# Western Regional Air Partnership Work Plan Update (2005-07)

May 5, 2005

## Table of Contents

I. Introduction

........................................................................................................... 1

II. Project Summ aries ............................................................................................... 7 Initiatives O v ersigh t Committee ........................................................................ 7 Stationary S ources Joint Forum ....................................................................... 7 Fire Em issions Joint Forum ............................................................................ 8 Dust Em issions Joint Forum ................................................................ 12 Mobile Source Forum ................................................................................. 14 Sources In and Near Class I Areas F o rum ......................................................... 14 Econom ic Analysis Forum ............................................................................... 15 Air Quality Modeling F o rum ........................................................................... 17 Em issions Forum ........................................................................................ 22 Tribal Data Devel opm ent W o rk Group ............................................................. 26 Am bient Monitoring and Reporting Forum .......................................................... 28 Technical Oversigh t Committee ............................................................ 29 Attribu tion of Haze W o rk Group ...................................................................... 30 309 Coordinating Committee ........................................................................... 31 Air Managers Committee .............................................................................. 31 Communications Committee .......................................................................... 35

Figure 1. Strategic Plan Tim e lin e (Updated October 13, 2004) ...................................... 4 Figure 2. S u mm ary of 2018 Regional Haze Co ntrol Strateg y Evaluation s (March 20 05) ......... 6

## I. INTRODUCTION

This work plan summ ari zes activities and e xpenditures planned by the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) for calendar years 2005-2007, includin g activities initiated in earlier years and new activities. The WRAP is funded through a nnual grants from the U.S. EPA. This work plan will be subm itted to EPA in support of th e WRAP’s grant application for the federal FY05 funds awarded ($2,936,826) to the WRAP to s upport ongoing technical and policy work related to the dev e lopm ent of state and trib al regional haze plans for the W e st.

The m o st recent W R AP work plan (calendar year 2005 work plan funded with the W R AP’s federal FY04 grant) was finalized on Decem be r 7, 2004. Recently, the E P A has accelerated its grant award process su ch that the FY05 grant is available to the W R AP and other regional haze planning organizations approxim a te ly six m onths sooner than in years past. Since the latest WRAP wor k plan is only a few m o nths old, the WRAP is responding to the early availability of EPA funds by providing an update to the Decem ber 7, 2004 work plan. B ackground infor m ation about the W R AP, its m a nagem e nt process, and st akeholder involvem e nt are not repeated here, but can be f ound in the Decem ber 7, 2004 ve rsio n of the work plan, available at http://www.wrapair.org/WR AP/docs.htm l

. In addition to including new and expanded tasks, this work plan update covers an expanded period of 2005 through 2007. This is a critical tim e period since m o st of the W R AP’s technical and policy work m u st be com p leted by the end of 2006 so that states can incorporate the WRAP’s products in their im plem entation plan s which are due to the EP A by Dece mber 2007 (tr i bes a r e n o t subje c t to this de adlin e).

In developing this work plan, W R AP forum s and comm ittees were asked to consider the essential n e e d s of state a nd trib al im plem entatio n plans and to ensure they could be m e t in this tim e fra m e a nd with the available resources. Th is work plan update assum e s that the vast

m a jority of technical and policy endeavors should be com p leted with the funds available as of this grant and by the end of 2006.

This work plan follows the direction set in the WRAP’s long-term strategic plan, which was adopted in 2003. 1 

### Figure 1 shows the strategic plan tim e line and m a jor project m ilestones. The tim e line an d m a jor m ilestones f r om the stra tegic plan provide the overall schedule and objectives f o r this work plan. The Strateg i c Plan also serves as an instrument of coordination and provides the direction and transparency need ed to foster stakeholder participation and consensus-based decision m a king, which are key features of the W R AP process. The strategic plan also provides guidance to the individual plans of WRAP forum s and comm ittees which are included in this work plan.

1 See h ttp ://www.wrap a ir.org / f oru m s/sp /d o c s.h t m l



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### On a m o re general level, the W R AP’ s pla nning p r ocess m u st accomm odat e a unique landscape of environmental, social, econom ic, and politic al issues. The WRAP region includes 116 (or 75 percent) of the nation’s 156 m a ndatory federal Class I areas, half the land m a ss of the United States (not including Alaska), a very large portion of publicly-owned lands, and num e r ous tribal jurisd ic tions (m any with large la nd areas). It also em its a m i nority of total U.S. e m issions, borders both Canada and Mexico, an d receives pollution from Asia.

Most W R AP m e m b ers will not h a v e to conten d with ongoin g ozone and particulate m a tter nonattainm e nt issues, which sim p lifies air qual ity planning to som e extent, but m a ny W R AP

m e mbers are faced with rapid popu lation g r owth a nd other challeng es to preventing d e terioration of

air quality. Moreove r, the W R AP m u st be sensitiv e to o t her reg i onally-im portant environm ental issues, such as fire and dr ought. This presents a unique and challenging environm ent for long-term planning which is be st addressed through a single, well-funded and well-org a niz e d institu tio n at the appropriate political leve l. T h e W R AP, with the app r opria te EPA financial support, provides su ch an institution, esp ecially given its co-m anage m e n t structure shared between the W e stern Governors’ Associ ation and the National T r ibal Environm ental Council.

Finally, the WRAP’s long-term pla nning process m u st be prepared to deal with relevant events beyond its control, such as federa l initiatives and the ram i fications of legal challenges to the RHR. One way the WRAP contends with these even ts is to h a ve suf f i cie n t staf f i ng to track the issues and to foster a construc tive dialogue am ong its m e m b e r s.

2

### T a b l e 1: Cur r en tl y P e nd i n g P r o j ects & F Y 05 Gr ant P r oj ects
P r oj ect T i tle 200 5 2 006 20 07 ST A T I O NA RY SOURCES R e gi o nal S t at i o n a ry S ourc e S t rate gy De ve l o p m e n t 2 50, 000 158 ,000 FI R E Fi re Track i ng S y stem 85, 000 50 ,000 50,0 0 0 R e gi o nal co ordi nat i o n of s m oke m ana gem en t pro g ra m s 50, 000 2 002 W i l d fi re E m i s s i o n In ve ntori e s C o m para t i v e A n al y s i s

. 26, 500 S m ok e M g m t Tech ni c a l an d P o l i c y W o rks hop 25, 000 A s se ss m ent of A p port i on m e nt M e th ods 25, 000 F e a s ib i lit y C r it e r ia f o r W R A P F i r e P o li c i e s 6 0

, 0 0 0 M O BI L E SOURC ES Offroad R e trof i t P r ogram 1 00, 000 ECO N O M I C A N A L YSI S D e vel opm en t o f B a s e l i ne E c o nom i c D a ta 55, 000 E n han ce m e nt o f C o s t a nd B ene fi t U n i t V a l u e s 50, 000 S c ree n i n g To ol 20, 000 E c on om i c A s s e s s m e n t C apa bi l i ty 1 30, 000 M O DEL I NG 2 005 R M C S upp ort 5 00, 000 500 ,000 EM I SSI O N S 2 005 -200 7 E D M S H o s t i n g / Op erat i o n 55, 000 180 ,000 1 80,0 0 0 EDM S En h a n c e m e n t s 128 ,000 S u ppo rt fo r C ont rol S t rate gy A nal ys i s 75 ,000 TR I B A L D A T A E m i s si ons D a t a D e v e l o pm en t S u p port 1 03, 000 200 ,000 C o nti n ue E m i s s i on s I n ve nto r y & TE IS S Tech ni c a l S u p port 98, 000 DUST E n han ce d A m bi ent D a ta A nal ys i s - C o H 50, 000 U p date H a n dbo ok 20 ,000 Pi l o t Pr o j e c t - N M 80 ,000 A d di t i on to Fi ne Frac ti o n 30, 000 A M BI ENT M O NI T O RI NG A ND REPORT I N G C a use s of H a z e 225 ,000 1 00,0 0 0 A T T R I BUT I O N OF HA Z E P h as e 2 Tec hni ca l S u ppo rt C o n t rac t or 75, 000 W I GIM S Im pl em ent ati o n 1 67, 000 A I R M A NA GERS COM M I T T E E Con t r a ct or As si st a n c e 1 30, 000 S t ate C auc us C oord i na tor 1 20, 000 120 ,000 H e al th an d E n vi ro nm ent al A s s e ss m ent of H a ze -Re l at ed I m p r ov em ents 15, 000 Tradi ti on al Tri b a l P r a c ti ces a nd R e gi o nal H a z e 10, 000 3 08 Im p l em en tati on W o rk Gro u p - S t at e a nd Tri b a l S u p p o r t 76, 000 W o rks h o p s on E ffec t i v e C o l l a b o ra ti on 35, 000 C O MMU N I C A T I O N S C O MM I T T E E P u bl i c O u t r eac h a nd C o m m u n i c ati on o n W R A P Iss ues 55, 000 W e b S i te M a i n tenance 23, 500 25 ,000 S u btotal for P e n d in g P r ojec ts 2,4 19, 000
C o n t r act S u btotal 

### F Y O5 Gran t

2,0 91,0 0 0



### 3 

### T a b l e 1: Cur r en tl y P e nd i n g P r o j ects & F Y 05 Gr ant P r oj ects
P r oj ect T i tle 200 5 2 006 20 07 ST A T I O NA RY SOURCES R e gi o nal S t at i o n a ry S ourc e S t rate gy De ve l o p m e n t 2 50, 000 158 ,000 FI R E Fi re Track i ng S y stem 85, 000 50 ,000 50,0 0 0 R e gi o nal co ordi nat i o n of s m oke m ana gem en t pro g ra m s 50, 000 2 002 W i l d fi re E m i s s i o n In ve ntori e s C o m para t i v e A n al y s i s

. 26, 500 S m ok e M g m t Tech ni c a l an d P o l i c y W o rks hop 25, 000 A s se ss m ent of A p port i on m e nt M e th ods 25, 000 F e a s ib i lit y C r it e r ia f o r W R A P F i r e P o li c i e s 6 0

, 0 0 0 M O BI L E SOURC ES Offroad R e trof i t P r ogram 1 00, 000 ECO N O M I C A N A L YSI S D e vel opm en t o f B a s e l i ne E c o nom i c D a ta 55, 000 E n han ce m e nt o f C o s t a nd B ene fi t U n i t V a l u e s 50, 000 S c ree n i n g To ol 20, 000 E c on om i c A s s e s s m e n t C apa bi l i ty 1 30, 000 M O DEL I NG 2 005 R M C S upp ort 5 00, 000 500 ,000 EM I SSI O N S 2 005 -200 7 E D M S H o s t i n g / Op erat i o n 55, 000 180 ,000 1 80,0 0 0 EDM S En h a n c e m e n t s 128 ,000 S u ppo rt fo r C ont rol S t rate gy A nal ys i s 75 ,000 TR I B A L D A T A E m i s si ons D a t a D e v e l o pm en t S u p port 1 03, 000 200 ,000 C o nti n ue E m i s s i on s I n ve nto r y & TE IS S Tech ni c a l S u p port 98, 000 DUST E n han ce d A m bi ent D a ta A nal ys i s - C o H 50, 000 U p date H a n dbo ok 20 ,000 Pi l o t Pr o j e c t - N M 80 ,000 A d di t i on to Fi ne Frac ti o n 30, 000 A M BI ENT M O NI T O RI NG A ND REPORT I N G C a use s of H a z e 225 ,000 1 00,0 0 0 A T T R I BUT I O N OF HA Z E P h as e 2 Tec hni ca l S u ppo rt C o n t rac t or 75, 000 W I GIM S Im pl em ent ati o n 1 67, 000 A I R M A NA GERS COM M I T T E E Con t r a ct or As si st a n c e 1 30, 000 S t ate C auc us C oord i na tor 1 20, 000 120 ,000 H e al th an d E n vi ro nm ent al A s s e ss m ent of H a ze -Re l at ed I m p r ov em ents 15, 000 Tradi ti on al Tri b a l P r a c ti ces a nd R e gi o nal H a z e 10, 000 3 08 Im p l em en tati on W o rk Gro u p - S t at e a nd Tri b a l S u p p o r t 76, 000 W o rks h o p s on E ffec t i v e C o l l a b o ra ti on 35, 000 C O MMU N I C A T I O N S C O MM I T T E E P u bl i c O u t r eac h a nd C o m m u n i c ati on o n W R A P Iss ues 55, 000 W e b S i te M a i n tenance 23, 500 25 ,000 S u btotal for P e n d in g P r ojec ts 2,4 19, 000
C o n t r act S u btotal 

### F Y O5 Gran t

2,0 91,0 0 0



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### Figure 1. Strategic Plan Timeline (Updated October 13, 2004).

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### Figure 2. Summary of 2018 Regional Haz e Control Strategy Evaluations (March 2005).2018Base Case Control Programs•Federal on-road andnon-road mobile emissions•§309SIPs (5-state SO2Annex)•Controllable fire emissions (use 2000-04 baseline for 2018)•Pointandareasources:1)Statutes and rules “on the books” asof12/2004 tobeimplementedbefore20182)Sources to be operationalbefore 2018(permitted and underconstructionasof12/2004)3)IncludesquantifiedSIPmeasures,NEAPs,EACs, MACT, etc.4)Accounts foreconomic and demographic factors2018Base Case Definition•Known control programs, i.e., whatemissions will be in 2018if noadditional controls are adopted•Projected from2002 emissions (2000-04 in the caseof fire emissions)2018Regional Control OptionsCaliforniaPM2.5andozoneSIPmeasuresBART- individual eligiblesources added up for regional analysisPoint Source backstop cap and trade forBART + other point sources, options for:Regional NOxRegional SO2Nested §309SO2Others?Fire - greater application of Emissions ReductionTechniques for fire emissions to meetdefinition ofregionally consistent enhanced smokemanagement programs – sensitivity evaluationDust - greater control levels and/or spatial extentof existing Dust Control programs – sensitivityevaluation3⁄4Area sources in general3⁄4Dust sources in generalJune throughSeptember 2005October 2005through March2006Not for regionalanalysis



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## II. PROJECT S U MM ARIES

Initia tives Overs i g ht Committee

The IOC provides overall direction and review to the f o rum s evalua ting p o tential em issions control strategies for regional haze in the W e st. The IOC has identified two general areas of investigatio n rela ted to how the work of the individual forum s mi ght be aggregated into regional haze plan s.

IO1: Reasonable Progress Criteria

The regional haze ru le requires s t ates , when esta b lishing reaso n able prog ress goals, to consider the followin g statu t ory f actors : th e cost of com p l i ance, the tim e necessary for com p liance, the energy and nonair quality environm ental im pacts of com p liance, and the rem a ining useful life of any potentially affected source. Furtherm ore, st ates m u st include a dem o nstration in their SIPs showing how these factors were taken into consid eration in selecting each goal. The purpose of this task is to explore these factors (e.g., how they have been used or interpreted in other environm ental program s) and to provide further definition and guidance wi th respe c t to using them in a regional haze SIP dem onst r ation.

IO2: Process for Identifying C ontrol Strategies

The W R AP strategic plan iden tifies a “navigatio nal challe nge” identifying and selecting

em ission control strategies am ong the large number of those potentially av ailable. It also provides som e general ideas on how to “narrow the fi eld.” T h e purpose of this task is to develop a process by which the most effective contro l strategies will be identified and refined.

Stationar y Sources Joint Forum

The focus of the SSJF is on developing a stationa ry source control program to help meet the reasonable progress and BART requi rem e nts of the Clean Air Act and Regional Haze Rule. The WRAP approach focuses on m a rket-based altern atives to a plant-by-plant approach, with a particular emphasis on SO2 and NOx. This wo rk plan assum e s that source-by-source BART approaches will be undertaken by th ose jurisd ictions which choose to im plem ent BART under Section 308(e)(1) of the Regional Haze Rule.

The SSJF will conduct th e analys es n ecessary to s upport m a rket-bas ed alternatives, such as identifying BART-eligible sources and dem onstrat ing tha t a ny alte rnativ es dem onstrate greater reasonab l e p r ogress that BART per Section 308 (e )(2 ). The S S JF will als o help coord i nate any plant-by-plant BART analyses the stat es or tribes m a y choose to pursue.

Other activities by th e SSJF will include tracking EPA’s BART rules an d proposed guidelines. The SSJF will also work with the 309 Coordi natin g Comm ittee to conduct any additio n al analyses that m a y be necessary to allow states an d trib es to re subm it the SO2 m ileston e and backstop em issions trading program following the court’s decision in CEE D v. EPA.

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### Finally, NOx and PM em issions m u st be addressed in such a way as to satisfy the SIP revision requirem e nts under Section 309 of the Regional H aze Rule, as well as th e Section 30 8 BART requirem e nts for all states.

W o rk will in clude em issions invento r y analys is , improvem e nts, and f u ture year pro j ec tions;

exam ination of control technology capabilities; m a intenance of the list of BART-eligible sources in the W R AP region; and technical dem onstrations that alternatives deve loped for BART provide for greater reasonable progress than BART.

There are several un certainties th at must be factored into this work. These include the final federal rules for Best Available Retrofit Tec hnology (BART) which are scheduled to com e out June (308(e)(1)) and Novem b er (308(e)(2)) 2005, and the extent to which W R AP states and tribes choose to im plement source -specific BART rather than an alternative em issions trading
program . As a resu lt, th ere is a need to m a inta in f l exibility in program design and to assess new inform ation as it becom e s available, incl uding inform ation from ongoing WRAP technical studies whic h will prov ide m o re inf o rm ation on th e contr i bution of various sources to regiona l haze in the W e st. A single contrac t or or te am of contracto r s will be sou ght for consistency ove r the cours e o f the projec t, as develop i ng a poi nt a nd area sou r ce progr am will be an iterative process and m a y require revisi ting analyses as assum p tions change or new data becom e available.

The f o rum will a l so con duct ac tivities needed to address sou r ces and / or pollutants w h ich ar e not included in the alternative program s.

In summ ary, to the ex ten t prac tic al, a nd as reques t ed by W R AP m e m b ers, the f o rum will coordinate the im ple m e n tation of BART and ad dress trading program design issues, such as 2018 and interim m ilestones; geographic, new sour ce, and tribal considerations; m onitoring and reporting requirem e nts; enforcem ent provisions; econom ic impact assessm e nts; and a general

m e thod for a llowance allocation.

Fire Emissions Joint Forum

The FEJF projects id entified in th e existi ng 2005 W R AP Workplan, and the proposed FEJF projects for the 2006 W R AP W o rkpla n, fall into two m a in categories:

1) The first grouping includes Planning projects to directly suppor t the developm ent of policy and technical tools for SIP/TIP developm ent under §308. 2) The second grouping includes Im plem entation projec ts to direc tly sup port the ex isting f i re policies and program s applicable to the im ple m e n tation needs for §309 and §308.

The allocation of funding for the ongoing and planned 2005 and proposed 2006 FEJ F projects is presented below at the end of the FEJF workpla n. In addition to reprog ramm ing funds allocated to FEJF in the 2005 WRAP Workplan, additi onal 2006 Workplan funding in the am ount of $115,000 is identified.

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### PLANNING

FF“C”: 2002 Inventory of W ildfire and Prescribed F i re: Phase I & P h ase II

This project was funded and started in 2003 an d will continue into early 2005. The 2002 base year inven t o r ies will be prepared for the contig uous W R AP region for wild fi re, prescri b ed fi re, and wildland fire use on wildland and rangeland. Agricultural bu rning is a l so in cluded. Phase I developed an initial em ission inventory to allo w the RMC to initialize the 2002 m odeling efforts. Phase II inv o lves furthe r refinem e nt of the Phas e I inventory with greater QA/QC and state/tribal review of the f i re activity estim ates. Data colle ction to sup port estim a tes of private rangeland burning and augm entation of agricultural burn i ng will occur in Phase II. The 2002 em ission invento r y will include “anthropogen i c” / “natu r al ” apportion m ent to support th e Attribution of Haze reports. These projects d i rectly support th e modeli ng for the §308 S I Ps/TIPs.

At the request of WRAP states, s t atewide CERR Reports for US EPA wi ll be developed for the Phase I I in ventory f o r

all f i re so urces. Th is will a llow W R AP states to subm it to US EPA reports, which will pa rtially f u lf ill th e sta t es’ em issions inv e n t ory repo rtin g requir e m e nts.

The task of generating QC wildfire and prescrib ed fire notebooks specifically for Federal Land Managers w a s not included in the original Phase II scope of work. This task was requested by the FEJF in the fall of 2004. This portion of the project was funded by reprogramm ing 2005 funding.

FF6/3: Phase III and Phase IV Inventor ies & Assessm ent of Apportionm ent Methods

This project was funded in 2004 and will be started in early 2005. Phase III is for the Baselin e Planning Apportionm ent and create a 2000-2004 represen tative em issions inventory. Phase IV is for the 2018 Planning Apportionm ent and will be a 2018 repres entative inventory. The 2018 inventory may include a range of potential con t rol scenarios and possible ranges of em issions to reflect the h i gh degree o f uncertainty in th is typ e of forecast. The inven t ories will b e prepared for the W R AP region for wildfire, pres crib ed fire, and wildland fi re use on w ildland and rangeland as well as agricultural burning. This e ffort also includes developm ent of technical approaches to apportion the im pact of fire e m issions between “natural” and “anthropogenic” source categories. These projec ts directly support the m odeling for the §308 SIPs/TIP s.

This second portion of the project was f unded by reprogramm i ng 2005 funding and will be
star ted af te r com p letion of the Phase III and Pha s e IV inven t ories. The a ddition a l a s s e ssm ent of apportionm e n t m e thods is necessary to assess th e im pact of th e various fire em issions invento r ies and apportionm e nt m e thods. This project direc tly supports the m odel assessm e nt for the §308 SIPs/TIPs.

FF7: 2002 National W ildfire Em issions Inventory

This project was funded and started in 2004. The 2002 National em issions inventory f o r wildfire will be dev e loped th ro ugh an inter-RPO effor t funded by EPA, based on a sco p e of work discussed amongst the RPOs. The FEJF has l ead RPO re sponsibilities for this project. These projects directly support the m odeling for the §308 SIPs/TIP s.

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### The 2002 National inventory is of the m o st bene fit to the WRAP in pe rform i ng a com p arative analysis to the WRAP 2002 Phase II wildfire i nventory. This com p arative analysis would identify the specific ch anges and improvem e nt s between the tw o wildfire inventories. The im ple m entation of FCCS for fuel loading for the W R AP region in the National inventory is being evaluated on its technical merits by the FEJF. The Nati onal inventory pa ired with a

com p arative analysis would also be beneficial to the WRAP for the 2018 inventory to reflect sensitivity to the specific changes and im provem e nts between the two inve ntories. Upon further evaluation, this task m a y be requested by the FEJF in early 2005 with 2005 funding. This task directly supports the m o deli ng needs for the §308 SIPs/TIPs.

FF12: Sm oke Managem e nt Technical and Policy W o rkshop

This project was funded in 2005 and will be s t ar ted in 2005. A three-d a y workshop in late 2005 is planned to assess technical work to date, §309 policy and SIP i m ple m entation and refinem e nt of policy options under §308. This effort will build on the two FEJF workshops held in 2004 t o ensure that the needed techni cal and policy tools are in place for SIP/TIP developm ent under §308.

IMPLEMENTATION

FF9: Regional Coordination of Sm oke Ma nagem e nt Program s

This project was funded in 2003 and was started w ith in-kind support in early 2005. Regional Coordinatio n is a requ ir ed elem ent within th e E S MP Policy as coordination of burning activity (ranging f r o m passive to active ) is critica l to avoiding cumulative sm oke im pacts within and across source types in m a ndatory Class I areas. Avoiding cumulative smoke im pacts to cultural

resourc e s is also c r itica l . Method s f o r this in ter-ju r isd i c t ional and r e gional coordination will need to be developed for wildland and agricultur al prescribed fire sm oke m a nage m e nt program s , inform ation sharing, and public notification. Proposed options wi ll be developed, and then presented and reviewed at a fac ilitated conference, to be held in 2005. The task of developing proposed options m a y require a facilitated pro cess. Upon further evaluation, the need for a facilitated process m a y be identified by th e FEJF in early 2005 with reprogrammed 2005 funding. This project directly s upports the im plem entation of the ESMP requirem e nt in §309 as well as sim ilar im plem entation issues for §308.

FF5/8: Fire Tracking System

Portions of this project were funded prior to 2002 as well as in 2004, 2005, and 2006 and will start in 2005 and continue in to 2006/2007. E v aluation of existin g fire em issions inventory system s to develop a F i re Tr acking System as identif ied in the Fir e Tra c king Syste m policy to calculate em issions from fire activity data. Develop user gui dance to support the FTS Policy identifying a specific form at, para m e ters, defaults , structure and m e thods of e m ission calculation for required and optional FTS elem e n ts. Develop us er guidance to support the tracking of ERTs and the calculation of em issions av erted, wh ich is an op tion a l FTS Policy elem ent. This project

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### direc tly sup ports the implem e ntation of the FTS and AEG requirements in §309 as well as sim ilar im plem entation issues for §308.

In support of the AEG Policy, an annotated bib liography on ERTs was com p leted in the spring of 2004. Through the use of in-kind support, work was initiated in the fall of 2004 to develop technical guidance on ERTs applicable for w ildland, rangeland, and agricultural burning for use in the establishm ent and support of AEGs. Upon com p letion of the technical guidance, it w ill becom e integral to the m e thod to calculate th e em ission benefits of ERTs within the FTS.

FF“D”: Sensitiv ity Runs Phase II: Reg i onal & Mesosc ale

This project was funded in 2003 a nd, now that the ini tial Model Assessm ent/Sensitivity Runs are

com p lete, will be started in 2005. Conduct an air quality source/im pact analysis with two scales of m odeling: regional and m e so scale. The regio n al-scale m odeling features chem istry capacity with reg i on al and long er tem poral scales. Th e m e soscale m odeling features com p lex terrain capacity with s m aller geographic and tem poral scales. To gether, thes e two approaches will provide a comprehensive analysis of potential de m i ni m u s levels to ass i st states and tribes with

m a xi m i zing efficiency for fire tracking, public notification and regional coordination. This project directly supports the im plem e n tation of the FTS and E S MP requirem e nts in §309 as well as sim ilar implem e ntation issues for §308.

FF2: User Guidan ce and Review of Feasib ility Criter ia f

o r W R AP Fire Policie s

This project was funded by repr ogramming 2005 funding and will be s t arted in 2006. Feasibility criteria for the im ple m entation of smoke m a nagem e nt policies and program s were identified in the RHR as efficiency, econom ics, law, em i ssion reduction opportunitie s, land managem e nt objectives a nd reduc tio n of visib i lity im pact. F u rtherm ore, as des c rib e d in the IOC transm itta l letter reg a rd ing th e 200 1 Fire Categ o riza tion Policy, im plica tions to cultural resou r c e s will a l so be exam ined. Feasibility criteria were adopted into the W R AP Fire Policies which in addition to the RHR criteria includ e safety, technical and environm ental conc erns. As States and Tribes assess their program options for addressing sm oke from fire under §308, additional guidance will be needed as to the app l ication of th ese c r iteria f o r f easib ility dete rm inations. The W R AP called for further user guidance to be developed to support the existing WRAP Policy fo r Categoriz ing Fire Emissions. This project directly supports the impl e m e n tation of the requirem e nts in §309 as well as sim ilar im plem entation issues for §308.

11

### Funding * 

### C o d e P r o j e c t T i t l e 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 Planning FF”C” 2002 Inventory of W ildfire and Prescribed F i re: Phase I & Phase II 25,000

FF6/3 Phase III & Phas e IV Inventories & Assessm ent of Apportionm ent Methods 163,224 25,000 FF7 2002 National W ildfire Em issions Inventory (Inter-RPO) 26,500 FF12 Sm oke Managem e nt Technical and Policy W o rkshop 25,000 Imple m enta tion FF9 Regional Coordination of Sm oke Ma nagem e nt Program s 50,000 FF5/8 Fire Tracking System 85,000 100,000 **


### FF”D” Sensitiv ity Runs Phase II: Reg i onal & Mesoscale (RMC) 45,000 FF2 User Guidan ce and Review of Feasibility Criter ia f

o r WRAP Fire Policies 60,000

Dust Emissions Joint Forum

DF1: Establish a Common Definition of Dust and Dust Em ission Types

This project is described in pr evious WRAP wor k plans. Duri ng the initial contractor bidding process, it w a s determ ined that the scope of work and budget should be increased from $45,000 to $65,000. Hence, $20,000 in additional funds is requested for this project.

DF3: Determ ination of Fugitive Dust PM2.5 to PM10 Ratios

This project is described in pr evious WRAP wor k plans. An additional $30,000 is requested to
ensure pro j e c t com p letio n, colle ction of additiona l sam p les (f or a to tal g r e a ter than f i v e ), and/o r integ r ation o f results into AP-42 and W R AP e m is sions and air quality m o deling efforts.

DF6: Analysis of Sources and C ontrol Options in High-Dust Areas

This project was described in previous W R AP work plans, bu t was not funded at the tim e. Hence, a revised, m o re detailed description is provid ed here. This project is a pilot s t u dy to tes t and dem onstrate how various WRAP technical and policy products can b e integ r ated to address the contribu tion of dust to regional h aze at Cla ss I areas in th e W R AP region. Streng ths and weaknesses of the W R AP products w ill be identified so that they m a y be im proved before state and tribal implem entatio n plans are finalized. Re sults will be shared w ith other W R AP m e m b ers to inform their planning and assessm ent processes.

* Fun d i ng repro g ramm ed from FEJF allo catio n i n 2 005 Wo rkp l an (FFY04 Fun d i n g ) com b in ed with an ad d ition a l $ 115 ,0 00 all o cated i n t h e 20 06 W o rkp l an ( F FY 05 Fund in g)

. ** $ 5 0

, 00 0 in 20 06 and $ 5 0

, 00 0 in 20 07

.



### 12

### The NM Environm ent Departm e nt Air Quality B u reau (AQB) will take th e lead in this ef f

o rt and provide project results. The Cla ss I area (s) se lec t ed in NM for the pilot project will have m a ny of its 20% worst visibility days dom i n ated by dus t and will be representative of other dustim pacted Class I areas in the Southwest. The WRAP products to be used in the study, to the extent available, will include the Desert Re search Institute’s anal ysis of ambient data; ENVIRON’s f ugitive du st em issions invento r y an d m odeling procedur e f o r wind eros ion; Countess Environm ental’s Fugi tive Dust Handbook; the dust de finition under developm ent; and the Attribution of Haze results. To the exten t po ssible, the ro le of dust transport from Mexico will also be exam ined (e.g., by examining variou s transbound ary stud ies and coordinating efforts with DF2, Enhanced Ambient Data Analysis).

The duration of the study is expected to be nine months. The study will include the developm ent of a general em issions inventory of all source s ass o ciated with dust-r e la ted haze with in the selected Class I Area. T h e em ission inventory will likely be subcontracted, and the AQB would act as project m a nager to ensure com p letion of the project in a tim ely and costly m a nner. The AQB will us e the em ission invento r y and the to o l s provided b y the W R AP to develop a SIPquality analysis for dust-related haze in Class I areas.

Inter-Relationship of Dust Em ission Joint Forum Projects

Dust Defi ni ti o n an d Ca te g o r i z a t i o n DF 1

Fi ne Fra c ti on

E v a l ua ti on DF 3 Area S o ur ce Dust I n ve nt or y

W i nd bl o w n Dust I n ve nt or y DF 4 CM A Q Mo de l i ng

A ttri b uti o n

of Ha z e

A m bien t Da t a An al y s i s

DF 2 NM S I P Pilo t DF 6

Me x i ca n D u s t C h ara c ter i zati on

(n ot f u n d e d) F u g i t i ve D u st

H a nd b o ok DF 5

Dust Defi ni ti o n an d Ca te g o r i z a t i o n DF 1

Fi ne Fra c ti on

E v a l ua ti on DF 3 Area S o ur ce Dust I n ve nt or y

W i nd bl o w n Dust I n ve nt or y DF 4 CM A Q Mo de l i ng

A ttri b uti o n

of Ha z e

A m bien t Da t a An al y s i s

DF 2 NM S I P Pilo t DF 6

Me x i ca n D u s t C h ara c ter i zati on

(n ot f u n d e d) F u g i t i ve D u st

H a nd b o ok DF 5



### 13

### Mobile Sou rces Forum

The MSF work plan is a continuation of the pr ior work plan. No new projects or funding are being added. Below are summari es of the existing projects.

MS1: WRAP Offr oad Retrofit Program

Initiated in the summ er of 2004, the goal of the re trofit program is to promote voluntary em ission reductions from existing offroad vehicles and equipm ent in the W R AP region. In 2005-06, the MSF, with contractor support, will continue to provide W R AP m e m b ers and vehicle/equipm ent owners with written guidance, te chnical support, outreach services , identification of incentives and public policy options, and examples of su ccessful efforts and reduction opportunities.

MS2: Offroad Retrofit Credits

The MSF will work with the EPA and other s t ake holders to d e velop and implem e nt, if appropriate, a program that uses retrofits of existing offroad sources to generate credits for

com p liance with new engine em ission standards under the T i er IV nonroad diesel regulations. EPA has indicated an interest in working w ith stakeholders during 2004 – 2005 to exam ine the f

easibility of this com p liance opt ion and im ple m ent it if appropr iate. Other uses of offroad retrofit credits (e.g., for use in SIPs and TIPs ) will be addressed by the Forum as needed.

MS3: Review of EPA Analyses and Proposals

The MSF will r e view an d where app r opria te reco mmend W R AP comm en ts on EPA technica l analyses (e.g., for s m all nonroad diesel engine s) and regulatory propos als (e.g., for ocean-going vessels and locom o tives).

Sources In and Near Class I Areas Forum

IN1: Update Near Inventory and Displays

The goal of this pro j ect is to rep l ace the 1996 m a ps and data curren tly on the In /Near website with 2002 maps and data, and to add som e additi onal features. The 2002 products will likely b e developed b y the W I GI MS / Technical Data Po rtal p r oject. The Forum will cooperate in this project, and as necess a ry ENVIRON (the dev e lop e r of the 199 6 m a ps and data), to tran sfer the

em ission estim a tion procedures and display m e t hods carefully developed for the 1996 data into the new system

.

IN2: In/Near Strategies for Reasonable Progress

This project will id entif y which contr o l str a teg i es m a y be most ef f

ective at address i ng local sources of visibility im pairm e nt. As a f i rst s t e p, the Forum will hire a con t racto r to ide n tif y all the PM 10 

### SIPs, m a intenance plans, and natural events action plans in the West focused prim arily

14

### on local, prim ary sources of PM. Many of the exis ting plans rely on one or two contr o l str a teg i es f

o r the bulk of em ission reductions. A subset of th ese plans w ill b e selecte d f o r f u rther review. The plans se lected, in to tal, will cove r a var i ety o f control s t ra tegy type s. They will a l so be selected on the basis of their historical record – that is, they should provide a sufficient history of

am bient data and im plem entation and enforcemen t experien ce to offer le ssons and insights to groups involved in Class I area vis i bility p r ot ection (federal land m a nage rs, state and local officials, environm ental groups, etc. ). The result of this projec t will be a report summarizing the approach, success, and lim ita tions of the m o st common PM 10 

### control m e a s ures; their applicability and transfer ability to Class I areas; and a list of contacts for more information. It will in clude am bient PM 10 

### data for the areas studied and summ aries of interviews with of f i cials who i m plemented and enforce the strategies. This project is underway and should be com p leted in the summer of 2005.

Economic Anal y sis Forum

EA2: Developm ent of Baseline Econom ic Data for States and Tribes

Baseline econom i c and dem ographic data (2002 a nd 2018) are required to assess the potential

econom ic impacts of proposed haze reduction strategi es. A particular challe nge within this task will be the c ontinued co llection and developm ent of triba l ba selin e data. This portion of the effort will b e closely co ordinated with the Tr ibal Data Developm ent W o rk Group (TDWG) and with the ongoing joint RPO effort to define appr opriate tribal econom ic data requirem ents and
tem p lates. The overall data co llec t ion ef f

o rt is being coordinated with the Em issions and Station a ry S ource Join t Forum s (ERG contract ) because m a ny baseline em issions are based on the sam e types of econom ic and demographic da ta used in econom ic assessm ents. To date, baseline data has been collected for three states in the W R AP region at both the state and substate level as part of the recen tly-com p leted F r amework Test A pplication. These data were colle cted f r o m IMPLAN and the s t ate s them selves

. EAF will participa t e in the over a ll ef f

o rt to

com p ile baseline d a ta f o r the r e m a ining W R AP states.

An RFP has been written to com p ile com p rehe nsive baseline data for the rem a ining WRAP states. The RFP is undergoing fi nal modifications before issuan ce. The final baseline data product is expected to be deliv ered late summ er 2005. Developm ent of t h e baseline econom ic and dem ogr aphic data includes caref u l docum enta tion of both the process and sources em ployed. In addition, that docum entation will include easily applied rule sets for bo th m odifications (if needed) and deconfliction as new inform ation b ecom e s available over next 2-3 years. The EAF and its contractor will provide assistance to W R AP and its res p ectiv e stak eholders in generating those required baseline data a nd projection updates as part of th e overall analyses processes as spelled out in the 2003-2008 strategic plan. In c oncert with the Em issions and Stationary Source Joint Forum s , the EAF and its support contract or would work to ensure consistency is

m a intained between the baseline projections and their subsequent use by the Air Quality Modeling F o rum in the conduct of its m odel runs of the alternative broad strategy formulations.

The TDDWG, in concert with the joint-RPO sponsor ed contractor are working toward a standard data “tem plate” which is designed to for m ally and effectively develop the needed demographic and economic data and data sets required to support consistent econom ic impact and tradeoff

15

### analys is by all. The trib al base line work will implem e nt that tem p late a s it works to ward a

com p lete picture of trib al condition s , and for ecasts, in the WRAP re gion. The EAF will delay developm ent and collection of trib al baseline data until summ er 2005, when the template is to be

com p leted.

EA3: Enhancem e n t of Cost and Benefit Un it Values Used in W R AP Economic Analys is

The net ben e fit calcula ted for any haze redu ctio n stra tegy will d e pend h eavily on bo th the un it cost values (e.g., $/ton pollutant reduced) a nd the unit benefit values (e.g., $/deciview im prove m e nt and $/statistical life saved). Thes e values are available from only a limited num ber of studies. The EAF wi ll actively seek partners to com p lete the ef f

o rt of improving existing air quality unit cost and benefit values . It will also tack ongoing efforts, such as the National Park Service’s effort to im prove benefit values for visi bility im provem ents in national parks. As unit values a r e improved f o r costs and b e nef its, ca re will be take n as to whether and how the data

m a y be tailored to su it w e stern v i s i bility assessm ent purpose s

. EA4: Screening T ool

The screening tool will be ba sed on the W R AP Econom ic Analysis F r am e w ork but allow m o re routine, rapid, and cost-effective applications fo r assessing and ranking a variety and num b er of individual possible control m easures. The W R AP Fram e w ork, in turn, w ould be used m o re occasion a lly to asses s “p ackages” of contro l strate gies that have eith er been well defin e d and/or are nearing serious consider ation by WRAP stakeholders.

Bef o re proc eeding with developm ent of the scr e ening too l , the EAF will explore opp ortunitie s to collaborate with other RPOs and with EPA, wh ic h has already develope d m a ny components of a screening tool and integrated them into a program called ASAP. Depending on the status and plans of ASAP, it is possible that no new tool would be needed, but ra the r a ta ilo ring of existing tool(s ).

EA5: Coordination and Outreach

This is an ongoing and inherent task of the Fo rum. As noted above, the Em issions Forum and Econom ic Analysis Fo ru m will co-develop and sh are a common set of eco nom i c and dem ographic baseline d a ta. In addition, because econom ic analysis is dependent upo n results f r om air qua lity m odelin g, the EAF will work c l osely with the Air Quality Modeling Forum

. A critical area of coordination will b e with tribal is sues (e.g., b a seli ne data, distribution a l im pacts, and alterna t ive cost/bene f it unit va lue s ). Finally, outreach to ot her W R AP Forum s and stakeholders is im portant to ensure proper us e and understanding of econom ic principles and analytical results, especially s i nce fo rm al, com p rehensive econom i c analys is is no t ty pically a part of state, local, and tribal air quality analysis efforts. To improve coordination and outreach, the EAF will take advantage of W R AP-wide m eetings to hos t period ic workshops on th e application of the tools and in terpretation of results of the Fo rum ’ s analyses fram ework and supporting data sets.

16

### EA6: Econom ic Assessm ent Capability

The EAF and its supporting contractor(s) will pr ovide W R AP and its stakeholders w ith som e level of on-going econom i c asse ssment capability. This m a y in clude consultation, guidance on the use of various econom i c data and m odels, and econom ic analysis.

Air Q ualit y Modelin g Forum

The Air Quality Modelin g Forum has two m a jor areas of activ ity p l anned f o r April 200 5 through Septem ber 2006. The Regional Modeling Center will continue operation, to apply the tools and im prove m e nts developed in 2003-04, using the sam e tea m of contractors. A list of tasks is provided below, with a final RMC work plan com p leted, as described below and in a larger separate docum ent, for 2005-06. The final RMC wo rk plan is in the process of being a m ended into the existing RMC contract. The second m a jo r area of activity is to review m e teorological modeling results for Class I areas in Alaska, and perform nec e ssary and useful Alaska air quality modeling.

MF1: Regional Modeling Center

The Modeling Forum pl ans to continue operation of the Regional Modeling Center (RMC) with the sam e team of contractors as their single m a jo r project, including m odeling of Alaska regional haze. The RMC will con tinue to prov ide doc um entation of their ongo ing analys is work (including support of th e Attr ibutio n of Haze Workgroup an d Fire Em issions Join t Forum sensitivity analyses), protocol s and technical support docum ents for the various analyses and work products, and dissem inating this inform ation through monthly Modeling Forum conference calls, the R M C E-Mail listserv, and periodic m e etings.

The proposed 2005-06 work plan for the RMC will prim arily focus on completing em issions processing and air quality m odeling evaluations of revised and final 2002 em issions and 2018

em issions projections. T h e RMC has prepared a specific 2005-06 cost proposal and w o rk plan that has been reviewed and approved by the Modeling Forum

, and the R M C contract is now being am ended to reflect this work plan. Be low is a list of RMC activities for 2005-06. These tasks continue work from earlier RMC work plan s as iden tified in the WRAP Strategic Plan.

• 

### Process revised 2002 emissions and 2018 em issions projections

• 

### Update new model codes for SMOKE, MCIP, and CMAQ as needed

• 

### Continue to update post-production displays

• 

### Run CMAQ and CAMx models with 2002 and 2018 inputs

• 

### Conduct source apportionm ent/sensitivity m odel runs

• 

### QA/QC:

o Im plem ent version con t rol m echanism

o EI data file to SMOKE ou tputs analysis & reports

o Model perform a nce evaluation

• 

### Summ er 2005 - 2002 final base case m odeling results report

• 

### Fall 2005

o 2018 final base case m o deling results report, followed by:

17

### o 2018 base case final source apportionm ent m ode ling results report

• 

### Late 2005/m i d-2006 - T h ree to five [3-5] 2018 c ontrol strategy sensitivity m odeling results reports

MF2: Alaska Region Modeling

This portion of the RMC work is aim e d at pr ov iding a cred ible eval uation of the potential contribution s to reg i onal haze in the Class I areas of Alaska that are m o re likely to be affected by in-state em issions, nam e ly Tuxedni and Denali. During 2004, the RMC com p leted tw o tasks: 1) Develop appropriate m e thods for running MM5 ov er central Alaska, including Cook Inlet, the Alaska Range, to north of Fairbanks, and 2) R un MM5 for this region for several tim e periods
repres enting dif f

e rent se asonal and m e teorological cond itio ns and evalu a te th e m e teorological model results. During Spring 2005, RMC staff will presen t th e results of th eir work to date at a technical m eeting in Alaska. Pending m o re speci f i c direction after that m e eting, the 2005 Alaska modeling ta sks will f o cu s on:

• 

### Assum i ng the MM5 m o del test period runs ar e credible, run the MM5 m o del for all of 2002.

• 

### Then run a LaGrangian model, such as CALP UFF, f o r the lar g est poin t so urces in the region (up to about 10, addr essing BART) - provide a m o deling results report.

• 

### Run the LaGrangian model [chosen previously] to evalu a te the potential for im pacts from the urban areas of Anchorage and F a irba nks - provide a m o deling results report.

Summary of RMC Work Plan for 2005-06

As part of the 2003 work plan, the RMC com p l e ted §309 modeling for regional haze plans that were due Decem ber 2003 and began work on tasks a ssociated with §308 requirem e nts. Efforts in 2003 and 2004 included developing ne w e m issions and m e teorology data sets for calendar year 2002 to be used in regional haze m odeling to support §308 SIPs and TIPs; implem e nting im prove m e nts to existing m odeling tools; and deve loping and testing new an alysis tools. Major activities in the 2004 work plan included developm ent of em issions data for use in the 2002 modeling, m e teorology m odeling on both the 36-km and nested 12-km grid, testing and QA of prelim inary em issions data for calendar year 2002, developm ent and evaluation of m odeling tools for the Alaska region, and source a pportionm e nt m odeling using the 2002 datasets.

The following table lists high priority tasks for the 2005-06 work plan, most of whi c h are continuation of tasks begun either in 2003 or 2004 m odeling effort. More detailed descriptions of these 2005 tasks are provided in Section 3 of the RMC work plan (separate document). The RMC will c onsist of the sam e team of contracto r s with th e University o f Calif ornia Riversid e (UCR) as the prim e contracto r , and ENVIRON Corporation and the University of North Carolina (UNC) as subcontractors.

18

### Deliverables for the 2005-06 RMC w o rk plan.

Ta sk Deliverables Da te Budge t

Task 1.1 Pr oject Administrati on Ongoing tas k s include conference calls a n d

m eet i ng, p r ese n t a t i ons , a n d p r o j ect c o o r di na t i on. 1. Pr og ress R e po rt s 2. M ont hl y Pr o j ect M a na gem e nt Calls
3. M ont hl y M o del i n g F o r u m Calls
4

. Presen t In teri m Resu lts at WRAP M eetin gs (pe n din g sche dul e of f o r u m m e et i ngs) M ont hl y M ont hl y M ont hl y As nee d ed $9 9, 0 65

T a sk 1. 2 Ma j o r Rep o rts $ 750 0 Jeann e Eich ing e r $ 750 0 JE

$ 750 0 JE

$1 2, 0 0 0 JE 1. Fi nal rep o rt 20 0 4
2. 2 0 0 2 m odel per f o r m a nce (s ee Task 4)
- Dr af t Rep o rt o n 200 2 M odel i n g

- Fi nal R e po rt o n 20 0 2 M odel i n g 3. 2 0 1 8 base c a se m odel i ng ( s ee Task 4)

- D r aft R e po r t on 2 0 1 8 ba se

- Fi nal R e po rt o n 20 1 8 base
4

. RMC 20 05 -0 6 Proj ect Fi n a l

R e po rt (i ncl u d e s as a ppe n d i ces

r e po r t s on each 20 18 con t ro l scenari o – fo r SIPs/T IPs. ) 4/ 0 5

8/ 0 5
10/ 05

10/ 05
12/ 05

th ro ugh 8/ 0 6 $ 110 ,4 59

Task 1.3 Computer S y ste m s Administr a ti on 1

. Mai n tain Web s ite and Listservs
2. C o m puter sy ste m s main ten a n ce O ngo ing
O ngo ing $7 8, 5 62

T a sk 2. E m i s si ons M o del i n g and Pr ocessi ng A

. Fin a l 2 002 V e r s i o n A em i ssio n s and QA
rep o rts
B

. SM O K E - n e w M e xi co E I

, ne w C a nada E I
C

. “i m p rove d" WR AP re gi o n 20 0 2 E I s fr om EDMS
D

. Typ i cal Fir e 200 0-0 4
E. In itial W R AP reg i on 20 18 b a se case EI
F. 20 1 8 c ont rol st rat e gy sce n a r i o s fr om ED M S : 5
cases, one of which is the B A RT EI from Task 6
G. 2 0 1 8 U pdat e s f r om ot her R P Os 36

- k m em i ssi ons (Fi n al 02a )
12

- k m em i ssi ons (Fi n al 02a

_ 1 2 )

Fin a l 200 2 v e rsio n B em issio n s (Fi n al 02 b)
Fin a l 200 2 v e rsio n C
Base 2018 em issions 6/ 0 5
6/ 0 5

6/ 0 5
9/ 0 5

st art i ng 9/ 0 5

o ngo ing $ 168 ,0 79

T a sk 3. Mete orol ogi c a l m o del i n g: N o ne w work pl anne d $ 0



### 19Ta sk Deliverables Da te Budge t

T a sk 4. Ai r Qual i t y M o de l i n g A. C A M x E v a l uat i on

B. CAM x and/o r CMAQ: M X an d Can a d a Em issions Updates

C. CA M x and/o r CMAQ : 200 2 I m p r ov ed Em issions from EDMS

D

. Repo r t on 2 002 Mod e ling in clud ing : 1) M odel i n g rep o r t –

em i ssi ons, m e t , pr oce d u r es 2) i ndi vi dual m o d e l di ag no st i c anal y s i s , 3) co m p lete p e rform a n ce an alysis m e trics fo r bot h m odel s 4) pr ot oc ol t o i d e n t i f y p r i m ary vs.

co rr obo r a tiv e an d

reco nci l e / c om pare/ a nal y ze 2 m odel s ’

resu lts 5) RRF/v isib ility p r oj ectio n pro t o c o l (b y species) finaliz ed

E. C A Mx and/ or CMAQ: 2018 Base Case us ing EDMS em issions

R e po rt o n 2 0 1 8 B a se C a se M odel i n g i n cl u d i ng: 1) i ndi vi dual m o d e l s ’ res u l t s , 2) appl y pr ot oc ol t o i d e n t i f y p r i m ary vs.

co rr obo r a tiv e an d

reco nci l e / c om pare/ a nal y ze 2 m odel s ’

resu lts 3) ap p l y RRF/v isi b ility p r oj ection p r o t o c o l

AQM si m u l a tions at ei t h er 36 -km or 1 2

- k m resol u tion f o r e ach of the five (5 ) 20 1 8 c ont r o l

e m issio n s scenario s listed in Task 2

. Pre 0 2 d 3 6km sim u l a t i on w/ M P E evaluation
Pre 0 2 d 1 2km sim u l a t i on w/ M P E

20 0 2 36 km si m u l a t i ons w/ M P E
12

- k m M P E si m u l a t i on w/ M P E

Fin a l 200 2 36km si m u latio n s w/M P E
Final 12km MPE w/MP E (op tion a l)

Dra f t p r ot oc ol and p p t prese n t a t i on Fi nal p r ot oc ol and p p t

Fi nal 2 0 1 8 ba s e case 36 -km si m u latio n s 12 km sim u l a t i ons ( o pt i onal )

Draft resu lts rep o rt an d pp t Fin a l resu lts rep o rt an d pp t

ppt for eac h sc enari o Fin a l resu lts in RMC 20 05 -06
rep o rt a n d ppt 4/ 3 0 / 0 5
5/ 3 0 / 0 5

6/ 0 5

7/ 0 5

6/ 0 5
8/ 0 5

10/ 05

10/ 05
12/ 05

12/ 05 – 7/ 0 6 By 8 / 06 $ 172 ,6 77



### 20Ta sk Deliverables Da te Budge t

Ta sk 5

. Wind Blo w n Dust Model Di ag no st i c eva l uat i on o f C M AQ

resu lts
Add itio n a l wo rk p e r DEJF:
1. M odi fy t r ans p ort fact o r s ?
2. M odi fy C o ar se & Fi ne

em i ssi ons fact ors 3. Natural v e rsu s Ant h r o po ge ni c em i ssi ons 4. Emissio n s Sensitiv ity Cases 4/ 0 5

th ro ugh 7/ 0 5
th ro ugh 7/ 0 5
th ro ugh 7/ 0 5
th ro ugh 8/ 0 5 $2 6, 0 33

Task 6. B A R T M o deling P r ojec t

A. Determ in e v i sib ility i m p act o fBARTelig ib le sources in t h e W R AP reg i on

. B. Determ ine the im provem ent from appl i cat i o n of B A R T t o so u r c e s base d on criteria from the EPA BART Rule as specified by t h e Sta tio n a ry Sou r ces Jo in t Forum

. C. From # 2 , pre p a r e up t o 3 WR AP regi o n al BART em issions sce n a r ios for 2018
cont rol st rategy scenari o m o deling

an alysis u s i n g CMA Q and / or CA Mx

m odel s

. M odel i n g pr ot ocol f o r A a n d B

, fo llowing

. Use CalPuff model a s s p ecifi ed in EPA Ap r il 20 05 ru le – Repo r t tab u l ating results
Use CalPuff model a s s p ecifi ed in EPA ru le, for ind i v i d u a l

sources m eeting c r iteria as
pr o v i d e d by S S JF – R e po rt tab u l ating results
B A R T re gi o n a l em i ssi ons scenari o s following c r iteria from SSJF – Sum m ary re port. 5/ 0 5
St art 6/ 05

St art 9/ 05

12/ 05 $ 105 ,2 39

T a sk 7. Fi re Sensi t i v i t y Ph ase 2 – Re gi on al and Mes o sc al e A. sm a ll fires and clusters i n a n d near Class I area s B. Large fire v e rtical d i str i bu tion – test EPA SMOKE tool 1) si m p le sen s itivity ru n, 2) devel o p ne w pl um e ri se m ode l fo r fires (o ptio nal) EI; AQM resu lts, pp t file, tex t fo r whi t e pape r N e w EI fo r w i ld f i r e , AQ M

resu lts, pp t file 9/ 0 5

9/ 0 5 $4 7, 2 24

Ta sk 8

. Co mpletio n of Alaska Mo deling
A. Prese n t MM5 and AQ wo rk to d a te – A p r il 26 -27

, 20 05

B. C ont i n ue regi o n al m odel i n g wo rk f o r Al aska ( opt i o n a l ) In itial Resu lts, reco mm en d a tio n s Final Report
TBD 4/ 0 5
5/ 0 5 n o 200 5-0 6 $

, co m p lete with 2 004 $



### 21Ta sk Deliverables Da te Budge t

T a sk 9. N a tu ral H a z e E m i ssi ons I n ve nt or y: Mo tiv atio n – id en tify m o d e l “floo r ” fo r clean

co nd itio ns (NOT attem p tin g to sim u late act u a l

n a tural cond itio n s )
Emissio n s m o des or d a ta are cu rren tly av ailab l e fo r: Natural wild fi res Natural du st emissio n s GEO S -C HEM bo u nda ry c o n d i t i ons Emissions m o de available b u t ne eds to be run: Sea Salt
Emissio n s Models still needed fo r these cate gories:
Li ght ni n g NO x Geoge n ic see p s and volcanoe s Em i ssi ons In ve nt o r y CMAQ Sim u la tio n After

n a tural du st EI is available $1 2, 2 65

Task 10. Source Appor t ionment:
Fina l repo rt on 200 4 mo d e li ng is in p r og ress. Add itio n a l m o d e l sim u latio n s u s i n g CAMx / PSAT

as nee d e d pen d i ng c o m p l e t i o n o f A Q M m ode l i ng in Task 4 So urce A p po rt i onm ent re po rt 4/ 0 5

9/ 0 5 $4 7, 3 76

Task 11. Te chnol o gy Tr ansfer an d Dat a Distribu tio n : Training clas se s available from CMAS.
Fr ee sup por t av ailab l e thr ough CMAS.
Ad di t i onal su p p o r t ca n be pr o v i d e d fr om RM C
tea m if requ est e d

. Met, Em issions, a n d AQM

resu lts av ailab l e to b e sen t b y FedE x o n po rt abl e di s k s Doc u m e nt des c ri bi n g st a n d a r d configuration for com puter syste m s and m odel setup. As nee d ed

6/ 0 5 $0
rol l ove r of f und s fro m 2 004

Task 12. Computer Hardware:
New eq ui pm ent - 30 k fo r 8 T B Xser ve R A I D 5 di sk st o r age , i n cl udes su p p o r t cont ract , 5k replacem ent pa rts for com pute node s Ad di t i onal eq u i pm ent cost s f o r 12 -km m odel i ng 12 km needs - TB D $3 5, 0 00



### Emissions Forum

The Em issions Forum is planning to continue a m a jor project a nd several specific supplem e ntary projects during 2006. The Em issions Data Managem e nt System (EDMS) is the m a jor project of the Forum

, as an ongoing data center a nd repository. During 2006, EDMS operation and

m a intenance of EDMS will continu e . Several ED MS enhance m ents are planned. The enhancem ents include som e of the item s that were postponed from earlier budget plans, and referred to as Phase II enhancem ents. Others were identified during Beta testing and are defined in the EDM S Acceptance Plan.

22

### In addition to EDMS work, som e states have begun to identify needs for more em issions inventory data to develop §309 SIP control strategi es. The w o rk plan includes an effort to poll states for these needs and to assist s t ates in m eetin g som e of these data req u ests.

Budget Summary for 2006

EF1: EDMS operation and m a intenance...........................................$180,000 EF2: Phase II EDMS enhancem ents........................................ .........$128,000 EF3: Em issions support for control strategy developm ent................... ... $75,000 Total funding requirem e nts for 2006...............................................$383,000

Emissions Forum Projects

EF1: EDMS Hosting / Operation

This project supports ongoing operation, m a inte nance, standard software and hardware upgrades, and com puter system hosting for the EDMS during 2006. The am ount of $60,000 is set aside for E.H. Pechan, for hosti ng and hardware support by their com p uter system s subcontractor, Carolina Environm ental Program s. In addition, $120,000 is proposed to continue Pechan’s operation and adm i nistration of the EDMS, including data analys is pro ducts, da ta p r ovider / use r assis t ance, a nd genera l o v ersigh t. Th is will b e

accom p lished by Pechan’s datab a se adm i nistrator and a data analyst.

EF2: Phase II ED MS Developm ent Efforts

1. Acceptance of XML Dat a Subm ittals - Estim ated Cost: $20,00 0

Description/Deliver able : This task en tails a dding parsing routines to accept and report data in the XML f o rm at.

Benefits: Would allow acceptan ce of data in XM L for m at. New Mexico needs th is for m at for future data subm issions.

Strategic Plan Tim i ng Issues: XML form at needed in tim e for next data subm ission for New Mexico, which would be ne xt year’s SO2 tracking data.

2. Other Enhan cem ent Needs Identified During Beta Testi ng - GIS Display im prove m e nts and im provem e nts from Acceptance Plan: $38 ,400

There are cu rrently 20 is sues m a rked as pot en tia l enhancem ents tha t were identif i ed during th e EDMS Beta testing ef f

o rt. These issue s were iden tif i ed in the E D MS Acceptance Plan and are shown below. Ti m e and cost es tim ates shou ld be considered ‘ballpark’ and not heavily researched. The e nhancem ents that appear below are thought to be outside of the original design.

23

### Enhance Facility GIS Display - Red u ce the ove r a ll num ber of f

acilities manipula t ed b y the GIS interface so that perform a nce is not taxed. The facilities to be presented m i ght be lim ited by em issions volum e, such as:

• 

### Facilities with em issions greater th an X for any pollutant - value x to be fixed rathe r than u s er-p resc rib e d. It is es tim a te d that this functionality can be added for 20 hours programm ing tim e plus 4 hours DBA tim e ($1,872)

.

• 

### Top X% facilities in W R AP region for sp ecific pollutant. Value x to be fixed rathe rthan u s er-p resc rib e d; pollutan t to be selected by user from pick list. It is estim ated that this func tionality can be added for 32 hours programm i ng tim e plus 8 hours DBA ti m e (~$2,392).

• 

### Filte r Facilities based on SIC Code. It is es tim ate d that this f u nctiona lity c a n be added for 32 hours programm i ng ti me plus 8 hours DBA tim e (~$2,392).

• 

### Filte r Facilities based on tie red SCC code, sim ila rly to s t anda rd repor ts functionality. It is estim a ted that this functionality can be added for 40 hours
programm i ng tim e plus 10 hours DBA tim e (~$2,990).

• 

### Total for GIS Display enhancem ent is $9,646.

Enhancem ents from the Acceptance Plan

Descripti o n Time Estimate (ho u rs) Cos t Es tima te (doll a rs)

Add a ‘Back ’ bu tto n on sub m i tted d a ta su mmary screen t o facilitate subm i ssi on of several fi l e s. 8 pr o g ram m er; 1 DBA $ 678

Tabu lar repo rt su gg estion s : Add u s er ab ilit y to ch ang e t h e filter p a ram e te rs in th e Tab u l a r dat a vi ew a n d n o t hav e t o go bac k t o t h e g r a phi cal c h art vi ew; a d d

u s er ab ility to select m o re th an o n e coun ty (an d less th an al l co un ties) i n a state to v i ew on th e grap h s and tab l es ; add user ab ility to v i ew state to tals with ou t v i ewing co un ty to tals also

. 16 p r og ram m e r; 8 DBA $ 2 ,064

Efficiency on Extraction T r a n sfe r L o a d ing (ETL ) from Transaction Datab a se (TXN) t o Stag ing Datab a se (S TG ) - d r ive r sc ript nee d s revie w t o im prove efficiency, c u rren tly Reco rd Add / R eco rd Delete an d Delete step s

com m e nt ed ou t i n p r od uct i o n si nce t h ey a r e not nee d ed

. 8 pr o g ram m er; 8 DBA $ 1 ,504

Change return of ETL a n d dia g nose proce d ure from num ber to e r ror

m e ssage. Use pr o duct i o n m a st er di a g n o se a s g u i d e

. 16 p r og ram m e r; 2 DBA $ 1 ,356

Di ag no se fl a g s QC c h ec k not scal i ng wel l f o r very l a r g e fi l e s, re vi ew t o im prove efficiency. 8 pr o g ram m er; 8 DBA $ 1 ,504

state/trib al n a mes - m a k e su re th e d i ffe ren tiatin g p a rt is early in th e string

ex pressi o n so th at it will b e usefu l i n p u lldown s 4 pr o g ram m er; 1 DBA $ 398

Modify t h e function that creat es Excel a n d A ccess ex p o rt fi l e s t o pr o duce

n u ll v a lu ed field s rath er th an zero-v al u e d fiel d s wh ere no d a ta is reported

. 20 p r og ram m e r; 8 DBA $ 2 ,344

GIS – p r ovi de bi g g er b o r d e r f o r

st at es so t h a t st at es can be di ffe re nt i a t e d fr om count i e s whe n z o om ed i n

. 8 pr o g ram m er; 1 DBA $ 678

GIS – A d d t o ol t i p s on G I S b u t t ons 8 pr o g ram m er; 1 DBA $ 678



### 24Descripti o n Time Estimate (ho u rs) Cos t Es tima te (doll a rs)

Di sag g re gat e i n f o rm at i on i n NAM E col u m n on st an dar d r e po rt s, c u rre nt l y cont ai n s nam e , ad dres s, ot he r val u es i n o n e fi el d. 8 pr o g ram m er; 2 DBA $ 796

Prov i d e ch eck s th at d a ta own e r h a s su b m itted d a ta for o n l y t h eir own j u risd iction 32 p r og ram m e r; 16 DB A $ 4 ,128

Write j p eg files g e n e rated o n th e fly to tem p ora r y storage s o that t h ey ca n b e ex por ted nor m a l l y, allo w i ng u s er s to op en d i r ectly r a t h er th an r e q u i r i ng th em to sav e to d i sk fi rst. 8 pr o g ram m er; 2 DBA $ 796

Change s p acing near all colons (:) 6 pr o g ram m er; 1 DBA $ 538

SV G m a y not wo rk wit h I E 5

. 0 o n a M A C 32 p r og ram m e r; 16 DB A $ 4 ,128

Section 508 com p liance – gra phics po rt rayed with p a ttern s in stead of col o rs, al l

- t e xt versi oni ng

. If p u rs ue d, m o re defi ni t i on re qu i r ed.

Switch e d to Tab u l ar v i ew with ou t h ittin g "go " 20 p r og ram m e r; 4 DBA $ 1 ,872

GIS – co m b in e select and u pdate in to o n e b u tto n click 16 p r og ram m e r; 4 DBA $ 1 ,592

Tim e out m e ssage neede d 8 pr o g ram m er; 2 DBA $ 796

"Exp ort /PDF" fu n c tion for bar ch ar ts p r od uces ch arts wit... 8 pr o g ram m er; 4 DBA $ 1 ,032

GIS - Im p o r t/Ex port/Ed it list o f selected featu r es 20 p r og ram m e r; 4 DBA $ 1 ,872



### 3. Capability to Geo-Code Certain Area Source Categories: Estim ated Cost $20,000

Description/Deliver able : Entails m i nor m odi fications to database and supplem e ntary data subm ittal form ats, as well as data uptake system and GIS display routines.

Benef its: W ould allow f o r cer tain ar ea sourc e s to be geo-coded in the database (e.g. landfills, m i nor point sources).

Strategic Plan Tim i ng Issues: Could provide useful geo-informati on for attribution and control analyses, etc. scheduled for 2005-2006.

4. Low Graphics Version of EDMS: Es tim ated Cost $30,000

Description/Deliverable: Provide users wit hout high-speed Internet connections an attractive an d intuitive in terface to view, query, and report E D MS data

Benefits: Would allow users that do not have high speed to a ccess da ta more eas ily th us im proving access/communication of data to certain stak e hold e rs. This m a y be of m o re

25

### benefit to tribal users that m a y not have high speed com puter access as well as o t her stakeholders and public users.

Strategic Plan Tim i ng Issues: Does not help to meet any strategic planning m ilestone.

5. Method for Biogenic/Dust Feedb ack Loop: Estim ated Cost $20,000

Description/Deliverable: This ta sk entails devising a m e thod to return required revisions
to m odeled outputs concerning biogenic and dus t em issions back to the relevant m odel inputs. This outcom e of this task is more lik ely to be a statem ent of prot ocol rather than specific m odifications to functionalit y of EDMS or other system s.

Benefits: If states/tribes provi de biogenic or dust em issions, this m e thod would be a first step at getting those em issions/activities back to the RMC. At this tim e the RMC woul d not have the disaggregated inform ation co mi n g f r o m E D M S t o fe e d back into th eir
process.

Strategic Plan Tim i ng Issues: Does not help to meet any strategic planning m ilestone, would im pr ove data flow between EDMS and RMC.

EF3: Em issions Support for Control Strategy Developm ent

Now that th e Attributio n of Haze project is prov iding add itio nal inform ation tha t will enable s t ates to iden tify em ission sectors a nd possible control stra tegies, the Em issions Forum anticipates requests from forum s and st ates for additional em issio n s data in areas that are key concerns for their Class I areas . The Em issions Forum intends to poll states in the first half of 2006 to determ ine their specif ic data needs, particul arly for states that do not collect em issions data for som e sectors. We do not anticipate that all needs can be

m e t, but request $75,000 in 2006 to provi de assistance on priority tasks.

2007 Emission Forum Work Plan

EF1: EDMS Hosting / Operation

EDMS operation and m a inten a nce will con tin u e at an estim ated cos t of $180,000. Our experience with EDMS during 2005 w ill allow u s to better es tim ate annual cos t for future years.

Tribal Data Develo p ment Work Grou p

The Tribal Data Developm ent W o rk Group is pla nning to continue a m a jor project and several specific supplem e ntary projects during 2006. The Em issions Data Managem e nt System (EDMS) is the m a jor project of the Fo rum , as an ongoing data center and repository. During 2006, EDMS operation an d m a intenan ce of EDMS will con tinu e . Severa l EDMS enhancem ents are planned. The enhancem ents include som e of the item s that were postponed from earlier budget plans, and referred to as Phase II enhancem ents. Others were identified during Beta testing and are defined in the EDM S Acceptance Plan.

26

### In addition to EDMS work, som e states have begun to identify needs for more em issions inventory data to develop §309 SIP control strategi es. The w o rk plan includes an effort to poll states for these needs and to assist s t ates in m eetin g som e of these data req u ests.

TDDWG Budget Summary for 2006

TW 1: Analyses to support Tribal pa rtnerships in developing S I Ps .................... $100,000 TW 2: Tribal data into the 308 SIP/ TIP Technical Support Docum e nt

................ $ 50,000 TW 3: Continued Support of the Tribal Em issi ons Inventory S o ftware Solution . ...$ 50,000 Total 2006 TDDWG Request................................................................$ 200,000

TW 1: Specific analysis to facilitate eff ective Tribal partnership in developing S I Ps: Estim ated Costs: $100K

. Goal: Ef f

ective Trib al pa rticipa tion in the SI P de cision -m aking process that the S t ate s will undergo in for the first round of 308 SIPs due in 2006/2007. Objectiv e: T o provide sp ecific technical ana l ys es for each of the develop i ng SIPs which will give, in a tim e ly m a nne r, the info rmation that Tribes need to pa rticipa t e e f f

ectively in the SIP processes. These analyses would be done by a contractor(s) w ho has both Tribal policy and technical ex pertise and knows how state actions can affect Tribes.

Deliverables : Analytical docum ents that specif ically address each developing SIP and how they

m a y i m pact Tribes. These docum ents m a y include , but are not lim ited to, the following types of analyses :

• Analysis of current or draft Federal, state and local sm oke m a nagem e nt program s and current tribal plans and how they m a y a ffect Tribes in the W R AP region. As an exam ple: an analysis of the current actions in Region 10 to create a FIP to address sm oke m a na gem e nt on or near Tribal lands.

• Analysis of regional haze point source contro l program s and how they may affect Tribes.

TW 2: Incorporation of Trib al data into the 308 SIP/TI P Technical Support Docum e nt: Estim ated Cost $50,000 Goal: As Tribes develop their TIPs and identify sp ecific sou r ces that need to be facto r ed in to the regional efforts to reduce haze, it will be im portant to am end the TSD to account for th ese sources and to provide states with guidance on ho w to best incorporate Tribal data into their SIPs. This task would provide for a contractor to track the TS D as it is developing and to ensure that Tribal d a ta is accu rate ly incorpo r ated into it. Objectiv e: SIPs that a c c ur ately reflect Tribal em issi ons and m onitoring data.

Deliver able : A report to the TDDW G regarding in corporation and coordination of Tribal data into th e TSD.

27

### TW 3: Continued S upport of the Tribal Em i ssions Inventory Softwa re Solution (TEISS): Estim ated Cost $50,000

 2 Trainings. There is an ongoing need to continue TEISS training for Tribal air staff due to

em ployee turnover and the fact that there are dev e loping Trib al air prog ram s that will be ready to conduct EIs in the future - estim ated cost: $40,000

 Annual update of TEISS license - $10,000

Ambient Monitorin g and Re p ortin g Forum

The Causes of Haze Study is a com p lex, m u lti-year pr oject, w ith results p o sted to a web site as available. T h e tasks fro m the origin al proposal are outlined b e low. In ad dition to these specific tasks, considerable effort has been expended setting up the web site. A request of $225,000 for 2006 work detailed below, to com p l e te the origin al scope of the project, and is accompanied by a $100,000 request to m a intain and up date the website during 2007.

1 E m issions M a pping & Description 2 Monitoring S ite Settings 3 M e t e o r o l o g i c a l S e t t i n g 4 A e r o s o l D e s c r i p t i o n 5 Back Traje c t o ry Analy s is 6 C o n c e p t u a l M o d e l 7 R e p o r t i n g 8 E p i s o d e Analy s i s 9 Detailed Meteorological Analy s is 1 0 E m i s s i o n s T r e n d s 1 1 R e c e p t o r M o d e l i n g


### Tasks 1-5 have been completed, as described m o re fully in a m e morandum sent to WGA on Decem ber 1, 2004. Further back trajectory anal y s is, however, will be con ducted for 2 003-04.

Task 6 (conceptual m o del development) has been indefinitely postponed in order to focus on the trajectory regression attribu tion (see Task 11 discussion).

Task 7 (reporting) is ongoing with results posted to the COHA website ( www.coha.d ri.edu ) as

com p leted.

Task 8 (episode analysis) has been perform e d for the following episodes:

• Forest fires 7/10/99, 8/2/00

• Eastern US sulfate transport to Co lorado Plateau 9/3/97, Septem ber 1998

• West coast n itrate 2 / 16/0 2

• Fall stagnation 9/5/02

• High wind dust episode 4/22/01

• W ildfires and dust 8/11/01- 8/23/01

• Colorado Plateau sulfate 4/7/01

28

### • Southern Arizona dust 10/16/01

• Asian dust 4/16/01

• Volcanic su lf ate in Hawaii

Additional episode analysis is planned.

Task 9 (deta iled m e teoro l ogica l ana l ysis) will in cl ude an ass e ssm ent of the representativen ess of 2002 (the year used for air quality m odeling pu rp oses) relativ e to the 200 0-2004 baseline conditions. Som e assessm e nt of the quality of the back traj ectory data is also planned.

Task 10 (emission trends ) will b e amended to f o c u s on trends in haze and its constitu en ts, as opposed to em issions. Much of this work has already been com p leted.

Task 11 (receptor m odeling) is being done using back trajectory endpoints and aerosol data to apportion sulfate and light extinction to geograp hic regions (e.g. individu al states, groups of states, Canada, Mexico ). This analy s is will b e co mpleted in early Decem ber 2004 for all s ites with at least one year of aeros ol data during the 2000-2002 period.

ToC1: GIS Landuse Database Update

The overall objective of the GIS Landuse Database project is to develop updated, current year (2000-04) G I S databases for use in air quality and em ission inventory developm ent efforts. Specific uses of these data m a y include the following: Technical Overs i g ht Committee ( ToC )

• 

### air quality analysis and support of source attribution/apportio nm ent activities;

• 

### im prove m e nt of near-field activ ity da ta and ana l y s is of em issions strengths;

• 

### provide m o re uniform landuse and dem ographi c data to m a ke tem porally consistent regional estim a tes of biogenics, ammonia, and windblown dust em issions, as well as providing a consistent base line for area source activity data and planning; and

• 

### developm ent of appropriate GIS data layers for C a nada and Mexico.

The Planning Team appr oved the $50,000 funding at their March 2005 meeting, for this shortterm project to be com p lete in June 2005, us ing existing budget reso urces. The data and products from this project will be put to imm e diate use by the RMC, for the AoH projects described below, and by planners an d m a nagers at state and tribal ai r agencies. As this project is already underway, this project is not shown on the “March 2005 Status R e port - Pending Projects” table earlie r in the workplan.

29

### In support of the activities described W R AP Stra tegic P l an, the TOC established an Attribution of Haze W o rkgroup in early 2004. This “Phase I” Attributio n analysis a nd report for all Class I areas in the WRAP region was completed in Marc h 2005. The next s t ep in this p r ocess will be

com p le m e nt ary 2005-06 analysis activities by the various Forum s and W o rkgroups in support of the AoH “Phase II” project, anticipated to be gin in m i d-Summ er 2005, to analyze im provem e nts in haze between the final/rev i sed 200 2 em issions estim ates av ailab l e early in 2005, an d the

em issions estim ates for the 2018 base and control strategy scenarios’ cases. No additional 2006 funds are requested.

AoH1: Attribu tion of Haze – Phase 2 Contractor Suppo rt

The AoH Workgroup plans to execute the Phase II AoH project described a bove. It is planned that the Technical Data Portal proje c t listed n e xt will ac complish m o st, if not all, of the repor ting for m ats and capabilities needed in the Phase II project, funds ar e set aside to ensure that technical support and preparation w o rk can be com p leted in a tim ely m a nner. If the Technical Data Portal project is m oving ahead on schedule, then these funds m a y be redirected to that project, or not used by the AoH wor kgroup. If n eeded, sim i lar to the Phase I AoH contractor support pro j ect, for the $ 75,000 currently budgeted from the 2005 workplan, the contractor will: Attribution of Haz e Work g rou p ( AoH )

 Attend AoH W o rkgroup m eetings and distill m e mb ers’ opinions and results of discussions into a sched u le and m e thodology to accom p lish the Phase II tasks;

 Possibly subcontract with independe nt experts for analy tical work;

 Gather and f o rm at the re sulting inf o r m ation and data from WRAP Forums, independent experts, and other related air quality analyses, all f o r review by the W o rkgroup;

 Draft a “Phase II AoH Report” for revi ew and comment by the W o rkgroup; and

 Com p lete an d publish a “Final Phas e II Attribu tio n of Haze Report”.

AoH2: Technical Data Portal Project

At the direction of the TOC during 2004, Pangaea In form ation Technolog ies prep ared a series of 3 white papers com p rising the W R AP Integrat ed Geospatial Infor m ation Managem e nt Strategy (W IGIMS) report: ( http://wrapair.org/forum s /toc/docum ents/wigim s/ W I GIMS_Strategy_Reportfinal.pdf ). These papers docum ent a progression from a needs assessm ent to a resource inventory and a final strategy document. The st rategy docum ent lays out a range of options and

a recomm ended approach to create a structur e for data and inform ation m a nagem e nt of monitoring data/analyses, em issions inform ati on, air quality modeling simulation results, and ancillary d a ta. The concept is to allo w WRAP us ers and in terested parties to access th ese data through a single web-based technical data portal (TDP) using web-based Geographic Inform ation System[s] ( G IS) tools to view and analyze the d a ta used in WRAP regional haze planning work. Im ple m enting the W I GIMS reco mmendations and strategi es through a W R AP TDP project will in corpo r ate sugg estions and reco mmendations from the Pangaea s t ra tegy docum ent into a phased approach, resulting in a sc ope of work for contractor support to build and operate a technical data portal for the W R AP region.

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### W h ile still u nder deve lo pm ent, th e scope of work for this appr oach to th e W R AP TDP project would likely consist of three com ponents and provi de access to data that could be used for a wide variety of analyses. At a m i ni mum , this RFP would need to list:

1. Exam ples of the specific analytical products and “canned” regional technical docum entation and displays needed for the §308 regional h aze implem entatio n plans (SIP s and TIPs); 2. A descriptio n of a structure(s ) for a flexib le data access s t ru cture for m o re detailed analyses needed for individual SIPs and TIPs (borro wing options fro m the Pangaea repo rts ) ; and 3. Flexibility for ad hoc storage, and subsequent da ta query and analysis fo r interes t ed parties, so “weight o f evidence” dem onstrations used in individual SIPs and TIPs can be rev i ewed.

The ability to com b ine air qua lity ob servations /a nalyses, m odeling results, em ission inventory estim ates, and any ancillary GIS data m a kes preparing the “ w eight of evidence” analyses described in #2 and #3 possible. The $167,000 curre ntly budgeted from the 2005 workplan will be used for this project.

The purpose of this comm ittee is to coordinate th e im ple m e n tation of Section 309 SIPs and TIPs. This includes tracking em issions for the backstop SO2 trading program and addressing issues related to that program . EP A’s process of reviewing, pr oposing approval, taking public comment, and taking fin a l action on the 309 SIPs subm itted in 2003 has been put on h o ld pending resolution of issues ra ised in CEED v. EPA.

The comm ittee will continue to inte r act with EP A to identify and address any revisions and updates to certain SIP elem ents and will serve as the coord i n a tion po int for the 309 s t ates as this
process m oves forward. Comm ittee m e mbers incl ude repres entatives fro m the states that subm itted Section 309 S I Ps and tribes interes t ed in subm itting Section 309 TIPs.

2006 will b e the th ird year of the curren t strategic plan. P r actically, this is th e final year to conclude the essential t echnical and policy work needed by states and tribes for 2007 SIP and TIPs. The Air Man a ger s Comm ittee role to as sur e and ass i s t in com p letio n of these p r ojects will be essen tial. The state an d trib al cau cuses will co ntinue their curren t st affing levels, including the Alaska Trib al Coordinator, to h e lp accom p lish its goals in 2006. The AMC Implem entatio n Work Group “custom ers” began their work in earnest in 2004. The I W G will continue through 2006 to: 309 Coordinatin g Committee

Air Mana g ers Committee

• Help guide and assess project output from the other WRAP forum s and workgroups;

• Develop a r o adm a p or tem p late/f ram e work tha t states and tr ibes m a y use to con s truc t their indiv i d u al SIPs and TIPs;

• Com p ile inform ation on supplem ental benefits of regional haze contro l strategies, and;

• Facilitate the essential unde rstandings between states and tribes to develop and im ple m ent their SIPs and TIPs.

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### AMC1: Staff Suppor t for the State and Tribal Caucuses

The State and Tribal Caucuses each have a caucu s coordinator as staff to assist the tribal and state air directors with continua l tr ac king and rep o rting of W R AP activities, issue ide n tif ica tion and communication among the W R AP partners, recr uitm ent of WRAP part icipants from states and tribes, and facilitatio n of issue resolution. Th e State Caucus Coordinator position is filled through a services contract be tween WGA and WESTAR, a nd is listed as an AMC budget item

. The Tribal Caucus Coordinator and the Alaska T r ibal Outreach Coordina tor positions are funded directly through NTEC, ar e not included in the A M C budget ta ble below, but they are included as part of the NTEC budget for WRAP support.

AMC3: Summ ary of Supplem ental Benefits o f Regional Haze Contro ls

Although virtually all of the work within the WRAP is directed toward supporting states and trib es in m eeting requirem e nts of the Regional H aze Rule, it is apparen t th at there a r e supplem ental benefits to reducing air pollutants as sociated with haze. These benefits are related to health, ecosystem

, cultural, agricultural and oth e r factors. While haze is the prim ary focus of any contro l m easures considered un der the Reg i onal Haze R u le, it is helpful when considering potential em ission con t rol m easures, to also ev aluate supplem e ntal benefits where possible. Much of this inform ation can be gained from the results of on-going W R AP activities and other outside sources, but it scattered a nd not organized in a useable for m f

o r considera tion

. Distilling such information and putting it into a communication packag e fo r m a nagers, stakeholders and the public will assis t s t ates and tribes in descri bin g the full value of e m ission contro l measures considered to m eet regio n al haze req u irem ents.

The purpose of this project is to identify and de scribe these supplem ental benefits and how they would follow from regional haze co ntrols in a w a y the public can understand. The final summ ary

m a terial will be useful to W R AP pa rticipants f o r communicating th e f u ll m e rits of their reg i ona l haze con t rol program s, and iden tifying ways in which exis ting W R AP datas e ts, m odels, an d monitoring networks may be optim ized to provide m o re quantitat ive estim ates of supplem ental benefits.

Although this project will be carried by AMC, it is expected that the Econom ic Analysis Forum will a c tively partic ipate in it. The w o rk of id en tif y ing and c o m p iling th e availab l e inf o rm ation will requ ire the assis t ance of outside expertise with knowled g e of where the data is, how it can be used. Th e final work product will con s is t of written and visual m a terial in one or m o re for m ats suitable for workshop settings. This m a y include printed and PowerPoint® presentations.

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### AMC4: Developm ent of TSD “Section” Addre ssing Visibility Im pact to Trad itio nal Tribal L i feways

Although th ere are several forum s , (i.e. CoHA and FEJF,) addressing T r ibal vis i bility im pacts, this data needs to be com p iled into a techni cal support docum ent (TSD ) component that would be useful in the developm ent of SIPs/TIPs. This task would give a com p rehensive view of the rela tionsh i p between reg i onal ha ze a nd its ef f

ects on Tribal la nds and trad ition a l lif e ways. The docum ent will d e scribe why tribes n eed to be co ncerned with regiona l h aze and how their involvem e nt in the W R AP serves to reduce the haze that m a y interfere with their traditional practices.

This document will serve as an educational tool for WRAP participants (and m e mbers of other regional planning organizations) that regularly w o rk with and/or li ve near tribal lands. It is antic ipated that the do cu m e nts will be prof ession ally dev e lop e d into a do cum e nt to be includ ed in the 308 T S D.

AMC5: Im ple m entation W o rk Gr oup (IW G)

The IW G got up and running in 2004, and will continue its work in tw o principle areas through 2006: First, IWG is on track to deve lop one or more “tem plates,” or “roadm aps,” to assist states and tribes in writing their 308 and 309(g) plan s. In addition the IW G will m a intain ongoing communication with the other forum s and ove rsight com m ittees as needed, prompting tim ely inf o rm ation f r om states and tr ibes, a nd in turn p r oviding feedback to the forum s to ensure they are focused on the critical pla nning questions. WESTAR provides direct sta ff assis t ance und er a services con t ract with WGA. The State of Ne w Mexico provides additi onal part-tim e contract staff to address the sp ecifi c planning needs of tribes.

AMC6: Workshops on Effective Collaboration

In the last year, during discussions am ong stat es and am ong tribes, reference has been m a de several tim es, along the lines, “The Tribes won’t talk to us.” or “Sta te (agency) is m a king

assum p tions we don’t agree with.” Although ther e are examples of collaboration am ong states and trib es on specific projects, stat es in general have m o re m a ture air program s than m o st tribe s and they must m eet certain dead lin es. Tribes are not subject to these deadlines. There is strong opinion am ong som e of t h e tribes that they are included in WRAP work when it is convenient or in nam e only. Som e states have little to no work ing re la tio nship with tribes in the i r respe c tive states. A num b er of tribes are relu ctant to rele ase tribal in for m ation because th ey are dis t rus t ful of state and federal regulators.

This task would begin to strengt hen working relationships between s t ates and tribes tha t is essential in order to fulfill th e re quirem e nts of the regional haze p l anning pro cess and th e Regional Haze Rule. EPA’s Regional Haze Rule explic itly addresses s t ate

- tr ibal relationships and directs th em to work co llabo ratively with each ot her and in “partn ersh ip with other interes t ed stakeholders,” but provides little guidance in this regard. T h e goal of these workshops is to facilitate improvem e nts in working relationshi ps within WRAP and a m ong individual states, tribes and federal agencies, by en hancing the understandings of l eadership and staffs of thes e

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### entities about how each of them functions within their organizations, their various operational protoco l s an d trad ition s

. In genera l, the f o rm of this pr o j ect is a series o f sub-region al workshop s at selected location s within the W R AP region to instru ct sta t e and trib al W R AP partners in tribal/state protocols. Tribal and s t ate leaders would address in turn th eir procedures and expect ations of consultation, their governing structures, enviro nm ental priorities and their e fforts toward collaboration. The focus would include identification of barriers to collaboration and w a ys to overcom e the m

. Interested stakeholders would be in vited to g i v e ins i ght into the i r o r ga nizational structur es and collabo rativ e efforts.

AMC 2006 Budget Table

1 These figure s re prese n t decreases from 2005. 

### Project Code Project Title Projects Pending 2006 Request AMC1 State Caucus Staff Support (WESTAR) 120, 000 AMC3 Supplem ental benefits of H aze-r e lated co ntrol m e asures 15,000 (-30k) 1


### AMC4 TSD Section on Haze and Traditional Tribal Lifeway s 10,000 (-25k) 1


### AMC5 308 Im plem entation Wor k

Group S upport (WESTAR, New Mexico) 20,0 0 0 2 

### 38,0 00

AMC6 Workshops o n Effective Collaboration 35,0 00 C o n t r a c t o r A s s i s t a n c e 145, 531 3



### Totals 225, 5 3 1 1 5 8 , 0 0 0

2 Thi s fi g u re m a y have bee n e xpe n d ed f o r

st aff su p p o r t t o d e vel o p 30 9 TI P t e m p l a t e

. 3 Thi s fi gu re i n cl u d es -$ 1 1

, 0 49 f r om 20 05 fo r t h e t r i b al e m i ssi on i n vent ory part of t h e St at i onary So urces Jo in t For u m EI pr oj ect ap pr oved b y A M C i n Febr u a r y 200 5.



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### Communic a tions Committee

CC1: W e b Site M a inten a nce Prim ary communicatio ns tool for the W R AP. C onsider ad dition a l funding for tran sition to new Operations/Maintenance Contract for im proved perform a nc e.

CC2: Continue and Expand Publications This work is intended for both internal and ex ternal audiences and includes the following:

• Collect inputs, draft and publish The W R AP Sheet on the W e b site ;

• Print, m a il, and/or fax hard copies of Th e WRAP Sheet to s e lected recip i ents ; and

• Produce bro c hures, fact sheets, and other handout m a terials fo r conferences, exhibits, and public m eetings.

CC3: Update Pres entation Ma teria l s to Te ll the W R AP Story :

• Tailor the WRAP 301A, 401 and Tribal version presentations to m eet needs of various f

o rum s /comm ittees; and

• Convert presentations to various video for m ats (CD, VHS, 35mm

, etc.) and m a ke copies for multiple v e n u es.

CC4: Expand Speakers' Bureau Assure exposure of W R AP stor y to state and tribal genera l audiences throughout the WRAP region. Tailor to individual audiences as appropriate:

• Develop and m a intain data ba se of prospective au diences ;

• Work with state and trib al air directo r s/forum and comm ittee chairs and follow up on contacts to schedule presentations; and

• Coordinate presentation and support m a terials for all scheduled events.

CC5: Support WRAP Forum s and Comm itt ees in Conducting Public Meetings Inform and obtain public input on WRAP products and related SIP/TIP developm ent efforts:

• Assist with arrang em ents for m eeting venues; and

• Coordinate presentation and support m a terials for all scheduled events.

CC6: Other Outreach Efforts to Reach W i der Audience Investigate partnering w ith ot her agencies/program s with sh ared goals – e.g., Pollution Prevention Roundtable for AP2 presentation:

• Identify potential partnerships and f o llow up to develop cooperative ventures; and

• Participa t e in joint v e ntu r es with m u tual benef it.

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