HDR1012000160031013951500MILK PRODUCTION                                        
HDR2012000160031013951500MILK PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHT                              
Released October 13, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service      
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For     
information on "Milk Production" call Kevin Hintzman at (202) 720-4448, office  
hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.  For assistance with general agricultural      
statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS  
Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail:  NASS@AG.GOV.                  
                                                                                
                     September Milk Production Up 1 Percent                     
                                                                                
Milk production in the 22 major States during September totaled 10.8 billion    
pounds, 1 percent above production in these same States in September 1994.      
August revised production, at 11.1 billion pounds was slightly more than August 
1994.                                                                           
                                                                                
Production per cow in the 22 major States averaged 1,331 pounds for             
September, 13 pounds above September 1994.                                      
                                                                                
The number of cows on farms in the 22 major States was 8.11 million head,       
up 4,000 head from both September 1994 and August 1995.                         
                                                                                
During the July-September period, the 22 major States produced 33.3 billion     
pounds of milk, 86.6 percent of the U.S. production. If the remaining 28 States 
not surveyed monthly followed the same pattern as the 22 States, the U.S.       
production would be 13.2 billion pounds for July, 12.8 billion pounds for       
August, and 12.5 billion pounds for September.                                  
                                                                                
U.S. July-September Milk Production Up 1 Percent                                
                                                                                
The quarterly production of milk for the U.S. was 38.5 billion, 1 percent above 
the July-September period last year.  The average number of milk cows in the    
U.S. during the July-September quarter was 9.52 million head 19,000 head less   
than the same period last year.                                                 
                                                                                
Grain and Other Concentrates                                                    
                                                                                
Grain and other concentrates fed to milk cows on October 1, 1995, averaged      
18.4 pounds per cow, 0.3 pound less than October 1, 1994.                       
                                                                                
Value of Grain and Other Concentrates                                           
                                                                                
The value of grain and other concentrates fed to cows on October 1, averaged    
$7.97 per hundredweight, $0.10 more than October 1, 1994.                       
                                                                                
Da 1-1 (10-95)                                                                  
HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY QTR. US 94-95                     
         Milk Cows and Production:  By Quarter, United States,  1994-95         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  1/   :  Milk per Cow  2/ :     Milk Production 2/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------  
Quarter :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :  1994    :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
Jan-Mar :    9,506     9,517     3,951     4,093    37,560    38,950       104  
Apr-Jun :    9,530     9,516     4,188     4,254    39,916    40,484       101  
Jul-Sep :    9,539     9,520     4,007     4,043    38,217    38,485       101  
Oct-Dec :    9,524               3,983              37,933                      
        :                                                                       
Annual  :    9,525              16,129             153,626                      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY MO. 22 SELEC. STS, 94-95          
         Milk Cows and Production:  By Month, 22 Selected States, 1994-95       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  1/   :  Milk per Cow  2/ :     Milk Production 2/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------  
 Month  :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :  1994    :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
Jan     :    8,092     8,090     1,343     1,394    10,870    11,280       104  
Feb     :    8,082     8,088     1,236     1,291     9,990    10,441       105  
Mar     :    8,074     8,103     1,401     1,444    11,315    11,698       103  
Apr     :    8,080     8,097     1,396     1,417    11,282    11,477       102  
May     :    8,097     8,093     1,457     1,475    11,799    11,936       101  
Jun     :    8,107     8,104     1,388     1,414    11,249    11,461       102  
Jul     :    8,104     8,106     1,389     1,408    11,260    11,412       101  
Aug     :    8,108     8,109     1,369     1,372    11,102    11,128       100  
Sep     :    8,109     8,113     1,318     1,331    10,689    10,798       101  
Oct     :    8,104               1,354              10,970                      
Nov     :    8,098               1,312              10,624                      
Dec     :    8,094               1,370              11,090                      
        :                                                                       
Annual  :    8,096              16,334             132,240                      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. SEPT, 94-95                   
           Milk Cows and Production:  By State,  September 1994-95              
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  1/   :  Milk per Cow  2/ :     Milk Production 2/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------  
 State  :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :   1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
CA      :    1,241     1,256     1,685     1,675     2,091     2,102       101  
FL      :      175       162     1,010     1,000       177       162        92  
ID      :      215       239     1,520     1,500       327       359       110  
IL      :      164       162     1,270     1,260       208       204        98  
IN      :      145       143     1,250     1,250       181       179        99  
IA      :      266       262     1,230     1,250       327       328       100  
KY      :      167       162       980     1,010       164       164       100  
MD      :       91        93     1,130     1,110       103       103       100  
MI      :      327       327     1,380     1,385       451       453       100  
MN      :      605       600     1,190     1,225       720       735       102  
MO      :      196       189     1,100     1,065       216       201        93  
NM      :      172       199     1,599     1,525       275       303       110  
NY      :      715       702     1,285     1,340       919       941       102  
NC      :       90        86     1,245     1,220       112       105        94  
OH      :      292       287     1,260     1,270       368       364        99  
PA      :      641       646     1,260     1,330       808       859       106  
TN      :      159       153     1,000     1,030       159       158        99  
TX      :      402       401     1,145     1,105       460       443        96  
VT      :      157       158     1,265     1,315       199       208       105  
VA      :      129       129     1,220     1,195       157       154        98  
WA      :      262       268     1,650     1,620       432       434       100  
WI      :    1,498     1,489     1,225     1,235     1,835     1,839       100  
        :                                                                       
22 State:                                                                       
 Total  :    8,109     8,113     1,318     1,331    10,689    10,798       101  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. AUG, 94-95                    
            Milk Cows and Production:  By State,  August 1994-95 1/             
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    Milk Cows  2/   :  Milk per Cow  3/ :     Milk Production 3/       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------  
 State  :          :         :         :         :         :         : 1995 as  
        :   1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :   % of   
        :          :         :         :         :         :         :   1994   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    ---- 1,000 ----        Pounds         Million Pounds      Percent  
        :                                                                       
CA      :    1,239     1,255     1,730     1,715     2,143     2,152       100  
FL      :      176       162     1,075     1,060       189       172        91  
ID      :      213       237     1,590     1,580       339       374       110  
IL      :      164       162     1,300     1,270       213       206        97  
IN      :      145       143     1,330     1,300       193       186        96  
IA      :      265       262     1,270     1,285       337       337       100  
KY      :      167       162     1,000     1,025       167       166        99  
MD      :       91        94     1,165     1,140       106       107       101  
MI      :      327       326     1,460     1,440       477       469        98  
MN      :      605       600     1,255     1,270       759       762       100  
MO      :      196       188     1,120     1,095       220       206        94  
NM      :      171       198     1,667     1,545       285       306       107  
NY      :      716       700     1,325     1,390       949       973       103  
NC      :       90        86     1,265     1,245       114       107        94  
OH      :      294       288     1,255     1,250       369       360        98  
PA      :      641       643     1,310     1,345       840       865       103  
TN      :      157       154     1,030     1,050       162       162       100  
TX      :      402       402     1,190     1,115       478       448        94  
VT      :      157       158     1,300     1,360       204       215       105  
VA      :      129       129     1,210     1,195       156       154        99  
WA      :      263       270     1,720     1,720       452       464       103  
WI      :    1,500     1,490     1,300     1,300     1,950     1,937        99  
        :                                                                       
22 State:                                                                       
 Total  :    8,108     8,109     1,369     1,372    11,102    11,128       100  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  1995 revised.  2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.        
3/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. & US REV APR-JUN 94-95        
            Milk Cows and Production:  By State and United States               
                         Revised April-June  1994-1995                          
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :     Apr-Jun Milk Cows 1/     :  Apr-Jun Milk Production 2/ :  1995    
 State  :------------------------------------------------------------: as % of  
        :     1994      :     1995     :    1994      :     1995     :  1994    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :            ---- 1,000 ----            -- Million Pounds --   Percent  
        :                                                                       
AL      :            36             34            133            130        98  
AK      :           0.7            0.7           3.44           2.98        87  
AZ      :           120            115            569            596       105  
AR      :            61             61            201            195        97  
CA      :         1,232          1,254          6,393          6,419       100  
CO      :            81             83            400            397        99  
CT      :            33             31            139            134        96  
DE      :            10           10.5           37.6           40.0       106  
FL      :           178            163            725            633        87  
GA      :           102            101            426            417        98  
HI      :          10.9           10.6           37.4           39.5       106  
ID      :           205            229            945          1,046       111  
IL      :           165            163            659            666       101  
IN      :           145            144            578            575        99  
IA      :           264            262            996          1,038       104  
KS      :            77             81            280            300       107  
KY      :           169            163            515            540       105  
LA      :            80             80            250            244        98  
ME      :            40             39            165            165       100  
MD      :            92             93            342            353       103  
MA      :            30             29            118            116        98  
MI      :           328            326          1,440          1,444       100  
MN      :           610            597          2,476          2,485       100  
MS      :            57             56            198            195        98  
MO      :           198            193            720            729       101  
MT      :            21             21             77             83       108  
NE      :            77             76            279            280       100  
NV      :            23             23            108            106        98  
NH      :            20             20             82             84       102  
NJ      :            24             23             90             94       104  
NM      :           164            190            855            929       109  
NY      :           721            704          3,008          3,019       100  
NC      :            91             87            387            376        97  
ND      :            69             63            228            211        93  
OH      :           296            288          1,150          1,178       102  
OK      :           100             98            330            343       104  
OR      :           100             99            443            435        98  
PA      :           637            639          2,645          2,741       104  
RI      :           2.2            2.2            8.2            8.5       104  
SC      :            28             27            106            104        98  
SD      :           118            118            418            422       101  
TN      :           158            156            507            520       103  
TX      :           403            401          1,672          1,617        97  
UT      :            86             88            368            378       103  
VT      :           157            156            630            650       103  
VA      :           130            129            481            506       105  
WA      :           261            267          1,335          1,371       103  
WV      :            22             22             68             70       103  
WI      :         1,490          1,494          5,871          6,039       103  
WY      :           7.1            6.1           23.4           20.4        87  
        :                                                                       
US   3/ :         9,530          9,516         39,916         40,484       101  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
3/  Milk cows will not add due to rounding.                                     
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500MILK COWS & PROD. BY ST. & US PREL JUL-SEP 94-95       
            Milk Cows and Production:  By State and United States               
                    Preliminary July-September  1994-95                         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :     Jul-Sep Milk Cows 1/     :  Jul-Sep Milk Production 2/ :  1995    
 State  :------------------------------------------------------------: as % of  
        :      1994     :     1995     :     1994     :     1995     :  1994    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :            ---- 1,000 ----            -- Million Pounds --   Percent  
        :                                                                       
AL      :            36             33            102            101        99  
AK      :           0.7            0.7           3.29           3.05        93  
AZ      :           118            114            472            484       103  
AR      :            61             61            183            183       100  
CA      :         1,239          1,255          6,393          6,417       100  
CO      :            82             83            405            392        97  
CT      :            33             31            129            126        98  
DE      :            10           10.5           32.6           32.6       100  
FL      :           176            162            569            518        91  
GA      :           102             99            348            327        94  
HI      :          10.5           10.2           33.3           35.1       105  
ID      :           213            237          1,006          1,103       110  
IL      :           164            162            636            625        98  
IN      :           145            143            568            552        97  
IA      :           265            262            999          1,007       101  
KS      :            79             82            275            275       100  
KY      :           167            162            493            498       101  
LA      :            79             79            197            192        97  
ME      :            40             40            161            163       101  
MD      :            91             94            314            319       102  
MA      :            28             29            109            113       104  
MI      :           327            327          1,410          1,409       100  
MN      :           605            600          2,269          2,292       101  
MS      :            57             55            156            158       101  
MO      :           197            188            657            631        96  
MT      :            21             21             79             82       104  
NE      :            76             77            281            279        99  
NV      :            23             23            106            106       100  
NH      :            19             20             74             80       108  
NJ      :            24             23             81             80        99  
NM      :           171            198            848            923       109  
NY      :           715            701          2,837          2,901       102  
NC      :            90             86            343            326        95  
ND      :            68             63            222            209        94  
OH      :           293            288          1,116          1,107        99  
OK      :            98             96            309            326       106  
OR      :           100             98            440            427        97  
PA      :           641            643          2,499          2,604       104  
RI      :           2.1            2.1            7.7            7.9       103  
SC      :            28             27             90             94       104  
SD      :           119            118            403            404       100  
TN      :           157            154            480            483       101  
TX      :           402            402          1,426          1,369        96  
UT      :            88             88            377            380       101  
VT      :           157            158            608            638       105  
VA      :           129            129            464            464       100  
WA      :           262            269          1,336          1,362       102  
WV      :            22             21             67             66        99  
WI      :         1,499          1,490          5,780          5,790       100  
WY      :           7.2            5.9           23.2             21        91  
        :                                                                       
U S  3/ :         9,539          9,520         38,217         38,485       101  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh.                          
2/  Excludes milk sucked by calves.                                             
3/  Milk cows will not add due to rounding.                                     
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500GRN & OTH CONC: QTY FED DALY & VAL BY ST & US OCT 94-5 
             Grain and Other Concentrates:  Quantity Fed Daily and Value        
                 By State and United States, October 1, 1994-95                 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
            :Grain and Other Concentrates : Value per 100 Pounds of Concentrate 
   State    :  Fed Daily per Milk Cow     :   Ration Fed to Milk Cows           
            :-----------------------------------------------------------------  
            :     1994     :    1995      :      1994      :       1995         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
            :        ----- Pounds -----               -------- Dollars -------- 
            :                                                                   
    AL      :       17.6            18.6              8.10                8.40  
    AK      :       19.5            19.5             13.80               13.80  
    AZ      :       23.3            21.6              7.10                7.80  
    AR      :       17.4            17.5              8.10                8.20  
    CA      :       21.9            20.5              7.80                8.00  
    CO      :       22.0            22.5              7.20                7.20  
    CT      :       16.0            17.0              8.90                9.10  
    DE      :       16.8            16.3              9.10                8.80  
    FL      :       25.0            24.0              7.20                7.80  
    GA      :       21.1            22.9              7.80                7.90  
    ID      :       21.0            21.0              6.60                7.30  
    IL      :       18.3            17.1              7.80                7.90  
    IN      :       25.5            17.0              8.80                7.60  
    IA      :       17.0            16.4              7.50                6.50  
    KS      :       18.2            19.0              7.10                7.50  
    KY      :       16.6            16.4              8.70                8.65  
    LA      :       18.0            19.0              8.25                8.35  
    ME      :       16.0            17.0              9.10                8.90  
    MD      :       15.9            14.4              9.00                8.35  
    MA      :       15.0            15.5              9.00                8.95  
    MI      :       16.2            18.5              7.15                7.30  
    MN      :       16.4            17.3              7.10                7.80  
    MS      :       15.6            17.4              8.30                8.20  
    MO      :       17.7            18.5              7.65                8.00  
    MT      :       17.3            16.2              7.30                7.25  
    NE      :       17.2            16.5              7.70                7.30  
    NV      :       21.0            21.0              8.40                8.20  
    NH      :       15.5            16.0              8.50                8.80  
    NJ      :       14.1            14.9              8.80                8.60  
    NM      :       26.0            26.0              6.60                6.60  
    NY      :       14.6            15.3              9.10                9.00  
    NC      :       17.8            17.5              8.55                8.95  
    ND      :       16.1            16.5              5.60                6.30  
    OH      :       18.3            16.3              8.30                8.10  
    OK      :       20.0            18.0              7.90                8.40  
    OR      :       19.0            20.0              9.25                9.30  
    PA      :       16.5            16.0              9.10                9.80  
    RI      :       15.0            16.0              8.70                9.05  
    SC      :       18.5            20.0              7.90                8.00  
    SD      :       16.4            17.0              6.55                6.75  
    TN      :       17.0            16.0              9.00                9.00  
    TX      :       23.4            22.2              7.40                7.90  
    UT      :       17.3            16.9              7.10                7.70  
    VT      :       15.0            16.0              8.80                8.90  
    VA      :       16.0            16.0              8.98                8.90  
    WA      :       22.5            20.0              7.80                8.20  
    WV      :       14.2            14.0              8.90                9.05  
    WI      :       16.6            17.1              7.60                7.20  
    WY      :       13.3            13.0              6.35                6.50  
            :                                                                   
    US      :       18.7            18.4              7.87                7.97  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500RELIABILITY STATEMENT                                  
Survey Procedures:  Primary data used to determine these estimates were         
                    obtained from a sample of producers. Individual States      
maintain a list of all known milk producers and information on the size of      
their herd.  States use all known sources of producers to ensure that their     
lists are as complete as possible.  Generally, all large producers and a        
sample of small producers are included in the survey.  Questionnaires are       
mailed to producers near the end of the month to obtain data for the first      
day of the month.  Additional reports are obtained by telephone, as needed,     
to supplement the mail response.                                                
                                                                                
Estimation Procedures:   State offices prepare these estimates using survey     
                         indications, historic trends, and any available        
administrative data.  Individual State estimates are reviewed by the            
Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness.                               
                                                                                
Revision Policy:  Milk production, rate per cow, and number of cows are         
                  subject to revision the following month for monthly States or 
the following quarter for the quarterly States.  Normally, Federal Market Order 
sales are the main basis for revisions. However, data for all orders are not    
available in time for this revision.  Estimates are again subject to revisions  
in February each year based on additional administrative data.  In the event    
that additional changes are necessary, a third revision is possible in February 
the following year.  Estimates are again reviewed after data from the five-year 
Census of Agriculture, conducted by the Department of Commerce, are available.  
No revisions are made after that date.                                          
                                                                                
Reliability:  Since all operations with dairy animals are not included in       
              the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling              
variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as     
omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and              
processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured             
directly.  They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data        
collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for        
consistency and reasonableness.                                                 
                                                                                
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this          
report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the         
table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on     
past performance and is computed using the differences between first and        
final estimates.  The "Root Mean Square Error" for milk cow inventory           
estimates over the past 10 quarters is 1.3 percent.  This means that            
chances are 2 out of 3 that the final July-September estimate will not be above 
or below the current estimate of 9.52 million head by more than 1.3 percent, or 
about 124,000 head.  Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not       
exceed 2.3 percent, or about 219,000 head (the 90 percent confidence level).    
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500RELIABILITY TABLE                                      
                Reliability of July-September Milk Estimates 1/                 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
             :        :              :    Difference Between    :               
             :        :              :      First and Final     :    Number of  
             :  Root  :     90%      :         Estimates  1/    :    Quarters   
    Item     :  Mean  :  Confidence  :------------------------------------------
             : Square :    Level     :        :         :       : First : First 
             :  Error :              : Average: Smallest:Largest: Above : Below 
             :        :              :        :         :       : Final : Final 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :   - Percent -     ---------- Mil Lbs. ----------     - Number -  
             :                                                                  
Milk         :    0.9    1.6     616       270       15      538    10       0  
  Production :                                                                  
             :                  --------- 1,000 Head ----------                 
                                                                                
             :                                                                  
All Milk     :    1.3    2.3     219       113       15      179    10       0  
  Cows       :                                                                  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Based on records for the past 10 July-September quarters.                   
                                                                                
HDR2012000160031013951500NXT RELEASE DATE, EEO STMNT & SUBSCRIPT FORM           
The next "Milk Production" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on              
November 16, 1995.                                                              
                                                                                
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in  
its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,  
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status.  Persons with    
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program         
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