### 10C-i 

## APPENDIX 10C. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

TABLE OF CONTENTS 10C.1 POLYPHASE MOTORS RESULTS ....................................................................10C-1 10C.2 CAPACITOR-START RUNMOTORS RESULTS ...........................................10C-14 10C.3 CAPACITOR-START RUN MOTORS SEGMENTED MARKETS RESULTS ............................................................................................................10C-30

TABLE OF TABLES Table 10C.1.1 Polyphase Motors: Reference Scenario....................................................10C-3 Table 10C.1.2 Polyphase Motors: High Market Growth Scenario...................................10C-4 Table 10C.1.3 Polyphase Motors: Low Market Growth Scenario...................................10C-5 Table 10C.1.4 Polyphase Motors: Falling Market Share Scenario..................................10C-6 Table 10C.1.5 Polyphase Motors: Middle Elasticity Scenario.........................................10C-7 Table 10C.1.6 Polyphase Motors: High Elasticity Scenario............................................10C-8 Table 10C.1.7 Polyphase Motors: 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario......................10C-9 Table 10C.1.8 Polyphase Motors: 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario......................10C-10 Table 10C.1.9 Polyphase Motors: Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario.................................10C-11 Table 10C.1.10 Polyphase Motors: High Energy Price Scenario.....................................10C-12 Table 10C.1.11 Polyphase Motors: Low Energy Price Scenario.....................................10C-13 Table 10C.2.1 Capacitor Start Motors: Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time........................................................................................10C-16 Table 10C.2.2 Capacitor Start Motors: Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time........................................................................................10C-17 Table 10C.2.3 Capacitor Start Motors: High Market Growth Scenario.........................10C-18 Table 10C.2.4 Capacitor Start Motors: Low Market Growth Scenario..........................10C-19 Table 10C.2.5 Capacitor Start Motors: Falling Market Share Scenario.........................10C-20 Table 10C.2.6 Capacitor Start Motors: Low CSCR Market Share Scenario..................10C-21 Table 10C.2.7 Capacitor Start Motors: High CSCR Market Share Scenario.................10C-22 Table 10C.2.8 Capacitor Start Motors: Middle Elasticity Scenario...............................10C-23 Table 10C.2.9 Capacitor Start Motors: High Elasticity Scenario...................................10C-24 Table 10C.2.10 Capacitor Start Motors: 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario.............10C-25 Table 10C.2.11 Capacitor Start Motors: 0%Reactive Power Charge Scenario...............10C-26 Table 10C.2.12 Capacitor Start Motors:Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario.........................10C-27 Table 10C.2.13 Capacitor Start Motors: High Energy Price...........................................10C-28 Table 10C.2.14 Capacitor Start Motors: Low Energy Price.............................................10C-29 Table 10C.3.1 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time.................................................................10C-32 Table 10C.3.2 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time.................................................................10C-33

### 10C-ii 

## Table 10C.3.3 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets High Market Growth Scenario....................................................................................................10C-34 Table 10C.3.4 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Low Market Growth Scenario....................................................................................................10C-35 Table 10C.3.5 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Falling Market Share Scenario....................................................................................................10C-36 Table 10C.3.6 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Low CSCR Market Share Scenario....................................................................................................10C-37 Table 10C.3.7 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets High CSCR Market Share Scenario.........................................................................................10C-38 Table 10C.3.8 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Middle Elasticity Scenario....................................................................................................10C-39 Table 10C.3.9 Capacitor Start Motors: SegmentedMarkets HighElasticity Scenario...10C-40 Table 10C.3.10 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario.......................................................................................10C-41 Table 10C.3.11 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario.......................................................................................10C-42 Table 10C.3.12 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario....................................................................................................10C-43 Table 10C.3.13 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets High Energy Price...........10C-44 Table 10C.3.14 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Low Energy Price.............10C-45

### 10C-iii 

## TABLE OF FIGURES Figure 10C.1.1 Polyphase Motors: Net Present Value (3% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings............................................................................10C-1 Figure 10C.1.2 Polyphase Motors: Net Present Value (7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings............................................................................10C-2 Figure 10C.2.1 Capacitor Start Motors:Net Present Value (3% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings..........................................................................10C-14 Figure 10C.2.2 Capacitor Start Motors:Net Present Value (7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings..........................................................................10C-15 Figure 10C.3.1 Capacitor Start Motors:Net Present Value (3% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings..........................................................................10C-30 Figure 10C.3.2 Capacitor Start Motors:Net Present Value (7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings..........................................................................10C-31

## APPENDIX 10C. NATIONAL ENERGYSAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE RESULTS SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

10C.1 POLYPHASE MOTORS RESULTS

-15.0 -12.5 -10.0 -7.5 -5.0 -2.5 0.0 2.5

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55

Primary Energy Savings (Quads)Net Present Value, 3% Dicount Rate (2008 $B)

Reference Scenario High Market Growth Scenario

Low Market Growth Scenario Falling Market Share Scenario Middle Elasticity Scenario High Elasticity Scenario 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario High Energy Price Scenario Low Energy Price Scenario



## Figure 10C.1.1 Polyphase Motors: Net Present Value (3% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings

10C-1-15.0 -12.5 -10.0 -7.5 -5.0 -2.5 0.0 2.5

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55

Primary Energy Savings (Quads)Net Present Value, 7% Dicount Rate (2008 $B)

Reference Scenario High Market Growth Scenario

Low Market Growth Scenario Falling Market Share Scenario Middle Elasticity Scenario High Elasticity Scenario 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario High Energy Price Scenario Low Energy Price Scenario



## Figure 10C.1.2 Polyphase Motors: Net Present Value (7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings

10C-2

### 10C-3 

## Table 10C.1.1 Polyphase Motors: Reference Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 50.6 55.6 64.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 38.4 40.4 35.9 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.293 0.322 0.375 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.037 0.039 0.034 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.330 0.361 0.409 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.21 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.10 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.99 5.68 28.94 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.16 3.07 15.64 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.08 1.54 7.82 Active Energy Savings 0.67 1.54 2.88 3.30 5.54 6.09 7.08 Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.07 0.24 0.24 0.30 0.31 0.28 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 0.68 1.60 3.13 3.54 5.83 6.40 7.36 3% Discount Rate 0.32 0.75 1.46 1.65 2.72 2.98 3.43 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.13 0.31 0.61 0.69 1.14 1.25 1.44 3% Discount Rate 0.15 0.48 1.01 1.07 0.56 -0.09 -12.21 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.05 0.18 0.39 0.40 0.06 -0.29 -6.38

### 10C-4 

## Table 10C.1.2 Polyphase Motors: HighMarket Growth Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 Active Energy (TWh) 7.5 17.2 32.3 37.0 62.1 68.3 79.5 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 2.3 10.7 38.8 37.7 47.2 49.6 44.0 Active Energy Savings 0.043 0.100 0.187 0.214 0.359 0.394 0.459 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.010 0.037 0.036 0.045 0.047 0.042 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 0.046 0.110 0.223 0.250 0.403 0.441 0.501 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.06 0.11 0.13 0.20 0.22 0.25 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.09 0.10 0.11 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.40 0.64 1.04 1.35 5.06 7.21 36.72 3% Discount Rate 0.21 0.33 0.55 0.71 2.65 3.78 19.24 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.10 0.16 0.26 0.34 1.28 1.82 9.26 Active Energy Savings 0.86 1.97 3.69 4.23 7.09 7.79 9.07 Reactive Power Savings 0.02 0.09 0.31 0.30 0.38 0.40 0.36 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 0.88 2.05 4.00 4.53 7.47 8.19 9.42 3% Discount Rate 0.40 0.93 1.81 2.05 3.37 3.70 4.26 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.16 0.37 0.73 0.82 1.36 1.49 1.71 3% Discount Rate 0.19 0.59 1.26 1.34 0.72 -0.08 -14.98 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.06 0.21 0.46 0.48 0.08 -0.33 -7.55

### 10C-5 

## Table 10C.1.3 Polyphase Motors: Low Market Growth Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.0081.6082.5085.2086.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 Active Energy (TWh) 5.8 13.2 24.8 28.4 47.6 52.4 61.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.8 8.2 29.7 28.9 36.2 38.0 33.8 Active Energy Savings 0.033 0.0770.1440.1650.2760.304 0.353

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.0080.0280.0280.0350.036 0.032 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.035 0.0840.1720.1920.3110.340 0.385 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.10 0.16 0.18 0.20 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.09 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.30 0.47 0.77 1.00 3.75 5.35 27.22 3% Discount Rate 0.16 0.26 0.42 0.54 2.03 2.90 14.75 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.08 0.13 0.21 0.27 1.02 1.45 7.40 Active Energy Savings 0.63 1.44 2.71 3.10 5.21 5.72 6.66

Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.06 0.23 0.22 0.28 0.29 0.26 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.64 1.51 2.94 3.33 5.49 6.02 6.92 3% Discount Rate 0.30 0.70 1.37 1.55 2.56 2.81 3.23 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.13 0.30 0.58 0.65 1.08 1.18 1.36 3% Discount Rate 0.14 0.45 0.95 1.01 0.53 -0.09 -11.52 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.05 0.17 0.37 0.38 0.06 -0.27 -6.04

### 10C-6 

## Table 10C.1.4 Polyphase Motors: Falling Market Share Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.0081.6082.5085.2086.4088.30 Shipments (Millions) 23.3 23.3 23.3 23.3 23.3 23.3 23.3 Active Energy (TWh) 4.6 10.6 19.9 22.8 38.3 42.1 49.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.4 6.6 23.9 23.2 29.1 30.6 27.1 Active Energy Savings 0.027 0.0620.1160.1330.2230.2450.285

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.001 0.0060.0230.0220.0280.0290.026 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.028 0.0680.1390.1550.2500.2740.311 3% Discount Rate 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.13 0.14 0.16 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.23 0.37 0.61 0.79 2.94 4.19 21.34 3% Discount Rate 0.13 0.21 0.34 0.44 1.64 2.33 11.88 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.07 0.11 0.18 0.23 0.85 1.21 6.15 Active Energy Savings 0.49 1.12 2.11 2.42 4.05 4.45 5.18

Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.05 0.18 0.17 0.22 0.23 0.20 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.50 1.17 2.29 2.59 4.27 4.68 5.39 3% Discount Rate 0.24 0.56 1.10 1.24 2.05 2.25 2.58 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.10 0.24 0.48 0.54 0.89 0.97 1.12 3% Discount Rate 0.11 0.36 0.76 0.80 0.41 -0.09 -9.29 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.04 0.14 0.30 0.31 0.04 -0.23 -5.03

### 10C-7 

## Table 10C.1.5 Polyphase Motors: Middle Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 30.4 29.7 26.8 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 48.7 52.5 55.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 37.0 38.1 30.5 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.282 0.304 0.318 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.035 0.036 0.029 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.318 0.340 0.347 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.16 0.18 0.18 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.08 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.84 5.36 24.57 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.08 2.90 13.28 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.04 1.45 6.64 Active Energy Savings 0.67 1.54 2.88 3.30 5.33 5.74 6.02 Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.07 0.24 0.24 0.29 0.30 0.24 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 0.68 1.60 3.13 3.54 5.62 6.04 6.25 3% Discount Rate 0.32 0.75 1.46 1.65 2.62 2.81 2.91 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.13 0.31 0.61 0.69 1.10 1.18 1.22 3% Discount Rate 0.15 0.48 1.01 1.07 0.54 -0.08 -10.37 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.05 0.18 0.39 0.40 0.06 -0.27 -5.42

### 10C-8 

## Table 10C.1.6 Polyphase Motors: High Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 29.2 27.9 22.0 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 46.9 49.3 45.2 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 35.6 35.8 25.1 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.272 0.285 0.262

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.034 0.034 0.024 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.305 0.320 0.286 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.16 0.16 0.15 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.07 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.70 5.03 20.21 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.00 2.72 10.93 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.00 1.36 5.46 Active Energy Savings 0.67 1.54 2.88 3.30 5.13 5.39 4.95

Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.07 0.24 0.24 0.28 0.28 0.19 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.68 1.60 3.13 3.54 5.41 5.67 5.14 3% Discount Rate 0.32 0.75 1.46 1.65 2.52 2.64 2.40 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.13 0.31 0.61 0.69 1.05 1.11 1.00 3% Discount Rate 0.15 0.48 1.01 1.07 0.52 -0.08 -8.53 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.05 0.18 0.39 0.40 0.06 -0.25 -4.46

### 10C-9 

## Table 10C.1.7 Polyphase Motors: 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 50.6 55.6 64.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 38.4 40.4 35.9 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.293 0.322 0.375

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.037 0.039 0.034 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.330 0.361 0.409 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.21 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.10 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.99 5.68 28.94 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.16 3.07 15.64 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.08 1.54 7.82 Active Energy Savings 0.67 1.54 2.88 3.30 5.54 6.09 7.08

Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.03 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.16 0.14 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.68 1.57 3.00 3.42 5.69 6.24 7.22 3% Discount Rate 0.32 0.73 1.40 1.59 2.65 2.91 3.37 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.13 0.31 0.59 0.67 1.11 1.22 1.41 3% Discount Rate 0.14 0.46 0.95 1.02 0.49 -0.16 -12.28 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.05 0.17 0.36 0.38 0.03 -0.32 -6.41

### 10C-10 

## Table 10C.1.8 Polyphase Motors: 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 50.6 55.6 64.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 38.4 40.4 35.9 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.293 0.322 0.375

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.037 0.039 0.034 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.330 0.361 0.409 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.21 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.10 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.99 5.68 28.94 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.16 3.07 15.64 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.08 1.54 7.82 Active Energy Savings 0.67 1.54 2.88 3.30 5.54 6.09 7.08

Reactive Power Savings 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.67 1.54 2.88 3.30 5.54 6.09 7.08 3% Discount Rate 0.31 0.72 1.34 1.54 2.58 2.84 3.30 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.13 0.30 0.56 0.64 1.08 1.19 1.38 3% Discount Rate 0.14 0.44 0.90 0.96 0.42 -0.23 -12.34 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.05 0.16 0.34 0.36 0.00 -0.35 -6.44

### 10C-11 

## Table 10C.1.9 Polyphase Motors: Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 50.6 55.6 64.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 38.4 40.4 35.9 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.293 0.322 0.375

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.037 0.039 0.034 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.330 0.361 0.409 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.21 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.10 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.99 5.68 28.94 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.16 3.07 15.64 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.08 1.54 7.82 Active Energy Savings 0.89 2.05 3.84 4.40 7.38 8.11 9.44

Reactive Power Savings 0.02 0.09 0.33 0.32 0.40 0.42 0.37 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.91 2.14 4.16 4.72 7.77 8.53 9.81 3% Discount Rate 0.41 0.97 1.89 2.14 3.52 3.86 4.44 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.17 0.39 0.76 0.86 1.42 1.56 1.79 3% Discount Rate 0.24 0.70 1.44 1.56 1.36 0.79 -11.20 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.08 0.25 0.54 0.57 0.34 0.02 -6.03

### 10C-12 

## Table 10C.1.10 Polyphase Motors: High Energy Price Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 50.6 55.6 64.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 38.4 40.4 35.9 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.293 0.322 0.375

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.037 0.039 0.034 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.330 0.361 0.409 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.21 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.10 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.99 5.68 28.94 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.16 3.07 15.64 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.08 1.54 7.82 Active Energy Savings 0.65 1.50 2.82 3.23 5.41 5.95 6.92

Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.07 0.24 0.23 0.29 0.31 0.27 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.67 1.57 3.05 3.46 5.70 6.26 7.19 3% Discount Rate 0.31 0.73 1.42 1.61 2.65 2.91 3.35 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.13 0.30 0.59 0.67 1.11 1.21 1.40 3% Discount Rate 0.14 0.46 0.98 1.03 0.50 -0.16 -12.30 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.04 0.17 0.37 0.38 0.03 -0.32 -6.42

### 10C-13 

## Table 10C.1.11 Polyphase Motors: Low Energy Price Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Motor Efficiency 78.70 80.00 81.60 82.50 85.20 86.40 88.30 Shipments (Millions) 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 31.5 Active Energy (TWh) 6.1 14.0 26.3 30.2 50.6 55.6 64.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 1.9 8.7 31.6 30.7 38.4 40.4 35.9 Active Energy Savings 0.035 0.081 0.152 0.175 0.293 0.322 0.375

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.002 0.008 0.030 0.029 0.037 0.039 0.034 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.037 0.090 0.183 0.204 0.330 0.361 0.409 3% Discount Rate 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.21 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.10 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 0.32 0.50 0.82 1.07 3.99 5.68 28.94 3% Discount Rate 0.17 0.27 0.45 0.58 2.16 3.07 15.64 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B)7% Discount Rate 0.09 0.14 0.22 0.29 1.08 1.54 7.82 Active Energy Savings 0.68 1.55 2.91 3.34 5.60 6.16 7.16

Reactive Power Savings 0.01 0.07 0.25 0.24 0.30 0.32 0.28 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 0.69 1.62 3.16 3.58 5.90 6.47 7.44 3% Discount Rate 0.32 0.76 1.48 1.67 2.76 3.03 3.48 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.14 0.32 0.62 0.70 1.16 1.27 1.46 3% Discount Rate 0.15 0.49 1.03 1.10 0.60 -0.04 -12.16 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.05 0.18 0.40 0.42 0.08 -0.26 -6.36

## 10C.2 CAPACITOR-START RUN MOTORS RESULTS

-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

Primary Energy Savings (Quads)Net Present Value, Dicounted at 3% (2008 $B)

Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time High Market Growth Scenario Low Market Growth Scenario Falling Market Share Scenario Low CSCR Market Share Scenario High CSCR Market Share Scenario Medium Elasticity Scenario High Elasticity Scenario 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario Low Energy Price Scenario High Energy Price Scenario



## Figure 10C.2.1 Capacitor Start Motors: Net Present Value (3% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings

10C-14-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

Primary Energy Savings (Quads)Net Present Value, Discounted at 7% (2008 $B)

Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time High Market Growth Scenario Low Market Growth Scenario Falling Market Share Scenario Low CSCR Market Share Scenario High CSCR Market Share Scenario Medium Elasticity Scenario High Elasticity Scenario 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario Low Energy Price Scenario High Energy Price Scenario



## Figure 10C.2.2 Capacitor Start Motors: Net Present Value (7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings

10C-15

### 10C-16 

## Table 10C.2.1 Capacitor Start Motors: Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 128.9 126.3 137.1 0.8 2.6 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 134.5 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 232.6 234.6 289.6 296.3 342.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 187.2 179.7 242.2 432.7 658.4 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.72 1.99 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.41 0.62 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.53 1.53 1.91 2.13 2.61 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.11 1.36 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.38 0.47 0.52 0.64 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 11.5 11.1 69.9 5.1 15.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 6.2 6.0 37.8 2.7 8.6 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.1 3.0 18.9 1.4 4.3 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.1 24.3 24.5 30.2 30.9 35.7 Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.8 3.2 4.9 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.6 18.0 22.0 25.6 25.8 32.0 34.1 40.5 3% Discount Rate 8.4 8.6 10.5 12.3 12.4 15.3 16.3 19.4 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.7 4.5 5.3 5.3 6.6 7.0 8.4 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.6 7.2 6.0 6.4 -22.5 13.6 10.8 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.3 -12.3 5.7 4.1

### 10C-17 

## Table 10C.2.2 Capacitor Start Motors: Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 133.7 132.9 133.5 129.1 126.8 136.3 16.6 18.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.4 4.2 3.6 8.0 10.4 0.8 120.5 118.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 157.1 159.8 203.1 232.6 234.3 290.4 295.4 335.2 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 179.9 183.1 115.3 186.8 178.5 246.9 408.0 604.3 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.69 1.72 1.94 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.38 0.56 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.92 2.10 2.51 3% Discount Rate 0.57 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.09 1.29 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.27 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.47 0.51 0.59 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 11.6 11.2 70.2 12.4 22.0 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 6.3 6.1 38.0 8.4 13.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.1 3.0 19.0 5.5 7.7 Active Energy Savings 16.4 16.7 21.2 24.3 24.4 30.3 30.8 35.1 Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.8 3.1 4.6 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.7 18.0 22.0 25.6 25.8 32.1 33.9 39.7 3% Discount Rate 8.5 8.6 10.6 12.3 12.3 15.4 16.2 18.8 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.7 3.7 4.6 5.3 5.3 6.7 6.9 8.0 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.7 7.3 6.0 6.3 -22.6 7.7 5.5 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.1 2.3 -12.4 1.5 0.3

### 10C-18 

## Table 10C.2.3 Capacitor Start Motors: High Market Growth Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 170.3 169.1 170.0 163.6 160.2 174.0 1.0 3.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.7 4.9 4.0 10.4 13.8 0.0 173.0 170.7 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 193.4 196.8 250.4 287.5 289.9 357.8 366.1 422.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 220.6 225.0 140.3 231.3 222.1 299.3 534.7 813.6 Active Energy Savings 1.12 1.14 1.45 1.66 1.68 2.07 2.12 2.45 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.21 0.21 0.13 0.22 0.21 0.28 0.50 0.76 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.33 1.35 1.58 1.88 1.89 2.35 2.62 3.21 3% Discount Rate 0.67 0.69 0.80 0.96 0.96 1.20 1.33 1.63 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.31 0.31 0.37 0.44 0.44 0.55 0.61 0.75 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 4.6 4.6 7.7 14.6 14.0 88.7 6.4 20.1 3% Discount Rate 2.4 2.4 4.0 7.7 7.3 46.5 3.4 10.5 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.2 1.2 1.9 3.7 3.5 22.4 1.6 5.1 Active Energy Savings 20.9 21.3 27.1 31.1 31.3 38.7 39.6 45.7 Reactive Power Savings 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.8 1.7 2.3 4.1 6.2 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 22.6 23.0 28.1 32.8 33.0 41.0 43.7 51.9 3% Discount Rate 10.5 10.7 13.0 15.2 15.3 19.0 20.3 24.1 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 4.4 4.4 5.4 6.3 6.4 7.9 8.4 10.0 3% Discount Rate 8.1 8.2 9.0 7.6 8.0 -27.5 16.9 13.5 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.2 3.3 3.5 2.6 2.8 -14.5 6.8 4.9

### 10C-19 

## Table 10C.2.4 Capacitor Start Motors: Low Market Growth Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 126.3 125.4 126.0 121.3 118.8 129.0 0.7 2.5 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.8 3.6 3.0 7.7 10.2 0.0 128.3 126.6 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 147.3 149.9 190.8 219.0 220.9 272.6 278.9 322.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 168.1 171.4 106.9 176.2 169.2 228.0 407.4 619.9 Active Energy Savings 0.86 0.87 1.11 1.27 1.28 1.58 1.62 1.87 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.16 0.16 0.10 0.17 0.16 0.21 0.38 0.58 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.01 1.03 1.21 1.44 1.44 1.80 2.00 2.46 3% Discount Rate 0.53 0.54 0.63 0.75 0.75 0.94 1.05 1.28 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.25 0.26 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.44 0.50 0.61 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.4 3.4 5.7 10.8 10.4 65.8 4.8 14.9 3% Discount Rate 1.9 1.9 3.1 5.9 5.6 35.6 2.6 8.1 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.9 0.9 1.6 2.9 2.8 17.9 1.3 4.1 Active Energy Savings 15.3 15.6 19.9 22.8 23.0 28.4 29.1 33.5 Reactive Power Savings 1.2 1.3 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.7 3.0 4.6 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 16.6 16.9 20.7 24.1 24.3 30.1 32.1 38.1 3% Discount Rate 8.0 8.1 9.9 11.6 11.6 14.4 15.4 18.3 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.4 3.5 4.3 5.0 5.0 6.2 6.7 7.9 3% Discount Rate 6.1 6.2 6.8 5.7 6.0 -21.2 12.8 10.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.1 2.2 -11.6 5.4 3.9

### 10C-20 

## Table 10C.2.5 Capacitor Start Motors: Falling Market Share Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 99.0 98.3 98.8 95.1 93.1 101.2 0.6 1.9 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.2 2.8 2.3 6.1 8.0 0.0 100.6 99.2 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 117.8 119.9 152.5 175.1 176.7 218.0 223.1 257.5 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 134.4 137.1 85.5 140.9 135.3 182.4 325.8 495.7 Active Energy Savings 0.69 0.70 0.89 1.02 1.03 1.27 1.30 1.50 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.13 0.13 0.08 0.13 0.13 0.17 0.31 0.47 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 0.81 0.83 0.97 1.16 1.16 1.44 1.61 1.97 3% Discount Rate 0.44 0.44 0.52 0.62 0.62 0.77 0.86 1.05 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.21 0.21 0.25 0.30 0.30 0.37 0.42 0.51 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 2.7 2.7 4.5 8.5 8.2 51.6 3.7 11.7 3% Discount Rate 1.5 1.5 2.5 4.7 4.5 28.7 2.1 6.5 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.8 0.8 1.3 2.5 2.3 14.9 1.1 3.4 Active Energy Savings 11.9 12.2 15.5 17.8 17.9 22.1 22.6 26.1 Reactive Power Savings 1.0 1.0 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.3 2.3 3.6 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 12.9 13.1 16.1 18.8 18.9 23.4 25.0 29.7 3% Discount Rate 6.4 6.5 7.9 9.2 9.3 11.5 12.3 14.6 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.8 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.2 5.2 5.5 6.5 3% Discount Rate 4.9 5.0 5.4 4.5 4.8 -17.2 10.2 8.1 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.1 2.1 2.3 1.7 1.8 -9.7 4.4 3.2

### 10C-21 

## Table 10C.2.6 Capacitor Start Motors: Low CSCR Market Share Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 136.8 136.6 136.8 136.3 135.8 137.1 10.2 21.9 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.3 0.0 127.0 115.2 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 152.7 153.4 199.2 227.8 228.3 289.6 296.0 336.6 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 170.2 171.4 102.0 154.1 153.9 242.2 423.4 614.5 Active Energy Savings 0.89 0.89 1.16 1.32 1.33 1.68 1.72 1.95 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.16 0.16 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.23 0.40 0.58 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.05 1.05 1.25 1.47 1.47 1.91 2.12 2.53 3% Discount Rate 0.55 0.55 0.65 0.77 0.77 1.00 1.10 1.32 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.26 0.31 0.36 0.36 0.47 0.52 0.62 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.8 3.8 6.3 12.5 12.4 69.9 7.9 20.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.4 6.8 6.7 37.8 4.3 11.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.7 3.4 3.4 18.9 2.1 5.6 Active Energy Savings 15.9 16.0 20.8 23.8 23.8 30.2 30.9 35.1 Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.8 3.1 4.5 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.2 17.3 21.5 24.9 24.9 32.0 34.0 39.6 3% Discount Rate 8.2 8.3 10.3 11.9 11.9 15.3 16.3 19.0 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.5 3.6 4.4 5.1 5.2 6.6 7.0 8.2 3% Discount Rate 6.2 6.2 6.9 5.2 5.2 -22.5 12.0 7.7 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.5 2.5 2.8 1.8 1.8 -12.3 4.9 2.6

### 10C-22 

## Table 10C.2.7 Capacitor Start Motors: High CSCR Market Share Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 101.3 94.3 98.4 84.3 74.6 137.1 0.0 0.1 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 35.8 42.8 38.7 52.8 62.5 0.0 137.1 137.0 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 188.7 205.7 231.4 256.1 262.7 289.6 296.3 342.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 248.7 267.3 211.6 351.0 295.3 242.4 433.4 663.8 Active Energy Savings 1.10 1.19 1.34 1.49 1.53 1.68 1.72 1.99 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.23 0.25 0.20 0.33 0.28 0.23 0.41 0.62 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.33 1.45 1.54 1.82 1.80 1.91 2.13 2.61 3% Discount Rate 0.69 0.75 0.80 0.95 0.94 1.00 1.11 1.36 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.45 0.44 0.47 0.52 0.64 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.0 3.4 5.0 8.8 7.6 69.9 4.8 15.2 3% Discount Rate 1.6 1.8 2.7 4.8 4.1 37.8 2.6 8.2 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.4 2.1 18.9 1.3 4.1 Active Energy Savings 19.7 21.5 24.1 26.7 27.4 30.2 30.9 35.7 Reactive Power Savings 1.8 2.0 1.6 2.6 2.2 1.8 3.2 4.9 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 21.5 23.4 25.7 29.3 29.6 32.0 34.1 40.7 3% Discount Rate 10.3 11.2 12.3 14.0 14.2 15.3 16.3 19.5 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 4.4 4.8 5.3 6.1 6.1 6.6 7.0 8.4 3% Discount Rate 8.7 9.4 9.6 9.3 10.0 -22.5 13.7 11.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.7 4.0 -12.3 5.7 4.3

### 10C-23 

## Table 10C.2.8 Capacitor Start Motors: Middle Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 126.3 123.7 120.5 0.7 2.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 130.7 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 228.1 230.2 252.5 296.1 331.6 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 184.0 176.7 210.3 432.5 638.9 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.32 1.34 1.47 1.72 1.93 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.41 0.60 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.50 1.50 1.66 2.13 2.53 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.78 0.78 0.87 1.11 1.32 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.41 0.52 0.62 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 10.6 10.1 51.0 5.0 14.0 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 5.7 5.5 27.6 2.7 7.6 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.9 2.7 13.8 1.4 3.8 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.1 23.8 24.0 26.3 30.9 34.6 Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.6 3.2 4.7 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.6 18.0 22.0 25.1 25.3 27.9 34.1 39.3 3% Discount Rate 8.4 8.6 10.5 12.0 12.1 13.4 16.3 18.8 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.7 4.5 5.2 5.2 5.8 7.0 8.1 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.6 7.2 6.3 6.6 -14.2 13.6 11.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.3 2.5 -8.0 5.7 4.3

### 10C-24 

## Table 10C.2.9 Capacitor Start Motors: High Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 123.6 121.1 103.8 0.6 2.0 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 127.0 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 223.6 225.8 215.4 295.9 321.1 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 180.9 173.7 178.3 432.4 619.5 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.30 1.31 1.25 1.72 1.87 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.41 0.58 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.47 1.47 1.42 2.13 2.45 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.77 0.77 0.74 1.11 1.28 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.52 0.60 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 9.6 9.2 35.2 4.9 12.3 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 5.2 5.0 19.0 2.7 6.7 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.6 2.5 9.5 1.3 3.3 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.1 23.3 23.6 22.5 30.9 33.5 Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.3 3.2 4.6 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.6 18.0 22.0 24.7 24.8 23.8 34.1 38.1 3% Discount Rate 8.4 8.6 10.5 11.8 11.9 11.4 16.3 18.2 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.7 4.5 5.1 5.1 4.9 7.0 7.9 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.6 7.2 6.6 6.9 -7.6 13.6 11.6 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.5 2.6 -4.6 5.7 4.5

### 10C-25 

## Table 10C.2.10 Capacitor Start Motors: 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 128.9 126.3 137.1 0.8 2.6 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 134.5 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 232.6 234.6 289.6 296.3 342.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 187.2 179.7 242.2 432.7 658.4 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.72 1.99 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.41 0.62 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.53 1.53 1.91 2.13 2.61 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.11 1.36 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.38 0.47 0.52 0.64 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 11.5 11.1 69.9 5.1 15.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 6.2 6.0 37.8 2.7 8.6 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.1 3.0 18.9 1.4 4.3 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.1 24.3 24.5 30.2 30.9 35.7 Reactive Power Savings 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.6 2.4 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.0 17.3 21.5 25.0 25.1 31.1 32.5 38.1 3% Discount Rate 8.1 8.3 10.3 11.9 12.0 14.9 15.6 18.2 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.5 3.6 4.5 5.2 5.2 6.4 6.7 7.9 3% Discount Rate 6.2 6.3 7.0 5.7 6.1 -22.9 12.8 9.7 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.0 2.2 -12.5 5.3 3.6

### 10C-26 

## Table 10C.2.11 Capacitor Start Motors: 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 128.9 126.3 137.1 0.8 2.6 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 134.5 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 232.6 234.6 289.6 296.3 342.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 187.2 179.7 242.2 432.7 658.4 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.72 1.99 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.41 0.62 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.53 1.53 1.91 2.13 2.61 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.11 1.36 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.38 0.47 0.52 0.64 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 11.5 11.1 69.9 5.1 15.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 6.2 6.0 37.8 2.7 8.6 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.1 3.0 18.9 1.4 4.3 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.1 24.3 24.5 30.2 30.9 35.7 Reactive Power Savings 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 16.3 16.6 21.1 24.3 24.5 30.2 30.9 35.7 3% Discount Rate 7.8 8.0 10.1 11.6 11.7 14.5 14.8 17.1 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.4 3.4 4.4 5.0 5.1 6.2 6.4 7.4 3% Discount Rate 5.8 6.0 6.8 5.4 5.7 -23.3 12.1 8.5 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.4 2.4 2.7 1.9 2.1 -12.7 5.0 3.1

### 10C-27 

## Table 10C.2.12 Capacitor Start Motors: Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 128.9 126.3 137.1 0.8 2.6 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 134.5 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 232.6 234.6 289.6 296.3 342.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 187.2 179.7 242.2 432.7 658.4 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.72 1.99 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.41 0.62 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.53 1.53 1.91 2.13 2.61 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.11 1.36 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.38 0.47 0.52 0.64 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 11.5 11.1 69.9 5.1 15.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 6.2 6.0 37.8 2.7 8.6 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.1 3.0 18.9 1.4 4.3 Active Energy Savings 21.5 21.9 27.9 32.0 32.3 39.8 40.8 47.1 Reactive Power Savings 1.7 1.8 1.1 1.8 1.8 2.4 4.2 6.4 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 23.3 23.7 29.0 33.8 34.0 42.2 45.0 53.5 3% Discount Rate 10.8 11.0 13.5 15.7 15.8 19.6 20.9 24.9 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 4.5 4.6 5.6 6.6 6.6 8.2 8.7 10.4 3% Discount Rate 8.9 9.1 10.2 9.5 9.9 -18.1 18.2 16.3 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.5 3.6 4.0 3.4 3.6 -10.7 7.3 6.1

### 10C-28 

## Table 10C.2.13 Capacitor Start Motors: High Energy PriceTrial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 128.9 126.3 137.1 0.8 2.6 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 134.5 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 232.6 234.6 289.6 296.3 342.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 187.2 179.7 242.2 432.7 658.4 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.72 1.99 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.41 0.62 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.53 1.53 1.91 2.13 2.61 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.11 1.36 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.38 0.47 0.52 0.64 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 11.5 11.1 69.9 5.1 15.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 6.2 6.0 37.8 2.7 8.6 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.1 3.0 18.9 1.4 4.3 Active Energy Savings 15.9 16.2 20.6 23.7 23.9 29.5 30.2 34.8 Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.8 3.1 4.8 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.2 17.5 21.5 25.0 25.2 31.2 33.3 39.6 3% Discount Rate 8.2 8.4 10.3 12.0 12.0 14.9 15.9 18.9 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.5 3.6 4.4 5.2 5.2 6.4 6.9 8.1 3% Discount Rate 6.3 6.4 7.0 5.7 6.1 -22.9 13.2 10.4 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.0 2.2 -12.5 5.5 3.9

### 10C-29 

## Table 10C.2.14 Capacitor Start Motors: Low Energy Price Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00% 77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99% 81.96% CSIR Motors 134.2 133.3 134.0 128.9 126.3 137.1 0.8 2.6 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.9 3.8 3.2 8.2 10.9 0.0 136.4 134.5 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.5 159.3 202.6 232.6 234.6 289.6 296.3 342.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.5 182.1 113.5 187.2 179.7 242.2 432.7 658.4 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.72 1.99 Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.41 0.62 Primary Energy Savings (Quads) Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.28 1.53 1.53 1.91 2.13 2.61 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.11 1.36 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.38 0.47 0.52 0.64 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.1 11.5 11.1 69.9 5.1 15.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.3 6.2 6.0 37.8 2.7 8.6 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.1 3.0 18.9 1.4 4.3 Active Energy Savings 16.5 16.8 21.4 24.6 24.8 30.6 31.3 36.1 Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.8 3.2 4.9 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) Total Savings 17.9 18.2 22.2 26.0 26.1 32.4 34.5 41.0 3% Discount Rate 8.6 8.7 10.7 12.5 12.5 15.6 16.6 19.7 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.7 3.8 4.6 5.4 5.4 6.7 7.2 8.5 3% Discount Rate 6.6 6.8 7.4 6.2 6.6 -22.2 13.8 11.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.3 2.5 -12.1 5.8 4.3

## 10C.3 CAPACITOR-START RUN MOTORS SEGMENTED MARKETS RESULTS

-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

Primary Energy Savings (Quads)Net Present Value, Dicounted at 3% (2008 $B)

Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time High Market Growth Scenario Low Market Growth Scenario Falling Market Share Scenario Low CSCR Market Share Scenario High CSCR Market Share Scenario Medium Elasticity Scenario High Elasticity Scenario 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario Low Energy Price Scenario High Energy Price Scenario



## Figure 10C.3.1 Capacitor Start Motors: Net Present Value (3% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings

10C-30-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

Primary Energy Savings (Quads)Net Present Value, Discounted at 7% (2008 $B)

Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time High Market Growth Scenario Low Market Growth Scenario Falling Market Share Scenario Low CSCR Market Share Scenario High CSCR Market Share Scenario Medium Elasticity Scenario High Elasticity Scenario 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario Low Energy Price Scenario High Energy Price Scenario



## Figure 10C.3.2 Capacitor Start Motors: Net Present Value (7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings

10C-31

### 10C-32 

## Table 10C.3.1 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Reference Case: 0 Year Market Share Transition Time Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 126.9 124.6 136.5 101.3 106.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.6 35.9 30.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 232.7 234.2 289.9 284.8 295.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 191.1 181.8 243.6 284.6 344.6 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.65 1.72

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.27 0.32 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.91 1.92 2.04 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.06 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 11.0 10.7 69.7 11.9 17.3 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 6.0 5.8 37.7 6.5 9.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.0 2.9 18.8 3.2 4.7 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.2 24.3 24.4 30.2 29.7 30.8

Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.5 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.7 18.0 22.1 25.7 25.8 32.0 31.8 33.4 3% Discount Rate 8.5 8.6 10.6 12.3 12.3 15.3 15.2 16.0 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.7 4.6 5.3 5.3 6.6 6.6 6.9 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.6 7.3 6.3 6.6 -22.3 8.8 6.6 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.3 2.4 -12.2 3.3 2.2

### 10C-33 

## Table 10C.3.2 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Reference Case: 10 Year Market Share Transition Time Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 133.7 132.9 132.7 127.3 125.3 135.7 104.8 109.2 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.5 4.3 4.4 9.8 11.8 1.4 32.3 27.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 157.3 160.1 203.8 232.6 234.0 290.8 285.6 295.5 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 180.2 183.1 117.4 190.1 180.3 248.0 280.7 334.7 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.69 1.66 1.72

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.26 0.31 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.92 1.92 2.03 3% Discount Rate 0.57 0.58 0.68 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.06 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.27 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.37 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 11.1 10.8 70.0 18.5 23.2 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 6.1 5.9 37.9 11.5 13.9 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.0 3.0 19.0 6.9 8.0 Active Energy Savings 16.4 16.7 21.2 24.3 24.4 30.3 29.8 30.8

Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.5 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.7 18.0 22.1 25.7 25.7 32.1 31.8 33.3 3% Discount Rate 8.5 8.6 10.6 12.3 12.3 15.4 15.3 15.9 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.7 3.7 4.6 5.3 5.3 6.7 6.6 6.9 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.7 7.4 6.2 6.4 -22.5 3.8 2.0 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.3 2.3 -12.3 -0.3 -1.1

### 10C-34 

## Table 10C.3.3 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets High Market Growth Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 170.2 169.1 168.9 161.0 158.2 173.2 128.5 134.9 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.8 5.0 5.1 13.0 15.9 0.8 45.5 39.2 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 193.6 197.2 251.3 287.6 289.5 358.3 352.0 365.5 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 221.0 225.1 143.3 236.1 224.7 301.0 351.7 425.8 Active Energy Savings 1.12 1.14 1.45 1.66 1.67 2.07 2.04 2.11

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.21 0.21 0.13 0.22 0.21 0.28 0.33 0.40 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.33 1.35 1.59 1.89 1.89 2.36 2.37 2.51 3% Discount Rate 0.67 0.69 0.81 0.96 0.96 1.20 1.20 1.28 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.31 0.31 0.37 0.44 0.44 0.55 0.55 0.58 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 4.6 4.6 7.6 14.0 13.5 88.4 15.1 21.9 3% Discount Rate 2.4 2.4 4.0 7.3 7.1 46.3 7.9 11.5 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.2 1.2 1.9 3.5 3.4 22.3 3.8 5.5 Active Energy Savings 20.9 21.3 27.2 31.1 31.3 38.7 38.0 39.5

Reactive Power Savings 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.8 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.3 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 22.6 23.0 28.3 32.9 33.0 41.0 40.7 42.7 3% Discount Rate 10.5 10.7 13.1 15.3 15.3 19.0 18.9 19.8 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 4.4 4.4 5.4 6.3 6.4 7.9 7.8 8.2 3% Discount Rate 8.1 8.3 9.1 7.9 8.2 -27.3 11.0 8.3 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.2 3.3 3.5 2.8 2.9 -14.4 4.0 2.7

### 10C-35 

## Table 10C.3.4 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Low Market Growth Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 126.2 125.3 125.2 119.4 117.3 128.4 95.3 100.0 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.8 3.7 3.8 9.6 11.8 0.6 33.8 29.0 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 147.5 150.2 191.5 219.1 220.5 273.0 268.2 278.4 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 168.4 171.5 109.2 179.9 171.2 229.3 267.9 324.4 Active Energy Savings 0.86 0.87 1.11 1.27 1.28 1.59 1.56 1.62

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.16 0.16 0.10 0.17 0.16 0.22 0.25 0.31 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.02 1.03 1.22 1.44 1.44 1.80 1.81 1.92 3% Discount Rate 0.53 0.54 0.64 0.75 0.75 0.94 0.95 1.01 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.25 0.26 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.45 0.45 0.48 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.4 3.4 5.6 10.4 10.0 65.5 11.2 16.3 3% Discount Rate 1.9 1.9 3.1 5.6 5.4 35.5 6.1 8.8 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.8 2.7 17.8 3.1 4.4 Active Energy Savings 15.4 15.6 19.9 22.8 23.0 28.4 27.9 29.0

Reactive Power Savings 1.2 1.3 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.4 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 16.6 16.9 20.8 24.2 24.2 30.1 29.9 31.4 3% Discount Rate 8.0 8.1 10.0 11.6 11.6 14.5 14.3 15.1 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.4 3.5 4.3 5.0 5.0 6.3 6.2 6.5 3% Discount Rate 6.1 6.3 6.9 6.0 6.2 -21.0 8.3 6.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.2 2.3 -11.6 3.2 2.1

### 10C-36 

## Table 10C.3.5 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Falling Market Share Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 98.9 98.3 98.2 93.6 91.9 100.7 74.7 78.4 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 2.2 2.9 3.0 7.6 9.2 0.5 26.5 22.8 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 118.0 120.1 153.1 175.2 176.4 218.3 214.4 222.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 134.6 137.1 87.3 143.9 136.9 183.4 214.3 259.4 Active Energy Savings 0.69 0.70 0.89 1.02 1.03 1.27 1.25 1.30

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.13 0.13 0.08 0.14 0.13 0.17 0.20 0.25 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 0.82 0.83 0.98 1.16 1.16 1.45 1.45 1.54 3% Discount Rate 0.44 0.44 0.52 0.62 0.62 0.77 0.78 0.82 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.21 0.22 0.25 0.30 0.30 0.37 0.38 0.40 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 2.7 2.7 4.4 8.1 7.9 51.4 8.8 12.8 3% Discount Rate 1.5 1.5 2.5 4.5 4.4 28.6 4.9 7.1 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.8 0.8 1.3 2.3 2.3 14.8 2.5 3.7 Active Energy Savings 12.0 12.2 15.5 17.8 17.9 22.1 21.7 22.6

Reactive Power Savings 1.0 1.0 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.9 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 12.9 13.2 16.1 18.8 18.9 23.4 23.3 24.4 3% Discount Rate 6.4 6.5 8.0 9.3 9.3 11.6 11.5 12.0 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.8 2.9 3.6 4.1 4.2 5.2 5.1 5.4 3% Discount Rate 4.9 5.0 5.5 4.7 4.9 -17.0 6.6 4.9 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.1 2.1 2.3 1.8 1.9 -9.6 2.6 1.7

### 10C-37 

## Table 10C.3.6 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Low CSCR Market Share Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 136.8 136.5 136.7 135.1 134.8 136.6 108.8 109.4 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 0.4 0.6 0.4 2.0 2.3 0.6 28.4 27.7 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 152.7 153.5 199.3 228.2 228.4 289.9 283.7 293.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 170.4 171.4 102.2 157.6 155.8 243.4 270.1 330.8 Active Energy Savings 0.89 0.89 1.16 1.33 1.33 1.68 1.65 1.71

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.16 0.16 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.23 0.25 0.31 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.05 1.05 1.25 1.47 1.47 1.91 1.90 2.02 3% Discount Rate 0.55 0.55 0.65 0.77 0.77 1.00 0.99 1.05 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.26 0.31 0.36 0.36 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.8 3.8 6.3 12.2 12.1 69.7 13.3 17.6 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.4 6.6 6.5 37.7 7.2 9.5 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.7 3.3 3.3 18.8 3.6 4.8 Active Energy Savings 15.9 16.0 20.8 23.8 23.8 30.2 29.6 30.6

Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.4 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.2 17.3 21.5 25.0 25.0 32.0 31.6 33.1 3% Discount Rate 8.2 8.3 10.3 12.0 12.0 15.3 15.1 15.8 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.6 4.4 5.2 5.2 6.6 6.5 6.8 3% Discount Rate 6.2 6.2 6.9 5.4 5.4 -22.3 7.9 6.3 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.5 2.5 2.8 1.9 1.9 -12.2 2.9 2.1

### 10C-38 

## Table 10C.3.7 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets High CSCR Market Share Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 100.1 94.3 98.4 84.6 75.3 136.5 63.3 82.8 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 37.0 42.8 38.8 52.5 61.8 0.6 73.8 54.4 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 190.1 206.6 232.2 254.1 260.3 289.9 289.6 308.0 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 251.3 266.6 213.5 342.5 290.7 243.6 346.5 428.0 Active Energy Savings 1.10 1.20 1.35 1.48 1.51 1.68 1.68 1.79

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.24 0.25 0.20 0.32 0.27 0.23 0.33 0.40 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.34 1.45 1.55 1.80 1.79 1.91 2.01 2.19 3% Discount Rate 0.70 0.76 0.81 0.94 0.93 1.00 1.05 1.14 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.33 0.36 0.38 0.44 0.44 0.47 0.49 0.54 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.1 3.4 4.9 8.2 7.2 69.7 8.5 16.1 3% Discount Rate 1.7 1.8 2.7 4.4 3.9 37.7 4.6 8.7 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.2 2.0 18.8 2.3 4.3 Active Energy Savings 19.8 21.5 24.2 26.5 27.2 30.2 30.2 32.1

Reactive Power Savings 1.9 2.0 1.6 2.5 2.2 1.8 2.6 3.2 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 21.7 23.5 25.8 29.0 29.3 32.0 32.8 35.3 3% Discount Rate 10.4 11.3 12.3 13.9 14.0 15.3 15.7 16.9 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 4.5 4.9 5.3 6.0 6.1 6.6 6.8 7.3 3% Discount Rate 8.7 9.4 9.7 9.5 10.1 -22.3 11.1 8.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.8 4.1 -12.2 4.5 2.9

### 10C-39 

## Table 10C.3.8 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Middle Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 124.7 122.5 128.4 98.2 103.0 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.5 35.9 29.2 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 229.0 230.6 271.3 278.2 284.5 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 188.6 179.3 227.1 279.0 329.7 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.33 1.34 1.58 1.62 1.65

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.21 0.26 0.31 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.51 1.51 1.79 1.88 1.96 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.79 0.79 0.93 0.98 1.02 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.44 0.46 0.48 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 10.2 9.8 48.8 10.7 15.0 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 5.5 5.3 26.4 5.8 8.1 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.7 2.6 13.2 2.9 4.1 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.2 23.9 24.0 28.3 29.0 29.7

Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.4 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.7 18.0 22.1 25.3 25.4 30.0 31.1 32.1 3% Discount Rate 8.5 8.6 10.6 12.1 12.1 14.4 14.9 15.4 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.7 4.6 5.2 5.2 6.2 6.4 6.6 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.6 7.3 6.6 6.9 -12.0 9.1 7.3 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.5 2.6 -7.0 3.5 2.6

### 10C-40 

## Table 10C.3.9 Capacitor Start Motors: SegmentedMarkets High Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 122.5 120.3 120.3 95.1 99.8 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.4 35.9 27.5 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 225.3 226.9 252.6 271.7 273.3 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 186.1 176.9 210.7 273.4 314.8 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.31 1.32 1.47 1.58 1.59

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.20 0.26 0.30 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.48 1.48 1.67 1.84 1.88 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.77 0.77 0.87 0.96 0.98 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.36 0.36 0.41 0.45 0.46 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 9.3 9.0 32.2 9.6 12.8 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 5.0 4.9 17.4 5.2 6.9 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.5 2.4 8.7 2.6 3.5 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.2 23.5 23.7 26.3 28.3 28.5

Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.7 18.0 22.1 24.9 25.0 27.9 30.4 30.8 3% Discount Rate 8.5 8.6 10.6 11.9 12.0 13.4 14.5 14.8 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.6 3.7 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.8 6.3 6.4 3% Discount Rate 6.5 6.6 7.3 6.9 7.1 -4.0 9.3 7.8 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.6 2.7 -2.9 3.7 2.9

### 10C-41 

## Table 10C.3.10 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets 50% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 126.9 124.6 136.5 101.3 106.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.6 35.9 30.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 232.7 234.2 289.9 284.8 295.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 191.1 181.8 243.6 284.6 344.6 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.65 1.72

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.27 0.32 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.91 1.92 2.04 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.06 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 11.0 10.7 69.7 11.9 17.3 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 6.0 5.8 37.7 6.5 9.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.0 2.9 18.8 3.2 4.7 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.2 24.3 24.4 30.2 29.7 30.8

Reactive Power Savings 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.0 17.3 21.6 25.0 25.1 31.1 30.8 32.1 3% Discount Rate 8.1 8.3 10.4 12.0 12.0 14.9 14.7 15.4 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.5 3.6 4.5 5.2 5.2 6.4 6.4 6.6 3% Discount Rate 6.2 6.3 7.1 6.0 6.3 -22.7 8.3 6.0 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.2 2.3 -12.4 3.1 2.0

### 10C-42 

## Table 10C.3.11 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets 0% Reactive Power Charge Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 126.9 124.6 136.5 101.3 106.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.6 35.9 30.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 232.7 234.2 289.9 284.8 295.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 191.1 181.8 243.6 284.6 344.6 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.65 1.72

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.27 0.32 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.91 1.92 2.04 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.06 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 11.0 10.7 69.7 11.9 17.3 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 6.0 5.8 37.7 6.5 9.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.0 2.9 18.8 3.2 4.7 Active Energy Savings 16.3 16.6 21.2 24.3 24.4 30.2 29.7 30.8

Reactive Power Savings 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 16.3 16.6 21.2 24.3 24.4 30.2 29.7 30.8 3% Discount Rate 7.8 8.0 10.2 11.6 11.7 14.5 14.2 14.8 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.4 3.4 4.4 5.0 5.0 6.2 6.1 6.4 3% Discount Rate 5.9 6.0 6.9 5.7 5.9 -23.2 7.8 5.4 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.0 2.2 -12.6 2.9 1.7

### 10C-43 

## Table 10C.3.12 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Carbon Cap & Trade Scenario Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 126.9 124.6 136.5 101.3 106.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.6 35.9 30.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 232.7 234.2 289.9 284.8 295.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 191.1 181.8 243.6 284.6 344.6 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.65 1.72

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.27 0.32 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.91 1.92 2.04 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.06 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 11.0 10.7 69.7 11.9 17.3 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 6.0 5.8 37.7 6.5 9.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.0 2.9 18.8 3.2 4.7 Active Energy Savings 21.6 21.9 28.0 32.0 32.2 39.9 39.2 40.7

Reactive Power Savings 1.7 1.8 1.1 1.9 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.4 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 23.3 23.7 29.1 33.9 34.0 42.3 42.0 44.1 3% Discount Rate 10.8 11.0 13.5 15.8 15.8 19.7 19.5 20.5 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 4.5 4.6 5.6 6.6 6.6 8.2 8.1 8.5 3% Discount Rate 8.9 9.1 10.3 9.8 10.1 -18.0 13.1 11.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.5 3.6 4.0 3.6 3.7 -10.6 4.9 3.9

### 10C-44 

## Table 10C.3.13 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets High Energy Price Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 126.9 124.6 136.5 101.3 106.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.6 35.9 30.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 232.7 234.2 289.9 284.8 295.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 191.1 181.8 243.6 284.6 344.6 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.65 1.72

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.27 0.32 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.91 1.92 2.04 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.06 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 11.0 10.7 69.7 11.9 17.3 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 6.0 5.8 37.7 6.5 9.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.0 2.9 18.8 3.2 4.7 Active Energy Savings 16.0 16.2 20.7 23.7 23.9 29.5 29.0 30.1

Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.5 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.3 17.6 21.6 25.1 25.2 31.3 31.1 32.6 3% Discount Rate 8.2 8.4 10.3 12.0 12.0 15.0 14.8 15.6 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.5 3.6 4.4 5.2 5.2 6.4 6.4 6.7 3% Discount Rate 6.3 6.4 7.1 6.0 6.3 -22.7 8.4 6.2 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.2 2.3 -12.4 3.2 2.0

### 10C-45 

## Table 10C.3.14 Capacitor Start Motors: Segmented Markets Low Energy Price Trial Standard Level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Level 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 CSIR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 68.50% 68.50%71.20%73.00%73.00%77.00%77.00%77.00% Level 2 3 3 4 3 8 3 7 CSCR Motor Efficiency Rating at 1/2 HP (%) 73.70% 75.99%75.99%77.50%75.99%84.22%75.99%81.96% CSIR Motors 134.1 133.2 133.1 126.9 124.6 136.5 101.3 106.3 Shipments (Millions) CSCR Motors 3.0 3.9 4.0 10.2 12.5 0.6 35.9 30.9 Active Energy Savings (TWh) 156.7 159.5 203.4 232.7 234.2 289.9 284.8 295.7 Site Savings Reduced Reactive Power (GVAr) 178.8 182.1 116.0 191.1 181.8 243.6 284.6 344.6 Active Energy Savings 0.91 0.93 1.18 1.35 1.36 1.68 1.65 1.72

Reduced Reactive Losses 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.27 0.32 Primary Energy Savings (Quads)

Total Savings 1.08 1.10 1.29 1.53 1.53 1.91 1.92 2.04 3% Discount Rate 0.56 0.57 0.67 0.80 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.06 Discounted Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate 0.26 0.27 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.47 0.47 0.50 Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 3.6 3.7 6.0 11.0 10.7 69.7 11.9 17.3 3% Discount Rate 2.0 2.0 3.2 6.0 5.8 37.7 6.5 9.3 Discounted Equipment Cost Increase (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 1.0 1.0 1.6 3.0 2.9 18.8 3.2 4.7 Active Energy Savings 16.5 16.8 21.5 24.6 24.7 30.6 30.1 31.2

Reactive Power Savings 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.6 Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B)

Total Savings 17.9 18.2 22.3 26.0 26.1 32.4 32.2 33.8 3% Discount Rate 8.6 8.7 10.7 12.5 12.5 15.6 15.5 16.2 Discounted Operating Cost Savings (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 3.7 3.8 4.7 5.4 5.4 6.8 6.7 7.0 3% Discount Rate 6.6 6.8 7.5 6.5 6.8 -22.1 9.0 6.9 Net Present Value (2008 $B) 7% Discount Rate 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.4 2.6 -12.1 3.5 2.4