A-i 

Appendix A: Development of a 2002 National Prescribed 

Fire Inventory 

This Appendix contains a memorandum from EC/R entitled: “Development of a 2002 National 

Prescribed Fire Inventory” 

The table of contents, table numbers and figure numbers reflect numbering of the original 

Microsoft® Word® version of the memorandum. This memorandum contains one appendix 

(Appendix A). 
A-ii 

Development of a 2002 National Prescribed Fire Inventory 

DRAFT 

Prepared for: 

Mr. Tom Pace 

Emission Factor and Inventory Group, D205-01 

Emissions, Monitoring and Analysis Division 

Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards 

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 

Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 

Prepared by: 

Katherine Boyer, William Battye, 

Steve Fudge, and Robin Barrows 

EC/R Incorporated 

6330 Quadrangle Drive, Suite 325 

Chapel Hill, NC 27517 

Telephone: (919) 484-0222 

Fax: (919) 484-0122 

September 26, 2005 
A-iii 

Table of Contents 

Background ..................................................................................................................................................1 

Activity Data Gathering ...............................................................................................................................1 

Data Processing and Gap-filling Methodology.............................................................................................5 

Pre-burn Fuel Loading and Fuel Consumption.............................................................................................6 

Emissions Calculations ................................................................................................................................8 

Inventory Format ..........................................................................................................................................9 

APPENDIX A.............................................................................................................................................A 

List of Tables 

Table 1. 2002 Prescribed Fire Activity Data ..............................................................................................3 

Table 2. Development of Regional Default Fuel Codes.............................................................................6 

Table 3. Numerical Relationships ..............................................................................................................9 

List of Figures 

Figure 1. Multi-Day Fire Processing ...........................................................................................................6 
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Background 

The 2002 emissions inventory is an important time period because the EPA anticipates that many 

important analyses for PM2.5, Regional Haze, and PMcoarse programs will be based on this time 

frame. A 2002 National Emissions Inventory for Wildfires is currently underway that will result 

in a nationally consistent method of producing emission inventories for wildfire incidents 

reported in varying degrees of resolution in terms of start and end dates, location, and fuel. 

The purpose of this effort is to support the development of a prescribed fire emissions inventory 

for 2002. This project will coordinate with work being funded by the RPO’s to develop a 2002 

National Emissions Inventory for Wildfires. Together, these two inventory products will 

provide a wildland fire emissions inventory that will be superior to previous Emission Inventory 

efforts. 

This report documents our methodology for developing a National 2002 Prescribed Fire 

Inventory, including activity data collection and processing, fuel consumption development, 

emissions calculations, and inventory format. 

 

Activity Data Gathering 

The methods of prescribed fire data collection are similar to those implemented for the 2002 

Wildfire Inventory.1 We accepted all available prescribed fire activity data, without regard to 

fire size, location, or resolution. We obtained the final prescribed fire activity data sets from the 

RPOs that have already developed prescribed fire inventories for 2002, including the MWRPO, 

CENRAP, VISTAS, and WRAP. MWRPO, VISTAS, and WRAP inventories were obtained in 

the course of the 2002 National Wildfire Inventory project. The CENRAP inventory was 

obtained in the course of a previous inventory effort to develop a wildland fire inventory for the 

MWRPO. A revised CENRAP inventory was downloaded on August 24, 2005 from the 

CENRAP ftp site. 

The VISTAS prescribed fire emissions inventory was developed as an area source inventory 

and submitted in NIF 3.0 area source format. However, prescribed fire incidents that were 

sufficiently resolved for a point source inventory (i.e., start date and lat/lon fire location) were 

available for all States except Virginia. These incidents have been included in this inventory 

effort. The entire VISTAS area source inventory is also available on EC/R’s Clean Air Info FTP 

site. 

CENRAP, VISTAS, and MWRPO databases included both prescribed (SCC 2810015000 and 

SCC 2610000500) and agricultural burning (2801500000) activity data. For the purposes of 

this emissions inventory, agricultural burning was excluded.2

 

1 Strawman Document For The 2002 Inter-Rpo National Wildfire Emission Inventory Fuel Consumption 

Comparison. Technical Memorandum to Peter Lahm, USDA – Forest Service, Washington Office; Chair; Inter-RPO 

NationalWildfire EI Steering Committee. June 16, 2005. **Final Documentation is in final review, prepared by Air 

Sciences.** 

2

 Available ftp.cleanairinfo.com. 
A-2 

For the MANE-VU States, we downloaded the 2002 Forest Service, NPS, BIA, and FWS 

federal prescribed incident data from the National Fire and Aviation Management Web 

Applications (FAMWeb) online database.3

 However, a query of the data did not result in any 

fire incidents on Federal land for the entire MANE-VU region. This finding was inconsistent 

with documentation from a previous MANE-VU 2002 area source inventory, which indicated a 

total of 424 acres burned by the USFS, 9 acres burned by the NPS, 4,796 acres burned by the 

FWS, and 556 acres burned by the BIA4. Due to time and resource restrictions, we were unable 

to contact individual Federal forests and parks to obtain fire data. However, we have included 

as part of our deliverable the MANE-VU area source NIF files for prescribed fires.4

We also requested data from MANE-VU States through Megan Schuster, a MANE-VU 

representative. We received data from New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and New 

Hampshire. However, these data, except for New York, were not sufficiently resolved to 

include in the draft point source inventory. New York submitted data in hard copy only, and 

limited resources prevented us from manually entering that data into the electronic database for 

inclusion in this draft database. 

Table 1 summarizes the status of the activity data collection effort. 

 

3

 Available: http://famweb.nwcg.gov/ 

4 Summary of approaches available for wildfires, prescribed burning, slash burning, and agricultural field burning. 

DRAFT Technical Memorandum. Prepared For MARAMA by E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc. June 24, 2004. 
A-3 

Table 1. 2002 Prescribed Fire Activity Data 

State Data Received Date 

Resolution 

Fuel Resolution Location Reso

MANE-VU 

Connecticut None Delaware None Massachusetts No usable data (incidents only, no acres) Maryland State Agency Monthly totals Basic description Region and CoMaine None New Hampshire Summary acres by State Forest Annual None None New Jersey None New York Paper copy from State Agency Incident dates None County centroiPennsylvania None Rhode Island None Vermont None 

CENRAP5

Arkansas Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or Iowa Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or Kansas Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or Louisiana Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or cMinnesota Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or Missouri Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or Nebraska Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or cOklahoma Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or cTexas Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/SAF/NVCS Lat/lon and/or c

5 In the CENRAP documentation, Arkansas, Minnesota, and eastern Oklahoma are reported as the only States providing point-source S

allocation factors were used to distribute emissions at the sub-county level (i.e., by 12 km X 12 km grid cell) for other State data. All Fpoint-source incidents. All States are represented in the point source emissions inventory. 
A-4 

MWRPO 

Illinois Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Indiana Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Michigan Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Ohio Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Wisconsin Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or 

VISTAS

Alabama Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Florida Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Georgia Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Kentucky Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or cMississippi Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or North Carolina Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or South Carolina Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Tennessee Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Virginia Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or West Virginia Included in previous inventory Incident dates Descriptive/NFDRS Lat/lon and/or 

WRAP

Alaska Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Arizona Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or California Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Colorado Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Idaho Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Montana Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or North Dakota Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or New Mexico Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Nevada Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Oregon Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or South Dakota Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Utah Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Washington Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or Wyoming Included in previous inventory Incident dates NFDRS Lat/lon and/or 
A-5 

Data Processing and Gap-filling Methodology 

Required data elements included fire size, start date, and location in county centroid, lat/lon, 

UTM, or legal description. Fire incidents that did not meet these requirements were not 

processed for this draft inventory. We compiled the centralized activity data we received with the 

required data elements into an incident database in the Microsoft Visual Fox Pro environment, 

and preserved the format of each RPO’s database in order to maintain continuity with previous 

inventory efforts, including location and fuel information. 

Minimal processing was required for the WRAP and MWRPO prescribed fire activity data, as 

those activity databases were already formatted for conversion to the NIF 3.0 format used in the 

2002 Wildfire Emissions Inventory. However, some processing and gap-filling was needed for 

the VISTAS and CENRAP activity databases, specifically in the areas of processing multi-day 

fires and assigning NFDRS fuel codes. 

The VISTAS activity database included quality-assured county centroid or latitude/longitude 

locations for each prescribed fire. Fires assigned a county centroid location were denoted as 

such. The database included a fire start date and fire end date field; however, in all cases the 

end date field was unpopulated. We therefore assumed that each fire lasted only one day. Fuel 

codes for the VISTAS database were either provided as an NFDRS code or material burned.6

Information from the CENRAP point source emissions inventory was converted from NIF 

3.0 to a temporally and spatially resolved activity database. The database was then evaluated for 

lat/lon location, multi-day fires, and gaps in fuel information. Locations were determined as 

either incident location or county centroid by comparing the county FIPS and lat/lon from the 

activity database with a county centroid database obtained from the Census Bureau. Fire 

incidents with lat/lons matching the centroid database were designated as county centroid 

incidents. 

Multi-day fires in the CENRAP database were linearly allocated into daily events. For 

example, if the start date of a 100-acre fire was reported as June 1, 2002 and the end date June 

4, 2002, the acreage was divided evenly into four 24-hour fire days, with 25 acres burned on 

each day. Figure 1 presents this process. 

 

6 Draft Report: Development of the Draft 2002 VISTAS Emission Inventory for Regional Haze Modeling. Prepared 

for VISTAS by MACTEC. February 10, 2004.
A-6 

Figure 1. Multi-Day Fire Processing 

Unique 

Identifier 

Start 

Date 

End 

Date 

Acres 

Burned 

CE00001 6/1/2002 6/4/2002 100 

Unique 

Identifier 

Start 

Date 

End 

Date 

Acres 

Burned 

Daily Fire 

Date 

CE00001 6/1/2002 6/4/2002 25 6/1/2002 

CE00001 6/1/2002 6/4/2002 25 6/2/2002 

CE00001 6/1/2002 6/4/2002 25 6/3/2002 

CE00001 6/1/2002 6/4/2002 25 6/4/2002 

If an NFDRS fuel code was not included in the prescribed burn record, we overlayed the fire 

location on the NFDRS national fuelbed GIS map and assigned a fuel code. Fire locations that 

were provided as a county centroid or fell over a barren, agriculture, or water code on the 

NFDRS map were assigned a regional default. These defaults were developed by ascertaining 

the most common fuel type burned in the region. Table 2 gives the default NFDRS code used 

for each burn type by region. 

Table 2. Development of Regional Default 

Fuel Codes 

Burn Type Most Common 

NFDRS Code

Number of 

Prescribed 

Fires

Total Acres 

Burned

VISTAS

BROADCAST C 707 54,575.85 

NATURAL D 25767 2,099,997 

PILED R 8207 48,833.93 

CENRAP

NATURAL P 3490 306,434.62 

Pre-burn Fuel Loading and Fuel Consumption 

Pre-burn loading and fuel consumption was developed similarly to the National 2002 Wildfire 

Inventory effort. For that effort, the Fire Emission Production Simulator (FEPS) fuel model was 

used to develop draft region-specific fuel consumption values for six default fuel moisture 

regimes included in FEPS using the NFDRS fuel classes as a key. These values were used in the 

absence of actual observed fuel consumption. State-wide defaults were used in the absence of 

any fire location data. 

Calculating fuel consumption for the prescribed fire inventory required a slightly different 

approach in order to account for differences between piled and broadcast burns. We used the 
A-7 

following hierarchy in producing fuel consumption for the draft inventory: 

1. Actual observed fuel consumption 

2. FEPS consumption produced from default piled or broadcast fuel loadings by NFDRS 

category using the “moderate” default fuel moisture category supplied in FEPS 

3. FEPS consumption produced from fuel loadings developed in the National Wildfire 

Inventory effort (i.e., “natural fuels”) using the “moderate” default fuel moisture category 

supplied in FEPS 

Fuel consumption was reported for a portion of the incidents in WRAP and VISTAS incident 

databases. We contacted representatives from these RPOs to verify if the reported consumption 

data were actual observed values. VISTAS representatives verified that fuel consumption 

reported by specific agencies should be treated as actual observed for those fires. The WRAP 

incident data included a flag for actual observed consumption, which was carried over into the 

final incident database. However, there did not appear to be any instances of actual observed 

pre-burn fuel loading in the incident databases for these burns. For documentation purposes, we 

assumed that pre-burn fuel loading equaled actual observed fuel consumption. 

In the NFDRS, pre-burn fuel loading is divided into fuel bed classes (e.g., litter, herbaceous, 

woody, duff, and crown fuel beds). However, FEPS only allows for one input number for piled 

and broadcast burns pre-burn loadings. In order to develop default fuel consumption values for 

piled and broadcast burns in FEPS, we used a summed total of pre-burn fuel loadings from all 

fuel bed classes by NFDRS category.7

 Following WRAP documentation, only litter, woody, and 

herbaceous fuels were used to develop piled and broadcast burn fuel consumption.8

 Duff and 

crown were excluded. 

The WRAP incident database included fuel classes A, B, C, E, F, G, H, I, J, K, L, N, R, T, and U 

for broadcast burns, and B, C, F, G, H, J, and T for piled burns. The VISTAS incident database 

included fuel classes C, D, J, L, O, P and R for broadcast burns, and B, C, D, L, O, P, and R for 

piled burns. Although the WRAP did not observe prescribed burns for classes D and P, these 

classes are described as common fuel types in the Southeast. 

Some VISTAS prescribed incidents denoted the burn type as either “piled” or “broadcast” with 

no other fuel information. For these fires, we overlayed the fire locations with the NFDRS fuel 

map in a GIS environment, and used the corresponding NFDRS fuel class.

Emissions Calculations 

We calculated emissions for 2002 prescribed fires similarly to the 2002 Wildfire Inventory. The 

emissions inventory includes estimates for 11 pollutants, as in the 2002 National Wildfire 

Inventory. For this effort, we included HAP emission estimates as well using emission factors 

provided to us by Tom Pace. 

 

7 7 

We solicited expert advice from Pete Lahm and Bill Barnard (MACTEC) regarding whether this approach is 

appropriate for the WRAP and VISTAS, but received no response. 8 2002 Fire Emission Inventory for the WRAP Region – Phase II. Prepared for the Western Governor’s 

Association/Western Regional Air Partnership by Air Sciences. July 22, 2005. 
A-8 

FEPS was used to estimate emissions for pile and broadcast burns in the WRAP and VISTAS 

for each appropriate fuel class. Emission factors developed in FEPS for the wildfire inventory 

effort were applied to prescribed fires in MANE-VU, CENRAP, and MWRPO.9

 In creating 

default fuel consumption for this draft inventory, we ran FEPS for a 2-day, 100-acre fire. All 

100 acres were burned on the first day, but the end date was specified as day 2 in order to 

capture long term (i.e., next-day) smoldering emissions. For this draft, we only ran FEPS using 

the “moderate” fuel moisture class. 

FEPS produces hourly emissions for CO, CH4, and PM2.5, and fuel consumption for flaming, 

short term (i.e., 2 hrs) and long term smoldering. The model incorporates a decay rate for each 

phase that is applied to each hour of the burn, and extends into the next calendar day for each 

phase. We incorporated these calculations in the inventory by summing hourly consumption and 

emissions into a daily total, and emission factors were back-calculated by dividing the number of 

acres by the daily emissions. 

PM10, NOX, and SO2 were estimated using emission factors from FOFEM. VOC and NH3 were 

estimated based on numerical relationships with CO emissions, and EC and OC were estimated 

as percentages of PM2.5. The coarse component of PM10 (PMC) were calculated as the difference 

between the PM10 and PM2.5 emission factors. These relationships were developed using various 

resource documents, including U.S. EPA’s report “Development of Emissions Inventory 

Methods for Wildland Fire” (EC/R, 2001), emission factor methods employed by RPOs, and 

updates and recommendations from the 2004 National Fire Workshop in New Orleans. Table 3 

presents the numerical relationships for these pollutant emission factors. 

Table 3. Numerical Relationships for Pollutant Emission Factors 

Pollutant Numerical Relationship

NH3 0.016 x CO 

VOC Forest Fuels: 0.23 x CO 

Grasslands: 0.15 x CO 

OC 0.47 x PM2.5 

EC 0.061 x PM2.5 

PM1010 1.18 x PM2.5 

NOX

10 6.54-(0.011 x CO) 

SO2

10 1.96 

TSP11 1.43 x PM10 

Tables 4 and presents region-specific fuel consumption and emission factors by fuel class. The 

fuel consumption table is set up to show daily flaming, short-term smoldering, and long-term 

smoldering consumption for both days of the 2-day burn. In most cases of piled and broadcast 

burns, long-term smoldering is absent due to the absence of duff in the pre-burn loading inputs 

(as described in earlier sections). 

 

9

Correspondence with a developer of the FEPS model has indicated that FEPS treats prescribed fires of natural fuels 

the same as wildfires

10 Pollutant emission factor constants and coefficients taken from FOFEM. PM2.5 and CO emission factors 

calculated in FEPS. 

11 NWCG Smoke Management Handbook, 2001 
A-9 

Inventory Format 

The draft emissions inventory was formatted using EPA’s National Inventory Format version 3 

(NIF 3.0). NIF 3.0 is the format most widely used by State and local agencies to transfer data to 

the EPA’s National Emission Inventory (NEI). Fires were formatted consistent with the 2002 

National Wildfire Inventory effort. Field definitions are included in Appendix A, excerpted 

directly from the WRAP 2002 Phase II Emissions Inventory Documentation.

8 

The draft inventory is available on EC/R’s Clean Air Info FTP site.

2 
A-10 

Table 4. Fuel Consumption by Region and NFDRS Class

NFDRS 

Burn 

Day Preburn Load Flaming 

Short Term 

Smoldering 

Long Term 

Smoldering Total 

 tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre 

CENRAP--Natural Burn Type 

A 1 1.1 0.0232 0.019 0 0.0422 

A 2 0 0 0 0 

C 1 11.1 0.7055 0.5769 1.1128 2.3951 

C 2 0 0 0.4583 0.4583 

D 1 10.1 0.8052 0.6584 0.8568 2.3204 

D 2 0 0 0.3529 0.3529 

E 1 3.5 0.2911 0.2381 0 0.5292 

E 2 0 0 0 0 

F 1 15 3.1706 2.5927 0 5.7633 

F 2 0 0 0 0 

G 1 26.1 3.838 3.1385 0.4352 7.4117 

G 2 0 0 0.1792 0.1792 

H 1 21.2 1.4274 1.1672 1.2046 3.7993 

H 2 0 0 0.4961 0.4961 

K 1 10.6 0.6097 0.4985 1.0992 2.2074 

K 2 0 0 0.4527 0.4527 

L 1 0.8 0.0135 0.011 0 0.0245 

L 2 0 0 0 0 

O 1 67.2 7.6163 6.2281 4.4872 18.3316 

O 2 0 0 1.848 1.848 

P 1 10.2 0.1842 0.1506 1.3552 1.69 

P 2 0 0 0.5581 0.5581 

Q 1 25.8 0.7451 0.6093 1.7316 3.086 

Q 2 0 0 0.7131 0.7131 

R 1 3.5 0.2911 0.2381 0 0.5292 

R 2 0 0 0 0 

S 1 106.5 6.6203 5.4136 15.0577 27.0917 

S 2 0 0 6.2013 6.2013 

T 1 2.3 0.1388 0.1135 0 0.2522 

T 2 0 0 0 0 

U 1 19.5 1.1005 0.8999 1.5058 3.5063 

U 2 0 0 0.6201 0.6201 
A-11 

NFDRS 

Burn 

Day Preburn Load Flaming 

Short Term 

Smoldering 

Long Term 

Smoldering Total 

 tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre 

MWRPO--Natural Burn Type 

A 1 0.95 0.0202 0.0165 0 0.0367 

A 2 0 0 0 0 

C 1 6.123 0.3205 0.2621 0.4849 1.0674 

C 2 0 0 0.1997 0.1997 

D 1 12.39 1.5297 1.2509 0 2.7806 

D 2 0 0 0 0 

E 1 2.6 0.1671 0.1366 0.1958 0.4995 

E 2 0 0 0.0806 0.0806 

G 1 66.09 4.7178 3.8579 4.2613 12.837 

G 2 0 0 1.755 1.755 

H 1 34.6325 1.0419 0.852 1.566 3.4598 

H 2 0 0 0.6449 0.6449 

I 1 109.23 17.8615 14.6058 5.1196 37.5869 

I 2 0 0 2.1084 2.1084 

J 1 85.25 12.4965 10.2187 5.1196 27.8348 

J 2 0 0 2.1084 2.1084 

K 1 44.28 5.2218 4.27 2.5598 12.0517 

K 2 0 0 1.0542 1.0542 

L 1 2.612 0.1872 0.1531 0 0.3402 

L 2 0 0 0 0 

N 1 4.83 1.5332 1.2537 5.1196 7.9066 

N 2 0 0 2.1084 2.1084 

O 1 64.86 4.0651 3.3241 8.2817 15.671 

O 2 0 0 3.4107 3.4107 

Pe 1 28.31 1.1944 0.9767 4.2613 6.4323 

Pe 2 0 0 1.755 1.755 

Q 1 6.123 0.3019 0.2469 0.4818 1.0306 

Q 2 0 0 0.1984 0.1984 

R 1 2.6 0.1062 0.0868 0.1958 0.3888 

R 2 0 0 0.0806 0.0806 

T 1 2.196 0.1928 0.1577 0 0.3505 

T 2 0 0 0 0 

U 1 6.123 0.3019 0.2469 0.4818 1.0306 

U 2 0 0 0.1984 0.1984 
A-12 

NFDRS 

Burn 

Day Preburn Load Flaming 

Short Term 

Smoldering 

Long Term 

Smoldering Total 

 tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre 

VISTAS--Broadcast Burn Type 

A 1 0.5 0.0076 0.0063 0 0.0139 

A 2 0 0 0 0 

B 1 22.5 7.385 6.0389 0 13.4239 

B 2 0 0 0 0 

C 1 4.24 0.5318 0.4349 0 0.9666 

C 2 0 0 0 0 

D 1 8.06 1.5123 1.2366 0 2.7489 

D 2 0 0 0 0 

E 1 4.56 0.5536 0.4527 0 1.0063 

E 2 0 0 0 0 

F 1 15 4.1135 3.3637 0 7.4771 

F 2 0 0 0 0 

G 1 22.5 1.9808 1.6198 0 3.6006 

G 2 0 0 0 0 

H 1 7.5 1.3244 1.083 0 2.4074 

H 2 0 0 0 0 

I 1 46 17.6901 14.4657 0 32.1558 

I 2 0 0 0 0 

J 1 25.5 8.729 7.1379 0 15.8669 

J 2 0 0 0 0 

K 1 9.5 1.9808 1.6198 0 3.6006 

K 2 0 0 0 0 

L 1 0.75 0.0194 0.0158 0 0.0352 

L 2 0 0 0 0 

N 1 5 0.6445 0.527 0 1.1715 

N 2 0 0 0 0 

O 1 20 6.2728 5.1294 0 11.4022 

O 2 0 0 0 0 

P 1 4.81 0.5984 0.4893 0 1.0877 

P 2 0 0 0 0 

R 1 3.81 0.5536 0.4527 0 1.0063 

R 2 0 0 0 0 

S 1 3 0.4281 0.3501 0 0.7781 

S 2 0 0 0 0 

T 1 4.5 0.5318 0.4349 0 0.9666 

T 2 0 0 0 0 

U 1 5 0.6445 0.527 0 1.1715 

U 2 0 0 0 0 
A-13 

NFDRS 

Burn 

Day Preburn Load Flaming 

Short Term 

Smoldering 

Long Term 

Smoldering Total 

 tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre 

VISTAS--Natural Burn Type 

A 1 0.5 0.0039 0.0032 0 0.0072 

A 2 0 0 0 0 

B 1 77.5 11.8877 9.7209 8.2817 29.8902 

B 2 0 0 3.4107 3.4107 

C 1 7.5 0.5135 0.4199 0.4969 1.4303 

C 2 0 0 0.2046 0.2046 

D 1 10.85 1.3574 1.11 0.4216 2.889 

D 2 0 0 0.1736 0.1736 

E 1 7.35 0.5061 0.4139 0.4216 1.3416 

E 2 0 0 0.1736 0.1736 

F 1 15 3.1706 2.5927 0 5.7633 

F 2 0 0 0 0 

G 1 22.5 3.5765 2.9246 0 6.501 

G 2 0 0 0 0 

H 1 7.5 0.592 0.4841 0 1.0762 

H 2 0 0 0 0 

I 1 46 9.5658 7.8222 0 17.3881 

I 2 0 0 0 0 

J 1 25.5 4.1849 3.4221 0 7.607 

J 2 0 0 0 0 

K 1 9.5 0.804 0.6575 0 1.4615 

K 2 0 0 0 0 

L 1 0.75 0.0102 0.0083 0 0.0185 

L 2 0 0 0 0 

N 1 5 0.3912 0.3199 0 0.7111 

N 2 0 0 0 0 

O 1 75 9.9884 8.1678 8.2817 26.4379 

O 2 0 0 3.4107 3.4107 

P 1 7.6 0.532 0.435 0.4216 1.3886 

P 2 0 0 0.1736 0.1736 

Q 1 12 1.779 1.4547 0 3.2337 

Q 2 0 0 0 0 

R 1 6.6 0.4079 0.3335 0.4216 1.1631 

R 2 0 0 0.1736 0.1736 

S 1 3 0.1262 0.1032 0 0.2294 

S 2 0 0 0 0 

T 1 4.5 0.3936 0.3219 0 0.7155 

T 2 0 0 0 0 

U 1 5 0.9663 0.7902 0 1.7565 

U 2 0 0 0 0 
A-14 

NFDRS 

Burn 

Day Preburn Load Flaming 

Short Term 

Smoldering 

Long Term 

Smoldering Total 

 tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre 

VISTAS--Piled Burn Type 

A 1 0.5 0.0099 0.0081 0 0.018 

A 2 0 0 0 0 

B 1 22.5 8.7886 7.1866 0 15.9752 

B 2 0 0 0 0 

C 1 4.24 0.6744 0.5515 0 1.2258 

C 2 0 0 0 0 

D 1 8.06 1.8867 1.5428 0 3.4295 

D 2 0 0 0 0 

E 1 4.56 0.7017 0.5738 0 1.2755 

E 2 0 0 0 0 

F 1 15 5.0001 4.0887 0 9.0889 

F 2 0 0 0 0 

G 1 22.5 8.7886 7.1866 0 15.9752 

G 2 0 0 0 0 

H 1 7.5 1.6566 1.3546 0 3.0112 

H 2 0 0 0 0 

I 1 46 20.3704 16.6574 0 37.0278 

I 2 0 0 0 0 

J 1 25.5 10.3188 8.4379 0 18.7567 

J 2 0 0 0 0 

K 1 9.5 2.4569 2.0091 0 4.466 

K 2 0 0 0 0 

L 1 0.75 0.025 0.0205 0 0.0455 

L 2 0 0 0 0 

O 1 20 7.5123 6.143 0 13.6553 

O 2 0 0 0 0 

P 1 4.81 0.7577 0.6196 0 1.3773 

P 2 0 0 0 0 

Q 1 12 3.5662 2.9162 0 6.4823 

Q 2 0 0 0 0 

R 1 3.81 0.7017 0.5738 0 1.2755 

R 2 0 0 0 0 

T 1 4.5 0.6744 0.5515 0 1.2258 

T 2 0 0 0 0 

U 1 5 0.8153 0.6667 0 1.4821 

U 2 0 0 0 0 
A-15 

NFDRS 

Burn 

Day Preburn Load Flaming 

Short Term 

Smoldering 

Long Term 

Smoldering Total 

 tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre 

WRAP--Broadcast Burn Type 

A 1 0.5 0.0076 0.0063 0 0.0139 

A 2 0 0 0 0 

B 1 19.5 6.0521 4.9489 0 11.001 

B 2 0 0 0 0 

C 1 2.7 0.2049 0.1675 0 0.3724 

C 2 0 0 0 0 

E 1 3.25 0.2991 0.2446 0 0.5438 

E 2 0 0 0 0 

F 1 15 4.1135 3.3637 0 7.4771 

F 2 0 0 0 0 

G 1 22.5 1.9808 1.6198 0 3.6006 

G 2 0 0 0 0 

H 1 7.5 1.3244 1.083 0 2.4074 

H 2 0 0 0 0 

I 1 46 17.6901 14.4657 0 32.1558 

I 2 0 0 0 0 

J 1 25.5 8.729 7.1379 0 15.8669 

J 2 0 0 0 0 

K 1 9.5 1.9808 1.6198 0 3.6006 

K 2 0 0 0 0 

L 1 0.75 0.0194 0.0158 0 0.0352 

L 2 0 0 0 0 

N 1 5 0.6445 0.527 0 1.1715 

N 2 0 0 0 0 

R 1 2.5 0.177 0.1447 0 0.3217 

R 2 0 0 0 0 

S 1 3 0.4281 0.3501 0 0.7781 

S 2 0 0 0 0 

T 1 4.5 0.5318 0.4349 0 0.9666 

T 2 0 0 0 0 

U 1 5 0.6445 0.527 0 1.1715 

U 2 0 0 0 0 
A-16 

NFDRS 

Burn 

Day Preburn Load Flaming 

Short Term 

Smoldering 

Long Term 

Smoldering Total 

 tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre tons/acre 

WRAP--Piled Burn Type 

A 1 0.5 0.0099 0.0081 0 0.018 

A 2 0 0 0 0 

B 1 19.5 7.2577 5.9348 0 13.1926 

B 2 0 0 0 0 

C 1 2.7 0.2621 0.2143 0 0.4764 

C 2 0 0 0 0 

F 1 15 5.0001 4.0887 0 9.0889 

F 2 0 0 0 0 

G 1 22.5 8.7886 7.1866 0 15.9752 

G 2 0 0 0 0 

H 1 7.5 1.6566 1.3546 0 3.0112 

H 2 0 0 0 0 

I 1 46 20.3704 16.6574 0 37.0278 

I 2 0 0 0 0 

J 1 25.5 10.3188 8.4379 0 18.7567 

J 2 0 0 0 0 

K 1 9.5 2.4569 2.0091 0 4.466 

K 2 0 0 0 0 

L 1 0.75 0.025 0.0205 0 0.0455 

L 2 0 0 0 0 

Q 1 12 3.5662 2.9162 0 6.4823 

Q 2 0 0 0 0 

R 1 2.5 0.2267 0.1854 0 0.412 

R 2 0 0 0 0 

T 1 4.5 0.6744 0.5515 0 1.2258 

T 2 0 0 0 0 

U 1 5 0.8153 0.6667 0 1.4821 

U 2 0 0 0 0 
A-17 

Table 5 (see Excel File)
A-18 

APPENDIX A 

2002 National Prescribed Fire NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

EPA NIF Field 2002 Prescribed NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

strRecordType Record Type TR TR for every record 

strStateCountyFIPS FIPS 02050 No two entries in this record will have the same FIPS code 

strOrganizationName Org Name 

EPA

strTransactionType Transaction Type 00 "00" means "Original" 

intInventoryYear Inventory Year 2002 

strInventoryTypeCode Inventory Type CRIT "CRIT" = Criteria 

lngTransactionCreationDate Transaction Creation Date 20050901 Date of report generation All records get a submission 

 number of 1 unless data gets 

Incremental Submission submitted for a county more than 

intIncrementalSubmissionNumber Number 1 once 

sngReliabilityIndicator (Blank) 

strTransactionComments Comments on Inventory no comment 

Any comments on inventory. Can be 

entered when creating record 

strContactPersonName Client Name Tom Pace Contact name 

strContactPhoneNumber 

strTelephoneNumberTypeName 

Client Phone NumberClient 

Phone Type (919) 541-5634 Office 

Contact phone number Contact phone 

number type 

strElectronicAddressText Client E Address pace.tom@epa.gov Contact E address 

strElectronicAddressTypeName Type of E Address Email Contact E address type FIRE is not a 

valid NIF code. 

 Submitted as such to make 

strSourceType strAffiliationType Source Type Affiliation Type FIRE Report Certifier implicit that this is a new format 

According to NIF doc. is always 

Report Certifier 

sngFormatVersion strTribalCode 

NIF Format version Tribal 

Code 3 000 

NIF version 3.0 WRAP does not 

report tribal code but required data 

field in NIF format "000" = "not used" 
A-19 

EPA NIF Field WRAP NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

strRecordType Record Type SI SI for every record 

strStateCountyFIPs FIPS 02110 

strStateFacilityIdentifier Fire ID WR00001 Fire ID must be unique for every flaming fire 

day. Every corresponding smoldering day has 

the same fire ID. Must be less than 15 

characters. 

strFacilityRegistryIdentifier (Blank) 

strFacilityCategory (Blank) 

strORISFacilityCode (Blank) 

strSICPrimary (Blank) 

strNAICSPrimary NAICS NA 

Mandatory NIF field. Will be flagged by QC 

checker. 

strFacilityName Fire Name GYPSUM CREEK 

strSiteDescription Fire Type prescribed Prescribed. 

strLocationAddress Address NA Mandatory NIF field. 

strCity City NA Mandatory NIF field. 

strState State AK 

strZipCode ZipCode NA Mandatory NIF field. Will be flagged by QC checker 

strCountry Country US 

strNTISiteID (Blank) 

strDun&BradstreetNumber (Blank) 

strTRIID (Blank) 

"A" = "ADD" other options are 

strSubmittalFlag Submittal Flag A delete or revise etc. 

 WRAP does not report tribal code 

but required data field in NIF 

strTribalCode Tribal Code 000 format "000" = "not used" 
A-20 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

EPA NIF Field WRAP NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

strRecordType Record Type EU EU for every record 

strStateCountyFIPs FIPS 02110 

 Fire ID must be unique for every 

flaming fire day. Every corresponding 

smoldering day has the same fire ID. 

Must be less 

strStateFacilityIdentifier 

strEmissionUnitID 

Fire IDEU ID (F or S) 

F 

WR00001 than 15 characters. Either F or S 

indicating a flaming or a smoldering fire 

day No two entries may have the same 

Fire ID and EU ID 

strORISBoilerID (Blank) 

strSICUnitLevel (Blank) 

strNAICSUnitLevel (Blank) 

strBlankField (Blank) 

sngDesignCapacity Area Burned 10 

strDesignCapacityUnitNumerator Area Burned Unit ACRE 

strDesignCapacityUnitDenominator (Blank) 

sngMaxNameplateCapacity (Blank) 

strEmissionUnitDescription (Blank) 

"A" = "ADD" other options are 

strSubmittalFlag Submittal Flag A delete or revise, etc. 

 WRAP does not report tribal code 

but required data field in NIF 

strTribalCode Tribal Code 000 format "000" = "not used" 
A-21 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

EPA NIF Field WRAP NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

strRecordType Record Type EP EP for every record 

strStateCountyFIPS FIPS 02110 

Fire ID must be unique for every 

flaming fire day. Every 

corresponding smoldering day has 

the same fire ID. Must be less than 

strStateFacilityIdentifier Fire ID WR00001 15 characters. 

Either F or S indicating a flaming 

strEmissionUnitID EU ID (F or S) F or a smoldering fire day 

Used to relate the entries in the 

"EP" record to entries in the "ER" 

record. A single entry in the ER 

record exists for every EP record. 

One for every hour of every fire 

day (both smolder and flaming 

strEmissionReleasePointID Release Point ID F H1 fire days). 

Hourly designation. No two 

records may have the same Fire, 

strProcessID Hour ID H1 EU and Hour ID. 

strSCC SCC 2810001000 

strProcessMACTCode (Blank) 

strEmissionProcessDescription NFDRS A 

intWinterThroughputPCT (Blank) 

intSpringThroughputPCT (Blank) 

intSummerThroughputPCT (Blank) 

intFallThroughputPCT (Blank) 

intAnnualAvgDaysPerWeek (Blank) 

intAnnualAvgWeeksPerYear (Blank) 

intAnnualAvgHoursPerDay (Blank) 

IntAnnualAvgHoursPerYear (Blank) 

sngHeatContent Fuel Loading 0.50 

sngSulfurContent (Blank) 

sngAshContent (Blank) 

strProcessMACTComplianceStatus (Blank) 

"A" = "ADD" other options are 

strSubmittalFlag Submittal Flag A delete or revise etc. 

WRAP does not report tribal code 

but required data field in NIF 

strTribalCode Tribal Code 000 format "000" = "not used" 
A-22 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

EPA NIF Field WRAP NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

strRecordType ER ER ER for every record 

strStateCountyFIPsstrStateFacilityIdentifier FIPS Fire ID 02110 WR000001 

Fire ID must be unique for every 

flaming fire day. Every 

corresponding smoldering day has 

the same fire ID. Must be less than 

15 characters. 

strBlankField (Blank) 

 Used to relate the entries in the 

"EP" record to entries in the "ER" 

strEmissionReleasePointID ER ID F H1 

record. A single entry in the ER record 

exists for every EP record. One for every 

hour of every fire day (both smolder and 

flaming fire days). 

strEmissionReleasePointType ER Point Type 05 

strBlankField2 (Blank) 

sngStackHeight plume top 0.023040 

sngStackDiameter plume bottom 0.000000 

sngStackFencelineDistance percent first layer 0.469300 

sngExitGasTemperature (Blank) 

sngExitGasVelocity (Blank) 

sngExitGasFlowRate (Blank) 

dblXCoordinate X Position -134.977493 

dblYCoordinate Y Position 58.909443 strBlankField2 (Blank) 

intUTMZone (Blank) Not required for LATLON 

strXYCoordinateType Coordinate Type LATLON 

IngHorizontalAreaFugitive (Blank) 

IngReleaseHeightFugitive (Blank) 

strFugitiveDimensionsUnit (Blank) 

strEmissionsReleasePtDescription ER record Description Hour1 

 "A" = "ADD" other options are 

strSubmittalFlag Submittal Flag A delete or revise etc. 

 "027" = "The information is not 

strHorizontalCollectionMethodCode Collection Method 027 known" 

strHorizontalAccuracyMeasure 

strHorizontalReferenceDatumCode 

Horizontal Accuracy 

Horizontal Reference 

0 NA No accuracy data available Mandatory field. 

NA will be flagged by QC checker. 

 "108" = point not included in 

strReferencePointCode Reference Point 108 Code Tables 

strSourceMapScaleNumber (Blank) 

strCoordinateDataSourceCode (Blank) 

strTribalCode Tribal Code 000 

WRAP does not report tribal code but 

required data field in NIF format "000" = 

"not used" 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

EPA NIF Field WRAP NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

strRecordType Record Type PE PE for every record 
A-23 

strStateCountyFIPsstrStateFacilityIdentifier 

strEmissionUnitID strProcessID 

 FIPS Fire IDEU 

ID (F or S) 

Hour ID 

WR00001 

02110 F H1 

Fire ID must be unique for every 

flaming fire day. Every 

corresponding smoldering day has 

the same fire ID. Must be less than 

15 characters. Either F or S 

indicating a flaming or a smoldering 

fire day Hourly designation. No 

two records may have the same 

Fire, EU and Hour ID. 

IngStartDate Start Date 20020424 

Since fire records are daily, 

StartDate=EndDate and there are 

the same # of records in the this 

table as there are in the ER and EP 

records. Taken From DateSlash 

Field of GISOUT 

IngEndDate End Date 20020424 

strBlankField (Blank) 

intStartTime Start Time 0000 

intEndTime End Time 0059 

sngActualThroughput Area Burned/Hour 0.0570 

Acres Burned times temporal burn factor 

strThroughputUnitNumerator Area Unit ACRE 

intMaterial Material Burned 936 

Many options are available such as wood & 

wood/bark. "936" is vegetation which is what 

LADCO was reporting 

strMaterialIO Material Input/Output I 

intPeriodDaysPerWeek (Blank) 

intPeriodWeeksPerPeriod (Blank) 

intPeriodHoursPerDays (Blank) 

intPeriodHoursPerPeriod (Blank) 

"A" = "ADD" other options are 

strSubmittalFlag Submittal Flag A delete or revise etc. 

WRAP does not report tribal code 

but required data field in NIF 

strTribalCode Tribal Code 000 format "000" = "not used" 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

EPA NIF Field WRAP NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

strRecordType Record Type CE CE for every record 

strStateCountyFIPs FIPS 02110 

Fire ID must be unique for every 

flaming fire day. Every 

corresponding smoldering day has 

the same fire ID. Must be less than 

strStateFacilityIdentifier Fire ID WR00001 15 characters. 

Either F or S indicating a flaming or 

strEmissionUnitID EU ID (F or S) F a smoldering fire day 

strProcessID Hour ID H1 

Hourly designation. No two records may 

have the same Fire, EU and Hour ID. 

 Some pollutants like EC OC and 
A-24 

 CH4 aren't in the table 

 POLLUTANT_CODES but are in 

the POLLUTANT_CATEGORIES 

both of which are NIF standard 

strPollutantCode Pollutant Code PM10-PRI code tables 

strBlankField (Blank) 

sngPrimaryPCTControlEfficiency (Blank) 

sngPCTCaptureEfficiency (Blank) 

sngTotalCaptureControlEfficiency (Blank) 

 Mandatory Field "000" = 

strPrimaryDeviceTypeCode Primary Device Type Code 000 "uncontrolled" 

strSecondaryDeviceTypeCode (Blank) 

strBlankField2 (Blank) 

strControlSystemDescription (Blank) 

strThirdControlDeviceTypeCode (Blank) 

strFourthControlDeviceTypeCode 

strSubmittalFlag 

(Blank) Submittal Flag 

A 

"A" = "ADD" other options are delete or 

revise etc. 

WRAP does not report tribal code but required data field in NIF 

strTribalCode Tribal Code 000 format "000" = "not used" 

Table A-1. NIF 3.0 Field Definitions 

EPA NIF Field WRAP NIF Fire Field Example Value Comment 

strRecordType Record Type EM EM for every record 

strStateCountyFIPs FIPS 02110 

Fire ID must be unique for every 

flaming fire day. Every corresponding 

smoldering day has the same fire ID. 

Must be less than 

strStateFacilityIdentifier 

strEmissionUnitID strProcessID 

Fire ID EU ID (F or S) 

Hour ID 

WR00001 F H1 15 characters. Either F or S indicating a 

flaming or a smoldering fire day 

Hourly designation. No two records may 

have the same Fire, EU and Hour ID. 

 Some pollutants like EC OC and CH4 

aren't in the table 

 POLLUTANT_CODES but are in the 

POLLUTANT_CATEGORIES both of 

which are NIF standard 

strPollutantCode Pollutant Code PM10-PRI code tables 

strBlankField (Blank) 

strEmissionReleasePointID ER ID F H01 

lngStartDate Start Date 20020424 

lngEndDate End Date 20020424 

intStartTime Start Time 0000 

intEndTime End Time 0059 

strBlankField2 (Blank) 

dblEmissionNumericValue Hourly Emissions 0.0004014 

strEmissionUnitNumerator Unit TON 

strEmissionType Emission Type 30 

sngEMReliabilityIndicator (Blank) 

sngFactorNumericValue Emission Factor 28.10 
A-25 

strFactorUnitNumerator Emission Factor Numerator LB 

Emission Factor 

strFactorUnitDenominator Denominator TON 

 Many options are available such as 

wood & wood/bark. "936" is 

vegetation which is what LADCO 

intMaterial Material Burned 936 was reporting 

strMaterialIO Material Input/Output I 

strBlankField3 (Blank) 

strEmissionCalculationMethodCode (Blank) 

strEFReliabilityIndicator (Blank) 

sngRuleEffectiveness (Blank) 

strRuleEffectivenessMethod (Blank) 

strBlankField4 (Blank) 

strHAPEmissionsPerformanceLevel (Blank) 

strControlStatus (Blank) 

strEmissionDataLevel (Blank) 

"A" = "ADD" other options are 

strSubmittalFlag Submittal Flag A delete or revise etc. 

 WRAP does not report tribal code 

but required data field in NIF 

strTribalCode Tribal Code 000 format "000" = "not used" 
B-1

Appendix B: Summary of Surrogate Assignments to 

Emission Sources 

The data included in Tables B-1 and B-2 are available in Excel format, which includes the data with 

State-sector or Province-sector detail. These data are in the Microsoft® Excel® called 

“Appendix_B_06nov2007.xls” provided electronically at the “Documentation” link on 

http://www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/emch/index.html#2002. 

Table B-1: Continental US, 2002 emissions by Sector and spatial surrogate type. Surrogate ID = “0” 

shows emissions for sources that use SMOKE’s area-to-point approach for some sectors. 

Sector 

Surg 

ID Surrogate Description 

[tons/yr]

VOC 

[tons/yr]

NOX 

[tons/yr]

CO 

[tons/yr] 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

PM10 

[tons/yr]

PM2.5 

afdust 130 Rural Population 0 0 0 0 0 4,138,772 835,152

 140 Housing Change and Population 0 0 0 0 0 850,034 197,572

 240 Total Road Miles 0 0 0 0 0 949,270 121,977

 310 Total Agriculture 0 0 0 0 0 2,326,088 556,565

 330 Strip Mines/Quarries 0 0 0 0 0 594,817 119,003

 400 Rural Land Area 0 0 0 0 0 11 3

ag 310 Total Agriculture 0 0 0 0 3,251,987 0 0

alm 0 Area-to-point approach 48,608 89,929 508,270 7,765 1 23,986 17,412

 260 Total Railroad Miles 5,721 126,339 13,914 7,542 38 3,453 3,300

 270 Class 1 Railroad Miles 43,482 964,121 105,970 65,302 327 26,316 25,193

 280 Class 2 and 3 Railroad Miles 1,244 27,468 3,025 2,410 12 751 722

 700 Airport Areas 0 0 0 0 0 0.0020 0.0019

 720 Military Airports 0 0 0 0 0 0.0012 0.0011

 800 Marine Ports 13,885 652,139 114,196 109,261 156 23,955 22,847

 810 Navigable Waterway Activity 10,736 399,847 61,097 120,032 370 18,578 17,246

nonpt 0 Area-to-point approach 23,374 300 1,047 14 0 2 2

 100 Population 1,095,750 0 0 0 58 0 0

 140 Housing Change and Population 249,875 30,659 1,067,037 376 111 143,795 115,857

 150 Residential Heating - Natural Gas 13,909 239,694 104,536 1,384 811 1,558 1,288

 165 

0.5 Residential Heating - Wood plus 0.5 Low 

Intensity Residential 836,631 31,970 2,424,155 4,472 6,157 327,179 324,104

 170 Residential Heating - Distillate Oil 2,181 65,702 17,087 144,211 793 7,754 6,727

 180 Residential Heating - Coal 3,963 2,766 102,298 20,356 3 3,837 2,648

 190 Residential Heating - LP Gas 1,341 31,864 8,166 621 197 182 146

 240 Total Road Miles 70,359 326 10,222 0 0 1,081 1,011

 250 Urban Primary plus Rural Primary 102,505 0 0 0 0 0 0

 260 Total Railroad Miles 849 0 0 0 0 0 0

 300 Low Intensity Residential 782,828 31,349 986,181 4,831 7,311 229,750 210,912

 310 Total Agriculture 346,657 64,240 2,000,516 19,206 23,276 267,943 224,551

 312 Orchards/Vineyards 1,100 831 18,247 2,323 0 727 647

 320 Forest Land 12 2 67 0 0 12 11

 330 Strip Mines/Quarries 61 2,336 80 12 0 5,347 979

 400 Rural Land Area 2,146 709 16,840 127 0 2,662 2,525

 500 Commercial Land 40,217 3,380 28,463 251 15,765 88,625 79,131

 505 Industrial Land 145,704 475,426 271,035 736,529 61,721 227,666 97,152

 510 Commercial plus Industrial 897,406 3,457 3,500 475 1 270 206
B-2

Sector 

Surg 

ID Surrogate Description 

[tons/yr]

VOC 

[tons/yr]

NOX 

[tons/yr]

CO 

[tons/yr] 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

PM10 

[tons/yr]

PM2.5 

 515 Commercial plus Institutional Land 82,466 226,959 189,950 269,057 4,310 52,009 22,193

 520 Commercial plus Industrial plus Institutional 61,428 15 0 0 0 138 129

 525 

Golf Courses plus Institutional plus Industrial 

plus Commercial 5,569 0 0 0 0 0 0

 527 Single Family Residential 174,372 0 0 0 0 0 0

nonpt 530 Residential - High Density 876 687 2,484 548 0 1,030 585

(con’t.) 535 

Residential + Commercial + Industrial + 

Institutional + Government 495,121 553 19,877 4 0 2,926 2,706

 540 Retail Trade (COM1) 22,395 0 0 0 0 0 0

 545 Personal Repair (COM3) 187,981 0 0 0 0 2 0

 555 

Professional/Technical (COM4) plus General 

Government (GOV1) 4,944 0 0 0 0 0 0

 560 Hospital (COM6) 96 1 0 0 0 0 0

 575 Light and High Tech Industrial (IND2 + IND5) 59,995 5 4 0 0 0 0

 580 Food, Drug, Chemical Industrial (IND3) 131,630 444 602 369 61 359 334

 585 Metals and Minerals Industrial (IND4) 456,213 287,733 244,469 274 5 409 331

 590 Heavy Industrial (IND1) 322,907 4,272 2,393 1,291 22 8,207 4,018

 595 Light Industrial (IND2) 205,621 1 0 0 0 755 682

 596 Industrial plus Institutional plus Hospitals 1,498 20,945 7,431 43,533 2,836 2,441 1,618

 600 Gas Stations 706,612 0 0 0 0 0 0

 650 Refineries and Tank Farms 179,097 0 0 0 0 0 0

 800 Marine Ports 38,846 4,941 0 0 0 387 387

 870 Wastewater Treatment Facilities 113,129 6 14 0 12,102 0 0

 880 Drycleaners 62,250 34 19 0 0 1 1

nonptfire 320 Forest Land 136,301 12,945 681,659 5,720 5,763 36,228 30,700

nonroad 0 Area-to-point approach 1,341 11,301 13,874 1,062 7 812 782

 100 Population 6,852 44,996 34,627 5,212 32 5,127 4,924

 140 Housing Change and Population 141,298 803,061 1,055,624 84,880 522 74,139 71,373

 260 Total Railroad Miles 747 2,892 8,147 309 2 417 405

 300 Low Intensity Residential 278,233 25,983 3,480,368 1,021 112 4,512 4,151

 310 Total Agriculture 79,916 560,797 594,366 56,669 320 65,729 63,582

 350 Water 1,026,694 101,369 2,863,968 7,335 250 20,688 18,651

 400 Rural Land Area 506,559 29,108 1,368,055 2,339 109 14,398 13,269

 505 Industrial Land 84,088 329,799 1,346,733 8,892 66 7,811 7,568

 510 Commercial plus Industrial 198,112 149,185 3,849,233 10,940 177 12,386 11,800

 520 Commercial plus Industrial plus Institutional 153,668 23,514 863,325 1,965 44 7,763 7,217

 525 

Golf Courses plus Institutional plus Industrial 

plus Commercial 319,098 56,449 5,055,910 2,988 186 9,632 8,934

 535 

Residential + Commercial + Industrial + 

Institutional + Government 48,592 5,207 331,723 185 0 1,379 1,067

 850 Golf Courses 13,143 3,600 425,002 141 13 134 123

 860 Mines 777 3,499 3,074 353 2 511 495

 890 Commercial Timber 14,504 25,395 92,020 2,991 19 2,437 2,315

onroad 120 Urban Population 523,450 497,590 4,330,492 18,167 23,916 13,929 9,682

 130 Rural Population 264,478 364,912 3,144,685 13,439 14,357 9,943 7,219

 200 Urban Primary Road Miles 2,164,464 3,402,353 26,635,330 100,208 139,993 84,604 60,373

 210 Rural Primary Road Miles 1,154,400 2,488,813 16,874,154 74,451 70,498 64,955 49,307

 220 Urban Secondary Road Miles 263,021 343,284 2,871,806 10,893 14,835 8,610 5,944

 230 Rural Secondary Road Miles 478,176 689,757 5,954,392 25,221 27,109 18,646 13,479
B-3

Table B-2: Canadian 2000 and Mexican 1999 emissions within modeling domain, emissions by 

country, Sector and spatial surrogate type.

Country Sector 

Surg 

ID Surg Desc 

[tons/yr]

VOC 

[tons/yr]

NOX 

[tons/yr]

CO 

[tons/yr] 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

PM10 

[tons/yr]

PM2.5 

Canada othar 100 Total population 21,823 33,724 135,871 119 37 13,684 3,308

 901 Total dwelling 279,816 53,197 907,104 16,337 1,691 129,501 127,665

 902 

Agricultural and related service 

industries 8,480 0 0 0 563,358 271,145 13,567

 904 Logging and forestry industries 3,799 140 18,228 23 59 17,001 5,748

 905 

Mining (including milling), quarrying and 

oil well industries 701,620 204,462 19,377 127,261 1 3,923 1,100

 906 Manufacturing industries 375,102 36,692 56,306 13,777 1,259 22,174 14,841

 907 Construction industries 305,788 416,673 2,549,353 17,997 629 227,030 51,947

 908 Transportation and storage industries 0 0 0 0 55 0 0

 909 

Communication and other utility 

industries 148 16,834 1,650 4,010 388 603 424

 910 Wholesale trade industries 12,817 0 0 0 0 0 0

 911 Retail trade industries 70,585 0 0 0 0 0 0

 919 Other service industries 781 0 0 0 0 0 0

 920 

Combination of Wholesale trade and 

Retail trade industries 1,351 30,092 7,640 15,141 313 3,215 2,885

 922 

Combination of Forestry and 

Manufacturing industries 283 1,371 7,430 19 66 9,844 8,313

 924 

Combination of Communication 

industries and Total Dwelling 8,658 0 0 0 0 498 129

 925 

Combination of Construction industries 

and Total Dwelling 0 0 0 0 0 16,116 326

 926 

Combination of Government industries 

and Total Dwelling 4,256 0 8,825 0 1 4,346 3,952

 928 Marine corridors. 8,760 84,836 9,748 25,288 281 4,356 4,128

 929 Flight corridors, heavy jets 4,695 25,049 23,641 1,537 9 563 427

 931 Minor airport location 50km buffer 4,517 33,363 30,093 2,010 12 711 538

 932 Rail corridors. 5,434 109,068 20,792 4,369 10 2,706 2,421

 933 Forest fires. 60,315 14,615 486,804 60 1,579 52,890 44,172

 934 Light Duty Gasoline Vehicles (LDGV) 0 0 0 0 0 5,111 1,766

 941 Paved Roads 0 0 0 0 0 133,363 31,904

 942 Unpaved Roads 0 0 0 0 0 543,882 80,939

 othon 100 Total population 4,573 13,776 65,653 372 234 415 383

 934 Light Duty Gasoline Vehicles (LDGV) 221,917 193,391 3,193,668 8,838 11,106 1,067 1,014

 935 Light Duty Gasoline Trucks (LDGT) 146,634 118,995 2,271,283 6,231 5,874 1,182 995

 936 Heavy Duty Gasoline Vehicles (HDGV) 8,681 15,579 137,680 418 104 252 193

 937 Motorcycles (MC) 1,234 831 8,383 19 6 13 9

 938 Light Duty Diesel Vehicles (LDDV) 17,082 329,622 87,133 6,127 591 11,172 10,312

 939 Light Duty Diesel Trucks (LDDT) 3,454 7,209 6,157 557 32 893 824

 940 Heavy Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV) 7,405 195,161 40,807 3,814 385 4,700 4,342

Canada Total 2,290,011 1,934,679 10,093,626 254,323 588,082 1,482,356 418,573

Mexico othar 100 Total population 586,842 249,045 644,733 101,047 486,484 143,816 92,861

 othon 100 Total population 183,429 147,419 1,455,121 8,270 2,547 6,955 6,372

Mexico Total 770,270 396,464 2,099,854 109,316 489,031 150,772 99,233
C-4

Appendix C: Summary of Speciation Profile Assignments to U.S. 

Emission Sources 

The data included in Tables C-1 and C-2 are available in Excel format, which includes the data with Statesector detail. These data are in the Microsoft® Excel® file called “Appendix_C_08nov2007.xls” provided 

electronically at the “Documentation” link on http://www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/emch/index.html#2002 . The data 

for the “avefire” sector are also available in the MS Excel file. 

Table C-1: Continental U.S. VOC 2002 emissions in tons/year by speciation profile and sector. Model 

performance case (2002ac), using year-specific fires 

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

1313 Industry Average (circa 1990) Gasoline Exhaust 0.1 3,158,316 3,158,316

1101 Light Duty Gasoline Vehicles - 46 Car Study 2,156,033 2 2,156,035

0307 Miscellaneous Burning - Forest Fires 12 136,301 0.03 1,688,980 1,825,294

1305 

Industry Average (circa 1990) Gasoline Composite 

(Hot Soak + Diurnal) Evaporative 276,432 0.2 1,499,067 1,775,499

4641 Fireplace wood combustion - oak wood 1,467,378 1,467,378

8737 

Composite Profile - Non-xygenated Gasoline 

Headspace Vapor 933,818 0.003 55,203 989,021

3144 

Consumer Products Composite: Solvents And 

Coating Related Products 816,810 202 817,012

1207 Well Heads (Water Flood) Composite 419,646 419,646

4674 Diesel exhaust - medium duty trucks 50,665 139,284 513 190,607 381,070

8745 

Composite Profile - Degreasing: Cold Cleaning 

(Batch, Conveyor, Spray Gun) 330,125 11,141 341,267

8744 

Composite Profile - Architectural Coatings: Solvent 

Borne and water borne 313,677 313,677

8734 Composite Profile - Non-oxygenated Gasoline 295,259 295,259

0000 Over All Average 43,634 6 238,310 281,950

3142 

Consumer Products Composite: Adhesives And 

Sealants 214,469 130 214,599

3001 Pesticides 211,433 211,433

1191 Graphic Arts - (Printing) 187,306 2,695 190,001

1007 Mineral Products - Asphaltic Concrete 176,298 3,623 179,921

2405 Wood Furniture Coating 132,121 45,186 177,307

0121 Open Burning Dump - Landscape/Pruning 177,035 121 177,156

8520 

Consumer and Commercial Products: Automotive 

Aftermarket Products: All Automotive Aftermarket 

Products 174,457 174,457

3146 

Consumer Products Composite: Household 

Products 165,773 165,773

3138 Aerosol Coatings: Coatings (Unspecified) 161,253 161,253

1186 Heavy Duty Gasoline Trucks 156,447 284 156,731

3147 

Consumer Products Composite: Personal Care 

Products 153,986 153,986

2462 

Composite of 3 Fugitive Emission Profiles from 

Chemical Mfg. Facilities 106,158 46,137 152,295
C-5

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

8746 Composite Profile - Straw Burning 148,529 148,529

2402 Auto Refinishing 108,752 27,176 135,927

3003 Wastewater Treatment Plants 119,797 7,792 127,588

3139 Architectural Coatings: Solvent Borne 93,150 57 93,207

3149 Aerosol Coatings: Overall Composite 92,535 92,535

1185 Coal-Fired Boiler - Industrial 7,976 29,229 51,220 88,424

2485 

Composite of 21 Fugitive Emission Profiles from 

Petroleum Industry Facilities - 1993 14,371 67,558 81,929

3140 Architectural Coatings: Water Borne 80,651 3 80,654

2408 Can Coating 62,667 12,421 75,088

2489 

Composite of 15 Fugitive Emission Profiles from 

Petroleum Storage Facilities - 1993 3,299 4 70,053 73,357

2406 Metal Furniture Coating 41,206 22,196 63,402

0296 Fixed Roof Tank - Crude Oil Production 2 62,582 62,585

3127 Aerosol Coatings: Metallic Pigmented Coatings 61,678 61,678

3145 

Consumer Products Composite: Pesticides/FIFRARegulated Products 58,587 58,587

0003 External Combustion Boiler - Natural Gas 16,726 4,101 34,891 55,717

3161 Diesel Exhaust - Farm equipment 575 54,531 55,106

1188 Fermentation Processes 24,457 29,494 53,951

2572 Aircraft - Atlanta - August 27, 1990 48,390 85 4,869 53,344

2546 

Automotive Painting - Downwind Ground Based 

Compositions 7 42,401 42,408

0203 Solid Waste - Animal Waste Decomposition 42,192 42,192

1008 

Rubber and Miscellaneous Plastics Products - 

Fabricated Rubber Products - Styrene/Butadiene, 

Rubber 20,487 20,787 41,275

4662 Industrial surface coating operations - oil based 40,905 40,905

3135 Aerosol Coatings: Ground/Traffic/Marking Coatings 36,734 36,734

1001 Internal Combustion Engine - Natural Gas 2,838 301 33,492 36,632

2411 Appliances Coating 31,905 3,789 35,694

3131 Aerosol Coatings: Auto Body Primers 30,357 4,581 34,938

2422 Commercial/Industrial Dry Cleaners 31,750 31,750

0051 Flares - Natural Gas 18,890 12,464 31,355

3002 Landfills 26,600 4,193 30,793

1086 Printing/Flexographic 17,280 12,951 30,231

0007 Natural Gas Turbine 4,425 25,720 30,145

2552 Offset Printing - Plant B, Average of all rooms 23,481 4,195 27,675

1189 Pulp and Paper Industry - Plywood Veneer Dryer 27,390 27,390

2487 

Composite of 7 Emission Profiles from Crude Oil 

Storage Tanks - 1993 14,426 12,231 26,656

2480 

Industrial Cluster, Ship Channel, Downwind Sample 

- 1993 24,349 24,349

0305 Fixed Roof Tank - Crude Oil Marine Terminal 22,256 4 22,260

4421 Wheat Straw Burning 22,252 22,252

1012 

Oil and Gas Production - Fugitives - Valves and 

Fittings - Gas Service 21,757 21,757

2415 Marine Paints 18,222 2,463 20,685
C-6

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

1084 Residential Wood Combustion (C-1 - C-6) 4,629 197 15,789 20,616

4730 

External Combustion - Pulp and Paper Mills Kraft 

Precess Recovery Boiler 20,433 20,433

1005 Plastics Production - Polyester Resins 19,781 19,781

0282 Surface Coating Primer - Naptha 17,258 631 17,889

0122 Bar Screen Waste Incinerator 13,642 109 3,964 17,714

3137 

Aerosol Coatings: Vinyl/Fabric/Leather/Polycarb 

Coatings 11,964 4,251 16,215

2425 Surface Coatings - General 15,807 15,807

0195 Residential Fuel - Natural Gas 15,250 15,250

1187 Citrus Coating 15,035 15,035

2409 Coil Coating 11,720 2,479 14,199

0085 Perchloroethylene - Dry Cleaning 13,016 1,053 14,068

1036 Secondary Aluminum - Pouring and Casting 13,495 13,495

4553 Meat charbroiling 13,455 4 13,459

1011 

Oil and Gas Production - Fugitives - Valves and 

Fittings - Liquid Service 12,424 12,424

2545 Graphic Arts - Rotogravure 446 11,622 12,068

0274 Automobile Tire Production 11,250 11,250

2407 Paper, Foil, Film Coating 10,886 10,886

0316 Pipe/Valve Flanges 10,615 10,615

1010 Oil and Gas Production - Fugitives - Unclassified 10,595 10,595

2414 Aircraft Coating 10,436 42 10,478

0079 Chemical Manufacturing - Flares 2 10,207 10,209

1016 

Surface Coating Operations - Thinning Solvents - 

Composite 10,182 10,182

1088 Surface Coating Operations - Adhesive Application 9,602 9,602

0332 Printing Press - Lithography Inking and Drying 9,282 9,282

1089 

Secondary Metal Production - Gray Iron Foundries - 

Pouring/Casting 9,258 9,258

4661 Industrial surface coating operations - water based 8,971 8,971

0002 External Combustion Boiler - Distillate Oil 6,746 589 681 8,015

4547 

Gasoline Headspace Vapor - Circle K Diesel - 

adjusted for oxygenates 7,908 7,908

2466 

Industrial Point Source, Fabricated Metal Products - 

1993 64 7,598 7,662

2488 

Composite of 9 Emission Profiles from Distillate Oil 

Storage Tanks. - 1993 7,122 7,122

0001 External Combustion Boiler - Residual Oil 602 2,104 2,599 5,305

0297 Fixed Roof Tank - Crude Oil Refinery 0.1 5,203 5,203

1094 Paint Manufacture - Blending Kettle 4,524 4,524

2416 Rail Equipment Coating 4,522 4,522

2547 Polyethylene Plant: Kawasaki City 4,334 4,334

4420 Rice Straw Burning 4,323 4,323

0009 Reciprocating Distillate Oil Engine 1,255 676 2,260 4,190

1064 

Olefins Production - Ethylene - Compressor Lube 

Oil Vent 4,085 4,085
C-7

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

1024 

Terephthalic Acid/Dimethyl Terephthalate Distillation 

and Recovery Vent 4,077 4,077

0004 External Combustion Boiler - Refinery Gas 18 49 3,616 3,683

0029 Refinery Fluid Catalytic Cracker 3,659 3,659

1002 Chemical Manufacturing - Carbon Black Production 3,526 3,526

1056 

Ethylene Oxide - Oxygen Oxidation Process 

Reactor - CO2 Purge Vent 3,375 3,375

0011 By Product Coke Oven Stack Gas 3,065 3,065

0227 Surface Coating Solvent - Isopropyl Alcohol 2,927 2,927

0026 Asphaltic Concrete - In Place Road Asphalt 2,829 33 2,862

0014 Open Hearth Furnace With Oxygen Lance 2,581 2,581

0025 Asphaltic Concrete - Natural Gas Rotary Dryer 2,396 2,396

6002 Surface Coating Operations (Industrial) 2,369 2,369

4642 Fireplace wood combustion - pine wood 1,094 1,247 2,341

0016 Basic Oxygen Furnace 2,319 2,319

0271 Degreasing - Trichloroethylene 2,245 2,245

2544 Graphic Arts - Letterpress 53 2,180 2,233

0333 Lithography - Inking and Drying-Direct Fired Dryer 2,180 2,180

2456 

Composite of 5 Emission Profiles from 

Miscellaneous Industrial Plants 2,136 2,136

3141 Thinning Solvent/Mineral Spirits 2,130 2,130

2440 Varnishes - 1996 1,952 1,952

4652 Cooking potatoes - Deep frying in hydrogenated oil 1,843 59 1,902

1178 Coal-Fired Boiler - Electric Generation 1,264 3 633 1,900

1004 Plastics Production - Polystyrene 1,885 1,885

0100 Fixed Roof Tank - Commercial Jet Fuel (Jet A) 275 1,589 1,865

0090 Degreasing - Toluene 1,846 1,846

1092 

Synthetic Organic Fiber Production - Nylon Batch 

Production Process 1,187 514 1,700

1192 Degreasing 1,557 1,557

0068 Manufacturing - Plastics - Polypropylene 1,486 1,486

1110 Adipic Acid 1,452 1,452

1098 Aircraft Landing/Takeoff (LTO) - Commercial 464 14 954 1,432

3150 Gasoline Exhaust: Non-Catalyst- Stabilized 272 1 1,080 1,352

0008 Reciprocating Diesel Engine 364 975 1,338

1045 

Organic Acids Production - Acetic Anhydride - 

Distillation Column Vent 1,334 1,334

0013 Iron Sintering 1,220 1,220

0321 Pump Seals - Composite 1,150 1,150

1219 

Composite - CTM-56 Engine Burning JP-5 Fuel 

Across All Powers 1,073 1,073

2420 Degreasing, All Processes/All Industries 0.005 1,059 1,059

0273 Automotive Tires - Tuber Adhesive White Sidewall 1,001 1,001

0226 Surface Coating Solvent - Ethyl Alcohol 994 994

1095 

Textile Products - General Fabric Operations - 

Dyeing and Curing 953 953

0272 Automotive Tires - Tuber Adhesive 933 933

0304 Printing Press - Flexographic, N-Propyl Alcohol 916 916
C-8

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

1202 Primary Aluminum Production 913 913

4651 Cooking vegetables - Stir frying in canola oil 908 908

0005 External Combustion Boiler - Coke Oven Gas 100 617 717

0221 Paint Solvent - Methyl Ethyl Ketone 709 709

1137 Ethyl Mercaptan 691 691

1193 Dry cleaning 639 639

0225 Surface Coating - Primer - Mineral Spirits 621 621

2550 

Offset Printing - Plant A, Press/Plate Making 

Rooms, Average of Six Sites 577 577

1009 

Plastics Production - Acrylonitrile-Butadiene-Styrene 

Resin 562 562

1070 Alcohols Production - Methanol - Purge Gas Vent 562 562

0087 Degreasing - 1,1,1-Trichloroethane 530 530

0291 Surface Coating Solvent - Methyl Alcohol 526 526

1059 

Methyl Methacrylate (MMA) - Hydrolysis Reactor, 

MMA and Light Ends Distillation Unit 522 522

1096 

Textile Products - General Fabric Operations - 

Tenter Frame 520 520

3134 Aerosol Coatings: Exact Match Automotive Coatings 513 513

0076 General Pesticides 505 505

0223 Surface Coating - Varnish/Shellac Solvent - Xylene 504 504

0024 Asphalt Roofing Tar Kettle 494 494

0219 Surface Coating Paint Solvent - Acetone 422 422

0078 Ethylene Dichloride - Direct Chlorination 395 395

1062 Benzene 392 392

1044 Organic Acids Production - Formic Acid 385 385

1032 

Aldehydes Production - Acrolein - Distillation 

System 363 363

0230 Fixed Roof Tank - Hexane 353 353

2443 Geogenic Natural Gas from Los Angeles, 1972/1973 95 256 351

1082 

Tank Truck Cleaning - Low Vapor Pressure, Low 

Viscosity Cargo (Phenol) 334 334

0275 Degreasing - Dichloromethane 323 323

1006 

Phthalic Anhydride - O-Xylene Oxidation - Main 

Process Stream 321 321

1050 

Cyclohexanone/Cyclohexanol - Phenol 

Hydrogenation Process - Distillation Vent 314 314

1091 

Plastics Production - Polyvinyl Chlorides and 

Copolymers 303 303

1174 p-Xylene 291 291

0202 Solid Waste Landfill Site - Class II 287 287

1020 

Surface Coating Operations - Coating Application - 

Adhesives 286 286

1027 Ketone Production - Methyl Ethyl Ketone (MEK) 283 283

0220 Paint Solvent - Ethyl Acetate 279 279

1066 Styrene - General 278 278

0299 Fixed Roof Tank - Cyclohexane 261 261
C-9

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

0066 Varnish Manufacturing - Bodying Oil 232 232

2421 Coin-op Drycleaners/All Solvents 227 227

1078 

Railcar Cleaning - Low Vapor Pressure, High 

Viscosity Cargo (Ethylene Glycol) 214 214

1136 Ethyl Ether 209 209

1040 Fluorocarbons/Chlorofluorocarbons - General 197 197

1109 Acrylonitrile 179 179

1093 Fluorocarbon Manufacturing - CF 23/22 173 173

1030 

Aldehydes Production - Formaldehyde - Absorber 

Vent 164 164

1149 Methanol 158 158

1196 Drycleaning - Composite 152 152

1173 Propylene Oxide 134 134

1043 Acrylic Acid - Quench Absorber 122 122

1042 

Fluorocarbons/Chlorofluorocarbons - Fugitive 

Emissions - General 116 116

1052 Vinyl Acetate - CO2 Purge Vent 115 115

0089 Degreasing - 1,1,2-Trichloroethane 107 107

1034 Chloroprene - Butadiene Dryer 96 96

0289 Surface Coating Solvent - Butyl Alcohol 96 96

1031 

Surface Coating Operations - Thinning Solvent - 

Ethylene Oxide 93 93

1194 Autobody Repair 2 85 87

1054 Vinyl Acetate - Refining Column Vent 87 87

0277 Degreasing - Trichlorotrifluoroethane (Freon 113) 85 85

1060 

Methyl Methacrylate (MMA) - Acid Distillation and 

MMA Purification 83 83

1120 Acetylene 77 77

1057 

Ethylene Oxide - Oxygen Oxidation Process 

Reactor - Argon Purge Vent 74 74

0012 

Blast Furnace Ore Charging and Agglomerate 

Charging 69 69

2543 Graphic Arts - Lithography 38 27 66

1075 Chlorobenzene - Vacuum System Vent 58 58

0288 Surface Coating Solvent - Butyl Acetate 57 57

0088 Degreasing - Trichlorofluoromethane (Freon 11) 56 56

1123 Cumene 55 55

1125 Cyclohexanone 45 45

1038 

Organohalogens Production - Ethylene Dichloride - 

Ethylene Dichloride Via Oxychlorination 41 41

0290 Surface Coating Solvent - Cellosolve 40 40

0072 Printing Ink - Cooking 39 39

1023 

Terephthalic Acid/Dimethyl Terephthalate 

Crystallization, Separation and Drying Vent 37 37

1048 

Cumene Production - Cumene Distillation System 

Vent 34 34

1158 Methyl T-Butyl Ether 32 32
C-10

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

1218 

Composite - TF-39 Engine Burning JP-5 Fuel 

Across All Powers 29 29

1165 o-Xylene 26 26

1022 

Printing/Publishing - Ink Thinning Solvents - Methyl 

Isobutyl Ketone 24 24

1049 Cyclohexane - General 24 24

1058 Ethylene Oxide - Stripper Purge Vent 23 23

1105 Acetic Acid 22 22

1135 Ethyl Benzene 19 19

1053 Vinyl Acetate - Inhibitor Mix Tank Discharge 19 19

1195 Degreasing - Composite 18 18

1134 Ethyl Acrylate 18 18

1106 Acetic Anhydride 18 18

1200 Cyclopentane 18 18

1051 Vinyl Acetate - Inert Gas Purge Vent 17 17

0301 Fixed Roof Tank - Heptane 17 17

1072 Chlorobenzene - Tail Gas Scrubber 14 14

0292 Surface Coating Solvent - Dimethylformamide 14 14

1047 Esters Production - Butyl Acrylate 14 14

1028 Acetone - Light Ends Distillation Vent 13 13

0217 Coke Oven Blast Furnace Gas 13 13

1114 Butyl Acrylate 12 12

1081 

Tank Truck Cleaning - Medium Vapor Pressure, 

Medium Viscosity Cargo (Methyl Methacrylate) 12 12

1132 Ethanolamines 11 11

1076 Chlorobenzene - Dichlorobenzene Crystallization 11 11

1176 Toluene Diisocyanate 10 10

1071 Alcohols Production - Methanol - Distillation Vent 9 9

1216 

Composite of 6 Engines Burning JP-4 Fuel Across 

All Powers 9 9

1139 Ethyleneamines 9 9

1065 

Propylene Oxide - Chlorohydronation Process - 

General 9 9

1119 Carbon Tetrachloride 8 8

0222 Surface Coating - Enamel Cellosolve Acetate 8 8

1147 Isobutyl Alcohol 8 8

1150 Methyl Acetate 7 7

1160 Nitrobenzene 6 6

0228 Surface Coating Solvent - Isopropyl Acetate 6 6

1122 Cresol 5 5

1118 Carbitol 5 5

1079 

Rail Car Cleaning - Low Vapor Pressure, Medium 

Viscosity Cargo (O-Dichlorobenzene) 5 5

1073 Chlorobenzene - Benzene Drying Distillation 5 5

1199 Isopentane 4 4

4429 Aromatic 150 4 4

1131 Epichlorohydrin 4 4

1198 Pentane 4 4
C-11

Spec 

Prf Profile Description alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad ptipm ptnonipm onroad ptfire Grand Total

0229 Surface Coating Solvent - Lactol Spirits 4 4

1067 Styrene - Benzene Recycle 4 4

1061 

Nitrobenzene - Reactor and Separator Vent - 

Washer and Neutralizer Vent 4 4

1108 Acrylic Acid 4 4

1074 Monochlorobenzene 4 4

1175 Tert- Butyl Alcohol 3 3

1029 Acetone - Acetone Finishing Column 3 3

1083 

Tank Truck Cleaning - Low Vapor Pressure, High 

Viscosity Cargo (Propylene Glycol) 3 3

1025 

Terephthalic Acid/Dimethyl Terephthalate Product 

Transfer Vent 3 3

1159 m-Xylene 3 3

1197 Isooctane 2 2

1124 Cyclohexanol 2 2

1104 Acetaldehyde 2 2

1148 Isoprene 2 2

1121 Chloroform 2 2

1162 n-Butraldehyde 2 2

1126 Cyclopentene 2 2

1164 n-Dodecane 2 2

1111 Aniline 1 1

1069 Organic Chemical Storage - N-Propyl Acetate 1 1

1171 Propionaldehyde 1 1

1140 Formaldehyde 1 1

1128 Diisopropyl Benzene 1 1

1033 

Aldehydes Production - Acrolein - Reactor Blowoff 

Gas 1 1

1116 Butyl Cellosolve 1 1

1127 Diethylene Glycol 1 1

1103 1-Pentene 1 1

1146 Isobutyl Acrylate 1 1

1152 Methyl Carbitol 1 1

1141 Formic Acid 1 1

1142 Furfural 1 1

1129 Dipropylene Glycol 0.5 0.5

1077 

Chlorobenzene - Dichlorobenzene Crystal Handling 

/ Loading 0.3 0.3

1151 Methyl Acrylate 0.2 0.2

1163 n-Decane 0.1 0.1

1026 

Surface Coating Operations - Thinning Solvent - 

Hexylene Glycol 0.1 0.1

1172 Propionic Acid 0.1 0.1

1138 Ethylene Dibromide 0.05 0.05

1055 Organic Chemical Storage - Methylamyl Ketone 0.04 0.04

8075 Solvent Utilization:Carbon Disulfide 0.02 0.02

1087 Organic Chemical Storage - i-Butyl, i-Butyrate 0.01 0.01

1130 Dodecene 0.01 0.01

1112 Benzyl Chloride 0.01 0.01

1115 Butyl Carbitol 0.004 0.004
C-12

Table C-2: Continental U.S. PM2.5 2002 emissions in tons/year by speciation profile and sector. Model 

performance case (2002ac), using year-specific fires 

Spec 

Prf Profile Description afdust alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad onroad ptfire ptipm ptnonipm 

Grand 

Total 

92001 Agricultural Soil 758,396 758,396

92020 Construction Dust 536,990 3,294 540,284

92090 Wildfires 458,792 458,792

92015 Charbroiling 448,143 7,959 456,102

92072 Residual Oil Combustion 53,307 336,737 17,097 5,838 412,979

92025 Distillate Oil Combustion 61,583 1,220 228,906 2,891 294,599

92049 Noncatalyst Gasoline Exhaust 14,298 161,714 6,505 20,013 202,531

92035 HDDV Exhaust 34,672 18,218 18,073 1,265 28,819 58,510 2,209 161,767

92053 Paved Road Dust 153,454 715 154,169

92088 Unpaved Road Dust 134,229 6,632 140,861

92059 Prescribed Burning 3 132,135 15 132,154

92073 Sand & Gravel 106,555 1,865 10,040 118,460

92091 Wood Fired Boiler 14,559 82,717 2,272 99,548

92042 LDDV Exhaust 89,177 89,177

92048 Natural Gas Combustion 12,126 40,118 18,953 71,197

92000 Agricultural Burning 17 62,309 1,177 63,504

92023 Dairy Soil 57,889 2,179 68 60,136

92063 Residential Natural Gas Combustion 5,404 53,614 59,018

92084 SubBituminousCombustion 30,493 5,415 8,491 44,399

92082 Solid Waste Combustion 28,584 11,585 3,176 43,345

92014 Cement Production 33,714 9,399 43,113

92092 Wood Product Drying 1,935 36,630 38,565

92080 Slash Burning 29,481 8,006 37,487

92006 Asphalt Roofing 25,139 1,751 26,890

92038 Industrial Soil 5,988 960 14,665 21,613

92085 Surface Coating 1,527 18,834 20,361

92071 Residential Wood Combustion: Synthetic 19,479 19,479

92057 PMSO2ControlledLigniteCombustion 16,343 66 16,409

92009 Brake Lining Dust 0.1 15,770 15,770

92074 Sandblast 15,170 15,170

92044 Lime Kiln 13,803 13,803

92037 Ind Manuf 597 207 11,883 12,687

92052 Overall Average/Default 2,058 244 9,795 12,097

92022 Crustal Material 10,707 10,707

92031 Food & Ag 405 9,210 9,616

92039 Inorganic Chemical Manufacture 11 9,562 9,573

92003 Ammonium Nitrate Production 8,936 8,936

92046 Meat Frying 8,149 8,149

92016 Charcoal Manufacturing 7,609 7,609

92087 Tire Dust 6,866 6,866

92045 Limestone Dust 5 6,560 6,565

92061 Pulp & Paper 6,481 6,481

92034 Gypsum Manufacture 6,471 6,471

92017 Chem Manuf 482 5,967 6,449

92030 Food & Ag 3,265 0.4 2,391 5,657
C-13

Spec 

Prf Profile Description afdust alm nonpt nonptfire nonroad onroad ptfire ptipm ptnonipm 

Grand 

Total 

92047 Mineral Products 2,975 601 1,833 5,408

92029 Fly Ash 5,261 5,261

92093 Wood Product Sanding 5,248 5,248

92077 Secondary Copper 5,226 5,226

92005 Asphalt Manufacturing 5,131 5,131

92002 Aluminum Production 31 3,927 3,958

92055 Phosphate Manuf 3,648 3,648

92019 Coke Calciner 3,356 3,356

92026 Electric Arc Furnace 3,157 3,157

92062 Residential Coal Combustion 3,091 3,091

92041 Kraft Recovery Furnace 2,955 2,955

92081 Sludge Combustion 2,833 2,833

92028 Fiberglass Manufacture 2,817 2,817

92033 Glass Furnace 2,790 2,790

92054 Petroleum Ind 1,743 951 2,694

92036 Heat Treating 179 2,489 2,668

92043 Lead Production 2,492 2,492

92050 Onroad Gasoline Exhaust 2,277 12 2,289

92094 Wood Product Sawing 2,034 2,034

92060 Process Gas Combustion 140 1,763 1,904

92076 Secondary Aluminum 1,582 1,582

92089 Urea Fertilizer 1,474 1,474

92068 Residential Wood Combustion: HardSoft 1,434 1,434

92058 Potato Dee 1,265 1,265

92051 Open Hearth Furnace 1,093 1,093

92013 Catalytic Cracking 990 990

92027 Ferromanganese Furnace 962 962

92078 Secondary Lead 904 904

92083 Steel Desulfurization 860 860

92040 Inorganic Fertilizer 626 626

92012 Cast Iron Cupola 605 605

92079 Sintering Furnace 578 578

92075 Sea Salt 534 534

92007 Auto Body Shredding 532 532

92010 Brick Grinding and Screening 494 494

92021 Copper Production 443 443

92004 Ammonium Sulfate Production 224 224

92086 Tire Burning 148 148

92056 PMControlledLigniteCombustion 109 109

92095 BituminousCoalCombustion 97 97

92011 Calcium Carbide Furnace 33 33

92008 Boric Acid Manufacturing 3 3
D-1 

Appendix D: State-Sector Emissions Summaries for 2002 Base and FuBase Cases: 2009, 2014, 2020 and 2030 The following tables contain the state-sector emission summaries for the 2002 base case and future-year base cas

contains data for VOC, NOX and CO, and Table D-1b contains data for SO2, NH3, PM10, and PM2.5. Table D-1a: Continental US, VOC, NOx, and CO emissions by Sector for 2002, and projection years 2009, 201

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,383 2,831 2,916 3,065 3,379 36,047 32,548 32,194 32,815 35,753 10,328 11,05avefire 8,951 8,951 8,951 8,951 8,951 3,814 3,814 3,814 3,814 3,814 175,140 175,140 nonpt 213,956 205,838 197,006 193,002 193,002 32,024 31,978 31,945 31,906 31,906 188,564 184,08nonroad 55,574 46,218 40,250 36,029 36,955 29,396 25,392 20,092 15,494 13,611 378,753 253,82onroad 104,783 67,451 53,305 43,750 39,517 153,968 91,435 57,113 37,772 28,545 1,237,459 733,43ptipm 1,394 1,335 1,423 1,462 1,462 161,767 71,365 47,854 39,998 39,998 10,879 13,70

Alabama 

ptnonipm 47,722 38,365 38,365 38,365 38,365 80,901 68,040 68,040 68,040 68,040 174,483 174,09

Alabama Total 434,763 370,990 342,216 324,624 321,631 497,917 324,573 261,053 229,839 221,667 2,175,607 1,545,33

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,482 3,599 3,818 4,102 4,374 30,813 26,449 26,197 26,459 26,959 20,495 21,45avefire 21,385 21,385 21,385 21,385 21,385 10,532 10,532 10,532 10,532 10,532 440,419 440,41nonpt 80,463 76,919 71,758 71,115 71,115 8,637 8,618 8,605 8,589 8,589 44,127 42,56nonroad 53,546 41,848 37,833 35,883 38,007 38,699 32,525 25,480 18,219 14,796 440,675 337,23onroad 85,187 65,051 54,052 46,416 46,068 159,756 104,428 66,634 43,914 37,539 836,126 621,95ptipm 626 947 950 992 992 85,967 74,862 50,463 50,569 50,569 8,185 19,12

Arizona 

ptnonipm 4,611 4,164 4,164 4,164 4,164 11,439 11,439 11,439 11,439 11,439 8,259 8,25

Arizona Total 249,300 213,913 193,959 184,056 186,105 345,843 268,853 199,350 169,721 160,422 1,798,285 1,491,01

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

Arkansas 

alm 2,295 2,357 2,380 2,418 2,514 39,743 34,685 33,722 33,539 35,309 14,371 14,980 
D-2 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

avefire 5,821 5,821 5,821 5,821 5,821 2,654 2,654 2,654 2,654 2,654 123,699 123,69nonpt 99,381 96,818 92,455 91,751 91,751 21,453 21,436 21,424 21,410 21,410 174,777 173,43nonroad 35,683 31,954 27,582 23,439 23,324 28,527 24,467 19,384 14,231 10,579 231,619 162,75onroad 56,465 36,323 29,742 24,814 23,579 83,722 50,832 32,840 22,581 18,207 735,366 426,24ptipm 520 690 790 799 799 42,218 24,262 26,839 26,271 26,271 4,182 9,08ptnonipm 32,044 27,717 27,717 27,717 27,717 27,605 27,370 27,370 27,370 27,370 51,502 51,43

Arkansas Total 232,209 201,682 186,488 176,760 175,506 245,923 185,706 164,233 148,055 141,799 1,335,515 961,63
D-3 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 19,726 20,089 20,729 21,681 23,104 175,373 161,455 155,977 154,530 164,113 108,995 112,00avefire 54,619 54,619 54,619 54,619 54,619 24,563 24,563 24,563 24,563 24,563 1,157,187 1,157,18nonpt 461,331 450,831 449,537 451,112 451,112 121,882 121,674 121,525 121,347 121,347 458,977 447,100 nonroad 148,269 127,633 114,489 108,594 128,506 240,256 193,950 153,910 110,789 84,400 1,058,968 1,028,01onroad 343,693 202,321 149,537 114,486 87,676 643,919 492,500 346,901 231,335 160,727 3,434,055 1,942,47ptipm 1,288 1,076 1,372 1,800 1,800 13,071 13,111 15,031 16,691 16,691 23,900 53,86

California 

ptnonipm 54,610 46,571 46,767 47,121 47,121 91,967 91,434 91,261 92,143 92,143 97,092 97,33

California Total 1,083,536 903,139 837,050 799,413 793,938 1,311,031 1,098,687 909,168 751,398 663,984 6,339,176 4,837,97

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,366 1,453 1,499 1,557 1,608 19,208 16,132 15,818 15,869 16,103 10,641 11,60avefire 13,610 13,610 13,610 13,610 13,610 6,271 6,271 6,271 6,271 6,271 288,013 288,01nonpt 87,037 85,653 83,973 84,311 84,311 11,464 11,412 11,375 11,331 11,331 85,393 82,10nonroad 42,009 33,318 30,177 27,864 29,057 35,398 30,263 24,069 17,609 13,876 389,240 263,050 onroad 84,387 61,463 53,663 46,984 46,833 127,564 83,534 55,858 40,184 36,093 1,103,120 709,65ptipm 973 731 769 838 838 79,167 64,412 60,593 61,605 61,605 7,578 11,26

Colorado 

ptnonipm 90,768 37,097 35,068 34,442 34,442 39,499 38,342 38,342 38,342 38,342 28,063 27,53

Colorado Total 320,150 233,324 218,759 209,606 210,698 318,571 250,366 212,326 191,211 183,620 1,912,049 1,393,23

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 845 876 956 1,061 1,169 3,945 3,834 3,868 4,003 4,140 12,149 12,66avefire 31 31 31 31 31 14 14 14 14 14 667 66nonpt 105,580 100,907 99,011 96,848 96,848 12,554 12,498 12,459 12,411 12,411 69,769 65,42nonroad 32,327 23,609 20,404 19,242 20,383 17,897 14,869 11,646 9,285 8,635 258,776 188,68onroad 47,757 30,899 24,426 18,176 15,441 66,813 38,434 23,218 13,530 8,997 641,901 369,12ptipm 305 109 134 181 181 6,161 3,391 4,095 5,447 5,447 1,920 8,43

Connecticut 

ptnonipm 4,602 4,182 4,182 4,182 4,182 6,706 6,571 6,571 6,571 6,571 2,133 2,13

Connecticut Total 191,447 160,613 149,143 139,721 138,234 114,091 79,613 61,871 51,261 46,215 987,315 647,13
D-4 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 483 531 557 599 695 10,429 10,912 11,292 12,258 15,326 2,890 3,01avefire 64 64 64 64 64 23 23 23 23 23 1,332 1,33nonpt 15,468 14,558 14,210 13,919 13,919 3,259 3,251 3,246 3,239 3,239 11,640 11,08nonroad 8,677 6,386 5,514 5,153 5,408 5,308 4,559 3,692 2,882 2,500 65,811 48,86onroad 11,382 7,514 5,695 4,639 4,191 21,679 12,180 7,214 4,404 3,535 155,366 89,77ptipm 91 122 151 152 152 9,533 9,675 9,380 8,327 8,327 866 1,710 

Delaware 

ptnonipm 4,659 4,193 4,193 4,193 4,193 7,308 4,682 4,682 4,682 4,682 8,853 8,73

Delaware Total 40,823 33,368 30,383 28,719 28,621 57,538 45,281 39,529 35,813 37,631 246,758 164,50

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 22 30 31 32 33 571 560 535 527 508 79 9avefire 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 nonpt 4,118 3,917 3,882 3,882 3,882 1,740 1,739 1,738 1,738 1,738 1,819 1,75nonroad 1,918 1,412 1,235 1,203 1,290 3,060 2,536 1,921 1,244 919 18,061 15,55onroad 5,423 3,621 2,719 2,215 1,984 8,772 4,772 2,703 1,536 1,235 65,418 39,31ptipm 4 0 0 0 0 710 3 6 6 6 50 

District of Columbia 

ptnonipm 69 69 69 69 69 418 418 418 418 418 247 24

District of Columbia Total 11,554 9,048 7,935 7,400 7,257 15,271 10,027 7,321 5,468 4,824 85,676 56,97

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,053 3,190 3,387 3,652 4,052 55,127 52,369 51,374 52,172 57,895 43,166 44,68avefire 56,159 56,159 56,159 56,159 56,159 25,600 25,600 25,600 25,600 25,600 1,193,147 1,193,14nonpt 459,700 455,329 434,205 432,980 432,980 29,533 29,492 29,463 29,428 29,428 202,108 198,70nonroad 239,540 176,943 159,802 153,184 162,071 117,138 104,404 89,130 69,322 60,662 1,762,587 1,222,61onroad 362,851 225,931 179,866 150,140 147,070 448,520 274,295 178,863 125,477 102,919 3,797,717 2,105,54ptipm 2,236 1,869 2,143 2,522 2,522 272,057 80,931 56,740 61,118 61,118 52,142 64,310 

Florida 

ptnonipm 37,204 34,201 34,201 34,201 34,201 54,078 54,030 54,030 54,030 54,030 86,821 86,82

Florida Total 1,160,742 953,622 869,762 832,839 839,056 1,002,054 621,122 485,199 417,147 391,651 7,137,689 4,915,820 
D-5 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,776 1,976 2,034 2,120 2,239 39,986 35,539 35,200 35,767 37,633 11,058 11,97avefire 21,834 21,834 21,834 21,834 21,834 7,955 7,955 7,955 7,955 7,955 350,924 350,92nonpt 248,214 242,922 235,296 234,053 234,053 38,919 38,853 38,806 38,750 38,750 194,402 189,01nonroad 81,856 63,348 56,758 52,569 55,247 57,979 48,390 38,051 27,695 22,875 730,260 519,18onroad 185,962 123,053 101,749 84,255 79,932 307,544 185,968 116,118 75,433 57,840 2,245,133 1,362,63ptipm 1,182 1,316 1,363 1,426 1,426 146,351 84,937 59,755 60,722 60,722 9,371 13,15

Georgia 

ptnonipm 33,735 27,728 27,728 27,728 27,728 51,170 42,554 42,554 42,554 42,554 131,306 130,600 

Georgia Total 574,559 482,177 446,762 423,986 422,461 649,905 444,198 338,439 288,877 268,330 3,672,454 2,577,48

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 713 722 749 782 815 8,297 7,008 6,857 6,777 6,778 10,893 11,30avefire 29,989 29,989 29,989 29,989 29,989 14,024 14,024 14,024 14,024 14,024 630,971 630,97nonpt 141,328 139,434 137,490 136,421 136,421 30,317 30,305 30,296 30,285 30,285 95,417 94,19nonroad 23,153 21,173 18,319 15,135 14,525 15,611 13,849 11,345 8,507 6,374 137,661 96,79onroad 27,934 19,329 16,912 14,608 13,944 44,628 28,237 18,306 12,480 10,483 389,120 237,76ptipm 0 14 22 26 26 19 94 270 367 367 4 54

Idaho 

ptnonipm 2,113 1,725 1,725 1,725 1,725 11,467 11,467 11,467 11,467 11,467 23,977 23,97

Idaho Total 225,230 212,386 205,206 198,686 197,444 124,363 104,983 92,565 83,906 79,777 1,288,044 1,095,55

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 4,205 4,211 4,185 4,183 4,320 120,834 104,171 99,880 98,522 102,737 16,365 17,89avefire 156 156 156 156 156 71 71 71 71 71 3,323 3,32nonpt 278,553 274,561 269,109 268,977 268,977 47,645 47,588 47,548 47,500 47,500 99,568 93,96nonroad 99,398 77,488 67,523 61,819 64,816 115,426 94,695 72,953 51,566 39,673 830,513 656,87onroad 164,697 108,448 87,212 72,527 68,277 297,056 182,060 111,020 69,518 51,760 2,090,188 1,272,670 ptipm 1,536 2,381 2,560 2,657 2,657 179,125 83,848 89,782 71,620 71,620 14,627 15,79

Illinois 

ptnonipm 71,066 58,404 58,591 58,821 58,821 94,009 71,002 71,514 73,036 73,036 78,820 78,19

Illinois Total 619,612 525,649 489,337 469,141 468,026 854,165 583,435 492,768 411,834 386,397 3,133,402 2,138,72
D-6 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,224 2,606 2,682 2,790 2,954 52,285 46,823 45,667 45,598 47,880 14,057 15,20avefire 194 194 194 194 194 88 88 88 88 88 4,124 4,12nonpt 179,635 175,119 169,044 167,998 167,998 30,185 30,143 30,113 30,077 30,077 74,953 71,17nonroad 58,290 45,641 39,383 35,579 37,055 64,575 53,155 40,427 28,951 23,097 490,545 348,13onroad 140,188 88,653 73,730 62,110 56,619 216,188 129,374 82,459 55,049 42,080 1,738,790 1,012,62ptipm 2,015 2,165 2,228 2,296 2,296 283,890 133,912 124,167 89,313 89,313 15,540 17,81

Indiana 

ptnonipm 55,935 51,787 51,787 51,787 51,787 80,147 67,032 67,032 67,032 67,032 364,487 364,48

Indiana Total 438,480 366,164 339,048 322,754 318,904 727,359 460,527 389,953 316,109 299,568 2,702,495 1,833,56

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,653 1,661 1,649 1,634 1,631 33,166 26,959 25,825 25,333 25,870 7,209 7,86avefire 197 197 197 197 197 90 90 90 90 90 4,185 4,18nonpt 77,838 75,491 71,828 70,642 70,642 15,150 15,090 15,046 14,995 14,995 68,958 64,01nonroad 52,138 36,504 33,409 30,975 31,468 62,066 54,867 44,687 32,571 21,882 309,048 222,59onroad 75,852 48,452 40,299 34,011 31,136 115,521 73,751 48,103 32,218 26,448 1,055,157 621,00ptipm 579 850 908 980 980 81,995 55,090 58,628 59,383 59,383 5,444 7,94

Iowa 

ptnonipm 37,943 32,631 32,631 32,631 32,631 38,861 38,837 38,837 38,837 38,837 36,521 36,50

Iowa Total 246,201 195,786 180,921 171,071 168,686 346,849 264,683 231,217 203,427 187,504 1,486,523 964,11

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,133 2,163 2,140 2,106 2,064 41,147 33,193 31,895 31,222 31,119 9,118 9,92avefire 828 828 828 828 828 378 378 378 378 378 17,600 17,600 nonpt 135,449 134,134 131,964 131,970 131,970 42,286 42,260 42,242 42,219 42,219 850,800 848,39nonroad 24,728 18,953 16,491 15,041 15,502 47,653 40,898 32,678 23,003 14,394 240,503 157,86onroad 52,786 33,638 27,861 23,429 22,563 85,617 50,252 31,627 21,109 17,589 683,936 391,57ptipm 1,062 821 844 864 864 96,943 70,545 51,433 51,547 51,547 6,793 6,22

Kansas 

ptnonipm 26,274 22,766 22,766 22,766 22,766 70,704 70,616 70,616 70,616 70,616 74,809 74,77

Kansas Total 243,261 213,303 202,893 197,004 196,557 384,728 308,143 260,868 240,094 227,862 1,883,560 1,506,360 
D-7 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,487 2,629 2,716 2,868 3,195 70,391 64,975 63,275 63,565 69,851 17,830 19,31avefire 2,909 2,909 2,909 2,909 2,909 1,326 1,326 1,326 1,326 1,326 61,812 61,81nonpt 105,281 101,927 97,456 96,199 96,199 17,557 17,480 17,424 17,358 17,358 108,397 102,05nonroad 39,806 33,708 29,041 25,361 25,698 31,792 26,961 21,171 15,738 12,617 282,098 203,44onroad 82,321 51,892 42,149 34,769 31,858 147,749 85,183 51,140 32,067 24,626 1,052,158 599,76ptipm 1,479 1,561 1,615 1,696 1,696 200,955 95,712 68,876 62,024 62,024 12,544 28,31

Kentucky 

ptnonipm 44,884 42,586 42,581 42,589 42,589 38,541 28,382 28,382 28,382 28,382 110,047 110,04

Kentucky Total 279,168 237,212 218,465 206,392 204,145 508,311 320,019 251,594 220,459 216,183 1,644,885 1,124,75

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,960 4,264 4,498 4,966 6,236 216,290 209,740 204,037 205,657 233,694 45,941 47,62avefire 7,137 7,137 7,137 7,137 7,137 3,254 3,254 3,254 3,254 3,254 151,658 151,65nonpt 135,934 133,648 127,217 126,631 126,631 27,559 27,535 27,518 27,498 27,498 139,222 137,300 nonroad 61,307 51,973 44,943 39,985 40,623 28,899 25,735 21,286 16,835 14,547 364,963 245,59onroad 77,802 49,098 38,299 31,376 31,178 124,192 70,328 43,492 28,662 23,290 943,962 539,20ptipm 1,239 574 645 714 714 82,293 25,960 27,522 27,607 27,607 12,682 26,76

Louisiana 

ptnonipm 79,781 61,820 61,820 61,820 61,820 211,449 211,225 211,225 211,225 211,225 134,203 133,98

Louisiana Total 367,159 308,515 284,560 272,630 274,339 693,935 573,776 538,334 520,739 541,115 1,792,631 1,282,120 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 365 370 375 388 423 1,708 1,716 1,711 1,781 2,112 3,650 3,76avefire 1,258 1,258 1,258 1,258 1,258 566 566 566 566 566 26,592 26,59nonpt 88,028 82,684 79,463 75,901 75,901 7,423 7,334 7,270 7,192 7,192 104,033 97,02nonroad 30,025 28,193 24,234 19,744 18,497 8,271 7,400 6,302 5,464 5,307 138,111 105,82onroad 26,131 17,146 14,673 12,325 10,670 47,227 26,670 16,408 10,550 7,687 360,595 210,87ptipm 67 236 214 132 132 1,188 6,660 6,208 3,969 3,969 1,084 5,98

Maine 

ptnonipm 5,151 4,542 4,542 4,542 4,542 18,895 18,045 18,045 18,045 18,045 15,861 15,10

Maine Total 151,026 134,429 124,759 114,290 111,422 85,277 68,390 56,509 47,566 44,878 649,927 465,18
D-8 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 5,360 5,482 5,733 6,069 6,432 17,106 16,209 15,875 16,480 18,380 17,581 18,06avefire 353 353 353 353 353 137 137 137 137 137 6,129 6,12nonpt 126,362 120,308 118,030 116,078 116,078 21,715 21,667 21,633 21,592 21,592 141,960 138,16nonroad 51,369 38,023 33,652 32,241 34,382 27,495 23,271 18,960 14,651 12,719 414,390 339,87onroad 71,591 48,559 38,202 31,292 28,704 121,659 68,358 41,721 25,955 20,660 1,004,611 599,43ptipm 478 521 616 693 693 73,527 18,640 20,882 22,653 22,653 4,546 10,59

Maryland 

ptnonipm 5,758 4,570 4,570 4,570 4,570 22,109 17,826 17,826 17,826 17,826 94,448 94,40

Maryland Total 261,270 217,815 201,154 191,296 191,211 283,748 166,108 137,033 119,293 113,967 1,683,666 1,206,67

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,443 2,487 2,601 2,734 2,921 17,144 15,668 15,702 16,151 17,570 18,602 19,52avefire 747 747 747 747 747 341 341 341 341 341 15,878 15,87nonpt 176,731 168,492 165,353 161,951 161,951 34,373 34,283 34,219 34,143 34,143 136,753 129,91nonroad 52,921 39,377 34,017 31,809 33,486 30,046 25,055 19,746 15,707 14,545 423,212 313,85onroad 71,646 45,768 35,321 28,541 26,110 128,362 67,279 38,153 22,168 17,469 960,011 542,30ptipm 595 384 370 427 427 32,561 11,748 10,341 12,444 12,444 10,922 9,10

Massachusetts 

ptnonipm 7,722 6,559 6,559 6,559 6,559 15,394 14,849 14,849 14,849 14,849 10,656 10,62

Massachusetts Total 312,806 263,814 244,968 232,768 232,202 258,220 169,223 133,352 115,802 111,360 1,576,034 1,041,20

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,504 2,732 2,987 3,375 4,065 43,025 44,993 47,692 53,325 69,133 26,763 28,62avefire 724 724 724 724 724 330 330 330 330 330 15,380 15,380 nonpt 248,382 236,151 227,606 226,489 226,489 43,499 43,424 43,371 43,306 43,306 94,909 96,47nonroad 173,241 147,590 124,499 104,755 103,718 70,912 63,773 52,230 43,538 41,589 1,013,991 688,69onroad 207,762 124,457 104,607 88,580 79,226 315,420 189,800 120,465 80,551 60,564 2,744,658 1,461,55ptipm 1,243 1,350 1,562 1,602 1,602 141,908 83,271 80,290 79,933 79,933 13,367 12,92

Michigan 

ptnonipm 39,832 32,854 32,854 32,854 32,854 82,202 77,597 77,597 77,597 77,597 66,873 66,68

Michigan Total 673,689 545,857 494,838 458,378 448,677 697,296 503,189 421,975 378,581 372,452 3,975,941 2,370,34
D-9 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,611 1,662 1,672 1,712 1,871 55,371 50,040 48,393 48,235 52,459 8,411 8,98avefire 5,047 5,047 5,047 5,047 5,047 2,300 2,300 2,300 2,300 2,300 107,237 107,23nonpt 125,318 121,402 116,713 115,950 115,950 56,700 56,616 56,557 56,485 56,485 139,234 132,19nonroad 97,104 86,673 76,510 67,902 60,721 68,820 59,324 48,614 36,926 28,213 452,734 385,32onroad 102,566 73,518 62,866 53,880 46,670 163,172 106,140 65,740 43,094 35,370 1,314,360 897,66ptipm 646 672 815 916 916 86,917 38,630 41,007 42,469 42,469 7,468 5,93

Minnesota 

ptnonipm 29,541 26,591 26,652 26,726 26,726 67,813 66,107 66,325 66,615 66,615 47,015 47,36

Minnesota Total 361,833 315,564 290,274 272,132 257,902 501,094 379,158 328,936 296,125 283,912 2,076,459 1,584,70

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,386 2,516 2,548 2,651 2,997 66,650 61,821 60,034 60,314 67,010 10,656 11,33avefire 8,407 8,407 8,407 8,407 8,407 3,833 3,833 3,833 3,833 3,833 178,646 178,64nonpt 156,390 154,665 149,624 148,789 148,789 12,212 12,169 12,139 12,103 12,103 129,408 125,24nonroad 36,056 31,622 27,255 23,620 23,727 22,180 19,058 15,120 11,400 9,220 214,179 149,76onroad 62,375 40,881 31,707 26,200 24,829 105,505 62,300 37,951 24,286 18,302 739,190 448,20ptipm 629 363 429 472 472 45,850 29,058 23,371 20,263 20,263 5,286 4,40

Mississippi 

ptnonipm 43,224 37,751 37,751 37,751 37,751 60,244 58,269 56,826 56,826 56,826 54,587 53,58

Mississippi Total 309,467 276,205 257,721 247,890 246,971 316,473 246,507 209,274 189,025 187,557 1,331,952 971,17

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,439 3,537 3,603 3,712 3,926 79,583 70,030 68,145 67,979 71,968 18,171 19,63avefire 1,488 1,488 1,488 1,488 1,488 678 678 678 678 678 31,611 31,61nonpt 162,795 157,282 151,104 149,030 149,030 32,910 32,785 32,695 32,588 32,588 168,352 158,16nonroad 63,279 50,345 43,558 39,288 40,437 52,997 46,091 37,054 27,534 20,719 479,319 333,73onroad 124,106 79,858 65,168 53,630 51,200 200,379 121,016 75,598 49,135 38,513 1,598,930 923,85ptipm 1,496 1,692 1,771 1,764 1,764 145,232 80,814 75,127 73,116 73,116 10,827 12,55

Missouri 

ptnonipm 34,704 27,517 27,517 27,517 27,517 38,025 33,144 33,144 33,144 33,144 108,389 108,36

Missouri Total 391,308 321,719 294,210 276,429 275,362 549,803 384,556 322,440 284,174 270,726 2,415,599 1,587,91
D-10 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,309 1,306 1,302 1,297 1,291 22,873 18,260 17,546 17,175 17,180 5,814 6,36avefire 10,085 10,085 10,085 10,085 10,085 5,187 5,187 5,187 5,187 5,187 203,759 203,75nonpt 23,573 22,543 21,452 21,032 21,032 3,797 3,767 3,746 3,720 3,720 35,673 33,19nonroad 12,968 11,853 10,184 8,322 7,914 18,777 16,576 13,643 9,792 6,048 85,304 60,79onroad 20,451 13,325 11,525 9,863 9,039 36,727 20,801 12,900 8,538 6,842 283,678 164,01ptipm 355 318 393 421 421 36,577 36,169 31,948 32,457 32,457 3,047 4,27

Montana 

ptnonipm 6,807 6,431 6,431 6,431 6,431 16,588 16,122 15,684 15,684 15,684 29,410 29,410 

Montana Total 75,548 65,861 61,373 57,451 56,213 140,526 116,883 100,654 92,552 87,117 646,686 501,81

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,524 3,523 3,463 3,384 3,294 68,904 54,285 51,946 50,703 50,664 10,222 11,45avefire 837 837 837 837 837 381 381 381 381 381 17,780 17,780 nonpt 40,762 39,632 37,860 37,441 37,441 13,820 13,798 13,782 13,763 13,763 66,672 64,88nonroad 18,442 14,727 12,636 11,084 11,092 39,889 34,573 27,908 19,576 11,818 155,107 108,01onroad 36,940 24,026 20,116 17,017 16,795 66,226 40,028 24,974 16,298 13,340 473,870 276,17ptipm 635 545 549 602 602 47,900 54,034 38,052 38,911 38,911 3,420 4,40

Nebraska 

ptnonipm 6,527 5,906 5,906 5,906 5,906 11,385 11,385 11,385 11,385 11,385 5,717 5,71

Nebraska Total 107,667 89,196 81,368 76,271 75,966 248,506 208,485 168,427 151,019 140,263 732,788 488,43

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,057 1,094 1,150 1,223 1,290 12,958 11,168 11,212 11,566 12,047 11,214 11,95avefire 10,740 10,740 10,740 10,740 10,740 4,910 4,910 4,910 4,910 4,910 227,965 227,96nonpt 22,874 23,491 21,718 21,792 21,792 5,308 5,306 5,304 5,302 5,302 14,700 14,22nonroad 22,720 16,988 15,504 14,803 15,760 18,990 16,487 13,033 9,176 7,244 208,377 135,97onroad 26,884 22,191 19,306 17,057 16,380 28,320 20,307 14,625 11,256 9,913 301,082 231,710 ptipm 483 445 597 674 674 48,366 46,403 32,260 34,817 34,817 2,798 8,07

Nevada 

ptnonipm 1,649 1,493 1,493 1,493 1,493 7,509 7,509 7,509 7,509 7,509 6,985 6,98

Nevada Total 86,406 76,441 70,506 67,783 68,130 126,362 112,090 88,854 84,537 81,742 773,121 636,88
D-11 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 118 124 132 143 159 1,866 1,781 1,752 1,783 2,004 2,305 2,39avefire 301 301 301 301 301 137 137 137 137 137 6,398 6,39nonpt 61,483 57,548 55,511 53,263 53,263 11,235 11,178 11,137 11,088 11,088 74,137 69,710 nonroad 21,832 18,910 16,065 13,661 13,333 8,150 6,965 5,763 4,818 4,616 122,530 96,95onroad 21,682 14,879 12,393 10,267 9,342 38,799 23,734 14,685 9,164 6,716 294,533 180,16ptipm 104 150 165 189 189 7,000 2,619 3,065 3,964 3,964 643 3,37

New Hampshire 

ptnonipm 1,496 721 721 721 721 2,786 2,783 2,783 2,783 2,783 2,082 2,080 

New Hampshire Total 107,015 92,633 85,289 78,545 77,308 69,973 49,197 39,322 33,737 31,309 502,627 361,08

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,236 2,326 2,456 2,653 2,999 35,998 35,363 34,759 35,709 40,992 14,960 15,50avefire 488 488 488 488 488 223 223 223 223 223 10,375 10,37nonpt 151,657 144,567 142,238 140,176 140,176 26,393 26,342 26,305 26,261 26,261 84,145 79,59nonroad 78,629 57,795 50,544 48,222 51,422 40,876 35,077 28,499 23,040 21,269 635,064 467,52onroad 101,094 64,465 46,651 36,413 32,216 161,872 85,611 48,496 26,860 18,353 1,325,445 751,380 ptipm 1,048 335 398 450 450 34,188 7,767 9,427 11,022 11,022 3,865 7,240 

New Jersey 

ptnonipm 13,282 10,897 10,897 10,897 10,897 17,206 15,578 15,578 15,578 15,578 8,375 8,31

New Jersey Total 348,436 280,873 253,673 239,299 238,649 316,756 205,961 163,286 138,694 133,699 2,082,228 1,339,93

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,982 1,992 1,971 1,941 1,903 36,714 29,265 27,994 27,361 27,304 8,473 9,22avefire 27,488 27,488 27,488 27,488 27,488 12,582 12,582 12,582 12,582 12,582 583,216 583,21nonpt 36,950 35,170 33,450 33,088 33,088 7,532 7,517 7,505 7,492 7,492 29,666 28,36nonroad 13,499 11,181 10,062 9,237 9,636 9,681 8,353 6,706 4,981 4,047 119,501 78,16onroad 45,763 31,131 26,206 22,451 21,317 77,574 46,462 29,322 19,600 15,429 587,028 361,57ptipm 563 489 491 519 519 78,547 63,814 58,498 58,562 58,562 5,539 6,01

New Mexico 

ptnonipm 15,691 10,786 10,786 10,786 10,786 60,358 60,297 60,240 60,240 60,240 32,228 32,22

New Mexico Total 141,935 118,237 110,454 105,510 104,738 282,988 228,288 202,848 190,819 185,657 1,365,651 1,098,79
D-12 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,473 2,619 2,745 2,936 3,266 40,659 38,350 38,161 39,370 44,334 22,205 23,86avefire 903 903 903 903 903 412 412 412 412 412 19,195 19,19nonpt 608,921 613,062 621,635 634,915 634,915 89,986 90,323 90,564 90,853 90,853 404,592 431,58nonroad 151,345 121,199 105,522 95,842 98,761 78,279 67,078 55,658 44,756 40,396 1,175,721 895,73onroad 212,929 137,568 102,389 80,584 74,771 290,698 165,594 103,189 62,605 44,498 2,822,801 1,596,87ptipm 857 1,082 1,100 1,107 1,107 81,201 39,914 34,490 33,735 33,735 12,204 20,230 

New York 

ptnonipm 6,218 5,365 5,365 5,365 5,365 38,992 32,096 32,096 32,096 32,096 54,133 54,080 

New York Total 983,646 881,799 839,659 821,652 819,089 620,228 433,767 354,570 303,826 286,322 4,510,852 3,041,56

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,472 1,615 1,690 1,794 1,916 22,608 19,886 19,482 19,554 20,381 9,957 10,81avefire 58,889 58,889 58,889 58,889 58,889 11,424 11,424 11,424 11,424 11,424 429,388 429,38nonpt 231,094 222,255 212,129 210,082 210,082 18,869 18,761 18,684 18,591 18,591 321,101 312,26nonroad 88,972 68,628 59,717 54,845 57,309 61,664 50,178 38,433 27,759 22,701 746,344 586,10onroad 143,187 93,913 76,576 63,583 58,393 242,379 141,370 87,185 55,801 41,119 1,786,813 1,075,08ptipm 920 1,103 1,163 1,256 1,256 153,226 67,924 67,442 59,724 59,724 12,112 11,36

North Carolina 

ptnonipm 61,685 53,635 53,633 53,632 53,632 49,273 37,071 37,071 37,071 37,071 52,414 52,06

North Carolina Total 586,219 500,039 463,797 444,081 441,477 559,444 346,614 279,721 229,924 211,012 3,358,129 2,477,09

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,256 1,254 1,240 1,219 1,195 23,072 18,121 17,336 16,916 16,912 4,832 5,29avefire 527 527 527 527 527 240 240 240 240 240 11,204 11,20nonpt 14,911 14,177 13,461 13,174 13,174 4,007 3,987 3,972 3,955 3,955 20,488 18,84nonroad 13,565 11,430 9,536 7,778 7,197 38,012 33,288 27,270 19,093 10,734 91,869 66,050 onroad 15,356 9,829 8,318 6,933 6,511 24,832 14,432 8,967 5,824 4,722 206,627 116,87ptipm 781 846 838 882 882 75,947 45,049 44,009 44,560 44,560 5,237 7,65

North Dakota 

ptnonipm 1,249 1,124 1,124 1,124 1,124 9,929 9,385 9,385 9,385 9,385 5,778 5,76

North Dakota Total 47,645 39,188 35,045 31,637 30,610 176,039 124,502 111,180 99,974 90,509 346,035 231,69
D-13 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,632 4,064 4,207 4,423 4,798 96,728 88,052 85,793 85,843 92,415 29,188 31,18avefire 178 178 178 178 178 81 81 81 81 81 3,787 3,78nonpt 285,528 275,689 272,521 271,610 271,610 41,466 41,405 41,360 41,307 41,307 150,302 145,35nonroad 103,414 77,465 67,241 61,754 64,960 90,812 74,081 55,950 40,458 34,425 910,152 623,17onroad 205,348 124,133 100,380 81,331 74,335 327,388 192,777 113,811 72,024 57,376 2,600,918 1,476,81ptipm 1,773 1,971 2,106 2,149 2,149 373,299 94,744 99,033 92,780 92,780 14,817 20,54

Ohio 

ptnonipm 29,515 26,436 26,436 26,436 26,436 65,850 58,970 58,185 58,185 58,185 238,412 238,41

Ohio Total 629,389 509,937 473,070 447,881 444,466 995,625 550,110 454,213 390,678 376,570 3,947,575 2,539,26

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,551 1,566 1,563 1,555 1,543 26,294 21,261 20,464 20,088 20,149 10,093 10,55avefire 3,749 3,749 3,749 3,749 3,749 1,709 1,709 1,709 1,709 1,709 79,673 79,67nonpt 200,442 196,496 192,447 191,677 191,677 94,574 94,542 94,518 94,490 94,490 385,235 382,56nonroad 38,015 29,720 25,931 23,686 24,511 31,331 26,945 21,961 16,410 12,410 308,218 206,11onroad 86,133 56,321 46,067 39,279 37,822 133,152 80,016 51,065 34,569 28,819 1,069,135 636,94ptipm 984 958 1,019 1,088 1,088 90,302 83,945 64,740 62,434 62,434 13,661 28,41

Oklahoma 

ptnonipm 35,176 23,733 23,733 23,733 23,733 72,670 72,517 71,835 71,835 71,835 50,750 50,750 

Oklahoma Total 366,050 312,543 294,508 284,767 284,123 450,033 380,935 326,293 301,535 291,847 1,916,764 1,395,01

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,843 2,027 2,115 2,253 2,487 43,439 40,199 39,073 39,085 42,312 12,401 13,07avefire 37,328 37,328 37,328 37,328 37,328 17,857 17,857 17,857 17,857 17,857 778,193 778,19nonpt 242,829 239,638 238,352 239,218 239,218 16,998 17,009 17,018 17,028 17,028 342,444 333,11nonroad 39,821 32,299 28,149 25,088 25,679 26,372 22,638 18,141 13,685 11,363 304,850 212,61onroad 91,766 58,567 47,310 39,312 32,647 109,066 69,772 50,073 33,701 21,232 1,078,005 619,04ptipm 142 151 151 152 152 9,006 9,740 9,740 9,768 9,768 1,105 3,93

Oregon 

ptnonipm 14,567 10,990 10,990 10,990 10,990 15,958 15,767 15,767 15,767 15,767 34,389 33,79

Oregon Total 428,297 381,001 364,395 354,342 348,502 238,696 192,982 167,669 146,890 135,326 2,551,388 1,993,77
D-14 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,425 2,559 2,673 2,851 3,196 67,118 63,037 61,438 61,811 67,924 25,047 26,61avefire 256 256 256 256 256 117 117 117 117 117 5,450 5,450 nonpt 281,740 264,980 261,647 260,079 260,079 53,435 53,333 53,260 53,173 53,173 265,035 256,63nonroad 96,797 79,165 69,633 63,072 65,413 62,168 51,401 40,177 30,881 27,101 856,737 612,78onroad 184,268 115,276 89,483 69,513 63,170 294,414 165,444 99,133 58,609 40,758 2,420,525 1,323,42ptipm 1,212 1,712 1,766 1,753 1,753 210,149 91,466 74,225 69,570 69,570 17,018 18,11

Pennsylvania 

ptnonipm 36,871 30,914 30,914 30,914 30,914 89,064 76,602 74,324 74,324 74,324 104,570 103,78

Pennsylvania Total 603,569 494,863 456,372 428,439 424,781 776,465 501,400 402,674 348,484 332,967 3,694,382 2,346,81

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 162 166 180 197 214 876 824 874 950 1,028 2,923 3,00avefire 8 8 8 8 8 4 4 4 4 4 171 17nonpt 16,875 16,553 16,483 16,457 16,457 2,964 2,960 2,958 2,955 2,955 5,421 5,14nonroad 8,491 6,010 5,080 4,822 5,137 4,663 3,890 3,053 2,457 2,309 65,923 48,37onroad 14,366 10,124 7,869 6,810 5,805 16,720 9,655 6,550 4,125 3,514 188,240 113,98ptipm 39 49 45 41 41 712 475 396 357 357 453 1,92

Rhode Island 

ptnonipm 1,894 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 2,060 1,938 1,938 1,938 1,938 1,781 1,75

Rhode Island Total 41,835 34,271 31,025 29,697 29,023 27,997 19,747 15,774 12,786 12,104 264,911 174,36

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 961 997 1,019 1,050 1,107 19,378 17,077 16,521 16,424 17,422 9,393 9,93avefire 5,171 5,171 5,171 5,171 5,171 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 109,880 109,880 nonpt 185,429 185,163 181,315 182,844 182,844 20,281 20,275 20,271 20,267 20,267 145,294 145,45nonroad 50,041 38,078 32,999 30,535 31,883 29,982 24,512 18,902 13,850 11,690 377,166 295,78onroad 89,994 58,070 47,272 39,608 37,165 134,542 82,299 52,555 35,593 27,866 1,141,561 691,670 ptipm 506 609 655 746 746 91,296 50,236 48,449 34,085 34,085 4,749 5,53

South Carolina 

ptnonipm 36,778 27,298 27,298 27,298 27,298 40,417 29,336 29,336 29,336 29,336 56,640 56,44

South Carolina Total 368,879 315,385 295,729 287,252 286,214 338,253 226,092 188,391 151,912 143,023 1,844,682 1,314,70
D-15 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 321 324 331 339 346 4,164 3,349 3,252 3,202 3,216 2,979 3,160 avefire 3,985 3,985 3,985 3,985 3,985 1,817 1,817 1,817 1,817 1,817 84,689 84,68nonpt 19,597 18,840 17,980 17,644 17,644 5,200 5,177 5,160 5,140 5,140 24,107 22,17nonroad 12,322 10,531 8,874 7,352 6,964 27,219 23,755 19,402 13,665 7,961 79,151 59,28onroad 16,177 10,656 9,022 7,539 7,203 29,910 18,071 11,071 6,963 5,621 219,053 129,75ptipm 111 110 120 142 142 15,922 2,353 2,364 2,740 2,740 632 55

South Dakota 

ptnonipm 2,431 1,449 1,449 1,449 1,449 4,776 4,776 4,776 4,776 4,776 4,068 4,06

South Dakota Total 54,944 45,897 41,762 38,451 37,734 89,008 59,298 47,843 38,304 31,271 414,679 303,68

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,152 2,363 2,449 2,594 2,866 50,692 46,834 45,791 46,115 50,251 13,001 14,11avefire 2,220 2,220 2,220 2,220 2,220 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 47,175 47,17nonpt 148,677 145,508 137,119 135,241 135,241 18,676 18,604 18,552 18,490 18,490 119,973 114,05nonroad 60,023 49,015 42,584 38,065 39,112 40,970 34,909 27,163 20,352 16,955 460,143 305,29onroad 140,405 94,247 75,248 60,871 56,534 240,312 147,688 93,956 59,503 43,543 1,681,568 992,69ptipm 843 925 1,015 1,202 1,202 155,926 53,647 54,945 39,841 39,841 6,596 7,20

Tennessee 

ptnonipm 84,610 73,801 73,801 73,801 73,801 69,070 50,451 50,451 50,451 50,451 115,767 115,27

Tennessee Total 438,930 368,080 334,436 313,994 310,976 576,659 353,145 291,871 235,764 220,543 2,444,222 1,595,82

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 11,279 11,889 12,303 13,009 14,522 236,223 220,853 216,266 218,785 242,786 67,547 71,35avefire 13,201 13,201 13,201 13,201 13,201 4,890 4,890 4,890 4,890 4,890 256,966 256,96nonpt 695,600 675,342 669,427 668,063 668,063 274,338 274,244 274,177 274,096 274,096 463,577 455,67nonroad 174,723 135,696 120,305 113,364 119,864 152,771 126,111 98,419 70,456 54,433 1,578,739 1,196,04onroad 308,904 199,858 154,959 128,066 128,916 621,483 334,266 186,632 116,542 95,623 3,787,848 2,152,88ptipm 4,745 4,575 4,771 5,010 5,010 259,612 136,697 135,504 135,714 135,714 215,207 78,62

Texas 

ptnonipm 149,554 111,767 111,767 111,767 111,767 344,073 336,557 331,121 331,121 331,121 283,294 281,79

Texas Total 1,358,006 1,152,328 1,086,732 1,052,479 1,061,342 1,893,390 1,433,617 1,247,009 1,151,604 1,138,663 6,653,179 4,493,35
D-16 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

alm 218 217 212 206 199 858 672 642 626 626 302 34ptipm 241 30 30 24 24 97 232 232 182 182 828 1,17

Tribal Data 

ptnonipm 601 389 383 382 382 6,623 6,620 6,620 6,620 6,620 2,573 2,57

Tribal Data Total 1,060 636 625 612 605 7,578 7,524 7,494 7,428 7,428 3,703 4,09

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,596 2,737 2,969 3,276 3,565 14,640 12,158 11,959 12,044 12,307 10,805 11,60avefire 15,469 15,469 15,469 15,469 15,469 7,052 7,052 7,052 7,052 7,052 328,713 328,71nonpt 54,443 53,042 50,928 50,352 50,352 6,948 6,937 6,929 6,920 6,920 79,323 78,43nonroad 25,488 23,357 20,391 17,151 16,833 15,026 13,024 10,343 7,840 6,675 172,729 119,49onroad 56,206 39,609 34,748 30,914 28,693 76,518 51,752 35,867 25,070 19,835 764,714 452,33ptipm 418 501 600 644 644 73,220 62,979 58,224 59,235 59,235 4,506 5,58

Utah 

ptnonipm 5,826 5,070 5,070 5,070 5,070 14,998 14,681 14,531 14,531 14,531 45,052 45,02

Utah Total 160,444 139,784 130,175 122,875 120,626 208,401 168,583 144,906 132,692 126,554 1,405,842 1,041,19

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 53 57 61 66 70 49 51 57 64 71 1,220 1,280 avefire 393 393 393 393 393 179 179 179 179 179 8,347 8,34nonpt 18,887 18,265 17,993 17,744 17,744 3,438 3,416 3,400 3,382 3,382 43,091 41,05nonroad 10,446 9,755 8,420 6,901 6,524 4,170 3,597 2,898 2,354 2,123 58,906 42,04onroad 18,139 11,951 9,772 7,646 6,600 21,783 13,393 8,581 5,448 3,908 237,164 131,79ptipm 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

Vermont 

ptnonipm 1,097 1,025 1,025 1,025 1,025 790 790 790 790 790 1,078 1,07

Vermont Total 49,015 41,445 37,664 33,774 32,356 30,409 21,427 15,905 12,217 10,453 349,807 225,60
D-17 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,084 3,198 3,264 3,381 3,605 39,676 36,966 35,646 35,676 38,394 17,758 18,41avefire 3,194 3,194 3,194 3,194 3,194 1,456 1,456 1,456 1,456 1,456 67,866 67,86nonpt 201,748 190,207 185,542 181,688 181,688 53,605 53,529 53,475 53,409 53,409 208,041 201,22nonroad 67,441 50,452 44,451 41,960 44,479 45,848 36,688 28,740 21,036 17,403 520,042 473,57onroad 125,474 86,161 72,948 63,234 62,669 214,393 123,035 78,620 53,731 49,108 1,722,600 1,099,79ptipm 726 536 679 719 719 86,763 69,736 44,145 39,719 39,719 6,714 9,90

Virginia 

ptnonipm 43,184 36,335 36,335 36,335 36,335 61,730 46,246 46,246 46,246 46,246 63,978 63,55

Virginia Total 444,850 370,082 346,413 330,511 332,689 503,471 367,656 288,327 251,274 245,737 2,606,999 1,934,33

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,248 2,433 2,548 2,738 3,152 66,992 65,363 65,801 69,264 82,840 20,193 21,48avefire 2,674 2,674 2,674 2,674 2,674 1,484 1,484 1,484 1,484 1,484 52,086 52,08nonpt 166,658 159,930 154,329 150,839 150,839 16,911 16,812 16,742 16,658 16,658 204,125 196,15nonroad 64,611 50,334 43,632 39,373 40,459 42,800 36,553 29,715 22,539 18,753 486,615 359,91onroad 159,797 109,815 94,849 81,074 68,508 199,767 123,689 87,124 58,303 38,337 1,820,900 1,174,34ptipm 219 342 350 349 349 16,122 17,357 17,581 17,552 17,552 1,665 6,95

Washington 

ptnonipm 12,429 11,631 11,631 11,631 11,631 24,522 24,522 24,522 24,522 24,522 39,106 39,10

Washington Total 408,636 337,160 310,013 288,679 277,612 368,598 285,781 242,970 210,321 200,146 2,624,689 1,850,04

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,180 1,291 1,333 1,422 1,664 32,148 30,383 30,081 31,151 36,257 5,139 5,69avefire 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 785 785 785 785 785 36,578 36,57nonpt 59,489 56,958 54,651 54,047 54,047 14,519 14,487 14,464 14,436 14,436 70,069 67,360 nonroad 16,935 16,469 14,419 11,990 11,889 8,407 6,869 5,665 4,437 3,935 117,839 102,11onroad 36,949 21,900 17,904 14,639 12,233 60,216 32,252 19,840 13,006 9,265 502,130 270,71ptipm 1,175 1,289 1,328 1,332 1,332 227,827 55,352 50,926 45,760 45,760 10,319 10,22

West Virginia 

ptnonipm 14,241 12,089 12,089 12,089 12,089 46,627 37,778 37,778 37,778 37,778 89,898 89,89

West Virginia Total 131,691 111,717 103,446 97,239 94,975 390,529 177,906 159,538 147,353 148,216 831,973 582,58
D-18 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

VOC 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

VOC 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NOX 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

CO 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

CO 

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,060 2,263 2,387 2,558 2,799 30,307 27,468 27,538 28,600 32,248 24,321 25,81avefire 561 561 561 561 561 256 256 256 256 256 11,924 11,92nonpt 230,068 229,658 228,764 231,695 231,695 21,994 21,984 21,976 21,967 21,967 166,779 162,59nonroad 111,779 96,076 81,098 68,764 69,593 53,430 45,761 36,575 28,977 26,142 569,467 416,240 onroad 96,058 61,689 51,408 43,691 39,473 172,043 103,786 61,755 38,899 30,805 1,321,240 763,63ptipm 964 1,085 1,178 1,186 1,186 91,128 53,488 57,160 56,119 56,119 10,725 10,72

Wisconsin 

ptnonipm 31,057 26,592 26,592 26,592 26,592 38,283 38,282 38,282 38,282 38,282 34,197 34,19

Wisconsin Total 472,549 417,924 391,988 375,047 371,899 407,440 291,025 243,541 213,100 205,819 2,138,654 1,425,14

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,569 1,567 1,540 1,503 1,462 30,368 23,784 22,747 22,184 22,173 4,758 5,35avefire 8,852 8,852 8,852 8,852 8,852 4,035 4,035 4,035 4,035 4,035 188,099 188,09nonpt 16,411 15,646 15,077 14,867 14,867 4,309 4,295 4,285 4,273 4,273 19,192 18,05nonroad 9,088 8,874 7,619 6,154 5,774 5,470 4,713 3,958 3,017 2,312 53,551 40,84onroad 18,072 11,859 9,726 8,177 7,416 32,643 17,780 10,807 6,983 5,542 246,059 143,30ptipm 849 834 892 947 947 85,207 83,587 59,212 60,438 60,438 7,078 6,71

Wyoming 

ptnonipm 16,771 13,552 13,552 13,552 13,552 36,500 36,385 36,385 36,385 36,385 23,341 23,34

Wyoming Total 71,613 61,185 57,257 54,052 52,869 198,533 174,578 141,430 137,316 135,158 542,078 425,71Grand Total 17,693,869 14,934,802 13,867,583 13,220,304 13,138,328 20,931,673 14,898,719 12,440,017 10,930,663 10,452,858 101,885,285 71,586,33
D-19 

Table D-1b: Continental US, SO2, NH3, PM10, and PM2.5 emissions by Sector for 2002, and projection years 

and 2030. 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100,288 100,332 100,364 100,402 100,402 33,4ag 0 0 0 0 0 57,802 64,346 69,023 74,633 74,633 0 0 0 0 0 alm 4,801 3,667 3,602 4,241 6,220 13 15 16 17 20 2,236 2,248 2,281 2,379 2,663 1,8avefire 983 983 983 983 983 752 752 752 752 752 16,251 16,251 16,251 16,251 16,251 13,9nonpt 52,325 52,318 52,313 52,308 52,308 426 426 426 426 426 27,785 27,295 26,944 26,524 26,524 23,9nonroad 2,734 464 42 45 50 28 31 33 37 41 3,195 2,625 2,144 1,552 1,270 3,0onroad 5,599 729 605 667 745 5,627 6,012 6,512 7,075 7,776 4,223 3,019 2,453 2,298 2,447 3,1ptipm 448,329 269,794 244,393 187,851 187,851 783 882 1,044 1,034 1,034 26,138 16,214 19,576 39,221 39,221 22,6

Alabama 

ptnonipm 89,762 88,763 88,763 88,763 88,763 2,224 2,224 2,224 2,224 2,224 19,710 18,644 18,644 18,644 18,644 13,6

Alabama Total 604,533 416,719 390,702 334,858 336,920 67,655 74,688 80,030 86,198 86,906 199,826 186,627 188,657 207,271 207,422 115,6

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 121,322 121,322 121,322 121,322 121,322 19,6ag 0 0 0 0 0 29,493 29,674 29,804 29,958 29,958 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,297 713 419 475 531 12 14 15 17 20 2,617 2,572 2,602 2,649 2,688 2,0avefire 2,888 2,888 2,888 2,888 2,888 2,020 2,020 2,020 2,020 2,020 43,005 43,005 43,005 43,005 43,005 37,1nonpt 2,571 2,568 2,567 2,564 2,564 4,391 4,391 4,391 4,391 4,391 12,456 12,253 12,109 11,935 11,935 8,5nonroad 3,858 681 41 43 48 35 40 44 49 57 4,174 3,425 2,855 2,086 1,649 3,9onroad 2,876 862 735 888 1,125 5,150 6,417 7,561 8,994 11,238 4,021 3,441 3,002 3,112 3,839 2,9ptipm 70,709 41,901 40,434 36,801 36,801 566 1,408 1,414 1,529 1,529 9,551 7,943 7,887 8,403 8,403 7,5

Arizona 

ptnonipm 21,702 21,702 21,702 21,702 21,702 72 72 72 72 72 5,723 5,574 5,574 5,574 5,574 3,0

Arizona Total 106,900 71,315 68,786 65,361 65,658 41,740 44,036 45,321 47,030 49,285 202,868 199,535 198,356 198,087 198,416 84,9
D-20 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 92,523 92,523 92,523 92,524 92,524 24,6ag 0 0 0 0 0 110,954 118,597 124,059 130,611 130,611 0 0 0 0 0 alm 4,648 3,013 2,708 3,067 4,454 19 22 24 26 29 1,348 1,328 1,320 1,340 1,452 1,2avefire 728 728 728 728 728 556 556 556 556 556 12,027 12,027 12,027 12,027 12,027 10,3nonpt 27,260 27,258 27,256 27,254 27,254 7,386 7,386 7,386 7,386 7,386 24,094 23,911 23,780 23,622 23,622 23,0nonroad 2,762 468 33 35 38 23 26 28 31 35 3,229 2,517 1,951 1,314 890 3,0onroad 3,078 405 346 387 463 3,001 3,231 3,526 3,871 4,529 2,202 1,613 1,338 1,280 1,463 1,6ptipm 70,754 97,797 39,079 39,582 39,582 346 622 858 843 843 2,004 4,182 5,463 5,820 5,820 1,7

Arkansas 

ptnonipm 19,032 18,999 18,999 18,999 18,999 1,255 1,290 1,316 1,346 1,346 14,101 13,812 13,812 13,812 13,812 9,5

Arkansas Total 128,262 148,667 89,149 90,050 91,517 123,540 131,731 137,754 144,672 145,337 151,529 151,915 152,215 151,740 151,611 75,3

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 196,231 196,525 196,736 196,989 196,989 47,5ag 0 0 0 0 0 152,308 156,311 159,176 162,610 162,610 0 0 0 0 0 alm 40,887 27,491 19,337 14,863 21,107 180 193 203 215 237 10,124 9,970 9,726 9,692 10,788 9,5avefire 6,735 6,735 6,735 6,735 6,735 5,117 5,117 5,117 5,117 5,117 113,231 113,231 113,231 113,231 113,231 97,3nonpt 77,672 77,641 77,619 77,592 77,592 14,758 14,665 14,600 14,520 14,520 90,509 88,498 87,062 85,338 85,338 73,8nonroad 1,015 455 516 597 790 161 181 198 220 255 18,590 16,219 14,290 12,637 15,177 16,3onroad 4,786 1,855 2,002 2,189 2,502 37,468 27,409 22,337 19,206 17,590 23,103 23,613 22,170 21,262 22,604 12,3ptipm 1,018 6,577 6,259 6,204 6,204 1,380 3,307 4,213 5,522 5,522 1,905 469 512 574 574 1,8

California 

ptnonipm 41,761 41,477 41,089 41,128 41,128 3,367 3,367 3,367 3,367 3,367 26,854 25,998 25,998 25,998 25,998 16,6

California Total 173,874 162,231 153,557 149,308 156,058 214,738 210,550 209,211 210,777 209,217 480,546 474,524 469,725 465,721 470,699 275,5

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 110,878 110,878 110,878 110,878 110,878 25,5ag 0 0 0 0 0 62,907 63,846 64,517 65,320 65,320 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,224 315 137 156 175 5 5 6 6 8 606 595 590 590 582 5avefire 1,719 1,719 1,719 1,719 1,719 1,299 1,299 1,299 1,299 1,299 28,019 28,019 28,019 28,019 28,019 24,0nonpt 6,460 6,459 6,458 6,457 6,457 71 71 71 71 71 15,059 14,719 14,475 14,183 14,183 13,5nonroad 3,545 611 43 45 50 31 36 39 44 50 3,909 3,163 2,602 1,901 1,452 3,7onroad 4,146 614 550 645 816 4,408 5,220 6,002 6,976 8,754 3,216 2,518 2,179 2,191 2,665 2,3ptipm 92,562 73,481 55,605 49,733 49,733 453 529 582 535 535 5,446 5,502 5,712 7,003 7,003 4,4

Colorado 

ptnonipm 5,331 5,322 5,322 5,322 5,322 86 86 86 86 86 17,366 16,676 16,677 16,679 16,679 8,9

Colorado Total 114,989 88,522 69,834 64,078 64,274 69,260 71,091 72,603 74,337 76,123 184,499 182,071 181,134 181,445 181,461 83,1
D-21 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12,528 12,528 12,528 12,528 12,528 2,7ag 0 0 0 0 0 4,029 4,232 4,377 4,551 4,551 0 0 0 0 0 alm 778 751 764 874 1,268 1 1 1 1 1 231 237 241 253 301 2avefire 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 65 65 65 65 65 nonpt 18,455 18,447 18,441 18,434 18,434 1,438 1,407 1,385 1,358 1,358 10,716 10,152 9,749 9,266 9,266 10,4nonroad 1,382 249 27 29 33 17 18 20 22 25 1,702 1,408 1,195 933 823 1,6onroad 1,667 363 340 368 413 3,257 3,515 3,779 4,042 4,510 1,610 1,316 1,182 1,165 1,276 1,0ptipm 13,689 6,200 5,795 12,473 12,473 182 245 247 244 244 742 829 3,992 11,942 11,942 5

Connecticut 

ptnonipm 2,338 2,330 2,330 2,330 2,330 91 91 91 91 91 882 880 880 880 880 6

Connecticut Total 38,313 28,343 27,701 34,512 34,955 9,017 9,512 9,902 10,311 10,783 28,476 27,415 29,833 37,032 37,081 17,3

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6,258 6,258 6,258 6,258 6,258 8ag 0 0 0 0 0 12,536 14,172 15,342 16,745 16,745 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,470 3,243 3,234 3,664 5,371 0 0 0 0 1 452 511 561 655 907 4avefire 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 102 102 102 102 102 nonpt 5,859 5,858 5,857 5,857 5,857 279 275 272 268 268 2,007 1,933 1,879 1,815 1,815 1,8nonroad 471 83 7 8 9 5 6 6 7 8 560 446 367 275 224 5onroad 556 114 101 112 124 903 994 1,078 1,178 1,294 572 417 359 355 383 4ptipm 33,104 23,047 21,650 20,757 20,757 30 119 148 132 132 1,969 6,352 6,466 6,610 6,610 1,6

Delaware 

ptnonipm 41,342 11,538 11,538 11,538 11,538 161 152 152 152 152 1,041 904 904 904 904 7

Delaware Total 84,810 43,889 42,394 41,941 43,662 13,918 15,722 17,003 18,487 18,604 12,961 16,923 16,896 16,974 17,203 6,5

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,255 2,255 2,255 2,255 2,255 4alm 45 9 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 13 11 11 11 10 avefire 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 nonpt 1,559 1,559 1,559 1,559 1,559 13 13 13 13 13 489 481 476 469 469 4nonroad 343 59 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 298 226 176 109 64 2onroad 271 46 42 47 52 398 423 457 508 567 219 155 141 144 158 1ptipm 1,432 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 0 

District of Columbia 

ptnonipm 625 625 625 625 625 4 4 4 4 4 98 21 21 21 21 

District of Columbia Total 4,275 2,299 2,230 2,236 2,242 426 443 477 529 589 3,402 3,149 3,080 3,008 2,977 1,3
D-22 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 145,566 145,655 145,718 145,794 145,794 28,0ag 0 0 0 0 0 37,099 38,583 39,643 40,914 40,914 0 0 0 0 0 alm 6,892 5,893 5,843 6,685 9,612 11 12 12 13 15 2,391 2,426 2,469 2,575 2,936 2,1avefire 7,018 7,018 7,018 7,018 7,018 5,366 5,366 5,366 5,366 5,366 115,996 115,996 115,996 115,996 115,996 99,4nonpt 70,489 70,484 70,480 70,475 70,475 448 448 448 448 448 41,371 40,935 40,623 40,248 40,248 38,8nonroad 12,540 2,110 174 184 207 125 139 151 166 192 13,637 10,831 8,952 6,680 5,412 13,0onroad 21,410 2,358 2,152 2,477 2,886 18,267 21,200 23,969 27,284 31,607 12,433 9,367 8,217 8,251 9,258 9,0ptipm 473,636 155,118 154,529 92,816 92,816 5,013 3,571 4,445 4,318 4,318 32,299 22,325 22,166 29,274 29,274 28,2

Florida 

ptnonipm 57,060 57,024 57,024 57,024 57,024 3,030 3,030 3,030 3,030 3,030 32,193 31,655 31,655 31,655 31,655 23,6

Florida Total 649,045 300,004 297,220 236,679 240,037 69,359 72,348 77,064 81,539 85,889 395,887 379,190 375,795 380,473 380,573 242,4

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 181,397 181,397 181,397 181,397 181,397 59,9ag 0 0 0 0 0 80,733 89,607 95,949 103,556 103,556 0 0 0 0 0 alm 3,247 1,969 1,807 2,101 2,860 12 13 14 16 18 1,332 1,320 1,327 1,363 1,457 1,1avefire 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 1,299 1,299 1,299 1,299 1,299 28,079 28,079 28,079 28,079 28,079 24,0nonpt 56,830 56,821 56,815 56,807 56,807 60 60 60 60 60 46,751 46,054 45,556 44,958 44,958 41,8nonroad 5,674 975 76 80 90 52 59 64 71 82 6,136 5,022 4,150 3,021 2,412 5,8onroad 11,238 1,525 1,308 1,503 1,809 10,642 12,213 13,708 15,548 18,473 8,539 6,232 5,184 5,043 5,785 6,3ptipm 512,983 212,600 210,100 146,083 146,083 593 840 989 971 971 31,663 24,007 23,976 35,951 35,951 25,4

Georgia 

ptnonipm 56,203 56,188 56,188 56,188 56,188 4,571 4,581 4,588 4,597 4,597 21,224 20,585 20,585 20,585 20,585 15,6

Georgia Total 648,183 332,087 328,304 264,772 265,847 97,962 108,672 116,673 126,119 129,057 325,121 312,696 310,254 320,398 320,626 180,3

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 139,528 139,669 139,770 139,891 139,891 28,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 62,376 62,655 62,855 63,094 63,094 0 0 0 0 0 alm 645 168 70 74 81 3 4 4 4 5 471 453 449 449 445 4avefire 3,845 3,845 3,845 3,845 3,845 2,856 2,856 2,856 2,856 2,856 61,433 61,433 61,433 61,433 61,433 52,8nonpt 2,915 2,913 2,912 2,910 2,910 1,684 1,684 1,684 1,684 1,684 56,403 56,235 56,116 55,972 55,972 27,3nonroad 1,616 275 19 20 22 14 16 18 20 22 1,973 1,582 1,253 871 600 1,8onroad 1,310 205 179 203 246 1,418 1,645 1,853 2,083 2,514 1,068 821 691 669 772 7ptipm 0 0 192 308 308 0 43 47 49 49 1 2 146 242 242 

Idaho 

ptnonipm 17,597 17,597 17,597 17,597 17,597 1,074 1,074 1,074 1,074 1,074 4,569 4,409 4,409 4,409 4,409 2,5

Idaho Total 27,928 25,003 24,815 24,958 25,009 69,425 69,977 70,390 70,864 71,298 265,445 264,604 264,267 263,935 263,763 114,1
D-23 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 444,909 444,909 444,909 444,909 444,909 88,1ag 0 0 0 0 0 106,685 108,164 109,220 110,486 110,486 0 0 0 0 0 alm 11,979 7,122 6,358 7,425 10,872 45 52 56 62 72 3,556 3,431 3,343 3,329 3,561 3,3avefire 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 323 323 323 323 323 2nonpt 5,395 5,387 5,382 5,376 5,376 1,631 1,631 1,631 1,631 1,631 16,972 16,262 15,755 15,147 15,147 15,1nonroad 10,913 1,933 126 132 148 88 102 112 124 145 11,316 8,576 6,671 4,450 3,103 10,8onroad 8,514 1,449 1,220 1,373 1,607 10,654 11,429 12,465 13,748 15,809 7,772 5,916 4,888 4,615 5,125 5,7ptipm 366,157 294,394 270,363 272,107 272,107 174 962 1,095 1,149 1,149 19,147 13,378 14,852 37,527 37,527 14,7

Illinois 

ptnonipm 138,126 110,325 110,401 110,500 110,500 694 683 683 683 683 30,111 28,118 28,118 28,118 28,118 15,1

Illinois Total 541,103 420,630 393,869 396,933 400,630 119,986 123,039 125,276 127,898 129,989 534,106 520,913 518,859 538,417 537,812 153,4

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 345,635 345,635 345,635 345,635 345,635 65,7ag 0 0 0 0 0 90,815 93,856 96,027 98,632 98,632 0 0 0 0 0 alm 5,540 3,649 3,419 4,024 5,873 19 22 24 26 31 1,719 1,710 1,707 1,746 1,909 1,5avefire 24 24 24 24 24 19 19 19 19 19 401 401 401 401 401 3nonpt 59,775 59,770 59,765 59,760 59,760 4,214 4,214 4,214 4,214 4,214 60,255 59,765 59,414 58,994 58,994 32,6nonroad 5,981 1,042 73 77 86 48 55 60 67 78 6,039 4,593 3,562 2,367 1,691 5,8onroad 8,564 974 811 914 1,087 7,343 7,896 8,618 9,482 10,975 5,518 4,064 3,353 3,195 3,622 4,0ptipm 785,603 377,625 375,790 336,644 336,644 580 1,076 1,132 1,198 1,198 40,884 40,455 40,305 44,864 44,864 33,8

Indiana 

ptnonipm 97,442 97,349 97,349 97,349 97,349 3,144 3,144 3,144 3,144 3,144 25,808 25,083 25,083 25,083 25,083 15,0

Indiana Total 962,930 540,433 537,231 498,791 500,823 106,183 110,283 113,238 116,784 118,291 486,257 481,705 479,460 482,284 482,198 158,9

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 341,542 341,542 341,542 341,542 341,542 57,6ag 0 0 0 0 0 245,778 252,909 257,995 264,101 264,101 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,787 1,161 860 1,007 1,454 8 10 10 11 13 1,021 986 961 949 961 9avefire 25 25 25 25 25 19 19 19 19 19 407 407 407 407 407 3nonpt 19,832 19,824 19,818 19,811 19,811 7,404 7,404 7,404 7,404 7,404 12,833 12,192 11,734 11,185 11,185 11,4nonroad 6,248 1,063 59 61 66 47 53 58 64 74 7,210 5,048 3,805 2,539 1,419 6,9onroad 2,999 427 360 404 496 3,091 3,367 3,659 4,002 4,781 2,355 1,771 1,450 1,365 1,585 1,7ptipm 133,047 110,609 115,301 116,360 116,360 391 428 483 519 519 9,907 7,681 8,074 8,386 8,386 8,9

Iowa 

ptnonipm 51,329 51,329 51,329 51,329 51,329 4,663 4,663 4,663 4,663 4,663 13,439 11,162 11,162 11,162 11,162 7,5

Iowa Total 216,267 184,437 187,751 188,996 189,540 261,401 268,852 274,292 280,784 281,574 388,712 380,789 379,135 377,535 376,647 95,6
D-24 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 455,984 455,984 455,984 455,984 455,984 74,5ag 0 0 0 0 0 97,384 97,802 98,101 98,458 98,458 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,895 603 131 152 194 11 12 13 15 17 1,237 1,185 1,152 1,127 1,087 1,2avefire 103 103 103 103 103 79 79 79 79 79 1,711 1,711 1,711 1,711 1,711 1,4nonpt 36,381 36,378 36,375 36,373 36,373 12,467 12,467 12,467 12,467 12,467 108,571 108,281 108,075 107,826 107,826 83,1nonroad 4,858 828 41 42 46 32 37 41 46 53 5,360 3,794 2,817 1,838 972 5,1onroad 2,893 379 312 348 431 2,870 3,081 3,343 3,657 4,421 2,200 1,576 1,279 1,206 1,427 1,6ptipm 129,827 77,367 48,068 52,641 52,641 421 377 393 454 454 7,246 7,037 7,178 7,749 7,749 5,9

Kansas 

ptnonipm 10,793 10,793 10,793 10,793 10,793 60,100 60,994 61,633 62,398 62,398 9,430 8,890 8,890 8,890 8,890 4,9

Kansas Total 187,750 126,450 95,823 100,452 100,580 173,364 174,849 176,070 177,574 178,347 591,738 588,460 587,087 586,333 585,647 178,0

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 99,481 99,481 99,481 99,481 99,481 23,5ag 0 0 0 0 0 50,821 53,024 54,598 56,486 56,486 0 0 0 0 0 alm 10,096 8,624 8,713 10,226 14,957 15 17 18 19 22 4,285 4,409 4,627 5,007 5,730 3,6avefire 364 364 364 364 364 278 278 278 278 278 6,010 6,010 6,010 6,010 6,010 5,1nonpt 34,229 34,219 34,211 34,203 34,203 231 231 231 231 231 23,283 22,460 21,872 21,167 21,167 18,5nonroad 3,008 511 38 40 44 25 29 32 35 40 3,376 2,667 2,108 1,452 1,052 3,2onroad 5,554 657 529 587 662 4,824 5,161 5,604 6,121 6,776 3,816 2,731 2,200 2,048 2,204 2,8ptipm 486,499 291,244 244,599 223,737 223,737 919 703 741 784 784 22,342 24,029 25,780 37,131 37,131 20,0

Kentucky 

ptnonipm 34,482 28,587 28,587 28,587 28,587 1,672 1,672 1,672 1,672 1,672 16,375 15,729 15,729 15,729 15,729 9,9

Kentucky Total 574,230 364,205 317,041 297,744 302,553 58,787 61,115 63,174 65,626 66,289 178,967 177,516 177,807 188,025 188,503 86,9

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 81,493 81,493 81,493 81,493 81,493 20,9ag 0 0 0 0 0 35,159 36,915 38,171 39,676 39,676 0 0 0 0 0 alm 32,796 30,726 31,131 35,876 52,721 42 46 48 51 56 7,000 7,145 7,072 7,302 9,023 6,8avefire 892 892 892 892 892 682 682 682 682 682 14,746 14,746 14,746 14,746 14,746 12,6nonpt 2,378 2,374 2,372 2,370 2,370 23,169 23,169 23,169 23,169 23,169 19,038 18,790 18,612 18,399 18,399 17,8nonroad 2,834 473 42 45 49 29 32 34 37 42 3,331 2,634 2,091 1,476 1,138 3,1onroad 4,409 566 469 526 642 4,364 4,631 5,037 5,547 6,620 3,379 2,355 1,912 1,819 2,125 2,5ptipm 108,106 89,892 86,289 87,803 87,803 1,399 690 821 960 960 7,487 3,828 3,905 4,612 4,612 5,9

Louisiana 

ptnonipm 177,507 177,507 177,507 177,507 177,507 7,878 7,879 7,880 7,881 7,881 28,722 28,429 28,429 28,429 28,429 21,0

Louisiana Total 328,922 302,432 298,703 305,018 321,985 72,722 74,044 75,843 78,004 79,087 165,196 159,421 158,260 158,276 159,965 91,0
D-25 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13,067 13,067 13,067 13,067 13,067 4,1ag 0 0 0 0 0 6,154 6,540 6,816 7,147 7,147 0 0 0 0 0 alm 195 155 131 126 178 1 1 1 1 1 455 494 524 585 772 4avefire 150 150 150 150 150 115 115 115 115 115 2,480 2,480 2,480 2,480 2,480 2,1nonpt 9,969 9,956 9,947 9,936 9,936 1,616 1,566 1,530 1,486 1,486 13,876 12,996 12,368 11,613 11,613 13,7nonroad 766 132 18 19 21 11 13 14 15 17 1,200 1,117 960 741 632 1,1onroad 1,122 198 160 176 196 1,467 1,574 1,700 1,841 2,024 1,178 834 667 622 660 8ptipm 2,137 34,757 33,238 21,911 21,911 129 381 328 180 180 86 454 432 299 299 

Maine 

ptnonipm 20,778 19,390 19,390 19,390 19,390 809 343 343 343 343 5,963 5,243 5,243 5,243 5,243 4,2

Maine Total 35,116 64,738 63,033 51,708 51,783 10,302 10,533 10,847 11,129 11,313 38,304 36,685 35,740 34,649 34,766 26,7

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35,393 35,393 35,393 35,393 35,393 7,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 24,562 26,618 28,088 29,851 29,851 0 0 0 0 0 alm 5,707 4,007 3,140 2,825 3,921 22 24 25 27 30 1,635 1,594 1,609 1,645 1,735 4avefire 32 32 32 32 32 24 24 24 24 24 613 613 613 613 613 5nonpt 40,864 40,857 40,852 40,846 40,846 606 579 559 535 535 25,058 24,553 24,191 23,757 23,757 19,7nonroad 2,577 452 41 43 49 28 31 34 38 43 3,102 2,537 2,150 1,677 1,440 2,9onroad 3,966 681 632 709 822 5,594 6,280 6,909 7,634 8,764 3,162 2,506 2,245 2,263 2,571 2,1ptipm 256,761 50,757 47,642 53,433 53,433 271 409 460 495 495 17,996 6,995 16,915 23,811 23,811 15,7

Maryland 

ptnonipm 34,255 34,061 34,061 34,061 34,061 222 222 222 222 222 6,303 5,477 5,477 5,477 5,477 3,7

Maryland Total 344,162 130,846 126,399 131,949 133,164 31,330 34,187 36,322 38,826 39,965 93,261 79,668 88,593 94,638 94,798 52,8

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49,646 49,646 49,646 49,646 49,646 14,8ag 0 0 0 0 0 2,208 2,244 2,269 2,299 2,299 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,519 1,819 1,681 1,835 2,503 7 8 9 10 11 988 993 1,005 1,033 1,132 8avefire 93 93 93 93 93 71 71 71 71 71 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,3nonpt 25,261 25,248 25,239 25,228 25,228 4,070 4,021 3,986 3,944 3,944 28,552 27,661 27,025 26,261 26,261 26,5nonroad 2,385 429 46 49 55 28 31 34 37 43 2,871 2,373 2,005 1,541 1,330 2,7onroad 3,172 678 593 658 755 5,509 6,023 6,562 7,185 8,201 3,253 2,460 2,187 2,205 2,467 2,2ptipm 91,888 12,991 10,825 22,019 22,019 1,103 737 674 601 601 3,730 2,349 7,323 20,948 20,948 3,2

Massachusetts

ptnonipm 14,079 13,814 13,814 13,814 13,814 403 401 401 401 401 2,795 2,705 2,705 2,705 2,705 1,8

Massachusetts Total 139,397 55,073 52,291 63,696 64,468 13,401 13,537 14,006 14,548 15,571 93,379 89,732 93,440 105,884 106,033 53,6
D-26 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 208,843 208,843 208,843 208,843 208,843 40,8ag 0 0 0 0 0 55,273 56,151 56,778 57,531 57,531 0 0 0 0 0 alm 14,466 15,415 17,203 21,207 31,136 5 6 6 6 7 2,637 3,000 3,337 3,929 5,386 2,3avefire 91 91 91 91 91 69 69 69 69 69 1,495 1,495 1,495 1,495 1,495 1,2nonpt 42,066 42,066 42,066 42,066 42,066 429 429 429 429 429 30,989 30,209 29,653 28,985 28,985 24,2nonroad 6,367 1,063 117 125 140 78 88 94 102 117 8,199 6,935 5,650 4,058 3,298 7,7onroad 13,508 1,362 1,106 1,226 1,404 9,813 10,307 11,090 12,003 13,412 7,881 5,651 4,538 4,220 4,579 5,8ptipm 348,377 228,218 245,203 243,651 243,651 286 771 947 1,122 1,122 13,170 12,070 12,685 12,451 12,451 10,6

Michigan 

ptnonipm 72,631 71,976 71,976 71,976 71,976 952 946 946 946 946 17,151 15,417 15,417 15,417 15,417 10,3

Michigan Total 497,505 360,190 377,761 380,341 390,463 66,906 68,767 70,360 72,209 73,633 290,363 283,621 281,619 279,398 280,454 103,4

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 432,054 432,054 432,054 432,054 432,054 79,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 134,830 136,892 138,364 140,130 140,130 0 0 0 0 0 alm 6,592 5,024 4,826 5,562 8,164 12 14 15 16 18 1,665 1,655 1,619 1,633 1,869 1,6avefire 631 631 631 631 631 482 482 482 482 482 10,427 10,427 10,427 10,427 10,427 8,9nonpt 14,747 14,737 14,730 14,721 14,721 1,226 1,226 1,226 1,226 1,226 26,968 26,093 25,468 24,718 24,718 24,4nonroad 6,525 1,138 84 88 97 59 68 74 82 93 8,097 6,277 4,957 3,540 2,319 7,7onroad 2,816 729 618 688 779 5,362 5,827 6,356 6,992 7,902 3,790 2,972 2,427 2,282 2,451 2,7ptipm 102,152 57,217 60,954 64,060 64,060 69 345 720 770 770 7,437 11,798 12,544 13,093 13,093 2

Minnesota 

ptnonipm 27,263 23,844 23,866 23,895 23,895 27,525 28,560 29,298 30,186 30,186 22,425 20,345 20,357 20,370 20,370 4,0

Minnesota Total 160,725 103,320 105,707 109,644 112,346 169,566 173,414 176,535 179,883 180,807 512,863 511,620 509,853 508,117 507,301 129,2

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 139,219 139,251 139,274 139,302 139,302 38,1ag 0 0 0 0 0 58,575 63,939 67,773 72,371 72,371 0 0 0 0 0 alm 9,163 8,214 8,487 10,082 14,822 18 20 21 22 25 3,057 3,085 3,091 3,203 3,736 2,6avefire 1,051 1,051 1,051 1,051 1,051 804 804 804 804 804 17,370 17,370 17,370 17,370 17,370 14,8nonpt 6,796 6,790 6,786 6,781 6,781 196 196 196 196 196 17,827 17,289 16,904 16,443 16,443 16,7nonroad 2,119 356 29 30 33 19 22 23 25 29 2,479 1,959 1,537 1,055 777 2,3onroad 3,591 501 382 429 505 3,606 3,866 4,190 4,584 5,203 3,058 2,281 1,817 1,695 1,915 2,3ptipm 67,593 51,938 50,434 56,664 56,664 456 327 513 497 497 3,122 2,777 3,378 10,168 10,168 2,6

Mississippi 

ptnonipm 36,519 29,914 29,914 29,914 29,914 1,414 852 852 852 852 19,535 18,524 18,524 18,524 18,524 10,0

Mississippi Total 126,831 98,763 97,082 104,951 109,771 65,088 70,024 74,371 79,351 79,976 205,667 202,537 201,896 207,760 208,235 89,7
D-27 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 458,324 458,324 458,324 458,324 458,324 96,0ag 0 0 0 0 0 107,023 108,403 109,390 110,571 110,571 0 0 0 0 0 alm 8,610 5,550 5,106 5,930 8,593 19 22 23 25 29 2,548 2,514 2,491 2,531 2,769 2,4avefire 186 186 186 186 186 142 142 142 142 142 3,074 3,074 3,074 3,074 3,074 2,6nonpt 44,573 44,557 44,545 44,531 44,531 3,830 3,830 3,830 3,830 3,830 32,399 31,072 30,123 28,985 28,985 28,2nonroad 5,143 885 61 65 72 43 49 54 59 68 5,929 4,506 3,519 2,444 1,671 5,6onroad 6,148 947 797 889 1,059 6,918 7,468 8,133 8,903 10,427 5,199 3,836 3,144 2,975 3,367 3,8ptipm 249,942 235,578 231,753 241,550 241,550 705 743 806 814 814 8,868 11,539 11,541 12,431 12,431 5,8

Missouri 

ptnonipm 111,547 110,331 110,331 110,331 110,331 322 322 322 322 322 14,083 13,678 13,678 13,678 13,678 7,4

Missouri Total 426,149 398,034 392,779 403,482 406,322 119,002 120,978 122,699 124,666 126,203 530,423 528,542 525,895 524,442 524,298 152,1

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 188,368 188,368 188,368 188,368 188,368 40,1ag 0 0 0 0 0 45,890 46,222 46,459 46,743 46,743 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,688 340 62 72 83 6 7 8 9 10 711 675 659 648 633 6avefire 1,422 1,422 1,422 1,422 1,422 946 946 946 946 946 19,949 19,949 19,949 19,949 19,949 17,3nonpt 1,961 1,957 1,954 1,951 1,951 50 50 50 50 50 5,765 5,446 5,218 4,944 4,944 5,5nonroad 2,009 340 17 17 18 14 16 18 20 22 2,344 1,697 1,261 821 431 2,2onroad 1,062 145 115 128 153 1,032 1,109 1,207 1,323 1,549 908 621 486 452 512 6ptipm 23,396 17,149 21,174 22,221 22,221 11 195 233 247 247 2,404 5,150 8,524 9,203 9,203 2,0

Montana 

ptnonipm 13,271 12,239 9,688 9,688 9,688 265 265 265 265 265 5,538 5,388 5,323 5,323 5,323 2,5

Montana Total 44,809 33,592 34,433 35,499 35,536 48,214 48,810 49,185 49,601 49,832 225,987 227,295 229,788 229,709 229,364 71,3

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 320,650 320,650 320,650 320,650 320,650 50,7ag 0 0 0 0 0 166,773 168,886 170,397 172,205 172,205 0 0 0 0 0 alm 4,764 950 163 188 225 18 21 22 24 29 1,958 1,862 1,791 1,732 1,651 1,9avefire 105 105 105 105 105 80 80 80 80 80 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,4nonpt 29,575 29,572 29,570 29,568 29,568 3,143 3,143 3,143 3,143 3,143 12,679 12,447 12,281 12,082 12,082 8,6nonroad 4,181 712 32 33 36 27 31 34 38 44 4,637 3,257 2,391 1,530 747 4,4onroad 2,011 286 217 242 314 1,874 1,998 2,159 2,353 2,968 1,723 1,253 975 893 1,092 1,3ptipm 67,576 118,340 41,587 39,642 39,642 190 266 282 307 307 1,551 3,082 3,761 4,012 4,012 1,1

Nebraska 

ptnonipm 6,018 6,018 6,018 6,018 6,018 421 422 422 422 422 1,623 1,614 1,614 1,614 1,614 8

Nebraska Total 114,229 155,982 77,691 75,796 75,907 172,525 174,846 176,539 178,571 179,197 346,550 345,893 345,192 344,243 343,578 70,6
D-28 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 61,096 61,096 61,096 61,096 61,096 11,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 5,598 5,647 5,682 5,723 5,723 0 0 0 0 0 alm 990 454 377 429 479 3 3 3 4 4 445 442 450 464 473 4avefire 1,346 1,346 1,346 1,346 1,346 1,026 1,026 1,026 1,026 1,026 22,169 22,169 22,169 22,169 22,169 19,0nonpt 12,476 12,475 12,474 12,473 12,473 199 199 199 199 199 4,389 4,331 4,289 4,238 4,238 2,7nonroad 2,025 358 22 23 26 17 20 22 24 28 2,115 1,713 1,418 1,018 779 2,0onroad 360 177 194 235 278 1,532 1,964 2,339 2,795 3,309 644 638 664 750 876 3ptipm 49,276 31,272 26,457 30,331 30,331 460 585 645 483 483 3,629 5,097 9,268 13,192 13,192 3,2

Nevada 

ptnonipm 1,342 1,342 1,342 1,342 1,342 164 164 164 164 164 3,240 3,196 3,196 3,196 3,196 1,4

Nevada Total 67,815 47,424 42,213 46,179 46,276 8,999 9,608 10,080 10,418 10,937 97,728 98,682 102,548 106,123 106,017 40,6

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6,175 6,175 6,175 6,175 6,175 2,1ag 0 0 0 0 0 1,354 1,377 1,394 1,414 1,414 0 0 0 0 0 alm 238 219 220 252 363 0 0 0 0 0 98 100 103 108 123 avefire 38 38 38 38 38 29 29 29 29 29 622 622 622 622 622 5nonpt 7,408 7,400 7,394 7,387 7,387 835 803 780 753 753 13,351 12,797 12,401 11,926 11,926 12,6nonroad 673 119 15 16 18 9 10 11 12 14 942 833 707 541 463 8onroad 880 180 148 165 193 1,266 1,417 1,564 1,723 1,999 969 760 619 579 639 7ptipm 44,009 8,279 9,970 14,096 14,096 58 259 258 231 231 2,632 1,318 3,470 8,806 8,806 2,3

New Hampshire 

ptnonipm 2,570 2,570 2,570 2,570 2,570 56 56 56 56 56 459 459 459 459 459 3

New Hampshire Total 55,815 18,803 20,354 24,524 24,664 3,607 3,952 4,092 4,217 4,495 25,248 23,064 24,556 29,216 29,213 19,7

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,305 16,305 16,305 16,305 16,305 1,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 3,827 3,953 4,044 4,152 4,152 0 0 0 0 0 alm 14,587 15,243 16,581 20,019 29,344 11 12 13 13 15 1,786 1,889 1,963 2,142 2,749 1,6avefire 61 61 61 61 61 47 47 47 47 47 1,009 1,009 1,009 1,009 1,009 8nonpt 10,726 10,718 10,713 10,707 10,707 2,648 2,648 2,648 2,648 2,648 15,987 15,375 14,937 14,411 14,411 13,0nonroad 3,378 607 65 69 78 41 45 49 54 63 4,162 3,432 2,915 2,283 1,992 3,9onroad 3,658 845 800 880 1,016 7,635 8,373 9,081 9,860 11,338 3,805 3,107 2,830 2,894 3,198 2,5ptipm 51,299 20,935 19,045 20,861 20,861 170 537 592 566 566 4,835 3,176 4,565 6,656 6,656 4,0

New Jersey 

ptnonipm 9,930 6,233 6,233 6,233 6,233 475 475 475 475 475 3,131 2,966 2,966 2,966 2,966 2,4

New Jersey Total 93,640 54,642 53,498 58,829 68,300 14,854 16,091 16,948 17,815 19,303 51,020 47,259 47,490 48,667 49,286 29,9
D-29 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 440,334 440,334 440,334 440,334 440,334 80,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 36,340 36,476 36,574 36,690 36,690 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,550 522 106 122 140 9 11 12 13 15 1,110 1,060 1,029 1,004 966 1,0avefire 3,450 3,450 3,450 3,450 3,450 2,626 2,626 2,626 2,626 2,626 56,719 56,719 56,719 56,719 56,719 48,6nonpt 2,825 2,823 2,821 2,820 2,820 39 39 39 39 39 5,984 5,816 5,696 5,552 5,552 5,3nonroad 975 167 12 13 14 9 10 11 12 14 1,062 859 700 501 380 1,0onroad 2,254 337 280 319 370 2,323 2,638 2,961 3,339 3,862 1,965 1,416 1,151 1,100 1,211 1,4ptipm 51,016 26,035 25,999 26,112 26,112 10 392 398 464 464 8,024 5,334 5,347 5,544 5,544 5,5

New Mexico 

ptnonipm 18,179 16,513 16,513 16,513 16,513 44 44 44 44 44 3,986 3,821 3,821 3,821 3,821 3,2

New Mexico Total 81,249 49,846 49,182 49,349 49,420 41,401 42,236 42,665 43,226 43,754 519,183 515,360 514,798 514,576 514,528 146,7

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 139,896 139,896 139,896 139,896 139,896 29,9ag 0 0 0 0 0 49,281 49,900 50,342 50,873 50,873 0 0 0 0 0 alm 9,353 7,050 6,128 6,277 9,061 29 31 33 35 39 1,780 1,826 1,865 1,965 2,267 1,3avefire 113 113 113 113 113 86 86 86 86 86 1,866 1,866 1,866 1,866 1,866 1,6nonpt 125,559 125,618 125,661 125,711 125,711 3,964 4,158 4,297 4,463 4,463 83,468 87,036 89,585 92,644 92,644 58,8nonroad 6,797 1,209 125 134 151 79 89 97 107 123 8,303 6,886 5,734 4,304 3,512 7,9onroad 8,075 1,710 1,595 1,756 2,170 14,582 15,853 17,084 18,456 22,335 8,059 7,022 6,174 5,596 6,781 5,5ptipm 238,034 140,744 113,238 111,224 111,224 2,439 1,609 1,279 1,279 1,279 13,669 8,019 28,290 31,952 31,952 12,0

New York 

ptnonipm 59,078 59,043 59,043 59,043 59,043 1,241 1,239 1,239 1,239 1,239 8,565 7,661 7,661 7,661 7,661 4,4

New York Total 447,008 335,486 305,901 304,257 307,473 71,702 72,966 74,457 76,538 80,437 265,606 260,213 281,073 285,884 286,580 121,7

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 91,287 91,287 91,287 91,287 91,287 25,4ag 0 0 0 0 0 158,188 168,029 175,054 183,488 183,488 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,840 1,044 928 1,084 1,516 7 8 9 10 11 6,752 7,029 7,746 8,718 9,680 4,7avefire 696 696 696 696 696 532 532 532 532 532 11,509 11,509 11,509 11,509 11,509 9,8nonpt 22,020 22,006 21,996 21,984 21,984 236 236 236 236 236 40,945 39,800 38,981 38,000 38,000 38,3nonroad 5,750 989 81 86 97 54 60 66 73 84 6,313 5,104 4,185 3,033 2,406 6,0onroad 8,683 1,147 963 1,095 1,250 7,953 8,925 9,900 11,115 12,540 6,517 4,723 3,865 3,701 4,026 4,8ptipm 471,337 202,194 154,504 144,734 144,734 124 574 639 670 670 22,259 21,598 22,962 29,362 29,362 16,0

North Carolina 

ptnonipm 56,065 54,306 54,306 54,306 54,306 1,485 1,469 1,470 1,470 1,470 13,744 13,326 13,326 13,326 13,326 9,8

North Carolina Total 566,392 282,382 233,475 223,985 224,583 168,580 179,835 187,906 197,594 199,032 199,327 194,376 193,860 198,935 199,596 115,2
D-30 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 269,751 269,751 269,751 269,751 269,751 50,5ag 0 0 0 0 0 71,302 71,557 71,739 71,957 71,957 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,601 316 51 59 68 6 7 7 8 10 684 652 630 612 587 6avefire 66 66 66 66 66 50 50 50 50 50 1,089 1,089 1,089 1,089 1,089 9nonpt 5,768 5,765 5,763 5,761 5,761 69 69 69 69 69 3,751 3,539 3,387 3,205 3,205 3,2nonroad 4,106 696 28 28 30 25 29 32 36 41 4,634 3,177 2,282 1,433 603 4,4onroad 700 100 78 85 107 733 758 804 857 1,037 608 430 336 305 360 4ptipm 140,535 78,026 36,622 43,908 43,908 378 370 364 376 376 7,625 5,960 6,124 5,960 5,960 6,4

North Dakota 

ptnonipm 15,449 11,305 11,305 11,305 11,305 139 139 139 139 139 1,437 1,422 1,422 1,422 1,422 1,1

North Dakota Total 168,224 96,275 53,913 61,212 61,244 72,703 72,979 73,204 73,491 73,678 289,580 286,021 285,022 283,777 282,978 67,8

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 236,316 236,316 236,316 236,316 236,316 49,9ag 0 0 0 0 0 98,711 101,976 104,307 107,105 107,105 0 0 0 0 0 alm 11,191 8,372 8,056 9,339 13,647 32 36 39 42 49 3,393 3,424 3,437 3,561 4,095 3,1avefire 22 22 22 22 22 17 17 17 17 17 368 368 368 368 368 3nonpt 19,810 19,810 19,810 19,810 19,810 8,527 8,420 8,344 8,253 8,253 25,444 24,784 24,312 23,746 23,746 23,7nonroad 8,254 1,429 112 119 134 74 83 91 101 117 8,400 6,603 5,278 3,649 2,902 8,0onroad 12,682 1,414 1,171 1,305 1,519 10,986 11,569 12,466 13,570 15,357 8,049 5,875 4,807 4,549 5,058 5,9ptipm 1,145,194 425,975 364,335 299,575 299,575 74 1,207 1,292 1,330 1,330 62,308 40,958 37,583 39,452 39,452 55,7

Ohio 

ptnonipm 111,233 109,789 101,330 101,330 101,330 6,370 6,370 6,370 6,370 6,370 14,370 14,039 13,858 13,858 13,858 10,0

Ohio Total 1,308,387 566,810 494,835 431,499 436,037 124,789 129,677 132,925 136,787 138,597 358,650 332,368 325,960 325,500 325,796 156,7

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 395,931 395,931 395,931 395,931 395,931 70,6ag 0 0 0 0 0 95,061 97,973 100,054 102,549 102,549 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,890 469 181 207 269 7 8 8 9 11 886 853 838 828 813 8avefire 469 469 469 469 469 359 359 359 359 359 7,747 7,747 7,747 7,747 7,747 6,6nonpt 7,542 7,538 7,535 7,531 7,531 11,358 11,358 11,358 11,358 11,358 54,339 53,993 53,746 53,449 53,449 43,8nonroad 3,093 520 36 38 42 26 29 32 35 40 3,494 2,636 2,063 1,452 1,012 3,3onroad 5,344 619 524 594 728 4,626 5,089 5,637 6,296 7,538 3,501 2,565 2,123 2,038 2,401 2,5ptipm 111,841 165,330 79,570 64,002 64,002 909 1,010 1,186 1,067 1,067 3,350 5,373 6,598 7,609 7,609 1,7

Oklahoma 

ptnonipm 38,495 33,153 33,153 33,153 33,153 3,118 3,118 3,118 3,118 3,118 9,175 8,903 8,903 8,903 8,903 5,2

Oklahoma Total 168,673 208,098 121,468 105,994 106,194 115,463 118,943 121,752 124,790 126,040 478,422 478,000 477,948 477,956 477,863 134,9
D-31 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 82,013 82,013 82,013 82,013 82,013 30,6ag 0 0 0 0 0 40,655 41,158 41,518 41,949 41,949 0 0 0 0 0 alm 4,212 3,487 3,423 3,923 5,694 9 10 10 11 13 1,498 1,509 1,513 1,560 1,770 1,3avefire 4,896 4,896 4,896 4,896 4,896 3,542 3,542 3,542 3,542 3,542 75,861 75,861 75,861 75,861 75,861 65,3nonpt 9,845 9,846 9,846 9,847 9,847 1,061 1,061 1,061 1,061 1,061 50,681 49,765 49,110 48,325 48,325 49,4nonroad 2,559 434 35 37 41 24 27 29 32 37 2,902 2,358 1,920 1,386 1,080 2,7onroad 3,488 450 398 448 504 3,270 3,758 4,181 4,656 5,213 2,707 2,151 1,697 1,537 1,622 2,0ptipm 12,285 12,552 12,552 12,606 12,606 162 298 298 298 298 711 392 392 449 449 3

Oregon 

ptnonipm 5,307 5,307 5,307 5,307 5,307 787 787 787 787 787 9,828 9,532 9,532 9,532 9,532 6,2

Oregon Total 42,592 36,971 36,457 37,064 38,896 49,509 50,641 51,426 52,337 52,900 226,200 223,580 222,039 220,662 220,651 158,0

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 130,508 130,508 130,508 130,508 130,508 32,2ag 0 0 0 0 0 76,675 79,474 81,473 83,870 83,870 0 0 0 0 0 alm 8,354 6,729 6,553 7,510 10,928 14 16 17 18 21 2,376 2,396 2,399 2,478 2,857 2,2avefire 32 32 32 32 32 25 25 25 25 25 530 530 530 530 530 4nonpt 68,349 68,335 68,326 68,314 68,314 3,689 3,689 3,689 3,689 3,689 41,841 40,757 39,983 39,053 39,053 31,2nonroad 5,203 918 89 95 107 55 62 68 75 87 6,256 5,295 4,442 3,335 2,782 5,9onroad 7,885 1,369 1,169 1,285 1,504 10,618 11,363 12,227 13,212 15,234 7,250 5,426 4,514 4,293 4,821 5,2ptipm 907,734 244,722 206,230 188,589 188,589 401 1,234 1,311 1,237 1,237 63,198 31,689 31,114 30,850 30,850 53,0

Pennsylvania 

ptnonipm 88,132 81,441 75,605 75,605 75,605 1,334 1,298 1,298 1,298 1,298 22,391 20,443 20,393 20,393 20,393 11,5

Pennsylvania Total 1,085,688 403,546 358,004 341,431 345,080 92,811 97,160 100,108 103,424 105,460 274,351 237,044 233,883 231,440 231,794 142,0

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,501 2,501 2,501 2,501 2,501 4ag 0 0 0 0 0 235 237 239 241 241 0 0 0 0 0 alm 78 64 68 77 85 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 8 7 7 avefire 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 17 17 17 17 17 nonpt 3,365 3,364 3,364 3,364 3,364 15 15 15 15 15 1,171 1,136 1,110 1,080 1,080 1,1nonroad 354 63 7 8 9 4 5 5 6 6 427 342 285 218 189 4onroad 425 86 85 94 107 854 940 1,023 1,122 1,274 343 290 292 313 356 2ptipm 18 0 0 0 0 58 151 137 126 126 12 7 7 6 6 

Rhode Island 

ptnonipm 2,649 2,349 2,349 2,349 2,349 47 47 47 47 47 288 256 256 256 256 1

Rhode Island Total 6,889 5,928 5,874 5,892 5,915 1,213 1,395 1,467 1,557 1,710 4,767 4,556 4,475 4,398 4,412 2,4
D-32 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 82,088 82,099 82,108 82,117 82,117 25,6ag 0 0 0 0 0 27,945 29,692 30,941 32,440 32,440 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,946 1,231 1,108 1,267 1,842 4 5 5 6 7 714 711 709 720 779 6avefire 646 646 646 646 646 494 494 494 494 494 10,684 10,684 10,684 10,684 10,684 9,1nonpt 30,016 30,008 30,003 29,996 29,996 223 223 223 223 223 19,393 18,766 18,318 17,780 17,780 18,1nonroad 2,816 482 41 44 49 27 30 33 36 41 3,102 2,489 2,041 1,490 1,208 2,9onroad 5,021 651 551 617 720 4,710 5,163 5,643 6,206 7,137 3,588 2,629 2,163 2,055 2,283 2,6ptipm 212,572 150,469 122,606 97,472 97,472 306 343 415 424 424 17,707 17,282 17,579 22,636 22,636 13,7

South Carolina

ptnonipm 57,307 56,870 56,870 56,870 56,870 1,552 1,552 1,552 1,552 1,552 12,696 11,699 11,699 11,699 11,699 8,1

South Carolina Total 310,324 240,357 211,824 186,911 187,595 35,263 37,504 39,307 41,381 42,319 149,971 146,357 145,299 149,182 149,186 81,1

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 202,326 202,326 202,326 202,326 202,326 38,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 101,949 102,814 103,432 104,172 104,172 0 0 0 0 0 alm 318 69 18 20 23 1 1 1 2 2 172 167 168 170 172 1avefire 498 498 498 498 498 381 381 381 381 381 8,235 8,235 8,235 8,235 8,235 7,0nonpt 10,304 10,301 10,299 10,296 10,296 51 51 51 51 51 6,683 6,434 6,256 6,042 6,042 4,4nonroad 2,901 492 21 22 23 18 21 23 26 30 3,289 2,286 1,658 1,051 477 3,1onroad 852 125 95 103 129 843 901 968 1,041 1,280 746 548 419 372 436 5ptipm 12,545 12,249 4,275 4,865 4,865 50 34 37 48 48 450 231 476 589 589 4

South Dakota 

ptnonipm 1,480 1,480 1,480 1,480 1,480 50 50 50 50 50 609 515 515 515 515 2

South Dakota Total 28,898 25,214 16,685 17,284 17,314 103,343 104,253 104,944 105,770 106,013 222,509 220,741 220,052 219,300 218,791 54,4

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 95,767 95,767 95,767 95,767 95,767 22,5ag 0 0 0 0 0 34,210 35,494 36,411 37,512 37,512 0 0 0 0 0 alm 6,292 5,318 5,393 6,362 9,273 12 14 15 16 18 1,853 1,869 1,858 1,906 2,193 1,7avefire 277 277 277 277 277 212 212 212 212 212 4,587 4,587 4,587 4,587 4,587 3,9nonpt 32,714 32,705 32,698 32,690 32,690 164 164 164 164 164 26,842 26,074 25,526 24,869 24,869 20,6nonroad 3,728 642 54 57 64 35 39 43 47 54 4,225 3,416 2,759 1,954 1,496 4,0onroad 7,674 1,039 830 946 1,104 6,671 7,448 8,258 9,235 10,488 6,128 4,447 3,539 3,319 3,671 4,6ptipm 333,618 158,140 137,637 153,894 153,894 425 436 487 572 572 16,268 10,716 14,520 38,254 38,254 13,9

Tennessee 

ptnonipm 84,316 83,903 83,903 83,903 83,903 2,394 2,394 2,394 2,394 2,394 30,328 27,121 27,121 27,121 27,121 22,0

Tennessee Total 468,619 282,025 260,792 278,130 281,205 44,124 46,202 47,986 50,152 51,415 185,996 173,997 175,677 197,775 197,957 93,5
D-33 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,290,391 1,290,973 1,291,390 1,291,887 1,291,887 242,9ag 0 0 0 0 0 354,873 360,460 364,456 369,242 369,242 0 0 0 0 0 alm 27,280 23,890 24,302 28,470 41,368 57 63 67 73 82 8,936 8,940 8,759 8,857 10,280 8,1avefire 1,178 1,178 1,178 1,178 1,178 1,118 1,118 1,118 1,118 1,118 25,228 25,228 25,228 25,228 25,228 21,5nonpt 109,215 109,204 109,195 109,185 109,185 1,983 1,983 1,983 1,983 1,983 72,265 71,333 70,666 69,867 69,867 47,3nonroad 14,990 2,566 180 189 211 128 145 158 175 202 15,766 12,270 9,862 6,978 5,127 15,1onroad 21,522 3,084 2,506 2,863 3,479 21,943 24,625 27,464 31,029 37,361 16,034 12,192 10,036 10,043 11,798 11,6ptipm 562,594 346,683 339,382 338,519 338,519 5,941 4,839 5,537 6,148 6,148 34,257 35,123 35,202 38,150 38,150 24,9

Texas 

ptnonipm 245,060 172,556 164,923 164,923 164,923 2,297 2,279 2,279 2,279 2,279 38,861 36,535 36,020 36,020 36,020 27,1

Texas Total 981,840 659,160 641,666 645,327 658,863 388,340 395,512 403,063 412,046 418,416 1,501,740 1,492,592 1,487,162 1,487,030 1,488,357 399,0

alm 132 25 3 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 58 55 52 50 48 ptipm 6 0 0 0 0 65 92 92 72 72 31 4 4 3 3 

Tribal Data 

ptnonipm 204 203 203 203 203 4 4 4 4 4 1,872 1,868 1,868 1,868 1,868 8

Tribal Data Total 342 228 206 207 207 69 96 96 76 77 1,961 1,927 1,925 1,922 1,919 8

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54,020 54,020 54,020 54,020 54,020 7,8ag 0 0 0 0 0 20,448 20,960 21,326 21,765 21,765 0 0 0 0 0 alm 1,065 344 213 242 272 5 6 7 8 9 153 152 157 162 166 1avefire 1,934 1,934 1,934 1,934 1,934 1,479 1,479 1,479 1,479 1,479 31,961 31,961 31,961 31,961 31,961 27,4nonpt 3,427 3,426 3,425 3,423 3,423 1,268 1,268 1,268 1,268 1,268 10,385 10,268 10,185 10,085 10,085 9,0nonroad 1,437 251 21 22 25 14 16 18 20 22 1,703 1,463 1,199 845 647 1,6onroad 1,989 335 310 361 432 2,457 2,903 3,335 3,851 4,579 1,658 1,327 1,165 1,176 1,352 1,1ptipm 33,167 39,360 41,355 44,170 44,170 269 372 416 418 418 6,351 5,480 7,400 8,532 8,532 4,9

Utah 

ptnonipm 9,305 8,454 7,790 7,790 7,790 529 529 529 529 529 6,893 6,577 6,551 6,551 6,551 2,9

Utah Total 52,325 54,103 55,047 57,942 58,045 26,469 27,534 28,377 29,336 30,069 113,124 111,248 112,639 113,333 113,315 55,1
D-34 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13,658 13,658 13,658 13,658 13,658 4,8ag 0 0 0 0 0 8,821 8,851 8,872 8,898 8,898 0 0 0 0 0 alm 6 6 7 7 8 0 0 0 0 0 29 30 32 35 37 avefire 49 49 49 49 49 38 38 38 38 38 812 812 812 812 812 6nonpt 5,385 5,382 5,380 5,378 5,378 214 214 214 214 214 5,823 5,539 5,336 5,093 5,093 5,4nonroad 368 64 7 8 9 5 5 6 6 7 516 463 390 292 236 4onroad 622 125 103 118 148 939 1,047 1,147 1,262 1,467 645 632 554 557 720 4ptipm 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

Vermont 

ptnonipm 911 911 911 911 911 16 16 16 16 16 337 337 337 337 337 2

Vermont Total 7,341 6,538 6,458 6,471 6,503 10,043 10,172 10,293 10,434 10,639 21,819 21,471 21,119 20,783 20,893 12,1

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60,865 60,865 60,865 60,865 60,865 19,6ag 0 0 0 0 0 43,811 45,905 47,402 49,197 49,197 0 0 0 0 0 alm 5,595 3,378 2,998 3,428 4,904 13 15 16 18 21 1,905 1,875 1,854 1,872 2,004 1,8avefire 399 399 399 399 399 305 305 305 305 305 6,599 6,599 6,599 6,599 6,599 5,6nonpt 32,923 32,910 32,901 32,889 32,889 1,621 1,621 1,621 1,621 1,621 53,941 52,867 52,100 51,179 51,179 29,9nonroad 4,289 741 60 63 71 41 46 51 56 64 4,809 3,897 3,247 2,437 2,009 4,5onroad 6,662 1,019 920 1,032 1,269 7,889 8,893 9,831 10,881 13,168 4,939 3,736 3,278 3,306 3,976 3,4ptipm 239,777 151,541 148,291 135,834 135,834 192 353 471 435 435 15,400 10,317 13,940 15,885 15,885 14,4

Virginia 

ptnonipm 67,691 67,253 67,253 67,253 67,253 3,500 3,498 3,498 3,498 3,498 13,041 11,869 11,869 11,869 11,869 9,7

Virginia Total 357,338 257,240 252,821 240,899 242,619 57,373 60,638 63,196 66,011 68,310 161,498 152,025 153,752 154,011 154,385 89,3

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 106,176 106,176 106,176 106,176 106,176 26,9ag 0 0 0 0 0 42,133 42,712 43,126 43,622 43,622 0 0 0 0 0 alm 11,488 10,791 11,291 13,423 19,682 151 171 193 236 339 2,416 2,601 2,758 3,074 3,959 2,2avefire 407 407 407 407 407 248 248 248 248 248 5,126 5,126 5,126 5,126 5,126 4,4nonpt 7,254 7,241 7,231 7,219 7,219 1,711 1,711 1,711 1,711 1,711 35,624 34,598 33,864 32,983 32,983 31,9nonroad 5,380 707 57 60 67 39 44 48 53 61 4,776 3,742 3,044 2,207 1,704 4,5onroad 5,539 790 688 794 914 5,168 6,206 7,111 8,125 9,323 4,545 3,315 2,767 2,685 2,941 3,4ptipm 19,108 3,954 3,946 4,064 4,064 62 512 537 528 528 2,456 3,091 3,090 3,213 3,213 2,0

Washington 

ptnonipm 24,623 24,601 24,601 24,601 24,601 774 771 771 771 771 4,970 4,895 4,895 4,895 4,895 3,2

Washington Total 73,799 48,491 48,221 50,569 56,954 50,285 52,375 53,744 55,293 56,602 166,089 163,544 161,720 160,359 160,997 78,8
D-35 

State Sector 

[tons/yr] 

2002 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2014 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr] 

2020 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

SO2 

[tons/yr]

2002 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2009 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

NH3 

[tons/yr]

2002 

PM10 

[tons/yr] 

2009 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2014 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2020 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/yr]

2030 

Base 

PM10 

[tons/y

2002 

PM2_

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24,640 24,644 24,647 24,650 24,650 11,3ag 0 0 0 0 0 9,879 10,474 10,898 11,408 11,408 0 0 0 0 0 alm 5,707 5,433 5,830 7,090 10,433 8 9 10 11 12 1,478 1,526 1,573 1,689 2,036 1,2avefire 215 215 215 215 215 165 165 165 165 165 3,557 3,557 3,557 3,557 3,557 3,0nonpt 14,589 14,585 14,582 14,578 14,578 72 72 72 72 72 12,220 11,866 11,613 11,310 11,310 11,1nonroad 780 128 13 14 15 8 9 10 11 13 1,005 906 751 541 455 9onroad 2,675 248 201 217 230 1,950 1,957 2,056 2,175 2,273 1,542 1,004 792 725 732 1,1ptipm 509,488 200,473 178,167 168,660 168,660 210 628 644 649 649 31,248 22,049 21,938 21,957 21,957 28,8

West Virginia 

ptnonipm 54,107 54,106 54,106 54,106 54,106 688 688 688 688 688 10,625 10,097 10,097 10,097 10,097 7,4

West Virginia Total 587,561 275,187 253,113 244,879 248,237 12,981 14,002 14,544 15,178 15,280 86,314 75,648 74,967 74,526 74,794 65,2

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 103,735 103,735 103,735 103,735 103,735 30,7ag 0 0 0 0 0 113,949 114,789 115,389 116,109 116,109 0 0 0 0 0 alm 4,781 3,992 4,195 5,137 7,496 11 13 14 15 17 1,353 1,417 1,492 1,632 1,954 1,1avefire 70 70 70 70 70 54 54 54 54 54 1,159 1,159 1,159 1,159 1,159 9nonpt 6,369 6,370 6,370 6,370 6,370 266 266 266 266 266 26,104 25,736 25,474 25,159 25,159 25,4nonroad 5,015 845 81 87 99 52 60 65 71 83 6,090 4,944 3,967 2,840 2,296 5,7onroad 7,218 815 676 766 897 6,006 6,492 7,111 7,894 9,065 4,479 3,403 2,810 2,684 2,985 3,3ptipm 192,946 141,203 125,070 123,645 123,645 375 583 662 680 680 5,576 8,465 8,831 8,890 8,890 5,0

Wisconsin 

ptnonipm 63,651 63,431 63,431 63,431 63,431 397 397 397 397 397 10,466 9,199 9,199 9,199 9,199 5,8

Wisconsin Total 280,051 216,726 199,892 199,507 202,009 121,110 122,653 123,957 125,486 126,672 158,961 158,058 156,666 155,297 155,377 78,2

afdust 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 272,299 272,299 272,299 272,299 272,299 41,0ag 0 0 0 0 0 18,575 18,801 18,963 19,156 19,156 0 0 0 0 0 alm 2,088 404 56 65 75 8 9 10 11 13 866 824 793 766 730 8avefire 1,106 1,106 1,106 1,106 1,106 846 846 846 846 846 18,289 18,289 18,289 18,289 18,289 15,6nonpt 6,181 6,179 6,178 6,176 6,176 91 91 91 91 91 3,717 3,571 3,467 3,342 3,342 2,9nonroad 559 95 7 8 8 5 6 7 7 8 689 565 450 312 214 6onroad 905 122 95 103 122 893 931 997 1,075 1,252 799 524 402 365 407 6ptipm 83,423 62,706 58,597 58,204 58,204 386 414 443 470 470 9,599 8,653 9,763 10,727 10,727 7,9

Wyoming 

ptnonipm 33,676 33,653 33,653 33,653 33,653 301 301 301 301 301 19,234 18,528 18,528 18,528 18,528 14,1

Wyoming Total 127,938 104,266 99,692 99,315 99,345 21,104 21,398 21,656 21,957 22,136 325,494 323,255 323,991 324,629 324,536 83,8Grand Total 14,649,986 9,233,950 8,473,877 8,171,411 8,295,030 3,901,951 4,023,868 4,123,379 4,241,636 4,297,455 12,817,898 12,554,430 12,551,458 12,671,074 12,680,651 4,938,8
E-i 

Appendix E: Description of Animal Population Data and 

Projections 

This description is in the form of a document provided by Bill Schrock, U.S.EPA, OAQPS to Madeleine 

Strum and Marc Houyoux, U.S.EPA, OAQPS February 20, 2007. 
E-1 

Future Emission Estimates (02/19/07) 

In the EPA’s ammonia inventory for animal agricultural operations (National Emission 

Inventory - Ammonia Emissions from Animal Agricultural Operations; Revised Draft Report; April 22, 

2005), population projections for the beef, dairy, swine, and poultry animal sectors were developed and 

used to estimate future ammonia emissions from these animal sectors. To develop the 2005 population 

projections, EPA used inventory data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and the Food 

and Agriculture Policy and Research Institute (FAPRI). 

Since completion of the 2005 ammonia emissions inventory, FAPRI released an updated report 

(FAPRI, 2006) that contains animal population data and projections that cover the years 2002 to 2015. 

Additionally, USDA released updated inventory reports (Poultry – Production and Value 2005 Summary 

(USDA, 2006a), 2005 Chicken and Egg Summary (USDA, 2006b). These data were used to update the 

2005 animal inventory projections. 

The data sources and the methodology used to develop the population projections for each 

animal type are discussed below (Attachment A contains the data used for each projection). These future 

projections do not account for any changes in animal populations or regional dislocations associated 

with EPA’s revised effluent limitations guidelines and standards for concentrated animal feeding 

operations promulgated in December 2002 (68 FR 7176, February 12, 2003). Due to insufficient data, 

animal population projections and future emission estimates were not developed for sheep, goats, and 

horses. 

Dairy Cattle. The FAPRI report provides estimated national milk cow inventory data from 2006 

through 2015 and shows an overall decline in U.S. dairy cow populations. The FAPRI projections 

depict an essentially linear relationship between 2001 milk cow populations and subsequent years. The 

EPA estimated future dairy cattle populations using a linear regression analysis of the national 

population data available from the FAPRI report, covering 1982 through 2015. Figure 1 illustrates the 

linear projection of the national dairy cow population. 

Beef Cattle. The USDA provides estimated national cattle inventory projections. Beef 

production has a clear cycle generated by producers’ expectations about future prices, grain market 

cycles, and other economic conditions. The pace of the cycle is limited by the reproductive capacity of 

the animal. Cattle inventories can expand only as fast as cows can reproduce. This has historically 

resulted in a 7- to 12-year cycle, from peak to peak (Kohls, 1998). Peaks and troughs of the cycle are 5 

to 6 percent higher or lower than the general trend in cattle populations so the stage of the cycle can 

make a significant difference in population at any given future date. 
E-2 

2006 FAPRI - National Dairy Cow Extrapolations 

y = -64.421x + 138285

R2

 = 0.8303

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

198219861990199419982002200620102014

Year 

Dairy Cows (thousand head)

Figure 1. Dairy Cow Inventory Projections

The EPA decomposed the beef cow inventory time series into a trend line, a cyclical component, 

and a random error component (Bowerman, 1987). The trend line was estimated by linear regression of 

the inventory data from 1990 to 2015 on a time variable. The cyclical component was then estimated as 

the percentage deviation from the trend line in the historical data. A graph of that information appeared 

to show a cyclic trend (trough to peak). (The robust U.S. economy of the 1990s may explain the longer 

than average cycle.) With so little data, EPA assumed the down side of the cycle was symmetrical with 

the up side, so the data set would contain three values for each stage of the cycle. The average of the 

absolute value of the three observations represents the cyclical component. The EPA forecasted the 

trend line out to 2030 and adjusted it by the average percentage deviation from the trend for that stage of 

the cycle, as illustrated in Figure 2. 

The projection data for the beef cattle inventory show some difference in growth cycle of beef 

cows versus other beef cattle (e.g., steers, bulls). The EPA conducted a separate analysis of these animal 

populations. Other beef cattle populations appear to follow similar cycles and were forecasted using the 

same technique as beef cows (see Figure 3). 

Swine. Annual swine populations are categorized by breeding and market swine. The FAPRI 

report presents annual inventory data and projected breeding swine and market swine inventories (rather 

than a combined total). The FAPRI data show an 
E-3 

Beef Cow Inventory

(Based on USDA, 2006)

-------Raw line: y = 81.43x - 129,010.73

R2

 = 0.31

Adjusted line: y = 82.584x - 131312

R2

 = 0.7514

32,000

32,500

33,000

33,500

34,000

34,500

35,000

35,500

36,000

36,500

37,000

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Year

Number Beef Cow 

(thousand head)

Figure 2. Beef Cow Inventory Projections

overall increase in swine production over time. Due to increasing productivity (i.e., increased number of 

pigs per litter), the population of breeding swine is expected to decline over the long term. 

The EPA estimated future swine populations using a cycle and trend decomposition analysis. 

Breeding and market swine population projections and inventory data from the FAPRI report capture the 

variability of the swine production cycle. Changes in the pork industry in the 1990’s have made recent 

data atypical and inconsistent. For example, EPA replaced the 1996 market hog cyclical deviation with 

the average of all of the other data because it was so far out of line with the hog cycle.
E-4 

Beef Non-cow Population 

(based on USDA, 2006)

-----Raw line: y = 45.012x - 34,221

R2

 = 0.0476

Adjusted line: y = 50.035x - 44270

R2

 = 0.1356

50,000

51,000

52,000

53,000

54,000

55,000

56,000

57,000

58,000

59,000

60,000

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Year

Beef Non-cow Inventory (thousand hea

d

Figure 3. Non-cow Beef Inventory Projections

The EPA estimated the trend and deviations from the trend as in the beef cattle analysis. 

However, it was not possible to apply the identical technique from the beef cattle industry to the hog 

industry because a well-defined periodic cycle was not evident in the annual data. The EPA evaluated a 

3-year moving average of the deviation to further reduce the random component. As the smoothed cycle 

continued to appear irregular, EPA assumed that the 2010’s will repeat the pattern of the 1990’s. 

Breeding hog populations were estimated using a similar approach. See Figures 4 and 5 for an 

illustration of the swine projections for the market hog and breeding hog inventories, respectively.

Poultry. Annual poultry populations in the EPA’s ammonia emissions inventory for animal 

agriculture are presented for broilers, turkeys, and layers. To project populations of broilers and turkeys, 

EPA determined the number of animals related to the pounds of broilers and turkeys produced (the 

USDA data are for the weight of federally inspected meat slaughtered and total weight of meat produced 

for 2010 to 2015, rather than number of animals). 
E-5 

Market Hog Inventory 

(based on FAPRI, 2006)

------raw: y = 0.3996x - 746.34

R2

 = 0.8949

Adjusted: y = 0.4146x - 776.18

R2

 = 0.9766

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

1983

1987

1991

1995

1999

2003

2007

2011

2015

2019

2023

2027

Year

Market Hog Inventory

(million head)

Figure 4. Market Hog Inventory Projections
E-6 

Breeding Hog Inventory 

(based on FAPRI, 2006)

Adjusted line: y = -0.0563x + 118.96

R2

 = 0.9535

------Raw line: y = -0.0562x + 118.8

R2

 = 0.8613

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

6.50

7.00

7.50

8.00

1983

1987

1991

1995

1999

2003

2007

2011

2015

2019

2023

2027

Year

Breeding Hog Inventory

(million head)

Figure 5. Breeding Hog Inventory Projections

EPA calculated a national average weight of broilers and turkeys produced from 1990 to 2005 

and used a linear regression analysis to develop a relationship between both the number of birds 

produced and their total weight in pounds as a function of year. Figure 6 illustrates the millions of 

pounds of birds produced per year. This relationship was used to convert USDA’s projections for 2005 

and 2010 to number of birds. EPA also used a linear regression analysis to predict the pounds of poultry 

produced for 2015, 2020, and 2030 and converted these estimates to number of birds. Figures 7 and 8 

present the population projections for broilers and turkeys, respectively.
E-7 

 Pounds of Broilers Produced from Trend 

(USDA,2006)

y = 1.44659E+06x - 2.85217E+09

R2

 = 9.86540E-01

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Million

s

Year

Figure 6. Broiler Pounds Projection 

Number of Broilers Produced per Year (USDA, 2006)`

y = 195,360.13x - 382,598,343

R2

 = 0.9923

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Million Broilers

Year

Figure 7. Broiler Inventory Projection 
E-8 

Number of Turkeys Projected per Year (USDA, 2006)

y = -917.304x + 2,114,102.057

R2

 = 0.503

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Year

Number of Turkey

s

Figure 8. Turkey Inventory Projection 

Layer populations are divided into hens (layers 20 weeks old and greater), pullets (chicks less 

than 20 weeks old), and other chickens. The USDA projections do not include projections of animal 

populations, only national projections of egg production for 2010 to 2012. 

To project populations of layers, EPA determined the number of animals related to the number of 

eggs produced. The USDA/NASS publishes an annual summary of layer data in the Chickens and Eggs

report. With these data, EPA calculated a national average number of eggs produced per layer from 

1990 to 2005 and used a linear regression analysis to develop a relationship between number of eggs 

produced and the number of birds. This relationship was used to convert USDA’s projections to number 

of birds. The EPA also used a linear regression analysis to predict the number of eggs produced in the 

U.S. for 2015, 2020, and 2030. Figure 9 shows the national layer population projection. 
E-9 

National Projection of Number of Layers per Year

 (USDA,2006)

y = 5,355.11x - 10,387,072.50

R2

 = 0.98

250,000

270,000

290,000

310,000

330,000

350,000

370,000

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

Year

Number of Layer

s

Figure 9. Egg Layer Projection 
E-10 

References

Bowerman, Bruce L. and Richard To. O’Connell (1987) Time Series Forecasting: Unified Concepts and 

Computer Implementation (Second Edition). Boston, MA. Duxbury Press. 

FAPRI (2006). U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook. January 2006. FAPRI Staff Report 06-FSR 1. 

Iowa State University and University of Missouri-Columbia 

Ames, Iowa. 

Kohls, Richard L. and Joseph N. Uhl. (1998) Marketing Edition). Upper Saddle River, NJ Prentice Hall. 

USDA (2006a). Poultry - Production and Value. 2005 Summary. April 2006. 

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1130

USDA (2006b). National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). Chicken and Eggs. December 2005. 

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1028 
F-1

Appendix F: Development of Animal Population Growth 

Factors 

The data provided in Appendix E were used to develop projected animal populations for 

the future years of 2009, 2014, and 2020. These populations were then used to develop 

projection factors, which were assigned to SCCs based on the animal category. If the 

animal was not one of the categories covered by the data in Appendix E, it was assigned 

an “overall weighted average” projection factor, based on 2002 NH3 emissions for each 

animal category. There is also a “poultry weighted average” for particular poultry not 

covered by the poultry categories; this represents a weighted average across broilers, 

turkeys and layers. 
F-2

Table F-1. Summary of Regression Line Equations and Animal Population Projections (From da

Projected Animal Populations (by year) 

Animal Category Regression Line Equation 

Population 

Units 2002 2009 2014 2020 

Dairy y = -64.421(x) + 138,285 

thousand 

head 9,314 8,863 8,541 8,155 

Beef Cow y = 82.584(x) - 131,312 

thousand 

head 34,021 34,599 35,012 35,508 

 Noncow y = 50.035(x) - 44,270 

thousand 

head 55,900 56,250 56,500 56,801 

Total y= 123.74(x) - 157,730 

thousand 

head 89,997 90,864 91,482 92,225 

Swine Market y = 0.4146(x) - 776.18 

million 

head 53.8 56.8 58.8 61.3 

 Breeding y = -0.0563(x) + 118.96 

million 

head 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.2 

Total y = 0.3577(x) - 656.01 

million 

head 60.1 62.6 64.4 66.5 

Poultry Broilers 

y = 195,360.13(x) - 

382,598,343 birds 8,512,637 9,880,158 10,856,959 12,029,12

Turkeys 

y = -917.304(x) + 

2,114,102.057 birds 277,659 271,238 266,652 261,148 

 Layers y = 5,355.11(x) - 10,387,072.50 birds 333,858 371,343 398,119 430,250 

The percent difference was calculated using the following equation:  % Diff = (2002 pop. - pop. for year of interest)/(2002 pop.)*100 In cases where the population decreases with time, the percent difference is a negative value. 
F-3

Table F-2. Growth factors computed from population values in Table F-1 

Projection factors to use for 2002 platform 

Animal Category 2009 2014 2020 

Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 Changed from regression values to keBeef 1.010 1.016 1.025 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 Broilers 1.161 1.275 1.413 Turkeys 1.000 1.000 1.000 Changed regression values to keep fLayers 1.112 1.192 1.289 Poultry Wght Average 1.125 1.214 1.321 Overall Wght Average 1.044 1.075 1.112 

Table F-3. Livestock projections by SCC, based on Table F-2 Projection Factors (PFs) 

SCC Plant ID 

Pollutant 

Category 

from 

Table F-2 

2009 

PF 

2014 

PF 

2020 

PF 

SCC Description * 10-digit SCCs all begin with “Miscellaneous Area Sources;Agriculture Production –“ and 8-digit SCCs all begin with “Industrial Processes” Secto

2805000000 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 Livestock;Agriculture - Livestock;Total afdust 2805001000 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Beef cattle - finishing operations on feedlots (drylots);Dust Kicked-up by Hooves (use 28-05-020, -001, -002, or -003 for Waste afdust 

2805000000 -9 -9 

Overall 

Wght Ave 1.044 1.075 1.112 Livestock;Agriculture - Livestock;Total ag 

2805001100 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Beef cattle - finishing operations on feedlots (drylots);Confinement ag 

2805001200 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Beef cattle - finishing operations on feedlots (drylots);Manure handling and storage ag 

2805001300 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Beef cattle - finishing operations on feedlots (drylots);Land application of manure ag 

2805002000 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Beef cattle production composite;Not Elsewhere Classified ag 
F-4

SCC Plant ID 

Pollutant 

Category 

from 

Table F-2 

2009 

PF 

2014 

PF 

2020 

PF 

SCC Description * 10-digit SCCs all begin with “Miscellaneous Area Sources;Agriculture Production –“ and 8-digit SCCs all begin with “Industrial Processes” Secto

2805003100 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Beef cattle - finishing operations on pasture/range;Confinement ag 

2805007100 -9 -9 Layers 1.112 1.192 1.289 

Livestock;Poultry production - layers with dry manure management systems;Confinement ag 

2805007300 -9 -9 Layers 1.112 1.192 1.289 

Livestock;Poultry production - layers with dry manure management systems;Land application of manure ag 

2805008100 -9 -9 Layers 1.112 1.192 1.289 

Livestock;Poultry production - layers with wet manure management systems;Confinement ag 

2805008200 -9 -9 Layers 1.112 1.192 1.289 

Livestock;Poultry production - layers with wet manure management systems;Manure handling and storage ag 

2805008300 -9 -9 Layers 1.112 1.192 1.289 

Livestock;Poultry production - layers with wet manure management systems;Land application of manure ag 

2805009100 -9 -9 Broilers 1.161 1.275 1.413 Livestock;Poultry production - broilers;Confinement ag 2805009200 -9 -9 Broilers 1.161 1.275 1.413 

Livestock;Poultry production - broilers;Manure handling and storage ag 

2805009300 -9 -9 Broilers 1.161 1.275 1.413 

Livestock;Poultry production - broilers;Land application of manure ag 

2805010100 -9 -9 Turkeys 1.000 1.000 1.000 Livestock;Poultry production - turkeys;Confinement ag 2805010200 -9 -9 Turkeys 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Poultry production - turkeys;Manure handling and storage ag 

2805010300 -9 -9 Turkeys 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Poultry production - turkeys;Land application of manure ag 

2805018000 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle composite;Not Elsewhere Classified ag 

2805019100 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 Livestock;Dairy cattle - flush dairy;Confinement ag 2805019200 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - flush dairy;Manure handling and storage ag 

2805019300 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - flush dairy;Land application of manure ag 

2805020001 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Cattle and Calves Waste Emissions;Milk Cows ag 

2805020002 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Cattle and Calves Waste Emissions;Beef Cows ag 
F-5

SCC Plant ID 

Pollutant 

Category 

from 

Table F-2 

2009 

PF 

2014 

PF 

2020 

PF 

SCC Description * 10-digit SCCs all begin with “Miscellaneous Area Sources;Agriculture Production –“ and 8-digit SCCs all begin with “Industrial Processes” Secto

2805020003 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Cattle and Calves Waste Emissions;Heifers and Heifer Calves ag 

2805020004 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Livestock;Cattle and Calves Waste Emissions;Steers, Steer Calves, Bulls, and Bull Calves ag 

2805021100 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 Livestock;Dairy cattle - scrape dairy;Confinement ag 2805021200 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - scrape dairy;Manure handling and storage ag 

2805021300 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - scrape dairy;Land application of manure ag 

2805022100 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 Livestock;Dairy cattle - deep pit dairy;Confinement ag 2805022200 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - deep pit dairy;Manure handling and storage ag 

2805022300 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - deep pit dairy;Land application of manure ag 

2805023100 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - drylot/pasture dairy;Confinement ag 

2805023200 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - drylot/pasture dairy;Manure handling and storage ag 

2805023300 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Livestock;Dairy cattle - drylot/pasture dairy;Land application of manure ag 

2805025000 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Livestock;Swine production composite;Not Elsewhere Classified (see also 28-05-039, -047, -053) ag 

2805030000 -9 -9 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Not Elsewhere Classified (see also 28-05-007, -008, -009) ag 

2805030001 -9 -9 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Pullet Chicks and Pullets less than 13 weeks old ag 

2805030002 -9 -9 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Pullets 13 weeks old and older but less than 20 weeks old ag 

2805030003 -9 -9 Layers 1.112 1.192 1.289 Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Layers ag 2805030004 -9 -9 Broilers 1.161 1.275 1.413 Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Broilers ag 2805030007 -9 -9 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Ducks ag 

2805030008 -9 -9 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Geese ag 
F-6

SCC Plant ID 

Pollutant 

Category 

from 

Table F-2 

2009 

PF 

2014 

PF 

2020 

PF 

SCC Description * 10-digit SCCs all begin with “Miscellaneous Area Sources;Agriculture Production –“ and 8-digit SCCs all begin with “Industrial Processes” Secto

2805030009 -9 -9 Turkeys 1.000 1.000 1.000 Livestock;Poultry Waste Emissions;Turkeys ag 2805035000 -9 -9 

Overall 

Wght Ave 1.044 1.075 1.112 

Livestock;Horses and Ponies Waste Emissions;Not Elsewhere Classified ag 

2805039100 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Livestock;Swine production - operations with lagoons (unspecified animal age);Confinement ag 

2805039200 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Livestock;Swine production - operations with lagoons (unspecified animal age);Manure handling and storage ag 

2805039300 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Livestock;Swine production - operations with lagoons (unspecified animal age);Land application of manure ag 

2805040000 -9 -9 

Overall 

Wght Ave 1.044 1.075 1.112 Livestock;Sheep and Lambs Waste Emissions;Total ag 

2805045000 -9 -9 

Overall 

Wght Ave 1.044 1.075 1.112 

Livestock;Goats Waste Emissions;Not Elsewhere Classified ag 

2805045002 -9 -9 

Overall 

Wght Ave 1.044 1.075 1.112 Livestock;Goats Waste Emissions;Angora Goats ag 

2805045003 -9 -9 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 Livestock;Goats Waste Emissions;Milk Goats ag 2805047100 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Livestock;Swine production - deep-pit house operations (unspecified animal age);Confinement ag 

2805047300 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Livestock;Swine production - deep-pit house operations (unspecified animal age);Land application of manure ag 

2805053100 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Livestock;Swine production - outdoor operations (unspecified animal age);Confinement ag 

30202000 -9 -9 Pork 1.042 1.071 1.107 

Food and Agriculture;Beef Cattle Feedlots;undefined * ptnoni

30202001 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Food and Agriculture;Beef Cattle Feedlots;Feedlots: General ptnoni

30202002 -9 -9 Beef 1.010 1.016 1.025 

Food and Agriculture;Beef Cattle Feedlots;Feedlots: General ptnoni

30202101 -9 -9 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Food and Agriculture;Eggs and Poultry Production;Manure Handling: Dry ptnoni

30202105 -9 -9 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Food and Agriculture;Eggs and Poultry Production;Manure Handling: Wet ptnoni

30203099 -9 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Food and Agriculture;Dairy Products;Other Not Classified ptnoni
F-7

SCC Plant ID 

Pollutant 

Category 

from 

Table F-2 

2009 

PF 

2014 

PF 

2020 

PF 

SCC Description * 10-digit SCCs all begin with “Miscellaneous Area Sources;Agriculture Production –“ and 8-digit SCCs all begin with “Industrial Processes” Secto

30203099 -9 PM10 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Food and Agriculture;Dairy Products;Other Not Classified ptnoni

30203099 -9 PM2_5 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Food and Agriculture;Dairy Products;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$15445 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$18506 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$18024 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$16314 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$16559 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$17408 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 

00502060 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$17168 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$16050 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$17626 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$18683 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$17682 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni
F-8

SCC Plant ID 

Pollutant 

Category 

from 

Table F-2 

2009 

PF 

2014 

PF 

2020 

PF 

SCC Description * 10-digit SCCs all begin with “Miscellaneous Area Sources;Agriculture Production –“ and 8-digit SCCs all begin with “Industrial Processes” Secto

39999999 T$18089 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$13933 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$16753 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$16725 NH3 Dairy Cow 1.000 1.000 1.000 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

30288801 0009 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Food and Agriculture;Fugitive Emissions;Specify in Comments Field ptnoni

39999999 T$17477 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$17544 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$15164 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$14331 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$14336 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$15830 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$15830 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$17365 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other Not Classified ptnoni

39999999 T$2867 NH3 

Poultry 

Wght Ave 1.125 1.214 1.321 

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries;Miscellaneous Industrial Processes;Other ptnoni
F-9

SCC Plant ID 

Pollutant 

Category 

from 

Table F-2 

2009 

PF 

2014 

PF 

2020 

PF 

SCC Description * 10-digit SCCs all begin with “Miscellaneous Area Sources;Agriculture Production –“ and 8-digit SCCs all begin with “Industrial Processes” Secto

Not Classified 

Even though this is a Beef SCC, it is only used in the 2002 NEI for Swine farms. 
G-a 

Appendix G: Description of VMT growth approach 

 

The approach described in the technical memorandum from E.H. Pechan and Associates, 

dated October 2006 was used with the following modification implemented by OTAQ 

prior to using the VMT in NMIM. The memorandum is provided following this brief 

discussion of the modification. 

April 25, 2007 Addendum: Change in the VMT Projection Method Documented in 

the Technical Memorandum by E.H. Pechan and Associates dated October 2006. 

After an extensive review of the Pechan methodology described in the technical 

memorandum, "Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Projection Methods," (October 2006), 

EPA’s Office of Transportation and Air Quality (OTAQ) identified one aspect of the 

method that should be changed. The approach used in the method to apply the Annual 

Energy Outlook (AEO) growth estimates by fuel type as well, as vehicle type results in 

the national total VMT (with all vehicle types and fuel types combined), in future 

calendar years made for growth projections that were smaller than anticipated. Since the 

VMT portion assigned to diesel vehicles in the 2002 National Emission Inventory (NEI) 

is smaller than estimated by AEO, the significant growth in diesel VMT was blunted in 

the Pechan approach, making the diesel VMT, and ultimately the total VMT, smaller than 

would be expected in future years. 

OTAQ has resolved this problem with an adjustment in how the AEO growth data were 

used. Growth in VMT occurs by vehicle type, regardless of the fuel ultimately used. 

Rather using the AEO numbers as representing a growth in the VMT of vehicle types of 

each fuel type, the AEO numbers instead are now used to represent a "VMT demand" by 

vehicle type that can be satisfied by both gasoline and diesel fueled vehicles. 

The change in the method occurs in Step 3 of Section A, so that the national control totals 

of VMT are now determined by vehicle type with all fuel types combined. These control 

totals are then distributed to gasoline and diesel subgroups using the ratio of the AEO 

VMT estimates by fuel type. The AEO fuel type splits are preferable to using MOBILE6 

defaults, since the AEO projections include the latest estimates for fuel demand in future 

calendar years. Once these splits were made, the resulting set of control totals by vehicle 

type and fuel type were used as they were in the original Pechan methodology. 

Since this change only occurs in the control totals and because these control totals are 

proportionally allocated to the counties, roadway types and vehicle classes; the ratio of 

the new control total to the existing control total by vehicle class and fuel type can be 

applied to every VMT estimate including the vehicle class and fuel type combination. 

This adjustment was done as a post-processing step on the results of the original method. 

The national VMT sum by vehicle type and fuel type matches the new national control 

totals. 
G-i 

PECHAN

5528-B Hempstead Way 

Springfield, VA 22151 

703-813-6700 telephone 

703-813-6729 facsimile 

3622 Lyckan Parkway 

Suite 2005 

Durham, NC 27707 

919-493-3144 telephone 

919-493-3182 facsimile 

P.O. Box 4361 

El Dorado Hills, CA 95762 

916-708-1893 telephone 

530-677-0337 facsimile 

VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED 

(VMT) PROJECTION 

METHODS

TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM 

Prepared for: 

Laurel Driver 

Emission Inventory Group 

Office of Air Quality Planning and 

Standards 

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 

Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 

Prepared by: 

Andy Bollman 

E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc. 

3622 Lyckan Parkway, Suite 2005 

Durham, NC 27707 

October 2006 
G-i 
G-ii 

[This page intentionally left blank.] 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-iii Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

CONTENTS 

Page 

TABLES ........................................................................................................................................ iv 

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS....................................................................................... v 

CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................. 1 

CHAPTER II. OVERVIEW OF METHODS AND RESULTS................................................. 2 

CHAPTER III. LIGHT-DUTY VMT PROJECTION METHODS......................................... 5 

A. NATIONAL PROJECTIONS BY FUEL TYPE ................................................................ 5 

B. VEHICLE CATEGORY-LEVEL PROJECTIONS ........................................................... 6 

C. FINAL VMT PROJECTIONS............................................................................................ 7 

CHAPTER IV. COMMERCIAL LIGHT-DUTY TRUCK MILES TRAVELED 

PROJECTION METHODS .......................................................................................................... 10 

A. NATIONAL PROJECTIONS BY FUEL TYPE .............................................................. 10 

B. VEHICLE CATEGORY-LEVEL PROJECTIONS ......................................................... 10 

C. FINAL VMT PROJECTIONS.......................................................................................... 11 

CHAPTER V. FREIGHT TRUCK MILES TRAVELED PROJECTION METHODS........... 14 

A. NATIONAL PROJECTIONS BY FUEL TYPE .............................................................. 14 

B. VEHICLE CATEGORY-LEVEL PROJECTIONS ......................................................... 15 

C. FINAL VMT PROJECTIONS.......................................................................................... 16 

CHAPTER VI. REFERENCES ............................................................................................. 19 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-iv Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

TABLES 

Page 

Table II-1. National Base and Forecast Year VMT by Vehicle Type ........................................... 3 

Table II-2. Base and Forecast Year VMT by State........................................................................ 4 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-v Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS 

AEO Annual Energy Outlook 

CLDT commercial light-duty truck 

CNG compressed natural gas 

DOE Department of Energy 

EGAS Economic Growth Analysis System 

EIA Energy Information Administration 

EPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 

FAC freight adjustment coefficient 

HDDBS heavy-duty diesel bus-school 

HDDBT heavy-duty diesel bus-transit 

HDDV heavy-duty diesel vehicle 

HDGB heavy-duty gasoline bus 

HDGV heavy-duty gasoline vehicle 

ICE internal combustion engine 

LDDT light-duty diesel truck 

LDDV light-duty diesel vehicle 

LDGT light-duty gasoline truck 

LDGV light-duty gasoline vehicle 

LDV light-duty vehicle 

LPG liquefied petroleum gas 

NEI National Emissions Inventory 

NMIM National Mobile Inventory Model 

OTAQ Office of Transportation and Air Quality 

Pechan E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc. 

REMI Regional Economic Models, Inc. 

SCC source classification code 

VMT vehicle miles traveled
PECHAN October 2006 

G-1 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION 

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)’s Office of Transportation and Air Quality 

(OTAQ) requires vehicle miles traveled (VMT) projections to support future policy analyses. In 

particular, EPA needs VMT projections for each county in the United States and analogous 

geographic areas in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands for select years over 2009-2030 

(2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2020, and 2030).1 In keeping with base year VMT data used in the 

National Mobile Inventory Model (NMIM), the VMT projections are to be reported by vehicle 

type and road type. The purpose of this document is to describe the data and methods used to 

develop these VMT projections. 

Chapter II provides an overview of the three sets of forecast methods and presents a summary of 

the VMT estimates for each forecast year. Chapter III describes the light-duty VMT projection 

methods. The VMT projection methods for commercial light trucks are presented in Chapter IV. 

Chapter V presents the freight truck VMT projection methods. Chapter VI presents the 

references that were consulted in preparing this document. 

 

1

 After commencing work under this study, EPA notified Pechan that it also wanted VMT projections for 2010 and 

2015. Pechan was unable to develop estimates for these years using the approach described in this memorandum. 

However, Pechan calculated estimates for these years through interpolation (e.g., 2010 values were estimated by 

interpolating between the 2009 and 2014 estimates computed using the methods described herein). 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-2 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

CHAPTER II. OVERVIEW OF METHODS AND RESULTS 

Pechan prepared VMT projections using 2002 National Emissions Inventory (NEI) VMT data as 

the starting point. The VMT projection methodologies utilize the following information: 

• National VMT projections by major vehicle category and fuel type from the Department 

of Energy (DOE)’s “Annual Energy Outlook 2006” (DOE, 2006). 

• National VMT vehicle type proportions supplied in EPA’s MOBILE6 onroad mobile 

source emissions model. 

• Industry sector VMT weighting coefficients from DOE’s “Annual Energy Outlook 

2006.” 

• State-level industry sector output and driving population estimates from version 5.5 

economic models prepared by Regional Economic Models, Inc. (REMI) (Houyoux, 

2004). 

• County-level population estimates from EPA’s Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program 

(BenMAP) (Davidson, 2006). 

In some cases, Pechan relied on additional sources of information in preparing the VMT 

projections (e.g., population estimates for Alaska and Hawaii were obtained from State sources 

or the Bureau of the Census). The following chapters describe in more detail the data and 

procedures that were used to prepare these projections. 

Table II-1 displays base and forecast year national VMT projections by vehicle type. Table II-2 

presents the State-level VMT estimates. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-3 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Table II-1. National Base and Forecast Year VMT by Vehicle Type 

(millions of miles) 

Vehicle Type Description 2002 2009 2010 2014 2015 2020 2030

Class 2B Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 21,631 24,995 25,514 27,589 28,172 31,087 37,957

Class 2B Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 67,750 78,289 79,914 86,414 88,240 97,369 118,891

Class 3 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 7,085 7,657 7,834 8,541 8,779 9,969 13,159

Class 3 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 2,935 2,984 3,043 3,278 3,356 3,747 4,712

Class 4 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 6,479 7,920 8,178 9,209 9,480 10,838 14,307

Class 4 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 1,496 1,073 1,058 1,000 1,014 1,084 1,363

Class 5 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 3,285 4,185 4,332 4,920 5,077 5,860 7,752

Class 5 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 2,769 2,601 2,630 2,744 2,794 3,044 3,816

Class 6 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 14,736 17,112 17,576 19,430 20,001 22,854 30,161

Class 6 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 5,980 5,614 5,682 5,956 6,068 6,626 8,309

Class 7 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 21,366 26,838 27,522 30,255 30,996 34,701 42,875

Class 7 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 2,856 4,833 5,143 6,383 6,613 7,764 9,886

Class 8A Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 27,831 33,930 34,747 38,017 38,928 43,486 54,433

Class 8A Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 89 144 154 194 200 232 300

Class 8B Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 103,804 126,430 129,452 141,540 144,916 161,796 201,734

Class 8B Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles 76 0 0 0 0 0 0

Diesel School Buses 4,377 6,342 6,565 7,457 7,647 8,596 10,595

Diesel Transit and Urban Buses 3,007 3,626 3,718 4,086 4,180 4,650 5,712

Gasoline Buses 1,322 1,124 1,067 836 832 810 1,047

Light-duty Diesel Truck 1 & 2 1,483 226 181 0 0 0 0

Light-duty Diesel Truck 3 & 4 7,075 14,702 15,997 21,177 22,888 31,442 62,329

Light-duty Diesel Vehicle 4,367 3,705 3,815 4,258 4,467 5,512 10,786

Light-duty Gasoline Truck 1 171,722 240,116 251,005 294,561 303,424 347,741 404,104

Light-duty Gasoline Truck 2 581,534 812,715 849,511 996,692 1,026,615 1,176,233 1,367,194

Light-duty Gasoline Truck 3 172,333 239,772 250,521 293,513 302,239 345,870 403,399

Light-duty Gasoline Truck 4 79,492 110,594 115,554 135,392 139,419 159,557 186,026

Light-duty Gasoline Vehicles 1,512,162 1,366,503 1,358,083 1,324,402 1,327,064 1,340,371 1,554,365

Motorcycle 11,738 12,083 12,267 13,000 13,193 14,155 16,541

 

Total 2,840,778 3,156,115 3,221,060 3,480,843 3,546,601 3,875,392 4,571,753
PECHAN October 2006 

G-4 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Table II-2. Base and Forecast Year VMT by State 

(millions of miles) 

State Name 2002 2009 2010 2014 2015 2020 2030

Alabama 55,722 59,728 60,704 64,609 65,543 70,214 78,173

Alaska 4,897 5,593 5,740 6,331 6,497 7,324 8,796

Arizona 52,505 64,987 67,251 76,306 78,715 90,761 114,869

Arkansas 29,894 32,220 32,805 35,148 35,747 38,741 46,133

California 300,760 344,766 352,814 385,006 393,220 434,289 510,581

Colorado 43,539 51,539 53,035 59,021 60,569 68,307 86,404

Connecticut 30,996 33,423 33,925 35,934 36,372 38,559 43,424

Delaware 8,835 9,681 9,843 10,489 10,648 11,447 12,695

Dist. Columbia 3,840 4,056 4,118 4,365 4,443 4,835 5,405

Florida 178,366 206,522 211,731 232,568 237,785 263,870 307,488

Georgia 106,727 121,874 124,748 136,245 139,247 154,256 185,217

Hawaii 8,886 9,734 9,906 10,595 10,773 11,664 12,843

Idaho 14,167 16,400 16,798 18,390 18,763 20,624 25,020

Illinois 105,024 114,156 116,324 124,994 127,242 138,483 161,512

Indiana 72,524 78,687 80,174 86,119 87,651 95,310 112,670

Iowa 31,365 33,868 34,469 36,872 37,500 40,640 49,556

Kansas 28,443 30,646 31,166 33,247 33,779 36,440 44,842

Kentucky 48,109 51,834 52,723 56,279 57,155 61,537 69,018

Louisiana 43,294 46,004 46,797 49,966 50,825 55,122 66,956

Maine 14,652 15,758 16,015 17,041 17,297 18,577 20,754

Maryland 53,758 60,139 61,338 66,133 67,284 73,034 84,682

Massachusetts 53,231 58,773 59,872 64,266 65,324 70,615 81,440

Michigan 98,634 104,602 106,256 112,870 114,565 123,041 140,209

Minnesota 53,151 58,220 59,286 63,552 64,596 69,816 79,219

Mississippi 36,277 39,325 40,033 42,863 43,602 47,294 55,242

Missouri 69,140 74,847 76,183 81,526 82,866 89,568 106,404

Montana 10,395 11,172 11,363 12,125 12,322 13,309 15,843

Nebraska 19,137 20,606 20,957 22,359 22,727 24,564 31,698

Nevada 14,502 18,481 19,168 21,913 22,607 26,075 30,938

New Hampshire 12,579 14,205 14,499 15,675 15,942 17,273 20,186

New Jersey 72,609 79,739 81,123 86,659 87,942 94,356 109,964

New Mexico 23,348 26,437 27,057 29,536 30,148 33,211 38,623

New York 140,752 152,260 154,630 164,110 166,361 177,616 218,270

North Carolina 80,200 89,725 91,627 99,234 101,239 111,265 126,875

North Dakota 7,336 7,667 7,768 8,170 8,272 8,782 10,891

Ohio 107,859 114,883 116,788 124,409 126,381 136,240 157,502

Oklahoma 45,732 50,542 51,611 55,885 56,961 62,341 75,989

Oregon 33,246 37,168 37,964 41,147 41,936 45,886 51,936

Pennsylvania 104,879 112,474 114,244 121,323 123,097 131,963 154,662

Rhode Island 8,173 8,952 9,114 9,763 9,926 10,743 12,323

South Carolina 47,074 51,668 52,622 56,437 57,400 62,215 72,495

South Dakota 8,498 9,210 9,350 9,911 10,034 10,648 13,255

Tennessee 68,315 76,179 77,856 84,564 86,293 94,933 110,228

Texas 217,820 245,163 250,737 273,035 278,829 307,798 373,791

Utah 24,421 28,508 29,301 32,477 33,290 37,358 44,700

Vermont 9,517 10,747 10,996 11,994 12,256 13,563 16,975

Virginia 77,396 86,624 88,380 95,403 97,078 105,450 129,349

Washington 54,461 62,977 64,609 71,139 72,825 81,259 94,037

West Virginia 19,544 19,615 19,811 20,597 20,808 21,863 23,155

Wisconsin 58,744 64,816 66,139 71,431 72,808 79,691 92,958

Wyoming 9,006 9,384 9,510 10,015 10,144 10,786 12,679

Puerto Rico 18,110 19,166 19,421 20,440 20,614 21,482 22,508

Virgin Islands 389 363 361 354 354 354 370

 

Total 2,840,778 3,156,115 3,221,060 3,480,843 3,546,601 3,875,392 4,571,753
PECHAN October 2006 

G-5 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

CHAPTER III. LIGHT-DUTY VMT PROJECTION METHODS 

Pechan prepared light-duty (less than 8,500 lbs) vehicle (LDV) miles traveled projections for the 

following MOBILE6 model vehicle categories: 

Fuel Type Vehicle Category 

Diesel Light-Duty Diesel Vehicle (LDDV) 

Class 1 Light-Duty Diesel Truck (LDDT1) 

Class 2 Light-Duty Diesel Truck (LDDT2) 

Class 3 Light-Duty Diesel Truck (LDDT3) 

Class 4 Light-Duty Diesel Truck (LDDT4) 

Gasoline Light-Duty Gasoline Vehicle (LDGV) 

Class 1 Light-Duty Gasoline Truck (LDGT1) 

Class 2 Light-Duty Gasoline Truck (LDGT2) 

Class 3 Light-Duty Gasoline Truck (LDGT3) 

Class 4 Light-Duty Gasoline Truck (LDGT4) 

Motorcycles 

This chapter describes the major steps that Pechan used to forecast county-level VMT for these 

vehicle types and for each of 12 roadway types. 

A. NATIONAL PROJECTIONS BY FUEL TYPE 

Step 1: Develop Growth Factors from AEO National VMT Projections Data 

In addition to gasoline and diesel, “Annual Energy Outlook 2006” (AEO2006) reports LDV 

miles projections for the following non-conventional fuel types: 

Alcohol Fuel Technology 

 Methanol-flex fuel internal combustion engine (ICE) 

 Methanol ICE 

 Ethanol-flex fuel ICE 

 Ethanol ICE 

 Natural Gas Technology 

 Compressed natural gas (CNG) ICE 

 CNG Bi-fuel 

 Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) ICE 

 Liquefied petroleum gas Bi-fuel 

Electric Technology 

 Electric vehicle 

 Electric-diesel hybrid 

 Electric-gasoline hybrid 

 Fuel Cell Technology 

 Fuel cell gasoline 

 Fuel cell methanol 

 Fuel cell hydrogen 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-6 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

The NEI, NMIM, and MOBILE6 do not currently report VMT data for these fuel types. 

Therefore, Pechan combined the VMT estimates for each of the above with AEO VMT estimates 

for gasoline- or diesel-fueled vehicles. In particular, Pechan summed VMT for the electricdiesel hybrid category with the AEO conventional diesel-fueled VMT estimates. All other 

nonconventional fueled-VMT estimates were added to the AEO conventional gasoline-fueled 

VMT. These steps resulted in national total gasoline LDV miles traveled and total diesel LDV 

miles traveled estimates for 2003-2030. Because the first year reported in AEO2006 is 2003, 

Pechan developed 2002 VMT estimates by applying 2003VMT/2002VMT ratios from AEO2005 

to the AEO2006 VMT estimates for 2003. Finally, Pechan developed separate gasoline and 

diesel-fueled VMT growth factors for the following forecast years: 2009, 2014, 2020, and 2030. 

Each growth factor was developed relative to the 2002 VMT. 

Step 2: Compile Base Year VMT Projections Data 

Next, Pechan summed the 2002 NEI county-level VMT data, which is reported by vehicle and 

roadway type to yield national gasoline VMT and national diesel VMT totals. 

Step 3: Apply Step 1 Growth Factors to Step 2 Base Year VMT 

Pechan applied the national AEO-based growth factors for gasoline LDV and diesel LDV to the 

national 2002 gasoline LDV and 2002 diesel LDV to yield national gasoline LDV and national 

diesel LDV miles traveled control totals. 

B. VEHICLE CATEGORY-LEVEL PROJECTIONS 

Step 1: Calculate Gasoline and Diesel LDV Miles Traveled Fractions by Vehicle Type 

For 2002 and each forecast year, Pechan used MOBILE6 VMT vehicle type fractions to compute 

the fraction of total gasoline LDV miles traveled associated with each of the six LDV gasoline 

vehicle categories. Pechan also calculated analogous fractions for each of the three LDV diesel 

vehicle categories. 

Step 2: Multiply Step 1 Fractions by 2002 and Forecast Year VMT Data Computed Above 

 

Pechan multiplied the appropriate year fractions from Step 1 by the national 2002 gasoline (or 

diesel) LDV miles traveled data compiled from Step 3 above to yield preliminary national VMT 

forecasts by vehicle category. 

Step 3: Compute Vehicle-Category Growth Factors from Step 2 VMT Estimates 

 

Pechan developed VMT growth factors for each forecast year for each of the nine LDV 

categories from the preliminary VMT forecast data computed in Step 2. Each growth factor was 

developed relative to 2002 VMT. 
PECHAN October 2006 

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Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Step 4: Multiply Step 3 Growth Factors by 2002 NEI VMT Data 

Next, Pechan applied the Step 3 national growth factors by vehicle category to the 2002 NEI 

county-level VMT data to develop preliminary forecast year LDV miles traveled data by county 

and vehicle category. 

Step 5: Compute Year/County-Specific Vehicle Category-Level Ratios by Fuel Type 

 

Pechan next computed the proportion of each county’s total gasoline (or diesel) VMT in each 

year that is associated with each vehicle category. These calculations were performed using 

2002 NEI VMT data and the preliminary forecast year VMT data calculated in Step 4. 

C. FINAL VMT PROJECTIONS 

Step 1: Compute Proportion of National Driving Population in Each County 

For each year of interest, Pechan compiled State-level driving population estimates from version 

5.5 REMI economic models.2

 Pechan then allocated these estimates to each county based on 

each county’s proportion of total State population as reported for each year in BenMAP. Next, 

Pechan computed the fraction of total national driving population by county for each study year. 

Step 2: Multiply Proportions from Step 1 by National 2002 NEI LDV Miles Traveled 

 

Pechan then applied the year 2002 county fractions computed in Step 1 to the national 2002 LDV 

miles traveled by fuel type from the NEI. Pechan also applied the forecast year fractions in Step 

1 by the national LDV miles traveled values by fuel type/year, which were calculated as 

described in Step 3 of Section A above. 

Step 3: Compute Growth Factors by County and Fuel Type from Step 2 VMT Data 

 

Using 2002 VMT as the base year, Pechan computed county/fuel type-level growth factors for 

each forecast year from the VMT values computed in Step 2. 

Step 4: Apply Step 3 Growth Factors to 2002 NEI VMT and Sum Forecast VMT by Fuel Type 

 

Pechan then multiplied the Step 3 growth factors by the county-level 2002 NEI VMT data and 

summed the results by fuel type and forecast year across all counties to obtain estimates of 

national VMT by fuel type/year. 

 

2

 Because estimates were not available for 16+ year olds, Pechan used REMI estimates for 15+ year olds. 
PECHAN October 2006 

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Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Step 5: Compute VMT Adjustment Factors 

 

For each forecast year, Pechan calculated adjustment factors representing the ratio of control 

total LDV miles traveled by fuel type (calculated in Step 3 of Section A) to the LDV miles 

traveled estimates by fuel type which were derived in Step 4 above. 

Step 6: Compute Final Growth Factors by Fuel Type and Year 

 

Next, Pechan multiplied the fuel- and year-specific adjustment factors from Step 5 by the Step 3 

county-level growth factors by fuel type/year. The resulting values represent growth factors that 

will yield national LDV miles traveled estimates by fuel type that match the control totals 

computed in Step 3 of Section A. 

Step 7: Develop Final LDV Miles Traveled Estimates by Fuel Type and Year 

 

Pechan then multiplied the Step 6 growth factors by the 2002 NEI county-level VMT estimates 

to yield final county-level gasoline LDV and diesel LDV miles traveled for each forecast year. 

Step 8: Develop Final LDV Miles Traveled Estimates by Vehicle Category, Fuel Type, and Year 

 

Next, Pechan multiplied the year/county-specific vehicle category-level ratios by fuel type, 

which were computed in Step 5 of Section B, by the Step 7 county-level gasoline LDV and 

diesel LDV miles traveled for each forecast year. This step produced the final LDV miles 

traveled forecasts by year, county, and vehicle category. 

Step 9: Develop/Apply 2002 Roadway Category Fractions to Step 8 Final VMT Estimates 

Finally, Pechan developed ratios from 2002 NEI VMT data that represent the fraction of each 

county’s vehicle category VMT by roadway type. These ratios were then applied to the Step 8 

VMT data to produce the final LDV miles traveled data by year, county, vehicle category, and 

roadway type. 

Step 10: Prepare Forecast Year VMT Estimates for Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands 

For each vehicle category and year, Pechan first developed national VMT per driving age 

population estimates by dividing the Step 9 LDV miles traveled data by national driving 

population estimates compiled from version 5.5 REMI economic models. Next, Pechan 

multiplied these values by the territory-level driving age population estimates for each year, 

which were obtained from the Bureau of the Census’ International Data Base (DOC, 2006). 

Pechan then developed growth factors from the products of these calculations (with 2002 as the 

base year), which were then applied to the base year (2002) NEI VMT data for Puerto Rico and 

Virgin Islands to yield LDV miles traveled by year, county, vehicle category, and roadway type. 
PECHAN October 2006 

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Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Step 11: Prepare VMT Estimates for 2010 and 2015 via Interpolation 

Finally, Pechan estimated LDV miles traveled estimates by year, county, vehicle category, and 

roadway type for two years that were not in the original scope for this study (2010 and 2015). 

Pechan estimated 2010 VMT by applying one-fifth of the estimated 2009-2014 VMT change by 

county, vehicle category, and roadway type to the 2009 VMT estimates. A similar procedure 

was applied to estimate 2015 VMT from 2014 and 2020 VMT estimates. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-10 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

CHAPTER IV. COMMERCIAL LIGHT-DUTY TRUCK MILES 

TRAVELED PROJECTION METHODS 

Pechan prepared commercial light-duty truck (8,500 to 10,000 lbs) miles traveled projections for 

the following MOBILE6 model vehicle categories: Class 2b heavy-duty gasoline vehicle 

(HDGV2b) and Class 2b heavy-duty diesel vehicle (HDDV2b). This chapter describes the major 

steps that Pechan used to forecast county-level VMT for these vehicle types and for each 

roadway type. 

A. NATIONAL PROJECTIONS BY FUEL TYPE 

Step 1: Develop Growth Factors from AEO National VMT Projections Data 

The AEO reports VMT projections for total commercial light-duty trucks (CLDTs) − note that 

separate forecasts for gasoline CLDT and diesel CLDT are not provided. Because the first year 

reported in AEO2006 is 2003, Pechan developed 2002 VMT estimates by applying 

2003VMT/2002VMT ratios from AEO2005 to the AEO2006 VMT estimates for 2003. Finally, 

Pechan developed CLDT miles traveled growth factors (relative to 2002) for the following 

forecast years: 2009, 2014, 2020, and 2030. 

Step 2: Compile Base Year VMT Projections Data 

Next, Pechan summed the 2002 NEI county-level VMT data, which is reported by vehicle and 

roadway type to yield national CLDT miles traveled totals. 

Step 3: Apply Step 1 Growth Factors to Step 2 Base Year VMT 

Pechan applied the national AEO-based growth factors to the national total 2002 CLDT miles 

traveled to produce national CLDT miles traveled control totals. 

B. VEHICLE CATEGORY-LEVEL PROJECTIONS 

Step 1: Calculate CLDT Miles Traveled Fractions by Vehicle Type 

For 2002 and each forecast year, Pechan used MOBILE6 VMT vehicle type fractions to compute 

the fraction of total CLDT miles traveled associated with the two CLDT vehicle categories (i.e., 

HDGV2b and HDDV2b). 

Step 2: Multiply Step 1 Fractions by 2002 and Forecast Year VMT Data Computed Above 

 

Pechan multiplied the appropriate year fractions from Step 1 by the national 2002 CLDT miles 

traveled data compiled from Step 3 above to yield preliminary national CLDT miles traveled 

forecasts by vehicle category. 
PECHAN October 2006 

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Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Step 3: Compute Vehicle-Category Growth Factors from Step 2 VMT Estimates 

 

Pechan developed VMT growth factors for each forecast year for each CLDT category from the 

preliminary VMT forecast data computed in Step 2. Each growth factor was developed relative 

to 2002 VMT. 

Step 4: Multiply Step 3 Growth Factors by 2002 NEI VMT Data 

Next, Pechan applied the Step 3 national growth factors by vehicle category to the 2002 NEI 

county-level VMT data to develop preliminary forecast year CLDT miles traveled data by 

county and vehicle category. 

Step 5: Compute Year/County-Specific Vehicle Category-Level Ratios 

 

Pechan next computed the proportion of each county’s total CLDT miles traveled in each year 

that is associated with each vehicle category. These calculations were performed using 2002 

NEI VMT data and the preliminary forecast year VMT data developed in Step 4. 

C. FINAL VMT PROJECTIONS 

Step 1: Compute State-Level CLDT Miles Traveled Weighting Factors 

For each of the sectors associated with CLDT miles traveled, Pechan multiplied State-level 

industry output from version 5.5 REMI economic models and the Chapter II LDV miles traveled 

estimates by the appropriate AEO2006 sector VMT weighting factors: 

• Agriculture output (0.216); 

• Construction output (0.217); 

• Manufacturing output (0.222); 

• Mining output (0.024); 

• Utilities output (0.040); and 

• LDV vehicle miles traveled (0.281). 

These computations were performed for each analysis year. Next, Pechan computed each State’s 

proportion of the resulting national total value for each analysis year. These proportions are 

weights that are used to represent each State’s proportion of CLDT vehicle miles traveled in each 

year. 

Step 2: Compute County-Level CLDT Miles Traveled Weighting Factors 

For each year of interest, Pechan compiled county-level driving population estimates from 

version 5.5 REMI economic models.3 For each year, Pechan computed the fraction of total State 

driving population by county and multiplied these fractions by the Step 1 State-level weighting 

factors to produce county-level CLDT miles traveled weighting factors. 

 

3

 Because estimates were not available for 16+ year olds, Pechan used REMI estimates for 15+ year olds. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-12 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Step 3: Multiply Proportions from Step 2 by National 2002 NEI CLDT Miles Traveled 

 

Next, Pechan applied the year 2002 fractions computed in Step 2 to the national 2002 CLDT 

miles traveled by fuel type values from the NEI. Pechan also applied the forecast year fractions 

in Step 2 to the forecast year national CLDT miles traveled estimates, which were calculated as 

described in Step 3 of Section A above. 

Step 4: Compute Growth Factors by County and Fuel Type from Step 3 VMT Data 

 

Using 2002 VMT as the base year, Pechan computed county/fuel type-level growth factors for 

each forecast year from the VMT values computed in Step 3. 

Step 5: Apply Step 4 Growth Factors to 2002 NEI VMT and Sum Forecast VMT by Fuel Type 

 

Pechan then multiplied the Step 4 growth factors by the county-level 2002 NEI VMT data and 

summed the results by fuel type and forecast year across all counties to obtain estimates of 

national CLDT miles traveled by fuel type/year. 

Step 6: Compute VMT Adjustment Factors 

 

For each forecast year, Pechan calculated adjustment factors representing the ratio of control 

total CLDT miles traveled by fuel type (calculated in Step 3 of Section A) to the CLDT miles 

traveled estimates by fuel type that were derived in Step 5 above. 

Step 7: Compute Final Growth Factors by Fuel Type and Year 

 

Next, Pechan multiplied the fuel- and year-specific adjustment factors from Step 6 by the Step 4 

county-level growth factors by fuel type. The resulting values represent growth factors that will 

yield national CLDT miles traveled estimates by fuel type that match the control totals computed 

in Step 3 of Section A. 

Step 8: Develop Final CLDT Miles Traveled Estimates by Fuel Type and Year 

 

Pechan then multiplied the Step 7 growth factors by the 2002 NEI county-level VMT estimates 

to yield final county-level CLDT miles traveled by fuel type for each forecast year. 

Step 9: Develop Final CLDT Miles Traveled Estimates by Vehicle Category, County, and Year 

 

Next, Pechan multiplied the year/county-specific vehicle category-level ratios by fuel type, 

which were computed in Step 5 of Section B, by the Step 8 county-level gasoline CLDT and 

diesel CLDT miles traveled for each forecast year. This step yields the final CLDT miles 

traveled forecasts by year, county, and vehicle category. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-13 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Step 10: Develop/Apply 2002 Roadway Category Fractions to Step 9 Final VMT Estimates 

Finally, Pechan developed ratios from 2002 NEI VMT data that represent the fraction of each 

county’s CLDT vehicle category VMT by roadway type. These ratios were then applied to the 

Step 9 VMT data to produce the final CLDT miles traveled data by year, county, vehicle 

category, and roadway type. 

Step 11: Prepare Forecast Year VMT Estimates for Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands 

For each vehicle category and year, Pechan first developed national VMT per driving age 

population estimates by dividing the Step 10 national VMT data by national driving population 

estimates compiled from version 5.5 REMI economic models. Next, Pechan multiplied these 

values by the territory-level driving age population estimates for each year, which were obtained 

from the Bureau of the Census’ International Data Base (DOC, 2006). Pechan then developed 

growth factors from the products of these calculations (with 2002 as the base year), which were 

applied to the base year (2002) NEI VMT data for Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands to produce 

CLDT miles traveled by year, county, vehicle category, and roadway type. 

Step 12: Prepare VMT Estimates for 2010 and 2015 via Interpolation 

Finally, Pechan estimated CLDT miles traveled estimates by year, county, vehicle category, and 

roadway type for two years that were not in the original scope of this study (2010 and 2015). 

Pechan estimated 2010 VMT by applying one-fifth of the estimated 2009-2014 VMT change by 

county, vehicle category, and roadway type to the 2009 VMT estimates. A similar procedure 

was applied to estimate 2015 VMT from 2014 and 2020 VMT estimates. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-14 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

CHAPTER V. FREIGHT TRUCK MILES TRAVELED 

PROJECTION METHODS 

Pechan prepared freight truck (greater than 10,000 lbs) miles traveled projections for the 

following MOBILE6 model vehicle categories: 

Size Category Fuel Type Vehicle Category 

Diesel Class 3 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV3) 

Class 4 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV4) 

Class 5 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV5) 

Class 6 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV6) 

Medium-Duty 

(10,001 lbs to 

26,000 lbs) 

Gasoline Class 3 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (HDGV3) 

Class 4 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (HDGV4) 

Class 5 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (HDGV5) 

Class 6 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles(HDGV6) 

Diesel Class 7 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV7) 

Class 8a Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV8a) 

Class 8b Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (HDDV8b) 

Heavy-Duty Diesel Buses – Transit (HDDBT) 

Heavy-Duty Diesel Buses – School (HDDBS) 

Heavy-Duty 

(>26,000 lbs) 

Gasoline Class 7 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (HDGV7) 

Class 8a Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (HDGV8a) 

Class 8b Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (HDDV8b) 

Heavy-Duty Gasoline Buses (HDGB) 

This chapter describes the steps that Pechan used to forecast county-level VMT for these vehicle 

types and for each roadway type. 

A. NATIONAL PROJECTIONS BY FUEL TYPE 

Step 1: Develop Growth Factors from AEO National VMT Projections Data 

The AEO2006 provides freight truck VMT forecasts by combination of size category (mediumduty and heavy-duty) and fuel type (diesel and gasoline). Because the first year reported in 

AEO2006 is 2003, Pechan developed 2002 VMT estimates by applying 2003VMT/2002VMT 

ratios from AEO2005 to the AEO2006 VMT estimates for 2003. Finally, Pechan developed four 

sets of freight truck VMT growth factors (medium-duty diesel, medium-duty gasoline, heavyduty diesel, and heavy-duty gasoline). Each set of growth factors, which were calculated relative 

to 2002 VMT, was developed for the following forecast years: 2009, 2014, 2020, and 2030. 

Step 2: Compile Base Year VMT Projections Data 

Next, Pechan summed the 2002 NEI county-level VMT data, which is reported by vehicle and 

roadway type to yield four sets of national freight truck VMT totals, representing each size 

category/fuel type combination. 
PECHAN October 2006 

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Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

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Technical Memorandum 

Step 3: Apply Step 1 Growth Factors to Step 2 Base Year VMT 

Pechan applied the national AEO-based growth factors from Step 1 to the national 2002 freight 

truck VMT estimates from Step 2 to yield national VMT control totals for medium-duty diesel, 

medium-duty gasoline, heavy-duty diesel, and heavy-duty gasoline vehicles. 

B. VEHICLE CATEGORY-LEVEL PROJECTIONS 

Step 1: Calculate Gasoline and Diesel Freight Truck Miles Traveled Fractions by Vehicle Type 

For 2002 and each forecast year, Pechan used MOBILE6 VMT vehicle type fractions to compute 

the fraction of total miles traveled within each of the four size category/fuel type combinations 

that is associated with each MOBILE6 vehicle category (see table in Section A above for vehicle 

category list). 

Step 2: Multiply Step 1 Fractions by 2002 and Forecast Year VMT Data Computed Above 

 

Pechan multiplied the appropriate year fractions from Step 1 by the relevant national 2002 miles 

traveled data compiled from Step 3 above to yield preliminary national VMT forecasts by freight 

truck category. 

Step 3: Compute Vehicle-Category Growth Factors from Step 2 VMT Estimates 

 

Pechan developed VMT growth factors for each forecast year for each of the seventeen freight 

truck categories from the preliminary VMT forecast data computed in Step 2. Each growth 

factor was developed relative to 2002 VMT. 

Step 4: Multiply Step 3 Growth Factors by 2002 NEI VMT Data 

Next, Pechan applied the Step 3 national growth factors by freight truck category to the 2002 

NEI county-level VMT data to develop preliminary forecast year freight truck miles traveled 

estimates by county and vehicle category. 

Step 5: Compute Year/County-Specific Vehicle Category-Level Ratios by Fuel Type 

 

Pechan next computed, for each analysis year, the proportion of each county’s VMT by size 

category/fuel type combination that is associated with each MOBILE6 freight truck category 

(e.g., the proportion of total heavy-duty diesel VMT from class 7 heavy-duty diesel vehicles). 

These calculations were performed using 2002 NEI VMT data and the preliminary forecast year 

VMT data developed in Step 4. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-16 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

C. FINAL VMT PROJECTIONS 

Step 1: Compute State-Level Freight Truck Miles Traveled Weighting Factors 

For each of the sectors associated with freight truck miles traveled, Pechan multiplied State-level 

industry output from version 5.5 REMI economic models by the appropriate AEO2006 sector 

weighting factors. Unlike the similar CLDT procedure, AEO2006 uses industry sector weighting 

factors (freight adjustment coefficients) that differ by year. The 12 industry sectors are listed 

below, along with the equations and equation inputs that were used to calculate the freight 

adjustment coefficient (FAC)s by industry sector and year. 

FAC(sector,year) = FAC_T0(sector) + {1 - FAC_T0(sector)} / {1 + e^[FAC_K * (FAC_T5 - 

year)]} 

where FAC_T0 = Chemicals, Rubber, and Plastic = 1.02081 

 Primary Metals = 0.97291 

 Processed Food = 1.00359 

 Paper Products = 1.00662 

 Petroleum Products = 0.99450 

 Stone, Clay, Glass, and Concrete = 0.99474 

 Metal Durables = 0.97462 

 Other Manufacturing = 1.05086 

 Agriculture = 1.04475 

 Mining = 1.05285 

 Utilities = 1.01386 

 Government = 1.01386; and 

FAC_K = log(9.0) / (FAC_T9 - FAC_T5), 

FAC_T5 = year of 50% FAC decay = 2002, 

FAC_T9 = year of 90% FAC decay = 2007. 

These computations were performed for each analysis year. Next, Pechan computed each State’s 

proportion of the resulting national total value in each year. These proportions are weights that 

are used to represent each State’s proportion of freight truck miles traveled in each year. 

Step 2: Compute County-Level Freight Truck Miles Traveled Weighting Factors 

For each year of interest, Pechan compiled county-level driving population estimates from 

version 5.5 REMI economic models.4

 For each year, Pechan computed the fraction of total State 

driving population associated with each county and multiplied these fractions by the Step 1 

State-level weighting factors to produce county-level freight truck miles traveled weighting 

factors. 

 

4

 Because estimates were not available for 16+ year olds, Pechan used REMI estimates for 15+ year olds. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-17 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

Step 3: Multiply Proportions from Step 2 by National 2002 NEI Freight Truck Miles Traveled 

 

Next, Pechan applied the year 2002 fractions computed in Step 2 to the national 2002 freight 

truck miles traveled values by size category/fuel type from the NEI. Pechan also applied the 

forecast year fractions in Step 2 to the national freight truck miles traveled estimates by size 

category/fuel type in each forecast year, which were calculated as described in Step 3 of Section 

A above. 

Step 4: Compute Growth Factors by County and Fuel Type from Step 3 VMT Data 

 

Using 2002 VMT as the base year, Pechan computed county/size category/fuel type-level growth 

factors for each forecast year from the VMT values computed in Step 3. 

Step 5: Apply Step 4 Growth Factors to 2002 NEI VMT and Sum Forecast VMT by Fuel Type 

 

Pechan then multiplied the Step 4 growth factors by the county-level 2002 NEI VMT data and 

summed the results by size category, fuel type, and forecast year across all counties to obtain 

estimates of national VMT by size category, fuel type, and year. 

Step 6: Compute VMT Adjustment Factors 

 

For each forecast year, Pechan calculated adjustment factors representing the ratio of control 

total freight truck miles traveled by size category and fuel type (calculated in Step 3 of Section 

A) to the freight truck miles traveled estimates by size category and fuel type that were derived 

in Step 5 above. 

Step 7: Compute Final Growth Factors by Size Category, Fuel Type, and Year 

 

Next, Pechan multiplied the size category, fuel, and year-specific adjustment factors from Step 6 

by the Step 3 county, size category, fuel type, and year-specific growth factors. The resulting 

values represent growth factors that will yield national freight truck miles traveled estimates by 

size category and fuel type that match the control totals computed in Step 3 of Section A. 

Step 8: Develop Final Freight Truck Miles Traveled Estimates by Size Category, Fuel Type, and 

Year 

 

Pechan then multiplied the Step 7 growth factors by the 2002 NEI county-level VMT estimates 

to yield final county-level freight truck miles traveled by size category and fuel type for each 

forecast year. 

Step 9: Develop Final Freight Truck Miles Traveled Estimates by Vehicle Category, County, 

and Year 

 

Next, Pechan multiplied the year/county-specific vehicle category-level ratios by fuel type, 

which were computed in Step 5 of Section B, by the county/size category/fuel type freight truck 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-18 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

miles traveled estimates from Step 8. This step yields the final freight truck miles traveled 

forecasts by year, county, and vehicle category. 

Step 10: Develop/Apply 2002 Roadway Category Fractions to Step 9 Final VMT Estimates 

Finally, Pechan developed ratios from 2002 NEI VMT data that represent the fraction of each 

county’s freight truck vehicle category VMT by roadway type. These ratios were then applied to 

the Step 9 VMT data to produce the final freight truck miles traveled values by year, county, 

vehicle category, and roadway type. 

Step 11: Prepare Forecast Year VMT Estimates for Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands 

For each vehicle category and year, Pechan first developed national VMT per driving age 

population estimates by dividing the Step 10 VMT data by national driving population estimates 

compiled from version 5.5 REMI economic models. Next, Pechan multiplied these values by the 

territory-level driving age population estimates for each year, which were obtained from the 

Bureau of the Census’ International Data Base (DOC, 2006). Pechan then developed growth 

factors from the products of these calculations (with 2002 as the base year), which were applied 

to the base year (2002) NEI VMT data for Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands to produce freight 

truck miles traveled by year, county, vehicle category, and roadway type. 

Step 12: Prepare VMT Estimates for 2010 and 2015 via Interpolation 

Finally, Pechan estimated freight truck miles traveled estimates by year, county, vehicle 

category, and roadway type for two years that were not in the original scope of this study (2010 

and 2015). In particular, Pechan estimated 2010 VMT by applying one-fifth of the estimated 

2009-2014 VMT change by county, vehicle category, and roadway type to the 2009 VMT 

estimate. A similar procedure was applied to estimate 2015 VMT from 2014 and 2020 VMT 

estimates. 
PECHAN October 2006 

G-19 

Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

Projection Methods 

Technical Memorandum 

CHAPTER VI. REFERENCES 

Davidson, 2006: Davidson, Ken, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cty_Pop_xxxx.xls

[Electronic files], transmitted to Andy Bollman, E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc., 

September 15, 2006. 

DOC, 2006: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, “International Data Base,” 

available from http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idbnew.html, accessed September 2006. 

DOE, 2006: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Office of 

Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, “Annual Energy Outlook 2006, with Projections 

through 2030,” DOE/EIA-0383(2006), Washington, DC, February 2006. 

Houyoux, 2004: Houyoux, Marc, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, REMI ver 5.5 

baseline.zip [Electronic File], Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research 

Triangle Park, NC, March 2, 2004. 
H-1

Appendix H: Summary of Portable Fuel Container (PFC) 

Inventories and Resulting Projection Factors 

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

AL 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1513.6 1526.7 156.5 167.0 1.009 0.103 0.110

AL 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2955.2 2980.9 305.5 326.0 1.009 0.103 0.110

AL 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 216.9 229.8 219.0 236.0 1.060 1.010 1.088

AL 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 70.8 87.3 94.7 102.3 1.233 1.337 1.444

AL 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 5.8 6.4 6.9 7.4 1.088 1.179 1.274

AL 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 48.3 48.8 5.0 5.3 1.009 0.103 0.110

AL 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 94.4 95.2 9.8 10.4 1.009 0.103 0.110

AL 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 295.8 313.5 298.7 322.0 1.060 1.010 1.088

AL 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 136.5 168.3 182.5 197.1 1.233 1.337 1.444

AL 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 11.2 12.2 13.3 14.3 1.088 1.179 1.274

Alabama Total 5348.5 5469.1 1291.7 1387.8

AK 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 268.7 238.7 29.2 31.1 0.888 0.109 0.116

AK 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 524.5 466.0 57.0 60.8 0.888 0.109 0.116

AK 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 29.7 31.9 30.5 32.7 1.073 1.028 1.102

AK 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 9.0 10.8 11.7 12.5 1.203 1.297 1.393

AK 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.100 1.186 1.274

AK 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 8.6 7.6 0.9 1.0 0.888 0.109 0.116

AK 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 16.8 14.9 1.8 1.9 0.888 0.109 0.116

AK 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 40.5 43.5 41.6 44.7 1.073 1.028 1.102

AK 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 17.3 20.9 22.5 24.2 1.203 1.297 1.393

AK 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.100 1.186 1.274

Alaska Total 917.2 836.6 197.8 211.7

AZ 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1305.4 1278.3 153.1 163.5 0.979 0.117 0.125

AZ 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2548.8 2495.8 299.0 319.2 0.979 0.117 0.125

AZ 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 310.1 325.7 309.1 334.4 1.050 0.997 1.078

AZ 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 102.3 119.4 129.8 140.7 1.167 1.269 1.375

AZ 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 8.8 9.5 10.3 11.2 1.080 1.175 1.273

AZ 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 41.7 40.8 4.9 5.2 0.979 0.117 0.125

AZ 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 81.4 79.7 9.5 10.2 0.979 0.117 0.125

AZ 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 423.0 444.3 421.7 456.2 1.050 0.997 1.078

AZ 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 197.1 230.1 250.2 271.1 1.167 1.269 1.375

AZ 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 16.9 18.3 19.9 21.6 1.080 1.175 1.273

Arizona Total 5035.7 5041.8 1607.7 1733.3

AR 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1078.8 1102.5 110.6 118.0 1.022 0.102 0.109

AR 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2106.3 2152.5 215.9 230.3 1.022 0.102 0.109

AR 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 128.4 136.9 130.7 140.6 1.066 1.018 1.095

AR 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 42.4 51.0 55.2 59.5 1.202 1.300 1.401

AR 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.3 1.093 1.182 1.274

AR 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 34.5 35.2 3.5 3.8 1.022 0.102 0.109

AR 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 67.3 68.8 6.9 7.4 1.022 0.102 0.109

AR 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 175.2 186.7 178.3 191.8 1.066 1.018 1.095

AR 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 81.8 98.3 106.4 114.6 1.202 1.300 1.401

AR 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 6.4 7.0 7.6 8.2 1.093 1.182 1.274

Arkansas Total 3724.5 3842.5 819.0 878.3
H-2

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

CA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 3800.2 1593.2 891.3 951.3 0.419 0.235 0.250

CA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 7419.7 3110.7 1740.3 1857.5 0.419 0.235 0.250

CA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 1597.7 1655.4 1799.8 1948.7 1.036 1.126 1.220

CA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 607.9 584.8 637.0 690.9 0.962 1.048 1.137

CA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 51.7 55.8 60.8 66.0 1.081 1.177 1.277

CA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 121.4 50.9 28.5 30.4 0.419 0.235 0.250

CA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 237.0 99.4 55.6 59.3 0.419 0.235 0.250

CA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 2179.5 2258.3 2455.2 2658.3 1.036 1.126 1.220

CA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 1171.6 1127.0 1227.5 1331.6 0.962 1.048 1.137

CA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 99.4 107.5 117.0 126.9 1.081 1.177 1.277

California Total 17286.2 10643.0 9012.9 9720.8

CO 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1227.3 717.5 122.7 131.0 0.585 0.100 0.107

CO 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2396.3 1400.8 239.6 255.8 0.585 0.100 0.107

CO 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 257.1 270.2 256.5 277.4 1.051 0.998 1.079

CO 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 89.6 87.6 95.3 103.2 0.978 1.064 1.152

CO 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 7.3 7.9 8.6 9.3 1.081 1.175 1.273

CO 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 39.2 22.9 3.9 4.2 0.585 0.100 0.107

CO 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 76.5 44.7 7.7 8.2 0.585 0.100 0.107

CO 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 350.7 368.5 349.9 378.4 1.051 0.998 1.079

CO 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 172.6 168.9 183.6 198.9 0.978 1.064 1.152

CO 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 14.0 15.1 16.5 17.8 1.081 1.175 1.273

Colorado Total 4630.7 3104.1 1284.2 1384.2

CT 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 633.9 103.7 88.4 94.4 0.164 0.140 0.149

CT 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1237.6 202.4 172.7 184.3 0.164 0.140 0.149

CT 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 157.3 151.8 164.7 178.0 0.965 1.047 1.132

CT 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 53.5 43.6 47.3 51.3 0.815 0.885 0.959

CT 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.9 1.082 1.176 1.274

CT 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 20.2 3.3 2.8 3.0 0.164 0.140 0.149

CT 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 39.5 6.5 5.5 5.9 0.164 0.140 0.149

CT 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 214.6 207.0 224.7 242.8 0.965 1.047 1.132

CT 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 103.0 83.9 91.2 98.8 0.815 0.885 0.959

CT 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 8.9 9.6 10.4 11.3 1.082 1.176 1.274

Connecticut Total 2473.1 816.8 813.2 875.7

DE 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 138.1 37.3 23.0 24.5 0.270 0.166 0.178

DE 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 269.6 72.8 44.9 47.9 0.270 0.166 0.178

DE 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 40.9 39.4 42.8 46.2 0.965 1.047 1.131

DE 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 13.2 13.2 14.4 15.6 1.004 1.091 1.182

DE 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.082 1.176 1.273

DE 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 4.4 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.270 0.166 0.178

DE 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 8.6 2.3 1.4 1.5 0.270 0.166 0.178

DE 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 55.7 53.8 58.3 63.1 0.965 1.047 1.131

DE 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 25.4 25.5 27.7 30.0 1.004 1.091 1.182

DE 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 1.082 1.176 1.273

Delware Total 559.4 249.3 217.4 234.1

DC 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 75.0 22.0 14.3 15.2 0.293 0.191 0.203

DC 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 146.4 42.9 27.9 29.7 0.293 0.191 0.203

DC 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 12.0 12.0 12.9 13.8 1.002 1.077 1.153

DC 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.8 1.049 1.129 1.210

DC 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.105 1.189 1.275

DC 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 2.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.293 0.191 0.203

DC 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 4.7 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.293 0.191 0.203
H-3

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

DC 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 16.3 16.4 17.6 18.8 1.002 1.077 1.153

DC 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 6.0 6.3 6.8 7.3 1.049 1.129 1.210

DC 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.105 1.189 1.275

Washington, D.C. Total 266.7 105.9 85.4 91.2

FL 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 4531.7 6139.8 488.2 521.3 1.355 0.108 0.115

FL 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 8848.1 11987.7 953.2 1017.8 1.355 0.108 0.115

FL 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 984.3 1033.9 981.5 1061.7 1.050 0.997 1.079

FL 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 316.5 454.0 493.9 535.2 1.434 1.560 1.691

FL 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 27.9 30.1 32.8 35.5 1.080 1.175 1.273

FL 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 144.7 196.1 15.6 16.7 1.355 0.108 0.115

FL 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 282.6 382.9 30.4 32.5 1.355 0.108 0.115

FL 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 1342.7 1410.4 1338.9 1448.4 1.050 0.997 1.079

FL 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

610.0 874.9 951.8 1031.5 1.434 1.560 1.691

FL 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 53.7 58.0 63.1 68.4 1.080 1.175 1.273

Florida Total 17142.3 22567.7 5349.5 5769.0

GA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1769.3 1935.4 246.6 263.3 1.094 0.139 0.149

GA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 3454.4 3778.9 481.5 514.0 1.094 0.139 0.149

GA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 447.1 470.6 447.2 483.3 1.053 1.000 1.081

GA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 131.1 168.1 182.7 197.9 1.283 1.394 1.510

GA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 12.5 13.6 14.7 16.0 1.082 1.176 1.274

GA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 56.5 61.8 7.9 8.4 1.094 0.139 0.149

GA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 110.3 120.7 15.4 16.4 1.094 0.139 0.149

GA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 609.9 642.0 610.0 659.3 1.053 1.000 1.081

GA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

252.6 324.0 352.2 381.3 1.283 1.394 1.510

GA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 24.1 26.1 28.4 30.7 1.082 1.176 1.274

Georgia Total 6867.8 7541.2 2386.6 2570.7

HI 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 387.2 468.1 28.1 30.0 1.209 0.073 0.078

HI 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 755.9 913.9 54.9 58.6 1.209 0.073 0.078

HI 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 54.2 57.0 54.2 58.6 1.052 0.999 1.081

HI 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 20.4 28.5 31.0 33.6 1.393 1.517 1.645

HI 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.082 1.178 1.277

HI 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 12.4 15.0 0.9 1.0 1.209 0.073 0.078

HI 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 24.1 29.2 1.8 1.9 1.209 0.073 0.078

HI 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 74.0 77.8 73.9 80.0 1.052 0.999 1.081

HI 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

39.4 54.9 59.7 64.8 1.393 1.517 1.645

HI 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.8 1.082 1.178 1.277

Hawaii Total 1372.1 1649.2 309.8 334.2

ID 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 292.0 290.1 49.1 52.4 0.994 0.168 0.179

ID 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 570.1 566.4 95.9 102.3 0.994 0.168 0.179

ID 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 71.0 75.3 71.7 77.3 1.060 1.010 1.089

ID 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 18.2 23.4 25.3 27.3 1.285 1.393 1.504

ID 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 1.088 1.180 1.274

ID 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 9.3 9.3 1.6 1.7 0.994 0.168 0.179

ID 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 18.2 18.1 3.1 3.3 0.994 0.168 0.179

ID 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 96.9 102.7 97.9 105.5 1.060 1.010 1.089

ID 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

35.0 45.0 48.8 52.7 1.285 1.393 1.504

ID 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.7 1.088 1.180 1.274

Idaho Total 1116.3 1136.3 399.9 429.6
H-4

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

IL 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1662.7 1602.4 296.4 316.3 0.964 0.178 0.190

IL 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 3246.4 3128.7 578.7 617.6 0.964 0.178 0.190

IL 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 510.5 539.0 512.7 553.5 1.056 1.004 1.084

IL 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 136.0 161.5 175.4 189.7 1.188 1.290 1.395

IL 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 14.1 15.3 16.6 17.9 1.084 1.178 1.274

IL 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 53.1 51.2 9.5 10.1 0.964 0.178 0.190

IL 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 103.7 99.9 18.5 19.7 0.964 0.178 0.190

IL 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 696.5 735.3 699.3 755.0 1.056 1.004 1.084

IL 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

262.1 311.3 338.0 365.6 1.188 1.290 1.395

IL 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 27.1 29.4 31.9 34.5 1.084 1.178 1.274

Illinois Total 6712.2 6674.0 2676.9 2880.0

IN 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1105.4 1376.6 166.5 177.6 1.245 0.151 0.161

IN 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2158.2 2687.7 325.0 346.8 1.245 0.151 0.161

IN 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 279.0 294.7 280.4 302.6 1.056 1.005 1.085

IN 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 79.1 107.9 117.1 126.6 1.363 1.480 1.600

IN 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 7.7 8.3 9.0 9.8 1.085 1.178 1.273

IN 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 35.3 44.0 5.3 5.7 1.245 0.151 0.161

IN 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 68.9 85.8 10.4 11.1 1.245 0.151 0.161

IN 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 380.7 402.1 382.5 412.8 1.056 1.005 1.085

IN 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

152.5 207.9 225.6 243.9 1.363 1.480 1.600

IN 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 14.8 16.0 17.4 18.8 1.085 1.178 1.273

Indiana Total 4281.5 5230.9 1539.2 1655.7

IA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 653.0 727.9 81.8 87.2 1.115 0.125 0.134

IA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1275.0 1421.3 159.6 170.3 1.115 0.125 0.134

IA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 120.6 127.8 121.8 131.3 1.060 1.010 1.089

IA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 35.9 46.6 50.5 54.5 1.298 1.407 1.519

IA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.1 1.088 1.180 1.274

IA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 20.9 23.3 2.6 2.8 1.115 0.125 0.134

IA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 40.7 45.4 5.1 5.4 1.115 0.125 0.134

IA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 164.5 174.4 166.1 179.1 1.060 1.010 1.089

IA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

69.2 89.8 97.4 105.1 1.298 1.407 1.519

IA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 6.2 6.8 7.4 8.0 1.088 1.180 1.274

Iowa Total 2389.3 2666.8 696.1 747.9

KS 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 552.1 597.1 74.7 79.7 1.082 0.135 0.144

KS 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1077.9 1165.8 145.8 155.7 1.082 0.135 0.144

KS 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 119.7 126.5 120.4 129.9 1.057 1.005 1.085

KS 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 33.6 44.8 48.6 52.5 1.333 1.447 1.564

KS 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.2 1.085 1.178 1.274

KS 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 17.6 19.1 2.4 2.5 1.082 0.135 0.144

KS 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 34.4 37.2 4.7 5.0 1.082 0.135 0.144

KS 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 163.3 172.6 164.2 177.2 1.057 1.005 1.085

KS 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

64.7 86.3 93.6 101.2 1.333 1.447 1.564

KS 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 6.3 6.9 7.5 8.1 1.085 1.178 1.274

Kansas Total 2073.0 2259.7 665.7 716.1

KY 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 944.1 995.9 137.6 146.8 1.055 0.146 0.156

KY 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1843.4 1944.5 268.6 286.6 1.055 0.146 0.156

KY 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 166.0 176.7 168.6 181.5 1.064 1.016 1.093

KY 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 46.1 57.9 62.7 67.6 1.257 1.361 1.467
H-5

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

KY 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.6 1.091 1.182 1.274

KY 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 30.2 31.8 4.4 4.7 1.055 0.146 0.156

KY 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 58.9 62.1 8.6 9.2 1.055 0.146 0.156

KY 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 226.5 241.0 230.1 247.6 1.064 1.016 1.093

KY 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

88.8 111.6 120.8 130.2 1.257 1.361 1.467

KY 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 8.4 9.2 9.9 10.7 1.091 1.182 1.274

Kentucky Total 3416.5 3635.4 1016.4 1090.4

LA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1519.9 1795.9 152.1 162.3 1.182 0.100 0.107

LA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2967.6 3506.4 297.0 316.9 1.182 0.100 0.107

LA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 181.0 192.8 184.0 198.0 1.065 1.017 1.094

LA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 57.2 76.7 83.0 89.5 1.341 1.452 1.565

LA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 4.7 5.2 5.6 6.0 1.092 1.182 1.274

LA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 48.5 57.4 4.9 5.2 1.182 0.100 0.107

LA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 94.8 112.0 9.5 10.1 1.182 0.100 0.107

LA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 247.0 263.0 251.1 270.1 1.065 1.017 1.094

LA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

110.1 147.8 159.9 172.4 1.341 1.452 1.565

LA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 9.1 10.0 10.8 11.6 1.092 1.182 1.274

Louisiana Total 5240.0 6166.9 1157.8 1242.1

ME 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 308.9 74.4 47.4 50.6 0.241 0.154 0.164

ME 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 603.0 145.3 92.6 98.8 0.241 0.154 0.164

ME 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 60.9 59.7 64.5 69.5 0.980 1.059 1.140

ME 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 19.4 19.6 21.2 22.9 1.010 1.093 1.179

ME 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.090 1.181 1.274

ME 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 9.9 2.4 1.5 1.6 0.241 0.154 0.164

ME 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 19.3 4.6 3.0 3.2 0.241 0.154 0.164

ME 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 83.1 81.4 88.0 94.7 0.980 1.059 1.140

ME 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

37.4 37.8 40.9 44.1 1.010 1.093 1.179

ME 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.1 1.090 1.181 1.274

Maine Total 1146.8 430.6 364.9 391.6

MD 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 956.1 236.0 139.2 148.6 0.247 0.146 0.155

MD 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1866.7 460.9 271.7 290.1 0.247 0.146 0.155

MD 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 273.4 262.9 285.5 308.8 0.962 1.044 1.130

MD 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 93.8 92.6 100.7 109.1 0.987 1.074 1.164

MD 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 8.1 8.8 9.5 10.3 1.080 1.175 1.273

MD 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 30.5 7.5 4.4 4.7 0.247 0.146 0.155

MD 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 59.6 14.7 8.7 9.3 0.247 0.146 0.155

MD 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 372.9 358.6 389.4 421.2 0.962 1.044 1.130

MD 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

180.7 178.4 194.1 210.4 0.987 1.074 1.164

MD 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 15.6 16.9 18.4 19.9 1.080 1.175 1.273

Maryland Total 3857.5 1637.3 1421.7 1532.5

MA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1008.5 207.2 154.9 165.3 0.205 0.154 0.164

MA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1969.0 404.6 302.5 322.8 0.205 0.154 0.164

MA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 256.3 248.3 269.2 290.6 0.969 1.050 1.134

MA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 84.7 75.4 81.9 88.6 0.890 0.967 1.046

MA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 7.4 8.0 8.7 9.4 1.084 1.177 1.274

MA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 32.2 6.6 4.9 5.3 0.205 0.154 0.164

MA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 62.9 12.9 9.7 10.3 0.205 0.154 0.164

MA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 349.7 338.8 367.2 396.4 0.969 1.050 1.134
H-6

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

MA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

163.2 145.3 157.8 170.7 0.890 0.967 1.046

MA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 14.2 15.4 16.8 18.2 1.084 1.177 1.274

Massachusetts Total 3948.1 1462.6 1373.5 1477.6

MI 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 3676.6 2068.6 298.0 318.0 0.563 0.081 0.086

MI 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 7178.5 4038.9 581.9 620.9 0.563 0.081 0.086

MI 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 430.3 456.4 435.0 468.7 1.061 1.011 1.089

MI 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 155.6 150.7 163.3 176.3 0.968 1.050 1.133

MI 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 11.5 12.6 13.6 14.7 1.088 1.180 1.274

MI 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 117.4 66.1 9.5 10.2 0.563 0.081 0.086

MI 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 229.3 129.0 18.6 19.8 0.563 0.081 0.086

MI 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 587.0 622.6 593.4 639.3 1.061 1.011 1.089

MI 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

299.9 290.4 314.7 339.8 0.968 1.050 1.133

MI 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 22.2 24.2 26.2 28.3 1.088 1.180 1.274

Michigan Total 12708.4 7859.5 2454.2 2635.8

MN 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1030.3 1036.1 151.6 161.8 1.006 0.147 0.157

MN 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2011.6 2022.9 296.0 315.8 1.006 0.147 0.157

MN 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 224.7 238.2 226.9 244.6 1.060 1.010 1.089

MN 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 63.6 77.7 84.2 90.9 1.221 1.323 1.429

MN 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 6.0 6.6 7.1 7.7 1.088 1.180 1.274

MN 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 32.9 33.1 4.8 5.2 1.006 0.147 0.157

MN 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 64.3 64.6 9.5 10.1 1.006 0.147 0.157

MN 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 306.5 324.9 309.6 333.7 1.060 1.010 1.089

MN 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

122.6 149.7 162.3 175.2 1.221 1.323 1.429

MN 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 11.6 12.7 13.7 14.8 1.088 1.180 1.274

Minnesota Total 3874.1 3966.4 1265.7 1359.7

MS 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 798.8 1265.5 103.1 110.0 1.584 0.129 0.138

MS 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1559.6 2470.8 201.3 214.8 1.584 0.129 0.138

MS 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 113.1 120.7 115.4 124.0 1.068 1.021 1.097

MS 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 31.5 48.7 52.6 56.7 1.544 1.669 1.797

MS 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.7 1.095 1.183 1.274

MS 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 25.5 40.4 3.3 3.5 1.584 0.129 0.138

MS 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 49.8 78.9 6.4 6.9 1.584 0.129 0.138

MS 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 154.2 164.7 157.4 169.2 1.068 1.021 1.097

MS 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

60.8 93.8 101.4 109.2 1.544 1.669 1.797

MS 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 5.6 6.1 6.6 7.1 1.095 1.183 1.274

Mississippi Total 2801.8 4292.8 751.0 805.0

MO 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1198.4 1261.2 170.9 182.4 1.052 0.143 0.152

MO 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2339.9 2462.4 333.6 356.0 1.052 0.143 0.152

MO 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 271.3 287.0 273.2 294.7 1.058 1.007 1.086

MO 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 79.4 97.5 105.7 114.2 1.227 1.331 1.438

MO 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 7.4 8.0 8.7 9.4 1.086 1.178 1.274

MO 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 38.3 40.3 5.5 5.8 1.052 0.143 0.152

MO 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 74.7 78.6 10.7 11.4 1.052 0.143 0.152

MO 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 370.1 391.5 372.7 402.0 1.058 1.007 1.086

MO 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

153.1 187.8 203.8 220.2 1.227 1.331 1.438

MO 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 14.2 15.4 16.8 18.1 1.086 1.178 1.274

Missouri Total 4546.8 4829.7 1501.5 1614.2

MT 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 217.8 208.5 34.3 36.6 0.957 0.158 0.168
H-7

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

MT 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 425.2 407.0 67.0 71.5 0.957 0.158 0.168

MT 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 40.1 42.8 40.9 44.0 1.068 1.020 1.096

MT 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 10.6 13.0 14.0 15.1 1.223 1.323 1.424

MT 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.094 1.183 1.275

MT 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 7.0 6.7 1.1 1.2 0.957 0.158 0.168

MT 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 13.6 13.0 2.1 2.3 0.957 0.158 0.168

MT 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 54.7 58.4 55.8 60.0 1.068 1.020 1.096

MT 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

20.4 25.0 27.0 29.1 1.223 1.323 1.424

MT 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 1.094 1.183 1.275

Montana Total 792.4 777.8 246.0 263.6

NE 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 286.7 393.5 51.7 55.2 1.372 0.180 0.193

NE 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 559.9 768.3 101.0 107.8 1.372 0.180 0.193

NE 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 74.7 79.1 75.4 81.3 1.060 1.009 1.088

NE 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 19.4 27.1 29.3 31.7 1.396 1.514 1.634

NE 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 1.087 1.179 1.274

NE 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 9.2 12.6 1.7 1.8 1.372 0.180 0.193

NE 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 17.9 24.5 3.2 3.4 1.372 0.180 0.193

NE 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 101.9 107.9 102.8 110.9 1.060 1.009 1.088

NE 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

37.4 52.2 56.5 61.1 1.396 1.514 1.634

NE 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.9 4.2 4.6 4.9 1.087 1.179 1.274

Nebraska Total 1112.8 1471.5 428.6 460.6

NV 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 400.0 624.0 60.0 64.1 1.560 0.150 0.160

NV 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 781.0 1218.4 117.2 125.2 1.560 0.150 0.160

NV 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 141.1 147.8 140.2 151.8 1.048 0.994 1.076

NV 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 42.1 61.3 66.7 72.3 1.456 1.584 1.718

NV 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 4.1 4.4 4.8 5.2 1.078 1.174 1.273

NV 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 12.8 19.9 1.9 2.0 1.560 0.150 0.160

NV 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 24.9 38.9 3.7 4.0 1.560 0.150 0.160

NV 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 192.5 201.7 191.2 207.0 1.048 0.994 1.076

NV 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

81.1 118.1 128.5 139.3 1.456 1.584 1.718

NV 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 7.8 8.4 9.2 9.9 1.078 1.174 1.273

Nevada Total 1687.4 2442.9 723.5 780.9

NH 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 366.1 62.1 39.4 42.0 0.170 0.108 0.115

NH 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 714.8 121.3 76.8 82.0 0.170 0.108 0.115

NH 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 63.3 58.8 63.7 68.7 0.929 1.006 1.086

NH 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 20.8 17.6 19.1 20.6 0.843 0.915 0.989

NH 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.086 1.178 1.274

NH 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 11.7 2.0 1.3 1.3 0.170 0.108 0.115

NH 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 22.8 3.9 2.5 2.6 0.170 0.108 0.115

NH 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 86.4 80.3 86.9 93.8 0.929 1.006 1.086

NH 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

40.2 33.9 36.8 39.7 0.843 0.915 0.989

NH 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.2 1.086 1.178 1.274

New Hampshire Total 1331.1 385.4 332.4 357.3

NJ 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1443.1 316.8 212.0 226.3 0.220 0.147 0.157

NJ 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2817.7 618.6 413.9 441.8 0.220 0.147 0.157

NJ 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 393.0 378.7 411.1 444.6 0.964 1.046 1.131

NJ 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 131.2 124.7 135.6 146.9 0.950 1.033 1.119

NJ 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 11.6 12.5 13.6 14.8 1.081 1.176 1.274
H-8

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

NJ 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 46.1 10.1 6.8 7.2 0.220 0.147 0.157

NJ 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 90.0 19.8 13.2 14.1 0.220 0.147 0.157

NJ 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 536.2 516.7 560.9 606.4 0.964 1.046 1.131

NJ 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

252.9 240.2 261.3 283.0 0.950 1.033 1.119

NJ 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 22.3 24.1 26.2 28.4 1.081 1.176 1.274

New Jersey Total 5744.1 2262.2 2054.5 2213.5

NM 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 426.0 358.6 54.7 58.3 0.842 0.128 0.137

NM 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 831.7 700.2 106.7 113.9 0.842 0.128 0.137

NM 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 75.5 80.0 76.2 82.2 1.060 1.010 1.089

NM 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 23.0 25.7 27.9 30.1 1.118 1.212 1.309

NM 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 1.088 1.180 1.274

NM 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 13.6 11.5 1.7 1.9 0.842 0.128 0.137

NM 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 26.6 22.4 3.4 3.6 0.842 0.128 0.137

NM 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 103.0 109.1 104.0 112.1 1.060 1.010 1.089

NM 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

44.4 49.6 53.8 58.1 1.118 1.212 1.309

NM 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 3.9 4.3 4.6 5.0 1.088 1.180 1.274

New Mexico Total 1549.6 1363.6 435.4 467.7

NY 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 2537.7 684.6 458.4 489.1 0.270 0.181 0.193

NY 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 4954.7 1336.7 894.9 954.9 0.270 0.181 0.193

NY 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 656.3 639.9 692.6 746.7 0.975 1.055 1.138

NY 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 194.7 200.1 217.0 234.4 1.028 1.115 1.204

NY 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 18.5 20.2 21.9 23.6 1.088 1.180 1.274

NY 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 81.1 21.9 14.6 15.6 0.270 0.181 0.193

NY 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 158.3 42.7 28.6 30.5 0.270 0.181 0.193

NY 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 895.3 872.9 944.8 1018.6 0.975 1.055 1.138

NY 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

375.2 385.7 418.2 451.7 1.028 1.115 1.204

NY 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 35.7 38.8 42.1 45.4 1.088 1.180 1.274

New York Total 9907.3 4243.4 3733.0 4010.4

NC 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 2672.9 2390.6 250.0 266.9 0.894 0.094 0.100

NC 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 5218.7 4667.6 488.2 521.1 0.894 0.094 0.100

NC 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 438.7 462.4 439.6 474.8 1.054 1.002 1.082

NC 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 156.8 180.8 196.4 212.5 1.153 1.252 1.355

NC 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 12.2 13.2 14.3 15.5 1.083 1.176 1.273

NC 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 85.4 76.4 8.0 8.5 0.894 0.094 0.100

NC 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 166.7 149.1 15.6 16.6 0.894 0.094 0.100

NC 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 598.5 630.8 599.7 647.8 1.054 1.002 1.082

NC 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

302.2 348.4 378.4 409.5 1.153 1.252 1.355

NC 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 23.5 25.4 27.6 29.9 1.083 1.176 1.273

North Carolina Total 9675.5 8944.6 2417.8 2603.1

ND 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 142.7 130.3 20.8 22.2 0.913 0.146 0.156

ND 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 278.5 254.3 40.6 43.3 0.913 0.146 0.156

ND 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 26.5 28.2 26.9 28.9 1.065 1.017 1.094

ND 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 7.0 8.5 9.2 9.9 1.217 1.316 1.418

ND 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.092 1.182 1.275

ND 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 4.6 4.2 0.7 0.7 0.913 0.146 0.156

ND 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 8.9 8.1 1.3 1.4 0.913 0.146 0.156

ND 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 36.1 38.4 36.7 39.5 1.065 1.017 1.094

ND 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

13.5 16.4 17.7 19.1 1.217 1.316 1.418
H-9

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

ND 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.092 1.182 1.275

North Dakota Total 519.7 490.6 156.3 167.6

OH 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 3127.4 890.8 313.4 334.5 0.285 0.100 0.107

OH 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 6106.2 1739.3 611.8 653.0 0.285 0.100 0.107

OH 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 571.9 528.5 573.1 619.0 0.924 1.002 1.082

OH 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 197.4 230.1 250.0 270.5 1.166 1.267 1.370

OH 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 15.9 17.2 18.7 20.3 1.083 1.177 1.273

OH 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 99.9 28.5 10.0 10.7 0.285 0.100 0.107

OH 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 195.0 55.6 19.5 20.9 0.285 0.100 0.107

OH 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 780.2 720.9 781.8 844.4 0.924 1.002 1.082

OH 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

380.4 443.5 481.8 521.3 1.166 1.267 1.370

OH 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 30.6 33.1 36.0 39.0 1.083 1.177 1.273

Ohio Total 11504.9 4687.6 3096.0 3333.4

OK 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1116.8 932.0 107.2 114.4 0.834 0.096 0.102

OK 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2180.6 1819.7 209.3 223.4 0.834 0.096 0.102

OK 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 170.1 179.6 170.9 184.4 1.056 1.005 1.084

OK 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 58.2 66.4 72.1 77.9 1.140 1.238 1.338

OK 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 4.7 5.1 5.5 6.0 1.084 1.177 1.274

OK 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 35.7 29.8 3.4 3.7 0.834 0.096 0.102

OK 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 69.6 58.1 6.7 7.1 0.834 0.096 0.102

OK 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 232.0 245.0 233.1 251.6 1.056 1.005 1.084

OK 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

112.2 127.9 138.9 150.2 1.140 1.238 1.338

OK 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 9.0 9.8 10.6 11.5 1.084 1.177 1.274

Oklahoma Total 3988.9 3473.3 957.7 1030.3

OR 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1083.6 655.2 108.2 115.4 0.605 0.100 0.107

OR 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2115.8 1279.2 211.2 225.3 0.605 0.100 0.107

OR 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 180.3 190.5 181.2 195.6 1.056 1.005 1.085

OR 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 61.5 59.6 64.7 70.0 0.969 1.052 1.138

OR 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 5.0 5.4 5.8 6.3 1.085 1.178 1.274

OR 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 34.6 20.9 3.5 3.7 0.605 0.100 0.107

OR 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 67.6 40.9 6.7 7.2 0.605 0.100 0.107

OR 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 246.0 259.9 247.2 266.8 1.056 1.005 1.085

OR 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

118.6 114.9 124.8 135.0 0.969 1.052 1.138

OR 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 9.5 10.4 11.2 12.2 1.085 1.178 1.274

Oregon Total 3922.5 2636.8 964.6 1037.5

PA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1915.2 639.7 354.5 378.4 0.334 0.185 0.198

PA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 3739.3 1248.9 692.2 738.7 0.334 0.185 0.198

PA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 523.4 508.6 550.9 594.4 0.972 1.053 1.136

PA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 151.6 182.6 198.2 214.3 1.205 1.308 1.414

PA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 15.0 16.2 17.6 19.1 1.086 1.178 1.274

PA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 61.2 20.4 11.3 12.1 0.334 0.185 0.198

PA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 119.4 39.9 22.1 23.6 0.334 0.185 0.198

PA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 714.0 693.8 751.5 810.8 0.972 1.053 1.136

PA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

292.1 351.9 382.0 412.9 1.205 1.308 1.414

PA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 28.8 31.2 33.9 36.7 1.086 1.178 1.274

Pennsylvania Total 7559.9 3733.3 3014.3 3240.9

RI 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 105.9 34.3 26.0 27.7 0.324 0.245 0.262

RI 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 206.8 67.0 50.7 54.1 0.324 0.245 0.262
H-10

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

RI 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 37.4 36.4 39.4 42.5 0.973 1.054 1.136

RI 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 10.0 10.8 11.7 12.7 1.083 1.176 1.271

RI 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.086 1.179 1.274

RI 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 3.4 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.324 0.245 0.262

RI 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 6.6 2.1 1.6 1.7 0.324 0.245 0.262

RI 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 51.0 49.7 53.8 58.0 0.973 1.054 1.136

RI 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

19.2 20.9 22.6 24.5 1.083 1.176 1.271

RI 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 1.086 1.179 1.274

Rhode Island Total 443.5 225.6 210.4 226.1

SC 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1086.5 1457.6 124.5 132.9 1.342 0.115 0.122

SC 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2121.3 2846.0 243.1 259.5 1.342 0.115 0.122

SC 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 211.0 222.4 211.4 228.4 1.054 1.002 1.083

SC 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 66.8 95.2 103.4 111.9 1.425 1.548 1.675

SC 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 5.9 6.3 6.9 7.5 1.083 1.177 1.273

SC 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 34.7 46.6 4.0 4.2 1.342 0.115 0.122

SC 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 67.8 90.9 7.8 8.3 1.342 0.115 0.122

SC 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 287.8 303.4 288.4 311.6 1.054 1.002 1.083

SC 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

128.7 183.5 199.3 215.6 1.425 1.548 1.675

SC 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 11.3 12.2 13.3 14.3 1.083 1.177 1.273

South Carolina Total 4021.7 5264.0 1202.0 1294.2

SD 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 141.6 161.4 23.8 25.4 1.140 0.168 0.179

SD 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 276.4 315.2 46.5 49.6 1.140 0.168 0.179

SD 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 30.3 32.3 30.8 33.1 1.065 1.017 1.094

SD 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 7.8 10.1 10.9 11.8 1.301 1.407 1.516

SD 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.092 1.182 1.274

SD 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 4.5 5.2 0.8 0.8 1.140 0.168 0.179

SD 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 8.8 10.1 1.5 1.6 1.140 0.168 0.179

SD 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 41.3 44.0 42.0 45.2 1.065 1.017 1.094

SD 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

15.0 19.5 21.1 22.7 1.301 1.407 1.516

SD 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.092 1.182 1.274

South Dakota Total 528.1 600.3 180.2 193.3

TN 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1547.6 2000.9 187.7 200.4 1.293 0.121 0.129

TN 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 3021.7 3906.6 366.6 391.2 1.293 0.121 0.129

TN 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 268.1 283.9 270.4 291.6 1.059 1.009 1.088

TN 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 79.4 114.5 124.2 134.2 1.443 1.565 1.690

TN 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 7.3 7.9 8.6 9.2 1.087 1.179 1.274

TN 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 49.4 63.9 6.0 6.4 1.293 0.121 0.129

TN 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 96.5 124.8 11.7 12.5 1.293 0.121 0.129

TN 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 365.7 387.3 368.9 397.7 1.059 1.009 1.088

TN 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

153.0 220.7 239.3 258.5 1.443 1.565 1.690

TN 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 14.0 15.2 16.5 17.8 1.087 1.179 1.274

Tennessee Total 5602.6 7125.5 1599.8 1719.5

TX 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 3351.9 1418.2 544.0 580.7 0.423 0.162 0.173

TX 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 6544.6 2769.0 1062.1 1133.9 0.423 0.162 0.173

TX 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 898.6 868.6 942.0 1017.7 0.967 1.048 1.133

TX 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 285.3 363.0 394.5 427.0 1.273 1.383 1.497

TX 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 26.2 28.3 30.8 33.3 1.083 1.177 1.274

TX 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 107.1 45.3 17.4 18.5 0.423 0.162 0.173
H-11

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

TX 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 209.0 88.4 33.9 36.2 0.423 0.162 0.173

TX 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 1225.8 1184.9 1285.1 1388.3 0.967 1.048 1.133

TX 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

549.8 699.7 760.3 822.9 1.273 1.383 1.497

TX 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 50.3 54.5 59.2 64.1 1.083 1.177 1.274

Texas Total 13248.6 7520.1 5129.2 5522.7

UT 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 411.3 446.4 70.2 74.9 1.085 0.171 0.182

UT 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 803.1 871.6 137.1 146.3 1.085 0.171 0.182

UT 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 97.8 103.7 98.9 106.6 1.061 1.011 1.089

UT 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 25.7 32.6 35.3 38.1 1.270 1.376 1.485

UT 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.3 1.088 1.180 1.274

UT 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 13.1 14.3 2.2 2.4 1.085 0.171 0.182

UT 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 25.7 27.8 4.4 4.7 1.085 0.171 0.182

UT 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 133.4 141.5 134.9 145.4 1.061 1.011 1.089

UT 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

49.5 62.8 68.1 73.5 1.270 1.376 1.485

UT 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.4 1.088 1.180 1.274

Utah Total 1567.2 1709.2 560.2 601.7

VT 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 113.9 32.2 20.8 22.2 0.283 0.183 0.195

VT 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 222.3 62.9 40.6 43.3 0.283 0.183 0.195

VT 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 26.9 26.3 28.4 30.6 0.979 1.059 1.140

VT 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 8.0 8.6 9.3 10.0 1.070 1.159 1.250

VT 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.090 1.181 1.274

VT 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 3.6 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.283 0.183 0.195

VT 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 7.1 2.0 1.3 1.4 0.283 0.183 0.195

VT 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 36.7 35.9 38.8 41.8 0.979 1.059 1.140

VT 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

15.5 16.6 17.9 19.4 1.070 1.159 1.250

VT 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.090 1.181 1.274

Vermont Total 436.2 188.0 160.5 172.2

VA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1246.2 335.7 192.9 206.0 0.269 0.155 0.165

VA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2433.2 655.4 376.7 402.1 0.269 0.155 0.165

VA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 360.3 347.0 376.7 407.3 0.963 1.045 1.130

VA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 119.9 123.2 133.9 145.1 1.027 1.117 1.209

VA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 10.6 11.5 12.5 13.5 1.081 1.175 1.273

VA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 39.8 10.7 6.2 6.6 0.269 0.155 0.165

VA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 77.7 20.9 12.0 12.8 0.269 0.155 0.165

VA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 491.5 473.4 513.9 555.6 0.963 1.045 1.130

VA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

231.2 237.4 258.1 279.6 1.027 1.117 1.209

VA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 20.5 22.1 24.1 26.1 1.081 1.175 1.273

Virginia Total 5030.9 2237.4 1907.0 2054.6

WA 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1467.0 923.7 166.2 177.3 0.630 0.113 0.121

WA 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2864.2 1803.5 324.5 346.3 0.630 0.113 0.121

WA 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 286.9 302.9 288.0 311.0 1.055 1.004 1.084

WA 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 94.8 91.4 99.3 107.5 0.965 1.048 1.134

WA 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 7.9 8.6 9.3 10.1 1.084 1.177 1.274

WA 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 46.9 29.5 5.3 5.7 0.630 0.113 0.121

WA 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 91.5 57.6 10.4 11.1 0.630 0.113 0.121

WA 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 391.4 413.2 392.9 424.2 1.055 1.004 1.084

WA 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

182.6 176.2 191.4 207.1 0.965 1.048 1.134

WA 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 15.3 16.5 18.0 19.4 1.084 1.177 1.274
H-12

state SCC Description 2002 

VOC 

(tons) 

2010 

VOC 

(tons) 

2015 

VOC 

(tons) 

2020 

VOC 

(tons) 

PF: 

2002-

2010 

PF: 

2002-

2015 

PF: 

2002-

2020 

Washington Total 5448.5 3823.1 1505.3 1619.7

WV 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 644.5 539.0 75.5 80.6 0.836 0.117 0.125

WV 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 1258.4 1052.3 147.5 157.3 0.836 0.117 0.125

WV 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 83.7 89.4 85.5 91.8 1.068 1.021 1.097

WV 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 25.1 28.5 30.8 33.2 1.134 1.226 1.320

WV 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.7 1.095 1.184 1.274

WV 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 20.6 17.2 2.4 2.6 0.836 0.117 0.125

WV 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 40.2 33.6 4.7 5.0 0.836 0.117 0.125

WV 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 114.2 122.0 116.6 125.3 1.068 1.021 1.097

WV 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

48.4 54.9 59.4 63.9 1.134 1.226 1.320

WV 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.3 1.095 1.184 1.274

West Virginia Total 2241.5 1943.8 529.8 567.7

WI 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 1307.8 881.3 160.8 171.6 0.674 0.123 0.131

WI 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 2553.4 1720.7 314.0 335.1 0.674 0.123 0.131

WI 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 237.0 251.2 239.4 258.0 1.060 1.010 1.089

WI 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 71.7 74.6 80.9 87.3 1.041 1.128 1.218

WI 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 6.4 6.9 7.5 8.1 1.088 1.179 1.274

WI 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 41.8 28.1 5.1 5.5 0.674 0.123 0.131

WI 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 81.6 55.0 10.0 10.7 0.674 0.123 0.131

WI 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 323.3 342.7 326.5 351.9 1.060 1.010 1.089

WI 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

138.2 143.8 155.9 168.3 1.041 1.128 1.218

WI 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 12.3 13.3 14.5 15.6 1.088 1.179 1.274

Wisconsin Total 4773.4 3517.7 1314.6 1412.1

WY 2501011011 Residential: Permeation 119.5 99.2 19.6 21.0 0.830 0.164 0.175

WY 2501011012 Residential: Evaporation 233.3 193.7 38.3 40.9 0.830 0.164 0.175

WY 2501011013 Residential: Spillage During Transport 23.6 25.1 24.0 25.8 1.067 1.019 1.095

WY 2501011014 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Vapor Displacement 6.1 7.0 7.5 8.1 1.136 1.228 1.323

WY 2501011015 Residential: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.094 1.183 1.274

WY 2501012011 Commercial: Permeation 3.8 3.2 0.6 0.7 0.830 0.164 0.175

WY 2501012012 Commercial: Evaporation 7.5 6.2 1.2 1.3 0.830 0.164 0.175

WY 2501012013 Commercial: Spillage During Transport 32.1 34.3 32.7 35.2 1.067 1.019 1.095

WY 2501012014 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Vapor 

Displacement 

11.8 13.4 14.5 15.6 1.136 1.228 1.323

WY 2501012015 Commercial: Refilling at Pump: Spillage 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.094 1.183 1.274

Wyoming Total 439.5 384.0 140.7 150.8

Grand Total 226814 185568 73659 79271
I-1

Appendix I: Summary of Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) 

for 2002 and Projected Years 

VMT (Millions of Miles) 

STATE 2002 2009 2014 2020 2030 

 Alabama 55,722 59,540 64,506 70,285 78,836 

 Arizona 52,505 66,726 79,004 95,220 123,715 

 Arkansas 29,894 32,197 35,199 38,931 46,816 

 California 300,760 351,409 395,126 450,577 547,163 

Colorado 43,539 51,459 59,049 68,570 87,588 

Connecticut 30,996 33,295 35,854 38,574 43,765 

Delaware 8,835 9,652 10,475 11,464 12,820 

District of Columbia 3,840 4,044 4,358 4,842 5,456 

Florida 178,366 205,757 232,064 263,977 309,893 

Georgia 106,727 121,640 136,236 154,726 187,465 

Idaho 14,167 16,352 18,366 20,654 25,254 

Illinois 105,024 113,803 124,805 138,641 162,918 

Indiana 72,524 78,407 85,939 95,341 113,476 

Iowa 31,365 33,702 36,735 40,567 49,731 

Kansas 28,443 30,540 33,180 36,457 45,178 

Kentucky 48,109 51,635 56,139 61,526 69,493 

Louisiana 43,294 45,844 49,865 55,148 67,460 

Maine 14,652 15,707 17,011 18,590 20,914 

Maryland 53,758 60,542 66,843 74,291 87,736 

Massachusetts 53,231 58,517 64,072 70,561 81,898 

Michigan 98,634 104,777 113,344 124,060 143,016 

Minnesota 53,151 57,935 63,314 69,692 79,523 

Mississippi 36,277 40,273 44,218 49,351 59,527 

Missouri 69,140 74,629 81,419 89,688 107,351 

Montana 10,395 11,136 12,103 13,317 15,964 

Nebraska 19,137 20,902 22,815 25,300 33,185 

Nevada 14,502 18,373 21,811 26,007 31,030 

New Hampshire 12,579 14,157 15,644 17,281 20,338 

New Jersey 72,609 79,397 86,421 94,336 110,735 

New Mexico 23,348 26,352 29,485 33,238 38,933 

New York 140,752 154,520 167,529 183,007 230,836 

North Carolina 80,200 89,933 99,742 112,349 129,868 

North Dakota 7,336 7,642 8,154 8,787 10,969 

Ohio 107,859 114,476 124,149 136,286 158,633 

Oklahoma 45,732 50,363 55,770 62,368 76,566 

Oregon 33,246 37,148 41,217 46,133 52,784 

Pennsylvania 104,879 112,131 121,150 132,128 156,027 

Rhode Island 8,173 8,908 9,730 10,731 12,389 

South Carolina 47,074 51,518 56,364 62,300 73,148 

South Dakota 8,498 9,181 9,894 10,655 13,355 
I-2

VMT (Millions of Miles) 

STATE 2002 2009 2014 2020 2030 

Tennessee 68,315 76,062 84,586 95,238 111,516 

Texas 217,820 245,103 273,591 309,616 380,244 

Utah 24,421 28,400 32,404 37,370 45,084 

Vermont 9,517 12,383 14,231 16,796 23,349 

Virginia 77,396 86,935 96,075 106,783 132,805 

Washington 54,461 62,978 71,301 81,750 95,637 

West Virginia 19,544 19,598 20,623 21,964 23,489 

Wisconsin 58,744 64,590 71,285 79,720 93,632 

Wyoming 9,006 9,354 9,998 10,794 12,778 
J-1

Appendix J: National Inventories of Commercial Marine Vessel and L

Emissions for 2002 and Projection Years used to Develop Projectio

Table J-1 Locomotive and Commercial Marine Diesel Emissions from Excel file entitled: “FinalBase20070131

These data were sent by David Brzezinski of EPA, OTAQ to Madeleine Strum, EPA, OAQPS on 2/14/2007 

 tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr YEAR VOC CO NOx PM10 PM25 NH3 SO2 SCC Description 

2002 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2002 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2002 43,699.83 106,271.83 964,979.26 26,374.03 25,582.81 328.29 65,434.36 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op

2002 1,243.91 3,025.01 27,468.01 750.73 728.21 12.09 2,409.78 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2002 867.57 2,109.80 19,157.60 523.60 507.89 5.81 1,158.28 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2002 904.75 2,200.22 19,978.64 546.04 529.66 6.02 1,199.16 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2002 3,949.05 9,603.54 87,202.92 2,383.36 2,311.86 26.01 5,184.35 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm2002 17,228.58 151,330.52 834,025.23 29,618.84 28,730.28 401.48 80,353.00 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 

2003 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2003 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2003 43,743.26 108,849.99 918,694.90 26,760.35 25,957.54 336.58 67,086.51 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op

2003 1,189.05 2,917.37 27,188.50 725.20 703.45 12.40 2,470.63 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2003 848.94 2,100.04 19,108.72 518.73 503.17 5.96 1,187.53 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2003 882.50 2,182.65 19,859.94 539.16 522.99 6.17 1,229.44 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2003 4,803.69 10,410.43 89,952.36 2,426.72 2,353.92 26.67 5,315.25 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm
J-2

 tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr YEAR VOC CO NOx PM10 PM25 NH3 SO2 SCC Description 

2003 17,321.36 152,555.80 834,748.65 30,285.24 29,376.68 405.10 81,072.56 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 

2004 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2004 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2004 43,786.69 111,428.15 872,410.53 27,146.67 26,332.27 355.63 70,883.26 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op

2004 1,134.20 2,809.74 26,908.98 699.67 678.68 13.10 2,610.45 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2004 830.32 2,090.28 19,059.84 513.86 498.44 6.30 1,254.74 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2004 860.24 2,165.07 19,741.25 532.28 516.31 6.52 1,299.02 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2004 5,658.34 11,217.32 92,701.80 2,470.08 2,395.98 28.18 5,616.07 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm2004 17,311.46 153,080.17 830,313.34 30,665.96 29,745.98 408.74 81,807.94 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 

2005 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2005 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2005 43,830.12 114,006.32 826,126.17 27,532.99 26,707.00 359.14 71,582.24 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op

2005 1,079.34 2,702.10 26,629.47 674.14 653.92 13.23 2,636.19 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2005 811.70 2,080.52 19,010.96 508.99 493.72 6.36 1,267.11 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2005 837.99 2,147.50 19,622.55 525.40 509.64 6.58 1,311.83 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2005 6,512.98 12,024.21 95,451.24 2,513.44 2,438.04 28.45 5,671.45 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm2005 17,295.06 153,498.80 825,229.38 30,971.52 30,042.38 412.42 82,542.83 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 

2009 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2009 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2009 43,485.53 122,270.55 755,489.99 24,964.91 24,215.96 382.65 12,581.28 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op
J-3

 tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr YEAR VOC CO NOx PM10 PM25 NH3 SO2 SCC Description 

2009 1,074.45 2,720.99 27,635.10 616.43 597.93 14.09 463.34 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2009 761.91 2,120.85 15,941.12 437.55 424.43 6.77 222.71 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2009 783.68 2,181.45 16,396.58 450.05 436.55 7.01 230.57 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2009 7,653.28 13,456.90 100,466.57 2,465.29 2,391.33 30.32 996.81 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm2009 16,870.10 149,965.84 781,105.44 28,171.67 27,326.52 427.47 46,838.50 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 

2014 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2014 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2014 42,517.67 132,370.25 722,365.22 23,873.57 23,157.36 414.29 1,628.33 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op

2014 1,163.20 2,945.75 29,917.80 658.48 638.73 15.26 59.97 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2014 704.22 2,207.05 12,260.97 395.25 383.40 7.33 28.82 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2014 724.34 2,270.11 12,611.29 406.55 394.35 7.59 29.84 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2014 8,155.73 14,568.45 101,965.89 2,582.17 2,504.71 32.82 129.01 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm2014 16,273.37 143,917.41 721,909.90 25,406.32 24,644.13 447.06 22,293.17 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 

2020 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2020 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2020 41,264.74 145,597.07 704,353.37 22,917.80 22,230.26 455.65 1,894.24 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op

2020 1,279.43 3,240.10 30,895.35 724.01 702.29 16.78 69.76 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2020 632.67 2,315.13 10,764.47 350.46 339.95 8.07 33.53 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2020 650.74 2,381.28 11,072.02 360.48 349.66 8.35 34.71 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2020 8,805.16 16,024.18 103,389.09 2,761.62 2,678.77 36.10 150.08 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm
J-4

 tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr tons/yr YEAR VOC CO NOx PM10 PM25 NH3 SO2 SCC Description 

2020 16,071.19 139,711.67 676,154.45 22,923.26 22,235.56 471.75 3,104.41 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 

2030 2280002100 Commercial Marine Ves2030 2280002200 Commercial Marine Ves2030 39,872.67 170,643.49 703,846.90 21,684.63 21,034.09 534.00 2,219.94 2285002006 

Class I LH Railroad EquLocomotives: Class I Op

2030 1,499.53 3,797.48 31,449.42 835.61 810.54 19.67 81.75 2285002007 

Class II/III LH Railroad ELocomotives: Class II/III 

2030 547.16 2,507.16 9,789.85 295.02 286.17 9.45 39.30 2285002008 

Passenger Railroad EquLocomotives: Passenge

2030 562.79 2,578.79 10,069.56 303.45 294.35 9.79 40.68 2285002009 

Commuter Railroad EquLocomotives: Commuter 

2030 9,331.13 18,780.74 99,070.39 2,767.23 2,684.21 42.31 175.89 2285002010 Switch Railroad Equipm2030 17,177.98 143,790.71 680,024.87 24,494.99 23,760.14 515.98 3,586.30 N/A 

Commercial Marine Vesemissions combined. 
J-5

Table J-2. Residual Oil Commercial Marine Vessel inventories Used to Develop 

Projection Factors. Data from Excel file entitled: 

 “Loco&CMV inventories_NRT4FRM.xls”. 

Sent by Penny Carey, OTAQ, to Madeleine Strum, OAQPS on 9/14/2006. 

Commercial Marine Residual 50-State Annual Inventories 

SCC: 2280003000 

tons/year 

 VOC CO NOx PM10 PM2.5 SO2

1996 7,676 15,716 189,974 17,139 16,625 156,246 

1997 8,024 16,438 196,959 17,779 17,246 157,608 

1998 8,382 17,183 203,943 18,441 17,888 159,561 

1999 8,730 17,905 210,589 19,085 18,512 161,580 

2000 9,069 18,609 216,949 19,715 19,123 163,694 

2001 9,403 19,300 223,076 20,336 19,725 165,928 

2002 9,733 19,984 229,020 20,951 20,323 168,309 

2003 10,062 20,666 234,834 21,567 20,920 170,863 

2004 10,393 21,350 240,570 22,186 21,521 173,617 

2005 10,729 22,042 246,280 22,814 22,130 176,598 

2006 11,070 22,748 252,016 23,456 22,752 179,832 

2007 11,421 23,471 257,829 24,115 23,391 183,345 

2008 11,783 24,217 263,773 24,795 24,052 187,164 

2009 12,160 24,992 269,898 25,503 24,738 191,316 

2010 12,421 25,517 274,115 25,996 25,216 192,801 

2011 12,964 26,646 282,902 27,015 26,205 200,722 

2012 13,397 27,537 289,884 27,829 26,994 206,030 

2013 13,854 28,476 297,256 28,688 27,827 211,777 

2014 14,336 29,469 305,070 29,595 28,707 217,988 

2015 14,848 30,520 313,378 30,556 29,639 224,691 

2016 15,391 31,636 322,231 31,575 30,628 231,912 

2017 15,968 32,822 331,682 32,656 31,676 239,677 

2018 16,580 34,081 341,782 33,804 32,790 248,014 

2019 17,231 35,420 352,584 35,024 33,973 256,948 

2020 18,127 37,283 367,469 36,701 35,600 271,212 

2021 18,660 38,357 376,500 37,695 36,564 276,714 

2022 19,441 39,965 389,719 39,156 37,981 287,600 

2023 20,271 41,673 403,847 40,706 39,485 299,189 

2024 21,153 43,486 418,936 42,350 41,079 311,508 

2025 22,087 45,409 435,038 44,092 42,769 324,583 

2026 23,077 47,448 452,207 45,937 44,559 338,442 

2027 24,126 49,606 470,492 47,889 46,452 353,110 

2028 25,235 51,891 489,947 49,953 48,455 368,614 

2029 26,408 54,306 510,623 52,134 50,570 384,981 
J-6

Commercial Marine Residual 50-State Annual Inventories 

SCC: 2280003000 

tons/year 

 VOC CO NOx PM10 PM2.5 SO2

2030 27,537 56,623 530,805 54,231 52,604 399,746 

2031 28,952 59,548 555,846 56,861 55,155 420,408 

2032 30,329 62,385 580,498 59,417 57,634 439,522 

2033 31,779 65,374 606,579 62,107 60,244 459,604 

2034 33,304 68,519 634,141 64,936 62,988 480,681 

2035 34,908 71,825 663,237 67,908 65,871 502,779 

2036 36,592 75,297 693,917 71,028 68,897 525,926 

2037 38,359 78,941 726,235 74,299 72,070 550,147 

2038 40,211 82,762 760,241 77,728 75,396 575,470 

2039 42,151 86,765 795,989 81,317 78,878 601,920 

2040 44,181 90,954 833,529 85,073 82,520 629,524 

 

Source: 2012 LM CMVFRM.xls 

Documentation: Tier 4 nonroad FRM estimates, documented in FRM RIA.