HDR1012000110010912950830CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY                   
HDR2012000110010912950830CRP HIGHLIGHTS                                         
Released September 12, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service    
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For     
information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 
4:30 p.m. ET.  For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information 
about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at   
1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV.                                          
                                                                                
                       Corn Production Down - Soybeans Up                       
                                                                                
Corn production is forecast at 7.83 billion bushels, down 22 percent from the   
record high 1994 production.  Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are 
expected to average 121.1 bushels per acre, down 4.5 bushels from last month and
17.5 bushels below a year earlier.  Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at
64.7 million acres, the same as last month.  Hot, dry conditions reduced yield  
prospects in Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Nebraska, and Ohio.  High ear counts were 
more than offset by shorter than average ear length.                            
                                                                                
Soybean production is forecast at a 2.28 billion bushels as of September 1, up  
2 percent from the August 1 forecast but 11 percent below the record high of    
1994.   Yield is forecast at 37.0 bushels per acre, 0.6 bushels above August 1  
but 4.9 bushels below the record high of 1994.  The number of pods counted in   
the September survey was considerably larger than the August projections and    
indicates the second highest on record.  Acreage for harvest is estimated at    
61.7 million acres, unchanged from last month.  Soybeans are rated in fair to   
good condition.                                                                 
                                                                                
All cotton production remains a record high, at 20.3 million bales, despite a   
7 percent drop from last month.  Production in 1995 is 3 percent above 1994.    
Above normal temperatures, sparse rainfall, and insects during August resulted  
in loss of fruit and declining yields.  Yields are down 93 pounds from last     
year's record high yield and down 48 pounds from a month earlier.               
                                                                                
All Wheat:  Production is forecast at 2.19 billion bushels, down 2 percent from 
            August 1 and 6 percent less than in 1994.  Area for grain is        
60.9 million acres, down 1 percent from last year.  Yields are now expected to  
average 35.9 bushels per acre, down 0.7 bushels from a month ago.               
                                                                                
Cr Pr 2-2 (9-95)                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
Other Spring Wheat:  Production is forecast at 530 million bushels, down        
                     6 percent from both last month and last year.  Yield       
declines in North Dakota were only partially offset by an improved South Dakota 
yield.  Lower than expected head weights lead to the North Dakota's drop.  The  
U.S. yield is now 32.4 bushels per acre, down 2.0 bushels from last month's     
forecast.                                                                       
                                                                                
California Navel orange production for 1995-96 is forecast at 38.0 million      
boxes, up 9 percent from last year's production of 35.0 million boxes.  This    
initial forecast of the 1995-96 season is based on an objective measurement     
survey conducted in the California Central Valley.  The crop is maturing well   
with a set similar to last year but with larger sized fruit.                    
                                                                                
This report was approved on September 12, 1995, by the Secretary of Agriculture 
and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics      
Board.                                                                          
                                                                                
            Secretary of                       Agricultural Statistics Board    
            Agriculture                                  Chairperson            
            Dan Glickman                                 Rich Allen             
                                                                                
HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:AREA PLTD&HRVD, US, '94-95 (DMSTC)          
            Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,            
                      1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995                     
                                (Domestic Units)                                
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :       Area Planted       :      Area Harvested 1/    
          Crop           :----------------------------------------------------  
                         :     1994    :    1995    :    1994    :    1995      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :                     1,000 Acres                      
                         :                                                      
Corn                     :    79,158       71,308       72,917       64,682     
Sorghum                  :     9,772        9,112        8,967        8,276     
Barley                   :     7,159        6,796        6,667        6,418     
All Wheat                :    70,421       69,325       61,771       60,919     
  Durum                  :     2,850        3,315        2,739        3,255     
  Other Spring           :    18,324       16,671       17,697       16,328     
Rice                     :   3,353.0      3,165.0      3,316.0      3,111.0     
Soybeans                 :    61,940       62,585       61,129       61,716     
Peanuts                  :   1,641.0      1,565.0      1,618.5      1,534.5     
All Cotton               :  13,720.1     16,665.0     13,322.3     15,810.5     
  Upland                 :  13,551.6     16,470.0     13,155.9     15,618.0     
  Amer-Pima              :     168.5        195.0        166.4        192.5     
Potatoes                 :                                                      
  Summer 2/              :      95.8         72.5         92.3         70.7     
  Total 2/               :   1,420.4      1,393.9      1,382.7      1,369.5     
Tobacco                  :                               671.2        675.0     
Sugarbeets               :   1,475.8      1,449.6      1,443.0      1,428.7     
Sugarcane for            :                                                      
 Sugar and Seed          :                               936.8        922.2     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc.           
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
                                                                                
HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:AREA PLTD&HRVD, US, '94-95 (DMSTC)          
                   Crop Summary:  Area Planted and Harvested,                   
                     United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units)                    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :       Area Planted       :     Area Harvested        
          Crop           :----------------------------------------------------  
                         :     1994    :    1995 1/ :    1994    :    1995 1/   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :                     1,000 Acres                      
                         :                                                      
Oats                     :     6,644        6,438        4,020        3,247     
Winter Wheat             :    49,247       49,339       41,335       41,336     
Rye                      :     1,603        1,627          406          414     
Sunflower                :     3,567        3,608        3,430        3,484     
Flaxseed                 :       178          213          171          206     
All Hay                  :                              58,744       60,228     
  Alfalfa                :                              24,222       24,639     
  All Other              :                              34,522       35,589     
Dry Edible Beans         :   2,025.8      2,049.7      1,845.2      1,945.8     
Potatoes                 :                                                      
  Winter                 :      12.9         12.8         12.3         12.6     
  Spring                 :      91.6         88.6         90.4         86.8     
  Fall 2/                :   1,220.1      1,220.0      1,187.7      1,199.4     
Sweetpotatoes            :      86.1         87.0         82.8         83.6     
Hops                     :                                42.4         43.5     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.                       
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
                                                                                
HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER AC&PROD,US, '94-95 (DMSTC)          
          Crop Summary:  Yield per Acre and Production, United States,          
                      1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995                     
                                (Domestic Units)                                
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
                         : Yield per Acre:             Production               
      Crop and Unit      :---------------------------------------------------   
                         :       :       :           :   Aug 1,  :   Sep 1,     
                         :  1994 :  1995 :   1994    :    1995   :    1995      
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
                         :                  ------------- 1,000 ------------    
                         :                                                      
Corn for Grain       Bu  : 138.6   121.1  10,103,030   8,121,520   7,832,140    
Sorghum for Grain     "  :  73.0    65.0     655,021     538,559     537,699    
Barley                "  :  56.2    58.3     374,862     384,687     374,215    
All Wheat             "  :  37.6    35.9   2,320,610   2,227,422   2,187,260    
  Durum               "  :  35.5    32.3      97,347     113,774     105,262    
  Other Spring        "  :  31.8    32.4     562,220     561,418     529,768    
Rice 1/              Cwt : 5,964   5,843     197,779     185,228     181,768    
Soybeans for Beans   Bu  :  41.9    37.0   2,558,317   2,245,901   2,284,551    
Peanuts for Nuts     Lb  : 2,624   2,333   4,247,455   3,877,900   3,580,100    
All Cotton 1/        Bale:   708     615    19,662.0    21,810.7    20,265.7    
  Upland 1/           "  :   705     612    19,324.3    21,452.7    19,897.7    
  Amer-Pima 1/        "  :   974     918       337.7       358.0       368.0    
Cottonseed           Ton :                   7,603.9     8,407.7     7,818.7    
Potatoes                 :                                                      
  Summer 2/ 3/       Cwt :   243     249      22,391      16,872      17,590    
  Total 2/            "  :   338             467,924                            
Tobacco              Lb  : 2,358   1,996   1,582,816   1,410,267   1,347,334    
Sugarbeets           Ton :  22.2    20.4      31,994      28,888      29,086    
Sugarcane for            :                                                      
 Sugar and Seed       "  :  33.0    31.5      30,929      29,187      29,059    
Pecans               Lb  :                   199,000                 248,000    
Hazelnuts 4/         Ton :                      21.1                    38.0    
Walnuts (CA) 3/       "  :                     232.0       245.0       220.0    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/  Yield in pounds.                                                            
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
3/  August estimate carried forward from July 1.                                
4/  Carried forward from August 24.                                             
                                                                                
                                                                                
                  Crop Summary:  Yield per Acre and Production,                 
                     United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units)                    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :     Yield per Acre     :        Production           
      Crop and Unit      :----------------------------------------------------  
                         :    1994   :   1995 1/  :    1994   :     1995 1/     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :                           ------- 1,000 -------      
                         :                                                      
Oats                 Bu  :      57.2       57.3        229,857      186,167     
Winter Wheat         "   :      40.2       37.6      1,661,043    1,552,230     
All Hay              Ton :      2.56       2.61        150,124      157,374     
  Alfalfa            "   :      3.36       3.49         81,398       86,082     
  All Other          "   :      1.99       2.00         68,726       71,292     
Dry Edible Beans 2/  Cwt :     1,582      1,649         29,187       32,078     
Potatoes                 :                                                      
  Winter             "   :       193        206          2,372        2,592     
  Spring             "   :       251        258         22,646       22,387     
  Fall 3/            "   :       354                   420,515                  
Hops                 Lb  :     1,758      1,748       74,559.6     75,972.0     
Apples, Comm'l       "   :                          11,335,500   11,185,500     
Peaches              "   :                           2,506,500    2,487,700     
Pears                Ton :                             1,046.2        963.3     
Grapes               "   :                             5,870.6      5,772.5     
Sweet Cherries       "   :                               207.2        135.7     
Tart Cherries        Lb  :                             287,800      391,000     
Apricots             Ton :                               158.2         67.5     
Olives (CA)          "   :                                84.0         85.0     
Dried Prunes (CA)    "   :                               193.0        185.0     
Prunes and Plums         :                                                      
 (Excl CA)           "   :                                38.1         25.0     
Almonds (CA)         Lb  :                             730,000      310,000     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.                       
2/  Yield in pounds.                                                            
3/  1994 revised.                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER HC&PROD,US, '94-95 (MTRC)           
                Crop Summary:  Yield per Hectare and Production,                
                      United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units)                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :     Yield per Hectare  :       Production            
          Crop           :----------------------------------------------------  
                         :     1994  :    1995 1/ :    1994   :    1995 1/      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                         :                     Metric Tons                      
                         :                                                      
Oats                     :      2.05       2.06      3,336,370    2,702,210     
Winter Wheat             :      2.70       2.53     45,206,180   42,244,780     
All Hay                  :      5.73       5.86    136,190,200  142,767,290     
  Alfalfa                :      7.53       7.83     73,843,020   78,092,280     
  All Other              :      4.46       4.49     62,347,180   64,675,010     
Potatoes                 :                                                      
  Winter                 :     21.60      23.05        107,590      117,570     
  Spring                 :     28.08      28.91      1,027,210    1,015,460     
  Fall 2/                :     27.19                 1,015,640                  
Hops                     :      1.97       1.96         33,820       34,460     
Apples, Comm'l           :                           5,141,700    5,073,660     
Peaches                  :                           1,136,930    1,128,400     
Sweet Cherries           :                             187,970      123,100     
Tart Cherries            :                             130,540      177,350     
Apricots                 :                             143,520       61,230     
Olives (CA)              :                              76,200       77,110     
Dried Prunes (CA)        :                             175,090      167,830     
Prunes and Plums         :                                                      
 (Excl CA)               :                              34,560       22,680     
Almonds (CA)             :                             331,120      140,610     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.                       
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:AREA PLTD&HRVD,US, '94-95 (MTRC)            
            Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,            
                      1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995                     
                                 (Metric Units)                                 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :       Area Planted        :      Area Harvested 1/      
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------  
                      :     1994    :     1995    :     1994    :    1995       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :                        Hectares                         
                      :                                                         
Corn                  :  32,034,450    28,857,630    29,508,780   26,176,160    
Sorghum               :   3,954,630     3,687,540     3,628,860    3,349,210    
Barley                :   2,897,180     2,750,270     2,698,070    2,597,300    
All Wheat             :  28,498,670    28,055,130    24,998,110   24,653,310    
  Durum               :   1,153,370     1,341,550     1,108,450    1,317,270    
  Other Spring        :   7,415,540     6,746,590     7,161,800    6,607,780    
Rice                  :   1,356,930     1,280,840     1,341,950    1,258,990    
Soybeans              :  25,066,500    25,327,520    24,738,300   24,975,850    
Peanuts               :     664,100       633,340       654,990      621,000    
All Cotton            :   5,552,390     6,744,160     5,391,400    6,398,350    
  Upland              :   5,484,200     6,665,240     5,324,060    6,320,450    
  Amer-Pima           :      68,190        78,910        67,340       77,900    
Potatoes              :                                                         
  Summer 2/           :      38,770        29,340        37,350       28,610    
  Total 2/            :     574,820       564,100       559,560      554,220    
Tobacco               :                                 271,610      273,180    
Sugarbeets            :     597,240       586,640       583,970      578,180    
Sugarcane for         :                                                         
 Sugar and Seed       :                                 379,110      373,210    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc.           
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
                                                                                
                   Crop Summary:  Area Planted and Harvested,                   
                      United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units)                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :       Area Planted       :       Area Harvested         
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------  
                      :     1994    :    1995 1/ :     1994     :    1995 1/    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :                      Hectares                           
                      :                                                         
Oats                  :   2,688,760     2,605,390     1,626,850    1,314,030    
Winter Wheat          :  19,929,770    19,967,000    16,727,860   16,728,270    
Rye                   :     648,720       658,430       164,300      167,540    
Sunflower             :   1,443,530     1,460,120     1,388,090    1,409,940    
Flaxseed              :      72,030        86,200        69,200       83,370    
All Hay               :                              23,773,110   24,373,670    
  Alfalfa             :                               9,802,400    9,971,160    
  All Other           :                              13,970,710   14,402,510    
Dry Edible Beans      :     819,820       829,490       746,730      787,450    
Potatoes              :                                                         
  Winter              :       5,220         5,180         4,980        5,100    
  Spring              :      37,070        35,860        36,580       35,130    
  Fall 2/             :     493,760       493,720       480,650      485,390    
Sweetpotatoes         :      34,840        35,210        33,510       33,830    
Hops                  :                                  17,160       17,580    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.                       
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER HC&PROD,US,'94-95 (MTRC)            
        Crop Summary:  Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,         
                      1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995                     
                                 (Metric Units)                                 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :Yield per Hectare:             Production                
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------  
                      :        :        :           :   Aug 1,   :   Sep 1,     
                      :  1994  :  1995  :   1994    :    1995    :    1995      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :                      Metric Tons                        
                      :                                                         
Corn for Grain        :  8.70     7.60  256,628,780  206,296,110  198,945,520   
Sorghum for Grain     :  4.58     4.08   16,638,300   13,680,030   13,658,180   
Barley                :  3.02     3.14    8,161,660    8,375,570    8,147,570   
All Wheat             :  2.53     2.41   63,156,650   60,620,490   59,527,460   
  Durum               :  2.39     2.17    2,649,350    3,096,420    2,864,760   
  Other Spring        :  2.14     2.18   15,301,120   15,279,290   14,417,920   
Rice                  :  6.69     6.55    8,971,110    8,401,800    8,244,860   
Soybeans for Beans    :  2.81     2.49   69,625,980   61,123,410   62,175,290   
Peanuts for Nuts      :  2.94     2.61    1,926,610    1,758,990    1,623,910   
All Cotton            :  0.79     0.69    4,280,900    4,748,730    4,412,330   
  Upland              :  0.79     0.69    4,207,370    4,670,780    4,332,210   
  Amer-Pima           :  1.09     1.03       73,530       77,950       80,120   
Cottonseed            :                   6,898,140    7,627,340    7,093,010   
Potatoes              :                                                         
  Summer 1/ 2/        : 27.19    27.89    1,015,640      765,300      797,870   
  Total 1/            : 37.93            21,224,680                             
Tobacco               :  2.64     2.24      717,950      639,690      611,140   
Sugarbeets            : 49.70    45.64   29,024,470   26,206,750   26,386,380   
Sugarcane for         :                                                         
 Sugar and Seed       : 74.01    70.64   28,058,320   26,478,000   26,361,880   
Pecans                :                      90,260                   112,490   
Hazelnuts 3/          :                      19,140       34,470       34,470   
Walnuts (CA) 2/       :                     210,470      222,260      199,580   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  1994 revised.                                                               
2/  August estimate carried forward from July 1.                                
3/  Carried forward from August 24.                                             
HDR1012000110110912950830CROP PRODUCTION STATE TABLES                           
HDR2012000110110912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER HC&PROD,US,'94-95 (MTRC)            
        Corn for Grain:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State         
            and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres       ------- Bushels -------     -- 1,000 Bushels --   
        :                                                                       
AL      :    260      220     96.0      70.0      70.0       24,960     15,400  
AZ 1/   :     15       20    170.0     160.0     160.0        2,550      3,200  
AR 1/   :     90       85    120.0     125.0     125.0       10,800     10,625  
CA      :    170      140    165.0     160.0     160.0       28,050     22,400  
CO      :    890      800    150.0     145.0     145.0      133,500    116,000  
CT 2/   :                                                                       
DE      :    150      142    125.0     100.0     100.0       18,750     14,200  
FL 1/   :     80       60     85.0      77.0      77.0        6,800      4,620  
GA      :    540      360    106.0      95.0     100.0       57,240     36,000  
ID 1/   :     35       35    140.0     140.0     140.0        4,900      4,900  
IL      : 11,450   10,000    156.0     133.0     126.0    1,786,200  1,260,000  
IN      :  5,960    5,200    144.0     135.0     125.0      858,240    650,000  
IA      : 12,700   11,500    152.0     135.0     125.0    1,930,400  1,437,500  
KS      :  2,130    1,950    143.0     140.0     140.0      304,590    273,000  
KY      :  1,220    1,150    128.0     120.0     122.0      156,160    140,300  
LA 1/   :    306      235    115.0     105.0     105.0       35,190     24,675  
ME 2/   :                                                                       
MD      :    390      380    118.0     110.0     105.0       46,020     39,900  
MA 2/   :                                                                       
MI      :  2,230    2,100    117.0     120.0     120.0      260,910    252,000  
MN      :  6,450    6,000    142.0     130.0     130.0      915,900    780,000  
MS 1/   :    305      275    100.0      95.0      95.0       30,500     26,125  
MO      :  2,300    1,350    119.0     105.0     105.0      273,700    141,750  
MT 1/   :     20       18    135.0     140.0     140.0        2,700      2,520  
NE      :  8,300    7,800    139.0     122.0     120.0    1,153,700    936,000  
NH 2/   :                                                                       
NJ 1/   :     81       82    119.0     110.0     110.0        9,639      9,020  
NM 1/   :     85       85    150.0     170.0     170.0       12,750     14,450  
NY      :    590      560    116.0     104.0      97.0       68,440     54,320  
NC      :    900      800     91.0     105.0     105.0       81,900     84,000  
ND      :    540      400    100.0      90.0      82.0       54,000     32,800  
OH      :  3,500    3,150    139.0     124.0     122.0      486,500    384,300  
OK 1/   :    165      125    100.0     120.0     120.0       16,500     15,000  
OR 1/   :     20       17    170.0     140.0     140.0        3,400      2,380  
PA      :  1,030      990    120.0     118.0     106.0      123,600    104,940  
RI 2/   :                                                                       
SC      :    345      280     85.0      85.0      89.0       29,325     24,920  
SD      :  3,400    2,300    108.0      77.0      80.0      367,200    184,000  
TN      :    570      570    116.0     120.0     120.0       66,120     68,400  
TX      :  2,040    2,100    117.0     117.0     115.0      238,680    241,500  
UT 1/   :     22       23    130.0     125.0     125.0        2,860      2,875  
VT 2/   :                                                                       
VA      :    350      300     98.0     110.0     100.0       34,300     30,000  
WA 1/   :    105      105    185.0     190.0     190.0       19,425     19,950  
WV 1/   :     35       35    105.0     110.0     110.0        3,675      3,850  
WI      :  3,100    2,900    141.0     129.0     124.0      437,100    359,600  
WY 1/   :     48       40    122.0     118.0     118.0        5,856      4,720  
        :                                                                       
US      : 72,917   64,682    138.6     125.6     121.1   10,103,030  7,832,140  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
2/  Not estimated.                                                              
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830SRGHM:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95                 
       Sorghum for Grain:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State       
            and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres        ------ Bushels ------      -- 1,000 Bushels --   
        :                                                                       
AL 1/   :     20       8     45.0      40.0      40.0         900         320   
AR      :    245     185     75.0      70.0      60.0      18,375      11,100   
CO      :    170     220     45.0      45.0      42.0       7,650       9,240   
GA 1/   :     40      30     50.0      38.0      38.0       2,000       1,140   
IL      :    180     170     99.0      83.0      83.0      17,820      14,110   
KS      :  3,000   2,900     77.0      68.0      68.0     231,000     197,200   
KY 1/   :     11      16     92.0      90.0      90.0       1,012       1,440   
LA      :    123      57     68.0      70.0      65.0       8,364       3,705   
MS      :     70      45     75.0      76.0      74.0       5,250       3,330   
MO      :    550     550     90.0      87.0      87.0      49,500      47,850   
NE      :  1,250   1,050     98.0      69.0      72.0     122,500      75,600   
NM      :    180     195     38.0      40.0      37.0       6,840       7,215   
NC 1/   :     20      15     55.0      50.0      50.0       1,100         750   
OK      :    280     280     50.0      52.0      52.0      14,000      14,560   
SC 1/   :      8       8     40.0      35.0      35.0         320         280   
SD      :    190     180     65.0      44.0      41.0      12,350       7,380   
TN 1/   :     30      17     88.0      87.0      87.0       2,640       1,479   
TX      :  2,600   2,350     59.0      60.0      60.0     153,400     141,000   
        :                                                                       
US      :  8,967   8,276     73.0      65.1      65.0     655,021     537,699   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
HDR2012000110110912950830BARLEY:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95                
          Barley:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and           
             United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres      -------- Bushels --------    -- 1,000 Bushels --   
        :                                                                       
AZ 1/   :     33      21     95.0       90.0      90.0      3,135       1,890   
CA 1/   :    220     200     65.0       70.0      70.0     14,300      14,000   
CO      :     83     100     90.0      105.0     105.0      7,470      10,500   
DE 1/   :     30      37     63.0       75.0      75.0      1,890       2,775   
ID      :    720     760     75.0       77.0      77.0     54,000      58,520   
KS 1/   :     14       8     38.0       30.0      30.0        532         240   
KY 1/   :     14      16     79.0       77.0      77.0      1,106       1,232   
MD 1/   :     60      62     70.0       75.0      75.0      4,200       4,650   
MI 1/   :     32      23     51.0       50.0      50.0      1,632       1,150   
MN      :    600     585     50.0       50.0      50.0     30,000      29,250   
MT      :  1,200   1,200     44.0       56.0      54.0     52,800      64,800   
NE 1/   :      8       8     38.0       36.0      36.0        304         288   
NV 1/   :      4       4     85.0       80.0      80.0        340         320   
NJ 1/   :      5       5     53.0       72.0      72.0        265         360   
NC 1/   :     25      30     70.0       60.0      60.0      1,750       1,800   
ND      :  2,400   2,350     55.0       52.0      49.0    132,000     115,150   
OK 1/   :      6       3     37.0       35.0      35.0        222         105   
OR      :    130      95     73.0       77.0      77.0      9,490       7,315   
PA 1/   :     75      75     65.0       75.0      75.0      4,875       5,625   
SC 1/   :      7       5     72.0       28.0      28.0        504         140   
SD      :    310     170     42.0       40.0      35.0     13,020       5,950   
TX 1/   :      8      15     33.0       46.0      46.0        264         690   
UT      :    107      95     75.0       90.0      90.0      8,025       8,550   
VA 1/   :     87      80     73.0       78.0      78.0      6,351       6,240   
WA      :    305     290     47.0       70.0      70.0     14,335      20,300   
WI      :     84      86     53.0       52.0      50.0      4,452       4,300   
WY      :    100      95     76.0       85.0      85.0      7,600       8,075   
        :                                                                       
US      :  6,667   6,418     56.2       59.9      58.3    374,862     374,215   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
HDR2012000110110912950830AL WHT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95                
           All Wheat:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State           
            and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1994       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres      -------- Bushels --------    -- 1,000 Bushels ---  
        :                                                                       
AL 1/   :     95       80    48.0      36.0      36.0        4,560       2,880  
AZ 1/   :    122      122    91.7      86.4      86.4       11,186      10,538  
AR 1/   :    880    1,000    46.0      48.0      48.0       40,480      48,000  
CA 1/   :    569      508    78.0      70.1      70.1       44,365      35,636  
CO 1/   :  2,592    2,742    30.8      38.5      38.5       79,734     105,666  
DE 1/   :     70       67    54.0      60.0      60.0        3,780       4,020  
FL 1/   :     15       13    42.0      32.0      32.0          630         416  
GA 1/   :    400      300    51.0      38.0      38.0       20,400      11,400  
ID      :  1,410    1,330    71.1      73.4      73.4      100,280      97,650  
IL 1/   :    900    1,390    56.0      49.0      49.0       50,400      68,110  
IN 1/   :    630      660    61.0      61.0      61.0       38,430      40,260  
IA 1/   :     45       45    47.0      40.0      40.0        2,115       1,800  
KS 1/   : 11,400   10,800    38.0      27.0      27.0      433,200     291,600  
KY 1/   :    420      460    60.0      53.0      53.0       25,200      24,380  
LA 1/   :     70       80    37.0      36.0      36.0        2,590       2,880  
MD 1/   :    220      225    55.0      56.0      56.0       12,100      12,600  
MI 1/   :    580      600    53.0      60.0      60.0       30,740      36,000  
MN      :  2,572    2,193    28.0      30.0      30.0       71,948      65,790  
MS 1/   :    160      170    40.0      35.0      35.0        6,400       5,950  
MO 1/   :  1,100    1,200    45.0      39.0      39.0       49,500      46,800  
MT      :  5,378    5,395    31.7      37.2      37.1      170,590     200,245  
NE 1/   :  2,100    2,100    34.0      41.0      41.0       71,400      86,100  
NV 1/   :      9       11    74.4      85.0      85.0          670         935  
NJ 1/   :     32       32    42.0      52.0      52.0        1,344       1,664  
NM 1/   :    230      150    24.0      22.0      22.0        5,520       3,300  
NY 1/   :    115      125    53.0      49.0      49.0        6,095       6,125  
NC 1/   :    620      680    49.0      42.0      42.0       30,380      28,560  
ND      : 11,238   10,988    31.7      32.0      28.3      356,404     310,604  
OH 1/   :  1,180    1,210    58.0      61.0      61.0       68,440      73,810  
OK 1/   :  5,300    5,250    27.0      21.0      21.0      143,100     110,250  
OR 1/   :    928      934    63.1      66.9      66.9       58,580      62,530  
PA 1/   :    165      185    48.0      51.0      51.0        7,920       9,435  
SC 1/   :    360      280    50.0      30.0      30.0       18,000       8,400  
SD      :  3,353    2,693    28.4      33.6      34.0       95,278      91,687  
TN 1/   :    300      350    50.0      46.0      46.0       15,000      16,100  
TX 1/   :  2,900    3,150    26.0      26.0      26.0       75,400      81,900  
UT 1/   :    172      166    40.8      47.9      47.9        7,012       7,948  
VA 1/   :    250      275    56.0      58.0      58.0       14,000      15,950  
WA      :  2,545    2,595    52.7      55.6      55.6      134,000     144,280  
WV 1/   :     10       11    55.0      52.0      52.0          550         572  
WI 1/   :    139      139    57.1      50.0      50.0        7,940       6,954  
WY 1/   :    197      215    25.1      35.0      35.0        4,949       7,535  
        :                                                                       
US      : 61,771   60,919    37.6      36.6      35.9    2,320,610   2,187,260  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
HDR2012000110110912950830DURM WHT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95              
          Durum Wheat:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State          
            and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres      -------- Bushels --------        1,000 Bushels     
        :                                                                       
AZ 1/   :     94      99     91.0      86.0      86.0       8,554       8,514   
CA 1/   :     59      68     95.0      97.0      97.0       5,605       6,596   
MN      :     35      10     25.0      30.0      30.0         875         300   
MT      :    178     295     30.0      32.0      31.0       5,340       9,145   
ND      :  2,350   2,750     32.5      32.0      29.0      76,375      79,750   
SD      :     23      33     26.0      28.0      29.0         598         957   
        :                                                                       
US      :  2,739   3,255     35.5      35.0      32.3      97,347     105,262   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830OT SP WHT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95             
      Other Spring Wheat:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State       
            and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres      -------- Bushels --------    -- 1,000 Bushels --   
        :                                                                       
CO 1/   :     42       42    77.0      73.0      73.0       3,234       3,066   
ID      :    620      560    70.0      74.0      74.0      43,400      41,440   
MN      :  2,500    2,150    28.0      30.0      30.0      70,000      64,500   
MT      :  3,350    3,600    30.0      36.0      36.0     100,500     129,600   
NV 1/   :      4        7    55.0      85.0      85.0         220         595   
ND      :  8,850    8,200    31.5      32.0      28.0     278,775     229,600   
OR 1/   :     58      114    50.0      45.0      45.0       2,900       5,130   
SD      :  1,980    1,150    26.0      28.0      29.0      51,480      33,350   
UT 1/   :     22       26    46.0      58.0      58.0       1,012       1,508   
WA      :    245      445    40.0      44.0      44.0       9,800      19,580   
WI 1/   :      9        9    30.0      36.0      36.0         270         324   
WY 1/   :     17       25    37.0      43.0      43.0         629       1,075   
        :                                                                       
US      : 17,697   16,328    31.8      34.4      32.4     562,220     529,768   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
HDR2012000110110912950830WHT:PROD BY CL,US, '93-94                              
              Wheat:  Production by Class, United States, 1993-94               
                      and Forecasted September 1, 1995 1/                       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
       :            Winter           :            Spring            :           
       :------------------------------------------------------------:           
 Year  :   Hard   :  Soft  :         :   Hard  :         :          :   Total   
       :   Red    :  Red   :  White  :   Red   :  Durum  :   White  :           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
       :                              1,000 Bushels                             
                                                                                
       :                                                                        
                                                                                
1993   : 1,065,941  401,326   292,876   511,814   70,476    54,007   2,396,440  
1994   :   971,134  433,335   256,574   515,392   97,347    46,828   2,320,610  
1995   :   847,172  444,229   260,829   476,425  105,262    53,343   2,187,260  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey       
data                                                                            
    available for wheat producing States.  Unless unusual situations dictate,   
    the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the        
    forecast season.                                                            
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830RICE:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95                  
           Rice:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and            
             United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :-- 1,000 Acres --     ------- Pounds -------      --- 1,000 Cwt ---    
        :                                                                       
AR      :  1,420   1,340     5,700     5,600     5,600     80,940      75,040   
CA      :    485     448     8,500     8,300     8,300     41,224      37,184   
LA      :    620     590     4,750     4,950     4,750     29,448      28,025   
MS      :    313     295     5,900     5,900     5,700     18,467      16,815   
MO 1/   :    124     100     5,200     5,100     5,100      6,448       5,100   
TX      :    354     338     6,000     6,300     5,800     21,252      19,604   
        :                                                                       
US      :  3,316   3,111     5,964     5,954     5,843    197,779     181,768   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830RICE:PROD BY CL,US '94-95                              
                  Rice:  Production by Class, United States,                    
                   1994-95 and Forecasted September 1, 1995                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      Year     :   Long Grain  :  Medium Grain :  Short Grain  :      All       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
               :                           1,000 Cwt                            
               :                                                                
1993           :     103,064         51,873          1,173          156,110     
1994           :     133,445         63,390            944          197,779     
1995 1/        :     128,349         52,482            937          181,768     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Indicated September 1, 1995, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year  
    average of class percentages.  The class percentages are adjusted as data   
    become available through the growing season.                                
HDR2012000110110912950830SOYBNS:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD,ST&US, '94-95                
      Soybeans for Beans:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State       
            and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production       
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres       ------- Bushels -------     -- 1,000 Bushels --   
        :                                                                       
AL      :    295      220    31.0      25.0      25.0        9,145      5,500   
AR      :  3,400    3,300    34.0      33.0      30.0      115,600     99,000   
DE      :    220      230    37.0      30.0      29.0        8,140      6,670   
FL 1/   :     42       28    31.0      32.0      32.0        1,302        896   
GA      :    500      320    31.0      25.0      24.0       15,500      7,680   
IL      :  9,530    9,650    46.0      39.0      41.0      438,380    395,650   
IN      :  4,680    5,180    47.0      43.0      44.0      219,960    227,920   
IA      :  8,770    9,150    51.0      43.0      44.0      447,270    402,600   
KS      :  2,100    2,050    36.0      28.0      30.0       75,600     61,500   
KY      :  1,130    1,080    38.0      36.0      37.0       42,940     39,960   
LA      :  1,120    1,030    29.0      30.0      30.0       32,480     30,900   
MD      :    550      540    36.0      34.0      33.0       19,800     17,820   
MI      :  1,540    1,490    38.0      39.0      39.0       58,520     58,110   
MN      :  5,600    5,900    41.0      38.0      38.0      229,600    224,200   
MS      :  1,920    1,900    31.0      31.0      28.0       59,520     53,200   
MO      :  4,560    4,700    38.0      31.0      31.0      173,280    145,700   
NE      :  2,860    2,960    48.0      33.0      34.0      137,280    100,640   
NJ 1/   :    147      118    35.0      40.0      40.0        5,145      4,720   
NC      :  1,350    1,050    31.0      28.0      23.0       41,850     24,150   
ND      :    610      630    31.0      25.0      25.0       18,910     15,750   
OH      :  3,990    4,080    44.0      39.0      42.0      175,560    171,360   
OK 1/   :    290      285    32.0      27.0      27.0        9,280      7,695   
PA 1/   :    315      315    43.0      44.0      44.0       13,545     13,860   
SC      :    580      530    27.0      26.0      24.0       15,660     12,720   
SD      :  2,420    2,400    39.0      25.0      28.0       94,380     67,200   
TN      :  1,050    1,080    37.0      33.0      33.0       38,850     35,640   
TX      :    210      210    34.0      28.0      28.0        7,140      5,880   
VA      :    520      490    33.0      31.0      27.0       17,160     13,230   
WI      :    830      800    44.0      40.0      43.0       36,520     34,400   
        :                                                                       
US      : 61,129   61,716    41.9      36.4      37.0    2,558,317  2,284,551   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
HDR2012000110110912950830PNUTS:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD,ST&US, '94-95                 
         Peanuts:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and           
            and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :     Production 1/     
        :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  State :        :        :         :        1995       :          :            
        :  1994  :  1995  :   1994  :-------------------:   1994   :    1995    
        :        :        :         :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :          :            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1,000 Acres      --------- Pounds --------   ---- 1,000 Pounds ---  
        :                                                                       
AL      :   222.0   214.0    2,010     2,200     2,200     446,220     470,800  
FL      :    84.0    80.0    2,470     2,600     2,600     207,480     208,000  
GA      :   649.0   605.0    2,870     2,600     2,300   1,862,630   1,391,500  
NM      :    21.0    20.0    2,460     2,000     2,300      51,660      46,000  
NC      :   151.0   144.0    3,215     2,700     2,400     485,465     345,600  
OK      :   100.0   100.0    2,610     2,700     2,600     261,000     260,000  
SC      :    12.5    12.5    2,900     2,600     2,600      36,250      32,500  
TX      :   287.0   270.0    2,110     2,300     2,300     605,570     621,000  
VA      :    92.0    89.0    3,165     2,800     2,300     291,180     204,700  
        :                                                                       
US      : 1,618.5 1,534.5    2,624     2,512     2,333   4,247,455   3,580,100  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.                         
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830COTTONSD:PRODUCTION, US, '93-95                        
           Cottonseed:  Production, United States, 1993-94                      
                   and Forecasted September 1, 1995                             
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
         :                          Production                                  
  State  :--------------------------------------------------------------------  
         :        1993         :         1994         :          1995  1/       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
         :                            1,000 Tons                                
         :                                                                      
 US      :      6,343.2                7,603.9                  7,818.7         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.                                  
HDR2012000110110912950830COTTON:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY TYP,ST&US '94-95          
        Cotton:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,          
           and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995             
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :  Area Harvested :            Yield           :   Production 1/      
   Type   :------------------------------------------------------------------   
    and   :        :        :        :        1995       :         :            
   State  :  1994  :  1995  :  1994  :-------------------:   1994  :   1995     
          :        :        :        :  Aug 1  :  Sep 1  :         :            
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
          :-- 1,000 Acres --    ------- Pounds -------      1,000 Bales 2/      
Upland    :                                                                     
  AL      :   455.0    615.0    766       550       500      726.0     640.0    
  AZ      :   312.0    359.0  1,203     1,139     1,123      782.0     840.0    
  AR      :   970.0  1,000.0    877       826       744    1,772.0   1,550.0    
  CA      : 1,095.0  1,175.0  1,191     1,165     1,123    2,717.0   2,750.0    
  FL 3/   :    68.0    109.0    735       691       691      104.1     157.0    
  GA      :   875.0  1,490.0    843       677       628    1,537.0   1,950.0    
  KS 3/   :     1.2      2.0    480       408       408        1.2       1.7    
  LA      :   890.0  1,010.0    815       808       713    1,512.0   1,500.0    
  MS      : 1,270.0  1,460.0    806       819       661    2,132.0   2,010.0    
  MO      :   345.0    435.0    856       729       701      615.0     635.0    
  NM      :    50.0     51.0    720       781       781       75.0      83.0    
  NC      :   485.0    780.0    820       615       535      829.0     870.0    
  OK      :   340.0    325.0    349       325       325      247.0     220.0    
  SC      :   223.0    335.0    846       759       731      393.0     510.0    
  TN      :   585.0    665.0    726       664       595      885.0     825.0    
  TX      : 5,150.0  5,700.0    458       446       438    4,915.0   5,200.0    
  VA 3/   :    41.7    107.0    944       700       700       82.0     156.0    
          :                                                                     
  US      :13,155.9 15,618.0    705       660       612   19,324.3  19,897.7    
          :                                                                     
Amer-Pima :                                                                     
  AZ      :    47.9     47.5    806       788       788       80.4      78.0    
  CA      :    80.8    100.0  1,098     1,036     1,032      184.8     215.0    
  NM      :    10.7     15.0    875       800       800       19.5      25.0    
  TX      :    27.0     30.0    942       800       800       53.0      50.0    
          :                                                                     
  US      :   166.4    192.5    974       916       918      337.7     368.0    
          :                                                                     
All       :                                                                     
  AL      :   455.0    615.0    766       550       500      726.0     640.0    
  AZ      :   359.9    406.5  1,150     1,097     1,084      862.4     918.0    
  AR      :   970.0  1,000.0    877       826       744    1,772.0   1,550.0    
  CA      : 1,175.8  1,275.0  1,185     1,155     1,116    2,901.8   2,965.0    
  FL 3/   :    68.0    109.0    735       691       691      104.1     157.0    
  GA      :   875.0  1,490.0    843       677       628    1,537.0   1,950.0    
  KS 3/   :     1.2      2.0    480       408       408        1.2       1.7    
  LA      :   890.0  1,010.0    815       808       713    1,512.0   1,500.0    
  MS      : 1,270.0  1,460.0    806       819       661    2,132.0   2,010.0    
  MO      :   345.0    435.0    856       729       701      615.0     635.0    
  NM      :    60.7     66.0    747       785       785       94.5     108.0    
  NC      :   485.0    780.0    820       615       535      829.0     870.0    
  OK      :   340.0    325.0    349       325       325      247.0     220.0    
  SC      :   223.0    335.0    846       759       731      393.0     510.0    
  TN      :   585.0    665.0    726       664       595      885.0     825.0    
  TX      : 5,177.0  5,730.0    461       448       440    4,968.0   5,250.0    
  VA 3/   :    41.7    107.0    944       700       700       82.0     156.0    
          :                                                                     
  US      :13,322.3 15,810.5    708       663       615   19,662.0  20,265.7    
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------   
1/  Production ginned and to be ginned.  2/  480-Lb. net weight bales.          
3/  Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.          
HDR2012000110110912950830POTAT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY SESNL GRP,ST&US            
         Potatoes:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal          
                   Group, State, and United States, 1993-95                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
Seasonal      :  Area Harvested   :      Yield     :        Production          
 Group        :---------------------------------------------------------------  
  and         :         :         :        :       :        :        :          
 State        :    1994 :   1995  :  1994  :  1995 :   1993 :   1994 :   1995   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
              :  - 1,000 Acres -     ---- Cwt ----    ------ 1,000 Cwt ------   
Winter  1/    :                                                                 
  CA          :     4.5      5.0      215      260    1,040      968    1,300   
  FL          :     7.8      7.6      180      170    1,512    1,404    1,292   
  Total       :    12.3     12.6      193      206    2,552    2,372    2,592   
              :                                                                 
Spring  1/    :                                                                 
  AL          :     2.5      2.5      175      160      419      438      400   
  AZ          :     6.3      6.3      265      275    1,485    1,670    1,733   
  CA          :    20.5     17.8      380      375    7,508    7,790    6,675   
  FL          :    38.6     38.0      222      245    6,068    8,588    9,300   
    Hastings  :    29.0     28.0      220      250    4,680    6,380    7,000   
    Other FL  :     9.6     10.0      230      230    1,388    2,208    2,300   
  NC          :    17.0     17.2      180      195    3,114    3,060    3,354   
  TX          :     5.5      5.0      200      185    1,060    1,100      925   
  Total       :    90.4     86.8      251      258   19,654   22,646   22,387   
              :                                                                 
Summer  2/    :                                                                 
  AL          :     7.0      6.7      170      170      639    1,190    1,139   
  CA          :     5.7      5.5      370      320    1,584    2,109    1,760   
  CO          :     9.3      8.8      330      295    2,542    3,069    2,596   
  DE          :     4.8      5.2      170      250      750      816    1,300   
  IL          :     5.0      5.1      290      250    1,170    1,450    1,275   
  IA          :     1.6      1.6      205      160      105      328      256   
  MD          :     2.5      1.5      100      200      322      250      300   
  MI 4/       :    13.0               210             3,500    2,730            
  MN 4/       :     7.6               300             2,130    2,280            
  MO          :     6.8      6.9      255      230    1,508    1,734    1,587   
  NE          :     4.4      5.3      320      300      630    1,408    1,590   
  NJ          :     2.8      2.6      210      280      627      588      728   
  NM          :     3.4      4.2      320      335    1,290    1,088    1,407   
  NC 1/       :     1.4      1.3       90       90      120      126      117   
  TX          :     7.5      7.0      240      235    1,875    1,800    1,645   
  VA          :     9.5      9.0      150      210    1,760    1,425    1,890   
  Total       :    92.3     70.7      243      249   20,552   22,391   17,590   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
See footnotes at end of table.                                     --continued  
        Potatoes:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal           
             Group, State, and United States, 1993-95 (continued)               
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
Seasonal      :  Area Harvested   :      Yield     :        Production          
 Group        :---------------------------------------------------------------  
  and         :         :         :        :       :        :        :          
 State        :   1994  :  1995   : 1994   : 1995  :  1993  :  1994  :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
              :  - 1,000 Acres -     ---- Cwt ----    ------ 1,000 Cwt ------   
              :                                                                 
Fall 1/ 2/ 3/ :                                                                 
  CA          :    14.0     11.5      400             4,800    5,600            
  CO          :    73.7     76.5      350            25,270   25,795            
  ID          :   408.0    398.0      340           126,192  138,801            
    10 SW Co  :    27.0     27.0      470            10,440   12,690            
    Other ID  :   381.0    371.0      331           115,752  126,111            
  IN          :     4.1      4.6      280             1,050    1,148            
  ME          :    75.0     75.0      245            19,890   18,375            
  MA          :     3.1      3.3      240               645      744            
  MI 4/       :    42.0     57.5      290            11,780   12,180            
  MN 4/       :    67.0     80.0      265            12,650   17,755            
  MT          :    10.0      9.7      320             2,700    3,200            
  NE          :    11.1     12.5      360             3,008    3,996            
  NV          :     8.0      8.0      345             2,926    2,760            
  NM          :     6.0      6.2      500             2,871    3,000            
  NY          :    28.6     27.0      273             7,693    7,805            
    Long Is 5/:     6.1               265             1,643    1,617            
    Upstate 5/:    22.5               275             6,050    6,188            
  ND          :   120.0    119.0      235            21,090   28,200            
  OH          :     5.5      5.4      245             1,140    1,348            
  OR          :    55.8     50.5      493            23,103   27,514            
    Malheur   :    11.8     11.8      430             3,567    5,074            
    Other OR  :    44.0     38.7      510            19,536   22,440            
  PA          :    18.0     17.0      210             4,600    3,780            
  RI          :     1.1      0.9      225               226      248            
  SD          :     5.5      5.0      280             1,066    1,540            
  UT          :     6.0      5.3      265             1,643    1,590            
  WA          :   152.0    147.0      585            88,500   88,920            
  WI          :    71.5     78.0      360            22,588   25,740            
  WY          :     1.7      1.5      280               504      476            
  Total       : 1,187.7  1,199.4      354           385,935  420,515            
              :                                                                 
  US          : 1,382.7  1,369.5      338           428,693  467,924            
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
3/  Estimates for 1995 yield and production for fall potatoes will be           
    published November 9, 1995.                                                 
4/  Summer potatoes included with fall in 1995.                                 
5/  Separate estimates discontinued in 1995.                                    
HDR2012000110110912950830POTAT:AREA PLTD BY SESNL GRP,ST&US                     
                    Potatoes:  Area Planted by Seasonal Group,                  
                         State, and United States, 1994-95                      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
Seasonal Group  :          :         ::  Seasonal Group  :          :           
     and        :     1994 :    1995 ::       and        :     1994 :    1995   
    State       :          :         ::      State       :          :           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                :     1,000 Acres    ::                  :     1,000 Acres      
                :                    ::                  :                      
Winter  1/      :                    ::  Fall  1/ 2/     :                      
  CA            :      4.5       5.0 ::    CA            :     14.0      11.5   
  FL            :      8.4       7.8 ::    CO            :     74.0      77.0   
  Total         :     12.9      12.8 ::    ID            :    410.0     400.0   
                :                    ::      10 SW Co    :     27.0      27.0   
Spring  1/      :                    ::      Other ID    :    383.0     373.0   
  AL            :      2.6       2.6 ::    IN            :      4.4       5.0   
  AZ            :      6.3       6.3 ::    ME            :     78.0      76.0   
  CA            :     20.5      18.0 ::    MA            :      3.1       3.3   
  FL            :     39.2      39.0 ::    MI 3/         :     44.0      60.0   
    Hastings    :     29.5      28.5 ::    MN 3/         :     74.0      83.0   
    Other FL    :      9.7      10.5 ::    MT            :     10.0       9.8   
  NC            :     17.3      17.5 ::    NE            :     11.3      12.6   
  TX            :      5.7       5.2 ::    NV            :      8.0       8.0   
  Total         :     91.6      88.6 ::    NM            :      6.3       6.2   
                :                    ::    NY            :     29.1      30.0   
Summer  1/ 2/   :                    ::      Long Is 4/  :      6.1             
  AL            :      7.2       6.8 ::      Upstate 4/  :     23.0             
  CA            :      5.7       5.5 ::    ND            :    133.0     123.0   
  CO            :      9.5       9.0 ::    OH            :      5.6       5.5   
  DE            :      4.9       5.3 ::    OR            :     56.4      51.0   
  IL            :      5.1       5.5 ::      Malheur Co  :     11.9      12.0   
  IA            :      1.6       1.6 ::      Other OR    :     44.5      39.0   
  MD            :      2.5       1.5 ::    PA            :     19.0      18.0   
  MI 3/         :     14.0           ::    RI            :      1.1       0.9   
  MN 3/         :      7.7           ::    SD            :      6.0       5.3   
  MO            :      7.2       7.1 ::    UT            :      6.1       5.4   
  NE            :      4.5       5.6 ::    WA            :    152.0     147.0   
  NJ            :      2.9       2.7 ::    WI            :     73.0      80.0   
  NM            :      3.7       4.2 ::    WY            :      1.7       1.5   
  NC            :      1.5       1.4 ::    Total         :  1,220.1   1,220.0   
  TX            :      7.8       7.3 ::                  :                      
  VA            :     10.0       9.0 ::    US            :  1,420.4   1,393.9   
  Total         :     95.8      72.5 ::                  :                      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.           
2/  1994 revised.                                                               
3/  Summer potatoes included with fall in 1995.                                 
4/  Separate estimates discontinued in 1995.                                    
HDR2012000110110912950830TOBACC:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY ST&US                     
         Tobacco:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and           
            United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995             
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      :   Area Harvested   :     Yield     :            Production              
State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ 
      :   1994   :   1995  : 1994  : 1995  :    1993   :    1994   :    1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
      : -----  Acres ------   -- Pounds ---  ---------  1,000 Pounds ---------  
      :                                                                         
CT    :    1,600     1,770   1,611   1,656       2,533       2,578       2,931  
FL    :    6,500     7,000   2,550   2,400      18,673      16,575      16,800  
GA    :   37,000    43,000   2,180   2,000      96,320      80,660      86,000  
IN    :    7,100     6,500   2,150   2,120      17,415      15,265      13,780  
KY    :  187,000   172,700   2,426   2,226     455,080     453,687     384,430  
MD    :    8,500     8,500   1,500   1,600      12,255      12,750      13,600  
MA    :      490       460   1,616   1,687         738         792         776  
MO    :    3,500     2,700   2,290   2,100       4,760       8,015       5,670  
NC    :  243,200   260,100   2,466   1,826     608,415     599,833     474,970  
OH    :    8,500     8,300   2,160   1,950      18,900      18,360      16,185  
PA    :    9,000     7,900   2,040   2,035      18,260      18,360      16,080  
SC    :   47,000    50,000   2,300   2,250     110,760     108,100     112,500  
TN    :   60,350    56,940   2,192   1,892     139,423     132,289     107,750  
VA    :   46,420    44,170   2,285   1,960      99,544     106,092      86,562  
WV    :    2,000     2,000   1,775   1,700       3,600       3,550       3,400  
WI    :    3,000     3,000   1,970   1,967       6,643       5,910       5,900  
      :                                                                         
US    :  671,160   675,040   2,358   1,996   1,613,319   1,582,816   1,347,334  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
HDR2012000110110912950830TOBACC:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY CL,TYP,ST&US              
        Tobacco:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,         
        State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                       :  Area Harvested  :      Yield     :   Production       
   Class  and Type      ------------------------------------------------------- 
                       :  1994   :  1995  :  1994 :  1995  :  1994   :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                       : ---- Acres ----    ---  Pounds ---  - 1,000 Pounds --  
Class  1, Flue-Cured   :                                                        
 Type 11, Old Belts    :                                                        
   NC                  :  74,000   76,000   2,440    1,900   180,560   144,400  
   VA                  :  34,000   34,000   2,420    2,050    82,280    69,700  
   US                  : 108,000  110,000   2,434    1,946   262,840   214,100  
 Type 12, Eastern NC   :                                                        
  Belt                 :                                                        
   NC                  : 131,000  142,000   2,525    1,800   330,775   255,600  
 Type 13, NC Border &  :                                                        
  SC Belt              :                                                        
   NC                  :  30,000   34,000   2,365    1,800    70,950    61,200  
   SC                  :  47,000   50,000   2,300    2,250   108,100   112,500  
   US                  :  77,000   84,000   2,325    2,068   179,050   173,700  
 Type 14, GA-FL Belt   :                                                        
   FL                  :   6,500    7,000   2,550    2,400    16,575    16,800  
   GA                  :  37,000   43,000   2,180    2,000    80,660    86,000  
   US                  :  43,500   50,000   2,235    2,056    97,235   102,800  
 Total 11-14           : 359,500  386,000   2,420    1,933   869,900   746,200  
Class  2, Fire-Cured   :                                                        
 Type 21, VA Belt      :                                                        
   VA                  :   1,350    1,100   1,780    1,350     2,403     1,485  
 Type 22, Eastern      :                                                        
  District             :                                                        
   KY                  :   4,100    3,700   2,660    2,500    10,906     9,250  
   TN                  :   8,100    7,800   2,570    2,400    20,817    18,720  
   US                  :  12,200   11,500   2,600    2,432    31,723    27,970  
 Type 23, Western      :                                                        
  District             :                                                        
   KY                  :   3,900    3,600   3,190    2,900    12,441    10,440  
   TN                  :     630      590   2,800    2,500     1,764     1,475  
   US                  :   4,530    4,190   3,136    2,844    14,205    11,915  
 Total 21-23           :  18,080   16,790   2,673    2,464    48,331    41,370  
Class  3, Air-Cured    :                                                        
 Class  3A, Light      :                                                        
  Air-Cured            :                                                        
 Type 31, Burley       :                                                        
   IN                  :   7,100    6,500   2,150    2,120    15,265    13,780  
   KY                  : 175,000  162,000   2,400    2,200   420,000   356,400  
   MO                  :   3,500    2,700   2,290    2,100     8,015     5,670  
   NC                  :   8,200    8,100   2,140    1,700    17,548    13,770  
   OH                  :   8,500    8,300   2,160    1,950    18,360    16,185  
   TN                  :  51,000   48,000   2,125    1,800   108,375    86,400  
   VA                  :  11,000    9,000   1,935    1,700    21,285    15,300  
   WV                  :   2,000    2,000   1,775    1,700     3,550     3,400  
   US                  : 266,300  246,600   2,300    2,072   612,398   510,905  
 Type 32, Southern MD  :                                                        
  Belt                 :                                                        
   MD                  :   8,500    8,500   1,500    1,600    12,750    13,600  
   PA                  :   3,600    3,400   1,950    1,950     7,020     6,630  
   US                  :  12,100   11,900   1,634    1,700    19,770    20,230  
 Total 31-32           : 278,400  258,500   2,271    2,055   632,168   531,135  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                                                                  -- continued  
                                                                                
    Tobacco:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State,      
     and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 (continued)       
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                       :  Area Harvested  :      Yield     :   Production       
   Class  and Type      ------------------------------------------------------- 
                       :  1994   :  1995  :  1994 :  1995  :  1994   :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                       : ---- Acres -----    --- Pounds ---  - 1,000 Pounds --  
Class  3, Air-Cured    :                                                        
Class  3B, Dark        :                                                        
 Air-Cured             :                                                        
 Type 35, One Sucker   :                                                        
  Belt                 :                                                        
   KY                  :   2,600    2,200   2,480    2,400     6,448     5,280  
   TN                  :     620      550   2,150    2,100     1,333     1,155  
   US                  :   3,220    2,750   2,416    2,340     7,781     6,435  
 Type 36, Green River  :                                                        
  Belt                 :                                                        
   KY                  :   1,400    1,200   2,780    2,550     3,892     3,060  
 Type 37, VA Sun-Cured :                                                        
  Belt                 :                                                        
   VA                  :      70       70   1,770    1,100       124        77  
 Total 35-37           :   4,690    4,020   2,515    2,381    11,797     9,572  
Class  4, Cigar Filler :                                                        
 Type 41, PA Seedleaf  :                                                        
   PA                  :   5,400    4,500   2,100    2,100    11,340     9,450  
Class  5, Cigar Binder :                                                        
 Class  5A, CT Valley  :                                                        
  Binder               :                                                        
  Type 51, CT Valley   :                                                        
   Broadleaf           :                                                        
    CT                 :     690      820   1,890    1,860     1,304     1,525  
    MA                 :     210      200   1,905    1,930       400       386  
    US                 :     900    1,020   1,893    1,874     1,704     1,911  
Class  5B, WI Binder   :                                                        
 Type 54, Southern WI  :                                                        
  WI                   :   2,000    2,000   2,100    2,100     4,200     4,200  
 Type 55, Northern WI  :                                                        
  WI                   :   1,000    1,000   1,710    1,700     1,710     1,700  
 Total 54-55           :   3,000    3,000   1,970    1,967     5,910     5,900  
 Total 51-55           :   3,900    4,020   1,952    1,943     7,614     7,811  
Class  6, Cigar Wrapper:                                                        
 Type 61, CT Valley    :                                                        
  Shade-Grown          :                                                        
   CT                  :     910      950   1,400    1,480     1,274     1,406  
   MA                  :     280      260   1,400    1,500       392       390  
   US                  :   1,190    1,210   1,400    1,484     1,666     1,796  
All Cigar Types        :                                                        
 Total 41-61           :  10,490    9,730   1,966    1,959    20,620    19,057  
                       :                                                        
 All Tobacco           : 671,160  675,040   2,358    1,996 1,582,816 1,347,334  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
HDR2012000110110912950830CITRUS FRUIT:UTLZD PROD CRP,ST&US '94-95               
     Citrus Fruit:  Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,      
            1994-95 and Forecasted 1996 on September 1, 1995 1/ 2/              
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                     :    Utilized Production       :   Utilized Production     
       Crop          :          Boxes               :     Ton Equivalent        
       and           :--------------------------------------------------------- 
       State         :  1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94: 1994-95: 1995-96 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                     :  ------ 1,000 Boxes 3/ -----   ------ 1,000 Tons ------  
Oranges              :                                                          
  Early Mid &        :                                                          
   Navel 4/          :                                                          
    AZ               :      700       400                 26       15           
    CA               :   36,600    35,000    38,000    1,372    1,313    1,425  
    FL               :  107,300   119,700              4,829    5,387           
    TX               :      480       950                 21       40           
    US               :  145,080   156,050              6,248    6,755           
  Valencia           :                                                          
    AZ               :    1,200       650                 45       24           
    CA               :   27,000    26,000              1,013      976           
    FL               :   67,100    85,700              3,020    3,857           
    TX               :       70       105                  3        4           
    US               :   95,370   112,455              4,081    4,861           
  All                :                                                          
    AZ               :    1,900     1,050                 71       39           
    CA               :   63,600    61,000              2,385    2,289           
    FL               :  174,400   205,400              7,849    9,244           
    TX               :      550     1,055                 24       44           
    US               :  240,450   268,505             10,329   11,616           
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with   
    year harvest is completed.                                                  
2/  1993-94 and 1994-95 revised.  Revised grapefruit and other citrus fruit     
    totals will be released September 22 in "Citrus Fruits, 1995 Summary".      
3/  Net lbs. per box:  oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85.                        
4/  Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ.  Early and mid-season       
    varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.     
HDR2012000110110912950830SUGRBTS:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD ST&US '93-95                
        Sugarbeets:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and         
           United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 1/           
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :   Area Harvested   :       Yield       :           Production         
 State  :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
        :   1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1993   :   1994  :  1995    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         : -- 1,000 Acres --     ---- Tons ----      ------- 1,000 Tons ------  
         :                                                                      
  CA     :    141.0     118.0      29.0      27.0     3,536     4,089     3,186 
  CO     :     43.2      41.2      21.9      20.6       924       946       849 
  ID     :    201.0     198.0      27.9      25.0     4,733     5,608     4,950 
  MI     :    187.0     190.0      16.2      18.0     3,179     3,029     3,420 
  MN     :    411.0     416.0      20.6      17.5     5,344     8,467     7,280 
  MT     :     54.0      55.5      24.2      23.5     1,169     1,307     1,304 
  NE     :     74.1      72.5      20.3      18.7     1,473     1,504     1,356 
  ND     :    201.5     207.0      21.2      17.6     3,112     4,272     3,643 
  OH     :     16.0      14.7      16.5      17.5       212       264       257 
  OR     :     16.4      20.0      27.8      27.5       372       456       550 
  TX     :     24.5      19.6      20.3      22.7       823       497       445 
  WY     :     61.3      62.0      18.0      21.5     1,269     1,103     1,333 
         :                                                                      
  Oth    :     12.0      14.2      37.7      36.1       103       452       513 
   Sts 2/:                                                                      
         :                                                                      
  US     :  1,443.0   1,428.7      22.2      20.4    26,249    31,994    29,086 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted  
    beets in CA.                                                                
2/  Includes NM and WA.                                                         
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830SUGRCNE:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD ST&US '93-95                
    Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by     
       State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   Area Harvested   :     Yield         :           Production   1/    
 State  :---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :   1994   :  1995   :  1994   :  1995   :  1993   :  1994   :  1995    
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
        :    1,000 Acres     ------ Tons ------      ------ 1,000 Tons -------  
        :                                                                       
  FL    :    444.0     445.0      33.6      32.0    15,152    14,937    14,240  
  HI    :     69.3      50.0      77.4      85.0     5,606     5,364     4,250  
  LA    :    380.0     385.0      24.4      24.0     8,904     9,272     9,240  
  TX    :     43.5      42.2      31.2      31.5     1,439     1,356     1,329  
        :                                                                       
  US    :    936.8     922.2      33.0      31.5    31,101    30,929    29,059  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Net tons.                                                                   
HDR2012000110110912950830PAPAYAS:AREA & FRESH PROD, BY ,MNTH,HI '94-95          
          Papayas:  Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
           :                   Area                 :     Fresh Production      
           :------------------------------------------------------------------  
   Month   :    Total in Crop    :     Harvested    :            :              
           :----------------------------------------:    1994    :    1995      
           :   1994   :   1995   :   1994  :  1995  :            :              
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
           :   --------------- Acres --------------      -- 1,000 Pounds --     
           :                                                                    
Jul        :   3,240      3,780      2,140    2,380      4,665        3,485     
Aug        :   3,250      3,765      2,145    2,340      4,805        3,245     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
HDR2012000110110912950830NUTS:UTLZD PROD CRP & ST, '93-95                       
                  Nuts:  Utilized Production by Crop and State,                 
                                                                                
                    1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995                    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                    Utilized Production                    
   Crop and State   :-----------------------------------------------------------
                    :       1993        :       1994        :       1995        
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                   Tons (In-shell Basis)                   
                    :                                                           
Hazelnuts 1/        :                                                           
  OR                :       40,800              21,000              37,900      
  WA                :          200                 100                 100      
  Total             :       41,000              21,100              38,000      
                    :                                                           
Walnuts             :                                                           
  CA                :      260,000             232,000             220,000      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Carried forward from an earlier forecast.                                   
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830PECANS:UTLZD PROD CRP,ST&US '93-95                     
         Pecans:  Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,        
                    1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995                    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          :                 Utilized Production                 
      Crop and State      :-----------------------------------------------------
                          :      1993       :     1994 1/     :      1995       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          :                    1,000 Pounds                     
Improved Varieties 2/     :                                                     
  AL                      :      15,000             2,000             8,000     
  AR                      :         600               600             1,000     
  CA                      :       3,000             1,500             2,800     
  FL                      :       3,200               400               900     
  GA                      :     124,000            50,000            65,000     
  LA                      :       2,500             1,500             2,000     
  MS                      :       3,500                               2,000     
  NM                      :      36,000            24,000            30,000     
  NC                      :       1,200             2,200             2,000     
  OK                      :       1,000             1,300             2,700     
  SC                      :       2,100             5,400             2,400     
  TX                      :      45,000            30,000            40,000     
  US                      :     237,100           118,900           158,800     
Native & Seedling         :                                                     
  AL                      :      11,000             2,000             6,000     
  AR                      :         900               900               500     
  FL                      :       4,300             1,500               800     
  GA                      :      26,000            15,000            15,000     
  KS                      :       1,800             3,600             1,800     
  LA                      :      13,500             9,500            12,000     
  MS                      :       2,500                                 500     
  NC                      :       1,300             2,800               700     
  OK                      :      17,000            10,700            15,300     
  SC                      :         900             3,600               600     
  TX                      :      30,000            10,000            20,000     
  US                      :     109,200            59,600            73,200     
All Pecans                :                                                     
  AL                      :      26,000             4,000            14,000     
  AR                      :       1,500             1,500             1,500     
  CA                      :       3,000             1,500             2,800     
  FL                      :       7,500             1,900             1,700     
  GA                      :     150,000            65,000            80,000     
  KS                      :       1,800             3,600             1,800     
  LA                      :      16,000            11,000            14,000     
  MS                      :       6,000                               2,500     
  NM                      :      36,000            24,000            30,000     
  NC                      :       2,500             5,000             2,700     
  OK                      :      18,000            12,000            18,000     
  SC                      :       3,000             9,000             3,000     
  TX                      :      75,000            40,000            60,000     
                          :                                                     
  Oth Sts 3/              :      18,700            20,500            16,000     
                          :                                                     
  US                      :     365,000           199,000           248,000     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Missing data included in Other States to avoid disclosure of individual     
    operations.                                                                 
2/  Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.                                    
3/  AZ, MO, and TN in 1993 and 1995.  AZ, MS, MO, and TN in 1994. No breakdown  
    between varieties available.                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830CORN:PLANT POPULATION SEL STS, '91-95                  
                            Corn:  Plant Population                             
                                                                                
The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting corn objective       
surveys in 10 States during 1995.  Randomly selected plots in corn for grain    
fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts
and measurements.  Data in this table are rounded actual counts from this survey
and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but to show
trends in corn production practices.                                            
                                                                                
                  Corn for Grain:  Plant population per acre,                   
                          Selected States, 1991-95 1/                           
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :            :            :            :            :             
    State     :    1991    :    1992    :    1993    :    1994    :   1995 2/   
              :            :            :            :            :             
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :                        Number of Plants                         
              :                                                                 
IL            :   23,700       23,000       23,300       23,200        24,000   
IN            :   22,400       23,200       23,200       22,850        23,900   
IA            :   22,900       23,300       23,500       23,950        24,800   
MI            :   21,800       21,600       22,800       21,800        23,500   
MN            :   23,900       24,600       25,100       26,000        26,400   
MO            :   19,800       18,800       19,300       19,650        20,400   
NE            :   22,200       21,900       22,200       21,700        22,600   
OH            :   23,200       23,300       23,300       22,900        23,400   
SD            :   17,500       17,800       17,600       19,250        19,900   
WI            :   23,400       22,800       23,600       23,600        24,600   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Based on stalk counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.        
2/  September 1 counts.                                                         
HDR2012000110110912950830AL SP WHT:HEAD POPULATION, SEL STS, '91-95             
                       All Spring Wheat:  Head Population                       
                                                                                
The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting spring wheat         
objective yield surveys in 4 States during 1995;  North Dakota also does        
Durum wheat.  Randomly selected plots in wheat fields are visited from August   
through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements.  Data in this       
table are derived actual field counts and are not official estimates of the     
Agricultural Statistics Board.                                                  
                                                                                
                                                                                
                   All Spring Wheat:  Heads per Square Foot,                    
                         Selected States, 1991-95 1/ 2/                         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
  Crop and State  :    1991   :    1992   :    1993   :    1994   :    1995     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
                  :                           Number                            
Other Spring      :                                                             
                  :                                                             
  MN    Sep       :    38.9        48.8        44.3        44.3        45.6     
        Final     :    38.9        48.4        45.3        43.9                 
                  :                                                             
  MT    Sep       :    32.6        29.2        29.2        27.3        30.4     
        Final     :    32.1        29.3        29.1        27.3                 
                  :                                                             
  ND    Sep       :    36.6        42.1        41.9        39.4        39.5     
        Final     :    36.6        42.0        42.7        39.4                 
                  :                                                             
  SD    Sep       :    38.2        44.3        36.6        29.2        34.4     
        Final     :    38.2        45.5        36.6        29.2                 
                  :                                                             
Durum             :                                                             
                  :                                                             
  ND    Sep       :    26.8        27.6        27.5        25.9        24.8     
        Final     :    26.6        27.6        26.9        25.7                 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
1/  Based on the number of heads counted in plots selected for the objective    
    yield survey.                                                               
2/  Final head counts will be published in January.                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000110110912950830SOYBNS:POD WITH BEANS, SEL STS, '91-95                 
                          Soybeans:  Pods with Beans                            
                                                                                
The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting soybean objective    
yield surveys in 8 States during 1995.  Plots are randomly selected from a      
scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields, which are visited monthly from   
August through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements.  Sample data
and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the following table   
are not Agricultural Statistics Board official estimates but are intended to    
show trends in soybean production practices.                                    
                                                                                
                 Soybeans:  Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet                  
                      Selected States, 1991 - 1995  1/ 2/                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        State     :            :           :           :           :            
         and      :    1991    :    1992   :    1993   :    1994   :    1995    
        Month     :            :           :           :           :            
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                Number of Pods                               
                  :                                                             
AR  Sep   3/      :     NA           NA          NA          NA          NA     
    Nov           :   1,336        1,713       1,399       1,782                
    Final         :   1,327        1,705       1,327       1,673                
                  :                                                             
IL  Sep           :   1,574        1,698       1,937       1,745       1,816    
    Nov           :   1,450        1,503       1,712       1,639                
    Final         :   1,450        1,502       1,701       1,636                
                  :                                                             
IN  Sep           :   1,535        1,623       1,938       1,850       1,807    
    Nov           :   1,508        1,543       1,703       1,574                
    Final         :   1,508        1,543       1,703       1,570                
                  :                                                             
IA  Sep           :   1,406        1,501       1,336       1,887       1,739    
    Nov           :   1,451        1,464       1,340       1,820                
    Final         :   1,456        1,473       1,340       1,820                
                  :                                                             
MN  Sep           :   1,400        1,431       1,037       1,678       1,613    
    Nov           :   1,478        1,367       1,106       1,496                
    Final         :   1,476        1,367       1,105       1,496                
                  :                                                             
MO  Sep           :   1,239        1,682       1,493       1,470         895    
    Nov           :   1,416        1,607       1,727       1,643                
    Final         :   1,426        1,602       1,699       1,659                
                  :                                                             
NE  Sep           :   1,487        1,517       1,469       1,676       1,404    
    Nov           :   1,423        1,504       1,414       1,826                
    Final         :   1,422        1,509       1,445       1,826                
                  :                                                             
OH  Sep           :   1,426        1,462       1,617       1,950       1,790    
    Nov           :   1,313        1,394       1,361       1,643                
    Final         :   1,312        1,404       1,361       1,643                
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Based on pod counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.          
2/  Final pod counts will be published in January.                              
3/  Not available due to plant immaturity.                                      
HDR2012000110110912950830COTTON:CUMULATIVE BOLL COUNTS, '91-95                  
                        Cotton:  Cumulative Boll Counts                         
                                                                                
The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts cotton objective yield    
surveys in 6 States which account for about 72 percent of the U.S. Upland cotton
production.  Plots are randomly selected from a scientific sample of cotton     
fields.  Two sample plots per field are visited monthly from about August 1     
through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements.  The boll counts    
shown below represent actual data collected from sampled fields and are not     
official estimates of NASS.                                                     
                                                                                
           Cotton:  Cumulative Boll Counts, September 1991-1995, and            
                       November and Final, 1991-1994  1/                        
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :              Arizona             :              Arkansas               
       :------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Year  :    Sep   :    Nov    :   Final   :    Sep    :    Nov    :   Final     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :                        Number                                          
       :                                                                        
 1991  :   1,161      1,161       1,083       1,010        797         782      
 1992  :   1,112      1,062       1,013       1,076        822         817      
 1993  :   1,120      1,158       1,082         859        769         753      
 1994  :   1,239      1,227       1,221       1,019        813         812      
 1995  :   1,077                                850                             
       :------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :             California           :             Louisiana               
       :------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :                                                                        
 1991  :     909        826         814         881        813         770      
 1992  :     839        841         819         882        858         875      
 1993  :     930        839         839         746        662         661      
 1994  :     828        805         806         808        747         748      
 1995  :     751                                679                             
       :------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :             Mississippi           :              Texas                 
       :------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :                                                                        
 1990  :     824        695         693         501        491         489      
 1991  :     890        734         726         466        449         430      
 1992  :     896        713         708         432        484         489      
 1993  :     697        619         608         505        480         489      
 1994  :     864        761         760         515        484         486      
 1995  :     682                                423                             
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls 
(at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs, 
per 40 feet of row.  November counts exclude small bolls.                       
HDR1012000110120912950830Crop Production Narrative                              
HDR2012000110120912950830Crop Prod. Narr. Crop Moist. & Drought Sev.            
                                                                                
                                  Crop Moisture                                 
                                                                                
Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting  
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and        
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.     
                                                                                
Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness  
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.                    
                                                                                
Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops     
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, 
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about    
55 degrees fahrenheit.  It is not generally indicative of the long term(months, 
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.  
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                Drought Severity                                
                                                                                
Drought severity index (Palmer):  Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal    
dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and      
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as  
evaportranspiration.                                                            
                                                                                
Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or       
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or  
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in        
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.                                              
                                                                                
Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of   
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this  
is indicated by the crop moisture index).                                       
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830August Weather Summary                                 
                                                                                
August Weather Summary:  Moisture from the tropics brought adequate-to-surplus  
                         moisture to scattered locations in a month otherwise   
dominated by persistently hot, dry weather, owing to an expansive ridge of high 
pressure aloft.  A northward transport of moisture around the west side of the  
ridge delivered above-normal rainfall to the Southwest, while numerous cold     
fronts traversed the ridge's northern fringe of influence, sparking occasional  
heavy rain across the Nation's northern tier.  As the ridge strengthened during 
the month, heat became more intense and rainfall diminished across much of the  
Nation, stressing reproductive crops, especially in the Middle Atlantic region, 
the Arklatex region, the High Plains, and the Corn Belt.  Monthly temperature   
departures in the Corn Belt ranged from +5 to +8 degrees F.  Below normal       
temperatures were confined to the Northwest.                                    
                                                                                
Tropical systems headlined the first few days of the month, as heavy rain fell  
during and after the landfalls of Tropical Storm Dean--which moved inland near  
Galveston, TX on July 30--and Hurricane Erin--which twice struck Florida, first 
at Vero Beach on August 2, and then at Pensacola a day later.  Although Dean's  
circulation stalled over northern Texas, some of its remnant moisture was       
entrained into a slow-moving cold front, contributing to heavy rainfall from    
Texas to New England.  Across the Corn Belt, rainfall gradually diminished      
thereafter, with nearly dry and very hot weather observed after mid-month.      
Similarly, the remnant circulation of Hurricane Erin provided the month's most  
substantial moisture from the central Gulf Coast States to the Ohio Valley.     
Finally, Tropical Storm Jerry pushed inland on August 23 near West Palm Beach,  
FL, and proceeded to blaze a rainy path as far north as the Carolinas.          
                                                                                
August 1995 was the wettest month on record in Greenville-Spartanburg, SC, with 
17.37 inches collected.  More than 80 percent of that total--14.47 inches--was  
attributed to the effects of Jerry.  Farther south, Melbourne, FL,notched their 
wettest August(19.05 inches, nearly half of which fell during Erin's passage on 
August 2), and second-wettest month all-time.  In the Ohio Valley, Mansfield,   
OH, received an August-record total of 8.65 inches, all of which fell by the    
18th.  In contrast, August-record dryness affected locations such as New York's 
Central Park (0.18 inches), Harrisburg, PA (0.53 inches), and Scottsbluff, NE   
(0.08 inches).  The month ended with more than 3 consecutive weeks of dry       
weather in Washington, DC and Little Rock, AR.                                  
                                                                                
Average-temperature records from memorably hot Augusts were toppled in many     
locations from the central Plains to the East. Records from 1947 were broken in 
Toledo, OH (78.5 degrees F) and Detroit, MI (77.1 degrees F).  Standards from   
hot Augusts of the 1980's--1980, 1983, and 1988, respectively--were toppled in  
Williamsport, PA, Nashville, TN, and Greenville-Spartanburg, SC. August records 
for days with highs of 90 degrees F or above were established in Bristol, TN    
(21 days), Roanoke, VA (20 days), Williamsport, PA (18 days), Philadelphia, PA  
(17 days), Pittsburgh, PA (15 days), and Scranton, PA (12 days). In Birmingham, 
AL, where the mercury reached triple digits an August-record-tying eight times, 
the average maximum was 96.4 degrees F, and the average temperature was         
84.8 degrees F, breaking the all-time record set in July 1980.  The month ended 
with 30 consecutive 90-degree days in Baton Rouge and Shreveport, LA, and       
Shreveport's high of 104 degrees F on August 20 was their highest reading since 
July 17, 1980.  Farther north, Hot Springs, AR notched 108 degrees F on August  
19.  Nearly as impressive as the high temperatures was the lack of cooling at   
night.  In South Bend, IN, where the average August minimum is about 61 degrees 
F, lows were at or above 70 degrees F on 14 days, and at or above 65 degrees F  
on 25 days.                                                                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830General Crop Comments                                  
                                                                                
General Crop Comments:  August started with crop progress behind normal due to  
                        the late spring-planting.  Crop condition declined as   
the month advanced due to spotty rainfall and high temperatures.  By the end of 
the month, row crop development was close to normal due to very warm weather    
across Central and Eastern States that accelerated development.                 
                                                                                
Early August rains across the Eastern-half of the Nation restored soil moisture 
supplies and slightly improved crop conditions.  The month began with rain and  
warm weather in the Central and Eastern States that advanced row crop           
development.  In the Pacific Northwest, favorable weather at the beginning of   
the month allowed harvest activity to make good progress.  The effects of the   
heat wave across the Midwest and Southeastern States was reduced by frequent    
showers that helped maintain crop conditions.  The rains restored soil moisture 
supplies but more rain was needed.  In the upper Great Plains,producers sprayed 
to control grasshoppers,while insect pressure increased in cotton fields in the 
Southeast and Delta despite control measures.                                   
                                                                                
By mid-August, hot, humid weather across the Corn Belt allowed rapid crop       
development but corn and soybeans remained one to two weeks behind normal.  The 
continued heat across the Southeast accelerated crop development but eroded crop
conditions and left soil moisture at the lowest levels for the year--especially 
in Georgia.  Cool weather and rain in the Pacific Northwest slowed small grain  
harvest activity.  Later in the month, hot weather across the central Corn Belt 
to the mid-Atlantic dried fields and left soil moisture supplies at the critical
stage.  As the month proceeded, crops in the Midwest matured rapidly due to the 
hot, dry weather and pushed crop progress closer to normal.  Toward the end of  
August, rain from Tropical Storm Jerry replenished soil moisture supplies for   
parts of the Southeast, boosting crop conditions, but the rains came too late   
for crops in advanced stages of development.                                    
                                                                                
Above-normal temperatures at the end of August and sparse rainfall from the     
southern Great Plains to the Mid-Atlantic dried soils and lowered crop          
conditions. In the central Corn Belt, crops endured the hottest August in years 
which reduced soil moisture supplies and stalled crop growth.  By the end of    
August, crop development increased rapidly due to the high temperatures, but    
fall crops remained behind schedule in the central Great Plains and Middle      
Mississippi Valley.  In the High Plains, favorable weather caused late-season   
crops to mature quickly with harvest activity starting only slightly behind     
normal. Row crops progressed rapidly by month's end, raising producers hopes of 
crops reaching maturity before a fall-freeze.  Dry summer weather for most of   
August in the mid-Atlantic States depleted soil moisture supplies.  Cool, dry   
weather finished the month in the Pacific Northwest, allowing the small grain   
harvest to make good progress.                                                  
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Corn                                                   
                                                                                
Corn:  Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at           
       64.7 million acres,unchanged from last month, but 11 percent below the   
1994 harvested acreage. The September Corn objective yield survey data indicate 
a record high stalks per acre count for the ten objective yield States          
(Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South  
Dakota, and Wisconsin).  The September forecasted ears per acre are the highest 
on record and, if realized,would exceed the previous record final ears per acre 
set in 1992.  Ear measurements from the sample plots indicate a 4 percent below 
average ear length.                                                             
                                                                                
Forecasted yields in the non-objective yield States declined 1.8 bushels per    
acre from last month.  Improved prospects in Georgia, Kentucky, and South       
                                                                                
                                                                                
Carolina were more than offset by declines in Maryland, New York, North Dakota, 
Pennsylvania, Texas, and Virginia.  Dry conditions from Virginia north to New   
England reduced expected yields.                                                
                                                                                
Objective yield data for Iowa indicate record high stalk and ear counts,but ear 
length is well below average.  Weather data indicate this August to be the      
fifth hottest on record and the hottest of any month since 1983.  The hot dry   
weather is moving the crop to maturity faster than normal at the expense of     
yields.                                                                         
                                                                                
Illinois growers are also experiencing record high stalk and ear counts this    
year, but ears are below average in length.  The Corn crop is rapidly maturing  
due to the hot, dry weather which is also reducing crop condition.              
                                                                                
Minnesota data indicate stalks counts at the second highest level.  The number  
of ears, if realized, would be the third highest final ear count.  Excellent    
growing conditions during August benefited the crop and 77 percent was reported 
as good to excellent at the end of August.                                      
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Sorghum for Grain                                      
                                                                                
Sorghum for Grain:  Production is forecast at 538 million bushels, slightly     
                    lower than the August forecast and 18 percent less than     
1994.  No grain acreage changes were made.  The forecasted U.S. yield dipped to 
65.0 bushels per acre,off 0.1 from August and down 8.0 bushels from last year's 
record high.  Nebraska's 3.0 bushel per acre increase held U.S. production near 
the previous forecast as six States lowered yield expectations from last month. 
                                                                                
Most forecasting States indicated that August was hot and dry in their producing
areas.  As of September 3, heading had reached 94 percent completion, just a    
point behind average.  However, coloring stood at 45 percent compared to the    
average 57 percent.  Harvested yields in the Texas Blacklands were considered   
average; Statewide, harvest is 66 percent complete.  Louisiana's sorghum is     
16 percent harvested.                                                           
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Barley                                                 
                                                                                
Barley:  Production is forecast at 374 million bushels,down 3 percent from last 
         month, but virtually unchanged from the 1994 crop.  The expected yield 
per acre is forecasted at 58.3 bushels compared with last month's 59.9 bushels  
and last year's 56.2 bushels.  Area harvested and to be harvested is estimated  
at 6.42 million acres, down 4 percent from last year.                           
                                                                                
Favorable conditions the last week of August allowed growers to make good       
harvesting progress and 73 percent was combined compared to a 84 percent        
average.  Montana's excellent growing season has been tempered by wide spread   
hail and some periods of excessive heat during August.  Forty-four percent of   
the crop has been harvested compared with a 62 percent average by the first of  
September.  The Idaho barley crop was 57 percent harvested by September 3,      
compared with a 72 percent average.                                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Other Spring Wheat                                     
                                                                                
Other Spring Wheat:  Area for grain harvest is 16.3 million acres, unchanged    
                     from last month and down 8 percent from 1994.  The         
September Objective Yield data indicates an above average number of heads per   
square foot in the 4-State region (Minnesota, Montana, and the Dakotas).        
However, forecast head weights are the lowest since 1989.                       
                                                                                
As of September 3, 73 percent of Minnesota's crop was harvested compared to the 
5-year average of 67 percent. Forecast head numbers are a little above average, 
                                                                                
                                                                                
but weights are well below average. Montana's harvest progress of 42 percent is 
well behind the average 59 percent.  Head counts are the highest in 4 years     
while projected head weights are more normal.                                   
                                                                                
Late August open weather has allowed growers to push harvest near completion in 
South Dakota and to 55 percent in North Dakota--less than a week behind the     
average 66 percent.  Heads per square foot are near average in both States.     
Average weight was near normal in South Dakota, but the lowest in 6 years for   
North Dakota.                                                                   
                                                                                
Washington's harvest is 85 percent complete. Idaho's is 55 percent complete and 
has moved into eastern and northern parts of the State. Remaining wheat in both 
States is rated in good to excellent condition.                                 
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Durum Wheat                                            
                                                                                
Durum Wheat:  Production is forecast at 105 million bushels,down 7 percent from 
              August 1 but up 8 percent from 1994.  Yield reductions in North   
Dakota and Montana are the reason for the production decline from last month.   
Area for harvest as grain remains at 3.26 million acres, up 19 percent from     
1994.  The September yield forecast is 32.3 bushels per acre, down 2.7 bushels  
from last month.                                                                
                                                                                
North Dakota's Durum crop condition deteriorated during August.  The late crop  
has been affected by hot weather pushing the forecasted head weights to the     
lowest level since 1989.  Insect infestations have also had an impact.  Harvest 
progress is running a week or more behind average and was 33 percent complete as
of September 3.  Hot weather impacted head-fill in parts of Montana.            
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Rice                                                   
                                                                                
Rice:  Total rice production is forecast at 182 million cwt,2 percent below the 
       August forecast and 8 percent below the 1994 total.  This production     
level, if realized, would be the third highest on record.  Yield decreased in   
Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas causing a decrease in the U.S. yield to       
5,843 pounds.  In Louisiana, yield decreased due to increased disease pressure  
brought on from extreme heat and too much rain at or near blooming stage.       
During harvest in Texas, some producers have discovered stem rot which has      
reduced their yield.  Yields in Arkansas, California, and Missouri remained the 
same as a month earlier.  Rice harvest is underway in Arkansas, Louisiana,      
Mississippi, and Texas.  Rice is in mostly good condition.                      
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Soybeans                                               
                                                                                
Soybeans:  Growers plan to harvest 61.7 million acres,unchanged from the August 
           estimate.  The September Objective Yield Survey reported the second  
highest pod count for the objective yield States.  The percent of soybeans      
setting pods was slightly behind 1994 but slightly ahead of the average by the  
end of August.  The percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind 1994 and the 
average by the beginning of September.  Average maturity was behind 1994 and    
equal to 1993.  Soybeans were rated in fair to good condition.                  
                                                                                
In comparison with the 1991-95 time period, the 1995 number of pods per         
18 square feet for September is the second highest for Illinois,Iowa, Minnesota 
and Ohio.  These four States had set all pods by the end of August.  By the     
beginning of September, no soybeans were dropping leaves in Iowa.  In Illinois, 
Minnesota, and Ohio the percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind average. 
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
In Indiana, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet is the third highest,    
compared with the September 1991-95 period.  By the end of August, Indiana      
soybeans had set all their pods.  In Indiana, the percent of soybeans dropping  
leaves equaled the average by the beginning of September.                       
                                                                                
In Missouri and Nebraska, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet ranks as   
the lowest for the September 1991-95 time period.  The percent of pods set in   
Missouri lagged behind 1994 and the average,and not all pods had set by the end 
of August. Nebraska fell slightly short of all soybeans setting pods by the end 
of August. Neither State had any soybeans dropping leaves and were behind their 
averages by the beginning of September.  In Arkansas, the percent of soybeans   
dropping leaves was behind 1994 but equal to the average.                       
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Peanuts                                                
                                                                                
Peanuts:  Production is forecast at 3.58 billion pounds, down 8 percent from the
          August 1 forecast and down 16 percent from last year's crop.          
Production is down from 1994 in all States except Alabama, Florida, and Texas.  
Hot, dry conditions during August contributed to reduced yields.  Yields are    
expected to average 2,333 pounds per harvested acre, down 179 pounds from last  
month and down 291 pounds from 1994.  Harvested area, estimated at 1.53 million 
acres, is down 1 percent from August 1 and 5 percent below last year.           
                                                                                
Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South     
Carolina) is expected to total 2.10 billion pounds, 8 percent below last month  
and 18 percent below the 1994 crop.  Yield for the 4-State area is expected to  
average 2,307 pounds per acre, 331 pounds below last year.  Yields in Alabama   
are unchanged from August 1 and 190 pounds above a year ago. Early harvest is   
underway. The condition of the crop, while mostly good, varies due to scattered 
rains during August.  The Georgia crop suffered considerable stress from very   
hot, dry conditions.  Production is forecast at 1.39 billion pounds, down       
12 percent from last month and 25 percent below last year.   As of September 1, 
the crop was rated 16 percent poor,61 percent fair, 22 percent good, and 1 per- 
cent excellent. Tropical storm Jerry helped farmers in the eastern third of the 
State; however, the storm missed most of the major producing areas in the       
southwest. Tomato spotted wilt virus is still a concern in some areas.  By late 
August, first digging and combining were both off to one of the earliest starts 
ever.  Fifteen percent of the acreage was dug and 8 percent combined.  Florida  
growers expect a good crop.  Harvest started in late August despite excessive   
soil moisture.                                                                  
                                                                                
Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 550 million pounds, down      
17 percent from last month and down 29 percent from last year's excellent crop. 
Yields in the region, at 2,362 pounds, are 834 pounds per acre below the 1994   
final average.  Lack of moisture slashed crop prospects in Virginia and North   
Carolina.  Growers in Virginia expect to harvest 205 million pounds of peanuts, 
down 30 percent from last year.  The anticipated yield of 2,300 pounds is down  
500 pounds from last month and 865 pounds below 1994.  After a record number of 
days with temperatures above 90 degrees, 97 percent of the Virginia crop was    
rated in fair condition.  Hot, humid weather promoted some insect buildup,      
especially spider mite.  North Carolina growers expect a yield of 2,400 pounds, 
down 300 pounds from last month and 815 pounds below last year. At month's end, 
the North Carolina crop was rated as 1 percent very poor, 4 percent poor,       
72 percent fair, and 23 percent good.                                           
                                                                                
                                                                                
The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected  
to total 927 million pounds, down fractionally from last month but 1 percent    
above 1994.  Yields in the tri-State area are expected to average 2,377 pounds  
per acre, 126 pounds above last year.  In New Mexico, yield prospects are up    
300 pounds from the August 1 forecast.  After a slow start, crop development    
caught up to a normal pace during August.  Producers are still working to keep  
sufficient water on their fields as temperatures ran slightly above normal.     
Oklahoma growers lowered their expectations by 100 pounds per acre,rating their 
crop in fair to mostly good condition.  Lack of precipitation stressed non-     
irrigated fields.  Yields in Texas remained unchanged from a month ago as the   
crop continued to make good progress.  Some disease problems were reported in   
Cross Timbers, Blacklands, and the Edwards Plateau.                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Cotton                                                 
                                                                                
Cotton:  Planted acreage of upland cotton is estimated at 16.5 million acres,up 
         10,000 acres from August and up 22 percent from 1994. Arizona area was 
increased 5,000 acres, California acreage decreased 20,000 acres, and Missouri  
was raised 25,000 acres.  Harvested acreage, at 15.6 million acres, is          
19 percent above last year and up 5,000 acres from last month.  American-Pima   
planted and harvested area amounted to 195,000 acres and 192,500 acres,         
respectively.  Both are up 16 percent from last year and 5,000 acres above last 
month.                                                                          
                                                                                
Texas cotton is making normal progress on the Plains, but concern exists about  
insect damage.  Moisture stress was more apparent in this State with 22 percent 
of the crop rated very poor to poor on September 3. In early September, 93 per- 
cent of the crop was setting bolls, compared to an average of 96 percent.       
Twenty-seven percent of bolls were open, one percent ahead of average.          
Objective yield data rank large boll counts in ninth place since 1985.  Small   
bolls numbers and preliminary boll weights were third lowest during this same   
time period.                                                                    
                                                                                
The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)    
rated cotton mostly in fair to good condition.  Tennessee reports the best      
conditions in the region, with 71 percent in good to excellent condition in     
early September.  Mississippi rated 23 percent of their crop in very poor to    
poor condition.  Arkansas and Louisiana rated 14 percent and 15 percent of the  
cotton as very poor to poor, respectively.  Boll opening in all states equaled  
or exceeded the 5-year average.  Arkansas was 43 percent open, compared to an   
average of 18.  Mississippi,at 65 percent open, was 15 percent ahead of normal. 
Data from objective yield plots in Arkansas shows the lowest number of large    
bolls since 1985.  Preliminary boll weights were also the lowest for this       
10-year period.  Louisiana large boll counts and weights ranked ninth in the    
past 10 years, while Mississippi large bolls were the third lowest with weights 
ninth lowest during this same period.  Producers in the region continued to     
apply insecticides.                                                             
                                                                                
Arizona's crop was rated very poor to poor on 30 percent of the acreage with    
90 percent of bolls opening, 14 points ahead of average.  Development in        
California remained behind average, with 25 percent of the crop showing open    
bolls compared to an average of 44 percent.  Ten percent of the crop was in     
excellent condition and 70 percent was in good condition on  September 3.       
California growers continued spraying for aphids and whitefly infestations.     
Defoliation approached completion in the desert areas.  Arizona objective yield 
                                                                                
                                                                                
data show the lowest number of large bolls in the past 10 years.  Small bolls   
and squares are the third highest at this same time.  Preliminary boll weights  
also ranked third since 1985.  California fruit counts are the second highest   
for the past 10 years, but large boll counts and the early boll weights are the 
lowest.  Small bolls and squares show the highest count since 1985.             
                                                                                
In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South         
Carolina), spring rains allowed the crop to germinate well but August high      
temperatures and little rainfall adversely affected the crop.  Tropical storm   
Jerry moved across the eastern third of Georgia and into the Carolina's,        
offering some relief, but fruit shedding and insects reduced crop potential.    
This weather also pushed maturity of the Georgia crop and by early September    
boll opening reached 61 percent, nearly twice the 5-year average.  Boll opening 
in the Carolina's slightly lagged average on September 3.  Forty-three percent  
of Alabama cotton and 14 percent in Georgia were in very poor to poor condition.
Twenty-six percent of the Georgia crop was rated in good condition, and         
13 percent of Alabama was in good condition. North Carolina reported 26 percent 
of their crop as good to excellent.  Thirty-nine percent of the South Carolina  
crop was in good condition.  None was reported excellent in early September.    
                                                                                
The American-Pima production forecast, at 368,000 bales, is up 9 percent from   
1994 output and up 10,000 bales from August. California was the only State with 
a change in production from the August forecast,caused by an upward revision of 
5,000 acres in planted and harvested acreage. U.S. yield is expected to average 
918 pounds per harvested acre, down 56 pounds from last year.  Arizona Pima was 
subject to insect pressure during the month and above normal temperatures.  In  
California, condition was mainly good to excellent as hot August weather aided  
crop development.  Aphid and mite infestations continued in many San Joaquin    
Valley fields.                                                                  
                                                                                
Ginnings totaled 427,000 running bales prior to September 1, compared with      
679,950 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 434,900 running     
bales in 1993.                                                                  
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Summer Potatoes                                        
                                                                                
Summer Potatoes:  The final forecast of summer potato production rests at       
                  17.6 million cwt, up 4 percent from the July forecast and     
1 percent above the comparable States a year ago. Michigan and Minnesota summer 
potatoes will be combined with fall crop estimates beginning this year.         
Harvested area is 70,700 acres, 1 percent below last year but 2 percent above   
two years ago.  The average yield of 249 cwt per acre increased 10 cwt from the 
July report on the strength of excellent yields along the East Coast.  The      
reported yield is 7 cwt above last year.  Delmarva Peninsula and New Jersey     
growers reported exceptional potato crops this summer. Cool, wet spring weather 
gave way to a hot, dry summer just as potatoes came to harvest. Late fields may 
have suffered from drought where irrigation was not available. Virginia and New 
Jersey yields are expected to be record high.  Alabama and Texas also show      
improved yields.                                                                
                                                                                
Yields are off in the MidWest and Plains States.  Late planting, along with     
prolonged hot, dry summer weather, are blamed. Colorado was hit by hail in Weld 
County in June along with late growing progress.  A good season in Missouri     
promises to reduce abandonment.  In California, summer potatoes are in good     
condition as harvest winds down.  Some heat damage and growth cracks are        
reported.                                                                       
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Fall Potatoes, 1994 Final                              
                                                                                
Fall Potatoes, 1994 Final:  Production of 1994 fall potatoes ended at a record  
                            high 421 million cwt,up 9 percent from the previous 
record set in 1993 and 2 percent above the preliminary estimate last January.   
Farmers harvested 1.19 million acres, up 5 percent from a year earlier.  The    
average yield was a record high 354 cwt per acre,up 13 cwt from 1993 and 19 cwt 
above 1992.  Compared with preliminary estimates, larger crops were registered  
in California, Idaho, Oregon, Nebraska, and Maine.  Blight losses dumped from   
Maine storages were added to production and then included in shrinkage and loss.
Smaller estimates were listed in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and New Mexico.   
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830All Potatoes, 1994                                     
                                                                                
All Potatoes, 1994:  Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in      
                     1994 totaled 468 million cwt, up 9 percent from a year     
earlier and 10 percent above 1992. Area harvested was estimated at 1.38 million 
acres, 5 percent above 1993 and 1992.  Yields, averaging 338 cwt per acre,      
jumped 12 cwt from a year earlier and were 15 cwt above 1992. Winter production 
in 1994 dropped 7 percent, spring increased 15 percent, and summer and fall     
potatoes gained 9 percent each from a year earlier.                             
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Tobacco                                                
                                                                                
Tobacco:  U.S. all tobacco production for 1995 is forecast at 1.35 billion      
          pounds, down 15 percent from 1994. Harvested acres are expected to be 
675,040 up 1 percent from last year.  Yields for 1995 are estimated to average  
1,997 pounds per acre, 361 pounds below the average for 1994.                   
                                                                                
Flue-cured production is expected to total 746 million pounds, down 7 percent   
from the forecast of a month ago and 14 percent below a year ago.  Flue-cured   
growers plan to harvest 386,000 acres, 7 percent above last year.  Flue-cured   
tobacco accounts for 57 percent of this year's total tobacco acreage.           
                                                                                
Burley production is expected to total 511 million pounds, 17 percent below the 
production of 1994.  Yield is expected to average 2,072 pounds per acre,        
228 pounds below the average for 1994. Burley tobacco growers expect to harvest 
246,600 acres, 7 percent below last year.  Kentucky, with 66 percent of the     
1995 burley area to be harvested, is 7 percent below a year ago.                
                                                                                
The growing season for tobacco in the Southeastern region (Georgia, Kentucky,   
South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia) began with delayed     
plantings due a chilly, wet spring.  Cool, damp weather continued into early    
summer providing ideal conditions for the spread of blue mold.  By mid-July     
extreme heat and dry weather conditions slowed the spread of the disease. After 
weeks of gradual improvement in conditions the heat intensified in early August,
lowering ratings and depleting soil moisture supplies.                          
                                                                                
By late August, Tropical Storm Jerry brought heavy downpours to the Carolinas,  
stopping the harvest and causing some leaf blistering and premature leaf drop.  
In Kentucky, half of the burley tobacco was cut, with early housed tobacco      
showing light houseburn and drying down quicker than desired due to the hot,dry 
weather.  Flue cured tobacco in North Carolina was 79 percent harvested, ahead  
of schedule due to the dry August weather. The hot weather slowed the spread of 
diseases in Tennessee's burley tobacco but stunted plant growth.  A hot, dry    
August pushed harvest progress ahead of schedule in all States.  Yields were    
down in all the Southeastern States except for South Carolina, where 88 percent 
of the tobacco was harvested.                                                   
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Florida Citrus                                         
                                                                                
Florida Citrus:  Citrus groves were soaked with continuous rains and            
                 thunderstorms beginning the first of August with Hurricane Erin
and then Tropical Storm Jerry.  Inadequate drainage resulted in standing water  
in both east and west coast groves and many in the southern district.  Record   
rainfall for August was recorded in several cities within the citrus belt.      
Excessive moisture caused only limited adverse effects.  However, the constant  
rains produced an abundance of new growth on trees of all ages. One early bloom 
crop of red grapefruit was packed and shipped the week of August 21.  No other  
crops were picked.  Caretakers were very active moving standing water.  Many    
growers deep plowed and disced to help dry saturated soils.                     
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Sugarbeets                                             
                                                                                
Sugarbeets:  Production for U.S. is expected to total 29.1 million tons, up     
             1 percent from the August 1 forecast,but down 9 percent from 1994. 
Area for harvest, at 1.43 million acres, is virtually unchanged from last       
month's forecast, but down 1 percent from last year.  The average yield, at     
20.4 tons per acre, is 1.8 tons below last year's yield.                        
                                                                                
Sugarbeet planting was delayed by a cool, wet spring leaving many northern      
States behind normal.  Due to the second hottest August on record, Colorado's   
sugarbeet producers applied additional water but the hot weather still slowed   
plant growth.  Sugarbeets progress in Idaho was slightly behind normal earlier  
but growers are now preparing for early harvest in mid-September.  North        
Dakota's Red River Valley had adequate to surplus soil moisture supplies        
throughout the growing season, with some disease problems reported.  Michigan's 
producers were concerned with root aphid problems in some areas that threaten   
the State's record harvest of sugarbeets.  Good growing conditions in           
California, following the late-spring planting, has benefitted the crop.        
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Sugarcane                                              
                                                                                
Sugarcane:  Sugarcane production for U.S. sugar and seed in 1995 is expected to 
            total 29.1 million tons, down less than 1 percent from last month   
and down 6 percent from 1994.  Area for harvest, at 922,200 acres, is 2 percent 
below last year. The forecasted yield, at 31.5 tons per acre, is 1.5 tons below 
last year's yield.                                                              
                                                                                
A hot, dry August for mainland sugarcane States allowed sugarcane to make good  
growth with the crop reported in good to fair condition for the month. Hawaii's 
sugarcane harvest was slowing.  The decline in acres reflects the continued     
closing of plantations.  Florida's sugarcane region has not had significant     
damage from tropical storms this season,but some growers reported reduced yield 
prospects caused by cloudy weather.  In Louisiana, scattered rains have been    
adequate to allow average plant growth with minor insect problems from the cane 
borer reported.                                                                 
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Papayas                                                
                                                                                
Papayas:  Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.25 million pounds for
          August, 7 percent lower than July and 32 percent lower than August    
1994.                                                                           
                                                                                
Light to moderate rainfall, mixed with sunshine and warm temperatures in major  
producing areas, made August weather conditions mostly favorable toward papaya  
production.  Orchards not heavily infected with papaya ringspot virus were in   
good condition.                                                                 
                                                                                
                                                                                
Area devoted to papaya production is estimated at 3,765 acres in August, down   
slightly from July but 16 percent higher than a year ago.  Harvested area of    
2,340 acres was 2 percent lower than last month but 9 percent higher than August
1994.                                                                           
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830California Fruits and Nuts                             
                                                                                
California Fruits and Nuts:  Field activities included irrigation, weed control,
                             ground leveling, limb propping, and summer pruning 
of harvested orchards. Grape growers irrigated vineyards and treated to control 
insects and fungus.  Table grape harvest continued while the harvest of raisin  
grapes began the latter part of August.  Good quality was reported.  Nectarine, 
peach, and plum harvests were active in the Sacramento and San Joaquin valleys. 
Gravenstein apples were harvested in Sonoma county while Gala and Granny Smith  
apple harvests were active in the San Joaquin Valley.  Apple orchards were also 
treated to control Codling moth and mites.  Bartlett pear harvest continued in  
Lake and Mendoncino counties.  The prune harvest was well underway throughout   
the Sacramento and San Joaquin valleys while the pomegranate harvest was        
underway in Fresno county.  Olives appeared to be sizing nicely due to a light  
crop.  Almond harvest began early in the month.  Walnut orchards were sprayed   
for Codling moth and Huskfly, and the ground was prepared for harvest.          
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830California Citrus                                      
                                                                                
California Citrus:  Other Area grapefruit harvest continued with good quality.  
                    Some defects were reported including scar,scale, sheepnose, 
and picking injuries.  The 1994-95 lemon harvest was ending with the 1995-96    
crop harvest to begin shortly.  Valencia orange picking slowed due to           
competition from other summer fruits but should regain momentum soon.  Sunburn, 
puff, and crease concerned growers.  New crop citrus was progressing well.      
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Hazelnuts                                              
                                                                                
Hazelnuts:  Hazelnut production in Oregon and Washington is forecast at         
            38,000 tons for 1995, 80 percent above last year's reduced crop. If 
realized, this level will be the second largest crop ever but 7 percent below   
the 1993 record high of 41,000 tons.  Oregon growers expect to harvest          
37,900 tons, an 80 percent increase from 1994.  Washington's production is      
forecast at 100 tons, unchanged from last year.                                 
                                                                                
Catkin and flower set were good without any severe frost damage.  Favorable     
weather during pollination resulted in a larger than normal nut set.  Moisture  
was adequate, especially in the Willamette Valley where precipitation was 20 to 
30 percent more than the long term average. The number of bearing age trees and 
average yield per tree are expected to increase as new orchards come into       
production and young orchards progress towards full production.                 
                                                                                
Objective survey counts on nuts picked in Oregon and Washington orchards were   
twice last year's level, but about 20 percent lower than 1993.  The percentage  
of good nuts was slightly higher than in 1994 and equal to 1993.  Average size  
and dry weight of good nuts were the lowest since 1985.                         
                                                                                
Hazelnut production for Oregon and Washington has been revised to 21,100 tons   
for 1994 with an average yield per acre of 0.77 tons.  Of this total,           
11,530 tons were sold in-shell and 9,570 tons shelled (in-shell basis).  The    
value of utilized production totaled $17.7 million, 32 percent below 1993.      
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Walnuts                                                
                                                                                
Walnuts:  The 1995 California walnut production forecast is 220,000 tons, down  
          5 percent from 1994's production of 232,000 tons.  This is down       
10 percent from the July forecast.                                              
                                                                                
The average nut set per tree is 1,777,virtually unchanged from the 1994 average 
of 1,773.  The Hartley average nut set was up 16 percent, the Franquette set,   
down 16 percent, and the Serr set down 15 percent.  Of the nuts sampled,        
93.1 percent were sound.  The average in-shell weight per nut was 20.8 grams,   
down 6 percent from the previous year.                                          
                                                                                
Winter and spring storms did not affect the late bloom period.  Blight was      
visible even in varieties which tend to be blight-free. A substantial amount of 
sunburn damage was also noted.                                                  
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Pecans                                                 
                                                                                
Pecans:  The September 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 248 million      
         pounds (in-shell basis), up 25 percent from last year's crop of        
199 million pounds.  Alabama, California, Georgia, Louisiana, New Mexico,       
Oklahoma, and Texas expect higher production this year while Florida, Kansas,   
and North and South Carolina expect smaller crops.                              
                                                                                
Georgia's production is set at 80.0 million pounds, 23 percent above 1994 but   
nearly half the 1993 level.  Conditions have not been favorable.  Lack of rain  
and extreme heat caused small nut sizes and premature droppage.  The eastern    
part of the pecan growing region received generous rains from Tropical Storm    
Jerry, but the central and southwest regions received only scattered showers.   
Rain is still needed to fill nuts in non-irrigated groves.                      
                                                                                
The Texas forecast is 60.0 million pounds, 50 percent above last year.  Growers 
report trees are loaded with pecans.  Scab, weevils, aphids, and shuck worms    
have caused some damage.  Producers are irrigating to reduce dropping of nuts.  
New Mexico expects 30.0 million pounds, 25 percent more than in 1994.  Some     
areas of New Mexico experienced a late freeze.  Major producing areas have not  
experienced bad weather so far and predict a good crop.  Production in Oklahoma 
is forecast at 18.0 million pounds, 50 percent higher than last year and equal  
to 1993.  Nut set is mostly average.  Some producers reported having too much   
water during pollination however, most areas enjoyed adequate water during the  
growing season.  Recent dry weather is causing trees to shed nuts.              
                                                                                
Alabama's forecast of 14.0 million pounds of pecans, up from the 4.00 million   
pounds estimated last year.  Hurricane Erin caused some damage in coastal       
orchards.  Localities with available irrigation expect a decent crop.           
Louisiana's pecan crop is expected to reach 14.0 million pounds, 27 percent     
above the previous year.  Lack of moisture during fruit set lowered crop        
expectations.  Disease pressure is low.                                         
                                                                                
Other southeast states have suffered from hot,dry conditions and hurricane wind 
damage.  The ice storms of 1994 continue to affect crops in Arkansas and        
Mississippi.  Upper elevation groves in Arizona experienced late freeze damage. 
Extreme summer temperatures resulted in smaller nuts and lower quality.         
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Reliability                                            
                                                                                
              Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts              
                                                                                
Survey Procedures:  Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted    
                    between August 22 and September 2 to gather information on  
expected yield as of September 1.  The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn, 
soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually  
account for about 80 percent of the U.S. production.  Randomly selected plots   
were revisited to make current counts.  The items counted within the selected   
plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop.  In all cases, number of
plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to   
forecast the number of heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight.  The counts
are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological
yield.  The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net     
yield.  The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is
harvested and weighed.  After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, 
another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.                 
                                                                                
The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of  
mail and personal interviewers.  Nearly 20,000 producers were interviewed during
the survey period and asked questions about probable yield.                     
                                                                                
                                                                                
Estimating Procedures:  National and State level objective yield and grower     
                        reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,     
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates.  The survey data were
also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to        
previous month and previous years.  Each State Statistical Office submits their 
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).   
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published    
September 1 forecast.                                                           
                                                                                
                                                                                
Revision Policy:  The September 1 production forecast will not be revised;      
                  instead a new forecast will be made each month throughout the 
growing season.  At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a  
balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports,         
processing, feeding, and ending stocks.  Revisions are then made if data        
relationships warrant changes.  Harvested acres may be revised any time a       
production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended       
harvested area has changed since the last estimate.                             
                                                                                
                                                                                
Reliability:  To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1  
              production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical 
measure based on past performance, is computed.  The deviation between the      
September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a        
percentage of the final estimate.  The average of squared percentage deviations 
for the 1975-1994 20-year period is computed then the square root of the average
becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."  Probability statements can 
be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the 
final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's       
forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.                 
                                                                                
                                                                                
For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain    
production forecast is  5.8 percent.  This means that chances are 2 out of 3    
that the current production forecast of 7.83 billion bushels will not be above  
or below the final estimate by more than  5.8  percent or approximately 454     
million bushels.  Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 10.0 percent or approximately 783 million bushels.   
                                                                                
Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimates.  Using    
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 393 million bushels, ranging    
from 10 million to 885 million bushels.  The September 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times.  This does not imply that the     
September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final  
production.  For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below  
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.                       
                                                                                
                                                                                
              Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts              
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :Root Mean Square Error::      10-Year Record Of          
                      :----------------------:: Differences Between Forecast    
                      :       :90% Confidence::      and Final Estimate         
      Crop and        :       :     Level    ::-------------------------------  
        Unit          :Percent:--------------::  Quantity      :No. Of Years    
                      :       :       :      ::-------------------------------  
                      :       :Percent: Quant::          :     :Below:Above     
                      :       :       :      :: Avg:Small:Large:Final:Final     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
                      :                  Mil ::----- Mil -----                  
                      :                      ::                                 
Feed Grains 1/      Mt: 5.4      9.3     21  :: 11     0     27    6     4      
Corn For Grain      Bu: 5.8     10.0    783  ::393    10    885    6     4      
Sorghum For Grain   Bu: 6.2     10.7     58  :: 39     1    115    6     4      
Barley              Bu: 3.4      6.1     23  :: 12     3     35    5     5      
All Wheat           Bu: 1.5      2.5     55  :: 34     2     97    3     7      
  Durum             Bu: 5.6      9.8     10  ::  5     3     12    5     5      
  Other Spring      Bu: 3.7      6.3     33  :: 22     1     62    3     7      
Rice               Cwt: 4.2      7.2     13  ::  7     2     16    8     2      
Soybeans For          :                      ::                                 
 Beans              Bu: 5.3      9.2    210  :: 85    19    242    7     3      
Cotton        Bales 2/: 6.1     10.5  2,128  ::738    84  1,914    5     5      
------------------------------------------------------------------------------  
1/  Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley.                        
2/  Quantity is in thousands of bales.                                          
                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Index                                                  
                                                                                
                                      Index                                     
                                                                                
                                                         Page                   
                                                                                
                                                  Table      Narrative          
                                                                                
Barley........................................    A-12          B- 5            
Citrus Fruits.................................    A-26          B-11            
Corn for Grain................................    A-9           B- 4            
Cotton........................................    A-19          B- 8            
Corn-Plants per Acre..........................    A-30                          
Cotton - Cumulative Boll Counts...............    A-32                          
Cottonseed....................................    A-18                          
Crop Moisture Maps............................                  B- 1            
Crop Summary..................................    A- 3          B- 3            
Nuts..........................................    A-28          B-12            
Papayas - Hawaii..............................    A-28          B-11            
Peanuts ......................................    A-18          B- 7            
Pecans........................................    A-29          B-13            
Potatoes......................................    A-20          B- 9            
Reliability Statement.........................                  B-15            
Rice..........................................    A-15          B- 6            
Rice - By Grain Length........................    A-15          B- 6            
Sorghum for Grain.............................    A-11          B- 5            
Soybeans for Beans............................    A-16          B- 6            
Soybeans - Pods for Beans ....................    A-31                          
Sugarbeets....................................    A-27          B-11            
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed..................    A-27          B-11            
Tobacco by Class and Type.....................    A-24          B-10            
Tobacco by States.............................    A-23                          
Wheat, All....................................    A-13                          
Wheat, by Class...............................    A-15                          
Wheat, Durum..................................    A-14          B- 6            
Wheat, Other Spring...........................    A-14          B- 5            
Wheat, Other Spring- Heads per Acre...........    A-31                          
                                                                                
HDR2012000110120912950830Report Features                                        
                                                                                
                                 Report Features                                
                                                                                
                                                                                
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on           
October 11, 1995.                                                               
                                                                                
                                                                                
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National  
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.          
                                                                                
                                                                                
C. Ray Halley, Chief                                              (202) 720-2127
                                                                                
                                                                                
  Field Crops Section                                                           
    Bill Dowdy, Head                                              (202) 720-3843
      Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice               (202) 720-9526
      Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather    (202) 720-7621
      Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat                   (202) 720-8068
      Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats                       (202) 720-7369
                                                                                
                                                                                
  Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section                                      
    Stephen Ropel, Head                                           (202) 720-3843
      Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions                   (202) 720-4285
      Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay                                  (202) 720-5944
      Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes                               (202) 720-4215
      Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables              (202) 720-2157
      Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits                       (202) 720-5412
      Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts                  (202) 720-7688
                                                                                
                                                                                
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in  
its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,  
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status.  Persons with    
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program         
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA     
Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD).     
                                                                                
To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington,      
D.C., 20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD).  USDA is   
an equal employment opportunity employer.                                       
                                                                                
                                                                                
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