From: Corkran, Jerry L [mailto:Jerry.Corkran@CooperIndustries.com] 

Sent: Tuesday, November 15, 2011 6:17 PM 

To: Richard Parker 

Cc: Eric.Petersen@aksteel.com; jerry.schoen@aksteel.com; Maxine (EMAB) Savitz; 

mhyland@appanet.org; Raymond.Polinski@ATImetals.com; maheshsampat@bellsouth.net; 

bruce.r.hirsch@bge.com; tpetrosino@carolina.rr.com; dbrender@cda.copper.org; James.Lass@cleco.com; 

chris.brown@cogentpowerinc.com; frank.guilbault@cogentpowerinc.com; 

ted.johnstone@cogentpowerinc.com; Meyers, Aaron; Trujillo, Antonio; Moore, Jack C; 

tballo@earthjustice.org; carlosgsiqueiros@eaton.com; eduardorobles@eaton.com; Emily (CONTR) 

Marchetti; Jeremiah (CONTR) Freeman; Jim Raba; John Cymbalsky; DYoung@energy-solution.com; 

rick.anderson@faypwc.com; bsmith@federalpacific.com; rgreeson@federalpacific.com; 

carlos.gaytan@ge.com; artrosenfeld@gmail.com; greg.coulter405@gmail.com; ned.efbrush@gmail.com; 

Paul.Ryan@hitmet.com; Steve Nadel; Robert Berman; Phil Hopkinson; jhodge@howard.com; Daniel 

Cohen; cabolduc@lbl.gov; gjrosenquist@lbl.gov; kcoughlin@lbl.gov; ScottB@LVMetals.com; 

dave.millure@metglas.com; kwinder@mleainc.com; jrossetti@mlgw.org; Brian Coffey; Caitlin Johnson; 

Matthew Nardotti; Michael Rivest; Zhimei Luo; Jim.creevy@nema.org; john.caskey@nema.org; 

mwaltner@nrdc.org; rroy@nrdc.org; robert.saint@nreca.coop; Teckman@nwcouncil.org; 

vijay.tendulkar@onyxpower.com; gbf1@pge.com; chuck.simmons@pgnmail.com; 

ahofmann@publicpower.org; pkumar@publicpower.org; adelaski@standardsASAP.org; 

jmauer@standardsasap.org; wes.patterson@us.abb.com; chad.kennedy@us.schneider-electric.com; 

thomas.patzner@us.schneider-electric.com; charlied@uus.org 

Subject: FW: P2030 TF3 Notes and Agenda 

Mr. Parker and the DOE working group, 

 I realize the DOE working group is nearing the end 

of their allotted time to determine the efficiency levels for future transformers. It is 

important to note that the 50% average loading assumed by the DOE for their analysis 

may be lower than what will actually happen over the 30 year time interval chosen by the 

DOE. A big factor in increasing the load levels of residential and commercial 

transformers will be due to increased numbers of plug in electric cars. 

As explained in previous memos, amorphous core transformers when compared to silicon 

core transformers become energy wasters as the average load goes up from 50% to 60% 

average loading. Plug in cars have been suggested to become a substantial added load for 

the electric utilities and commercial transformers. So far the DOE has rejected any 

consideration of the expected loading from this source. The email shown below, lists 

some applicable information concerning the question – How quickly are plug-in electric 

vehicles going to become a major added factor in the residential and commercial loading 

patterns? The IEEE P2030.1 committee is investigating this question. Their estimate 
lists a million plug-in electric vehicles by 2015 in the United States. The expectation is 

that plug-in electric cars will be charged both at home and at work. 

The DOE’s publication “the 2010 Vehicle technologies report” issued in Feb. 2011 

stated that $2,000,000,000 was included in the 2009 federal budget to subsidize the 

production of electric car batteries, with the administration’s goal to be the 

production of 500,000 electric cars per year in the United States. 

The following reference contains some of the available information concerning plug-in 

electric cars. 

15

http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/jun2010/tc2010063_

322564.htm

Recommendation: the DOE working group on transformer efficiency requirements 

should consider how plug-in electric cars will increase the average loading on 

residential and commercial transformers over the next 30 years. The utility 

engineers from the major utilities are the best source to make these estimates. Plug 

in electric cars have been totally ignored for the present DOE transformer loading 

estimates. 

Regards, 

 Jerry Corkran 

 

From: p2030-1wg@ieee.org [mailto:p2030-1wg@ieee.org] On Behalf Of Foley, Aoife 

Sent: Thursday, October 20, 2011 11:21 AM 

To: Mike Coop; IEEE P2030. 1 

Subject: RE: P2030 TF3 Notes and Agenda 

Country Road Maps

  
Country Targets 

Austria 2020: 100,000 EVs deployed1 

Australia 2012: first cars on road, 2018: mass deployment, 2050: up to 65% of car stock2

Canada 2018: 500,000 EVs deployed3

China 2011: 500000 annual production of EVs4

Denmark 2020:200,000 EVs 5

France 2020: 2,000,000 EVs6

Germany 2020: 1,000,000 EVs deployed7

Ireland 2020: 10% EV market share8

Israel 2011: 40,000 EVs, 2012: 40,000 to 100,000 EVs annually9

Japan 2020: 50% market share of next generation vehicles10

New Zealand 2020: 5% market share, 2040: 60% market share11

Spain 2014: 1,000,000 EVs deployed12

Sweden 2020: 600,000 EVs deployed13

United Kingdom No target figures, but policy to support EVs14

United States of 

America 

2015: 1,000,000 PHEV stock15

1 http://www.iea-retd.org/files/RETRANS100128%20Schauer.pdf 2 http://australia.betterplace.com/assets/pdf/Better_Place_Australia_energy_white_paper-doc.pdf 3 http://www.evtrm.gc.ca/pdfs/E-design_09_0581_electric_vehicle_e.pdf 4 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/02/business/global/02electric.html 5 http://www.ens.dk/en-US/Sider/forside.aspx 6 http://www.physorg.com/news173639548.html 7 http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=23301 8 http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Press+Releases/2008/Government+announces+plans+for+the+electrification+of+Irish+motoring.htm 9 http://www.betterplace.com/ 10 http://www.autosavant.com/2008/08/27/japan-charges-ahead-with-electric-cars/ 11 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21246592/ 12 http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKARO04096020080730 13 http://www.powercircle.org/en/display/Projects/swedish-electric-mobility-initative.aspx 14 http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/scienceresearch/technology/lowcarbonelecvehicles/ 15 http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/jun2010/tc2010063_322564.htm

 

 

Manufacturer Roadmaps

Car manufacturer Battery manufacturer Production Target 

BYD Auto BYD Group 2015: 100,000A

Fiat-Chrysler A123 Systems No date, no numbersB

Ford Johnston Controls-Saft 5,000 per annum 

GM LG Chem 2011: 10,000 & 2012: 

60,000C

Hyundai LG Chem, SK Energy and SB 

Limotive 

2018: 500,000 

Mercedes-Benz Continental and Johnston 

Controls-Saft 

No date, no numbersD

Mitsubishi GS Yuasa Corp. 2010: 5,000, 2011: 15,000 

Nissan AESC 2010: 50,000, 2012: 

100,000 

REVA Indocel Technologies No date, no numbers 

Renault AESC By 2010 150,000/annum 

Subaru AESC 2010: 100E

Tata Electrovaya No date, no numbers 

Toyota Panasonic No date, no numbers 
Volkswagen Volkswagen and Toshiba 

Corp. 

2011: 500 

 

Aoife M Foley BE MSc PhD

EPA CCRP Senior Research Fellow, University College Cork

Lecturer Sustainable Energy Systems, Queen's University Belfast

 

Email: aoife.foley@ucc.ie

Webpage: http://www.ucc.ie/en/serg/energypolicy/people/aoifefoley/

From: p2030-1wg@IEEE.ORG on behalf of Mike Coop 

Sent: Thu 20.10.2011 17:00 

To: IEEE P2030. 1 

Subject: P2030 TF3 Notes and Agenda

Agenda 

One key item today...I'd like to blast through a number of the roadmaps listed below, parceling 

out analysis based on area of expertise... 

EV roadmaps (thanks to Liana Cipcigan and Panagiotis Papadopoulos!) 

Australia - An EV 

roadmap: http://www.climatechange.qld.gov.au/whatsbeingdone/queensland/pdf/ev-roadmap.pdf

Automotive Australia 2020 vision: http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/ctm/trm/documents/AA2020-

1_Vision.pdf

Australia technology roadmap: http://anuedge.weblogs.anu.edu.au/files/2011/04/AA2020-

Technology-Roadmap.pdf

Canada - Electric Vehicle Technology Roadmap for Canada: http://canmetenergycanmetenergie.nrcan-rncan.gc.ca/fichier/81890/ElectricVehicleTechnologyRoadmap_e.pdf

European Union (Green Car 

Initiative): http://www.eurosfaire.prd.fr/7pc/doc/1311857844_ki3111093enc_002.pdf and 

http://www.green-cars-initiative.eu/public/documents/Roadmap%20Electrification.pdf/view

EU roadmap 

document: http://www.roadmap2050.eu/attachments/files/Volume1_fullreport_PressPack.pdf

Standardization roadmap - The German standardization roadmap for 

electromobility: http://www.elektromobilitaet.din.de/sixcms_upload/media/3310/NormungRoadmap_Elektromobilit%E4t_en.pdf

IEA Electric and Plug-In Hybrid electric vehicles 

Technology Roadmap: http://www.iea.org/papers/2011/EV_PHEV_Roadmap.pdf 
Technology Roadmap - Foresight Vehicle - a collaboration between industry, academia and 

Government (UK): http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/ctm/trm/documents/foresight_vehicle_v1.pdf

UK automotive sector roadmap: http://www.bis.gov.uk/files/file51139.pdf

United States - Electrification 

Coalition: http://www.electrificationcoalition.org/policy/electrification-roadmap and 

http://www.prtm.com/uploadedFiles/Thought_Leadership/Articles/External_Articles/EC-FleetRoadmap-print.pdf