10B-i

APPENDIX 10B: NATIONAL ENERGY SAVING S AND NET NATIONAL PRESENT V

ALUE RESULTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS 10B.1 1% LOAD GROWTH

................................................ 10B-1 10B.1.1 7% Discou

nt Rate

............................................ 10B-1 10B.1.1.1 Low Pr

ice Elasticity

Scenario ....................... 10B-1 10B.1.1.2 Medium Pric e Elasticity S cenario .................... 10B-9 10B.1.1.3 High Price Elast icity Scenario ...................... 10B-17 10B.2 0% LOAD GROWTH

............................................... 10B-25 10B.2.1 7% Discou

nt Rate

........................................... 10B-25 10B.2.1.1 Low Pr

ice Elasticity

Scenario ...................... 10B-25 10B.2.1.2 Medium Pric e Elasticity S cenario ................... 10B-33 10B.2.1.3 High Price Elast icity Scenario ...................... 10B-41 10B.3 1% LOAD GROWTH

............................................... 10B-49 10B.3.1 3% Discou

nt Rate

........................................... 10B-49 10B.3.1.1 Low Pr

ice Elasticity

Scenario ...................... 10B-49 10B.3.1.2 Medium Pric e Elasticity S cenario ................... 10B-57 10B.3.1.3 High Price Elast icity Scenario ...................... 10B-65 10B.4 0% LOAD GROWTH

............................................... 10B-73 10B.4.1 3% Discou

nt Rate

........................................... 10B-73 10B.4.1.1 Low Pr

ice Elasticity

Scenario ....................... 10B-73 10B.4.1.2 Medium Pric e Elasticity S cenario .................... 10B-81 10B.4.1.3 High Price Elast icity Scenario ...................... 10B-89

LIST OF TABLE S Table 10B.1.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario ................................................... 10B-2 Table 10B.1.2 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-3 Table 10B.1.3 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-3 Table 10B.1.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-4 Table 10B.1.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, L owPrice Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-510B-ii

Table 10B.1.6 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-5 Table 10B.1.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-6 Table 10B.1.8 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-6 Table 10B.1.9 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-7 Table 10B.1.10 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-7 Table 10B.1.11 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-8 Table 10B.1.12 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-8 Table 10B.1.13 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-9 Table 10B.1.14 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-10 Table 10B.1.15 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-11 Table 10B.1.16 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-11 Table 10B.1.17 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-12 Table 10B.1.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenar io (-0.02)

........................ 10B-13 Table 10B.1.19 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-13 Table 10B.1.20 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-14 Table 10B.1.21 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-14 Table 10B.1.22 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-15 Table 10B.1.23 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-15 Table 10B.1.24 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-16 Table 10B.1.25 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-1610B-iii

Table 10B.1.26 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-17 Table 10B.1.27 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-18 Table 10B.1.28 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-19 Table 10B.1.29 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-19 Table 10B.1.30 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-20 Table 10B.1.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenario (- 0.2)

..................................... 10B-21 Table 10B.1.32 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-21 Table 10B.1.33 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-22 Table 10B.1.34 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-22 Table 10B.1.35 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-23 Table 10B.1.36 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-23 Table 10B.1.37 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-24 Table 10B.1.38 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-24 Table 10B.1.39 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-25 Table 10B.2.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-26 Table 10B.2.2 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-27 Table 10B.2.3 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-27 Table 10B.2.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-28 Table 10B.2.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, L ow Price Elasticity Scenar

io (0.00)

................................ 10B-29 Table 10B.2.6 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-29 Table 10B.2.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-30 Table 10B.2.8 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty10B-iv Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-30 Table 10B.2.9 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-31 Table 10B.2.10 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-31 Table 10B.2.11 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-32 Table 10B.2.12 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-32 Table 10B.2.13 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-33 Table 10B.2.14 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-34 Table 10B.2.15 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-35 Table 10B.2.16 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-35 Table 10B.2.17 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-36 Table 10B.2.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenar io (-0.02)

........................ 10B-37 Table 10B.2.19 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-37 Table 10B.2.20 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-38 Table 10B.2.21 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-38 Table 10B.2.22 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-39 Table 10B.2.23 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-39 Table 10B.2.24 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-40 Table 10B.2.25 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-40 Table 10B.2.26 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-41 Table 10B.2.27 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-4210B-v

Table 10B.2.28 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-43 Table 10B.2.29 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-43 Table 10B.2.30 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-44 Table 10B.2.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenario (- 0.2)

..................................... 10B-45 Table 10B.2.32 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-45 Table 10B.2.33 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-46 Table 10B.2.34 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-46 Table 10B.2.35 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-47 Table 10B.2.36 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-47 Table 10B.2.37 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-48 Table 10B.2.38 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-48 Table 10B.2.39 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-49 Table 10B.3.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-50 Table 10B.3.2 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-51 Table 10B.3.3 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-51 Table 10B.3.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-52 Table 10B.3.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, L ow Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

.................................... 10B-53 Table 10B.3.6 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-53 Table 10B.3.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-5410B-vi

Table 10B.3.8 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-54 Table 10B.3.9 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-55 Table 10B.3.10 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-55 Table 10B.3.11 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-56 Table 10B.3.12 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-56 Table 10B.3.13 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-57 Table 10B.3.14 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-58 Table 10B.3.15 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-59 Table 10B.3.16 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-59 Table 10B.3.17 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-60 Table 10B.3.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenar io (-0.02)

........................ 10B-61 Table 10B.3.19 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-61 Table 10B.3.20 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-62 Table 10B.3.21 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-62 Table 10B.3.22 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-63 Table 10B.3.23 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-63 Table 10B.3.24 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-64 Table 10B.3.25 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-64 Table 10B.3.26 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-65 Table 10B.3.27 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-6610B-vii

Table 10B.3.28 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-67 Table 10B.3.29 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-67 Table 10B.3.30 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-68 Table 10B.3.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenario (- 0.2)

..................................... 10B-69 Table 10B.3.32 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-69 Table 10B.3.33 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-70 Table 10B.3.34 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-70 Table 10B.3.35 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-71 Table 10B.3.36 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-71 Table 10B.3.37 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-72 Table 10B.3.38 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-72 Table 10B.3.39 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-73 Table 10B.4.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-74 Table 10B.4.2 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-75 Table 10B.4.3 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-75 Table 10B.4.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-76 Table 10B.4.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, L ow Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

.................................... 10B-77 Table 10B.4.6 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-77 Table 10B.4.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-78 Table 10B.4.8 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-7810B-viii

Table 10B.4.9 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-79 Table 10B.4.10 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-79 Table 10B.4.11 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-80 Table 10B.4.12 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-80 Table 10B.4.13 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-81 Table 10B.4.14 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-82 Table 10B.4.15 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-83 Table 10B.4.16 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-83 Table 10B.4.17 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-84 Table 10B.4.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenar io (-0.02)

........................ 10B-85 Table 10B.4.19 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-85 Table 10B.4.20 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-86 Table 10B.4.21 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-86 Table 10B.4.22 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-87 Table 10B.4.23 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-87 Table 10B.4.24 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-88 Table 10B.4.25 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-88 Table 10B.4.26 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-89 Table 10B.4.27 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r A ll Pr od uc t C la ss es , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario .................................................. 10B-90 Table 10B.4.28 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-91 Table 10B.4.29 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-9110B-ix

Table 10B.4.30 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 2 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-92 Table 10B.4.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry -Type Product Classes, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenar

io (-0.2)

................................ 10B-93 Table 10B.4.32 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 3 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-93 Table 10B.4.33 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 4 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-94 Table 10B.4.34 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 5 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-94 Table 10B.4.35 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 6 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-95 Table 10B.4.36 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 7 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-95 Table 10B.4.37 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 8 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-96 Table 10B.4.38 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 9 , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-96 Table 10B.4.39 Su mm ary Re su lt s T ab le fo r P ro du ct Cl as s 1 0, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-97

LIST OF FIGURES Figure 10B.1.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario ................................................... 10B-1 Figure 10B.1.2 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................. 10B-2 Figure 10B.1.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, L ow Price Elasticity Scena rio (0.00)

...... 10B-4 Figure 10B.1.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario ................................................... 10B-9 Figure 10B.1.5 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-10 Figure 10B.1.6 Re su lt s T ab le fo r D ry- Typ e, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-12 Figure 10B.1.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-1710B-x

Figure 10B.1.8 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-18 Figure 10B.1.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenar

io (-0.2)

..... 10B-20 Figure 10B.2.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-25 Figure 10B.2.2 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-26 Figure 10B.2.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, L ow Price Elasticity Scena rio (0.00)

..... 10B-28 Figure 10B.2.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-33 Figure 10B.2.5 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-34 Figure 10B.2.6 Re su lt s T ab le fo r D ry- Typ e, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-36 Figure 10B.2.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-41 Figure 10B.2.8 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-42 Figure 10B.2.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenar

io (-0.2)

..... 10B-44 Figure 10B.3.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-49 Figure 10B.3.2 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-50 Figure 10B.3.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, L ow Price Elasticity Scena rio (0.00)

..... 10B-52 Figure 10B.3.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-57 Figure 10B.3.5 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-58 Figure 10B.3.6 Re su lt s T ab le fo r D ry- Typ e, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-60 Figure 10B.3.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-65 Figure 10B.3.8 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-66 Figure 10B.3.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenar

io (-0.2)

..... 10B-68 Figure 10B.4.1 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Low Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-73 Figure 10B.4.2 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , Lo w P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (0.00)

............................................ 10B-74 Figure 10B.4.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, L ow Price Elasticity Scena rio (0.00)

..... 10B-7610B-xi

Figure 10B.4.4 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-81 Figure 10B.4.5 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , M ed iu m P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.04)

............................................ 10B-82 Figure 10B.4.6 Re su lt s T ab le fo r D ry- Typ e, Me di um Pr ic e E la st ic it y

Scenario (-0.02)

............................................ 10B-84 Figure 10B.4.7 Su mm ary Re su lt s f orAl l P ro du ct Cl as se s, Hi gh Pr ic e E la st ic it y Scenario .................................................. 10B-89 Figure 10B.4.8 Re su lt s T ab le fo r Li qu id -Im me rs ed , H ig h P ri ce El as ti ci ty

Scenario (-0.2)

............................................. 10B-90 Figure 10B.4.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, Hig h Price Elasticity Scenar

io (-0.2)

..... 10B-9210B -1

Figure 10B.1.1 Summary Results for All P roduct Classes,LowPrice

Elasticit y Scenario APPENDIX 10B: NATIONAL ENERGY SAVING S AND NET NATIONAL PRESENT V

ALUE RESULTS 10B.1 1% LOAD GROWTH 10B.1.1 7% Discount Rate 10B.1.1.1 Low Price Elasticit y Scenario10B -2

Figure 10B.1.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, LowPric e

Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Table 10B.1.1 Summary Results Table f

or All Pr oduct

Class es, Low PriceElasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.43 -6.83 -18.88 -36.83 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.97 21.21 25.20 29.10 36.73 41.40
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 16.86 18.88 20.77 22.27 17.85 4.57 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.55 10.12 12.06 13.74 17.88 20.8410B -3

Table 10B.1.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.52 -3.27 -11.56 -29.51 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.60 3.56 4.53 5.20 10.38 15.05
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.02 2.32 2.01 1.93 -1.18 -14.46 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.71 2.29 3.01 3.40 6.61 9.57

Table 10B.1.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.43 -20.29 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.14 1.23 1.31 1.62 2.84 7.23
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.75 -0.59 -13.07 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.58

Table 10B.1.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)10B -4

Figure 10B.1.3 Results Table for Dr y-Type, Low PriceElasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.30 -0.87 -2.06 -2.39 -8.13 -9.22 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.45 2.33 3.22 3.57 7.55 7.83
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 1.16 1.46 1.16 1.18 -0.59 -1.39 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.43 2.11 2.34 4.83 4.9910B -5

Table 10B.1.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, LowP ric e Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.56 -7.32 -7.32 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.37 17.65 20.66 23.91 26.35 26.35
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 14.84 16.56 18.75 20.34 19.03 19.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.1.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.98 1.11 1.22 1.31 1.41 1.41
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.90 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.00 1.00 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.1.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)10B -6 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.67 -3.12 -6.02 -6.02 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.23 16.29 19.07 22.03 24.01 24.01
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 13.80 15.34 17.40 18.91 17.99 17.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.1.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.1.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level10B -7 One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.1.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B -8

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.71 0.71
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.1.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.0210B -9

Figure 10B.1.4 Su mmary Results for All Product Clas ses,Medium Price Elasticit y Scenario Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.1.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.1.14 Summary Results Table for Al l Pr oduct Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.41 -6.79 -18.61 -36.0910B-10

Figure 10B.1.5 Re sults Table for Li quid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.95 21.17 25.11 28.95 36.34 40.87
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 16.85 18.85 20.70 22.16 17.73 4.77 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.54 10.11 12.02 13.66 17.68 20.5510B-11

Table 10B.1.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.50 -3.25 -11.37 -28.85 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.60 3.55 4.51 5.17 10.23 14.75
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.02 2.31 2.01 1.92 -1.14 -14.10 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.28 2.99 3.38 6.51 9.38

Table 10B.1.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.42 -19.85 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.14 1.23 1.31 1.62 2.83 7.09
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.75 -0.59 -12.76 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.4910B-12

Figure 10B.1.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Table 10B.1.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.87 -2.05 -2.37 -7.95 -9.00 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.45 2.32 3.21 3.55 7.40 7.66
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 1.16 1.46 1.16 1.18 -0.55 -1.34 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.42 2.10 2.32 4.74 4.8810B-13

Table 10B.1.18 Summ ar yResults Table for All D ry-Type Product Classes, MediumPrice

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.54 -7.24 -7.24 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.36 17.62 20.60 23.78 26.12 26.12
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 14.82 16.53 18.70 20.24 18.87 18.87 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.1.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.97 1.10 1.22 1.30 1.40 1.40
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.90 1.01 1.07 1.09 0.99 0.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.1.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)10B-14 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.66 -3.10 -5.96 -5.95 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.22 16.26 19.01 21.91 23.80 23.80
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 13.79 15.31 17.35 18.81 17.84 17.84 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.1.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.1.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-15

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.1.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.1910B-16

Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.70 0.70
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.1.25 Summary Results Table for P roduct Cl ass 9 , Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)
Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.0710B-17

Figure10B.1.7 Summary Results for All P roduct Classes,High Price

Elasticit y Scenario Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.1.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenar io

Table 10B.1.27 Summary Results T able for All Product Classes, High PriceElas ticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.10 -2.30 -4.29 -6.53 -17.24 -32.96 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.83 20.87 24.49 27.79 33.77 37.7510B-18

Figure 10B.1.8 Result s Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Pric e

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 16.72 18.57 20.20 21.26 16.53 4.79 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.48 9.96 11.72 13.13 16.44 18.9610B-19

Table 10B.1.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.22 -2.45 -3.17 -10.63 -26.35 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.59 3.52 4.43 5.07 9.63 13.62
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.02 2.30 1.99 1.90 -0.99 -12.73 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.27 2.94 3.32 6.13 8.65

Table 10B.1.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.87 -3.35 -18.20 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.14 1.22 1.30 1.62 2.78 6.58
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.74 -0.57 -11.62 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.89 1.06 1.74 4.17

Table 10B.1.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)10B-20

Figure 10B.1.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High PriceElastici t y

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.86 -1.99 -2.30 -7.27 -8.15 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.45 2.30 3.13 3.45 6.85 7.04
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 1.15 1.44 1.14 1.16 -0.42 -1.12 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.89 1.41 2.05 2.26 4.39 4.4810B-21

Table 10B.1.31 Summary Results Table for Al l Dry-Type Product Cla sses, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.53 -1.07 -1.85 -3.36 -6.61 -6.61 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.24 17.34 20.06 22.72 24.14 24.13
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 14.71 16.27 18.21 19.36 17.52 17.52 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.1.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.14 -0.20 -0.37 -0.37 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.96 1.08 1.18 1.24 1.29 1.29
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.89 0.99 1.03 1.04 0.93 0.93 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.5210B-22

Table 10B.1.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.93 -1.61 -2.94 -5.42 -5.42 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.12 16.01 18.51 20.92 21.98 21.98
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 13.69 15.07 16.90 17.98 16.55 16.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.1.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.00110B-23

Table 10B.1.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.12 -0.12 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.14
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.1.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)10B-24 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.15 -0.62 -0.63 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.41 0.66 0.66
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.1.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0006 -0.0006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-25

Figure 10B.2.1 Summary Results for All P roduct Classes,LowPrice

Elasticit y Scenario Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02

10B.2 0% LOAD GROWTH 10B.2.1 7% Discount Rate 10B.2.1.1 Low Price Elasticit y Scenario

Table 10B.2.1 Summary Resu lts Table for All Product Classes, LowPriceElasticit y Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-26

Figure 10B.2.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, LowPric e

Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.43 -6.83 -18.88 -36.83 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 17.76 20.86 24.85 28.68 35.71 40.02
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 16.65 18.53 20.42 21.85 16.82 3.19 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.45 9.97 11.90 13.55 17.42 20.2410B-27

Table 10B.2.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.52 -3.27 -11.56 -29.51 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.38 3.21 4.18 4.77 9.36 13.67
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 1.81 1.97 1.67 1.50 -2.21 -15.84 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.85 3.21 6.15 8.97

Table 10B.2.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.43 -20.29 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.53 2.61 6.70
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.82 -13.59 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.69 4.37

Table 10B.2.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)10B-28

Figure 10B.2.3 Results Table for Dr y-Type, Low PriceElasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.30 -0.87 -2.06 -2.39 -8.13 -9.22 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 1.27 2.02 2.92 3.24 6.74 6.97
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.97 1.15 0.86 0.85 -1.39 -2.25 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.97 2.18 4.46 4.6010B-29

Table 10B.2.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, LowP ric e Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.56 -7.32 -7.32 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 15.37 17.65 20.66 23.91 26.35 26.35
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 14.84 16.56 18.75 20.34 19.03 19.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.2.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.98 1.11 1.22 1.31 1.41 1.41
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.90 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.00 1.00 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.2.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)10B-30 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.67 -3.12 -6.02 -6.02 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 14.23 16.29 19.07 22.03 24.01 24.01
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 13.80 15.34 17.40 18.91 17.99 17.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.2.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.2.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level10B-31 One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.2.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.2.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-32

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.71 0.71
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.2.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.0210B-33

Figure 10B.2.4 Su mmary Results for All Product Clas ses,Medium Price Elasticit y Scenario Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.2.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.2.14 Summary Results Table for Al l Pr oduct Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.41 -6.79 -18.61 -36.0910B-34

Figure 10B.2.5 Re sults Table for Li quid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 17.74 20.83 24.77 28.53 35.34 39.52
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 16.63 18.50 20.36 21.74 16.72 3.43 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.44 9.95 11.86 13.48 17.23 19.9610B-35

Table 10B.2.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.50 -3.25 -11.37 -28.85 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.38 3.21 4.17 4.75 9.22 13.40
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 1.81 1.97 1.66 1.50 -2.15 -15.45 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.84 3.19 6.06 8.79

Table 10B.2.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.42 -19.85 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.53 2.60 6.58
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.81 -13.28 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.68 4.29

Table 10B.2.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04)10B-36

Figure 10B.2.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.87 -2.05 -2.37 -7.95 -9.00 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 1.26 2.01 2.91 3.22 6.62 6.83
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.97 1.14 0.86 0.85 -1.34 -2.17 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.96 2.17 4.38 4.5010B-37

Table 10B.2.18 Summ ar yResults Table for All D ry-Type Product Classes, MediumPrice

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.54 -7.24 -7.24 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 15.36 17.62 20.60 23.78 26.12 26.12
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 14.82 16.53 18.70 20.24 18.87 18.87 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.2.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.97 1.10 1.22 1.30 1.40 1.40
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.90 1.01 1.07 1.09 0.99 0.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.5710B-38

Table 10B.2.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.66 -3.10 -5.96 -5.95 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 14.22 16.26 19.01 21.91 23.80 23.80
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 13.79 15.31 17.35 18.81 17.84 17.84 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.2.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.00110B-39

Table 10B.2.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.2.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.00210B-40

Table 10B.2.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.70 0.70
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.2.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)10B-41

Figure10B.2.7 Summary Results for All P roduct Classes,High Price

Elasticit y Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.2.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenar io

Table 10B.2.27 Summary Results Table for Al l Product Classes , Hig h PriceElasticity Scenario10B-42

Figure 10B.2.8 Result s Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Pric e

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.10 -2.30 -4.29 -6.53 -17.24 -32.96 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 17.61 20.53 24.15 27.37 32.84 36.52
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 16.51 18.23 19.86 20.84 15.60 3.57 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.38 9.81 11.57 12.95 16.02 18.4310B-43

Table 10B.2.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.22 -2.45 -3.17 -10.63 -26.35 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.38 3.18 4.09 4.65 8.70 12.39
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 1.81 1.96 1.65 1.49 -1.93 -13.96 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.60 2.11 2.79 3.13 5.71 8.12

Table 10B.2.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.87 -3.35 -18.20 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.52 2.56 6.11
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.79 -12.09 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.87 1.02 1.65 3.9810B-44

Figure 10B.2.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High PriceElastici t y

Scenario (-0.2) Table 10B.2.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.86 -1.99 -2.30 -7.27 -8.15 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 1.26 1.99 2.84 3.13 6.14 6.28
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.97 1.13 0.85 0.84 -1.14 -1.87 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.26 1.91 2.11 4.06 4.1410B-45

Table 10B.2.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Pro duct Classes, High Pri ce Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.53 -1.07 -1.85 -3.36 -6.61 -6.61 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 15.24 17.34 20.06 22.72 24.14 24.13
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 14.71 16.27 18.21 19.36 17.52 17.52 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.2.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.14 -0.20 -0.37 -0.37 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.96 1.08 1.18 1.24 1.29 1.29
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.89 0.99 1.03 1.04 0.93 0.93 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.2.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)10B-46 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.93 -1.61 -2.94 -5.42 -5.42 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 14.12 16.01 18.51 20.92 21.98 21.98
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 13.69 15.07 16.90 17.98 16.55 16.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.2.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.2.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-47

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.12 -0.12 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.14
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.2.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.2.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.1710B-48

Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.15 -0.62 -0.63 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.41 0.66 0.66
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.2.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0006 -0.0006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.0610B-49

Figure 10B.3.1 Sum mary Results for All Product Classes, LowP ric e Elasticit y Scenario Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02

10B.3 1% LOAD GROWTH 10B.3.1 3% Discount Rate 10B.3.1.1 Low Price Elasticit y Scenario

Table 10B.3.1 Summary Results T able for All Product Classes , Low PriceElasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.60 -8.73 -13.47 -37.21 -72.5110B-50 Figure 10B.3.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, LowPrice

Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs) ($Billions) 54.89 64.92 77.03 89.00 112.94 127.56
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 52.71 60.32 68.29 75.53 75.74 55.05 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.55 10.12 12.06 13.74 17.88 20.8410B-51

Table 10B.3.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.13 -2.44 -4.95 -6.43 -22.75 -58.06 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 8.15 11.24 14.19 16.31 32.83 47.45
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 7.03 8.80 9.24 9.88 10.08 -10.61 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.71 2.29 3.01 3.40 6.61 9.57

Table 10B.3.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.73 -6.75 -39.92 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.50 3.76 4.02 5.05 8.90 22.59
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.95 3.03 3.13 3.32 2.15 -17.33 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.5810B-52

Figure 10B.3.3 Results Tabl e for D ry-Ty pe, L ow Pr iceElasticity

Scenario (0.00) Table 10B.3.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.06 -4.70 -16.00 -18.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 4.65 7.48 10.17 11.26 23.93 24.86
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 4.07 5.77 6.11 6.56 7.93 6.72 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.43 2.11 2.34 4.83 4.9910B-53

Table 10B.3.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, LowP ric e Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.16 -3.78 -7.04 -14.46 -14.46 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 46.74 53.68 62.83 72.69 80.12 80.11
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 45.68 51.52 59.05 65.65 65.66 65.66 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.3.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.15 -0.18 -0.30 -0.42 -0.80 -0.80 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.97 3.36 3.71 3.97 4.28 4.28
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.82 3.19 3.42 3.55 3.48 3.48 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.5710B-54

Table 10B.3.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.29 -6.16 -11.89 -11.88 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 43.28 49.53 57.98 66.97 73.01 73.01
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 42.42 47.65 54.68 60.81 61.12 61.12 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.3.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.00110B-55

Table 10B.3.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.47 0.47
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.3.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.00210B-56

Table 10B.3.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.35 -1.35 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.15 2.15
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.81 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.3.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0012 0.0017 0.0017
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)10B-57

Figure 10B.3.4 Su mmary Results for All Pro duct Class es,Medium Price Elasticit y Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.19
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.3.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.3.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, M edium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-58 Figure 10B.3.5 Results Table for Liquid-Im merse d, Mediu m

Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.59 -8.69 -13.39 -36.68 -71.07 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 54.84 64.79 76.76 88.52 111.68 125.82
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 52.66 60.21 68.07 75.13 75.00 54.75 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.54 10.11 12.02 13.66 17.68 20.5510B-59

Table 10B.3.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.43 -4.92 -6.39 -22.37 -56.76 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 8.15 11.22 14.13 16.22 32.31 46.45
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 7.02 8.78 9.20 9.83 9.94 -10.31 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.28 2.99 3.38 6.51 9.38

Table 10B.3.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.72 -39.06 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.50 3.75 4.02 5.04 8.86 22.15
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.95 3.03 3.13 3.31 2.14 -16.91 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.4910B-60

Figure 10B.3.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elas tici ty Scenario (-0.02) Table 10B.3.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.03 -4.66 -15.65 -17.70 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 4.65 7.46 10.11 11.18 23.45 24.30
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 4.07 5.76 6.08 6.52 7.80 6.60 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.42 2.10 2.32 4.74 4.8810B-61

Table 10B.3.18 Summ ar yResults Table for All D ry-Type Product Classes, MediumPrice

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.15 -3.77 -7.00 -14.31 -14.31 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 46.70 53.58 62.63 72.30 79.37 79.37
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 45.64 51.42 58.87 65.30 65.06 65.06 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.3.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.18 -0.29 -0.42 -0.79 -0.79 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.96 3.36 3.70 3.95 4.24 4.24
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.82 3.18 3.41 3.53 3.45 3.45 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.3.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)10B-62 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.28 -6.13 -11.76 -11.76 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 43.24 49.44 57.80 66.61 72.32 72.32
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 42.39 47.56 54.51 60.48 60.56 60.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.3.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.3.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level10B-63 One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.46 0.46
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.3.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.3.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-64

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.33 -1.34 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.13 2.14
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.80 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.3.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0017 0.0017
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-65

Figure 10B.3.7 Summary Results forAll Pro duct Class es,High Price Elasticit y Scenario Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.18
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.3.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenar io

Table 10B.3.27 Summary Results Tabl e for All Product Clas ses, High PriceElasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.2810B-66

Figure 10B.3.8 Result s Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Pric e

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -2.17 -4.52 -8.46 -12.88 -33.97 -64.89 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 54.43 63.81 74.76 84.76 103.32 115.67
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 52.26 59.28 66.29 71.88 69.36 50.78 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.48 9.96 11.72 13.13 16.44 18.9610B-67

Table 10B.3.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.41 -4.81 -6.23 -20.90 -51.84 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 8.12 11.13 13.86 15.88 30.32 42.68
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 7.00 8.72 9.05 9.65 9.41 -9.16 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.27 2.94 3.32 6.13 8.65

Table 10B.3.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.60 -35.80 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.49 3.75 4.01 5.02 8.71 20.46
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.95 3.02 3.12 3.30 2.11 -15.34 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.89 1.06 1.74 4.17

Table 10B.3.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)10B-68

Figure 10B.3.9 Results Table for Dr y-Type , High PriceElastici t y Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.68 -3.92 -4.52 -14.31 -16.04 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 4.63 7.38 9.85 10.86 21.61 22.21
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 4.05 5.69 5.93 6.34 7.30 6.17 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.89 1.41 2.05 2.26 4.39 4.4810B-69

Table 10B.3.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Pro duct Classes, High Pri ce Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.05 -2.11 -3.65 -6.64 -13.07 -13.05 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 46.31 52.68 60.89 68.88 73.01 72.99
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 45.26 50.57 57.24 62.23 59.94 59.94 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.3.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.17 -0.28 -0.40 -0.72 -0.72 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.91 3.28 3.57 3.77 3.91 3.91
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.77 3.11 3.29 3.37 3.19 3.19 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.3.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)10B-70 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.85 -1.84 -3.18 -5.80 -10.71 -10.71 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 42.91 48.62 56.19 63.40 66.47 66.47
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 42.06 46.78 53.01 57.60 55.76 55.76 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.3.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.007 0.009 0.009
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.3.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-71

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.25 -0.25 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.32 0.43 0.43
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.18 0.18 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.3.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.011 0.011
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.3.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.1710B-72

Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.30 -1.23 -1.23 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.81 1.25 1.99 1.99
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.33 0.50 0.69 0.94 0.75 0.75 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.3.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0012 -0.0012 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0016 0.0016
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.1310B-73

Figure 10B.4.1 Sum mary Results for All Product Classes, LowP ric e Elasticit y Scenario Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.17
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02

10B.4 0% LOAD GROWTH 10B.4.1 3% Discount Rate 10B.4.1.1 Low Price Elasticit y Scenario

Table 10B.4.1 Summary Results T able for All Product Classes , Low PriceElasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.60 -8.73 -13.47 -37.21 -72.5110B-74

Figure 10B.4.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, LowPric e

Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 53.96 63.40 75.50 87.13 108.45 121.50
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 51.77 58.80 66.76 73.66 71.24 48.98 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.45 9.97 11.90 13.55 17.42 20.2410B-75

Table 10B.4.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.13 -2.44 -4.95 -6.43 -22.75 -58.06 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 7.22 9.72 12.66 14.44 28.33 41.38
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 6.09 7.28 7.71 8.01 5.58 -16.68 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.85 3.21 6.15 8.97

Table 10B.4.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.73 -6.75 -39.92 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.39 3.61 3.81 4.63 7.91 20.28
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.84 2.89 2.92 2.90 1.16 -19.64 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.69 4.37

Table 10B.4.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)10B-76

Figure 10B.4.3 Results Table for Dr y-Type, Low PriceElasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.06 -4.70 -16.00 -18.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.83 6.11 8.85 9.81 20.42 21.10
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 3.25 4.40 4.79 5.11 4.41 2.97 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.97 2.18 4.46 4.6010B-77

Table 10B.4.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, LowP ric e Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.16 -3.78 -7.04 -14.46 -14.46 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 46.74 53.68 62.83 72.69 80.12 80.11
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 45.68 51.52 59.05 65.65 65.66 65.66 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.4.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.15 -0.18 -0.30 -0.42 -0.80 -0.80 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.97 3.36 3.71 3.97 4.28 4.28
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.82 3.19 3.42 3.55 3.48 3.48 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.5710B-78

Table 10B.4.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.29 -6.16 -11.89 -11.88 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 43.28 49.53 57.98 66.97 73.01 73.01
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 42.42 47.65 54.68 60.81 61.12 61.12 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.4.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)10B-79 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.47 0.47
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.4.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-80

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.35 -1.35 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.15 2.15
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.81 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.4.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0012 0.0017 0.0017
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.0210B-81

Figure 10B.4.4 Su mmary Results for All Product Clas ses,Medium Price Elasticit y Scenario Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.19
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.4.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.4.14 Summary Results Table for Al l Pr oduct Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.59 -8.69 -13.39 -36.68 -71.0710B-82

Figure 10B.4.5 Re sults Table for Li quid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 53.91 63.28 75.24 86.66 107.26 119.89
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 51.73 58.69 66.55 73.28 70.58 48.83 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.44 9.95 11.86 13.48 17.23 19.9610B-83

Table 10B.4.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.43 -4.92 -6.39 -22.37 -56.76 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 7.21 9.70 12.61 14.36 27.89 40.52
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 6.09 7.27 7.68 7.98 5.52 -16.23 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.84 3.19 6.06 8.79

Table 10B.4.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.72 -39.06 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.39 3.61 3.81 4.62 7.88 19.88
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.84 2.89 2.92 2.90 1.16 -19.18 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.68 4.2910B-84

Figure 10B.4.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Table 10B.4.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.03 -4.66 -15.65 -17.70 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.83 6.09 8.80 9.74 20.01 20.64
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 3.25 4.38 4.77 5.08 4.36 2.94 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.96 2.17 4.38 4.5010B-85

Table 10B.4.18 Summ ar yResults Table for All D ry-Type Product Classes, MediumPrice

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.15 -3.77 -7.00 -14.31 -14.31 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 46.70 53.58 62.63 72.30 79.37 79.37
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 45.64 51.42 58.87 65.30 65.06 65.06 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.4.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.18 -0.29 -0.42 -0.79 -0.79 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.96 3.36 3.70 3.95 4.24 4.24
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.82 3.18 3.41 3.53 3.45 3.45 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.4.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)10B-86 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.28 -6.13 -11.76 -11.76 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 43.24 49.44 57.80 66.61 72.32 72.32
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 42.39 47.56 54.51 60.48 60.56 60.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.4.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-87

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.46 0.46
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.4.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.1910B-88

Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.33 -1.34 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.13 2.14
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.80 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.4.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0017 0.0017
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.1410B-89

Figure10B.4.7 Summary Results for All P roduct Classes,High Price

Elasticit y Scenario Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.18
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.4.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenar io

Table 10B.4.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classe s, High PriceElastici ty Scenario Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -2.17 -4.52 -8.46 -12.88 -33.97 -64.89 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 53.50 62.31 73.27 82.95 99.22 110.2810B-90

Figure 10B.4.8 Result s Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Pric e

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 51.33 57.78 64.81 70.07 65.25 45.39 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.38 9.81 11.57 12.95 16.02 18.4310B-91

Table 10B.4.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.41 -4.81 -6.23 -20.90 -51.84 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 7.19 9.63 12.38 14.07 26.22 37.28
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 6.07 7.22 7.57 7.84 5.31 -14.55 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.60 2.11 2.79 3.13 5.71 8.12

Table 10B.4.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.60 -35.80 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.38 3.61 3.80 4.60 7.75 18.39
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.84 2.88 2.91 2.89 1.16 -17.41 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.87 1.02 1.65 3.9810B-92

Figure 10B.4.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High PriceElastici t y

Scenario (-0.2) Table 10B.4.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.68 -3.92 -4.52 -14.31 -16.04 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 3.81 6.02 8.58 9.47 18.46 18.90
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 3.23 4.34 4.66 4.95 4.16 2.86 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.26 1.91 2.11 4.06 4.1410B-93

Table 10B.4.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Pro duct Classes, High Pri ce Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -1.05 -2.11 -3.65 -6.64 -13.07 -13.05 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 46.31 52.68 60.89 68.88 73.01 72.99
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 45.26 50.57 57.24 62.23 59.94 59.94 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.4.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.17 -0.28 -0.40 -0.72 -0.72 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 2.91 3.28 3.57 3.77 3.91 3.91
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 2.77 3.11 3.29 3.37 3.19 3.19 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.5210B-94

Table 10B.4.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.85 -1.84 -3.18 -5.80 -10.71 -10.71 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 42.91 48.62 56.19 63.40 66.47 66.47
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 42.06 46.78 53.01 57.60 55.76 55.76 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.4.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.007 0.009 0.009
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)10B-95 Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.25 -0.25 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.32 0.43 0.43
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.18 0.18 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.4.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.011 0.011
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six10B-96

Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.30 -1.23 -1.23 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.81 1.25 1.99 1.99
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.33 0.50 0.69 0.94 0.75 0.75 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.4.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0012 -0.0012 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0016 0.0016
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.0210B-97

Equipment

Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.13 Operati ng Cost ( Savings

in TSLs)($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.17
Net Prese nt Value ( $Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02