HDR1012000110011011960830CROP PRODUCTION
HDR2012000110011011960830HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY
Crop
Production
National
Agricultural
Statistics
Service

USDA
Washington, D.C.


Released October 11, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For
information on "Crop Production" call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m.
to 4:00 p.m. ET.  For assistance with general agricultural statistics,
information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Agricultural
Statistics Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV.  The "Crop
Production" U.S. Summary is available on AutoFax, (202) 720-2000, Report 1150.
See Page B-20.  Index and report features are located at the end of this report.
Forecasts refer to October 1, 1996.





                  Corn and Soybean Production Up

Corn production is forecast at 9.01 billion bushels, 2 percent above the
September 1 forecast and up 22 percent from 1995.  Based on conditions as of
October 1, yields are expected to average 123.0 bushels per acre, up
2.8 bushels from last month and 9.5 bushels from 1995.  Acreage harvested and to
be harvested for grain is forecast at 73.3 million acres, unchanged from last
month.  Yield prospects increased in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and
Nebraska.  Forecasted yield in Ohio remained unchanged, whereas in Wisconsin, it
decreased.


Soybean production is forecast at 2.35 billion bushels as of October 1,
3 percent above the September 1 forecast and 8 percent above the revised 1995
production.  The yield forecast is 37 bushels per acre, 1.2 bushels above
September 1 and up 1.7 bushels from the revised 1995 yield. Yield forecasts
increased in most of the major soybean producing states due to favorable growing
conditions during September.



                       *******************






See page 15 for revised 1995 soybean acreage, yield, and production.



Cr Pr 2-2 (10-96)
All cotton production is forecast at 18.2 million bales, up 2 percent from last
month and last year.  Yield is indicated at 673 pounds per acre, up 136 pounds
from 1995.  Late August rainfall in Texas resulted in the highest boll count in
10 years, and forecasted production increased 200,000 bales from September.
California production increased 150,000 bales from last month, as boll weights
were higher than earlier indications.  Alabama's crop is up 70,000 bales from
September due to beneficial weather during the season and minimal boll loss.


All oranges:  Production for the 1996-97 season is forecast at a record large
              12.4 million tons, up 6 percent from a year ago.  This year's crop
is 5 percent larger than the previous record of 11.8 million tons set in the
1979-80 season.  Florida's production amounts to 220 million boxes (9.90 million
tons), 8 percent above last season and 7 percent above two years ago.  Florida's
all orange production, early varieties, and Valencia crop are each record large
crops.  Early and mid-season varieties are expected to produce 130 million boxes
(5.85 million tons), 7 percent above last year.  The Valencia forecast is
90.0 million boxes (4.05 million tons), 10 percent above a year ago.
California's all orange production is forecast at 63.0 million boxes
(2.36 million tons), 5 percent less than last season.  The Navel orange forecast
was unchanged from September at 37.0 million boxes (1.39 million tons), down
3 percent from last year's production of 38.0 million boxes.  The initial
California Valencia forecast is 26.0 million boxes (975,000 tons), 7 percent
less than last year.


Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1996-97 season is
forecast at 1.53 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix.  The forecast projects
the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association.  The
final 1995-96 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.52 gallons per box at
42.0 degrees Brix.  Projected yields for 1996-97 early and midseason and
Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report.



This report was approved on October 11, 1996, by the Acting Secretary of
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural
Statistics Board.


        Acting Secretary of               Agricultural Statistics Board
            Agriculture                            Chairperson
            Eugene Moos                            Rich Allen
             Crop Summary: Production, United States,
               1996 and Forecasted October 1, 1997
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :                Utilized Production
                         :----------------------------------------------------
          Crop           :                :       Sep 1,     :     Oct 1,
                         :      1996      :        1996      :      1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Crop Year        :    1995-96            1996-97          1996-97
                         :
                         :                     1,000 Tons
Citrus Fruits 1/         :
  Oranges                :      11,723                              12,380
  Grapefruit             :       2,718                               3,041
  Lemons                 :         992                               1,015
  Tangerines             :         348                                 415
  Temples (FL)           :          97                                 113
  Tangelos (FL)          :         110                                 171
  K-Early Citrus (FL)    :           7                                   9
                         :
                         :                    Metric Tons
                         :
  Oranges                :  10,634,930                          11,230,950
  Grapefruit             :   2,465,730                           2,758,750
  Lemons                 :     899,930                             920,790
  Tangerines             :     315,700                             376,480
  Temples (FL)           :      88,000                             102,510
  Tangelos (FL)          :      99,790                             155,130
  K-Early Citrus (FL)    :       6,350                               8,160
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Crop year begins with the bloom of the first year and ends with the
    completion of harvest the following year.
     Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
               1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
                         (Domestic Units)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :       Area Planted       :      Area Harvested 1/
          Crop           :----------------------------------------------------
                         :     1995    :    1996    :    1995    :    1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :                     1,000 Acres
                         :
Corn                     :    71,245       79,555       64,995       73,269
Sorghum                  :     9,454       13,284        8,278       12,004
Rice                     :   3,121.0      2,935.0      3,093.0      2,909.0
Soybeans 2/              :    62,575       64,315       61,624       63,440
Peanuts 3/               :   1,537.5      1,428.0      1,517.0      1,410.5
Sunflower 2/             :     3,478        2,787        3,368        2,685
All Cotton               :  16,931.4     14,243.0     16,006.7     12,979.6
  Upland                 :  16,716.8     13,979.0     15,795.6     12,717.7
  Amer-Pima              :     214.6        264.0        211.1        261.9
All Hay                  :                              59,779       60,599
  Alfalfa                :                              24,569       24,256
  All Other              :                              35,210       36,343
Dry Edible Beans         :   2,069.3      1,818.0      1,899.3      1,705.6
Dry Edible Peas 2/       :     198.0        190.0        194.0        183.0
Austrian Winter          :
  Peas 2/                :      10.9          8.6          7.7          7.3
Lentils 2/               :     159.4        128.0        154.4        126.0
Tobacco                  :                               663.1        737.2
Sugarbeets               :   1,444.6      1,384.1      1,417.1      1,334.0
Sugarcane for            :
 Sugar and Seed          :                               932.3        872.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc.
2/  1995 revised.
3/  1996 planted area in Georgia was reduced 5,000 acres to 533,000.

  Crop Summary:  Yield per Acre and Production, United States,
               1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
                         (Domestic Units)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         : Yield per Acre:             Production
      Crop and Unit      :---------------------------------------------------
                         :       :       :           :   Sep 1,  :   Oct 1,
                         :  1995 :  1996 :   1995    :    1996   :    1996
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :                  ------------- 1,000 ------------
                         :
Corn for Grain       Bu  : 113.5   123.0   7,373,876   8,803,928   9,012,148
Sorghum for Grain    "   :  55.6    66.4     460,373     763,973     796,783
Rice 1/              Cwt : 5,621   6,053     173,871     171,494     176,089
Soybeans for Beans 2/Bu  :  35.3    37.0   2,176,814   2,269,505   2,346,220
Peanuts              Lb  : 2,282   2,421   3,461,475   3,362,650   3,414,975
Sunflower 2/         "   : 1,190   1,255   4,009,340               3,368,530
All Cotton 1/        Bale:   537     673    17,899.8    17,900.1    18,189.1
  Upland 1/          "   :   533     665    17,532.2    17,326.1    17,622.1
  Amer-Pima 1/       "   :   836   1,039       367.6       574.0       567.0
Cottonseed           Ton :                   6,848.7     6,846.4     6,965.4
All Hay 3/           "   :  2.59    2.51     154,786     148,515     151,840
  Alfalfa 3/         "   :  3.46    3.33      84,980      80,382      80,747
  All Other 3/       "   :  1.98    1.96      69,806      68,133      71,093
Dry Edible Beans 1/3/Cwt : 1,634   1,582      31,032      27,512      26,989
Dry Edible Peas 1/2/ "   : 2,376   1,247       4,609                   2,282
Austrian Winter          :
  Peas 1/2/          "   : 1,545   1,411         119                     103
Lentils 1/2/         "   : 1,389     969       2,145                   1,221
All Tobacco          Lb  : 1,913   2,069   1,268,494   1,580,549   1,525,140
Sugarbeets           Ton :  19.8    19.8      28,026      26,399      26,436
Sugarcane for            :
 Sugar and Seed      "   :  33.0    31.4      30,796      27,276      27,378
Apples, Comm'l 3/    Lb  :                10,736,000  10,733,500  10,608,500
Grapes 3/            Ton :                   5,936.3     5,954.0     5,964.0
Pecans               Lb  :                   268,000     244,700     250,700
Hazelnuts 4/         Ton :                      39.0        20.0        20.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Yield in pounds.
2/  1995 revised.
3/  September 1 estimate carried forward from the August 1 forecast.
4/  September 1 forecast carried forward from the mid-August forecast
    published in "Hazelnut Production" released August 27, 1996.

Crop Summary:  Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1995-96
                         (Domestic Units)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :       Area Planted       :     Area Harvested
          Crop           :----------------------------------------------------
                         :     1995    :    1996 1/ :    1995    :    1996 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :                     1,000 Acres
                         :
Oats                     :     6,336        4,661        2,962        2,687
Barley                   :     6,689        7,174        6,279        6,787
All Wheat                :    69,132       75,639       60,945       62,850
  Winter                 :    48,686       51,983       40,972       39,709
  Durum                  :     3,436        3,620        3,356        3,546
  Other Spring           :    17,010       20,036       16,617       19,595
Rye                      :     1,602        1,467          385          347
Flaxseed                 :       165          112          147          106
Potatoes                 :
  Winter 2/              :      13.3         14.5         11.9         14.5
  Spring                 :      88.3         91.9         84.3         89.2
  Summer                 :      72.5         79.9         70.7         76.3
  Fall                   :   1,224.1      1,261.2      1,205.2      1,244.6
  Total 2/               :   1,398.2      1,447.5      1,372.1      1,424.6
Sweetpotatoes            :      87.4         89.4         83.6         86.2
Hops                     :                                43.2         44.1
Ginger Root (HI)         :                                 0.1          0.2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
2/  1996 revised.

          Crop Summary:  Yield per Acre and Production,
                      United States, 1995-96
                         (Domestic Units)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :     Yield per Acre    :        Production
      Crop and Unit      :---------------------------------------------------
                         :    1995   :   1996 1/ :    1995    :     1996 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :                           ------- 1,000 -------
                         :
Oats                 Bu  :    54.7       57.8        162,027        155,225
Barley               "   :    57.3       58.5        359,562        396,851
All Wheat            "   :    35.8       36.3      2,182,591      2,281,763
  Winter             "   :    37.7       37.2      1,544,653      1,478,048
  Durum              "   :    30.5       32.7        102,280        115,840
  Other Spring       "   :    32.2       35.1        535,658        687,875
Rye                  "   :    26.1       26.0         10,064          9,016
Potatoes                 :
  Winter 2/          Cwt :     208        226          2,473          3,273
  Spring             "   :     240        238         20,193         21,197
  Summer             "   :     254        250         17,931         19,095
  Fall               "   :     334                   403,009
  Total              "   :     323                   443,606
Hops                 Lb  :   1,826      1,788       78,852.4       78,884.0
Ginger Root (HI)     "   :  43,000     47,000        5,800.0        9,400.0
Peaches              "   :                         2,301,300      1,993,400
Pears                Ton :                             948.3          783.4
Sweet Cherries       "   :                             165.3          133.2
Tart Cherries        Lb  :                           395,600        247,900
Apricots             Ton :                              58.5           73.3
Olives (CA)          "   :                              77.5          140.0
Dried Prunes (CA)    "   :                             181.0          200.0
Prunes and Plums         :
 (Excl CA)           "   :                              23.0           19.0
Almonds (CA)         Lb  :                           370,000        530,000
Walnuts (CA)         Ton :                             234.0          220.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
2/  1996 revised.

     Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
               1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
                          (Metric Units)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :       Area Planted        :      Area Harvested 1/
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------
                      :     1995    :     1996    :     1995    :    1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :                        Hectares
                      :
Corn                  :  28,832,140    32,195,110    26,302,830   29,651,230
Sorghum               :   3,825,940     5,375,900     3,350,020    4,857,900
Rice                  :   1,263,040     1,187,770     1,251,710    1,177,240
Soybeans 2/           :  25,323,480    26,027,640    24,938,620   25,673,530
Peanuts               :     622,210       577,900       613,910      570,820
Sunflower 2/          :   1,407,510     1,127,870     1,363,000    1,086,590
All Cotton            :   6,851,970     5,764,000     6,477,750    5,252,710
  Upland              :   6,765,120     5,657,160     6,392,320    5,146,730
  Amer-Pima           :      86,850       106,840        85,430      105,990
All Hay               :                              24,191,960   24,523,810
  Alfalfa             :                               9,942,830    9,816,160
  All Other           :                              14,249,130   14,707,650
Dry Edible Beans      :     837,430       735,730       768,630      690,240
Dry Edible Peas 2/    :      80,130        76,890        78,510       74,060
Austrian Winter       :
 Peas 2/              :       4,410         3,480         3,120        2,950
Lentils 2/            :      64,510        51,800        62,480       50,990
Tobacco               :                                 268,350      298,330
Sugarbeets            :     584,620       560,130       573,490      539,860
Sugarcane for         :
 Sugar and Seed       :                                 377,290      352,890
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc.
2/  1995 revised.

 Crop Summary:  Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
               1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
                          (Metric Units)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :Yield per Hectare:             Production
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------
                      :        :        :           :   Sep 1,   :   Oct 1,
                      :  1995  :  1996  :   1995    :    1996    :    1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :                      Metric Tons
                      :
Corn for Grain        :  7.12     7.72  187,305,080  223,630,070  228,919,100
Sorghum for Grain     :  3.49     4.17   11,694,010   19,405,810   20,239,220
Rice                  :  6.30     6.78    7,886,660    7,778,840    7,987,260
Soybeans for Beans 1/ :  2.38     2.49   59,243,170   61,765,800   63,853,640
Peanuts               :  2.56     2.71    1,570,100    1,525,270    1,549,010
Sunflower 1/          :  1.33     1.41    1,818,610                 1,527,940
All Cotton            :  0.60     0.75    3,897,230    3,897,280    3,960,210
  Upland              :  0.60     0.75    3,817,190    3,772,310    3,836,760
  Amer-Pima           :  0.94     1.16       80,040      124,970      123,450
Cottonseed            :                   6,213,040    6,210,950    6,318,900
All Hay 2/            :  5.80     5.62  140,419,500  134,730,540  137,746,930
  Alfalfa 2/          :  7.75     7.46   77,092,560   72,921,320   73,252,450
  All Other 2/        :  4.44     4.39   63,326,940   61,809,220   64,494,480
Dry Edible Beans      :  1.83     1.77    1,407,590    1,247,920    1,224,200
Dry Edible Peas 1/    :  2.66     1.40      209,060                   103,510
Austrian Winter       :
  Peas 1/             :  1.73     1.58        5,400                     4,670
Lentils 1/            :  1.56     1.09       97,300                    55,380
All Tobacco           :  2.14     2.32      575,380      716,930      691,790
Sugarbeets            : 44.33    44.42   25,424,760   23,948,770   23,982,340
Sugarcane for         :
 Sugar and Seed       : 74.05    70.38   27,937,660   24,744,370   24,836,900
Apples, Comm'l 2/     :                   4,869,770    4,868,630    4,811,930
Grapes 2/             :                   5,385,320    5,401,380    5,410,450
Pecans                :                     121,560      110,990      113,720
Hazelnuts 3/          :                      35,380       18,140       18,140
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  1995 revised.
2/  September 1 estimate carried forward from the August 1 forecast.
3/  September 1 forecast carried forward from the mid-August forecast
    published in "Hazelnut Production" released August 27, 1996.

Crop Summary:  Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1995-96
                          (Metric Units)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :       Area Planted       :       Area Harvested
         Crop         :-------------------------------------------------------
                      :     1995    :    1996 1/ :     1995     :    1996 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :                      Hectares
                      :
Oats                  :   2,564,120     1,886,260     1,198,690    1,087,400
Barley                :   2,706,970     2,903,250     2,541,050    2,746,630
All Wheat             :  27,977,030    30,610,350    24,663,830   25,434,770
  Winter              :  19,702,740    21,037,000    16,580,960   16,069,840
  Durum               :   1,390,510     1,464,980     1,358,140    1,435,030
  Other Spring        :   6,883,780     8,108,370     6,724,730    7,929,900
Rye                   :     648,310       593,680       155,810      140,430
Flaxseed              :      66,770        45,330        59,490       42,900
Potatoes              :
  Winter 2/           :       5,380         5,870         4,820        5,870
  Spring              :      35,730        37,190        34,120       36,100
  Summer              :      29,340        32,330        28,610       30,880
  Fall                :     495,380       510,400       487,730      503,680
  Total 2/            :     565,840       585,790       555,280      576,520
Sweetpotatoes         :      35,370        36,180        33,830       34,880
Hops                  :                                  17,480       17,860
Ginger Root (HI)      :                                      50           80
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
2/  1996 revised.
        Crop Summary:  Yield per Hectare and Production,
                      United States, 1995-96
                          (Metric Units)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :  Yield per Hectare  :          Production
          Crop           :----------------------------------------------------
                         :   1995  :   1996 1/ :    1995      :    1996 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         :                     Metric Tons
                         :
Oats                     :    1.96      2.07        2,351,820      2,253,080
Barley                   :    3.08      3.15        7,828,540      8,640,410
All Wheat                :    2.41      2.44       59,400,400     62,099,410
  Winter                 :    2.54      2.50       42,038,570     40,225,870
  Durum                  :    2.05      2.20        2,783,610      3,152,650
  Other Spring           :    2.17      2.36       14,578,220     18,720,890
Rye                      :    1.64                    255,640
Potatoes                 :
  Winter 2/              :   23.27     25.29          112,170        148,460
  Spring                 :   26.84     26.63          915,940        961,480
  Summer                 :   28.43     28.05          813,340        866,130
  Fall                   :   37.48                 18,280,180
  Total                  :   36.24                 20,121,630
Hops                     :    2.05      2.00           35,770         35,780
Ginger Root (HI)         :   52.60     53.25            2,630          4,260
Peaches                  :                          1,043,850        904,190
Pears                    :                            860,240        710,690
Sweet Cherries           :                            149,910        120,840
Tart Cherries            :                            179,440        112,450
Apricots                 :                             53,070         66,500
Olives (CA)              :                             70,310        127,010
Dried Prunes (CA)        :                            164,200        181,440
Prunes and Plums         :
 (Excl CA)               :                             20,870         17,240
Almonds (CA)             :                            167,830        240,400
Walnuts (CA)             :                            212,280        199,580
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
2/  1996 revised.
        Corn for Grain:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
             and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production
        :----------------------------------------------------------------------
  State :        :        :         :        1996       :          :
        :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :-------------------:   1995   :    1996
        :        :        :         :  Sep 1  :  Oct 1  :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :   1,000 Acres        ------ Bushels ------     --- 1,000 Bushels ---
        :
AL      :    220      270     75.0      80.0      80.0      16,500      21,600
AZ 1/   :     22       35    170.0     175.0     175.0       3,740       6,125
AR 1/   :     85      190    115.0      95.0      95.0       9,775      18,050
CA      :    150      220    160.0     175.0     170.0      24,000      37,400
CO      :    830      940    111.0     140.0     140.0      92,130     131,600
CT 2/   :
DE      :    139      150    105.0     125.0     130.0      14,595      19,500
FL 1/   :     60      100     90.0      80.0      80.0       5,400       8,000
GA      :    350      540     90.0      90.0      97.0      31,500      52,380
ID 1/   :     35       40    140.0     125.0     125.0       4,900       5,000
IL      : 10,000   10,800    113.0     129.0     135.0   1,130,000   1,458,000
IN      :  5,300    5,450    113.0     118.0     120.0     598,900     654,000
IA      : 11,400   12,400    123.0     131.0     135.0   1,402,200   1,674,000
KS      :  1,970    2,350    124.0     145.0     145.0     244,280     340,750
KY      :  1,140    1,200    108.0     122.0     122.0     123,120     146,400
LA 1/   :    221      535    105.0     110.0     110.0      23,205      58,850
ME 2/   :
MD      :    400      465    105.0     120.0     126.0      42,000      58,590
MA 2/   :
MI      :  2,170    2,350    115.0      94.0      94.0     249,550     220,900
MN      :  6,150    7,000    119.0     115.0     117.0     731,850     819,000
MS 1/   :    275      610     95.0      93.0      93.0      26,125      56,730
MO      :  1,470    2,600    102.0     122.0     128.0     149,940     332,800
MT 1/   :     16       20    120.0     130.0     130.0       1,920       2,600
NE      :  7,700    8,250    111.0     139.0     143.0     854,700   1,179,750
NH 2/   :
NJ 1/   :     78       94     93.0     107.0     107.0       7,254      10,058
NM 1/   :     73       80    160.0     165.0     165.0      11,680      13,200
NY      :    610      700    105.0     111.0     111.0      64,050      77,700
NC      :    700      930    107.0      96.0      88.0      74,900      81,840
ND      :    510      700     79.0      80.0      84.0      40,290      58,800
OH      :  3,100    2,750    121.0     108.0     108.0     375,100     297,000
OK 1/   :    130      180    125.0     105.0     105.0      16,250      18,900
OR 1/   :     21       28    160.0     180.0     180.0       3,360       5,040
PA      :    980    1,050     96.0     123.0     123.0      94,080     129,150
RI 2/   :
SC      :    265      380     91.0      75.0      75.0      24,115      28,500
SD      :  2,450    3,650     79.0      84.0      90.0     193,550     328,500
TN      :    540      680    118.0     110.0     113.0      63,720      76,840
TX      :  1,900    1,800    114.0      95.0      95.0     216,600     171,000
UT 1/   :     20       22    100.0     135.0     135.0       2,000       2,970
VT 2/   :
VA      :    275      300    111.0     120.0     124.0      30,525      37,200
WA 1/   :    102      115    190.0     180.0     180.0      19,380      20,700
WV 1/   :     40       40    100.0     100.0     100.0       4,000       4,000
WI      :  3,050    3,200    114.0     109.0     107.0     347,700     342,400
WY 1/   :     48       55    104.0     115.0     115.0       4,992       6,325
        :
US      : 64,995   73,269    113.5     120.2     123.0   7,373,876   9,012,148
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/  Not estimated.
      Sorghum for Grain:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
             and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production
        :----------------------------------------------------------------------
  State :        :        :         :        1996       :          :
        :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :-------------------:   1995   :    1996
        :        :        :         :  Sep 1  :  Oct 1  :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :-- 1,000 Acres --    ------- Bushels -------     -- 1,000 Bushels --
        :
AL 1/   :      8       10    40.0      45.0      45.0         320         450
AR      :    185      215    71.0      76.0      74.0      13,135      15,910
CO      :    165      220    28.0      36.0      38.0       4,620       8,360
GA 1/   :     30       40    37.0      40.0      40.0       1,110       1,600
IL      :    170      230    69.0      74.0      74.0      11,730      17,020
KS      :  3,100    4,600    56.0      72.0      76.0     173,600     349,600
KY 1/   :     22       19    84.0      92.0      92.0       1,848       1,748
LA      :     84      155    70.0      75.0      78.0       5,880      12,090
MS      :     41       72    65.0      68.0      68.0       2,665       4,896
MO      :    490      650    73.0      94.0      92.0      35,770      59,800
NE      :    980    1,000    58.0      85.0      90.0      56,840      90,000
NM      :    130      225    26.0      35.0      38.0       3,380       8,550
NC 1/   :     10       10    65.0      53.0      53.0         650         530
OK      :    320      480    40.0      50.0      52.0      12,800      24,960
SC 1/   :      8        5    40.0      45.0      45.0         320         225
SD      :    120      160    40.0      50.0      55.0       4,800       8,800
TN 1/   :     15       13    87.0      88.0      88.0       1,305       1,144
TX      :  2,400    3,900    54.0      47.0      49.0     129,600     191,100
        :
US      :  8,278   12,004    55.6      63.6      66.4     460,373     796,783
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
             Rice:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
             and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested   :          Yield            :      Production
        :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
  State :        :          :       :        1996       :          :
        :  1995  :   1996   : 1995  :-------------------:   1995   :    1996
        :        :          :       :  Sep 1  :  Oct 1  :          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  -- 1,000 Acres --    ------- Pounds -------      --- 1,000 Cwt ---
        :
AR      :  1,340   1,240     5,450     5,600     5,900     73,020      73,160
CA      :    465     518     7,600     7,900     7,800     35,352      40,404
LA      :    570     530     4,600     5,000     4,950     26,209      26,235
MS      :    288     218     5,400     5,800     5,900     15,552      12,862
MO 1/   :    112     105     5,300     5,000     5,000      5,936       5,250
TX      :    318     298     5,600     6,100     6,100     17,802      18,178
        :
US      :  3,093   2,909     5,621     5,957     6,053    173,871     176,089
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.






                   Rice:  Production by Class, United States,
                    1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Year     :   Long Grain  :  Medium Grain :  Short Grain  :      All
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                           1,000 Cwt
               :
1994           :     133,445        63,390             944          197,779
1995           :     121,730        51,241             900          173,871
1996 1/        :     115,844        59,043           1,202          176,089
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Indicated October 1, 1996 rice class estimates are based on a five-year
    average of class percentages.  The class percentages are adjusted as data
    become available through the growing season.
      Soybeans for Beans:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
             and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :      Production
        :----------------------------------------------------------------------
  State :        :        :         :        1996       :          :
        : 1995 1/:  1996  : 1995 1/ :-------------------:  1995 1/ :    1996
        :        :        :         :  Sep 1  :  Oct 1  :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :   1,000 Acres       ------- Bushels -------    --- 1,000 Bushels ---
        :
AL      :    225      315    24.0      28.0      29.0        5,400      9,135
AR      :  3,400    3,600    26.0      30.0      32.0       88,400    115,200
DE      :    233      215    20.0      30.0      32.0        4,660      6,880
FL 2/   :     28       33    26.0      30.0      30.0          728        990
GA      :    310      390    27.0      26.0      26.0        8,370     10,140
IL      :  9,700    9,850    39.0      37.0      39.0      378,300    384,150
IN      :  4,980    5,360    39.5      35.0      38.0      196,710    203,680
IA      :  9,260    9,450    44.0      44.0      44.0      407,440    415,800
KS      :  2,050    2,000    25.0      34.0      34.0       51,250     68,000
KY      :  1,150    1,180    36.0      36.0      37.0       41,400     43,660
LA      :  1,040    1,050    25.0      31.0      33.0       26,000     34,650
MD      :    510      480    23.0      33.0      33.0       11,730     15,840
MI      :  1,490    1,640    40.0      32.0      32.0       59,600     52,480
MN      :  5,800    5,900    40.5      36.0      37.0      234,900    218,300
MS      :  1,800    1,750    21.0      27.0      29.0       37,800     50,750
MO      :  4,500    4,050    29.5      35.0      36.0      132,750    145,800
NE      :  3,060    3,010    33.0      44.0      45.0      100,980    135,450
NJ 2/   :    138      127    22.0      35.0      35.0        3,036      4,445
NC      :  1,070    1,200    25.0      31.0      29.0       26,750     34,800
ND      :    640      820    29.0      30.0      29.0       18,560     23,780
OH      :  4,030    4,490    38.0      32.0      34.0      153,140    152,660
OK 2/   :    275      285    20.0      24.0      24.0        5,500      6,840
PA 2/   :    315      285    30.0      44.0      44.0        9,450     12,540
SC      :    530      540    24.0      26.0      26.0       12,720     14,040
SD      :  2,500    2,650    30.0      32.0      34.0       75,000     90,100
TN      :  1,080    1,150    32.0      32.0      35.0       34,560     40,250
TX      :    240      270    25.0      29.0      29.0        6,000      7,830
VA      :    470      480    24.0      32.0      33.0       11,280     15,840
WI      :    800      870    43.0      39.0      37.0       34,400     32,190
        :
US      : 61,624   63,440    35.3      35.8      37.0    2,176,814  2,346,220
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Revised.
2/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
          Soybeans:  Area Planted by State and United States, 1995
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :                              ::        :
 State :       Area Planted           ::  State :        Area Planted
       :                              ::        :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       :       1,000 Acres            ::        :        1,000 Acres
       :                              ::        :
AL     :            240               :: MO     :           4,600
AR     :          3,450               :: NE     :           3,100
DE     :            235               :: NJ     :             140
FL     :             30               :: NC     :           1,150
GA     :            320               :: ND     :             660
IL     :          9,750               :: OH     :           4,050
IN     :          5,000               :: OK     :             290
IA     :          9,300               :: PA     :             320
KS     :          2,100               :: SC     :             550
KY     :          1,170               :: SD     :           2,550
LA     :          1,070               :: TN     :           1,130
MD     :            550               :: TX     :             250
MI     :          1,500               :: VA     :             490
MN     :          5,900               :: WI     :             830
MS     :          1,850               ::        :
       :                              :: US     :          62,575
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunflower:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State,
    and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Varietal:  Area Harvested :      Yield      :            Production
  Type & :---------------------------------------------------------------------
  State  :  1995  :  1996  : 1995 1/ :  1996  :   1994   :  1995 1/ :   1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :   1,000 Acres     --- Pounds ---    -------- 1,000 Pounds --------
         :
Oil      :
  CO     :     62      43      820               69,000     50,840
  KS     :    215     206      970              266,000    208,550
  MN     :    355      95    1,050              487,500    372,750
  NE     :     41      19      960               46,200     39,360
  ND     :  1,210     970    1,250            1,899,500  1,512,500
  SD     :    873     731    1,300            1,388,800  1,134,900
  TX     :     18      20    1,000               22,000     18,000
         :
  Oth    :     55      46    1,119               44,655     61,545
   Sts   :
         :
  US 2/  :  2,829   2,130    1,201            4,223,655  3,398,445
         :
Non-oil  :
  CO     :     48      52    1,090               27,300     52,320
  KS     :     75      54      990               64,800     74,250
  MN     :     78      49    1,060              112,500     82,680
  NE     :     44      28      970               27,000     42,680
  ND     :    190     290    1,230              303,750    233,700
  SD     :     67      39    1,340               38,400     89,780
  TX     :     22      25      820               14,300     18,040
         :
  Oth    :     15      18    1,163               24,480     17,445
   Sts   :
         :
  US 2/  :    539     555    1,133              612,530    610,895
         :
All      :
  CO     :    110      95      938    1,000      96,300    103,160     95,000
  KS     :    290     260      975    1,300     330,800    282,800    338,000
  MN     :    433     144    1,052    1,400     600,000    455,430    201,600
  NE     :     85      47      965    1,150      73,200     82,040     54,050
  ND     :  1,400   1,260    1,247    1,220   2,203,250  1,746,200  1,537,200
  SD     :    940     770    1,303    1,320   1,427,200  1,224,680  1,016,400
  TX     :     40      45      901    1,000      36,300     36,040     45,000
         :
  Oth    :
   Sts   :    70       64    1,128    1,270      69,135     78,990     81,280
         :
  US 2/  :  3,368   2,685    1,190    1,255   4,836,185  4,009,340  3,368,530
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Revised.
2/  Estimates include all States except AK and HI.
                  Sunflower:  Area Planted, by Varietal Type,
                         State, and United States, 1995
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                         Varietal Type
     State     :----------------------------------------------------------------
               :         Oil        :       Non-Oil       :         All
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                          1,000 Acres
               :
CO             :           65                  50                   115
KS             :          220                  80                   300
MN             :          360                  80                   440
NE             :           44                  46                    90
ND             :        1,250                 200                 1,450
SD             :          890                  70                   960
TX             :           21                  23                    44
               :
Oth Sts        :           61                  18                    79
               :
US             :        2,911                 567                 3,478
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------






           Peanuts:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
             and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested :            Yield            :     Production 1/
        :----------------------------------------------------------------------
  State :        :        :         :        1996       :          :
        :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :-------------------:   1995   :    1996
        :        :        :         :  Sep 1  :  Oct 1  :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :-- 1,000 Acres --    -------- Pounds --------    --- 1,000 Pounds ---
        :
AL      :   212.0   209.0    2,280     2,100     2,300     483,360     480,700
FL      :    81.0    78.0    2,390     2,400     2,400     193,590     187,200
GA 2/   :   592.0   533.0    2,390     2,550     2,550   1,414,880   1,359,150
NM      :    20.0    19.5    2,150     2,400     2,450      43,000      47,775
NC      :   144.0   126.0    2,410     2,700     2,600     347,040     327,600
OK      :    98.0    84.0    2,060     2,400     2,500     201,880     210,000
SC      :    11.0    10.0    2,800     2,600     2,600      30,800      26,000
TX      :   270.0   275.0    2,000     2,000     2,050     540,000     563,750
VA      :    89.0    76.0    2,325     2,800     2,800     206,925     212,800
        :
US 2/   : 1,517.0 1,410.5    2,282     2,384     2,421   3,461,475   3,414,975
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.
2/  1996 planted area in Georgia was reduced 5,000 acres to 533,000.  The
    planted area in the United States is 1,428,000 acres.
         Cotton:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,
             and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :   Area Harvested  :           Yield           :    Production 1/
          :--------------------------------------------------------------------
   State  :         :         :        :       1996       :         :
          :   1995  :   1996  :  1995  :------------------:   1995  :   1996
          :         :         :        :  Sep 1 :  Oct 1  :         :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          : -- 1,000 Acres --   --- Pounds ---    ------ 1,000 Bales 2/ ------
          :
Upland    :
  AL      :    578.0    556.0     409      639       699      492.0      810.0
  AZ      :    364.0    324.0   1,046    1,200     1,170      793.0      790.0
  AR      :  1,110.0    990.0     635      742       742    1,468.0    1,530.0
  CA      :  1,165.0    995.0     953    1,134     1,206    2,312.0    2,500.0
  FL 3/   :    109.0    100.0     472      672       672      107.2      140.0
  GA      :  1,490.0  1,375.0     625      698       698    1,941.0    2,000.0
  KS 3/   :      2.6      1.7     185      311       311        1.0        1.1
  LA      :  1,075.0    940.0     614      705       684    1,375.0    1,340.0
  MS      :  1,420.0  1,030.0     622      764       778    1,841.0    1,670.0
  MO      :    453.0    405.0     544      699       723      513.0      610.0
  NM      :     56.0     54.0     609      667       720       71.0       81.0
  NC      :    800.0    720.0     479      679       633      798.0      950.0
  OK      :    315.0    240.0     187      340       300      123.0      150.0
  SC      :    342.0    265.0     528      743       725      376.0      400.0
  TN      :    660.0    520.0     527      600       600      724.0      650.0
  TX      :  5,750.0  4,100.0     372      427       451    4,460.0    3,850.0
  VA 3/   :    106.0    102.0     620      706       706      137.0      150.0
          :
  US      : 15,795.6 12,717.7     533      653       665   17,532.2   17,622.1
          :
Amer-Pima :
  AZ      :     48.1     39.9     720      818       818       72.2       68.0
  CA      :    115.0    165.0     937    1,207     1,193      224.5      410.0
  NM      :     15.0     17.0     605      678       734       18.9       26.0
  TX      :     33.0     40.0     756      804       756       52.0       63.0
          :
  US      :    211.1    261.9     836    1,052     1,039      367.6      567.0
          :
All       :
  AL      :    578.0    556.0     409      639       699      492.0      810.0
  AZ      :    412.1    363.9   1,008    1,158     1,132      865.2      858.0
  AR      :  1,110.0    990.0     635      742       742    1,468.0    1,530.0
  CA      :  1,280.0  1,160.0     951    1,144     1,204    2,536.5    2,910.0
  FL 3/   :    109.0    100.0     472      672       672      107.2      140.0
  GA      :  1,490.0  1,375.0     625      698       698    1,941.0    2,000.0
  KS 3/   :      2.6      1.7     185      311       311        1.0        1.1
  LA      :  1,075.0    940.0     614      705       684    1,375.0    1,340.0
  MS      :  1,420.0  1,030.0     622      764       778    1,841.0    1,670.0
  MO      :    453.0    405.0     544      699       723      513.0      610.0
  NM      :     71.0     71.0     608      669       723       89.9      107.0
  NC      :    800.0    720.0     479      679       633      798.0      950.0
  OK      :    315.0    240.0     187      340       300      123.0      150.0
  SC      :    342.0    265.0     528      743       725      376.0      400.0
  TN      :    660.0    520.0     527      600       600      724.0      650.0
  TX      :  5,783.0  4,140.0     375      431       454    4,512.0    3,913.0
  VA 3/   :    106.0    102.0     620      706       706      137.0      150.0
          :
  US      : 16,006.7 12,979.6     537      661       673   17,899.8   18,189.1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/  480-lb net weight bales.
3/  Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.
           Cottonseed:  Production, United States, 1994-95
                   and Forecasted October 1, 1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :                          Production
  State  :--------------------------------------------------------------------
         :        1994         :         1995         :          1996  1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :                            1,000 Tons
         :
 US      :      7,603.9                6,848.7                  6,965.4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.




            All Hay:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
           and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested :       Yield       :           Production
  State :----------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :   1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :   1,000 Acres       --- Tons ---        ------ 1,000 Tons -------
        :
AL      :    720      730    2.10      2.30       1,971      1,512      1,679
AZ      :    195      195    7.14      7.59       1,326      1,392      1,480
AR      :  1,050    1,150    1.92      2.31       2,505      2,011      2,651
CA      :  1,600    1,640    5.63      5.77       8,210      9,000      9,468
CO      :  1,360    1,380    2.93      2.91       4,060      3,978      4,014
CT      :     73       87    1.95      2.02         191        142        176
DE      :     11       15    2.82      4.27          61         31         64
FL      :    230      250    2.50      2.70         744        575        675
GA      :    600      600    2.50      2.80       1,950      1,500      1,680
ID      :  1,400    1,280    3.63      3.48       4,438      5,080      4,448
IL      :  1,050    1,000    3.43      3.11       3,175      3,598      3,105
IN      :    720      675    3.33      3.00       2,110      2,400      2,025
IA      :  1,700    1,550    3.33      3.41       5,775      5,665      5,280
KS      :  2,600    2,700    2.52      2.66       5,925      6,555      7,170
KY      :  2,400    2,350    2.41      2.35       5,400      5,790      5,530
LA      :    310      310    2.40      2.70         812        744        837
ME      :    225      198    1.86      1.51         405        419        298
MD      :    205      220    2.69      3.55         668        552        780
MA      :    100      102    1.92      2.09         213        192        213
MI      :  1,350    1,300    3.72      3.22       4,865      5,025      4,190
MN      :  2,275    2,225    3.05      2.73       7,530      6,943      6,073
MS      :    725      800    2.30      2.50       1,875      1,668      2,000
MO      :  3,300    3,680    2.07      1.94       6,770      6,818      7,128
MT      :  2,400    2,550    2.23      2.00       4,540      5,360      5,100
NE      :  3,150    3,300    2.21      2.28       7,415      6,975      7,510
NV      :    490      490    3.07      3.22       1,400      1,505      1,578
NH      :     68       74    2.01      2.04         163        137        151
NJ      :    130      120    2.19      2.38         273        285        285
NM      :    350      330    4.33      4.47       1,447      1,515      1,476
NY      :  1,600    1,550    2.16      2.31       3,961      3,448      3,583
NC      :    530      540    2.43      2.26       1,187      1,286      1,223
ND      :  2,700    2,400    1.89      1.53       4,510      5,095      3,660
OH      :  1,250    1,150    3.23      3.00       4,384      4,035      3,455
OK      :  2,200    2,500    1.90      1.94       4,198      4,174      4,840
OR      :  1,100    1,070    3.00      3.09       2,840      3,300      3,305
PA      :  1,910    1,900    2.31      2.41       4,528      4,409      4,570
RI      :      7        8    2.00      2.00          18         14         16
SC      :    300      280    2.40      2.30         650        720        644
SD      :  4,300    4,500    2.10      1.93       7,330      9,050      8,700
TN      :  1,750    1,795    2.24      2.03       3,795      3,920      3,635
TX      :  3,760    4,150    2.16      2.08       8,455      8,136      8,615
UT      :    695      705    3.80      3.72       2,525      2,644      2,625
VT      :    300      330    1.86      1.99         648        559        656
VA      :  1,250    1,250    2.06      2.41       2,342      2,571      3,018
WA      :    760      780    4.31      3.91       2,785      3,278      3,046
WV      :    560      570    1.89      1.99       1,110      1,056      1,135
WI      :  2,700    2,600    2.53      2.22       6,550      6,820      5,780
WY      :  1,320    1,220    2.20      1.86       2,027      2,904      2,270
        :
US      : 59,779   60,599    2.59      2.51     150,060    154,786    151,840
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production
       by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested :       Yield       :           Production
  State :----------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :   1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :-- 1,000 Acres --    --- Tons ---         ------ 1,000 Tons -------
        :
AZ      :    165      175    7.80      8.00       1,200      1,287      1,400
AR  1/  :     25       25    2.50      2.50          85         63         63
CA      :  1,000    1,060    6.90      7.40       6,650      6,900      7,844
CO      :    850      860    3.60      3.70       3,276      3,060      3,182
CT  1/  :     15       17    2.10      2.10          70         32         36
DE  1/  :      4        7    3.75      4.80          26         15         34
ID      :  1,100    1,000    4.10      4.00       3,978      4,510      4,000
IL      :    620      670    4.00      3.60       2,275      2,480      2,412
IN      :    320      375    4.00      3.40       1,330      1,280      1,275
IA      :  1,350    1,200    3.60      3.70       4,625      4,860      4,440
KS      :    850      850    3.80      4.30       3,120      3,230      3,655
KY      :    300      300    3.90      3.40       1,110      1,170      1,020
ME  1/  :     15       13    2.00      1.50          35         30         20
MD  1/  :     55       60    4.30      5.00         276        237        300
MA  1/  :     20       17    2.40      2.50          65         48         43
MI      :  1,050    1,000    4.10      3.50       4,095      4,305      3,500
MN      :  1,425    1,475    3.50      3.10       5,920      4,988      4,573
MO      :    450      480    2.80      2.85       1,260      1,260      1,368
MT      :  1,600    1,700    2.50      2.20       3,565      4,000      3,740
NE      :  1,350    1,400    3.50      3.60       5,040      4,725      5,040
NV      :    240      240    4.50      4.70       1,032      1,080      1,128
NH  1/  :     13       14    2.10      2.20          40         27         31
NJ  1/  :     30       30    3.50      3.50         111        105        105
NM      :    250      255    5.30      5.20       1,300      1,325      1,326
NY      :    650      690    2.60      2.70       1,829      1,690      1,863
NC  1/  :     20       15    3.10      2.80          60         62         42
ND      :  1,400    1,300    2.20      1.80       2,755      3,080      2,340
OH      :    700      700    3.80      3.20       2,772      2,660      2,240
OK      :    380      400    3.80      3.70       1,190      1,444      1,480
OR      :    450      460    4.30      4.40       1,640      1,935      2,024
PA      :    780      770    2.90      3.00       2,400      2,262      2,310
RI  1/  :      2        3    2.00      2.00           5          4          6
SD      :  2,600    2,500    2.50      2.20       5,250      6,500      5,500
TN  1/  :     50       45    3.60      3.00         165        180        135
TX      :    160      150    3.60      4.10         405        576        615
UT      :    545      545    4.30      4.20       2,205      2,344      2,289
VT  1/  :     95       95    2.10      2.20         220        200        209
VA  1/  :    140      130    3.30      3.40         434        462        442
WA      :    500      470    5.10      4.70       2,209      2,550      2,209
WV  1/  :     40       40    3.00      3.20         160        120        128
WI      :  2,300    2,100    2.60      2.30       5,750      5,980      4,830
WY      :    660      620    2.90      2.50       1,403      1,914      1,550
        :
US      : 24,569   24,256    3.46      3.33      81,336     84,980     80,747
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
         All Other Hay:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
           and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  Area Harvested :       Yield       :           Production
  State :----------------------------------------------------------------------
        :  1995  :  1996  :   1995  :   1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :-- 1,000 Acres --    --- Tons ---         ------ 1,000 Tons -------
        :
AL  1/  :    720      730    2.10      2.30       1,971      1,512      1,679
AZ  2/  :     30       20    3.50      4.00         126        105         80
AR      :  1,025    1,125    1.90      2.30       2,420      1,948      2,588
CA      :    600      580    3.50      2.80       1,560      2,100      1,624
CO      :    510      520    1.80      1.60         784        918        832
CT  2/  :     58       70    1.90      2.00         121        110        140
DE  2/  :      7        8    2.30      3.80          35         16         30
FL  1/  :    230      250    2.50      2.70         744        575        675
GA  1/  :    600      600    2.50      2.80       1,950      1,500      1,680
ID      :    300      280    1.90      1.60         460        570        448
IL      :    430      330    2.60      2.10         900      1,118        693
IN      :    400      300    2.80      2.50         780      1,120        750
IA      :    350      350    2.30      2.40       1,150        805        840
KS      :  1,750    1,850    1.90      1.90       2,805      3,325      3,515
KY      :  2,100    2,050    2.20      2.20       4,290      4,620      4,510
LA  1/  :    310      310    2.40      2.70         812        744        837
ME  2/  :    210      185    1.85      1.50         370        389        278
MD  2/  :    150      160    2.10      3.00         392        315        480
MA  2/  :     80       85    1.80      2.00         148        144        170
MI      :    300      300    2.40      2.30         770        720        690
MN      :    850      750    2.30      2.00       1,610      1,955      1,500
MS  1/  :    725      800    2.30      2.50       1,875      1,668      2,000
MO      :  2,850    3,200    1.95      1.80       5,510      5,558      5,760
MT      :    800      850    1.70      1.60         975      1,360      1,360
NE      :  1,800    1,900    1.25      1.30       2,375      2,250      2,470
NV  2/  :    250      250    1.70      1.80         368        425        450
NH  2/  :     55       60    2.00      2.00         123        110        120
NJ  2/  :    100       90    1.80      2.00         162        180        180
NM  2/  :    100       75    1.90      2.00         147        190        150
NY      :    950      860    1.85      2.00       2,132      1,758      1,720
NC      :    510      525    2.40      2.25       1,127      1,224      1,181
ND      :  1,300    1,100    1.55      1.20       1,755      2,015      1,320
OH      :    550      450    2.50      2.70       1,612      1,375      1,215
OK      :  1,820    2,100    1.50      1.60       3,008      2,730      3,360
OR      :    650      610    2.10      2.10       1,200      1,365      1,281
PA      :  1,130    1,130    1.90      2.00       2,128      2,147      2,260
RI  2/  :      5        5    2.00      1.90          13         10         10
SC  1/  :    300      280    2.40      2.30         650        720        644
SD      :  1,700    2,000    1.50      1.60       2,080      2,550      3,200
TN      :  1,700    1,750    2.20      2.00       3,630      3,740      3,500
TX      :  3,600    4,000    2.10      2.00       8,050      7,560      8,000
UT  2/  :    150      160    2.00      2.10         320        300        336
VT  2/  :    205      235    1.75      1.90         428        359        447
VA      :  1,110    1,120    1.90      2.30       1,908      2,109      2,576
WA      :    260      310    2.80      2.70         576        728        837
WV      :    520      530    1.80      1.90         950        936      1,007
WI      :    400      500    2.10      1.90         800        840        950
WY      :    660      600    1.50      1.20         624        990        720
        :
US      : 35,210   36,343    1.98      1.96      68,724     69,806     71,093
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Includes alfalfa hay.
2/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
Dry Edible Beans:  Area Harvested, Yield, and  Production by State
   and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :   Area Harvested  :      Yield      :          Production
State      :------------------------------------------------------------------
           :   1995  :   1996  :  1995  :  1996  :   1994  :   1995  :   1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :  - 1,000 Acres -      --- Pounds --  ------- 1,000 Cwt ------
           :
  CA       :   137.0     130.0   2,160    2,100      2,771     2,960     2,730
  CO       :   165.0     135.0   1,550    1,600      3,140     2,558     2,160
  ID       :   108.0      93.0   2,000    2,100      2,691     2,160     1,953
  KS       :    31.0      26.0   1,550    1,500        560       481       390
  MI       :   385.0     310.0   1,800    1,400      4,680     6,930     4,340
  MN       :   150.0     120.0   1,370    1,500      2,079     2,055     1,800
  MT  2/   :    10.8      10.3   1,900    2,200        220       205       227
  NE       :   205.0     190.0   1,750    1,850      3,572     3,588     3,515
  NM  2/   :    12.5      12.0   2,010    2,000        283       251       240
  NY       :    33.0      29.5   1,630    1,600        585       538       472
  ND       :   540.0     550.0   1,330    1,300      6,110     7,182     7,150
  OR  2/   :    10.0      10.1   2,080    1,980        197       208       200
  TX       :    23.0      10.0     980      900        218       225        90
  UT  2/   :     7.0       0.6     460      600         24        32         4
  WA       :    41.0      36.0   2,200    2,250        840       902       810
  WI  2/   :     9.0       8.1   1,300    1,700        237       117       138
  WY       :    32.0      35.0   2,000    2,200        821       640       770
           :
  US       : 1,899.3   1,705.6   1,634    1,582     29,028    31,032    26,989
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Excludes beans grown for garden seed.
2/  Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
      Lentils:  Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production,
              by State and United States, 1994-96 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :           Area Planted             :       Area Harvested
State        :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :           1995    :       1996     :       1995    :      1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :                               1,000 Acres
             :
ID           :           71.0            56.0            70.0            55.0
WA           :           79.0            63.0            75.0            62.0
             :
Oth Sts 2/   :            9.4             9.0             9.4             9.0
             :
US           :          159.4           128.0           154.4           126.0
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :                Yield          :            Production
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :         1995     :    1996    :   1994   :    1995   :    1996
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :       ---- Pounds --------        -------- 1,000 Cwt ---------
             :
ID           :        1,450           800         935       1,015         440
WA           :        1,400         1,100         921       1,050         682
             :
Oth Sts 2/   :          851         1,100                      80          99
             :
US           :        1,389           969       1,856       2,145       1,221
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  1995 revised.
2/  Includes MT and ND; estimates initiated in 1995.


  Dry Edible Peas:  Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production,
            by State and United States, 1994-96 1/ 2/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :           Area Planted             :       Area Harvested
State        :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :           1995    :       1996     :       1995    :      1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :                               1,000 Acres
             :
ID           :           70.0            61.0            68.0            59.0
WA           :          112.0           109.0           111.0           108.0
             :
Oth Sts 3/   :           16.0            20.0            15.0            16.0
             :
US           :          198.0           190.0           194.0           183.0
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :                Yield          :            Production
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :         1995     :    1996    :   1994   :    1995  :     1996
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :       ---- Pounds --------        -------- 1,000 Cwt ---------
             :
ID           :        2,300         1,000         846       1,564         590
WA           :        2,500         1,300       1,409       2,775       1,404
             :
Oth Sts 3/   :        1,800         1,800                     270         288
             :
US           :        2,376         1,247       2,255       4,609       2,282
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas.
2/  1995 revised.
3/  Includes  MT, NV, ND, and OR; estimates initiated in 1995.
         Austrian Winter Peas:  Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production,
                       by State and United States, 1994-96 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :           Area Planted             :       Area Harvested
State        :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :           1995   :        1996     :       1995  :        1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :                               1,000 Acres
             :
ID           :           10.0             8.0             7.0             7.0
OR           :            0.9             0.6             0.7             0.3
             :
US           :           10.9             8.6             7.7             7.3
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :                Yield          :            Production
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :         1995     :    1996    :   1994   :    1995  :     1996
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :       ---- Pounds --------        -------- 1,000 Cwt ---------
             :
ID           :        1,500         1,400          44         105          98
OR           :        2,000         1,670           7          14           5
             :
US           :        1,545         1,411          51         119         103
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 1995 revised.






         Winter Potatoes:  Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production,
                       by State and United States, 1995-96 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :               Area Planted         :       Area Harvested
State        :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :           1995     :    1996       :      1995    :    1996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             :                               1,000 Acres
             :
CA           :            5.0           5.7               5.0          5.7
FL           :            8.3           8.8               6.9          8.8
             :
US           :           13.3          14.5              11.9         14.5
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :                  Yield             :         Production
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :           1995     :    1996       :      1995    :    1996
             :----------------------------------------------------------------
             :           ------ Cwt ----------      -------- 1,000 Cwt -------
             :
CA           :            260           250             1,300        1,425
FL           :            170           210             1,173        1,848
             :
US           :            208           226             2,473        3,273
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  1996 revised.
            Tobacco:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
            and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      :   Area Harvested    :       Yield       :          Production
 State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------
      :   1995   :   1996   :  1995   :  1996   :  1994   :   1995   :   1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      : --- 1,000 Acres --     ---- Pounds ---   -------- 1,000 Pounds --------
      :
CT    :   1,990      2,100     1,771     1,666       2,682     3,524      3,498
FL    :   7,200      7,300     2,455     2,597      16,575    17,676     18,960
GA    :  42,000     46,000     2,000     2,300      80,660    84,000    105,800
IN    :   6,700      7,600     2,030     2,000      15,265    13,601     15,200
KY    : 166,200    205,900     1,977     2,179     453,687   328,581    448,630
MD    :   8,500      8,000     1,350     1,500      12,750    11,475     12,000
MA    :     500        710     1,784     1,594         792       892      1,132
MO    :   2,700      2,900     2,025     2,200       8,015     5,468      6,380
NC    : 261,100    283,300     1,856     1,929     599,853   484,599    546,500
OH    :   7,700      8,300     1,950     1,750      18,360    15,015     14,525
PA    :   7,900      7,800     1,985     1,955      18,360    15,685     15,247
SC    :  50,000     50,000     2,100     2,300     108,100   105,000    115,000
TN    :  51,690     56,550     1,797     2,074     132,289    92,907    117,309
VA    :  44,170     46,170     1,840     2,090     106,092    81,269     96,489
WV    :   2,000      2,000     1,300     1,850       3,550     2,600      3,700
WI    :   2,760      2,550     2,247     1,871       5,866     6,202      4,770
      :
US    : 663,110    737,180     1,913     2,069   1,582,896 1,268,494  1,525,140
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

         Tobacco:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,
          State, and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :  Area Harvested   :     Yield     :     Production
    Class and Type    :---------------------------------------------------------
                      :  1995   :  1996   : 1995  : 1996  :   1995   :   1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      : ----- Acres -----   --- Pounds --   -- 1,000 Pounds --
                      :
Class 1, Flue-cured   :
 Type 11, Old Belts   :
  NC                  :  68,000    74,000   1,920   2,000   130,560    148,000
  VA                  :  34,000    35,000   1,935   2,100    65,790     73,500
  US                  : 102,000   109,000   1,925   2,032   196,350    221,500
 Type 12, Eastern NC  :
  Belt                :
   NC                 : 151,000   165,000   1,860   1,900   280,860    313,500
 Type 13, NC Border & :
  SC Belt             :
   NC                 :  34,000    36,000   1,845   1,900    62,730     68,400
   SC                 :  50,000    50,000   2,100   2,300   105,000    115,000
   US                 :  84,000    86,000   1,997   2,133   167,730    183,400
 Type 14, GA-FL Belt  :
   FL                 :   7,200     7,300   2,455   2,600    17,676     18,960
   GA                 :  42,000    46,000   2,000   2,300    84,000    105,800
   US                 :  49,200    53,300   2,067   2,341   101,676    124,760
 Total 11-14          : 386,200   413,300   1,933   2,040   746,616    843,160
Class 2, Fire-cured   :
 Type 21, VA Belt     :
   VA                 :   1,100     1,100   1,400   1,700     1,540      1,870
 Type 22, Eastern     :
  District            :
   KY                 :   3,900     3,900   2,370   2,700     9,243     10,530
   TN                 :   7,600     7,500   2,285   2,500    17,366     18,750
   US                 :  11,500    11,400   2,314   2,568    26,609     29,280
 Type 23, Western     :
  District            :
   KY                 :   3,700     3,700   2,600   2,800     9,620     10,360
   TN                 :     580       590   2,450   2,700     1,421      1,593
   US                 :   4,280     4,290   2,580   2,786    11,041     11,953
 Total 21-23          :  16,880    16,790   2,322   2,567    39,190     43,103
Class 3, Air-cured    :
 Class 3A, Light      :
  Air-cured           :
 Type 31, Burley      :
   IN                 :   6,700     7,600   2,030   2,000    13,601     15,200
   KY                 : 155,000   195,000   1,950   2,150   302,250    419,250
   MO                 :   2,700     2,900   2,025   2,200     5,468      6,380
   NC                 :   8,100     8,300   1,290   2,000    10,449     16,600
   OH                 :   7,700     8,300   1,950   1,750    15,015     14,525
   TN                 :  43,000    48,000   1,700   2,000    73,100     96,000
   VA                 :   9,000    10,000   1,540   2,100    13,860     21,000
   WV                 :   2,000     2,000   1,300   1,850     2,600      3,700
   US                 : 234,200   282,100   1,863   2,101   436,343    592,655
 Type 32, Southern MD :
  Belt                :
   MD                 :   8,500     8,000   1,350   1,500    11,475     12,000
   PA                 :   3,400     3,500   1,900   1,850     6,460      6,475
   US                 :  11,900    11,500   1,507   1,607    17,935     18,475
 Total 31-32          : 246,100   293,600   1,846   2,082   454,278    611,130
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                     --continued
     Tobacco:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State,
       and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 (continued)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :  Area Harvested   :     Yield     :     Production
    Class and Type    :---------------------------------------------------------
                      :  1995   :  1996   : 1995  : 1996  :   1995   :   1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      : ----- Acres -----   --- Pounds --  --- 1,000 Pounds ---
                      :
Class 3, Air-cured    :
Class 3B, Dark        :
 Air-cured            :
 Type 35, One Sucker  :
  Belt                :
    KY                :   2,300     2,100   2,060   2,500      4,738      5,250
    TN                :     510       460   2,000   2,100      1,020        966
    US                :   2,810     2,560   2,049   2,428      5,758      6,216
 Type 36, Green River :
  Belt                :
    KY                :   1,300     1,200   2,100   2,700      2,730      3,240
 Type 37, VA Sun-cured:
  Belt                :
    VA                :      70        70   1,125   1,700         79        119
 Total 35-37          :   4,180     3,830   2,050   2,500      8,567      9,575
Class 4, Cigar Filler :
 Type 41, PA Seedleaf :
    PA                :   4,500     4,300   2,050   2,040      9,225      8,772
Class 5, Cigar Binder :
 Class 5A, CT Valley  :
  Binder              :
  Type 51, CT Valley  :
   Broadleaf          :
    CT                :   1,000     1,080   1,980   1,860      1,980      2,009
    MA                :     240       320   1,920   1,800        461        576
    US                :   1,240     1,400   1,969   1,846      2,441      2,585
 Class 5B, WI Binder  :
  Type 54, Southern WI:
    WI                :   1,900     1,800   2,370   1,900      4,503      3,420
  Type 55, Northern WI:
    WI                :     860       750   1,975   1,800      1,699      1,350
  Total 54-55         :   2,760     2,550   2,247   1,871      6,202      4,770
  Total 51-55         :   4,000     3,950   2,161   1,862      8,643      7,355
Class 6, Cigar Wrapper:
 Type 61, CT Valley   :
  Shade-grown         :
   CT                 :     990     1,020   1,560   1,460      1,544      1,489
   MA                 :     260       390   1,655   1,425        431        556
   US                 :   1,250     1,410   1,580   1,450      1,975      2,045
All Cigar Types       :
 Total 41-61          :   9,750     9,660   2,035   1,881     19,843     18,172
                      :
All Tobacco           : 663,110   737,180   1,913   2,069  1,268,494  1,525,140
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Sugarbeets:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
          and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :   Area Harvested    :     Yield     :           Production
  State  :----------------------------------------------------------------------
         :   1995   :   1996   : 1995  : 1996  :   1994   :   1995   :   1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         : --- 1,000 Acres --    --- Tons ---     -------- 1,000 Tons --------
         :
CA       :   115.0       94.0    28.0    28.0      3,948      3,220      2,632
CO       :    41.1       51.7    17.4    21.7        946        715      1,122
ID       :   197.0      184.0    24.0    25.0      5,608      4,728      4,600
MI       :   188.0      130.0    15.8    15.5      3,029      2,970      2,015
MN       :   416.0      440.0    17.7    17.3      8,467      7,363      7,612
MT       :    55.5       57.3    21.5    22.0      1,307      1,193      1,261
NE       :    72.3       51.0    16.4    18.1      1,504      1,186        923
NM       :                 .9            26.7                               24
ND       :   204.2      222.0    19.2    17.3      4,272      3,929      3,831
OH       :    15.3        4.2    15.0    16.9        264        230         71
OR       :    17.8       16.3    22.9    25.5        456        408        416
TX       :    19.3       13.1    18.2    22.0        497        351        288
WA       :               13.0            37.2                              483
WY       :    61.5       56.5    20.3    20.5      1,103      1,249      1,158
         :
Oth      :
 Sts 2/  :    14.1               34.3                452        484
         :
US       : 1,417.1    1,334.0    19.8    19.8     31,853     28,026     26,436
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted
    beets in CA.
2/  Includes NM and WA prior to 1996.



      Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed:  Area Harvested, Yield, and Production
       by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      :   Area Harvested    :     Yield 1/      :         Production 1/
 State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------
      :   1995   :   1996   :  1995   :  1996   :  1994   :   1995   :   1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      :     1,000 Acres        ---- Tons ----     -------- 1,000 Tons --------
      :
FL    :  437.0      440.0      34.6      34.0     14,937     15,122     14,960
HI    :   53.0       43.0      76.8      78.0      5,364      4,070      3,354
LA    :  400.0      350.0      25.6      23.0      9,272     10,240      8,050
TX    :   42.3       39.0      32.2      26.0      1,356      1,364      1,014
      :
US    :  932.3      872.0      33.0      31.4     30,929     30,796     27,378
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Net tons.

          Grapes:  Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,
                     1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             :                 Total Production
            State            :--------------------------------------------------
                             :      1994      :      1995      :      1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             :                       Tons
                             :
Grapes (Table Type) 1/       :
  CA                         :     602,000          718,000          720,000
Grapes (Wine Type) 1/        :
  CA                         :   2,265,000        2,275,000        2,300,000
Grapes (Raisin Type) 1/ 2/   :
  CA                         :   2,389,000        2,255,000        2,400,000
All Grapes                   :
  AZ 1/                      :      26,000           26,000           25,000
  AR 1/                      :       6,000            8,000            9,000
  CA 1/                      :   5,256,000        5,248,000        5,420,000
  GA 1/                      :       3,200            3,200            3,500
  MI                         :      65,000           70,000           65,000
  MO 1/                      :       2,600            2,300            1,800
  NY                         :     190,000          165,000          195,000
  NC 1/                      :       1,500            1,300            1,200
  OH 1/                      :       7,000            9,200            7,900
  OR 1/                      :      10,800           14,000           15,000
  PA                         :      80,000           63,000           70,000
  SC 1/                      :         500              300              600
  WA                         :     225,000          326,000          150,000
                             :
  US                         :   5,873,600        5,936,300        5,964,000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried from earlier forecast.
2/  Fresh basis.

               Citrus Fruits:  Utilized Production by Crop, State,
      and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted 1997 on October 1, 1996 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :     Utilized Production     :     Utilized Production
                    :            Boxes            :       Ton Equivalent
   Crop and State   :-----------------------------------------------------------
                    : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1996-97 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1996-97
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ -----   ------- 1,000 Tons -------
Oranges             :
  Early Mid &       :
   Navel 3/         :
    AZ              :     400       700       650       15        27        24
    CA 4/           :  35,000    38,000    37,000    1,313     1,426     1,388
    FL              : 119,700   121,200   130,000    5,387     5,454     5,850
    TX              :     950       830     1,300       40        35        55
    US              : 156,050   160,730   168,950    6,755     6,942     7,317
  Valencia          :
    AZ              :     650       950       850       24        36        32
    CA              :  21,000    28,000    26,000      788     1,051       975
    FL              :  85,800    82,000    90,000    3,861     3,690     4,050
    TX              :     105       110       150        4         4         6
    US              : 107,555   111,060   117,000    4,677     4,781     5,063
  All               :
    AZ              :   1,050     1,650     1,500       39        63        56
    CA              :  56,000    66,000    63,000    2,101     2,477     2,363
    FL              : 205,500   203,200   220,000    9,248     9,144     9,900
    TX              :   1,055       940     1,450       44        39        61
    US              : 263,605   271,790   285,950   11,432    11,723    12,380
Temples             :
  FL                :   2,550     2,150     2,500      114        97       113
Grapefruit          :
  White Seedless    :
    FL              :  25,700    23,200    26,500    1,092       986     1,126
  Colored Seedless  :
    FL              :  28,700    28,100    31,500    1,220     1,194     1,339
  Other             :
    FL              :   1,300     1,050     1,000       55        45        43
  All               :
    AZ              :   1,400     1,200     1,100       47        40        37
    CA 5/           :
      Desert        :   3,300                          111
      Other Areas   :   6,000                          201
      Total         :   9,300     8,100     8,000      312       271       268
    FL              :  55,700    52,350    59,000    2,367     2,225     2,508
    TX              :   4,650     4,550     5,700      186       182       228
    US              :  71,050    66,200    73,800    2,912     2,718     3,041
Tangerines          :
  AZ                :     650     1,000       850       25        38        32
  CA                :   2,500     2,600     2,600       94        97        98
  FL                :   3,550     4,500     6,000      168       213       285
  US                :   6,700     8,100     9,450      287       348       415
Lemons              :
  AZ                :   3,600     5,100     4,700      137       194       179
  CA                :  20,000    21,000    22,000      760       798       836
  US                :  23,600    26,100    26,700      897       992     1,015
Tangelos            :
  FL                :   3,150     2,450     3,800      142       110       171
K-Early Citrus      :
  FL                :     120       160       200        5         7         9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             Citrus Fruit Footnotes

1/  The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
    year harvest is completed.

2/  Net lbs. per box:  oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ  & CA-67,
    FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90;
    tangerines-CA & AZ-75, FL-95.

3/  Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA.  Early and mid-season
    varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

4/  California Navel estimate carried forward from September 1, 1996.

5/  California Desert and Other Area Grapefruit estimates combined to All
    Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96.

      Apples, Commercial:  Total Production by State and United States,
                      1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 1/
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                    Total Production
   State        :--------------------------------------------------------------
                :        1994        :        1995        :        1996
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                         Million Pounds
                :
AZ 2/           :         64.0                 11.0               100.0
AR 2/           :          8.0                 10.0                 7.0
CA 2/           :      1,050.0                850.0               950.0
CO 2/           :         85.0                 55.0                30.0
CT 2/           :         25.0                 20.5                22.0
DE 2/           :         20.0                 11.0                20.0
GA 2/           :         26.0                 30.0                22.0
ID 2/           :        165.0                 75.0               170.0
IL 2/           :         47.0                 80.0                70.0
IN 2/           :         50.0                 75.0                48.0
IA 2/           :         12.0                 10.0                 8.0
KS 2/           :          5.0                  6.5                 4.0
KY 2/           :          7.0                 17.0                14.0
ME 2/           :         54.0                 65.0                58.0
MD 2/           :         35.0                 35.0                30.0
MA 2/           :         62.5                 65.0                62.0
MI              :      1,020.0              1,220.0               725.0
MN 2/           :         23.2                 22.0                20.0
MO 2/           :         33.0                 38.0                34.0
NH 2/           :         41.0                 44.0                41.0
NJ 2/           :         70.0                 75.0                55.0
NM 3/           :          8.0                  3.0
NY              :      1,100.0              1,110.0             1,050.0
NC              :        250.0                270.0               180.0
OH 2/           :         90.0                120.0                90.0
OR 2/           :        200.0                140.0               185.0
PA              :        400.0                500.0               400.0
RI 2/           :          4.8                  4.5                 4.5
SC 2/           :         60.0                 60.0                40.0
TN 2/           :         10.0                 16.0                11.0
UT 2/           :         48.0                 20.0                50.0
VT 2/           :         42.0                 45.0                44.0
VA              :        305.0                400.0               300.0
WA              :      5,850.0              5,000.0             5,600.0
WV              :        150.0                175.0               115.0
WI 2/           :         80.0                 57.5                49.0
                :
US              :     11,500.5             10,736.0            10,608.5
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees.
2/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
3/  Forecast discontinued.
         Pecans:  Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
                     1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          :                 Utilized Production
      Crop and State      :-----------------------------------------------------
                          :      1994       :      1995       :      1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          :                    1,000 Pounds
Improved Varieties 1/     :
  AL                      :       2,000             7,000            10,000
  AZ 2/                   :                                          18,000
  AR 3/                   :         600               900               900
  CA 3/                   :       1,500             2,900             2,100
  FL 3/                   :         400               600             1,500
  GA                      :      50,000            62,000            85,000
  LA                      :       1,500             2,000             3,000
  MS 3/                   :                         1,200             1,400
  NM                      :      24,000            45,000            30,000
  NC 3/                   :       2,200             1,800             2,000
  OK                      :       1,300             2,500             1,600
  SC 3/                   :       5,400             2,400             4,000
  TX                      :      30,000            47,000            35,000
  US                      :     118,900           175,300           194,500
Native & Seedling         :
  AL                      :       2,000             3,000             5,000
  AR 3/                   :         900               700               500
  FL 3/                   :       1,500               500             1,000
  GA                      :      15,000            13,000            15,000
  KS 3/                   :       3,600               500               400
  LA                      :       9,500            11,000            15,000
  MS 3/                   :                         1,000             1,100
  NC 3/                   :       2,800             1,500               800
  OK                      :      10,700            16,500             6,400
  SC 3/                   :       3,600             1,100             1,000
  TX                      :      10,000            28,000            10,000
  US                      :      59,600            76,800            56,200
All Pecans                :
  AL                      :       4,000            10,000            15,000
  AZ 2/                   :                                          18,000
  AR 3/                   :       1,500             1,600             1,400
  CA 3/                   :       1,500             2,900             2,100
  FL 3/                   :       1,900             1,100             2,500
  GA                      :      65,000            75,000           100,000
  KS 3/                   :       3,600               500               400
  LA                      :      11,000            13,000            18,000
  MS 3/                   :                         2,200             2,500
  NM                      :      24,000            45,000            30,000
  NC 3/                   :       5,000             3,300             2,800
  OK                      :      12,000            19,000             8,000
  SC 3/                   :       9,000             3,500             5,000
  TX                      :      40,000            75,000            45,000
                          :
  Oth Sts 4/              :      20,500            15,900
                          :
  US                      :     199,000           268,000           250,700
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.
2/  Estimates published separately beginning in 1996.
3/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
4/  AZ, MS, MO, and TN in 1994.  AZ, MO, and TN in 1995.  No breakdown between
    varieties available.  Forecasts discontinued in 1996 for MO and TN.
           Hazelnuts:  Utilized Production by State and United States,
                     1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                    Utilized Production
        State       :-----------------------------------------------------------
                    :       1994        :       1995        :       1996
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                   Tons (In-shell Basis)
                    :
OR                  :      21,000              38,800              19,900
WA 1/               :         100                 200                 100
                    :
US                  :      21,100              39,000              20,000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.






          Papayas:  Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1995-96
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :                   Area                 :     Fresh Production
           :------------------------------------------------------------------
   Month   :    Total in Crop    :     Harvested    :            :
           :----------------------------------------:    1995    :    1996
           :   1995   :   1996   :   1995  :  1996  :            :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :   --------------- Acres --------------      -- 1,000 Pounds --
           :
Aug        :   3,770      3,835      2,335    2,805      3,505        2,940
Sep        :   3,750      3,960      2,330    3,165      2,670        2,740
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Corn:   Ears per Acre

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting corn objective yield
surveys in 7 States during 1996.  Randomly selected plots in corn for grain
fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts
and measurements.  Data in this table are rounded actual counts from this survey
and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but are
intended to show trends in corn production practices.




                  Corn for Grain:   Number of Ears per Acre
                      Selected States, 1992-96 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State    :            :            :            :            :
       and     :    1992    :    1993    :    1994    :    1995    :    1996
      Month    :            :            :            :            :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                           Number of Ears
               :
IL      Oct    :     23,000       22,600       22,650       22,900       23,700
        Nov    :     23,000       22,600       22,600       22,850
               :
IN      Oct    :     22,900       22,400       22,150       23,000       22,750
        Nov    :     22,700       22,200       22,150       22,950
               :
IA      Oct    :     24,000       22,700       24,050       24,050       24,350
        Nov    :     24,000       22,500       24,000       24,000
               :
MI 2/   Oct    :     25,800       22,500       22,850       22,650
        Nov    :     24,600       22,300       22,250       22,500
               :
MN      Oct    :     27,100       23,700       26,950       25,750       26,400
        Nov    :     27,000       24,900       26,950       25,700
               :
MO 2/   Oct    :     19,400       18,500       19,300       19,600
        Nov    :     19,400       18,500       19,250       19,450
               :
NE      Oct    :     22,200       21,300       21,200       21,800       22,600
        Nov    :     22,100       21,100       21,300       21,700
               :
OH      Oct    :     23,400       21,700       22,400       22,650       22,300
        Nov    :     23,200       21,700       22,500       22,500
               :
SD 2/   Oct    :     20,400       18,400       21,300       20,400
        Nov    :     20,700       18,000       21,300       20,300
               :
WI      Oct    :     23,800       22,600       24,600       23,600       24,250
        Nov    :     23,300       23,100       24,650       23,250
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Based on ear counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.
2/  No longer included in the objective yield program beginning with 1996.

                           Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55
degrees fahrenheit.  It is not generally indicative of the long term (months,
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.




                          Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer):  Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).
September Weather Summary:  Atlantic Hurricane Fran and Eastern Pacific
                            Hurricane Fausto highlighted a wet pattern across
the South and East.  Days before Fran made landfall in North Carolina,
Hurricane Edouard brushed coastal New England with high winds and heavy rain.
Just after Fran hit, Hurricane Hortense dumped copious rainfall on Puerto Rico,
but curved away from the U.S. mainland.  Meanwhile, a series of cold fronts
crossed the interior Northwest, reducing the wildfire threat and the severity of
the 4-month drought.  The fronts also sparked heavy rain in the northern and
central Plains.  In parts of the Southwest, however, drought durations reached
1 year despite the arrival of below-normal temperatures.  The only significant
dry pocket east of the Rockies included the upper Midwest, where many totals
were less than 50 percent of normal.  In contrast, monthly rainfall topped
200 percent of normal along Hurricane Fran's path from North Carolina to western
New York.  Major flooding--rival to that observed in January 1996--unfolded
along many Middle Atlantic rivers in Fran's wake.

A split jet-stream pattern left much of the Nation cooler than normal, but
protected the Midwest from an early freeze.  The southern branch of the jet
stream cut across the United States, confining persistent heat to southern parts
of Texas and Florida.  The northern branch of the split became configured in an
"Omega block"--named for its similarity in appearance to the Greek letter--that
arched northward far into central Canada.  As a result, significant cold
outbreaks were diverted away from the Midwest.  Toward month's end, a surge of
Western Pacific storminess--including energy associated with former Typhoon Tom-
demolished the block and allowed for a more normal delivery of autumn airmasses
into the United States.

Raleigh-Durham (RDU), NC (16.64 inches) and Cleveland, OH (11.05 inches) posted
September-record rainfalls, boosted by 24-hour record totals associated with
Hurricane Fran's remnants.  In addition to a 79 mph wind gust, RDU received
8.80 inches on September 5-6; Cleveland recorded 5.22 inches on September 6-7.
RDU's September total was a record for any month, previously set in August 1908
(13.63 inches).  Hurricane Fran struck the North Carolina coast south of
Wilmington on the evening of September 5, only 55 days after and a few miles
west of Hurricane Bertha.  Fran's 115 mph sustained winds and 12 to 13 foot
storm surge exacted a severe toll on beaches left exposed by Bertha's erosion.
Farther north, Fran's rain fell on soils already saturated by early-month rains
and in river basins left vulnerable to flooding by an 11-month wet spell.
Lynchburg, VA measured a September-record 12.54 inches, 91 percent of which fell
by the 16th.

Although Hurricane Fausto's circulation dissipated over rugged north-central
Mexico shortly after a September 13 landfall, its moisture became absorbed into
a disturbance crossing the Southwest.  By the time the system reached the
Northeast on September 17-18, it was capable of producing the heaviest 24-hour
rainfall (4.71 inches) in 12 years--in addition to wind gusts of 53 mph--at
Massachusetts' Blue Hill Observatory.  Several days earlier, on September 9-10,
Hurricane Hortense crossed southwestern Puerto Rico.  Island totals reached
23 inches, causing extensive flooding.  Boosted by Hortense's rains, San Juan's
monthly total reached a September-record 15.15 inches.

Near-record to record September rainfall soaked the Plains from South Dakota to
Kansas, and a band from the Ozark Plateau to the lower Ohio Valley.  In South
Dakota, Aberdeen's total of 5.32 inches broke a September record that had stood
since 1988.  In Kansas, Dodge City's September total of 5.08 inches wound up
fourth all-time.  Evansville, IN noted their second wettest, sixth coolest
September on record.  During the second half of the month, 83 percent of
Evansville's 8.57-inch total fell, while the mercury climbed to 80 degrees F
only once--on the 22nd.  In Arizona, Tucson's monthly average temperature was
2.7 degrees F below normal, marking their first cooler-than-normal month since
June 1995.
Despite general coolness across the U.S., few individual airmasses warranted
attention.  On September 14, frost dotted the upper Midwest, as lows dipped to
daily-record levels in locations such as St. Cloud, MN (31 degrees F), Webster
City, IA (34 degrees F), and Springfield, IL (37 degrees F).  Toward month's
end, cold air drilled southward through the Plains, delivering a freeze as far
south as eastern Colorado and western Nebraska.  Snowfall reached 4.2 inches at
both Colorado Springs, CO and Lander, WY.  On September 27, lows of 8 degrees F
in Laramie, WY, 31 degrees F in McCook, NE, and 35 degrees F in Amarillo, TX
were among about a dozen daily records.  The weather system responsible for the
late-month chill also produced very heavy rain from the Plains to the East
Coast, adding to moisture surpluses in many areas, but boosting soil moisture in
the upper Midwest.  The system also cooled southern Florida, where Miami Beach
logged eight daily-record highs from September 2-22.  In Ft. Myers, FL,
September-record highs of 97 degrees F were attained on September 3 and 7.
Farther west, a strong cold front crossed the Northwest on September 4-5, ending
a heat wave and reducing the wildfire threat.  On September 3, the high soared
to 96 degrees F in Salt Lake City, UT; a day later, Sheridan, WY notched
99 degrees F.  But by September 6, lows fell to daily-record levels in Elko, NV
(23 degrees F) and Pocatello, ID (29 degrees F).

Cold and often stormy weather gripped Alaska during the last 3 weeks of
September.  Monthly temperatures averaged 1 to 3 degrees F below normal and
precipitation was above normal across the south and the northwest.  Fairbanks'
monthly snowfall of 7.1 inches was their seventh highest September total.  On
September 25, 3.35 inches of rain--associated with the remnants of Typhoon Tom
and accompanied by wind gusts to 60 mph--lashed Juneau, their wettest September
day and second-wettest all-time, behind 4.62 inches on October 10, 1946.
Juneau's monthly total reached 10.28 inches, 153 percent of normal.  Meanwhile,
warm, drier-than-normal weather prevailed across Hawaii.


General Crop Comments:  Hurricane Fran arrived in early September and brought
                        heavy rains and high winds that caused flooding and
damaged crops in the mid-Atlantic.  Row crops in the Midwest started the month
stressed, and some fields were yellowed by chronically dry soil conditions.
Rains in early September in the Midwest and Great Lakes region reduced row crop
stress from dry soils and very warm weather.  September started with crop
development about 2 weeks behind normal in the eastern Corn Belt.  Harvest
activity in the Southeast was delayed by scattered showers, but the benefits
from the precipitation outweighed the slowdown in harvest activity.  The month
started with short soil moisture supplies in the middle Mississippi Valley.
Crop development in the central Great Plains was accelerated by above-normal
temperatures, but many fields started the month 1 to 2 weeks behind the average.
In the southern Great Plains, cool weather slowed crop maturity while wet fields
and heavy rains slowed fieldwork.  Dry soil conditions in early September slowed
winter wheat seeding in the West and parts of the Dakotas. Many producers were
waiting for rain and lower temperatures to reduce insect activity.  Some
producers harvested early-planted corn in the Tennessee Valley, but had to dry
grain to acceptable moisture levels prior to sale.

A mid-month cold front brought rain to the Middle Atlantic and Southeastern
States, further delaying harvest and planting activities.  The remnants of
Hurricane Fran brought rain across the eastern Great Lakes and the Northeast,
which brought relief to crops in dry soils.  On September 14, light, scattered
frost occurred in low-lying areas of eastern North Dakota, Minnesota, and
northern Iowa, reminding producers that the end of the growing season was near.
In the Corn Belt, scattered rains provided moisture for soybeans filling pods,
but warmer weather was needed to promote crop development.  Chilly autumn
weather later in the month slowed crop development in the Central States.  Rainy
weather over most of the Nation provided moisture for recently planted small

grains, but stalled row crop harvest activity.  Producers in the northern Great
Plains waited for a killing freeze to help dry down row crops before harvest.
In the mid-Atlantic, surplus topsoil moisture levels prevented many producers
from entering their fields, and storms over the weekend caused some lodging.
Later in the month, heavy rains and thunderstorms in the southern Great Plains
provided good pre-planting moisture for  small grains.  In the Pacific
Northwest, soil crusting required some producers to reseed small grains.  Rain
improved row crop condition near the end of September in the Central States.
Crop conditions declined in the Mid-Atlantic as a result of the excessive
moisture and crop damage from Hurricane Fran.  Cool fall weather in the Midwest
and Southeast slowed crop development.

Wet weather at the close of September slowed row crop harvest activity and small
grain seeding over most of the eastern half of the Nation.  Cold autumn weather
in the central Great Plains and below-freezing temperatures brought an end to
crop development.  In the Midwest, corn had higher-than-normal moisture levels
for the end of September.  Wet fields delayed harvest activity in the Southeast.
Heavy rains in the Dakotas brought fieldwork to a standstill at month's end.
Wheat producers who waited for rain to increase soil moisture before planting in
the southern Great Plains were prevented from planting by wet fields.  Row crop
development ended the month behind the average, but conditions were improved by
the rain.  Rains at month's end lowered cotton condition in the Southern States
due to damage to fields with open bolls.


Corn for Grain:  Acreage to be harvested for grain is forecast at 73.3 million
                 acres, unchanged from last month, but up 13 percent from 1995.
The October 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level ear count per
acre for the seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota,
Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin).  The previous record final ears per acre was set
in 1992.  As of September 29, 56 percent of the acreage in the 17 major States
was mature.  This compares with 82 percent for 1995 and 72 percent for the
five-year average.  Nine percent of the corn had been harvested, compared to
15 percent last year and the five-year average of 17 percent.  Corn rated in the
fair to good condition totaled 73 percent compared to 80 percent for a year ago.
However, corn rated in excellent condition was 18 percent compared to 8 percent
for last year.  As of the beginning of October the majority of the Corn Belt
remained frost free with the exception of parts of Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan,
and South Dakota.

In Iowa, forecasted ear population is at a record high level. Three percent of
the corn was harvested as of September 29, compared to 8 percent in 1995 and the
average of 9 percent.  Corn condition was 76 percent good to excellent.

Forecasted ear count in Illinois is at a record high level.  Six percent of the
corn was harvested, compared to 16 percent a year ago and the five-year average
of 21 percent. The majority (72 percent) of corn was rated in fair to good
condition.

Nebraska forecasted ear population is at a record high level.  As of September
29, three percent of the corn was harvested, ahead of last year (two percent)
but behind the average of 12 percent.  Corn was rated 88 percent good to
excellent condition.

Minnesota and Wisconsin ear populations are above 1995 and the five-year
average.  Three percent of the corn was harvested in Minnesota, lagging behind
last year's ten percent and the five-year average of five percent. In Wisconsin,
two percent of the corn was harvested compared to 11 percent in 1995 and the
average of six percent.  In Minnesota, 84 percent of the corn was rated in fair
to good condition compared to 76 percent for Wisconsin.
Forecasted ear counts in Indiana and Ohio are below 1995 but above the five-year
average.  Corn harvested in Indiana at five percent lagged behind the 20 percent
harvested of last year and the average 17 percent.  In Ohio, four percent was
harvested, compared to nine percent in 1995 and the five-year average of ten
percent.  In Indiana, 80 percent of the corn was rated in fair to good condition
compared to 77 percent for Ohio.


Sorghum for Grain:  Production is forecast at 797 million bushels, 4 percent
                    higher than the September forecast and 73 percent above
1995.  This is the largest production level since 1992.   The U.S. yield is
forecast at 66.4 bushels per acre, up 2.8 bushels from last month and
10.8 bushels above 1995.  Eight of the 12 estimating States raised yield
expectations from last month.  Nebraska and South Dakota showed the largest
increases, both up 5.0 bushels, followed by Kansas, up 4.0 bushels.  If
realized, Kansas will more than double their 1995 production total.

Continued mild weather along with additional moisture have steadily improved the
condition of the crop in most areas.  The percent of the South Dakota crop rated
in good to excellent condition jumped 21 points during September.  As of
September 29, 62 percent of the crop was mature in the 12 major States, 3 points
ahead of normal.  Harvest, however, at 26 percent completion was 7 points behind
the five year average.  Persistent rains in Texas have slowed harvest in many
fields.


Rice:  Production of all rice is forecast at 176 million cwt. for 1996, up
       3 percent from the September 1 estimate and 1 percent above a year ago.
Area for harvest, estimated at 2.91 million acres, is up 1 percent from
September 1, but 6 percent below 1995.

The average yield is forecast at 6,053 pounds per acre, up 96 pounds from last
month and 432 pounds above a year ago. Growers reported the best yields ever,
exceeding the record high yield of 5,964 pounds per acre set in 1994.  Arkansas
and Mississippi expect larger crops than earlier estimated, while crops in
California and Louisiana are slightly smaller than estimated a month ago.

Arkansas rice harvest was over 75 percent complete following a banner year with
favorable weather conditions and minimal disease or insect problems. In
California, high moisture levels prompted some producers to delay harvest
activity, but by month's end rice harvest had gained momentum and was running
slightly ahead of schedule.  Louisiana and Texas growers were busy managing
second crop rice.


Soybeans:  Soybeans intended for harvest, at 63.4 million acres, is unchanged
           from the September forecast.  Average crop maturity lags slightly
behind last year but far below the bumper crop year of 1994.  The percent of
soybeans dropping leaves as of September 29 was 16 points behind last year and
15 points behind the five-year average.  The percent of soybeans dropping leaves
in Ohio was more than 50 points behind last year and the average.  In Indiana,
the percent dropping leaves was 37 points below 1995 and 33 points short of the
average.

By the end of September, harvest was underway in all of the major soybean
producing states.  As of September 29, 4 percent of the soybean crop had been
harvested compared to 12 percent a year ago and a five year average of
15 percent.  Of the 8 objective yield states, harvest is ahead of 1995 in
Arkansas and Missouri.  Indiana, at 3 percent harvested, was 23 points behind
last year's harvest progress and 17 points short of the average.
Illinois lagged 14 points behind last year and 21 points below the five-year
average.  Harvest was 15 points behind the average in Ohio and 17 points short
of 1995. Frost at the beginning of October, primarily in the Northern Corn Belt,
caused some damage to some late planted soybeans but aided in the drying down of
the soybeans in mature fields.  As of September 29, soybeans were rated as
57 percent in good to excellent condition across the major producing states.

Pods per 18 square feet from the October Objective Yield Survey show pods below
the final 1995 pod count in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and Ohio.  In
Indiana, the pod count is the lowest since 1991.  Pod counts from the survey are
the highest on record in Missouri and Arkansas and the second highest on record
in Nebraska.

The forecasted yield in the non objective yield states is up 3.7 bushels from
1995.  The forecasted yield is up 9 bushels in Kansas and Virginia from 1995.
In Louisiana, expected yield is up 8 bushels from last year.  The non-objective
yield states account for about 25 percent of the U.S. soybean production.


Soybean Revisions- 1995:  The 1995 soybean production was revised to
                          2.18 billion bushels, up 25 million bushels from the
previous 1995 estimate.  Planted and harvested acres remain unchanged from a
year ago. The yield resulting from the revised production is 35.3 bushels per
acre, an increase of 0.4 bushel from the previous estimate.

Revisions were made based upon an analysis of end-of-marketing year stock
estimates, disappearance data for exports and crushings, and availability of
additional data in some States. This information was previously included in the
September "Grain Stocks" report released on September 30.


Sunflower:  Production of all sunflower is forecast at 3.37 billion pounds,
            16 percent below the 1995 production and 30 percent below production
in 1994.  Growers expect to harvest 2.69 million acres, down 20 percent from
1995. Expected yield, at 1,255 pounds, is up 5 percent from last year.

Planting began well behind normal in North Dakota but was completed ahead of
last year as weather conditions improved. Crop development remained behind last
year but ahead of average.  As of September 29, 74 percent of bracts had turned
brown and beyond.  The crop was 2 percent harvested as of the week ending
September 29, compared to 7 percent last year and a 5-year average of 5 percent.
The first killing frost occurred at the beginning of October.


Peanuts:  Production is forecast at 3.41 billion pounds, up 2 percent from the
          September 1 forecast but down 1 percent from 1995.  Acreage for
harvest is estimated at 1.41 million acres, unchanged from September 1 and
7 percent below a year ago.  Yields are expected to average 2,421 pounds per
harvested acre, up 37 pounds from last month and 139 pounds above 1995.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 2.05 billion pounds, 2 percent above last month
but 3 percent below the 1995 crop.  Yield for the 4-State area is expected to
average 2,474 pounds per acre, 51 pounds above last month.  An increase of
200 pounds in Alabama's expected yield per acre contributed to improved crop
prospects in the region.  Harvest continued to make good progress, although
heavy rains received in late-September delayed or stopped harvest activities
across most of the region.  The Georgia crop outlook held steady compared to a
month ago. Tomato spotted wilt virus is still a concern, forcing some producers

to harvest late-maturing fields early.  The Florida harvest hit the half-way
mark under good harvest conditions.   In South Carolina, drier conditions
enabled  harvest to proceed at an active pace as 23 percent of the crop was
harvested by October 1, but still 7 points behind normal.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 540 million pounds, down
2 percent from last month and a year ago.  Yield per harvested acre in the
region, at 2,675 pounds, is 63 pounds below last month.  Most of the peanut
acres in North Carolina were outside of the main path of Hurricane Fran, however
some acreage was affected by the spinoff moisture. Cool evening temperatures
have slowed maturation.  In Virginia, favorable conditions have helped harvest
progress.  At month's end, harvest stood at 20 percent complete compared with
27 percent normally for this date.

The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected
to total 822 million pounds, up 3 percent from last month and 5 percent above
1995.  Yields are expected to average 2,170 pounds per acre, 61 pounds above
last month and 147 pounds above last year.  Digging got underway with some
disease problems reported.  In New Mexico, crop prospects remain excellent.


Cotton:  Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 12.7 million acres, decreased
         15,000 acres from September and is down 19 percent from last year.
American-Pima harvested acreage remains unchanged from last month, at
261,900 acres, 24 percent above 1995.

In early October, 44 percent of Texas' acreage was in good to excellent
condition, and one-fourth was rated poor to very.  Boll opening was two-thirds
complete, 6 percent ahead of the 5-year average.  Harvest progress was hampered
by storms during the month, and 19 percent of the acreage was harvested on
October 6, compared to the 28 percent normally harvested.  Unseasonably cool,
wet weather in the Plains caused concern about final maturity of the crop, and
defoliants were applied.  Harvest was complete in the Coastal Bend, but storms
caused quality of the crop to decline in the Central region and also slowed
harvesting.  Cotton objective yield data indicate Texas' crop has the highest
large boll count and third highest boll weights since 1986.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
rated their cotton in mostly good to excellent condition in early October.  The
region was subject to heavy rains in late September, delaying harvest activity.
The rainfall also caused deterioration in quality, and boll rot and regrowth
after defoliation were a concern.  One-half of Louisiana's crop was in good to
excellent condition on October 6 and 15 percent was in poor condition, although
one month earlier, 73 percent was rated good to excellent.  Tennessee  reported
82 percent of their acreage in good to excellent condition in early October.
Mississippi and Tennessee were 14 percent ahead of the average harvest progress,
at 49 percent and 38 percent, respectively.  Louisiana showed harvest at
47 percent complete, which equaled the 5-year average pace.  Data from objective
yield surveys show large boll counts for Arkansas' rank sixth and Mississippi's
rank fifth, since 1986.  Louisiana's large bolls are the third lowest during
this time period.  Early season boll weight data indicate Arkansas weights are
the second lowest during the past 10 years, and Louisiana and Mississippi rank
sixth.

Forty-eight percent of Arizona's crop was in good to excellent condition and
harvest was 5 points below the average pace, at 20 percent, on October 6.
Arizona's monsoons continued to effect cotton acreage in early September, and
although the condition improved during mid-September, it declined towards the

end of the month. All of California's crop was in good to excellent condition in
early October, and harvest was 15 percent complete, 6 points ahead of the 5-year
average.  Defoliation was active in the southern San Joaquin Valley at the end
of September, and harvest continued in Kern county.  Producers had harvested
about one-half of the acreage in the Desert counties.  October 1 cotton
objective yield counts show California large boll numbers as the lowest since
1986 and  boll weights are the third lowest in the past 10 years.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina), the majority of the crop was in good to excellent condition on
October 6.  Georgia showed 47 percent of the acreage as good to excellent, and
71 percent of South Carolina's acreage was rated good to excellent.  Hurricane
Fran entered North Carolina on September 5, flooding some acreage and
deteriorating the condition and yield prospects as it moved across the cotton
producing areas.  In mid-September North Carolina cotton condition showed
32 percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, but this improved to
70 percent on October 6.  More storms followed Hurricane Fran during the month,
which slowed harvest, and on October 6, North Carolina producers had harvested
16 percent of the acreage, which equaled the 5-year average.  These early
September storms slowed progress in Georgia, which was only 2 percent ahead of
the average harvest pace, at 20 percent.  Alabama's crop continued to develop
well, with little boll loss.

American-Pima production is forecast at 567,000 bales, down 7,000 bales from
September's forecast but up 54 percent from 1995's output.  Yield is indicated
at 1,039 pounds per harvested acre, up 203 pounds from last year.  California's
boll development was excellent during the season, and progress of the crop
remains about one week ahead of normal.  The unusually high temperatures of
August caused a slight decline in expected yields from last month's forecast.
Defoliation began in the southern San Joaquin Valley.  In Texas, harvest began
in the Winter Garden area.  The Trans-Pecos received some unseasonably cool
temperatures during the month, as the crop approached maturity.

All cotton ginnings totaled 2,143,850 running bales prior to October 1, compared
with 2,454,650 running bales ginned to the same date last year and
2,324,000 running bales in 1994.


All Hay:  Production for 1996 is forecast at 152 million tons, up 2 percent from
          the August 1 forecast but down 2 percent from 1995.  The increase
from August is a result of a 2 percent increase in expected average yields to
2.51 tons per acre.  All hay yields, however, are down 3 percent the previous
year.  Acreage harvested, at 60.6 million acres, is unchanged from August 1 and
1 percent above last year.  Of the major producing States, North Dakota showed
the largest decrease in production from a year ago, dropping 28 percent from
1995.  The largest increase in production is in Arkansas, 32 percent above last
year.


Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures:  Alfalfa hay production, at 80.7 million tons, is
                               up fractionally from the August 1 forecast but
down 5 percent from the 1995 total.  Area for harvest, at 24.3 million acres, is
down 1 percent from a year ago.  Average yields are forecast at 3.33 tons per
acre, down 0.13 of a ton from the previous year.  Dry conditions late in the
season reduced second and third cuttings yields in most areas across the
northern half of the U.S.  In the southern portion of the U.S., however, mild
temperatures and ample precipitation during August and September resulted in
additional cuttings and helped boost yields.  California is expected to set a
new State record for average yields at 7.4 tons per acre.

All Other Hay:  Production of all other hay is forecast at 71.1 million tons,
                4 percent above the quantity expected August 1 and 2 percent
above the 1995 total.  Area for harvest, at 36.3 million acres, is up 3 percent
from last year.  Yield per acre is expected to average 1.96 tons, down 1 percent
from the 1995 yield.  Favorable growing conditions late in the season helped
push yields up from the August 1 forecast in many area, especially in the
Southeastern and South Central States.  Louisiana showed the largest increase in
expected yields from August, up 29 percent, followed by Texas and Oklahoma, up
25 and 23 percent, respectively.


Dry Edible Beans:  Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 27.0 million
                   cwt for 1996, down 13 percent from a year earlier and
7 percent below two years ago.  Area for harvest is estimated at 1.71 million
acres, down 10 percent from 1995 and 7 percent below 1994.  The average yield of
1,582 pounds per acre is 52 pounds below a year ago and the same as 1994.  The
October 1 forecast is 2 percent below August as rains during harvest damaged
beans.

This year's dry bean crop was late developing in the early season.  Hail damage
cut a swath through the southeast corner of Wyoming, northeast Colorado, and
western Kansas.  Michigan growers planted extra late but enjoyed a frost-free
extension at the end of the season.  Wet weather during harvest slowed progress
and reduced yields in many locations across the country.  Harvest is slow in
Michigan and New York because of repeated rainfall.  Combining is two-thirds
finished in North Dakota and Minnesota.  Western States are mostly finished with
harvest except in California, where progress and yields are good.  Yields are
record high in Wyoming and the highest in 23 years in Idaho.


Lentils:  Production of lentils is estimated at 1.22 million cwt, down
          43 percent from 1995's 2.15 million cwt.  Both harvested acres and
yield were off from last year.  Harvested area, at 126,000 acres, was down
28,400 acres from 1995, while the average yield of 969 pounds per acre was off
420 pounds.


Dry Edible Peas:  Production of dry peas is estimated at 2.28 million cwt, down
                  51 percent from last year in Idaho, Washington, and other
States.  Both harvested area and average yield fell.  Harvested area is
estimated at 183,000 acres, down 6 percent from last year.  The average yield of
1,247 pounds per acre fell 1,129 pounds from last year.  A late spring, coupled
with a hot and dry summer in the Pacific Northwest, resulted in poor growing
conditions throughout 1996.


Austrian Winter Peas:  An Austrian winter pea crop of 103,000 cwt in Idaho and
                       Oregon is down 13 percent from 1995 but double the 1994
production.  Area harvested, at 7,300 acres, is down 400 acres from last year
while the average yield dropped from 1,545 pounds in 1995 to 1,411 pounds in
1996.


Winter Potatoes, 1996 Revised:  The final 1996 winter potato production is
                                estimated at 3.27 million cwt, up 32 percent
from a year earlier and 38 percent above 1994 output.  Harvested acreage was
estimated at 14,500 acres, a gain of 2,600 acres from 1995, while the final
yield of 226 cwt per acre out did the previous year by 18 cwt.  The final
production estimate for South Florida was up 25 percent from the forecast made
in April.

Tobacco:  U.S. all tobacco production for 1996 is forecast at 1.53 billion
          pounds, down 4 percent from the September 1 estimate but 20 percent
more than 1995.  The larger production outlook for 1996 is the result of
increased acreage and improved yields from a year ago.  Harvested acreage,
estimated at 737,180 acres, is up slightly from September 1 and is 11 percent
above last year.  Yields are expected to average 2,069 pounds per acre,
81 pounds below last month but 156 pounds above the average for 1995.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 843 million pounds, down 6 percent
from September 1 but 13 percent above last year's output. Producers plan to
harvest 413,300 acres, up 7 percent from last year.  Flue-cured tobacco accounts
for 56 percent of this year's tobacco acreage.

North Carolina's  flue-cured crop was 95 percent harvested by October 1,
slightly ahead of the 5-year average of 92 percent.  Nearly 80 percent of North
Carolina's tobacco was harvested before Hurricane Fran smashed into the coastal
counties the first week in September.  However, some poundage was damaged or
lost during the curing process as power was out for several days.

Burley production is expected to total 593 million pounds, virtually unchanged
from September 1 projections but 36 percent above the 1995 production.  The
increase from a year ago is primarily the result of increased acreage, though
yields are also up.  Yield is expected to average 2,101 pounds per acre,
238 pounds above the average for 1995.  Acreage for harvest is up 20 percent
from last year.

Tobacco harvest in the Southeast neared completion, slightly behind schedule.
September weather was generally favorable across the region.  The Kentucky
burley crop was 87 percent harvested compared with 91 percent average. Rains in
late September helped curing conditions. Harvest in Tennessee was 90 percent
complete and stripping is underway.


Sugarbeets:  Production for the U.S. is expected to total 26.4 million tons, a
             decrease of 6 percent from 1995.  Area for harvest, at 1.33 million
acres, is unchanged from the September "Crop Production" report but down
6 percent from last year.  The average yield, at 19.8 tons per acre, is equal to
last year's yield and the September "Crop Production" report.

Plant development in the Great Lakes region was slowed by cool weather that
lasted during most of the summer and into autumn, leaving harvest activity
2 weeks behind normal.  In the Mountain States hot, dry  weather accelerated
crop development, but some producers  delayed harvest to wait for lower
nighttime temperatures to increase sugar content.   Dry weather in the Western
States helped control insect populations.  Harvest began ahead of normal in the
upper Mississippi Valley and northern Great Plains, but rainy weather at the end
of September slowed harvest progress.  Rainy weather, followed by below-normal
temperatures in the central High Plains, slowed the sugarbeet harvest at month's
end, but some fields were lifted early to allow the sugar mills to lengthen
their processing time.  Prepile harvest activity was underway as September
closed in the central Great Plains.


Sugarcane:  Sugarcane production for the U.S. sugar and seed in 1996 is expected
            to total 27.4 million tons, down 11 percent from 1995 but up
fractionally from the September report.  Area for harvest, at 872,000 acres, was
6 percent below last year.  The forecasted yield, at 31.4 tons per acre, is
1.6 tons below last year's yield.

The effect of last winter's freeze damage in Louisiana was not expected to lower
the amount of sugar per ton of cane, but fields with downed cane reduced
producers' expectations for recoverable tonnage.  A significant number of acres
had severe lodging that was expected to make harvest difficult.  Rainy weather
during September slowed planting and caused some replanting for Louisiana's next
year's crop.  Little hurricane or storm damage during Florida's growing season
allowed sugarcane to make good growth.  Sugarcane mills in Florida were
preparing to begin processing cane in late October.  Sugarcane growth in Texas
was irregular due to the effects of the mid-summer drought and lack of adequate
irrigation water.  Heavy rains at summer's end and in early autumn revived the
crop and may offset the effect of the summer's drought.


Grapes:  Grape production for October 1 is 5.96 million tons, up slightly from
         August's forecast and a year ago.  New York and Pennsylvania forecasts
increased while Michigan and Washington decreased.  Production for all other
states was carried forward from the previous August forecast.

The California all grape forecast, at 5.42 million tons, was carried forward
from August and is up 3 percent from last year.  Of this total, 2.4 million tons
are raisin varieties, 2.3 million tons are wine varieties, and 720,000 tons
table varieties.  Picking of Thompson Seedless grapes for all uses is nearing
completion with good quality reported.  Table grape harvest in the San Joaquin
Valley is active.  Wine grape harvest is also active with some areas reporting
lower yields than expected.

Grape production in New York increased to 195,000 tons, up 5 percent from August
and 18 percent from 1995.  Cool, wet weather caused  mildew and rot problems and
has delayed harvest.  Pennsylvania expects to produce 70,000 tons, up 4 percent
from the previous forecast and 11 percent from 1995.  Sugar development has been
slow, and harvest is behind schedule.

Michigan's forecast increased to 65,000 tons, up 5 percent from August but down
7 percent from 1995.  Niagara harvest is complete while Concord harvest began
October 1 and should continue the entire month.  Sugar content is behind normal.
Washington's forecast decreased to 150,000 tons, down 4 percent from the August
forecast and down 54 percent from a year ago.  Freeze damage continued to
suppress yields.  Concord harvest has begun.


Grapefruit:  The initial forecast of the 1996-97 U.S. Grapefruit crop is
             3.04 million tons, up 12 percent from last season and 4 percent
larger than the 1994-95 season.  This year's tonnage is a record large crop,
surpassing the previous record of 3.032 million tons in the 1976-77 season.

The October 1 Florida all grapefruit crop is forecast at a record large
59.0 million boxes (2.51 million tons), 13 percent more than last year and
6 percent more than the second largest crop of 1994-95.  More trees and fruit
per tree than last year, with average fruit size, contributed to the record
large crop.  The white seedless grapefruit forecast is 26.5 million boxes
(1.13 million tons), 14 percent more than last season.  The colored seedless
forecast is 31.5 million boxes (1.34 million tons), up 12 percent from a year
ago.  The seedy grapefruit crop is expected to total 1.00 million boxes
(43,000 tons), 5 percent less than last year.

California's all grapefruit forecast is 8.00 million boxes (268,000 tons),
1 percent less than last year and 14 percent less than two years ago.  Higher
than normal temperatures matured the desert area crop slightly ahead of normal.
Major defects throughout the State were wind scar, flat sides, and sunburn.
Texas production is expected to be 5.70 million boxes (228,000 tons), 25 percent
more than last year.  More fruit per tree outweighed smaller fruit size for the
larger production.  The Arizona 1996-97 crop is 1.10 million boxes

(37,000 tons), 8 percent fewer boxes than the 1995-96 crop.  Although fruit
quality is good, average to small sizes contributed to lower production.


Lemons:  The 1996-97 lemon crop is forecast at 1.02 million tons, 2 percent
         more than last year and 13 percent more than the 1994-95 crop.

California production in 1996-97 is forecast at 22.0 million boxes
(836,000 tons), 5 percent more than last year and 10 percent more than two
seasons ago.  Grades in the Central Valley are good to excellent.  Sizes in the
south coast area are small with fair quality.  Desert area quality is reported
as good.  The Arizona lemon crop is expected to be 4.70 million boxes
(179,000 tons), down 8 percent from a year ago but up 31 percent from two years
ago.  Young trees have suffered some wind scar on the fruit.


Tangelos:  The 1996-97 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 3.80 million boxes
           (171,000 tons), 55 percent more than last season's crop and
21 percent more than the 1994-95 season.  Although fruit size is smaller than
last year, an increase in trees and a huge increase in fruit per tree caused the
larger crop.


Temples:  Florida 1996-97 temple production is forecast at 2.50 million boxes
          (113,000 tons), 16 percent more than last year's production but
2 percent fewer than the 1994-95 season.  Increased fruit per tree offset fewer
trees and smaller fruit for the increased production.


Tangerines:  The 1996-97 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at a record large
             415,000 tons, 19 percent larger than last year's crop which was
the previous record.  Florida's tangerine forecast is 6.00 million boxes
(285,000 tons), 33 percent more than the previous season's crop.  Although fruit
size is smaller than a year ago, more trees and fruit per tree caused the larger
crop.

California tangerine production is 2.60 million boxes (98,000 tons), equal to
last year's production but 4 percent more than the 1994-95 crop.  The crop was
maturing well with average fruit size.  Picking should begin by late October.
Arizona's tangerine forecast is 850,000 boxes (32,000 tons), 15 percent less
than last season but 31 percent more than two seasons ago.  Fruit quality was
good, but sizes were average to small.


K-Early Citrus:  Production of K-Early Citrus Fruit in Florida is expected to
                 total 200,000 boxes (9,000 tons), 25 percent more than last
season and 67 percent more than 1994-95.  Smaller average fruit size and fewer
trees were offset by much more fruit per tree to increase production.


Florida Citrus:  Groves, trees, and new crop fruit were in very good to
                 excellent condition.  Rainfall during the month was adequate.
However, some areas received their monthly amounts in only a few days of very
hard thunderstorms and pounding rain. Some locations had regular weekly rains.
New growth was slowing.  Early fruit started to show signs of color break and
some of the specialty fruit turned brighter orange.  The first harvest of the
1996-97 season was on September 9.  Ambersweet oranges were picked first and
Fallglo tangerines, white, and colored grapefruit followed close behind.  Packed
and shipped volumes were low compared to the past two years.  A little over a
hundred thousand boxes of all types were shipped to date.  There were only a few

processing plants open to receive packing house eliminations.  Caretakers were
very active cutting cover crops prior to the start of the new harvesting season.
Some growers sprayed and applied fall fertilizations.  Dead tree removal
continued along with some replanting.


Texas Citrus:  Fruit set was good going into the season.  However, a lack of
               rainfall and irrigation water slowed sizing.  The quality of
early picked fruit has been good despite the smaller sizes.  Timely rainfall
would be beneficial.  Early orange harvest is expected to start in early October
with grapefruit starting in mid-October.  Since the 1989 freeze, a large amount
of orange and grapefruit acreage continues to be planted.


Apples:  The final forecast of the 1996 apple crop stands at 10.61 billion
         pounds, down 1 percent from both the August 1 forecast and last year's
production.  Increased production in the Pacific Northwest and California was
not enough to offset reduced prospects in the other states.

The Eastern States (CT, DE, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA,
and WV) expect 2.44 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the August 1 forecast
and 16 percent below a year ago.  In New York, apples are 7 to 10 days behind in
maturity but have good to excellent size.  Harvest is in full swing in North
Carolina with quality good.  In Pennsylvania, previous poor pollination, heavy
frosts, and hailstorms are expected to result in a smaller than normal crop.
Fruit size is reported small in Virginia.

Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN,
and WI) is forecast at 1.08 billion pounds, down 8 percent from the August 1
forecast and 33 percent below the 1995 crop. In Michigan, poor sizing resulted
from the near drought conditions in August.  Production for all varieties is
expected to be well below 1995.  The Macintosh harvest is winding down, while
Jonathan picking is in full swing.

Production in the Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, and WA) is forecast at
7.09 billion pounds, unchanged from the August 1 forecast and 15 percent above
the 1995 crop.  Despite a delay of two weeks in picking, the Red Delicious crop
in Washington is maturing well with the recent cool nights and warm days.
Quality appears excellent, but fruit size may be smaller than a year ago.


Pecans:  The October 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 251 million pounds
         (in-shell basis), an increase of 2 percent from September but down
6 percent from last year's crop of 268 million pounds.  Forecasts in Louisiana
and Texas increased while Oklahoma's forecast decreased this month.  All other
forecasting states remained at the same level.

Georgia production is unchanged at 100 million pounds, up 33 percent from 1995.
Dry conditions in some non-irrigated groves caused nuts to fall prematurely.
Insect pressure was reported in a few areas.  By September's end, harvest had
not yet begun.  The Texas forecast is 45.0 million pounds, 13 percent above the
previous forecast but 40 percent below last year.  The forecast for improved
varieties increased 17 percent to 35.0 million while native varieties remained
unchanged.  Scab and shuckworms are causing problems in many areas.  Harvest has
started in South Texas.  New Mexico forecasts 30.0 million pounds, equal to last
month but 33 percent less than 1995.  Nut quality is good to excellent.  Drier
weather has created favorable conditions for nut development.

Alabama forecasts 15.0 million pounds, the same as September but up 50 percent
from last year.  Wet conditions have increased scab infestation.  Louisiana

expects 18.0 million pounds, 20 percent higher than the last forecast and
38 percent above the previous year.  Timely rainfall in late August and
September pushed native trees to near full production.  Harvest is just getting
started.

Arizona is unchanged at 18.0 million pounds.  Favorable weather conditions
continued.  Some growers reported controlling for aphids.  Production in
Oklahoma is forecast at 8.00 million pounds, 20 percent below September and
58 percent lower than last year.  Web worms and casebearers continue to be a
problem in many areas.


Hazelnuts:  Production in Oregon and Washington is forecast at 20,000 tons for
            1996, unchanged from August's forecast and 49 percent below 1995.
This is the lowest level since 1989's 13,000 tons.  Oregon's forecast remains
unchanged at 19,900 tons, nearly half of last year's crop.  Washington's
production forecast, at 100 tons, is carried forward from the previous forecast.
Hazelnuts have been dropping for several weeks in western Oregon; however, most
orchardists have not started harvesting yet.  Crop development is running behind
normal.


Papayas:  Hawaii fresh papaya production was estimated at 2.74 million pounds
          for September.  This was 7 percent lower than August but 3 percent
higher than September 1995.

Weather conditions during September were mixed. Heavy showers during the first
half of the month kept soil moisture adequate.  Light showers and sunshine were
the norms for the second half of September.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,960 acres, 3 percent higher than
last month and 6 percent higher than a year ago.  Harvested area, totaling
3,165 acres, was 13 percent more than August and 36 percent more than last
September.


California Fruits and Nuts: The raisin grape harvest made significant progress
                            throughout the month of September.  By month's end,
raisins were in all stages of harvest from just laid, to dry, to being rolled
and binned.  Table grape picking was active throughout the month, with Red
Globe, Flame Seedless, and Thompson Seedless the major varieties picked.
Harvest of grapes for wine use continued.  Granny Smith and Fuji apples were
harvested.  The almond harvest was in full swing by mid month, while the early
variety walnut harvest began during the first week of September.  Prune and fig
harvests were active throughout the month.


California Citrus:  Higher than normal temperatures speeded maturity of desert
                    area grapefruit.  Reported defects included wind scar, flat
sides, and sunburn.  Lemon grades in the Central Valley were good to excellent.
Fruit size in the south coast area was small with fair quality reported.  Good
quality was reported in the desert area.  Each area reported defects such as
wind scar, spotting, sunburn, and botrytis bumps.  Picking of early season Navel
orange varieties was expected to begin in the Edison area of Kern County in
early October.  The number of oranges per tree is significantly less than a year
ago, but the size of the fruit is very large.  Navel oranges in other areas were
turning color and maturing well.  Picking of the 1995-96 Valencia orange crop
was approximately 80 percent complete.  Quality in the Central Valley was
reported good.  In Southern California, quality was below average and fruit size
was small.  The 1996-97 crop was maturing well.

         Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures:  Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted
                    between September 23 and October 3 to gather information on
expected yield as of October 1.  The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans,
and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for
about 75 percent of the U.S. production.  Randomly selected plots were revisited
to make current counts.  The items counted within the selected plots depend on
the crop and the maturity of that crop.  In all cases, number of plants are
recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the
number of ears, pods, or bolls and their weight.  The counts are used with
similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield.  The
five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield.  The
plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested
and weighed.  After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another
plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers.  Approximately 15,000 producers were interviewed
during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield.


Estimating Procedures:  National and State level objective yield and grower
                        reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates.  The survey data were
also reviewed, considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to
previous month and previous years.  Each State Statistical Office submited their
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).
The ASB used the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published
October 1 forecast.


Revision Policy:  The October 1 production forecast will not be revised;
                  instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the
growing season.  At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a
balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports,
processing, feeding, and ending stocks.  Revisions are then made if data
relationships warrant changes.  Harvested acres may be revised any time a
production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended
harvested area has changed since the last estimate.


Reliability:  To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1
              production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed.  The deviation between the
October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a
percentage of the final estimate.  The average of squared percentage deviations
for the 1976-1995 20-year period is computed.  The square root of the average
becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."  Probability statements can
be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the
final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's
forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 4.4 percent.  This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that
the current production forecast of 9.01 billion bushels will not be above or
below the final estimate by more than 4.4 percent or approximately 397 million
bushels.  Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 7.6 percent or approximately 685 million bushels.


Also shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimates.  Using corn
again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 239 million bushels, ranging
from 5 million to 618 million bushels.  The October 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times.  This does not imply that the
October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production.  For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.




         Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :Root Mean Square Error::      10-year Record of
                      :----------------------:: Differences Between Forecast
                      :       :90% Confidence::      and Final Estimate
      Crop and        :       :     Level    ::-------------------------------
        Unit          :Percent:--------------:: Quantity      :No. of Years
                      :       :       :      ::-------------------------------
                      :       :Percent: Quant::          :     :Below:Above
                      :       :       :      :: Avg:Small:Large:Final:Final
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      :                  Mil ::----- Mil -----
                      :                      ::
Corn for Grain      Bu: 4.4     7.6     685  :: 239   5     618    5     5
Sorghum for Grain   Bu: 5.8    10.1      80  ::  35   9     105    6     4
Rice               Cwt: 3.1     5.3       9  ::   5   1      13    6     4
Soybeans for          :                      ::
 Beans              Bu: 3.8     6.5     153  ::  49   2     103    5     5
Cotton        Bales 1/: 4.3     7.5   1,364  :: 640  31   1,424    6     4
Dry Edible            :                      ::
 Beans            Cwt : 3.6     6.3       2  :: 0.7 0.2     1.3    7     3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Quantity is in thousands of bales.





                               Index



                                                             Page


                                                       Table       Narrative


Apples ............................................    A-34           B-14
Beans, Dry Edible .................................    A-24           B-10
Citrus Fruit ......................................    A-32           B-12
Corn for Grain ....................................    A-12           B- 5
Corn - Ears per Acre ..............................    A-37
Cotton ............................................    A-19           B- 8
Cottonseed ........................................    A-20
Crop Moisture Maps ................................                   B- 1
Grapes ............................................    A-31           B-12
Hay, All ..........................................    A-21           B- 9
Hay, Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay .........    A-22           B- 9
Hay, Other ........................................    A-23           B-10
Hazelnuts..........................................    A-36           B-15
Lentils ...........................................    A-25           B-10
Papayas ...........................................    A-36           B-15
Peanuts ...........................................    A-18           B- 7
Peas, Austrian Winter .............................    A-26           B-10
Peas, Dry Edible ..................................    A-25           B-10
Pecans ............................................    A-35           B-14
Potatoes ..........................................    A-26           B-10
Reliability Statement .............................                   B-16
Rice ..............................................    A-14           B- 6
Sorghum for Grain .................................    A-13           B- 6
Soybeans for Beans ................................    A-15           B- 6
Sugarbeets ........................................    A-30           B-11
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ......................    A-30           B-11
Sunflower .........................................    A-17           B- 7
Tobacco ...........................................    A-27           B-11
U S Summary .......................................    A- 3


                          Report Features


The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
November 12, 1996.


Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.


C. Ray Halley, Chief                                              (202) 720-2127

  Field Crops Section
    Bill Dowdy, Head                                              (202) 720-3843
      Kevin Barnes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds                     (202) 720-7369
      Dan Kerestes - Corn                                         (202) 720-9526
      Roger Latham - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings                      (202) 720-5944
      Joel Moore - Barley, Hay, Sorghum                           (202) 690-3234
      Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather, Oats       (202) 720-7621
      Barbara Rater - Peanuts, Rice, Tobacco                      (202) 720-7688
      Vaughn Siegenthaler - Wheat, Rye                            (202) 720-8068


  Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section
    Vince Matthews, Head                                          (202) 720-3843
      Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes                      (202) 720-4285
      Howard Hill - Cherries, Berries, Prunes, Plums,
                    Cranberries, Grapes, Maple Syrup              (202) 720-7235
      Linda McMillan - Nuts, Floriculture                         (202) 690-0270
      Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions      (202) 720-2157
      Linda Simpson - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas,
                      Mushrooms, Hops                             (202) 690-0270
      Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits                       (202) 720-5412
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in
its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status.  Persons with
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA
Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD).

To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C.,
20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD).  USDA is an equal
employment opportunity employer.


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