HDR1012000110090116960830RICE STOCKS                                            
HDR2012000110090116960830RICE STOCKS HIGHLIGHTS                                 
Released January 16, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service      
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For     
information on "Rice Stocks" call Dan Kerestes at (202) 720-9526, office hours  
8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.  For assistance with general agricultural statistics,
information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information  
Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV.                               
                                                                                
                    Stocks of Rough Rice Down                                   
                                                                                
Rough rice stocks in all positions on December 1, 1995, totaled 121 million     
hundredweight (cwt), 14 percent lower than the comparable total on December 1,  
1994.  Stocks held on farms totaled 32.9 million cwt and off-farm stocks totaled
88.2 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 63 percent of the total    
rough stocks, medium grain 36 percent, and short grain varieties 1 percent.     
                                                                                
                                                                                
Milled rice stocks on December 1 totaled 5.71 million cwt, 18 percent above the 
total of a year earlier.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of 4.73 million cwt 
of whole kernel rice and 977,000 cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers   
rice.                                                                           
                                                                                
                                                                                
Gr Lg 11-3 (1-96)                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090116960830RICE STOCKS TABLES                                     
                Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 1994-95               
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :               
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total      
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All       
          :    Whses    :   Whses     : To Mills 1/:  Transit   :  Positions    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1995      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                        
  Mar 1   :    23,239        12,793       59,271          622        95,925     
  Aug 1   :       862         6,578       15,279           45        22,764     
  Oct 1 2/:                     693        4,234            0         4,927     
  Dec 1   :    32,936        12,561       74,798          883       121,178     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  Mar 1   :                   4,078          349        1,192         5,619     
  Aug 1   :                   4,225        1,028        1,055         6,308     
  Oct 1 2/:                   1,149            0            0         1,149     
  Dec 1   :                   4,368          331        1,010         5,709     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons                        
  Mar 1   : 1,054,100       580,280    2,688,490       28,210     4,351,080     
  Aug 1   :    39,100       298,370      693,040        2,040     1,032,550     
  Oct 1 2/:                  31,430      192,050            0       223,480     
  Dec 1   : 1,493,950       569,760    3,392,780       40,050     5,496,540     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons                       
  Mar 1   :                 184,970       15,830       54,070       254,870     
  Aug 1   :                 191,640       46,630       47,850       286,120     
  Oct 1 2/:                  52,120            0            0        52,120     
  Dec 1   :                 198,130       15,010       45,810       258,950     
          :                                                                     
1994      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                        
  Mar 1   :    11,703        15,056       52,697          147        79,603     
  Aug 1   :       517         5,601       14,674          115        20,907     
  Oct 1 2/:                     116        2,353            0         2,469     
  Dec 1 3/:    41,223        15,682       83,713          693       141,311     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  Mar 1   :                   4,232        1,010          563         5,805     
  Aug 1   :                   2,710          188          697         3,595     
  Oct 1 2/:                     875            0            0           875     
  Dec 1   :                   3,290          511        1,044         4,845     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons                        
  Mar 1   :   530,840       682,930    2,390,300        6,670     3,610,740     
  Aug 1   :    23,450       254,060      665,600        5,220       948,330     
  Oct 1 2/:                   5,260      106,730            0       111,990     
  Dec 1 3/: 1,869,840       711,320    3,797,160       31,430     6,409,750     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons                       
  Mar 1   :                 191,960       45,810       25,540       263,310     
  Aug 1   :                 122,920        8,530       31,620       163,070     
  Oct 1 2/:                  39,690            0            0        39,690     
  Dec 1   :                 149,230       23,180       47,360       219,770     
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/ October includes small amount stored on farms.                               
2/ CA only.                                                                     
3/ Revised.                                                                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
  Rice Stocks:  By Position, by State and United States, December 1, 1994-95    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :               
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total      
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All       
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  To Mills  :  Transit   :  Positions    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1995      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt                        
  AR      :    13,800         7,086       28,388           46        49,320     
  CA      :     2,800         2,107       29,072            0        33,979     
  LA      :     6,500         1,530        6,089            0        14,119     
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         8,316     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         3,432     
  TX      :     3,001         1,086        7,088          837        12,012     
  Unall*  :     6,835           752        4,161            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US      :    32,936        12,561       74,798          883       121,178     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt                       
  AR      :                   1,371           92           46         1,509     
  CA      :                   1,181            0            0         1,181     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                   1,219          239           13         1,471     
  Unall*  :                     597            0          951         1,548     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   4,368          331        1,010         5,709     
          :                                                                     
1994      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt                        
  AR      :    17,500         9,151       30,956            0        57,607     
  CA 1/   :     4,500         2,461       30,871            0        37,832     
  LA      :     7,500         2,176        7,518          344        17,538     
  MS      :         *             *            *            *        10,119     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         3,283     
  TX      :     3,823         1,206        9,554          349        14,932     
  Unall*  :     7,900           688        4,814            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US 1/   :    41,223        15,682       83,713          693       141,311     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt                       
  AR      :                   1,289          425           40         1,754     
  CA      :                     871            0            0           871     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                     731           86            3           820     
  Unall*  :                     399            0        1,001         1,400     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   3,290          511        1,044         4,845     
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.           
1/ Revised.                                                                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
           Rough Rice stocks:   By Length of Grain in All Positions,            
       California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1994-95         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          : 1994 1/:  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994 1/:  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    585     542  35,898   32,308  1,349   1,129    37,832   33,979   
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 2/: 86,696  75,561  16,778   11,633      5       5   103,479   87,199   
          :                                                                     
U S       : 87,281  76,103  52,676   43,941  1,354   1,134   141,311  121,178   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/ Revised.                                                                     
2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.                                                      
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
           Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,            
       California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1994-95         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                       
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
  STATE   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :   1995 : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :     30      36     482     857      46      32      558      925    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:  1,854   3,473   1,241     327       2       7    3,097    3,807    
          :                                                                     
U S       :  1,884   3,509   1,723   1,184      48      39    3,655    4,732    
          :                                                                     
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                          Broken Kernels                             
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          : Second Heads 2/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :   1995 : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CALIF     :    286     235                      27      21      313      256    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:    404     391      89      14     384     316      877      721    
          :                                                                     
U S       :    690     626      89      14     411     337    1,190      977    
          :                                                                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.                                                     
2/  Includes screenings in CA.                                                  
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
          Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,              
                   California, October 1, 1994-95                               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
  State   :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    114     219   1,906   4,186     449     522    2,469    4,927    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
          Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,             
                   California, October 1, 1994-95                               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                      
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :     43      51     596     749      51      37      690      837    
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                           Broken Kernels                            
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          : Second Heads 1/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995    
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    164     279                      21      33      185      312    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Includes Screenings                                                         
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
            Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States,                
                         August 1 and March 1,  1995                            
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          : On Farms    : In Mills    : In Whses   :            :               
          :    or       :    and      :   Not      : In Ports   :   Total       
  State   :   Farm      : Attached    : Attached   :  or In     :    All        
          :   Whses     :   Whses     : to Mills   : Transit    : Positions     
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
August    :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                        
  AR      :       400         3,896        3,746           22         8,064     
  CA      :       105           617        9,556            0        10,278     
  LA      :        40           667          582           23         1,312     
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         1,356     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           234     
  TX      :        43         1,165          312            0         1,520     
  Unall*  :       274           233        1,083            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US      :       862         6,578       15,279           45        22,764     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  AR      :                   1,408          681           12         2,101     
  CA      :                   1,363            0            0         1,363     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                     805          347           39         1,191     
  Unall*  :                     649            0        1,004         1,653     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   4,225        1,028        1,055         6,308     
          :                                                                     
March     :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                        
  AR      :    14,600         6,991       21,791           11        43,393     
  CA      :     1,870         2,304       23,086            0        27,260     
  LA      :     2,200         2,048        4,275           74         8,597     
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         5,596     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         2,052     
  TX      :     1,913           793        5,784          537         9,027     
  Unall*  :     2,656           657        4,335            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US      :    23,239        12,793       59,271          622        95,925     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                       
  AR      :                   1,389          288            8         1,685     
  CA      :                   1,341            0            0         1,341     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                     621           61          144           826     
  Unall*  :                     727            0        1,040         1,767     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   4,078          349        1,192         5,619     
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.           
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,            
                California, Other States, and United States, 1995               
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :      Total       
State     :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                            August 1, 1995                           
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                                1,000 Cwt                            
          :                                                                     
CA        :      322             9,257              699           10,278        
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:    9,866             2,615                5           12,486        
          :                                                                     
U S       :   10,188            11,872              704           22,764        
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :      Total       
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                            March 1, 1995                            
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                                1,000 Cwt                            
          :                                                                     
CA        :      507            25,578            1,175           27,260        
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:   57,272            11,385                8           68,665        
          :                                                                     
US        :   57,779            36,963            1,183           95,925        
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain, in All Positions,          
            California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1995         
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                      
  State   :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :       Total      
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                              1,000 Cwt                              
          :                                                                     
CA        :       39             1,036               39            1,114        
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:    3,088             1,297                5            4,390        
          :                                                                     
US        :    3,127             2,333               44            5,504        
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                           Broken Kernels                            
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :Second Heads 2/ :   Screenings    :     Brewers    :      Total      
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                               1,000 Cwt                             
          :                                                                     
CA        :      227                                 22              249        
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:      352                79              124              555        
          :                                                                     
US        :      579                79              146              804        
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.  2/ Includes screenings in CA.                        
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,           
            California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1995          
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                      
  State   :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :      Total       
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                              1,000 Cwt                              
          :                                                                     
CA        :       25               943               50          1,018          
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:    2,369             1,300                3          3,672          
          :                                                                     
US        :    2,394             2,243               53          4,690          
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                           Broken Kernels                            
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :Second Heads 2/ :   Screenings    :     Brewers    :      Total      
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                               1,000 Cwt                             
          :                                                                     
CA        :      299                                 24            323          
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:      435                31              140            606          
          :                                                                     
US        :      734                31              164            929          
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.                                                       
2/ Includes screenings in CA.                                                   
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110090116960830RELIABILITY STATEMENT                                  
       Reliability of December 1, 1995, Rice Stocks Estimates                   
                                                                                
Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on       
                    surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of December.     
Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.   
The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure 
that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be   
selected.  Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of    
rice on all farms.  The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of  
all known commercial rice storage facilities.  An effort is made to obtain      
reports from all facilities.  Estimates are made for missing facilities to      
assure complete coverage.                                                       
                                                                                
Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the    
                        State and national levels for reasonableness,           
consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates  
are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are       
combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes  
other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates.      
Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure        
beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within      
reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks.            
                                                                                
Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the    
                  report following the initial publication and again in the     
December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.  Revisions can 
be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and    
calculating, and when production estimates are revised.  Estimates will also be 
reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the      
Department of Commerce, are available.  No revisions will be made after that    
date.                                                                           
                                                                                
Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must
              be treated separately because the survey design for the           
two surveys are drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are subject
to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not   
included in the sample.                                                         
                                                                                
Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission,      
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, 
and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to   
these types or errors.  These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are  
minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a   
careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.         
                                                                                
                                                                                
The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on                  
March 29, 1996.