Commercial Refrigeration

NOTE. Savings relative to typical new

Unit Energy Annual Energy Primary Annual

Installed Base/Stock Equipment Consumption Consumption Energy Consumption Energy Savings Potential Annual Primary Energy Primary Energy Savings Potential,

Equipment Type fthousandsl Lifetime fvearsl kf Wh/v Friuada/yrl uatls r Oh) Savings Potential fuuads/vrl 2Q1 Q.2Q35 )auadsl

Beverage Vending Machines 9,711 8.5 3000 0.038 0.122

1 1. <2 years payback (ECM motors for evaporator fans and high efficiency compressor )

32% 0.039 0.85

2 2. <5 years payback (high efficiency condenser fan motor ) 42% 0.051 1.11

Or 3. Energy Star Standard Tier 1 18% 0.022 0.48

4 4. Energy Star Standard Tier 2 33% 0.040 0.87

5 5. CEC January 1 , 2006 Standard 18% 0.022 0.48

6 6. CEC January 1, 2007 Standard 18% 0.022 0.09

Ice Cream Freezers Solid Door o 5 12446 0.00'. 0.012

1. CEC January t, 2007 Standard for Solid DOprS

21 2. Energy Star Standard __. _. _ ... _..

a,- 0.005

10 0.005

0.11

0.11

Ice Cream Freezers Transparent Door 5 0.000 0.013 13050

I F1. CEC January t, 2007 Standard for Transparent Doors c^.^ 7.000 0.00

Self-Contained Refrigerators , Freezers, and Refrigerators/Freezers (without doors) - 10 15105 0_.25

l F1. CEC January 1, 2007 Standard for Transparent Doors 0., 1 0.24

Remote Condensing Commercial Refrigerators , Freezers, and Refrigerator/Freezers 3 ) 10 541555 0.102 0.326

1 1. Brushless DC Evaporator Fan Motors b°a 0.026 0.55

2

2. Combination: Hot Gas Defrost, Antisweat Heater Control, Defrost Control, Liquid -Suction

Heat Exchangers for Low Temperature applications , Evaporative Condensers, Floating Head

Pressure , Heat Reclaim , and Mechanical Subcooling 7% 0.023 0.48

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Commercial RefrIgeratIon 

Control, Liquid·Suction 

Condensers, Floating Head 
Assumptions and References

Beverage Vending Machines Baseline ADL 1996 Report for canned, bottled, milk, and juice beverage vending machines. The energy consumption data from page 5-51, Table 4-34. [Reference t]

1. <2 years payback (ECM motors for evaporator fans and high

efficiency compressor) 1. ADL ( 1996)

2. <5 years payback (high efficient condenser tan motor) 2. ADL (1996)

3. Energy Star Standard Tier 1 3. Energy Star Standard for Qualified Beverage Vending Machines Y=0.55 8.66+0.009'C where C is vendible capacity assumed to be 400 cans comparing to UEC from EPAct 2005

4. Energy Star Standard Tier 2 4. Energy Star Standard for Qualified Beverage Vending Machines Y=0.45 8.66+0.009'C where C is vendible capacity assumed to be 400 cans comparing to UEC baseline

5. CEC January 1, 2006 Standard S. CEO Standard for Refrigerated canned and bottled beverage vending machines when tested at 90F or 75F 0.55 8.66 +0.009'C) where C = 400 can capacity comparing to UEC baseline

6. CEC January 1, 2007 Standard 6. CEC Standard for Refrigerated canned and bottled beverage vending machines when tested at 90F or 75F (0.55(8.66+0.009"C() where C = 400 can capacity comparing to UEC baseline

Ice Cream Freezers Solid or Baseline

Wall Street Journal, May 4, 2005. Article stating "Unilever owns 1.2 million retail ice-cream freezers. In the U, S., where most Ice cream is sold by big chains such as Wal-Mart Cores Inc., Unilever owns only about 60,000 retail freezers.' (Reference 2J he

Department used the information from the article to further validate its assumption that 10% of total reach-in freezers with solid and transparent doors are ice cream freezers from the CEC 2004 Article. (Reference 4] The Department found a 27% greater energy

consumption for ice cream freezers with solid doors when compared to solid door freezers using the CEC database.

1. CEC January 1, 2007 Standard for Solid Doors 1. CEC Standard for Roll-in or Roll-throw h cambinets that are freezers that are ice cream freezers, Table A-6 (1605.3). 48 fN3 0.39V +0.82

2. Energy Star Standard 3. Energy Star Standard for Qualified Commercial Solid Door Refrigerators and Freezers (0.39V +0.82), using 48 ft^3

Ice Cream Freezers Transparent Door Baseline The Department used the CEC 2004 Report Page 1 [Reference 4]. The Department found 16% greater energy consumption for ice cream freezers with transparent doors when compared to transparent door freezers using the CEC database.

1, CEC January 1, 2007 Standard for Transparent Doors 2. CEC Standard for Energy Star Qualified Commercial Solid Door Ice Cream Freezers, 48 iM3 (0.88V +0.33)

Self-Contained Refrigerators, Freezers,

and Refrigerators/Freezers (without doors) Baseline

CEC Report 2004 [Reference 3]

Open case refrigeration systems come in 3 configurations - compressor and condenser integrated into the case, compressor is in the case and condenser is remotely located, compressor and condenser are remotely located. FMI in 2002 estimated 32,265

supermarkets and the average supermarket has 60 to 80 display cases. The Department used energy consumption data from the CEC 2004 Report, Page 4, which stated 178,000 open supermakert cases in CA used 2700 GWh/yr. (Reference 3]

1. CEC January 1, 2007 Standard far Trans arent Doors k Codes and Standards Enhancement Iniative for P02004: Title 20 Standards Development Analysis of Standards Options for Open Case Refrigerators and Freezers (May 11, 2004) Davis Energy Group for CEC Table 1, Page 6

emo is Condensing ommerc a

r

r gera ors,

Freezers, and Refrigerator/Freezers Baseline ADL 1996 Report on Page 4-2. [Reference 1]

1. Brushless DC Evaporator Fan Motors F 2003 Priority Setting - Supermarket Refrigeration Estimates with Timetrame = 26 years and Primary Energy Use used for Energy Savings Calculation

2. Combination: Hot Gas Defrost, Antisweat Heater Control, Defrost

Control, Liquid-Suction Heat Exchangers for Low Temperature

applications, Evaporative Condensers, Floating Head Pressure, Heat

Reclaim, and Mechanical Subcoolin y 2003 Priority Setting - Supermarket Refri geration Estimates with Timetrame = 26 years and Primary Energy Use used for Energy Savings Calculation

References

1. ADL, 1996, "Energy Savings Potential for Commercial Refrigeration Equipment", Final Report to US Department of Energy, Of/ice of Building Technology, State and Community Programs, June 1996.

2. Ball, Jeffrey. Wall Street Journal "Companies Try Keeping Ice Cream Frozen, Emissions Down," May 4, 2005. Available at http://v»nv.greanpeace.org/usa/nevs/ask-and-ye shall-receive(companies-try-keeping-ice-crew

3. California Energy Commission, "Codes and Standards Enhancement Iniative for PY2004: Title 20 Standards Development Analysis of Standards Options for Open Case Refrigerators and Freezers," May 11, 2004. Prepared by Davis Energy Group for CEC Page 1, 2, and 4.

4. California Energy Commission, "Codes and Standards Enhancement Iniative for PY2004: Title 20 Standards Development Analysis of Standards Options for Commercial Packaged Refrigerators, Freezers, Refrigerator/Freezers, and Ice Makers," April 28, 2004. Prepared by ACEEE for CEC page 1.

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Assumptions and References 

Beverage Vending Machines Baseline 

1. < 2 years payback (ECM motors for evaporator fans and high 

efflciency compressor)' 

2. < 5 ears a back hi h efticienc condenser fan motor) 

3. Ener Star Standard Tier 1 

4. Ener Star Standard Tier 2 

S. CEC Janua 1, 2006 Standard 

6. CEC January 1, 2007 Standard 

Ice Cream Freezers Solid Door Baseline 

1. CEC January 1, 2007 Standard for Solid Doors 

2. EnerQY Star Standard 

Ice Cream Freezers Transparent Door Baseline 

1. CEC Janua I, 2007 Standard for Trans arent Doors 

Self-Contained Refrigerators, Freezers, 

and Refrigerators/Freezers (without doors) Baseline 

1. CEC January I, 2007 Standard for Trans arent Doors 

emo e t,;onaens n9 (.;ommerc aJ He r gera ors, 

Freezers, and Refrigerator/Freezers Baseline 

1. Brushless DC Eva orator Fan Motors 

2. Combination: Hot Gas Defrost, Antisweat Heater Control, Defrost 

Control, Liquid-Suction Heat Exchangers for Low Temperature 

applications, Evaporative Condensers, Floating Head Pressure, Heat 

AOL 1996 Report for canned, bottled, milk, and juice beverage vending machines. The energy consumption data tram page 5-51, Table 4-34. [Reference 1] 

1. ADL (1996) 

2. ADL 1996 

3. Ener Star Standard for Qualified Bevera e Vendin Machines Y 0.55 6. O.OOS·C 'r\tIere C is~andible ca acit assumed to be 400 cans com arin to UEC from ~PACI 200S 

4. Ener Slar Standard for Qualified Bevera e Vendin Machines Y _0.45 6. O.OOS*C where C is vandible assumed to be 400 cans com arin to UEC baseline 

S. CEC Standard for Refd erated canned and bottled bevera e v v.tlen tested at 90F or 'r\tIere C = 400 can ca acit com aring 10 UEC baseline 

6. CEC Standard for Refrigerated canned and bottled beverage vending machines 'r\tIen tested at 90F or where C 400 can capacity comparing to UEC baseline 

Wall ;::otreet Journal, May 4, 2005. Art!cle statIng "Umlever Ov.flS 1.2 m!lI!on retaIl Ice-cream freezers. In the U.;::o., >M1ere most Ice cream !s sold by big chainS such as Wal-Mart tores Inc., Umlever O'M1S only about 60,000 retaIl reezers." [Reference 2] he 

Department used the information from the article to further validate its assumption that 10% of total reach-in freezers with solid and transparent doors are ice cream freezers from the CEC 2004 Article. [Reference 4] The Department found a 27% greater energy 

consumption for ice cream freezers with solid doors 'r\tIen compared to solid door freezers using the CEC database. 

1. CEC Standard for Roll-in or Roll-throu h cambinets that are freezers that are ice cream freezers, Table A-6 1605.3, 46 ftl\3 0.3SV + 0.62 

3. Energy Star Standard for Qualified Commercial Solid Door Refrigerators and Freezers (0.39V + 0.82), using 48 ftA3 

The Department used the CEC 2004 Report Page 1 [Reference 4]. The Department found 16% greater energy consumption for ice cream freezers 'Nith transparent doors when compared to transparent door freezers using the CEC database. 

2. CEC Standard for Energy Star Qualified Commercial Solid Door Ice Cream Freezers, 46 ftl\3 (0.86V + 0.33) 

CEC Report 2004 [Reference 3] 

Open case refrigeration systems come in 3 configurations - compressor and condenser integrated into the case, compressor is in the case and condenser is remotely located, compressor and condenser are remotely located. FMI in 2002 estimated 32,265 

supermarkets and the average supermarket has 60 to 60 display cases. The Department used energy consumption data from the CEC 2004 Report, Page 4, v.tlich stated 178,000 open supermakert cases in CA used 2700 GWhlyr. [Reference 31 

Codes and Standards Enhancementlntative for PY2004: Title 20 Standards Development Analysis of Standards Options for Open Case Refrigerators and Freezers (May 11, 2004) Davis Energy Group for CEC Table 1, Page 6 

ADL 1996 Report on Page 4-2. [Reference 11 

F 2003 Priorit SeWn - Su ermarket Refri eration Estimates Vllith Timeframe - 26 ears and Prima Ener Use used for Ener Savin s Calculation 

ReclaIm, and Mechanical SubcOOlinQ Fy 2003 Priority Setting - Supermarket Refrigeration Estimates 'Nith Timeframe = 26 years and Primary Energy Use used for Energy Savings Calculation 

References 

1. ADL, 1996, ~Energy Savings Potential for Commercial Refrigeration Equipment~, Final Report to US Department of Energy, Office of Building TechnOlogy, State and Community Programs, June 1996. 

2. Ball, Jeffrey. Wall Street Journal "Companies Try Keeping Ice Cream Frozen, Emissions Dov.fl," May 4, 2OOS. Available at htlp:II'IM'W.greenpeace.orglusa/newsiask-and-ye-shaU-recelvelcompanies-try-keeping-ice-crea 

3. California Energy Commission, "Codes and Standards Enhancement Iniative for PY2OO4: Title 20 Standards Development Analysis of Standards Options for Open Case Refrigerators and Freezers," May 11, 2004_ Prepared by Davis Energy Group for CEC Page 1, 2, and 4. 

4. California Energy Commission, "Codes and Standards Enhancement Iniative for PY2OO4: Title 20 Standards Deve!opment Analysis of Standards Options for Commercial Packaged Refrigerators, Freezers, Refrigerator/Freezers, and Ice Makers," April 28, 2004. Prepared by ACEEE for CEC page 1. 
Ceiling Fans

NOTE: Savings relative to typical new

Installed Equipment Installed Technology Energy Annual Technology Technology Energy

Base/Stock Lifetime Primary AEC Base/Stock UEC Typical New Savings Potential Energy Savings Savings Potential, 2009-

E9uipment Tvpe ^lllionsl ears uads kf Whl UEC fkWhl r - fquadsl 2034 fquadsl

Ceiling Fans Ceiling : Lighting

1 EPAct 2005 (190 Watts)

2 ENERGY STAR® (38 Watts)

34.9 13 0.056 73 73

116

23

0% 0.000

68% 0.038

0.00

0.74

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Ceiling Fans 

Fans: Lighting 

1 EPAct 2005 (190 Watts) 

2 ENERGY STAR® (38 Watts) 
Assumptions

Assumption Value Units Source

Baseline lighting power use 120 watts Calwell & Horowitz, updated 2003

ENERGY STAR® lighting power use 38 watts NCI, 2005 and Energy Star®, 2005

EPAct 2005 lighting power use recommendation 190 watts EPAct 2005

Average ceiling fan lighting lifetime 13 years Appliance Magazine, 2000

Total ceiling fan installed base (2001) 192.8 million FY05 Priority Setting

Percent ceiling fans suspended 94 percent Hunter, 2001 and NCI, 2005

Percent ceiling fans with candelabra lighting 20 percent RAW, 2005

Percent ceiling fans that have lighting 95 percent Calwell & Horowitz, updated 2003

AEC calculation for suspended ceiling fans with candelabra lighting

Ceiling fan motor installed base (millions) 34.9

EPAct 2005 ceiling fan lighting UEC (kWh)

ENERGY STAR® ceiling fan lighting UEC (kWh)

Stock and typical new ceiling fan lighting UEC (kWh)

Primary to electric conversion factor (Btu/kWh)

kWh/yr (millions) fan lighting energy use

Ceiling fan light AEC (Quads)

116

23

73

10958

5089

0.056

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Assumptions 

Assum!;1tion Value 

Baseline lighting power use 120 

ENERGY STAR® lighting power use 38 

EPAct 2005 lighting power use recommendation 190 

Average ceiling fan lighting lifetime 13 

Total ceiling fan installed base (2001) 192.8 

Percent ceiling fans suspended 94 

Percent ceiling fans with candelabra lighting 20 

Percent ceiling fans that have lighting 95 

AEC calculation for sus!;1ended ceiling fans with candelabra lighting 

Ceiling fan motor installed base (millions) 34.9 

EPAct 2005 ceiling fan lighting UEC (kWh) 116 

ENERGY STAR® ceiling fan lighting UEC (kWh) 23 

Stock and typical new ceiling fan lighting UEC (kWh) 

Primary to electric conversion factor (Btu/kWh) 

kWh/yr (millions) fan lighting energy use 

ICeiling fan light AEC (Quads) 

73 

10958 

5089 

Units Source 

watts Calwell & Horowitz, updated 2003 

watts NCI, 2005 and Energy Star®, 2005 

watts EPAct 2005 

years Appliance Magazine, 2000 

million FY05 Priority Setting 

percent Hunter, 2001 and NCI, 2005 

percent RLW, 2005 

percent Calwell & Horowitz, updated 2003 
Combo Systems (oil)

Efficiency improvement Level j Efficiency Option 1

Discount rate I 7%

Discount to year 2003

Product lifetime (to nearest year) 18

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $)

0.25

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Combo Systems (oil) 

1 Efficiency Improvement Level 

IDiscount rate 

1 Discount to year 

1 Product lifetime (to nearest year) 

f Efficiency Option 1 . h3 

7%1 

181 

NES (quads) 

NPV (billion $) 

0.251 

$0.601 
Combo Systems (oil) Shipments and Stock

ear

New

Shipment

Surviving

Units ase DEC

Effic

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

Base Operating

Cost

Effie.

Improv.

Operating

Cost

Annual

Friel Cost

Savings

Manual

Friel Cost

Savings

PV

Cumulative

Friel Cost

Savings

Delta Unit

Price

Total

Incremental

Equip. Cost

PV Total

Incremental

Equip Cost

PV

Cumulative

Equip. Cost

Net

Cumulative

PV

million million MMBTU/vr MMBTU/vr quads umds quads nods billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $

2001 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.49 $ 2.49

2002 0,09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.25 $ 2.25

2003 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.63 $ 2.63

2004 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.47 $ 2.47

2005 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.23 S 2.23

2006 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.23 $ 2.23

2007 0.09 L64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2,23 S 323

2008 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.25 S 225

2009 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0285 $ 2.26 $ 2.26

2010 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.284 0.001 0.001 $ 2.25 0 2.25 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.00 $ 22 $ (0.00) S (0.00) $ (0.00) 0 0.00

2011 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.283 0.002 0.002 S 2.28 $ 2.26 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) 8 (0.00) $ 0.01

2012 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0,282 0.002 0.005 S 329 $ 2.27 $ 0.02 $ 0.01 $ 0.02 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0100) $ (0.00) $ 0.02

2013 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.281 0.003 0.008 $ 2.32 $ 2.29 $ 0.03 S 0.01 $ 0.03 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) 5 (0.00) $ 0.03

2014 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.281 0.004 0.012 $ 2.33 $ 2.30 $ 0.03 S 0.02 S 0.05 $ 22 S (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.05

2015 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.280 0,005 0.017 $ 2.36 S 2,32 0 0.04 0 0.02 S 0.07 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.06

2016 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0279 0.006 0.022 $ 2.39 S 2.35 S 0.05 S 0.02 $ 0.09 $ 2 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) S (0.01) 8 0.08

2017 0.09 1,64 139 132 0.285 0.278 0.006 0,029 $ 2,41 S 2.36 8 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.11 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.10

2018 0,09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.277 0.007 0.036 $ 2.43 $ 2.37 8 0.06 S 0.02 $ 0.13 $ 2 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) 8 0.12

2019 0.09 1,64 139 132 0.285 0.277 0.008 0.044 $ 2.45 S 2.38 $ 0.07 $ 0.02 $ 0.15 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.14

2020 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.276 0.009 0.053 S 2.47 0 2.40 $ 0,08 0 0.02 S 0.18 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.17

2021 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.275 0.010 0.062 S 2.49 $ 2.41 $ 0.06 $ 0,02 S 0.20 $ 2 8 (0.00) $ (0100) $ (0.01) $ 0.19

2022 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.274 0.010 0.072 S 2.51 $ 2.42 $ 0.09 $ 0.03 $ 0.23 $ 22 S (0.00) 9 (0.00) 8 (0.01) $ 0.22

2023 0.09 1.64 139 132 0,285 0,273 0.011 0.084 $ 2.53 $ 2.43 $ 0.10 $ 0.03 S 0.25 $ 22 S (0.00) $ (0.00) S (0.01) S 0.24

2024 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.273 0.012 0.096 $ 154 S 2.44 $ 0.11 $ 0.03 $ 0.28 S 22 0 (0.00) S (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.27

2025 0.09 1,64 139 132 0.265 0.272 0.013 0.108 $ 2.56 $ 2.45 $ 0.11 $ 0.03 $ 0.31 $ 22 $ (0.00) S (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.29

2026 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.271 0.014 0.122 $ 2.59 $ 2.46 S 0.12 0 0.03 $ 0.33 S 2 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.32

2027 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.136 $ 2.61 8 2.47 S 0.13 8 0.03 $ 0.36 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0100) $ (0.01) S 0.34

2028 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.150 $ 2.63 $ 2.49 S 0.13 $ 0.02 $ 0.38 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.37

2029 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.165 $ 2.65 S 2.51 8 0.13 $ 0.02 $ 0.40 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) 9 0.39

2030 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0,179 $ 2,67 S 2.53 $ 0.13 $ 0.02 $ 0.43 $ 2 0 (0.00) $ (0.00) 8 (0.01) S 0.41

2031 0.09 1,64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.193 $ 2.69 1 2.55 S 0.14 5 0.02 $ 0.45 0 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.43

2032 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.208 $ 2.71 $ 2.57 $ 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.47 $ 22 $ (0.00) S (0.00) S (0.02) $ 0.45

2033 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.222 $ 2.73 $ 2.59 S 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.48 8 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.02) S 0.47

2034 0.09 1,64 139 132 0285 0.270 0.014 0.236 $ 2.75 $ 2.61 0 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.50 $ 22 S (0.00) $ (0.00) S (0.02) 8 0.49

2035 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0,270 0.014 0.251 S 2.77 $ 2.63 $ 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.52 $ 2 S (0.00) $ (0.00) S (0.02) S 0.50

2036 0 1.55 139 132 0.269 0.255 0.014 0.264 $ 2,64 $ 2.50 $ 0.13 S 0.01 8 0.53 $ (0.02) $ 0.52

2037 0 1.46 139 132 0.253 0.240 0.013 0.277 5 2,50 S 2.37 0 0.13 $ 0.01 $ 0.54 $ (0.02) $ 0.53

2038 0 1.37 139 132 0.237 0.225 0.012 0.289 $ 2.36 $ 224 $ 0.12 $ 0.01 $ 0,55 $ (0.02) S 0.54

2039 0 1.27 139 132 0.221 0.210 0.011 0.300 $ 2_2 S 2.11 $ 0.11 $ 0.01 $ 0.56 S (0.02) S 0.55

2040 0 1.18 139 132 0.206 0.195 0.010 0.311 $ 108 $ 1.97 8 0.10 $ 0.01 $ 0.57 S (002) $ 0.56

2041 0 1.09 139 132 0.190 0.180 0.010 0.320 $ 1.93 $ 1.84 $ 0.10 $ 0.01 $ 0.58 S (0.02) $ 0.56

2042 0 1.00 139 132 0.174 0.165 0.009 0.329 S 1.79 $ 1.70 $ 0.09 $ 0.01 $ 0.59 5 (0.02) S 0.57

2043 0 0.91 139 132 0.158 0.150 0.008 0.337 $ 1.64 $ 1.55 $ 0.08 $ 0.01 $ 0.59 $ (0.02) $ 0.58

2044 0 0.82 139 132 0.142 0.135 0.007 0.344 $ 1.48 $ 1.41 $ 0.07 S 0.00 $ 0.60 $ (0.02) S 0.58

2045 0 0.73 139 132 0.126 0.120 0.006 0.350 S 1.33 $ 126 $ 0.07 $ 0.00 $ 0.60 $ (0.02) $ 0,59

2046 0 0.64 139 132 0.111 0.105 0,006 0,356 $ 1.17 $ 1.11 $ 0.06 $ 0.00 $ 0,60 $ (0.02) S 0.59

2047 0 0.55 139 132 0.095 0.090 0.005 0.361 $ 1,01 $ 0.96 S 0.05 $ 0.00 $ 0.61 $ (0.02) S 0.59

2048 0 0.46 139 132 0.079 0.075 0.004 0.365 $ 0,85 S 0,81 8 0.04 $ 0.00 S 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 0.59

2049 0 0.36 139 132 0.063 0.060 0.003 0.368 $ 0.69 S 0.65 $ 0.03 $ 0.00 S 0.61 $ (0,02) $ 0.59

2050 0 0.27 139 132 0.047 0.045 0.002 0.370 S 0.52 $ 0.49 S 0.03 $ 0.00 $ 0.61 $ (002) $ 0.60

2051 0 0.18 139 132 0,032 0.030 0.002 0.372 S 0.35 $ 0.33 $ 0.02 $ 0,00 8 0.61 S (0.02) S 0.60

2052 0 0.09 139 132 0.016 0.015 0.001 0.373 $ 0.17 $ 0.16 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 0.60

2053 0 0.00 139 132 0.000 0,000 0.000 0.373 S - $ - $ - 5 - $ 0.61 S (0.02) $ 0.60

2054 0 0.00 139 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.373 S - $ - $ - S - S 0.61 8 (0.02) $ 0.60

2055 0 0.00 139 132 0.000 0,000 0.000 0.373 $ $ $ - $ $ 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 0.60

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Combo Systems (oil) Shipments and Stock 

Effie Effie. PV 

Effie Improv. Amwoi Cumulative Improv. Anllual PVAllnllal CUIIlulative Total PVTotal PV Net 

New Surviving Improv. Base Total Total Energy Energy Base Operating Operating Fuel Cost FIle1Cost FlIelCost DeltaU"it lI,crementai Incremental CUlllulative Cumulative 

Year Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings Cost Cost Savings Savings Savings Price Equip. Cost Equip Cost Equip. Cost PV 

million million MMBTUlvr MMBTU/vr nods !lads !lads !lads billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billi01I $ 

2001 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.49 $ 2.49 

2002 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.25 $ 2.25 

2003 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.63 S 2.63 

2004 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.47 S 2.47 

2005 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.23 S 2.23 

2006 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.23 S 2.23 

2007 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.23 S 223 

2008 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.25 S 2.25 

2009 0.09 1.64 139 139 0.285 0.285 $ 2.26 $ 2.26 

2010 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.284 0.001 0.001 $ 2.25 $ 2.25 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.00 S 22 $ (0.00) S (0.00) $ (0.00) $ 0.00 

2011 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.283 0.002 0.002 $ 2.28 $ 2.26 $ om $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) S (0.00) S om 2012 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.282 0.002 0.005 S 2.29 $ 2.27 $ 0.02 S 0.01 $ 0.02 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (000) $ 0.02 

2013 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.281 0.003 0.008 $ 2.32 $ 2.29 $ 0.Q3 S 0.01 $ 0.03 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ 0.03 

2014 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.281 0.004 0.012 $ 2.33 $ 2.30 $ 0.03 S 0.02 $ 0.05 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.05 

2015 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.280 0.005 0.017 $ 2.36 S 2.32 S 0.04 $ 0.02 $ 0.07 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.06 

2016 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.279 0.006 0.022 $ 2.39 $ 2.35 S 0.05 S 0.02 $ 0.09 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.08 

2017 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.278 0.006 0.029 $ 2.41 $ 2.36 S 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.11 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.10 

2018 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.277 0.007 0.036 $ 2.43 $ 2.37 $ 0.06 S 0.02 $ 0.13 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.12 

2019 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.277 0.008 0.044 $ 2.45 $ 2.38 $ 0.07 $ 0.02 $ 0.15 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.14 

2020 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.276 0.009 0.053 S 2.47 $ 2.40 $ 0.08 $ 0.02 $ 0.18 $ 22 S (0.00) $ (000) $ (0.01) $ 0.17 

2021 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.275 0.010 0.062 $ 2.49 $ 2.41 $ 0.08 $ 0,02 S 0.20 $ 22 S (0.00) $ (000) $ (0.01) $ 0.19 

2022 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.274 0.010 0.072 $ 2.51 $ 2.42 $ 0.09 $ 0.03 $ 0.23 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.22 

2023 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.273 0.011 0.084 $ 2.53 $ 2.43 $ 0.10 $ 0.03 $ 0.25 $ 22 $ (0.00) S (0.00) S (0.01) S 0.24 

2024 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.273 0.012 0.096 $ 2.54 $ 2.44 $ 0.11 $ o.oJ $ 0.28 S 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.27 

2025 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.272 0.013 0.108 $ 2.56 $ 2.45 $ 0.11 $ 0.03 $ 0.31 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.29 

2026 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.271 0.014 0.122 S 2.59 $ 2.46 $ 0.12 $ 0.03 $ 0.33 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.32 

2027 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.136 $ 2.61 $ 2.47 $ 0.13 S 0.03 $ 0.36 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.34 

2028 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.150 $ 2.63 S 2.49 $ 0.13 $ 0.02 $ 0.38 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.37 

2029 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.165 $ 2.65 S 2.51 S 0.13 $ 0.02 $ 0.40 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.39 

2030 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.179 $ 2.67 $ 2.53 $ 0.13 $ 0.02 $ 0.43 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) S 0.41 

2031 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.193 $ 2.69 $ 2.55 S 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.45 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.01) $ 0.43 

2032 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 Q.208 $ 2.71 $ 2.57 $ 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.47 $ 22 $ (0.00) S (0.00) $ (0.02) $ 0.45 

2033 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.222 $ 2.73 $ 2.59 $ 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.48 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) $ (0.02) S 0.47 

2034 0.09 1.64 139 132 0285 0270 0.014 0.236 $ 2.75 $ 2.61 $ 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.50 S 22 $ (0.00) S (0.00) S (0.02) $ 0.49 

2035 0.09 1.64 139 132 0.285 0.270 0.014 0.251 $ 2.77 $ 2.63 $ 0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.52 $ 22 $ (0.00) $ (0.00) S (0.02) $ 0.50 

2036 0 1.55 139 132 0.269 0.255 0.DI4 0.264 $ 2.64 $ 2.50 $ 0.13 $ 0.01 $ 0.53 $ (0.02) $ 0.52 

2037 0 1.46 139 132 0.253 0240 0.013 0.277 S 2.50 $ 2.37 $ 0.13 $ O.DI S 0.54 $ (0.02) $ 053 

2038 0 1.37 139 132 0.237 0.225 0.012 0.289 $ 2.36 $ 2.24 $ 0.12 $ 0.01 $ 0.55 $ (0.02) S 054 

2039 0 1.27 139 132 0.221 0.210 0.011 0.300 $ 2.22 $ 2.11 $ 0.11 $ 0.01 $ 056 S (0.02) S 0.55 

2040 0 U8 139 132 0.206 0.195 0.010 0.311 $ 2.08 $ 1.97 $ 0.10 $ 0.01 $ 057 $ (002) S 0.56 

2041 0 1.09 139 132 0.190 0.180 0.010 0.320 $ 1.93 $ 1.84 $ 0.10 $ 0.01 $ 0.58 S (0.02) $ 056 

2042 0 1.00 139 132 0.174 0.165 0.009 0.329 $ 1.79 $ 1.70 $ 0.09 $ 0.01 $ 0.59 $ (0.02) $ 0.57 

2043 0 0.91 139 132 0.158 0.150 0.008 0.337 $ 1.64 $ 1.55 $ 0.08 $ om $ 0.59 $ (0.02) $ 0.58 

2044 0 0.82 139 132 0.142 0.135 0.007 0.344 $ 1.48 $ 1.41 $ 0.07 $ 0.00 $ 0.60 $ (0.02) $ 0.58 

2045 0 0.73 139 132 0.126 0.120 0.006 0.350 $ 1.33 S 1.26 $ 0.07 $ 0.00 $ 0.60 $ (0.02) $ 059 

2046 0 0.64 139 132 0.111 0.105 0.006 0.356 $ 1.17 $ 1.11 $ 0.06 $ 0.00 $ 0.60 $ (0.02) $ 0.59 

2047 0 0.55 139 132 0.095 0.090 0.005 0.361 $ 1.01 $ 0.96 $ 0.05 $ 0.00 $ 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 059 

2048 0 0.46 139 132 0.079 0.075 0.004 0.365 $ 0.85 $ 0.81 $ 0.04 $ 0.00 S 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 0.59 

2049 0 0.36 139 132 0.063 0.060 0.003 0.368 $ 0.69 $ 0.65 $ 0.03 S 0.00 $ 0.61 $ (D.02) $ 0.59 

2050 0 0.27 139 132 0.047 0.045 0.002 0.370 $ 0.52 $ 0.49 $ 0.03 $ 0.00 $ 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 0.60 

2051 0 0.18 139 132 0.032 0.030 0.002 0.372 $ 0.35 $ 0.33 $ 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0.61 S (0.02) S 0.60 

2052 0 0.09 139 132 0.016 0.Ql5 0.001 0.373 S 0.17 $ 0.16 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 0.60 

2053 0 0.00 139 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.373 $ $ $ $ $ 0.61 $ 10.02) $ 0.60 

~~~ I 0 0.00 139 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.373 $ $ S $ $ 0.61 S (0.02) $ 0.60 

0 0.00 139 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.373 $ $ $ $ $ 0.61 $ (0.02) $ 0.60 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1982 0.091 Note: a point estimate of 91,000 units/year is used

1983 0.091

1984 0.091

1985 0.091

1986 0.091

1987 0.091

1988 0.091

1989 0.091

1990 0.091

1991 0.091

1992 0.091

1993 0.091

1994 0.091

1995 0.091

1996 0.091

1997 0.091

1998 0.091

1999 0.091

2000 0.091

2001 0.091

2002 0.091

2003 0.091

2004 0.091

2005 0.091

2006 0.091

2007 0.091

2008 0.091

2009 0.091

2010 0.091

2011 0.091

2012 0.091

2013 0.091

2014 0.091

2015 0.091

2016 0.091

2017 0.091

2018 0.091

2019 0.091

2020 0.091

2021 0.091

2022 0.091

2023 0.091

2024 0.091

2025 0.091

2026 0.091

2027 0.091

2028 0.091

2029 0.091

2030 0.091

2031 0.091

2032 0.091

2033 0.091

2034 0.091

2035 0.091

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year 

1982 

1983 

1984 

1985 

1986 

1987 

1988 

1989 

1990 

1991 

1992 

1993 

1994 

1995 

1996 

1997 

1998 

1999 

2000 

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

Projected 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

0.091 

Note: a point estimate of 91,000 units/year is used 
Efficiency Level UEC (MMBTU/yr) Unit Price(2002$)

Base 139.0 $ 3,531

electronic ignition 132.0 $ 3,553

non-condensing limit 129.0 $ 4,499

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Efficiency Level 

Base 

electronic ignition 

non-condensing limit 

UEC (MMBTU/yr) Unit Price(2002$) 

139.0 $ 3,531 

132.0 $ 3,553 

129.0 $ 4,499 
Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu

Residential petroleum products

Conv Factor

source/site

2001 1.25

2002 1.25

2003 1.25

2004 1.25 petroleum production losses

2005 1.25 20%

2006 1.25

2007 1.25

2008 1.25

2009 1.25

2010 1.25

2011 1.25

2012 1.25

2013 1.25

2014 1.25

2015 1.25

2016 1.25

2017 1.25

2018 1.25

2019 1.25

2020 1.25

2021 1.25

2022 1.25

2023 1.25

2024 1.25

2025 1.25

2026 1.25

2027 1.25

2028 1.25

2029 1.25

2030 1.25

2031 1.25

2032 1.25

2033 1.25

2034 1.25

2035 1.25

2036 1.25

2037 1.25

2038 1.25

2039 1.25

2040 1.25

2041 1.25

2042 1.25

2043 1.25

2044 1.25

2045 1.25

2046 1.25

2047 1.25

2048 1.25

2049 1.25

2050 1.25

2051 1.25

2052 1.25

2053 1.25

2054 1.25

2055 1.25

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu 

Residential petroleum products 

Conv Factor 

source/site 

2001 1.25 

2002 1.25 

2003 1.25 

2004 1.25 

2005 1.25 

2006 1.25 

2007 1.25 

2008 1.25 

2009 1.25 

2010 1.25 

2011 1.25 

2012 1.25 

2013 1.25 

2014 1.25 

2015 1.25 

2016 1.25 

2017 1.25 

2018 1.25 

2019 1.25 

2020 1.25 

2021 1.25 

2022 1.25 

2023 1.25 

2024 1.25 

2025 1.25 

2026 1.25 

2027 1.25 

2028 1.25 

2029 1.25 

2030 1.25 

2031 1.25 

2032 1.25 

2033 1.25 

2034 1.25 

2035 1.25 

2036 1.25 

2037 1.25 

2038 1.25 

2039 1.25 

2040 1.25 

2041 1.25 

2042 1.25 

2043 1.25 

2044 1.25 

2045 1.25 

2046 1.25 

2047 1.25 

2048 1.25 

2049 1.25 

2050 1.25 

2051 1.25 

2052 1.25 

2053 1.25 

2054 1.25 

2055 1.25 

petroleum production losses 

20% 
Fuel Price

Petroleum Products

$/MMBTU

2001 10.95 from AEO 2004

2002 9.87 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 1 1. 53

2004 10.83

2005 9.81

2006 9.80

2007 9.81

2008 9.86

2009 9.92

2010 9.90

2011 10.00

2012 10.06

2013 10.18

2014 10.25

2015 10.38

2016 10.51

2017 10.59

2018 10.67

2019 10.75

2020 10.86

2021 10.95

2022 11.03

2023 11.11

2024 11.17

2025 1 1.26

2026 11.36

2027 11.44

2028 11.53

2029 11.62

2030 11.72.

2031 11.80

2032 11.89

2033 11.98

2034 12.07

2035 12.17

2036 12.26

2037 12.36

2038 12.45

2039 12.55

2040 12.64

2041 12.74

2042 12.84

2043 12.94

2044 13.04

2045 13.14

2046 13.24

2047 13.34

2048 13.44

2049 13.55

2050 13.65

2051 13.76

2052 13.86

2053 13.97

2054 14.08

2055 14.18

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Fuel Price 

Petroleum Products 

$IMMBTU 

2001 10.95 from AEO 2004 

2002 9.87 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

2003 11.53 

2004 10.83 

2005 9 .. 81 

2006 9.80 

2007 9.81 

2008 9.86 

2009 9.92 

2010 9.90 

2011 10.00 

2012 10.06. 

2013 10.18 

2014 10.25 

2015 10,J8 

2016 1051 

2017 10.59 

2018 10.67 

2019 10.75 

2020 10,86 

2021 10.95 

2022 11.03 

2023 lUI 

2024 Jhl7 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

Page 7 
Combo Systems (gas)

Efficiency Improvement Level Efficiency Option 1

Discount rate I 7%o

Discount to year 2003

Product lifetime (to nearest year) 9

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $) $0.23

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Combo Systems (gas) 

1 Efficiency Improvement Level r Efficiency Option 1 

IDiscount rate 7%1 

1 Discount to year r 2003 3 

1 Product lifetime (to nearest year) 91 

NES (quads) 

NPV (billion $) 

0.151 

$0.231 
Combo Systems (gas) Shipments and Stock

ear

New

Shipment

million

Surviving

Units

million

ase UEC

MMBTU/vr

Effic

Intprov.

UEC

MMBTU/vr

Base Total

Energy

quads

Effic

Itnprov.

Total

Energy

quads

Annual

Energy

Savings

umds

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

quads

Base Operating

Cost

billion $

Effrc.

Improv.

Operating

Cost

billion $

Annual

Fuel Cost

Savings

billion $

PVAnnual

Fuel Cost

Savings

billion $

PV

Cumulative

Fuel Cost

Savings

billion $

Delta Unit

Price

$

Total

Incremental

Equip. Cost

billion $

PV Total

Incremental

Equip Cost

billion $

PV

Cumulative

Equip. Cost

billion $

Net

Cumulative

PV

billion $

2001 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.94 $ 0.94

2002 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.75 S 0.75

2003 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 S 0.89 $ 0.89

2004 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.87 S 0.87

2005 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.82 $ 0.82

2006 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.80 $ 0.80

2007 0.10 0.90 109 109 0,107 0,107 $ 0.79 $ 0.79

2008 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.79 $ 0.79

2009 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 S 0.77 $ 0.77

2010 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.106 0,001 0.001 $ 0.75 S 0.75 S 0.01 S 0.00 $ 0.00 $ 108 $ (0.01) S (0.01) $ (0.01) $ (0.00)

2011 0.10 0,90 109 102 0.107 0.105 0.002 0.002 $ 0.77 $ 0.76 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 108 $ (0.01) S (0.01) $ (0.01) $ (0.00)

2012 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.104 0.002 0.005 $ 0.78 S 0.76 $ 0.02 $ 0.01 $ 0.02 S 108 $ (0.01) S (0.01) 9 (0.02) 5 (0.00)

2013 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.104 0.003 0.008 $ 0.80 $ 0.77 $ 0.02 $ 0.01 $ 0.03 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.01) $ (0.02) $ 0.01

2014 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.103 0.004 0.011 $ 0.80 $ 0.77 $ 0.03 $ 0.01 $ 0.04 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0101) $ (0.03) $ 0.01

2015 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.102 0.005 0.016 $ 0.81 $ 0.78 $ 0.03 $ 0.02 $ 0.06 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) S (0.03) S 0.03

2016 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.101 0.005 0.021 S 0.81 $ 0.77 S 0.04 S 0.02 S 0.08 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.04) $ 0.04

2017 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.101 0.006 0.027 $ 0.81 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 S 0.02 $ 0.09 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.04) $ 0.05

2018 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.034 $ 0.81 $ 036 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.11 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) S (0.05) $ 0.07

2019 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.041 $ 0.80 $ 0.75 S 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.13 $ 108 S (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.05) $ 0.08

2020 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.048 $ 0.81 S 0.76 $ 0.05 S 0.02 $ 0.15 S 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.05) $ 0.09

2021 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.055 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 S 0.16 $ 108 $ (0.01) S (0.00) $ (0.06) $ 0.11

2022 0.10 0.90 109 102 0,107 0,100 0.007 0.062 0 0.82 S 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.18 $ 108 0 (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.06) $ 0.12

2023 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.066 S 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.19 $ 108 S (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.06) $ 0.13

2024 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.075 S 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.20 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.14

2025 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.082 $ 0.82 $ 0.76 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.22 S 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) 5 (0.07) S 0.15

2026 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.089 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.23 $ 108 $ (0.01) S (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.16

2027 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.096 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.24 $ 108 S (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.16

2028 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.103 S 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.25 S 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.17

2029 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0, 100 0.007 0.110 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.26 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.18

2030 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.116 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.26 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.19

2031 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0,100 0.007 0.123 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 S 0.27 S 108 S (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.19

2032 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.130 5 0.82 $ 0.77 0 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.28 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0100) $ (0.08) $ 0.20

2033 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0,100 0,007 0.137 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 S 0.01 S 0.29 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 020

2034 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.144 $ 0.82 S 0.77 S 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.29 $ 108 $ (0.01) S (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.21

2035 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.151 $ 0.82 0 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.30 $ 108 $ (0.01) 9 (0.00) $ (0.09) $ 0.21

2036 0 0.80 109 102 0.095 0.089 0.006 0.157 S 0.73 $ 0.68 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.30 $ (0.09) $ 0.22

2037 0 0.70 109 102 0.083 0,078 0.005 0.162 S 0.64 $ 0.60 $ 0.04 $ 0.00 $ 0.31 $ (0.09) S 022

2038 0 0.60 109 102 0.071 0.067 0.005 0.167 $ 0.55 $ 0.51 $ 0.04 S 0.00 $ 0.31 $ (0.09) $ 023

2039 0 0.50 109 102 0.059 0.055 0.004 0.170 $ 0.46 $ 0.43 S 0.03 $ 0.00 $ 0.31 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2040 0 0.40 109 102 0.047 0.044 0.003 0.173 $ 0.37 $ 0.34 $ 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0.32 S (0.09) $ 0.23

2041 0 0.30 109 102 0.036 0.033 0.002 0.176 S 0.27 $ 0.26 $ 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0,32 S (0.09) $ 0.23

2042 0 020 109 102 0.024 0.022 0.002 0.177 $ 0.18 $ 0.17 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2043 0 0.10 109 102 0.012 0.011 0.001 0.178 $ 0.09 $ 0.09 0 0.01 $ 0.00 S 0.32 S (0.09) S 023

2044 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 S $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2045 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 S $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 S (0.09) $ 0,23

2046 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 S - $ - $ - $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2047 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 S - $ - $ $ - S 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2048 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 S - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) S 023

2049 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2050 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 S - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) S 0.23

2051 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2052 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ - $ - $ $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2053 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2054 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23

2055 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ 5 $ 0.32 $ (0.09) S 0.23

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Combo Systems (gas) Shipments and Stock 

Effie Effie. PV 

Effie Improv. Annual CU1IJulative Improv. Annual PVA"""al CUlIlulative Total PVTotal PV Net 

New Surviving lmprov. Base Total Total Ellergy Ellergy Base Operating Operating Fuel Cost Fuel Cost File/Cost Del/a Unit IIlCremelltai IncremelJtal Cumulative Cumulative 

Year Shipment U"its Base VEC VEC Ellergy Energy Savings SaviIJgs Cost Cost Savings Savings Savings Price Equip. Cost Equip Cost Equip. Cost PV 

million million MMBTV/vr MMBTV/vr uatls uads flads uads billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billioll $ 

2001 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.lD7 0.107 $ 0.94 S 0.94 

2002 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.75 $ 0.75 

2003 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.89 S 0.89 

2004 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.87 S 0.87 

2005 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.82 $ 0,82 

2006 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.80 $ 0.80 

2007 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.79 $ 0.79 

2008 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.79 $ 0.79 

2009 0.10 0.90 109 109 0.107 0.107 $ 0.77 $ 0.77 

2010 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.106 0.001 0.001 $ 0.75 $ 0.75 $ om s 0.00 $ 0.00 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.01) $ <0.01) $ (0.00) 

20ll 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.105 0.002 0.002 $ 0.77 $ 0.76 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.01) $ (0.01) S (0.00) 

2012 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.104 0.002 0.005 $ 0.78 $ 0.76 $ 0.02 $ 0.01 $ 0.02 S 108 $ (0.01) $ <0.01) S (0.02) $ (0.00) 

2013 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.104 0.003 0.008 $ 0.80 $ 0.77 $ 0.02 $ om $ 0.03 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.01) $ (0.02) $ om 2014 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.103 0.004 0.011 S 0.80 $ 0.77 $ 0.03 $ om $ 0.04 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.01) $ (0.03) S om 2015 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.102 0.005 0.016 $ 0.81 $ 0.78 $ 0.03 $ 0.02 $ 0.06 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ 10.00) $ (0.03) S 0.01 

2016 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.101 0.005 0.021 $ 0.81 $ 0.77 $ 0.04 $ 0.02 $ 0.08 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.04) $ 0.04 

2017 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.101 0.006 0.027 S 0.81 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.09 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.04) $ 0.05 

2018 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.034 $ 0.81 $ 0.76 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.11 $ 108 $ (O.O() $ (0.00) $ (0.05) $ 0.07 

2019 0.10 0.90 to9 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.041 $ 0.80 $ 0.75 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.13 $ 108 $ 10.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.05) $ 0.08 

2020 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.to7 0.100 0.007 0.048 $ 0.8( $ 0.76 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.15 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.05) $ 0.09 

2021 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.055 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 $ 0.16 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ 10.00) $ (0.06) $ 0.11 

2022 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.062 S 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.18 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.06) $ 0.12 

2023 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.008 S 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.19 $ 108 S (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.06) $ 0.11 

2024 O.to 0.90 to9 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.075 S 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ om $ 0.20 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ 10.07) $ 0.14 

2025 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.082 $ 0.82 $ 0.76 $ 0.05 $ om $ 0,12 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.15 

2026 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.089 $ 0.82 S 0.77 $ 0.05 $ om $ 0.23 $ to8 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.16 

2027 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.096 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ om $ 0.24 $ 108 $ (0.01) S (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.16 

2028 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.to7 0.100 0.007 0.101 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ om $ 0.25 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.07) $ 0.17 

2029 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.110 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.26 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.18 

2030 0.10 0.90 109 to2 0.to7 0.100 0.007 0.116 S 0.82 $ 0.77 S 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.26 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) S (0.08) $ 0.19 

2031 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.123 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.27 $ 108 S (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.19 

2032 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.130 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.28 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (000) $ (0.08) $ 0.20 

2033 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.137 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 S 0.05 S 0.01 $ 0.29 $ to8 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.20 

2034 0.10 0.90 109 102 0.107 0.100 0.007 0.144 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.29 $ 108 $ (0.01) $ (0.00) $ (0.08) $ 0.21 

2035 O.to 0.90 109 102 0.to7 0.100 0.007 0.151 $ 0.82 $ 0.77 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.30 $ 108 $ (0.01) S (0.00) $ (0.09) $ 0.21 

2036 0 0.80 109 102 0.095 0.089 0.006 0.157 $ 0.73 $ 0.68 $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 0.10 $ (0.09) S 0.22 

2037 0 0.70 109 101 0.083 0.078 0.005 0.162 $ 0.64 $ 0.60 $ 0.04 $ 0.00 $ 0.31 $ (0.09) $ 0.22 

2038 0 0.60 109 102 0.071 0.067 0.005 0.167 $ 0.55 $ 0.51 $ 0.04 $ 0.00 $ 0.31 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2039 0 0.50 109 102 0.059 0.055 0.004 0.170 $ 0.46 $ 0.43 $ 0.03 $ 0.00 $ 0.3l $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2040 0 0.40 109 102 0.047 0.044 0.003 0.173 $ 0.37 $ 0.34 $ 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0.32 S (0.09) S 0.23 

2041 0 0.30 109 102 0.036 0.033 0.002 0.176 $ 0.27 $ 0.26 $ 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0.32 $ (0.09) S 0.23 

2042 0 0.20 to9 102 0.024 0.022 0.002 0.177 $ 0.18 $ 0.17 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2043 0 0.10 109 102 0.012 0011 0.001 0.178 $ 0.09 $ 0.09 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2044 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 S (0.09) $ 0.23 

2045 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2046 0 0.00 to9 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2047 0 0.00 to9 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2048 0 0.00 to9 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) S 0.23 

2049 0 0.00 109 to2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2050 0 0.00 to9 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2051 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2052 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

2053 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) $ 0.23 

~~~: I 0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 $ (0.09) S 0.23 

0 0.00 109 102 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.178 $ $ $ $ $ 0.32 S (0.09) S 0.23 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1982 0.100 Note: a point estimate of 100,000 units/year is used

1983 0.100

1984 0.100

1985 0.100

1986 0.100

1987 0.100

1988 0.100

1989 0.100

1990 0.100

1991 0.100

1992 0.100

1993 0.100

1994 0.100

1995 0.100

1996 0.100

1997 0.100

1998 0.100

1999 0.100

2000 0.100

2001 0.100

2002 0.100

2003 0.100

2004 0.100

2005 0.100

2006 0.100

2007 0.100

2008 0.100

2009 0.100

2010 0.100

2011 0.100

2012 0.100

2013 0.100

2014 0.100

2015 0.100

2016 0.100

2017 0.100

2018 0.100

2019 0.100

2020 0.100

2021 0.100

2022 0.100

2023 0.100

2024 0.100

2025 0.100

2026 0.100

2027 0.100

2028 0.100

2029 0.100

2030 0.100

2031 0.100

2032 0.100

2033 0.100

2034 0.100

2035 0.100

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year Projected 

1982 0.100 

1983 0.100 

1984 0.100 

1985 0.100 

1986 0.100 

1987 0.100 

1988 0.100 

1989 0.100 

1990 0.100 

1991 0.100 

1992 0.100 

1993 0.100 

1994 0.100 

1995 0.100 

1996 0.100 

1997 0.100 

1998 0.100 

1999 0.100 

2000 0.100 

2001 0.100 

2002 0.100 

2003 0.100 

2004 0.100 

2005 0.100 

2006 0.100 

2007 0.100 

2008 0.100 

2009 0.100 

2010 0.100 

2011 0.100 

2012 0.100 

2013 0.100 

2014 0.100 

2015 0.100 

2016 0.100 

2017 0.100 

2018 0.100 

2019 0.100 

2020 0.100 

2021 0.100 

2022 0.100 

2023 0.100 

2024 0.100 

2025 0.100 

2026 0.100 

2027 0.100 

2028 0.100 

2029 0.100 

2030 0.100 

2031 0.100 

2032 0.100 

2033 0.100 

2034 0.100 

2035 0.100 

Note: a point estimate of 100,000 units/year is used 
Efficiency Level UEC (MMBTU/yr) Unit Price(2002$)

Base 109.0 $ 419

electronic ignition 102.0 $ 527

non-condensing limit 99.0 $ 892

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Efficiency Level 

Base 

electronic ignition 

non-condensing limit 

UEC (MMBTU/yr) Unit Price(2002$) 

109.0 $ 419 

102.0 $ 527 

99.0 $ 892 
Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu

Residential natural gas

Conv Factor

source/site

2001 1.09

2002 1.09

2003 1.09 calculated from AEO 2004:

2004 1.09 natural gas transmission and distribution losses =

2005 1.09 8%

2006 1.09

2007 1.09

2008 1.09

2009 1.09

2010 1.09

2011 1.09

2012 1.09

2013 1.09

2014 1.09

2015 1.09

2016 1.09

2017 1.09

2018 1.09

2019 1.09

2020 1.09

2021 1.09

2022 1.09

2023 1.09

2024 1.09

2025 1.09

2026 1.09

2027 1.09

2028 1.09

2029 1.09

2030 1.09

2031 1.09

2032 1.09

2033 1.09

2034 1.09

2035 1.09

2036 1.09

2037 1.09

2038 1.09

2039 1.09

2040 1.09

2041 1.09

2042 1.09

2043 1.09

2044 1.09

2045 1.09

2046 1.09

2047 1.09

2048 1.09

2049 1.09

2050 1.09

2051 1.09

2052 1.09

2053 1.09

2054 1.09

2055 1.09

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu 

Residential natural gas 

Conv Factor 

source/site 

2001 1.09 

2002 1.09 

2003 1.09 

2004 1.09 

2005 1.09 

2006 1.09 

2007 1.09 

2008 1.09 

2009 1.09 

2010 1.09 

2011 1.09 

2012 1.09 

2013 1.09 

2014 1.09 

2015 1.09 

2016 1.09 

2017 1.09 

2018 1.09 

2019 1.09 

2020 1.09 

2021 1.09 

2022 1.09 

2023 1.09 

2024 1.09 

2025 1.09 

2026 1.09 

2027 1.09 

2028 1.09 

2029 1.09 

2030 1.09 

2031 1.09 

2032 1.09 

2033 1.09 

2034 1.09 

2035 1.09 

2036 1.09 

2037 1.09 

2038 1.09 

2039 1.09 

2040 1.09 

2041 1.09 

2042 1.09 

2043 1.09 

2044 1.09 

2045 1.09 

2046 1.09 

2047 1.09 

2048 1.09 

2049 1.09 

2050 1.09 

2051 1.09 

2052 1.09 

2053 1.09 

2054 1.09 

2055 1.09 

calculated from AEO 2004: 

natural gas transmission and distribution losses = 

8% 
Fuel Price

Natural Gas

$/MMBTU $/1000 ft3

2001 9.54 9.79 from AEO 2004

2002 7.66 7.86 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 9.04 9.29

2004 8.83 9.07 1.027 MMBTU/1000 ft3

2005 8.40 8.63

2006 8.20 5.=12

2007 8.09 8.31

2008 8.04 8.26

2009 7.81 8.02

2010 7.68 7.88

2011 7.81 8.02

2012 7.94 8.16

2013 8.10 8.32

2014 8.19 8.41

2015 8.30 8.52

2016 8.31 8.53

2017 8.31 8.53

2018 8.25 8.48

2019 8.17 8.40

2020 8.24 8.47

2021 8.41 8.64

2022 8.39 8.62

2023 8.38 8.61

2024 8.37 8.60

2025 8.33 8.56

2026 8.34

2027 8.34

2028 8.34

2029 8.35

2030 8.37

2031 8.38

2032 8.38

2033 8.38

2034 8.38

2035 8.38

2036 8.38

2037 8.39

2038 8.39

2039 8.39

2040 8.40

2041 8.40

2042 8.40

2043 8.41

2044 8.41

2045 8.41

2046 8.42

2047 8.42

2048 8.42

2049 S.43

2050 8.43

2051 5.44

2052 8.44

2053 8.44

2054 8A5

2055 8.45

Page 6

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Fuel Price 

Natural Gas 

$IMMBTU $/1000 ft3 

2001 9.54 9.79 from AEO 2004 

2002 7.66 7.86 .~_,.:', .. _",c,_,_,,_. based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

2003 9;04 9.29 

2004 8.83 9:07 1.027 MMBTU/lOOO ft3 

2005 8,40 8.63 

2006 8.20 8.42 

2007 8.09 8.31 

2008 8.04 8.26 

2009 7.81 8.02 

2010 7.68 7.88 

2011 7.81 8.02 

2012 7.94 8.16 

2013 8.10 8.32 

2014 8.(9 8.41 

2015 8:30 8.52 

2016 8:31 .8.53 

2017 8.31 8.53 

2018 8.25 8.48 

2019 8.17 8.40 

2020 8.24 8.47 

2021 8.4t: 8:64 

2022 8:39 8.62 

2023 8.}8 8;61 

2024 8.37 8.60 

2025 8.56 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

Page 6 
Electric Motors, 1-200HP, Commercial.

This file contains calculations for TSD Table A5-8.

Installed base efficiency

HP Efficiency (AOL 1999) HP Class Efficiency (class avg)

1 75 1 to 5 79

5 83 5to20 85.5

20 88 20 to 50 88.5

50 89 50 to 100 89.5

100 90 100 to 200 90.5

200 91

Source for data below:

ADL-1999, Figure ES-3, p. x (i.e. roman numeral ten)

Note: "arbitrary units" as used below refer to the vertical grid spacing in ADL-1999 Figure ES-3.

For motor Inventory, one arbitrary unit corresponds to approximately 5.1 million motors.

For AEC, one arbitrary unit corresponds to approximately 12.3 billion kWh.

Inventorytolal (million): 123 HP EPACF NEMA PREM

AEC (billion kWh) 356 1 82.5 85.5

5 87.5 89.5

v 1 HP 1-200 HP 0 200 HP Total (arbitrary unls) 20 91 93

Inventory (arbitrary units) 17 7 Approx. 0 24 50 93 94.5

AEC (arbitrary units) 9 18 2 29 100 94.1 95.4

Inventory (fraction) 0.71 0 29 Approx 0

200 95 95.8

AEC (fraction) 0.31

.

0.62

.

0.07 Efficiency standards for 4 pole (1800 RPMS) GDP motors

HP EPACT NEMA PREM HP AVG

Inventory (millions) 87.1 35.9 Approx.0 1 to 5 85 87.5 3

AEC (billion kWh) 110.5 221.0 24.6 5 to 20 89.25 91.25 12.5

20 to 50 92 93.75 35

In 1-25 HP range,

AEC (arbitrary units) 16.00

50 to 100

10010 200

93.55

94.55

SRC 4 above

94.95

95.6

SRC5 above

75

150

AEC ((raction) 0.55

AEC(bil lion k W H) 196.41

Example of AEC talc used In this sheet

If AEC is 196 at . 91 efficiency, then at.93 efficiency,

AEC is 196•.91/.93 = 191.7849462

Efficiency NEMA AEC NEMA Benefit (billion HP AEC (arbitrary units) AEC (fraction) AEC (billion kWh) Efficiency Default Efficiency EPACT Premium AEC EPACT Premium kWh) Benefit Quads

1105 5 0.17 61.38 79 85 87.5 57.0 55.4 1.6 0.0179

51020 11 0.38 135.03 85.5 89.25 91.25 129.4 126.5 2.8 0.0312

20 to 50 1.5 0.05 18.41 88.5 92 93.75 17.7 17.4 0.3 0.0036 50 to 100 0.5 0.02 6.14 89.5 93.55 94.95 5.9 5.8 0.1 0.0010

100to200 0 0.00 0.00 90.5 94.55 95.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0000

Totals:

Finegrained data for 5-20 HP:

HP

18 0.62 220.97 (from ADL-1999) Totals 210.0 205.1 4.9 0.0537

5 to 20 Lg unitary ADL 1999, p 413 16,040 167,113 15 3000 4.40E+10 0.0484 0.8500 0.8925 0.9125 4.19E+10 4.10E+10

5t020 Central Sta AHU ADL 1999, p 4-13 336,207 1,780,429 15 3000 4.58E+11 0.5038 0.8700 0.8925 0.9125 4.46E+11 4.37E+11

51020

Totals by HP class:

Hydronic Boiler AOL 1999, p 4-16 15,186 350,000 23 1500 6.40E+10 0.0704 0.9000

Efficiency

0.8925

Efficiency

0.9125

Efficiency NEMA

6.45E+10 6.31E+10

AEC NEMA Benefit HP Description Source Annual sales Installed base Lifetime Hours AEC (kWh) AEC (quads) Default EPACT Premium AEC EPACT Premium Benefit (kWh) Quads Benefit 2010-2035 1 WS Medium Unifary ADL 1999, p4-13 169,118 1,780,161 15 2500 8.30E+10 0.0913 0.8000 0.8500 0.8750 7.81E+10 7.59E+10 2.23E+09 0.0025 0.0430 5 to 20 Sum rows 51 -53 Sum rows 51 -53 367,433 2,297,542 5.66E+11 0.6226 0.8925 0.9125 5.53E+ll 5.41E+1 t 1.21E+10 0.0133 0.2333

TOTAL 536, 551 4,077,703 6.49E+11 0.7139 TOTAL: 1.44E+10 0.0158 0.2762

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Electric Motors, 1-200HP, Commercial. 

This file contains calculations for TSO Table AS·8. 

lnslalled base effitiency 

HP 

20 

50 

100 

200 

Source for data below: 

Efficiency (ADL 1999) 

75 

B3 

BB 

B9 

90 

91 

ADL·1999, Figure ES·S, p. x (Le. roman numeral ten) 

HPOass 

1105 

5to20 

201050 

50 to 100 

100 to 200 

Efficiency (class avg) 

79 

85.5 

88.5 

89.5 

90.5 

Note: "arbitrary units" as used below refer to the vertical grid spacing in AOL-1999 Rgure ES-S. 

For motor Inventory, one arbitrary unit corresponds to approximately 5.1 million motors. 

For AEC. one arbitrary unit corresponds to approximately 12.3 billion kWh. 

Inventorylotal (million): 123 

AEC (billion kWh) 356 

Inventory {arbitrary unils) 

AEC{arbltraryunits) 

Inventory (fraction) 

AEC (fraction) 

Inventory (millions) 

AEC (billion kWh) 

In 1-25 HP range, 

AEC (arbitrary units) 

AEC (fraction) 

AEC{billion kWH) 

16.00 

0.55 

196.41 

Example of AEC calc used in this sheet: 

If AEC is 196 at .91 efficiency, then at .93 efficiency, 

AEC is 196' .91/.93 = 191.7849462 

HP AEC (arbitrary units) 

1 t05 5 

5to20 11 

201050 1.5 

5010100 0.5 

10010200 

Totals: 18 

Finegrained data for 5·20 HP: 

HP 

51020 Lgunitary 

51020 Central Sta AHU 

5t020 Hydronic Boiler 

Totals by HP class: 

HP DeSCription 

1105 Medium Unitary 

51020 Sum rows 51·53 

< 1 HP 

17 

9 

0.71 

0.31 

87.1 

110.5 

AEC (fraction) 

0.17 

0.38 

0.05 

0.02 

0.00 

0.62 

ADL 1999, P 4-13 

ADL 1999, P 4-13 

ADL 1999,p 4-16 

Source 

ADL 1999, P 4-13 

Sum rows 51·53 

TOTAl: 

1-200 HP 

7 

1B 

0.29 

0.62 

35.9 

221.0 

AEC (billion kWh) 

61.38 

135.03 

18.41 

6.14 

0.00 

220.97 

16,040 

336,207 

15,186 

Annual sales 

169,118 

367,433 

536,551 

>200 HP Total (arbitrary units) 

Approx.O 24 

2 29 

Approx.O 

0.07 

Approx.O 

24.6 

167,113 15 

1,780,429 15 

350,000 23 

Installed base Ufelime 

1,780,161 15 

2,297,542 

4,077,703 

Efficiency NEMA 

Efficiency Default Efficiency EPAGr PremIum 

79 85 87.5 

85.5 89.25 91.25 

88.5 92 93.75 

89.5 93.55 94.95 

90.5 94.55 95.6 

(from ADL-1999) 

3000 4.4DE+l0 0.0484 

3000 4.58E+l1 0.5038 

1500 6.4DE+l0 0.0704 

Hours AEC(kWh) AEC (quads) 

2500 8.30E+10 0.0913 

5.66E+l1 0.6226 

6.49E+l1 0.7139 

HP EPAGr NEMAPREM 

82.5 85.5 

B7~ 89.5 

20 91 93 

50 93 94.5 

100 94.1 95.4 

200 95 95.8 

Efficiency slarnlards for 4 pole (1800 APMS) OOP motors 

HP EPACT NEMA PAEM HP AVG 

1105 85 87.5 

51020 89.25 91.25 

20 to 50 92 93.75 

50 to 100 93.55 94.95 

100 to 200 94.55 95.6 

SAC 4 above SAC 5 above 

AECNEMA 

AECEPACT Premium 

57.0 55.4 

129.4 126.5 

17.7 17.4 

5.9 5.8 

0.0 0.0 

Totals 210.0 205.1 

0.8500 0.8925 0.9125 

0.8700 0.8925 0.9125 

0.9000 0.8925 0.9125 

Efliciency Efficiency Efficiency NEMA 

Defaull EPACT Premium 

0.8000 0.8500 0.6750 

0.8925 0.9125 

3 

12.5 

35 

75 

150 

4.19E+10 

4.4SE+l1 

6.45E+l0 

AECEPACT 

7.81E+l0 

5.53E+l1 

Benefit (bil!lOll 

kWh) Benefit Quads 

1.6 0.0179 

2.8 0.0312 

0.3 0.0036 

0.1 0.0010 

0.0 0.0000 

4.9 0.0537 

4.10E+l0 

4.37E+l1 

6.31E+l0 

AEC NEMA Benefit 

Premium Benefit (kWh) Quads 

7.S9E+10 2.23E+09 0.0025 

5.41E+l1 1.21E+l0 0.0133 

TOTAL: 1.44E+10 0.0158 

Benefit 2010·2035 

0.0430 

0.2333 

0.2762 
Cooking Products: Electric Ranges

Efficiency Improvement Level baseline+design option combinations -

Discount rate I

7%

Discount to year 2003

Product lifetime (nearest full year) 19

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $) -$5.71

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Cooking Products: Electric Ranges 

1 Efficiency Improvement Level !b~S~li~~+designoPti~~~;rnbination~~ NES (quads) 1.661 

1.:1 D:..:.;is:::.:c:.::o-=.un:...:.:t:..:.r;::.at~e __________ .l..-_----=-7...:..::.J%1 NPV (billion $) -$5.711 

1.:1 D;,.;;is;,;:c;.;;,o.;;;.un;.;,;t;....::to;;....L.ye.;..;a;;,;..r _____ -, ~20033 

1 Product lifetime (nearest full year) 
Electric Range Shipments and Stock

ear

New

Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

linprov.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effie

Iniprov.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

Base Operating

Cost

Effic.

Intprov.

Operating

Cost

Annual

Fuel Cost

Savings

PVAnnual

Fuel Cost

Savings

PV

Cumulative

Fuel Cost

Savings

Delta Unit

Price

Total

Incremental

Equip. Cost

PV Total

Incremental

Equip Cost

PV

Cumulative

Equip. Cost

Net

PV

million million kwh/ r kvh/ r cads cads quads quads billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ C......... ive

2001 4.34 62.38 530 530 0.368 0.368 S 2.88 S 2.88 ''. 2002 4.56 64.08 530 530 0.373 0.373 S 2.87 $ 2.87

2003 4.56 65.79 530 530 0.383 0.383 $ 2.96 S 2.96 '.. 2004 4.56 67.50 530 530 0.391 0.391 $ 2.99 S 2.99

2005 4.56 69.20 530 530 0.401 0.401 $ 3.02 S 3.02

2006 4.56 70.91 530 530 0.410 0.410 $ 3.06 $ 3.06 '.. 2007 4.56 72.62 530 530 0.420 0.420 $ 3.09 $ 3.09

2008 4.56 74.33 530 530 0.428 0.428 $ 3.14 S 3.14

2009 4.56 76.03 530 530 0.435 0.435 $ 3.22 S 322

2010 4.56 77.74 530 420 0.443 0.438 0.005 0.005 $ 3.28 $ 3.24 $ 0.04 $ 0.02 $ 0.02 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.73 -$0.73 -$0.71

2011 4.56 79.45 530 420 0.451 0.441 0.011 0.016 $ 3.34 $ 3.26 S 0.08 S 0.05 $ 0.07 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.68 -$1.42 -$1.35

2012 4.56 80.91 530 420 0.458 0.442 0.016 0.032 S 3.44 $ 3.32 $ 0.12 $ 0.07 $ 0.14 $ 258 -$1.18 40.64 -52.06 $1.92

2013 4.56 82.10 530 420 0.463 0.442 0.021 0.054 S 150 $ 3.34 S 0.16 $ 0.08 $ 0.22 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.60 -$2.65 -52.44

2014 4.56 83.34 530 420 0.468 0.441 0.027 0,080 $ 3.57 $ 3.37 $ 0.20 $ 0.10 $ 0.32 S 258 -$1.18 -50.56 -$3.21 -$2.90

2015 4.56 84.36 530 420 0.472 0.440 0.032 0.112 $ 3.63 S 3.38 $ 0.24 $ 0.11 $ 0.42 S 258 -81.18 $0.52 -53.74 -$3.31

2016 4.56 85.30 530 420 0.476 0.439 0.037 0.149 $ 3.68 $ 3.40 $ 0.29 $ 0.12 S 0.54 S 258 41.18 -50.49 -$4.22 -$3.68

2017 4.56 85.87 530 420 0.477 0.435 0.042 0.191 $ 3.69 $ 3.36 $ 0.33 $ 0.13 $ 0.67 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.46 -$4.68 -54.01

2018 4.56 86.15 530 420 0.477 0.430 0.047 0.238 $ 3.71 $ 3.34 $ 0.37 $ 0.13 $ 0.80 $ 258 41.18 -$0.43 -$5.11 -$4.30

2019 4.56 86.38 530 420 0.477 0.425 0.052 0.290 $ 3.70 $ 3.30 S 0.41 $ 0.14 $ 0.94 $ 258 -51.18 -$0.40 -$5.50 -$4.57

2020 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.477 0.419 0.057 0.348 $ 3.72 S 3.27 $ 0.45 $ 0.14 $ 1.08 $ 258 -$1.18 -50.37 -$5.88 -$4.80

2021 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.475 0.413 0.062 0.410 $ 3.74 S 3.25 $ 0.49 $ 0.14 $ 1.22 $ 258 -$1.18 -50.35 -$6.22 -$5.00

2022 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.474 0.407 0.067 0.477 $ 3.73 $ 3.20 $ 0.53 $ 0.15 S 1.37 $ 258 41.18 -$0.33 -$6.55 -55.18

2023 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.473 0.401 0.072 0.550 $ 3.71 S 3.15 $ 0.57 $ 0.15 $ 1.52 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.30 -$6.85 -$5.33

2024 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.472 0.395 0.077 0.627 $ 3.74 $ 3.13 $ 0.61 S 0.15 $ 1.67 $ 258 -$1.18 40.28 -57.14 -55.47

2025 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.471 0.389 0.082 0.709 $ 3.74 $ 3.09 S 0.65 S 0.15 $ 1.81 $ 258 -$1.18 -80.27 -57.40 -$5.59

2026 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.470 0.382 0.087 0.796 $ 3.74 S 3.05 $ 0.70 S 0.15 $ 1.96 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.25 -$7.65 -$5.69

2027 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.468 0.376 0.092 0.888 S 3.74 $ 3.01 $ 0.74 8 0.15 $ 2.11 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.23 -$7.88 45.78

2028 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.467 0.370 0.097 0.985 S 3.75 $ 2.97 $ 0.78 $ 0.14 $ 2.25 S 258 -$1.16 -$0.22 -$8.10 45.85

2029 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.466 0.369 0.097 1.082 S 3.75 $ 2.97 $ 0.78 S 0.13 $ 2.38 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.20 -$8.30 -$5.92

2030 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.465 0.368 0.096 1.179 $ 3.75 $ 2.97 S 0.78 8 0.13 $ 2.51 $ 258 -$1.18 40.19 48.49 45.98

2031 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.463 0.367 0.096 1.275 S 3.76 $ 2.98 8 0.78 5 0.12 S 2.63 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.18 -$8.67 -$6.04

2032 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.462 0.366 0.096 1.371 S 3.76 $ 2.98 S 0.78 $ 0.11 $ 2.74 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.17 -$8.83 -$6.10

2033 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.461 0.365 0.096 1.466 $ 3.76 $ 2.98 $ 0.78 $ 0.10 $ 2.84 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.15 -$8.99 -$6.15

2034 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.460 0.364 0.095 1.562 $ 3.76 $ 2.98 $ 0.78 $ 0.10 S 2.93 S 258 -51.18 -$0.14 -$9.13 -$6.20

2035 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.459 0.363 0.095 1.657 $ 3.77 $ 2.99 $ 0.78 $ 0.09 $ 3.02 S 258 -$1.18 -$0.13 -5927 -$6.24

2036 0 82.04 530 420 0.433 0.343 0.090 1.747 $ 3.57 $ 2.83 $ 0.74 $ 0.08 $ 3.10 -59.27 -56.16

2037 0 77.49 530 420 0.408 0.323 0.085 1.832 S 3.38 $ 2.67 $ 0.70 $ 0.07 $ 3.17 -$9.27 -56.09

2038 0 72.93 530 420 0.383 0.304 0.080 1.911 $ 3.18 $ 2.52 $ 0.66 $ 0.06 $ 3.24 -$9.27 -$6.03

2039 0 68.37 530 420 0.358 0.284 0.074 1.985 $ 2.98 $ 2.36 $ 0.62 $ 0.05 $ 3.29 -59.27 -85.98

2040 0 63.81 530 420 0.333 0.264 0.069 2.055 $ 2.79 S 2.21 $ 0.58 $ 0.05 $ 3.34 49.27 $5.93

2041 0 59.25 530 420 0.309 0.245 0.064 2.119 $ 2.59 $ 2.05 $ 0.54 $ 0.04 $ 3.38 -5927 -55.89

2042 0 54.70 530 420 0.284 0.225 0.059 2.178 $ 2.39 $ 1.90 $ 0.50 $ 0.04 $ 3.41 -89.27 -$5.85

2043 0 50.14 530 420 0.260 0.206 0.054 2232 $ 2.19 S 1.74 S 0.46 $ 0.03 $ 3.44 -$9.27 -$5.82

2044 0 45.58 530 420 0.236 0.187 0.049 2,281 $ 2.00 S 1.58 $ 0.41 S 0.03 S 3.47 -$9.27 -$5.80

2045 0 41.02 530 420 0.212 0.168 0.044 2.325 $ 1.80 $ 1.42 $ 0.37 $ 0.02 S 3.49 -59.27 -$5.78

2046 0 36.46 530 420 0.188 0.149 0.039 2.364 $ 1.60 S 1.27 $ 0.33 $ 0.02 $ 3.51 -$9.27 -55.76

2047 0 31.91 530 420 0.164 0.130 0.034 2.398 $ 1.40 $ 1.11 $ 0.29 $ 0.01 $ 3.52 -$9.27 -55.74

2048 0 27.35 530 420 0.140 0.111 0.029 2.427 $ 1.20 S 0.95 $ 0.25 $ 0.01 $ 3.54 -$9.27 -$5.73

2049 0 22.79 530 420 0.116 0.092 0.024 2.451 $ 1.00 $ 0.79 $ 0.21 $ 0.01 $ 3.55 -$9.27 -$5.72

2050 0 18.23 530 420 0,093 0,074 0.019 2.470 $ 0.80 $ 0.64 S 0.17 $ 0.01 $ 3.55 -8927 -55.71

2051 0 13.67 530 420 0.069 0.055 0.014 2.485 $ 0.60 $ 0.48 $ 0.12 $ 0.00 S 3.56 -89.27 -$5.71

2052 0 9.12 530 420 0.046 0.037 0.010 2.494 S 0.40 1 0.32 $ 0.08 $ 0.00 $ 3.56 -$9.27 -$5.71

2053 0 4.56 530 420 0.023 0.018 0.005 2.499 S 0.20 $ 0.16 S 0.04 $ 0.00 $ 3.56 4927 -$5.71

2054 0 0.00 530 420 0.000 0.000 0.000 2.499 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 3.56 -59.27 45.71

2055 0 0.00 530 420 0.000 0.000 0.000 2.499 $ - $ - $ $ $ 156 49.27 -$5.71

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Electric Range Shipments and Stock 

Effie Effie. PV 

Effie lmprov. Allnllal Cumulative Improv. Anllual PVAnlllla[ Cumulative Total PVTotal PV Net New Surviving lmprov. Base Total Total Energy EIJergy Base Operating Operating Fuel Cost Fllel Cost Fliel Cost Delta Unit l1!cremen(al Incremental Cumulative Cumulative 

Year Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings Cost Cost Savings Savings Savings Price Equip. Cost Equip Cost Equip. Cost PV 

million million kwh;" kwhlvr uads flads llads uads billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billioll $ billioll $ billion $ 

2001 4.34 62.38 530 530 0.368 0.368 $ 2.88 S 2.88 

2002 4.56 64.08 530 530 0.373 0.373 S 2.87 $ 2.87 

2003 4.56 65.79 530 530 0.383 0.383 $ 2.96 S 2.96 

2004 4.56 67.50 530 530 0.391 0.391 $ 2.99 $ 2.99 

2005 4.56 69.20 530 530 0.401 0.401 $ 3.02 $ 3.02 

2006 4.56 70.91 530 530 0.410 0.410 $ 3.06 $ 3.06 

2007 4.56 72.62 530 530 0.420 0.420 $ 3.09 $ 3.09 

2008 4.56 74.33 530 530 0.428 0.428 $ 3.14 $ 3.14 

2009 4.56 76.03 530 530 0.435 0.435 $ 3.22 $ 3.22 

2010 4.56 77.74 530 420 0.443 0.438 0.005 0.005 $ 3.28 $ 3.24 $ 0.04 $ 0.02 $ 0.02 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.73 ·$0.73 -$0.71 

2011 4.56 79.45 530 420 0.451 0.441 0.011 0.016 $ 3.34 $ 3.26 $ 0.08 $ 0.05 $ 0.07 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.68 -SI.42 -$1.35 

2012 4.56 80.91 530 420 0.458 0.442 0.016 0.032 S 3.44 $ 3.32 $ 0.12 $ 0.07 $ 0.14 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.64 -$2.06 -$1.92 

2013 4.56 82.10 530 420 0.463 0.442 0.021 0.054 $ 3.50 $ 3.34 $ 0.16 $ 0.08 $ 0.22 $ 258 -$1.18 ·$0.60 -$2.65 -$2.44 

2014 4.56 83.34 530 420 0.468 0.441 0.027 0.080 $ 3.57 $ 3.37 $ 0.20 $ 0.10 $ 0.32 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.56 -$3.21 -$2.90 

2015 4.56 84.36 530 420 0.472 0.440 0.032 0.112 $ 3.63 $ 3.38 $ 0.24 $ 0.11 $ 0.42 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.52 ·$3.74 -$3.31 

2016 4.56 85.30 530 420 0.476 0.439 0.037 0.149 $ 3.68 S 3.40 $ 0.29 $ 0.12 $ 0.54 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.49 -$4.22 ·$3.68 

2017 4.56 85.87 530 420 0.477 0.435 0.042 0.191 $ 3.69 $ 3.36 $ 0.33 $ 0.13 $ 0.67 $ 258 -S1.18 -$0.46 -$4.68 -$4.01 

2018 4.56 86.15 530 420 0.477 0.430 0.047 0.238 $ 3.71 $ 3.34 $ 0.37 $ 0.13 $ 0.80 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.43 -$5.11 -$4.30 

2019 4.56 86.38 530 420 0.477 0.425 0.052 0.290 $ 3.70 $ 3.30 $ 0.41 $ 0.14 $ 0.94 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.40 -$5.50 -$4.57 

2020 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.477 0.419 0.057 0.348 $ 3.72 $ 3.27 $ 0.45 $ 0.14 $ 1.08 $ 258 ·$1.18 -$0.37 -$5.88 -$4.80 

2021 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.475 0.413 0.062 0.410 $ 3.74 $ 3.25 $ 0.49 $ 0.14 $ 1.22 S 258 ·$1.18 -$0.35 -$6.22 -$5.00 

2022 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.474 0.407 0.067 0.477 $ 3.73 $ 3.20 $ 0.53 $ 0.15 $ 1.37 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.33 -$6.55 -$5.18 

2023 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.473 0.401 0.072 0.550 $ 3.71 $ 3.15 $ 0.57 $ 0.15 $ 1.52 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.30 -$6.85 ·$5.33 

2024 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.472 0.395 0.077 0.627 $ 3.74 $ 3.13 $ 0.61 $ 0.15 $ 1.67 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.28 -$7.14 -$5.47 

2025 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.471 0.389 0.082 0.709 $ 3.74 $ 3.09 $ 0.65 $ 0.15 $ 1.81 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.27 -$7.40 -$5.59 

2026 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.470 0.382 0.087 0.796 $ 3.74 $ 3.05 $ 0.70 $ 0.15 $ 1.96 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.25 -$7.65 ·$5.69 

2027 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.468 0.376 0.092 0.888 $ 3.74 $ 3.01 $ 0.74 $ 0.15 $ 2.11 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.23 -$7.88 -$5.78 

2028 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.467 0.370 0.097 0.985 $ 3.75 $ 2.97 $ 0.78 $ 0.14 $ 2.25 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0-22 -$8.10 -$5.85 

2029 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.466 0.369 0.097 1.082 $ 3.75 $ 2.97 $ 0.78 $ 0.13 $ 2.38 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.20 -$8.30 -$5.92 

2030 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.465 0.368 0.096 1.179 $ 3.75 $ 2.97 $ 0.78 $ 0.13 $ 2.51 $ 258 ·$1.18 ·$0.19 -$8.49 -$5.98 

2031 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.463 0.367 0.096 1.275 $ 3.76 $ 2.98 $ 0.78 $ 0.12 $ 2.63 $ 258 -$1.18 ·$0.18 ·$8.67 -$6.04 

2032 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.462 0.366 0.096 1.371 $ 3.76 $ 2.98 $ 0.78 $ 0.11 $ 2.74 $ 258 ·$1.18 -$0.17 -$8.83 -$6.10 

2033 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.461 0.365 0.096 1.466 $ 3.76 $ 2.98 $ 0.78 $ 0.10 $ 2.84 $ 258 -$1.18 -$0.15 -$8.99 -$6.15 

2034 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.460 0.364 0.095 1.562 $ 3.76 $ 2.98 $ 0.78 $ 0.10 $ 2.93 $ 258 -S1.18 -$0.14 -$9.13 -$6.20 

2035 4.56 86.60 530 420 0.459 0.363 0.095 1.657 $ 3.77 $ 2.99 $ 0.78 $ 0.09 $ 3.02 $ 258 ·$1.18 -$0.13 -$9.27 -$6.24 

2036 0 82.04 530 420 0.433 0.343 0.090 1.747 $ 3.57 $ 2.83 $ 0.74 $ 0.08 $ 3.10 -$9.27 -$6.16 

2037 0 77.49 530 420 0.408 0.323 0.085 1.832 $ 3.38 $ 2.67 $ 0.70 $ 0.07 $ 3.17 -$9.27 -$6.09 

2038 0 72.93 530 420 0.383 0.304 0.080 1.911 $ 3.18 $ 2.52 $ 0.66 $ 0.06 $ 3.24 -$9.27 -$6.03 

2039 0 68.37 530 420 0.358 0.284 0.074 1.985 $ 2.98 $ 2.36 $ 0.62 $ 0.05 $ 3.29 -$9.27 -$5.98 

2040 0 63.81 530 420 0.333 0.264 0.069 2.055 $ 2.79 $ 2.21 $ 0.58 $ 0.05 $ 3.34 -$9.27 ·$5.93 

2041 0 59.25 530 420 0.309 0.245 0.064 2.119 $ 2.59 $ 2.05 $ 0.54 $ 0.04 $ 3.38 -$9.27 -$5.89 

2042 0 54.70 530 420 0.284 0.225 0.059 2.178 $ 2.39 $ 1.90 $ 0.50 $ 0.04 $ 3.41 -$9.27 -$5.85 

2043 0 50.14 530 420 0.260 0.206 0.054 2.232 $ 2.19 $ 1.74 $ 0.46 $ 0.03 $ 3.44 -$9.27 -$5.82 

2044 0 45.58 530 420 0.236 0.187 0.049 2.281 $ 2.00 $ 1.58 $ 0.41 $ 0.03 $ 3.47 -$9.27 -$5.80 

2045 0 41.02 530 420 0.212 0.168 0.044 2.325 $ 1.80 $ 1.42 $ 0.37 $ 0.02 $ 3.49 -$9.27 -$5.78 

2046 0 36.46 530 420 0.188 0.149 0.039 2.364 $ 1.60 $ 1.27 $ 0.33 $ 0.02 $ 3.51 -$9.27 -$5.76 

2047 0 31.91 530 420 0.164 0.130 0.034 2.398 $ 1.40 $ 1.11 $ 0.29 $ 0.01 $ 3.52 -59.27 -$5.74 

2048 0 27.35 530 420 0.140 0.111 0.029 2.427 $ 1.20 $ 0.95 $ 0.25 $ om $ 3.54 -$9.27 -$5.73 

2049 0 22.79 530 420 0.116 0.092 0.024 2.451 $ 1.00 $ 0.79 $ 0.21 $ 0.01 $ 3.55 -$9.27 -$5.72 

2050 0 18.23 530 420 0.093 0.074 0.019 2.470 $ 0.80 $ 0.64 S 0.17 $ 0.01 $ 3.55 -$9.27 -$5.71 

2051 0 13.67 530 420 0.069 0.055 0.014 2.485 $ 0.60 $ 0.48 $ 0.12 $ 0.00 $ 3.56 -$9.27 -$5.71 

2052 0 9.12 530 420 0.046 0.037 0.010 2.494 $ 0.40 $ 0.32 $ 0.08 $ 0.00 $ 3.56 -$9.27 -$5.71 

2053 0 4.56 530 420 0.023 0.018 0.005 2.499 $ 0.20 $ 0.16 $ 0.04 $ 0.00 $ 3.56 -$9.27 -$5.71 

2054 0 0.00 530 420 0.000 0.000 0.000 2.499 $ $ $ $ $ 3.56 -$9,27 -$5.71 

2055 0 0.00 530 420 0.000 0.000 0.000 2.499 $ $ $ $ $ 3.56 -$9.27 -$5.71 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1982 2.851 Historical data

1983 2.851 Projected forward or back

1984 2.851'

1985 2.851

1986 2.851

1987 2.85 "i

1988 2.851

1989 2.851

1990 2.851

1991 2.851

1992 2.851

1993 3.090

1994 3.368

1995 3.319

1996 3.541

1997 3.623

1998 3.987

1999 4.278

2000 4.320

2001 4.340

2002 4.558

2003 4.558

2004 4.558

2005 4.558

2006 4.558

2007 4.558

2008 4.558

2009 4.558

2010 4.558

2011 4.558

2012 4.558

2013 4.558

2014 4.558

2015 4.558'

2016 4.558

2017 4.558:

2018 4.558

2019 4.558

2020 4.558

2021 4.558

2022 4.558

2023 4.558

2024 4.558

2025 4.558

2026 4.558

2027 4.558

2028 4.558

2029 4.558

2030 4.558

2031 4.558

2032 4.558

2033 4.558

2034 4.558

2035 4.558

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year ected 

1982 

1983 

1984 

1985 

1986 

1987 

1988 

1989 

1990 

1991 

1992 

1993 

1994 

1995 

1996 

1997 

1998 

1999 

2000 

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

Historical data 

Projected forward or back 
Efficiency Level UEC (kwh/yr) Unit Price

Base 530.4 $ 508

Base + design option combinations 420.3 $ 766

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Efficiency Level 

Base 

Base + design option combinations 

UEC (kwh/yr) Unit Price 

530.4 $ 508 

420.3 $ 766 
Detailed UEC and Price Calculations

Baseline

Percent of Total Base Equip Dsgn Option Dsgn Option Total Equip UEC

Product Class Shipments Price Price % Incr Price Cooking EHC EF kWh! r Source

Elec Oven non-Self Cleaning $399 $0 - $399 12.2% 10.7% 274.9 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.11; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.4

Elec Oven Self C1-in $630 $0 $630 13.8% 9.6% 303.7 UEC: 1996 DOE T5D, Table 1.12; Price: 1996 TSD Table 4.5

Elec Coil Cooktop 85.0% $179 $0 - $179 73.7% 73.7% 234.7 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.6; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.1

Elec Smooth Cookiop 15.0% $219 $0 - $219 74.2% 74.2% 233.4 UEC: 1996 DOE TSO, Table 1.7; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.2

Elec Cooktop Weighted $185 $D $185 73.8% 73.8% 234.5

Elec Range non-Self Cleaning 27.0% $584 $0 - $584 509.4 Cnokfop 1- Oven

Elec Range Self Cleaning 73.0% $815 $0 $815 538.2 CooMOp + Oven

Weighted-Average $508 5508 530:4 Price: 2003 ARAM Fact Book

Baseline + Design Option Combinations

Source: Percent of Total Shipments; 1997 DOE Supplemental Analys Tables 3.6 and 3.7

Percent of Total Bose Equip Dsgn Option Dsgn Option Total Equip UEC

Product Class Shipments Price Price %Incr Price Cooking Effoy EF kW r Design Option Combination Source

Elec Oven non-Sell Cleaning $399 $314 78.7% $713 22.8% 18.0% 162.4 Max Tech UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.11; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.4

Elec Oven Self Cleaning $630 $359 57.0% $989 24.0% 13.7% 213.7 Max Tech UEC: 1996 DOE TSD Table 1.12; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.5

Elec Coil Cookfop 85.0% $179 $12 6.7% $191 77.7% 77.7% 222. 9 Max Tech UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.6; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.1

Elec Smooth Cooktop 15.0% $219 $133 60.8% $352 84.0% 84.0% 206.4 Induction Element UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.7; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.2

Elec CaaMO Weighted $185 $30 16.3% $215 78.6% 78.6% 220.4 Max Tech

Sloe Range non-Self Cleaning 27.0% $584 $344 58.9% $928 382.8 Caoktop +Oven (Glo-bar ignition)

Elec Range Self Cleaning 73.0% $815 $389 47.8% $1,204 434.1 Cookiop + Oven

Weighted-Average $508 50.8% 5766 420.3 Price: 2003 AHAM Fact Book plus percent increase due to design options

Electric Range

Gas Range

Microwave Oven

AHAM Fact Book 2003 (2002 prices) Table 15

$508

$497

$145

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Detailed UEC and Price Calculations 

Baseline 

!=elfClean,ng 

Oven Sell Cleaning 

Coil Cooktop 

Elec Smooth Cooktop 

Bee Cooktoo Weiahted 

E/ec Range non-Self Cleaning 

EJee Range Self Cleaning 

Weighted-Average 

Baseline + Design Option Combinations 

Product Class 

Elec Oven non-Self Cleaning 

Elec Oven Self CleaninQ 

Elec Coil Cooktop 

Elec Smooth Cooktop 

£Iec CookfOp Weighted 

EJee Range non-Self CleanIng 

Elec Range Self Cleaning 

Weighted-Average 

Electric Range 

Gas Range 

Microwave Oven 

Percent of Total Base Equip Dsg" Option Dsgn Option Total Equip 

Shipments Price Price %lner Price Cookina Effcv 

$399 $0 $399 12.2% 

$630 $0 $630 13.8% 

85.0% $179 $0 $179 73.7% 

15.0% $219 $0 $219 74.2% 

$185 $0 $185 73.8% 

27.0% $584 $0 $58' 

73.0% $815 $0 $815 

$508 $508 

Source. Percent of Total ShIpments. 1997 DOE Supplemental AnalysIs, Tables 3.6 and 3.7 

Percent of Total Base Equip Dsgn Option 

Shipments Price Price 

$399 $31' 

$630 $359 

85.0% $179 $12 

15.0% $219 $133 

$185 $30 

27.0% $584 $344 

73.0% $815 $389 

$508 

AHAMFactBook20032002 rices Table15 

$508 

$497 

$145 

Dsgn Option Total Equip 

%Incr Price Cooking Effey 

78.7% $713 22.8% 

57.0% $989 24.0% 

6.7% $191 77.7% 

60.8% $352 84.0% 

16.3% $215 78.6% 

58.9% $928 

47.8% $1,204 

50.8% $766 

UEC 

EF kWfI}r Source 

10.7% 274.9 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.11; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4,4 

9.6% 303.7 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.12: Price: 1996T90 Table4.5 

73.7% 234.7 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.6: Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.1 

74.2% 233.4 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD. Table 1.7; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.2 

73.B"/0 234.5 

509.4 Cooktop + Oven 

538,2 Cooktop + Oven 

530.4 Price: 2003 AHAM Fact Book 

UEC 

EF kWh/yr Design Option Combination Source 

18.0% 162.4 Max Tech UEC: 1996 DOE TSO. Table 1.11: Price: 1996 TSO. Table 4.4 13.7% 213.7 Max Tech UEC: 1996 DOE TSD Table 1.12; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.5 

77.7% 222.9 Max Tech UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.6; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.1 

84.0% 206.4 Induction Elemenl UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.7; Price: 1996 TSD, Table 4.2 

78.6% 220.4 Max Tech 

382.8 Cooktop + Oven (Glo·bar ignition) 

434.1 Cooktop + Oven 

420.3 Price: 2003 AHAM Fact Book plus percent increase due to design options 
Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu

Residential site electricity

Conv Factor

Btu/kWh

2001 11126 calculated from AEO 2004

2002 10986 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 10972

2004 10924

2005 10913

2006 10903

2007 10894

2008 10868

2009 10785

2010 10749

2011 10712

2012 10679

2013 10635

2014 10584

2015 10542

2016 10515

2017 10483

2018 10436

2019 10408

2020 10376

2021 10345

2022 10322

2023 10298

2024 10275

2025 10252

2026, 10223

2027 10194

2028 10166

2029 10139

2030' 10113

2031' 10087

2032 10061

2033' 10035

2034 10010

2035 9983

2036 9957

2037 9931

2038 9905

2039 9879

2040 9853

2041 9828:

2042 9802',

2043, 9777'.

2044', 9751'

2045', 9726 :

20461 9700

2047 9675

2048 9650

2049 9625

2050 9600

2051 9575

2052 9550

2053 9525

2054 9500

2055 9475

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu 

Residential site electricity 

Conv Factor 

Btu/kWh 

20.0.1 11126 calculated from AEO 20.0.4 

20.0.2 10986 ". .. .. ', .. based on extrapolation of trend from 20.15-20.25 

20.0.3 10.972 

20.0.4 10.924 

20.0.5 10.913 

20.0.6 10.90.3 

20.0.7 1 Cl894 

20.0.8 10.868 

20.0.9 10.78.5 

20.10. 10.749 

20.11 10.712 

20.12 10.679 

20.13 10.635 

20.14 10.584 

20.15 1 o.S4-2 

20.16 10515 

20.17 10.483 

20.18 '10.436 

20.19 10.40.8 

20.20. 1()376 

20.21 10.345 

20.22 t0322 

20.23 10.298 

20.24 10.275 

1 
Fuel Price

Elec

cent/kWh

2001 8.71 from AEO 2004

2002 8.44 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 8.49

2004 8.34

2005 823

2006 8.13

2007 0.01

2008 7.98

2009 7.99

2010 7.95

2011 7.94

2012 8.01

2013 8.03

2014 8.07

2015 8.11

2016 8.14

2017 8.10

2018 8.12

2019 8.08

2020 8.10

2021 8.14

2022 8.13

2023 8.09

2024 8.14

2025 8.15

2026 8.15

2027 8.15

2028 9.16

2029 8.16

2030 8.17

2031 8.18

2032 8.18

2033 8.19

2034 8.20

2035 8.20

2036 8.21

2037 8.21

2038 8.22

2039 9.23

2040 8.23

2041 8.24

2042 9.24

2043 8.25

2044 9.26

2045 8.26

2046 8.27

2047 838

2048 &28

2049 8.29

2050 8.30

2051 9.30

2052 8.31

2053 8.31

2054 8.32

2055 8.33

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Fuel Price 

Elec 

centlkWh 

2001 8.71 from AEO 2004 

2002 8.44 '._L.'.~C._".~' based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

2003 8.49 

2004 8.34 

2005 8.23 

2006 8.13 

2007 8.01 

2008 7.98 

2009 7:99 

2010 7.95 

2011 7.94 

2012 8.01 

2013 8;03 

2014 8m 

2015 8;11 

2016 8:14 

2017 8,10 

2018 8.12 

2019 8.08 

2020 8.10 

2021 8.i4. 

2022 8.13 

2023 8,09 

2024 8;14 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

Page 7 
Cooking Products: Gas Ranges

Efficiency Improvement Level ' baseline+electronic ignition

Discount rate I

Discount to year 2003 -

Product lifetime (to nearest year) 19

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $) $0.57

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Cooking Products: Gas Ranges 

1 Efficiency Improvement Level f baseline+electronic ignition 

1 Discount rate 

1 Discount to year 20633 

1 Product lifetime (to nearest year) 191 

~. :!J NES (quads) 

NPV (billion $) 

0.441 

$0.571 
YUOU , e « r w w« n n w w w« r w« u w w n» n»««« n n n w u» r«« r» n w w n» w w««» n

8>>>eoaoa o 3838388888888883 38888888888 -

9 d

4000°

o= 33333 e

n n» u w w n n« n « w w»» u w w w w w w n» n« w n« u n u w n n n n« w««« n w w n

e e o o a o 0 0 0 o e e e o 0 0 0 0 0 0 o e e e e e o 0 0 o a e o e o 0 o e d o 0 o e e

-38 38385 - - ^8858883383-

<OU

9 o N^

y « w« n n« n u w u n w w« w r«««««« n w w w»» n

w

«« ««« w w» u n w w w«

9

a o 0 6 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 o e e e e o a o 0 0 0 0= o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o e o o e e o e e o 0 o a ^e e e o

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --- - - - - - - - --- - -

o e e e e c e o 6 e e e o a H. o e o 0 0 0 e o e o e o 0 0' o

"

' o d o 0 0 o a o 0 0 o e

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

` c F

C 9

sU

^ ^ ^ u

» n n n» n« n w n» r w w n« w«« w»» w w u w» w» n» w w « w w r n w n»» n w w w n« n« n n n w

I

S`TT V'w

m 3

« w w w« w w w w w« r«««» n» w w w w«« r«««« w« w w» w r«««« r w«« r r n n w» w r«

-_888588333355

^uyo

»»»wrw««r««»«wnn»ww«»«««««»w»»»««r»»»nn»««»n»»wwwww«w»n

-^A^ n^^ m^^- =5583 6ep:aRF -

4 S ^

W ^U

? a o 0 0 0 0 0= e o 0 o d o = o o e e a e o 0 0 0 o d o 3 0 0 o e e o 0 0 o d o 0 0 o d

» r r««« n« w«« w« u w n» w w w««»«««»« n« w« n«« w w n n w w n n » w w n u n« n««» n

r n w» w w«» w w w w w« w n w w w« n r««« w«« w» n n n w«« » w w w w n w n««« r w w n

p

gg

eda 5 o ^ ^ 6 588ao oo =eaoo eeeoaodaeee eeeee< oaCd=oe

U W ^° e

9^^" a 8 8 8§^ o0 0 o a o 0 0 °o a °e' °o e e °e = °= o a o a^ a o e v e e e e o d oo ^ 8 8^^ 8

<W"

+ ^a eeeaadd == ea3eeeeed = ad=939999 = addeaeeeeeeeo^8^^^^^8§0^^

w [:m B

t^9

- n F n F n g n e 8 n 3^^^^ 5 A< m :J = 3 S o S 8 8 e d 6 2

a o e v e e o o d o 0 0 0 0 o a d o o e e e e 9 ^ o o = e = o o= 0 0 0 0 e e e e o o d e e e e 3 d d d o o e e W= W

0 o e o o e e o e o d o o d o 0 o e e e e e o e d d 3 0 0 0 3 e e e e a a o a o a °6 ^^ e^^^^^^ 8 0

mWW

F 8 k

9 -

qqqqqq pp pq

9^ o 0 0 o e o e o e e e o 0 o d o 0 o e o c e e e a a e d a o 0 o e o a e o 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 o a a o 0 o e o 0 0

f^ W k

0U9v

2

w w w w w -- -. ----------- w w w r - - w -- r r r r - - w.. - -- -. --- «w w - --- - r --

W ^D

w.. r w w« w w w .-. ^., w w w ^.. w w«»« w w w w w w w w w w w .. w» w w w w w w w w w w w w R ".!,^.. w w w w

w w w w r w w w w w ., » w w w w w w w w w w w ., w w w ., « w»» w ., .. w w w w w w w w w w w w w w w w w w w

s5 =335353535953 55 55253355 88° 5 a; a 55588

;a-

..9993°AR353 a arr59aax358388322 3 3533359 zmw5532 33

ee eee=e = a=eeee=e e

8^^^^^^ 8^ r ^ ^ - e b 5 8 S S b 6 9 6 S 2 0 6 0^ 3 e e 5 8 8 d 3 3^ S 3 3 3 S o S^ 6 e g ^^ ^ ^ ^^ ^^ ^^ ^

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6 Gas Range Shipments and Stock 

Ntll' Slltl'ivillg 

Shipmellt U,dls 

millioll millioll 

2.65 

2.85 4S.n 

2.85 46.37 

2.85 47.02 

"'" 20011 

'''''' :l010 

10\2 2.85 

2017 

2018 

2.85 2.85 

20"..4 2.85 

2025 2.85 

HS 

2.8.5 

2.85 2.85 

2.S5 

2034 2.85 2035 2.85 

2(136 

20}7 

"'" 2Q.lS 

2Q.l7 2(»8 

2Q.l9 

2050 

48.32 4$.97 

50.92 51.58 52.1J 

SU? 

54.19 

SU9 SU9 

SU9 

54.19 

5U9 

54.19 54.19 54.19 

42.78 

39.93 

28.52 25.67 

19.% 14.26 

11.41 

Effie Effie 

Btu'e UEC Base UEC [mptol'. [mptol'. Base TolDl 

&u Elte UEC Gali UEC Elee Gas 

MMBTUlvr kWl1/vr MMBTU/v tW/J/vr uads 

" " 

" " " " " " 

" " 

" " " " 

" " 

" " 

0.159 

" 33 0.163 

" " " " 

" " " " 

" " " " 

" " " " " " " " 

0.166 0.168 0.170 

un 

0.175 0.IS2 0.183 

0.191 0.191 0.191 0.191 

0.1S1 0.121 0.110 0.070 ,."'" '.OS<) 

Eltctl'ie 

O.QIS 0.019 

0.019 0.018 

0.012 0.011 

'.000 '.000 

PV 

Effie Per Ullit Base Per U'lil Effie. Tolal Tolal Ejfi... Allllilill Allllflill PY 

Imptol'. Effie.llllprov. Energy Balle Base FUlII Effie. Effie. III/prill'. All/mal ill/proy.A,Ulflilf AIl//Ual i"'prov. Amwal Operatiug Operali/lg 

TolDl Gas TolDl Elecuic S.nings (gas Sal'illgs (gas Fllel Cost Cod. Improv. Fllel FilII Cost· MaiR/e/ldllte MtJildenanu MailllelUlllU Maintellanee Cost Cost 

Energy + du) + - Gas Elee""e Cost- Gas Elee".ie Cost 

SOil,.." "ads billiauS billionS billiouS billionS 

0.159 

0.179 0.179 

0.172 0.170 0.169 0.168 

0.165 

0.165 

0.165 Ql65 0.122 0.113 0.095 0.051 

... , 

O.QIS 0.003 0.019 0.004 

0.019 0.019 0.019 0.016 

0.012 

0.014 0.024 

0.018 0.026 

0.018 0.016 

0.012 

0.011 

, ... 

'.000 

0.026 0.026 0.022 

0.020 

0.012 0.011 

1.29 S 0.13 S 

1.27 S 

1.17 S 

0.00-\$ 1.30 S 0.14 S O.OOSS 1.34 S 0.14 S 

0.15 $ 

1.45 $ 0.15 S 

0.061$ 1.44 $ 0.124$ 0.143$ 

us S O.IS S 

O.IS S 

1.47 $ 

1.46 $ 

0.15 $ 

0.259$ 0.15 $ 

S 0.15 S 

0.15 S 

0.336$ 1.41 S 0.15 S 0.362$ 0.3S8$ 0.623$ 

1.01 $ 

0.93 $ 

0.634$ 0.62 $ 

0.54 S 

0.652$ 0.659$ 

0.15 S 

0.14 $ 0.13 $ 

$ 

0.11 S 0.09 S 

1.36 S 

1.>1 S 1.28 S 

\.29 $ 

1.26 S 

1.29 S 

1.'1 S 

1.3S S 

1.37 $ 1.37 S 1.35 S 

1.32 S 1.31 S 1.29 $ 1.21 $ 

121 S 

S 

1.27 S 

1.20 S 1.14 $ 1.07 $ 1.01 $ 

0.9-1 $ 

0.S1 $ 0.67 $ 

0.60 $ 

054 $ 

0.13 S 0.13 S 0.13 S 0.13 $ 0.14 $ 0.14 S 

O.IS S 

0.15 $ 

O.IS S 

0.15 S 0.15 S 0.15 S 0.15 S 0.15 S 0.15 S 

0.12 $ 0.11 $ 

... , 

0.06 $ 0.05 $ 

Cost Cost Cosl 

6.34 S 

'.>1 , 

• .>1 S 

• .>1 , 

• .34 , 

6.34 S 6.34 $ 6.34 $ 

6.34 $ 6.34 $ 6.34 S 6.34 S 

• .>1 , 

6.34 S 

• .>1 S 

6.34 S 6.34 S 6.34 S 6.34 S 

billion! billionS 

6.34 S 0.017 S 6.34 S 0.035 S '.>1 S 

6.>i S 

6.34 $ 6.34 S 

." S 

1.25 S 

7.25 S 

1.25 S 

72!i $ 

7.25 $ 7.25 S 

7.1S $ 7.1S $ 7.1S $ 

7.25 $ 7.25 S 7.25 S 7.25 S 

7.1S $ 1.25 S 

7.25 $ 

7.1S S 1.25 S 7.1S S 

1.25 S 1.25 S 

725 S 

7.25 S 7.25 S 

7.25 $ 

72!i $ 

7.25 .$ 7.25 S 

us S 

72!i .$ 

(J.l1S $ 

0.143 $ 0.161 $ 

0.216 S 

0.288.$ 

0.306 S 0.324 $ 0.342 S 

''''' , 

0.344 S 0.344 $ 0.3+1 S 0.344 $ 

0.325 $ 0.307 S 0.289 S 0.271 S 

S 

0.181 S 0.163 S 0.127 S O.IOS S 

0.072 S 

0.0S4 $ 

0.11S 0.143 

bil/iollS 

o.:m s 

0.2f>!i S 

0.2116 S 0.306 S 

S 

0.348 $ 

0.3n .$ 

0.'75 $ 0.352 $ 0.331 $ 0.207 S 0.186 S 

$ 

0.103 $ 

Savillgs Cost Sayi

billioll S billioIJ $ 

n.oo S 

om $ n.01 s 

0.02 $ 1101 $ 

n.02 S 

0.02 S 

0.02 $ 

o.ns .$ 0.00 S 0.07 S 

0.12 $ 

0.03 S 0.03 S 0.03 S 

0.13 $ om $ 

0.13 $ 0.0., $ 

0.15.$ 

0.15 S 0.15 S 

0.02 $ 

0.15 $ 0.02 S 

IUS S 0.0! $ 

0.15 $ 0.02 S 0.15 S 

0.14 $ 0.02 $ 0.13 S om.$ 0.09 $ 0.0$ S 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected1982 2.201 Historical Data

1983 2.201 back and forward projections

1984 2.201

1985 2.201

1986 2.201

1987 2.201

1988 2.201

1989 2.201

1990 2.201

1991 2.201

1992 2.201

1993 2.321

1994 2.522

1995 2.475

1996 2.438

1997 2.464

1998 2.614

1999 2.770

2000 2.799

2001 2.652

2002 2.852

2003 2.852

2004 2.852

2005 2.852

2006 2.852

2007 2.852

2008 2.852

2009 2.852

2010 2.852

2011 2.852

2012 2.852

2013 2.852

2014 2.852

2015 2.852

2016 2.852

2017 2.852

2018 2.852

2019 2.852

2020 2.852

2021 2.852

2022 2.852

2023 2.852

2024 2.852

2025 2.852'

2026 2.852

2027 2.852:

2028 2.8521

2029 2.852

2030 2.852

2031 2.852

2032 2.852

2033 2.852

2034 2.852

2035 2.852'

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year 

1982 

1983 

1984 

1985 

1986 

1987 

1988 

1989 

1990 

1991 

1992 

1993 

1994 

1995 

1996 

1997 

1998 

1999 

2000 

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

Historical Data 

f;~~~~f~~~ back and forward projections 
UEC gas UEC elec

UEC gas,

source

UEC elec,

source

Annual

Total UEC, Maintenance

Efficiency Level (MMBTU/yr) (kWh/yr) Unit Price MMBTU MMBTU source MMBTU Cost

Base 3.2 33.4 $ 520 3.5 0.36 3.9 $6.34

Baseline+Electronic Ignition 2.8 33.4 $ 525 3.0 0.36 3.4 $7.25

Baseline+Design Option Combinations 2.4 53.4 $ 707 2.6 0.57 3.2 $7.25

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

UEC gas, UEC elec, Annual 

UEC gas UEC elec source source Total UEC, Maintenance 

Efficiency Level (MMBTU/yr) (kWh/yr) Unit Price MMBTU MMBTU source MMBTU Cost 

Base 3.2 33.4 $ 520 3.5 0.36 3.9 $6.34 

Baseline+Electronic Ignition 2.8 33.4 $ 525 3.0 0.36 3.4 $7.25 

Baseline+Design Option Combinations 2.4 53.4 $ 707 2.6 0.57 3.2 $7.25 
Detailed UEC and Price Calculations

Baseline

Percent alTatal Be,e Equip Dg. Option Dean Option Total Equip Installation Annual MOnt UEC P1lot DEC

Product Clear Shi moots Price Price % Mcr Price Price Cast Co0Wn EBC EF MMB k MMB r Source

Gas 0001000-S00eaning S470 s0 0.0% S479 $0 50 5.9% 3.0% 3.0 0.0 1.5 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.13; Priac: 199] TSO, Ta08422

Gas Oven SellCieanln0 $829 $0 010% $829 $0 $0 7.1% 5A% 1.4 66.7 0.0 UM: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.14; Price: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 4.5

6.SCabkl $219 s0 00% $219 $0 s0 319% 15.6% 3A 0.0 2.1 UEC: 1996 DOE TED, Table 1.8: Price: 1997 TED, Table 4.13

Gas Range rmn-Sell Clean wf Pilot 25.0% $698 50 0.0% $698 $0 $0 6A 0.0 3.5 COOkbp + Oven

Gas Ranenan-SellClean wfo Pilot 75.0% 5698 S37 5.3% $735 $18 $7 2.8 0.0 0.0 C0pkbp+OvrO

Gas Range Seil Cle9nwf Pilot 0.0% $1,048 S0 0.0% $1,048 S0 $7 4.8 66.7 1.5

G. Ran eSelt Clean wfo Pilot 100.0% $1,048 S26 2.5% 51,0]4 50 $7 2.8 66.7 0.0

G. Range non-Sell Clean 0018004 50.0% 5696 528 3.9% 5]26 $14 55 3.7 0.0 0.9

Gaz Rarge Set Cleaning 50.0% 51.048 526 2.5% 51074 $0 57 2.8 661 0.0 Caokbp+oven

Weighted-Average 5497 527 02• sstil 183' '. 3 $4. Price: 2003ARAMFacl BOOk

Basellno+ Etectnania Ign1UOn

Source : Peecenl of Tall S0lpments: 1997 DOE Supplemental 4)10,1:, lanes) and 4.1.

Percent olTotel Bea, Equip Dean Opllen D.G. Option Total Equip Inatalletlen Annual Meant UEC Pilot DEC

Pratluct Cl... Shl moots Prke Pdce %Mcr Price Pdce Cost Cookin EHc EF MMB k MMB r Deal n0 tlon C,mbinatlon Source

as Oven non-Soil Cleaning $4]9 $21 5.7% $50] 318 $] 5.8% 5.8% 1.5 0.0 0.0 Electronic 19119n Design UEC: 1996 DOE T5D. Table1.13; Design Prlcc: 19510000vppiemenlel. Table 422

Gaz OVen G .Cleaning 5829 50 0.0% 5829 50 $0 7.1% 5.4% 1.4 66.] 0.0 - No Design CM1anpe

bas 0000 5219 926 11.9x° 5245 518 $7 39.9% 39.9% 1.3 0.0 0.0 Electronic nltlon Davlgn UEC: 1996000 TSD.109181.9:098101 Price: 1997DOESOp menus. Table 4.13

Gas Ranee non-Sell Cleaning 50.0% $698 537 5.31 $735 $18 97 2.8 0.0 0.0 DOOk1Op+Oven

Gas Range Sell Cleaning 50.0% 51.048 526 2.5% 5+074 SO S7 2.8 66.] 0.0 Cool290+Dven

Welghled-AVereae 5497 631 3 L % -

Baseline. Design Opgon CambineOcns

Pratluct Close

Percent cITatel

SM1I m

Dose Equip Dagn OpOOn Oe9n Op0en Total Equip Metalktlan

Price Price %iner Price Prka

Annual Maint

Cast Caakln EHc EF

allDEC

k

Pilot UEC

MMB r Desi n0 tlon COmbina504 Seuree

Gas(Ncc non-Self Cleaning 5479 $173 36.0% $652 $18 80 6.5% 6.5% 1.2 37.1 0.0 Max Tech lGlo'barlgnilion) .9%OOETSD, Table 1.13

G. Oven SallCleanin0 5829 5204 24.6% $1,033 $0 $0 9.4% 6.5% 1.1 69.7 0.0 Max Tech 1996 DOE T5D. Table 1.14

Gas Cook $2 19 177 35.3% $296 118 S] 420% 420% 1.3 0 00 Max Tech 199600E 008, Table 1.8

Gas Rangenca-ScoCleaninp 50.0% 5698 53]7 539% $1,075 818 $] 2S 37.1 0.0 DOOktcp+0ven (Glo-barignieon)

Gas RangeSalCleening

Weighted-Average

50.0% 51,048

$a47

5281

$329

26.8%

40.4

S 329

55831

_ $0_

5^.

_ ,_ _ 1]

57.25'

24

!

69.7

Sa:4

00

COOkbp+Oven

ARAM Fact honk 2803 I. pricer T.N. 15

Electrk Renee 5508

Gas Bang, $497

Microwave Oven 1145

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Detailed UEC and Price Calculations 

Baseline 

PreducrCl1lSS 

GasOvennOfJ·SellCleanjng 

Gas Oven Self CleanlnO 

GasCOOIIIOP 

Gas Range non-Self Clean wI Pilot 

Gas Ran e non·Sell Clean w/o Pilot 

Gas Range Sell Clean wI Pilot 

Gas Ran e Sell Crean wlo Pilot 

Gas Range non-Sell Clean weighled 

Gas Range Self Cleaning 

Weighted-Average 

Baseline + Electronic IgnlUon 

ProductCllIGs 

Gas Oven non,SellCleaning 

Gas Oven Self Cleaning 

GasCC!Oktoo 

Gas Range non-Self Cleaniog 

Gas Range Sell Cleaning 

Welghtet!-Average 

Baseline + Design Option Combinations 

ProduclClasG 

Gas Oven non-Self Cleaning 

Gas Oven SellCleaning 

GasCooktop 

Gas Range non·SellCleaning 

Gas Range Sell Cleaning 

Welghted-AVtlrage 

EiectricRange 

GasRllnge 

Microwave Oven 

PercentofTettll 

Shl ments 

25.0% 

75.0% 

0.0% 

100.0% 

50.0% 

50.0% 

BIIse Equip Dsgn Oplh:m Dsgn Opth:m Tottll Equip Instoliotlon Annual Molnt 

Price Price % Incr Price Price Cost 

$479 SO 0.0% $479 $0 

5829 50 0.0% 5829 $0 

5219 SO 0.0% 5219 SO 

S698 $0 0.0% $698 $0 

5698 S37 5.3% S735 S18 

S1.048 50 0.0% S1,048 50 

S1,048 $26 2.5% S1,074 SO 

5698 528 3.9% 5726 514 

S1.048 526 2.5% Sl.074 SO 

S497 $27 $513 $7 " 

Cooking Effcy 

50 5.9% 

50 7.1% 

SO 39.9% 

so 

S7 

S7 

S7 

S5 

S7 

Source: Pen:ent olTotal Shipments: 1997 DOE Supplemental Analysis, Tables 3.4 and 3.7 

PercentofTotDi 

Shl menta 

50.0% 

50.0% 

Percent of Total 

Shl ments 

50.0% 

50.0% 

$479 $2B 5.7% $507 SIB :i71 5.8% 5829 SO 0.0% 5829 SO 50 7.1% 

$219 526 11.9% $245 $16 39.S% 

$497 $31 

BIIse Equip Dsgn Option Dsgn Option Total Equip installation Annual Malnt 

Price Price 'Molncr Price Prlca Cost Cookln Effc 

5479 5173 36.0% 5652 S18 50 6.5% 

$829 S204 24.6% 51,033 $0 50 9.4% 

5219 sn 35.3% $296 $18 57 42.0% 

$698 $377 53.9% 51,075 518 57 

S1,048 $281 26.8% 51.329 SO 57 

$'197 $329 40.'1, '59 "'" AHAM Fact Book 2003 2002 rices Table 15 

$508 

S497 

$145 

UEC PliotUEC 

EF MMBlulyr kVi1Wr MMBllJttr Source 

3.0% 3.0 0.0 1.5 UEC:199600ETSD,Table1.13;Prlce:1997TSD,Table4.22 

5.4% 1.4 66.7 0.0 UEC: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 1.14; Price: 1996 DOE TSD, Table 4.5 

15.6% 3.4 0.0 2.1 UEC: 1996 ODE TSO, Table 1.8: PrIce; 1997TSD,Table4.13 

6.4 0.0 3.5 CooklOp + Oven 

2.8 0.0 0.0 Cooktop + Oven 

4.8 

2.8 

'.7 

2.8 

66.7 

66.7 

0.0 

66.7 ~-------1 

UEC PliotUEC 

EF MMBlulyr k!o'.'h.tr MMBluftr Dealgn 0 lion Combination 

5.8% 1.5 0.0 0.0 Eleclroniclgnltion 

5.4% 

3S,9% 

1.4 

1.3 

2.8 

2.8 

66.7 

0.0 

0.0 

66.7 

0.0 -

0.0 Eleclroolclgnldon 

0.0 CooklOP + Oven 

0.0 Cooktop+Oven 

UEC PllotUEC 

EF MMB r kWlW( MMB r Desl nOtion Comblnatlon 

6.5% 1.2 37.1 0.0 Max Tech (Glo-barlgnition) 

6.5% 1.1 69.7 0.0 Max Tech 

42.0% 1.3 0 0.0 Max Tech 

2.5 37.1 0.0 CooklOP + Oven (Glo-barignilion) 

2.4 69.7 0.0 Cooklop + Oven 

2. 53.4 

Source 

Design UEC: 1996 DOE TSD. Table 1.13; Design Price: 1997 DOE Supplemental. Table 422 

No Design Change 

Design UEC: 1996 DOE TSO. Table 1.8; Desion Price: 1997 ODE SUP m€fllal. Table 4.13 

Source 

1996 DOETSD, Table 1.13 

1996DOETSO. Table 1.14 

199600ETSD, Table 1.8 
Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu

Residential

natural gas

Residential

Electricity

Conv Factor

source/site Btu/kWh

2001 1.09 11126 calculated from AEO 2004

2002 1.09 10986 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 1.09 10972

2004 1.09 10924 natural gas transmission and distribution losses =

2005 1.09 10913 8%

2006 1.09 10903

2007 1.09 10894

2008 1.09 10868

2009 1.09 10785

2010 1.09 10749

2011 1.09 10712

2012 1.09 10679

2013 1.09 10635

2014 1.09 10584

2015 1.09 10542

2016 1.09 10515

2017 1.09 10483

2018 1.09 10436

2019 1.09 10408

2020 1.09 10376

2021 1.09 10345

2022 1.09 10322

2023 1.09 10298

2024 1.09 10275

2025 1.09 10252

2026 1.09 10223

2027 1.09 10194

2028 1.09' 10166

2029 1.09 10139

2030 1.09 10113

2031 1.09 10087

2032 1.09 10061

2033 1.09 10035

2034 1.09 10010

2035 1.09 9983

2036 1.09 9957

2037 1.09 9931

2038 1.09 9905

2039 1.09 9879

2040 1.09 9853

2041 1.09 9828

2042 1.09 9802

2043 1.09 9777

2044 1.09 9751

2045 1.09 9726

2046 1.09 9700

2047 1.09 9675

2048 1.09 9650

2049 1.09 9625

2050 1.09 9600

2051 1.09 9575

2052 1.09 9550

2053 1.09 9525

2054 1.09 9500

2055 1.09 9475

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu 

Residential Residential 

natural gas Electricity 

Con v Factor 

source/site Btu/kWh 

2001 1.09 11126 

2002 1.09 10986 

2003 1.09 10972 

2004 1.09 10924 

2005 1.09 10913 

2006 1.09 109Q3 

2007 1.09 10894 

2008 1.09 10868 

2009 1.09 10785 

2010 1.09 10749 

2011 1.09 10712 

2012 1.09 10679 

2013 1.09 10635 

2014 1.09 10584 

2015 1.09 10542 

2016 1.09 10515 

2017 1.09 10483 

2018 1.09 10436 

2019 1.09 10408 

2020 1.09 10376 

2021 1.09 10345 

2022 1.09 t0322 

2023 1.09 10298 

2024 1.09 t027.5 

2025 1.09 

2026 1.09 

2027 1.09 

2028 1.09 

2029 1.09 

2030 1.09 

2031 1.09 

2032 1.09 

2033 1.09 

2034 1.09 

2035 1.09 

2036 1.09 

2037 1.09 

2038 1.09 

2039 1.09 

2040 1.09 

2041 1.09 

2042 1.09 

2043 1.09 

2044 1.09 

2045 1.09 

2046 1.09 

2047 1.09 

2048 1.09 

2049 1.09 

2050 1.09 

2051 1.09 

2052 1.09 

2053 1.09 

2054 1.09 

2055 1.09 

calculated from AEO 2004 

on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

natural gas transmission and distribution losses = 

8% 
Fuel Price

Natural Gas Electricity

$/MMBTU $/ 1000 ft3

2001 9.54 9.79 8.71 from AEO 2004

2002 7.66 7.86 8.44 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 9.04 9.29 8.49

2004 8.83 9.07 8.34 1.027 MMBTU/1000 ft3

2005 8.40 5.63 8.23

2006 8.20 8.42 8.13

2007 S.09 3.31 S.01

2008 8.04 8.26 7.98

2009 7.81 8.02 7.99

2010 7.68 7.88 7.95

2011 7.81 8.02 7.94

2012 7.94 8.16 8.01

2013 8.10 8.32 8.03

2014 8.19 8.41 8.07

2015 8.30 8.52 8.11

2016 8.31 8.53 8.14

2017 8.31 8.53 8.10

2018 8.25 8.48 8.12

2019 8.17 8.40 8.08

2020 8.24 8.47 8.10

2021 8.41 8.64 8.14

2022 8.39 8.62 8.13

2023 8.38 8.61 8.09

2024 8.37 8.60 8.14

2025 8.33 8.56 8.15

2026 8.34 8.15

2027 8.34 8.15

2028 8.34 8.16

2029 8.35 8.16

2030 8.37 8.17

2031 8.38 8.18

2032 8.38 8.18

2033 8.35 . 8.19

2034 8.38 8,20

2035 8,38 820

2036 8.38 8.21

2037 5.39 8,21

2038 8.39 8.22

2039 8.39 8.23

2040 8.40 8.23

2041 8.40 8.24

2042 8.40 8.24

2043 8.41 8.25

2044 8.41 8.26

2045 8.41 8.26

2046 8.42 8.27

2047 8.42 9.29

2048 8.42 8,28

2049 8A 3 8.29

2050 8.43 8.30

2051 8.44 8.30

2052 8.44 8.31

2053 8.-14 831

2054 8.45 5.32

2055 8.45 8.33

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

20.0.1 

20.0.2 

20.0.3 

20.0.4 

20.0.5 

20.0.6 

20.0.7 

20.0.8 

20.0.9 

20.10 

20.11 

20.12 

20.13 

20.14 

20.15 

20.16 

20.17 

20.18 

20.19 

20.20. 

20.21 

20.22 

20.23 

20.24 

20.25 

20.26 

20.27 

20.28 

20.29 

20.30. 

20.31 

20.32 

20.33 

20.34 

20.35 

20.36 

20.37 

20.38 

20.39 

20.40. 

20.41 

20.42 

20.43 

20.44 

20.45 

20.46 

20.47 

20.48 

20.49 

20.50. 

20.51 

20.52 

20.53 

20.54 

20.55 

Natural Gas Electricity 

$IMMBTU $/100.0. ft3 

9.54 9.79 8.71 

7.66 7.86 8.44 

9.0.4 9.29 8.49 

8.83 9.07 8.34 

8.40. 8.63 8.23 

8.20. 8.42 8.13 

8.0.9 8.31. 8.0.1 

8.0.4 8.26 7.98 

7.81 

7.68 

7.81 

7.94 

8.10 

8.19 

8.30. 

8.31 

8.31 

. 8.25 

8:17 

8.24 

8.41 

8.39 

8.38 

8:37 

8.02 7.99 

7.88 7.95 

8.02 7.94 

8.16 8.0.1 

8.32 8.0.3 

8.41 8.0.7 

8.52 8.11 

8.53 8.14 

8.53 8.10. 

8.48 8;12 

8040 8;0.8 

8047 8;10. 

8.64 8.14. 

8,62 8013 

8.:61 8:0.9 

8,60 

8.56 

Fuel Price 

from AEO 2004 

LL~,"_.~_.~,",;.'-_ •. based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

1.027 MMBTUIlOOO ft3 

Page? 
Cooking Products: M icrowave Ovens

Efficiency Improvement Level baseline+design option cc

Discount rate I 7%

Discount to year 2003 -7

Product lifetime (nearest full year) 10

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $)

0.32

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Cooking Products: Microwave Ovens 

I Efficiency Improvement Level 

I Discount rate 

. . ....n ....... .... .1 

baseline+design option CC~ 

7%1 

IDiscount to year r 20633 

I Product lifetime (nearest full year) 101 

NES (quads) 0.321 

NPV (billion $) -$4.661 
Microwave Oven Shipments and Stock

ear

New

Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

Iniprov.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Imp roe.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

Base Operating

Cost

Effic.

Improv.

Operating

Cost

Anneal

Fuel Cost

Savings

PVAnuual

Fuel Cost

Savings

PV

Cumulative

Fuel Cost

Savings

Delta Unit

Price

Total

Incremental

Equip. Cost

PV Total

Incremental

Equip Cost

PV

Cumulative

Equip. Cost

Net

Cumulative

PV

Million million kivldvr kwlr/vr quads quads quads rinds billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $

2001 13.47 96.72 143 143 0.154 0.154 $ 1.21 $ 1.21

2002 13.31 102.84 143 143 0.162 0.162 $ 1.24 $ 1.24

2003 13.31 108.91 143 143 0.171 0.171 $ 1.32 $ 1.32 '.. 2004 13.31 113.65 143 143 0.178 0.178 $ 1.36 S 1.36

2005 13.31 118.80 143 143 0.186 0.186 $ 1.40 $ 1.40 '.. 2006 13.31 123.34 143 143 0.193 0.193 $ 1.44 $ 1.44

2007 13.31 127.76 143 143 0.199 0.199 $ 1.47 $ 1.47 '.. 2008 13.31 130.71 143 143 0.203 0.203 5 1.49 $ 1.49

2009 13.31 132.60 143 143 0.205 0.205 $ 1.52 $ 1.52

2010 13.31 133.27 143 132 0.205 0.204 0.002 0.002 $ 1.52 $ 1.51 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 51 -00.68 -$0.42 -$0.42 -50.42

2011 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.204 0.201 0.003 0.005 $ 1.51 $ 1.49 $ 0.02 $ 0.01 5 0.02 $ 51 -50.68 -$0.40 -$0.82 -50,80

2012 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.204 0.199 0.005 0.009 $ 1.53 $ 1.49 $ 0.03 $ 0.02 S 0.04 S 51 -$0.68 -$0.37 51.19 -51.15

2013 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.203 0.197 0.006 0.015 $ 1.53 5 1.49 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 S 0.06 $ 51 -$0.68 50,35 -$1.53 -S1.47

2014 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.202 0.194 0.008 0.023 $ 1.54 $ 1.48 S 0.06 S 0.03 $ 0.09 $ 51 -$0.68 -50.32 -$1.85 -81.76

2015 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.201 0.192 0.009 0.032 $ 1.55 $ 1.48 $ 0.07 $ 0.03 $ 0.12 $ 51 -$0.68 -$0.30 -52.16 -$2.03

2016 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.200 0.190 0.011 0.043 $ 1.55 $ 1.47 $ 0.08 S 0.03 $ 0.16 $ 51 -50.68 -80.28 -$2.44 -$2.28

2017 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.200 0.188 0.012 0.055 S 1.54 $ 1.45 $ 0.09 $ 0.04 $ 0.19 $ 51 -$0.68 -50.26 -$2.70 -$2.51

2018 13.31 133.11 143 132 0,199 0.185 0.014 0.068 S 1.55 $ 1.44 5 0.11 $ 0.04 $ 0.23 5 51 -$0.68 -$0.25 -$2.95 -$2.72

2019 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.198 0.183 0.015 0.083 $ 1.54 $ 1.42 5 0.12 $ 0.04 S 0.27 5 51 -$0.68 -$0.23 -$3.18 -52.91

2020 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.198 0,183 0.015 0.098 5 1.54 $ 1.43 $ 0.12 $ 0.04 $ 0.31 S 51 -$0.68 -50.21 -$3.39 -$3.09

2021 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.197 0.182 0.015 0.113 $ 1.55 $ 1.43 $ 0.12 $ 0.03 $ 0.34 $ 51 -50.68 -$0.20 -$3.59 -53.25

2022 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.197 0.182 0.015 0.128 $ 1.55 $ 1.43 5 0.12 $ 0.03 $ 0.37 $ 51 -$0.68 -50.19 -$3.78 -$3.41

2023 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.196 0.181 0.015 0.143 $ 1.54 $ 1.42 5 0.12 $ 0.03 $ 0.40 $ 51 -$0.68 -$0.18 -$3.96 -$3.55

2024 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.196 0.181 0.015 0.157 $ 1.55 $ 1.43 $ 0.12 S 0.03 S 0.43 $ 51 -$0.68 -50.16 -$4.12 -$3.69

2025 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.195 0.181 0.015 0.172 $ 1.55 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0.03 $ 0.46 $ 51 -50.68 -$0.15 -54.27 -53.82

2026 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.195 0.180 0.015 0.187 $ 1.55 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.48 $ 51 -$0.68 -50.14 -84.42 -53.93

2027 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.194 0.180 0.015 0.201 $ 1.55 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 S 0.51 5 51 -$0.68 -$0.13 -54.55 -$4.05

2028 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.194 0.179 0.015 0216 $ 1.55 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.53 $ 51 -50.68 -50.13 -54.68 -54.15

2029 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.193 0.179 0.015 0.231 $ 1.56 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0,02 $ 0.55 $ 51 -$0.68 -50.12 -$4.79 -$4.25

2030 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.193 0.178 0.015 0,245 $ 1.56 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.57 $ 51 -$0.68 50.11 -54.90 -54.34

2031 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.192 0.178 0,015 0.260 $ 1.56 S 1.44 $ 0.12 5 0.02 $ 0.58 $ 51 -50.68 -$0.10 -$5.00 -$4.42

2032 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.192 0.177 0.014 0274 $ 1.56 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.60 $ 51 -50.68 -50.10 -55.10 -54.50

2033 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.191 0.177 0.014 0.289 $ 1.56 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 5 0.02 $ 0.62 5 51 -$0.68 -50.09 -55.19 -54.57

2034 13.31 133.11 143 132 0.191 0.176 0.014 0.303 5 1.56 $ 1.44 $ 0.12 $ 0.01 $ 0.63 $ 51 -50.68 -50.08 -55.27 -54.64

2035 1331 133.11 143 132 0.190 0.176 0.014 0.317 5 1.56 $ 1.45 5 0.12 $ 0.01 $ 0.64 $ 51 50.68 -50.08 -55.35 -54.71

2036 0 119.80 143 132 0,171 0.158 0,013 0.330 $ 1.41 $ 1.30 5 0.11 $ 0.01 $ 0.65 -55.35 -54.69

2037 0 106.49 143 132 0.151 0.140 0.011 0.342 $ 1.25 $ 1.16 $ 0.09 $ 0.01 S 0.66 -$5.35 -$4.69

2038 0 93.18 143 132 0.132 0.122 0.010 0.352 $ 1.10 $ 1.01 $ 0.08 $ 0.01 $ 0.67 -$5.35 -54,68

2039 0 79.87 143 132 0.113 0.104 0.009 0.360 $ 0.94 $ 0.87 $ 007 $ 0.01 $ 0.68 -55.35 -84.67

2040 0 66.56 143 132 0.094 0.087 0.007 0.367 $ 0.78 $ 0.73 $ 0.06 $ 0.00 $ 0.68 -5535 -$4.67

2041 0 53.24 143 132 0.075 0.069 0.006 0.373 $ 0.63 $ 0.58 $ 0.05 S 0.00 $ 0.69 55.35 -54.66

2042 0 39.93 143 132 0.056 0.052 0.004 0.377 $ 0.47 $ 0.44 S 0.04 $ 0.00 $ 0.69 -55.35 -54.66

2043 0 26.62 143 132 0.037 0.034 0.003 0.380 $ 0.31 $ 0.29 $ 0.02 5 0.00 $ 0.69 -55.35 -54.66

2044 0 13.31 143 132 0.019 0.017 0.001 0.381 $ 0.16 $ 0.15 $ 0.01 S 0.00 $ 0.69 -55.35 -$4.66

2045 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0,69 -$5.35 54.66

2046 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -$5.35 -54.66

2047 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -55.35 -54.66

2048 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 5 - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -$5.35 -54.66

2049 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0,000 0.381 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -$535 -54.66

2050 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 $ - S - $ - $ - 5 0.69 -$5.35 -54.66

2051 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -55.35 -$4.66

2052 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -$5.35 -54.66

2053 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -$5.35 -$4.66

2054 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0,000 0.381 $ - S - $ - $ - $ 0.69 -55.35 -$4.66

2055 0 0.00 143 132 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381 S $ - $ S $ 0.69 -$5.35 -$4.66

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Microwave Oven Shipments and Stock 

Year 

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

1024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

New Surviving 

Shipment Units 

millioll 

13.47 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13,31 

13,31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13,31 

13.31 

13,31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

1331 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13.31 

13,31 

13,31 

13.31 

13.31 

13,31 

13.31 

o 

o 

million 

96.72 

102.84 

108,91 

113.65 

118.80 

123.34 

127.76 

130.71 

132.60 

133.27 

133,11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133,11 

133,11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133,11 

133.11 

133,11 

133,11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

133.11 

119.80 

106.49 

93.18 

79.87 

66.56 

53.24 

39,93 

26.62 

13.31 

0,00 

0.00 

0,00 

0,00 

0,00 

0,00 

0,00 

0,00 

0,00 

0.00 

0.00 

Effie 

lmprov. 

BaseVEC VEC 

Iovh/vr kwh/vr 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

143 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

131 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

132 

Base Total 

Energy 

uads 

Effie 

Improv. 

Total 

Euergy 

/lads 

Allnual 

EIJergy 

Savings 

/lads 

0.154 0.154 

0.162 0.162 

0.171 0.171 

0.178 0.178 

0.186 

0.193 

0.199 

0.203 

0.205 

0.205 

0.204 

0.204 

0.203 

0.202 

0.201 

0.200 

0.200 

0.199 

0.198 

0,198 

0.197 

0.197 

0.196 

0.196 

0.195 

0.195 

0.194 

0.194 

0.193 

0,193 

0.192 

0.192 

0.191 

0.191 

0.190 

0.171 

0.151 

0.132 

0.113 

0,094 

0.075 

0,056 

0,037 

0.019 

0,000 

0.000 

0.000 

0,000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0,000 

0.000 

0.186 

0.193 

0.199 

0.203 

0.205 

0.204 0.002 

0.201 0.003 

0,199 0.005 

0.197 0.006 

0.194 0,008 

0.192 0.009 

0.190 0.011 

0.188 0.012 

0.185 0.014 

0.183 0.Q15 

0.183 0.Q15 

0.182 0.Ql5 

0.182 0.015 

0.181 0.Q15 

0.181 0.Ql5 

0.181 0.Q15 

0.180 0.Q15 

0.180 0,015 

0.179 0.Q15 

0.179 0,015 

0.178 0.Q15 

0.178 0,015 

0.177 0.014 

0.177 0.014 

0.176 0.014 

0.176 0.014 

0.158 0,013 

0.140 0,011 

0.122 0.010 

0.104 0.009 

0.087 0.007 

0.069 0.006 

0.052 0.004 

0.034 0.003 

0.017 0.001 

0,000 0,000 

0,000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0,000 

0.000 0,000 

0.000 0,000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0,000 

0.000 0,000 

0,000 0,000 

CU11lulative 

Energy 

Savings 

Base Operating 

Cost 

nads billi01l $ 

$ 1.21 

0.002 $ 

0,005 $ 

0.009 $ 

0.015 $ 

0.023 $ 

0.032 $ 

0.043 $ 

0,055 $ 

0.068 $ 

0,083 $ 

0.098 $ 

0.113 $ 

1.24 

1.32 

1.36 

1.40 

1.44 

1.47 

1.49 

1.52 

1.52 

1.51 

1.53 

1.53 

1.54 

1.55 

1.55 

1.54 

1.55 

1.54 

1.54 

1.55 

1.55 

Effie. 

Improv. 

Operating 

Cost 

billion $ 

$ 1.21 

1.24 

1.32 

1.36 

1,40 

1.44 

1.47 

1.49 

1.52 

1.51 

1.49 

1.49 

1.49 

1,48 

1.48 

1.47 

1.45 

1.44 

1,42 

1.43 

1.43 

0.128 $ 1.43 

0.143 $ 

0.157 $ 

0.172 $ 

0,187 $ 

0.201 $ 

0,216 $ 

0.231 $ 

0.245 $ 

0.260 $ 

0.274 $ 

0.289 $ 

0,303 $ 

0.317 $ 

0,330 $ 

0.342 $ 

0.352 $ 

0.360 $ 

0.367 $ 

0.373 $ 

0.377 $ 

0.380 $ 

0.381 $ 

0.381 

0.381 

0.381 

0.381 

0,381 

0.381 

0,381 $ 

0,381 $ 

0.381 $ 

0.381 

0.381 

1.54 $ 

1.55 

1,42 

1.43 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.44 

1.45 

1.30 

1.16 

1.01 

0.87 

0.73 

0.58 

0,44 

0.29 

0,15 

1.55 

1.55 

1.55 

1.55 

1.56 

1.56 

1.56 

1.56 

1.56 

1.56 

1.56 

1.41 

1.25 

1.10 

0.94 

0.78 

0.63 

0,47 

0.31 

0.16 

PV 

Ammal PV AIJIJllal Cumulative 

Fuel Cost Fuel Cost Fuel Cost 

Savings Savings 

billion $ billi01l $ 

om 

0.02 

0.Q3 

0.05 

0,06 

0.07 

0.08 

0.09 

0.11 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 

0.12 $ 

0.11 

0,09 

0.08 

007 

0,06 

0,05 

0.04 

0.02 

0.01 

0.Q1 

0.01 

0.02 

0.02 

O.oJ 

0,03 

0.03 

0,04 

0.04 

0,04 

0.04 

0,03 

0.03 

O.oJ 

0.03 

0.03 

0.02 

0.02 

0.02 

0.02 

0.02 

0.02 

0.02 

0.02 

0.01 

0.Q1 

0.Q1 

0.Q1 

0.01 

0.Q1 

0,00 

0.00 

0,00 

0.00 

0.00 

Savings 

billion $ 

0.01 

0.02 

0.04 

0.06 

0,09 

0.12 

0,16 

0.19 

0.23 

0.27 

0.31 

0.34 

0.37 

0,40 

0.43 

0.46 

0.48 

0.51 

0.53 

0.55 

0.57 

0.58 

0,60 

0.62 

0,63 

0.64 

0,65 

0,66 

0,67 

0.68 

0.68 

0,69 

0,69 

0,69 

0,69 

0,69 

0,69 

0.69 

0,69 

0.69 

0,69 

0,69 

0,69 

0.69 

0.69 

0.69 

Total 

Delta Unit llzcremelltai 

Price Equip. Cost 

$ bil/ioll $ 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

51 

·$0,68 

-$0.68 

·$0.68 

-$0,68 

-$0.68 

·$0,68 

·$0,68 

-$0,68 

-$0,68 

-$0,68 

-$0,68 

-$0,68 

·$0,68 

-$0.68 

-$0,68 

-$0.68 

-$0,68 

-$0.68 

-$0,68 

-$0,68 

-$0.68 

-$0,68 

-$0,68 

·$0.68 

·$0,68 

-$0.68 

PVTotal PV Net 

Incremental Cumulative Cumulative 

Equip Cost Eqllip. Cost PV 

billion $ 

-$0.42 

-$0.40 

-$0.37 

-$0,35 

-$0.32 

-$0.30 

-$0.28 

-$0,26 

-$0.25 

-$0.23 

-$0.21 

-$0.20 

-$0.19 

-$0.18 

·$0.16 

-$0.15 

-$0.14 

-$0.13 

-$0,13 

-$0.12 

·$0,11 

-$0.10 

·$0.10 

-$0.09 

-$0,08 

-$0.08 

billion $ 

-$0.42 

-$0.82 

-$1.19 

-$1.53 

-$1.85 

-$2.16 

-$2.44 

-12,70 

-$2.95 

-$3.18 

-$3.39 

-$3.59 

-$3.78 

-$3.96 

-$4.12 

-$4.27 

-$4,42 

-$4.55 

-$4,68 

-$4.79 

-$4,90 

-$5,00 

-$5.10 

-$5.19 

-$5.27 

-$5.35 

·$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

·$5.35 

-$5.35 

-$5.35 

·$5,35 

billioll $ 

-$0.42 

-$0,80 

-$1.15 

-$1,47 

-$1.76 

-$2.03 

-$2.28 

-$2.51 

-$2.72 

-$2.91 

-$3.09 

-$3.25 

-$3.41 

-$3.55 

-$3.69 

-$3.82 

-$3.93 

-$4,05 

-$4.15 

-$4.25 

-$4,34 

-$4.42 

-$4.50 

-$4.57 

-$4.64 

·$4,71 

-$4.69 

-$4.69 

-$468 

-$4.67 

-$4.67 

-$4,66 

-$4.66 

-$4.66 

-$4.66 

-$4,66 

-$4,66 

-$4.66 

-$4.66 

·$4,66 

·$4,66 

-$4.66 

·$4.66 

-$4.66 

-$4,66 

·$4,66 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1982 7.190 historical data

1983 7.190 back and forward projections

1984 7.190

1985 7.190

1986 7.190

1987 7.190

1988 7.190

1989 7.190

1990 7.190

1991 7.190

1992 7.190

1993 7.240

1994 8.574

1995 8.162

1996 8.771

1997 8.883

1998 10.365

1999 11.422

2000 12.644

2001 13.466

2002 13.311

2003 13.311

2004 13.311

2005 13.311

2006 13.311

2007 13.311

2008 13.311

2009 13.311

2010 13.311

2011 13.311

2012 13.311

2013 13.311

2014 13.311

2015 13.311

2016 13.311

2017 13.311

2018 13.311

2019 13.311

2020 13.311

2021 13.311

2022 13.311

2023 13.311

2024 13.311

2025 13.311

2026 13.311

2027 13.311

2028 13.311

2029 13.311

2030 13.311

2031 13.311

2032 13.311

2033 13.311

2034 13.311

2035 13.311

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year Projected 

1982 7.190 historical data 

1983 7.190 ;~.~~~~ back and forward projections 

1984 7.190 

1985 7.190 

1986 7.190 

1987 7.190 

1988 7.190 

1989 7.190 

1990 7.190 

1991 7.190 

1992 7;190 

1993 7.240 

1994 8.574 

1995 8.162 

1996 8;]"71 

1997 8,8&3 

1998 10.$q5 

1999 11.422 

2000 1. 2 ,()44 

2001 13i466 

2002 13.311 

2003 13.311 

2004 13.311 

2005 13.311 

2006 13.311 

2007 13.311 

2008 13.311 

2009 13.311 

2010 13.311 

2011 13.311 

2012 13.311 

2013 13.311 

2014 13.311 

2015 13.311 

2016 13.311 

2017 13.311 

2018 13.311 

2019 13.311 

2020 13.311 

2021 13.311 

2022 13.311 

2023 13.311 

2024 13.311 

2025 13.311 

2026 13.311 

2027 13.311 

2028 13.311 

2029 13.311 

2030 13.311 

2031 13.311 

2032 13.311 

2033 13.311 

2034 13.311 

2035 13.311 
Efficiency Level UEC (kwh/yr) Unit Price

Baseline 143.2 $ 145

Baseline + Design Option Combinations 132.4 $ 196

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Efficiency Level UEC (kwh/yr) Unit Price 

Baseline 143.2 $ 145 

Baseline + Design Option Combinations 132.4 $ 196 
Detailed UEC and Price Calculations

Baseline

Base Equip Dsgn Option DsgnOption TotalEquip UEC

Product Class Price % lncr Price

55.7% 143.2

1432

Price Price %Incr Price

Equip

ip I Co Option Combination Source

34.9% UEC: 1996 DO D, Table 1.17; Price: 1996 DOE T D, Table 4.8

Price: 2003 AHAM Fact Book plus percent increase due to design options

AHAM Fact Book 2003 2002 prices) Table 15

Electric Range $508

Gas Range $497

Microwave Oven $145

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Detailed UEC and Price Calculations 

Electric Range 

Gas Range 

Microwave Oven 

AHAM Fact Book 2003 2002 rices Table 15 

$508 

$497 

$145 
Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu

Residential site electricity

Conv Factor

Btu/kWh

2001 11126 calculated from AEO 2004

2002 10986 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 10972

2004 10924

2005 10913

2006 10903

2007 10894

2008 10868

2009 10785

2010 10749

2011 10712

2012 10679

2013 10635

2014 10584

2015 10542

2016 10515

2017 10483

2018 10436

2019 10408

2020 10376

2021 10345

2022 10322

2023 10298

2024 10275

2025 10252

2026 10223

2027 10194

2028 10166

2029: 10139

2030 10113

2031 10087

2032 10061,

2033 10035

2034 10010

2035' 9983

20361 9957

2037'. 9931

2038 9905

2039 9879

2040 9853

2041 9828

2042! 9802

2043! 9777

20441 9751

2045 9726'

2046 9700

2047 9675

2048 9650

2049: 9625

2050 9600

2051 9575

2052 9550

2053 9525

2054 9500

2055 9475

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu 

Residential site electricity 

Conv Factor 

Btu/kWh 

2001 11126 

2002 10986 

2003 10972 

2004 10924 

2005 10913 

2006 10903 

2007 10894 

2008 10868 

2009 10785 

2010 10749 

2011 10712 

2012 10679 

2013 10635 

2014 10584 

2015 10542 

2016 10515 

2017 10483 

2018 10436 

201910408 

2020 1.0376 

202110345 

2022 10322 

20231 

calculated from AEO 2004 

~~~ .. ~~,~~._~., .. based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 
Fuel Price

Elec

cent/kWh

2001 8.71 from AEO 2004

2002 8.44 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 5.49

2004 8.34

2005 8.23

2006 5.13

2007 8.01

2008 7.98

2009 7.99

2010 7.95

2011 7.94

2012 8.01

2013 8.03

2014 8.07

2015 8.11

2016 8.14

2017 8.10

2018 8.12

2019 8.08

2020 8.10

2021 8.14

2022 8.13

2023 8.09

2024 8.14

2025 8.15

2026 8.15

2027 8.15

2028 8.16

2029 8.16

2030 8.17

2031 8.18

2032 8.18

2033 5.19

2034 8.20

2035 8.20

2036 8.21

2037 8.21

2038 8.22

2039 8.23

2040 9.23

2041 824

2042 8.24

2043 8.25

2044 8.26

2045 8.26

2046 8.27

2047 9.28

2048 8.28

2049 8.29

2050 8.30

2051 5.30

2052 8.31

2053 8.31

2054 8.32

2055 8.33

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Fuel Price 

Elec 

cent/kWh 

2001 8.71 from AEO 2004 

2002 8.44 '~ .. ~cc;": •. .J .• ,.~;.;~ ... ~' based on extrapolation of trend from 2015·2025 

2003 8.49 

2004 8.34 

2005 8.23 

2006 8.13 

2007 8.0.1 

2008 7.98 

2009 7.99 

2010 7.95 

2011 7.94 

2012 8.01 

2013 8.03 

2014 8.07 

2015 8.11 

2016 8.14 

2017 8.10 

2018 8.12 

2019 8.08 

2020 8.10 

2021 8.14 

2022 8.13 

2023 8.09. 

2024 8.14 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

Page 7 
Direct Heating Equipment: Hearth Products

I Efficiency Improvement Level baseline+electronic ignition

Discount rate

Discount to

1

2004

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $)

-0.10

-$1.25

Product lifetime (to nearest year) 30

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Direct Heating Equipment: Hearth Products 

I Efficiency Improvement Level r baseline+electronic ignition 

I Discount rate 7%1 

I Discount to year2004-~ 

I Product lifetime (to nearest year) 301 

. ~ NES (quads) 

NPV (billion $) 

-0.101 

-$1.251 
3 4

°, e e e° e°° o» o ° eeeee : e° o. o°°°

^w wwx«rwwrrnnwrr « r«rr»»n»»n»

_$

_________

.,

aUOUa

««« w« w a r x n n r n» w « w« r r r n»» w r« w« r n r n w r x r r n n » r r«« r x n n«« w« n««

b-"o----^62--- - = 88888 b 88888888888

_____

« Sa--- aa'a1188ssasss_.5== ______:_-.sss8sss8811a"a'^" --as

^ wrr»«n»«« r»«wrw» » nrr»»»rrwr ««»«»» nrr»rn »»« r»«w»»r«rwwwr«

° 8 v e e o e °o 0 0° °0 8 8 8 8 0o v 8 e 8 0 0 0 0 0 o e o v e v e o 0 0 0 0 0 8=____=, e e e e e °e a e e 8 8 v o °o o °0 8

e

$^aveee°veoao8ee^veoevo^e^^^eveeeevoo^ooaoooe^^oe^°aeoeee°oooo$$N

"^^ »r«»nr««r»nrrrr« ww»»nr»rr«« «»««» rrrr »»rwr«««wrwrn»»» rww»r»r»»r

9

38aa3 grad°ea^n e<eae°<e5 ee<aa^e<°aeeaee ee<ae ;aea^ n a°ae°^"

a

< U w

r«n»»xx « r«»«««wnrrr««xnwr » wnrr»rr»««««rr»r«nrnr«n«rrxr « r»»rnr«w««

asaaa«.,`xxaasa assssssaag «^g^gggg., ., .,aasa^a.mm P^«^aa^^^gm^$

°i. ., .,

a 8go

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

e°aveveeeveveveoooveeveveveoveee°eveeeevoooooe<oooovevee< oooeee

a

^o

€

wwrr«w«« «« nrrrr«rn » r»rr»»ww««n»w«r ««» rw»x»wr»nww «»»» nr»«»xrn»n»«»

wr»rrr»»»»rrrr«r»n«x«»r»rrrrr » r»«rxx»xwn«»r«r«»wnwwx »» r«nww«rwrr

°8e 888° °8888888,° °8888°O8°^08888° °eee>'-'=

88

°

€

w° U m 'c

oo a°,eeeee eooe eoeeee °° 00 0o eeeee a oeee

rr»w»»w«w « r«w»r»»rrw«rxwx » n»nrrw»wwr ««« wrrrr«»rrrrn « wwrnnnr»wnwrw

»eF w8an.o8R YY9R08gtlgh88R -^7n gen -'8e^ee"' ^8

» ^8588^'0 " e3d2d^608^Sa

=_ : FR ^^-e3m a^.R8e __

-_ -- o d q o a g a q d q a o 4? 4° ' ? 4?

" ' 8888s88888 s.$8888888888888$8888888888888888 a.888a88s888a

^^.v

mh

+ SOBee8888 8888 e °fo ° ^^e^^^$8888^ ^ e ve°° ° ,eeeee°ev ooo °° eaooe°ee e°eeeee° o

<", - ^s v as=__°- s s^^ ^ s a s _q s a a ^ : ^so$o__xxa:_s^^?^s^ aa _ a $e1a"a-"a^ _

2e ^ _

^

a °°,,eeeee ° eee ° e;o°o e v e e , ° e o ° ° e e oe e e e e e eee °° e ^^

^

^

888888888888888888888 8808888888888888,8888888 $8$88888888888888 ^

$$e5^°- :3a_cgsepoaz a€s -_- _ >xr7 0=ss_aa:___°^s ^s$a"a `s'a o v ve o b o S m dy e a eee°° eee e °° e ee eeeee eee eeeeeeeee°°°oo

m°8

^m

w 8^^

` a V° ^°°eeeeeeee ° evee°°°°,eeeee °° ee°,eee° eo°e °° ee°°°eee°,,eeeee°R ........r^...,..».,rr.,r.,.,.,.,«.,.,m..m.,x»».,r....r..RRR^..^ ...... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..rr».. ., .. .. ^., .,e

m'c^g

€

r^«g^a 8 _-- _

as 82 $ ' m s R$?o8 80

88 88 $838$

..e^ ° ^e» 8 83 : 8 88 »

3$€

h

^a,E

eo°eeoeoee ° eeooeee°ooooeoooooe

^ooooeooeeeeooooooeeeeeeoeeooeeoeeo

2 4 E o

o3333^d^3dda2g^ove^8e^838^a 858^8^S^^ n^ o4^ ^ ^ ^ . o6S6be^5= 'SRS6 ^ ^ . ^ ^ «« ^ ««

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6 Hearth Product Shipments and Stock 

New SlInlring 

Year Shipm<1nl Units 

million 

20lS 2016 

lll-ll 

20S7 

2058 

'.n 

1.ll 

0.90 1.1l 

... , 

10.S! 

0.90 11.71 

,m 

'm ,m 

'.W 

0.90 16.20 0.90 17.10 

,m 

0.90 

'.W 

0.90 

'.W 

,.W 

... , 

'm 

'.W 

IU9 

19.79 

26.91 

0.90 2MI 

o 26.01 

25.12 

ZO.63 

19.73 

18.114 

14.35 

13.46 

10.76 

9.81 

1.91 

om 

6.28 

5.3i 

U9 

2.69 

1.19 

'.W 

AnlllUlI PV 

Effie EjJie Bau Total Intprov. EjJie.lrnprov. EMrgy EMrv Bast Bau Futl E:jJie Ejfic Irnpruv Annual lmprov AnNw' Annual lrnprov. Annual ()peroling ()peruling Cumuwtil'e T

Anl'llml Curnu14lu-c PrrUmlBau PtrUnttEJlk TOlalBasr TolalEjJie. Annwl 

BlmUEC BtucUEC Inrprlm Intpffm BlmTot41 Eltdm SlIlllIgr(glir SOllngJ(gol+FudC9J1 CosI· lmpUlf.Fulil FlldC91l. Mllm(tnanCC Mlllilftnallcc /'.fllmtfnancf Mainlflfllnct Cost Cusl Operaling Dtlro 

Gal Elte VECGa, UECElte GJIEMrgy Erurgy EMrgy +c1re) cltc) ·Gu Eltdnc Cost. Gal Efttfnc Cort Call Casl Cort Salingl Sal'ingl CflslSlllingl Unit Price Eq

r kW/l/vr MMJJ1'U kWJl/vr 10"r('<1 "Dds SOlfret' "tu/s ,adssrmrrt "Dds sourre "Dds sOI'rce ,uuls bIIllOl,$ billionS billloll$ bill"", $ $' $ blll,on$ bill/a" $ billionS /,il/{on$ bill;",,$: $ b

" " 

" " " " " " " " 

" " 

" " " " " " 

" " " " 

" " " " 

" " " " " " " " " " 

" " 

" " 

" " " " " " " " 

" " 

" " " " " 

" " 

" " " " 

" " " " " " 

0.0.56 (I.ooJ 0056 OOOl S 049 $ 001 S 049 S 001 $ 398 $ 398 $ 000) $ 0.066 0.002 0.066 0.002 $ 0.41 $ 0.01 $ 0.41 $ O.oJ $ 3.98 $ 3.93 $ 

o.on O.ool 3.9$ $ 3.98 $ 

0.132 0.143 O.ISI 

0.274 

0.213 0.291 0.299 0.326 0.32$ 0.329 0.329 0.329 0.329 0.311 0.274 

0.2·U 

o.no 

0.20! 0.197 0.1&6 

0.142 0.131 0.120 0.1l0 

O.02l 0.011 

0.005 

0.000 

'.000 

0.007 0.007 0.007 0.000 

'.000 

,."" 

0.003 

0.002 0.002 

'.000 

0.121 0.132 

0.1!6 

0.196 0.239 

,= 

0.260 0.210 o.Z94 

0.101 0.311 O.llS 0.121 0.322 

0.299 0.2!! 0.224 O.l13 0.201 0.192 0.171 0.160 0.149 0.139 0.101 

.,,, 

0.07$ ,."" 0.012 0.021 0.011 

'.000 

0.002 0.001 

·O.OO! 

0.009 ·0.002 0.010 ·0.002 

o.on 

0.013 

·0.001 

_0.003 

-0.00: 

·0.004 

0.016 -0.004 

0.019 ·O.OOS 

0.019 ·0.006 

O.O:!) 

0.023 

·0.001 

·0.001 

·0.001 

·0.007 

0.020 ·0.001 

0.019 ·0.006 0.011 ·0.006 

0.011 ·0.006 

·0.005 ·0.00: ·0.00: 

0.011 ·0.004 O.OU ·O.()(I) 0.007 

.... 

0.002 

0.002 

0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 

0.D2 S 

0.02 $ 

0.02 S 

om s 

0.000$ 1.09 $ 0.03 $ 

·0.0015 1.19 $ 0.01 $ 

$ 

.$ 

1.49 5 $ 

_0.007 S 1.59.$ S 

·0.009$ 

1.\10 $ 0.05 $ 

2.00 $ 0.05 S 

2.1& $ 0.06 $ 

2.25.$ 0.06 $ 

0.06 S 

·0.042$ 0.06 5 

$ 0.06 S 

·0.052$ 0.06 5 

_0.058$ O.ITI $ 

-0.1X>I5 0.015 

·0.070$ 2.51 $ 0.01 S 

-0.0765 2.53 $ 0.01 S 

_0.0113$ 0.D1 $ _o.I)90S 0.01 $ 

, ... , 

0.05 $ 

·O.IS; $ U6 $ 0.D!i $ 

.0.1055 1.78 S 0.055 ..0.2015 ·0.2055 

..0.201$ 

1.70 $ O.OS $ 

1.61 $ 0.04 S 

'M' 1.365 

1.27 $ 

1.19 S 

-0.2105 0.02 $ 

O.M S 0.02 $ 0.60 S 0.02 $ 

0.265 O.oJ $ 

0.11 $ 0.00 $ 

0.09 5 0.00 S 

, . , 

0.12 5 0.77 $ O.U $ 0.90 $ 

1.01 S 

I.M S 

1,45 $ 

I.sa s 

2.M $ 2.15 $ 

2.35 S 2.195 

2.06 S 

1.91 S 1.90 $ 

l.tl S 

1.32 $ 

1.24 $ 

1.011 $ 

0.99 S 

0.66 $ 

0.5& $ 0.42 S O.ll S 0.11 S 

0.011 5 

0.02 S 

0.02 $ 0.02 S 0.0) $ 

O.OJ S 

s 

0.D!i S 

0.06 S 

0.0l S 0.09 $ 0.12 $ 0.13 S 0.18 $ 0.\9 $ 0.15 S O.IS S 0.12 $ 0.11 5 0.11 S 0.09 S O.M $ 0.05 $ 0.01 $ 

0.06 $ 0.05 $ 0.0\ $ 0.01 $ 

3.91 $ 

3.955 

3.98 $ 3.91 S 

3.9S $ 

3.98 $ 3.93 $ 

1.985 

5 

1.9S $ 

3.98 S 

1.98 $ 

3.95 $ 

1.98 $ 

3.98 $ 

1.98 $ 

1.93 $ 

3.9& S 3.98 S 

1.98 S 

3.98 S 

3.9S S 3.'n $ 3.91 S 3.91 $ 

3.98 $ 

1.98 S 1.9& $ 

3.98 $ 3.98 $ 3.<J8 $ 3.98 5 

1.9! S 

M! $ 

1.9! $ 

l.9S S 

3.91 $ 

3.915 

1.98 $ 

3.98 S 

1.91 S 

l.98 S 

6.61 S 6.61 S 

6.61 $ 

, 

6.61 S 

6.61 $ 6.61 $ 6.61 $ 

6.61 $ 6.61 S 

6.61 S 

6061 $ 6.61 S 

6.61 $ 6.61 $ 

6061 S 

6.Cl 6.01 

6.61 $ 6.61 $ 

6.61 $ 

6.01 S 

6.61 $ 

Ml $ 

6061 $ 

MI S 

6.61 $ 0.61 S 

6.61 S 6.61.$ 6.61 $ 6.61 $ 

6.61 S 

Ml $ 

6.61 $ 

6061 S 

Ml S 

6.61 $ 

0.014 $ 0.017 $ 0.024 $ O.Ola S 

$ 

0.(w6 $ 0.0:;6 S 

0.060 S 

0.078 S 

O.OSI $ 

0.092 $ 0.096 $ 0.106 $ 0.107 $ 0.107 $ 0.103 S 

0.032 $ 

0.079 $ 

S 

0.06& S 

O.OM $ 

0.011 $ 0.029 S 

0.001 $ 0.00: $ 

O.Oll 0.024 

(O.OO)$. 

IMI)S 

IMI)S 10.01)$ 

0.= $ S (0.01) $ 

0.061 $ (D.Ol) $ 

{0.01)$ (O.O)) $ 

(O.02)$. 

(O.(W) 5 (0.02)$ 

$ (0.02) $ 

(0.01)$ 

(0.05)$ 

(0.06)$ (0.02)$ 

10.01)5 10.(2)S 

10.07)$ 10.02)$ 

0.126 $ (O.OI) $ {O.Ol)S 0.132 $ O.ll! S (0.09)5 (O.Ol)S O.l-H S (0.09)$ (0.01)$ 

(0.10)$ (O.O":!)$. 

(0.02)$ 

10.Ol)S 

0.161 S (0.02) $ 0.104 $ (0.12) S 

10.(2)$ (0.02)$ 

10.13)$ 

10.l3) $ 

(0.02)$ 

(0.01)$ (0.01)$ 

(0.12)$ (O.OllS 

O.lll S (0.11)$ (O.01)S 

o.m S (0.1O)S (O.Ons 

0.119 $. (0.10)$ (0.01)$ 0.113 $ (O.M) $ (0.01) S 

(0.09)$ 

0.1Il1 S (0.00)$ 

O.OIlS $ (0.01)5 (0.00)$ 

(0.07)$ (0.00)$ 

(0.00)$ 

(O.06)S (0.00)$ 

0.011 $ (0.06)$ (0.00)$ 

0.065 $ (O,OS)S 

(0.05)5 (0.00)5 

(0.00)5 

S 

S (0.01) $ (0.00) $ 

(0.00)$ 

{O.021$ \O.OO)S 

(0.01)$ (O.OI)S 

0.000 $ (0.00)$ (0.00)$ 

, , 

(0.01)$ (0.02\5 93 $ 

(Om)l 93 S 

\0.05)$ 

., , " , 

\0.16)$ 9] $ " , " , \0.11)$ 93 $ 

(0.23)$ 

\0.15)$ Q15 " , (0.28)$ 

(0.12)$ 

10.34)$ 93 S " , (0.37)$ 

(0.19)$ 91 $ " , 

\0.47) 

(0,49) 

10.50) 

(0.$1) 

(0..52) 

\0.$2) 

(0.51) 

10.531 

\OoSl) 

(O.S)) 

\0.5-1) 

\0.5-1) 
Shipments , millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1972 0.000

1973 0.000

1974 0.000

1975 0.000

1976 0.000

1977 0.000

1978 0.000

1979 0.000

1980 0.000

1981 0.000

1982 0.000

1983 0.000

1984 0.000

1985 0.000

1986 0.000

1987 0.000

1988 0.000

1989 0.000

1990 0.000

1991 0.070

1992 0.139

1993 0.209

1994 0.279

1995 0.348

1996 0.418

1997 0.488

1998 0.557

1999 0.627

2000 0.697

2001 0.766

2002 0,836 Actual data for 2002 and 2003 only

2003 0.897 Back and forward projected at flat shipment level

2004 0.897

2005 0.897

2006 0.897

2007 0.897

2008 0.897

2009 0.897

2010 0.897

2011 0.897

2012 0.897

2013 0.897

2014 0.897

2015 0.897

2016 0.897

2017 0.897

2018 0.897

2019 0.897

2020 0.897

2021 0.897

2022 0.897

2023 0.897

2024 0.897

2025 0.897

2026 0.897

2027 0.897

2028 0.897

2029 0.897

2030 0.897

2031 0.897

2032 0.897

2033 0.897

2034 0.897

2035 0.897

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year 

1972 

1973 

1974 

1975 

1976 

1977 

1978 

1979 

1980 

1981 

1982 

1983 

1984 

1985 

1986 

1987 

1988 

1989 

1990 

1991 

1992 

1993 

1994 

1995 

1996 

1997 

1998 

1999 

2000 

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

Projected 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.070 

0.139 

0.209 

0.279 

0.348 

0.418 

0.488 

0.557 

0.627 

0.697 

0.766 

0.836 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

0.897 

Actual data for 2002 and 2003 only 

Back and forward projected at flat shipment level 
UEC gas, UEC elec, Annual

UEC gas UEC elec Unit Price source source Total UEC, Maintenance

Efficiency Level (MMBTU/yr) (kWh/yr) (2002$) MMBTU MMBTU source MMBTU Cost (2002$)

Base 11 . 2 30.5 $ 1 ,760 12.2 0.33 12 . 5 $3.98

Baseline+Electronic Ignition 10.9 95.0 $ 1,854 11 . 9 1.02 12.9 $6.61

Unit Price

(1996$)

Annual

Maintenance

Cost (1994$)

1994 CPI 148.2

1996 CPI 156.9 $ 1,535 $3.28

2002 CPI 179.9 $ 1,617 $5.45

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

UEC gas, UEC elec, Annual 

UEC gas UEC elec Unit Price source source Total UEC, Maintenance 

Efficiency Level (MMBTU/yr) (kWh/yr) (2002$) MMBTU MMBTU source MMBTU Cost (2002$) 

Base 11.2 30.5 $ 1,760 12.2 0.33 12.5 $3.98 

Baseline+Electronic Ignition 10.9 95.0 $ 1,854 11.9 1.02 12.9 $6.61 

Annual 

Unit Price Maintenance 

(1996$) Cost (1994$) 

1994 CPI 148.2 

1996 CPI 156.9 $ 1,535 $3.28 

2002 CPI 179.9 $ 1,617 $5.45 
Detailed UEC and Price Calculations

Baseline

Product Class

Percent of Total

Shi ments

Equipment

Price

Installation

Price

Maintenance

Cost AFUE

Input Rating

Btu/hr

Output Rating

Btu/hr CCF

UEC

MMBtu/ r kWh/ r

Pilot UEC

% w1 pilot CF/da MMBtu/ r

Fireplace 71% $1,777 $2 $42 75 100,351 81,216 105 10.5 22.8 76% 1.3 0.47

Fireplace Insert 7% $1,750 $0 $31 69 117,857 102,300 171 17.1 0.0 100% 0.8 0.29

Gas Stove 8% $1,106 $5 $53 78 114,250 87,200 115 11.5 47.5 50% 1.0 0.37

Decorative Gas Logs 14% $437 $7 $65 65 103,182 87,177 120 12.0 74.1 22% 1.0 0.35

Weighted-Average 51,532.39 $2:89 $45 73.4 103,065 83,953 1121[_____11.2 30:5 68% 1.2 0.44

Annual Maintenance Cost =

Baseline + Electronic Ignition

$3.28'.`.

Product Class

Percent of Total

Shipments

Equipment

Price

Installation

Price

Maintenance

Cost

Input Rating

AFUE Btu/hr

Output Rating

Btu/hr CCF

UEC

MMBtu/ r kWh/ r

Pilot UEC

% w1 pilot CF/dayMMBtu/ r

Fireplace 71% $1,861 $9 $75 100,351 81,216 101 10.1 95 0% 0 0.00

Fireplace Insert 7% $1,861 $9 $75 117,857 102,300 168 16.8 95 0% 0 0.00

Gas Stove 8% $1,161 $9 $75 114,250 87,200 113 11.3 95 0% 0 0.00

Decorative Gas Logs 14% $461 $9 $75 103,182 87,177 119 11.9 95 0% 0 0.00

Weighted-Average $1,607.79 $9 $75 0.0 103,065 83,953 109 10.9 95'.0 0% 0.0 0.00

Annual Maintenance Cost =

Maintenance Cost = present value of cost incurred in the 10th year of appliance's life based on a 6% real discount rate

CCF is 100 cu.ft.

900 - 1050 Btu/cu.ft.

1 CCF = 100,000 Btu

1 CF = 1000 Btu

Sources

Price Gas Hearth Products Market Fact Base, February 1996, Gas Research Institute, GRI-96/0013.

Added Install Cost. and Maint. Cost: 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17.

Effcy and UEC data : Hearth Products Meter Study (1995-1997), September 1997, Gas Research Institute, GRI-97/0298.

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Detailed UEC and Price Calculations 

Baseline 

Percent of Total Equipment Installation Maintenance 

Product Class Shipments Price Price Cost 

Fireplace 71% $1,777 $2 $42 

Fireplace Insert 7% $1,750 $0 $31 

Gas Stove 8% $1,106 $5 $53 

Decorative Gas Logs 14% $437 $7 $65 

Weighted-Average $1,532.3911. $2.8911 $45 

Annual Maintenance Cost _ II $3;28 

Baseline + Electronic Ignition 

Percent of Total Equipment Installation Maintenance 

Product Class Shipments Price Price Cost 

Fireplace 71% $1,861 $9 $75 

Fireplace Insert 7% $1,861 $9 $75 

Gas Stove 8% $1,161 $9 $75 

Decorative Gas Logs 14% $461 $9 $75 

Weighted-Average 

Annual Maintenance 

$1,607.7911 

Cost - .$~ 

Maintenance Cost = present value of cost incurred in the 10th year of appliance's life based on a 6% real discount rate 

Sources 

CCF is 100 cu.ft. 

900 - 1050 Btu/cu. ft. 

1 CCF = 100,000 Btu 

1 CF = 1000 Btu 

Input Rating Output Rating 

AFUE Btu/hr Btu/hr 

75 100,351 81,216 

69 117,857 102,300 

78 114,250 87,200 

65 103,182 87,177 

73.4 103,065 83,953 

Input Rating Output Rating 

AFUE Btu/hr Btu/hr 

100,351 81,216 

117,857 102,300 

114,250 87,200 

103,182 87,177 

0.0 103,065 83,953 

Price 

Added Install Cost. and Maint. Cost: 

Effcy and UEC data: I

:Gas Hearth Products Market Fact Base, February 1996, Gas Research Institute, GRI-96/0013. 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17. 

Hearth Products Meter Study (1995-1997), September 1997, Gas Research Institute, GRI-97/0298. 

UEC Pilot UEC 

CCF MMBtu/yr kWh/vr % w/pi/ot CF/day MMBtu/yr 

105 10.5 22.8 76% 1.3 0.47 

171 17.1 0.0 100% 0.8 0.29 

115 11.5 47.5 50% 1.0 0.37 

120 12.0 74.1 22% 1.0 0.35 

11211 11.21~ 68% 1.2 0.44 

UEC Pilot UEC 

CCF MMBtu/vr kWh/vr % w/pi/ot CF/day MMBtu/yr 

101 10.1 95 0% 0 0.00 

168 16.8 95 0% 0 0.00 

113 11.3 95 0% 0 0.00 

119 11.9 95 0% 0 0.00 

10911 10.9[~] 0% 0.0 0.00 
Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu

Residential

natural gas

Residential

Electricity

Conv Factor

source/site Btu/kWh

2001 1 . 09 11126 calculated from AEO 2004

2002 1 .09 10986 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 1 .09 10972

2004 1 .09 10924 natural gas transmission and distribution losses =

2005 1 .09 10913 8%

2006 1 .09 10903

2007 1 .09 10894

2008 1 .09 10868

2009 1 .09 10785

2010 1 .09 10749

2011 1.09 10712

2012 1 .09 10679

2013 1 .09 10635

2014 1 .09 10584

2015 1 .09 10542

2016 1 .09 10515

2017 1 .09 10483

2018 1 .09 10436

2019 1 .09 10408

2020 1 .09 10376

2021 1 .09 10345

2022 1 .09 10322

2023 1 .09 10298

2024 1 .09 10275

2025 1 .09 10252

2026 1 .09 10221

2027 1 .09 10191

2028 1 .09 10'I (1

2029 1 .09 101:;2

2030 1 .09 10113

2031 1 .09 10087

2032 1.09 10061

2033 1 . 09 1002

2034 1 .09 100-1()

2035 1 .09 995zs

2036 1 .09 9951

2037 1 .09 9931

2038 1 .09 9905

2039 1 .09 9879

2040 1 .09 9853

2041 1.09 9828

2042 1 .09 980?

2043 1 .09 9777

2044 1.09 9751

2045 1 .09 972, I

2046 1 .09 970.2

2047 1.09 967-1

2048 1 .09 965 5

2049 1.09 96' 1-1

2050 1 .09 9600

2051 1 .09 9575

2052 1 .09 9550

2053 1 .09 9525

2054 1 .09 9500

2055 1 .09 9475

2056 1 .09 9451,

2057 1 .09 9426

2058 1 .09 9402

2059 1 .09 9377

2060 1 .09 9353

2061 1 .09, 9328

2062 1 .09 9304

2063 1 .09 9280

2064 1 .09 9256

2065 1 .09 9232

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu 

Residential Residential 

natural gas Electricity 

Conv Factor 

source/site Btu/kWh 

2001 1.09 11126 

2002 1.09 10986 

2003 1.09 10972 

2004 1.09 10924 

2005 1.09 10913 

2006 1.09 10903 

2007 1.09 10894 

2008 1.09 10868 

2009 1.09 10785 

2010 1.09 10749 

2011 1.09 10712 

2012 1.09 10679 

2013 1.09 10635 

2014 1.09 10584 

2015 1.09 10542 

2016 1.09 10515 

2017 1.09 10483 

2018 1.09 10436 

2019 1.09 t04q8 

2020 1.09 10376 

2021 1.09 10345 

2022 1.09.10322 

2023 1.09 10298 

2024 1.09 .10275 

2025 1.09 

2026 1 

2027 1 

2028 1 

2029 1 

2030 1 

2031 1 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

2056 

2057 

2058 

2059 

2060 

2061 

2062 

2063 

2064 

2065 

calculated from AEO 2004 

on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

natural gas transmission and distribution losses = 

8% 
Fuel Price

Natural Gas Electricity

$/MMBTU $/1000 ft3

2001 9.5=1 9.79 8.71 from AEO 2004

2002 766 7.56 8.4-1 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 9.0-I 9.39 8.49

2004 8.83 9.07 S.34 1.027 MMBTU/1000 f13

2005 5.40 5.63 823

2006 S20 8.12 5.13

2007 6.09 8.31 8.01

2008 S'. 0-1 5.26 7.93

2009 7.81 8.02 7.99

2010 7.68 7.88 7.95

2011 7.81 8.02 794

2012 7.94 8.16 S O1

2013 8.10 8.32 8.03

2014 8.19 8.41 8.07

2015 830 8.52 5.11

2016 831 8.53 8.14

2017 8.31 8.53 8.10

2018 8.25 8.48 8.12

2019 5.17 8.40 5.05

2020 8.24 8.47 5.10

2021 8.41 8.64 5.14

2022 8.39 8.62 5.13

2023 835 8.61 8.09

2024 8.37 8.60 5.14

2025 8.33 SS6 8.15

2026 8.3=1 8.15

2027 8.34 8.15

2028 8,34 5.16

2029 8.35 8.16

2030 8.37 8'.17

2031 5.38 6.13

2032 2;.38 8.18

2033 8.35 3.19

2034 8.38 5.20

2035 8.38 820

2036 838 5.21

2037 8.39 8.21

2038 8.39 8.22

2039 8.39 5.23

2040 8.40 8.23

2041 8.41) 824

2042 5.40 8.24

2043 i 1.41 825

2044 5.41 8.20

2045 8.41 S26

2046 6.42 8.27

2047 5.=12 5.25

2048 8.42 E.28

2049 5,43 S 29

2050 8.43 8.30

2051 8.44 5.30

2052 5.=1=1 8.31

2053 8.44 8.31

2054 8.45 832

2055 8.45 8.33

2056 8.-15 5.33

2057 8.46 8.34

2058 8.46 5.35

2059 5.16 5.35

2060 5.47 5.36

2061 8.47 8.36

2062 8.47 3.37

2063 8.45 338

2064 5.48 5.38

2065 8.45

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

2056 

2057 

2058 

2059 

2060 

2061 

2062 

2063 

2064 

2065 

Natural Gas 

$IMMBTU $/1000 ft3 

9.54 9.79 

7.66 7.86 

9.04 9.29 

8.83 9.07 

8.40 8.63 

8.20 8.42 

8.09 8.31 

8.04 8.26 

7.81 8.02 

7~68 7.88 

7.81 8.02 

7,94 8.16 

8.10 8.32 

8,19 8.41' 

8.30 8.52 

8.3.1 8.53 

8.31 8.53 

8.25 8.48 

8.17 8.40 

8.24 8.47 

8.41 8.64 

8.39 8.62. 

8.38 8.61 

8.37 8.60 

8.56 

Electricity 

8.71 

8.44 

8.49 

8.34 

8.23 

8.13 

8.01 

7.98 

7.99 

7.95 

7.94 

8.01 

8.03 

8.07 

8.11 

8.14. 

8.10 

8.12 

8:Q8 

8.10. 

8:14 

8.13 

8.09 

8.14 

Fuel Price 

from AEO 2004 

on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

1.027 MMBTUllOOO ft3 

Page 7 
Direct Heating Equipment: Standard Equipment (Wall Furnaces, Floor Furances, Room Heaters)

Efficiency Improvement Level baseline+electronic ignition

Discount rate

I Discount to

7/6

1 2003

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $)

0.096

-$0.15

Product lifetime (to nearest year) 15

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Direct Heating Equipment: Standard Equipment (Wall Furnaces, Floor Furances, Room Heaters) 

I Efficiency Improvement Level r baseline+electronicignition 

IDiscount rate 7%1 

I Discount to year 2003 .~ 

I Product lifetime (to nearest year) 151 

~~ NES (quads) 

NPV (billion $) 

0.0961 

-$0.151 
' CVOU

- »««u« x u n»»«« w n n n»»«» u u w n« u n»««« n« u u x u x w u n«» w n w a

_ o 8888888888808888888888888

88888eoooa8°

9 a

i<OUV.

e°e

°

« 0 o e 5 v e d e o e e e 5 o 0 o 5 C c o a 8 5 o 5 a 5 °e e o e e e e e e° 8v So 8

QOU

4 v _

« - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

S

S

pp

8 0$ 8 god a a rg' o ° S o 0 B ° ° 8 o ° o S ° a ° ° e o B 0 S ° o e °

^T 9

d d o d o o e e o e e o o o a o d o o 0 o e

9 y _

JA U °

y

yy p q^ yy g

o o e o d o o e e e v d d o o d o d e o o°°° e e e

s ; °

0 8 ^

c o

-

n n » u » w w w w w n n » » « « « w u n n « « a « w w u « « « « » « » n w » w « « « « n » » « » n w w n » » »

9

W Z

m m n n n n n n°° v. ° w u u° a° w« w° ° a° a a a w m m w m c w w° w w v w a w u a a a w° u a

a° w«wwww«„«»»««»«»»»«xww»»»»«»«»x»xx«x ««««« nwwww»««»«ww»x

^^ ^ m^ n

9

n n n n. n n m m m m ^ n n n n m n n n m m .. m m m m m m ^ m n n n m m m ^ n n n n m m m m .. n

Y?<Uw

j 5

» « » n w w x n w w n w » » n « « u w « n « « w n « n w « « n « n n »nnn » » » n » « « « « « « n w n » » »

8 8 8 888 $° 8 8 0 8 8 e v o 0 o v e e o 8 o 0 o 8 o 0 0 0 8 0 o e e e e e e e e e e e e d a o d '

W wa w » « n n « n « » « » « « x w w w » « « « n w u w w u w w w « « « « n « « « « » » » « « « « w x x u » » « « w

'•

w

mom r°Fe'n vmioi ^^a ,

o 0 0 ° e e e v o 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 o d a o 0 o v o e o 0 0 0 o d e o a c a d a o 0 o e

W r U aO» u» w n x w u w w w w»« n«« w n« n n« x«««« w«« « n u a u» x u w u x »nnn «« w w n n»«

w

y U `W

8888888888888S88S8 88888888888888888 8888888eee8888

« « « « n u u u »nn » « w u « » n « n « n w n w w w w x « n « » n » » « » « » « n « « « « w n n » n « «

9 9 9 9

- v° o o e e e e e e°° d d 6 o e e v v o d d o o e o e d e a a o v v e e e e v v e e o a a o o

°o^d3a§eao66oooeeaaevoo6o$oooo6ao6addoeeooao

w'y

Q W f°n

`s =;Y

4

8888§§^^8^^888888$,$803§8tl888^8

GG pp pp pp 44 IIII IIII g4 pp pp ^j pY IIII pp pp GG 44 pp

E S S S S E 8 E E S, 8, o o d o^^^

§ f$ o a 6^^^ S, 8^^ 8 Sd o§ o^§^^^^^ o d 6 d o

E S S S S, Sd E

8 a S

wFw E

__°& S 8 8 2 _

- a- 8 ° e° °°

a tt,,

o e a o 0 o e o . . e 8 8 8 8 8 8 e e v o e e 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 0 8 8 8 e e o o d e e o

9 Y

r

4 Y Y ¢¢ p p p II p p IIII 4p 44 44 IIII Q IIII 44 IIII flfl 22 Qp 22 flfl 44 22 44 CC flfl Qp Q sp pp pp p Y p pp pp ¢ ¢¢ 44 Q IIII 44 flfl

a a s E d o Ed bd S S S Sd E, E E, E Ed Ed E, E E E, S, S, E d S d E E E S, E E, Sd S S S bd d b S b b, S, S, E E S d^ E E E E

9

Y s

a 8

m'wm

a eeoeo'deoeo°eaeoee""^eooeveovooooveoo de a

=°sS5ao5SS5ssSSSeSSasaaaassassasaa^oo'^^ooo^vaa^^ ^^^

^^ °°

a3-

`^ "' "' ^ ""^ ^^ 8 S S S 8 B 8 S S S S 8 5 8 8 S B S 8 8 S 8 S S 8 8_' S 8 8 8 8 S S S S S S S S S 8 8 8 S 8 5

`G-" °° ° ®mwnn m ® m®mmxn.,®wn» x nwwmmm mnmmwnxw.,«xwm«mm

e W 3

m m ^ x n n n» n» .,. n n« n w n n n n n n n n x n n x n«« n n n w«« n w «nnn « n» n n n m x n n

:6a °o°ooo° 000000 °° o°°o0 0000 °°°oooooon n n n n m m ^ m m n n n n n m m m n n ,., n n n n m m ^ ,.. ,., m m n n m m ^ n n n n m m n n n n n ^ n n n n n n

iq;

a°ee°°°°ee°°deeee°eoooeee°eee°ee°°

8 8 8 8 n , ^, ^, -, d9 5 S 9 S o 5 e B B S e 2 8 v o 8 8 ,,, o a 3 a a a$ S a a a a ^^', o rid,

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6 Standrd Direct Heating Equipment Shipments and Stock 

Nl!w SUTvMlIg 

Shipf/llml U"il¥ 

lIIilfion lIIilfioll 

"'" 2005 

0.11 

'2' 

0.11 0.21 

0.21 0.21 

2032 0.21 

21)33 0.21 

,OW 

2045 2046 

2047 

20SO 2051 

20052 2OS3 

". 

33' 

3.20 3.17 

3." 

).06 

3.11 

3.11 3.11 3.11 

3.11 

3.11 3.11 

3.11 3.11 

3.11 

'.00 '.00 

Effie Effie 

Bast UEC Base UEC TN/prov. Bust Total 

W$ Eltle UEC Gas UEC Elte Gar Entrgy 

MMBTUlvr kWlrlVT MMBTVIv kWhh'r 10""'" uads 

3 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 

30 30 

30 3 30 3 

30 

30 

30 30 

30 30 

30 

3 

" 

" " " " 

" " " " " " 

" " " " 

" " 

" " " " 

'''' 10l 

'''' 

'''' '''' '''' '''' '''' '''' 102 '''' 

102 

'''' 102 

'''' 

0.112 0.111 

0.102 

0,\02 

'''3 

0.103 0.103 

'.096 

0.082 0.075 .," 0.062 0.055 

,."" 

0.027 

'.000 

:: 

__ 

=-

__ __ 

= 

'.000 '.000 

0.000 

Ban' Total 

Electric 

'.000 

.000 

'.000 

0.000 

.000 

'.000 

'.000 

0.000 

'.000 

0.000 

Improv, 

Total Gas 

Elltrgy 

Allmllli CUlllllialil'e 

Effie.lmprov. Elltlrgy E"tlrgy 

Total Eltrtrlt (gas (gas 

EI/ergy +t:ltle) 

PtlT Unit Bare Ptr Ullit Effie, To/l:ll Dase 

Bast Bartl Flltl Effie. Effie.llI/prov. Alumal Improv. Amlllal AI/I/IIIlI 

Fuel Cost Cost· Tmprol', Flltl Fllel Cosl. Maintellam:e MaiJlttntlllCt MafllUlliJllCe 

• Gas EltlCtrie Cost· Gas Electric Cosl Cost Cost 

PV 

Total EfFie. AI/mllli AmI/lOll PV 

Improv. All/lIIl1l Operatitlg OperatillK CIIIII/dat

MoilltelulilU CQsl OperaUII

Sln'irlgs Cast Sal

so""e /ladssourre "uds lource uods billionS billionS billionS billionS billionS billionS billionS billion S billiOlJ $ 

0.1l2 0.1l1 0.109 o.lna 0.107 0.106 0.101 .,," .,. 

0.'" 

0.099 0.098 

0.095 0.095 

0.095 

0.095 

.. ,,, .", 

0.082 0.076 0.063 0.1132 

."'-' 

0.019 

:::' 

'.00 

0.000 

.000 .000 

'.000 

0.000 0.001 0.001 0.00\ 

0.001 0.001 

• 00> 

.00> 

0.005 0.005 

0.005 

'.005 

0.003 0.005 

0.003 0.005 

'.005 

0.005 

0.003 0.005 0.003 0.005 

0.001 

'00' 

0.005 0.00> 0.00> 0.003 

0.000 0.001 

0.000 

0.000 0.000 QOOO 0.000 

$ 0.98 $ 0.00 $ 0.98 $ 0.00 $ 

0.00 $ 

$ 0.91 $ 

0."": 

0.001$ 

o.OIT.loS 

0.012$ 0.015$ 

0.12 $ 0.73 S 0.74 S 

0.79 $ 0.19 $ 0.79 oS 

0.00 S 0.00 $ 0.00 $ 0.00 $ 

0.00 $ 0.00 S 

0.00 S 

0.070$ 0.79 $ 0.00 $ 0.075$ 0.79 $ 0.00 $ 0.090$ 

. ." . 

0.100$ 0.74 S 

O.IOS$ OM $ 0.109 oS O.M S 

0.5& $ 

0.116$ 0.53 $ 

0.122$ 0.42 $ 0.124$ 0.37 $ 

0.32 $ 

0.12B$ 

0.129$ 0.21 $ 

0.16 $ 

0.132$ O.OS $ 0.00 S 0.132$ $ 0.132$ 0.131S 

0.12 $ 

0.73 S 0.75 $ 0.76 $ 0.76 S 

0.75 $ 

0.13 $ 0.73 oS 0.13 $ 0.13 S 0.68 $ 0.63 S 

0.10 $ 

0.15 $ 0.10 $ 0.05 $ 

0.00 S 0.00 $ O,OJ S 

O.n:! S 

0.03 S 

0.0) $ 

0.03 $ 

0.03 S 

0.03 $ 

0.03 S .03 • 

O.n:! $ 

• 

H1 $ 

3.g7 S 3.87 S 3.87 $ 3.87 S 

3.87 oS 3.87 $ 3.87 S 3.87 $ 

3.87 $ 3.87 $ 3.87 S 3.87 $ 

3.87 oS 

3.&7 $ 

3.87 oS 

3.87 oS 3.87 S 3.87 $ 3.87 $ 

3.87 $ 3.87 oS 3.87 S 3.87 $ 

3.!7 $ 

3.S7 S 0.001 $ 

3.lS7 S 

3.87 S 3.87 $ 

3.81 $ 9.37 oS 9.37 $ 

$ 

9.37 S 

9.37 S 9.37 S 9.37 $ 9.37 $ 9.37 $ 

9.37 $ 9.37 $ 9.37 $ 9.31 S 9.37 S 9.31 $ 9.37 S 9.37 $ 9.31 $ 9.37 S 9.37 S 9.37 $ 9.37 $ 9.31 $ 9.37 S 9.37 $ 9.37 S 9.37 S 9.37 S 9.37 $ 9.37 S 

9.37 $ 

9.37 $ 9.37 S 9.37 S 9.37 $ 9.37 S 9.37 S 9.37 S 9.37 $ 9.37 $ 9.37 $ 

9.37 oS 

9.37 S 

9.37 S 9.37 $ 

9.37 $ 

O.tx» $ 0.005 S 

0.009 S 

0.010 $ 

0.012 $ 

0.012 oS 0.012 $ 0.012 $ 0.012 S Om2 $ O.OI:! $ 0.01! $ 0.01! $ 0.011 S 0.010 S 

0.010 $ 0.009 $ 

O.OO! $ 

, 

0.002 0.003 0.009 S 0.011 S 0.013 S 0.017 S 0.019 S 

0.020 S 

0.021 $ 0.022 S 0.0"-3 $ 0.025 $ 0.027 $ 

O.02S $ 0.029 $ 

0.00 $ 

0.00 $ 

0.00 $ 

0.01 $ 

0.00 s 

0.00 S 

0.00 S 

0.00 S 

0.00 S 0.00 oS 0.00 $ .00 • 0.00 s 

. 

0.029 $ 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0.029 $ $ 0.00 $ 0.029 $ 0.02 S 0.029 $ 0.02 S 0.029 S 0.02 $ 

11029 $ 0.00 oS 

0.cn9 $ 0.00 S 0.019 $ O.O! $ 

0.o:!9 S om $ 0.00 S 

o.o:!7 $ om $ 0.00 $ 

0.025 $ S 0.023 $ om s 0.021 S S 0.!J19 $ 0.01 $ 0.018 $ $ 0.014 $ 0.00 $ 0.012 $ 0.00 S 0.010 $ 

o.oo! $ 0.00 $ 

. . 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1982 0.237 historical data

1983 0.237 back and forward projected

1984 0.237

1985 0.237:

1986 0.237

1987 0.237

1988 0.237

1989 0.237

1990 0.237

1991 0.237

1992 0.237

1993 0.237

1994 0.254

1995 0.238

1996 0.221

1997 0.215

1998 0.207

1999 0.203

2000 0.194

2001 0.191

2002 0.208

2003 0.208

2004 0.208,

2005 0.208

2006 0.208

2007 0.208

2008 0.208

2009 0.208

2010 0.208

2011 0.208

2012 0.208

2013 0.208

2014 0.208

2015 0.208

2016 0.208

2017 0.208111

2018 0.208

2019 0.208

2020 0.208

2021 0.20811

2022 0.208

2023 0.208:

2024 0.208,

2025 0.208

2026 0.208

2027 0.208'11

2028 0.208

2029 0.208'

2030 0.208

2031 0.208

2032 0.208

2033 0.208

2034 0.208

2035 0.20811.

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year 

1982 

1983 

1984 

1985 

1986 

1987 

1988 

1989 

1990 

1991 

1992 

1993 

1994 

1995 

1996 

1997 

1998 

1999 

2000 

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

historical data 

back and forward projected 
UEC gas, UEC elec, Annual

UEC gas UEC elec Unit Price source source Total UEC, Maintenance

Efficiency Level (MMBTU/yr) (kWh/yr) (2002$) MMBTU MMBTU source MMBTU Cost (2002$)

Base 30.4 5.3 $ 887 33.0 0.06 33.1 $ 3.87

Baseline+Electronic Ignition 28.0 102.3 $ 1,044 30.4 1.10 31.5 $ 9.37

Baseline+Design Option Combinations 26.3 123.3 $ 1,271 28.6 1.33 29.9 $ 17.13

Unit Price

(1994$)

Annual

Maintenance

Cost (1994$)

CPI 1994 148.2 $ 731 $3.19

CPI 2002 179.9 $ 860 $7.72

$ 1,047 $14.11

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Efficiency Level 

Base 

Baseline+Electronic Ignition 

Baseline+Design Option Combinations 

CPI1994 

CPI2002 

UEC gas 

(MMBTU/yr) 

30.4 

28.0 

26.3 

148.2 

179.9 

UEC elec Unit Price 

(kWh/yr) (2002$) 

5.3 $ 887 

102.3 

123.3 

$ 1,044 

$ 1,271 

Unit Price 

(1994$) 

$ 731 

$ 860 

$ 1,047 

UEC gas, UEC elec, 

source source 

MMBTU MMBTU 

33.0 0.06 

30.4 1.10 

28.6 1.33 

Annual 

Total UEC, Maintenance 

source MMBTU Cost (2002$) 

33.1 

31.5 

29.9 

$ 3.87 

$ 9.37 

$ 17.13 

Annual 

Maintenance 

Cost (1994$) 

$3.19 

$7.72 

$14.11 
Detailed UEC and Price Calculations

Baseline

Product Class

Percent of Total

Shipments

Equipment

Price

Installation

Price

Maintenance

Cost

Minimum

AFUE

UEC

MMB4# r kWh/ r Source

Gravity Wall < 10 kBtu/h 2.10% $300 $167 $31 59 7.0 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Gravity Wall 10-12 kBtu/h 2.10% $320 $167 $31 60 9.0 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Gravity Wall 12-15 kBtu/h 2.10% $340 $167 $31 61 9.0 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Gravity Wall 15-19 kBtu/h 2.10% $399 $167 $31 62 11.0 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Gravity Wall 19-27 kBtu/h 2.10% $458 $167 $31 63 16.5 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Gravity Wall 27-46 kBtu/h 32.12% $477 $167 $31 64 24.0 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Gravity Wall >46 kBtu/h 14.82% $638 $167 $31 65 42.9 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Floor <37 kBtu/h 1.59% $477 $239 $31 56 19.0 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Floor >37 kBtu/h 5.27% $607 $239 $31 57 48.6 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Room Heater <18 kBtuth 1.23% $389 $310 $31 57 9.5 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Room Heater 18-20 kBts/h 0.29% $418 $310 $31 58 11.6 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Room Heater 20-27 kBtu/h 1.07% $451 $310 $31 63 16.5 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Room Heater 27-46 kBtu/h 7.67% $609 $310 $31 64 24.0 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Room Heater >46 kBtu/h 16.46% $484 $310 $31 65 42.9 0 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1

Fan Wall <42 kBtu/h 6.19% $620 $176 $31 73 31.5 59.1 1994 TSD, Table 1.9

Fan Wall >42 kBtu/h 2.78%1 $692 $176 $31 74 43.6 59.7 1994 TSD, Table 1.10

Weighted-Average 3520 $211 $31 64.2' 30.4 5.3

Baseline + Electronic Ignition

Annual Maintenance Cost = 53.19!

Product Class

Percent of Total

Shipments

Equipment

Price

Installation

Price

Maintenance

Cost

Minimum

AFUE

UEC

MMBtulr kWh/ r Source

Gravity Wall < 10 kBtu/h 2.10% $411 $176 $75 65.5 3.8 93.1 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Gravity Wall 10-12 kBtu/h 2.10% $431 $176 $75 65.4 5.9 94.7 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Gravity Wall 12-15 kBtu/h 2.10% $451 $176 $75 65.6 5.9 93.7 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Gravity Wall 15-19 kBtu/h 2.10% $510 $176 $75 65.4 7.9 93.6 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Gravity Wall 19-27 kBtulh 2.10% $569 $176 $75 65.6 13.6 95.5 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Gravity Wall 27-46 kBtu/h 32.12% $588 $176 $75 65.8 21.3 96.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Gravity Wall >46 kBtu/h 14.82% $749 $176 $75 66.3 40.8 99.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Floor <37 kBtu/h 1.59% $588 $248 $75 56.2 16.0 95.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Floor >37 kBtu/h 5.27% $718 $248 $75 58 46.2 99.7 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Room Heater <18 kBtu/h 1.23% $500 $319 $75 61.3 6.3 93.7 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Room Heater 18-20 kBtu/h 0.29% $529 $319 $75 61.2 8.4 93.7 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Room Heater 20-27 kBtu/h 1.07% $562 $319 $75 65.6 13.6 95.5 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Room Heater 27-46 kBtu/h 7.67% $720 $319 $75 65.8 21.3 99.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Room Heater >46 kBtu/h 16.46% $595 $319 $75 66.3 40.8 96.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Fan Wall <42 kBtu/h 6.19% $731 $287 $75 74.3 30.1 155.5 1994 TSD, Table 1.9; 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Fan Wall >42 kBtu/h 2.78% 1 $803 $287 $75 74.9 42.2 159.1 1994 TSD, Table 1.9; 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17

Weighted-Average 5631 S229 $75 66.1 28:0 102:3

Baseline + Design Option Combinations

Annual Maintenance Cost =, $7.72

Product Class

Percent of Total

Shipments

Equipment Installation Maintenance

Price Price Cost

Minimum UEC

AFUE MMBtu/ r kWh/ r Design Option Combination Source

Gravity Wall < 10 katu/h 2.10% $427 $227 $75 67.7 3.7 93.2 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Gravity Wall 10-12 kBtufh 2.10% $450 $227 $75 67.7 5.7 94.7 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Gravity Wall 12-15 kBtu/h 2.10% $474 $227 $75 67.7 5.7 93.7 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Gravity Wall 15-19 kBtu/h 2.10% $540 $227 $75 67.7 7.6 93.6 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Gravity Wall 19-27 kBtu/h 2.10% $721 $227 $154 67.7 13.2 95.5 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Gravity Wall 27-46 kBtu/h 32.12% $757 $227 $154 70.5 19.9 137 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Gravity Wall >46 kBtu/h 14.82% $946 $227 $154 70.6 38.2 138.9 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Floor <37 kBtu/h 1.59% $723 $278 $154 66.4 14.0 136.3 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Floor >37 kBtu/h 5.27% $883 $278 $154 65.3 40.4 139 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Room Heater <18 kBtu/h 1.23% $516 $390 $75 64.1 6.0 93.7 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Room Heater 18-20 kBtu/h 0.29% $662 $390 $154 66.8 7.7 135.3 Derate 20%+ Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Room Heater 20-27 kBtu/h 1.07% $478 $381 $75 65.6 15.9 0 Derate 20% 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Room Heater 27-46 kBtu/h 7.67% $826 $400 $129 69.3 20.3 96.4 Derate 20%+ Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Room Heater >46 kBtu/h 16,46% $718 $400 $129 69.6 38.8 99.3 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Fan Wall <42 kBtu/h 6.19% $855 $227 $126 75.6 29.0 155.5 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 1994 TSD, Table 1.9, Table 4.1; 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Fan Wall >42 kBtu/h 2.78%1 $955 $227 $126 76.2 40.7 159.1 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 1994 TSD, Table 1.10, Table 4.2; 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28

Weighted-Average $771 $27611 $137 70.0 26.311 123.311 Annual Maintenance Cost = 514.11'=

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Detailed UEC and Price Calculations 

Baseline 

Product Class 

Gravity Wall < 10 kBtu/h 

Gravity Wall 10-12 kBtu/h 

Gravity Wall 12-15 kBtulh 

Gravity Wall 15-19 kBtulh 

Gravity Wall 19-27 kBtu/h 

Gravity Wall 27-46 kBtu/h 

Gravity Wall >46 kBtu/h 

Floor <37 kBtu/h 

Floor >37 kBtu/h 

Room Heater <18 kBtulh 

Room Heater 18-20 kBtulh 

Room Heater 20-27 kBtu/h 

Room Heater 27-46 kBtulh 

Room Heater >46 kBtulh 

Fan Wall <42 kBtu/h 

Fan Wall >42 kBtulh 

Weighted·Average 

Baseline + Electronic Ignition 

Product Class 

Gravity Wall < 10 kBtulh 

Gravity Wall 10-12 kBtulh 

Gravity Wall 12-15 kBtu/h 

Gravity Wall 15-19 kBtulh 

Gravity Wall 19-27 kBtulh 

Gravity Wall 27-46 kBtu/h 

Gravity Wall >46 kBtu/h 

Floor <37 kBtu/h 

Floor >37 kBtulh 

Room Heater <18 kBtu/h 

Room Heater 18-20 kBtu/h 

Room Heater 20-27 kBtulh 

Room Heater 27-46 kBtulh 

Room Heater >46 kBtulh 

Fan Wall <42 kBtulh 

Fan Wall >42 kBtulh 

Weighted~Average 

Percent of Total 

Shipments 

2.10% 

2.10% 

2.10% 

2.10% 

2.10% 

32.12% 

14.82% 

1.59% 

5.27% 

1.23% 

0.29% 

1.07% 

7.67% 

16.46% 

6.19% 

2.78% 

Percent Of Total 

Shi ments 

2.10% 

2.10% 

2.10% 

2.10% 

2.10% 

32.12% 

14.82% 

1.59% 

5.27% 

1.23% 

0.29% 

1.07% 

7.67% 

16.46% 

6.19% 

2.78% 

Baseline + Design Option Combinations 

Percent of Total 

Product Class Shipments 

Gravity Wall < 10 kBtu/h 2.10% 

Gravity Wall 10-12 kBtulh 2.10% 

Gravity Wall 12-15 kBtulh 2.10% 

Gravity Wall 15-19 kBtu/h 2.10% 

Gravity Wall 19-27 kBtu/h 2.10% 

Gravity Wall 27-46 kBtulh 32.12% 

Gravity Wall >46 kBtulh 14.82% 

Floor <37 kBtu/h 1.59% 

Floor >37 kBtulh 5.27% 

Room Heater <18 kBtulh 1.23% 

Room Heater 18-20 kBtulh 0.29% 

Room Heater 20-27 kBtulh 1.07% 

Room Heater 27-46 kBtu/h 7.67% 

Room Heater >46 kBtu/h 16.46% 

Fan Wall <42 kBtu/h 6.19% 

Fan Wall >42 kBtu/h 2.78% 

Weighted-Average 

Equipment Installation Maintenance Minimum UEC 

Price Price Cost AFUE MMBtu/yr kWhlyr Source 

$300 $167 $31 59 7.0 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$320 $167 $31 60 9.0 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$340 $167 $31 61 9.0 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$399 $167 $31 62 11.0 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$458 $167 $31 63 16.5 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$477 $167 $31 64 24.0 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$638 $167 $31 65 42.9 01994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$477 $239 $31 56 19.0 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$607 $239 $31 57 48.6 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$389 $310 $31 57 9.5 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$418 $310 $31 58 11.6 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$451 $310 $31 63 16.5 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$609 $310 $31 64 24.0 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$484 $310 $31 65 42.9 o 1994 GRI Report, Table 3.1 

$620 $176 $31 73 31.5 59.1 1994 TSD, Table 1.9 

$692 $176 $31 74 43.6 59.7 1994 TSD, Table 1.1 0 

$520 $21:1n $31 64.26 30.46 5.3 

Annual Maintenance Cost 

Equipment 

Price 

$411 

$431 

$451 

$510 

$569 

$588 

$749 

$588 

$718 

$500 

$529 

$562 

$720 

$595 

$731 

Equipment 

Price 

$427 

$450 

$474 

$540 

$721 

$757 

$946 

$723 

$883 

$516 

$662 

$478 

$826 

$718 

$855 

$955 

Installation Maintenance Minimum UEC 

Price Cost AFUE MMBtU;; r kWh/ r Source 

$176 $75 65.5 3.8 93.1 1994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$176 $75 65.4 5.9 94.71994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$176 $75 65.6 5.9 93.71994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$176 $75 65.4 7.9 93.6 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$176 $75 65.6 13.6 95.5 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$176 $75 65.8 21.3 96.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$176 $75 66.3 40.8 99.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$248 $75 58.2 16.0 95.4 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$248 $75 58 46.2 99.71994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$319 $75 61.3 6.3 93.71994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$319 $75 61.2 8.4 93.7 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$319 $75 65.6 13.6 95.5 1994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$319 $75 65.8 21.3 99.41994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$319 $75 66.3 40.8 96.41994GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$287 $75 74.3 30.1 155.5 1994 TSD, Table 1.9; 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.17 

$287 ______ -;$7~5~--~74~.~9~==~4~2~.2~~1~5~9~.1~19~9~4~T~S~D~,~Ta~b~le~1.~9~;1~9~94~G~R~I~R~ep~o~rt~,~T~ab~le~4~.1~7 ____ 4 

$75 66.1 28.0 102.3 

Installation Maintenance Minimum UEC 

Price Cost AFUE MMBtu/vr kWhlvr Design Option Combination 

$227 $75 67.7 3.7 93.2 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 

$227 $75 67.7 5.7 94.7 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 

$227 $75 67.7 5.7 93.7 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 

$227 $75 67.7 7.6 93.6 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 

$227 $154 67.7 13.2 95.5 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 

$227 $154 70.5 19.9 137 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 

$227 $154 70.6 38.2 138.9 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 

$278 $154 66.4 14.0 136.3 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 

$278 $154 65.3 40.4 139 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Damper 

$390 $75 64.1 6.0 93.7 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition 

$390 $154 66.8 7.7 135.3 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Burner Box Darnper 

$381 $75 65.6 15.9 o Derate 20% 

$400 $129 69.3 20.3 96.4 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 

$400 $129 69.6 38.8 99.3 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 

$227 $126 75.6 29.0 155.5 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 

$227 $126 76.2 40.7 159.1 Derate 20% + Electronic Ignition + Stack Damper 

$137 70.01 26.3~ 123.31 

Annual Main enance \,;os 

Source 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 TSD, Table 1.9, Table 4.1; 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 

1994 TSD, Table 1.10, Table 4.2; 1994 GRI Report, Table 4.28 
Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu

Residential

natural gas

Residential

Electricity

Conv Factor

source/site Btu/kWh

2001 1.09 11126 calculated from AEO 2004

2002 1.09 10986 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 1.09 10972

2004 1.09 10924 natural gas transmission and distribution losses =

2005 1.09 10913 8%

2006 1.09 10903

2007 1.09 10894

2008 1.09 10868

2009 1.09 10785

2010 1.09 10749

2011 1.09 10712

2012 1.09 10679

2013 1.09 10635

2014 1.09 10584

2015 1.09 10542

2016 1.09 10515

2017 1.09 10483

2018 1.09 10436

2019 1.09 10408

2020 1.09 10376

2021 1.09 10345

2022 1.09 10322

2023 1.09 10298

2024 1.09 10275

2025 1.09 10252

2026 1.09 10223

2027 1.09 10194

2028 1.09 10166

2029 1.09 10139

2030 1.09 10113

2031 1.09 10087

2032 1.09 10061,

2033 1.09 10035'

2034 1.09 10010

2035 1.09 9983

2036 1.09 9957

2037 1.09 9931

2038 1.09 9905

2039 1.09 9879

2040 1.09 9853

2041 1.09 9828

2042 1.09 9802

2043 1.09 9777

2044 1.09 9751

2045 1.09 9726

2046 1.09 9700

2047 1.09 9675

2048 1.09 9650

2049 1.09 9625

2050 1.09 9600

2051 1.09 9575

2052 1.09 9550

2053 1.09 9525

2054 1.09 9500

2055 1.09 9475

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu 

Residential Residential 

natural gas Electricity 

Conv Factor 

source/site Btu/kWh 

2001 1.09 11126 

2002 1.09 10986 

2003 1.09 10972 

2004 1.09 10924 

2005 1.09 10913 

2006 1.09 1()903 

2007 1.09 10894 

2008 1.09 l08p8 

2009 1.09 10785 

2010 1.09 10749 

2011 1.09 ld712 

2012 1.09 10679 

2013 1.09 10635 

2014 1.09 10584 

2015 1.09 10542 

2016 1.09 10515 

2017 1.09 10483 

2018 1.09 10436 

2019 1.09 :I04Q8 

2020 1.09 10376 

2021 1.09 10345 

2022 1.09 10322 

2023 1.09 10298 

2024 1.09 

2025 1.09 

2026 1.09 

2027 1.09 

2028 1.09 

2029 1.09 

2030 1.09 

2031 1.09 

2032 1.09 

2033 1.09 

2034 1.09 

2035 1.09 

2036 1.09 

2037 1.09 

2038 1.09 

2039 1.09 

2040 1.09 

2041 1.09 

2042 1.09 

2043 1.09 

2044 1.09 

2045 1.09 

2046 1.09 

2047 1.09 

2048 1.09 

2049 1.09 

2050 1.09 

2051 1.09 

2052 1.09 

2053 1.09 

2054 1.09 

2055 1.09 

calculated from AEO 2004 

L~~, . ..c .. ~ccC~ .•. :;.~.;"" based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

natural gas transmission and distribution losses = 

8% 
Fuel Price

Natural Gas Electricity

$/MMBTU $/1000 ft3

2001 9.54 9.79 8.71 from AEO 2004

2002 7.66 7.86 8.44 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 9.04 9.29 8.49

2004 8.83 9.07 8.34 1.027 MMBTU/ 1000 ft3

2005 840 S.63 8.23

2006 8.20 8.42 8.13

2007 5.09 5.31 8.01

2008 8.04 8.26 7.95

2009 7.81 8.02 7.99

2010 7.68 7.88 7.95

2011 7.81 8.02 7.94

2012 7.94 8,16 8.01

2013 8.10 8.32 8.03

2014 8.19 8.41 8.07

2015 8.30 8.52 5.11

2016 8.31 8.53 8.14

2017 8.31 8.53 8.10

2018 8.25 8.48 8.12

2019 8.17 8.40 8.08

2020 8.24 8.47 8.10

2021 8.41 5.64 8.14

2022 8.39 8.62 8.13

2023 8.38 8.61 8.09

2024 8.37 8.60 8.14

2025 8.33 8.56 8.15

2026 8.34 5,15

2027 8.34 8.15

2028 8.34 8.16

2029 8.35 8.16

2030 2.37 8.17

2031 8.38 8.18

2032 8.38 8.188

2033 8.38 8.19

2034 8.38 8.20

2035 838 8,20

2036 8.38 821

2037 8.39 821

2038 8.39 S22

2039 8.39 8.23

2040 8,40 U3

2041 8.40 824

2042 S X10 8.2-1

2043 8.41 8.25

2044 8.41 8.26

2045 8.41 8,26

2046 8.42 8,27

2047 8.42 8.28

2048 8.42 8.28

2049 8.43 829

2050 8.43 8.30

2051 8.44 8.30

2052 8.44 8.31

2053 8A4 8.31

2054 5.45 8.32

2055 8.15 8.33

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

Natural Gas Electricity 

$IMMBTU $/1000 ft3 

954 9.79 8.7l 

7.66 7.86 8.44 

9.04 9.29 8.49 

8.83 9.07 8.34 

8.40 8.63 8.23 

8.20 8.42 8.13 

8.09 .8.31 8.01 

8.04 8.26 7.98 

7.81 

7:68 

7.81 

7.94 

8,:10 

8.19 

8.30 

8.31 

8.31 

8.25 .. 

8.17 

8:24 

8.41 

.8.39 " 

8.38 

8.37 

8,02 

7:88 

8.02 

8.16 

8.32 

SAl 

8.52 

8.53 

8:53 

.8.48 

8.40 

8.47 

8 .. 64 

8.62 

8.61 

8.60 

8.56 

7.99 

7.95 

7.94 

8.01 

8;03 

8;07 

8.ll 

8,l4 

no 

8.12 

8;08 

8.10, 

8~14 

'8;13 

8:09 

Fuel Price 

from AEO 2004 

'_'~'-''-''--'''c2.cc~based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

l.027 MMBTu/lOOO ft3 

Page? 
Typical Typical

Annual New New

Total Energy Annual Annual

Equipment Energy Annual Energy Use Energy Ener

# Units, Lifetime Use, Use (Current), Current Use, Use.

Equipment Types to Investigate millions rs Quads MMBtu KWH MMBtu

Dishwasher

Soil Sensorl

E"

Best Available

Typical New P

KWH

Savings of Best

Best Available

Available, Annual

Relative to Energy

Typical Use,

New MMBtu

Best

Available

Energy

Savings,

Quads

Best Technology

Available Energy

Energy Savings

Savings, Potential

Quads Relative to

2008- Typical New

2030

61.7 13 0.260 4.05 370 3.280 299 58% 1.4 0.117 1.8191

Technol

Technol ogv

ogy Unit Technolo Ener

Annual -qy- Savin gs

Energy Energy ,Quads

Use, Savings, 2010-

MMBtu Quads 2035

0% 3.28 - -

17% 2.73 0.034 0.63

14% 2.83 0.028 0.52

58% 1.38 0.117 2.17

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Typical Typical Savings of Best 

Annyal New New Best Available 

Total Energy Annual Annual Available, Annual 

Eguipment Energy Annual E!Jergy Y§fL Energy Energy Relative to Energy 

Lifetime Use, Use {Current}, {Current}, Use, Use, Typical Use, 

{y!:§.} Quads MMBtu KWH MMBtu KWH New MMBtu 

Best 

Available 

Best Energv 

Available Savings, 

Energy Quads 

Savings, {200SQuads 2030} 

Technology: 

Energy 

Savings 

Potential 

Relative to 

14% 

58% 

Technol 

Technol .Q9Y.. 

ogy Unit Technolo Energy: 

.8!:!!l.Y2L 

Energy 

Use, 

1.38 

9V.. Savings 

Energy ,Quads 

Savings, {201o0.034 0.63 

0.028 

0.117 

0.52 

2.17 
Commercial Clothes Dryer

1 "Characterization of Commercial Building Appliances" ADL Aug 1993

2 "Commercial, Family Sized Washers: An Initiative Description of the Consortium for Energy Efficiency" CEE 1998

3 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS), Feb. 2000

Residential Dish Washer

4 "Dishwasher Cost-Effectiveness Example" www.eren.doe.gov/femp/procurement/dish_cost.html "Mar, 2001)

5 "Electricity Consumption by Small End Uses in Residential Buildings" ADL Aug., 1998

6 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS), Feb. 2000

7 EnergyTest Procedures for the Twenty-First Century, May 1998

8 NIST Technology at a Glance, Summer 1997

Residential Clothes Dryers

3 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS), Feb. 2000

9 "High Efficiency, Hgh Performance Clothes Dryers" ADL Feb. 2001

10 Consumers Report August 2000

Commercial Clothes Washer

11 "Characterization of Commercial Building Appliances" Aug. 1993

12 "Commercial, Family Sized Washers: An Initiative Description of the Consortium for Energy Efficiency" CEE 1998

3 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS), Feb. 2000

13 "Southern California Edison High-Performance Clothes Washer Demostration at Leisure World Laguna Woods - Final Report" Battelle, Dec, 2000

14 Energy Star Website www.energystar.gov

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Commercial Clothes Dryer 

"Characterization of Commercial Building Appliances" ADL Aug 1993 

2 "Commercial, Family Sized Washers: An Initiative Description of the Consortium for Energy Efficiency" CEE 1998 

3 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS), Feb. 2000 

Residential Dish Washer 

4 "Dishwasher Cost-Effectiveness Example" www.eren.doe.gov/femp/procurementidish_cost.html .. Mar. 2001) 

5 "Electricity Consumption by Small End Uses in Residential Buildings" ADL Aug., 1998 

6 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS), Feb. 2000 

7 EnergyTest Procedures for the Twenty-First Century, May 1998 

8 NIST Technology at a Glance, Summer 1997 

Residential Clothes Dryers 

3 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS) , Feb. 2000 

9 "High Efficiency, Hgh Performance Clothes Dryers" ADL Feb. 2001 

10 Consumers Report August 2000 

Commercial Clothes Washer 

11 "Characterization of Commercial Building Appliances" Aug. 1993 

12 "Commercial, Family Sized Washers: An Initiative Description of the Consortium for Energy Efficiency" CEE 1998 

3 "Guide For Evaluation of Energy Savings Potential" Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs (BTS), Feb. 2000 

13 "Southern California Edison High-Performance Clothes Washer Demostration at Leisure World Laguna Woods - Final Report" Battelle, Dec, 2000 

14 Energy Star Website www.energystar.gov 
DOE Priority Rulemaking : EPACT Update for Incandescent Lamps

A-type lamp Baseline:

Scenario 1:

Scenario 2:

Scenario 3:

Regulated reflector lamps Baseline:

Scenario 1:

Scenario 2:

Scenario 3:

Business as usual, standards in place do not change (EPACT 1992)

A-type incandescent standard introduced, 1.5% improvement on today's typical lamp

A-type incandescent standard introduced, 3% improvement on today's typical lamp

A-type incandescent goes to halogen standard (20% improvement in efficacy)

Regulated reflector lamp standard does not change, halogen technology standard from EPACT 1992

Slightly higher efficacy improvement over EPACT 1992, 1 . 5% improvement

Slightly higher efficacy improvement over EPACT 1992, 3% improvement

Reflector lamps go to halogen infrared reflector (HIR) standard level (30% improvement in efficacy)

Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

Sector

Annual

Energy Use

TWh/ r

Baseline Efficacy

(average, lowest

first-cost lamp)

Best currently

available

technologies

Average

Installed

Wattage

Scenario 1

see above

Scenario 2

(see above)

Scenario 3

(see above)

Annual

Quads PEC

Annual

Quads PEC

Annual

Quads PEC

Annual

Quads PEC

A-type incandescent Res 158.38 14.4 14.8 63.0 14.6 14.8 17.3 1.736 1.710 1.685 1.447

A-t a incandescent Com / Ind / Out 75.55 16.0 16.3 85.7 16.2 16.5 19.2 0.828 0.816 0.804 0.690

Regulated reflector lamps All 26.54 14.2 14.4 106.5 14.4 14.6 18.5 0.291 0.287 0.282 0.224

Total 260.46 2.855 2.813 2.772 2.360

Savings over Baseline in one year, general service (Quads PEC) 0.038 0.075 0.427

Savings over Baseline in one year, PAR reflector (Quads PEC) 0.004 0.008 0.067

365.25 Days per year Savings over Baseline in one year (percent) 1.5% 2.9% 17%

1.45 Incandescent lamp lifetime - residential (years)

4.36 Halogen lamp lifetime - residential (years) Cumulative savings 2010-2035 for incandescent GLS (Quads PEC) 0.93 1.83 9.99

0.29 Incandescent lamp lifetime - non-residential sectors (years) Cumulative savings 2010-2035 for PAR reflector (Quads PEC) 0.11 0.21 1.64

0.88 Halogen lamp lifetime, non-residential sectors (years)

0.85 Halogen reflector lamp lifetime, avg. all sectors (years) UEC Values (kWh/yr) Stock UEC Typical New Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

1.02 HIR regulated reflector lamp lifetime, avg. for all sectors (years) PAR (regulated) 313 313 309 304 241

292.997 Units conversion, terawatt-hrs per Quad

3.21 Site to source conversion to Quads PEC (BTS Core Databook)

141,499,593 Estimated shipments of regulated reflector lamps

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

DOE Priority Rulemaking: EPACT Update for Incandescent Lamps 

A-type lamp Baseline: 

Scenario 1: 

Scenario 2: 

Scenario 3: 

Regulated reflector lamps Baseline: 

Scenario 1: 

Scenario 2: 

Scenario 3: 

Business as usual, standards in place do not change (EPACT 1992) 

A-type incandescent standard introduced, 1.5% improvement on today's typical lamp 

A-type incandescent standard introduced, 3% improvement on today's typical lamp 

A-type incandescent goes to halogen standard (20% improvement in efficacy) 

Regulated reflector lamp standard does not change, halogen technology standard from EPACT 1992 

Slightly higher efficacy improvement over EPACT 1992,1.5% improvement 

Slightly higher efficacy improvement over EPACT 1992, 3% improvement 

Reflector lamps go to halogen infrared reflector (HIR) standard level (30% improvement in efficacy) 

Annual 

Savings over Baseline in one year, general 

365.25 Days per year 

Savings over Baseline in one year, PAR reflector (Quads PEC)f-_~:'::'::7:-I __ -:::':::":::':::'" 

Savings over Baseline in one year (percent)L...-__ .:..:.::.:..::J __ ---=::..::..:.::. 

1.45 Incandescent lamp lifetime - residential (years) 

4.36 Halogen lamp lifetime - residential (years) 

0.29 Incandescent lamp lifetime - non-residential sectors (years) 

0.88 Halogen lamp lifetime, non-residential sectors (years) 

0.85 Halogen reflector lamp lifetime, avg. all sectors (years) 

1.02 HIR regulated reflector lamp lifetime, avg. for all sectors (years) 

292.997 Units conversion, terawatt-hrs per Quad 

3.21 Site to source conversion to Quads PEC (BTS Core Databook) 

141,499,593 Estimated shipments of regulated reflector lamps 

Cumulative savings 2010-2035 for incandescent GLS (Quads PEC)f-----:~:+---7';::.._f 

Cumulative savings 2010-2035 for PAR reflector (Quads PEC)L-_---':..:....:..:....J.. __ ....::.:.::..:..-'-"". 

Stock UEC Typical New Scenario 1 

313 313 309 

Scenario 2 

304 
Canadian Data and Scaling of US Energy Consumption

Canadian Data

PAR BR ER

Reflector Lamp Sales for Canada, 2001 Totals

Res 1,067,464 3,074,152 9,196 4,150,812 units

C&I 3,672,198 2,114,432 56,081 5,842,711 units

PAR BR ER

Estimated Canadian Sales Weighted Average Wattages 2001 Average

Res 78.5 74.9 94.6 75.87 watts

C&I 80.6 71.9 81.3 77.41 watts

Applying the Canadian weighting to the AMC Phase I numbers for the US - Installed base and Wattages

Residential

Regulated lamps:

Unregulated lamps:

Phase I aggregate number:

PAR Lamps in US:

BR & ER Lamps in US:

Residential wattages

Regulated lamps:

Unregulated lamps:

Phase I aggregate wattage:

PAR Lamps in US:

BR & ER Lamps in US:

25.7%

74.3%

262,471,071

67,499, 665 units

194,971,406 units

103%

99%

101.5

105.0 Watts

100.3 Watts

Output from this process, for use in the Priority Settin

US Outputs , Canadian

Weighting

PAR

Non-PAR

Totals

Energy Consumption

PAR

Non-PAR

Totals

g

Commercial & Industrial & Outdoor Stationary

Regulated lamps: 62.9%

Unregulated lamps: 37.1%

Phase I aggregate number: 83,979,997

PAR Lamps in US: 52,782,206 units

BR & ER Lamps in US: 31,197,791 units

Wattages:

Regulated lamps: 104%

Unregulated lamps: 93%

Phase I aggregate wattage: 104.3

PAR Lamps in US: 108.5 Watts

BR & ER Lamps in US: 97.1 Watts

Average

U.S. Inventory wattage

120,281,871 106.54

226,169,197 99.88

Sales

weighted

hours Res hours C,I, Out Hours

2,941

1,981

885

885

3,538

3,538

Res energy C,I,O energy Total Energy

(TWh) (TWh) (TWh)

6.27 20.26

17.31 10.72

26.54

28.04

54.57

346,451,068

Total Quads

0.291

0.307

0.598

scaled to Canadian shipments

scaled to Canadian shipments

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Canadian Data and Scaling of US Energy Consumption 

Canadian Data 

PAR BR ER 

Reflector Lamp Sal.es for Canada, 2001 Totals 

Res 1,067,464 3,074,152 9,196 4,150,812 units 

C&I 3,672,198 2,114,432 56,081 5,842,711 units 

PAR BR ER 

Estimated Canadian Sales Weighted Average Wattages 2001 Average 

Res I 78'~1 74.9 94.6 75.87 watts 

C&I 80.6 71.9 81.3 77.41 watts 

Applying the Canadian weighting to the LMC Phase I numbers for the US -...:lo.:.n::;st::::a:.:..:.lle::;d=-=b=as::-:e7a:::n~d:...W.:..:..::a:.:;tt:=a.i!g.e.::::s=-:-_=---.-_______ --, 

Residential Commercial & Industrial & Outdoor Stationary 

Regulated lamps: 25.7% Regulated lamps: 62.9% 

Unregulated lamps: 74.3% Unregulated lamps: 37.1% 

Phase I aggregate number: 262,471,071 Phase I aggregate number: 83,979,997 

PAR Lamps in US: 67,499,665 units PAR Lamps in US: 52,782,206 units 

BR & ER Lamps in US: 194,971,406 units BR & ER Lamps in US: 31,197,791 units 

Residential wattages Wattages: 

Regulated lamps: 103% Regulated lamps: 104% 

Unregulated lamps: 99% Unregulated lamps: 93% 

Phase I aggregate wattage: 101.5 Phase I aggregate wattage: 104.3 

PAR Lamps in US: 105.0 Watts PAR Lamps in US: 108.5 Watts 

BR & ER Lamps in US: 

US Outputs, .Canadian 

Weighting 

PAR 

Non-PAR 

Totals 

Energy Consumption 

PAR 

Non-PAR 

Totals 

100.3 Watts 

weighted 

hours 

2,941 

1,981 

Res hours. 

885 

885 

C,I,OutHours 

3,538 

3,538 

BR & ER Lamps in US: 

U;S; Inventor 

120,281 ;871 

226,169,197 

346,451,068 

. TotalQl.lads 

0.291 

0.307 

0.598 

97.1 Watts 

Average 

waUa e 

106.54 

99.88 

scaled to Canadian shipments 

scaled to Canadian shipments 
Source: U.S. Lighting Market Characterization Volume I Report; September2002.

Res Corn Ind Outdoor

number of lamps

Standard - General Service 3,653,336,297 244,924,428 1,500,938 12,342,790

Standard - Reflector 262,471,071 81,228,767 1,250,770 1,500,460

Halogen - General Service 18,088,688 756,562 - -

Halogen - Quartz 14,219,165 17,496,038 167,447 2,180,560

Halogen - refl. - low volt - 39,733,319 2,406 -

Average wattages

Standard - General Service 63 83 126 138

Standard - Reflector 102 104 102 103

Halogen - General Service 200 64 - -

Halogen - Quartz 205 226 452 167

Halogen - ref I. - low volt - 48 58 -

Average Annual Operating Hours

Standard - General Service 688 3,433 5,168 2,907

Standard - Reflector 885 3,534 4,892 2,631

Halogen - General Service 822 3,483 - -

Halogen - Quartz 918 3,486 4,970 2,949

Halogen - refl. - low volt - 3,757 4,536 -

Energy Consumed (TWh/yr

Standard - General Service 158.4 69.6 1.0 4.9

Standard - Reflector 23.6 30.0 0.6 0.4

Halogen - General Service 3.0 0.2 - -

Halogen - Quartz 2.7 13.8 0.4 1.1

Halogen - refl. - low volt - 7.2 0.0 -

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Source: U.S. Ughting Market Characterization Volume I Report; September 2002. 

number of lamps 

Standard - General Service 

Standard - Reflector 

Halogen - General Service 

Halogen - Quartz 

Halogen - ref!. - low volt 

Average wattages 

Standard - General Service 

Standard - Reflector 

Halogen - General Service 

Halogen - Quartz 

Halogen - ref!. - low volt 

Average Annual. Op~rating Hours 

Standard: General Service 

Standard ':Reflector 

HalQge(1 - Gene~al Servi.ce 

Hal()gen- Quartz 

Halogen-refl.- low\iolt 

Res Com 

3,653,336,297 

262,471,071· 

18,088,688. 

14,219,165 

63 

102 

200 

205 

244,924,428 

81,228,767 

756,562 

17,496,038 

39,733,319 

83 

104 

64 

226 

48 

3,433 

3,534 

3,483 

·.3;486 

3,757 

Ind 

1,500,938 

1,250,770 

167,447 

2;406 

126 

102 

452 

58 

4,970 

4;536· 

Outdoor 

12,342,790 

1,500,460 

2,180,560 

138 

103 

167 

2,907 

2,631 

2,949 
A-19 Lamp Types

60 Watt A-Line Incandescent Lamp

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Initial Lumens Initial Efficacy Average % difference

clear General Electric 60 A-19 120 Clear 39322 60A/CL 24 PK 1000 100 870 14.5

Philips 60 A-19 120 Clear 201483 60AICL 1000 100 855 14.3

Osram Sylvania 60 A-19 120 Clear 10553 60A/CL 1000 100 890 14.8 14.5 2.1%

frost General Electric 60 A-19 120 Inside frost 22361 60AICOMM 1000 100 855 14.3

Philips 60 A-19 120 Frost 374694 60A 1000 100 890 14.8

Osram Sylvania 60 A-19 120 Inside frost 11214 60A/RP 1000 100 890 14.8 14.6 1.3%

other General Electric 60 A-19 120 Standard 41026 60A 48PK 1000 100 865 14.4

General Electric 60 A-19 120 Soft White 41028 60A/W 48 PK 1000 100 840 14.0

Philips 60 A-19 120 Frost, Extended Service 222455 60A/99 2500 100 800 13.3 13.9

75 Watt A-Line Incandescent Lamp

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Initial Lumens Initial Efficacy Average % difference

clear General Electric 75 A-19 120 Clear 10428 75A/CL 24 PK 750 100 1200 16.0

Philips 75 A-19 120 Clear 366468 75A/CL 750 100 1180 15.7

Osram Sylvania 75 A-19 120 Clear 12500 75A/CL 750 100 1210 16.1 16.0 1.1%

frost General Electric 75 A-19 120 Inside frost 22364 75A/COMM 750 100 1180 15.7

Philips 75 A-19 120 Frost 374728 75A 750 100 1220 16.3

Osram Sylvania 75 A-19 120 Inside frost 12525 75A/RP 750 100 1210 16.1 16.0 0.6%

100 Watt A-Line Incandescent Lam p

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI filaments Initial Lumens Initial Efficacy Average % difference

clear General Electric 100 A-19 120 Clear 39321 100A/CL 24 PK 750 100 CC8 1730 17.3

Philips 100 A-19 120 Clear 375279 100A/CL 750 100 CC8 1720 17.2

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Clear 10553 100A/CL 750 100 CC8 1750 17.5 17.3 1.0%

frost General Electric 100 A-19 120 Inside frost 22366 100AICOMM 750 100 CC8 1690 16.9

Philips 100 A-19 120 Frost 270868 100A 750 100 CC8 1650 16.5

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Inside frost 12735 100A/RP 750 100 CC8 1750 17.5 17.0 3.1%

soft w General Electric 100 A-19 120 Soft White 41036 100A/W 48 PK 750 100 CC8 1690 16.9

Philips 100 A-19 120 Soft White 374926 100A/W 750 100 CC8 1690 16.9

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Soft White 12770 100A/W/4/RP 750 100 CC8 1710 17.1 17.0 0.8%

Other General Electric 100 A-19 120 Standard 41034 100A 48 PK 750 100 1710 17.1

Philips 100 A-19 120 Longer life Soft White 263822 100A/W L 950 100 1675 16.8

Philips 100 A-19 120 Frost, Extended Service 229799 100A/99 2500 100 1470 14.7

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Double Life Soft White 12805 1 00A/D L S W/2 P K/R P 1500 100 1580 15.8 16.1

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

A-19 Lamp Types 

60 Watt A-Line Incandescent Lamp 

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Initial Lumens Initial Efficacy Average % difference 

clear General Electric 60 A-19 120 Clear 39322 60AlCL 24 PK 1000 100 870 14.5 

Philips 60 A-19 120 Clear 201483 60AlCL 1000 100 855 14.3 

Osram Sylvania 60 A-19 120 Clear 10553 60AlCL 1000 100 890 14.8 14.5 2.1% 

frost General Electric 60 A-19 120 Inside frost 22361 60AlCOMM 1000 100 855 14.3 

Philips 60 A-19 120 Frost 374694 60A 1000 100 890 14.8 

Osram Sylvania 60 A-19 120 Inside frost 11214 60AlRP 1000 100 890 14.8 14.6 1.3% 

other General Electric 60 A-19 120 Standard 41026 60A48PK 1000 100 865 14.4 

General Electric 60 A-19 120 Soft White 41028 60AIW 48 PK 1000 100 840 14.0 

Philips 60 A-19 120 Frost, Extended Service 222455 60Al99 2500 100 800 13.3 13.9 

75 Watt A-Line Incandescent Lamp 

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Initial Lumens Initial Efficacy Average % difference 

clear General Electric 75 A-19 120 Clear 10428 75A1CL 24 PK 750 100 1200 16.0 

Philips 75 A-19 120 Clear 366468 75A1CL 750 100 1180 15.7 

Osram Sylvania 75 A-19 120 Clear 12500 75A1CL 750 100 1210 16.1 16.0 1.1% 

frost General Electric 75 A-19 120 Inside frost 22364 75A1COMM 750 100 1180 15.7 

Philips 75 A-19 120 Frost 374728 75A 750 100 1220 16.3 

Osram Sylvania 75 A-19 120 Inside frost 12525 75A1RP 750 100 1210 16.1 16.0 0.6% 

100 Watt A-Line Incandescent Lamp 

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI filaments Initial Lumens Initial Efficacy Average % difference 

clear General Electric 100 A-19 120 Clear 39321 1 OOAlCL 24 PK 750 100 CC8 1730 17.3 

Philips 100 A-19 120 Clear 375279 100AlCL 750 100 CC8 1720 17.2 

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Clear 10553 100AlCL 750 100 cca 1750 17.5 17.3 1.0% 

frost General Electric 100 A-19 120 Inside frost 22366 100AlCOMM 750 100 CC8 1690 16.9 

Philips 100 A-19 120 Frost 270868 100A 750 100 CC8 1650 16.5 

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Inside frost 12735 100AlRP 750 100 CC8 1750 17.5 17.0 3.1% 

softw General Electric 100 A-19 120 Soft White 41036 100AIW 48 PK 750 100 CC8 1690 16.9 

Philips 100 A-19 120 Soft White 374926 100AIW 750 100 CC8 1690 16.9 

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Soft White 12770 100AIW/4/RP 750 100 CC8 1710 17.1 17.0 0.8% 

Othe r General Electric 100 A-19 120 Standard 41034 100A48 PK 750 100 1710 17.1 

Philips 100 A-19 120 Longer life Soft White 263822 100AIWL 950 100 1675 16.8 

Philips 100 A-19 120 Frost, Extended Service 229799 100Al99 2500 100 1470 14.7 

Osram Sylvania 100 A-19 120 Double Life Soft White 12805 100AlDLSW 12PKlRP 1500 100 1580 15.8 16.1 
Reflector Lamps (PAR shape)

75 Watt PAR Incandescent Lam

p

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Efficacy Avg. Effica % difference

General Electric PAR38 75 120 14748 75PAR/H/FL25° 2500 1030 13.7

Philips PAR-38 75 120 28784-7 75PAR38/HAUFL28/WLL 2500 1050 14.0

(Osram Sylvania PAR-38 75 120 14513 75PAR/CAP/SPUFL 2500 1040 13.9 13.9 1.0%

90 Watt PAR Incandescent Lam

P

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Efficacy Avg. Effica % difference

General Electric PAR38 90 120 25727 90PAR/H/WFL 2500 1260 14.0

Philips PAR-38 90 120 23070-6 90PAR38/HAUFL28/LL 2500 1280 14.2

Osram Sylvania PAR-38 90 120 14579 90PAR/CAP/SPUFL 2500 1300 14.4 14.2 1.4%

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Reflector Lamps (PAR shape) 

75 Watt PAR Incandescent Lamp 

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Efficacy Avg. Effica % difference 

General Electric PAR38 75 120 14748 75PAR/H/FL25' 2500 1030 13.7 

Philips PAR-38 75 120 28784-7 75PAR38/HAUFL28IWLL 2500 1050 14.0 

Osram Sylvania PAR-38 75 120 14513 75PAR/CAP/SPUFL 2500 1040 13.9 13.9 1.0% 

90W att PAR I ncan d escent L amp 

Brand Watts Size Volts Catalogue # Model Life (hrs) CRI Efficacy Avg. Effica % difference 

General Electric PAR38 90 120 25727 90PARlHIWFL 2500 1260 14.0 

Philips PAR-38 90 120 23070-6 90PAR38/HAUFL28/LL 2500 1280 14.2 

Osram Sylvania PAR-38 90 120 14579 90PARICAP/SPUFL 2500 1300 14.4 14.2 1.4% 
ER/BR Lamps

Baseline: 12

Scenario 1: 14.2

Scenario 2: 18.5

Residential Sector

LPW

LPW

LPW

Halogen Technology

HIR Technology

18% improvement

54% improvement

SCENARIO 1

Technology SCENARIO 2

Equipment Installed Hours Energy Savings Technology Energy

Type Base/Stock Shipments, 2003 Wattage Use/Day Annual TWh AEC rauadsl Primary Potential Savings Potential

ER 626,000 259,942 87.0 2.4 0.05 0.001 0.0001 0.000

BR 133,972,000 60,755,906 68.8 2.4 8.08 0.089 0.0162 0.048

BPAR 4,839,000 1,963,858 135.9 2.4 0.58 0.006 0.0012 0.003

Total 139,437,000 62,979,706 8.70 0.095 0.078 0.044

Savings over Baseline in one year (Quads PEC) 0.0175 0.052

Cumulative savings over Baseline 2010-2035(Quads PEC) 0.42 1.23

Other Sectors

SCENARIO 1

Technology SCENARIO 2

Equipment Installed Hours Energy Savings Technology Energy

Type Base/Stock Shipments, 2003 Wattage Use/Day Annual TWh AEC rauadsl Primary Potential Savings Potential

ER 896,000 1,585,235 87.0 9.7 0.28 0.003 0.0006 0.002

BR 23,621,000 41,788,510 68.8 9.7 5.76 0.063 0.0116 0.034

BPAR 764,000 1,350,761 135.9 9.7 0.37 0.004 0.0007 0.002

Total 25,281,000 44,724,506 6.40 0.070 0.057 0.032

Savings over Baseline in one year (Quads PEC) 0.0129 0.038

Cumulative savings over Baseline 2010-2035(Quads PEC) 0.32 0.94

ALL SECTORS Baseline Scenario 1 Scenario 2

SCENARIO 1

Technology SCENARIO 2

Equipment Installed Energy Savings Technoloav Enerav

Type Base/Stock Shipments, 2003 Wattage AEC rauadsl Primary Potential Savings Potential

ER 1,522,000 1,845,178 87.0 0.004 0.0007 0.002

BR 157,593,000 102,544,416 68.8 0.152 0.0278 0.082

SPAR 5,603,000 3,314,619 135.9 0.010 0.0019 0.006

Total 164,718,000 107,704,213 0.166 0.135 0.076

Savings over Baseline in one year (Quads PEC) 0.0304 0.090

Cumulative savings over Baseline 2010-2035(Quads PEC) 0.741 2.17

3.212 Site to source conversion electricity to Quads PEC

292.997 Units conversion , Terawatt-hrs per Quad

2.28 Residential Shipment weighted life (2003)

0.57 Commercial Shipment weighted life (2003)

1.57 Weighted Average lifetime

25 Years between 2010 and 2035

91.7 Average Unit Energy Consumption (kWh/yr)

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

ERiSR Lamps 

Baseline: 

Scenario 1: 

Scenario 2: 

12 

14.2 

18.5 

Residential Sector 

Eguiement Installed 

Im!t. BaselStock 

ER 626,000 

BR 133,972,000 

BPAR 4,839,000 

Total 139,437,000 

Other Sectors 

Eguiement Installed 

Im!t. Base/Stock 

ER 896,000 

BR 23,621,000 

BPAR 764,000 

Total 25,281,000 

ALL SECTORS 

Eguiement Installed 

Im!t. Base/Stock 

ER 1,522,000 

BR 157,593,000 

BPAR 5,603,000 

Total 164,718,000 

LPW 

LPW 

LPW 

Halogen Technology 

HIR Technology 

18% improvement 

54% improvement 

Shiements, 2003 

259,942 

60,755,906 

1,963,858 

62,979,706 

Siliements, 2003 

1,585,235 

41,788,510 

1,350,761 

44,724,506 

Shiements, 2003 

1,845,178 

102,544,416 

3,314,619 

107,704,213 

Wattage 

87.0 

68.8 

135.9 

Wattage 

87.0 

68.8 

135.9 

87.0 

68.8 

135.9 

Hours 

Use/Dall 

2.4 

2.4 

2.4 

Hours 

Use/Dall 

9.7 

9.7 

9.7 

3.212 Site to source conversion electricity to Quads PEC 

292.997 Units conversion, Terawatt-hrs per Quad 

2.28 Residential Shipment weighted life (2003) 

0.57 Commercial Shipment weighted life (2003) 

1.57 Weighted Average lifetime 

25 Years between 2010 and 2035 

91.7 Average Unit Energy Consumption (kWh/yr) 

AnnualTWh 

AnnualTWh 

0.05 

8.08 

0.58 

8.70 

0.28 

5.76 

0.37 

6.40 

AEC [guads] Prima[ll 

0.001 

0.089 

0.006 

0.095 

Savings over Baseline In one year (Quads PEC) 

Cumulative savings over Baseline 201 0'2035(Quads PEG) 

AEC [guads] Prima[ll 

0.003 

0.063 

0.004 

0.070 

Savings over Baseline In one year (Quads PEC) 

Cumulative savings over Baseline 201 0-2035(Quads PEG) 

Baseline 

AEC [guads] Prima[ll 

0.004 

0.152 

0.010 

0.166 

Savings over Baseline In one year (Quads PEC) 

Cumulative savings over Baseline 201 0·2035(Quads PEC) 

SCENARIO 1 

Technologll 

Energll Savings 

Potential 

0.0001 

0.0162 

0.0012 

0.078 

0.0175 

0.42 

SCENARIO 1 

Technologll 

Energll Savings 

Potential 

0.0006 

0.0116 

0.0007 

0.057 

0.0129 

0.32 

Scenario 1 

SCENARIO 1 

Technologll 

Energll Savings 

Potential 

0.0007 

0.0278 

0.0019 

0.135 

0.0304 

0.74 

SCENARIO 2 

TechnoloQY EnerQY 

SaYings Potential 

0.000 

0.048 

0.003 

0.044 

0.052 

1.23 

SCENARIO 2 

TechnoloavEnerQY 

Savings Potential 

Scenario 2 

0.002 

0.034 

0.002 

0.032 

0.038 

0.94 

SCENARIO 2 

Technoloav EnerQY 

Savings Potential 

0.002 

0.082 

0.006 

0.076 

0.090 

2.17 
.-'He Motor,, 1-205HP, Indunrlel.

See 516¢1241114, file roe loading estimate calcaatl0a.

750 T.M. AS-1 Line I Celeulaticn

Installed base

Orr 2002 Number .1 Ind-del Mor95 (Re16)

Yr 1990

7,306080

3,488,035

1.129 ,527

363,940

220,908

Taal v,00.490

ISO Tabia 55-1 Line 2 Calculelion

Source: Motors and Generators: 2002

US Census Oaeau Mai Issued 5002512003, M4335H102)-1

Nur Spped

Ai me irewion moors, Irritating Erle1O7 Efficient, 05011 i005100170rous

HP Year 2002 Year 2001

1105 897,361 968.959

51,20 427722 497,496

201050 126,045 145,650

501o100 45,044 48924

10010200 29, 770 23,981

Taal 1,526,142 105.010

Allstate] ,aneeal Inbrmelial Iran CENSUS-2002 (rot used in ar7 oatalkliens in report):

None IIUr the delnai0n 0f erorgy etlclent used 9y CENSUS2002 does rte c0re5padwilh arty aher stamkrd defiel0i0n 0rerergy

eMcieama0s. his Eased On etficleruy SlaMartls Oan the 1987 versl.n NE2M MG-i . The EPActand NEAR PremistS018 ierwy

.1834,145 are b01M1 subslamiallydi8erea than That used by CENSUS -2002, which makes the CENSUS-2002 tlam on erorgyeMCient

mdors impossiae to use.

Era, efficient paypila51 induction mans, ercWdinS syncM9mu6

HP 716/2002 Yea12001

1105 94,352 130,876

51020 115, 461 167,250

201050 78,976 71.630

5o10100 44,601 25,465

1961.200 29,270 16.742

Taa 363,160 411,963

Energy 780111 mans (pememaoa p00611 110,1, bycale0ory)

HP Year2002 Yeer2001

1105 10.5 13.S

51020 27.0 33.6

201050 62.7 492

501.100 99.0 52.1

10010200 1004 69.6

408107 ellciem molds (perceaa97 penetration , all 021120115 lhp2001p)

23.8 24.4

750 Table lG-1 IIr.4 CMculetlas

1994 Induat,el motors AEC (kWh) Source

Mentis67 Eapana,0 Manta Eap

679 10409 6.794.11 OIT 2002, p.1

Fmction41 moor sire energy used by 1.200 hp am Off 2002, P.40

0.561 1 0.561

1994 Ind redo, 1.200M1p AEC (kWh)

381 1.000009 3.010.11

1994 Ind ma051.200Ep AEC (quads)

'593'695'

4.19E+00 'C81.110OOt1E15'

Supporting caicuIMlena for150 T.blm 0X-7,145.41 through AS-A4.

Elficiencystaaked5 roe pas (1800 RPM,) ODP mesas IEPAct-1992)

HP EPACT NEMA PREM

825 85.5

5 875 895

20 91 93

50 93 945

100 94.1 95.4

200 95 955

Ellcieroy standard,1014 pas (1600 RPM,) ODP maps

Fran the 1054001 (HP, 10010nc7) pairs 000061.9 (111P , 82.5%) 406 (SHP. 875%)). we calcaae merales Or

the Inge 1601 -SHP class is represented by (311P, 85%) par found by averagilg boundary Mill.

HP EPACT(4) NEMAPREM (5) HPAVG

105 675 3

51020 89.525 9125 12.5

201050 92 93.75 35

50 1.100 93.55 94.95 75

10010200 94.55 95.6 150

5001ce: 0172002, Taae SIC 20.39, O.eeall ManuhcNlrg, P. 62. 'w'" ennansts, Mai

HP OPieurs (1) LOa5ieg (2) Delault EB. (3) EPACTeg (ran 4) NEMAPrem (1,0185)

1105 2745 0.566 02 85 875

51020 3391 0.517 86.5 89.25 91.25

201050 4067 0571 90 92 93.75

5010100 $329 0.522 91.5 93.55 94.95

100(0200 5200 0461 92.5 94.55 95.6

(1) OrE 2002, p. B-2

(2) SRC: Eeleae4 load calculation (roll sheet 2 701611-200HP

(3) SRC: OM 2002, Table 2.10.0.65,1000 RPM, midrange value taken (le, this table is vary fila0ralrod, l-(.SHP, 1.5.2HP, act.

We poked an eflcierwyin the middle a arrHP mrges.

(4) See caanns 878-082, '..led (4) ab640

(5) See caumns d e C82. labeled (5) 00,1.0

(6) OM 2002, p. R-2

uEC DEFAULT UEC =PACT UEC NEMA Number Of Was (6) AEC DEFAULT AEC =PACT AECNEMAP HP EPACT Savings NEMAPSavings Bero51 ( MWh) 6eeefi1(quads) Benefit 2010 . 2035 ( 00) Benefit 2010 . 2035 (quads)

424E+03

1.890.04

4.090003

1.834004

3.97E.o3

1.794.04

7,306580

3,288535

3.104010

6.210410

2994010

6.02=010

2.904.10

5.690410

1105

51,20

1.09E+09

191E+09

1950409

3230409

8.544.08

1.324009

05094

05145

1598010

2.31E+10

0.1644

02541

6.74E+04 6590004 647E+04 1,129527 7.1.10 7A4Et10 7310010 201050 1.65409 524E009 1.39=009 00153 2430010 02675

1.70405

4.16405

1.660.05

4570405

1.640405

4.02=005

363.940

220.908

6.194.10

9.194.10

6. 054010

8.99E+ 10

5.970410

8.690010

5000100

10010200

1.365.09

1 . 990009

2250009

2584009

833406

9.870400

05098

0.0109

1.56=.10

0.73=010

0.1719

0.1900

.. 76E.05 6.51405 6.530.05 1.20E+0T 020411 0.154.11 610E+11 Total l-200HP 6.015.00 1.055010 0,64400 05599 9.530.10

Comes ana, e Ioquadslo

5anirycheck. W94shald

eg0rcdnnn Nequal 796.

1.05400)

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Electtlc Motor:s,,-200HP, rndustrlal. 

See sheel 2 oflhis file for loading estimale calcutatiOOS. 

TSO TobIe AS-l Uno 1 Calculotlon 

Inslalledbase 

orr 2002 Number of Industrial Motors (Ref6) 

Yr1998 

7,306,080 

3,288,035 

1,129,527 

363,940 

220,908 

TOIal 12,308,490 

TSO Tabla AS-' Llna 2 Cah::ulallon 

Soorce:MoI.o<'sandGenerators:2002 

US Census Bureau report, Issued August 2003, Mr\335H(02)'1 

Numbershlpped 

AU polyphase IndUC1ioomolors,lnelllding EnergyElficlent,exc;llldingsyochrooous 

HP Year 2002 Year 2001 

1105 897,361 968,959 

51020 427,922 497,496 

201050 126,045 145,650 

5010100 45,044 48.924 

10010200 29.nO 23,961 

Tolal 1,526,142 1.685,010 

Additional genera! Infoonatioo from CENSU5-2002 (not used in any calculations In report): 

NOIe InaT the defill!tion of energy efficient used by CENSUS.2002 does IlOI correspond with any other standard definition of energy 

efficient motors. If Is based on effiCiency standards 1rom the 1987 version NBM MG·!, The EPAct and NEMA. PremIum efficiency 

standards are both subslantiallydi/ferent than thaI used byCENSUS-20o;~, which makes the C8'oISUS.2002 dala on energyeflicienl 

motors impossible to use. 

Energyeflicienl polyphase induction molors,excfudingsyochrooous 

HP Year 2002 Year2001 

1105 94,352 130,876 

5T020 115,461 167,250 

201050 76,976 71,630 

5010100 44,601 25,-465 

10010200 29,nO 16,742 

ToIa! 363,160 411,963 

Energy efficient motors (percenlage penetration,bycalegexy) 

HP Year 2002 Year2001 

1105 10.5 13.5 

51020 27.0 33.6 

201050 62.7 49.2 

5010100 99.0 52.1 

10010200 100.0 69.6 

Energy efficient molors (percenlage penetratioo, a1t categories lhp-200hp) 

TSO Tabl. AS-l IIna4 Calculat!em 

1994Indu$trlal motor:s AEC (kWh) 

MantlS!.la Expon8l1t MantxExp 

23.8 24.4 

679 1.00E .. 09 6.79E .. l1 

Fraction of molorsys energy used by 1·200 hpmOlors 

0.561 1 0.561 

1994 Iodmolors 1·200hpAEC (kWh) 

381 1.00E+09 3.61E .. t1 

1994Iodmolors1-200hpAEC{quads) 

4.19E+00 

Soureu 

orr2002,p.l 

OIT2002,p.40 

'A93'B93" 

'C81-!100011E15-

Supporting <::alculatlcns forTSO Tables 16-7, AS-Allhrough AS-M. 

Elficiencystandards for 4 pole (1800 RPMS) OOP motors (EPAct-1992) 

HP EPACT NEMA PREM 

1 82.5 65.5 

5 67.5 69.5 

20 91 93 

50 93 94.5 

100 94.1 95.4 

200 95 95.6 

Efficiency slandards for 4 pole (1BOO APMS) OOP motors 

From the Individual (HP, efficiency) pairs above leg (IHP, 62.5%) and (5HP, 87.5%)). we calculale averaoes for 

II\e range leo 1-5HPclasSlsrepresented by(3HP,65%) pa!r found by averaging boundary paIr). 

HP EPACT (4) NBM PAEM (5) HP AVG 

1105 65 67.5 3 

51020 89.25 91.25 12.5 

201050 92 93.75 35 

50 to 100 93.55 94.95 75 

10010200 94.55 95.6 

Source: OIT 2002, Table SIC 20·39. Overall Manufacturing, p. 62. unless oIherwlse noted 

HP Ophours(l) Loading (2) Oefault E/f. (3) EPACT eft (from 4) NBM Prem (from 5) 

1105 2745 0.566 " 85 ,,. 51020 3391 0.517 66.5 89.25 91.25 

201050 '067 0.571 90 92 93.75 

5010100 5329 0.522 91.5 93.55 94.95 

10010200 5200 0.661 92.5 94.55 95.6 

(1) Orr2002,p. B·2 

(2) SAC: &pected load calculation from sheet 2 TotaI1-2GOHP 

(3) SRC: orr 2002, Table 2-10. p. 65, 1800 RPM, midrange value laken (Ie. this lable is very finegralned, H.5HP, 1.5·2HP, elc), 

We picked an efficiency in lhe mIddle of OIJI'HP ranges. 

(4) See columns B7l1-B62,Jabeled (4) above 

(5) See columns C7I1-C62, labeled (5) above 

(6) OIT 2002,p. B-2 

UECOEFAULT UECEPACT UEC NEtM Number of Motors (6) AECOEFAULT AEC EPACT 

4.24E .. 03 4.091:+03 3.97E .. oa 7,306,080 3.10E+l0 2.99E .. ,0 

1.89E+04 1.83E .. 04 1.79E .. 04 3.286.035 6,21E+l0 6.02E .. l0 

6.14E+04 6.59Et04 6,47E .. 04 1,129,527 7.61E+l0 7.44E+l0 

1,70E .. 05 1.66E .. 05 1.64E .. 05 363.940 6.19E+l0 6.05E .. l0 

4.16E+05 4.07E+05 4.02E+05 220.906 9.19E"'0 8.99E .. l0 

6.76E,,05 6.61E+05 1.23E+07 3.23E+11 3.16E+11 

AECNEWAP HP EPACT Savings NEMA.P Savings 

2.90E .. 1O 1105 1,09E .. 09 1.95E .. 09 

5.69E+l0 51020 1.91E .. 09 3.23E .. 09 

7.31E+l0 201050 1.65E .. 09 3.04E .. 09 

5.971:+10 5010100 1.36E .. 09 2.25E+09 

8.89E+l0 10010200 1.59E+09 2.98E+09 

3,10E+11 Tota11_200HP 1.35E+l0 

Bencfit(kWh) 

8.54E .. 08 

1.32E+09 

1.39E+09 

8.93E .. 08 

9.67E .. 08 

5,44E+09 

8enefil(quads) 

0.0094 

0.Q145 

0.0153 

0.0098 

0.0109 

8enefil 2QtO-2035 (kWh) 

1.49E .. l0 

2.31E+l0 

2.43E .. l0 

I.SSE+l0 

1.73E+l0 

0.0599 9.53E+l0 

Convenaboveloquadsfor 

sanilyclle1:k.W94shouid 

a~matelyequal V96. 

1.05E .. 00 

Benefit 2010·2035 (quads) 

0.1644 

02541 

02675 

0.1719 

0.1900 
Electric Motors, 1-200HP, Industrial.

This is sheet 2 of the Industrial calculations file. This sheet contains loading estimate calculations. See sheet 1 for main industrial calculations.

Loading calculation: find expected value of load given load 'distribution' data from OIT 2002.

These expected loading values are used in Sheet 1 of this file for the Industrial Motors UEC/AEC calculation.

Data from Table 1-19, Loading by Horsepower, of OIT 2002, p. 46:

Loading HP Category

1 to 5 HP 6 to 20 HP 21 to 50 HP 51 to 100 HP 101 to 200 HP 200+ HP

40%" 42 48 39 45 24 40

"40 to 120® 54 51 60 54 75 58

"> 120%" 4 1 1 0 1 2

Total (%) 100 100 100 99 100 100

The entries in the table represent the population (percentage) of motors in the size class (column) with a particular

loading level, specified as a percent of rated load.

Assumptions:

1. Distribution of loading is uniform within class ...ie, p(load) is uniform in 0-40% loading class, 40-120% class

2. The > 120% class is not populated beyond 130

Breaks in probability distribution:

0 0 0 0 0 0

40 40 40 40 40 40

120 120 120 120 120 120

130 130 130 130 130 130

Probability to find a particular load value.

HP Category

1 to 5 HP 6 to 20 HP 21 to 50 HP 51 to 100 HP 101 to 200 HP 200+ HP

"0 to 40%" 0.0105 0.012 0.00975 0.01125 0.006 0.01

"40 to 120° 0.00675 0.006375 0.0075 0.00675 0.009375 0.00725

"120 to 13C 0.004 0.001 0.001 0 0.001 0.002

Normalization (check)

1 1 1 0.99 1 1

Expected value of load (integral p(x)*x). These values are used in sheet 1. Units: percentage

56.6 51.7 57.1 52.2 66.1 56.9

Average across all size classes: 56.7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Electric Motors, 1-200HP, Industrial. 

This is sheet 2 of the Industrial calculations file. This sheet contains loading estimate calculations. See sheet 1 for main industrial calculations. 

Loading calculation: find expected value of load given load 'distribution' data from OIT 2002. 

These expected loading values are used in Sheet 1 of this file for the Industrial Motors UEC/AEC calculation. 

Data from Table 1-19, Loading by Horsepower, of OIT 2002, p. 46: 

Loading HP Category 

1 to 5 HP 6 to 20 HP 21 to 50 HP 51 to 100 HP 101 to 200 HP 200+ HP 

"< 40%" 42 48 39 45 24 40 

"40 to 120~ 54 51 60 54 75 58 

"> 120%" 4 1 1 0 1 2 

Total (%) 100 100 100 99 100 100 

The entries in the table represent the population (percentage) of motors in the size class (column) with a particular 

loading level, specified as a percent of rated load. 

Assumptions: 

1. Distribution of loading is uniform within class .. .ie, p(load) is uniform in 0-40% loading class, 40-120% class 

2. The> 120% class is not populated beyond 130 

Breaks in probability distribution: 

0 0 0 0 

40 40 40 40 

120 120 120 120 

130 130 130 130 

Probability to find a particular load value. 

HP Category 

1 to 5 HP 6 to 20 HP 21 to 50 HP 51 to 100 HP 

"0 to 40%" 

"40 to 120~ 

"120 to 13C 

0.Q1 05 0.012 0.00975 0.01125 

0.00675 0.006375 0.0075 0.00675 

0.004 0.001 0.001 0 

Normalization (check) 

1 0.99 

0 0 

40 40 

120 120 

130 130 

101 to 200 HP 200+ HP 

0.006 0.01 

0.009375 0.00725 

0.001 0.002 

Expected value of load (integral p(x)*x). These values are used in sheet 1. Units: percentage 

56.6 51.7 57.1 52.2 66.1 56.9 

Average across all size classes: 56.7 
Pool Heaters (gas)

(Efficiency improvement Level electronic ignition

Discount rate l 7%

Discount to year 2003

Product lifetime (to nearest year) 15

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $)

0.29

$0.40

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Pool Heaters (gas) 

1 Efficiency Improvement Level electronic ignition NES (quads) 0.291 

1 Discount rate NPV (billion $) $0.401 

1 Discount to year 20()S3 

1 Product lifetime (to nearest year) 151 
Pool Heater Shipments and Stock

ear

New

Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

Base Operating

Cost

Effic.

Improv.

Operating

Cost

Annual

Friel Cost

Savings

PVAnnual

Fuel Cost

Savings

PV

Cumulative

Friel Cost

Savings

Delta Unit

Price

Total

Incremental

Equip. Cost

PV Total

Incremental

Equip Cost

PV

Cumulative

Equip. Cost

Net

Cumulative

PV

Million million MMBTU/vr MMBTU/vr goods rods mods mods billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $

2001 0.20 2.41 31 31 0.080 0.080 $ 0.70 $ 0.70

2002 0.21 2.49 31 31 0.082 0.082 $ 0.58 S 0.58

2003 0.21 2.56 31 31 0.085 0.085 S 0.71 $ 0.71

2004 0.21 2.64 31 31 0.087 0.087 $ 0.71 $ 0.71

2005 0.21 2,71 31 31 0.090 0.090 $ 0.69 S 0.69

2006 0.21 2.77 31 31 0.092 0.092 $ 0.69 $ 0.69

2007 0.21 2.83 31 31 0.094 0.094 $ 0.70 $ 0.70

2008 0.21 2.88 31 31 0.096 0.096 $ 0.71 S 0.71

2009 0.21 2.93 31 31 0.097 0.097 $ 0.70 $ 0.70

2010 0,21 2.97 31 26 0.098 0.097 0.001 0.001 $ 0.69 S 0.69 S 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.00 $ 120 $ (0.02) S (0.02) $ (0.02) $ (0.01)

2011 0.21 3.00 31 26 0.099 0.097 0.002 0.003 $ 0.71 8 0.70 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 120 $ (0.02) 5 (0.01) $ (0.03) 5 (0.02)

2012 0.21 3.03 31 26 0.100 0.097 0.003 0.006 5 0.73 5 0.71 $ 0.02 $ 0.01 $ 0.02 $ 120 5 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.04) 5 (0.02)

2013 0.21 3.05 31 26 0.101 0.097 0.004 0.010 $ 0.75 $ 0.72 $ 0.03 $ 0.02 $ 0.04 $ 120 $ (0.02) 5 (0.01) $ (0.06) $ (0.02)

2014 0.21 3.06 31 26 0.102 0.097 0.005 0.015 5 0.77 $ 0.73 $ 0.04 $ 0.02 $ 0.06 $ 120 $ (0.02) 0 (0.01) $ (0.07) $ (0.01)

2015 0.21 3.07 31 26 0.102 0.096 0.006 0.021 5 0.78 $ 0.73 $ 0.05 $ 0.02 S 0.08 S 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.08) $ 0.00

2016 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.095 0.007 0.028 S 0.78 $ 0.73 5 0.05 5 0.02 $ 0.10 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.09) $ 0.01

2017 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.094 0.008 0.036 $ 0.78 $ 0.72 $ 0.06 $ 0.02 $ 0.12 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.10) $ 0.03

2018 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.093 0.009 0.045 $ 0.78 $ 0.71 $ 0.07 5 0.02 $ 0.15 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) 5 (0.11) $ 0.04

2019 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.092 0.010 0.055 $ 0.77 $ 0.69 $ 0.08 $ 0.03 $ 0.17 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.12) $ 0.06

2020 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.091 0.011 0.066 $ 0.77 $ 0.69 $ 0.08 $ 0.03 $ 0.20 $ 120 $ (0.02) 5 (0.01) $ (0.12) $ 0,08

2021 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.090 0.012 0.078 $ 0.79 $ 0.70 $ 0.09 $ 0.03 $ 0.23 5 120 $ (0.02) 5 (0.01) 5 (0.13) $ 0.10

2022 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.089 0.013 0.091 $ 0.79 $ 0.69 8 0.10 $ 0.03 $ 0.26 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.14) S 0.12

2023 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.088 0.014 0.105 $ 0.79 S 0.68 $ 0.11 $ 0.03 $ 0.28 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) 5 (0.14) 5 0.14

2024 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.120 $ 0.79 $ 0.67 $ 0.12 $ 0.03 $ 0.31 $ 120 8 (0.02) 0 (0.01) $ (0.15) $ 0.16

2025 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.136 $ 0.78 $ 0.67 $ 0.12 $ 0.03 $ 0.34 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.15) 8 0.18

2026 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.151 $ 0.78 S 0.67 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.36 S 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.16) 8 0.20

2027 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.166 $ 0.78 S 0.67 S 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.39 $ 120 $ (0.02) S (0.00) $ (0.16) 5 0.22

2028 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.181 $ 0.78 0 0.67 0 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.41 $ 120 S (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.17) S 0.24

2029 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.196 5 0.78 S 0.67 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.43 $ 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.17) 9 0.25

2030 021 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.211 $ 0.79 S 0.67 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.45 $ 120 $ (0.02) 8 (0.00) $ (0.18) 1% 0.27

2031 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.226 $ 0.79 $ 0.67 8 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.46 S 120 $ (0.02) 5 (0.00) 5 (0.18) S 0.28

2032 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.241 $ 0.79 S 0.67 5 0.12 5 0.02 $ 0.48 S 120 $ (0.02) 8 (0.00) 5 (0.18) $ 0.30

2033 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.256 $ 0.79 $ 0.67 $ 0.12 $ 0.02 $ 0.50 S 120 $ (0.02) 8 (0.00) $ (0.19) $ 0.31

2034 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.271 $ 0.79 $ 0.67 S 0.12 $ 0.01 $ 0.51 S 120 $ (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.19) 5 0.32

2035 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.286 1 0.79 S 0.67 $ 0.12 $ 0.01 $ 0.52 $ 120 $ (0.02) 5 (0.00) 5 (0.19) S 0.33

2036 0 2.87 31 26 0.095 0.081 0.014 0.300 $ 0.73 S 0.63 5 0.11 $ 0.01 $ 0.53 $ (0.19) 5 0.34

2037 0 2.67 31 26 0.088 0.075 0.013 0.313 $ 0.68 $ 0. 58 $ 0.10 $ 0.01 $ 0.54 $ (0.19) $ 0.35

2038 0 2.46 31 26 0.082 0.070 0.012 0.325 $ 0.63 $ 0.54 $ 0.09 $ 0.01 5 0.55 $ (0.19) $ 0.36

2039 0 2.26 31 26 0.075 0.064 0.011 0.336 $ 0.58 $ 0.49 $ 0.09 $ 0.01 $ 0.56 $ (0.19) 8 0.37

2040 0 2.05 31 26 0.068 0.058 0.010 0.346 $ 0.53 $ 0.45 $ 0.08 5 0.01 S 0.57 $ (0.19) 5 0.37

2041 0 1.85 31 26 0.061 0.052 0.009 0.355 S 0.47 S 0.40 S 0.07 S 0.01 5 0.57 $ (0.19) $ 0.38

2042 0 1.64 31 26 0.054 0,046 0.008 0.364 $ 0.42 $ 0.36 $ 0.06 $ 0.00 $ 0.58 $ (0.19) $ 0.38

2043 0 144 31 26 0.048 0.041 0.007 0.371 $ 0.37 $ 0.31 $ 0.05 $ 0.00 $ 0.58 $ (0.19) $ 0.39

2044 0 1.23 31 26 0.041 0.035 0.006 0.377 $ 0.32 $ 0.27 $ 0.05 $ 0.00 $ 0.58 $ (0.19) 1 0.39

2045 0 1.03 31 26 0.034 0.029 0.005 0.382 $ 0.26 5 0.22 $ 0.04 $ 0.00 $ 0.59 $ (0.19) $ 0.39

2046 0 0.82 31 26 0.027 0.023 0,004 0.386 $ 0.21 S 0.18 $ 0.03 5 0.00 $ 0.59 $ (0.19) S 0.39

2047 0 0.62 31 26 0.020 0.017 0,003 0.389 $ 0.16 $ 0.13 $ 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0.59 $ (0.19) S 0.39

2048 0 0.41 31 26 0.014 0.012 0.002 0.391 S 0.11 $ 0.09 S 0.02 $ 0.00 $ 0.59 $ (0.19) 5 0.40

2049 0 0.21 31 26 0.007 0.006 0.001 0.392 S 0,05 5 0.04 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.59 $ (0.19 $ 0.40

2050 0 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 $ $ - $ - $ - $ 0.59 $ (0.19) 5 0.40

2051 0 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 S - $ - S - $ - $ 0.59 $ (0.19) $ 0.40

2052 0 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.59 $ (0.19) $ 0.40

2053 0 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 8 - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.59 5 (0.19) $ 0.40

2054 0 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 0.59 $ (0.19) 1% 0.40

2055 0 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 039 2 S $ $ S $ 0.59 $ (0.19) S 0.40

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Pool Heater Shipments and Stock 

Effie 

New Surviving Improv. Base Total 

Year Shipment Units Base VEC VEC Ellergy 

Effie 

111lprov. 

Total 

Ellergy 

million millioJl MMBTU/YT MMBTU/vr uads /lads 

2001 0.20 2.41 31 31 0.080 0.080 

AIJ1Jl1al 

Ellergy 

Savings 

/lads 

Cumulative 

Energy 

Savings 

ltads 

Effie. 

Improv. 

Base Operating Operating 

Cost Cost 

billion $ billion $ 

$ 0.70 $ 0.70 

2002 0.21 2.49 31 31 0.082 0.082 0.58 0.58 

2003 0.21 2.56 31 31 0.085 0.085 0.71 0.71 

2004 0.21 2.64 31 31 0.087 0.087 0.11 0.71 

2005 0.21 2.71 31 31 0.090 0.090 0.69 0.69 

2006 0.21 2.77 31 31 0.092 0.092 0.69 0.69 

2007 0.21 2.83 31 31 0.094 0.094 0.70 0.70 

2008 0.21 2.88 31 31 0.096 0.096 0.71 0.71 

2009 0.21 2.93 31 31 0.097 0.097 0.70 0.70 

PV 

Anllual PV Annual CUlllulative Total PVTotal PV Net Fllel Cost Fuel Cost Fuel Cost Delta U"i( Incremental Incremental Cumulative Cumulative 

Sav;lJgs Savings Savings Price Equip. Cost EqUip Cost Equip. Cost PV 

billioll $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ 

2010 0.21 2.97 31 26 0.098 0.097 0.001 0.001 0.69 0.69 0.01 0.00 0.00 120 (0.02) $ (0.02) $ (0.02) $ (0.01) 

2011 0.21 3.00 31 26 0.099 0.097 0.002 0.003 $ 0.71 0.70 0.Ql 0.Ql 0.01 120 (0.02) S (O.Ol) $ (0.03) $ (0.02) 

2012 0.21 3.03 31 26 0.100 0.097 0.003 0.006 $ 0.73 0.71 0.02 0.01 0.02 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.04) S (0.02) 

2013 0.21 3.05 31 26 0.101 0.097 0.004 0.010 $ 0.75 0.72 0.03 0.02 0.04 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.06) $ (0.02) 

2014 0.21 3.06 31 26 0.102 0.097 0.005 0.Ql5 $ 0.77 0.73 0.04 0.02 0.06 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.07) $ (0.01) 

2015 0.21 3.07 31 26 0.102 0.096 0.006 0.021 $ 0.78 0.73 0.05 0.02 0.08 120 (O.02) $ (0.0l) $ (0.08) $ 0.00 

2016 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.095 0.007 0.028 $ 0.78 0.73 0.05 0.02 0.10 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.09) $ 0.Ql 

2017 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.094 0.008 0.036 $ 0.78 0.72 0.06 0.02 0.12 120 (0.02) $ (D.0l) $ (D.lO) $ 0.03 

2018 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.093 0.009 0.045 $ 0.78 0.71 0.07 0.02 0.15 120 (0.02) $ (0.0l) $ (0.11) $ 0.04 

2019 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.092 0.010 0.055 $ 0.77 0.69 0.08 0.03 0.17 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.12) $ 0.06 

2020 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.091 0.011 0.066 $ 0.77 0.69 0.08 0.03 0.20 120 (D.02) S (0.01) S <0.12) $ 0.08 

2021 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.090 0.012 0.078 $ 0.79 0.70 0.09 0.03 0.23 120 (0.02) S (0.01) $ (0.13) $ 0.10 

2022 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.089 0.013 0.091 S 0.79 0.69 0.10 0.03 0.26 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (O.l4) S 0.12 

2023 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.088 0.014 0.105 $ 0.79 0.68 0.11 0.Q3 0.28 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.14) $ 0.14 

2024 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.Ql5 0.120 $ 0.79 0.67 0.12 0.Q3 0.31 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) S (0.15) $ 0.16 

2025 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.Ql5 0.136 $ 0.78 0.67 0.12 0.03 0.34 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (D.l5) $ 0.18 

2026 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.Ql5 0.151 $ 0.78 0.67 0.12 0.02 0.36 120 (0.02) $ (0.01) $ (0.16) S 0.20 

2027 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.166 $ 0.78 0.67 0.12 0.02 0.39 120 (0.02) $ (0.00) S (0.16) $ 0.22 

2028 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.181 $ 0.78 0.67 0.12 0.02 0.41 120 (0.02) S (0.00) S (0.17) $ 0.24 

2029 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.196 $ 0.78 0.67 0.12 0.02 0.43 120 (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.17) .$ 0.25 

2030 0.21 3.0& 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.Ql5 0.211 $ 0.79 0.67 0.12 0.02 0.45 120 (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.18) S 0.27 

2031 0.21 3.0& 31 26 0.lD2 0.087 0.Ql5 0.226 S 0.79 0.67 0.12 0.02 OA6 120 (0.02) $ (0.00) S (0.18) $ 0.28 

2032 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.241 $ 0.79 0.67 0.12 0.02 0.4& 120 (0.02) S (0.00) $ (0.18) $ 0.30 

2033 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.0&7 0.DI5 0.256 $ 0.79 0.67 0.12 0.02 0.50 120 (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.19) .$ 0.31 

2034 0.21 3.08 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.015 0.271 $ 0.79 0.67 0.12 0.01 0.51 120 (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.19) S 0.32 

2035 0.21 3.0& 31 26 0.102 0.087 0.DI5 0.286 $ 0.79 0.67 0.12 0.01 0.52 $ 120 (0.02) $ (0.00) $ (0.19) S 0.33 

2036 2.87 31 26 0.095 0.081 0.014 0.300 $ 0.73 0.63 0.11 0.01 0.53 $ (0.19) $ 0.34 

2037 2.67 31 26 0.088 0.075 0.013 0.313 $ 0.68 0.58 0.10 O.oI 0.54 (0.19) 5 0.35 

2038 2.46 31 26 0.082 0.070 0.012 0.325 $ 0.63 0.54 0.09 0.01 0.55 (0.19) $ 0.36 

2039 2.26 31 26 0.075 0.064 0.011 0.336 $ 0.58 OA9 0.09 0.01 0.56 (0.19) .$ 0.37 

2040 2.05 31 26 0.068 0.058 O.OlD 0.346 S 0.53 OA5 0.08 0.01 0.57 (0.19) .$ 0.37 

2041 1.85 31 26 0.061 0.052 0.009 0.355 S 0.47 0.40 0.07 0.01 0.57 (0.19) $ 0.38 

2042 1.64 31 26 0.054 0.046 0.008 0.364 .$ 0.42 0.36 0.06 0.00 0.58 (0.19) $ 0.38 

2043 1.44 31 26 0.048 0.041 0.007 0.371 $ 0.37 0.31 0.05 0.00 0.58 (0.19) $ 0.39 

2044 1.23 31 26 0.041 0.035 0.006 0.377 $ 0.32 0.27 0.05 0.00 0.58 (0.19) $ 0.39 

2045 1.03 31 26 0.034 0.029 0.005 0.382 $ 0.26 $ 0.22 0.04 0.00 0.59 (0.19) S 0.39 

2046 0.82 31 26 0.027 0.023 0.004 0.386 $ 0.21 0.18 0.03 0.00 0.59 (0.19) .$ 0.39 

2047 0.62 31 26 0.020 0.017 0.003 0.389 $ 0.16 0.13 0.02 0.00 0.59 <0.19) $ 0.39 

2048 0.41 31 26 0.014 0.012 0.002 0.39( $ O.ll 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.59 (0.19) $ 0.40 

2049 0.21 31 26 0.007 0.006 0.001 0.392 .$ 0,05 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.59 (0.19) $ OAO 

2050 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 S 0.59 (0.19) S OAO 

2051 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 S 0.59 (0.19) .$ OAO 

2052 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 $ 0.59 (0.19) S OAO 

2053 0.00 31 26 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.392 $ 0.59 (0.19) S OAO 

~~;L_ I ____ ~ ____ ~~:~:~ ____ ~~~:L_ ____ ~~~~ ____ ~~~:~~ ____ ~~:~~~~~~:~~O~J_ __ ~~~:~~:d~~:~ ____ ~~~ ____ ~~ ____ ~~ __ ~~~ ____ ~~:~~:~ ______ L-______ -L ________ LL __ ~:~~:~::~;u:~ __ ~~~::~~ 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1982 0.116

1983 0.118

1984 0.121

1985 0.123

1986 0.125

1987 0.127

1988 0.130

1989 0.1 32

1990 0.1 34

1991 0.1 41

1992 0.1 47

1993 0.1 54

1994 0.1 60

1995 0.1 67

1996 0.1 73

1997 0.1 78

1998 0.184

1999 0.189

2000 0.195

2001 0.200

2002 0.205

2003 0.205

2004 0.205

2005 0.205

2006 0.205

2007 0.205

2008 0.205

2009 0.205

2010 0.205

2011 0.205

2012 0.205

2013 0.205

2014 0.205

2015 0.205

2016 0.205

2017 0.205

2018 0.205

2019 0.205

2020 0.205

2021 0.205

2022 0.205

2023 0.205

2024 0.205

2025 0.205

2026 0.205

2027 0.205

2028 0.205

2029 0.205

2030 0.205

2031 0.205

2032 0.205

2033 0.205

2034 0.205

2035 0.205

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year Projected 

1982 0.116 

1983 0.118 

1984 0.121 

1985 0.123 

1986 0.125 

1987 0.127 

1988 0.130 

1989 0.132 

1990 0.134 

1991 0.141 

1992 0;147 

1993 9·154 

1994 0.160 

1995 0.167 

1996 0.173 

1997 0.178 

1998 0.184 

1999 0.189 

2000 0:195 

2001 0,200 

2002 0.205 

2003 0.205 

2004 0.205 

2005 0.205 

2006 0.205 

2007 0.205 

2008 0.205 

2009 0.205 

2010 0.205 

2011 0.205 

2012 0.205 

2013 0.205 

2014 0.205 

2015 0.205 

2016 0.205 

2017 0.205 

2018 0.205 

2019 0.205 

2020 0.205 

2021 0.205 

2022 0.205 

2023 0.205 

2024 0.205 

2025 0.205 

2026 0.205 

2027 0.205 

2028 0.205 

2029 0.205 

2030 0.205 

2031 0.205 

2032 0.205 

2033 0.205 

2034 0.205 

2035 0.205 
Efficiency Level

Base

electronic ignition

non-condensing limit

condensing

- induced draft

condensing - pulse

UEC (MMBTU/yr) Unit Price(2002$) Unit Price ( 1990$)

30.5 $ 1,785 $ 1,297 1990 CPI 130.7

26.0 $ 1,905 $ 1,384 2002 CPI 179.9

24.7 $ 2,080 $ 1,511

22.4 $ 3,196 $ 2,322

21.2 $ 4,318 $ 3,137

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Efficiency Level 

Base 

electronic ignition 

non-condensing limit 

condensing - induced draft 

condensing - pulse 

UEC (MMBTU/yr) Unit Price(2002$) 

30.5 $ 1,785 

26.0 $ 1,905 

24.7 $ 2,080 

22.4 $ 3,196 

21.2 $ 4,318 

Unit Price (1990$) 

$ 1,297 

$ 1,384 

$ 1,511 

$ 2,322 

$ 3,137 

1990 CPI 

2002 CPI 

130.7 

179.9 
Detailed UEC and Price Calculations

Design option

Price

1990$

UEC

MMBtu/y

Baseline 1297 30.5

electronic ignition 1384 26.0

non-condensing limit 1511 24.7

condensing (induced draft) 2322 22.4

condensing (pulse) 3137 21.2

Source: Reference [1], price from Table 4.1, pg 4-3, UED from pg 3-2.

[1] U.S. Department of Energy-Office of Codes and Standards, Technical Support Document: Energy Efficiency Standards for Consumer Products: Room

Air Conditioners, Water Heaters, Direct Heating Equipment, Mobile Home Furnaces, Kitchen Ranges and Ovens, Pool Heaters, Fluorescent Lamp

Ballasts & Television Sets, Washington, DC DOE/EE-0009, 1993. Volume G.

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Detailed UEC and Price Calculations 

Price UEC 

Design option 1990$ MMBtu/y 

Baseline 1297 30.5 

electronic ignition 1384 26.0 

non-condensing limit 1511 24.7 

condensing (induced draft) 2322 22.4 

condensing (pulse) 3137 21.2 

Source: Reference [1], price from Table 4.1, pg 4-3, UED from pg 3-2. 

[1] U.S. Department of Energy-Office of Codes and Standards, Technical Support Document: Energy Efficiency Standards for Consumer Products: Room 

Air Conditioners, Water Heaters, Direct Heating Equipment, Mobile Home Furnaces, Kitchen Ranges and Ovens, Pool Heaters, Fluorescent Lamp 

Ballasts & Television Sets, Washington, DC DOE/EE-0009, 1993. Volume G. 
Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu

Residential natural gas

Conv Factor

source/site

2001 1.09

2002 1.09

2003 1.09 calculated from AEO 2004:

2004 1.09 natural gas transmission and distribution losses =

2005 1.09 8%

2006 1.09

2007 1.09

2008 1.09

2009 1.09

2010 1.09

2011 1.09

2012 1.09

2013 1.09

2014 1.09

2015 1.09

2016 1.09

2017 1.09

2018 1.09

2019 1.09

2020 1.09

2021 1.09

2022 1.09

2023 1.09

2024 1.09

2025 1.09

2026 1.09

2027 1.09

2028 1.09

2029 1.09

2030 1.09

2031 1.09

2032 1.09

2033 1.09

2034 1.09

2035 1.09

2036 1.09

2037 1.09

2038 1.09

2039 1.09

2040 1.09

2041 1.09

2042 1.09

2043 1.09

2044 1.09

2045 1.09

2046 1.09

2047 1.09

2048 1.09

2049 1.09

2050 1.09

2051 1.09

2052 1.09

2053 1.09

2054 1.09

2055 1.09

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site BTU to primary Btu 

Residential natural gas 

Conv Factor 

source/site 

2001 1.09 

2002 1.09 

2003 1.09 

2004 1.09 

2005 1.09 

2006 1.09 

2007 1.09 

2008 1.09 

2009 1.09 

2010 1.09 

2011 1.09 

2012 1.09 

2013 1.09 

2014 1.09 

2015 1.09 

2016 1.09 

2017 1.09 

2018 1.09 

2019 1.09 

2020 1.09 

2021 1.09 

2022 1.09 

2023 1.09 

2024 1.09 

2025 1.09 

2026 1.09 

2027 1.09 

2028 1.09 

2029 1.09 

2030 1.09 

2031 1.09 

2032 1.09 

2033 1.09 

2034 1.09 

2035 1.09 

2036 1.09 

2037 1.09 

2038 1.09 

2039 1.09 

2040 1.09 

2041 1.09 

2042 1.09 

2043 1.09 

2044 1.09 

2045 1.09 

2046 1.09 

2047 1.09 

2048 1.09 

2049 1.09 

2050 1.09 

2051 1.09 

2052 1.09 

2053 1.09 

2054 1.09 

2055 1.09 

calculated from AEO 2004: 

natural gas transmission and distribution losses = 

8% 
Fuel Price

Natural Gas

$/MMBTU $/1000 ft3

2001 954 9.79 from AEO 2004

2002 7.66 7.86 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 9.04 9.29

2004 8.83 9.07 1.027 MMBTU/1000 ft3

2005 8.40 8.63

2006 8.20 8.42

2007 8.09 8.31

2008 8.04 8.26

2009 7.81 8.02

2010 7.68 7.88

2011 7.81 8.02

2012 7.94 8.16

2013 8.10 8.32

2014 8.19 8.41

2015 8.30 8.52

2016 8.31 8.53

2017 8.31 8.53

2018 8.25 8.48

2019 8.17 8.40

2020 8.24 8.47

2021 8.41 8.64

2022 8.39 8.62

2023 8.38 8.61

2024 8.37 8.60

2025 8.33 8.56

2026 8.34

2027 8.34

2028 8.34

2029 8.35

2030 8.37

2031 8.38

2032 8.38

2033 8.38

2034 8.38

2035 8.38

2036 8.38

2037 8.39

2038 8.39

2039 8.39

2040 8.40

2041 8.40

2042 8.4 0

2043 8.41

2044 8.41

2045 8.41

2046 8.42

2047 9.-,1 2

2048 8.42

2049 8.43

2050 8.43

2051 8.44

2052 8.44

2053 8.44

2054 8.45

2055 8.45

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Fuel Price 

Natural Gas 

$IMMBTU $/1000 ft3 

2001 954 9.79 from AEO 2004 

2002 7.66 7.86 c" .... c.,~ .• _c_~._.i,.: . .: based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

2003 9.04 9.29 

2004 8.83 9.07 1.027 MMBTU/lOOO ft3 

2005 8.40 8.63 

2006 8.20 8.42 

2007 8.09. 8.31 

2008 8.04- 8.26 

2009 7.81 8.02 

2010 7.68 7:88 

2011 7:81 8.02 

2012 7;94 8.16 

2013 S;lQ 8.32 

2014 8:19 8.41 

2015 8.30 .852 

2016 8.31 8.53 

2017 8.31 8.5.3 

2018 825 8;48 

2019 &.17 8.40 

2020 8.2L!- 8.47 

2021 8.41 8:64 

2022 8:39 8,62 

2023 8.61 

2024 8.60 

2025 ·8.56 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

Page 7 
Battery Chargers and Power Supplies

Product lifetime Current stock 2002 shipments

NES (cumulative

quads, 2010 to 2035)

2 years 140,800,000 57,000,000 0.14

4 years 205,886,188 56,967,555 0.48

5 years 44,891,628 9,000,157 0.13

6 years 318,656,272 65,738,211 1.01

7 years 25,429,200 3,632,743 0.05

10 years 3,200,000 320,000 0.03

All 1.83

Improving the efficiency of the current distribution of power supplies to a minimum of 80% efficiency

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Battery Chargers and Power Supplies 

NES (cumulative 

Product lifetime Current stock 2002 shipments quads, 2010 to 2035) 

2 years 140,800,000 57,000,000 0.14 

4 years 205,886,188 56,967,555 0.48 

5 years 44,891,628 9,000,157 0.13 

6 years 318,656,272 65,738,211 1.01 

7 years 25,429,200 3,632,743 0.05 

10 years 3,200,000 320,000 0.03 

All 1.83 

Improving the efficiency of the current distribution of power supplies to a minimum of 80% efficiency 
Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock

ear ew Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effie

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effie

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr quads quads quads quads

2001 140.80 14 14 0.022 0.022

2002 56.97 127.37 14 14 0.020 0.020

2003 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018

2004 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018

2005 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018

2006 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018

2007 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018

2008 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018

2009 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.017 0.017

2010 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.015 0.003 0.003

2011 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.006 0.008

2012 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.014

2013 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.019

2014 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.025

2015 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.030

2016 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.035

2017 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.041

2018 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.046

2019 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.052

2020 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.057

2021 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.062

2022 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.068

2023 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.073

2024 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.078

2025 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.083

2026 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.089

2027 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.094

2028 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.099

2029 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.104

2030 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.110

2031 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.115

2032 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.120

2033 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.125

2034 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.130

2035 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.135

2036 0 56.97 14 10 0.008 0.006 0.003 0.138

2037 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2038 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2039 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2040 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2041 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2042 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2043 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2044 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2045 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2046 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2047 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2048 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2049 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2050 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2051 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2052 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2053 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2054 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

2055 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock 

Effie 

Effie Improv. Annual Cumulative 

Surviving Improv. Base Total Total Energy Energy 

Year New Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings 

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr quads quads I quads quads 

2001 140.80 14 14 0.022 0.022 

2002 56.97 127.37 14 14 0.020 0.020 

2003 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018 

2004 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018 

2005 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.018 

2006 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.018 0.Q18 

2007 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.Q18 0.018 

2008 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.Q18 0.018 

2009 56.97 113.94 14 14 0.017 0.017 

2010 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.Ql5 0.003 0.003 

2011 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.006 0.008 

2012 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.014 

2013 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.019 

2014 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.025 

2015 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.030 

2016 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.035 

2017 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.041 

2018 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.046 

2019 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.012 0.005 0.052 

2020 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.057 

2021 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.062 

2022 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.068 

2023 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.073 

2024 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.078 

2025 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.01l 0.005 0.083 

2026 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.089 

2027 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.017 0.011 0.005 0.094 

2028 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.099 

2029 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.104 

2030 56.97 ll3.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.110 

2031 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.115 

2032 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.120 

2033 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.125 

2034 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.130 

2035 56.97 113.94 14 10 0.016 0.011 0.005 0.135 

2036 0 56.97 14 10 0.008 0.006 0.003 0.138 

2037 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2038 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2039 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2040 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2041 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2042 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2043 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2044 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2045 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2046 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2047 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2048 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2049 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2050 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2051 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2052 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2053 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2054 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 

2055 0 0.00 14 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.138 
Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock

ear ew Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

million million kwhlyr kwhlyr quads quads quads quads

2001 205.89 26 26 0.059 0.059

2002 56.97 211.38 26 26 0.060 0.060

2003 56.97 216.88 26 26 0.061 0.061

2004 56.97 222.37 26 26 0.062 0.062

2005 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064

2006 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064

2007 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064

2008 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064

2009 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.063 0.063

2010 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.063 0.058 0.005 0.005

2011 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.063 0.053 0.010 0.015

2012 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.063 0.047 0.015 0.030

2013 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.051

2014 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.071

2015 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.091

2016 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.111

2017 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.131

2018 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.150

2019 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.170

2020 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.190

2021 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.210

2022 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.020 0.229

2023 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.020 0.249

2024 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.020 0.268

2025 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.019 0.288

2026 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.040 0.019 0.307

2027 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.040 0.019 0.326

2028 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.040 0.019 0.346

2029 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.365

2030 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.384

2031 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.403

2032 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.423

2033 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.442

2034 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.461

2035 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.058 0.039 0.019 0.480

2036 0 170.90 26 17 0.044 0.030 0.014 0.494

2037 0 113.94 26 17 0.029 0.020 0.009 0.503

2038 0 56.97 26 17 0.014 0.010 0.005 0.508

2039 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2040 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2041 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2042 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2043 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2044 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2045 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2046 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2047 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2048 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2049 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2050 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2051 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2052 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2053 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2054 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

2055 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock 

Effie 

Effie Improv. Annual Cumulative 

Surviving Improv. Base Total Total Energy Energy 

Year New Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings 

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr I quads I quads iquads I quads 

2001 205.89 26 26 0.059 0.059 

2002 56.97 211.38 26 26 0.060 0.060 

2003 56.97 216.88 26 26 0.061 0.061 

2004 56.97 222.37 26 26 0.062 0.062 

2005 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064 

2006 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064 

2007 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064 

2008 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.064 0.064 

2009 56.97 227.87 26 26 0.063 0.063 

2010 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.063 0.058 0.005 0.005 

2011 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.063 0.053 0.010 0.Dl5 

2012 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.063 0.047 0.015 0.030 

2013 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.051 

2014 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.071 

2015 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.091 

2016 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.062 0.042 0.020 0.111 

2017 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.131 

2018 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.150 

2019 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.170 

2020 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.190 

2021 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.061 0.041 0.020 0.210 

2022 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.020 0.229 

2023 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.020 0.249 

2024 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.020 0.268 

2025 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.041 0.019 0.288 

2026 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.040 0.019 0.307 

2027 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.040 0.019 0.326 

2028 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.060 0.040 0.019 0.346 

2029 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.365 

2030 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.384 

2031 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.403 

2032 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.423 

2033 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.442 

2034 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.059 0.040 0.019 0.461 

2035 56.97 227.87 26 17 0.058 0.039 0.019 0.480 

2036 0 170.90 26 17 0.044 0.030 0.014 0.494 

2037 0 113.94 26 17 0.029 0.020 0.009 0.503 

2038 0 56.97 26 17 0.014 0.010 0.005 0.508 

2039 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2040 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2041 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2042 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2043 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2044 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2045 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2046 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2047 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2048 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2049 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2050 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2051 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2052 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2053 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2054 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 

2055 0 0.00 26 17 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.508 
Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock

ear ew Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr uads quads quads quads

2001 44.89 39 39 0.020 0.020

2002 9.00 44.91 39 39 0.019 0.019

2003 9.00 44.94 39 39 0.019 0.019

2004 9.00 44.96 39 39 0.019 0.019

2005 9.00 44.98 39 39 0.019 0.019

2006 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019

2007 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019

2008 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019

2009 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019

2010 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.018 0.001 0.001

2011 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.017 0.002 0.003

2012 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.016 0.003 0.007

2013 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.014 0.004 0.011

2014 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.006 0.017

2015 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.006 0.022

2016 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.006 0.028

2017 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.005 0.033

2018 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.005 0.039

2019 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.044

2020 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.050

2021 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.055

2022 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.061

2023 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.066

2024 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.071

2025 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.077

2026 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.082

2027 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.087

2028 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.093

2029 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.098

2030 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.103

2031 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.109

2032 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.114

2033 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.119

2034 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.124

2035 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.012 0.005 0.130

2036 0 36.00 39 28 0.014 0.010 0.004 0.134

2037 0 27.00 39 28 0.011 0.007 0.003 0.137

2038 0 18.00 39 28 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.139

2039 0 9.00 39 28 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.140

2040 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2041 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2042 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2043 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2044 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2045 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2046 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2047 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2048 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2049 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2050 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2051 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2052 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2053 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2054 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

2055 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock 

Effie 

Effie lmprov. Annual Cumulative 

Surviving Improv. Base Total Total Energy Energy 

Year New Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings 

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr I quads I quads I quads IQlwds 

2001 44.89 39 39 0.020 0.020 

2002 9.00 44.91 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2003 9.00 44.94 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2004 9.00 44.96 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2005 9.00 44.98 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2006 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2007 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2008 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2009 9.00 45.00 39 39 0.019 0.019 

2010 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.018 0.001 0.001 

2011 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.017 0.002 0.003 

2012 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.016 0.003 0.007 

2013 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.014 0.004 0.011 

2014 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.006 0.017 

2015 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.006 0.022 

2016 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.006 0.028 

2017 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.005 0.033 

2018 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.019 0.013 0.005 0.039 

2019 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.044 

2020 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.050 

2021 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.055 

2022 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.061 

2023 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.066 

2024 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.071 

2025 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.Dl8 0.013 0.005 0.077 

2026 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.082 

2027 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.087 

2028 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.Dl8 0.013 0.005 0.093 

2029 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.098 

2030 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.103 

2031 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.109 

2032 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.114 

2033 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.119 

2034 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.013 0.005 0.124 

2035 9.00 45.00 39 28 0.018 0.012 0.005 0.130 

2036 0 36.00 39 28 0.014 0.010 0.004 0.134 

2037 0 27.00 39 28 0.011 0.007 0.003 0.137 

2038 0 18.00 39 28 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.139 

2039 0 9.00 39 28 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.140 

2040 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2041 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2042 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2043 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2044 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2045 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2046 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2047 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2048 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2049 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2050 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2051 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2052 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2053 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2054 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 

2055 0 0.00 39 28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.140 
Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock

ear ew Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr quads quads quads quads

2001 318.66 37 37 0.133 0.133

2002 65.74 331.29 37 37 0.136 0.136

2003 65.74 343.91 37 37 0.141 0.141

2004 65.74 356.54 37 37 0.146 0.146

2005 65.74 369.17 37 37 0.151 0.151

2006 65.74 381.80 37 37 0.156 0.156

2007 65.74 394.43 37 37 0.161 0.161

2008 65.74 394.43 37 37 0.161 0.161

2009 65.74 394.43 37 37 0.159 0.159

2010 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.159 0.151 0.007 0.007

2011 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.158 0.143 0.015 0.022

2012 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.158 0.136 0.022 0.045

2013 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.157 0.128 0.030 0.074

2014 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.156 0.120 0.037 0.111

2015 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.156 0.112 0.044 0.155

2016 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.155 0.112 0.044 0.199

2017 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.155 0.111 0.044 0.243

2018 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.154 0.111 0.044 0.286

2019 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.154 0.110 0.043 0.330

2020 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.153 0.110 0.043 0.373

2021 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.153 0.110 0.043 0.416

2022 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.153 0.109 0.043 0.459

2023 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.152 0.109 0.043 0.502

2024 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.152 0.109 0.043 0.545

2025 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.152 0.109 0.043 0.588

2026 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.151 0.108 0.043 0.630

2027 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.151 0.108 0.043 0.673

2028 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.150 0.108 0.042 0.715

2029 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.150 0.108 0.042 0.758

2030 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.149 0.107 0.042 0.800

2031 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.149 0.107 0.042 0.842

2032 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.149 0.107 0.042 0.884

2033 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.148 0.106 0.042 0.926

2034 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.148 0.106 0.042 0.967

2035 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.148 0.106 0.042 1.009

2036 0 328.69 37 27 0.123 0.088 0 .035 1.044

2037 0 262.95 37 27 0.098 0.070 0.028 1.071

2038 0 197.21 37 27 0.073 0.053 0.021 1.092

2039 0 131.48 37 27 0.049 0.035 0.014 1.106

2040 0 65.74 37 27 0.024 0.017 0.007 1.113

2041 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2042 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2043 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2044 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2045 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2046 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2047 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2048 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2049 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2050 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2051 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2052 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2053 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2054 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

2055 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock 

Effie 

Effie Improv. Annual Cumulative 

Surviving Improv. Base Total Total Energy Energy 

Year New Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings 

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr I quads I quads I quads I quads 

2001 318.66 37 37 0.133 0.133 

2002 65.74 331.29 37 37 0.136 0.136 

2003 65.74 343.91 37 37 0.141 0.141 

2004 65.74 356.54 37 37 0.146 0.146 

2005 65.74 369.17 37 37 0.151 0.151 

2006 65.74 381.80 37 37 0.156 0.156 

2007 65.74 394.43 37 37 0.161 0.161 

2008 65.74 394.43 37 37 0.161 0.161 

2009 65.74 394.43 37 37 0.159 0.159 

2010 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.159 0.151 0.007 0.007 

2011 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.158 0.143 0.015 0.022 

2012 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.158 0.136 0.022 0.045 

2013 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.157 0.128 0.030 0.074 

2014 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.156 0.120 0.037 0.111 

2015 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.156 0.112 0.044 0.155 

2016 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.155 0.112 0.044 0.199 

2017 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.155 0.111 0.044 0.243 

2018 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.154 0.111 0.044 0.286 

2019 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.154 0.110 0.043 0.330 

2020 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.153 0.110 0.043 0.373 

2021 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.153 0.110 0.043 0.416 

2022 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.153 0.109 0.043 0.459 

2023 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.152 0.109 0.043 0.502 

2024 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.152 0.109 0.043 0.545 

2025 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.152 0.109 0.043 0.588 

2026 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.151 0.108 0.043 0.630 

2027 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.151 0.108 0.043 0.673 

2028 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.150 0.108 0.042 0.715 

2029 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.150 0.108 0.042 0.758 

2030 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.149 0.107 0.042 0.800 

2031 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.149 0.107 0.042 0.842 

2032 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.149 0.107 0.042 0.884 

2033 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.148 0.106 0.042 0.926 

2034 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.148 0.106 0.042 0.967 

2035 65.74 394.43 37 27 0.148 0.106 0.042 1.009 

2036 0 328.69 37 27 0.123 0.088 0.035 1.044 

2037 0 262.95 37 27 0.098 0.070 0.D28 1.071 

2038 0 197.21 37 27 0.073 0.053 0.021 1.092 

2039 0 131.48 37 27 0.049 0.035 0.014 U06 

2040 0 65.74 37 27 0.024 0.017 0.007 U13 

2041 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 U13 

2042 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2043 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2044 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2045 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2046 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2047 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2048 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2049 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2050 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2051 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2052 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2053 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2054 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 

2055 0 0.00 37 27 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.113 
Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock

ear ew Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effie

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr quads quads quads quads

2001 25.43 29 29 0. 008 0.008

2002 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2003 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2004 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2005 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2006 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2007 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2008 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2009 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008

2010 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.008 0.000 0.000

2011 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.007 0.001 0.001

2012 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.007 0.001 0.002

2013 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.007 0.001 0.003

2014 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.005

2015 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.007

2016 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.009

2017 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.011

2018 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.014

2019 3.63 25.43 29 21 0. 008 0.005 0.002 0.016

2020 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.018

2021 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.020

2022 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.023

2023 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.025

2024 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.027

2025 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.029

2026 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.032

2027 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.034

2028 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.036

2029 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.038

2030 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.040

2031 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 •0.002 0.043

2032 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.045

2033 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.047

2034 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.049

2035 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.051

2036 0 21.80 29 21 0.006 0.004 0.002 0.053

2037 0 18.16 29 21 0.005 0.004 0.002 0.055

2038 0 14.53 29 21 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.056

2039 0 10.90 29 21 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.057

2040 0 7.27 29 21 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.057

2041 0 3.63 29 21 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.058

2042 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2043 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2044 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2045 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2046 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2047 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2048 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2049 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2050 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2051 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2052 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2053 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2054 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

2055 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock 

Effie 

Effie Improv. Annual Cumulative 

Surviving Improv. Base Total Total Energy Energy 

Year New Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings 

million million kwh/yr kwh/yr quads I quads I quads !auads 

2001 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2002 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2003 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2004 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2005 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2006 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2007 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2008 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2009 3.63 25.43 29 29 0.008 0.008 

2010 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.008 0.000 0.000 

2011 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.007 0.001 0.001 

2012 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.007 0.001 0.002 

2013 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.007 0.001 0.003 

2014 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.005 

2015 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.007 

2016 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.009 

2017 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.006 0.002 0.011 

2018 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.014 

2019 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.016 

2020 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.018 

2021 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.020 

2022 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.023 

2023 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.025 

2024 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.027 

2025 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.029 

2026 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.032 

2027 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.034 

2028 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.036 

2029 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.008 0.005 0.002 0.038 

2030 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.040 

2031 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 ·0.002 0.043 

2032 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.045 

2033 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.047 

2034 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.049 

2035 3.63 25.43 29 21 0.007 0.005 0.002 0.051 

2036 0 21.80 29 21 0.006 0.004 0.002 0.053 

2037 0 18.16 29 21 0.005 0.004 0.002 0.055 

2038 0 14.53 29 21 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.056 

2039 0 10.90 29 21 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.057 

2040 0 7.27 29 21 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.057 

2041 0 3.63 29 21 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.058 

2042 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2043 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2044 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2045 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2046 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2047 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2048 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2049 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2050 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2051 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2052 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2053 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2054 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 

2055 0 0.00 29 21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.058 
Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock

ear ew Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

Improv.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Effic

Improv.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

million million kwh/yr kwhlyr quads quads quads quads

2001 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2002 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2003 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2004 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2005 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2006 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2007 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2008 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2009 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004

2010 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.000

2011 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.000

2012 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.001

2013 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.001

2014 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.001 0.002

2015 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.003

2016 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.003

2017 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.004

2018 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.005

2019 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.007

2020 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.008

2021 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.009

2022 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.010

2023 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.011

2024 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.013

2025 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.014

2026 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.015

2027 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.016

2028 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.017

2029 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.018

2030 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.020

2031 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.021

2032 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.022

2033 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.023

2034 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.024

2035 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.025

2036 0 2.88 123 87 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.026

2037 0 2.56 123 87 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.027

2038 0 2.24 123 87 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.028

2039 0 1.92 123 87 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.029

2040 0 1.60 123 87 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.029

2041 0 1.28 123 87 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.030

2042 0 0.96 123 87 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.030

2043 0 0.64 123 87 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.030

2044 0 0.32 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2045 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2046 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2047 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2048 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2049 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2050 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2051 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2052 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2053 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2054 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

2055 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Battery Charger and Power Supply Shipments and Stock 

Effie 

Effie Improv. Annual Cumulative 

Surviving Improv. Base Total Total Energy Energy 

Year New Shipment Units Base UEC UEC Energy Energy Savings Savings 

million million kwhlyr kwhlyr I quads I quads I quads lauads 

2001 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2002 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2003 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2004 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2005 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2006 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2007 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2008 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2009 0.32 3.20 123 123 0.004 0.004 

2010 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.000 

2011 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.000 

2012 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.001 

2013 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.001 

2014 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.004 0.001 0.002 

2015 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.003 

2016 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.003 

2017 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.004 

2018 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.005 

2019 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.007 

2020 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.008 

2021 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.009 

2022 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.010 

2023 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.011 

2024 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.013 

2025 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.014 

2026 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.015 

2027 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.016 

2028 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.017 

2029 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.018 

2030 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.020 

2031 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.021 

2032 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.022 

2033 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.023 

2034 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.024 

2035 0.32 3.20 123 87 0.004 0.003 0.001 0.025 

2036 0 2.88 123 87 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.026 

2037 0 2.56 123 87 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.027 

2038 0 2.24 123 87 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.028 

2039 0 1.92 123 87 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.029 

2040 0 1.60 123 87 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.029 

2041 0 1.28 123 87 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.030 

2042 0 0.96 123 87 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.030 

2043 0 0.64 123 87 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.030 

2044 0 0.32 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2045 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2046 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2047 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2048 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2049 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2050 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2051 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2052 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2053 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2054 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 

2055 0 0.00 123 87 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.030 
wt'ed avg

effic.

Improv.

Sales in base UEC UEC

Lifetime (years) Total in Use 2002 (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr)

2 140,800,000 57,000,000 14.24 9.72

4 205,886,188 56,967,555 25.69 17.36

5 44,891,628 9,000,157 39.44 27.79

6 318,656,272 65,738,211 37.47 26.89

7 25,429,200 3,632,743 29.16 20.64

10 3,200,000 320,000 122.64 86.84

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Lifetime (years) 

effie. 

wt'ed avg Improv. 

Sales in base UEC UEC 

Total in Use 2002 (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr) 

2 140,800,000 57,000,000 14.24 9.72 

4 205,886,188 56,967,555 25.69 17.36 

5 44,891,628 9,000,157 39.44 27.79 

6 318,656,272 65,738,211 37.47 26.89 

7 25,429,200 3,632,743 29.16 20.64 

10 3,200,000 320,000 122.64 86.84 
Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu

Residential site electricity

Conv Factor

Btu/kWh

2001 11126 calculated from AEO 2004

2002 10986 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 10972

2004 10924

2005 10913

2006 10903

2007 10894

2008 10868

2009 10785

2010 10749

2011 10712

2012 10679

2013 10635

2014 10584

2015 10542

2016 10515

2017 10483

2018 10436

2019 10408

2020 10376

2021 10345

2022 10322

2023 10298

2024 10275

2025 10252

2026 10223

2027 10194

2028 10166

2029 10139

2030 101-13

2031 10087.

2032 10061

20331 10035

2034! 10010

2035' 9983

2036, 9957

2037 9931

2038 9905

2039 9879

2040 9853;

2041 98281

2042 9802'

2043; 9777

20441 9751

2045 9726

2046 9700

2047 9675

2048 9650

2049, 9625

20501 9600

2051 9575

2052 9550

2053 9525

2054 9500

2055 9475

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu 

Residential site electricity 

Conv Factor 

Btu/kWh 

20.0.1 11126 

20.0.2 10.986 

20.0.3 10.972 

20.0.4 10.924 

20.0.5 10.913 

20.0.6 1090.3 

20.0.7 10.894 

20.0.8 10.868 

20.0.9 10.785 

20.10. 10.749 

20.11 1o.71? 

20.12 10.679 

20.13 10.p35 

20.14 10584 

20.15 1.0.542 

20.16 10.515 

20.17 10.483 

20.18 19436 

20.19 ··'.0.40.8 

20.20. 10.376 

20.21 10.345 

20.22 

20.23 

20.24 

calculated from AEO 20.0.4 

based on extrapolation of trend from 20.15-20.25 
Room Air Conditioners

Efficiency improvement Level CEE Tier Two - 11.8 EER

Discount rate I 7/6

Discount to year 2003

Product lifetime (nearest full year) 13

NES (quads)

NPV (billion $)

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Room Air Conditioners 

1 Efficiency Improvement Level 

1 Discount rate 

GEE lIer Tvvo-11~8EER~~ 

7%1 

1 Discount to year .20033 

1 Product lifetime (nearest full year) 131 

NES (quads) 

NPV (billion $) 

1.471 

-$6.291 
Room A/C Shipments and Stock

ear

New

Shipment

Surviving

Units ase UEC

Effic

lmprov.

UEC

Base Total

Energy

Efftc

lmprov.

Total

Energy

Annual

Energy

Savings

Cumulative

Energy

Savings

Base Operating

Cost

Effie.

lmprov.

Operating

Cost

Annual

Fuel Cost

Savings

PVAnnual

Fuel Cost

Savings

PV

Cumulative

Fuel Cost

Savings

Delta Unit

Price

Total

Incremental

Equip. Cost

PV Total

Incremental

Equip Cost

PV

Cumulative

Equip. Cost

Net

Cumulative

PV

million million kwh1vr kwh/ r quads quads quads quads billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $

2001 5.58 55.31 536 536 0.330 0.330 $ 2.58 $ 2.58

2002 6.15 56.79 536 536 0.334 0.334 S 2.57 $ 2,57

2003 6.48 59.42 536 536 0.349 0.349 S 2.70 $ 2.70

2004 6.65 63.52 536 536 0.372 0.372 $ 2.84 $ 2.84

2005 6.25 67.13 536 536 0.392 0.392 $ 2.96 S 2.96

2006 6.06 70.34 536 536 0.411 0.411 $ 3.06 $ 3.06

2007 6.06 72.52 536 536 0.423 0.423 $ 3.11 $ 3.11

2008 6.06 74.63 536 536 0.435 0.435 S 3.19 $ 3.19

2009 6.06 76.21 536 536 0.440 0.440 $ 3.26 $ 3.26

2010 6.06 78.43 536 445 0.452 0.446 0.006 0.006 $ 3.34 $ 3.30 $ 0.04 $ 0.03 $ 0.03 $ 198 -5120 -$0.75 -$0.75 -$0.72

2011 6.06 80.09 536 445 0.460 0.448 0.012 0.018 S 3.40 $ 3.32 $ 0.09 $ 0.05 $ 0.08 $ 198 -8120 -$0.70 -$1.44 -$1.37

2012 6.06 80.04 536 445 0.458 0.440 0.018 0.035 $ 3.44 $ 3.30 $ 0.13 $ 0.07 $ 0.15 $ 198 -$1.20 -$0.65 -$2.10 -51.95

2013 6.06 79.61 536 445 0.454 0.430 0.023 0.059 $ 3.43 S 3.25 $ 0.18 $ 0.09 $ 0.24 0 198 -$1.20 -$0.61 -$2.70 -$2.46

2014 6.06 80.10 536 445 0.454 0.425 0.029 0.088 $ 3.46 $ 3.24 $ 0.22 $ 0.11 $ 0.35 $ 198 -$1.20 -$0.57 -$327 -$2.93

2015 6.06 80.01 536 445 0.452 0.417 0.035 0.123 $ 3.48 S 3.21 $ 0.27 $ 0.12 $ 0.46 $ 198 -0120 -$0.53 -$3.81 -53.34

2016 6.06 79.59 536 445 0.448 0.408 0.041 0.163 S 3.47 $ 3.16 $ 0.31 $ 0.13 $ 0.59 S 198 -$120 -$0.50 -$4.30 -$3.71

2017 6.06 79.01 536 445 0.444 0.398 0.046 0.209 $ 3.43 5 3.07 $ 0.36 $ 0.14 $ 0.73 $ 198 -$1.20 -$0.46 -$4.77 -$4.04

2018 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.441 0.389 0.052 0.261 $ 3.43 S 3.03 $ 0.40 $ 0.15 S 0.88 $ 198 -51.20 -$0.43 -$5.20 -$4.32

2019 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.439 0.382 0.057 0.318 $ 3.41 $ 2.97 $ 0.44 $ 0.15 $ 1.03 $ 198 -8120 -$0.41 -85.61 -$4.58

2020 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.438 0.375 0.063 0,381 $ 3.42 0 2.93 $ 0.49 $ 0.16 $ 1.18 $ 198 -$120 -$0.38 -$5.99 -$4.80

2021 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.437 0.368 0.068 0.450 $ 3.44 $ 2.90 $ 0.54 $ 0.16 $ 1.34 $ 198 -$120 -$0.35 -$6.34 -$5.00

2022 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.436 0.362 0.074 0.523 $ 3.43 $ 2.85 $ 0.58 $ 0.16 $ 1.50 S 198 -$120 -$0.33 -$6.67 -$5.17

2023 6.06 78.82 536 445 0435 0.361 0.074 0.597 $ 3.41 $ 2.84 S 0.58 $ 0.15 $ 1.65 S 198 -8120 -50.31 -$6.98 -$5.33

2024 6.06 76.82 536 445 0.434 0.360 0.074 0.671 $ 3.44 $ 2.85 $ 0.58 S 0.14 S 1.79 $ 198 -$120 -$0.29 -$727 -$5.48

2025 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.433 0.360 0.073 0.744 $ 3.44 $ 2.86 $ 0.58 $ 0.13 S 1.93 $ 198 -$120 -$027 -57.54 -$5.62

2026 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.432 0.359 0:073 0.817 $ 3.44 $ 2.86 $ 0.58 $ 0.12 $ 2.05 $ 198 -$120 -80.25 -87.80 -$5.75

2027 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.430 0.358 0.073 0.890 $ 3.44 $ 2.86 $ 0.58 $ 0.12 $ 2.16 $ 198 -$1.20 -$024 -$8.03 -$5.87

2028 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.429 0.357 0.073 0.963 $ 3.44 $ 2.86 $ 0.58 $ 0.11 $ 2.27 $ 198 -$120 -$0.22 -8825 -$5.98

2029 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.428 0.356 0.073 1.036 $ 3.45 $ 2.86 $ 0.58 $ 0.10 $ 2.37 $ 198 -5120 -$0.21 -58.46 -$6.09

2030 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.427 0.355 0.072 1.108 $ 3.45 $ 2.86 $ 0.58 $ 0.09 $ 2.47 $ 198 -8120 -$0.19 -58.65 -56.19

2031 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.426 0.354 0.072 1.180 $ 3.45 $ 2.87 $ 0.59 S 0.09 S 2.55 $ 198 -9120 -$0.18 -$8.83 -86.28

2032 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.425 0.353 0.072 1252 $ 3.45 $ 2.87 $ 0.59 S 0.08 8 2.64 $ 198 -$120 -$0.17 -59.00 -$6.36

2033 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.424 0.352 0.072 1.324 $ 3.46 $ 2.87 $ 0.59 S 0.08 $ 2.71 $ 198 -$120 -$0.16 -$9.16 -$6.44

2034 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.423 0.351 0.072 1.396 S 3.46 $ 2.87 $ 0.59 $ 0.07 $ 2.79 $ 198 -5120 -$0.15 -$9.31 -56.52

2035 6.06 78.82 536 445 0.422 0.350 0.071 1.467 S 3.46 $ 2.88 S 0.59 $ 0.07 $ 2.85 $ 198 -5120 -$0.14 -89.44 -$6.59

2036 0 72.76 536 445 0.388 0.322 0.066 1.533 S 320 S 2.66 1 0.54 $ 0.06 $ 2.91 -$9.44 -$6.53

2037 0 66.69 536 445 0.355 0.295 0.060 1.593 $ 2.93 $ 2.44 $ 0.50 $ 0.05 S 2.96 -$9.44 -86.48

2038 0 60.63 536 445 0.322 0.267 0.055 1.647 $ 2.67 S 222 $ 0.45 $ 0.04 $ 3.00 -$9.44 -$6.44

2039 0 54.57 536 445 0.289 0.240 0.049 1.696 $ 2.40 $ 2.00 $ 0.41 $ 0.04 $ 3.04 -89.44 -$6.40

2040 0 48.50 536 445 0.256 0.213 0.043 1.740 $ 2.14 5 1.78 $ 0.36 $ 0.03 $ 3.07 -89.44 -$6.37

2041 0 42.44 536 445 0.223 0.186 0.038 1.778 $ 1.87 $ 1.56 $ 0.32 $ 0.02 $ 3.09 -$9.44 -$6.35

2042 0 36.38 536 445 0.191 0.159 0.032 1.810 $ 1.61 $ 1.33 $ 0.27 $ 0.02 $ 3.11 -59.44 -$6.33

2043 0 30.32 536 445 0.159 0.132 0.027 1.837 $ 1.34 $ 1.11 S 0.23 $ 0.02 $ 3.13 -$9.44 -$6.31

2044 0 24.25 536 445 0.127 0.105 0.021 1.858 6 1.07 S 0.89 $ 0.18 $ 0.01 $ 3.14 -$9.44 -$6.30

2045 0 18.19 536 445 0.095 0.079 0.016 1.875 $ 0.81 $ 0.67 $ 0.14 $ 0.01 $ 3.15 -59.44 -$6.30

2046 0 12.13 536 445 0.063 0.052 0.011 1.885 $ 0.54 $ 0.45 S 0.09 $ 0.00 $ 3.15 -$9.44 -$6.29

2047 0 6.06 536 445 0.031 0.026 0.005 1.891 $ 0.27 $ 0.22 $ 0.05 $ 0.00 $ 3.15 -89.44 -56.29

2048 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 $ - $ - 1 - S - $ 3.15 -$9.44 -5629

2049 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 3.15 -$9.44 -8629

2050 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 $ - S - $ - $ - $ 3.15 -$9.44 -$6.29

2051 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 $ - $ - $ - $ - S 3.15 -59.44 -$6.9

2052 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 $ - S - $ - $ - S 3.15 -$9.44 -$6.29

2053 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 S - S - $ - $ - $ 3.15 -$9.44 -$6.29

2054 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 $ - S - $ - $ - $ 3.15 -$9.44 -$629

2055 0 0.00 536 445 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.891 $ $ $ $ - $ 3.15 -59.44 -$6.29

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Room Ale Shipments and Stock 

Year 

2001 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

New Surviving 

Shipmellt Units 

million 

5.58 

6.15 

6.48 

6.65 

6.25 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.0{; 

6.0{; 

6.0{; 

6.06 

6.06 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.06 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.06 

6.06 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.06 

6.06 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.06 

6.06 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.0{; 

6.06 

6.0{; 

6.06 

o 

million 

55.31 

56.79 

59.42 

63.52 

67.13 

70.34 

72.52 

74.63 

76.21 

78.43 

80.09 

80.04 

79.61 

80.10 

80.oI 

79.59 

79.01 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

78.82 

72.76 

66.69 

60.63 

54.57 

48.50 

42.44 

36.38 

30.32 

24.25 

18.19 

12.13 

6.06 

0.00 

0.00 

0.00 

0.00 

0.00 

0.00 

0.00 

0.00 

Effie 

1",prov. 

Base UEC UEC 

kwh/vr 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

kwillyr 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

445 

Effie 

Improv. Anlwal 

Energy 

Savings 

Base Total Total 

Ellergy Energy 

!lads nads uads 

0.330 0.330 

0.334 

0.349 

0.372 

0.392 

0.411 

0.423 

0.435 

0.440 

0.452 

0.460 

0.458 

0.454 

0.454 

0.452 

0.448 

0.444 

0.441 

0.439 

0.438 

0.437 

0.436 

0.435 

0.434 

0.433 

0.432 

0.430 

0.429 

0.428 

0.427 

0.426 

0.425 

0.424 

0.423 

0.422 

0.388 

0.355 

0.322 

0.289 

0.256 

0.223 

0.191 

0.159 

0.127 

0.095 

0.063 

0.031 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.000 

0.334 

0.349 

0.372 

0.392 

0.411 

0.423 

0.435 

0.440 

0.446 0.006 

0.448 0.012 

0.440 O.oI8 

0.430 0.023 

0.425 0.029 

0.417 O.oJ5 

0.408 0.041 

0.398 0.046 

0.389 0.052 

0.382 0.057 

0.375 0.063 

0.368 0.0{;8 

0.362 0.074 

0.361 0.074 

0.360 0.074 

0.360 0.073 

0.359 0.073 

0.358 0.073 

0.357 0.073 

0.356 0.073 

0.355 0.072 

0.354 0.072 

0.353 0.072 

0.352 0.072 

0.351 0.072 

0.350 0.071 

0.322 0.066 

0.295 0.060 

0.267 0.055 

0.240 0.049 

0.213 0.043 

0.186 0.038 

0.159 0.032 

0.132 0.027 

0.105 0.021 

0.079 0.016 

0.052 0.011 

0.026 0.005 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

0.000 0.000 

PV 

Cumltlative 

Energy 

Savings 

Effie. 

Imptov. Anuual PV Annual Cumulative Total PVTotal PV Net 

Iwds 

Base Operah"ng Operating Fllel Cost Fllel Cost Fllel Cost 

Cost Cost Savings Savings 

billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ 

$ 2.58 $ 2.58 

0.006 $ 

0.018 $ 

0.035 $ 

0.059 $ 

0.088 $ 

0.123 $ 

0.163 $ 

0.209 $ 

0.261 $ 

0.318 $ 

0.381 $ 

0.450 $ 

0.523 $ 

0.597 $ 

0.671 $ 

0.744 $ 

0.817 $ 

0.890 $ 

0.963 $ 

1.036 $ 

1.108 $ 

1.180 $ 

1.252 $ 

1.324 $ 

1.396 S 

1.467 $ 

1.533 $ 

1.593 $ 

1.647 $ 

1.696 $ 

1.740 $ 

1.778 $ 

1.810 $ 

1.837 $ 

1.858 $ 

1.875 $ 

1.885 $ 

1.891 $ 

1.891 

1.891 

1.891 

1.891 

1.891 

1.891 $ 

1.891 $ 

1.891 $ 

2.57 

2.70 

2.84 

2.96 

3.06 

3.11 

3.19 

3.26 

3.34 

3.40 

3.44 

3.43 

3.46 

3.48 

3.47 

3.43 

3.43 

3.41 

3.42 

3.44 

3.43 

3.41 

3.44 

3.44 

3.44 

3.44 

3.44 

3.45 

3.45 

3.45 

3.45 

3.46 

3.46 

3.46 

3.20 

2.93 

2.67 

2.40 

2.14 

1.87 

1.61 

1.34 

1.07 

0.81 

0.54 

0.27 

2.57 

2.70 

2.84 

2.96 

3.06 

3.11 

3.19 

3.26 

3.30 

3.32 

3.30 

3.25 

3.24 

3.21 

3.16 

3.07 

3.03 

2.97 

2.93 

2.90 

2.85 

2.84 

2.85 

2.86 

2.86 

2.86 

2.86 

2.86 

2.86 

2.87 

2.87 

2.87 $ 

2.87 

2.88 

2.66 

2.44 

2.22 

2.00 

1.78 

1.56 

1.33 

1.11 

0.89 

0.67 

0.45 S 

0.22 $ 

0.04 

0.09 

0.13 

0.18 

0.22 

0.27 

0.31 

0.36 

0.40 

0.44 

0.49 

0.54 

0.58 

0.58 

0.58 

0.58 

0.58 

0.58 

0.58 

0.58 

0.58 

0.59 

0.59 

0.59 

0.59 

0.59 

0.54 

0.50 

0.45 

0.41 

0.36 

0.32 

0.27 

0.23 

0.18 

0.14 

0.09 

0.05 $ 

0.Q3 

0.05 

0.07 

0.09 

0.11 

0.12 

0.13 

0.14 

0.15 

0.15 

0.16 

0.16 

0.16 

0.15 

0.14 

0.13 

0.12 

0.12 

0.11 

0.10 

0.09 

0.09 

0.08 

0.08 

0.07 

0.07 

0.06 

0.05 

0.04 

0.Q4 

0.03 

0.02 

0.02 

0.02 

O.oI 

O.oI 

0.00 

0.00 

Savings 

billion $ 

Delta UIJit Incremental Incremental Cumulative Cumulative 

Price Equip. Cost Equip Cost Equip. Cost PV 

$ billion $ billion $ billion $ billioll $ 

0.03 

0.08 

0.15 

0.24 

0.35 

0.46 

0.59 

0.73 

0.88 

1.03 

1.18 

1.34 

1.50 

1.65 

1.79 

1.93 

2.05 

2.16 

2.27 

2.37 

2.47 

2.55 

2.64 

2.71 

2.79 

2.85 $ 

2.91 

2.96 

3.00 

3.04 

3.07 

3.09 

3.11 

3.13 

3.14 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

3.15 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

198 

-$1.20 

-SI.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

·$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-S1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

-$1.20 

·$0.75 

·$0.70 

·$0.65 

·$0.61 

·$0.57 

·$0.53 

·$0.50 

·$0.46 

·$0.43 

·$0.41 

·$0.38 

·$0.35 

·$0.33 

·SO.31 

-$0.29 

-$0.27 

-$0.25 

·$0.24 

-$0.22 

-$0.21 

·$0.19 

·$0.18 

·$0.17 

·$0.16 

·$0.15 

-$0.14 

·$0.75 

·$1.44 

-$2.10 

-$2.70 

-$3.27 

·S3.81 

·$4.30 

·$4.77 

-$5.20 

·$5.61 

·$5.99 

·$6.34 

·$6.67 

·$6.98 

-$7.27 

·$7.54 

·$7.80 

·$8.03 

-$8.25 

·S8.46 

·$8.65 

·S8.83 

·$9.00 

·$9.16 

·$9.31 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

-$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

-$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

-$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

·$9.44 

-$0.72 

·$1.37 

·$1.95 

-$2.46 

-$2.93 

-$3.34 

-$3.71 

·$4.04 

-$4.32 

·$4.58 

·$4.80 

·$5.00 

·$5.17 

·$5.33 

·$5.48 

-$5.62 

·$5.75 

·$5.87 

·S5.98 

·$6.09 

·$6.19 

-$6.28 

·$6.36 

·S6.44 

-$6.52 

·$6.59 

·$6.53 

·$6.48 

·$6.44 

·$6.40 

·$6.37 

·$6.35 

·$6.33 

·$6.31 

·$6.30 

·$6.30 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

-$6.29 

·$6.29 
Shipments, millions of units

Historical +

Year Projected

1982 2.27

1983 1.77

1984 2.98

1985 2.94

1986 2.75

1987 3.68

1988 4.40

1989 4.68

1990 3.84

1991 2.55

1992 2.64

1993 2.85

1994 3.88

1995 3.96

1996 4.49

1997 3.84

1998 4.40

1999 6.11

2000 6.50

2001 5.58

2002 6.15

2003 6.48

2004 6.65

2005 6.25

2006 6.06

2007 6.06

2008 6.06

2009 6.06

2010 6.06

2011 6.06

2012 6.06

2013 6.06

2014 6.06

2015 6.06

2016 6.06

2017 6.06

2018 6.06

2019 6.06

2020 6.06

2021 6.06

2022 6.06

2023 6.06

2024 6.06

2025 6.06

2026 6.06

2027 6.06

2028 6.06

2029 6.06

2030 6.06

2031 6.06

2032 6.06

2033 6.06

2034 6.06

2035 6.06

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Shipments, millions of units 

Historical + 

Year Projected 

1982 2.27 

1983 1.77 

1984 2.98 

1985 2.94 

1986 2.75 

1987 3.68 

1988 4.40 

1989 4.68 

1990 3.84 

1991 2.55 

1992 2.64 

1993 2.85 

1994 3.88 

1995 3.96 

1996 4.49 

1997 3.84 

1998 4.40 

1999 6.11 

2000 6.50 

2001 5.58 

2002 6.15 

2003 6.48 

2004 6.65 

2005 6.25 

2006 6.06 

2007 6.06 

2008 6.06 

2009 6.06 

2010 6.06 

2011 6.06 

2012 6.06 

2013 6.06 

2014 6.06 

2015 6.06 

2016 6.06 

2017 6.06 

2018 6.06 

2019 6.06 

2020 6.06 

2021 6.06 

2022 6.06 

2023 6.06 

2024 6.06 

2025 6.06 

2026 6.06 

2027 6.06 

2028 6.06 

2029 6.06 

2030 6.06 

2031 6.06 

2032 6.06 

2033 6.06 

2034 6.06 

2035 6.06 
Percent reduction in

Efficiency Level UEC (kwh/yr) Unit Price energy consumption

Base 536 $ 322

Energy Star - 10.8 EER 486 $ 357 9.3%

CEE Tier One - 11.3 EER 465 $ 460 13.3%

CEE Tier Two - 11.8 EER 445 $ 520 16.9%

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Percent reduction in 

Efficiency Level UEG (kwh/yr) Unit Price energy consumption 

Base 536 $ 322 

Energy Star - 10.8 EER 486 $ 357 9.3% 

GEE Tier One - 11.3 EER 465 $ 460 13.3% 

GEE Tier Two - 11.8 EER 445 $ 520 16.9% 
Room Air Conditioners: UEC and Prices

From Table 4.6 of RAC DOE 1996 TSD

http://www.eere.ene[gv.a ov buildin s/a fiance standards/residentia fs/tsdracv2. f

EER Retail Price

Retail Price

Calc'd

Percent Increase

from Baseline

Baseline 9.32 $495 $496 0.0%

9.71 $506 $504 2.2%

9.85 $510 $509 3.0%

10.11 $518 $520 4.6%

10.97 $577 $577 16.6%

11.15 $697

12.39 $929

2003 AHAM Fact Book

Calc'd Shipement-Weighted Usage (from 1996

UEC Capacity DOE TSD)

EER kWh/ r Retail Price Bfu/hr hours/ r

9.75 536 $322 9800 533

Summar

$590

$580

$570

$560

$550

$540

$530

$520

$510

$500

$490

9.0

9.3 -11 .0 EER: Price vs. EER

y = 21.476xz - 386.71x + 2234.5

R2 = 0.9981

9.5

EER

UEC

kWh/ r

Percent UEC Decrease

from Baseline

Actual

Retail Price

Retail Price

Calc'd

Percent Increase

from Baseline

9.32 $495 $496

9.71 $506 $504

Baseline 9.80 533 $507

9.85 530 0.5% $510 $509 0.3%

10.11 517 3.1% $518 $520 2.5%

Energy Star 10.80 484 9. 3% $563 11.0%

10.97 476 10.7% $577 $577 13.7%

11.15 468 12.1% $697 $697 37.4%

CEE Tier 1 11.30 462 13.3% $725 42.9%

CEE Tier 2 11.80 443 16.9% $819 61.4%

12.39 422 20.9% $929 $929 83.1%

Y05 Priorl0zation

Increase in Reduction in

Energy Efficiency energy

Option EER UEC kWh/ r Retail Price above federal std. consumption

Baseline 9.75 536 $322

Energy Star 10.74 486 $357 10% 9.3%

CEE Tier 1 11.24 465 $460 15% 13.3%

CEE Tier 2 11.74 445 $520 20% 16.9%

Baseline and current standard are about the same: current standard (Oct. 2000)= 9.75; baseline = 9.8

10.0 10.5

EER

11.0 11.5

>11.15 EER: Price vs. EER

$950 -

Y = 187.1x - 1389.1 ._._,

$850 R' = 1

$750

$700

$900

- 12.2 12 .4

$650

$600

11.0 11.2 11.4 11.6 11.8 12.0 12.6

EER

EER = Btuh output / Watts power input

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

I 

I 

Room Air Conditioners: UEC and Prices 

From Table 4.6 of RAC DOE 1996 TSD 

http://www.eers.enerav.Qov/buildinas/aPl: liance standards/residentiaVodfs/tsdracv2.odf 

Retail Price Percent Increase 

EER Retail Price Calc'd from Baseline 

Baseline 9.32 $495 $496 0.0% 

9.71 $506 $504 2.2% 

9.85 $510 $509 3.0% 

10.11 $518 $520 4.6% 

10.97 $577 $577 16.6% 

11.15 $697 

12.39 $929 

2003 AHAM Fact Book 

Calc'd Shipement-Weighted Usage (from 1996 

UEC Capacity DOE TSD) 

EER kWh/vr Retail Price BtU/hr hours/vr 

9.75 536 $322 9800 533 

Summary 

UEC Percent UEC Decrease Actual 

EER kWh/vr from Baseline Retail Price 

9.32 $495 

9.71 $506 

Baseline 9.80 533 

9.85 530 0.5% $510 

10.11 517 3.1% $518 

Energy Star 10.80 484 9.3% 

10.97 476 10.7% $577 

11.15 468 12.1% $697 

CEE Tier 1 11.30 462 13.3% 

CEETier2 11.80 443 16.9% 

12.39 422 20.9% $929 

Increase in 

Energy Efficiency 

Option EER UEC (kWh/vr) Retail Price above federal std. 

Baseline 9.75 536 $322 

Energy Star 10.74 486 $357 10% 

CEE Tier 1 11.24 465 $460 15% 

CEETier2 11.74 445 $520 20% 

Retail Price 

Calc'd 

$496 

$504 

$507 

$509 

$520 

$563 

$577 

$697 

$725 

$819 

$929 

Reduction in 

energy 

consumption 

9.3% 

13.3% 

16.9% 

9.3 -11.0 EER: Price vs. EER 

$590 

$580 

$570 

B :~~~ 

oY = 21.476X: ~ 386.71x + 2234.5 

R = 0.9981 

;t $540 

~ $530 

0: $520 

$510 

$500 

$490 

9.0 

.,. 

9.5 

Percent Increase 

from Baseline 

0.3% 

2.5% 

11.0% 

13.7% 

37.4% 

42.9% 

61.4% 

83.1% 

./ 

./ 

./ 

L" .--

10.0 10.5 

EER 

; 

/ 

11.0 

Baseline and current standard are about the same: current standard (Oct. 2000)= 9.75; baseline = 9.8 

EER = Btuh output I Watts power input 

11.5 

$950 

$900 

B $850 

;t $800 

~ $750 

a: $700 

$650 

$600 

:>11.15 EER: Price vs. EER 

dY-187.,X -1389.1 .".,. 

R' 11 ./' 

./' 

./' 

..,.." 

11.0 11.2 11.4 11.6 11.8 12.0 12.2 12.4 12.6 

EER 
Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu

Residential site electricity

Cony Factor

Btu/kW h

2001 11126 calculated from AEO 2004

2002 10986 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

2003 10972

2004 10924

2005 10913

2006 10903

2007 10894

2008 10868

2009 10785

2010 10749

2011 10712

2012 10679

2013 10635

2014 10584

2015 10542

2016 10515

2017 10483

2018 10436

2019 10408

2020 10376

2021 10345

2022 10322

2023 10298

2024 10275

2025 10252

2026 10223

2027 1019!

2028 10103

2029 10139

2030 10113

2031 10087

2032, 10061

2033 10035

2034 10010

20359983

2036 9957.

2037 9931

2038 9905

2039 9879

2040 9853

2041 9828

2042 9802

2043 9777'.

2044 9751

2045, 9726

2046 9700

2047 9675

2048 9650

2049 9625

2050, , 9600

20511 9575

2052 9550

2053 9525

2054 9500

2055 9475

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Conversion factor for site kWh to primary Btu 

Residential site electricity 

Conv Factor 

Btu/kWh 

2001 calculated from AEO 2004 

2002 

2003 

2004 

2005 

2006 

2007 

2008 

2009 

2010 

2011 

2012 

2013 

2014 

2015 

2016 

2017 

2018 

2019 

2020 

2021 

2022 

2023 

2024 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

11126 

10986 

10972 

10924 

1.0913 

10903 

10894 

10868 

10785 

10749 

10712 

10679 

1063q 

1Q584 

10,542. 

10515 

1()~83 

J0436 

;10408 

.• ".Ccc_.,._,Cc..:~" based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

.1g376 

10345 

0322 
Fuel Price

Elec

eendkWh

2001 8.71

2002 8.44

2003 8.-19

2004 8.34

2005 8.23

2006 8.13

2007 8.01

2008 7.98

2009 7.99

2010 7.95

2011 7.94

2012 8.01

2013 8.03

2014 8.07

2015 8.11

2016 8.14

2017 8.10

2018 8.12

2019 8.08

2020 8.10

2021 8.14

2022 8.13

2023 8.09

2024 8.14

2025 8.15

2026 8.15

2027 8.15

2028 SA 6

2029 8.16

2030 5.17

2031 8.18

2032 8.18

2033 8.19

2034 8.20

2035 8.20

2036 82 1

2037 821

2038 822

2039 8.23

2040 8.23

2041 8.24

2042 8.24

2043 8.?5

2044 8,26

2045 8.26

2046 8.27

2047 8.28

2048 8.28

2049 8.29

2050 5.30

2051 8.30

2052 8.31

2053 8.31

2054 8.32

2055 8.33

from AEO 2004

based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025

Page 7

 EE-PS-2006-001 COMMENT 04.6

Fuel Price 

Elec 

centlkWh 

2001 8.71 from AEO 2004 

2002 8.44 based on extrapolation of trend from 2015-2025 

2003 8:49 

2004 8.34 

2005 8.23 

2006 8.13 

2007 8.01 

2008 7.98 

2009 7.99 

2010 7.95 

2011 7.94 

2012 8.01 

2013 8.03 

2014 8.07 

2015 8.11 

2016 8:14 

2017 8.10. 

2018 8 .. 12 

2019 8.()8 

2020 8.10 

2021 8:14 

2022 8.13 

2023 8;09 .. 

2024 8M 

2025 

2026 

2027 

2028 

2029 

2030 

2031 

2032 

2033 

2034 

2035 

2036 

2037 

2038 

2039 

2040 

2041 

2042 

2043 

2044 

2045 

2046 

2047 

2048 

2049 

2050 

2051 

2052 

2053 

2054 

2055 

Page 7