HDR1012000110090830960830RICE STOCKS
Rice
Stocks

National
Agricultural
Statistics
Service

USDA
Washington, D.C.


Released August 30, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For
information on "Rice Stocks" call Dan Kerestes at (202) 720-9526, office hours
8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.  For assistance with general agricultural statistics,
information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information
Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV.




                    Stocks of Rough Rice Down

Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1996, totaled 20.0 million
hundredweight (cwt), 12 percent below August 1, 1995.  Stocks held on farms
accounted for 2 percent of the total, with mills and warehouses holding 98
percent of the stocks.  Stocks of long grain varieties totaled 7.42 million cwt,
medium grain 12.0 million cwt, and short grain 531,000 cwt.  August 1 rice
stocks represent carryover stocks from one marketing year to the next in all
States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1.

Milled rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1996 totaled 3.61 million cwt,
43 percent below the total of a year ago.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of
3.16 million cwt of whole kernels and 450,000 cwt of second heads, screenings,
and brewers' rice.




















Gr Lg 11-3 (8-96)


                 Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1995-96
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     : to Mills 1/:  Transit   :  Positions
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1996      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1 2/:    20,520        11,102       53,283          941        85,846
  Aug 1   :       486         5,542       13,818          125        19,971
  Oct 1 3/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1   :                   3,072          148          479         3,699
  Aug 1   :                   3,296          269           49         3,614
  Oct 1 3/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1 2/:   930,770       503,580    2,416,880       42,680     3,893,910
  Aug 1   :    22,040       251,380      626,770        5,670       905,860
  Oct 1 3/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :                 139,340        6,710       21,730       167,780
  Aug 1   :                 149,500       12,200        2,220       163,920
  Oct 1 3/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
1995      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1   :    23,239        12,793       59,271          622        95,925
  Aug 1   :       862         6,578       15,279           45        22,764
  Oct 1 3/:                     693        4,234            0         4,927
  Dec 1   :    32,936        12,561       74,951          883       121,331
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1   :                   4,078          349        1,192         5,619
  Aug 1   :                   4,225        1,028        1,055         6,308
  Oct 1 3/:                   1,149            0            0         1,149
  Dec 1   :                   4,368          331        1,010         5,709
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   : 1,054,100       580,280    2,688,490       28,210     4,351,080
  Aug 1   :    39,100       298,370      693,040        2,040     1,032,550
  Oct 1 3/:                  31,430      192,050            0       223,480
  Dec 1   : 1,493,950       569,760    3,399,720       40,050     5,503,480
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :                 184,970       15,830       54,070       254,870
  Aug 1   :                 191,640       46,630       47,850       286,120
  Oct 1 3/:                  52,120            0            0        52,120
  Dec 1   :                 198,130       15,010       45,810       258,950
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ October includes small amount stored on farms.
2/ Revised.
3/ CA only.




    Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, August 1, 1995-96
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
  State   :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  to Mills  :  Transit   :  Positions
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1996      :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :       200         2,893        2,725            0         5,818
  CA      :       100           936        9,325            0        10,361
  LA      :         *             *            *            *           742
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         1,372
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           399
  TX      :        36           771          347          125         1,279
  Unall*  :       150           942        1,421            0
          :
  US      :       486         5,542       13,818          125        19,971
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :                   1,057           87           14         1,158
  CA      :                   1,170            0            0         1,170
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     541          181            1           723
  Unall*  :                     528            1           34           563
          :
  US      :                   3,296          269           49         3,614
          :
1995      :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :       400         3,896        3,746           22         8,064
  CA      :       105           617        9,556            0        10,278
  LA      :        40           667          582           23         1,312
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         1,356
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           234
  TX      :        43         1,165          312            0         1,520
  Unall*  :       274           233        1,083            0
          :
  US      :       862         6,578       15,279           45        22,764
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :                   1,408          681           12         2,101
  CA      :                   1,363            0            0         1,363
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     805          347           39         1,191
  Unall*  :                     649            0        1,004         1,653
          :
  US      :                   4,225        1,028        1,055         6,308
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.









               Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1995-96
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1995  : 1996   : 1995  : 1996  : 1995  : 1996  :  1995  :  1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    322     127   9,257   9,704     699     530   10,278   10,361
          :
Oth Sts 1/:  9,866   7,291   2,615   2,318       5       1   12,486    9,610
          :
U S       : 10,188   7,418  11,872  12,022     704     531   22,764   19,971
------------------------------------------------------------------------------





               Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1995-96
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1995  :  1996  : 1995  : 1996  : 1995  : 1996  :  1995  :  1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :     39      32   1,036     932      39      46    1,114    1,010
          :
Oth Sts 1/:  3,088   1,895   1,297     255       5       4    4,390    2,154
          :
U S       :  3,127   1,927   2,333   1,187      44      50    5,504    3,164
          :
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                          Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          : Second Heads 2/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1995  :  1996  : 1995  : 1996  : 1995  : 1996  :  1995  :  1996
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    227     135                      22      25      249      160
          :
Oth Sts 1/:    352     194      79      14     124      82      555      290
          :
U S       :    579     329      79      14     146     107      804      450
          :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MI, MO, and TX.
2/  Includes screenings in Calif.





    Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1995-96
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :  On Farms  :    In Mill  :  In Whses   :              :
         :     or     :       and   :    Not      :     In Port  :   Total
 State   :    Farm    :    Attache  :  Attached   :       or in  :    All
         :    Whses   :     Whses   :  to Mills   :     Transit  : Positions
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1996 1/  :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :   12,000         6,239        19,054              1       37,294
  CA     :    1,500         2,083        21,362              0       24,945
  LA     :    2,200         1,204         4,402             95        7,901
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        4,793
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        2,496
  TX     :    2,000           793         4,779            845        8,417
  Unall* :    2,820           783         3,686              0            0
         :
  US     :   20,520        11,102        53,283            941       85,846
         :
         :                        Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :                  1,128           125             70        1,323
  CA     :                    884             0              0          884
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *
  TX     :                    569            23            240          832
  Unall* :                    491             0            169          660
         :
  US     :                  3,072           148            479        3,699
         :
1995     :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :   14,600         6,991        21,791             11       43,393
  CA     :    1,870         2,304        23,086              0       27,260
  LA     :    2,200         2,048         4,275             74        8,597
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        5,596
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        2,052
  TX     :    1,913           793         5,784            537        9,027
  Unall* :    2,656           657         4,335              0            0
         :
  US     :   23,239        12,793        59,271            622       95,925
         :
         :                        Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :                  1,389           288              8        1,685
  CA     :                  1,341             0              0        1,341
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *
  TX     :                    621            61            144          826
  Unall* :                    727             0          1,040        1,767
         :
  US     :                  4,078           349          1,192        5,619
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/ Revised.





               Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1995-96
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1995  :  1996  : 1995  : 1996  : 1995  : 1996  :  1995 : 1996 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    507     507  25,578  23,492   1,175     946   27,260   24,945
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 57,272  52,123  11,385   8,772       8       6   68,665   60,901
          :
US        : 57,779  52,630  36,963  32,264   1,183     952   95,925   85,846
          :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------





             Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1995-96
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1995  :  1996  : 1995  : 1996  : 1995  : 1996  :  1995  :  1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :     25      24     943     660      50      24    1,018      708
          :
Oth Sts 2/:  2,369   2,234   1,300     210       3       2    3,672    2,446
          :
US        :  2,394   2,258   2,243     870      53      26    4,690    3,154
          :
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                          Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          : Second Heads 3/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1995  :  1996  : 1995  : 1996  : 1995  : 1996  :  1995  :  1996
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    299     160                      24      16      323      176
          :
Oth Sts 2/:    435     246      31       6     140     117      606      369
          :
US        :    734     406      31       6     164     133      929      545
          :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Revised.
2/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
3/  Includes screenings in CA.




        Reliability of August 1, 1996, Rice Stocks Estimates


Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August.  Separate surveys were
conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.  The on-farm stocks
survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that
all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected.  Data can
then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms.  The
off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial rice
storage facilities.  An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities.
Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage.


Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the
State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical
estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates are made for on-farm and
off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using
the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes other sources of data to check
the reasonableness of the stocks estimates.  Estimates of production, exports,
and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production and
utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the
best possible estimate of stocks.


Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the
report following the initial publication and again in the December 1,
"Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.  Revisions can be made when
late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and
when production estimates are revised.  Estimates will also be reviewed after
data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the Department of
Commerce, are available.  No revisions will be made after that date.


Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must
be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are
drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling
variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in
the sample.

Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission,
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording,
and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to
these types or errors.  These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are
minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a
careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.


The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
October 31, 1996.


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disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA
Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD).

To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C.,
20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD).  USDA is an equal
employment opportunity employer.


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