Canyonlands PSAT ScalingCanyonlands National ParkPSAT Scaling AnalysisSulfate BaselineExtinctionSource RegionOriginalOverallPSATImpactRescaledOverallPSATImpactChange inPSATImpactSource CategoryPSATCategoryContributionSub CategorySub CategoryContributionSub CategoryEmissionsEmissions thatare not federallyenforceableRevised SubCategoryEmissionsOriginal SO2Emissions[tpy]Revised SO2Emissions [tpy]Other WRAP States39.08%39.08%0.00%All Sources12,166,29412,166,294Outside Domain* 35.47% 35.47% 0.00% GeosChemUnknown UnknownCEN & EUS3.12%3.12%0.00%All Sources8,430,9308,430,930CAN, MEX & PO20.03%20.03%0.00%All Sources2,835,1432,835,143Colorado2.30%3.17%0.87%All Sources80,272110,772100.00%100.87%Point85.7%69,21399,713External Combustion Boilers 89.4% 61,85430,50092,354SulfateExtinctionIndustrial Processes 8.6% 5,978-5,978[Mm-1]--Baseline bSO4:5.58030,5002018 URP bSO4:4.240Area7.1%7,5787,578Model Projection:5.130Stationary Source Fuel Combustion98.8%7,490-7,490Rescaled ModelProjection:5.175--% Change in ModelProjection:0.87%---SO2 [tons/year]24.6%Page 1-Mobile7.1%939939On-Road Mobile 60.5% 568-568Off-Road Mobile 39.5% 371-371---Nat. Fires & Bio.0.0%2,5422,542Natural Fire 100.0% 2,542-2,542-----All Sources 100.0% Total Increase: 30,50080,272110,772Notes:See Emissions Reductions Spreadsheet for SO2 emissions that are not federally enforceable.* Aproximately 35% of Sulfate is fromoutside model domain (mostly globaltransport)Page 1Canyonlands PSAT ScalingCanyonlands National ParkPSAT Scaling AnalysisNitrate BaselineExtinctionSource RegionOverallPSATImpactRescaledOverallPSATChange inPSATImpactSource CategoryPSATCategoryContributionSub CategorySub CategoryContributionSub CategoryEmissionsEmissions thatare not federallyenforceableRevised SubCategoryEmissionsOriginal NOxEmissions[tpy]Revised NOxEmissions [tpy]Other WRAP States68.13%68.13%0.00%All Sources14,385,99014,385,990Outside Domain*22.50%22.50%0.00%GeosChemUnknownUnknownCEN & EUS0.00%0.00%0.00%All Sources10,187,65010,187,650CAN, MEX & PO2.50%2.50%0.00%All Sources2,689,0382,689,038Colorado6.88%6.97%0.09%All Sources289,669293,669100.00%100.09%Point27.3%112,240112,240External Combustion Boilers 71.3% 79,982-79,982NitrateExtinctionInternal Combustion Engines 19.3% 21,705-21,705[Mm-1]Industrial Processes 9.0% 10,106-10,106Baseline bSO4:2.970-2018 URP bSO4:2.430Area45.5%44,73144,731Model Projection:3.050Industrial Processes 61.9% 27,709-27,709Rescaled ModelProjection:3.053Stationary Source Fuel Combustion 36.5% 16,321-16,321% Change in ModelProjection:0.09%---Mobile18.2%86,05390,05313.1%NOx [tons/year]Page 2Mobile18.2%86,05390,053On-Road Mobile 52.6% 45,2494,00049,249Off-Road Mobile 47.4% 40,804-40,804--4,000Nat. Fires & Bio.9.1%46,64646,646Natural Fire19.9%9,297-9,297Biogenic 80.1% 37,349-37,349---All Sources 100.0% Total Increase: 4,000289,669293,669Notes:See Emissions Reductions Spreadsheet for NOx emissions that are not federally enforceable.* Aproximately 23% of Nitrate is fromoutside model domain (mostly globaltransport)Page 2Canyonlands PSAT ScalingCanyonlands National Park2018 PSAT Scaling AnalysisSite Method Year NSO4ExtinctionNO3ExtinctionOMCExtinctionECExtinctionSoilExtinctionCMExtinctionSeaSaltExtinction SumCANY1 NIA 2000 20 6.34 3.43 6.45 2.08 0.84 3.44 0 22.58CANY1 NIA 2001 22 6.76 3.94 4.25 1.43 1.76 3.07 0.14 21.35CANY1 NIA 2002 22 3.98 2.11 11.01 1.98 2.8 6.04 0 27.92CANY1 NIA 2003 23 5.54 2.14 9.48 1.94 0.97 4.14 0.05 24.26CANY1 NIA 2004 22 5.3 3.21 4.19 1.31 0.92 2.45 0.07 17.45Average: 5.584 2.966 7.076 1.748 1.458 3.828 0.052 22.712Site Year dv|Base dv|Inc dv|NCIIDeciview|base18b Site Year dv|Base dv|Inc dv|NCIIDeciview|prp18bCANY1 2000 11.24CANY1 2000 11.24CANY1 2001 11.24CANY1 2001 11.24CANY1 2002 11.24CANY1 2002 11.24CANY1 2003 11.24CANY1 2003 11.24CANY1 2004 11.24 11.24CANY1 2004 11.24 11.24CANY1 2008 10.92CANY1 2008 10.92CANY1 2013 10.52CANY1 2013 10.52CANY1 2018 10.12 11.03 CANY1 2018 10.12 10.74CANY1 2023 9.72CANY1 2023 9.72CANY1 2028 9.32CANY1 2028 9.32CANY1 2033 8.92CANY1 2033 8.92CANY1 2038 8.52CANY1 2038 8.52CANY1 2043 8.12CANY1 2043 8.12CANY1 2048 7.71CANY1 2048 7.71CANY1 2053 7.31CANY1 2053 7.31CANY1 2058 6.91CANY1 2058 6.91CANY1 2064 6.43 6.43 CANY1 2064 6.43 6.43% changefrombaseline-1.87% changefrombaseline-4.45Page 3Canyonlands PSAT ScalingSite Year bCM|Base bCM|Inc bCM|NCII bEC|Base bEC|Inc bEC|NCII bNO3|Base bNO3|Inc bNO3|NCII bOMC|Base bOMC|Inc bOMC|NCII bSO4|Base bSO4|Inc bSO4|NCII bSoil|Base bSoil|Inc bSoil|NCII bSs|Base bSs|Inc bSs|NCIINO3Extinction|base18bSO4Extinction|base18bOMCExtinction|base18bECExtinction|base18bCMExtinction|base18bSoilExtinction|base18bSeaSaltExtinction|base18bCANY1 2000 3.83 1.752.977.075.581.460.05CANY1 2001 3.83 1.752.977.075.581.460.05CANY1 2002 3.83 1.752.977.075.581.460.05CANY1 2003 3.83 1.752.977.075.581.460.05CANY1 2004 3.83 3.83 1.75 1.75 2.97 2.97 7.07 7.07 5.58 5.58 1.46 1.46 0.05 0.05CANY1 2008 3.81 1.652.816.845.191.430.06CANY1 2013 3.79 1.522.626.564.711.390.06CANY1 2018 3.771.42.436.284.241.360.06 3.05 5.13 6.93 1.48 3.83 1.57 0.05CANY1 2023 3.74 1.282.2563.791.320.07CANY1 2028 3.72 1.162.075.733.351.290.07CANY1 2033 3.7 1.041.895.462.931.260.07CANY1 2038 3.68 0.921.715.22.521.220.08CANY1 2043 3.65 0.811.544.942.121.190.08CANY1 2048 3.63 0.691.364.691.741.150.08CANY1 2053 3.61 0.581.24.441.361.120.09CANY1 2058 3.59 0.471.034.1911.090.09CANY1 2064 3.56 3.56 0.33 0.33 0.83 0.83 3.91 3.91 0.59 0.59 1.04 1.04 0.09 0.09% changefrombaseline2.69 -8.06 -1.98 -15.43 0 7.53 0Page 4Canyonlands PSAT ScalingData Downloaded 7-19-2010BARsite Year modelrun param N SRegNat. Fires &Bio.Anthro.Fires Mobile Area PointOutsideDomainsumCAN, MEX& PO Colorado CEN & EUSOther WRAPStatesCANY12018base18b36kPS422AZ0.00400.0010.0010.0270.0330.033CANY12018base18b36kPS422CA0.00700.0030.0050.0170.0320.032CANY12018base18b36kPS422CAN0000.0020.0060.0080.008CANY12018base18b36kPS422CEN0000.0030.0110.0140.014CANY12018base18b36kPS422CO000.0010.0010.0120.0140.014CANY12018base18b36kPS422EUS0000.0010.0040.0050.005CANY12018base18b36kPS422ID0.0010000.0020.0030.003CANY12018base18b36kPS422MEX000.0020.010.0490.0610.061CANY12018base18b36kPS422MT00000.0010.0010.001CANY12018base18b36kPS422ND00000.0020.0020.002CANY12018base18b36kPS422NM0.001000.0020.0320.0350.035CANY12018base18b36kPS422NV0.004000.0040.0090.0170.017CANY12018base18b36kPS422OR0.007000.0010.0030.0110.011CANY12018base18b36kPS422PO000.0010.0360.0160.0530.053CANY12018base18b36kPS422SD0000000CANY12018base18b36kPS422UT0.01300.0020.0030.060.0780.078CANY12018base18b36kPS422WA0000.0010.0030.0040.004CANY12018base18b36kPS422WY0.001000.0020.0190.0220.022CANY12018base18b36kPS422OD0.2160.2160.0380.6090.1220.0140.0190.2386.2%35.5%93.8%20.0%2.30%3.1%39.1%CO 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 7.1% 85.7%CO Anthro Share:2.16%WRAP:0.219WRAP:36%Data Downloaded 7-19-2010BARsite Year modelrun param N SRegNat. Fires &Bio.Anthro.Fires Mobile Area PointOutsideDomainsumCAN, MEX& PO Colorado CEN & EUSOther WRAPStatesCANY12018base18b36kPN322AZ0.00100.00300.0090.0130.013CANY12018base18b36kPN322CA0.00200.0070.0030.0030.0150.015CANY12018base18b36kPN322CAN0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322CEN0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322CO0.00100.0020.0050.0030.0110.011CANY12018base18b36kPN322EUS0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322ID0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322MEX000.001000.0010.001CANY12018base18b36kPN322MT0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322ND0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322NM0000.0110.0180.0290.029CANY12018base18b36kPN322NV000.00100.0020.0030.003CANY12018base18b36kPN322OR0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322PO000.0010.00200.0030.003CANY12018base18b36kPN322SD0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322UT0.00300.010.0060.0260.0450.045CANY12018base18b36kPN322WA0000000CANY12018base18b36kPN322WY000.0010.0010.0020.0040.004CANY12018base18b36kPN322OD0.0360.0360.0070.160.0040.01100.1094.4%22.5%95.6%2.5%6.88%0.0%68.1%CO 9.1% 0.0% 18.2% 45.5% 27.3%CO Anthro Share:6.57%WRAP:0.109WRAP:68%Data Downloaded 7-19-2010Scenario Site year NAnthro. &Bio.PrimaryBiogenicSecondaryAnthro.SecondaryTotal2018 BaseCase CANY1 2018 22 0.43 0.55 0.041.02042% 54% 4%CAN, MEX& PO Colorado CEN & EUSOtherWRAPStatesTotalAnthro. & Bio. Primary0.43Biogenic Secondary0.55Anthro. Secondary0.010.010.010.010.0425.0%25.0%25.0%25.0%Assume all VOC in Colorado 110 Transport SIP is Anthro SecondaryAttribution among regions unknown, thus assume equally distributed 4 areasPage 5Canyonlands PSAT ScalingMeasure PollutantSIP Approved[tons/year]SO2 NOx VOC SO2 NOx VOCCraig & Hayden Controls SO218,000O&G Tank Controls in Front Range by 2007 VOC52,000Mobile Source Fleet Turnover by 2020 NOx & VOC55,000O&G RICE Controls - EAC by 2005 NOx & VOC8,300Drake Controls SO26,200Pawnee Controls SO29,000Cemex Controls NOx1,200Metro VERASO224,000Comanche Controls SO26,500Additional O&G Tank Controls in FR by 2010 VOC18,000Mobile Source I/M Program & Fuels NOx & VOC4,0004,000O&G Pnuematic Controls - Statewide VOC8,400O&G Tank Controls - Statewide VOC5,600O&G RICE Controls - Statewide by 2010 NOx & VOC5,8001,300Araphaoe & Cameo Shutdown SO2 & NOx5,3003,200Totals: 133,30045,7005,20022,0005,3009,00015,300Combined Totals:Total SO2 - Not Federally Enforceable :30,500tpyTotal NOx - Not Federally Enforceable :4,000tpyTotal VOC - Not Federally Enforceable :4,000tpyNote: It is assumed that recent mobile I/M and fuels program are not federally enforceable and were thus also added back inBase 18.Note: Cemex SNCR NOx reductions not in Base 2018b EI, O&G RICE adopted (Dec 2008) after development of Base 2018b (May2007), thus not in EI, not sure about Mobile NOx reductions, thus added back in Base 18b.Note: O&G Tank Controls, O&G Pnuematic Controls, O&G Statewide RICE & Tanks Controls adopted (Dec 2008) after develp ofBase 2018b (May 2007), thus not in EI.Note: Drake,Pawnee, Arapahoe & Cameo SO2 reductions not in Base 2018b emission inventory.Summary of Control Program Emission Reductions forNOx, SO2 and VOCSubmitted to EPA [tons/year] State-Only [tons/year]235,800Page 6Canyonlands PSAT ScalingBase 2018b WRAP Point Source Pivot TableState COSum of SumOfSO2_ANNSCC1_DESCSCC3_DESCSCC6_DESCPLANTTotalExternal Combustion Boilers61,854Industrial Processes5,978Internal Combustion Engines409Waste Disposal228Petroleum and Solvent Evaporation6Grand Total68,476Page 7Canyonlands PSAT ScalingPollutantSO2StateCOSum of EmissionsSCC1_DESCSCC3_DESCSCC6_DESCSCC8_DESCTotalStationary Source Fuel Combustion7,490Industrial ProcessesOil and Gas ProductionAll ProcessesDrill rigs9Grand Total7,499Page 8Canyonlands PSAT ScalingBase 2018b WRAP Point Source Pivot TableState COSum of SumOfNOX_ANNSCC1_DESCSCC3_DESCSCC6_DESCPLANTTotalExternal Combustion Boilers79,982Internal Combustion Engines21,705Industrial Processes10,106Waste Disposal189Petroleum and Solvent Evaporation171Grand Total112,153Page 9Canyonlands PSAT SCalingPollutantNOXStateCOSum of EmissionsSCC1_DESCSCC3_DESCSCC6_DESCSCC8_DESCTotalIndustrial Processes27,709Stationary Source Fuel Combustion16,321Miscellaneous Area Sources10Grand Total44,041Page 10Canyonlands PSAT ScalingRegion Scenario Year Point Anthro Fire Natural Fire All Fire Biogenic AreaWRAP AreaO&G Off-ShoreOn-RoadMobileOff-RoadMobile Road DustFugitiveDust WB Dust CAN, MEX & PO Colorado CEN & EUS Other WRAP StatesSulfur DioxideAZ Base18b 2018 94407.63 181.436 4369.2713410.22 0 762.485 545.7825103,677CA Base18b 2018 49631.84 413.022 9839.5169720.49 51.68 1898.28 1901.937573,457CO Base18b 2018 69213.34 79.331 2541.9367490.17 8.51 568.3575 370.7780,272ID Base18b 2018 25467.29 353.22 10764.662720.52 176.6675 101.67539,584MT Base18b 2018 45321.07 230.898 3655.3423424.04 8.05 195.085 60.402552,895ND Base18b 2018 162704.8 80.6 194.7985853.49 2.76 68.065 61.9225168,966NM Base18b 2018 41392.29 60.815 2312.758 15736.64 16.52 281.415 88.717559,889NV Base18b 2018 24040.64 10.893 2200.169 14194.17 0.04 286.0475 261.147540,993OR Base18b 2018 21686.47 1321.817 7328.6678421.85 0 461.2575 152.0339,372SD Base18b 2018 15268.2 2.673 362.411 11666.94 0.05 108.3125 49.9227,459UT Base18b 2018 52952.66 54.465 2417.7193582.24 4.65 367.9275 152.38559,532WA Base18b 2018 51355.46 1043.382 1640.7888667.24 678.5225 262.262563,648WY Base18b 2018 145099.59 108.952 2286.244 23093.14 15.62 80.645 64.5425170,749CAN Base18b 2018 2109372176788.23 26416.19 02,312,5762,312,576CEN Base18b 2018 1598266.2 3485.674335629.79 6974.582 724.391,945,0811,945,081EUS Base18b 2018 5619290.6 6200.417749802.28 22809.361 87746.689176,485,8496,485,849MEX Base18b 2018 456899.1257711.35 2207.58 5748.97522,567522,567PO Base18b 2018280561.3280,5612,835,14380,2728,430,93012,166,294Page 11Canyonlands PSAT ScalingRegion Scenario Year Point Anthro Fire Natural Fire All Fire Biogenic AreaWRAP AreaO&G Off-ShoreOn-RoadMobileOff-RoadMobile Road DustFugitiveDust WB Dust CAN, MEX & PO Colorado CEN & EUS Other WRAP StatesNitrogen Oxides (gas)AZ Base18b 2018 77738.23 675.629 16494.496 27663.79478 12558.48 51.98 53508.3825 47823.7525236,515CA Base18b 2018 109514.46 2768.071 35975.054 57068.02258 110020.55 7695.22 203060.12 167324.45693,426CO Base18b 2018 112239.63 406.198 9297.473 37348.76587 16331.46 27992.86 45249.0775 40803.875289,669ID Base18b 2018 14048.16 1679.798 39276.731 16981.51759 42067.63 12325.6575 18097.1975144,477MT Base18b 2018 62583.09 856.224 13668.127 58353.53172 5523.62 30529.27 22036.285 36453.9675230,004ND Base18b 2018 92098.01 298.549 766.556 44568.7984 12450.97 8677.63 4906.0925 37337.98201,105NM Base18b 2018 74874.02 261.871 8569.569 42138.52088 33767.53 141496.2 19746.1425 33174.76354,029NV Base18b 2018 69016.41 40.6 8026.163 15017.88908 7414.13 72.26 15048.915 22182.19136,819OR Base18b 2018 31760.78 5150.067 27400.314 16526.97426 16978.88 48.09 42143.465 32418.35172,427SD Base18b 2018 24725.86 20.062 1659.282 52852.42307 6699.57 507.31 8058.6875 24384.27118,907UT Base18b 2018 96974.63 228.247 8873.582 12596.56925 8461.61 13456.4 27363.665 28425.785196,380WA Base18b 2018 49396.98 4971.253 5997.419 17922.54786 22745.89 55911.0925 46528.8725203,474WY Base18b 2018 132115.77 483.525 8371.645 15925.08757 19663.12 62496.49 9727.7425 59377.9875308,161CAN Base18b 2018 626628.5254936.7 386734.34 874615.81 02,142,9151,887,979CEN Base18b 2018 1389807.9 4191.02 624566.9153 728771.74 450767.14 271443.523,469,5482,844,981EUS Base18b 2018 2955608.6 25914.926 332287.4534 833439.8 1271395.34 1299455.5276,718,1026,385,814MEX Base18b 2018 183291.82274630.3058 20411.92 38819.09 28969.3546,122271,492PO Base18b 2018513185.2513,1852,689,038289,66910,187,65014,385,990Page 12Canyonlands PSAT ScalingNat. Fires & BioMobileRegion Scenario Year Point Anthro Fire Natural Fire All Fire Biogenic AreaWRAP AreaO&G Off-ShoreOn-RoadMobileOff-RoadMobile Road DustFugitiveDust WB Dust CAN, MEX & PO Colorado CEN & EUS Other WRAP StatesVolatile Organic CompoundsAZ Base18b 2018 9466.2101 744.548 36380.932 1576697.733 171407.63 101.57 52871.84 36531.641,884,202CA Base18b 2018 54631.26 4289.347 78944.899 2811252.782 338729.69 18984.13 121180.723 111658.7753,539,672CO Base18b 2018 98629.79 665.514 20404.05 804776.7842 136032.06 37854.6 41488.8325 25003.62751,164,855ID Base18b 2018 3060.02 3966.679 86161.518 834302.7685 194202.55 10332.1325 16026.17751,148,052MT Base18b 2018 10445.96 1470.439 30101.733 1031678.145 59914.73 7555.99 18532.0375 8684.79751,168,384ND Base18b 2018 2493.21 644.634 1701.48 233560.7228 69597.06 13052.46 3487.2925 8665.605333,202NM Base18b 2018 26187.38 387.653 18845.844 1016487.076 70556.41 331919.19 15553.525 9463.091,489,400NV Base18b 2018 4112.88 50.335 17606.457 794138.629 47434.22 172.67 17085.0475 11784.0625892,384OR Base18b 2018 41168.9 7353.624 60343.575 1148266.013 334846.03 19.41 36395.32 24962.9051,653,356SD Base18b 2018 3522.79 47.723 3759.984 445241.4812 49683.37 387.46 5100.785 7752.2925515,496UT Base18b 2018 13599.48 328.919 19484.607 641480.9389 78057.64 96765.03 22685.26 17527.5675889,929WA Base18b 2018 28013.1 10532.375 13160.365 642735.7735 253703.42 50624.995 38618.07251,037,388WY Base18b 2018 27541.57 961.222 18375.566 605371.1137 32251.21 415068.47 5285.6675 10597.3151,115,452CAN Base18b 2018 233149.2313558078.38 1743230.5 413199.03 015,947,6572,389,579CEN Base18b 2018 593502.19 39333.407 9962739.139 1938616.20 452080.9812,986,2723,023,533EUS Base18b 2018 1462524.5 68955.816 15850190.11 45683360 977106.608322,927,1137,076,923MEX Base18b 2018 29523.36213032.906 218049.52 47347.39 12595.516,520,549307,516PO Base18b 2018367468.1367,46822,468,2061,164,85535,913,38528,464,468Page 13Canyonlands PSAT ScalingRegion Scenario Year Point [tpy]Anthro Fire[tpy]Natural Fire[tpy]Biogenic[tpy]Area [tpy]WRAP AreaO&G [tpy]Off-Shore[tpy]On-RoadMobile [tpy]Off-RoadMobile [tpy]Road Dust[tpy]FugitiveDust [tpy]WB Dust[tpy]Total [tpy]CO Plan02c 2002 97016.4 107.6 3334.9-6504.4 259.7-4389.2 3014.9 4.1 4.9-114636.1COBase18b201869262.591.43334.9-7676.18.5-676.6780.70.06.3-81836.9Delta (27753.9) (16.3) 0.0 - 1171.7 (251.2) - (3712.6) (2234.3) (4.1) 1.4 -(32799.2)Reduction Percentage: -28.6% -15.1% 0.0% - 18.0% -96.7% - -84.6% -74.1% -100.0% 29.1% -Source Category % of Total: 84.6% 0.1% 4.1% - 9.4% 0.0% - 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% -Region Scenario Year Point [tpy]Anthro Fire[tpy]Natural Fire[tpy]Biogenic[tpy]Area [tpy]WRAP AreaO&G [tpy]Off-Shore[tpy]On-RoadMobile [tpy]Off-RoadMobile [tpy]Road Dust[tpy]FugitiveDust [tpy]WB Dust[tpy]Total [tpy]CO Plan02c 2002 117868.9 519.9 9377.1 37348.8 11645.1 23350.9-141883.5 62447.2 0.9 13.3-404455.5COBase18b2018112241.2408.59377.137348.816360.327992.9-45249.140803.90.017.2-289798.9Delta (5627.7) (111.4) 0.0 0.0 4715.2 4642.0 - (96634.4) (21643.3) (0.9) 3.9 -(114656.6)Reduction Percentage: -4.8% -21.4% 0.0% 0.0% 40.5% 19.9% - -68.1% -34.7% -100.0% 29.2% -Source Category % of Total: 38.7% 0.1% 3.2% 12.9% 5.6% 9.7% - 15.6% 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% -Emission downloaded from WRAP TSS EI on 7/14/2010Sulfur Dioxide (gas and particulates)Nitrogen oxides (gas and particulates)Page 14