APPENDIX R. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE USING

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

R.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................... R.1-1

R.2 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS .......... R.1-1

R.2.1 NES/NPV Results Using High Economic Growth Scenario ............. R.1-1

R.2.2 NES/NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario ............. R.1-4

R.3 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOSCOMPARISON ..................................................... R.1-8

R.3.1 National Energy Savings (NES) .................................. R. 1-8

R.3.2 Net Present Value (NPV) ....................................... R.1-12

LIST OF TABLES

Table R.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces (High Growth) .............. R.1-1

Table R.2.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Weatherized Gas Furnaces (High Growth) .................. R. 1-2

Table R.2.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Mobile Home Gas Furnaces (High Growth) ................. R. 1-2

Table R.2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Oil-Fired Furnaces (High Growth) ........................ R. 1-3

Table R.2.5 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Hot Water Gas Boilers (High Growth) ..................... R. 1-3

Table R.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Oil-Fired Boilers (High Growth) .......................... R. 1-4

Table R.2.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) .............. R. 1-4

Table R.2.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) .................. R. 1-5

Table R.2.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Mobile Home Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) ................. R. 1-5

Table R.2. 10 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Oil-Fired Furnaces (Low Growth) ......................... R.1-6

Table R.2.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Hot Water Gas Boilers (Low Growth) ...................... R. 1-6

Table R.2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present

Value for Oil-Fired Boilers (Low Growth) .......................... R.l-7

R-i

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

APPENDIX R. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE USING 

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS 

TABLE OF CONTENTS 

R.l INTRODUCTION .................................................. , R.l-l 

R.2 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS .......... R.l-l 

R.2.1 NES/NPV Results Using High Economic Growth Scenario ............. R.1-1 

R.2.2 NES/NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario ............. R.1-4 

R.3 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOSCOMPARISON ..................................................... R.l-S 

R.3.1 National Energy Savings (NES) .................................. R.l-S 

R.3.2 Net Present Value (NPV) ....................................... R.1-12 

LIST OF TABLES 

Table R.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces (High Growth) . " .......... , R.l-l 

Table R.2.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Weatherized Gas Furnaces (High Growth) .................. R.1-2 

Table R.2.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Mobile Home Gas Furnaces (High Growth) ................. R.1-2 

Table R.2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Oil-Fired Furnaces (High Growth) ........................ R.1-3 

Table R.2.5 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Hot Water Gas Boilers (High Growth) ..................... R.1-3 

Table R.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Oil-Fired Boilers (High Growth) .......................... R.1-4 

Table R.2.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) .............. R.1-4 

Table R.2.S Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) .................. R.1-5 

Table R.2.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Mobile Home Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) ................. R.1-5 

Table R.2.1 0 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Oil-Fired Furnaces (Low Growth) ........................ , R.1-6 

Table R.2.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Hot Water Gas Boilers (Low Growth) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . R.1-6 

Table R.2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present 

Value for Oil-Fired Boilers (Low Growth) .......................... R.1-7 

R-i 
LIST OF FIGURES

Figure R.3.1 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) .......... R.1-8

Figure R.3.2 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............... R. 1-9

Figure R.3.3 Mobile Home Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............. R. 1-9

Figure R.3.4 Oil-fired Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) .................... R.1-10

Figure R.3.5 Gas-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ..................... R.1-10

Figure R.3.6 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ...................... R.1-11

Figure R.3.7 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ......... R.1-12

Figure R.3.8 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ............. R.1-12

Figure R.3.9 Mobile Home Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ................ R.1-13

Figure R.3.10 Oil-fired Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) .................... R.1-13

Figure R.3.11 Gas-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ..................... R.1-14

Figure R.3.12 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ..................... R.1-14

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

LIST OF FIGURES 

Figure R.3.1 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) .......... R.1-8 

Figure R.3.2 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............... R.1-9 

Figure R.3.3 Mobile Home Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............. R.I-9 

Figure R.3.4 Oil-fired Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) .................... R.l-lO 

Figure R.3.5 Gas-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ..................... R.l-lO 

Figure R.3.6 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ...................... R.l-ll 

Figure R.3.7 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ......... R.1-12 

Figure R.3.8 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ............. R.I-12 

Figure R.3.9 Mobile Home Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ................ R.I-13 

Figure R.3.10 Oil-fired Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) .................... R.1-13 

Figure R.3.11 Gas-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ..................... R.1-14 

Figure R.3.12 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) ..................... R.I-14 

R-ii 
APPENDIX R. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE USING

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS

R.1 INTRODUCTION

This appendix presents national energy savings (NES) and net present value (NPV)

results for alternative installation costs (for non-weatherized gas furnaces and gas boilers), and

alternative energy price scenarios for all product classes. DOE explained the calculations of

NES and NPV using the reference installation costs and the default energy price forecast in

Chapter 10, National Impact Analysis.

R.2 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS

For each product class, DOE calculated NES and NPV using energy price scenarios from

the High and Low Economic Growth cases. The NES results are the same in each energy price

scenario. As one would expect, the NPV is most favorable using prices in the High Growth

scenario, and least favorable using prices in the Low Growth scenario.

R.2.1 NES/NPV Results Using High Economic Growth Scenario

Table R.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 80% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13

A 80% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13

2 81% AFUE 0.36 0.15 1.44

B 90% AFUE 3.20 -0.21 7.80

4 90% AFUE 3.20 -0.21 7.80

5 96% AFUE 5.59 -19.2 -27.9

Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces High Growth)

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

APPENDIX R. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE USING 

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS 

R.1 INTRODUCTION 

This appendix presents national energy savings (NES) and net present value (NPV) 

results for alternative installation costs (for non-weatherized gas furnaces and gas boilers), and 

alternative energy price scenarios for all product classes. DOE explained the calculations of 

NES and NPV using the reference installation costs and the default energy price forecast in 

Chapter 10, National Impact Analysis. 

R.2 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOS 

For each product class, DOE calculated NES and NPV using energy price scenarios from 

the High and Low Economic Growth cases. The NES results are the same in each energy price 

scenario. As one would expect, the NPV is most favorable using prices in the High Growth 

scenario, and least favorable using prices in the Low Growth scenario. 

R.2.1 NESINPV Results Using High Economic Growth Scenario 

Table R.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces (High Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13 

A 80%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13 

2 81% AFUE 0.36 0.15 1.44 

B 90%AFUE 3.20 -0.21 7.80 

4 90%AFUE 3.20 -0.21 7.80 

5 96%AFUE 5.59 -19.2 -27.9 

R-l 
Table R.2.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Weatherized Gas Furnaces (High Growth)

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

80% AFUE 0.02 0.04 0.12

A 81% AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44

2 81 % AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44

B 81% AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44

4 81% AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44

5 83% AFUE 0.15 -0.20 -0.18

Table R.2.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 80% AFUE 0.02 0.09 0.25

A 80% AFUE 0.02 0.09 0.25

2 80% AFUE 0.02 0.09 0.25

B 90% AFUE -0.02 0.36 1.13

4 90% AFUE -0.02 0.36 1.13

5 90% AFUE -0.02 0.36 1.13

Mobile Home Gas Furnaces Hi h Growth

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

Table R.2.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

W ea th enze . d G F as urnaces (H· 19l h G row th) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.02 0.04 0.12 

A 81% AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44 

2 81% AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44 

B 81%AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44 

4 81% AFUE 0.06 0.15 0.44 

5 83%AFUE 0.15 -0.20 -0.18 

Table R.2.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Mobile Home Gas Furnaces (High Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.02 0.09 0.25 

A 80%AFUE 0.02 0.09 0.25 

2 80%AFUE 0.02 0.09 0.25 

B 90%AFUE -0.02 0.36 1.13 

4 90%AFUE -0.02 0.36 1.13 

5 90%AFUE -0.02 0.36 1.13 

R-2 
Table R.2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Oil-Fired Furnaces (High Growth)

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 80% AFUE 0.001 0.005 0.01

A 82% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19

2 82% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19

B 82% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19

4 84% AFUE 0.04 0.01 0.12

5 85% AFUE 0.05 -0.03 0.06

Table R.2.5 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 82% AFUE 0.15 0.28 1.07

A 82% AFUE 0.15 0.28 1.07

2 84% AFUE 0.26 0.33 1.07

B 82% AFUE 0.15 0.28 1.07

4 84% AFUE 0.26 0.33 1.57

5 99% AFUE 1.16 -3.53 -4.02

Hot Water Gas Boilers (High Growth

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

Table R.2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Oil-Fired Furnaces (Hi2h Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.001 0.005 0.01 

A 82%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19 

2 82%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19 

B 82%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19 

4 84%AFUE 0.04 0.01 0.12 

5 85%AFUE 0.05 -0.03 0.06 

Table R.2.S Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Hot Water Gas Boilers (Hi2h Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 82%AFUE 0.15 0.28 1.07 

A 82%AFUE 0.15 0.28 1.07 

2 84%AFUE 0.26 0.33 1.07 

B 82%AFUE 0.15 0.28 1.07 

4 84%AFUE 0.26 0.33 1.57 

5 99%AFUE 1.16 -3.53 -4.02 

R-3 
Table R.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Oil-Fired Boilers (High Growth)

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 83% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13

A 83% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13

2 83% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13

B 84% AFUE 0.02 0.01 0.12

4 84% AFUE 0.02 0.01 0.12

5 95% AFUE 0.28 -0.94 -0.47

R.2.2 NES/NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario

Table R.2.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 80% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12

A 80% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12

2 81% AFUE 0.31 0.20 1.44

B 90% AFUE 2.72 0.44 8.63

4 90% AFUE 2.72 0.44 8.63

5 T 96% AFUE 4.75 -15.5 -20.2

Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth)

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

Table R.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Oil-Fired Boilers (High Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 83%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13 

A 83%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13 

2 83%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.13 

B 84%AFUE 0.02 0.01 0.12 

4 84%AFUE 0.02 0.01 0.12 

5 95%AFUE 0.28 -0.94 -0.47 

R.2.2 NESINPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario 

Table R.2.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12 

A 80%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12 

2 81% AFUE 0.31 0.20 1.44 

B 90%AFUE 2.72 0.44 8.63 

4 90%AFUE 2.72 0.44 8.63 

5 96%AFUE 4.75 -15.5 -20.2 

R-4 
Table R.2.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth)

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

80% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12

A 81 % AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41

2 81% AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41

B 81% AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41

4 81% AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41

5 83% AFUE 0.13 -0.14 -0.06

Table R.2.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 80% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.20

A 80% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.20

2 80% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.20

B 90% AFUE -0.01 0.26 0.80

4 90% AFUE -0.01 0.26 0.80

5 90% AFUE -0.01 0.26 0.80

Mobile Home Gas Furnaces Low Growth

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

Table R.2.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Weatherized Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12 

A 81% AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41 

2 81% AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41 

B 81% AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41 

4 81% AFUE 0.05 0.14 0.41 

5 83%AFUE 0.13 -0.14 -0.06 

Table R.2.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Mobile Home Gas Furnaces (Low Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.20 

A 80%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.20 

2 80%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.20 

B 90%AFUE -0.01 0.26 0.80 

4 90%AFUE -0.01 0.26 0.80 

5 90%AFUE -0.01 0.26 0.80 

R-5 
Table R.2.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Oil-Fired Furnaces (Low Growth

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 8)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 80% AFUE 0.001 0.005 0.01

A 82% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19

2 82% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19

B 82% AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19

4 84% AFUE 0.04 0.02 0.14

5 85% AFUE 0.05 -0.02 0.10

Table R.2.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 82% AFUE 0.13 0.29 1.07

A 82% AFUE 0.13 0.29 1.07

2 84% AFUE 0.23 0.37 1.07

B 82% AFUE 0.13 0.29 1.07

4 84% AFUE 0.23 0.37 1.62

5 99% AFUE 1.02 -2.77 -2.38

Hot Water Gas Boilers (Low Growth

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

Table R.2.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Oil-Fired Furnaces (Low Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 80%AFUE 0.001 0.005 0.01 

A 82%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19 

2 82%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19 

B 82%AFUE 0.02 0.08 0.19 

4 84%AFUE 0.04 0.02 0.14 

5 85%AFUE 0.05 -0.02 0.10 

Table R.2.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Hot Water Gas Boilers (Low Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 82%AFUE 0.13 0.29 1.07 

A 82%AFUE 0.13 0.29 1.07 

2 84%AFUE 0.23 0.37 1.07 

B 82%AFUE 0.13 0.29 1.07 

4 84%AFUE 0.23 0.37 1.62 

5 99%AFUE 1.02 -2.77 -2.38 

R-6 
Table R.2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for

Oil-Fired Boilers (Low Growth)

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $)

(TSL) (AFUE)

7%

Discount

Rate

3%

Discount

Rate

1 83%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12

A 83% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12

2 83% AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12

B 84% AFUE 0.02 0.02 0.12

4 84% AFUE 0.02 0.02 0.12

5 95% AFUE 0.24 -0.72 -0.14

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

Table R,2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for 

Oil-Fired Boilers (Low Growth) 

Trial Standard Level Efficiency Level NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2006 $) 

(TSL) (AFUE) 7% 3% 

Discount Discount 

Rate Rate 

1 83%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12 

A 83%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12 

2 83%AFUE 0.01 0.04 0.12 

B 84%AFUE 0.02 0.02 0.12 

4 84%AFUE 0.02 0.02 0.12 

5 95%AFUE 0.24 -0.72 -0.14 

R-7 
R.3 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOSCOMPARISON

The following figures graphically display the NES and NPV for all product classes under

the low growth, the reference case, and the high growth energy price scenarios.

R.3.1 National Energy Savings (NES)

6

D Reference

5

_ t3 Low Economic Growth

O High Economic Growth

4

it

A

d

c 3 F

fq

u

O0

M

2

1 - I

0 Fop

I I

TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4 TSL 5

Figure R.3.1 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

R.3 RESULTS USING ALTERNATIVE ENERGY PRICE SCENARIOSCOMPARISON 

The following figures graphically display the NES and NPV for all product classes under 

the low growth, the reference case, and the high growth energy price scenarios. 

R.3.1 National Energy Savings (NES) 

" -g 

~ .. 

CI 

~3 r---------------------------

~ 

~ 

.g " 

2~-------- ------~-~-----

TSL1 TSLA TSL2 TSLB TSL4 TSL5 

Figure R.3.1 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 

R-8 
0 16 .

0.14 0 Reference

® Low Economic Growth

q High Economic Growth

0. 12 -.._--

0. 10

d

0

5 0.08 --

0 0.06 -- - --

0.04

::: AC - --- -----_-_ I -^ _--------_.

TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4 TSL 5

Figure R.3.2 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

0.02

O Reference

I Low Economic Growth

4

1

13 High Economic Growth

0 01 -

I

I

l

.

I

c

N

]

I

0. 00 [,, ILIL

> od

U) TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 M

151. '

2

0

-0.01 - -

-0.02

Figure R.3.3 Mobile Home Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

R-9

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

0.16,------------------------------------------------------------------------, 

0.14 

0.12 +-------------------

10

.

10 

~ .. 'i '" 0.08 

., 

~ 

ell "0.06 +------------.. - --------.= .... ---------r==;-... - ------____ --------""=;_ 

0.04 

0.02 +-------------

0.00 . 

TSL 1 TSLA TSL2 TSLB TSL4 TSL5 

Figure R.3.2 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 

.. 'tI 

.. 

Q. " 

.. 

'" c .;: 

.. ., 

.. 

I:! 

" 0 

., 

0.02r-----~==~--------===_--------===_------------------------------------~ 

0.01 

0.00 

TSL 1 

-0.01 

TSLA TSL2 

[] Reference 

~Low Economic Growth 

[J High Economic Growth 

-0.02 -'------------------------------------------------------------------------' 

Figure R.3.3 Mobile Home Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 

R-9 
0.06

61 Reference

0.05 ---- f7 Low Economic Growth

0 High Economic Growth

0.04

N I

1 0.03

0.02 - I

0.01

- ^

0.00

TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4 TSL 5

Figure R.3.4 Oil-fired Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

1.20

Reference

1.00 ^Low Economic Growth

High Economic Growth

N

0.80 -

i t

O

0.60

U)

N

0.40 -

0.20

0.00

TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4 TSL 5

Figure R.3.5 Gas-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

R-10

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164
0.30

13 Reference

0.25 OLow Economic Growth

q High Economic Growth t

0.20

C

rn

0.15 - -- - -

N

O

0.10 ------

0.05

0 00 .TI .. .:....

TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4 TSL 5

Figure R.3.6 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

R-11

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

0.30,-----------------------------------, 

" m 

Q. 

VI 

'" 

0.25 -1-----<-

0.20 +---- - .... - ----- . - --.--- ... 

t 0.15 

til 

~ ::I 

al 0.10 +------ .. - ---- --.. - ----- .-.----.------

0.051--- - ----- - ---- ----- ------- --- -1 

0.00 f-L---------'-..........I-.... ""--'--.-'------'''''''''--'-~--'--

TSL 1 TSLA TSL 2 TSLB TSL4 

Figure R.3.6 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 

R-ll 

TSL5 
R.3.2 Net Present Value (NPV)

5

0

TSL 1 TSLA TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4 I

E7 Reference

1 Low Economic Growth

13 High Economic Growth

o -5

C

O

a

-10

z

- 15

-20

Figure R.3.7 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV)

0.15 .i -. _ _....._..

0.10

0.05

io

0.00

-

- .^ - ^- .

TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4

o I

-0.05 t

0 Reference z

z

© Low Economic Growth

q High Economic Growth i

-0.10

T

-0.15 ---

-0 . 20

Figure R.3.8 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV)

R-12

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

R.3.2 Net Present Value (NPV) 

:g -5 C> 

~ 

.5 

!! 

~ 

e 

TSL 1 

mReference 

I!I Low Economic Growth 

!JHigh Economic Growth 

TSLA TSL2 TSLB 

..:::= 

TSL4 

~ -10+-----------~ ---------------------------------------------__ z 

-15+-----------------·~---------------------------------------

~0L----------------------------------------------------------------------

Figure R.3.7 Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) 

0.15 ,---------------, ..---r--.----.~;--_r____r_--___.. ..... --r__,_--__._..,,____.--,- - ------r 

0.10 i- -----------I 

0.05 {-------------I 

iD 

C> 

~ 0.00 

.5 

" 

~ :a 

;; -0.05 r---;;;==========:::;----------------------[ ~ rn Reference 

-0.10 

13 low Economic Growth 

o High Economic Growth 

-0.15 +-----------------------------------------------------

-0.20 "--------------------------------------------------==--' 

Figure R.3.8 Weatherized Gas Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) 

R-12 
0.40

0.35 0Reference

03 Low Economic Growth

q High Economic Growth

0.30

0.25

w

- -

c

0.20 0----- -- i -

IL

z 0. 15 ---

0. 10

0.05

0 00 . -------- -.`-

TSL 1 TSLA TSL 2 TSLB TSL 4 TSL 5

Figure R.3.9 Mobile Home Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV)

0.08

0.06

0.04

NN

G

.2 0.02

i^

0.00

TSL 1 TSLA TSL 2 TSLB TSL 4

O Reference

-0.02

6Low Economic Growth

13 High Economic Growth

-0. 04

Figure R.3.10 Oil-fired Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV)

R-13

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

0.40 

0.35 

0.30 

CD 0.25 c:> 

c:> 

.. '" 

.5 

~ 0.20 

~ 

e 

> 11. 

Z 0.15 

0.10 

0.05 

0.00 

TSL 1 TSLA TSL2 TSLB TSL 4 TSL5 

Figure R.3.9 Mobile Home Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) 

0.08 ,--------;= = = :::;-- -== 

0.06 t--.. -- - - - -

0.04 

CD 

c:> 

c:> 

.. '" 

. 5 

~ 

c 0.02 

~ 

e 

> 11. 

Z 

0.00 

TSL 1 TSLA TSL2 TSLB 

~.O2 

-0.04 .1-___________________________________ -1 

Figure R.3.10 Oil-fired Furnace Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) 

R- 13 
0.50

0.00 HI "-a '. _,I^ I Ff-I

TSL 1 TSL A TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4 hl,

-0.50 ----

-1.00 D Reference ---

8 Low Economic Growth

O High Economic Growth

-1.50

c

0

M-2.00

IL

-2.50 -

-3.00

-3.50

-4.00

Figure R.3.11 Gas-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV)

0.20

0.00 ^-^ ,--

TSL I TSLA TSL 2 TSL B TSL 4

-0.20 13 Reference

0 Low Economic Growth

q High Economic Growth

c -0.40

O

zz

-0.60

-0.80

-1.00

Figure R.3.12 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV)

R-14

 EE-RM/STD-01-350 COMMENT 164

O.~r------------------------------------------------------------------------' 

0.00 

.{l.50 t----------------.---------- ... ---------

-1.00 

iD 

re 

'" -1.~ f------------ .5 

.. 

c 

~ ;§. -2.00 t--------------------------------------- --- ---------------I> 

Ii: 

z 

-2.50 f------------- ------------------------------------------------- II 

-3.00 t--,,-----------------------------------------------------

-3.50 -j-------------- ·-----------------------------------------------------LJ--I 

.00~-----------------------------------------------------------------~ 

Figure R.3.11 Gas-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) 

:g 

co 

~ 

.5 

0.20 -y------------------------------------------------------------------------, 

TSL 1 TSLA TSL 2 TSLB TSL4 

.{l.20 

~ -0.40 

;§. 

Ii: 

z 

-0.60 +--------------- ------------------- -----------------------1 

.{l.80-j------------------------- -----------------------------

-1.00 ~--------------------------------------------------------------~ 

Figure R.3.12 Oil-fired Boiler Energy Price Scenarios (NPV) 

R-14