13-i

CHAPTER 13. UTILITY IMPACT ANALYSIS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

13.1 INTRODUCTION .................................................... 13-2

13.2 ASSUMPTIONS ..................................................... 13-2

13.3 METHOD .......................................................... 13-4

13.4 RESULTS .......................................................... 13-5

LIST OF TABLES

Table 13.4.1 TMY System Load Reference Case Forecast ......................... 13-7

Table 13.4.2 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 Forecast ......... 13-8

Table 13.4.3 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 2 Forecast ......... 13-9

Table 13.4.4 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 3 Forecast ........ 13-10

Table 13.4.5 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 4 Forecast ........ 13-11

Table 13.4.6 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 5 Forecast ........ 13-12

Table 13.4.7 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 6 Forecast ........ 13-13

Table 13.4.8 Dry-Type, Low-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 Forecast ... 13-14

Table 13.4.9 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard 

Level 1 Forecast ............................................... 13-15

Table 13.4.10 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard 

Level 2 Forecast ............................................... 13-16

Table 13.4.11 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard 

Level 3 Forecast ............................................... 13-17

Table 13.4.12 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard 

Level 4 Forecast ............................................... 13-18

Table 13.4.13 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard 

Level 5 Forecast ............................................... 13-19

Table 13.4.14 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard 

Level 6 Forecast ............................................... 13-20

Table 13.4.15 Liquid-Immersed Trial Standard Level 2 Low Economic 

Growth Forecast ............................................... 13-21

Table 13.4.16 Dry-Type, Low-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 

High Economic Growth Forecast .................................. 13-22

Table 13.4.17 Dry-Type, Low-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 

Low Economic Growth Forecast .................................. 13-23

Table 13.4.18 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 2 High

Economic Growth Forecast ...................................... 13-24

Table 13.4.19 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 2 

Low Economic Growth Forecast .................................. 13-25
a

 For more information on NEMS, refer to the U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration

documentation. A useful summary is National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2003, DOE/EIA0581(2003), March, 2003. 

b DOE/EIA approves use of the name NEMS to describe only an official version of the model without any

modification to code or data. Because this analysis entails some minor code modifications and the model is run

under various policy scenarios that are variations on DOE/EIA assumptions, the Department refers to it by the name

NEMS-BT (BT is DOE=s Building Technologies Program, under whose aegis this work has been performed). 

NEMS-BT was previously called NEMS-BRS.

13-2

CHAPTER 13. UTILITY IMPACT ANALYSIS

13.1 INTRODUCTION

The Department of Energy (DOE or Department) analyzed the effects of proposed

distribution transformer energy-efficiency standard levels on the electric utility industry as part of

the notice of proposed rulemaking (NOPR) analysis, using a variant of the U.S. DOE/Energy

Information Administration (EIA)’s National Energy Modeling System (NEMS).a NEMS, which

is available in the public domain, is a large, multi-sectoral, partial equilibrium model of the U.S.

energy sector. DOE/EIA uses NEMS to produce a widely recognized baseline energy forecast

for the U.S. through 2025, the Annual Energy Outlook 2005 (AEO2005).1 The Department used

a variant known as NEMS-BT to provide key inputs to the analysis.b The utility impact analysis

consists of a comparison between model results for the AEO2005 Reference Case and for policy

cases in which proposed standards are in place. 

The Department conducted the utility impact analysis as policy deviations from the

AEO2005, applying the same basic set of assumptions. For example, the operating

characteristics (e.g., energy conversion efficiency, emissions rates) of future electricity generating

plants are as specified in the AEO2005 Reference Case, as are the prospects for natural gas

supply. The utility impact analysis reports the changes in installed capacity and generation, by

fuel type, that result for each trial standard level, as well as changes in end-use electricity sales.

13.2 ASSUMPTIONS

NEMS-BT has several advantages that have led to its adoption as the source for basic

forecasting in DOE’s energy-efficiency analyses for appliance standards. NEMS-BT relies on a

set of assumptions that are well-known and fairly transparent, due to the exposure and scrutiny

each AEO receives. In addition, the comprehensiveness of NEMS-BT permits the modeling of

interactions among the various energy supply and demand sectors and the economy as a whole,

so it produces a complete picture of the effects of energy-efficiency standards. Because it

explicitly simulates the impact on the entire energy sector, NEMS-BT provides an accurate

estimation of marginal effects. This approach yields better indicators of actual effects than

estimates based on industry-wide average values.
13-3

To be consistent with the system load data it used to develop the input load decrement for

each proposed trial standard level, the Department replaced the default NEMS system load shape

in the AEO2005 Reference Case with one that represents normalized weather conditions for a

typical meteorological year (TMY), which is referred to as the TMY system load.2 The

Department’s reference case is thus called the TMY System Load Reference Case. The

differences between the AEO2005 Reference Case and the TMY System Load Reference Case

are minor. For example, the total installed electricity generation capacity in the TMY System

Load Reference Case is only 0.6 percent higher than the capacity in the AEO2005 Reference

Case in year 2025; total electricity generation is only 0.1 percent higher in the TMY System Load

Reference Case.

The utility impact analysis used the assumptions of the AEO2005 and treated transformer

efficiency standards as variations in policy. The input load decrement represents an hourly

reduction to the substituted system load that corresponds to the energy savings resulting from a

proposed distribution transformer standard. Because the implementation of standards reduces

electricity demand by less than one percent (between 0.01 and 0.8 percent in 2025) of total U.S.

generation in any given year, its effect cannot be detected directly by simulations. Therefore, the

Department simulated larger reductions in demand, and interpolated results as the difference

between the TMY System Load Reference Case and the proposed standard result. The

Department assumed the effects to be linear within the range of interpolation. 

The Department also explored deviations from some of the AEO2005 Reference Case

assumptions, by representing two alternative futures: the High and Low Economic Growth Cases

of AEO2005. The TMY System Load Reference Case corresponds to medium growth. The High

Economic Growth Case assumes higher projected growth rates for population, labor force, and

labor productivity, resulting in lower predicted inflation and interest rates relative to the

Reference Case and higher overall aggregate economic growth. The opposite is true for the Low

Economic Growth Case. The High Economic Growth Case reflects growth in per capita gross

domestic product of 2.5 percent per year, compared with 2.2 percent per year in the Reference

Case, and 1.9 percent per year in the Low Economic Growth Case. Economic output grows at a

rate of 3.6 percent per year in the High Economic Growth Case, 3.1 percent per year in the

Reference Case, and 2.5 percent per year in the Low Economic Growth Case. Different

economic growth scenarios affect the rate of growth of electricity demand. The Department ran

the High and Low Economic Growth Cases are only for the proposed standard level of each of

two product classes: specifically, liquid-immersed transformers Trial Standard Level 2; and drytype, medium-voltage transformers Trial Standard Level 2. During the course of this rulemaking,

EPACT 2005 set the standard for low-voltage, dry-type transformers to TP 1, which is equivalent

to Trial Standard Level 1. Tables 13.4.16 and 13.4.17 present the results for this standard level,

for reference. 
13-4

13.3 METHOD

The utility impact analysis consisted of NEMS-BT forecasts for generation, installed

capacity, and end-use energy consumption. Results are presented in five-year increments to year

2025, including high and low economic growth cases for the proposed standard level. Beyond

2025, DOE used an exogenous model called NEMS-BT2 to model and report results to year

2038. The Department determined the size of the load decrement using data for the per-unit

energy savings developed in the life-cycle cost (LCC) and payback period (PBP) analysis

(Chapter 8 of this technical support document (TSD)) and the shipments forecast developed for

the national impact analysis (Chapter 9). 

Because the predicted reduction in capacity additions is sensitive to the peak load impact

of the proposed standard, the Department developed a mathematical model of the hourly

distribution transformer savings as a function of the hourly system load for each trial standard

level. It applied energy decrements to each month of each specified forecast year, for three day

types (week day, weekend, and peak day), for each hour of the day.

The Department used a double-decrement approach to model the utility sector effect; it

made two energy decrements, one to the NEMS-BT system load and the other to end-use

consumption.3 Making a decrement to the hourly system load ensured that the utility impacts

from this proposed standard were accurately represented and properly reflected the hourly

decrements calculated using the TMY System Load.4 

In addition, because NEMS-BT is essentially an energy model in which changes made to

load shapes do not propagate to the demand modules, DOE decreased the energy from

refrigeration end use in the commercial energy demand sector by an equivalent amount. Because

no specific end use for distribution transformers is represented in NEMS-BT, the Department

needed to decrease demand-side consumption to maintain an energy balance on the supply and

demand sides of the model. The Department chose the refrigeration end use because it most

closely represents the peak load behavior of distribution transformers. In the commercial

demand module, energy is forecasted on an annual basis, so DOE took an annual decrement by

region from refrigeration end-use consumption. To avoid double-counting—because energy is

being taken out of both the electricity load shapes and the end-use energy accounting—DOE

added back a compensating restoration factor in the electric utility module. Therefore, following

this approach, DOE applied the energy decrement twice, but restored one of them. This approach

guaranteed that both the energy and load sides of NEMS-BT would be consistent with the

estimated energy savings.

Because the energy savings from distribution transformer standards are too small to

produce stable power sector results in NEMS-BT, the Department estimated results for the trial

standard levels using interpolation. To run a simulation in NEMS-BT, DOE reduced the system

electricity load and commercial demand use annually, according to the energy savings estimated

by the national energy savings (NES) Spreadsheet Model (see Chapter 10 in this TSD) for each

trial standard level. These energy savings increase over time. The magnitude of the energy
13-5

decrement that would be required for NEMS-BT to produce stable results out of the range of

numerical noise is greater than the highest standard level under consideration. Therefore, to

estimate results for the trial standard levels considered here, DOE carried out a series of NEMSBT runs, using higher values for the input energy savings. These runs established the

relationship between the NEMS-BT outputs (e.g., installed capacity reductions, emissions

reductions) and the energy savings inputs. The Department obtained results for energy savings

corresponding to the trial standard levels using linear interpolation. 

The Department then used the estimated reduction in total fuel generation at each trial

standard level, as determined by interpolation, to determine emissions savings. First, it

calculated annual marginal emissions rates for each of the simulations in each standard level,

based on the actual output from NEMS-BT. Marginal emissions rates incorporate both effects of

the standards—the emissions saved by the reduction in total generation, and the slight change in

the emissions characteristics of the whole power sector that result from the slight change in

plants used to generate electricity (dispatch) and capacity expansion. The net effect on the entire

system is very small and, typically, the overall effect on emissions can be fully attributed to the

reduced generation capacity. The Department then used the marginal emissions rates to

determine the annual marginal emissions rates for each trial standard level (at multipliers of the

trial standard level savings) by taking a simple average. 

Since the AEO2005 version of NEMS forecasts only to the year 2025, the Department

needed to extrapolate the results to 2038, to be consistent with the rest of the rulemaking

analyses. For years 2026 through 2038, DOE estimated the results using a second version of

NEMS-BT called NEMS-BT2 2050, which had been extensively modified to enable continued

modeling through year 2050. The 2050 horizon year for NEMS-BT2 2050 was selected to

accommodate rulemakings with life cycles longer than the 2025 horizon of the AEO2005 version

of NEMS. This extension model was developed before the 2038 horizon year was chosen for the

current rulemakings; therefore NEMS-BT2 2050 results for years 2039 through 2050 were

ignored. This NEMS-BT2 2050 extension model is a modified version of the 2004 version of

NEMS-BT. Due to the extensive nature of the modifications, it was impossible to incorporate

the changes included in NEMS-BT2 2050 in the 2005 version of NEMS-BT. Using NEMS-BT2

2050, DOE derived results using the same interpolation approach described above and

mathematically smoothed the transition from year 2025 to 2026 where the results for the two

model versions are joined. The extrapolated results are shaded grey to distinguish them from the

2000–2025 results. For more information on the NEMS-BT2 2050 extension model, see

Appendix 13A.

13.4 RESULTS

Table 13.4.1 shows the results from the TMY System Load Reference Case. Results for

the various trial standard level cases are presented in Tables 13.4.2 through 13.4.14 for each of

the two product classes: liquid-immersed and dry-type, medium-voltage transformers. Each
13-6

table shows forecasts using interpolated results as described in section 13.3 above for

commercial energy sales, total U.S. electricity generation, and installed capacity.

Commercial energy sales fall for each proposed standard level compared to the TMY

System Load Reference Case, due to the decrement made to commercial refrigeration. The

decrease in sales is comparable to the amount of energy that the NES Model predicts will be

saved by each standard, ranging from just over 0.01 percent to over 2.0 percent of total

commercial electricity sales by year 2025. For each standard level, total U.S. electricity

generation decreases relative to the TMY System Load Reference Case, by just under 0.8 percent

in year 2025 of the maximum savings case (liquid-immersed transformer Trial Standard Level 6),

but only by less than 0.01 percent in dry-type, medium-voltage transformer Trial Standard Level

1. Total installed capacity is also slightly reduced by each standard level, up to just over 0.6

percent in the final year of the maximum savings case.

The results under the High and Low Economic Growth cases are presented for the

proposed standard level in Tables 13.4.15 through 13.4.19. Under the High Economic Growth

scenario, the savings have a slightly higher impact, while the Low Growth scenario results in a

slightly lower impact. 
13-7

Table 13.4.1 TMY System Load Reference Case Forecast

NEhlS-HT Re.ults: 

U»'WlotDH 

... 2005 2010 2015 2020 202f 

Co""",,;.! ;;'''0' En,,,, Co","""""" , 

_md,yS ... , l!Wh1' 1.159 '.N ,~ ,~ ,~ ,~ 

N" n>lG.> (lJ) 00 oTI offi o~ 4.14 .. ~,'"' CW CW 1.10 US '" '" l"'mlG.> (1<><1,) OZ 3.16 o. oW 0" 4.17 

Oth,,(Qu.d>l' " " " '" 1.14 '" 

k,d US H!"",., G.",".""" . Co>ll!Wh) '.~ ,m ,~ ,m ,m ,~ 

~ """ ro, w no 1,163 '.~ '.~ 

fOt.,loum(1'M<) m m " '" ,. 

fud.»l!Wh) N U .>0 ~ ru ru '" 

Iionow"lo, (T,I/h) m ~ n "0 ~ a 

ToW(TWhl' ,m ~ ~, ~ 5.313 W 

"".11 oJ a."".,,.,,~ c""",,,.,,· 

Co>l(GW) 314.7 310 314.2 m, 347.6 m, 

Oth"Yo" i (GW/ EO 442.S 451.6 ru . m w . fud.»(GW) "0 m 1OJ.6 mu l[(1.7 l[(1.7 

Iio""""lo, (GW) "' 10n lCtl.1 Iml W7.S 114.2 

ToW(GW!' w, m ~, m. 1,M.7 1,165.S 

, 

Co",,_. " T" . .. 2 ci' .. 11)=, rr."yCC<UU>mDn. C",,,,,,ew 

'Co",,_. " T" . .. S ci' .. 11)=, Dodri,il'TS"', byS."h 

'Jr"hd" di> tih .. fu.\ oonn ... ,;..] n .\ .ue .. "" UG, m>b,., cm., 00>1, 

uri .""",,10 .no"y , 

Co",,_. " T"lo .. S ci' .. 11)=, Doo";' Gono" ~ uri Coononb " 

'!>cha" "OthuGo,.ou, IU.~" ooonon ~ .m "Othd "".nont", 

•• 

,,~ 

~ 

.

'" TI 

'Z 

,m 

'.m 

ru 

'" 

6.013 '" 

m 

~o 

l[(1.7 

l1S.6 

u'" 

·Co",,_. " T". A9 ci' .. 11)=, _.., Gononb " .m C_",,, ~ c..p" iIy 

'Jr"hd" "Oth"G.>.o." Y".~" ooononb " 

'!>cha" fl",'" Stono .m Yu.lC.1> 

•• •• 

"" = • ffi •• 

" l.41 

.TI m 

U, " 

3,419 ~ 

'''' '.ill 

m m 

~ ~ 

~, w 

~ ,rn 

m. m 

TIU m, 

lCtl.7 lCtl.7 

ll9.7 121.1 

1,:" ;0 1,2>33 
13-8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

"" ... Co '- " .. 

... -., 

...... 

..... . 

. ..... 
13-9

Table 13.4.3 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 2 Forecast

- m ~ ~ -- no n. 

','" CO .. "" '.'" "" " .. .. •• ... ... ... ... ,. •• •• •• •• •• ". ,. , .. '" •• •• •• •• • • 

•• ... .. ... •• •• •• •• •• • • 

,. ,. ". '" '" •• •• •• •• • • 

', ~ '.m "" "" ',n " .. .. .. •• " • .. ... '''' "" '.m ,,, .. .. " .. " " " ,. ,. ,. o. o. .. .. " .. .. " .. , , . ,. m m .. .. .. .. .. .. •• ... •• .. .. .. .. " .. .. ', ~ <,'" "" '- ','" "" .. .. .. .. .. '''' "" n . .. , ... n , .. .. .. .. 
13-10

Table 13.4.4 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 3 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... ... . .. ... ,., "" "" "" •• "" 

1,'" I,,, 1 ~" ',1<1 0)" '" Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) " 00 -,., m " _Ol.' ,~ ,~ '-1' '-'. "" '" N_ "G"'(£1) '00 '00 000 0 00 '00 0 00 0 00 

0"' ,. 1.10 1." U, 1.3, '" 1.<1 Oh "(£1) '00 '0' 0 00 0 00 '00 000 000 

3." 3.10 3." 3-" m .. " '" '.n N_ " G.., (Qu>."') '00 00' 000 000 '00 ' 00 ' 00 

,w ''" " ,~ 1.1, 1." DO U< Oh .. (Qu>."') '00 00' 0 00 0 00 '00 0 00 0 00 

,,,00 1~" '»13 ')" ',318 , ~" 3,1" 31" ,~, Coo.l(TWh) '0 00 "" ,. " _8.1 _U.1 

00. '" 000 U~ 1,3<3 .", 1 ,3" .", G" (T"") 00 00 _1.0 m m _'.0 _'.0 

00. 000 '" m 000 m 00' m P''',''_(TWh) 00 00 '" "'. 00 " " " " m " ." .00 ." .00 N","",(TWh) ,. 00 00 00 00 00 00 

m, M .00 on 00. m '" m "'",,",-b", (TWh) 00 00 "" "'. 00 _u _I.< 

3188 ,»" '~18 '~18 , 00' '"' ';l" ','00 Toc.l(T"") 00 00 -'-' m " -,'-' 

310 314] 310.' 3<1.0 00 00 "" 00 _1.0 _1.1 

_1.1 
13-11

Table 13.4.5 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 4 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... ... . .. ... ,., "" "" "" •• "" 

1,'" I,,, 1 ~" ',130 0)" ')" Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) 00 00 _H " _lOB -, ... ,~ ,~ <.1. ..,. '" '" N_"G"(£1) 000 000 000 . 00 000 . 00 . 00 

0"' o. 1.10 1.1, 000 1.3, '" Ul Oh "(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

3." 3.10 3." 3-" m .. " '" '.n N_" G., (Qu>."') 000 000 000 000 000 0 00 0 00 

ow 0'" " ,~ 1.1. 1." DO DO Oh .. (Qu>."') 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 . 00 . 00 

,,,00 1~" '»13 ')" ',318 , ~" 3,166 31" ,~ Coo.l(TWh) 00 00 00' _, .1 " -.. , _1'-' 

'" ON no oo~ 1,3" ,~ 1,3" ,,,, G" (T"") 00 00 -'-' _H " _10.' 

'" '" '" m '" m '" m P''',''_(TWh) 00 00 00' 000 00 " " " " no " "0 000 0" '" N","",(TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M '" . "00 • m m m "'",,",-b", (TWh) 00 00 00' 000 00 _U _l.O 

3188 .»" '~18 .~" , 00' '"' , ;l<l ','''' Toc.l(T"") 00 00 _3.3 " _lOB -,'-' 

00 00 000 _0.1 _1.1 _I.' 

, 

, 
13-12

Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 5 Forecast Table 13.4.6

, 

n- n- n- n- " 00 00 ao I Vt.fl)j>OJ Clot , .... net '" ,-.. , ,.,1' ,m >tl' ~'''''''D h<,p,,,,'f! P'11"l"" 

" 

• w- 0-"- '-D>:- ""- nl- n- 00 00 (,..,I)1'>'1 "t, tlt, ,,~, .e, ,., Itil. <1~' "if • 88t, 

n- n- H-

" 00 0-1- 00 00 ('<&l),~q.......,,,, '" m m ... n • ... m ro. 

00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 NI'..L)"~"'H m '" '" "' ., '" " m " m 

" " ..o- n 0' " 00 00 NI'..L)-'~' ·' m m m m m m '" m m 0·"'- ,-,j- ..o- n 00 n- 00 00 (,..,l) "fl .e, .", "" ott! '" 1 

"" ~ 0" 

nc- , -tI- n!- 001- e> '" " 00 00 ('<&.<)1>00 , .. 1" , m', ®, w', 

01 " "t, "if, "61 

""" 

000 000 000 000 00 0 00 0 000 000 (.,TI<j),,'Jo .00 m ,n ., HI ro, ro, .00 000 

00 0 00 0 000 000 000 000 000 000 (",TI<j) '''' I''''>'H n. >CO ,,.. ,n '" ,n 6n on ,,., 

00 0 00 0 000 000 00 0 00 0 000 000 ([x) "" 0 In on ,u ,n on ,n on .0 .0 

00 0 00 0 000 00 0 00 0 00 0 000 000 (cr)n<JI''''>'H 00. on ,n on H. ro, .. , 

n.- ,-,,- ,-"'- '''- nI- H- 00 00 N&l) ,~'" ",x ,>tI ""1" ,,( , on', m, ""I ",11 ""1 

""''''~"=D (S".q ~"'S """"~""D "" .• d.",,,,,,, 

"" .oo fm om "Ol llO' 0.' .oo .. oo .. oo .oo "Ol om "Ol om 0.' .oo 

.- as\!;) aJUa.laJ""H P<!O'I Ul"l"AS AWl UlillJ aJUa.la1J!G 

--:SJ.fI\"'1I 500~ 
13-13

Table 13.4.7 Liquid-Immersed Transformers: Trial Standard Level 6 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... ... . .. ... ,., "" "" "" •• "" 

1,'" 1~3< 1 ~" ',103 0)" ',113 Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) 00 00 -, .. _18.3 -". _09.' ,~ ,~ '.1< ..,. '" '" N_"G"'(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 0 00 0 00 

0"' o. 1.10 '-" 000 1.3, '" 1.<1 Oh "(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

3." 3.10 3.<9 3-" m .. " '" '.n N_" G.., (Qu>."') 000 000 000 000 000 0 00 0 00 

0 .. 0'" " ,~ '-I< '-" DO DO Oh .. (Qu>."') 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 0 00 0 00 

,,," 

19" '»13 ')3< ',3 " , ~11 3,'" 3,3" ,>, Coo.l(TWh) 00 00 _I.< " _"3 -"., _<0.1 

'00 '" n, 1)" 1,330 1~" 1 ,3" 1~" G" (T"") 00 00 _H " _IOj -:lB.' -:lB.' 

'" '" m m m m '" '" P''',''_(TWh) 00 00 00' _1.' _1.' " " " " m " 000 000 000 00' N","",(TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M '" ." '" m m m "'",,",-b", (TWh) 00 00 _u " -'-' _3.8 _<.3 

3188 .»" .~" 00" , 00' " .. , )" ,~" Toc.l(T"") 00 00 _'.1 _18.' -". _no 

00 00 000 '0 _'.1 _'-3 

, 
13-14

Table 13.4.8 Dry-Type, Low-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... . .. . .. ... ,., "" "" "" "" 

1,'" 1~30 1 ~31 ',1>0 0)" ',m Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) " 00 .,., ·13.3 ·n. .. ". 

,~ ,~ '-1' .. " '" '" N_ "G"'(£1) '00 '00 o. o. '00 o. 0"' ,. 1.10 '-I> 00' 1.3, '" 1.<1 Oh "(£1) '00 '0' o. o. '00 o. 

3." 3.10 3.<9 3-" m '.3> '" '.n N_ " G.., (Qu>."') '00 00' o. o. '00 ,. , .. ''" " ,~ 1.1. '-" DO DO Oh .. (Qu>."') '00 '0' o. o. '00 o. 

,,," 1~" '»13 ')34 ',3 10 , ~18 3,1>1 3,303 ,,,, Coo.l(TWh) 00 00 ., 00 .", .,,-, 

'" ON m 1)" 1,341 00" , 00' 1~" G" (T"") 00 00 .,-, 00 ., .. .,,-, 

'" '" '" m m m '" m P''',''_(TWh) 00 00 .. ., 00 00 

" " m " '" '00 '" '" N","",(TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M m '" '" m m m "'",,",-b", (TWh) '0 00 000 " 00 ·'.1 

3188 .»" '~I> '~1l '"' '~13 , ;>18 ,~" Toc.l(T"") 00 00 ., .. ·13.' .".1 ."., 

00 00 000 " ·'.1 

, 

, 
13-15

Table 13.4.9 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 Forecast

2005 Results: Reference Ca"" 

, .. ,., 20" "" "" ... ... 20 .. ... ,., m. "" "" •• ... 

1,'" 1 ~" ,,~ 0)" ')13 ')" 00 00 _0.1 _0.1 ~, _0.' ,~ m '.l< .00 • 00 ... o • o. 000 '00 0 00 o. 000 " 

'" '00 1.10 1." '00 m '" 1.<1 00.'(EJ) 000 000 000 '00 0 00 000 000 

W 3.10 3.<9 '" '" '" ." '.n N.un.l Go< (Q'""") 000 000 000 '00 000 ' 00 ' 00 

'00 0." " '" 1.1. DO uo 1.3. oo.'(Q'""") 000 000 000 '00 0 00 000 000 

, 'ro' '»13 ')" O,lOO ,~" 3)1' 3,<10 ,,00 CO<! (TWh) 00 00 '0 00 ~, _0.' 

~, " '" m 1 )" 1~" 1 ~10 1~" 1~1O G..,(TWh) 00 00 00 _0.1 .. _0.' " '" '" '" '" '" m '" m P"""""' (T"") 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" " m '" '" '" '" ... ~"(TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M ... m ." '" m m """,",b~, (TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

3188 .»" .~" . ~" '~13 ,~ ',m Tru.l(TWh) 00 00 _0.1 _0.1 ~, _0.' " 

00 00 00 00 00 00 
13-16

Table 13.4.10 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 2 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... ... . .. ... ,., "" "" "" •• "" 

1,'" 1~" 1 ~" ',153 0;>13 ')" Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) 00 00 ., ~, _0.' _0.1 _0.8 

,~ O~ '-1' ..,. 0" 0" N_ "G"'(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 0 00 0 00 

0"' o. 1.10 '-" 000 1.3, '" 1.<1 Oh "(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

3." 3.10 3." 3-" m .. " '" '.n N_ " G.., (Qu>."') 000 000 000 000 000 0 00 0 00 

0 .. 0'" " ,~ 1.1. '-" DO DO Oh .. (Qu>."') 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

,,," 1~" '»13 ')" 00" , ~" 3,m 31" " .. Coo.l(TWh) 00 00 00 ., " _0.3 _0.' 

'" ON no 1)" 1 ,3" 1~1O 1,3" 1~1O G" (T"") 00 00 ., ., _0.1 _0.3 _0.' 

'" '" '" m '" m '" m P''',''_ (TWh) 00 00 00 00 " 00 00 

" " m " "0 000 0" '" N","",(TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M '" W '" '" on m "'",,",-b", (TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

3188 .»" .~" .~" , ,313 ,»" '"' ',m Toc.l(T"") 00 00 ., ~, _0.' _0.1 _0.8 

00 00 00 00 00 _0.1 
13-17

Table 13.4.11 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 3 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... ... . .. ... ,., "" "" "" •• "" 

1,'" 1~" 1 ~" ',153 0;>13 ')" Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) 00 00 ., ~, " _1.0 _1.0 

,~ ,~ <.1. ..,. '" '" N_ """(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

0"' o. 1.10 1.1, 000 1.3, '" Ul Oh "(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

3." 3.10 3." 3-" m .. " '" '.n N_ " "., (Qu>."') 000 000 000 000 000 0 00 0 00 

0 .. 0'" " ,~ 1.1. 1." DO '" Oh .. (Qu>."') 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

,,," 1~" '»13 ')" 00" , ~" 3,m 3118 " .. Coo.l(TWh) 00 00 00 ., " _0.' _0.' 

'" ON no 1)" 1 ,3" 1~1O 1,383 1~1O "" (T"") 00 00 ., ~, _0.1 _0.' _0.' 

'" '" '" m '" m '" m P''',''_ (TWh) 00 00 00 00 " 00 00 

" " m " "0 '" '" '" N","",(TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M '" W '" '" on m "'",,",-b", (TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 _0.1 

3188 .»" .~" .~" , ,3" ,»" '"' ',m Toc.l(T"") 00 00 ~, ~, " _1.0 _1.0 

00 00 00 00 _0.1 _0.1 
13-18

Table 13.4.12 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 4 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... ... . .. ... ,., "" "" "" •• "" 

1,'" 1~" 1 ~" ',153 "" ')" Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) " 00 ~, ~, 00 _1.> _1.' 

'" ,~ <.1. ..,. '" '" N_ """(£1) '00 '00 0 00 0 00 '00 000 000 

0"' ,. 1.10 1.1, '" 1.3, '" Ul Oh "(£1) '00 '0' 0 00 0 00 '00 000 000 

3." 3.10 3." 3-" m .. " '" '.n N_ " "., (Qu>."') '00 00' 000 000 '00 ' 00 ' 00 

,w ''" " ,~ 1.1. 1." DO '" Oh .. (Qu>."') '00 00' 0 00 0 00 '00 000 000 

,,,00 1~" '»13 ')" 00" , ~31 3,11< 3118 " .. Coo.l(TWh) 00 00 00 .. 00 _0.1 _1.0 

'" ON m 1)" 1,3" ,,,0 1 ,383 ,,,0 "" (T"") 00 00 '" '" 00 _0.1 _0.8 

'" '" '" no '" m '" m P''',''_ (TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

" " m " '" '00 '" '" N","",(TWh) '0 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M '" W '" '" m m "'",,",-b", (TWh) '0 00 00 00 _0.1 _0.1 _0.1 

3188 .»" .~" .~" , ,3" '»ll '" ',431 Toc.l(T"") '0 00 ~, ~, 00 _u _1.8 

00 00 00 _0.1 _0.1 _0.1 
13-19

Table 13.4.13 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 5 Forecast

2005 Results: Difference from Reference Case 

... ,., m. "" "" ... ... . .. ... ,., "" "" "" •• "" 

1,'" 1~" 1 ~" ',m 0;>11 ')" Do,,,,,.,. ,..,,, (TWh) 00 00 ., ., 00 _03 _'.8 ,~ ,~ '-1' ..,. '" '" N_ "G"'(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 0 00 0 00 

0"' o. 1.10 '-" 000 1.3, '" 1.<1 Oh "(£1) 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 

3." 3.10 3." 3-" m .. " '" '.n N_ " G.., (Qu>."') 000 000 000 000 000 0 00 0 00 

0 .. 0'" " ,~ 1.1. '-" DO DO Oh .. (Qu>."') 000 000 0 00 0 00 000 0 00 0 00 

,,," 1~" '»13 ')" u" , ~31 3,11< 3111 3~" Coo.l(TWh) 00 00 00 ., 00 _1.1 _u 

000 '" no 1)" 1 ,3" ,,,0 1 ,383 ,,,0 G" (T"") 00 00 .. ., 00 _u _1.3 

'" '" '" m '" m '" m P''',''_(TWh) 00 00 00 00 _0.1 00 00 

" " no " 000 000 0" '" N","",(TWh) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

'" M '" W '" '" m m "'",,",-b", (TWh) 00 00 .. .. _0.1 _0.1 _0.1 

3188 .»" .~" '~83 , ,3" '»11 '" ',no Toc.l(T"") 00 00 •• ., 00 _H _3.0 

00 00 00 _0.1 _0.1 _0.' 
13-20

Table 13.4.14 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 6 Forecast

NEMS-BT 2005 Results: Difference from TMY System Load Reference Case 

,"1. "M "" 10" "" "" "" >0. -- -- ... ... J/ ... 'M' "" "" "" "" •• "" ... 

Conmw.''''_In"" "","""p'.'" C""~'m4 "',,'" _'" C="~p"'" 

'·~"'·<'~1 "" '>' 

I,'" 1~" 1 ~" 'oo' ',m , ;1l1 ')" "',," d ,. s.~, (TWh) " 00 <, « " .1.0 .1.3 ·'.8 " II_ .IG"'(EJ) ,.,3 333 'OO '" '.1< ... 0 ". <c, • n N_ "G"'(EJ) ," '" 000 000 ," ,00 ,00 ,00 .. ~_(EJ) 0.09 ," 1.10 1." ", 1.0, 1.3, '" Ul Oh" (EJ) ," ," 000 000 ," ,00 ,00 ,00 

1I_ "G..,(C,lli"') 3." >.1, 3." 3.00 m '.11 .. " '" •. n N_ " G.., (C,lli"') ," ," .00 .00 ," ,00 , 00 , 00 ,

'. 

. 

0_(C,lli"') 0." ow " ." 1.1< .. 1." DC DO Oh .. (C,lli"') ," ,0, 000 000 ," ,00 0 00 0 00 

r",,,, "5 n,,,,. ",,,,,,,,.,,, r",,,, "5 Z"_ Gm_ 

'. 

Co<I(TWh) 1~" '»13 ')" 00" , ~31 ,~, 3,11< 3111 3~" Co<l(TWh) ,0 00 00 <, 00 .1.1 .1.1 ·u " G" (TWh) 00. '" m 1)" 1,3" 1~" .", 1 ,383 .", G" (T"") ,0 00 <, <, 00 ·0.' .1.0 .1.3 00 

•• troh ",(TWh) . " " . '" m .,. <0, m ", m P. '~ ""' (TWh) ,0 00 00 00 ·0.1 00 00 00 00 

_"u(T"") " ," m " ", ," ," ," ,00 N",h,(TWh) " 00 00 00 " 00 00 00 00 

"''''''''''~, (TWh) ," M • 00 ... 00, .. 'co m m "'""",,b~, (TWh) " 00 « « ·0.1 ·0.' « « 

T""'(TWh) 3188 .»" '~ll '~83 , ,3" ','" '»ll ". ',<30 Tru.l(T"") " " " <0 00 " .l.O ·H ·3.0 " 

rn.,tdkd Gm"'~i"" C ""',','" rn."""", "''''_.''Ie C"",,,i~ 

Co<I(GW) 31<.1 31" 31<] 3>0.1 3<U ,m <3'.1 <10.' '''D Co<l(GW) " 00 00 00 ·0.1 ·0.' « 

0_ Y",iI (GW) :m.o "" '" " "'" "'.3 ""., '"' "'.0 ,,1.0 ",. Oh .. Y"'iI(GW) ,0 00 00 « ·0.1 ·0.' ·0.3 ·0.3 " _"u(GW) "" "., .00 0 100.' 10,., 100 .1 10,., 10,., 10'.' N",h,(GW) " 00 00 00 " 00 00 00 00 

"''''''''''~, (GW) 03.1 100] 100.1 103.1 101.0 ll<] 118.' 110.' ,,1.1 "'""",,b~, (GW) " 00 00 00 " 00 00 00 00 

T",,' G '''.1 "" ~, '" ., • '" 1 "" 

00 • '0 • " ,~ , 00 00 00 « " ·0.) " ·0.' 00 
13-21

Table 13.4.15 Liquid-Immersed Trial Standard Level 2 Low Economic Growth Forecast

NEMS-BT R.sult.: 

I '00' "" 

C .. ~",;,,)""", 2>,';' Cl""~",, ",_",S.lo'IT\>,h1 1.11' 1.>60 

Nom.l""IDI 3.<3 330 

oo"'IDI 090 098 

Nom.l ""IQ><d<1 ", 3.1' 

00"'1Q><d<1 094 093 

r,,., "5 E""rn "",,,.ro. 

>00. 

1.<'" 

'" ,. 

3.41 

" 

,,,lIT\>,h1 1."" OJ'" '.m 

""IT""'I 1m 

P •• " .... IT\>,h1 III 

Ib: ~ .. IT\>,h1 ,,< 

R ... _ , • ., IT""'I '" 

Toc.!IT\>,h1 ",38 

""oild ""',,~ •• C>,>,.;~ 

,,,lIGWI 314.1 

oo",'""i IGWI 

1b: ~"IGWI 

IR"'_""I""'I 

IToc.! GW 

"', m 

03.1 

109.1 

on aso 

118 1>0 

106 813 

410 430 

<P60 <.<" 

31U 

m.< 

m 

100.1 

''''.1 

313.1 

44" .00. 

10'" 

'H 

"" ... 

-

"" " .. 1~" 

'" 1.14 

OJ')1 '."'" '.m '.148 

." HI H' <.10 

U< 130 1.36 13. 

'" .00 

HI 4.18 U8 <54 

1.1, U3 Uil 13' 

,~,. 

lm< 

m 

" .~ 

<.136 

'~ll 

'" ... 

'00 

m 

'.m 

310.1 3:1,. 3".' 

<36.< 038.1 ,,<., 

100.' "'.1 100.1 

lOo.! » H 100.' 

."' .• 1.0"0 1.M.l 

'."" 

.~ 

m 

w 

'.033 " 

,,00 

1~1O 

.00 

'" .., 

'm' 

3~IO 

1~" 

>00 ". •• ,~, 

30IH <".0 443.1 "" ,,1.0 ''".1 

100.1 101.1 100.1 

113' 111.0 m.' 1 II .... I ..... ' 

Diff .... "". fro ... TMY Syst .... Load Low Growtk R.Ie ... llco 

C>n",;")",,',,, I '00' "''' h"V J, ,;,.~,,,, "" "15 ,." 

""r "~,, .. .,,_..,s.lo'IT""'I aD aD _1.' _H _13 _10.< _13.0 _I1D _1O D 

Nom.l""I"1 O.OJ 000 O.OJ O.OJ 000 aDO 0.00 000 000 

O.OJ O.OJ 000 aDO 0.00 000 000 

O.OJ O.OJ 000 aDO 0.00 000 000 

0.00 O.OJ 000 aDO 0.00 000 000 

00"'1"1 O.OJ 000 

Nom.l""IQ><d<1 O.OJ 000 

00"'1Q><d<1 O.OJ 000 

r"" "5 Ekern ""'"~,, 

CooIIT""'I aD aD _0.1 _1.4 _'-' _4.1 _H _03 _lH 

""1TWh) aD aD -a.' _0] _09 _'.0 _,., _," _n 

" " ",,- IT\>,h1 aD aD 0.0 -0, _13 _0.1 0.' 0] 0] 

Ib: ~ .. IT""I aD aD 0.0 aD aD 0.0 0.0 aD aD 

Ro", ~, IT\>,h1 aD aD _0.1 -03 aD _0.' -0 .' _lD _l.l 

Toc.!IT""1 aD aD _1.1 _H _'.1 _'.1 _13.' _lOB _18 ~ 

j"lolld ""',,~ •• C>,>,.;~ 

CooIIGWI aD aD _0.1 -0, -03 _0.' -0 .1 _U 

00",10<" 1""'1 aD aD 0.0 -0.1 _lD _l.l _1.' _'D 

1b: ~"IGWI aD aD 0.0 aD aD 0.0 0.0 aD 

Ro"'_~'IGWI aD aD 0.0 aD aD _0.1 -0 .3 _03 

Toc.! ~W 00 00 _0.1 -09 _1.4 _'.0 _, .. 
13-22

Table 13.4.16 Dry-Type, Low-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 High Economic Growth Forecast

NEMS-BT Results: DiffirellCe fro lll TMY Systelll Load Hi;;k Growtlt ReferellCe b_. ,J, "'" , .. , mo "" "" , .. - H. H. cl,' ... "." 10" , .. "" ". •• 

-

H • C>n"d","",,, h". ." c:", .. ,,,,, c",,~,,~ ",,'''' h"" C"" ... "" ~"'Sol"I~) 1.1" ". I . ." ,~ 1$84 "''' '.m ~'" "" ~~S.l" IT"",! 00 00 -,., _133 _'L4 N. _38" _.H _,H 

NomoI""I") 3.<3 m ". ,. W D. .. " '-01 , . NomoI""I") om 000 000 000 000 o. 000 000 000 

00"'1") o. '00 1.10 '" " '" UO 1.<1 ,. oo-..ID) 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 

Nomoi"" lQuod<) 3." 3.10 '" '" om m 000 .. " O • Nomoi"" lQu<d<) 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 

00", I Quod<) 0" m' ,ro '" 1.1< '" '" ,. '" 00-.. I """') 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 

r,,., "5 _ Gn",r.", r~ol "5 E"""" Gn"~,, 

'oolIT""'! ,~ 'P" '.'" OW ", 3.'" '" om 000 C"lIT ) 00 00 _1.1 00 _11.' _33' _lO' " _30 .1 

""I~) ro, o. m ,w 1~" I.'" Ull ,m ,00 "" IT"",! 00 00 _u , -,., 00 .0 -,," _"5 ' ",«o.a IT"",! m '" ~ m '" '" m '" m ",t'""'-- IT"",! 00 00 00 ., _0.' " 00 00 00 ~ .. IT"",! " " m 00 000 '" '" " " _~" IT ) 00 00 00 00 " 00 00 00 00 

R". ~, IT ) m m m ." 000 00 m m m R..-..-,"" IT ) 00 00 00 " 00 00 _'.1 , -,., Toc.!IT ) 3.'''' OM •. ,m '" '.llB ,-"31 '.'" 00" 000 Toc.!IT ) 00 00 -,., -"" _,n _33< _".1 _ll" _"2 

J"lolld Gn",r. .. e>,>o<.,. ""oild Gn,,~ •• cq",.,. 

'oolIGW) 31<.' 31U 31'-' "" 30'.' .. ,.1 <833 ". '" .. C"lIGW) 00 00 00 _1.1 _3.0 _u -,., , _, .I 

OO""o<<i IGW) mo ."-, ,,,.1 "'" "'.1 "0 '"" • 00 oo • 00-..'''''' 1''''') 00 00 _0.' " _1.1 00 -.. , -.. , 0' 

~"IGW) " "' '00' m< 10'.' 10'.' 10'.' m .' m .' _~" IGW) 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 

R"· ~'IGW) . , 100.3 10'" 00 0 111.3 1>0.' "" ~, '"' Roo-_ ,"" IGW) 00 00 00 m 00 00 00 00 

Toc.! GW :~ I " • .1 '''.0 "'" 1.OJ39 1.103.' l~"D 'A' ,~. ~, Toc.! GW 00 00 _03 00 -'-I -J.< -,., 00 -l" 
13-23

Table 13.4.17 Dry-Type, Low-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 1 Low Economic Growth Forecast

NEMS-BT R.sult.: 

I '00' "" 

c .. ~",;,,)""", 2>,';' Cl""~",, .,,_ ... ,.Io'IT\>,h1 1.11' 1.>60 

Nom.l""IDI 3.<3 330 

oo"'IDI 090 098 

Nom.l ""IQ><d<1 ", 3.1' 

00"'1Q><d<1 094 093 

r,,., "5 E""rn "",,,.ro. 

m. 

1.'" ," ,. 

3.41 

" 

,,,IIT\>,h1 1."" 

""IT""'I ,m 

OJ'" '.m 

on all ,<'C, .... IT\>,h1 III 

Ib: ~ .. IT\>,h1 ". 

R ... _ , • ., IT""'I '" 

TocuIT\>,h1 ",38 

""oild ""',,~ •• C>,>,.;~ 

,,,IIGWI 314.1 

oo",',,,i IGWI 

1b: ~"IGWI 

IR"'_""I""'I 

ITocu GW 

",' m 

03.1 

109.1 

118 1>0 

106 813 

410 430 

'P60 '.<31 

31U 

H2.' 

m 

100.1 

''''.1 

3132 

H .. ,00' 

10'" ." 

"" ". 

-

"" " .. l~lO ," 

1.14 ," ," 

1.0<31 '.011 'f"" '.m ." HI H' '.10 

11. 130 1.36 13' 

HI 4.18 U8 .54 

1.1, 113 1.19 13' 

'~1l 

'00' m 

" m 

'.113 

,AA ," ", ," 

on 

' •• 00 

31'.1 "'1.4 3'".' 

m.' OJ1D m.l 

10'.' m .1 10'.1 

10'.1 » H 100.1 

"'., 1."'1.1 1.l01~ 

'.W 

1.'H 

m 

W 

0, 

,,. 

,", ". ," ," 

,,00 '" 

3.103 

1~" 

m 

>0. 

m 

'~1l 

3893 UI.3 HO.8 

"'.1 W.' '''' .• 

10'.1 1"'.1 10'.1 

ll12 113.' m.l 

W j~ j~H ~ 

Diff .... "". fro ... TMY Syst .... Load Low Growtk R.Ie ... llco 

C>n",;")",,',,, I '00' "''' h"V J, ,;,.~,,,, ."_..,,.10, IT""'I OD OD 

Nom.l""I"1 O.OJ 000 

00"'1"1 O.OJ 000 

Nom.l""IQ><d<1 O.OJ 000 

00"'1Q><d<1 O.OJ 000 

r"" "5 Ekern ""'"~,, 

CoolIT""'I OD 

""1TWh) OD 

" " ",,- IT\>,h1 OD 

Ib: ~ .. IT""I OD 

Ro", ~, IT\>,h1 OD 

TocuIT""1 OD 

j"lolld ""',,~ •• C>,>,.;~ 

CoollGWI OD 

00",10<" 1""'1 OD 

1b: ~"IGWI OD 

Ro"'_~'IGWI OD 

Tocu ~W 00 

" " " " '" 

"" "15 ,." 

""r "~,, .. _>.1 _133 _,1.4 _19.' _,,'-' _.1.4 _,H 

O.OJ O.OJ 000 000 0.00 000 000 

O.OJ O.OJ 000 000 0.00 000 000 

O.OJ O.OJ 000 000 0.00 000 000 

0.00 O.OJ 000 000 0.00 000 000 

0.0 _4.1 _,. _10.' _11.4 _'H _'" 

0.0 _OJ _02 _lO.1 _"-, _>D.' _14 n 

0.0 -OJ _3D _0.' 0.' OD OJ 

0.0 OD OD 0.0 0.0 OD on 

0.0 -OJ -0.1 _1.1 _1.' _'D _, j 

0.0 _ll" _182 _13.1 _33.1 _".1 _li S 

0.0 -0" 

0.0 _19 

0.0 OD 

0.0 OD 

0.0 _OJ 

0, 

_'.1 

" " " 

_1.4 _'.0 

_3.' _H 

0.0 0.0 

_0.1 [ -0.' 

_'.1 1 ., 
13-24

Table 13.4.18 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 2 High Economic Growth Forecast

NEMS-BT Results: DiffirellCe fro lll TMY Systelll Load Hi;;k Growtlt ReferellCe b_. ,J, "'" , .. , m. "" "" , .. - H. H. cl,' ... "." 10" , .. "" ". •• 

-

H • C>n"d","",,, h". ." c:", .. ,,,,, c",,~,,~ ",,'''' h"" C"" ... "" ~"'Sol"I~) 1.1" ". 1.<11 ", ,~, '.16' '.m ,~ ~331 ~~S.l" IT"",! 00 " _0.1 ., _0.' m ., " 0. 

NomoI""I") 3.<3 m 'M ,. ... ... .. " >.01 , . NomoI""I") o • ,. ,. ,. ,. '00 '" 000 '" 00"'1") ,. '" 1.10 " " '" ". 1.<1 ,. oo-..ID) 000 '" '" '" '" 000 '" 000 '" Nomoi"" lQuod<) 3." 3.10 '" m .m m ... .. " •• Nomoi"" lQu<d<) 000 '" '" '" '" 000 '" 000 

00", '" I Quod<) '" '" '" '" 1.1< '" UO " '" 00-.. I """') 000 '" '" '" '" 000 '" 000 '" 

r,,., "5 _ Gn",r.", r~ol "5 E"""" Gn"~,, 

'oolIT""'! ,~ 'm' '.m ,,, '.'''' ,~ 3.'" " ~"1 C"lIT ) 00 " 00 "' _0.' " " " ., ""I~) ro, ,. •• CO. 1~18 1.3<' 1.3<1 CO' 1.3<1 "" IT"",! 00 " _0.1 " " 00 .. _0.' 00 

' ",«o.a IT"",! m '" ~ m '" ~ m '" 00 ",t'""'-- IT"",! 00 " 00 " 00 00 " 00 ~ .. IT"",! " " " '" " '" .. .. 00 " _~" IT ) 00 " 00 " 00 00 

R". ~, IT ) " " " '" '" '" ., '" ~ 00 " ~ R..-..-,"" IT ) 00 " 00 " 00 00 

Toc.!IT ) 3.'''' 'm< 'M " " " " '.'" '.n< '." ", 0'" Toc.!IT ) 00 " _0.1 ., _0.' " " " " 

J"lolld Gn",r. .. e>,>o<.,. ""oild Gn,,~ •• cq",.,. 

'oolIGW) 31<.' 31U 31'-' ~, 310.' ." .. '85.' '" "" C"lIGW) 00 " 00 " _0.1 .. " _0.1 

OO""o<<i IGW) mo ."-, <5" <1" 503.3 " "" ,,'-' '" '35.' 00-..'''''' 1''''') 00 " 00 " 00 00 " _0.1 

~"IGW) " " '" '00' m< WO., WO., WO., "'., "'., _~" IGW) 00 " 00 " 00 00 

R"· ~'IGW) " " " , , 100.3 WO" »5 .1 111.1 '000 "" "'.1 ., Roo-_ ,"" IGW) 00 " 00 " " 00 

Toc.! GW ,,,'-' '''.0 " " :~I "" UO" 1.10'-' 1~'" IAIL. l.lln , Toc.! GW 00 00 00 " .. ., -0.1 -1.1 " 
13-25

Table 13.4.19 Dry-Type, Medium-Voltage Transformers: Trial Standard Level 2 Low Economic Growth Forecast

NEMS-BTResults: 

I '00' ,", C""~,,d"""", z.,~ Cl""~",, r; S.I"IT ""1 I.ll' 1.>60 

Nomu""IDI 3.<3 330 

oo"IDI 090 098 

Nomu""IQ><d<1 ", 3.1' 

00"1Q><d<1 094 093 

r"" "5 E""rn ""'"."" 

, .. 

I.'" 

,. 

,. 

1.41 

" 

""IIT""I 1."" OJ'" 1.013 

""IT""'I "'I , ,.., .... IT""I III 

~ .. IT""I 154 

R ... _ ,." IT""'I '" 

Toc.!IT~1 ",38 

""oild ""',,~ •• c>,>"'~ 

,,,IIGWI 31<.1 

oo.,.,,,i IGWI 

~"IGWI 

IR"'_ ""ICJNI 

IToc.! GW 

"" m 

03.1 

139.1 

011 "'I 

118 1>0 

1>6 813 

.10 .30 

',060 ••• 31 

31U 

H2.' 

m 

100.1 

'''.1 

3132 

'''9 '00' 

101" 

'" 

"" 

'M 

'" 1.1. 

'" '00 

1~" 

IP" 

'" " O~ 

'.140 

". 

310.3 "'", 

431.1 039.1 

101.1 ))1 .1 

101.1 )JH '''.1 1.",'.1 

"" ~ ,.. 

1P1' 1.01' 

'" UI 

11. 130 

4Dl 4.18 

1.1. 113 

1M' 

1~1O 

'00 

000 

on 

' •• 13 

1.911 

Ull 

m 

w 

w 

'.'" 

"'.. 3013 

m.' ''''D 

101.1 101.1 

IOO.' r 113.' 

1.1010 1 l.m.' 

-

"" " .. 

1.131 1.10' 

4.01 '.10 

1.30 13' 

438 ." 

1.19 131 

,,,, 

I~" 

'" '" OW 

'$1' 

'".1 '''.1 

W1.1 

IIU 

1.]0).' 

'" '" '00 

00. 

~ 

'ml 

"'.3 

~. 

101.1 

m.8 

IAU 

DifferellCe fro .. TMY SysteJll Load Low Growtlt Referellco 

I '00' ,.., C>n"d""",,,, h"V J, ~.~"" ~r;S.I" IT""'I OD OD 

Nomu""I"1 O.OJ 000 

00"1"1 O.OJ 000 

Nomu""IQu<d<1 O.OJ 000 

00"1Qu<d<1 O.OJ 000 

r"" "5 Ekern ""'"~,, 

CooIIT""'I OD 

""1TWh) OD 

""Ma IT~I OD _~" IT~I OD 

Ro", _~, IT""I OD 

Toc.!IT~1 OD 

j"lolld ""',,~ •• c>,>"" 

CooIIGWI 

00.,10<<11001 

_~" IGWI 

Ro", _~, IGWI 

Toc.! GW 

m. "Ii< ,." 

_0.1 _0] _M 

o.tJl O.OJ 000 

0.00 O.OJ 000 

0.00 O.OJ 000 

0.00 O.OJ 000 

"" ,,~ " .. 

_0.' -0 .1 _02 _09 

ODO 0.00 000 000 

ODO 0.00 000 000 

ODO 0.00 000 000 

ODO 0.00 000 000 

0.0 -0.1 -0.1 _0.1 -0 .3 _0.' _o ~ 

0.0 -0.1 -0, _0.' -0 .3 _03 _0] 

0.0 OD -0.1 0.0 0.0 OD OD 

0.0 OD OD 0.0 0.0 OD OD 

0.0 OD OD 0.0 0.0 OD OD 

0.0 _0] -03 _0.' -0 .' _02 _0 9 

00 

00 

00 

00 

00 

00 

_0.1 

00 

00 

_0.1 

00 

<0 

00 

00 

-0.1 

_0.1 

_0.1 

00 

00 

-1.1 
13-26

REFERENCES

1. U.S. Department of Energy - Energy Information Administration. Annual Energy Outlook

2005: With Projections Through 2025. January, 2005. Washington, DC. Report No.

DOE/EIA-0383(2005). <http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html>

2. U.S. Department of Energy-Office of Building Technologies. Technical Support

Document: Energy Conservation Program for Commercial and Industrial Equipment:

Energy Conservation Standards for Commercial Unitary Air Conditioners and Heat

Pumps - ANOPR Version. Appendix 0. 2004. U.S. Department of Energy. Washington,

DC. Report No. LBNL-53983. 

3. LaCommare, K. H., E. Gumerman, C. Marnay, P. Chan, and K. Coughlin. A New

Approach for Modeling the Peak Utility Impacts from a Proposed CUAC Standard. 2004.

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Berkeley, CA. Report No. LBNL-55269. 

4. U.S. Department of Energy-Office of Building Technologies. Technical Support

Document: Energy Conservation Program for Commercial and Industrial Equipment:

Energy Conservation Standards for Commercial Unitary Air Conditioners and Heat

Pumps - ANOPR Version. Chapter 6. 2004. U.S. Department of Energy. Washington,

DC. Report No. LBNL-53983.