P. 1



# OAR Box 1830 Prepped byOllie Stewart



## Document

Number: 

# 33 ) IV-B-3 1
Docket Number: 

# A-87-1 1

Printed 11/13/20087:20:52 AM Sheet 33 of 232P. 2



### / _f % \ UNITE D STATE S ENVIRONMENTA LPROTECTIO N AGENC Y

_ 9AN N ARBOR
. MICHIGA N 4810 5 

# I 522 

# * / I?-3 i

JA N 1 0 199 *

MEMORANDU

M 

# JIJJA

N24 

# 199 4
1 EgAA!3DGCKE T OFFIC E O F AI R AN D RADIATIO N



## SUBJECT : Averag e Vehicl e Lif e and Fue l Consumptio n FROM : Jame s G
. Bryson , Mechanica l Engineer//^, , / / // A 

## _ Specia l RegulatoryProject s Branc hH&W Q- '>j*« THRU : Glenn W
. Passavant , Chie f J^^Wv ^ j^^A^-W ^

Specia l RegulatoryProject s Branc h TO : EP AAi r Docke t A-87-1 1

Attache d ar e informatio n on averag e vehicl e lif e an d lifetime fue l consumptio n pattern s use d i n th e Onboar d Refueling Vapo r Recovery(ORVR ) fina l RegulatoryImpac t Analysi s (RIA)
. Vehicl e Scrappag e an d Surviva l Rate s wer e take n from th e Oak Ridg e Nationa l LaboratoryTransportatio n EnergyDat a Book : Editio n 13
. Thi s dat a wa s use d t o determin e th e numbe r o f vehicle s froma give n mode l yea r stoc k whic har e stil l i nus e i n a give nyea r i n th e future
. Thi s tabl e i s attached
. Vehicl e mileag e accumulatio nrate s wer e take nfrom th e sourc e cod e o f th e MOBILE5 a model
. Thes e ar e from lin e 5201009 9 an d following o f th e code
. Thes e accumulatio n rate s ar e liste d a s five-plac e decimals , whic hwhe n multiplie d b y100,00 0 resul t i n th e annua l averag e mileag e accumulatio n rate
. Thi s cod e i s attached
. Als o attache d i s a cop yo f th e outpu t o f th e spreadshee t use d t o determin e th e mileage/fue l fractio nuse d i n a give nyear .
Attachment sP. 3 

# ori- l ORNL-674 3 (Editio n 1 3 o

fORNL-5198 )



# OA KRIDG E NATIONA L 

# LABORATOR Y

MS* HTM MAHIETTA 

# Transportatio n Energy Dat a Book: Editio n 

# 1 3

"**.«*
.



### MANAGE DBY MARTIN ! MARIETTAENERG YSYSTEMS , INC
. FOR ; TH E UNITE DSTATE S DEPARTMEN TO FENERG Y 

# Stac yC
. Davi s Sonj a G
. Stran g

### 3-1 2

Table3. 6 Scrappag ean dSurviva lRates fixAutomobiles , AllTrucks, an

dLigh tTruck s P. 4



### Vehicl e 

## Age (Years ) 

## 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 11 1 2 13 14 15 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 Automobile s

(1978-89 ) Scrappag e Surviva l Rat e
0.0000 0 0.0044 1 0.0067 4 0.0102 5 0.0154 6 0.0230 3 0.0336 8 0.0480 3 0.0662 9 0.0879 0 0.1113 7 0.1346 0 0.1555 7 0.1730 0 0.1865 0 0.1964 1 0.2033 9 0.2081 8 0.2114 0 0.2135 3 0.2149 3 0.2158 5 0.2164 4 0.2168 3 0.2170 8 0.2172 4 Rat e

1.0000 0 0.9955 9 0.9888 8 0.9787 4 0.9636 1 0.9414 2 0.9097 1 0.8660 2 0.8086 1 0.7375 3 0.6553 9 0.5671 7 0.4789 4 0.3960 8 0.3222 1 0.2589 3 0.2062 6 0.1633 2 0.1288 0 0.1013 0 0.0795 2 0.0623 6 0.0488 6 0.0382 7 0.0299 6 0.0234 5 Al l Truck s

(1978-89 ) Scrappag e Rat e
0.0000 0 0.0031 2 0.0046 1 0.0067 6 0.0098 0 0.0139 9 0.0195 7 0.0266 3 0.0350 7 0.0444 5 0.0540 8 0.0632 0 0.0712 1 0.0777 6 0.0828 5 0.0866 2 0.0893 2 0.0912 2 0.0925 3 0.0934 3 0.0940 3 0.0944 4 0.0947 1 0.0949 0 0.0950 2 0.0951 0 Surviva l

Rat e
1.0000 0 0.9968 8 0.9922 8 0.9855 7 0.9759 1 0.9622 6 0.9434 3 0.9183 0 0.8860 9 0.8467 1 0.8009 2 0.7503 0 0.6968 7 0.6426 8 0.5894 4 0.5383 8 0.4902 9 0.4455 7 0.4043 4 0.3665 6 0.3320 9 0.3007 3 0.2722 5 0.2464 1 0.2230 0 0.2017 9 Ligh t Truck s

(1978-88 ) Scrappag e Rat e
0.0000 0 0.0024 9 0.0038 3 0.0058 3 0.0087 7 0.0129 6 0.0186 9 0.0260 6 0.0348 8 0.0445 4 0.0541 6 0.0628 5 0.0700 6 0.0756 2 0.0796 7 0.0825 1 0.0844 3 0.0857 1 0.0865 5 0.0871 0 0.0874 5 0.0876 8 0.0878 3 0.0879 3 0.0879 9 0.0880 3 Surviva l

Rat e
1.0000 0 0.9975 1 0.9936 9 0.9879 0 0.9792 3 0.9665 4 0.9484 8 0.9237 6 0.8915 4 0.8518 2 0.8056 9 0.7550 5 0.7021 5 0.6490 5 0.5973 4 0.5480 5 0.5017 8 0.4587 7 0.4190 7 0.3825 7 0.3491 1 0.3185 0 0.2905 2 0.2649 8 0.2416 6 0.2203 9 

### Source : Miaou , Shaw-Pin , "Stud

yof Vehicl eScrappag eRates, " Oak Ridg eNationalLaboratory , Oa k Ridge , TN , Augus t

1990

.P. 5
PO' 3

BLOC K DAT

ABD2 0 writte n AP R1 , 199 3
52005 8 52005 9 52006 0 52006 1 52006 2 52006 3 52006* 4 52006 5 52006 6 52006 7 52006 8 52006 9 52007 0 52007 1 52007 2 52007 3 52007 ^ 52007 5 52007 6 52007 7 52007 8 52007 9 52008 0 52008 1 52008 2 52008 3 52008 4 52008 5 52008 6 52008 7 52008 8 52008 9 52009 0 52009 1 52009 2 52009 3 52009 4 52009 5 52009 6 52009 7 52009 8 52009 9 52010 0 52010 1 52010 2 52010 3 520101 * 52010 5 52010 6 52010 7 52010 8 52010 9 52011 0 52011 1 52011 2 52011 3 52011 4 52011 5 C

C 

## c Th e mode l yea r mileag e recalculatio n fla g "NEWCUM " i s initialize d here
. HDOV MA Rvalue s are ' initialize d a s al l zeros , sinc e theyar e calculate d b

ysubroutin e HDDMARo r supplie d b yth e user . Bloc k dat a 2 0 wa s modifie d fo r MOBILE5vl 3 t 0 includ e ne w mileag e accumulatio n rates
.

REA L JULMY R
COMMO N/MYRSAV / AMA R(25,8 ) ,JULMYR(25,8 ) .NEWCUM COMMO N/VMXC0M / REGMI X(8 ) .TFNORM(8),VMTMIX(8 ) ,VCOUNT (39,8 )
DIMENSIO NV12MAR(25,2),V34MAR(25.2),V56MAR(25,2),V78MAR(25.2 ) DIMENSIO NV12C0U(39,2),V34CO U(39,2),V56CO U(39.2),V78COU(39,2 ) 

# Avs ; 

## Y^OK 

# : 

# TfcfcR AWt u EQUIVALENC E * (AMA R(1,1 ) ,V12MAR(1,1) ) , * (AMA R(1,3 ) ,V34MAR(1,1)) , * (AMA R(1,5 ) ,V56MAR(1,1)) , * (AMA R(1,7 ) ,V78MAR(1,1)) , *(VCOUN T (1,1 ) ,V12C0 U(1,1) )
* (VCOUNT (1,3 ) ,V34C0U(1,1) ) *(VCOUN T (1,5),V56C0U(1,1) )
* (VCOUNT (1,7 ) ,V78COU(l,l) ) Initializ e NEWCUM
.
DATANEWCU MIM
Initializ e REGMI Xand TFNORM
.
DATAREGMIX,TFNOR M/16*0.0 /
Th e vm t mi xbelo wrepresent s a typica l distribution , bu t i s NO T use d durin g execution , wher e th e mi xi s eithe r compute d in TFCAL Xo r supplie d b yuser :
DATAVMTMIX /

. * .7824 , .0825 , .0468 , .0419
. .0021
. .0004 , .0354 , .0085 /
Annua l averag e mileag e accumulatio n rates , (divide d b y100000 )

DAT A V12MAR / LDGV *.14390 , .13612 , .12875
. .12180 , .11522 , *.10899
. .10310 , .09751 , .09225 , .08726 , *.08254 , .07807 , .07386 , .O6987 , .06608 , *.06251 , .05913
. .05594 , .05291 , .05005 , *.04735
. .04478 , .04237 , .04007 , .03790 , LDGT 1 *.15442 , .14508 , .13631
. .12807
. .12032 , *.11305 , .10621 , .09979 , .09376 , .08809 , *.08276 , .07776 , .07306 , .06864 , .06449 , *.06059 , .05693
. .05348 , .05025 , .04721 , ft.04436, .04168 , .03916 , .03679
. .03456 / DATAV34MAR / LDGT 2

### BLOC

K DAT ABD2 0 writte n AP

R1 , 199 3 P. 6

3 3 0



### 52011 6 52011 7 52011 8 52011 9 52012 0 52012 1 52012 2 52012 3 52012 4 52012 5 52012 6 52012 7 52012 8 52012 9 52013 0 52013 1 52013 2 52013 3 52013 4 52013 5 52013 6 52013 7 52013 8 52013 9 52014 0 52014 1 52014 2 52014 3 52014 4 52014 5 52014 6 52014 7 52014 8 52014 9 52015 0 52015 1 52015 2 52015 3 52015 4 52015 5 52015 6 52015 7 52015 8 52015 9 52016 0 52016 1 52016 2 52016 3 52016 4 52016 5 52016 6 52016 7 52016 8 52016 9 52017 0 52017 1 52017 2 52017 3 

### C



## c

c

c c c

c

-



## c c c
c

c

c

c

c

c *.14779 , -14259
. -13758 , .13275 , *.12359
. .11924 , .11505 , .11101 , *
. 10335 , .09972
. .09621 , .09283 , *.08642 , .08339
. .08046 , .07763
. *.07227 , .06973 , .06728 , .06492 , HDG V *.17251 , .16185 , .15185
. .14246 , ''-12539 , .11764 , .11037 , -10355 , ''-.09114 , .08551 , .08022 , .07526 , ft.06625, .06215 , .05831 , .05471 , *.04815 , .04517 , .04238 , .03976 , DAT AV56MAR / LDD V '•-.17825 , .16478 , .15233 , .14081 , *.12033
. -11124 , .10283 , .09506 , ft.08123, .07509
. .06942 , .06417 , ft.05484, .05069 , .04686 , .04332 , ft.03702, .03422 , .03163 , .02924 , LDOT ft.21004, .19125
. .17415 , .15858 , *.13149 , .11973
. .10902 , .09927 , ft.08231, .07495
. .06825
. .06215
. *.05153 , .04692 , .04272 , .03890 , ft.03226, .02937 , .02675
. .02435
. DAT AV78MAR / HDD V Warning : Ther e ar e n o defaul t HDD

V the mor the

yar e computed ft .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , , ft .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , , ft .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , M C ft.04786, .04475 , .04164 , .03853 , ft.03232, .02921 , .02611 , .02300 , ft.01678, .01368 , .00000 , .00000 , ft.00000, .00000 , .00000 , .00000 , ft.00000, .00000 , .00000 , .00000 , .12809 , .10711 , .08957

. .07490 , 

### .06264 , .13365 , .09715

. 

### .07061 , .05132

. .03730 /

.13017

. ,08788

. .05932

. 

### .04005 , .02703 , 

### .14440 , .09040 , -05659 , .03543 , .02218 /

MA Rvalues
. Eithe r th e use r supplie s b ysubroutin e HDDMAR
. Se e BD26
. 000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , 000 , .000 , .000 , .000 , .000 ,

.03543
. .01989
. .00000 , .00000 , .00000 / Vehicl e registration distribution s (ente r unmodifie d data )
DAT A JULMYR / LDG V *.049,.079,.083,.082,.084,.081, . *.037,.024,.019, . 014,.015,. Oil,

. LDGT1 *.O63,.084,.084,.084,.084,.069, . *.046,.036,.028,.017,-022,.017. - LDGT 2 ft.054,.072,.072,.072,.072,.052,. *.049,.039,.030,.018,.023,.018, . HDG V ft.023,.047,-047,.047,.047,.038,
. ft. 058,.051 , .038,.043, .041,.035.• LDD V *.049,.079.. 083,. 082..084,
. 081,
. ft.037, .024,.019,.01 4,. 015..Oil,

. LDD T ft.063,.084,.084,.084,.084,.069,. 077..056,.050,.051,.050 , 008,.006,.005,.004,.003 , 059,.044,.036,.031,.030 , 014,.009,.008,.008,.005 , 050,.034,.054,.031,.028 , 015,.009,.008,.009,.006 , 033,.021,.026,.029,.034 , 029,.021,.022,.022,.014 , 077..056..050,.051,.050 , 008,.006,.005..004,.003
. .054,.047
. .010 , .053,-047 , 

### .025 , .080,.084 , .026 , .064,.054 , .117 , .054,.047
. .010 , 059,.044,.036,.031..030,.053.-047 ,o

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### surviva l rate s (fro m ORN LTransportatio n Energ yDat aBook)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 1 12 13 14 15 16 1 7 1 8 19 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 

### LD V 

### 1 0.9955 9 0.9888 8 0.9787 4 0.9636 1 0.9414 2 0.9097 1 0.8660 2 0.8086 1 0.7375 3 0.6553 9 0.5671 7 0.4789 4 0.3960 8 0.3222 1 0.2589 3 0.2062 6 0.1633 2 0.128 8 0.101 3 0.0795 2 0.0623 6 0.0488 6 0.0382 7 0.0299 6 0.0234 5 

### LD

T 

### 1 0.9968 8 0.9922 8 0.9855 7 0.9759 1 0.9622 6 0.9434 3 0.918 3 0.8860 9 0.8467 1 0.8009 2 0.750 3 0.6968 7 0.6426 8 0.5894 4 0.5383 8 0.4902 9 0.4455 7 0.4043 4 0.3665 6 0.3320 9 0.3007 3 0.2722 5 0.2464 1 0.22 3 0.2017 9 

### HD

V 

### 1 0.9975 1 0.9936 9 0.987 9 0.9792 3 0.9665 4 0.9484 8 0.9237 6 0.8915 4 0.8518 2 0.8056 9 0.7550 5 0.7021 5 0.6490 5 0.5973 4 0.5480 5 0.5017 8 0.4587 7 0.4190 7 0.3825 7 0.3491 1 0.318 5 0.2905 2 0.2649 8 0.2416 6 0.2203 9

01/20/9 410:0 5 A

M MILEAGE.WK4P. 9



### mileag e accumulatio n
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 0 2 1 2 2 23 24 25

sun NP \ LD V 14,32 7 13,46 1 12,60 1 11,73 7 10,84 7 9,91 5 8,92 9 7,88 5 6,80 4 5,71 9 4,68 1 3,73 9 2,92 5 2,25 1 1,71 1 1,28 9 96 6 72 1 60 0 39 8 295 21 9 162 12 0 8 9 122,39 0 83,49 5 LD

T 15,19 6 14,32 2 13,47 2 12,63 5 11,80 2 10,96 4 10,11 2 9,24 8 8,37 7 7,51 2 6,67 3 5,87 8 5,14 2 4,47 4 3,87 7 3,35 1 2,89 0 2,49 0 2,14 3 1,84 4 1,58 6 1,36 4 1,17 3 1,00 9 86 7 158,39 9 99,32 9 LHDG

V 14,73 3 14,14 9 13,55 9 12,95 5 12,32 6 11,66 0 10,95 0 10,19 4 9,39 9 8,57 9 7,75 4 6,94 9 6,18 3 5,47 2 4,82 2 4,23 7 3,71 6 3,25 3 2,84 6 2,48 7 2,17 3 1,89 8 1,65 8 1,44 8 1,26 4 174,66 5 105,89 3 HHDG

V 17,20 8 16,08 3 15,00 1 13,95 0 12,91 8 11,89 3 10,86 7 9,84 0 8,82 1 7,82 7 6,88 2 6,00 4 5,20 7 4,49 6 3,87 0 3,32 4 2,85 1 2,44 4 2,09 3 1,79 2 1,53 4 1,31 2 1,12 3 96 1 82 2 169,12 1 107,70 4 

### percen taccumulatio n

LD V 11.71 % 11.00 % 10.30 % 9.59 % 8.86 % 8.10 % 7.30 % 6.44 % 5.56 % 4.67 % 3.83 % 3.06 % 2.39 % 1.84 % 1.40 % 1.05 % 0.79 % 0.59 % 0.49 % 0.33 % 0.24 % 0.18 % 0.13 % 0.10 % 0.07 %
100.0 % LD

T 9.59 % 9.04 % 8.50 % 7.98 % 7.45 % 6.92 % 6.38 % 5.84 % 5.29 % 4.74 % 4.21 % 3.71 % 3.25 % 2.82 % 2.45 % 2.12 % 1.82 % 1.57 % 1.35 % 1.16 % 1.00 % 0.86 % 0.74 % 0.64 % 0.55 %
100.0 % LHDG

V 8.43 % 8.10 % 7.76 % 7.42 % 7.06 % 6.68 % 6.27 % 5.84 % 5.38 % 4.91 % 4.44 % 3.98 % 3.54 % 3.13 % 2.76 % 2.43 % 2.13 % 1.86 % 1.63 % 1.42 % 1.24 % 1.09 % 0.95 % 0.83 % 0.72 %
100.0 % HHDG

V 10.17 % 9.51 % 8.87 % 8.25 % 7.64 % 7.03 % 6.43 % 5.82 % 5.22 % 4.63 % 4.07 % 3.55 % 3.08 % 2.66 % 2.29 % 1.97 % 1.69 % 1.44 % 1.24 % 1.06 % 0.91 % 0.78 % 0.66 % 0.57 % 0.49 %
100.0 %

01/20/9 4 10:0 5 A

M MILEAGE.WK 4