### 10

- B

- 1 APPENDIX 10

- B. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVI NGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE

USING ALTERNATIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH SCENARIOS

TABLE OF CO NTENTS

10

- B.1 INTRODUCTION

................................ ................................ ............................... 10

- B

- 3

10

- B.2 NES AND NPV RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE EC ONOMIC

GROWTH SCENARIOS

................................ ................................ ..................... 10

- B

- 3

10

- B.2.1 NES/NPV Results Using High Economic Growth Scenario

............................... 10

- B

- 3

10

- B.2.2 NES/NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario

.............................. 10

- B

- 11

LIST OF TABLES

Table 10

- B.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

......... 10

- B

- 3

Table 10

- B.2.2 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air

Conditioners, 3% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector

(High Growth)

................................ ................................ .......................... 10

- B

- 4

Table 10

- B.2.3 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air

Condi tioners, 7% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector

(High Growth)

................................ ................................ .......................... 10

- B

- 4

Table 10

- B.2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth

........... 10

- B

- 5

Table 10

- B.2.5 Consumer Net Pres ent Value for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

......... 10

- B

- 6

Table 10

- B.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

................................ 10

- B

- 6

Table 10

- B.2.7 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Heat Pumps, Residential

and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

................................ ................... 10

- B

- 7

Table 10

- B.2.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

................................ 10

- B

- 7

Table 10

- B.2.9 Consumer Net Present Value for Single Package Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

................................ 10

- B

- 8

Table 10

- B.2.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Non

- Weatherized Gas

Furnaces, Residential Sector (High Growth)

................................ ........... 10

- B

- 8

Table 10

- B.2.11 Consumer Net Present Value for Non

- Weatherized Gas Furnaces,

Residential Sector (High Growth)

................................ ........................... 10

- B

- 9

Table 10

- B.2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Mobile Home Furnaces,

Residential Sector (High Growth)

................................ ........................... 10

- B

- 9

Table 10

- B.2.13 Consumer Net Present Value for Mobile Home Furnaces, Residential

Sector (High Growth)

................................ ................................ ............ 10

- B

- 10

Table 10

- B.2.14 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Oil

- fired Furnaces,

Residential Sector (High Growth)

................................ ......................... 10

- B

- 10

Table 10

- B.2.15 Consumer Net Present Value for Oil

- fired Furnaces, Residential Sector

(High Growth)

................................ ................................ ........................ 10

- B

- 11

### 10

- B

- 2 Table 10

- B.2.16 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

........ 10

- B

- 11

Table 10

- B.2.17 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air

Conditioners, 3% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector

(Low Growth)

................................ ................................ ........................ 10

- B

- 12

Table 10

- B.2.18 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air

Conditioners, 7% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector

(Low Growth)

................................ ................................ ........................ 10

- B

- 12

Table 10

- B.2.19 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Secto r (Low Growth)

........ 10

- B

- 13

Table 10

- B.2.20 Consumer Net Present Value for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Comm ercial Sector (Low Growth)

........ 10

- B

- 13

Table 10

- B.2.21 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

............................... 10

- B

- 14

Table 10

- B.2.22 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Heat Pumps, Residential

and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

................................ .................. 10

- B

- 14

Table 10

- B.2.23 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

............................... 10

- B

- 15

Table 10

- B.2.24 Consumer Net Present Value for Single Package Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

............................... 10

- B

- 15

Table 10

- B.2.25 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Non

- Weatherized Gas

Furnaces, Residential Sector (Low Growth)

................................ .......... 10

- B

- 16

Table 10

- B.2.26 Consumer Net Present Value for Non

- Weatherized Gas Furnaces,

Residential Sector (Low Growth)

................................ .......................... 10

- B

- 16

Table 10

- B.2.27 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Mobile Home Furnaces,

Residential Sector (Low Growth)

................................ .......................... 10

- B

- 17

Table 10

- B.2.28 Consumer Net Present Value for Mobile Home Furnaces, Residential

Sector (Low Growth)

................................ ................................ ............. 10

- B

- 17

Table 10

- B.2.29 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Oil

- fired Furnaces,

Residential Sector (Low Growth)

................................ .......................... 10

- B

- 18

Table 10

- B.2.30 Consumer Net Present Value for Oil

- fired Furnaces, Residential Sector

(Low Growth)

................................ ................................ ........................ 10

- B

- 18

### 10

- B

- 3 APPENDIX 10

- B. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVI NGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE

USING ALTERNATIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH SCENARIOS

10

- B.1 INTRODUCTION

This appendix presents national energy savings (NES) and net present value (NPV)

results using inputs from alternative economic growth scenarios . The scenarios are based on the

High Economic Growth case and the Low Economic Growth case from the AEO2010 1



### .

10

- B.2 NES AND NPV RESULTS USING ALTERN ATIVE ECONOMIC

GROWTH SCENARIOS

For each product class, DOE calculated NES and NPV using forecasts of housing starts

and energy pri ces from the High and Low Economic Growth cases. As one would expect, the

NPV results are most favorable using energy prices in the High Growth scenario, and least

favorable using prices in the Low Growth scenario.

10

- B.2.1 NES/NPV Results Using High Economic Grow th Scenario

Table 10

- B.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation ( quad) Hot

- Humid (quad) Hot

- Dry ( quad) Rest of C ou ntry ( quad)

Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil

1 0.105 0.084 0.020

- - - - - - - - -

2 a

- - - 0.052 0.043 0.010 0.015 0.012 0.003 0.026 0.020 0.005

2b

- - - 0.052 0.043 0.010 0.015 0.012 0.003 0.026 0.020 0.005

3 a

- - - 0.218 0.181 0.037 0.063 0.052 0.011

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

3b

- - - 0.218 0.181 0.037 0.063 0.052 0.011

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

4 a

- - - 0.246 0.207 0.040 0.071 0.060 0.012

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

4b

- - - 0.246 0.207 0.040 0.071 0.060 0.012

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

5

- - - 0.218 0.181 0.037 0.063 0.052 0.011

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

6

- - - 0.927 0.835 0.092 0.272 0.244 0.027 0.111 0.090 0.021

7

- - - 3.592 3.163 0.429 1.054 0.929 0.125 1.877 1.659 0.219

### 10

- B

- 4 Table 10

- B.2.2 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air Conditioners,

3% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation (bill 2009$) Hot

- Humid (bill 2009$) Hot

- Dry ( bill 2009$) Rest of C ou ntry (bill

2009$

Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil

1 0.51 0.42 0.09

- - - - - - - - -

2 a

- - - 0.25 0.21 0.04 0.18 0.15 0.03

- 0.08

- 0.07

- 0.01

2b

- - - 0.25 0.21 0.04 0.18 0.15 0.03

- 0.08

- 0.07

- 0.01

3 a

- - - 0.96 0.81 0.16 0.69 0.58 0.11

- 0.13

- 0.13 0.00

3b

- - - 0.96 0.81 0.16 0.69 0.58 0.11

- 0.13

- 0.13 0.00

4 a

- - - 1.12 0.95 0.17 0.80 0.69 0.12

- 0.14

- 0.14 0.00

4b

- - - 1.12 0.95 0.17 0.80 0.69 0.12

- 0.13

- 0.13 0.00

5

- - - 0.96 0.81 0.16 0.69 0.58 0.11

- 0.13

- 0.13 0.00

6

- - - - 3.52

- 3.87 0.35

- 2.50

- 2.75 0.25

- 0.47

- 0.42

- 0.05

7

- - - - 12.24

- 12.49 0.25

- 8.52

- 8.71 0.19

- 48.75

- 45.86

- 2.89



### Table 10

- B.2.3 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air Conditioners,

7% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation (bill 2009$) Hot

- Humid (bill 2009$) Hot

- Dry ( bill 2009$) Rest of C ou ntry (bill

2009$

Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil

1 0.16 0.13 0.02

- - - - - - - - -

2 a

- - - 0.09 0.08 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.01

- 0.09

- 0.08

- 0.01

2b

- - - 0.09 0.08 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.01

- 0.09

- 0.08

- 0.01

3 a

- - - 0.32 0.28 0.05 0.24 0.21 0.03

- 0.06

- 0.06 0.00

3b

- - - 0.32 0.28 0.05 0.24 0.21 0.03

- 0.06

- 0.06 0.00

4 a

- - - 0.39 0.34 0.05 0.29 0.26 0.04

- 0.06

- 0.06 0.00

4b

- - - 0.39 0.34 0.05 0.29 0.26 0.04

- 0.05

- 0.05 0.00

5

- - - 0.32 0.28 0.05 0.24 0.21 0.03

- 0.06

- 0.06 0.00

6

- - - - 2.70

- 2.80 0.10

- 1.87

- 1.94 0.07

- 0.42

- 0.38

- 0.04

7

- - - - 9.60

- 9.32

- 0.28

- 6.61

- 6.44

- 0.17

- 26.63

- 24.94

- 1.69

### 10

- B

- 5 Table 10

- B.2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth

TSL Nation

(quad)

1 0.000

2a 0.000

2b 0.000

3a 0.118

3b 0.118

4a 0.127

4b 0.127

5 0.118

6 0.281

7 0.405

### 10

- B

- 6 Table 10

- B.2.5 Consumer Net Present Value for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.00 0.00

2 a 0.00 0.00

2b 0.00 0.00

3 a

- 0.13

- 0.17

3b

- 0.13

- 0.17

4 a

- 0.11

- 0.17

4b

- 0.11

- 0.17

5

- 0.13

- 0.17

6

- 0.93

- 0.75

7

- 2.67

- 1.95



### Table 10

- B.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation

(quad) Hot

- Humid

(quad) Hot

- Dry
(quad) Rest of Country

(quad)

1 0.096

- - -

2 a

- 0.065 0.009 0.009

2b

- 0.065 0.009 0.009

3 a

- 0.324 0.044 0.053

3b

- 0.324 0.044 0.053

4 a

- 0.340 0.047 0.057

4b

- 0.341 0.047 0.056

5

- 0.324 0.044 0.053

6

- 0.971 0.133 0.147

7

- 4.382 0.622 0.669

### 10

- B

- 7 Table 10

- B.2.7 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Heat Pumps, Residential

and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation
(bill 2009$) Hot

- Humid
(bill 2009$) Hot

- Dry
(bill 2009$) Rest of Country
(bill 2009$)

3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate 3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate 3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate 3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate

1 0.47 0.1 4

- - - - - -

2 a

- - 0.30 0.09 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.00

2b

- - 0.30 0.09 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.00

3 a

- - 1.44 0.43 0.46 0.16 0.23 0.06

3b

- - 1.44 0.43 0.46 0.16 0.23 0.06

4 a

- - 1.54 0.48 0.50 0.18 0.25 0.07

4b

- - 1.54 0.48 0.50 0.18 0.23 0.05

5

- - 1.44 0.43 0.46 0.16 0.23 0.06

6

- - 3.93 1.10 1.32 0.45 0.21

- 0.04

7

- - 10.37 0.89 4.76 1.30

- 1.90

- 1.64



### Table 10

- B.2.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation

(quad)

1 0.000

2a 0.000

2b 0.000

3a 0.070

3b 0.070

4a 0.075

4b 0.075

5 0.070

6 0.223

7 0.352

### 10

- B

- 8 Table 10

- B.2.9 Consumer Net Present Value for Single Package Heat Pumps, Residential

and Commercial Sector (High Growth)

TSL Nation
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.00 0.00

2a 0.00 0.00

2b 0.00 0.00

3a 0.00

- 0.06

3b 0.00

- 0.06

4a 0.03

- 0.05

4b 0.03

- 0.05

5 0.00

- 0.06

6

- 0.35

- 0.39

7

- 1.29

- 1.13



### Table 10

- B.2.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Non

- Weatherized Gas Furnaces,

Residential Sector (High Growth)

TSL North
(quad) South

(quad)

1 0.000 0.000

2 a 2.334 0.000

2b 2.974 0.000

3 a 2.132 0.000

3b 2.974 0.000

4 a 2.283 0.000

4b 3.270 0.000

5 2.974 0.000

6 2.974 0.000

7 3.285 3.544

### 10

- B

- 9 Table 10

- B.2.11 Consumer Net Present Value for Non

- Weatherized Gas Furnaces,

Residential Sector (High Growth)

TSL North
(bill 2009$) South
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount Rate 7% Discount

Rate

1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2 a 12.179 3.067 0.000 0.000

2b 13.487 2.937 0.000 0.000

3 a 11.453 2.920 0.000 0.000

3b 13.487 2.937 0.000 0.000

4 a 12.431 3.332 0.000 0.000

4b 15.386 3.667 0.000 0.000

5 13.487 2.937 0.000 0.000

6 13.487 2.937 0.000 0.000

7 13.106 2.117 8.239

- 1.151



### Table 10

- B.2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Mobile Home Furnaces,

Residential Sector (High Growth)

TSL North
(quad) South

(quad)

1 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000

3 a 0.185 0.000

3b 0.282 0.000

4 a 0.203 0.000

4b 0.311 0.000

5 0.282 0.000

6 0.282 0.000

7 0.282 0.169

### 10

- B

- 10 Table 10

- B.2.13 Consumer Net Present Value for Mobile Home Furnaces, Residential

Sector (High Growth)

TSL North
(bill 2009$) South
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate 3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

3 a 1.313 0.385 0.000 0.000

3b 1.818 0.487 0.000 0.000

4 a 1.455 0.449 0.000 0.000

4b 2.033 0.567 0.000 0.000

5 1.818 0.487 0.000 0.000

6 1.818 0.487 0.000 0.000

7 1.818 0.487 1.009 0.205



### Table 10

- B.2.14 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Oil

- fired Furnace s, Residential

Sector (High Growth)

TSL North
(quad) South

(quad)

1 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000

3 a 0.011 0.002

3b 0.011 0.002

4 a 0.012 0.002

4b 0.012 0.002

5 0.054 0.008

6 0.054 0.008

7 0.353 0.050

### 10

- B

- 11 Table 10

- B.2.15 Consumer Net Present Value for Oil

- fired Furnace s, Residential Sector

(High Growth)

TSL North
(bill 2009$) South
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate 3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

3 a 0.121 0.036 0.019 0.006

3b 0.121 0.036 0.019 0.006

4 a 0.142 0.046 0.023 0.008

4b 0.141 0.044 0.023 0.008

5 0.546 0.155 0.076 0.021

6 0.546 0.155 0.076 0.021

7 2.204 0.526 0.276 0.054



### 10

- B.2.2 NES/NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario

Table 10

- B.2.16 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector ( Low Growth)

TSL Nation ( quad) Hot

- Humid (quad) Hot

- Dry ( quad) Rest of C ou ntry ( quad)

Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil

1 0.074 0.056 0.018

- - - - - - - - -

2 a

- - - 0.038 0.029 0.009 0.010 0.008 0.003 0.018 0.013 0.005

2b

- - - 0.038 0.029 0.009 0.010 0.008 0.003 0.018 0.013 0.005

3 a

- - - 0.163 0.129 0.034 0.046 0.036 0.010

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

3b

- - - 0.163 0.129 0.034 0.046 0.036 0.010

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

4 a

- - - 0.189 0.153 0.036 0.054 0.043 0.010

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

4b

- - - 0.189 0.153 0.036 0.054 0.043 0.010

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

5

- - - 0.163 0.129 0.034 0.046 0.036 0.010

- 0.002

- 0.002 0.000

6

- - - 0.801 0.717 0.083 0.229 0.205 0.024 0.079 0.061 0.018

7

- - - 3.069 2.681 0.388 0.878 0.768 0.110 1.552 1.363 0.189

### 10

- B

- 12 Table 10

- B.2.17 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air Conditioners,

3% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector ( Low Growth)

TSL Nation (bill 2009$) Hot

- Humid (bill 2009$) Hot

- Dry ( bill 2009$) Rest of C ou ntry (bill

2009$

Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil

1 0.29 0.24 0.05

- - - - - - - - -

2 a

- - - 0.15 0.13 0.03 0.11 0.09 0.02

- 0.08

- 0.07

- 0.01

2b

- - - 0.15 0.13 0.03 0.11 0.09 0.02

- 0.08

- 0.07

- 0.01

3 a

- - - 0.57 0.47 0.10 0.41 0.33 0.07

- 0.12

- 0.12 0.00

3b

- - - 0.57 0.47 0.10 0.41 0.33 0.07

- 0.12

- 0.12 0.00

4 a

- - - 0.69 0.58 0.11 0.49 0.41 0.08

- 0.13

- 0.13 0.00

4b

- - - 0.69 0.58 0.11 0.49 0.41 0.08

- 0.11

- 0.11 0.00

5

- - - 0.57 0.47 0.10 0.41 0.33 0.07

- 0.12

- 0.12 0.00

6

- - - - 5.04

- 5.26 0.22

- 3.42

- 3.58 0.16

- 0.49

- 0.43

- 0.06

7

- - - - 16.33

- 16.11

- 0.22

- 10.88

- 10.78

- 0.10

- 44.89

- 42.21

- 2.68



### Table 10

- B.2.18 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Central Air Conditioners,

7% Discount Rate, Residential and Commercial Sector ( Low Growth)

TSL Nation (bill 2009$) Hot

- Humid (bill 2009$) Hot

- Dry ( bill 2009$) Rest of C ou ntry (bill

2009$

Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil Total Coil

Only Blower

Coil

1 0.08 0.07 0.01

- - - - - - - - -

2 a

- - - 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.01

- 0.08

- 0.07

- 0.01

2b

- - - 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.01

- 0.08

- 0.07

- 0.01

3 a

- - - 0.19 0.16 0.03 0.14 0.12 0.02

- 0.05

- 0.05 0.00

3b

- - - 0.19 0.16 0.03 0.14 0.12 0.02

- 0.05

- 0.05 0.00

4 a

- - - 0.24 0.21 0.03 0.18 0.15 0.02

- 0.05

- 0.05 0.00

4b

- - - 0.24 0.21 0.03 0.18 0.15 0.02

- 0.05

- 0.05 0.00

5

- - - 0.19 0.16 0.03 0.14 0.12 0.02

- 0.05

- 0.05 0.00

6

- - - - 3.18

- 3.24 0.06

- 2.16

- 2.20 0.04

- 0.39

- 0.35

- 0.04

7

- - - - 10.44

- 10.05

- 0.39

- 7.04

- 6.79

- 0.24

- 24.00

- 22.48

- 1.51

### 10

- B

- 13 Table 10

- B.2.19 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

TSL Nation

(quad)

1 0.000

2 a 0.000

2b 0.000

3 a 0.106

3b 0.106

4 a 0.115

4b 0.115

5 0.106

6 0.254

7 0.366



### Table 10

- B.2.20 Consumer Net Present Value for Single Package Central Air

Conditioners, Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

TSL Nation
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.00 0.00

2 a 0.00 0.00

2b 0.00 0.00

3 a

- 0.25

- 0.19

3b

- 0.25

- 0.19

4 a

- 0.24

- 0.20

4b

- 0.23

- 0.20

5

- 0.25

- 0.19

6

- 1.14

- 0.77

7

- 2.80

- 1.89

### 10

- B

- 14 Table 10

- B.2.21 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Split System Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

TSL Nation

(quad) Hot

- Humid

(quad) Hot

- Dry
(quad) Rest of Country

(quad)

1 0.079

- - -

2 a

- 0.053 0.008 0.008

2b

- 0.053 0.008 0.008

3 a

- 0.264 0.039 0.048

3b

- 0.264 0.039 0.048

4 a

- 0.279 0.041 0.051

4b

- 0.279 0.041 0.050

5

- 0.264 0.039 0.048

6

- 0.794 0.118 0.133

7

- 3.575 0.547 0.603



### Table 10

- B.2.22 Consumer Net Present Value for Split System Heat Pumps, Residential

and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

TSL Nation
(bill 2009$) Hot

- Humid
(bill 2009$) Hot

- Dry
(bill 2009$) Rest of Country
(bill 2009$)

3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate 3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate 3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate 3%

Discount

Rate 7%

Discount

Rate

1 0.2 9 0.0 9

- - - - - -

2 a

- - 0.18 0.05 0.07 0.02 0.00

- 0.01

2b

- - 0.18 0.05 0.07 0.02 0.00

- 0.01

3 a

- - 0.86 0.25 0.32 0.11 0.16 0.03

3b

- - 0.86 0.25 0.32 0.11 0.16 0.03

4 a

- - 0.94 0.29 0.35 0.13 0.18 0.04

4b

- - 0.94 0.29 0.35 0.13 0.16 0.03

5

- - 0.86 0.25 0.32 0.11 0.16 0.03

6

- - 2.29 0.61 0.92 0.31 0.05

- 0.08

7

- - 4.30

- 0.59 3.01 0.73

- 2.30

- 1.67

### 10

- B

- 15 Table 10

- B.2.23 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Single Package Heat Pumps,

Residential and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

TSL Nation

(quad)

1 0.000

2a 0.000

2b 0.000

3a 0.059

3b 0.059

4a 0.063

4b 0.063

5 0.059

6 0.187

7 0.295



### Table 10

- B.2.24 Consumer Net Present Value for Single Package Heat Pumps, Residential

and Commercial Sector (Low Growth)

TSL Nation
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.00 0.00

2 a 0.00 0.00

2b 0.00 0.00

3 a

- 0.06

- 0.07

3b

- 0.06

- 0.07

4 a

- 0.04

- 0.06

4b

- 0.04

- 0.06

5

- 0.06

- 0.07

6

- 0.48

- 0.39

7

- 1.37

- 1.05

### 10

- B

- 16 Table 10

- B.2.25 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Non

- Weatherized Gas Furnaces,

Residential Sector (Low Growth)

TSL North
(quad) South

(quad)

1 0.000 0.000

2 a 1.997 0.000

2b 2.547 0.000

3 a 1.824 0.000

3b 2.547 0.000

4 a 1.957 0.000

4b 2.809 0.000

5 2.547 0.000

6 2.547 0.000

7 2.816 3.261



### Table 10

- B.2.26 Consumer Net Present Value for Non

- Weatherized Gas Furnaces,

Residential Sector (Low Growth)

TSL North
(bill 2009$) South
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate 3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2 a 7.747 1.831 0.000 0.000

2b 8.268 1.580 0.000 0.000

3 a 7.318 1.757 0.000 0.000

3b 8.268 1.580 0.000 0.000

4 a 8.008 2.018 0.000 0.000

4b 9.658 2.066 0.000 0.000

5 8.268 1.580 0.000 0.000

6 8.268 1.580 0.000 0.000

7 7.756 0.841 3.151

- 2.391

### 10

- B

- 17 Table 10

- B.2.27 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Mobile Home Furnaces,

Residential Sector (Low Growth)

TSL North
(quad) South

(quad)

1 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000

3 a 0.170 0.000

3b 0.258 0.000

4 a 0.187 0.000

4b 0.285 0.000

5 0.258 0.000

6 0.258 0.000

7 0.258 0.159



### Table 10

- B.2.28 Consumer Net Present Value for Mobile Home Furnaces, Residential

Sector (Low Growth)

TSL North
(bill 2009$) South
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate 3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

3 a 0.901 0.252 0.000 0.000

3b 1.212 0.297 0.000 0.000

4 a 1.011 0.301 0.000 0.000

4b 1.382 0.355 0.000 0.000

5 1.212 0.297 0.000 0.000

6 1.212 0.297 0.000 0.000

7 1.212 0.297 0.677 0.106

### 10

- B

- 18 Table 10

- B.2.29 Cumulative National Energy Savings for Oil

- fired Furnace s, Residential

Sector (Low Growth)

TSL North
(quad) South

(quad)

1 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000

3 a 0.010 0.002

3b 0.010 0.002

4 a 0.011 0.002

4b 0.011 0.002

5 0.050 0.008

6 0.050 0.008

7 0.325 0.052



### Table 10

- B.2.30 Consumer Net Present Value for Oil

- fired Furnace s, Residential Sector

(Low Growth)

TSL North
(bill 2009$) South
(bill 2009$)

3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate 3% Discount Rate 7% Discount Rate

1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2 a 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

2b 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

3 a 0.091 0.028 0.016 0.005

3b 0.091 0.028 0.016 0.005

4 a 0.109 0.036 0.019 0.007

4b 0.108 0.034 0.019 0.006

5 0.381 0.105 0.059 0.015

6 0.381 0.105 0.059 0.015

7 1.245 0.243 0.160 0.019

### 10

- B

- 19 REFERENCES

1. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2010 with Projections to

2035 , 2010. Washington, DC. Report No. DOE/EIA

- 0383(2010).

< http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/ >