HDR1012000110090331950830Rice Stocks
HDR2012000110090331950830Rice Stocks Narrative

Released March 31, 1995, by the Agricultural Statistics Board.

                             Rough Rice Stocks Up

Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 1995, totaled 95.4 million
hundredweight (cwt), 20 percent higher than the total on March 1, 1994.  Stocks
held on farms totaled 23.2 million cwt and off-farm stocks totaled 72.2 million
cwt.  Long grain varieties accounted for 60 percent of the total rough stocks,
medium grain nearly 39 percent, and short grain varieties 1 percent.

Milled rice stocks on March 1 totaled 5.62 million cwt, 3 percent below a year
earlier.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of 4.69 million cwt of whole kernel
rice and .929 million cwt of second heads, screening and brewers rice.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For information call Dan Kerestes at (202) 720-9526.  Office hours are
8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Gr Lg 11-3 (3-95)


HDR2012000110090331950830Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States

               Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 1994-95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     : to Mills 1/:  Transit   :  Positions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1995      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1   :    23,233        12,793       58,786          622        95,434
  Aug 1   :
  Oct 1 2/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1   :                   4,078          349        1,192         5,619
  Aug 1   :
  Oct 1 2/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   : 1,053,830       580,280    2,666,490       28,210     4,328,810
  Aug 1   :
  Oct 1 2/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :                 184,970       15,830       54,070       254,870
  Aug 1   :
  Oct 1 2/:
  Dec 1   :
          :
1994  3/  :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1   :    11,703        15,056       52,697          147        79,603
  Aug 1   :       517         5,601       14,674          115        20,907
  Oct 1 2/:                     116        2,353            0         2,469
  Dec 1   :    41,223        15,682       83,471          693       141,069
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
  Mar 1   :                   4,232        1,010          563         5,805
  Aug 1   :                   2,710          188          697         3,595
  Oct 1 2/:                     875            0            0           875
  Dec 1   :                   3,290          511        1,044         4,845
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :   530,840       682,930    2,390,300        6,670     3,610,740
  Aug 1   :    23,450       254,060      665,600        5,220       948,330
  Oct 1 2/:                   5,260      106,730            0       111,990
  Dec 1   : 1,869,840       711,320    3,786,180       31,430     6,398,770
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :                 191,960       45,810       25,540       263,310
  Aug 1   :                 122,920        8,530       31,620       163,070
  Oct 1 2/:                  39,690            0            0        39,690
  Dec 1   :                 149,230       23,180       47,360       219,770
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Includes small amount stored on farms.
2/  CA only.
3/  Revised.


HDR2012000110090331950830By Position, State, and United States

     Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1994-95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
  State   :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  to Mills  :  Transit   :  Positions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1995      :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :    14,600         6,991       21,791           11        43,393
  CA      :     1,870         2,304       22,601            0        26,775
  LA      :     2,200         2,048        4,275           74         8,597
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         5,596
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         2,046
  TX      :     1,913           793        5,784          537         9,027
  Unall*  :     2,650           657        4,335            0
          :
  US      :    23,233        12,793       58,786          622        95,434
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :                   1,389          288            8         1,685
  CA      :                   1,341            0            0         1,341
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     621           61          144           826
  Unall*  :                     727            0        1,040         1,767
          :
  US      :                   4,078          349        1,192         5,619
          :
1994      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :     5,767         8,232       18,212           19        32,230
  CA      :     1,670         1,520       24,497            0        27,687
  LA      :     1,300         2,913        3,224           95         7,532
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         4,508
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         1,785
  TX      :       790         1,472        3,588           11         5,861
  Unall*  :     2,176           919        3,176           22
          :
  US      :    11,703        15,056       52,697          147        79,603
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR      :                   1,812          143           36         1,991
  CA      :                     981            0            0           981
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     845          867            4         1,716
  Unall*  :                     594            0          523         1,117
          :
  US      :                   4,232        1,010          563         5,805
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.


HDR2012000110090331950830Rough Rice Stocks

           Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
         California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1994-95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    898     328   25,671  25,272   1,118   1,175   27,687   26,775
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 43,843   57,272   8,061  11,379      12       8   51,916   68,659
          :
US        : 44,741   57,600  33,732  36,651   1,130   1,183   79,603   95,434
------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HDR2012000110090331950830Milled Rice Stocks

               Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1994-95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :     33      25     799     943      16      50      848    1,018
          :
Oth Sts 1/:  2,720   2,369     615   1,300      10       3    3,345    3,672
          :
US        :  2,753   2,394   1,414   2,243      26      53    4,193    4,690
          :
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                          Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          : Second Heads 2/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1994  :  1995  : 1994  : 1995  : 1994  : 1995  :  1994  :  1995
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :     98     299                      35      24      133      323
          :
Oth Sts 1/:    336     435      47      31   1,096     140    1,479      606
          :
US        :    434     734      47      31   1,131     164    1,612      929
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.
2/  Includes screenings in CA.


HDR2012000110090331950830Rice Stocks:  By Position, State

    Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, December 1, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :  On Farms  :    In Mill  :  In Whses   :              :
         :     or     :       and   :    Not      :   In Ports   :   Total
 State   :    Farm    :    Attache  :  Attached   :     or in    :    All
         :    Whses   :     Whses   :  To Mills   :   Transit    : Positions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1994 1/  :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :   17,500         9,151        30,956              0       57,607
  CA     :    4,500         2,461        30,629              0       37,590
  LA     :    7,500         2,176         7,518            344       17,538
  MS     :        *             *             *              *       10,119
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        3,283
  TX     :    3,823         1,206         9,554            349       14,932
  Unall* :    7,900           688         4,814              0            0
         :
  US     :   41,223        15,682        83,471            693      141,069
         :
         :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :                  1,289           425             40        1,754
  CA     :                    871             0              0          871
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *
  TX     :                    731            86              3          820
  Unall* :                    399             0          1,001        1,400
         :
  US     :                  3,290           511          1,044        4,845
         :
1993     :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :   12,000         7,214        24,048            323       43,585
  CA     :    1,800         2,012        32,434              0       36,246
  LA     :    3,500         2,386         5,204            280       11,370
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        6,497
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        2,765
  TX     :    1,609         1,458         5,652             63        8,782
  Unall* :    5,255           554         3,451              2            0
         :
  US     :   24,164        13,624        70,789            668      109,245
         :
         :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  AR     :                  1,541           156              8        1,705
  CA     :                    799             0              0          799
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *
  TX     :                    887            36            195        1,118
  Unall* :                    622             0            637        1,259
         :
  US     :                  3,849           192            840        4,881
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*   Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/  Revised.


HDR2012000110090331950830Rough Rice Stocks

           Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
      California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1993-94 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1993  :  1994  : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :  1,253     343  33,678  35,898   1,315   1,349   36,246   37,590
          :
Oth Sts 2/: 60,103  86,696  12,846  16,778      50       5   72,999  103,479
          :
US        : 61,356  87,039  46,524  52,676   1,365   1,354  109,245  141,069
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  1994 revised.
2/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.

HDR2012000110090331950830Milled Rice Stocks

           Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
       California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1993  :  1994  : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 CWT
          :
CA        :     55      30     586     482      27      46      668      558
          :
Oth Sts 1/:  2,344   1,854     672   1,241       0       2    3,016    3,097
          :
US        :  2,399   1,884   1,258   1,723      27      48    3,684    3,655
          :
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                          Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          : Second Heads 2/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1993  :  1994  : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    105     286       0       0      26      27      131      313
          :
Oth Sts 1/:    527     404     107      89     432     384    1,066      877
          :
US        :    632     690     107      89     458     411    1,197    1,190
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/  Includes screenings in CA.


HDR2012000110090331950830Reliability

              Reliability of March 1, 1995, Rice Stocks Estimates

Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
                    surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March.
Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.
The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure
that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be
selected.  Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of
rice on all farms.  The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of
all known commercial rice storage facilities.  An effort is made to obtain
reports from all facilities.  Estimates are made for missing facilities to
assure complete coverage.


Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the
                        State and national levels for reasonableness,
consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates
are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are
combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes
other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates.
Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure
beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within
reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks.


Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the
                  report following the initial publication and again in the
December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.  Revisions can
be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and
calculating, and when production estimates are revised.  Estimates will also be
reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the
Department of Commerce, are available.  No revisions will be made after that
date.


Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates
              must be treated separately because the survey design for the
two surveys are drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are
subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks
are not included in the sample.

Survey estimates are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission,
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording,
and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to
these types or errors.  These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are
minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a
careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.


The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
August 31, 1995.


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its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status.  Persons with
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the
USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808
(TDD).

To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington,
D.C., 20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD).  USDA is
an equal employment opportunity employer.

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