# K A N S A S ReG~~~ AA

# ~92~~1

RODERICK L

. BREMBY, SECRETARY KATHLEEN SEBELIUS, GOVERNOR DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENT

January4, 2007 Mr

. John B

. Askew Regional VII Administrator U .S

. Environmental ProtectionAgency 901 N

. 5thStreet Kansas City, Kansas 66101 RE: Kansas State Implementation Plan, InterstateTransport Revisions Dear Mr

. Askew

: In accordance with Section 110 of the Federal Clean Air Act, and as the designated representative ofGovernor Kathleen Sebelius, I amformally submitting revisions to the Kansas State AirQuality Implementation Plan (SIP)foryour review and approval

. The SIPupdate fulfills the requirements ofsection 110(a)(2)(D)(i) of the Clean Air Act which requires states to address the impacts of interstate transport of air pollutants

. The SIP update confirms that Kansas emission sources do not significantly contribute to areas in nonattainment of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQs) in other states

. These findings were demonstrated in themodeling performed for the CleanAir Interstate Rule (CAIR) issued by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) on March 10, 2006and augmentedby informationsupplied by KDHE in the SIPrevision

. This proposed SIPrevision does not include anyrulemaking action

. Administrative materials and technical support documents required for a determination that this SIP amendment is an official submission for purposes of revieware enclosed

. If any additional information is required please contact Douglas Watson at (785) 296-0910

.

C : RonHammerschmidt Clark Duffy Enclosure
OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY CURTIS STATE OFFICE BUILDING, 1000 SWJACKSON ST., STE

. 540, TOPEKA, KS 66612-1368 Voice 785-296-0461 Fax 785-368-6368 http://www .kdhe.state.ks.us

# State ofKansas Air Quality State Implementation Plan

InterstateTransportforthe National AmbientAir Quality Standards for 8-hour Ozone and PM2,5 December, 2006 Volume 1 - Plan Revision

Department ofHealth and Environment Division ofEnvironment Bureau ofAir and Radiation (785)296-1593

# I

. Background

................................................. .. ...... ..........................................................2 II

. EPAassessment ofthe "goodneighbor"provisionson Kansas

................................ 2 III

.Analysis of

four requirements of "goodneighbor"provisions on Kansas

............... 4 A

. SIPsubmission fromKansas pertaining to the "significant contribution" requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) and

....................................................................................................4 B

. SIPsubmission fromKansas pertaining to the "interferewith maintenance" requirements ofsection 110(a)(2)(D)(i)
....................................................................................4 1

. PotentiallyAffected Metropolitan Areas

... .... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. . .4 2

. Sources in Kansas

.. .... .... . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ....... .... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. . .5 3

. Ernissions East andWest ofthe 99'i' Meridian

.. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. . .5 4

. Kansas Weather- Meteorological Considerations

........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ....... .... .. .. .. ..6 5
. Trajectory Analyses

........ .. .. .. .. .. .. .... .. .. . .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ....... .. .. .. .. .. ..8 6

. Future Outlook

. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ......... .. .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. ..8 

# C

. SIPsubmission fromKansas pertaining to the "prevention ofsignificant deterioration" requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) : .........................................................9 1

. 8-hour ozone
.. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .... .. .. .... .. .. . ... ...... .. .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. ..... .... .. .. .. .... . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..9 2

. PM2 .5
. .. ......... .. .. .. .. ........... .. .. .. .. .. .......... . .. .. .. .. .. .. .... . ... ...... .. .. .. .. .. ....... .... .. .. .. .. ..... .... .. .. .. .. .. . .. .. .. .. .... .. .. . .9 

# D

. SIPsubmission fromKansas pertaining to the "protect visibility" requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) : ..............................................................................................................9 

# IV

. Conclusion

................................................................................................................... 9 V

. TechnicalSupportDocumentsfortheFinal CAIR

................................................... 10 Appendices

...... .................................. ................................................................................12

# I

. Background

On March 10, 2005, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR)

. CAIR will permanently cap emissions of sulfur dioxide (S02) and nitrogen oxides (NOX) in the eastern United States

. S02 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles and NOX contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone
. These pollutants also reduce visibility and damage sensitive ecosystems

. CAIR would achieve reductions of S02 and/or NOX emissions across 28 eastern states and the District of Columbia

. EPA has reported that when fully implemented, CAIRwill reduce S02 emissions in these states by over 70 percent and NOX emissions by over 60 percent from 2003 levels

. Although Kansas was not included in the final CAIR rule making, Kansas is still required by the Clean Air Act (CAA) to submit a 110(a)(2)(D)(i) SIP submission addressing significant contribution to nonattainment and interference with maintenance ofthe 8-hour ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS in any otherstates

. The "good neighbor" provisions in section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) of the CAA requires Kansas to submit a SIP that prohibits emissions that adversely affect another State in the ways contemplated in the statute

. Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) contains four distinct requirements related to the impacts of interstate transport

. Each State mustsubmit a SIPwhich contains adequate provisions: prohibiting

...anysource orother type ofemissions activity within the State fromemittinganyairpollutant in amounts which will- (1) contribute significantly to nonattainment in, orinterfere with maintenance by, anyotherState with respect to any
... national primaryorsecondaryairqualitystandard, or (11) interfere with measures required to be included in theapplicable implementation plan for anyotherState

... topreventsignificant deterioration ofairqualityortoprotect visibility

. II

. EPAassessment of the "good neighbor" provisions on Kansas In CAIR, the EPA reported that the threshold for evaluating the air quality component of determining whether an individual State's emissions "contribute significantly" to downwind nonattainment of the annual PM2.5 standard, under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D) should be very small compared to the National AmbientAir Quality Standards (NAAQS)

. EPA stated, however, that the precision of the threshold should not exceed that of the NAAQS

. Rounding the proposed value of 0.15, the nearest single digit corresponding to 1 %of the PM2,5 annual NAAQS is 0.2 ,ug/m3

. The final rule is based on this threshold

. EPAdecided to apply this threshold such that any model result that is belowthis value (0.19 or less) indicated a lack ofsignificant contribution, while values of 0.20or higher

State ofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 2 Interstate Transport forthe NAAQSStandards for8-hour Ozone and PM2.5, 2006

# exceed the threshold

. Using this metric for determining whether a State

"contributes significantly" (before considering cost) to PM2.5 nonattainment, EPA's updated modeling showed that Kansas did not meet or exceed the 0.2 Ng/m3 annual average PM2.5 contribution threshold (Final rule pp.160-161)

. State-by-State zero-out modeling was used as the modeling technique to quantify the contribution from S02 and NOX emissions in individual States to future PM2.5 nonattainment in other States

. As part of the zero-out modeling technique, EPA removed the 2010 Base Case anthropogenic emissions of S02 and NOX from 37 States in the East on a State-by-State basis in different Community Multiscale AirQuality (CMAQ) model runs
. The model predictions from the zero-out runs were used to calculate the contribution fromeach State to PM2.5 at nonattainment receptors in other States through the following process: Step 1 : the Speciated Modeled Attainment Test (SMAT) technique is applied for each zero-out run to calculate PM2.5 concentrations at each Federal reference method (FIRM) site (see Section IV.B) ; Step 2: for each of the 113 receptors, the difference between the 2010 Base PM2.5 concentration and the PM2.5 concentration for the zero-out run is calculated atthat same receptor

. The difference is defined as the contribution fromthe zeroout Stateto the nonattainment receptor

. EPA performed zero-out modeling using CMAQ for each of 37 States individually, including Kansas

. Kansas' Maximum Downwind PM2.5 Contribution was 0.11 ,cug/m3

. These results demonstrated that Kansas' emissions do not "contribute significantly" to downwind nonattainment of the annual PM2.5 standard

. According to the Notice of Final Rulemaking- Air Quality Modeling Technical Support Document (NFRAQMTSD), the zero-out technique was used along with source apportionment to quantify the impact of emissions in specific upwind States on projected downwind nonattainment areas for 8-hour ozone
. The outputs of the two types of modeling were used to calculate certain measures of contribution, called "metrics"

. The metrics were evaluated in terms of three key contribution factors to determine which States make a significant contribution to downwind ozone nonattainment

. The significant contribution analysis completed for CAR used the same modeling techniques, the same metrics, and the same three contribution factors as those used by EPA for the State-by-State determination in the NOXSIPCall

. The zero-out and source apportionment modeling techniques provide different technical approaches to quantifying the downwind impact of emissions in upwind States

. The zero-out modeling provides an estimate of downwind impacts by calculating the difference between the model estimates froma base case run to the estimates froma simulation in which the base case man-made emissions of NOXand VOCare removed froma specificState

.

State ofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 3 InterstateTransportforthe NAAQS Standards for 8-hour Ozone and PMZ.5, 2006

# In the proposal, EPA quantified the impact of emissions fromspecific upwind

States on 8-hour ozone concentrations in projected downwind nonattainment areas, using zero-out and source apportionment to assess these contributions

. Because large portions ofthe six states along the western borderof the modeling domain (Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, and Texas) were outside the area covered by EPA's modeling, EPA did not analyze the contributions to downwind nonattainment for these states

. EPA provided guidance to these states on the methods that they could use to justify that each state did not significantly contribute to downwind ozone nonattainment areas
. These methods are addressed bythe State of Kansas in the following analysis

. III

. Analysis offour requirements of "good neighbor" provisions on Kansas A

. SIP submission fromKansas pertaining to the "significant contribution" requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) and B

. SIPsubmission fromKansas pertaining to the "interfere with maintenance" requirements ofsection 110(a)(2)(D)(i)

. 

# 1

. PotentiallyAffected Metropolitan Areas The Kansas City metropolitan area is the most likely to be affected by emissions fromwithin the State of Kansas

. The area is currently in attainment forozone, but requires a maintenance plan

. The State of Kansas is in the process ofdeveloping contingency measures which will be submitted to EPA Region 7 by June 15, 2007

. These measures will be implemented in two phases

. Phase I would be implemented in the event that Kansas City violated the 8-hour ozone standard, which may indeed occur in 2007

. These measures would include EGU controls and idle reduction regulations that could reduce an additional 44 tons of NOx emissions perday

. Phase II would only be implemented if Phase I controls would fail to bring the area into attainment

. In addition, a significant amount of work is being done in both Kansas City and Wichita on local, voluntary NOX and VOC reduction programs
. The Kansas City area developed a comprehensive, community based Clean Air Action Plan (CAAP) to address voluntary strategies to reduce ground-level ozone
. Other urban areas potentially affected by emissions fromKansas are St

. Louis, MO, Chicago, IL, and Door, Kenosha, and Ozaukee Counties in Wisconsin

. These areas are located far enough fromthe Kansas border to be minimally affected

. More importantly, the closest ozone nonattainment area to the State of Kansas, St

. Louis, was modeled by EPA in attainment of the ozone standard under the CAIRprogramby 2010

. Modeling was performed by EPA and their contractors to determine significant contributions ofthe State's emissions to downwind areas across the eastern half ofthe United States forthe Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR)

. This modeling effort

StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 4 Interstate Transport forthe NAAQSStandards for8-hour Ozoneand PM2 .5, 2006

# demonstrated that Kansas' emissions do not contribute significantly to air

pollution in these areas for PM2.5

. The modeling domain for the ozone demonstration, however, did not cover the entire State of Kansas

. Thus, EPA elected not to model Kansas' contribution to downwind ozone nonattainment areas
. This modeling was conducted using emissions fromthe portion of Kansas east of 99° W

. The following discussion will focus on the relative significance of emissions originating west ofthe 99th meridian because theywere not included in EPA's modeling

. The emissions fromthe eastern portion of the state will also be presented and the significant work in controlling emissions fromthis part of the statewill be discussed

. 

# 2

. Sources in Kansas The focus ofthis discussion is on two ozone precursors, oxides of nitrogen (NOX) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs)

. Most point sources of these ozone precursors are located in eastern Kansas, east of the 99th meridian

. Kansas' major urban areas, and most of the population are also located in this eastern portion of the State

. The contribution of mobile sources is predominantly from traffic in the eastern halfofthe State

. 

# 3

. Emissions East andWest ofthe 99t" Meridian Contributions from significant sources in Kansas east and west of the 99th meridian are presented in the table below

.
Area (miles) Populationa Point NO,(tpy)b PointVOCs (tpy)b Kansas 82,282 2,688,418 158,828 20,879 East of99 W 48,076 2,371,473 120,650 16,927 West of99 W

-- 34,206 316,945 38,178 3,952

~ % West of 9Fw 41 .57 11 .79 24 .04 18.93 Per2000Census b Per2004 Kansas Emissions Inventory; tpy =tons peryear 

# Point sources are the primary focus of CARdue to their contribution to interstate transport of air pollution

. With regard to point source emissions, the above table shows that only 24 percent of the annual NO,, emissions, and approximately 19 percent of the annual VOC emissions, can be attributed to sources west of the 99th meridian

. Currently, one large facility, which would add three newElectric Generating Units (EGUs) to the point source totals, is planned for the western part ofthe State at Holcomb

. All three ofthese units have gone through a BACT analysis

. Because of the prevailing southerly winds in Western Kansas, no significant impacts on downwind ozone nonattainment or maintenance areas are anticipated

. Activities associated with the Hugoton gas field constitute the main existing source of NO

. in western Kansas

. Trends in emissions inventories for this sector over the years 1997 to 2002 showed a significant decline in annual NOX

StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 5 Interstate Transport for the NAAQSStandards for8-hour Ozoneand PM2,5, 2006

# emissions (see graph below)

. Declining production in this area will result in

continued reductions in NOXemissions in the future

.

Annual NOx Emissions fromPoint Source Natural Gas Compressor Stations (SIC4922) in Kansas 

# 80,000~ 70,000 60,000 -- -~

_ 50,000

0 40,000 r 

# 30,000 d
20,000
10,000 -
0 1 -r 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Source: Kansas Department of Health and Environment, Bureau ofAir and Radiation, Point Source Emissions Inventory Database 

# 4

. Kansas Weather - Meteorological Considerations Because ofthe state's geographic location in the middle of the country, there are four distinct seasons in Kansas

. Cold winters and hot, dry summers are the norms for the state

. The other constant in Kansas weather is the wind

. Kansas ranks high in the nation in average daily wind speed

. In 2005, the average wind speed across the state wasjust below9 miles per hour (mph)

. The predominant wind direction was fromthe south

. These factors combine to affect the formation and transport ofozone
. The wind roses belowdepict wind conditions recorded at two National Weather Service sites; Garden City, in western Kansas, and Topeka, in eastern Kansas

. These sites, fromeach side of the 99th meridian, showa representation of the wind speeds and directions for the period from 1997 through 2005

. The wind speeds on the graphs are reported in knots (1 knot = 1 .15 miles per hour)

. The predominant wind direction across the state of Kansas during this nine year period was fromthe south

. Ozone season (April 1 - October 31) wind roses for both cities are also shown to illustrate that the predominant wind direction remains fromthe south during this timeframe

.

StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 6 Interstate Transport forthe NAAQSStandards for8-hour Ozoneand PM2 .5, 2006

# Meteorological conditions greatly affect the concentration of pollutants at a

particular location, as well as the rate ofdispersion of pollutants

. The wind roses belowshow

that prevailing winds across the entire state are fromthe southsouthwest to the southeast

. This pattern occasionally exposes the Kansas City metropolitan area to pollutants from other urban areas in the eastern part of Kansas

. a.b-<n.,.~<.~W

.,.,.

Annual Wind Rosefor Garden City, KS AnnualWind Rose forTopeka, KS

K

....~ .,~.~a~
......,Em~~

OzoneSeason Wind Rose for Garden City, KS Ozone SeasonWind Rose for Topeka, KS



# StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 7 InterstateTransportforthe NAAQSStandards for 8-hour Ozone andPM2,5, 2006

# Given the lowproportions of NO, and VOCs emitted in Kansas west of the 99t"

meridian, and the prevailing winds across the State, there is a relatively low potential for transport directly into the Kansas City area or toward urban areas farther to the east

. Contributions from the intrastate region west of the 99th meridian are relatively small, and given the distances and prevailing winds, these are not expected to be major contributors to areas in other States

. Winds in the eastern section of the state also are predominantly fromthe south-southeast

. Occasionally, this allows emissions to affect the Kansas City metropolitan area but significant efforts are employed on sources in Eastern Kansas to mitigate these impacts

. 

# 5

. Trajectory Analyses Forward trajectory analyses were performed for the area in Kansas west of the 99th meridian for which no CAIR modeling was completed

. Forward trajectories were completed for a point in western Kansas centrally located between the two major point sources discussed above

. The forward and backward trajectories were completed for the four high ozone readings for the years 2003-2005 in the areas most likely to be impacted by Kansas emissions (See Appendix F)

. The trajectory analyses confirmthat emissions fromthe portion of Kansas west ofthe 99th meridian have a minimal impacton downwind areas during high ozone readings (See Appendix G)

. The analysis also showed that the frequency of trajectory "contribution" to the 2010 ozone nonattainment receptors of Kenosho and Ozaukee Counties in Wisconsin were extremely low

. The trajectories ran for Kenosha County showed only two instances where the 500meter trajectory passed through the state

. Although these trajectories passed through the extreme eastern section of the state, the limited frequency leads the State to believe that Kansas has limited contributions to Kenosho County

. In the same respect, only three 1500meter backward trajectories ran for Ozaukee County passed through the state of Kansas

. In addition, these trajectories passed through the central part of the state where large, point sources are limited

. No 500meter trajectories for Ozaukee County were shown to pass through or originate in the State of Kansas

. 

# 6

. Future Outlook Future reductions of emissions from Kansas will be realized with BART controls on electrical generating units to be applied under the Regional Haze Rule

. In addition major sources in the State of Kansas are currently subject to PSDand NNSR permitting programs that implement the 8-hour NAAQS for ozone
. The State is also on track to meet the June 15, 2007 deadline for SIP submissions adopting the requirements of the Phase II ozone implementation rule

. Other significant work is being done in the eastern half ofthe state to limit emissions of NOx and VOCs

. One example of this is a Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR)

StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 8 Interstate Transportforthe NAAQSStandards for 8-hour Ozone andPM2,5, 2006

# installation project that is being placed on a large EGU south of the Kansas City

metropolitan area
. This project alone has the potential to reduce upwind NOx emissions by 63tons per day (23,000tons/year)

. This project is set to come "online" in May 2007

. This projectwill not only have potentially significant impacts on air quality in Kansas City, butwill potentially affect manyotherareas downwind of this facility

. C

. SIPsubmission fromKansas pertaining to the "prevention ofsignificant deterioration" requirements ofsection 110(a)(2)(D)(i) : 1

. 8-hour ozone The State of Kansas confirms that major sources in the state are currently subject to PSDand NNSR permitting programs that implement the 8-hour ozone standard

. Also, the state of Kansas is on track to meet the June 15, 2007 deadline for SIP submissions adopting the requirements of the Phase II ozone implementation rule

. 2

. PM2 .5 The State of Kansas confirms that major sources in the state are currently subject to PSD and NNSR permitting programs implemented in accordance with EPA's interimguidance calling for use of PM1o as a surrogate for PM2 .5 in the PSDand NNSR programs
. D

. SIPsubmission fromKansas pertaining tothe "protectvisibility" requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) : The State of Kansas verifies that no source within the State emits pollutants that interfere with measures included in the visibility SIPs under the 1980 regulations

. In addition, the State of Kansas confirms that it is not possible at this time to assess whether there is any interference with measures in the applicable SIPfor another State designed to "protect visibility" for 8-hour ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS until regional haze SIPs are submitted and approved

. IV

. Conclusion The State of Kansas submits to the EPA that it has met the four distinct requirements forsection 110(a)(2)(D)(i) ofthe Clean AirAct (CAA) for the 8-hour ozone and PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and does not significantly contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS in anotherstate

.

State ofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 9 Interstate Transport forthe NAAQS Standards 

# for8-hour Ozone and PMZ.5, 2006

# V

. Technical Support Documents for the Final CAIR Demonstration that CAIR satisfies the "Better-than-BART" test as proposed in the guidelines for making BART determinations (www .epa.gov/CAIR/pdfs/finaltech04.pdf): In the modeling presented in this document, the CAIRregion includes Kansas, though Kansas is not partofthe final CAIR region

. Kansas 2015 EGU Emissions under CAIRplus BARTwas 49,000tons for S02and 39,000tons for NO,,, while 2015 EGU Emissions under "BART nationwide" was 63,000tons for S02and 39,000 tonsfor NO,

.
Table 1-1 : State-by-State EGtEmissions Projections under C .UR'-BARTin 2015

CAMRssimSbAn 

# M9ECU.r=&*M 1WAer.+C" .al~tRvd'MW i~q*m-CAMrqon howCAiRRqim Statem 

# 201SECUFkwlssiow

tamderCAIRw/BART 'sMwCMrqima 

# No

. S% NO

. Alabautia 255 49 Arizona 611 51 

# Adcansast 82 32 C'alifoauia 3 19 E?elaware 18 7 Colorado 47 45 DistrictotColamobia 0 0 Comiecticut* 3 7 

# ida 61 Idaho

- ----" G eorg ia 249 96 Kawas 4T W Illinois 2" 65 Maine S r Indi=a 3 4 assac tittietts' l Iowa awtana .u 

# 1Ceuuwkv 2'1 44 Nebdaska 30 33 vasima eVa a
.l _o N ow re hiichtan 385 85 Now D4txtco 52

- 32

- uuu^ .ota oi au Mr 44 ts.MWi oosaa Mis.ouri 245 58 Oregon 10 7 e<v es:e e ka New os s k

. ota NorthCaro73na 13'9 0

----- Utah 

# 53

-- $0 OE* 

# 202 w W eru=t 

# T Peuns lvasua 133 77 VVashira 4 12 SouthCarolina 1 36 Vr "oaxan 69 43 Temessee 161 27 

# 1 so Texas 352 160 Virginia 1161 38 WestVirginia lis 44 Wisconsin -----_~ __ _ 132 3? 

# I iTOW 1- 4M 'I 1a .~ 1 eCommectiant ard?t3assachusem areCAIRteg=Statesfm- purposes ofsit=ertimeNO,amayandweremodeledas such

. t Arkansas, Delanae, and"-Sew Jersey aresub3ecttoCAIRforsummertimeNO, o*buft awemcdeledas beiug subjecttoCAIRforboffi NO,arjd PAi_

.s 

# 1fli00tons)

.



# StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 10 Interstate Transport forthe NAAQSStandards for8-hour Ozoneand PMZ.5, 2006

# Table1-2: State-b-,--State EGUEmissionsProjecdons under BART'Nationwidein 201.9 

# CJ1UAWs$NIr MOM U60aft Uadw MMW 

# Sm-CM1CwbaStbt SWE+=Friim U14*ABM
NO

. vcs NO

. Alabama 272 Ill 3nmna 60 51 3,iicanszs* 15 31 r=h*cna 3 `47 1)41an~', 36 9 Color-bdo 47 :F) DistrictOfGolsmabia Q 0 Calmectcat* 4 6 Flor :da 159 12U Idaho 0 1 a: 6 39 Illavotis 2$d 86 :tfai:at S , India" 11?8 166 Nta:acaw :rtt5" 18 19 Iowa .~ 

# ICenxuel,ro 307 91 '_+:ebrarka '' 33 B- i4;aw 31 38 1x~adi ?, ,6 ll.4arvla¢td 84 24 Oea shixe 3 Aiichieam 219 85 Ns~a Mexico 32 3_' ltiliaassata 114 50 N-orthDakota S8 43 h4iss :s~ i 25 19 011alwma 43 53 

# Mi::oun 134 " on la N ewer .n-+ 39 1 statld i7 N #w Yook 44 SouthDakota 

# NorebCjaolixa 91 56 L7sah 53 54 02asaoai pemw9taou 372 123 Ra on 10 !3 SarsthCaroliaa 120 34 Sl'vawisu_= 82 ,1-3 Te=e

. :ee 566 93 Tdbl 671 ~2+6 Texas 257 1&1 '4'119mia 217 61 Westw 402 90 

# Wisconsul ~ - ss l ;'? 1 rVid I= 0Comw=uxarsdkia; :adttk .rtts areCAIRyrliauSame

:50orreupases ofauuwrttiuu .V©, only wdwe* nm4dt:rdat, .uth tArLas:a:, D,rlmara, arwd Now Jet-soy are sub9ert toCAERfox sumwsrtfntr NO,only butweta u=adeled a: bemg suhject toCURfmbath NOxandPh+L_,,



# Regional and State S02and NO,, emissions budgets (http://www

.epa.gov/CAIR/pdfs/finaltech06.pdf): Kansas is not included in this due to EPA's most recent modeling

. New commercial marine vehicle (CMV) inventory by state (http://www

.epa.gov/CAIR/pdfs/finaltech01 .pdf): Kansas (VOC= 7) (NOx = 205) (CO= 27) (S02 = 56) (PM,o = 14) (PM2.5 = 12) 1000 as)

.



# StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 11 Interstate Transport forthe NAAQSStandards for8-hour Ozoneand PM2 .5, 2006

# Appendices

Appendix A Table of Kansas' state-sector emission summary for the 2001 base, 2010 base, and 2015 base cases
. (This information is also available electronically in the CAR docket (item number OAR-2003-0053-1705) and the CARwebsite as an Excel file named Emissions summary_state sector 2001-2010-2015.xls) Appendix B Table of Kansas' state-sector emission summaryforthe 2010 CAIRstrategy and 2015 CARstrategy emissions

. Appendix C Listing of the 2001 NEI facilities which were either partially or fully identified as IPMsources, which were therefore removed fromthe 2001 base year Non-EGU file before projecting the future year Non-EGU files

. The NEI IDs and ORIS Plant IDs are provided in this list, along with an indicator of whether only a portion of the complete facility emission records were removed

. Emission totals (S02, NOX, and PM2.5) of both the removed (IPM-projected) portion and the retained (NonEGU) portion are also included

. Appendix D The 2010 CAR PM2.5 and 8-hour ozone concentrations for the 432 counties included in the analysis

. Appendix E The 2015 CAR PM2.5 and 8-hour ozone concentrations for the 432 counties included in the analysis

. Appendix F Table of the four high ozone readings for the years 2003-2005 for five localities included in the back trajectory analyses

. Appendix G Trajectories modeled from multiple localities during the four highest ozone readings in the years 2003-2005

. The trajectories were produced by HYSPLIT fromthe NOAAARL website

.

StateofKansas Implementation Plan Revision 12 Interstate Transport forthe NAAQSStandards for8-hour Ozone and PMZ,5, 2006

# Appendix A

State-sector emissions summaryfor 2001, 2010base, and 2015 base
Thefollowingtablecontains thestate-sector emission summariesforthe 2001 base, 2010base, and 2015basecases
.

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# Appendix B

State-sector emissions summary for 2010 and 2015 CARstrategy
Thefollowingtablecontains the state-sector emission summaries forthe2010CAIRstrategy and2015 CAIRstrategy emissions

.Theemissionsvalues in the tablearethe same as thosein Appendix A, withthe exceptionofthe IPM sector

.

(The remainderofthis page left intentionally blank)

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# H-14

# Appendix C

Listing of the 2001 NEI facilities identified as IPM sources Approach forsplitting of2001 PointSources into IPM vs non-IPM

for Projection Purposes

. The2001 National Emission Inventory (NEI)pointsource data containemissions estimatesfor sourcesthat arebothelectric generating units (EGUs) andNon-EGUs,alongwiththeir geographic locations andstackparameters

.The Integrated Planning Model (IPM)is used to predictthefuture-yearemissions forthe EGUsources; therefore, it is necessarytoidentify and removeall sources thatwill be replaced withfuture-year IPM results

. Matching the facilities also allows maintainingconsistent stackparameters betweenthebase 2001 casesandall future-year cases. Theapproachalso identifies those non-EGUsourcesthatwill be projectedto the future yearsusing approaches otherthan IPM

. Identification ofthe IPM-predictedsourcesfrom the baseyearprevents double-countingofemissions sourcesthatwouldotherwise be projectedas a non-EGUsource
. EPAused theNational Electric EnergySystem(NEEDS) Database (http://www .epa.gov/ airmarkets/epa-ipm/) as theuniverseofelectric generating unitsto be identified as EGUs inthe 2001 NEIpointsource data

. IPM usesthe NEEDSdatabasefor informationabout EGU facilities; however, theversionofNEEDSEPAused (2003) wasoneversionolderthan the 2004 versionused in IPM

Version2

.1 .9 (the IPM

versionused in thefinal CAIRairquality modeling runs)

. This occurred becausetheidentification ofIPM sources in the 2001 NEIwas completed before theNEEDS 2004databasewasavailable

. Nevertheless, EPAhas confirmedthat all significant EGUs existingas of2001 are represented in the NEEDS 2003

. Duringdevelopmentofthe2001 NEI, thedevelopers hadincluded ORIS Plant IDs, andin many instances Boiler IDs

. EPAcompared theNEEDS 2003 database tothe2001 NEIpoint-source datausingthe ORIS Plant lDs, whichappearsin bothdatasets

. EPAalsorevised someofthe ORIS Plant IDsin the2001 NEIbasedon comparison ofotherfields suchas theplants' state and county FIPS codes andnames

. Lastly, EPAperformed additional matchingfor all large facilities in the NEEDS 2003 datasetthat hadnotalreadybeen matchedtothe2001 NEI

. Manyofthese additional matchingstepswerefor NEEDS recordswheretheentire facility (and thereforetheentire facility's NEIemissions) were not all dueto the generation ofelectricityfor sale tothe electrical grid (e.g., industrial siteswith cogeneration emission units)

. To the extent practicable, individual emission unitswithin such industrial sites were identified with ORIS Plant IDsandmapped to the NEEDSdataset by unit

. EPAidentified seventyofthesecases
. In some ofthesecases, EPAidentified aNEEDScogeneration sites in the2001 NEI, butitwas not possible to identify aspecific emission record whichshould be matched

. These caseswere confined tothosewherethe NEEDS-indicatedemitting capacitywasaminorfractionofthe industrial source's NEIemissions; therefore, notmatching them didnot lead to significant double-counting

. Thetable liststhe2001 NEIfacilities which EPAidentified as IPM sources (eitherallor some units at thefacility)

. These facilities were replaced by IPM-predicted emissions in the F-2future year casesandwherenot projectedas part ofthe non-EGU(non-IPM) sector

. The NEI IDsand

# ORIS Plant IDs areincluded, alongwithan indicator ofwhetheronlyaportionofthecomplete

facility emission recordswere removed

. Thetableincludes emission totals (SO, NO,, and PM2 .5) ofboththeremovedportionandtheretained (Non-IPM)portion

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# Appendix D 2010CAIRPM2,5and Ozone Concentrations
The following mapcontains the2010CAIRPM2 .5 andOzoneconcentrations forthe432counties included in theanalysis

.

(The remainderofthis page left intentionallyblank)

# L

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# Appendix E 2015 CARPM2,5and Ozone Concentrations Thefollowing mapcontains the2015 CAIRPM2 .5 andOzoneconcentrations forthe432counties included in the analysis

.

(The remainderofthis page left intentionally blank)

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# Appendix F Table of High Ozone Readings
Thefollowing tableshowsthefour highozonereadings fortheyears 2003-2005forfive localities included in theback trajectory analysis

.

(The remainderofthis page left intentionallyblank)

## _

LIL K
C G1 Q

. 

# a cy : rv My 

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# N

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## N N N N M M MM

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Ce) CV) 

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. lo l[) Lo Lo 

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# W W IV ~. Z Z Z ~ ~ W : U ~ U U S C7 2 2 oM 'a' tA M It O tMIT O Mco Iq If) rM le It Lp 0 0 0 

# r: ,

: 0 0 0-' 0 0 0 C1 0 0 0 0 C3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 i 0 0 0 0 0 0 ^ ,y 0 0 0 0 y 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N ~ N N N ' N N N N ' N N N N 

# ICK ' V Q S ' S

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# Appendix G BackTrajectories Trajectories modeled frommultiple localities during the four highestozonereadings in theyears 2003-2005

. The trajectories were produced by HYSPLIT fromthe NOAAARLwebsite

.

(The remainderofthis page left intentionallyblank)

# St

. Louis MSA

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL 500 Produced with HYSPLITfromthe NOAAARLwebsite

{http:llwww

.arl .noaa.govlreadyn

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 1500 Produced with HYSPLITfromthe NOAAARLWebsite

(http:llwww

.arl

.noaa.govlreadyn

# Chicago MSA

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 500 Produced with HYSPLITfrom the NOAAARL website (http:llwww

.arl

.noaa .govlreadyl)

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 1500 Produced with HYSPLITfromthe NOAAARLWebsite

(http:l/www

.arl .noaa .govlreadyn

# Door County, WI

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 500 

# Produced with HYSPLITfromthe NOAAARLwebsite

(http:l/www

.arl

.noaa.gov/readyn

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 1500 Producedwith HYSPLIT from the NOAAARL Website (http:llwww

.arl .noaa .govlreadyn

# Kenosha County, WI

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 500 Produced with HYSPLITfrom the NOAAARLwebsite (http:llwww

.arl .noaa.govlreadyn

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 1500 Produced with HYSPLITfrom the NOAAARL Website (http:llwww

.arl .noaa.govlreadyn

# Ozaukee County, WI

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 500 Produced with HYSPLITfromthe NOAAARLwebsite

(http://www

.arl .noaa.gov/readyn

Trajectory Direction: Backward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 1500 Producedwith HYSPLITfrom the NOAAARL Website (http://www

.arl .noaa.gov/readyn

# Forward Trajectories

Trajectory Direction: Forward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 500 Produced with HYSPLITfromthe NOAAARLwebsite

(http://www

.arl .noaa .gov/readyn

Trajectory Direction: Forward Duration: 72 hours MetersAGL: 1500 Producedwith HYSPLITfrom the NOAAARL website (http://www

.arl

. noaa .gov/ready/) 

# Lat/Long: 37.5867/-101 .075

# Citation

Draxler, R.R

. and Rolph, G .D., 2003

. HYSPLIT (HYbrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory) Model accessvia NOAAARL READYWebsite (http://www

.arl .noaa.gov/ready/hysplit4.html)

. NOAAAir Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD

. - Rolph, G.D., 2003

. Real-time Environmental Applications and DisplaysYstem (READY)Website (http://www .arl .noaa.gov/ready/hysplit4.html)

. NOAAAir Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD

.