HDR1012000110010712960830CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY                   
Released July 12, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), 
Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For information 
on "Crop Production" call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m.
ET.  For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about     
NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at         
1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV.  The "Crop Production" U.S.       
Summary is available on AutoFax, see the subscription page (202-720-2000,       
report 1150).  Forecasts refer to July 1, 1996.                                 
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                  Wheat Production up 4 Percent                                 
                                                                                
                                                                                
All wheat production for 1996 is forecast at 2.26 billion bushels, up 4 percent 
from 1995. U.S. yields are expected to average 35.9 bushels per acre, up        
0.1 bushels per acre from a year ago. Grain area totals 63.1 million acres, up  
4 percent from last season.                                                     
                                                                                
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.48 billion bushels.  This is up        
8 percent from June 1, but down 4 percent from 1995.  Based on July 1           
conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 37.0 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushels 
per acre from the last forecast, but 0.7 bushels per acre less than last year.  
Grain area totals 40.1 million acres, down 2 percent from 1995.                 
                                                                                
Total Hard Red production is up substantially from last month. Increased area   
and yields are the reason. Soft Red production is also up, primarily due to     
acreage increases. A lower Oregon yield, coupled with the lower percentage of   
White wheat in Washington, has White Winter production down from last month.    
                                                                                
Other spring wheat production is forecast at 655 million bushels, up 22 percent 
from 1995.  This production would be the second highest on record. Based on     
July 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 33.5 bushels per acre, up      
1.3 bushels per acre from last year. Grain area totals 19.6 million acres, up   
18 percent from last season. Expectations are for yields above last year in the 
Dakotas and Minnesota, but lower in Montana. However, Montana's forecasted      
production is at a record high level because of harvested area.                 
                                                                                
Durum wheat production is forecast at 123 million bushels, up 21 percent from   
1995, and the highest level since 1982. Based on July 1 conditions, the U.S.    
yield is forecast at 35.7 bushels per acre, up 5.2 bushels per acre from last   
year. Grain area totals 3.46 million acres, up 3 percent from last season.      
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
Cr Pr 2-2 (7-96)                                                                
                                                                                
All orange production is forecast at 11.80 million tons, up less than one       
percent from last month and 2 percent above last season. This year's crop is the
second largest on record, only 36,000 tons below the 11.83 million tons produced
in the 1979-80 season.  Florida's forecast is 203.2 million boxes (9.14 million 
tons), up less than one percent from June's forecast but down 1 percent from    
last season.  The Valencia forecast increased one million boxes to 82.0 million 
boxes (3.69 million tons), down 4 percent from a year ago.  Early and mid-season
varieties remained at 121.2 million boxes (5.45 million tons), a record high.   
California's orange production was unchanged from April.  It remained at        
68.0 million boxes (2.55 million tons), 11 percent above last season.  Early,   
mid-season, and Navel varieties are expected to  produce 40.0 million boxes     
(1.50 million tons), 14 percent more than last season.  Valencia production is  
forecast at 28.0 million boxes (1.05 million tons), 8 percent more than 1994-95.
                                                                                
                                                                                
Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1995-96 season is 
1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix.  This final yield for all fruit used 
in FCOJ is unchanged from last month and up from the final 1994-95 yield of     
1.50 gallons per box.  The yield for early and mid-season varieties was final in
March at 1.45 gallons per box, up from last year's 1.44 gallons per box.  The   
Valencia crop yielded 1.67 gallons per box, unchanged from last month's forecast
but up from 1.58 gallons per box a year ago.   The final yield is reported by   
the Florida Citrus Processors Association.                                      
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
This report was approved on July 12, 1996, by the Secretary of Agriculture and  
the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board.   
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
              Secretary of                   Agricultural Statistics Board      
              Agriculture                             Chairperson               
              Dan Glickman                            Rich Allen                
             Crop Summary: Production, United States,                           
                 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996                               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :                Utilized Production                   
                         :----------------------------------------------------  
          Crop           :                :       Jun 1,     :     Jul 1,       
                         :      1995      :        1996      :      1996        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
        Crop Year        :    1994-95            1995-96          1995-96       
                         :                                                      
                         :                     1,000 Tons                       
Citrus Fruits 1/         :                                                      
  Oranges                :      11,616            11,749            11,796      
  Grapefruit             :       2,912             2,758             2,765      
  Lemons 2/              :         916               988               992      
  Tangerines             :         275               344               346      
  Temples (FL)           :         114                97                97      
  Tangelos (FL)          :         142               110               110      
  K-Early Citrus (FL)    :           5                 7                 7      
                         :                                                      
                         :                    Metric Tons                       
                         :                                                      
  Oranges                :  10,537,860        10,658,510        10,701,150      
  Grapefruit             :   2,641,720         2,502,020         2,508,370      
  Lemons 2/              :     830,980           896,300           899,930      
  Tangerines             :     249,480           312,070           313,890      
  Temples (FL)           :     103,420            88,000            88,000      
  Tangelos (FL)          :     128,820            99,790            99,790      
  K-Early Citrus (FL)    :       4,540             6,350             6,350      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Crop year begins with the bloom of the first year and ends with the         
    completion of harvest the following year.                                   
2/  June 1 estimate carried forward from the April 1 forecast.                  
                                                                                
     Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,                   
                 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996                               
                         (Domestic Units)                                       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :       Area Planted       :      Area Harvested 1/    
          Crop           :----------------------------------------------------  
                         :     1995    :    1996    :    1995    :    1996      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :                     1,000 Acres                      
                         :                                                      
                         :                                                      
Oats                     :     6,336        4,608        2,959        2,673     
Barley                   :     6,689        7,134        6,277        6,761     
All Wheat                :    69,177       75,624       60,971       63,118     
  Winter                 :    48,726       52,053       40,993       40,097     
  Durum                  :     3,436        3,565        3,356        3,456     
  Other Spring           :    17,015       20,006       16,622       19,565     
Potatoes                 :                                                      
  Winter 1/              :      13.3         13.6         11.9         13.5     
  Spring 1/              :      88.3         91.9         84.3         89.2     
  Summer                 :      72.4         79.6         70.6         76.8     
  Fall                   :   1,223.1      1,261.2      1,204.5      1,244.6     
  Total                  :   1,397.1      1,446.3      1,371.3      1,424.1     
All Tobacco              :                               663.1        724.2     
  Flue-cured             :                                                      
    Types 11-14          :                               386.2        400.3     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Estimates for current month carried forward from an earlier forecast.       
                                                                                
                                                                                
  Crop Summary:  Yield per Acre and Production, United States,                  
                 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996                               
                         (Domestic Units)                                       
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
                         : Yield per Acre:             Production               
      Crop and Unit      :---------------------------------------------------   
                         :       :       :           :   Jun 1,  :   Jul 1,     
                         :  1995 :  1996 :   1995    :    1996   :    1996      
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
                         :                  ------------- 1,000 ------------    
                         :                                                      
Oats                 Bu  :  54.7    58.0     161,847                 154,968    
Barley               "   :  57.2    58.2     359,102                 393,592    
All Wheat            "   :  35.8    35.9   2,185,539               2,263,267    
  Winter             "   :  37.7    37.0   1,547,311   1,369,861   1,484,836    
  Durum              "   :  30.5    35.7     102,280                 123,452    
  Other Spring       "   :  32.2    33.5     535,948                 654,979    
Potatoes                 :                                                      
  Winter 1/          Cwt :   208     215       2,473                   2,907    
  Spring 1/          "   :   240     238      20,193                  21,197    
  Summer             "   :   253     246      17,855                  18,876    
  Fall               "   :   334             401,879                            
  Total              "   :   323             442,400                            
All Tobacco          Lb  : 1,913           1,268,494                            
  Flue-cured             :                                                      
    Types 11-14      "   : 1,933   2,240     746,616                 896,504    
Peaches              "   :                 2,301,300               1,988,400    
Apricots (CA)        Ton :                      58.5                    73.3    
Dried Prunes (CA)    "   :                     181.0       200.0                
Almonds (CA) 2/      Lb  :                   370,000     520,000     530,000    
Walnuts (CA)         Ton :                     234.0                   235.0    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/  Estimates for current month carried forward from an earlier forecast.       
2/  June 1 estimate carried forward from the May 1 forecast.                    
     Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,                   
                 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996                               
                          (Metric Units)                                        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :       Area Planted        :      Area Harvested 1/      
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------  
                      :     1995    :     1996    :     1995    :    1996       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :                        Hectares                         
                      :                                                         
                      :                                                         
Oats                  :   2,564,120     1,864,810     1,197,480    1,081,740    
Barley                :   2,706,970     2,887,060     2,540,240    2,736,110    
All Wheat             :  27,995,240    30,604,280    24,674,350   25,543,220    
  Winter              :  19,718,920    21,065,330    16,589,460   16,226,850    
  Durum               :   1,390,510     1,442,720     1,358,140    1,398,610    
  Other Spring        :   6,885,800     8,096,230     6,726,760    7,917,760    
Potatoes              :                                                         
  Winter 1/           :       5,380         5,500         4,820        5,460    
  Spring 1/           :      35,730        37,190        34,120       36,100    
  Summer              :      29,300        32,210        28,570       31,080    
  Fall                :     494,980       510,400       487,450      503,680    
  Total               :     565,390       585,300       554,950      576,320    
All Tobacco           :                                 268,350      293,070    
  Flue-cured          :                                                         
    Types 11-14       :                                 156,290      162,000    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Estimates for current month carried forward from an earlier forecast.       
                                                                                
 Crop Summary:  Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,                
                 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996                               
                          (Metric Units)                                        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :Yield per Hectare:             Production                
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------  
                      :        :        :           :   Jun 1,   :   Jul 1,     
                      :  1995  :  1996  :   1995    :    1996    :    1996      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :                      Metric Tons                        
                      :                                                         
Oats                  :  1.96     2.08    2,349,200                 2,249,350   
Barley                :  3.08     3.13    7,818,520                 8,569,450   
All Wheat             :  2.41     2.41   59,480,620                61,596,030   
  Winter              :  2.54     2.49   42,110,900   37,281,510   40,410,610   
  Durum               :  2.05     2.40    2,783,610                 3,359,810   
  Other Spring        :  2.17     2.25   14,586,110                17,825,610   
Potatoes              :                                                         
  Winter 1/           : 23.27    24.15      112,170                   131,860   
  Spring 1/           : 26.84    26.63      915,940                   961,480   
  Summer              : 28.35    27.55      809,890                   856,200   
  Fall                : 37.40            18,228,930                             
  Total               : 36.16            20,066,930                             
All Tobacco           :  2.14               575,380                             
  Flue-cured          :                                                         
    Types 11-14       :  2.17     2.51      338,660                   406,650   
Peaches               :                   1,043,850                   901,920   
Apricots              :                      53,070                    66,500   
Dried Prunes (CA)     :                     164,200      181,440                
Almonds (CA) 2/       :                     167,830      235,870      240,400   
Walnuts (CA)          :                     212,280                   213,190   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Estimates for current month carried forward from an earlier forecast.       
2/  June 1 estimate carried forward from the May 1 forecast.                    
HDR1012000110110712960830CROP PRODUCTION STATE TABLES                           
             Oats:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State              
             and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted July 1, 1996             
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :   Area Harvested  :       Yield       :           Production            
 State:------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
      :   1995  :   1996  :   1995  :   1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :    1,000 Acres        -- Bushels --     ------- 1,000 Bushels -------   
      :                                                                         
AL    :     23        17     35.0       50.0      1,650        805        850   
AR    :     18        25     85.0       70.0      1,540      1,530      1,750   
CA    :     30        30     85.0       80.0      2,400      2,550      2,400   
CO    :     33        30     62.0       58.0      1,440      2,046      1,740   
GA    :     35        35     50.0       62.0      3,350      1,750      2,170   
ID    :     20        30     80.0       80.0      1,300      1,600      2,400   
IL    :     80        70     67.0       67.0      5,490      5,360      4,690   
IN    :     30        25     68.0       66.0      1,855      2,040      1,650   
IA    :    225       225     65.0       62.0     26,660     14,625     13,950   
KS    :     80        80     47.0       48.0      5,520      3,760      3,840   
ME    :     24        28     60.0       75.0      1,680      1,440      2,100   
MD    :      6         7     61.0       56.0        270        366        392   
MI    :     90        60     57.0       56.0      6,270      5,130      3,360   
MN    :    375       270     48.0       60.0     24,750     18,000     16,200   
MO    :     29        29     47.0       51.0      1,768      1,363      1,479   
MT    :     80        50     59.0       58.0      3,600      4,720      2,900   
NE    :     90        90     50.0       55.0      7,500      4,500      4,950   
NY    :     90        75     59.0       60.0      7,040      5,310      4,500   
NC    :     30        20     65.0       62.0      2,600      1,950      1,240   
ND    :    450       330     48.0       58.0     33,550     21,600     19,140   
OH    :    100       100     69.0       55.0      6,720      6,900      5,500   
OK    :     20        20     39.0       30.0      1,110        780        600   
OR    :     35        35     97.0      101.0      4,500      3,395      3,535   
PA    :    160       140     59.0       57.0      8,480      9,440      7,980   
SC    :     35        30     45.0       58.0      2,840      1,575      1,740   
SD    :    250       330     46.0       58.0     31,360     11,500     19,140   
TX    :    120       120     42.0       30.0      5,200      5,040      3,600   
UT    :      9        10     70.0       72.0        600        630        720   
WA    :     14        18     80.0       75.0      1,160      1,120      1,350   
WV    :      5         4     42.0       48.0        225        210        192   
WI    :    340       310     55.0       55.0     25,380     18,700     17,050   
WY    :     33        30     64.0       62.0      1,200      2,112      1,860   
      :                                                                         
US    :  2,959     2,673     54.7       58.0    229,008    161,847    154,968   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
            Barley:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State             
             and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted July 1, 1996             
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :   Area Harvested  :       Yield       :           Production            
 State:------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
      :   1995  :   1996  :   1995  :   1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :    1,000 Acres        -- Bushels --      ------ 1,000 Bushels -------   
      :                                                                         
AZ    :     21        49      90.0     105.0      3,135      1,890      5,145   
CA    :    200       220      70.0      65.0     14,300     14,000     14,300   
CO    :    100        90     100.0     105.0      7,470     10,000      9,450   
DE    :     37        23      80.0      70.0      1,890      2,960      1,610   
ID    :    760       730      80.0      77.0     54,000     60,800     56,210   
KS    :      9        10      35.0      30.0        532        315        300   
KY    :     15        20      70.0      70.0      1,106      1,050      1,400   
MD    :     62        49      81.0      60.0      4,200      5,022      2,940   
MI    :     23        25      50.0      46.0      1,632      1,150      1,150   
MN    :    580       525      50.0      53.0     30,000     29,000     27,825   
MT    :  1,200     1,250      52.0      52.0     52,800     62,400     65,000   
NE    :      6        18      37.0      43.0        304        222        774   
NV    :      4         5      80.0     100.0        340        320        500   
NJ    :      5         3      65.0      68.0        265        325        204   
NC    :     30        20      60.0      65.0      1,750      1,800      1,300   
ND    :  2,250     2,550      45.0      50.0    132,000    101,250    127,500   
OK    :      3         3      30.0      25.0        222         90         75   
OR    :     95       130      76.0      74.0      9,490      7,220      9,620   
PA    :     75        75      69.0      65.0      4,875      5,175      4,875   
SC    :      5         4      42.0      55.0        504        210        220   
SD    :    160       140      38.0      44.0     13,020      6,080      6,160   
TX    :      7         7      46.0      32.0        264        322        224   
UT    :     93       100      90.0      83.0      8,025      8,370      8,300   
VA    :     80        80      84.0      69.0      6,351      6,720      5,520   
WA    :    290       440      72.0      66.0     14,335     20,880     29,040   
WI    :     72        75      48.0      50.0      4,452      3,456      3,750   
WY    :     95       120      85.0      85.0      7,600      8,075     10,200   
      :                                                                         
US    :  6,277     6,761      57.2      58.2    374,862    359,102    393,592   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
           All Wheat:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State           
             and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted July 1, 1996             
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :   Area Harvested  :       Yield       :           Production            
 State:------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
      :   1995  :   1996  :   1995  :   1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      : -- 1,000 Acres --    --- Bushels --      ------ 1,000 Bushels -------   
      :                                                                         
AL    :      80       80     36.0      45.0        4,560      2,880      3,600  
AZ    :     122      177     84.9      94.3       11,186     10,354     16,689  
AR    :   1,000    1,240     47.0      52.0       40,480     47,000     64,480  
CA    :     493      708     66.4      75.8       44,365     32,725     53,700  
CO    :   2,738    2,368     38.4      32.1       79,734    105,260     76,060  
DE    :      68       78     64.0      57.0        3,780      4,352      4,446  
FL    :      12       10     32.0      38.0          630        384        380  
GA    :     300      350     38.0      47.0       20,400     11,400     16,450  
ID    :   1,330    1,550     77.7      77.7      100,280    103,320    120,500  
IL    :   1,390    1,100     49.0      41.0       50,400     68,110     45,100  
IN    :     660      720     60.0      42.0       38,430     39,600     30,240  
IA    :      35       55     35.0      40.0        2,115      1,225      2,200  
KS    :  11,000    8,800     26.0      27.0      433,200    286,000    237,600  
KY    :     460      530     53.0      53.0       25,200     24,380     28,090  
LA    :      80      130     36.0      43.0        2,590      2,880      5,590  
MD    :     225      231     64.0      54.0       12,100     14,400     12,474  
MI    :     620      650     60.0      43.0       30,740     37,200     27,950  
MN    :   2,245    2,442     32.0      33.0       71,348     71,849     80,670  
MS    :     165      220     38.0      48.0        6,400      6,270     10,560  
MO    :   1,230    1,300     39.0      39.0       50,400     47,970     50,700  
MT    :   5,435    6,375     36.0      35.1      170,590    195,750    223,825  
NE    :   2,100    2,150     41.0      31.0       71,400     86,100     66,650  
NV    :      10       19     85.0      86.6          670        850      1,645  
NJ    :      32       38     57.0      50.0        1,344      1,824      1,900  
NM    :     150      125     22.0      33.0        5,520      3,300      4,125  
NY    :     125      150     55.0      52.0        6,095      6,875      7,800  
NC    :     640      590     44.0      45.0       30,380     28,160     26,550  
ND    :  11,114   12,455     27.0      30.0      356,404    300,078    373,595  
OH    :   1,210    1,350     61.0      44.0       68,440     73,810     59,400  
OK    :   5,200    4,900     21.0      19.0      143,100    109,200     93,100  
OR    :     939      975     67.8      69.7       58,580     63,678     67,950  
PA    :     185      190     55.0      55.0        7,920     10,175     10,450  
SC    :     280      270     32.0      48.0       18,000      8,960     12,960  
SD    :   2,752    3,874     33.0      31.4       95,278     90,736    121,672  
TN    :     340      430     47.0      44.0       15,000     15,980     18,920  
TX    :   2,800    2,900     27.0      23.0       75,400     75,600     66,700  
UT    :     166      173     53.9      44.0        7,012      8,950      7,620  
VA    :     275      280     64.0      55.0       14,000     17,600     15,400  
WA    :   2,595    2,745     59.3      63.6      134,000    153,770    181,505  
WV    :      12       11     52.0      52.0          550        624        572  
WI    :     143      135     56.4      48.9        7,940      8,070      6,600  
WY    :     215      244     36.7      28.1        5,020      7,890      6,849  
      :                                                                         
US    :  60,971   63,118     35.8      35.9    2,320,981  2,185,539  2,263,267  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
         Winter Wheat:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State          
              and United States, 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :       Production        
      :------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
 State:        :        :         :        1996       :           :             
      :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :  Jun 1  :  Jul 1  :    1995   :    1996     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :   1,000 Acres       ------- Bushels -------      -- 1,000 Bushels --    
      :                                                                         
AL    :     80       80     36.0      39.0      45.0        2,880       3,600   
AZ    :     23       18     80.0      95.0      88.0        1,840       1,584   
AR    :  1,000    1,240     47.0      48.0      52.0       47,000      64,480   
CA    :    425      570     61.0      75.0      70.0       25,925      39,900   
CO    :  2,700    2,300     38.0      30.0      31.0      102,600      71,300   
DE    :     68       78     64.0      65.0      57.0        4,352       4,446   
FL    :     12       10     32.0      35.0      38.0          384         380   
GA    :    300      350     38.0      45.0      47.0       11,400      16,450   
ID    :    770      850     76.0      80.0      80.0       58,520      68,000   
IL    :  1,390    1,100     49.0      41.0      41.0       68,110      45,100   
IN    :    660      720     60.0      47.0      42.0       39,600      30,240   
IA    :     35       55     35.0      40.0      40.0        1,225       2,200   
KS    : 11,000    8,800     26.0      22.0      27.0      286,000     237,600   
KY    :    460      530     53.0      50.0      53.0       24,380      28,090   
LA    :     80      130     36.0      34.0      43.0        2,880       5,590   
MD    :    225      231     64.0      60.0      54.0       14,400      12,474   
MI    :    620      650     60.0      43.0      43.0       37,200      27,950   
MN    :     33       32     33.0      35.0      35.0        1,089       1,120   
MS    :    165      220     38.0      41.0      48.0        6,270      10,560   
MO    :  1,230    1,300     39.0      35.0      39.0       47,970      50,700   
MT    :  1,370    2,050     40.0      40.0      40.0       54,800      82,000   
NE    :  2,100    2,150     41.0      31.0      31.0       86,100      66,650   
NV    :      4        9    100.0     100.0     105.0          400         945   
NJ    :     32       38     57.0      47.0      50.0        1,824       1,900   
NM    :    150      125     22.0      33.0      33.0        3,300       4,125   
NY    :    125      150     55.0      52.0      52.0        6,875       7,800   
NC    :    640      590     44.0      47.0      45.0       28,160      26,550   
ND    :     34       55     27.0      32.0      29.0          918       1,595   
OH    :  1,210    1,350     61.0      50.0      44.0       73,810      59,400   
OK    :  5,200    4,900     21.0      19.0      19.0      109,200      93,100   
OR    :    825      850     70.0      73.0      72.0       57,750      61,200   
PA    :    185      190     55.0      54.0      55.0       10,175      10,450   
SC    :    280      270     32.0      45.0      48.0        8,960      12,960   
SD    :  1,520    1,650     37.0      30.0      32.0       56,240      52,800   
TN    :    340      430     47.0      44.0      44.0       15,980      18,920   
TX    :  2,800    2,900     27.0      24.0      23.0       75,600      66,700   
UT    :    140      145     50.0      40.0      40.0        7,000       5,800   
VA    :    275      280     64.0      52.0      55.0       17,600      15,400   
WA    :  2,150    2,350     62.0      66.0      66.0      133,300     162,150   
WV    :     12       11     52.0      52.0      69.0          624         572   
WI    :    135      125     58.0      50.0      50.0        7,830       6,250   
WY    :    190      215     36.0      26.0      27.0        6,840       5,805   
      :                                                                         
US    : 40,993   40,097     37.7      36.1      37.0    1,547,311   1,484,836   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
          Durum Wheat:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State          
              and United States, 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :       Production        
      :------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
 State:        :        :         :        1996       :           :             
      :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :  Jun 1  :  Jul 1  :    1995   :    1996     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :   1,000 Acres       ------- Bushels -------      -- 1,000 Bushels --    
      :                                                                         
AZ    :     99     159      86.0      93.0      95.0       8,514      15,105    
CA    :     68     138     100.0     100.0     100.0       6,800      13,800    
MN    :     12      10      30.0                35.0         360         350    
MT    :    265     225      30.0                29.0       7,950       6,525    
ND    :  2,880   2,900      27.0                30.0      77,760      87,000    
SD    :     32      24      28.0                28.0         896         672    
      :                                                                         
US    :  3,356   3,456      30.5                35.7     102,280     123,452    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                                                                                
                                                                                
      Other Spring Wheat:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State       
             and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted July 1, 1996             
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :   Area Harvested  :       Yield       :           Production            
 State:------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
      :   1995  :   1996  :   1995  :   1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :    1,000 Acres        -- Bushels --      ------ 1,000 Bushels ------    
      :                                                                         
CO    :      38       68     70.0      70.0       3,234      2,660      4,760   
ID    :     560      700     80.0      75.0      43,400     44,800     52,500   
MN    :   2,200    2,400     32.0      33.0      70,000     70,400     79,200   
MT    :   3,800    4,100     35.0      33.0     100,500    133,000    135,300   
NV    :       6       10     75.0      70.0         220        450        700   
ND    :   8,200    9,500     27.0      30.0     278,775    221,400    285,000   
OR    :     114      125     52.0      54.0       2,900      5,928      6,750   
SD    :   1,200    2,200     28.0      31.0      51,480     33,600     68,200   
UT    :      26       28     75.0      65.0       1,012      1,950      1,820   
WA    :     445      395     46.0      49.0       9,800     20,470     19,355   
WI    :       8       10     30.0      35.0         270        240        350   
WY    :      25       29     42.0      36.0         700      1,050      1,044   
      :                                                                         
US    :  16,622   19,565     32.2      33.5     562,291    535,948    654,979   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                                                                                
                         Winter Wheat:  Head Population                         
                                                                                
The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting winter wheat         
objective yield surveys in 10 States during 1996.  Randomly selected plots in   
winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May trough harvest to obtain       
specific counts and measurements.  Data in this table are derived actual field  
counts and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board.     
                                                                                
                                                                                
                       Winter Wheat:  Heads per Square Foot,                    
                          Selected States, 1992-96 1/ 2/                        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State and Month :    1992   :    1993   :    1994   :    1995   :    1996     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                  :                           Number                            
                  :                                                             
CO    JULY        :    32.9        40.0        41.6        52.9        33.5     
      Final       :    33.3        39.7        41.6        51.6                 
                  :                                                             
ID    JULY 3/     :    37.8        38.2        43.4        44.6                 
      Final       :    37.7        40.2        42.6        44.0                 
                  :                                                             
IL    JULY        :    41.0        46.8        45.8        56.4        40.2     
      Final       :    41.0        46.0        45.8        56.4                 
                  :                                                             
KS    JULY        :    41.3        50.2        49.6        54.5        35.5     
      Final       :    41.3        49.1        49.6        55.0                 
                  :                                                             
MO    JULY        :    38.5        44.9        39.4        49.8        42.8     
      Final       :    38.5        44.7        39.4        49.8                 
                  :                                                             
MT    JULY        :    26.1        34.6        31.0        31.0        29.3     
      Final       :    26.8        35.3        31.4        33.7                 
                  :                                                             
NE    JULY        :    40.4        50.4        45.7        60.3        42.9     
      Final       :    40.4        49.8        45.9        58.8                 
                  :                                                             
OH    JULY        :    42.1        43.1        47.1        53.9        43.1     
      Final       :    42.1        42.8        47.1        52.9                 
                  :                                                             
OK    JULY        :    39.2        45.1        48.0        43.4        32.5     
      Final       :    39.2        45.1        48.0        43.4                 
                  :                                                             
OR    JULY 3/     :    25.8        31.0        35.2        31.4                 
      Final       :    25.8        30.2        34.8        31.9                 
                  :                                                             
SD    JULY 3/     :    37.5        48.9        39.4        53.6                 
      Final       :    38.1        48.8        38.1        51.0                 
                  :                                                             
TX    JULY        :    37.7        35.3        35.6        37.9        32.2     
      Final       :    37.7        35.4        35.8        38.2                 
                  :                                                             
WA    JULY        :    29.7        31.1        32.0        29.3        38.1     
      Final       :    29.4        30.7        31.9        29.3                 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Based on the number of heads counted in plots selected for the objective    
    yield survey.                                                               
2/  Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains Summary" in        
    September.                                                                  
3/  No longer included in the objective yield program beginning with 1996.      
             Wheat:  Production by Class, United States, 1994-1995              
                       and Forecasted July 1, 1996 1/                           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :            Winter 2/         :           Spring 2/          :           
      :-------------------------------------------------------------:           
 Year :   Hard  :   Soft  :         :   Hard  :          :          :   Total   
      :   Red   :   Red   :  White  :   Red   :   Durum  :   White  :           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :                              1,000 Bushels                              
      :                                                                         
1994  : 971,161   434,208   256,574   515,315    96,747     46,976   2,320,981  
1995  : 824,492   449,616   273,203   475,328   102,280     60,620   2,185,539  
1996  : 747,581   436,367   300,888   589,071   123,452     65,908   2,263,267  
                                                                                
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available   
    for all wheat producing States.  Unless unusual situations dictate, the     
    previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast   
    season.                                                                     
2/  Based on Washington's 1996 Wheat Variety survey, the percent of white wheat 
    has shifted from 95 percent White Winter in 1995 to 90 percent. White       
    Spring changed from 75 percent to 67 percent.                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
         Tobacco:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,        
           State, and United States, 1995 and Forecasted July 1, 1996           
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :  Area Harvested   :     Yield     :     Production      
    Class and Type    :---------------------------------------------------------
                      :  1995   :  1996   : 1995  : 1996  :   1995   :   1996   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      : ----- Acres -----   --- Pounds --   -- 1,000 Pounds --  
                      :                                                         
Class 1, Flue-cured   :                                                         
 Type 11, Old Belts   :                                                         
  NC                  :  68,000    70,000   1,920   2,200   130,560    154,000  
  VA                  :  34,000    35,000   1,935   2,200    65,790     77,000  
  US                  : 102,000   105,000   1,925   2,200   196,350    231,000  
 Type 12, Eastern NC  :                                                         
  Belt                :                                                         
   NC                 : 151,000   156,000   1,860   2,300   280,860    358,800  
 Type 13, NC Border & :                                                         
  SC Belt             :                                                         
   NC                 :  34,000    36,000   1,845   2,150    62,730     77,400  
   SC                 :  50,000    50,000   2,100   2,200   105,000    110,000  
   US                 :  84,000    86,000   1,997   2,179   167,730    187,400  
 Type 14, GA-FL Belt  :                                                         
   FL                 :   7,200     7,300   2,455   2,480    17,676     18,104  
   GA                 :  42,000    46,000   2,000   2,200    84,000    101,200  
   US                 :  49,200    53,300   2,067   2,238   101,676    119,304  
 Total 11-14          : 386,200   400,300   1,933   2,240   746,616    896,504  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                
          Peaches:  Total Production by Type, State and United States,          
                     1994-95 and Forecasted July 1, 1996                        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                   :                      Total Production                      
   State           :----------------------------------------------------------- 
                   :       1994        :       1995       :       1996          
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                   :                       Million Pounds                       
                   :                                                            
  AL               :        17.0                22.0                1.0         
  AR               :         8.0                20.0                1.2         
  CA - Freestone   :       634.0               502.0              620.0         
  CO               :        20.0                17.0               17.0         
  CT               :         2.2                 2.1                3.4         
  DE               :         2.6                 2.0                2.6         
  GA               :       175.0               160.0                6.0         
  ID               :         4.0                 4.0                7.0         
  IL               :         4.8                13.0                2.0         
  IN 1/            :                             5.0                2.0         
  KS               :         0.5                 1.0                0.4         
  KY 1/            :                             6.0                1.5         
  LA               :         4.0                 5.0                0.7         
  MD               :         2.8                12.0                9.0         
  MA               :         1.0                 1.2                1.7         
  MI               :        15.0                60.0               40.0         
  MO               :         5.0                 9.0                3.5         
  NJ               :        75.0                70.0               80.0         
  NY               :         7.0                11.5               11.5         
  NC               :        33.0                35.0                1.0         
  OH 1/            :                             5.8                7.0         
  OK 2/            :        25.0                30.0                            
  OR               :        15.5                 9.0               11.0         
  PA 1/            :                            90.0               85.0         
  SC               :       250.0               215.0               20.0         
  TN               :         1.7                10.4                0.4         
  TX               :        20.0                24.0                6.0         
  UT               :         7.4                 6.3                6.5         
  VA               :        12.0                26.0               16.0         
  WA               :        41.0                44.0               10.0         
  WV 1/            :                            18.0               15.0         
                   :                                                            
  Total Above      :     1,383.5             1,436.3              988.4         
                   :                                                            
  CA               :                                                            
    Clingstone     :     1,130.0               865.0            1,000.0         
                   :                                                            
  US               :     2,513.5             2,301.3            1,988.4         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  No significant commercial production in 1994 due to freeze damage.          
2/  No significant commercial production in 1996 due to freeze damage.          
                                                                                
        Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts:  Total Production by Crop, State,        
             and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted July 1, 1996             
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          :                  Total Production                   
      Crop and State      :-----------------------------------------------------
                          :      1994       :      1995       :      1996       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          :                        Tons                         
                          :                                                     
Grapes Table Type         :                                                     
  CA                      :      602,000           718,000           720,000    
Grapes Wine Type          :                                                     
  CA                      :    2,265,000         2,275,000         2,300,000    
Grapes Raisin Type 1/     :                                                     
  CA                      :    2,389,000         2,255,000         2,250,000    
All Grapes                :                                                     
  CA                      :    5,256,000         5,248,000         5,270,000    
                          :                                                     
Apricots                  :                                                     
  CA                      :      145,000            52,000            70,000    
  UT 2/                   :          400                                 300    
  WA                      :        7,800             6,500             3,000    
  US                      :      153,200            58,500            73,300    
                          :                                                     
Walnuts 3/                :                                                     
  CA                      :      232,000           234,000           235,000    
                          :                                                     
                          :                    1,000 Pounds                     
                          :                                                     
Almonds (Shelled Basis) 3/:                                                     
  CA                      :      735,000           370,000           530,000    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Fresh basis.                                                                
2/  No significant commercial production in 1995 due to frost damage.           
3/  Utilized production.                                                        
                                                                                
     Citrus Fruits:  Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,     
                     1994-95 and Forecasted July 1, 1996 1/                     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :     Utilized Production     :     Utilized Production     
                    :            Boxes            :       Ton Equivalent        
   Crop and State   :-----------------------------------------------------------
                    : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ -----   ------- 1,000 Tons -------  
Oranges             :                                                           
  Early Mid &       :                                                           
   Navel 3/         :                                                           
    AZ              :     700       400       700       26        15        26  
    CA              :  36,600    35,000    40,000    1,372     1,313     1,500  
    FL              : 107,300   119,700   121,200    4,829     5,387     5,454  
    TX 4/           :     480       950       830       21        40        35  
    US              : 145,080   156,050   162,730    6,248     6,755     7,015  
  Valencia          :                                                           
    AZ              :   1,200       650       950       45        24        36  
    CA              :  27,000    26,000    28,000    1,013       976     1,050  
    FL              :  67,100    85,700    82,000    3,020     3,857     3,690  
    TX 4/           :      70       105       110        3         4         5  
    US              :  95,370   112,455   111,060    4,081     4,861     4,781  
  All               :                                                           
    AZ              :   1,900     1,050     1,650       71        39        62  
    CA              :  63,600    61,000    68,000    2,385     2,289     2,550  
    FL              : 174,400   205,400   203,200    7,849     9,244     9,144  
    TX 4/           :     550     1,055       940       24        44        40  
    US              : 240,450   268,505   273,790   10,329    11,616    11,796  
Temples             :                                                           
  FL                :   2,250     2,550     2,150      101       114        97  
Grapefruit          :                                                           
  White Seedless    :                                                           
    FL              :  24,500    25,700    23,200    1,042     1,092       986  
  Colored Seedless  :                                                           
    FL              :  25,500    28,700    28,100    1,084     1,220     1,194  
  Other             :                                                           
    FL              :   1,050     1,300     1,050       45        55        45  
  All               :                                                           
    AZ              :   1,750     1,400     1,200       59        47        40  
    CA 5/           :                                                           
      Desert        :   3,400     3,300                114       111            
      Other Areas   :   5,900     6,000                197       201            
      Total         :   9,300     9,300     9,500      311       312       318  
    FL              :  51,050    55,700    52,350    2,171     2,367     2,225  
    TX 4/           :   3,000     4,650     4,550      120       186       182  
    US              :  65,100    71,050    67,600    2,661     2,912     2,765  
Tangerines          :                                                           
  AZ                :   1,000       650     1,000       37        25        38  
  CA 4/             :   2,300     2,200     2,500       86        82        94  
  FL                :   4,100     3,550     4,500      195       168       214  
  US                :   7,400     6,400     8,000      318       275       346  
Lemons              :                                                           
  AZ                :   5,200     3,600     5,100      197       137       194  
  CA                :  20,700    20,500    21,000      787       779       798  
  US                :  25,900    24,100    26,100      984       916       992  
Tangelos            :                                                           
  FL                :   3,350     3,150     2,450      150       142       110  
K-Early Citrus      :                                                           
  FL                :     210       120       160        9         5         7  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             Citrus Fruit Footnotes                             
                                                                                
1/  The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with   
    the completion of harvest the following year.                               
                                                                                
2/  Net lbs. per box:  oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ  & CA-67,
    FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76, tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90;             
    tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95.                                               
                                                                                
3/  Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA.  Early and mid-season       
    varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.     
                                                                                
4/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
                                                                                
5/  California Desert and Other Areas Grapefruit forecasts combined with All    
    Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96.                                            
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
          Papayas:  Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1995-96        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
           :                   Area                 :     Fresh Production      
           :------------------------------------------------------------------  
   Month   :    Total in Crop    :     Harvested    :            :              
           :----------------------------------------:    1995    :    1996      
           :   1995   :   1996   :   1995  :  1996  :            :              
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
           :   --------------- Acres --------------      -- 1,000 Pounds --     
           :                                                                    
May        :   3,770      3,765      2,595    2,340      2,935        3,140     
June       :   3,780      3,790      2,630    2,425      3,825        3,160     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
            Potatoes:  Area Planted by Seasonal Group,                          
                State, and United States, 1995-96                               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
Seasonal Group  :           :        ::  Seasonal Group  :           :          
  and State     :    1995   :   1996 ::    and State     :    1995   :   1996   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                :     1,000 Acres    ::                  :     1,000 Acres      
                :                    ::                  :                      
Winter  1/      :                    ::  Fall            :                      
  CA            :      5.0       5.7 ::    CA            :     13.0      11.5   
  FL            :      8.3       7.9 ::    CO            :     77.0      78.0   
  Total         :     13.3      13.6 ::    ID            :    400.0     410.0   
                :                    ::      10 SW Co    :     27.0      28.0   
Spring  1/      :                    ::      Other ID    :    373.0     382.0   
  AL            :      2.6       2.0 ::    IN            :      5.0       5.2   
  AZ            :      6.5       9.0 ::    ME            :     78.0      77.0   
  CA            :     18.0      20.1 ::    MA            :      3.3       2.8   
  FL            :     38.5      37.5 ::    MI            :     55.0      52.0   
    Hastings    :     28.5      28.0 ::    MN            :     83.0      85.0   
    Other FL    :     10.0       9.5 ::    MT            :      9.8      10.1   
  NC            :     17.5      16.5 ::    NE            :     12.0      12.5   
  TX            :      5.2       6.8 ::    NV            :      7.6       8.0   
  Total         :     88.3      91.9 ::    NM            :      6.3       6.2   
                :                    ::    NY            :     29.0      29.0   
Summer          :                    ::    ND            :    125.0     134.0   
  AL            :      6.8       6.8 ::    OH            :      5.5       5.4   
  CA            :      5.5       5.5 ::    OR            :     52.0      59.5   
  CO            :      9.2       9.9 ::      Malheur     :     12.5      12.7   
  DE            :      6.0       6.0 ::      Other OR    :     39.5      46.8   
  IL            :      5.6       7.2 ::    PA            :     18.0      17.0   
  IA            :      1.6       1.5 ::    RI            :      0.9       0.8   
  MD            :      1.5       2.0 ::    SD            :      6.0       6.0   
  MO            :      7.1       7.8 ::    UT            :      5.2       4.3   
  NE            :      4.5       5.6 ::    WA            :    147.0     163.0   
  NJ            :      2.7       2.6 ::    WI            :     83.0      83.0   
  NM            :      4.2       3.9 ::    WY            :      1.5       0.9   
  NC            :      1.4       1.3 ::                  :                      
  TX            :      7.3      10.5 ::    Total         :  1,223.1   1,261.2   
  VA            :      9.0       9.0 ::                  :                      
  Total         :     72.4      79.6 ::    US            :  1,397.1   1,446.3   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
  Potatoes:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal                  
             Group, State, and United States, 1994-96                           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Seasonal       :  Area Harvested :      Yield    :          Production          
Group and      :--------------------------------------------------------------- 
State          :   1995  :  1996 :  1995  : 1996 :   1994   :  1995   :  1996   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
               :    1,000 Acres     --- Cwt ---     -------- 1,000 Cwt -------  
               :                                                                
Winter  1/     :                                                                
  CA           :    5.0      5.7     260     250       968     1,300     1,425  
  FL           :    6.9      7.8     170     190     1,404     1,173     1,482  
  Total        :   11.9     13.5     208     215     2,372     2,473     2,907  
               :                                                                
Spring  1/     :                                                                
  AL           :    2.5      1.9     160     160       438       400       304  
  AZ           :    6.5      9.0     270     275     1,670     1,755     2,475  
  CA           :   17.8     20.1     350     375     7,790     6,230     7,538  
  FL           :   36.0     35.5     218     195     8,588     7,830     6,940  
    Hastings   :   27.0     27.5     220     200     6,380     5,940     5,500  
    Other FL   :    9.0      8.0     210     180     2,208     1,890     1,440  
  NC           :   16.5     16.2     185     175     3,060     3,053     2,835  
  TX           :    5.0      6.5     185     170     1,100       925     1,105  
  Total        :   84.3     89.2     240     238    22,646    20,193    21,197  
               :                                                                
Summer         :                                                                
  AL           :    6.7      6.7     170     140     1,190     1,139       938  
  CA           :    5.5      5.5     320     320     2,109     1,760     1,760  
  CO           :    9.0      9.7     300     345     3,069     2,700     3,347  
  DE           :    5.9      5.9     250     240       816     1,475     1,416  
  IL           :    5.5      6.9     270     260     1,450     1,485     1,794  
  IA           :    1.6      1.5     150     200       328       240       300  
  MD           :    1.5      1.9     240     200       250       360       380  
  MO           :    6.9      7.6     230     215     1,734     1,587     1,634  
  NE           :    4.4      5.5     285     330     1,408     1,254     1,815  
  NJ           :    2.6      2.5     270     230       588       702       575  
  NM           :    4.2      3.9     320     340     1,088     1,344     1,326  
  NC           :    1.3      1.2      95      90       126       124       108  
  TX           :    7.0      9.5     235     210     1,800     1,645     1,995  
  VA           :    8.5      8.5     240     175     1,425     2,040     1,488  
               :                                                                
  Total        :   70.6     76.8     253     246    17,381    17,855    18,876  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
See footnotes at end of table.                                      --continued 
  Potatoes:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal                 
       Group, State, and United States, 1994-96 (continued)                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Seasonal       :  Area Harvested :      Yield    :          Production          
Group and      :--------------------------------------------------------------- 
State          :   1995  :  1996 :  1995 : 1996  : 1994 2/  :   1995  :  1996   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
               :    1,000 Acres     --- Cwt ---     -------- 1,000 Cwt -------  
               :                                                                
Fall 3/        :                                                                
  CA           :   13.0     11.5     410             5,600     5,330            
  CO           :   76.8     77.7     310            25,795    23,808            
  ID           :  398.0    408.0     330           138,801   131,274            
    10 SW Co   :   27.0     28.0     410            12,690    11,070            
    Other ID   :  371.0    380.0     324           126,111   120,204            
  IN           :    4.6      4.7     260             1,148     1,196            
  ME           :   78.0     76.0     220            18,375    17,160            
  MA           :    3.3      2.8     260               744       858            
  MI           :   55.0     51.0     300            14,910    16,500            
  MN           :   77.0     82.0     270            20,035    20,790            
  MT           :    9.8     10.0     300             3,200     2,940            
  NE           :   11.5     12.4     320             3,996     3,680            
  NV           :    7.6      8.0     365             2,760     2,774            
  NM           :    6.3      6.2     380             3,000     2,394            
  NY           :   28.5     28.5     270             7,805     7,695            
  ND           :  121.0    130.0     210            28,200    25,410            
  OH           :    5.4      5.3     260             1,348     1,404            
  OR           :   51.0     58.5     466            27,514    23,760            
    Malheur    :   12.3     12.5     390             5,074     4,797            
    Other OR   :   38.7     46.0     490            22,440    18,963            
  PA           :   17.0     16.5     240             3,780     4,080            
  RI           :    0.9      0.7     265               248       239            
  SD           :    5.2      5.7     190             1,540       988            
  UT           :    5.1      4.2     240             1,590     1,224            
  WA           :  147.0    163.0     550            88,920    80,850            
  WI           :   81.0     81.0     335            25,740    27,135            
  WY           :    1.5      0.9     260               476       390            
               :                                                                
  Total        :1,204.5  1,244.6     334           425,525   401,879            
               :                                                                
  US           :1,371.3  1,424.1     323           467,924   442,400            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
2/  MI and MN summer potatoes included with fall potatoes in 1994.              
3/  The first forecast of fall potato production will be released on            
    November 12, 1996.                                                          
 Fall Potatoes:  Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes,                
                  11 Major States, 1995-96 Crop                                 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
              :                   Potato Types 1/                               
              :---------------------------------------------------------------  
   State      :         Reds        :       Whites        :       Russets       
              :---------------------------------------------------------------  
              :    1995   :   1996  :  1995   :   1996    :   1995   :   1996   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
              :                             Percent                             
              :                                                                 
CO            :       5          6                              95         94   
ID            :                           5           7         95         93   
ME            :       3          3       70          64         27         33   
MI            :       2          3       73          72         25         25   
MN            :      28         28       24          22         48         50   
NY            :                         100         100                         
ND            :      20         20       46          42         34         38   
OR            :       2          2       27          35         71         63   
PA            :                         100         100                         
WA            :       3          2       14          15         83         83   
WI            :      11         14       25          28         64         58   
              :                                                                 
11 State Avg. :       6          6       26          26         68         68   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s)           
    constituting less than 1 percent of state's total.                          
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
   Fall Potatoes:  Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes,                   
                  by State and Total, 1995-96 1/                                
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
           :                     1995 Crop                     :  1996 Crop     
           :------------------------------------------------------------------  
   State   :  Entered for   :                :     Percent     :  Entered for   
           : Certification  :   Certified    :    Certified    : Certification  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
           :   ---------- Acres ---------           Percent           Acres     
           :                                                                    
AK         :                         211                                        
CA         :     1,136             1,113               98               1,100   
CO         :    11,865            11,895              100              13,225   
ID         :    52,000            51,989              100              51,730   
ME         :    26,469            25,153               95              23,900   
MI         :     3,000             2,562               85               2,950   
MN         :    22,558            19,727               87              19,376   
MT         :     9,500             9,542              100               9,700   
NE         :     8,000             9,026              113               8,213   
NY         :     1,800             2,048              114               1,550   
ND         :    33,082            32,099               97              31,581   
OR         :     2,900             2,730               94               2,667   
PA         :       207               183               88                 207   
SD         :     2,024             1,892               93                 767   
UT         :       100               100              100                 100   
WA         :     2,319             2,299               99               2,100   
WI         :    10,897             9,624               88              10,700   
Total      :   187,857           182,193               97             179,866   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Data supplied by State seed certification officials.                        
HDR1012000110120712960830CROP PRODUCTION NARRATIVE                              
                           Crop Moisture                                        
                                                                                
Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting  
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and        
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.     
                                                                                
Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness  
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.                    
                                                                                
Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops     
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, 
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55 
degrees fahrenheit.  It is not generally indicative of the long term (months,   
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.  
                                                                                
                                                                                
                          Drought Severity                                      
                                                                                
Drought severity index (Palmer):  Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal    
dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and      
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as  
evaportranspiration.                                                            
                                                                                
Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or       
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or  
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in        
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.                                              
                                                                                
Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of   
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this  
is indicated by the crop moisture index).                                       
                                                                                
June Weather Summary:  Late-month rainfall substantially boosted soil moisture  
                       and eased drought in New Mexico and western Texas, but   
drought intensified elsewhere across the Southwest and southern Plains.  New    
Mexico's year-to-date precipitation improved to 82 percent of normal by month's 
end, up from 38% on June 23.  Farther north, an early-month cessation of heavy  
rain promoted Midwestern planting and crop development, broken only by          
torrential precipitation across the northern Corn Belt on June 16-18.  In the   
Southeast, a turn toward dryness, accompanied by late-month heat, began to      
stress crops.                                                                   
                                                                                
June temperatures averaged 2 to 4 degrees F above normal across the interior    
Northeast and in a belt from the Southwest into the northern Plains.  Near-     
normal readings prevailed from the Mississippi Valley to the Southeast.  Only   
the Pacific Northwest, where departures reached -2 degrees F, experienced sub-  
normal June temperatures.  Cold air cloaked interior basins and valleys of the  
Northwest on June 19, producing lows of 21 degrees F in Burns, OR and 29 degrees
F in Butte, MT.  Temperatures dipped into the 30's in agricultural areas,       
including lows of 37 degrees F in Spokane, WA and 39 degrees F in Pendleton, OR.
Earlier in the month (June 1-10), heat across the West delivered nearly         
100 daily-record highs.                                                         
                                                                                
In Paducah, KY, all but 0.04 inches of the 7.78-inch monthly rainfall occurred  
between June 1-10.  The month's heaviest rain fell on June 9 in locations such  
as Paducah (3.60 inches), Evansville, IN (3.67 inches), and South Bend, IN      
(2.51 inches).  On June 16-18, widespread small-stream flooding resulted from   
rainfall that totaled 13.52 inches in Port Washington, WI.  Farther east,       
localized flooding struck on June 18-19 in the northern Middle Atlantic region, 
where the 24-hour total reached 10.72 inches in Gettysburg, PA.  A 7.95-inch    
monthly total in Pittsburgh, PA represented their fourth-wettest June.  Farther 
south, frequent thunderstorms over Peninsular Florida boosted monthly totals to 
more than a foot at a few coastal sites.                                        
                                                                                
In contrast, no rain fell during June in Tucson, AZ, extending their third-     
longest dry spell on record to 108 days.  In addition, Tucson's monthly         
temperature averaged 3.6 degrees F above normal, marking their 12th consecutive 
month with above-normal readings.  Farther east, the monthly rainfall of        
0.01 inches in Brownsville, TX wrapped up their driest January-June period on   
record (0.80 inches), shattering the mark of 1.58 inches, set in 1953.  Also in 
southern Texas, San Antonio's monthly total of 2.12 inches (1.69 inches below   
normal) boosted their January-June total to a mere 5.26 inches, ahead of only   
1925 and 1917.  Levels of the International Amistad and Falcon Reservoirs,      
already at record-low levels, continued to fall during June, dropping to 31% and
12% of normal conservation-pool capacities, respectively.  The holdings of Choke
Canyon (south of San Antonio), also at a record low, slipped to 29% of normal.  
                                                                                
Hawaiian temperatures and precipitation averaged slightly above normal at most  
observing stations.  Monthly temperatures in Alaska averaged near normal despite
large day-to-day oscillations.  On the 5th and 6th, the most widespread freeze  
since 1982 struck the Yukon and Tanana Valleys.  Monthly records set on June 5  
included 28 degrees F in Circle City and 29 degrees F in Northway.  Northway's  
low of 31 degrees F on June 15 marked their latest freeze on record.  Three days
later, Barrow notched a June-record high of 72 degrees F.  Alaskan precipitation
was highly variable.  While Anchorage noted 0.50 inches (44% of normal), Juneau 
logged a June-record 6.22 inches.  On the last day of the month, Juneau's       
2.26-inch rainfall was their greatest single-day June total.                    
                                                                                
                                                                                
General Crop Comments:  Rain and soggy fields in early June limited planting    
                        progress in the eastern Corn Belt.  Some Midwestern row-
crop producers started planting 3 weeks behind schedule.  The first week of the 
month had fewer than 2 days suitable for fieldwork in parts of the Ohio Valley. 
                                                                                
Planting delays and the need to replant some row crops forced producers in the  
Corn Belt to choose between planting corn later than normal or switching to     
alternative crops.  Weed growth was accelerated in the Midwest by wet fields    
that prevented producers from cultivating and spraying herbicides.  In the      
northern Great Plains, late-season planting progressed rapidly in early June,   
but remained behind normal.  In the Southwest, the prolonged drought lowered    
crop conditions and stressed crops.  Isolated thunderstorms in New Mexico       
brought more danger from lightning-created fires than moisture.  The prolonged  
cool, damp weather in the Midwest combined with thin wheat stands to raise wheat
producers' concerns about weed and disease problems. Corn planting neared       
completion in early June, slightly behind normal.  Prolonged wet, cool weather  
yellowed and slowed corn development in the western Corn Belt.  The continued   
dry weather in the Southwest slowed cotton planting and caused heat stress in   
some cotton fields.                                                             
                                                                                
By mid-June, rains across the eastern Corn Belt left most fields too wet for    
field activity.  Planting progress remained behind schedule in the Ohio Valley  
where, for the second week in a row, only 1 to 2 days were suitable for         
fieldwork.  Fields remained wet across the Corn Belt despite warmer weather,    
preventing producers from completing corn planting.  Corn producers replanted   
some fields around the wet spots.  In the Corn Belt, warm weather was needed for
crop development to get back on schedule.  Thunderstorms across the Delta slowed
the wheat harvest.  Drier fields allowed herbicide application and weed control 
in the Southeastern States.  In the Southwest,  scattered rain  was offset by   
above-normal temperatures.                                                      
                                                                                
Later in the month, heavy rains across the western and northern Corn Belt caused
localized flooding and ponding.  Farmers in the Midwest who completed planting  
were deterred from cultivating and spraying for weed control.  Hot weather in   
the middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys pushed crop development and helped dry  
fields.  In the Dakotas, warmer weather boosted crop development and allowed    
planting to proceed ahead of normal.  Hot, humid weather over the Southeast     
lowered soil moisture levels.                                                   
                                                                                
The end of June brought long-awaited warm, sunny weather across the Central     
States that dried fields and allowed farmers to complete row crop planting.  The
warmer weather at month's end stimulated crop development in the Corn Belt that 
had been suppressed by the persistent cool, wet spring.  In the Midwest, the    
favorable weather accelerated plant growth and left some corn fields too tall to
cultivate for weed control.  Over the northern Great Plains, hot, humid weather 
stimulated crop development, but increased grasshopper populations.  Month's end
brought widespread rains and some relief to drought-stricken farmers and        
ranchers in the Southwest.  June ended with the Nation's winter wheat harvest   
nearing the halfway mark, slightly behind schedule.  Winter wheat condition     
improved slightly during June and finished the month mostly fair to good.  By   
the end of June, soybean planting neared completion.   Corn grew rapidly in the 
Midwest at month's end due to warm, sunny weather and favorable soil moisture,  
with light insect pressure reported.   As June concluded, uneven corn           
development was apparent from the wet spring conditions that delayed planting   
and required significant replanting.                                            
                                                                                
                                                                                
Oats:  Oat production for 1996 is forecast at 155 million bushels, down         
       4 percent from last year.  If realized, this would be the lowest oat     
production since records were first kept in 1866.  The forecasted yield, at     
58.0 bushels per acre, is up 3.3 bushels from last year's 54.7 bushels.  Area   
harvested and to be harvested, at 2.67 million acres, is down 10 percent from   
the 2.96 million harvested in 1995.  This also would be the lowest oats acreage 
harvested for grain on record.                                                  
                                                                                
Forecasted yields in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota increased from   
last year.  Good growing conditions in all three States since planting have     
helped the crop to progress steadily.  Yield in Wisconsin remains unchanged from
a year ago.  In Iowa, weather recently turned hot and dry which could have been 
a factor in the yield decrease from 1995.                                       
                                                                                
                                                                                
Barley:  Barley production is forecast at 394 million bushels, up 10 percent    
         from 1995 and 5 percent from 1994.  Yields are expected to average     
58.2 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel from last year.  Area harvested and to be  
harvested, at 6.76 million acres, is 8 percent above the 6.28 million acres     
harvested last year.                                                            
                                                                                
Forecasted yields in North Dakota and Minnesota increased over 1995.  Since     
completion of planting, weather conditions in North Dakota and Minnesota have   
been favorable for crop development.  Montana yield remained unchanged from a   
year ago.  Yields in Idaho and Washington decreased from last year.  Frost      
struck parts of Idaho in June, but the extent of the damage is yet unknown.     
                                                                                
                                                                                
Winter Wheat:  Area for grain harvest this year is forecast at 40.1 million     
               acres, unchanged from the June 28 "Acreage" report, but down     
2 percent from 1995. Harvesting progress trailed average in the 19 major        
producing States as of June 30.                                                 
                                                                                
Idaho and Oregon growers are still expecting record-high yields. Localized      
frosts damaged some of Oregon's wheat. Forecasted head counts from Washington's 
Objective Yield survey are the highest since 1981 while forecasted head weight  
is about average.  If weather holds, Michigan growers expect to start harvesting
at mid-month.                                                                   
                                                                                
Hard Red Winter Objective Yield head counts are still the lowest since 1989 in  
Kansas and Texas. Forecasted head weights are at average levels in Kansas, but  
below average in Texas. Oklahoma head counts are the lowest in nearly 30 years; 
head weights are below average. Forecasted head counts in Colorado and Nebraska 
improved from last month but are still below average.  The forecasted head      
weights are above average in Colorado. Montana forecasted populations are below 
average; head weight forecasts are about average.                               
                                                                                
Harvested yields have been much better than expected in the Southeast and Delta 
States.  The harvests in Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi finished around    
July 1.  Record-high yields were recorded in Louisiana and Mississippi.  The    
Georgia harvest is nearly finished. Harvest is in full swing in southern        
Indiana; head scab and weeds have been a problem.  Objective Yield head counts  
were up from last month in Illinois and in Missouri, but down in Ohio.          
Forecasted weight per head is below average for Ohio and about average in the   
other two states.                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
Durum Wheat:  The U.S. area for grain harvest is forecast at 3.46 million acres,
              up 3 percent from 1995.                                           
                                                                                
Arizona's harvest was virtually complete by July 4 and yields were a little     
better than forecast.  This, coupled with larger area for harvest, has the      
production at the highest level since 1981.  California's Imperial Valley       
harvest was all but done by the end of June; the San Joaquin Valley harvest was 
nearing completion.  To date, Montana's durum region has had timely rainfall.   
As of June 30, 5 percent of the North Dakota crop was headed. This is a little  
ahead of last year, but well behind the average of 17 percent.  Soil moisture is
short in the North Dakota durum area, but timely rains have the crop rated in   
mostly good condition.                                                          
Other Spring Wheat:  Area for 1996 grain harvest is 19.6 million acre for       
                     harvest, up 18 percent from 1995.  This is the largest area
since 1919.  Only Washington has forecast less harvested area than last year.   
                                                                                
Oregon and Washington yield prospects are up from a year ago while Idaho's are  
down. The Oregon forecast is up despite a reported hard frost on June 18 and 19.
A hard freeze on June 19 affected irrigated wheat in south central and eastern  
Idaho; flood delayed plantings in the north reduced dryland prospects there.    
                                                                                
Spring weather delayed planting in the Dakotas. Growing conditions have been    
good once the crops got in. Seventy-one percent, of the crop was rated good to  
excellent as of the first of July.                                              
                                                                                
                                                                                
Tobacco:  The first flue-cured production forecast for this season is           
          897 million pounds, up 20 percent from the 1995 production.  Yield per
acre for all flue-cured is forecast at 2,240 pounds, 307 pounds above the 1995  
average yield.  Acres for harvest, at 400,300 acres, are up 4 percent from last 
year.                                                                           
                                                                                
North Carolina's crop is up 24 percent from last year, due to favorable weather 
that helped tobacco mature.   North Carolina's tobacco crop was reported in     
mostly good to excellent condition.  Late June topping and sucker control was   
active in North Carolina, where markets are expected to open by mid-July.       
                                                                                
Tobacco transplanting started behind normal in Georgia and South Carolina due to
wet, cold weather during April.  Florida's tobacco  survived a mid-April freeze 
with some leaf burn reported.  Irrigation was required in Georgia, South        
Carolina, and Virginia where hot, dry weather in May and June depleted soil     
moisture supplies but reduced disease problems.  In South Carolina, 55 percent  
of the tobacco was topped by July 1 compared to an average of 60 percent.       
                                                                                
                                                                                
Peaches:  The 1996 peach crop is forecast at 1.99 billion pounds, down          
          14 percent from 1995 and 21 percent below 1994.  Excluding California 
Clingstone peaches, the U.S. crop is forecast at 988 million pounds, down       
31 percent from last year and down 29 percent from 1994.  If realized, this     
production level will be the lowest since 1983 when 1.86 billion pounds were    
produced.  A devastating freeze during February, and again in March, severely   
limited fruit set and reduced crop potential in the Southeast and Central       
growing areas.                                                                  
                                                                                
California's Clingstone crop, at 1.00 billion pounds, is unchanged from last    
month's forecast but reflects a 16 percent increase from 1995 production.       
California Clingstone peaches, which are mostly canned, account for nearly      
50 percent of U.S. peach production. Harvest began in mid-June and is about one-
fifth complete.  Fruit quality is good with above-average fruit size reported.  
                                                                                
The California Freestone crop is expected to produce 620 million pounds,        
unchanged from June 1 and 24 percent above the 1995 weather reduced crop.       
Harvest is progressing on schedule with favorable weather conditions.  Fruit    
size and quality are good.                                                      
                                                                                
South Carolina's forecast of 20 million pounds is also unchanged from June 1,   
but is substantially below the 215 million pounds produced in 1995.  This level 
represents the lowest production since 1955 when the peach crop froze out.      
Extensive freeze damage during early spring caused this year's reduction.       
Harvest gained momentum during June and is in line with the historic average of 
18 percent complete.  Most of this year's short crop is rated in poor to fair   
condition.                                                                      
                                                                                
The Georgia peach crop forecast, at 6 million pounds, is down 20 percent from   
June 1 and down 96 percent from last year's crop of 160 million pounds. Just as 
in South Carolina, extensive freeze damage nearly destroyed the 1996 Georgia    
peach crop.  Harvest is about 70 percent complete with late varieties beginning 
to mature.  As of June 30, Georgia showed 87 percent of the crop in very poor   
condition.                                                                      
                                                                                
Idaho, Oregon, and Utah expect larger crops while Washington may produce the    
smallest crop since 1965.  Pennsylvania and New Jersey crop prospects are       
favorable.  Growers reported a good bloom, heavy set, and above average fruit   
size and quality.                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
Grapes:  California's all grape production is forecast at 5.27 million tons,    
         slightly above production for the previous two years.                  
                                                                                
The forecast for raisin type varieties is 2.25 million tons, nearly equaling    
last year's total.  There is no acreage in the Raisin Industry Diversion program
(RID) this year.  Last year 25,000 acres were enrolled. Recent hot weather      
helped the maturity of the raisin grape crop.  Picking for fresh use of the     
Thompson Seedless variety was virtually complete by July 1 in the Coachella     
Valley and just beginning in the southern San Joaquin Valley.                   
                                                                                
Table grape production is forecast at 720,000 tons, less than 1 percent above   
1995 and 20 percent more than 1994.  Picking neared completion in the Coachella 
Valley and has just began in the San Joaquin Valley.  Good quality is reported. 
                                                                                
Wine varieties are expected to produce 2.30 million tons, an increase of        
1 percent over last year.  The crop is maturing well with growers reporting good
quality.                                                                        
                                                                                
                                                                                
Apricots:  The final forecast for the 1996 apricot crop is 73,300 tons, up      
           25 percent from last year's reduced crop.                            
                                                                                
California's apricot crop is forecast at 70,000 tons, unchanged from the June 1 
forecast but up 35 percent from last year's near-record low crop of 52,000 tons.
Warm winter temperatures did not provide an adequate number of chill hours to   
ensure proper crop set.  Even though a short crop is expected, excellent fruit  
quality and average sizing have been reported.                                  
                                                                                
The Utah apricot crop is expected to rebound from last season's crop failure.   
Production in Utah is forecast at 300 tons, 11 percent above the 5-year average 
of 270 tons.  Washington's apricot production is forecast at 3,000 tons, down   
54 percent from 1995, and, if realized, the lowest level since 1989.  A severe  
cold snap this winter slashed crop potential, especially in the Yakima area.    
                                                                                
                                                                                
Walnuts:  The 1996 California walnut production is 235,000 tons on              
          169,000 bearing acres.  This is a slight increase over the 1995 crop  
of 234,000 tons.  Expectations are for above average production from early      
season varieties, while mid and late season varieties are expected to produce an
average crop.  Heavy drop resulted from this winter's low chilling hours, along 
with rains received in May.                                                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
Almonds:  California's 1996 almond production is forecast at 530 million meat   
          pounds, up 2 percent from the May forecast and up 43 percent from last
year's crop.  This forecast is based on an estimated bearing acreage of         
410,000 acres.  Production from the Nonpareil variety is forecast at 250 million
meat pounds, up 52 percent from last season.                                    
The average nut set per tree is 5,482, up 45 percent from 1995.  The Nonpareil  
average nut set is 4,963, an increase of 29 percent over the previous year's    
set.  The average kernel weight for all varieties sampled was 1.85 grams, down  
3 percent from last year.  A total of 97.0 percent of the nuts sampled were     
sound.                                                                          
                                                                                
Statewide, bloom reports varied from good to excellent.  Cold weather and       
intermittent rain storms during February and March hampered pollination.        
                                                                                
                                                                                
Grapefruit:  The final forecast of the 1995-96 U.S. grapefruit crop is          
             2.77 million tons, up slightly from last month but down 5 percent  
from last season.  Florida's grapefruit forecast was 52.4 million boxes         
2.23 million tons), slightly lower than last month and 6 percent below last     
season.  The Florida white seedless grapefruit forecast is 23.2 million boxes   
(986,000 tons), unchanged from June but 10 percent less than 1994-95.  The      
colored seedless forecast is 28.1 million boxes (1.19 million tons), 1 percent  
below last month and 2 percent below a year ago.  The seedy grapefruit crop is  
expected to be 1.05 million boxes (45,000 tons), unchanged from last month but  
19 percent below last year.                                                     
                                                                                
California's forecast, at 9.50 million boxes (318,000 tons), was 6 percent      
higher than the last forecast and 2 percent more than last season's crop.       
Harvest is nearly complete for California's desert area while more northern     
regions are continuing to harvest.  Although some wind scaring, scale, and      
sheepnose have been noted, quality and color were generally good.  Arizona's    
forecast remained unchanged from last quarter at 1.20 million boxes             
(40,000 tons), 14 percent below last year.  Texas' forecast was carried forward 
from June 1 at 4.55 million boxes (182,000 tons), 2 percent lower than the      
1994-95 crop.                                                                   
                                                                                
                                                                                
Lemons:  The 1995-96 U.S. lemon crop is forecast at 992,000 tons, slightly more 
         than the previous forecast of 988,000 tons and 8 percent more than the 
1994-95 crop.                                                                   
                                                                                
California's forecast for the 1995-96 crop is 21.0 million boxes (798,000 tons),
unchanged from the April forecast but 2 percent more than in 1994-95.  Central  
Valley grades looked generally good with some grade defects reported such as    
scar, botrytis bumps, sunburn, flat sides, bid mite, oil spotting, and picking  
injuries.  Southern California fruit quality was variable with predominant      
colors varying from silver to light green and some running heavy to dark green. 
Desert Valley shippers had high eliminations resulting from ridging, coarse     
texture, and scarring.  Arizona's lemon crop is expected to be 5.10 million     
boxes (194,000 tons), up 2 percent from last quarter and 42 percent more than a 
year ago.  Western Arizona lemons had problems with heart rot, dieback and      
thrip.                                                                          
                                                                                
                                                                                
Florida Citrus:  Citrus groves, trees, and new crop fruit were in very good     
                 condition as a result of the past month's near ideal growing   
conditions.  Rainfall in all areas was plentiful to surplus, depending on       
location. Adequate moisture and warm June temperatures helped generate an       
abundance of new growth on trees of all ages.  New crop fruit sized well and    
droppage abated. Harvest of the 1995-96 season Valencia oranges slowed through  
the month.  Valencia utilization by the end of June was estimated at            
81.2 million boxes.  Most oranges picked during June went to processors.        
Movement of grapefruit was very slow during the month as harvest was nearly     
complete.  Harvest of all seedless grapefruit was a little more than            
                                                                                
51.3 million boxes.  Caretakers were very active cutting cover crops that made  
good growth with the help of the heavy rains.  Growers fertilized and sprayed.  
Dead trees were pushed out and new trees were planted.                          
                                                                                
                                                                                
California Fruit and Nuts:  Harvest was active during June for many crops       
                            including figs, apricots, freestone peaches, plums, 
and nectarines.  Picking of grapes for fresh use was virtually complete in the  
Coachella Valley by late June and just beginning in the southern San Joaquin    
Valley.  Strawberry picking was also active.  Clingstone peach growers thinned  
their crops while almond and walnut growers treated their crops for aphids and  
mites.                                                                          
                                                                                
                                                                                
California Citrus:  Grapefruit picking was nearly complete for the desert area, 
                    but active in other areas.  Color and quality were good but 
some wind scaring, scale, and sheepnose were noted.  Lemon picking in the       
Central Valley and south coast areas was active.  Grades in the Central Valley  
were good.  South coast area weather conditions varied from bright and sunny to 
overcast and foggy.  Fruit quality was variable there.  Lemon harvest was       
complete in the desert area.  Navel orange harvest was complete and quality was 
affected by puff, crease, and soft fruit resulting in heavy grade out. Valencia 
orange picking slowed due to competition from stonefruits in the marketplace.   
Approximately one half of the crop was picked by July 1.  Valencia growth was   
below average this season resulting in smaller sized fruit.  Quality was good in
the Central Valley but heavy puff and crease plagued Southern California.       
                                                                                
                                                                                
Papayas:  Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.16 million pounds,   
          1 percent higher than May but 17 percent lower than a year ago.       
                                                                                
Weather conditions during June were a mixture of sunshine and rain over major   
papaya producing areas.  Soil moisture toward month's end was adequate. Papaya  
ringspot virus continued to be a problem in infected orchards.                  
                                                                                
Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,790 acres, 1 percent higher than May
and fractionally higher than June, 1995.  Harvested area, totaling 2,425 acres, 
was 4 percent higher than May but 8 percent lower than a year ago.              
                                                                                
                                                                                
All Potatoes:  Potato farmers across the United States have planted an estimated
               1.45 million acres of potatoes in all four seasonal groups, up   
4 percent from last year and 2 percent above 1994.  Area for harvest is forecast
at 1.42 million acres, a gain of 4 percent from a year ago and 3 percent above  
two years ago.  Planted acreage for each of the seasons is above a year ago.    
Winter is up 2 percent, spring rose 4 percent, summer jumped 10 percent, and the
fall season, with 87 percent of total U. S. acreage, gained 3 percent.          
                                                                                
                                                                                
Fall Potatoes:  Area planted to fall potatoes in 1996 is estimated at a record  
                high 1.26 million acres, up 3 percent from last year and        
2 percent above the previous record in 1994.  Harvest is expected from          
1.24 million acres, 3 percent above the last two years.                         
                                                                                
Most fall potatoes started late across the U. S. with cool weather, rain and    
planting delays.  Warm days in late May and through June allowed planting to    
finish on time or ahead of schedule.  Most potato development is doing well and 
some ahead of last year.  Frost on June 19 hit fields in Southern and Eastern   
Oregon and across much of Idaho.  Fields were burnt to the ground but plants    
                                                                                
                                                                                
recovered with secondary growth and may not suffer substantial loss.  Harvest of
early fields started in late June and early July in the Columbia and Umatilla   
Basins of Washington and Oregon.  Colorado's potatoes went in early and are in  
excellent condition in the San Luis Valley.                                     
                                                                                
Across the Northern and Mid-Western States, wet soils kept farmers out of the   
fields early but periods of warm and hot weather helped get planting done.  Soil
moisture is adequate and should sustain good potato growth with some spots in   
Michigan too wet.                                                               
                                                                                
Acreage is down in Eastern States but crop progress is favorable.  Plantings are
estimated at 126,600 acres, down 2 percent from last year and 3 percent below   
1994.  Maine continued to lose potato acreage with a 1 percent decline this     
year.  Pennsylvania potato acreage dropped 6 percent while New York acreage     
remained the same as last year.  Rhode Island's planted area dropped 100 acres  
while Massachusetts dropped 15 percent.                                         
                                                                                
Central States' growers planted an estimated 383,100 acres of fall potatoes this
year, up 2 percent from last year and 3 percent above 1994.  North Dakota led   
the increases with a 7 percent increase from last year.  Minnesota acreage      
climbed 2 percent as both States responded to net increases in processing       
capacity.  Indiana and Nebraska fall potato acreage rose 4 percent while        
Wisconsin and South Dakota remained the same as last year.  Michigan acreage is 
down 5 percent and Ohio dropped 2 percent.                                      
                                                                                
Western States growers have planted 751,500 acres of fall potatoes in 1996, up  
4 percent from a year ago and 2 percent above two years ago.  Acreage in        
Washington and Oregon jumped 11 and 14 percent, respectively.  Planting of      
Pacific Northwest acreage started late but finished a week or two earlier than  
last year.  Idaho acreage increased 3 percent, but frost on June 19 caused some 
delays in crop development.  Colorado's fall potato acreage moved up            
1 percent, Montana's rose 3 percent, and Nevada gained 5 percent from a year    
ago.  Utah and Wyoming potato acreage fell sharply, California dropped          
12 percent, and New Mexico slipped 2 percent.                                   
                                                                                
                                                                                
Summer Potatoes:  Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 18.9 million cwt,
                  up 6 percent from last year and 9 percent above comparable    
States in 1994.  Farmers expect to harvest 76,800 acres during the summer       
season, a gain of 9 percent from a year ago and 7 percent above two years ago.  
The average yield, forecast at 246 cwt per acre, is down 7 cwt from last year   
but 4 cwt above 1994.  Planted area of 79,600 acres is up 10 percent.           
                                                                                
The Atlantic Coast States are looking at a good summer potato crop with yields  
above average.  Harvest is underway and ahead of last year in North Carolina.   
Across the South and into Texas, potatoes have been hurt by hot, dry weather and
hailstorms.  Harvest is active but yields are poor. New Mexico's growers expect 
a good crop, with harvest coming in mid-July.  Colorado and Nebraska growers are
looking at record high summer yields, if growing conditions remain good.        
                                                                                
Harvest in Missouri's southeast section is half done, while digging has not     
started in the northwest counties.  Recent hot weather has helped Iowa and      
Illinois potatoes catch up after a slow, wet start.  California's harvest is    
underway on early fields under favorable weather.                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
          Reliability of July 1 Wheat Production Forecast                       
                                                                                
Survey Procedures:  Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted    
                    between June 24 and July 2 to gather information on expected
yield as of July 1.  The objective yield survey for winter wheat was conducted  
in 10 States that accounted for 67 percent of the 1995 production.  Plots were  
revisited to make counts and harvest mature samples.  In late fields, counts    
such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were  
made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested.   A 5-year         
historical head weight is used until the crop matures to the point that heads   
can be clipped, threshed, and weighed.  The number of heads times the weight of 
the heads in a sample plot can then be expanded to an estimate of yield per     
acre.  The 5-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield.  
The plots are revisited each month until the crop reaches maturity and or       
harvested on the final visit.                                                   
                                                                                
The farm operator survey included a sample of nearly 16,000 producers           
representing all major production areas.  These producers were selected from an 
earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable  yield on their        
operation.  These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to     
provide indications of average yields as the season progresses.                 
                                                                                
                                                                                
Estimating Procedures:  National and State level objective yield and grower     
                        reported indications were reviewed for reasonableness   
and consistency with historical estimates.  The indications were also reviewed  
considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and   
previous years.  Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the    
current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).  The ASB uses the 
survey indications and the State analysis to prepare the published July 1       
forecasts.                                                                      
                                                                                
                                                                                
Revision Policy:  The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead,  
                  a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing 
season.  End-of-season estimates are made after harvest.  At the end of the     
marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks,         
production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks.  Revisions are then  
made if data relationships warrant changes.                                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
Reliability:  To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 winter
              wheat production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a        
statistical measure based on past performance, is computed.  This is done by    
expressing the deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final   
estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared       
percentage deviations for the 1976-1995 20-year period; the square root of the  
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."  Probability        
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast  
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting   
this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.     
                                                                                
The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 
2.0 percent.  This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production
forecast of 1.48 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate  
by more than 2.0 percent or approximately 30 million bushels.  Chances are      
9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed   
3.5 percent or approximately 52 million bushels.  Differences between the July 1
winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past         
10 years have averaged 19 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 61 million 
bushels.  The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 4 times and     
above 6 times.  This does not imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this  
year is likely to understate or overstate final production.                     
                               Index                                            
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                            Page                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                      Table      Narrative      
                                                                                
                                                                                
Barley.............................................   A- 7          B- 6        
                                                                                
Citrus Fruit.......................................   A-15          B- 9        
                                                                                
Crop Moisture Maps.................................                 B- 1        
                                                                                
Crop Summary.......................................   A- 3                      
                                                                                
Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts......................   A-14          B-10        
                                                                                
Oats...............................................   A- 6          B- 5        
                                                                                
Papayas-Hawaii.....................................   A-16          B-10        
                                                                                
Peaches............................................   A-13          B- 7        
                                                                                
Potatoes...........................................   A-17          B-10        
                                                                                
Reliability Statement..............................                 B-12        
                                                                                
Tobacco, by Class and Type.........................   A-12          B- 7        
                                                                                
Wheat, All.........................................   A- 8                      
                                                                                
Wheat, by Class....................................   A-12                      
                                                                                
Wheat, Durum.......................................   A-10          B- 6        
                                                                                
Wheat, Other Spring................................   A-10          B- 7        
                                                                                
Wheat, Winter......................................   A- 9          B- 6        
                                                                                
                                                                                
                          Report Features                                       
                                                                                
                                                                                
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on           
August 12, 1996.                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National  
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.          
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
C. Ray Halley, Chief                                              (202) 720-2127
                                                                                
  Field Crops Section                                                           
    Bill Dowdy, Head                                              (202) 720-3843
      Kevin Barnes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice               (202) 720-7369
      Dan Kerestes - Barley, Corn, Oats,                          (202) 720-9526
      Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather    (202) 720-7621
      Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat                   (202) 720-8068
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
  Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section                                      
    Stephen Ropel, Head                                           (202) 720-3843
      Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions                   (202) 720-4285
      Roger Latham - Cotton                                       (202) 720-5944
      Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes                               (202) 720-4215
      Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables              (202) 720-2157
      Barbara Rater - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts                   (202) 720-7688
      Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits, Maple Syrup          (202) 720-5412
                                                                                
                                                                                
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in  
its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,  
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status.  Persons with    
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program         
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA     
Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD).     
                                                                                
To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C.,
20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD).  USDA is an equal
employment opportunity employer.                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
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