May 16, 2006

Base K/Round 4 Strategy Modeling: Emissions

The purpose of this document is to summarize the emission estimates prepared for the latest 

2002 base year (Base K) and 2008, 2009, 2012, and 2018 future year (Round 4) modeling. A 

list of the Round 4 modeling scenarios is provided in Table 11. Sector-level emissions are 

presented in Figure 1 and Table 2. (For comparison, the sector-level emissions from Round 3 

are presented in Figure 2.)

VOC NOx SO2

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2002 2009 2012 2015 2002 2009 2012 2015 2002 2009 2012 2015

Emissions (TPD)

Area

On-road

Nonroad

Non-EGU

EGU

Figure 1. Round 4 Emissions Summary for 5-State LADCO Region (TPD, July weekday)

VOC NOx SO2

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2002 2009 2012 2015 2002 2009 2012 2015 2002 2009 2012 2015

Emissions (TPD)

Area

On-road

Nonroad

Non-EGU

EGU

Figure 2. Round 3 Emissions Summary for 5-State LADCO Region (TPD, July weekday)

Base Year Emissions

Updates to the 2002 base year emissions compared to Base J include: 

• Revised motor vehicle emissions: The new emission estimates are about 40% lower for 

VOC and 25% for NOx. This change is due to a correction in the calculation of motor 

vehicle emissions by EMS. (Previously, EMS was averaging the 25 different vehicle age 

emission rates in the database output, instead of doing a weighted-average based on 

mileage accumulation.) EMS was run to generate 36 days (weekday, Saturday, Sunday 

for each month) at 36 km, and 12 days (weekday, Saturday, Sunday for June – August) 

at 12 km.

 

1

Two additional scenarios were included late in the Round 4 modeling: Scenario 4-reflects control 

measures under discussion by the MW and NE State Commissioners, and Scenario 5-reflects a

control option developed by LADCO Project Team.
May 16, 2006

• Revised ammonia temporal profile: New temporal profiles were derived by several test 

runs of the new process based ammonia model. The previous profile was based on 

Pinder's process based model for dairy farms. The new profile reflects hogs, beef, and 

dairy. (We used hog farms to define poultry because the process based model does not 

have a fully functional poultry housing model.) It is probably most critical to see what 

happens during the colder months, because those are the months where we are 

generally ammonia limited (see Figure 3). One other change to the ammonia inventory 

was to remove the point source ammonia emissions from other RPO’s inventories, 

because confined animal operations were included in the point source inventory for 

some states, which led to double-counting of emissions.

 

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

201112011320216203152031720413205172051920615207122071420817209132091521012211152111721214

Tons NH3/Day

BaseK

BaseJ

Figure 3. Base J v. Base K Regional Ammonia Emissions by Month

• Revised EGU temporal profile: Continuous emissions monitoring (CEM) data were 

processed to produce temporal profiles for EGUs which account for month of year, and 

day of week variations. Unit-specific profiles were developed. (Note, a contractor 

previously developed a limited number CEM-based temporal profiles, which were 

assigned to groups of EGUs, but these profiles became obsolete when the source ID 

numbers changed with the latest IPM modeling. For Base J, national default profiles 

were assumed.)

• New Canadian emissions: An updated inventory of Canadian stationary and mobile 

sources for 2000 was provided by Environment Canada. The new inventory reflects 

significantly lower emissions.

• Improved nonroad emissions: Two changes were made to the nonroad inventory: (1) 

commercial marine, airports, and railroads were included (note: these categories, which 

are not part of the NONROAD2004 model, were not included in Base J), and (2) NMIM 

(with NONROAD2004) was rerun with fuel parameter inputs consistent with the on-road 

emissions modeling (note – these emission estimates still do not include permeation 

effects).
May 16, 2006

• Point sources: All co-generation sources are now included in the EGU file. (Previously, 

some co-generation sources were in the EGU file and some in the non-EGU.) In 

addition, stack exit parameters were corrected for Ohio point sources.

Future Year Emissions

Four future year inventories were developed: 2008, 2009, 2012, and 2018. The emissions for

2009, 2012, and 2018 were derived by running the emissions model for each source sector for 

each year. For 2008, emissions were derived from interpolating between 2002 and 2009 for all 

sectors, except EGUs. For 2008 summer ozone modeling, the 2008 EGU emissions were 

processed based on the IPM modeling.

Scenario 1: This scenario represents the future year “base” inventory (i.e., growth to the future 

year of interest and application of existing [“on the books”] controls). The following controls 

were included in this scenario:

On-Highway Mobile Sources

• Tier II/Low sulfur fuel

• Inspection/Maintenance programs (nonattainment areas)

• Reformulated gasoline (nonattainment areas)

Off-Highway Mobile Sources

• Federal control programs incorporated into NONROAD model (e.g., nonroad diesel rule), plus the 

evaporative Large Spark Ignition and Recreational Vehicle standards

• Heavy-duty diesel (2007) engine standard/Low sulfur fuel

• Federal railroad/locomotive standards

• Federal commercial marine vessel engine standards

Power Plants

• Title IV (Phases I and II)

• NOx SIP Call

• Clean Air Interstate Rule

• Clean Air Mercury Rule

Other Point Sources

• VOC 2-, 4-, 7-, and 10-year MACT standards

• Combustion turbine MACT

• Industrial boiler/process heater/RICE MACT

Updates to the future year “base” emissions compared to Base J include:

• Updated growth factors for several area and point source categories (see “Development 

of Updated Growth and Control Factors for Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium”, 

Draft Report, December 29, 2005, E.H. Pechan)

• Updated control factors for several area and point source categories (see “Development 

of Updated Growth and Control Factors for Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium?, 

Draft Report, December 29, 2005, E.H. Pechan; and “Documentation for MACTEC 

NonEGU “On-the-Books” Control Factor File”, January 10, 2006, MACTEC). The 

changes include settlement agreement for petroleum refineries, and other non-EGU 

sources in the LADCO region.
May 16, 2006

• CAIR scenarios

• 1a: “VISATASII_PC_1f” reflects the IPM scenario which assumed full trading 

and banking. The results of this IPM run were delivered in July 2005, and 

were used in Round 3.

• 1b: “VISTASII_PC_3b” reflects the IPM scenario which assumed the CAIR 

state-specific emission budgets as an environmental constraint, but allowed 

banking. The results of this restricted trading IPM run were delivered in 

December 2005.

• 1c: This scenario is the same as 1a, with the addition of BART reductions for 

non-EGU sources. The determination of sources subject to BART is based on 

the latest Midwest RPO analyses.

• 1d: This scenario is based on 1a, but scales-back the emissions in each state 

to match the CAIR state-specific emission budgets (i.e., removes any excess 

introduced by banking).

• Inclusion of a pollution control retrofits at a few facilities (note: this information was not 

available at the time the IPM full trading was conducted in summer 2005)

• MI – Monroe: SO2 emissions from Units 3-4 reduced by 97% (based on 

November 9 letter from Skiles Boyd, DTE-Energy)

• MI – Campbell: NOx emissions from Units 2-3 reduced by 90% (based on 

information supplied by Louis Pocalujka, Consumers Energy)

• IN – Gibson: SO2 emissions from Units 1-3 reduced by 95% (based on 

information supplied by Dan Weiss, Cinergy)

• IN – Cayuga: SO2 emissions from Units 1-2 reduced by 95% (based on 

information supplied by Dan Weiss, Cinergy)

• Revised motor vehicle emissions: Unlike 2002, EMS was run for only a few days for 

2009, 2012, and 2018. To provide emissions for all 36 days at 36 km, the 2002 

emission files were scaled by the emission ratios for one day (i.e., September 13 for 

2009, and August 16 for 2012). To provide emissions for all 12 days at 12 km, a similar 

approach was used, along with consideration of the spatially disaggregated 36 km 

derived emissions. 

Scenario 2: This scenario reflects Scenario 1a plus the additional SO2 and NOx candidate 

control measures in the “Interim White Paper, Source Category: Electric Generating Units”

(January 14, 2005): 

2a reflects EGU22for the top 30 EGUs in the 5-state region (based on Q/d)

2b reflects EGU2 for all EGUs within 100 km of a residual nonattainment area

2c reflects EGU2 throughout the 5-state LADCO region

2d reflects EGU2 throughout the 5-state LADCO region plus seven neighboring states: 

MN, IA, MO, KY, TN, WV, and PA

2e reflects EGU1 throughout the 5-state LADCO region

2f reflects EGU1 throughout the 5-state LADCO region based on recent IPM modeling

2g reflects EGU2 throughout the 5-state LADCO region based on recent IPM modeling

Further discussion of the modeling for these scenarios is provided in the Appendix.

 

2

EGU2 and EGU1 in Scenarios 2a – 2e were derived by applying control factors developed by 

MACTEC. The derivation of these control factors is explained in “Identification and Evaluation of 

Candidate Control Measures”, prepared by MACTEC, Aprl 14, 2005.
May 16, 2006

Scenario 3: This scenario reflects Scenario 2 plus additional white paper controls for stationary 

and mobile sources

Scenario 3a reflects the minimum control level for the EGU, non-EGU point, and area 

source White Paper controls, plus chip reflashing for HDDVs and a “highly cost 

effective” voluntary/incentive control program for HDDVs and construction equipment 

(i.e., < $5,000/T)

EGU EGU1 (Scenario 2e)

Non-EGU ICI1 and GLASS1

Area SOLV1A-7

On-Road Reflashing – Base diesel NOx emissions derived by multiplying 

MOBILE6 emissions in 2002, 2009, 2012 by 1.04 to account for “true” 

compliance rates of chip reflashing (i.e., 10% in 2002, and 30% in 2009-

2012 timeframe), based on MOBILE6 modeling by Chris Bovee, WDNR. 

 (Note, MOBILE6 assumes a compliance rate of 90%.)

Controlled diesel NOx emissions derived by multiplying MOBILE6 

emissions by 1.01 in 2009 and 2012 to account for expected compliance 

rates of chip reflashing (i.e., 60-80%).

HDDV Voluntary Programs (Diesel Retrofits) – Assume a reduction of 50 

TPD (out of 850 TPD for Class 8 HDDV) – i.e., apply ratio of 0.94 to 

2009 Class 8 HDDV inventory (or 0.95 to the entire on-road diesel 

inventory)

Low RVP Fuel - Controlled emissions derived using adjustment factors 

developed by Environ (see Fuel Sensitivity Runs, March 7, 2005) for the 

following areas: 

Indianapolis: Boone, Hamilton, Hancock, Hendricks, Johnson, 

Madison, Marion, Morgan, and Shelby

Detroit: Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St.Clair, 

Washtenaw, and Wayne

Cleveland: Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Lorain, Medina, 

Portage, and Summit

Cincinnati: Butler, Clermont, Hamilton, Warren, and Clinton

Dayton: Clark, Greene, Miami, and Montgomery

Nonroad Construction Equipment Voluntary Programs (Diesel Retrofits) –

Assume a reduction of 45 TPD (out of 275 TPD) – i.e., apply ratio of 

0.84 to diesel construction equipment
May 16, 2006

Scenario 3b reflects the maximum control level for the EGU, non-EGU point, and area 

source White Paper controls, plus chip reflashing for HDDVs and a “cost effective” 

voluntary/incentive control program for HDDVs, and construction and agricultural

equipment (i.e., < $10,000/T)

EGU EGU2 (Scenario 2c)

Non-EGU ICI3, KILN1, GLASS2, and 25% NOx reduction for asphalt plants

Area SOLV1B-4B 5A-7A

On-Road Reflashing – Base diesel NOx emissions derived by multiplying 

 MOBILE6 emissions in 2002, 2009, 2012 by 1.04 to account for “true” 

 compliance rates of chip reflashing (i.e., 10% in 2002, and 30% in 2009-

 2012 timeframe), based on MOBILE6 modeling by Chris Bovee, WDNR. 

 (Note, MOBILE6 assumes a compliance rate of 90%.) 

Controlled diesel NOx emissions derived by multiplying MOBILE6 

emissions by 1.01 in 2009 and 2012 to account for expected compliance 

rates of chip reflashing (i.e., 60-80%).

HDDV Voluntary Programs (Diesel Retrofits) – Assume a reduction of 

100 TPD (out of 850 TPD for Class 8 HDDV) – i.e., apply ratio of 0.88 to 

2009 Class 8 HDDV inventory (or 0.91 to the entire on-road diesel 

inventory)

Low RVP Fuel - Controlled emissions derived using adjustment factors 

developed by Environ (see Fuel Sensitivity Runs, March 7, 2005) for the 

following areas: 

Indianapolis: Boone, Hamilton, Hancock, Hendricks, Johnson, 

Madison, Marion, Morgan, and Shelby

Detroit: Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St.Clair, 

Washtenaw, and Wayne

Cleveland: Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Lorain, Medina, 

Portage, and Summit

Cincinnati: Butler, Clermont, Hamilton, Warren, and Clinton

Dayton: Clark, Greene, Miami, and Montgomery

Nonroad Construction Equipment Voluntary Programs (Diesel Retrofits) –

 Assume a reduction of 45 TPD (out of 275 TPD) – i.e., apply ratio of 

 0.84 to diesel construction equipment

Agricultural Equipment Voluntary Programs – Assume a reduction of 55 

TPD (out of 255 TPD) – i.e., apply ratio of 0.78 to diesel agricultural 

equipment
May 16, 2006

Scenario 4: This scenario reflects Scenario 1a plus the additional control measures under 

discussion by the MW and NE State Commissioners:

Non-EGU ICI1 

Area AIM, consumer products, and portable fuel containers

On-Road Reflashing (see discussion under Scenario 3)

In addition, the Commissioners have discussed a voluntary retrofit program (although it 

is unclear whether the objective is to reduce NOx, VOC, and/or PM) and a regional 

gasoline. For the purposes of this model run, the Scenario 3a on-road and nonroad 

controls were assumed to reflect these possible other controls.

Scenario 5: This scenario reflects Scenario 1a plus the additional control measures identified by 

the LADCO Project Team as a possible control option:

EGU EGU1 for SO2, EGU2 for NOx

Non-EGU ICI1

Area AIM, consumer products, and portable fuel containers

On-Road Reflashing (see discussion under Scenario 3)

HDDV voluntary programs (diesel retrofits)

Low RVP fuel

Nonroad Construction equipment voluntary programs (diesel retrofits)

In addition, the Project Team identified organic carbon control measures, case-by-case 

point source controls, and state programs (e.g., RACT rules). For the purposes of this 

model run, no emission reductions were assumed for these other controls due to the 

lack of specific control information.
May 16, 2006

Table 1. Round 4 Modeling Runs

Run Description 2002 2008 2009 2012 2018

Base K 2002 baseyear emissions inventory 36,12

Scenario 1 Existing (OTB) controls, plus CAIR

a. CAIR w/ full trading 12 36,12 36,12 36

b. CAIR w/ restricted trading 36,12

c. CAIR w/ full trading and BART for non-EGUs 36

d. EGU0 - CAIR w/ full trading scaled-back to state budgets 36,12 36,12

Scenario 2 Scenario 1a plus EGU controls:

a. EGU2 for top 30 EGUs in 5-state region (based on Q/d) 36,12

b. EGU2 in 100 km radius of each residual NA area 36,12

c. EGU2 in 5-state region 36,12 36,12 36

d. EGU2 in 12-state Midwest region 36,12 36

e. EGU1 in 5-state region 36,12 36,12

f. EGU1-IPM in 5-state region

g. EGU2-IPM in 5-state region

Scenario 3 a. Scenario 2 e plus "low" control level for non-EGU point, 

area, and mobile sources throughout 5-state region 36,12 36,12

 Non-EGU Point Sources

 * ICI Boilers - 40% SO2, 60% NOx reduction (ICI1)

 * Glass manufacturing - 30% NOx reduction (GLASS1)

 Area Sources

 * Consumer products - OTC model rule (SOLV2A)

 * AIM coatings - OTC model rule (SOLV1A)

 * Portable fuel containers - OTC model rule (SOLV3A)

 * Auto refinishing - extend IL.IN,WI RACT rules (SOLV4A)

 * Ind. surface coating - more stringent RACT (SOLV5A)

 * Degreasing – more stringent RACT (SOLV6A)

 * Gas. Dispensing - enhanced vapor recovery (SOLV7A)

 Mobile Sources

 * HDDV – reflashing and voluntary measures <$5,000/T

 * Construction Equipment - voluntary measures < $5,000/T

 * Low RVP fuel (IN, MI, OH counties)

b. Scenario 2 c plus "high" control level for non-EGU point, 

area, and mobile sources throughout 5-state region 36,12 36,12

 Non-EGU Point Sources

 * ICI Boilers - 90% SO2, 80% NOx reduction (ICI3)

 * Cement kilns – 90% SO2, 50% NOx reduction (KILN1)

 * Asphalt plants – 25% NOx reduction

 * Glass manufacturing - 75% NOx reduction (GLASS2)

 Area Sources

 * Consumer products - SCAQMD rule (SOLV2B)

 * AIM coatings - CARB 2003 rule (SOLV1BA)
May 16, 2006

 * Portable fuel cont, - Accelerated phase in (SOLV3B)

 * Auto refinishing - SCAQMD rule (SOLV4B)

 * Ind. surface coating - more stringent RACT (SOLV5A)

 * Degreasing - more stringent RACT (SOLV6A)

 * Gas. dispensing - enhanced vapor recovery (SOLV7A)

 * Asphalt paving applications - low VOC formulations

 Mobile Sources

 * HDDV - reflashing and voluntary measures <$10,000/T

 * Const. Equipment - voluntary measures < $10,000/T

 * Agricultural Equipment - voluntary measures < $10,000/T

 * Low RVP fuel (IN, MI, OH counties)

Note: 12 = 12 km summer run, 36 = 36 km annual run
Round 4 VOC 2015

July 2002 1a 1b 1d 2c 2e 3a 3b 1a 1b 1d 2a 2b 2c 2d 2e 2f 2g 3a 3b 4 5 1a 1a 1c 2c 2d

Nonroad

IL 224 164 164 164 164 164 164 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 149 130 130 130 130

IN 125 94 94 94 94 94 94 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95

MI 348 307 307 307 307 307 307 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 222 222 222 222

OH 222 161 161 161 161 161 161 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 126 126 126 126

WI 214 194 194 194 194 194 194 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 140 140 140 140

5-State Total 1133 920 920 920 920 920 920 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 776.5 713 713 713 713

TOTAL 10294 7270 7270 7270 7270 7270 7270 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 7072 7072 7072 7072

MAR

IL 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

IN 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

MI 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8

OH 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

WI 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

5-State Total 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 33.5 35 35 35 35

TOTAL 307 321 321 321 321 321 321 329 329 329 329 329 329 329 329 329 329 329 329 329 346 346 346 346

OtherArea

IL 679 688 688 688 688 599 565 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 613 576 647 647 738 738 738 738

IN 354 365 365 365 365 268 251 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 373 278 259 353 353 398 398 398 398

MI 518 516 516 516 516 364 337 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 520 371 342 476 476 541 541 541 541

OH 546 550 550 550 550 361 331 558 558 558 558 558 558 558 558 558 362 332 493 493 593 593 593 593

WI 458 467 467 467 467 364 353 474 474 474 474 474 474 474 474 474 368 355 455 455 506 506 506 506

5-State Total 2555 2586 2586 2586 2586 1956 1837 2625 2625 2625 2625 2625 2625 2625 2625 2625 1992 1864 2424 2424 2700.5 2776 2776 2776 2776

TOTAL 19299 19885 19885 19885 19885 19252 19135 20359 20359 20359 20359 20359 20359 20359 20359 20359 19727 19598 20158 20158 21759 21759 21759 21759

On-Road

IL 446 314 314 314 314 314 314 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 197 197 197 197

IN 405 237 237 237 237 225 225 193 193 193 193 193 193 193 193 193 183 183 183 183 150 150 150 150

MI 522 335 335 335 335 328 328 303 303 303 303 303 303 303 303 303 296 296 296 296 217 217 217 217

OH 574 365 365 365 365 336 336 340 340 340 340 340 340 340 340 340 311 311 311 311 238 238 238 238

WI 238 144 144 144 144 144 144 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 117 88 88 88 88

5-State Total 2185 1395 1395 1395 1395 1348 1348 1213 1213 1213 1213 1213 1213 1213 1213 1213 1168 1168 1168 1168 1051.5 890 890 890 890

TOTAL 14263 7825 7825 7825 7825 7825 7825 7825 7825 7825

EGU

IL 9 8 8 9 9 9 9

IN 6 6 7 6 6 6 6

MI 12 11 11 12 12 12 12

OH 5 6 7 7 7 7 7

WI 3 3 4 4 4 4 4

5-State Total 35 34 37 37.5 38 38 38 38

TOTAL 214 195 197 215 215 215 215

Non-EGU

IL 313 286 286 286 286 286 286 305 305 305 305 305 305 305 305 305 305 305 305 305 350 350 350 350

IN 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 199 199 199 199

MI 123 115 115 115 115 115 115 122 122 122 122 122 122 122 122 122 122 122 122 122 139 139 139 139

OH 77 75 75 75 75 75 75 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 79 90 90 90 90

WI 88 97 97 97 97 97 97 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 120 120 120 120

5-State Total 751 733 733 733 733 733 733 780 780 780 780 780 780 780 780 780 780 780 780 780 839 898 898 898 898

TOTAL 4087 4409 4409 4409 4409 4409 4409 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 4700 5378 5378 5378 5378

IL 1681 1470 1462 1462 1462 1373 1339 1432 1164 1424 1424 1424 1424 1424 1424 1424 1337 1300 1371 1371 1434 1434 1434 1434

IN 1045 867 861 861 861 752 735 843 643 836 836 836 836 836 836 836 731 712 806 806 853 853 853 853

MI 1530 1291 1280 1280 1280 1121 1094 1239 925 1228 1228 1228 1228 1228 1228 1228 1072 1043 1177 1177 1139 1139 1139 1139

OH 1432 1165 1159 1159 1159 941 911 1137 790 1130 1130 1130 1130 1130 1130 1130 905 875 1036 1036 1062 1062 1062 1062

WI 1005 909 906 906 906 803 792 878 757 874 874 874 874 874 874 874 768 755 855 855 862 862 862 862

5-State Total 6693 5702 5668 5668 5668 4991 4872 5529 4279 5492 5492 5492 5492 5492 5492 5492 4814 4686 5246 5246 5438.5 5350 5350 5350 5350

2009 2012 2018
Round 4

July

Nonroad

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

MAR

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

OtherArea

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

On-Road

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

EGU

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

Non-EGU

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

NOx 2015

2002 1a 1b 1d 2c 2e 3a 3b 1a 1b 1d 2a 2b 2c 2d 2e 2f 2g 3a 3b 4 5 1a 1a 1c 2c 2d

324 263 263 263 263 245 222 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 224 208 189 208 208 154 154 154 154

178 142 142 142 142 133 121 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 132 120 132 132 141 141 141 141

205 159 159 159 159 153 140 133 133 133 133 133 133 133 133 133 128 116 128 128 93 93 93 93

253 195 195 195 195 186 169 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 155 140 155 155 109 109 109 109

145 114 114 114 114 197 98 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 91 83 91 91 69 69 69 69

1105 873 873 873 873 914 750 757 757 757 757 757 757 757 757 757 714 648 714 714 661.5 566 566 566 566

8897 8930 8930 8930 8930 8685 8610 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8895 8661 8596 8661 8661 8704 8704 8704 8704

277 201 201 201 201 201 201 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 195 186 186 186 186

123 89 89 89 89 89 89 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 84 84 84 84

114 112 112 112 112 112 112 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 110 110 110 110

177 128 128 128 128 128 128 126 126 126 126 126 126 126 126 126 126 126 126 126 122 122 122 122

79 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 57 57 57 57

770 589 589 589 589 589 589 578 578 578 578 578 578 578 578 578 578 578 578 578 568.5 559 559 559 559

4968 4002 4002 4002 4002 4002 4002 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3964 3919 3919 3919 3919

62 68 68 68 68 68 68 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 73 73 73 73

62 65 65 65 65 65 65 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 69 69 69 69

49 52 52 52 52 52 52 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 53 54 54 54 54

50 59 59 59 59 59 59 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 62 62 62 62

32 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 35 35 35 35

255 278 278 278 278 278 278 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 284 288.5 293 293 293 293

4240 4248 4248 4248 4248 4248 4248 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4372 4566 4566 4566 4566

890 578 578 578 578 567 558 474 474 474 474 474 474 474 474 474 456 448 456 456 300 300 300 300

703 425 425 425 425 416 408 313 313 313 313 313 313 313 313 313 299 292 299 299 187 187 187 187

926 680 680 680 680 666 654 619 619 619 619 619 619 619 619 619 597 586 597 597 385 385 385 385

1035 609 609 609 609 595 584 512 512 512 512 512 512 512 512 512 490 481 490 490 270 270 270 270

481 303 303 303 303 297 292 226 226 226 226 226 226 226 226 226 218 214 218 218 118 118 118 118

4035 2595 2595 2595 2595 2542 2496 2144 2144 2144 2144 2144 2144 2144 2144 2144 2059 2022 2059 2059 1702 1260 1260 1260 1260

23499 13170 13170 13170 13170 13170 13170 13170 13170 13170

712 227 230 223 205 224 224 205 244 235 241 184 180 155 157 206 201 192 206 155 244 155 231 231 165 165

830 406 325 375 294 388 388 294 424 325 414 263 350 158 161 242 325 172 242 158 424 158 283 283 154 154

448 218 189 207 198 251 251 198 219 184 203 148 142 107 109 167 220 146 167 107 219 107 247 247 127 127

1139 330 347 302 252 317 317 252 322 337 322 199 194 165 167 216 216 205 216 165 322 165 271 271 179 179

293 146 148 128 122 144 144 122 139 137 131 111 101 65 66 98 125 117 98 65 139 65 147 147 76 76

3422 1327 1239 1235 1071 1324 1324 1071 1348 1218 1311 905 967 650 660 929 1087 832 929 650 1348 650 1263.5 1179 1179 701 701

14371 7746 7537 7654 7488 7742 7742 7488 7721 7484 7683 7278 7339 7023 6248 7302 7302 7023 7721 7023 7007 7007 6530 5961

356 334 334 334 334 314 298 338 338 338 338 338 338 338 338 338 318 302 320 320 343 340 343 343

238 212 212 212 212 174 148 216 216 216 216 216 216 216 216 216 177 151 179 179 225 189 225 225

216 208 208 208 208 194 175 214 214 214 214 214 214 214 214 214 200 180 200 200 229 191 229 229

177 157 157 157 157 142 127 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 144 130 148 148 167 153 167 167

98 91 91 91 91 63 52 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 63 52 65 65 94 76 94 94

1085 1002 1002 1002 1002 887 800 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 902 815 912 912 1039 1058 949 1058 1058

6446 6129 6129 6129 6129 6013 5926 6435 6435 6435 6435 6435 6435 6435 6435 6435 6318 6230 6326 6326 6952 6775 6952 6952

2621 1671 1674 1649 1668 1619 1552 1545 1536 1485 1481 1456 1458 1507 1502 1493 1453 1359 1493 1404 1287 1284 1221 1221

2134 1339 1258 1227 1321 1265 1125 1248 1149 1087 1174 982 985 1066 1149 996 1004 875 1188 922 989 953 860 860

1958 1429 1400 1409 1462 1428 1331 1349 1314 1278 1272 1237 1239 1297 1350 1276 1256 1153 1308 1196 1118 1080 998 998

2831 1478 1495 1400 1465 1427 1319 1342 1357 1219 1214 1185 1187 1236 1236 1225 1191 1102 1301 1144 1001 987 909 909

1128 747 749 723 745 794 657 647 645 619 609 573 574 606 633 625 563 507 606 532 520 502 449 449

10672 6664 6576 6408 6661 6534 5984 6131 6001 5688 5750 5433 5443 5712 5870 5615 5466 4997 5895 5197 5523 4915 4806 4437 4437

2009 2012 2018
Round 4

July

Nonroad

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

MAR

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

OtherArea

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

On-Road

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

EGU

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

Non-EGU

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

TOTAL

IL

IN

MI

OH

WI

5-State Total

SOX 2015

2002 1a 1b 1d 2c 2e 3a 3b 1a 1b 1d 2a 2b 2c 2d 2e 2f 2g 3a 3b 4 5 1a 1a 1c 2c 2d

31 5 5 5 5 5 5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4

17 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

19 3 3 3 3 3 3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

23 4 4 4 4 4 4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

13 2 2 2 2 2 2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

103 17 17 17 17 17 17 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 3.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1190 263 263 263 263 263 263 251 251 251 251 251 251 251 251 251 251 251 251 251 250 250 250 250

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8

0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

12.7 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.7

13.9 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.7 11.05 10 10 10 10

620 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 509 503 503 503 503

11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13

158 150 150 150 150 150 150 151 151 151 151 151 151 151 151 151 151 151 151 151 153 153 153 153

71 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68

22 34 34 34 34 34 34 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35

9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

271 273 273 273 273 273 273 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 277.5 279 279 279 279

2289 2279 2279 2279 2279 2279 2279 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2340 2406 2406 2406 2406

0

1310 944 885 692 529 748 748 529 789 743 646 548 530 320 334 395 553 387 395 320 789 395 810 810 332 343

2499 1267 1075 824 548 846 846 548 1263 1086 847 628 818 190 209 325 587 427 325 190 1263 325 1048 1048 172 184

1103 1022 1020 479 356 600 600 356 1031 1048 476 469 449 140 152 220 293 145 220 140 1031 220 1058 1058 154 161

3131 1463 1207 1280 535 719 719 535 994 1087 977 444 426 209 231 335 437 362 335 209 994 335 701 701 240 258

602 512 516 274 193 318 318 193 492 483 279 372 318 75 82 120 295 174 120 75 492 120 500 500 88 93

8645 5208 4703 3549 2161 3231 3231 2161 4569 4447 3225 2461 2541 934 1008 1395 2165 1495 1395 934 4569 1395 4343 4117 4117 986 1039

31839 20163 17066 18505 17115 18186 18186 17115 17629 17629 16285 15520 15606 13995 10566 14455 14455 13995 17629 14455 14727 14727 11596 9040

373 251 251 251 251 215 152 257 257 257 257 257 257 257 257 257 220 157 221 221 249 248 249 249

292 270 270 270 270 221 133 274 274 274 274 274 274 274 274 274 224 136 225 225 290 228 290 290

162 166 166 166 166 149 52 171 171 171 171 171 171 171 171 171 154 53 154 154 185 116 185 185

240 231 231 231 231 196 152 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 175 130 175 175 216 198 216 216

163 154 154 154 154 100 31 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 100 31 100 100 156 100 156 156

1230 1072 1072 1072 1072 881 520 1067 1067 1067 1067 1067 1067 1067 1067 1067 873 507 875 875 1081.5 1096 890 1096 1096

5759 6093 6093 6093 6093 5900 5540 6340 6340 6340 6340 6340 6340 6340 6340 6340 6148 5780 6148 6148 6970 6746 6970 6970

1725 1212 1153 797 1016 980 698 1059 1013 818 800 590 604 665 823 657 628 490 1023 629 1072 1071 594 605

2966.2 1690 1498 971 1269 1220 834 1691 1514 1056 1246 618 637 753 1015 855 703 480 1642 704 1492 1430 616 628

1355.6 1260 1258 594 838 821 480 1271 1288 709 689 380 392 460 533 385 443 262 1254 443 1312 1243 408 415

3416.4 1732 1476 804 988 953 725 1240 1333 690 672 455 477 581 683 608 546 375 1205 546 953 935 492 510

799.7 687 691 368 493 439 245 667 658 547 493 250 257 295 470 349 240 126 612 240 675 619 263 268

10262.9 6581 6076 3534 4604 4413 2982 5928 5806 3820 3900 2293 2367 2754 3524 2854 2560 1733 5736 2562 5716 5504 5298 2373 2426

2009 2012 2018
May 16, 2006

APPENDIX

Scenario 2 EGU Strategies

The Round 4 control strategy modeling includes five scenarios reflecting the EGU1 and EGU2 

controls in the White Paper (“Interim White Paper – Midwest RPO Candidate Control Measures, 

Electric Generating Units”, January 14, 2005). A summary of the scenarios is provided below.

Overview of EGU1, EGU2

EGU1 and EGU2 represent regional emission caps (tons per year for SO2 and NOx, and tons 

per season for NOx) based on the following emission limits:

SO2 (lb/MMBTU): EGU1 0.36 (2009), 0.15 (2012)

EGU2 0.24 (2009), 0.10 (2012)

NOx (lb/MMBTU): EGU1 0.15 (2009), 0.10 (2012)

EGU2 0.12 (2009), 0.07 (2012)

For this round of modeling, the compliance date is assumed to be 2012, not 2013 as identified 

in the original White Paper. EGU1 and EGU2 are defined based on the 2012 regional 

emissions cap. The 2009 " interim limits" represent where we expect to be on the path to 

meeting the 2012 emissions cap. The proposed emission cap applies to the entire region (and 

not individual states) and incorporates demand growth (calculated by IPM) for the target year.

MACTEC derived unit-specific control factors for EGU1 and EGU2 in the following manner:

• For each control measure and year, calculate the 5-state region annual SO2 emission 

caps and winter/summer NOx emission caps based on the IPM-projected heat inputs 

(mmBtu) and the average emission rate (lbs/mmBtu) for the control measure/year;

• Identify all units with emission rates below the average emission rate for the control 

measure/year; set the future year percent control efficiency to 0 for these units since 

they are already below the average emission rate on which the caps are based;

• Subtract the emissions from units with emission rates below the average emission rate 

and calculate an “adjusted” emission rate (lbs/mmBtu) that units above the average 

emission rate must meet;

• Calculate the control factor (for units above the “adjusted” emission rate) as one minus 

the ratio of the “adjusted” average emission rate to the actual emission rate for that unit.

Description of Scenarios

a. EGU2 for top 30 EGUs in 5-state region (based on Q/d)

EGUs in the 5-state region were ranked based on their Q/d value. These values were 

calculated using:

• 2012 SO2 and NOx emission estimates; and

• distances to residual nonattainment monitors (based on Round 3 modeling – i.e., 

ozone: Chicago, Milwaukee, and Cleveland; PM2.5: Chicago, St.Louis/Granite 

City, Detroit, Cleveland, and Cincinnati) and nearby Class I areas.

The table below shows the Q/d values, emissions, and rankings for the top 40 facilities. 

The list is sorted based on the combined rankings of Q/d-NOx and Q/d-SO2. 
May 16, 2006

 Q/D for Midwest RPO 14:14 Wednesday, February 22, 2006 

1

 c m

 n s c i m

 t t y g g n i q q

 r s n c n f n r r d n d d

 O y t a y a c a i i i m n n s s o

 b i i m i m i m d d s o o o o o n n s s r

 s d d e d e d e x y t n x x 2 2 o q o q d

 1 US 26 Mich 163 Wayne B2810 DETROIT EDISON RIV 1134.99 338.815 6 26163 3.39044 19.5 10.2767 59.2 108 1 92 1 1

 2 US 39 Ohio 25 Clermont 1413100008 CINERGY CG&E WC BE 1089.89 -35.356 29 39061 1.30407 37.2 4.9612 141.6 44 3 19 2 2

 3 US 39 Ohio 85 Lake 0243160009 CLEVELAND ELECTRIC 1279.13 291.746 23 39055 1.36151 30.8 3.3584 75.9 59 2 60 8 3

 4 US 55 Wisc 117 Sheboygan 460033090 WP & L Alliant Ene 726.01 448.454 18 55117 1.07065 19.5 3.6255 66.0 109 4 80 6 4

 5 US 26 Mich 163 Wayne B2811 DETROIT EDISON TRE 1131.97 321.469 20 26163 0.74758 15.1 3.9601 80.1 149 7 52 4 5

 6 US 26 Mich 147 St_Clair B2796 ST. CLAIR / BELLE 1175.59 406.808 80 26163 0.73779 58.7 3.0537 243.1 18 8 2 9 6

 7 US 18 Indi 29 Dearborn 00002 AMERICAN ELECTRIC 1040.07 -31.946 34 39061 0.71100 24.1 1.7065 57.8 81 9 97 16 7

 8 US 26 Mich 115 Monroe B2816 DETROIT EDISON/MON 1122.40 293.916 48 26163 0.43704 21.1 3.8031 183.6 99 22 7 5 8

 9 US 39 Ohio 113 Montgomery 0857780013 DP&L, O.H. HUTCHIN 1080.83 32.197 49 39061 0.53632 26.2 1.9923 97.3 76 14 35 13 9

 10 US 17 Illi 197 Will 197809AAO MIDWEST GENERATION 754.82 201.224 55 17031 0.51395 28.3 2.0365 112.2 66 16 25 12 10

 11 US 17 Illi 197 Will 197810AAK MIDWEST GENERATION 739.33 216.943 44 17031 0.76842 34.0 1.5210 67.4 54 6 77 22 11

 12 US 39 Ohio 61 Hamilton 1431350093 CINERGY CORP MIAMI 1044.54 -28.042 28 39061 0.57482 16.1 1.6199 45.5 130 11 136 19 12

 13 US 17 Illi 31 Cook 031600AIN MIDWEST GENERATION 740.23 258.241 20 17031 0.50121 10.1 1.9447 39.0 225 19 164 14 13

 14 US 18 Indi 147 Spencer 00020 INDIANA MICHIGAN P 868.79 -182.363 116 MACA1 0.50965 59.1 1.6709 193.9 16 17 6 17 14

 15 US 17 Illi 119 Madison 119020AAE DYNEGY MIDWEST GEN 591.69 -103.839 17 17119 0.50712 8.7 1.5276 26.1 247 18 223 21 15

 16 US 39 Ohio 35 Cuyahoga 1318000245 CLEVELAND ELECTRIC 1251.32 271.203 13 39035 0.37684 4.8 1.2550 16.1 352 24 290 26 16

 17 US 17 Illi 31 Cook 031600AMI MIDWEST GENERATION 770.73 243.506 16 17031 0.36113 5.9 1.1973 19.6 317 26 262 27 17

 18 US 18 Indi 73 Jasper 00008 NIPSCO - R.M. SCHA 829.67 180.703 103 17031 0.39803 40.8 0.9307 95.4 37 23 38 32 18

 19 US 18 Indi 89 Lake 00117 NIPSCO - DEAN H. M 792.89 223.831 46 17031 0.30339 13.9 1.1665 53.6 161 30 106 28 19

 20 US 17 Illi 97 Lake 097190AAC MIDWEST GENERATION 737.64 294.196 44 17031 0.24810 11.0 1.0000 44.3 205 34 141 29 20

 21 US 39 Ohio 85 Lake 0243110008 PAINESVILLE MUNICI 1291.00 293.274 15 39055 0.14955 2.2 1.6578 24.8 474 53 228 18 21

 22 US 26 Mich 115 Monroe B2846 J.R. WHITING CO 1115.57 281.924 61 26163 0.18892 11.6 0.6854 42.1 196 41 148 39 22

 23 US 39 Ohio 81 Jefferson 0641160017 W. H. SAMMIS PLANT 1370.12 182.626 121 39055 0.20359 24.7 0.5863 71.0 80 38 70 46 23

 24 US 39 Ohio 1 Adams 0701000007 DP&L, J.M. STUART 1146.62 -66.909 93 39061 0.17124 15.9 0.6739 62.5 138 48 89 41 24

 25 US 39 Ohio 93 Lorain 0247030013 AVON LAKE POWER PL 1233.49 243.827 40 39035 0.16397 6.6 0.6830 27.6 303 50 212 40 25

 26 US 18 Indi 77 Jefferson 00001 IKEC - CLIFTY CREE 996.96 -75.840 95 39061 0.12745 12.0 1.4725 139.2 185 68 20 23 26

 27 US 39 Ohio 95 Lucas 0448020006 TOLEDO EDISON CO., 1113.16 257.144 86 26163 0.19430 16.7 0.5539 47.7 127 39 127 52 27

 28 US 18 Indi 125 Pike 00002 IPL PETERSBURG GEN 842.68 -117.982 181 MACA1 0.31925 57.8 0.3770 68.3 20 28 73 71 28

 29 US 18 Indi 43 Floyd 00004 PSI ENERGY - GALLA 968.21 -132.214 129 MACA1 0.17509 22.5 0.5434 69.9 91 47 71 53 29

 30 US 55 Wisc 79 Milwaukee 241007800 WIS ELECTRIC POWER 735.39 372.568 72 55117 0.16369 11.8 0.5543 39.9 190 51 158 51 30

 31 US 18 Indi 97 Marion 00033 IPL HARDING STREET 918.09 22.833 156 39061 0.14779 23.1 0.4341 67.8 88 56 75 62 31

 32 US 55 Wisc 21 Columbia 111003090 Alliant Energy-Col 604.68 417.449 141 55117 0.11278 16.0 0.6267 88.7 137 77 45 43 32

 33 US 39 Ohio 25 Clermont 1413090154 CINCINNATI GAS & E 1097.26 -48.043 43 39061 0.19308 8.3 0.3218 13.8 260 40 312 81 33

 34 US 17 Illi 137 Morgan 137805AAA AMEREN ENERGY GENE 573.75 -11.925 110 17119 0.13136 14.5 0.4641 51.2 156 67 113 58 34

 35 US 26 Mich 139 Ottawa B2835 J. H. CAMPBELL PLA 875.41 374.703 149 55117 0.09172 13.7 0.9888 147.2 165 95 18 31 35

 36 US 26 Mich 163 Wayne B2132 WYANDOTTE DEPT MUN 1133.22 331.351 11 26163 0.14801 1.6 0.3474 3.7 528 55 442 75 36

 37 US 39 Ohio 7 Ashtabula 0204010000 CLEVELAND ELECTRIC 1339.05 329.017 63 39055 0.14809 9.4 0.3396 21.5 233 54 248 78 37

 38 US 39 Ohio 31 Coshocton 0616000000 CONESVILLE POWER P 1273.11 126.550 144 39035 0.10727 15.4 0.5565 80.1 144 83 53 50 38

 39 US 17 Illi 127 Massac 127855AAC ELECTRIC ENERGY IN 730.42 -276.692 130 MING1 0.11597 15.1 0.4524 58.7 151 76 93 59 39

 40 US 26 Mich 103 Marquette B4261 WISCONSIN ELECTRIC 736.05 769.936 113 ISLE1 0.14091 16.0 0.3417 38.8 136 60 165 76 40
May 16, 2006

The figure below shows the fraction of the total regional Q/d value for each group of 10 

facilities (i.e., the top 10 facilities are represented by the first set of symbols, which are 

designated by the number “1”). This shows that the top 30 facilities represent 75-80% of the 

regional Q/d value and about 50% of the regional NOx and SO2 emissions. To model this 

scenario, the MACTEC EGU2 control factors for only these top 30 facilities will be applied.

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Q/d-NOx Q/d-SO2 NOx SO2

b. EGU2 in 100 km radius of each residual ozone and PM2.5 nonattainment area

There are 162 EGUs within 105 km of at least one of the residual nonattainment 

monitors/areas noted above. (Note: 105 km was used to flag facilities instead of 100 km 

because there were five large facilities slightly beyond 100 km.) These 162 EGUs 

represent 80% of the regional Q/d value and about 47% of the regional NOx and SO2 

emissions. To model this scenario, the MACTEC EGU2 control factors for only these 

162 facilities will be applied.

c. EGU2 in 5-state region

To model this scenario, the MACTEC EGU2 control factors for all 392 EGUs in the 5-

state region will be applied.

d. EGU2 in 12-state region (5-state region plus MN, IA, MO, KY, TN, WV, PA)

To model this scenario, the MACTEC EGU2 control factors for all EGUs in the 5-state 

region plus EGUs in several neighboring factors (MN, IA, MO, KY, TN, WV, and PA)3 will 

be applied.

e. EGU1 in 5-state region

To model this scenario, the MACTEC EGU1 control factors for all EGUs in the 5-state 

region will be applied.

 

3

The control factors for these other states were derived by MACTEC following the same 

procedures as those outlined above for the five LADCO states.
May 16, 2006

f. EGU1 in 5-state region based on IPM modeling

IPM modeling for EGU1 was conducted by ICF to provide the modeling emissions 

inventory.

g. EGU2 in 5-state region based on IPM modeling

IPM modeling for EGU2 was also conducted by ICF to provide the modeling emissions 

inventory.

Two assumptions in the IPM modeling should be noted:

• ICF assumed banking and withdrawal of allowances, which results in higher 

SO2 and NOx emissions in later years, such as 2012, compared to the EGU1 

and EGU2 emission caps. If desired, then ICF can disable banking so that the 

emissions in the LADCO states are at the level of the SO2 and NOx caps.

• ICF assumed EGU1 and EGU2 policies independent of the CAIR policies. If 

one wants to see a net reduction in both the LADCO and the CAIR regions, 

then it is necessary to retire the Title IV SO2 and the CAIR NOx allowance 

budgets to the extent that the EGU1 and EGU2 caps are lower than the CAIR 

state level budgets. This, too, can be implemented in IPM.

To undo these assumptions (i.e., disable banking and force the EGU1/EGU2 emission 

caps) will require another IPM run. (No decision has been made whether to pursue 

further IPM modeling.)
 February 27, 2008 

Base M Strategy Modeling: Emissions (Revised) 

The purpose of this document is to summarize the emission estimates prepared for LADCO’s 

latest (Base M) 2005 base year and 2008, 2009, 2012, and 2018 future year modeling. Base 

year emissions by state and source sector for Base K (2002) and Base M (2005) are compared 

in Figure 1. A more detailed state and source sector summary is provided in Attachment 1. 

Additional emission reports are available on the LADCO website: 

http://www.ladco.org/tech/emis/r5/round5_reports.htm. 

 

 VOC NOx SO2 

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2002

(K)

2005

(M)

2002

(K)

2005

(M)

2002

(K)

2005

(M)

WI

OH

MI

IN

IL

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2002

(K)

2005

(M)

2002

(K)

2005

(M)

2002

(K)

2005

(M)

Area

Nonroad+MAR

Onroad

Non-EGU

EGU

Figure 1. Base K and Base M Emissions for 5-State LADCO Region: VOC, NOx, and SO2 (TPD, July weekday) 

Base Year Emissions 

In mid-2006, LADCO completed modeling analyses for a 2002 base year and several future 

year control strategies (LADCO, 2006a and LADCO, 2006b). Following those analyses, a 

decision was made to conduct additional modeling using a more current base year (2005). 

Examination of multiple base years provides for a more complete technical assessment. All 

modeling was conducted in accordance with USEPA modeling guidelines (USEPA, 2007). 
 February 27, 2008 

For on-road, ammonia, and biogenic sources, 2005 emissions were estimated by emission 

models. For other sectors in the LADCO States, 2005 emissions were either supplied by a 

contractor (railroads and commercial marine) or by the States (point sources, area sources, and 

aircraft). For other sectors in non-LADCO States, a contractor obtained the latest base (2002) 

and future year emission files (2009, 2018) from the other Regional Planning Organizations 

(RPOs) (Alpine, 2007a). Specifically, the following versions of these emissions files were used: 

MANE-VU: Version 3.1, WRAP: Pre2002d, CENRAP: Base F, and VISTAS: Base F. The 2005 

emissions were then estimated by linearly interpolating between the 2002 and 2009 emissions. 

Further discussion of the development of the 2005 base year emissions is provided below: 

On-Road: CONCEPT was run by a contractor using transportation data (e.g., VMT and vehicle 

speeds) for 24 networks supplied by the state and local planning agencies in the LADCO States 

and Minnesota (Environ, 2008). These data were first processed with T3 (Travel Demand 

Modeling [TDM] Transformation Tool) to provide input files for CONCEPT. For some networks, 

the VMT outputs from T3 were adjusted to match 2005 HPMS data. CONCEPT was then run 

with meteorological data for a July and January weekday, Saturday, and Sunday (July 15 – 17 

and January 16 – 18) to produce link-specific, hourly emission estimates. A spatial plots of 

emissions for July 15 are provided in Figure 2. 

VOC Emissions NOx Emissions

Figure 2. July 15, 2005 motor vehicle emissions for VOC (left) and NOx (right)

For the non-LADCO States, CONCEPT was run by a contractor using RPO-based HPMS 

county-level data (2002 and 2009) and MOBILE6 inputs (2002) compiled by another contractor 

(Environ, 2008). HPMS VMT for 2005 were generated by linearly interpolating between the 

2002 and 2009 data. The 2002 MOBILE6 inputs were used for the 2005 modeling, with a few 

adjustments (e.g., fuel sulfur content was set to 30 ppm, as required by the Tier 2/low sulfur 

regulations). Meteorological data for a July and January weekday, Saturday, and Sunday (July 

15 – 17 and January 16 – 18) were used. 

For other months (for both LADCO and non-LADCO States), weekday, Saturday, and Sunday 

emissions were linearly interpolated based on the January and July emissions. 
 February 27, 2008 

Off-Road: NMIM2005 was run by Grant Hetherington (Wisconsin DNR) to produce emissions 

for most off-road sectors for the LADCO States plus Minnesota, Iowa, and Missouri. Improved 

model inputs included local data for construction and agricultural equipment prepared by a 

contractor were incorporated (E.H. Pechan, 2004), and 2005 gasoline parameters. (Note, 

model updates prepared by AIR to address evaporative emissions were not included.) 

EMS was run by LADCO using Grant Hetherington’s NMIM2005 data and, for the non-LADCO 

States, using emission files supplied by Alpine based on data from the other RPOs to produce 

weekday, Saturday, and Sunday emissions for each month. 

Additional off-road sectors (i.e., commercial marine, aircraft, and railroads [MAR]) were handled 

separately. Aircraft emissions were supplied by the LADCO States. Updated information for 

railroads and commercial marine for the LADCO States was prepared by a contractor (Environ, 

2007a and Environ 2007b). Table 1 compares the new 2005 emissions with the previous 2002 

emission estimates. The new 2005 emissions reflect substantially lower commercial marine 

emissions and lower locomotive NOx emissions. 

EMS was run by LADCO using the contractor and state data and, for the non-LADCO States, 

using emission files supplied by Alpine based on data from the other RPOs to produce 

weekday, Saturday, and Sunday emissions for each month. 

Table 1. Locomotive and Commercial Marine Emissions for 2002 and 2005 Base Year 

Railroads (TPY) Commercial Marine (TPY) 

2002 2005 2002 2005 

VOC 7,890 7,625 1,562 828 

CO 20,121 20,017 8,823 6,727 

NOx 182,226 145,132 64,441 42,336 

PM 5,049 4,845 3,113 1,413 

SO2 12,274 12,173 25,929 8,637 

NH3 86 85 ---- ---- 

Area: EMS was run by LADCO using 2005 data supplied by the LADCO States and, for the 

non-LADCO States, using emission files supplied by Alpine based on data from the other RPOs 

to produce weekday, Saturday, and Sunday emissions for each month. Special attention was 

given to two source categories: industrial adhesive and sealant solvent emissions and outdoor 

wood boilers. 

Industrial Adhesives and Sealants: The NEI shows this to be a large VOC 

emissions category in the LADCO States (i.e.., 50,000 TPY) USEPA 

subsequently determined that “(f)or the Region V states, we no longer believe 

that there are any activities in the Industrial Adhesives and Sealants category 

(SCC 2440020000) that have not been inventoried either in the point source 

Industrial Adhesives and Sealants category or under the Consumer and 

Commercial Adhesives and Sealants nonpoint category (SCC 2460600000 - all 

adhesives and sealants).” (USEPA, 2007b) Consequently, this category was 

omitted from the 2005 regional emissions inventory. 
 February 27, 2008 

Outdoor Wood Boilers: Over the past several years, the installation and

operation of outdoor wood boilers for residential use has increased dramatically 

in many northern states. Relying on an emission estimation methodology 

prepared by Bart Sponseller (WDNR, 2006), emissions were calculated by the 

other states for this category. 

EGU Point:EMS was run by LADCO using 2005 data supplied by the LADCO States and, for 

the non-LADCO States, using emission files supplied by Alpine based on data from the other 

RPOs to produce weekday, Saturday, and Sunday emissions for each month. 2005 EGU 

emissions were temporalized for modeling purposes using profiles prepared by Scott Edick 

(Michigan DEQ) based on CEM data for the period 2004-2006. Profiles were generated for 

monthly weekday/Saturday/Sunday based on the median hourly emissions for that month, day, 

and hour of the day for the three years. Over 90% of NOX and SO2 emissions from EGUs in the 

LADCO states were assigned profiles. In non-Ladco states, the annual EGUs emissions were 

replaced with the 2005 sum of hourly emissions for all 365 days. 

Non-EGU Point: EMS was run by LADCO using 2005 data supplied by the LADCO States and, 

for the non-LADCO States, using emission files supplied by Alpine based on data from the other 

RPOs to produce weekday, Saturday, and Sunday emissions for each month. EGUs were 

removed from this point source file. 

Other improvements to the base year inventory included: 

Canadian Emissions: Previous modeling inventories for Canadian sources were flawed due to 

problems with emissions (e.g., LADCO inventories omitted ammonia emissions) or stack 

parameters (e.g., VISTAS inventories failed to include proper stack parameters, resulting in 

emissions getting dumped in the surface layer of the model). For Base M, Scott Edick 

(Michigan DEQ) processed the 2005 Canadian National Pollutant Release Inventory (NPRI – 

see http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/npri/). Specifically, a subset of the NPRI data which are relevant to 

the air quality modeling were reformatted. A number of emission reports are available on the 

LADCO website (http://www.ladco.org/tech/emis/basem/canada/index.htm). Circle plot of point 

source emissions are presented in Figure 3. 

 

 
 February 27, 2008 

 

Figure 3. Base year emission plots for Canada

Biogenic Emissions: A contractor provided an updated version of the CONCEPT/MEGAN 

(Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature – see http://bai.acd.ucar.edu/Megan/) 

biogenics model, which was used to produce base year biogenic emission estimates (Alpine, 

2007b). MEGAN includes functions for soil moisture plant stress, a more complete canopy 

model, full plant growth cycle emissions calculations, and state of the science emission rates. 

Subsequent to deliver of the updated CONCEPT/MEGAN code, it was found that more recent 

data sets and model formulations were available. For the purposes of the Round 5 modeling, 

LADCO simply scaled the emission estimates from the updated code to reflect these newer 

data. This resulted in lower emissions for several organic aerosol species and NOx 

Compared to the EMS/BIOME emissions used for Base K, there is more regional isoprene with 

MEGAN (see Figure 4). Also, with the secondary organic aerosol updates to the CAMx air 

quality model, Base M includes emissions for monoterpenes and sesquiterpenes, which are precursors of secondary PM2.5 organic carbon mass. 

Figure 4. Isoprene emissions for Base M (left) v. Base K (right) 
 February 27, 2008 

Ammonia Emissions: The CMU-based 2002 (Base K) annual ammonia emissions were 

projected to 2005 using growth factors from the Round 4 emissions modeling. These annual 

emissions were then adjusted by applying monthly temporal factors based on the processbased ammonia emissions model (http://www.conceptmodel.org/nh3/nh3_index.html). The 

model was run for the following list of model farms using 2002 meteorological data: Dairy 

(California, Wisconsin), Swine (Iowa, Wisconsin), and Beef (Texas, Washington, Wisconsin). 

Because the model was not complete for the poultry housing model, swine was use in its place 

given that both use confined operations. 

Each model farms’ emissions were used to generate monthly average day emissions and a 

monthly profile. The profiles were applied to geographies most associated with that farm type 

(e.g., all LADCO states used the Wisconsin farm results). The following figure shows the daily 

variation in emissions for the model farms. 

 Wisconsin – dairy Wisconsin - swine 

Daily Total - Swine 55001

0.000

0.500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

01/03/02

01/17/02

01/31/02

02/14/02

02/28/0203/14/02

03/28/02

04/11/02

04/25/02

05/09/02

05/23/0206/06/02

06/20/02

07/04/02

07/18/02

08/01/02

08/15/02

08/29/02

09/12/02

09/26/02

10/10/02

10/24/02

11/07/02

11/21/02

12/05/02

12/19/02

Date

NH3 emissions (Kg / day)

Daily Total - Dairy 55001

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

01/03/02

01/17/02

01/31/02

02/14/02

02/28/0203/14/02

03/28/02

04/11/02

04/25/02

05/09/02

05/23/0206/06/02

06/20/02

07/04/02

07/18/02

08/01/02

08/15/02

08/29/02

09/12/02

09/26/02

10/10/02

10/24/02

11/07/02

11/21/02

12/05/02

12/19/02

Date

NH3 emissions (Kg / day)

 Washington – beef Texas - beef 

Daily Total - Beef 53001

0.000

0.500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

01/03/02

01/17/02

01/31/02

02/14/02

02/28/02

03/14/02

03/28/02

04/11/02

04/25/02

05/09/02

05/23/02

06/06/02

06/20/02

07/04/02

07/18/02

08/01/02

08/15/02

08/29/02

09/12/02

09/26/02

10/10/02

10/24/02

11/07/02

11/21/02

12/05/02

12/19/02

Date

NH3 emissions (Kg / day)

Daily Total - Beef 48001

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

01/03/02

01/17/02

01/31/02

02/14/02

02/28/0203/14/02

03/28/02

04/11/02

04/25/02

05/09/02

05/23/0206/06/02

06/20/02

07/04/02

07/18/02

08/01/02

08/15/02

08/29/02

09/12/02

09/26/02

10/10/02

10/24/02

11/07/02

11/21/02

12/05/02

12/19/02

Date

NH3 emissions (Kg / day)

Figure 5. Daily emissions for 2002 for various model farms 
 February 27, 2008 

A plot of the resulting average daily emissions by state and month is provided in Figure 6. 

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

Jan Fed March Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Illinois Indiana Iow a Michigan

Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin

Figure 6. Average daily ammonia emissions for Midwest States by month for 2005

Fires: For Base K, a contractor (EC/R, 2004) developed a 2001, 2002, and 2003 fire emissions 

inventory for eight Midwest States (five LADCO states plus Iowa, Minnesota, and Missouri), 

including emissions from wild fires, prescribed fires, and agricultural burns. Projected emissions 

were also developed for 2010 and 2018 assuming “no smoke management” and “optimal smoke 

management” scenarios. An early model sensitivity run showed very little difference in modeled 

PM2.5 concentrations. Consequently, the fire emissions were not included in subsequent 

modeling runs (i.e., they were not in the Base K or Base M modeling inventories). 
 February 27, 2008 

Future Year Emissions 

Complete emission inventories were developed for two future years: 2009 and 20181

. Source 

sector emission summaries for the base years (2002 – Base K and 2005 – Base M) and future 

years are shown in Figure 7. A more detailed state and source sector summary is provided in 

Attachment 1. Additional emission reports are available on the LADCO website 

(http://64.27.125.175/tech/emis/r5/round5_reports.htm. 

 VOC NOx SO2

0

3000

6000

9000

12000

2002 2005 2009 2012 2015 2018 2002 2005 2009 2012 2015 2018 2002 2005 2009 2012 2015 2018

Area

On-road

Nonroad

Non-EGU

EGU

Figure 7. Base year and future year emissions for 5-State LADCO Region (TPD, July weekday) 

 1

 A 2008 proxy inventory was prepared to support a preliminary 2008 modeling analysis to assess 

attainment for the basic nonattainment areas (i.e, for areas with a 2009 attainment date, the appropriate 

panning year is 2008). This inventory reflects the following assumptions: 

On-road: scale 2005 base year emissions using the Base K 2002 – 2009 trend (except for the 

Cincinnati-Dayton area, where 2008 emissions were generated using CONCEPT and 2008 data 

supplied by the local planning agency) 

Off-road and area: scale 2005 base year emissions using the Base K 2002-2009 trend 

Point – EGU: use 2005 base year emissions, with slight adjustment (-10%) 

Point – Non-EGU: use 2005 base year emissions (note: Base K 2002-2009 trend suggests little 

 change) 

Biogenics: use new 2005 base year emissions 

A 2012 proxy inventory was prepared to support a preliminary 2012 modeling analysis to assess the 

effect of further emission reductions from existing controls. This inventory was derived by interpolating 

between 2009 and 2018 emissions for all sectors, except point sources (for which, the 2009 emissions 

were used). 
 February 27, 2008 

For on-road, off-road, and EGU sources, the future year emissions were estimated by models 

(i.e., CONCEPT, NMIM2005, and IPM, respectively) and then processed by LADCO with EMS. 

For other sectors (area, MAR, and non-EGU point sources), the future year emissions for the 

LADCO States were derived by applying growth and control factors to the base year inventory. 

These factors were developed by a contractor (E.H. Pechan, 2007). Growth factors were 

based initially on EGAS (version 5.0), and were subsequently modified (for select, priority 

categories) by examining emissions activity data. For the non-LADCO States, future year 

emission files were supplied by Alpine based on data from the other RPOs. Due to a lack of 

information on future year conditions, the biogenic VOC and NOx emissions, and all Canadian 

emissions were assumed to remain constant between the base year and future years. 

A “base” control scenario was prepared for each future year based on the following “on the 

books” controls (E.H. Pechan, 2007): 

 On-Highway Mobile Sources 

• Federal motor vehicle emission control program, low sulfur gasoline, and ultra-low 

sulfur diesel fuel 

• Inspection/Maintenance programs (nonattainment areas) 

• Reformulated gasoline (nonattainment areas) 

Off-Highway Mobile Sources 

• Federal control programs incorporated into NONROAD model (e.g., nonroad diesel 

rule), plus the evaporative Large Spark Ignition and Recreational Vehicle standards 

• Heavy-duty diesel (2007) engine standard/Low sulfur fuel 

• Federal railroad/locomotive standards 

• Federal commercial marine vessel engine standards 

Area Sources 

• Consumer solvents 

• AIM coatings 

• Aerosol coatings 

• Portable fuel containers 

Power Plants 

• Title IV (Phases I and II) 

• NOx SIP Call 

• Clean Air Interstate Rule 

• Clean Air Mercury Rule 

Other Point Sources 

• VOC 2-, 4-, 7-, and 10-year MACT standards2

• Combustion turbine MACT 

• Consent decrees (refineries, ethanol plants, and ALCOA)3

 

2

 E.H. Pechan’s original control file included EPA-default control factor information. Alternative control 

factors were developed by Wisconsin for a few MACT categories, and were also applied to the other four 

LADCO States. 
 February 27, 2008 

• Other (Illinois and Ohio NOx RACT4, and BART in IN and WI) 

Further discussion of the development of the future year emissions is provided below: 

On-Road: Similar to the base year modeling, CONCEPT was run using transportation data 

(e.g., VMT and vehicle speeds) supplied by the state and local planning agencies for 2009 and 

2018 (Environ, 2008). CONCEPT was only run with meteorological data for a July weekday 

(July 15). The emissions for Saturday and Sunday were derived by using scaling factors based 

on the 2005 emissions. The state-level emissions for the five LADCO States plus Minnesota 

are summarized in Table 25

. 

For the non-LADCO States, CONCEPT was run by Environ using HPMS county-level data and 

MOBILE6 inputs compiled by another contractor for VISTAS. Note, the emissions modeling for 

IA, MO, and OK was redone for 2009 to reflect the state-developed registration distribution data. 

(The initial modeling for 2009 used national default values for registration distribution assumed 

by VISTAS’ contractor. CENRAP’s contractor developed emissions inventories for 2002 and 

2018 using the state-developed data. For consistency, Environ’s remodeling for these three 

states for 2009 also used the state-developed data.) Meteorological data for a July weekday 

(July 15) were used. The emissions for Saturday and Sunday were derived by using scaling 

factors based on the 2005 emissions. 

For other months (for both LADCO and non-LADCO States), January weekday, Saturday, and 

Sunday emissions were derived based on the July:January ratios for 2005, and then the 

weekday, Saturday, and Sunday emissions for other months were linearly interpolated based on 

the January and July emissions. 

 

3

 E.H. Pechan’s original control file included control factors for three sources in Wayne County, MI. 

These control factors were not applied in the regional-scale modeling to avoid double-counting with the 

State’s local-scale analysis for PM2.5. 

4

 WI believes that NOx RACT for their sources is already included in the 2005 basecase and EGU “will 

do” scenario, and IN provided NOx RACT information for inclusion as a no-EGU “may do” scenario. 5

 For northeastern IL (CATS region), 2009 and 2018 emissions were increases by 9% and 8%, 

respectively, to reflect newer transportation modeling by CATS. 
February 27, 2008 

Table 2. Summary of On-road Emissions (TPD – July 15, 2005) 

Year State CO-tpd TOG-tpd NOx-tpd PM2.5-tpd SO2-tpd NH3-tpd 

2005 IL 3,684.3 341.5 748.2 12.9 9.6 35.9 

IN 3,384.9 282.0 541.1 8.9 11.1 25.7 

MI 4,210.3 351.9 722.0 12.4 13.9 35.3 

MN 2,569.1 218.7 380.5 6.3 7.6 17.7 

OH 6,113.4 679.8 933.6 16.2 18.8 36.5 

WI 2,206.0 175.1 457.5 7.8 9.2 19.7 

Total 22,168.0 2,049.0 3,782.9 64.5 70.2 170.8 

2009 IL 2,824.4 268.0 527.8 10.1 4.2 38.9 

IN 2,839.5 234.9 401.9 6.7 2.8 26.1 

MI 3,172.0 269.2 500.9 9.2 4.0 37.1 

MN 2,256.8 206.3 307.5 5.1 2.3 21.5 

OH 4,619.2 423.7 693.5 11.8 4.7 39.5 

WI 1,673.4 119.4 322.1 5.7 2.3 20.6 

Total 17,385.3 1,521.5 2,753.6 48.7 20.3 183.6 

2018 IL 2,084.7 151.5 200.7 6.3 3.7 43.1 

IN 2,217.3 138.4 173.0 4.4 2.6 30.2 

MI 2,434.3 163.5 204.1 5.9 3.6 40.5 

MN 1,799.6 123.1 137.1 3.6 2.2 24.9 

OH 3,361.5 242.5 274.1 6.8 4.0 43.1 

WI 1,255.5 68.4 138.5 3.9 2.0 22.2 

Total 13,152.9 887.5 1,127.5 30.8 18.1 203.9 
 February 27, 2008 

EGU Point: Future year emissions were based on EPA’s IPM3.0 modeling6. Three CAIR 

scenarios were addressed: 

 5a: EPA’s IPM3.0 was assumed as the future year base for EGUs. 

 5b: EPA’s IPM3.0, with several “will do” adjustments identified by the States. These 

 adjustments should reflect a legally binding commitment (e.g., signed contract, consent 

 decree, or operating permit).7

 5c: EPA’s IPM3.0, with several “may do” adjustments identified by the States. These 

 adjustments reflect less rigorous criteria, but should still be some type of public reality 

 (e.g., BART determination or press announcement). 

Table 3 summarizes the SO2 and NOx emissions for the three scenarios. The individual 

facilities affected by the “will do” and “may do” adjustments are identified in Attachment 2. The 

net effect of these adjustments is a small increase in regional SO2 and NOx emissions. 

Based on initial discussions with USEPA, a decision was made to use the 2010 IPM emissions 

in the 2009 modeling. USEPA subsequently insisted that 2009 modeling must represent 2009 

conditions. Because 2009 and 2010 EGU NOx emissions are expected to be similar (note: 

CAIR Phase I compliance date for NOx is 2009), the Round 5.1 ozone modeling was not 

redone. 

USEPA believes that 2009 and 2010 EGU SO2 emissions may be significantly different (note: 

CAIR Phase I compliance date for SO2 is 2010). In particular, USEPA noted that information on 

projected scrubber installations identifies several facilities are not expected to be completed 

until 2010. A model sensitivity run was conducted with adjusted (higher) EGU SO2 emissions. 

 

6 The second set of new IPM runs by EPA were used. These runs were performed at the request of the 

RPOs and reflect the addition of run years 2012 and 2018, and the use of four load segments for 2032 to 

decrease model size (instead of six segments). Comparing the results in this run with EPA’s initial v3.0, 

showed small differences Below is a quick summary of the run year differences. 

EPA Base Case for IPM v.3.0 

2010: 2009-2012 

2015: 2013-2017 

2020: 2018-2022 

2025: 2023-2027 

2032: 2028-2035 

Base Case RPO Run for IPM v3.0 (added 2012 and 2018 run years, 2020 run year merged with the 2025 

run year, and four load segments used for the 2032 run year) 

2010: 2009-2011 

2012: 2012-2012 

2015: 2013-2017 

2018: 2018-2019 

2025: 2020-2028 

2032: 2029-2035 

7

 Scenario 5b and 5c also reflect changes in Minnesota, Missouri, and North Dakota. 
 February 27, 2008 

Table 4 provides information from USEPAs Clean Air Markets Division (CAMD) on scrubber 

installation dates. This information is based on various sources, including company 

announcements, consent decrees, vendors, and organizations that track scrubber installations. 

While there may be uncertainty in any projection of control installations, USEPA considers these 

adequate projections for SIP planning purposes. 

USEPA identified six plants which: (1) are projected in IPM3.0 to have scrubbers in place by 

2010 (or 2011), but will not be completed by 2009, and (2) are most likely to impact PM2.5 air 

quality in the upper Midwest (see highlighting in Table 4). To reflect uncontrolled (2009) 

emissions for those facilities (and units), LADCO substituted actual 2005 emissions for the 

IPM3.0 projected 2010 emissions. The revised (2009) SO2 emissions for the six facilities (see 

Attachment 2) represent a 5-6% increase in domainwide SO2 emissions. 
 February 27, 2008 

Table 3. Comparison of EGU Emissions for Base (5a), Will Do (5b), and Will Do (5c) Scenarios 

2010 2018 

SO2 5a 5b 5c 5a 5b 5c 

IL 958 881 881 869 433 433

IN 1033 1318 1318 1036 1194 1194

MI 667 667 667 725 725 725

OH 1326 1410 1410 983 1127 1127

WI 460 460 421 435 499 235

4444 4736 4697 4048 3978 3714

MN 162 148 148 187 167 157

NOx 5a 5b 5c 5a 5b 5c 

IL 275 247 247 224 195 195

IN 370 372 372 255 266 266

MI 242 242 242 243 243 243

OH 281 305 305 285 310 310

WI 165 164 155 176 172 145

1333 1330 1321 1183 1186 1159

MN 116 142 142 132 157 125
 February 27, 2008 

Table 4. Facilities Anticipating SO2 Controls in 2009 and 2010 

State Name Plant Name UniqueID_Final 

ORIS 

Code 

Unit 

ID 

Capacity 

MW 

Scrubber 

OnlineYear 

Scrubber 

OnlineMonth 

Alabama Barry 3_B_5 3 5 768 2010 

Alabama E C Gaston 26_B_5 26 5 861 2010 

Arizona Cholla 113_B_3 113 3 271 2009 

Florida Crystal River 628_B_4 628 4 720 2010 

Florida Crist 641_B_6 641 6 302 2010 

Florida Crist 641_B_7 641 7 477 2010 

Florida Crystal River 628_B_5 628 5 717 2009 5 

Florida Deerhaven Generating Station 663_B_B2 663 B2 228 2009 5 

Georgia Bowen 703_B_1BLR 703 1BLR 713 2010 

Georgia Wansley 6052_B_2 6052 2 892 2009 5 

Georgia Bowen 703_B_2BLR 703 2BLR 718 2009 4 

Indiana Clifty Creek 983_B_1 983 1 217 2010 

Indiana Clifty Creek 983_B_2 983 2 217 2010 

Indiana Clifty Creek 983_B_3 983 3 217 2010 

Indiana Clifty Creek 983_B_4 983 4 217 2010 

Indiana Clifty Creek 983_B_5 983 5 217 2010 

Indiana Clifty Creek 983_B_6 983 6 217 2010 

Indiana Warrick 6705_B_4 6705 4 300 2010 

Kentucky Big Sandy 1353_B_BSU2 1353 BSU2 800 2009 11 

Kentucky E W Brown 1355_B_1 1355 1 94 2009 1 

Kentucky E W Brown 1355_B_2 1355 2 160 2009 1 

Kentucky E W Brown 1355_B_3 1355 3 422 2009 1 

Kentucky H L Spurlock 6041_B_1 6041 1 315 2009 

Maryland Brandon Shores 602_B_1 602 1 643 2010 

Maryland Brandon Shores 602_B_2 602 2 643 2010 

Maryland Chalk Point LLC 1571_B_1 1571 1 341 2010 

Maryland Chalk Point LLC 1571_B_2 1571 2 342 2010 

Maryland Dickerson 1572_B_1 1572 1 182 2010 

Maryland Dickerson 1572_B_2 1572 2 182 2010 

Maryland Dickerson 1572_B_3 1572 3 182 2010 

Maryland Morgantown Generating Plant 1573_B_1 1573 1 624 2009 

Maryland Morgantown Generating Plant 1573_B_2 1573 2 620 2009 

Michigan Monroe 1733_B_4 1733 4 775 

2009 

(2010?) 

Missouri Sioux 2107_B_1 2107 1 497 2010 

Missouri Sioux 2107_B_2 2107 2 497 2010 

New Jersey PSEG Mercer Gen. Station 2408_B_1 2408 1 315.3 2010 

New Jersey PSEG Mercer Gen. Station 2408_B_2 2408 2 309.9 2010 

New York AES Westover 2526_B_11 2526 11 21.85 2010 

New York AES Westover 2526_B_12 2526 12 21.85 2010 

New York AES Westover 2526_B_13 2526 13 84 2010 

New York AES Greenidge LLC 2527_B_4 2527 4 26.5 2010 

New York AES Greenidge LLC 2527_B_5 2527 5 26.5 2010 

NorthCarolina Cliffside 2721_B_1 2721 1 38 2010 
 February 27, 2008 

NorthCarolina Cliffside 2721_B_2 2721 2 38 2010 

NorthCarolina Cliffside 2721_B_3 2721 3 61 2010 

NorthCarolina Cliffside 2721_B_4 2721 4 61 2010 

NorthCarolina Cliffside 2721_B_5 2721 5 550 2010 

NorthCarolina G G Allen 2718_B_1 2718 1 161.73 2009 5 

NorthCarolina Roxboro 2712_B_1 2712 1 369 2009 

NorthCarolina G G Allen 2718_B_2 2718 2 161.73 2009 

NorthCarolina G G Allen 2718_B_3 2718 3 259.77 2009 

NorthCarolina G G Allen 2718_B_4 2718 4 274.77 2009 

NorthCarolina G G Allen 2718_B_5 2718 5 265 2009 

NorthCarolina Mayo 6250_B_1A 6250 1A 361.5 2009 

NorthCarolina Mayo 6250_B_1B 6250 1B 361.5 2009 

Ohio W H Sammis 2866_B_6 2866 6 630 2011 

Ohio W H Sammis 2866_B_7 2866 7 630 2011 

Ohio R E Burger 2864_B_7 2864 7 156 2010 

Ohio R E Burger 2864_B_8 2864 8 156 2010 

Ohio Kyger Creek 2876_B_1 2876 1 217 2010 

Ohio Kyger Creek 2876_B_2 2876 2 217 2010 

Ohio Kyger Creek 2876_B_3 2876 3 217 2010 

Ohio Kyger Creek 2876_B_4 2876 4 217 2010 

Ohio Kyger Creek 2876_B_5 2876 5 217 2010 

Ohio Conesville 2840_B_4 2840 4 780 2009 4 

Ohio Bay Shore 2878_B_4 2878 4 215 2009 

Pennsylvania Cheswick Power Plant 8226_B_1 8226 1 580 2010 

Pennsylvania Hatfields Ferry Power Station 3179_B_1 3179 1 530 2009 1 

Pennsylvania Hatfields Ferry Power Station 3179_B_2 3179 2 530 2009 1 

Pennsylvania Hatfields Ferry Power Station 3179_B_3 3179 3 530 2009 1 

Pennsylvania Keystone 3136_B_1 3136 1 850 2009 

Pennsylvania Keystone 3136_B_2 3136 2 850 2009 

Pennsylvania PPL Brunner Island 3140_B_1 3140 1 321 2009 

Pennsylvania PPL Brunner Island 3140_B_2 3140 2 378 2009 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_1 3407 1 135 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_2 3407 2 135 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_3 3407 3 135 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_4 3407 4 135 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_5 3407 5 177 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_6 3407 6 177 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_7 3407 7 177 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_8 3407 8 177 2010 

Tennessee Kingston 3407_B_9 3407 9 178 2010 

Tennessee Bull Run 3396_B_1 3396 1 881 2009 1 

Texas Fayette Power Project 6179_B_1 6179 1 598 2009 

Texas Fayette Power Project 6179_B_2 6179 2 598 2009 

Virginia Chesterfield 3797_B_5 3797 5 310 2010 

Virginia Yorktown 3809_B_1 3809 1 159 2010 
 February 27, 2008 

 

References 

Alpine Geophysics, 2007a, “Emissions Inventory Assistance: 2005 Base Year Biogenic and 

Other (non-LADCO) State Emissions, Preparation and Delivery of Non-MRPO Emission Files< 

March 12, 2007. 

Alpine Geophysics, 2007b, Updated CONCEPT code with new (MEGAN) biogenic emissions 

delivered via e-mail from James Wilkinson on February 9, 2007. 

EC/R, Incorporated, 2004, “Fire Emissions Inventory Development for the Midwest Regional 

Planning Organization”, Final Report, September 30, 2004. 

E.H. Pechan, 2004, “LADCO Nonroad Emissions Inventory Project – Development of Local 

Data for Construction and Agricultural Equipment”, Final Report, September 10, 2004 

E.H. Pechan, 2005, “Development of Updated Growth and Control Factors for Lake Michigan 

Air Directors Consortium (LADCO)”, Draft Report, December 29, 2005. 

E. H. Pechan, 2007, “Development of 2005 Base Year Growth and Control Factors for Lake 

Michigan Air Directors Consortium (LADCO)”, Final Report, September 2007. 

Environ, 2004, “LADCO Nonroad Emissions Inventory Project for Locomotive, Commercial 

Marine, and Recreational Marine Emission Sources, Final Report, December 2004. 

Environ, 2007a, “LADCO 2005 Locomotive Emissions”, Draft, February 2007. 

Environ, 2007b, “LADCO 2005 Commercial Marine Emissions”, Draft, March 2, 2007. 

Environ, 2008, “LADCO On-Road Emission Inventory Development Using CONCEPT MV”, 

January 2008. 

LADCO, 2006a, “Base K/Round 4 Strategy Modeling” Emissions”, May 16, 2006. 

LADCO, 2006b, “Base K/Round 4 Modeling: Summary”, August 31, 2006. 

Mansell, G, Z. Wang, R. Zhang, J. Fadel, T. Ramsey, H. Xin, Y. Liang, and J. Arogo, 2005, “An 

Improved Process-Based Ammonia Emissions Model for Agricultural Sources – Emission 

Estimates” 

USEPA, 2007a, "Guidance for on the Use of Models and Other Analyses for Demonstrating 

Attainment of Air Quality Goals for Ozone, PM2.5, and Regional Haze”, EPA-454/B07-002, April 

2007. 

USEPA, 2007b, E-mail from Dennis Beauregard (OAQPS) dated February 22, 2007. 

Zhang, R, T. Ramsey, J. Fadel, J. Arogo, Z. Wang, G. Mansell, and H. Xin, 2005, “An Improved 

Process-Based Ammonia Emissions Model for Agricultural Sources – Model Development” 

WDNR, 2006, “Wisconsin Draft 2005 Outdoor Wood Boiler Methodology”, PowerPoint 

presentation by Bart Sponseller, November 13, 2006. 
 February 27, 2008 

Web Sites: 

http://www.ladco.org/tech/emis/basek/BaseK_Reports.htm

http://www.ladco.org/tech/emis/r5/round5_reports.htm 

http://www.ladco.org/tech/emis/basem/canada/index.htm

http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/npri/ 

http://bai.acd.ucar.edu/Megan/

http://www.conceptmodel.org/nh3/nh3_index.html
 February 27, 2008 

ATTACHMENT 1 

Emissions Summaries 
 February 27, 2008 

ATTACHMENT 2 

“Will Do”, “May Do”, and EGU Sensitivity - 

Facility Emissions
February 27, 2008 

2009 – Difference between base (5a) and “will do” (5b) scenarios 

 The SAS System 11:12008 1 ------------------------------------------------------------ polid=NOX ----------------------------------------  Obs cntryid stid cyid fcid name polid aceebase  1 US 17 97 097190AAC MIDWEST GENERAT NOX 12.19  2 US 17 197 197810AAK MIDWEST GENERAT NOX 33.29  3 US 18 73 00008 NIPSCO - R.M. S NOX 26.50  4 US 18 77 00001 IKEC - CLIFTY C NOX 11.58  5 US 18 89 00117 NIPSCO - DEAN H NOX 20.51  6 US 27 37 2703700003 NSP dba Xcel En NOX 8.39  7 US 27 61 2706100004 Minnesota Power NOX 17.26  8 US 27 163 2716300005 Xcel Energy - A NOX 5.40  9 US 29 183 0001 AMERENUE-SIOUX NOX 32.89  10 US 38 55 126 Coal Creek Stat NOX 30.49  11 US 38 57 12 Leland Olds Sta NOX 11.32  12 US 38 57 125 Stanton Station NOX 6.11  13 US 38 57 13 Antelope Valley NOX 33.00  14 US 38 57 289 Coyote NOX 35.12  15 US 38 59 172 RM Heskett Stat NOX 5.45  16 US 38 65 165 M R Young Stati NOX 6.02  17 US 39 93 0247030013 AVON LAKE POWER NOX 3.98  18 US 39 129 0165000006 NOX .  19 US 55 11 606034110 DAIRYLAND POWER NOX 21.10  20 US 55 21 111003090 Alliant Energy- NOX 14.89  21 US 55 43 122014530 Alliant Energy- NOX 8.27  22 US 55 59 230006260 WIS ELECTRIC PO NOX 7.84  23 US 55 71 436035930 MANITOWOC PUBLI NOX 2.22  24 US 55 79 241007690 WIS ELECTRIC PO NOX 16.10  25 US 55 79 241007800 WIS ELECTRIC PO NOX 8.87  26 US 55 117 460033090 WP & L Alliant NOX 19.18  27 US 55 123 663020930 DAIRYLAND POWER NOX 12.50  ----- --------  polid 410.47 
February 27, 2008 

------------------------------------------------------------ polid=SO2 ----------------------------------------  Obs cntryid stid cyid fcid name polid aceebase  28 US 17 97 097190AAC MIDWEST GENERAT SO2 56.96  29 US 17 197 197810AAK MIDWEST GENERAT SO2 127.61  30 US 18 29 00002 AMERICAN ELECTR SO2 66.34  31 US 18 43 00004 PSI ENERGY - GA SO2 25.53  32 US 18 73 00008 NIPSCO - R.M. S SO2 82.52  33 US 18 147 00020 INDIANA MICHIGA SO2 71.67  34 US 18 167 00021 PSI ENERGY - WA SO2 76.09  35 US 27 31 2703100001 Minnesota Power SO2 12.23  36 US 27 61 2706100004 Minnesota Power SO2 30.90  37 US 27 163 2716300005 Xcel Energy - A SO2 7.31  38 US 29 183 0001 AMERENUE-SIOUX SO2 27.81  39 US 38 55 126 Coal Creek Stat SO2 27.45  40 US 38 57 12 Leland Olds Sta SO2 108.15  41 US 38 57 125 Stanton Station SO2 25.29  42 US 38 57 13 Antelope Valley SO2 26.60  43 US 38 57 289 Coyote SO2 19.26  44 US 38 59 172 RM Heskett Stat SO2 9.23  45 US 38 65 165 M R Young Stati SO2 27.98  46 US 39 81 0641160017 W. H. SAMMIS PL SO2 147.97  47 US 39 93 0247030013 AVON LAKE POWER SO2 7.62  48 US 39 129 0165000006 SO2 .  49 US 55 21 111003090 Alliant Energy- SO2 65.27  50 US 55 43 122014530 Alliant Energy- SO2 12.19  51 US 55 59 230006260 WIS ELECTRIC PO SO2 7.84  52 US 55 71 436035930 MANITOWOC PUBLI SO2 6.56  53 US 55 79 241007690 WIS ELECTRIC PO SO2 63.92  54 US 55 79 241007800 WIS ELECTRIC PO SO2 40.94  55 US 55 123 663020930 DAIRYLAND POWER SO2 22.33  ----- --------  polid 1203.57  ======== 
February 27, 2008 

2009 – Difference between “will do” (5b) and “may do” (5c) scenarios 

The SAS System 11:10 Monday, March 3, 2008 1 ------------------------------------------------------------ polid=NOX ----------------------------------------  Obs cntryid stid cyid fcid name polid aceebase  1 US 19 139 70-01-011 MUSCATINE POWER NOX 6.201  2 US 55 9 405031990 WI PUBLIC SERVI NOX 9.101  3 US 55 11 606034110 DAIRYLAND POWER NOX 20.696  4 US 55 21 111003090 Alliant Energy- NOX 17.970  5 US 55 25 113004430 MADISON GAS & E NOX 5.764  6 US 55 43 122014530 Alliant Energy- NOX 8.446  7 US 55 59 230006260 WIS ELECTRIC PO NOX 14.892  8 US 55 71 436035930 MANITOWOC PUBLI NOX 1.965  9 US 55 79 241007690 WIS ELECTRIC PO NOX 16.288  10 US 55 79 241007800 WIS ELECTRIC PO NOX 6.837  11 US 55 117 460033090 WP & L Alliant NOX 11.991  12 US 55 123 663020930 DAIRYLAND POWER NOX 10.169  ----- --------  polid 130.320 ------------------------------------------------------------ polid=SO2 ----------------------------------------  Obs cntryid stid cyid fcid name polid aceebase  13 US 19 139 70-01-011 MUSCATINE POWER SO2 6.925  14 US 55 9 405031990 WI PUBLIC SERVI SO2 20.331  15 US 55 21 111003090 Alliant Energy- SO2 78.772  16 US 55 25 113004430 MADISON GAS & E SO2 25.853  17 US 55 43 122014530 Alliant Energy- SO2 45.194  18 US 55 59 230006260 WIS ELECTRIC PO SO2 13.090  19 US 55 71 436035930 MANITOWOC PUBLI SO2 11.012  20 US 55 79 241007690 WIS ELECTRIC PO SO2 44.083  21 US 55 79 241007800 WIS ELECTRIC PO SO2 22.482  22 US 55 123 663020930 DAIRYLAND POWER SO2 4.322  ----- --------  polid 272.063  ======== 
February 27, 2008 

2009 – Difference between EGU sensitivity (5s) and base (5a) scenarios 

 The SAS System 3, 2008 1 ------------------------------------------------------------ polid=SO2 ----------------------------------------  Obs cntryid stid cyid fcid name polid aceebase  1 US 18 77 00001 IKEC - CLIFTY C SO2 41.409  2 US 29 183 0001 AMERENUE-SIOUX SO2 27.812  3 US 39 53 0627000003 OHIO VALLEY ELE SO2 21.634  4 US 39 81 0641160017 W. H. SAMMIS PL SO2 147.971  5 US 42 3 4200300157 ORION POWER MID SO2 20.056  6 US 47 145 0013 TVA KINGSTON FO SO2 45.050  ----- --------  polid 303.931  ========  303.931 
1

Regional Air Quality Analyses for Ozone, PM2.5, and Regional Haze: 

Final Technical Support Document (Supplement), September 12, 2008

The purpose of this paper is to summarize a new modeling analysis performed by the Lake 

Michigan Air Directors Consortium (LADCO) to address the effect of the recent court decision 

vacating EPA’s Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR). This new modeling is intended to supplement 

the LADCO Technical Support Document (“Regional Air Quality Analyses for Ozone, PM2.5, 

and Regional Haze: Final Technical Support Document”, April 25, 2008), which summarizes the 

air quality analyses conducted by LADCO and its contractors to support the development of 

State Implementation Plans for ozone, PM2.5, and regional haze in the States of Illinois, 

Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin.

Compared to the previous LADCO modeling (Round 5.1), the new modeling shows similar 

results for ozone, but much more nonattainment for PM2.5 and higher visibility levels for 

regional haze. Specifically, the new modeling shows:

Ozone: Attainment of the 0.08 ppm standard by 2009 everywhere in the region, except 

Holland, MI, and nonattainment of the 0.075 ppm standard through at least 2018.

PM2.5: Widespread nonattainment of annual (15 ug/m3) and daily (35 ug/m3) standards.

Haze: Higher visibility levels on the 20% worst visibility days in 2018 in Class I areas in 

the eastern U.S., resulting in most areas being above the glide path.

Background: On July 11, 2008, the U.S. Court of Appeals for D.C. Circuit vacated EPA’s CAIR 

rule (cite). The reductions in NOx and SO2 emissions associated with this rule were a key part 

of the LADCO States’ attainment demonstrations for ozone and PM2.5 and the reasonable 

progress determinations for regional haze. LADCO’s previous modeling (Round 5.1) relied on 

EGU emission projections from EPA’s IPM3.0 analysis, which assumed implementation of 

Phases I and II of CAIR. For this new modeling, alternative EGU emission projections were 

developed, which did not rely on CAIR (or IPM).

Model Set-Up: The new modeling was performed consistent with LADCO’s previous modeling 

(Round 5.1):

Model Version: CAMx v4.50beta_deposition

Future Years: 2009, 2012, 2018

Runs: (a) Ozone: Summer 2005 meteorology with 12 km grids

(b) PM2.5 and haze: Full year 2005 meteorology with 36 km grids

Emission Scenarios: The new modeling assumed the same set of “on the books” controls as 

in LADCO’s previous modeling (Round 5.1) for all sectors, except EGUs. In light of the CAIR 

decision, three new EGU scenarios were prepared:
2

Scenario A: 2007 CEM-based emissions were projected for all states in the modeling domain 

based on EIA growth rates by state (NERC region) and fuel type. The assumed growth rates for 

the Midwest States were: MAIN (IL, IA, MO, WI): 8.8% (2007-2018); ECAR (IN, KY, MI, OH): 

13.5% (2007-2018); and MAPP (MN): 15.1% (2007-2018). No control was applied. The annual 

emissions were temporalized based on profiles derived from 2004-2006 CEM data. (Note, these 

are the same temporal profiles used in Round 5.1.)

Scenario B. Scenario A emissions for the LADCO States and select neighboring states (e.g., 

MN, IA, MO, KY, TN, and WV) were adjusted by applying legally enforceable controls (i.e., 

emission reductions required by a Consent Decree, state rule, or permit). Only those legally 

enforceable controls identified (and justified) by the States were applied. The States also 

supplied the appropriate control factors. A table summarizing the Scenario B controls is provided 

in Appendix I.

Scenario C. For the years 2009 and 2012, Scenario A emissions for all states were adjusted by 

applying all planned SO2 and NOx controls based on the July 10 CAMD list (i.e., 90% reduction 

for scrubbers, 95% reduction for SCRs). Because the July 10 CAMD list only includes controls 

generally out to 2011, additional SO2 and NOx controls for the year 2018 were assumed for all 

BART-eligible EGUs in the five LADCO State plus MN, IA, MO, KY, TN, and MO list (i.e., 90% 

reduction for scrubbers, 95% reduction for SCRs).

1

 All Scenario B controls were included in 

Scenario C. A table summarizing the Scenario C controls is provided in Appendix II.

Table 1 and Figure 1 provide a summary of the 5-state regional NOx and SO2 emissions for 

each scenario and future year. (Note, the CAIR emissions included here are based on EPA’s 

IPM3.0 modeling.) Several comments on the emissions should be noted:

Summer NOx

• There is llittle difference between the three alternative scenarios and CAIR. This 

suggests that summer ozone concentrations for the alternative scenarios are 

likely to be similar to those predicted with CAIR (i.e., Round 5.1).

Annual NOx:

• There is a significant change in emissions between scenarios, mostly during the 

non-summer months.

• Scenario B reflects application of NOx controls in several states (e.g., IL,OH,WI).

• Because there are relatively few SCRs (in the LADCO States) on the CAMD list, 

Scenario C results in only a small emissions decrease compared to Scenario B.

• Assumed BART controls result in a significant emissions decrease.

Annual SO2

• There is a significant change in emissions between scenarios.

• Scenario B reflects application of SO2 controls in several states (e.g., IL,OH,WI).

• Because there are several FGDs (in the LADCO States) on the CAMD list, 

Scenario C results in a large emissions decrease compared to Scenario B.

• Assumed BART controls result in a significant emissions decrease (i.e., even 

lower emissions than the IPM-estimated CAIR emissions).

 

1

 A subsequent analysis was conducted with the following inventory changes: (a) 95% reduction for 

scrubbers, 90% redcuction for SCRs (consistent with EPA’s default assumptions for IPM), and (b) 

revisions provided for a few plants in Indiana and Minnesota. The changes resulted in a relatively small 

difference in the regioinal NOx and SO2 emissions (e.g., about a 2% NOx increase and about a 1-2% 

decrease in SO2). To assess the impact of the changes, PM2.5 modleing was conducted with the new 

Scenario B and Scenario C emissions for 2012. The modeling showed little change in the predicted 

PM2.5 concentrations.
3

Figure 1. Regional NOx and SO2 Emissions

Summer NOx Emissions

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2005

2007

2009A

2009B

2009C

2009CAIR

2012A

2012B

2012C

2012CAIR

2018A

2018B

2018C

2018BART

2018CAIR

Annual NOx Emissions

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

2005

2007

2009A

2009B

2009C

2009CAIR

2012A

2012B

2012C

2012CAIR

2018A

2018B

2018C

2018BART

2018CAIR

Annual SO2 Emissions

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

2005

2007

2009A

2009B

2009C

2009CAIR

2012A

2012B

2012C

2012CAIR

2018A

2018B

2018C

2018BART

2018CAIR
4

Table 1. Regional NOx and SO2 Emissions

 

Summer NOx Emissions (TPD)

2005 2007 2009 A 2009 B 2009 C

2010 

CAIR 2012 A 2012 B 2012 C

2012 

CAIR 2018 A 2018 B 2018 C

2018 CBART2018 

CAIR

IL 305 305 311 311 311 275 340 236 236 266 333 227 227 219 224

IN 393 393 376 376 374 384 393 393 390 368 410 386 383 292 264

MI 393 393 350 350 350 242 366 366 366 229 377 377 377 260 243

OH 408 408 395 355 335 285 423 351 351 290 431 366 366 230 290

WI 413 413 167 160 160 238 184 170 170 177 183 168 168 168 177

1,912 1,912 1,599 1,552 1,530 1,424 1,706 1,516 1,513 1,330 1,734 1,524 1,521 1,169 1,198

 

 

Annual NOx Emissions (TPY)

2005 2007 2009 A 2009 B 2009 C

2010 

CAIR 2012 A 2012 B 2012 C

2012 

CAIR 2018 A 2018 B 2018 C

2018 CBART2018 

CAIR

IL 126,786 121,006 124,917 124,917 124,917 83,224 137,438 81,989 81,989 82,248 135,983 79,771 79,771 63,590 69,958

IN 214,727 203,493 203,776 203,776 201,947 133,188 212,790 212,790 210,877 125,541 221,950 212,805 210,810 177,027 90,415

MI 120,332 112,484 112,478 112,478 112,478 83,117 117,621 117,621 117,621 77,897 122,447 122,447 122,447 89,444 79,543

OH 255,554 240,351 240,016 173,071 164,911 94,346 251,065 172,514 172,514 97,679 261,644 179,737 179,737 125,762 95,678

WI 71,414 54,582 56,540 54,065 54,065 53,032 62,266 57,759 57,759 56,480 61,812 56,952 56,952 56,952 56,158

788,812 731,917 737,727 668,307 658,317 446,908 781,179 642,673 640,760 439,845 803,837 651,712 649,717 512,774 391,752

 

 

Annual SO2 Emissions (TPY)

2005 2007 2009 A 2009 B 2009 C

2010 

CAIR 2012 A 2012 B 2012 C

2012 

CAIR 2018 A 2018 B 2018 C

2018 CBART2018 

CAIR

IL 326,598 273,467 281,028 281,028 281,028 295,516 309,209 196,238 194,746 267,110 305,364 106,638 105,152 82,351 275,716

IN 866,964 722,301 721,252 721,252 619,486 374,335 754,323 754,323 558,567 379,144 786,551 764,065 559,945 426,695 359,915

MI 350,694 343,487 343,140 343,140 315,326 227,296 358,879 358,879 301,062 233,204 373,964 373,964 313,677 178,680 242,853

OH 1,100,510 960,820 959,466 959,466 693,438 427,145 1,003,633 897,099 572,807 370,532 1,045,945 819,770 481,623 333,740 315,560

WI 181,426 137,562 142,007 142,007 133,738 139,181 156,659 144,818 133,592 139,203 155,818 144,027 132,849 77,214 127,073

2,826,192 2,437,638 2,446,892 2,446,892 2,043,017 1,463,473 2,582,703 2,351,356 1,760,775 1,389,192 2,667,641 2,208,463 1,593,245 1,098,679 1,321,116
5

Modeling Results: Several tables summarizing the modeling results are provided:

Table 2 - future year ozone and PM2.5 concentrations for key monitors in the 

 LADCO region

Table 3 - number of monitoring sites greater than the National Ambient Air Quality 

 Standards (NNAQS)

Table 4 – visibility levels for Class I areas in the eastern U.S. 

Note, given that Scenario B and BART controls were only applied in an 11-state Midwest 

region, the validity of the results for other Class I areas in the eastern U.S. may be 

questionable. The Scenario C controls, on the other hand, cover all states and are, thus, 

likely valid in other Class I areas.

Spatial plots of the future year ozone and PM2.5 concentrations are provided in Figures 2 – 4. 

Based on these results, the following key findings should be noted:

Ozone 

• There is little change from the previous LADCO modeling (Round 5.1 with CAIR)

• The modeling shows attainment of the 0.08 ppm (85 ppb) standard by 2009, 

except Holland. (Note, Holland does meet this standard by 2012.)

• The modeling shows nonattainment of the 0.075 ppm (75 ppb) standard through 

2018.

PM2.5 - Annual

• There is a significant change from the previous LADCO modeling (Round 5.1 

with CAIR)

• The modeling shows extensive nonattainment of the annual standard.

PM2.5 - Daily 

• There is a significant change from the previous LADCO modeling (Round 5.1 

with CAIR)

• The modeling shows extensive nonattainment of the daily standard.

Haze 

• There is a significant change from the previous LADCO modeling (Round 5.1 

with CAIR)

• The modeling shows higher visibility levels in 2018 for the 20% worst visibility 

days (average about 0.5 deciviews for the northern Class I areas). The resulting 

visibility levels in the northern Class I areas (except Voyageurs) are above the 

glide path.
2005

Site Site ID Base Year Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C

Scen.CBART Round 5

Lake Michigan Area

Chiwaukee 550590019 84.7 82.2 82.2 82.0 82.3 81.1 80.8 80.6 80.9 77.2 77.2 77.0 76.0 76.2

Racine 551010017 80.3 77.8 77.8 77.5 77.5 76.6 76.2 76.1 76.1 72.9 72.3 72.1 71.1 71.2

Milwaukee-Bayside 550890085 82.7 79.9 79.9 79.7 79.8 78.5 78.0 78.0 78.0 74.3 73.6 73.4 72.4 72.7

Harrington Beach 550890009 83.3 80.1 80.1 79.9 80.1 78.6 78.1 78.0 78.3 73.9 73.2 73.1 72.2 72.5

Manitowoc 550710007 85.0 80.8 80.8 80.7 80.8 79.0 78.5 78.4 78.6 73.9 73.2 73.1 72.0 72.5

Sheboygan 551170006 88.0 84.1 84.0 83.9 84.0 82.2 81.7 81.5 81.8 76.9 76.0 75.9 74.8 75.4

Kewaunee 550610002 82.7 78.2 78.2 78.0 78.1 76.4 75.9 75.7 75.9 71.3 70.7 70.5 69.4 69.9

Door County 550290004 88.7 84.1 84.1 83.9 83.9 82.0 81.4 81.3 81.5 76.5 75.6 75.5 74.2 74.7

Hammond 180892008 77.7 76.2 76.2 76.0 75.4 75.6 75.3 75.2 74.6 73.2 72.7 72.6 71.7 71.6

Whiting 180890030 79.3 77.8 77.8 77.7 77.0 77.2 76.9 76.8 76.2 74.8 74.3 74.2 73.2 73.1

Michigan City 180910005 77.0 74.5 74.5 74.3 73.9 73.3 72.9 72.8 72.5 69.7 69.2 69.1 68.1 68.1

Ogden Dunes 181270020 78.3 76.3 76.3 76.2 75.6 75.5 75.1 75.0 74.5 72.9 72.3 72.1 71.2 70.8

Holland 260050003 90.0 85.7 85.7 85.5 85.3 83.5 83.1 82.9 82.8 78.2 77.5 77.3 76.0 76.1

Jenison 261390005 82.0 76.8 76.8 76.7 76.0 75.1 74.6 74.5 74.5 70.2 69.6 69.5 67.9 68.7

Muskegon 261210039 85.0 80.6 80.6 80.5 80.5 78.6 78.2 78.1 78.0 73.5 72.8 72.8 71.5 71.9

Indianapolis Area

Noblesville 189571001 82.7 78.3 78.3 78.1 78.1 76.1 75.9 75.7 75.6 70.2 69.9 69.8 68.9 68.7

Fortville 180590003 78.0 74.1 74.1 73.9 73.9 71.9 71.8 71.7 71.4 66.7 66.5 66.3 65.4 65.1

Fort B. Harrison 180970050 78.7 75.4 75.3 75.2 75.1 73.8 73.6 73.6 73.2 70.6 70.3 70.2 69.3 69.1

Detroit Area

New Haven 260990009 86.0 82.4 82.3 82.1 81.4 81.4 81.2 81.1 80.2 78.1 77.8 77.7 76.5 76.1

Warren 260991003 84.0 82.4 82.3 82.2 81.3 82.1 81.8 81.7 80.7 79.7 79.4 79.3 78.0 77.6

Port Huron 261470005 82.7 78.2 78.2 78.1 77.5 76.5 76.3 76.2 75.5 72.6 72.5 72.3 70.9 70.9

Cleveland Area

Ashtabula 390071001 89.0 84.2 84.1 83.9 83.4 82.0 81.8 81.6 81.0 76.8 76.5 76.4 74.8 75.1

Geauga 390550004 79.3 75.8 75.8 75.6 74.7 74.0 73.8 73.7 72.7 69.5 69.2 69.1 67.6 67.3

Eastlake 390850003 86.3 83.1 83.1 82.9 81.9 81.8 81.6 81.5 80.5 78.2 78.0 77.8 76.5 76.2

Akron 391530020 83.7 79.1 79.1 79.0 78.1 76.9 76.7 76.6 75.6 70.9 70.6 70.4 68.7 68.7

Cincinnati Area

Wilmington 390271002 82.3 77.3 77.4 77.1 77.5 75.3 75.2 74.8 74.9 70.1 69.9 69.5 67.1 68.3

Sycamore 390610006 84.7 81.5 81.4 81.1 81.9 80.4 80.2 79.8 80.3 76.4 76.0 75.7 73.5 74.6

Lebanon 391650007 87.7 82.8 82.8 82.4 83.0 80.8 80.7 80.3 80.7 75.4 75.1 74.8 72.6 74.2

Columbus Area

London 390970007 79.7 75.0 75.0 74.8 75.0 73.0 72.8 72.7 72.6 68.1 67.8 67.6 65.9 66.3

New Albany 390490029 86.3 82.1 82.1 81.9 81.8 80.2 80.0 79.9 79.6 74.7 74.3 74.2 73.3 73.0

Franklin 290490028 80.3 76.7 76.6 76.5 75.9 75.1 74.9 74.8 74.1 70.5 70.2 70.1 70.2 69.0

St. Louis Area

W. Alton (MO) 291831002 86.3 81.1 81.2 81.1 81.0 80.0 79.9 79.9 78.6 76.9 76.8 76.7 74.2 74.9

Orchard (MO) 291831004 87.0 82.1 82.1 82.0 82.0 80.9 80.8 80.7 80.0 77.7 77.6 77.4 75.2 76.2

Sunset Hills (MO) 291890004 82.3 79.2 79.2 79.1 78.7 78.3 78.1 78.1 77.1 75.3 75.2 75.1 73.0 73.9

Arnold (MO) 290990012 82.3 77.8 77.8 77.7 77.2 76.7 76.6 76.5 75.6 73.6 73.4 73.4 71.3 72.0

Margaretta (MO) 295100086 83.0 79.8 79.8 79.7 79.3 78.8 78.7 78.6 77.9 75.7 75.6 75.5 73.7 74.4

Maryland Heights (MO) 291890014 87.3 85.4 85.4 85.3 84.0 84.3 84.1 84.0 81.7 81.1 80.9 80.8 78.4 78.1

Table 2a. Ozone Modeling Results

2009 2012 2018
2005

Site Site ID Base Year Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C

Scen.CBART Round 5

Illinois

Chicago - Washington HS 170310022 15.2 14.9 14.8 14.5 14.1 14.8 14.7 14.2 14.0 15.0 14.6 14.2 13.7 13.9

Chicago - Mayfair 170310052 15.8 15.1 15.1 14.8 14.4 15.1 14.9 14.5 14.2 15.1 14.7 14.3 13.7 13.9

Chicago - Springfield 170310057 15.0 14.6 14.6 14.3 13.9 14.6 14.4 14.0 13.8 14.8 14.4 14.0 13.4 13.7

Chicago - Lawndale 170310076 14.9 14.5 14.5 14.2 13.8 14.5 14.3 13.9 13.7 14.7 14.3 13.9 13.3 13.6

Blue Island 170312001 14.8 14.4 14.4 14.0 13.7 14.4 14.2 13.8 13.6 14.5 14.1 13.7 13.2 13.4

Summit 170313301 15.2 14.9 14.9 14.6 14.2 14.9 14.7 14.3 14.0 15.0 14.6 14.3 13.7 13.9

Cicero 170316005 15.5 15.1 15.1 14.8 14.4 15.1 14.9 14.5 14.3 15.2 14.9 14.4 13.9 14.2

Granite City 171191007 16.7 16.3 16.2 15.9 15.1 16.1 16.0 15.3 14.9 15.9 15.6 14.9 14.2 14.3

E. St. Louis 171630010 15.6 15.2 15.2 14.8 14.1 15.0 14.9 14.3 13.9 14.9 14.6 14.0 13.3 13.4

Indiana

Jeffersonville 180190005 16.4 15.8 15.7 14.8 13.8 15.8 15.6 14.5 13.7 16.0 15.5 14.3 13.7 13.4

Jasper 180372001 15.2 14.3 14.2 13.4 12.4 14.2 14.0 13.0 12.2 14.3 13.9 12.8 12.1 11.8

Gary 180890031 15.6 13.9 13.9 13.5 13.0 13.8 13.6 13.1 12.8 13.7 13.4 12.9 12.3 12.4

Indy-Washington Park 180970078 15.3 14.4 14.4 13.6 12.8 14.3 14.2 13.2 12.6 14.3 13.9 12.9 12.2 12.0

Indy-W 18th Street 180970081 16.0 15.1 15.1 14.3 15.0 14.9 13.9 15.0 14.6 13.5 12.8

Indy- Michigan Street 180970083 15.9 15.0 15.0 14.2 13.4 14.9 14.8 13.8 13.1 14.9 14.5 13.5 12.8 12.6

Michigan

Allen Park 261630001 14.5 11.0 14.0 13.5 13.0 14.0 13.8 13.2 12.8 13.9 13.6 13.0 12.4 12.4

Southwest HS 261630015 15.9 15.3 15.3 14.8 14.2 15.2 15.0 14.4 13.9 15.1 14.8 14.1 13.5 13.5

Linwood 261630016 14.6 14.1 14.1 13.6 13.1 14.0 13.9 13.3 12.8 13.9 13.6 13.0 12.5 12.5

Dearborn 261630033 17.5 17.0 17.0 16.4 15.8 16.9 16.7 16.0 15.5 16.8 16.4 15.7 15.1 15.1

Wyandotte 261630036 14.7 14.2 14.1 13.6 13.1 14.1 13.9 13.3 12.8 14.0 13.7 13.0 12.4 12.5

Ohio

Middletown - Bonita 390170003 16.2 15.3 15.2 14.3 13.5 15.2 15.0 13.9 13.2 15.2 14.8 13.7 13.0 12.8

Fairfield 390170016 15.8 15.1 15.0 14.1 13.1 15.1 14.9 13.7 12.9 15.2 14.7 13.5 12.8 12.5

Cleveland-28th Street 390350027 15.4 14.9 14.9 14.3 13.5 14.7 14.5 13.9 13.2 14.6 14.2 13.5 12.8 12.7

Cleveland-St. Tikhon 390350038 17.4 16.7 16.7 16.0 15.2 16.5 16.3 15.6 14.8 16.3 16.0 15.2 14.4 14.3

Cleveland-Broadway 390350045 16.5 15.9 15.8 15.2 14.4 15.6 15.5 14.8 14.0 15.5 15.1 14.4 13.6 13.5

Cleveland-GT Craig 390350060 17.1 16.5 16.4 15.8 15.0 16.3 16.1 15.4 14.6 16.1 15.7 15.0 14.2 14.1

Newburg Hts - Harvard Ave 390350065 16.0 15.4 15.3 14.7 14.0 15.2 15.0 14.3 13.6 15.1 14.7 14.0 13.2 13.1

Columbus - Fairgrounds 390490024 15.3 14.6 14.5 13.7 12.9 14.4 14.1 13.2 12.6 14.2 13.8 12.8 12.2 12.0

Columbus - Ann Street 390490025 15.1 14.4 14.3 13.5 12.7 14.2 13.9 13.1 12.4 14.1 13.6 12.6 12.0 11.9

Cincinnati - Seymour 390610014 17.3 16.6 16.5 15.5 14.5 16.5 16.3 15.1 14.3 16.6 16.2 14.9 14.2 13.8

Cincinnati - Taft Ave 390610040 15.5 14.8 14.7 13.8 12.8 14.8 14.6 13.4 12.6 14.9 14.5 13.2 12.5 12.2

Cincinnati - 8th Ave 390610042 16.9 12.0 16.1 15.0 14.0 16.1 15.9 14.7 13.8 16.2 15.7 14.4 13.7 13.4

Sharonville 390610043 15.6 14.9 14.8 13.9 12.9 14.9 14.7 13.5 12.7 14.9 14.5 13.3 12.6 12.3

Norwood 390617001 16.2 15.5 15.4 14.4 13.4 15.4 15.2 14.0 13.2 15.5 15.1 13.8 13.1 12.8

St. Bernard 390618001 17.6 16.8 16.7 15.7 14.7 16.7 16.5 15.3 14.4 16.8 16.4 15.1 14.3 14.0

Steubenville 390810016 15.8 14.5 14.4 13.5 12.8 14.3 14.2 13.1 12.5 14.8 14.5 13.3 12.9 12.7

Mingo Junction 390811001 16.5 15.2 15.2 14.3 13.5 15.0 14.9 13.8 13.2 15.6 15.2 14.0 13.6 13.4

Ironton 390870010 15.2 14.8 14.6 13.6 12.8 14.6 14.4 13.2 12.5 14.8 14.1 12.8 12.4 12.3

Dayton 391130032 15.5 14.9 14.8 14.0 13.2 14.8 14.6 13.6 12.9 14.8 14.3 13.3 12.6 12.4

New Boston 391450013 14.7 12.0 14.0 13.0 12.1 14.1 13.8 12.5 11.9 14.2 13.6 12.2 11.7 11.6

Canton - Dueber 391510017 16.3 15.7 15.6 14.8 14.0 15.5 15.3 14.4 13.6 15.4 14.9 14.0 13.3 13.3

Canton - Market 391510020 14.6 11.0 14.1 13.3 12.6 13.9 13.7 12.9 12.3 13.9 13.5 12.6 12.0 11.9

Akron - Brittain 391530017 15.1 14.6 14.5 13.8 13.0 14.4 14.2 13.4 12.7 14.3 13.8 13.0 12.3 12.3

Akron - W. Exchange 391530023 14.3 13.7 13.7 13.0 12.3 13.6 13.3 12.6 12.0 13.4 13.0 12.2 11.6 11.5

2009 2012 2018

Table 2b. PM2.5 Modeling Results (Annual)
2005

Key Site County Site ID

Base 

Year Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C

Scen. C - 

BART Round 5

Illinois

Chicago - Washington HS Cook 170310022 36.6 36 36 36 36 36 36 37 36 37 36 37 37 35

Chicago - Mayfair Cook 170310052 40.3 37 37 37 36 37 36 37 36 38 37 37 37 36

Chicago - Springfield Cook 170310057 37.4 34 34 33 32 35 34 33 32 36 34 33 33 31

Chicago - Lawndale Cook 170310076 38.1 35 35 35 35 36 35 36 35 36 35 36 36 34

McCook Cook 170311016 43.0 39 39 39 39 40 39 40 39 40 40 41 40 38

Blue Island Cook 170312001 37.7 35 35 35 34 36 35 36 34 36 35 36 36 33

Schiller Park Cook 170313103 41.6 40 40 40 39 40 40 40 39 41 40 40 39 39

Summit Cook 170313301 40.2 38 38 39 38 39 38 39 38 39 38 39 39 37

Maywood Cook 170316005 39.2 38 38 38 38 38 38 39 38 39 38 39 39 37

Granite City Madison 171191007 39.2 36 36 35 33 36 35 34 33 36 35 35 33 32

E. St. Louis St. Clair 171630010 33.7 31 31 30 28 31 30 29 28 31 30 30 29 28

Indiana

Jeffersonville Clark 180190005 38.4 35 33 31 29 35 34 32 31 37 35 34 33 31

Jasper Dubois 180372001 36.2 32 32 30 28 32 32 30 29 33 31 31 30 28

Gary - IITRI Lake 180890022 39.0 35 35 35 34 35 34 35 34 36 36 36 35 35

Gary - Burr School Lake 180890026 39.0 34 34 34 33 34 34 35 34 34 34 34 34 32

Gary Lake 180890031 35.2 29 28 26 24 28 28 24 24 29 28 27 27 27

Indy-West Street Marion 180970043 38.0 34 34 33 33 35 35 34 33 36 35 34 34 33

Indy-English Avenue Marion 180970066 38.0 34 34 32 32 35 34 33 32 35 34 33 33 32

Indy-Washington Park Marion 180970078 36.6 33 33 32 31 33 33 32 31 34 33 32 32 32

Indy-W 18th Street Marion 180970081 38.3 33 33 31 31 33 33 32 31 34 33 32 32 31

Indy- Michigan Street Marion 180970083 36.0 32 32 29 28 32 31 29 28 32 31 29 29 29

Michigan

Luna Pier Monroe 261150005 38.9 34 34 32 32 34 34 32 32 34 33 32 31 31

Oak Park Oakland 261250001 39.9 38 38 37 36 38 37 37 36 38 37 37 36 35

Port Huron St. Clair 261470005 39.6 36 35 35 34 35 35 35 34 35 35 34 33 33

Ypsilanti Washtenaw 261610008 39.5 37 37 36 35 37 36 36 35 37 36 36 35 34

Allen Park Wayne 261630001 38.6 36 36 36 35 36 35 35 34 36 35 35 34 33

Southwest HS Wayne 261630015 40.1 36 36 36 35 36 35 35 35 36 35 35 34 33

Linwood Wayne 261630016 43.0 40 40 40 39 40 40 40 39 40 39 39 39 38

E 7 Mile Wayne 261630019 41.0 39 39 39 38 39 39 39 38 39 38 38 38 37

Dearborn Wayne 261630033 43.9 41 41 41 40 41 41 41 40 41 40 40 40 39

Wyandotte Wayne 261630036 37.2 36 36 36 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 34

Newberry Wayne 261630038 42.7 39 39 39 38 39 38 38 37 39 38 38 37 36

FIA Wayne 261630039 39.7 35 34 34 33 35 34 34 33 35 34 33 33 31

Ohio

Middleton Butler 390170003 39.3 33 32 29 28 33 33 29 28 34 32 29 28 27

Fairfield Butler 390170016 37.1 32 31 29 27 31 30 28 28 32 30 29 28 27

Butler 390170017 40.8 33 32 30 29 33 33 30 29 33 32 30 29 28

Cleveland-28th Street Cuyahoga 390350027 36.9 34 34 33 32 34 33 33 32 34 33 33 31 31

Cleveland-St. Tikhon Cuyahoga 390350038 44.2 40 40 37 36 40 39 36 35 40 38 36 35 34

Cleveland-Broadway Cuyahoga 390350045 38.8 35 35 33 31 35 34 32 30 35 34 31 29 29

Cleveland-GT Craig Cuyahoga 390350060 42.1 39 39 38 37 39 38 38 37 39 38 37 36 35

Newburg Hts - Harvard Ave Cuyahoga 390350065 38.9 35 35 33 31 35 34 32 30 36 35 32 31 30

2009 2012 2018

Table 2c. PM2.5 Modeling Results (Daily)
2005

Key Site County Site ID

Base 

Year Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C Round 5 Scen. A Scen. B Scen.C

Scen. C - 

BART Round 5

2009 2012 2018

Table 2c. PM2.5 Modeling Results (Daily)

Columbus - Fairgrounds Franklin 390490024 38.5 34 34 33 33 34 33 32 32 34 34 33 32 31

Columbus - Ann Street Franklin 390490025 38.5 34 33 31 31 33 33 31 31 34 33 31 31 30

Cincinnait Hamilton 390610006 40.6 33 33 30 27 33 32 29 28 34 32 29 28 27

Cincinnati - Seymour Hamilton 390610014 38.4 33 33 28 26 33 32 27 25 33 31 29 25 24

Cincinnati - Taft Ave Hamilton 390610040 36.7 31 30 26 24 31 30 26 24 32 29 26 24 23

Cincinnati - 8th Ave Hamilton 390610042 37.3 32 32 30 28 32 31 29 28 33 31 29 28 27

Sharonville Hamilton 390610043 36.0 32 31 30 28 32 31 29 28 32 31 29 28 27

Norwood Hamilton 390617001 38.8 34 33 32 30 33 33 31 30 34 33 31 30 29

St. Bernard Hamilton 390618001 40.6 35 35 32 30 35 34 31 30 35 33 32 31 29

Steubenville Jefferson 390810016 40.7 36 35 32 29 35 34 30 28 37 35 31 29 28

Mingo Junction Jefferson 390811001 42.0 37 37 33 30 37 36 32 30 38 36 32 30 30

Dayton Montgomery391130032 37.8 34 33 31 30 33 33 31 30 34 33 31 31 30

Canton - Dueber Stark 391510017 38.6 33 32 30 28 33 31 30 28 33 30 29 28 27

Akron - Brittain Summit 391530017 38.1 33 33 31 30 33 32 31 30 33 32 30 29 29

Wisconsin

Green Bay - Est High Brown 550090005 37.1 35 34 35 35 34 35 35 34 33 33 33 32 32

Madison Dane 550250047 36.4 33 33 32 32 33 32 32 31 32 31 30 29 29

Milwaukee-Health Center Milwaukee 550790010 38.7 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 34 35 34 34 34 33

Milwaukee-SER Hdqs Milwaukee 550790026 37.4 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 33

Milwaukee-Virginia FS Milwaukee 550790043 39.9 37 37 37 36 37 36 37 36 36 36 37 36 36

Milwaukee- Fire Dept Hdqs Milwaukee 550790099 37.8 34 34 33 33 34 33 33 32 34 33 33 33 32

Waukesha Waukesha 551330027 35.5 32 32 32 31 32 32 32 31 32 31 31 30 29
10

Table 3. Modeling Results: Number of Sites > NAAQS

Ozone (85 ppb) 

2009 Baseyear Scen. A Scen. B Scen. C

Scen. CBART CAIR

IL 0 0 0 0 ---- 0

IN 0 0 0 0 ---- 0

MI 3 1 1 1 ---- 1

OH 4 0 0 0 ---- 0

WI 2 0 0 0 ---- 0

Total 9 1 1 1 1

 

2012

IL 0 0 0 0 ---- 0

IN 0 0 0 0 ---- 0

MI 3 0 0 0 ---- 0

OH 4 0 0 0 ---- 0

WI 2 0 0 0 ---- 0

Total 9 0 0 0 0

 

2018

IL 0 0 0 0 0 0

IN 0 0 0 0 0 0

MI 3 0 0 0 0 0

OH 4 0 0 0 0 0

WI 2 0 0 0 0 0

Total 9 0 0 0 0 0

 

Ozone (75 ppb) 

2009 Baseyear Scen. A Scen. B Scen. C

Scen. CBART CAIR

IL 12 6 6 6 ---- 4

IN 26 10 9 8 ---- 5

MI 21 12 12 12 ---- 12

OH 45 27 25 24 ---- 21

WI 12 10 10 10 ---- 10

Total 116 65 62 60 ---- 52

 

2012

IL 12 3 3 3 ---- 1

IN 26 5 4 4 ---- 3

MI 21 9 8 8 ---- 6

OH 45 18 14 12 ---- 11

WI 12 10 9 9 ---- 9

Total 116 45 38 36 30

 

2018

IL 12 0 0 0 0 0

IN 26 0 0 0 0 0

MI 21 3 3 3 3 3

OH 45 3 3 2 1 1

WI 12 3 2 1 1 1

Total 116 9 8 6 5 5
11

PM2.5 - Annual

2009 Baseyear Scen. A Scen. B Scen. C

Scen. CBART CAIR

IL 7 4 4 1 ---- 1

IN 6 2 2 0 ---- 0

MI 2 2 2 1 ---- 1

OH 26 13 12 5 ---- 1

WI 0 0 0 0 ---- 0

Total 41 21 20 7 3

 

2012

IL 7 3 1 1 ---- 0

IN 6 1 1 0 ---- 0

MI 2 2 1 1 ---- 1

OH 26 12 9 4 ---- 0

WI 0 0 0 0 ---- 0

Total 41 18 12 6 1

 

2018

IL 7 3 1 0 0 0

IN 6 1 1 0 0 0

MI 2 2 1 1 1 1

OH 26 13 8 2 0 0

WI 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 41 19 11 3 1 1

 

PM2.5 - Daily

2009 Baseyear Scen. A Scen. B Scen. C

Scen. CBART CAIR

IL 16 7 7 6 ---- 6

IN 13 0 0 0 ---- 0

MI 14 10 9 9 ---- 5

OH 31 4 3 2 ---- 2

WI 8 1 1 1 ---- 1

Total 82 22 20 18 ---- 14

2012

IL 16 9 6 8 ---- 6

IN 13 0 0 0 ---- 0

MI 14 8 6 6 ---- 5

OH 31 3 3 2 ---- 1

WI 8 1 1 1 ---- 1

Total 82 21 16 17 13

 

2018

IL 16 10 6 8 8 5

IN 13 4 1 1 0 0

MI 14 8 6 6 5 4

OH 31 5 3 2 1 0

WI 8 1 1 1 1 1

Total 82 28 17 18 15 10
12

Table 4. Modeling Results: Future Year Visibility Levels 

Worst 20% 2018

Site

Baseline

(2000-2004) 2018 URP Scen. A Scen. B Scen. C

Scen. CBART CAIR 

BOWA1 19.86 17.94 19.09 18.87 18.54 18.02 17.94

VOYA2 19.48 17.75 18.60 18.44 18.17 17.77 17.63

SENE1 24.38 21.64 24.02 23.58 23.03 22.38 22.59

ISLE1 21.59 19.43 21.05 20.86 20.62 20.22 20.09

ISLE9 21.59 19.43 20.83 20.58 20.38 19.84 19.84

 

HEGL1 26.75 23.13 26.24 25.83 24.87 24.23 24.22

MING1 28.15 24.27 27.51 26.98 25.81 24.93 24.74

CACR1 26.36 22.91 25.32 24.80 23.57 22.97 22.44

UPBU1 26.27 22.82 25.31 24.79 23.50 22.79 22.59

MACA1 31.37 26.64 30.11 29.08 27.06 26.24 26.10

DOSO1 29.05 24.69 27.88 26.96 24.36 23.74 23.00

SHEN1 29.31 25.12 28.38 27.65 25.24 24.69 23.92

JARI1 29.12 24.91 28.06 27.21 25.00 24.48 24.06

BRIG1 29.01 25.05 28.10 28.07 26.57 26.25 25.21

LYBR1 24.45 21.48 24.06 23.86 22.58 22.30 21.14

ACAD1 22.89 20.45 22.88 22.76 22.31 22.16 21.49

 

 

Best 20% 2018

Site

Baseline

(2000-2004) 2018 Max Scen. A Scen. B Scen. C

Scen. CBART CAIR

BOWA1 6.42 6.42 6.20 6.17 6.16 6.12 6.14

VOYA2 7.09 7.09 6.87 6.83 6.81 6.78 6.75

SENE1 7.14 7.14 7.80 7.78 7.81 7.77 7.71

ISLE1 6.75 6.75 6.77 6.76 6.72 6.67 6.60

ISLE9 6.75 6.75 6.63 6.61 6.58 6.53 6.52

 

HEGL1 12.84 12.84 12.17 12.20 12.07 11.63 11.66

MING1 14.46 14.46 13.78 13.77 13.70 13.37 13.28

CACR1 11.24 11.24 10.94 10.99 10.97 10.78 10.52

UPBU1 11.71 11.71 11.18 11.23 11.18 10.96 10.73

MACA1 16.51 16.51 16.32 16.21 15.76 15.34 15.25

DOSO1 12.28 12.28 12.02 11.84 11.27 11.03 11.00

SHEN1 10.93 10.93 10.98 10.91 10.25 10.16 9.91

JARI1 14.21 14.21 14.19 13.98 13.42 13.21 13.14

BRIG1 14.33 14.33 14.32 14.46 14.22 14.17 13.92

LYBR1 6.37 6.37 6.39 6.38 6.31 6.28 6.14

ACAD1 8.78 8.78 8.97 8.96 8.90 8.89 8.82
13

Figure 2. Ozone Modeling Results

2009 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR

2012 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR

2018 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR
14

Figure 3. PM2.5 Annual Modeling Results

2009 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR

2012 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR

2018 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR
15

Figure 4. PM2.5 Daily Modeling Results

2009 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR

2012 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR

2018 Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C CAIR
16

Appendix I

Scenario B (Legally Enforceable) Controls

 
17

NOx – 2009

Point Source Grown and Controlled Emissions by facility for NOX r6s1b_2009 

Base Year = 2002

Future Year = 2009

STID=17 CYID=57 fcid=057801AAA name=AES DUCK CREEK

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 57 057801AAA 0001 0001 01 10100202 NOX 0.8147 0.8416 0.8416 0.00 0.00 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=143 fcid=143805AAG name=AES ED EDWARDS STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 143 143805AAG 0001 0001 01 10100202 NOX 3.0515 3.1522 3.1522 0.00 0.00 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

 17 143 143805AAG 0001 0003 01 10100202 NOX 6.9419 7.1708 7.1708 0.00 0.00 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

 17 143 143805AAG 0002 0004 01 10100202 NOX 2.1310 2.2013 2.2013 0.00 0.00 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 12.1244 12.5243 12.5243 

cyid 12.1244 12.5243 12.5243 

stid 12.9392 13.3659 13.3659 

STID=39 CYID=1 fcid=0701000007 name="DP&L, J.M. STUART GENERATING STATION"

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 1 0701000007 R1 B001 B001P1 10100202 NOX 6.9860 6.9756 2.3252 0.85 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R2 B002 B002P1 10100202 NOX 3.6327 3.6273 1.2091 0.85 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R3 B003 B003P1 10100202 NOX 5.0133 5.0058 1.6686 0.85 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R4 B004 B004P1 10100202 NOX 7.8493 7.8376 2.6125 0.85 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 23.4814 23.4464 7.8155 

cyid 23.4814 23.4464 7.8155 

STID=39 CYID=167 fcid=0684000000 name=MUSKINGUM RIVER POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 167 0684000000 R1 B001 B001P1 10200501 NOX 0.0017 0.0017 0.0001 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P1 10100201 NOX 5.8167 5.8080 0.2904 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P2 10100501 NOX 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P1 10100201 NOX 7.9017 7.8899 0.3945 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P2 10100501 NOX 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 
18

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100203 NOX 7.8775 7.8657 0.3933 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P2 10100501 NOX 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P1 10100202 NOX 3.8586 3.8528 0.1926 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P2 10100501 NOX 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.00 0.95 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 25.4561 25.4182 1.2709 

cyid 25.4561 25.4182 1.2709 

stid 48.9375 48.8646 9.0864 

STID=55 CYID=79 fcid=241007800 name=WIS ELECTRIC POWER VALLEY STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 79 241007800 S11 B21 01 10100202 NOX 2.7972 2.8895 1.6470 0.00 0.43 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S11 B22 01 10100202 NOX 2.9073 3.0032 1.7118 0.00 0.43 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S12 B23 01 10100202 NOX 2.3270 2.4038 1.2740 0.00 0.47 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S12 B24 01 10100202 NOX 2.3427 2.4199 1.2826 0.00 0.47 SCR Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 10.3742 10.7164 5.9154 

cyid 10.3742 10.7164 5.9154 

STID=55 CYID=117 fcid=460033090 name=WP & L Alliant Energy - Edgewater Gen Station

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 117 460033090 S11 B23 01 10100203 NOX 1.6197 1.6731 1.0038 0.00 0.40 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 117 460033090 S11 B24 01 10100203 NOX 4.1072 4.2426 3.4789 0.00 0.18 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 117 460033090 S12 B25 01 10100221 NOX 5.6804 5.8677 4.9876 0.00 0.15 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 11.4072 11.7834 9.4703 

cyid 11.4072 11.7834 9.4703 

stid 21.7814 22.4997 15.3857 

 ======== ======== ==========

 83.6581 84.7302 37.8380 
19

NOx - 2012

Point Source Grown and Controlled Emissions by facility for NOX r6s1b_2012 

Base Year = 2002

Future Year = 2012

STID=17 CYID=33 fcid=033801AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 33 033801AAA 0005 0005 01 10100202 NOX 1.642 1.871 0.9357 0.00 0.500 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 33 033801AAA 0006 0006 01 10100202 NOX 2.116 2.413 1.2063 0.00 0.500 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 3.758 4.284 2.1420 

cyid 3.758 4.284 2.1420 

STID=17 CYID=57 fcid=057801AAA name=AES DUCK CREEK

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 57 057801AAA 0001 0001 01 10100202 NOX 0.815 0.929 0.9288 0.00 0.000 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=79 fcid=079808AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 79 079808AAA 0003 0003 01 10100202 NOX 6.735 7.678 7.6780 0.00 0.000 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 79 079808AAA 0012 0013 01 10100501 NOX 5.936 5.378 5.3781 0.00 0.000 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 12.671 13.056 13.0561 

cyid 12.671 13.056 13.0561 

STID=17 CYID=97 fcid=097190AAC name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 97 097190AAC 0016 0031 02 10100401 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=137 fcid=137805AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 137 137805AAA 0003 0003 01 10100202 NOX 5.356 6.106 6.1058 0.00 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 
20

STID=17 CYID=143 fcid=143805AAG name=AES ED EDWARDS STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 143 143805AAG 0001 0001 01 10100202 NOX 3.052 3.479 3.4789 0.00 0.000 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

 17 143 143805AAG 0001 0003 01 10100202 NOX 6.942 7.914 7.9141 0.00 0.000 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

 17 143 143805AAG 0002 0004 01 10100202 NOX 2.131 2.429 2.4294 0.00 0.000 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 12.124 13.822 13.8224 

cyid 12.124 13.822 13.8224 

STID=17 CYID=167 fcid=167120AAO name=CITY WATER LIGHT & POWER

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0012 01 10100203 NOX 6.527 7.441 0.0074 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SHUTDOWN added by LADCO

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0013 01 10100203 NOX 2.646 3.017 0.0030 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SHUTDOWN added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 9.173 10.458 0.0105 

cyid 9.173 10.458 0.0105 

STID=17 CYID=179 fcid=179801AAA name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0029 01 10100203 NOX 22.429 25.570 1.2785 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0031 01 10100203 NOX 38.993 44.454 2.2227 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 61.422 70.024 3.5012 

cyid 61.422 70.024 3.5012 

STID=17 CYID=197 fcid=197809AAO name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 197 197809AAO 0032 0033 02 10100604 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.800 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=197 fcid=197810AAK name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 197 197810AAK 0011 0016 02 10100222 NOX 5.731 6.534 3.9203 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0011 0016 03 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0013 0010 02 10100223 NOX 8.598 9.802 0.0098 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 
21

 17 197 197810AAK 0013 0010 03 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 02 10100223 NOX 10.974 12.511 0.0125 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 03 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 25.303 28.847 3.9426 

cyid 25.303 28.847 3.9426 

stid 130.622 147.527 43.5096 

STID=27 CYID=61 fcid=2706100004 name=Minnesota Power Inc - Boswell Energy Ctr

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 001 10100226 NOX 13.661 14.142 2.8284 0.00 0.800 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 002 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.800 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 13.661 14.142 2.8284 

cyid 13.661 14.142 2.8284 

STID=27 CYID=109 fcid=2710900011 name=Rochester Public Utilities - Silver Lake

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 109 2710900011 SV003 EU004 001 10100202 NOX 2.079 2.152 1.2911 0.00 0.400 SNCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

stid 15.739 16.294 4.1195 

STID=39 CYID=1 fcid=0701000007 name="DP&L, J.M. STUART GENERATING STATION"

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 1 0701000007 R1 B001 B001P1 10100202 NOX 6.986 7.296 2.4319 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R2 B002 B002P1 10100202 NOX 3.633 3.794 1.2646 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R3 B003 B003P1 10100202 NOX 5.013 5.235 1.7452 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R4 B004 B004P1 10100202 NOX 7.849 8.197 2.7324 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 23.481 24.522 8.1740 

cyid 23.481 24.522 8.1740 

STID=39 CYID=31 fcid=0616000000 name=CONESVILLE POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 31 0616000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100212 NOX 20.852 21.776 1.0888 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 
22

STID=39 CYID=167 fcid=0684000000 name=MUSKINGUM RIVER POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 167 0684000000 R1 B001 B001P1 10200501 NOX 0.002 0.002 0.0001 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P1 10100201 NOX 5.817 6.074 0.3037 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P1 10100201 NOX 7.902 8.252 0.4126 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100203 NOX 7.877 8.227 0.4113 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P1 10100202 NOX 3.859 4.030 0.2015 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 25.456 26.584 1.3292 

cyid 25.456 26.584 1.3292 

stid 69.789 72.882 10.5920 

STID=55 CYID=79 fcid=241007690 name=WIS ELECTRIC POWER OAK CREEK STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 79 241007690 S13 B25 01 10100202 NOX 4.755 5.421 3.0898 0.00 0.430 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007690 S13 B26 01 10100202 NOX 3.277 3.736 2.2045 0.00 0.410 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007690 S14 B27 01 10100212 NOX 3.333 3.800 2.8499 0.00 0.250 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007690 S14 B28 01 10100212 NOX 3.384 3.857 2.9316 0.00 0.240 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 14.749 16.814 11.0757 

STID=55 CYID=79 fcid=241007800 name=WIS ELECTRIC POWER VALLEY STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 79 241007800 S11 B21 01 10100202 NOX 2.797 3.189 1.8177 0.00 0.430 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S11 B22 01 10100202 NOX 2.907 3.314 1.8893 0.00 0.430 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S12 B23 01 10100202 NOX 2.327 2.653 1.4061 0.00 0.470 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S12 B24 01 10100202 NOX 2.343 2.671 1.4155 0.00 0.470 SCR Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 10.374 11.827 6.5285 

cyid 25.123 28.641 17.6042 
23

STID=55 CYID=117 fcid=460033090 name=WP & L Alliant Energy - Edgewater Gen Station

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 117 460033090 S11 B23 01 10100203 NOX 1.620 1.846 1.1079 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 117 460033090 S11 B24 01 10100203 NOX 4.107 4.682 3.8395 0.00 0.180 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 117 460033090 S12 B25 01 10100221 NOX 5.680 6.476 5.5045 0.00 0.150 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 11.407 13.005 10.4519 

cyid 11.407 13.005 10.4519 

stid 36.530 41.646 28.0562 

 ======== ======== ==========

 252.681 278.349 86.2773 
24

NOx 2018

Point Source Grown and Controlled Emissions by facility for NOX r6s1b_2018 

Base Year = 2002

Future Year = 2018

STID=17 CYID=31 fcid=031600AIN name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 31 031600AIN 0010 0013 01 10100226 NOX 2.283 2.592 1.5550 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 31 031600AIN 0010 0013 02 10100601 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 31 031600AIN 0012 0016 01 10100226 NOX 3.991 4.531 2.7184 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 31 031600AIN 0012 0016 02 10100601 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 6.274 7.122 4.2734 

cyid 6.274 7.122 4.2734 

STID=17 CYID=33 fcid=033801AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 33 033801AAA 0005 0005 01 10100202 NOX 1.642 1.863 0.9317 0.00 0.500 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 33 033801AAA 0006 0006 01 10100202 NOX 2.116 2.402 1.2012 0.00 0.500 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 3.758 4.266 2.1329 

cyid 3.758 4.266 2.1329 

STID=17 CYID=57 fcid=057801AAA name=AES DUCK CREEK

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 57 057801AAA 0001 0001 01 10100202 NOX 0.815 0.925 0.9249 0.00 0.000 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=79 fcid=079808AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 79 079808AAA 0003 0003 01 10100202 NOX 6.735 7.645 7.6453 0.00 0.000 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 79 079808AAA 0012 0013 01 10100501 NOX 5.936 3.984 3.9838 0.00 0.000 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 12.671 11.629 11.6291 

cyid 12.671 11.629 11.6291 
25

STID=17 CYID=97 fcid=097190AAC name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 97 097190AAC 0016 0031 02 10100401 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=137 fcid=137805AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 137 137805AAA 0003 0003 01 10100202 NOX 5.356 6.080 6.0798 0.00 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=143 fcid=143805AAG name=AES ED EDWARDS STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 143 143805AAG 0001 0001 01 10100202 NOX 3.052 3.464 3.4641 0.00 0.000 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

 17 143 143805AAG 0001 0003 01 10100202 NOX 6.942 7.880 7.8804 0.00 0.000 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

 17 143 143805AAG 0002 0004 01 10100202 NOX 2.131 2.419 2.4191 0.00 0.000 lnb LNB added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 12.124 13.764 13.7636 

cyid 12.124 13.764 13.7636 

STID=17 CYID=167 fcid=167120AAO name=CITY WATER LIGHT & POWER

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0012 01 10100203 NOX 6.527 7.410 0.0074 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SHUTDOWN added by LADCO

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0013 01 10100203 NOX 2.646 3.004 0.0030 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SHUTDOWN added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 9.173 10.414 0.0104 

cyid 9.173 10.414 0.0104 

STID=17 CYID=179 fcid=179801AAA name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0029 01 10100203 NOX 22.429 25.462 1.2731 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0031 01 10100203 NOX 38.993 44.265 2.2132 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 61.422 69.726 3.4863 

cyid 61.422 69.726 3.4863 
26

STID=17 CYID=197 fcid=197809AAO name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 197 197809AAO 0032 0033 02 10100604 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.800 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

STID=17 CYID=197 fcid=197810AAK name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 197 197810AAK 0011 0016 02 10100222 NOX 5.731 6.506 3.9036 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0011 0016 03 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0013 0010 02 10100223 NOX 8.598 9.760 0.0098 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0013 0010 03 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 02 10100223 NOX 10.974 12.458 0.0125 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 03 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.999 SHUTDOWN SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 25.303 28.724 3.9258 

cyid 25.303 28.724 3.9258 

stid 136.896 152.649 46.2263 

STID=18 CYID=147 fcid=00020 name=INDIANA MICHIGAN POWER-ROCKPORT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 18 147 00020 1 001 01 10100222 NOX 23.226 25.291 1.2646 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 18 147 00020 1 001 02 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 23.226 25.291 1.2646 

cyid 23.226 25.291 1.2646 

stid 23.226 25.291 1.2646 

STID=27 CYID=61 fcid=2706100004 name=Minnesota Power Inc - Boswell Energy Ctr

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 001 10100226 NOX 13.661 15.733 3.1466 0.00 0.800 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 002 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.800 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 13.661 15.733 3.1466 

cyid 13.661 15.733 3.1466 
27

STID=27 CYID=109 fcid=2710900011 name=Rochester Public Utilities - Silver Lake

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 109 2710900011 SV003 EU004 001 10100202 NOX 2.079 2.394 1.4363 0.00 0.400 SNCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

stid 15.739 18.127 4.5830 

STID=39 CYID=1 fcid=0701000007 name="DP&L, J.M. STUART GENERATING STATION"

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 1 0701000007 R1 B001 B001P1 10100202 NOX 6.986 7.607 2.5358 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R2 B002 B002P1 10100202 NOX 3.633 3.956 1.3186 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R3 B003 B003P1 10100202 NOX 5.013 5.459 1.8197 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 1 0701000007 R4 B004 B004P1 10100202 NOX 7.849 8.547 2.8491 0.85 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 23.481 25.570 8.5232 

cyid 23.481 25.570 8.5232 

STID=39 CYID=31 fcid=0616000000 name=CONESVILLE POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 31 0616000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100212 NOX 20.852 22.706 1.1353 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

STID=39 CYID=167 fcid=0684000000 name=MUSKINGUM RIVER POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 167 0684000000 R1 B001 B001P1 10200501 NOX 0.002 0.002 0.0001 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P1 10100201 NOX 5.817 6.334 0.3167 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P1 10100201 NOX 7.902 8.604 0.4302 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100203 NOX 7.877 8.578 0.4289 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P1 10100202 NOX 3.859 4.202 0.2101 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P2 10100501 NOX 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.00 0.950 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 25.456 27.720 1.3860 

cyid 25.456 27.720 1.3860 

stid 69.789 75.996 11.0445 
28

STID=54 CYID=39 fcid=0006 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - KANAWHA RIVER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 39 0006 012 001 99 10100202 NOX 4.829 5.258 2.6291 0.00 0.500 SCR Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 39 0006 012 002 99 10100202 NOX 4.921 5.359 2.6794 0.00 0.500 SCR Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 9.750 10.617 5.3085 

cyid 9.750 10.617 5.3085 

stid 9.750 10.617 5.3085 

STID=55 CYID=79 fcid=241007690 name=WIS ELECTRIC POWER OAK CREEK STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 79 241007690 S13 B25 01 10100202 NOX 4.755 5.398 3.0766 0.00 0.430 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007690 S13 B26 01 10100202 NOX 3.277 3.720 2.1951 0.00 0.410 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007690 S14 B27 01 10100212 NOX 3.333 3.784 2.8378 0.00 0.250 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007690 S14 B28 01 10100212 NOX 3.384 3.841 2.9191 0.00 0.240 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 14.749 16.743 11.0285 

STID=55 CYID=79 fcid=241007800 name=WIS ELECTRIC POWER VALLEY STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 79 241007800 S11 B21 01 10100202 NOX 2.797 3.175 1.4289 0.00 0.550 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S11 B22 01 10100202 NOX 2.907 3.300 1.4852 0.00 0.550 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S12 B23 01 10100202 NOX 2.327 2.642 1.1887 0.00 0.550 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 79 241007800 S12 B24 01 10100202 NOX 2.343 2.659 1.1967 0.00 0.550 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 10.374 11.777 5.2995 

cyid 25.123 28.519 16.3281 

STID=55 CYID=117 fcid=460033090 name=WP & L Alliant Energy - Edgewater Gen Station

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 117 460033090 S11 B23 01 10100203 NOX 1.620 1.839 1.1032 0.00 0.400 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 117 460033090 S11 B24 01 10100203 NOX 4.107 4.662 3.8232 0.00 0.180 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

 55 117 460033090 S12 B25 01 10100221 NOX 5.680 6.448 5.4811 0.00 0.150 SCR SCR added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------
29

fcid 11.407 12.949 10.4074 

cyid 11.407 12.949 10.4074 

stid 36.530 41.469 26.7355 

 ======== ======== ==========

 291.931 324.149 95.1624 
30

SO2 – 2009

Point Source Grown and Controlled Emissions by facility for SO2 r6s1b_2009 1

Base Year = 2002

Future Year = 2009

STID=19 CYID=115 fcid=58-07-001 name=MIDAMERICAN ENERGY CO. - LOUISA STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 19 115 58-07-001 117487 147281 99 10100222 SO2 33.664 34.774 3.4774 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=21 CYID=161 fcid=2116100009 name=EAST KY POWER COOP

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 21 161 2116100009 1 001 99 10100202 SO2 42.166 42.103 4.2103 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 21 161 2116100009 2 002 99 10100212 SO2 55.385 55.303 5.5303 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 97.551 97.406 9.7406 

cyid 97.551 97.406 9.7406 

stid 97.551 97.406 9.7406 

STID=27 CYID=141 fcid=2714100004 name=NSP - Sherburne Generating Plant

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 141 2714100004 SV001 EU001 001 10100222 SO2 16.765 16.987 3.6401 0.3 0.85 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 27 141 2714100004 SV001 EU002 001 10100222 SO2 22.549 22.848 4.8959 0.3 0.85 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 39.314 39.834 8.5360 

cyid 39.314 39.834 8.5360 

stid 39.314 39.834 8.5360 

STID=54 CYID=51 fcid=0005 name=OHIO POWER - MITCHELL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 51 0005 012 001 99 10100202 SO2 17.775 17.748 1.7748 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 51 0005 012 002 99 10100202 SO2 5.689 5.680 0.5680 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 23.463 23.428 2.3428 

cyid 23.463 23.428 2.3428 
31

STID=54 CYID=53 fcid=0009 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - MOUNTAINEER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 53 0009 001 001 99 10100202 SO2 11.196 11.179 1.1179 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=54 CYID=79 fcid=0006 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - JOHN E AMOS PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 79 0006 012 001 99 10100202 SO2 79.635 79.516 7.9516 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 79 0006 003 003 99 10100202 SO2 139.377 139.169 13.9169 0.0 0.90 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 219.012 218.685 21.8685 

cyid 219.012 218.685 21.8685 

stid 253.671 253.293 25.3293 

 ======== ======== ==========

 424.200 425.307 47.0832 
32

SO2 – 2012

Point Source Grown and Controlled Emissions by facility for SO2 r6s1b_2012 1

Base Year = 2002

Future Year = 2012

STID=17 CYID=31 fcid=031600AMI name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 31 031600AMI 0007 0010 01 10100226 SO2 16.13 18.39 1.839 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=17 CYID=97 fcid=097190AAC name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 97 097190AAC 0018 0033 01 10100226 SO2 24.14 27.52 2.752 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 97 097190AAC 0021 0036 01 10100226 SO2 19.23 21.92 2.192 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 97 097190AAC 0016 0031 01 10100203 SO2 4.59 5.24 0.005 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 47.96 54.68 4.950 

cyid 47.96 54.68 4.950 

STID=17 CYID=125 fcid=125804AAB name=DYNEGY MIDWEST GENERATION INC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 125 125804AAB 0019 0023 01 10100202 SO2 22.34 25.47 3.821 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=17 CYID=127 fcid=127855AAC name=ELECTRIC ENERGY INC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 127 127855AAC 0001 0001 01 10100222 SO2 11.83 13.48 13.482 0.0 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

 17 127 127855AAC 0001 0002 01 10100222 SO2 11.48 13.09 13.085 0.0 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

 17 127 127855AAC 0002 0003 01 10100222 SO2 10.25 11.68 11.680 0.0 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

 17 127 127855AAC 0002 0004 01 10100222 SO2 12.04 13.73 13.731 0.0 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

 17 127 127855AAC 0003 0006 01 10100222 SO2 12.68 14.46 14.456 0.0 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 58.27 66.43 66.435 

cyid 58.27 66.43 66.435 
33

STID=17 CYID=135 fcid=135803AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 135 135803AAA 0001 0001 01 10100203 SO2 32.99 37.61 3.761 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 135 135803AAA 0001 0003 01 10100203 SO2 72.92 83.13 8.313 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 105.91 120.74 12.074 

cyid 105.91 120.74 12.074 

STID=17 CYID=157 fcid=157851AAA name=DYNEGY MIDWEST GENERATION INC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 157 157851AAA 0001 0001 01 10100203 SO2 25.14 28.66 4.299 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 157 157851AAA 0002 0002 01 10100203 SO2 25.79 29.41 4.411 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 157 157851AAA 0013 0013 01 10100202 SO2 27.79 31.68 4.752 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 78.72 89.75 13.462 

cyid 78.72 89.75 13.462 

STID=17 CYID=167 fcid=167120AAO name=CITY WATER LIGHT & POWER

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0012 01 10100203 SO2 44.20 50.39 0.050 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0013 01 10100203 SO2 16.40 18.70 0.019 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 60.61 69.10 0.069 

cyid 60.61 69.10 0.069 

STID=17 CYID=179 fcid=179801AAA name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0029 01 10100203 SO2 25.35 28.90 2.890 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0031 01 10100203 SO2 41.57 47.39 4.739 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 66.91 76.29 7.629 

cyid 66.91 76.29 7.629 

STID=17 CYID=197 fcid=197810AAK name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes
34

 17 197 197810AAK 0013 0010 03 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 02 10100223 SO2 15.33 17.48 0.017 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 03 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 15.33 17.48 0.017 

cyid 15.33 17.48 0.017 

stid 472.19 538.32 110.295 

STID=19 CYID=115 fcid=58-07-001 name=MIDAMERICAN ENERGY CO. - LOUISA STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 19 115 58-07-001 117487 147281 99 10100222 SO2 33.66 38.38 3.838 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=21 CYID=161 fcid=2116100009 name=EAST KY POWER COOP

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 21 161 2116100009 1 001 99 10100202 SO2 42.17 44.03 4.403 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 21 161 2116100009 2 002 99 10100212 SO2 55.39 57.84 5.784 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 97.55 101.87 10.187 

cyid 97.55 101.87 10.187 

stid 97.55 101.87 10.187 

STID=27 CYID=61 fcid=2706100004 name=Minnesota Power Inc - Boswell Energy Ctr

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 001 10100226 SO2 33.99 35.19 15.081 0.3 0.700 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 002 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.3 0.700 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 33.99 35.19 15.081 

cyid 33.99 35.19 15.081 

STID=27 CYID=109 fcid=2710900011 name=Rochester Public Utilities - Silver Lake

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 109 2710900011 SV003 EU004 001 10100202 SO2 7.86 8.13 1.220 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO
35

STID=27 CYID=141 fcid=2714100004 name=NSP - Sherburne Generating Plant

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 141 2714100004 SV001 EU001 001 10100222 SO2 16.76 17.36 3.719 0.3 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 27 141 2714100004 SV001 EU002 001 10100222 SO2 22.55 23.34 5.002 0.3 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 39.31 40.70 8.721 

cyid 39.31 40.70 8.721 

stid 81.16 84.02 25.023 

STID=39 CYID=13 fcid=0607130015 name=R. E. BURGER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 13 0607130015 R6 B011 B011P1 10100202 SO2 29.83 31.15 3.115 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 13 0607130015 R7 B012 B012P1 10100202 SO2 34.77 36.31 3.631 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 64.60 67.46 6.746 

cyid 64.60 67.46 6.746 

STID=39 CYID=31 fcid=0616000000 name=CONESVILLE POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 31 0616000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100212 SO2 316.00 330.00 33.000 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

stid 380.60 397.46 39.746 

STID=47 CYID=1 fcid=0009 name=TVA BULL RUN FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 1 0009 S-1 001 99 10100212 SO2 130.81 133.01 13.301 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=47 CYID=73 fcid=0007 name=TVA JOHN SEVIER FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 73 0007 S-1A 001 99 10100212 SO2 20.15 20.49 2.049 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 73 0007 S-1B 002 99 10100212 SO2 20.25 20.59 2.059 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 73 0007 S-2A 003 99 10100212 SO2 19.62 19.95 1.995 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 73 0007 S-2B 004 99 10100212 SO2 18.93 19.25 1.925 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------
36

fcid 78.95 80.28 8.028 

cyid 78.95 80.28 8.028 

STID=47 CYID=85 fcid=0011 name=TVA JOHNSONVILLE FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 85 0011 S1-01 001 99 10100212 SO2 17.06 17.35 1.735 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 85 0011 S1-04 004 99 10100212 SO2 19.85 20.18 2.018 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 85 0011 S1-05 005 99 10100212 SO2 24.11 24.52 2.452 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 61.02 62.04 6.204 

cyid 61.02 62.04 6.204 

STID=47 CYID=145 fcid=0013 name=TVA KINGSTON FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 145 0013 S-1 001 99 10100202 SO2 12.68 12.89 1.289 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 002 99 10100202 SO2 14.00 14.24 1.424 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 003 99 10100202 SO2 13.80 14.04 1.404 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 004 99 10100202 SO2 12.24 12.44 1.244 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 005 99 10100202 SO2 19.57 19.90 1.990 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 006 99 10100202 SO2 18.92 19.24 1.924 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 007 99 10100202 SO2 21.30 21.66 2.166 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 008 99 10100202 SO2 18.54 18.85 1.885 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 009 99 10100202 SO2 20.72 21.07 2.107 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 151.77 154.33 15.433 

cyid 151.77 154.33 15.433 

STID=47 CYID=165 fcid=0025 name=TVA GALLATIN FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 165 0025 S-01 001 99 10100212 SO2 13.91 14.14 1.414 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 165 0025 S-01 002 99 10100212 SO2 14.87 15.12 1.512 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 165 0025 S-02 003 99 10100212 SO2 16.33 16.60 1.660 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 165 0025 S-02 004 99 10100212 SO2 20.39 20.73 2.073 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 65.49 66.59 6.659 

cyid 65.49 66.59 6.659 

stid 488.04 496.25 49.625 
37

STID=54 CYID=51 fcid=0005 name=OHIO POWER - MITCHELL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 51 0005 012 001 99 10100202 SO2 17.77 18.56 1.856 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 51 0005 012 002 99 10100202 SO2 5.69 5.94 0.594 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 23.46 24.50 2.450 

cyid 23.46 24.50 2.450 

STID=54 CYID=53 fcid=0009 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - MOUNTAINEER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 53 0009 001 001 99 10100202 SO2 11.20 11.69 1.169 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=54 CYID=79 fcid=0006 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - JOHN E AMOS PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 79 0006 012 001 99 10100202 SO2 79.63 83.16 8.316 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 79 0006 012 002 99 10100202 SO2 100.33 104.78 10.478 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 79 0006 003 003 99 10100202 SO2 139.38 145.55 14.555 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 319.35 333.50 33.350 

cyid 319.35 333.50 33.350 

stid 354.00 369.69 36.969 

STID=55 CYID=79 fcid=241007690 name=WIS ELECTRIC POWER OAK CREEK STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 79 241007690 S13 B25 01 10100202 SO2 12.75 14.54 3.490 0.0 0.760 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 55 79 241007690 S13 B26 01 10100202 SO2 8.68 9.89 2.473 0.0 0.750 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 55 79 241007690 S14 B27 01 10100212 SO2 10.97 12.51 2.876 0.0 0.770 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 55 79 241007690 S14 B28 01 10100212 SO2 11.28 12.86 2.958 0.0 0.770 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 43.68 49.80 11.797 

cyid 43.68 49.80 11.797 

stid 43.68 49.80 11.797 

 ======== ======== ==========

 1950.90 2075.80 287.480 
38

SO2 – 2018

Point Source Grown and Controlled Emissions by facility for SO2 r6s1b_2018 1

Base Year = 2002

Future Year = 2018

STID=17 CYID=31 fcid=031600AIN name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 31 031600AIN 0010 0013 01 10100226 SO2 10.92 12.39 1.239 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 31 031600AIN 0012 0016 01 10100226 SO2 17.69 20.08 2.008 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 28.61 32.48 3.248 

STID=17 CYID=31 fcid=031600AMI name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 31 031600AMI 0007 0010 01 10100226 SO2 16.13 18.31 1.831 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

cyid 44.74 50.79 5.079 

STID=17 CYID=79 fcid=079808AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 79 079808AAA 0003 0003 01 10100202 SO2 36.35 41.27 4.127 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 79 079808AAA 0012 0013 01 10100501 SO2 28.99 19.46 1.946 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 65.34 60.72 6.072 

cyid 65.34 60.72 6.072 

STID=17 CYID=97 fcid=097190AAC name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 97 097190AAC 0018 0033 01 10100226 SO2 24.14 27.40 2.740 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 97 097190AAC 0021 0036 01 10100226 SO2 19.23 21.83 2.183 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 97 097190AAC 0016 0031 01 10100203 SO2 4.59 5.22 0.005 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 47.96 54.45 4.928 

cyid 47.96 54.45 4.928 
39

STID=17 CYID=125 fcid=125804AAB name=DYNEGY MIDWEST GENERATION INC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 125 125804AAB 0019 0023 01 10100202 SO2 22.34 25.36 3.805 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=17 CYID=127 fcid=127855AAC name=ELECTRIC ENERGY INC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 127 127855AAC 0002 0003 01 10100222 SO2 10.25 11.63 11.630 0.0 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

 17 127 127855AAC 0002 0004 01 10100222 SO2 12.04 13.67 13.673 0.0 0.000 LNB LNB added by LADCO 

 17 127 127855AAC 0001 0001 01 10100222 SO2 11.83 13.42 1.342 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 127 127855AAC 0001 0002 01 10100222 SO2 11.48 13.03 1.303 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 127 127855AAC 0003 0005 01 10100222 SO2 11.72 13.31 1.331 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 127 127855AAC 0003 0006 01 10100222 SO2 12.68 14.39 1.439 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 70.00 79.46 30.719 

cyid 70.00 79.46 30.719 

STID=17 CYID=135 fcid=135803AAA name=AMEREN ENERGY GENERATING CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 135 135803AAA 0001 0001 01 10100203 SO2 32.99 37.45 3.745 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 135 135803AAA 0001 0003 01 10100203 SO2 72.92 82.77 8.277 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 105.91 120.22 12.022 

cyid 105.91 120.22 12.022 

STID=17 CYID=143 fcid=143805AAG name=AES ED EDWARDS STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 143 143805AAG 0002 0004 01 10100202 SO2 15.28 17.34 1.734 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=17 CYID=157 fcid=157851AAA name=DYNEGY MIDWEST GENERATION INC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 157 157851AAA 0001 0001 01 10100203 SO2 25.14 28.54 4.281 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 157 157851AAA 0002 0002 01 10100203 SO2 25.79 29.28 4.392 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 157 157851AAA 0013 0013 01 10100202 SO2 27.79 31.54 4.732 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------
40

fcid 78.72 89.36 13.404 

cyid 78.72 89.36 13.404 

STID=17 CYID=167 fcid=167120AAO name=CITY WATER LIGHT & POWER

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0012 01 10100203 SO2 44.20 50.18 0.050 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 167 167120AAO 0010 0013 01 10100203 SO2 16.40 18.62 0.019 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 60.61 68.80 0.069 

cyid 60.61 68.80 0.069 

STID=17 CYID=179 fcid=179801AAA name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0029 01 10100203 SO2 25.35 28.77 2.877 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 179 179801AAA 0018 0031 01 10100203 SO2 41.57 47.19 4.719 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 66.91 75.96 7.596 

cyid 66.91 75.96 7.596 

STID=17 CYID=197 fcid=197809AAO name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 197 197809AAO 0006 0009 01 10100203 SO2 15.89 18.04 1.804 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197809AAO 0016 0031 01 10100202 SO2 27.43 31.13 3.113 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197809AAO 0017 0033 01 10100202 SO2 23.13 26.26 2.626 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 66.45 75.44 7.544 

STID=17 CYID=197 fcid=197810AAK name=MIDWEST GENERATION LLC

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 17 197 197810AAK 0009 0014 02 10100222 SO2 11.64 13.21 1.321 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197810AAK 0011 0016 02 10100222 SO2 25.67 29.14 2.914 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197810AAK 0013 0010 03 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 02 10100223 SO2 15.33 17.40 0.017 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

 17 197 197810AAK 0007 0012 03 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.999 SHUTDOWN Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 52.64 59.75 4.252 
41

cyid 119.09 135.19 11.796 

stid 696.90 777.66 97.225 

STID=18 CYID=147 fcid=00020 name=INDIANA MICHIGAN POWER-ROCKPORT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 18 147 00020 1 001 01 10100222 SO2 66.42 72.32 7.232 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 18 147 00020 1 001 02 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 66.42 72.32 7.232 

cyid 66.42 72.32 7.232 

stid 66.42 72.32 7.232 

STID=19 CYID=115 fcid=58-07-001 name=MIDAMERICAN ENERGY CO. - LOUISA STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 19 115 58-07-001 117487 147281 99 10100222 SO2 33.66 38.22 3.822 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=21 CYID=127 fcid=2112700003 name=KENTUCKY POWER CO

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 21 127 2112700003 2 002 99 10100202 SO2 104.52 113.82 11.382 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=21 CYID=161 fcid=2116100009 name=EAST KY POWER COOP

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 21 161 2116100009 1 001 99 10100202 SO2 42.17 45.92 4.592 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 21 161 2116100009 2 002 99 10100212 SO2 55.39 60.31 6.031 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 97.55 106.23 10.623 

cyid 97.55 106.23 10.623 

stid 202.07 220.04 22.004 

STID=27 CYID=61 fcid=2706100004 name=Minnesota Power Inc - Boswell Energy Ctr

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 001 10100226 SO2 33.99 39.15 16.778 0.3 0.700 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 27 61 2706100004 SV003 EU003 002 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.3 0.700 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------
42

fcid 33.99 39.15 16.778 

cyid 33.99 39.15 16.778 

STID=27 CYID=109 fcid=2710900011 name=Rochester Public Utilities - Silver Lake

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 109 2710900011 SV003 EU004 001 10100202 SO2 7.86 9.05 1.357 0.0 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=27 CYID=141 fcid=2714100004 name=NSP - Sherburne Generating Plant

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 27 141 2714100004 SV001 EU001 001 10100222 SO2 16.76 19.31 4.138 0.3 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 27 141 2714100004 SV001 EU002 001 10100222 SO2 22.55 25.97 5.565 0.3 0.850 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 39.31 45.28 9.703 

cyid 39.31 45.28 9.703 

stid 81.16 93.48 27.838 

STID=39 CYID=13 fcid=0607130015 name=R. E. BURGER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 13 0607130015 R6 B011 B011P1 10100202 SO2 29.83 32.48 3.248 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 13 0607130015 R7 B012 B012P1 10100202 SO2 34.77 37.86 3.786 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 64.60 70.34 7.034 

cyid 64.60 70.34 7.034 

STID=39 CYID=31 fcid=0616000000 name=CONESVILLE POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 31 0616000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100212 SO2 316.00 344.11 34.411 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=39 CYID=167 fcid=0684000000 name=MUSKINGUM RIVER POWER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P1 10100201 SO2 65.07 70.85 7.085 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R2 B002 B002P2 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P1 10100201 SO2 94.58 103.00 10.300 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R3 B003 B003P2 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO
43

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P1 10100203 SO2 81.64 88.90 8.890 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R4 B004 B004P2 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R5 B005 B005P1 10100203 SO2 97.22 105.87 10.587 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R5 B005 B005P2 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P1 10100202 SO2 113.96 124.10 12.410 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 39 167 0684000000 R6 B006 B006P2 10100501 SO2 0.00 0.00 0.000 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 452.48 492.72 49.272 

cyid 452.48 492.72 49.272 

stid 833.08 907.16 90.716 

STID=47 CYID=1 fcid=0009 name=TVA BULL RUN FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 1 0009 S-1 001 99 10100212 SO2 130.81 136.82 13.682 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

STID=47 CYID=73 fcid=0007 name=TVA JOHN SEVIER FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 73 0007 S-1A 001 99 10100212 SO2 20.15 21.07 2.107 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 73 0007 S-1B 002 99 10100212 SO2 20.25 21.18 2.118 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 73 0007 S-2A 003 99 10100212 SO2 19.62 20.52 2.052 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 73 0007 S-2B 004 99 10100212 SO2 18.93 19.80 1.980 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 78.95 82.57 8.257 

cyid 78.95 82.57 8.257 

STID=47 CYID=85 fcid=0011 name=TVA JOHNSONVILLE FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 85 0011 S1-01 001 99 10100212 SO2 17.06 17.84 1.784 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 85 0011 S1-04 004 99 10100212 SO2 19.85 20.76 2.076 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 85 0011 S1-05 005 99 10100212 SO2 24.11 25.22 2.522 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 61.02 63.82 6.382 

cyid 61.02 63.82 6.382 
44

STID=47 CYID=145 fcid=0013 name=TVA KINGSTON FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 145 0013 S-1 001 99 10100202 SO2 12.68 13.26 1.326 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 002 99 10100202 SO2 14.00 14.65 1.465 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 003 99 10100202 SO2 13.80 14.44 1.444 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 004 99 10100202 SO2 12.24 12.80 1.280 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-1 005 99 10100202 SO2 19.57 20.47 2.047 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 006 99 10100202 SO2 18.92 19.79 1.979 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 007 99 10100202 SO2 21.30 22.28 2.228 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 008 99 10100202 SO2 18.54 19.39 1.939 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 145 0013 S-2 009 99 10100202 SO2 20.72 21.68 2.168 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 151.77 158.75 15.875 

cyid 151.77 158.75 15.875 

STID=47 CYID=165 fcid=0025 name=TVA GALLATIN FOSSIL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 47 165 0025 S-01 001 99 10100212 SO2 13.91 14.54 1.454 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 165 0025 S-01 002 99 10100212 SO2 14.87 15.56 1.556 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 165 0025 S-02 003 99 10100212 SO2 16.33 17.08 1.708 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 47 165 0025 S-02 004 99 10100212 SO2 20.39 21.32 2.132 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 65.49 68.50 6.850 

cyid 65.49 68.50 6.850 

stid 488.04 510.46 51.046 

STID=54 CYID=39 fcid=0006 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - KANAWHA RIVER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 39 0006 012 001 99 10100202 SO2 19.45 21.18 10.591 0.0 0.500 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 39 0006 012 002 99 10100202 SO2 20.94 22.80 11.399 0.0 0.500 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 40.39 43.98 21.990 

cyid 40.39 43.98 21.990 
45

STID=54 CYID=51 fcid=0005 name=OHIO POWER - MITCHELL PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 51 0005 012 001 99 10100202 SO2 17.77 19.36 1.936 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 51 0005 012 002 99 10100202 SO2 5.69 6.19 0.619 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 23.46 25.55 2.555 

STID=54 CYID=51 fcid=0006 name=OHIO POWER - KAMMER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 51 0006 013 001 99 10100203 SO2 47.06 51.25 5.125 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 51 0006 013 002 99 10100203 SO2 47.66 51.90 5.190 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 51 0006 013 003 99 10100203 SO2 41.94 45.67 4.567 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 136.67 148.82 14.882 

cyid 160.13 174.37 17.437 

STID=54 CYID=53 fcid=0001 name=APPALACHIAN POWER CO.-PHILIP SPORN PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 53 0001 014 001 99 10100202 SO2 18.65 20.31 2.031 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 53 0001 014 002 99 10100202 SO2 15.87 17.28 1.728 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 53 0001 014 003 99 10100202 SO2 21.46 23.36 2.336 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 53 0001 014 004 99 10100202 SO2 20.53 22.36 2.236 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 53 0001 005 005 99 10100202 SO2 46.82 50.98 5.098 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 123.33 134.30 13.430 

STID=54 CYID=53 fcid=0009 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - MOUNTAINEER PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 54 53 0009 001 001 99 10100202 SO2 11.20 12.19 1.219 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

cyid 134.53 146.49 14.649 

STID=54 CYID=79 fcid=0006 name=APPALACHIAN POWER - JOHN E AMOS PLANT

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes
46

 54 79 0006 012 001 99 10100202 SO2 79.63 86.72 8.672 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 79 0006 012 002 99 10100202 SO2 100.33 109.26 10.926 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 54 79 0006 003 003 99 10100202 SO2 139.38 151.77 15.177 0.0 0.900 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 319.35 347.75 34.775 

cyid 319.35 347.75 34.775 

stid 654.39 712.59 88.851 

STID=55 CYID=79 fcid=241007690 name=WIS ELECTRIC POWER OAK CREEK STATION

 Base Yr Grown Controlled Base Year Future Year

STID CYID fcid stkid dvid prid scc polid Tons/Day Tons/Day Tons/Day Control EF Control EF ctrltype ctrldes

 55 79 241007690 S13 B25 01 10100202 SO2 12.75 14.48 3.475 0.0 0.760 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 55 79 241007690 S13 B26 01 10100202 SO2 8.68 9.85 2.462 0.0 0.750 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 55 79 241007690 S14 B27 01 10100212 SO2 10.97 12.45 2.864 0.0 0.770 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

 55 79 241007690 S14 B28 01 10100212 SO2 11.28 12.81 2.945 0.0 0.770 SCRUBBER Scrubber added by LADCO

---- -------- -------- ----------

fcid 43.68 49.59 11.746 

cyid 43.68 49.59 11.746 

stid 43.68 49.59 11.746 

 ======== ======== ==========

 3099.41 3381.52 400.481 
47

 

Appendix II

Scenario C Controls (CAMD List)
48

NOx Controls (SCRs, 2007 – 2013))

Plant Name UniqueID_Final State Name County

Capacity 

MW

On Line 

Year

SCR 

Online 

Year

Chesterfield 3797_B_4 Virginia Chesterfield 166 1960 2013

Chesterfield 3797_B_5 Virginia Chesterfield 310 1964 2012

Scherer 6257_B_3 Georgia Monroe 875 1987 2011

Chesterfield 3797_B_6 Virginia Chesterfield 658 1969 2011

Sandow No 4 6648_B_4 Texas Milam 545 1981 2011

Beech Hollow Power Project 82704_B_1 Pennsylvania Washington 272 2011 2011

Longview Power 82702_B_1 West Virginia Monongalia 695 2011 2011

Cliffside 2721_B_6 North Carolina Cleveland 800 2011 2011

AES Westover 2526_B_11 New York Broome 22 1943 2010

AES Westover 2526_B_12 New York Broome 22 1943 2010

AES Westover 2526_B_13 New York Broome 84 1951 2010

Iatan 2 6065_B_2 Missouri Platte 850 2010 2010

Southwest 6195_B_2 Missouri Greene 300 2010 2010

Trimble Station (LGE) 6071_B_2 Kentucky Trimble 732 2010 2010

Elm Road Generating Station 56068_B_2 Wisconsin Milwaukee 615 2010 2010

Clay Boswell 1893_B_3 Minnesota Itasca 350 1973 2009

Asheville 2706_B_2 North Carolina Buncombe 184 1971 2009

Conesville 2840_B_4 Ohio Coshocton 780 1973 2009

Marshall 2727_B_3 North Carolina Catawba 657 1969 2009

St Johns River Power Park 207_B_1 Florida Duval 626 1987 2009

Ghent 1356_B_2 Kentucky Carroll 469 1977 2009

Chalk Point LLC 1571_B_1 Maryland Prince George's 341 1964 2009

Chalk Point LLC 1571_B_2 Maryland Prince George's 342 1965 2009

San Juan 2451_B_2 New Mexico San Juan 320 1973 2009

Big Bend 645_B_BB01 Florida Hillsborough 411 1970 2009

Big Bend 645_B_BB02 Florida Hillsborough 391 1973 2009

Big Bend 645_B_BB03 Florida Hillsborough 414 1976 2009

Nebraska City Unit 2 6096_B_2 Nebraska Otoe 663 2009 2009

Cross 130_B_4 South Carolina Berkeley 652 2009 2009

Springerville 8223_B_4 Arizona Apache 400 2009 2009

Sandow 5 82010_B_5 Texas Milam 600 2009 2009

Oak Grove 82011_B_1 Texas Robertson 800 2009 2009

Oak Grove 82011_B_2 Texas Robertson 800 2009 2009

TS Power Plant 82013_B_1 Nevada Eureka 200 2009 2009

Plum Point Energy 82014_B_1 Arkansas Mississippi 665 2009 2009

Comanche 470_B_3 Colorado Pueblo 750 2009 2009

Elm Road Generating Station 56068_B_1 Wisconsin Milwaukee 615 2009 2009

Two Elk Generating Station 55360_B_1 Wyoming Campbell 300 2009 2009

J K Spruce 7097_B_BLR2 Texas Bexar 750 2009 2009

Dallman 963_B_34 Illinois Sangamon 200 2009 2009

AES Greenidge LLC 2527_B_4 New York Yates 27 1950 2008

AES Greenidge LLC 2527_B_5 New York Yates 27 1950 2008

AES Greenidge LLC 2527_B_6 New York Yates 106 1953 2008

Charles R Lowman 56_B_2 Alabama Washington 238 1979 2008

Charles R Lowman 56_B_3 Alabama Washington 238 1980 2008

Barry 3_B_5 Alabama Mobile 750 1971 2008

St Johns River Power Park 207_B_2 Florida Duval 626 1988 2008

Morgantown Generating Plant 1573_B_2 Maryland Charles 620 1971 2008
49

Bailly 995_B_7 Indiana Porter 160 1962 2008

San Juan 2451_B_1 New Mexico San Juan 322 1976 2008

San Juan 2451_B_3 New Mexico San Juan 495 1979 2008

Weston 4078_B_4 Wisconsin Marathon 519 2008 2008

AES Deepwater 10670_B_AAB001 Texas Harris 140 1986 2007

La Cygne 1241_B_1 Kansas Linn 724 1973 2007

Morgantown Generating Plant 1573_B_1 Maryland Charles 624 1970 2007

PSEG Hudson Generating Station 2403_B_2 New Jersey Hudson 583 1967 2007

San Juan 2451_B_4 New Mexico San Juan 506 1982 2007

Big Bend 645_B_BB04 Florida Hillsborough 457 1985 2007

Cross 130_B_3 South Carolina Berkeley 620 2007 2007

Wygen II 55479_B_4 Wyoming Campbell 90 2007 2007

Council Bluffs 1082_B_4 Iowa Pottawattamie 790 2007 2007

SO2 Controls (FGDs, 2007 – 2012)

Plant Name UniqueID_Final State Name County

Capacity 

MW

On Line

Year

Scrubber 

Online 

Year

James H Miller Jr 6002_B_1 Alabama Jefferson 684 1978 2011

James H Miller Jr 6002_B_2 Alabama Jefferson 687 1985 2011

James H Miller Jr 6002_B_3 Alabama Jefferson 687 1989 2011

James H Miller Jr 6002_B_4 Alabama Jefferson 688 1991 2011

Cape Fear 2708_B_5 North Carolina Chatham 143 1956 2011

Baldwin Energy Complex 889_B_1 Illinois Randolph 624 1970 2011

Baldwin Energy Complex 889_B_2 Illinois Randolph 629 1973 2011

Baldwin Energy Complex 889_B_3 Illinois Randolph 629 1975 2011

Scherer 6257_B_3 Georgia Monroe 875 1987 2011

Milton R Young 2823_B_B1 North Dakota Oliver 250 1970 2011

W H Sammis 2866_B_6 Ohio Jefferson 630 1969 2011

W H Sammis 2866_B_7 Ohio Jefferson 630 1971 2011

PSEG Hudson Generating Station 2403_B_2 New Jersey Hudson 583 1967 2011

John Sevier 3405_B_1 Tennessee Hawkins 176 1955 2011

John Sevier 3405_B_2 Tennessee Hawkins 176 1955 2011

John Sevier 3405_B_3 Tennessee Hawkins 176 1956 2011

John Sevier 3405_B_4 Tennessee Hawkins 176 1957 2011

Beech Hollow Power Project 82704_B_1 Pennsylvania Washington 272 2011 2011

Longview Power 82702_B_1 West Virginia Monongalia 695 2011 2011

Cliffside 2721_B_6 North Carolina Cleveland 800 2011 2011

AES Greenidge LLC 2527_B_4 New York Yates 27 1950 2010

AES Greenidge LLC 2527_B_5 New York Yates 27 1950 2010

Barry 3_B_5 Alabama Mobile 750 1971 2010

E C Gaston 26_B_5 Alabama Shelby 861 1974 2010

Warrick 6705_B_4 Indiana Warrick 300 1970 2010

Coffeen 861_B_01 Illinois Montgomery 340 1965 2010

Coffeen 861_B_02 Illinois Montgomery 560 1972 2010

Cardinal 2828_B_3 Ohio Jefferson 630 1977 2010

Brandon Shores 602_B_1 Maryland Anne Arundel 643 1984 2010

Brandon Shores 602_B_2 Maryland Anne Arundel 643 1991 2010

Monroe 1733_B_4 Michigan Monroe 775 1974 2010

Cliffside 2721_B_5 North Carolina Cleveland 550 1972 2010

Crystal River 628_B_4 Florida Citrus 720 1982 2010

Bowen 703_B_1BLR Georgia Bartow 713 1971 2010
50

Crist 641_B_6 Florida Escambia 302 1970 2010

Crist 641_B_7 Florida Escambia 477 1973 2010

Clifty Creek 983_B_1 Indiana Jefferson 217 1955 2010

Clifty Creek 983_B_2 Indiana Jefferson 217 1955 2010

Clifty Creek 983_B_3 Indiana Jefferson 217 1955 2010

Clifty Creek 983_B_4 Indiana Jefferson 217 1955 2010

Clifty Creek 983_B_5 Indiana Jefferson 217 1955 2010

Clifty Creek 983_B_6 Indiana Jefferson 217 1956 2010

Chalk Point LLC 1571_B_1 Maryland Prince George's 341 1964 2010

Chalk Point LLC 1571_B_2 Maryland Prince George's 342 1965 2010

Dickerson 1572_B_1 Maryland Montgomery 182 1959 2010

Dickerson 1572_B_2 Maryland Montgomery 182 1960 2010

Dickerson 1572_B_3 Maryland Montgomery 182 1962 2010

R E Burger 2864_B_7 Ohio Belmont 156 1955 2010

R E Burger 2864_B_8 Ohio Belmont 156 1955 2010

Kyger Creek 2876_B_1 Ohio Gallia 217 1955 2010

Kyger Creek 2876_B_2 Ohio Gallia 217 1955 2010

Kyger Creek 2876_B_3 Ohio Gallia 217 1955 2010

Kyger Creek 2876_B_4 Ohio Gallia 217 1955 2010

Kyger Creek 2876_B_5 Ohio Gallia 217 1955 2010

Cheswick 8226_B_1 Pennsylvania Allegheny 580 1970 2010

PSEG Mercer Generating Station 2408_B_1 New Jersey Mercer 315 1960 2010

PSEG Mercer Generating Station 2408_B_2 New Jersey Mercer 310 1961 2010

Silver Lake 2008_B_4 Minnesota Olmsted 61 1969 2010

Kingston 3407_B_1 Tennessee Roane 135 1954 2010

Kingston 3407_B_2 Tennessee Roane 135 1954 2010

Kingston 3407_B_3 Tennessee Roane 135 1954 2010

Kingston 3407_B_4 Tennessee Roane 135 1954 2010

Kingston 3407_B_5 Tennessee Roane 177 1955 2010

Kingston 3407_B_6 Tennessee Roane 177 1955 2010

Kingston 3407_B_7 Tennessee Roane 177 1955 2010

Kingston 3407_B_8 Tennessee Roane 177 1955 2010

Kingston 3407_B_9 Tennessee Roane 178 1955 2010

Sioux 2107_B_1 Missouri St. Charles 497 1967 2010

Sioux 2107_B_2 Missouri St. Charles 497 1968 2010

Chesterfield 3797_B_5 Virginia Chesterfield 310 1964 2010

Yorktown 3809_B_1 Virginia York 159 1957 2010

AES Westover 2526_B_11 New York Broome 22 1943 2010

AES Westover 2526_B_12 New York Broome 22 1943 2010

AES Westover 2526_B_13 New York Broome 84 1951 2010

Iatan 2 6065_B_2 Missouri Platte 850 2010 2010

Southwest 6195_B_2 Missouri Greene 300 2010 2010

Trimble Station (LGE) 6071_B_2 Kentucky Trimble 732 2010 2010

Elm Road Generating Station 56068_B_2 Wisconsin Milwaukee 615 2010 2010

Cholla 113_B_3 Arizona Navajo 271 1980 2009

Mayo 6250_B_1A North Carolina Person 362 1983 2009

Mayo 6250_B_1B North Carolina Person 362 1983 2009

Conesville 2840_B_4 Ohio Coshocton 780 1973 2009

G G Allen 2718_B_1 North Carolina Gaston 162 1957 2009

G G Allen 2718_B_2 North Carolina Gaston 162 1957 2009

G G Allen 2718_B_3 North Carolina Gaston 260 1959 2009
51

G G Allen 2718_B_4 North Carolina Gaston 275 1960 2009

G G Allen 2718_B_5 North Carolina Gaston 265 1961 2009

H L Spurlock 6041_B_1 Kentucky Mason 315 1977 2009

Crystal River 628_B_5 Florida Citrus 717 1984 2009

Deerhaven Generating Station 663_B_B2 Florida Alachua 228 1981 2009

Bowen 703_B_2BLR Georgia Bartow 718 1972 2009

Wansley 6052_B_2 Georgia Heard 892 1978 2009

E W Brown 1355_B_1 Kentucky Mercer 94 1957 2009

E W Brown 1355_B_2 Kentucky Mercer 160 1963 2009

E W Brown 1355_B_3 Kentucky Mercer 422 1971 2009

Ghent 1356_B_2 Kentucky Carroll 469 1977 2009

Fayette Power Project 6179_B_1 Texas Fayette 598 1979 2009

Fayette Power Project 6179_B_2 Texas Fayette 598 1980 2009

Morgantown Generating Plant 1573_B_1 Maryland Charles 624 1970 2009

Morgantown Generating Plant 1573_B_2 Maryland Charles 620 1971 2009

PPL Brunner Island 3140_B_1 Pennsylvania York 321 1961 2009

PPL Brunner Island 3140_B_2 Pennsylvania York 378 1965 2009

Keystone 3136_B_1 Pennsylvania Armstrong 850 1967 2009

Keystone 3136_B_2 Pennsylvania Armstrong 850 1968 2009

Bull Run 3396_B_1 Tennessee Anderson 881 1967 2009

Bay Shore 2878_B_4 Ohio Lucas 215 1968 2009

Hatfields Ferry Power Station 3179_B_1 Pennsylvania Greene 530 1969 2009

Hatfields Ferry Power Station 3179_B_2 Pennsylvania Greene 530 1970 2009

Hatfields Ferry Power Station 3179_B_3 Pennsylvania Greene 530 1971 2009

Nebraska City Unit 2 6096_B_2 Nebraska Otoe 663 2009 2009

Cross 130_B_4 South Carolina Berkeley 652 2009 2009

Springerville 8223_B_4 Arizona Apache 400 2009 2009

Sandow 5 82010_B_5 Texas Milam 600 2009 2009

Oak Grove 82011_B_1 Texas Robertson 800 2009 2009

Oak Grove 82011_B_2 Texas Robertson 800 2009 2009

TS Power Plant 82013_B_1 Nevada Eureka 200 2009 2009

Plum Point Energy 82014_B_1 Arkansas Mississippi 665 2009 2009

Comanche 470_B_3 Colorado Pueblo 750 2009 2009

Elm Road Generating Station 56068_B_1 Wisconsin Milwaukee 615 2009 2009

Two Elk Generating Station 55360_B_1 Wyoming Campbell 300 2009 2009

J K Spruce 7097_B_BLR2 Texas Bexar 750 2009 2009

Dallman 963_B_34 Illinois Sangamon 200 2009 2009

Charles R Lowman 56_B_1 Alabama Washington 86 1969 2008

John E Amos 3935_B_1 West Virginia Putnam 800 1971 2008

John E Amos 3935_B_2 West Virginia Putnam 800 1972 2008

Cholla 113_B_4 Arizona Navajo 380 1981 2008

Roxboro 2712_B_1 North Carolina Person 369 1966 2008

Roxboro 2712_B_3A North Carolina Person 341 1973 2008

Roxboro 2712_B_3B North Carolina Person 341 1973 2008

Miami Fort 2832_B_7 Ohio Hamilton 500 1975 2008

Miami Fort 2832_B_8 Ohio Hamilton 500 1978 2008

Cogentrix Virginia Leasing Corp 10071_B_2A Virginia Portsmouth 19 1988 2008

Cogentrix Virginia Leasing Corp 10071_B_2B Virginia Portsmouth 19 1988 2008

Cogentrix Virginia Leasing Corp 10071_B_2C Virginia Portsmouth 19 1988 2008

J M Stuart 2850_B_1 Ohio Adams 585 1971 2008

J M Stuart 2850_B_2 Ohio Adams 597 1970 2008
52

J M Stuart 2850_B_3 Ohio Adams 597 1972 2008

J M Stuart 2850_B_4 Ohio Adams 597 1974 2008

Monroe 1733_B_3 Michigan Monroe 795 1973 2008

Belews Creek 8042_B_1 North Carolina Stokes 1,115 1974 2008

Belews Creek 8042_B_2 North Carolina Stokes 1,115 1975 2008

Bowen 703_B_3BLR Georgia Bartow 902 1974 2008

Bowen 703_B_4BLR Georgia Bartow 929 1975 2008

Hammond 708_B_1 Georgia Floyd 112 1954 2008

Hammond 708_B_2 Georgia Floyd 112 1954 2008

Hammond 708_B_3 Georgia Floyd 112 1955 2008

Hammond 708_B_4 Georgia Floyd 510 1970 2008

Wansley 6052_B_1 Georgia Heard 891 1976 2008

Harding Street 990_B_70 Indiana Marion 435 1973 2008

Cogentrix Hopewell 10377_B_1A Virginia Hopewell (city) 18 1987 2008

Cogentrix Hopewell 10377_B_1B Virginia Hopewell (city) 18 1987 2008

Cogentrix Hopewell 10377_B_1C Virginia Hopewell (city) 18 1987 2008

Ghent 1356_B_4 Kentucky Carroll 478 1984 2008

Council Bluffs 1082_B_3 Iowa Pottawattamie 690 1978 2008

PPL Brunner Island 3140_B_3 Pennsylvania York 749 1969 2008

PPL Montour 3149_B_1 Pennsylvania Montour 774 1972 2008

PPL Montour 3149_B_2 Pennsylvania Montour 766 1973 2008

Comanche 470_B_1 Colorado Pueblo 366 1973 2008

Comanche 470_B_2 Colorado Pueblo 370 1975 2008

Cayuga 1001_B_2 Indiana VermilIon 473 1972 2008

Winyah 6249_B_1 South Carolina Georgetown 295 1975 2008

Winyah 6249_B_2 South Carolina Georgetown 295 1977 2008

Winyah 6249_B_3 South Carolina Georgetown 295 1980 2008

Chesterfield 3797_B_6 Virginia Chesterfield 658 1969 2008

Brayton Point 1619_B_1 Massachusetts Bristo 243 1963 2008

Brayton Point 1619_B_2 Massachusetts Bristo 244 1964 2008

Weston 4078_B_4 Wisconsin Marathon 519 2008 2008

Gorgas 8_B_10 Alabama Walker 690 1972 2007

Gorgas 8_B_8 Alabama Walker 165 1956 2007

Gorgas 8_B_9 Alabama Walker 175 1958 2007

John E Amos 3935_B_3 West Virginia Putnam 1,300 1973 2007

Mountaineer 6264_B_1 West Virginia Mason 1,300 1980 2007

Cardinal 2828_B_1 Ohio Jefferson 600 1967 2007

Cardinal 2828_B_2 Ohio Jefferson 600 1967 2007

Roxboro 2712_B_2 North Carolina Person 639 1968 2007

Roxboro 2712_B_4A North Carolina Person 343 1980 2007

Roxboro 2712_B_4B North Carolina Person 343 1980 2007

Cogentrix Virginia Leasing Corp 10071_B_1A Virginia Portsmouth 19 1988 2007

Cogentrix Virginia Leasing Corp 10071_B_1B Virginia Portsmouth 19 1988 2007

Cogentrix Virginia Leasing Corp 10071_B_1C Virginia Portsmouth 19 1988 2007

Killen Station 6031_B_2 Ohio Adams 615 1982 2007

Marshall 2727_B_2 North Carolina Catawba 378 1966 2007

Marshall 2727_B_3 North Carolina Catawba 657 1969 2007

Cogentrix Hopewell 10377_B_2A Virginia Hopewell (city) 18 1987 2007

Cogentrix Hopewell 10377_B_2B Virginia Hopewell (city) 18 1987 2007

Cogentrix Hopewell 10377_B_2C Virginia Hopewell (city) 18 1987 2007

Ghent 1356_B_3 Kentucky Carroll 478 1981 2007
53

Louisa 6664_B_101 Iowa Louisa 700 1983 2007

Allen S King 1915_B_1 Minnesota Washington 571 1968 2007

Mitchell 3948_B_1 West Virginia Marshall 800 1971 2007

Gibson 6113_B_1 Indiana Gibson 630 1975 2007

Gibson 6113_B_2 Indiana Gibson 628 1975 2007

Winyah 6249_B_4 South Carolina Georgetown 270 1981 2007

Pleasant Prairie 6170_B_2 Wisconsin Kenosha 617 1985 2007

Cross 130_B_3 South Carolina Berkeley 620 2007 2007

Wygen II 55479_B_4 Wyoming Campbell 90 2007 2007

Council Bluffs 1082_B_4 Iowa Pottawattamie 790 2007 2007

Assumed BART Facilities and Units

State County Fac ID Facility Name Unit ID

MI Bay B2840 CE - KARN/WEADOCK EU00036

MI Bay B2840 CE - KARN/WEADOCK EU00037

MI Eaton B4001 LAN. BW&L ERICKSON EU00007

MI Houghton B6553 UP POWER CO / PORTAGE EU00008

MI Huron B2815 DTE - HARBOR BEACH EU00009

MI Ingham B2647 LAN. BW&L Eckert RG00023

MI Ingham B2647 LAN. BW&L Eckert RG00023

MI Ingham B2647 LAN. BW&L Eckert RG00023

MI Ingham B2647 LAN. BW&L Moores Park RG00021

MI Marquette B4261 WE-ENERGIES EU00029

MI Marquette B4261 WE-ENERGIES EU00030

MI Marquette B4261 WE-ENERGIES EU00031

MI Marquette B4261 WE-ENERGIES EU00032

MI Marquette B4261 WE-ENERGIES EU00033

MI Monroe B2816 DTE - MONROE EU00062

MI Monroe B2816 DTE - MONROE EU00068

MI Monroe B2816 DTE - MONROE EU00063

MI Monroe B2816 DTE - MONROE EU00064

MI Ottawa B2835 CE – CAMPBELL EU00062

MI Ottawa B2835 CE – CAMPBELL EU00061

MI Saint Clair B2796 DTE - ST. CLAIR / BELLE RIVER EU00111

MI Saint Clair B6145 DTE – GREENWOOD EU00009

MI Wayne B2132 WYANDOTTE EU00036

MI Wayne B2185 DETROIT PLD, MISTERSKY EU00014

MI Wayne B2811 DTE – TRENTON EU00035

 

OH Lake 0243160009 CEI., EASTLAKE PLANT B005

OH 0247030013 Orion Power Midwest B012

OH 0285010188 Dept of Public Utilities, City of Orrville B001

OH 0285010188 Dept of Public Utilities, City of Orrville B004

OH 0448020006 Toledo Edison Co., Bay Shore B003

OH 0448020006 Toledo Edison Co., Bay Shore B004

OH 0616000000 Conesville Power Plant B003

OH 0616000000 Conesville Power Plant B004

OH 0616000000 Conesville Power Plant B007

OH 0641050002 Cardinal Power Plant B001

OH 0641050002 Cardinal Power Plant B002
54

OH 0641050002 Cardinal Power Plant B003

OH 0641050002 Cardinal Power Plant B004

OH 0641050002 Cardinal Power Plant B008

OH 0641050002 Cardinal Power Plant B009

OH 0641050002 Cardinal Power Plant B009

OH Jefferson 0641160017 W. H. SAMMIS PLANT B011

OH Jefferson 0641160017 W. H. SAMMIS PLANT B012

OH Jefferson 0641160017 W. H. SAMMIS PLANT B013

OH 0684000000 Muskingum River Power Plant B006

OH Adams 0701000007 DP&L, J.M. Stuart Generating Station B001

OH Adams 0701000007 DP&L, J.M. Stuart Generating Station B002

OH Adams 0701000007 DP&L, J.M. Stuart Generating Station B003

OH Adams 0701000007 DP&L, J.M. Stuart Generating Station B004

OH 0701000060 DP&L, Killen Station B001

OH 1409040243 City of Hamilton Dept of Public Utilities B002

OH 1409040243 City of Hamilton Dept of Public Utilities B008

OH 1409040243 City of Hamilton Dept of Public Utilities B009

OH 1413100008 CG&E W. C. BECKJORD B005

OH 1413100008 CG&E W. C. BECKJORD B006

OH 1431350093 CG&E MIAMI FORT STATION B015

 

IL Peoria 856 Ameren – Edwards 2

IL Sangamon 963 CWLP – Dallman 31

IL Sangamon 963 CWLP – Dallman 32

IL Christian 876 Dominion – Kincaid 1

IL Christian 876 Dominion – Kincaid 2

 

WI COLUMBIA 111003090 Alliant Energy-Columbia Generating B20

WI COLUMBIA 111003090 Alliant Energy-Columbia Generating B21

WI COLUMBIA 111003090 Alliant Energy-Columbia Generating B22

WI GRANT 122014530 Alliant Energy, Nelson Dewey B22 (unit 2)

WI MILWAUKEE 241007690 We Energies-Oak Creek Station B26 (Unit 6)

WI MILWAUKEE 241007690 We Energies-Oak Creek Station B27 (Unit 7)

WI MILWAUKEE 241007690 We Energies-Oak Creek Station B28

WI MILWAUKEE 241007800 We Energies-Valley Station B21

WI MILWAUKEE 241007800 We Energies-Valley Station B23

WI MILWAUKEE 241007800 We Energies-Valley Station B24

WI BROWN 405031990 WI Public Service Corp - JP Pulliam B27 (unit 8)

WI SHEBOYGAN 460033090 WP & L Alliant Energy – Edgewater B24 

WI BUFFALO 606034110

Dairyland Power Coop Alma Station 

(J.P. Madgett boilers) B25 (+B26)

WI BUFFALO 606034110 Dairyland Power Coop Alma Station B27

WI VERNON 663020930 Dairyland Power Coop Genoa Station B20

WI VERNON 663020930 Dairyland Power Coop Genoa Station B25

 

IN Porter 995 Bailly 7

IN Porter 995 Bailly 8

IN Vermillion 1001 Cayuga 1

IN Vermillion 1001 Cayuga 2

IN Montgomery 1024 Crawfordsville 6

IN Warrick 1012 Culley 2
55

IN Warrick 1012 Culley 3

IN Gibson 6113 Gibson 1

IN Gibson 6113 Gibson 2

IN Cass 1032 Logansport 6

IN Sullivan 6213 Merom 1

IN Sullivan 6213 Merom 2

IN LaPorte 997 Michigan City 12

IN Lake 996 Mitchell 11

IN Pike 994 Petersburg 1

IN Pike 994 Petersburg 2

IN Pike 994 Petersburg 3

IN Pike 1043 Ratts 1

IN Pike 1043 Ratts 2

IN Wayne 7335 RPL 2

IN Jasper 6085 Schahfer 14

IN Jasper 6085 Schahfer 15

IN Lake 981 Stateline 4

IN Marion 990 Stout 70

IN Dearborn 988 Tanners Creek 4

IN Vigo 1010 Wabash River 6

IN Warrick 6705 Warrick 4

 

IA 07-02-005 Cedar Falls Utilities Unit #7 (EU10.1A)

IA 88-01-004

Central Iowa Power Cooperative 

(CIPCO) – Summit Lake Station

CombTurbines (EU 

1/1G, EU2/2G)

IA 70-08-003

Central Iowa Power Cooperative 

(CIPCO) – Fair Station

Unit # 2 (EU 2 & 

EU 2G)

IA 85-01-006 City of Ames - Steam Electric Plant Boiler #7 (EU 2)

IA 29-01-013 Interstate Power & Light - Burlington Main Plant Boiler.

IA 03-03-001 Interstate Power & Light - Lansing

Boiler #4. Sixteen 

units in total.

IA 23-01-014 Interstate Power & Light - ML Kapp

Boiler #2. Six units 

in total.

IA 57-01-042 Interstate Power & Light - Prairie Creek

Boiler #4. Fourteen 

units in total.

IA 78-01-026 MidAmerican Energy Co - Council Bluffs Boiler #3 (EU003)

IA 97-04-010 MidAmerican Energy Co - Neal North

Boilers #1-3 

(EU001 - EU003)

IA 97-04-011 MidAmerican Energy Co - Neal South Boiler #4 (EU003)

IA 70-01-011 Muscatine Power and Water Boiler #8

IA 63-02-005 Pella Municipal Power Plant Boilers #6-8

 

MN 2709900001 Austin Utilities NE Power Station EU001

MN 2713700027 Hibbing Public Utilities EU003

MN 2703100001 MN Power, Taconite Harbor EU003

MN 2706100004 MN Power, Boswell Energy Center EU003

MN 2701500010 New Ulm Public Utilities EU003 - Boiler 4

MN 2711100002 Otter Tail Power Hoot Lake EU003

MN 2710900011 Rochester Public Utilities, Silver Lake EU003

MN 2710900011 Rochester Public Utilities, Silver Lake EU004

MN 2713700028 Virginia Public Utilities EU003 - Boiler 9

MN 2714100004 Xcel Energy, Sherco EU001, EU002

MN 2716300005 Xcel Energy, Allen S King EU001 - Boiler 1
56

MN 2705300015 Xcel Energy, Riverside EU003 - Boiler 8

 

MO 290710003 Ameren -Labadie B1, B2, B3, B4

MO 291830001 Ameren - Sioux B1, B2

MO 290990016 Ameren - Rush Island B1, B2

MO 290950031 Auila - Sibley B3 - 5C

MO 291430004 Assoc. Electric - New Madrid

B1(EP-01), B2 

(EP-02)

MO 290770039 City Utilities Springfield - Southwest B1 (E09)

MO 290770005 City Utilities Springfield - James River EO7, EO8

MO 290970001 Empire Distric Electric - Asbury B7

MO 290830001 KC Power and Light - Montrose EP08

MO 290210004 Aqula - Lake Road EP06

MO 291750001 Assoc. Electric - Thomas Hill EP01, EP02

MO 290950021 Trigen - Kansas City B1A

MO 290190002 City of Columbia Municipal Power Plant EP02

MO 291950010 Marshall Munipal Utilities EP05

MO 290950050 Independence Power & Light-Blue Valley B3 (EP05)

 

WV 3943 Fort Martin

WV 6004 Pleasants

WV 3948 Mitchell

WV 3935 Amos

WV 6264 Mountaineer

WV 3944 Harrison

 

TN 3396 TVA Bull Run

TN 3399 TVA Cumberland

 

KY 1363 Cane Run

KY 1364 Mill Creek

KY 6041 Spurlock

KY 1384 John Sherman Cooper

KY 1353 Big Sandy

KY 1356 Ghent

KY 1355 Brown

KY 1374 Owensboro Municipal

KY 1372 Henderson Municipal

KY 1378 Paradise

KY 1361 Coleman

KY 1382 Reid/Henderson 2

KY 6639 Green
Appendix E 

Overview: VOC / NOx Ratios and Ozone Production 

Appendix E provides a brief overview of the how the relative presence of ambient VOC 

concentrations to NOx levels can influence the potential to produce tropospheric ozone. This 

appendix is designed to provide some basic ozone science background to Section 4.5 (“Morning (6-

9A CST) VOC / NOx ratios in Milwaukee, 1994-2007“). 

The relation between O3, NOx and VOC is driven by complex nonlinear photochemistry. As noted 

in Section 4.1 of the Attainment Demonstration - the availability of VOCs and NOx in the morning 

along with their differing rates of reaction with the -OH radical can greatly influence how much 

ozone is formed for a given site-day (Seinfeld and Pandis, 1998). 

The O3-NOx-VOC connection can be illustrated by isopleth plots (Figure E-1) generated from 

applying a basic ozone model called the Empirical Kinetic Modeling Approach (EKMA) to VOC 

and NOx concentrations (Finlayson-Pitts and Pitts, 1993). This graph shows peak ozone as a 

function of the ratio of VOC to NOx concentrations. It identifies two regimes with different O3-

NOx-VOC sensitivities (referred to as “limited” in the graph). 

The straight line in the center of Figure E-1 represents a constant VOC/NOx ratio = 8/1. This line 

bisects the ozone isopleths where they transition from the fairly vertical lines (i.e., left side of the 

graph) where ozone changes are fairly sensitive to changes in VOCs [VOC-sensitive(limited)]) to 

the mostly horizontal isopleths on the graph’s right, where ozone changes are quite responsive to 

NOx fluctuations [NOx-sensitive (limited)]. 

The VOC/NOx ratio = 8/1 is considered an approximate reference point for determining the break 

in sensitivity of the air mass to precursor levels and the relative benefits of NOx vs.VOC controls 

(NESCAUM, 1995). Graphically represented in Figure 20, the simplified goal of an efficient ozone 

control program is to reduce one type precursor emissions so as to move perpendicular towards 

lower ozone isopleths lines (i.e., de-optimizing the VOC/NOx ratio that favors high ozone 

production). Where a region’s base VOC / NOx ratio is established can greatly influence the 

direction in developing appropriate control strategies. 

The NOx-sensitive regime is typical of less urbanized, more rural air masses where biogenic VOCs 

make a much bigger contribution to VOCs levels and there are usually negligible, if any major NOx 

sources (i.e., burning fossil fuels in factories, power plants and large numbers of motor vehicles). In 

a NOx-sensitive air mass, it is most effective to de-optimize the VOC/NOx ratio for maximum 

ozone production by reducing NOx (i.e., moving downward to lower ozone isopleths on the right 

side of Figure E-1). 

A VOC-sensitive air mass (left portion of Figure E-1) typically represents an urban area with low 

VOC/NOx ratios - where NOx emissions have much greater influence and there are relatively little 

biogenic VOCs to offset the NOx. In this air mass ozone concentrations are most efficiently 

lowered (i.e., de-optimizing the VOC / NOx ratio for maximum ozone production) by reducing 

VOCs (i.e., moving from right to left to smaller ozone isopleths on the left half of Figure E-1). 
References 

Finlayson-Pitts B.J. and N. Pitts, 1993: VOCs, NOx and ozone production. J. Air Waste Mgmt 

Assoc., 43:1093-1101. 

Figure E-1 

A typical EKMA 2-dimensional 

depiction of ozone isopleths 

generated from initial mixtures 

of VOCs and NOx in air 

Source: Finlayson-Pitts and Pitts, 1993 
NESCAUM (Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management), 1995: Preview of 1994 

Ozone Precursor Concentrations in the Northeastern U.S. Ambient Monitoring and Assessment 

Committee. Available at http://capita.wustl.edu/nescaum/Reports/PAMS94/ 

Seinfeld, J.H. and S.N.. Pandis, 1998: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics: From Air Pollution 

to Climate Change. John Wiley and Sons, Inc. 923 pp. 
Year Submittal Topic NR Code DNR Action EPA Action 

NOx Reasonably Available Control 

Technology (RACT) 428 Board Considering Adoption of 

Revised Rule 4/09

EPA asked for changes to 

the rule

VOC RACT Paper, Metal Furniture, Large 

Appliance, Flatwood Paneling, Flexible 

Package Printing, Lithographic Printing and 

Industrial Cleaning

422, 423 Board Adopted, 3/25/09, 

Submittal Expected 7/09 N/A 

VOC RACT Industrial Wastewater Treatment 419 Board Adopted, 3/25/09, 

Submittal Expected 7/09 N/A 

VOC RACT SOCMI 421 Board Adopted, 3/25/09, 

Submittal Expected 7/09 N/A 

VOC CTG

- Miscellaneous metal and plastic parts coatings

- Auto and light-duty truck assembly coatings

- Fiberglass boat manufacturing materials

- Miscellaneous industrial adhesives

- Plastic Parts Coating

422.151

422.091

424.06

422.128

422.084

In rule drafting stage N/A 

Clean Air Interstate Rule 432 Adopted by NRB 

1/24/07 To be submitted 3/07 Final Rule

NOx Reasonably Available Control 

Technology (RACT) 428 Board Adopted 3/07 and 4/07, 

Submitted 6/07

EPA asked for changes to 

the rule

Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) 433 Borad Adopted 1/24/07, Not Yet 

Submitted N/A 

I/M Revision (OBD & Exempt New OBD) 485 Board Adopted xx/xx/07 N/A 

Clean Air Interstate Rule 432 Adopted by NRB 

1/24/07 To be submitted 3/07 N/A 

Approval of changes to definition of VOCs 

and VOC control requirements for yeast 

manufacturing

400, 424 Submitted 3/22/06 Final Rule 11/21/06 

Approval of statutory revision to ensure 

permanency of construction permit conditions 

and addresses deficiency identified in Notice 

of Deficiency (3/4/04)

Wis. Stat. 285.66 Submitted 12/8/05 Final Rule 3/30/06 

Amended Final 5/16/06

Finding that all issues of Notice of Deficiency 

(3/4/04) resolved N/A Submitted 8/18/05, 12/8/05 Final Rule 2/16/06 

Approval of revisions to general and 

registration permit programs 

400, 406, 407,

410, 484 Submitted 7/8/05 Final Rule 3/8/06 

2005

Approval of emissions averaging program for 

existing sources for NOx emissions in SE 

Wisconsin 

428 Submitted 5/24/04 Final Rule 5/31/05 

8-hour Ozone Nonattainment Designations for 

Wisconsin N/A N/A Final Rule 4/30/04 

EPA issues Notice of Deficiency on 

Wisconsin's Title V permit program N/A N/A Issued 3/4/04 

2008

2004

2007

2006
NOx Emission Limits for EGUs 428 Submitted 12/16/02 Final Rule pending 

Approval of Wisconsin’s revised 2007 Motor 

Vehicle Emission Inventories and Motor 

Vehicle Budgets 

N/A Submitted 1/31/03 Final Rule 6/20/03 

Autobody Refinishing Operations Revision 

(incl. Renumbering) 

406, 407, 423,

428, 439, 484,

485 

Submitted 2/1/01 & 7/31/01 Final Rule 12/14/01 

1-Hour RACM Analysis Submitted 6/6/01 Final Rule 11/13/01 

Plastic Parts Coating RACT 422, 439 Submitted 7/31/01 Final Rule11/13/01 

I/M 485 Submitted 7/7/01 & 7/27/01 Proposed Rule 8/16/01 

Plastic Parts Coating RACT supplement 422, 439 Submitted Final 7/31/01 Final Rule 11/13/01 

Phase II Attainment Submitted 2/22/00 Final Rule 11/13/01

9% Plan Supplement Submitted 3/3/00 Final Rule 11/13/01

Submitted 12/27/00 Final Rule 11/13/01

428 Final Rule 11/13/01

423 Final Rule 11/13/01

410 Proposed Rule 3/6/02

485 Final Rule 8/16/01

N/A Final Rule 8/16/01

N/A Final Rule 8/16/01

Adopting EPA 204 Series of Capture 

Efficiency Test 439 Submitted 8/15/00 (no record??) 

Walworth Maintenance Plan revision Submitted 9/8/00 Final Rule 10/26/00 

Non-CTG RACT, Flint Ink Admin. Order Submitted 10/30/00 None required 

Deficiencies submittal, Mid-course correction N/A Final Rule 11/13/01 

Clean Fuel Fleets (program delay) 487 Submitted 5/6/99 None required

Maint. Plans: Kewaunee, N/A Submitted 2/22/00 Final Rule 11/13/01

Withdrawal Contingency N/A Submitted 2/22/00 Final Rule 11/13/01

1-Hour Attainment SIP (“Phase 2 – Severe”) 

* Full attainment demonstration * Motor 

Vehicle Emission Budgets 

 Submitted 4/30/98 Final Rule 11/13/01 

Enhancement to I/M program 485 Final Rule 8/16/01 

Severe NAA SIP (Attainment Demonstration) N/A Commitment to EPA Final Rule 11/13/01 

Transportation Conformity Submitted 6/23/98 Final Rule 11/13/01 

I/M Cutpoint revision to 11/15/92 submittal 485 Submitted 12/30/98 Final Rule 8/16/01 

1999

1998

2001

2000 1-Hour Ozone Attainment SIP 

2003
Compliance Demonstr. Milestone for 15% 

SIP Letter 5/2/97 Not a SIP revision 

9% Rate of Progress Plan See below Submitted 12/11/97 Final Rule 11/13/01

* Fed Tier 1 N/A N/A 

* RFG N/A N/A 

* I/M 485 Final Rule 8/16/01

* Fed Gas Detergent N/A N/A 

Additives 422 Final Rule 4/4/96

* Wood Furniture 422, 439, 484 Final Rule 6/3095

Coatings 424, 439 Permit condition Final Rule 6/30/95

422, 439 Final Rule 7/28/95

419 Final Rule 2/13/96

* Yeast Manufacturing 422 Final Riule4/25/96

* Screen Printing 422 Final Rule 4/9/96

* Gray Iron & Steel 423.03 Final Rule 4/29/96

Foundries NR 445 Operating Permit N/A 

* Industrial Adhesives N/A N/A N/A 

* Lithographic Printing N/A N/A N/A 

* Degreasing N/A N/A N/A 

* Asphalt BACT N/A Voluntary measure N/A 

N/A N/A N/A 

422 Final Rule 2/12/96

420 Final Rule 8/13/93

N/A N/A N/A 

422 Final Rule 4/29/96

420 Final Rule 4/29/96 

N/A N/A N/A 

N/A N/A N/A 

N/A N/A N/A 

N/A N/A N/A 

 Transportation Conformity N/A Submitted 2/20/97 Inactive 

 I/M Supplement 485 Submitted 7/3/97 Final Rule 8/16/01 

 ROP & Attainment N/A Submitted 12/11/97 Final Rule 11/13/01 

 NOx Exemption for Transportation 

Conformity N/A Submitted 7/10/96 Final Rule 2/3/98 

 Industrial Cleanup Solvents 423 (renumbered) Submitted 1/19/96 Final Rule 4/29/96 

 Traffic Markings 422 (renumbered) Submitted 2/2/96 Final Rule 4/29/96 

 Phase 1 modeling Demonstration Attainment N/A Submitted 2/2/96 Final Rule 11/13/01 

 Redesignation (Walworth, Kewaunee, 

Manitowoc, Sheboygan) N/A Subm. Walworth 12/15/95 Kew. 

Man, Sheb: 5/15/96 

 Final Rule 8/26/96; 

minusManitowoc 

 Enhanced I/M 485 Submitted 2/13/96 Final Rule 8/16/01 

 ROP & Attainment Demonstration revisions N/A Subm. 5/24/96 & 10/18/96 Final 11/13/01 

 General Electric Medical Systems 432 Submitted 3/15/96 Final Rule 7/17/96 

 Clean Fuel Fleets Revision 487 Submitted 6/7/95 Final Rule 3/11/96 

 Attainment Demonstr. Ph.1 model 

commitment Submitted 5/15/94 Final Rule 11/13/01 

 Fed RFG 3 moderate counties (Class C) N/A Contingency provision N/A 

 Plastic Parts Coatings 422, 439 Submitted 7/31/01 Final Rule 11/13/01 

 RFG 9 counties (Class B) N/A Contingency provision N/A 

 Transportation Conformity Supplement N/A Submitted 6/9/95 Final Rule 8/27/96 

 Milwaukee area VMT offset program (3 

elements) N/A 

 Final Rule 5/5/95 (Elem. 

1) Final Rule 9/11/95 

(Elem.2) 

 ROP & Contingency Plan supplements N/A Submitted 7/13/95 Final Rule 3/21/96 

 Wood Door Ctg & Molded Wood 

Parts/Product 422, 439, 484 Submitted 2/15/95 Final Rule 6/30/95 

 Industrial Cleanup Solvents supplement 423, 425 Submitted 12/7/95 Final Rule 4/29/96 

 Walworth Redesignation request/Maint. Pla N/A Submitted 12/15/95 Final Rule 8/26/96 

 1996 

 1995 

1997

* Misc. wood parts and products 

* LAER at gas storage facilities 

* LAER medical waste incinerators 

* TSDF MACT 
Attainment Demonstration Submitted 11/15/94 

 Final Rule 

11/13/01(severe) Final 

Rule 8/26/96 (Moder) 

 Submitted 6/30/94 Final Rule 4/29/96 

424, 439 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 4/29/96 

422, 439 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 4/29/96 

419 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 4/29/96 

422, 439, 484 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 4/29/96 

 Contingency Plans (w/15% Plan) N/A Submitted 11/15/94 Final Rule 3/21/96 

 Post-1996 ROP Plan (w/9% ROP) Submitted 11/16/94 Final Rule 11/13/01 

 Petition to suspend further ROP req’ments 

for Moderate NAA (Redesig. for Kew & 

Sheb) 

 Submitted 11/16/94 Final Rule 8/26/96 

 Clean Fuel Fleets 487 Submitted 5/12/94 Final Rule 3/11/96 

 NOx Waiver N/A Submitted 7/13/94 Final Rule 11/13/01 

 I/M N/A Submitted 7/28/94 Final Rule 8/16/01 

 General Conformity 489 Subm. 11/30/94 & 10/18/95 Final Rule 7/29/96 

 6 Severe County NAA Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 11/13/01 

 Transportation Conformity N/A Submitted 11/23/94 Final Rule 8/27/96 

15% Plan See below Submitted 11/15/94 Final rule 3/21/96 

* Autobody Refinishing 421, 422, 423 Subm. 6/14/95 & 2/2/96 Final Rule 2/12/96 

* Industrial Cleanup 423, 425 Subm. 4/12/95 & Final Rule 4/29/96 

Solvents 486 Submitted 11/15/93 N/A 

* Employee Trip N/A N/A N/A 

Reduction N/A N/A N/A 

* Fed AIM N/A N/A N/A 

* Fed Detergent Additives N/A N/A N/A 

In Gas 485 Rule: 2/17/95 Final Rule 8/16/01 

420 Subm. 2/17/95 & Final Rule 4/29/96? 

422 Subm. 12/11/95 & Final Rule 2/13/96 

* Fed RFG, 6 counties 485 Rule: 6/14/95 Final rule 8/16/01 

422, 439, 484 Subm. 6/14/95 & Final Rule 4/9/96 

Submitted 2/15/95 

* Gas station tank 422, 424, 439 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 4/4/96 

breathing 424, 439 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 6/3095 

* Industrial Adhesives 422, 439 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 7/28/95 

* I/M Expansion 419 Submitted 7/11/94 Final Rule 2/13/96 

(Sheboygan) N/A N/A N/A 

* Lithographic Printing 420, 425, 439, 484, Subm 11/15/92 & Final Rule 8/13/93 

* Non-CTG RACT: N/A N/A N/A 

Misc. Wood 422 Subm. 6/14/95 & Final Rule 4/29/96 

Products Coatings 422 Submitted 6/14/95 Final Rule 4/9/96 

Base Year Emission Inventories N/A Submitted 1/15/93; 7/21/93 & 

12/10/93 Final Rule 6/15/94 

VMT Emissions Projections 2007: Severe 

NAA N/A Submitted 11/15/93 

 Final Rule 11/13/01 Final 

Rule 5/5/95 (Elem. 1) Final 

Rule 9/11/95 (Elem.2) 

 Enhanced I/M 485 Submitted 11/15/92 Final Rule 8/16/01 

 Emissions Statement 438 Submitted 11/13/92 Final Rule 12/6/93 

 RACT I-III NR 400 Series Final Rules 

9/27/95;8/15/94 & 2/15/94 

 National RVP (9.0 Summer Grade) N/A None N/A 

 I/M Program (Basic prior to CAA90) 485 Final Rule 8/16/01 

 1992 

 1994 

 Major source non-CTG RACT 

 Pre-1990 CAA 

 1993 

* Fed non-road engine standards 

* Full I/M Enhancement, 6 counties 
Appendix G 

Overview:CART 

Appendix G provides a brief overview of the binary recursive partitioning method called the 

Classification And Regression Tree (CART) analysis that was applied to ozone and meteorology 

data for several midwestern urban areas (Kenski 2009). This analysis is described in Section 7.3 

(“CART Analyses”) of the Attainment Demonstration. 

The CART model is a robust, easy-to-use decision tree that automatically sifts large, complex 

databases, searching for and isolating significant patterns and relationships (Salford systems, 2009). 

This discovered knowledge is then used to generate reliable, easy-to-grasp predictive models for 

applications to reveal data relationships that could remain hidden using other analytical tools 

(Salford systems, 2009). 

The CART model has several advantages as a tool for data mining and predictive modeling 

(Kenski, 2009). The tree produced represents a model or decision tree in which each node (branch) 

is determined by splitting the dataset on the basis of the one variable that results in the best 

separation as defined by values of the dependent variable (in this case, ozone concentration). The 

splitting rule is expressed in natural language – for example, asking the question “is temperature 

less than 75oF?”. Consequently the output trees are easy to interpret. At every branch, every variable 

is tested for its usefulness in further splitting. This exhaustive search for splitters can make CART 

computationally intensive. 

References 

Kenski, D., 2009: Updated CART Analysis for Ozone through 2008. Draft. LADCO, Feb 26, 3 pp, 

Salford Systems, 2009: Product Overview: CART. http://www.salfordsystems.com/cart.php