Reference CaseLow Economic Growth Case Imported Crude Oil 6.036 5.596 Domestic Crude Oil **9.417 9.398**  Total Crude Oil 15.31 14.85
Light Product Demand 16.05 15.66 Imported Light Products 1.6518 1.6327 Exported Products 2.9470 2.9742 Net Imported Products -0.8316 -0.8685

Other Product Demand 5.7909 5.6013

Refinery Capacity 18.13 18.13 refinery Utilization 84.42 81.89
Reduction in Imported Crude 0.4399 Reduction in Domestic Crude 0.0190 Reduction in Total Crude 0.4589 Percent change in Imported Crude 95.9
Reduction in Light Product Demand 0.3859 Reduction in Imported Light Products 0.0191 Reduction in Exported Products -0.0272 Reduction in Net Imported Products 0.0368

Reduction in Other Product Demand 0.1895 0.0000 Change in Refinery Utilization 2.5311
Percent reduction in Imported Crude Oil 95.86

Adjusted Reduction in Imported Crude 0.2950 Adjusted Reduction in Domestic Crude 0.0127
Percent reduction in imported crude oil 88.6 Percent reduction in domestic crude oil 3.8 Percent reduction in net imported product 9.5 101.9 20210.86Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case 6.080 5.586 6.109 5.555 6.168 **9.289 9.256**  **9.191 9.153**  **9.073** 15.23 14.70 15.17 14.57 15.11

16.00 15.55 15.94 15.44 15.85 1.6704 1.6416 1.6736 1.6467 1.6834 3.0084 3.0168 3.0601 3.0638 3.0903 -0.8911 -0.9151 -0.9425 -0.9639 -0.9757

5.8394 5.6196 5.8873 5.6463 5.9337

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 84.01 81.10 83.65 80.39 83.34

0.4943 0.5539 0.0330 0.0376 0.5273 0.5915 93.7 93.6

0.4466 0.4976 0.0287 0.0269 -0.0083 -0.0037 0.0240 0.0213

0.2198 0.2410 0.0000 0.0000 2.9086 3.2625

93.75 93.64

0.3313 0.3731 0.0221 0.0253

85.9 86.9 5.7 5.9 6.4 5.4 98.1 98.2 2022 2023 2024Factor used to account for higher energy density of crude oilLow Economic

Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case 5.555 6.184 5.512 6.318 5.612 **9.031 9.004**  **8.951 8.833**  **8.745** 14.45 15.06 14.33 15.02 14.23

15.31 15.75 15.16 15.65 15.00 1.6450 1.6634 1.6495 1.6500 1.6252 3.0935 3.1168 3.1235 3.1657 3.1697 -0.9966 -1.0068 -1.0276 -1.0683 -1.0850

5.6771 5.9709 5.6937 5.9854 5.6944

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 79.72 83.05 79.05 82.85 78.48

0.6130 0.6719 0.7055 0.0423 0.0533 0.0876 0.6553 0.7252 0.7931 93.5 92.6 89.0

0.5409 0.5966 0.6524 0.0384 0.0139 0.0249 -0.0032 -0.0067 -0.0040 0.0209 0.0208 0.0167

0.2566 0.2772 0.2910 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 3.6145 4.0002 4.3746

93.54 92.65 88.95

0.4158 0.4588 0.4879 0.0287 0.0364 0.0606

89.0 89.1 86.6 6.1 7.1 10.8 7.1 2.3 3.8 102.3 98.5 101.2 2024 2025 2026Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case 6.462 5.716 6.584 5.800 6.695 **8.670 8.552**  **8.516 8.376**  **8.380** 15.00 14.14 14.97 14.05 14.95

15.56 14.85 15.49 14.70 15.41 1.6412 1.6141 1.6260 1.5960 1.5957 3.2103 3.2106 3.2332 3.2444 3.2706 -1.1227 -1.1385 -1.1589 -1.1892 -1.2143

6.0167 5.7061 6.0421 5.7110 6.0318

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 82.75 77.99 82.58 77.49 82.45

0.7464 0.7838 0.1177 0.1396 0.8641 0.9234 86.4 84.9

0.7185 0.7872 0.0271 0.0300 -0.0003 -0.0112 0.0158 0.0304

0.3106 0.3311 0.0000 0.0000 4.7664 5.0932

86.38 84.88

0.5211 0.5517 0.0822 0.0983

84.0 81.2 13.3 14.5 3.8 3.8 101.0 99.5 2028 2029 2027Low Economic

Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case 5.847 6.765 5.854 6.909 5.949 **8.246 8.305**  **8.163 8.160**  **8.032** 13.96 14.94 13.89 14.94 13.85

14.57 15.35 14.45 15.30 14.35 1.5695 1.5684 1.5466 1.5501 1.5207 3.2756 3.3319 3.3130 3.3945 3.3627 -1.2391 -1.2936 -1.2920 -1.3683 -1.3607

5.6876 6.0307 5.6692 6.0297 5.6594

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 77.02 82.41 76.60 82.40 76.40

0.8486 0.9116 0.9599 0.1347 0.1420 0.1277 0.9832 1.0536 1.0876 86.3 86.5 88.3

0.8443 0.9008 0.9510 0.0261 0.0219 0.0294 -0.0050 0.0188 0.0317 0.0248 -0.0016 -0.0076

0.1895 0.3615 0.3703 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 5.4233 5.8114 5.9990

86.30 86.52 88.26

0.6930 0.6505 0.6909 0.1100 0.1013 0.0919

95.1 83.7 84.2 15.1 13.0 11.2 3.1 2.4 3.1 113.3 99.1 98.4 2029 2030 2031Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case 6.990 6.002 7.023 6.109 7.123 **8.073 7.933**  **8.045 7.791**  **7.985** 14.94 13.81 14.94 13.77 14.98

15.25 14.26 15.21 14.17 15.18 1.5457 1.5066 1.5341 1.5093 1.5330 3.4536 3.4143 3.4982 3.4791 3.5682 -1.4270 -1.4263 -1.4824 -1.4933 -1.5631

6.0267 5.6496 6.0105 5.6357 5.9942

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 82.38 76.16 82.42 75.97 82.64

0.9880 0.9147 0.1399 0.2538 1.1279 1.1685 87.6 78.3

0.9991 1.0419 0.0391 0.0249 0.0393 0.0191 -0.0007 0.0109

0.3772 0.3749 0.0000 0.0000 6.2211 6.4453

87.60 78.28

0.7172 0.6727 0.1016 0.1866

83.2 74.8 11.8 20.8 3.9 2.4 98.8 97.9 2032 2033 2034Low Economic

Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case 6.124 7.273 6.154 7.428 6.197 **7.753 7.872**  **7.709 7.755**  **7.662** 13.75 15.02 13.74 15.06 13.73

14.10 15.16 14.02 15.13 13.95 1.5148 1.5329 1.5127 1.5392 1.5195 3.5436 3.6118 3.5874 3.6458 3.6383 -1.5594 -1.6132 -1.6055 -1.6503 -1.6540

5.6240 5.9852 5.6075 5.9738 5.5942

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 75.85 82.86 75.78 83.06 75.76

0.9994 1.1193 1.2312 0.2314 0.1631 0.0922 1.2308 1.2824 1.3235 81.2 87.3 93.0

1.0797 1.1401 1.1772 0.0182 0.0202 0.0197 0.0245 0.0244 0.0075 -0.0037 -0.0077 0.0037

0.3702 0.3777 0.3796 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 6.7890 7.0735 7.3000

81.20 87.28 93.03

0.7443 0.8407 0.9310 0.1723 0.1225 0.0697

79.8 85.4 91.6 18.5 12.5 6.9 1.7 1.8 1.7 100.0 99.6 100.1 2034 2035 2036Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case Reference Case 7.531 6.257 7.742 6.352 7.786 **7.699 7.610**  **7.559 7.541**  **7.530** 15.11 13.74 15.18 13.77 15.19

15.13 13.91 15.13 13.86 15.12 1.5333 1.5335 1.5239 1.5221 1.5101 3.7011 3.6778 3.7345 3.6788 3.7480 -1.7162 -1.6911 -1.7616 -1.7018 -1.7772

5.9889 5.5998 5.9975 5.5991 5.9819

18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 18.13 83.32 75.81 83.71 75.94 83.80

1.2730 1.3906 0.0894 0.0182 1.3624 1.4088 93.4 98.7

1.2225 1.2681 -0.0002 0.0018 0.0233 0.0557 -0.0251 -0.0598

0.3891 0.3984 0.0000 0.0000 7.5149 7.7705

93.44 98.71

0.9657 1.0581 0.0678 0.0138

91.5 96.7 6.4 1.3 0.0 0.1 97.9 98.1 2037 2038 2039Low Economic

Growth Case Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case 6.362 7.867 6.367 **7.512 7.480**  **7.499** 13.75 15.22 13.74

13.80 15.10 13.75 1.5109 1.4988 1.4936 3.7203 3.7627 3.7403 -1.7543 -1.8168 -1.7899

5.5814 5.9565 5.5617

18.13 18.13 18.13 75.84 83.97 75.80

1.4245 1.4991 0.0182 -0.0192 1.4427 1.4799 98.7 101.3

1.3180 1.3476 -0.0008 0.0052 0.0277 0.0224 -0.0229 -0.0269

0.4005 0.3948 0.0000 0.0000 7.9575 8.1629

98.74 101.30

1.0925 1.1594 0.0139 -0.0149 Average over the years 2021 to 2040 96.0 99.7 87.6 1.2 -1.3 9.2 -0.1 0.4 3.1 97.2 98.8 100.0 2039 204090.8Total percentage of imported petroleumAverage over the years 2021 to 2040Total percentage of imported petroleum**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference**

**Crude Oil** Canada 3.319465 3.235554 3.319785 3.188432 3.341267 Mexico 0.398189 0.329823 0.398315 0.324843 0.405117 North Sea 0.01824 0.016757 0.018327 0.016666 0.018505 OPEC 1.815287 1.517711 1.841174 1.541975 1.866933 Latin America 0.544586 0.455313 0.552352 0.462593 0.56008 North Africa 0.054459 0.045531 0.055235 0.046259 0.056008 West Africa 0.272293 0.227657 0.276176 0.231296 0.28004 Persian Gulf 0.943949 0.78921 0.957411 0.801827 0.970805 Other Middle East 0 0 0 0 0 Other Latin America 0.364809 0.335149 0.366546 0.333313 0.370109 Other Africa 0.091202 0.083787 0.091636 0.083328 0.092527 Other Asia 0.072962 0.06703 0.073309 0.066663 0.074022 Total Crude Oil 6.080156 5.585811 6.109093 5.555221 6.16848
**Light Refined Products 1/** Canada 0.684849 0.673072 0.68618 0.675133 0.690181 Northern Europe 0.417591 0.41041 0.418403 0.411667 0.420842 Southern Europe 0.066815 0.065666 0.066944 0.065867 0.067335 OPEC 0.133629 0.131331 0.133889 0.131733 0.134669 Latin America 0.040089 0.039399 0.040167 0.03952 0.040401 North Africa 0.034744 0.034146 0.034811 0.034251 0.035014 West Africa 0.04677 0.045966 0.046861 0.046107 0.047134 Persian Gulf 0.012027 0.01182 0.01205 0.011856 0.01212 Caribbean Basin 0.033407 0.032833 0.033472 0.032933 0.033667 Asian Exporters 0.167036 0.164164 0.167361 0.164667 0.168337 Other 0.167036 0.164164 0.167361 0.164667 0.168337 Total Light Refined Products 1.670363 1.641639 1.67361 1.646666 1.683369
**Heavy Refined Products 2/** Canada 0.125064 0.125153 0.124889 0.124805 0.124718 Northern Europe 0.089332 0.089395 0.089207 0.089146 0.089085 Southern Europe 0.017866 0.017879 0.017841 0.017829 0.017817 OPEC 0.125064 0.125153 0.124889 0.124805 0.124718 Latin America 0.008755 0.008761 0.008742 0.008736 0.00873 North Africa 0.087545 0.087607 0.087422 0.087363 0.087303 West Africa 0.02001 0.020025 0.019982 0.019969 0.019955 Persian Gulf 0.008755 0.008761 0.008742 0.008736 0.00873 

### Imported Liquids by Source **(million barrels per day)**

**Sources 2023**  **2024 2022** Caribbean Basin 0.044666 0.044698 0.044603 0.044573 0.044542

Asian Exporters 0.303728 0.303944 0.303302 0.303097 0.302888 Other 0.187597 0.18773 0.187334 0.187207 0.187078 Total Heavy Refined Products 0.893317 0.893953 0.892066 0.891461 0.890846

- - = Not applicable. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. natural gasoline, liquefied petroleum gases, olefins, ethanol, and biodiesel. 2/ Includes residual fuel oil, asphalt, road oil, lubricants, petrochemical feedstocks, and unfinished oils. OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries - Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela. Caribbean Basin = Bahama Islands, Colombia, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Netherlands Antilles, Panama, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, and the Virgin Islands. 1/ Includes motor gasoline, motor gasoline blending components, aviation gasoline, jet fuel, distillate fuel oil, ethane,**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.206072 3.316306 3.238432 3.333754 3.302866 3.370225 3.316943 3.393368 0.330908 0.43064 0.325048 0.442892 0.320882 0.461959 0.349001 0.473708 0.016666 0.018551 0.016535 0.018954 0.016837 0.019387 0.017148 0.019752 1.51852 1.880214 1.452244 1.972661 1.483583 2.048577 1.535579 2.124246 0.455556 0.564064 0.435673 0.591798 0.445075 0.614573 0.460674 0.637274 0.045556 0.056406 0.043567 0.05918 0.044507 0.061457 0.046067 0.063727 0.227778 0.282032 0.217837 0.295899 0.222537 0.307287 0.230337 0.318637 0.78963 0.977711 0.755167 1.025784 0.771463 1.06526 0.798501 1.104608 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.33333 0.371022 0.330707 0.379075 0.336747 0.387742 0.342958 0.395032 0.083332 0.092755 0.082677 0.094769 0.084187 0.096936 0.085739 0.098758 0.066666 0.074204 0.066141 0.075815 0.067349 0.077548 0.068592 0.079006 5.555494 6.183692 5.511785 6.31792 5.612451 6.462374 5.71596 6.583871

0.674435 0.681992 0.676275 0.676517 0.666326 0.672885 0.661773 0.666658 0.411241 0.415849 0.412363 0.41251 0.406297 0.410295 0.40352 0.406499 0.065798 0.066536 0.065978 0.066002 0.065007 0.065647 0.064563 0.06504 0.131597 0.133072 0.131956 0.132003 0.130015 0.131295 0.129126 0.13008 0.039479 0.039921 0.039587 0.039601 0.039004 0.039388 0.038738 0.039024 0.034215 0.034599 0.034309 0.034321 0.033804 0.034137 0.033573 0.033821 0.046059 0.046575 0.046185 0.046201 0.045505 0.045953 0.045194 0.045528 0.011844 0.011976 0.011876 0.01188 0.011701 0.011817 0.011621 0.011707 0.032899 0.033268 0.032989 0.033001 0.032504 0.032824 0.032282 0.03252 0.164496 0.16634 0.164945 0.165004 0.162519 0.164118 0.161408 0.162599 0.164496 0.16634 0.164945 0.165004 0.162519 0.164118 0.161408 0.162599 1.644962 1.663395 1.649451 1.650042 1.625186 1.641182 1.614081 1.625994

0.124718 0.12644 0.124632 0.126366 0.126052 0.126336 0.125989 0.125877 0.089085 0.090315 0.089023 0.090261 0.090037 0.09024 0.089992 0.089912 0.017817 0.018063 0.017805 0.018052 0.018007 0.018048 0.017998 0.017982 0.124718 0.12644 0.124632 0.126366 0.126052 0.126336 0.125989 0.125877 0.00873 0.008851 0.008724 0.008846 0.008824 0.008844 0.008819 0.008811 0.087303 0.088508 0.087243 0.088456 0.088236 0.088435 0.088193 0.088114 0.019955 0.02023 0.019941 0.020218 0.020168 0.020214 0.020158 0.02014 0.00873 0.008851 0.008724 0.008846 0.008824 0.008844 0.008819 0.008811 **2024 2025**  **2026 2027**  **2028**0.044542 0.045157 0.044512 0.045131 0.045018 0.04512 0.044996 0.044956

0.302888 0.307069 0.302679 0.306888 0.306125 0.306817 0.305974 0.305701 0.187078 0.18966 0.186949 0.189548 0.189077 0.189505 0.188984 0.188815 0.890846 0.903145 0.890231 0.902611 0.900368 0.902402 0.899924 0.899121

2/ Includes residual fuel oil, asphalt, road oil, lubricants, petrochemical feedstocks, and unfinished oils. OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries - Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar,

Caribbean Basin = Bahama Islands, Colombia, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Netherlands Antilles, Panama, Puerto Rico, Trinidad 1/ Includes motor gasoline, motor gasoline blending components, aviation gasoline, jet fuel, distillate fuel oil, ethane,**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.321267 3.476158 3.341444 3.561017 3.378742 3.608663 3.43137 3.593213 0.355939 0.469063 0.350803 0.457683 0.337211 0.471684 0.342006 0.491522 0.0174 0.020086 0.01754 0.020296 0.017562 0.020727 0.017847 0.020969 1.600879 2.147527 1.628304 2.137845 1.611049 2.206845 1.64028 2.275994 0.480264 0.644258 0.488491 0.641353 0.483315 0.662053 0.492084 0.682798 0.048026 0.064426 0.048849 0.064135 0.048331 0.066205 0.049208 0.06828 0.240132 0.322129 0.244246 0.320677 0.241657 0.331027 0.246042 0.341399 0.832457 1.116714 0.846718 1.111679 0.837746 1.147559 0.852945 1.183517 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.348006 0.40172 0.350806 0.405926 0.351231 0.41454 0.356944 0.419389 0.087001 0.10043 0.087701 0.101482 0.087808 0.103635 0.089236 0.104847 0.069601 0.080344 0.070161 0.081185 0.070246 0.082908 0.071389 0.083878 5.800093 6.695328 5.846759 6.765434 5.853848 6.909001 5.949073 6.989813

0.654369 0.654218 0.643498 0.64306 0.634098 0.635556 0.623505 0.633721 0.399006 0.398913 0.392377 0.39211 0.386645 0.387534 0.380186 0.386415 0.063841 0.063826 0.06278 0.062738 0.061863 0.062005 0.06083 0.061826 0.127682 0.127652 0.125561 0.125475 0.123726 0.124011 0.121659 0.123653 0.038305 0.038296 0.037668 0.037643 0.037118 0.037203 0.036498 0.037096 0.033197 0.03319 0.032646 0.032624 0.032169 0.032243 0.031631 0.03215 0.044689 0.044678 0.043946 0.043916 0.043304 0.043404 0.042581 0.043279 0.011491 0.011489 0.0113 0.011293 0.011135 0.011161 0.010949 0.011129 0.03192 0.031913 0.03139 0.031369 0.030932 0.031003 0.030415 0.030913 0.159602 0.159565 0.156951 0.156844 0.154658 0.155014 0.152074 0.154566 0.159602 0.159565 0.156951 0.156844 0.154658 0.155014 0.152074 0.154566 1.596023 1.595653 1.569508 1.568439 1.54658 1.550135 1.520743 1.545662

0.126248 0.125823 0.126082 0.125888 0.125991 0.125443 0.125605 0.12641 0.090177 0.089873 0.090059 0.08992 0.089994 0.089602 0.089718 0.090293 0.018035 0.017975 0.018012 0.017984 0.017999 0.01792 0.017944 0.018059 0.126248 0.125823 0.126082 0.125888 0.125991 0.125443 0.125605 0.12641 0.008837 0.008808 0.008826 0.008812 0.008819 0.008781 0.008792 0.008849 0.088374 0.088076 0.088257 0.088121 0.088194 0.08781 0.087924 0.088487 0.0202 0.020132 0.020173 0.020142 0.020159 0.020071 0.020097 0.020226 0.008837 0.008808 0.008826 0.008812 0.008819 0.008781 0.008792 0.008849 **2028 2029**  **2030 2031**  **2032**0.045089 0.044937 0.045029 0.04496 0.044997 0.044801 0.044859 0.045146

0.306603 0.305569 0.306199 0.305727 0.305978 0.304648 0.305041 0.306996 0.189373 0.188734 0.189123 0.188832 0.188987 0.188165 0.188408 0.189615 0.901775 0.898733 0.900586 0.899198 0.899936 0.896024 0.897179 0.90293**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.446947 3.541662 3.556179 3.551211 3.548741 3.644773 3.547346 3.747947 0.342185 0.508797 0.344605 0.534471 0.345042 0.54321 0.350425 0.552497 0.018006 0.02107 0.018326 0.021369 0.018371 0.021818 0.018461 0.022283 1.672557 2.340893 1.65817 2.396288 1.678723 2.430257 1.701944 2.458803 0.501767 0.702268 0.497451 0.718886 0.503617 0.729077 0.510583 0.737641 0.050177 0.070227 0.049745 0.071889 0.050362 0.072908 0.051058 0.073764 0.250884 0.351134 0.248725 0.359443 0.251808 0.364538 0.255292 0.36882 0.86973 1.217264 0.862248 1.24607 0.872936 1.263733 0.885011 1.278577 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.360111 0.421408 0.366524 0.427383 0.367418 0.436367 0.369212 0.445665 0.090028 0.105352 0.091631 0.106846 0.091854 0.109092 0.092303 0.111416 0.072022 0.084282 0.073305 0.085477 0.073484 0.087273 0.073842 0.089133 6.001856 7.023462 6.108739 7.123044 6.123633 7.272789 6.153533 7.427744

0.617687 0.628994 0.618797 0.628538 0.621072 0.628472 0.620193 0.631078 0.376639 0.383533 0.377315 0.383255 0.378702 0.383214 0.378166 0.384804 0.060262 0.061365 0.06037 0.061321 0.060592 0.061314 0.060507 0.061569 0.120524 0.122731 0.120741 0.122642 0.121185 0.122629 0.121013 0.123137 0.036157 0.036819 0.036222 0.036792 0.036355 0.036789 0.036304 0.036941 0.031336 0.03191 0.031393 0.031887 0.031508 0.031883 0.031463 0.032016 0.042184 0.042956 0.042259 0.042925 0.042415 0.04292 0.042355 0.043098 0.010847 0.011046 0.010867 0.011038 0.010907 0.011037 0.010891 0.011082 0.030131 0.030683 0.030185 0.03066 0.030296 0.030657 0.030253 0.030784 0.150655 0.153413 0.150926 0.153302 0.151481 0.153286 0.151267 0.153922 0.150655 0.153413 0.150926 0.153302 0.151481 0.153286 0.151267 0.153922 1.506555 1.534131 1.50926 1.533019 1.51481 1.532858 1.512666 1.539216

0.125109 0.126118 0.124679 0.125065 0.124471 0.124696 0.124348 0.124246 0.089364 0.090084 0.089056 0.089332 0.088908 0.089068 0.08882 0.088747 0.017873 0.018017 0.017811 0.017866 0.017782 0.017814 0.017764 0.017749 0.125109 0.126118 0.124679 0.125065 0.124471 0.124696 0.124348 0.124246 0.008758 0.008828 0.008728 0.008755 0.008713 0.008729 0.008704 0.008697 0.087576 0.088283 0.087275 0.087545 0.08713 0.087287 0.087044 0.086972 0.020017 0.020179 0.019949 0.02001 0.019915 0.019951 0.019896 0.019879 0.008758 0.008828 0.008728 0.008755 0.008713 0.008729 0.008704 0.008697

**2033 2034**  **2035 2036**  **2032**0.044682 0.045042 0.044528 0.044666 0.044454 0.044534 0.04441 0.044373

0.303837 0.306287 0.302792 0.303729 0.302286 0.302832 0.301989 0.30174 0.187664 0.189177 0.187019 0.187597 0.186706 0.187043 0.186523 0.186369 0.893637 0.900843 0.890564 0.89332 0.889077 0.890683 0.888203 0.887469**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.574214 3.831086 3.637882 3.940742 3.697567 4.012207 3.733467 4.021209 0.353225 0.558256 0.347336 0.577288 0.35046 0.582499 0.352763 0.611661 0.01859 0.022592 0.018772 0.023227 0.019055 0.023359 0.019086 0.023636 1.711379 2.463445 1.709096 2.527412 1.731965 2.490845 1.703043 2.536623 0.513414 0.739033 0.512729 0.758224 0.51959 0.747254 0.510913 0.760987 0.051341 0.073903 0.051273 0.075822 0.051959 0.074725 0.051091 0.076099 0.256707 0.369517 0.256364 0.379112 0.259795 0.373627 0.255456 0.380493 0.889917 1.280991 0.88873 1.314254 0.900622 1.295239 0.885582 1.319044 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.37179 0.451832 0.375449 0.464535 0.381098 0.467179 0.38171 0.472714 0.092948 0.112958 0.093862 0.116134 0.095275 0.116795 0.095428 0.118178 0.074358 0.090366 0.07509 0.092907 0.07622 0.093436 0.076342 0.094543 6.196503 7.530535 6.257487 7.742245 6.35164 7.786319 6.361838 7.878564

0.623002 0.628671 0.628747 0.624818 0.624069 0.619122 0.619454 0.614522 0.379879 0.383336 0.383382 0.380986 0.38053 0.377514 0.377716 0.374709 0.060781 0.061334 0.061341 0.060958 0.060885 0.060402 0.060434 0.059953 0.121561 0.122668 0.122682 0.121916 0.12177 0.120804 0.120869 0.119907 0.036468 0.0368 0.036805 0.036575 0.036531 0.036241 0.036261 0.035972 0.031606 0.031894 0.031897 0.031698 0.03166 0.031409 0.031426 0.031176 0.042546 0.042934 0.042939 0.04267 0.042619 0.042282 0.042304 0.041967 0.010941 0.01104 0.011041 0.010972 0.010959 0.010872 0.010878 0.010792 0.03039 0.030667 0.030671 0.030479 0.030442 0.030201 0.030217 0.029977 0.151952 0.153334 0.153353 0.152395 0.152212 0.151005 0.151086 0.149883 0.151952 0.153334 0.153353 0.152395 0.152212 0.151005 0.151086 0.149883 1.519517 1.533345 1.533529 1.523945 1.522121 1.510054 1.510862 1.498835

0.124501 0.123986 0.124278 0.123581 0.12429 0.124621 0.123965 0.123347 0.088929 0.088562 0.08877 0.088272 0.088778 0.089015 0.088547 0.088105 0.017786 0.017712 0.017754 0.017654 0.017756 0.017803 0.017709 0.017621 0.124501 0.123986 0.124278 0.123581 0.12429 0.124621 0.123965 0.123347 0.008715 0.008679 0.008699 0.008651 0.0087 0.008724 0.008678 0.008634 0.087151 0.08679 0.086995 0.086506 0.087003 0.087235 0.086776 0.086343 0.01992 0.019838 0.019884 0.019773 0.019886 0.019939 0.019834 0.019735 0.008715 0.008679 0.008699 0.008651 0.0087 0.008724 0.008678 0.008634 **2036 2037**  **2038 2039**  **2040**0.044465 0.044281 0.044385 0.044136 0.044389 0.044508 0.044273 0.044052

0.30236 0.301109 0.301818 0.300124 0.301847 0.302652 0.301059 0.299556 0.186752 0.185979 0.186417 0.185371 0.186435 0.186932 0.185948 0.18502 0.889294 0.885615 0.8877 0.882718 0.887784 0.890154 0.885467 0.881048**Low growth Reference**  **Low growth**

3.752934 1.80% 1.60% 0.358708 -1.70% -3.50% 0.019089 3.50% 2.70% 1.678807 -1.60% -3.10% 0.503642 -1.30% -2.70% 0.050364 -3.00% -4.40% 0.251821 -1.80% -3.20% 0.87298 -1.70% -3.20% 0- - - - 0.381788 -1.40% -2.10% 0.095447 -0.40% -1.20% 0.076358 -3.40% -4.10% 6.363131 -0.30% -1.00%

0.61239 1.00% 1.00% 0.373409 -0.80% -0.80% 0.059745 -1.00% -1.00% 0.119491 -0.70% -0.70% 0.035847 -1.40% -1.40% 0.031068 -1.30% -1.30% 0.041822 0.30% 0.30% 0.010754 1.50% 1.40% 0.029873 2.30% 2.30% 0.149363 -0.20% -0.20% 0.149363 -2.10% -2.10% 1.493634 -0.20% -0.20%

0.123802 3.10% 3.20% 0.08843 1.90% 1.90% 0.017686 2.30% 2.30% 0.123802 2.30% 2.30% 0.008666 -3.60% -3.60% 0.086661 5.30% 5.30% 0.019808 0.40% 0.40% 0.008666 3.50% 3.50%

**Growth Rate (2012-2040) 2040** 0.044215 1.00% 1.10%

0.300662 1.70% 1.70% 0.185703 3.50% 3.50% 0.8843 2.30% 2.30%**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**Production 1/ (million barrels per day)**  **Lower 48 Total 8.900111**  **8.867136 8.824425**  **8.786826**

**Lower 48 Onshore 7.188561**  **7.162668 7.15023**  **7.122798** Northeast 0.034288 0.034403 0.032556 0.032523 Gulf Coast 2.381176 2.370118 2.316759 2.309522 Midcontinent 0.406339 0.40521 0.42771 0.422815 Southwest 2.015574 2.007468 2.01127 2.009016 Rocky Mountain 1.837814 1.835603 1.843294 1.838642 West Coast 0.513369 0.509867 0.518641 0.51028

**Lower 48 Offshore 1.71155**  **1.704468 1.674195**  **1.664028** Gulf 1.664602 1.657521 1.62862 1.618453 Shallow 0.140141 0.139988 0.142083 0.141999 Deep 1.524461 1.517533 1.486537 1.476454 Pacific 0.046947 0.046947 0.045575 0.045575 Atlantic 0 0 0 0

**Wellhead Prices (2012 dollars per barrel)**

**Lower 48 Average 97.80838**  **96.338959 100.253662**  **98.817451**

**Lower 48 Onshore** Northeast 94.112473 92.78340996.664772 95.256226 Gulf Coast 101.565804100.093513104.050888102.638084 Midcontinent 94.523308 93.14329597.100655 95.593483 Southwest 96.73336 95.19173499.262184 97.774902 Rocky Mountain 90.621925 89.27779493.108444 91.702591 West Coast 100.724861 99.140396103.176003101.782082

**Lower 48 Offshore** Gulf 101.565804100.093513104.050888102.638084 Pacific 100.724861 99.140396103.176003101.782082 Atlantic 100.388268 99.070137102.775673101.427277 **2022 2023**  

### Lower 48 Crude Oil Production and Wellhead Prices by Supply Region

**Region**

1/ Includes lease condensate. - - = Not applicable. Note: Oil and Gas Supply Model regions are defined in Appendix F of the Annual Energy Outlook. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 may differ from official EIA data reports due to internal conversion factors within the AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System.Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013); EIA, Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC, August 2013);

and EIA, Office of Energy Analysis. Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. Sources: 2011 and 2012: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Petroleum Supply**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**8.727163 8.684845**  **8.677514 8.624203**  **8.525279 8.437649**  **8.380886 8.263172** 

**7.107878 7.069014**  **7.040334 6.983428**  **6.896193 6.804597**  **6.776772 6.661268**  0.032597 0.032646 0.030844 0.030725 0.028549 0.028418 0.024324 0.024243 2.263959 2.248317 2.224121 2.199647 2.191852 2.147961 2.174088 2.118921 0.44528 0.438848 0.46188 0.455662 0.432717 0.425399 0.411832 0.405837 2.004265 2.005962 1.96632 1.967267 1.905734 1.903286 1.853967 1.846131 1.845085 1.836385 1.841 1.824675 1.821488 1.795151 1.80013 1.768221 0.516692 0.506856 0.51617 0.505451 0.515852 0.504383 0.512432 0.497915

**1.619285 1.61583**  **1.63718 1.640775**  **1.629087 1.633052**  **1.604115 1.601904**  1.574737 1.571282 1.59384 1.597435 1.586689 1.590654 1.54154 1.53933 0.141077 0.140962 0.144515 0.142128 0.143759 0.143629 0.146613 0.138318 1.43366 1.43032 1.449324 1.455307 1.442931 1.447025 1.394927 1.401011 0.044548 0.044548 0.04334 0.04334 0.042397 0.042397 0.041327 0.041327 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.021248 0.021248

**102.645958 100.853104** **104.900368 102.782249** **106.887436 104.930107**  **109.2752 107.149368** 

99.083099 97.526764101.577057 99.30262103.538445101.595657105.798943103.672546 106.512489104.646385108.727554106.616371110.699409108.742256 113.14904 110.94474 99.591713 97.84491101.844383 99.676254103.839073101.813599106.255486104.071945 101.710388 99.889267103.954224101.778992105.880997103.898132108.303497 106.10408 95.525131 93.87124697.814186 95.74977999.772545 97.882599101.920731 100.05896 105.58136103.926483108.131889106.006462110.270653108.192215112.696999 110.55442

106.512489104.646385108.727554106.616371110.699409108.742256 113.14904 110.94474 105.58136103.926483108.131889106.006462110.270653108.192215112.696999 110.55442 105.148201103.486481107.336594105.257095109.173943107.232239113.038216110.911354

**2024 2025**  **2026 2027** 

Note: Oil and Gas Supply Model regions are defined in Appendix F of the Annual Energy Outlook. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 may differ from official EIA data reports due toAnnual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013); EIA, Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC, August 2013);**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**8.244573 8.104976**  **8.125161 7.990507**  **8.064343 7.922351**  **7.932957 7.805292** 

**6.653513 6.54824**  **6.523207 6.434907**  **6.383477 6.311785**  **6.258595 6.190552**  0.023502 0.023467 0.023068 0.022716 0.022286 0.022136 0.02163 0.02152 2.14563 2.099233 2.112138 2.071599 2.07325 2.039193 2.034595 2.004821 0.394679 0.392233 0.379515 0.376814 0.36359 0.361557 0.347439 0.345026 1.804189 1.795094 1.760746 1.755326 1.722773 1.720081 1.694137 1.691505 1.77217 1.740743 1.734296 1.710753 1.689474 1.671698 1.649228 1.631239 0.513343 0.49747 0.513445 0.4977 0.512102 0.497121 0.511565 0.496442

**1.59106 1.556736**  **1.601955 1.5556**  **1.680866 1.610565**  **1.674362 1.61474**  1.53046 1.496137 1.545068 1.498713 1.584825 1.530295 1.574176 1.514554 0.146829 0.142958 0.145839 0.143542 0.143921 0.144526 0.139111 0.138238 1.383631 1.353179 1.399229 1.35517 1.440904 1.385769 1.435065 1.376316 0.043514 0.043514 0.042577 0.042577 0.070796 0.055025 0.073127 0.073127 0.017085 0.017085 0.01431 0.01431 0.025246 0.025246 0.027059 0.027059

**110.995583 108.8442** **113.00386 110.621506** **114.693359 112.061508** **116.703568 113.656937** 

107.284348105.291985109.186829106.999275 110.88205108.297531112.679344109.900459 114.800568112.635162116.772446114.381012118.380623115.696655120.356071117.225113 108.167122105.851814110.191055107.655128111.839012109.132179114.010544110.891106 110.063263107.806938112.046005109.568642113.663773111.166931115.661476112.821571 103.622887101.683167105.561508103.401772107.201324104.688889109.153198106.210686 114.414192112.344604116.451683114.187187118.079697115.570755120.055336 117.05468

114.800568112.635162116.772446114.381012118.380623115.696655120.356071117.225113 114.414192112.344604116.451683114.187187118.079697115.570755120.055336 117.05468 114.520943112.412209116.471664114.136032118.339943115.738251120.382896 117.41732 **2031 2028**  **2029 2030** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**7.79967 7.719016**  **7.704468 7.588954**  **7.596154 7.503014**  **7.494101 7.390216** 

**6.128838 6.069671**  **6.013788 5.956047**  **5.903867 5.843049**  **5.791162 5.730945**  0.021191 0.021093 0.020659 0.020643 0.019888 0.020109 0.0191 0.019221 1.988744 1.966975 1.941352 1.927007 1.895096 1.883398 1.843749 1.837933 0.334477 0.333197 0.325831 0.324401 0.321337 0.318135 0.318279 0.310227 1.667218 1.664677 1.645648 1.640574 1.622184 1.614721 1.60502 1.595799 1.607493 1.589755 1.569666 1.55354 1.531489 1.51651 1.490282 1.476997 0.509714 0.493973 0.510631 0.489882 0.513874 0.490176 0.514732 0.490768

**1.670832 1.649345**  **1.69068 1.632908**  **1.692287 1.659965**  **1.702939 1.659272**  1.542279 1.517609 1.538468 1.501592 1.535595 1.502838 1.54986 1.504078 0.139531 0.137903 0.140406 0.139086 0.136076 0.136089 0.1337 0.131916 1.402748 1.379706 1.398062 1.362506 1.399519 1.366749 1.416159 1.372161 0.10258 0.105763 0.130363 0.109467 0.137733 0.138168 0.136281 0.138396 0.025973 0.025973 0.021849 0.021849 0.018959 0.018959 0.016798 0.016798

**118.922768 115.930054** **121.23806 118.722717** **123.499855 120.6371** **125.590073 122.317917** 

114.77874112.050858117.158493114.489487119.328743116.290031121.450577117.947067 122.539429119.424538124.844772 121.89637 127.00766123.775307129.070984 125.42041 116.800583113.442802119.825394117.188972122.216454119.015732124.450798120.873154 117.894066115.056175120.161224118.612717122.885612120.632469124.925697122.460823 111.26149108.453339113.366493110.968483115.528435112.707542117.596268114.230469 122.131439119.230835124.426384 121.8255125.956573123.740234127.975883125.225403

122.539429119.424538124.844772 121.89637 127.00766123.775307129.070984 125.42041 122.131439119.230835124.426384 121.8255125.956573123.740234127.975883125.225403 122.504211119.590118124.806946121.978409126.926399123.768692128.860779125.377731 **2035 2032**  **2033 2034** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**7.386033 7.293817**  **7.339821 7.250445**  **7.237151 7.189365**  **7.241581 7.16858** 

**5.665342 5.61087**  **5.555617 5.487158**  **5.444775 5.371232**  **5.340479 5.272998**  0.021293 0.018544 0.024065 0.017593 0.026145 0.019328 0.027762 0.022657 1.788208 1.784765 1.734106 1.730661 1.68166 1.679637 1.631678 1.630798 0.314977 0.30438 0.313427 0.301236 0.308989 0.299096 0.303458 0.298189 1.588877 1.579974 1.576182 1.55989 1.564958 1.544091 1.552804 1.529646 1.439325 1.433414 1.39853 1.39088 1.357903 1.344599 1.319116 1.308179 0.512662 0.489793 0.509307 0.486898 0.505121 0.48448 0.505661 0.483529

**1.72069 1.682946**  **1.784204 1.763287**  **1.792376 1.818134**  **1.901103 1.895582**  1.55264 1.529593 1.595032 1.585563 1.59863 1.636442 1.622759 1.661948 0.132069 0.132519 0.12847 0.131547 0.125397 0.12728 0.122333 0.125187 1.420571 1.397074 1.466562 1.454016 1.473233 1.509162 1.500426 1.536761 0.136691 0.138235 0.137591 0.1343 0.127465 0.127701 0.17087 0.168046 0.03136 0.015117 0.051582 0.043425 0.066281 0.05399 0.107474 0.065588

**127.469971 123.769135** **129.331207 125.82296** **131.588776 127.543411** **134.449875 130.055283** 

123.284927119.413498 124.91304121.352882127.046906122.860672129.828384125.373131 130.829636126.770523132.531296128.732346134.660233130.382095137.352585132.830276 126.334633122.342545128.356567124.346802130.370377126.356377 134.04982128.961243 126.983871124.047829128.932526126.135582131.320297127.771072134.774384130.184357 119.427788115.616196121.403931117.580391123.758728119.256325126.632462121.812378 129.696075126.566574131.317551128.552765 133.54245130.213852134.826904132.595947

130.829636126.770523132.531296128.732346134.660233130.382095137.352585132.830276 129.696075126.566574131.317551128.552765 133.54245130.213852134.826904132.595947 131.445129127.524765132.980713129.420151135.159256131.038879137.762634133.490051 **2037 2038**  **2039 2036** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**7.220181 7.192811**  **0.70% 0.70%** 

**5.231455 5.168177**  **0.50% 0.40%**  0.029056 0.025275 -4.10% -4.60% 1.572722 1.574737 2.10% 2.10% 0.297892 0.294778 -1.80% -1.90% 1.539118 1.514737 0.10% 0.10% 1.286249 1.274366 0.50% 0.50% 0.506418 0.484283 0.00% -0.10%

**1.988725 2.024635**  **1.40% 1.40%**  1.698679 1.738388 1.00% 1.10% 0.119727 0.12082 -2.70% -2.70% 1.578953 1.617568 1.60% 1.60% 0.175838 0.182517 2.80% 2.90% 0.114207 0.10373- - - -

**137.627213 132.893082**  **1.30% 1.20%** 

132.912704128.115585 1.40% 1.30% 140.403458135.613663 1.40% 1.20% 137.415436131.756332 1.50% 1.40% 137.879364132.963898 1.50% 1.30% 129.98877124.748863 1.60% 1.40% 137.895203134.942444 1.00% 0.90%

140.403458135.613663 1.00% 0.90% 137.895203134.942444 1.20% 1.10% 140.884201136.240723- - - -

**2040 Growth Rate (2012-2040)** **Reference Low growth** 

**Production** Crude Oil and Lease Condensate 12.1988 13.8656 16.45846 16.45848 Natural Gas Plant Liquids 3.112325 3.211883 3.33177 3.33177 Dry Natural Gas 23.04437 24.59239 24.71753 24.72496 Coal 1/ 22.2213 20.6011 20.80596 20.79747 Nuclear / Uranium 2/ 8.259212 8.050291 7.93316 7.93316 Hydropower 3.106776 2.674079 2.58764 2.58764 Biomass 3/ 3.903867 3.777297 3.951985 3.960938 Other Renewable Energy 4/ 1.701541 1.966322 2.259844 2.259873 Other 5/ 0.798717 0.410971 0.723955 0.723956 **Total 78.34691**  **79.14993 82.7703**  **82.77824**

**Imports** Crude Oil 19.52161 18.57392 16.37808 16.37813 Petroleum and Other Liquids 6/ 5.207584 4.257369 3.95015 3.950338 Natural Gas 7/ 3.555409 3.212021 3.13214 3.131511 Other 8/ 0.427262 0.355926 0.385821 0.385821 **Total 28.71186**  **26.39923 23.84619**  **23.8458**

**Exports** Petroleum and Other Liquids 9/ 5.947325 6.285651 6.14894 6.149065 Natural Gas 10/ 1.520622 1.633518 1.73094 1.73094 Coal 2.75 3.22 2.845825 2.850312 **Total 10.21795**  **11.13917 10.7257**  **10.73032**
**Discrepancy 11/ -0.27028**  **-0.61288 -0.60343**  **-0.60413**

**Consumption** Petroleum and Other Liquids 12/ 36.56187 35.87172 35.96645 35.96641 Natural Gas 24.90846 26.20002 26.21782 26.22462 Coal 13/ 19.62206 17.34367 18.46305 18.45094 Nuclear / Uranium 2/ 8.259212 8.050291 7.93316 7.93316 Hydropower 3.106776 2.674079 2.58764 2.58764 Biomass 14/ 2.599807 2.52963 2.678998 2.68795 Other Renewable Energy 4/ 1.701541 1.966322 2.259844 2.259873 Other 15/ 0.351376 0.38714 0.38726 0.38726 **Total 97.11111**  **95.02288 96.49423**  **96.49785**
**Prices (2012 dollars per unit)** Brent Spot Price (dollars per barrel) 113.241 111.65 106.5227 106.5227 

### Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary **(quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)**

**Supply, Disposition, and Prices**West Texas Intermediate Spot Price (dollars

p 96.54794 94.124 97.13951 97.13951 Natural Gas at Henry Hub (dollars per mmB tu) 4.071219 2.75 3.602241 3.609134 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per ton) 16/ 41.74017 39.94 40.25187 40.08542 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per million Btu) 1 6/ 2.07225 1.9829 1.987327 1.979787
Coal, Delivered (dollars per million Btu) 17/ 2.608907 2.595455 2.57566 2.568531 Electricity (cents per kilowatthour) 10.07312 9.843192 9.790025 9.784437

**Prices (nominal dollars per unit)** Brent Spot Price (dollars per barrel) 111.26 111.65 108.11 108.11 West Texas Intermediate Spot Price (dollars p 94.859 94.124 98.587 98.587 Natural Gas at Henry Hub (dollars per mmB tu) 4 2.75 3.655918 3.662914 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per ton) 16/ 41.01 39.94 40.85167 40.68274 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per million Btu) 1 6/ 2.036 1.9829 2.01694 2.009288
Coal, Delivered (dollars per million Btu) 17/ 2.563269 2.595455 2.614041 2.606805 Electricity (cents per kilowatthour) 9.896905 9.843192 9.935907 9.930236
1/ Includes waste coal. 2/ These values represent the energy obtained from uranium when it is used in light water reactors. The total energy content of uranium is much larger, but alternative processes are required to take advantage of it. 3/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste; biomass, such as corn, used for liquid fuels production; and non-electric energy demand from wood. Refer to Table 17 for details. 4/ Includes grid-connected electricity from landfill gas; biogenic municipal waste; wind; photovoltaic and solar thermal sources; and

9/ Includes crude oil, petroleum products, ethanol, and biodiesel. 10/ Includes re-exported liquefied natural gas. 11/ Balancing item. Includes unaccounted for supply, losses, gains, and net storage withdrawals. 12/ Estimated consumption. Includes petroleum-derived fuels and non-petroleum-derived fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, and coal-based synthetic liquids. Petroleum coke, which is a solid, is included. Also included are natural gas plant liquids and crude oil consumed as a fuel. Refer to Table 17 for detailed renewable liquid fuels consumption. non-electric energy from renewable sources, such as active and passive solar systems. Excludes electricity imports using renewable sources and nonmarketed renewable energy. See Table 17 for selected nonmarketed residential and commercial renewable energy data. 5/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, methanol, and some domestic inputs to refineries. 6/ Includes imports of finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, alcohols, ethers, blending components, and renewable fuels such as ethanol. 7/ Includes imports of liquefied natural gas that are later re-exported. 8/ Includes coal, coal coke (net), and electricity (net). Excludes imports of fuel used in nuclear power plants.

13/ Excludes coal converted to coal-based synthetic liquids and natural gas. 14/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste, non-electric energy from wood, and biofuels heat and coproducts used in the production of liquid fuels, but excludes the energy content of the liquid fuels. 15/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, and net electricity imports.17/ Prices weighted by consumption; weighted average excludes export free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) prices.

Btu = British thermal unit. MmBtu = Million Btu. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 are model results and may differ from official EIA data reports. 16/ Includes reported prices for both open market and captive mines. Prices weighted by production, which differs from average minemouth prices published in EIA data reports where it is weighted by reported sales.

Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. 2012 petroleum supply values and 2011 crude oil and lease condensate production: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013). Other 2011 petroleum supply values: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012). 2011 and 2012 crude oil spot prices and natural gas spot prices at Henry Hub: Thomson Reuters. Other 2011 and 2012 coal values: EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2012, DOE/EIA-0121(2012/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2013). Other 2011 and 2012 values: EIA, Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013). Sources: 2011 natural gas supply values: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Natural Gas Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0131(2011) (Washington, DC, January 2013). 2012 natural gas supply values: EIA, Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130(2013/06) (Washington, DC, June 2013). 2011 and 2012 coal minemouth and delivered coal prices: EIA, Annual Coal Report 2012, DOE/EIA-0584(2012) (Washington, DC, December 2013).**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

18.1714 18.17143 19.26069 19.26111 20.33731 20.35608 20.36707 20.38084 3.355431 3.355426 3.42044 3.419502 3.522686 3.51975 3.562144 3.565136 24.813 24.80203 25.17142 25.10653 26.24614 26.19779 26.95925 26.81716 21.20813 21.05217 21.33547 21.12928 20.55317 20.17824 21.07619 20.48039 7.942981 7.942981 8.096229 8.096229 8.207116 8.207116 8.341359 8.341359 2.650622 2.650595 2.708722 2.708673 2.758986 2.75891 2.812461 2.841786 3.999223 3.958701 4.165426 4.133912 4.272749 4.226321 4.358019 4.266353 2.363217 2.359689 2.677506 2.727967 2.896839 2.962982 2.9291 3.003623 0.578064 0.578064 0.23144 0.23144 0.236749 0.236749 0.236542 0.236542 **85.08206 84.87109**  **87.06735 86.81464** **89.03174 88.64393**  **90.64213 89.93319** 

14.51565 14.51572 13.92823 13.76765 13.08244 12.81779 13.18978 12.7607 3.798181 3.809406 4.123303 4.09206 4.186587 4.172355 4.195612 4.180168 3.211857 3.220427 3.185718 3.178569 3.151988 3.117184 2.906159 2.887683 0.362466 0.362169 0.258845 0.258517 0.214698 0.21398 0.169664 0.168097 **21.88816 21.90772**  **21.49609 21.2968**  **20.63571 20.32131**  **20.46122 19.99665** 

6.161191 6.161566 6.325125 6.325462 6.372116 6.379344 6.369073 6.392522 1.804597 1.804597 2.041902 2.035699 2.340453 2.330968 2.8305 2.820151 2.713122 2.713122 2.787627 2.787628 2.903229 2.903229 2.977612 2.977612 **10.67891 10.67928**  **11.15466 11.14879**  **11.6158 11.61354**  **12.17719 12.19028** 

**-0.35255 -0.23848**  **-0.32044 -0.32383**  **-0.42134 -0.41876**  **-0.41461 -0.40443** 

36.04917 35.94732 36.29656 36.10623 36.64803 36.37429 36.84814 36.38945 25.75713 25.7547 26.06639 26.00076 26.91232 26.83893 26.88526 26.73364 18.85438 18.69687 18.61506 18.40854 17.66945 17.29417 18.07537 17.47712 7.942981 7.942981 8.096229 8.096229 8.207116 8.207116 8.341359 8.341359 2.650622 2.650595 2.708722 2.708673 2.758986 2.75891 2.812461 2.841786 2.668582 2.62806 2.91476 2.884099 3.023198 2.976987 3.091439 2.999372 2.363217 2.359689 2.677506 2.727967 2.896839 2.962982 2.9291 3.003623 0.357792 0.357805 0.353992 0.353987 0.357065 0.357077 0.357641 0.357628 **96.64386 96.33801**  **97.72922 97.28648**  **98.47299 97.77046**  **99.34078 98.14398** 

98.89627 98.90598 97.14554 96.92441 93.43969 93.09601 91.83688 91.2932293.09797 93.10711 89.44554 89.24194 87.76968 87.44685 88.83688 88.31097

3.736404 3.733615 3.743775 3.716439 4.139597 4.116209 4.402371 4.369258 39.90328 39.61053 40.54359 40.18909 42.85118 42.39973 44.32767 43.8679

1.98007 1.9659 2.030353 2.013076 2.14289 2.122279 2.21316 2.194156

2.534882 2.519145 2.623843 2.601114 2.666846 2.638577 2.726632 2.692312 9.803955 9.746548 9.914938 9.762507 9.929106 9.696011 9.992896 9.806475

102.2 102.2 101.9539 101.9749 99.5735 99.97013 99.29673 100.3086

96.208 96.208 93.87283 93.89209 93.5313 93.90385 96.05305 97.03188

3.861222 3.857962 3.92908 3.910093 4.41134 4.420146 4.759973 4.800732 41.23629 40.92974 42.55038 42.28323 45.66413 45.53048 47.92838 48.19995

2.046216 2.031374 2.13085 2.117971 2.283559 2.278986 2.392933 2.410834

2.619563 2.603044 2.753716 2.73665 2.841911 2.833407 2.948114 2.958184 10.13147 10.07115 10.4057 10.27121 10.5809 10.41196 10.80461 10.77489

2/ These values represent the energy obtained from uranium when it is used in light water reactors. The total energy content of uranium
3/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste; biomass, such as corn, used for liquid fuels production; and non-electric
4/ Includes grid-connected electricity from landfill gas; biogenic municipal waste; wind; photovoltaic and solar thermal sources; and

12/ Estimated consumption. Includes petroleum-derived fuels and non-petroleum-derived fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, and coal-based synthetic liquids. Petroleum coke, which is a solid, is included. Also included are natural gas plant liquids and crude oil consumed as a fuel. non-electric energy from renewable sources, such as active and passive solar systems. Excludes electricity imports using renewable sources and nonmarketed renewable energy. See Table 17 for selected nonmarketed residential and commercial renewable energy data. 5/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, methanol, and some domestic inputs to refineries. 6/ Includes imports of finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, alcohols, ethers, blending components, and renewable fuels such as ethanol.
8/ Includes coal, coal coke (net), and electricity (net). Excludes imports of fuel used in nuclear power plants.

14/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste, non-electric energy from wood, and biofuels heat and coproducts used in the17/ Prices weighted by consumption; weighted average excludes export free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) prices.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 16/ Includes reported prices for both open market and captive mines. Prices weighted by production, which differs from average minemouth prices

Other 2011 petroleum supply values: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012).
Other 2011 and 2012 coal values: EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2012, DOE/EIA-0121(2012/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2013). Other 2011 and 2012 values: EIA, Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013). Sources: 2011 natural gas supply values: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Natural Gas Annual**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

20.40698 20.419 20.47467 20.43725 20.35689 20.31257 20.06895 20.02904 3.571301 3.562718 3.57011 3.558874 3.537801 3.532928 3.486942 3.483947 27.80065 27.4536 28.81139 28.1313 29.72948 29.02497 30.35463 29.60694 21.51942 20.90383 21.66577 21.12957 21.69561 21.17685 21.82454 21.11433 8.301382 8.301383 8.281041 8.281041 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 2.807105 2.837367 2.807286 2.837473 2.80738 2.837515 2.820622 2.837635 4.456756 4.366086 4.549244 4.465669 4.660515 4.518723 4.781521 4.623556 2.963052 3.039221 2.98826 3.053128 3.009697 3.087559 3.017597 3.103158 0.236668 0.236668 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875 0.236875 **92.06332 91.11987**  **93.38465 92.1312**  **94.18897 92.8827**  **94.74639 93.19019** 

13.18716 12.5663 13.08312 12.36347 13.14919 12.30647 13.37023 12.39526 4.2054 4.208025 4.212552 4.201756 4.211941 4.202538 4.218445 4.211223 2.746573 2.696172 2.560081 2.535251 2.393827 2.375883 2.309532 2.256332 0.152623 0.15072 0.157916 0.145774 0.165169 0.141437 0.161332 0.156451 **20.29175 19.62122**  **20.01367 19.24625**  **19.92013 19.02633**  **20.05954 19.01926** 

6.355498 6.379632 6.332831 6.349673 6.296359 6.320009 6.262405 6.295549 3.368448 3.367027 3.935825 3.933828 4.299899 4.494548 4.592299 4.748716 3.053907 3.053907 3.073065 3.070708 3.131833 3.131833 3.152359 3.151185 **12.77785 12.80057**  **13.34172 13.35421**  **13.72809 13.94639**  **14.00707 14.19545** 

**-0.39736 -0.38723**  **-0.37137 -0.37045**  **-0.3495 -0.34787**  **-0.32663 -0.32438** 

36.92159 36.27466 36.90893 36.11302 36.85823 35.92844 36.77004 35.70171 27.02075 26.62512 27.27073 26.5678 27.65428 26.73429 27.89837 26.9392 18.44146 17.82357 18.57608 18.02836 18.55729 18.0139 18.65778 17.94283 8.301382 8.301383 8.281041 8.281041 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 2.807105 2.837367 2.807286 2.837473 2.80738 2.837515 2.820622 2.837635 3.17603 3.083297 3.254736 3.171984 3.349997 3.215257 3.462363 3.316168 2.963052 3.039221 2.98826 3.053128 3.009697 3.087559 3.017597 3.103158 0.343218 0.34313 0.340899 0.34087 0.338922 0.338844 0.344019 0.342981 **99.97458 98.32776**  **100.428 98.39368**  **100.7305 98.3105**  **101.1255 98.33838** 

92.4959 91.72765 94.37606 93.46445 96.56677 95.50937 99.0533 97.83627 **2021**89.9959 89.24842 92.27606 91.38474 94.56677 93.53127 97.0533 95.86083

4.799526 4.629056 4.659445 4.739442 4.376477 4.51495 4.666059 4.439548 45.39918 45.00136 46.00825 45.74408 46.52229 46.30516 47.17603 46.83247

2.265799 2.250745 2.298764 2.286928 2.326292 2.316915 2.359769 2.347478

2.787476 2.755323 2.824931 2.799508 2.850596 2.830663 2.882941 2.855877 10.0997 9.977779 10.19156 10.06922 10.14027 10.10706 10.10081 10.05462

101.5405 103.4297 105.2127 108.4194 109.3729 114.2049 114.0292 120.6772

98.79604 100.6342 102.8715 106.0069 107.1077 111.8396 111.7268 118.2406

5.268842 5.219601 5.19446 5.497786 4.956861 5.398731 5.371521 5.476009 49.83849 50.74234 51.29109 53.06344 52.69182 55.36918 54.30858 57.76603

2.487357 2.537881 2.562717 2.652852 2.634791 2.77044 2.716542 2.895522

3.060045 3.106829 3.1493 3.247448 3.228626 3.384752 3.318813 3.522613 11.08729 11.25068 11.36179 11.68036 11.48502 12.08547 11.62795 12.40198**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

19.797363 19.726751 19.588774 19.507233 19.336222 19.24489 19.190516 19.075912 3.615733 3.581611 3.734002 3.69321 3.795619 3.759443 3.841077 3.807074 30.852615 29.91548531.604639 30.5308732.128975 30.88210732.565762 31.201923 21.943829 21.23962822.013521 21.402643 22.20298 21.41323722.364708 21.523249 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154716 8.154716 2.821391 2.837783 2.834963 2.837932 2.841253 2.838088 2.841416 2.838222 4.852269 4.706735 4.949065 4.748595 4.991743 4.800946 5.081632 4.849515 3.024961 3.122074 3.048689 3.129983 3.075994 3.145301 3.085657 3.159305 0.236875 0.236875 0.236668 0.236875 0.236668 0.236668 0.236875 0.236875 **95.299744 93.521645** **96.165031 94.24205**  **96.76416 94.475388** **97.362358 94.846786** 

13.471543 12.375824 13.537369 12.309898 13.672913 12.314678 13.702909 12.219724 4.224775 4.201827 4.213912 4.199896 4.20438 4.185137 4.196534 4.181661 2.208058 2.124297 2.121711 2.042368 2.094624 2.011441 2.038294 1.957669 0.172805 0.169349 0.165868 0.157004 0.171333 0.162796 0.14894 0.135349 **20.077179 18.8713** **20.038858 18.709166**  **20.14325 18.674051** **20.086678 18.494404** 

6.335088 6.338159 6.403109 6.39669 6.445256 6.441656 6.484701 6.485577 4.682336 4.833418 4.992368 5.185117 5.282618 5.297138 5.44732 5.461329 3.188219 3.188219 3.232064 3.232064 3.272233 3.264626 3.307855 3.269378 **14.205644 14.359797** **14.627541 14.81387** **15.000107 15.00342** **15.239875 15.216284** 

**-0.312188 -0.305506**  **-0.283621 -0.29132**  **-0.260056 -0.27533**  **-0.243354 -0.247721** 

36.657078 35.42915336.539845 35.17884136.412403 34.91972736.280689 34.63224 28.203798 27.02989428.555622 27.207373 28.758499 27.41444228.971956 27.513693 18.75152 18.036129 18.768921 18.150547 18.930254 18.1376 19.025957 18.2103 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154716 8.154716 2.821391 2.837783 2.834963 2.837932 2.841253 2.838088 2.841416 2.838222 3.519106 3.379081 3.610688 3.424139 3.650854 3.47064 3.74386 3.51921 3.024961 3.122074 3.048689 3.129983 3.075994 3.145301 3.085657 3.159305 0.350907 0.349834 0.346535 0.345146 0.34339 0.340835 0.348266 0.344951 **101.483467 98.338654** **101.85997 98.428665** **102.167358 98.421349** **102.452515 98.372627** 

101.571045100.177994104.215752102.635941 106.68821104.905891108.988052107.003708 **2023 2024**  **2025 2022** 99.571045 98.205429102.215752100.666252104.688217102.939308106.988045105.040115

4.821756 4.483842 4.958053 4.699736 5.11958 4.795829 5.233528 4.974164 47.639824 47.47473948.214897 48.127991 49.06646 48.78472549.668922 49.247917

2.386652 2.383241 2.416909 2.416306 2.458772 2.449168 2.491694 2.475759

2.916656 2.891781 2.945767 2.925613 2.982548 2.952664 3.018979 2.986209 10.015067 10.092216 9.983873 10.082653 10.093805 10.067577 10.123871 10.113838

118.883827127.704903124.058952135.413803 129.19516143.289932134.247238151.178513

116.542931125.190315121.678146132.815079126.773239 140.60379131.783722148.404297

5.643625 5.715912 5.902091 6.200646 6.199606 6.550576 6.446456 7.027671 55.760033 60.51984857.395256 63.49816559.417515 66.63458361.180248 69.579155

2.793456 3.038108 2.8771 3.187978 2.977474 3.345295 3.069172 3.497838

3.4138 3.686384 3.506655 3.859938 3.611746 4.033015 3.718661 4.219019 11.722136 12.865355 11.884852 13.302653 12.223194 13.751205 12.47019 14.289178**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

18.827377 18.639853 18.479458 18.22765 18.153067 17.853607 17.865959 17.576313 3.882074 3.840885 3.907962 3.863929 3.932132 3.893183 3.945454 3.895056 33.17931 31.42508133.798073 31.91270634.387623 32.40332434.836823 32.868595 22.312677 21.50136422.320375 21.50031922.310526 21.44031722.429293 21.521612 8.154716 8.154716 8.154711 8.154711 8.163456 8.154711 8.177249 8.154711 2.842601 2.838357 2.850831 2.838463 2.855819 2.838564 2.867222 2.842927 5.120971 4.902009 5.147976 4.919647 5.177241 4.956806 5.241425 4.976249 3.106894 3.170739 3.145751 3.193692 3.17336 3.218101 3.197264 3.231514 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 **97.663292 94.709671** **98.041809 94.847794**  **98.3899 94.995285** **98.797363 95.30365** 

13.988398 12.444866 14.313476 12.679505 14.575418 12.86135414.824636 12.966301 4.17438 4.164902 4.155082 4.141096 4.133234 4.110453 4.106264 4.081038 1.986471 1.920177 1.95378 1.887918 1.950454 1.873755 1.970111 1.869012 0.160833 0.137874 0.173443 0.142554 0.198209 0.150996 0.175567 0.155937 **20.310081 18.66782** **20.595779 18.851072** **20.857317 18.996555**  **21.07658 19.072289** 

6.571178 6.571702 6.658559 6.651224 6.709257 6.713497 6.786674 6.779294 5.724477 5.540161 6.07186 5.885454 6.405602 6.216995 6.746223 6.575678 3.272009 3.231409 3.269187 3.230794 3.296443 3.235815 3.390912 3.345461 **15.567664 15.343272** **15.999607 15.767472** **16.411301 16.166306** **16.923809 16.700434** 

**-0.231986 -0.238692**  **-0.219532 -0.21876**  **-0.211531 -0.208408**  **-0.191185 -0.183527** 

36.125835 34.34316336.010014 34.07012935.887566 33.80104835.744495 33.519054 29.252851 27.61933129.486954 27.725441 29.73498 27.86660829.858309 27.962698 19.019447 18.228037 19.052816 18.241209 19.044132 18.188608 19.038383 18.15671 8.154716 8.154716 8.154711 8.154711 8.163456 8.154711 8.177249 8.154711 2.842601 2.838357 2.850831 2.838463 2.855819 2.838564 2.867222 2.842927 3.783503 3.568272 3.809391 3.58591 3.837834 3.626506 3.902033 3.645943 3.106894 3.170739 3.145751 3.193692 3.17336 3.218101 3.197264 3.231514 0.351854 0.350299 0.347044 0.3406 0.350301 0.339803 0.356361 0.34548 **102.637695 98.272911** **102.857513 98.150154** **103.047447 98.033943** **103.141319 97.859032** 

110.920845108.871544113.348221111.160934115.313896112.976303 117.3424114.764809

**2026 2027**  **2028 2029** 108.920845106.908493111.348213109.199532113.313896111.016846 115.3424112.808739

5.360766 5.134153 5.487433 5.272003 5.59464 5.3736 5.776204 5.547831 50.185238 49.83490850.811157 50.5219551.595455 51.24146352.265583 51.846302

2.520603 2.505973 2.552941 2.543511 2.592211 2.580547 2.627047 2.612129

3.053654 3.021886 3.082893 3.056599 3.111119 3.081109 3.137243 3.103677 10.163352 10.085598 10.240662 10.220685 10.280457 10.27707 10.334393 10.303707

138.992798 159.03479144.522156 168.14328149.637344176.928192155.054718186.313797

136.486633156.167252141.972107165.176422147.042038173.859558152.411942183.138229

6.717474 7.499747 6.996632 7.974491 7.259898 8.415406 7.632601 9.006571 62.886166 72.79665464.785652 76.42006766.952965 80.24744469.063057 84.169373

3.15852 3.660615 3.255072 3.847344 3.363789 4.041304 3.471346 4.240635

3.826476 4.414239 3.930775 4.623446 4.03715 4.825215 4.145512 5.038634 12.735503 14.7326 13.057131 15.459922 13.34046 16.094557 13.655731 16.727453**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

17.711773 17.40333 17.404036 17.128471 17.225822 16.923906 17.17374 16.622532 3.984065 3.918668 4.026133 3.936094 4.052212 3.964031 4.067114 3.990084 35.18605 33.37285635.426735 33.54914935.811348 33.76255436.170731 34.001003 22.612162 21.669098 22.63945 21.70134 22.64122 21.67749622.618437 21.686935 8.181016 8.154711 8.190217 8.154711 8.192535 8.154711 8.203629 8.154711 2.872291 2.843005 2.875683 2.843073 2.881055 2.84314 2.881191 2.843239 5.294027 5.024656 5.338264 5.042326 5.358579 5.062461 5.38223 5.082047 3.225287 3.247433 3.26386 3.259852 3.303057 3.273425 3.331328 3.28541 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.23646 0.23646 **99.303345 95.87043** **99.401047 95.851685** **99.702499 95.898392** **100.064857 95.902412** 

15.004932 12.983387 15.326821 13.197363 15.512356 13.314757 15.581769 13.549527 4.078588 4.057458 4.059441 4.0269 4.060393 4.004359 4.039649 3.99533 2.013158 1.873117 2.05434 1.933619 2.023565 1.930051 2.023806 1.942017 0.118782 0.108195 0.115244 0.106665 0.109283 0.114827 0.100264 0.106275 **21.215458 19.022158** **21.555847 19.264545** **21.705597 19.363995** **21.745487 19.593149** 

6.907672 6.854432 7.022534 6.950993 7.127731 7.042706 7.204719 7.151627 6.963191 6.964603 7.108747 7.121623 7.279791 7.29592 7.377421 7.429931 3.552814 3.532385 3.612713 3.592756 3.655406 3.582644 3.655339 3.618609 **17.423676 17.351421** **17.743994 17.665371** **18.062929 17.92127** **18.237478 18.200167** 

**-0.171375 -0.167665**  **-0.160147 -0.14785**  **-0.151667 -0.120462**  **-0.133417 -0.097412** 

35.649609 33.27772935.566242 33.09523835.488327 32.91282735.416527 32.745407 30.030592 28.07664530.164454 28.14472430.343412 28.16544530.593811 28.270893 19.006927 18.081627 18.969868 18.054014 18.927328 18.03335 18.900223 18.003294 8.181016 8.154711 8.190217 8.154711 8.192535 8.154711 8.203629 8.154711 2.872291 2.843005 2.875683 2.843073 2.881055 2.84314 2.881191 2.843239 3.953909 3.694345 3.995415 3.712037 4.015746 3.732187 4.039173 3.748593 3.225287 3.247433 3.26386 3.259852 3.303057 3.273425 3.331328 3.28541 0.346868 0.333336 0.347306 0.335069 0.345367 0.346504 0.340406 0.341262 **103.266502 97.708832** **103.373047 97.598709** **103.496834 97.461578** **103.706284 97.392807** 

118.993767116.230247121.067307118.082336123.396637120.281227125.632835122.711456 **2033 2030**  **2031 2032** 116.993767114.276695119.067307116.131638121.396645118.331734123.632835120.757957

6.034758 5.64707 6.169094 5.851986 6.359075 6.050321 6.585333 6.198103 53.14962 52.85136853.745762 53.39092354.279789 53.98165954.963959 54.584862

2.668806 2.658302 2.696581 2.682808 2.724712 2.714702 2.756246 2.745277

3.171798 3.132777 3.195009 3.154068 3.219081 3.182331 3.24436 3.210133 10.425936 10.324251 10.520489 10.349606 10.553414 10.411896 10.573455 10.461965

160.186829195.526932166.207062205.919861172.806366217.413681179.548264230.053223

157.494476192.240601163.461365202.518112170.005539213.889877176.689957226.390915

8.12386 9.499716 8.469231 10.205084 8.905336 10.936224 9.411434 11.61989 71.548866 88.90857773.784782 93.10665176.014168 97.57424978.551781102.332939

3.592689 4.471897 3.701997 4.67846 3.815724 4.906946 3.939092 5.146707

4.269806 5.270077 4.386264 5.500274 4.508046 5.752205 4.63668 6.018196 14.035169 17.367847 14.443036 18.048332 14.779147 18.819965 15.111061 19.613562**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

17.050535 16.550041 16.813204 16.459606 16.564762 16.363443 16.449987 16.254816 4.0895 4.02003 4.082143 4.009636 4.054708 4.00287 4.094332 3.994071 36.517929 34.32091936.887135 34.67124937.160206 35.025181 37.48925 35.367256 22.650522 21.677013 22.676699 21.755203 22.573128 21.64907622.325602 21.420486 8.215731 8.154711 8.228396 8.154711 8.269506 8.154711 8.319079 8.154711 2.883274 2.849832 2.889709 2.851765 2.892824 2.852507 2.892971 2.86255 5.418451 5.110288 5.442934 5.147247 5.466829 5.173742 5.494514 5.199347 3.384349 3.29442 3.442269 3.304714 3.530954 3.319651 3.612816 3.332871 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 **100.446747 96.213715** **100.698944 96.590576** **100.749374 96.777634** **100.915009 96.822563** 

15.789996 13.578166 16.123373 13.642287 16.466021 13.741631 16.688995 13.873507 4.01438 3.986428 4.000389 3.980057 3.990967 3.979446 3.971073 3.976148 2.037226 1.960567 2.055088 1.979314 2.097705 2.0211 2.138121 2.061986 0.091871 0.09643 0.108073 0.093616 0.112101 0.085089 0.123591 0.083086 **21.933474 19.621592** **22.286922 19.695276** **22.666792 19.827267**  **22.92178 19.994728** 

7.316747 7.256863 7.396861 7.334403 7.459906 7.426569 7.557948 7.499065 7.466819 7.554155 7.603891 7.705195 7.738072 7.859837 7.840524 7.981259 3.723315 3.656878 3.807796 3.765373 3.712768 3.682183 3.504877 3.481556 **18.50688 18.467896** **18.808548 18.804972** **18.910746 18.968588** **18.903349 18.961882** 

**-0.122196 -0.085676**  **-0.106838 -0.065407**  **-0.097599 -0.055918**  **-0.089205 -0.042692** 

35.381374 32.60785735.365353 32.47722635.345112 32.371124 35.36573 32.301842 30.859961 28.47677631.101389 28.68730531.283096 28.92479731.548811 29.182652 18.859365 17.957857 18.820854 17.925045 18.813879 17.898851 18.782572 17.867922 8.215731 8.154711 8.228396 8.154711 8.269506 8.154711 8.319079 8.154711 2.883274 2.849832 2.889709 2.851765 2.892824 2.852507 2.892971 2.86255 4.075393 3.776823 4.102876 3.813782 4.131771 3.840288 4.162952 3.865556 3.384349 3.29442 3.442269 3.304714 3.530954 3.319651 3.612816 3.332871 0.336099 0.334817 0.333315 0.331738 0.335887 0.330309 0.337718 0.329998 **103.995537 97.453087** **104.284157 97.546288** **104.60302 97.69223** **105.022644 97.898102** 

127.705498124.510269129.765854126.174187131.605621127.663841133.752213129.628586

**2034 2035**  **2036 2037** 125.705505 122.56031127.765854124.229553129.605621125.723747131.752213127.690247

6.736744 6.267483 6.924771 6.555499 7.184536 6.697116 7.227438 6.685741 55.749699 55.04428556.368313 55.98260556.489666 56.19533557.159962 56.699223

2.79165 2.769052 2.823757 2.81169 2.834356 2.827396 2.866313 2.85095

3.267167 3.236015 3.292048 3.258547 3.316737 3.282623 3.339171 3.304189 10.648924 10.550886 10.742988 10.579538 10.84128 10.645356 10.919644 10.691734

186.30925242.341187193.273895255.061127200.220428268.257996207.86586283.220642

183.391449238.545883 190.29509251.130051197.177689264.181305204.757645278.985626

9.82822 12.198748 10.313788 13.251942 10.930314 14.072543 11.232244 14.607426 81.333099107.13571983.955238113.16883985.941505118.08236788.832954123.880005

4.072731 5.389559 4.205718 5.683832 4.312095 5.941162 4.454571 6.228932

4.766462 6.298434 4.903192 6.587154 5.045974 6.897724 5.189445 7.219199 15.535689 20.53577 16.000658 21.386538 16.493565 22.368917 16.970345 23.359968**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

16.149881 16.10915 16.099022 16.057278 15.996357 16.036381 0.50% 0.50% 4.065044 3.931273 4.032364 3.941248 3.991315 3.920468 0.80% 0.70% 37.855762 35.57989138.182117 35.85308538.370724 36.090431 1.60% 1.40% 22.32378 21.41033222.450769 21.47687922.610752 21.665577 0.30% 0.20% 8.370747 8.154711 8.434354 8.154711 8.49116 8.154711 0.20% 0.00% 2.894455 2.8635 2.900717 2.863639 2.901317 2.863791 0.30% 0.20% 5.52736 5.212928 5.57404 5.220307 5.606266 5.244791 1.40% 1.20% 3.714874 3.357712 3.796523 3.390991 3.888971 3.421023 2.50% 2.00% 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.236253 0.236253 -2.00% -2.00% **101.138359 96.855957** **101.706367 97.194595** **102.093109 97.633423**  **0.90% 0.80%** 

17.153801 14.075157 17.249319 14.098662 17.425735 14.110908 -0.20% -1.00% 3.950523 3.960329 3.958355 3.942448 3.92962 3.917202 -0.30% -0.30% 2.164393 2.124006 2.193256 2.150311 2.277222 2.21452 -1.20% -1.30% 0.12378 0.095911 0.130121 0.108964 0.097823 0.092808 -4.50% -4.70% **23.392498 20.255404** **23.531052 20.300385**  **23.7304 20.335438**  **-0.40% -0.90%** 

7.63188 7.515467 7.664593 7.592549 7.700371 7.634516 0.70% 0.70% 7.946939 8.103606 8.060628 8.223051 8.09186 8.26055 5.90% 6.00% 3.507544 3.488008 3.641567 3.570926 3.78604 3.765193 0.60% 0.60% **19.086363 19.107082** **19.366789 19.386526**  **19.57827 19.660259**  **2.00% 2.00%** 

**-0.073557 -0.023272**  **-0.063383 -0.030722**  **-0.06649 -0.030647** **- - - -** 

35.397236 32.24520135.390163 32.13935.353397 32.036709 -0.10% -0.40% 31.830194 29.33085332.067436 29.5086132.319588 29.777775 0.80% 0.50% 18.777382 17.857702 18.772505 17.852627 18.747803 17.834044 0.30% 0.10% 8.370747 8.154711 8.434354 8.154711 8.49116 8.154711 0.20% 0.00% 2.894455 2.8635 2.900717 2.863639 2.901317 2.863791 0.30% 0.20% 4.194007 3.883733 4.230904 3.892371 4.261736 3.915877 1.90% 1.60% 3.714874 3.357712 3.796523 3.390991 3.888971 3.421023 2.50% 2.00% 0.339146 0.334139 0.341411 0.337224 0.347764 0.335318 -0.40% -0.50% **105.518051 98.02755** **105.934013 98.139175** **106.311729 98.339249**  **0.40% 0.10%** 

135.774567131.258636138.460205133.730652141.456161136.523712 0.80% 0.70% **Growth Rate (2012-2040) 2038**  **2039 2040** 133.774567129.325165136.460205131.798965139.456177134.593445 1.40% 1.30%

7.262855 6.943284 7.423724 7.161473 7.652016 7.189444 3.70% 3.50% 57.470722 57.23157158.026016 57.51674759.155956 58.570904 1.40% 1.40%

2.881977 2.877165 2.907769 2.890171 2.960135 2.938333 1.40% 1.40%

3.35985 3.325241 3.390973 3.351992 3.42591 3.37922 1.00% 0.90% 10.953766 10.767891 11.037162 10.862707 11.134843 10.797623 0.40% 0.30%

215.550919298.352936224.620239316.288757234.53244 335.89978 2.70% 4.00%

212.375778 293.95813221.375687311.720093231.216492331.150604 3.30% 4.60%

11.530252 15.782192 12.043307 16.937727 12.686941 17.68874 5.60% 6.90% 91.238487130.08825794.134041136.03387598.079788144.106491 3.30% 4.70%

4.575325 6.53984 4.717194 6.835595 4.907864 7.229407 3.30% 4.70%

5.333979 7.558324 5.501083 7.927856 5.680112 8.314154 2.80% 4.20% 17.389812 24.475584 17.905289 25.691582 18.461422 26.566221 2.30% 3.60%**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**Crude Oil** Domestic Crude Production 1/ 9.416503 9.397527 9.288825 9.25585 Alaska 0.412837 0.412837 0.388714 0.388714 Lower 48 States 9.003667 8.984691 8.900111 8.867136 Net Imports 5.888945 5.449039 5.942179 5.447834 Gross Imports 6.036173 5.596268 6.080156 5.585811 Exports 0.147228 0.147228 0.137977 0.137977 Other Crude Supply 2/ 0 0 0 0 **Total Crude Supply 15.30545**  **14.84657 15.231005**  **14.703684**
**Other Petroleum Supply 0.238948**  **0.18584 0.160282**  **0.115645** Net Product Imports -0.83164 -0.86845 -0.891071 -0.915068 Gross Refined Product Imports 3/ 0.989906 0.981467 1.006778 0.990698 Unfinished Oil Imports 0.518693 0.518693 0.515077 0.515077 Blending Component Imports 0.606742 0.605566 0.595522 0.595909 Exports 2.946979 2.974172 3.008449 3.016753 Refinery Processing Gain 4/ 1.070587 1.054287 1.051354 1.030713 Product Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 **Other Non-petroleum Supply 3.932692**  **3.915488 4.046521**  **4.006035** Supply from Renewable Sources 1.026421 1.020795 1.04257 1.037225 Ethanol 0.899872 0.883444 0.915509 0.898026 Domestic Production 0.838685 0.818497 0.84875 0.831288 Net Imports 0.061187 0.064947 0.066759 0.066739 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 Biodiesel 0.088487 0.087073 0.089 0.08892 Domestic Production 0.076729 0.075386 0.07703 0.07703 Net Imports 0.011758 0.011687 0.01197 0.011889 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 Other Biomass-derived Liquids 5/ 0.038061 0.050278 0.038061 0.050278 Domestic Production 0.038061 0.050278 0.038061 0.050278 Net Imports 0 0 0 0 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 Liquids from Gas 2.60798 2.605733 2.704508 2.678952 Natural Gas Plant Liquids 2.60798 2.605733 2.704508 2.678952 Gas-to-Liquids 0 0 0 0 Liquids from Coal 0 0 0 0 Other 6/ 0.298292 0.288959 0.299444 0.289859
**Total Primary Supply 7/ 19.47709**  **18.94789 19.437809**  **18.825363** 

### Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and Disposition **(million barrels per day, unless otherwise noted)**

**Supply and Disposition 2021**  **2022 Product Supplied**  5.790852 5.601329 5.839431 5.619617

**by Fuel** 16.438384 16.047669 16.38804 15.935933
Liquefied Petroleum Gases and Other 8/ 2.742324 2.691669 2.779921 2.720527 Motor Gasoline 9/ 8.227413 8.11913 8.100252 7.968296 of which: E85 10/ 0.162138 0.164995 0.204473 0.20991 Jet Fuel 11/ 1.496483 1.484637 1.502339 1.488837 Distillate Fuel Oil 12/ 4.319947 4.093233 4.348485 4.093716 of which: Diesel 3.972164 3.752233 4.005528 3.758273 Residual Fuel Oil 0.389863 0.385071 0.38962 0.384097 Other 13/ 2.310882 2.183589 2.326933 2.17955 **by Sector** Residential and Commercial 0.873473 0.869866 0.864389 0.860278 Industrial 14/ 5.42516 5.207498 5.48176 5.230692 Transportation 13.10847 12.8024413.021044 12.6661 Electric Power 15/ 0.08098 0.078651 0.081549 0.079098 **Total 19.48692**  **18.95733 19.44755**  **18.835024**
Discrepancy 16/ -0.00983 -0.00944 -0.009741 -0.009661

Domestic Refinery Distillation Capacity 17/ 18.12966 18.12966 18.129658 18.129658 Capacity Utilization Rate (percent) 18/ 84.42215 81.8910484.011528 81.102928 Net Import Share of Product Supplied (perce nt) 26.33993 24.5791226.391024 24.49564 **Net Expenditures for Imports of Crude Oil a nd** 
Petroleum Products (billion 2012 dollars) 207.3263 189.7994214.502243194.328156 16.93547

1/ Includes lease condensate. 2/ Strategic petroleum reserve stock additions plus unaccounted for crude oil and crude stock withdrawals minus crude product supplied. 3/ Includes other hydrocarbons and alcohols. 4/ The volumetric amount by which total output is greater than input due to the processing of crude oil into products which, in total, have a lower specific gravity than the crude oil processed. 5/ Includes pyrolysis oils, biomass-derived Fischer-Tropsch liquids, biobutanol, and renewable feedstocks used for the

cold starting issues, the percentage of ethanol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of 74 percent is used for this forecast. 11/ Includes only kerosene type. on-site production of diesel and gasoline. 6/ Includes domestic sources of other blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers. 7/ Total crude supply plus other petroleum supply plus other non-petroleum supply. 8/ Includes ethane, natural gasoline, and refinery olefins. 9/ Includes ethanol and ethers blended into gasoline. 10/ E85 refers to a blend of 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address12/ Includes distillate fuel oil from petroleum and biomass feedstocks.

13/ Includes kerosene, aviation gasoline, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants, waxes, asphalt, road oil, still gas, special naphthas, petroleum coke, crude oil product supplied, methanol, and miscellaneous petroleum products.

Other 2012 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013). Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 are model results and may differ from official EIA data reports. Sources: 2011 and 2012 product supplied based on: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013). Other 2011 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012). 14/ Includes energy for combined heat and power plants that have a non-regulatory status, and small on-site generating systems. 15/ Includes consumption of energy by electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status. 16/ Balancing item. Includes unaccounted for supply, losses, and gains. 17/ End-of-year operable capacity. 18/ Rate is calculated by dividing the gross annual input to atmospheric crude oil distillation units by their operable refining capacity in barrels per calendar day.**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

9.190735 9.153136 9.072848 9.03053 9.004183 8.950871 8.832944 8.745314 0.36631 0.36631 0.345685 0.345685 0.326669 0.326669 0.307665 0.307665 8.824425 8.786826 8.727163 8.684845 8.677514 8.624203 8.525279 8.437649 5.974879 5.421006 6.035929 5.422943 6.052687 5.380779 6.187996 5.482528 6.109093 5.555221 6.16848 5.555494 6.183692 5.511785 6.31792 5.612451 0.134215 0.134215 0.132551 0.132551 0.131005 0.131005 0.129924 0.129924 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **15.165613 14.574142** **15.108777 14.453472**  **15.05687 14.331651** **15.020941 14.227841** 

**0.089492 0.044176**  **0.038306 -0.00755**  **-0.009492 -0.062266**  **-0.08664 -0.137652**  -0.942516 -0.963858 -0.975656 -0.99655 -1.006822 -1.027595 -1.068271 -1.084962 1.01992 1.001245 1.03091 1.015811 1.05515 1.026715 1.058768 1.040581 0.511461 0.511461 0.507846 0.507846 0.504231 0.504231 0.500615 0.500615 0.586201 0.587269 0.575914 0.573341 0.550558 0.564921 0.538036 0.543576 3.060099 3.063833 3.090325 3.093548 3.116761 3.123461 3.16569 3.169734 1.032008 1.008034 1.013961 0.989001 0.99733 0.96533 0.981631 0.94731 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.13366 4.090694**  **4.182935 4.138651**  **4.214941 4.173586**  **4.244542 4.201786**  1.040906 1.037634 1.042815 1.036447 1.041019 1.037042 1.040587 1.039907 0.914924 0.899861 0.915553 0.898795 0.915236 0.899264 0.915088 0.900485 0.854392 0.831302 0.854377 0.83569 0.854388 0.83569 0.854392 0.835683 0.060532 0.06856 0.061176 0.063105 0.060848 0.063573 0.060696 0.064803 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.088025 0.087494 0.089305 0.087477 0.087722 0.0875 0.087542 0.089247 0.075851 0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.075544 0.075386 0.075386 0.077146 0.012174 0.012108 0.012159 0.012091 0.012178 0.012114 0.012155 0.012102 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037958 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.793027 2.76252 2.839025 2.811954 2.872898 2.847439 2.903315 2.872403 2.793027 2.76252 2.839025 2.811954 2.872898 2.847439 2.903315 2.872403 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.299727 0.290541 0.301095 0.29025 0.301023 0.289105 0.30064 0.289475

**19.388767 18.709013** **19.330017 18.584572** **19.262318 18.442972** **19.178843 18.291975**  **2023 2024**  **2025 2026** 5.887284 5.646283 5.933704 5.677136 5.970933 5.693729 5.985422 5.694448

16.326228 15.822808 16.240906 15.693138 16.144405 15.540634 16.043649 15.38455

2.815053 2.750314 2.834736 2.775943 2.843309 2.781815 2.840814 2.777341 7.963089 7.808892 7.821501 7.641741 7.672413 7.463881 7.538225 7.297091 0.222566 0.234668 0.242672 0.256068 0.262485 0.281853 0.279335 0.306238 1.508082 1.493557 1.514818 1.499295 1.522291 1.505126 1.529134 1.51034 4.378462 4.100627 4.404473 4.101923 4.436998 4.111108 4.460839 4.115834 4.040004 3.770045 4.069851 3.776159 4.106392 3.789812 4.135476 3.799778 0.390509 0.384649 0.392071 0.385228 0.392706 0.385574 0.392729 0.386003 2.343264 2.180738 2.372275 2.190201 2.404312 2.205044 2.426516 2.215048

0.856255 0.851496 0.848676 0.8436 0.841073 0.835328 0.833714 0.827143 5.536664 5.262894 5.589576 5.298027 5.635637 5.321144 5.657545 5.328629 12.924597 12.525912 12.819832 12.373958 12.713536 12.217359 12.616394 12.067966 0.082155 0.079623 0.08302 0.079925 0.083024 0.079907 0.081849 0.079105 **19.398457 18.718777** **19.339874 18.59433** **19.272028 18.452549** **19.188255 18.301657** 

-0.009689 -0.009764 -0.009857 -0.009758 -0.00971 -0.009577 -0.009413 -0.009682

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 83.650841 80.3883983.337349 79.72280183.051041 79.05086582.852859 78.478264

26.330032 24.25470426.557705 24.22217826.574638 24.01386627.074511 24.461384

220.992096198.503998228.389603202.427719234.269226204.645966243.981995212.512894

2/ Strategic petroleum reserve stock additions plus unaccounted for crude oil and crude stock withdrawals minus crude product supplied.
4/ The volumetric amount by which total output is greater than input due to the processing of crude oil into products which, in total,
5/ Includes pyrolysis oils, biomass-derived Fischer-Tropsch liquids, biobutanol, and renewable feedstocks used for the

cold starting issues, the percentage of ethanol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of 10/ E85 refers to a blend of 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address13/ Includes kerosene, aviation gasoline, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants, waxes, asphalt, road oil, still gas, special naphthas, petroleum coke, crude oil product supplied, methanol, and miscellaneous petroleum products.

Other 2012 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013). Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012

Other 2011 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012). 14/ Includes energy for combined heat and power plants that have a non-regulatory status, and small on-site generating systems. 15/ Includes consumption of energy by electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status.

18/ Rate is calculated by dividing the gross annual input to atmospheric crude oil distillation units by their**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

8.66966 8.551946 8.515922 8.376325 8.380416 8.245762 8.304714 8.162722 0.288774 0.288774 0.271349 0.271349 0.255255 0.255255 0.240371 0.240371 8.380886 8.263172 8.244573 8.104976 8.125161 7.990507 8.064343 7.922351 6.332961 5.586545 6.455387 5.671608 6.566886 5.718318 6.635491 5.723905 6.462374 5.71596 6.583871 5.800093 6.695328 5.846759 6.765434 5.853848 0.129414 0.129414 0.128485 0.128485 0.128441 0.128441 0.129943 0.129943 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **15.002621 14.138491** **14.971308 14.047933** **14.947302 13.96408** **14.940206 13.886626** 

**-0.149423 -0.205919**  **-0.195052 -0.270869**  **-0.257532 -0.333205**  **-0.336527 -0.39916**  -1.122708 -1.138517 -1.158872 -1.189224 -1.214273 -1.239077 -1.293569 -1.291988 1.065757 1.045527 1.065918 1.046118 1.061431 1.041712 1.056016 1.040657 0.497 0.497 0.493385 0.493385 0.489769 0.489769 0.486154 0.486154 0.524864 0.529558 0.51505 0.515686 0.505088 0.504998 0.496122 0.494222 3.210329 3.210602 3.233226 3.244414 3.270561 3.275556 3.331861 3.313021 0.973285 0.932598 0.963821 0.918355 0.956742 0.905872 0.957042 0.892829 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.266077 4.219076**  **4.283629 4.237919**  **4.290867 4.236521**  **4.322494 4.253311**  1.040669 1.039909 1.040782 1.03762 1.04022 1.037749 1.040669 1.037628 0.915186 0.900521 0.915334 0.900014 0.91476 0.900128 0.914831 0.899995 0.85523 0.835683 0.855847 0.835686 0.855835 0.83569 0.855847 0.835694 0.059957 0.064838 0.059487 0.064327 0.058925 0.064438 0.058984 0.0643 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.087525 0.089213 0.08749 0.087432 0.087502 0.087446 0.08788 0.087459 0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.075386 0.075386 0.075386 0.07575 0.075386 0.012139 0.012067 0.012104 0.012046 0.012116 0.01206 0.012131 0.012073 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.922893 2.889831 2.940651 2.91142 2.950508 2.912771 2.978853 2.929972 2.922893 2.889831 2.940651 2.91142 2.950508 2.912771 2.978853 2.929972 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.302516 0.289337 0.302197 0.288879 0.300139 0.286002 0.302972 0.28571

**19.119274 18.151648** **19.059887 18.014982** **18.980637 17.867395** **18.926172 17.740778**  **2027 2028**  **2029 2030** 6.016669 5.706054 6.042064 5.710952 6.031832 5.687559 6.030659 5.66918

15.957199 15.231963 15.885176 15.090311 15.806398 14.954199 15.745043 14.835456

2.844868 2.776608 2.857808 2.776372 2.848682 2.765212 2.840257 2.754894 7.41816 7.14177 7.31573 7.004065 7.224996 6.878806 7.146273 6.766458 0.294067 0.326706 0.305464 0.343178 0.313237 0.357678 0.318727 0.368611 1.53507 1.514718 1.540705 1.5187 1.545791 1.522208 1.550583 1.525358 4.47965 4.109755 4.487029 4.097168 4.498954 4.089481 4.516384 4.086142 4.159101 3.798867 4.170933 3.791174 4.186929 3.787973 4.20793 3.788746 0.39312 0.386391 0.394136 0.386457 0.394859 0.38691 0.396202 0.387424 2.458132 2.232167 2.474024 2.242129 2.476266 2.233929 2.485746 2.229466

0.826392 0.818874 0.819928 0.811213 0.813193 0.803779 0.807109 0.796964 5.694529 5.345308 5.724005 5.354008 5.71842 5.333894 5.722938 5.319901 12.527696 11.919618 12.445028 11.782169 12.377145 11.661172 12.324268 11.555061 0.081641 0.078804 0.081735 0.0787 0.08204 0.078884 0.082366 0.078991 **19.129 18.161409** **19.069431 18.024893** **18.989548 17.876547** **18.935446 17.749741** 

-0.009726 -0.009762 -0.009544 -0.009911 -0.008911 -0.009151 -0.009274 -0.008963

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 82.751808 77.9854282.579086 77.48591682.446686 77.02339282.407532 76.596176

27.628391 24.928505 28.164417 25.305363 28.574669 25.49749628.600803 25.412018

254.790054220.807526263.618317227.833954272.543701 233.34053278.598022236.335953**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

8.159544 8.031879 8.072735 7.932821 8.044679 7.790892 7.984591 7.753178 0.226587 0.226587 0.273065 0.213805 0.340211 0.201937 0.388438 0.250164 7.932957 7.805292 7.79967 7.719016 7.704468 7.588954 7.596154 7.503014 6.779545 5.819617 6.862329 5.874372 6.897704 5.98298 6.998343 5.998932 6.909001 5.949073 6.989813 6.001856 7.023462 6.108739 7.123044 6.123633 0.129456 0.129456 0.127484 0.127484 0.125759 0.125759 0.124701 0.124701 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **14.939089 13.851496** **14.935063 13.807194** **14.942383 13.773872** **14.982935 13.75211** 

**-0.415023 -0.474069**  **-0.473337 -0.545828**  **-0.533088 -0.619954**  **-0.618314 -0.693029**  -1.368313 -1.360743 -1.427032 -1.426328 -1.482378 -1.493319 -1.563064 -1.55937 1.05697 1.037131 1.070215 1.036632 1.072165 1.047891 1.07661 1.059891 0.482538 0.482538 0.478923 0.478923 0.475308 0.475308 0.471692 0.471692 0.486642 0.482324 0.477477 0.472441 0.468303 0.462553 0.456796 0.45267 3.394464 3.362735 3.453647 3.414325 3.498154 3.47907 3.568162 3.543623 0.95329 0.886674 0.953695 0.8805 0.949291 0.873365 0.94475 0.866342 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.356712 4.266138**  **4.376366 4.288073**  **4.386152 4.308187**  **4.403698 4.32949**  1.041856 1.037358 1.041098 1.038408 1.041115 1.039419 1.042102 1.039352 0.914635 0.899708 0.913895 0.900783 0.91389 0.900262 0.914847 0.900181 0.855847 0.835679 0.855835 0.835667 0.855835 0.835667 0.855835 0.835667 0.058788 0.064029 0.05806 0.065116 0.058056 0.064595 0.059012 0.064514 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.089263 0.087475 0.089245 0.08745 0.08937 0.089086 0.089402 0.0891 0.077146 0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.077261 0.077011 0.077261 0.077017 0.012118 0.012089 0.0121 0.012064 0.01211 0.012074 0.012141 0.012083 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.010346 2.94256 3.028849 2.96277 3.038397 2.982388 3.054612 3.003846 3.010346 2.94256 3.028849 2.96277 3.038397 2.982388 3.054612 3.003846 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.30451 0.28622 0.306419 0.286895 0.30664 0.286381 0.306984 0.286291

**18.880777 17.643566** **18.838093 17.549438** **18.795446 17.462105** **18.768318 17.388571**  **2033 2034**  **2031 2032** 6.029663 5.659402 6.026745 5.649551 6.010539 5.635678 5.994172 5.624006

15.69667 14.736919 15.651812 14.64431 15.612072 14.561259 15.575609 14.486427

2.836118 2.743698 2.830849 2.735325 2.818017 2.72598 2.792467 2.713211 7.080946 6.670387 7.02686 6.585707 6.982539 6.50852 6.943378 6.440768 0.321052 0.376489 0.319027 0.383066 0.314672 0.38472 0.309967 0.384144 1.555024 1.528188 1.559142 1.530716 1.562889 1.532972 1.566164 1.534828 4.528018 4.086884 4.53449 4.080866 4.544459 4.07794 4.566219 4.078216 4.224582 3.794646 4.234961 3.792562 4.248627 3.793787 4.2736 3.79762 0.396595 0.387824 0.396963 0.388598 0.398011 0.389064 0.398714 0.389238 2.493514 2.235642 2.499404 2.237324 2.498679 2.236481 2.510372 2.240961

0.80122 0.790156 0.795458 0.783334 0.790069 0.776704 0.784119 0.770771 5.727085 5.315573 5.727955 5.309916 5.715195 5.299194 5.703929 5.292738 12.281888 11.470179 12.24421 11.388372 12.219083 11.318069 12.208592 11.256604 0.08125 0.077882 0.081303 0.078078 0.081449 0.078141 0.081865 0.078251 **18.890217 17.652622**  **18.84771 17.558537** **18.804594 17.470957** **18.777315 17.397221** 

-0.009439 -0.009056 -0.009617 -0.009098 -0.009148 -0.008852 -0.008997 -0.00865

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 82.40139 76.40240582.379173 76.15803582.419548 75.97424382.643227 75.854218

29.035553 25.70337929.225126 25.78557829.185209 26.1499429.338976 25.971994

289.048889 243.16362297.603973250.093918305.143311259.808624315.754913264.852844**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

7.872269 7.709124 7.754629 7.662413 7.699487 7.610111 7.558843 7.540687 0.378168 0.318908 0.368597 0.368597 0.359665 0.359665 0.321691 0.351322 7.494101 7.390216 7.386033 7.293817 7.339821 7.250445 7.237151 7.189365 7.149344 6.030087 7.303795 6.072554 7.406397 6.13335 7.618123 6.227519 7.272789 6.153533 7.427744 6.196503 7.530535 6.257487 7.742245 6.35164 0.123445 0.123445 0.123949 0.123949 0.124137 0.124137 0.124122 0.124122 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **15.021612 13.739212** **15.058424 13.734966** **15.105885 13.743461** **15.176966 13.768206** 

**-0.668815 -0.745559**  **-0.704074 -0.797507**  **-0.769498 -0.837203**  **-0.811373 -0.848042**  -1.613156 -1.605453 -1.650264 -1.65398 -1.716191 -1.691069 -1.761562 -1.701789 1.082227 1.070638 1.093154 1.086456 1.095712 1.101345 1.097255 1.105129 0.468077 0.468077 0.464462 0.464462 0.460846 0.460846 0.45723 0.45723 0.448365 0.443279 0.437879 0.433407 0.428378 0.424521 0.418416 0.414649 3.611825 3.587447 3.645758 3.638304 3.701127 3.677781 3.734463 3.678798 0.94434 0.859894 0.94619 0.856473 0.946693 0.853866 0.950189 0.853748 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.399092 4.320786**  **4.377561 4.316371**  **4.406972 4.311654**  **4.389887 4.262145**  1.04151 1.039222 1.039404 1.039425 1.038624 1.039974 1.041671 1.037553 0.914258 0.900053 0.91218 0.900256 0.911655 0.900636 0.914454 0.899496 0.853584 0.835667 0.849833 0.835667 0.847575 0.835667 0.848554 0.833685 0.060674 0.064386 0.062348 0.064589 0.06408 0.064969 0.0659 0.065811 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.089397 0.089097 0.08937 0.089098 0.089115 0.089267 0.089363 0.089098 0.077261 0.077017 0.077261 0.077011 0.077011 0.077184 0.077261 0.077011 0.012137 0.01208 0.012109 0.012087 0.012103 0.012082 0.012102 0.012086 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.048959 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.048959 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.04924 2.995132 3.028998 2.989513 3.058621 2.983441 3.037477 2.936938 3.04924 2.995132 3.028998 2.989513 3.058621 2.983441 3.037477 2.936938 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.308342 0.286433 0.309159 0.287433 0.309727 0.288239 0.310739 0.287654

**18.751888 17.31444** **18.731911 17.25383** **18.743359 17.217911**  **18.75548 17.182308**  **2035 2036**  **2037 2038** 5.985247 5.607544 5.973822 5.594207 5.988903 5.599845 5.99751 5.599074

15.558127 14.408481 15.533104 14.34591415.534312 14.301671 15.528578 14.251166

2.782671 2.693167 2.76675 2.67794 2.771581 2.675535 2.7629 2.661008 6.909336 6.378287 6.881879 6.323015 6.862229 6.274787 6.849751 6.231403 0.297484 0.380681 0.281486 0.374233 0.264501 0.363638 0.245667 0.346893 1.569109 1.536364 1.573336 1.539078 1.577515 1.541707 1.58163 1.544133 4.586548 4.078006 4.59785 4.080296 4.60704 4.08115 4.615688 4.083397 4.297011 3.800663 4.311139 3.805881 4.322987 3.809642 4.334297 3.814622 0.399925 0.390333 0.401219 0.391252 0.40173 0.391631 0.402443 0.393118 2.513114 2.246701 2.519142 2.2506 2.531539 2.261171 2.550776 2.276173

0.779706 0.765316 0.775552 0.760503 0.771922 0.755991 0.768688 0.751518 5.698501 5.28161 5.690427 5.27259 5.708889 5.282168 5.719102 5.284812 12.201549 11.198731 12.192887 11.151599 12.189212 11.110119 12.193395 11.074909 0.082123 0.078333 0.082472 0.078612 0.08277 0.078831 0.083155 0.079115 **18.760704 17.322857** **18.740177 17.262182** **18.751633 17.225981** **18.763191 17.189232** 

-0.008816 -0.008417 -0.008266 -0.008352 -0.008274 -0.00807 -0.007711 -0.006924

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 82.856575 75.78307383.059608 75.75965183.321396 75.80650383.713463 75.942993

29.91165 25.99622930.578768 26.05363130.764973 26.247852 31.64176 26.792828

327.328461269.924591338.679474274.799194347.810272281.972931363.353607289.935425**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

7.530283 7.512097 7.480167 7.499392 0.50% 0.50% 0.288702 0.343518 0.259987 0.30658 -2.50% -1.90% 7.241581 7.16858 7.220181 7.192811 0.70% 0.70% 7.662498 6.238018 7.742801 6.243674 -0.30% -1.10% 7.786319 6.361838 7.866511 6.367384 -0.30% -1.00% 0.123821 0.123821 0.12371 0.12371 2.60% 2.60% 0 0 0 0- - - - **15.192781 13.750114** **15.222968 13.743065**  **0.00% -0.30%** 

**-0.822815 -0.904255**  **-0.862155 -0.942033** **- - - -**  -1.777179 -1.754295 -1.816797 -1.789852 2.50% 2.40% 1.108745 1.107656 1.097406 1.10552 0.90% 1.00% 0.453616 0.453616 0.45 0.45 -1.00% -1.00% 0.408454 0.404776 0.398491 0.394903 -1.50% -1.60% 3.747993 3.720342 3.762695 3.740276 0.80% 0.80% 0.954364 0.85004 0.954642 0.84782 -0.40% -0.90% 0 0 0 0- - - - **4.378557 4.271891**  **4.36415 4.259696**  **0.80% 0.70%**  1.0533 1.039845 1.067689 1.042423 0.70% 0.60% 0.928873 0.918048 0.946005 0.923088 0.50% 0.40% 0.859024 0.850457 0.862785 0.853626 0.10% 0.00% 0.069849 0.067591 0.08322 0.069462- - - - 0 0 0 0- - - - 0.089108 0.089077 0.089448 0.089441- - - - 0.077011 0.077011 0.077376 0.077376 0.70% 0.70% 0.012096 0.012066 0.012072 0.012065- - - - 0 0 0 0- - - - 0.035319 0.032719 0.032237 0.029894- - - - 0.035319 0.032719 0.032237 0.029894- - - - 0 0 0 0- - - - 0 0 0 0- - - - 3.013617 2.94435 2.983552 2.929423 0.80% 0.70% 3.013617 2.94435 2.983552 2.929423 0.80% 0.70% 0 0 0 0- - - - 0 0 0 0- - - - 0.31164 0.287696 0.312909 0.28785 1.80% 1.50%

**18.748524 17.11775** **18.724962 17.060728**  **0.00% -0.30%**  **Growth Rate (2012-2040) 2039**  **2040**5.981876 5.581393 5.956533 5.561709

15.523166 14.19561 15.503649 14.145595

2.749513 2.652188 2.728679 2.640012 0.60% 0.50% 6.844498 6.184044 6.840818 6.145713 -0.90% -1.20% 0.237414 0.343066 0.22813 0.325445 11.90% 13.30% 1.585529 1.546199 1.589608 1.548459 0.50% 0.40% 4.62244 4.079254 4.620763 4.074823 0.80% 0.30% 4.343626 3.813179 4.344544 3.811411 0.80% 0.40% 0.403421 0.393888 0.404459 0.393987 0.60% 0.50% 2.550128 2.269242 2.547176 2.264298 0.90% 0.50%

0.764992 0.746741 0.761034 0.742131 -0.80% -0.80% 5.70614 5.270696 5.683921 5.254875 0.90% 0.60% 12.201965 11.029038 12.203708 10.991612 -0.30% -0.70% 0.083572 0.079444 0.083962 0.079765 -0.70% -0.90% **18.755531 17.124817** **18.731504 17.067293**  **0.00% -0.30%** 

-0.007008 -0.007067 -0.006542 -0.006565- - - -

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 0.20% 0.20% 83.800713 75.84320883.967209 75.804321 -0.20% -0.60%

31.827915 26.65875632.156517 26.583559 -0.80% -1.50%

372.929199295.774231385.393707302.297546 0.70% -0.10%