**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Production

Dry Gas Production 25.37 25.84 27.76 29.88 31.71 36.93 40.70

Conventional 7.33 6.86 7.17 7.02 6.87 8.02 7.64

Unconventional 18.03 18.98 20.59 22.86 24.84 28.91 33.07

Supplemental Natural Gas 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Net Imports

Pipeline 0.87 0.48 (0.05) (0.77) (1.16) (0.49) 0.94

Liquefied Natural Gas 0.05 (0.16) (0.12) (0.98) (1.43) (1.52) (1.49)

**Total Supply 26.28**  **26.16 27.60**  **28.14 29.12**  **34.93 40.15** 

Demand

Firm 8.67 8.75 8.82 9.05 9.44 10.78 11.30

Interruptible 6.81 6.88 6.92 7.14 7.55 8.61 9.32

Electric Power 8.74 8.46 9.59 9.55 9.65 12.75 16.58

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 0.72 0.71 0.74 0.78 0.80 0.90 0.93

Lease and Plant Fuel 1.31 1.34 1.51 1.60 1.66 1.86 2.00

Net Storage Injection 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03

**Total Demand 26.28**  **26.16 27.60**  **28.14 29.12**  **34.93 40.15** 

Natural Gas Prices

(2011 dollars per million Btu)

Henry Hub Spot Price 4.56 4.90 5.63 5.56 6.09 6.30 8.39

Lower-48 Average Wellhead Price 4.35 4.64 5.37 5.20 5.69 5.80 7.72

Lower-48 Average Citygate Price 4.93 5.25 5.97 5.86 6.38 6.55 8.51

**U.S. Natural Gas Production by Supply**  **Region**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Dry Production (trillion cubic feet)

Lower-48 25.23 25.71 27.53 29.66 31.50 36.73 40.53

Conventional 7.20 6.73 6.94 6.80 6.65 7.82 7.46

Unconventional 18.03 18.98 20.59 22.86 24.84 28.91 33.07

Alaska 0.13 0.13 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18

Conventional 0.13 0.13 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18

Unconventional

- - - - - - -

U.S. Total 25.37 25.84 27.76 29.88 31.71 36.93 40.70

Conventional 7.33 6.86 7.17 7.02 6.87 8.02 7.64

Unconventional 18.03 18.98 20.59 22.86 24.84 28.91 33.07

Lower-48 Onshore

Northeast 4.13 4.36 4.79 5.47 6.27 8.24 10.94

Conventional 0.45 0.47 0.47 0.44 0.39 0.30 0.22

Unconventional 3.68 3.89 4.31 5.02 5.89 7.94 10.71

Gulf Coast 8.28 8.89 9.78 10.80 11.26 12.14 12.72

Conventional 1.53 1.63 1.69 1.66 1.51 1.40 1.44

Unconventional 6.75 7.26 8.09 9.14 9.75 10.74 11.28

Midcontinent 3.13 3.26 3.42 3.58 3.70 4.02 4.25

Conventional 1.19 1.23 1.25 1.21 1.09 0.89 0.74

Unconventional 1.94 2.02 2.17 2.38 2.61 3.13 3.50

Southwest 2.70 2.80 2.86 2.87 2.72 2.29 1.85

Conventional 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.84 0.73 0.55 0.40

Unconventional 1.76 1.86 1.96 2.04 1.99 1.74 1.45

Rocky Mountain 4.95 5.04 5.17 5.41 5.66 6.37 6.98

Conventional 1.05 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.07 1.02 0.94

Unconventional 3.91 3.95 4.05 4.28 4.59 5.35 6.04

West Coast 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.22 0.26

Conventional 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.17

Unconventional 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.08

Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional)

Gulf 1.82 1.13 1.27 1.27 1.63 3.45 3.53

Pacific 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Atlantic

- - - - - - -

**Gas End-of-Year Reserves and A nnual Reserve A**  **dditions**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

U.S. Reserves

Dry Natural Gas (trillion cubic feet)

Lower-48 Onshore 369.5 381.8 423.2 457.5 487.0 588.0 653.5

Conventional 51.1 51.3 49.8 45.9 39.6 33.7 30.2

Unconventional 318.4 330.5 373.5 411.6 447.4 554.3 623.3

Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional) 6.0 6.0 6.1 7.6 9.5 23.0 17.9

Alaska (Conventional) 9.7 9.6 8.9 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3

Total 385.3 397.4 438.2 473.1 504.4 618.0 677.6

Conventional 66.8 66.9 64.7 61.6 57.0 63.8 54.3

Unconventional 318.4 330.5 373.5 411.6 447.4 554.3 623.3

U.S. Reserve Additions

Dry Natural Gas (trillion cubic feet)

Lower-48 Onshore 34.9 36.6 36.3 34.8 34.4 41.4 44.0

Conventional 5.9 5.6 5.0 4.4 3.6 3.6 3.3

Unconventional 29.0 31.0 31.3 30.5 30.8 37.8 40.7

Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional) 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 4.1 2.6

Alaska (Conventional) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Total 35.9 37.7 37.5 36.3 36.2 45.6 46.7

Conventional 6.9 6.6 6.2 5.8 5.4 7.8 6.0

Unconventional 29.0 31.0 31.3 30.5 30.8 37.8 40.7

**Natural Gas Imports and Exports**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Volumes (trillion cubic feet)

Total Net Imports 0.92 0.32 (0.16) (1.74) (2.59) (2.00) (0.55)

Total Imports 2.46 2.17 1.90 1.63 1.57 2.71 3.95

Pipeline Imports from Canada 2.12 1.84 1.56 1.34 1.33 2.56 3.79

Pipeline Imports from Mexico 0.09 0.10 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.05

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports 0.25 0.24 0.29 0.22 0.17 0.08 0.11

Total Exports 1.54 1.86 2.06 3.38 4.16 4.72 4.50

Pipeline Exports to Canada 0.42 0.44 0.59 0.81 0.91 0.86 0.65

Pipeline Exports to Mexico 0.92 1.01 1.07 1.37 1.65 2.26 2.25

Liquefied Natural Gas Exports 0.20 0.40 0.40 1.20 1.60 1.60 1.60

Border Prices

(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

Average Import Price 5.02 5.38 6.19 6.15 6.68 6.61 7.88

Pipeline Import Prices

From Canada 4.94 5.26 6.11 6.10 6.64 6.56 7.82

From Mexico 5.66 6.57 6.68 6.57 7.12 7.53 9.56

From Bahamas N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

LNG Price (including regasification) 5.48 5.77 6.49 6.34 6.87 7.12 9.23

**Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Census Division** 

**(trillion cubic feet)**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

FIRM

New England 0.39 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.44 0.45

Middle Atlantic 1.55 1.53 1.53 1.56 1.60 1.67 1.72

East North Central 2.20 2.16 2.17 2.19 2.23 2.33 2.39

West North Central 0.77 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.81 0.84

South Atlantic 0.85 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.90

East South Central 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.41 0.42

West South Central 0.88 1.09 1.13 1.25 1.49 2.48 2.80

Mountain 0.60 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.63 0.65

Pacific 1.05 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.08 1.12 1.14

Total 8.67 8.75 8.82 9.05 9.44 10.78 11.30

INTERRUPTIBLE

New England 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13

Middle Atlantic 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.52 0.57

East North Central 1.18 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.28 1.54 1.66

West North Central 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.93 1.07 1.15

South Atlantic 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.59 0.70 0.75

East South Central 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.44 0.49 0.58 0.63

West South Central 2.03 2.05 2.05 2.17 2.35 2.58 2.81

Mountain 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.46

Pacific 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.91 0.96 1.08 1.17**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Total 6.81 6.88 6.92 7.14 7.55 8.61 9.32

ELECTRIC POWER

New England 0.51 0.44 0.42 0.36 0.35 0.46 0.53

Middle Atlantic 0.86 0.81 0.82 0.80 0.84 1.27 1.77

East North Central 0.47 0.38 0.57 0.51 0.53 0.87 1.56

West North Central 0.09 0.08 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.31 0.32

South Atlantic 2.20 2.16 2.48 2.54 2.73 4.04 5.17

East South Central 0.77 0.71 0.78 0.80 0.77 0.88 1.01

West South Central 2.24 2.23 2.60 2.64 2.56 2.82 3.43

Mountain 0.56 0.59 0.62 0.60 0.60 0.88 1.27

Pacific 1.05 1.07 1.15 1.16 1.14 1.22 1.50

Total 8.74 8.46 9.59 9.55 9.65 12.75 16.58

TOTAL

New England 1.02 0.96 0.93 0.89 0.88 1.02 1.12

Middle Atlantic 2.85 2.77 2.81 2.81 2.90 3.47 4.05

East North Central 3.85 3.73 3.94 3.93 4.03 4.74 5.61

West North Central 1.73 1.72 1.80 1.80 1.83 2.19 2.31

South Atlantic 3.58 3.54 3.87 3.94 4.17 5.62 6.82

East South Central 1.59 1.51 1.58 1.61 1.65 1.86 2.06

West South Central 5.15 5.37 5.77 6.06 6.41 7.88 9.04

Mountain 1.50 1.52 1.56 1.56 1.59 1.93 2.38

Pacific 2.97 2.98 3.06 3.13 3.17 3.42 3.81

Total 24.23 24.09 25.33 25.74 26.63 32.14 37.20

**Production A rea Prices** 

**(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Lower-48 4.48 4.78 5.53 5.36 5.86 5.98 7.95

Lower-48 Onshore

Northeast 4.89 5.19 5.94 5.73 6.21 6.27 8.10

Gulf Coast 4.42 4.71 5.45 5.25 5.76 5.94 8.02

Midcontinent 4.29 4.57 5.38 5.20 5.72 5.84 7.90

Southwest 4.37 4.65 5.39 5.17 5.69 5.90 7.99

Rocky Mountain 4.37 4.68 5.43 5.28 5.71 5.71 7.42

West Coast 4.59 4.95 5.74 5.64 6.19 6.45 8.06

Lower-48 Offshore

Gulf 4.46 4.82 5.61 5.54 6.03 5.97 8.22

Pacific 5.34 6.24 6.32 6.24 6.78 7.17 9.13

**Natural Gas Prices by Census Division** 

**(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Average Citygate Price

New England 5.49 5.81 6.55 6.40 6.89 7.06 9.01

Middle Atlantic 5.32 5.63 6.38 6.23 6.72 6.83 8.69

East North Central 5.11 5.43 6.31 6.24 6.82 6.89 8.88

West North Central 4.94 5.27 6.10 6.01 6.58 6.71 8.77

South Atlantic 5.47 5.61 6.37 6.28 6.80 7.01 9.14

East South Central 4.90 5.23 6.02 5.92 6.45 6.67 8.82

West South Central 4.61 4.93 5.68 5.55 6.10 6.33 8.48

Mountain 4.77 5.08 5.87 5.73 6.21 6.29 8.23

Pacific 5.21 5.79 6.32 6.23 6.73 7.00 8.84

U.S. Average 5.06 5.39 6.13 6.02 6.55 6.73 8.76

**Regional Supply**

**and Demand Balance (BCF per y ear)** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### New **England**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production

- - - - - - -

Conventional

- - - - - - -

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic 738 722 692 740 780 1,032 1,102**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Canada 115 76 35 5 10 8 26

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Everett 24 164 26 147

- 37 38

Neptune

- - 85

- - - - Northeast Gateway 150

- 99

- 94

- - Storage Extraction

- - - - 0 9 9

**Total Supply 1,026**  **962 936**  **892 884**  **1,086 1,176** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,020 957 933 887 882 1,022 1,120

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 7 5 3 5 1 53 46

Canada

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

Lease and Plant Fuel

- - - - - - - Storage Injection

- - - - 0 10 10

**Total Demand 1,026**  **962 936**  **892 884**  **1,086 1,176** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Middle A

**tlantic**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 3,095 3,247 3,548 3,987 4,476 5,471 6,672

Conventional 136 144 153 140 121 88 61

Unconventional 2,959 3,103 3,394 3,848 4,355 5,383 6,611

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

New England 7 5 3 5 1 53 46

East North Central 217 162 155 71 9

- -

South Atlantic 499 407 336 259 197 153 133

Canada 42 23 18 10 7 8 3

Storage Extraction 297 324 312 311 338 308 329

**Total Supply 4,157**  **4,166 4,372**  **4,643 5,028**  **5,992 7,183** 

Demand:

Consumption 2,848 2,775 2,807 2,811 2,899 3,469 4,050

Pipeline Exports:

New England 738 722 692 740 780 1,032 1,102

East North Central

- - - - - 176 417

South Atlantic 109 150 180 183 200 218 375

Canada 18 43 214 407 598 537 618

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 36 37 41 50 54 60 57

Lease and Plant Fuel 108 113 123 139 155 190 232

Storage Injection 300 327 315 314 342 311 332

**Total Demand 4,157**  **4,166 4,372**  **4,643 5,028**  **5,992 7,183** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### East North Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 240 277 325 381 407 583 805

Conventional 159 164 166 158 139 105 77

Unconventional 82 113 160 223 268 478 727

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic

- - - - - 176 417

West North Central 2,194 2,082 2,168 2,137 2,077 2,586 2,962

South Atlantic 1 0

- 26 225 295 295

East South Central 1,884 1,777 1,833 1,703 1,475 1,306 1,043

West South Central 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

Canada

- - - - - - 37

Storage Extraction 649 628 740 745 692 803 804

**Total Supply 5,199**  **4,995 5,297**  **5,222 5,106**  **5,980 6,593** 

Demand:

Consumption 3,851 3,727 3,944 3,935 4,031 4,738 5,612

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 217 162 155 71 9

- -

West North Central 30 29 29 13 10 62 88

South Atlantic

- - - - - - -

East South Central

- - - - - - -

Canada 404 401 376 403 311 321 34

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 34 34 37 37 35 35 30

Lease and Plant Fuel 7 8 9 11 12 14 17**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Storage Injection 655 633 747 752 699 811 811

**Total Demand 5,199**  **4,995 5,297**  **5,222 5,106**  **5,980 6,593** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### West North Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 445 433 407 364 317 255 220

Conventional 345 349 341 309 259 192 139

Unconventional 100 83 66 55 58 63 81

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

East North Central 30 29 29 13 10 62 88

West South Central 706 806 1,005 1,015 978 881 837

Mountain 1,894 1,820 1,599 1,684 1,816 2,512 2,645

Canada 1,099 954 1,015 942 870 1,168 1,609

Storage Extraction 185 185 187 189 159 187 195

**Total Supply 4,360**  **4,227 4,242**  **4,209 4,151**  **5,064 5,593** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,730 1,721 1,799 1,797 1,834 2,194 2,314

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 2,194 2,082 2,168 2,137 2,077 2,586 2,962

West South Central 156 149

- - - - 21

Mountain

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 71 68 68 68 66 84 90

Lease and Plant Fuel 21 20 19 16 14 11 9

Storage Injection 187 187 188 191 160 188 197

**Total Demand 4,360**  **4,227 4,242**  **4,209 4,151**  **5,064 5,593** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### South A **tlantic**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 714 750 827 1,006 1,292 2,046 3,258

Conventional 85 84 80 72 61 45 33

Unconventional 628 666 747 933 1,231 2,001 3,224

Supplemental Natural Gas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic 109 150 180 183 200 218 375

East North Central

- - - - - - -

East South Central 3,259 3,038 3,061 2,899 2,977 3,737 3,656

Offshore

- - 135 148 169 277 294

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Cove Point

- - - - - - -

Elba Island 77 77 77 77 73 47 74

Storage Extraction 168 82 141 113 126 162 146

**Total Supply 4,328**  **4,097 4,421**  **4,425 4,837**  **6,487 7,803** 

Demand:

Consumption 3,582 3,537 3,870 3,939 4,170 5,616 6,817

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 499 407 336 259 197 153 133

East North Central 1 0

- 26 225 295 295

East South Central

- - - 5 20 121 189

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 44 36 35 36 40 46 73

Lease and Plant Fuel 31 33 37 45 58 92 146

Storage Injection 170 84 143 115 127 164 149

**Total Demand 4,328**  **4,097 4,421**  **4,425 4,837**  **6,487 7,803** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### East South Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 278 283 285 284 276 303 370

Conventional 217 222 223 216 199 170 149

Unconventional 61 61 62 67 77 133 221

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

East North Central

- - - - - - -

South Atlantic

- - - 5 20 121 189

West South Central 5,949 5,694 5,833 5,528 5,280 5,651 5,121

Offshore 599 439 446 485 607 922 1,164

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Gulf LNG Energy LLC

- - - - - - - Storage Extraction 249 305 248 271 285 342 362

**Total Supply 7,076**  **6,722 6,811**  **6,572 6,468**  **7,340 7,206** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,588 1,512 1,578 1,614 1,650 1,863 2,057

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 1,884 1,777 1,833 1,703 1,475 1,306 1,043

South Atlantic 3,259 3,038 3,061 2,899 2,977 3,737 3,656

West South Central

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 85 79 80 74 70 78 72

Lease and Plant Fuel 8 9 9 9 9 10 12

Storage Injection 251 307 250 273 288 345 365

**Total Demand 7,076**  **6,722 6,811**  **6,572 6,468**  **7,340 7,206** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### West South Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 12,985 13,819 14,963 16,223 16,751 17,669 18,146

Conventional 2,893 3,026 3,080 2,999 2,711 2,367 2,228

Unconventional 10,092 10,793 11,883 13,223 14,040 15,302 15,918

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West North Central 156 149

- - - - 21

East South Central

- - - - - - -

Mountain 64 91 45 121 120 80 46

Offshore 1,133 640 628 579 777 2,082 1,904

Mexico

- - - - - - - Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Cameron

- - - - - - - Freeport

- - - - - - -

Golden Pass

- - - - - - -

Lake Charles

- - - - - - -

Sabine Pass

- - - - - - - Storage Extraction 330 381 384 426 519 701 898

**Total Supply 14,668**  **15,079 16,020**  **17,349 18,166**  **20,531 21,015** 

Demand:

Consumption 5,148 5,366 5,775 6,057 6,405 7,879 9,036

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

West North Central 706 806 1,005 1,015 978 881 837

East South Central 5,949 5,694 5,833 5,528 5,280 5,651 5,121

Mountain 518 483 550 675 672 525 226

Pacific

- - - - - - -

Mexico 695 778 832 1,110 1,338 1,870 1,870

Liquefied Natural Gas Exports 201 402 402 1,202 1,601 1,601 1,601

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 263 271 285 320 329 336 316

Lease and Plant Fuel 624 665 721 783 808 850 871

Storage Injection 333 384 387 429 523 707 906

**Total Demand 14,668**  **15,079 16,020**  **17,349 18,166**  **20,531 21,015** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Mountain

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 5,436 5,531 5,656 5,883 6,092 6,726 7,266

Conventional 1,326 1,375 1,390 1,385 1,292 1,192 1,067

Unconventional 4,109 4,157 4,266 4,498 4,799 5,534 6,199

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West North Central

- - - - - - -

West South Central 518 483 550 675 672 525 226

Pacific

- - - - - 5 27

Canada 354 294 92 4 4 619 791

Mexico

- - - - - - - Storage Extraction 108 134 95 120 157 150 191

**Total Supply 6,416**  **6,442 6,394**  **6,681 6,925**  **8,025 8,501** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,495 1,521 1,560 1,565 1,588 1,934 2,378

Pipeline Exports:

West North Central 1,894 1,820 1,599 1,684 1,816 2,512 2,645**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

West South Central 64 91 45 121 120 80 46

Pacific 2,266 2,276 2,482 2,541 2,561 2,557 2,389

Mexico 69 76 81 104 119 164 164

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 143 145 149 153 157 179 196

Lease and Plant Fuel 375 378 382 393 406 448 490

Storage Injection 109 135 96 121 158 151 193

**Total Demand 6,416**  **6,442 6,394**  **6,681 6,925**  **8,025 8,501** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Pacific (Lower 48)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 222 234 248 258 252 223 258

Conventional 219 230 241 247 237 205 174

Unconventional 3 5 7 11 15 17 84

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West South Central

- - - - - - -

Mountain 2,266 2,276 2,482 2,541 2,561 2,557 2,389

Offshore 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Canada 510 489 395 381 437 753 1,324

Mexico 89 98 57 69 72 72 49

Storage Extraction 174 169 139 165 187 188 174

**Total Supply 3,264**  **3,268 3,324**  **3,416 3,510**  **3,792 4,195** 

Demand:

Consumption 2,874 2,883 2,968 3,034 3,069 3,312 3,703

Pipeline Exports:

Mountain

- - - - - 5 27

Canada

- - - - - - -

Mexico 157 157 156 154 191 223 218

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 29 28 28 28 29 35 46

Lease and Plant Fuel 28 30 32 33 32 28 25

Storage Injection 176 170 141 167 189 189 176

**Total Demand 3,264**  **3,268 3,324**  **3,416 3,510**  **3,792 4,195** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Lower 48 Offshore

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 1,820 1,137 1,271 1,275 1,633 3,453 3,535

Conventional 1,820 1,137 1,271 1,275 1,633 3,453 3,535

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - **Total Supply 1,820**  **1,137 1,271**  **1,275 1,633**  **3,453 3,535** 

Demand:

Pipeline Exports:

South Atlantic

- - 135 148 169 277 294

East South Central 599 439 446 485 607 922 1,164

West South Central 1,133 640 628 579 777 2,082 1,904

Pacific L-48 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Pipeline Fuel 19 14 14 15 19 44 44

Lease and Plant Fuel 67 41 46 46 59 127 130

**Total Demand 1,820**  **1,137 1,271**  **1,275 1,633**  **3,453 3,535** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Al **aska**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 132 133 229 223 214 201 176

Conventional 132 133 229 223 214 201 176

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

**Total Supply 132**  **133 230**  **223 214**  **201 177** 

Demand:

Consumption 94 95 96 101 105 110 112

Pipeline Exports:

Canada

- - - - - - - Pipeline Fuel

- - - - - - -

Lease and Plant Fuel 38 38 133 123 109 92 66

**Total Demand 132**  **133 230**  **223 214**  **201 177** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)



### Florida (subset of South A **tlantic)**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 4 4 4 4 4 4 3

Conventional 4 4 4 4 4 4 3

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pipeline Imports:

East South Central 1,136 1,185 1,323 1,320 1,315 1,463 1,672

Offshore

- - 135 148 169 277 294

South Atlantic 77 76 76 76 72 47 74

Storage Extraction 3 3 1 1 1 3 4

**Total Supply 1,221**  **1,268 1,538**  **1,548 1,562**  **1,794 2,047** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,213 1,261 1,534 1,544 1,558 1,788 2,040

Pipeline Exports:

East South Central

- - - - - - -

South Atlantic

- - - - - 0

- Pipeline and Storage Fuel 3 3 2 2 2 2 2

Lease and Plant Fuel 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Storage Injection 4 4 1 1 1 3 5

**Total Demand 1,221**  **1,268 1,538**  **1,548 1,562**  **1,794 2,047** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Ar **izona/New Mexico (subset of Mountain)**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 1,003 991 965 944 941 982 1,054

Conventional 400 399 385 352 301 223 159

Unconventional 603 592 579 592 640 759 896

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West South Central 518 483 550 675 672 525 226

Mexico

- - - - - - -

Mountain North 532 582 636 631 644 846 1,102

California

- - - - - 5 5

Storage Extraction 4 10 5 16 16 16 24

**Total Supply 2,058**  **2,067 2,157**  **2,265 2,273**  **2,374 2,411** 

Demand:

Consumption 512 488 497 473 462 548 763

Pipeline Exports:

West South Central 64 91 45 121 120 80 46

Mountain North

- - - - - - -

California 1,265 1,260 1,388 1,411 1,413 1,409 1,238

Mexico 69 76 81 104 119 164 164

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 53 53 56 58 58 60 63

Lease and Plant Fuel 90 88 85 83 86 97 112

Storage Injection 4 10 5 16 16 17 24

**Total Demand 2,058**  **2,067 2,157**  **2,265 2,273**  **2,374 2,411** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### California (subset of Pacific)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 218 229 241 249 242 212 180

Conventional 218 229 240 246 237 205 174

Unconventional 0 1 1 3 5 6 7

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West South Central

- - - - - - -

Offshore 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Mexico 89 98 57 69 72 72 49

Arizona/New Mexico 1,265 1,260 1,388 1,411 1,413 1,409 1,238

Mountain North 574 575 592 592 693 926 1,142

Pacific Northwest 465 458 445 457 416 441 584

Storage Extraction 145 140 110 136 158 159 145

**Total Supply 2,759**  **2,763 2,835**  **2,916 2,995**  **3,218 3,339** 

Demand:

Consumption 2,412 2,420 2,519 2,574 2,595 2,785 2,931

Pipeline Exports:

Mexico 157 157 156 154 191 223 218

Arizona/New Mexico

- - - - - 5 5**Base Case w ith 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Mountain North

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 16 16 17 18 18 17 17

Lease and Plant Fuel 28 30 31 32 31 28 23

Storage Injection 147 141 111 137 159 160 147

**Total Demand 2,759**  **2,763 2,835**  **2,916 2,995**  **3,218 3,339** 

## Base Case with 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations

**Pipeline capacity additions (BCF per year) 2016**  **2018 2020**  **2025**



# New **England**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **- -**  New England

- - - -

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

Canada

- - - - 

# Middle A

**tlantic**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 730**  **32 80** 

Middle Atlantic

- 475

- 73

New England

- - - -

East North Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- 256

- -

Canada

- - 32 6



# East North Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **548 548**  **25**

**-**

East North Central 365 365 25

-

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

We st North Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- - - -

East South Central

- - - -

Canada 183 183

- - 

# West North Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 365** 

**- -** 

We st North Central

- 183

- -

East North Central

- 183

- -

We st South Central

- - - -

Mountain

- - - - 

# South A **tlantic**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **256 310** 

**- -** 

South Atlantic 256 310

- -

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

East North Central

- - - -

East South Central

- - - - 

# East South Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 256**  **386 37** 

East South Central

- - - -

East North Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- 256 386 37

We st South Central

- - - - 

# West South Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 548**  **929 544** 

We st South Central

- - 290 36

East North Central

- - - -

We st North Central

- 183 205

-

East South Central

- - 275 273

Mountain

- - - -

Mexico

- 365 159 235



# Mountain

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **365 73**  **76 177** 

Mountain 183

- 76 177

## We st North Central 183 73

- -

We st South Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - -

Mexico

- - - - 

# Pacific (Low **er 48)**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **192 15** 

Pacific (Lower 48)

- - 192 15

Mountain

- - - -

Canada

- - - -

Mexico

- - - -



# Al **aska**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **- -** 

Alaska

- - - -

Canada

- - - - 

# Canada

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **183**

**- -**  **-**

Canada 183

- - -

East North Central

- - - -

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

Mountain

- - - - New England

- - - -

We st North Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - -



# Low **er-48 Offshore**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **135 13** 

Lower-48 Offshore

- - - -

East South Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- - 135 13

We st South Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - - 

# Mexico

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **- -** 

Mexico

- - - -

Mountain

- - - -

We st South Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - -

## Base Case with 316(b), Proposed 111(d) & CCR regulations

**2030 2040**  **2050**

**- -**  **-**

- - -

- - -

- - -

**363 639**  **1,213**

206 582 678

- - -

- - -

- 23 167

157 34 368

**18**

**- 88** 

18

- 88

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -

**- -**  **49**

- - -

- - 49

- - -

- - -

**- 77**  **2,373**

- 77 2,373

- - -

- - -

- - -

**140 652**  **223**

- - -

- - -

140 652 223

- - -

**664 1,617**  **1,031**

352 1,113 1,005

- - -

- - 25

110 56

-

- - -

202 448

-

**202 573**  **748**

124 349 600

## - - -

- - -

79 205 148

- 19

-

**34 150**  **11**

- 120 11

- - -

- - -

34 30

-

**- -**  **-**

- - -

- - -

**76 1,528**  **2,430**

76 1,528 2,430

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -

**21 619**  **292**

- 511 31

- - 245

21 108 16

- - -

- - -

**- -**  **-**

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -