Cost Effect

Manufacturing Sector (NAICS 3361)

Parameters

GDP Deflators 1.011 (2008 to 2009 dollars) Domestic content 0.66690608

1.033 (2007 to 2009 dollars)

Original Dollars 2008 2009 2009 2007

Dataset 2008 BLS ERM 2009 ASM, 

NAICS 3361

2009 ASM, 

NAICS 33611

2007 Econ 

Census, NAICS 

3361

Sectors Motor vehicle 

mfg

Motor vehicle 

mfg Light Duty Only Motor vehicle mfg

Labor Intensity, 

jobs/$1M, unadjusted 0.8419 0.8238 0.7568 0.6946

Labor Intensity, 

jobs/$1M (09), direct 0.8330 0.8238 0.7568 0.6725

Jobs/$1 million 

after domestic 

adjustment 0.555516807 0.549379489 0.504720221 0.448485606

Fleet Cost ($Million/year 09$)

2017 $ 2,300 861 890 817 665

2018 $ 4,656 1,668 1,723 1,583 1,289

2019 $ 6,507 2,231 2,305 2,118 1,724

2020 $ 8,467 2,778 2,871 2,637 2,147

2021 $ 11,878 3,730 3,854 3,541 2,882

2022 $ 19,340 5,812 6,006 5,518 4,491

2023 $ 25,036 7,201 7,441 6,836 5,564

2024 $ 30,738 8,462 8,744 8,033 6,538

2025 $ 33,561 8,842 9,137 8,394 6,832
Parts Sector (NAICS 3363)

Parameters

GDP Deflators 1.010749321 (2008 to 2009 dollars) Domestic content

1.032956482 (2007 to 2009 dollars)

2007 Original Dollars 2008 2009 2007

2007 Econ 

Census, NAICS 

33611

Dataset 2008 BLS ERM 2009 ASM, 

NAICS 3361

2007 Econ Census, 

NAICS 3361

Light Duty Only Sectors

Motor vehicle 

parts 

manufacturing

Motor vehicle 

parts 

manufacturing

Motor vehicle parts 

mfg

0.6293 Labor Intensity, 

jobs/$1M, unadjusted 3.1007 3.0927 2.8338

0.6092 Labor Intensity, 

jobs/$1M (09), direct 3.0677 3.0927 2.7434

0.406262565

Jobs/$1 million 

after domestic 

adjustment 2.046 2.063 1.830

 603 2017 3,406 3,559 2,938

 1,167 2018 6,651 6,950 5,738

 1,561 2019 8,968 9,371 7,737

 1,944 2020 11,257 11,763 9,711

 2,611 2021 15,235 15,921 13,143

 4,068 2022 23,929 25,006 20,644

 5,040 2023 29,885 31,230 25,782

 5,923 2024 35,396 36,989 30,537

 6,189 2025 37,283 38,962 32,165
0.66690608

Minimum Maximum Rounded Costs (Millions)Minimum Maximum

 603 3,559 2017 $ 2,300 600 3,600

 1,167 6,950 2018 $ 4,656 1,200 7,000

 1,561 9,371 2019 $ 6,507 1,600 9,400

 1,944 11,763 2020 $ 8,467 1,900 11,800

 2,611 15,921 2021 $ 11,878 2,600 15,900

 4,068 25,006 2022 $ 19,340 4,100 25,000

 5,040 31,230 2023 $ 25,036 5,000 31,200

 5,923 36,989 2024 $ 30,738 5,900 37,000

 6,189 38,962 2025 $ 33,561 6,200 39,000
U.S. Vehicle Sales: From UsaSa01.xls U.S. Vehicle Production by Manufactu

NOTE: Truck appears to be total trucks not just 

Cars Light Trucks MD/HD Trucks Total Trucks Car Truck

Year Total Total Total Total Total Total Year

2010 5,635,433 5,919,085 217,702 6,136,787 2,731,105 5,011,988 2010

2009 5,400,890 5,000,792 199,686 5,200,478 2,195,588 3,513,843 2009

2008 6,769,107 6,425,634 298,424 6,724,058 3,731,241 4,940,900 2008

2007 7,562,334 8,526,888 371,093 8,897,981 3,867,268 6,885,042 2007

2006 7,761,592 8,742,808 544,581 9,287,389 4,311,696 6,948,581 2006

2005 7,659,983 9,287,771 496,575 9,784,346 4,265,872 7,680,781 2005

2004 7,482,555 9,384,365 431,653 9,816,018 4,165,925 7,794,429 2004

2003 7,555,551 9,083,502 328,389 9,411,891 4,453,369 7,633,659 2003

2002 8,042,255 8,774,113 322,284 9,096,397 4,957,377 7,322,205 2002

2001 8,352,000 8,770,369 350,009 9,120,378 4,808,019 6,616,670 2001

U.S. Vehicle Sales, 1931-2010. UsaSa01.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyr

U.S. Vehicle Production by Manufacturer. UsaPr05.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ 
US Production/US Sales

ears to be total trucks not just LD. For the following, I'm going to use total trucks for sales, for comparability.

Proportion of LT among all trucks

Car Total Truck Total Average for Car & Truck Car Average (20XX-2011) Truck Average (20XX-2011)

0.48463091 0.816712068 0.6577428 0.6577428 0.484631 0.816712068 0.964525085

0.40652337 0.675676928 0.53855606 0.60126807 0.446407 0.752018322 0.961602376

0.55121614 0.734809248 0.64270621 0.6168572 0.486252 0.745611548 0.955618467

0.51138551 0.773775759 0.65322626 0.62829767 0.493745 0.754907211 0.958294696

0.55551696 0.748173787 0.66046628 0.63620302 0.508217 0.753181925 0.941363391

0.55690359 0.785007092 0.68484451 0.64597628 0.51736 0.759946674 0.949248013

0.55675167 0.794052028 0.69140697 0.65352425 0.523466 0.765941238 0.956025651

0.58941684 0.811065385 0.71236595 0.66176954 0.532392 0.772449213 0.965109137

0.61641629 0.804956622 0.7164847 0.66855373 0.542972 0.776426066 0.964570148

0.57567277 0.725481992 0.65387144 0.66690608 0.546753 0.770860026 0.961623411

wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited.

bscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited.
omparability.

 among all trucks

ution prohibited.

Redistribution prohibited.
BLS Employment Requirements Matrix

FROM BLS Employme3363 nt Requirements Matrix, Nominal, domestic labor requirements/$1M

88 Motor vehicle parts manufacturingSector 88 is motor vehicle mfg, 3361

1 0.004393 0.006371 Sector 90 is Motor Vehicle Parts manufacturing, 3363

2 0.003394 0.004253

3 0.000672 0.000923

4 0.00246 0.00457

5 0.000069 0.000115

6 0.001159 0.001662

7 0.003231 0.004712 Annual Survey of Manufacture

8 0.003239 0.006955 Sector 31: Annual Survey of Manufactures: General Statistics: St

9 0.006192 0.019011 NOTE: For information on confidentiality protection, sampling erro

10 0.002699 0.004269

Geographic 

Area Name

NAICS-based 

code

11 0.001015 0.002027 United States 3361

12 0.012357 0.021438 United States 3361

13 0.003752 0.005252 United States 33611

14 0.000549 0.000966 United States 33611

15 0.02433 0.041314 United States 336111

16 0.000361 0.000375 United States 336111

17 0.000492 0.000656 United States 336112

18 0.00013 0.000148 United States 336112

19 0.000218 0.000313

20 0.00037 0.000459 United States 3363

21 0.001927 0.002427 United States 3363

22 0.000109 0.000176

23 0.001571 0.001609

24 0.000363 0.000467

25 0.000202 0.000232

26 0.000039 0.000036 Economic Census

27 0.003568 0.006216 Sector 31: Manufacturing: Summary Series: General Summary: I

28 0.004122 0.006271 Data based on the 2007 Economic Census. For information on co

29 0.007428 0.02286 Geographic Area Name 2007 NAICS code

30 0.013585 0.005861 United States 3361

31 0.010826 0.005046 United States 33611

32 0.000242 0.000486 United States 336111

33 0.003017 0.002277 United States 336112

34 0.000266 0.000251

35 0.006127 0.007486 United States 3363

36 0.000059 0.000058

37 0.003159 0.006132

38 0.003819 0.010848

39 0.011131 0.024201

40 0.004825 0.005447

41 0.020409 0.019257

42 0.016644 0.022155

43 0.002042 0.002932

44 0.008288 0.012645

45 0.008978 0.014288

46 0.000439 0.000686

47 0.000783 0.000784

48 0.015343 0.010884

49 0.002018 0.002564
50 0.004958 0.008461

51 0.079299 0.102889

52 0.048212 0.032787

53 0.002683 0.004204

54 0.053916 0.007599

55 0.003474 0.006741

56 0.005707 0.013316

57 0.02615 0.07445

58 0.015368 0.043062

59 0.012045 0.026821

60 0.007421 0.01978

61 0.076662 0.258845

62 0.032953 0.09396

63 0.003371 0.006701

64 0.052994 0.142104

65 0.007568 0.016708

66 0.008858 0.003814

67 0.014713 0.015477

68 0.130485 0.258554

69 0.031353 0.061596

70 0.035271 0.0597

71 0.003363 0.004154

72 0.002832 0.005603

73 0.012565 0.00138

74 0.013298 0.006411

75 0.01614 0.034783

76 0.03705 0.012852

77 0.018397 0.027104

78 0.004451 0.0029

79 0.001022 0.001799

80 0.004285 0.00846

81 0.066991 0.076413

82 0.006921 0.009282

83 0.000625 0.001084

84 0.003358 0.002619

85 0.000818 0.000557

86 0.008177 0.018956

87 0.010811 0.020255

88 0.84193 0.006531

89 0.198321 0.020427

90 0.784852 3.100664

91 0.003864 0.005142

92 0.001019 0.000431

93 0.001105 0.000425

94 0.000344 0.000258

95 0.005427 0.010951

96 0.00131 0.001923

97 0.000504 0.000298

98 0.002011 0.002405

99 0.012809 0.017035

100 0.535632 0.476213

101 0.064457 0.164712

102 0.006347 0.008609

103 0.015517 0.020282

104 0.000068 0.0001
105 0.098084 0.109796

106 0.005988 0.010226

107 0.001046 0.00155

108 0.019708 0.023568

109 0.020014 0.021968

110 0.038479 0.052001

111 0.013577 0.019909

112 0.003544 0.003058

113 0.005005 0.007324

114 0.009978 0.014532

115 0.01518 0.022434

116 0.011063 0.017301

117 0.041748 0.064522

118 0.017939 0.034161

119 0.009338 0.011921

120 0.008744 0.01201

121 0.000089 0.000137

122 0.024705 0.036117

123 0.005897 0.008065

124 0.005665 0.007849

125 0.00463 0.006486

126 0.000907 0.001598

127 0.030757 0.047168

128 0.034985 0.053643

129 0.020465 0.03703

130 0.012647 0.02664

131 0.02364 0.035839

132 0.044183 0.061809

133 0.030506 0.043526

134 0.022565 0.032854

135 0.00816 0.011244

136 0.218916 0.290081

137 0.009852 0.013598

138 0.002109 0.00399

139 0.082459 0.124411

140 0.033733 0.053458

141 0.004597 0.006272

142 0.021193 0.035272

143 0.075085 0.124639

144 0.009634 0.015627

145 0.007129 0.013199

146 0.000212 0.000338

147 0.002288 0.00357

148 0.000782 0.001157

149 0.000535 0.001008

150 0.000136 0.000212

151 0.000139 0.00024

152 0.000949 0.001454

153 0.000398 0.000616

154 0.000037 0.000064

155 0.000041 0.000092

156 0.000077 0.00013

157 0.000889 0.001284

158 0.00218 0.003347

159 0.00266 0.003884
160 0.011082 0.017174

161 0.000176 0.000327

162 0.002124 0.00355

163 0.010907 0.018868

164 0.057393 0.094907

165 0.013183 0.021798

166 0.003286 0.005089

167 0.011694 0.019285

168 0.002571 0.004105

169 0.000024 0.000074

170 0.000002 0.000004

171 0.002773 0.004054

172 0.001781 0.002146

173 0.000047 0.000079

174 0.001854 0.002565

175 0.012142 0.018799

176 0 0

177 0.018275 0.021346

178 0.000737 0.001293

179 0.00059 0.001033

180 0 0

181 0 0

182 0 0

183 0 0

184 0 0

185 0 0

186 0.003332 0.005699

187 0.019305 0.032994

188 0 0

189 0 0

190 0 0

191 0.007769 0.013278

192 0 0

193 0 0

194 0 0

195 0 0

196 0 0

197 0 0

198 0 0

199 0 0

200 0 0

201 0 0

202 0 0

203 4.808808 7.471652
hicle mfg, 3361

hicle Parts manufacturing, 3363

 Survey of Manufacture

Annual Survey of Manufactures: General Statistics: Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries: 2009 and 2008

r information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology. For information on th

Meaning of NAICS-based code Year

Number of 

employees

RSE of total 

number of 

employees (%)

Annual payroll 

($1,000)

Motor vehicle mfg 2009 123,484 1 7,927,052

Motor vehicle mfg 2008 156,251 1 10,792,842

Automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing 2009 101,510 1 6,837,940

Automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing 2008 129,330 1 9,540,598

Automobile manufacturing 2009 51,440 1 3,358,548

Automobile manufacturing 2008 61,779 1 4,504,140

Light truck and utility vehicle manufacturing 2009 50,070 1 3,479,392

Light truck and utility vehicle manufacturing 2008 67,551 1 5,036,458

Motor vehicle parts mfg 2009 403,660 1 18,547,126

Motor vehicle parts mfg 2008 526,672 1 24,726,727

mic Census

 Manufacturing: Summary Series: General Summary: Industry Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries: 2007

d on the 2007 Economic Census. For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Surve

Meaning of 2007 NAICS code Footnote identifier CompaniesNumber of establishments Number of employees

Motor vehicle manufacturing 313 379 179,362

Automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing 235 278 150,242

Automobile manufacturing 174 188 65,436

Light truck and utility vehicle manufacturing 66 90 84,806

Motor vehicle parts manufacturing 4,659 5,742 584,440



y. For information on the ASM industry groupings, see Comparability. Data in this table represent those available when this report was crea

Total fringe 

benefits ($1,000)

RSE of total 

fringe benefits 

(%)

Employer's 

cost for health 

insurance 

Employer's cost for 

defined benefit 

pension plans 

Employer's cost 

for defined 

contribution 

Employer's cost for 

other fringe 

benefits ($1,000)

Production workers 

avg per year

Production 

workers hours 

(1,000)

3,636,428 1 1,515,594 354,190 177,974 1,588,670 103,349 196,432

4,425,502 1 1,720,379 398,293 432,059 1,874,771 133,292 253,807

3,105,345 1 1,264,416 311,321 145,878 1,383,731 86,354 166,267

3,914,777 1 1,532,876 347,910 381,460 1,652,531 112,076 216,861

1,570,636 1 632,769 178,949 77,348 681,571 43,762 87,623

1,766,034 1 706,324 162,021 149,487 748,202 53,342 106,929

1,534,709 1 631,647 132,372 68,530 702,160 42,592 78,644

2,148,743 1 826,552 185,889 231,974 904,329 58,734 109,932

6,672,876 1 3,019,262 305,418 365,131 2,983,064 296,913 576,771

8,589,935 1 3,514,390 827,247 546,117 3,702,181 392,723 757,679

d definitions, see Survey Methodology [pdf]. Data in this file represent those available when this file was created; data may not be available 

Annual payroll ($1,000) Production workers avg per y Production workers hours (1,000) Production workers, nonleased employ ear Value added ($1,000) Total cost of materials ($1,000) ees wages ($1,000) Total value of shipments ($1,000) Total capital expenditures (ne

13,355,573 154,822 303,402 11,448,694 72,653,434 185,376,159 258,204,960 3,748,747

12,001,554 131,438 262,655 10,513,020 68,533,107 169,841,521 238,763,096 3,555,926

5,110,050 56,447 113,980 4,449,862 21,378,103 63,392,242 84,727,558 1,765,150

6,891,504 74,991 148,675 6,063,158 47,155,004 106,449,279 154,035,538 1,790,776

28,209,409 444,761 905,666 19,525,053 74,666,400 131,469,683 206,240,940 6,729,578



able when this report was created. Data may Production not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Detail items may not add to total due 

workers 

wages 

Total cost of 

materials 

($1,000)

RSE of total 

cost of 

materials (%)

Materials, 

parts, 

containers, 

Cost of resales 

($1,000)

Contract work 

($1,000)

Cost of 

purchased 

fuels ($1,000)

RSE of cost of 

purchased 

fuels (%)

Quantity of 

electricity 

purchased 

Purchased 

electricity 

($1,000)

6,391,521 ######## 1 ######## 1,468,670 226,246 305,835 1 6,782,719 414,302

8,958,227 ######## 1 ######## 1,671,702 312,836 474,090 1 8,367,781 495,887

5,668,217 ######## 1 ######## 941,052 61,590 280,563 1 6,282,860 377,109

8,112,965 ######## 1 ######## 1,185,451 76,652 438,864 1 7,698,472 452,196

2,755,570 ######## 2 ######## 921,782 31,690 122,466 1 3,158,102 181,089

3,794,423 ######## 1 ######## 1,158,195 27,966 177,809 1 3,387,334 202,271

2,912,647 ######## 1 ######## 19,270 29,900 158,097 1 3,124,758 196,020

4,318,542 ######## 1 ######## 27,256 48,686 261,055 1 4,311,138 249,925

######## ######## 1 ######## 3,817,727 1,145,192 394,337 2 ######## 1,226,734

######## ######## 1 ######## 5,913,432 1,371,857 611,072 2 ######## 1,503,683

ted; data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Data in this table may be subject to employment- and/or sales-size m

Total capital expenditures (new and used) ($1,000)



 may not add to total due to independent rounding. RSE of 

purchased 

electricity (%)

Quantity of 

generated 

electricity 

Quantity of 

electricity sold 

or transferred 

Total value of 

shipments 

($1,000)

RSE of total 

value of 

shipments (%)

Value of 

products 

shipments 

Value of 

interplant 

transfers 

Total 

miscellaneous 

receipts 

Value of 

resales 

($1,000)

Contract 

receipts 

($1,000)

1 D D ######## 1 ######## D 1,987,233 1,630,077 D

1 D D ######## 1 ######## ######## 2,223,473 1,856,514 D

1 D D ######## 1 ######## D 1,405,271 1,053,139 D

1 D D ######## 1 ######## ######## 1,694,658 1,333,430 D

1 D D ######## 2 ######## D 1,317,866 D D

1 S S ######## 1 ######## D 1,633,569 D D

1 D D ######## 1 ######## D 87,405 D D

1 D D ######## 1 ######## D 61,090 D D

1 D D ######## 1 ######## ######## 5,239,164 4,501,427 155,795

2 20,593 D ######## 1 ######## ######## 7,929,804 6,597,012 90,706

ment- and/or sales-size minimums that vary by industry.



Other 

miscellaneous 

receipts 

Value added 

($1,000)

D ########

D ########

D ########

D ########

D ########

D ########

D ########

D ########

581,941 ########

1,242,086 ########
Table 1.1.4. Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product 

[Index numbers, 2005=100] 

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Downloaded on 8/25/2011 At 8:59:48 AM Last Revised July 29, 2011 

 Line 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

1 Gross domestic product 64.818 67.047 69.579 72.274 74.826 76.602 78.288 79.935
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

81.602 83.154 84.627 85.58 86.84 88.724 90.731 92.192 94.134 96.784
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

100 103.237 106.231 108.565 109.732 111
GHGLD 2017-2025MY NPRM; Vehicle Program Costs; Calendar Year Analysis (v1.

CY Car Sales Truck Sales $/car $/truck $/vehicle Car Truck Vehicles

2012 8,775,828 5,918,561 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

2013 9,746,452 6,335,099 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

2014 9,785,439 6,087,635 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

2015 10,070,241 6,088,258 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

2016 10,140,463 6,054,713 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

2017 9,987,667 5,818,655 $194 $55 $146 $1,940 $322 $2,300

2018 9,905,364 5,671,046 $353 $198 $299 $3,499 $1,125 $4,656

2019 9,995,696 5,582,962 $479 $305 $418 $4,783 $1,704 $6,507

2020 10,291,562 5,604,377 $595 $417 $533 $6,124 $2,339 $8,467

2021 10,505,165 5,683,902 $718 $764 $734 $7,538 $4,340 $11,878

2022 10,735,777 5,703,996 $1,165 $1,200 $1,176 $12,506 $6,843 $19,340

2023 10,968,003 5,687,486 $1,492 $1,525 $1,503 $16,366 $8,676 $25,036

2024 11,258,138 5,675,949 $1,806 $1,834 $1,815 $20,330 $10,409 $30,738

2025 11,541,560 5,708,899 $1,942 $1,954 $1,946 $22,409 $11,152 $33,561

2026 11,769,401 5,738,877 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $22,664 $11,120 $33,783

2027 11,924,679 5,831,703 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $22,963 $11,299 $34,262

2028 12,145,791 5,890,166 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $23,388 $11,413 $34,801

2029 12,328,967 5,889,501 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $23,741 $11,411 $35,153

2030 12,535,870 5,986,092 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $24,140 $11,599 $35,738

2031 12,696,592 6,037,145 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $24,449 $11,698 $36,147

2032 12,824,800 6,058,174 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $24,696 $11,738 $36,434

2033 12,952,075 6,079,180 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $24,941 $11,779 $36,720

2034 13,106,966 6,113,440 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $25,239 $11,845 $37,085

2035 13,306,338 6,140,326 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $25,623 $11,897 $37,521

2036 13,460,858 6,211,631 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $25,921 $12,036 $37,956

2037 13,617,173 6,283,763 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $26,222 $12,175 $38,397

2038 13,775,303 6,356,734 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $26,526 $12,317 $38,843

2039 13,935,269 6,430,551 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $26,834 $12,460 $39,294

2040 14,097,092 6,505,226 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $27,146 $12,604 $39,750

2041 14,260,795 6,580,769 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $27,461 $12,751 $40,212

2042 14,426,399 6,657,188 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $27,780 $12,899 $40,679

2043 14,593,926 6,734,495 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $28,103 $13,049 $41,151

2044 14,763,398 6,812,699 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $28,429 $13,200 $41,629

2045 14,934,839 6,891,812 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $28,759 $13,354 $42,113

2046 15,108,270 6,971,843 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $29,093 $13,509 $42,602

2047 15,283,715 7,052,804 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $29,431 $13,665 $43,096

2048 15,461,198 7,134,705 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $29,773 $13,824 $43,597

2049 15,640,741 7,217,557 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $30,118 $13,985 $44,103

2050 15,822,370 7,301,371 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $30,468 $14,147 $44,615

Total $759,405 $358,686 $1,118,166

NPV, 3% $373,375 $177,089 $550,529

NPV, 7% $164,502 $78,322 $242,876

Annualized, 3% $16,600 $7,873 $24,476

Annualized, 7% $12,468 $5,936 $18,409

Millions of 2009 dollars

Annual Costs
Year Analysis (v1.12.0; 20111102)

$/car $/truck $/vehicle Car Truck Vehicle $/car $/truck $/vehicle

$0 $0 $0

$0 $0 $0

$0 $0 $0

$0 $0 $0

$27,984 $31,856 $29,432 0% 0% 0% $0 $0 $0

$27,984 $31,856 $29,409 1% 0% 0% $35 $1 $25

$27,984 $31,856 $29,394 1% 1% 1% $65 $8 $46

$27,984 $31,856 $29,372 2% 1% 1% $64 -$1 $42

$27,984 $31,856 $29,349 2% 1% 2% $69 -$11 $41

$27,984 $31,856 $29,343 3% 2% 3% $71 -$44 $31

$27,984 $31,856 $29,327 4% 4% 4% $193 $89 $156

$27,984 $31,856 $29,306 5% 5% 5% $216 $121 $183

$27,984 $31,856 $29,282 6% 6% 6% $230 $143 $200

$27,984 $31,856 $29,265 7% 6% 7% $79 -$2 $52

$27,984 $31,856 $29,253 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $56

$27,984 $31,856 $29,256 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $56

$27,984 $31,856 $29,249 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $56

$27,984 $31,856 $29,236 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,235 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,232 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,226 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,221 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,216 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

$27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57

New Vehicle Prices (excludes new GHG) Proposed Incremental Cost as % of Price Delta 20111102 less 0909
% deltas since economy-wide analysis #s

$/car $/truck $/vehicle

22% 2% 21%

23% 4% 18%

15% 0% 11%

13% -3% 8%

11% -5% 4%

20% 8% 15%

17% 9% 14%

15% 8% 12%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%

4% 0% 3%
Raw Data: BLS ERM realdomreq (real domestic employment requirements table for 1993-2008), http://www.bls.gov/emp/

Year 88 90 Ln(Sector 88) Ln(Sector 90)

1993 1.518593 5.382383 0.417784 1.683131

1994 1.416539 5.093699 0.348217 1.628004

1995 1.480108 5.171885 0.392115 1.643237

1996 1.434762 5.124437 0.360999 1.634021

1997 1.269169 4.950657 0.238362 1.59952

1998 1.208878 4.787643 0.189693 1.566038

1999 1.066448 4.44285 0.064334 1.491296

2000 1.218989 4.405243 0.198022 1.482795

2001 1.269997 4.501148 0.239015 1.504332

2002 1.069783 3.848519 0.067456 1.347688

2003 0.970323 3.740732 -0.03013 1.319281

2004 0.922285 3.638354 -0.0809 1.291531

2005 0.88769 3.49453 -0.11913 1.251199

2006 0.883965 3.600195 -0.12334 1.280988

2007 0.79176 3.243808 -0.2335 1.176748

2008 0.833346 3.301791 -0.18231 1.194465

Sector 88 Semilog

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R 0.959131

R Square 0.919932

Adjusted R Square 0.914213

Standard Error 0.063796

Observations 16

ANOVA

df SS MS F Significance F

Regression 1 0.654654 0.654654 160.8517 4.58E-09

Residual 14 0.056979 0.00407

Total 15 0.711633

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

Intercept 87.89105 6.921388 12.69847 4.51E-09 73.04615 102.736 73.04615 102.736

Year -0.04388 0.00346 -12.6827 4.58E-09 -0.0513 -0.03646 -0.0513 -0.03646

ProjectionsRaw Data Raw Data

Year Actual 88 Actual 90 Projected 88Projected 90

1993 1.518593 5.382383 1.550021 5.544413

1994 1.416539 5.093699 1.483476 5.348793

1995 1.480108 5.171885 1.419789 5.160075

1996 1.434762 5.124437 1.358836 4.978016

4

5

6
1997 1.269169 4.950657 1.300499 4.80238

1998 1.208878 4.787643 1.244667 4.632941

1999 1.066448 4.44285 1.191232 4.46948

2000 1.218989 4.405243 1.140091 4.311786

2001 1.269997 4.501148 1.091146 4.159656

2002 1.069783 3.848519 1.044302 4.012894

2003 0.970323 3.740732 0.999469 3.87131

2004 0.922285 3.638354 0.95656 3.734721

2005 0.88769 3.49453 0.915494 3.602951

2006 0.883965 3.600195 0.876191 3.475831

2007 0.79176 3.243808 0.838575 3.353195

2008 0.833346 3.301791 0.802574 3.234887

2009 0.768118 3.120752

2010 0.735142 3.010645

2011 0.703582 2.904422

2012 0.673376 2.801948

2013 0.644467 2.703088

2014 0.6168 2.607717

2015 0.59032 2.515711

2016 0.564976 2.426951

2017 0.540721 2.341322

2018 0.517508 2.258715

2019 0.49529 2.179022

2020 0.474027 2.102141

2021 0.453676 2.027973

2022 0.4342 1.956421

0

1

2

3

1990 2000 2010 2020

2022 0.4342 1.956421

2023 0.415559 1.887394

2024 0.397718 1.820802

2025 0.380644 1.75656
tp://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_data_emp_requirements.htm

Sector 90 Semilog

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R 0.97781

R Square 0.956113

Adjusted R Square 0.952978

Standard Error 0.037925

Observations 16

ANOVA

df SS MS F Significance F

Regression 1 0.438679 0.438679 305.0019 6.7E-11

Residual 14 0.020136 0.001438

Total 15 0.458815

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

Intercept 73.30093 4.114549 17.81506 5.13E-11 64.4761 82.12576 64.4761 82.12576

Year -0.03592 0.002057 -17.4643 6.7E-11 -0.04033 -0.03151 -0.04033 -0.03151

Actual 88
2030

Actual 90

Projected 88

Projected 90