HDR1012000160030615951500MILK PRODUCTION                                        
HDR2012000160030615951500MILK PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS                             
Released June 15, 1995, by the Agricultural Statistics Board.                   
                                                                                
                     May Milk Production Up 1 Percent                           
                                                                                
Milk production in the 22 major States during May totaled a record high         
12.0 billion pounds, 1 percent above production in these same States in         
May 1994.  April revised production, at 11.5 billion pounds was 2 percent more  
than April 1994.                                                                
                                                                                
Production per cow in the 22 major States averaged 1,478 pounds for May,        
21 pounds above May 1994.                                                       
                                                                                
The number of cows on farms in the 22 major States was 8.10 million head,       
2,000 head less than both May 1994 and April 1995.                              
                                                                                
During the January-March period, the 22 major States produced 33.4 billion      
pounds of milk, 85.8 percent of the U.S. production. If the remaining 28 States 
not surveyed monthly followed the same pattern as the 22 States, the U.S.       
production would be 13.9 billion pounds for May 1995.                           
                                                                                
                                     Notice                                     
                                                                                
"U.S. Supply and Utilization of Milk"is available in this issue on page 5.      
                                                                                
For information call Kevin Hintzman at (202) 720-4448.  Office hours are        
8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.                                                      
                                                                                
Da 1-1 (6-95)                                                                   
HDR2012000160030615951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY QTR., US, 94-95                   
         Milk Cows and Production:  By Quarter, United States,  1994-95         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  1/   :  Milk per Cow  2/ :     Milk Production 2/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Quarter :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :  1994    :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
Jan-Mar :    9,506     9,516     3,951     4,095    37,560    38,971       104  
Apr-Jun :    9,530               4,188              39,916                      
Jul-Sep :    9,539               4,007              38,217                      
Oct-Dec :    9,524               3,983              37,933                      
        :                                                                       
Annual  :    9,525              16,129             153,626                      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000160030615951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY MO. 22 SELEC. STS 94-95           
       Milk Cows and Production:  By Month, 22 Selected States, 1994-95         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  1/   :  Milk per Cow  2/ :     Milk Production 2/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 Month  :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :  1994    :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
Jan     :    8,092     8,090     1,343     1,394    10,870    11,280       104  
Feb     :    8,082     8,088     1,236     1,291     9,990    10,441       105  
Mar     :    8,074     8,103     1,401     1,444    11,315    11,698       103  
Apr     :    8,080     8,097     1,396     1,417    11,282    11,477       102  
May     :    8,097     8,095     1,457     1,478    11,799    11,964       101  
Jun     :    8,107               1,388              11,249                      
Jul     :    8,104               1,389              11,260                      
Aug     :    8,108               1,369              11,102                      
Sep     :    8,109               1,318              10,689                      
Oct     :    8,104               1,354              10,970                      
Nov     :    8,098               1,312              10,624                      
Dec     :    8,094               1,370              11,090                      
        :                                                                       
Annual  :    8,096              16,334             132,240                      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000160030615951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. MAY 94-95                     
             Milk Cows and Production:  By State,  May 1994-95                  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  1/   :  Milk per Cow  2/ :     Milk Production 2/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 State  :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :  1994    :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
CA      :    1,232     1,254     1,770     1,770     2,181     2,220       102  
FL      :      178       164     1,400     1,330       249       218        88  
ID      :      205       229     1,580     1,560       324       357       110  
IL      :      165       163     1,350     1,380       223       225       101  
IN      :      145       144     1,370     1,380       199       199       100  
IA      :      264       262     1,295     1,350       342       354       104  
KY      :      170       163     1,035     1,130       176       184       105  
MD      :       92        93     1,295     1,310       119       122       103  
MI      :      328       326     1,525     1,515       500       494        99  
MN      :      610       595     1,395     1,420       851       845        99  
MO      :      198       193     1,270     1,300       251       251       100  
NM      :      166       188     1,777     1,700       295       320       108  
NY      :      722       704     1,430     1,460     1,032     1,028       100  
NC      :       91        88     1,475     1,480       134       130        97  
OH      :      296       288     1,345     1,390       398       400       101  
PA      :      637       639     1,430     1,470       911       939       103  
TN      :      159       156     1,090     1,120       173       175       101  
TX      :      404       400     1,435     1,370       580       548        94  
VT      :      156       156     1,370     1,420       214       222       104  
VA      :      130       129     1,275     1,340       166       173       104  
WA      :      261       266     1,750     1,755       457       467       102  
WI      :    1,488     1,495     1,360     1,400     2,024     2,093       103  
        :                                                                       
22 State:                                                                       
 Total  :    8,097     8,095     1,457     1,478    11,799    11,964       101  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000160030615951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST APR 94-95                      
            Milk Cows and Production:  By State,  April 1994-95 1/              
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  2/   :  Milk per Cow  3/ :     Milk Production 3/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 State  :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :  1994    :  1995     1994    :  1995     1994    :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
CA      :    1,228     1,254     1,705     1,680     2,094     2,107       101  
FL      :      178       164     1,425     1,355       254       222        87  
ID      :      201       227     1,480     1,480       297       336       113  
IL      :      165       163     1,340     1,370       221       223       101  
IN      :      145       144     1,330     1,320       193       190        98  
IA      :      263       262     1,220     1,300       321       341       106  
KY      :      171       163     1,030     1,135       176       185       105  
MD      :       92        93     1,250     1,270       115       118       103  
MI      :      328       326     1,415     1,440       464       469       101  
MN      :      610       595     1,330     1,365       811       812       100  
MO      :      198       195     1,260     1,280       249       250       100  
NM      :      158       185     1,772     1,645       280       304       109  
NY      :      724       705     1,360     1,400       985       987       100  
NC      :       91        88     1,450     1,480       132       130        98  
OH      :      297       288     1,305     1,360       388       392       101  
PA      :      635       639     1,360     1,420       864       907       105  
TN      :      159       157     1,080     1,110       172       174       101  
TX      :      402       400     1,470     1,400       591       560        95  
VT      :      158       156     1,330     1,360       210       212       101  
VA      :      130       129     1,275     1,335       166       172       104  
WA      :      260       267     1,665     1,675       433       447       103  
WI      :    1,487     1,497     1,255     1,295     1,866     1,939       104  
        :                                                                       
22 State:                                                                       
 Total  :    8,080     8,097     1,396     1,417    11,282    11,477       102  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  1995 revised.  2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.        
3/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
HDR2012000160030615951500SUPPLY & UTLIZ. OF MILK US 92-94                       
           Supply and Utilization of Milk:  United States, 1992-94 1/           
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       Item                      :  1992   :  1993   :   1994   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                 :           Mil Lbs            
                                                 :                              
Milk Production                                  : 150,885   150,582   153,622  
Net Imports of Ingredients (M.E.) 2/             :     145       127       148  
Net Change in Storage Cream (M.E.) 3/            :      -5         5        -1  
Total Supply                                     : 151,025   150,714   153,769  
                                                 :                              
Utilization (Milk Equivalent)                    :                              
  Used in Manufactured Products                  :                              
    Creamery Butter, Total M.E.                  :  30,478    29,493    29,127  
      M.E. of Butter from Whey Cream             :   4,150     4,500     4,592  
        Net Milk Equivalent                      :  26,328    24,993    24,535  
                                                 :                              
  Cheese                                         :                              
    American                                     :  29,263    29,415    29,676  
    Other                                        :  20,195    20,456    21,438  
                                                 :                              
  Cottage Cheese, Creamed                        :     592       557       524  
                                                 :                              
  Canned Milk                                    :                              
    Evaporated, Sweetened Condensed              :   1,872     1,178     1,184  
  Bulk Condensed Whole Milk                      :                              
    Unsweetened                                  :     417       244       205  
    Sweetened                                    :     301       324       277  
  Dry Whole Milk                                 :   1,227     1,130     1,227  
  Ice Cream and Other Frozen Dairy Products,     :                              
    Total M.E.                                   :  14,191    14,058    14,540  
  M.E. of Butter and Condensed Milk Used         :                              
   in Ice Cream                                  :   2,367     1,995     1,997  
    Net Milk Equivalent                          :  11,824    12,063    12,543  
                                                 :                              
  Other Manufactured Products 4/                 :     188       199       216  
  Total Manufactured Products                    :  92,207    90,559    91,825  
                                                 :                              
Available for Use in Fluid Products              :                              
   Sold by Dealers                               :  54,244    54,361    53,583  
   Sold by Producers Directly to Consumers 5/    :   1,050       967     1,081  
     Total Available for Fluid Products          :  55,294    55,328    54,664  
                                                 :                              
Used Where Produced                              :                              
  Fed to Calves                                  :   1,436     1,408     1,353  
  Consumed as Fluid Milk and Cream               :     455       428       404  
    Total Used by Producers                      :   1,892     1,836     1,758  
                                                 :                              
Residual 6/                                      :   1,632     2,991     5,522  
  Total Utilization                              : 151,025   150,714   153,769  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnotes on next page.                                                     
HDR2012000160030615951500SUPPLY & UTILIZ. FOOTNOTES                             
                        Supply and Utilization Footnotes                        
                                                                                
1/  Milk production plus the milk equivalent (ME) of net imports of dairy       
    manufacturing ingredients and net out-of-storage movement of cream equals   
    total supply.  Data on milk used in manufacturing products are based on     
    total milkfat required to produce the products and include the milk         
    equivalent of any imported dairy ingredients used.  1992 and 1993 revised.  
                                                                                
2/  Whole milk equivalent (milkfat basis) of net imports of dairy manufacturing 
    ingredients such as frozen cream and butterfat-sugar mixtures.              
                                                                                
3/  Whole milk equivalent of net out-of-storage movement of fluid and plastic   
    cream during the year.  A negative figure represents a net movement of cream
    into storage.                                                               
                                                                                
4/  Whole milk equivalent of dry cream, malted milk powder, part-skim dry milk, 
    dry or concentrated ice cream mix, dehydrated butterfat, and other          
    miscellaneous products using milkfat.                                       
                                                                                
5/  Sales directly to consumers by producers who sell only milk from their own  
    herds.  Also includes milk produced by institutional herds.                 
                                                                                
6/  Residual, includes minor miscellaneous uses and any inaccuracies in         
    production, utilization estimates, or milk equivalent conversions.          
HDR2012000160030615951500RELIABILITY STATEMENT                                  
Survey Procedures:  Primary data used to determine these estimates were         
                    obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States      
maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of      
their herd.  States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their     
lists are as complete as possible.   Generally, all large producers and a       
sample of small producers are included in the survey.  Questionnaires are mailed
to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first             
day of the month.  Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed,     
to supplement the mail response.                                                
                                                                                
Estimation Procedures:   State offices prepare these estimates using survey     
                         indications, historic trends, and any available        
administrative data.  Individual State estimates are reviewed by the            
Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness.                               
                                                                                
Revision Policy:  Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are         
                  subject to revision the following month for monthly States or 
the following quarter for the quarterly States.  Normally, Federal Market Order 
sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not    
available in time for this revision.  Estimates are again subject to revisions  
in February each year based on additional administrative data.  In the event    
that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February 
the following year.  Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year 
Census of Agriculture, conducted by the Department of Commerce, are available.  
No revisions are made after that date.                                          
                                                                                
Reliability:  Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in       
              the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling              
variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as     
omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and              
processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured             
directly.  They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data        
collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for        
consistency and reasonableness.                                                 
                                                                                
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this          
report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the         
table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on     
past performance and is computed using the differences between first and        
final estimates.  The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory           
estimates over the past 10 quarters is 1.1 percent.  This means that            
chances are 2 out of 3 that the final January-March estimate will not be above  
or below the current estimate of 9.52 million head by more than 1.1 percent, or 
about 105,000 head.  Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed
2.0 percent, or about 190,000 head (the 90 percent confidence level).           
HDR2012000160030615951500RELIABILITY TABLE                                      
                Reliability of January-March Milk Estimates 1/                  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
             :        :              :    Difference Between    :               
             :        :              :      First and Final     :    Number of  
             :  Root  :     90%      :         Estimates  1/    :    Quarters   
    Item     :  Mean  :  Confidence  :------------------------------------------
             : Square :    Level     :        :         :       : First : First 
             :  Error :              : Average: Smallest:Largest: Above : Below 
             :        :              :        :         :       : Final : Final 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :   - Percent -     ---------- Mil Lbs. ----------     - Number -  
             :                                                                  
Milk         :    0.5    1.0     391       163        7      315     8       2  
  Production :                                                                  
             :                  --------- 1,000 Head ----------                 
             :                                                                  
All Milk     :    1.1    2.0     190        96        5      187    10       0  
  Cows       :                                                                  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Based on records for the past 10 January-March quarters.                    
HDR2012000160030615951500EEO STATEMENT & NXT RPTG DATE                          
The next "Milk Production" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on              
July 14, 1995                                                                   
                                                                                
                                                                                
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