10B-i

APPENDIX 10B: NATIONAL ENERGY SAVING S AND NET NATIONAL

 PRESENT VALUE RESULTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

10B.1 1% LOAD GROWTH ................................................ 10B-1

10B.1.1 7% Discount Rate ............................................ 10B-1

10B.1.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario ....................... 10B-1

10B.1.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario .................... 10B-9

10B.1.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario ...................... 10B-17

10B.2 0% LOAD GROWTH ............................................... 10B-25

10B.2.1 7% Discount Rate ........................................... 10B-25

10B.2.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario ...................... 10B-25

10B.2.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario ................... 10B-33

10B.2.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario ...................... 10B-41

10B.3 1% LOAD GROWTH ............................................... 10B-49

10B.3.1 3% Discount Rate ........................................... 10B-49

10B.3.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario ...................... 10B-49

10B.3.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario ................... 10B-57

10B.3.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario ...................... 10B-65

10B.4 0% LOAD GROWTH ............................................... 10B-73

10B.4.1 3% Discount Rate ........................................... 10B-73

10B.4.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario ....................... 10B-73

10B.4.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario .................... 10B-81

10B.4.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario ...................... 10B-89

LIST OF TABLES

Table 10B.1.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario ................................................... 10B-2

Table 10B.1.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-3

Table 10B.1.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-3

Table 10B.1.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-4

Table 10B.1.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-5
10B-ii

Table 10B.1.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-5

Table 10B.1.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-6

Table 10B.1.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-6

Table 10B.1.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-7

Table 10B.1.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-7

Table 10B.1.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-8

Table 10B.1.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-8

Table 10B.1.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-9

Table 10B.1.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-10

Table 10B.1.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-11

Table 10B.1.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-11

Table 10B.1.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-12

Table 10B.1.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, 

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) ........................ 10B-13

Table 10B.1.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-13

Table 10B.1.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-14

Table 10B.1.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-14

Table 10B.1.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-15

Table 10B.1.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-15

Table 10B.1.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-16

Table 10B.1.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-16
10B-iii

Table 10B.1.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-17

Table 10B.1.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-18

Table 10B.1.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-19

Table 10B.1.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-19

Table 10B.1.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-20

Table 10B.1.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price 

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ..................................... 10B-21

Table 10B.1.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-21

Table 10B.1.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-22

Table 10B.1.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-22

Table 10B.1.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-23

Table 10B.1.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-23

Table 10B.1.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-24

Table 10B.1.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-24

Table 10B.1.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-25

Table 10B.2.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-26

Table 10B.2.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-27

Table 10B.2.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-27

Table 10B.2.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-28

Table 10B.2.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low 

Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) ................................ 10B-29

Table 10B.2.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-29

Table 10B.2.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-30

Table 10B.2.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 
10B-iv

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-30

Table 10B.2.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-31

Table 10B.2.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-31

Table 10B.2.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-32

Table 10B.2.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-32

Table 10B.2.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-33

Table 10B.2.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-34

Table 10B.2.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-35

Table 10B.2.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-35

Table 10B.2.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-36

Table 10B.2.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, 

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) ........................ 10B-37

Table 10B.2.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-37

Table 10B.2.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-38

Table 10B.2.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-38

Table 10B.2.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-39

Table 10B.2.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-39

Table 10B.2.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-40

Table 10B.2.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-40

Table 10B.2.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-41

Table 10B.2.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-42
10B-v

Table 10B.2.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-43

Table 10B.2.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-43

Table 10B.2.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-44

Table 10B.2.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price 

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ..................................... 10B-45

Table 10B.2.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-45

Table 10B.2.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-46

Table 10B.2.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-46

Table 10B.2.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-47

Table 10B.2.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-47

Table 10B.2.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-48

Table 10B.2.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-48

Table 10B.2.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-49

Table 10B.3.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-50

Table 10B.3.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-51

Table 10B.3.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-51

Table 10B.3.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-52

Table 10B.3.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price 

Elasticity Scenario (0.00) .................................... 10B-53

Table 10B.3.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-53

Table 10B.3.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-54
10B-vi

Table 10B.3.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-54

Table 10B.3.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-55

Table 10B.3.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-55

Table 10B.3.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-56

Table 10B.3.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-56

Table 10B.3.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-57

Table 10B.3.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-58

Table 10B.3.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-59

Table 10B.3.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-59

Table 10B.3.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-60

Table 10B.3.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, 

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) ........................ 10B-61

Table 10B.3.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-61

Table 10B.3.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-62

Table 10B.3.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-62

Table 10B.3.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-63

Table 10B.3.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-63

Table 10B.3.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-64

Table 10B.3.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-64

Table 10B.3.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-65

Table 10B.3.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-66
10B-vii

Table 10B.3.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-67

Table 10B.3.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-67

Table 10B.3.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-68

Table 10B.3.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price 

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ..................................... 10B-69

Table 10B.3.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-69

Table 10B.3.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-70

Table 10B.3.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-70

Table 10B.3.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-71

Table 10B.3.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-71

Table 10B.3.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-72

Table 10B.3.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-72

Table 10B.3.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-73

Table 10B.4.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-74

Table 10B.4.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-75

Table 10B.4.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-75

Table 10B.4.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-76

Table 10B.4.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price 

Elasticity Scenario (0.00) .................................... 10B-77

Table 10B.4.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-77

Table 10B.4.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-78

Table 10B.4.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-78
10B-viii

Table 10B.4.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-79

Table 10B.4.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-79

Table 10B.4.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-80

Table 10B.4.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-80

Table 10B.4.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-81

Table 10B.4.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-82

Table 10B.4.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-83

Table 10B.4.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-83

Table 10B.4.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-84

Table 10B.4.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, 

Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) ........................ 10B-85

Table 10B.4.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-85

Table 10B.4.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-86

Table 10B.4.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-86

Table 10B.4.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-87

Table 10B.4.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-87

Table 10B.4.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-88

Table 10B.4.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-88

Table 10B.4.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-89

Table 10B.4.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-90

Table 10B.4.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-91

Table 10B.4.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-91
10B-ix

Table 10B.4.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-92

Table 10B.4.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High 

Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ................................ 10B-93

Table 10B.4.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-93

Table 10B.4.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-94

Table 10B.4.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-94

Table 10B.4.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-95

Table 10B.4.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-95

Table 10B.4.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-96

Table 10B.4.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-96

Table 10B.4.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-97

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 10B.1.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario ................................................... 10B-1

Figure 10B.1.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................. 10B-2

Figure 10B.1.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) ...... 10B-4

Figure 10B.1.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario ................................................... 10B-9

Figure 10B.1.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-10

Figure 10B.1.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-12

Figure 10B.1.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-17
10B-x

Figure 10B.1.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-18

Figure 10B.1.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ..... 10B-20

Figure 10B.2.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-25

Figure 10B.2.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-26

Figure 10B.2.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) ..... 10B-28

Figure 10B.2.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-33

Figure 10B.2.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-34

Figure 10B.2.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-36

Figure 10B.2.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-41

Figure 10B.2.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-42

Figure 10B.2.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ..... 10B-44

Figure 10B.3.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-49

Figure 10B.3.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-50

Figure 10B.3.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) ..... 10B-52

Figure 10B.3.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-57

Figure 10B.3.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-58

Figure 10B.3.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-60

Figure 10B.3.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-65

Figure 10B.3.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-66

Figure 10B.3.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ..... 10B-68

Figure 10B.4.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-73

Figure 10B.4.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00) ............................................ 10B-74

Figure 10B.4.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) ..... 10B-76
10B-xi

Figure 10B.4.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-81

Figure 10B.4.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04) ............................................ 10B-82

Figure 10B.4.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02) ............................................ 10B-84

Figure 10B.4.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario .................................................. 10B-89

Figure 10B.4.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2) ............................................. 10B-90

Figure 10B.4.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) ..... 10B-92
10B-1

Figure 10B.1.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario

APPENDIX 10B: NATIONAL ENERGY SAVING S AND NET NATIONAL

 PRESENT VALUE RESULTS

10B.1 1% LOAD GROWTH

10B.1.1 7% Discount Rate

10B.1.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario
10B-2

Figure 10B.1.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.1.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.43 -6.83 -18.88 -36.83

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 17.97 21.21 25.20 29.10 36.73 41.40

Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.86 18.88 20.77 22.27 17.85 4.57

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.55 10.12 12.06 13.74 17.88 20.84
10B-3

Table 10B.1.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.52 -3.27 -11.56 -29.51

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 2.60 3.56 4.53 5.20 10.38 15.05

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.02 2.32 2.01 1.93 -1.18 -14.46

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.71 2.29 3.01 3.40 6.61 9.57

Table 10B.1.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.43 -20.29

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 1.14 1.23 1.31 1.62 2.84 7.23

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.75 -0.59 -13.07

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.58

Table 10B.1.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)
10B-4

Figure 10B.1.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.30 -0.87 -2.06 -2.39 -8.13 -9.22

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 1.45 2.33 3.22 3.57 7.55 7.83

Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.16 1.46 1.16 1.18 -0.59 -1.39

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.90 1.43 2.11 2.34 4.83 4.99
10B-5

Table 10B.1.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.56 -7.32 -7.32

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 15.37 17.65 20.66 23.91 26.35 26.35

Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.84 16.56 18.75 20.34 19.03 19.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.1.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.98 1.11 1.22 1.31 1.41 1.41

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.00 1.00

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.1.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)
10B-6

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.67 -3.12 -6.02 -6.02

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 14.23 16.29 19.07 22.03 24.01 24.01

Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.80 15.34 17.40 18.91 17.99 17.99

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.1.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.1.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level
10B-7

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.1.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-8

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.71 0.71

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.1.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
10B-9

Figure 10B.1.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.1.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.1.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.41 -6.79 -18.61 -36.09
10B-10

Figure 10B.1.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 17.95 21.17 25.11 28.95 36.34 40.87

Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.85 18.85 20.70 22.16 17.73 4.77

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.54 10.11 12.02 13.66 17.68 20.55
10B-11

Table 10B.1.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.50 -3.25 -11.37 -28.85

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 2.60 3.55 4.51 5.17 10.23 14.75

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.02 2.31 2.01 1.92 -1.14 -14.10

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.70 2.28 2.99 3.38 6.51 9.38

Table 10B.1.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.42 -19.85

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 1.14 1.23 1.31 1.62 2.83 7.09

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.75 -0.59 -12.76

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.49
10B-12

Figure 10B.1.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)

Table 10B.1.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.87 -2.05 -2.37 -7.95 -9.00

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 1.45 2.32 3.21 3.55 7.40 7.66

Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.16 1.46 1.16 1.18 -0.55 -1.34

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.90 1.42 2.10 2.32 4.74 4.88
10B-13

Table 10B.1.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.54 -7.24 -7.24

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 15.36 17.62 20.60 23.78 26.12 26.12

Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.82 16.53 18.70 20.24 18.87 18.87

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.1.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.97 1.10 1.22 1.30 1.40 1.40

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.01 1.07 1.09 0.99 0.99

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.1.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)
10B-14

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.66 -3.10 -5.96 -5.95

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 14.22 16.26 19.01 21.91 23.80 23.80

Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.79 15.31 17.35 18.81 17.84 17.84

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.1.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.1.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-15

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.1.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19
10B-16

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.70 0.70

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.1.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07
10B-17

Figure 10B.1.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.1.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.1.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.10 -2.30 -4.29 -6.53 -17.24 -32.96

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 17.83 20.87 24.49 27.79 33.77 37.75
10B-18

Figure 10B.1.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.72 18.57 20.20 21.26 16.53 4.79

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.48 9.96 11.72 13.13 16.44 18.96
10B-19

Table 10B.1.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.22 -2.45 -3.17 -10.63 -26.35

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 2.59 3.52 4.43 5.07 9.63 13.62

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.02 2.30 1.99 1.90 -0.99 -12.73

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.70 2.27 2.94 3.32 6.13 8.65

Table 10B.1.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.87 -3.35 -18.20

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 1.14 1.22 1.30 1.62 2.78 6.58

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.74 -0.57 -11.62

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.89 1.06 1.74 4.17

Table 10B.1.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)
10B-20

Figure 10B.1.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.86 -1.99 -2.30 -7.27 -8.15

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 1.45 2.30 3.13 3.45 6.85 7.04

Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.15 1.44 1.14 1.16 -0.42 -1.12

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.89 1.41 2.05 2.26 4.39 4.48
10B-21

Table 10B.1.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.53 -1.07 -1.85 -3.36 -6.61 -6.61

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 15.24 17.34 20.06 22.72 24.14 24.13

Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.71 16.27 18.21 19.36 17.52 17.52

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.1.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.14 -0.20 -0.37 -0.37

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.96 1.08 1.18 1.24 1.29 1.29

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.89 0.99 1.03 1.04 0.93 0.93

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52
10B-22

Table 10B.1.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.93 -1.61 -2.94 -5.42 -5.42

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 14.12 16.01 18.51 20.92 21.98 21.98

Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.69 15.07 16.90 17.98 16.55 16.56

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.1.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
10B-23

Table 10B.1.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.12 -0.12

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.14

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.1.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)
10B-24

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.15 -0.62 -0.63

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.41 0.66 0.66

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.03 0.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.1.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0006 -0.0006

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-25

Figure 10B.2.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02

10B.2 0% LOAD GROWTH

10B.2.1 7% Discount Rate

10B.2.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.2.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-26

Figure 10B.2.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.43 -6.83 -18.88 -36.83

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 17.76 20.86 24.85 28.68 35.71 40.02

Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.65 18.53 20.42 21.85 16.82 3.19

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.45 9.97 11.90 13.55 17.42 20.24
10B-27

Table 10B.2.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.52 -3.27 -11.56 -29.51

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.38 3.21 4.18 4.77 9.36 13.67

Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.81 1.97 1.67 1.50 -2.21 -15.84

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.85 3.21 6.15 8.97

Table 10B.2.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.43 -20.29

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.53 2.61 6.70

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.82 -13.59

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.69 4.37

Table 10B.2.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)
10B-28

Figure 10B.2.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.30 -0.87 -2.06 -2.39 -8.13 -9.22

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 1.27 2.02 2.92 3.24 6.74 6.97

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.97 1.15 0.86 0.85 -1.39 -2.25

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.97 2.18 4.46 4.60
10B-29

Table 10B.2.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.56 -7.32 -7.32

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 15.37 17.65 20.66 23.91 26.35 26.35

Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.84 16.56 18.75 20.34 19.03 19.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.2.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.98 1.11 1.22 1.31 1.41 1.41

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.00 1.00

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.2.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)
10B-30

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.67 -3.12 -6.02 -6.02

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 14.23 16.29 19.07 22.03 24.01 24.01

Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.80 15.34 17.40 18.91 17.99 17.99

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.2.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.2.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level
10B-31

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.2.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.2.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-32

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.71 0.71

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.2.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
10B-33

Figure 10B.2.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.2.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.2.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.41 -6.79 -18.61 -36.09
10B-34

Figure 10B.2.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 17.74 20.83 24.77 28.53 35.34 39.52

Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.63 18.50 20.36 21.74 16.72 3.43

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.44 9.95 11.86 13.48 17.23 19.96
10B-35

Table 10B.2.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.50 -3.25 -11.37 -28.85

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.38 3.21 4.17 4.75 9.22 13.40

Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.81 1.97 1.66 1.50 -2.15 -15.45

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.84 3.19 6.06 8.79

Table 10B.2.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.42 -19.85

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.53 2.60 6.58

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.81 -13.28

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.68 4.29

Table 10B.2.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)
10B-36

Figure 10B.2.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.87 -2.05 -2.37 -7.95 -9.00

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 1.26 2.01 2.91 3.22 6.62 6.83

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.97 1.14 0.86 0.85 -1.34 -2.17

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.96 2.17 4.38 4.50
10B-37

Table 10B.2.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.54 -7.24 -7.24

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 15.36 17.62 20.60 23.78 26.12 26.12

Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.82 16.53 18.70 20.24 18.87 18.87

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.2.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.97 1.10 1.22 1.30 1.40 1.40

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.01 1.07 1.09 0.99 0.99

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57
10B-38

Table 10B.2.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.66 -3.10 -5.96 -5.95

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 14.22 16.26 19.01 21.91 23.80 23.80

Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.79 15.31 17.35 18.81 17.84 17.84

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.2.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
10B-39

Table 10B.2.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.2.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002
10B-40

Table 10B.2.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.70 0.70

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.2.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)
10B-41

Figure 10B.2.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.2.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.2.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity

Scenario
10B-42

Figure 10B.2.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.10 -2.30 -4.29 -6.53 -17.24 -32.96

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 17.61 20.53 24.15 27.37 32.84 36.52

Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.51 18.23 19.86 20.84 15.60 3.57

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.38 9.81 11.57 12.95 16.02 18.43
10B-43

Table 10B.2.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.22 -2.45 -3.17 -10.63 -26.35

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.38 3.18 4.09 4.65 8.70 12.39

Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.81 1.96 1.65 1.49 -1.93 -13.96

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.60 2.11 2.79 3.13 5.71 8.12

Table 10B.2.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.87 -3.35 -18.20

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.52 2.56 6.11

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.79 -12.09

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.87 1.02 1.65 3.98
10B-44

Figure 10B.2.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.2.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.86 -1.99 -2.30 -7.27 -8.15

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 1.26 1.99 2.84 3.13 6.14 6.28

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.97 1.13 0.85 0.84 -1.14 -1.87

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 1.26 1.91 2.11 4.06 4.14
10B-45

Table 10B.2.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.53 -1.07 -1.85 -3.36 -6.61 -6.61

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 15.24 17.34 20.06 22.72 24.14 24.13

Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.71 16.27 18.21 19.36 17.52 17.52

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.2.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.14 -0.20 -0.37 -0.37

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.96 1.08 1.18 1.24 1.29 1.29

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.89 0.99 1.03 1.04 0.93 0.93

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.2.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)
10B-46

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.93 -1.61 -2.94 -5.42 -5.42

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 14.12 16.01 18.51 20.92 21.98 21.98

Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.69 15.07 16.90 17.98 16.55 16.56

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.2.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.2.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-47

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.12 -0.12

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.14

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.2.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.2.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17
10B-48

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.15 -0.62 -0.63

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.41 0.66 0.66

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.03 0.03

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.2.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0006 -0.0006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06
10B-49

Figure 10B.3.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02

10B.3 1% LOAD GROWTH

10B.3.1 3% Discount Rate

10B.3.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.3.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.60 -8.73 -13.47 -37.21 -72.51
10B-50

Figure 10B.3.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs)

($Billions) 54.89 64.92 77.03 89.00 112.94 127.56

Net Present Value ($Billions) 52.71 60.32 68.29 75.53 75.74 55.05

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.55 10.12 12.06 13.74 17.88 20.84
10B-51

Table 10B.3.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.13 -2.44 -4.95 -6.43 -22.75 -58.06

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 8.15 11.24 14.19 16.31 32.83 47.45

Net Present Value ($Billions) 7.03 8.80 9.24 9.88 10.08 -10.61

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.71 2.29 3.01 3.40 6.61 9.57

Table 10B.3.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.73 -6.75 -39.92

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.50 3.76 4.02 5.05 8.90 22.59

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.95 3.03 3.13 3.32 2.15 -17.33

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.58
10B-52

Figure 10B.3.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.3.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.06 -4.70 -16.00 -18.14

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 4.65 7.48 10.17 11.26 23.93 24.86

Net Present Value ($Billions) 4.07 5.77 6.11 6.56 7.93 6.72

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.90 1.43 2.11 2.34 4.83 4.99
10B-53

Table 10B.3.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.16 -3.78 -7.04 -14.46 -14.46

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 46.74 53.68 62.83 72.69 80.12 80.11

Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.68 51.52 59.05 65.65 65.66 65.66

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.3.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.15 -0.18 -0.30 -0.42 -0.80 -0.80

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.97 3.36 3.71 3.97 4.28 4.28

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.19 3.42 3.55 3.48 3.48

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57
10B-54

Table 10B.3.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.29 -6.16 -11.89 -11.88

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 43.28 49.53 57.98 66.97 73.01 73.01

Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.42 47.65 54.68 60.81 61.12 61.12

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.3.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
10B-55

Table 10B.3.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.47 0.47

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.3.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002
10B-56

Table 10B.3.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.35 -1.35

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.15 2.15

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.81 0.80

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.3.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0012 0.0017 0.0017

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)
10B-57

Figure 10B.3.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.19

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.3.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.3.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-58

Figure 10B.3.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.59 -8.69 -13.39 -36.68 -71.07

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 54.84 64.79 76.76 88.52 111.68 125.82

Net Present Value ($Billions) 52.66 60.21 68.07 75.13 75.00 54.75

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.54 10.11 12.02 13.66 17.68 20.55
10B-59

Table 10B.3.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.43 -4.92 -6.39 -22.37 -56.76

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 8.15 11.22 14.13 16.22 32.31 46.45

Net Present Value ($Billions) 7.02 8.78 9.20 9.83 9.94 -10.31

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.70 2.28 2.99 3.38 6.51 9.38

Table 10B.3.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.72 -39.06

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.50 3.75 4.02 5.04 8.86 22.15

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.95 3.03 3.13 3.31 2.14 -16.91

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.49
10B-60

Figure 10B.3.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)

Table 10B.3.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.03 -4.66 -15.65 -17.70

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 4.65 7.46 10.11 11.18 23.45 24.30

Net Present Value ($Billions) 4.07 5.76 6.08 6.52 7.80 6.60

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.90 1.42 2.10 2.32 4.74 4.88
10B-61

Table 10B.3.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.15 -3.77 -7.00 -14.31 -14.31

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 46.70 53.58 62.63 72.30 79.37 79.37

Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.64 51.42 58.87 65.30 65.06 65.06

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.3.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.18 -0.29 -0.42 -0.79 -0.79

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.96 3.36 3.70 3.95 4.24 4.24

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.18 3.41 3.53 3.45 3.45

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.3.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)
10B-62

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.28 -6.13 -11.76 -11.76

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 43.24 49.44 57.80 66.61 72.32 72.32

Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.39 47.56 54.51 60.48 60.56 60.56

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.3.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.3.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level
10B-63

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.46 0.46

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.3.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.3.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-64

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.33 -1.34

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.13 2.14

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.80 0.80

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.3.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0017 0.0017

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-65

Figure 10B.3.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.18

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.3.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.3.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28
10B-66

Figure 10B.3.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.17 -4.52 -8.46 -12.88 -33.97 -64.89

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 54.43 63.81 74.76 84.76 103.32 115.67

Net Present Value ($Billions) 52.26 59.28 66.29 71.88 69.36 50.78

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.48 9.96 11.72 13.13 16.44 18.96
10B-67

Table 10B.3.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.41 -4.81 -6.23 -20.90 -51.84

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 8.12 11.13 13.86 15.88 30.32 42.68

Net Present Value ($Billions) 7.00 8.72 9.05 9.65 9.41 -9.16

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.70 2.27 2.94 3.32 6.13 8.65

Table 10B.3.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.60 -35.80

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.49 3.75 4.01 5.02 8.71 20.46

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.95 3.02 3.12 3.30 2.11 -15.34

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.89 1.06 1.74 4.17

Table 10B.3.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)
10B-68

Figure 10B.3.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.68 -3.92 -4.52 -14.31 -16.04

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 4.63 7.38 9.85 10.86 21.61 22.21

Net Present Value ($Billions) 4.05 5.69 5.93 6.34 7.30 6.17

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.89 1.41 2.05 2.26 4.39 4.48
10B-69

Table 10B.3.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.05 -2.11 -3.65 -6.64 -13.07 -13.05

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 46.31 52.68 60.89 68.88 73.01 72.99

Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.26 50.57 57.24 62.23 59.94 59.94

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.3.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.17 -0.28 -0.40 -0.72 -0.72

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.91 3.28 3.57 3.77 3.91 3.91

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.77 3.11 3.29 3.37 3.19 3.19

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.3.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)
10B-70

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.85 -1.84 -3.18 -5.80 -10.71 -10.71

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 42.91 48.62 56.19 63.40 66.47 66.47

Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.06 46.78 53.01 57.60 55.76 55.76

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.3.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.007 0.009 0.009

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.3.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-71

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.25 -0.25

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.32 0.43 0.43

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.18 0.18

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.3.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.011 0.011

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.3.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17
10B-72

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.30 -1.23 -1.23

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.81 1.25 1.99 1.99

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.50 0.69 0.94 0.75 0.75

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.3.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0012 -0.0012

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0016 0.0016

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.13
10B-73

Figure 10B.4.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.17

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02

10B.4 0% LOAD GROWTH

10B.4.1 3% Discount Rate

10B.4.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.4.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.60 -8.73 -13.47 -37.21 -72.51
10B-74

Figure 10B.4.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 53.96 63.40 75.50 87.13 108.45 121.50

Net Present Value ($Billions) 51.77 58.80 66.76 73.66 71.24 48.98

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.45 9.97 11.90 13.55 17.42 20.24
10B-75

Table 10B.4.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.13 -2.44 -4.95 -6.43 -22.75 -58.06

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 7.22 9.72 12.66 14.44 28.33 41.38

Net Present Value ($Billions) 6.09 7.28 7.71 8.01 5.58 -16.68

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.85 3.21 6.15 8.97

Table 10B.4.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.73 -6.75 -39.92

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.39 3.61 3.81 4.63 7.91 20.28

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.84 2.89 2.92 2.90 1.16 -19.64

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.69 4.37

Table 10B.4.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)
10B-76

Figure 10B.4.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.06 -4.70 -16.00 -18.14

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.83 6.11 8.85 9.81 20.42 21.10

Net Present Value ($Billions) 3.25 4.40 4.79 5.11 4.41 2.97

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.97 2.18 4.46 4.60
10B-77

Table 10B.4.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price

Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.16 -3.78 -7.04 -14.46 -14.46

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 46.74 53.68 62.83 72.69 80.12 80.11

Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.68 51.52 59.05 65.65 65.66 65.66

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27

Table 10B.4.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.15 -0.18 -0.30 -0.42 -0.80 -0.80

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.97 3.36 3.71 3.97 4.28 4.28

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.19 3.42 3.55 3.48 3.48

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57
10B-78

Table 10B.4.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.29 -6.16 -11.89 -11.88

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 43.28 49.53 57.98 66.97 73.01 73.01

Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.42 47.65 54.68 60.81 61.12 61.12

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.4.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)
10B-79

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.47 0.47

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07

Table 10B.4.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-80

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.35 -1.35

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.15 2.15

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.81 0.80

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.4.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0012 0.0017 0.0017

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity 

Scenario (0.00)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
10B-81

Figure 10B.4.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium

Price Elasticity Scenario

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.19

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.4.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.4.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.59 -8.69 -13.39 -36.68 -71.07
10B-82

Figure 10B.4.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 53.91 63.28 75.24 86.66 107.26 119.89

Net Present Value ($Billions) 51.73 58.69 66.55 73.28 70.58 48.83

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.44 9.95 11.86 13.48 17.23 19.96
10B-83

Table 10B.4.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.43 -4.92 -6.39 -22.37 -56.76

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 7.21 9.70 12.61 14.36 27.89 40.52

Net Present Value ($Billions) 6.09 7.27 7.68 7.98 5.52 -16.23

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.84 3.19 6.06 8.79

Table 10B.4.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.72 -39.06

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.39 3.61 3.81 4.62 7.88 19.88

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.84 2.89 2.92 2.90 1.16 -19.18

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.68 4.29
10B-84

Figure 10B.4.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.02)

Table 10B.4.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.04)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.03 -4.66 -15.65 -17.70

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.83 6.09 8.80 9.74 20.01 20.64

Net Present Value ($Billions) 3.25 4.38 4.77 5.08 4.36 2.94

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.96 2.17 4.38 4.50
10B-85

Table 10B.4.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.15 -3.77 -7.00 -14.31 -14.31

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 46.70 53.58 62.63 72.30 79.37 79.37

Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.64 51.42 58.87 65.30 65.06 65.06

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17

Table 10B.4.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.18 -0.29 -0.42 -0.79 -0.79

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.96 3.36 3.70 3.95 4.24 4.24

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.18 3.41 3.53 3.45 3.45

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.4.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)
10B-86

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.28 -6.13 -11.76 -11.76

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 43.24 49.44 57.80 66.61 72.32 72.32

Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.39 47.56 54.51 60.48 60.56 60.56

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21

Table 10B.4.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-87

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.46 0.46

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.4.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19
10B-88

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.33 -1.34

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.13 2.14

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.80 0.80

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30

Table 10B.4.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0017 0.0017

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.02)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14
10B-89

Figure 10B.4.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.18

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03

10B.4.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.4.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity

Scenario

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.17 -4.52 -8.46 -12.88 -33.97 -64.89

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 53.50 62.31 73.27 82.95 99.22 110.28
10B-90

Figure 10B.4.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Net Present Value ($Billions) 51.33 57.78 64.81 70.07 65.25 45.39

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 8.38 9.81 11.57 12.95 16.02 18.43
10B-91

Table 10B.4.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.41 -4.81 -6.23 -20.90 -51.84

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 7.19 9.63 12.38 14.07 26.22 37.28

Net Present Value ($Billions) 6.07 7.22 7.57 7.84 5.31 -14.55

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 1.60 2.11 2.79 3.13 5.71 8.12

Table 10B.4.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.60 -35.80

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.38 3.61 3.80 4.60 7.75 18.39

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.84 2.88 2.91 2.89 1.16 -17.41

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.87 1.02 1.65 3.98
10B-92

Figure 10B.4.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity

Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.4.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.68 -3.92 -4.52 -14.31 -16.04

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 3.81 6.02 8.58 9.47 18.46 18.90

Net Present Value ($Billions) 3.23 4.34 4.66 4.95 4.16 2.86

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.81 1.26 1.91 2.11 4.06 4.14
10B-93

Table 10B.4.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price

Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.05 -2.11 -3.65 -6.64 -13.07 -13.05

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 46.31 52.68 60.89 68.88 73.01 72.99

Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.26 50.57 57.24 62.23 59.94 59.94

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31

Table 10B.4.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.17 -0.28 -0.40 -0.72 -0.72

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 2.91 3.28 3.57 3.77 3.91 3.91

Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.77 3.11 3.29 3.37 3.19 3.19

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52
10B-94

Table 10B.4.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.85 -1.84 -3.18 -5.80 -10.71 -10.71

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 42.91 48.62 56.19 63.40 66.47 66.47

Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.06 46.78 53.01 57.60 55.76 55.76

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42

Table 10B.4.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.007 0.009 0.009

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)
10B-95

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.25 -0.25

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.32 0.43 0.43

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.18 0.18

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06

Table 10B.4.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.011 0.011

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six
10B-96

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17

Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.30 -1.23 -1.23

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.81 1.25 1.99 1.99

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.50 0.69 0.94 0.75 0.75

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28

Table 10B.4.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0012 -0.0012

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0016 0.0016

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity 

Scenario (-0.2)

Trial Standard Level

One Two Three Four Five Six

Transformer Shipments

2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
10B-97

Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.13

Operating Cost (Savings in

TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.17

Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04

Cumulative Source Savings 2038

(Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02