Primary Estimate Low Estimate

7% 53 48

3% 66 59

CO2 At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 1.1 1.0

CO2 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 3.9 3.5

CO2 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 6.1 5.4

CO2 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 12.0 10.8

7% 0.24 0.23

3% 0.26 0.24

7% plus CO2 range 54 to 65 49 to 59

7% 57 52

3% plus CO2 range 68 to 78 60 to 70

3% 70 63

7% 46 44

3% 44 41

7% plus CO2 range 8 to 19 6 to 16

7% 11 8

3% plus CO2 range 24 to 35 19 to 29

3% 27 22

0 65

The values in the table are taken from the relevant table in Summary (All TSLs). 

The values in Summary (All TSLs) are generated from the values in Input and Summary by varying the experience cu

The TSL shown depends on the TSL selected in Input and Summary (cell S19).

Total

TSL 2

Discount Rate Monetized (million 2010$/year)

Benefits

Operating Cost Savings

NOx At 2,537 2010$/t

Total

Costs

Incremental Product Costs

Net Benefits/Costs
High Estimate

59 31

75 1

1.3 8

4.7 9

7.2 10

14.2 11

0.27 46

0.30 16

60 to 73

64

76 to 89

80

43 30

40 0

17 to 30

20

37 to 49

40

130

d Summary by varying the experience curve, discount rate, and AEO economic growth case.

million 2010$/year)
National Impact Summary (TSL 1, AEO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Cur

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2

Results presented for CSL 1 1

Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.01 0.00

Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.11 0.00

Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.23 0.00

NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.12 0.00

CO2 Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.14 0.01

Monetized emission savings

At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.83 0.05

At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 25.68 0.24

At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 43.83 0.41

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.17 0.73

NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 0.95 0.01

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

At 450 2010$/t 0.25 0.00

At 2,537 2010$/t 1.42 0.01

At 4,623 2010$/t 2.59 0.02

NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr) 0.14 0.00

National Impact Summary (TSL 1, AEO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Cur

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2

Results presented for CSL 1 1

Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.01 0.00

Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.06 0.00

Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.09 0.00

NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.03 0.00

CO2 Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.14 0.01

Monetized emission savings

At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.83 0.05

At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 25.68 0.24

At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 43.83 0.41

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.17 0.73

NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 0.95 0.01

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

At 450 2010$/t 0.10 0.00

At 2,537 2010$/t 0.57 0.01

At 4,623 2010$/t 1.03 0.01

NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) 0.06 0.00
National Impact Summary (TSL 1, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience C

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2

Results presented for CSL 1 1

Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.01 0.00

Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.11 0.00

Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.20 0.00

NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.10 0.00

CO2 Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.03 0.01

Monetized emission savings

At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.36 0.04

At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 23.12 0.24

At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 39.43 0.41

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.36 0.73

NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 0.87 0.01

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

At 450 2010$/t 0.23 0.00

At 2,537 2010$/t 1.29 0.01

At 4,623 2010$/t 2.34 0.02

NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr) 0.12 0.00

National Impact Summary (TSL 1, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience C

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2

Results presented for CSL 1 1

Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.01 0.00

Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.05 0.00

Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.08 0.00

NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.03 0.00

CO2 Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.03 0.01

Monetized emission savings

At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.36 0.04

At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 23.12 0.24

At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 39.43 0.41

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.36 0.73

NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 0.87 0.01
Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

At 450 2010$/t 0.09 0.00

At 2,537 2010$/t 0.52 0.01

At 4,623 2010$/t 0.95 0.01

NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) 0.05 0.00

National Impact Summary (TSL 1, AEO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience C

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2

Results presented for CSL 1 1

Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.10 0.00

Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.27 0.00

NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.17 0.00

CO2 Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.25 0.01

Monetized emission savings

At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 5.39 0.05

At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 28.84 0.24

At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 49.29 0.41

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 87.77 0.74

NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.05 0.01

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

At 450 2010$/t 0.28 0.00

At 2,537 2010$/t 1.58 0.01

At 4,623 2010$/t 2.88 0.02

NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr) 0.20 0.00

National Impact Summary (TSL 1, AEO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience C

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2

Results presented for CSL 1 1

Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.02 0.00

Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.01 0.00

Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.05 0.00

Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.10 0.00

NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.05 0.00

CO2 Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.25 0.01

Monetized emission savings
At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 5.39 0.05

At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 28.84 0.24

At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 49.29 0.41

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 87.77 0.74

NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 1.05 0.01

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

At 450 2010$/t 0.11 0.00

At 2,537 2010$/t 0.62 0.01

At 4,623 2010$/t 1.14 0.01

NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) 0.08 0.00
% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, E

All Products Annualized 

(2018-2047)

Product 

Class 1

Results presented for CSL 2

0.02 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.07

0.01 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.14

0.01 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.04

0.01 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.08

0.11 0.007 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.88

0.23 0.015 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 1.34

0.12 0.008 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.46

CO2 Emission Savings

1.15 - Mt Physical emission savings 4.03

Monetized emission savings

4.88 0.45 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 15.94

25.92 1.63 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.76

44.24 2.51 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 132.21

78.90 4.95 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 240.23

NOx Emission Savings

0.96 - kt Physical emission savings 3.51

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

0.25 0.02 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.92

1.43 0.09 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 5.19

2.61 0.16 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 9.46

0.15 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr) 0.54

% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, E

All Products Annualized 

(2018-2047)

Product 

Class 1

Results presented for CSL 2

0.02 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.07

0.01 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.14

0.01 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.04

0.01 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.08

0.06 0.007 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.52

0.09 0.012 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.60

0.03 0.004 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.08

CO2 Emission Savings

1.15 - Mt Physical emission savings 4.03

Monetized emission savings

4.88 0.45 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 15.94

25.92 1.63 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.76

44.24 2.51 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 132.21

78.90 4.95 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 240.23

NOx Emission Savings

0.96 - kt Physical emission savings 3.51

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.10 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.49

0.57 0.07 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 2.74

1.04 0.14 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 4.99

0.06 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) 0.16
 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, 

All Products Annualized 

(2018-2047)

Product 

Class 1

Results presented for CSL 2

0.02 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.06

0.01 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.13

0.01 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.03

0.01 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.07

0.11 0.007 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.82

0.20 0.013 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 1.19

0.10 0.006 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.36

CO2 Emission Savings

1.04 - Mt Physical emission savings 3.68

Monetized emission savings

4.41 0.40 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 14.42

23.35 1.47 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.70

39.84 2.26 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 118.46

71.09 4.46 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 215.69

NOx Emission Savings

0.87 - kt Physical emission savings 3.20

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

0.23 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.84

1.30 0.08 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 4.72

2.37 0.15 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 8.60

0.12 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr) 0.44

 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, 

All Products Annualized 

(2018-2047)

Product 

Class 1

Results presented for CSL 2

0.02 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.06

0.01 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.13

0.01 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.03

0.01 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.07

0.05 0.007 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.49

0.08 0.010 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.54

0.03 0.004 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.05

CO2 Emission Savings

1.04 - Mt Physical emission savings 3.68

Monetized emission savings

4.41 0.40 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 14.42

23.35 1.47 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.70

39.84 2.26 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 118.46

71.09 4.46 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 215.69

NOx Emission Savings

0.87 - kt Physical emission savings 3.20
Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.09 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.45

0.52 0.07 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 2.54

0.96 0.12 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 4.63

0.05 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) 0.12

, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate

All Products Annualized 

(2018-2047)

Product 

Class 1

Results presented for CSL 2

0.02 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.07

0.02 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.16

0.01 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.04

0.01 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.08

0.10 0.006 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.81

0.27 0.017 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 1.51

0.17 0.011 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.71

CO2 Emission Savings

1.26 - Mt Physical emission savings 4.49

Monetized emission savings

5.44 0.50 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 18.51

29.08 1.82 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 93.55

49.71 2.82 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 157.93

88.51 5.55 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 285.20

NOx Emission Savings

1.06 - kt Physical emission savings 3.91

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

0.28 0.02 million $ At 450 2010$/t 1.06

1.60 0.10 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 5.97

2.91 0.18 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 10.88

0.20 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr) 0.81

, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate

All Products Annualized 

(2018-2047)

Product 

Class 1

Results presented for CSL 2

0.02 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.07

0.02 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.16

0.01 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.04

0.01 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.08

0.05 0.007 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.49

0.10 0.013 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 0.66

0.05 0.007 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.17

CO2 Emission Savings

1.26 - Mt Physical emission savings 4.49

Monetized emission savings
5.44 0.50 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 18.51

29.08 1.82 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 93.55

49.71 2.82 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 157.93

88.51 5.55 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 285.20

NOx Emission Savings

1.06- kt Physical emission savings 3.91

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.11 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.53

0.63 0.08 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 3.01

1.14 0.15 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 5.48

0.08 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) 0.27
1 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary (TSL 3, AEO 2011 Reference, 3% Dis

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2013-2047)

1 Results presented for CSL

0.00 0.07 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.14 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.04 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.08 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.88 0.044 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

0.00 1.34 0.066 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

0.00 0.46 0.023 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

0.03 4.06 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

0.14 16.09 1.08 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5%

0.73 79.49 3.92 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

1.25 133.46 6.06 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5%

2.23 242.46 11.97 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

NOx Emission Savings

0.03 3.54 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

0.01 0.93 0.05 million $ At 450 2010$/t

0.05 5.24 0.26 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

0.08 9.54 0.47 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

0.00 0.54 0.03 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)

1 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary (TSL 3, AEO 2011 Reference, 7% Dis

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2013-2047)

1 Results presented for CSL

0.00 0.07 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.14 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.04 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.08 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.52 0.046 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

0.00 0.60 0.053 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

0.00 0.08 0.007 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

0.03 4.06 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

0.14 16.09 1.08 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5%

0.73 79.49 3.92 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

1.25 133.46 6.06 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5%

2.23 242.46 11.97 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

NOx Emission Savings

0.03 3.54 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.00 0.49 0.04 million $ At 450 2010$/t

0.02 2.76 0.24 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

0.04 5.03 0.44 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

0.00 0.16 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)
1 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary (TSL 3, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 3% D

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2013-2047)

1 Results presented for CSL

0.00 0.06 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.13 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.03 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.07 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.82 0.041 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

0.00 1.19 0.059 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

0.00 0.37 0.018 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

0.03 3.71 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

0.14 14.56 0.98 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5%

0.73 71.43 3.53 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

1.24 119.71 5.43 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5%

2.23 217.92 10.76 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

NOx Emission Savings

0.03 3.23 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

0.01 0.84 0.04 million $ At 450 2010$/t

0.05 4.77 0.24 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

0.08 8.69 0.43 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

0.00 0.44 0.02 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)

1 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary (TSL 3, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 7% D

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2013-2047)

1 Results presented for CSL

0.00 0.06 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.13 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.03 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.07 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.49 0.044 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

0.00 0.54 0.048 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

0.00 0.05 0.005 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

0.03 3.71 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

0.14 14.56 0.98 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5%

0.73 71.43 3.53 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

1.24 119.71 5.43 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5%

2.23 217.92 10.76 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

NOx Emission Savings

0.03 3.23 - kt Physical emission savings
Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.00 0.45 0.04 million $ At 450 2010$/t

0.02 2.56 0.23 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

0.04 4.67 0.41 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

0.00 0.13 0.01 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)

1 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary (TSL 3, AEO 2011 High Growth, 3% 

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2013-2047)

1 Results presented for CSL

0.00 0.07 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.16 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.04 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.08 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.81 0.040 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

0.00 1.51 0.075 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

0.00 0.71 0.035 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

0.03 4.52 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

0.14 18.65 1.26 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5%

0.74 94.29 4.66 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

1.25 159.18 7.23 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5%

2.25 287.45 14.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

NOx Emission Savings

0.03 3.94 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

0.01 1.07 0.05 million $ At 450 2010$/t

0.05 6.02 0.30 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

0.08 10.96 0.54 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

0.00 0.81 0.04 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)

1 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary (TSL 3, AEO 2011 High Growth, 7% 

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2013-2047)

1 Results presented for CSL

0.00 0.07 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.16 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.00 0.04 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.08 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.00 0.49 0.043 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

0.00 0.66 0.059 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

0.00 0.17 0.015 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

0.03 4.52 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings
0.14 18.65 1.26 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5%

0.74 94.29 4.66 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

1.25 159.18 7.23 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5%

2.25 287.45 14.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3%

NOx Emission Savings

0.03 3.94- kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.00 0.54 0.05 million $ At 450 2010$/t

0.02 3.03 0.27 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

0.04 5.52 0.49 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

0.00 0.27 0.02 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)
SL 3, AEO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Ref

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

4 2 Results presented for CSL

0.93 0.00 0.94 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.56 0.00 0.56 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.46 0.00 0.46 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.28 0.00 0.28 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

5.37 0.00 5.37 0.337 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

11.87 0.01 11.88 0.746 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

6.50 0.01 6.51 0.408 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

64.97 0.05 65.02 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

278.24 0.22 278.45 25.49 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

1482.42 1.15 1483.57 93.09 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

2531.70 1.96 2533.65 143.89 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr)

4511.81 3.49 4515.30 283.32 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

NOx Emission Savings

54.23 0.04 54.27 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

14.41 0.01 14.42 0.90 million $ At 450 2010$/t

81.27 0.06 81.34 5.10 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

148.14 0.12 148.25 9.30 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

8.06 0.01 8.07 0.51 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)

SL 3, AEO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Ref

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

4 2 Results presented for CSL

0.93 0.00 0.94 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.56 0.00 0.56 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.46 0.00 0.46 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.28 0.00 0.28 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

2.69 0.00 2.69 0.348 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

4.64 0.00 4.65 0.601 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

1.96 0.00 1.96 0.254 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

64.97 0.05 65.02 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

278.24 0.22 278.45 25.49 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

1482.42 1.15 1483.57 93.09 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

2531.70 1.96 2533.65 143.89 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr)

4511.81 3.49 4515.30 283.32 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

NOx Emission Savings

54.23 0.04 54.27 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

5.73 0.00 5.73 0.74 million $ At 450 2010$/t

32.29 0.03 32.32 4.18 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

58.86 0.05 58.91 7.62 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

3.47 0.00 3.48 0.35 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)
SL 3, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Low 

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

4 2 Results presented for CSL

0.85 0.00 0.85 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.51 0.00 0.51 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.42 0.00 0.42 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.25 0.00 0.25 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

4.97 0.00 4.97 0.312 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

10.27 0.01 10.29 0.645 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

5.31 0.01 5.32 0.334 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

59.03 0.05 59.08 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

251.38 0.22 251.60 23.03 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

1335.11 1.14 1336.25 83.85 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

2278.57 1.95 2280.52 129.52 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr)

4063.81 3.48 4067.29 255.21 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

NOx Emission Savings

49.28 0.04 49.32 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

13.04 0.01 13.05 0.82 million $ At 450 2010$/t

73.56 0.06 73.63 4.62 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

134.08 0.12 134.20 8.42 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

6.72 0.01 6.73 0.42 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)

SL 3, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Low 

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

4 2 Results presented for CSL

0.85 0.00 0.85 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.51 0.00 0.51 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.42 0.00 0.42 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.25 0.00 0.25 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

2.50 0.00 2.50 0.324 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

4.09 0.00 4.09 0.529 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

1.59 0.00 1.59 0.206 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

59.03 0.05 59.08 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

251.38 0.22 251.60 23.03 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

1335.11 1.14 1336.25 83.85 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

2278.57 1.95 2280.52 129.52 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr)

4063.81 3.48 4067.29 255.21 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

NOx Emission Savings

49.28 0.04 49.32 - kt Physical emission savings
Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

5.24 0.00 5.24 0.68 million $ At 450 2010$/t

29.53 0.03 29.56 3.82 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

53.83 0.05 53.87 6.97 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

2.95 0.00 2.95 0.29 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)

SL 3, AEO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Hig

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

4 2 Results presented for CSL

1.03 0.00 1.03 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.63 0.00 0.63 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.51 0.00 0.51 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.31 0.00 0.31 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

4.78 0.00 4.78 0.300 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

13.77 0.01 13.78 0.865 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

9.00 0.01 9.01 0.565 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

71.58 0.05 71.63 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings

309.99 0.22 310.21 28.39 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

1659.93 1.16 1661.09 104.23 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

2838.01 1.97 2839.99 161.29 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr)

5051.49 3.52 5055.01 317.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

NOx Emission Savings

59.75 0.04 59.79 - kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

16.02 0.01 16.03 1.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t

90.36 0.06 90.42 5.67 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

164.69 0.12 164.81 10.34 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

10.75 0.01 10.76 0.68 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)

SL 3, AEO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Hig

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

4 2 Results presented for CSL

1.03 0.00 1.03 - quad Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.63 0.00 0.63 - trillion gal. Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

0.51 0.00 0.51 - quad Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

0.31 0.00 0.31 - triillion gal. Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

2.45 0.00 2.45 0.317 billion $ Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost

5.29 0.00 5.29 0.685 billion $ Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

2.84 0.00 2.85 0.368 billion $ NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

CO2 Emission Savings

71.58 0.05 71.63 - Mt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings
309.99 0.22 310.21 28.39 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

1659.93 1.16 1661.09 104.23 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

2838.01 1.97 2839.99 161.29 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr)

5051.49 3.52 5055.01 317.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

NOx Emission Savings

59.75 0.04 59.79- kt Physical emission savings

Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

6.28 0.00 6.29 0.81 million $ At 450 2010$/t

35.42 0.03 35.45 4.59 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t

64.56 0.05 64.61 8.36 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t

4.54 0.01 4.54 0.48 billion $ NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)
ct Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

5 2

 (Cumulative to 2047) 1.58 0.00 1.59 - quad

(Cumulative to 2047) 1.71 0.00 1.71 - trillion gal.

s discounted at 3.0% 0.78 0.00 0.78 - quad

 discounted at 3.0% 0.84 0.00 0.84 - triillion gal.

cremental Equipment Cost 6.82 0.00 6.82 0.428 billion $

per. Cost Saving 24.27 0.01 24.28 1.523 billion $

17.44 0.01 17.45 1.095 billion $

98.56 0.06 98.62 - Mt

mission savings

5% 426.76 0.24 427.00 39.08 million $

3% 2282.84 1.27 2284.11 143.32 million $

2.5% 3902.24 2.16 3904.40 221.74 million $

3% 6947.42 3.86 6951.28 436.17 million $

83.27 0.05 83.31 - kt

mission savings (3% dr)

22.35 0.01 22.36 1.40 million $

126.04 0.07 126.11 7.91 million $

229.74 0.13 229.87 14.42 million $

ssion Savings (3% dr) 19.85 0.01 19.86 1.25 billion $

ct Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

5 2

 (Cumulative to 2047) 1.58 0.00 1.59 - quad

(Cumulative to 2047) 1.71 0.00 1.71 - trillion gal.

s discounted at 3.0% 0.78 0.00 0.78 - quad

 discounted at 3.0% 0.84 0.00 0.84 - triillion gal.

cremental Equipment Cost 3.42 0.00 3.42 0.442 billion $

per. Cost Saving 9.29 0.00 9.29 1.203 billion $

5.87 0.00 5.88 0.761 billion $

98.56 0.06 98.62 - Mt

mission savings

5% 426.76 0.24 427.00 39.08 million $

3% 2282.84 1.27 2284.11 143.32 million $

2.5% 3902.24 2.16 3904.40 221.74 million $

3% 6947.42 3.86 6951.28 436.17 million $

83.27 0.05 83.31 - kt

mission savings (7% dr)

8.81 0.01 8.82 1.14 million $

49.70 0.03 49.72 6.43 million $

90.58 0.05 90.63 11.73 million $

ssion Savings (7% dr) 8.21 0.00 8.21 0.91 billion $
ct Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

5 2

 (Cumulative to 2047) 1.44 0.00 1.44 - quad

(Cumulative to 2047) 1.55 0.00 1.55 - trillion gal.

s discounted at 3.0% 0.71 0.00 0.72 - quad

 discounted at 3.0% 0.77 0.00 0.77 - triillion gal.

cremental Equipment Cost 6.30 0.00 6.30 0.395 billion $

per. Cost Saving 21.12 0.01 21.13 1.326 billion $

14.82 0.01 14.82 0.930 billion $

89.55 0.06 89.60 - Mt

mission savings

5% 385.45 0.24 385.69 35.30 million $

3% 2055.35 1.26 2056.61 129.05 million $

2.5% 3510.97 2.16 3513.13 199.52 million $

3% 6255.61 3.85 6259.46 392.76 million $

75.65 0.05 75.70 - kt

mission savings (3% dr)

20.22 0.01 20.23 1.27 million $

114.05 0.07 114.12 7.16 million $

207.88 0.13 208.01 13.05 million $

ssion Savings (3% dr) 16.99 0.01 17.00 1.07 billion $

ct Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

5 2

 (Cumulative to 2047) 1.44 0.00 1.44 - quad

(Cumulative to 2047) 1.55 0.00 1.55 - trillion gal.

s discounted at 3.0% 0.71 0.00 0.72 - quad

 discounted at 3.0% 0.77 0.00 0.77 - triillion gal.

cremental Equipment Cost 3.18 0.00 3.18 0.411 billion $

per. Cost Saving 8.21 0.00 8.22 1.063 billion $

5.04 0.00 5.04 0.652 billion $

89.55 0.06 89.60 - Mt

mission savings

5% 385.45 0.24 385.69 35.30 million $

3% 2055.35 1.26 2056.61 129.05 million $

2.5% 3510.97 2.16 3513.13 199.52 million $

3% 6255.61 3.85 6259.46 392.76 million $

75.65 0.05 75.70 - kt
mission savings (7% dr)

8.06 0.01 8.06 1.04 million $

45.44 0.03 45.47 5.88 million $

82.82 0.05 82.87 10.72 million $

ssion Savings (7% dr) 7.14 0.00 7.14 0.79 billion $

ct Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

5 2

 (Cumulative to 2047) 1.75 0.00 1.75 - quad

(Cumulative to 2047) 1.89 0.00 1.89 - trillion gal.

s discounted at 3.0% 0.86 0.00 0.86 - quad

 discounted at 3.0% 0.93 0.00 0.93 - triillion gal.

cremental Equipment Cost 6.12 0.00 6.12 0.384 billion $

per. Cost Saving 27.84 0.01 27.85 1.747 billion $

21.72 0.01 21.73 1.363 billion $

108.71 0.06 108.77 - Mt

mission savings

5% 476.27 0.24 476.51 43.62 million $

3% 2560.91 1.28 2562.19 160.77 million $

2.5% 4382.55 2.18 4384.74 249.02 million $

3% 7792.76 3.89 7796.65 489.22 million $

91.84 0.05 91.89 - kt

mission savings (3% dr)

24.89 0.01 24.90 1.56 million $

140.37 0.07 140.44 8.81 million $

255.85 0.13 255.98 16.06 million $

ssion Savings (3% dr) 24.42 0.01 24.43 1.53 billion $

ct Summary (TSL 4, AEO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2 All Products Annualized (2018-2047)

5 2

 (Cumulative to 2047) 1.75 0.00 1.75 - quad

(Cumulative to 2047) 1.89 0.00 1.89 - trillion gal.

s discounted at 3.0% 0.86 0.00 0.86 - quad

 discounted at 3.0% 0.93 0.00 0.93 - triillion gal.

cremental Equipment Cost 3.14 0.00 3.14 0.406 billion $

per. Cost Saving 10.50 0.00 10.51 1.360 billion $

7.37 0.00 7.37 0.954 billion $

108.71 0.06 108.77 - Mt

mission savings
5% 476.27 0.24 476.51 43.62 million $

3% 2560.91 1.28 2562.19 160.77 million $

2.5% 4382.55 2.18 4384.74 249.02 million $

3% 7792.76 3.89 7796.65 489.22 million $

91.84 0.05 91.89 - kt

mission savings (7% dr)

9.68 0.01 9.68 1.25 million $

54.58 0.03 54.61 7.07 million $

99.49 0.05 99.54 12.88 million $

ssion Savings (7% dr) 9.98 0.01 9.99 1.12 billion $
Input and Summary

User Inputs: National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 

Rebound 0%

Results presented for CSL

Lifetime 15.4 years Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

Cycles per year 215 cycles Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047)

Duration of 1 Cycle 1 hour Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%

Water Savings discounted at 3.0%

Recovery Efficiency of Water Heaters Discounted Incremental Equipment C

Gas Water Heater 75% Discounted Oper. Cost Saving

Oil Water Heater 75% NPV (Cumulative to 2080)

Discounting future values:

Discount Rate for NPV Determination 3.0% CO2 Emission Savings

Discount Rate for Energy Savings 3.0% Physical emission savings

Year to discount to 2011 Monetized emission savings

At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

Relative Price At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

 Elasticity At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr)

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr)

Economic Growth CSL NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings

Experience Curve Monetized emission savings (3% dr)

At 450 2010$/t

At 2,537 2010$/t

At 4,623 2010$/t

NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)

Source Energy Use for Base Case in 2

Source Energy Saving in 2015 

Product Class 1 Export Variables

Design

W kWh/year kWh/year gal/cycle kWh/cycle kWh/cycle

0 Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 355 0.0 6.50 1.65 0.559

1 Product Class 1 EL1 2.30 324 19.7 5.80 1.42 0.441

2 Product Class 1 EL2 1.70 307 14.5 5.00 1.36 0.520

3 Product Class 1 EL3 1.70 295 14.5 4.25 1.30 0.590

4 Product Class 1 EL4 1.70 234 14.5 3.80 1.02 0.382

5 Product Class 1 EL5 1.70 180 14.5 1.60 0.77 0.501

6 0 0.00 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00

7 0 0.00 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00

8 0 0.00 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Product Class 1 Input Variables

Design

W kWh/year kWh/year gal/cycle kWh/cycle kWh/cycle

0 Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 355 0.0 6.50 1.65 0.559

1 Product Class 1 EL1 2.30 324 19.7 5.80 1.42 0.441

2 Product Class 1 EL2 1.70 307 14.5 5.00 1.36 0.520

3 Product Class 1 EL3 1.70 295 14.5 4.25 1.30 0.590

4 Product Class 1 EL4 1.70 234 14.5 3.80 1.02 0.382

Machine 

Energy Standby AEU

Standby

AEU

Water Use kWh per 

Cycle

Machine 

Energy Standby AEU

Standby

AEU

Water Use kWh per 

Cycle

RP elasticity = -0.34

AEO 2011 Reference

Default
5 Product Class 1 EL5 1.70 180 14.5 1.60 0.77 0.501

Product Class 2 Input Variables

Design

W kWh/year kWh/year gal/cycle kWh/cycle kWh/cycle

0 Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 260 0.0 4.50 1.21 0.453

1 Product Class 1 EL1 2.30 222 19.7 3.50 0.94 0.353

2 Product Class 1 EL2 1.70 154 14.5 2.10 0.65 0.296

Product Class 1 Base Case Weighted Average Values

Year AEU Electricity Gas Oil

kWh/yr kWh/yr MMBTU/yr MMBTU/yr 1000 gal/yr $

2007 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2008 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2009 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2010 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2011 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2012 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2013 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $719 1.083

2014 294.14 186 0.46 0.03 1.028 $714 1.065

2015 293.18 186 0.46 0.03 1.016 $708 1.048

2016 292.66 186 0.46 0.03 1.013 $702 1.031

2017 292.14 186 0.45 0.03 1.010 $696 1.015

2018 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $690 1.000

2019 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $685 0.985

2020 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $679 0.971

2021 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $674 0.957

2022 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $669 0.944

2023 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $664 0.931

2024 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $659 0.918

2025 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $654 0.906

2026 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $650 0.894

2027 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $645 0.883

2028 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $641 0.872

2029 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $637 0.861

2030 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $633 0.851

2031 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $629 0.841

2032 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $625 0.831

2033 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $621 0.822

2034 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $618 0.812

2035 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $614 0.803

2036 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $611 0.794

2037 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $608 0.786

2038 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $604 0.778

2039 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $601 0.769

2040 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $598 0.762

2041 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $595 0.754

2042 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $592 0.746

Standby

Annual 

Water Use

Experience 

Curve

Installed 

Price

AEU

Standby

AEU

Water Use kWh per 

Cycle

Machine 

Energy

Annual Energy Use
2043 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $589 0.739

2044 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $587 0.732

2045 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $584 0.725

2046 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $581 0.718

2047 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $578 0.711



























60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%

60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%
National Impact Summary (TSL 2, AEO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) Assumptions:

Product 

Class 1

Product 

Class 2

All 

Products

Annualized 

(2013-2047) Temp. Difference for Water Heating

Results presented for CSL 2 1 Energy (kWh) needed to heat water

Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.07 0.00 0.07 - quad

Water Saving (Cumulative to 2047) 0.14 0.00 0.14 - trillion gal. % of Units by Type of Water Heating

Energy Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.04 0.00 0.04 - quad Electric Water Heating

Water Savings discounted at 3.0% 0.08 0.00 0.08 - triillion gal. Gas Water Heating

Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost 0.88 0.00 0.88 0.044 billion $ Oil Water Heating

Discounted Oper. Cost Saving 1.34 0.00 1.34 0.066 billion $

NPV (Cumulative to 2080) 0.46 0.00 0.46 0.023 billion $ Recovery Efficiency of Electric Wate

CO2 Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 4.03 0.03 4.06 - Mt

Monetized emission savings

At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 15.94 0.14 16.09 1.08 million $ Consensus =

At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.76 0.73 79.49 3.92 million $ TSL level =

At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 132.21 1.25 133.46 6.06 million $

At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 240.23 2.23 242.46 11.97 million $ Map of CSLs by TSL

NOx Emission Savings

Physical emission savings 3.51 0.03 3.54 - kt TSL

Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 1

At 450 2010$/t 0.92 0.01 0.93 0.05 million $ 2

At 2,537 2010$/t 5.19 0.05 5.24 0.26 million $ 3

At 4,623 2010$/t 9.46 0.08 9.54 0.47 million $ 4

NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr) 0.54 0.00 0.54 0.03 billion $

Source Energy Use for Base Case in 2015 (incl. water heating & dry 0.149 er) 0.000 0.149 quad

Source Energy Saving in 2015 (incl. water heating & dryer) 0.001 0.000 0.001 quad

Annual Energy Use

Elec Gas Oil

kWh/cycle kWh MMBtu MMBtu 1000 gal 2010$ 2010$

1.09 207.60 0.63 0.04 1.40 $327.45 $303.00

0.97 192.47 0.56 0.04 1.25 $352.73 $303.00

0.84 193.61 0.48 0.03 1.08 $371.47 $303.00

0.71 198.62 0.41 0.03 0.91 $423.23 $303.00

0.64 147.83 0.37 0.02 0.82 $431.47 $303.00

0.27 143.72 0.15 0.01 0.34 $442.22 $303.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 $0.00 $0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 $0.00 $0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Annual Energy Use Prices for 

Elec Gas Oil Default Low High

kWh/cycle kWh MMBtu MMBtu 1000 gal 2010$ 2010$ 2010$ 2010$

1.09 207.60 0.63 0.04 1.40 $630.45 $630.45 $636.86 $585.97

0.97 192.47 0.56 0.04 1.25 $655.73 $655.73 $662.39 $609.47

0.84 193.61 0.48 0.03 1.08 $674.47 $674.47 $681.32 $626.89

0.71 198.62 0.41 0.03 0.91 $726.23 $726.23 $733.61 $675.00

0.64 147.83 0.37 0.02 0.82 $734.47 $734.47 $741.93 $682.65

Installation 

Cost

Installed 

Price Water Heating AnnualWater

Water Heating Annual

Water Unit Price
0.27 143.72 0.15 0.01 0.34 $745.22 $745.22 $752.78 $692.64

Annual Energy Use Prices for 

Elec Gas Oil Default Low High

kWh/cycle kWh MMBtu MMBtu 1000 gal 2010$ 2010$ 2010$ 2010$

0.76 157.95 0.44 0.03 0.97 $621.43 $621.43 $627.74 $577.59

0.59 142.63 0.34 0.02 0.75 $622.82 $622.82 $629.14 $578.87

0.35 106.38 0.20 0.01 0.45 $638.19 $638.19 $644.67 $593.16

Product Class 1 Standards Case Weighted Average Values

Year AEU Electricity Gas Oil

kWh/yr kWh/yr MMBTU/yr MMBTU/yr 1000 gal/yr $

2007 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2008 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2009 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2010 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2011 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2012 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688

2013 287.79 185 0.44 0.03 0.972 $728 1.083

2014 287.32 186 0.43 0.03 0.965 $721 1.065

2015 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $715 1.048

2016 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $708 1.031

2017 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $702 1.015

2018 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $696 1.000

2019 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $690 0.985

2020 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $685 0.971

2021 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $679 0.957

2022 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $674 0.944

2023 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $669 0.931

2024 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $664 0.918

2025 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $659 0.906

2026 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $654 0.894

2027 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $650 0.883

2028 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $646 0.872

2029 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $641 0.861

2030 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $637 0.851

2031 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $633 0.841

2032 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $630 0.831

2033 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $626 0.822

2034 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $622 0.812

2035 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $619 0.803

2036 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $615 0.794

2037 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $612 0.786

2038 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $609 0.778

2039 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $605 0.769

2040 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $602 0.762

2041 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $599 0.754

2042 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $596 0.746

Annual Energy Use

Installed 

Price

Water Heating Annual

Water

Annual 

Water Use

Installed 

Price

Experience 

Curve
2043 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $593 0.739

2044 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $591 0.732

2045 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $588 0.725

2046 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $585 0.718

2047 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $582 0.711




























Temp. Difference for Water Heating 70 deg F

Energy (kWh) needed to heat water 0.0024 kWh/gal/deg F

% of Units by Type of Water Heating

Electric Water Heating 37%

Gas Water Heating 59%

Oil Water Heating 4%

elec gas oil

Recovery Efficiency of Electric Water Heaters 100% 75% 75%

Yes

2

Map of CSLs by TSL Emission Savings Adjustment

2 1 Current results Pre-ajustment results NEMS results Adj Factors

PC 1 PC 2 CO2 NOx CO2 NOx CO2 NOx CO2

1 1 1.15 0.96 1.90 1.52 1.15 0.96 0.604

2 1 4.06 3.54 2.64 2.07 4.06 3.54 1.536

4 2 65.02 54.27 114.57 91.72 65.02 54.27 0.568

5 2 98.62 83.31 157.29 125.65 98.62 83.31 0.627

TSL 2 1.536

None

2010$ 2010$

$676.97 $303.00

$705.84 $303.00

$727.24 $303.00

$786.35 $303.00

$795.76 $303.00

Installation 

Cost
$808.03 $303.00

None

2010$ 2010$

$666.67 $303.00

$668.25 $303.00

$685.80 $303.00

Electricity Gas Oil Water

$/kWh $/MMBtu $/MMBtu $/1000gal

0.115 13.84 25.15 0.00

0.117 12.08 18.42 0.00

0.116 11.20 21.02 7.17

0.109 10.46 22.03 7.26

0.110 10.33 20.26 7.35

1.00 0.25% 0.111 10.28 20.64 7.43

0.78 0.18% 0.110 10.17 21.06 7.52

0.63 0.13% 0.110 10.29 21.48 7.61

0.54 0.11% 0.110 10.39 22.34 7.70

0.46 0.08% 0.109 10.50 23.07 7.79

0.44 1.00 0.07% 0.109 10.62 23.72 7.88

0.42 0.78 0.07% 0.109 10.78 24.32 7.96

0.39 0.63 0.06% 0.109 11.04 24.67 8.05

0.37 0.54 0.06% 0.108 11.26 24.96 8.14

0.35 0.46 0.05% 0.108 11.43 25.39 8.23

0.35 0.44 0.05% 0.108 11.63 25.61 8.32

0.35 0.42 0.05% 0.108 11.84 26.13 8.41

0.35 0.39 0.05% 0.108 12.03 26.34 8.49

0.34 0.37 0.05% 0.108 12.19 26.59 8.58

0.34 0.35 0.05% 0.108 12.38 26.90 8.67

0.34 0.35 0.05% 0.108 12.50 27.11 8.76

0.34 0.35 0.05% 0.109 12.61 27.41 8.85

0.34 0.35 0.04% 0.108 12.72 27.38 8.94

0.34 0.34 0.04% 0.108 12.85 27.48 9.03

0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.109 13.00 27.58 9.11

0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.109 13.19 27.63 9.20

0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.109 13.38 27.84 9.29

0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.110 13.61 27.98 9.38

0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.110 13.80 28.22 9.47

0.33 0.33 0.04% 0.110 14.00 28.45 9.56

0.33 0.33 0.04% 0.110 14.20 28.69 9.64

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 14.40 28.93 9.73

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 14.60 29.18 9.82

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 14.80 29.42 9.91

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 15.01 29.67 10.00

Installed 

Price

Energy Prices RP Elast 

Drop

Market 

Impact

RP Elast 

Drop - Shift
0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 15.22 29.92 10.09

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 15.44 30.17 10.18

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.111 15.65 30.43 10.26

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.111 15.87 30.68 10.35

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.111 16.10 30.94 10.44




























NOx

0.634 0.00 0.00

1.707 0.00 0.00

0.592 0.00 0.00

0.663 0.00 0.00

1.707





























































































































Efficiency Distributions

Product Class 1 Data Output

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

AEU 355 324 307 295 234 180 0 0 0

Base 2013 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL1 2013 0.0% 36.1% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL2 2013 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL3 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.5% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL4 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 94.4% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL5 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Base 2015 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL1 2015 0.0% 30.3% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL2 2015 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL3 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 81.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL4 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.8% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL5 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Base 2018 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL1 2018 0.0% 29.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL2 2018 0.0% 0.0% 61.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL3 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.2% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL4 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

EL5 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Base Case Eff. Trend Efficiency Level Distribution

SWAEU 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2013 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2014 294.14 3.8% 29.4% 30.3% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2015 293.18 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2016 292.66 3.8% 26.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.5% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2017 292.14 3.8% 25.6% 32.7% 18.5% 10.6% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2018 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2019 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2020 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2021 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2022 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2023 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2024 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2025 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2026 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2027 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2028 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2029 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2030 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2031 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2032 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2033 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2034 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2035 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2036 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2037 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2038 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2039 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2040 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2041 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2042 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2043 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2044 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2045 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2046 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2047 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Stds Case Eff. Trend Efficiency Level Distribution

SWAEU 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2013 287.79 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2014 287.32 0.0% 0.0% 63.5% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2015 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2016 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2017 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2018 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2019 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2020 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2021 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2022 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2023 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2024 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2025 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2026 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2027 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2028 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2029 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2030 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2031 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2032 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2033 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2034 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2035 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2036 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2037 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2038 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2039 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2040 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2041 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2042 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2043 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2044 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2045 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2046 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

2047 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Product Class 1 Data Input

Total 0 1 2 3 4 5

AEU 355 324 307 295 234 180

100.0% Base 2013 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100.0% EL1 2013 0.0% 36.1% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100.0% EL2 2013 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100.0% EL3 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.5% 13.8% 5.6%

100.0% EL4 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 94.4% 5.6%

100.0% EL5 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

100.0% Base 2015 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100.0% EL1 2015 0.0% 30.3% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100.0% EL2 2015 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100.0% EL3 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 81.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100.0% EL4 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.8% 8.2%

100.0% EL5 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

100.0% Base 2018 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100.0% EL1 2018 0.0% 29.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100.0% EL2 2018 0.0% 0.0% 61.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100.0% EL3 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.2% 10.8% 9.0%

100.0% EL4 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.0% 9.0%

100.0% EL5 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

Base Case Eff. Trend Efficiency Level Distribution

Total SWAEU 0 1 2 3 4 5

100% 2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2013 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2014 294.14 3.8% 29.4% 30.3% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9%

100% 2015 293.18 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2016 292.66 3.8% 26.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.5% 8.4%

100% 2017 292.14 3.8% 25.6% 32.7% 18.5% 10.6% 8.7%

100% 2018 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2019 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2020 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2021 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2022 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2023 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2024 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2025 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2026 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2027 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2028 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2029 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%
100% 2030 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2031 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2032 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2033 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2034 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2035 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2036 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2037 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2038 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2039 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2040 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2041 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2042 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2043 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2044 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2045 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2046 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2047 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

Stds Case Eff. Trend Efficiency Level Distribution

Total SWAEU 0 1 2 3 4 5

100% 2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2013 287.79 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6%

100% 2014 287.32 0.0% 0.0% 63.5% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9%

100% 2015 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2016 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2017 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2018 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2019 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2020 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2021 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2022 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2023 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2024 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2025 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2026 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2027 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2028 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2029 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2030 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2031 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2032 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2033 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2034 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2035 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2036 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2037 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2038 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2039 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2040 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2041 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2042 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2043 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%
100% 2044 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2045 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2046 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2047 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%
Product Class 2 Data Input

Total 0 1 2

AEU 260 222 154

100.0% Base 2013 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100.0% EL1 2013 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100.0% EL2 2013 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0% Base 2015 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100.0% EL1 2015 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100.0% EL2 2015 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Base 2018 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100.0% EL1 2018 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100.0% EL2 2018 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Level Distribution Base Case Eff. Trend Efficiency Level Dist

Total SWAEU 0 1 2 3

100% 2005 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2006 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2007 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2008 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2009 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2010 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2011 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2012 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2013 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2014 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2015 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2016 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2017 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2018 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2019 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2020 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2021 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2022 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2023 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2024 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2025 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2026 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2027 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2028 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2029 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%
100% 2030 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2031 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2032 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2033 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2034 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2035 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2036 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2037 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2038 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2039 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2040 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2041 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2042 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2043 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2044 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2045 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2046 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2047 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

Level Distribution Stds Case Eff. Trend Efficiency Level Dist

Total SWAEU012

100% 2005 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2006 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2007 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2008 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2009 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2010 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2011 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2012 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

100% 2013 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2014 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2015 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2016 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2017 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2018 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2019 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2020 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2021 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2022 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2023 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2024 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2025 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2026 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2027 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2028 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2029 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2030 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2031 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2032 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2033 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2034 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2035 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2036 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2037 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2038 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2039 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2040 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2041 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2042 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2043 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%
100% 2044 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2045 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2046 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%

100% 2047 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Total

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Efficiency Level Distribution 4 5

678 Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%
100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

Efficiency Level Distribution

Total

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%
100%

100%

100%

100%
Historical Shipment

Historical Shipments Historical Saturation in New Homes

Includes Standard and Compact Dishwashers Data from RECS

millions Current PC 1 PC 2

1972 3.040 1997 78.1% 78.1% 0.0%

1973 3.518 1998 78.9% 78.9% 0.0%

1974 3.155 1999 79.8% 79.8% 0.0%

1975 2.568 2000 80.6% 80.6% 0.0%

1976 2.984 2001 81.5% 81.5% 0.0%

1977 3.189 2002 85.0% 85.0% 0.0%

1978 3.380 2003 88.8% 88.8% 0.0%

1979 3.314 2004 92.6% 92.6% 0.0%

1980 2.602 2005 96.7% 96.7% 0.0%

1981 2.360

1982 2.062

1983 2.966

1984 3.317 Market Share

1985 3.397 Current PC 1 PC 2

1986 3.723 99.8% 100% 0.2%

1987 3.831

1988 3.713

1989 3.588

1990 3.485

1991 3.375

1992 3.597

1993 3.914

1994 4.353

1995 4.346

1996 4.606

1997 4.826

1998 5.144

1999 5.712

2000 5.828

2001 5.627

2002 6.207

2003 6.428

2004 7.106

2005 7.424

2006 7.252

2007 6.977

2008 5.995

2009 5.404

2010 5.710

Source: AHAM
Experience Curves

PPI Exponential Fits: Default Low High Rescaled Default Low

2010 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 2010 1.142 1.131

2011 0.983 0.984 0.975 1.000 2011 1.122 1.112

2012 0.965 0.967 0.950 1.000 2012 1.102 1.094

2013 0.948 0.952 0.926 1.000 2013 1.083 1.076

2014 0.933 0.938 0.902 1.000 2014 1.065 1.060

2015 0.918 0.924 0.879 1.000 2015 1.048 1.044

2016 0.903 0.910 0.857 1.000 2016 1.031 1.029

2017 0.889 0.897 0.835 1.000 2017 1.015 1.014

2018 0.876 0.885 0.814 1.000 2018 1.000 1.000

2019 0.863 0.872 0.793 1.000 2019 0.985 0.986

2020 0.850 0.861 0.773 1.000 2020 0.971 0.973

2021 0.838 0.849 0.753 1.000 2021 0.957 0.960

2022 0.826 0.838 0.734 1.000 2022 0.944 0.948

2023 0.815 0.828 0.716 1.000 2023 0.931 0.936

2024 0.804 0.817 0.697 1.000 2024 0.918 0.924

2025 0.793 0.807 0.680 1.000 2025 0.906 0.913

2026 0.783 0.798 0.662 1.000 2026 0.894 0.902

2027 0.773 0.788 0.645 1.000 2027 0.883 0.891

2028 0.763 0.779 0.629 1.000 2028 0.872 0.881

2029 0.754 0.770 0.613 1.000 2029 0.861 0.871

2030 0.745 0.762 0.598 1.000 2030 0.851 0.861

2031 0.736 0.754 0.582 1.000 2031 0.841 0.852

2032 0.728 0.745 0.568 1.000 2032 0.831 0.843

2033 0.719 0.738 0.553 1.000 2033 0.822 0.834

2034 0.711 0.730 0.539 1.000 2034 0.812 0.825

2035 0.703 0.722 0.525 1.000 2035 0.803 0.817

2036 0.696 0.715 0.512 1.000 2036 0.794 0.809

2037 0.688 0.708 0.499 1.000 2037 0.786 0.800

2038 0.681 0.701 0.486 1.000 2038 0.778 0.793

2039 0.674 0.694 0.474 1.000 2039 0.769 0.785

2040 0.667 0.688 0.462 1.000 2040 0.762 0.777

2041 0.660 0.681 0.450 1.000 2041 0.754 0.770

2042 0.653 0.675 0.439 1.000 2042 0.746 0.763

2043 0.647 0.669 0.428 1.000 2043 0.739 0.756

2044 0.641 0.663 0.417 1.000 2044 0.732 0.749

2045 0.634 0.657 0.406 1.000 2045 0.725 0.743

2046 0.628 0.651 0.396 1.000 2046 0.718 0.736

2047 0.623 0.645 0.386 1.000 2047 0.711 0.730

Price Scaling Factors

Low 1.010

High 0.929

Constant 

Prices



High

1.229 1.000

1.198 1.000

1.167 1.000

1.137 1.000

1.108 1.000

1.080 1.000

1.053 1.000

1.026 1.000

1.000 1.000

0.975 1.000

0.950 1.000

0.926 1.000

0.902 1.000

0.879 1.000

0.857 1.000

0.835 1.000

0.814 1.000

0.793 1.000

0.773 1.000

0.753 1.000

0.734 1.000

0.716 1.000

0.697 1.000

0.680 1.000

0.662 1.000

0.645 1.000

0.629 1.000

0.613 1.000

0.598 1.000

0.582 1.000

0.568 1.000

0.553 1.000

0.539 1.000

0.525 1.000

0.512 1.000

0.499 1.000

0.486 1.000

0.474 1.000

Constant 

Prices
Shipments Base Case

Market Segments Annual Shipments

Year New 

Shipment Total Stock Retiring Units

Saturation in 

New Houses Repl. Units New Units Total Shipment

pre-2010 million million million million million

post-2010

1972 3.034 3.034 0.000 0.000

1973 3.511 6.545 0.000 0.000

1974 3.149 9.688 0.005 0.005

1975 2.562 12.226 0.024 0.024

1976 2.978 15.141 0.063 0.063

1977 3.183 18.202 0.122 0.122

1978 3.373 21.377 0.199 0.199

1979 3.308 24.389 0.295 0.295

1980 2.597 26.574 0.411 0.411

1981 2.356 28.384 0.546 0.546

1982 2.058 29.745 0.697 0.697

1983 2.960 31.848 0.857 0.857

1984 3.311 34.136 1.022 1.022

1985 3.390 36.337 1.190 1.190

1986 3.716 38.695 1.357 1.357

1987 3.824 40.994 1.525 1.525

1988 3.705 43.010 1.690 1.690

1989 3.581 43.879 2.712 2.712

1990 3.478 44.548 2.809 2.809

1991 3.368 45.026 2.890 2.890

1992 3.590 45.658 2.958 2.958

1993 3.906 46.543 3.022 3.022

1994 4.344 47.802 3.085 3.085

1995 4.337 48.987 3.152 3.152

1996 4.597 50.368 3.216 3.216

1997 4.816 51.901 3.283 78.1% 3.283

1998 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355

1999 5.701 55.948 3.433 79.8% 3.433

2000 5.816 58.240 3.524 80.6% 3.524

2001 5.616 60.237 3.619 81.5% 3.619

2002 6.194 62.717 3.715 85.0% 3.715

2003 6.415 65.302 3.830 88.8% 3.830

2004 7.091 67.133 5.261 92.6% 5.261

2005 7.409 69.254 5.288 96.7% 5.288

2006 7.237 71.150 5.341 96.7% 5.341

2007 6.963 72.711 5.402 96.7% 5.402

2008 5.983 73.224 5.470 96.7% 5.470 0.948 6.417

2009 5.393 73.101 5.516 96.7% 5.314 0.580 5.894

2010 5.699 73.246 5.554 96.7% 5.554 0.629 6.183

2011 6.971 74.603 5.614 96.7% 6.149 0.822 6.971

2012 7.618 76.491 5.729 96.7% 5.954 1.663 7.618

2013 7.403 78.028 5.865 96.7% 5.614 1.789 7.403

2014 7.321 79.361 5.988 96.7% 5.600 1.721 7.321

2015 7.594 80.852 6.103 96.7% 5.805 1.789 7.594

2016 7.742 82.370 6.223 96.7% 5.904 1.837 7.742

2017 7.841 83.871 6.340 96.7% 5.994 1.847 7.841

2018 7.942 85.363 6.450 96.7% 6.096 1.847 7.942

2019 8.037 86.848 6.553 96.7% 6.190 1.847 8.037

2020 8.113 88.307 6.653 96.7% 6.275 1.837 8.113

2021 8.205 89.754 6.758 96.7% 6.377 1.828 8.205

2022 8.378 91.264 6.869 96.7% 6.512 1.866 8.378

2023 8.449 92.727 6.986 96.7% 6.593 1.857 8.449
2024 8.547 94.172 7.103 96.7% 6.700 1.847 8.547

2025 8.697 95.646 7.222 96.7% 6.830 1.866 8.697

2026 8.802 97.105 7.343 96.7% 6.936 1.866 8.802

2027 8.864 98.504 7.465 96.7% 7.027 1.837 8.864

2028 8.935 99.856 7.584 96.7% 7.137 1.799 8.935

2029 9.028 101.182 7.702 96.7% 7.259 1.770 9.028

2030 9.156 102.521 7.818 96.7% 7.386 1.770 9.156

2031 9.236 103.823 7.933 96.7% 7.485 1.750 9.236

2032 9.294 105.071 8.046 96.7% 7.582 1.712 9.294

2033 9.389 106.304 8.156 96.7% 7.697 1.692 9.389

2034 9.503 107.542 8.265 96.7% 7.810 1.692 9.503

2035 9.591 108.761 8.372 96.7% 7.909 1.683 9.591

2036 9.696 109.979 8.478 96.7% 8.014 1.683 9.696

2037 9.798 111.195 8.582 96.7% 8.115 1.683 9.798

2038 9.901 112.410 8.685 96.7% 8.218 1.683 9.901

2039 10.001 113.624 8.787 96.7% 8.318 1.683 10.001

2040 10.099 114.835 8.888 96.7% 8.417 1.683 10.099

2041 10.198 116.044 8.988 96.7% 8.515 1.683 10.198

2042 10.295 117.252 9.087 96.7% 8.613 1.683 10.295

2043 10.392 118.458 9.186 96.7% 8.710 1.683 10.392

2044 10.489 119.662 9.284 96.7% 8.806 1.683 10.489

2045 10.585 120.865 9.382 96.7% 8.902 1.683 10.585

2046 10.681 122.066 9.480 96.7% 8.998 1.683 10.681

2047 10.777 123.266 9.577 96.7% 9.094 1.683 10.777

20480

20490

20500

20510

20520

20530

20540

20550

20560

20570

20580

20590

20600

20610

20620

20630

20640

20650

20660

20670

20680

20690

20700

20710

20720
Dishwasher 

Saturation

8.0

10.0

12.0

Shipments - Historical and Projected

64.9%

64.4%

63.8%

64.2%

65.1%

65.7%

66.1%

66.6%

67.1%

67.6%

68.1%

68.5%

68.9%

69.3%

69.8%

70.2%

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035

Millions

Historical Shipments

Modelled Shipments
70.5%

70.9%

71.3%

71.7%

72.0%

72.3%

72.6%

72.9%

73.2%

73.5%

73.8%

74.0%

74.3%

74.6%

74.8%

75.1%

75.3%

75.6%

75.8%

76.1%

76.3%

76.5%

76.8%

77.0%
Shipments Stds Case

Annual Shipments

Year New 

Shipment Total Stock Retiring Units

Saturation in 

New Houses Market Impact Repl. Units New Units

pre-2010 million million % million million

post-2010

1972 3.034 3.034 0.000 0.000

1973 3.511 6.545 0.000 0.000

1974 3.149 9.688 0.005 0.005

1975 2.562 12.226 0.024 0.024

1976 2.978 15.141 0.063 0.063

1977 3.183 18.202 0.122 0.122

1978 3.373 21.377 0.199 0.199

1979 3.308 24.389 0.295 0.295

1980 2.597 26.574 0.411 0.411

1981 2.356 28.384 0.546 0.546

1982 2.058 29.745 0.697 0.697

1983 2.960 31.848 0.857 0.857

1984 3.311 34.136 1.022 1.022

1985 3.390 36.337 1.190 1.190

1986 3.716 38.695 1.357 1.357

1987 3.824 40.994 1.525 1.525

1988 3.705 43.010 1.690 1.690

1989 3.581 43.879 2.712 2.712

1990 3.478 44.548 2.809 2.809 0.000

1991 3.368 45.026 2.890 2.890 0.000

1992 3.590 45.658 2.958 2.958 0.000

1993 3.906 46.543 3.022 3.022 0.000

1994 4.344 47.802 3.085 3.085 0.000

1995 4.337 48.987 3.152 3.152 0.000

1996 4.597 50.368 3.216 3.216 0.000

1997 4.816 51.901 3.283 78.1% 3.283 0.000

1998 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355 0.000

Market Segments

1998 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355 0.000

1999 5.701 55.948 3.433 79.8% 3.433 0.000

2000 5.816 58.240 3.524 80.6% 3.524 0.000

2001 5.616 60.237 3.619 81.5% 3.619 0.000

2002 6.194 62.717 3.715 85.0% 3.715 0.000

2003 6.415 65.302 3.830 88.8% 3.830 0.000

2004 7.091 67.133 5.261 92.6% 5.261 0.000

2005 7.409 69.254 5.288 96.7% 5.288 0.000

2006 7.237 71.150 5.341 96.7% 5.341 0.000

2007 6.963 72.711 5.402 96.7% 5.402 0.000

2008 5.983 73.224 5.470 96.7% 5.470 0.948

2009 5.393 73.101 5.516 96.7% 5.314 0.580

2010 5.699 73.246 5.554 96.7% 5.554 0.629

2011 6.971 74.603 5.614 96.7% 6.149 0.822

2012 7.618 76.491 5.729 96.7% 5.954 1.663

2013 7.384 78.010 5.865 96.7% 0.25% 5.600 1.784

2014 7.308 79.330 5.987 96.7% 0.18% 5.590 1.718

2015 7.584 80.812 6.102 96.7% 0.13% 5.797 1.787

2016 7.733 82.324 6.222 96.7% 0.11% 5.898 1.835

2017 7.834 83.820 6.338 96.7% 0.08% 5.989 1.845

2018 7.937 85.309 6.447 96.7% 0.07% 6.091 1.846

2019 8.032 86.790 6.550 96.7% 0.07% 6.186 1.846

2020 8.107 88.247 6.650 96.7% 0.06% 6.271 1.836

2021 8.200 89.692 6.755 96.7% 0.06% 6.373 1.827

2022 8.374 91.200 6.865 96.7% 0.05% 6.508 1.865

2023 8.445 92.663 6.982 96.7% 0.05% 6.589 1.856
2024 8.543 94.107 7.099 96.7% 0.05% 6.697 1.846

2025 8.692 95.582 7.217 96.7% 0.05% 6.827 1.865

2026 8.798 97.041 7.338 96.7% 0.05% 6.932 1.865

2027 8.860 98.441 7.460 96.7% 0.05% 7.024 1.836

2028 8.931 99.793 7.579 96.7% 0.05% 7.133 1.798

2029 9.024 101.121 7.697 96.7% 0.05% 7.255 1.769

2030 9.152 102.461 7.812 96.7% 0.04% 7.383 1.769

2031 9.232 103.764 7.928 96.7% 0.04% 7.482 1.750

2032 9.290 105.013 8.041 96.7% 0.04% 7.579 1.711

2033 9.385 106.247 8.151 96.7% 0.04% 7.694 1.692

2034 9.499 107.487 8.260 96.7% 0.04% 7.807 1.692

2035 9.588 108.707 8.367 96.7% 0.04% 7.906 1.682

2036 9.693 109.926 8.473 96.7% 0.04% 8.011 1.682

2037 9.794 111.143 8.578 96.7% 0.04% 8.112 1.682

2038 9.897 112.359 8.681 96.7% 0.04% 8.215 1.682

2039 9.998 113.574 8.783 96.7% 0.03% 8.316 1.682

2040 10.096 114.786 8.884 96.7% 0.03% 8.414 1.682

2041 10.194 115.996 8.984 96.7% 0.03% 8.512 1.682

2042 10.292 117.205 9.083 96.7% 0.03% 8.610 1.682

2043 10.389 118.412 9.182 96.7% 0.03% 8.707 1.682

2044 10.486 119.617 9.280 96.7% 0.03% 8.803 1.682

2045 10.582 120.821 9.378 96.7% 0.03% 8.900 1.682

2046 10.678 122.023 9.476 96.7% 0.03% 8.996 1.682

2047 10.774 123.223 9.574 96.7% 0.03% 9.092 1.682

20480

20490

20500

20510

20520

20530

20540

20550

20560

20570

20580

20590

20600

20610

20620

20630

20640

20650

20660

20670

20680

20690

20700

20710

20720
Annual Shipments

Total 

Shipment

Clotheswasher 

Saturation

million

2.809

2.890

2.958

3.022

3.085

3.152

3.216

3.283

3.355

12.0

Shipments - Base and Standards Case

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045

RCW Saturation in New Houses (%)

Year

3.355

3.433

3.524

3.619

3.715

3.830

5.261

5.288

5.341

5.402

6.417 64.9%

5.894 64.4%

6.183 63.8%

6.971 64.2%

7.618 65.1%

7.384 65.7%

7.308 66.1%

7.584 66.6%

7.733 67.1%

7.834 67.6%

7.937 68.0%

8.032 68.5%

8.107 68.9%

8.200 69.3%

8.374 69.7%

8.445 70.1%

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035

Millions

Base Case Shipments

Standards Case Shipments
8.543 70.5%

8.692 70.9%

8.798 71.3%

8.860 71.6%

8.931 71.9%

9.024 72.3%

9.152 72.6%

9.232 72.9%

9.290 73.2%

9.385 73.4%

9.499 73.7%

9.588 74.0%

9.693 74.3%

9.794 74.5%

9.897 74.8%

9.998 75.1%

10.096 75.3%

10.194 75.6%

10.292 75.8%

10.389 76.0%

10.486 76.3%

10.582 76.5%

10.678 76.7%

10.774 77.0%

Base Calc

Historical and Forecasted Shipments of Dishwashers

Base Case - Product Class 1

Market Segments Annual Shipments Unit Energy & Water Consumpt

Year New 

Shipment Total Stock Retiring Units

Saturation in 

New Houses Repl. Units New Units Total Shipment Elec

million million million million million kWh/yr

185.5

1972 3.034 3.034 0.000 0.000 185.5

1973 3.511 6.545 0.000 0.000 185.5

1974 3.149 9.688 0.005 0.005 185.5

1975 2.562 12.226 0.024 0.024 185.5

1976 2.978 15.141 0.063 0.063 185.5

1977 3.183 18.202 0.122 0.122 185.5

1978 3.373 21.377 0.199 0.199 185.5

1979 3.308 24.389 0.295 0.295 185.5

1980 2.597 26.574 0.411 0.411 185.5

1981 2.356 28.384 0.546 0.546 185.5

1982 2.058 29.745 0.697 0.697 185.5

1983 2.960 31.848 0.857 0.857 185.5

1984 3.311 34.136 1.022 1.022 185.5

1985 3.390 36.337 1.190 1.190 185.5

1986 3.716 38.695 1.357 1.357 185.5

1987 3.824 40.994 1.525 1.525 185.5

1988 3.705 43.010 1.690 1.690 185.5

1989 3.581 43.879 2.712 2.712 185.5

1990 3.478 44.548 2.809 2.809 2.809 185.5

1991 3.368 45.026 2.890 2.890 2.890 185.5

1992 3.590 45.658 2.958 2.958 2.958 185.5

1993 3.906 46.543 3.022 3.022 3.022 185.5

1994 4.344 47.802 3.085 3.085 3.085 185.5

1995 4.337 48.987 3.152 3.152 3.152 185.5

1996 4.597 50.368 3.216 3.216 3.216 185.5

1997 4.816 51.901 3.283 78.1% 3.283 3.283 185.5

1998 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355 3.355 185.5

1999 5.701 55.948 3.433 79.8% 3.433 3.433 185.5

2000 5.816 58.240 3.524 80.6% 3.524 3.524 185.5

2001 5.616 60.237 3.619 81.5% 3.619 3.619 185.5

2002 6.194 62.717 3.715 85.0% 3.715 3.715 185.5

2003 6.415 65.302 3.830 88.8% 3.830 3.830 185.5

2004 7.091 67.133 5.261 92.6% 5.261 5.261 185.5

2005 7.409 69.254 5.288 96.7% 5.288 5.288 185.5

2006 7.237 71.150 5.341 96.7% 5.341 5.341 185.5

2007 6.963 72.711 5.402 96.7% 5.402 5.402 185.5

2008 5.983 73.224 5.470 96.7% 5.470 0.948 6.417 185.5

2009 5.393 73.101 5.516 96.7% 5.314 0.580 5.894 185.5

2010 5.699 73.246 5.554 96.7% 5.554 0.629 6.183 185.5

2011 6.971 74.603 5.614 96.7% 6.149 0.822 6.971 185.5

2012 7.618 76.491 5.729 96.7% 5.954 1.663 7.618 185.5

2013 7.403 78.028 5.865 96.7% 5.614 1.789 7.403 185.5

2014 7.321 79.361 5.988 96.7% 5.600 1.721 7.321 185.7

2015 7.594 80.852 6.103 96.7% 5.805 1.789 7.594 186.0

2016 7.742 82.370 6.223 96.7% 5.904 1.837 7.742 185.8

2017 7.841 83.871 6.340 96.7% 5.994 1.847 7.841 185.6

2018 7.942 85.363 6.450 96.7% 6.096 1.847 7.942 185.4

2019 8.037 86.848 6.553 96.7% 6.190 1.847 8.037 185.4

2020 8.113 88.307 6.653 96.7% 6.275 1.837 8.113 185.4

2021 8.205 89.754 6.758 96.7% 6.377 1.828 8.205 185.4

2022 8.378 91.264 6.869 96.7% 6.512 1.866 8.378 185.4

2023 8.449 92.727 6.986 96.7% 6.593 1.857 8.449 185.4
2024 8.547 94.172 7.103 96.7% 6.700 1.847 8.547 185.4

2025 8.697 95.646 7.222 96.7% 6.830 1.866 8.697 185.4

2026 8.802 97.105 7.343 96.7% 6.936 1.866 8.802 185.4

2027 8.864 98.504 7.465 96.7% 7.027 1.837 8.864 185.4

2028 8.935 99.856 7.584 96.7% 7.137 1.799 8.935 185.4

2029 9.028 101.182 7.702 96.7% 7.259 1.770 9.028 185.4

2030 9.156 102.521 7.818 96.7% 7.386 1.770 9.156 185.4

2031 9.236 103.823 7.933 96.7% 7.485 1.750 9.236 185.4

2032 9.294 105.071 8.046 96.7% 7.582 1.712 9.294 185.4

2033 9.389 106.304 8.156 96.7% 7.697 1.692 9.389 185.4

2034 9.503 107.542 8.265 96.7% 7.810 1.692 9.503 185.4

2035 9.591 108.761 8.372 96.7% 7.909 1.683 9.591 185.4

2036 9.696 109.979 8.478 96.7% 8.014 1.683 9.696 185.4

2037 9.798 111.195 8.582 96.7% 8.115 1.683 9.798 185.4

2038 9.901 112.410 8.685 96.7% 8.218 1.683 9.901 185.4

2039 10.001 113.624 8.787 96.7% 8.318 1.683 10.001 185.4

2040 10.099 114.835 8.888 96.7% 8.417 1.683 10.099 185.4

2041 10.198 116.044 8.988 96.7% 8.515 1.683 10.198 185.4

2042 10.295 117.252 9.087 96.7% 8.613 1.683 10.295 185.4

2043 10.392 118.458 9.186 96.7% 8.710 1.683 10.392 185.4

2044 10.489 119.662 9.284 96.7% 8.806 1.683 10.489 185.4

2045 10.585 120.865 9.382 96.7% 8.902 1.683 10.585 185.4

2046 10.681 122.066 9.480 96.7% 8.998 1.683 10.681 185.4

2047 10.777 123.266 9.577 96.7% 9.094 1.683 10.777 185.4

20480 113.591 0.0

20490 104.253 0.0

20500 95.218 0.0

20510 86.485 0.0

20520 78.073 0.0

20530 70.005 0.0

20540 62.312 0.0

20550 55.026 0.0

20560 48.179 0.0

20570 41.798 0.0

20580 35.920 0.0

20590 30.570 0.0

20600 25.758 0.0

20610 21.481 0.0

20620 17.727 0.0

20630 14.473 0.0

20640 11.686 0.0

20650 9.331 0.0

20660 7.365 0.0

20670 5.746 0.0

20680 4.430 0.0

20690 3.374 0.0

20700 2.539 0.0

20710 1.886 0.0

20720 1.384 0.0

20730 1.002 0.0

20740 0.716 0.0

20750 0.505 0.0

20760 0.351 0.0

20770 0.241 0.0

20780 0.163 0.0

20790 0.109 0.0

20800 0.072 0.0
Unit Energy & Water Consumption Total Energy (site) & Water Consumption Equipment Cost Operating Cost

Gas Oil Water Elec Gas Oil Water per Unit Total Fuel

MMBtu/yr MMBtu/yr 1000gal/yr quad quad quad billion gal $ billion $ billion $

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04

0.47 0.03 1.04 0.0494 0.0365 0.0024 81.1 $719 5.326 2.026

0.46 0.03 1.03 0.0502 0.0371 0.0025 82.4 $714 5.225 2.053

0.46 0.03 1.02 0.0512 0.0377 0.0025 83.8 $708 5.376 2.096

0.46 0.03 1.01 0.0521 0.0383 0.0025 85.2 $702 5.434 2.129

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0531 0.0389 0.0026 86.5 $696 5.458 2.171

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0540 0.0395 0.0026 87.8 $690 5.484 2.210

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0550 0.0401 0.0027 89.1 $685 5.503 2.249

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0559 0.0407 0.0027 90.4 $679 5.510 2.297

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0568 0.0412 0.0027 91.6 $674 5.529 2.339

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0578 0.0418 0.0028 92.9 $669 5.602 2.382

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0587 0.0424 0.0028 94.2 $664 5.607 2.425
0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0596 0.0430 0.0028 95.5 $659 5.631 2.470

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0605 0.0436 0.0029 96.9 $654 5.688 2.520

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0614 0.0442 0.0029 98.2 $650 5.717 2.568

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0623 0.0448 0.0030 99.5 $645 5.718 2.614

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0632 0.0454 0.0030 100.8 $641 5.726 2.656

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0640 0.0460 0.0030 102.1 $637 5.748 2.699

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0649 0.0465 0.0031 103.4 $633 5.793 2.733

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0657 0.0471 0.0031 104.7 $629 5.807 2.777

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0665 0.0477 0.0032 105.9 $625 5.809 2.822

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0672 0.0482 0.0032 107.1 $621 5.834 2.870

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0680 0.0488 0.0032 108.4 $618 5.870 2.920

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0688 0.0493 0.0033 109.6 $614 5.892 2.977

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0696 0.0499 0.0033 110.8 $611 5.923 3.022

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0703 0.0504 0.0033 112.0 $608 5.953 3.068

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0711 0.0510 0.0034 113.2 $604 5.983 3.114

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0719 0.0515 0.0034 114.5 $601 6.012 3.160

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0726 0.0521 0.0034 115.7 $598 6.040 3.206

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0734 0.0526 0.0035 116.9 $595 6.069 3.253

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0742 0.0532 0.0035 118.1 $592 6.096 3.301

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0749 0.0537 0.0036 119.3 $589 6.124 3.348

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0757 0.0542 0.0036 120.5 $587 6.152 3.396

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0764 0.0548 0.0036 121.8 $584 6.179 3.445

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0772 0.0553 0.0037 123.0 $581 6.207 3.494

0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0780 0.0559 0.0037 124.2 $578 6.234 3.543

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0718 0.0515 0.0034 114.4 3.279

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0659 0.0473 0.0031 105.0 3.023

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0602 0.0432 0.0029 95.9 2.773

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0547 0.0392 0.0026 87.1 2.530

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0494 0.0354 0.0023 78.6 2.294

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0443 0.0317 0.0021 70.5 2.066

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0394 0.0282 0.0019 62.8 1.847

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0348 0.0249 0.0017 55.4 1.639

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0305 0.0218 0.0014 48.5 1.441

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0264 0.0189 0.0013 42.1 1.256

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0227 0.0163 0.0011 36.2 1.085

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0193 0.0139 0.0009 30.8 0.927

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0163 0.0117 0.0008 25.9 0.785

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0136 0.0097 0.0006 21.6 0.658

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0112 0.0080 0.0005 17.9 0.546

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0092 0.0066 0.0004 14.6 0.448

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0074 0.0053 0.0004 11.8 0.363

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0059 0.0042 0.0003 9.4 0.291

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0047 0.0033 0.0002 7.4 0.231

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0036 0.0026 0.0002 5.8 0.181

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0028 0.0020 0.0001 4.5 0.140

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0021 0.0015 0.0001 3.4 0.107

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0016 0.0012 0.0001 2.6 0.081

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0012 0.0009 0.0001 1.9 0.061

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0009 0.0006 0.0000 1.4 0.045

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0006 0.0005 0.0000 1.0 0.032

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0005 0.0003 0.0000 0.7 0.023

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0003 0.0002 0.0000 0.5 0.016

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0002 0.0002 0.0000 0.4 0.011

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0002 0.0001 0.0000 0.2 0.008

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.2 0.005

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.1 0.004

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.1 0.002
Operating Cost

Water Total Elec. Oper. 

Cost

Gas Oper. 

Cost

Oil Oper. 

Cost

billion $ billion $

0.603 2.629 1.601 0.375 0.050 2.026

0.620 2.673 1.624 0.377 0.052 2.053

0.638 2.734 1.654 0.388 0.054 2.096

0.656 2.785 1.674 0.398 0.057 2.129

0.674 2.845 1.703 0.409 0.059 2.171

0.691 2.902 1.729 0.420 0.062 2.210

0.709 2.958 1.752 0.432 0.065 2.249

0.728 3.025 1.782 0.449 0.066 2.297

0.746 3.085 1.807 0.464 0.068 2.339

0.765 3.147 1.833 0.478 0.070 2.382

0.784 3.209 1.860 0.493 0.072 2.425
0.803 3.273 1.887 0.509 0.074 2.470

0.823 3.343 1.920 0.524 0.076 2.520

0.843 3.411 1.952 0.539 0.078 2.568

0.863 3.477 1.980 0.554 0.080 2.614

0.883 3.539 2.007 0.567 0.081 2.656

0.903 3.603 2.037 0.579 0.083 2.699

0.924 3.658 2.057 0.592 0.084 2.733

0.945 3.722 2.086 0.606 0.086 2.777

0.965 3.787 2.115 0.620 0.087 2.822

0.986 3.855 2.145 0.636 0.088 2.870

1.007 3.926 2.177 0.653 0.090 2.920

1.028 4.005 2.214 0.671 0.091 2.977

1.049 4.071 2.241 0.688 0.093 3.022

1.071 4.138 2.267 0.706 0.095 3.068

1.092 4.206 2.293 0.723 0.097 3.114

1.114 4.274 2.319 0.742 0.099 3.160

1.136 4.342 2.346 0.760 0.101 3.206

1.158 4.412 2.372 0.779 0.102 3.253

1.181 4.482 2.398 0.798 0.104 3.301

1.204 4.552 2.424 0.817 0.106 3.348

1.227 4.623 2.451 0.837 0.108 3.396

1.250 4.695 2.477 0.858 0.110 3.445

1.273 4.767 2.503 0.878 0.112 3.494

1.296 4.840 2.529 0.899 0.114 3.543

1.205 4.484

1.115 4.138

1.027 3.800

0.940 3.470

0.856 3.150

0.774 2.840

0.694 2.541

0.618 2.257

0.545 1.987

0.477 1.733

0.413 1.498

0.354 1.282

0.301 1.086

0.253 0.911

0.210 0.756

0.173 0.620

0.141 0.504

0.113 0.404

0.090 0.321

0.071 0.252

0.055 0.195

0.042 0.150

0.032 0.113

0.024 0.085

0.018 0.062

0.013 0.045

0.009 0.032

0.006 0.023

0.004 0.016

0.003 0.011

0.002 0.007

0.001 0.005

0.001 0.003
Stds Calc

Historical and Forecasted Shipments of Dishwashers

Standards Case - Product Class 1

Annual Shipments

Year New 

Shipment Total Stock MS Impact Repl. Units New Units Total Shipment

Clotheswash

er Saturation Elec Gas

million % million million million kWh/yr MMBtu/yr

1972 3.034 3.034 0.000 185.5 0.47

1973 3.511 6.545 0.000 185.5 0.47

1974 3.149 9.688 0.005 185.5 0.47

1975 2.562 12.226 0.024 185.5 0.47

1976 2.978 15.141 0.063 185.5 0.47

1977 3.183 18.202 0.122 185.5 0.47

1978 3.373 21.377 0.199 185.5 0.47

1979 3.308 24.389 0.295 185.5 0.47

1980 2.597 26.574 0.411 185.5 0.47

1981 2.356 28.384 0.546 185.5 0.47

1982 2.058 29.745 0.697 185.5 0.47

1983 2.960 31.848 0.857 185.5 0.47

1984 3.311 34.136 1.022 185.5 0.47

1985 3.390 36.337 1.190 185.5 0.47

1986 3.716 38.695 1.357 185.5 0.47

1987 3.824 40.994 1.525 185.5 0.47

1988 3.705 43.010 1.690 185.5 0.47

1989 3.581 43.879 2.712 185.5 0.47

1990 3.478 44.548 2.809 0.000 2.809 185.5 0.47

1991 3.368 45.026 2.890 0.000 2.890 185.5 0.47

1992 3.590 45.658 2.958 0.000 2.958 185.5 0.47

1993 3.906 46.543 3.022 0.000 3.022 185.5 0.47

1994 4.344 47.802 3.085 0.000 3.085 185.5 0.47

1995 4.337 48.987 3.152 0.000 3.152 185.5 0.47

1996 4.597 50.368 3.216 0.000 3.216 185.5 0.47

1997 4.816 51.901 3.283 0.000 3.283 185.5 0.47

1998 5.134 53.680 3.355 0.000 3.355 185.5 0.47

1999 5.701 55.948 3.433 0.000 3.433 185.5 0.47

2000 5.816 58.240 3.524 0.000 3.524 185.5 0.47

2001 5.616 60.237 3.619 0.000 3.619 185.5 0.47

2002 6.194 62.717 3.715 0.000 3.715 185.5 0.47

2003 6.415 65.302 3.830 0.000 3.830 185.5 0.47

2004 7.091 67.133 5.261 0.000 5.261 185.5 0.47

2005 7.409 69.254 5.288 0.000 5.288 185.5 0.47

2006 7.237 71.150 5.341 0.000 5.341 185.5 0.47

2007 6.963 72.711 5.402 0.000 5.402 185.5 0.47

2008 5.983 73.224 5.470 0.948 6.417 64.9% 185.5 0.47

2009 5.393 73.101 5.314 0.580 5.894 64.4% 185.5 0.47

2010 5.699 73.246 5.554 0.629 6.183 63.8% 185.5 0.47

2011 6.971 74.603 6.149 0.822 6.971 64.2% 185.5 0.47

2012 7.618 76.491 5.954 1.663 7.618 65.1% 185.5 0.47

2013 7.403 78.028 0.25% 5.600 1.784 7.384 65.7% 185.3 0.44

2014 7.308 79.348 0.18% 5.590 1.718 7.308 66.1% 185.5 0.43

2015 7.584 80.829 0.13% 5.797 1.787 7.584 66.6% 185.7 0.43

2016 7.733 82.340 0.11% 5.898 1.835 7.733 67.1% 185.7 0.43

2017 7.834 83.835 0.08% 5.989 1.845 7.834 67.6% 185.7 0.43

2018 7.937 85.324 0.07% 6.091 1.846 7.937 68.0% 185.7 0.43

2019 8.032 86.804 0.07% 6.186 1.846 8.032 68.5% 185.7 0.43

2020 8.107 88.261 0.06% 6.271 1.836 8.107 68.9% 185.7 0.43

2021 8.200 89.705 0.06% 6.373 1.827 8.200 69.3% 185.7 0.43

Unit Energy & Water Consumption
2022 8.374 91.212 0.05% 6.508 1.865 8.374 69.7% 185.7 0.43

2023 8.445 92.674 0.05% 6.589 1.856 8.445 70.1% 185.7 0.43

2024 8.543 94.117 0.05% 6.697 1.846 8.543 70.5% 185.7 0.43

2025 8.692 95.591 0.05% 6.827 1.865 8.692 70.9% 185.7 0.43

2026 8.798 97.049 0.05% 6.932 1.865 8.798 71.3% 185.7 0.43

2027 8.860 98.448 0.05% 7.024 1.836 8.860 71.6% 185.7 0.43

2028 8.931 99.799 0.05% 7.133 1.798 8.931 71.9% 185.7 0.43

2029 9.024 101.126 0.05% 7.255 1.769 9.024 72.3% 185.7 0.43

2030 9.152 102.465 0.04% 7.383 1.769 9.152 72.6% 185.7 0.43

2031 9.232 103.768 0.04% 7.482 1.750 9.232 72.9% 185.7 0.43

2032 9.290 105.016 0.04% 7.579 1.711 9.290 73.2% 185.7 0.43

2033 9.385 106.250 0.04% 7.694 1.692 9.385 73.4% 185.7 0.43

2034 9.499 107.488 0.04% 7.807 1.692 9.499 73.7% 185.7 0.43

2035 9.588 108.708 0.04% 7.906 1.682 9.588 74.0% 185.7 0.43

2036 9.693 109.928 0.04% 8.011 1.682 9.693 74.3% 185.7 0.43

2037 9.794 111.144 0.04% 8.112 1.682 9.794 74.5% 185.7 0.43

2038 9.897 112.360 0.04% 8.215 1.682 9.897 74.8% 185.7 0.43

2039 9.998 113.575 0.03% 8.316 1.682 9.998 75.1% 185.7 0.43

2040 10.096 114.786 0.03% 8.414 1.682 10.096 75.3% 185.7 0.43

2041 10.194 115.997 0.03% 8.512 1.682 10.194 75.6% 185.7 0.43

2042 10.292 117.205 0.03% 8.610 1.682 10.292 75.8% 185.7 0.43

2043 10.389 118.412 0.03% 8.707 1.682 10.389 76.0% 185.7 0.43

2044 10.486 119.617 0.03% 8.803 1.682 10.486 76.3% 185.7 0.43

2045 10.582 120.821 0.03% 8.900 1.682 10.582 76.5% 185.7 0.43

2046 10.678 122.023 0.03% 8.996 1.682 10.678 76.7% 185.7 0.43

2047 10.774 123.223 0.03% 9.092 1.682 10.774 77.0% 185.7 0.43

20480 113.552 0.0 0.00

20490 104.218 0.0 0.00

20500 95.186 0.0 0.00

20510 86.457 0.0 0.00

20520 78.047 0.0 0.00

20530 69.982 0.0 0.00

20540 62.292 0.0 0.00

20550 55.009 0.0 0.00

20560 48.163 0.0 0.00

20570 41.785 0.0 0.00

20580 35.909 0.0 0.00

20590 30.561 0.0 0.00

20600 25.750 0.0 0.00

20610 21.475 0.0 0.00

20620 17.722 0.0 0.00

20630 14.468 0.0 0.00

20640 11.683 0.0 0.00

20650 9.328 0.0 0.00

20660 7.363 0.0 0.00

20670 5.745 0.0 0.00

20680 4.429 0.0 0.00

20690 3.373 0.0 0.00

20700 2.538 0.0 0.00

20710 1.886 0.0 0.00

20720 1.383 0.0 0.00

20730 1.002 0.0 0.00

20740 0.716 0.0 0.00

20750 0.505 0.0 0.00

20760 0.351 0.0 0.00

20770 0.241 0.0 0.00

20780 0.163 0.0 0.00

20790 0.109 0.0 0.00

20800 0.072 0.0 0.00

Total Energy (site) & Water Consumption

Oil Water Elec Gas Oil

MMBtu/yr 1000gal/yr quad quad quad

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 1.04 0.00

0.03 0.97 0.02 0.02 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.07 0.0494 0.0363 0.0024

0.03 0.97 0.01 0.03 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.11 0.0502 0.0367 0.0024

0.03 0.96 0.01 0.04 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.15 0.0512 0.0371 0.0025

0.03 0.96 0.01 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.18 0.0522 0.0375 0.0025

0.03 0.96 0.01 0.06 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.20 0.0531 0.0380 0.0025

0.03 0.96 0.01 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.22 0.0541 0.0384 0.0025

0.03 0.96 0.01 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.24 0.0550 0.0388 0.0026

0.03 0.96 0.01 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.26 0.0560 0.0392 0.0026

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.27 0.0569 0.0396 0.0026

it Energy & Water Consumption Market Impact Hand Washing Energy and Water Use
0.03 0.96 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.29 0.0578 0.0401 0.0027

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.30 0.0588 0.0406 0.0027

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.31 0.0597 0.0411 0.0027

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.33 0.0606 0.0416 0.0028

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.34 0.0616 0.0422 0.0028

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.35 0.0625 0.0427 0.0028

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.36 0.0633 0.0433 0.0029

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.38 0.0642 0.0438 0.0029

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.39 0.0650 0.0444 0.0029

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.40 0.0659 0.0449 0.0030

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.41 0.0667 0.0454 0.0030

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.42 0.0674 0.0459 0.0030

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.43 0.0682 0.0465 0.0031

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0690 0.0470 0.0031

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0698 0.0475 0.0031

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.45 0.0705 0.0480 0.0032

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.46 0.0713 0.0486 0.0032

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.47 0.0721 0.0491 0.0033

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0729 0.0496 0.0033

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0736 0.0501 0.0033

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.49 0.0744 0.0507 0.0034

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.50 0.0752 0.0512 0.0034

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.50 0.0759 0.0517 0.0034

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0767 0.0522 0.0035

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0775 0.0527 0.0035

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.15 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.52 0.0782 0.0533 0.0035

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0721 0.0491 0.0032

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0662 0.0451 0.0030

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.50 0.0604 0.0412 0.0027

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.49 0.0549 0.0374 0.0025

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.49 0.0496 0.0338 0.0022

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0445 0.0303 0.0020

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0396 0.0270 0.0018

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.47 0.0350 0.0238 0.0016

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.46 0.0306 0.0209 0.0014

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.46 0.0266 0.0181 0.0012

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.45 0.0229 0.0156 0.0010

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0195 0.0133 0.0009

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0164 0.0112 0.0007

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.43 0.0137 0.0093 0.0006

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.43 0.0113 0.0077 0.0005

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.42 0.0093 0.0063 0.0004

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.38 0.0075 0.0051 0.0003

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.35 0.0060 0.0041 0.0003

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.32 0.0047 0.0032 0.0002

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.30 0.0037 0.0025 0.0002

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.29 0.0029 0.0020 0.0001

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.27 0.0022 0.0015 0.0001

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.26 0.0017 0.0011 0.0001

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.24 0.0013 0.0009 0.0001

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.23 0.0009 0.0006 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.22 0.0007 0.0005 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.21 0.0005 0.0003 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.19 0.0004 0.0003 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.18 0.0003 0.0002 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.17 0.0002 0.0001 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.16 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.15 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000

& Water Consumption Equipment Cost Operating Cost Energy & Water Saving

Water per Unit Total Fuel Water Total Elec 

Saving

Gas 

Saving

Oil 

Saving Total Energy Water

billion gal $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ quad quad quad quad billion gal

80.7 $728 5.388 2.024 0.600 2.623 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.43

81.6 $721 5.271 2.048 0.613 2.662 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.86

82.5 $715 5.422 2.089 0.628 2.717 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.27

83.5 $708 5.478 2.120 0.643 2.762 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.67

84.4 $702 5.501 2.160 0.658 2.818 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.05

85.4 $696 5.524 2.197 0.673 2.870 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.40

86.3 $690 5.543 2.234 0.688 2.921 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.75

87.3 $685 5.550 2.281 0.703 2.983 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.08

88.2 $679 5.569 2.320 0.718 3.038 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.41
89.3 $674 5.643 2.362 0.735 3.096 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.67

90.3 $669 5.648 2.404 0.751 3.155 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.88

91.5 $664 5.672 2.448 0.769 3.217 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.05

92.7 $659 5.729 2.497 0.787 3.284 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.19

93.9 $654 5.758 2.544 0.806 3.351 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.30

95.1 $650 5.759 2.590 0.825 3.415 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.40

96.3 $646 5.767 2.631 0.844 3.475 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.48

97.5 $641 5.789 2.674 0.863 3.537 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.56

98.8 $637 5.834 2.707 0.883 3.590 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.63

100.0 $633 5.848 2.751 0.902 3.653 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.69

101.2 $630 5.849 2.794 0.922 3.717 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.75

102.3 $626 5.874 2.842 0.942 3.783 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.80

103.5 $622 5.911 2.891 0.962 3.853 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.85

104.7 $619 5.932 2.948 0.982 3.930 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.90

105.9 $615 5.964 2.992 1.002 3.995 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 4.95

107.0 $612 5.993 3.037 1.023 4.060 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.00

108.2 $609 6.024 3.082 1.043 4.126 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.06

109.4 $605 6.053 3.128 1.064 4.192 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.11

110.5 $602 6.081 3.173 1.086 4.259 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.16

111.7 $599 6.109 3.219 1.107 4.326 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.21

112.9 $596 6.137 3.266 1.128 4.394 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.26

114.0 $593 6.165 3.313 1.150 4.463 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.31

115.2 $591 6.192 3.360 1.172 4.532 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.36

116.3 $588 6.220 3.408 1.194 4.602 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.41

117.5 $585 6.248 3.456 1.216 4.672 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.47

118.7 $582 6.275 3.504 1.239 4.743 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.52

109.4 3.243 1.152 4.395 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.05

100.4 2.989 1.066 4.056 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.60

91.8 2.742 0.982 3.725 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.16

83.4 2.502 0.900 3.402 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.74

75.3 2.269 0.820 3.088 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.001 3.33

67.6 2.044 0.741 2.785 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.001 2.95

60.2 1.828 0.666 2.493 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.58

53.2 1.622 0.593 2.215 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.22

46.6 1.427 0.524 1.951 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.90

40.5 1.244 0.459 1.703 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.59

34.9 1.075 0.398 1.473 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.31

29.7 0.919 0.342 1.262 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 1.05

25.1 0.779 0.291 1.070 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.82

21.0 0.654 0.245 0.899 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.62

17.4 0.543 0.205 0.748 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.44

14.3 0.446 0.169 0.615 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.29

11.6 0.362 0.138 0.501 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.19

9.3 0.291 0.112 0.403 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.11

7.4 0.232 0.089 0.321 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.04

5.8 0.182 0.071 0.253 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.02

4.5 0.142 0.056 0.198 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.07

3.5 0.109 0.043 0.153 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.11

2.7 0.083 0.034 0.117 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.13

2.1 0.063 0.026 0.089 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.15

1.6 0.047 0.020 0.067 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.16

1.2 0.035 0.015 0.050 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17

0.9 0.025 0.011 0.037 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17

0.7 0.019 0.009 0.027 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17

0.5 0.014 0.007 0.020 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17

0.4 0.010 0.005 0.015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.16

0.3 0.007 0.004 0.011 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.15

0.3 0.005 0.003 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.14

0.2 0.004 0.003 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.14

Discount 

Factor (nonmonetized)

Discounted 

Energy

Savings

Discounted 

Water 

Savings

Discount 

Factor 

(monetary)

Incr. Equip. 

Cost

Oper. Cost 

Saving

Elec. Oper. 

Cost

Gas Oper. 

Cost

Oil Oper. 

Cost

quad billion gal billion $ billion $

0.94 0.000 0.41 0.943 0.058 0.005 1.601 0.373 0.050

0.92 0.000 0.79 0.915 0.043 0.010 1.624 0.373 0.051

0.89 0.001 1.13 0.888 0.041 0.015 1.655 0.382 0.053

0.86 0.001 1.44 0.863 0.038 0.019 1.674 0.390 0.056

0.84 0.001 1.72 0.837 0.036 0.023 1.704 0.398 0.058

0.81 0.001 1.95 0.813 0.033 0.026 1.729 0.408 0.060

0.79 0.001 2.17 0.789 0.032 0.029 1.753 0.418 0.062

0.77 0.001 2.36 0.766 0.031 0.032 1.784 0.433 0.064

0.74 0.001 2.54 0.744 0.030 0.035 1.809 0.446 0.065

Discounted Values
0.72 0.001 2.65 0.722 0.029 0.036 1.836 0.458 0.067

0.70 0.001 2.72 0.701 0.029 0.038 1.863 0.472 0.069

0.68 0.001 2.76 0.681 0.028 0.038 1.890 0.486 0.071

0.66 0.001 2.77 0.661 0.027 0.039 1.923 0.501 0.073

0.64 0.001 2.76 0.642 0.026 0.039 1.956 0.514 0.074

0.62 0.001 2.74 0.623 0.025 0.039 1.985 0.529 0.076

0.61 0.001 2.71 0.605 0.025 0.039 2.012 0.541 0.078

0.59 0.001 2.68 0.587 0.024 0.039 2.042 0.552 0.079

0.57 0.001 2.64 0.570 0.023 0.039 2.063 0.564 0.080

0.55 0.001 2.60 0.554 0.022 0.038 2.092 0.577 0.082

0.54 0.001 2.55 0.538 0.022 0.038 2.121 0.591 0.083

0.52 0.001 2.51 0.522 0.021 0.038 2.152 0.606 0.084

0.51 0.001 2.46 0.507 0.021 0.037 2.184 0.622 0.086

0.49 0.001 2.41 0.492 0.020 0.037 2.221 0.640 0.087

0.48 0.001 2.37 0.478 0.019 0.037 2.248 0.656 0.089

0.46 0.001 2.32 0.464 0.019 0.036 2.274 0.673 0.091

0.45 0.001 2.28 0.450 0.018 0.036 2.300 0.689 0.092

0.44 0.001 2.23 0.437 0.018 0.036 2.327 0.707 0.094

0.42 0.001 2.19 0.424 0.017 0.035 2.353 0.724 0.096

0.41 0.001 2.15 0.412 0.017 0.035 2.380 0.742 0.098

0.40 0.001 2.10 0.400 0.016 0.035 2.406 0.760 0.100

0.39 0.001 2.06 0.388 0.016 0.035 2.432 0.779 0.101

0.38 0.001 2.02 0.377 0.015 0.034 2.459 0.798 0.103

0.37 0.001 1.98 0.366 0.015 0.034 2.485 0.817 0.105

0.36 0.001 1.94 0.355 0.015 0.034 2.511 0.837 0.107

0.35 0.001 1.90 0.345 0.014 0.033 2.538 0.857 0.109

0.335 0.000 0.030

0.325 0.000 0.027

0.316 0.000 0.024

0.307 0.000 0.021

0.298 0.000 0.018

0.289 0.000 0.016

0.281 0.000 0.014

0.272 0.000 0.011

0.264 0.000 0.009

0.257 0.000 0.008

0.249 0.000 0.006

0.242 0.000 0.005

0.235 0.000 0.004

0.228 0.000 0.003

0.221 0.000 0.002

0.215 0.000 0.001

0.209 0.000 0.001

0.203 0.000 0.000

0.197 0.000 0.000

0.191 0.000 0.000

0.185 0.000 0.000

0.180 0.000 -0.001

0.175 0.000 -0.001

0.170 0.000 -0.001

0.165 0.000 -0.001

0.160 0.000 -0.001

0.155 0.000 -0.001

0.151 0.000 -0.001

0.146 0.000 -0.001

0.142 0.000 -0.001

0.138 0.000 -0.001

0.134 0.000 0.000

0.130 0.000 0.000

Power Generation 5.0% 3.0% 2.5% 3.0% 5.0% 3.0%

Year

CO2 

Marg. 

Emiss. 

rate

NOx 

Marg. 

Emiss. 

rate

CO2 

Price 

$/ton (1)

CO2 

Price 

$/ton (2)

CO2 

Price 

$/ton (3)

CO2 

Price 

$/ton (4)

CO2 

reduction

CO2 

Value (1)

CO2 

Value (2)

Mt/quad sitekt/quad site 2007 $ 2007 $ 2007 $ 2007 $ Mt million 2010$

1972

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010 155.20 124.50 $4.7 $21.4 $35.1 $64.9 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2011 155.20 124.50 $4.9 $21.9 $35.7 $66.5 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2012 155.20 124.50 $5.1 $22.4 $36.4 $68.1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2.024 2013 155.20 124.50 $5.3 $22.8 $37.0 $69.6 0.0146 0.0732 0.3273

2.048 2014 155.20 124.50 $5.5 $23.3 $37.7 $71.2 0.0348 0.1722 0.7728

2.089 2015 155.20 124.50 $5.7 $23.8 $38.4 $72.8 0.0548 0.2674 1.2059

2.120 2016 155.20 124.50 $5.9 $24.3 $39.0 $74.4 0.0718 0.3454 1.5660

2.160 2017 155.20 124.50 $6.1 $24.8 $39.7 $76.0 0.0855 0.4050 1.8479

2.197 2018 155.20 124.50 $6.3 $25.3 $40.4 $77.5 0.0955 0.4453 2.0462

2.234 2019 155.20 124.50 $6.5 $25.8 $41.0 $79.1 0.1052 0.4820 2.2314

2.281 2020 155.20 124.50 $6.8 $26.3 $41.7 $80.7 0.1144 0.5219 2.3999

2.320 2021 155.20 124.50 $7.1 $27.0 $42.5 $82.6 0.1228 0.5572 2.5682
2.362 2022 155.20 124.50 $7.4 $27.6 $43.4 $84.6 0.1282 0.5773 2.6605

2.404 2023 155.20 124.50 $7.7 $28.3 $44.2 $86.5 0.1309 0.5844 2.7054

2.448 2024 155.20 124.50 $7.9 $28.9 $45.0 $88.4 0.1316 0.5741 2.6966

2.497 2025 155.20 124.50 $8.2 $29.6 $45.9 $90.4 0.1314 0.5663 2.6760

2.544 2026 155.20 124.50 $8.5 $30.2 $46.7 $92.3 0.1305 0.5554 2.6334

2.590 2027 155.20 124.50 $8.8 $30.9 $47.5 $94.2 0.1294 0.5432 2.5947

2.631 2028 155.20 124.50 $9.1 $31.5 $48.4 $96.2 0.1285 0.5310 2.5491

2.674 2029 155.20 124.50 $9.4 $32.1 $49.2 $98.1 0.1277 0.5192 2.5062

2.707 2030 155.20 124.50 $9.7 $32.8 $50.0 $100.0 0.1270 0.5076 2.4737

2.751 2031 155.20 124.50 $10.0 $33.4 $50.9 $102.0 0.1264 0.4960 2.4336

2.794 2032 155.20 124.50 $10.3 $34.1 $51.7 $103.9 0.1259 0.4847 2.4032

2.842 2033 155.20 124.50 $10.6 $34.7 $52.5 $105.8 0.1256 0.4739 2.3685

2.891 2034 155.20 124.50 $10.9 $35.4 $53.4 $107.8 0.1254 0.4634 2.3423

2.948 2035 155.20 124.50 $11.2 $36.0 $54.2 $109.7 0.1252 0.4527 2.3086

2.992 2036 155.20 124.50 $11.5 $36.7 $55.0 $111.6 0.1253 0.4430 2.2864

3.037 2037 155.20 124.50 $11.8 $37.3 $55.9 $113.6 0.1255 0.4336 2.2596

3.082 2038 155.20 124.50 $12.1 $37.9 $56.7 $115.5 0.1258 0.4244 2.2345

3.128 2039 155.20 124.50 $12.4 $38.6 $57.5 $117.4 0.1262 0.4156 2.2165

3.173 2040 155.20 124.50 $12.7 $39.2 $58.4 $119.3 0.1267 0.4069 2.1938

3.219 2041 155.20 124.50 $13.0 $39.8 $59.0 $121.0 0.1272 0.3985 2.1721

3.266 2042 155.20 124.50 $13.3 $40.4 $59.7 $122.7 0.1279 0.3902 2.1512

3.313 2043 155.20 124.50 $13.6 $40.9 $60.4 $124.4 0.1286 0.3820 2.1258

3.360 2044 155.20 124.50 $13.9 $41.5 $61.0 $126.1 0.1293 0.3740 2.1064

3.408 2045 155.20 124.50 $14.2 $42.1 $61.7 $127.8 0.1301 0.3662 2.0875

3.456 2046 155.20 124.50 $14.5 $42.6 $62.4 $129.4 0.1310 0.3584 2.0643

3.504 2047 155.20 124.50 $14.8 $43.2 $63.0 $131.1 0.1319 0.3508 2.0464

2048 155.20 124.50 $15.1 $43.8 $63.7 $132.8 0.1168 0.3020 1.7845

2049 155.20 124.50 $15.4 $44.4 $64.4 $134.5 0.1024 0.2570 1.5387

2050 155.20 124.50 $15.7 $44.9 $65.0 $136.2 0.0884 0.2155 1.3048

2051 155.20 124.50 $16.0 $45.5 $65.7 $137.9 0.0750 0.1776 1.0883

2052 155.20 124.50 $16.3 $46.1 $66.4 $139.7 0.0621 0.1429 0.8866

2053 155.20 124.50 $16.7 $46.7 $67.1 $141.5 0.0498 0.1113 0.6991

2054 155.20 124.50 $17.0 $47.3 $67.7 $143.3 0.0381 0.0827 0.5261

2055 155.20 124.50 $17.3 $47.9 $68.4 $145.2 0.0271 0.0571 0.3677

2056 155.20 124.50 $17.7 $48.5 $69.1 $147.0 0.0168 0.0344 0.2243

2057 155.20 124.50 $18.0 $49.1 $69.9 $148.9 0.0073 0.0145 0.0955

2058 155.20 124.50 $18.4 $49.8 $70.6 $150.8 -0.0014 -0.0028 -0.0185

2059 155.20 124.50 $18.8 $50.4 $71.3 $152.7 -0.0093 -0.0174 -0.1178

2060 155.20 124.50 $19.1 $51.0 $72.0 $154.7 -0.0163 -0.0297 -0.2029

2061 155.20 124.50 $19.5 $51.7 $72.8 $156.7 -0.0224 -0.0396 -0.2745

2062 155.20 124.50 $19.9 $52.4 $73.5 $158.7 -0.0276 -0.0476 -0.3334

2063 155.20 124.50 $20.3 $53.0 $74.3 $160.7 -0.0321 -0.0537 -0.3808

2064 155.20 124.50 $20.7 $53.7 $75.0 $162.8 -0.0310 -0.0504 -0.3622

2065 155.20 124.50 $21.1 $54.4 $75.8 $164.9 -0.0308 -0.0486 -0.3534

2066 155.20 124.50 $21.6 $55.1 $76.6 $167.0 -0.0308 -0.0472 -0.3475

2067 155.20 124.50 $22.0 $55.8 $77.4 $169.1 -0.0307 -0.0458 -0.3408

2068 155.20 124.50 $22.4 $56.5 $78.2 $171.3 -0.0306 -0.0443 -0.3338

2069 155.20 124.50 $22.9 $57.3 $79.0 $173.5 -0.0302 -0.0425 -0.3246

2070 155.20 124.50 $23.3 $58.0 $79.8 $175.7 -0.0297 -0.0405 -0.3130

2071 155.20 124.50 $23.8 $58.7 $80.6 $177.9 -0.0289 -0.0383 -0.2998

2072 155.20 124.50 $24.3 $59.5 $81.5 $180.2 -0.0280 -0.0361 -0.2857

2073 155.20 124.50 $24.8 $60.3 $82.3 $182.5 -0.0270 -0.0338 -0.2710

2074 155.20 124.50 $25.3 $61.0 $83.1 $184.9 -0.0259 -0.0315 -0.2555

2075 155.20 124.50 $25.8 $61.8 $84.0 $187.2 -0.0247 -0.0292 -0.2398

2076 155.20 124.50 $26.3 $62.6 $84.9 $189.6 -0.0235 -0.0269 -0.2239

2077 155.20 124.50 $26.8 $63.4 $85.7 $192.1 -0.0222 -0.0247 -0.2081

2078 155.20 124.50 $27.4 $64.2 $86.6 $194.5 -0.0209 -0.0226 -0.1928

2079 155.20 124.50 $27.9 $65.1 $87.5 $197.0 -0.0196 -0.0206 -0.1779

2080 155.20 124.50 $28.5 $65.9 $88.4 $199.5 -0.0183 -0.0187 -0.1635

2081 155.20 124.50 $29.0 $66.7 $89.3 $202.1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2082 155.20 124.50 $29.6 $67.6 $90.2 $204.7 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
2083 155.20 124.50 $30.2 $68.5 $91.2 $207.3 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2084 155.20 124.50 $30.8 $69.3 $92.1 $209.9 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2085 155.20 124.50 $31.4 $70.2 $93.1 $212.6 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2086 155.20 124.50 $32.1 $71.1 $94.0 $215.4 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2087 155.20 124.50 $32.7 $72.1 $95.0 $218.1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2088 155.20 124.50 $33.3 $73.0 $96.0 $220.9 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2089 155.20 124.50 $34.0 $73.9 $96.9 $223.7 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2090 155.20 124.50 $34.7 $74.9 $97.9 $226.6 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2091 155.20 124.50 $35.4 $75.8 $99.0 $229.5 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2092 155.20 124.50 $36.1 $76.8 $100.0 $232.4 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

2093 155.20 124.50 $36.8 $77.8 $101.0 $235.4 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Totals
2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%

CO2 

Value (3)

CO2 

Value (4)

NOx 

Price $/kt 

(1)

NOx 

Price $/kt 

(2)

NOx 

Price $/kt 

(3)

NOx 

Price $/kt 

(4)

NOx 

Price $/kt 

(5)

NOx 

Price $/kt 

(6)

NOx 

reduction

NOx 

Value (1)

NOx 

Value (2)

NOx 

Value (3)

million 2010$ million 2010$ kt million 2010$

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.5364 0.9992 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0128 0.0054 0.0306 0.0557

1.2688 2.3616 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0305 0.0126 0.0709 0.1292

1.9839 3.6887 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0481 0.0192 0.1084 0.1976

2.5752 4.7946 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0630 0.0244 0.1379 0.2513

3.0458 5.6629 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0750 0.0283 0.1594 0.2905

3.3806 6.2680 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0838 0.0307 0.1729 0.3151

3.6868 6.8413 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0923 0.0328 0.1848 0.3368

3.9756 7.3640 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1002 0.0345 0.1948 0.3552

4.2441 7.8567 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1076 0.0360 0.2030 0.3700
4.4136 8.1551 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1122 0.0365 0.2056 0.3748

4.4794 8.2691 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1146 0.0361 0.2038 0.3715

4.4730 8.2484 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1151 0.0352 0.1988 0.3623

4.4422 8.1727 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1148 0.0341 0.1925 0.3508

4.3805 8.0483 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1139 0.0329 0.1855 0.3381

4.3115 7.9100 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1129 0.0317 0.1785 0.3254

4.2544 7.7847 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1120 0.0305 0.1719 0.3134

4.1929 7.6590 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1113 0.0294 0.1658 0.3022

4.1362 7.5418 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1107 0.0284 0.1601 0.2918

4.0878 7.4321 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1101 0.0274 0.1546 0.2818

4.0356 7.3223 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1096 0.0265 0.1495 0.2724

3.9884 7.2215 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1093 0.0257 0.1447 0.2638

3.9517 7.1326 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1091 0.0249 0.1402 0.2556

3.9063 7.0348 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1089 0.0241 0.1359 0.2477

3.8697 6.9526 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1089 0.0234 0.1320 0.2405

3.8431 6.8818 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1091 0.0227 0.1283 0.2338

3.8123 6.8096 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1093 0.0221 0.1248 0.2275

3.7838 6.7415 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1096 0.0216 0.1216 0.2216

3.7637 6.6766 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1101 0.0210 0.1185 0.2159

3.7260 6.6036 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1105 0.0205 0.1155 0.2105

3.6965 6.5335 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1111 0.0200 0.1127 0.2054

3.6684 6.4659 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1116 0.0195 0.1100 0.2004

3.6355 6.4005 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1123 0.0190 0.1074 0.1957

3.6099 6.3370 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1130 0.0186 0.1049 0.1912

3.5852 6.2704 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1137 0.0182 0.1025 0.1868

3.5557 6.2103 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1145 0.0178 0.1002 0.1826

3.1072 5.4104 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.1013 0.0153 0.0861 0.1569

2.6851 4.6611 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0887 0.0130 0.0731 0.1333

2.2837 3.9581 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0765 0.0109 0.0612 0.1116

1.9094 3.3009 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0647 0.0089 0.0503 0.0917

1.5586 2.6881 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0534 0.0072 0.0403 0.0735

1.2318 2.1193 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0427 0.0055 0.0313 0.0570

0.9292 1.5948 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0325 0.0041 0.0231 0.0421

0.6511 1.1149 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0228 0.0028 0.0158 0.0287

0.3980 0.6799 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0138 0.0016 0.0093 0.0169

0.1698 0.2894 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0055 0.0006 0.0036 0.0065

-0.0329 -0.0560 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0021 -0.0002 -0.0013 -0.0024

-0.2105 -0.3570 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0090 -0.0010 -0.0055 -0.0100

-0.3634 -0.6149 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0151 -0.0016 -0.0090 -0.0163

-0.4928 -0.8318 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0204 -0.0021 -0.0118 -0.0215

-0.6001 -1.0105 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0250 -0.0025 -0.0140 -0.0256

-0.6869 -1.1540 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0289 -0.0028 -0.0157 -0.0287

-0.6548 -1.0975 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0279 -0.0026 -0.0148 -0.0269

-0.6405 -1.0708 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0276 -0.0025 -0.0142 -0.0259

-0.6313 -1.0530 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0276 -0.0024 -0.0138 -0.0251

-0.6206 -1.0327 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0274 -0.0024 -0.0133 -0.0242

-0.6093 -1.0114 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0273 -0.0023 -0.0128 -0.0234

-0.5938 -0.9833 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0270 -0.0022 -0.0123 -0.0225

-0.5739 -0.9481 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0264 -0.0021 -0.0117 -0.0214

-0.5511 -0.9083 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0257 -0.0020 -0.0111 -0.0202

-0.5263 -0.8655 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0249 -0.0018 -0.0104 -0.0190

-0.5004 -0.8208 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0240 -0.0017 -0.0098 -0.0178

-0.4730 -0.7740 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0231 -0.0016 -0.0091 -0.0166

-0.4448 -0.7262 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0220 -0.0015 -0.0084 -0.0153

-0.4163 -0.6780 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0209 -0.0014 -0.0078 -0.0141

-0.3879 -0.6303 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0197 -0.0013 -0.0071 -0.0130

-0.3601 -0.5838 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0186 -0.0012 -0.0065 -0.0119

-0.3331 -0.5386 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0174 -0.0011 -0.0059 -0.0108

-0.3069 -0.4951 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 -0.0163 -0.0010 -0.0054 -0.0098

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 $0.450 $2.537 $4.623 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
7.0% 7.0% 7.0%

NOx 

Value (4)

NOx 

Value (5)

NOx 

Value (6)

million 2010$

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0050 0.0283 0.0516

0.0112 0.0632 0.1153

0.0165 0.0931 0.1697

0.0202 0.1140 0.2077

0.0225 0.1268 0.2311

0.0235 0.1324 0.2413

0.0242 0.1362 0.2483

0.0245 0.1383 0.2521

0.0246 0.1387 0.2528
0.0240 0.1352 0.2465

0.0229 0.1290 0.2352

0.0215 0.1211 0.2208

0.0200 0.1129 0.2058

0.0186 0.1047 0.1909

0.0172 0.0970 0.1769

0.0160 0.0900 0.1640

0.0148 0.0835 0.1522

0.0138 0.0776 0.1415

0.0128 0.0722 0.1315

0.0119 0.0672 0.1224

0.0111 0.0626 0.1141

0.0104 0.0584 0.1064

0.0097 0.0545 0.0993

0.0090 0.0509 0.0928

0.0084 0.0476 0.0868

0.0079 0.0446 0.0813

0.0074 0.0418 0.0762

0.0070 0.0392 0.0715

0.0065 0.0368 0.0671

0.0061 0.0346 0.0630

0.0058 0.0325 0.0592

0.0054 0.0305 0.0557

0.0051 0.0287 0.0523

0.0048 0.0270 0.0492

0.0045 0.0254 0.0463

0.0037 0.0210 0.0383

0.0030 0.0172 0.0313

0.0025 0.0139 0.0253

0.0019 0.0110 0.0200

0.0015 0.0085 0.0154

0.0011 0.0063 0.0115

0.0008 0.0045 0.0082

0.0005 0.0030 0.0054

0.0003 0.0017 0.0030

0.0001 0.0006 0.0011

0.0000 -0.0002 -0.0004

-0.0002 -0.0009 -0.0016

-0.0002 -0.0014 -0.0025

-0.0003 -0.0018 -0.0032

-0.0004 -0.0020 -0.0037

-0.0004 -0.0022 -0.0040

-0.0003 -0.0020 -0.0036

-0.0003 -0.0018 -0.0033

-0.0003 -0.0017 -0.0031

-0.0003 -0.0016 -0.0029

-0.0003 -0.0015 -0.0027

-0.0002 -0.0014 -0.0025

-0.0002 -0.0012 -0.0023

-0.0002 -0.0011 -0.0021

-0.0002 -0.0010 -0.0019

-0.0002 -0.0009 -0.0017

-0.0001 -0.0008 -0.0015

-0.0001 -0.0007 -0.0013

-0.0001 -0.0007 -0.0012

-0.0001 -0.0006 -0.0010

-0.0001 -0.0005 -0.0009

-0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0008

-0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0007

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Housing Projections

Projected Total Housing Stock (millions) Projected Housing Starts (millions)

Reference High Low Reference High Low

2008 112.76 112.76 112.76 2008 0.98 0.98 0.98

2009 113.43 113.43 113.43 2009 0.60 0.60 0.60

2010 114.74 114.74 114.74 2010 0.65 0.65 0.65

2011 116.22 116.22 116.22 2011 0.85 0.85 0.85

2012 117.42 117.66 117.25 2012 1.72 1.96 1.55

2013 118.75 119.27 118.33 2013 1.85 2.13 1.61

2014 120.00 120.81 119.31 2014 1.78 2.07 1.51

2015 121.32 122.44 120.32 2015 1.85 2.16 1.54

2016 122.68 124.12 121.37 2016 1.90 2.23 1.58

2017 124.05 125.83 122.42 2017 1.91 2.26 1.58

2018 125.42 127.56 123.45 2018 1.91 2.29 1.57

2019 126.78 129.30 124.45 2019 1.91 2.29 1.54

2020 128.12 130.99 125.43 2020 1.90 2.27 1.53

2021 129.45 132.69 126.41 2021 1.89 2.27 1.53

2022 130.81 134.42 127.40 2022 1.93 2.31 1.54

2023 132.16 136.15 128.37 2023 1.92 2.31 1.53

2024 133.49 137.88 129.32 2024 1.91 2.33 1.51

2025 134.83 139.65 130.26 2025 1.93 2.37 1.50

2026 136.17 141.43 131.17 2026 1.93 2.39 1.48

2027 137.47 143.20 132.04 2027 1.90 2.38 1.44

2028 138.73 144.93 132.85 2028 1.86 2.36 1.39

2029 139.96 146.65 133.62 2029 1.83 2.35 1.35

2030 141.18 148.39 134.36 2030 1.83 2.37 1.32

2031 142.38 150.12 135.06 2031 1.81 2.37 1.29

2032 143.54 151.80 135.70 2032 1.77 2.33 1.23

2033 144.67 153.45 136.32 2033 1.75 2.30 1.20

2034 145.79 155.09 136.93 2034 1.75 2.30 1.20

2035 146.90 156.72 137.53 2035 1.74 2.29 1.20

2036 148.00 158.34 138.12 2036 1.74 2.29 1.20

2037 149.10 159.96 138.70 2037 1.74 2.29 1.20

2038 150.20 161.58 139.30 2038 1.74 2.29 1.20

2039 151.31 163.20 139.89 2039 1.74 2.29 1.20

2040 152.41 164.82 140.49 2040 1.74 2.29 1.20

2041 153.51 166.44 141.08 2041 1.74 2.29 1.20

2042 154.61 168.06 141.67 2042 1.74 2.29 1.20

2043 155.72 169.68 142.26 2043 1.74 2.29 1.20

2044 156.82 171.30 142.86 2044 1.74 2.29 1.20

2045 157.92 172.92 143.45 2045 1.74 2.29 1.20

2046 159.02 174.54 144.04 2046 1.74 2.29 1.20

2047 160.12 176.16 144.63 2047 1.74 2.29 1.20

Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2011

Demolitions (millions)

Reference High Low

2008

2009 0.31 0.31 0.31

2010 0.00 -0.71 -0.71

2011 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83

2012 -0.35 -0.59 -0.18

2013 0.39 0.35 0.47

2014 0.60 0.59 0.63

2015 0.46 0.44 0.50

2016 0.49 0.48 0.49

2017 0.53 0.52 0.53

2018 0.54 0.53 0.55

2019 0.55 0.55 0.57

2020 0.57 0.60 0.56

2021 0.57 0.57 0.55

2022 0.53 0.54 0.54

2023 0.58 0.58 0.57

2024 0.59 0.58 0.58

2025 0.57 0.56 0.57

2026 0.59 0.59 0.59

2027 0.63 0.62 0.61

2028 0.64 0.65 0.63

2029 0.63 0.64 0.62

2030 0.61 0.61 0.61

2031 0.63 0.64 0.62

2032 0.65 0.69 0.65

2033 0.64 0.68 0.61

2034 0.63 0.66 0.59

2035 0.64 0.67 0.60

2036 0.64 0.67 0.61

2037 0.64 0.67 0.61

2038 0.64 0.67 0.61

2039 0.64 0.67 0.60

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

2008 2018

Housing Starts (millions)

Reference

High

Low

2039 0.64 0.67 0.60

2040 0.64 0.67 0.61

2041 0.64 0.67 0.61

2042 0.64 0.67 0.61

2043 0.64 0.67 0.61

2044 0.64 0.67 0.61

2045 0.64 0.67 0.61

2046 0.64 0.67 0.61

2047 0.64 0.67 0.61

2028

Reference

High

Low


Fuel & Water Prices

Average Energy Prices (2010 $ / MMBtu) source: EIA plus Annual Energy Outlook 2011 price trends

Reference High Low Ref. High Low

2008 33.70 33.70 33.70 2008 13.84 13.84 13.84 2008

2009 34.18 34.17 34.17 2009 12.08 12.07 12.07 2009

2010 34.08 34.11 34.10 2010 11.20 11.23 11.20 2010

2011 32.02 32.11 32.04 2011 10.46 10.51 10.47 2011

2012 32.23 32.42 32.17 2012 10.33 10.41 10.31 2012

2013 32.42 32.65 32.29 2013 10.28 10.42 10.23 2013

2014 32.33 32.64 32.17 2014 10.17 10.33 10.07 2014

2015 32.33 32.65 32.04 2015 10.29 10.48 10.13 2015

2016 32.10 32.46 31.80 2016 10.39 10.63 10.20 2016

2017 32.08 32.48 31.75 2017 10.50 10.76 10.28 2017

2018 31.98 32.49 31.61 2018 10.62 10.93 10.38 2018

2019 31.86 32.50 31.46 2019 10.78 11.10 10.52 2019

2020 31.88 32.61 31.44 2020 11.04 11.39 10.74 2020

2021 31.80 32.62 31.27 2021 11.26 11.65 10.92 2021

2022 31.74 32.67 31.09 2022 11.43 11.90 11.08 2022

2023 31.69 32.69 31.00 2023 11.63 12.12 11.25 2023

2024 31.66 32.72 30.95 2024 11.84 12.39 11.42 2024

2025 31.72 32.90 30.93 2025 12.03 12.62 11.59 2025

2026 31.77 32.95 30.89 2026 12.19 12.84 11.71 2026

2027 31.77 33.05 30.82 2027 12.38 13.03 11.84 2027

2028 31.78 33.13 30.72 2028 12.50 13.19 11.95 2028

2029 31.82 33.21 30.62 2029 12.61 13.34 12.02 2029

2030 31.72 33.19 30.51 2030 12.72 13.52 12.06 2030

2031 31.76 33.34 30.54 2031 12.85 13.74 12.15 2031

2032 31.82 33.51 30.61 2032 13.00 13.92 12.27 2032

2033 31.90 33.63 30.64 2033 13.19 14.14 12.42 2033

2034 32.01 33.54 30.71 2034 13.38 14.08 12.54 2034

2035 32.19 33.43 30.75 2035 13.61 14.06 12.72 2035

2036 32.21 33.49 30.70 2036 13.80 14.26 12.86 2036

2037 32.23 33.54 30.66 2037 14.00 14.46 13.00 2037

2038 32.25 33.60 30.61 2038 14.20 14.66 13.15 2038

Electricity ($/MMBtu site energy) Gas ($/MMBtu site energy) Fuel Oil ($/MMBtu site energy)

2038 32.25 33.60 30.61 2038 14.20 14.66 13.15 2038

2039 32.28 33.65 30.56 2039 14.40 14.87 13.30 2039

2040 32.30 33.71 30.52 2040 14.60 15.08 13.45 2040

2041 32.32 33.76 30.47 2041 14.80 15.29 13.60 2041

2042 32.34 33.82 30.43 2042 15.01 15.50 13.76 2042

2043 32.36 33.88 30.38 2043 15.22 15.72 13.91 2043

2044 32.38 33.93 30.34 2044 15.44 15.94 14.07 2044

2045 32.40 33.99 30.29 2045 15.65 16.17 14.23 2045

2046 32.42 34.05 30.25 2046 15.87 16.40 14.39 2046

2047 32.44 34.10 30.20 2047 16.10 16.63 14.55 2047

2048 32.47 34.16 30.16 2048 16.32 16.86 14.71 2048

2049 32.49 34.22 30.11 2049 16.55 17.10 14.88 2049

2050 32.51 34.27 30.07 2050 16.78 17.34 15.05 2050

2051 32.53 34.33 30.03 2051 17.02 17.59 15.22 2051

2052 32.55 34.39 29.98 2052 17.26 17.83 15.39 2052

2053 32.57 34.44 29.94 2053 17.50 18.09 15.56 2053

2054 32.59 34.50 29.89 2054 17.75 18.34 15.74 2054

2055 32.61 34.56 29.85 2055 18.00 18.60 15.92 2055

2056 32.64 34.62 29.80 2056 18.25 18.86 16.10 2056

2057 32.66 34.67 29.76 2057 18.51 19.13 16.28 2057

2058 32.68 34.73 29.72 2058 18.77 19.40 16.46 2058

2059 32.70 34.79 29.67 2059 19.03 19.67 16.65 2059

2060 32.72 34.85 29.63 2060 19.30 19.95 16.84 2060

2061 32.74 34.91 29.58 2061 19.57 20.23 17.03 2061

2062 32.76 34.96 29.54 2062 19.84 20.52 17.22 2062

2063 32.78 35.02 29.50 2063 20.12 20.80 17.42 2063
2064 32.81 35.08 29.45 2064 20.41 21.10 17.61 2064

2065 32.83 35.14 29.41 2065 20.69 21.40 17.81 2065

2066 32.85 35.20 29.37 2066 20.98 21.70 18.01 2066

2067 32.87 35.26 29.32 2067 21.28 22.00 18.22 2067

2068 32.89 35.31 29.28 2068 21.58 22.31 18.42 2068

2069 32.91 35.37 29.24 2069 21.88 22.63 18.63 2069

2070 32.94 35.43 29.19 2070 22.19 22.95 18.84 2070

2071 32.96 35.49 29.15 2071 22.50 23.27 19.05 2071

2072 32.98 35.55 29.11 2072 22.82 23.60 19.27 2072
ok 2011 price trends Water Price (2010 $ / 1000 gal)

CPI scalar to 2010:

Ref. High Low Ref. High Low 2009

25.15 25.16 25.16 2008 2010

18.42 18.42 18.42 2009

21.02 21.02 21.02 2010 7.17 7.17 7.17

22.03 22.03 22.03 2011 7.26 7.26 7.26 2010

20.26 20.33 20.20 2012 7.35 7.35 7.35 2011

20.64 20.88 20.45 2013 7.43 7.43 7.43 2012

21.06 21.41 20.83 2014 7.52 7.52 7.52 2013

21.48 21.98 21.15 2015 7.61 7.61 7.61 2014

22.34 22.68 21.79 2016 7.70 7.70 7.70 2015

23.07 23.42 22.51 2017 7.79 7.79 7.79 2016

23.72 24.07 22.98 2018 7.88 7.88 7.88 2017

24.32 24.75 23.51 2019 7.96 7.96 7.96 2018

24.67 25.33 24.04 2020 8.05 8.05 8.05 2019

24.96 25.81 24.36 2021 8.14 8.14 8.14 2020

25.39 26.26 24.80 2022 8.23 8.23 8.23 2021

25.61 26.71 25.14 2023 8.32 8.32 8.32 2022

26.13 27.05 25.51 2024 8.41 8.41 8.41 2023

26.34 27.47 25.84 2025 8.49 8.49 8.49 2024

26.59 27.75 26.09 2026 8.58 8.58 8.58 2025

26.90 27.78 26.20 2027 8.67 8.67 8.67 2026

27.11 27.94 26.46 2028 8.76 8.76 8.76 2027

27.41 28.18 26.58 2029 8.85 8.85 8.85 2028

27.38 28.34 26.19 2030 8.94 8.94 8.94 2029

27.48 28.64 26.61 2031 9.03 9.03 9.03 2030

27.58 28.88 26.74 2032 9.11 9.11 9.11 2031

27.63 28.90 26.62 2033 9.20 9.20 9.20 2032

27.84 29.04 26.66 2034 9.29 9.29 9.29 2033

27.98 29.23 26.71 2035 9.38 9.38 9.38 2034

28.22 29.51 26.90 2036 9.47 9.47 9.47 2035

28.45 29.80 27.09 2037 9.56 9.56 9.56 2036

28.69 30.08 27.28 2038 9.64 9.64 9.64 2037

Fuel Oil ($/MMBtu site energy) Water Price

Water Trend (from LCC)

28.69 30.08 27.28 2038 9.64 9.64 9.64 2037

28.93 30.37 27.47 2039 9.73 9.73 9.73 2038

29.18 30.66 27.67 2040 9.82 9.82 9.82 2039

29.42 30.96 27.86 2041 9.91 9.91 9.91 2040

29.67 31.25 28.06 2042 10.00 10.00 10.00 2041

29.92 31.55 28.26 2043 10.09 10.09 10.09 2042

30.17 31.86 28.46 2044 10.18 10.18 10.18 2043

30.43 32.16 28.66 2045 10.26 10.26 10.26 2044

30.68 32.47 28.86 2046 10.35 10.35 10.35 2045

30.94 32.78 29.06 2047 10.44 10.44 10.44 2046

31.20 33.10 29.27 2048 10.53 10.53 10.53 2047

31.47 33.42 29.47 2049 10.62 10.62 10.62 2048

31.73 33.74 29.68 2050 10.71 10.71 10.71 2049

32.00 34.06 29.89 2051 10.79 10.79 10.79 2050

32.27 34.39 30.10 2052 10.88 10.88 10.88 2051

32.54 34.72 30.31 2053 10.97 10.97 10.97 2052

32.81 35.05 30.53 2054 11.06 11.06 11.06 2053

33.09 35.39 30.74 2055 11.15 11.15 11.15 2054

33.37 35.73 30.96 2056 11.24 11.24 11.24 2055

33.65 36.07 31.18 2057 11.32 11.32 11.32 2056

33.93 36.42 31.40 2058 11.41 11.41 11.41 2057

34.22 36.77 31.62 2059 11.50 11.50 11.50 2058

34.51 37.12 31.84 2060 11.59 11.59 11.59 2059

34.80 37.47 32.07 2061 11.68 11.68 11.68 2060

35.09 37.83 32.29 2062 11.77 11.77 11.77 2061

35.39 38.20 32.52 2063 11.86 11.86 11.86 2062
35.69 38.56 32.75 2064 11.94 11.94 11.94 2063

35.99 38.93 32.98 2065 12.03 12.03 12.03 2064

36.29 39.31 33.21 2066 12.12 12.12 12.12 2065

36.60 39.69 33.45 2067 12.21 12.21 12.21 2066

36.90 40.07 33.69 2068 12.30 12.30 12.30 2067

37.21 40.45 33.92 2069 12.39 12.39 12.39 2068

37.53 40.84 34.16 2070 12.47 12.47 12.47 2069

37.84 41.23 34.40 2071 12.56 12.56 12.56 2070

38.16 41.63 34.65 2072 12.65 12.65 12.65 2071

2072
CPI scalar to 2010: 1.016

214.537

218.056

2010 Water Prices

1.00 Res. Water Res. Waste

1.01 Cen. Reg $/1000 gal $/1000 gal

1.02 1 $4.07 $3.53

1.04 2 $2.21 $2.77

1.05 3 $3.01 $4.68

1.06 4 $4.06 $3.96

1.07 U.S. Avg $3.30 $3.87

1.09 source: Raftelis 2010 survey

1.10

1.11

1.12

1.14

1.15

1.16

1.17

1.19

1.20

1.21

1.22

1.23

1.25

1.26

1.27

1.28

1.30

1.31

1.32

1.33

Water Trend (from LCC)

29.00

30.00

31.00

32.00

33.00

34.00

35.00

Electricity Prices (2010$/M

M

Btu)

Reference

High

Low 1.33

1.35

1.36

1.37

1.38

1.39

1.41

1.42

1.43

1.44

1.46

1.47

1.48

1.49

1.51

1.52

1.53

1.54

1.56

1.57

1.58

1.59

1.60

1.62

1.63

1.64

28.00

29.00

30.00

2008 2018 2028

Electricity Prices (2010$/M

M

Btu)

Reference

High

Low
1.65

1.67

1.68

1.69

1.70

1.72

1.73

1.74

1.75

1.76
Site to Source Conversion

Site to Source Conversion

Elec Gas

(Btu/kWh) All

2010 7009 1.07

2011 6827 1.07

2012 6651 1.07

2013 6549 1.07

2014 6486 1.07

2015 6448 1.07

2016 6443 1.07

2017 6433 1.07

2018 6427 1.07

2019 6425 1.07

2020 6436 1.07

2021 6468 1.07

2022 6483 1.07

2023 6506 1.07

2024 6534 1.07

2025 6534 1.07

2026 6538 1.07

2027 6552 1.07

2028 6555 1.07

2029 6551 1.07

2030 6548 1.07

2031 6552 1.07

2032 6551 1.07

2033 6548 1.07

2034 6550 1.07

2035 6561 1.07

2036 6561 1.07

2037 6561 1.07

2038 6561 1.07

2039 6561 1.07

2040 6561 1.07

2041 6561 1.07

2042 6561 1.07

2043 6561 1.07

2044 6561 1.07

2045 6561 1.07

2046 6561 1.07

2047 6561 1.07

2048 6561 1.07

2049 6561 1.07

2050 6561 1.07

2051 6561 1.07

2052 6561 1.07

2053 6561 1.07

2054 6561 1.07

2055 6561 1.07

2056 6561 1.07

2057 6561 1.07

2058 6561 1.07

2059 6561 1.07

2060 6561 1.07

2061 6561 1.07

2062 6561 1.07

2063 6561 1.07

2064 6561 1.07

2065 6561 1.07
2066 6561 1.07

2067 6561 1.07

2068 6561 1.07

2069 6561 1.07

2070 6561 1.07

2071 6561 1.07

2072 6561 1.07

2073 6561 1.07

2074 6561 1.07

2075 6561 1.07

2076 6561 1.07

2077 6561 1.07

2078 6561 1.07

2079 6561 1.07

2080 6561 1.07

Source: AEO 2011



Lifetime 

Assumptions: Survival Function

Dishwasher Lifetime S(t) = e^-ln(2)*(((t-theta)/(M-theta))^gamma)

Average 15.43

 2.31

 16.29

 1

Age % retiring % surviving

% surviving 

to next yr

1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%

2 0.4% 99.8% 99.8%

3 0.9% 99.2% 99.4%

4 1.5% 98.0% 98.8%

5 2.2% 96.2% 98.1%

6 2.8% 93.7% 97.4%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Clothes Washers in Use (%)

6 2.8% 93.7% 97.4%

7 3.5% 90.5% 96.6%

8 4.1% 86.8% 95.8%

9 4.6% 82.4% 95.0%

10 5.1% 77.6% 94.1%

11 5.4% 72.3% 93.2%

12 5.7% 66.8% 92.3%

13 5.8% 61.1% 91.4%

14 5.8% 55.2% 90.5%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Clothes Washers in Use (%)

14 5.8% 55.2% 90.5%

15 5.8% 49.4% 89.5%

16 5.6% 43.8% 88.5%

17 5.3% 38.3% 87.5%

18 5.0% 33.2% 86.6%

19 4.6% 28.4% 85.6%

20 4.2% 24.0% 84.6%

21 3.7% 20.0% 83.6%

22 3.3% 16.5% 82.5%

23 2.8% 13.5% 81.5%

0%

10%

20%

0 5

Clothes Washers in Use (%)

23 2.8% 13.5% 81.5%

24 2.4% 10.9% 80.5%

25 2.0% 8.6% 79.5%

26 1.7% 6.8% 78.5%

27 1.4% 5.2% 77.5%

28 1.1% 4.0% 76.4%

29 0.9% 3.0% 75.4%

30 0.7% 2.3% 74.4%

31 0.5% 1.7% 73.4%

32 0.4% 1.2% 72.4%

33 0.3% 0.9% 71.4%

34 0.2% 0.6% 70.4%

35 0.2% 0.4% 69.4%

36 0.1% 0.3% 68.4%

37 0.1% 0.2% 67.4%

38 0.1% 0.1% 66.4%

39 0.0% 0.1% 65.5%

40 0.0% 0.1% 64.5%

41 0.0% 0.0% 63.5%

42 0.0% 0.0% 62.6%

43 0.0% 0.0% 61.6%

44 0.0% 0.0% 60.7%

45 0.0% 0.0% 59.8%

46 0.0% 0.0% 58.8%

47 0.0% 0.0% 57.9%

48 0.0% 0.0% 57.0%
49 0.0% 0.0% 56.1%

50 0.0% 0.0% 55.2%

sum 100.0%

wt. avg. Lifetime = 15.4

Max Age = 50




ta)/(M-theta))^gamma)

% Surviving

% Retiring

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Years