HDR1012000110090829970830RICE STOCKS                                            
Rice                                                                            
Stocks                                                                          
                                                                                
National                                                                        
Agricultural                                                                    
Statistics                                                                      
Service                                                                         
                                                                                
USDA                                                                            
Washington, D.C.                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
Released August 29, 1997, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service       
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.          
For information on "Rice Stocks" call Barbara Rater at (202) 720-7688,          
office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.                                         
                                                                                
                                                                                
                       Rough Rice Stocks Up                                     
Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1997 totaled 21.8 million       
hundredweight (cwt), up 9 percent from the total on August 1, 1996.  Stocks held
on farm, at 428,000 cwt, accounted for 2 percent of the total, with mills and   
warehouses holding 98 percent of the stocks.  Stocks of long grain varieties    
totaled 10.8 million cwt, medium grain 10.7 million cwt, and short grain 231,000
cwt.  August 1 rice stocks represent carryover from one marketing year to the   
next in all States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1.
                                                                                
Milled rice stocks on August 1 totaled 3.82 million cwt, 6 percent above the    
comparable figure for a year ago.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.13    
million cwt of whole kernel rice and 685,000 cwt of second heads, screenings and
brewers rice.                                                                   
                 Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1996-97               
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :               
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total      
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All       
          :    Whses    :   Whses     : to Mills 1/:   Transit  :  Positions    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                              1997                                   
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt                        
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1 2/:    16,003        13,112       49,519        1,510        80,144     
  Aug 1   :       428         7,256       13,647          462        21,793     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt                       
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1   :                   3,590          381          640         4,611     
  Aug 1   :                   3,269          474           76         3,819     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons                        
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1 2/:   725,880       594,750    2,246,140       68,490     3,635,260     
  Aug 1   :    19,410       329,130      619,020       20,960       988,520     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons                       
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1   :                 162,840       17,280       29,030       209,150     
  Aug 1   :                 148,280       21,500        3,450       173,230     
  Oct 1 3/:                                                                     
  Dec 1   :                                                                     
          :-----------------------------------------------------------------    
          :                              1996                                   
          :-----------------------------------------------------------------    
          :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt                        
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1   :    20,520        11,102       53,283          941        85,846     
  Aug 1   :       486         5,542       13,818          125        19,971     
  Oct 1 3/:                     401        4,246            0         4,647     
  Dec 1   :    32,719        13,228       72,321          801       119,069     
          :                                                                     
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt                       
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1   :                   3,072          148          479         3,699     
  Aug 1   :                   3,296          269           49         3,614     
  Oct 1 3/:                   1,069            0            0         1,069     
  Dec 1   :                   4,056          280        1,315         5,651     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons                        
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1   :   930,770       503,580    2,416,880       42,680     3,893,910     
  Aug 1   :    22,040       251,380      626,770        5,670       905,860     
  Oct 1 3/:                  18,190      192,600            0       210,790     
  Dec 1   : 1,484,110       600,010    3,280,430       36,330     5,400,880     
          :                                                                     
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons                       
          :                                                                     
  Mar 1   :                 139,340        6,710       21,730       167,780     
  Aug 1   :                 149,500       12,200        2,220       163,920     
  Oct 1 3/:                  48,490            0            0        48,490     
  Dec 1   :                 183,980       12,700       59,650       256,330     
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/ October includes small amount stored on farms.                               
2/ Revised.                                                                     
3/ CA only.                                                                     
                                                                                
    Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, August 1, 1996-97      
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :               
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total      
  State   :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All       
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  to Mills  :  Transit   :  Positions    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                       August 1, 1997                                
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
          :                                                                     
  AR      :       200         4,627        4,246            0         9,073     
  CA      :        79           300        7,476            0         7,855     
  LA      :         *             *            *            *           771     
  MS 1/   :         *             *            *            *         1,528     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           624     
  TX      :        20         1,177          283          462         1,942     
  Unall*  :       129         1,152        1,642            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US 1/   :       428         7,256       13,647          462        21,793     
          :                                                                     
          :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                        
          :                                                                     
  AR      :                   1,038          429           16         1,483     
  CA      :                     701            0            0           701     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                   1,108           45           37         1,190     
  Unall*  :                     422            0           23           445     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   3,269          474           76         3,819     
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                       August 1, 1996                                
          :------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
          :                                                                     
  AR      :       200         2,893        2,725            0         5,818     
  CA      :       100           936        9,325            0        10,361     
  LA      :         *             *            *            *           742     
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         1,372     
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           399     
  TX      :        36           771          347          125         1,279     
  Unall*  :       150           942        1,421            0                   
          :                                                                     
  US      :       486         5,542       13,818          125        19,971     
          :                                                                     
          :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                        
          :                                                                     
  AR      :                   1,057           87           14         1,158     
  CA      :                   1,170            0            0         1,170     
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *     
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *     
  TX      :                     541          181            1           723     
  Unall*  :                     528            1           34           563     
          :                                                                     
  US      :                   3,296          269           49         3,614     
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/ Revised.                                                                     
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.           
                                                                                
               Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,         
           California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1996-97       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1996  : 1997   : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    127       *   9,704   7,551     530       *   10,361    7,855    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:  7,291       *   2,318   3,172       1       *    9,610   13,938    
          :                                                                     
U S       :  7,418  10,839  12,022  10,723     531     231   19,971   21,793    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.                                                      
*  Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
               Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions,         
           California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1996-97       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                       
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :     32      15     932     478      46      34    1,010      527    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:  1,895   2,297     255     310       4       0    2,154    2,607    
          :                                                                     
U S       :  1,927   2,312   1,187     788      50      34    3,164    3,134    
          :                                                                     
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                          Broken Kernels                             
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  Second Heads   : Screenings 2/ :    Brewers    :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997    
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    135     158                      25      16      160      174    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 1/:    194     309      14      13      82     189      290      511    
          :                                                                     
U S       :    329     467      14      13     107     205      450      685    
          :                                                                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.                                                      
2/  Screenings included with second heads in CA.                                
                                                                                
    Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1996-97       
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
         :  On Farms  :    In Mill  :  In Whses   :              :              
         :     or     :       and   :    Not      :   In Port    :   Total      
 State   :    Farm    :    Attached :  Attached   :    or in     :    All       
         :    Whses   :     Whses   :  to Mills   :   Transit    : Positions    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
         :                         March 1, 1997                                
         :-------------------------------------------------------------------   
         :                                                                      
         :                    Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                            
         :                                                                      
  AR     :    9,000         7,382        19,362             15       35,759     
  CA     :    1,423         1,297        19,080              0       21,800     
  LA     :    1,100         2,295         3,095            312        6,802     
  MS 1/  :        *             *             *              *        5,475     
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        1,753     
  TX     :    1,280         1,484         4,608          1,183        8,555     
  Unall* :    3,200           654         3,374              0                  
         :                                                                      
  US 1/  :   16,003        13,112        49,519          1,510       80,144     
         :                                                                      
         :                    Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                           
         :                                                                      
  AR     :                    756           258             14        1,028     
  CA     :                  1,280             0              0        1,280     
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *     
  TX     :                  1,048           123            196        1,367     
  Unall* :                    506             0            430          936     
         :                                                                      
  US     :                  3,590           381            640        4,611     
         :-------------------------------------------------------------------   
         :                         March 1, 1996                                
         :-------------------------------------------------------------------   
         :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
         :                                                                      
  AR     :   12,000         6,239        19,054              1       37,294     
  CA     :    1,500         2,083        21,362              0       24,945     
  LA     :    2,200         1,204         4,402             95        7,901     
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        4,793     
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        2,496     
  TX     :    2,000           793         4,779            845        8,417     
  Unall* :    2,820           783         3,686              0                  
         :                                                                      
  US     :   20,520        11,102        53,283            941       85,846     
         :                                                                      
         :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt                         
         :                                                                      
  AR     :                  1,128           125             70        1,323     
  CA     :                    884             0              0          884     
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *     
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *     
  TX     :                    569            23            240          832     
  Unall* :                    491             0            169          660     
         :                                                                      
  US     :                  3,072           148            479        3,699     
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/ Revised.                                                                     
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.           
               Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,         
           California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1996-97        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  : 1997 1/  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    507       *  23,492  21,026     946       *   24,945   21,800    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 2/: 52,123       *   8,772  10,639       6       *   60,901   58,344    
          :                                                                     
US        : 52,630  47,871  32,264  31,665     952     608   85,846   80,144    
          :                                                                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
*  Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
             Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,          
           California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1996-97        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)                       
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :     24      32     660     859      24      79      708      970    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 2/:  2,234   2,590     210     220       2       6    2,446    2,816    
          :                                                                     
US        :  2,258   2,622     870   1,079      26      85    3,154    3,786    
          :                                                                     
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                          Broken Kernels                             
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  Second Heads   :  Screenings 3/:    Brewers    :      Total        
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997    
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                             1,000 Cwt                               
          :                                                                     
CA        :    160     278                      16      32      176      310    
          :                                                                     
Oth Sts 2/:    246     345       6      20     117     150      369      515    
          :                                                                     
US        :    406     623       6      20     133     182      545      825    
          :                                                                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Revised.                                                                    
2/  AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.                                                      
3/  Screenings included with second heads in CA.                                
                                                                                
        Reliability of August 1, 1997, Rice Stocks Estimates                    
                                                                                
Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on       
surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August.  Separate surveys were    
conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.  The on-farm stocks     
survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that  
all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected.  Data can 
then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms.  The
off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial rice
storage facilities.  An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities.   
Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage.          
                                                                                
Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the    
State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical       
estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates are made for on-farm and     
off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using   
the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes other sources of data to check
the reasonableness of the stocks estimates.  Estimates of production, exports,  
and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production and         
utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the    
best possible estimate of stocks.                                               
                                                                                
Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the    
report following the initial publication and again in the December 1,           
"Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.  Revisions can be made when
late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and
when production estimates are revised.  Estimates will also be reviewed after   
data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available.  No revisions will be  
made after that date.                                                           
                                                                                
Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must
be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are         
drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling    
variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in   
the sample.                                                                     
                                                                                
Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission,      
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, 
and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to   
these types or errors.  These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are  
minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a   
careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.         
                                                                                
The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 31,   
1997.                                                                           
                                                                                
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