# APPENDIX 8B. SUPPLEMENTARY LIFE­CYCLE COST AND PAYBACK

PERIOD RESULTS

TABLE O F CONTENTS

8B.1 I NTRODUCTION .........................................................................................................8B­1

8B.2 INTRODUCTION TO UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY .................................8B­1

8B.3 UNCERTAINTY ...........................................................................................................8B­2

8B.4 VARIABILITY..............................................................................................................8B­2

8B.5 APPROACHES TO UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY .....................................8B­2

8B.6 PROBABILITY ANALYSIS AND THE USE OF CRYSTAL BALL.........................8B­3

8B.7 GENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT RESULTS....................................................8B­4

8B.7.1 Monte Carlo Results .......................................................................................8B­4

8B.7.1.1 Product Class: 4­foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K

........................................ 8B­4

8B.7.1.2 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤ 4,500K

........... 8B­13

8B.7.1.3 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin standard output ≤ 4,500K..... 8B­14

8B.7.1.4 Product Class: 8­foot single pin slimline ≤ 4,500K............................... 8B­15

8B.7.1.5 Product Class: 8­foot recessed double contact high output ≤ 4,500K

... 8B­19

8B.7.2 Lamp and Ballast Price Scenario Results .....................................................8B­24

8B.7.2.1 Product Class: 4­foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K

...................................... 8B­24

8B.7.2.2 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤ 4,500K

........... 8B­48

8B.7.2.3 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin standard output ≤ 4,500K..... 8B­51

8B.7.2.4 Product Class: 8­foot single pin slimline ≤ 4,500K............................... 8B­54

8B.7.2.5 Product Class: 8­foot recessed double contact HO ≤ 4,500K................ 8B­67

8B.7.3 Electricity Price Trend Case Results.............................................................8B­80

8B.7.3.1 Product Class: 4­foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K

...................................... 8B­80

8B.7.3.2 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤ 4,500K

........... 8B­97

8B.7.3.3 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin standard output ≤ 4,500K... 8B­100

8B.7.3.4 Product Class: 8­foot single pin slimline ≤ 4,500K............................. 8B­103

8B.7.3.5 Product Class: 8­foot recessed double contact HO ≤ 4,500K.............. 8B­112

8B.8 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR RESULTS...........................................................8B­121

8B.8.1 Monte Carlo Results ...................................................................................8B­121

8B.8.2 Lamp Price Scenario Results ......................................................................8B­127

8B.8.3 Operating Hour Scenario Results................................................................8B­140

8B.8.4 Electricity Price Trend Case Results...........................................................8B­146

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................8B­159

LIST O F TABLES

Table 8 B.1 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12

Medium B ipin System Operating in the Commercial Sector ......................8B­6

Table 8B.2 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 34W T12

Medium B ipin System Operating in the Commercial Sector ......................8B­9

8B­i

# Table 8B.3 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Three­Lamp 4­foot 32W T8

Medium B ipin System Operating in the Commercial Sector ....................8B­11

Table 8B.4 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12

Medium B ipin System Operating in the Residential Sector Using

Average O perating Hours ..........................................................................8B­12

Table 8B.5 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12

Medium B ipin System Operating in the Residential Sector Using High

Operating H ours.........................................................................................8B­13

Table 8B.6 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 54W T5

Miniature B ipin High Output System Operating in the Industrial

Sector

......................................................................................................... 8B­14

Table 8B.7 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 28W T5

Miniature B ipin Standard Output System Operating in the Commercial

Sector

......................................................................................................... 8B­15

Table 8B.8 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 75W T12 Single

Pin S limline System Operating in the Commercial Sector........................8B­16

Table 8B.9 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 60W T12 Single

Pin S limline System Operating in the Commercial Sector........................8B­17

Table 8B.10 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 59W T8 Single

Pin S limline System Operating in the Commercial Sector........................8B­19

Table 8B.11 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 110W T12

Recessed D ouble Contact HO System Operating in the Industrial

Sector

......................................................................................................... 8B­20

Table 8B.12 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 95W T12

Recessed D ouble Contact HO System Operating in the Industrial

Sector

......................................................................................................... 8B­22

Table 8B.13 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with High Lamp Prices.......8B­25

Table 8B.14 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with Low Lamp Prices .......8B­28

Table 8B.15 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with No Ballast Prices........8B­31

Table 8B.16 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 34W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with High Lamp Prices.......8B­34

Table 8B.17 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 34W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with Low Lamp Prices .......8B­36

Table 8B.18 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 34W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with No Ballast Prices........8B­37

Table 8B.19 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 32W T8 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with High Lamp Prices.......8B­40

Table 8B.20 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 32W T8 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with Low Lamp Prices .......8B­41

Table 8B.21 LCC and PBP Results for a 3­Lamp 4­foot 32W T8 Medium Bipin System

Operating i n the Commercial Sector with No Ballast Price ......................8B­41

8B­ii

# Table 8B.22 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System Operating in the Residential Sector with High Lamp Prices and

Average Operating Hours ..........................................................................8B­43

Table 8 B.23 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System Operating in the Residential Sector with Low Lamp Prices and

Average Operating Hours ..........................................................................8B­44

Table 8 B.24 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System Operating in the Residential Sector with No Ballast Price and

Average Operating Hours ..........................................................................8B­45

Table 8 B.25 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System Operating in the Residential Sector with High Lamp Prices and

High Operating Hours................................................................................8B­46

Table 8 B.26 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System Operating in the Residential Sector with Low Lamp Prices and

High Operating Hours................................................................................8B­47

Table 8 B.27 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System Operating in the Residential Sector with No Ballast Price and

High Operating Hours................................................................................8B­48

Table 8 B.28 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin High

Output System Operating in the Industrial Sector with High Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­49

Table 8 B.29 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin High

Output System Operating in the Industrial Sector with Low Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­50

Table 8 B.30 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin High

Output System Operating in the Industrial Sector with No Ballast Price..8B­51

Table 8 B.31 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin Standard

Output System Operating in the Commercial Sector with High Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­52

Table 8 B.32 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin Standard

Output System Operating in the Commercial Sector with Low Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­53

Table 8 B.33 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin Standard

Output System Operating in the Commercial Sector with No Ballast

Price ...........................................................................................................8B­54

Table 8 B.34 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 75W T12 Single Pin

Slimline System Operating in the Commercial Sector with High Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­55

Table 8 B.35 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 75W T12 Single Pin

Slimline System Operating in the Commercial Sector with Low Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­56

Table 8 B.36 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 75W T12 Single Pin

Slimline System Operating in the Commercial Sector with No Ballast

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­57

8B­iii

# Table 8B.37 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 60W T12 Single Pin

Slimline S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector with High Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­58

Ta ble 8B.38 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 60W T12 Single Pin

Slimline S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector with Low Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­60

Ta ble 8B.39 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 60W T12 Single Pin

Slimline S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector with No Ballast

Price

........................................................................................................... 8B­62

Table 8B.40 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 59W T8 Single Pin Slimline

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with High Lamp Prices.......8B­64

Table 8B.41 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 59W T8 Single Pin Slimline

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with Low Lamp Prices .......8B­66

Table 8B.42 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 59W T8 Single Pin Slimline

System O perating in the Commercial Sector with No Ballast Prices........8B­67

Table 8B.43 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 110W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in the Industrial Sector with High Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­68

Ta ble 8B.44 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 110W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in the Industrial Sector with Low Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­70

Ta ble 8B.45 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 110W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in the Industrial Sector with No Ballast

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­72

Ta ble 8B.46 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 95W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in Industrial Sector with High Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­74

Ta ble 8B.47 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 95W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in Industrial Sector with Low Lamp

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­76

Ta ble 8B.48 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 95W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in Industrial Sector with No Ballast

Prices..........................................................................................................8B­78

Ta ble 8B.49 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 High

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .........................................................8B­81

Table 8B.50 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 Low

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .........................................................8B­84

Table 8B.51 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 34W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 High

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .........................................................8B­87

Table 8B.52 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 34W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 Low

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .........................................................8B­89

8B­iv

# Table 8B.53 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 32W T8 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 High

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .........................................................8B­91

Table 8B.54 LCC and PBP Results for a Three­Lamp 4­Foot 32W T8 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 Low

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .........................................................8B­92

Table 8B.55 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Residential Sector under the AEO2008 High

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case and Average Operating Hours ........8B­93

Table 8B.56 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Residential Sector under the AEO2008 Low

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case and Average Operating Hours ........8B­94

Table 8B.57 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Residential Sector under the AEO2008 High

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case and High Operating Hours..............8B­95

Table 8B.58 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot 40W T12 Medium Bipin

System O perating in the Residential Sector under the AEO2008 Low

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case and High Operating Hours..............8B­96

Table 8B.59 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin High

Output S ystem Operating in the Industrial Sector under the AEO2008

High G rowth Electricity Price Trend Case ................................................8B­98

Table 8B.60 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin High

Output S ystem Operating in the Industrial Sector under the AEO2008

Low G rowth Electricity Price Trend Case.................................................8B­99

Table 8B.61 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin Standard

Output S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector under the

AEO2008 H igh Electricity Price Trend Case...........................................8B­101

Table 8B.62 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 4­Foot T5 Miniature Bipin Standard

Output S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector under the

AEO2008 L ow Growth Electricity Price Trend Case..............................8B­102

Table 8B.63 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 75W T12 Single Pin

Slimline S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector under the

AEO2008 H igh Growth Electricity Price Trend Case .............................8B­104

Table 8B.64 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 75W T12 Single Pin

Slimline S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector under the

AEO2008 L ow Growth Electricity Price Trend Case..............................8B­105

Table 8B.65 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 60W T12 Single Pin

Slimline S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector under the

AEO2008 H igh Growth Electricity Price Trend Case .............................8B­106

Table 8B.66 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 60W T12 Single Pin

Slimline S ystem Operating in the Commercial Sector under the

AEO2008 L ow Growth Electricity Price Trend Case..............................8B­108

Table 8B.67 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 59W T8 Single Pin Slimline

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 High

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .......................................................8B­110

8B­v

# Table 8B.68 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 59W T8 Single Pin Slimline

System O perating in the Commercial Sector under the AEO2008 Low

Growth El ectricity Price Trend Case .......................................................8B­111

Table 8B.69 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 110W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in the Industrial Sector under the

AEO2008 H igh Growth Electricity Price Trend Case .............................8B­113

Table 8B.70 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 110W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in the Industrial Sector under the

AEO2008 L ow Growth Electricity Price Trend Case..............................8B­115

Table 8B.71 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 95W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in Industrial Sector under the AEO2008

High G rowth Electricity Price Trend Case ..............................................8B­117

Table 8B.72 LCC and PBP Results for a Two­Lamp 8­Foot 95W T12 Recessed Double

Contact H O System Operating in Industrial Sector under the AEO2008

Low G rowth Electricity Price Trend Case...............................................8B­119

Table 8B.73 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in

the C ommercial Sector.............................................................................8B­122

Table 8B.74 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in

the R esidential Sector ..............................................................................8B­123

Table 8B.75 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in

the C ommercial Sector.............................................................................8B­124

Table 8B.76 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in

the R esidential Sector ..............................................................................8B­125

Table 8B.77 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in

the C ommercial Sector.............................................................................8B­126

Table 8B.78 LCC and PBP Monte Carlo Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in

the R esidential Sector ..............................................................................8B­127

Table 8B.79 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector with High Lamp Prices ............................................8B­128

Table 8B.80 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector w ith High Lamp Prices .................................................................8B­130

Table 8B.81 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector with Low Lamp Prices.............................................8B­131

Table 8B.82 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector w ith Low Lamp Prices..................................................................8B­132

Table 8B.83 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector using High Lamp Prices...........................................8B­133

Table 8B.84 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing High Lamp Prices................................................................8B­134

Table 8B.85 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector using Low Lamp Prices ...........................................8B­135

Table 8B.86 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing Low Lamp Prices ................................................................8B­136

Table 8B.87 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector using High Lamp Prices...........................................8B­137

8B­vi

# Table 8B.88 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing High Lamp Prices................................................................8B­138

Table 8B.89 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector using Low Lamp Prices ...........................................8B­139

Table 8B.90 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing Low Lamp Prices ................................................................8B­140

Table 8B.91 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing High Operating Hours.........................................................8B­141

Table 8B.92 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing Low Operating Hours..........................................................8B­142

Table 8B.93 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing High Operating Hours.........................................................8B­143

Table 8B.94 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing Low Operating Hours..........................................................8B­144

Table 8B.95 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing High Operating Hours.........................................................8B­145

Table 8B.96 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u sing Low Operating Hours..........................................................8B­146

Table 8B.97 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector under the AEO2008 High Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­147

Table 8B.98 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the Residential

Sector u nder the AEO2008 High Growth Electricity Price Trend Case ..8B­148

Table 8B.99 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector under the AEO2008 Low Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­149

Table 8B.100 LCC and PBP Results for a 90W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Residential S ector under the AEO2008 Low Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­150

Table 8B.101 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector under the AEO2008 High Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­151

Table 8B.102 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Residential S ector under the AEO2008 High Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­152

Table 8B.103 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector under the AEO2008 Low Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­153

Table 8B.104 LCC and PBP Results for a 75W PAR38 Lamp Operating in the

Residential S ector under the AEO2008 Low Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­154

Table 8B.105 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector under the AEO2008 High Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­155

8B­vii

# Table 8B.106 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the

Residential S ector under the AEO2008 High Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­156

Table 8B.107 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the

Commercial S ector under the AEO2008 Low Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­157

Table 8B.108 LCC and PBP Results for a 50W PAR30 Lamp Operating in the

Residential S ector under the AEO2008 Low Growth Electricity Price

Trend C ase ...............................................................................................8B­158

8B­viii

# APPENDIX 8B. SUPPLEMENTARY LIFE­CYCLE COST AND PAYBACK PERIOD

RESULTS

8 B.1 I NTRODUCTION

This a ppendix discusses uncertainty and variability analyses and presents results of those

uncertainty and variability analyses preformed in the life cycle cost (LCC) and payback period

(PBP) analysis. Results for the life cycle cost and payback period analysis using a distribution of

operating hours, discount rates, sales tax, and electricity prices are presented. The average LCC

savings at each efficacy level (EL) for each lamp or lamp­and­ballast design are given as well as

the percentage of consumers who would experience a net benefit or net loss by purchasing a

standards case design instead of a base case design. The median and mean PBP are also given.

This appendix also presents results of the LCC and PBP analysis using high and low lamp prices.

For general service fluorescent lamps (GSFL), results using medium­range lamp prices and no

ballast price, where the price of the ballasts is equal to zero, are also presented. For residential

incandescent reflector lamps (IRL), results using high operating hours (1,210 hours/year: the

average operating hours of a lamp placed in the kitchen of a single­family detached home) and

low operating hours (183 hours/year: the average operating hours of a lamp placed in a closet of

a multi­family 2­4 unit home) are presented. These operating hours are obtained from the U.S.

Lighting Market Characterization: Volume I. i 

# Finally, this appendix presents the LCC and PBP

analysis results based on the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) Annual Energy

Outlook 2008 ( AEO2008 ) high and low growth electricity price trend cases.

8B.2 I NTRODUCTION TO UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY

Analysis o f an energy­efficiency standard involves calculations of impacts, for example,

the impact of a standard on consumer LCC. In order to perform the calculation, the analyst must

first: 1) specify the equation or model that will be used; 2) define the quantities in the equation;

and 3) provide numerical values for each quantity. In the simplest case, the equation is

unambiguous (contains all relevant quantities and no others), each quantity has a single

numerical value, and the calculation results in a single value. However, certainty and precision

are rarely the case. In almost all cases, the model and/or the numerical values for each quantity

in the model are not completely known (i.e., there is uncertainty) or the model and/or the

numerical values for each quantity in the model depend upon other conditions (i.e., there is

variability).

Thorough a nalysis involves accounting for uncertainty and variability. While the

simplest analysis involves a single numerical value for each quantity in a calculation, arguments

can arise about what the appropriate value is for each quantity. Explicit analysis of uncertainty

and variability is intended to provide more complete information to the decision­making process.

8B­1

# 8B.3 UNCERTAINTY

When m aking observations of past events or speculating about the future, imperfect

knowledge is the rule rather than the exception. For example, the energy actually consumed by a

particular appliance type (such as the average U.S. lamp) is not directly recorded, but rather

estimated based upon available information. Even direct laboratory measurements have some

margin of error. When estimating numerical values expected for quantities at some future date,

the exact outcome is rarely known in advance.

8B.4 V ARIABILITY

Variability m eans that different applications or situations produce different numerical

values when calculating a quantity. Specifying an exact value for a quantity may be difficult

because the value depends on something else. For example, the number of hours a lamp is

operated by a household depends upon the specific circumstances and behaviors of the occupants

(e.g., number of persons, personal habits about how much light the person needs, etc.).

Variability makes specifying an appropriate population value more difficult in as much as any

one value may not be representative of the entire population. Surveys can be helpful here, and

analysis of surveys can relate the variable of interest (e.g., hours of use) to other variables that

are better known or easier to forecast (e.g., persons per household).

8B.5 A PPROACHES TO UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY

This s ection describes two approaches to uncertainty and variability:

• scenario a nalysis, and

• probability a nalysis.

Scenario a nalysis uses a single numerical value for each quantity in a calculation, then

changes one (or more) of the numerical values and repeats the calculation. A number of

calculations are done, which provide some indication of the extent to which the result depends

upon the assumptions. For example, the life­cycle cost of a lamp could be calculated for energy

rates of 2, 8, and 14¢ per kWh.

The a dvantages of scenario analysis are that each calculation is simple; a range of

estimates is used; and crossover points can be identified. (An example of a crossover point is the

energy rate above which the life­cycle cost is reduced, holding all other inputs constant. That is,

the crossover point is the energy rate at which the consumer achieves savings in operating

expense that more than compensate for the increased purchase expense.) The disadvantage of

scenario analysis is that there is no information about the likelihood of each scenario.

Probability a nalysis considers the probabilities within a range of values. For quantities

with variability (e.g., electricity rates in different households), surveys can be used to generate a

8B­2

# frequency distribution of numerical values (e.g., the number of households with electricity rates

at particular levels) to estimate the probability of each value. For quantities with uncertainty,

statistical or subjective measures can be used to provide probabilities (e.g., manufacturing cost to

improve energy efficiency to some level may be estimated to be $10 ± $3).

The m ajor disadvantage of the probability approach is that it requires more information,

namely information about the shapes and magnitudes of the variability and uncertainty of each

quantity. The advantage of the probability approach is that it provides greater information about

the outcome of the calculations, that is, it provides the probability that the outcome will be in a

particular range.

Scenario a nd probability analysis provide some indication of the robustness of the policy

given the uncertainties and variability. A policy is robust when the impacts are acceptable over a

wide range of possible conditions.

8B.6 P ROBABILITY ANALYSIS AND THE USE OF CRYSTAL BALL

To quantify t he uncertainty and variability that exist in inputs to the engineering, LCC,

and payback period analyses, the DOE used Microsoft Excel spreadsheets combined with Crystal

Ball, a commercially available add­in, to conduct probability analyses. The probability analyses

used Monte Carlo simulation and probability distributions.

Simulation r efers to any analytical method meant to imitate a real­life system, especially

when other analyses are too mathematically complex or too difficult to reproduce. Without the

aid of simulation, a spreadsheet model will only reveal a single outcome, generally the most

likely or average scenario. Spreadsheet risk analysis uses both a spreadsheet model and

simulation to automatically analyze the effect of varying inputs on outputs of the modeled

system. One type of spreadsheet simulation is Monte Carlo simulation, which randomly

generates values for uncertain variables again and again to simulate a system. Monte Carlo

simulation was named for Monte Carlo, Monaco, where the primary attractions are casinos

containing games of chance. Games of chance, such as roulette wheels, dice, and slot machines,

exhibit random behavior. The random behavior in games of chance is similar to how Monte

Carlo simulation utilizes variable values at random to simulate a model. For example, one knows

that a rolled die will present a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 after coming to rest, but one does not know

which value will be presented on any particular roll. It is the same with the variables that have a

known range of values but an uncertain value for any particular time or event (e.g., equipment

lifetime, discount rate, and installation cost).

For e ach uncertain variable (one that has a range of possible values), possible values are defined

with a probability distribution. The type of distribution selected is based on the conditions

surrounding that variable. Probability distribution types include:

8B­3

# NORMAL 

# TRIANGULAR UNIFORM



# Figure 8B.6.1 Normal Probability

Distribution Figure 8B.6.2 Triangular

Probability Distribution Figure 8B.6.3 Uniform Probability

Distribution



# During a simulation, multiple scenarios of a model are calculated by repeatedly sampling values

from the probability distributions for the uncertain variables and using those values in the

simulation. Crystal Ball simulations can consist of as many trials (or scenarios) as desired—

hundreds or even thousands. During a single trial, Crystal Ball randomly selects a value from the

defined possibilities (the range and shape of the probability distribution) for each uncertain

variable and then recalculates the spreadsheet.

8B.7 G ENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT RESULTS

DOE a nalyzed five product classes for GSFL: 4­foot medium bipin, 4­foot T5 miniature

bipin standard output, 4­foot T5 miniature bipin high output, 8­foot single­pin slimline, and 8­

foot recessed double contact high­output, all with a correlated color temperature (CCT) less than

or equal to 4,500 Kelvin (K). For each of the five product classes, DOE conducted both

probability analyses (based on Monte Carlo runs) and scenario analyses.

8B.7.1 M onte Carlo Results

To characterize t he LCC savings and Monte Carlo results for GSFL, DOE developed

tables to describe the distributions of the results. These tables document the average LCC

savings and percentages of building analyzed with positive and negative LCC savings for various

systems in each event analyzed. In addition, to characterize the distribution of payback periods,

DOE reports the median and average payback period for each system analyzed for each event.

8B.7.1.1 P roduct Class: 4­foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K

For t he 4­foot medium bipin product class with CCT less than or equal to 4,500K in the

commercial sector, DOE analyzed three baseline lamps: a 40W T12, 34W T12, and 32W T8.

Each lamp was analyzed at five efficacy levels with minimum efficacy requirements of 78, 81,

84, 89, and 94 lm/W. The following tables present the LCC savings and PBP Monte Carlo

results for the three 4­foot medium bipin baselines operating in the commercial sector. Key

inputs consist of using the AEO2008 reference case electricity prices, and medium­range lamp

and ballast prices. Note: Lamp replacement results in Event I are not shown for a 34W T12 lamp

because there are no energy saving lamp replacement options.

8B­4

# 8B­5Table8B.1LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOption1AverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFMag21.61100.00.01.81.8­10.3EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec­6.0724.076.09.39.3­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec­6.8323.676.49.79.7­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec­6.2321.478.611.011.18.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec­7.0923.176.99.79.83.3EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec15.0582.917.15.75.7­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec13.3384.315.75.85.8­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec34.2399.70.33.83.8­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec22.1594.65.44.84.9­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec26.7096.43.64.94.91.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.8499.40.63.93.9­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec29.7498.21.84.14.1­6.4ThroughouttheGSFLresultstables,descriptionssuchas“40WT12&0.95BFMag”areused.Thefirstterm(e.g.,40W)istheratedwattage,thesecondisthelampdiameter(e.g.,T12),thethirdistheballastfactoroftheballast(e.g.,0.95BF),andthefourthistheballasttype(e.g.,“Mag”forMagneticor“Elec”forElectronic).8B­61Table8B.1LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSector(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec­14.3012.088.09.69.7­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec­15.0611.788.310.010.1­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec­14.467.093.011.511.68.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec­15.3211.188.910.110.13.3EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec6.8257.142.95.95.9­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec5.1055.045.06.06.1­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec26.0096.33.73.94.0­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec13.9279.920.15.05.1­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec18.4786.713.35.05.11.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec24.6195.84.24.14.1­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec21.5190.59.54.34.3­6.4BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A­7.4*EL180.541WT12&0.87BFElec­5.650.0100.032.933.1­4.6EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec­7.380.0100.056.056.2­2.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec­7.640.0100.057.557.73.3EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec14.50100.00.02.42.4­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec12.78100.00.00.80.8­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec33.68100.00.00.00.0­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec21.60100.00.00.70.7­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec26.15100.00.01.21.31.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.29100.00.00.00.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec29.19100.00.00.40.4­6.4*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­7Table8B.1LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSector(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A8.7EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec21.27100.00.01.91.9­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec19.55100.00.00.70.7­1.0EventIV:BallastEL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec40.45100.00.00.00.0­8.3RetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec28.38100.00.00.60.6­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec32.92100.00.01.11.11.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec39.07100.00.00.00.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec35.96100.00.00.40.4­6.48B­8Table8B.2LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec­10.0312.987.111.511.57.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec­15.117.192.911.911.910.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec3.6257.642.47.37.39.6EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec13.2085.614.45.55.54.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec­15.397.292.812.512.518.5ReplacementBallastEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec18.4092.97.15.15.15.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec20.2294.25.84.74.83.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec29.2497.32.74.44.42.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec22.0995.44.64.84.82.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec26.1897.22.84.14.1­1.3BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec­16.945.394.711.911.97.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec­22.022.497.612.412.410.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec­3.2933.466.67.77.79.6EventII:EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec6.3061.838.25.85.84.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec­22.292.797.313.013.018.5InducedRetrofitReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec11.4975.624.45.45.45.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec13.3178.521.55.05.03.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec22.3392.27.84.64.62.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec15.1883.616.45.05.02.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec19.2789.210.84.34.3­1.38B­9Table8B.2LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSector(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.86BFElec­1.740.199.99.29.24.5EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec­8.770.0100.026.626.610.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec9.95100.00.00.00.09.6EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec19.54100.00.00.00.04.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec­9.050.0100.034.534.518.5ReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec24.74100.00.00.00.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec26.56100.00.00.00.03.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec35.57100.00.00.30.32.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec28.43100.00.00.00.02.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec32.52100.00.00.00.0­1.3BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A9.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec18.22100.00.00.00.04.4EventIV:BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec23.41100.00.00.00.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec25.23100.00.00.20.23.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec34.25100.00.00.60.62.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec27.10100.00.00.30.32.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec31.19100.00.00.00.0­1.38B­10Table8B.3LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaThree­Lamp4­foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EventI:LampEL493.830.4WT8&0.88BFElec4.6199.90.12.32.46.3FailureA:LampReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec25.03100.00.01.41.4­6.7EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec11.19100.00.01.11.11.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec9.36100.00.01.21.2­4.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec14.46100.00.01.01.1­3.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec16.22100.00.01.01.0­5.7ReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec25.03100.00.01.41.4­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec13.07100.00.01.51.5­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec11.19100.00.01.11.11.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec9.36100.00.01.21.2­4.7EventV:NewEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec14.46100.00.01.01.1­3.6ConstructionandNewLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec16.22100.00.01.01.0­5.7RenovationBallastPurchaseEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec25.03100.00.01.41.4­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec13.07100.00.01.51.5­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec11.19100.00.01.11.11.6Forthe4­footmediumbipinproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kintheresidentialsector,DOEanalyzedonebaselinelamp:a40WT12.Thelampwasanalyzedatfiveefficacylevelswithminimumefficacyrequirementsof78,81,84,89,and94lm/W.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsforthis4­footmediumbipinbaselineoperatingintheresidentialsector.KeyinputsconsistofusingtheAEO2008referencecaseelectricityprices,andmedium­rangelampandballastprices.Forthelampfailureevent,residentialhighoperatinghourswereused.Forotherevents,residentialaverageoperatinghourswereused.8B­11Table8B.4LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorUsingAverageOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec9.78100.000.001.71.50.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec9.79100.000.000.00.07.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec6.6998.501.505.04.62.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec18.30100.000.001.41.30.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec18.13100.000.000.00.01.1EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec6.4996.903.105.24.88.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag0.9654.1045.9011.010.0­5.3ReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec16.18100.000.002.72.57.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec18.02100.000.000.80.74.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec17.74100.000.001.00.99.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec19.40100.000.001.21.13.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec23.24100.000.002.01.8­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec19.30100.000.001.41.36.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec21.32100.000.000.90.82.7BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec4.5589.3010.7052.347.5­5.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec4.44100.000.0073.666.9­4.7EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL492.332.5WT8&0.78BFElec4.16100.000.0074.167.40.2EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec6.17100.000.0053.848.9­5.7EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec6.9896.103.9041.938.1­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec5.0798.601.4058.553.2­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec9.69100.000.0039.736.1­10.08B­12Table8B.5LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorUsingHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag­6.440.00100.0011.010.0­5.3EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec­8.180.00100.0051.046.40.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec­7.910.00100.0070.464.07.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec­9.070.00100.0054.449.42.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec­6.406.6093.4028.425.80.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec­6.215.3094.7031.728.81.1EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec­9.120.00100.0054.649.68.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag­10.580.00100.0070.363.8­5.3EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec­7.015.3094.7029.626.97.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec­6.385.8094.2029.827.14.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec­6.465.7094.3030.027.29.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec­6.147.2092.8027.224.73.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec­5.4814.5085.5022.120.1­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec­6.197.2092.8027.024.56.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec­5.699.8090.2025.222.92.78B.7.1.2ProductClass:4­footT5miniaturebipinhighoutput≤4,500KForthe4­footT5miniaturebipinhighoutputproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kintheindustrialsector,DOEanalyzedonebaselinelamp:a54WT5.OtherkeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2008referencecaseelectricitypricesandmedium­rangelampandballastprices.DOEanalyzesmultiplelampsubstitutionswitheachlampsubstitutioncorrespondingtoELefficacyrequirementsof89lm/W.ThefollowingtablepresentstheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsfortheproductclass.8B­13Table8B.6LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot54WT5MiniatureBipinHighOutputSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec­3.910.00100.0012.112.959.4BaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLampandBallastReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec­3.910.00100.0012.112.959.4EventV:NewBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0ConstructionandNewLamp&EL192.953.8WT5&1BFElec50.01100.000.000.00.00.0RenovationBallastPurchaseEL198.051WT5&1BFElec50.70100.000.000.00.00.08B.7.1.3ProductClass:4­footT5miniaturebipinstandardoutput≤4,500KForthe4­footT5miniaturebipinstandardoutputproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kinthecommercialsector,DOEanalyzedonebaselinelamp:a28WT5.OtherkeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2008referencecaseelectricitypricesandmedium­rangelampandballastprices.DOEanalyzesmultiplelampsubstitutionswitheachlampsubstitutioncorrespondingtoELefficacyrequirementsof103and108lm/W.TheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsforthisproductclassareshowninthetablebelow.8B­14Table8B.7LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot28WT5MiniatureBipinStandardOutputSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL2111.526WT5&1.15BFElec1.1780.2019.805.75.858.9BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EventIII:BallastEL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec9.56100.000.001.31.431.3FailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec10.70100.000.001.71.735.5EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec19.62100.000.001.11.124.4BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec41.48100.000.000.00.00.0EL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec45.50100.000.000.00.00.0EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec43.90100.000.000.00.00.08B.7.1.4ProductClass:8­footsinglepinslimline≤4,500KForthe8­footsingle­pinslimlineproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kinthecommercialsector,DOEanalyzedthreebaselinelamps:a75WT12,60WT12,and59WT8.Eachlampwasanalyzedatfiveefficacylevelswithminimumefficacyrequirementsof89,93,95,97,and100lm/W.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsforthethree8­footsinglepinslimlinebaselinesoperatinginthecommercialsector.KeyinputsconsistofusingtheAEO2008referencecaseelectricityprices,andmedium­rangelampandballastprices.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora60WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.8B­15Table8B.8LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.88BFMag35.26100.00.00.30.4­13.1EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec­12.8912.587.510.310.5­5.7EL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec­9.2418.281.810.510.7­2.5BallastReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec­27.950.0100.039.240.09.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec18.9191.88.25.75.8­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EventII:EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec­22.463.196.910.610.8­5.7StandardsLamp&BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec­18.816.493.610.811.0­2.5InducedRetrofitReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec­37.520.0100.040.241.09.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec9.3468.331.75.96.0­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A­6.4EventIII:BallastEL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec­4.670.0100.07.27.3­5.7FailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec­1.0316.084.09.39.5­2.5EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec27.13100.00.00.60.6­8.1EventIV:BallastRetrofitBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A9.0Lamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec46.86100.00.00.00.0­8.18B­16Table8B.9LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacyDesignOptionAverageLCCSavingsNetBenefitNetCostMedianPBPMeanPBP%MeanLumensfromBaseline%lms/W$%%yryrBaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec­18.032.897.213.713.86.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec­17.473.296.814.314.413.5BallastEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec­17.671.099.019.219.410.0ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec­8.5520.579.510.510.63.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec­6.0927.672.411.511.63.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec­7.8623.176.910.710.810.1BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec­25.110.499.614.114.26.7EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec­24.550.599.514.714.813.5EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec­24.740.0100.019.820.010.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec­15.638.591.510.810.93.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec­13.1611.089.011.811.93.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec­14.939.490.611.011.110.18B­17Table8B.9LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSector(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacyDesignOptionAverageLCCSavingsNetBenefitNetCostMedianPBPMeanPBP%MeanLumensfromBaseline%lms/W$%%yryrBaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec­2.540.399.75.35.36.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec­1.984.695.49.19.213.5ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec6.94100.00.02.52.53.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec9.40100.00.03.33.33.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec7.63100.00.03.13.110.1BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A10.0EventIV:BallastEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec9.12100.00.01.21.23.2RetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec11.58100.00.01.61.63.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec9.81100.00.01.71.710.18B­18Table8B.10LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0A:LampEL5101.857WT8&0.88BFElec6.08100.00.03.03.16.2ReplacementEL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec9.93100.00.01.21.35.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec­0.3429.770.34.04.12.2EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec7.71100.00.02.42.42.6ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec9.76100.00.01.71.70.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec9.93100.00.01.21.35.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElecN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EventV:NewEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec­0.3429.770.34.04.12.2ConstructionandNewLamp&EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec7.71100.00.02.42.42.6RenovationBallastPurchaseEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec9.76100.00.01.71.70.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec9.93100.00.01.21.35.68B.7.1.5ProductClass:8­footrecesseddoublecontacthighoutput≤4,500KForthe8­footrecesseddoublecontactHOoperatingintheindustrialsectorwithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500K,DOEanalyzedtwobaselinelamps:a110WT12and95WT12.Eachlampwasanalyzedatfiveefficacylevelswithminimumefficacyrequirementsof83,87,88,92,and95lm/W.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsforbothofthe8­footrecesseddoublecontacthighoutputbaselinesoperatingintheindustrialsector.KeyinputsconsistofusingtheAEO2008referencecaseelectricityprices,andmedium­rangelampandballastprices.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora95WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.8B­19Table8B.11LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacyDesignOptionAverageLCCSavingsNetBenefitNetCostMedianPBPMeanPBP%MeanLumensfromBaseline%lms/W$%%yryrBaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0A:LampEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag5.13100.00.01.41.50.0ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag4.5199.60.41.51.6­10.0EventI:LampEL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec­23.840.0100.011.412.2­1.6FailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag­22.270.0100.010.211.0­10.0BallastEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag­22.890.0100.010.311.0­8.9ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec­15.283.696.47.17.6­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec7.7380.619.45.25.6­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec­34.170.0100.011.612.5­1.6EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag­32.600.0100.010.511.2­10.0EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag­33.220.0100.010.611.3­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec­25.610.0100.07.37.8­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec­2.6033.366.75.35.7­11.38B­20Table8B.11LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSector(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacyDesignOptionAverageLCCSavingsNetBenefitNetCostMedianPBPMeanPBP%MeanLumensfromBaseline%lms/W$%%yryrBaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec3.5697.22.81.92.0­1.6EventIII:BallastEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag5.13100.00.01.41.5­10.0FailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag4.5199.60.41.51.6­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec12.12100.00.01.31.4­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec35.13100.00.01.31.4­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec3.5697.22.81.92.0­1.6EL286.197WT12&0.9BFElec3.8797.72.35.76.10.0EL286.197WT12&0.91BFMag­2.900.599.57.17.60.0EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.9BFElec­6.965.494.64.24.50.0ConstructionandNewLamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag5.13100.00.01.41.5­10.0RenovationBallastPurchaseEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec12.12100.00.01.31.4­9.9EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag4.5199.60.41.51.6­8.9EL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec8.9997.32.75.25.60.0EL493.086WT8&0.81BFElec­0.5643.556.56.77.20.0EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec10.1697.62.44.14.30.08B­21Table8B.12LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec­23.590.0100.015.616.75.8EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec­33.610.0100.014.815.96.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec­34.230.0100.014.916.07.8ReplacementBallastEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec­10.508.791.39.610.3­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec­13.643.596.59.610.30.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec­11.029.390.78.28.7­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec­31.180.0100.016.017.25.8EventII:EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec­41.190.0100.015.216.36.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec­41.820.0100.015.316.47.8InducedRetrofitReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec­18.091.698.49.810.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec­21.220.0100.09.810.50.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec­18.612.197.98.38.9­0.18B­22Table8B.12LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSector(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrMeanPBPyr%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec3.76100.00.01.81.95.8EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec­6.266.293.83.33.66.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec­6.885.594.53.43.77.8ReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec16.85100.00.02.62.8­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec13.72100.00.02.62.80.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec16.33100.00.02.42.6­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMagN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec3.76100.00.01.81.95.8EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec­6.266.293.83.33.66.4ConstructionandNewLamp&EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec­6.885.594.53.43.77.8RenovationBallastPurchaseEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec16.85100.00.02.62.8­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec13.72100.00.02.62.80.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec16.33100.00.02.42.6­0.18B­23

# 8B.7.2 Lamp and Ballast Price Scenario Results

As m entioned earlier, DOE also analyzed LCC savings and PBP results using a scenario

analysis. Specifically, because the LCC and PBP results are highly dependent on equipment

prices, DOE examined several sensitivities to the medium lamp price and ballast price results

presented in Chapter 8. Chapter 7 described three prices (low, medium, and high) DOE

developed for each general service fluorescent lamp. The following tables present LCC savings

and PBP results using the low and high lamp prices. In addition, because DOE analyzes GSFL

by considering both the lamp and the ballast, results presented in Chapter 7 account for the first

cost of the ballast. However, as a sensitivity to the analysis, DOE presents LCC and PBP results

assuming that the ballast price is equal to zero.

8B.7.2.1 P roduct Class: 4­foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K

The f ollowing tables present the findings of an LCC analysis on the three 4­foot medium bipin

GSFL baselines operating in the commercial sector with a CCT less than or equal to 4,500K,

considering low lamp prices, high lamp prices, or no ballast prices. Key inputs consist of using

AEO2008 reference case electricity prices and an analysis period of 5.5 yrs. Note: Lamp

replacement results in Event I are not shown for a 34W T12 lamp because there are no energy

saving lamp replacement options.

8B­24Table8B.13LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag205.210.0016.970.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFMag186.5718.6432.607.082.2­10.3EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec214.11­8.9078.177.208.5­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec215.86­10.6484.677.439.1­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec211.02­5.8067.325.299.58.7EventI:EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec216.23­11.0185.087.439.23.3LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec193.4811.7484.5312.605.4­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec192.2213.0071.6610.665.1­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec170.5934.6264.5814.243.3­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec183.6821.5373.4513.064.3­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec179.3625.8578.7213.924.41.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec172.5332.6866.7714.243.5­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec177.3727.8472.6115.183.7­6.48B­25Table8B.13LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag197.010.0016.970.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec215.47­18.4680.487.208.8­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec217.22­20.2186.987.439.4­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec212.38­15.3769.635.2910.08.7EventII:StandardsLamp&EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec217.59­20.5887.397.439.53.3EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec194.842.1786.8412.605.5­10.3InducedRetrofitBallastReplacementEL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec193.583.4373.9710.665.3­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec171.9525.0666.8914.243.5­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec185.0511.9675.7613.064.5­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec180.7316.2881.0313.924.61.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec173.9023.1169.0814.243.7­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec178.7318.2874.9215.183.8­6.4BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.88BFElec204.850.0068.900.00N/A­7.4*EL180.541WT12&0.87BFElec213.12­8.2878.170.2340.4­4.6EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec215.86­11.0184.670.2368.8­2.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec216.23­11.3885.080.2370.63.3EventIII:EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec193.4811.3784.535.402.9­10.3BallastLamp&EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec192.2212.6371.663.460.8­1.0FailureBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec170.5934.2664.587.040.0­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec183.6821.1673.455.850.8­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec179.3625.4878.726.721.51.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec172.5332.3166.777.040.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec177.3727.4872.617.980.5­6.4*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­26Table8B.13LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec212.380.0069.630.00N/A8.7EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec194.8417.5486.847.312.4­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec193.5818.8073.975.370.8­1.0EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec171.9540.4366.898.960.0­8.3BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec185.0527.3375.767.770.8­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec180.7331.6581.038.631.31.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec173.9038.4869.088.960.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec178.7333.6574.929.890.5­6.48B­27Table8B.14LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag199.190.0010.950.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFMag173.2925.9117.657.080.9­10.3EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec202.80­3.6166.867.207.8­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec202.50­3.3169.647.437.9­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec206.60­7.4062.905.299.88.7EventI:EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec202.66­3.4669.827.437.93.3LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec180.1919.0169.5812.604.7­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec185.3113.8864.7610.665.0­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.1535.0457.3314.243.3­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec175.7623.4365.5313.064.2­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec170.8328.3767.7813.924.11.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.9834.2158.2714.243.3­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec168.6030.5965.1615.183.6­6.48B­28Table8B.14LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag193.760.0010.950.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec204.16­10.4069.167.208.1­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec203.86­10.1071.957.438.2­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec207.96­14.2065.215.2910.38.7EventII:StandardsLamp&EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec204.02­10.2672.137.438.23.3EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec181.5512.2171.8912.604.8­10.3InducedRetrofitBallastReplacementEL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec186.677.0867.0710.665.3­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec165.5128.2559.6414.243.4­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec177.1216.6467.8313.064.4­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec172.1921.5770.0913.924.21.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec166.3527.4160.5814.243.5­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec169.9623.7967.4715.183.7­6.4BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.88BFElec198.830.0062.890.00N/A­7.4EL180.541WT12&0.87BFElec201.81­2.9866.860.2317.3­4.6EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec202.50­3.6769.640.2329.5­2.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec202.66­3.8369.820.2330.33.3EventIII:EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec180.1918.6469.585.401.2­10.3BallastLamp&EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec185.3113.5264.763.460.5­1.0FailureBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.1534.6857.337.040.0­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec175.7623.0765.535.850.5­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec170.8328.0067.786.720.71.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.9833.8558.277.040.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec168.6030.2365.167.980.3­6.4*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­29Table8B.14LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec207.960.0065.210.00N/A8.7EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec181.5526.4171.897.310.9­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec186.6721.2867.075.370.3­1.0EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec165.5142.4559.648.960.0­8.3BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec177.1230.8467.837.770.3­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec172.1935.7770.098.630.61.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec166.3541.6160.588.960.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec169.9638.0067.479.890.2­6.48B­30Table8B.15LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag202.200.0013.960.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFMag179.9322.2725.137.081.6­10.3EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec177.8024.4020.587.200.9­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec178.5223.6825.227.431.5­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec177.4424.7711.975.290.08.7EventI:EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec178.7923.4225.527.431.63.3LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec156.1846.0325.1312.600.9­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec157.3944.8115.0710.660.1­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec140.5361.6715.5014.240.1­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec148.3553.8516.3513.060.2­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec143.7358.4820.1113.920.41.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec141.9260.2817.0614.240.2­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec141.6260.5915.7415.180.1­6.48B­31Table8B.15LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag195.380.0013.960.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec177.8017.5820.587.200.9­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec178.5216.8625.227.431.5­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec177.4417.9511.975.290.08.7EventII:StandardsLamp&EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec178.7916.6025.527.431.63.3EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec156.1839.2125.1312.600.9­10.3InducedRetrofitBallastReplacementEL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec157.3937.9915.0710.660.1­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec140.5354.8515.5014.240.1­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec148.3547.0316.3513.060.2­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec143.7351.6620.1113.920.41.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec141.9253.4617.0614.240.2­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec141.6253.7715.7415.180.1­6.4BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.88BFElec171.180.0013.960.00N/A­7.4EL180.541WT12&0.87BFElec176.81­5.6320.580.2328.9­4.6EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec178.52­7.3425.220.2349.2­2.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec178.79­7.6025.520.2350.53.3EventIII:EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec156.1815.0125.135.402.1­10.3BallastLamp&EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec157.3913.7915.073.460.3­1.0FailureBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec140.5330.6515.507.040.2­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec148.3522.8316.355.850.4­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec143.7327.4620.116.720.91.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec141.9229.2617.067.040.4­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec141.6229.5715.747.980.2­6.4*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­32Table8B.15LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec177.440.0011.970.00N/A8.7EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec156.1821.2625.137.311.8­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec157.3920.0415.075.370.6­1.0EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec140.5336.9015.508.960.4­8.3BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec148.3529.0816.357.770.6­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec143.7333.7120.118.630.91.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec141.9235.5117.068.960.6­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec141.6235.8215.749.890.4­6.48B­33Table8B.16LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag170.860.0013.130.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec182.92­12.0770.235.5210.47.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec190.79­19.9380.075.9711.210.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec167.902.9559.647.166.59.6EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec159.3911.4763.9810.145.04.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec191.50­20.6484.535.9712.018.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec153.8716.9964.5811.044.75.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec152.7818.0865.7712.094.43.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec143.9726.8971.0414.004.12.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec150.6720.1866.7712.234.42.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec148.1922.6764.9313.823.7­1.3BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag164.420.0013.130.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec184.29­19.8772.545.5210.87.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec192.15­27.7382.375.9711.610.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec169.27­4.8561.957.166.89.6EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec160.753.6766.2910.145.24.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec192.86­28.4486.845.9712.318.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.239.1966.8911.044.95.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec154.1410.2868.0812.094.53.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec145.3319.0973.3414.004.32.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec152.0412.3869.0812.234.62.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec149.5514.8767.2313.823.9­1.38B­34Table8B.16LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFElec177.760.0065.060.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.86BFElec180.95­3.1970.230.4611.34.5EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec190.79­13.0380.070.4632.710.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec167.909.8559.641.640.09.6EventIII:EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec159.3918.3763.984.630.04.4BallastLamp&EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec191.50­13.7484.530.4642.518.5FailureBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec153.8723.8964.585.520.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec152.7824.9865.776.580.13.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec143.9733.7971.048.480.72.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec150.6727.0966.776.720.32.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec148.1929.5764.938.300.0­1.3BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec169.270.0061.950.00N/A9.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec160.7517.0166.294.630.34.4EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.2322.5366.895.520.35.6BallastLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec154.1423.6268.086.580.53.3RetrofitBallastReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec145.3332.4373.348.481.02.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec152.0425.7269.086.720.62.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec149.5528.2167.238.300.3­1.38B­35Table8B.17LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag167.030.009.310.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec176.15­9.1163.455.529.87.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec178.39­11.3667.675.979.810.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec163.483.5555.227.166.49.6EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec152.4914.5557.0810.144.74.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec178.21­11.1869.585.9710.118.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec147.4319.6057.3311.044.45.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec144.8522.1857.8412.094.03.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec135.4331.6060.1014.003.62.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec143.1223.9158.2712.234.02.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec139.4227.6157.4813.823.5­1.3BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag162.360.009.310.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec177.51­15.1665.765.5210.27.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec179.75­17.4069.985.9710.210.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.85­2.4957.527.166.79.6EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec153.858.5159.3910.144.94.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec179.58­17.2271.895.9710.518.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec148.7913.5659.6411.044.65.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.2216.1460.1512.094.23.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec136.7925.5662.4114.003.82.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec144.4917.8760.5812.234.22.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec140.7821.5759.7913.823.7­1.38B­36Table8B.17LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFElec173.940.0061.240.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.86BFElec174.18­0.2463.450.464.84.5EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec178.39­4.4667.670.4614.010.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec163.4810.4555.221.640.09.6EventIII:EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec152.4921.4557.084.630.04.4BallastLamp&EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec178.21­4.2869.580.4618.218.5FailureBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec147.4326.5057.335.520.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec144.8529.0857.846.580.03.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec135.4338.5060.108.480.02.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec143.1230.8158.276.720.02.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec139.4234.5257.488.300.0­1.3BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.850.0057.520.00N/A9.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec153.8520.0959.394.630.04.4EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec148.7925.1459.645.520.05.6BallastLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.2227.7260.156.580.03.3RetrofitBallastReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec136.7937.1462.418.480.12.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec144.4929.4560.586.720.02.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec140.7833.1559.798.300.0­1.3Table8B.18LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPricesOperatingEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacyDesignOptionLCCLCCSavingsInstalledPriceCostSavings(StartYear)8B­37PaybackPeriod%MeanLumensfromBaselinelms/W$$$$yrsEventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag168.950.0011.220.00N/A0.0B:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec148.8820.0614.915.520.77.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec153.9315.0121.945.971.810.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec138.8630.0911.977.160.19.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec129.1039.8415.0710.140.44.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec154.2014.7425.135.972.318.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec123.8245.1315.5011.040.45.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec121.9846.9716.3512.090.43.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec112.8756.0820.1114.000.62.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec120.0648.8817.0612.230.52.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec116.9751.9815.7413.820.3­1.3BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag163.390.0011.220.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec148.8814.5114.915.520.77.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec153.939.4521.945.971.810.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec138.8624.5311.977.160.19.6EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec129.1034.2815.0710.140.44.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec154.209.1925.135.972.318.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec123.8239.5715.5011.040.45.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec121.9841.4116.3512.090.43.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec112.8750.5220.1114.000.62.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec120.0643.3217.0612.230.52.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec116.9746.4215.7413.820.3­1.3Table8B.18LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineEventIII:BallastBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFElec145.190.0011.220.00N/A0.0Lamp&EL182.434WT12&0.86BFElec146.91­1.7214.910.468.14.58B­38FailureBallastEL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec153.93­8.7421.940.4623.410.9ReplacementEL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec138.866.3311.971.640.59.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec129.1016.0915.074.630.84.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec154.20­9.0125.130.4630.418.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec123.8221.3815.505.520.85.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec121.9823.2116.356.580.83.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec112.8732.3320.118.481.02.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec120.0625.1317.066.720.92.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec116.9728.2215.748.300.5­1.3BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec138.860.0011.970.00N/A9.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec129.1016.0915.074.630.84.4EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec123.8221.3815.505.520.85.6BallastLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec121.9823.2116.356.580.83.3RetrofitBallastReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec112.8732.3320.118.481.02.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec120.0625.1317.066.720.92.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec116.9728.2215.748.300.5­1.38B­39Table8B.19LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec141.070.0014.180.00N/A0.0EventI:LampFailureA:LampReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&0.88BFElec137.933.1420.312.152.86.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec117.1323.9425.586.841.7­6.7EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec132.568.5119.474.061.31.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec167.900.0059.640.00N/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec159.398.5163.982.991.5­4.7EventIII:EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec153.8714.0364.583.881.3­3.6BallastLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec152.7815.1365.774.941.2­5.7FailureBallastReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec143.9723.9471.046.841.7­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.8212.0966.773.881.8­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec159.398.5164.934.061.31.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec169.270.0061.950.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec160.758.5166.292.991.5­4.7EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.2314.0366.893.881.3­3.6ConstructionNewLampEL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec154.1415.1368.084.941.2­5.7andRenovation&BallastPurchaseEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec145.3323.9473.346.841.7­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec157.1812.0969.083.881.8­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec160.758.5167.234.061.31.68B­40Table8B.20LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec136.650.009.760.00N/A0.0EventI:LampFailureA:LampReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&0.88BFElec130.016.6412.382.151.26.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec108.6028.0514.646.840.7­6.7EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec123.7912.8612.024.060.61.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec163.480.0055.220.00N/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec152.4911.0057.082.990.6­4.7EventIII:EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec147.4316.0557.333.880.5­3.6BallastLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec144.8518.6357.844.940.5­5.7FailureBallastReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec135.4328.0560.106.840.7­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec148.2715.2258.273.880.8­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec150.6212.8657.484.060.61.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.850.0057.520.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec153.8511.0059.392.990.6­4.7EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec148.7916.0559.643.880.5­3.6ConstructionNewLampEL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.2218.6360.154.940.5­5.7andRenovation&BallastPurchaseEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec136.7928.0562.416.840.7­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec149.6315.2260.583.880.8­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec151.9912.8659.794.060.61.6Table8B.21LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrice8B­41EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec138.860.0011.970.00N/A0.0EventI:LampFailureA:LampReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&0.88BFElec133.974.8916.352.152.06.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec112.8725.9920.116.841.2­6.7EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec128.1710.6915.744.060.91.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec138.860.0011.970.00N/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec129.109.7615.072.991.0­4.7EventIII:EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec123.8215.0415.503.880.9­3.6BallastLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec121.9816.8816.354.940.9­5.7FailureBallastReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec112.8725.9920.116.841.2­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec125.2113.6517.063.881.3­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec128.1710.6915.744.060.91.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec138.860.0011.970.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec129.109.7615.072.991.0­4.7EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec123.8215.0415.503.880.9­3.6ConstructionNewLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec121.9816.8816.354.940.9­5.7andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec112.8725.9920.116.841.2­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec125.2113.6517.063.881.3­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec128.1710.6915.744.060.91.6Forthe4­footmediumbipinproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kintheresidentialsector,DOEanalyzedonebaselinelamp:a40WT12.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPresultsforthis4­footmediumbipinbaselineoperatingintheresidentialsectorwithhighlampprices,lowlampprices,andnoballastprice.KeyinputsconsistofusingtheAEO2008referencecaseelectricityprices.Forthelampfailureevent,residentialhighoperatinghours(of1,210hoursperyear)wereused,andtheanalysisperiodis2.5years.Forotherevents,residentialaverageoperatinghours(of789hoursperyear)wereused,andtheanalysisperiodis15years.8B­42Table8B.22LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithHighLampPricesandAverageOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag112.310.0051.070.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec105.516.8054.771.063.50.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec103.728.5949.480.710.07.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec109.852.4659.111.067.62.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec98.0314.2856.041.952.60.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec95.2917.0150.111.620.01.1EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec110.122.1959.381.067.88.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag115.42­3.1162.930.8913.4­5.3ReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec101.0111.3059.021.954.17.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec96.3815.9353.011.811.14.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec96.7715.5353.401.811.39.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec95.4916.8254.202.021.63.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec93.1119.2057.712.612.5­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec95.8216.4954.862.051.86.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec93.5318.7853.642.161.22.7BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec103.650.0052.420.00N/A0.0EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec103.320.3361.320.9347.5­5.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec100.503.1555.320.6162.7­4.7EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL492.332.5WT8&0.78BFElec100.902.7555.710.6163.40.2EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec99.294.3556.510.8546.3­5.7EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec99.733.9260.021.1736.9­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec100.543.1057.170.7950.6­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec95.847.8155.951.1534.0­10.08B­43Table8B.23LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithLowLampPricesandAverageOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag109.120.0047.880.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec97.9711.1547.231.060.00.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec99.209.9244.960.710.07.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec99.839.2949.091.061.12.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec89.7619.3647.771.950.00.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec92.3516.7847.161.620.01.1EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec99.959.1849.211.061.28.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag105.453.6752.960.895.7­5.3ReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec91.0418.0849.051.950.67.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec91.7717.3548.411.810.34.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec91.9417.1848.581.810.49.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec90.2118.9148.922.020.53.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec85.8223.3050.422.611.0­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec90.1518.9749.202.050.66.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec88.5720.5648.672.160.42.7BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec100.700.0049.470.00N/A0.0EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec93.357.3551.360.9343.2­5.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec95.904.8050.710.6165.0­4.7EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL492.332.5WT8&0.78BFElec96.074.6350.880.6165.30.2EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec94.016.6951.220.8547.2­5.7EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec92.448.2652.731.1735.8­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec94.885.8251.510.7951.0­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec90.879.8250.981.1534.9­10.08B­44Table8B.24LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithNoBallastPriceandAverageOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag65.220.003.980.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec60.175.059.431.065.10.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec59.895.335.650.712.47.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec63.261.9512.521.068.02.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec52.3212.8910.331.953.30.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec48.8716.353.681.620.01.1EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec63.461.7612.721.068.28.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag64.950.2712.460.899.6­5.3ReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec54.4510.7712.461.954.47.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec49.1216.095.751.811.04.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec49.4115.816.041.811.19.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec47.9017.326.602.021.33.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec44.5120.709.112.612.0­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec48.0317.197.082.051.56.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec46.0919.126.202.161.02.7BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec54.910.003.680.00N/A0.0EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec54.450.4612.460.930.0­5.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec50.943.975.750.610.0­4.7EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL492.332.5WT8&0.78BFElec51.223.696.040.610.00.2EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec49.395.526.600.850.0­5.7EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec48.826.099.111.170.0­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec50.454.467.080.790.0­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec46.098.826.201.150.0­10.08B­45Table8B.25LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithHighLampPricesandHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag27.030.005.580.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag35.83­8.7917.441.368.7­5.3EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec33.79­6.7554.771.6330.20.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec33.46­6.4349.481.0940.47.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec35.05­8.0259.111.6332.92.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec31.09­4.0656.042.9916.90.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec30.48­3.4450.112.4917.91.1EventI:LampFailureB:LampandBallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec35.13­8.1059.381.6333.08.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag36.78­9.7562.931.3642.2­5.3EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec31.96­4.9359.022.9917.97.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec30.69­3.6553.012.7717.14.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec30.80­3.7753.402.7717.29.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec30.31­3.2854.203.0915.73.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec29.27­2.2457.714.0113.0­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec30.38­3.3554.863.1515.76.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec29.65­2.6253.643.3114.52.78B­46Table8B.26LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithLowLampPricesandHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag23.850.002.400.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag25.86­2.017.471.363.7­5.3EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec31.58­7.7347.231.6327.50.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec32.14­8.3044.961.0939.27.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec32.12­8.2849.091.6328.72.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec28.68­4.8347.772.9915.20.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec29.62­5.7747.162.4918.01.1EventI:LampFailureB:LampandBallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec32.16­8.3149.211.6328.78.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag33.87­10.0252.961.3637.3­5.3EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec29.05­5.2049.052.9915.67.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec29.34­5.5048.412.7716.64.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec29.39­5.5548.582.7716.79.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec28.77­4.9248.923.0915.03.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec27.14­3.2950.424.0112.0­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec28.73­4.8849.203.1514.96.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec28.20­4.3648.673.3114.02.78B­47Table8B.27LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithNoBallastPriceandHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag25.430.003.980.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag30.85­5.4212.461.366.2­5.3EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec20.534.909.431.633.30.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec20.654.785.651.091.57.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec21.443.9912.521.635.22.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec17.737.7010.332.992.10.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec16.908.533.682.490.01.1EventI:LampFailureB:LampandBallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec21.493.9412.721.635.48.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag22.033.4012.461.366.2­5.3EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec18.357.0812.462.992.87.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec16.878.565.752.770.64.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec16.968.476.042.770.79.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec16.409.036.603.090.83.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec15.0610.379.114.011.3­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec16.429.027.083.151.06.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec15.799.646.203.310.72.78B.7.2.2ProductClass:4­footT5miniaturebipinhighoutput≤4,500KForthe4­footT5miniaturebipinhighoutputproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kintheindustrialsector,DOEanalyzedonebaselinelamp:a54WT5.Forthisbaseline,theanalysisperiodis3.9years.OtherkeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2008referencecaseelectricityprices.ThefollowingtablepresentstheLCCsavingsandPBPresultsfortheproductclasswithhighlampprices,lowlampprices,andnoballastprice.8B­48Table8B.28LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinHighOutputSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec126.440.0012.080.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec132.81­6.3625.260.9014.759.4BaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec157.990.0070.670.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLampandBallastReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec164.35­6.3683.850.9014.759.4EventV:NewBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec159.230.0072.980.00N/A0.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL192.953.8WT5&1BFElec104.2854.9580.0213.370.00.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL198.051WT5&1BFElec103.8655.3786.1613.930.00.08B­49Table8B.29LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinHighOutputSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec123.150.008.790.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec123.63­0.4814.430.906.359.4BaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec154.690.0067.380.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLampandBallastReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec155.18­0.4873.020.906.359.4EventV:NewBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec155.940.0069.690.00N/A0.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL192.953.8WT5&1BFElec99.6956.2572.7013.370.00.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL198.051WT5&1BFElec98.1057.8375.3313.930.00.08B­50Table8B.30LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinHighOutputSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithNoBallastPriceEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec124.800.0010.440.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec128.22­3.4219.850.9010.559.4BaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec124.800.0010.440.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLampandBallastReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec128.22­3.4219.850.9010.559.4EventV:NewBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec124.800.0010.440.00N/A0.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL192.953.8WT5&1BFElec81.4243.3815.4613.370.00.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL198.051WT5&1BFElec80.4244.3819.8513.930.10.08B.7.2.3ProductClass:4­footT5miniaturebipinstandardoutput≤4,500KForthe4­footT5miniaturebipinstandardoutputproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kinthecommercialsector,DOEanalyzedonebaselinelamp:a28WT5.Forthisbaseline,theanalysisperiodis5.5years.OtherkeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2008referencecaseelectricityprices.ThefollowingtablepresentstheLCCsavingsandPBPresultsfortheproductclasswithhighlampprices,lowlampprices,andnoballastprice.8B­51Table8B.31LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinStandardOutputSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec113.880.0010.630.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL2111.526WT5&1.15BFElec114.41­0.5318.281.097.058.9BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec147.820.0068.130.00N/A0.0EventIII:EL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec139.348.4873.393.191.631.3BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec138.988.8476.463.992.135.5EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec129.3118.5175.785.511.424.4BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec149.190.0070.440.00N/A0.0EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec107.1942.0075.708.110.00.0EL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec103.5945.6078.779.190.00.0EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec105.0844.1078.099.100.00.08B­52Table8B.32LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinStandardOutputSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec111.400.008.150.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL2111.526WT5&1.15BFElec108.442.9711.441.093.058.9BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec145.340.0065.650.00N/A0.0EventIII:EL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec133.8611.4867.913.190.731.3BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec131.7513.6069.233.990.935.5EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec123.3422.0068.945.510.624.4BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec146.710.0067.950.00N/A0.0EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec103.0243.6970.228.110.00.0EL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec98.2548.4671.549.190.00.0EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec100.2846.4371.259.100.00.08B­53Table8B.33LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinStandardOutputSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPriceEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec112.640.009.390.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL2111.526WT5&1.15BFElec111.421.2214.861.095.058.9BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec112.640.009.390.00N/A0.0EventIII:EL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec102.669.9813.153.191.231.3BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec101.4211.2215.353.991.535.5EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec92.3920.2614.865.511.024.4BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec112.640.009.390.00N/A0.0EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec78.2134.4313.158.110.10.0EL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec74.8637.7815.359.190.20.0EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec74.2938.3514.869.100.30.08B.7.2.4ProductClass:8­footsinglepinslimline≤4,500KThefollowingtablespresentthefindingsofanLCCanalysisonthethree8­footsinglepinslimlineGSFLbaselinesoperatinginthecommercialsectorwithaCCTlessthanorequalto4,500K,consideringlowlampprices,highlampprices,ornoballastprices.KeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2008referencecaseelectricitypricesandananalysisperiodof4.0years.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora60WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.8B­54Table8B.34LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag203.660.0020.840.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.88BFMag167.0936.5725.4210.800.4­13.1EventI:Baseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag203.660.0020.840.00N/A0.0LampFailureB:Lamp&EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec218.58­14.93102.548.779.3­5.7BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec213.58­9.93105.208.779.6­2.5ReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec228.17­24.52113.182.7233.99.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec181.5822.0898.5715.245.1­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag192.530.0020.840.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec219.62­27.09104.858.779.6­5.7EL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec214.63­22.09107.518.779.9­2.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec229.21­36.68115.492.7234.79.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec182.629.92100.8715.245.3­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.88BFElec210.830.0093.620.00N/A­6.4EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec218.58­7.76102.541.018.8­5.7EL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec213.58­2.76105.201.0111.4­2.5ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec181.5829.2598.577.480.7­8.1EventIV:BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec229.210.00115.490.00N/A9.0BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec182.6246.60100.8712.520.0­8.18B­55Table8B.35LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag192.010.0011.480.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.88BFMag155.1136.9013.4410.800.2­13.1EventI:Baseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag192.010.0011.480.00N/A0.0LampFailureB:Lamp&EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec200.60­8.5888.088.778.7­5.7BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec197.61­5.6089.228.778.9­2.5ReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec221.55­29.54106.562.7234.99.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec171.5420.4787.0715.245.0­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag185.570.0011.480.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec201.64­16.0690.398.779.0­5.7EL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec198.65­13.0891.538.779.1­2.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec222.59­37.02108.872.7235.89.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec172.5812.9989.3815.245.1­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.88BFElec199.180.0084.260.00N/A­6.4EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec200.60­1.4188.081.013.8­5.7EL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec197.611.5789.221.014.9­2.5ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec171.5427.6487.077.480.4­8.1EventIV:BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec222.590.00108.870.00N/A9.0BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec172.5850.0189.3812.520.0­8.18B­56Table8B.36LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag197.830.0016.160.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.88BFMag161.1036.7319.4310.800.3­13.1EventI:Baseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag197.830.0016.160.00N/A0.0LampFailureB:Lamp&EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec176.7821.0522.538.770.7­5.7BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec172.7925.0524.438.770.9­2.5ReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec181.0816.7612.742.720.09.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec143.2154.6318.8315.240.2­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag189.050.0016.160.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec176.7812.2722.538.770.7­5.7EL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec172.7916.2624.438.770.9­2.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec181.087.9812.742.720.09.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec143.2145.8418.8315.240.2­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.88BFElec172.200.0016.160.00N/A­6.4EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec176.78­4.5922.531.016.3­5.7EL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec172.79­0.5924.431.018.2­2.5ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec143.2128.9918.837.480.4­8.1EventIV:BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec181.080.0012.740.00N/A9.0BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec143.2137.8718.8312.520.5­8.18B­57Table8B.37LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag159.570.0014.070.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec179.36­19.7993.416.4112.46.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec178.72­19.1598.206.4113.113.5BallastEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec176.37­16.8090.034.4517.110.0ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.71­9.1596.168.629.53.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec164.77­5.2096.707.9310.43.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.79­8.2298.578.629.810.1BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag151.830.0014.070.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec180.40­28.5695.726.4112.76.7EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec179.76­27.93100.516.4113.513.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec177.41­25.5892.344.4517.610.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec169.76­17.9298.478.629.83.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec165.81­13.9899.017.9310.73.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.83­17.00100.878.6210.110.18B­58Table8B.37LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFElec174.540.0086.850.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec179.36­4.8193.411.016.56.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec178.72­4.1898.201.0111.213.5ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.715.8396.163.222.93.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec164.779.7796.702.533.93.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.796.7598.573.223.610.1BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec177.410.0092.340.00N/A10.0EventIV:EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec169.767.6698.474.171.53.2BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec165.8111.6099.013.481.93.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.838.58100.874.172.010.18B­59Table8B.38LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag152.730.008.580.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec167.86­15.1384.176.4111.86.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec166.74­14.0186.226.4112.113.5BallastEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec169.75­17.0283.414.4516.810.0ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec158.59­5.8686.048.629.03.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec157.24­4.5186.277.939.83.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec157.75­5.0287.078.629.110.1BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag147.750.008.580.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec168.90­21.1686.486.4112.26.7EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec167.78­20.0488.536.4112.513.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec170.79­23.0585.724.4517.310.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec159.63­11.8888.358.629.33.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec158.28­10.5488.587.9310.13.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec158.79­11.0589.388.629.410.18B­60Table8B.38LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFElec167.710.0081.360.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec167.86­0.1584.171.012.86.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec166.740.9786.221.014.813.5ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec158.599.1286.043.221.53.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec157.2410.4786.272.531.93.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec157.759.9687.073.221.810.1BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec170.790.0085.720.00N/A10.0EventIV:EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec159.6311.1688.354.170.63.2BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec158.2812.5188.583.480.83.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec158.7912.0089.384.170.910.18B­61Table8B.39LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPriceEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag156.150.0011.330.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec140.8015.3516.016.410.76.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec139.9216.2319.436.411.313.5BallastEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec139.7116.4412.744.450.310.0ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec130.3025.8517.128.620.73.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec127.6628.5017.507.930.83.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec129.4226.7318.838.620.910.1BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag149.790.0011.330.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsInducedLamp&EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec140.808.9916.016.410.76.7EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec139.929.8719.436.411.313.5RetrofitBallastReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec139.7110.0812.744.450.310.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec130.3019.4917.128.620.73.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec127.6622.1317.507.930.83.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec129.4220.3718.838.620.910.18B­62Table8B.39LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrice(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFElec138.320.0011.330.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec140.80­2.4816.011.014.66.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec139.92­1.6119.431.018.013.5ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec130.308.0117.123.221.83.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec127.6610.6617.502.532.43.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec129.428.9018.833.222.310.1BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec139.710.0012.740.00N/A10.0EventIV:EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec130.309.4117.124.171.03.2BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec127.6612.0617.503.481.43.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec129.4210.2918.834.171.510.18B­63Table8B.40LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec143.020.0016.050.00N/A0.0A:LampEL5101.857WT8&0.88BFElec136.996.0322.721.793.76.2ReplacementEL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec133.569.4621.573.641.55.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec176.370.0090.030.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec178.37­1.9996.161.254.92.2EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec168.677.7096.702.302.92.6ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.798.5898.574.172.00.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec166.919.4695.563.641.55.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec177.410.0092.340.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec179.41­1.9998.471.254.92.2ConstructionNewLamp&EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec169.717.7099.012.302.92.6andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.838.58100.874.172.00.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec167.959.4697.863.641.55.6EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacyDesignOptionLCCLCCSavingsInstalledPriceOperatingCostSavings(StartYear)PaybackPeriod%MeanLumensfromBaselinelms/W$$$$yrs%BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec143.020.0016.050.00N/A0.0EL5101.857WT8&0.88BFElec136.996.0322.721.793.76.2EventI:LampFailureA:LampReplacementEL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec133.569.4621.573.641.55.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec176.370.0090.030.00N/A0.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec178.37­1.9996.161.254.92.2EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec168.677.7096.702.302.92.68B­64EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.798.5898.574.172.00.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec166.919.4695.563.641.55.6EventV:NewBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec177.410.0092.340.00N/A0.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec179.41­1.9998.471.254.92.2ConstructionNewLamp&EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec169.717.7099.012.302.92.6andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.838.58100.874.172.00.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec167.959.4697.863.641.55.68B­65Table8B.41LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec136.400.009.430.00N/A0.0A:LampEL5101.857WT8&0.88BFElec129.476.9312.291.791.66.2ReplacementEL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec125.0311.3711.803.640.65.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec169.750.0083.410.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec168.241.5186.041.252.12.2EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec161.148.6186.272.301.22.6ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec157.7512.0087.074.170.90.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec158.3811.3785.783.640.65.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec170.790.0085.720.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec169.281.5188.351.252.12.2ConstructionNewLamp&EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec162.188.6188.582.301.22.6andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec158.7912.0089.384.170.90.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec159.4211.3788.093.640.65.68B­66Table8B.42LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec139.710.0012.740.00N/A0.0A:LampEL5101.857WT8&0.88BFElec133.236.4817.501.792.76.2ReplacementEL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec129.2910.4216.683.641.15.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec139.710.0012.740.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec139.95­0.2417.121.253.52.2EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec131.568.1517.502.302.12.6ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec129.4210.2918.834.171.50.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec129.2910.4216.683.641.15.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec139.710.0012.740.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec139.95­0.2417.121.253.52.2ConstructionNewLamp&EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec131.568.1517.502.302.12.6andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec129.4210.2918.834.171.50.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec129.2910.4216.683.641.15.68B.7.2.5ProductClass:8­footrecesseddoublecontactHO≤4,500KThefollowingtablespresentthefindingsofanLCCanalysisonthetwo8­footrecesseddoublecontacthighoutputGSFLbaselinesoperatingintheindustrialsector,consideringlowlampprices,highlampprices,ornoballastprices.KeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2008referencecaseelectricitypricesandananalysisperiodof2.3years.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora95WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.8B­67Table8B.43LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag168.230.0025.250.00N/A0.0A:LampEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag165.622.6242.9510.161.7­10.0ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag166.491.7443.8210.161.8­8.9EventI:EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec192.57­24.34123.359.4510.4­1.6LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag191.34­23.11120.8010.169.4­10.0BallastEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag192.22­23.99121.6810.169.5­8.9ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec183.20­14.97125.7715.346.6­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec151.0817.15131.0923.014.6­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag154.850.0025.250.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsLamp&EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec193.33­38.48125.669.4510.6­1.6EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag192.11­37.25123.1110.169.6­10.0InducedRetrofitBallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag192.98­38.13123.9910.169.7­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec183.96­29.11128.0815.346.7­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec151.843.01133.4023.014.7­11.38B­68Table8B.43LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag193.960.00103.110.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec192.571.39123.359.452.1­1.6EventIII:EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag191.342.62120.8010.161.7­10.0BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag192.221.74121.6810.161.8­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec183.2010.76125.7715.341.5­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec151.0842.88131.0923.011.2­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag194.720.00105.410.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec193.331.39125.669.452.1­1.6EL286.197WT12&0.9BFElec189.725.00109.957.365.20.0EL286.197WT12&0.91BFMag197.84­3.12105.862.186.60.0EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.9BFElec205.76­11.04127.218.484.40.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag192.112.62123.1110.161.7­10.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec183.9610.76128.0815.341.5­9.9EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag192.981.74123.9910.161.8­8.9EL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec179.5415.19128.8911.614.70.0EL493.086WT8&0.81BFElec190.544.18129.3510.956.00.0EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec179.3815.35133.4015.563.70.08B­69Table8B.44LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag157.210.0014.230.00N/A0.0A:LampEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag144.4812.7321.8210.160.7­10.0ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag144.8612.3522.1910.160.8­8.9EventI:EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec172.32­15.11103.119.459.4­1.6LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag170.21­13.0099.6710.168.4­10.0BallastEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag170.59­13.37100.0510.168.4­8.9ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec161.57­4.35104.1415.345.9­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec141.3615.86117.2823.014.5­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag149.370.0014.230.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsLamp&EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec173.08­23.71105.419.459.6­1.6EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag170.98­21.60101.9810.168.6­10.0InducedRetrofitBallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag171.35­21.98102.3510.168.7­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec162.33­12.96106.4515.346.0­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec142.127.25119.5923.014.6­11.38B­70Table8B.44LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag182.940.0092.090.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec172.3210.62103.119.451.2­1.6EventIII:EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag170.2112.7399.6710.160.7­10.0BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag170.5912.35100.0510.160.8­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec161.5721.37104.1415.340.8­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec141.3641.59117.2823.011.1­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag183.710.0094.400.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec173.0810.62105.419.451.2­1.6EL286.197WT12&0.9BFElec176.836.8898.687.364.70.0EL286.197WT12&0.91BFMag185.09­1.3894.582.185.80.0EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.9BFElec182.021.69106.078.482.90.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag170.9812.73101.9810.160.7­10.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec162.3321.37106.4515.340.8­9.9EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag171.3512.35102.3510.160.8­8.9EL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec171.6312.07117.6511.614.40.0EL493.086WT8&0.81BFElec179.813.90117.8510.955.70.0EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec167.4716.24119.5915.563.30.08B­71Table8B.45LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithNoBallastPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag162.720.0019.740.00N/A0.0A:LampEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag155.057.6732.3810.161.2­10.0ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag155.687.0533.0110.161.3­8.9EventI:EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec155.367.3631.289.451.2­1.6LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag155.057.6732.3810.161.2­10.0BallastEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag155.687.0533.0110.161.3­8.9ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec145.3017.4233.0115.340.9­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec112.8649.8723.2323.010.2­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag152.110.0019.740.00N/A0.0EventII:StandardsLamp&EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec155.36­3.2531.289.451.2­1.6EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag155.05­2.9432.3810.161.2­10.0InducedRetrofitBallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag155.68­3.5633.0110.161.3­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec145.306.8133.0115.340.9­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec112.8639.2623.2323.010.2­11.38B­72Table8B.45LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithNoBallastPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag162.720.0019.740.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec155.367.3631.289.451.2­1.6EventIII:EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag155.057.6732.3810.161.2­10.0BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag155.687.0533.0110.161.3­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec145.3017.4233.0115.340.9­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec112.8649.8723.2323.010.2­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag162.720.0019.740.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec155.367.3631.289.451.2­1.6EL286.197WT12&0.9BFElec151.4211.3120.067.360.90.0EL286.197WT12&0.91BFMag161.491.2320.062.181.40.0EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.9BFElec162.600.1332.388.482.00.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag155.057.6732.3810.161.2­10.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec145.3017.4233.0115.340.9­9.9EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag155.687.0533.0110.161.3­8.9EL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec133.3229.4020.0111.610.40.0EL493.086WT8&0.81BFElec139.9022.8220.3410.950.70.0EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec131.6331.0923.2315.560.60.08B­73Table8B.46LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag139.770.0017.100.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec162.48­22.71107.646.4814.05.8EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec177.15­37.38124.907.7813.96.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec178.02­38.26125.777.7814.07.8ReplacementBallastEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec144.21­4.44126.5812.858.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec148.23­8.46127.0412.858.60.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec145.70­5.93131.0915.547.3­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag130.480.0017.100.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec163.24­32.76109.956.4814.35.8EventII:EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec177.91­47.43127.217.7814.26.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec178.79­48.30128.087.7814.37.8InducedRetrofitReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec144.97­14.48128.8912.858.7­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec148.99­18.51129.3512.858.70.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec146.46­15.98133.4015.547.5­0.18B­74Table8B.46LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag165.500.0094.950.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec162.483.01107.646.482.05.8EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec177.15­11.65124.907.783.96.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec178.02­12.53125.777.784.07.8ReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec144.2121.29126.5812.852.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec148.2317.27127.0412.852.50.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec145.7019.79131.0915.542.3­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag166.260.0097.260.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec163.243.01109.956.482.05.8EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec177.91­11.65127.217.783.96.4ConstructionNewLamp&EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec178.79­12.53128.087.784.07.8andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec144.9721.29128.8912.852.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec148.9917.27129.3512.852.50.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec146.4619.79133.4015.542.3­0.18B­75Table8B.47LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag133.410.0010.740.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec151.21­17.8096.376.4813.25.8EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec156.02­22.61103.777.7812.06.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec156.39­22.98104.147.7812.07.8ReplacementBallastEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec137.82­4.42115.3512.858.1­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec140.14­6.73115.5412.858.20.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec135.98­2.57117.2815.546.9­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag127.320.0010.740.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec151.97­24.6598.686.4813.65.8EventII:EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec156.78­29.46106.077.7812.36.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec157.15­29.83106.457.7812.37.8InducedRetrofitReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec138.59­11.27117.6512.858.3­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec140.90­13.58117.8512.858.30.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec136.74­9.42119.5915.547.0­0.18B­76Table8B.47LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag159.140.0088.590.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec151.217.9296.376.481.25.8EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec156.023.12103.777.782.06.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec156.392.74104.147.782.07.8ReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec137.8221.31115.3512.852.1­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec140.1419.00115.5412.852.10.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec135.9823.16117.2815.541.8­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag159.900.0090.900.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec151.977.9298.686.481.25.8EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec156.783.12106.077.782.06.4ConstructionNewLamp&EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec157.152.74106.457.782.07.8andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec138.5921.31117.6512.852.1­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec140.9019.00117.8512.852.10.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec136.7423.16119.5915.541.8­0.18B­77Table8B.48LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithNoBallastPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag136.590.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec129.766.8220.066.480.95.8EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec139.50­2.9132.387.782.46.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec140.13­3.5433.017.782.57.8ReplacementBallastEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec107.6528.9320.0112.850.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec110.8225.7720.3412.850.50.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec107.4829.1123.2315.540.6­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag128.900.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec129.76­0.8620.066.480.95.8EventII:EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec139.50­10.6032.387.782.46.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec140.13­11.2233.017.782.57.8InducedRetrofitReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec107.6521.2520.0112.850.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec110.8218.0820.3412.850.50.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec107.4821.4223.2315.540.6­0.18B­78Table8B.48LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithNoBallastPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag136.590.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec129.766.8220.066.480.95.8EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec139.50­2.9132.387.782.46.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec140.13­3.5433.017.782.57.8ReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec107.6528.9320.0112.850.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec110.8225.7720.3412.850.50.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec107.4829.1123.2315.540.6­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag136.590.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec129.766.8220.066.480.95.8EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec139.50­2.9132.387.782.46.4ConstructionNewLamp&EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec140.13­3.5433.017.782.57.8andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec107.6528.9320.0112.850.5­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec110.8225.7720.3412.850.50.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec107.4829.1123.2315.540.6­0.18B­79

# 8B.7.3 Electricity Price Trend Case Results

Finally, D OE analyzed the impacts of high and low growth trends for future electricity

prices, as lamp and lamp­and­ballast system operating costs are directly related to future

electricity prices. Specifically, DOE examined the impacts of using the AEO2008 high and low

growth price trend cases instead of the reference case electricity prices. Chapter 8 describes and

compares the three price trends. The following tables present LCC savings and PBP results

using the low and high growth cases.

8B.7.3.1 P roduct Class: 4­foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K

The f ollowing tables present the findings of an LCC analysis on the three 4­foot medium

bipin GSFL baselines operating in the commercial sector with a CCT less than or equal to

4,500K, considering AEO2008 high and low growth price trend cases. Key inputs consist of

using medium lamp and ballast prices and an analysis period of 5.5 yrs. Note: Lamp

replacement results in Event I are not shown for a 34W T12 lamp because there are no energy

saving lamp replacement options.

8B­80Table8B.49LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag207.760.0013.960.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFMag184.5823.1825.137.271.5­10.3EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec213.09­5.3372.517.397.9­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec213.78­6.0377.167.628.3­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec213.69­5.9365.115.429.48.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec214.05­6.2977.457.628.33.3EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec190.7816.9877.0612.924.9­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec192.9614.8068.2110.935.0­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec171.1136.6560.9614.613.2­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec183.6124.1569.4913.394.1­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec178.8728.8873.2514.284.21.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec172.5035.2662.5214.613.3­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec176.6031.1668.8915.573.5­6.48B­81Table8B.49LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag200.940.0013.960.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec214.45­13.5274.827.398.2­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec215.15­14.2179.467.628.6­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec215.05­14.1167.425.429.98.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec215.41­14.4779.767.628.63.3EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec192.148.8079.3712.925.1­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec194.326.6270.5210.935.2­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec172.4728.4763.2614.613.4­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec184.9715.9771.8013.394.3­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec180.2420.7075.5614.284.31.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec173.8627.0864.8314.613.5­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec177.9722.9771.1915.573.7­6.4BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.88BFElec206.470.0065.890.00N/A­7.4EL180.541WT12&0.87BFElec212.08­5.6072.510.2328.2­4.6EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec213.78­7.3177.160.2347.9­2.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec214.05­7.5777.450.2349.23.3EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec190.7815.7077.065.542.0­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec192.9613.5268.213.550.7­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec171.1135.3760.967.220.0­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec183.6122.8669.496.000.6­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec178.8727.6073.256.891.11.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec172.5033.9862.527.220.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec176.6029.8768.898.180.4­6.4*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­82Table8B.49LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec215.050.0067.420.00N/A8.7EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec192.1422.9179.377.501.6­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec194.3220.7370.525.510.6­1.0EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec172.4742.5863.269.190.0­8.3BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec184.9730.0871.807.970.5­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec180.2434.8175.568.850.91.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec173.8641.1964.839.190.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec177.9737.0871.1910.150.4­6.48B­83Table8B.50LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag197.280.0013.960.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFMag175.8021.4725.136.921.6­10.3EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec204.34­7.0772.517.048.3­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec205.09­7.8277.167.268.7­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec204.48­7.2065.115.179.98.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec205.36­8.0877.457.268.73.3EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec183.3313.9577.0612.315.1­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec185.0412.2368.2110.425.2­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.0533.2260.9613.923.4­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec176.2721.0069.4912.764.4­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec171.7425.5373.2513.604.41.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec165.4431.8362.5213.923.5­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec169.7827.5068.8914.843.7­6.48B­84Table8B.50LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.95BFMag190.460.0013.960.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.88BFElec205.71­15.2574.827.048.6­3.5EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec206.45­16.0079.467.269.0­2.7EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec205.84­15.3867.425.1710.38.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec206.72­16.2679.767.269.13.3EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec184.695.7679.3712.315.3­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec186.414.0570.5210.425.4­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec165.4225.0463.2613.923.5­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec177.6412.8271.8012.764.5­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec173.1117.3575.5613.604.51.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec166.8123.6564.8313.923.7­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec171.1419.3271.1914.843.9­6.4BaselineBaseline78.041WT12&0.88BFElec197.730.0065.890.00N/A­7.4EL180.541WT12&0.87BFElec203.38­5.6672.510.2229.6­4.6EL182.941WT12&0.87BFElec205.09­7.3777.160.2250.3­2.7EL287.841WT12&0.87BFElec205.36­7.6377.450.2251.63.3EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec183.3314.4077.065.282.1­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec185.0412.6868.213.380.7­1.0EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec164.0533.6760.966.880.0­8.3EL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec176.2721.4569.495.720.6­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec171.7425.9873.256.561.11.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec165.4432.2862.526.880.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec169.7827.9568.897.800.4­6.4*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­85Table8B.50LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&1.18BFElec205.840.0067.420.00N/A8.7EL391.234WT12&0.88BFElec184.6921.1579.377.151.7­10.3EL390.832.5WT8&1BFElec186.4119.4370.525.250.6­1.0EventIV:EL492.332.5WT8&0.88BFElec165.4240.4263.268.750.0­8.3BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL493.830.4WT8&1BFElec177.6428.2071.807.590.6­2.0EL493.026.6WT8&1.18BFElec173.1132.7375.568.441.01.4EL595.432.5WT8&0.88BFElec166.8139.0364.838.750.0­6.2EL596.028.4WT8&1BFElec171.1434.7071.199.670.4­6.48B­86Table8B.51LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag173.600.0011.220.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec183.48­9.8966.845.669.87.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec188.48­14.8873.876.1310.210.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec169.434.1757.437.346.39.6EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec159.2914.3060.5310.414.74.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec188.75­15.1577.066.1310.718.5BallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec153.8919.7060.9611.324.45.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec151.9221.6861.8112.414.13.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec142.5631.0365.5714.363.82.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec149.9923.6162.5212.554.12.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.6926.9161.2014.173.5­1.3BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag168.040.0011.220.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec184.85­16.8169.155.6610.27.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec189.84­21.8076.186.1310.610.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec170.79­2.7559.747.346.69.6EventII:EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec160.667.3862.8410.415.04.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec190.11­22.0779.376.1311.118.5InducedRetrofitReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.2612.7863.2611.324.65.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec153.2814.7564.1112.414.33.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec143.9324.1167.8814.363.92.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec151.3516.6964.8312.554.32.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec148.0519.9863.5114.173.7­1.38B­87Table8B.51LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFElec179.790.0063.150.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.86BFElec181.45­1.6666.840.477.94.5EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec188.48­8.6873.870.4722.810.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec169.4310.3657.431.690.09.6EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec159.2920.5060.534.750.04.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec188.75­8.9577.060.4729.618.5ReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec153.8925.9060.965.670.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec151.9227.8761.816.750.03.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec142.5637.2365.578.700.32.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec149.9929.8162.526.890.02.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.6933.1061.208.520.0­1.3BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec170.790.0059.740.00N/A9.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec160.6619.1462.843.060.04.4EventIV:BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.2624.5463.263.980.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec153.2826.5164.115.060.23.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec143.9335.8767.887.020.72.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec151.3528.4464.835.210.32.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec148.0531.7463.516.830.1­1.38B­88Table8B.52LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag164.820.0011.220.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec176.04­11.2166.845.3910.37.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec181.14­16.3273.875.8410.710.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec162.382.4457.437.006.69.6EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec152.9611.8660.539.915.04.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec181.41­16.5977.065.8411.318.5BallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec147.7817.0460.9610.794.65.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.0618.7661.8111.824.33.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec137.1627.6665.5713.684.02.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec144.1620.6662.5211.964.32.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec141.2423.5861.2013.513.7­1.3BaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFMag159.260.0011.220.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.88BFElec177.40­18.1469.155.3910.77.0EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec182.50­23.2476.185.8411.110.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec163.74­4.4859.747.006.99.6EventII:EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec154.324.9462.849.915.24.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec182.77­23.5179.375.8411.718.5InducedRetrofitReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec149.1410.1263.2610.794.85.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec147.4211.8464.1111.824.53.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec138.5220.7467.8813.684.12.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec145.5213.7464.8311.964.52.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec142.6116.6663.5113.513.9­1.38B­89Table8B.17LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaselineBaselineBaseline77.934WT12&0.88BFElec172.350.0063.150.00N/A0.0EL182.434WT12&0.86BFElec174.11­1.7766.840.458.24.5EL285.334WT12&0.86BFElec181.14­8.7973.870.4523.910.9EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec162.389.9757.431.610.09.6EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec152.9619.3860.534.520.04.4EL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec181.41­9.0677.060.4531.118.5ReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec147.7824.5760.965.400.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.0626.2961.816.430.03.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec137.1635.1965.578.290.32.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec144.1628.1962.526.570.02.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec141.2431.1061.208.120.0­1.3BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec163.740.0059.740.00N/A9.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec154.3218.0262.842.920.04.4EventIV:BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec149.1423.2163.263.790.05.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec147.4224.9264.114.820.23.3EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec138.5233.8267.886.690.72.2EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec145.5226.8364.834.960.32.3EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec142.6129.7463.516.510.1­1.38B­90Table8B.53LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec142.600.0011.970.00N/A0.0EventI:LampEL493.830.4WT8&0.88BFElec137.435.1716.352.212.06.3FailureA:LampReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec115.7326.8720.117.021.2­6.7EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec131.3911.2015.744.160.91.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec169.430.0057.430.00N/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec159.2910.1460.533.061.0­4.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec153.8915.5460.963.980.9­3.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec151.9217.5161.815.060.9­5.7ReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec142.5626.8765.577.021.2­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.2814.1562.523.981.3­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec158.2311.2061.204.160.91.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec170.790.0059.740.00N/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec160.6610.1462.843.061.0­4.7EventV:NewEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec155.2615.5463.263.980.9­3.6ConstructionNewLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec153.2817.5164.115.060.9­5.7andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec143.9326.8767.887.021.2­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec156.6514.1564.833.981.3­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec159.5911.2063.514.160.91.68B­91Table8B.54LCCandPBPResultsforaThree­Lamp4­Foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec135.540.0011.970.00N/A0.0EventI:LampEL493.830.4WT8&0.88BFElec130.904.6516.352.102.16.3FailureA:LampReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec110.3225.2220.116.691.2­6.7EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec125.3210.2315.743.971.01.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec162.380.0057.430.00N/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec152.969.4260.532.921.1­4.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec147.7814.6060.963.790.9­3.6EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec146.0616.3261.814.820.9­5.7ReplacementEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec137.1625.2265.576.691.2­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec149.1713.2162.523.791.3­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec152.1510.2361.203.971.01.6BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec163.740.0059.740.00N/A0.0EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec154.329.4262.842.921.1­4.7EventV:NewEL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec149.1414.6063.263.790.9­3.6ConstructionNewLamp&EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec147.4216.3264.114.820.9­5.7andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec138.5225.2267.886.691.2­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec150.5313.2164.833.791.3­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.88BFElec153.5110.2363.513.971.01.6Forthe4­footmediumbipinproductclasswithCCTlessthanorequalto4,500Kintheresidentialsector,DOEanalyzedonebaselinelamp:a40WT12.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPresultsforthis4­footmediumbipinbaselineoperatingintheresidentialsectorundertheAEO2008highandlowgrowthelectricitypricetrendcases.Keyinputsconsistofusingmediumlampandballastprices.Forthelampfailureevent,residentialhighoperatinghours(of1,210hoursperyear)wereused,andtheanalysisperiodis2.5years.Forotherevents,residentialaverageoperatinghours(of789hoursperyear)wereused,andtheanalysisperiodis15years.8B­92Table8B.55LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseandAverageOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag112.250.0049.470.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec103.029.2351.001.081.40.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec102.839.4247.220.720.07.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec106.116.1354.101.084.32.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec94.9517.2951.901.991.20.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec94.9617.2948.641.660.01.1EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec106.315.9354.291.084.58.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag111.760.4957.950.909.4­5.3ReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec97.0815.1654.031.992.37.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec95.1717.0850.711.840.74.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec95.4516.7950.991.840.89.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec93.8918.3651.562.061.03.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec90.3621.8954.072.671.7­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec94.0218.2352.032.091.26.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec92.0520.2051.162.200.82.7BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec103.460.0050.950.00N/A0.0EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec99.394.0756.340.9544.5­5.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec99.344.1353.020.6262.6­4.7EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL492.332.5WT8&0.78BFElec99.623.8453.300.6263.00.2EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec97.735.7353.870.8745.8­5.7EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec97.086.3856.371.1935.7­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec98.804.6654.340.8149.8­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec94.369.1053.461.1733.8­10.08B­93Table8B.56LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseandAverageOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag109.000.0049.470.00N/A0.0EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec100.338.6751.001.041.50.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec99.959.0547.220.700.07.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec103.425.5754.101.044.42.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec92.7316.2751.901.911.30.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec92.5616.4448.641.590.01.1EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec103.625.3854.291.044.68.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag108.970.0257.950.879.8­5.3ReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec94.8514.1454.031.912.47.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec92.8716.1350.711.780.74.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec93.1515.8550.991.780.99.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec91.7017.3051.561.981.13.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec88.4820.5254.072.571.8­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec91.8417.1552.032.021.36.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec89.9319.0651.162.120.82.7BaselineBaseline/EL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec100.740.0050.950.00N/A0.0EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec97.163.5856.340.9246.2­5.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec96.943.8153.020.6065.0­4.7EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL492.332.5WT8&0.78BFElec97.223.5253.300.6065.50.2EL493.830.4WT8&0.78BFElec95.465.2953.870.8447.6­5.7EL493.026.6WT8&0.88BFElec94.975.7756.371.1437.1­6.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec96.504.2454.340.7851.7­1.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec92.248.5053.461.1335.1­10.08B­94Table8B.57LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseandHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag25.940.003.980.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag31.28­5.3412.461.396.1­5.3EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec33.11­7.1751.001.6628.30.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec33.26­7.3247.221.1139.07.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec34.01­8.0754.101.6630.22.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec30.23­4.2951.903.0515.70.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec30.42­4.4848.642.5417.61.1EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec34.07­8.1354.291.6630.38.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag35.76­9.8257.951.3939.0­5.3EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec30.85­4.9254.033.0516.47.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec30.38­4.4450.712.8316.54.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec30.46­4.5250.992.8316.69.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec29.88­3.9451.563.1615.13.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec28.50­2.5654.074.0912.2­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec29.90­3.9652.033.2115.06.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec29.26­3.3251.163.3814.02.78B­95Table8B.58LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­Foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseandHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline76.841WT12&0.68BFMag25.060.003.980.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag30.53­5.4712.461.336.4­5.3EL180.541WT12&0.65BFElec32.37­7.3251.001.6029.40.3EL182.434WT12&0.85BFElec32.47­7.4247.221.0740.67.5EL182.941WT12&0.65BFElec33.28­8.2254.101.6031.32.3EL285.334WT12&0.75BFElec29.63­4.5751.902.9316.30.7EL286.232.5WT8&0.78BFElec29.77­4.7148.642.4518.31.1EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL287.841WT12&0.65BFElec33.34­8.2854.291.6031.58.6EL391.234WT12&0.66BFMag35.01­9.9557.951.3340.5­5.3EL391.234WT12&0.75BFElec30.25­5.1954.032.9317.17.6EL390.832.5WT8&0.75BFElec29.75­4.6950.712.7217.24.5EL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec29.83­4.7850.992.7217.39.9EL493.830.4WT8&0.75BFElec29.29­4.2351.563.0415.73.4EL493.026.6WT8&0.78BFElec27.99­2.9354.073.9412.7­5.7EL595.432.5WT8&0.71BFElec29.31­4.2552.033.0915.56.4EL596.028.4WT8&0.78BFElec28.69­3.6351.163.2514.52.78B­96

# 8B.7.3.2 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤ 4,500K

For t he 4­foot T5 miniature bipin high output product class with CCT less than or equal

to 4,500K in the industrial sector, DOE analyzed one baseline lamp: a 54W T5. For this

baseline, the analysis period is 3.9 years. Other key inputs consist of using medium lamp and

ballast prices. The following tables present the LCC savings and PBP results for the product

class under the AEO2008 high growth and low growth electricity price trend cases.

8B­97Table8B.59LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinHighOutputSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec128.620.0010.440.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec131.95­3.3319.850.9210.259.4BaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec160.160.0069.030.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLampandBallastReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec163.49­3.3378.440.9210.259.4EventV:NewBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec161.410.0071.330.00N/A0.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL192.953.8WT5&1BFElec104.3857.0276.3613.760.00.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL198.051WT5&1BFElec103.3258.0980.7414.340.00.08B­98Table8B.60LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinHighOutputSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec121.570.0010.440.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec125.07­3.5019.850.8710.859.4BaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec153.110.0069.030.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLampandBallastReplacementEL198.051WT5&1BFElec156.61­3.5078.440.8710.859.4EventV:NewBaselineBaseline76.653.8WT5&1BFElec154.350.0071.330.00N/A0.0ConstructionNewLamp&EL192.953.8WT5&1BFElec99.9654.3976.3612.990.00.0andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL198.051WT5&1BFElec99.0055.3580.7413.530.00.08B­99

# 8B.7.3.3 Product Class: 4­foot T5 miniature bipin standard output ≤ 4,500K

For t he 4­foot T5 miniature bipin standard output product class with CCT less than or

equal to 4,500K in the commercial sector, DOE analyzed one baseline lamp: a 28W T5. For this

baseline, the analysis period is 5.5 years. Other key inputs consist of using medium lamp and

ballast prices. The following tables present the LCC savings and PBP results for the product

class under the AEO2008 high growth and low growth electricity price trend cases.

8B­100Table8B.61LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinStandardOutputSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacyDesignOptionLCCLCCSavingsInstalledPriceOperatingCostSavings(StartYear)PaybackPeriod%MeanLumensfromBaselinelms/W$$$$yrs%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec115.690.009.390.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL2111.526WT5&1.15BFElec114.331.3614.861.124.958.9BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec149.630.0066.890.00N/A0.0EventIII:EL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec139.2410.3970.653.271.131.3BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec137.9011.7372.854.091.535.5EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec128.6720.9672.365.651.024.4BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec150.990.0069.200.00N/A0.0EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec107.1143.8872.968.320.00.0EL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec102.7948.2075.169.430.00.0EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec104.5646.4374.679.340.00.08B­101Table8B.62LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp4­FootT5MiniatureBipinStandardOutputSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec109.940.009.390.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL2111.526WT5&1.15BFElec108.841.1014.861.075.158.9BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec143.880.0066.890.00N/A0.0EventIII:EL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec134.269.6270.653.121.231.3BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec133.1110.7772.853.901.535.5EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec124.2519.6372.365.391.024.4BaselineBaseline86.027.8WT5&1.15BFElec145.250.0069.200.00N/A0.0EventV:NewConstructionandRenovationNewLamp&BallastPurchaseEL1104.327.8WT5&0.95BFElec103.3241.9272.967.930.00.0EL2109.727.8WT5&0.9BFElec99.2645.9975.168.980.00.0EL2111.526WT5&0.9BFElec101.0144.2374.678.900.00.08B­102

# 8B.7.3.4 Product Class: 8­foot single pin slimline ≤ 4,500K

The f ollowing tables present the findings of an LCC analysis on the three 8­foot single

pin slimline GSFL baselines operating in the commercial sector with a CCT less than or equal to

4,500K, considering AEO2008 high and low growth electricity price trend cases. Key inputs

consist of using medium lamp and ballast prices and an analysis period of 4.0 years. Note: Lamp

replacement results in Event I are not shown for a 60W T12 lamp because there are no energy

saving lamp replacement options.

8B­103Table8B.63LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag203.190.0016.160.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.88BFMag165.3837.8219.4311.070.3­13.1EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&Baseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag203.190.0016.160.00N/A0.0EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec214.07­10.8795.319.008.8­5.7BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec210.07­6.8897.219.009.0­2.5ReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec229.95­26.76109.872.7933.59.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec180.3922.8192.8215.644.9­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag194.410.0016.160.00N/A0.0EventII:EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec215.11­20.7097.629.009.1­5.7StandardsLamp&BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec211.12­16.7099.529.009.3­2.5InducedRetrofitReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec230.99­36.58112.182.7934.49.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec181.4312.9995.1215.645.1­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.88BFElec209.580.0088.940.00N/A­6.4EventIII:EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec214.07­4.4895.311.046.1­5.7BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec210.07­0.4997.211.048.0­2.5EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec180.3929.2092.827.680.5­8.1EventIV:BallastRetrofitBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec230.990.00112.180.00N/A9.0Lamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec181.4349.5695.1212.840.0­8.18B­104Table8B.64LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag193.680.0016.160.00N/A0.0A:LampReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.88BFMag157.7935.8919.4310.550.3­13.1EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&Baseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag193.680.0016.160.00N/A0.0EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec206.12­12.4495.318.579.2­5.7BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec202.13­8.4597.218.579.5­2.5ReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec220.92­27.24109.872.6635.29.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec173.5920.0992.8214.905.1­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.94BFMag184.900.0016.160.00N/A0.0EventII:EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec207.16­22.2697.628.579.5­5.7StandardsLamp&BallastEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec203.17­18.2799.528.579.7­2.5InducedRetrofitReplacementEL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec221.96­37.06112.182.6636.19.0EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec174.6310.2795.1214.905.3­8.1BaselineBaseline85.675WT12&0.88BFElec201.460.0088.940.00N/A­6.4EventIII:EL187.375WT12&0.85BFElec206.12­4.6695.310.996.4­5.7BallastFailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL292.075WT12&0.85BFElec202.13­0.6797.210.998.4­2.5EL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec173.5927.8692.827.310.5­8.1EventIV:BallastRetrofitBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&1.18BFElec221.960.00112.180.00N/A9.0Lamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.88BFElec174.6347.3395.1212.240.0­8.18B­105Table8B.65LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag160.430.0011.330.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec177.24­16.8188.796.5711.86.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec176.36­15.9392.216.5712.313.5BallastEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec176.89­16.4686.724.5616.510.0ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.06­6.6391.108.849.03.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec164.48­4.0691.488.139.93.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec166.18­5.7592.828.849.210.1BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag154.060.0011.330.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec178.28­24.2291.106.5712.16.7EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec177.40­23.3494.526.5712.713.5EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec177.93­23.8789.034.5617.010.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.10­14.0493.418.849.33.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec165.52­11.4693.798.1310.13.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.22­13.1695.128.849.510.18B­106Table8B.65LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFElec174.860.0084.110.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec177.24­2.3888.791.044.56.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec176.36­1.5092.211.047.813.5ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.067.8091.103.312.13.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec164.4810.3791.482.602.83.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec166.188.6892.823.312.610.1BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec177.930.0089.030.00N/A10.0EventIV:EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec168.109.8393.414.281.03.2BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec165.5212.4193.793.571.33.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.2210.7195.124.281.410.18B­107Table8B.66LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag152.840.0011.330.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec170.79­17.9688.796.2612.46.7EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec169.92­17.0892.216.2612.913.5BallastEL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec170.10­17.2686.724.3517.310.0ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec161.01­8.1791.108.439.53.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec158.31­5.4791.487.7510.33.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec160.13­7.2992.828.439.710.1BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFMag146.480.0011.330.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec171.84­25.3691.106.2612.76.7EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec170.96­24.4894.526.2613.313.5EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec171.14­24.6689.034.3517.910.0EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec162.05­15.5893.418.439.73.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec159.35­12.8893.797.7510.63.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec161.17­14.6995.128.439.910.18B­108Table8B.66LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline/EL187.660.5WT12&0.88BFElec168.230.0084.110.00N/A0.0EL292.660.5WT12&0.85BFElec170.79­2.5688.790.994.76.7EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL397.560.5WT12&0.85BFElec169.92­1.6892.210.998.213.5ReplacementEL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec161.017.2291.103.152.23.2EL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec158.319.9291.482.473.03.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec160.138.1092.823.152.810.1BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec171.140.0089.030.00N/A10.0EventIV:EL498.260.1WT8&0.78BFElec162.059.0893.414.081.13.2BallastRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL5101.857WT8&0.78BFElec159.3511.7893.793.401.43.6EL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec161.179.9795.124.081.510.18B­109Table8B.67LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec143.540.0012.740.00N/A0.0A:LampEL5101.857WT8&0.88BFElec136.886.6617.501.842.66.2ReplacementEL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec132.7610.7816.683.741.15.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec176.890.0086.720.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec177.01­0.1291.101.283.42.2EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec168.508.3991.482.362.02.6ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec166.1810.7192.824.281.40.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec166.1110.7890.673.741.15.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec177.930.0089.030.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec178.05­0.1293.411.283.42.2ConstructionNewLamp&EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec169.548.3993.792.362.02.6andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec167.2210.7195.124.281.40.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec167.1510.7892.983.741.15.68B­110Table8B.68LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec136.740.0012.740.00N/A0.0A:LampEL5101.857WT8&0.88BFElec130.406.3417.501.752.76.2ReplacementEL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec126.6110.1316.683.561.15.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec170.100.0086.720.00N/A0.0EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec170.44­0.3491.101.223.62.2EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec162.127.9791.482.252.12.6ReplacementEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec160.139.9792.824.081.50.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec159.9610.1390.673.561.15.6BaselineBaseline/EL394.860.1WT8&0.88BFElec171.140.0089.030.00N/A0.0EventV:NewEL498.260.1WT8&0.85BFElec171.48­0.3493.411.223.62.2ConstructionNewLamp&EL5101.857WT8&0.85BFElec163.167.9793.792.252.12.6andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL5101.560.1WT8&0.78BFElec161.179.9795.124.081.50.1EL5103.655WT8&0.88BFElec161.0010.1392.983.561.15.68B­111

# 8B.7.3.5 Product Class: 8­foot recessed double contact HO ≤ 4,500K

The f ollowing tables present the findings of an LCC analysis on the two 8­foot recessed

double contact high output GSFL baselines operating in the industrial sector, considering

AEO2008 high and low growth electricity price trend cases. Key inputs consist of using an

analysis period of 2.3 years. Note: Lamp replacement results in Event I are not shown for a 95W

T12 lamp because there are no energy saving lamp replacement options.

8B­112Table8B.69LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag167.610.0019.740.00N/A0.0A:LampEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag159.248.3832.3810.461.2­10.0ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag159.867.7533.0110.461.3­8.9EventI:LampEL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec186.68­19.07113.239.739.6­1.6FailureEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag184.97­17.35110.2410.468.7­10.0B:Lamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag185.59­17.98110.8610.468.7­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec176.22­8.60114.9615.806.0­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec149.5218.09124.1923.684.4­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag157.000.0019.740.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec187.44­30.44115.549.739.8­1.6EventII:StandardsEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag185.73­28.73112.5410.468.9­10.0InducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag186.35­29.35113.1710.468.9­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec176.98­19.98117.2715.806.2­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec150.286.72126.4923.684.5­11.38B­113Table8B.69LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag193.340.0097.600.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec186.686.66113.239.731.6­1.6EventIII:BallastEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag184.978.38110.2410.461.2­10.0FailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag185.597.75110.8610.461.3­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec176.2217.13114.9615.801.1­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec149.5243.82124.1923.681.1­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag194.100.0099.900.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec187.446.66115.549.731.6­1.6EL286.197WT12&0.9BFElec187.666.45104.327.574.80.0EL286.197WT12&0.91BFMag196.20­2.10100.222.256.00.0EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.9BFElec198.19­4.09116.648.723.60.0ConstructionandNewLamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag185.738.38112.5410.461.2­10.0RenovationBallastPurchaseEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec176.9817.13117.2715.801.1­9.9EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag186.357.75113.1710.461.3­8.9EL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec179.6714.43123.2711.954.40.0EL493.086WT8&0.81BFElec189.314.80123.6011.275.70.0EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec177.2416.87126.4916.013.40.08B­114Table8B.70LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag158.820.0019.740.00N/A0.0A:LampEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag151.707.1132.389.871.3­10.0ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag152.336.4933.019.871.3­8.9EventI:LampEL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec179.06­20.24113.239.1810.2­1.6FailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag177.43­18.61110.249.879.2­10.0BallastEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag178.06­19.24110.869.879.2­8.9ReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec169.32­10.51114.9614.916.4­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec143.5815.24124.1922.354.7­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag148.210.0019.740.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec179.82­31.62115.549.1810.4­1.6EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag178.19­29.99112.549.879.4­10.0EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag178.82­30.61113.179.879.5­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec170.09­21.88117.2714.916.5­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec144.343.86126.4922.354.8­11.38B­115Table8B.70LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag184.540.0097.600.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec179.065.49113.239.181.7­1.6EventIII:BallastEL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag177.437.11110.249.871.3­10.0FailureLamp&BallastReplacementEL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag178.066.49110.869.871.3­8.9EL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec169.3215.22114.9614.911.2­9.9EL595.386WT8&0.88BFElec143.5840.96124.1922.351.2­11.3BaselineBaseline80.1113WT12&0.95BFMag185.310.0099.900.00N/A0.0EL183.2113WT12&0.88BFElec179.825.49115.549.181.7­1.6EL286.197WT12&0.9BFElec179.775.54104.327.155.10.0EL286.197WT12&0.91BFMag187.68­2.37100.222.126.40.0EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.9BFElec190.45­5.14116.648.233.80.0ConstructionandNewLamp&EL387.697WT12&0.91BFMag178.197.11112.549.871.3­10.0RenovationBallastPurchaseEL388.997WT12&0.9BFElec170.0915.22117.2714.911.2­9.9EL388.997WT12&0.91BFMag178.826.49113.179.871.3­8.9EL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec172.3212.99123.2711.284.70.0EL493.086WT8&0.81BFElec181.873.44123.6010.646.00.0EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec170.3714.93126.4915.113.60.08B­116Table8B.71LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag140.780.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec160.59­19.81102.016.6713.25.8EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&BallastEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec170.23­29.46114.338.0012.56.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec170.86­30.08114.968.0012.67.8ReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec144.32­3.54120.9613.228.1­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec147.48­6.71121.2913.228.10.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec143.96­3.18124.1915.996.9­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag133.090.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec161.35­28.26104.326.6713.55.8EventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitLamp&BallastReplacementEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec171.00­37.91116.648.0012.86.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec171.62­38.53117.278.0012.97.8EL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec145.08­11.99123.2713.228.3­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec148.25­15.16123.6013.228.30.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec144.72­11.63126.4915.997.0­0.18B­117Table8B.71LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag166.500.0091.770.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec160.595.92102.016.671.55.8EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec170.23­3.73114.338.002.86.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec170.86­4.36114.968.002.97.8ReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec144.3222.19120.9613.222.2­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec147.4819.02121.2913.222.20.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec143.9622.55124.1915.992.0­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag167.270.0094.080.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec161.355.92104.326.671.55.8EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec171.00­3.73116.648.002.86.4ConstructionNewLamp&EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec171.62­4.36117.278.002.97.8andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec145.0822.19123.2713.222.2­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec148.2519.02123.6013.222.20.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec144.7222.55126.4915.992.0­0.18B­118Table8B.72LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag133.240.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec153.86­20.62102.016.3014.05.8EventI:LampFailureB:Lamp&EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec163.66­30.42114.337.5513.36.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec164.29­31.05114.967.5513.47.8ReplacementBallastEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec138.38­5.14120.9612.488.6­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec141.54­8.30121.2912.488.60.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec138.35­5.11124.1915.097.3­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag125.560.0013.920.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec154.62­29.06104.326.3014.45.8EventII:EL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec164.43­38.87116.647.5513.66.4StandardsLamp&BallastEL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec165.05­39.50117.277.5513.77.8InducedRetrofitReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec139.14­13.59123.2712.488.8­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec142.31­16.75123.6012.488.80.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec139.11­13.56126.4915.097.5­0.18B­119Table8B.72LCCandPBPResultsforaTwo­Lamp8­Foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCase(continued)EventResponseEfficacyLevelRatedLampEfficacylms/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%MeanLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag158.970.0091.770.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec153.865.11102.016.301.65.8EventIII:BallastFailureLamp&BallastEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec163.66­4.70114.337.553.06.4EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec164.29­5.32114.967.553.17.8ReplacementEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec138.3820.59120.9612.482.3­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec141.5417.42121.2912.482.40.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec138.3520.62124.1915.092.1­0.1BaselineBaseline82.597WT12&0.91BFMag159.730.0094.080.00N/A0.0EL286.197WT12&0.89BFElec154.625.11104.326.301.65.8EventV:NewEL387.697WT12&0.88BFElec164.43­4.70116.647.553.06.4ConstructionNewLamp&EL388.997WT12&0.88BFElec165.05­5.32117.277.553.17.8andRenovationBallastPurchaseEL491.986WT8&0.88BFElec139.1420.59123.2712.482.3­1.2EL493.086WT8&0.88BFElec142.3117.42123.6012.482.40.2EL595.386WT8&0.81BFElec139.1120.62126.4915.092.1­0.18B­120

# 8B.8 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR RESULTS

DOE a nalyzed three IRL baselines in the commercial and residential sectors: a 90W

PAR38 lamp, a 75W PAR38 lamp, and a 50W PAR30 lamp. For each of the three baselines,

DOE conducts both probability analyses (based on Monte Carlo runs) and scenario analyses.

8B.8.1 M onte Carlo Results

Similar t o GSFL, to characterize the LCC savings and Monte Carlo results for IRL DOE

developed tables to describe the results distributions. These tables document the average LCC

savings and percentages of building analyzed with positive and negative LCC savings for each

lamp design. In addition, to characterize the distribution of payback periods, DOE reports the

median and average payback period for every lamp design and EL. The following tables present

the LCC savings and PBP Monte Carlo results for the three IRL baselines operating in the

commercial and residential sectors. Key inputs consist of using the AEO2008 reference case

electricity prices and medium­range lamp prices.

8B­121Table8B.73LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrsMeanPBPyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen­0.0235.164.90.90.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR5.61100.00.00.80.80.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)3.17100.00.00.50.50.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR5.42100.00.00.30.3­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR7.35100.00.00.50.50.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus8.66100.00.00.50.5­3.88B­122Table8B.74LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrsMeanPBPyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%Baseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen0.1756.143.92.52.30.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventLampEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR4.62100.00.02.42.20.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)3.02100.00.01.41.30.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR5.57100.00.00.90.8­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR7.17100.00.01.41.30.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus8.80100.00.01.31.2­3.88B­123Table8B.75LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrsMeanPBPyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen­0.2816.483.61.21.10.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR5.29100.00.01.01.00.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)2.67100.00.00.60.60.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR4.12100.00.00.40.40.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR6.33100.00.00.60.60.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus6.92100.00.00.60.60.08B­124Table8B.76LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrsMeanPBPyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen­0.1328.871.23.23.00.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR4.23100.00.02.82.60.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)2.41100.00.01.71.60.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR4.06100.00.01.21.10.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR5.96100.00.01.61.50.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus6.78100.00.01.71.60.08B­125Table8B.77LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrsMeanPBPyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen­0.346.094.01.71.70.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR2.80100.00.01.61.5­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)­0.0334.565.51.11.10.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR0.6696.93.10.80.80.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR1.85100.00.01.21.17.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus1.54100.00.01.41.421.48B­126Table8B.78LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionAverageLCCSavings$NetBenefit%NetCost%MedianPBPyrsMeanPBPyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen­0.289.190.94.84.50.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR2.23100.00.04.44.2­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)0.1143.256.83.12.90.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR0.8998.61.42.22.00.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR1.6999.70.33.33.17.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus1.4997.32.73.93.721.48B.8.2LampPriceScenarioResultsAsmentionedearlier,DOEalsoanalyzedLCCsavingsandPBPresultsusingascenarioanalysis.Specifically,becausetheLCCandPBPresultsarehighlydependentonequipmentprices,DOEexaminedseveralsensitivitiestothemediumlamppriceresultspresentedinChapter8.Chapter7describedthreeprices(low,medium,andhigh)DOEdevelopedforeachIRLlampdesign.ThefollowingtablespresentthefindingsoftheLCCandPBPanalysesonthethreeIRLbaselinesoperatinginthecommercialandresidentialsectors,consideringlowlamppricesandhighlampprices.KeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2008referencecaseelectricityprices,averageoperatinghoursineachsector,andananalysisperiodof0.9yearsinthecommercialsectorand3.4yearsintheresidentialsector.8B­127Table8B.79LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen36.180.007.910.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen36.63­0.449.161.311.00.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR29.117.079.992.290.90.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)32.273.919.763.350.60.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR29.946.249.996.100.3­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR27.828.3711.757.320.50.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus26.689.5012.509.150.5­3.8EventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailure;orEventV:NewConstructionandRenovationBaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen35.600.007.910.00N/A0.0LampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL115.385.7W,15.3lm/W&2500hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Xenon)36.07­0.479.161.281.00.0EL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR28.587.039.992.240.90.08B­128EL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)31.763.849.763.280.60.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR29.496.119.995.960.4­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR27.398.2111.757.150.50.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus26.309.3112.508.940.5­3.88B­129Table8B.80LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen35.140.006.840.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen35.40­0.268.100.432.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR29.645.508.930.742.80.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)32.162.998.701.091.70.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR29.725.428.931.981.1­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR28.077.0710.692.381.60.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus26.438.7211.442.981.5­3.88B­130Table8B.81LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen31.620.004.480.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen31.240.385.121.310.50.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR26.615.025.532.290.50.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)27.933.705.413.350.30.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR25.486.155.536.100.2­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR23.727.906.417.320.30.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus22.309.336.789.150.3­3.88B­131Table8B.82LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen30.940.003.420.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen30.430.504.050.431.50.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR27.073.874.470.741.40.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)27.813.134.351.090.80.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR25.255.684.471.980.5­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR23.847.105.342.380.80.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus22.128.815.722.980.8­3.88B­132Table8B.83LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen31.910.007.910.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen32.64­0.739.161.011.20.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR25.216.709.991.891.10.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)28.573.349.762.740.70.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR27.094.829.994.570.50.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR24.687.2311.756.100.60.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus24.327.5912.507.110.60.08B­133Table8B.84LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen30.690.006.840.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen31.25­0.568.100.333.80.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR25.575.128.930.613.40.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)28.302.398.700.892.10.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR26.753.948.931.491.40.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR24.805.8810.691.981.90.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus23.966.7311.442.312.00.08B­134Table8B.85LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen27.350.004.480.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen27.250.105.121.010.60.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR22.704.655.531.890.60.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)24.223.135.412.740.30.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR22.634.725.534.570.20.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR20.586.766.416.100.30.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus19.937.426.787.110.30.08B­135Table8B.86LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen26.480.003.420.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen26.280.204.050.331.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR23.003.484.470.611.70.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)23.952.534.350.891.00.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR22.284.204.471.490.70.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR20.575.915.341.981.00.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus19.666.825.722.311.00.08B­136Table8B.87LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen21.350.007.100.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen21.98­0.638.360.671.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR18.263.099.191.221.7­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)21.77­0.438.951.521.20.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR21.100.259.192.500.80.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR19.791.5610.943.051.37.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus20.370.9811.703.051.521.48B­137Table8B.88LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen20.880.006.040.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen21.49­0.607.290.225.80.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR18.332.558.120.405.3­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)21.25­0.377.890.503.70.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR20.540.358.120.812.60.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR19.711.189.880.993.97.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus19.881.0010.640.994.621.48B­138Table8B.89LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen18.330.004.080.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen18.330.004.710.670.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR15.982.355.121.220.9­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)17.830.505.011.520.60.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR17.041.295.122.500.40.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR16.002.336.003.050.67.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus16.441.896.583.050.821.48B­139Table8B.90LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowLampPricesEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen17.870.003.020.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen17.840.023.650.222.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR16.001.874.060.402.6­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)17.310.563.940.501.90.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR16.481.394.060.811.30.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR15.792.074.940.991.97.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus16.031.845.520.992.521.48B.8.3OperatingHourScenarioResultsInadditiontoanalyzinglamppricesensitivitiestotheanalysis,DOEalsoanalyzesLCCandPBPsensitivitiestooperatinghours.Asdiscussedearlier,MonteCarloresultstakeintoaccountdistributionsinoperatinghoursacrossbuildingtypes.Specifically,becausetheLCCandPBPresultsarehighlydependentonequipmentprices,DOEexaminedseveralsensitivities.However,intheresidentialsector,becausethereisalargerangeofhoursacrossroomtypes(notdepictedintheoperatinghourdistributionoverbuildingtypes)DOEanalyzeshighandlowoperatinghoursensitivityLCCandPBPresults.Forresidentialincandescentreflectorlamps,resultsusinghighoperatinghours(1,210hours/year:theaverageoperatinghoursofalampplacedinthekitchenofasinglefamilydetachedhome)andlowoperatinghours(183hours/year:theaverageoperatinghoursofalampplacedinaclosetofamultifamily2­4unithome)arepresented.TheseoperatinghourswereobtainedfromtheU.S.LightingMarketCharacterization:Volume8B­140Iii.ThefollowingtablesdepicttheseresultsfortheresidentialsectorusingkeyinputssuchasAEO2008referencecaseelectricitypricesandaveragelampprices.Thehighoperatinghourscenariousesananalysisperiodof2.5yearsandthelowoperatinghourscenariousesananalysisperiodof16.4years.Table8B.91LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen33.790.005.130.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen33.610.186.070.581.60.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR29.144.656.701.021.50.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)30.733.066.521.490.90.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR28.155.646.702.710.6­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR26.597.208.023.260.90.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus24.898.908.594.070.8­3.88B­141Table8B.92LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen25.260.005.130.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen25.43­0.176.070.0910.70.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR23.012.256.700.1510.20.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)23.481.786.520.236.20.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR21.733.536.700.413.8­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR21.353.928.020.495.90.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus20.444.828.590.625.6­3.88B­142Table8B.93LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen29.190.005.130.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen29.32­0.136.070.452.10.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR24.944.256.700.841.90.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)26.752.446.521.221.10.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR25.094.116.702.040.80.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR23.225.978.022.711.10.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus22.356.848.593.161.10.08B­143Table8B.94LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen22.040.005.130.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen22.42­0.386.070.0713.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR20.071.976.700.1312.30.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)20.691.356.520.187.50.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR19.582.466.700.315.10.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR18.983.068.020.417.00.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus18.663.388.590.487.20.08B­144Table8B.95LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen19.850.004.530.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen20.11­0.265.460.303.10.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR17.602.256.090.542.9­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)19.710.145.920.682.00.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR18.900.956.091.111.40.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR18.141.717.411.362.17.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus18.301.557.981.362.521.48B­145Table8B.96LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowOperatingHoursEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen15.260.004.530.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen15.73­0.475.460.0520.80.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR14.690.576.090.0819.1­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)15.58­0.325.920.1013.50.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR15.070.206.090.179.30.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR15.220.047.410.2114.07.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus15.61­0.357.980.2116.821.48B.8.4ElectricityPriceTrendCaseResultsBecausetheLCCandPBPresultsforIRLarealsohighlydependentonelectricityprices,DOEexaminedtheimpactsoftheAEO2008highandlowgrowthelectricitypricetrendcases.Chapter8describesthetwocasesandcomparesthemwiththeAEO2008referencecaseelectricitypricetrend.ThefollowingtablespresentthefindingsoftheLCCandPBPanalysesonthethreeIRLbaselinesoperatinginthecommercialandresidentialsectors,consideringhighandlowgrowthcases.Keyinputsconsistofusingmediumlampprices,averageoperatinghoursineachsector,andananalysisperiodof0.9yearsinthecommercialsectorand3.4yearsintheresidentialsector.8B­146Table8B.97LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen34.570.006.200.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen34.560.007.141.350.70.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR28.476.107.762.350.70.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)30.683.897.583.440.40.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR28.226.347.766.260.3­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR26.258.319.087.510.40.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus24.939.639.659.380.4­3.88B­147Table8B.98LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen33.670.005.130.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen33.520.156.070.442.20.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR28.934.746.700.762.10.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)30.543.136.521.111.20.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR27.985.696.702.020.8­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR26.417.258.022.431.20.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus24.708.978.593.041.1­3.88B­148Table8B.99LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen33.320.006.200.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen33.38­0.067.141.280.70.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR27.336.007.762.240.70.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)29.593.737.583.280.40.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR27.266.067.765.960.3­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR25.347.989.087.150.40.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus24.119.229.658.940.4­3.88B­149Table8B.100LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen32.560.005.130.00N/A0.085.7W,15.3lm/W&EL115.32500hrs,ImprovedHalogen32.460.106.070.422.20.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL215.982.5W,15.9lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR27.914.646.700.732.10.0V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL216.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)29.563.006.521.071.30.0EL318.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR27.115.456.701.950.8­3.8EL419.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR25.606.968.022.341.20.0EL521.060W,21lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus23.968.608.592.921.2­3.88B­150Table8B.101LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen30.180.006.200.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen30.47­0.297.141.030.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR24.465.727.761.940.80.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)26.883.307.582.820.50.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR25.304.887.764.690.30.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR23.047.149.086.260.50.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus22.517.679.657.290.50.08B­151Table8B.102LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen29.110.005.130.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen29.26­0.156.070.332.80.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR24.774.346.700.632.50.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)26.582.526.520.911.50.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR24.944.176.701.521.00.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR23.076.048.022.021.40.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus22.186.938.592.361.50.08B­152Table8B.103LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen29.150.006.200.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen29.48­0.337.140.981.00.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR23.515.637.761.850.80.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)25.973.187.582.680.50.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR24.474.677.764.470.40.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR22.286.879.085.960.50.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus21.807.359.656.940.50.08B­153Table8B.104LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen28.180.005.130.00N/A0.071.7W,14.6lm/W&EL114.62500hrs,ImprovedHalogen28.38­0.196.070.322.90.0(Xenon)EventI:LampEL215.368.8W,15.3lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR23.924.266.700.602.60.0Failure;orEventV:NewConstructionandLampReplacementorEL215.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)25.772.416.520.881.60.0RenovationNewLampPurchaseEL317.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR24.203.996.701.461.10.0EL419.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR22.395.798.021.951.50.0EL520.351.7W,20.3lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus21.546.658.592.271.50.08B­154Table8B.105LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen20.210.005.590.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen20.50­0.296.530.691.40.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR17.462.757.151.251.3­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)20.130.076.981.560.90.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR19.370.837.152.560.60.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR18.192.028.473.130.97.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus18.621.589.043.131.121.48B­155Table8B.106LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008HighGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen19.720.004.530.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen19.99­0.275.460.224.20.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR17.492.246.090.403.9­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)19.590.135.920.512.70.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR18.800.936.090.831.90.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR18.031.697.411.012.87.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus18.161.567.981.013.421.48B­156Table8B.107LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen19.520.005.590.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen19.84­0.336.530.661.40.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR16.822.707.151.191.3­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)19.510.006.981.490.90.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR18.800.727.152.440.60.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR17.641.888.472.981.07.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus18.071.459.042.981.221.48B­157Table8B.108LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorundertheAEO2008LowGrowthElectricityPriceTrendCaseEventResponseEfficacyLevelLampEfficacylms/WLampOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavings(StartYear)$PaybackPeriodyrs%InitialLumensfromBaseline%BaselineBaseline12.650W,12.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen19.110.004.530.00N/A0.047.8W,13.2lm/W&EL113.23000hrs,ImprovedHalogen19.41­0.305.460.214.40.0(Xenon)EventI:LampFailure;orEventEL213.546W,13.5lm/W&6000hrs,LongLifeHIR16.922.196.090.394.0­1.6V:NewConstructionandRenovationLampReplacementorNewLampPurchaseEL214.045W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen(Silver)19.040.075.920.492.90.0EL315.141.8W,15.1lm/W&3000hrs,HIR18.280.836.090.802.00.0EL417.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR17.541.577.410.973.07.9EL519.140W,19.1lm/W&4200hrs,ImprovedHIRPlus17.671.447.980.973.521.48B­158REFERENCESiU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,OfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergy.EnergyConservationProgramforConsumerProducts:FinalReport:U.S.LightingMarketCharacterization,VolumeI:NationalLightingInventoryandEnergyConsumptionEstimate.2002.Washington,D.C.<www.eere.energy.gov/buildings/info/documents/pdfs/lmc_vol1_final.pdf>iiU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,OfficeofEnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergy.EnergyConservationProgramforConsumerProducts:FinalReport:U.S.LightingMarketCharacterization,VolumeI:NationalLightingInventoryandEnergyConsumptionEstimate.2002.Washington,D.C.<www.eere.energy.gov/buildings/info/documents/pdfs/lmc_vol1_final.pdf>8B­159