.864389 0.860278

 Industrial 14/ 5.42516 5.207498 5.48176 5.230692

 Transportation 13.10847 12.80244 13.021044 12.6661

 Electric Power 15/ 0.08098 0.078651 0.081549 0.079098

 Total 19.48692 18.95733 19.44755 18.835024

 Discrepancy 16/ -0.00983 -0.00944 -0.009741 -0.009661

Domestic Refinery Distillation Capacity 17/ 18.12966 18.12966 18.129658 18.129658

Capacity Utilization Rate (percent) 18/ 84.42215 81.89104 84.011528 81.102928

Net Import Share of Product Supplied (perce

nt) 26.33993 24.57912 26.391024 24.49564

Net Expenditures for Imports of Crude Oil a

nd

 Petroleum Products (billion 2012 dollars) 207.3263 189.7994 214.502243 194.328156

16.93547

 1/ Includes lease condensate.

 2/ Strategic petroleum reserve stock additions plus unaccounted for crude oil and crude stock withdrawals minus crude pro

 3/ Includes other hydrocarbons and alcohols.

 4/ The volumetric amount by which total output is greater than input due to the processing of crude oil into products which

have a lower specific gravity than the crude oil processed.

 5/ Includes pyrolysis oils, biomass-derived Fischer-Tropsch liquids, biobutanol, and renewable feedstocks used for the

cold starting issues, the percentage of ethanol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of

74 percent is used for this forecast.

 11/ Includes only kerosene type.

on-site production of diesel and gasoline.

 6/ Includes domestic sources of other blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers.

 7/ Total crude supply plus other petroleum supply plus other non-petroleum supply.

 8/ Includes ethane, natural gasoline, and refinery olefins.

 9/ Includes ethanol and ethers blended into gasoline.

 10/ E85 refers to a blend of 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address
 12/ Includes distillate fuel oil from petroleum and biomass feedstocks.

 13/ Includes kerosene, aviation gasoline, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants, waxes, asphalt, road oil, still gas,

special naphthas, petroleum coke, crude oil product supplied, methanol, and miscellaneous petroleum products.

Other 2012 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013).

Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System.

 - - = Not applicable.

 Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012

are model results and may differ from official EIA data reports.

 Sources: 2011 and 2012 product supplied based on: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA),

Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013).

Other 2011 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012).

 14/ Includes energy for combined heat and power plants that have a non-regulatory status, and small on-site generating sy

 15/ Includes consumption of energy by electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status.

 16/ Balancing item. Includes unaccounted for supply, losses, and gains.

 17/ End-of-year operable capacity.

 18/ Rate is calculated by dividing the gross annual input to atmospheric crude oil distillation units by their

operable refining capacity in barrels per calendar day.
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

9.190735 9.153136 9.072848 9.03053 9.004183 8.950871 8.832944 8.745314

0.36631 0.36631 0.345685 0.345685 0.326669 0.326669 0.307665 0.307665

8.824425 8.786826 8.727163 8.684845 8.677514 8.624203 8.525279 8.437649

5.974879 5.421006 6.035929 5.422943 6.052687 5.380779 6.187996 5.482528

6.109093 5.555221 6.16848 5.555494 6.183692 5.511785 6.31792 5.612451

0.134215 0.134215 0.132551 0.132551 0.131005 0.131005 0.129924 0.129924

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

15.165613 14.574142 15.108777 14.453472 15.05687 14.331651 15.020941 14.227841

0.089492 0.044176 0.038306 -0.00755 -0.009492 -0.062266 -0.08664 -0.137652

-0.942516 -0.963858 -0.975656 -0.99655 -1.006822 -1.027595 -1.068271 -1.084962

1.01992 1.001245 1.03091 1.015811 1.05515 1.026715 1.058768 1.040581

0.511461 0.511461 0.507846 0.507846 0.504231 0.504231 0.500615 0.500615

0.586201 0.587269 0.575914 0.573341 0.550558 0.564921 0.538036 0.543576

3.060099 3.063833 3.090325 3.093548 3.116761 3.123461 3.16569 3.169734

1.032008 1.008034 1.013961 0.989001 0.99733 0.96533 0.981631 0.94731

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4.13366 4.090694 4.182935 4.138651 4.214941 4.173586 4.244542 4.201786

1.040906 1.037634 1.042815 1.036447 1.041019 1.037042 1.040587 1.039907

0.914924 0.899861 0.915553 0.898795 0.915236 0.899264 0.915088 0.900485

0.854392 0.831302 0.854377 0.83569 0.854388 0.83569 0.854392 0.835683

0.060532 0.06856 0.061176 0.063105 0.060848 0.063573 0.060696 0.064803

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.088025 0.087494 0.089305 0.087477 0.087722 0.0875 0.087542 0.089247

0.075851 0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.075544 0.075386 0.075386 0.077146

0.012174 0.012108 0.012159 0.012091 0.012178 0.012114 0.012155 0.012102

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.037958 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175

0.037958 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2.793027 2.76252 2.839025 2.811954 2.872898 2.847439 2.903315 2.872403

2.793027 2.76252 2.839025 2.811954 2.872898 2.847439 2.903315 2.872403

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.299727 0.290541 0.301095 0.29025 0.301023 0.289105 0.30064 0.289475

19.388767 18.709013 19.330017 18.584572 19.262318 18.442972 19.178843 18.291975

2023 2024 2025 2026
5.887284 5.646283 5.933704 5.677136 5.970933 5.693729 5.985422 5.694448

16.326228 15.822808 16.240906 15.693138 16.144405 15.540634 16.043649 15.38455

2.815053 2.750314 2.834736 2.775943 2.843309 2.781815 2.840814 2.777341

7.963089 7.808892 7.821501 7.641741 7.672413 7.463881 7.538225 7.297091

0.222566 0.234668 0.242672 0.256068 0.262485 0.281853 0.279335 0.306238

1.508082 1.493557 1.514818 1.499295 1.522291 1.505126 1.529134 1.51034

4.378462 4.100627 4.404473 4.101923 4.436998 4.111108 4.460839 4.115834

4.040004 3.770045 4.069851 3.776159 4.106392 3.789812 4.135476 3.799778

0.390509 0.384649 0.392071 0.385228 0.392706 0.385574 0.392729 0.386003

2.343264 2.180738 2.372275 2.190201 2.404312 2.205044 2.426516 2.215048

0.856255 0.851496 0.848676 0.8436 0.841073 0.835328 0.833714 0.827143

5.536664 5.262894 5.589576 5.298027 5.635637 5.321144 5.657545 5.328629

12.924597 12.525912 12.819832 12.373958 12.713536 12.217359 12.616394 12.067966

0.082155 0.079623 0.08302 0.079925 0.083024 0.079907 0.081849 0.079105

19.398457 18.718777 19.339874 18.59433 19.272028 18.452549 19.188255 18.301657

-0.009689 -0.009764 -0.009857 -0.009758 -0.00971 -0.009577 -0.009413 -0.009682

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658

83.650841 80.38839 83.337349 79.722801 83.051041 79.050865 82.852859 78.478264

26.330032 24.254704 26.557705 24.222178 26.574638 24.013866 27.074511 24.461384

220.992096 198.503998 228.389603 202.427719 234.269226 204.645966 243.981995 212.512894

stock withdrawals minus crude product supplied.

ing of crude oil into products which, in total,

wable feedstocks used for the

nol content of

ne (nonrenewable). To address
phalt, road oil, still gas,

us petroleum products.

n, DC, September 2013).

 2011 and 2012

n, DC, August 2012).

us, and small on-site generating systems.

ants that have a regulatory status.

ion units by their
Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

8.66966 8.551946 8.515922 8.376325 8.380416 8.245762 8.304714 8.162722

0.288774 0.288774 0.271349 0.271349 0.255255 0.255255 0.240371 0.240371

8.380886 8.263172 8.244573 8.104976 8.125161 7.990507 8.064343 7.922351

6.332961 5.586545 6.455387 5.671608 6.566886 5.718318 6.635491 5.723905

6.462374 5.71596 6.583871 5.800093 6.695328 5.846759 6.765434 5.853848

0.129414 0.129414 0.128485 0.128485 0.128441 0.128441 0.129943 0.129943

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

15.002621 14.138491 14.971308 14.047933 14.947302 13.96408 14.940206 13.886626

-0.149423 -0.205919 -0.195052 -0.270869 -0.257532 -0.333205 -0.336527 -0.39916

-1.122708 -1.138517 -1.158872 -1.189224 -1.214273 -1.239077 -1.293569 -1.291988

1.065757 1.045527 1.065918 1.046118 1.061431 1.041712 1.056016 1.040657

0.497 0.497 0.493385 0.493385 0.489769 0.489769 0.486154 0.486154

0.524864 0.529558 0.51505 0.515686 0.505088 0.504998 0.496122 0.494222

3.210329 3.210602 3.233226 3.244414 3.270561 3.275556 3.331861 3.313021

0.973285 0.932598 0.963821 0.918355 0.956742 0.905872 0.957042 0.892829

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4.266077 4.219076 4.283629 4.237919 4.290867 4.236521 4.322494 4.253311

1.040669 1.039909 1.040782 1.03762 1.04022 1.037749 1.040669 1.037628

0.915186 0.900521 0.915334 0.900014 0.91476 0.900128 0.914831 0.899995

0.85523 0.835683 0.855847 0.835686 0.855835 0.83569 0.855847 0.835694

0.059957 0.064838 0.059487 0.064327 0.058925 0.064438 0.058984 0.0643

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.087525 0.089213 0.08749 0.087432 0.087502 0.087446 0.08788 0.087459

0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.075386 0.075386 0.075386 0.07575 0.075386

0.012139 0.012067 0.012104 0.012046 0.012116 0.01206 0.012131 0.012073

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175

0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2.922893 2.889831 2.940651 2.91142 2.950508 2.912771 2.978853 2.929972

2.922893 2.889831 2.940651 2.91142 2.950508 2.912771 2.978853 2.929972

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.302516 0.289337 0.302197 0.288879 0.300139 0.286002 0.302972 0.28571

19.119274 18.151648 19.059887 18.014982 18.980637 17.867395 18.926172 17.740778

2027 2028 2029 2030
6.016669 5.706054 6.042064 5.710952 6.031832 5.687559 6.030659 5.66918

15.957199 15.231963 15.885176 15.090311 15.806398 14.954199 15.745043 14.835456

2.844868 2.776608 2.857808 2.776372 2.848682 2.765212 2.840257 2.754894

7.41816 7.14177 7.31573 7.004065 7.224996 6.878806 7.146273 6.766458

0.294067 0.326706 0.305464 0.343178 0.313237 0.357678 0.318727 0.368611

1.53507 1.514718 1.540705 1.5187 1.545791 1.522208 1.550583 1.525358

4.47965 4.109755 4.487029 4.097168 4.498954 4.089481 4.516384 4.086142

4.159101 3.798867 4.170933 3.791174 4.186929 3.787973 4.20793 3.788746

0.39312 0.386391 0.394136 0.386457 0.394859 0.38691 0.396202 0.387424

2.458132 2.232167 2.474024 2.242129 2.476266 2.233929 2.485746 2.229466

0.826392 0.818874 0.819928 0.811213 0.813193 0.803779 0.807109 0.796964

5.694529 5.345308 5.724005 5.354008 5.71842 5.333894 5.722938 5.319901

12.527696 11.919618 12.445028 11.782169 12.377145 11.661172 12.324268 11.555061

0.081641 0.078804 0.081735 0.0787 0.08204 0.078884 0.082366 0.078991

19.129 18.161409 19.069431 18.024893 18.989548 17.876547 18.935446 17.749741

-0.009726 -0.009762 -0.009544 -0.009911 -0.008911 -0.009151 -0.009274 -0.008963

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658

82.751808 77.98542 82.579086 77.485916 82.446686 77.023392 82.407532 76.596176

27.628391 24.928505 28.164417 25.305363 28.574669 25.497496 28.600803 25.412018

254.790054 220.807526 263.618317 227.833954 272.543701 233.34053 278.598022 236.335953

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

8.159544 8.031879 8.072735 7.932821 8.044679 7.790892 7.984591 7.753178

0.226587 0.226587 0.273065 0.213805 0.340211 0.201937 0.388438 0.250164

7.932957 7.805292 7.79967 7.719016 7.704468 7.588954 7.596154 7.503014

6.779545 5.819617 6.862329 5.874372 6.897704 5.98298 6.998343 5.998932

6.909001 5.949073 6.989813 6.001856 7.023462 6.108739 7.123044 6.123633

0.129456 0.129456 0.127484 0.127484 0.125759 0.125759 0.124701 0.124701

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

14.939089 13.851496 14.935063 13.807194 14.942383 13.773872 14.982935 13.75211

-0.415023 -0.474069 -0.473337 -0.545828 -0.533088 -0.619954 -0.618314 -0.693029

-1.368313 -1.360743 -1.427032 -1.426328 -1.482378 -1.493319 -1.563064 -1.55937

1.05697 1.037131 1.070215 1.036632 1.072165 1.047891 1.07661 1.059891

0.482538 0.482538 0.478923 0.478923 0.475308 0.475308 0.471692 0.471692

0.486642 0.482324 0.477477 0.472441 0.468303 0.462553 0.456796 0.45267

3.394464 3.362735 3.453647 3.414325 3.498154 3.47907 3.568162 3.543623

0.95329 0.886674 0.953695 0.8805 0.949291 0.873365 0.94475 0.866342

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4.356712 4.266138 4.376366 4.288073 4.386152 4.308187 4.403698 4.32949

1.041856 1.037358 1.041098 1.038408 1.041115 1.039419 1.042102 1.039352

0.914635 0.899708 0.913895 0.900783 0.91389 0.900262 0.914847 0.900181

0.855847 0.835679 0.855835 0.835667 0.855835 0.835667 0.855835 0.835667

0.058788 0.064029 0.05806 0.065116 0.058056 0.064595 0.059012 0.064514

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.089263 0.087475 0.089245 0.08745 0.08937 0.089086 0.089402 0.0891

0.077146 0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.077261 0.077011 0.077261 0.077017

0.012118 0.012089 0.0121 0.012064 0.01211 0.012074 0.012141 0.012083

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071

0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3.010346 2.94256 3.028849 2.96277 3.038397 2.982388 3.054612 3.003846

3.010346 2.94256 3.028849 2.96277 3.038397 2.982388 3.054612 3.003846

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.30451 0.28622 0.306419 0.286895 0.30664 0.286381 0.306984 0.286291

18.880777 17.643566 18.838093 17.549438 18.795446 17.462105 18.768318 17.388571

2031 2032 2033 2034
6.029663 5.659402 6.026745 5.649551 6.010539 5.635678 5.994172 5.624006

15.69667 14.736919 15.651812 14.64431 15.612072 14.561259 15.575609 14.486427

2.836118 2.743698 2.830849 2.735325 2.818017 2.72598 2.792467 2.713211

7.080946 6.670387 7.02686 6.585707 6.982539 6.50852 6.943378 6.440768

0.321052 0.376489 0.319027 0.383066 0.314672 0.38472 0.309967 0.384144

1.555024 1.528188 1.559142 1.530716 1.562889 1.532972 1.566164 1.534828

4.528018 4.086884 4.53449 4.080866 4.544459 4.07794 4.566219 4.078216

4.224582 3.794646 4.234961 3.792562 4.248627 3.793787 4.2736 3.79762

0.396595 0.387824 0.396963 0.388598 0.398011 0.389064 0.398714 0.389238

2.493514 2.235642 2.499404 2.237324 2.498679 2.236481 2.510372 2.240961

0.80122 0.790156 0.795458 0.783334 0.790069 0.776704 0.784119 0.770771

5.727085 5.315573 5.727955 5.309916 5.715195 5.299194 5.703929 5.292738

12.281888 11.470179 12.24421 11.388372 12.219083 11.318069 12.208592 11.256604

0.08125 0.077882 0.081303 0.078078 0.081449 0.078141 0.081865 0.078251

18.890217 17.652622 18.84771 17.558537 18.804594 17.470957 18.777315 17.397221

-0.009439 -0.009056 -0.009617 -0.009098 -0.009148 -0.008852 -0.008997 -0.00865

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658

82.40139 76.402405 82.379173 76.158035 82.419548 75.974243 82.643227 75.854218

29.035553 25.703379 29.225126 25.785578 29.185209 26.14994 29.338976 25.971994

289.048889 243.16362 297.603973 250.093918 305.143311 259.808624 315.754913 264.852844

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

7.872269 7.709124 7.754629 7.662413 7.699487 7.610111 7.558843 7.540687

0.378168 0.318908 0.368597 0.368597 0.359665 0.359665 0.321691 0.351322

7.494101 7.390216 7.386033 7.293817 7.339821 7.250445 7.237151 7.189365

7.149344 6.030087 7.303795 6.072554 7.406397 6.13335 7.618123 6.227519

7.272789 6.153533 7.427744 6.196503 7.530535 6.257487 7.742245 6.35164

0.123445 0.123445 0.123949 0.123949 0.124137 0.124137 0.124122 0.124122

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

15.021612 13.739212 15.058424 13.734966 15.105885 13.743461 15.176966 13.768206

-0.668815 -0.745559 -0.704074 -0.797507 -0.769498 -0.837203 -0.811373 -0.848042

-1.613156 -1.605453 -1.650264 -1.65398 -1.716191 -1.691069 -1.761562 -1.701789

1.082227 1.070638 1.093154 1.086456 1.095712 1.101345 1.097255 1.105129

0.468077 0.468077 0.464462 0.464462 0.460846 0.460846 0.45723 0.45723

0.448365 0.443279 0.437879 0.433407 0.428378 0.424521 0.418416 0.414649

3.611825 3.587447 3.645758 3.638304 3.701127 3.677781 3.734463 3.678798

0.94434 0.859894 0.94619 0.856473 0.946693 0.853866 0.950189 0.853748

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4.399092 4.320786 4.377561 4.316371 4.406972 4.311654 4.389887 4.262145

1.04151 1.039222 1.039404 1.039425 1.038624 1.039974 1.041671 1.037553

0.914258 0.900053 0.91218 0.900256 0.911655 0.900636 0.914454 0.899496

0.853584 0.835667 0.849833 0.835667 0.847575 0.835667 0.848554 0.833685

0.060674 0.064386 0.062348 0.064589 0.06408 0.064969 0.0659 0.065811

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.089397 0.089097 0.08937 0.089098 0.089115 0.089267 0.089363 0.089098

0.077261 0.077017 0.077261 0.077011 0.077011 0.077184 0.077261 0.077011

0.012137 0.01208 0.012109 0.012087 0.012103 0.012082 0.012102 0.012086

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.048959

0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.048959

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3.04924 2.995132 3.028998 2.989513 3.058621 2.983441 3.037477 2.936938

3.04924 2.995132 3.028998 2.989513 3.058621 2.983441 3.037477 2.936938

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.308342 0.286433 0.309159 0.287433 0.309727 0.288239 0.310739 0.287654

18.751888 17.31444 18.731911 17.25383 18.743359 17.217911 18.75548 17.182308

2035 2036 2037 2038
5.985247 5.607544 5.973822 5.594207 5.988903 5.599845 5.99751 5.599074

15.558127 14.408481 15.533104 14.345914 15.534312 14.301671 15.528578 14.251166

2.782671 2.693167 2.76675 2.67794 2.771581 2.675535 2.7629 2.661008

6.909336 6.378287 6.881879 6.323015 6.862229 6.274787 6.849751 6.231403

0.297484 0.380681 0.281486 0.374233 0.264501 0.363638 0.245667 0.346893

1.569109 1.536364 1.573336 1.539078 1.577515 1.541707 1.58163 1.544133

4.586548 4.078006 4.59785 4.080296 4.60704 4.08115 4.615688 4.083397

4.297011 3.800663 4.311139 3.805881 4.322987 3.809642 4.334297 3.814622

0.399925 0.390333 0.401219 0.391252 0.40173 0.391631 0.402443 0.393118

2.513114 2.246701 2.519142 2.2506 2.531539 2.261171 2.550776 2.276173

0.779706 0.765316 0.775552 0.760503 0.771922 0.755991 0.768688 0.751518

5.698501 5.28161 5.690427 5.27259 5.708889 5.282168 5.719102 5.284812

12.201549 11.198731 12.192887 11.151599 12.189212 11.110119 12.193395 11.074909

0.082123 0.078333 0.082472 0.078612 0.08277 0.078831 0.083155 0.079115

18.760704 17.322857 18.740177 17.262182 18.751633 17.225981 18.763191 17.189232

-0.008816 -0.008417 -0.008266 -0.008352 -0.008274 -0.00807 -0.007711 -0.006924

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658

82.856575 75.783073 83.059608 75.759651 83.321396 75.806503 83.713463 75.942993

29.91165 25.996229 30.578768 26.053631 30.764973 26.247852 31.64176 26.792828

327.328461 269.924591 338.679474 274.799194 347.810272 281.972931 363.353607 289.935425

Reference Low growth Reference Low growth Reference Low growth

7.530283 7.512097 7.480167 7.499392 0.50% 0.50%

0.288702 0.343518 0.259987 0.30658 -2.50% -1.90%

7.241581 7.16858 7.220181 7.192811 0.70% 0.70%

7.662498 6.238018 7.742801 6.243674 -0.30% -1.10%

7.786319 6.361838 7.866511 6.367384 -0.30% -1.00%

0.123821 0.123821 0.12371 0.12371 2.60% 2.60%

0 0 0 0 - - - -

15.192781 13.750114 15.222968 13.743065 0.00% -0.30%

-0.822815 -0.904255 -0.862155 -0.942033 - - - - 

-1.777179 -1.754295 -1.816797 -1.789852 2.50% 2.40%

1.108745 1.107656 1.097406 1.10552 0.90% 1.00%

0.453616 0.453616 0.45 0.45 -1.00% -1.00%

0.408454 0.404776 0.398491 0.394903 -1.50% -1.60%

3.747993 3.720342 3.762695 3.740276 0.80% 0.80%

0.954364 0.85004 0.954642 0.84782 -0.40% -0.90%

0 0 0 0 - - - -

4.378557 4.271891 4.36415 4.259696 0.80% 0.70%

1.0533 1.039845 1.067689 1.042423 0.70% 0.60%

0.928873 0.918048 0.946005 0.923088 0.50% 0.40%

0.859024 0.850457 0.862785 0.853626 0.10% 0.00%

0.069849 0.067591 0.08322 0.069462 - - - -

0 0 0 0 - - - -

0.089108 0.089077 0.089448 0.089441 - - - -

0.077011 0.077011 0.077376 0.077376 0.70% 0.70%

0.012096 0.012066 0.012072 0.012065 - - - -

0 0 0 0 - - - -

0.035319 0.032719 0.032237 0.029894 - - - -

0.035319 0.032719 0.032237 0.029894 - - - -

0 0 0 0 - - - -

0 0 0 0 - - - -

3.013617 2.94435 2.983552 2.929423 0.80% 0.70%

3.013617 2.94435 2.983552 2.929423 0.80% 0.70%

0 0 0 0 - - - -

0 0 0 0 - - - -

0.31164 0.287696 0.312909 0.28785 1.80% 1.50%

18.748524 17.11775 18.724962 17.060728 0.00% -0.30%

2039 2040 Growth Rate (2012-2040)
5.981876 5.581393 5.956533 5.561709

15.523166 14.19561 15.503649 14.145595

2.749513 2.652188 2.728679 2.640012 0.60% 0.50%

6.844498 6.184044 6.840818 6.145713 -0.90% -1.20%

0.237414 0.343066 0.22813 0.325445 11.90% 13.30%

1.585529 1.546199 1.589608 1.548459 0.50% 0.40%

4.62244 4.079254 4.620763 4.074823 0.80% 0.30%

4.343626 3.813179 4.344544 3.811411 0.80% 0.40%

0.403421 0.393888 0.404459 0.393987 0.60% 0.50%

2.550128 2.269242 2.547176 2.264298 0.90% 0.50%

0.764992 0.746741 0.761034 0.742131 -0.80% -0.80%

5.70614 5.270696 5.683921 5.254875 0.90% 0.60%

12.201965 11.029038 12.203708 10.991612 -0.30% -0.70%

0.083572 0.079444 0.083962 0.079765 -0.70% -0.90%

18.755531 17.124817 18.731504 17.067293 0.00% -0.30%

-0.007008 -0.007067 -0.006542 -0.006565 - - - -

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 0.20% 0.20%

83.800713 75.843208 83.967209 75.804321 -0.20% -0.60%

31.827915 26.658756 32.156517 26.583559 -0.80% -1.50%

372.929199 295.774231 385.393707 302.297546 0.70% -0.10%