MACTExistingUPLforMercuryUsingPooledVariance,CorrectedforTemporalAutocorrelationwithIntraquarryVariability‐07/28/10,3:10PMRuns KilnID1248 KilnID1259 KilnID1286 KilnID1302 KilnID1315 KilnID13641 18.88 27.01 16.82 16.67 26.002 15.77 28.73 12.97 12.76 28.273 20.71 28.67 9.49 9.57 27.594 22.61 27.95 10.43 10.58 37.255 19.67 7.66 9.44 9.64 28.786 25.90 7.49 11.47 11.71 7.727 22.63 7.58 13.59 13.83 42.988 21.21 8.12 12.85 12.72 25.289 5.07 23.93 4.30 4.38 24.6710 44.96 22.61 12.04 12.29 25.3911 34.37 23.06 21.41 20.55 24.2412 13.46 24.21 13.65 13.82 23.3413 11.57 25.25 12.44 12.54 25.0414 13.90 21.47 16.52 16.66 23.6515 27.43 25.53 22.02 22.51 26.8316 25.55 25.89 12.31 12.31 27.1917 21.95 29.34 15.39 15.11 24.2518 12.10 26.03 13.51 13.59 25.2819 12.83 7.60 3.75 3.82 24.8320 9.18 24.26 9.40 9.59 23.8821 8.74 23.68 10.88 11.06 23.6922 17.63 19.77 12.45 12.35 21.7423 47.30 21.97 11.76 11.89 26.0424 33.53 22.80 11.73 11.75 7.2825 19.11 23.23 60.15 61.31 26.3626 25.09 31.24 20.59 19.93 36.1227 14.94 30.64 13.96 14.10 28.9628 17.89 32.58 21.90 21.19 29.8229 24.46 28.53 12.74 11.85 29.05Emissions(lb/tonfeed)30 39.85 28.41 27.6631 12.9532333435ni=numberruns= 0 31 29 30 30 29ni‐130 28 29 29 28=sumof(ni‐1) 268means 21.33 22.65 15.28 15.26 25.91Mean 20.69#source mean = mean of source meansN=Numbersources= 9#because UPL is based on source meansm=numberfutureruns= 30t‐statistic =quantilet‐distributionwithdfdegreesoffreedomat.99confidencelevel=AssumingCorrelatedvariablescorrelation =correl(data‐last,data‐firstobs)0.135746154 0.54308166 0.10213164 0.084305058‐0.18774805Pooledstdev= 9.62605957 Revised3quarry,intraquarryvaVariancedata= 92.6610229adjustmentfortemporalcorrelation= 111.996455intraquarryvariance= 116.012236adjustmentfortemporalcorrelation= 175.953767totalvariance 287.950222 ***QUESTIONFORMIKE:DOESTEMPORALCORRELATIO***INOTHERWORDS,WHATYOUGETFROMTHEQUAR***IfNOT,THENONLYTHEMEASUREMENTSHAVETEM***DATAANDINTRAQUARRYVARIANCENEEDTOBEMUVariance = Variance pooled, intraquarry data adjusted for temporal correlation287.950222#calculated as variance*(1+average(temporaSQRT(Variance*(1/n+1/m))5.98127358UPL-- source mean and variance pooled data, including intraquarry variability34.6879487lb/MMtonsfeed57.2351153 lb/MMtonsclinker***ifthedataincolumnsOtoQaretheintraquarrydata***definedassdev^2***definedasbeforevariance*(1+corr)***definedas(RSD*Mean)^2KilnID1435 KilnID1484 KilnID1589 KilnID1650 KilnID1594KilnID# 1239 124830.50 30.50 13.22 13.600.079527.52 27.52 7.64 30.050.023329.07 29.07 9.53 32.880.029624.64 24.64 1.71 32.590.024523.82 23.82 7.66 28.730.0224.52 24.52 0.32 34.140.049525.14 25.14 14.12 32.330.046226.46 26.46 13.70 23.380.031525.49 25.49 12.72 35.000.026438.60 38.60 11.24 32.910.029424.65 24.65 10.56 31.440.026329.45 29.45 9.82 27.480.024225.04 25.04 12.92 28.550.040729.91 29.91 13.70 25.190.03091.43 1.43 9.46 25.630.02355.07 5.07 7.66 10.010.029525.97 25.97 12.36 28.030.067329.30 29.30 13.98 30.270.062526.93 26.93 9.40 25.850.062426.63 26.63 8.68 33.360.089924.82 24.82 7.60 29.100.083524.11 24.11 7.62 26.910.12222.00 22.00 7.63 29.700.099822.00 22.00 8.20 30.020.099122.00 22.00 11.27 10.910.10935.74 35.74 8.93 11.870.1324.47 24.47 7.64 14.040.10438.69 38.69 7.60 13.490.058927.28 27.28 15.720.0729DailyMercuryConcentrations(ppm)inLimestoneb26.93 26.93 13.750.085623.83 23.8324.11 24.1127.28 27.2824.82 24.8224.47 24.4735 35 0 28 3034 34 27 29Avg0.0594StdevRSDcorrelation 0.805225.51 25.51 9.53 25.232.34034229=tinv((1-.99)*2,df)0.23671245 0.23671245 0.19500164 0.532073044ariabilityRSD= 0.52ONAFFECTTHEQUARRYORONLYTHEKILNS?RRYONEDAYDEPENDSOFWHATYOUGETTHEPREVIOUSDAYS?PORALCORRELATION,IFYES:THENBOTHTHEVARIANCEOFULTIPLIEDBY(1+CORR)al correlation))a,wecancalculatethetemporalcorrelationthereanduseitfortheadjustmentoftheintraquarryvariance13760.02650.01970.02140.03260.02250.020.03370.03650.03440.03130.03120.0280.03170.02070.02740.02630.02110.01770.03180.02460.02890.02320.02920.03020.0360.02910.02960.02650.0257byQuarry0.02550.027 0.0430.0230.5205920.2282 0.5167