From: Corkran, Jerry L [mailto:Jerry.Corkran@CooperIndustries.com] Sent: Tuesday, November 15, 2011 6:17 PM To: Richard Parker Cc: Eric.Petersen@aksteel.com; jerry.schoen@aksteel.com; Maxine (EMAB) Savitz; mhyland@appanet.org; Raymond.Polinski@ATIm etals.com; maheshsampat@bellsouth.net; bruce.r.hirsch@bge.com; tpetrosino@carolina.rr.com ; dbrender@cda.copper.org; James.Lass@cleco.com; chris.brown@cogentpowerinc.com; frank.guilbault@cogentpowerinc.com; ted.johnstone@cogentpowerinc.co m; Meyers, Aaron; Trujillo, Antonio; Moore, Jack C; tballo@earthjustice.org; carlosgsiqueiros@eaton.com; eduardorobles@eaton.com; Emily (CONTR) Marchetti; Jeremiah (CONTR) Freeman; Jim Raba; John Cymbalsky; DYoung@energy-solution.com; rick.anderson@faypwc.com; bsmith@federalpacific.com; rgreeson@federalpacific.com; carlos.gaytan@ge.com; artrosenfeld@gmail.com; gr eg.coulter405@gmail.com; ned.efbrush@gmail.com; Paul.Ryan@hitmet.com; Steve Nadel; Robert Berm an; Phil Hopkinson; jhodge@howard.com; Daniel Cohen; cabolduc@lbl.gov; gjrosenquist@lbl.g ov; kcoughlin@lbl.gov; ScottB@LVMetals.com; dave.millure@metglas.com; kwinder@mleainc.com; jros setti@mlgw.org; Brian Coffey; Caitlin Johnson; Matthew Nardotti; Michael Rivest; Zhimei Luo; Jim.creevy@nema.org; john.caskey@nema.org; mwaltner@nrdc.org; rroy@nrdc.org; robert.s aint@nreca.coop; Teckman@nwcouncil.org; vijay.tendulkar@onyxpower.com; gbf1@ pge.com; chuck.simmons@pgnmail.com; ahofmann@publicpower.org; pkumar@publicpo wer.org; adelaski@standardsASAP.org; jmauer@standardsasap.org; wes.patterson@us.abb.com; chad.kennedy@us.schneider-electric.com; thomas.patzner@us.schneider-electric.com; charlied@uus.org Subject: FW: P2030 TF3 Notes and Agenda



## Mr. Parker and the DOE working group,

I realize the DOE worki ng group is nearing the end
of their allotted time to determine the efficiency levels for future transformers. It is
important to note that the 50% average lo ading assumed by the DO E for their analysis
may be lower than what will ac tually happen over the 30 year time inte rval chosen by the
DOE. A big factor in increasing the lo ad levels of residential and commercial
transformers will be due to increased numbers of plug in electric cars.

As explained in previous memos, amorphous core transformers when compared to silicon
core transformers become energy wasters as the average lo ad goes up from 50% to 60%
average loading. Plug in cars have been suggested to become a substantial added load for

the electric utilities and commercial transforme rs. So far the DOE has rejected any
consideration of the expected loading from this source. The email shown below, lists
some applicable information concerning the question – How quickly are plug-in electric
vehicles going to become a ma jor added factor in the resi dential and commercial loading
patterns? The IEEE P2030.1 co mmittee is investigating this question. Their estimate

## lists a million plug-in electric vehicles by 2015 in the United States. The expectation is
that plug-in electric cars will be ch arged both at home and at work.

The DOE’s publication “the 2010 Vehicle tec hnologies report” issued in Feb. 2011
stated that $2,000,000,000 was included in the 2009 federal budg et to subsidize the
production of electric car batteries, with the administration’s goal to be the
production of 500,000 electric cars per year in the United States.
The following reference contains some of th e available information concerning plug-in

electric cars.

15 

# http://www.businessweek.com/te chnology/conten t/jun2010/tc2010063_ 322564.htm

Recommendation: the DOE work ing group on transformer efficiency requirements
should consider how plug-in electric cars will increase the average loading on

residential and commercial transformers over the next 30 years. The utility
engineers from the major utilities are the best source to make these estimates. Plug

in electric cars have been totally ignored for the present DOE transformer loading

estimates.

Regards,
Jerry Corkran

From: p2030-1wg@ieee.org [ mailto:p2030-1wg@ieee.org ] On Behalf Of Foley, Aoife Sent: Thursday, October 20, 2011 11:21 AM To: Mike Coop; IEEE P2030. 1 Subject: RE: P2030 TF3 Notes and Agenda



### Country Road MapsCountry Targets Austria 2020: 100,000 EVs deployed 1

Australia 2012: first cars on road, 2018: mass deployment, 2050: up to 65% of car stock 2

Canada 2018: 500,000 EVs deployed 3

China 2011: 500000 annual production of EVs 4 Denmark 2020:200,000 EVs 5

France 2020: 2,000,000 EVs 6 Germany 2020: 1,000,000 EVs deployed 7

Ireland 2020: 10% EV market share 8

Israel 2011: 40,000 EVs, 2012: 40,000 to 100,000 EVs annually 9 Japan 2020: 50% market share of next generation vehicles 10
New Zealand 2020: 5% market sh are, 2040: 60% market share 11 Spain 2014: 1,000,000 EVs deployed 12

Sweden 2020: 600,000 EVs deployed 13 United Kingdom No target figures, but policy to support EVs 14

United States of America 2015: 1,000,000 PHEV stock 15

1 http://www.iea-retd .org/files/RETRANS100128%20Schauer.pdf

2 http://australia.betterplace.com/assets/pdf/Better_Place_Australia_ene rgy_white_pa per-doc.pdf

3 http://www.evtrm.gc.ca/pdfs/E-desi gn_09_0581_electric_vehicle_e.pdf

4 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/02/bus iness/global/02electric.html

5 http://www.ens.dk/en-US/Sider/forside.aspx

6 http://www.physorg.com/news173639548.html

7 http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=23301

8 http://www.dcenr.gov.ie/Press+Releases/2008/ Government+announces+plans+for+the+electrification+of+Irish+motoring.htm

9 http://www.betterplace.com/

10 http://www.autosavant.com/2008/08/27/ja pan-charges-ahead-with-electric-cars/

11 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21246592/

12 http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKARO04096020080730

13 http://www.powercircle.org/en/display/Project s/swedish-electric-mobility-initative.aspx

14 http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/scienceresear ch/technology/lowcarbonelecvehicles/

15 http://www.businessweek.com/technolog y/content/jun2010/tc2010063_322564.htm



### Manufacturer Roadmaps

Car manufacturer Battery manufacturer Production Target BYD Auto BYD Group 2015: 100,000 A Fiat-Chrysler A123 Systems No date, no numbers B

Ford Johnston Controls-Saft 5,000 per annum
GM LG Chem 2011: 10,000 & 2012: 60,000 C Hyundai LG Chem, SK Energy and SB Limotive 2018: 500,000

Mercedes-Benz Continental and Johnston Controls-Saft No date, no numbers D

Mitsubishi GS Yuasa Corp. 2010: 5,000, 2011: 15,000
Nissan AESC 2010: 50,000, 2012: 100,000
REVA Indocel Technologies No date, no numbers Renault AESC By 2010 150,000/annum Subaru AESC 2010: 100 E

Tata Electrovaya No date, no numbers Toyota Panasonic No date, no numbersVolkswagen Volkswagen and Toshiba Corp. 2011: 500

Aoife M Foley BE MSc PhD EPA CCRP Senior Research Fe llow, University College Cork Lecturer Sustainable Energy Syst ems, Queen's University Belfast

Email: aoife.foley@ucc.ie Webpage: http://www.ucc.ie/en/serg/energypolicy/people/aoifefoley/

From: p2030-1wg@IEEE.ORG on behalf of Mike Coop Sent: Thu 20.10.2011 17:00 To: IEEE P2030. 1 Subject: P2030 TF3 Notes and Agenda



### Agenda

One key item today...I'd like to blast through a numb er of the roadmaps listed below, parceling out analysis based on area of expertise...

EV roadmaps (thanks to Liana Cipc igan and Panagiotis Papadopoulos!)

Australia - An EV roadmap: http://www.climatechange.qld.gov.au/whatsbei ngdone/queensland/pdf/ev-roadmap.pdf

Automotive Australia 2020 vision: http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/ctm/trm/documents/AA2020- 1_Vision.pdf

Australia technology roadmap: http://anuedge.weblogs.anu.e du.au/files/2011/04/AA2020- Technology-Roadmap.pdf

Canada - Electric Vehicle T echnology Roadmap for Canada: http://canmetenergycanmetenergie.nrcan-rncan.gc.ca/fichier/81890/ElectricVehicleTechnologyRoadmap_e.pdf

European Union (Green Car Initiative): http://www.eurosfaire.prd.fr/7pc/doc/1311857844_ki3111093enc_002.pdf and http://www.green-cars-initiative.eu/public/doc uments/Roadmap%20Electrification.pdf/view

EU roadmap document: http://www.roadmap2050.eu/attachments/ files/Volume1_fullreport_PressPack.pdf

Standardization roadmap - The Germ an standardization roadmap for electromobility: http://www.elektromobilitaet.din.de/sixcms_upload/media/3310/NormungRoadmap_Elektromobilit%E4t_en.pdf

IEA Electric and Plug-In H ybrid electric vehicles Technology Roadmap: http://www.iea.org/papers/2011/EV_PHEV_Roadmap.pdf

### Technology Roadmap - Foresight Vehicle - a co llaboration between industry, academia and Government (UK): http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/ctm/trm/documents/foresight_vehicle_v1.pdf

UK automotive sector roadmap: http://www.bis.gov.uk/files/file51139.pdf

United States - Electrification Coalition: http://www.electrificationcoalition.org /policy/electrification-roadmap and http://www.prtm.com/uploadedFiles/Thought_Leader ship/Articles/External _Articles/EC-FleetRoadmap-print.pdf