## Primary Estimate**Low Estimate**

7% 53 48 3% 66 59 CO2 At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 1.1 1.0 CO2 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 3.9 3.5 CO2 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 6.1 5.4 CO2 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 12.0 10.8 7% 0.24 0.23 3% 0.26 0.24 7% plus CO2 range 54 to 65 49 to 59 7% 57 52 3% plus CO2 range 68 to 78 60 to 70 3% 70 63

7% 46 44 3% 44 41

7% plus CO2 range 8 to 19 6 to 16 7% 11 8 3% plus CO2 range 24 to 35 19 to 29 3% 27 22

0 65 The values in the table are taken from the relevant table in Summary (All TSLs). The values in Summary (All TSLs) are generated from the values in Input and Summary by varying the experience curve, discount rate, and AEO economic growth case. The TSL shown depends on the TSL selected in Input and Summary (cell S19).

Total 

## TSL 2

**Discount Rate Monetized (million 2010$/year)**  **Benefits** Operating Cost Savings

NOx At 2,537 2010$/t

Total



## Costs

Incremental Product Costs 

## Net Benefits/Costs

## High Estimate

59 31 75 1 1.3 8 4.7 9 7.2 10 14.2 11 0.27 46 0.30 16 60 to 73 64 76 to 89 80

43 30 40 0

17 to 30 20 37 to 49 40

130

The values in Summary (All TSLs) are generated from the values in Input and Summary by varying the experience curve, discount rate, and AEO economic growth case. 

## Monetized (million 2010$/year)**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Results presented for CSL**  1 1 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.01 0.00 **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.11 0.00 **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.23 0.00 **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.12 0.00

**CO2 Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.14 0.01 Monetized emission savings At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.83 0.05 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 25.68 0.24 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 43.83 0.41 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.17 0.73 **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 0.95 0.01 Monetized emission savings (3% dr) At 450 2010$/t 0.25 0.00 At 2,537 2010$/t 1.42 0.01 At 4,623 2010$/t 2.59 0.02 **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 0.14 0.00

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Results presented for CSL**  1 1 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.01 0.00 **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.06 0.00 **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.09 0.00 **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.03 0.00

**CO2 Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.14 0.01 Monetized emission savings At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.83 0.05 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 25.68 0.24 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 43.83 0.41 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.17 0.73 **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 0.95 0.01 Monetized emission savings (7% dr) At 450 2010$/t 0.10 0.00 At 2,537 2010$/t 0.57 0.01 At 4,623 2010$/t 1.03 0.01 **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 0.06 0.00**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Results presented for CSL**  1 1 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.01 0.00 **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.11 0.00 **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.20 0.00 **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.10 0.00

**CO2 Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.03 0.01 Monetized emission savings At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.36 0.04 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 23.12 0.24 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 39.43 0.41 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.36 0.73 **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 0.87 0.01 Monetized emission savings (3% dr) At 450 2010$/t 0.23 0.00 At 2,537 2010$/t 1.29 0.01 At 4,623 2010$/t 2.34 0.02 **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 0.12 0.00

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Results presented for CSL**  1 1 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.01 0.00 **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.05 0.00 **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.08 0.00 **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.03 0.00

**CO2 Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.03 0.01 Monetized emission savings At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 4.36 0.04 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 23.12 0.24 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 39.43 0.41 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.36 0.73 **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 0.87 0.01Monetized emission savings (7% dr) At 450 2010$/t 0.09 0.00 At 2,537 2010$/t 0.52 0.01 At 4,623 2010$/t 0.95 0.01 **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 0.05 0.00

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Results presented for CSL**  1 1 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.10 0.00 **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.27 0.00 **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.17 0.00

**CO2 Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.25 0.01 Monetized emission savings At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 5.39 0.05 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 28.84 0.24 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 49.29 0.41 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 87.77 0.74 **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.05 0.01 Monetized emission savings (3% dr) At 450 2010$/t 0.28 0.00 At 2,537 2010$/t 1.58 0.01 At 4,623 2010$/t 2.88 0.02 **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 0.20 0.00

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Results presented for CSL**  1 1 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.02 0.00 **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.01 0.00 **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.05 0.00 **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.10 0.00 **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.05 0.00

**CO2 Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.25 0.01 Monetized emission savingsAt 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 5.39 0.05 At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 28.84 0.24 At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 49.29 0.41 At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 87.77 0.74 **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 1.05 0.01 Monetized emission savings (7% dr) At 450 2010$/t 0.11 0.00 At 2,537 2010$/t 0.62 0.01 At 4,623 2010$/t 1.14 0.01 **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 0.08 0.00**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)** 

**Al l Products** **An nualized** 

**(2018-2047) Product**  **Class 1 Results presented for CSL**  2 0.02

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.07 0.01

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.14 0.01

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.04 0.01

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.08 0.11 0.007 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.88 0.23 0.015 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 1.34 0.12 0.008 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.46

**CO2 Emission Savings** 1.15

- Mt Physical emission savings 4.03 Monetized emission savings 4.88 0.45 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 15.94 25.92 1.63 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.76 44.24 2.51 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 132.21 78.90 4.95 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 240.23 **NOx Emission Savings** 0.96

- kt Physical emission savings 3.51 Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 0.25 0.02 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.92 1.43 0.09 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 5.19 2.61 0.16 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 9.46 0.15 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 0.54

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)** 

**Al l Products** **An nualized** 

**(2018-2047) Product**  **Class 1 Results presented for CSL**  2 0.02

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.07 0.01

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.14 0.01

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.04 0.01

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.08 0.06 0.007 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.52 0.09 0.012 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.60 0.03 0.004 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.08

**CO2 Emission Savings** 1.15

- Mt Physical emission savings 4.03 Monetized emission savings 4.88 0.45 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 15.94 25.92 1.63 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.76 44.24 2.51 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 132.21 78.90 4.95 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 240.23 **NOx Emission Savings** 0.96

- kt Physical emission savings 3.51 Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 0.10 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.49 0.57 0.07 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 2.74 1.04 0.14 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 4.99 0.06 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 0.16**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)** 

**Al l Products** **An nualized** 

**(2018-2047) Product**  **Class 1 Results presented for CSL**  2 0.02

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.06 0.01

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.13 0.01

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.03 0.01

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.07 0.11 0.007 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.82 0.20 0.013 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 1.19 0.10 0.006 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.36

**CO2 Emission Savings** 1.04

- Mt Physical emission savings 3.68 Monetized emission savings 4.41 0.40 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 14.42 23.35 1.47 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.70 39.84 2.26 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 118.46 71.09 4.46 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 215.69 **NOx Emission Savings** 0.87

- kt Physical emission savings 3.20 Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 0.23 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.84 1.30 0.08 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 4.72 2.37 0.15 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 8.60 0.12 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 0.44

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)** 

**Al l Products** **An nualized** 

**(2018-2047) Product**  **Class 1 Results presented for CSL**  2 0.02

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.06 0.01

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.13 0.01

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.03 0.01

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.07 0.05 0.007 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.49 0.08 0.010 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.54 0.03 0.004 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.05

**CO2 Emission Savings** 1.04

- Mt Physical emission savings 3.68 Monetized emission savings 4.41 0.40 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 14.42 23.35 1.47 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 70.70 39.84 2.26 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 118.46 71.09 4.46 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 215.69 **NOx Emission Savings** 0.87

- kt Physical emission savings 3.20Monetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.09 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.45 0.52 0.07 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 2.54 0.96 0.12 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 4.63 0.05 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 0.12

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)** 

**Al l Products** **An nualized** 

**(2018-2047) Product**  **Class 1 Results presented for CSL**  2 0.02

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.07 0.02

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.16 0.01

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.04 0.01

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.08 0.10 0.006 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.81 0.27 0.017 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 1.51 0.17 0.011 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.71

**CO2 Emission Savings** 1.26

- Mt Physical emission savings 4.49 Monetized emission savings 5.44 0.50 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 18.51 29.08 1.82 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 93.55 49.71 2.82 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 157.93 88.51 5.55 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 285.20 **NOx Emission Savings** 1.06

- kt Physical emission savings 3.91 Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 0.28 0.02 million $ At 450 2010$/t 1.06 1.60 0.10 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 5.97 2.91 0.18 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 10.88 0.20 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 0.81

**National Impact Summary (TSL 1, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)** 

**Al l Products** **An nualized** 

**(2018-2047) Product**  **Class 1 Results presented for CSL**  2 0.02

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.07 0.02

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.16 0.01

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.04 0.01

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.08 0.05 0.007 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.49 0.10 0.013 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.66 0.05 0.007 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.17

**CO2 Emission Savings** 1.26

- Mt Physical emission savings 4.49 Monetized emission savings5.44 0.50 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 18.51

29.08 1.82 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 93.55 49.71 2.82 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 157.93 88.51 5.55 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 285.20 **NOx Emission Savings** 1.06

- kt Physical emission savings 3.91 Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 0.11 0.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.53 0.63 0.08 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 3.01 1.14 0.15 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 5.48 0.08 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 0.27**National Impact Summary (TSL 2, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 3, A EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)**  **Product Class 2**  **Al l Products** **An nualized**  **(2013-2047)** 1 **Results presented for CSL** 0.00 0.07

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.14

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.04

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.08

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.88 0.044 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.00 1.34 0.066 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.00 0.46 0.023 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 0.03 4.06

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 0.14 16.09 1.08 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 0.73 79.49 3.92 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 1.25 133.46 6.06 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 2.23 242.46 11.97 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% **NOx Emission Savings** 0.03 3.54

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 0.01 0.93 0.05 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.05 5.24 0.26 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 0.08 9.54 0.47 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 0.00 0.54 0.03 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 2, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 3, A EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)**  **Product Class 2**  **Al l Products** **An nualized**  **(2013-2047)** 1 **Results presented for CSL** 0.00 0.07

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.14

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.04

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.08

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.52 0.046 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.00 0.60 0.053 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.00 0.08 0.007 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 0.03 4.06

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 0.14 16.09 1.08 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 0.73 79.49 3.92 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 1.25 133.46 6.06 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 2.23 242.46 11.97 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% **NOx Emission Savings** 0.03 3.54

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 0.00 0.49 0.04 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.02 2.76 0.24 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 0.04 5.03 0.44 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 0.00 0.16 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)**  **National Impact Summary (TSL 3, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) Product**  **Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2013-2047)**  1 **Results presented for CSL** 0.00 0.06

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.13

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.03

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.07

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.82 0.041 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.00 1.19 0.059 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.00 0.37 0.018 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 0.03 3.71

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 0.14 14.56 0.98 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 0.73 71.43 3.53 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 1.24 119.71 5.43 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 2.23 217.92 10.76 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% **NOx Emission Savings** 0.03 3.23

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 0.01 0.84 0.04 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.05 4.77 0.24 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 0.08 8.69 0.43 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 0.00 0.44 0.02 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 2, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 3, A EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)**  **Product Class 2**  **Al l Products** **An nualized**  **(2013-2047)** 1 **Results presented for CSL** 0.00 0.06

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.13

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.03

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.07

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.49 0.044 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.00 0.54 0.048 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.00 0.05 0.005 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 0.03 3.71

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 0.14 14.56 0.98 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 0.73 71.43 3.53 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 1.24 119.71 5.43 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 2.23 217.92 10.76 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% **NOx Emission Savings** 0.03 3.23

- kt Physical emission savingsMonetized emission savings (7% dr)

0.00 0.45 0.04 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.02 2.56 0.23 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 0.04 4.67 0.41 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 0.00 0.13 0.01 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 2, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 3, A EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**  **Product Class 2**  **Al l Products** **An nualized**  **(2013-2047)** 1 **Results presented for CSL** 0.00 0.07

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.16

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.04

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.08

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.81 0.040 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.00 1.51 0.075 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.00 0.71 0.035 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 0.03 4.52

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 0.14 18.65 1.26 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 0.74 94.29 4.66 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 1.25 159.18 7.23 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 2.25 287.45 14.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% **NOx Emission Savings** 0.03 3.94

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 0.01 1.07 0.05 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.05 6.02 0.30 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 0.08 10.96 0.54 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 0.00 0.81 0.04 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 2, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 3, A EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**  **Product Class 2**  **Al l Products** **An nualized**  **(2013-2047)** 1 **Results presented for CSL** 0.00 0.07

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.16

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.00 0.04

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.08

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.00 0.49 0.043 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.00 0.66 0.059 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 0.00 0.17 0.015 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 0.03 4.52

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings0.14 18.65 1.26 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5%

0.74 94.29 4.66 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 1.25 159.18 7.23 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 2.25 287.45 14.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% **NOx Emission Savings** 0.03 3.94

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 0.00 0.54 0.05 million $ At 450 2010$/t 0.02 3.03 0.27 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 0.04 5.52 0.49 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 0.00 0.27 0.02 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 3, A EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)**  **National Impact Summary (TSL 4, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) Product**  **Class 1 Product** 

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  4 2 **Results presented for CSL** 0.93 0.00 0.94

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.56 0.00 0.56

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.46 0.00 0.46

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.28 0.00 0.28

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  5.37 0.00 5.37 0.337 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 11.87 0.01 11.88 0.746 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 6.50 0.01 6.51 0.408 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 64.97 0.05 65.02

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 278.24 0.22 278.45 25.49 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 1482.42 1.15 1483.57 93.09 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 2531.70 1.96 2533.65 143.89 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 4511.81 3.49 4515.30 283.32 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **NOx Emission Savings** 54.23 0.04 54.27

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 14.41 0.01 14.42 0.90 million $ At 450 2010$/t 81.27 0.06 81.34 5.10 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 148.14 0.12 148.25 9.30 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 8.06 0.01 8.07 0.51 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 3, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 4, A EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)**  **Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  4 2 **Results presented for CSL** 0.93 0.00 0.94

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.56 0.00 0.56

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.46 0.00 0.46

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.28 0.00 0.28

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  2.69 0.00 2.69 0.348 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 4.64 0.00 4.65 0.601 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 1.96 0.00 1.96 0.254 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 64.97 0.05 65.02

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 278.24 0.22 278.45 25.49 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 1482.42 1.15 1483.57 93.09 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 2531.70 1.96 2533.65 143.89 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 4511.81 3.49 4515.30 283.32 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **NOx Emission Savings** 54.23 0.04 54.27

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 5.73 0.00 5.73 0.74 million $ At 450 2010$/t 32.29 0.03 32.32 4.18 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 58.86 0.05 58.91 7.62 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 3.47 0.00 3.48 0.35 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 3, A EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)**  **National Impact Summary (TSL 4, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) Product**  **Class 1 Product** 

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  4 2 **Results presented for CSL** 0.85 0.00 0.85

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.51 0.00 0.51

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.42 0.00 0.42

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.25 0.00 0.25

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  4.97 0.00 4.97 0.312 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 10.27 0.01 10.29 0.645 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 5.31 0.01 5.32 0.334 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 59.03 0.05 59.08

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 251.38 0.22 251.60 23.03 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 1335.11 1.14 1336.25 83.85 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 2278.57 1.95 2280.52 129.52 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 4063.81 3.48 4067.29 255.21 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **NOx Emission Savings** 49.28 0.04 49.32

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 13.04 0.01 13.05 0.82 million $ At 450 2010$/t 73.56 0.06 73.63 4.62 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 134.08 0.12 134.20 8.42 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 6.72 0.01 6.73 0.42 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 3, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 4, A EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)**  **Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  4 2 **Results presented for CSL** 0.85 0.00 0.85

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.51 0.00 0.51

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.42 0.00 0.42

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.25 0.00 0.25

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  2.50 0.00 2.50 0.324 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 4.09 0.00 4.09 0.529 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 1.59 0.00 1.59 0.206 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 59.03 0.05 59.08

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 251.38 0.22 251.60 23.03 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 1335.11 1.14 1336.25 83.85 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 2278.57 1.95 2280.52 129.52 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 4063.81 3.48 4067.29 255.21 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **NOx Emission Savings** 49.28 0.04 49.32

- kt Physical emission savingsMonetized emission savings (7% dr)

5.24 0.00 5.24 0.68 million $ At 450 2010$/t 29.53 0.03 29.56 3.82 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 53.83 0.05 53.87 6.97 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 2.95 0.00 2.95 0.29 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 3, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 4, A EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**  **Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  4 2 **Results presented for CSL** 1.03 0.00 1.03

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.63 0.00 0.63

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.51 0.00 0.51

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.31 0.00 0.31

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  4.78 0.00 4.78 0.300 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 13.77 0.01 13.78 0.865 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 9.00 0.01 9.01 0.565 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 71.58 0.05 71.63

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings 309.99 0.22 310.21 28.39 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 1659.93 1.16 1661.09 104.23 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 2838.01 1.97 2839.99 161.29 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 5051.49 3.52 5055.01 317.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **NOx Emission Savings** 59.75 0.04 59.79

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 16.02 0.01 16.03 1.01 million $ At 450 2010$/t 90.36 0.06 90.42 5.67 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 164.69 0.12 164.81 10.34 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 10.75 0.01 10.76 0.68 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)**

**National Impact Summary (TSL 3, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High) National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 4, A EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**  **Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  4 2 **Results presented for CSL** 1.03 0.00 1.03

- quad **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.63 0.00 0.63

- trillion gal. **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.51 0.00 0.51

- quad **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.31 0.00 0.31

- triillion gal. **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  2.45 0.00 2.45 0.317 billion $ **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 5.29 0.00 5.29 0.685 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 2.84 0.00 2.85 0.368 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**CO2 Emission Savings** 71.58 0.05 71.63

- Mt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings309.99 0.22 310.21 28.39 million $ At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr)

1659.93 1.16 1661.09 104.23 million $ At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 2838.01 1.97 2839.99 161.29 million $ At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 5051.49 3.52 5055.01 317.19 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **NOx Emission Savings** 59.75 0.04 59.79

- kt Physical emission savings Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 6.28 0.00 6.29 0.81 million $ At 450 2010$/t 35.42 0.03 35.45 4.59 million $ At 2,537 2010$/t 64.56 0.05 64.61 8.36 million $ At 4,623 2010$/t 4.54 0.01 4.54 0.48 billion $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr) National Impact Summary** 

**(TSL 4, A EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)** 

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  5 2 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.58 0.00 1.59

- quad **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.71 0.00 1.71

- trillion gal. **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.78 0.00 0.78

- quad **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.84 0.00 0.84

- triillion gal. **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 6.82 0.00 6.82 0.428 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 24.27 0.01 24.28 1.523 billion $ 17.44 0.01 17.45 1.095 billion $

98.56 0.06 98.62

- Mt Monetized emission savings 5% 426.76 0.24 427.00 39.08 million $ 3% 2282.84 1.27 2284.11 143.32 million $ 2.5% 3902.24 2.16 3904.40 221.74 million $ 3% 6947.42 3.86 6951.28 436.17 million $

83.27 0.05 83.31

- kt Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 22.35 0.01 22.36 1.40 million $ 126.04 0.07 126.11 7.91 million $ 229.74 0.13 229.87 14.42 million $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 19.85 0.01 19.86 1.25 billion $

**National Impact Summary (TSL 4, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  5 2 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.58 0.00 1.59

- quad **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.71 0.00 1.71

- trillion gal. **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.78 0.00 0.78

- quad **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.84 0.00 0.84

- triillion gal. **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 3.42 0.00 3.42 0.442 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 9.29 0.00 9.29 1.203 billion $ 5.87 0.00 5.88 0.761 billion $

98.56 0.06 98.62

- Mt Monetized emission savings 5% 426.76 0.24 427.00 39.08 million $ 3% 2282.84 1.27 2284.11 143.32 million $ 2.5% 3902.24 2.16 3904.40 221.74 million $ 3% 6947.42 3.86 6951.28 436.17 million $

83.27 0.05 83.31

- kt Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 8.81 0.01 8.82 1.14 million $ 49.70 0.03 49.72 6.43 million $ 90.58 0.05 90.63 11.73 million $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 8.21 0.00 8.21 0.91 billion $**National Impact Summary**

**(TSL 4, A EO 2011 Low Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)** 

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  5 2 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.44 0.00 1.44

- quad **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.55 0.00 1.55

- trillion gal. **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.71 0.00 0.72

- quad **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.77 0.00 0.77

- triillion gal. **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 6.30 0.00 6.30 0.395 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 21.12 0.01 21.13 1.326 billion $ 14.82 0.01 14.82 0.930 billion $

89.55 0.06 89.60

- Mt Monetized emission savings 5% 385.45 0.24 385.69 35.30 million $ 3% 2055.35 1.26 2056.61 129.05 million $ 2.5% 3510.97 2.16 3513.13 199.52 million $ 3% 6255.61 3.85 6259.46 392.76 million $

75.65 0.05 75.70

- kt Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 20.22 0.01 20.23 1.27 million $ 114.05 0.07 114.12 7.16 million $ 207.88 0.13 208.01 13.05 million $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 16.99 0.01 17.00 1.07 billion $

**National Impact Summary (TSL 4, A** **EO 2011 Low Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Low)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  5 2 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.44 0.00 1.44

- quad **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.55 0.00 1.55

- trillion gal. **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.71 0.00 0.72

- quad **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.77 0.00 0.77

- triillion gal. **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 3.18 0.00 3.18 0.411 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 8.21 0.00 8.22 1.063 billion $ 5.04 0.00 5.04 0.652 billion $

89.55 0.06 89.60

- Mt Monetized emission savings 5% 385.45 0.24 385.69 35.30 million $ 3% 2055.35 1.26 2056.61 129.05 million $ 2.5% 3510.97 2.16 3513.13 199.52 million $ 3% 6255.61 3.85 6259.46 392.76 million $

75.65 0.05 75.70

- ktMonetized emission savings (7% dr) 8.06 0.01 8.06 1.04 million $ 45.44 0.03 45.47 5.88 million $ 82.82 0.05 82.87 10.72 million $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 7.14 0.00 7.14 0.79 billion $

**National Impact Summary (TSL 4, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  5 2 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.75 0.00 1.75

- quad **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.89 0.00 1.89

- trillion gal. **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.86 0.00 0.86

- quad **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.93 0.00 0.93

- triillion gal. **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 6.12 0.00 6.12 0.384 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 27.84 0.01 27.85 1.747 billion $ 21.72 0.01 21.73 1.363 billion $

108.71 0.06 108.77

- Mt Monetized emission savings 5% 476.27 0.24 476.51 43.62 million $ 3% 2560.91 1.28 2562.19 160.77 million $ 2.5% 4382.55 2.18 4384.74 249.02 million $ 3% 7792.76 3.89 7796.65 489.22 million $

91.84 0.05 91.89

- kt Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 24.89 0.01 24.90 1.56 million $ 140.37 0.07 140.44 8.81 million $ 255.85 0.13 255.98 16.06 million $ **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 24.42 0.01 24.43 1.53 billion $

**National Impact Summary (TSL 4, A** **EO 2011 High Growth, 7% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: High)**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l Products An** **nualized (2018-2047)**  5 2 **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.75 0.00 1.75

- quad **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  1.89 0.00 1.89

- trillion gal. **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.86 0.00 0.86

- quad **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.93 0.00 0.93

- triillion gal. **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 3.14 0.00 3.14 0.406 billion $ **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 10.50 0.00 10.51 1.360 billion $ 7.37 0.00 7.37 0.954 billion $

108.71 0.06 108.77

- Mt Monetized emission savings5% 476.27 0.24 476.51 43.62 million $

3% 2560.91 1.28 2562.19 160.77 million $ 2.5% 4382.55 2.18 4384.74 249.02 million $ 3% 7792.76 3.89 7796.65 489.22 million $

91.84 0.05 91.89

- kt Monetized emission savings (7% dr) 9.68 0.01 9.68 1.25 million $ 54.58 0.03 54.61 7.07 million $ 99.49 0.05 99.54 12.88 million $ **NPV with Emission Savings (7% dr)** 9.98 0.01 9.99 1.12 billion $Input and Summary

**User Inputs: National Impact Summary**  **(TSL 2, A EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default)** 

**Rebound** 0% **Results presented for CSL Lifetime**  15.4 years **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  **Cy cles per y** **ear** 215 cycles **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  **Duration of 1 Cy cle**  1 hour **Energy Savings discounted at 3.0%**  **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  **Recovery**

**Efficiency**

**of Water Heaters Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost**  Gas Water Heater 75% **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** Oil Water Heater 75% **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)**

**Discounting future values:** Discount Rate for NPV Determination 3.0% **CO2 Emission Savings** Discount Rate for Energy Savings 3.0% Physical emission savings Year to discount to 2011 Monetized emission savings At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) **Relative Price** At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **Elasticity** At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) **Economic Growth** CSL **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings **Experience Curve** Monetized emission savings (3% dr) At 450 2010$/t At 2,537 2010$/t At 4,623 2010$/t **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)**

**Source Energy**

**Use for Base Case in 2015 (incl. water heating & dry er)**  **Source Energy**

**Saving in 2015**

**Product Class 1 Export Variables**

**Design** W kWh/year kWh/year gal/cycle kWh/cyclekWh/cycle 0 Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 355 0.0 6.50 1.65 0.559 1 Product Class 1 EL1 2.30 324 19.7 5.80 1.42 0.441 2 Product Class 1 EL2 1.70 307 14.5 5.00 1.36 0.520 3 Product Class 1 EL3 1.70 295 14.5 4.25 1.30 0.590 4 Product Class 1 EL4 1.70 234 14.5 3.80 1.02 0.382 5 Product Class 1 EL5 1.70 180 14.5 1.60 0.77 0.501 6 0 0.00 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 7 0 0.00 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 0 0.00 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00

**Product Class 1 Input Variables**

**Design** W kWh/year kWh/year gal/cycle kWh/cyclekWh/cycle 0 Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 355 0.0 6.50 1.65 0.559 1 Product Class 1 EL1 2.30 324 19.7 5.80 1.42 0.441 2 Product Class 1 EL2 1.70 307 14.5 5.00 1.36 0.520 3 Product Class 1 EL3 1.70 295 14.5 4.25 1.30 0.590 4 Product Class 1 EL4 1.70 234 14.5 3.80 1.02 0.382 **Machine Energy**  **Standby AE** **U Standby**  **AE U**  **Wa ter Use**  **kW h per**  **Cy cle**  **Machine**

**Energy Standby**  **AE U**  **Standby AE** **U Wa** **ter Use kW** **h per Cy** **cle** 

### RP elasticity=-0.34

AE O2011 R

eference

Default5 Product Class 1 EL5 1.70 180 14.5 1.60 0.77 0.501

**Product Class 2 Input Variables**

**Design** W kWh/year kWh/year gal/cycle kWh/cyclekWh/cycle 0 Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 260 0.0 4.50 1.21 0.453 1 Product Class 1 EL1 2.30 222 19.7 3.50 0.94 0.353 2 Product Class 1 EL2 1.70 154 14.5 2.10 0.65 0.296

**Product Class 1 Base Case Weighted A verage Values** 

**Year AE** **U Electricity**  **Gas Oil** 

kWh/yr kWh/yr MMBTU/yrMMBTU/yr1000 gal/yr $ 2007 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2008 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2009 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2010 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2011 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2012 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2013 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $719 1.083 2014 294.14 186 0.46 0.03 1.028 $714 1.065 2015 293.18 186 0.46 0.03 1.016 $708 1.048 2016 292.66 186 0.46 0.03 1.013 $702 1.031 2017 292.14 186 0.45 0.03 1.010 $696 1.015 2018 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $690 1.000 2019 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $685 0.985 2020 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $679 0.971 2021 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $674 0.957 2022 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $669 0.944 2023 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $664 0.931 2024 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $659 0.918 2025 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $654 0.906 2026 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $650 0.894 2027 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $645 0.883 2028 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $641 0.872 2029 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $637 0.861 2030 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $633 0.851 2031 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $629 0.841 2032 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $625 0.831 2033 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $621 0.822 2034 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $618 0.812 2035 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $614 0.803 2036 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $611 0.794 2037 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $608 0.786 2038 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $604 0.778 2039 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $601 0.769 2040 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $598 0.762 2041 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $595 0.754 2042 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $592 0.746 **Standby**

**An nual**  **Wa ter Use**  **Experience Curve**  **Installed Price**  **AE U**  **Standby**

**AE U**  **Wa ter Use**  **kW h per**  **Cy cle**  **Machine**

**Energy**

**An nual Energy** 

**Use**2043 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $589 0.739 2044 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $587 0.732 2045 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $584 0.725 2046 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $581 0.718 2047 291.62 185 0.45 0.03 1.007 $578 0.71160% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2% 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 2% 2%**National Impact Summary (TSL 2, A** **EO 2011 Reference, 3% Discount Rate, Experience Curve: Default) As** **sumptions:**

**Product Class 1**  **Product**

**Class 2 Al** **l**

**Products An** **nualized**

**(2013-2047) Temp. Difference for Water Heating**  **Results presented for CSL** 2 1 **Energy (kWh) needed to heat water**  **Energy Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.07 0.00 0.07

- quad **Wa ter Saving (Cumulative to 2047)**  0.14 0.00 0.14

- trillion gal. **% of Units by Ty** **pe of Water Heating Energy**  **Savings discounted at 3.0%** 0.04 0.00 0.04

- quad Electric Water Heating **Wa ter Savings discounted at 3.0%**  0.08 0.00 0.08

- triillion gal. Gas Water Heating **Discounted Incremental Equipment Cost** 0.88 0.00 0.88 0.044 billion $ Oil Water Heating **Discounted Oper. Cost Saving** 1.34 0.00 1.34 0.066 billion $ **NPV (Cumulative to 2080)** 0.46 0.00 0.46 0.023 billion $ **Recovery Efficiency** 

**of Electric Water Heaters**

**CO2 Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 4.03 0.03 4.06

- Mt Monetized emission savings At 4.7 2007$/t (5.0% dr) 5% 15.94 0.14 16.09 1.08 million $ **Consensus =** At 21.4 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 78.76 0.73 79.49 3.92 million $ **TSL level =** At 35.1 2007$/t (2.5% dr) 2.5% 132.21 1.25 133.46 6.06 million $ At 64.9 2007$/t (3.0% dr) 3% 240.23 2.23 242.46 11.97 million $ Map of CSLs by TSL **NOx Emission Savings** Physical emission savings 3.51 0.03 3.54

- kt **TSL** Monetized emission savings (3% dr) 1 At 450 2010$/t 0.92 0.01 0.93 0.05 million $ 2 At 2,537 2010$/t 5.19 0.05 5.24 0.26 million $ 3 At 4,623 2010$/t 9.46 0.08 9.54 0.47 million $ 4 **NPV with Emission Savings (3% dr)** 0.54 0.00 0.54 0.03 billion $

**Source Energy**

**Use for Base Case in 2015 (incl. water heating & dry er)**  0.149 0.000 0.149 quad **Source Energy**

**Saving in 2015**(incl. water heating & dryer) 0.001 0.000 0.001 quad

**Annual Energy Use Elec**  **Gas Oil**  kWh/cycle kWh MMBtu MMBtu 1000 gal 2010$ 2010$ 1.09 207.60 0.63 0.04 1.40 $327.45 $303.00 0.97 192.47 0.56 0.04 1.25 $352.73 $303.00 0.84 193.61 0.48 0.03 1.08 $371.47 $303.00 0.71 198.62 0.41 0.03 0.91 $423.23 $303.00 0.64 147.83 0.37 0.02 0.82 $431.47 $303.00 0.27 143.72 0.15 0.01 0.34 $442.22 $303.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 $0.00 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 $0.00 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 $0.00 $0.00

**Annual Energy Use Prices for**  **Elec Gas**  **Oil Default**  **Low High**  kWh/cycle kWh MMBtu MMBtu 1000 gal 2010$ 2010$ 2010$ 2010$ 1.09 207.60 0.63 0.04 1.40 $630.45 $630.45 $636.86 $585.97 0.97 192.47 0.56 0.04 1.25 $655.73 $655.73 $662.39 $609.47 0.84 193.61 0.48 0.03 1.08 $674.47 $674.47 $681.32 $626.89 0.71 198.62 0.41 0.03 0.91 $726.23 $726.23 $733.61 $675.00 0.64 147.83 0.37 0.02 0.82 $734.47 $734.47 $741.93 $682.65 **Installation Cost** 

**Installed Price**  **Wa ter Heating**  **An nual**  **Wa ter**  **Wa ter Heating**  **An nual**  **Wa ter**  **Unit Price**0.27 143.72 0.15 0.01 0.34 $745.22 $745.22 $752.78 $692.64

**Annual Energy Use Prices for**  **Elec Gas**  **Oil Default**  **Low High**  kWh/cycle kWh MMBtu MMBtu 1000 gal 2010$ 2010$ 2010$ 2010$ 0.76 157.95 0.44 0.03 0.97 $621.43 $621.43 $627.74 $577.59 0.59 142.63 0.34 0.02 0.75 $622.82 $622.82 $629.14 $578.87 0.35 106.38 0.20 0.01 0.45 $638.19 $638.19 $644.67 $593.16

**Product Class 1 Standards Case Weighted A verage Values** 

**Year AE** **U Electricity**  **Gas Oil** 

kWh/yr kWh/yr MMBTU/yrMMBTU/yr1000 gal/yr $ 2007 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2008 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2009 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2010 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2011 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2012 295.10 185 0.47 0.03 1.040 $688 2013 287.79 185 0.44 0.03 0.972 $728 1.083 2014 287.32 186 0.43 0.03 0.965 $721 1.065 2015 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $715 1.048 2016 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $708 1.031 2017 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $702 1.015 2018 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $696 1.000 2019 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $690 0.985 2020 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $685 0.971 2021 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $679 0.957 2022 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $674 0.944 2023 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $669 0.931 2024 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $664 0.918 2025 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $659 0.906 2026 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $654 0.894 2027 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $650 0.883 2028 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $646 0.872 2029 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $641 0.861 2030 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $637 0.851 2031 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $633 0.841 2032 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $630 0.831 2033 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $626 0.822 2034 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $622 0.812 2035 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $619 0.803 2036 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $615 0.794 2037 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $612 0.786 2038 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $609 0.778 2039 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $605 0.769 2040 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $602 0.762 2041 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $599 0.754 2042 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $596 0.746 **An nual Energy** 

**Use Installed**  **Price Wa** **ter Heating An** **nual Wa** **ter**

**An nual**  **Wa ter Use**  **Installed**

**Price Experience** 

**Curve**2043 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $593 0.739 2044 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $591 0.732 2045 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $588 0.725 2046 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $585 0.718 2047 286.86 186 0.43 0.03 0.959 $582 0.711**Temp. Difference for Water Heating** 70deg F **Energy (kWh) needed to heat water**  0.0024kWh/gal/deg F

**% of Units by**

**Ty pe of Water Heating**  Electric Water Heating 37% Gas Water Heating 59% Oil Water Heating 4% elec gas oil **Recovery**

**Efficiency**

**of Electric Water Heaters** 100% 75% 75%

Yes 2

Map of CSLs by TSL Emission Savings Adjustment

2 1 Current results Pre-ajustment results NEMS results Adj Factors PC 1 PC 2 CO2 NOx CO2 NOx CO2 NOx CO2 1 1 1.15 0.96 1.90 1.52 1.15 0.96 0.604 2 1 4.06 3.54 2.64 2.07 4.06 3.54 1.536 4 2 65.02 54.27 114.57 91.72 65.02 54.27 0.568 5 2 98.62 83.31 157.29 125.65 98.62 83.31 0.627 TSL 2 1.536

**None** 2010$ 2010$ $676.97 $303.00 $705.84 $303.00 $727.24 $303.00 $786.35 $303.00 $795.76 $303.00

**Installation Cost** $808.03 $303.00

**None** 2010$ 2010$ $666.67 $303.00 $668.25 $303.00 $685.80 $303.00

**Electricity Gas**  **Oil Wa** **ter** $/kWh $/MMBtu $/MMBtu $/1000gal

0.115 13.84 25.15 0.00 0.117 12.08 18.42 0.00 0.116 11.20 21.02 7.17 0.109 10.46 22.03 7.26 0.110 10.33 20.26 7.35 1.00 0.25% 0.111 10.28 20.64 7.43 0.78 0.18% 0.110 10.17 21.06 7.52 0.63 0.13% 0.110 10.29 21.48 7.61 0.54 0.11% 0.110 10.39 22.34 7.70 0.46 0.08% 0.109 10.50 23.07 7.79 0.44 1.00 0.07% 0.109 10.62 23.72 7.88 0.42 0.78 0.07% 0.109 10.78 24.32 7.96 0.39 0.63 0.06% 0.109 11.04 24.67 8.05 0.37 0.54 0.06% 0.108 11.26 24.96 8.14 0.35 0.46 0.05% 0.108 11.43 25.39 8.23 0.35 0.44 0.05% 0.108 11.63 25.61 8.32 0.35 0.42 0.05% 0.108 11.84 26.13 8.41 0.35 0.39 0.05% 0.108 12.03 26.34 8.49 0.34 0.37 0.05% 0.108 12.19 26.59 8.58 0.34 0.35 0.05% 0.108 12.38 26.90 8.67 0.34 0.35 0.05% 0.108 12.50 27.11 8.76 0.34 0.35 0.05% 0.109 12.61 27.41 8.85 0.34 0.35 0.04% 0.108 12.72 27.38 8.94 0.34 0.34 0.04% 0.108 12.85 27.48 9.03 0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.109 13.00 27.58 9.11 0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.109 13.19 27.63 9.20 0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.109 13.38 27.84 9.29 0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.110 13.61 27.98 9.38 0.33 0.34 0.04% 0.110 13.80 28.22 9.47 0.33 0.33 0.04% 0.110 14.00 28.45 9.56 0.33 0.33 0.04% 0.110 14.20 28.69 9.64 0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 14.40 28.93 9.73 0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 14.60 29.18 9.82 0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 14.80 29.42 9.91 0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 15.01 29.67 10.00

**Installed Price** 

**Energy Prices**  **RP Elast Drop**  **Market**

**Impact RP Elast**  **Drop - Shift**0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 15.22 29.92 10.09

0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.110 15.44 30.17 10.18 0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.111 15.65 30.43 10.26 0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.111 15.87 30.68 10.35 0.33 0.33 0.03% 0.111 16.10 30.94 10.44NOx

0.634 0.00 0.00 1.707 0.00 0.00 0.592 0.00 0.00 0.663 0.00 0.00 1.707Efficiency Distributions

**Product Class 1 Data Output 0**  **1 2**  **3 4**  **5 6**  **7 8**  AEU 355 324 307 295 234 180 0 0 0 **Base** 2013 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL1** 2013 0.0% 36.1% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL2** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL3** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.5% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL4** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 94.4% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL5** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

**Base** 2015 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL1** 2015 0.0% 30.3% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL2** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL3** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 81.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL4** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.8% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL5** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

**Base** 2018 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL1** 2018 0.0% 29.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL2** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 61.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL3** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.2% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL4** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% **EL5** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

**Base Case Eff. Trend Efficiency**  **Lev el Distribution**  **SWA EU**  **0 1**  **2 3**  **4 5**  **6 7**  **8** 2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2013 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2014 294.14 3.8% 29.4% 30.3% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2015 293.18 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2016 292.66 3.8% 26.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.5% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2017 292.14 3.8% 25.6% 32.7% 18.5% 10.6% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2018 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2019 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2020 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2021 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2022 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2023 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2024 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2025 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2026 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2027 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2028 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2029 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2030 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2031 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2032 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2033 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2034 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2035 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2036 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2037 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2038 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2039 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2040 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2041 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2042 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2043 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2044 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2045 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2046 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2047 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

**Stds Case Eff. Trend Efficiency**  **Lev el Distribution**  **SWA EU**  **0 1**  **2 3**  **4 5**  **6 7**  **8** 2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2013 287.79 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2014 287.32 0.0% 0.0% 63.5% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2015 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2016 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2017 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2018 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2019 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2020 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2021 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2022 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2023 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2024 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2025 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2026 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2027 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2028 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2029 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2030 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2031 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2032 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2033 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2034 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2035 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2036 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2037 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2038 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2039 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2040 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2041 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2042 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2043 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2044 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2045 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2046 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2047 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%**Product Class 1 Data Input**

**Total 0**  **1 2**  **3 4**  **5** AEU 355 324 307 295 234 180 100.0% **Base** 2013 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100.0% **EL1** 2013 0.0% 36.1% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100.0% **EL2** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100.0% **EL3** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.5% 13.8% 5.6% 100.0% **EL4** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 94.4% 5.6% 100.0% **EL5** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

100.0% **Base** 2015 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100.0% **EL1** 2015 0.0% 30.3% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100.0% **EL2** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100.0% **EL3** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 81.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100.0% **EL4** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.8% 8.2% 100.0% **EL5** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

100.0% **Base** 2018 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100.0% **EL1** 2018 0.0% 29.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100.0% **EL2** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 61.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100.0% **EL3** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 80.2% 10.8% 9.0% 100.0% **EL4** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 91.0% 9.0% 100.0% **EL5** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

**Base Case Eff. Trend Efficiency**  **Lev el Distribution**  **Total SWA** **EU 0**  **1 2**  **3 4**  **5** 100% 2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2013 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2014 294.14 3.8% 29.4% 30.3% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9% 100% 2015 293.18 3.8% 26.5% 32.7% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2016 292.66 3.8% 26.0% 32.7% 18.5% 10.5% 8.4% 100% 2017 292.14 3.8% 25.6% 32.7% 18.5% 10.6% 8.7% 100% 2018 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2019 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2020 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2021 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2022 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2023 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2024 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2025 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2026 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2027 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2028 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2029 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%100% 2030 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

100% 2031 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2032 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2033 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2034 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2035 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2036 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2037 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2038 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2039 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2040 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2041 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2042 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2043 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2044 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2045 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2046 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0% 100% 2047 291.62 3.8% 25.2% 32.7% 18.5% 10.8% 9.0%

**Stds Case Eff. Trend Efficiency**  **Lev el Distribution**  **Total SWA** **EU 0**  **1 2**  **3 4**  **5** 100% 2005 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2006 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2007 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2008 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2009 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2010 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2011 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2012 295.10 3.8% 32.3% 28.0% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2013 287.79 0.0% 0.0% 64.1% 16.4% 13.8% 5.6% 100% 2014 287.32 0.0% 0.0% 63.5% 17.5% 12.1% 6.9% 100% 2015 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2016 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2017 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2018 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2019 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2020 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2021 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2022 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2023 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2024 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2025 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2026 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2027 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2028 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2029 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2030 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2031 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2032 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2033 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2034 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2035 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2036 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2037 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2038 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2039 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2040 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2041 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2042 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2043 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%100% 2044 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%

100% 2045 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2046 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2% 100% 2047 286.86 0.0% 0.0% 63.0% 18.5% 10.3% 8.2%**Product Class 2 Data Input Total**  **0 1**  **2** AEU 260 222 154 100.0% **Base** 2013 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100.0% **EL1** 2013 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100.0% **EL2** 2013 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% **Base** 2015 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100.0% **EL1** 2015 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100.0% **EL2** 2015 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% **Base** 2018 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100.0% **EL1** 2018 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100.0% **EL2** 2018 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

**Efficiency**

**Lev el Distribution**  **Base Case Eff. Trend Efficiency**  **Lev el Distribution**  **Total SWA** **EU 0**  **1 2**  **3** 100% 2005 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2006 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2007 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2008 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2009 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2010 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2011 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2012 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2013 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2014 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2015 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2016 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2017 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2018 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2019 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2020 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2021 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2022 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2023 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2024 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2025 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2026 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2027 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2028 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2029 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%100% 2030 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2031 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2032 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2033 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2034 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2035 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2036 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2037 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2038 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2039 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2040 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2041 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2042 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2043 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2044 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2045 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2046 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2047 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0%

**Efficiency**

**Lev el Distribution**  **Stds Case Eff. Trend Efficiency**  **Lev el Distribution**  **Total SWA** **EU 0**  **1 2**  100% 2005 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2006 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2007 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2008 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2009 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2010 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2011 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2012 197.50 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 100% 2013 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2014 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2015 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2016 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2017 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2018 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2019 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2020 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2021 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2022 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2023 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2024 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2025 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2026 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2027 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2028 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2029 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2030 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2031 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2032 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2033 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2034 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2035 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2036 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2037 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2038 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2039 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2040 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2041 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2042 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2043 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%100% 2044 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2045 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2046 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 100% 2047 188.00 0.0% 50.0% 50.0%**Total**

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

**Efficiency**

**Lev el Distribution**  **4 5**  **6 7**  **8 Total**  100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

**Efficiency**

**Lev el Distribution**  **Total** 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%100% 100% 100% 100%Historical Shipment

**Historical Shipments Historical Saturation in New Homes**  Includes Standard and Compact Dishwashers Data from RECS

**millions Current**  **PC 1 PC 2**  1972 3.040 1997 78.1% 78.1% 0.0% 1973 3.518 1998 78.9% 78.9% 0.0% 1974 3.155 1999 79.8% 79.8% 0.0% 1975 2.568 2000 80.6% 80.6% 0.0% 1976 2.984 2001 81.5% 81.5% 0.0% 1977 3.189 2002 85.0% 85.0% 0.0% 1978 3.380 2003 88.8% 88.8% 0.0% 1979 3.314 2004 92.6% 92.6% 0.0% 1980 2.602 2005 96.7% 96.7% 0.0% 1981 2.360 1982 2.062 1983 2.966 1984 3.317 **Market Share** 1985 3.397 **Current PC 1**  **PC 2** 1986 3.723 99.8% 100% 0.2% 1987 3.831 1988 3.713 1989 3.588 1990 3.485 1991 3.375 1992 3.597 1993 3.914 1994 4.353 1995 4.346 1996 4.606 1997 4.826 1998 5.144 1999 5.712 2000 5.828 2001 5.627 2002 6.207 2003 6.428 2004 7.106 2005 7.424 2006 7.252 2007 6.977 2008 5.995 2009 5.404 2010 5.710 Source: AHAMExperience Curves

**PPI Exponential Fits:** Default Low High **Rescaled** Default Low

2010 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 2010 1.142 1.131 2011 0.983 0.984 0.975 1.000 2011 1.122 1.112 2012 0.965 0.967 0.950 1.000 2012 1.102 1.094 2013 0.948 0.952 0.926 1.000 2013 1.083 1.076 2014 0.933 0.938 0.902 1.000 2014 1.065 1.060 2015 0.918 0.924 0.879 1.000 2015 1.048 1.044 2016 0.903 0.910 0.857 1.000 2016 1.031 1.029 2017 0.889 0.897 0.835 1.000 2017 1.015 1.014 2018 0.876 0.885 0.814 1.000 2018 1.000 1.000 2019 0.863 0.872 0.793 1.000 2019 0.985 0.986 2020 0.850 0.861 0.773 1.000 2020 0.971 0.973 2021 0.838 0.849 0.753 1.000 2021 0.957 0.960 2022 0.826 0.838 0.734 1.000 2022 0.944 0.948 2023 0.815 0.828 0.716 1.000 2023 0.931 0.936 2024 0.804 0.817 0.697 1.000 2024 0.918 0.924 2025 0.793 0.807 0.680 1.000 2025 0.906 0.913 2026 0.783 0.798 0.662 1.000 2026 0.894 0.902 2027 0.773 0.788 0.645 1.000 2027 0.883 0.891 2028 0.763 0.779 0.629 1.000 2028 0.872 0.881 2029 0.754 0.770 0.613 1.000 2029 0.861 0.871 2030 0.745 0.762 0.598 1.000 2030 0.851 0.861 2031 0.736 0.754 0.582 1.000 2031 0.841 0.852 2032 0.728 0.745 0.568 1.000 2032 0.831 0.843 2033 0.719 0.738 0.553 1.000 2033 0.822 0.834 2034 0.711 0.730 0.539 1.000 2034 0.812 0.825 2035 0.703 0.722 0.525 1.000 2035 0.803 0.817 2036 0.696 0.715 0.512 1.000 2036 0.794 0.809 2037 0.688 0.708 0.499 1.000 2037 0.786 0.800 2038 0.681 0.701 0.486 1.000 2038 0.778 0.793 2039 0.674 0.694 0.474 1.000 2039 0.769 0.785 2040 0.667 0.688 0.462 1.000 2040 0.762 0.777 2041 0.660 0.681 0.450 1.000 2041 0.754 0.770 2042 0.653 0.675 0.439 1.000 2042 0.746 0.763 2043 0.647 0.669 0.428 1.000 2043 0.739 0.756 2044 0.641 0.663 0.417 1.000 2044 0.732 0.749 2045 0.634 0.657 0.406 1.000 2045 0.725 0.743 2046 0.628 0.651 0.396 1.000 2046 0.718 0.736 2047 0.623 0.645 0.386 1.000 2047 0.711 0.730

**Price Scaling Factors** Low 1.010 High 0.929 Constant PricesHigh

1.229 1.000 1.198 1.000 1.167 1.000 1.137 1.000 1.108 1.000 1.080 1.000 1.053 1.000 1.026 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.975 1.000 0.950 1.000 0.926 1.000 0.902 1.000 0.879 1.000 0.857 1.000 0.835 1.000 0.814 1.000 0.793 1.000 0.773 1.000 0.753 1.000 0.734 1.000 0.716 1.000 0.697 1.000 0.680 1.000 0.662 1.000 0.645 1.000 0.629 1.000 0.613 1.000 0.598 1.000 0.582 1.000 0.568 1.000 0.553 1.000 0.539 1.000 0.525 1.000 0.512 1.000 0.499 1.000 0.486 1.000 0.474 1.000

Constant PricesShipments Base Case

**Market Segments An** **nual Shipments**

**Year New** 

**Shipment Total Stock**  **Retiring Units**  **Saturation in**

**New Houses Repl. Units** **New Units Total**  **Shipment** pre-2010 million million million million million post-2010 **1972** 3.034 3.034 0.000 0.000 **1973** 3.511 6.545 0.000 0.000 **1974** 3.149 9.688 0.005 0.005 **1975** 2.562 12.226 0.024 0.024 **1976** 2.978 15.141 0.063 0.063 **1977** 3.183 18.202 0.122 0.122 **1978** 3.373 21.377 0.199 0.199 **1979** 3.308 24.389 0.295 0.295 **1980** 2.597 26.574 0.411 0.411 **1981** 2.356 28.384 0.546 0.546 **1982** 2.058 29.745 0.697 0.697 **1983** 2.960 31.848 0.857 0.857 **1984** 3.311 34.136 1.022 1.022 **1985** 3.390 36.337 1.190 1.190 **1986** 3.716 38.695 1.357 1.357 **1987** 3.824 40.994 1.525 1.525 **1988** 3.705 43.010 1.690 1.690 **1989** 3.581 43.879 2.712 2.712 **1990** 3.478 44.548 2.809 2.809 **1991** 3.368 45.026 2.890 2.890 **1992** 3.590 45.658 2.958 2.958 **1993** 3.906 46.543 3.022 3.022 **1994** 4.344 47.802 3.085 3.085 **1995** 4.337 48.987 3.152 3.152 **1996** 4.597 50.368 3.216 3.216 **1997** 4.816 51.901 3.283 78.1% 3.283 **1998** 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355 **1999** 5.701 55.948 3.433 79.8% 3.433 **2000** 5.816 58.240 3.524 80.6% 3.524 **2001** 5.616 60.237 3.619 81.5% 3.619 **2002** 6.194 62.717 3.715 85.0% 3.715 **2003** 6.415 65.302 3.830 88.8% 3.830 **2004** 7.091 67.133 5.261 92.6% 5.261 **2005** 7.409 69.254 5.288 96.7% 5.288 **2006** 7.237 71.150 5.341 96.7% 5.341 **2007** 6.963 72.711 5.402 96.7% 5.402 **2008** 5.983 73.224 5.470 96.7% 5.470 0.948 6.417 **2009** 5.393 73.101 5.516 96.7% 5.314 0.580 5.894 **2010** 5.699 73.246 5.554 96.7% 5.554 0.629 6.183 **2011** 6.971 74.603 5.614 96.7% 6.149 0.822 6.971 **2012** 7.618 76.491 5.729 96.7% 5.954 1.663 7.618 **2013** 7.403 78.028 5.865 96.7% 5.614 1.789 7.403 **2014** 7.321 79.361 5.988 96.7% 5.600 1.721 7.321 **2015** 7.594 80.852 6.103 96.7% 5.805 1.789 7.594 **2016** 7.742 82.370 6.223 96.7% 5.904 1.837 7.742 **2017** 7.841 83.871 6.340 96.7% 5.994 1.847 7.841 **2018** 7.942 85.363 6.450 96.7% 6.096 1.847 7.942 **2019** 8.037 86.848 6.553 96.7% 6.190 1.847 8.037 **2020** 8.113 88.307 6.653 96.7% 6.275 1.837 8.113 **2021** 8.205 89.754 6.758 96.7% 6.377 1.828 8.205 **2022** 8.378 91.264 6.869 96.7% 6.512 1.866 8.378 **2023** 8.449 92.727 6.986 96.7% 6.593 1.857 8.449**2024** 8.547 94.172 7.103 96.7% 6.700 1.847 8.547 **2025** 8.697 95.646 7.222 96.7% 6.830 1.866 8.697 **2026** 8.802 97.105 7.343 96.7% 6.936 1.866 8.802 **2027** 8.864 98.504 7.465 96.7% 7.027 1.837 8.864 **2028** 8.935 99.856 7.584 96.7% 7.137 1.799 8.935 **2029** 9.028 101.182 7.702 96.7% 7.259 1.770 9.028 **2030** 9.156 102.521 7.818 96.7% 7.386 1.770 9.156 **2031** 9.236 103.823 7.933 96.7% 7.485 1.750 9.236 **2032** 9.294 105.071 8.046 96.7% 7.582 1.712 9.294 **2033** 9.389 106.304 8.156 96.7% 7.697 1.692 9.389 **2034** 9.503 107.542 8.265 96.7% 7.810 1.692 9.503 **2035** 9.591 108.761 8.372 96.7% 7.909 1.683 9.591 **2036** 9.696 109.979 8.478 96.7% 8.014 1.683 9.696 **2037** 9.798 111.195 8.582 96.7% 8.115 1.683 9.798 **2038** 9.901 112.410 8.685 96.7% 8.218 1.683 9.901 **2039** 10.001 113.624 8.787 96.7% 8.318 1.683 10.001 **2040** 10.099 114.835 8.888 96.7% 8.417 1.683 10.099 **2041** 10.198 116.044 8.988 96.7% 8.515 1.683 10.198 **2042** 10.295 117.252 9.087 96.7% 8.613 1.683 10.295 **2043** 10.392 118.458 9.186 96.7% 8.710 1.683 10.392 **2044** 10.489 119.662 9.284 96.7% 8.806 1.683 10.489 **2045** 10.585 120.865 9.382 96.7% 8.902 1.683 10.585 **2046** 10.681 122.066 9.480 96.7% 8.998 1.683 10.681 **2047** 10.777 123.266 9.577 96.7% 9.094 1.683 10.777 **2048** 0 **2049** 0 **2050** 0 **2051** 0 **2052** 0 **2053** 0 **2054** 0 **2055** 0 **2056** 0 **2057** 0 **2058** 0 **2059** 0 **2060** 0 **2061** 0 **2062** 0 **2063** 0 **2064** 0 **2065** 0 **2066** 0 **2067** 0 **2068** 0 **2069** 0 **2070** 0 **2071** 0 **2072** 0**Dishwasher**

**Saturation**



### 8.0

10.0 12.0 

## Shipments

**- Historical** **and Projected**

64.9% 64.4% 63.8% 64.2% 65.1% 65.7% 66.1% 66.6% 67.1% 67.6% 68.1% 68.5% 68.9% 69.3% 69.8% 70.2% 

### 0.0

2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035Millions



### Historical Shipments

Modelled Shipments70.5% 70.9% 71.3% 71.7% 72.0% 72.3% 72.6% 72.9% 73.2% 73.5% 73.8% 74.0% 74.3% 74.6% 74.8% 75.1% 75.3% 75.6% 75.8% 76.1% 76.3% 76.5% 76.8% 77.0%Shipments Stds Case

**An nual Shipments** 

**Year New** 

**Shipment Total Stock**  **Retiring Units**  **Saturation in**

**New Houses Market Impact** **Repl. Units New Units**  pre-2010 million million % million million post-2010 **1972** 3.034 3.034 0.000 0.000 **1973** 3.511 6.545 0.000 0.000 **1974** 3.149 9.688 0.005 0.005 **1975** 2.562 12.226 0.024 0.024 **1976** 2.978 15.141 0.063 0.063 **1977** 3.183 18.202 0.122 0.122 **1978** 3.373 21.377 0.199 0.199 **1979** 3.308 24.389 0.295 0.295 **1980** 2.597 26.574 0.411 0.411 **1981** 2.356 28.384 0.546 0.546 **1982** 2.058 29.745 0.697 0.697 **1983** 2.960 31.848 0.857 0.857 **1984** 3.311 34.136 1.022 1.022 **1985** 3.390 36.337 1.190 1.190 **1986** 3.716 38.695 1.357 1.357 **1987** 3.824 40.994 1.525 1.525 **1988** 3.705 43.010 1.690 1.690 **1989** 3.581 43.879 2.712 2.712 **1990** 3.478 44.548 2.809 2.809 0.000 **1991** 3.368 45.026 2.890 2.890 0.000 **1992** 3.590 45.658 2.958 2.958 0.000 **1993** 3.906 46.543 3.022 3.022 0.000 **1994** 4.344 47.802 3.085 3.085 0.000 **1995** 4.337 48.987 3.152 3.152 0.000 **1996** 4.597 50.368 3.216 3.216 0.000 **1997** 4.816 51.901 3.283 78.1% 3.283 0.000 **1998** 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355 0.000 **Market Segments**

**1998** 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355 0.000 **1999** 5.701 55.948 3.433 79.8% 3.433 0.000 **2000** 5.816 58.240 3.524 80.6% 3.524 0.000 **2001** 5.616 60.237 3.619 81.5% 3.619 0.000 **2002** 6.194 62.717 3.715 85.0% 3.715 0.000 **2003** 6.415 65.302 3.830 88.8% 3.830 0.000 **2004** 7.091 67.133 5.261 92.6% 5.261 0.000 **2005** 7.409 69.254 5.288 96.7% 5.288 0.000 **2006** 7.237 71.150 5.341 96.7% 5.341 0.000 **2007** 6.963 72.711 5.402 96.7% 5.402 0.000 **2008** 5.983 73.224 5.470 96.7% 5.470 0.948 **2009** 5.393 73.101 5.516 96.7% 5.314 0.580 **2010** 5.699 73.246 5.554 96.7% 5.554 0.629 **2011** 6.971 74.603 5.614 96.7% 6.149 0.822 **2012** 7.618 76.491 5.729 96.7% 5.954 1.663 **2013** 7.384 78.010 5.865 96.7% 0.25% 5.600 1.784 **2014** 7.308 79.330 5.987 96.7% 0.18% 5.590 1.718 **2015** 7.584 80.812 6.102 96.7% 0.13% 5.797 1.787 **2016** 7.733 82.324 6.222 96.7% 0.11% 5.898 1.835 **2017** 7.834 83.820 6.338 96.7% 0.08% 5.989 1.845 **2018** 7.937 85.309 6.447 96.7% 0.07% 6.091 1.846 **2019** 8.032 86.790 6.550 96.7% 0.07% 6.186 1.846 **2020** 8.107 88.247 6.650 96.7% 0.06% 6.271 1.836 **2021** 8.200 89.692 6.755 96.7% 0.06% 6.373 1.827 **2022** 8.374 91.200 6.865 96.7% 0.05% 6.508 1.865 **2023** 8.445 92.663 6.982 96.7% 0.05% 6.589 1.856**2024** 8.543 94.107 7.099 96.7% 0.05% 6.697 1.846 **2025** 8.692 95.582 7.217 96.7% 0.05% 6.827 1.865 **2026** 8.798 97.041 7.338 96.7% 0.05% 6.932 1.865 **2027** 8.860 98.441 7.460 96.7% 0.05% 7.024 1.836 **2028** 8.931 99.793 7.579 96.7% 0.05% 7.133 1.798 **2029** 9.024 101.121 7.697 96.7% 0.05% 7.255 1.769 **2030** 9.152 102.461 7.812 96.7% 0.04% 7.383 1.769 **2031** 9.232 103.764 7.928 96.7% 0.04% 7.482 1.750 **2032** 9.290 105.013 8.041 96.7% 0.04% 7.579 1.711 **2033** 9.385 106.247 8.151 96.7% 0.04% 7.694 1.692 **2034** 9.499 107.487 8.260 96.7% 0.04% 7.807 1.692 **2035** 9.588 108.707 8.367 96.7% 0.04% 7.906 1.682 **2036** 9.693 109.926 8.473 96.7% 0.04% 8.011 1.682 **2037** 9.794 111.143 8.578 96.7% 0.04% 8.112 1.682 **2038** 9.897 112.359 8.681 96.7% 0.04% 8.215 1.682 **2039** 9.998 113.574 8.783 96.7% 0.03% 8.316 1.682 **2040** 10.096 114.786 8.884 96.7% 0.03% 8.414 1.682 **2041** 10.194 115.996 8.984 96.7% 0.03% 8.512 1.682 **2042** 10.292 117.205 9.083 96.7% 0.03% 8.610 1.682 **2043** 10.389 118.412 9.182 96.7% 0.03% 8.707 1.682 **2044** 10.486 119.617 9.280 96.7% 0.03% 8.803 1.682 **2045** 10.582 120.821 9.378 96.7% 0.03% 8.900 1.682 **2046** 10.678 122.023 9.476 96.7% 0.03% 8.996 1.682 **2047** 10.774 123.223 9.574 96.7% 0.03% 9.092 1.682 **2048** 0 **2049** 0 **2050** 0 **2051** 0 **2052** 0 **2053** 0 **2054** 0 **2055** 0 **2056** 0 **2057** 0 **2058** 0 **2059** 0 **2060** 0 **2061** 0 **2062** 0 **2063** 0 **2064** 0 **2065** 0 **2066** 0 **2067** 0 **2068** 0 **2069** 0 **2070** 0 **2071** 0 **2072** 0**An nual Shipments** **Total**

**Shipment Clotheswasher** 

**Saturation** million

2.809 2.890 2.958 3.022 3.085 3.152 3.216 3.283 3.355 

### 12.0 

## Shipments

**- Base and Standards Case**  70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100%

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045**R C** **W S** **a t** **u r** **a t** **i o** **n i** **n N** **e w** **H o** **u s** **e s** **( %** **)**

**Year**

3.355 3.433 3.524 3.619 3.715 3.830 5.261 5.288 5.341 5.402 6.417 64.9% 5.894 64.4% 6.183 63.8% 6.971 64.2% 7.618 65.1% 7.384 65.7% 7.308 66.1% 7.584 66.6% 7.733 67.1% 7.834 67.6% 7.937 68.0% 8.032 68.5% 8.107 68.9% 8.200 69.3% 8.374 69.7% 8.445 70.1% 

### 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035Millions



### Base Case Shipments

Standards Case Shipments8.543 70.5%

8.692 70.9% 8.798 71.3% 8.860 71.6% 8.931 71.9% 9.024 72.3% 9.152 72.6% 9.232 72.9% 9.290 73.2% 9.385 73.4% 9.499 73.7% 9.588 74.0% 9.693 74.3% 9.794 74.5% 9.897 74.8% 9.998 75.1% 10.096 75.3% 10.194 75.6% 10.292 75.8% 10.389 76.0% 10.486 76.3% 10.582 76.5% 10.678 76.7% 10.774 77.0%Base Calc

**Historical and Forecasted Shipments of Dishwashers Base Case - Product Class 1**  **Market Segments An** **nual Shipments Unit Energy**  **& Water Consumption**

**Year New** 

**Shipment Total Stock**  **Retiring Units**  **Saturation in**

**New Houses Repl. Units** **New Units Total**  **Shipment Elec** 

million million million million million kWh/yr 185.5 **1972** 3.034 3.034 0.000 0.000 185.5 **1973** 3.511 6.545 0.000 0.000 185.5 **1974** 3.149 9.688 0.005 0.005 185.5 **1975** 2.562 12.226 0.024 0.024 185.5 **1976** 2.978 15.141 0.063 0.063 185.5 **1977** 3.183 18.202 0.122 0.122 185.5 **1978** 3.373 21.377 0.199 0.199 185.5 **1979** 3.308 24.389 0.295 0.295 185.5 **1980** 2.597 26.574 0.411 0.411 185.5 **1981** 2.356 28.384 0.546 0.546 185.5 **1982** 2.058 29.745 0.697 0.697 185.5 **1983** 2.960 31.848 0.857 0.857 185.5 **1984** 3.311 34.136 1.022 1.022 185.5 **1985** 3.390 36.337 1.190 1.190 185.5 **1986** 3.716 38.695 1.357 1.357 185.5 **1987** 3.824 40.994 1.525 1.525 185.5 **1988** 3.705 43.010 1.690 1.690 185.5 **1989** 3.581 43.879 2.712 2.712 185.5 **1990** 3.478 44.548 2.809 2.809 2.809 185.5 **1991** 3.368 45.026 2.890 2.890 2.890 185.5 **1992** 3.590 45.658 2.958 2.958 2.958 185.5 **1993** 3.906 46.543 3.022 3.022 3.022 185.5 **1994** 4.344 47.802 3.085 3.085 3.085 185.5 **1995** 4.337 48.987 3.152 3.152 3.152 185.5 **1996** 4.597 50.368 3.216 3.216 3.216 185.5 **1997** 4.816 51.901 3.283 78.1% 3.283 3.283 185.5 **1998** 5.134 53.680 3.355 78.9% 3.355 3.355 185.5 **1999** 5.701 55.948 3.433 79.8% 3.433 3.433 185.5 **2000** 5.816 58.240 3.524 80.6% 3.524 3.524 185.5 **2001** 5.616 60.237 3.619 81.5% 3.619 3.619 185.5 **2002** 6.194 62.717 3.715 85.0% 3.715 3.715 185.5 **2003** 6.415 65.302 3.830 88.8% 3.830 3.830 185.5 **2004** 7.091 67.133 5.261 92.6% 5.261 5.261 185.5 **2005** 7.409 69.254 5.288 96.7% 5.288 5.288 185.5 **2006** 7.237 71.150 5.341 96.7% 5.341 5.341 185.5 **2007** 6.963 72.711 5.402 96.7% 5.402 5.402 185.5 **2008** 5.983 73.224 5.470 96.7% 5.470 0.948 6.417 185.5 **2009** 5.393 73.101 5.516 96.7% 5.314 0.580 5.894 185.5 **2010** 5.699 73.246 5.554 96.7% 5.554 0.629 6.183 185.5 **2011** 6.971 74.603 5.614 96.7% 6.149 0.822 6.971 185.5 **2012** 7.618 76.491 5.729 96.7% 5.954 1.663 7.618 185.5 **2013** 7.403 78.028 5.865 96.7% 5.614 1.789 7.403 185.5 **2014** 7.321 79.361 5.988 96.7% 5.600 1.721 7.321 185.7 **2015** 7.594 80.852 6.103 96.7% 5.805 1.789 7.594 186.0 **2016** 7.742 82.370 6.223 96.7% 5.904 1.837 7.742 185.8 **2017** 7.841 83.871 6.340 96.7% 5.994 1.847 7.841 185.6 **2018** 7.942 85.363 6.450 96.7% 6.096 1.847 7.942 185.4 **2019** 8.037 86.848 6.553 96.7% 6.190 1.847 8.037 185.4 **2020** 8.113 88.307 6.653 96.7% 6.275 1.837 8.113 185.4 **2021** 8.205 89.754 6.758 96.7% 6.377 1.828 8.205 185.4 **2022** 8.378 91.264 6.869 96.7% 6.512 1.866 8.378 185.4 **2023** 8.449 92.727 6.986 96.7% 6.593 1.857 8.449 185.4**2024** 8.547 94.172 7.103 96.7% 6.700 1.847 8.547 185.4 **2025** 8.697 95.646 7.222 96.7% 6.830 1.866 8.697 185.4 **2026** 8.802 97.105 7.343 96.7% 6.936 1.866 8.802 185.4 **2027** 8.864 98.504 7.465 96.7% 7.027 1.837 8.864 185.4 **2028** 8.935 99.856 7.584 96.7% 7.137 1.799 8.935 185.4 **2029** 9.028 101.182 7.702 96.7% 7.259 1.770 9.028 185.4 **2030** 9.156 102.521 7.818 96.7% 7.386 1.770 9.156 185.4 **2031** 9.236 103.823 7.933 96.7% 7.485 1.750 9.236 185.4 **2032** 9.294 105.071 8.046 96.7% 7.582 1.712 9.294 185.4 **2033** 9.389 106.304 8.156 96.7% 7.697 1.692 9.389 185.4 **2034** 9.503 107.542 8.265 96.7% 7.810 1.692 9.503 185.4 **2035** 9.591 108.761 8.372 96.7% 7.909 1.683 9.591 185.4 **2036** 9.696 109.979 8.478 96.7% 8.014 1.683 9.696 185.4 **2037** 9.798 111.195 8.582 96.7% 8.115 1.683 9.798 185.4 **2038** 9.901 112.410 8.685 96.7% 8.218 1.683 9.901 185.4 **2039** 10.001 113.624 8.787 96.7% 8.318 1.683 10.001 185.4 **2040** 10.099 114.835 8.888 96.7% 8.417 1.683 10.099 185.4 **2041** 10.198 116.044 8.988 96.7% 8.515 1.683 10.198 185.4 **2042** 10.295 117.252 9.087 96.7% 8.613 1.683 10.295 185.4 **2043** 10.392 118.458 9.186 96.7% 8.710 1.683 10.392 185.4 **2044** 10.489 119.662 9.284 96.7% 8.806 1.683 10.489 185.4 **2045** 10.585 120.865 9.382 96.7% 8.902 1.683 10.585 185.4 **2046** 10.681 122.066 9.480 96.7% 8.998 1.683 10.681 185.4 **2047** 10.777 123.266 9.577 96.7% 9.094 1.683 10.777 185.4 **2048** 0 113.591 0.0 **2049** 0 104.253 0.0 **2050** 0 95.218 0.0 **2051** 0 86.485 0.0 **2052** 0 78.073 0.0 **2053** 0 70.005 0.0 **2054** 0 62.312 0.0 **2055** 0 55.026 0.0 **2056** 0 48.179 0.0 **2057** 0 41.798 0.0 **2058** 0 35.920 0.0 **2059** 0 30.570 0.0 **2060** 0 25.758 0.0 **2061** 0 21.481 0.0 **2062** 0 17.727 0.0 **2063** 0 14.473 0.0 **2064** 0 11.686 0.0 **2065** 0 9.331 0.0 **2066** 0 7.365 0.0 **2067** 0 5.746 0.0 **2068** 0 4.430 0.0 **2069** 0 3.374 0.0 **2070** 0 2.539 0.0 **2071** 0 1.886 0.0 **2072** 0 1.384 0.0 **2073** 0 1.002 0.0 **2074** 0 0.716 0.0 **2075** 0 0.505 0.0 **2076** 0 0.351 0.0 **2077** 0 0.241 0.0 **2078** 0 0.163 0.0 **2079** 0 0.109 0.0 **2080** 0 0.072 0.0**Unit Energy & Water Consumption**  **Total Energy (site) & Water Consumption**  **Equipment Cost Operating Cost** 

**Gas Oil**  **Wa ter**  **Elec Gas**  **Oil Wa** **ter per Unit**  **Total Fuel**  MMBtu/yr MMBtu/yr1000gal/yr quad quad quad billion gal $ billion $ billion $ 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.47 0.03 1.04 0.0494 0.0365 0.0024 81.1 $719 5.326 2.026 0.46 0.03 1.03 0.0502 0.0371 0.0025 82.4 $714 5.225 2.053 0.46 0.03 1.02 0.0512 0.0377 0.0025 83.8 $708 5.376 2.096 0.46 0.03 1.01 0.0521 0.0383 0.0025 85.2 $702 5.434 2.129 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0531 0.0389 0.0026 86.5 $696 5.458 2.171 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0540 0.0395 0.0026 87.8 $690 5.484 2.210 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0550 0.0401 0.0027 89.1 $685 5.503 2.249 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0559 0.0407 0.0027 90.4 $679 5.510 2.297 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0568 0.0412 0.0027 91.6 $674 5.529 2.339 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0578 0.0418 0.0028 92.9 $669 5.602 2.382 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0587 0.0424 0.0028 94.2 $664 5.607 2.4250.45 0.03 1.01 0.0596 0.0430 0.0028 95.5 $659 5.631 2.470 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0605 0.0436 0.0029 96.9 $654 5.688 2.520 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0614 0.0442 0.0029 98.2 $650 5.717 2.568 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0623 0.0448 0.0030 99.5 $645 5.718 2.614 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0632 0.0454 0.0030 100.8 $641 5.726 2.656 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0640 0.0460 0.0030 102.1 $637 5.748 2.699 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0649 0.0465 0.0031 103.4 $633 5.793 2.733 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0657 0.0471 0.0031 104.7 $629 5.807 2.777 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0665 0.0477 0.0032 105.9 $625 5.809 2.822 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0672 0.0482 0.0032 107.1 $621 5.834 2.870 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0680 0.0488 0.0032 108.4 $618 5.870 2.920 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0688 0.0493 0.0033 109.6 $614 5.892 2.977 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0696 0.0499 0.0033 110.8 $611 5.923 3.022 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0703 0.0504 0.0033 112.0 $608 5.953 3.068 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0711 0.0510 0.0034 113.2 $604 5.983 3.114 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0719 0.0515 0.0034 114.5 $601 6.012 3.160 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0726 0.0521 0.0034 115.7 $598 6.040 3.206 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0734 0.0526 0.0035 116.9 $595 6.069 3.253 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0742 0.0532 0.0035 118.1 $592 6.096 3.301 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0749 0.0537 0.0036 119.3 $589 6.124 3.348 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0757 0.0542 0.0036 120.5 $587 6.152 3.396 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0764 0.0548 0.0036 121.8 $584 6.179 3.445 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0772 0.0553 0.0037 123.0 $581 6.207 3.494 0.45 0.03 1.01 0.0780 0.0559 0.0037 124.2 $578 6.234 3.543 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0718 0.0515 0.0034 114.4 3.279 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0659 0.0473 0.0031 105.0 3.023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0602 0.0432 0.0029 95.9 2.773 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0547 0.0392 0.0026 87.1 2.530 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0494 0.0354 0.0023 78.6 2.294 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0443 0.0317 0.0021 70.5 2.066 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0394 0.0282 0.0019 62.8 1.847 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0348 0.0249 0.0017 55.4 1.639 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0305 0.0218 0.0014 48.5 1.441 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0264 0.0189 0.0013 42.1 1.256 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0227 0.0163 0.0011 36.2 1.085 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0193 0.0139 0.0009 30.8 0.927 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0163 0.0117 0.0008 25.9 0.785 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0136 0.0097 0.0006 21.6 0.658 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0112 0.0080 0.0005 17.9 0.546 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0092 0.0066 0.0004 14.6 0.448 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0074 0.0053 0.0004 11.8 0.363 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0059 0.0042 0.0003 9.4 0.291 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0047 0.0033 0.0002 7.4 0.231 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0036 0.0026 0.0002 5.8 0.181 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0028 0.0020 0.0001 4.5 0.140 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0021 0.0015 0.0001 3.4 0.107 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0016 0.0012 0.0001 2.6 0.081 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0012 0.0009 0.0001 1.9 0.061 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0009 0.0006 0.0000 1.4 0.045 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0006 0.0005 0.0000 1.0 0.032 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0005 0.0003 0.0000 0.7 0.023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0003 0.0002 0.0000 0.5 0.016 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0002 0.0002 0.0000 0.4 0.011 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0002 0.0001 0.0000 0.2 0.008 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.2 0.005 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.1 0.004 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.1 0.002**Operating Cost**

**Wa ter**  **Total** Elec. Oper. Cost Gas Oper.

Cost Oil Oper.

Cost billion $ billion $

0.603 2.629 1.601 0.375 0.050 2.026 0.620 2.673 1.624 0.377 0.052 2.053 0.638 2.734 1.654 0.388 0.054 2.096 0.656 2.785 1.674 0.398 0.057 2.129 0.674 2.845 1.703 0.409 0.059 2.171 0.691 2.902 1.729 0.420 0.062 2.210 0.709 2.958 1.752 0.432 0.065 2.249 0.728 3.025 1.782 0.449 0.066 2.297 0.746 3.085 1.807 0.464 0.068 2.339 0.765 3.147 1.833 0.478 0.070 2.382 0.784 3.209 1.860 0.493 0.072 2.4250.803 3.273 1.887 0.509 0.074 2.470

0.823 3.343 1.920 0.524 0.076 2.520 0.843 3.411 1.952 0.539 0.078 2.568 0.863 3.477 1.980 0.554 0.080 2.614 0.883 3.539 2.007 0.567 0.081 2.656 0.903 3.603 2.037 0.579 0.083 2.699 0.924 3.658 2.057 0.592 0.084 2.733 0.945 3.722 2.086 0.606 0.086 2.777 0.965 3.787 2.115 0.620 0.087 2.822 0.986 3.855 2.145 0.636 0.088 2.870 1.007 3.926 2.177 0.653 0.090 2.920 1.028 4.005 2.214 0.671 0.091 2.977 1.049 4.071 2.241 0.688 0.093 3.022 1.071 4.138 2.267 0.706 0.095 3.068 1.092 4.206 2.293 0.723 0.097 3.114 1.114 4.274 2.319 0.742 0.099 3.160 1.136 4.342 2.346 0.760 0.101 3.206 1.158 4.412 2.372 0.779 0.102 3.253 1.181 4.482 2.398 0.798 0.104 3.301 1.204 4.552 2.424 0.817 0.106 3.348 1.227 4.623 2.451 0.837 0.108 3.396 1.250 4.695 2.477 0.858 0.110 3.445 1.273 4.767 2.503 0.878 0.112 3.494 1.296 4.840 2.529 0.899 0.114 3.543 1.205 4.484 1.115 4.138 1.027 3.800 0.940 3.470 0.856 3.150 0.774 2.840 0.694 2.541 0.618 2.257 0.545 1.987 0.477 1.733 0.413 1.498 0.354 1.282 0.301 1.086 0.253 0.911 0.210 0.756 0.173 0.620 0.141 0.504 0.113 0.404 0.090 0.321 0.071 0.252 0.055 0.195 0.042 0.150 0.032 0.113 0.024 0.085 0.018 0.062 0.013 0.045 0.009 0.032 0.006 0.023 0.004 0.016 0.003 0.011 0.002 0.007 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.003Stds Calc

**Historical and Forecasted Shipments of Dishwashers Standards Case - Product Class 1**  **An nual Shipments** 

**Year New** 

**Shipment Total Stock** **MS Impact Repl. Units** **New Units Total**  **Shipment Clotheswash** 

**er Saturation Elec**  **Gas**

million % million million million kWh/yrMMBtu/yr

**1972** 3.034 3.034 0.000 185.5 0.47 **1973** 3.511 6.545 0.000 185.5 0.47 **1974** 3.149 9.688 0.005 185.5 0.47 **1975** 2.562 12.226 0.024 185.5 0.47 **1976** 2.978 15.141 0.063 185.5 0.47 **1977** 3.183 18.202 0.122 185.5 0.47 **1978** 3.373 21.377 0.199 185.5 0.47 **1979** 3.308 24.389 0.295 185.5 0.47 **1980** 2.597 26.574 0.411 185.5 0.47 **1981** 2.356 28.384 0.546 185.5 0.47 **1982** 2.058 29.745 0.697 185.5 0.47 **1983** 2.960 31.848 0.857 185.5 0.47 **1984** 3.311 34.136 1.022 185.5 0.47 **1985** 3.390 36.337 1.190 185.5 0.47 **1986** 3.716 38.695 1.357 185.5 0.47 **1987** 3.824 40.994 1.525 185.5 0.47 **1988** 3.705 43.010 1.690 185.5 0.47 **1989** 3.581 43.879 2.712 185.5 0.47 **1990** 3.478 44.548 2.809 0.000 2.809 185.5 0.47 **1991** 3.368 45.026 2.890 0.000 2.890 185.5 0.47 **1992** 3.590 45.658 2.958 0.000 2.958 185.5 0.47 **1993** 3.906 46.543 3.022 0.000 3.022 185.5 0.47 **1994** 4.344 47.802 3.085 0.000 3.085 185.5 0.47 **1995** 4.337 48.987 3.152 0.000 3.152 185.5 0.47 **1996** 4.597 50.368 3.216 0.000 3.216 185.5 0.47 **1997** 4.816 51.901 3.283 0.000 3.283 185.5 0.47 **1998** 5.134 53.680 3.355 0.000 3.355 185.5 0.47 **1999** 5.701 55.948 3.433 0.000 3.433 185.5 0.47 **2000** 5.816 58.240 3.524 0.000 3.524 185.5 0.47 **2001** 5.616 60.237 3.619 0.000 3.619 185.5 0.47 **2002** 6.194 62.717 3.715 0.000 3.715 185.5 0.47 **2003** 6.415 65.302 3.830 0.000 3.830 185.5 0.47 **2004** 7.091 67.133 5.261 0.000 5.261 185.5 0.47 **2005** 7.409 69.254 5.288 0.000 5.288 185.5 0.47 **2006** 7.237 71.150 5.341 0.000 5.341 185.5 0.47 **2007** 6.963 72.711 5.402 0.000 5.402 185.5 0.47 **2008** 5.983 73.224 5.470 0.948 6.417 64.9% 185.5 0.47 **2009** 5.393 73.101 5.314 0.580 5.894 64.4% 185.5 0.47 **2010** 5.699 73.246 5.554 0.629 6.183 63.8% 185.5 0.47 **2011** 6.971 74.603 6.149 0.822 6.971 64.2% 185.5 0.47 **2012** 7.618 76.491 5.954 1.663 7.618 65.1% 185.5 0.47 **2013** 7.403 78.028 0.25% 5.600 1.784 7.384 65.7% 185.3 0.44 **2014** 7.308 79.348 0.18% 5.590 1.718 7.308 66.1% 185.5 0.43 **2015** 7.584 80.829 0.13% 5.797 1.787 7.584 66.6% 185.7 0.43 **2016** 7.733 82.340 0.11% 5.898 1.835 7.733 67.1% 185.7 0.43 **2017** 7.834 83.835 0.08% 5.989 1.845 7.834 67.6% 185.7 0.43 **2018** 7.937 85.324 0.07% 6.091 1.846 7.937 68.0% 185.7 0.43 **2019** 8.032 86.804 0.07% 6.186 1.846 8.032 68.5% 185.7 0.43 **2020** 8.107 88.261 0.06% 6.271 1.836 8.107 68.9% 185.7 0.43 **2021** 8.200 89.705 0.06% 6.373 1.827 8.200 69.3% 185.7 0.43 **Unit Energy**

**& Water Consumption 2022**  8.374 91.212 0.05% 6.508 1.865 8.374 69.7% 185.7 0.43 **2023** 8.445 92.674 0.05% 6.589 1.856 8.445 70.1% 185.7 0.43 **2024** 8.543 94.117 0.05% 6.697 1.846 8.543 70.5% 185.7 0.43 **2025** 8.692 95.591 0.05% 6.827 1.865 8.692 70.9% 185.7 0.43 **2026** 8.798 97.049 0.05% 6.932 1.865 8.798 71.3% 185.7 0.43 **2027** 8.860 98.448 0.05% 7.024 1.836 8.860 71.6% 185.7 0.43 **2028** 8.931 99.799 0.05% 7.133 1.798 8.931 71.9% 185.7 0.43 **2029** 9.024 101.126 0.05% 7.255 1.769 9.024 72.3% 185.7 0.43 **2030** 9.152 102.465 0.04% 7.383 1.769 9.152 72.6% 185.7 0.43 **2031** 9.232 103.768 0.04% 7.482 1.750 9.232 72.9% 185.7 0.43 **2032** 9.290 105.016 0.04% 7.579 1.711 9.290 73.2% 185.7 0.43 **2033** 9.385 106.250 0.04% 7.694 1.692 9.385 73.4% 185.7 0.43 **2034** 9.499 107.488 0.04% 7.807 1.692 9.499 73.7% 185.7 0.43 **2035** 9.588 108.708 0.04% 7.906 1.682 9.588 74.0% 185.7 0.43 **2036** 9.693 109.928 0.04% 8.011 1.682 9.693 74.3% 185.7 0.43 **2037** 9.794 111.144 0.04% 8.112 1.682 9.794 74.5% 185.7 0.43 **2038** 9.897 112.360 0.04% 8.215 1.682 9.897 74.8% 185.7 0.43 **2039** 9.998 113.575 0.03% 8.316 1.682 9.998 75.1% 185.7 0.43 **2040** 10.096 114.786 0.03% 8.414 1.682 10.096 75.3% 185.7 0.43 **2041** 10.194 115.997 0.03% 8.512 1.682 10.194 75.6% 185.7 0.43 **2042** 10.292 117.205 0.03% 8.610 1.682 10.292 75.8% 185.7 0.43 **2043** 10.389 118.412 0.03% 8.707 1.682 10.389 76.0% 185.7 0.43 **2044** 10.486 119.617 0.03% 8.803 1.682 10.486 76.3% 185.7 0.43 **2045** 10.582 120.821 0.03% 8.900 1.682 10.582 76.5% 185.7 0.43 **2046** 10.678 122.023 0.03% 8.996 1.682 10.678 76.7% 185.7 0.43 **2047** 10.774 123.223 0.03% 9.092 1.682 10.774 77.0% 185.7 0.43 **2048** 0 113.552 0.0 0.00 **2049** 0 104.218 0.0 0.00 **2050** 0 95.186 0.0 0.00 **2051** 0 86.457 0.0 0.00 **2052** 0 78.047 0.0 0.00 **2053** 0 69.982 0.0 0.00 **2054** 0 62.292 0.0 0.00 **2055** 0 55.009 0.0 0.00 **2056** 0 48.163 0.0 0.00 **2057** 0 41.785 0.0 0.00 **2058** 0 35.909 0.0 0.00 **2059** 0 30.561 0.0 0.00 **2060** 0 25.750 0.0 0.00 **2061** 0 21.475 0.0 0.00 **2062** 0 17.722 0.0 0.00 **2063** 0 14.468 0.0 0.00 **2064** 0 11.683 0.0 0.00 **2065** 0 9.328 0.0 0.00 **2066** 0 7.363 0.0 0.00 **2067** 0 5.745 0.0 0.00 **2068** 0 4.429 0.0 0.00 **2069** 0 3.373 0.0 0.00 **2070** 0 2.538 0.0 0.00 **2071** 0 1.886 0.0 0.00 **2072** 0 1.383 0.0 0.00 **2073** 0 1.002 0.0 0.00 **2074** 0 0.716 0.0 0.00 **2075** 0 0.505 0.0 0.00 **2076** 0 0.351 0.0 0.00 **2077** 0 0.241 0.0 0.00 **2078** 0 0.163 0.0 0.00 **2079** 0 0.109 0.0 0.00 **2080** 0 0.072 0.0 0.00**Total Energy (site) & Water Consumption** 

**Oil Wa** **ter Elec**  **Gas Oil** 

MMBtu/yr1000gal/yr quad quad quad

0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 1.04 0.00 0.03 0.97 0.02 0.02 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.07 0.0494 0.0363 0.0024 0.03 0.97 0.01 0.03 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.11 0.0502 0.0367 0.0024 0.03 0.96 0.01 0.04 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.15 0.0512 0.0371 0.0025 0.03 0.96 0.01 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.18 0.0522 0.0375 0.0025 0.03 0.96 0.01 0.06 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.20 0.0531 0.0380 0.0025 0.03 0.96 0.01 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.22 0.0541 0.0384 0.0025 0.03 0.96 0.01 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.24 0.0550 0.0388 0.0026 0.03 0.96 0.01 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.26 0.0560 0.0392 0.0026 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.27 0.0569 0.0396 0.0026 **Unit Energy**

**& Water Consumption Hand Washing Energy**  **and Water Use Market Impact** 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.29 0.0578 0.0401 0.0027

0.03 0.96 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.30 0.0588 0.0406 0.0027 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.31 0.0597 0.0411 0.0027 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.33 0.0606 0.0416 0.0028 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.34 0.0616 0.0422 0.0028 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.35 0.0625 0.0427 0.0028 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.36 0.0633 0.0433 0.0029 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.38 0.0642 0.0438 0.0029 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.39 0.0650 0.0444 0.0029 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.40 0.0659 0.0449 0.0030 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.41 0.0667 0.0454 0.0030 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.42 0.0674 0.0459 0.0030 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.43 0.0682 0.0465 0.0031 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0690 0.0470 0.0031 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0698 0.0475 0.0031 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.45 0.0705 0.0480 0.0032 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.46 0.0713 0.0486 0.0032 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.47 0.0721 0.0491 0.0033 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0729 0.0496 0.0033 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0736 0.0501 0.0033 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.49 0.0744 0.0507 0.0034 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.50 0.0752 0.0512 0.0034 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.50 0.0759 0.0517 0.0034 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0767 0.0522 0.0035 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0775 0.0527 0.0035 0.03 0.96 0.00 0.15 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.52 0.0782 0.0533 0.0035 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0721 0.0491 0.0032 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.51 0.0662 0.0451 0.0030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.50 0.0604 0.0412 0.0027 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.49 0.0549 0.0374 0.0025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.49 0.0496 0.0338 0.0022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0445 0.0303 0.0020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.48 0.0396 0.0270 0.0018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.47 0.0350 0.0238 0.0016 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.46 0.0306 0.0209 0.0014 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.46 0.0266 0.0181 0.0012 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.45 0.0229 0.0156 0.0010 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0195 0.0133 0.0009 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.44 0.0164 0.0112 0.0007 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.43 0.0137 0.0093 0.0006 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.43 0.0113 0.0077 0.0005 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.42 0.0093 0.0063 0.0004 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.38 0.0075 0.0051 0.0003 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.35 0.0060 0.0041 0.0003 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.32 0.0047 0.0032 0.0002 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.30 0.0037 0.0025 0.0002 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.29 0.0029 0.0020 0.0001 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.27 0.0022 0.0015 0.0001 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.26 0.0017 0.0011 0.0001 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.24 0.0013 0.0009 0.0001 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.23 0.0009 0.0006 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.22 0.0007 0.0005 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.21 0.0005 0.0003 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.19 0.0004 0.0003 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.18 0.0003 0.0002 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.17 0.0002 0.0001 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.16 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.15 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.14 0.0001 0.0001 0.0000**Total Energy (site) & Water Consumption**  **Equipment Cost Operating Cost**  **Energy & Water Saving** 

**Wa ter**  **per Unit Total**  **Fuel Wa** **ter Total**  **Elec Saving**  **Gas**

**Saving Oil** 

**Saving Total Energy**  **Wa ter** 

billion gal $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ quad quad quad quad billion gal

80.7 $728 5.388 2.024 0.600 2.623 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.43 81.6 $721 5.271 2.048 0.613 2.662 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.86 82.5 $715 5.422 2.089 0.628 2.717 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.27 83.5 $708 5.478 2.120 0.643 2.762 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.67 84.4 $702 5.501 2.160 0.658 2.818 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.05 85.4 $696 5.524 2.197 0.673 2.870 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.40 86.3 $690 5.543 2.234 0.688 2.921 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.75 87.3 $685 5.550 2.281 0.703 2.983 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.08 88.2 $679 5.569 2.320 0.718 3.038 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.4189.3 $674 5.643 2.362 0.735 3.096 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.67

90.3 $669 5.648 2.404 0.751 3.155 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.88 91.5 $664 5.672 2.448 0.769 3.217 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.05 92.7 $659 5.729 2.497 0.787 3.284 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.19 93.9 $654 5.758 2.544 0.806 3.351 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.30 95.1 $650 5.759 2.590 0.825 3.415 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.40 96.3 $646 5.767 2.631 0.844 3.475 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.48 97.5 $641 5.789 2.674 0.863 3.537 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.56 98.8 $637 5.834 2.707 0.883 3.590 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.63 100.0 $633 5.848 2.751 0.902 3.653 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.69 101.2 $630 5.849 2.794 0.922 3.717 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.75 102.3 $626 5.874 2.842 0.942 3.783 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.80 103.5 $622 5.911 2.891 0.962 3.853 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.85 104.7 $619 5.932 2.948 0.982 3.930 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.90 105.9 $615 5.964 2.992 1.002 3.995 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 4.95 107.0 $612 5.993 3.037 1.023 4.060 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.00 108.2 $609 6.024 3.082 1.043 4.126 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.06 109.4 $605 6.053 3.128 1.064 4.192 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.11 110.5 $602 6.081 3.173 1.086 4.259 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.16 111.7 $599 6.109 3.219 1.107 4.326 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.21 112.9 $596 6.137 3.266 1.128 4.394 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.26 114.0 $593 6.165 3.313 1.150 4.463 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.31 115.2 $591 6.192 3.360 1.172 4.532 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.36 116.3 $588 6.220 3.408 1.194 4.602 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.41 117.5 $585 6.248 3.456 1.216 4.672 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.47 118.7 $582 6.275 3.504 1.239 4.743 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.52 109.4 3.243 1.152 4.395 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.002 5.05 100.4 2.989 1.066 4.056 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.60 91.8 2.742 0.982 3.725 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 4.16 83.4 2.502 0.900 3.402 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 3.74 75.3 2.269 0.820 3.088 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.001 3.33 67.6 2.044 0.741 2.785 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.001 2.95 60.2 1.828 0.666 2.493 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.58 53.2 1.622 0.593 2.215 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 2.22 46.6 1.427 0.524 1.951 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.90 40.5 1.244 0.459 1.703 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.59 34.9 1.075 0.398 1.473 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 1.31 29.7 0.919 0.342 1.262 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 1.05 25.1 0.779 0.291 1.070 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.82 21.0 0.654 0.245 0.899 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.62 17.4 0.543 0.205 0.748 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.44 14.3 0.446 0.169 0.615 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.29 11.6 0.362 0.138 0.501 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.19 9.3 0.291 0.112 0.403 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.11 7.4 0.232 0.089 0.321 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.04 5.8 0.182 0.071 0.253 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.02 4.5 0.142 0.056 0.198 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.07 3.5 0.109 0.043 0.153 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.11 2.7 0.083 0.034 0.117 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.13 2.1 0.063 0.026 0.089 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.15 1.6 0.047 0.020 0.067 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.16 1.2 0.035 0.015 0.050 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17 0.9 0.025 0.011 0.037 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17 0.7 0.019 0.009 0.027 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17 0.5 0.014 0.007 0.020 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.17 0.4 0.010 0.005 0.015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.16 0.3 0.007 0.004 0.011 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.15 0.3 0.005 0.003 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.14 0.2 0.004 0.003 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.14**Discount**

**Factor (non monetized)** **Discounted**

**Energy Savings**  **Discounted**

**Wa ter**  **Savings Discount** 

**Factor (monetary** **) Incr. Equip.** 

**Cost Oper. Cost** 

**Saving** Elec. Oper.

Cost Gas Oper.

Cost Oil Oper.

Cost

quad billion gal billion $ billion $

0.94 0.000 0.41 0.943 0.058 0.005 1.601 0.373 0.050 0.92 0.000 0.79 0.915 0.043 0.010 1.624 0.373 0.051 0.89 0.001 1.13 0.888 0.041 0.015 1.655 0.382 0.053 0.86 0.001 1.44 0.863 0.038 0.019 1.674 0.390 0.056 0.84 0.001 1.72 0.837 0.036 0.023 1.704 0.398 0.058 0.81 0.001 1.95 0.813 0.033 0.026 1.729 0.408 0.060 0.79 0.001 2.17 0.789 0.032 0.029 1.753 0.418 0.062 0.77 0.001 2.36 0.766 0.031 0.032 1.784 0.433 0.064 0.74 0.001 2.54 0.744 0.030 0.035 1.809 0.446 0.065 **Discounted Values**0.72 0.001 2.65 0.722 0.029 0.036 1.836 0.458 0.067 0.70 0.001 2.72 0.701 0.029 0.038 1.863 0.472 0.069 0.68 0.001 2.76 0.681 0.028 0.038 1.890 0.486 0.071 0.66 0.001 2.77 0.661 0.027 0.039 1.923 0.501 0.073 0.64 0.001 2.76 0.642 0.026 0.039 1.956 0.514 0.074 0.62 0.001 2.74 0.623 0.025 0.039 1.985 0.529 0.076 0.61 0.001 2.71 0.605 0.025 0.039 2.012 0.541 0.078 0.59 0.001 2.68 0.587 0.024 0.039 2.042 0.552 0.079 0.57 0.001 2.64 0.570 0.023 0.039 2.063 0.564 0.080 0.55 0.001 2.60 0.554 0.022 0.038 2.092 0.577 0.082 0.54 0.001 2.55 0.538 0.022 0.038 2.121 0.591 0.083 0.52 0.001 2.51 0.522 0.021 0.038 2.152 0.606 0.084 0.51 0.001 2.46 0.507 0.021 0.037 2.184 0.622 0.086 0.49 0.001 2.41 0.492 0.020 0.037 2.221 0.640 0.087 0.48 0.001 2.37 0.478 0.019 0.037 2.248 0.656 0.089 0.46 0.001 2.32 0.464 0.019 0.036 2.274 0.673 0.091 0.45 0.001 2.28 0.450 0.018 0.036 2.300 0.689 0.092 0.44 0.001 2.23 0.437 0.018 0.036 2.327 0.707 0.094 0.42 0.001 2.19 0.424 0.017 0.035 2.353 0.724 0.096 0.41 0.001 2.15 0.412 0.017 0.035 2.380 0.742 0.098 0.40 0.001 2.10 0.400 0.016 0.035 2.406 0.760 0.100 0.39 0.001 2.06 0.388 0.016 0.035 2.432 0.779 0.101 0.38 0.001 2.02 0.377 0.015 0.034 2.459 0.798 0.103 0.37 0.001 1.98 0.366 0.015 0.034 2.485 0.817 0.105 0.36 0.001 1.94 0.355 0.015 0.034 2.511 0.837 0.107 0.35 0.001 1.90 0.345 0.014 0.033 2.538 0.857 0.109 0.335 0.000 0.030 0.325 0.000 0.027 0.316 0.000 0.024 0.307 0.000 0.021 0.298 0.000 0.018 0.289 0.000 0.016 0.281 0.000 0.014 0.272 0.000 0.011 0.264 0.000 0.009 0.257 0.000 0.008 0.249 0.000 0.006 0.242 0.000 0.005 0.235 0.000 0.004 0.228 0.000 0.003 0.221 0.000 0.002 0.215 0.000 0.001 0.209 0.000 0.001 0.203 0.000 0.000 0.197 0.000 0.000 0.191 0.000 0.000 0.185 0.000 0.000 0.180 0.000 -0.001 0.175 0.000 -0.001 0.170 0.000 -0.001 0.165 0.000 -0.001 0.160 0.000 -0.001 0.155 0.000 -0.001 0.151 0.000 -0.001 0.146 0.000 -0.001 0.142 0.000 -0.001 0.138 0.000 -0.001 0.134 0.000 0.000 0.130 0.000 0.000Power Generation 5.0% 3.0% 2.5% 3.0% 5.0% 3.0%

**Year** CO2

Marg. Emiss. rate NOx

Marg. Emiss. rate CO2

Price $/ton (1) CO2

Price $/ton (2) CO2

Price $/ton (3) CO2

Price $/ton (4) CO2

reduction CO2

Value (1)CO2

Value (2)

Mt/quad site

kt/quad site2007 $2007 $2007 $2007 $ Mt million 2010$

**1972 1973**  **1974 1975**  **1976 1977**  **1978 1979**  **1980 1981**  **1982 1983**  **1984 1985**  **1986 1987**  **1988 1989**  **1990 1991**  **1992 1993**  **1994 1995**  **1996 1997**  **1998 1999**  **2000 2001**  **2002 2003**  **2004 2005**  **2006 2007**  **2008 2009**  **2010** 155.20 124.50 $4.7 $21.4 $35.1 $64.9 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2011** 155.20 124.50 $4.9 $21.9 $35.7 $66.5 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2012** 155.20 124.50 $5.1 $22.4 $36.4 $68.1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
2.024 **2013** 155.20 124.50 $5.3 $22.8 $37.0 $69.6 0.0146 0.0732 0.3273 2.048 **2014** 155.20 124.50 $5.5 $23.3 $37.7 $71.2 0.03480.1722 0.7728
2.089 **2015** 155.20 124.50 $5.7 $23.8 $38.4 $72.8 0.05480.2674 1.2059 2.120 **2016** 155.20 124.50 $5.9 $24.3 $39.0 $74.4 0.07180.3454 1.5660 2.160 **2017** 155.20 124.50 $6.1 $24.8 $39.7 $76.0 0.08550.4050 1.8479 2.197 **2018** 155.20 124.50 $6.3 $25.3 $40.4 $77.5 0.09550.44532.0462 2.234 **2019** 155.20 124.50 $6.5 $25.8 $41.0 $79.1 0.1052 0.48202.2314 2.281 **2020** 155.20 124.50 $6.8 $26.3 $41.7 $80.7 0.1144 0.52192.3999 2.320 **2021** 155.20 124.50 $7.1 $27.0 $42.5 $82.6 0.12280.55722.56822.362 **2022** 155.20 124.50 $7.4 $27.6 $43.4 $84.6 0.1282 0.57732.6605

2.404 **2023** 155.20 124.50 $7.7 $28.3 $44.2 $86.5 0.13090.58442.7054 2.448 **2024** 155.20 124.50 $7.9 $28.9 $45.0 $88.4 0.1316 0.5741 2.6966 2.497 **2025** 155.20 124.50 $8.2 $29.6 $45.9 $90.4 0.1314 0.56632.6760 2.544 **2026** 155.20 124.50 $8.5 $30.2 $46.7 $92.3 0.13050.55542.6334 2.590 **2027** 155.20 124.50 $8.8 $30.9 $47.5 $94.2 0.1294 0.54322.5947 2.631 **2028** 155.20 124.50 $9.1 $31.5 $48.4 $96.2 0.12850.53102.5491 2.674 **2029** 155.20 124.50 $9.4 $32.1 $49.2 $98.1 0.12770.51922.5062 2.707 **2030** 155.20 124.50 $9.7 $32.8 $50.0 $100.00.1270 0.50762.4737 2.751 **2031** 155.20 124.50 $10.0 $33.4 $50.9 $102.00.1264 0.49602.4336 2.794 **2032** 155.20 124.50 $10.3 $34.1 $51.7 $103.90.12590.48472.4032 2.842 **2033** 155.20 124.50 $10.6 $34.7 $52.5 $105.80.1256 0.47392.3685 2.891 **2034** 155.20 124.50 $10.9 $35.4 $53.4 $107.80.1254 0.46342.3423 2.948 **2035** 155.20 124.50 $11.2 $36.0 $54.2 $109.70.1252 0.45272.3086 2.992 **2036** 155.20 124.50 $11.5 $36.7 $55.0 $111.60.12530.44302.2864 3.037 **2037** 155.20 124.50 $11.8 $37.3 $55.9 $113.60.12550.43362.2596 3.082 **2038** 155.20 124.50 $12.1 $37.9 $56.7 $115.50.12580.42442.2345 3.128 **2039** 155.20 124.50 $12.4 $38.6 $57.5 $117.40.1262 0.41562.2165 3.173 **2040** 155.20 124.50 $12.7 $39.2 $58.4 $119.30.12670.40692.1938 3.219 **2041** 155.20 124.50 $13.0 $39.8 $59.0 $121.00.1272 0.39852.1721 3.266 **2042** 155.20 124.50 $13.3 $40.4 $59.7 $122.70.12790.39022.1512 3.313 **2043** 155.20 124.50 $13.6 $40.9 $60.4 $124.40.1286 0.38202.1258 3.360 **2044** 155.20 124.50 $13.9 $41.5 $61.0 $126.1 0.12930.37402.1064 3.408 **2045** 155.20 124.50 $14.2 $42.1 $61.7 $127.80.1301 0.36622.0875 3.456 **2046** 155.20 124.50 $14.5 $42.6 $62.4 $129.40.1310 0.35842.0643 3.504 **2047** 155.20 124.50 $14.8 $43.2 $63.0 $131.1 0.13190.35082.0464

**2048** 155.20 124.50 $15.1 $43.8 $63.7 $132.80.11680.3020 1.7845 **2049** 155.20 124.50 $15.4 $44.4 $64.4 $134.50.1024 0.2570 1.5387 **2050** 155.20 124.50 $15.7 $44.9 $65.0 $136.20.0884 0.2155 1.3048 **2051** 155.20 124.50 $16.0 $45.5 $65.7 $137.90.0750 0.1776 1.0883 **2052** 155.20 124.50 $16.3 $46.1 $66.4 $139.70.0621 0.14290.8866 **2053** 155.20 124.50 $16.7 $46.7 $67.1 $141.50.04980.11130.6991 **2054** 155.20 124.50 $17.0 $47.3 $67.7 $143.30.0381 0.08270.5261 **2055** 155.20 124.50 $17.3 $47.9 $68.4 $145.20.0271 0.0571 0.3677 **2056** 155.20 124.50 $17.7 $48.5 $69.1 $147.00.01680.0344 0.2243 **2057** 155.20 124.50 $18.0 $49.1 $69.9 $148.90.00730.01450.0955 **2058** 155.20 124.50 $18.4 $49.8 $70.6 $150.8-0.0014-0.0028-0.0185 **2059** 155.20 124.50 $18.8 $50.4 $71.3 $152.7-0.0093-0.0174-0.1178 **2060** 155.20 124.50 $19.1 $51.0 $72.0 $154.7-0.0163-0.0297-0.2029 **2061** 155.20 124.50 $19.5 $51.7 $72.8 $156.7-0.0224-0.0396-0.2745 **2062** 155.20 124.50 $19.9 $52.4 $73.5 $158.7-0.0276-0.0476-0.3334 **2063** 155.20 124.50 $20.3 $53.0 $74.3 $160.7-0.0321-0.0537-0.3808 **2064** 155.20 124.50 $20.7 $53.7 $75.0 $162.8-0.0310-0.0504-0.3622 **2065** 155.20 124.50 $21.1 $54.4 $75.8 $164.9-0.0308-0.0486-0.3534 **2066** 155.20 124.50 $21.6 $55.1 $76.6 $167.0-0.0308-0.0472-0.3475 **2067** 155.20 124.50 $22.0 $55.8 $77.4 $169.1-0.0307-0.0458-0.3408 **2068** 155.20 124.50 $22.4 $56.5 $78.2 $171.3-0.0306-0.0443-0.3338 **2069** 155.20 124.50 $22.9 $57.3 $79.0 $173.5-0.0302-0.0425-0.3246 **2070** 155.20 124.50 $23.3 $58.0 $79.8 $175.7-0.0297-0.0405-0.3130 **2071** 155.20 124.50 $23.8 $58.7 $80.6 $177.9-0.0289-0.0383-0.2998 **2072** 155.20 124.50 $24.3 $59.5 $81.5 $180.2-0.0280-0.0361-0.2857 **2073** 155.20 124.50 $24.8 $60.3 $82.3 $182.5-0.0270-0.0338-0.2710 **2074** 155.20 124.50 $25.3 $61.0 $83.1 $184.9-0.0259-0.0315-0.2555 **2075** 155.20 124.50 $25.8 $61.8 $84.0 $187.2-0.0247-0.0292-0.2398 **2076** 155.20 124.50 $26.3 $62.6 $84.9 $189.6-0.0235-0.0269-0.2239 **2077** 155.20 124.50 $26.8 $63.4 $85.7 $192.1-0.0222-0.0247-0.2081 **2078** 155.20 124.50 $27.4 $64.2 $86.6 $194.5-0.0209-0.0226-0.1928 **2079** 155.20 124.50 $27.9 $65.1 $87.5 $197.0-0.0196-0.0206-0.1779 **2080** 155.20 124.50 $28.5 $65.9 $88.4 $199.5-0.0183-0.0187-0.1635 **2081** 155.20 124.50 $29.0 $66.7 $89.3 $202.1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2082** 155.20 124.50 $29.6 $67.6 $90.2 $204.70.0000 0.0000 0.0000**2083** 155.20 124.50 $30.2 $68.5 $91.2 $207.30.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2084** 155.20 124.50 $30.8 $69.3 $92.1 $209.90.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2085** 155.20 124.50 $31.4 $70.2 $93.1 $212.60.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2086** 155.20 124.50 $32.1 $71.1 $94.0 $215.40.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2087** 155.20 124.50 $32.7 $72.1 $95.0 $218.1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2088** 155.20 124.50 $33.3 $73.0 $96.0 $220.90.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2089** 155.20 124.50 $34.0 $73.9 $96.9 $223.70.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2090** 155.20 124.50 $34.7 $74.9 $97.9 $226.60.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2091** 155.20 124.50 $35.4 $75.8 $99.0 $229.50.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2092** 155.20 124.50 $36.1 $76.8 $100.0$232.40.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **2093** 155.20 124.50 $36.8 $77.8 $101.0$235.40.0000 0.0000 0.0000 **Totals**2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%

CO2 Value (3)CO2

Value (4) NOx

Price $/kt (1) NOx Price $/kt (2) NOx Price $/kt (3) NOx Price $/kt (4) NOx Price $/kt (5) NOx Price $/kt (6) NOx reduction NOx

Value (1) NOx

Value (2) NOx

Value (3)

million 2010$ million 2010$ kt million 2010$

0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.5364 0.9992 $0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.01280.0054 0.0306 0.0557 1.26882.3616$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.03050.0126 0.07090.1292 1.98393.6887$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0481 0.0192 0.1084 0.1976 2.57524.7946$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0630 0.0244 0.13790.2513 3.04585.6629$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0750 0.02830.1594 0.2905 3.38066.2680$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.08380.03070.17290.3151 3.68686.8413$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.09230.03280.18480.3368 3.9756 7.3640$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1002 0.03450.19480.3552 4.2441 7.8567$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1076 0.0360 0.2030 0.37004.41368.1551 $0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1122 0.03650.2056 0.3748

4.4794 8.2691 $0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1146 0.0361 0.20380.3715 4.4730 8.2484$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1151 0.0352 0.19880.3623 4.4422 8.1727$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11480.0341 0.19250.3508 4.38058.0483$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11390.03290.18550.3381 4.31157.9100$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11290.03170.17850.3254 4.2544 7.7847$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1120 0.03050.17190.3134 4.1929 7.6590$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11130.0294 0.16580.3022 4.1362 7.5418$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11070.0284 0.1601 0.2918 4.0878 7.4321 $0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1101 0.0274 0.1546 0.2818 4.0356 7.3223$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1096 0.02650.14950.2724 3.9884 7.2215$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.10930.02570.14470.2638 3.9517 7.1326$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1091 0.02490.1402 0.2556 3.9063 7.0348$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.10890.0241 0.13590.2477 3.86976.9526$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.10890.0234 0.1320 0.2405 3.8431 6.8818$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1091 0.02270.12830.2338 3.81236.8096$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.10930.0221 0.12480.2275 3.78386.7415$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1096 0.0216 0.1216 0.2216 3.76376.6766$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1101 0.0210 0.11850.2159 3.72606.6036$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11050.02050.11550.2105 3.69656.5335$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1111 0.0200 0.11270.2054 3.66846.4659$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1116 0.01950.1100 0.2004 3.63556.4005$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11230.0190 0.1074 0.1957 3.60996.3370$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.1130 0.0186 0.10490.1912 3.5852 6.2704$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11370.0182 0.10250.1868 3.55576.2103$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.11450.01780.1002 0.1826 3.1072 5.4104$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.10130.01530.0861 0.1569 2.6851 4.6611 $0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.08870.0130 0.0731 0.1333 2.28373.9581 $0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.07650.01090.0612 0.1116 1.9094 3.3009$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.06470.00890.05030.0917 1.55862.6881 $0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0534 0.0072 0.04030.0735 1.23182.1193$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.04270.00550.03130.0570 0.9292 1.5948$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.03250.0041 0.0231 0.0421 0.6511 1.1149$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.02280.00280.01580.0287 0.3980 0.6799$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.01380.0016 0.00930.0169 0.16980.2894$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.00550.0006 0.0036 0.0065 -0.0329-0.0560$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0021-0.0002-0.0013-0.0024 -0.2105-0.3570$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0090-0.0010-0.0055-0.0100 -0.3634-0.6149$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0151-0.0016-0.0090-0.0163 -0.4928-0.8318$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0204-0.0021-0.0118-0.0215 -0.6001-1.0105$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0250-0.0025-0.0140-0.0256 -0.6869-1.1540$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0289-0.0028-0.0157-0.0287 -0.6548-1.0975$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0279-0.0026-0.0148-0.0269 -0.6405-1.0708$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0276-0.0025-0.0142-0.0259 -0.6313-1.0530$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0276-0.0024-0.0138-0.0251 -0.6206-1.0327$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0274-0.0024-0.0133-0.0242 -0.6093-1.0114$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0273-0.0023-0.0128-0.0234 -0.5938-0.9833$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0270-0.0022-0.0123-0.0225 -0.5739-0.9481$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0264-0.0021-0.0117-0.0214 -0.5511-0.9083$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0257-0.0020-0.0111-0.0202 -0.5263-0.8655$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0249-0.0018-0.0104-0.0190 -0.5004-0.8208$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0240-0.0017-0.0098-0.0178 -0.4730-0.7740$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0231-0.0016-0.0091-0.0166 -0.4448-0.7262$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0220-0.0015-0.0084-0.0153 -0.4163-0.6780$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0209-0.0014-0.0078-0.0141 -0.3879-0.6303$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0197-0.0013-0.0071-0.0130 -0.3601-0.5838$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0186-0.0012-0.0065-0.0119 -0.3331-0.5386$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0174-0.0011-0.0059-0.0108 -0.3069-0.4951$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.623-0.0163-0.0010-0.0054-0.0098 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.00000.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000$0.450$2.537$4.623$0.450$2.537$4.6230.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.00007.0% 7.0% 7.0%

NOx Value (4) NOx

Value (5) NOx

Value (6)

million 2010$

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0050 0.02830.0516 0.0112 0.0632 0.1153 0.01650.0931 0.1697 0.0202 0.1140 0.2077 0.02250.12680.2311 0.02350.1324 0.2413 0.0242 0.1362 0.2483 0.02450.13830.2521 0.0246 0.13870.25280.0240 0.1352 0.2465

0.02290.1290 0.2352 0.02150.1211 0.2208 0.0200 0.11290.2058 0.0186 0.10470.1909 0.0172 0.0970 0.1769 0.0160 0.0900 0.1640 0.01480.08350.1522 0.01380.0776 0.1415 0.01280.0722 0.1315 0.01190.0672 0.1224 0.0111 0.0626 0.1141 0.0104 0.0584 0.1064 0.00970.05450.0993 0.0090 0.05090.0928 0.0084 0.0476 0.0868 0.00790.0446 0.0813 0.0074 0.04180.0762 0.0070 0.0392 0.0715 0.00650.03680.0671 0.0061 0.0346 0.0630 0.00580.03250.0592 0.0054 0.03050.0557 0.0051 0.02870.0523 0.00480.0270 0.0492 0.00450.0254 0.0463 0.00370.0210 0.0383 0.0030 0.0172 0.0313 0.00250.01390.0253 0.00190.0110 0.0200 0.00150.00850.0154 0.0011 0.00630.0115 0.00080.00450.0082 0.00050.0030 0.0054 0.00030.00170.0030 0.0001 0.0006 0.0011 0.0000-0.0002-0.0004 -0.0002-0.0009-0.0016 -0.0002-0.0014-0.0025 -0.0003-0.0018-0.0032 -0.0004-0.0020-0.0037 -0.0004-0.0022-0.0040 -0.0003-0.0020-0.0036 -0.0003-0.0018-0.0033 -0.0003-0.0017-0.0031 -0.0003-0.0016-0.0029 -0.0003-0.0015-0.0027 -0.0002-0.0014-0.0025 -0.0002-0.0012-0.0023 -0.0002-0.0011-0.0021 -0.0002-0.0010-0.0019 -0.0002-0.0009-0.0017 -0.0001-0.0008-0.0015 -0.0001-0.0007-0.0013 -0.0001-0.0007-0.0012 -0.0001-0.0006-0.0010 -0.0001-0.0005-0.0009 -0.0001-0.0004-0.0008 -0.0001-0.0004-0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.00000.0000 0.0000 0.0000

0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000Housing Projections

**Projected Total Housing Stock (millions) Projected Housing Starts (millions)** 

**Reference High**  **Low Reference**  **High Low**  2008 112.76 112.76 112.76 2008 0.98 0.98 0.98 2009 113.43 113.43 113.43 2009 0.60 0.60 0.60 2010 114.74 114.74 114.74 2010 0.65 0.65 0.65 2011 116.22 116.22 116.22 2011 0.85 0.85 0.85 2012 117.42 117.66 117.25 2012 1.72 1.96 1.55 2013 118.75 119.27 118.33 2013 1.85 2.13 1.61 2014 120.00 120.81 119.31 2014 1.78 2.07 1.51 2015 121.32 122.44 120.32 2015 1.85 2.16 1.54 2016 122.68 124.12 121.37 2016 1.90 2.23 1.58 2017 124.05 125.83 122.42 2017 1.91 2.26 1.58 2018 125.42 127.56 123.45 2018 1.91 2.29 1.57 2019 126.78 129.30 124.45 2019 1.91 2.29 1.54 2020 128.12 130.99 125.43 2020 1.90 2.27 1.53 2021 129.45 132.69 126.41 2021 1.89 2.27 1.53 2022 130.81 134.42 127.40 2022 1.93 2.31 1.54 2023 132.16 136.15 128.37 2023 1.92 2.31 1.53 2024 133.49 137.88 129.32 2024 1.91 2.33 1.51 2025 134.83 139.65 130.26 2025 1.93 2.37 1.50 2026 136.17 141.43 131.17 2026 1.93 2.39 1.48 2027 137.47 143.20 132.04 2027 1.90 2.38 1.44 2028 138.73 144.93 132.85 2028 1.86 2.36 1.39 2029 139.96 146.65 133.62 2029 1.83 2.35 1.35 2030 141.18 148.39 134.36 2030 1.83 2.37 1.32 2031 142.38 150.12 135.06 2031 1.81 2.37 1.29 2032 143.54 151.80 135.70 2032 1.77 2.33 1.23 2033 144.67 153.45 136.32 2033 1.75 2.30 1.20 2034 145.79 155.09 136.93 2034 1.75 2.30 1.20 2035 146.90 156.72 137.53 2035 1.74 2.29 1.20 2036 148.00 158.34 138.12 2036 1.74 2.29 1.20 2037 149.10 159.96 138.70 2037 1.74 2.29 1.20 2038 150.20 161.58 139.30 2038 1.74 2.29 1.20 2039 151.31 163.20 139.89 2039 1.74 2.29 1.20 2040 152.41 164.82 140.49 2040 1.74 2.29 1.20 2041 153.51 166.44 141.08 2041 1.74 2.29 1.20 2042 154.61 168.06 141.67 2042 1.74 2.29 1.20 2043 155.72 169.68 142.26 2043 1.74 2.29 1.20 2044 156.82 171.30 142.86 2044 1.74 2.29 1.20 2045 157.92 172.92 143.45 2045 1.74 2.29 1.20 2046 159.02 174.54 144.04 2046 1.74 2.29 1.20 2047 160.12 176.16 144.63 2047 1.74 2.29 1.20 **Source:**Annual Energy Outlook 2011**Demolitions (millions) Reference**  **High Low**  2008 2009 0.31 0.31 0.31 2010 0.00 -0.71 -0.71 2011 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 2012 -0.35 -0.59 -0.18 2013 0.39 0.35 0.47 2014 0.60 0.59 0.63 2015 0.46 0.44 0.50 2016 0.49 0.48 0.49 2017 0.53 0.52 0.53 2018 0.54 0.53 0.55 2019 0.55 0.55 0.57 2020 0.57 0.60 0.56 2021 0.57 0.57 0.55 2022 0.53 0.54 0.54 2023 0.58 0.58 0.57 2024 0.59 0.58 0.58 2025 0.57 0.56 0.57 2026 0.59 0.59 0.59 2027 0.63 0.62 0.61 2028 0.64 0.65 0.63 2029 0.63 0.64 0.62 2030 0.61 0.61 0.61 2031 0.63 0.64 0.62 2032 0.65 0.69 0.65 2033 0.64 0.68 0.61 2034 0.63 0.66 0.59 2035 0.64 0.67 0.60 2036 0.64 0.67 0.61 2037 0.64 0.67 0.61 2038 0.64 0.67 0.61 2039 0.64 0.67 0.60 

### 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00

2008 2018**H o** **u s** **i n** **g S** **t a** **r t** **s (** **m i** **l l** **i o** **n s** **)**



### Reference High Low

2039 0.64 0.67 0.60 2040 0.64 0.67 0.61 2041 0.64 0.67 0.61 2042 0.64 0.67 0.61 2043 0.64 0.67 0.61 2044 0.64 0.67 0.61 2045 0.64 0.67 0.61 2046 0.64 0.67 0.61 2047 0.64 0.67 0.61

### 2028

Reference High LowFuel & Water Prices

**Av erage Energy** 

**Prices (2010 $ / MMBtu)** source: EIA plus Annual Energy Outlook 2011 price trends

**Reference High**  **Low Ref.**  **High Low**  **2008** 33.70 33.70 33.70 **2008** 13.84 13.84 13.84 **2008 2009**  34.18 34.17 34.17 **2009** 12.08 12.07 12.07 **2009 2010**  34.08 34.11 34.10 **2010** 11.20 11.23 11.20 **2010 2011**  32.02 32.11 32.04 **2011** 10.46 10.51 10.47 **2011 2012**  32.23 32.42 32.17 **2012** 10.33 10.41 10.31 **2012 2013**  32.42 32.65 32.29 **2013** 10.28 10.42 10.23 **2013 2014**  32.33 32.64 32.17 **2014** 10.17 10.33 10.07 **2014 2015**  32.33 32.65 32.04 **2015** 10.29 10.48 10.13 **2015 2016**  32.10 32.46 31.80 **2016** 10.39 10.63 10.20 **2016 2017**  32.08 32.48 31.75 **2017** 10.50 10.76 10.28 **2017 2018**  31.98 32.49 31.61 **2018** 10.62 10.93 10.38 **2018 2019**  31.86 32.50 31.46 **2019** 10.78 11.10 10.52 **2019 2020**  31.88 32.61 31.44 **2020** 11.04 11.39 10.74 **2020 2021**  31.80 32.62 31.27 **2021** 11.26 11.65 10.92 **2021 2022**  31.74 32.67 31.09 **2022** 11.43 11.90 11.08 **2022 2023**  31.69 32.69 31.00 **2023** 11.63 12.12 11.25 **2023 2024**  31.66 32.72 30.95 **2024** 11.84 12.39 11.42 **2024 2025**  31.72 32.90 30.93 **2025** 12.03 12.62 11.59 **2025 2026**  31.77 32.95 30.89 **2026** 12.19 12.84 11.71 **2026 2027**  31.77 33.05 30.82 **2027** 12.38 13.03 11.84 **2027 2028**  31.78 33.13 30.72 **2028** 12.50 13.19 11.95 **2028 2029**  31.82 33.21 30.62 **2029** 12.61 13.34 12.02 **2029 2030**  31.72 33.19 30.51 **2030** 12.72 13.52 12.06 **2030 2031**  31.76 33.34 30.54 **2031** 12.85 13.74 12.15 **2031 2032**  31.82 33.51 30.61 **2032** 13.00 13.92 12.27 **2032 2033**  31.90 33.63 30.64 **2033** 13.19 14.14 12.42 **2033 2034**  32.01 33.54 30.71 **2034** 13.38 14.08 12.54 **2034 2035**  32.19 33.43 30.75 **2035** 13.61 14.06 12.72 **2035 2036**  32.21 33.49 30.70 **2036** 13.80 14.26 12.86 **2036 2037**  32.23 33.54 30.66 **2037** 14.00 14.46 13.00 **2037 2038**  32.25 33.60 30.61 **2038** 14.20 14.66 13.15 **2038 Electricity** 

**($/MMBtu site energy )**  **Gas ($/MMBtu site energy )**  **Fuel Oil ($/MMBtu site energy )** 

**2038** 32.25 33.60 30.61 **2038** 14.20 14.66 13.15 **2038 2039**  32.28 33.65 30.56 **2039** 14.40 14.87 13.30 **2039 2040**  32.30 33.71 30.52 **2040** 14.60 15.08 13.45 **2040 2041**  32.32 33.76 30.47 **2041** 14.80 15.29 13.60 **2041 2042**  32.34 33.82 30.43 **2042** 15.01 15.50 13.76 **2042 2043**  32.36 33.88 30.38 **2043** 15.22 15.72 13.91 **2043 2044**  32.38 33.93 30.34 **2044** 15.44 15.94 14.07 **2044 2045**  32.40 33.99 30.29 **2045** 15.65 16.17 14.23 **2045 2046**  32.42 34.05 30.25 **2046** 15.87 16.40 14.39 **2046 2047**  32.44 34.10 30.20 **2047** 16.10 16.63 14.55 **2047 2048**  32.47 34.16 30.16 **2048** 16.32 16.86 14.71 **2048 2049**  32.49 34.22 30.11 **2049** 16.55 17.10 14.88 **2049 2050**  32.51 34.27 30.07 **2050** 16.78 17.34 15.05 **2050 2051**  32.53 34.33 30.03 **2051** 17.02 17.59 15.22 **2051 2052**  32.55 34.39 29.98 **2052** 17.26 17.83 15.39 **2052 2053**  32.57 34.44 29.94 **2053** 17.50 18.09 15.56 **2053 2054**  32.59 34.50 29.89 **2054** 17.75 18.34 15.74 **2054 2055**  32.61 34.56 29.85 **2055** 18.00 18.60 15.92 **2055 2056**  32.64 34.62 29.80 **2056** 18.25 18.86 16.10 **2056 2057**  32.66 34.67 29.76 **2057** 18.51 19.13 16.28 **2057 2058**  32.68 34.73 29.72 **2058** 18.77 19.40 16.46 **2058 2059**  32.70 34.79 29.67 **2059** 19.03 19.67 16.65 **2059 2060**  32.72 34.85 29.63 **2060** 19.30 19.95 16.84 **2060 2061**  32.74 34.91 29.58 **2061** 19.57 20.23 17.03 **2061 2062**  32.76 34.96 29.54 **2062** 19.84 20.52 17.22 **2062 2063**  32.78 35.02 29.50 **2063** 20.12 20.80 17.42 **2063 2064**  32.81 35.08 29.45 **2064** 20.41 21.10 17.61 **2064 2065**  32.83 35.14 29.41 **2065** 20.69 21.40 17.81 **2065 2066**  32.85 35.20 29.37 **2066** 20.98 21.70 18.01 **2066 2067**  32.87 35.26 29.32 **2067** 21.28 22.00 18.22 **2067 2068**  32.89 35.31 29.28 **2068** 21.58 22.31 18.42 **2068 2069**  32.91 35.37 29.24 **2069** 21.88 22.63 18.63 **2069 2070**  32.94 35.43 29.19 **2070** 22.19 22.95 18.84 **2070 2071**  32.96 35.49 29.15 **2071** 22.50 23.27 19.05 **2071 2072**  32.98 35.55 29.11 **2072** 22.82 23.60 19.27 **2072**source: EIA plus Annual Energy Outlook 2011 price trends **Wa ter Price (2010 $ / 1000 gal)**  CPI scalar to 2010:

**Ref. High**  **Low Ref.**  **High Low**  2009 25.15 25.16 25.16 **2008** 2010 18.42 18.42 18.42 **2009** 21.02 21.02 21.02 **2010** 7.17 7.17 7.17 22.03 22.03 22.03 **2011** 7.26 7.26 7.26 2010 20.26 20.33 20.20 **2012** 7.35 7.35 7.35 2011 20.64 20.88 20.45 **2013** 7.43 7.43 7.43 2012 21.06 21.41 20.83 **2014** 7.52 7.52 7.52 2013 21.48 21.98 21.15 **2015** 7.61 7.61 7.61 2014 22.34 22.68 21.79 **2016** 7.70 7.70 7.70 2015 23.07 23.42 22.51 **2017** 7.79 7.79 7.79 2016 23.72 24.07 22.98 **2018** 7.88 7.88 7.88 2017 24.32 24.75 23.51 **2019** 7.96 7.96 7.96 2018 24.67 25.33 24.04 **2020** 8.05 8.05 8.05 2019 24.96 25.81 24.36 **2021** 8.14 8.14 8.14 2020 25.39 26.26 24.80 **2022** 8.23 8.23 8.23 2021 25.61 26.71 25.14 **2023** 8.32 8.32 8.32 2022 26.13 27.05 25.51 **2024** 8.41 8.41 8.41 2023 26.34 27.47 25.84 **2025** 8.49 8.49 8.49 2024 26.59 27.75 26.09 **2026** 8.58 8.58 8.58 2025 26.90 27.78 26.20 **2027** 8.67 8.67 8.67 2026 27.11 27.94 26.46 **2028** 8.76 8.76 8.76 2027 27.41 28.18 26.58 **2029** 8.85 8.85 8.85 2028 27.38 28.34 26.19 **2030** 8.94 8.94 8.94 2029 27.48 28.64 26.61 **2031** 9.03 9.03 9.03 2030 27.58 28.88 26.74 **2032** 9.11 9.11 9.11 2031 27.63 28.90 26.62 **2033** 9.20 9.20 9.20 2032 27.84 29.04 26.66 **2034** 9.29 9.29 9.29 2033 27.98 29.23 26.71 **2035** 9.38 9.38 9.38 2034 28.22 29.51 26.90 **2036** 9.47 9.47 9.47 2035 28.45 29.80 27.09 **2037** 9.56 9.56 9.56 2036 28.69 30.08 27.28 **2038** 9.64 9.64 9.64 2037 **Fuel Oil ($/MMBtu site energy )**  **Wa ter Price** 

Water Trend (from LCC)

28.69 30.08 27.28 **2038** 9.64 9.64 9.64 2037 28.93 30.37 27.47 **2039** 9.73 9.73 9.73 2038 29.18 30.66 27.67 **2040** 9.82 9.82 9.82 2039 29.42 30.96 27.86 **2041** 9.91 9.91 9.91 2040 29.67 31.25 28.06 **2042** 10.00 10.00 10.00 2041 29.92 31.55 28.26 **2043** 10.09 10.09 10.09 2042 30.17 31.86 28.46 **2044** 10.18 10.18 10.18 2043 30.43 32.16 28.66 **2045** 10.26 10.26 10.26 2044 30.68 32.47 28.86 **2046** 10.35 10.35 10.35 2045 30.94 32.78 29.06 **2047** 10.44 10.44 10.44 2046 31.20 33.10 29.27 **2048** 10.53 10.53 10.53 2047 31.47 33.42 29.47 **2049** 10.62 10.62 10.62 2048 31.73 33.74 29.68 **2050** 10.71 10.71 10.71 2049 32.00 34.06 29.89 **2051** 10.79 10.79 10.79 2050 32.27 34.39 30.10 **2052** 10.88 10.88 10.88 2051 32.54 34.72 30.31 **2053** 10.97 10.97 10.97 2052 32.81 35.05 30.53 **2054** 11.06 11.06 11.06 2053 33.09 35.39 30.74 **2055** 11.15 11.15 11.15 2054 33.37 35.73 30.96 **2056** 11.24 11.24 11.24 2055 33.65 36.07 31.18 **2057** 11.32 11.32 11.32 2056 33.93 36.42 31.40 **2058** 11.41 11.41 11.41 2057 34.22 36.77 31.62 **2059** 11.50 11.50 11.50 2058 34.51 37.12 31.84 **2060** 11.59 11.59 11.59 2059 34.80 37.47 32.07 **2061** 11.68 11.68 11.68 2060 35.09 37.83 32.29 **2062** 11.77 11.77 11.77 2061 35.39 38.20 32.52 **2063** 11.86 11.86 11.86 206235.69 38.56 32.75 **2064** 11.94 11.94 11.94 2063

35.99 38.93 32.98 **2065** 12.03 12.03 12.03 2064 36.29 39.31 33.21 **2066** 12.12 12.12 12.12 2065 36.60 39.69 33.45 **2067** 12.21 12.21 12.21 2066 36.90 40.07 33.69 **2068** 12.30 12.30 12.30 2067 37.21 40.45 33.92 **2069** 12.39 12.39 12.39 2068 37.53 40.84 34.16 **2070** 12.47 12.47 12.47 2069 37.84 41.23 34.40 **2071** 12.56 12.56 12.56 2070 38.16 41.63 34.65 **2072** 12.65 12.65 12.65 2071 2072CPI scalar to 2010: 1.016

214.537 218.056

2010 Water Prices 1.00 Res. WaterRes. Waste 1.01 Cen. Reg$/1000 gal$/1000 gal 1.02 1 $4.07 $3.53 1.04 2 $2.21 $2.77 1.05 3 $3.01 $4.68 1.06 4 $4.06 $3.96 1.07 U.S. Avg $3.30 $3.87 1.09 source: Raftelis 2010 survey 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.14 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.19 1.20 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.30 1.31 1.32 1.33 Water Trend (from LCC)



### 29.00 30.00 31.00 32.00 33.00 34.00 35.00**E l** **e c** **t r** **i c** **i t** **y P** **r i** **c e** **s (** **2 0** **1 0** **$ /** **M M** **B t** **u )** 



### Reference

High Low 1.33 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.48 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.60 1.62 1.63 1.64 

### 28.00

29.00 30.00

2008 2018 2028**E l** **e c** **t r** **i c** **i t** **y P** **r i** **c e** **s (** **2 0** **1 0** **$ /** **M M** **B t** **u )** 



### Reference

High Low1.65

1.67 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.72 1.73 1.74 1.75 1.76Site to Source Conversion

**Site to Source Conversion**

**Elec Gas**  (Btu/kWh) All 2010 7009 1.07 2011 6827 1.07 2012 6651 1.07 2013 6549 1.07 2014 6486 1.07 2015 6448 1.07 2016 6443 1.07 2017 6433 1.07 2018 6427 1.07 2019 6425 1.07 2020 6436 1.07 2021 6468 1.07 2022 6483 1.07 2023 6506 1.07 2024 6534 1.07 2025 6534 1.07 2026 6538 1.07 2027 6552 1.07 2028 6555 1.07 2029 6551 1.07 2030 6548 1.07 2031 6552 1.07 2032 6551 1.07 2033 6548 1.07 2034 6550 1.07 2035 6561 1.07 2036 6561 1.07 2037 6561 1.07 2038 6561 1.07 2039 6561 1.07 2040 6561 1.07 2041 6561 1.07 2042 6561 1.07 2043 6561 1.07 2044 6561 1.07 2045 6561 1.07 2046 6561 1.07 2047 6561 1.07 2048 6561 1.07 2049 6561 1.07 2050 6561 1.07 2051 6561 1.07 2052 6561 1.07 2053 6561 1.07 2054 6561 1.07 2055 6561 1.07 2056 6561 1.07 2057 6561 1.07 2058 6561 1.07 2059 6561 1.07 2060 6561 1.07 2061 6561 1.07 2062 6561 1.07 2063 6561 1.07 2064 6561 1.07 2065 6561 1.072066 6561 1.07 2067 6561 1.07 2068 6561 1.07 2069 6561 1.07 2070 6561 1.07 2071 6561 1.07 2072 6561 1.07 2073 6561 1.07 2074 6561 1.07 2075 6561 1.07 2076 6561 1.07 2077 6561 1.07 2078 6561 1.07 2079 6561 1.07 2080 6561 1.07 Source: AEO 2011Lifetime

**As sumptions:**  **Surv iv** **al Function** Dishwasher Lifetime **S(t) = e^-ln(2)*(((t-theta)/(M-theta))^gamma)** Average 15.43 

###  2.31 

###  16.29



###  1

Age % retiring % surviving% surviving to next yr 1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2 0.4% 99.8% 99.8% 3 0.9% 99.2% 99.4% 4 1.5% 98.0% 98.8% 5 2.2% 96.2% 98.1% 6 2.8% 93.7% 97.4% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%ClothesWashersinUse(%)

6 2.8% 93.7% 97.4% 7 3.5% 90.5% 96.6% 8 4.1% 86.8% 95.8% 9 4.6% 82.4% 95.0% 10 5.1% 77.6% 94.1% 11 5.4% 72.3% 93.2% 12 5.7% 66.8% 92.3% 13 5.8% 61.1% 91.4% 14 5.8% 55.2% 90.5% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%ClothesWashersinUse(%)

14 5.8% 55.2% 90.5% 15 5.8% 49.4% 89.5% 16 5.6% 43.8% 88.5% 17 5.3% 38.3% 87.5% 18 5.0% 33.2% 86.6% 19 4.6% 28.4% 85.6% 20 4.2% 24.0% 84.6% 21 3.7% 20.0% 83.6% 22 3.3% 16.5% 82.5% 23 2.8% 13.5% 81.5% 0% 10% 20%

0 5ClothesWashersinUse(%)

23 2.8% 13.5% 81.5% 24 2.4% 10.9% 80.5% 25 2.0% 8.6% 79.5% 26 1.7% 6.8% 78.5% 27 1.4% 5.2% 77.5% 28 1.1% 4.0% 76.4% 29 0.9% 3.0% 75.4% 30 0.7% 2.3% 74.4% 31 0.5% 1.7% 73.4% 32 0.4% 1.2% 72.4% 33 0.3% 0.9% 71.4% 34 0.2% 0.6% 70.4% 35 0.2% 0.4% 69.4% 36 0.1% 0.3% 68.4% 37 0.1% 0.2% 67.4% 38 0.1% 0.1% 66.4% 39 0.0% 0.1% 65.5% 40 0.0% 0.1% 64.5% 41 0.0% 0.0% 63.5% 42 0.0% 0.0% 62.6% 43 0.0% 0.0% 61.6% 44 0.0% 0.0% 60.7% 45 0.0% 0.0% 59.8% 46 0.0% 0.0% 58.8% 47 0.0% 0.0% 57.9% 48 0.0% 0.0% 57.0%49 0.0% 0.0% 56.1% 50 0.0% 0.0% 55.2%

sum 100.0%

wt. avg. Lifetime = 15.4

Max Age = 50**S(t) = e^-ln(2)*(((t-theta)/(M-theta))^gamma)**

% Surviving % Retiring

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Years