1

*******************************************************************************************************

******************************************************************************************************* Stepwise_ML_NLOGIT5_results_7.01.13.docx Author: Abt Associates Inc. Created: 7/1/13 Purpose: This file presents the NLOGIT5 code and output for weighted mixed logit models based on the 316(b) stated preference survey data with stepwise fish saved. This file includes results for all survey regions including the national survey version.

*******************************************************************************************************

*******************************************************************************************************2

******************************************************************************************************* Northeast Region

*******************************************************************************************************

|-> RESET $ |-> LOAD ; File="H:\ERD\TYCHE Contract\Assignments\WA 2-15 (316b Benefits & SP Study)\Task 4 - Stated Pref Survey\07 Peer Review\Post-peer review anal Project file contained 20817 observations. |-> CALC ; Ran(999) $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=0) Neither=1; (Else) Neither=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=1) ASC_A=1; (Else) ASC_A=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=2) ASC_B=1; (Else) ASC_B=0 $ |-> REJECT; region = 2 $ |-> REJECT; region = 5 $ |-> REJECT; region = 3 $ |-> REJECT; region = 4 $ |-> CREATE; newind=Ndx(id,0) $ |-> CREATE; z = GroupMean(choice, str=newind) $

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Variable = ____________ Variable Groups Max Min Average | | Z Group means CHOICE 421 9 9 9.0 |

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ |-> CREATE; num_r=z*9 $ |-> REJECT; num_r = 0 $ |-> REJECT; choice = -999 $ |-> REJECT; response = -999 $ |-> REJECT; w_var = -999 $ |-> CREATE ; fish_sq = fish_sav*fish_sav $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 5) fish_5=1; (Else) fish_5=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 50) fish_50=1; (Else) fish_50=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 95) fish_95=1; (Else) fish_95=0 $ |-> NLOGIT ; Lhs = Choice ; Choices = A,B,Neither ; Rhs = com_fish, fish_pop, fish_5, fish_50, fish_95, aquatic,
cost ; RPL ; Fcn = com_fish(N), fish_pop(N), aquatic(N) ; Parameters ; Pds = num_r ; Pts = 300 ; Maxit = 1000 ; Halton ; Wts = w_var $ Normal exit: 5 iterations. Status=0, F= 1090.814

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Start values obtained using MNL model Dependent variable Choice Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -1090.81361 Estimation based on N = 1078, K = 7 Inf.Cr.AIC = 2195.6 AIC/N = 2.037 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 18:24:18 R2=1-LogL/LogL* Log-L fncn R-sqrd R2Adj Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$3

Response data are given as ind. choices Number of obs.= 1078, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- COM_FISH| .05254** .02319 2.27 .0235 .00708 .09800 FISH_POP| .01001 .03654 .27 .7841 -.06160 .08162 AQUATIC| .09350** .03697 2.53 .0114 .02104 .16595 FISH_5| .02297 .18708 .12 .9023 -.34370 .38965 FISH_50| .88462*** .17833 4.96 .0000 .53510 1.23414 FISH_95| 1.04920*** .18399 5.70 .0000 .68859 1.40981 COST| -.01320*** .00236 -5.60 .0000 -.01782 -.00858

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Line search at iteration 6 does not improve fn. Exiting optimization.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Random Parameters Logit Model Dependent variable CHOICE Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -968.74364 Restricted log likelihood -1175.88015 Chi squared [ 10 d.f.] 414.27303 Significance level .00000 McFadden Pseudo R-squared .1761544 Estimation based on N = 1078, K = 10 Inf.Cr.AIC = 1957.5 AIC/N = 1.816 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 18:39:36 Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$
At start values -1090.8136 .1119****** Response data are given as ind. choices Replications for simulated probs. = 300 Halton sequences used for simulations RPL model with panel has 372 groups Variable number of obs./group =NUM_R BHHH estimator used for asymp. variance Number of obs.= 1078, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

|Random parameters in utility functions COM_FISH| .03229 .04034 .80 .4234 -.04677 .11135 FISH_POP| .12996 .08591 1.51 .1303 -.03842 .29834 AQUATIC| .21497** .09542 2.25 .0243 .02795 .40199

|Nonrandom parameters in utility functions FISH_5| -.24201 .27171 -.89 .3731 -.77456 .29053 FISH_50| 1.09973*** .28561 3.85 .0001 .53994 1.65952 FISH_95| 1.39847*** .30151 4.64 .0000 .80752 1.98942 COST| -.01173*** .00332 -3.53 .0004 -.01824 -.00521 |Distns. of RPs. Std.Devs or limits of triangular NsCOM_FI| .21162** .09479 2.23 .0256 .02582 .39741 NsFISH_P| .92959*** .14490 6.42 .0000 .64559 1.213584

NsAQUATI| .91559*** .14981 6.11 .0000 .62196 1.20922

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------5

******************************************************************************************************* Southeast Region

*******************************************************************************************************

|-> RESET $ |-> LOAD ; File="H:\ERD\TYCHE Contract\Assignments\WA 2-15 (316b Benefits & SP Study)\Task 4 - Stated Pref Survey\07 Peer Review\Post-peer review anal Project file contained 20817 observations. |-> CALC ; Ran(123) $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=0) Neither=1; (Else) Neither=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=1) ASC_A=1; (Else) ASC_A=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=2) ASC_B=1; (Else) ASC_B=0 $ |-> REJECT; region = 1 $ |-> REJECT; region = 5 $ |-> REJECT; region = 3 $ |-> REJECT; region = 4 $ |-> CREATE; newind=Ndx(id,0) $ |-> CREATE; z = GroupMean(choice, str=newind) $

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Variable = ____________ Variable Groups Max Min Average | | Z Group means CHOICE 506 9 9 9.0 |

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ |-> CREATE; num_r=z*9 $ |-> REJECT; num_r = 0 $ |-> REJECT; choice = -999 $ |-> REJECT; response = -999 $ |-> REJECT; w_var = -999 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 25) fish_25=1; (Else) fish_25=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 55) fish_55=1; (Else) fish_55=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 90) fish_90=1; (Else) fish_90=0 $ |-> NLOGIT ; Lhs = Choice ; Choices = A,B,Neither ; Rhs = com_fish, fish_pop, fish_25, fish_55, fish_90, aquatic,
cost ; RPL ; Fcn = com_fish(N), fish_pop(N), aquatic(N) ; Parameters ; Pds = num_r ; Pts = 300 ; Maxit = 1000 ; Halton ; Wts = w_var $ Normal exit: 4 iterations. Status=0, F= 1365.484

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Start values obtained using MNL model Dependent variable Choice Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -1365.48362 Estimation based on N = 1321, K = 7 Inf.Cr.AIC = 2745.0 AIC/N = 2.078 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 18:26:35 R2=1-LogL/LogL* Log-L fncn R-sqrd R2Adj Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$6

Response data are given as ind. choices Number of obs.= 1321, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- COM_FISH| .03486 .02147 1.62 .1045 -.00722 .07695 FISH_POP| -.02291 .03346 -.68 .4936 -.08850 .04268 AQUATIC| .10604*** .03406 3.11 .0018 .03930 .17279 FISH_25| .32491** .16357 1.99 .0470 .00432 .64549 FISH_55| .64920*** .16639 3.90 .0001 .32308 .97532 FISH_90| 1.17608*** .16954 6.94 .0000 .84379 1.50836 COST| -.02008*** .00218 -9.22 .0000 -.02435 -.01581

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Line search at iteration 6 does not improve fn. Exiting optimization.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Random Parameters Logit Model Dependent variable CHOICE Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -1206.67087 Restricted log likelihood -1441.96170 Chi squared [ 10 d.f.] 470.58166 Significance level .00000 McFadden Pseudo R-squared .1631741 Estimation based on N = 1321, K = 10 Inf.Cr.AIC = 2433.3 AIC/N = 1.842 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 18:42:48 Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$
At start values -1365.4836 .1163****** Response data are given as ind. choices Replications for simulated probs. = 300 Halton sequences used for simulations RPL model with panel has 458 groups Variable number of obs./group =NUM_R BHHH estimator used for asymp. variance Number of obs.= 1321, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

|Random parameters in utility functions COM_FISH| .12915*** .04140 3.12 .0018 .04801 .21029 FISH_POP| .04549 .07020 .65 .5170 -.09210 .18309 AQUATIC| .30748*** .07066 4.35 .0000 .16899 .44597

|Nonrandom parameters in utility functions FISH_25| .31780 .21999 1.44 .1486 -.11337 .74897 FISH_55| .68790*** .23475 2.93 .0034 .22781 1.14800 FISH_90| 1.36035*** .25588 5.32 .0000 .85882 1.86187 COST| -.02828*** .00341 -8.29 .0000 -.03496 -.02159 |Distns. of RPs. Std.Devs or limits of triangular NsCOM_FI| .40460*** .07425 5.45 .0000 .25906 .55013 NsFISH_P| .71690*** .12040 5.95 .0000 .48092 .952887

NsAQUATI| .67675*** .11427 5.92 .0000 .45279 .90072

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------8

******************************************************************************************************* Inland Region

*******************************************************************************************************

|-> RESET $ |-> LOAD ; File="H:\ERD\TYCHE Contract\Assignments\WA 2-15 (316b Benefits & SP Study)\Task 4 - Stated Pref Survey\07 Peer Review\Post-peer review anal Project file contained 20817 observations. |-> CALC ; Ran(123) $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=0) Neither=1; (Else) Neither=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=1) ASC_A=1; (Else) ASC_A=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=2) ASC_B=1; (Else) ASC_B=0 $ |-> REJECT; region = 1 $ |-> REJECT; region = 5 $ |-> REJECT; region = 2 $ |-> REJECT; region = 4 $ |-> CREATE; newind=Ndx(id,0) $ |-> CREATE; z = GroupMean(choice, str=newind) $

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Variable = ____________ Variable Groups Max Min Average | | Z Group means CHOICE 787 9 9 9.0 |

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ |-> CREATE; num_r=z*9 $ |-> REJECT; num_r = 0 $ |-> REJECT; choice = -999 $ |-> REJECT; response = -999 $ |-> REJECT; w_var = -999 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 55) fish_55=1; (Else) fish_55=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 75) fish_75=1; (Else) fish_75=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 95) fish_95=1; (Else) fish_95=0 $ |-> NLOGIT ; Lhs = Choice ; Choices = A,B,Neither ; Rhs = com_fish, fish_pop, fish_55, fish_75, fish_95, aquatic,

cost ; RPL ; Fcn = com_fish(N), fish_pop(N), aquatic(N) ; Parameters ; Pds = num_r ; Pts = 300 ; Maxit = 1000 ; Halton ; Wts = w_var $ Normal exit: 4 iterations. Status=0, F= 2281.352

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Start values obtained using MNL model Dependent variable Choice Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -2281.35196 Estimation based on N = 2180, K = 7 Inf.Cr.AIC = 4576.7 AIC/N = 2.099 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 18:28:59 R2=1-LogL/LogL* Log-L fncn R-sqrd R2Adj Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$ Response data are given as ind. choices9

Number of obs.= 2180, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- COM_FISH| .00760 .01647 .46 .6445 -.02468 .03989 FISH_POP| .00185 .02574 .07 .9428 -.04860 .05230 AQUATIC| .07116*** .02591 2.75 .0060 .02039 .12194 FISH_55| .57841*** .12481 4.63 .0000 .33379 .82303 FISH_75| .90525*** .12754 7.10 .0000 .65527 1.15522 FISH_95| 1.13624*** .13112 8.67 .0000 .87925 1.39322 COST| -.01938*** .00167 -11.58 .0000 -.02266 -.01610

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Line search at iteration 22 does not improve fn. Exiting optimization.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Random Parameters Logit Model Dependent variable CHOICE Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -2058.51630 Restricted log likelihood -2380.09089 Chi squared [ 10 d.f.] 643.14917 Significance level .00000 McFadden Pseudo R-squared .1351102 Estimation based on N = 2180, K = 10 Inf.Cr.AIC = 4137.0 AIC/N = 1.898 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 19:14:17 Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$
At start values -2281.3520 .0977****** Response data are given as ind. choices Replications for simulated probs. = 300 Halton sequences used for simulations RPL model with panel has 756 groups Variable number of obs./group =NUM_R Number of obs.= 2180, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

|Random parameters in utility functions COM_FISH| -.03519 .03234 -1.09 .2765 -.09858 .02820 FISH_POP| -.01603 .06383 -.25 .8017 -.14113 .10906 AQUATIC| .26696*** .04418 6.04 .0000 .18037 .35356

|Nonrandom parameters in utility functions FISH_55| .59433*** .18494 3.21 .0013 .23186 .95681 FISH_75| 1.10540*** .19512 5.67 .0000 .72296 1.48783 FISH_95| 1.38457*** .20258 6.83 .0000 .98752 1.78162 COST| -.02593*** .00262 -9.90 .0000 -.03107 -.02079 |Distns. of RPs. Std.Devs or limits of triangular NsCOM_FI| .37020*** .05488 6.75 .0000 .26264 .47776 NsFISH_P| 1.02313*** .10819 9.46 .0000 .81108 1.23518 NsAQUATI| .49541*** .08636 5.74 .0000 .32614 .66469

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------10

Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------11

******************************************************************************************************* Pacific Region

*******************************************************************************************************

|-> RESET $ |-> LOAD ; File="H:\ERD\TYCHE Contract\Assignments\WA 2-15 (316b Benefits & SP Study)\Task 4 - Stated Pref Survey\07 Peer Review\Post-peer review anal Project file contained 20817 observations. |-> CALC ; Ran(123) $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=0) Neither=1; (Else) Neither=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=1) ASC_A=1; (Else) ASC_A=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=2) ASC_B=1; (Else) ASC_B=0 $ |-> REJECT; region = 1 $ |-> REJECT; region = 5 $ |-> REJECT; region = 2 $ |-> REJECT; region = 3 $ |-> CREATE; newind=Ndx(id,0) $ |-> CREATE; z = GroupMean(choice, str=newind) $

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Variable = ____________ Variable Groups Max Min Average | | Z Group means CHOICE 311 9 9 9.0 |

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ |-> CREATE; num_r=z*9 $ |-> REJECT; num_r = 0 $ |-> REJECT; choice = -999 $ |-> REJECT; response = -999 $ |-> REJECT; w_var = -999 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 2) fish_2=1; (Else) fish_2=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 50) fish_50=1; (Else) fish_50=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 95) fish_95=1; (Else) fish_95=0 $ |-> NLOGIT ; Lhs = Choice ; Choices = A,B,Neither ; Rhs = com_fish, fish_pop, fish_50, fish_95, aquatic, cost
; RPL ; Fcn = com_fish(N), fish_pop(N), aquatic(N) ; Parameters ; Pds = num_r ; Pts = 300 ; Maxit = 1000 ; Halton ; Wts = w_var $ Normal exit: 5 iterations. Status=0, F= 682.1151

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Start values obtained using MNL model Dependent variable Choice Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -682.11512 Estimation based on N = 720, K = 6 Inf.Cr.AIC = 1376.2 AIC/N = 1.911 Model estimated: Jul 09, 2013, 18:01:02 R2=1-LogL/LogL* Log-L fncn R-sqrd R2Adj Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$ Response data are given as ind. choices Number of obs.= 720, skipped 0 obs12

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- COM_FISH| .03070 .02802 1.10 .2733 -.02423 .08563 FISH_POP| .05548 .04219 1.31 .1886 -.02722 .13818 AQUATIC| .15072*** .04282 3.52 .0004 .06679 .23465 FISH_50| .80059*** .14191 5.64 .0000 .52245 1.07873 FISH_95| 1.51057*** .14324 10.55 .0000 1.22982 1.79132 COST| -.01804*** .00300 -6.02 .0000 -.02391 -.01217

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Line search at iteration 10 does not improve fn. Exiting optimization.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Random Parameters Logit Model Dependent variable CHOICE Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -602.34800 Restricted log likelihood -779.04062 Chi squared [ 9 d.f.] 353.38523 Significance level .00000 McFadden Pseudo R-squared .2268080 Estimation based on N = 720, K = 9 Inf.Cr.AIC = 1222.7 AIC/N = 1.698 Model estimated: Jul 09, 2013, 18:08:41 Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$
At start values -682.1151 .1169****** Response data are given as ind. choices Replications for simulated probs. = 300 Halton sequences used for simulations RPL model with panel has 252 groups Variable number of obs./group =NUM_R BHHH estimator used for asymp. variance Number of obs.= 720, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

|Random parameters in utility functions COM_FISH| .04594 .06607 .70 .4869 -.08356 .17544 FISH_POP| .16759 .12439 1.35 .1779 -.07620 .41138 AQUATIC| .48854*** .08097 6.03 .0000 .32984 .64724

|Nonrandom parameters in utility functions FISH_50| .92662*** .22718 4.08 .0000 .48136 1.37187 FISH_95| 1.82906*** .25662 7.13 .0000 1.32610 2.33202 COST| -.02383*** .00490 -4.86 .0000 -.03344 -.01422 |Distns. of RPs. Std.Devs or limits of triangular NsCOM_FI| .45357*** .12460 3.64 .0003 .20935 .69778 NsFISH_P| 1.22225*** .17914 6.82 .0000 .87114 1.57336 NsAQUATI| .26818 .19488 1.38 .1688 -.11378 .65013

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------13

******************************************************************************************************* National Survey Version

*******************************************************************************************************

|-> RESET $ |-> LOAD ; File="H:\ERD\TYCHE Contract\Assignments\WA 2-15 (316b Benefits & SP Study)\Task 4 - Stated Pref Survey\07 Peer Review\Post-peer review anal Project file contained 20817 observations. |-> CALC ; Ran(123) $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=0) Neither=1; (Else) Neither=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=1) ASC_A=1; (Else) ASC_A=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(option=2) ASC_B=1; (Else) ASC_B=0 $ |-> REJECT; region = 1 $ |-> REJECT; region = 4 $ |-> REJECT; region = 2 $ |-> REJECT; region = 3 $ |-> CREATE; newind=Ndx(id,0) $ |-> CREATE; z = GroupMean(choice, str=newind) $

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Variable = ____________ Variable Groups Max Min Average | | Z Group means CHOICE 288 9 9 9.0 |

+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ |-> CREATE; num_r=z*9 $ |-> REJECT; num_r = 0 $ |-> REJECT; choice = -999 $ |-> REJECT; response = -999 $ |-> REJECT; w_var = -999 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 25) fish_25=1; (Else) fish_25=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 55) fish_55=1; (Else) fish_55=0 $ |-> CREATE ; If(fish_sav = 95) fish_95=1; (Else) fish_95=0 $ |-> NLOGIT ; Lhs = Choice ; Choices = A,B,Neither ; Rhs = com_fish, fish_pop, fish_25, fish_55, fish_95, aquatic,

cost ; RPL ; Fcn = com_fish(N), fish_pop(N), aquatic(N) ; Parameters ; Pds = num_r ; Pts = 300 ; Maxit = 1000 ; Halton ; Wts = w_var $ Normal exit: 4 iterations. Status=0, F= 814.4670

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Start values obtained using MNL model Dependent variable Choice Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -814.46699 Estimation based on N = 789, K = 7 Inf.Cr.AIC = 1642.9 AIC/N = 2.082 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 18:33:27 R2=1-LogL/LogL* Log-L fncn R-sqrd R2Adj Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$ Response data are given as ind. choices14

Number of obs.= 789, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- COM_FISH| .05297* .02781 1.90 .0568 -.00154 .10748 FISH_POP| .01231 .04301 .29 .7747 -.07198 .09660 AQUATIC| .01304 .04334 .30 .7635 -.07191 .09798 FISH_25| .39314* .20589 1.91 .0562 -.01040 .79668 FISH_55| .66466*** .21173 3.14 .0017 .24968 1.07965 FISH_95| 1.32261*** .21608 6.12 .0000 .89910 1.74612 COST| -.01766*** .00277 -6.37 .0000 -.02310 -.01223

--------+-------------------------------------------------------------------- Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Line search at iteration 5 does not improve fn. Exiting optimization.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Random Parameters Logit Model Dependent variable CHOICE Weighting variable W_VAR Log likelihood function -717.39916 Restricted log likelihood -864.47725 Chi squared [ 10 d.f.] 294.15618 Significance level .00000 McFadden Pseudo R-squared .1701353 Estimation based on N = 789, K = 10 Inf.Cr.AIC = 1454.8 AIC/N = 1.844 Model estimated: Jul 01, 2013, 18:39:00 Constants only must be computed directly

Use NLOGIT ;...;RHS=ONE$
At start values -814.4670 .1192****** Response data are given as ind. choices Replications for simulated probs. = 300 Halton sequences used for simulations RPL model with panel has 272 groups Variable number of obs./group =NUM_R Number of obs.= 789, skipped 0 obs

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

| Standard Prob. 95% Confidence CHOICE| Coefficient Error z |z|>Z* Interval

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------

|Random parameters in utility functions COM_FISH| .20843*** .07404 2.82 .0049 .06332 .35355 FISH_POP| .04687 .09498 .49 .6217 -.13929 .23303 AQUATIC| .03409 .12791 .27 .7898 -.21660 .28478

|Nonrandom parameters in utility functions FISH_25| .32266 .47315 .68 .4953 -.60469 1.25001 FISH_55| .79403 .54173 1.47 .1427 -.26774 1.85581 FISH_95| 1.71456** .69948 2.45 .0142 .34359 3.08552 COST| -.02624*** .00799 -3.29 .0010 -.04189 -.01059 |Distns. of RPs. Std.Devs or limits of triangular NsCOM_FI| .25697* .13935 1.84 .0652 -.01615 .53008 NsFISH_P| 1.01673** .41534 2.45 .0144 .20268 1.83078 NsAQUATI| .79238* .48003 1.65 .0988 -.14846 1.73323

--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------15

Note: ***, **, * ==> Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------