10B

- i 

### APPENDIX 10B. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET NATIONAL

PRESENT VALUE RESULT S

TABLE OF CO NTENTS

10B.1 SUMMARY OF RESULTS

.................................................................................. 10B-1

10B.1.1 Liquid- Immersed Summary

................................................................................... 10B-1

10B.1.2 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Summary

......................................................................... 10B-2

10B.1.3 Medium- Voltage Dry

- Type Summary

................................................................... 10B-3

10B.2 0 PERCENT LOAD GROWT H, LIQUID

- IMMERSED (0 PERCENT DRY

TYPE)

.................................................................................................................... 10B-4

10B.2.4 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

................................................................................ 10B-4

10B.2.4.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

...................................................................... 10B-6

10B.2.4.1 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-12

10B.2.5 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

........................................................................ 10B-19

10B.2.5.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-20

10B.2.5.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-27

10B.2.6 High Price Elasti city Scenario

............................................................................. 10B-33

10B.2.6.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-35

10B.2.6.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-41

10B.2.7 Low Economic Growth Scenario ......................................................................... 10B-48

10B.2.7.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-50

10B.2.7.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-56

10B.2.8 High Economic Growth Scenario ........................................................................ 10B-63

10B.2.8.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-64

10B.2.8.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-71

10B.2.9 Low Price Trend Scenario

................................................................................... 10B-77

10B.2.9.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-79

10B.2.9.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-85

10B.2.10 High Price Trend Scenario

................................................................................... 10B-92

10B.2.10.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................... 10B-93

10B.2.10.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-100

10B.3 1 PERCENT LOAD GROWTH, LIQUID

- IMMERSED (0 PERCENT DRY

TYPE)

................................................................................................................ 10B-107

10B.3.11 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

............................................................................ 10B-107

10B.3.11.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-109

10B.3.11.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-115

10B.3.12 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

...................................................................... 10B-122

10B.3.12.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-123

10B.3.12.3 7 Percent Discount R ate

.................................................................. 10B-130

10B.3.13 High Price Elasticity Scenario

........................................................................... 10B-136

10B.3.13.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-138

10B.3.13.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-144

10B.3.14 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario ............... 10B-151

10B.3.14.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-152

10B.3.14.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-15910B

- ii 

### 10B.3.15 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario

.............. 10B-165

10B.3.15.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-167

10B.3.15.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-173

10B.3.16 Low Price Trend Scenario

................................................................................. 10B-180

10B.3.16.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-181

10B.3.16.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-188

10B.3.17 High Price Trend Scenario

................................................................................. 10B-194

10B.3.17.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-196

10B.3.17.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

.................................................................. 10B-202

LIST OF TABLES

Table 10B.2.1 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............................................10B-6

Table 10B.2.2 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...................................10B-6

Table 10B.2.3 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Low Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................10B-7

Table 10B.2.4 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............................................................10B-7

Table 10B.2.5 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............................................................10B-8

Table 10B.2.6 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............................................................10B-8

Table 10B.2.7 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............................................................10B-9

Table 10B.2.8 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............................................................10B-9

Table 10B.2.9 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-10

Table 10B.2.10 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-10

Table 10B.2.11 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-11

Table 10B.2.12 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-11

Table 10B.2.13 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-12

Table 10B.2.14 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................10B-12

Table 10B.2.15 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .................................10B-13

Table 10B.2.16 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Low Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................10B-13

Table 10B.2.17 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-1410B

- iii 

### Table 10B.2.18 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-14

Table 10B.2.19 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-15

Table 10B.2.20 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-15

Table 10B.2.21 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-16

Table 10B.2.22 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-16

Table 10B.2.23 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-17

Table 10B.2.24 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-17

Table 10B.2.25 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-18

Table 10B.2.26 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-18

Table 10B.2.27 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .................................10B-20

Table 10B.2.28 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...................10B-21

Table 10B.2.29 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...................10B-21

Table 10B.2.30 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-22

Table 10B.2.31 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-22

Table 10B.2.32 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-23

Table 10B.2.33 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-23

Table 10B.2.34 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-24

Table 10B.2.35 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-24

Table 10B.2.36 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-25

Table 10B.2.37 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-25

Table 10B.2.38 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-26

Table 10B.2.39 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-26

Table 10B.2.40 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .................................10B-2710B

- iv 

### Table 10B.2.41 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...................10B-27

Table 10B.2.42 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...................10B-28

Table 10B.2.43 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-28

Table 10B.2.44 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-29

Table 10B.2.45 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-29

Table 10B.2.46 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-30

Table 10B.2.47 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-30

Table 10B.2.48 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-31

Table 10B.2.49 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-31

Table 10B.2.50 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-32

Table 10B.2.51 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-32

Table 10B.2.52 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-33

Table 10B.2.53 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................10B-35

Table 10B.2.54 Low

- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .................................10B-35

Table 10B.2.55 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

High Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ........................10B-36

Table 10B.2.56 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-36

Table 10B.2.57 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-37

Table 10B.2.58 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-37

Table 10B.2.59 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-38

Table 10B.2.60 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-38

Table 10B.2.61 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-39

Table 10B.2.62 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-39

Table 10B.2.63 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-4010B

- v 

### Table 10B.2.64 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-40

Table 10B.2.65 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-41

Table 10B.2.66 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................10B-41

Table 10B.2.67 Low

- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .................................10B-42

Table 10B.2.68 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

High Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ........................10B-42

Table 10B.2.69 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-43

Table 10B.2.70 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-43

Table 10B.2.71 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-44

Table 10B.2.72 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-44

Table 10B.2.73 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-45

Table 10B.2.74 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-46

Table 10B.2.75 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-46

Table 10B.2.76 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-47

Table 10B.2.77 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-47

Table 10B.2.78 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...........................................................10B-48

Table 10B.2.79 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate ...........................................................................................10B-50

Table 10B.2.80 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-50

Table 10B.2.81 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Ela sticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-51

Table 10B.2.82 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-51

Table 10B.2.83 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-52

Table 10B.2.84 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-5210B

- vi 

### Table 10B.2.85 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-53

Table 10B.2.86 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-53

Table 10B.2.87 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-54

Table 10B.2.88 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-54

Table 10B.2.89 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-55

Table 10B.2.90 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-55

Table 10B.2.91 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-56

Table 10B.2.92 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate ...........................................................................................10B-56

Table 10B.2.93 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-57

Table 10B.2.94 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-57

Table 10B.2.95 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-58

Table 10B.2.96 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-58

Table 10B.2.97 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-59

Table 10B.2.98 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-59

Table 10B.2.99 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-60

Table 10B.2.100 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-60

Table 10B.2.101 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-61

Table 10B.2.102 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-61

Table 10B.2.103 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discou nt Rate ....10B-62

Table 10B.2.104 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ....10B-62

Table 10B.2.105 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity S cenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate ...........................................................................................10B-6410B

- vii 

### Table 10B.2.106 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Ra te ..............................................................................10B-65

Table 10B.2.107 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-65

Table 10B.2.108 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Ela sticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-66

Table 10B.2.109 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Gr owth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-66

Table 10B.2.110 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-67

Table 10B.2.111 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-67

Table 10B.2.112 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-68

Table 10B.2.113 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Hi gh Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-68

Table 10B.2.114 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-69

Table 10B.2.115 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-69

Table 10B.2.116 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-70

Table 10B.2.117 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, H igh Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-70

Table 10B.2.118 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate ...........................................................................................10B-71

Table 10B.2.119 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Grow th Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-71

Table 10B.2.120 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Pric e Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-72

Table 10B.2.121 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-72

Table 10B.2.122 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-73

Table 10B.2.123 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-73

Table 10B.2.124 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-74

Table 10B.2.125 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Hi gh Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-7410B

- viii 

### Table 10B.2.126 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-75

Table 10B.2.127 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-75

Table 10B.2.128 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-76

Table 10B.2.129 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Hi gh Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-76

Table 10B.2.130 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...10B-77

Table 10B.2.131 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Perce nt

Discount Rate ...........................................................................................10B-79

Table 10B.2.132 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-79

Table 10B.2.133 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-80

Table 10B.2.134 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-80

Table 10B.2.135 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-81

Table 10B.2.136 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-81

Table 10B.2.137 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-82

Table 10B.2.138 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-82

Table 10B.2.139 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-83

Table 10B.2.140 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-83

Table 10B.2.141 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Tren d Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-84

Table 10B.2.142 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-84

Table 10B.2.143 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-85

Table 10B.2.144 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scena rio, 7 Percent

Discount Rate ...........................................................................................10B-85

Table 10B.2.145 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticit y Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-8610B

- ix 

### Table 10B.2.146 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-86

Table 10B.2.147 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-87

Table 10B.2.148 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Tren d Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-87

Table 10B.2.149 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenar io, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-88

Table 10B.2.150 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-88

Table 10B.2.151 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-89

Table 10B.2.152 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-89

Table 10B.2.153 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Tren d Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-90

Table 10B.2.154 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-90

Table 10B.2.155 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............10B-91

Table 10B.2.156 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Per cent Discount Rate ...............10B-91

Table 10B.2.157 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Hig h Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate ...........................................................................................10B-93

Table 10B.2.158 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-94

Table 10B.2.159 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Tren d Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ..............................................................................10B-94

Table 10B.2.160 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenar io, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-95

Table 10B.2.161 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-95

Table 10B.2.162 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-96

Table 10B.2.163 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-96

Table 10B.2.164 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Per cent Discount Rate ..............10B-97

Table 10B.2.165 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-97

Table 10B.2.166 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-9810B

- x 

### Table 10B.2.167 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-98

Table 10B.2.168 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Per cent Discount Rate ..............10B-99

Table 10B.2.169 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Tr end Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..............10B-99

Table 10B.2.170 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-100

Table 10B.2.171 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scena rio, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-100

Table 10B.2.172 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elas ticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-101

Table 10B.2.173 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-101

Table 10B.2.174 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-102

Table 10B.2.175 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Ra te ............10B-102

Table 10B.2.176 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-103

Table 10B.2.177 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Pri ce Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-103

Table 10B.2.178 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-104

Table 10B.2.179 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Ra te ............10B-104

Table 10B.2.180 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-105

Table 10B.2.181 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Pri ce Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-105

Table 10B.2.182 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-106

Table 10B.3.1 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................10B-109

Table 10B.3.2 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............................10B-109

Table 10B.3.3 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Low Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .......................10B-110

Table 10B.3.4 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-110

Table 10B.3.5 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-11110B

- xi 

### Table 10B.3.6 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-111

Table 10B.3.7 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-112

Table 10B.3.8 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-112

Table 10B.3.9 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-113

Table 10B.3.10 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-113

Table 10B.3.11 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-114

Table 10B.3.12 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-114

Table 10B.3.13 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-115

Table 10B.3.14 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................10B-115

Table 10B.3.15 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............................10B-116

Table 10B.3.16 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Low Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .......................10B-116

Table 10B.3.17 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-117

Table 10B.3.18 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-117

Table 10B.3.19 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-118

Table 10B.3.20 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-118

Table 10B.3.21 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-119

Table 10B.3.22 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-119

Table 10B.3.23 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-120

Table 10B.3.24 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-120

Table 10B.3.25 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-121

Table 10B.3.26 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-121

Table 10B.3.27 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............................10B-123

Table 10B.3.28 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .................10B-12410B

- xii 

### Table 10B.3.29 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .................10B-124

Table 10B.3.30 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-125

Table 10B.3.31 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-125

Table 10B.3.32 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-126

Table 10B.3.33 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-126

Table 10B.3.34 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-127

Table 10B.3.35 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-127

Table 10B.3.36 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-128

Table 10B.3.37 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-128

Table 10B.3.38 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-129

Table 10B.3.39 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-129

Table 10B.3.40 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............................10B-130

Table 10B.3.41 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .................10B-130

Table 10B.3.42 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .................10B-131

Table 10B.3.43 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-131

Table 10B.3.44 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-132

Table 10B.3.45 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-132

Table 10B.3.46 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-133

Table 10B.3.47 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-133

Table 10B.3.48 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-134

Table 10B.3.49 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-134

Table 10B.3.50 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-135

Table 10B.3.51 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-13510B

- xiii 

### Table 10B.3.52 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-136

Table 10B.3.53 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................10B-138

Table 10B.3.54 Low

- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ...............................10B-138

Table 10B.3.55 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

High Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ......................10B-139

Table 10B.3.56 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-139

Table 10B.3.57 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-140

Table 10B.3.58 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-140

Table 10B.3.59 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-141

Table 10B.3.60 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-141

Table 10B.3.61 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-142

Table 10B.3.62 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-142

Table 10B.3.63 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-143

Table 10B.3.64 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-143

Table 10B.3.65 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-144

Table 10B.3.66 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................10B-144

Table 10B.3.67 Low

- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ...............................10B-145

Table 10B.3.68 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

High Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ......................10B-145

Table 10B.3.69 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-146

Table 10B.3.70 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-146

Table 10B.3.71 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-147

Table 10B.3.72 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-147

Table 10B.3.73 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-148

Table 10B.3.74 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-14810B

- xiv 

### Table 10B.3.75 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-149

Table 10B.3.76 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-149

Table 10B.3.77 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-150

Table 10B.3.78 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .........................................................10B-150

Table 10B.3.79 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-152

Table 10B.3.80 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Ra te ............................................................................10B-153

Table 10B.3.81 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Econom ic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-153

Table 10B.3.82 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-154

Table 10B.3.83 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, M edium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-154

Table 10B.3.84 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-155

Table 10B.3.85 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discoun t Rate ..10B-155

Table 10B.3.86 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-156

Table 10B.3.87 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-156

Table 10B.3.88 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-157

Table 10B.3.89 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discoun t Rate ..10B-157

Table 10B.3.90 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-158

Table 10B.3.91 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Lo w Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-158

Table 10B.3.92 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-159

Table 10B.3.93 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-159

Table 10B.3.94 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price E lasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-16010B

- xv 

### Table 10B.3.95 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load G rowth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-160

Table 10B.3.96 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-161

Table 10B.3.97 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discoun t Rate ..10B-161

Table 10B.3.98 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-162

Table 10B.3.99 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-162

Table 10B.3.100 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-163

Table 10B.3.101 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discou nt Rate ..10B-163

Table 10B.3.102 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-164

Table 10B.3.103 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Lo w Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-164

Table 10B.3.104 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ..10B-165

Table 10B.3.105 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-167

Table 10B.3.106 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scen ario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-167

Table 10B.3.107 Medium- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percen t Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-168

Table 10B.3.108 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-168

Table 10B.3.109 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-169

Table 10B.3.110 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-169

Table 10B.3.111 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenar io, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-170

Table 10B.3.112 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-170

Table 10B.3.113 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-171

Table 10B.3.114 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-171

Table 10B.3.115 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenar io, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-17210B

- xvi 

### Table 10B.3.116 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-172

Table 10B.3.117 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .10B-173

Table 10B.3.118 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Econ omic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-173

Table 10B.3.119 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medi um Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-174

Table 10B.3.120 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-174

Table 10B.3.121 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-175

Table 10B.3.122 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Hi gh Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-175

Table 10B.3.123 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-176

Table 10B.3.124 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-176

Table 10B.3.125 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-177

Table 10B.3.126 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-177

Table 10B.3.127 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenar io, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-178

Table 10B.3.128 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-178

Table 10B.3.129 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-179

Table 10B.3.130 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .10B-179

Table 10B.3.131 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-181

Table 10B.3.132 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-182

Table 10B.3.133 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-182

Table 10B.3.134 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenar io, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-183

Table 10B.3.135 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-18310B

- xvii 

### Table 10B.3.136 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-184

Table 10B.3.137 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-184

Table 10B.3.138 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-185

Table 10B.3.139 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Tren d Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-185

Table 10B.3.140 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-186

Table 10B.3.141 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-186

Table 10B.3.142 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-187

Table 10B.3.143 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Tre nd Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-187

Table 10B.3.144 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-188

Table 10B.3.145 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenar io, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-188

Table 10B.3.146 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasti city Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-189

Table 10B.3.147 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-189

Table 10B.3.148 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-190

Table 10B.3.149 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-190

Table 10B.3.150 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-191

Table 10B.3.151 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Tren d Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-191

Table 10B.3.152 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-192

Table 10B.3.153 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-192

Table 10B.3.154 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-193

Table 10B.3.155 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Tren d Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-193

Table 10B.3.156 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate .............10B-19410B

- xviii 

### Table 10B.3.157 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-196

Table 10B.3.158 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Hi gh Price Trend Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-196

Table 10B.3.159 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-197

Table 10B.3.160 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-197

Table 10B.3.161 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Ra te ............10B-198

Table 10B.3.162 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-198

Table 10B.3.163 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Pri ce Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-199

Table 10B.3.164 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-199

Table 10B.3.165 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Ra te ............10B-200

Table 10B.3.166 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-200

Table 10B.3.167 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Pri ce Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-201

Table 10B.3.168 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-201

Table 10B.3.169 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount R ate ............10B-202

Table 10B.3.170 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate .........................................................................................10B-202

Table 10B.3.171 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Ela sticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate ............................................................................10B-203

Table 10B.3.172 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rat e ............................................................................10B-203

Table 10B.3.173 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 P ercent Discount Rate ............10B-204

Table 10B.3.174 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-204

Table 10B.3.175 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-205

Table 10B.3.176 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-20510B

- xix 

### Table 10B.3.177 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Ra te ............10B-206

Table 10B.3.178 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-206

Table 10B.3.179 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Pri ce Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-207

Table 10B.3.180 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-207

Table 10B.3.181 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Ra te ............10B-208

Table 10B.3.182 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate ............10B-208

LIST OF FIGURE S

Figure 10B.1.1 Liquid- Immersed: Net Present Value (3% and 7% Discount Rate)

versus Primary Energy Savings .................................................................10B-1

Figure 10B.1.2 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type: Net Present Value ( 3% and 7% Discount

Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings ........................................................10B-2

Figure 10B.1.3 Medium- Voltage Dry

- Type: Net Present Value (3% and 7% D iscount

Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings ........................................................10B-3

Figure 10B.2.1 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario .....................................................................................10B-4

Figure 10B.2.2 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario ............................................................................10B-5

Figure 10B.2.3 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Low Price Elasticity Scenario ....................................................................10B-5

Figure 10B.2.4 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario ..........................................................................10B-19

Figure 10B.2.5 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario ............................................................10B-19

Figure 10B.2.6 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario ............................................................10B-20

Figure 10B.2.7 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario ...................................................................................10B-33

Figure 10B.2.8 Low

- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario ..........................................................................10B-34

Figure 10B.2.9 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

High Price Elasticity Scenario .................................................................10B-34

Figure 10B.2.10 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario ...................10B-48

Figure 10B.2.11 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario .....10B-49

Figure 10B.2.12 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario .....10B-4910B

- xx 

### Figure 10B.2.13 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario ...................10B-63

Figure 10B.2.14 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario ....10B-63

Figure 10B.2.15 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity S cenario, High Economic Growth Scenario ....10B-64

Figure 10B.2.16 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario ..............................10B-77

Figure 10B.2.17 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario ................10B-78

Figure 10B.2.18 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario ................10B-78

Figure 10B.2.19 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario .............................10B-92

Figure 10B.2.20 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario ...............10B-92

Figure 10B.2.21 Medium- Voltage Dry

- Type Tran sformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario ...............10B-93

Figure 10B.3.1 Liquid- Immersed T ransformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario .................................................................................10B-107

Figure 10B.3.2 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percen t Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario ........................................................................10B-108

Figure 10B.3.3 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Low Price Elasticity Scenario ................................................................10B-108

Figure 10B.3.4 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario ........................................................................10B-122

Figure 10B.3.5 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario ..........................................................10B-122

Figure 10B.3.6 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario ..........................................................10B-123

Figure 10B.3.7 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario .................................................................................10B-136

Figure 10B.3.8 Low

- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario ........................................................................10B-137

Figure 10B.3.9 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

High Price Elasticity Scenario ...............................................................10B-137

Figure 10B.3.10 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario .................10B-151

Figure 10B.3.11 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario ...10B-151

Figure 10B.3.12 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario ...10B-152

Figure 10B.3.13 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario .................10B-165

Figure 10B.3.14 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scena rio ..10B-16610B

- xxi 

### Figure 10B.3.15 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario ..10B-166

Figure 10B.3.16 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scena rio, Low Price Trend Scenario ............................10B-180

Figure 10B.3.17 Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elastic ity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario ..............10B-180

Figure 10B.3.18 Medium- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario ..............10B-181

Figure 10B.3.19 Liquid-Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario ...........................10B-194

Figure 10B.3.20 Low

- Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Loa d Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario .............10B-195

Figure 10B.3.21 Medium- Voltage Dry

- Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario .............10B-19510B

- 1 

### APPENDIX 10B. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND N ET NATIONAL PRESENT

VALUE RESULTS

10B.1 SUMMARY OF RESULTS

10B.1.1 Liquid

- Immersed Summary

Figure 10B.1.1 Liquid

- Immersed: Net Present Value (3% and 7%

Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings - 25 - 20 - 15 - 10 - 5 0 5 10 15

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Net Present Value (Billion $)

Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 3% Discount Rate

- 25 - 20 - 15 - 10 - 5 0 5 10 15

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Net Present Value (Billion $)

Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate

0% Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, Low Economic Growth

0% Load Growth, High Economic Growth

0% Load Growth, Low Price Trend

0% Load Growth, High Price Trend

1% Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, Low Economic Growth

1% Load Growth, High Economic Growth

1% Load Growth, Low Price Trend

1% Load Growth, High Price Trend10B

- 2 

### 10B.1.2 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Summary

Figure 10B.1.2 Low-Voltage Dry-Type : Net Present Value (3% and

7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy Savings - 5 - 3 - 1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15

2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5Net Present Value (Billion $)

Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 3% Discount Rate

- 5 - 3 - 1 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15

2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5Net Present Value (Billion $)

Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate

0% Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, Low Economic Growth

0% Load Growth, High Economic Growth

0% Load Growth, Low Price Trend

0% Load Growth, High Price Trend

1% Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, Low Economic Growth

1% Load Growth, High Economic Growth

1% Load Growth, Low Price Trend

1% Load Growth, High Price Trend10B

- 3 

### 10B.1.3 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Summary

Figure 10B.1.3 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type : Net Present Value (3%

and 7% Discount Rate) versus Primary Energy

Savings - 1.5

- 1 - 0.5

0 0.5

1 1.5

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1Net Present Value (Billion $)

Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 3% Discount Rate

- 1.5

- 1 - 0.5

0 0.5

1 1.5

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1Net Present Value (Billion $)

Primary Energy Savings (Quads) 7% Discount Rate

0% Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

0% Load Growth, Low Economic Growth

0% Load Growth, High Economic Growth

0% Load Growth, Low Price Trend

0% Load Growth, High Price Trend

1% Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

1% Load Growth, Low Economic Growth

1% Load Growth, High Economic Growth

1% Load Growth, Low Price Trend

1% Load Growth, High Price Trend10B

- 4 

### 10B.2 0 PERCENT LOAD GROWTH, LIQUID

- IMMERSED (0 PERCENT DRY

TYPE)

10B.2.4 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.2.1 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load

Growth, Low Price Elasticity Scenario - 20.0 - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 5 

### Figure 10B.2.2 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.2.3 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.5 - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 6 

### 10B.2.4.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.1 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.70

- 5.27

- 5.48

- 8.92

- 9.43

- 13.20

- 46.86

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 65.53 6.65 11.69 12.55 20.78 20.66 23.36 33.96

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.94 2.09 3.57 3.55 4.08 6.15

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.94 6.42 7.07 11.87 11.22 10.16

- 12.90



### Table 10B.2.2 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.05

- 3.54

- 6.42

- 8.73

- 17.73

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.43 11.10 13.95 20.15 20.62 22.97

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.41 4.51 5.00

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.39 9.06 10.41 13.73 11.89 5.2410B

- 7 

### Table 10B.2.3 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.481

- 1.26

- 1.26

- 3.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.657 1.27 2.39 2.39 3.76

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.287 0.532 0.532 0.851

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.493 0.788 1.13 1.13

- 0.200



### Table 10B.2.4 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.75

- 3.76

- 5.47

- 6.39

- 8.55

- 30.25

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.59 1.65 6.69 6.75 10.57 11.00 12.09 17.12

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.299 1.12 1.13 1.82 1.91 2.13 3.13

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.463 2.94 2.99 5.10 4.61 3.54

- 13.1310B

- 8 

### Table 10B.2.5 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.52

- 1.52

- 1.72

- 3.44

- 3.04

- 4.65

- 16.61

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $) 32.94 5.00 5.00 5.80 10.21 9.66 11.27 16.84

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.812 0.812 0.960 1.75 1.64 1.95 3.02

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.48 3.48 4.08 6.77 6.61 6.62 0.230



### Table 10B.2.6 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.257

- 0.450

- 0.450

- 0.993

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.484 0.663 0.663 0.746

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.145 0.145 0.163

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.227 0.213 0.213

- 0.24710B

- 9 

### Table 10B.2.7 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.05

- 3.28

- 5.97

- 8.28

- 16.74

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.43 11.10 13.47 19.49 19.95 22.23

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.95 4.27 4.37 4.84

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.39 9.06 10.19 13.51 11.67 5.49



### Table 10B.2.8 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0070

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0069

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014

- 0.000110B

- 10 

### Table 10B.2.9 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.510

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.458

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.105

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.090 0.093 0.093

- 0.052



### Table 10B.2.10 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0020 0.0034 0.0034

- 0.000510B

- 11 

### Table 10B.2.11 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.387

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.20

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.15 2.15 3.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.478 0.478 0.686

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.401 0.654 0.987 0.987

- 0.171



### Table 10B.2.12 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0016

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.000210B

- 12 

### Table 10B.2.13 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.225

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.248

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.019 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.023



### 10B.2.4.1 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.14 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.91

- 3.03

- 4.93

- 5.21

- 7.29

- 25.89

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 22.42 2.27 4.00 4.29 7.11 7.07 7.99 11.62

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.94 2.09 3.57 3.55 4.08 6.15

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.780 1.09 1.27 2.19 1.86 0.700

- 14.2710B

- 13 

### Table 10B.2.15 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.14

- 1.96

- 3.56

- 4.84

- 9.83

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.58 3.81 4.79 6.92 7.08 7.88

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.41 4.51 5.00

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.68 2.83 3.36 2.24

- 1.94



### Table 10B.2.16 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.699

- 0.699

- 2.19

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.819 0.819 1.29

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.287 0.532 0.532 0.851

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.135 0.169 0.120 0.120

- 0.90310B

- 14 

### Table 10B.2.17 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.655

- 2.07

- 2.08

- 3.02

- 3.53

- 4.72

- 16.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.15 0.564 2.29 2.31 3.62 3.76 4.14 5.86

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.299 1.12 1.13 1.82 1.91 2.13 3.13

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.091 0.217 0.233 0.592 0.234

- 0.585

- 10.85



### Table 10B.2.18 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.839

- 0.839

- 0.948

- 1.90

- 1.68

- 2.57

- 9.18

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.27 1.71 1.71 1.98 3.49 3.30 3.86 5.76

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.812 0.812 0.960 1.75 1.64 1.95 3.02

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.871 0.871 1.04 1.59 1.62 1.29

- 3.4110B

- 15 

### Table 10B.2.19 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.249

- 0.249

- 0.550

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.166 0.228 0.228 0.256

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.145 0.145 0.163

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.024

- 0.022

- 0.022

- 0.294



### Table 10B.2.20 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.14

- 1.82

- 3.31

- 4.59

- 9.28

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $) 10.29 3.58 3.81 4.62 6.69 6.85 7.63

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.95 4.27 4.37 4.84

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.68 2.80 3.38 2.26

- 1.6510B

- 16 

### Table 10B.2.21 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0039

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0015



### Table 10B.2.22 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.283

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.157

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.105

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.021 0.022 0.022

- 0.12610B

- 17 

### Table 10B.2.23 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0024

- 0.0024

- 0.0065

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0026



### Table 10B.2.24 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.644

- 0.644

- 1.77

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.738 0.738 1.04

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.478 0.478 0.686

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.105 0.143 0.094 0.094

- 0.73410B

- 18 

### Table 10B.2.25 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.0003



### Table 10B.2.26 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.125

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.085

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0052 0.0044 0.0044 0.0044

- 0.04010B

- 19 

### 10B.2.5 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.2.4 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load

Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.2.5 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario - 20.0 - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 20 

### Figure 10B.2.6 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Loa d Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

10B.2.5.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.27 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.69

- 5.25

- 5.45

- 8.86

- 9.38

- 13.10

- 45.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 65.53 6.63 11.65 12.50 20.66 20.53 23.17 33.18

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.93 6.40 7.05 11.80 11.16 10.07

- 12.78 

### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 21 

### Table 10B.2.28 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.52

- 6.39

- 8.67

- 17.51

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.41 11.08 13.91 20.04 20.47 22.69

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.38 9.04 10.38 13.65 11.80 5.17



### Table 10B.2.29 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.480

- 1.25

- 1.26

- 3.91

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.656 1.27 2.38 2.38 3.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.492 0.786 1.12 1.12

- 0.19810B

- 22 

### Table 10B.2.30 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.73

- 3.74

- 5.44

- 6.35

- 8.49

- 29.70

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.59 1.64 6.66 6.73 10.52 10.94 12.00 16.76

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.463 2.93 2.98 5.07 4.59 3.52

- 12.93



### Table 10B.2.31 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.51

- 1.51

- 1.71

- 3.42

- 3.03

- 4.61

- 16.27

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $) 32.94 4.98 4.98 5.78 10.14 9.60 11.17 16.42

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.47 3.47 4.07 6.73 6.57 6.56 0.15610B

- 23 

### Table 10B.2.32 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.255

- 0.447

- 0.447

- 0.979

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.481 0.658 0.658 0.736

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.226 0.212 0.212

- 0.243



### Table 10B.2.33 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.27

- 5.94

- 8.22

- 16.53

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.41 11.08 13.42 19.38 19.81 21.95

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.38 9.04 10.16 13.44 11.59 5.4210B

- 24 

### Table 10B.2.34 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0069

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0068

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014

- 0.0001



### Table 10B.2.35 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.504

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.452

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.090 0.093 0.093

- 0.05210B

- 25 

### Table 10B.2.36 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0020 0.0034 0.0034

- 0.0005



### Table 10B.2.37 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.386

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.14 2.14 2.99

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.400 0.653 0.982 0.982

- 0.16910B

- 26 

### Table 10B.2.38 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002



### Table 10B.2.39 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.223

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.246

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.019 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.02310B

- 27 

### 10B.2.5.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.40 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.90

- 3.01

- 4.90

- 5.18

- 7.24

- 25.39

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 22.42 2.27 3.98 4.28 7.07 7.02 7.93 11.35

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.778 1.09 1.27 2.17 1.85 0.691

- 14.04



### Table 10B.2.41 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.95

- 3.54

- 4.80

- 9.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.57 3.80 4.77 6.88 7.03 7.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.67 2.82 3.34 2.22

- 1.9210B

- 28 

### Table 10B.2.42 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.695

- 0.695

- 2.17

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.815 0.815 1.27

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.134 0.169 0.120 0.120

- 0.893



### Table 10B.2.43 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.653

- 2.06

- 2.07

- 3.01

- 3.51

- 4.69

- 16.40

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.15 0.563 2.28 2.30 3.60 3.74 4.11 5.73

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.090 0.218 0.233 0.591 0.233

- 0.581

- 10.6710B

- 29 

### Table 10B.2.44 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.836

- 0.836

- 0.944

- 1.89

- 1.67

- 2.55

- 8.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.27 1.70 1.70 1.98 3.47 3.28 3.82 5.61

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.868 0.868 1.03 1.58 1.61 1.27

- 3.37



### Table 10B.2.45 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.248

- 0.248

- 0.543

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.165 0.226 0.226 0.253

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.024

- 0.022

- 0.022

- 0.29010B

- 30 

### Table 10B.2.46 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.81

- 3.29

- 4.56

- 9.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.57 3.80 4.61 6.65 6.80 7.53

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.67 2.80 3.36 2.24

- 1.63



### Table 10B.2.47 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0038

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.001510B

- 31 

### Table 10B.2.48 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.279

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.155

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.021 0.022 0.022

- 0.124



### Table 10B.2.49 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0064

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.002610B

- 32 

### Table 10B.2.50 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.641

- 0.641

- 1.75

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.734 0.734 1.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.105 0.143 0.093 0.093

- 0.725



### Table 10B.2.51 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.000310B

- 33 

### Table 10B.2.52 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.124

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.084

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0052 0.0044 0.0044 0.0044

- 0.039



### 10B.2.6 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.2.7 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load

Growth, High Price Elasticity Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 34 

### Figure 10B.2.8 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, High Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.2.9 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, High Price Elasticity Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 35 

### 10B.2.6.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.53 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.94 1.93 1.93 1.90 1.91 1.89 1.76

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.65

- 5.15

- 5.35

- 8.65

- 9.14

- 12.69

- 42.58

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 65.53 6.54 11.48 12.31 20.18 20.05 22.43 30.26

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.09 1.90 2.05 3.46 3.44 3.92 5.48

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.89 6.32 6.96 11.53 10.91 9.73

- 12.32



### Table 10B.2.54 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.611 0.611 0.608 0.601 0.596 0.580

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.02

- 2.03

- 3.48

- 6.25

- 8.42

- 16.66

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.33 10.99 13.73 19.61 19.90 21.59

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 3.01 4.30 4.35 4.70

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.31 8.97 10.25 13.36 11.47 4.9310B

- 36 

### Table 10B.2.55 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.221 0.219 0.219 0.211

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.163

- 0.476

- 1.23

- 1.23

- 3.73

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.655 1.26 2.33 2.33 3.54

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.146 0.284 0.520 0.520 0.803

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.491 0.781 1.10 1.10

- 0.189



### Table 10B.2.56 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.796 0.788 0.788 0.783 0.780 0.774 0.729

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.17

- 3.67

- 3.68

- 5.32

- 6.20

- 8.24

- 27.60

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.59 1.63 6.57 6.63 10.31 10.69 11.65 15.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.296 1.10 1.11 1.78 1.86 2.05 2.82

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.464 2.90 2.95 4.99 4.50 3.42

- 12.2010B

- 37 

### Table 10B.2.57 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.03

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.49

- 1.49

- 1.68

- 3.32

- 2.95

- 4.46

- 14.97

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.94 4.91 4.91 5.69 9.87 9.36 10.77 14.85

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.796 0.796 0.940 1.68 1.59 1.87 2.66

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.42 3.42 4.01 6.54 6.41 6.32

- 0.122



### Table 10B.2.58 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.020

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.251

- 0.433

- 0.433

- 0.925

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.472 0.638 0.638 0.695

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.105 0.140 0.140 0.152

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.222 0.205 0.205

- 0.23010B

- 38 

### Table 10B.2.59 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.590 0.590 0.587 0.580 0.575 0.560

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.02

- 2.03

- 3.23

- 5.82

- 7.99

- 15.74

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.33 10.99 13.26 18.97 19.26 20.89

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 2.90 4.16 4.21 4.55

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.31 8.97 10.03 13.16 11.27 5.16



### Table 10B.2.60 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0066

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0066

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0015

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014

- 0.000110B

- 39 

### Table 10B.2.61 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.031

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.481

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.136 0.141 0.141 0.432

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.099

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.089 0.093 0.093

- 0.049



### Table 10B.2.62 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0041

- 0.0041

- 0.011

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0075 0.0075 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0024

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0020 0.0033 0.0033

- 0.000510B

- 40 

### Table 10B.2.63 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.172 0.171 0.169 0.169 0.163

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.152

- 0.383

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 3.02

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.551 1.03 2.10 2.10 2.86

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.232 0.466 0.466 0.647

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.399 0.648 0.963 0.963

- 0.161



### Table 10B.2.64 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0016

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.000210B

- 41 

### Table 10B.2.65 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.044

- 0.044

- 0.044

- 0.215

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.084 0.084 0.084 0.237

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.053

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.019 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.022



### 10B.2.6.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.66 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.94 1.93 1.93 1.90 1.91 1.89 1.76

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.47

- 2.85

- 2.96

- 4.78

- 5.05

- 7.01

- 23.48

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 22.42 2.24 3.92 4.21 6.90 6.85 7.66 10.31

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.09 1.90 2.05 3.46 3.44 3.92 5.48

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.770 1.08 1.25 2.12 1.80 0.653

- 13.1610B

- 42 

### Table 10B.2.67 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.611 0.611 0.608 0.601 0.596 0.580

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.12

- 1.12

- 1.93

- 3.46

- 4.67

- 9.23

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.54 3.77 4.71 6.73 6.83 7.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 3.01 4.30 4.35 4.70

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.43 2.65 2.78 3.27 2.16

- 1.82



### Table 10B.2.68 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.221 0.219 0.219 0.211

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.264

- 0.682

- 0.682

- 2.07

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.431 0.800 0.800 1.22

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.146 0.284 0.520 0.520 0.803

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.134 0.167 0.118 0.118

- 0.85210B

- 43 

### Table 10B.2.69 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.796 0.788 0.788 0.783 0.780 0.774 0.729

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.645

- 2.02

- 2.03

- 2.94

- 3.42

- 4.55

- 15.22

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.15 0.558 2.25 2.27 3.52 3.65 3.98 5.25

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.296 1.10 1.11 1.78 1.86 2.05 2.82

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.087 0.220 0.235 0.585 0.233

- 0.566

- 9.97



### Table 10B.2.70 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.03

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.821

- 0.821

- 0.926

- 1.84

- 1.63

- 2.46

- 8.25

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.27 1.68 1.68 1.94 3.37 3.20 3.68 5.06

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.796 0.796 0.940 1.68 1.59 1.87 2.66

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.857 0.857 1.02 1.54 1.57 1.22

- 3.1910B

- 44 

### Table 10B.2.71 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.020

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.139

- 0.240

- 0.240

- 0.512

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.162 0.219 0.219 0.239

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.105 0.140 0.140 0.152

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.023

- 0.021

- 0.021

- 0.274



### Table 10B.2.72 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.590 0.590 0.587 0.580 0.575 0.560

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.12

- 1.12

- 1.79

- 3.22

- 4.43

- 8.72

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.54 3.77 4.55 6.51 6.61 7.17

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 2.90 4.16 4.21 4.55

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.43 2.65 2.76 3.29 2.18

- 1.5510B

- 45 

### Table 10B.2.73 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0037

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0022

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0015

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.001410B

- 46 

### Table 10B.2.74 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.031

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.267

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.048 0.048 0.148

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.099

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.021 0.022 0.022

- 0.118



### Table 10B.2.75 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0061

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0036

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0024

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.002510B

- 47 

### Table 10B.2.76 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.172 0.171 0.169 0.169 0.163

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.084

- 0.212

- 0.628

- 0.628

- 1.67

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.189 0.354 0.719 0.719 0.981

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.232 0.466 0.466 0.647

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.105 0.142 0.091 0.091

- 0.692



### Table 10B.2.77 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0008

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.000310B

- 48 

### Table 10B.2.78 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.119

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.081

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.053

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0052 0.0044 0.0044 0.0044

- 0.038



### 10B.2.7 Low Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.2.10 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load

Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low

Economic Growth Scenario - 20.0 - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 49 

### Figure 10B.2.11 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

Low Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.2.12 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

Low Economic Growth Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.5 - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 50 

### 10B.2.7.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.79 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.69

- 5.25

- 5.45

- 8.86

- 9.38

- 13.10

- 45.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 61.92 6.26 11.00 11.82 19.52 19.40 21.90 31.36

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.57 5.76 6.36 10.66 10.03 8.80

- 14.61



### Table 10B.2.80 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.52

- 6.39

- 8.67

- 17.51

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.28 9.84 10.47 13.14 18.94 19.35 21.44

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 7.80 8.43 9.62 12.55 10.68 3.9310B

- 51 

### Table 10B.2.81 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.480

- 1.25

- 1.26

- 3.91

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 5.92 0.620 1.20 2.25 2.25 3.51

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.456 0.717 0.990 0.990

- 0.401



### Table 10B.2.82 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.73

- 3.74

- 5.44

- 6.35

- 8.49

- 29.70

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.79 1.55 6.30 6.36 9.94 10.34 11.34 15.84

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.372 2.57 2.61 4.49 3.99 2.86

- 13.8610B

- 52 

### Table 10B.2.83 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.51

- 1.51

- 1.71

- 3.42

- 3.03

- 4.61

- 16.27

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 31.13 4.71 4.71 5.46 9.59 9.07 10.55 15.52

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.19 3.19 3.75 6.17 6.04 5.94

- 0.749



### Table 10B.2.84 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.255

- 0.447

- 0.447

- 0.979

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.936 0.0000 0.0000 0.455 0.622 0.622 0.695

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.200 0.175 0.175

- 0.28410B

- 53 

### Table 10B.2.85 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.27

- 5.94

- 8.22

- 16.53

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 28.35 9.84 10.47 12.69 18.32 18.73 20.75

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 7.80 8.43 9.42 12.38 10.51 4.21



### Table 10B.2.86 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s

(Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0069

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.011 0.0009 0.0016 0.0019 0.0019 0.0065

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0010 0.0013 0.0013

- 0.000410B

- 54 

### Table 10B.2.87 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.504

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.776 0.070 0.129 0.134 0.134 0.428

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.066 0.082 0.085 0.085

- 0.077



### Table 10B.2.88 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.017 0.0020 0.0031 0.0072 0.0072 0.010

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0013 0.0018 0.0030 0.0030

- 0.001110B

- 55 

### Table 10B.2.89 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.386

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.67 0.523 0.982 2.02 2.02 2.83

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.370 0.596 0.865 0.865

- 0.333



### Table 10B.2.90 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0031 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0016

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.000110B

- 56 

### Table 10B.2.91 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.223

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.447 0.025 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.232

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.018 0.036 0.036 0.036 0.0094



### 10B.2.7.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.92 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.90

- 3.01

- 4.90

- 5.18

- 7.24

- 25.39

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 21.55 2.18 3.83 4.11 6.79 6.75 7.62 10.90

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.689 0.931 1.10 1.90 1.57 0.381

- 14.4810B

- 57 

### Table 10B.2.93 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.95

- 3.54

- 4.80

- 9.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.22 3.43 3.66 4.59 6.61 6.75 7.48

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.31 2.52 2.63 3.07 1.95

- 2.22



### Table 10B.2.94 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.695

- 0.695

- 2.17

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.07 0.216 0.418 0.784 0.784 1.22

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.126 0.152 0.088 0.088

- 0.94210 B

- 58 

### Table 10B.2.95 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.653

- 2.06

- 2.07

- 3.01

- 3.51

- 4.69

- 16.40

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.72 0.541 2.19 2.21 3.46 3.60 3.95 5.51

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.112 0.129 0.143 0.450 0.087

- 0.742

- 10.89



### Table 10B.2.96 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.836

- 0.836

- 0.944

- 1.89

- 1.67

- 2.55

- 8.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.83 1.64 1.64 1.90 3.33 3.15 3.67 5.39

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.802 0.802 0.955 1.45 1.48 1.12

- 3.5910B

- 59 

### Table 10B.2.97 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.248

- 0.248

- 0.543

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.327 0.0000 0.0000 0.159 0.217 0.217 0.243

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.017

- 0.030

- 0.030

- 0.300



### Table 10B.2.98 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.81

- 3.29

- 4.56

- 9.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 9.89 3.43 3.66 4.43 6.39 6.53 7.24

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.31 2.52 2.62 3.10 1.98

- 1.9210B

- 60 

### Table 10B.2.99 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0038

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0039 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0007 0.0023

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0016



### Table 10B.2.100 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.279

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.271 0.024 0.045 0.047 0.047 0.149

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.022 0.019 0.020 0.020

- 0.13010B

- 61 

### Table 10B.2.101 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0064

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0059 0.0007 0.0011 0.0025 0.0025 0.0036

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0002 0.0002

- 0.0028



### Table 10B.2.102 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.641

- 0.641

- 1.75

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.63 0.182 0.343 0.705 0.705 0.988

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.098 0.129 0.065 0.065

- 0.76510B

- 62 

### Table 10B.2.103 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.0003



### Table 10B.2.104 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.124

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.156 0.0086 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.081

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0049 0.0033 0.0033 0.0033

- 0.04210B

- 63 

### 10B.2.8 High Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.2.13 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load

Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High

Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.2.14 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Economic Growth Scenario - 20.0 - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 64 

### Figure 10B.2.15 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Economic Growth Scenario

10B.2.8.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.105 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.69

- 5.25

- 5.45

- 8.86

- 9.38

- 13.10

- 45.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 66.91 6.77 11.89 12.77 21.10 20.97 23.66 33.89

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 4.07 6.65 7.32 12.24 11.59 10.56

- 12.08 

### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 65 

### Table 10B.2.106 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.52

- 6.39

- 8.67

- 17.51

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 31.63 10.63 11.31 14.20 20.46 20.90 23.17

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.59 9.27 10.67 14.07 12.23 5.65



### Table 10B.2.107 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.480

- 1.25

- 1.26

- 3.91

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.40 0.670 1.29 2.43 2.43 3.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.506 0.813 1.17 1.17

- 0.12010B

- 66 

### Table 10B.2.108 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.73

- 3.74

- 5.44

- 6.35

- 8.49

- 29.70

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 33.28 1.68 6.81 6.87 10.74 11.17 12.26 17.12

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.498 3.07 3.13 5.30 4.82 3.77

- 12.58



### Table 10B.2.109 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.51

- 1.51

- 1.71

- 3.42

- 3.03

- 4.61

- 16.27

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 33.64 5.09 5.09 5.90 10.36 9.80 11.40 16.77

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.57 3.57 4.19 6.94 6.77 6.79 0.50310B

- 67 

### Table 10B.2.110 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.255

- 0.447

- 0.447

- 0.979

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.01 0.0000 0.0000 0.491 0.672 0.672 0.751

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.236 0.225 0.225

- 0.228



### Table 10B.2.111 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.27

- 5.94

- 8.22

- 16.53

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.62 10.63 11.31 13.71 19.79 20.23 22.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.59 9.27 10.44 13.85 12.01 5.8810B

- 68 

### Table 10B.2.112 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0069

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0017 0.0020 0.0020 0.0070

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0012 0.0014 0.0014 0.0001



### Table 10B.2.113 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.504

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.839 0.076 0.140 0.145 0.145 0.462

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.072 0.092 0.096 0.096

- 0.04210B

- 69 

### Table 10B.2.114 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0034 0.0078 0.0078 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0021 0.0035 0.0035

- 0.0003



### Table 10B.2.115 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.386

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 5.04 0.565 1.06 2.18 2.18 3.06

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.412 0.675 1.03 1.03

- 0.10610B

- 70 

### Table 10B.2.116 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002



### Table 10B.2.117 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.223

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.483 0.027 0.087 0.087 0.087 0.251

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.020 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.02810B

- 71 

### 10B.2.8.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.118 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.90

- 3.01

- 4.90

- 5.18

- 7.24

- 25.39

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 22.77 2.30 4.05 4.34 7.18 7.13 8.05 11.52

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.813 1.15 1.33 2.28 1.95 0.813

- 13.86



### Table 10B.2.119 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.95

- 3.54

- 4.80

- 9.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.80 3.63 3.86 4.85 6.98 7.13 7.91

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.50 2.73 2.89 3.44 2.33

- 1.8010B

- 72 

### Table 10B.2.120 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.695

- 0.695

- 2.17

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.18 0.229 0.441 0.828 0.828 1.29

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.138 0.175 0.132 0.132

- 0.873



### Table 10B.2.121 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.653

- 2.06

- 2.07

- 3.01

- 3.51

- 4.69

- 16.40

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.32 0.571 2.32 2.34 3.65 3.80 4.17 5.82

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.082 0.253 0.269 0.646 0.291

- 0.518

- 10.5810B

- 73 

### Table 10B.2.122 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.836

- 0.836

- 0.944

- 1.89

- 1.67

- 2.55

- 8.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.45 1.73 1.73 2.01 3.52 3.33 3.88 5.70

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.895 0.895 1.06 1.64 1.66 1.33

- 3.28



### Table 10B.2.123 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.248

- 0.248

- 0.543

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.345 0.0000 0.0000 0.168 0.229 0.229 0.256

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.026

- 0.018

- 0.018

- 0.28610B

- 74 

### Table 10B.2.124 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.81

- 3.29

- 4.56

- 9.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.45 3.63 3.86 4.68 6.75 6.90 7.65

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.50 2.73 2.87 3.46 2.35

- 1.51



### Table 10B.2.125 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0038

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0042 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.001410B

- 75 

### Table 10B.2.126 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.279

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.286 0.026 0.048 0.050 0.050 0.158

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.024 0.022 0.022 0.022

- 0.122



### Table 10B.2.127 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0064

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0063 0.0007 0.0012 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.002610B

- 76 

### Table 10B.2.128 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.641

- 0.641

- 1.75

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.72 0.193 0.362 0.745 0.745 1.04

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.108 0.148 0.104 0.104

- 0.709



### Table 10B.2.129 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.000310B

- 77 

### Table 10B.2.130 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.124

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.165 0.0091 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.086

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0053 0.0049 0.0049 0.0048

- 0.038



### 10B.2.9 Low Price Trend Scenario

Figure 10B.2.16 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load

Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low

Price Trend Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 78 

### Figure 10B.2.17 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

Low Price Trend Scenar io

Figure 10B.2.18 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

Low Price Trend Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 79 

### 10B.2.9.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.131 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 65.92

- 2.59

- 5.05

- 5.25

- 8.53

- 9.03

- 12.63

- 44.28

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 65.53 6.63 11.65 12.50 20.66 20.53 23.17 33.18

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 4.04 6.59 7.25 12.13 11.50 10.54

- 11.09



### Table 10B.2.132 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.88

- 1.95

- 1.96

- 3.35

- 6.08

- 8.26

- 16.76

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.41 11.08 13.91 20.04 20.47 22.69

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.46 9.13 10.56 13.96 12.21 5.9310B

- 80 

### Table 10B.2.133 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.86

- 0.156

- 0.456

- 1.20

- 1.20

- 3.73

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.656 1.27 2.38 2.38 3.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.501 0.810 1.18 1.18

- 0.016



### Table 10B.2.134 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 45.87

- 1.14

- 3.61

- 3.62

- 5.27

- 6.14

- 8.22

- 28.76

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.59 1.64 6.66 6.73 10.52 10.94 12.00 16.76

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.500 3.05 3.11 5.25 4.79 3.78

- 11.9910B

- 81 

### Table 10B.2.135 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.05

- 1.44

- 1.44

- 1.63

- 3.27

- 2.89

- 4.41

- 15.52

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.94 4.98 4.98 5.78 10.14 9.60 11.17 16.42

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.54 3.54 4.15 6.88 6.71 6.76 0.901



### Table 10B.2.136 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.929 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.245

- 0.429

- 0.429

- 0.942

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.481 0.658 0.658 0.736

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.237 0.229 0.229

- 0.20710B

- 82 

### Table 10B.2.137 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 18.95

- 1.95

- 1.96

- 3.10

- 5.65

- 7.83

- 15.82

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.41 11.08 13.42 19.38 19.81 21.95

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.46 9.13 10.32 13.73 11.99 6.13



### Table 10B.2.138 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0092

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0066

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0068

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014 0.000310B

- 83 

### Table 10B.2.139 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.613

- 0.0035

- 0.045

- 0.047

- 0.047

- 0.481

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.452

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.092 0.095 0.095

- 0.028



### Table 10B.2.140 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.015

- 0.0007

- 0.0012

- 0.0040

- 0.0040

- 0.011

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0021 0.0036 0.0036 0.000010B

- 84 

### Table 10B.2.141 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 3.86

- 0.145

- 0.367

- 1.10

- 1.10

- 3.02

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.14 2.14 2.99

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.408 0.672 1.04 1.04

- 0.022



### Table 10B.2.142 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0025 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.000210B

- 85 

### Table 10B.2.143 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.365

- 0.0064

- 0.042

- 0.042

- 0.043

- 0.212

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.246

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.020 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.034



### 10B.2.9.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.144 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 36.56

- 1.44

- 2.81

- 2.92

- 4.74

- 5.02

- 7.02

- 24.59

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 22.42 2.27 3.98 4.28 7.07 7.02 7.93 11.35

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.829 1.18 1.36 2.33 2.01 0.911

- 13.2410B

- 86 

### Table 10B.2.145 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.07

- 1.09

- 1.09

- 1.87

- 3.39

- 4.61

- 9.35

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.57 3.80 4.77 6.88 7.03 7.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.49 2.71 2.90 3.48 2.42

- 1.56



### Table 10B.2.146 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.71

- 0.087

- 0.255

- 0.668

- 0.668

- 2.08

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.815 0.815 1.27

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.138 0.180 0.148 0.148

- 0.80610B

- 87 

### Table 10B.2.147 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.43

- 0.635

- 2.00

- 2.01

- 2.92

- 3.41

- 4.56

- 15.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.15 0.563 2.28 2.30 3.60 3.74 4.11 5.73

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.072 0.275 0.291 0.675 0.331

- 0.458

- 10.23



### Table 10B.2.148 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.14

- 0.803

- 0.803

- 0.906

- 1.82

- 1.61

- 2.45

- 8.63

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.27 1.70 1.70 1.98 3.47 3.28 3.82 5.61

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.901 0.901 1.07 1.65 1.68 1.37

- 3.0210B

- 88 

### Table 10B.2.149 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.517 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.136

- 0.239

- 0.239

- 0.525

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.165 0.226 0.226 0.253

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.029

- 0.013

- 0.013

- 0.273



### Table 10B.2.150 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.55

- 1.09

- 1.09

- 1.73

- 3.15

- 4.37

- 8.82

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.57 3.80 4.61 6.65 6.80 7.53

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.49 2.71 2.88 3.50 2.43

- 1.2910B

- 89 

### Table 10B.2.151 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0051 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0037

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0013



### Table 10B.2.152 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.342

- 0.0020

- 0.025

- 0.026

- 0.026

- 0.268

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.155

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.022 0.023 0.023

- 0.11310B

- 90 

### Table 10B.2.153 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0086

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0022

- 0.0022

- 0.0061

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004

- 0.0024



### Table 10B.2.154 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.15

- 0.081

- 0.205

- 0.615

- 0.615

- 1.68

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.734 0.734 1.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.109 0.152 0.119 0.119

- 0.65510B

- 91 

### Table 10B.2.155 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario , 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0014 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0008

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.0002



### Table 10B.2.156 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.204

- 0.0036

- 0.024

- 0.024

- 0.024

- 0.119

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.084

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0053 0.0054 0.0054 0.0054

- 0.03410B

- 92 

### 10B.2.10 High Price Trend Scenario

Figure 10B.2.19 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load

Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High

Price Trend Scenario

Figure 10B.2.20 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Price Trend Scenario - 25.0 - 20.0 - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 93 

### Figure 10B.2.21 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Price Trend Scenario

10B.2.10.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.157 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 73.98

- 3.08

- 5.93

- 6.17

- 10.05

- 10.60

- 14.78

- 52.03

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 65.53 6.63 11.65 12.50 20.66 20.53 23.17 33.18

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.54 5.71 6.33 10.61 9.93 8.39

- 18.84 

### - 1.5 - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 94 

### Table 10B.2.158 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 22.77

- 2.35

- 2.36

- 4.17

- 7.50

- 10.15

- 20.22

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.41 11.08 13.91 20.04 20.47 22.69

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.06 8.72 9.74 12.54 10.32 2.47



### Table 10B.2.159 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.88

- 0.194

- 0.564

- 1.46

- 1.46

- 4.56

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.656 1.27 2.38 2.38 3.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.462 0.702 0.911 0.911

- 0.85210B

- 95 

### Table 10B.2.160 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario , 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 50.76

- 1.32

- 4.17

- 4.18

- 6.08

- 7.09

- 9.43

- 33.08

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.59 1.64 6.66 6.73 10.52 10.94 12.00 16.76

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.328 2.50 2.55 4.43 3.84 2.58

- 16.32



### Table 10B.2.161 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 23.22

- 1.77

- 1.77

- 1.99

- 3.97

- 3.51

- 5.35

- 18.95

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 32.94 4.98 4.98 5.78 10.14 9.60 11.17 16.42

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.22 3.22 3.78 6.18 6.08 5.82

- 2.5310B

- 96 

### Table 10B.2.162 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 1.05 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.294

- 0.509

- 0.509

- 1.11

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.481 0.658 0.658 0.736

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.187 0.149 0.149

- 0.375



### Table 10B.2.163 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 21.72

- 2.35

- 2.36

- 3.87

- 6.99

- 9.64

- 19.10

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.41 11.08 13.42 19.38 19.81 21.95

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.06 8.72 9.55 12.39 10.17 2.8510B

- 97 

### Table 10B.2.164 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario , 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.011

- 0.0001

- 0.0006

- 0.0007

- 0.0007

- 0.0080

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0068

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0010 0.0013 0.0013

- 0.0012



### Table 10B.2.165 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.739

- 0.0044

- 0.055

- 0.057

- 0.057

- 0.588

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.452

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.082 0.085 0.085

- 0.13610B

- 98 

### Table 10B.2.166 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.019

- 0.0008

- 0.0015

- 0.0049

- 0.0049

- 0.013

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0013 0.0018 0.0027 0.0027

- 0.0024



### Table 10B.2.167 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.67

- 0.181

- 0.454

- 1.35

- 1.35

- 3.69

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.14 2.14 2.99

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.372 0.585 0.789 0.789

- 0.69710B

- 99 

### Table 10B.2.168 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0030

- 0.0001

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0018

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

- 0.0001



### Table 10B.2.169 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.442

- 0.0077

- 0.052

- 0.052

- 0.053

- 0.262

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.246

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.018 0.033 0.033 0.033

- 0.01610B

- 100 

### 10B.2.10.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.2.170 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 40.33

- 1.67

- 3.22

- 3.35

- 5.45

- 5.75

- 8.02

- 28.21

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 22.42 2.27 3.98 4.28 7.07 7.02 7.93 11.35

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 1.11 1.93 2.09 3.55 3.53 4.05 6.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.598 0.766 0.930 1.62 1.27

- 0.091

- 16.86



### Table 10B.2.171 Low-Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 12.42

- 1.27

- 1.28

- 2.25

- 4.06

- 5.49

- 10.97

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.57 3.80 4.77 6.88 7.03 7.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.30 2.52 2.52 2.82 1.53

- 3.1810B

- 101 

### Table 10B.2.172 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 0 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 3.19

- 0.105

- 0.305

- 0.793

- 0.793

- 2.47

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.815 0.815 1.27

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.120 0.129 0.022 0.022

- 1.20



### Table 10B.2.173 Equipment Class 1, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 27.71

- 0.715

- 2.26

- 2.27

- 3.31

- 3.85

- 5.13

- 17.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.15 0.563 2.28 2.30 3.60 3.74 4.11 5.73

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.298 1.12 1.13 1.81 1.90 2.11 3.06

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.153 0.015 0.029 0.293

- 0.112

- 1.02

- 12.2410B

- 102 

### Table 10B.2.174 Equipment Class 2, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 12.61

- 0.953

- 0.953

- 1.08

- 2.14

- 1.90

- 2.89

- 10.23

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.27 1.70 1.70 1.98 3.47 3.28 3.82 5.61

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.809 0.809 0.956 1.73 1.63 1.94 2.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.751 0.751 0.900 1.33 1.38 0.929

- 4.62



### Table 10B.2.175 Equipment Class 3, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.574 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.160

- 0.277

- 0.277

- 0.604

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.165 0.226 0.226 0.253

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0055

- 0.051

- 0.051

- 0.35110B

- 103 

### Table 10B.2.176 Equipment Class 4, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.85

- 1.27

- 1.28

- 2.09

- 3.78

- 5.22

- 10.36

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.57 3.80 4.61 6.65 6.80 7.53

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.30 2.52 2.51 2.87 1.58

- 2.83



### Table 10B.2.177 Equipment Class 5, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0060 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0044

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0002 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.002010B

- 104 

### Table 10B.2.178 Equipment Class 6, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.401

- 0.0024

- 0.030

- 0.031

- 0.031

- 0.318

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.155

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.017 0.018 0.018

- 0.163



### Table 10B.2.179 Equipment Class 7, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario

, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.010

- 0.0004

- 0.0008

- 0.0027

- 0.0027

- 0.0073

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0001

- 0.0001

- 0.003510B

- 105 

### Table 10B.2.180 Equipment Class 8, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.53

- 0.098

- 0.246

- 0.731

- 0.731

- 2.00

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.734 0.734 1.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.092 0.111 0.0029 0.0029

- 0.972



### Table 10B.2.181 Equipment Class 9, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0017 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0010

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.000410B

- 106 

### Table 10B.2.182 Equipment Class 10, 0 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.240

- 0.0042

- 0.028

- 0.028

- 0.028

- 0.142

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.084

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0047 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008

- 0.05710B

- 107 

### 10B.3 1 PERCENT LOAD GROWTH

, LIQUID

- IMMERSED (0 PERCENT DRY

TYPE)

10B.3.11 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.3.1 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load

Growth , Low Price Elasticity Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 108 

### Figure 10B.3.2 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.3.3 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.5 - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 109 

### 10B.3.11.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.1 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.70

- 5.27

- 5.48

- 8.92

- 9.43

- 13.20

- 46.86

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 75.03 5.83 10.10 11.12 19.76 19.68 23.56 38.34

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.923 1.57 1.76 3.33 3.32 4.13 7.17

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.13 4.84 5.64 10.84 10.25 10.36

- 8.52



### Table 10B.3.2 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.05

- 3.54

- 6.42

- 8.73

- 17.73

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.43 11.10 13.95 20.15 20.62 22.97

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.41 4.51 5.00

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.39 9.06 10.41 13.73 11.89 5.2410B

- 110 

### Table 10B.3.3 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.481

- 1.26

- 1.26

- 3.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.657 1.27 2.39 2.39 3.76

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.287 0.532 0.532 0.851

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.493 0.788 1.13 1.13

- 0.200



### Table 10B.3.4 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.75

- 3.76

- 5.47

- 6.39

- 8.55

- 30.25

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.08 1.89 6.17 6.21 10.05 10.77 12.33 19.67

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.00 1.01 1.70 1.86 2.18 3.73

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.707 2.42 2.45 4.58 4.38 3.78

- 10.5810B

- 111 

### Table 10B.3.5 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.52

- 1.52

- 1.72

- 3.44

- 3.04

- 4.65

- 16.61

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.95 3.94 3.94 4.90 9.70 8.91 11.23 18.67

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.567 0.567 0.752 1.63 1.46 1.94 3.44

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.42 2.42 3.19 6.26 5.86 6.58 2.06



### Table 10B.3.6 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.257

- 0.450

- 0.450

- 0.993

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.484 0.663 0.663 0.746

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.145 0.145 0.163

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.227 0.213 0.213

- 0.24710B

- 112 

### Table 10B.3.7 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.05

- 3.28

- 5.97

- 8.28

- 16.74

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.43 11.10 13.47 19.49 19.95 22.23

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.95 4.27 4.37 4.84

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.39 9.06 10.19 13.51 11.67 5.49



### Table 10B.3.8 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0070

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0069

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014

- 0.000110B

- 113 

### Table 10B.3.9 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.510

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.458

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.105

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.090 0.093 0.093

- 0.052



### Table 10B.3.10 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0020 0.0034 0.0034

- 0.000510B

- 114 

### Table 10B.3.11 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.387

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.20

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.15 2.15 3.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.478 0.478 0.686

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.401 0.654 0.987 0.987

- 0.171



### Table 10B.3.12 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0016

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.000210B

- 115 

### Table 10B.3.13 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.225

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.248

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.019 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.023



### 10B.3.11.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.14 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.91

- 3.03

- 4.93

- 5.21

- 7.29

- 25.89

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 24.79 2.07 3.60 3.94 6.86 6.83 8.04 12.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.923 1.57 1.76 3.33 3.32 4.13 7.17

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.577 0.694 0.911 1.93 1.61 0.750

- 13.1810B

- 116 

### Table 10B.3.15 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth, Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.617

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.14

- 1.96

- 3.56

- 4.84

- 9.83

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.58 3.81 4.79 6.92 7.08 7.88

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.41 4.51 5.00

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.68 2.83 3.36 2.24

- 1.94



### Table 10B.3.16 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Low

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.223

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.699

- 0.699

- 2.19

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.819 0.819 1.29

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.287 0.532 0.532 0.851

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.135 0.169 0.120 0.120

- 0.90310B

- 117 

### Table 10B.3.17 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800 0.800

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.655

- 2.07

- 2.08

- 3.02

- 3.53

- 4.72

- 16.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.27 0.625 2.16 2.18 3.49 3.71 4.20 6.49

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.00 1.01 1.70 1.86 2.18 3.73

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.030 0.087 0.099 0.463 0.177

- 0.526

- 10.22



### Table 10B.3.18 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.839

- 0.839

- 0.948

- 1.90

- 1.68

- 2.57

- 9.18

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.52 1.45 1.45 1.76 3.37 3.12 3.85 6.22

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.567 0.567 0.752 1.63 1.46 1.94 3.44

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.607 0.607 0.813 1.47 1.44 1.28

- 2.9610B

- 118 

### Table 10B.3.19 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.249

- 0.249

- 0.550

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.166 0.228 0.228 0.256

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.145 0.145 0.163

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.024

- 0.022

- 0.022

- 0.294



### Table 10B.3.20 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596 0.596

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.14

- 1.82

- 3.31

- 4.59

- 9.28

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.58 3.81 4.62 6.69 6.85 7.63

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.95 4.27 4.37 4.84

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.68 2.80 3.38 2.26

- 1.6510B

- 119 

### Table 10B.3.21 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0039

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0015



### Table 10B.3.22 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.283

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.157

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.105

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.021 0.022 0.022

- 0.12610B

- 120 

### Table 10B.3.23 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0024

- 0.0024

- 0.0065

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0026



### Table 10B.3.24 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.173

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.644

- 0.644

- 1.77

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.738 0.738 1.04

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.478 0.478 0.686

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.105 0.143 0.094 0.094

- 0.73410B

- 121 

### Table 10B.3.25 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.0003



### Table 10B.3.26 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Low Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.125

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.085

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0052 0.0044 0.0044 0.0044

- 0.04010B

- 122 

### 10B.3.12 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.3.4 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load

Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.3.5 Low-Voltage Dry -Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 123 

### Figure 10B.3.6 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

10B.3.12.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.27 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.69

- 5.25

- 5.45

- 8.86

- 9.38

- 13.10

- 45.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 75.03 5.81 10.07 11.07 19.64 19.56 23.37 37.47

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.12 4.82 5.62 10.78 10.19 10.27

- 8.50 

### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 124 

### Table 10B.3.28 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.52

- 6.39

- 8.67

- 17.51

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.41 11.08 13.91 20.04 20.47 22.69

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.38 9.04 10.38 13.65 11.80 5.17



### Table 10B.3.29 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.480

- 1.25

- 1.26

- 3.91

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.656 1.27 2.38 2.38 3.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.492 0.786 1.12 1.12

- 0.19810B

- 125 

### Table 10B.3.30 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.73

- 3.74

- 5.44

- 6.35

- 8.49

- 29.70

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.08 1.89 6.14 6.19 10.00 10.71 12.24 19.26

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.707 2.41 2.45 4.56 4.36 3.75

- 10.44



### Table 10B.3.31 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.51

- 1.51

- 1.71

- 3.42

- 3.03

- 4.61

- 16.27

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.95 3.92 3.92 4.88 9.64 8.85 11.13 18.21

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.41 2.41 3.17 6.22 5.83 6.52 1.9410B

- 126 

### Table 10B.3.32 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.255

- 0.447

- 0.447

- 0.979

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.481 0.658 0.658 0.736

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.226 0.212 0.212

- 0.243



### Table 10B.3.33 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.27

- 5.94

- 8.22

- 16.53

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.41 11.08 13.42 19.38 19.81 21.95

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.38 9.04 10.16 13.44 11.59 5.4210B

- 127 

### Table 10B.3.34 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0069

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0068

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014

- 0.0001



### Table 10B.3.35 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.504

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.452

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.090 0.093 0.093

- 0.05210B

- 128 

### Table 10B.3.36 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0020 0.0034 0.0034

- 0.0005



### Table 10B.3.37 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.386

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.14 2.14 2.99

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.400 0.653 0.982 0.982

- 0.16910B

- 129 

### Table 10B.3.38 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002



### Table 10B.3.39 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.223

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.246

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.019 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.02310B

- 130 

### 10B.3.12.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.40 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.90

- 3.01

- 4.90

- 5.18

- 7.24

- 25.39

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 24.79 2.06 3.59 3.92 6.81 6.78 7.97 12.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.575 0.692 0.909 1.92 1.60 0.739

- 12.97



### Table 10B.3.41 Low-Voltage Dry -Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.95

- 3.54

- 4.80

- 9.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.57 3.80 4.77 6.88 7.03 7.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.67 2.82 3.34 2.22

- 1.9210B

- 131 

### Table 10B.3.42 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.695

- 0.695

- 2.17

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.815 0.815 1.27

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.134 0.169 0.120 0.120

- 0.893



### Table 10B.3.43 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.653

- 2.06

- 2.07

- 3.01

- 3.51

- 4.69

- 16.40

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.27 0.623 2.15 2.17 3.47 3.69 4.16 6.35

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.029 0.088 0.099 0.462 0.177

- 0.523

- 10.0510B

- 132 

### Table 10B.3.44 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.836

- 0.836

- 0.944

- 1.89

- 1.67

- 2.55

- 8.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.52 1.44 1.44 1.75 3.34 3.10 3.81 6.06

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.605 0.605 0.809 1.46 1.43 1.26

- 2.92



### Table 10B.3.45 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.248

- 0.248

- 0.543

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.165 0.226 0.226 0.253

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.024

- 0.022

- 0.022

- 0.29010B

- 133 

### Table 10B.3.46 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.81

- 3.29

- 4.56

- 9.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.57 3.80 4.61 6.65 6.80 7.53

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.45 2.67 2.80 3.36 2.24

- 1.63



### Table 10B.3.47 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0038

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.001510B

- 134 

### Table 10B.3.48 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.279

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.155

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.021 0.022 0.022

- 0.124



### Table 10B.3.49 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0064

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.002610B

- 135 

### Table 10B.3.50 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.641

- 0.641

- 1.75

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.734 0.734 1.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.105 0.143 0.093 0.093

- 0.725



### Table 10B.3.51 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.000310B

- 136 

### Table 10B.3.52 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.124

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.084

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0052 0.0044 0.0044 0.0044

- 0.039



### 10B.3.13 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.3.7 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load

Growth , High Price Elasticity Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 137 

### Figure 10B.3.8 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , High Price Elasticity Scenario

Figure 10B.3.9 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , High Price Elasticity Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 138 

### 10B.3.13.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.53 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.94 1.93 1.93 1.90 1.91 1.89 1.76

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.65

- 5.15

- 5.35

- 8.65

- 9.14

- 12.69

- 42.58

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 75.03 5.74 9.91 10.90 19.17 19.10 22.61 34.17

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.907 1.54 1.73 3.23 3.22 3.96 6.39

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.08 4.76 5.54 10.52 9.95 9.91

- 8.40



### Table 10B.3.54 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.611 0.611 0.608 0.601 0.596 0.580

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.02

- 2.03

- 3.48

- 6.25

- 8.42

- 16.66

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.33 10.99 13.73 19.61 19.90 21.59

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 3.01 4.30 4.35 4.70

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.31 8.97 10.25 13.36 11.47 4.9310B

- 139 

### Table 10B.3.55 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.221 0.219 0.219 0.211

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.163

- 0.476

- 1.23

- 1.23

- 3.73

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.655 1.26 2.33 2.33 3.54

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.146 0.284 0.520 0.520 0.803

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.491 0.781 1.10 1.10

- 0.189



### Table 10B.3.56 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.796 0.788 0.788 0.783 0.780 0.774 0.729

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.17

- 3.67

- 3.68

- 5.32

- 6.20

- 8.24

- 27.60

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.08 1.87 6.05 6.10 9.80 10.47 11.88 17.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.353 0.984 0.991 1.66 1.81 2.10 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.707 2.38 2.42 4.48 4.27 3.64

- 9.8910B

- 140 

### Table 10B.3.57 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.03

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.49

- 1.49

- 1.68

- 3.32

- 2.95

- 4.46

- 14.97

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.95 3.86 3.86 4.80 9.37 8.63 10.73 16.46

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.554 0.554 0.734 1.57 1.42 1.86 3.03

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.38 2.38 3.12 6.04 5.68 6.27 1.49



### Table 10B.3.58 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.020

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.251

- 0.433

- 0.433

- 0.925

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.472 0.638 0.638 0.695

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.105 0.140 0.140 0.152

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.222 0.205 0.205

- 0.23010B

- 141 

### Table 10B.3.59 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.590 0.590 0.587 0.580 0.575 0.560

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.02

- 2.03

- 3.23

- 5.82

- 7.99

- 15.74

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.33 10.99 13.26 18.97 19.26 20.89

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 2.90 4.16 4.21 4.55

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.31 8.97 10.03 13.16 11.27 5.16



### Table 10B.3.60 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0066

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0066

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0015

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014

- 0.000110B

- 142 

### Table 10B.3.61 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.031

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.481

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.136 0.141 0.141 0.432

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.099

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.089 0.093 0.093

- 0.049



### Table 10B.3.62 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0041

- 0.0041

- 0.011

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0075 0.0075 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0024

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0020 0.0033 0.0033

- 0.000510B

- 143 

### Table 10B.3.63 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.172 0.171 0.169 0.169 0.163

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.152

- 0.383

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 3.02

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.551 1.03 2.10 2.10 2.86

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.232 0.466 0.466 0.647

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.399 0.648 0.963 0.963

- 0.161



### Table 10B.3.64 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0016

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.000210B

- 144 

### Table 10B.3.65 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.044

- 0.044

- 0.044

- 0.215

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.084 0.084 0.084 0.237

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.053

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.019 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.022



### 10B.3.13.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.66 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price

Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.94 1.93 1.93 1.90 1.91 1.89 1.76

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.47

- 2.85

- 2.96

- 4.78

- 5.05

- 7.01

- 23.48

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 24.79 2.04 3.53 3.86 6.64 6.62 7.71 11.28

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.907 1.54 1.73 3.23 3.22 3.96 6.39

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.569 0.687 0.899 1.87 1.57 0.697

- 12.1910B

- 145 

### Table 10B.3.67 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.611 0.611 0.608 0.601 0.596 0.580

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.12

- 1.12

- 1.93

- 3.46

- 4.67

- 9.23

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.54 3.77 4.71 6.73 6.83 7.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 3.01 4.30 4.35 4.70

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.43 2.65 2.78 3.27 2.16

- 1.82



### Table 10B.3.68 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth, High

Price Elasticity Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.221 0.219 0.219 0.211

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.264

- 0.682

- 0.682

- 2.07

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.431 0.800 0.800 1.22

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.146 0.284 0.520 0.520 0.803

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.134 0.167 0.118 0.118

- 0.85210B

- 146 

### Table 10B.3.69 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.796 0.788 0.788 0.783 0.780 0.774 0.729

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.645

- 2.02

- 2.03

- 2.94

- 3.42

- 4.55

- 15.22

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.27 0.618 2.12 2.13 3.40 3.60 4.04 5.83

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.353 0.984 0.991 1.66 1.81 2.10 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.027 0.091 0.103 0.457 0.177

- 0.510

- 9.40



### Table 10B.3.70 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.03

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.821

- 0.821

- 0.926

- 1.84

- 1.63

- 2.46

- 8.25

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.52 1.42 1.42 1.72 3.25 3.02 3.67 5.46

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.554 0.554 0.734 1.57 1.42 1.86 3.03

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.596 0.596 0.797 1.41 1.39 1.21

- 2.7910B

- 147 

### Table 10B.3.71 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.020

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.139

- 0.240

- 0.240

- 0.512

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.162 0.219 0.219 0.239

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.105 0.140 0.140 0.152

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.023

- 0.021

- 0.021

- 0.274



### Table 10B.3.72 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.590 0.590 0.587 0.580 0.575 0.560

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.12

- 1.12

- 1.79

- 3.22

- 4.43

- 8.72

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.54 3.77 4.55 6.51 6.61 7.17

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.26 2.41 2.90 4.16 4.21 4.55

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.43 2.65 2.76 3.29 2.18

- 1.5510B

- 148 

### Table 10B.3.73 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0037

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0022

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0015

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0014



### Table 10B.3.74 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.031

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.267

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.048 0.048 0.148

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.099

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.021 0.022 0.022

- 0.11810B

- 149 

### Table 10B.3.75 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0061

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0036

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0024

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0025



### Table 10B.3.76 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.172 0.171 0.169 0.169 0.163

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.084

- 0.212

- 0.628

- 0.628

- 1.67

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.189 0.354 0.719 0.719 0.981

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.232 0.466 0.466 0.647

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.105 0.142 0.091 0.091

- 0.69210B

- 150 

### Table 10B.3.77 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0008

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.0003



### Table 10B.3.78 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , High Price Elasticity

Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.119

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.081

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.053

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0052 0.0044 0.0044 0.0044

- 0.03810B

- 151 

### 10B.3.14 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.3.10 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load

Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low

Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.3.11 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Medium Price E lasticity Scenario,

Low Economic Growth Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 152 

### Figure 10B.3.12 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

Low Economic Growth Scenario

10B.3.14.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.79 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.69

- 5.25

- 5.45

- 8.86

- 9.38

- 13.10

- 45.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 70.71 5.51 9.54 10.49 18.58 18.51 22.08 35.32

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.81 4.30 5.04 9.71 9.13 8.98

- 10.64 

### - 1.5 - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 153 

### Table 10B.3.80 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.52

- 6.39

- 8.67

- 17.51

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.28 9.84 10.47 13.14 18.94 19.35 21.44

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 7.80 8.43 9.62 12.55 10.68 3.93



### Table 10B.3.81 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.480

- 1.25

- 1.26

- 3.91

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 5.92 0.620 1.20 2.25 2.25 3.51

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.456 0.717 0.990 0.990

- 0.40110B

- 154 

### Table 10B.3.82 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.73

- 3.74

- 5.44

- 6.35

- 8.49

- 29.70

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 34.95 1.78 5.81 5.86 9.46 10.13 11.56 18.15

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.598 2.08 2.12 4.02 3.78 3.07

- 11.55



### Table 10B.3.83 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.51

- 1.51

- 1.71

- 3.42

- 3.03

- 4.61

- 16.27

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 35.76 3.73 3.73 4.63 9.11 8.38 10.52 17.17

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.22 2.22 2.92 5.70 5.35 5.90 0.90410B

- 155 

### Table 10B.3.84 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.255

- 0.447

- 0.447

- 0.979

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.936 0.0000 0.0000 0.455 0.622 0.622 0.695

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.200 0.175 0.175

- 0.284



### Table 10B.3.85 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.27

- 5.94

- 8.22

- 16.53

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 28.35 9.84 10.47 12.69 18.32 18.73 20.75

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 7.80 8.43 9.42 12.38 10.51 4.2110B

- 156 

### Table 10B.3.86 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0069

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.011 0.0009 0.0016 0.0019 0.0019 0.0065

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0010 0.0013 0.0013

- 0.0004



### Table 10B.3.87 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.504

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.776 0.070 0.129 0.134 0.134 0.428

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.066 0.082 0.085 0.085

- 0.07710B

- 157 

### Table 10B.3.88 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.017 0.0020 0.0031 0.0072 0.0072 0.010

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0013 0.0018 0.0030 0.0030

- 0.0011



### Table 10B.3.89 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.386

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.67 0.523 0.982 2.02 2.02 2.83

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.370 0.596 0.865 0.865

- 0.33310B

- 158 

### Table 10B.3.90 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0031 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0016

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0001



### Table 10B.3.91 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.223

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.447 0.025 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.232

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.018 0.036 0.036 0.036 0.009410B

- 159 

### 10B.3.14.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.92 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.90

- 3.01

- 4.90

- 5.18

- 7.24

- 25.39

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 23.77 1.99 3.46 3.77 6.55 6.52 7.66 11.91

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.499 0.560 0.763 1.66 1.34 0.426

- 13.48



### Table 10B.3.93 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.95

- 3.54

- 4.80

- 9.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.22 3.43 3.66 4.59 6.61 6.75 7.48

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.31 2.52 2.63 3.07 1.95

- 2.2210B

- 160 

### Table 10B.3.94 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.695

- 0.695

- 2.17

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.07 0.216 0.418 0.784 0.784 1.22

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.126 0.152 0.088 0.088

- 0.942



### Table 10B.3.95 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.653

- 2.06

- 2.07

- 3.01

- 3.51

- 4.69

- 16.40

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 11.77 0.598 2.07 2.09 3.34 3.54 4.00 6.09

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.055 0.0063 0.017 0.329 0.034

- 0.687

- 10.3110B

- 161 

### Table 10B.3.96 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.836

- 0.836

- 0.944

- 1.89

- 1.67

- 2.55

- 8.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.01 1.39 1.39 1.69 3.22 2.98 3.66 5.81

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.554 0.554 0.745 1.33 1.31 1.11

- 3.17



### Table 10B.3.97 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.248

- 0.248

- 0.543

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.327 0.0000 0.0000 0.159 0.217 0.217 0.243

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.017

- 0.030

- 0.030

- 0.30010B

- 162 

### Table 10B.3.98 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.81

- 3.29

- 4.56

- 9.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 9.89 3.43 3.66 4.43 6.39 6.53 7.24

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.31 2.52 2.62 3.10 1.98

- 1.92



### Table 10B.3.99 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0038

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0039 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0007 0.0023

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.001610B

- 163 

### Table 10B.3.100 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.279

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.271 0.024 0.045 0.047 0.047 0.149

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.022 0.019 0.020 0.020

- 0.130



### Table 10B.3.101 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0064

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0059 0.0007 0.0011 0.0025 0.0025 0.0036

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0002 0.0002

- 0.002810B

- 164 

### Table 10B.3.102 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.641

- 0.641

- 1.75

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.63 0.182 0.343 0.705 0.705 0.988

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.098 0.129 0.065 0.065

- 0.765



### Table 10B.3.103 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.000310B

- 165 

### Table 10B.3.104 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.124

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.156 0.0086 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.081

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0049 0.0033 0.0033 0.0033

- 0.042



### 10B.3.15 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.3.13 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load

Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High

Economic Growth Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 166 

### Figure 10B.3.14 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Economic Growth Scenario

Figure 10B.3.15 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent

Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Economic Growth Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 167 

### 10B.3.15.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.105 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 67.67

- 2.69

- 5.25

- 5.45

- 8.86

- 9.38

- 13.10

- 45.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 76.68 5.93 10.27 11.30 20.05 19.97 23.86 38.29

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.24 5.02 5.84 11.18 10.60 10.76

- 7.67



### Table 10B.3.106 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.51

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.52

- 6.39

- 8.67

- 17.51

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 31.63 10.63 11.31 14.20 20.46 20.90 23.17

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.59 9.27 10.67 14.07 12.23 5.6510B

- 168 

### Table 10B.3.107 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.08

- 0.164

- 0.480

- 1.25

- 1.26

- 3.91

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.40 0.670 1.29 2.43 2.43 3.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.506 0.813 1.17 1.17

- 0.120



### Table 10B.3.108 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 46.93

- 1.18

- 3.73

- 3.74

- 5.44

- 6.35

- 8.49

- 29.70

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.89 1.93 6.27 6.32 10.21 10.94 12.50 19.68

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.749 2.54 2.57 4.77 4.59 4.01

- 10.0110B

- 169 

### Table 10B.3.109 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.74

- 1.51

- 1.51

- 1.71

- 3.42

- 3.03

- 4.61

- 16.27

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 38.78 4.00 4.00 4.98 9.84 9.03 11.36 18.60

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.49 2.49 3.27 6.42 6.01 6.75 2.34



### Table 10B.3.110 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.955 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.255

- 0.447

- 0.447

- 0.979

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.01 0.0000 0.0000 0.491 0.672 0.672 0.751

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.236 0.225 0.225

- 0.22810B

- 170 

### Table 10B.3.111 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.56

- 2.04

- 2.04

- 3.27

- 5.94

- 8.22

- 16.53

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.62 10.63 11.31 13.71 19.79 20.23 22.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.59 9.27 10.44 13.85 12.01 5.88



### Table 10B.3.112 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0096

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0069

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0017 0.0020 0.0020 0.0070

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0012 0.0014 0.0014 0.000110B

- 171 

### Table 10B.3.113 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.640

- 0.0037

- 0.047

- 0.049

- 0.049

- 0.504

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.839 0.076 0.140 0.145 0.145 0.462

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.072 0.092 0.096 0.096

- 0.042



### Table 10B.3.114 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.016

- 0.0007

- 0.0013

- 0.0042

- 0.0042

- 0.012

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0034 0.0078 0.0078 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0021 0.0035 0.0035

- 0.000310B

- 172 

### Table 10B.3.115 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.03

- 0.153

- 0.386

- 1.16

- 1.16

- 3.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 5.04 0.565 1.06 2.18 2.18 3.06

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.412 0.675 1.03 1.03

- 0.106



### Table 10B.3.116 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s

(Billion $ ) 0.0026 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.000210B

- 173 

### Table 10B.3.117 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.382

- 0.0067

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.045

- 0.223

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.483 0.027 0.087 0.087 0.087 0.251

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.020 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.028



### 10B.3.15.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.118 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 37.39

- 1.49

- 2.90

- 3.01

- 4.90

- 5.18

- 7.24

- 25.39

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 25.19 2.09 3.64 3.98 6.92 6.89 8.10 12.61

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.606 0.745 0.967 2.02 1.71 0.862

- 12.7710B

- 174 

### Table 10B.3.119 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.37

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.95

- 3.54

- 4.80

- 9.71

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.80 3.63 3.86 4.85 6.98 7.13 7.91

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.50 2.73 2.89 3.44 2.33

- 1.80



### Table 10B.3.120 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers , 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7

Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.82

- 0.091

- 0.266

- 0.695

- 0.695

- 2.17

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.18 0.229 0.441 0.828 0.828 1.29

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.138 0.175 0.132 0.132

- 0.87310B

- 175 

### Table 10B.3.121 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.93

- 0.653

- 2.06

- 2.07

- 3.01

- 3.51

- 4.69

- 16.40

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.47 0.633 2.18 2.20 3.52 3.74 4.23 6.46

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.019 0.120 0.132 0.514 0.234

- 0.458

- 9.95



### Table 10B.3.122 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.46

- 0.836

- 0.836

- 0.944

- 1.89

- 1.67

- 2.55

- 8.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.72 1.46 1.46 1.78 3.39 3.14 3.87 6.16

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.625 0.625 0.835 1.51 1.47 1.32

- 2.8310B

- 176 

### Table 10B.3.123 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.529 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.142

- 0.248

- 0.248

- 0.543

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.345 0.0000 0.0000 0.168 0.229 0.229 0.256

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.026

- 0.018

- 0.018

- 0.286



### Table 10B.3.124 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.84

- 1.13

- 1.13

- 1.81

- 3.29

- 4.56

- 9.16

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.45 3.63 3.86 4.68 6.75 6.90 7.65

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.50 2.73 2.87 3.46 2.35

- 1.5110B

- 177 

### Table 10B.3.125 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0053 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0038

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0042 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0014



### Table 10B.3.126 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.355

- 0.0021

- 0.026

- 0.027

- 0.027

- 0.279

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.286 0.026 0.048 0.050 0.050 0.158

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.024 0.022 0.022 0.022

- 0.12210B

- 178 

### Table 10B.3.127 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0090

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0023

- 0.0023

- 0.0064

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0063 0.0007 0.0012 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0026



### Table 10B.3.128 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.23

- 0.085

- 0.214

- 0.641

- 0.641

- 1.75

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.72 0.193 0.362 0.745 0.745 1.04

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.108 0.148 0.104 0.104

- 0.70910B

- 179 

### Table 10B.3.129 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0015 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0009

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.0003



### Table 10B.3.130 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth , Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Economic Growth Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.212

- 0.0037

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.025

- 0.124

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.165 0.0091 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.086

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0053 0.0049 0.0049 0.0048

- 0.03810B

- 180 

### 10B.3.16 Low Price Trend Scenario

Figure 10B.3.16 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load

Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low

Price Trend Scenario

Figure 10B.3.17 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

Low Price Trend Scenario - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 181 

### Figure 10B.3.18 Medi um -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

Low Price Trend Scenario

10B.3.16.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.131 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 65.92

- 2.59

- 5.05

- 5.25

- 8.53

- 9.03

- 12.63

- 44.28

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 75.03 5.81 10.07 11.07 19.64 19.56 23.37 37.47

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 3.23 5.01 5.82 11.11 10.53 10.73

- 6.81 

### - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 182 

### Table 10B.3.132 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 19.88

- 1.95

- 1.96

- 3.35

- 6.08

- 8.26

- 16.76

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.41 11.08 13.91 20.04 20.47 22.69

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.46 9.13 10.56 13.96 12.21 5.93



### Table 10B.3.133 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.86

- 0.156

- 0.456

- 1.20

- 1.20

- 3.73

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.656 1.27 2.38 2.38 3.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.501 0.810 1.18 1.18

- 0.01610B

- 183 

### Table 10B.3.134 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 45.87

- 1.14

- 3.61

- 3.62

- 5.27

- 6.14

- 8.22

- 28.76

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.08 1.89 6.14 6.19 10.00 10.71 12.24 19.26

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.744 2.53 2.57 4.74 4.57 4.01

- 9.50



### Table 10B.3.135 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 20.05

- 1.44

- 1.44

- 1.63

- 3.27

- 2.89

- 4.41

- 15.52

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.95 3.92 3.92 4.88 9.64 8.85 11.13 18.21

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.48 2.48 3.25 6.37 5.96 6.72 2.6910B

- 184 

### Table 10B.3.136 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.929 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.245

- 0.429

- 0.429

- 0.942

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.481 0.658 0.658 0.736

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.237 0.229 0.229

- 0.207



### Table 10B.3.137 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 18.95

- 1.95

- 1.96

- 3.10

- 5.65

- 7.83

- 15.82

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.41 11.08 13.42 19.38 19.81 21.95

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.46 9.13 10.32 13.73 11.99 6.1310B

- 185 

### Table 10B.3.138 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0092

- 0.0001

- 0.0005

- 0.0006

- 0.0006

- 0.0066

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0068

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0011 0.0014 0.0014 0.0003



### Table 10B.3.139 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.613

- 0.0035

- 0.045

- 0.047

- 0.047

- 0.481

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.452

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.092 0.095 0.095

- 0.02810B

- 186 

### Table 10B.3.140 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.015

- 0.0007

- 0.0012

- 0.0040

- 0.0040

- 0.011

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0014 0.0021 0.0036 0.0036 0.0000



### Table 10B.3.141 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 3.86

- 0.145

- 0.367

- 1.10

- 1.10

- 3.02

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.14 2.14 2.99

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.408 0.672 1.04 1.04

- 0.02210B

- 187 

### Table 10B.3.142 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0025 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0015

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002



### Table 10B.3.143 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.365

- 0.0064

- 0.042

- 0.042

- 0.043

- 0.212

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.246

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.020 0.042 0.042 0.042 0.03410B

- 188 

### 10B.3.16.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.144 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 36.56

- 1.44

- 2.81

- 2.92

- 4.74

- 5.02

- 7.02

- 24.59

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 24.79 2.06 3.59 3.92 6.81 6.78 7.97 12.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.626 0.783 1.00 2.07 1.76 0.959

- 12.18



### Table 10B.3.145 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.07

- 1.09

- 1.09

- 1.87

- 3.39

- 4.61

- 9.35

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.57 3.80 4.77 6.88 7.03 7.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.49 2.71 2.90 3.48 2.42

- 1.5610B

- 189 

### Table 10B.3.146 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.71

- 0.087

- 0.255

- 0.668

- 0.668

- 2.08

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.815 0.815 1.27

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.138 0.180 0.148 0.148

- 0.806



### Table 10B.3.147 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 25.43

- 0.635

- 2.00

- 2.01

- 2.92

- 3.41

- 4.56

- 15.96

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.27 0.623 2.15 2.17 3.47 3.69 4.16 6.35

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.012 0.145 0.157 0.546 0.275

- 0.399

- 9.6010B

- 190 

### Table 10B.3.148 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.14

- 0.803

- 0.803

- 0.906

- 1.82

- 1.61

- 2.45

- 8.63

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.52 1.44 1.44 1.75 3.34 3.10 3.81 6.06

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.638 0.638 0.847 1.53 1.49 1.36

- 2.57



### Table 10B.3.149 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.517 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.136

- 0.239

- 0.239

- 0.525

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.165 0.226 0.226 0.253

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.029

- 0.013

- 0.013

- 0.27310B

- 191 

### Table 10B.3.150 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 10.55

- 1.09

- 1.09

- 1.73

- 3.15

- 4.37

- 8.82

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.57 3.80 4.61 6.65 6.80 7.53

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.49 2.71 2.88 3.50 2.43

- 1.29



### Table 10B.3.151 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0051 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0003

- 0.0037

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.00131 0B

- 192 

### Table 10B.3.152 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.342

- 0.0020

- 0.025

- 0.026

- 0.026

- 0.268

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.155

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.022 0.023 0.023

- 0.113



### Table 10B.3.153 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0086

- 0.0004

- 0.0007

- 0.0022

- 0.0022

- 0.0061

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004

- 0.002410B

- 193 

### Table 10B.3.154 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.15

- 0.081

- 0.205

- 0.615

- 0.615

- 1.68

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.734 0.734 1.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.109 0.152 0.119 0.119

- 0.655



### Table 10B.3.155 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0014 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0008

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.000210B

- 194 

### Table 10B.3.156 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, Low Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.204

- 0.0036

- 0.024

- 0.024

- 0.024

- 0.119

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.084

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0053 0.0054 0.0054 0.0054

- 0.034



### 10B.3.17 High Price Trend Scenario

Figure 10B.3.19 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load

Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High

Price Trend Scenario - 20.0 - 15.0 - 10.0 - 5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Liquid

- Immersed Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 195 

### Figure 10B.3.20 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Price Trend Scenario

Figure 10B.3.21 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent

Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario,

High Price Trend Scenario - 4.0 - 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0

1 2 3 4 5 6Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Low

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%



### - 1.5 - 1.0 - 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90

1 2 3 4 5Net Present Value (Billion US$)Cumulative Source Energy Savings (Quads)



### Trial Standard Levels Cumulative Source Energy Savings and NPV for Medium

- Voltage Dry

- Type Units

Cumulative Source Savings 2105 (Quads) Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 7%

Net Present Value ($Billions) discounted at 3%10B

- 196 

### 10B.3.17.2 3 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.157 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 73.98

- 3.08

- 5.93

- 6.17

- 10.05

- 10.60

- 14.78

- 52.03

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 75.03 5.81 10.07 11.07 19.64 19.56 23.37 37.47

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.73 4.13 4.90 9.59 8.96 8.59

- 14.56



### Table 10B.3.158 Low-Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 22.77

- 2.35

- 2.36

- 4.17

- 7.50

- 10.15

- 20.22

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 30.98 10.41 11.08 13.91 20.04 20.47 22.69

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.06 8.72 9.74 12.54 10.32 2.4710B

- 197 

### Table 10B.3.159 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 5.88

- 0.194

- 0.564

- 1.46

- 1.46

- 4.56

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 6.26 0.656 1.27 2.38 2.38 3.71

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.462 0.702 0.911 0.911

- 0.852



### Table 10B.3.160 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 50.76

- 1.32

- 4.17

- 4.18

- 6.08

- 7.09

- 9.43

- 33.08

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.08 1.89 6.14 6.19 10.00 10.71 12.24 19.26

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.572 1.97 2.01 3.92 3.62 2.81

- 13.8210B

- 198 

### Table 10B.3.161 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 23.22

- 1.77

- 1.77

- 1.99

- 3.97

- 3.51

- 5.35

- 18.95

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 37.95 3.92 3.92 4.88 9.64 8.85 11.13 18.21

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.16 2.16 2.89 5.67 5.34 5.78

- 0.742



### Table 10B.3.162 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 1.05 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.294

- 0.509

- 0.509

- 1.11

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.991 0.0000 0.0000 0.481 0.658 0.658 0.736

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.187 0.149 0.149

- 0.37510B

- 199 

### Table 10B.3.163 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 21.72

- 2.35

- 2.36

- 3.87

- 6.99

- 9.64

- 19.10

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 29.99 10.41 11.08 13.42 19.38 19.81 21.95

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 8.06 8.72 9.55 12.39 10.17 2.85



### Table 10B.3.164 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.011

- 0.0001

- 0.0006

- 0.0007

- 0.0007

- 0.0080

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.012 0.0010 0.0016 0.0020 0.0020 0.0068

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0009 0.0010 0.0013 0.0013

- 0.001210B

- 200 

### Table 10B.3.165 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.739

- 0.0044

- 0.055

- 0.057

- 0.057

- 0.588

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.821 0.074 0.137 0.142 0.142 0.452

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.070 0.082 0.085 0.085

- 0.136



### Table 10B.3.166 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.019

- 0.0008

- 0.0015

- 0.0049

- 0.0049

- 0.013

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.018 0.0021 0.0033 0.0076 0.0076 0.011

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0013 0.0018 0.0027 0.0027

- 0.002410B

- 201 

### Table 10B.3.167 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 4.67

- 0.181

- 0.454

- 1.35

- 1.35

- 3.69

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 4.94 0.553 1.04 2.14 2.14 2.99

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.372 0.585 0.789 0.789

- 0.697



### Table 10B.3.168 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0030

- 0.0001

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0018

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0033 0.0002 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0017

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

- 0.000110B

- 202 

### Table 10B.3.169 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 3 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.442

- 0.0077

- 0.052

- 0.052

- 0.053

- 0.262

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.473 0.026 0.085 0.085 0.085 0.246

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.018 0.033 0.033 0.033

- 0.016



### 10B.3.17.3 7 Percent Discount Rate

Table 10B.3.170 Liquid

- Immersed Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.91

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 40.33

- 1.67

- 3.22

- 3.35

- 5.45

- 5.75

- 8.02

- 28.21

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 24.79 2.06 3.59 3.92 6.81 6.78 7.97 12.41

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.920 1.56 1.76 3.31 3.30 4.09 7.01

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.395 0.372 0.573 1.36 1.03

- 0.042

- 15.7910B

- 203 

### Table 10B.3.171 Low-Voltage Dry -Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount

Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.617 0.616 0.616 0.615 0.614 0.613 0.610

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 12.42

- 1.27

- 1.28

- 2.25

- 4.06

- 5.49

- 10.97

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.63 3.57 3.80 4.77 6.88 7.03 7.79

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 3.05 4.39 4.48 4.94

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.30 2.52 2.52 2.82 1.53

- 3.18



### Table 10B.3.172 Medium -Voltage Dry-Type Transformers, 1 Percent Load Growth,

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent

Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.223 0.223 0.223 0.222 0.222 0.221

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 3.19

- 0.105

- 0.305

- 0.793

- 0.793

- 2.47

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 2.15 0.225 0.435 0.815 0.815 1.27

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.147 0.286 0.530 0.530 0.841

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.120 0.129 0.022 0.022

- 1.2010B

- 204 

### Table 10B.3.173 Equipment Class 1, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.800 0.799 0.797 0.797 0.796 0.796 0.794 0.785

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 27.71

- 0.715

- 2.26

- 2.27

- 3.31

- 3.85

- 5.13

- 17.98

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.27 0.623 2.15 2.17 3.47 3.69 4.16 6.35

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.356 1.000 1.01 1.69 1.85 2.17 3.65

Net Present Value

(Billion $) - 0.092

- 0.115

- 0.104 0.164

- 0.168

- 0.962

- 11.62



### Table 10B.3.174 Equipment Class 2, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.13

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 12.61

- 0.953

- 0.953

- 1.08

- 2.14

- 1.90

- 2.89

- 10.23

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 12.52 1.44 1.44 1.75 3.34 3.10 3.81 6.06

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.564 0.564 0.748 1.62 1.45 1.93 3.36

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.487 0.487 0.677 1.20 1.20 0.919

- 4.1710B

- 205 

### Table 10B.3.175 Equipment Class 3, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.021 0.021 0.021

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.574 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.160

- 0.277

- 0.277

- 0.604

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.340 0.0000 0.0000 0.165 0.226 0.226 0.253

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.107 0.144 0.144 0.160

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0055

- 0.051

- 0.051

- 0.351



### Table 10B.3.176 Equipment Class 4, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.596 0.595 0.595 0.594 0.593 0.592 0.588

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 11.85

- 1.27

- 1.28

- 2.09

- 3.78

- 5.22

- 10.36

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 10.29 3.57 3.80 4.61 6.65 6.80 7.53

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 2.28 2.43 2.94 4.24 4.34 4.78

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 2.30 2.52 2.51 2.87 1.58

- 2.8310B

- 206 

### Table 10B.3.177 Equipment Class 5, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0060 0.0000

- 0.0003

- 0.0004

- 0.0004

- 0.0044

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0041 0.0003 0.0006 0.0007 0.0007 0.0024

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 0.0016

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0002 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0020



### Table 10B.3.178 Equipment Class 6, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.401

- 0.0024

- 0.030

- 0.031

- 0.031

- 0.318

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.282 0.025 0.047 0.049 0.049 0.155

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.016 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.104

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.023 0.017 0.018 0.018

- 0.16310B

- 207 

### Table 10B.3.179 Equipment Class 7, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.010

- 0.0004

- 0.0008

- 0.0027

- 0.0027

- 0.0073

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0062 0.0007 0.0011 0.0026 0.0026 0.0038

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0005 0.0007 0.0017 0.0017 0.0025

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0003 0.0003

- 0.0001

- 0.0001

- 0.0035



### Table 10B.3.180 Equipment Class 8, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.173 0.173 0.173 0.172 0.172 0.171

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 2.53

- 0.098

- 0.246

- 0.731

- 0.731

- 2.00

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $) 1.69 0.190 0.357 0.734 0.734 1.03

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.123 0.234 0.475 0.475 0.678

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.092 0.111 0.0029 0.0029

- 0.97210B

- 208 

### Table 10B.3.181 Equipment Class 9, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.0017 0.0000

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0002

- 0.0010

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.0011 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0006

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0004

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

- 0.0004



### Table 10B.3.182 Equipment Class 10, 1 Percent Load Growth, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario, High Price Trend Scenario, 7 Percent Discount Rate

Trial Standard Level

Base 1 2 3 4 5

Transformer

Shipments 2016

- 2045

(Billion KVA) 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016

Equipment Cost s (Billion $ ) 0.240

- 0.0042

- 0.028

- 0.028

- 0.028

- 0.142

Operating Cost

Savings (Billion $ ) 0.162 0.0089 0.029 0.029 0.029 0.084

Cumulative Source

Savings 2105 (Quads) 0.0062 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.055

Net Present Value

(Billion $) 0.0047 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008

- 0.057