### EPA

410FINAL_BC_130 - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 214.9 171.7 180.8 180.6 197.4 198.0 32.1 30.0 27.4 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 45.8 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 90.5 103.8 96.1 109.0 101.6 101.6 15.3 16.1 15.8 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.7 7.1 7.5 10.4 12.4 10.1 Colorado 65.9 73.5 74.2 75.4 72.1 72.4 21.5 21.8 22.8 Connecticut 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 3.8 2.2 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.2 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 116.8 146.0 121.5 139.0 138.6 139.6 29.1 30.8 35.1 Georgia 160.3 91.7 95.8 93.2 90.8 94.1 27.3 18.5 19.6 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 213.7 132.1 116.5 118.5 125.7 124.5 21.6 21.6 24.4 Indiana 249.1 204.2 200.1 182.7 181.5 184.9 47.0 46.6 44.6 Iowa 79.9 83.0 84.2 85.9 82.8 83.6 17.7 18.3 18.1 Kansas 41.8 49.1 49.1 49.1 49.1 49.1 13.6 10.9 11.2 Kentucky 176.9 125.4 116.0 100.5 113.1 122.5 34.5 32.0 31.4 Louisiana 132.3 139.2 142.3 134.3 109.7 112.5 14.3 14.5 15.4 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 26.6 28.6 29.8 29.1 29.4 32.4 6.8 7.4 7.8 Massachusetts 8.5 13.4 15.1 15.4 15.4 15.4 1.9 3.2 3.5 Michigan 216.3 174.2 149.8 151.0 131.7 132.3 26.4 26.1 28.1 Minnesota 46.2 50.0 52.4 54.6 57.0 57.0 14.9 15.6 16.6 Mississippi 30.5 32.1 34.9 35.2 27.8 26.8 11.1 11.5 12.1 Missouri 189.2 179.3 171.5 171.9 174.3 145.7 22.7 21.8 22.1 Montana 23.4 22.8 24.1 17.2 22.7 25.4 7.0 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 71.5 73.4 73.4 73.4 73.4 12.7 12.9 13.2 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.2 New Hampshire 5.5 6.7 6.6 7.4 7.8 7.9 1.7 2.1 2.0 New Jersey 5.6 6.2 8.9 8.9 9.8 10.2 3.5 3.7 5.1 New Mexico 13.6 13.9 10.2 10.9 10.8 14.1 28.5 28.6 28.8 New York 29.4 19.0 17.2 17.5 17.5 22.1 10.1 10.0 10.2 North Carolina 113.0 74.0 75.8 75.9 75.5 75.5 21.7 19.6 20.1 North Dakota 101.5 102.8 105.3 105.3 104.6 104.6 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 229.5 189.9 191.9 202.4 206.6 208.6 36.4 38.1 37.7 Oklahoma 136.0 138.1 141.4 141.3 141.3 141.3 20.9 21.3 22.3 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 226.2 134.5 135.3 128.0 125.6 126.9 51.6 50.8 52.6 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 89.8 100.4 104.2 111.1 110.5 111.1 14.3 15.5 15.8 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 95.8 67.8 33.1 33.1 32.7 33.9 14.3 8.4 7.1 Texas 244.6 266.5 249.5 244.1 228.2 224.2 63.4 64.8 67.9 Utah 34.0 34.0 35.0 35.2 35.5 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 75.3 53.9 53.8 48.0 49.5 51.6 15.7 16.9 16.5 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 3.4 5.5 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 118.0 90.4 88.2 83.2 84.8 87.7 23.6 22.5 22.9 Wisconsin 83.0 50.8 54.0 52.3 54.1 56.5 14.5 14.5 15.1 Wyoming 58.4 58.0 48.2 47.8 47.8 48.2 30.4 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 3,919 3,409 3,300 3,282 3,250 3,294 838 825 8452030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

27.3 26.2 26.7 75.4 69.3 63.9 61.5 58.9 60.1 1.2 19.5 18.9 20.2 40.5 35.6 37.1 37.5 36.6 44.0 0.4 17.7 17.8 18.0 33.6 36.8 36.1 39.7 39.9 40.2 0.7 11.9 13.3 13.1 24.9 26.8 20.9 26.6 27.7 27.4 0.1 23.3 23.0 23.1 48.5 49.3 50.9 51.8 51.9 51.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.3 0.0 1.1 1.2 1.1 2.7 1.7 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 30.6 29.2 27.3 75.3 78.3 86.2 80.4 79.8 76.7 0.6 20.0 20.4 19.9 63.3 41.5 43.5 44.1 45.3 44.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 27.5 28.8 28.9 48.5 49.4 56.1 62.7 65.4 65.5 0.3 44.3 45.3 45.8 111.2 110.2 106.1 105.0 106.0 104.7 1.0 18.7 19.3 19.0 40.3 41.8 42.2 43.8 44.4 42.6 0.9 11.5 12.1 12.2 31.0 24.8 25.7 25.5 26.1 26.2 0.8 33.0 33.6 34.3 83.9 77.2 75.1 79.6 80.1 80.1 1.0 16.1 15.7 15.4 30.9 31.6 33.6 34.4 34.2 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 7.9 8.4 9.0 15.8 16.8 18.0 18.3 19.6 21.0 0.1 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.9 7.0 8.0 8.3 8.7 8.7 0.0 30.4 31.3 32.4 61.4 61.6 66.1 70.8 71.6 73.2 1.0 17.3 17.5 17.4 33.2 34.8 36.9 38.5 39.3 39.2 0.2 12.7 11.8 10.4 24.8 26.1 27.2 28.1 27.5 25.9 0.2 22.7 24.0 24.2 54.0 50.6 50.9 51.8 54.5 54.8 1.8 9.9 10.4 10.5 18.7 19.3 21.2 23.0 24.1 23.8 0.1 13.2 13.1 13.0 28.1 28.4 29.1 29.0 29.1 29.0 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.2 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 4.4 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.3 5.5 5.8 7.7 7.8 11.3 11.6 12.7 13.1 0.0 29.0 28.8 29.8 64.7 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.3 67.5 0.3 11.4 11.8 12.0 21.1 20.6 21.2 23.1 24.7 24.7 0.1 21.0 20.7 21.8 50.1 45.0 44.3 47.9 47.5 49.5 0.5 23.5 23.6 23.6 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.1 1.0 41.7 42.8 44.2 86.6 89.9 91.9 99.9 99.4 100.7 1.4 23.4 19.9 18.0 43.5 44.1 46.1 47.6 43.6 40.9 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 41.3 39.3 39.6 118.6 118.2 122.9 95.5 90.2 90.2 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 16.9 16.8 17.1 34.3 36.7 37.7 40.1 40.1 38.8 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.6 8.1 7.9 32.9 20.5 17.0 17.6 18.5 18.6 0.6 71.8 67.9 66.0 134.6 139.2 145.7 152.4 145.2 142.0 2.4 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 14.6 15.0 16.3 37.2 39.7 39.0 35.0 35.4 37.4 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

20.6 20.6 21.0 56.4 54.4 54.0 47.9 48.5 48.6 0.9 16.9 18.7 19.5 34.1 33.8 35.9 40.1 42.8 44.4 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.2 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 857 858 866 1,926 1,891 1,932 1,952 1,955 1,968 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 7.4 4.8 6.9 5.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.7 4.7 3.9 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 3.3 1.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 5.3 4.4 3.8 3.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 5.2 2.4 2.0 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 9.4 6.3 2.9 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 3.7 1.8 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 6.8 4.2 3.6 3.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 6.8 2.7 2.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.7 4.2 4.3 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.2 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.8 1.9 1.7 1.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.9 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 24 24 24 25 26 89 65 60 532040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

8.9 8.8 91.7 87.7 91.4 96.2 109.8 122.2 0.7 0.8 46.2 45.3 51.7 56.3 53.3 82.5 1.5 1.5 33.3 36.1 36.3 40.2 44.2 51.5 0.0 0.1 47.3 43.9 48.9 64.0 68.3 82.9 1.0 1.0 42.0 42.5 44.1 46.8 49.7 50.8 0.1 0.1 9.1 9.2 8.9 9.2 12.1 12.1 0.1 0.1 5.7 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.4 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 3.9 3.9 124.4 127.6 137.5 150.7 172.7 170.5 0.7 1.4 80.2 87.0 91.9 99.5 114.1 131.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.4 1.4 103.4 102.1 107.8 110.8 124.9 152.2 3.6 3.9 129.5 134.4 134.6 137.3 144.6 158.0 1.3 1.3 43.2 44.3 45.6 49.7 57.3 57.9 0.6 0.6 37.2 37.5 38.3 39.5 40.0 40.0 1.5 1.4 99.5 98.6 95.8 99.8 105.3 109.8 1.2 1.4 45.6 45.7 49.2 51.6 58.0 68.5 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 5.0 5.3 0.3 0.3 28.4 30.0 32.5 38.7 52.3 54.2 0.8 0.8 11.2 13.4 15.3 16.4 20.2 21.8 2.0 2.0 66.1 69.1 73.3 76.3 78.7 88.1 0.6 0.5 37.2 38.6 41.3 44.5 51.1 51.2 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.8 22.6 24.4 31.0 35.4 2.9 2.3 82.3 78.9 77.8 78.5 82.3 83.8 0.1 0.1 16.7 17.5 18.5 20.1 21.3 21.5 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.8 33.2 36.4 36.6 0.3 0.4 15.8 15.7 18.3 17.3 27.2 51.4 0.3 0.3 6.5 6.9 6.4 7.0 8.7 9.0 0.1 0.1 18.5 20.9 21.3 24.9 29.1 26.0 0.1 0.1 37.0 37.1 37.6 39.7 39.3 46.8 0.4 0.4 34.0 36.0 37.2 43.6 60.4 72.0 0.8 0.8 73.7 73.2 72.5 81.2 96.3 96.9 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.6 39.9 40.1 2.6 2.5 124.5 126.1 130.1 139.1 153.5 166.6 1.9 1.9 49.8 50.1 53.9 57.7 58.8 54.8 0.1 0.1 9.6 9.7 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.2 1.0 1.1 127.3 126.1 127.2 130.3 136.9 135.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.6 4.5 48.2 50.8 52.2 58.0 69.7 70.1 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.5 0.1 0.1 55.7 47.6 47.1 48.3 57.2 63.9 3.0 3.0 239.2 243.9 258.2 280.8 296.7 314.5 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.7 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.3 39.7 43.3 48.2 57.6 76.9 79.6 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.1 30.0

0.7 0.6 95.0 96.0 97.4 101.8 109.2 117.8 0.6 0.7 52.9 53.3 54.4 56.0 62.8 63.9 0.5 0.5 55.5 56.0 56.0 56.1 56.2 57.4 55 55 2,413 2,437 2,530 2,704 3,007 3,257

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_59 - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 240.1 182.1 173.9 168.5 181.2 185.3 35.5 31.1 28.6 Arizona 34.8 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 50.0 20.5 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 105.3 99.2 101.6 101.6 101.6 104.9 16.9 17.0 17.8 California 7.4 7.3 5.5 6.9 7.1 7.5 12.6 12.4 10.2 Colorado 64.8 68.4 73.6 64.9 54.7 55.3 21.5 21.7 22.7 Connecticut 3.8 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 Delaware 4.4 2.1 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.2 1.3 0.9 1.2 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 131.8 161.5 142.3 148.7 135.2 132.1 30.1 31.3 33.4 Georgia 175.6 97.7 101.9 104.6 105.4 108.4 30.4 18.7 20.1 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 174.2 42.4 45.8 48.8 48.8 46.4 19.8 19.1 21.6 Indiana 171.9 92.4 95.8 87.5 87.6 92.0 42.7 44.9 40.0 Iowa 64.1 23.0 22.7 23.9 24.0 26.0 15.9 16.9 17.4 Kansas 45.4 45.4 44.5 45.1 47.2 49.8 14.5 11.3 11.4 Kentucky 70.5 45.9 38.0 38.8 44.8 50.6 31.9 25.0 23.3 Louisiana 117.8 126.8 140.6 108.7 106.2 103.6 14.6 14.6 15.6 Maine 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.6 2.3 2.6 Maryland 25.0 18.2 19.6 19.4 20.1 22.0 7.0 7.0 7.9 Massachusetts 7.9 13.2 15.0 15.0 15.1 15.2 2.0 3.1 3.5 Michigan 117.5 30.1 32.6 32.8 32.0 29.1 24.4 23.2 24.9 Minnesota 47.0 49.2 53.5 52.3 54.2 55.1 15.8 16.1 17.2 Mississippi 33.2 34.3 36.8 34.2 29.7 30.5 11.9 11.6 12.8 Missouri 150.7 41.7 46.6 58.5 60.2 60.8 20.2 19.4 19.7 Montana 20.7 21.6 18.4 15.0 17.9 27.1 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.4 67.2 68.7 68.9 68.9 68.9 12.7 12.8 13.0 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 15.4 22.7 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.8 7.6 7.9 8.2 7.8 7.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 New Jersey 5.4 4.6 7.7 7.8 8.7 8.9 4.4 3.4 4.9 New Mexico 12.6 12.5 11.2 10.9 11.1 14.3 28.6 28.6 28.8 New York 20.1 11.4 11.1 11.7 12.0 11.6 9.9 10.0 9.7 North Carolina 37.4 29.2 34.6 37.3 41.0 41.0 19.1 17.9 18.0 North Dakota 102.3 102.8 105.3 105.3 104.6 104.6 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 129.0 100.7 98.6 114.4 106.2 105.6 29.7 29.0 30.2 Oklahoma 136.1 138.0 141.3 141.3 141.3 142.1 21.9 21.5 23.9 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 78.9 77.3 85.5 85.9 86.3 81.6 45.3 46.8 46.8 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 108.3 106.0 113.4 120.9 121.4 121.4 17.0 16.1 16.6 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 13.2 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 62.2 23.5 21.7 18.1 15.7 16.4 10.6 8.5 7.3 Texas 278.8 252.9 249.4 243.4 227.2 216.4 64.1 64.4 67.6 Utah 34.0 35.8 39.3 35.8 37.4 38.5 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 Virginia 31.4 28.8 25.3 27.5 27.7 28.7 13.9 14.8 13.9 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.7 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.4 5.7

West Virginia 49.2 53.9 53.9 53.8 53.8 53.9 18.2 19.4 19.5 Wisconsin 62.7 20.6 22.8 25.9 27.8 29.9 13.5 11.0 11.9 Wyoming 66.1 52.1 45.2 44.9 44.9 45.9 30.4 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 3,163 2,429 2,460 2,428 2,426 2,474 816 787 8042030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

27.0 26.2 27.5 82.0 72.4 65.6 61.2 59.1 62.0 1.4 19.5 18.8 20.5 40.8 35.6 37.1 37.4 36.5 44.9 0.5 17.9 18.4 18.0 37.9 38.0 39.7 40.1 40.9 40.2 0.8 11.8 13.2 12.7 27.0 26.8 20.9 26.5 27.5 26.9 0.1 23.2 22.7 22.8 48.3 48.9 50.5 51.6 51.6 51.2 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 0.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.8 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 30.8 29.4 28.8 77.9 79.9 85.4 80.6 80.1 78.2 0.6 20.1 20.5 21.0 68.6 42.0 44.7 44.5 45.3 46.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 24.0 24.3 24.4 44.6 43.8 49.1 53.9 54.8 54.8 0.3 40.9 43.3 43.9 100.9 104.3 93.9 96.7 99.4 100.2 0.9 17.7 17.5 17.4 35.7 37.7 38.7 39.9 38.9 38.7 0.8 12.1 12.0 12.2 32.8 25.1 25.5 26.3 26.1 26.4 0.8 23.6 24.3 25.6 71.2 58.3 54.5 56.8 57.7 59.6 0.7 16.4 15.6 15.4 31.5 31.8 34.0 34.8 34.1 34.3 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 6.3 5.4 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 0.0 7.8 7.8 8.6 15.9 15.8 17.9 17.8 17.7 19.8 0.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.7 6.9 7.9 8.2 8.5 8.6 0.0 25.5 25.9 26.4 58.5 52.9 57.0 57.4 58.1 59.2 1.0 17.5 17.5 17.4 34.8 35.7 38.3 39.1 39.4 39.2 0.2 13.2 13.0 13.1 26.6 26.3 28.2 28.9 28.9 28.9 0.2 20.3 20.6 20.8 46.9 44.0 44.9 46.1 46.5 46.8 1.6 9.9 10.4 10.6 18.6 19.3 22.1 23.0 24.1 23.8 0.1 13.2 11.9 11.5 28.1 28.4 28.9 29.2 26.4 25.4 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.4 13.2 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.1 23.2 0.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 5.0 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.1 0.0 4.9 5.4 5.2 9.6 7.2 10.7 10.8 12.0 11.5 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.9 65.0 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.3 67.7 0.3 10.7 11.6 11.4 20.7 20.7 20.7 22.3 23.8 23.7 0.1 18.6 20.0 20.2 43.0 40.8 40.8 42.9 45.9 45.7 0.3 23.6 23.6 23.7 52.9 53.2 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.1 1.0 33.1 34.3 34.2 69.1 67.7 70.4 77.2 78.9 77.4 1.1 23.2 19.9 18.3 44.5 44.4 47.9 47.4 43.6 41.6 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 37.7 37.0 35.5 103.1 107.9 108.8 87.0 85.0 80.9 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 16.7 16.6 16.9 38.9 37.9 38.7 39.7 38.6 38.6 0.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.5 14.4 0.0 7.7 7.9 8.2 21.9 20.4 16.9 17.8 18.1 18.7 0.5 71.0 67.8 66.3 137.8 137.9 144.6 150.5 144.8 141.4 2.4 29.5 29.7 29.7 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 14.0 13.2 14.0 31.4 33.8 32.0 32.9 30.5 31.9 0.1 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.3 6.6 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.4 15.0 15.9 16.2 0.2

19.2 19.9 19.9 41.5 45.5 45.5 44.8 45.5 45.5 0.5 13.9 15.9 16.7 30.4 24.9 27.2 31.9 36.1 38.1 0.7 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.2 70.7 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 812 813 820 1,848 1,787 1,821 1,838 1,840 1,856 232015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 9.6 6.2 6.0 5.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 2.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.8 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 3.7 3.2 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 22 22 23 24 25 55 38 39 382040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

7.3 5.5 96.1 91.0 93.0 97.3 110.8 126.7 0.6 0.8 47.6 45.2 51.8 56.2 52.7 84.6 1.5 1.5 37.8 37.6 40.4 41.1 46.3 51.2 0.0 0.1 45.2 44.0 48.8 63.9 68.2 81.8 0.7 0.8 42.1 42.8 44.1 46.9 49.5 50.2 0.1 0.1 8.8 9.2 9.3 9.1 11.6 12.9 0.1 0.1 5.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.3 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.5 3.9 3.9 127.5 131.2 141.3 152.9 173.3 168.6 0.8 0.7 84.9 87.7 93.6 100.8 115.3 136.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 0.3 0.3 94.4 98.3 102.2 105.0 117.0 147.2 1.2 1.3 123.3 129.4 130.7 132.6 141.8 147.8 0.2 0.2 39.2 42.2 43.9 48.0 55.4 54.9 0.6 0.6 38.9 39.1 39.6 40.0 40.1 40.1 0.6 0.6 92.6 83.5 77.4 80.7 88.3 94.3 1.2 1.3 47.1 46.9 50.5 52.6 57.6 68.2 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.7 0.1 0.1 28.3 29.2 34.2 38.5 53.6 53.7 0.7 0.7 10.6 14.0 15.5 16.5 19.4 22.2 0.3 0.3 64.6 65.6 67.5 67.5 70.9 77.8 0.6 0.6 37.7 39.2 42.5 45.3 52.7 51.6 0.4 0.4 23.7 22.4 25.1 26.6 31.8 36.8 0.5 0.5 71.5 73.8 72.6 73.7 74.6 77.0 0.1 0.1 16.9 17.5 19.3 20.1 21.3 21.7 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.9 33.6 37.2 36.8 0.3 0.4 15.7 15.7 18.3 17.3 28.6 49.4 0.2 0.2 6.7 7.0 6.7 7.0 8.7 8.4 0.1 0.1 19.3 19.8 20.6 24.2 28.9 23.7 0.1 0.1 37.1 37.1 37.1 39.9 40.2 47.2 0.4 0.4 34.6 36.2 36.7 43.1 61.0 62.1 0.7 0.7 69.3 66.8 67.6 76.2 94.1 92.5 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.7 37.8 40.5 40.3 1.2 1.0 114.0 116.5 119.3 129.7 140.1 151.2 1.9 1.9 49.5 50.8 54.5 57.7 59.3 56.2 0.1 0.1 9.5 9.7 10.7 10.7 13.8 14.3 0.6 0.6 111.5 121.8 122.5 125.0 131.2 128.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.6 53.3 52.9 53.4 59.4 72.8 68.1 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 5.3 6.8 6.6 0.1 0.1 47.3 47.3 46.2 50.5 60.2 66.8 3.0 3.0 243.9 244.1 258.7 280.6 297.0 311.5 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.3 38.7 39.6 40.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 36.6 41.4 46.5 52.2 73.5 73.4 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.6 15.5 17.2 24.3 30.2

0.3 0.3 86.2 94.2 95.0 103.0 110.4 115.3 0.2 0.2 51.3 47.8 48.9 49.3 56.4 57.3 0.5 0.5 55.5 55.9 56.0 56.2 56.6 57.6 39 37 2,355 2,389 2,480 2,642 2,948 3,160

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_60 - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 216.5 189.7 191.6 199.9 209.3 208.4 32.0 30.0 27.4 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 45.8 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 87.2 102.5 92.8 104.8 101.6 105.7 15.3 16.8 15.8 California 6.8 7.3 5.4 6.7 7.1 7.5 10.5 12.4 10.1 Colorado 65.9 73.5 74.4 76.0 71.3 75.4 21.5 21.8 22.9 Connecticut 3.4 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.5 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.2 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 112.6 145.3 119.9 136.9 138.6 138.9 29.0 31.0 32.0 Georgia 159.0 90.6 97.5 92.0 92.2 91.9 27.3 18.5 19.6 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 215.8 134.2 117.9 122.1 132.5 132.6 21.4 21.5 24.2 Indiana 260.9 214.2 209.2 211.5 213.9 214.0 47.5 46.1 45.5 Iowa 101.4 91.4 86.5 88.2 92.3 92.1 18.0 18.8 18.6 Kansas 41.5 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 13.6 10.9 10.9 Kentucky 160.7 139.0 127.5 128.9 139.0 139.0 35.0 32.5 30.3 Louisiana 133.8 139.2 142.4 138.6 109.0 108.1 14.2 14.5 15.4 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 28.4 30.4 29.8 29.7 30.4 32.3 6.8 7.4 7.8 Massachusetts 8.4 13.4 15.1 15.4 15.4 15.4 1.8 3.2 3.5 Michigan 195.2 208.6 211.0 172.7 165.2 169.9 27.0 26.9 28.9 Minnesota 46.0 48.2 52.5 52.8 53.7 53.7 14.8 15.5 16.4 Mississippi 30.5 32.1 35.0 35.3 27.6 25.3 11.1 11.5 12.3 Missouri 200.3 198.0 180.0 182.1 190.0 189.5 23.6 22.4 22.8 Montana 23.5 22.8 24.0 16.5 20.9 26.8 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.1 71.2 72.9 73.0 73.0 73.0 12.6 12.5 12.8 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.4 6.9 6.7 7.4 7.7 7.9 1.7 2.1 2.0 New Jersey 5.5 5.9 9.0 9.0 9.9 10.3 3.5 3.6 5.0 New Mexico 13.6 13.9 10.2 11.0 10.8 14.1 28.5 28.6 28.8 New York 25.6 24.3 24.0 24.0 24.9 25.1 10.1 10.0 10.3 North Carolina 128.5 72.8 74.6 74.7 74.3 74.3 22.6 19.6 20.1 North Dakota 101.5 102.8 105.3 105.3 104.6 104.6 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 292.2 219.0 219.5 237.6 240.5 241.1 38.0 38.2 39.9 Oklahoma 136.0 138.0 141.3 141.4 141.3 141.3 21.0 21.3 23.7 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 274.5 177.7 174.2 183.7 167.7 181.1 52.0 52.4 53.6 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 86.0 96.6 98.7 98.7 98.5 98.7 14.2 15.5 15.5 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 101.7 69.7 33.8 37.2 35.7 36.4 14.4 8.5 7.0 Texas 244.4 266.2 249.4 246.8 232.5 242.3 63.0 64.4 67.7 Utah 34.0 34.0 34.9 35.1 35.5 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 82.5 68.5 68.3 68.5 58.9 56.3 16.0 17.0 16.3 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 3.4 5.4 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 135.7 135.0 122.0 123.1 122.4 107.9 24.5 24.4 22.7 Wisconsin 84.1 52.4 55.5 58.5 62.1 63.5 14.7 15.0 15.7 Wyoming 54.1 58.0 48.2 47.8 47.8 48.2 30.5 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 4,070 3,642 3,516 3,546 3,511 3,569 844 831 8472030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

28.9 26.2 26.7 74.2 69.3 63.7 65.3 58.9 60.1 1.2 19.5 18.9 20.2 40.5 35.6 37.1 37.6 36.6 44.0 0.4 17.7 17.8 17.9 33.6 37.5 36.0 39.7 40.1 40.2 0.7 11.9 13.3 13.1 24.9 26.8 20.9 26.6 27.7 27.5 0.1 23.2 23.0 23.1 48.5 49.3 50.9 51.5 51.9 51.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.3 0.0 1.1 1.3 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 30.0 29.3 28.8 74.4 78.4 83.1 79.7 79.9 78.2 0.6 19.9 19.5 19.8 62.9 41.3 43.5 44.0 44.4 44.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 27.2 27.2 27.3 48.5 49.5 55.8 61.7 61.5 61.7 0.3 45.0 48.0 49.2 110.8 107.8 107.3 106.5 110.3 113.1 1.0 19.4 19.3 19.6 40.8 42.5 43.0 45.0 44.4 43.8 1.0 11.3 11.8 11.9 30.8 24.6 25.0 25.0 25.6 25.7 0.8 31.5 32.4 32.9 84.0 77.6 71.9 76.2 76.9 76.9 0.9 16.2 15.5 15.4 30.7 31.6 33.5 34.5 34.1 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.1 8.1 8.5 16.2 17.2 17.9 18.5 18.7 19.9 0.1 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.9 7.0 8.0 8.3 8.7 8.7 0.0 30.1 30.7 30.8 62.4 63.2 67.7 69.8 69.8 69.9 1.0 16.7 16.8 16.8 32.6 34.3 36.7 37.6 37.8 37.7 0.2 12.3 12.3 10.4 24.8 26.1 27.4 27.7 28.0 26.0 0.2 23.5 25.0 25.2 54.3 52.2 52.3 54.1 56.6 56.8 1.9 10.0 10.4 10.4 18.6 19.3 20.9 23.2 24.1 23.6 0.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 27.9 28.0 28.4 29.0 29.1 29.0 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.2 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 4.4 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.1 5.3 5.5 7.5 7.6 11.0 11.0 12.1 12.4 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.8 64.7 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.5 0.3 11.5 11.7 11.3 21.0 20.4 21.2 23.2 24.3 24.3 0.1 21.3 21.5 22.1 51.9 45.1 44.8 48.3 49.3 50.1 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.6 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.1 1.0 42.4 44.2 44.2 92.4 92.1 95.1 100.9 103.1 100.8 1.5 24.0 20.6 17.9 43.6 44.1 47.5 48.4 44.3 40.9 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 42.3 42.2 43.3 120.6 121.5 125.5 98.4 97.7 98.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 16.2 15.7 16.2 33.7 36.2 36.4 37.8 37.9 36.9 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.6 8.1 8.0 34.4 20.6 16.9 17.6 18.5 18.7 0.6 70.1 66.5 65.1 134.2 137.9 145.1 148.6 142.1 139.9 2.4 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 15.1 16.6 17.2 37.4 39.7 39.4 35.7 39.2 39.6 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

23.9 20.9 22.2 58.5 59.3 55.4 56.8 52.4 52.2 0.9 17.3 19.5 20.4 34.9 34.3 36.8 39.9 44.4 46.6 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.4 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 861 862 870 1,937 1,902 1,937 1,961 1,966 1,980 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 7.7 6.5 7.1 6.9 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.8 4.7 3.7 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 3.4 1.7 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 5.5 4.6 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.1 2.6 2.4 2.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 8.1 8.7 8.2 4.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 4.4 1.9 1.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 8.7 6.8 6.6 5.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 7.0 4.2 4.5 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.2 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 3.0 2.4 2.4 2.4 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 4.2 4.6 3.6 3.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 24 24 25 25 26 89 78 74 682040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

8.7 8.7 90.2 87.2 91.0 96.2 109.7 123.0 0.7 0.8 46.2 45.3 51.6 56.3 53.5 82.5 1.5 1.5 33.4 36.5 36.1 40.2 44.3 51.3 0.0 0.1 47.3 44.0 48.9 64.1 68.4 82.9 1.0 1.0 42.0 42.5 44.2 46.5 49.5 50.7 0.1 0.1 9.0 9.2 8.8 9.3 12.0 12.1 0.1 0.1 5.3 3.2 3.4 3.9 4.8 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.4 3.9 3.9 123.5 127.3 136.5 150.7 172.7 170.8 1.4 1.3 79.9 86.8 91.6 99.4 113.9 130.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.5 1.6 103.4 101.7 108.2 110.1 125.0 151.9 4.0 4.3 129.3 134.1 135.4 138.7 145.0 160.7 1.5 1.5 43.5 44.7 46.3 50.9 57.3 58.1 0.6 0.6 37.0 37.1 37.3 38.7 39.2 39.2 2.9 1.8 100.9 100.6 92.9 96.5 101.8 105.8 1.2 1.3 45.2 45.5 49.0 51.5 57.6 68.4 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 5.0 5.4 0.3 0.3 28.6 30.2 32.5 38.4 52.0 53.6 0.8 0.8 11.1 13.3 15.3 16.4 20.1 22.0 3.0 3.1 67.6 70.8 74.5 76.8 78.8 88.1 0.5 0.5 36.8 38.2 41.2 44.0 51.0 51.1 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.8 22.5 24.4 30.6 35.7 3.3 3.2 82.6 81.5 79.8 81.5 85.4 86.9 0.1 0.1 16.6 17.5 18.3 20.1 21.4 21.5 1.2 1.2 30.6 30.8 31.6 33.1 36.4 36.6 0.3 0.4 15.8 15.8 18.3 17.3 27.2 51.4 0.3 0.3 6.4 6.9 6.4 7.0 8.7 9.3 0.1 0.1 18.1 20.8 21.2 24.6 28.1 25.9 0.1 0.1 37.0 37.1 37.5 39.7 39.3 46.8 1.0 0.8 34.2 35.9 37.2 42.8 60.4 69.0 0.8 0.8 74.0 73.1 72.9 82.1 96.4 97.2 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.9 40.1 4.7 4.5 127.1 126.8 132.2 141.0 155.5 172.3 1.9 1.9 49.9 50.1 54.0 58.0 59.0 54.6 0.1 0.1 9.6 9.6 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 3.5 3.6 128.9 128.1 128.3 132.4 139.4 138.6 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.8 3.1 46.7 50.3 51.1 56.1 68.5 69.5 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.5 0.2 0.2 56.5 48.0 47.1 48.3 57.1 63.6 3.0 3.2 238.8 243.5 258.1 280.6 296.4 317.1 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.7 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.8 1.6 39.9 42.9 49.1 57.9 78.0 80.7 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.1 29.9

3.4 2.0 95.4 96.6 98.0 101.8 110.5 118.8 0.8 0.8 53.1 53.7 55.0 56.7 63.2 65.1 0.5 0.5 55.6 56.0 56.0 56.1 56.2 57.4 66 64 2,417 2,444 2,532 2,707 3,010 3,268

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_58 - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 219.4 173.6 186.1 193.0 201.8 206.2 32.1 30.0 27.4 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 45.8 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 91.4 106.7 92.8 104.8 104.8 105.7 15.3 16.9 15.8 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.7 7.1 7.5 10.4 12.4 10.1 Colorado 65.1 73.9 74.3 75.4 70.8 71.6 21.5 21.8 22.8 Connecticut 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.4 2.2 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.2 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 113.4 148.1 117.7 137.1 138.6 139.6 29.0 30.9 32.0 Georgia 159.0 93.2 96.7 93.3 98.9 93.9 27.3 18.5 19.8 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 214.2 132.6 118.2 118.2 124.3 123.5 21.4 21.5 24.4 Indiana 255.6 195.0 201.0 186.1 181.9 186.3 47.3 47.2 45.2 Iowa 80.6 83.8 85.2 85.7 83.4 83.9 18.0 18.7 18.4 Kansas 41.5 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 45.7 13.6 10.6 11.1 Kentucky 146.1 116.9 116.9 97.3 106.6 116.9 35.0 31.6 30.1 Louisiana 130.3 139.2 142.4 135.2 103.9 108.1 14.2 14.5 15.4 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 26.6 30.4 29.8 29.0 29.2 32.3 6.8 7.4 7.7 Massachusetts 8.5 13.4 15.1 15.3 15.4 15.4 1.9 3.2 3.5 Michigan 193.6 162.6 163.2 151.2 132.8 132.3 26.9 25.8 28.3 Minnesota 46.2 49.6 52.4 52.9 53.7 53.7 14.9 15.4 16.5 Mississippi 30.5 32.1 34.9 35.3 27.8 27.3 11.1 11.5 12.2 Missouri 190.4 186.9 178.1 179.2 186.1 170.5 23.3 22.2 22.6 Montana 23.4 22.8 24.0 17.8 20.8 26.8 7.0 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 71.3 70.9 73.0 73.0 73.0 12.7 12.7 13.0 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.4 6.7 6.7 7.4 7.8 9.0 1.7 2.1 2.0 New Jersey 5.5 6.2 9.0 9.0 9.9 10.3 3.5 3.6 5.0 New Mexico 13.6 13.9 10.2 10.9 10.8 14.2 28.5 28.6 28.8 New York 25.6 15.2 14.7 14.8 14.8 16.1 10.1 10.0 10.3 North Carolina 121.8 69.4 71.1 71.3 70.9 70.9 22.3 19.6 20.0 North Dakota 101.5 103.6 105.3 105.4 104.6 104.6 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 250.6 179.0 180.9 196.1 199.5 198.0 36.3 38.2 38.6 Oklahoma 136.0 138.1 141.4 141.3 141.3 141.3 21.0 21.3 23.7 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 252.8 125.5 126.3 126.4 126.8 127.0 51.3 51.4 53.1 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 86.9 100.8 103.7 104.0 103.4 103.8 14.2 15.6 15.7 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 96.5 64.7 33.1 33.1 32.7 33.4 14.3 8.5 7.1 Texas 244.6 266.6 249.7 244.2 229.8 230.3 63.4 64.4 67.8 Utah 34.0 34.0 34.9 36.2 35.6 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 78.6 51.1 51.0 47.6 50.8 50.7 16.2 16.8 16.7 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 3.4 5.6 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 120.3 84.3 84.3 84.2 84.2 84.3 23.6 22.7 23.1 Wisconsin 83.2 50.1 50.8 52.1 54.2 55.7 14.4 14.5 14.8 Wyoming 58.4 58.5 48.2 47.8 47.8 46.9 30.4 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 3,929 3,357 3,281 3,271 3,239 3,287 840 826 8442030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.2 26.2 26.7 74.6 69.2 64.1 65.9 58.9 60.1 1.2 19.5 18.9 20.2 40.5 35.6 37.1 37.5 36.5 44.1 0.4 17.8 17.8 18.0 33.7 37.6 36.3 39.9 39.8 40.2 0.7 11.9 13.3 13.1 24.9 26.8 20.9 26.6 27.7 27.4 0.1 23.3 23.0 23.1 48.5 49.3 50.9 51.9 51.9 51.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.3 0.0 1.1 1.3 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 30.0 29.2 27.5 75.0 78.5 83.1 79.8 79.8 76.9 0.6 20.0 20.4 19.9 62.9 41.5 43.8 44.1 45.3 44.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 27.2 27.3 27.4 48.3 49.2 56.1 61.9 61.7 61.8 0.3 44.3 46.7 48.5 110.8 110.7 106.9 105.2 108.9 110.8 1.0 18.9 19.5 19.6 40.7 42.2 42.7 43.6 44.9 43.8 0.9 11.3 11.8 11.9 30.8 24.4 25.2 25.0 25.6 25.7 0.8 31.1 32.1 32.7 83.9 76.1 71.3 74.9 76.5 76.5 0.9 16.3 15.7 15.4 30.7 31.6 33.5 34.5 34.2 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 7.9 8.0 8.5 15.8 17.2 17.9 18.3 18.6 19.9 0.1 3.7 3.9 3.8 4.9 7.0 8.0 8.3 8.7 8.7 0.0 29.8 29.8 29.9 62.4 60.8 66.7 69.5 68.7 67.7 1.0 16.6 16.8 16.8 33.1 34.4 36.9 37.5 37.8 37.8 0.2 12.3 12.3 10.4 24.8 26.1 27.3 27.8 28.1 26.0 0.2 23.3 24.5 25.1 54.4 52.1 52.5 53.5 55.8 56.4 1.8 10.0 10.4 10.4 18.7 19.3 20.9 23.4 24.1 23.6 0.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 28.1 28.2 28.9 29.0 29.1 29.0 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.3 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 4.4 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.1 5.4 5.5 7.5 7.7 11.1 11.1 12.2 12.5 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.8 64.7 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.5 0.3 11.5 11.7 11.6 21.1 20.5 21.2 23.2 24.3 24.2 0.1 20.9 21.7 22.0 50.5 45.0 44.1 47.2 49.6 49.8 0.5 23.5 23.6 23.6 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.1 1.0 41.8 43.2 45.1 88.6 89.8 93.2 100.1 100.2 102.7 1.4 23.6 20.1 18.0 43.6 44.1 47.5 47.9 43.7 40.9 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 41.8 42.3 41.5 119.6 119.0 123.5 96.2 97.3 94.6 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 15.8 15.6 16.1 34.0 36.8 37.5 37.5 37.5 36.6 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.6 8.1 7.9 33.0 20.5 17.0 17.6 18.5 18.4 0.6 69.9 66.6 65.0 134.6 138.0 145.2 148.5 142.4 139.6 2.4 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 14.8 16.1 18.0 37.7 39.7 39.4 35.2 38.2 41.4 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

24.4 21.2 21.9 56.4 54.0 54.2 56.5 50.4 50.6 0.9 16.9 18.6 19.7 34.3 33.5 35.2 39.9 42.7 44.9 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.2 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 857 858 866 1,929 1,890 1,931 1,952 1,956 1,969 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 7.9 5.0 7.1 6.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.8 4.9 3.8 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 3.3 1.8 1.4 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 5.5 4.2 3.8 3.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.4 2.1 2.0 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 8.0 5.3 4.4 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 3.9 1.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 8.0 3.6 3.4 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 6.7 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.6 4.2 4.3 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.2 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.9 1.6 1.5 1.2 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.9 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 24 24 24 25 26 87 62 59 542040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

8.9 8.8 90.9 87.6 91.4 96.3 109.8 123.0 0.7 0.8 46.2 45.3 51.7 56.2 53.3 82.6 1.5 1.5 33.4 36.8 36.6 40.5 43.8 51.4 0.0 0.1 47.3 43.9 48.8 64.1 68.4 82.9 1.0 0.9 42.0 42.5 44.2 47.0 49.6 50.8 0.1 0.1 9.1 9.2 8.8 9.2 12.0 12.1 0.1 0.1 5.2 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.5 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.5 3.9 3.9 124.0 127.7 136.6 150.9 172.7 170.4 1.2 1.4 79.9 87.1 92.0 99.7 114.0 131.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.4 1.4 102.7 101.8 107.3 109.6 124.4 151.4 3.6 3.8 129.1 132.9 134.9 137.6 144.8 156.1 1.3 1.3 43.4 44.5 46.0 49.6 57.3 58.1 0.6 0.6 37.0 36.9 37.6 38.8 39.2 39.2 1.3 1.4 100.7 98.8 91.7 95.2 100.4 105.1 1.2 1.3 45.4 45.5 49.1 51.6 57.9 68.5 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 5.0 5.4 0.3 0.3 28.4 30.2 32.6 39.0 52.3 53.9 0.8 0.8 11.2 13.3 15.3 16.3 20.3 21.9 2.2 2.0 67.5 68.3 73.7 76.3 78.3 87.8 0.5 0.5 37.2 38.3 41.3 44.0 51.1 51.1 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.8 22.6 24.5 31.2 35.7 3.1 2.8 82.7 81.2 79.8 80.7 84.2 85.9 0.1 0.1 16.7 17.5 18.3 20.2 21.3 21.5 1.2 1.2 30.6 30.9 31.7 33.2 36.4 36.6 0.3 0.4 15.8 15.7 18.3 17.2 27.2 51.4 0.3 0.3 6.5 6.9 6.4 7.0 8.8 8.8 0.1 0.1 18.3 21.0 21.3 24.8 28.5 25.9 0.1 0.1 37.0 37.1 37.5 39.7 39.2 46.8 0.4 0.4 34.3 36.0 37.3 43.4 60.3 70.5 0.7 0.7 73.6 73.2 72.3 80.7 96.7 96.0 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.9 40.1 2.4 2.3 125.4 126.1 131.0 139.5 154.6 167.2 1.9 1.9 49.9 50.1 53.9 57.8 58.8 55.0 0.1 0.1 9.6 9.7 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 1.1 1.1 128.3 126.8 127.3 130.8 137.4 135.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.1 3.9 47.8 50.9 52.0 57.3 68.9 68.4 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.5 0.1 0.1 55.5 47.5 47.1 48.3 57.2 63.9 3.0 3.1 239.2 243.8 258.1 280.5 296.7 314.9 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.7 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.3 39.9 43.1 48.8 57.5 77.5 80.0 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.1 29.9

0.8 0.6 95.0 96.4 97.9 102.2 110.2 118.4 0.7 0.7 52.8 52.8 54.0 55.9 62.9 64.0 0.5 0.5 55.5 56.0 56.0 55.8 56.2 57.4 55 55 2,415 2,437 2,528 2,700 3,005 3,2492012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015

Alabama 216.0 213.3 137.1 148.9 132.8 185.4 31.7 31.5 28.5 29.2 29.6 30.1 72.7 72.0 64.7 66.1 66.8 67.9 1.2 1.1 Arizona 34.6 35.5 36.9 36.9 36.9 45.7 20.2 18.1 19.0 19.2 18.6 19.9 40.0 35.1 36.5 37.0 36.0 43.4 0.4 0.4 Arkansas 87.2 103.4 94.6 104.7 101.5 101.6 15.1 16.8 16.4 17.6 17.7 17.8 33.3 37.4 36.7 39.5 39.8 39.9 0.7 0.8 California 3.1 3.1 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.1 6.7 6.4 6.7 7.1 7.2 7.4 13.6 13.0 13.7 14.5 14.2 14.3 0.1 0.1 Colorado 63.5 71.0 71.7 73.0 69.6 65.6 20.7 20.9 21.3 21.7 22.0 22.1 46.9 47.5 48.4 49.1 49.9 49.7 0.1 0.1 Connecticut 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.1 0.0 0.0 Delaware 3.6 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Florida 111.1 136.0 130.6 140.4 138.2 138.7 27.8 29.9 36.2 30.5 29.8 28.6 71.3 75.8 85.3 78.5 78.6 76.2 0.6 0.7 Georgia 158.5 95.2 98.4 91.9 87.9 81.4 27.9 18.3 19.7 21.0 20.9 20.1 62.0 40.5 42.7 45.4 45.8 44.5 0.4 0.3 Idaho 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 Illinois 234.9 124.1 109.6 111.7 120.6 120.6 21.2 21.4 23.1 24.1 26.5 27.5 47.9 48.5 53.4 55.1 59.8 62.3 0.3 0.3 Indiana 285.4 161.1 158.1 172.0 174.1 165.5 47.4 46.2 44.0 46.4 48.5 49.6 109.7 108.4 103.2 107.8 110.9 113.2 0.9 0.9 Iowa 107.1 75.2 77.7 82.6 86.9 87.1 16.5 16.2 16.3 18.1 19.3 19.4 38.3 37.5 38.3 41.9 43.9 44.2 1.0 0.9 Kansas 41.5 60.8 44.9 46.5 47.3 49.4 13.5 11.0 11.1 11.7 11.7 11.8 30.7 25.6 25.7 26.6 26.8 26.9 0.8 0.9 Kentucky 189.3 106.3 95.5 101.3 114.7 131.0 36.2 32.7 31.0 33.1 33.9 34.2 85.1 77.2 72.4 78.0 79.4 79.9 0.9 0.8 Louisiana 111.4 137.0 143.3 133.1 113.2 118.4 13.6 13.9 14.8 17.8 14.9 14.8 29.4 30.3 32.2 35.4 32.7 32.8 1.0 1.1 Maine 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.0 0.0 Maryland 30.1 28.2 29.5 29.3 31.0 31.4 7.3 7.2 7.8 7.9 8.7 8.8 16.6 16.6 17.5 18.0 20.1 20.4 0.1 0.1 Massachusetts 8.3 13.3 15.0 15.3 15.3 15.3 1.7 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7 4.6 6.7 7.6 7.9 8.2 8.3 0.0 0.0 Michigan 194.5 144.0 139.4 148.1 149.6 151.0 25.8 24.7 26.3 28.4 30.2 31.0 60.2 57.8 61.7 65.7 68.7 70.0 1.0 1.0 Minnesota 42.0 45.6 46.4 46.5 46.6 57.7 12.8 13.6 14.2 14.7 15.0 15.0 29.6 31.3 32.8 33.4 34.0 34.0 0.1 0.2 Mississippi 28.0 29.2 30.3 31.0 23.1 22.2 10.6 11.3 11.8 12.6 12.6 12.4 23.9 25.3 26.2 27.3 27.6 27.2 0.2 0.2 Missouri 207.5 165.9 162.7 166.5 173.9 174.7 22.8 21.1 21.3 22.0 23.2 23.5 52.4 48.7 49.0 50.4 52.9 53.3 1.9 1.7 Montana 23.5 22.8 24.2 17.3 24.4 27.8 6.9 7.3 8.7 9.8 10.4 10.4 18.6 19.3 21.4 23.0 24.1 23.7 0.1 0.1 Nebraska 65.1 70.2 67.3 67.3 67.3 67.3 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.1 12.2 12.3 26.4 26.7 27.3 27.3 27.6 27.6 0.4 0.4 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.0 6.3 7.0 6.8 7.2 10.7 13.0 13.7 15.3 15.0 15.6 23.9 0.0 0.1 New Hampshire 4.7 6.8 6.0 6.9 7.1 7.4 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 3.4 4.2 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.1 0.0 0.0 New Jersey 5.6 6.6 7.9 8.7 8.7 8.5 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.0 7.3 7.8 8.6 9.1 9.3 8.8 0.0 0.0 New Mexico 13.6 13.6 9.9 10.0 9.9 13.3 28.4 28.4 28.7 28.8 28.5 29.7 64.6 64.6 65.0 65.2 64.9 67.1 0.3 0.3 New York 20.5 11.8 11.8 11.9 11.2 16.4 8.3 9.0 9.4 11.2 11.0 12.5 17.5 18.5 19.3 21.8 22.5 26.4 0.1 0.0 North Carolina 136.9 57.6 60.4 78.9 76.7 77.8 22.2 18.5 18.6 19.9 20.6 21.2 50.6 41.6 40.5 44.4 46.8 48.1 0.6 0.4 North Dakota 101.3 103.6 105.3 105.4 105.3 104.7 23.1 23.3 23.5 23.5 23.6 23.6 52.9 53.2 53.8 53.8 54.1 54.1 1.0 1.0 Ohio 310.2 137.1 132.8 169.3 175.1 180.8 40.1 37.8 37.9 43.1 45.1 48.0 92.7 87.5 89.3 99.4 104.8 109.4 1.5 1.2 Oklahoma 136.0 138.1 141.4 141.3 141.3 142.1 21.8 22.1 23.9 25.6 22.0 19.3 44.4 44.9 47.5 49.8 45.7 42.5 1.0 1.0 Oregon 10.0 11.1 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 8.0 8.8 10.1 10.1 10.4 10.2 0.0 0.0 Pennsylvania 278.7 112.0 110.7 121.5 124.3 125.9 52.2 51.9 53.4 54.5 55.5 55.3 120.0 119.2 122.7 125.1 126.4 125.9 1.3 1.0 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 South Carolina 88.6 103.4 100.4 109.8 109.2 110.1 13.9 16.1 15.7 17.7 18.2 18.2 32.5 36.8 36.6 40.2 41.4 41.5 0.3 0.3 South Dakota 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.4 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.8 13.8 13.9 0.0 0.0 Tennessee 148.1 58.8 33.1 34.0 33.1 33.6 14.9 8.0 7.4 7.7 8.0 8.3 35.7 19.3 17.2 17.7 18.4 19.0 0.6 0.4 Texas 244.0 283.7 249.0 243.7 227.5 218.1 63.0 64.4 68.7 72.4 69.1 67.9 133.6 138.4 145.9 152.7 145.6 144.2 2.3 2.5 Utah 34.0 33.5 34.9 36.2 35.6 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 Vermont 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Virginia 70.8 35.1 34.2 40.3 42.9 44.3 14.5 15.2 16.1 17.6 19.5 19.5 33.2 34.9 36.3 40.4 44.0 44.4 0.3 0.3 Washington 5.2 2.8 4.9 3.1 3.1 7.0 4.2 4.5 5.1 5.4 5.8 5.8 10.3 11.1 12.5 12.9 13.9 13.9 0.2 0.2 West Virginia 146.2 75.7 79.2 90.0 89.8 95.2 25.3 23.3 24.7 26.3 29.5 32.1 59.5 54.6 57.1 60.6 68.4 73.6 0.9 0.8 Wisconsin 79.5 40.1 43.9 45.9 51.9 52.7 13.7 13.2 14.2 14.9 16.8 16.7 31.6 30.4 32.6 33.9 37.8 37.9 0.8 0.8 Wyoming 51.5 55.7 46.0 45.6 45.6 44.8 29.9 29.9 30.5 30.6 30.6 30.6 68.9 69.4 70.0 70.0 70.0 70.1 1.1 1.2 Nationwide 4,178 3,178 2,989 3,131 3,118 3,236 826 803 826 863 876 889 1,881 1,827 1,868 1,941 1,980 2,014 25 24 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOx (thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_101 - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 222.6 165.2 156.5 164.4 191.0 194.9 32.3 32.0 29.5 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 50.0 20.4 18.3 19.3 Arkansas 94.7 99.2 101.1 101.6 101.6 101.6 15.4 17.0 17.4 California 6.8 7.4 5.5 6.9 7.1 7.5 10.3 12.4 10.1 Colorado 60.3 68.8 70.7 75.5 52.1 59.6 21.4 21.6 22.7 Connecticut 3.3 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.0 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.3 2.0 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.2 0.9 1.2 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 111.9 154.9 144.4 149.0 140.4 133.4 28.6 31.7 38.4 Georgia 152.7 99.5 103.1 105.5 107.0 108.7 27.3 19.2 20.5 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 219.0 52.7 56.2 62.2 66.5 66.6 21.3 21.0 23.2 Indiana 289.1 86.3 94.6 98.2 97.0 103.4 47.2 44.5 44.0 Iowa 104.6 24.7 26.2 27.7 32.5 32.7 18.8 16.8 17.5 Kansas 41.5 45.5 46.5 47.1 47.3 45.4 13.6 12.0 12.1 Kentucky 200.8 47.2 42.6 52.6 61.4 82.3 36.1 30.5 29.0 Louisiana 124.2 127.7 146.0 116.7 106.2 108.7 13.9 14.6 15.6 Maine 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 1.8 2.6 2.6 Maryland 29.6 19.0 20.5 21.0 21.9 23.3 7.0 6.9 7.7 Massachusetts 8.1 13.4 15.1 15.1 15.3 15.4 1.8 3.2 3.6 Michigan 196.3 35.5 39.3 41.4 42.5 38.7 26.8 25.3 27.8 Minnesota 45.3 49.2 53.4 52.2 54.2 57.8 14.5 16.2 17.1 Mississippi 29.7 34.6 36.8 37.4 29.6 26.8 11.0 12.0 12.9 Missouri 200.6 35.1 37.2 49.1 55.2 43.4 24.0 19.0 19.7 Montana 21.9 22.3 19.1 16.4 15.8 27.8 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 67.2 68.7 68.7 68.7 68.7 12.7 13.0 13.4 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 15.4 22.5 6.1 6.5 7.1 New Hampshire 3.4 7.2 7.3 8.4 8.6 7.8 1.7 2.3 2.1 New Jersey 5.5 4.9 8.0 8.2 9.6 9.7 3.6 3.6 5.1 New Mexico 11.8 12.6 10.2 10.9 10.8 13.9 27.7 28.4 28.8 New York 30.8 10.9 11.8 12.6 12.7 17.4 10.1 10.7 10.4 North Carolina 134.3 29.3 30.3 45.0 73.0 69.5 23.1 18.5 18.3 North Dakota 101.3 102.8 105.3 105.3 105.3 104.6 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 348.4 99.5 99.2 121.5 125.3 119.6 41.1 34.1 36.1 Oklahoma 136.0 138.0 141.3 141.3 141.3 142.1 22.0 22.4 24.0 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 282.7 76.8 85.9 93.2 94.8 91.7 53.0 51.0 53.0 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 89.1 109.4 111.7 117.1 156.6 130.7 13.8 17.1 17.5 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 13.2 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 130.9 23.5 20.9 18.3 16.1 21.8 14.7 8.4 7.4 Texas 239.0 274.1 249.9 244.1 228.1 215.7 62.6 65.2 69.6 Utah 34.0 34.0 37.0 35.6 37.7 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 Virginia 80.9 29.3 28.3 31.9 34.2 37.6 15.7 17.2 16.7 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.4 5.6

West Virginia 145.3 56.3 58.5 65.8 68.1 65.1 25.7 24.2 25.1 Wisconsin 82.6 25.1 26.3 30.9 36.1 38.0 15.2 12.8 13.3 Wyoming 62.1 54.3 46.0 45.6 45.6 46.0 30.3 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 4,248 2,447 2,469 2,535 2,627 2,652 850 821 8512030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.8 30.1 30.6 72.0 73.2 67.0 67.5 68.0 69.1 1.2 19.5 18.8 20.5 40.4 35.6 37.1 37.4 36.5 44.8 0.4 17.9 18.1 18.0 33.9 37.9 39.3 39.9 40.2 40.3 0.7 11.8 13.2 12.8 25.0 26.8 20.8 26.5 27.5 27.1 0.1 23.1 22.8 22.8 48.1 48.7 50.6 51.7 51.6 51.3 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.3 0.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.8 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 32.5 31.3 30.3 73.8 80.3 90.3 82.6 82.2 79.9 0.6 21.8 21.7 22.0 60.8 42.7 45.2 47.5 47.9 48.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 26.3 28.0 29.3 48.3 47.2 52.6 59.8 63.5 66.3 0.3 44.6 45.8 46.2 109.7 102.8 101.8 103.7 104.8 105.5 1.0 18.0 20.2 21.0 41.7 37.5 38.8 40.4 45.1 47.1 1.0 12.6 12.7 13.0 30.8 26.7 27.1 27.7 27.8 28.1 0.8 30.7 31.6 31.9 84.7 71.7 67.7 71.5 74.0 74.6 0.9 19.3 15.5 15.4 30.4 31.8 33.9 37.7 34.1 34.3 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 4.9 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.0 8.7 9.3 16.4 15.9 17.7 18.5 19.8 21.5 0.1 3.7 3.9 3.8 4.9 7.1 8.0 8.2 8.6 8.7 0.0 28.7 29.7 30.0 62.6 58.1 63.1 65.8 67.0 67.4 1.0 17.3 17.5 17.4 32.1 35.8 38.1 38.8 39.4 39.2 0.2 13.2 13.0 13.1 24.5 26.6 28.3 28.8 28.8 28.7 0.2 20.1 20.4 20.8 54.7 43.7 44.9 45.3 46.1 46.5 1.9 10.0 10.5 10.6 18.6 19.3 21.7 23.2 24.2 23.9 0.1 13.2 13.1 13.0 28.1 28.6 29.3 29.1 29.2 29.0 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.4 13.3 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.1 23.0 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 4.1 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.3 5.8 5.7 7.6 7.6 11.2 11.4 12.9 12.8 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.9 63.5 64.8 65.1 65.6 65.2 67.7 0.3 12.7 12.8 14.2 21.3 22.0 21.9 25.1 26.3 30.0 0.1 20.0 21.9 22.4 52.1 42.1 41.0 45.2 49.9 50.9 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.6 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.1 1.0 40.4 44.8 45.2 95.8 80.2 83.6 93.0 101.8 102.7 1.6 25.8 22.3 19.6 44.6 45.3 47.7 50.0 46.0 42.9 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 53.6 54.7 54.5 121.6 117.0 121.2 122.7 124.7 124.1 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.6 19.0 18.7 32.3 39.5 40.0 42.3 43.3 42.8 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.7 7.8 8.1 31.0 20.4 16.6 17.8 17.9 18.5 0.6 72.5 69.5 67.9 132.0 140.0 147.8 153.3 146.9 144.0 2.3 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 18.6 20.1 21.3 36.9 39.2 37.6 41.0 45.5 48.5 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.6 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 15.9 16.1 0.2

26.8 27.3 31.2 60.0 57.0 58.9 61.7 62.6 71.5 0.9 15.7 18.5 19.2 34.6 29.0 30.7 36.2 42.0 43.8 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.2 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 885 898 911 1,930 1,863 1,913 1,984 2,022 2,060 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 9.1 4.9 4.7 5.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.7 4.0 4.0 3.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.1 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 3.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 6.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 8.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 3.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 4.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.1 9.2 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 7.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.5 4.7 4.7 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 4.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.1 3.1 3.6 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 4.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 23 23 24 25 26 93 38 38 392040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

8.2 8.8 89.6 90.9 93.4 96.8 109.1 122.4 0.6 0.8 45.5 45.4 51.8 56.1 52.9 84.4 1.5 1.5 33.8 37.3 39.3 40.2 44.8 51.3 0.0 0.1 48.4 43.8 48.9 63.8 67.9 82.2 0.7 0.8 42.0 42.5 44.2 46.9 49.7 50.2 0.1 0.1 9.1 9.2 9.0 9.1 11.7 12.1 0.1 0.1 5.2 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.4 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.6 3.9 3.9 123.9 130.1 141.6 152.7 173.4 169.4 0.7 0.7 78.3 88.0 93.3 100.9 115.2 131.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 0.4 0.4 102.8 100.9 103.3 109.2 123.5 151.5 1.3 1.4 127.8 130.0 131.6 132.5 140.3 147.5 0.2 0.2 44.1 41.6 43.5 48.1 57.6 57.8 0.6 0.6 36.9 39.2 39.6 40.0 40.1 40.1 0.6 0.8 100.4 91.3 84.2 90.6 97.8 103.5 1.2 1.3 44.7 46.5 50.4 52.9 57.9 68.5 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 5.0 5.4 0.1 0.1 28.7 29.1 32.6 38.1 53.0 55.1 0.8 0.8 11.4 13.7 15.5 16.0 20.2 21.8 0.4 0.3 67.7 67.4 70.8 72.5 74.6 80.6 0.6 0.6 36.3 39.3 42.4 44.8 51.7 51.0 0.4 0.3 19.7 21.4 25.0 25.3 31.5 36.1 0.4 0.5 82.7 73.2 73.0 73.6 75.0 76.8 0.1 0.2 16.6 17.5 19.0 20.2 21.4 21.6 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.9 33.4 36.7 36.5 0.3 0.4 16.0 16.1 18.3 17.2 28.6 49.1 0.3 0.2 6.1 6.9 6.5 6.9 8.7 8.7 0.1 0.1 18.6 20.4 21.3 24.9 30.1 26.3 0.1 0.1 36.5 36.7 37.3 39.8 39.2 47.2 0.4 0.4 34.7 36.0 36.8 44.0 60.3 72.3 0.7 0.7 76.0 68.2 66.3 78.0 96.5 93.5 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.7 40.1 40.0 1.2 1.1 129.0 119.3 123.0 135.1 150.1 159.2 1.9 1.9 50.6 50.6 54.1 57.9 59.4 56.0 0.1 0.1 9.3 9.7 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 0.8 0.7 129.6 123.1 124.8 127.7 134.4 132.3 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 6.0 4.7 45.7 53.3 53.5 59.6 71.5 66.9 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 5.2 6.6 6.5 0.1 0.1 53.5 47.3 44.8 48.8 58.0 64.9 3.0 3.0 236.1 244.3 258.8 281.0 297.6 315.5 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.4 38.7 39.7 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 39.7 43.3 48.0 56.0 76.9 78.1 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.6 15.5 17.4 24.3 30.0

0.3 0.3 95.9 95.5 96.4 103.5 110.8 118.5 0.3 0.3 52.5 50.2 50.9 53.0 60.5 61.5 0.5 0.5 55.4 56.0 56.0 55.9 56.2 57.4 42 42 2,411 2,409 2,498 2,674 2,985 3,208

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_52 - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 224.2 236.2 139.7 150.0 133.2 194.0 32.2 32.0 29.2 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 45.8 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 87.2 99.2 95.0 104.8 105.7 101.6 15.3 17.0 16.6 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.7 7.1 7.5 10.5 12.4 10.1 Colorado 65.2 73.5 74.1 75.2 71.7 67.9 21.5 21.8 22.6 Connecticut 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.4 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.1 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 112.8 160.0 133.9 141.3 139.0 139.6 29.2 31.2 37.6 Georgia 158.4 95.5 100.1 94.3 91.9 81.5 28.5 19.2 20.4 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 239.4 106.9 90.8 95.2 99.7 98.6 21.5 21.4 24.7 Indiana 296.0 139.5 142.7 144.1 144.6 145.0 47.8 46.1 45.1 Iowa 112.3 50.7 53.8 57.7 62.4 62.7 18.8 18.6 18.6 Kansas 41.6 61.4 45.8 46.8 47.3 47.3 13.7 11.7 11.8 Kentucky 191.3 88.8 83.5 94.0 103.0 118.1 36.2 31.7 30.6 Louisiana 122.3 139.2 145.8 136.0 110.6 120.6 14.1 14.6 15.4 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 30.1 23.6 25.5 28.1 29.6 32.0 7.2 7.2 7.9 Massachusetts 8.2 13.4 15.0 15.3 15.4 15.4 1.8 3.1 3.5 Michigan 197.4 97.9 105.5 112.1 112.1 113.0 26.9 26.2 28.5 Minnesota 45.2 50.2 52.9 53.4 54.1 61.5 14.4 15.6 16.5 Mississippi 30.5 32.5 34.9 35.6 27.8 26.8 11.1 11.9 12.4 Missouri 214.9 93.1 93.3 96.8 104.4 104.7 24.0 21.5 22.4 Montana 23.6 22.8 22.9 16.1 23.4 27.8 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 71.5 68.7 68.7 68.7 68.7 12.7 12.9 13.2 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.1 7.1 6.6 8.5 8.5 8.2 1.7 2.2 2.0 New Jersey 5.6 6.5 9.9 10.4 11.1 11.6 3.5 3.8 5.2 New Mexico 11.9 14.3 10.2 10.9 10.8 14.2 28.1 28.5 28.8 New York 25.7 12.3 12.9 13.1 14.2 18.9 10.0 10.6 10.8 North Carolina 141.3 46.1 52.3 79.0 79.9 81.0 23.3 19.6 19.2 North Dakota 101.3 103.6 105.4 105.4 105.3 104.6 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 323.7 145.4 140.2 185.8 198.6 207.2 41.4 39.2 38.9 Oklahoma 136.0 138.0 141.3 141.3 141.3 142.1 21.9 22.2 24.0 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 281.1 103.9 107.8 114.7 124.0 124.4 53.0 52.7 54.7 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 91.7 108.7 108.4 116.3 115.5 116.6 14.3 16.7 16.7 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 142.9 58.8 33.1 32.6 32.7 31.7 14.9 8.0 7.4 Texas 240.3 281.7 249.6 244.0 227.8 218.5 63.4 65.1 69.7 Utah 34.0 34.0 34.9 36.2 36.8 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 81.7 44.1 45.3 47.2 49.9 51.0 16.3 17.0 17.5 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 3.4 5.3 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 144.6 72.6 72.0 81.4 84.3 91.8 25.4 24.6 25.6 Wisconsin 84.5 39.8 43.8 49.4 54.7 58.7 15.2 14.2 15.0 Wyoming 53.6 58.2 48.2 47.8 46.5 46.9 30.5 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 4,283 3,042 2,860 3,003 3,001 3,132 856 836 8642030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.8 30.1 30.6 73.6 73.2 66.2 67.3 67.9 69.0 1.2 19.5 18.9 20.2 40.4 35.6 37.0 37.6 36.6 44.1 0.4 17.9 17.9 18.0 33.6 37.7 37.3 39.9 40.0 40.3 0.7 11.8 13.3 13.2 25.1 26.8 20.9 26.5 27.7 27.5 0.1 23.0 23.0 23.1 48.5 49.3 50.6 51.5 51.8 51.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 32.2 31.3 30.3 74.7 79.3 88.6 82.1 82.1 80.0 0.6 21.8 21.7 20.9 62.8 42.4 44.9 47.3 47.9 46.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 27.4 29.5 30.7 48.5 48.9 57.0 62.6 66.9 69.6 0.3 47.2 48.3 49.8 110.6 107.9 104.7 109.8 111.6 113.7 0.9 20.2 21.1 21.3 41.9 40.7 41.5 45.1 47.3 47.7 1.0 12.5 12.6 13.0 30.9 26.4 26.7 27.6 27.7 28.1 0.8 32.5 33.3 33.6 85.0 74.0 70.9 76.6 77.9 78.4 0.9 19.2 15.6 15.4 30.5 31.7 33.6 37.5 34.1 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.2 8.6 9.5 16.6 16.5 17.8 18.4 19.9 22.0 0.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.8 7.0 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.7 0.0 31.1 32.8 33.8 62.8 61.5 66.3 71.2 74.4 76.0 1.0 17.1 17.5 17.4 32.1 35.0 37.3 38.4 39.3 39.2 0.2 13.2 13.2 13.0 24.8 26.5 27.6 28.6 29.1 28.6 0.2 23.0 24.0 24.4 54.9 49.8 50.8 52.0 54.5 54.9 1.9 9.9 10.4 10.5 18.6 19.3 21.4 23.2 24.1 23.8 0.1 13.1 13.0 13.0 28.0 28.4 29.2 29.0 29.0 29.0 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.3 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 4.2 5.1 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.5 5.9 6.0 7.4 8.0 11.5 12.0 13.2 13.4 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.9 64.3 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.5 0.3 12.9 13.0 14.3 20.9 21.7 22.4 25.4 26.5 30.1 0.1 21.4 22.3 23.0 53.2 43.4 43.1 48.4 50.9 52.2 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.6 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.8 54.1 54.1 1.0 45.1 48.4 50.2 96.1 90.8 91.3 105.3 110.9 114.5 1.6 25.8 22.2 19.5 44.5 45.0 47.7 50.1 45.9 42.6 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 56.0 57.0 56.8 121.6 120.8 125.7 128.1 129.9 129.5 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.5 18.9 19.0 33.3 38.5 38.9 42.0 43.2 43.2 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.7 8.1 8.1 33.6 19.4 17.3 17.7 18.5 18.4 0.6 73.2 69.9 68.4 133.4 139.9 147.7 154.5 147.3 145.3 2.4 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 18.5 21.0 21.4 37.3 39.5 40.0 43.0 47.5 49.0 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

26.7 31.1 33.3 59.9 57.2 60.0 61.8 71.6 76.4 0.9 17.5 20.4 21.2 34.9 32.3 34.7 40.5 46.4 48.5 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.3 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 909 925 938 1,945 1,899 1,949 2,042 2,086 2,122 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.2 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 8.8 8.6 3.8 3.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 3.5 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 5.7 2.2 2.1 2.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.5 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 8.3 1.7 1.7 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 3.6 1.2 1.2 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 4.6 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 9.5 1.5 1.4 2.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.7 4.5 4.5 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 4.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.2 3.1 3.7 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 4.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 24 24 25 26 27 95 50 43 452040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

4.8 8.8 89.5 90.3 92.4 96.4 109.2 121.9 0.7 0.8 45.8 45.1 51.8 56.5 53.6 82.5 1.5 1.5 33.4 36.9 37.4 40.1 44.3 51.6 0.0 0.1 47.9 43.9 48.9 64.0 68.3 82.9 1.0 0.9 42.0 42.5 44.0 46.6 49.4 50.8 0.1 0.1 9.2 9.2 8.8 9.3 11.9 12.0 0.1 0.1 5.2 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 3.9 3.9 124.1 128.5 138.3 150.6 173.0 170.8 0.7 0.6 79.2 87.6 93.0 100.2 113.9 131.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 0.8 0.8 102.9 101.1 107.2 111.0 125.8 153.1 2.3 2.2 128.6 132.2 132.8 136.9 142.7 157.8 0.9 0.9 44.2 43.7 45.3 50.0 57.5 57.8 0.6 0.6 37.1 38.8 39.1 39.9 40.1 40.1 1.4 1.3 100.3 96.0 89.5 94.6 99.9 104.0 1.3 1.4 44.9 45.5 49.0 52.7 58.1 68.5 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 5.0 5.3 0.3 0.3 28.8 29.7 31.4 38.0 51.9 54.5 0.8 0.8 11.1 13.2 15.2 16.2 19.9 21.7 1.6 1.6 67.9 68.4 73.5 76.5 79.8 90.3 0.5 0.5 36.2 38.8 41.7 44.2 51.1 50.9 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.9 22.7 24.6 31.6 35.6 1.4 1.4 82.9 77.6 76.9 78.8 82.4 84.1 0.1 0.2 16.6 17.5 18.7 20.2 21.3 21.5 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.8 33.0 36.3 36.5 0.3 0.4 15.9 15.8 18.3 17.2 27.1 51.3 0.3 0.3 6.2 7.0 6.4 6.9 8.7 9.0 0.1 0.1 18.5 20.9 21.7 25.6 30.1 26.5 0.1 0.1 36.8 37.0 37.5 39.7 39.3 46.8 0.3 0.4 34.3 36.1 37.3 43.6 60.7 72.4 0.9 0.9 76.1 71.0 70.5 81.3 97.1 97.3 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.9 40.0 2.4 2.4 128.8 126.9 129.5 141.9 155.0 170.3 1.9 1.9 50.4 50.3 54.1 58.0 59.1 55.2 0.1 0.1 9.3 9.7 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 1.0 1.0 129.3 127.9 128.5 131.5 138.0 136.7 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.9 4.9 46.3 52.7 53.1 58.4 70.3 70.4 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.5 0.1 0.1 56.2 46.0 47.2 48.3 57.4 64.1 3.0 3.0 237.5 244.1 258.3 281.2 296.1 319.1 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.7 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.3 40.0 42.8 49.8 57.6 78.3 78.9 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.1 30.0

0.6 0.6 95.8 95.9 97.6 101.7 112.6 120.1 0.7 0.7 53.0 52.1 54.2 55.7 62.7 63.8 0.5 0.5 55.6 56.0 56.0 55.8 56.2 57.4 46 50 2,418 2,434 2,526 2,706 3,011 3,268

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_51 - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 219.4 214.3 138.2 149.3 133.2 174.3 32.2 32.0 29.0 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 45.8 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 87.2 99.2 94.6 109.0 109.0 104.9 15.3 17.0 16.6 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.7 7.1 7.5 10.5 12.4 10.1 Colorado 65.5 73.6 73.9 75.5 72.6 70.8 21.5 21.8 22.7 Connecticut 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.5 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.1 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 111.9 138.9 133.7 141.2 139.0 139.6 29.2 31.2 37.5 Georgia 159.8 96.1 100.1 93.2 91.5 82.6 28.5 19.1 20.4 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 239.4 122.2 109.3 116.3 124.5 124.0 21.5 21.5 24.9 Indiana 299.0 171.8 168.5 179.2 181.7 180.5 47.8 46.4 44.2 Iowa 112.3 72.5 73.7 79.0 84.3 84.2 18.8 18.6 18.8 Kansas 41.6 61.3 45.5 46.7 47.3 47.3 13.7 11.6 11.8 Kentucky 189.8 102.9 89.8 98.6 111.0 121.8 36.2 32.8 31.1 Louisiana 115.1 139.2 142.4 130.9 107.5 117.2 14.0 14.6 15.4 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 30.1 25.7 27.9 28.7 30.6 32.3 7.2 7.2 7.9 Massachusetts 8.2 13.4 15.0 15.3 15.4 15.4 1.8 3.1 3.5 Michigan 197.4 109.5 114.9 124.1 123.5 124.0 26.9 26.0 28.1 Minnesota 45.3 50.2 52.7 53.1 54.1 61.9 14.4 15.6 16.5 Mississippi 30.5 32.5 34.9 35.6 27.8 26.8 11.1 11.9 12.4 Missouri 214.9 118.9 119.6 121.7 130.6 131.8 24.0 22.1 22.6 Montana 23.0 22.8 24.2 17.3 22.9 27.8 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 71.5 68.7 68.7 68.7 68.7 12.7 12.9 13.2 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.1 7.2 6.2 7.4 7.8 7.9 1.7 2.2 1.9 New Jersey 5.6 6.5 10.0 10.4 11.3 12.1 3.5 3.8 5.2 New Mexico 12.4 14.3 10.2 10.9 10.8 14.2 28.4 28.5 28.8 New York 25.7 13.4 13.4 14.2 14.2 19.0 10.0 10.6 10.8 North Carolina 141.3 54.7 57.1 82.3 79.2 81.1 23.3 19.9 19.9 North Dakota 101.3 102.8 105.3 105.4 105.3 104.6 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 324.4 153.5 154.1 193.3 206.7 213.9 41.4 40.1 40.7 Oklahoma 136.0 138.1 141.3 141.3 141.3 142.1 21.9 22.2 24.0 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 279.9 109.7 110.9 119.5 125.1 126.1 52.9 52.7 55.1 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 91.7 108.1 108.1 116.3 115.8 115.9 14.3 16.7 16.8 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 144.3 58.8 33.1 33.1 32.7 32.4 14.9 8.0 7.4 Texas 242.4 281.7 249.6 244.0 227.8 218.5 63.6 65.1 69.6 Utah 34.0 34.0 34.9 36.2 35.6 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 82.8 46.0 46.1 49.9 53.3 52.0 16.3 17.0 17.9 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 5.7 5.4 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 145.3 75.5 76.3 85.8 89.1 94.6 25.4 23.9 25.2 Wisconsin 84.9 43.6 48.5 53.9 60.2 64.0 15.2 14.7 15.4 Wyoming 56.8 58.0 48.2 47.8 47.8 46.9 30.5 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 4,282 3,155 2,995 3,149 3,153 3,259 857 839 8662030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.7 30.1 30.6 73.8 73.1 66.0 67.3 67.9 69.0 1.2 19.5 18.9 20.2 40.4 35.6 37.0 37.6 36.6 44.0 0.4 17.9 18.0 18.0 33.6 37.8 37.1 39.9 40.2 40.3 0.7 11.8 13.3 13.2 25.1 26.8 20.9 26.5 27.7 27.6 0.1 23.1 23.0 23.1 48.5 49.3 50.7 51.5 51.9 51.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 32.0 31.3 30.3 74.6 79.2 88.5 81.9 82.1 80.0 0.6 21.8 21.7 20.9 63.3 42.4 44.9 47.3 47.9 46.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 27.6 29.8 30.9 48.5 49.0 57.5 63.0 67.4 70.0 0.3 47.2 48.9 50.1 110.7 108.7 103.5 109.2 112.2 114.4 0.9 20.1 21.3 21.3 41.9 40.7 41.8 45.6 47.6 47.7 1.0 12.5 12.7 13.0 30.9 26.3 26.5 27.5 27.8 28.1 0.8 33.1 33.9 34.2 85.1 77.0 71.6 78.1 79.5 79.9 0.9 18.7 15.6 15.4 30.5 31.6 33.6 37.0 34.2 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.2 9.0 9.4 16.6 16.5 17.8 18.6 20.7 21.9 0.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.8 7.0 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.7 0.0 31.1 32.9 33.8 62.8 61.3 66.2 71.6 74.5 76.1 1.0 17.1 17.5 17.4 32.2 35.0 37.3 38.3 39.3 39.2 0.2 13.2 13.2 13.0 24.8 26.5 27.6 28.6 29.0 28.6 0.2 23.5 24.7 25.0 54.9 50.5 52.1 53.2 56.0 56.4 1.9 9.9 10.4 10.5 18.6 19.3 21.4 23.1 24.1 23.8 0.1 13.1 13.1 13.0 28.0 28.4 29.1 29.0 29.1 29.0 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.3 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 4.2 5.1 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.5 6.0 5.9 7.4 8.0 11.5 11.9 13.3 13.4 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.8 64.6 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.5 0.3 12.9 13.0 14.3 20.9 21.7 22.4 25.4 26.5 30.1 0.1 21.8 22.4 23.0 53.2 44.4 43.8 48.8 51.1 52.2 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.6 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.8 54.1 54.1 1.0 45.0 48.1 50.8 96.2 93.3 95.4 105.4 111.5 115.7 1.6 25.8 22.2 19.5 44.6 45.0 47.7 50.1 45.9 42.7 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 56.1 57.1 56.8 121.6 120.8 126.1 128.5 130.0 129.5 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.5 18.9 19.0 33.3 38.3 38.9 42.0 43.1 43.2 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.7 8.1 8.3 34.1 19.3 17.3 17.7 18.5 18.7 0.6 73.2 69.9 68.6 134.0 139.9 147.6 154.4 147.3 145.6 2.3 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 19.3 21.3 21.7 37.6 39.4 40.5 44.2 48.8 49.7 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

26.8 30.5 32.8 59.9 55.9 58.5 60.7 70.3 75.2 0.9 18.0 21.0 21.8 35.0 33.4 35.9 41.7 47.8 49.7 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.3 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 911 928 941 1,948 1,906 1,955 2,047 2,094 2,129 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 8.8 7.8 3.8 3.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 3.5 1.6 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 5.8 3.2 2.8 2.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.6 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.6 8.3 2.5 1.9 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 3.6 1.8 1.8 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 4.6 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 9.6 2.0 1.7 2.5 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 7.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.7 4.4 4.5 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 4.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.2 3.1 3.7 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.0 1.3 1.2 1.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 4.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 24 24 25 26 27 96 53 47 492040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

4.8 7.0 89.7 90.1 92.3 96.3 109.1 121.8 0.7 0.8 45.9 45.2 51.8 56.5 53.5 82.3 1.5 1.5 33.4 37.0 37.3 40.1 44.7 51.5 0.0 0.1 47.9 43.9 48.9 64.0 68.2 83.1 1.0 0.9 42.0 42.5 44.1 46.5 49.4 50.8 0.1 0.1 9.2 9.2 8.8 9.3 12.0 12.0 0.1 0.1 5.2 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 3.9 3.9 123.9 128.0 138.1 150.5 173.1 170.8 0.7 0.6 79.5 87.5 92.8 100.3 113.8 131.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.4 1.4 103.0 100.8 107.5 111.8 126.6 153.5 3.2 3.3 128.6 131.5 132.0 136.4 142.5 160.0 1.3 1.3 44.2 43.6 45.3 50.2 57.7 58.0 0.6 0.6 37.1 38.8 39.0 39.9 40.1 40.1 1.6 1.4 100.7 98.5 90.6 95.9 101.2 104.7 1.2 1.4 44.9 45.4 48.9 52.3 58.2 68.5 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.3 0.3 0.3 28.8 29.7 31.5 38.3 51.8 54.2 0.8 0.8 11.1 13.2 15.2 16.3 19.9 21.7 2.0 2.0 67.9 68.7 73.6 76.9 79.9 90.5 0.5 0.5 36.2 38.7 41.7 44.1 51.0 50.9 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.9 22.6 24.6 31.3 35.6 2.0 2.0 82.9 78.0 77.5 78.9 82.7 84.6 0.1 0.2 16.6 17.5 18.7 20.1 21.3 21.5 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.8 33.0 36.3 36.5 0.3 0.4 15.9 15.8 18.3 17.2 27.1 51.3 0.3 0.3 6.2 7.0 6.3 7.0 8.6 9.0 0.1 0.1 18.5 20.9 21.8 25.6 30.0 26.3 0.1 0.1 36.9 37.0 37.5 39.7 39.3 46.7 0.3 0.4 34.3 36.2 37.4 43.8 60.8 72.5 0.9 0.9 76.1 71.9 71.3 81.6 97.4 97.9 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.9 40.0 2.7 2.4 128.7 128.0 132.3 141.8 155.1 172.8 1.9 1.9 50.4 50.2 54.1 58.0 59.1 55.3 0.1 0.1 9.3 9.7 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 1.0 1.0 129.3 127.8 128.5 131.9 138.2 137.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.9 4.7 46.2 52.1 52.9 58.3 70.1 70.8 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.5 0.1 0.1 56.5 46.0 47.2 48.2 57.1 63.9 3.0 3.0 238.2 244.0 258.3 281.1 296.1 320.6 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.7 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.3 40.1 42.6 49.6 58.1 78.8 79.5 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.8 15.5 17.4 25.1 29.9

0.7 0.7 95.8 96.0 97.6 101.9 112.5 120.3 0.8 0.8 53.1 52.4 54.3 55.8 62.8 63.7 0.5 0.5 55.6 56.0 56.0 55.8 56.2 57.4 50 52 2,420 2,437 2,530 2,709 3,014 3,277

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_49b - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 216.4 213.6 137.4 149.2 133.2 185.8 32.2 32.0 29.0 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 45.8 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 87.2 103.4 94.6 104.8 101.6 101.6 15.3 17.0 16.6 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.8 7.1 7.5 10.5 12.4 10.1 Colorado 65.9 73.5 74.1 75.6 72.3 68.2 21.5 21.8 22.7 Connecticut 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.5 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.1 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 111.9 136.8 131.3 141.2 139.0 139.6 29.2 31.4 37.5 Georgia 158.9 95.8 99.1 93.0 88.9 82.3 28.5 19.0 20.3 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 239.4 129.0 116.7 122.3 131.3 131.3 21.5 21.7 24.8 Indiana 299.3 179.5 181.8 195.5 198.2 191.6 47.8 46.8 44.8 Iowa 112.5 81.1 84.0 89.2 93.7 93.7 18.8 18.6 18.8 Kansas 41.6 60.9 44.9 46.6 47.3 49.4 13.7 11.3 11.7 Kentucky 189.4 106.3 95.5 101.3 114.7 131.0 36.2 32.7 31.1 Louisiana 113.5 139.2 145.4 135.3 115.4 120.6 14.2 14.5 15.4 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 30.1 28.2 29.9 29.7 31.4 32.5 7.4 7.4 8.0 Massachusetts 8.3 13.4 15.1 15.4 15.4 15.4 1.8 3.1 3.5 Michigan 197.4 148.2 144.1 153.2 154.7 156.4 26.9 26.3 28.2 Minnesota 45.3 50.2 52.6 53.1 54.1 65.2 14.4 15.6 16.5 Mississippi 30.5 32.5 34.9 35.6 27.8 26.8 11.1 11.9 12.4 Missouri 214.8 175.5 173.9 177.8 186.5 187.3 23.9 22.5 23.0 Montana 23.5 22.8 24.2 17.3 24.4 27.8 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 71.5 68.7 68.7 68.7 68.7 12.7 12.9 13.1 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.1 7.2 6.5 7.4 7.7 7.9 1.7 2.2 1.9 New Jersey 5.6 6.6 10.1 10.9 11.8 12.1 3.5 3.8 5.2 New Mexico 13.6 13.9 10.2 10.9 10.8 14.2 28.4 28.5 28.8 New York 26.0 14.4 14.8 15.0 14.2 19.4 10.0 10.6 10.9 North Carolina 141.3 63.6 67.9 86.8 84.2 85.3 23.4 19.9 20.3 North Dakota 101.3 103.6 105.3 105.4 105.3 104.7 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 325.4 166.7 162.3 212.6 223.3 228.0 41.6 40.2 40.7 Oklahoma 136.0 138.1 141.4 141.3 141.3 142.1 21.9 22.2 24.0 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 280.9 114.4 113.9 124.6 127.8 129.7 52.9 52.9 55.0 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 91.1 107.1 106.9 116.3 115.8 115.9 14.3 16.6 16.5 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 148.2 58.8 33.1 34.0 33.1 33.6 14.9 8.0 7.4 Texas 244.3 284.1 249.3 244.1 227.9 218.5 63.6 65.1 69.3 Utah 34.0 33.5 34.9 36.2 35.6 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 83.0 47.6 46.6 52.4 55.1 56.4 16.4 17.3 18.0 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 3.4 5.4 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 147.3 76.8 80.3 91.0 90.8 96.3 25.5 23.6 25.0 Wisconsin 84.9 46.2 50.8 55.4 61.8 64.5 15.2 15.1 16.3 Wyoming 53.7 57.9 48.2 47.8 47.8 46.9 30.5 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 4,285 3,313 3,145 3,311 3,307 3,429 858 841 8682030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.7 30.1 30.6 73.7 73.0 65.8 67.3 67.9 69.0 1.2 19.5 18.8 20.2 40.4 35.6 37.1 37.6 36.6 44.0 0.4 17.9 18.0 18.0 33.6 37.7 37.1 39.9 40.1 40.3 0.7 11.8 13.3 13.3 25.0 26.8 20.9 26.5 27.7 27.7 0.1 23.1 23.0 23.1 48.5 49.3 50.7 51.5 51.8 51.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 32.0 31.3 30.3 74.6 79.2 88.6 81.9 82.1 80.0 0.6 21.8 21.7 20.9 63.4 42.2 44.3 47.2 47.7 46.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 27.9 30.1 31.2 48.5 49.1 57.3 63.6 68.3 70.8 0.3 47.3 49.4 50.6 110.7 109.8 105.1 110.0 113.1 115.4 0.9 20.4 21.3 21.3 42.0 41.5 42.7 45.9 47.6 47.7 1.0 12.4 12.7 13.0 30.9 25.9 26.3 27.4 27.8 28.1 0.8 33.1 33.9 34.2 85.1 77.3 72.5 78.1 79.5 79.9 0.9 18.5 15.5 15.4 30.6 31.5 33.5 36.8 34.1 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.2 9.0 9.4 16.7 16.7 18.1 18.6 20.7 21.9 0.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.8 7.0 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.7 0.0 31.1 32.9 33.7 62.8 61.3 66.2 71.6 74.6 76.0 1.0 17.1 17.5 17.4 32.2 35.0 37.3 38.3 39.3 39.2 0.2 13.2 13.2 13.0 24.8 26.5 27.6 28.6 29.0 28.6 0.2 24.0 25.2 25.5 54.9 52.0 52.8 54.5 57.1 57.5 1.9 9.9 10.4 10.5 18.6 19.3 21.4 23.1 24.1 23.8 0.1 13.1 13.0 13.0 28.0 28.4 29.1 29.0 29.0 29.0 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.3 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 4.2 5.1 4.9 5.0 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.5 6.0 5.9 7.4 8.0 11.5 12.0 13.3 13.4 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.8 64.6 64.7 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.5 0.3 12.9 13.0 14.3 20.9 21.8 22.5 25.4 26.5 30.1 0.1 21.7 22.4 23.0 53.3 44.9 44.3 48.4 50.9 52.3 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.6 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.8 54.1 54.1 1.0 46.3 48.7 51.6 96.4 93.2 95.9 107.0 113.1 117.7 1.6 25.8 22.2 19.5 44.5 45.0 47.7 50.1 45.9 42.7 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 56.1 57.0 56.9 121.7 121.2 126.0 128.4 129.9 129.6 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.5 18.9 19.0 33.3 38.0 38.4 42.0 43.1 43.2 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.7 8.1 8.3 35.7 19.4 17.3 17.7 18.5 19.1 0.6 73.1 69.8 68.6 134.8 139.9 147.2 154.3 147.2 145.7 2.3 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.6 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 19.6 21.8 21.7 37.6 39.7 40.9 45.2 49.3 49.7 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

26.5 29.8 32.4 60.1 55.2 57.7 61.3 69.0 74.3 0.9 18.6 21.4 22.2 35.4 34.6 37.6 42.6 48.5 50.5 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.4 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.1 913 930 944 1,952 1,910 1,960 2,053 2,098 2,134 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 8.9 7.8 3.7 3.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 3.5 1.8 1.4 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 5.8 3.4 3.3 3.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 8.3 3.8 2.3 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 3.6 3.1 3.1 3.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 4.6 1.6 1.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 9.6 2.8 2.3 3.4 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 7.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.6 4.3 4.5 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 4.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.2 3.1 3.8 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 3.0 1.4 1.3 1.5 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 4.3 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 24 25 25 26 27 96 58 50 542040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

4.8 8.0 89.1 89.7 92.2 96.2 109.0 121.8 0.7 0.8 46.2 45.2 51.8 56.5 53.5 82.3 1.5 1.5 33.4 36.9 37.2 40.1 44.6 51.5 0.0 0.1 47.4 43.9 48.9 64.0 68.3 83.2 1.0 0.9 42.0 42.5 44.0 46.5 49.4 50.8 0.1 0.1 9.2 9.2 8.8 9.3 12.0 12.0 0.1 0.1 5.2 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 3.9 3.9 123.8 127.8 138.2 150.4 173.1 171.0 0.8 0.6 79.7 87.4 92.0 99.8 113.8 130.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.4 1.5 103.0 101.4 108.4 111.8 126.6 153.2 3.6 3.7 128.6 132.2 133.6 137.0 142.9 161.0 1.5 1.5 44.2 44.1 45.6 50.5 57.7 58.0 0.6 0.6 37.1 38.5 38.7 39.7 40.1 40.1 1.5 1.5 100.8 99.1 91.4 96.0 101.2 104.7 1.3 1.4 45.1 45.3 48.8 52.1 58.1 68.4 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.3 0.3 0.3 28.9 29.8 31.5 37.9 51.6 54.5 0.8 0.8 11.0 13.2 15.2 16.3 19.9 21.5 2.4 2.5 67.9 69.0 73.4 76.9 80.0 90.4 0.5 0.5 36.2 38.7 41.7 44.2 51.0 50.9 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.9 22.5 24.5 31.3 35.5 3.1 3.1 82.9 79.2 78.4 80.3 84.3 86.1 0.1 0.2 16.6 17.5 18.7 20.1 21.4 21.5 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.8 33.0 36.3 36.5 0.3 0.4 16.0 15.8 18.3 17.2 27.1 51.3 0.3 0.3 6.2 7.0 6.4 7.0 8.6 9.0 0.1 0.1 18.5 21.1 21.9 25.6 30.1 26.3 0.1 0.1 36.9 37.0 37.5 39.7 39.3 46.7 0.3 0.4 34.2 36.2 37.4 43.7 60.9 72.7 1.2 1.1 76.0 72.9 72.4 81.6 97.3 98.4 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.9 40.0 3.7 3.3 128.7 127.6 132.2 142.6 156.0 174.3 1.9 1.9 50.2 50.2 54.0 58.0 59.1 55.3 0.1 0.1 9.3 9.7 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 1.2 1.2 129.5 128.0 128.4 131.7 138.1 137.1 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.9 4.7 46.2 51.7 52.6 58.4 70.1 71.0 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.5 0.2 0.2 57.8 46.0 47.2 48.2 57.0 63.8 3.0 3.0 239.0 243.9 258.1 281.1 296.0 321.7 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.7 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.5 1.5 40.1 42.9 49.8 58.7 79.1 79.9 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.1 29.9

0.8 0.8 95.9 96.0 97.7 102.2 112.2 120.2 0.8 0.8 53.1 53.9 55.7 57.7 64.1 65.1 0.5 0.5 55.6 56.0 56.0 55.8 56.2 57.4 54 57 2,422 2,442 2,535 2,713 3,017 3,284

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_50b - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 222.2 226.6 142.1 142.7 140.3 146.7 32.6 32.0 28.7 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 45.8 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 87.2 102.5 94.6 101.6 101.6 101.6 15.3 16.9 16.6 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.8 7.1 7.5 10.4 12.4 10.1 Colorado 65.9 73.5 74.0 76.1 75.3 65.9 21.5 21.8 22.7 Connecticut 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.5 2.1 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.1 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 111.6 146.1 124.1 137.2 139.0 139.6 29.2 31.4 37.5 Georgia 158.8 94.7 97.5 92.5 82.0 80.4 28.6 19.0 20.0 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 237.6 134.4 117.2 123.6 134.5 132.9 21.5 21.9 24.4 Indiana 308.4 196.3 204.6 211.3 219.4 210.4 47.8 47.3 46.7 Iowa 112.5 83.7 87.7 89.3 95.1 95.2 18.8 19.2 19.8 Kansas 41.6 57.4 42.5 44.3 45.0 47.1 13.7 11.0 11.3 Kentucky 185.4 126.4 117.6 124.8 139.8 161.6 36.2 33.0 31.4 Louisiana 114.5 139.2 145.8 136.1 115.2 117.5 14.1 14.4 15.4 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 30.1 28.3 30.0 31.3 34.2 35.0 7.4 7.4 8.1 Massachusetts 8.4 13.4 15.1 15.4 15.4 15.4 1.8 3.1 3.5 Michigan 197.4 192.9 175.6 164.5 168.2 171.6 26.9 27.1 28.9 Minnesota 45.3 49.6 51.9 53.1 54.1 65.6 14.4 15.2 16.1 Mississippi 30.5 32.5 34.9 35.6 27.8 21.4 11.1 11.9 12.3 Missouri 214.8 182.5 182.8 185.9 194.1 193.5 23.9 23.5 24.4 Montana 23.5 22.8 24.0 17.3 27.2 27.8 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 71.5 68.6 68.7 68.7 68.9 12.7 12.9 12.9 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.3 6.9 6.6 7.4 7.7 7.9 1.7 2.1 2.0 New Jersey 5.6 7.0 10.2 10.7 11.6 12.1 3.5 3.8 5.2 New Mexico 13.6 13.9 10.2 10.9 11.1 14.2 28.4 28.5 28.8 New York 26.0 22.6 24.3 24.4 25.7 31.2 10.0 10.6 10.9 North Carolina 139.2 66.6 87.4 99.4 100.0 107.8 23.4 19.9 20.7 North Dakota 101.9 103.6 105.3 105.3 105.3 104.8 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 341.2 202.4 212.6 255.1 250.9 258.3 41.8 39.2 41.8 Oklahoma 136.0 138.0 141.4 141.4 141.3 142.1 21.9 22.2 23.9 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 281.7 166.4 172.3 195.6 196.2 191.9 53.0 53.1 54.8 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 86.9 103.6 105.8 116.3 115.8 127.6 14.4 16.2 16.4 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.8 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 150.8 63.3 33.2 36.1 35.3 33.2 14.9 8.4 7.4 Texas 244.6 282.1 249.4 244.0 227.8 218.6 63.6 65.1 69.3 Utah 34.0 33.5 34.9 36.0 35.5 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 83.0 63.4 65.8 72.6 69.2 70.6 16.3 16.8 18.1 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 3.4 5.5 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 149.2 122.9 118.5 127.5 131.2 134.8 25.7 24.7 23.8 Wisconsin 85.1 53.1 57.4 61.4 67.9 70.8 15.2 15.3 16.5 Wyoming 52.2 58.0 48.2 47.8 47.8 46.9 30.5 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 4,310 3,592 3,428 3,557 3,571 3,649 859 844 8722030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.7 30.1 30.6 74.2 72.9 65.1 67.2 67.9 69.0 1.2 19.5 18.8 20.2 40.5 35.6 37.0 37.6 36.6 44.0 0.4 17.7 18.0 18.0 33.6 37.6 36.8 39.8 40.1 40.3 0.7 12.0 13.3 13.3 24.9 26.8 20.9 26.6 27.7 27.7 0.1 23.1 23.0 23.1 48.5 49.3 50.8 51.7 51.8 51.6 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 31.9 31.3 30.3 74.6 79.1 88.5 81.8 82.1 79.9 0.6 21.8 21.1 20.9 63.4 42.1 44.0 47.1 46.9 46.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 27.7 30.0 31.3 48.5 50.1 56.3 63.3 68.0 71.0 0.3 48.9 50.5 51.8 110.8 110.6 108.2 113.4 115.7 118.2 1.0 20.7 21.4 21.4 42.0 42.7 44.1 46.3 47.9 47.9 1.0 11.9 12.4 12.7 30.9 25.1 25.3 26.6 27.1 27.4 0.8 33.2 34.0 34.4 85.2 78.1 73.7 78.2 79.7 80.3 0.9 18.4 15.5 15.4 30.6 31.5 33.5 36.7 34.1 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 16.7 16.7 18.2 19.1 20.9 22.0 0.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.9 7.0 7.9 8.4 8.6 8.7 0.0 31.2 32.9 33.7 62.8 62.6 67.0 72.0 74.6 75.9 1.0 17.1 17.5 17.4 32.2 34.5 36.5 38.3 39.3 39.4 0.2 13.2 13.2 13.0 24.8 26.5 27.4 28.6 28.9 28.5 0.2 25.6 26.8 27.1 54.9 54.0 56.4 58.1 60.9 61.2 1.9 9.8 10.4 10.5 18.6 19.3 20.9 23.0 24.0 23.8 0.1 13.1 13.0 13.1 28.0 28.4 28.8 29.0 29.0 29.1 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.3 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 4.3 5.1 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 0.0 5.5 5.9 5.9 7.4 8.0 11.4 11.9 13.1 13.4 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.8 64.6 64.7 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.5 0.3 13.0 13.0 14.3 20.9 21.7 22.5 25.5 26.6 30.1 0.1 21.5 22.7 23.0 53.8 45.2 46.0 49.0 51.1 52.3 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.7 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.8 54.1 54.1 1.0 45.9 49.2 51.9 96.6 92.4 97.4 107.0 113.5 118.2 1.7 25.8 22.2 19.5 44.5 45.0 47.7 50.1 45.9 42.6 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 57.2 58.6 58.7 121.7 122.4 126.7 131.1 133.6 133.9 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.5 18.9 19.0 33.7 37.5 38.2 42.0 43.1 43.2 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.7 8.1 8.3 36.2 20.4 17.3 17.7 18.5 19.0 0.6 73.1 69.8 68.6 134.9 139.7 147.2 154.2 147.2 145.7 2.3 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.5 67.8 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 19.6 21.7 21.7 37.5 39.5 40.6 45.4 49.4 49.7 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

27.8 27.7 31.1 60.3 57.4 56.5 63.2 65.5 71.2 0.9 18.7 21.5 22.2 35.5 35.2 38.5 42.9 48.8 50.6 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.4 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.1 918 932 947 1,954 1,919 1,968 2,065 2,104 2,143 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 8.6 7.2 3.3 2.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.7 4.7 3.9 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 3.4 1.8 1.5 1.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 6.7 4.1 3.9 4.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.1 2.6 2.4 2.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.6 8.3 7.4 4.7 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 4.7 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 9.6 5.2 5.6 6.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 7.1 4.4 4.8 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.7 4.3 4.5 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 4.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.2 3.2 3.7 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 3.0 2.4 2.3 2.6 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 4.3 4.2 3.8 4.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 24 25 26 26 27 96 75 67 682040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

4.0 4.5 89.6 88.9 91.5 96.0 109.0 121.6 0.7 0.8 46.2 45.3 51.8 56.4 53.5 82.1 1.5 1.5 33.4 36.7 36.8 40.1 44.5 51.5 0.0 0.1 47.4 44.0 48.9 64.1 68.3 83.5 1.0 0.9 42.0 42.5 44.1 46.6 49.4 50.7 0.1 0.1 9.1 9.2 8.8 9.3 12.0 12.0 0.1 0.1 5.2 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 3.9 3.9 123.4 127.4 137.6 150.3 173.0 170.9 0.7 0.7 79.7 87.2 92.0 99.3 113.8 130.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.5 1.6 102.9 102.8 107.6 111.7 126.9 154.1 4.1 4.6 128.6 133.9 135.7 139.3 144.4 163.0 1.6 1.6 44.2 44.9 46.9 51.3 58.2 59.0 0.6 0.6 37.1 37.6 37.7 38.8 39.2 39.3 3.0 2.8 100.8 100.4 93.1 96.8 102.1 105.9 1.3 1.4 44.9 45.1 48.7 52.0 57.9 68.4 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.3 0.5 0.4 28.9 29.9 31.7 37.6 51.4 54.4 0.8 0.8 11.1 13.1 15.2 16.4 19.8 21.5 2.9 3.0 67.9 69.7 73.3 77.4 79.9 90.4 0.5 0.5 36.2 38.1 40.8 44.1 51.0 51.2 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.9 22.1 24.4 30.7 35.4 3.4 3.2 82.9 80.9 81.4 83.0 86.7 88.1 0.1 0.2 16.6 17.5 18.3 20.1 21.3 21.5 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.7 32.9 36.3 36.8 0.3 0.4 15.9 15.8 18.3 17.3 27.1 51.3 0.3 0.3 6.3 7.0 6.4 6.9 8.6 9.0 0.1 0.1 18.1 21.2 21.9 25.7 30.1 26.3 0.1 0.1 36.9 37.0 37.5 39.6 39.3 46.7 1.1 1.1 34.2 36.0 37.3 42.9 60.8 72.6 2.5 2.6 75.4 73.3 74.4 82.4 97.3 98.7 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.8 40.2 5.4 5.3 129.1 126.8 132.7 142.0 155.7 174.7 1.9 1.9 50.2 50.2 53.9 58.1 59.1 55.0 0.1 0.1 9.5 9.6 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 5.2 4.8 129.5 128.6 128.8 133.3 140.5 139.9 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.9 4.6 46.0 51.0 52.2 58.6 70.1 71.2 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.0 6.4 6.6 0.2 0.2 58.2 47.6 47.2 48.1 57.0 63.1 3.0 3.0 239.1 243.7 258.1 281.1 296.0 321.8 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.5 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.3 2.4 40.1 42.8 49.6 58.6 78.9 79.7 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.2 29.8

4.1 3.9 95.9 95.6 97.9 103.3 111.8 119.9 0.9 1.0 53.1 54.9 55.6 57.6 64.1 65.2 0.5 0.5 55.6 56.0 56.0 55.8 56.2 57.4 68 68 2,421 2,447 2,540 2,720 3,022 3,292

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_63b - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 210.9 200.9 119.6 125.5 129.1 135.7 32.7 31.4 28.0 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 48.2 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 91.4 103.4 94.6 101.6 101.6 101.6 15.3 16.8 16.6 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.7 7.1 7.5 10.4 12.4 10.0 Colorado 65.5 71.6 70.2 76.0 66.8 74.8 21.5 21.8 22.7 Connecticut 3.4 3.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 4.5 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.1 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 112.5 137.7 123.9 126.1 139.0 139.6 29.3 31.2 37.4 Georgia 157.8 94.7 92.9 90.0 68.3 77.3 28.6 18.8 20.0 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 235.1 138.8 124.1 126.3 138.2 137.6 21.5 22.1 25.4 Indiana 299.4 262.4 211.2 228.0 207.7 210.4 48.2 46.8 46.3 Iowa 103.0 117.8 111.0 113.5 115.0 117.1 18.8 19.5 20.2 Kansas 41.6 55.3 42.3 43.3 44.9 47.0 13.7 10.8 11.1 Kentucky 176.2 160.6 163.3 184.2 188.9 191.2 36.2 34.5 33.0 Louisiana 125.9 135.8 144.3 132.7 107.1 117.5 14.1 14.5 15.3 Maine 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 Maryland 30.1 32.2 33.4 33.8 34.0 34.9 7.4 7.6 8.2 Massachusetts 8.4 13.4 15.1 15.4 15.4 15.4 1.8 3.1 3.5 Michigan 197.4 210.2 221.2 227.0 204.3 173.7 26.9 27.5 29.4 Minnesota 45.3 47.7 52.1 53.4 54.1 65.8 14.4 15.1 16.0 Mississippi 30.5 32.5 34.9 35.6 27.3 21.5 11.1 11.8 12.3 Missouri 201.5 221.7 199.5 203.6 208.2 206.9 23.9 24.7 24.9 Montana 23.4 22.7 24.0 17.2 24.4 27.1 6.9 7.3 8.7 Nebraska 66.2 69.5 68.4 68.7 68.7 69.0 12.7 12.7 12.8 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.1 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.4 7.1 New Hampshire 5.4 7.1 6.5 7.3 7.7 7.9 1.7 2.2 2.0 New Jersey 5.6 7.1 10.6 10.8 11.7 12.7 3.5 3.8 5.2 New Mexico 11.8 13.9 10.2 10.9 10.8 13.8 28.4 28.5 28.8 New York 26.0 23.2 25.7 26.1 26.2 31.2 10.0 10.6 11.0 North Carolina 122.1 109.6 103.9 110.6 107.9 108.3 23.4 21.1 21.4 North Dakota 101.3 102.8 105.3 105.3 105.3 104.9 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 327.0 313.2 273.9 313.9 330.5 343.0 41.7 41.3 42.4 Oklahoma 136.0 138.0 141.3 141.3 141.3 142.1 21.9 22.1 24.0 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 281.3 296.6 310.3 339.4 347.5 350.3 53.0 54.3 56.7 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 85.5 96.5 101.4 113.0 112.1 125.5 14.5 16.2 16.3 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.8 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 143.3 82.2 41.5 40.3 39.6 41.6 14.9 9.7 7.4 Texas 244.6 281.3 249.4 244.0 227.7 218.6 63.6 65.1 69.2 Utah 34.0 33.5 34.9 36.2 37.1 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 83.0 71.5 75.0 77.5 78.4 81.4 16.3 17.3 17.8 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 5.8 5.7 5.3 3.8 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.4 5.6

West Virginia 147.3 158.4 157.8 166.1 173.7 177.3 25.7 27.3 28.4 Wisconsin 85.2 57.4 63.9 66.4 72.3 71.3 15.3 15.6 16.9 Wyoming 57.1 56.9 46.9 46.5 46.5 46.9 30.5 30.5 31.2 Nationwide 4,230 4,091 3,819 3,971 3,934 4,021 859 854 8822030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.4 29.7 30.2 74.8 71.6 63.4 66.3 67.0 67.9 1.2 19.5 18.9 20.2 40.5 35.6 37.0 37.6 36.6 44.0 0.4 17.7 18.0 18.0 33.6 37.4 36.8 39.8 40.2 40.3 0.7 12.0 13.3 13.3 24.9 26.8 20.8 26.6 27.7 27.7 0.1 23.1 23.0 23.2 48.5 49.3 50.7 51.6 51.8 51.8 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.3 0.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 31.8 31.2 30.2 74.4 77.9 87.6 81.5 81.9 79.7 0.6 21.7 20.6 20.9 63.0 42.0 43.6 47.0 45.4 46.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 28.6 30.8 32.3 48.5 50.9 58.4 65.2 70.0 73.5 0.3 48.3 49.1 51.0 111.4 108.4 107.3 111.7 113.1 116.3 0.9 21.1 21.4 21.4 42.0 43.4 45.3 46.8 47.8 48.0 1.0 11.7 12.4 12.7 30.9 24.7 25.1 26.0 27.1 27.4 0.8 34.5 35.4 35.8 85.3 81.8 78.1 81.6 83.0 83.5 0.9 18.4 15.5 15.4 30.6 31.6 33.4 36.7 34.1 34.2 1.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.4 8.9 9.4 16.7 17.5 18.9 19.3 20.7 21.9 0.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.9 7.0 8.0 8.4 8.6 8.7 0.0 32.2 33.1 34.3 62.8 63.9 69.4 73.6 75.2 77.2 1.0 16.8 17.5 17.5 32.2 33.8 36.2 38.0 39.3 39.5 0.2 13.2 13.2 12.9 24.8 26.4 27.4 28.6 28.9 28.5 0.2 25.9 27.1 27.3 54.9 56.7 57.1 59.3 61.4 61.7 1.9 9.6 10.4 10.4 18.6 19.3 20.9 22.8 24.1 23.6 0.1 13.1 13.0 13.0 28.0 28.2 28.7 29.0 29.0 29.1 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.9 13.2 14.1 15.6 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 4.3 5.1 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.3 0.0 5.5 5.9 5.9 7.4 8.1 11.5 11.9 13.2 13.4 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.8 64.6 64.7 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.5 0.3 13.0 13.0 14.3 20.9 21.7 22.6 25.5 26.5 30.1 0.1 22.4 22.9 23.0 53.7 48.1 47.8 50.8 52.2 52.3 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.7 53.0 53.2 53.8 53.8 54.1 54.2 1.0 46.6 50.2 52.1 96.3 96.7 100.1 108.7 115.3 118.5 1.6 25.8 22.2 19.5 44.5 44.9 47.7 50.1 45.9 42.6 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.0 0.0 58.0 59.3 59.2 121.7 125.1 130.9 133.2 135.1 134.8 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.5 18.9 19.0 34.0 37.3 38.0 42.0 43.1 43.2 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.5 0.0 7.7 8.1 8.4 36.2 23.5 17.3 17.7 18.5 19.1 0.6 73.1 69.7 68.7 134.8 139.6 147.1 154.2 147.1 145.9 2.4 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.5 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 19.6 21.0 21.0 37.5 40.3 40.9 44.8 47.8 48.2 0.3 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

30.6 31.6 33.3 60.2 64.3 67.6 70.8 74.3 76.3 0.9 18.8 21.3 21.8 35.6 35.5 38.9 42.8 48.5 49.8 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 70.4 70.8 71.4 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 926 937 951 1,955 1,943 1,995 2,082 2,116 2,151 252015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 8.8 7.3 3.5 2.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.7 4.5 3.9 3.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 3.4 1.8 1.4 1.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 5.9 5.9 4.0 3.5 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.6 8.3 8.8 8.9 9.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 4.8 2.7 2.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.0 9.7 9.7 8.0 8.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 7.1 7.4 8.0 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.8 4.3 4.3 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.2 3.2 3.7 3.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.9 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 4.3 4.9 5.9 5.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 25 25 26 26 28 96 90 81 822040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

4.8 4.7 89.8 88.1 87.5 93.2 106.3 119.0 0.7 0.8 46.2 45.3 51.8 56.5 53.6 82.2 1.5 1.5 33.3 36.3 36.8 40.0 44.7 51.5 0.0 0.1 47.3 44.1 48.8 64.0 68.2 83.4 1.0 1.0 42.0 42.5 44.0 46.6 49.4 50.7 0.1 0.1 9.0 9.2 8.8 9.3 12.0 12.0 0.1 0.1 5.2 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 3.9 3.9 123.3 125.4 137.0 150.2 173.1 170.9 0.6 0.7 79.5 86.9 90.6 98.5 113.8 129.9 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.5 1.6 102.9 103.4 109.4 113.3 128.8 155.4 3.9 4.4 129.3 131.9 135.0 138.1 143.1 161.9 1.7 1.7 44.3 45.5 47.5 51.9 58.1 59.2 0.6 0.6 37.1 37.2 37.5 38.1 39.2 39.3 3.4 3.2 100.9 102.8 96.1 98.5 103.1 107.2 1.2 1.4 44.8 45.3 48.2 51.9 57.7 68.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.3 0.5 0.5 28.9 30.7 32.8 37.3 51.0 53.8 0.8 0.8 11.1 13.1 15.3 16.4 19.9 21.5 5.9 3.1 67.9 70.9 75.2 78.0 80.0 93.2 0.5 0.5 36.2 37.6 40.5 43.9 50.8 51.4 0.3 0.3 20.1 20.6 21.8 24.5 30.6 35.4 3.8 3.3 82.9 83.8 81.8 84.5 87.1 88.6 0.1 0.1 16.6 17.5 18.2 19.9 21.4 21.4 1.2 1.2 30.6 30.9 31.7 33.0 36.2 36.9 0.3 0.4 15.8 15.8 18.3 17.3 27.1 51.3 0.3 0.3 6.3 6.9 6.4 6.9 8.6 9.0 0.1 0.1 18.1 21.2 21.9 25.6 30.0 26.3 0.1 0.1 36.9 37.0 37.5 39.7 39.3 46.7 1.1 1.1 34.2 35.9 37.4 43.3 60.8 72.4 3.0 3.0 74.8 75.9 76.8 84.4 98.2 99.0 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.8 40.3 8.2 7.6 128.8 129.3 134.3 142.8 156.9 175.8 1.9 1.9 50.2 49.8 54.0 58.0 59.1 54.7 0.1 0.1 9.6 9.6 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 8.1 8.1 129.4 129.4 131.2 134.6 141.6 140.8 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.9 4.6 46.1 50.9 51.5 58.2 69.8 70.3 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.7 0.2 0.1 58.2 49.8 47.3 48.5 57.4 63.7 3.0 3.0 239.1 243.7 258.1 281.2 296.0 323.2 0.5 0.6 39.4 39.4 39.2 38.5 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.7 2.8 40.0 42.1 49.7 58.9 78.7 80.6 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.1 29.8

5.8 5.9 95.9 98.1 100.0 103.8 113.3 119.1 1.3 1.0 53.2 54.4 57.0 58.2 64.6 66.2 0.5 0.5 55.6 56.0 56.0 55.8 56.2 57.4 81 78 2,421 2,458 2,550 2,725 3,026 3,298

### EPA

410FINAL_BC_2n - State Emissions Projections - Fossil & Biomass

2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 Alabama 455.8 417.3 365.4 378.7 371.0 367.1 34.5 31.8 28.7 Arizona 34.7 35.6 37.0 37.0 37.0 49.3 20.4 18.4 19.3 Arkansas 87.2 99.4 97.7 101.6 105.7 101.6 15.2 16.8 16.6 California 6.8 7.3 5.3 6.7 7.0 7.4 10.5 12.4 10.0 Colorado 53.0 62.1 59.8 55.9 56.2 56.1 21.4 21.8 22.7 Connecticut 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 Delaware 3.6 2.2 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.1 District of Columbia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Florida 110.7 143.6 119.9 110.0 110.3 130.7 43.0 47.5 52.4 Georgia 406.3 170.3 176.0 97.3 79.3 146.9 29.7 19.9 21.3 Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Illinois 489.1 141.6 125.3 130.7 139.4 140.8 21.6 22.3 25.6 Indiana 789.1 727.8 648.7 681.6 679.8 501.1 47.3 46.6 46.1 Iowa 127.1 133.1 137.6 141.1 143.2 142.8 20.5 21.8 23.0 Kansas 68.5 69.8 67.6 61.5 69.6 87.1 16.3 14.2 14.5 Kentucky 520.5 488.0 464.8 504.4 498.2 503.6 37.6 35.3 34.2 Louisiana 103.8 118.2 125.6 106.5 110.2 94.5 14.0 14.5 15.3 Maine 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 1.8 2.3 2.4 Maryland 49.9 42.9 43.1 43.4 43.7 44.7 7.3 7.6 8.2 Massachusetts 8.6 13.4 14.9 15.4 15.5 15.5 1.9 3.1 3.4 Michigan 255.0 269.4 266.7 285.3 290.0 244.7 27.1 29.4 31.5 Minnesota 67.8 70.9 75.7 55.5 78.4 78.9 17.6 18.5 19.6 Mississippi 29.3 31.0 33.4 35.4 25.9 21.1 10.6 11.7 12.7 Missouri 383.3 390.3 313.4 320.2 323.0 337.5 24.2 25.1 25.5 Montana 13.6 15.4 14.2 17.3 15.8 26.0 6.8 7.4 8.7 Nebraska 71.9 73.1 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.3 19.9 20.1 20.6 Nevada 13.5 14.4 14.0 13.2 13.2 24.4 6.1 6.5 6.9 New Hampshire 3.3 6.5 4.5 7.3 7.7 7.9 1.7 2.2 1.9 New Jersey 26.3 38.9 49.5 49.6 50.5 45.5 3.5 3.8 5.3 New Mexico 9.9 11.9 12.1 10.9 11.7 14.4 28.1 28.5 28.8 New York 56.5 42.9 44.7 44.4 46.0 49.2 10.0 10.6 11.0 North Carolina 148.6 126.0 116.5 119.2 113.2 113.8 24.0 21.5 21.6 North Dakota 101.9 103.6 105.4 105.4 105.3 104.8 23.1 23.3 23.5 Ohio 882.6 851.2 797.3 892.2 924.1 724.0 43.4 43.5 44.2 Oklahoma 136.0 138.0 141.3 141.3 141.3 141.3 31.5 31.8 34.0 Oregon 10.2 11.3 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 3.6 3.9 4.4 Pennsylvania 495.5 509.6 518.0 526.4 534.8 539.7 53.6 55.0 57.5 Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 South Carolina 186.4 213.3 230.7 247.7 204.2 203.1 15.5 17.1 17.4 South Dakota 29.7 29.7 29.7 13.2 29.7 29.8 6.3 6.3 6.3 Tennessee 324.4 284.5 41.6 39.7 39.6 41.3 15.5 12.1 7.6 Texas 446.0 453.3 530.7 281.8 283.3 296.4 65.1 66.2 70.8 Utah 33.8 33.5 34.6 36.6 37.1 39.4 29.5 29.5 29.5 Vermont 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 Virginia 92.5 77.3 86.7 90.4 83.3 86.1 17.0 17.3 18.5 SO2(thousand tons) Ozone Season NOWashington 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 6.3 5.2 5.5 5.6

West Virginia 536.7 498.5 517.9 491.4 497.8 514.6 26.7 27.4 29.5 Wisconsin 135.8 130.5 128.1 129.9 148.7 143.5 17.4 17.7 19.3 Wyoming 45.1 51.8 45.5 44.7 44.7 45.0 30.3 30.3 30.9 Nationwide 7,783 7,148 6,742 6,573 6,617 6,367 909 911 939

2012 2015 Texas 369.456 441.75 Adjustment 76.550 11.582 New total 446.0 453.32030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012

29.1 29.4 30.0 83.0 76.0 68.2 69.0 69.6 70.7 1.6 19.5 18.9 20.2 40.4 35.6 37.1 37.6 36.6 44.0 0.4 17.8 18.0 18.1 33.5 36.3 36.7 39.9 40.2 40.4 0.7 12.0 13.3 13.3 25.1 26.9 20.8 26.6 27.8 27.7 0.1 23.1 23.0 23.2 48.5 49.4 50.6 51.4 51.8 51.8 0.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 0.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 47.3 46.7 45.6 91.0 100.5 107.2 103.6 103.9 101.7 0.5 22.8 21.7 22.0 67.7 49.4 51.4 54.3 54.0 55.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 28.6 31.1 32.6 52.5 55.3 62.9 70.4 75.7 79.4 0.4 48.1 49.1 50.4 120.6 117.8 116.4 120.2 121.5 124.1 1.2 23.6 23.9 23.9 46.1 48.4 51.4 53.0 53.7 53.8 1.0 15.5 16.2 16.5 37.3 32.7 33.0 34.4 35.8 36.2 0.8 35.1 35.5 35.8 88.2 83.5 81.0 82.5 83.2 83.5 1.0 18.5 15.6 15.8 30.5 31.6 33.4 36.8 34.1 34.6 0.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 4.9 5.4 6.0 6.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 8.5 9.0 9.4 16.7 17.6 18.8 19.2 20.5 21.8 0.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 5.0 7.0 7.9 8.4 8.6 8.7 0.0 33.6 34.5 35.8 63.2 67.6 73.6 76.8 78.4 80.5 1.1 20.2 20.8 20.8 39.4 41.5 44.2 45.8 47.0 47.1 0.2 13.2 13.2 12.9 23.6 26.3 27.7 28.5 28.9 28.3 0.2 26.5 27.2 27.5 55.7 57.3 59.1 60.4 61.9 62.2 2.1 9.6 10.4 10.4 18.3 19.4 20.9 22.8 24.1 23.6 0.0 20.5 20.4 20.5 44.5 45.0 46.1 45.9 46.0 46.1 0.4 6.9 7.4 10.8 13.3 14.1 15.4 15.4 16.0 24.1 0.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 4.1 5.1 4.6 5.2 5.2 5.3 0.0 5.6 6.0 5.9 7.5 8.0 11.6 12.0 13.3 13.4 0.0 29.0 28.7 29.7 64.3 64.7 65.2 65.5 65.2 67.3 0.3 13.1 13.1 14.3 20.9 21.7 22.6 25.6 26.6 30.1 0.1 22.5 22.9 23.1 54.4 49.3 48.8 50.9 52.2 52.3 0.6 23.5 23.6 23.7 52.9 53.2 53.8 53.8 54.1 54.2 1.0 48.7 51.2 53.1 103.2 104.2 107.9 116.2 120.3 123.6 2.0 35.7 32.1 29.4 66.4 67.0 70.6 72.8 68.7 65.2 1.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 8.9 9.6 10.8 10.9 11.2 11.1 0.0 58.2 59.3 59.2 130.7 134.1 140.0 142.1 143.7 143.4 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.5 18.9 19.0 35.4 39.0 39.6 41.9 43.1 43.2 0.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 14.3 14.3 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.4 0.0 7.7 8.1 8.4 37.7 29.3 17.5 17.7 18.5 19.1 0.6 74.3 70.9 69.8 137.1 142.1 150.2 157.1 149.4 148.1 2.2 29.5 29.7 29.8 67.4 67.4 67.5 67.5 67.9 67.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 20.2 20.8 21.0 38.8 40.5 42.3 46.2 47.4 48.0 0.4 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions

Ozone Season NOx

(thousand tons) Annual NOx (thousand tons)6.4 6.7 6.8 12.6 13.3 14.3 15.1 16.1 16.1 0.2

30.8 31.8 33.3 62.4 64.8 69.5 71.3 74.6 76.3 1.4 21.2 23.5 23.8 40.1 40.8 44.7 48.4 53.3 54.3 0.8 31.2 31.2 31.2 69.9 70.2 71.2 71.4 71.4 71.5 1.2 979 987 1,000 2,085 2,089 2,143 2,222 2,250 2,284 282015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 19.9 17.7 16.2 16.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.6 4.9 3.9 3.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 6.3 2.0 2.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 7.4 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 10.0 12.9 10.2 9.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 9.6 6.6 6.4 6.1 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.6 11.1 11.7 11.7 12.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 5.5 5.8 5.1 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 5.3 3.1 2.9 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.2 15.4 15.3 13.9 14.2 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 13.0 13.2 13.3 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 7.7 8.5 10.4 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 9.5 7.1 0.1 0.2 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.0 4.3 4.7 5.3 3.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 4.0 3.4 3.8 4.0 Fossil Fuel Fired Power Generation Emissions1

Hg(tons) HCL (thousand tons)0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 11.7 12.1 12.9 11.3 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 28 28 28 29 29 163 151 141 1402040 2050 2012 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050

15.9 15.9 93.1 88.5 86.9 91.4 104.7 116.9 0.7 0.7 45.9 45.3 51.9 56.4 53.6 82.2 1.5 1.5 33.2 35.4 36.7 40.0 44.6 51.5 0.1 0.1 48.0 44.3 48.8 64.1 68.5 83.5 1.9 1.9 41.9 42.6 43.9 46.4 49.3 50.6 0.1 0.1 9.0 9.0 8.8 9.3 12.0 12.0 0.1 0.1 5.5 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.2 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.4 3.8 3.8 119.5 124.7 135.3 150.1 172.9 170.9 1.5 1.9 80.3 87.5 90.7 98.6 113.5 129.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.7 1.6 103.3 103.9 109.3 112.7 129.1 155.1 8.0 8.0 129.0 132.0 134.8 137.3 141.8 160.6 1.9 1.8 44.1 45.8 47.7 52.1 58.0 59.1 0.9 0.9 37.5 37.7 37.9 39.0 40.0 40.1 7.1 6.7 101.9 102.7 97.0 98.5 103.2 107.3 1.3 1.2 44.6 45.3 48.2 51.7 57.4 68.4 0.0 0.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.4 0.8 0.8 28.9 30.8 32.8 37.4 50.9 54.0 0.8 0.8 11.1 12.8 15.2 16.4 19.9 21.5 11.7 6.0 69.2 71.7 76.4 77.9 79.7 94.0 0.5 0.5 36.1 37.7 40.8 44.0 50.8 51.3 0.6 0.4 19.0 20.4 21.9 24.3 30.6 35.2 4.9 4.4 82.9 84.7 83.6 85.4 87.7 89.0 0.1 0.1 16.3 17.4 18.2 19.9 21.3 21.4 1.2 1.2 30.6 31.0 31.8 33.0 36.2 36.8 0.3 0.4 15.9 15.8 18.2 17.3 26.9 51.1 0.3 0.3 6.1 7.0 6.2 6.8 8.6 9.1 0.8 0.7 18.2 20.7 21.8 25.5 29.8 26.2 0.1 0.1 36.8 37.0 37.5 39.7 39.3 46.5 1.7 1.8 33.1 36.2 37.4 43.4 61.0 72.4 3.0 3.0 74.8 77.1 77.9 84.7 98.2 98.6 0.7 0.7 36.0 36.1 36.6 37.5 39.8 40.2 12.8 10.4 132.4 129.9 137.7 147.4 160.7 179.5 1.9 1.9 50.3 49.7 54.0 58.0 59.0 54.3 0.1 0.1 9.3 9.3 10.7 10.7 13.9 14.3 13.5 13.5 129.8 130.1 131.0 134.3 141.3 140.6 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 9.5 9.3 46.5 51.2 50.2 57.3 69.4 69.6 0.1 0.1 4.4 4.4 4.5 5.1 6.4 6.6 0.2 0.1 58.4 53.2 47.3 48.6 57.7 64.1 4.0 4.1 238.5 243.4 258.3 280.9 295.8 323.9 0.5 0.6 39.3 39.4 39.1 38.5 39.6 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 3.6 3.7 40.8 41.8 49.5 59.4 78.2 79.8 CO2(million short tons)0.0 0.0 13.0 13.7 15.5 17.4 25.1 29.8

11.5 11.4 96.5 97.6 100.2 102.2 112.8 118.7 2.0 2.0 53.7 55.2 57.5 58.9 64.6 66.2 0.5 0.5 55.3 55.5 55.8 55.6 56.2 57.4 134 125 2,427 2,465 2,555 2,726 3,025 3,298Fossil & Biomass SO2 emissions (from EGUs) sorted so that we have the same number of states as present in the AQ modeling domain)

description of IPM run

base base 500CT 500CT 1600 CT 1600 CT 2300 CT 2300 CT 2800 CT

year 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 Alabama 455.8249417.3401 210.8859200.9046 222.223226.6339216.3597213.5926219.4144 Arkansas 87.2412 99.4109 91.4257 103.4305 87.2412 102.5006 87.2412 103.4305 87.2412 Connecticut 3.3548 3.7741 3.3548 3.8832 3.4639 3.8832 3.4639 3.8832 3.4639 Delaware 3.6407 2.1721 4.4841 2.0878 4.4841 2.0878 4.4841 2.0878 4.4841 District of Columbia0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Florida 110.6874 143.6012 112.5159 137.7052 111.6011 146.1195 111.8608 136.8249 111.8574 Georgia 406.2789 170.2881 157.838594.69127 158.8197 94.745 158.8913 95.8337 159.8488 Illinois 489.1398 141.6061 235.1272 138.8154237.5847 134.3857239.3934 128.9965239.3934 Indiana 789.1162 727.7859299.4379262.3863308.4387 196.2579299.3458 179.5392299.0206 Iowa 127.1018 133.0831 102.9893 117.8301 112.4503 83.6605 112.4503 81.1369 112.3342 Kansas 68.5411 69.8187 41.5869 55.3083 41.5869 57.4317 41.5869 60.8699 41.5869 Kentucky 520.5463488.0055 176.2443 160.5818 185.4407 126.3895 189.3502 106.2989 189.8448 Louisiana 103.8349 118.2305 125.891 135.8031 114.5008 139.2039 113.5131 139.2039 115.0726 Maine 2.2033 2.3551 2.3262 2.3551 2.3262 2.3551 2.3262 2.3551 2.3136 Maryland 49.9419 42.9259 30.123 32.1872 30.123 28.288 30.1198 28.2026 30.072 Massachusetts8.5811 13.3645 8.4207 13.3636 8.401 13.3634 8.3143 13.3634 8.2464 Michigan 255.0378269.4338 197.385210.1632 197.3843 192.8838 197.3802 148.2323 197.3802 Minnesota 67.8163 70.9369 45.3209 47.7203 45.3002 49.5893 45.3002 50.2132 45.3002 Mississippi29.3355930.9717730.4964332.4540730.4964332.4547530.4964332.4547530.49643 Missouri 383.3136390.2868201.5042 221.689214.8028 182.5083214.8028 175.4803214.8614 Nebraska 71.9045 73.0733 66.2042 69.4663 66.203 71.4748 66.203 71.4748 66.2295 New Hampshire3.332 6.4532 5.3892 7.0995 5.3134 6.9118 5.1191 7.199 5.0887 New Jersey26.3457 38.8568 5.5828 7.069 5.5828 7.0077 5.5738 6.611 5.5538 New York 56.4613 42.8873 26.0056 23.1809 26.0406 22.6176 25.9603 14.4035 25.7345 North Carolina

148.6059 126.0477 122.0631 109.6122 139.2322 66.6429 141.2627 63.577 141.3106 North Dakota101.946 103.6334 101.2722 102.8159 101.946 103.6335 101.2722 103.6334 101.2722 Ohio 882.5591 851.1988327.0153313.1929341.1918202.4432 325.3753 166.6906324.4169 Oklahoma 135.9724 137.9813 135.9724 137.9813 135.9724 138.0328 135.9724 138.0723 135.9724 Pennsylvania

495.4633509.6498281.2718296.5964281.6808 166.4023280.9382 114.4305279.9343 Rhode Island 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 South Carolina

186.3549213.2812 85.4789 96.5044 86.9166 103.5957 91.1056 107.1139 91.6689 South Dakota29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 Tennessee324.3773 284.468 143.2811 82.1585 150.7729 63.3276 148.1545 58.8381 144.324 Texas 446.0059453.3323244.6132281.2982244.6132282.0661 244.2869284.1315242.4139 Vermont 0.2188 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2188 Virginia 92.468 77.2562 83.0194 71.5052 83.0288 63.3669 83.0288 47.639 82.772 West Virginia

536.6953498.5071 147.349 158.4447 149.2048 122.8603 147.2837 76.7775 145.3152 Wisconsin 135.8276 130.5379 85.1679 57.418 85.1096 53.147 84.9251 46.205 84.8951Fossil & Biomass SO2 emissions (from EGUs) sorted so that we have the same number of states as present in the AQ modeling domain)

variability fraction0.05 0.05 0.1

2800 CT 3300 CT 3300 CT 10000 CT10000 CTbase+leakage base+leakage

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +10% variability 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 214.3263224.2301 236.1723222.5713 165.2271 455.8249417.3401 227.1613224.2555237.9629 99.246 87.2412 99.246 94.6704 99.246 94.6412 111.010991.59985 108.5986 95.9585 3.8832 3.4639 3.8832 3.2952 3.8832 3.3548 3.7741 3.637095 4.07736 3.81029 2.0878 4.4372 2.0878 4.3244 2.0468 3.6407 2.1721 4.665572.149455 4.84704 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 138.8865 112.803 159.9548 111.9115 154.8612 111.1874 150.4012 117.4137 143.6254 122.9665 96.087 158.3865 95.5491 152.6994 99.5485406.2789 170.2881 166.8176 100.5952 174.7439 122.2489239.3808 106.9453218.9669 52.6511 489.1398 141.6061 251.1378 135.2026262.8823 171.7835295.9913 139.5455289.0558 86.2808 789.1162 727.7859 313.617 187.5947327.8882 72.4604 112.3342 50.6644 104.575 24.7376 127.1018 133.0831 117.804684.89609 123.1588 61.2522 41.5869 61.4191 41.4864 45.5235 68.5411 69.818743.66331 63.9104345.73972 102.883 191.2505 88.77200.7551 47.2411 520.5463488.0055 198.817 111.6131 208.2837 139.2039 122.294 139.2039 124.2244 127.7107 130.3349 145.3305 119.0812 146.0557 124.6493 2.3551 2.3136 2.3551 2.2015 2.6029 2.2033 2.3551 2.3871152.416105 2.44803 25.7121 30.072 23.6093 29.6086 19.002 49.9419 42.925931.6257929.6127333.13178 13.3631 8.2464 13.3631 8.1009 13.3856 8.5811 13.3645 8.72689 14.02796 9.13948 109.5062 197.3802 97.9319 196.3067 35.5197255.0378269.4338207.1071 155.432216.8339 50.2027 45.199 50.1934 45.3339 49.2181 67.8163 70.936947.39924 52.49511 49.49827 32.4547530.4964332.4547529.6672334.6020529.3355930.9717731.89711 33.9135933.29779 118.9169214.8614 93.0853 200.576 35.0986 383.3136390.2868225.1761 183.7774235.5494 71.4748 66.2295 71.4748 66.2295 67.161 71.9045 73.073369.45562 74.98594 72.70823 7.1801 5.0887 7.0758 3.3796 7.1965 3.332 6.4532 5.35562 7.536575 5.59214 6.5057 5.5538 6.4686 5.4836 4.9337 26.3457 38.8568 5.85249 6.94155 6.13118 13.3991 25.7345 12.3421 30.7527 10.9289 56.4613 42.887326.98517 14.9946528.01004 54.7166 141.3106 46.0806 134.2804 29.2767 148.6059 126.0477 148.106766.45802 154.9508 102.8159 101.2722 103.6335 101.2722 102.8159 101.946 103.6334 106.3358 108.8151 111.3994 153.4713 323.702 145.4313348.3716 99.4911 882.5591 851.1988340.8868 173.5444 356.3983 138.0723 135.9724 138.0328 135.9724 137.9813 135.9724 137.9813 142.771 144.9759 149.5696 109.6579281.0579 103.9294282.7403 76.8313495.4633509.6498294.8708 120.0316308.8033 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 108.0545 91.6656 108.6604 89.1055 109.4427 186.3549213.2812 95.53661 112.2824 99.96761 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 31.1291731.1291732.54774 58.8152 142.879 58.8065 130.9201 23.5203324.3773 284.468 155.562 61.77976 162.9695 281.7212240.3049281.7212238.9791 274.0661 446.0059453.3323256.4846298.3187268.6823 0.2629 0.2188 0.2629 0.1152 0.3145 0.2188 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2195 45.9624 81.6613 44.1454 80.897 29.3303 92.468 77.2562 86.5697849.3918390.11076 75.483 144.5816 72.6145 145.3412 56.32 536.6953498.5071 154.5924 80.5609 161.9011 43.5854 84.4533 39.7967 82.6447 25.062 135.8276 130.537988.8990948.21132 92.873070.1 0.15 0.15 0.18 0.18 0.2 0.2 0.21 0.21

2300 CT +10% variability

2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 remedy

final 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 234.9184248.7646245.5813255.2456 251.979259.5662256.2442261.7266258.3767219.3935 113.7667 100.3172 118.9348 102.9323 122.0357 104.6758 124.103 105.5475 125.1366 91.4257 4.27152 3.983485 4.465684.0874024.582176 4.15668 4.659844.1913194.698672 3.4639 2.21111 5.02851 2.2727655.1373922.309758 5.20998 2.33442 5.2462742.346751 4.394 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 150.4258 128.5193 157.2262 131.851 161.3065 134.0721 164.0267 135.1827 165.3868 113.4132 105.3568 182.6703 110.1183 187.4261 112.9752 190.5966 114.8798 192.1819 115.8321 159.0289 141.4088274.6267 147.6149281.6733 151.3386286.3711 153.821 288.72 155.0622214.2058 195.6503342.1595203.7058350.7222208.5392 356.4307211.7614 359.2849213.3725 255.562 88.65528 128.5131 92.41447 131.725794.66998 133.8674 96.17366 134.9382 96.9255 80.5767 66.9509647.8161369.9914949.06198 71.81581 49.89254 73.03202 50.30782 73.64013 41.4918 116.9273217.7505 122.2415223.4305 125.43227.2172 127.5557229.1106 128.6185 146.1485 152.9075 130.2173 159.7592 133.5582 163.8703 135.7854 166.611 136.899 167.9814 130.3166 2.47711 2.5089452.5381152.5454942.574718 2.56986 2.599122.5820432.611321 2.3262 31.0228634.6377732.4329935.5413633.2790736.1437633.84312 36.4449634.12515 26.6298 14.69251 9.55207 15.357079.799624 15.7558 9.96466 16.02162 10.04718 16.15453 8.4708 162.6318226.5608 169.8315232.3969 174.1513236.2876 177.0312 238.233 178.4712 193.596 54.77702 51.59731 57.0589352.8567358.4280853.69634 59.34084 54.1161559.79722 46.2094 35.37242 34.6984736.8312635.5388837.7065636.0991538.2900936.3792938.5818630.49643 192.0744245.9227200.3715252.1466205.3497 256.296208.6686258.3706 210.328 190.3814 78.49707 75.9608582.00821 77.91241 84.11489 79.2134685.51934 79.8639886.22157 66.2295 7.87415 5.828668.2117255.970572 8.41427 6.06518 8.54936.112484 8.616815 5.4396 7.2721 6.40987 7.602656.577084 7.80098 6.68856 7.9332 6.744298 7.99931 5.5184 15.585829.03491 16.1769529.64983 16.53164 30.05978 16.7681 30.26475 16.88633 25.6141 69.33904 161.7948 72.22006 165.9013 73.94867 168.6389 75.10108 170.0077 75.67728 121.7885 113.9967 116.463 119.1784 119.5012 122.2874 121.5266 124.3601 122.5394 125.3964 101.5343 180.3983371.9098 187.2521 381.2167 191.3644 387.4213 194.1059390.5236 195.4767250.6248 151.8795 156.3683 158.7831 160.4474 162.9253 163.1669 165.6868 164.5266 167.0675 135.9724 125.6326322.7359 131.2337331.0954 134.5943336.6684 136.8347339.4549 137.955252.7937 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 117.451 104.3986 122.6195 107.0572 125.7206 108.8296 127.788 109.7158 128.8217 86.9206 32.54774 33.96631 33.96631 34.8174534.8174535.3848835.3848835.6685935.66859 29.7106 64.72142 170.376967.66308 174.821469.42808 177.7844 70.60474 179.2659 71.19307 96.5246 312.5058 280.88 326.693288.1987335.2053293.0777340.8801 295.5173343.7176244.5713 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 0.2188 51.1446593.65174 52.8974895.7763353.9491797.19272 54.650397.90092 55.00087 78.5531 84.34429 169.209888.12769 173.59590.39772 176.518591.91108 177.980392.66776 120.2834 50.21764 96.8470652.2239699.2314553.42775 100.821 54.23028 101.615854.63154 83.20772300 remedy final remedysensitivity

remedysensitivity

10000 remedy

final 10000 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 173.5656214.8543 171.6966240.0625 182.0743 216.507 189.7302 106.6851 90.4958 103.7768 105.3009 99.246 87.2412 102.5006 3.8832 3.4639 3.8832 3.7858 3.8832 3.3626 3.8832 2.1721 3.8214 2.1721 4.3756 2.084 4.4841 2.0878 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 148.0687 116.8461 145.9801 131.8039 161.511 112.5801 145.274 93.2077 160.3256 91.6825 175.6305 97.7229 159.0289 90.6405 132.6474 213.664 132.117 174.2385 42.3588215.7979 134.1976 195.0454249.0967 204.168 171.9262 92.3778260.8805214.2008 83.8273 79.9062 83.0436 64.0643 22.9526 101.4441 91.4371 45.74 41.8361 49.0622 45.375 45.3802 41.4915 45.7398 116.9272 176.8543 125.4296 70.5125 45.9138 160.6858 139.0267 139.2039 132.2575 139.2039 117.8002 126.7991 133.81 139.2039 2.3551 2.3262 2.3551 2.6029 2.6262 2.3262 2.3551 30.3681 26.6298 28.6126 25.0484 18.1941 28.3627 30.3681 13.3634 8.4626 13.3634 7.8992 13.1753 8.4413 13.3637 162.6317216.2682 174.1514 117.5201 30.1054 195.2437208.6169 49.6219 46.2094 50.0284 47.018 49.1715 46.0114 48.2058 32.1085530.4964332.10855 33.158934.3007530.4964332.10855 186.8984 189.165 179.2996 150.6833 41.7193200.3022 197.9737 71.3395 66.2295 71.4748 66.3711 67.1673 66.0942 71.1889 6.742 5.457 6.6945 5.7602 7.5686 5.4052 6.8822 6.2427 5.5719 6.1712 5.3572 4.5784 5.465 5.8976 15.1602 29.4437 19.0092 20.0795 11.3835 25.6005 24.2956 69.3772 113.0246 73.9868 37.4069 29.1506 128.473 72.792 103.6242 101.5343 102.7705 102.3288 102.7705 101.5343 102.8159 178.9752229.4847 189.942 128.9956 100.7102292.1553 219.012 138.0723 135.9724 138.0723 136.0634 137.9813 135.9724 137.9813 125.5451 226.1612 134.5068 78.8973 77.2746274.4937 177.6537 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100.7874 89.8066 100.3902 108.2609 105.9708 85.9854 96.6174 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 29.7106 64.7213 95.8481 67.7986 62.217 23.5203 101.7469 69.6597 266.6478244.5714266.5395278.8317252.9448244.4334266.1621 0.2629 0.2188 0.2629 0.3506 0.2629 0.2195 0.2629 51.1442 75.3073 53.949 31.4181 28.8242 82.5098 68.4636 84.3441 118.0316 90.3974 49.1964 53.8797 135.7197 135.0352 50.1364 82.9647 50.7618 62.6831 20.566 84.1063 52.4203fraction of total SO2 emissions, relative to the 2012 base case (base)

description of IPM run

base base 500CT 500CT 1600 CT 1600 CT 2300 CT 2300 CT 2800 CT

year 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 Alabama 1.0180260.9483030.583712 0.564531 0.6038150.6101530.5934180.5870290.598835 Arkansas 1.0001 1.079453 1.032398 1.110478 1.0001 1.103301 1.0001 1.110478 1.0001 Connecticut0.999984 1.0021830.999984 1.005429 1.00323 1.005429 1.00323 1.005429 1.00323 Delaware 0.988472 0.875362 1.057570.868455 1.057570.868455 1.057570.868455 1.05757 District of Columbia1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 Florida 1.003534 1.138234 1.01108 1.113902 1.007305 1.148627 1.008376 1.110269 1.008362 Georgia 1.001608 0.541250.5193460.394504 0.521251 0.394609 0.521390.396722 0.523248 Illinois 1.01142 0.4347650.5915680.430152 0.59563 0.422830.5986190.413922 0.598619 Indiana 1.010502 0.93951 0.477531 0.4329650.487327 0.360990.477431 0.3427930.477077 Iowa 0.996464 0.9596170.8818360.8871060.9268130.7246680.9268130.712671 0.926261 Kansas 1.006192 1.0079950.758964 0.874904 0.758964 0.894380.758964 0.9259150.758964 Kentucky 1.0287550.969314 0.424032 0.3942360.440184 0.334181 0.447051 0.2988950.447919 Louisiana 1.000068 1.048873 1.08976 1.120332 1.043441 1.134162 1.039425 1.134162 1.045767 Maine 0.9959270.705031 0.9999880.705031 0.9999880.705031 0.9999880.705031 0.999572 Maryland 0.994961 0.9334360.849428 0.854580.8494280.8259480.849405 0.82532 0.849054 Massachusetts

0.95095 1.0080770.948622 1.0080630.948336 1.008061 0.947077 1.008061 0.946092 Michigan 1.011581 1.0155670.850462 0.849926 0.85046 0.8016370.8504480.676852 0.850448 Minnesota 0.996237 1.014104 0.8007680.8123670.8005880.8286080.8005880.8340290.800588 Mississippi1.000016 1.0114 1.017461 1.033676 1.017461 1.033686 1.017461 1.033686 1.017461 Missouri 1.00084 1.0589790.625074 0.7105180.6525590.6295390.6525590.615013 0.65268 Nebraska 0.999961 0.985764 0.933951 0.9439950.9339370.967254 0.9339370.967254 0.934244 New Hampshire

0.994975 1.183669 1.125839 1.224782 1.121017 1.212842 1.108657 1.231111 1.106723 New Jersey1.065935 1.321144 0.6313880.6558570.6313880.654574 0.6312 0.646272 0.630781 New York 1.0227990.6857460.9017130.6073970.901852 0.6051570.901533 0.57250.900635 North Carolina

1.016424 0.9188260.903205 0.84872 0.97644 0.665432 0.985102 0.652354 0.985306 North Dakota

0.9797630.9865570.974267 0.979890.9797630.9865580.9742670.9865570.974267 Ohio 0.983367 0.951470.4412930.4265080.4551260.318444 0.439692 0.2835580.438757 Oklahoma 1.0000190.982631 1.0000190.982631 1.0000190.982928 1.0000190.983155 1.000019 Pennsylvania

1.025332 1.0359590.690736 0.70314 0.691375 0.49976 0.6902150.4185730.688646 Rhode Island 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 South Carolina

1.050862 1.170925 0.596180.644572 0.60266 0.676534 0.621541 0.692392 0.62408 South Dakota

1.0000130.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.000013 Tennessee1.0101780.912051 0.5736660.4244080.5917250.3790180.5854130.368197 0.57618 Texas 1.01981 1.00786 0.731952 0.7619660.731952 0.7630630.7314860.7660160.728809 Vermont 0.994631 0.9903650.9947160.9903650.9947160.9903650.9947160.9903650.994631 Virginia 0.9983580.8976160.9485960.8673280.9486460.8244670.9486460.7416350.947293 West Virginia

1.093851 1.021825 0.36942 0.389094 0.3728730.322884 0.3692980.237141 0.365636 Wisconsin 0.996792 0.9695030.7543060.6195090.7540270.5990660.753144 0.565837 0.753

These curves reflect 1) Updated DSI cost assumptions to reflect latest DSI VOM cost assumptions (removal of 60%) 2) All dispatchable FGD and SCR are forced to operate 3) A $500/ton NOx allowance price for both annaul and ozone season NOx starting in 2012 4) The 2012 investment decisions from EPA 410Final BC_base are hardwired in 20122800 CT 3300 CT 3300 CT 10000 CT10000 CTbase+leakage base+leakage

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +10% variability 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.588330.607374 0.6270660.604432 0.501269 1.0180260.9483030.612571 0.6059360.631724 1.07818 1.0001 1.07818 1.057442 1.07818 1.057217 1.168988 1.033742 1.150369 1.067384 1.005429 1.00323 1.0054290.998211 1.0054290.999984 1.002183 1.008382 1.011204 1.013534 0.868455 1.0537280.868455 1.0444860.8650960.988472 0.875362 1.0724370.873507 1.087305 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 1.118777 1.012265 1.205723 1.008586 1.184702 1.005597 1.166297 1.031292 1.138334 1.054208 0.397214 0.52041 0.39617 0.509370.403933 1.001608 0.541250.5367760.4059650.552162 0.4027690.5985990.377474 0.5648570.287733 1.01142 0.4347650.618031 0.424180.637444 0.334352 0.473780.299264 0.466231 0.24129 1.010502 0.93951 0.492964 0.351561 0.508497 0.671424 0.926261 0.5678080.8893750.4445550.996464 0.9596170.9522660.730542 0.97772 0.929422 0.758964 0.9309530.758042 0.785156 1.006192 1.0079950.7780090.953804 0.797054 0.2928950.4503880.2681070.467082 0.195167 1.0287550.969314 0.4636780.3082280.480305 1.134162 1.075133 1.134162 1.082983 1.087424 1.107831 1.159076 1.062068 1.162025 1.08471 0.705031 0.999572 0.705031 0.9958680.7132190.9959270.705031 1.002001 0.707047 1.004014 0.807032 0.849054 0.791591 0.845651 0.7577590.994961 0.9334360.8604630.8356750.871522 1.0080560.946092 1.008056 0.94398 1.008383 0.95095 1.0080770.953065 1.0177050.959053 0.5686260.850448 0.536280.847448 0.36186 1.011581 1.0155670.877631 0.696972 0.904814 0.8339380.7997080.833857 0.800880.825382 0.996237 1.014104 0.8188270.8538570.837066 1.033686 1.017461 1.033686 1.005 1.065956 1.000016 1.0114 1.038511 1.05561 1.059561 0.498107 0.652680.4447180.623155 0.32487 1.00084 1.0589790.6739990.632162 0.695439 0.967254 0.934244 0.967254 0.934244 0.9172990.999961 0.985764 0.971603 1.007913 1.009269 1.229909 1.106723 1.223274 0.998003 1.230952 0.994975 1.183669 1.123703 1.252585 1.138748 0.6440680.630781 0.643292 0.629312 0.611168 1.065935 1.321144 0.637033 0.653190.642865 0.5685060.9006350.564304 0.9205870.558685 1.0227990.6857460.905608 0.574850.909682 0.61456 0.9853060.5777230.9553180.506045 1.016424 0.918826 1.0142950.664644 1.043489 0.979890.9742670.9865580.974267 0.979890.9797630.986557 1.015566 1.028819 1.056865 0.270659 0.43806 0.262814 0.462131 0.2179880.983367 0.951470.4548280.2902460.469963 0.983155 1.0000190.982928 1.0000190.982631 1.0000190.982631 1.03916 1.0229 1.0783 0.4111170.690402 0.402168 0.693030.359838 1.025332 1.0359590.7119790.427322 0.733744 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.696632 0.6240650.6993630.6125260.702889 1.050862 1.1709250.6415130.7156890.661485 0.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.032668 1.02695 1.065324 0.368142 0.5726970.368121 0.543872 0.283067 1.0101780.912051 0.6032680.3752870.621123 0.762570.725794 0.762570.7238990.751629 1.01981 1.00786 0.74892 0.786294 0.766355 0.9903650.994631 0.9903650.9819980.9966570.994631 0.9903650.9947160.9903650.994716 0.7328050.941444 0.7232360.9374180.645212 0.9983580.8976160.967294 0.7508660.985943 0.234732 0.364271 0.2293950.365684 0.199077 1.093851 1.0218250.382897 0.244180.396496 0.5532990.7508850.535164 0.7422280.4646350.996792 0.9695030.7721650.575441 0.7911872300 CT +10% variability 2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 remedy

final 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.624842 0.6508770.6437490.6623690.655093 0.670030.6626560.673861 0.6664380.598798 1.190259 1.101027 1.230149 1.121212 1.254083 1.134669 1.270039 1.141398 1.278017 1.032398 1.01698 1.018686 1.022756 1.021777 1.026221 1.023838 1.028532 1.024868 1.029687 1.00323 0.878558 1.102172 0.883609 1.111093 0.88664 1.11704 0.888661 1.1200130.889671 1.050188 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 1.166398 1.077124 1.194463 1.090873 1.211301 1.100039 1.222527 1.104622 1.22814 1.014783 0.4152080.5675480.424451 0.576780.4299960.5829350.433694 0.586012 0.435542 0.521657 0.4344380.6568560.4446960.6685030.450851 0.6762680.454954 0.680150.4570060.556987 0.3603290.5240290.3690960.5333490.3743570.539562 0.377864 0.5426690.3796180.429776 0.748412 1.0031730.766283 1.0184460.777006 1.0286270.784154 1.0337180.7877280.775289 0.981692 0.816099 1.009580.827526 1.0263130.835144 1.0374680.838953 1.0430460.758092 0.317562 0.496932 0.3268960.5069090.3324960.513559 0.336230.5168850.3380960.371172 1.189888 1.107353 1.217751 1.120939 1.234468 1.129996 1.245614 1.134525 1.251186 1.107757 0.709063 1.0060270.711079 1.0072350.712288 1.00804 0.713095 1.008442 0.7134980.999988 0.846030.882581 0.8563850.8892160.8625980.893639 0.86674 0.895851 0.868811 0.823777 1.027350.965041 1.0369950.968634 1.042782 0.97103 1.04664 0.972227 1.0485690.949349 0.7170930.9319970.737214 0.9483070.7492860.959181 0.757334 0.9646170.7613590.839873 0.8736860.8553050.893514 0.8662490.905411 0.873544 0.913342 0.877192 0.9173080.808488 1.077533 1.08061 1.099457 1.09324 1.112611 1.10166 1.12138 1.10587 1.125765 1.017461 0.64931 0.7168780.6664590.729742 0.6767480.7383180.6836070.7426060.6870370.602085 1.048572 1.046934 1.089232 1.069534 1.113627 1.0846 1.129891 1.092133 1.1380230.934244 1.274059 1.153794 1.295533 1.162821 1.308418 1.16884 1.317007 1.171849 1.321302 1.129045 0.6601080.6486980.6670260.6521980.6711770.654531 0.673944 0.6556970.675328 0.63004 0.5772 0.9137570.579551 0.916202 0.580961 0.917832 0.581901 0.9186470.582371 0.900157 0.676933 1.0726830.689222 1.0901990.696595 1.1018760.701511 1.1077150.7039690.902033 1.071081 1.098164 1.113342 1.122943 1.1387 1.139463 1.155604 1.147723 1.1640570.976405 0.296934 0.4850990.303621 0.494180.307634 0.500234 0.3103090.503261 0.3116460.366754 1.062645 1.117441 1.102391 1.140926 1.126238 1.156582 1.142136 1.16441 1.150085 1.000019 0.436072 0.7555080.444821 0.7685670.450071 0.7772730.453571 0.7816260.455321 0.646249 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.7389850.6814570.762281 0.69344 0.7762590.7014290.7855780.705424 0.7902370.602678 1.059606 1.09798 1.092262 1.117574 1.111855 1.130636 1.124918 1.137167 1.131449 1.000013 0.3823780.6389780.3894680.649691 0.3937230.6568330.3965590.660404 0.3979770.460965 0.806572 0.78379 0.82685 0.794250.8390170.801224 0.8471280.804711 0.851184 0.731892 0.9903650.9947160.9903650.9947160.9903650.9947160.9903650.9947160.9903650.994631 0.760098 1.004592 0.769329 1.015781 0.774868 1.023241 0.77856 1.026970.7804070.925074 0.25122 0.4100950.2582590.418254 0.2624830.423694 0.2652990.4264130.2667070.319061 0.585044 0.8102090.5946480.821622 0.60041 0.829231 0.604251 0.8330350.606172 0.7449232300 remedy final remedysensitivity

remedysensitivity

10000 remedy

final 10000 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final EGUs zeroed

EGUs zeroed 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 0.5160550.5907490.512741 0.6354470.531142 0.5936790.544717 0.209780.208297 1.135599 1.02522 1.113151 1.139494 1.07818 1.0001 1.103301 0.3267260.312148 1.005429 1.00323 1.005429 1.012805 1.005429 1.000216 1.0054290.9001890.889915 0.875362 1.0032760.875362 1.048681 0.868144 1.057570.8684550.6901960.697406 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1 0.973813 1.156671 1.02895 1.148051 1.090679 1.212145 1.011345 1.1451370.546742 0.545611 0.3916250.524174 0.388664 0.5538830.4003890.5216570.386641 0.2129570.210694 0.4199570.556092 0.419080.4909260.270721 0.5596190.4225190.202931 0.200707 0.359670.4227390.3695990.3387460.2479260.4355650.380519 0.15162 0.147381 0.725461 0.772102 0.7217350.696791 0.4360690.874491 0.7616370.3922370.326955 0.787142 0.761250.8176130.7937090.783842 0.758089 0.78714 0.3775230.367608 0.317562 0.4251030.3324950.2383270.1928360.3967050.3563770.114481 0.112194 1.134162 1.11565 1.134162 1.056859 1.083717 1.121963 1.134162 0.57782 0.568085 0.705031 0.9999880.705031 1.009131 0.7139890.9999880.705031 0.9231230.627211 0.841222 0.8237770.828331 0.812164 0.7518260.836502 0.841222 0.628230.618224 1.008061 0.94923 1.008061 0.941053 1.005331 0.948921 1.008065 0.82641 0.814115 0.7170930.9032330.7492860.6272680.3467290.8444770.8456050.298841 0.262595 0.828891 0.8084880.8324230.815514 0.8249770.8067680.816586 0.40696 0.39771 1.028484 1.017461 1.028484 1.057473 1.061428 1.017461 1.028484 0.5591580.545953 0.6386130.599571 0.6229070.5200360.338554 0.6225890.6615030.208601 0.252328 0.9656870.934244 0.967254 0.935884 0.917372 0.9326770.963943 0.16730.139568 1.20204 1.130152 1.199019 1.149439 1.254623 1.126857 1.2109590.7830180.773164 0.638564 0.63116 0.6370670.6266670.603732 0.6289230.631341 0.514546 0.50791 0.5755080.915382 0.590811 0.878152 0.5604930.9001030.611829 0.79832 0.515234 0.6770960.864651 0.6967580.5420990.5055070.9305470.691662 0.3825380.381164 0.986482 0.9764050.9795190.9828850.9795190.976405 0.979890.1482890.141321 0.2955450.3461270.3062460.248074 0.2191780.4072780.334611 0.1222060.120909 0.983155 1.0000190.983155 1.0005430.982631 1.0000190.982631 0.217204 0.188251 0.4359350.6046460.4499350.374599 0.360530.6801480.5173360.251351 0.239817 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 1 0.998715 0.6638760.6156860.6620860.698866 0.68724 0.5984630.645081 0.2108970.209593 0.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.0000130.994294 1.0000130.994294 0.3160660.310347 0.3823770.4593350.3897950.378271 0.2830670.4735530.394281 0.228304 0.226374 0.7410260.731892 0.740871 0.780862 0.7214390.7316950.740331 0.3823180.359896 0.9903650.994631 0.990365 1.0107030.9903650.9947160.990365 0.967950.958306 0.760095 0.907980.7748670.6768360.6425460.945912 0.8513090.511371 0.490742 0.2512190.314871 0.262482 0.186794 0.1945360.347782 0.3455370.0952570.094286 0.584655 0.74376 0.5876490.646681 0.4431150.749224 0.5955870.346644 0.344674fraction of total SO2 emissions, relative to the 2012 base case (base)

description of IPM run

base base 500CT 500CT 1600 CT 1600 CT 2300 CT 2300 CT 2800 CT

year 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 Alabama 0.9755030.9067880.547131 0.5282660.5669580.573264 0.556704 0.5504560.562046 Arkansas 0.999868 1.081154 1.03326 1.113230.999868 1.10581 0.999868 1.113230.999868 Connecticut1.000055 1.019994 1.000055 1.028586 1.008647 1.028586 1.008647 1.028586 1.008647 Delaware 1.0199030.861598 1.115054 0.852087 1.115054 0.852087 1.115054 0.852087 1.115054 District of Columbia1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 Florida 0.995213 1.139599 1.003266 1.1136350.999237 1.150689 1.000381 1.109758 1.000366 Georgia 0.9978170.5298050.5072730.3805390.509211 0.3806450.509352 0.3827950.511242 Illinois 0.9846960.4125560.5679470.4079770.571979 0.40071 0.5749460.3918680.574946 Indiana 0.9858550.916333 0.462580.419002 0.4721980.3483370.462481 0.330471 0.462134 Iowa 1.005038 0.97054 0.8820850.892762 0.9303280.7185270.9303280.7056580.929736 Kansas 0.991784 0.993332 0.7462370.8611450.7462370.8804890.746237 0.91181 0.746237 Kentucky 0.962062 0.905734 0.386404 0.358295 0.401780.3011270.4083160.2675360.409143 Louisiana 0.999903 1.050411 1.092206 1.123952 1.044539 1.138184 1.040406 1.138184 1.046932 Maine 1.009790.883373 1.016984 0.883373 1.016984 0.883373 1.016984 0.883373 1.016246 Maryland 1.007914 0.937114 0.8346170.8432150.834617 0.80912 0.8345890.8083730.834171 Massachusetts

1.143743 1.282614 1.138436 1.282585 1.137784 1.282578 1.134915 1.282578 1.132668 Michigan 0.9840750.989023 0.824530.825001 0.8245280.7771830.8245170.6536170.824517 Minnesota 1.005473 1.026724 0.7898580.804196 0.78966 0.82211 0.78966 0.82809 0.78966 Mississippi0.999977 1.014104 1.018846 1.038197 1.018846 1.038208 1.018846 1.038208 1.018846 Missouri 0.998883 1.0542450.6160130.6991980.6440190.6166870.6440190.6018870.644142 Nebraska 1.0000470.9876690.933122 0.945321 0.9331080.968902 0.9331080.968902 0.93342 New Hampshire

1.011506 1.347491 1.239716 1.419187 1.231307 1.398365 1.209753 1.430225 1.206381 New Jersey0.909301 1.179202 0.4526770.4801160.4526770.4787680.4524790.470044 0.452039 New York 0.95454 0.757171 0.8117580.664784 0.811922 0.6621430.8115450.6236330.810487 North Carolina

0.977523 0.877480.860938 0.80529 0.936350.616554 0.9452690.603088 0.94548 North Dakota1.02679 1.035471 1.020822 1.02823 1.02679 1.035472 1.020822 1.035471 1.020822 Ohio 1.022481 0.9888460.446992 0.4315250.4616780.3167990.4452930.2797630.444301 Oklahoma 0.9999770.9840480.9999770.9840480.9999770.9843480.9999770.9845790.999977 Pennsylvania

0.9644080.976622 0.624072 0.6380950.624722 0.4312260.623542 0.3486460.621947 Rhode Island 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 South Carolina

0.937575 1.0468560.5248390.569062 0.530722 0.5980760.547861 0.612471 0.550166 South Dakota

1.0000130.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.000013 Tennessee0.9850960.8897150.5608770.4158050.5784270.3716930.5722930.361177 0.56332 Texas 0.9742660.9637780.6935830.724012 0.6935830.725082 0.6931280.727961 0.690517 Vermont 1.011937 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.011937 Virginia 1.002511 0.8929290.9467190.858971 0.9467750.8109160.9467750.7180450.945258 West Virginia

0.878802 0.820762 0.2943030.3102490.2970890.2568290.2942050.187648 0.29125 Wisconsin 1.0044680.9757370.7463660.603204 0.7460690.581444 0.7451290.5460760.744976

These curves reflect 1) Updated DSI cost assumptions to reflect latest DSI VOM cost assumptions (removal of 60%) 2) All dispatchable FGD and SCR are forced to operate 3) A $500/ton NOx allowance price for both annaul and ozone season NOx starting in 2012 4) The 2012 investment decisions from EPA 410Final BC_base are hardwired in 20122800 CT 3300 CT 3300 CT 10000 CT10000 CTbase+leakage base+leakage

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +10% variability 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.5517390.5704690.5899450.567568 0.465870.9755030.9067880.5755950.569104 0.594486 1.0798380.999868 1.079838 1.059153 1.079838 1.05892 1.173722 1.03465 1.154472 1.069432 1.028586 1.008647 1.0285860.995361 1.028586 1.000055 1.019994 1.022287 1.043878 1.035928 0.852087 1.1097630.852087 1.0970370.847461 1.0199030.861598 1.1355270.859043 1.156 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 1.118837 1.00453 1.211616 1.000604 1.1891850.997415 1.169545 1.024834 1.139706 1.049287 0.3832950.5083550.3822330.497126 0.390130.9978170.5298050.525002 0.3921970.540653 0.3807970.5749260.3556890.5414330.266611 0.9846960.4125560.594215 0.402050.613484 0.3221830.4588970.2877330.4514850.230814 0.9858550.9163330.477732 0.3390790.492982 0.6614160.9297360.550275 0.89017 0.41807 1.005038 0.97054 0.957630.7248270.984932 0.9152930.7462370.916814 0.745321 0.7720080.991784 0.993332 0.7651530.9395090.784068 0.2618250.4114930.2382290.4273850.168794 0.962062 0.905734 0.424144 0.276421 0.439972 1.138184 1.077153 1.138184 1.085232 1.090086 1.110804 1.163823 1.063708 1.166858 1.08701 0.883373 1.0162460.883373 1.0096850.897877 1.009790.883373 1.0205490.886943 1.024115 0.7865960.834171 0.7682090.8301190.727923 1.007914 0.937114 0.8477570.820704 0.860926 1.282568 1.132668 1.282568 1.127853 1.283313 1.143743 1.282614 1.148568 1.304568 1.16222 0.5464490.8245170.5144180.8215460.341702 0.9840750.9890230.851434 0.673541 0.878352 0.82799 0.788690.827901 0.7899830.818553 1.005473 1.026724 0.8097790.849962 0.829897 1.038208 1.018846 1.038208 1.005368 1.07311 0.999977 1.014104 1.041612 1.06192 1.064379 0.482771 0.644142 0.4283730.614059 0.30626 0.998883 1.0542450.665864 0.61936 0.687708 0.968902 0.93342 0.968902 0.93342 0.918255 1.0000470.9876690.971296 1.010125 1.009484 1.428128 1.206381 1.416558 1.016786 1.429948 1.011506 1.347491 1.235991 1.467673 1.262229 0.4677280.4520390.466912 0.4504950.4331560.909301 1.179202 0.4586080.4773130.464737 0.6189250.8104870.6139690.8340130.607344 0.95454 0.757171 0.816350.6264050.821155 0.56417 0.945480.526238 0.91460.4524290.977523 0.87748 0.975330.615742 1.005392 1.02823 1.020822 1.035472 1.020822 1.02823 1.02679 1.035471 1.065673 1.081368 1.110525 0.266069 0.44356 0.257741 0.4691150.210151 1.022481 0.9888460.461362 0.286863 0.47743 0.9845790.9999770.9843480.9999770.9840480.9999770.984048 1.039691 1.024906 1.079404 0.3410630.623732 0.331961 0.6264060.288904 0.9644080.976622 0.645680.3575460.667818 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 0.6163190.550152 0.6187980.5396780.6219990.937575 1.0468560.565991 0.633618 0.58412 0.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.034226 1.029043 1.068438 0.3611230.5599350.3611030.531922 0.2784450.9850960.8897150.5896450.3680680.606997 0.724601 0.6875780.724601 0.685730.713932 0.9742660.9637780.7101280.7477330.727128 1.011608 1.011937 1.0116080.991685 1.021695 1.011937 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.012074 0.708145 0.93870.6974160.9341870.609936 1.002511 0.8929290.9676830.7283950.988592 0.185704 0.2901490.1813980.2912890.1569360.878802 0.820762 0.3051770.1933280.316149 0.5327290.7427250.513426 0.73351 0.438356 1.0044680.9757370.7653750.5562970.7856222300 CT +10% variability 2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 remedy

final 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.587752 0.6133770.606401 0.624711 0.617590.6322680.6250490.6360460.628778 0.56201 1.195713 1.104214 1.236955 1.125083 1.261699 1.138996 1.278196 1.145952 1.286444 1.03326 1.059169 1.049568 1.07446 1.057752 1.083635 1.063208 1.089752 1.065936 1.09281 1.008647 0.865999 1.1764730.872954 1.1887560.877128 1.196946 0.87991 1.20104 0.881301 1.104889 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 1.169653 1.07374 1.1996 1.088412 1.217569 1.098193 1.229547 1.103084 1.235537 1.007217 0.4015980.556303 0.411 0.565694 0.416641 0.571954 0.420402 0.575084 0.422282 0.509624 0.412232 0.632752 0.422414 0.6443130.428524 0.652021 0.4325960.6558750.4346330.533622 0.3476870.5082330.3562960.517383 0.36146 0.5234830.364904 0.5265330.3666250.415694 0.743996 1.012234 0.763164 1.0286160.774666 1.0395370.782333 1.0449970.786167 0.7678 0.9672080.802984 0.9949060.814333 1.0115250.821899 1.0226050.825683 1.028144 0.745371 0.285306 0.45580.294191 0.4652970.2995230.4716280.3030770.474794 0.304854 0.336085 1.195532 1.110312 1.224207 1.124293 1.241411 1.133614 1.252881 1.138274 1.258616 1.110727 0.890514 1.027680.894085 1.0298190.896227 1.0312460.897656 1.031959 0.89837 1.016984 0.833034 0.874094 0.845364 0.8819950.852762 0.8872630.857694 0.889896 0.86016 0.804072 1.326558 1.175873 1.348549 1.184064 1.361743 1.189526 1.370539 1.192256 1.374937 1.140093 0.6934650.905269 0.71339 0.92142 0.725344 0.9321870.733314 0.937570.7372980.814044 0.871834 0.8500160.8937060.8620880.9068290.8701350.9155770.8741590.919952 0.798374 1.085632 1.087145 1.109344 1.100805 1.123571 1.109912 1.133055 1.114465 1.137798 1.018846 0.6368330.7095530.654305 0.72266 0.6647890.7313980.6717780.7357670.675272 0.59259 1.051348 1.047671 1.092571 1.070584 1.117304 1.085859 1.133793 1.093497 1.142038 0.93342 1.505121 1.288467 1.542569 1.304209 1.565038 1.314704 1.580017 1.319952 1.587507 1.245307 0.4845830.4708660.491852 0.474544 0.496214 0.4769950.499122 0.478221 0.5005760.451261 0.629176 0.82596 0.6319480.8288430.633611 0.830764 0.6347190.8317250.6352730.809922 0.628397 1.0354530.641051 1.053490.648644 1.0655150.653705 1.0715270.6562360.859732 1.127266 1.155377 1.173163 1.182288 1.200702 1.200228 1.219061 1.209199 1.22824 1.023143 0.2939630.4934990.301063 0.50314 0.3053230.5095670.3081630.512781 0.3095830.367859 1.065233 1.119118 1.105561 1.142946 1.129757 1.158832 1.145888 1.166775 1.1539530.999977 0.3664460.6899560.3753450.7032390.3806850.712094 0.3842450.716521 0.3860250.578823 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 0.654765 0.602250.675912 0.613127 0.68860.6203790.6970590.6240050.7012890.530738 1.063256 1.102651 1.097469 1.123179 1.117996 1.136864 1.131681 1.143706 1.138524 1.000013 0.3749590.6243490.3818490.634761 0.385984 0.641701 0.38874 0.645172 0.390118 0.45135 0.7675060.7441280.7872790.7543280.7991430.7611280.807052 0.7645280.8110060.693524 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.012074 1.011608 1.011937 0.738746 1.009501 0.749096 1.0220460.755306 1.03041 0.759446 1.034592 0.7615160.920346 0.1990070.327121 0.2046870.3337050.2080950.3380930.2103670.3402880.2115030.253671 0.5665190.8058690.576741 0.8180170.582874 0.8261160.5869630.8301650.5890070.7363792300 remedy final remedysensitivity

remedysensitivity

10000 remedy

final 10000 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final EGUs zeroed

EGUs zeroed 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 0.4804530.554071 0.477184 0.5981580.495334 0.556962 0.5087230.1783150.176906 1.139202 1.02584 1.115994 1.143984 1.0798380.999868 1.10581 0.3036870.287859 1.028586 1.008647 1.028586 1.033999 1.028586 1.000669 1.0285860.735844 0.722761 0.861598 1.040290.861598 1.1028130.851658 1.115054 0.8520870.6091690.616547 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1 0.973644 1.159273 1.022335 1.150075 1.088205 1.218469 1.003549 1.1469660.507777 0.50722 0.37761 0.512184 0.3745990.5424030.3865250.509624 0.372541 0.195622 0.193572 0.3978580.5327330.3969870.4680490.2497250.536234 0.400401 0.1821830.180228 0.347041 0.4087850.356789 0.32632 0.2373290.4213770.367511 0.1425980.138613 0.7193770.764381 0.715381 0.68360.4089680.8742060.758181 0.3569270.291929 0.773980.7485070.8042450.7807460.7707030.7453680.7739790.3673890.357299 0.2853060.387424 0.299522 0.209624 0.166575 0.360390.322256 0.091730.089809 1.138184 1.11885 1.138184 1.058347 1.086271 1.125347 1.138184 0.56536 0.555624 0.883373 1.016984 0.883373 1.033180.899241 1.016984 0.8833730.8808270.745524 0.8273090.804072 0.8119580.790244 0.7208590.8192250.827309 0.57122 0.561769 1.282578 1.139822 1.282578 1.121179 1.276354 1.139117 1.2825880.8597930.840381 0.6934650.8767860.725344 0.6035160.3267190.818604 0.820722 0.2782970.243407 0.8224230.798374 0.8263190.806124 0.8181060.796476 0.808850.355464 0.346805 1.032581 1.018846 1.032581 1.062121 1.068213 1.018846 1.032581 0.5231590.510691 0.6259330.590028 0.60993 0.508990.320202 0.613482 0.6492560.1916690.232346 0.967313 0.93342 0.968902 0.935082 0.9183290.931831 0.9655450.1558450.129744 1.379529 1.247237 1.374259 1.280872 1.471226 1.241491 1.395081 0.6418780.631621 0.461944 0.4524370.460371 0.4477160.425342 0.4500860.454354 0.3298980.324653 0.627181 0.8278760.6452260.7839750.6094750.809859 0.67001 0.6898380.556107 0.628564 0.8212380.648811 0.4890990.4518750.889092 0.6435630.3247960.323836 1.03539 1.023143 1.027828 1.030181 1.027828 1.023143 1.028230.1237880.117523 0.292489 0.34596 0.3038490.2418630.211414 0.410881 0.3339630.1082370.107088 0.9845790.9999770.984579 1.0005080.9840480.9999770.984048 0.20570.178036 0.3663060.5365050.3805460.3025130.2896080.613302 0.4491030.177151 0.166824 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 1 1.000109 0.5865860.5425460.584961 0.618052 0.607794 0.526912 0.569524 0.175101 0.174212 0.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.0000130.994831 1.0000130.994831 0.283462 0.27828 0.3749580.4497650.3821670.370984 0.2784450.4635830.3865260.225241 0.223348 0.7035930.693524 0.703442 0.7412730.6844950.693332 0.7029160.352662 0.331963 1.011608 1.011937 1.011608 1.037702 1.011608 1.012074 1.0116080.9691650.960215 0.7387430.901181 0.7553050.6420230.606948 0.94371 0.841011 0.4565060.436746 0.1990070.250291 0.208094 0.1469530.1532730.2768450.2751060.0730980.072387 0.5661050.735141 0.569292 0.6318090.4154490.7409570.577741 0.312450.310669fraction of total SO2 emissions, relative to the 2012 base case (base)

description of IPM run

base base 500CT 500CT 1600 CT 1600 CT 2300 CT 2300 CT 2800 CT

year 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 Alabama 0.988872 0.921591 0.5708370.552202 0.5901860.596114 0.5801790.5738570.585392 Arkansas 0.999939 1.075562 1.031492 1.105871 0.999939 1.0988590.999939 1.105871 0.999939 Connecticut1.000014 1.006293 1.000014 1.01111 1.004832 1.01111 1.004832 1.01111 1.004832 Delaware 1.0064350.886489 1.07986 0.87915 1.07986 0.87915 1.07986 0.87915 1.07986 District of Columbia1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 Florida 0.998148 1.126594 1.005328 1.103443 1.001736 1.136483 1.002756 1.099987 1.002743 Georgia 0.999090.5332550.5109090.3847090.5128370.384814 0.5129780.386954 0.51486 Illinois 0.9930430.4348570.5867360.4303930.5906670.423308 0.59356 0.414687 0.59356 Indiana 0.993861 0.9243390.4734670.4297460.483033 0.359470.4733690.341702 0.473024 Iowa 1.002190.961452 0.8866580.8883690.931989 0.724650.9319890.7125590.931433 Kansas 0.9964860.997474 0.7592550.869764 0.7592550.8884530.7592550.918714 0.759255 Kentucky 0.9826190.9257390.4044490.375912 0.419892 0.3184950.4264570.2847580.427288 Louisiana 0.999953 1.04517 1.085044 1.112964 1.041101 1.126084 1.037291 1.126084 1.043307 Maine 1.0020890.795004 1.0040950.795004 1.0040950.795004 1.0040950.795004 1.00389 Maryland 1.003033 0.94244 0.8615890.8657990.8615890.837971 0.8615660.837362 0.861225 Massachusetts

1.040542 1.117588 1.037404 1.11757 1.037018 1.117566 1.035322 1.117566 1.033994 Michigan 0.993281 0.993381 0.8394580.835241 0.8394570.7891380.8394460.670004 0.839446 Minnesota 1.002465 1.021630.799954 0.8126270.7997680.829452 0.7997680.8350690.799768 Mississippi 0.99999 1.012337 1.018058 1.035409 1.018058 1.03542 1.018058 1.03542 1.018058 Missouri 0.999506 1.0597050.627801 0.715011 0.6549890.6349070.6549890.6205380.655109 Nebraska 1.0000190.9814730.935852 0.9408690.9358380.9634790.9358380.9634790.936137 New Hampshire

1.003705 1.230873 1.160506 1.280134 1.154729 1.265827 1.139919 1.287718 1.137602 New Jersey0.967677 1.207514 0.558750.581451 0.558750.580244 0.5585730.572431 0.558179 New York 0.9852450.7340680.864752 0.656102 0.864890.653874 0.864572 0.6213760.863679 North Carolina

0.9902870.8936650.877961 0.824112 0.950619 0.642270.959212 0.6292960.959414 North Dakota

1.012339 1.019697 1.006598 1.012731 1.012339 1.019697 1.006598 1.019697 1.006598 Ohio 1.009801 0.9769370.450436 0.43523 0.46471 0.3237190.448785 0.28772 0.44782 Oklahoma 0.9999890.9790690.9999890.9790690.9999890.9793550.9999890.9795750.999989 Pennsylvania

0.985394 0.995844 0.6529570.665174 0.653592 0.463107 0.65244 0.382444 0.650881 Rhode Island 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 South Carolina

0.97161 1.0832890.5492890.5943990.5553080.6240870.5728460.6388160.575204 South Dakota

1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 Tennessee0.9939250.8985750.5702430.425264 0.587770.3812080.5816450.3707050.572683 Texas 0.9883580.9760550.7135580.741314 0.7135580.742362 0.713112 0.745180.710557 Vermont 1.005752 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005752 Virginia 1.000972 0.897722 0.9499350.8666580.9499860.8226980.9499860.737744 0.948599 West Virginia

0.9494390.8870580.322132 0.3391560.325122 0.2818230.3220270.2075750.318855 Wisconsin 1.001911 0.9741270.7543470.6168050.754062 0.5959330.753161 0.5620090.753014

These curves reflect 1) Updated DSI cost assumptions to reflect latest DSI VOM cost assumptions (removal of 60%) 2) All dispatchable FGD and SCR are forced to operate 3) A $500/ton NOx allowance price for both annaul and ozone season NOx starting in 2012 4) The 2012 investment decisions from EPA 410Final BC_base are hardwired in 20122800 CT 3300 CT 3300 CT 10000 CT10000 CTbase+leakage base+leakage

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +10% variability 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.5751090.593611 0.612394 0.590780.491312 0.988872 0.921591 0.598614 0.5920550.617049 1.0743180.999939 1.074318 1.055959 1.074318 1.055739 1.163031 1.032805 1.144841 1.065672 1.01111 1.004832 1.01111 0.997382 1.01111 1.000014 1.006293 1.01248 1.019684 1.020128 0.87915 1.075777 0.87915 1.065957 0.87558 1.0064350.886489 1.0956580.884517 1.111456 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 1.108082 1.006456 1.190808 1.002955 1.170808 1.000112 1.153295 1.02456 1.126689 1.046363 0.387451 0.5119860.386394 0.500811 0.394253 0.999090.5332550.528553 0.39631 0.544128 0.403894 0.59354 0.3794150.5608870.2925690.9930430.4348570.6123460.424614 0.631132 0.33346 0.469804 0.2992 0.462434 0.242594 0.993861 0.9243390.4885360.3502630.503702 0.6709860.9314330.566554 0.8942560.442329 1.002190.961452 0.957643 0.730570.983298 0.9220780.7592550.9235470.758371 0.7836460.9964860.997474 0.777530.945474 0.795805 0.279021 0.4296490.255322 0.4456090.1855850.9826190.9257390.4423550.293681 0.458252 1.126084 1.071167 1.126084 1.078614 1.081744 1.102188 1.14972 1.058772 1.152517 1.080253 0.795004 1.003890.795004 1.00206 0.799049 1.0020890.795004 1.00509 0.796 1.006084 0.8195880.861225 0.804580.8579180.771699 1.003033 0.94244 0.872314 0.8474260.883062 1.117561 1.033994 1.117561 1.031148 1.118001 1.040542 1.117588 1.043394 1.130567 1.051465 0.5666790.8394460.5357980.836581 0.3692760.993281 0.993381 0.8653980.689214 0.89135 0.834974 0.798857 0.834890.800071 0.82611 1.002465 1.021630.818664 0.855611 0.83756 1.03542 1.018058 1.03542 1.005152 1.068843 0.99999 1.012337 1.03986 1.058127 1.061661 0.5048950.6551090.4520830.6259030.333531 0.999506 1.0597050.6761970.637501 0.697405 0.9634790.9361370.9634790.9361370.914919 1.0000190.9814730.972453 1.003003 1.009067 1.286277 1.137602 1.278328 1.007334 1.287527 1.003705 1.230873 1.157947 1.313448 1.175974 0.5703570.5581790.5696260.5567960.5393960.967677 1.207514 0.564062 0.578941 0.56955 0.617402 0.863679 0.61322 0.8835330.6076290.9852450.7340680.8686270.6237150.872682 0.59180.959414 0.5552530.9296630.484141 0.9902870.8936650.9881750.641488 1.017138 1.012731 1.006598 1.019697 1.006598 1.012731 1.012339 1.019697 1.049743 1.063848 1.092888 0.27441 0.4471 0.266315 0.47194 0.220059 1.009801 0.9769370.4644030.294621 0.480021 0.9795750.9999890.9793550.9999890.9790690.9999890.979069 1.037787 1.017957 1.075585 0.3750360.6526250.3661450.6552370.3240880.985394 0.995844 0.674064 0.3911370.695688 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.642754 0.575190.645291 0.564472 0.648566 0.97161 1.0832890.5913960.660454 0.609947 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.031576 1.025254 1.063139 0.370651 0.569302 0.370631 0.541324 0.2880770.9939250.8985750.5989750.3775870.616305 0.741891 0.7076790.741891 0.705870.7314460.9883580.9760550.7297560.764539 0.7464 1.002466 1.005752 1.0024660.991805 1.009413 1.005752 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005846 0.7286880.9425990.7188730.938471 0.638849 1.000972 0.897722 0.969112 0.747212 0.988239 0.2054890.3176730.2008680.3188970.174614 0.9494390.8870580.333802 0.213671 0.345578 0.5492080.7508550.5306930.7420170.458688 1.001911 0.9741270.772581 0.571814 0.7920012300 CT +10% variability 2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 remedy

final 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.6102530.635484 0.628452 0.6465450.639371 0.653919 0.646650.657606 0.650290.585357 1.183811 1.098538 1.222782 1.118258 1.246164 1.131404 1.261752 1.137978 1.269546 1.031492 1.028258 1.027776 1.036832 1.032365 1.041976 1.035424 1.045406 1.036954 1.047121 1.004832 0.889885 1.1272550.895252 1.136734 0.898473 1.143053 0.90062 1.1462130.901693 1.072016 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 1.153392 1.068167 1.180094 1.081249 1.196116 1.08997 1.206797 1.094331 1.212137 1.008852 0.4056660.5597030.4150230.5690490.4206360.5752790.4243790.578394 0.426250.513249 0.434542 0.6499180.4444690.6611890.4504250.668704 0.4543960.672461 0.456381 0.553271 0.358824 0.5188680.3673850.5279680.372521 0.5340350.3759460.5370680.3776580.426839 0.748582 1.008952 0.766594 1.0243450.777401 1.0346060.784605 1.0397370.7882080.779271 0.972235 0.814080.9989950.825045 1.015051 0.832355 1.025755 0.83601 1.0311080.758418 0.3026050.4741490.3115290.4836870.3168830.4900460.3204530.4932250.3222380.353911 1.178951 1.101734 1.205385 1.114623 1.221245 1.123216 1.231818 1.127512 1.237105 1.102117 0.796996 1.0070780.797991 1.0076750.798589 1.0080730.798987 1.008271 0.799186 1.004095 0.85749 0.89381 0.867554 0.9002590.873592 0.9045580.8776170.906708 0.879630.836659 1.143568 1.059536 1.156568 1.064379 1.164368 1.067608 1.169569 1.069222 1.172169 1.038384 0.7084230.917302 0.7276330.9328730.7391590.943254 0.746842 0.9484450.750684 0.829349 0.876154 0.8564560.8966960.867794 0.909022 0.8753530.9172390.879132 0.9213470.807953 1.080833 1.083463 1.10354 1.096543 1.117164 1.105264 1.126247 1.109624 1.130788 1.018058 0.654464 0.7186130.6714280.7313380.6816060.739821 0.688391 0.7440630.691783 0.60506 1.042527 1.045681 1.082051 1.067649 1.105766 1.082295 1.121575 1.089618 1.129480.936137 1.339178 1.194002 1.364908 1.204819 1.380346 1.21203 1.390639 1.215635 1.395785 1.164348 0.585451 0.5750390.591961 0.5783330.5958670.5805280.598471 0.5816260.5997730.557482 0.626054 0.8767370.628392 0.879170.6297960.880791 0.630731 0.881602 0.6311990.863203 0.65368 1.046101 0.665872 1.0634790.673188 1.0750650.678065 1.0808570.6805030.876799 1.107999 1.136034 1.152151 1.161921 1.178642 1.179179 1.196302 1.187808 1.205132 1.008831 0.301522 0.49564 0.3084230.505011 0.312564 0.5112580.315324 0.514382 0.316704 0.37352 1.056339 1.113384 1.094721 1.136063 1.11775 1.151182 1.133102 1.158742 1.1407790.999989 0.399830.717312 0.4085230.7302860.4137390.7389360.4172160.743261 0.4189550.608758 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.6820930.6284970.703731 0.6396280.716714 0.6470480.7253690.6507580.7296970.555325 1.056817 1.094703 1.08838 1.113641 1.107319 1.126266 1.119944 1.132579 1.126257 1.000012 0.3844690.6336350.391351 0.644033 0.395480.6509650.3982330.654431 0.39961 0.460854 0.7838970.763044 0.803255 0.77303 0.814870.7796880.822614 0.7830160.8264850.713501 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005846 1.002466 1.005752 0.75668 1.0073660.766148 1.018842 0.771828 1.026492 0.775616 1.0303180.777509 0.92581 0.2197670.357354 0.225862 0.364419 0.22952 0.3691290.2319580.371484 0.2331770.278524 0.5816180.811421 0.5914230.8230730.5973050.830841 0.6012270.8347250.6031880.7447682300 remedy final remedysensitivity

remedysensitivity

10000 remedy

final 10000 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final EGUs zeroed

EGUs zeroed 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 0.505543 0.57761 0.5023530.620632 0.520065 0.580430.533131 0.210919 0.20932 1.130413 1.02448 1.108483 1.136118 1.0743180.999939 1.0988590.3420980.325955 1.01111 1.004832 1.01111 1.019047 1.01111 1.000358 1.01111 0.851870.839632 0.886489 1.0221670.886489 1.070414 0.878819 1.07986 0.879150.6894850.697391 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1 0.973676 1.144136 1.022331 1.135935 1.081064 1.196919 1.00558 1.1331630.5635260.562733 0.3817930.5157970.378797 0.545870.3906660.5132490.376749 0.20076 0.198642 0.4205270.5524050.4196790.489341 0.2761060.5558180.4230070.2106380.208351 0.358181 0.4199680.3678760.3379570.249074 0.432491 0.3785380.1552470.150901 0.7254490.7760590.721694 0.700154 0.4337760.879254 0.761911 0.3931990.323802 0.785551 0.7614480.814791 0.7925950.7823850.758416 0.785550.3932380.382982 0.3026050.405474 0.3168830.2268990.1833560.3783230.3397160.108491 0.106255 1.126084 1.109605 1.126084 1.05383 1.078227 1.115595 1.126084 0.5993650.589045 0.795004 1.0040950.795004 1.008612 0.799429 1.0040950.795004 0.9661250.756562 0.8528170.8366590.8402880.825372 0.7659330.8490260.8528170.6466060.636085 1.117566 1.038223 1.117566 1.027202 1.113887 1.037807 1.117572 0.872671 0.856141 0.7084230.889841 0.7391590.626372 0.354831 0.8337450.8311160.3128170.274507 0.8297460.8079530.8334050.815232 0.825691 0.806170.8169970.391961 0.383033 1.030031 1.018058 1.030031 1.059499 1.064153 1.018058 1.030031 0.5433830.530264 0.643882 0.602574 0.6283470.5238990.3470670.6253430.666525 0.215830.261772 0.9619550.9361370.9634790.937731 0.914990.934614 0.96026 0.190603 0.1589 1.252885 1.165674 1.249265 1.188784 1.315889 1.161726 1.263571 0.7497390.739007 0.5651770.5585350.5637690.5543070.532398 0.55643 0.558380.4487960.442226 0.624370.878354 0.6395980.8413060.6094280.8631490.6605130.761864 0.564391 0.653842 0.839711 0.6733490.5197050.4836070.9050870.6682930.3614030.360245 1.019618 1.008831 1.012344 1.015601 1.012344 1.008831 1.012731 0.1436890.136669 0.3000890.3522350.311132 0.2510550.2212860.4153370.340402 0.121172 0.119883 0.9795750.9999890.979575 1.0004950.9790690.9999890.9790690.244024 0.211935 0.399694 0.5674230.4136030.338862 0.3247760.6424370.4805690.2164090.204842 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 1 0.999431 0.612330.5674070.6106670.644667 0.63403 0.55141 0.594872 0.191429 0.19038 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 0.99369 1.000012 0.993690.3389450.332623 0.3844690.459272 0.391668 0.380590.2880770.473072 0.396022 0.235031 0.233051 0.721324 0.713501 0.7211760.7602490.7026260.713312 0.720661 0.379782 0.357482 1.002466 1.005752 1.002466 1.023496 1.002466 1.005846 1.0024660.9762960.967072 0.7566770.9082780.771827 0.67121 0.6361160.947182 0.8502280.501504 0.480421 0.2197660.2748960.229519 0.163990.1706830.3033950.3014390.0847260.083873 0.581221 0.743581 0.5842770.6444690.4367170.7491590.592382 0.3381490.336215fraction of total SO2 emissions, relative to the 2012 base case (base)

description of IPM run

base base 500CT 500CT 1600 CT 1600 CT 2300 CT 2300 CT 2800 CT

year 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 Alabama 1.017768 0.949390.5923230.5734550.6120150.6181450.601831 0.5954930.607136 Arkansas 1.0001 1.081014 1.032218 1.111866 1.0001 1.104729 1.0001 1.111866 1.0001 Connecticut0.999983 1.004782 0.999983 1.008312 1.003513 1.008312 1.003513 1.008312 1.003513 Delaware 0.9870650.858969 1.064274 0.851252 1.064274 0.851252 1.064274 0.851252 1.064274 District of Columbia1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 Florida 1.003178 1.123406 1.009932 1.10163 1.006553 1.132707 1.007512 1.098378 1.0075 Georgia 1.0016170.541211 0.51922 0.3944250.5211250.3945290.521264 0.3966430.523123 Illinois 1.0116290.427861 0.58651 0.423191 0.5906230.415777 0.593650.406758 0.59365 Indiana 1.0105190.939632 0.4787690.4342470.4885430.3624370.4786690.344282 0.478316 Iowa 0.9964530.961482 0.882077 0.889130.926954 0.7270490.926954 0.7150790.926403 Kansas 1.005014 1.0070380.805812 0.89980.805812 0.9154930.805812 0.9409030.805812 Kentucky 1.029324 0.9693490.416114 0.3862 0.4324930.3253030.4394560.289521 0.440337 Louisiana 1.000066 1.046365 1.086086 1.114899 1.041664 1.128163 1.037812 1.128163 1.043894 Maine 0.9953160.658072 0.9999570.658072 0.9999570.658072 0.9999570.658072 0.999481 Maryland 0.9945660.9299580.838341 0.8453090.838341 0.8145730.838316 0.81390.837939 Massachusetts

0.950409 1.0096880.948071 1.0096750.947784 1.009672 0.94652 1.009672 0.94553 Michigan 1.01164 1.016824 0.850481 0.8511430.8504790.802842 0.8504680.6780260.850468 Minnesota 0.996039 1.016161 0.7913230.804882 0.791134 0.821890.791134 0.8275680.791134 Mississippi1.000018 1.014189 1.018935 1.038345 1.018935 1.038356 1.018935 1.038356 1.018935 Missouri 1.000839 1.059564 0.6278780.7137050.655158 0.633330.6551580.6189130.655278 Nebraska 0.999962 0.9836470.935674 0.9429670.935661 0.9656190.935661 0.965619 0.93596 New Hampshire

0.995115 1.178225 1.121703 1.217994 1.117039 1.206445 1.105083 1.224117 1.103212 New Jersey1.058406 1.282952 0.6746250.6953870.6746250.694254 0.6744590.686922 0.674089 New York 1.0262070.6479660.8875490.5582470.8877090.555682 0.8873430.5182850.886315 North Carolina

1.0169550.916697 0.900590.844643 0.97586 0.656262 0.984762 0.642821 0.984972 North Dakota

0.9794850.9867580.973962 0.9800580.9794850.9867590.973962 0.9867580.973962 Ohio 0.9831950.951182 0.4381 0.423295 0.45201 0.3146290.436491 0.279549 0.43555 Oklahoma 1.0000170.985559 1.0000170.985559 1.0000170.985829 1.0000170.986037 1.000017 Pennsylvania

1.025489 1.0372230.6903790.703894 0.6910190.500201 0.689857 0.418890.688286 Rhode Island 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 South Carolina1.0514 1.172154 0.5940870.6427560.6006050.674904 0.6195950.6908530.622149 South Dakota

1.0000130.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.000013 Tennessee1.010354 0.911150.568591 0.41764 0.5868670.371704 0.5804790.360752 0.571135 Texas 1.019941 1.0081060.7320760.7622050.7320760.763303 0.73161 0.7662550.728933 Vermont 0.9929180.990508 0.993030.990508 0.993030.990508 0.993030.9905080.992918 Virginia 0.9982880.8959660.946621 0.8645180.946672 0.8200160.946672 0.7340130.945268 West Virginia

1.095725 1.0227080.360172 0.380262 0.3636780.3130360.3600480.2259760.356329 Wisconsin 0.9967680.9694980.7541650.6193350.7538860.598882 0.753002 0.5656370.752859

These curves reflect 1) Updated DSI cost assumptions to reflect latest DSI VOM cost assumptions (removal of 60%) 2) All dispatchable FGD and SCR are forced to operate 3) A $500/ton NOx allowance price for both annaul and ozone season NOx starting in 2012 4) The 2012 investment decisions from EPA 410Final BC_base are hardwired in 20122800 CT 3300 CT 3300 CT 10000 CT10000 CTbase+leakage base+leakage

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +10% variability 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.5967670.615501 0.634713 0.61262 0.511485 1.017768 0.949390.620592 0.614014 0.639354 1.079748 1.0001 1.079748 1.057122 1.079748 1.056898 1.170049 1.033554 1.151534 1.067009 1.008312 1.003513 1.008312 0.998054 1.008312 0.999983 1.004782 1.009118 1.014595 1.014722 0.851252 1.059980.851252 1.049654 0.8474990.9870650.858969 1.0808860.856896 1.097499 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 1.105993 1.010992 1.183806 1.007699 1.164993 1.005025 1.148521 1.028021 1.123495 1.048529 0.3971350.520284 0.396090.509241 0.403856 1.0016170.541211 0.5366550.4058880.552045 0.3954650.5936290.3698530.559464 0.278985 1.0116290.427861 0.6133060.417144 0.632962 0.33586 0.4750260.300852 0.4674950.243011 1.0105190.939632 0.4941670.3530290.509664 0.673922 0.9264030.570534 0.8895980.4475530.9964530.961482 0.952352 0.73291 0.977749 0.9437280.805812 0.944961 0.8050690.827487 1.005014 1.0070380.8211570.9633730.836503 0.2834370.442841 0.258302 0.4597690.184338 1.029324 0.9693490.4563170.2989860.473177 1.128163 1.072058 1.128163 1.079587 1.083338 1.103418 1.152057 1.059528 1.154885 1.081244 0.658072 0.999481 0.658072 0.9952480.667431 0.9953160.658072 1.0022580.660376 1.004558 0.7942680.8379390.777692 0.8342860.741374 0.9945660.9299580.8501870.8250150.862058 1.009667 0.94553 1.0096670.943408 1.0099950.950409 1.0096880.952535 1.01936 0.95855 0.569774 0.850468 0.53742 0.8474670.362958 1.01164 1.016824 0.8776570.698152 0.904847 0.827472 0.790214 0.8273880.791441 0.818512 0.996039 1.016161 0.8102360.848334 0.829338 1.038356 1.018935 1.038356 1.005422 1.073348 1.000018 1.014189 1.04176 1.062129 1.064585 0.502880.6552780.4498890.625974 0.330936 1.000839 1.059564 0.6764380.635934 0.697717 0.965619 0.93596 0.965619 0.93596 0.9169680.999962 0.9836470.972344 1.005217 1.009027 1.222954 1.103212 1.2165360.998044 1.2239630.995115 1.178225 1.119637 1.244889 1.134191 0.6849750.674089 0.684290.672792 0.655919 1.058406 1.282952 0.67961 0.693032 0.684761 0.513712 0.886315 0.50890.909162 0.502466 1.0262070.6479660.8920090.5209760.896675 0.6039760.984972 0.5661150.954151 0.492446 1.0169550.916697 1.0147670.655452 1.044772 0.9800580.973962 0.9867590.973962 0.9800580.9794850.986758 1.015465 1.029228 1.056967 0.2665780.4348490.2586890.4590550.2136130.9831950.951182 0.45171 0.286274 0.46693 0.986037 1.0000170.985829 1.0000170.985559 1.0000170.985559 1.03579 1.022362 1.071562 0.4114230.690044 0.40246 0.6926770.360065 1.025489 1.0372230.7116550.4276530.733453 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.6951170.622134 0.697864 0.6105280.701411 1.0514 1.172154 0.6396830.714284 0.65977 0.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.034195 1.029221 1.068377 0.3606960.567611 0.3606750.5384380.274599 1.010354 0.911150.5985490.3679280.616619 0.76281 0.725918 0.76281 0.7240230.751868 1.019941 1.0081060.7490450.786534 0.76648 0.9905080.9929180.990508 0.97630.9987850.9929180.990508 0.993030.990508 0.99303 0.7248450.9391950.7149090.9350150.6338970.9982880.8959660.9660350.7435980.985398 0.223531 0.3549430.218111 0.3563780.187328 1.095725 1.0227080.3738560.233124 0.387663 0.553092 0.7507430.5349490.742082 0.4643860.9967680.9694980.7720330.5752450.7910642300 CT +10% variability 2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 remedy

final 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.6325350.6581160.6510550.6693730.6621680.6768780.669576 0.68063 0.67328 0.6071 1.191202 1.100464 1.230869 1.120537 1.25467 1.133918 1.270537 1.140609 1.27847 1.032218 1.020878 1.020327 1.027161 1.02369 1.030931 1.025932 1.033444 1.027052 1.034701 1.003513 0.86254 1.114111 0.868185 1.1240790.871571 1.130724 0.873829 1.1340470.874958 1.056025 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 1.148611 1.069038 1.173728 1.081343 1.188798 1.089546 1.198844 1.093648 1.203868 1.013246 0.415134 0.5674360.424379 0.576670.4299260.5828260.4336250.5859050.435474 0.521531 0.427531 0.6526170.4379180.664411 0.444150.6722730.448304 0.676204 0.450382 0.551496 0.3617770.525161 0.370525 0.53446 0.3757730.5406590.379272 0.5437580.381022 0.431124 0.750742 1.0031470.768573 1.0183850.779272 1.028544 0.786404 1.033624 0.789971 0.775764 0.985844 0.851848 1.0083150.861056 1.0217970.867194 1.0307860.870263 1.035280.805109 0.308451 0.4900380.3179150.500154 0.323594 0.506898 0.32738 0.510270.3292730.362513 1.181607 1.10296 1.20833 1.115989 1.224363 1.124675 1.235052 1.129019 1.240397 1.103347 0.66268 1.0068590.664984 1.0082390.666367 1.00916 0.667288 1.00962 0.6677490.999957 0.836131 0.8739290.8472460.881052 0.853916 0.88580.858362 0.8881750.8605850.810805 1.0290490.964565 1.0387380.968174 1.044551 0.970581 1.0484260.971784 1.050364 0.948801 0.7182780.9320370.7384030.948351 0.7504790.9592270.7585290.964664 0.762554 0.83989 0.8691 0.84844 0.8898670.859902 0.9023260.867542 0.9106330.8713630.9147860.799409 1.085901 1.08741 1.109674 1.101106 1.123938 1.110236 1.133447 1.114801 1.138202 1.018935 0.652954 0.7189970.669974 0.7317650.6801870.7402770.6869950.7445330.690399 0.60506 1.044816 1.045709 1.084414 1.067719 1.108173 1.082392 1.124012 1.089729 1.131932 0.93596 1.265662 1.148745 1.286434 1.157477 1.298897 1.163299 1.307206 1.166209 1.311361 1.124804 0.699142 0.6899130.705251 0.6930030.7089170.695064 0.711361 0.696094 0.7125830.673435 0.5236680.901341 0.5263590.904141 0.527974 0.9060070.529051 0.90694 0.5295890.885767 0.668082 1.0747760.680713 1.0927790.688291 1.104781 0.693343 1.110782 0.695870.899386 1.071699 1.09847 1.114169 1.123371 1.139651 1.139972 1.156639 1.148273 1.165133 0.97611 0.292998 0.482150.2997230.491282 0.303758 0.497370.3064480.500414 0.3077930.363146 1.058686 1.107334 1.095011 1.128797 1.116806 1.143106 1.131336 1.15026 1.138601 1.000017 0.4364160.755251 0.445179 0.768330.4504370.7770490.453942 0.7814080.455694 0.645824 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.7377150.6798580.761147 0.69191 0.7752050.6999460.7845780.7039630.789264 0.600623 1.063403 1.102559 1.097585 1.123068 1.118094 1.136741 1.131767 1.143577 1.138603 1.000013 0.375104 0.634688 0.38228 0.645530.3865850.6527580.3894560.656372 0.390891 0.454534 0.8068130.7839150.827091 0.7943760.839258 0.80135 0.847370.8048370.8514260.732016 0.990508 0.993030.990508 0.993030.990508 0.993030.990508 0.993030.9905080.992918 0.753183 1.004761 0.762767 1.0163780.768518 1.024124 0.772352 1.0279960.7742690.922198 0.240271 0.401471 0.2474190.4097560.2517070.4152790.254566 0.41804 0.2559960.309039 0.5848530.8100950.594461 0.821514 0.6002260.8291260.6040690.832932 0.605991 0.7447782300 remedy final remedysensitivity

remedysensitivity

10000 remedy

final 10000 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final EGUs zeroed

EGUs zeroed 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 0.5259680.5992160.522722 0.643001 0.5407480.6020860.5540450.2260270.224495 1.136847 1.02508 1.114524 1.138716 1.079748 1.0001 1.1047290.3304830.317989 1.008312 1.003513 1.008312 1.01393 1.008312 1.000235 1.008312 0.891421 0.882651 0.858969 1.0036070.858969 1.054341 0.850904 1.064274 0.851252 0.6537770.660125 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1 0.974519 1.139906 1.025925 1.132192 1.081169 1.189553 1.010169 1.129584 0.594370.593035 0.391544 0.5240490.388582 0.5537670.400311 0.521531 0.3865590.2127450.210562 0.4128680.550589 0.411980.484606 0.26176 0.554161 0.415462 0.1929980.190868 0.36112 0.4241030.3710270.340302 0.249632 0.4368990.381921 0.153604 0.149317 0.72784 0.772584 0.7241230.6974390.4390860.8747470.7639370.393554 0.330211 0.8290870.807654 0.8536390.8338070.8264280.8051070.8290850.498468 0.49105 0.308450.417201 0.3235930.227804 0.181974 0.388404 0.34781 0.1022190.100201 1.128163 1.110916 1.128163 1.054532 1.079783 1.116971 1.1281630.595102 0.585256 0.658072 0.9999570.658072 1.0104070.668311 0.9999570.658072 0.912104 0.569127 0.8309690.8108050.817131 0.7983390.7350060.8244650.8309690.600891 0.591588 1.009672 0.948682 1.009672 0.940468 1.0069290.948371 1.0096760.8253030.814843 0.7182770.9032660.7504790.627232 0.3478230.8444950.846821 0.2987250.263668 0.8221870.7994090.8258860.8067670.8180880.797607 0.80930.3788860.370609 1.032714 1.018935 1.032714 1.062322 1.068438 1.018935 1.032714 0.5219690.509478 0.6423360.6025650.6267480.523624 0.3445170.625412 0.6650560.2145150.258935 0.964093 0.93596 0.9656190.9375570.9170390.934434 0.9623950.1890280.159531 1.195996 1.125875 1.193073 1.144532 1.24686 1.122688 1.2046230.7900850.781135 0.680114 0.674424 0.6787930.6704550.649351 0.6724480.6737350.5714330.564724 0.521730.903202 0.539254 0.8605690.5045360.8857050.563322 0.769151 0.452709 0.668250.860964 0.688458 0.529450.4918930.928691 0.68322 0.3654560.364095 0.986683 0.97611 0.9796860.982622 0.979686 0.97611 0.980058 0.14391 0.137353 0.291602 0.342404 0.3023630.2438050.2148090.4038960.3308860.1172350.115993 0.986037 1.0000170.986037 1.0004960.985559 1.0000170.9855590.2845750.259546 0.4362790.604157 0.45030.3737570.3607580.679774 0.517804 0.25032 0.239859 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 1 0.998577 0.662172 0.6137060.660372 0.6973670.685671 0.5963830.6432680.2065750.205261 0.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.0000130.995039 1.0000130.9950390.2841050.279131 0.375104 0.452884 0.38261 0.3708450.2745990.467274 0.387150.219074 0.217224 0.741264 0.732016 0.74111 0.7809870.7216780.731819 0.740570.3824330.360126 0.9905080.9929180.990508 1.0140580.990508 0.993030.9905080.957822 0.94834 0.75318 0.904450.7685170.664455 0.631130.943834 0.8478860.492654 0.473513 0.240271 0.3047850.2517070.174742 0.1827180.338202 0.336037 0.08180.080928 0.584464 0.743614 0.5874590.6464880.4428550.749081 0.595402 0.3463060.344367fraction of total SO2 emissions, relative to the 2012 base case (base)

description of IPM run

base base 500CT 500CT 1600 CT 1600 CT 2300 CT 2300 CT 2800 CT

year 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 Alabama 0.999999 0.93144 0.573214 0.55432 0.5929680.599151 0.582752 0.5764280.588075 Arkansas 1 1.079388 1.03237 1.110482 1 1.103289 1 1.110482 1 Connecticut 1 1.006638 1 1.011102 1.004464 1.011102 1.004464 1.011102 1.004464 Delaware 1.000014 0.869969 1.0788180.862092 1.0788180.862092 1.0788180.862092 1.078818 District of Columbia1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 Florida 1.000003 1.132071 1.007393 1.108242 1.003696 1.142248 1.004745 1.104685 1.004732 Georgia 1.000002 0.5362850.5140870.3884280.5160060.3885330.5161460.3906630.518019 Illinois 1.000001 0.427042 0.582791 0.4224580.5868270.415182 0.5897980.406331 0.589798 Indiana 1 0.9297750.472911 0.42882 0.4825990.3576390.472812 0.3396430.472462 Iowa 1.000001 0.9633130.8830990.889364 0.9289680.723704 0.9289680.7114690.928405 Kansas 0.999999 1.001614 0.7691960.877364 0.7691960.8955470.7691960.9249870.769196 Kentucky 0.9999990.9418630.407162 0.3780880.4229970.319214 0.4297290.284621 0.43058 Louisiana 0.999998 1.047759 1.088347 1.118148 1.042721 1.131771 1.038765 1.131771 1.045012 Maine 1.00001 0.748068 1.0044650.748068 1.0044650.748068 1.0044650.748068 1.004009 Maryland 0.9999990.9355070.845491 0.8517880.845491 0.821390.8454660.820724 0.845093 Massachusetts 1 1.0751730.997021 1.0751560.996655 1.0751530.995045 1.0751530.993784 Michigan 1 1.0036250.841004 0.8401670.841002 0.792514 0.840991 0.6693730.840991 Minnesota 1.000004 1.019632 0.795330.8083960.795141 0.825401 0.795141 0.8310770.795141 Mississippi 1 1.013034 1.018338 1.03645 1.018338 1.03646 1.018338 1.03646 1.018338 Missouri 1 1.058024 0.623971 0.70932 0.6514760.628284 0.6514760.6137490.651598 Nebraska 0.9999990.984831 0.934554 0.943419 0.93454 0.966479 0.93454 0.9664790.934845 New Hampshire

1.000002 1.223205 1.153587 1.271456 1.147928 1.257443 1.133422 1.278884 1.131153 New Jersey0.999987 1.2477990.578325 0.60224 0.5783250.6009950.5781430.5929380.577737 New York 1.000002 0.7016070.869012 0.616850.8691630.6144270.8688170.5790990.867846 North Carolina

1.000004 0.9013170.8853080.8302970.9594990.6446190.9682730.631371 0.96848 North Dakota

1.000001 1.0075550.994314 1.000655 1.000001 1.0075560.994314 1.0075550.994314 Ohio 1.0000030.9673850.4441750.429104 0.4583590.3182980.4425350.2825270.441576 Oklahoma 1.000001 0.983006 1.000001 0.983006 1.000001 0.983295 1.000001 0.983516 1.000001 Pennsylvania 1 1.011294 0.6642630.677341 0.664904 0.473267 0.66374 0.3918030.662166 Rhode Island 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 South Carolina

1.000003 1.1151690.564322 0.610812 0.570531 0.64144 0.588624 0.6566350.591056 South Dakota

1.0000130.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.000013 Tennessee1.000002 0.9029570.5683170.4207050.5861760.3758170.579934 0.3651150.570803 Texas 1 0.988381 0.71725 0.74685 0.717250.7479280.716792 0.7508270.714162 Vermont 0.9999930.997287 1.0000980.997287 1.0000980.997287 1.0000980.9972870.999993 Virginia 1.0000060.896022 0.9479180.864319 0.947970.819454 0.94797 0.732750.946554 West Virginia

0.9999970.933912 0.334851 0.352961 0.338021 0.292170.3347390.213444 0.331376 Wisconsin 0.9999980.9722230.752234 0.614611 0.7519490.593722 0.751046 0.559770.750899

These curves reflect 1) Updated DSI cost assumptions to reflect latest DSI VOM cost assumptions (removal of 60%) 2) All dispatchable FGD and SCR are forced to operate 3) A $500/ton NOx allowance price for both annaul and ozone season NOx starting in 2012 4) The 2012 investment decisions from EPA 410Final BC_base are hardwired in 20122800 CT 3300 CT 3300 CT 10000 CT10000 CTbase+leakage base+leakage

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +5% variability

2300 CT +10% variability 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.5777070.5964650.615771 0.5935750.4921560.999999 0.93144 0.6015730.5950070.620394 1.078113 1 1.078113 1.05747 1.078113 1.057244 1.169121 1.033717 1.150461 1.067434 1.011102 1.004464 1.011102 0.997561 1.011102 1 1.006638 1.011551 1.019046 1.018637 0.862092 1.0744360.862092 1.0638960.858261 1.000014 0.869969 1.095774 0.867853 1.112729 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 1.113017 1.008553 1.198163 1.00495 1.177578 1.002024 1.159553 1.027187 1.132168 1.049628 0.3911580.5151590.3901060.5040360.397928 1.000002 0.5362850.5316490.3999760.547152 0.3952480.5897770.370112 0.5562480.280935 1.000001 0.427042 0.6090880.416524 0.628378 0.3312950.469201 0.296594 0.461736 0.23926 1 0.9297750.4881730.348314 0.503535 0.6694030.9284050.563732 0.8907870.438034 1.000001 0.9633130.9549260.729694 0.980884 0.928261 0.769196 0.929690.7683350.7935790.999999 1.001614 0.7869760.9510230.804756 0.2787390.433001 0.2544390.4493660.182932 0.9999990.9418630.4460290.293771 0.462329 1.131771 1.073938 1.131771 1.081671 1.085733 1.106147 1.156312 1.061069 1.159216 1.083373 0.748068 1.0040090.7480680.9999450.757051 1.00001 0.748068 1.006674 0.75028 1.008882 0.8013080.8450930.784914 0.841481 0.7489960.9999990.9355070.8572070.8317170.868948 1.0751470.993784 1.0751470.991082 1.075565 1 1.075173 1.002707 1.087494 1.010369 0.562574 0.840991 0.530654 0.838030.358533 1 1.0036250.8678160.6892290.894641 0.830982 0.79422 0.8308970.7954480.822023 1.000004 1.019632 0.8142390.8518390.833337 1.03646 1.018338 1.03646 1.005239 1.070381 1 1.013034 1.040464 1.059506 1.062591 0.496761 0.6515980.4433350.622052 0.323403 1 1.058024 0.672931 0.6309090.694386 0.9664790.9348450.9664790.9348450.916952 0.9999990.984831 0.971883 1.006789 1.009226 1.277473 1.131153 1.269687 1.003556 1.278698 1.000002 1.223205 1.15108 1.304087 1.168738 0.59080.5777370.5900460.576311 0.5588750.999987 1.2477990.583802 0.599651 0.589462 0.5747790.8678460.570232 0.889430.564154 1.000002 0.7016070.8732250.581641 0.877633 0.593084 0.968480.5557670.938101 0.483154 1.000004 0.9013170.9978470.643821 1.027421 1.0006550.994314 1.0075560.994314 1.000655 1.000001 1.007555 1.037053 1.05129 1.079792 0.269301 0.44086 0.2612570.4655430.215293 1.0000030.9673850.458054 0.289384 0.473573 0.983516 1.000001 0.983295 1.000001 0.983006 1.000001 0.983006 1.038092 1.022196 1.076184 0.384322 0.6639270.3753430.666564 0.332868 1 1.011294 0.6855780.400582 0.707417 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.6606970.591042 0.663314 0.5799850.666693 1.000003 1.1151690.607761 0.6789570.626898 0.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.033263 1.027756 1.066512 0.365061 0.567359 0.36504 0.538852 0.280927 1.000002 0.9029570.597591 0.3721280.615249 0.7474430.711201 0.747443 0.70934 0.736696 1 0.988381 0.7339170.7707460.751042 0.9972870.9999930.9972870.984349 1.0050790.9999930.997287 1.0000980.997287 1.000098 0.7235070.940431 0.713491 0.9362180.631819 1.0000060.896022 0.967491 0.7424130.987011 0.211232 0.3301230.206332 0.331421 0.1784950.9999970.933912 0.3472250.2199070.359711 0.5469590.7487390.5284290.7398930.4563650.9999980.9722230.770482 0.5695830.7899182300 CT +10% variability 2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +15% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +18% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +20% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 CT +21% variability

2300 remedy

final 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 0.6135860.6392150.6321660.6505070.6433130.6580360.650745 0.6618 0.65446 0.588038 1.190439 1.101151 1.230418 1.121381 1.254405 1.134868 1.270396 1.141611 1.278392 1.03237 1.026991 1.025724 1.034935 1.029976 1.039702 1.03281 1.042879 1.034228 1.044468 1.004464 0.873613 1.1296850.879374 1.1398590.882831 1.146641 0.885135 1.150032 0.886287 1.070399 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 1.159652 1.07207 1.187136 1.085535 1.203626 1.094511 1.214619 1.098999 1.220116 1.011019 0.4092880.562654 0.418601 0.5719560.4241890.5781570.427914 0.5812580.4297770.516415 0.4267180.6476680.436911 0.659242 0.4430270.6669580.447104 0.6708160.4491430.548428 0.3569850.5188960.3656560.5281130.3708590.5342580.374327 0.537330.376061 0.425683 0.747919 1.0068430.766144 1.022418 0.77708 1.032801 0.78437 1.0379930.7880150.774438 0.9770580.822536 1.003094 0.833204 1.0187150.840316 1.0291290.843871 1.0343360.768382 0.302922 0.478630.312072 0.48841 0.317562 0.494930.321222 0.498190.323052 0.355342 1.186662 1.105676 1.214108 1.119059 1.230575 1.12798 1.241554 1.132441 1.247043 1.106074 0.752491 1.011090.754702 1.0124150.756029 1.0132980.756914 1.01374 0.757356 1.004465 0.842711 0.8806880.853704 0.887733 0.86030.8924290.8646970.8947770.8668960.818258 1.099835 1.018032 1.112177 1.022629 1.119582 1.025694 1.124518 1.027226 1.1269870.997951 0.7090850.921465 0.72894 0.93756 0.740853 0.948290.7487960.9536550.7527670.830555 0.872601 0.8524350.8933630.863894 0.905821 0.871534 0.9141250.8753530.9182780.803414 1.082551 1.084717 1.105596 1.097993 1.119423 1.106843 1.128641 1.111269 1.13325 1.018338 0.64807 0.71584 0.665230.7287130.6755260.7372950.682391 0.7415860.6858230.600967 1.0471 1.046569 1.087411 1.068975 1.111598 1.083912 1.127722 1.09138 1.135784 0.934845 1.329289 1.186396 1.354492 1.196991 1.369613 1.204054 1.379694 1.207586 1.384735 1.15735 0.606364 0.595122 0.6130770.5985180.6171050.600782 0.619790.601914 0.6211330.577018 0.584184 0.882041 0.5867260.8846860.588252 0.8864490.5892690.887331 0.5897770.867328 0.65627 1.0569950.668719 1.07474 0.676189 1.086570.681169 1.0924850.6836580.884122 1.095026 1.122531 1.138761 1.148174 1.165002 1.16527 1.182497 1.173817 1.191244 0.996526 0.296242 0.4890930.3030990.4984050.3072130.504612 0.3099560.5077160.3113280.367746 1.060876 1.114276 1.099556 1.137131 1.122764 1.152367 1.138236 1.159986 1.145972 1.000001 0.409362 0.7292560.418141 0.7423590.4234090.7510950.426921 0.755462 0.4286770.619624 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.701280.6460360.7236030.6575180.7369970.6651730.7459260.669001 0.750390.570549 1.061005 1.099762 1.094255 1.119712 1.114205 1.133012 1.127505 1.139662 1.134155 1.000013 0.37914 0.6329060.386152 0.643501 0.3903590.650564 0.393164 0.6540950.3945660.456862 0.790664 0.7681670.8105830.7784430.822534 0.7852930.830501 0.7887180.8344850.717191 0.997287 1.0000980.997287 1.0000980.997287 1.0000980.997287 1.0000980.9972870.999993 0.752076 1.006532 0.761739 1.018244 0.767537 1.026052 0.771402 1.0299560.773334 0.923297 0.226370.3721970.232834 0.3796890.236712 0.3846830.239297 0.38718 0.240590.288613 0.5793950.809354 0.5892080.8210150.595095 0.82879 0.59902 0.8326770.6009830.7426472300 remedy final remedysensitivity

remedysensitivity

10000 remedy

final 10000 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final 1600 remedy

final EGUs zeroed

EGUs zeroed 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 0.5066850.5801290.5034280.624052 0.52151 0.583009 0.534850.2057650.204262 1.135659 1.025177 1.113161 1.139703 1.078113 1 1.1032890.3251380.310385 1.011102 1.004464 1.011102 1.017635 1.011102 1.000319 1.011102 0.862732 0.852213 0.869969 1.0168980.869969 1.068680.861737 1.0788180.862092 0.659844 0.667017 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1 0.973971 1.150126 1.024893 1.141685 1.085344 1.204452 1.007652 1.138831 0.5526650.551714 0.3855270.518951 0.382544 0.5488860.3943580.5164150.3805060.2053770.203225 0.4123270.5475380.4114560.482782 0.264030.5510430.4148730.1965990.194456 0.356334 0.418724 0.3661530.3356570.245822 0.4314080.3769530.1505960.146387 0.724512 0.7711880.7207130.694383 0.429380.8756070.7614060.3837880.318102 0.795433 0.77133 0.823880.8016330.792352 0.7683790.795431 0.413095 0.40377 0.302921 0.4082130.317561 0.2251080.1806470.3803730.3409730.103696 0.10159 1.131771 1.113849 1.131771 1.055938 1.082081 1.120067 1.131771 0.584072 0.574169 0.748068 1.0044650.748068 1.0144960.757896 1.0044650.7480680.920142 0.662697 0.8376060.818258 0.82392 0.8059290.7426970.8317680.8376060.610652 0.600856 1.0751530.997799 1.0751530.987336 1.0716590.997404 1.075158 0.84064 0.826981 0.709084 0.893080.7408530.620752 0.343602 0.8350990.8359030.2966530.260576 0.8256970.803414 0.8293960.810771 0.8215990.801612 0.8128130.3829770.374212 1.030992 1.018338 1.030992 1.060397 1.065622 1.018338 1.030992 0.5365880.523776 0.637364 0.598451 0.6216480.518861 0.3370970.6214850.660271 0.2072090.250811 0.9649250.9348450.966479 0.936470.9170250.933291 0.9631960.1744730.145886 1.244766 1.158649 1.24122 1.181285 1.306478 1.154782 1.2552330.751244 0.741426 0.5854590.578104 0.5840070.573744 0.5516590.575933 0.578450.4649480.458679 0.582353 0.88380.5989080.843524 0.56611 0.867270.621644 0.757162 0.517149 0.6564350.846252 0.676354 0.5194960.4826090.9130070.671191 0.3578550.356645 1.0074770.996526 1.000272 1.003232 1.000272 0.996526 1.0006550.139534 0.132846 0.2948180.346595 0.305790.246054 0.2165130.4092980.3348750.1169930.115751 0.983516 1.000001 0.983516 1.000511 0.983006 1.000001 0.9830060.2381680.209918 0.4092250.5778790.423272 0.3470480.333562 0.6536380.490903 0.223380.212437 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 1 0.999051 0.629311 0.5830130.6275950.6627170.6516980.566509 0.61130.195141 0.194012 0.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.0000130.994506 1.0000130.9945060.303627 0.29812 0.379139 0.455250.3864750.375082 0.2809270.469311 0.390911 0.2267730.224861 0.726281 0.717191 0.7261290.765292 0.707042 0.7169970.7255990.3738190.351914 0.9972870.9999930.997287 1.0198950.997287 1.0000980.9972870.9669530.957589 0.7520730.9054030.7675360.6634530.6290290.9451090.847551 0.490252 0.470128 0.226370.2847660.236711 0.167170.1743260.314984 0.3129690.083125 0.08228 0.5789980.7414580.5820570.6422660.4343760.747042 0.5901680.3356970.333793AQAT calib scenario fractions

fraction of total SO2 emissions, relative to the 2012 base case (base) AQAT calibration scenario (2014)

SO2 SO2 SO2 SO2 SO2 State annual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Alabama 0.641 0.660 0.637 0.615 0.652 Arkansas 1.136 1.137 1.130 1.139 1.136 Connecticut 1.007 1.005 1.006 1.020 1.002 Delaware 0.862 0.851 0.879 0.852 0.868 District of Columbia

0.974 0.975 0.974 0.974 0.974 Florida 1.037 1.037 1.035 1.036 1.041 Georgia 0.370 0.376 0.366 0.362 0.376 Illinois 0.410 0.410 0.418 0.396 0.418 Indiana 0.345 0.350 0.347 0.336 0.348 Iowa 0.716 0.720 0.717 0.711 0.717 Kansas 0.933 0.948 0.927 0.920 0.934 Kentucky 0.313 0.319 0.312 0.295 0.328 Louisiana 0.981 0.981 0.981 0.980 0.981 Maine 0.748 0.658 0.795 0.883 0.705 Maryland 0.857 0.851 0.871 0.849 0.860 Massachusetts0.980 0.935 1.018 1.113 0.934 Michigan 0.711 0.720 0.710 0.695 0.719 Minnesota 0.830 0.826 0.834 0.827 0.833 Mississippi 1.036 1.038 1.035 1.038 1.034 Missouri 0.619 0.624 0.625 0.607 0.620 Nebraska 0.966 0.966 0.963 0.969 0.967 New Hampshire1.259 1.208 1.268 1.401 1.214 New Jersey 0.679 0.765 0.656 0.563 0.735 New York 0.596 0.537 0.637 0.643 0.589 North Carolina0.620 0.631 0.618 0.592 0.641 North Dakota 0.993 0.973 1.005 1.021 0.973 Ohio 0.275 0.272 0.280 0.272 0.276 Oklahoma 0.984 0.986 0.980 0.985 0.983 Pennsylvania 0.392 0.419 0.383 0.349 0.419 Rhode Island 0.999 0.999 0.999 1.000 0.999 South Carolina0.649 0.683 0.632 0.605 0.685 South Dakota 0.994 0.995 0.994 0.995 0.994 Tennessee 0.374 0.370 0.380 0.370 0.377 Texas 1.072 1.093 1.057 1.046 1.092 Vermont 0.997 0.991 1.002 1.012 0.990 Virginia 0.719 0.721 0.724 0.704 0.729 West Virginia 0.214 0.226 0.208 0.188 0.237 Wisconsin 0.577 0.582 0.579 0.564 0.582

Page 1142014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario

total total total total total total total total State so2_jan so2_feb so2_mar so2_apr so2_may so2_jun so2_jul so2_aug Alabama 32,835 29,532 30,991 27,123 28,531 29,149 31,412 31,877 Arkansas 13,306 12,335 11,420 10,189 11,183 12,857 13,404 13,431 Connecticut 3,921 3,180 1,945 1,845 1,862 920 996 1,040 Delaware 916 803 781 723 719 703 775 767 District of Columbia

265 241 186 180 185 120 123 124 Florida 22,685 19,733 20,620 20,460 21,727 20,864 21,904 22,531 Georgia 16,013 15,575 16,330 15,574 15,798 15,620 16,301 16,171 Illinois 22,409 20,367 20,545 18,694 19,743 20,558 22,243 21,980 Indiana 27,520 25,202 26,641 25,360 25,767 26,435 27,968 28,122 Iowa 13,368 12,543 11,954 11,196 11,773 11,949 12,802 12,637 Kansas 10,207 9,735 11,632 8,653 7,922 8,326 9,413 9,250 Kentucky 17,404 15,409 15,467 13,610 14,086 14,608 15,738 15,796 Louisiana 22,032 19,579 19,187 17,943 20,117 20,507 21,186 21,352 Maine 2,195 1,670 1,616 1,591 1,703 1,450 1,611 1,837 Maryland 10,276 9,307 9,458 8,370 8,471 8,717 9,413 9,330 Massachusetts6,961 6,211 4,323 4,026 4,154 2,671 2,934 2,919 Michigan 22,351 21,213 21,278 19,812 20,024 20,713 22,928 23,160 Minnesota 8,771 7,789 7,612 7,211 7,506 7,526 7,995 7,900 Mississippi 5,839 5,493 5,333 4,968 5,142 5,844 6,016 5,893 Missouri 26,250 23,434 23,853 22,614 24,019 24,799 26,867 26,886 Nebraska 7,271 5,994 6,579 5,998 6,056 6,817 7,954 7,924 New Hampshire2,108 1,828 1,322 1,227 1,226 1,029 1,145 1,183 New Jersey 3,757 3,320 2,573 2,640 2,399 2,252 2,428 2,359 New York 13,056 11,585 11,867 11,319 11,080 10,724 11,297 11,286 North Carolina12,838 12,120 12,447 11,305 11,779 11,464 12,288 12,394 North Dakota10,059 9,651 9,433 8,164 10,143 9,928 11,391 11,152 Ohio 24,171 21,801 22,656 21,165 22,101 23,269 25,059 24,802 Oklahoma 15,411 15,392 16,461 11,394 12,679 14,599 16,141 15,979 Pennsylvania25,230 23,198 21,776 19,746 19,599 17,742 19,556 19,469 Rhode Island 864 781 519 503 518 294 303 304 South Carolina12,997 12,541 12,672 11,799 12,387 12,525 13,287 13,474 South Dakota 3,820 3,403 3,756 2,843 2,917 3,522 4,064 4,147 Tennessee 13,754 12,626 13,541 12,978 12,561 12,688 13,369 13,445 Texas 67,316 60,951 60,299 57,774 62,718 63,774 67,119 67,381 Vermont 756 686 557 538 546 389 404 408 Virginia 12,223 11,111 11,086 10,469 10,460 10,120 11,048 10,970 West Virginia11,707 10,739 11,577 10,468 9,367 9,418 10,493 10,599 Wisconsin 10,670 9,680 9,716 9,301 9,781 9,458 10,175 10,102

Page 1152014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario

total total total total ipm so2_sep so2_oct so2_nov so2_dec so2_jan so2_feb so2_mar so2_apr 29,655 32,590 30,429 33,566 21,573 19,162 20,846 17,443 12,391 11,964 11,250 13,079 9,915 9,143 7,636 6,893 1,777 1,806 1,687 3,623 624 200 275 234 730 720 689 900 214 168 179 143 176 182 176 266 0 0 0 0 20,810 22,361 20,503 22,469 10,144 8,266 8,571 9,009 15,195 15,837 14,643 16,105 6,785 7,006 7,300 7,080 20,785 20,168 20,042 22,086 12,219 11,159 10,501 8,977 26,251 26,925 26,225 28,206 15,788 14,583 15,115 14,202 11,979 12,369 11,871 13,314 7,161 6,927 6,407 5,817 8,359 8,202 8,163 9,075 5,783 4,864 4,566 4,610 15,034 14,542 13,795 16,126 12,080 10,586 10,429 8,740 20,166 20,634 19,873 22,269 9,374 8,105 7,053 6,342 1,712 1,598 1,544 2,109 513 152 76 31 8,987 8,984 8,623 10,039 3,107 2,811 2,933 2,064 3,941 3,942 3,838 6,862 856 694 700 502 20,731 21,418 21,168 22,915 14,087 13,729 13,278 12,044 6,804 6,783 7,049 8,232 4,843 4,232 4,253 3,528 5,072 5,503 4,855 5,653 3,103 2,911 2,474 2,276 24,950 24,649 24,290 26,514 15,715 13,848 13,448 12,668 7,650 7,189 7,220 7,529 6,173 4,975 5,417 4,950 1,294 1,194 1,297 2,011 748 599 510 434 2,623 2,666 2,574 3,848 998 824 708 805 11,123 11,625 11,232 12,487 2,232 1,777 1,703 1,456 11,373 11,650 11,232 12,608 5,272 5,229 5,334 4,505 9,822 8,914 9,114 9,927 8,596 8,328 8,104 6,877 22,351 22,350 21,387 23,622 13,958 12,566 12,843 11,667 14,650 14,014 13,792 15,028 11,940 11,700 11,182 8,217 19,593 19,538 19,399 25,356 10,048 9,468 10,525 8,849 471 487 471 865 0 0 0 0 11,716 12,098 11,751 13,070 9,098 8,886 8,744 8,113 3,743 3,400 3,225 3,589 2,755 2,434 2,709 1,793 12,297 13,162 12,771 13,763 5,675 5,315 5,492 5,193 64,188 63,727 60,209 67,736 46,003 41,523 38,896 37,077 511 534 525 750 30 28 28 9 10,216 10,504 10,220 12,030 4,156 3,807 3,838 3,448 9,379 10,279 10,149 10,885 7,460 6,896 7,496 6,505 9,436 9,758 9,424 10,433 4,338 3,967 3,980 3,717

Page 1162014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario

so2_may so2_jun so2_jul so2_aug so2_sep so2_oct so2_nov so2_dec 18,642 20,842 22,860 23,278 20,069 22,691 20,808 22,248 7,839 9,627 10,083 10,077 9,155 8,626 8,002 9,690 205 327 386 427 298 274 199 324 120 181 236 228 165 135 121 198 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9,293 10,452 11,335 11,993 9,984 11,147 9,573 10,386 7,106 7,312 7,725 7,649 6,797 7,273 6,292 6,929 9,716 10,914 12,288 12,018 11,080 10,134 10,332 11,891 14,269 15,370 16,580 16,690 15,093 15,400 15,082 16,452 6,237 7,103 7,806 7,629 6,615 6,829 6,513 7,097 4,808 5,193 5,871 5,841 4,817 4,665 4,893 5,873 9,111 10,053 11,056 11,087 10,240 9,513 8,913 10,808 8,153 8,893 9,225 9,354 8,589 8,562 8,220 9,636 153 45 162 384 259 92 63 425 1,976 2,851 3,382 3,271 2,738 2,531 2,377 2,860 551 668 867 847 688 573 549 756 11,994 13,101 15,100 15,293 13,028 13,466 13,474 14,631 4,036 4,459 4,853 4,738 3,584 3,403 3,828 4,293 2,404 3,104 3,219 3,078 2,331 2,506 2,142 2,907 13,847 15,018 16,780 16,781 15,011 14,375 14,359 16,007 4,994 5,814 6,896 6,873 6,609 6,124 6,197 6,452 426 592 694 731 564 436 549 650 554 1,017 1,155 1,083 902 882 840 1,087 975 1,360 1,669 1,606 1,260 1,429 1,340 1,633 4,814 5,098 5,761 5,837 4,721 4,761 4,563 5,069 8,803 8,717 10,171 9,923 8,544 7,588 7,844 8,463 12,297 14,086 15,582 15,314 12,869 12,552 11,910 13,400 10,079 12,009 13,344 13,140 11,828 11,179 11,082 12,371 8,377 9,314 10,872 10,759 8,970 8,560 8,774 10,156 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,610 8,923 9,579 9,760 8,068 8,325 8,091 9,202 1,876 2,506 2,950 3,015 2,645 2,312 2,191 2,523 4,575 4,988 5,441 5,489 4,575 5,167 5,021 5,692 41,568 43,292 45,975 46,055 43,620 42,485 39,675 46,370 23 20 24 26 17 22 16 21 3,268 3,742 4,487 4,391 3,344 3,370 3,333 3,991 5,293 5,647 6,605 6,701 5,422 6,075 6,167 6,633 4,062 4,189 4,732 4,661 3,947 4,072 3,915 4,105

Page 1172014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario

all non_IPM so2_jan so2_feb so2_mar so2_apr so2_may so2_jun so2_jul so2_aug so2_sep 11,263 10,370 10,145 9,680 9,889 8,307 8,553 8,599 9,586 3,391 3,192 3,784 3,296 3,344 3,229 3,321 3,354 3,237 3,297 2,979 1,670 1,611 1,657 592 610 613 1,479 702 635 602 581 599 522 539 539 566 265 241 186 180 185 120 123 124 176 12,541 11,467 12,049 11,451 12,434 10,412 10,569 10,538 10,826 9,229 8,569 9,030 8,494 8,691 8,307 8,576 8,521 8,398 10,191 9,208 10,044 9,716 10,027 9,644 9,955 9,962 9,705 11,731 10,619 11,526 11,158 11,497 11,064 11,388 11,432 11,158 6,207 5,616 5,547 5,379 5,535 4,847 4,996 5,008 5,364 4,424 4,871 7,066 4,043 3,114 3,133 3,542 3,409 3,542 5,324 4,823 5,038 4,870 4,974 4,555 4,683 4,709 4,794 12,658 11,474 12,134 11,602 11,964 11,614 11,961 11,998 11,576 1,682 1,518 1,541 1,560 1,550 1,405 1,449 1,453 1,453 7,169 6,497 6,524 6,306 6,496 5,866 6,030 6,059 6,249 6,104 5,517 3,623 3,524 3,602 2,003 2,067 2,072 3,254 8,264 7,484 8,000 7,768 8,030 7,612 7,828 7,866 7,703 3,928 3,557 3,359 3,683 3,470 3,067 3,142 3,162 3,220 2,736 2,582 2,859 2,692 2,738 2,741 2,797 2,815 2,741 10,535 9,585 10,405 9,946 10,173 9,781 10,088 10,105 9,938 1,097 1,019 1,162 1,048 1,062 1,003 1,058 1,051 1,041 1,360 1,229 812 793 800 437 451 452 730 2,759 2,497 1,864 1,835 1,845 1,235 1,273 1,276 1,721 10,825 9,808 10,164 9,862 10,104 9,364 9,628 9,681 9,863 7,566 6,892 7,113 6,800 6,966 6,366 6,527 6,557 6,652 1,462 1,323 1,328 1,287 1,341 1,211 1,220 1,229 1,278 10,213 9,235 9,813 9,498 9,804 9,183 9,478 9,488 9,482 3,470 3,692 5,278 3,177 2,600 2,589 2,797 2,838 2,822 15,182 13,730 11,252 10,896 11,222 8,428 8,684 8,710 10,623 864 781 519 503 518 294 303 304 471 3,899 3,655 3,928 3,686 3,777 3,602 3,709 3,714 3,648 1,065 969 1,046 1,050 1,040 1,017 1,114 1,132 1,097 8,078 7,311 8,049 7,785 7,987 7,700 7,928 7,956 7,722 21,313 19,428 21,404 20,697 21,150 20,482 21,144 21,327 20,568 727 659 530 529 523 369 380 382 493 8,067 7,303 7,248 7,021 7,191 6,378 6,560 6,578 6,872 4,248 3,843 4,082 3,964 4,074 3,771 3,888 3,898 3,957 6,332 5,714 5,736 5,584 5,719 5,269 5,442 5,442 5,489

Page 1182014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario

annual annual annual Q1 Q1 so2_oct so2_nov so2_dec ipmso2 all nonipmso2 ttal ipmso2 all nonipmso2 9,898 9,621 11,318 250,461 117,230 367,691 61,581 31,778 3,339 3,248 3,389 106,685 40,124 146,809 26,695 10,366 1,532 1,488 3,299 3,774 20,828 24,602 1,100 7,946 584 567 702 2,088 7,139 9,227 561 1,939 182 176 266 0 2,225 2,225 0 692 11,214 10,931 12,083 120,154 136,514 256,668 26,982 36,057 8,564 8,351 9,176 85,257 103,906 189,163 21,091 26,827 10,034 9,710 10,196 131,229 118,392 249,621 33,878 29,442 11,525 11,144 11,754 184,624 135,997 320,621 45,486 33,877 5,540 5,357 6,216 82,142 65,613 147,755 20,495 17,370 3,537 3,270 3,203 61,783 47,154 108,937 15,213 16,361 5,030 4,882 5,318 122,616 59,001 181,616 33,095 15,185 12,071 11,653 12,633 101,504 143,340 244,844 24,531 36,266 1,507 1,481 1,684 2,355 18,282 20,636 741 4,741 6,453 6,246 7,178 32,901 77,072 109,973 8,851 20,190 3,369 3,290 6,106 8,251 44,531 52,782 2,250 15,244 7,953 7,694 8,284 163,226 94,487 257,713 41,095 23,748 3,380 3,220 3,938 50,049 41,129 91,177 13,327 10,845 2,997 2,713 2,746 32,455 33,157 65,612 8,488 8,177 10,274 9,931 10,507 177,859 121,267 299,126 43,012 30,525 1,065 1,023 1,077 71,475 12,707 84,182 16,565 3,278 758 748 1,361 6,934 9,931 16,865 1,858 3,401 1,784 1,735 2,761 10,855 22,586 33,440 2,530 7,120 10,195 9,892 10,854 18,441 120,239 138,680 5,711 30,796 6,889 6,669 7,539 60,963 82,535 143,498 15,834 21,571 1,326 1,270 1,465 101,958 15,739 117,698 25,029 4,114 9,798 9,478 10,223 159,043 115,692 274,735 39,367 29,261 2,835 2,710 2,656 138,072 37,466 175,539 34,823 12,441 10,978 10,625 15,200 114,671 135,530 250,201 30,041 40,163 487 471 865 0 6,380 6,380 0 2,165 3,773 3,660 3,869 105,398 44,921 150,319 26,728 11,482 1,088 1,034 1,066 29,710 12,719 42,429 7,899 3,080 7,995 7,750 8,070 62,623 94,332 156,955 16,483 23,438 21,243 20,534 21,366 512,538 250,655 763,193 126,421 62,145 512 509 729 263 6,342 6,605 85 1,915 7,135 6,886 8,038 45,176 85,280 130,456 11,800 22,619 4,203 3,983 4,252 76,899 48,163 125,062 21,851 12,172 5,686 5,510 6,328 49,684 68,250 117,934 12,285 17,781

Page 1192014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario

Q1 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q4 total ipmso2 all nonipmso2 ttal ipmso2 all nonipmso2 ttal ipmso2 all nonipmso2 93,358 56,927 27,876 84,803 66,206 26,739 92,945 65,747 30,837 37,061 24,359 9,870 34,229 29,314 9,912 39,226 26,317 9,976 9,046 766 3,861 4,628 1,111 2,702 3,813 797 6,319 2,500 443 1,701 2,145 628 1,645 2,273 455 1,854 692 0 485 485 0 423 423 0 624 63,039 28,754 34,297 63,051 33,312 31,933 65,245 31,106 34,227 47,919 21,499 25,492 46,991 22,172 25,496 47,668 20,494 26,091 63,321 29,608 29,388 58,995 35,387 29,622 65,009 32,356 29,940 79,363 43,842 33,719 77,561 48,362 33,978 82,340 46,934 34,423 37,865 19,157 15,761 34,918 22,050 15,368 37,418 20,440 17,114 31,574 14,610 10,290 24,901 16,529 10,493 27,022 15,430 10,010 48,281 27,904 14,400 42,304 32,382 14,186 46,568 29,234 15,230 60,797 23,388 35,180 58,568 27,168 35,536 62,704 26,418 36,358 5,482 229 4,514 4,744 805 4,354 5,159 580 4,672 29,041 6,891 18,667 25,558 9,391 18,338 27,730 7,768 19,877 17,495 1,721 9,129 10,850 2,402 7,393 9,794 1,878 12,765 64,842 37,140 23,410 60,550 43,421 23,398 66,819 41,571 23,931 24,172 12,022 10,221 22,243 13,174 9,524 22,699 11,524 10,539 16,665 7,784 8,171 15,954 8,628 8,353 16,981 7,555 8,457 73,537 41,533 29,899 71,433 48,572 30,131 78,703 44,741 30,711 19,844 15,759 3,112 18,871 20,377 3,151 23,528 18,773 3,166 5,258 1,452 2,030 3,482 1,989 1,633 3,622 1,636 2,867 9,650 2,376 4,915 7,292 3,140 4,270 7,410 2,809 6,280 36,508 3,792 29,331 33,122 4,535 29,171 33,706 4,403 30,941 37,405 14,417 20,131 34,548 16,319 19,736 36,056 14,393 21,097 29,143 24,397 3,838 28,235 28,638 3,727 32,365 23,894 4,061 68,628 38,050 28,485 66,535 43,765 28,447 72,212 37,861 29,498 47,264 30,305 8,367 38,672 38,312 8,457 46,769 34,632 8,202 70,204 26,540 30,547 57,087 30,600 28,017 58,618 27,490 36,803 2,165 0 1,315 1,315 0 1,077 1,077 0 1,823 38,210 25,646 11,065 36,711 27,406 11,072 38,478 25,618 11,302 10,979 6,175 3,107 9,282 8,610 3,344 11,954 7,026 3,188 39,920 14,755 23,471 38,227 15,505 23,606 39,111 15,880 23,816 188,566 121,937 62,329 184,266 135,649 63,039 198,688 128,530 63,143 2,000 52 1,421 1,473 67 1,255 1,323 59 1,750 34,420 10,458 20,590 31,049 12,222 20,011 32,234 10,695 22,059 34,024 17,445 11,809 29,254 18,728 11,743 30,472 18,875 12,438 30,066 11,968 16,572 28,540 13,340 16,372 29,713 12,091 17,524

Page 1202014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario

Q4 fraction of the annual emissions occuring in each quarter total Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 96,585 0.2458680.2272890.2643380.262505 36,293 0.2502190.2283250.274774 0.246682 7,116 0.291328 0.203070.2943780.211224 2,309 0.268894 0.212382 0.300944 0.217781 624 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 65,334 0.2245590.239312 0.2772430.258887 46,585 0.247387 0.252170.260062 0.240381 62,296 0.258162 0.2256170.2696570.246564 81,357 0.246370.2374680.2619490.254213 37,553 0.249512 0.2332190.2684380.248831 25,440 0.2462330.2364790.2675380.249751 44,464 0.269912 0.2275730.2640970.238418 62,775 0.241675 0.23041 0.2676550.260261 5,251 0.314631 0.0973970.341852 0.24612 27,645 0.26902 0.209442 0.2854390.236099 14,642 0.272751 0.208605 0.291090.227554 65,502 0.2517650.227536 0.2660170.254682 22,064 0.2662890.2402150.263232 0.230264 16,011 0.261542 0.239831 0.265847 0.23278 75,452 0.2418330.2335190.273094 0.251555 21,939 0.231764 0.22048 0.2851 0.262657 4,503 0.2678880.2093590.2868470.235907 9,088 0.23306 0.21891 0.289271 0.258759 35,344 0.309712 0.2056070.2459250.238756 35,490 0.2597330.2364830.2676930.236091 27,955 0.245480.239286 0.280880.234354 67,359 0.247522 0.239242 0.2751790.238056 42,833 0.252208 0.219490.2774790.250822 64,292 0.261971 0.2314470.266854 0.239727 1,823 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 36,920 0.2535930.2433280.260024 0.243055 10,214 0.265874 0.207847 0.28980.236479 39,696 0.2632030.2356230.2475870.253587 191,672 0.2466580.2379090.264662 0.250772 1,809 0.3239030.1978150.2555770.222706 32,754 0.261211 0.231502 0.270552 0.236735 31,313 0.2841570.226852 0.243544 0.245448 29,615 0.2472660.240872 0.26850.243362

Page 1212012 SO2 base

total total total total total total total total State so2_jan so2_feb so2_mar so2_apr so2_may so2_jun so2_jul so2_aug Alabama 49,718 44,529 47,306 40,784 44,919 47,473 51,505 52,336 Arkansas 11,630 10,788 10,182 9,081 9,910 11,288 11,758 11,787 Connecticut 3,882 3,184 1,936 1,840 1,861 897 967 1,006 Delaware 1,084 934 920 833 791 816 924 911 District of Columbia

272 247 191 185 190 123 126 127 Florida 21,845 19,052 19,904 19,705 21,098 20,143 21,121 21,703 Georgia 41,591 41,975 43,841 42,256 42,740 43,336 45,579 45,163 Illinois 55,201 50,314 48,739 42,810 47,035 51,205 56,739 55,720 Indiana 78,722 72,484 75,671 71,434 73,834 78,184 83,766 84,298 Iowa 18,499 17,434 16,669 15,546 16,262 16,867 18,134 17,874 Kansas 10,859 10,288 12,171 9,194 8,606 9,069 10,243 10,077 Kentucky 55,092 48,439 48,017 40,900 45,429 49,191 53,765 53,930 Louisiana 22,456 19,953 19,558 18,291 20,516 20,916 21,610 21,779 Maine 3,395 2,759 2,178 2,134 2,243 1,589 1,738 1,935 Maryland 12,061 10,922 11,145 9,585 9,548 10,214 11,174 11,036 Massachusetts7,418 6,588 4,702 4,313 3,951 2,399 2,567 2,562 Michigan 30,995 29,559 29,513 27,349 28,294 29,638 33,084 33,431 Minnesota 10,616 9,404 9,241 8,574 8,975 9,135 9,742 9,607 Mississippi 5,610 5,276 5,164 4,816 4,980 5,613 5,775 5,666 Missouri 42,559 37,766 37,563 35,482 38,261 40,476 44,527 44,547 Nebraska 7,516 6,212 6,823 6,232 6,296 7,058 8,209 8,178 New Hampshire1,743 1,537 1,074 1,017 1,009 720 782 801 New Jersey 4,921 4,283 3,404 3,580 3,423 4,111 4,537 4,338 New York 25,921 22,797 19,308 18,187 18,052 15,730 17,140 16,977 North Carolina20,112 19,332 19,800 17,519 19,124 19,238 21,072 21,293 North Dakota10,337 9,916 9,698 8,397 9,953 9,733 11,155 10,923 Ohio 89,279 80,420 82,568 75,598 76,483 85,527 93,919 92,483 Oklahoma 15,636 15,584 16,714 11,680 12,948 14,850 16,384 16,227 Pennsylvania57,780 53,843 55,821 48,446 49,624 51,054 58,363 57,879 Rhode Island 865 782 520 504 519 294 302 303 South Carolina19,034 18,435 18,470 17,180 20,254 20,687 22,049 22,401 South Dakota 3,839 3,420 3,775 2,862 2,936 3,543 4,085 4,169 Tennessee 37,160 34,544 36,194 34,397 32,209 34,108 36,729 37,013 Texas 61,419 55,629 55,516 53,234 60,126 60,996 64,131 64,387 Vermont 764 693 563 543 542 385 397 401 Virginia 16,920 15,409 15,440 14,402 14,161 14,296 16,006 15,829 West Virginia51,442 47,471 51,499 45,117 46,535 49,146 56,956 57,739 Wisconsin 18,286 16,644 16,704 15,828 16,786 16,676 18,327 18,132

Page 1222012 SO2 base

total total total total ipm so2_sep so2_oct so2_nov so2_dec so2_jan so2_feb so2_mar so2_apr 47,304 50,358 46,711 50,975 38,380 34,090 37,087 31,032 10,888 10,560 9,955 11,445 8,107 7,476 6,243 5,636 1,765 1,797 1,686 3,617 555 178 245 208 833 823 781 1,054 388 304 324 258 181 187 181 273 0 0 0 0 20,133 21,424 19,700 21,608 9,272 7,556 7,834 8,235 40,969 43,246 38,364 42,224 32,266 33,319 34,718 33,671 51,899 47,392 47,780 54,001 44,897 41,003 38,583 32,986 77,067 76,885 75,140 81,540 66,655 61,561 63,812 59,954 16,637 17,322 16,612 18,409 11,146 10,782 9,972 9,054 9,049 8,757 8,737 9,736 6,352 5,342 5,015 5,064 50,262 44,263 41,625 49,857 49,662 43,520 42,875 35,929 20,568 21,039 20,263 22,699 9,587 8,290 7,213 6,486 2,168 2,104 2,033 3,311 507 150 75 31 10,434 10,454 10,007 11,691 4,781 4,326 4,514 3,176 3,667 4,258 4,147 7,274 1,244 1,008 1,017 729 29,612 29,785 29,497 31,851 21,652 21,102 20,408 18,511 8,114 8,102 8,520 9,877 6,604 5,771 5,799 4,811 4,915 5,331 4,716 5,443 2,805 2,632 2,236 2,057 40,607 39,436 39,116 43,159 33,833 29,814 28,952 27,273 7,897 7,441 7,465 7,776 6,211 5,005 5,449 4,980 1,004 984 1,029 1,695 368 295 251 214 4,278 3,697 3,553 5,113 2,131 1,759 1,513 1,720 18,339 18,214 17,524 24,315 6,137 4,885 4,682 4,004 18,580 18,220 17,525 19,603 12,517 12,414 12,663 10,696 9,632 9,161 9,371 10,202 8,806 8,531 8,302 7,045 79,241 80,888 76,951 86,133 78,957 71,086 72,649 65,997 14,890 14,278 14,042 15,247 11,759 11,522 11,012 8,092 51,705 47,354 47,857 58,250 41,989 39,562 43,979 36,978 471 488 472 866 0 0 0 0 19,102 17,632 17,117 19,175 15,108 14,755 14,520 13,472 3,762 3,420 3,245 3,608 2,755 2,434 2,709 1,793 31,952 34,484 33,484 37,239 29,013 27,171 28,076 26,546 61,379 58,404 55,261 61,781 38,779 35,003 32,788 31,255 509 539 530 757 30 28 28 9 13,984 14,365 14,032 16,553 8,535 7,819 7,881 7,080 47,534 42,698 42,997 46,221 47,147 43,586 47,374 41,112 16,242 16,904 16,297 17,642 11,919 10,898 10,935 10,212

Page 1232012 SO2 base

so2_may so2_jun so2_jul so2_aug so2_sep so2_oct so2_nov so2_dec 34,957 39,097 42,881 43,666 37,647 40,387 37,020 39,581 6,411 7,874 8,247 8,242 7,488 7,052 6,543 7,923 182 291 343 379 265 244 177 288 199 301 391 378 273 245 220 358 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,643 9,723 10,544 11,157 9,287 10,191 8,750 9,493 33,955 34,941 36,913 36,551 32,481 34,589 29,923 32,951 36,896 41,457 46,677 45,651 42,087 37,247 37,963 43,691 62,005 66,802 72,050 72,538 65,588 65,028 63,675 69,449 9,577 10,905 11,985 11,713 10,156 10,628 10,138 11,046 5,403 5,837 6,599 6,565 5,415 5,125 5,375 6,450 40,351 44,537 48,980 49,119 45,368 39,129 36,642 44,433 8,342 9,099 9,439 9,571 8,788 8,758 8,407 9,855 132 39 140 332 224 91 62 420 2,946 4,249 5,041 4,875 4,081 3,894 3,658 4,402 286 343 445 435 353 827 797 1,098 19,159 20,933 24,126 24,435 20,815 20,701 20,709 22,488 5,423 5,991 6,520 6,365 4,815 4,640 5,221 5,855 2,173 2,805 2,910 2,782 2,107 2,265 1,936 2,628 29,883 32,411 36,213 36,216 32,397 30,948 30,913 34,461 5,024 5,849 6,937 6,913 6,648 6,161 6,235 6,491 198 275 323 340 263 214 270 320 1,552 2,855 3,241 3,040 2,533 1,887 1,793 2,321 3,492 4,879 5,988 5,760 4,522 3,935 3,685 4,491 12,134 12,855 14,527 14,719 11,905 11,308 10,834 12,034 8,545 8,457 9,868 9,628 8,289 7,768 8,035 8,669 66,574 76,246 84,340 82,893 69,657 70,984 67,371 75,801 9,926 11,827 13,142 12,941 11,648 11,008 10,913 12,183 37,812 42,062 49,097 48,586 40,511 35,787 36,662 42,440 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,455 17,068 18,322 18,669 15,433 13,837 13,436 15,280 1,876 2,506 2,950 3,015 2,645 2,312 2,191 2,523 24,153 26,343 28,733 28,990 24,164 26,420 25,667 29,100 37,651 39,232 41,663 41,735 39,529 35,836 33,445 39,089 14 12 14 16 10 22 16 21 6,660 7,625 9,143 8,947 6,812 6,921 6,846 8,197 42,419 45,338 53,030 53,803 43,537 38,453 38,975 41,923 11,034 11,377 12,854 12,659 10,721 11,185 10,755 11,278

Page 1242012 SO2 base

all non_IPM so2_jan so2_feb so2_mar so2_apr so2_may so2_jun so2_jul so2_aug so2_sep 11,338 10,438 10,218 9,751 9,962 8,376 8,624 8,671 9,657 3,523 3,312 3,938 3,446 3,499 3,414 3,512 3,545 3,400 3,327 3,006 1,692 1,632 1,679 606 623 627 1,500 695 629 596 574 592 515 533 533 560 272 247 191 185 190 123 126 127 181 12,572 11,496 12,070 11,471 12,455 10,420 10,577 10,546 10,845 9,325 8,657 9,124 8,584 8,785 8,395 8,666 8,612 8,488 10,305 9,311 10,155 9,824 10,139 9,748 10,062 10,069 9,812 12,068 10,923 11,859 11,479 11,829 11,381 11,716 11,760 11,479 7,353 6,652 6,697 6,491 6,685 5,962 6,148 6,161 6,481 4,507 4,946 7,156 4,130 3,204 3,232 3,644 3,512 3,634 5,430 4,919 5,142 4,971 5,078 4,654 4,784 4,810 4,895 12,868 11,664 12,344 11,805 12,174 11,817 12,171 12,208 11,779 2,887 2,608 2,103 2,104 2,111 1,550 1,597 1,603 1,944 7,280 6,597 6,631 6,409 6,602 5,965 6,133 6,161 6,352 6,174 5,580 3,686 3,585 3,665 2,056 2,122 2,128 3,314 9,343 8,458 9,105 8,837 9,135 8,705 8,958 8,996 8,797 4,012 3,633 3,442 3,763 3,552 3,144 3,222 3,242 3,299 2,805 2,644 2,928 2,759 2,806 2,807 2,865 2,884 2,807 8,726 7,952 8,611 8,209 8,378 8,065 8,314 8,332 8,210 1,305 1,206 1,373 1,251 1,272 1,209 1,272 1,264 1,248 1,374 1,242 823 803 811 445 458 460 741 2,790 2,524 1,891 1,861 1,872 1,256 1,295 1,298 1,746 19,785 17,912 14,626 14,183 14,560 10,851 11,152 11,217 13,817 7,596 6,919 7,137 6,823 6,990 6,383 6,545 6,575 6,675 1,530 1,384 1,396 1,352 1,408 1,275 1,287 1,296 1,343 10,322 9,333 9,919 9,601 9,909 9,281 9,579 9,590 9,584 3,877 4,062 5,702 3,588 3,022 3,023 3,243 3,287 3,242 15,791 14,281 11,842 11,468 11,812 8,991 9,266 9,292 11,193 865 782 520 504 519 294 302 303 471 3,926 3,680 3,950 3,707 3,799 3,620 3,726 3,732 3,670 1,083 986 1,066 1,069 1,060 1,037 1,136 1,154 1,117 8,147 7,373 8,117 7,851 8,055 7,765 7,995 8,024 7,788 22,640 20,626 22,729 21,979 22,474 21,764 22,468 22,651 21,850 734 665 535 534 528 373 383 386 498 8,385 7,590 7,559 7,321 7,502 6,671 6,863 6,881 7,172 4,294 3,885 4,124 4,005 4,117 3,808 3,926 3,936 3,997 6,367 5,745 5,769 5,616 5,752 5,300 5,473 5,473 5,520

Page 1252012 SO2 base

annual annual annual Q1 Q1 so2_oct so2_nov so2_dec ipmso2 all nonipmso2 ttal ipmso2 all nonipmso2 9,972 9,691 11,394 455,826 118,092 573,918 109,558 31,995 3,508 3,412 3,522 87,241 42,031 129,272 21,826 10,774 1,554 1,509 3,329 3,355 21,085 24,440 978 8,025 578 561 696 3,641 7,062 10,703 1,017 1,920 187 181 273 0 2,284 2,284 0 710 11,234 10,950 12,115 110,687 136,749 247,436 24,663 36,138 8,657 8,441 9,273 406,278 105,006 511,284 100,302 27,105 10,145 9,817 10,310 489,139 119,696 608,835 124,483 29,771 11,857 11,465 12,091 789,116 139,907 929,023 192,028 34,849 6,694 6,474 7,363 127,102 79,161 206,263 31,900 20,702 3,632 3,362 3,285 68,541 48,243 116,784 16,710 16,608 5,133 4,983 5,424 520,547 60,224 580,771 136,058 15,491 12,281 11,856 12,843 103,835 145,812 249,648 25,090 36,876 2,014 1,971 2,891 2,203 25,384 27,587 732 7,599 6,560 6,350 7,289 49,942 78,329 128,271 13,621 20,507 3,432 3,350 6,176 8,581 45,266 53,848 3,268 15,440 9,083 8,788 9,363 255,038 107,568 362,606 63,161 26,905 3,462 3,299 4,022 67,816 42,092 109,908 18,175 11,087 3,066 2,780 2,815 29,336 33,968 63,304 7,672 8,377 8,488 8,203 8,698 383,314 100,185 483,499 92,599 25,289 1,279 1,230 1,285 71,905 15,197 87,101 16,666 3,885 769 759 1,375 3,332 10,063 13,395 914 3,440 1,810 1,760 2,792 26,346 22,894 49,241 5,404 7,205 14,278 13,838 19,824 56,461 176,043 232,504 15,704 52,323 6,912 6,691 7,569 148,605 82,815 231,420 37,593 21,651 1,393 1,335 1,532 101,946 16,532 118,478 25,640 4,310 9,903 9,580 10,332 882,556 116,933 999,489 222,692 29,575 3,269 3,129 3,065 135,972 42,508 178,481 34,293 13,641 11,568 11,195 15,810 495,464 142,511 637,974 125,529 41,915 488 472 866 0 6,386 6,386 0 2,168 3,795 3,682 3,896 186,354 45,182 231,536 44,383 11,556 1,108 1,053 1,085 29,710 12,954 42,664 7,899 3,135 8,063 7,816 8,139 324,377 95,134 419,510 84,260 23,638 22,568 21,816 22,692 446,006 266,257 712,263 106,570 65,994 517 514 737 219 6,404 6,622 85 1,934 7,445 7,186 8,356 92,467 88,931 181,397 24,235 23,534 4,245 4,023 4,298 536,697 48,657 585,355 138,108 12,304 5,719 5,542 6,363 135,828 68,639 204,467 33,752 17,881

Page 1262012 SO2 base

Q1 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q4 total ipmso2 all nonipmso2 ttal ipmso2 all nonipmso2 ttal ipmso2 all nonipmso2 141,553 105,086 28,089 133,175 124,194 26,951 151,146 116,988 31,057 32,600 19,921 10,359 30,280 23,976 10,457 34,433 21,518 10,442 9,003 681 3,917 4,599 987 2,750 3,738 709 6,392 2,937 758 1,682 2,440 1,043 1,625 2,668 824 1,835 710 0 499 499 0 435 435 0 641 60,801 26,602 34,345 60,947 30,989 31,968 62,956 28,434 34,298 127,408 102,568 25,764 128,332 105,945 25,766 131,711 97,463 26,371 154,254 111,339 29,710 141,050 134,415 29,943 164,359 118,901 30,272 226,877 188,761 34,690 223,451 210,176 34,955 245,131 198,151 35,413 52,602 29,536 19,139 48,675 33,854 18,790 52,644 31,812 20,531 33,318 16,303 10,566 26,869 18,579 10,790 29,368 16,950 10,280 151,549 120,818 14,703 135,520 143,467 14,489 157,957 120,204 15,540 61,967 23,927 35,796 59,724 27,798 36,159 63,957 27,020 36,981 8,331 202 5,765 5,967 696 5,144 5,840 573 6,876 34,128 10,371 18,976 29,347 13,997 18,647 32,644 11,953 20,199 18,708 1,358 9,306 10,663 1,233 7,563 8,797 2,722 12,957 90,067 58,603 26,677 85,280 69,375 26,752 96,127 63,898 27,234 29,261 16,225 10,459 26,684 17,701 9,762 27,463 15,715 10,784 16,050 7,036 8,373 15,408 7,799 8,557 16,356 6,828 8,661 117,888 89,567 24,652 114,219 104,825 24,856 129,681 96,322 25,389 20,550 15,853 3,733 19,586 20,499 3,784 24,283 18,887 3,795 4,353 687 2,059 2,747 926 1,660 2,586 805 2,904 12,609 6,127 4,988 11,115 8,814 4,339 13,153 6,002 6,362 68,027 12,376 39,593 51,969 16,270 36,186 52,456 12,111 47,941 59,245 35,685 20,196 55,881 41,151 19,795 60,945 34,175 21,173 29,950 24,048 4,035 28,083 27,785 3,925 31,710 24,473 4,261 252,267 208,817 28,791 237,608 236,890 28,752 265,643 214,156 29,815 47,933 29,845 9,634 39,479 37,731 9,771 47,502 34,104 9,463 167,444 116,852 32,272 149,123 138,194 29,752 167,946 114,889 38,573 2,168 0 1,316 1,316 0 1,077 1,077 0 1,825 55,939 46,995 11,126 58,121 52,424 11,128 63,552 42,552 11,372 11,034 6,175 3,166 9,341 8,610 3,406 12,016 7,026 3,247 107,897 77,043 23,671 100,713 81,887 23,807 105,694 81,187 24,019 172,564 108,138 66,217 174,356 122,927 66,969 189,897 108,370 67,076 2,019 35 1,435 1,469 40 1,267 1,307 59 1,768 47,769 21,365 21,494 42,859 24,902 20,917 45,819 21,964 22,986 150,411 128,869 11,929 140,798 150,370 11,859 162,229 119,350 12,566 51,633 32,623 16,667 49,290 36,234 16,466 52,701 33,218 17,624

Page 1272012 SO2 base

Q4 fraction of the annual emissions occuring in each quarter total Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 148,045 0.240350.230539 0.27246 0.25665 31,960 0.250182 0.228346 0.2748260.246646 7,101 0.291374 0.203051 0.2943170.211258 2,658 0.279341 0.2080780.2863730.226207 641 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 62,732 0.222814 0.2403330.2799670.256886 123,834 0.246881 0.252457 0.260770.239891 149,173 0.2544950.227623 0.27480.243082 233,564 0.2433460.239206 0.2663430.251105 52,343 0.25098 0.232380.266352 0.250287 27,229 0.2437950.237856 0.2710580.247291 135,744 0.2613750.2320970.2756090.230919 64,001 0.241634 0.230436 0.2677130.260217 7,448 0.3323860.091751 0.315941 0.259922 32,152 0.272733 0.20766 0.2802650.239342 15,679 0.3808660.1582250.143732 0.317176 91,132 0.2476550.229782 0.2720190.250544 26,500 0.2680.239246 0.2610180.231736 15,490 0.2615330.2398370.2658590.232771 121,711 0.2415750.233666 0.273471 0.251288 22,682 0.2317750.220474 0.2850830.262668 3,708 0.274272 0.206306 0.27792 0.241502 12,364 0.205102 0.232542 0.3345450.227811 60,052 0.2781390.2191890.2881630.214509 55,348 0.2529750.2401370.2769130.229975 28,734 0.2515080.2358870.2725470.240058 243,971 0.2523270.2366050.268414 0.242655 43,567 0.252202 0.2194930.2774880.250816 153,461 0.2533570.2358430.2789190.231881 1,825 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 53,924 0.2381650.2521830.281314 0.228339 10,273 0.265874 0.207847 0.28980.236479 105,206 0.259759 0.23751 0.252444 0.250286 175,446 0.238943 0.24246 0.2756180.242979 1,826 0.389182 0.159151 0.1842060.267462 44,951 0.2620980.2310550.269311 0.237536 131,916 0.2573290.2401150.2801770.222379 50,843 0.248494 0.2401780.2667660.244562

Page 128This workbook contains many worksheets related to the emissions used in AQAT. It contains copies of the "fossil plus biomass" emission estimates from IPM for each scenario examined in AQAT. As described in the Significant Contribution and State Emissions Budgets Final Rule TSD, these emission estimates are combined with the emissions from all other emission source sectors. The result is the ratio of total emissions for the scenario divided bythe total emissions in the 2012 base case.

The fossil plus biomass totals for 2012 and 2014 for each AQAT scenario for each of the states modeled in the CAMx source apportionment modeling can be found in the AQAT region worksheet. The emissions variability scenarios are based on the 2300 CT fossil plus biomass worksheet with the additional emission increase based on a fraction of the emissions from the 2300CT all fossil units >25 MWworksheet. Using the values in the AQAT region worksheet, the quarterly and annual fractions are calculated (using the SO2 emissions from the 2012 base case and the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario). The resulting fractions can be found in the "cost levels region...." worksheets for quarters 1 through 4 for 24-hour PM2.5 and for annual for the annual PM2.5 AQAT NAAQS assessments.

Ususally, the emission fractions were estimated for 2012, here, but were not simulated in AQAT.

The emission fractions for the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario can be found in the "AQAT calib scenario fractions" worksheet.

The quarterly

fractions of the annual "fossil plus biomass" are based on the ratio of quarterly to annual emissions from the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario. The calculation and values can be found in the "2014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario" worksheet.This workbook contains many worksheets related to the emissions used in AQAT. It contains copies of the "fossil plus biomass" emission estimates from IPM for each scenario examined in AQAT. As described in the Significant Contribution and State Emissions Budgets Final Rule TSD, these emission estimates are combined with the emissions from all other emission source sectors. The result is the ratio of total emissions for the scenario divided bythe total emissions in the 2012 base case.

The fossil plus biomass totals for 2012 and 2014 for each AQAT scenario for each of the states modeled in the CAMx source apportionment modeling can be found in the AQAT region worksheet. The emissions variability scenarios are based on the 2300 CT fossil plus biomass worksheet with the additional emission increase based on a fraction of the emissions from the 2300CT all fossil units >25 MWworksheet. Using the values in the AQAT region worksheet, the quarterly and annual fractions are calculated (using the SO2 emissions from the 2012 base case and the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario). The resulting fractions can be found in the "cost levels region...." worksheets for quarters 1 through 4 for 24-hour PM2.5 and for annual for the annual PM2.5 AQAT NAAQS assessments.

The emission fractions for the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario can be found in the "AQAT calib scenario fractions" worksheet.

The quarterly

fractions of the annual "fossil plus biomass" are based on the ratio of quarterly to annual emissions from the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario. The calculation and values can be found in the "2014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario" worksheet.This workbook contains many worksheets related to the emissions used in AQAT. It contains copies of the "fossil plus biomass" emission estimates from IPM for each scenario examined in AQAT. As described in the Significant Contribution and State Emissions Budgets Final Rule TSD, these emission estimates are combined with the emissions from all other emission source sectors. The result is the ratio of total emissions for the scenario divided bythe total emissions in the 2012 base case.

Using the values in the AQAT region worksheet, the quarterly and annual fractions are calculated (using the SO2 emissions from the 2012 base case and the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario). The resulting fractions can be found in the "cost levels region...." worksheets for quarters 1 through 4 for 24-hour PM2.5 and for annual for the annual PM2.5 AQAT NAAQS assessments.

The quarterly

fractions of the annual "fossil plus biomass" are based on the ratio of quarterly to annual emissions from the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario. The calculation and values can be found in the "2014 SO2 AQAT calib scenario" worksheet.This workbook contains many worksheets related to the emissions used in AQAT. It contains copies of the "fossil plus biomass" emission estimates from IPM for each scenario examined in AQAT. As described in the Significant Contribution and State Emissions Budgets Final Rule TSD, these emission estimates are combined with the emissions from all other emission source sectors. The result is the ratio of total emissions for the scenario divided bythe total emissions in the 2012 base case.

Using the values in the AQAT region worksheet, the quarterly and annual fractions are calculated (using the SO2 emissions from the 2012 base case and the 2014 AQAT calibration scenario). The resulting fractions can be found in the "cost levels region...." worksheets for quarters 1 through 4 for 24-hour PM2.5 and for annual for the annual PM2.5 AQAT NAAQS assessments.This workbook contains many worksheets related to the emissions used in AQAT. It contains copies of the "fossil plus biomass" emission estimates from IPM for each scenario examined in AQAT. As described in the Significant Contribution and State Emissions Budgets Final Rule TSD, these emission estimates are combined with the emissions from all other emission source sectors. The result is the ratio of total emissions for the scenario divided bythe total emissions in the 2012 base case.