HDR1012000110090112950830Rice Stocks
HDR2012000110090112950830Rice Stocks Narrative

Released January 12, 1995, by the Agricultural Statistics Board.  Estimates
refer to December 1, 1994

Rough rice stocks in all positions on December 1, 1994, totaled 141 million
hundredweight (cwt), 29 percent higher than the comparable total on December 1,
1993.  Stocks held on farms totaled 41.2 million cwt and off-farm stocks
totaled 99.6 million cwt.  Long grain varieties accounted for 62 percent of the
total rough stocks, medium grain 37 percent, and short grain varieties
1 percent.

Milled rice stocks on December 1 totaled 4.85 million cwt, 1 percent below the
total of a year earlier.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.66 million cwt
of whole kernel rice and 1.19 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and
brewers rice.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For information call Dan Kerestes at (202) 720-9526.  Office hours are
8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Gr Lg 11-3 (1-95)


HDR2012000110090112950830Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States

                    Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  To Mills  :  Transit   :  Positions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1994      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  Mar 1   :    11,703        15,056       52,697          147        79,603
  Aug 1   :       517         5,601       14,674          115        20,907
  Oct 1 1/:                     116        2,353 2/         0         2,469
  Dec 1   :    41,223        15,682       83,215          693       140,813
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  Mar 1   :                   4,232        1,010          563         5,805
  Aug 1   :                   2,710          188          697         3,595
  Oct 1 1/:                     875            0            0           875
  Dec 1   :                   3,290          511        1,044         4,845
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :   530,840       682,930    2,390,300        6,670     3,610,740
  Aug 1   :    23,450       254,060      665,600        5,220       948,330
  Oct 1 1/:                   5,260      106,730 2/         0       111,990
  Dec 1   : 1,869,840       711,320    3,774,570       31,430     6,387,160
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :                 191,960       45,810       25,540       263,310
  Aug 1   :                 122,920        8,530       31,620       163,070
  Oct 1 1/:                  39,690            0            0        39,690
  Dec 1   :                 149,230       23,180       47,360       219,770
          :
1993      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  Mar 1   :    22,397        11,900       57,197          187        91,681
  Aug 1   :     1,708         7,055       21,786           35        30,584
  Oct 1 1/:                     481        5,724 2/         0         6,205
  Dec 1   :    24,164        13,624       70,789          668       109,245
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
  Mar 1   :                   3,474          643        1,075         5,192
  Aug 1   :                   4,179          658        1,365         6,202
  Oct 1 1/:                   1,222            0            0         1,222
  Dec 1   :                   3,849          192          840         4,881
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   : 1,015,910       539,770    2,594,410        8,480     4,158,570
  Aug 1   :    77,470       320,010      988,200        1,590     1,387,270
  Oct 1 1/:                  21,820      259,640 2/         0       281,460
  Dec 1   : 1,096,060       617,970    3,210,940       30,300     4,955,270
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
  Mar 1   :                 157,580       29,170       48,760       235,510
  Aug 1   :                 189,560       29,850       61,920       281,330
  Oct 1 1/:                  55,430            0            0        55,430
  Dec 1   :                 174,590        8,710       38,100       221,400
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  CA only.
2/  Includes small amount stored on farms.


  Rice Stocks:  By Position, by State and United States, December 1, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
  Date    :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  To Mills  :  Transit   :  Positions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1994      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
  AR      :    17,500         9,151       30,956            0        57,607
  CA      :     4,500         2,461       30,454            0        37,415
  LA      :     7,500         2,176        7,518          344        17,538
  MS      :         *             *            *            *        10,119
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         3,202
  TX      :     3,823         1,206        9,554          349        14,932
  Unall*  :     7,900           688        4,733            0
          :
  US      :    41,223        15,682       83,215          693       140,813
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
  AR      :                   1,289          425           40         1,754
  CA      :                     871            0            0           871
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     731           86            3           820
  Unall*  :                     399            0        1,001         1,400
          :
  US      :                   3,290          511        1,044         4,845
          :
1993      :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
  AR      :    12,000         7,214       24,048          323        43,585
  CA      :     1,800         2,012       32,434            0        36,246
  LA      :     3,500         2,386        5,204          280        11,370
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         6,497
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         2,765
  TX      :     1,609         1,458        5,652           63         8,782
  Unall*  :     5,255           554        3,451            2
          :
  US      :    24,164        13,624       70,789          668       109,245
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
  AR      :                   1,541          156            8         1,705
  CA      :                     799            0            0           799
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     887           36          195         1,118
  Unall*  :                     622            0          637         1,259
          :
  US      :                   3,849          192          840         4,881
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.


HDR2012000110090112950830Rough Rice Stocks

           Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
       California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1993  :  1994  : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :  1,253     343  33,678  35,848   1,315   1,224   36,246   37,415
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 60,103  86,615  12,846  16,778      50       5   72,999  103,398
          :
US        : 61,356  86,958  46,524  52,626   1,365   1,229  109,245  140,813
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

           Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in all Positions,
       California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1993  :   1994 : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :     55      30     586     482      27      46      668      558
          :
Oth Sts 1/:  2,344   1,854     672   1,241       0       2    3,016    3,097
          :
US        :  2,399   1,884   1,258   1,723      27      48    3,684    3,655
          :
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                          Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          : Second Heads 2/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1993  :   1994 : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    105     286                      26      27      131      313
          :
Oth Sts 1/:    527     404     107      89     432     384    1,066      877
          :
US        :    632     690     107      89     458     411    1,197    1,190
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MI, MO, and TX.
2/  Includes screenings in CA.


          Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
                   California, October 1, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :  1993  :  1994  : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    533     114   5,518   1,906     154     449    6,205    2,469
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
                   California, October 1, 1993-94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1993  :  1994  : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :     44      43   1,024     596      47      51    1,115      690
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          : Second Heads 1/ :  Screenings   :    Brewers    :      Total
          :  1993  :  1994  : 1993  : 1994  : 1993  : 1994  :  1993  :  1994
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :     73     164                      34      21      107      185
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Includes Screenings


HDR2012000110090112950830Rice Stocks:  By Position, State

            Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States,
                         August 1 and March 1,  1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          : On Farms    : In Mills    : In Whses   :            :
          :    or       :    and      :   Not      : In Ports   :   Total
  State   :   Farm      : Attached    : Attached   :  or In     :    All
          :   Whses     :   Whses     : to Mills   : Transit    : Positions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
August    :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
          :
  AR      :       250         2,828        6,179            0         9,257
  CA      :        75           676        6,204            0         6,955
  LA      :        50           680          648          101         1,479
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         1,200
  MO      :         *             *            *            *           237
  TX      :        32         1,338          395           14         1,779
          :
  Unall*  :       110            79        1,248            0
          :
  US      :       517         5,601       14,674          115        20,907
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
          :
  AR      :                     857           30           47           934
  CA      :                     678            0            0           678
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     807          158            0           965
          :
  Unall*  :                     368            0          650         1,018
          :
  US      :                   2,710          188          697         3,595
          :
March     :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
          :
  AR      :     5,767         8,232       18,212           19        32,230
  CA      :     1,670         1,520       24,497            0        27,687
  LA      :     1,300         2,913        3,224           95         7,532
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         4,508
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         1,785
  TX      :       790         1,472        3,588           11         5,861
          :
  Unall*  :     2,176           919        3,176           22
          :
  US      :    11,703        15,056       52,697          147        79,603
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
          :
  AR      :                   1,812          143           36         1,991
  CA      :                     981            0            0           981
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                     845          867            4         1,716
          :
  Unall*  :                     594            0          523         1,117
          :
  US      :                   4,232        1,010          563         5,805
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.


HDR2012000110090112950830Rough Rice Stocks

            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
                California, Other States, and United States, 1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :     Total
   State  :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                            August 1, 1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                                1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :      419             5,885              651            6,955
          :
Oth Sts 1/:   12,124             1,823                5           13,952
          :
US        :   12,543             7,708              656           20,907
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :     Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                            March 1, 1994
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                                1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :      898            25,671            1,118           27,687
          :
Oth Sts 1/:   43,843             8,061               12           51,916
          :
US        :   44,741            33,732            1,130           79,603
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain, in All Positions,
            California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :     Total
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :       38               463               26              527
          :
Oth Sts 1/:    1,822               705                2            2,529
          :
US        :    1,860             1,168               28            3,056
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :Second Heads 2/ :   Screenings    :     Brewers    :    Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                               1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :      138                 0               13              151
          :
Oth Sts 1/:      226                82               80              388
          :
US        :      364                82               93              539
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MI, MO and TX.
2/  Includes screenings in CA.


HDR2012000110090112950830Milled Rice Stocks

                Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
               California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long     :      Medium     :      Short     :     Total
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :       33               799                16             848
          :
Oth Sts 1/:    2,720               615                10           3,345
          :
US        :    2,753             1,414                26           4,193
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :Second Heads 2/ :   Screenings    :     Brewers    :    Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                               1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :       98                                  35             133
          :
Oth Sts 1/:      336                47             1,096           1,479
          :
US        :      434                47             1,131           1,612
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.
2/  Includes screenings in CA.


HDR2012000110090112950830Reliability

                 Reliability of December 1, 1994, Rice Stocks Estimates

Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
                    surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of December.
Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.
The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure
that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be
selected.  Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of
rice on all farms.  The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of
all known commercial rice storage facilities.  An effort is made to obtain
reports from all facilities.  Estimates are made for missing facilities to
assure complete coverage.


Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the
                        State and national levels for reasonableness,
consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates
are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are
combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes
other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates.
Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure
beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within
reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks.


Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the
                  report following the initial publication and again in the
December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.  Revisions can
be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and
calculating, and when production estimates are revised.  Estimates will also be
reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture, conducted by the
Department of Commerce, are available.  No revisions will be made after that
date.


Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates
              must be treated separately because the survey design for the
two surveys are drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are
subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks
are not included in the sample.

Survey estimates are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission,
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording,
and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to
these types or errors.  These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are
minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a
careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.


The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
March 31, 1995.


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