# Cost Effect

**Manufacturing Sector (NAICS 3361)**

**Parameters** GDP Deflators 1.011 (2008 to 2009 dollars) Domestic content 

### 0.66690608 1.033(2007 to 2009 dollars)

Original Dollars 2008 2009 2009 2007

Dataset 

### 2008 BLS ERM **2009 ASM, NAICS 3361**  **2009 ASM,**

**NAICS 33611 2007 Econ** 

**Census, NAICS 3361** 

Sectors 

### Motor vehicle

mfg Motor vehicle

mfg Light Duty Only Motor vehicle mfg

Labor Intensity, jobs/$1M, unadjusted 

### 0.8419 0.8238 0.7568 0.6946

Labor Intensity, jobs/$1M (09), direct 

### 0.8330 0.8238 0.7568 0.6725 Jobs/$1 million after domestic adjustment 0.555516807 0.549379489 0.504720221 0.448485606 Fleet Cost ($Million/year 09$) 2017 2,300 $ 

### 861 890 817 665 2018 4,656 $ 

### 1,668 1,723 1,583 1,289 2019 6,507 $ 

### 2,231 2,305 2,118 1,724 2020 8,467 $ 

### 2,778 2,871 2,637 2,147 2021 11,878 $ 

### 3,730 3,854 3,541 2,882 2022 19,340 $ 

### 5,812 6,006 5,518 4,491 2023 25,036 $ 

### 7,201 7,441 6,836 5,564 2024 30,738 $ 

### 8,462 8,744 8,033 6,538 2025 33,561 $ 

### 8,842 9,137 8,394 6,832

# Parts Sector (NAICS 3363)

**Parameters** GDP Deflators 1.010749321 (2008 to 2009 dollars) Domestic content 

### 1.032956482(2007 to 2009 dollars)

2007 Original Dollars 2008 2009 2007 

### 2007 Econ **Census, NAICS 33611**  Dataset 

### 2008 BLS ERM **2009 ASM, NAICS 3361**  **2007 Econ Census,**

**NAICS 3361**

Light Duty Only Sectors 

### Motor vehicle parts manufacturing Motor vehicle

parts manufacturing Motor vehicle parts

mfg

0.6293 Labor Intensity, jobs/$1M, unadjusted 

### 3.1007 3.0927 2.8338

0.6092 Labor Intensity, jobs/$1M (09), direct 

### 3.0677 3.0927 2.7434

0.406262565 Jobs/$1 million after domestic adjustment 2.046 2.063 1.830

603 2017 3,406 3,559 2,938 1,167 2018 6,651 6,950 5,738 1,561 2019 8,968 9,371 7,737 1,944 2020 11,257 11,763 9,711 2,611 2021 15,235 15,921 13,143 4,068 2022 23,929 25,006 20,644 5,040 2023 29,885 31,230 25,782 5,923 2024 35,396 36,989 30,537 6,189 2025 37,283 38,962 32,165

### 0.66690608

**Minimum Maximum**  Rounded Costs (Millions)**Minimum Maximum**  603 3,559 

### 2017 2,300 $ 600 3,600 1,167 6,950 

### 2018 4,656 $ 1,200 7,000 1,561 9,371 

### 2019 6,507 $ 1,600 9,400 1,944 11,763 

### 2020 8,467 $ 1,900 11,800 2,611 15,921 

### 2021 11,878 $ 2,600 15,900 4,068 25,006 

### 2022 19,340 $ 4,100 25,000 5,040 31,230 

### 2023 25,036 $ 5,000 31,200 5,923 36,989 

### 2024 30,738 $ 5,900 37,000 6,189 38,962 

### 2025 33,561 $ 6,200 39,000

## U.S. Vehicle Sales: From UsaSa01.xls **U.S. Vehicle Production by Manufacturer: From UsaPr05.xlsx**  **NOTE: Truck appears to be total trucks not just LD. For the follow ing, I'm going to use total trucks for sales, for comparability** 

**.**

**Cars Light Trucks**  **MD/HD Trucks Total Trucks** Car Truck **Year Total**  **Total Total**  **Total Total**  **Total Year**  **2010** 5,635,433 5,919,085 217,702 6,136,787 2,731,105 5,011,988**2010 2009**  5,400,890 5,000,792 199,686 5,200,478 2,195,588 3,513,843**2009 2008**  6,769,107 6,425,634 298,424 6,724,058 3,731,241 4,940,900**2008 2007**  7,562,334 8,526,888 371,093 8,897,981 3,867,268 6,885,042**2007 2006**  7,761,592 8,742,808 544,581 9,287,389 4,311,696 6,948,581**2006 2005**  7,659,983 9,287,771 496,575 9,784,346 4,265,872 7,680,781**2005 2004**  7,482,555 9,384,365 431,653 9,816,018 4,165,925 7,794,429**2004 2003**  7,555,551 9,083,502 328,389 9,411,891 4,453,369 7,633,659**2003 2002**  8,042,255 8,774,113 322,284 9,096,397 4,957,377 7,322,205**2002 2001**  8,352,000 8,770,369 350,009 9,120,378 4,808,019 6,616,670**2001**

U.S. Vehicle Sales, 1931-2010. UsaSa01.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited. U.S. Vehicle Production by Manufacturer. UsaPr05.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited.

## US Production/US Sales **NOTE: Truck appears to be total trucks not just LD. For the follow ing, I'm going to use total trucks for sales, for comparability** 

**.** Proportion of LT among all trucks Car Total Truck Total Average for Car & Truck Car Average (20XX-2011)

Truck Average (20XX-2011) 0.48463091 0.816712068 0.6577428 0.6577428 0.484631 0.816712068 0.964525085 0.40652337 0.675676928 0.53855606 0.60126807 0.446407 0.752018322 0.961602376 0.55121614 0.734809248 0.64270621 0.6168572 0.486252 0.745611548 0.955618467 0.51138551 0.773775759 0.65322626 0.62829767 0.493745 0.754907211 0.958294696 0.55551696 0.748173787 0.66046628 0.63620302 0.508217 0.753181925 0.941363391 0.55690359 0.785007092 0.68484451 0.64597628 0.51736 0.759946674 0.949248013 0.55675167 0.794052028 0.69140697 0.65352425 0.523466 0.765941238 0.956025651 0.58941684 0.811065385 0.71236595 0.66176954 0.532392 0.772449213 0.965109137 0.61641629 0.804956622 0.7164847 0.66855373 0.542972 0.776426066 0.964570148 0.57567277 0.725481992 0.65387144 0.66690608 0.546753 0.770860026 0.961623411

U.S. Vehicle Sales, 1931-2010. UsaSa01.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited. U.S. Vehicle Production by Manufacturer. UsaPr05.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited.

### NOTE: Truck appears to be total trucks not just LD. For the follow**ing, I'm going to use total trucks for sales, for comparability**

**.** Proportion of LT among all trucks

U.S. Vehicle Sales, 1931-2010. UsaSa01.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited. U.S. Vehicle Production by Manufacturer. UsaPr05.xls, accessed July 25, 2011 at http://subscribers.wardsauto.com/refcenter/ , ©Copyright 2011, Ward's Automotive Group, a division of Penton Media Inc. Redistribution prohibited.

# BLS Employment Requirements Matrix

FROM BLS Employment Requirements Matrix, Nominal, domestic labor requirements/$1M

3363 88Motor vehicle parts manufacturingSector 88 is motor vehicle mfg, 3361 1 0.004393 0.006371 Sector 90 is Motor Vehicle Parts manufacturing, 3363 2 0.003394 0.004253 3 0.000672 0.000923 4 0.00246 0.00457 5 0.000069 0.000115 6 0.001159 0.001662

7 0.003231 0.004712 

# Annual Survey of Manufacture

8 0.003239 0.006955 Sector 31: Annual Survey of Manufactures: General Statistics: Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries: 2009 and 2008 9 0.006192 0.019011 NOTE: For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology. For information on the ASM industry groupings, see Comparability. Data in this table represent those available when this report was created. Data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Detail items may not add to total due to independent rounding.

10 0.002699 0.004269 Geographic Area Name NAICS-based

code 11 0.001015 0.002027 United States 3361 12 0.012357 0.021438 United States 3361 13 0.003752 0.005252 United States 33611 14 0.000549 0.000966 United States 33611 15 0.02433 0.041314 United States336111 16 0.000361 0.000375 United States336111 17 0.000492 0.000656 United States336112 18 0.00013 0.000148 United States336112 19 0.000218 0.000313 20 0.00037 0.000459 United States 3363 21 0.001927 0.002427 United States 3363 22 0.000109 0.000176 23 0.001571 0.001609 24 0.000363 0.000467 25 0.000202 0.000232

26 0.000039 0.000036 

# Economic Census

27 0.003568 0.006216 Sector 31: Manufacturing: Summary Series: General Summary: Industry Statistics for Industry

Groups and Industries: 2007 28 0.004122 0.006271 Data based on the 2007 Economic Census. For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology

[pdf]. Data in this file represent those available when this file was created; data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Data in this table may be subject to employment- and/or sales-size minimums that vary by industry. 29 0.007428 0.02286 Geographic Area Name 2007 NAICS code 30 0.013585 0.005861 United States 3361 31 0.010826 0.005046 United States 33611 32 0.000242 0.000486 United States336111 33 0.003017 0.002277 United States336112 34 0.000266 0.000251 35 0.006127 0.007486 United States 3363 36 0.000059 0.000058 37 0.003159 0.006132 38 0.003819 0.010848 39 0.011131 0.024201 40 0.004825 0.005447 41 0.020409 0.019257 42 0.016644 0.022155 43 0.002042 0.002932 44 0.008288 0.012645 45 0.008978 0.014288 46 0.000439 0.000686 47 0.000783 0.000784 48 0.015343 0.010884 49 0.002018 0.00256450 0.004958 0.008461

51 0.079299 0.102889 52 0.048212 0.032787 53 0.002683 0.004204 54 0.053916 0.007599 55 0.003474 0.006741 56 0.005707 0.013316 57 0.02615 0.07445 58 0.015368 0.043062 59 0.012045 0.026821 60 0.007421 0.01978 61 0.076662 0.258845 62 0.032953 0.09396 63 0.003371 0.006701 64 0.052994 0.142104 65 0.007568 0.016708 66 0.008858 0.003814 67 0.014713 0.015477 68 0.130485 0.258554 69 0.031353 0.061596 70 0.035271 0.0597 71 0.003363 0.004154 72 0.002832 0.005603 73 0.012565 0.00138 74 0.013298 0.006411 75 0.01614 0.034783 76 0.03705 0.012852 77 0.018397 0.027104 78 0.004451 0.0029 79 0.001022 0.001799 80 0.004285 0.00846 81 0.066991 0.076413 82 0.006921 0.009282 83 0.000625 0.001084 84 0.003358 0.002619 85 0.000818 0.000557 86 0.008177 0.018956 87 0.010811 0.020255 88 0.84193 0.006531 89 0.198321 0.020427 90 0.784852 3.100664 91 0.003864 0.005142 92 0.001019 0.000431 93 0.001105 0.000425 94 0.000344 0.000258 95 0.005427 0.010951 96 0.00131 0.001923 97 0.000504 0.000298 98 0.002011 0.002405 99 0.012809 0.017035 100 0.535632 0.476213 101 0.064457 0.164712 102 0.006347 0.008609 103 0.015517 0.020282 104 0.000068 0.0001105 0.098084 0.109796

106 0.005988 0.010226 107 0.001046 0.00155 108 0.019708 0.023568 109 0.020014 0.021968 110 0.038479 0.052001 111 0.013577 0.019909 112 0.003544 0.003058 113 0.005005 0.007324 114 0.009978 0.014532 115 0.01518 0.022434 116 0.011063 0.017301 117 0.041748 0.064522 118 0.017939 0.034161 119 0.009338 0.011921 120 0.008744 0.01201 121 0.000089 0.000137 122 0.024705 0.036117 123 0.005897 0.008065 124 0.005665 0.007849 125 0.00463 0.006486 126 0.000907 0.001598 127 0.030757 0.047168 128 0.034985 0.053643 129 0.020465 0.03703 130 0.012647 0.02664 131 0.02364 0.035839 132 0.044183 0.061809 133 0.030506 0.043526 134 0.022565 0.032854 135 0.00816 0.011244 136 0.218916 0.290081 137 0.009852 0.013598 138 0.002109 0.00399 139 0.082459 0.124411 140 0.033733 0.053458 141 0.004597 0.006272 142 0.021193 0.035272 143 0.075085 0.124639 144 0.009634 0.015627 145 0.007129 0.013199 146 0.000212 0.000338 147 0.002288 0.00357 148 0.000782 0.001157 149 0.000535 0.001008 150 0.000136 0.000212 151 0.000139 0.00024 152 0.000949 0.001454 153 0.000398 0.000616 154 0.000037 0.000064 155 0.000041 0.000092 156 0.000077 0.00013 157 0.000889 0.001284 158 0.00218 0.003347 159 0.00266 0.003884160 0.011082 0.017174

161 0.000176 0.000327 162 0.002124 0.00355 163 0.010907 0.018868 164 0.057393 0.094907 165 0.013183 0.021798 166 0.003286 0.005089 167 0.011694 0.019285 168 0.002571 0.004105 169 0.000024 0.000074 170 0.000002 0.000004 171 0.002773 0.004054 172 0.001781 0.002146 173 0.000047 0.000079 174 0.001854 0.002565 175 0.012142 0.018799 176 0 0 177 0.018275 0.021346 178 0.000737 0.001293 179 0.00059 0.001033 180 0 0 181 0 0 182 0 0 183 0 0 184 0 0 185 0 0 186 0.003332 0.005699 187 0.019305 0.032994 188 0 0 189 0 0 190 0 0 191 0.007769 0.013278 192 0 0 193 0 0 194 0 0 195 0 0 196 0 0 197 0 0 198 0 0 199 0 0 200 0 0 201 0 0 202 0 0 203 4.808808 7.471652Sector 88 is motor vehicle mfg, 3361 Sector 90 is Motor Vehicle Parts manufacturing, 3363



# Annual Survey of Manufacture Sector 31: Annual Survey of Manufactures: General Statistics: Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries: 2009 and 2008 NOTE: For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology. For information on the ASM industry groupings, see Comparability. Data in this table represent those available when this report was created. Data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Detail items may not add to total due to independent rounding.

Meaning of NAICS-based code Year Number of employees RSE of total

number of employees (%)Annual payroll

($1,000) Motor vehicle mfg 2009 123,484 1 7,927,052 Motor vehicle mfg 2008 156,251 1 10,792,842 Automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing 2009 101,510 1 6,837,940 Automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing 2008 129,330 1 9,540,598 Automobile manufacturing 2009 51,440 1 3,358,548 Automobile manufacturing 2008 61,779 1 4,504,140 Light truck and utility

vehicle manufacturing 2009 50,070 1 3,479,392 Light truck and utility

vehicle manufacturing 2008 67,551 1 5,036,458

Motor vehicle parts mfg 2009 403,660 1 18,547,126 Motor vehicle parts mfg 2008 526,672 1 24,726,727



# Economic Census Sector 31: Manufacturing: Summary Series: General Summary: Industry Statistics for Industry

Groups and Industries: 2007 Data based on the 2007 Economic Census. For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology

[pdf]. Data in this file represent those available when this file was created; data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Data in this table may be subject to employment- and/or sales-size minimums that vary by industry. Meaning of 2007 NAICS code Footnote identifier CompaniesNumber of establishments Number of employees Motor vehicle manufacturing 313 379 179,362 Automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing 235 278 150,242 Automobile manufacturing 174 188 65,436 Light truck and utility

vehicle manufacturing 66 90 84,806

Motor vehicle parts manufacturing 4,659 5,742 584,440NOTE: For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology. For information on the ASM industry groupings, see Comparability. Data in this table represent those available when this report was created. Data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Detail items may not add to total due to independent rounding. Total fringe benefits ($1,000) RSE of total

fringe benefits (%) Employer's

cost for health insurance Employer's cost for

defined benefit pension plans Employer's cost

for defined contribution Employer's cost for

other fringe benefits ($1,000) Production workers

avg per year Production

workers hours (1,000) 3,636,428 1 1,515,594 354,190 177,974 1,588,670 103,349 196,432 4,425,502 1 1,720,379 398,293 432,059 1,874,771 133,292 253,807 3,105,345 1 1,264,416 311,321 145,878 1,383,731 86,354 166,267 3,914,777 1 1,532,876 347,910 381,460 1,652,531 112,076 216,861 1,570,636 1 632,769 178,949 77,348 681,571 43,762 87,623 1,766,034 1 706,324 162,021 149,487 748,202 53,342 106,929 1,534,709 1 631,647 132,372 68,530 702,160 42,592 78,644 2,148,743 1 826,552 185,889 231,974 904,329 58,734 109,932

6,672,876 1 3,019,262 305,418 365,131 2,983,064 296,913 576,771 8,589,935 1 3,514,390 827,247 546,117 3,702,181 392,723 757,679

Data based on the 2007 Economic Census. For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology

[pdf]. Data in this file represent those available when this file was created; data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Data in this table may be subject to employment- and/or sales-size minimums that vary by industry. Annual payroll ($1,000)

Production workers avg per year

Production workers hours (1,000)

Production workers, nonleased employees wages ($1,000)

Value added ($1,000)

Total cost of materials ($1,000)

Total value of shipments ($1,000)

Total capital expenditures (new and used) ($1,000) 13,355,573 154,822 303,402 11,448,694 72,653,434 185,376,159 258,204,960 3,748,747 12,001,554 131,438 262,655 10,513,020 68,533,107 169,841,521 238,763,096 3,555,926 5,110,050 56,447 113,980 4,449,862 21,378,103 63,392,242 84,727,558 1,765,150 6,891,504 74,991 148,675 6,063,158 47,155,004 106,449,279 154,035,538 1,790,776

28,209,409 444,761 905,666 19,525,053 74,666,400 131,469,683 206,240,940 6,729,578NOTE: For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology. For information on the ASM industry groupings, see Comparability. Data in this table represent those available when this report was created. Data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Detail items may not add to total due to independent rounding. Production workers

wages Total cost of

materials ($1,000) RSE of total

cost of materials (%) Materials,

parts, containers, Cost of resales

($1,000) Contract work

($1,000) Cost of

purchased fuels ($1,000) RSE of cost of

purchased fuels (%) Quantity of

electricity purchased Purchased

electricity ($1,000) 6,391,521 ######## 1 ######## 1,468,670 226,246 305,835 1 6,782,719 414,302 8,958,227######## 1 ######## 1,671,702 312,836 474,090 1 8,367,781 495,887 5,668,217######## 1 ######## 941,052 61,590 280,563 1 6,282,860 377,109 8,112,965######## 1 ######## 1,185,451 76,652 438,864 1 7,698,472 452,196 2,755,570######## 2######## 921,782 31,690 122,466 1 3,158,102 181,089 3,794,423######## 1 ######## 1,158,195 27,966 177,809 1 3,387,334 202,271 2,912,647######## 1 ######## 19,270 29,900 158,097 1 3,124,758 196,020 4,318,542######## 1 ######## 27,256 48,686 261,055 1 4,311,138 249,925

################ 1 ######## 3,817,727 1,145,192 394,337 2######## 1,226,734 ################ 1 ######## 5,913,432 1,371,857 611,072 2######## 1,503,683

Data based on the 2007 Economic Census. For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology

[pdf]. Data in this file represent those available when this file was created; data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Data in this table may be subject to employment- and/or sales-size minimums that vary by industry. Total capital expenditures (new and used) ($1,000)NOTE: For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology. For information on the ASM industry groupings, see Comparability. Data in this table represent those available when this report was created. Data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Detail items may not add to total due to independent rounding.

RSE of purchased electricity (%) Quantity of

generated electricity Quantity of

electricity sold or transferredTotal value of

shipments ($1,000) RSE of total

value of shipments (%)Value of

products shipments Value of

interplant transfers Total

miscellaneous receipts Value of

resales ($1,000) Contract

receipts ($1,000) 1D D ######## 1 ########D 1,987,233 1,630,077D 1D D ######## 1 ######## ######## 2,223,473 1,856,514D 1D D ######## 1 ########D 1,405,271 1,053,139D 1D D ######## 1 ######## ######## 1,694,658 1,333,430D 1D D ######## 2########D 1,317,866D D 1S S ######## 1 ########D 1,633,569D D 1D D ######## 1 ########D 87,405D D 1D D ######## 1 ########D 61,090D D

1D D ######## 1 ######## ######## 5,239,164 4,501,427 155,795 2 20,593D ######## 1 ######## ######## 7,929,804 6,597,012 90,706

Data based on the 2007 Economic Census. For information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions, see Survey Methodology

[pdf]. Data in this file represent those available when this file was created; data may not be available for all NAICS industries or geographies. Data in this table may be subject to employment- and/or sales-size minimums that vary by industry.Other

miscellaneous receipts Value added

($1,000) D ######## D ######## D ######## D ######## D ######## D ######## D ######## D ########

581,941 ######## 1,242,086########Table 1.1.4. Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product

[Index numbers, 2005=100] Bureau of Economic Analysis Downloaded on 8/25/2011 At 8:59:48 AM Last Revised July 29, 2011 Line 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

1Gross domestic product

64.818 67.047 69.579 72.274 74.826 76.602 78.288 79.935Table 1.1.4. Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product [Index numbers, 2005=100]

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 81.602 83.154 84.627 85.58 86.84 88.724 90.731 92.192 94.134 96.7842005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

100 103.237 106.231 108.565 109.732 111

## GHGLD 2017-2025MY NPRM; Vehicle Program Costs; Calendar Year Analysis (v1.12.0; 20111102)

CY Car Sales Truck Sales $/car $/truck $/vehicle Car Truck Vehicles 2012 8,775,828 5,918,561 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 2013 9,746,452 6,335,099 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 2014 9,785,439 6,087,635 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 2015 10,070,241 6,088,258 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 2016 10,140,463 6,054,713 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 2017 9,987,667 5,818,655 $194 $55 $146 $1,940 $322 $2,300 2018 9,905,364 5,671,046 $353 $198 $299 $3,499 $1,125 $4,656 2019 9,995,696 5,582,962 $479 $305 $418 $4,783 $1,704 $6,507 2020 10,291,562 5,604,377 $595 $417 $533 $6,124 $2,339 $8,467 2021 10,505,165 5,683,902 $718 $764 $734 $7,538 $4,340 $11,878 2022 10,735,777 5,703,996 $1,165 $1,200 $1,176 $12,506 $6,843 $19,340 2023 10,968,003 5,687,486 $1,492 $1,525 $1,503 $16,366 $8,676 $25,036 2024 11,258,138 5,675,949 $1,806 $1,834 $1,815 $20,330 $10,409 $30,738 2025 11,541,560 5,708,899 $1,942 $1,954 $1,946 $22,409 $11,152 $33,561 2026 11,769,401 5,738,877 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $22,664 $11,120 $33,783 2027 11,924,679 5,831,703 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $22,963 $11,299 $34,262 2028 12,145,791 5,890,166 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $23,388 $11,413 $34,801 2029 12,328,967 5,889,501 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $23,741 $11,411 $35,153 2030 12,535,870 5,986,092 $1,926 $1,938 $1,930 $24,140 $11,599 $35,738 2031 12,696,592 6,037,145 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $24,449 $11,698 $36,147 2032 12,824,800 6,058,174 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $24,696 $11,738 $36,434 2033 12,952,075 6,079,180 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $24,941 $11,779 $36,720 2034 13,106,966 6,113,440 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $25,239 $11,845 $37,085 2035 13,306,338 6,140,326 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $25,623 $11,897 $37,521 2036 13,460,858 6,211,631 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $25,921 $12,036 $37,956 2037 13,617,173 6,283,763 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $26,222 $12,175 $38,397 2038 13,775,303 6,356,734 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $26,526 $12,317 $38,843 2039 13,935,269 6,430,551 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $26,834 $12,460 $39,294 2040 14,097,092 6,505,226 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $27,146 $12,604 $39,750 2041 14,260,795 6,580,769 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $27,461 $12,751 $40,212 2042 14,426,399 6,657,188 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $27,780 $12,899 $40,679 2043 14,593,926 6,734,495 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $28,103 $13,049 $41,151 2044 14,763,398 6,812,699 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $28,429 $13,200 $41,629 2045 14,934,839 6,891,812 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $28,759 $13,354 $42,113 2046 15,108,270 6,971,843 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $29,093 $13,509 $42,602 2047 15,283,715 7,052,804 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $29,431 $13,665 $43,096 2048 15,461,198 7,134,705 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $29,773 $13,824 $43,597 2049 15,640,741 7,217,557 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $30,118 $13,985 $44,103 2050 15,822,370 7,301,371 $1,926 $1,938 $1,929 $30,468 $14,147 $44,615 Total $759,405 $358,686$1,118,166 NPV, 3% $373,375 $177,089 $550,529 NPV, 7% $164,502 $78,322 $242,876 Annualized, 3% $16,600 $7,873 $24,476 Annualized, 7% $12,468 $5,936 $18,409 Millions of 2009 dollars Annual Costs

## GHGLD 2017-2025MY NPRM; Vehicle Program Costs; Calendar Year Analysis (v1.12.0; 20111102)

$/car $/truck $/vehicle Car Truck Vehicle $/car $/truck $/vehicle $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $27,984 $31,856 $29,432 0% 0% 0% $0 $0 $0 $27,984 $31,856 $29,409 1% 0% 0% $35 $1 $25 $27,984 $31,856 $29,394 1% 1% 1% $65 $8 $46 $27,984 $31,856 $29,372 2% 1% 1% $64 -$1 $42 $27,984 $31,856 $29,349 2% 1% 2% $69 -$11 $41 $27,984 $31,856 $29,343 3% 2% 3% $71 -$44 $31 $27,984 $31,856 $29,327 4% 4% 4% $193 $89 $156 $27,984 $31,856 $29,306 5% 5% 5% $216 $121 $183 $27,984 $31,856 $29,282 6% 6% 6% $230 $143 $200 $27,984 $31,856 $29,265 7% 6% 7% $79 -$2 $52 $27,984 $31,856 $29,253 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $56 $27,984 $31,856 $29,256 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $56 $27,984 $31,856 $29,249 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $56 $27,984 $31,856 $29,236 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,235 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,232 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,226 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,221 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,216 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 $27,984 $31,856 $29,207 7% 6% 7% $83 $2 $57 Delta 20111102 less 0909 New Vehicle Prices (excludes new GHG) Proposed I ncremental Cost as % of Price% deltas since economy-wide analysis #s $/car $/truck $/vehicle

22% 2% 21% 23% 4% 18% 15% 0% 11% 13% -3% 8% 11% -5% 4% 20% 8% 15% 17% 9% 14% 15% 8% 12% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3%

### Raw Data: BLS ERM realdomreq (real domestic employment requirements table for 1993-2008), http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_data_emp_requirements.htm

Year 88 90Ln(Sector 88) Ln(Sector 90) 1993 1.518593 5.382383 0.417784 1.683131 1994 1.416539 5.093699 0.348217 1.628004 1995 1.480108 5.171885 0.392115 1.643237 1996 1.434762 5.124437 0.360999 1.634021 1997 1.269169 4.950657 0.238362 1.59952 1998 1.208878 4.787643 0.189693 1.566038 1999 1.066448 4.44285 0.064334 1.491296 2000 1.218989 4.405243 0.198022 1.482795 2001 1.269997 4.501148 0.239015 1.504332 2002 1.069783 3.848519 0.067456 1.347688 2003 0.970323 3.740732 -0.03013 1.319281 2004 0.922285 3.638354 -0.0809 1.291531 2005 0.88769 3.49453 -0.11913 1.251199 2006 0.883965 3.600195 -0.12334 1.280988 2007 0.79176 3.243808 -0.2335 1.176748 2008 0.833346 3.301791 -0.18231 1.194465

Sector 88 Semilog SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.959131 R Square 0.919932 Adjusted R Square

0.914213 Standard Error

0.063796 Observations 16

ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 0.654654 0.654654 160.8517 4.58E-09 Residual 14 0.056979 0.00407 Total 15 0.711633

Coefficients Standard Errort Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95% Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0% Intercept 87.89105 6.921388 12.69847 4.51E-09 73.04615 102.736 73.04615 102.736 Year -0.04388 0.00346 -12.6827 4.58E-09 -0.0513 -0.03646 -0.0513 -0.03646

**Projections**Raw Data Raw Data Year Actual 88 Actual 90 Projected 88 Projected 90 1993 1.518593 5.382383 1.550021 5.544413 1994 1.416539 5.093699 1.483476 5.348793 1995 1.480108 5.171885 1.419789 5.160075 1996 1.434762 5.124437 1.358836 4.978016 4 5 6

### 1997 1.269169 4.950657 1.300499 4.80238

1998 1.208878 4.787643 1.244667 4.632941 1999 1.066448 4.44285 1.191232 4.46948 2000 1.218989 4.405243 1.140091 4.311786 2001 1.269997 4.501148 1.091146 4.159656 2002 1.069783 3.848519 1.044302 4.012894 2003 0.970323 3.740732 0.999469 3.87131 2004 0.922285 3.638354 0.95656 3.734721 2005 0.88769 3.49453 0.915494 3.602951 2006 0.883965 3.600195 0.876191 3.475831 2007 0.79176 3.243808 0.838575 3.353195 2008 0.833346 3.301791 0.802574 3.234887 2009 0.768118 3.120752 2010 0.735142 3.010645 2011 0.703582 2.904422 2012 0.673376 2.801948 2013 0.644467 2.703088 2014 0.6168 2.607717 2015 0.59032 2.515711 2016 0.564976 2.426951 2017 0.540721 2.341322 2018 0.517508 2.258715 2019 0.49529 2.179022 2020 0.474027 2.102141 2021 0.453676 2.027973 2022 0.4342 1.956421 0 1 2 3

1990 2000 2010 2020



### 2022 0.4342 1.956421 2023 0.415559 1.887394 2024 0.397718 1.820802 2025 0.380644 1.75656

### Raw Data: BLS ERM realdomreq (real domestic employment requirements table for 1993-2008), http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_data_emp_requirements.htm

Sector 90 Semilog SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.97781 R Square 0.956113 Adjusted R Square

0.952978 Standard Error

0.037925 Observations 16

ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 1 0.438679 0.438679 305.0019 6.7E-11 Residual 14 0.020136 0.001438 Total 15 0.458815

Coefficients Standard Errort Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95% Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0% Intercept 73.30093 4.114549 17.81506 5.13E-11 64.4761 82.12576 64.4761 82.12576 Year -0.03592 0.002057 -17.4643 6.7E-11 -0.04033 -0.03151 -0.04033 -0.03151

Actual 882030 Actual 90 Projected 88 Projected 90