Contacts:))Ellen)Mecray)(Ellen.L.Mecray@noaa.gov)

പപപപ^ĂŵĂŶƚŚĂŽƌŝƐŽī;ƐŐŚρΘΛĐŽƌŶĞůů͘ĞĚƵͿ

Eastern(Region(Quarterly(Climate(Impacts(and(Outlook|December(2013(

ǁǁǁ͘ĚƌŽƵŐŚƚ͘ŐŽǀͬĚƌŽƵŐŚƚͬĐŽŶƚĞŶƚͬƌĞƐŽƵƌĐĞƐͬƌĞƉŽƌƚƐ

Quarterly Climate Impacts 

and Outlook

Eastern Region

December 2013

National - 6LJQLÀFDQW(YHQWVIRU6HSWHPEHU21RYHPEHU

Temperature and Precipitation Anomalies 

Regional - &OLPDWH2YHUYLHZIRU6HSWHPEHU21RYHPEHU

Percent'of'Normal'Precipitation'(%)

September'1–November'30,'2013

Departure'from'Normal'Temperature'(°F)

September'1–November'30,'2013

U.S.'Drought'Monitor

December'17,'2013

September

October

Highlights for the East

TŚĞƌĞŵŶĂŶƚƐŽĨdƌŽƉŝĐĂů^ƚŽƌŵ<ĂƌĞŶƐƚĂůůĞĚŽī

the&East&Coast&from&October&9&to&13,&dumping&

ƵƉƚŽϭϯŝŶĐŚĞƐŽĨƌĂŝŶĂŶĚůĞĂĚŝŶŐƚŽŇŽŽĚŝŶŐ

from&North&Carolina&to&Pennsylvania.&RecordC

ƐĞƫŶŐƌĂŝŶĨĂůůŽŶƚŚĞϭϬƚŚĂŶĚϭϭƚŚŚĞůƉĞĚ

,ĂƌƌŝƐďƵƌŐ͕W͕ƐĞƚĂƌĞĐŽƌĚĨŽƌǁĞƩĞƐƚKĐƚŽďĞƌ͘

/ŶĂĚĚŝƟŽŶ͕ƐƚƌŽŶŐǁŝŶĚƐĂŶĚƉŽƵŶĚŝŶŐǁĂǀĞƐ

caused&coastal&erosion&as&far&north&as&New&York.

Three&EFC1&and&two&EFC2&tornadoes&damaged&

homes&and&trees&in&Ohio&during&a&severe&

weather&outbreak&on&November&17.&Winds&of&up&

to&85&mph&caused&damage&in&parts&of&the®ion.&

DŽƌĞƐĞǀĞƌĞƐƚŽƌŵƐĚƵƌŝŶŐĨĂůůĐĂƵƐĞĚŇĂƐŚ

ŇŽŽĚŝŶŐĂŶĚƉƌŽĚƵĐĞĚĞŝŐŚƚƚŽƌŶĂĚŽĞƐ͘

TǁŽǁŝůĚĮƌĞƐŚŝŐŚůŝŐŚƚĞĚƚŚĞĚĂŶŐĞƌŽĨĚƌLJ

ĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐŝŶƚŚĞƌĞŐŝŽŶ͘ĮƌĞŝŶƚŚĞdĂďůĞZŽĐŬ

ĂƌĞĂŽĨƚŚĞWŝƐŐĂŚEĂƟŽŶĂů&ŽƌĞƐƚ͕E͕ǁĂƐ

ĚŝƐĐŽǀĞƌĞĚŽŶEŽǀĞŵďĞƌϭϮĂŶĚƐĐŽƌĐŚĞĚϮ͕ΘϬϬ

ĂĐƌĞƐďĞĨŽƌĞďĞŝŶŐĞdžƟŶŐƵŝƐŚĞĚŽŶƚŚĞϮρƚŚ͘

dŚĞĐŽƐƚƚŽƐƵƉƉƌĞƐƐƚŚĞĮƌĞǁĂƐĞƐƟŵĂƚĞĚĂƚΨϮ

million.&ĮƌĞŝŶWĞŶĚůĞƚŽŶŽƵŶƚLJ͕ts͕ĐŚĂƌƌĞĚ

ϭ͕ςϮϬĂĐƌĞƐŽĨůĂŶĚ͘dŚĞĮƌĞďĞŐĂŶŽŶEŽǀĞŵďĞƌ

ϭϬĂŶĚǁĂƐĐŽŶƚĂŝŶĞĚŽŶƚŚĞϮϮŶĚ͘

IŶĞĂƌůLJ^ĞƉƚĞŵďĞƌ͕ĂďŶŽƌŵĂůĚƌLJŶĞƐƐ;ϬͿǁĂƐ

present&in&two&of&the&16&states,&but&by&early&

KĐƚŽďĞƌ͕ϬĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐǁĞƌĞĨŽƵŶĚŝŶϭκƐƚĂƚĞƐ͘

Rain&in&midCOctober&temporarily&eased&dryness&

ŝŶŵƵĐŚŽĨƚŚĞDŝĚͲƚůĂŶƟĐ͕ďƵƚŵŽĚĞƌĂƚĞ

ĚƌŽƵŐŚƚ;ϭͿǁĂƐŝŶƚƌŽĚƵĐĞĚŝŶƐŽƵƚŚĞƌŶEĞǁ

England&and&southeastern&New&York&by&month's&

ĞŶĚĚƵĞƚŽĐŽŶƟŶƵĞĚĚƌLJŶĞƐƐ͘ϬĂŶĚϭ

ĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐĞdžƉĂŶĚĞĚƚŚƌŽƵŐŚŵŝĚͲEŽǀĞŵďĞƌ͘

WƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶŝŶůĂƚĞEŽǀĞŵďĞƌĂŶĚĞĂƌůLJ

December&eased&dryness&slightly,&but&15&states&

ǁĞƌĞƐƟůůĞdžƉĞƌŝĞŶĐŝŶŐϬŽƌϭĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐŝŶ

midCDecember.&&

TŚĞĂƐƚĞƌŶZĞŐŝŽŶŚĂĚŝƚƐĮŌŚǁĞƩĞƐƚ

January–August,&but&dried&out&beginning&in&

September.&For&fall,&the®ion&received&9.12&

ŝŶĐŚĞƐŽĨƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶ͕ΘϭйŽĨŶŽƌŵĂů͘&ŝŌĞĞŶ

of&16&states&were&drier&than&normal,&with&three&

ƌĂŶŬŝŶŐƚŚĞƐĞĂƐŽŶĂŵŽŶŐƚŚĞŝƌƚŽƉϮϬĚƌŝĞƐƚ͘

dŚĞƌĞŐŝŽŶƌĞĐĞŝǀĞĚϳρйŽĨŶŽƌŵĂůƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶ

ŝŶ^ĞƉƚĞŵďĞƌĂŶĚϳϯйŽĨŶŽƌŵĂůŝŶKĐƚŽďĞƌ͕

ǁŚŝůĞEŽǀĞŵďĞƌďƌŽƵŐŚƚεςйŽĨŶŽƌŵĂů͘dŚƌĞĞ

states&ranked&September&and&six&states&ranked&

KĐƚŽďĞƌĂŵŽŶŐƚŚĞŝƌƚŽƉϮϬĚƌŝĞƐƚ͕ǁŚŝůĞƚǁŽ

states&ranked&September&and&one&state&ranked&

KĐƚŽďĞƌĂŵŽŶŐƚŚĞŝƌƚŽƉϮϬǁĞƩĞƐƚ͘

Fall&was&cooler&than&normal&in&the&Eastern&

Region.&The&average&temperature&of&53.1°F&was&

Ϭ͘ρΣ&ďĞůŽǁŶŽƌŵĂů͕ǁŝƚŚϭϯŽĨƚŚĞϭςƐƚĂƚĞƐ

cooler&than&normal.&September&was&slightly&

ĐŽŽůĞƌƚŚĂŶŶŽƌŵĂůĂƚςϯ͘ΘΣ&͕ͲϬ͘ϯΣ&͕ǁŝƚŚƚĞŶ

states&seeing&belowCnormal&temperatures.&

October&was&warmer&than&normal&in&all&states,&

ǁŝƚŚƚŚĞƌĞŐŝŽŶĞŶĚŝŶŐƚŚĞŵŽŶƚŚĂƚρρ͘ϬΣ&͕

нϭ͘εΣ&͘ĞůĂǁĂƌĞŚĂĚŝƚƐϭϬƚŚǁĂƌŵĞƐƚKĐƚŽďĞƌ

on&record.&November&was&cooler&than&normal&

in&all&states,&with&the®ion&having&an&average&

ƚĞŵƉĞƌĂƚƵƌĞŽĨκϬ͘ρΣ&͕Ͳϯ͘ϭΣ&͘

dŚĞh͘^͘ΖƐĂǀĞƌĂŐĞƚĞŵƉĞƌĂƚƵƌĞŝŶEŽǀĞŵďĞƌǁĂƐκϭ͘ςΣ&͕Ϭ͘ϯΣ&ďĞůŽǁĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ͘ƵƌŝŶŐĨĂůů͕ƚŚĞh͘^͘ΖƐĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ

ƚĞŵƉĞƌĂƚƵƌĞǁĂƐρκ͘ϭΣ&͕Ϭ͘ρΣ&ĂďŽǀĞĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ͘dŚĞhŶŝƚĞĚ^ƚĂƚĞƐƌĞĐĞŝǀĞĚϮ͘ϬϭŝŶĐŚĞƐŽĨƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶ͕Ϭ͘ϭϭ

ŝŶĐŚĞƐďĞůŽǁĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ͕ŝŶEŽǀĞŵďĞƌ͘ƵƌŝŶŐĨĂůů͕ƚŚĞhŶŝƚĞĚ^ƚĂƚĞƐƌĞĐĞŝǀĞĚϳ͘ϮϯŝŶĐŚĞƐŽĨƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶ͕Ϭ͘ρϮ

ŝŶĐŚĞƐĂďŽǀĞĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ͘dŚĞĐŽŶƟŐƵŽƵƐhŶŝƚĞĚ^ƚĂƚĞƐŚĂĚŝƚƐϭϮƚŚůĂƌŐĞƐƚEŽǀĞŵďĞƌƐŶŽǁĐŽǀĞƌĞdžƚĞŶƚŝŶκΘ

LJĞĂƌƐĂƚρεϭ͕ϬϬϬƐƋƵĂƌĞŵŝůĞƐ͕ϭϭς͕ϬϬϬƐƋƵĂƌĞŵŝůĞƐĂďŽǀĞĂǀĞƌĂŐĞ͘

Drought in the East
Regional - Impacts for September–November 2013

Contacts:))Ellen)Mecray)(Ellen.L.Mecray@noaa.gov)

പപപപ^ĂŵĂŶƚŚĂŽƌŝƐŽī;ƐŐŚρΘΛĐŽƌŶĞůů͘ĞĚƵͿ

Eastern(Region(Quarterly(Climate(Impacts(and(Outlook|December(2013(

ǁǁǁ͘ĚƌŽƵŐŚƚ͘ŐŽǀͬĚƌŽƵŐŚƚͬĐŽŶƚĞŶƚͬƌĞƐŽƵƌĐĞƐͬƌĞƉŽƌƚƐ

Regional - Outlook for Winter 2014 Eastern Region Partners

EĂƟŽŶĂůKĐĞĂŶŝĐĂŶĚƚŵŽƐƉŚĞƌŝĐĚŵŝŶŝƐƚƌĂƟŽŶ

www.noaa.gov

EĂƟŽŶĂůůŝŵĂƟĐĂƚĂĞŶƚĞƌ

ǁǁǁ͘ŶĐĚĐ͘ŶŽĂĂ͘ŐŽǀ

EĂƟŽŶĂůtĞĂƚŚĞƌ^ĞƌǀŝĐĞ͕ĂƐƚĞƌŶZĞŐŝŽŶ

ǁǁǁ͘ǁĞĂƚŚĞƌ͘ŐŽǀ

EK&ŝƐŚĞƌŝĞƐ^ĐŝĞŶĐĞĞŶƚĞƌƐĂŶĚ

ZĞŐŝŽŶĂůKĸĐĞƐ͕EŽƌƚŚĞĂƐƚĂŶĚ^ŽƵƚŚĞĂƐƚ

ǁǁǁ͘ŶŵĨƐ͘ŶŽĂĂ͘ŐŽǀ

ŽĂƐƚĂů^ĞƌǀŝĐĞƐĞŶƚĞƌĂŶĚEĂƟŽŶĂůĞŶƚĞƌƐĨŽƌKĐĞĂŶ

ĂŶĚŽĂƐƚĂů^ĐŝĞŶĐĞ

ǁǁǁ͘ŽĐĞĂŶƐĞƌǀŝĐĞ͘ŶŽĂĂ͘ŐŽǀ

EKZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ͕ůŝŵĂƚĞWƌŽŐƌĂŵKĸĐĞĂŶĚ

'ĞŽƉŚLJƐŝĐĂů&ůƵŝĚLJŶĂŵŝĐƐ>Ăď

www.oar.noaa.gov

EKEĂƟŽŶĂů^ĞĂ'ƌĂŶƚKĸĐĞ

www.seagrant.noaa.gov

EK͛ƐEŽƌƚŚƚůĂŶƟĐ͕^ŽƵƚŚƚůĂŶƟĐ͕ĂŶĚ'ƌĞĂƚ

>ĂŬĞƐZĞŐŝŽŶĂůŽůůĂďŽƌĂƟŽŶdĞĂŵƐ

ǁǁǁ͘ƌĞŐŝŽŶƐ͘ŶŽĂĂ͘ŐŽǀ

ůŝŵĂƚĞWƌĞĚŝĐƟŽŶĞŶƚĞƌ

ǁǁǁ͘ĐƉĐ͘ŶŽĂĂ͘ŐŽǀ

EŽƌƚŚĞĂƐƚZĞŐŝŽŶĂůůŝŵĂƚĞĞŶƚĞƌ

ǁǁǁ͘ŶƌĐĐ͘ĐŽƌŶĞůů͘ĞĚƵ

^ŽƵƚŚĞĂƐƚZĞŐŝŽŶĂůůŝŵĂƚĞĞŶƚĞƌ

ǁǁǁ͘ƐĞƌĐĐ͘ĐŽŵ

EĂƟŽŶĂů/ŶƚĞŐƌĂƚĞĚƌŽƵŐŚƚ/ŶĨŽƌŵĂƟŽŶ

^LJƐƚĞŵ

ǁǁǁ͘ĚƌŽƵŐŚƚ͘ŐŽǀ

ĂƌŽůŝŶĂƐ/ŶƚĞŐƌĂƚĞĚ^ĐŝĞŶĐĞƐĂŶĚƐƐĞƐƐŵĞŶƚƐ

ǁǁǁ͘ĐŝƐĂ͘ƐĐ͘ĞĚƵ

ŽŶƐŽƌƟƵŵŽŶůŝŵĂƚĞZŝƐŬŝŶƚŚĞhƌďĂŶEŽƌƚŚĞĂƐƚ

ǁǁǁ͘ĐĐƌƵŶ͘ŽƌŐ

ŽŽƉĞƌĂƟǀĞ/ŶƐƟƚƵƚĞĨŽƌEŽƌƚŚƚůĂŶƟĐZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ

ǁǁǁ͘ĐŝŶĂƌ͘ŽƌŐ

ĂƐƚĞƌŶZĞŐŝŽŶ^ƚĂƚĞůŝŵĂƚŽůŽŐŝƐƚƐ

ǁǁǁ͘ƐƚĂƚĞĐůŝŵĂƚĞ͘ŽƌŐ

ηƌĞŐŝŽŶĂůĐůŝŵĂƚĞŽƵƚůŽŽŬƐ

Three-Month

Precipitation Outlook 

U.S. Seasonal Drought 

Outlook 

While&the&

ƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶ

outlook&for&

January–March&

ϮϬϭκĐĂůůƐĨŽƌ

ĞƋƵĂůĐŚĂŶĐĞƐŽĨ

ĂďŽǀĞͲ͕ŶĞĂƌͲ͕ŽƌďĞůŽǁͲŶŽƌŵĂůƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶ

for&most&of&the®ion,&an&increased&likelihood&

ŽĨďĞůŽǁͲŶŽƌŵĂůƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶŝƐĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚĨŽƌ

parts&of&the&Carolinas.&As&for&the&temperature&

outlook,&western&parts&of&the&Carolinas&and&a&

ƉŽƌƟŽŶŽĨƐŽƵƚŚǁĞƐƚsŝƌŐŝŶŝĂŚĂƐĂŶĞŶŚĂŶĐĞĚ

chance&of&aboveCnormal&temperatures.&For&

the&rest&of&the®ion,&it&is&just&as&likely&to&see&

belowCnormal&temperatures&as&it&is&to&have&

aboveC&or&nearCaverage&temperatures.&With&

E^K;ůEŝŹŽͬ^ŽƵƚŚĞƌŶKƐĐŝůůĂƟŽŶͿŶĞƵƚƌĂů

ĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐƉƌĞĚŝĐƚĞĚƚŽĐŽŶƟŶƵĞƚŚƌŽƵŐŚĞĂƌůLJ

ϮϬϭκ͕ƚŚĞŽƵƚůŽŽŬƐǁĞƌĞďĂƐĞĚŽŶĐŽŵƉƵƚĞƌ

models&and&longCterm&trends.

Drought&

ĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐ

improved&

slightly&in&the&

Northeast&from&

late&November&

through&midC

December&as&

ŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶĨĞůů͘tŝƚŚƵƉƚŽ

ƐĞǀĞƌĂůŝŶĐŚĞƐŽĨƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚ

through&the&end&of&December&and&increased&

surface&moisture&(in&soils&and&water&sources&

ŽƌƐŶŽǁƉĂĐŬͿůŝŬĞůLJĨƌŽŵ:ĂŶƵĂƌLJƚŚƌŽƵŐŚ

March,&drought&improvement&or&removal&

ŝƐĂŶƟĐŝƉĂƚĞĚŝŶƚŚĞEŽƌƚŚĞĂƐƚ͘,ŽǁĞǀĞƌ͕

ǁŝƚŚƚŚĞƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶŽƵƚůŽŽŬĐĂůůŝŶŐĨŽƌ

an&increased&likelihood&of&belowCnormal&

ƉƌĞĐŝƉŝƚĂƟŽŶŝŶƉĂƌƚƐŽĨƚŚĞĂƌŽůŝŶĂƐ͕ĚƌŽƵŐŚƚ

ĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶƐŝŶƚŚŽƐĞĂƌĞĂƐĂƌĞĨŽƌĞĐĂƐƚƚŽ

persist&where&it&already&exists&and&expand&to&

other&areas&that&are&dry.&

Sandy: One Year Later

TŚĞĂƐƚŽĂƐƚŝƐƐƟůůƌĞĐŽǀĞƌŝŶŐĂLJĞĂƌĂŌĞƌ^ƵƉĞƌƐƚŽƌŵ^ĂŶĚLJ͘ƚůĞĂƐƚ

Ϯϳ͕ϬϬϬŚŽƵƐĞŚŽůĚƐŝŶEĞǁzŽƌŬĂŶĚEĞǁ:ĞƌƐĞLJĂƌĞƐƟůůĚŝƐƉůĂĐĞĚ͕ĂĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐ

to&an&October&29&NBC&News&report.&The&Metropolitan&Transit&Authority&

ĞƐƟŵĂƚĞƐϮ͘ϯŵŝůůŝŽŶŵĂŶͲŚŽƵƌƐǁŽƌŬĞĚŽŶ^ĂŶĚLJƉƌŽũĞĐƚƐ͕ƐƵĐŚĂƐ

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