HDR1012000110090831950830Rice Stocks                                            
HDR2012000110090831950830Rice Stocks Narrative                                  
                                                                                
Released August 31, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service       
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For     
information on "Rice Stocks" call Dan Kerestes at (202) 720-9526, office hours  
8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.  For assistance with general agricultural statistics,
information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information  
Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail:  NASS@AG.GOV.                              
                                                                                
                         Stocks of Rough Rice Up                                
                                                                                
Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1995, totaled 22.8 million      
hundredweight (cwt), 9 percent above August 1, 1994.  Stocks held on farms      
accounted for 4 percent of the total, with mills and warehouses holding         
96 percent of the stocks.  Stocks of long grain varieties totaled 10.2 million  
cwt, medium grain 11.9 million cwt, and short grain 704,000 cwt.  August 1 rice 
stocks represent carryover stocks from one marketing year to the next in all    
States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1.            
                                                                                
                                                                                
Milled rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1995 totaled 6.31 million cwt, 
75 percent above the total of a year ago.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of 
5.50 million cwt of whole kernels and 804,000 cwt of second heads, screenings,  
and brewers rice.                                                               
                                                                                
Gr Lg 11-3 (8-95)                                                               
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830By Position, United States, 1994-95                    
                                                                                
             Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 1994-95                  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :               
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total      
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All       
          :    Whses    :   Whses     : to Mills 1/:  Transit   :  Positions    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1995      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt                        
  Mar 1 2/:    23,239        12,793       59,271          622        95,925     
  Aug 1   :       862         6,578       15,279           45        22,764     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt                       
  Mar 1   :                   4,078          349        1,192         5,619     
  Aug 1   :                   4,225        1,028        1,055         6,308     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons                        
  Mar 1 2/: 1,054,100       580,280    2,688,490       28,210     4,351,080     
  Aug 1   :    39,100       298,370      693,040        2,040     1,032,550     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons                       
  Mar 1   :                 184,970       15,830       54,070       254,870     
  Aug 1   :                 191,640       46,630       47,850       286,120     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :                                                                     
1994      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt                        
  Mar 1   :    11,703        15,056       52,697          147        79,603     
  Aug 1   :       517         5,601       14,674          115        20,907     
  Oct 1 3/:                     116        2,353            0         2,469     
  Dec 1   :    41,223        15,682       83,471          693       141,069     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt                       
  Mar 1   :                   4,232        1,010          563         5,805     
  Aug 1   :                   2,710          188          697         3,595     
  Oct 1 3/:                     875            0            0           875     
  Dec 1   :                   3,290          511        1,044         4,845     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons                        
  Mar 1   :   530,840       682,930    2,390,300        6,670     3,610,740     
  Aug 1   :    23,450       254,060      665,600        5,220       948,330     
  Oct 1 3/:                   5,260      106,730            0       111,990     
  Dec 1   : 1,869,840       711,320    3,786,180       31,430     6,398,770     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons                       
  Mar 1   :                 191,960       45,810       25,540       263,310     
  Aug 1   :                 122,920        8,530       31,620       163,070     
  Oct 1 3/:                  39,690            0            0        39,690     
  Dec 1   :                 149,230       23,180       47,360       219,770     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  October includes small amount stored on farms.                              
2/  Revised.                                                                    
3/  CA only.                                                                    
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830By Position, State, and United States                  
                                                                                
   Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, August 1, 1994-95       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :               
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total      
  State   :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All       
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  to Mills  :  Transit   :  Positions    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1995      :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
  AR      :       400         3,896        3,746           22         8,064     
  CA      :       105           617        9,556            0        10,278     
  LA      :        40           667          582           23         1,312     
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         1,356     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           234     
  TX      :        43         1,165          312            0         1,520     
  Unall*  :       274           233        1,083            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US      :       862         6,578       15,279           45        22,764     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  AR      :                   1,408          681           12         2,101     
  CA      :                   1,363            0            0         1,363     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                     805          347           39         1,191     
  Unall*  :                     649            0        1,004         1,653     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   4,225        1,028        1,055         6,308     
          :                                                                     
1994      :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
  AR      :       250         2,828        6,179            0         9,257     
  CA      :        75           676        6,204            0         6,955     
  LA      :        50           680          648          101         1,479     
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         1,200     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           237     
  TX      :        32         1,338          395           14         1,779     
  Unall*  :       110            79        1,248            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US      :       517         5,601       14,674          115        20,907     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  AR      :                     857           30           47           934     
  CA      :                     678            0            0           678     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                     807          158            0           965     
  Unall*  :                     368            0          650         1,018     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   2,710          188          697         3,595     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.           
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830Rough Rice Stocks                                      
                                                                                
          Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,              
       California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1994-95           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  : 1995   : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    419     322   5,885   9,257     651     699    6,955   10,278    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/: 12,124   9,866   1,823   2,615       5       5   13,952   12,486    
          :                                                                     
US        : 12,543  10,188   7,708  11,872     656     704   20,907   22,764    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830Milled Rice Stocks                                     
                                                                                
           Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,            
        California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1994-95          
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                       
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :     38      39     463   1,036      26      39      527    1,114    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:  1,822   3,088     705   1,297       2       5    2,529    4,390    
          :                                                                     
US        :  1,860   3,127   1,168   2,333      28      44    3,056    5,504    
          :                                                                     
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                          Broken Kernels                             
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          : Second Heads 2/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    138     227                      13      22      151      249    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:    226     352      82      79      80     124      388      555    
          :                                                                     
US        :    364     579      82      79      93     146      539      804    
          :                                                                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  AR, LA, MI, MO, and TX.                                                     
2/  Includes screenings in CA.                                                  
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830By Position, State, and United States                  
                                                                                
    Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1994-95       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
         :  On Farms  :   In Mills  :  In Whses   :              :              
         :     or     :      and    :    Not      :   In Ports   :   Total      
 State   :    Farm    :   Attached  :  Attached   :     or in    :    All       
         :    Whses   :    Whses    :  to Mills   :    Transit   : Positions    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1995 1/  :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
  AR     :   14,600         6,991        21,791             11       43,393     
  CA     :    1,870         2,304        23,086              0       27,260     
  LA     :    2,200         2,048         4,275             74        8,597     
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        5,596     
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        2,052     
  TX     :    1,913           793         5,784            537        9,027     
  Unall* :    2,656           657         4,335              0                  
         :                                                                      
  US     :   23,239        12,793        59,271            622       95,925     
         :                                                                      
         :                        Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  AR     :                  1,389           288              8        1,685     
  CA     :                  1,341             0              0        1,341     
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *     
  TX     :                    621            61            144          826     
  Unall* :                    727             0          1,040        1,767     
         :                                                                      
  US     :                  4,078           349          1,192        5,619     
         :                                                                      
1994     :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
  AR     :    5,767         8,232        18,212             19       32,230     
  CA     :    1,670         1,520        24,497              0       27,687     
  LA     :    1,300         2,913         3,224             95        7,532     
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        4,508     
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        1,785     
  TX     :      790         1,472         3,588             11        5,861     
  Unall* :    2,176           919         3,176             22                  
         :                                                                      
  US     :   11,703        15,056        52,697            147       79,603     
         :                                                                      
         :                        Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  AR     :                  1,812           143             36        1,991     
  CA     :                    981             0              0          981     
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *     
  TX     :                    845           867              4        1,716     
  Unall* :                    594             0            523        1,117     
         :                                                                      
  US     :                  4,232         1,010            563        5,805     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
*   Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.          
1/  Revised.                                                                    
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830Rough Rice Stocks                                      
                                                                                
          Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,              
       California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1994-95            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  : 1995 1/: 1994 : 1995 1/: 1994  : 1995  :  1994  : 1995 1/  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    898     507   25,671  25,578   1,118   1,175   27,687   27,260   
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 2/: 43,843  57,272    8,061  11,385      12       8   51,916   68,665   
          :                                                                     
US        : 44,741  57,779   33,732  36,963   1,130   1,183   79,603   95,925   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830Milled Rice Stocks                                     
                                                                                
          Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,             
        California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1994-95           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                       
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :     33      25     799     943      16      50      848    1,018    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 2/:  2,720   2,369     615   1,300      10       3    3,345    3,672    
          :                                                                     
US        :  2,753   2,394   1,414   2,243      26      53    4,193    4,690    
          :                                                                     
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                          Broken Kernels                             
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          : Second Heads 3/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :     98     299                      35      24      133      323    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 2/:    336     435      47      31   1,096     140    1,479      606    
          :                                                                     
US        :    434     734      47      31   1,131     164    1,612      929    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Revised.                                                                    
2/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.                                                     
3/  Includes screenings in CA.                                                  
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090831950830Reliability                                            
                                                                                
              Reliability of August 1, 1995, Rice Stocks Estimates              
                                                                                
Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on       
                    surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August.       
Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.   
The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure 
that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be   
selected.  Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of    
rice on all farms.  The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of  
all known commercial rice storage facilities.  An effort is made to obtain      
reports from all facilities.  Estimates are made for missing facilities to      
assure complete coverage.                                                       
                                                                                
                                                                                
Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the    
                        State and national levels for reasonableness,           
consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates  
are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are       
combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes  
other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates.      
Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure        
beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within      
reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks.            
                                                                                
                                                                                
Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the    
                  report following the initial publication and again in the     
December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.  Revisions can 
be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and    
calculating, and when production estimates are revised.  Estimates will also be 
reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the      
Department of Commerce, are available.  No revisions will be made after that    
date.                                                                           
                                                                                
                                                                                
Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must
              be treated separately because the survey design for the           
two surveys are drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are subject
to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not   
included in the sample.                                                         
                                                                                
Survey estimates are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission,      
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, 
and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to   
these types or errors.  These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are  
minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a   
careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.         
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on               
October 31, 1995.                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
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employment opportunity employer.                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
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