## TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT



# Vulnerability Evaluation Framework for Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide

July 10, 2008

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency EPA430-R-08-009

## For Further Information:
Anhar Karimjee Climate Change Division, Offi ce of Atmospheric Programs U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 202-343-9260 Karimjee.anhar@epa.gov

Lisa Bacanskas Climate Change Division, Offi ce of Atmospheric Programs U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 202-343-9758 Bacanskas.lisa@epa.gov


## Peer Reviewed Document
Th is report has undergone an external peer review consistent with the guidelines of the U.S. EPA Peer Review Policy. See the Acknowledgements section for a list of reviewers. A copy of the EPA Peer Review guidelines may be downloaded from the following web page athttp://epa.gov/osa/spc/2peerrev.htm

## CONTENTS Acknowledgments............................................................................ iv Acronyms...........................................................................................v 1. Introduction ................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background on Climate Change and Geologic Sequestration..............................1 1.2 Vulnerability Assessment Approach .....................................................................2 1.3 Report Organization ...........................................................................................3 

### 2. Background on Geologic Sequestration ........................................ 5 2.1 Geologic Settings under Consideration for Sequestration ....................................5 2.2 Subsurface CO2 Movement and Storage Mechanisms .........................................8 2.2.1 Factors that Control the Rate of CO2 Movement in the Subsurface .....8 2.2.2 Physical and Geochemical Trapping Mechanisms .................................8 2.3 Practical Experience Relevant to Geologic Sequestration ...................................10 2.3.1 Existing Projects.................................................................................10 2.3.2 Natural and Industrial Storage Analogs ..............................................11 2.3.3 Regulatory Experience........................................................................11 2.4 Chapter Summary.............................................................................................12 

### 3. Vulnerability Evaluation Framework for Geologic Sequestration: Geologic System and Attributes ...................................................... 13 3.1 Geologic Sequestration System and Geologic Attributes....................................15 3.1.1 Confi ning System and Related Geologic Attributes ............................15 3.1.2 Injection Zone and Related Geologic Attributes.................................19 3.1.3 Carbon Dioxide Stream......................................................................22 3.2 Spatial Area of Evaluation: Geologic Sequestration Footprint ............................23 3.3 Chapter Summary.............................................................................................26 

### 4. Vulnerability Evaluation Framework for Geologic Sequestration: Impacts and Receptors.................................................................... 27 4.1 Potential Human Health and Welfare Impacts...................................................27 4.1.1 Human Populations ...........................................................................28 4.1.2 Populations Covered by Executive Orders ..........................................30 4.1.3 Cultural and Recreational Resources...................................................30 4.1.4 Economic Resources (Surface and Subsurface)....................................31 4.2 Potential Atmospheric Impacts..........................................................................31 4.3 Potential Ecosystems Impacts ............................................................................32 4.3.1 Sensitive Species .................................................................................32 4.3.2 Legislatively Protected Species ............................................................35

i4.4 Potential Groundwater and Surface Water Impacts............................................35 4.4.1 Water Quality.....................................................................................36 4.4.2 Regional Groundwater Flow...............................................................38 4.4.3 Protected and Sensitive Drinking Water Supplies ...............................38
4.5 Potential Geosphere Impacts .............................................................................38 4.6 Spatial Area of Evaluation: Infl uence of Receptors.............................................38 4.6.1 Carbon Dioxide Spatial Area of Evaluation ........................................39 4.6.2 Pressure Spatial Area of Evaluation .....................................................40 4.7 Chapter Summary.............................................................................................42 

### 5. Vulnerability Evaluation Framework for Geologic Sequestration: Key Considerations .......................................... 43 5.1 Holistic Approach to Evaluating Vulnerability...................................................43 5.1.1 Interplay of Geologic Attributes and Receptors ..................................43 5.1.2 Evaluation of Vulnerability at Diff erent Temporal Scales ....................44 5.2 Key Attributes in Evaluating Geologic Sequestration System Vulnerability........45 5.2.1 Wells as Fluid-Conducting Pathways..................................................46 5.2.2 Faults and Fractures as Fluid-Conducting Pathways ...........................48 5.2.3 Pressure-Induced Physical Eff ects .......................................................49 5.3 Chapter Summary.............................................................................................50 

### 6. Monitoring and Mitigation.................................................. 51 6.1 Monitoring .......................................................................................................51 6.1.1 Purposes of Monitoring......................................................................51 6.1.2 Monitoring Technologies....................................................................52 6.1.3 Timeframe Implications for Monitoring.............................................53 6.2 Mitigation.........................................................................................................54 6.3 Chapter Summary.............................................................................................55 

### 7. Summary and Next Steps ..................................................... 56 Bibliography............................................................................ 57 Glossary................................................................................... 69 Appendix A. Properties of Carbon Dioxide (CO2)................... 76 

## Appendix B. Comparison of Attributes: VEF, IPIECA, and IPCC 

## ..............................................................78

ii

### Figures and Table Figure 2.1. Examples of Geologic Formations Being Considered for GS....................6 Figure 2.2. Eff ectiveness of Trapping Mechanisms Over Time ...................................9 Figure 3.1. VEF Conceptual Model.........................................................................13 Figure 3.2. Confi ning System Evaluation ................................................................18 Figure 3.3. Injection Zone (IZ) Evaluation..............................................................21 Figure 3.4. Carbon Dioxide Stream Evaluation .......................................................23 Figure 3.5. Geologic Sequestration (GS) Footprint Delineation ..............................24 Figure 4.1. Human Health and Welfare Evaluation .................................................28 Figure 4.2. Atmosphere Evaluation..........................................................................32 Figure 4.3. Ecological Receptors Evaluation ............................................................33 Figure 4.4. Groundwater and Surface Water Evaluation ..........................................36 Figure 4.5. Carbon Dioxide Spatial Area of Evaluation............................................40 Figure 4.6. Pressure Spatial Area of Evaluation ........................................................41 Figure 5.1. Risk Profi le for CO2 Storage..................................................................44 Figure 5.2. Wells Evaluation....................................................................................47 Figure 5.3. Faults Evaluation ...................................................................................49 Figure A.1. Phase Diagram for CO2 ........................................................................76 Table B.1. Comparison of Attributes/Pathways Identifi ed as Being Likely to Aff ect Unanticipated Migration or Leakage from GS Projects..................................78

iii

## ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Th e U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) would like to acknowledge those individuals whose eff orts helped bring this report to fruition. Th e Vulnerability Evaluation Framework (VEF) was developed by a multi-disciplinary team of physical and social scientists who provided research, analysis, and technical skills. Th e eff ort was led by EPA’s Climate Change Division (CCD) in the Offi ce of Atmospheric Programs, with critical support from EPA’s Drinking Water Protection Division (DWPD) in the Offi ce of Ground Water and Drinking Water, and Stratus Consulting Inc. Th e following reviewers provided useful input: the members of the internal EPA Workgroup on Geologic Sequestration, James J. Dooley and Casie Davidson (Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory), Neeraj Gupta (Battelle), Jens Birkholzer (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory), Rajesh Pawar (Los Alamos National Laboratory), Grant Bromhal and John Litynski (National Energy Technology Laboratory), Jean-Philippe Nicot (University of Texas), Scott Anderson (Environmental Defense), George Peridas (National Resource Defense Council), John Venezia (World Resources Institute), and Kurt Waltzer (Clean Air Task Force), and the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Carbon Sequestration Regional Partnership Program Outreach Group. Th e International Energy Agency Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme provided an invaluable service by facilitating a formal peer review of this report. Special thanks to the co-facilitators, Brendan Beck and Tim Dixon, and the expert reviewers: Jason Anderson, (Institute for European Environmental Policy), Rick Chalaturnyk (University of Alberta), Sevket Durucan (Imperial College London), Tony Espie (BP), Todd Flach (Det Norske Veritas), Wolfgang Heidug (Shell), John Kaldi (CO2CRC), Jonathan Pearce (British Geological Survey), and Malcolm Wilson (University of Regina).

iv

## A C R ONYMS

Ar Argon CCD Climate Change D ivision CCS Carbon D i o xide Captur e and S torage CH4 M ethane Cn C yanide CO Carbon M ono xide CO2 Carbon D i o xide DOE U.S. D epar tment of E nergy D WPD D rinking W ater P r otection D ivision EOR E nhanced O il R eco v e r y EP A U.S. E nvir onmental P r otection Agency Fe I r o n GHG G r eenhouse G a s GS G eologic S equestration H 2 H ydr ogen H 2 S H yd r ogen S ulfi de Hg M e r cur y IEA I nternational E nergy Agency IPCC I ntergo v ernmental P anel on Climate Change IZ I njection Z one mg/L M illigrams per Liter N 2 N itr ogen NETL N ational E nergy T echnology Laborator y NO N itr ogen Oxide NO3 N itrate NO AA N ational O ceanic and Atmospheric Administration O 2 Oxygen
ppm P a r ts P er M illion SD W A S afe D rinking W ater Ac t SO 2 S ulfur D i o xide SO 4 S ulfate TDS T otal D issolv ed S olids UIC Undergr ound I njection Contr ol USD W Undergr ound S our ce of D rinking W ater USGS U.S. G eological S u r v ey VEF V ulnerability E v aluation F rame wor k

v1

1 CHAPTER 1



# INTRODUCTION
Geologic sequestration1 (GS) of carbon dioxide (CO2), a greenhouse gas (GHG), has been identifi ed as one of several approaches to reduce atmospheric concentrations of CO2, thereby contributing to the mitigation of climate change (IPCC, 2005). A large body of literature indicates that GS is a viable technology that can be conducted in a safe manner when coupled with a comprehensive approach to ensure protection of human health and the environment (see text box). Nonetheless, there are potential risks and uncertainties associated with GS. To systematically identify those conditions that could increase the potential for adverse impacts from GS, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has developed a Vulnerability Evaluation Framework (VEF). 

# “ With appr opriat e sit e selection based on a v ailable subsur f ace inf ormation, a monit oring pr ogram t o det e ct pr oblems, a regulat or y syst em, and the appr opriat e use of remediation methods t o st op or contr ol CO 2 releases if the y arise, the local health, saf ety and en vir onment risks of geologic st orage w ould be com parable t o risks of current activities such as natural gas st orage, [enhanced oil reco v e r y], and deep undergr ound disposal of acid gas. 

# ”
–IPCC (2005) 

## 1.1 Background on Climate Change and Geologic Sequestration
In its 2007 scientifi c assessment, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that “warming of the climate system is unequivocal” (IPCC, 2007). Th is warming trend has been linked to shrinking glaciers, rising sea levels, alterations in plant and animal habitats, and other global impacts. Th e IPCC concluded that it is very likely that most of the increase in the average global temperature since the mid-20th century has been caused by emissions of GHGs from human activities. Continued GHG emissions at or above current rates will lead to further warming and very likely to global impacts, some of which may be irreversible (IPCC, 2007).

Th e IPCC examined several scenarios to reduce and soon reverse increase in emissions of GHGs and thus limit future climate change; most studies fi nd that a range of strategies will need to be employed. In its Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage, the IPCC identifi ed CO2 capture and storage (CCS) as one of several approaches with the potential to address climate change (IPCC, 2005). CCS is intended to mitigate climate change eff ects by decreasing emissions from stationary sources such as power plants (IPCC, 2005). Although several CCS technologies have been proposed, including ocean storage and mineral carbonation, GS has been identifi ed as the most technically viable approach (IPCC, 2005). GS involves injecting captured CO2 into deep, subsurface rock formations for long-term storage. It has been estimated that available capacity for GS in the United States ranges from 1,300 to 3,900 gigatons of CO2, with most of the capacity in deep saline formations (NETL, 2007). For reference, the total energy-related CO2 emissions in the United States in 2005 was 5.9 gigatons, with fossil fuel combustion accounting for 5.8 gigatons (U.S. EPA, 2007).

1 Note, sequestration is also sometimes referred to as storage, see for example, IPCC 2005.1 introduction

2 

## 1.2 Vulnerability Assessment Approach
Th e vulnerability assessment incorporated in the VEF was developed to systematically identify those conditions that could increase the potential for adverse impacts from GS, regardless of likelihood or broad applicability. It is not a quantitative, probabilistic risk assessment tool. Vulnerability assessment examines conditions that lead to increased or decreased susceptibility to consequences, whereas risk assessment measures the probability and severity of consequences. It is recommended that assessing vulnerability be an iterative process where new information is incorporated into the evaluation as it is generated. Many of the principles, approaches, and areas of focus in the VEF, discussed in this report, are similar to and refl ect conclusions reached in other GS assessments (see, for example, Oldenburg et al., 2002a, 2002b; Friedman and Nummedal, 2003; Maul et al., 2003; Celia and Radonjic, 2004; Celia et al., 2004; Le Gallo et al., 2004; Quintessa, 2004; Walton et al., 2004; Zhang et al., 2006). Th e VEF described in this report is not designed to be a generalized site selection tool, to establish performance standards for GS sites, or to specify data requirements. Th e VEF represents a fi rst step toward a conceptual framework designed to aid regulators, and other technical experts, in framing key site-specifi c considerations and in identifying key areas that require in-depth evaluation for project design, site-specifi c risk assessment, monitoring, and management. It could serve as a reference document for regulators responsible for approving environmental impact statements, approving GS sites, or issuing permits for GS projects. Applying the VEF would necessitate detailed technical information on the proposed GS site extracted from existing data sources or specifi cally collected by a project operator. Current challenges to developing a quantitative risk assessment that is applicable across all GS sites are related to limited fi eld experience and the heterogeneity of GS sites. Attempting to quantify risks before suffi ciently understanding GS systems could result in understating or overstating the risks associated with GS. Development of a high-level quantitative risk analysis will become more feasible as information is generated from pilot- and commercial-scale projects. Due to the inherent heterogeneities of GS systems, site-specifi c quantitative risk assessments similar to approaches taken at the Weyburn (Canada), Gorgon (Australia), and Otway (Australia) sites provide invaluable insight into understanding and managing potential risks. (Zhou et al., 2004; Chevron, 2005; U.S. DOE, 2007a; CO2CRC, 2008). As with all such frameworks, the VEF is limited in that only vulnerabilities based on currently known or understood physicochemical or biological processes are considered. Uncertainties that go beyond current understanding of these fundamental processes or are related to issues of scale are not explicitly incorporated into this vulnerability framework. Uncertainties associated with models may also present challenges to both operators and regulators. Acknowledging these uncertainties and employing a strategy to manage them is a critical aspect of any assessment. Probabilistic approaches may be applied to handle uncertainties that arise from variability in the GS system (e.g. description of deep geologic storage systems, variation in types of cement materials used in wells, uncertainty regarding the location of existing wells, etc). Uncertainties from incomplete characterization of the GS site may be addressed through incorporating additional information as it is generated, thus reducing uncertainty and increasing the precision of the evaluation. It may be more diffi cult to address uncertainties arising from a lack of understanding of processes involved, and from potentially unreliable, inexplicable, or confl icting data. Approaches are being developed that can be applied to manage uncertainties associated with GS (see Benbow et al, 2006).1 introduction

3 Th e VEF concept was developed based on an extensive literature review as well as input from EPA’s Regional and Headquarters offi ces, researchers at the DOE national laboratories, experts from academia, and members of nongovernmental organizations working on issues related to GS. Th e IEA GHG R&D Programme also facilitated a peer review of this document by GS experts. It is important to emphasize that the use of the VEF in framing site-specifi c considerations for site selection does not replace or supersede other statutory or regulatory requirements for the protection of human health and the environment. Owners and operators must obtain all necessary permits from appropriate state and federal authorities under the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA) and any other applicable statutes and regulations.


## 1.3 Report Organization
Th e goals of this report are to: 1. Outline key characteristics of a GS system that need to be evaluated to understand potential impacts to human health and the environment. 2. Provide approaches for conducting “fi rst-order” assessments of GS systems to identify circumstances where additional study and/or monitoring may be warranted. 3. Identify potential mechanisms for unanticipated migration2, leakage3, and or pressure changes that could cause adverse impacts. 4. Describe potential impacts of unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes based on available literature. Th e report chapters address these goals as follows: Chapter 2 : For GS to be an eff ective climate change mitigation tool, large volumes of CO2 must remain underground for long periods of time (hundreds, if not thousands, of years). Chapter 2 discusses the types of geologic formations that are currently being considered for GS and the types of mechanisms that could trap CO2 underground. Th e VEF was developed with a focus on deep saline formations (described in Chapter 2), but many of the concepts apply to other geologic settings under consideration for GS. Th e chapter also provides background on GS as a climate change mitigation strategy by identifying natural and industrial analogs for GS and reviewing U.S. experience in regulating subsurface injection. Chapter 3 : Chapter 3 describes geologic attributes that could infl uence (i.e., increase or decrease) the vulnerability of a GS system to unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure changes. Th is chapter also discusses the GS footprint component of the spatial area of evaluation.

2 Th e term “migration” refers to subsurface movement of CO2 (or other fl uids) within or out of the injection zone. 3 Th e term “leakage” refers to the movement of CO2 (or other fl uids) to the surface (for example, to the atmosphere or oceans).1 introduction

4 Chapter 4 : Five impact categories and associated key receptors are described that could be aff ected by unanticipated migration and leakage or pressure changes: human health and welfare, atmosphere, ecosystems, groundwater and surface water, and the geosphere. Chapter 4 identifi es approaches to evaluate adverse impacts to receptors (human and environmental) that might occur in the event of unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure change, and to evaluate spatial area of evaluation with respect to the receptors that may be impacted. Chapter 5 : Th e overall vulnerability of a GS site to adverse impacts is not dependent on the presence of a single attribute or receptor, but is a combined function of the identifi ed geologic attributes and receptors. Chapter 5 provides a qualitative discussion of this concept of an holistic approach, the linkage between attribute vulnerabilities and impacts, and how vulnerabilities may change over time. Th is chapter also elaborates on two key attributes considered likely conduits, wells and faults/fracture zones (both existing and pressure-induced). Th e discussion highlights that even for these individual attributes, it is the interplay of multiple characteristics that will determine the level of vulnerability, and not their simple presence. Chapter 6 : Th e VEF assists in identifying situations that could result in elevated vulnerability to adverse impacts from GS and often recommends monitoring in such instances. Th e potential for adverse impacts may be minimized in many cases by careful monitoring and mitigation. Chapter 6 reviews monitoring technologies that can be used to measure how much CO2 is injected, to track the location of stored CO2, and to detect any CO2 releases4 to the atmosphere. Th is chapter also discusses potential mitigation actions in the event of leakage, unanticipated migration, or pressure changes. Chapter 7 : Chapter 7 provides a summary of the VEF, its structure, development, purpose, and potential applications. Th e chapter also describes next steps that may be taken to further develop, refi ne, and validate the VEF.

4 Release is another term used for leakage.2

5 CHAPTER 2 

# BACKGROUND ON GEOLOGIC SEQUESTRATION
Th e value of GS as a climate mitigation tool is, in part, contingent on CO2 remaining stored underground for a long period of time. Long-term storage could be accomplished by injecting CO2 into appropriate geologic formations with eff ective trapping mechanisms that will not be compromised over the storage period. It has been estimated that CO2 storage will need to function for at least several hundred years (Chalaturnyk and Gunter, 2004; IPCC, 2005; Holloway et al., 2007). While a desirable timeframe for eff ective sequestration of CO2 may be as much as thousands of years, eff ective storage of CO2 for even several hundred years may provide valuable fl exibility in reducing CO2 emissions and addressing climate change impacts. Th is chapter describes likely formations where CO2 might be injected and the mechanisms that can trap CO2 underground. It reviews natural and industrial analogs and related fi eld experience that are often cited to support the view that GS can be an eff ective climate change mitigation technology (Benson et al., 2002; Heinrich et al., 2003; IEA, 2004; IPCC, 2005, 2007; Dooley et al., 2006; MIT, 2007). U.S. regulation of subsurface injection of fl uids also provides relevant experience that is summarized here. Th e chapter is organized into the following sections: • Section 2.1 outlines the kinds of geologic formations being considered for GS, including deep saline formations, depleted oil and gas reservoirs, coal seams, and other geologic formations. • Section 2.2 explains the various mechanisms and properties of CO2 and geologic formations that control the underground movement and trapping of CO2. • Section 2.3 examines practical experience relevant to sequestration, including existing GS projects, natural and industrial analogs for GS, and relevant EPA regulatory experience. • Section 2.4 summarizes the chapter.


## 2.1 Geologic Settings under Consideration for Sequestration
Th e behavior of CO2 in the subsurface and potential vulnerabilities of a GS project are functions of both the type of geologic formation into which CO2 would be injected and the prior uses of the geologic setting, if any. Figure 2.1 is a general illustration of how GS could be implemented in a variety of geological settings. Th e VEF was developed mainly to evaluate deep saline formations, but many of the concepts also apply to other geologic settings. Geologic formations and operational processes typically considered for GS include the following:

• Deep saline formations : In these sedimentary formations, the pore space between the formation rock is fi lled with water containing elevated concentrations of dissolved salts (brines). Th ese formations are being considered for GS because they form very large basins, are located at signifi cant depth (generally below 800–1,000 meters), and typically are not considered viable sources of potable groundwater because of their salinity and depth.2 background on geologic sequestration

6 Figure 2.1. Examples of Geologic Formations Being Considered for GS. Source: CO2CRC, 2007 Deep saline formations are believed to have the greatest potential storage capacity and are more widespread than other storage options (Dooley et al., 2006; NETL, 2007), and therefore are the primary focus of the VEF. Stacked reservoirs, in which multiple formations are overlain vertically, separated by lower permeability rock, may be considered particularly advantageous for GS. For a given surface area, such settings would provide greater vertical storage space, and the multiple layering may provide additional CO2 structural and stratigraphic traps (see section 2.2 for a discussion of CO2 trapping mechanisms). In addition, because of their depth, deep saline formations are penetrated by few wells or other artifi cial penetrations that could serve as pathways for CO2. Furthermore, the pressure and temperatures typically encountered at such depths are suffi cient to maintain CO2 as a supercritical fl uid; and supercritical CO2 requires much less storage space than it does in gaseous form. Finally, there is currently little competing demand for the resources contained in these formations, including saline pore waters (IPCC, 2005; Dooley et al., 2006). However, advances in desalination technologies and increasing water demand in certain regions could lead to increased competition in the future. A challenge in this GS option is the displacement of large volumes of water to create the pore space for CO2. Th e Sleipner Project in the North Sea is an example of a commercial operation in which captured CO2 is injected into a saline formation.

• Depleted oil and gas reservoirs : Th ese formations have eff ectively stored oil and natural gas for hundreds of thousands to millions of years before human extraction (Benson et al., 2002; IPCC, 2005; Haszeldine, 2006). As a result, there is reason to believe these same formations2 background on geologic sequestration

7 could eff ectively store injected CO2. Although a wealth of geologic data are available on the characteristics of these reservoirs, they are also known to have many abandoned oil and gas production and exploration wells that could be conduits for CO2 to escape from the subsurface. Chapter 5 contains more information on the potential for such wells to be unanticipated migration or leakage pathways.

• Enhanced oil/gas recovery : CO2 is currently injected in some U.S. oil fi elds to enhance oil production. Because these formations eff ectively stored oil for hundreds of thousands to millions of years, it is believed that they can be used to store injected CO2 for long periods of time. However, enhanced oil recovery (EOR) operations are not currently designed to maximize CO2 storage but rather to increase production of oil (Advance Resources International, 2006). Th e Weyburn site in Saskatchewan, Canada, is an example of an EOR operation using CO2 that is captured and shipped via pipeline from a commercial coal gasifi cation plant in Beulah, North Dakota. Geologic sequestration in EOR fi elds faces the same issues associated with depleted oil and gas reservoirs. Specifi cally, EOR fi elds have substantial geological information, but are known to have active and abandoned oil and gas production and exploration wells that could be unanticipated migration and leakage pathways (Celia et al., 2004; Heller, 2005).

• Coal seams : Coal seams are being considered for GS because of coal’s high affi nity for CO2 (Haszeldine, 2006). Micropores in the coal matrix, made more accessible through coal seam fractures, can adsorb gases, including CO2 and methane (CH4). However, the fi ne cleats that create coal micropermeability can become plugged as CO2 replaces CH4, thereby restricting fl ow and causing localized matrix swelling. Matrix swelling around an injection wellbore may reduce permeability and injectivity and, if reduced injectivity is not overcome, may lead to reduced eff ective storage capacity. Methane is a GHG that can contribute to climate change eff ects if discharged into the atmosphere (IPCC, 2007). While there are few examples in practice, the CH4 released by the adsorption of CO2 could be recovered for commercial use. Coal seams are sometimes underground sources of drinking water (USDWs), and may therefore be subject to additional requirements. Th ough coal seams are considered an option for CO2 storage, considerable research and development is still needed to understand coal seam CO2 sequestration.

• Other geologic settings : Other rock types such as basalts and oil or gas rich shale, geologic repositories such as salt caverns, and abandoned mines may also be considered for GS, but are not the subject of current focus. Each of these settings has advantages and disadvantages with regard to its potential to eff ectively store CO2 based on its specifi c geologic characteristics. For example, basalt has the disadvantage of low porosity, permeability, and fractures that may result in the unanticipated movement of CO2 out of the injection zone; but has the advantage that CO2 could be permanently trapped in mineral form through chemical reactions of the CO2 with silicates in the basalt to form carbonate minerals (IPCC, 2005). Additionally, these settings may not accommodate the anticipated scale of GS.2 background on geologic sequestration

8 

## 2.2 Subsurface CO2 Movement and Storage Mechanisms
Knowledge of subsurface movement and trapping of CO2 assists in understanding the potential for CO2 to migrate out of the injection zone.
2.2.1 Factors that Control the Rate of CO2 Movement in the Subsurface
Th e rate of CO2 fl uid fl ow depends on the properties of CO2 and other fl uid phases present in the injection formation, properties of the formation itself, and physical and geochemical interactions that may occur in the subsurface. Th e primary fl uid transport mechanisms that control the rate of movement of CO2 in the subsurface include:

• Fluid fl ow caused by injection-induced pressure gradients (where higher gradients result in faster fl ow rates).

• Fluid fl ow caused by existing hydraulic gradients in the injection formation. • Buoyancy-driven fl ow caused by the density diff erences between CO2 and the formation fl uids (which may result in upward migration of CO2). • Dispersion and fi ngering caused by formation heterogeneities and viscosity contrasts between CO2 and the formation fl uid(s) (CO2 is less viscous than water and will preferentially “slide” over saline waters and channel into high permeability zones).

• Diff usion (this has a relatively minor eff ect). Properties of the injection zone formation(s) that aff ect the rate of CO2 movement include its permeability, thickness, and heterogeneity. A higher permeability results in faster CO2 migration, and a greater thickness means that a greater total volume of CO2 can migrate at the given rate. Geologic heterogeneities also can control CO2 fl ow. For example, zones of high permeability such as a sand lens or an open fracture can act as conduits that allow CO2 to move much faster than would be expected based on the bulk properties of the rock. In contrast, low permeability zones such as shale can slow down or even stop fl ow. Some of these physical and geochemical processes also can aff ect the movement of CO2 in the subsurface by retarding CO2 fl ow and acting as CO2 trapping mechanisms, as discussed below. 2.2.2 Physical and Geochemical Trapping Mechanisms Geologic sequestration of CO2 occurs through a combination of structural and stratigraphic trapping, residual CO2 trapping, solubility trapping, mineral trapping, and preferential adsorption trapping. Th ese mechanisms are functions of the physical and chemical properties of CO2 (see Appendix A for a summary of these properties) and the geologic formations into which the CO2 is injected. Figure 2.2 illustrates the relative eff ectiveness of the diff erent mechanisms (with the exception of preferential adsorption trapping) in trapping CO2 over time. Impermeable physical barriers are considered to be the most eff ective physical trap in the near term. Although mineralization is the most permanent trapping mechanism, it occurs relatively slowly compared to the others. Th e various trapping mechanisms, based on the discussion in the IPCC Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (IPCC, 2005), are as follows.2 background on geologic sequestration

9 • Structural and stratigraphic trapping occurs when injected CO2 rises within the storage formation because of its relative buoyancy and/or the applied injection pressure and then reaches a physical barrier that inhibits further upward migration. Th e physical barrier could be a stratigraphic trap (a formation or a group of formations that act as a permeability and capillary barrier which impedes or prevents upward migration of supercritical CO2) or a structural trap such as one formed by folded or faulted rocks (IPCC, 2005). Figure 2.2. Eff ectiveness of Trapping Mechanisms Over Time. Source: IPCC, 2005, Figure 5.9. • Residual CO2 trapping occurs when CO2 moving through the formation(s) is retained in the pore space by capillary forces. Th is retention, also called capillary trapping, may range from 15% to 25% for typical storage formations (Holtz, 2002), but could exceed 25%, depending upon the porosity and permeability of the formation(s). When the degree of capillary trapping is high and CO2 is injected at the bottom of a thick formation or group of formations, capillary trapping can prevent CO2 from reaching overlying structural and stratigraphic traps (IPCC, 2005; Kumar et al., 2005). • Solubility trapping occurs when injected CO2 contacts a fl uid formation (e.g., saline water) and dissolves into the fl uid (also known as dissolution trapping). CO2 that is dissolved in a formation fl uid is not buoyant; it is instead trapped within the formation fl uid. Th e density of formation fl uids with dissolved CO2 increases, so formation fl uids containing dissolved CO2 may sink within the formations (GEO-SEQ Project Team, 2004; Streit and Watson, 2004; IPCC, 2005), though this eff ect may be limited by geologic heterogeneities (Lindeberg and Wessel-berg, 1997; Ennis-King and Paterson, 2003). • Mineral trapping occurs when the injected CO2 reacts with the formation waters or formation rocks, or both, to form carbon-containing minerals such as carbonates. Although some of the injected CO2 may react relatively quickly to form solid mineral phases, it is generally believed that converting all the injected CO2 into solid minerals could take several thousand years. Nevertheless, the permanence of mineral trapping makes it a desirable feature for long-term storage (Wilson, 2004; IPCC, 2005). • Preferential adsorption trapping occurs when coal and certain organic-rich shales have a high affi nity for CO2, meaning that CO2 can be adsorbed to the coal and shale surfaces. Coal may contain up to 25 cubic meters of CH4 per metric ton of coal (IPCC, 2006). Because coal has a greater affi nity for CO2 than CH4, CO2 injected into coal seams can displace CH4, be2 background on geologic sequestration

10 5 http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/carbon_seq/core_rd/world_projects.html adsorbed and trapped, and the released CH4 could be recovered for commercial use, though application of this concept is still in early developmental stages. Carbon dioxide will remain trapped in coal and certain organic-rich shales under stable pressure and temperature (IPCC, 2005; Haszeldine, 2006).


## 2.3 Practical Experience Relevant to Geologic Sequestration
Existing project experience, natural and industrial analogs, research and current regulatory experience with underground injection contribute to the understanding of CO2 behavior in geologic systems.
2.3.1 Existing Projects Ongoing GS projects show that CO2 can be successfully injected and sequestered in geologic formations (see, for example, IEA, 2004). Currently operating commercial CCS sites include the Sleipner Project in the North Sea (Norway), the Weyburn Enhanced Oil Recovery Project (Canada), and the In Salah Gas Formation (Algeria). Th ese projects provide valuable fi eld experience which will help improve understanding of GS systems, CO2 behavior, and storage mechanisms. For example, they provide information that diff erent geologic formations have the injectivity, containment, and storage eff ectiveness needed for long-term sequestration. Th ese projects have practically applied site selection tools and monitoring techniques and programs. Th e existing projects have also highlighted the importance of establishing a baseline as a part of an eff ective monitoring program (see chapter 6), and have provided insight into the use of models to help predict the behavior of CO2 in the subsurface. However, it should be noted that these sites have been operating for only a relatively short period of time (up to a decade), and hence do not demonstrate the effi cacy of GS over the longer required storage time periods of hundreds to thousands of years. A new set of commercial GS projects will be implemented in the very near future, including the Gorgon Joint Venture (Barrow Island, Australia). In addition, U.S. fi eld experiments, including the Frio Brine Experiment (Texas) and regional projects supported by DOE’s Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnerships Program, will contribute valuable information about GS in coming years (see U.S. DOE [2007b] for a summary of this program). For a more comprehensive list of current and planned GS projects, see NETL’s CO2 Storage Web site5. Existing projects indicate that GS is a viable technology. However, commercial-scale deployment of GS will involve substantially larger volumes of CO2, and individual GS projects will need to inject greater volumes of CO2 than current DOE pilot projects and other international sites. Commercial-scale GS projects will encompass areas that may be miles in diameter (as opposed to the small fraction of a mile encompassed by most pilot projects). Th erefore, current analogs may not demonstrate the full range of scenarios that are likely to be encountered in commercial-scale deployment. Commercial-scale projects may be more likely to: • Encounter geologic heterogeneities that may serve as unanticipated migration and leakage pathways, including faults and fractures and other geologic features such as high permeability sand lenses or “pinches” in the confi ning system. • Intersect potential anthropogenic pathways such as unplugged wells.2 background on geologic sequestration

11 • Experience adverse pressure eff ects that can cause fracturing or regional eff ects on groundwater fl ow. • Encounter basin-wide eff ects, and infl uences of neighboring projects. It is also noteworthy that pilot demonstration projects are generally designed to exhibit the viability of the technology (e.g., minimal unanticipated migration of CO2). Sites are chosen for these projects because they are anticipated to successfully contain the smaller volumes of CO2, and hence may not portray the full range of geologic and anthropogenic features that could be encountered in commercial-scale deployment (Friedmann, 2003). However, pilot projects can nevertheless provide useful information, and some of their inherent limitations may be overcome by evaluating multiple projects implemented across a variety of geologic settings. 2.3.2 Natural and Industrial Storage Analogs Natural and industrial systems that have stored or are storing CO2 and other fl uids (e.g., liquids and gases) may also provide insights into the feasibility of GS. Although, as noted in the previous section, the quantity of CO2 that may need to be injected for GS may be much greater than these analogs, the evaluation of these analogs has improved the understanding of storage mechanisms and processes. Carbon dioxide accumulates underground naturally in a variety of geologic settings. For example, 200 million metric tons of naturally occurring CO2 have remained trapped in the Pisgah Anticline in central Mississippi, northeast of the Jackson Dome, for more than 65 million years with no evidence of unanticipated migration or leakage (IPCC, 2005). Such natural analogs provide information about the ideal conditions for long term storage. Industrial practices of injecting and storing fl uids underground may also serve as analogs for GS. Th e oil and gas industry, for example, has been storing natural gas in underground reservoirs for nearly 100 years (IPCC, 2005). Experience from natural gas storage operations suggests that it is possible to store gases eff ectively in the subsurface. However, there are examples of gas escaping through wells, faults, and fracture zones (Perry, 2005). Furthermore, these sites are generally used for temporary storage and hence only provide insight, but not a demonstration of, the long-term feasibility of underground storage of fl uids and gases. Th ese sites also provide valuable evidence that confi ning systems can be exposed to repeated stress cycling (i.e. depressurizing and pressurizing) without adverse eff ects on seal integrity. Th e oil and gas industry also has more than 35 years of experience in site characterization and injection of CO2 through enhanced product recovery projects (Benson et al., 2002; Heinrich et al., 2003; IPIECA, 2007). EOR projects contribute substantial knowledge about the design of CO2 injection wells and technologies for handling, injecting, and monitoring injected supercritical CO2. However, such projects are designed to maximize oil production rather than provide storage of CO2 for long periods. 2.3.3 Regulatory Experience Federal and State regulations protecting underground sources of drinking water under SDWA address the injection of fl uids into the subsurface (including liquids, gases and semisolids). Th ese regulations are designed to ensure that injected fl uids do not endanger USDWs and address siting,2 background on geologic sequestration

12 well construction, monitoring and site closure. For example, the program regulates the injection of CO2 for enhanced oil and gas recovery. Th e EPA Underground Injection Control (UIC) regulations refl ect a great deal of technical expertise by operators and regulators on relevant geological issues and well construction and operations associated with injection. Th e UIC Program has been successfully regulating the injection of billions of gallons of fl uids annually into tens of thousands of injection wells for more than 30 years (Benson et al., 2002). Th is regulatory experience will provide useful insight for GS projects and is seen as a clear indication that GS projects will be addressed through an established and eff ective regulatory system. For more information, please visit http://www.epa.gov/safewater/uic/wells_sequestration.html.


## 2.4 Chapter Summary
Th is chapter described the geologic formations and trapping mechanisms necessary for the eff ective storage of CO2. It also examined the feasibility of GS as a climate mitigation technology by reviewing natural and industrial analogs as well as EPA’s current regulatory experience in subsurface injection. Th e next chapter provides an overview of the VEF and discusses the geological attributes that could result in vulnerabilities to adverse impacts.3

13 CHAPTER 3 

## VULNERABILITY EVALUATION FRAMEWORK FOR GEOLOGIC SEQUESTRATION: GEOLOGIC SYSTEMS AND ATTRIBUTES

Th

e VEF identifi es attributes of GS systems that may lead to increased vulnerability to adverse impacts, identifi es potential impact categories, and provides a series of decision-support fl owcharts that are organized, systematic approaches to assess the attributes and impacts. Th ese attributes and impact categories were carefully selected by EPA as the key factors of GS systems to be included in a vulnerability evaluation, through the process described in Chapter 1 of literature review, consultation with experts, and professional knowledge. Th e conceptual approach to the VEF shown in Figure 3.1 has the following components:

• Th e GS system fi rst is characterized in terms of the injected CO2 stream, the confi ning system, the injection zone, and a series of geologic attributes that could infl uence (i.e., increase or decrease) the vulnerability of the GS system to unanticipated migration, leakage, and undesirable pressure changes (fi rst column).

SPATIAL AREA OF EVALUATION POTENTIAL IMPACT CATEGORIES AND RECEPTORS GEOLOGIC SEQUESTRATION SYSTEM AND GEOLOGIC ATTRIBUTES Atmosphere Human health/welfare Lateral extent

Capillary entry

pressure

Permeability

Travel time

Wells

Geomechanical

processes Tectonic activity

Geochemical

processes

Geosphere Groundwater and

surface water Ecosystems Unanticipated migration and leakage (of CO 2 and other fluids) Faults/fracture
zones

Injection

zone Physical capacity

Injectivity

Geochemical and geomechanical

processes Human populations

Populations covered by Executive Orders

Cultural/recreational resources

Economic resources

Sensitive species

Water quality

Protected/sensitive

drinking water

supplies Regional groundwater flow

Pressure changes Confining systemCO2STREAM Legislatively protected species

Figure 3.1. VEF Conceptual Model3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

14 • An approach is then provided for defi ning the spatial area that should be evaluated for adverse impacts associated with unanticipated migration, leakage, or undesirable pressure changes (middle column). • Potential impact categories and associated key receptors are then identifi ed, including human health and welfare, the atmosphere, ecosystems, groundwater and surface water, and the geosphere (last column).

Th

ough not explicitly shown in Figure 3.1, the VEF further recognizes that pressure changes in the injection zone and overlying geosphere may be linked to unanticipated migration or leakage pathways and the associated impacts depicted in Figure 3.1, through processes like induced fracturing, fault reactivation, and the exceedence of capillary entry pressure. Th ese concepts are also discussed in this chapter. Furthermore, the VEF also recognizes that impacts to the geosphere, groundwater and surface water, ecosystems, and the atmosphere may also impact human health and welfare. Th is chapter is an overview of the geologic sequestration system, the geologic attributes that have been identifi ed as aff ecting vulnerability, and the related spatial area that would be evaluated for unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes. Th ese are represented in the fi rst two columns of the conceptual framework shown in Figure 3.1. Chapter 4 discusses the potential adverse impacts of GS and potentially aff ected receptors, the last column of the VEF conceptual framework. For the purposes of the VEF and this report, a binary classifi cation of low and elevated vulnerability are qualitatively defi ned as follows:

• Low vulnerability : Adverse impacts are not expected to be associated with the attribute or receptor under evaluation.

• Elevated vulnerability : Particular attention should be paid to the attribute or receptor under evaluation. In some cases, adverse impacts may occur if actions are not taken to further examine and/or manage the vulnerability associated with the attribute or receptor. Examples of actions that may be taken include corrective action at wells, targeted monitoring, and the development of mitigation plans. Th e metrics and binary classifi cation schemes for each attribute in this chapter can be used to qualitatively evaluate the level of vulnerability associated with each attribute. Th e classifi cation schemes indicate whether vulnerability is expected to be low or elevated on a qualitative basis. Elevated vulnerability associated with a single attribute does not imply that overall vulnerability associated with the GS site is elevated. In some cases, there may be actions that could be taken to minimize vulnerability (e.g., targeting questionable wells for corrective action). Th ese instances are indicated where applicable in the accompanying decision-support fl owcharts that have been developed for the components of the GS system.

Th

e fl owcharts represent fi rst-order evaluation approaches and, as such, should be used only with additional information and analysis to support more comprehensive risk assessment and/or decision-making. In the future, binary classifi cation schemes could be further developed to refl ect a more refi ned, multiscaled classifi cation scheme, as warranted by available information, data, and expert opinion. Future steps could also include developing the decision-support fl owcharts into anintegrated evaluation tool that has a more quantitative and numerical basis, presented in a userfriendly format.3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

15 Th is chapter contains the following sections: • Section 3.1 describes the GS system and geologic attributes that may aff ect unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes. • Section 3.2 discusses the spatial area of evaluation. • Section 3.3 summarizes the chapter.


## 3.1 Geologic Sequestration System and Geologic Attributes
Descriptions of geological attributes that can infl uence the vulnerability of a GS system to unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure changes include a variety of metrics and classifi cation schemes. Th e metrics and schemes can be used to determine whether there is low or elevated vulnerability to unanticipated fl uid migration, leakage, and/or pressure changes associated with each attribute. Th e attributes presented here are organized according to those that are relevant to the confi ning system and those that are relevant to the injection zone. Th e section also describes evaluation processes (decision-support fl owcharts) for the confi ning system, the injection zone, and the CO2 stream. 3.1.1 Confi ning System and Related Geologic Attributes A confi ning system is defi ned as a geologic formation, group of formations (e.g., shale or siltstone), or part of a formation (sometimes referred to as an aquitard) that is composed of impermeable or distinctly less permeable material which acts as a barrier to the upward fl ow of fl uids stratigraphically overlying the injection zone. Geologic attributes of the confi ning system identifi ed as infl uencing the potential for unanticipated migration and leakage include the following.

• Lateral extent . Lateral extent is defi ned in the VEF as the surface area of the confi ning system that overlies the GS footprint. Th is attribute can be evaluated using a metric of total surface area measured in appropriate units such as square miles. Elevated vulnerability is associated with a confi ning system with a lateral extent that is less than the GS footprint.

• Capillary entry pressure . Th e capillary entry pressure is defi ned in the VEF as the added pressure that is needed across the interface of two immiscible fl uid phases (e.g., supercritical CO2 and water or brine) for CO2 to enter the confi ning system. Appropriate evaluation metrics for determining suffi cient capillary entry pressure include CO2 column height and injection pressure (Harrington and Horseman, 1999). Elevated vulnerability may be associated with the exceedence of the confi ning system capillary entry pressure.

• Permeability . Permeability refers to the ability of a geologic material to allow transmission of fl uid through pore spaces. Appropriate metrics for evaluating permeability include the darcy unit. Elevated vulnerability may be associated with geologic materials with a permeability greater than clay, shale, or siltstone.

• Travel time . Travel time refers to the interval of time that is required for a fl uid (e.g., CO2 or brine) to migrate across the thickness of the confi ning system. Factors that will infl uence travel time include the confi ning system thickness, permeability, diff usion, retardation (as a3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

16 result of sorption or desorption), and geochemical reactions. Th us, all other parameters being equal, GS systems at greater depth will have longer associated travel times. Th e metric for travel time is a unit of time such as years. Travel times that compromise the integrity of the project are considered to result in elevated vulnerability.

• Wells . Wells (and other artifi cial penetrations such as boreholes) may serve as conduits for fl uid movement and hence could result in elevated vulnerability to adverse impacts. Numerous metrics have been identifi ed as relevant to the evaluation of vulnerability associated with wells, including well depth, well integrity (including construction materials, and seal and plug materials), and spatial density of well occurrence. Th e level of vulnerability associated with wells can be evaluated by considering all of these metrics. Wells and faults have been identifi ed as one of the most likely unanticipated migration and leakage pathways in GS systems; as such, they are discussed in greater detail in Chapter 5 of this report, which also includes an evaluation approach.

• Faults/fracture zones . Faults are breaks in the Earth’s crust that occur when the crustal rock is either compressed or pulled apart. A fracture is any local separation or discontinuity plane in a geologic formation that divides the rock into two or more pieces. Fractures are commonly caused by stress exceeding the rock strength. For the purposes of this report, fractures are defi ned as distinct from faults by their smaller scale. Faults may serve as either barriers or conduits to fl uid fl ow (Omre et al, 1994; Lewicki et al., 2006; Wilkens and Naruk, 2007). Numerous metrics may be appropriate for evaluating faults and/or fracture zones, including density, stratigraphic position, connectivity, sealing/conductive (transmissive), stress level, orientation, and fault reactivation pressure (multiplied by a safety factor). Th e level of vulnerability associated with faults and fractures can be evaluated by considering all of these metrics. Chapter 5 discusses faults and fracture zones in greater detail.

• Geochemical processes . Geochemical processes are chemical reactions that may cause alterations in mineral phases. A number of diff erent geochemical processes could infl uence the confi ning system. Acidity caused by the reaction of CO2 with water may partially dissolve confi ning zone geologic materials, which could have the unfavorable eff ect of opening fl uid migration pathways within the confi ning zone. Geochemical reactions could also have favorable eff ects, such as the formation of mineral phases as result of the reaction of CO2 with the geologic material of the confi ning system and/or formation waters that could help to improve the seal of the confi ning system, by plugging pores and fractures (Johnson et al., 2005). Appropriate metrics for evaluating geochemical processes include dissolution rates, buff ering capacity, molar volume, and pH level. Mineralogy and pH that favor the formation of conduits in the confi ning system through dissolution and/or decreases in molar volume increase vulnerability; those that do not favor the formation of conduits through dissolution and/or increases in molar volume decrease vulnerability.

• Tectonic activity . Tectonically active settings may be more likely to have transmissive faults and/or fractures, and may be unsuitable for GS (IPCC, 2005). Seismic activity can be used as a measure for tectonic activity. Seismic activity is defi ned as the shifting of the Earth’s surface due to changes at depth, and it may cause seismicity or earthquakes. An appropriate metric for evaluating tectonic activity is the seismic hazard rating. Areas with seismic hazard ratings that indicate the potential for seismicity to cause adverse impacts are considered to have elevated vulnerability (see USGS, 2007).3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

17 Tectonic activity also covers volcanism, which is the process by which magma and gases are transferred from the Earth’s interior to the surface. Hotspots are shallow areas of molten rock below the surface that persist long enough to leave a record of uplift and volcanic activity. Distance to volcanic activity or hotspots serves as a metric for vulnerability, and the presence of active volcanoes or hotspots within the spatial area of evaluation may indicate whether there is low or elevated vulnerability.

• Geomechanical processes . Th ese are processes that may result in alterations of the structural integrity of geologic material. Appropriate evaluation metrics for this attribute include fracture pressure, fracture/fault reactivation pressure, and orientation of the fracture or fault relative to the orientation of the principal regional stress regime. If the fracture pressure and the fracture/fault reactivation pressure (multiplied by a safety factor) are exceeded, vulnerability is considered to be elevated. It should be noted that geomechanical processes occur at a continuum of scales, and potential impacts, such as deformation of geologic formations, can occur without necessarily adversely aff ecting the integrity of the confi ning system. Confi ning System Evaluation Process An evaluation process that can be used to examine the confi ning system based on the attributes described above is shown in Figure 3.2. In the fl owchart, elevated vulnerability refl ects a determination that the confi ning system is inadequate and may increase the potential for adverse impacts, and low vulnerability indicates that the confi ning system is anticipated to be adequate for the proposed project. Elevated or low vulnerability determinations in the VEF refer to a specifi c attribute, system, or impact being evaluated and not to the GS site as a whole. Chapter 5 discusses key considerations in assessing the overall vulnerability of a GS site.

Th

e confi ning system evaluation provides an approach for assessing and reducing vulnerability through:

• Establishing that a confi ning system is present over the necessary lateral extent . To ensure the confi ning system acts as an eff ective barrier to fl uid fl ow, it is important that the geologic formations (rock layers) of the confi ning system are suffi ciently laterally extensive and continuous to cover the entire area aff ected by the CO2 injection. Th is includes the area occupied by the CO2 and a potentially larger area aff ected by pressure changes associated with injection6. Th e continuity of the barrier can be maintained, despite pinch-outs or other discontinuities, if such features in one rock layer are blocked by overlying layers of the confi ning system. In some cases, there may also be a confi ning system underlying the injection zone that serves as a lower barrier to the GS system. If the lateral extent is insuffi cient, it may be possible to alter operational conditions to improve site suitability, for example, by injecting into multiple formations of the injection zone, thereby reducing the surface area of the CO2 plume.

• Evaluating the physical properties of the confi ning system to determine if it provides adequate confi nement of fl uids under the proposed operating conditions . Attributes of a confi ning system that will help to prevent the upward movement of fl uids include

6 Deep saline formations that are laterally unconstrained may in particular have larger areas aff ected by pressure, in contrast for example, to depleted oil and gas fi elds, where the extent of pressure changes may be limited by the geologic structures of the system.3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

18 Elevated vulnerability

Low vulnerability Evaluations determine that confining system integrity is interrupted Evaluate wells and faults using evaluation flowcharts Yes

No Site suitability may be improved by altering operational conditions? No

Yes

Confining system present over the projected footprint?

Evaluate the physical properties of the confining system: Overlying the CO 2 plume: • Permeability • Capillary entry pressure • Susceptibility to geochemical degradation

For the CO 2 footprint: Projected CO 2 column height and/or

injection pressure exceed the capillary entry pressure? Evaluate fluid travel time through the confining system

Evaluate confining system integrity

Well and fault evaluations indicate that the integrity of the confining system is adequate, or adequate with application of corrective action and/or targeted development of monitoring and mitigation plans

###  Travel time compromises the project? Determine the necessary lateral extent of the confining system

Yes No

Yes No Confining system is susceptible to induced fracturing

under proposed

operational conditions? Elevated vulnerability Confining system evaluation approach:

Is the confining system present over the necessary lateral extent?

 Do the physical properties of the confining system provide adequate confinement of fluids under the given operating conditions?

 Is the confining system integrity interrupted by “natural” (faults) or anthropogenic (wells) features or compromised by operational conditions? Overlying the area affected by pressure changes: • Permeability No Elevated vulnerability

Yes

Operating conditions can be altered? Low vulnerability Yes

Elevated vulnerability No 

### 

Figure 3.2. Confi ning System Evaluation3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

19 its capillary entry pressure7. A high capillary entry pressure will make it diffi cult for CO2 and other fl uids to enter the confi ning system. Travel time, a function of the permeability and thickness of the confi ning system, may also contribute to an eff ective barrier. A long travel time would ensure that if any CO2 or other fl uids entered the confi ning system, they would travel only minimal distances within the confi ning system over the timeframes that are relevant to GS systems. A low permeability will contribute to a long travel time. A low susceptibility to dissolution and other geochemical degradation processes will also contribute to an eff ective confi ning system, thus avoiding thinning of the barrier and the opening of potential fl uid pathways.

• Evaluating the integrity of the confi ning system . Another important factor that may limit the ability of the confi ning system to act as a barrier to fl uid fl ow includes the presence of fl uid-conducting perforations such as unsealed or unplugged wells, and transmissive faults and fractures (both natural and those induced/reactivated by injection). Vulnerabilities associated with wells and faults may be managed through altering operational conditions such as injecting at a lower rate at a greater number of wells to reduce injection pressure. Th e integrity of the confi ning system could also be interrupted by other high permeability zones such as sand lenses, and other discontinuities, such as pinchouts in the confi ning system formation(s). Targeted monitoring can also detect unanticipated migration and leakage and pressure changes, and inform the development of mitigation actions and plans. Mitigation actions, such as corrective action for wells, are discussed in more depth in Chapter 6. 3.1.2 Injection Zone and Related Geologic Attributes Th e injection zone is a geologic formation, group of formations, or part of a formation of suffi cient areal extent, thickness, porosity, and permeability to accommodate CO2 injection volume and injection rate. Th e injection zone is characterized by several geologic attributes identifi ed to have the potential to infl uence pressure changes and are described below.

• Physical capacity . Physical capacity is defi ned as the volume within a geologic formation that is available to accept CO2. Injected CO2 will occupy the pore space between the grains of the rock that makes up the injection zone by displacing the fl uids that are already occupying these pores. If storage capacity is found to be insuffi cient for the proposed operation due to pressure constraints capacity could be increased by dewatering. Appropriate metrics for evaluating this attribute include thickness, surface area, eff ective (or interconnected) porosity, CO2 density (CO2 density generally increases with depth, because density increases with pressure, and pressure generally increases with depth), and residual water saturation also referred to as irreducible water saturation. Induced pressure changes can also aff ect physical capacity. For example, if a geologic system is constrained laterally, the pressure buildup associated with the CO2 injection may restrict how much CO2 can be stored without exceeding fracture pressure, sometimes referred to as eff ective pore volume vs. absolute pore volume (Zhou, et al., 2008). Other non-technical considerations could also potentially aff ect storage capacity, including economic considerations such as competing demands for the injection zone.

• Injectivity . Injectivity characterizes the ease with which fl uid can be injected into a geological formation. It will be infl uenced by both properties of the injection zone and

7 Th is is true for CO2 and other nonaqueous displaced fl uids. However, in the case of brines, there is no capillary entry pressure to overcome because the fl uid in the confi ning system and the brine are both aqueous.3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

20 operational factors. Th e properties of the injection zone that control injectivity include injection zone thickness, permeability, and pressure within the injection zone8. Th ough the VEF is focused on the geologic system, operational factors that infl uence injectivity, and which may be altered to reduce vulnerability, are discussed below in the description of the injection zone evaluation process.

• Geochemical and geomechanical processes . Th e geochemical and geomechanical processes may infl uence vulnerability to pressure changes by aff ecting injection zone capacity to store CO2 and injectivity.

- Geochemical processes . Geochemical processes are the chemical reactions that may cause alterations in mineral phases. A number of diff erent geochemical processes could infl uence the injection zone. Dissolution of CO2 into the formation waters (e.g., brine) will reduce the volume of CO2 that is stored as a supercritical fl uid, thus reducing needed storage volume (Doughty et al., 2001). Acidity caused by the reaction of CO2 with water may partially dissolve injection zone geologic materials, which could improve porosity and injectivity. Geochemical processes may also have unfavorable impacts. For example, new mineral phases may form as a result of the reaction of CO2 with the geologic materials and/or formation waters. Th ese new minerals may partially plug pores and thereby have the unfavorable impact of reducing permeability and porosity (Knauss et al., 2003). Appropriate metrics for evaluating the geochemical processes that could lead to pressure changes include dissolution rates, buff ering capacity, molar volume, and pH level. Unfavorable geochemical processes are defi ned as involving pH and mineralogy that favor precipitation of minerals and/or increases in molar volume, resulting in elevated vulnerability. Favorable geochemical processes, those with low vulnerability, are defi ned as involving pH and mineralogy that favor increased injection zone porosity through dissolution and/or decreases in molar volume.

- Geomechanical processes . Th ese are processes that may result in alterations in the structural integrity of a geologic material. If pressure in the injection zone is increased because of CO2 injection, the injection zone geologic material may be deformed, and in the extreme, crack or fracture, or faults might be reactivated. Fracturing of the injection zone is intentionally used to increase production in oil and gas operations, and whether or not this method should be used for GS could be considered based on further study of the applicability of this technique to GS and site-specifi c factors. As a result, appropriate metrics and thresholds for injectivity may be site-specifi c. Injection Zone Evaluation Process An evaluation process that can be used to examine the injection zone based on the attributes just described is shown in Figure 3.3. As indicated in the fl owchart, the vulnerability to adverse impacts associated with the injection zone of a GS system may be considered low if the storage capacity is adequate, the injectivity is suffi cient, and geochemical and/or geomechanical processes produce favorable conditions for injection and storage. In particular, this evaluation provides an approach for assessing and reducing vulnerability through:

8 To introduce CO2 into the injection zone, the downhole injection pressure must be higher than the injection zone formation(s) fl uid pressure.3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

21 No

Sufficient injectivity under

the proposed

operating conditions? No

Yes

Geochemicaland geomechanical properties facilitate storage under the

proposed operating conditions? No Operating conditions can

be altered to

improve injectivity?

Yes Sufficient physical capacity? Elevated vulnerability due to inadequate storage capacity

No Elevated vulnerability Yes

Yes Elevated vulnerability

Low vulnerability Figure 3.3. Injection Zone (IZ) Evaluation • Determining that the injection zone capacity is suffi cient . Th e physical capacity of the injection zone is proportional to the total pore volume of the injection zone. Total pore volume can be determined by multiplying the injection zone thickness by the injection zone surface area and by the fraction of the injection zone that is taken up by pores (i.e., its porosity). However, only a fraction of this total pore volume will actually be available for CO2 storage. Numerous factors will infl uence the physical capacity of the injection zone. Carbon dioxide will enter only interconnected pores. Most of the pores in rocks such as sandstones are interconnected, but some fraction of the pore volume will be “dead space” and not interconnected. Carbon dioxide will displace only a fraction of the water in the pores, because of residual water saturation. Furthermore, CO2 is not likely to occupy the entire thickness of the injection zone because of its buoyancy and heterogeneities within the injection zone. Being relatively buoyant, it will tend to rise upward in the injection zone and spread out laterally under the confi ning system or under lower permeability lenses within the injection zone. Vertical features such as sealed faults or other discontinuities may also limit the pore volume that is accessible to CO2, and may put pressure constraints on the system that could also limit the physical capacity.3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

22 Properties of CO2 that will infl uence the amount of space it occupies include its density and ability to dissolve in water. Th e space needed to store a given amount of CO2 will decrease with increasing density. Density increases with increases in pressure and depth and decreases with increases in temperature. Dissolution will be greater at higher temperatures and pressures, and less dissolution occurs at higher salinities.

• Determining that the injectivity is suffi cient . As described above, injectivity is the rate at which CO2 injection can be sustained over the duration of injection, and is a function of properties of the injection zone and operational conditions. Th e former include injection zone thickness, permeability, and pressure within the injection zone. Operational factors that may infl uence injectivity include the length and orientation of the injection well. Injectivity may be increased by maximizing the slotted length of the injection wells (i.e., the part of the well that is open and allows passage of CO2 into the injection zone), installing horizontal wells that are slotted over much longer reaches than their vertical counterparts, or increasing the number of wells used for injecting CO2.

• Evaluating the geochemical and geomechanical properties of the injection zone . By virtue of their impact on porosity, geochemical and geomechanical processes may also aff ect the physical capacity of the injection zone. Depending on whether there is net dissolution or precipitation of minerals associated with the injection of CO2, injectivity may be improved or decreased correspondingly. Impurities in the CO2 stream may also react with the injection zone rock and formation waters to form new minerals that may locally decrease porosity. Fracturing is intentionally used to increase production in oil and gas operations, and intentional fracturing of the injection zone could improve permeability and hence injectivity of the injection zone. However, the appropriateness of this technique for GS applications may need further study. Initial estimates of physical capacity can be made using equations such as those in the NETL Carbon Sequestration Atlas (NETL, 2007), or the approaches developed by Bachu et al. (2007) and Brennan and Burruss (2003). More refi ned evaluations of the attributes of the confi ning system, the physical capacity, injectivity, and geochemical and geomechanical processes within the injection zone are likely to rely on use of numerical modeling and site characterization data (Xu et al., 2003; Pruess et al., 2004; Celia et al., 2005; IPCC, 2005).

3.1.3 Carbon Dioxide Stream Th e CO2 stream and its characteristics may aff ect geologic attributes within the GS system and ultimately contribute to increased vulnerability to adverse impacts. A captured CO2 stream from a power plant or industrial source would probably not be pure CO2. Th e specifi c impurities and their concentrations in the CO2 stream will diff er depending on the fuel source, the capture process, constraints (i.e., concentration limits) associated with the mode of conveyance to the injection site (e.g., pipeline), and injection concentration limits. For example, trace amounts of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxide (NO), hydrogen sulfi de (H2S), hydrogen (H2), carbon monoxide (CO), methane (CH4), nitrogen (N2), argon (Ar), mercury (Hg), cyanide (Cn), and oxygen (O2) could be found in a captured CO2 stream (IPCC, 2005; U.S. DOE, 2007c). Some of these may be of potential concern because of their toxicity (e.g., Cn, Hg), others because of their potential to accelerate corrosion processes (e.g., H2S), and still others simply because they may increase the total amount of needed storage space (e.g., Ar). Under diff erent capture scenarios, the volumes of these3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

23 impurities can vary signifi cantly. For example, the concentration of impurities as a percentage of total CO2 volume for post-combustion capture at coal-fi red power generation plants is approximately 0.01%. In contrast, the concentration of impurities for precombustion capture at gas-fi red power generation plants is approximately 4.4% (IPCC, 2005). Given the potential presence of these impurities, characterization of the CO2 stream is very important. Impurities could create more acidic conditions, possibly accelerating the formation of fl uid-conducting pathways through the corrosion of well seal materials and the dissolution of geologic materials in the subsurface. Impurities could also impact storage capacity and well integrity. Th e CO2 Stream Evaluation, depicted in Figure 3.4, outlines key considerations for evaluating CO2 stream impurities. Th ough not a focus of the VEF, it is acknowledged that impurities may also impact surface infrastructure (see, for example, Rhudy 2004). Chapter 4 discusses potential receptors that might be aff ected by those impurities, and these receptors include human populations in general, populations covered by Executive Orders, economic and cultural/recreational resources, legislatively protected species and other sensitive species, and groundwater and surface water. Th e CO2 Stream Evaluation will help identify where impurity-specifi c targeted monitoring could indicate the need for mitigation actions and help reduce the potential for adverse impacts.

Evaluate the potential effects of impurities on confining system and injection zone attributes, including wells, faults/fracture zones, and geochemical processes

Evaluate level of vulnerability, as appropriate, consider corrective actions and/or targeted monitoring and mitigation plans that are impurity-specific If there is a high level of uncertainty or heterogeneity, consider identifying impact categories that may be affected by CO 2 stream impurities Characterize the CO 2 stream: identify impurities

Figure 3.4. Carbon Dioxide Stream Evaluation 

## 3.2 Spatial Area of Evaluation: Geologic Sequestration Footprint
Determining the full geographical extent of a GS system is essential for site characterization and for establishing the spatial area to be monitored for potential adverse impacts. Th e size and shape of the CO2 subsurface plume and associated pressure front will depend on the total volume of CO2 injected over the duration of the injection, operational factors, and the geologic characteristics of the confi ning system and injection zone, including their geometry, heterogeneities, and other geologic features. Th e size of the CO2 plume will increase during the period of injection, which might last 25 to 50 years. Because CO2 is relatively buoyant and has lower viscosity than water and brine, the plume may also continue to change position and shape for some time after injection ceases. However,3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

24 secondary storage mechanisms, including dissolution, capillary, and mineral trapping, are anticipated to eventually minimize the size and immobilize the CO2 plume (see Chapter 2 for a discussion of secondary storage mechanisms). Th e pressure front9 associated with the injected CO2 may extend signifi cantly farther than the CO2 plume itself. Th is is particularly true in saline aquifers, where the geographical area aff ected by elevated pressure may be several orders of magnitude larger than the area occupied by CO2 (Nicot et al., 2006; Birkholzer et al., 2007). As discussed in Chapter 5, the pressure front may dissipate after injection stops, or may remain elevated, depending on the lateral boundaries of the system. For the purposes of this VEF, the spatial area encompassed by the CO2 plume and associated pressure front is termed the GS footprint. Figure 3.5 provides diff erent geologic scenarios that might be encountered, and approaches to delineate the footprint for each scenario. Estimates of the size of the footprint associated with the total amount of CO2 to be injected over the lifetime of a project are anticipated to be an element of the initial evaluation of the adequacy of a GS system. Th is footprint may also serve as the basis for defi ning the area where baseline conditions are established prior to injection at a GS site (see chapter 6 for more discussion on monitoring and baseline). Delineation of the footprint may also be performed at multiple stages of the project, as the footprint expands and changes shape during injection and due to buoyancy driven fl ow, and to predict the eff ect of secondary trapping mechanisms. In most instances, modeling in combination with site-specifi c data will most likely be used to delineate the GS footprint. Data collected during monitoring can be used to refi ne and calibrate models and confi rm the location and dimensions of the CO2 plume and the pressure front.

Delineate the GS footprint. Possible footprint scenarios include:

Footprint delineation may occur at different stages of a project. Site characterization data may be used to refine footprint and calibrate models. The GS footprint may be defined by delineating the surface area of the traps. Modeling may be used to determine if the storage capacity of the trap(s) will be sufficient. The aerial extent of the footprint may be initially estimated using generic

approaches and then

refined using an appropriate model, and site-specific data. Difficult to predict the GS footprint; modeling may be

used; site may require additional data collection or may be inappropriate due to higher levels of uncertainty. Difficult to predict the GS footprint; modeling may be

used to determine CO 2 migration up-dip. Scenario 4: Complex geology Scenario 3: Sloped geologic formations Scenario 2: Large regional

trap or series of traps Scenario 1: Horizontal

geologic formations

Figure 3.5. Geologic Sequestration (GS) Footprint Delineation

9 Th e pressure front can be defi ned by the pressure diff erential that is signifi cant enough to cause adverse impacts to overlying receptors (e.g., fl uid displacement into an overlying aquifer).3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

25 Th e spatial area to be evaluated for potential adverse impacts is dependent on geologic characteristics and potential receptors. Depending on the particulars of a GS system, the area to be evaluated may be larger than the GS footprint itself. Chapter 4 describes receptors and how they may infl uence the spatial area of evaluation. All of the attributes of the confi ning system and injection zone should be considered within the GS footprint. However, it is particularly important to understand the pathways that could serve as conduits for CO2 and other fl uids, and to understand the causes and changes in subsurface pressure. Th ese pathways are introduced below and described in further detail in Chapter 5. Appendix B summarizes and compares some VEF geologic attributes with critical CO2 unanticipated migration and leakage pathways or characteristics that would aff ect the suitability of a proposed storage site identifi ed by the IPCC (2006) and IPIECA (2007). Migration and Leakage Pathways To understand the potential for unanticipated migration and leakage, it is necessary to identify pathways that could allow the movement of CO2 and fl uids displaced by the CO2 (e.g., brines) and other geologically stored fl uids (e.g., oil and CH4). Th e IPCC (2005) identifi es three principal pathways:

• Th e pore system of the confi ning system if it is of low permeability, or around the lateral extent of the confi ning system if it is insuffi cient. • Anthropogenic artifi cial penetrations such as abandoned wells. • Openings in the confi ning system, such as fractures or faults, which may be natural or induced by pressure changes. Pressure Changes Injecting CO2 into geologic formations will, in most cases, cause subsurface changes in pressure. Increased pressure can lead to the unanticipated migration of fl uids either through existing pathways or induced fracturing. It can also have impacts on overlying receptors, even if the CO2 remains contained within the injection zone. Th e applied pressure could force CO2 and other fl uids through existing conduits, such as abandoned wells and faults. Induced fracturing and fault reactivation can also occur if injection pressure exceeds formation pressures. Even if the CO2 and other fl uids remain contained, pressure changes associated with the injection may still cause adverse impacts to groundwater and surface water, including causing changes in groundwater fl ow direction and water table levels, and pressure-induced displacement of brine and other fl uids through the pore structure of the rock into overlying aquifers. Th e nature of pressure changes in the subsurface associated with injection will be determined by both geologic attributes of the GS system and operational factors. Th

ese eff ects can be minimized through an understanding of the relevant geologic attributes, careful site characterization, careful operation of GS systems, and monitoring.3 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: geologic systems and attributes

26 

## 3.3 Chapter Summary
Th is chapter presented an overview of the geologic sequestration system, which comprises the confi ning system, the injection zone, and the CO2 stream. Geologic attributes that may infl uence the vulnerability to unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes and evaluation processes for the confi ning system, the injection zone, and the CO2 stream were described. Finally, the spatial area that may be evaluated for unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes was discussed, and a fl owchart that depicts GS footprint delineation scenarios was presented. Chapter 4 discusses the potential adverse impacts of GS and potentially aff ected receptors.4

27 CHAPTER 4 

# VULNERABILITY EVALUATION FRAMEWORK FOR GEOLOGIC SEQUESTRATION: IMPACTS AND RECEPTORS
Unanticipated migration, leakage, and changes in subsurface pressure could potentially cause adverse impacts to human health and welfare, the atmosphere, ecosystems, groundwater and surface water, or the geosphere. Furthermore, impacts to the latter four categories could in turn impact human health and welfare. For example, groundwater contaminated via unanticipated migration could have adverse impacts to human health. Adverse impacts to forests or fi sheries or other harvested natural resources could also result in adverse economic (welfare) impacts to humans. Th e vulnerability of a GS system to these adverse impacts is a function of both the presence of the key receptors in the impact categories and the levels of exposure. A number of factors aff ect exposure, including but not limited to the concentration and volume of the release, the rate of release (i.e., slow vs. sudden), the proximity of the release to the receptor, and wind or wave dispersion. Impacts are also aff ected by whether the release is acute but limited (in time or spatial extent) or chronic. Unanticipated migration of CO2 from the injection zone will not necessarily result in leakage and/or subsequent adverse impacts. A qualitative discussion of the links between geologic attributes and potential impacts and receptors is provided in Chapter 5. Th e VEF includes decision-support fl owcharts for evaluating the impact categories, which can help identify key receptors and applicable qualitative exposure thresholds. Additionally, the VEF may be further developed to quantitatively account for exposure and threshold levels. Th is chapter focuses on the last component of the VEF conceptual model: potential impact categories and key receptors associated with each category (last column of Figure 3.1). Building on the GS footprint described in Chapter 3 the spatial area of evaluation is expanded to take the receptors that may be impacted into account. Th is chapter includes the following sections: • Section 4.1 discusses potential human health and welfare receptors and impacts. • Section 4.2 presents potential impacts to the atmosphere. • Section 4.3 covers potential ecosystems receptors and impacts. • Section 4.4 presents potential groundwater and surface water receptors and impacts. • Section 4.5 considers potential impacts to the geosphere. • Section 4.6 examines how receptors may infl uence the area of evaluation. • Section 4.7 summarizes the chapter.


## 4.1 Potential Human Health and Welfare Impacts
Adverse health eff ects caused by high levels of CO2 can range from minor, reversible eff ects to mortality, depending on the concentration of CO2 and the length of the exposure. Release of CO2 may also adversely impact recreational and economic resources by restricting access or use or by changing the quantity and quality of the resource.4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

28 Th e Human Health and Welfare Evaluation, depicted in Figure 4.1, outlines the components of human health and welfare impacts for the purposes of the VEF. Key receptors that could be adversely impacted in the event of unanticipated migration and leakage and the associated potential impacts are identifi ed. Suggestions are made for assessing and managing vulnerability of these receptors to adverse impacts. Adverse health eff ects from the release of high levels of CO2 (and other fl uids) could be experienced by the general human population and sensitive subpopulations, which, for the purposes of the VEF, are identifi ed as those subpopulations covered by Executive Orders. In addition, cultural, recreational, and economic resources (human welfare) could be negatively aff ected by CO2. Potential impacts to these key receptors are detailed below. 4.1.1 Human Populations Th e vulnerability of a human population to the release of CO2 (and other fl uids) is aff ected by the population’s size and sensitivity to CO2 (and other fl uids that may leak from the GS system), and the proximity to and concentration of the release. Carbon dioxide is a naturally occurring gas present in ambient air at a concentration of roughly 0.04% [i.e., 380 parts per million (ppm)]. However, exposure at much higher concentrations can have a variety of impacts on human health10. Th ese impacts result when concentrations of CO2 or other constituents in the sequestered stream exceed toxicity threshold concentrations, and can range from mild discomfort to more permanent eff ects, including death (Benson et al., 2002).

Figure 4.1. Human Health and Welfare Evaluation
10 Projected increases in CO2 concentrations from anthropogenic emissions range from 41 to 158 % above present levels or 535 to 983 ppm by 2100 (Meehl et al., 2007). Such increases would result in atmospheric CO2 concentrations of 0.054 to 0.098 % by volume in 2100, which is well below published thresholds for adverse health effects. Environmental

Justice (EJ) populations Tribal populations

Evaluate the potential to exceed relevant thresholds and consider developing monitoring and mitigation plans as appropriate Children Identify human health and welfare receptors

General human

populations Cultural/ recreational
resources Populations covered by executive orders Economic
resources

Evaluate and address any disproportionate impacts Consult and coordinate with tribal governments Assess potential adverse impacts to children4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

29 Short-term (acute) exposure to CO2 levels at or below 3% causes only temporary and reversible health eff ects such as increased breathing rate, mild headache, and sweating. When CO2 levels exceed 3%, breathing rate increases substantially (e.g., from 11 liters per minute at 3% to 26 liters per minute at 5%), hearing and vision may become impaired, and headaches can occur. Symptoms become more severe as CO2 levels exceed 5% (Benson et al., 2002; CEC, 2007). At high concentrations, CO2 can be fatal to humans following a relatively short exposure, because CO2 displaces oxygen, causing suff ocation (Benson et al., 2002; Oldenburg et al., 2002a; Rice, 2003; Rice and Rhudy, 2004). When CO2 levels reach 10%, unconsciousness can occur after one to several minutes of exposure, and at levels exceeding 15%, unconsciousness occurs in less than one minute. When CO2 levels reach 30%, death occurs within a few minutes (Benson et al., 2002). Measuring the eff ects of long-term (chronic) exposure to elevated CO2 levels is more complicated, but studies have found no evidence of any adverse health impacts from chronic exposure to levels below 1% (IPCC, 2005). Furthermore, there is evidence that exposure to air with up to a 3% CO2 concentration can result in physiological adaptation with no negative long-term health eff ects (Benson et al., 2002). Small (low-fl ux), continuous leaks are less likely to result in adverse impacts unless there are topographic lows where CO2 could accumulate (Oldenburg and Unger, 2004; Shipton et al., 2005) and a lack of dispersion based on wind patterns (Heller, 2005). Anthropogenic features may also accumulate CO2, such as basements and other underground structures, including mines. Th ere is a greater potential for adverse aff ects to human health associated with higher fl ux leaks such as those observed at natural analogs like Mammoth Mountain in California, and Latera and Ciampino in Italy (Chiodini and Frondini, 2001; Eichhubl et al., 2005; NASCENT, 2005; Shipton et al., 2005). However, Holloway et al. (2007) report that natural analogs underline the signifi cance of understanding the nature of a release and subsequent dispersion, rather than focusing exclusively on the volume of CO2 released; for example, the impacts of large sudden releases may be minimized by atmospheric dispersion. Furthermore, large sudden releases are anticipated to be unlikely if GS systems are appropriately characterized, designed, and monitored (Benson et al., 2002; IPCC, 2005; Lewicki, 2006; Holloway et al., 2007). Hence, events such as the 1986 fatal occurrence at Lake Nyos, Cameroon, in which 0.24 million metric tons of CO2 (Benson et al., 2002) were suddenly released, are highly unlikely to occur in association with GS. Impurities in the CO2 stream (introduced in Chapter 3) may independently pose a health risk to humans, but these health risks are not currently well characterized. For example, H2S is of particular signifi cance because of its toxicity. Th erefore, the release of stored CO2 with H2S to the atmosphere could have greater health and safety impacts than the release of pure CO2. To mitigate adverse impacts to the general population, it may be necessary to identify proximate populations and develop monitoring plans that reference appropriate exposure thresholds. Appropriate thresholds can be defi ned as the lowest concentration identifi ed by a regulatory agency as causing adverse health eff ects in humans. Regulatory agencies that prescribe short-term and chronic exposure thresholds for humans include the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health and the Occupational Safety and Health Administration.

 A Lake Nyos type event is even less likely to occur with GS, because it occurred as a result of a set of relatively unique conditions associated with the accumulation of CO2 at the bottom, and turnover of, a deep stratified lake, and there are very few deep, stratified lakes in the United States.4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

30 4.1.2 Populations Covered by Executive Orders Additionally, it may be necessary to give special consideration to the potential for adverse impacts to populations covered by Executive Orders. Although these groups may experience impacts similar to general human populations, Executive Orders require proposed federal regulations and programs to specifi cally address potential impacts to environmental justice populations, children, and tribal governments; therefore they may need to be given particular attention.

• Environmental justice populations . Executive Order 12898, Federal Actions to Address Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations, establishes requirements to ensure enhanced protection from disproportionate impacts for minority and low-income populations. Th e order directs federal agencies to identify and address disproportionately high adverse human health or environmental eff ects of its activities on minority and low-income populations (Executive Order 12898, 1994). If there is a potential for disproportionate impacts to environmental justice populations, it may be necessary to address these impacts by using targeted monitoring, altering the project design, or using other mitigation methods.

• Tribal populations . Executive Order 13175, Consultation and Coordination with Indian Tribal Governments, establishes requirements to ensure enhanced protection from disproportionate impacts for American Indian tribal populations. Th is order requires that federal agencies consult and coordinate with tribal governments in formulating or implementing policies that have substantial direct eff ects on tribal governments (Executive Order 13175, 2000). Th us, it may be necessary to consult and coordinate with potentially aff ected tribal governments.

• Children . Children are more sensitive than adults to many substances. Th erefore, safety thresholds for areas occupied by children (e.g., schools, day-care centers) may need to be more stringent than those set for the general population. Executive Order 13045, Protection of Children from Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks, establishes requirements to ensure enhanced protection from disproportionate impacts for children. Th e order requires federal agencies to prioritize identifi cation and assessment of environmental health and safety risks that may disproportionately aff ect children, and requires federal agencies to ensure that these risks are addressed (Executive Order 13045, 1997). Other specifi c population subgroups that may need to be considered can be defi ned by conditions that lead to increased vulnerability to CO2 exposure. Th ese populations can include individuals with pulmonary disease, panic disorder patients, and patients with cerebral disease or trauma (Rice, 2003; Rice and Rhudy, 2004). For example, exposure to elevated levels of CO2 is an increased risk to those with head trauma injuries or who have certain cerebral diseases, because CO2 can inhibit blood clotting. As with the general human populations, monitoring and mitigation plans can be developed for these subpopulations that take into account relevant exposure thresholds.

4.1.3 Cultural and Recreational Resources Unanticipated migration and leakage resulting from GS activities could adversely aff ect cultural and recreational resources by precluding human use (e.g., due to elevated CO2 levels) or by impacting the resource itself (e.g., chemical degradation of historical artifacts by reaction with CO2 or other4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

31 stream constituents). Cultural sites include places of archaeological, historic, or natural signifi cance; American Indian resources; and other cultural resources, including cemeteries and paleontological resources (U.S. DOE, 2007c). In addition, certain recreational activities that are dependent on the health and welfare of ecological receptors (e.g., fi sh and game) could be aff ected if those ecological receptors are adversely impacted. If cultural or recreational resources are present, it may be necessary to develop a monitoring and mitigation plan, based on appropriate exposure thresholds.
4.1.4 Economic Resources (Surface and Subsurface) Unanticipated migration and leakage resulting from GS activities has the potential to adversely aff ect certain surface or subsurface economic resources such as forestry, agriculture, mineral resources (mining), and oil and gas reservoirs. Impacts resulting from unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure changes from GS might include restricted access to resources, restricted use of resources, or changes in the quantity and/or quality of resources. A GS project could also indirectly impact human welfare even in the absence of fl uid migration and/or release, if it precludes alternative land use or subsurface activities (e.g., resource extraction). Th is would include, for example, future restrictions on the use of saline formations as drinking water sources (if appropriate desalination technologies became available) or for the extraction of metal ions such as lithium. In addition, access to overlying or underlying oil and gas reservoirs and storage space for other substances (e.g., natural gas) could be limited because of GS operations. Further, changes in underground pressure caused by GS could increase seismic activity (discussed in Section 4.5) or change quantities and qualities of groundwater by altering some combination of fl ow rate and/or direction (discussed in Section 4.4). It may be necessary to address these potential adverse impacts with, for example, targeted monitoring using appropriate thresholds and/or alteration of the GS project design.


## 4.2 Potential Atmospheric Impacts
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, atmospheric concentrations of CO2 in 2006 totaled approximately 382 ppm (NOAA, 2007), and the current rate of increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations is approximately 1.9 ppm per year (IPCC, 2007). Geologicsequestration is intended to mitigate local and global climate change impacts by providing longterm storage of CO2 emissions that would otherwise have contributed to global atmospheric CO2 concentrations. In some cases, small releases of CO2 or other GHGs (e.g., CH4) as a result of releases from GS may not adversely impact local environmental receptors (e.g., ecological receptors, groundwater and surface water, the geosphere, and human health). However, releases can reduce the climate benefi ts of capturing CO2, thus decreasing the overall eff ectiveness of GS as a climate change mitigation strategy. An eff ective monitoring plan can help minimize adverse atmospheric impacts as a result of GS by ensuring that releases of CO2 or other GHGs are quickly identifi ed and remedied. (For more information on GS monitoring approaches, see Chapter 6.) In addition to identifying and remedying releases, it is important to record and account for them. Th e IPCC develops and publishes guidelines for estimating and inventorying national GHG emissions. Th e 2006 IPCC inventory guidelines4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

32 See Faults Evaluation for vulnerability assessment approach and monitoring and

mitigation considerations See Confining System Evaluation for vulnerability assessment approach, and the CO 2 Spatial Area of Evaluation
, the Human Health and Welfare

Evaluation and Ecosystems Evaluation for monitoring and mitigation considerations See Wells Evaluation for vulnerability assessment approach and monitoring and

mitigation considerations Identify faults and fracture zones and evaluate their potential to conduct fluids Evaluate the lateral extent and adequacy of the confining system Identify and evaluate the integrity of wells Identify and evaluate potential leakage pathways to the atmosphere

Figure 4.2. Atmosphere Evaluation for the fi rst time included transport, injection, and GS of CO2 as sources of GHG emissions that should be considered in national inventories (IPCC, 2006). Th e EPA is currently evaluating how to implement the guidelines and accurately account for emissions associated with these activities. Th e purpose of the Atmosphere Evaluation, depicted in Figure 4.2, is to identify fl uid-conducting pathways and identify approaches that can be used to evaluate their potential to conduct CO2 to the atmosphere. Monitoring strategies can be implemented to reduce the potential for CO2 to reach the atmosphere in the event of unanticipated migration.



## 4.3 Potential Ecosystems Impacts
Th e Ecological Receptors Evaluation, Figure 4.3, is used to frame the discussion of ecosystems impacts in the following sections. As shown in Figure 4.3, legislatively protected species and other sensitive species are key ecological receptors that could be adversely impacted by unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure changes resulting from GS activities. Th ere are very few studies on the eff ects of CO2 at an ecosystem level (West et al., 2005), and adverse impacts to ecosystems from GS is currently an active area of research (West et al., 2006). Additional receptors not identifi ed in the VEF may also be impacted by GS. As the VEF is a iterative evaluation process, these may be included as new information comes to light. 4.3.1 Sensitive Species Sensitive species are organisms that are especially vulnerable to high CO2 concentrations. Numerous ecological receptors may be sensitive to exposure to CO2, other stream constituents, brine, or other gases that may be released as a result of GS activities either because of their behavior (e.g., burrowingmammals, ground-nesting birds, reptiles that preferentially occupy low-lying areas, and soildwelling microorganisms) or because their physiology makes them unusually sensitive to increased concentrations.4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

33 It is important to understand the condition (e.g., stressed by other factors or not) of these receptors as well as their potential ranges or stationary locations. Sensitive species can serve as sentinels for potential impacts to a wider array of organisms. If sensitive species are protected, then a reasonable assumption could be made that less sensitive species within that area are protected as well. Some species may also be sensitive to secondary eff ects of CO2, including increased acidity (in aquatic environments and in terrestrial soils), mobilization of metals caused by increased acidity, and loss of food resources and habitat in the case of vegetation loss caused by CO2 (e.g., fi sh and other species that are sensitive to increased acidity and aqueous metal concentrations, and mollusks and other species that are reliant on precipitation of carbonates). It may be necessary to identify habitat range or location for each identifi ed sensitive ecological receptor, and to consider targeting for monitoring and mitigation plans. Sensitive species and potentially relevant thresholds are summarized below. Soil-dwelling animals and microbes . Soil CO2 concentration varies between 0.2% and 4% (Benson et al., 2002) and is a function of depth, water content, soil type, and time of year (Bouma et al., 1997). Soil CO2 concentrations between 20% and 30% are thought to be suffi cient to signifi cantly alter the dynamics of ecosystems (Benson et al., 2002). Th ere is a relatively wide range, and some overlap, in the CO2 concentrations causing diff erent adverse eff ects in burrowing invertebrates such as worms and insects. For example, depending on the specifi c species, behavioral changes may be exhibited at CO2 concentrations between 2% and 39%, paralysis at concentrations between 10% and 59%, and death at concentrations between 11% and 50% (Sustr and Simek, 1996; Benson et al., 2002). Soil-dwelling animals may begin experiencing negative physiological eff ects at 2% CO2, and concentrations of approximately 15% CO2 can be lethal (Benson et al., 2002). In another study examining CO2 tolerance of dung insects, 80% CO2 was the threshold for paralysis (Holter, 1994). Microbes have a wide range of sensitivity to CO2. For fungi, signifi cant inhibitory eff ects are observed at 30% CO2, with concentrations of 40% CO2 generally lethal (Benson et al., 2002).

Evaluate the potential to exceed relevant thresholds and consider developing monitoring and mitigation plans as appropriate Identify species and their habitat range or location

May be necessary to demonstrate that the endangered species and their habitat will not be adversely impacted State or federally listed threatened or endangered species or species of special concern

Identify habitat range or location Other sensitive species Identify ecological receptors

Figure 4.3. Ecological Receptors Evaluation4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

34 Plants . Elevated atmospheric CO2 can enhance plant photosynthesis if adequate amounts of other nutrients are available. However, because plant roots take in O2 and expel CO2, elevated CO2 in the soil can inhibit root respiration. Th e specifi c physiological limits for plant roots (the time and concentration required for CO2 toxicity) are unclear (USGS, 2001). However, plant growth at a natural CO2 spring site was accelerated at concentrations up to 10%, but inhibited at concentrations between 30% and 55% (Vodnik et al., 2006). At Mammoth Mountain, California, a soil concentration of 30% caused death of all trees, regardless of age or species (Saripalli et al., 2002). Evaluations at landfi ll sites show that soil CO2 concentrations as low as 10% may inhibit root function, but that some species can tolerate concentrations up to 20% CO2 without detrimental eff ects on root function (Flower et al., 1981; Ehrlich, 2002). In addition to inhibition of root respiration, increased CO2 concentrations may increase soil acidity. Increased soil acidity can make potentially toxic metals more bioavailable, which can aff ect the dynamics of soil ecosystems (McGee and Gerlach, 1998; Saripalli et al., 2002). Surface-dwelling animals . Few data are available indicating the toxic thresholds of CO2 in surfacedwelling animals, except for humans. Research suggests that birds may begin exhibiting behavioral changes or paralysis when CO2 concentrations reach 40% (U.S. Patent 5435776), and reptiles (and possibly amphibians) have a higher CO2 tolerance than other ground-dwelling vertebrates (Benson et al., 2002). Additionally, thresholds for human exposure to CO2 may be appropriate proxies for surface-dwelling animals (Benson et al., 2002; IPCC, 2005). As noted above, wildlife that rely on vegetation for food, cover, or nesting/breeding habitat can suff er secondary, habitat-related eff ects if plants are aff ected adversely.
Aquatic organisms . Adverse impacts to aquatic organisms can result if CO2 leaks into overlying water bodies, including lakes, streams, and oceans. High concentrations of CO2 reduce the amount of oxygen reaching the blood in aquatic organisms with gills, causing suff ocation (Maina, 1998). Fish, for example, are likely to experience negative eff ects with a three-fold increase of ambient aquatic CO2 concentrations. Aquatic organisms and ecosystems are also vulnerable to changes in pH resulting from increased CO2. In general, a pH level of less than 5 or greater than 10 is lethal for most fi sh; low pH can cause acidifi cation of body tissues (Benson et al., 2002; Turley et al., 2004, 2006; Miles et al., 2007). Other invertebrates may be sensitive to increased CO2 as well. Miles et al. (2007) examined CO2 tolerance of the sea urchin (Psammechinus miliaris), an ecologically important organism with a sensitive pH balance, and found that a pH of 6.16 was lethal to 100% of the test organisms after 7 days, and a pH below 7.5 was severely detrimental to the test organisms. Negative eff ects included hypercapnia (excess CO2 in the blood) due to elevated CO2 concentrations and decreased pH in coleomic fl uid (Miles et al., 2007). Turley et al. (2004) reported that in saltwater, a pH ranging from 5 to 6.7 was lethal for zooplankton in 72 hours, and a pH ranging from 4.8 to 6.2 was lethal in 24 hours. However, they also found that a pH ranging from 5.6 to 7.8 was not lethal after 96 hours. An increase in aquatic CO2 concentration is unlikely to signifi cantly reduce aquatic photosynthetic productivity in phytoplankton that have CO2-concentrating mechanisms (Turley et al., 2004). However, some organisms’ photosynthetic rate is more sensitive to CO2 concentration, meaning that they may be more susceptible to changes in CO2 (Turley et al., 2006). Calcifying aquatic organisms . Calcifying organisms are dependent on dissolved carbonate in the water to produce their protective shells. As CO2 concentrations in water increase, pH decreases (a4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

35 process sometimes referred to as ocean acidifi cation) and carbonate becomes less available in the aquatic environment. Organisms such as corals may be severely aff ected by acidic conditions if they are either unable to form shells or if the shells are dissolved by the acidic water. Turley et al. (2006) found reduced calcifi cation in cultures of coccolithophore species that were in water in contact with atmospheric concentrations of 750 ppm CO2. Spicer et al. (2007) examined the eff ects of elevated CO2 and low pH on the velvet swimming crab (Necora puber) and found that after 16 days at a pH level of 6.74, the animal experienced hypercapnia. To compensate, the test animals dissolved their exoskeletons to make bicarbonate available in their blood (Spicer et al., 2007). Deep geologic ecosystems . Deep geologic ecosystems support signifi cant communities of microbial life but are poorly characterized. Microbial life is ubiquitous and extends several miles into the Earth’s crust (as deep as 4,000 meters), and in all of the types of locations being considered for GS (IPCC, 2005). At extreme depths, microbes are adapted to very high pressures and temperatures and can catalyze reactions that involve compounds such as hydrogen sulfi de (H2S), sulfate (SO), nitrate (NO), iron (Fe), and CO2 to derive energy (West and Chilton, 1997; Ehrlich, 2002). Th e eff ect of a change in CO2 concentration at extreme depths is unknown; deep-earth organisms may not respond to CO2 as organisms living nearer the atmosphere do, unless the organism uses CO2 in its metabolism. Relatively little is known about the importance or unimportance of such organisms in ecosystems and carbon cycles. Further research is needed to address this uncertainty. Microbial activity could also potentially impact the GS system (Quintessa, 2004). For example, microbes could catalyze the precipitation of minerals, thus decreasing storage capacity. Alternatively, they could produce organic acids, thereby enhancing the corrosion of well seals and the dissolution of geologic materials. 4.3.2 Legislatively Protected Species State and federal government agencies use legislation to identify certain species populations as threatened or endangered (i.e., as defi ned in the Endangered Species Act of 1973). Impacts similar to those listed in the previous section are possible for these species as well. Because of their increased sensitivity, it is important to understand the legal status of these species (e.g., endangered or threatened) as well as their potential ranges or stationary locations. Further, it may be necessary to demonstrate that an endangered species and its habitat will not be adversely impacted by evaluating the potential for adverse impacts and targeting the species for appropriate monitoring based on current and known thresholds.


## 4.4 Potential Groundwater and Surface Water Impacts
Geologic sequestration could potentially impact groundwater and surface water. EPA is mandated to protect the nation’s waters (both USDWs and surface waters) under the SDWA and the Clean Water Act. USDWs could potentially be more susceptible to adverse impacts than surface waters because of their closer proximity to the injection zone. Although this discussion focuses on groundwater impacts, many of the concepts can be also be applied to evaluating surface waters. Th e evaluation depicted in Figure 4.4 identifi es key receptors, including protected and/or sensitive water bodies, water quality, and regional groundwater fl ow, and identifi es appropriate monitoring and mitigation strategies.4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

36 Groundwater and surface water may be vulnerable to adverse impacts associated with unanticipated migration of CO2 (and other fl uids) and pressure changes, including the water quality and groundwater fl ow eff ects described below. 4.4.1 Water Quality Geologic sequestration could impact groundwater if CO2 escapes the GS system or if brine or other fl uids are displaced as a result of pressure changes into overlying or underlying aquifers. Impacts include changes such as increased salinity, increased acidity (reduced pH), and mobilization of metals or other impurities. Th e eff ect of GS on a water body may be indicated by a change in specifi c relevant water quality parameters. Relevant water quality parameters that can be used to evaluate groundwater include:

• Total dissolved solids (TDS) . Migration of brine into overlying aquifers as a result of CO2 injection could potentially endanger human health and the environment. Th ough there is not an EPA primary drinking water standard for TDS, water with TDS greater than 500 milligrams per liter (mg/L) is not recommended for human consumption. EPA also considers aquifers with TDS below 10,000 mg/L to be underground sources of drinking water, therefore migration of brine into these sources may have potential implications if this threshold is exceeded.

• Buff ering capacity . Systems made of geologic materials with lower buff ering capacities (e.g., sandstones as opposed to limestones) may be more susceptible to acidifi cation in the event of migration of CO2.

Total dissolved solids (TDS) Buffering capacity Regional groundwater flow

Evaluate effects of pressure changes, and consider developing monitoring and mitigation

plans based on sitespecific thresholds Mineralogy Sorbed contaminants Yes Presence of protected or sensitive drinking water

supplies? Identify groundwater and surface water

No Consider targeted monitoring and mitigation plans

Microbial populations Evaluate relevant water quality and quantity parameters

Evaluate the potential to exceed thresholds, such as drinking water standards, in the event of CO 2 and/or brine migration and leakage, and consider developing monitoring and mitigation plans

Figure 4.4. Groundwater and Surface Water Evaluation4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

37 • Mineralogy . Migration of CO2 into overlying aquifers could cause acidifi cation, which in turn may cause dissolution of metal-containing minerals and desorption of metals and organic species from the aquifer matrix (Jaff e and Wang, 2003; Kolak and Burruss, 2003, 2004; Wang and Jaff e, 2004). If metal and metalloid-bearing mineral phases (e.g., metal oxides, sulfi des, carbonates) are determined to be present, geochemical modeling may be necessary to evaluate whether metal aqueous concentrations will exceed drinking water standards in the event of migration into an overlying aquifer. Th e mobilization of metals and other contaminants within the injection zone could also potentially impact drinking water sources, if the metal-containing fl uids leaked into an overlying aquifer, or could preclude the use of the injection zone as a future drinking water source without treatment.

• Sorbed contaminants . Sorbed metals, organic contaminants, and gases could be released under acidic conditions created by CO2 and other geochemical processes (e.g. competitive desorption). If impurities (e.g., organics, metals, gases) are present, geochemical modeling may be necessary to evaluate if aqueous concentrations will exceed drinking water standards in the event of migration of CO2 and other fl uids into overlying aquifers.

• Microbial populations . As noted in Section 4.3.1, microbial populations may catalyze geochemical reactions. As such, their infl uence may need to be considered when determining aqueous concentrations of metals and other impurities.In addition, impurities in the CO2 stream, such as H2S, SO2, and other sulfur- and nitrogencontaining species, can increase the acidifi cation of groundwater compared to pure CO2.Th is could lead to increased mobilization of trace amounts of hazardous metals if a CO2 stream leak comes into contact with groundwater (IPCC, 2005). However, the concentrations of sulfur and nitrogen bearing gaseous constituents in the CO2 stream are likely to be low, and hence their impacts on injection zone rocks and groundwater may be relatively minor (Apps, 2006). Th e migration of CO2 through overlying soils may also cause mobilization of contaminants in the vadose zone. For example, the FutureGen risk assessment identifi es radon mobilization as a potential secondary eff ect of migration of CO2 and other impurities through soils. Radon is a naturally occurring element in some soils and might be mobilized if CO2 and other potential impurities diff use through soils at high enough rates (U.S. DOE, 2007c). However, this impact may be minimal because such elements are likely to be present only at trace concentration levels (Apps, 2006). Consideration may also need to be given to the possible entrainment of organic species by migrating CO2 in the case of injection into oil and gas fi elds. Th ough Apps (2006) reports that concentrations of such organic species is likely to be low. For surface water (including oceans), biotic water quality criteria may also need to be considered. For example, fi sh and other species may be sensitive to increased concentrations of metals such as copper, cadmium, and zinc, and increased acidic conditions may inhibit precipitation of calcareous shells in surface water and oceans. Geologic sequestration that involves injection into subseabed geologic formations raises the potential for water quality impacts in the ocean. If suffi cient volumes of leaked CO2 were to come into contact with sea water, it could locally increase the acidity of the water and potentially induce a secondary set of water quality impacts (e.g., changes in concentrations of metals through interaction with surface sediments). Impurities and substances added to the CO2 stream (e.g. to enable or improve capture) could also impact marine water quality. Finally, the eff ects of supercritical CO2 on marine water4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

38 quality parameters may need to be considered under certain circumstances. At great enough depths, the CO2 may be more dense than the surrounding seawater, and hence may tend to sink, rather than being dispersed through buoyancy–driven upward migration and dispersion. 4.4.2 Regional Groundwater Flow Groundwater fl ow directions, water table levels, and the distribution of groundwater (areas where groundwater is gained and lost) could all be aff ected in shallower aquifers sensitive to pressure changes caused by CO2 injection (Nicot et al., 2006; Tsang et al., 2007). Th is could infl uence the quantity of water available for groundwater-based municipal water supplies and cause interferences with injection wells. Further, a rise in the water table level under a stream or lake fed by groundwater could result in elevated water levels, changes in fl ow rates, and changes in the geometry of the water bodies. Finally, there may be eff ects on intertidal zones, where displaced brine may ultimately be discharged into oceans. Groundwater fl ow direction, fl ow rate, and quantity are metrics for this receptor in the VEF, and the determination of elevated vulnerability thresholds for these metrics is likely to be site specifi c. Physical groundwater and surface water modeling is likely to be necessary to evaluate eff ects of pressure changes. 4.4.3 Protected and Sensitive Drinking Water Supplies Protected and sensitive drinking water supplies may be particularly vulnerable to adverse impacts associated with migration of CO2 and other fl uids and pressure changes, including the water quality and groundwater fl ow eff ects described above. Because of their increased vulnerability, it is important to identify the presence or absence of such water supplies, and it may be necessary to consider targeted monitoring and the development of mitigation plans if these water bodies are present.


## 4.5 Potential Geosphere Impacts
Changes in subsurface pressure from GS could have direct impacts on the geosphere. Subsurface pressure changes that cause an exceedence of the subsurface geologic formation’s geomechanical strength could cause fracturing or reopening of faults and fracture zones (Quintessa, 2004; IPCC, 2005). Th is in turn could cause unanticipated movement of CO2 and other fl uids and increase the potential for the impacts discussed above. Other potential impacts include induced seismic activity such as earthquakes in the extreme case (Healey et al., 1968) and land deformation through uplift (Quintessa, 2004; Birkholzer et al, 2007).


## 4.6 Spatial Area of Evaluation: Infl uence of Receptors
Chapter 3 introduced the GS footprint, the geographical area that may be impacted by unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes, and is the focus of site characterization and monitoring (column two of Figure 3.1). Under certain circumstances, it may be necessary to extend site characterization and monitoring beyond the GS footprint. Receptors outside the footprint might be adversely impacted if leakage occurs near or at the footprint boundary. For example, it might be appropriate to extend monitoring into the habitat of an endangered species that straddles the boundary of the CO2 plume. In addition, concentrating features such as topographic lows, wind patterns, or4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

39 ocean current patterns could transport CO2 beyond the boundary of the GS footprint (Bogen et al., 2006; U.S. DOE, 2007c). Furthermore, site characterization and monitoring for pressure eff ects, including displacement of brine into overlying aquifers, are likely to extend over an even larger area. It is also important to note that areas of evaluation are not expected to be static entities. As discussed in Chapter 3, the CO2 plume and pressure front will grow and change shape over the lifetime of a project, as will the corresponding spatial area of evaluation. Th is section introduces two evaluation processes for spatial area evaluation processes. Th e fi rst focuses on characterization of the area that may be aff ected by the injected CO2, and the second focuses on the area that could be aff ected by pressure changes. Separate CO2 and pressure spatial areas of evaluation are delineated because of the anticipated much larger areal extent of pressure changes (particularly for deep saline formations). Additionally, a smaller set of potential impacts will be associated with pressure changes. Th e evaluation processes suggest approaches on how to delineate the geographical extent of the area aff ected by CO2 and pressure changes, and also recommend monitoring and mitigation plans. It is important to note that the geographical area aff ected by pressure may be evaluated for pressure-driven displacement of brine into overlying aquifers, as described below, but it will not need to be evaluated for direct adverse impacts of CO2 (and other impurities) on human health and welfare and ecological receptors. 4.6.1 Carbon Dioxide Spatial Area of Evaluation

Th

e fl owchart depicted in Figure 4.5 represents an approach for delineating and examining the CO2 spatial area of evaluation. Spatial Area of Evaluation Delineation Th e lateral extent of the CO2 spatial area of evaluation can be delineated by fi rst using the areal extent of the CO2 plume as the base and then expanding on that base to include the spatial extent over which adverse impacts to physical features and receptors within a determined distance of its perimeter may occur. Physical features can include CO2 -concentrating features such as topographic lows and dispersing features such as atmospheric conditions and ocean current patterns. As discussed in Sections 4.1 through 4.5, potentially aff ected receptors can include human populations, populations covered by Executive Orders, cultural and recreational resources, economic resources (surface and subsurface), legislatively protected and other sensitive species, and groundwater and surface water sources. Identifi cation of Receptors and Development of Monitoring and Mitigation Plans It can be useful to specifi cally locate potentially aff ected receptors within the expanded CO2 spatial area of evaluation and identify their vulnerability to adverse impacts, taking into account CO2- concentrating physical features and geologic attributes. Four potential scenarios highlighted in Figure 4.5 suggest diff erent types of monitoring and mitigation plans. For example, if the location of receptors does not coincide with CO2-concentrating physical features or with elevated geologic attribute vulnerabilities, then generic monitoring may be implemented. However, if the location of receptors coincides with CO2-concentrating physical features, a receptor-specifi c monitoring and mitigation plan may be developed that takes those features into account. Th e scenarios highlight that the overall vulnerability associated with a GS system is determined based on a combination of multiple factors. Th is concept is discussed further in Chapter 5.4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

40 Develop generic monitoring plan Develop receptor-specific monitoring and mitigation plan that takes into account CO 2 - concentrating features Develop receptor-specific monitoring and mitigation plan that takes into account geologic attribute vulnerability Vulnerability to adverse impacts may be elevated Scenario 2: Location of receptor(s) coincides with CO 2 -concentrating physical features that may concentrate CO 2 in the event of leakage Identify and locate receptors None present

Evaluate the level of vulnerability to receptors Evaluation complete Identify physical features and receptors along or near the perimeter of the plume

Scenario 1: Location of

receptor(s) does not coincide with CO 2 -concentrating physical features, or with elevated geologic attribute vulnerabilities Scenario 3: Receptor location coincides with elevated vulnerability

based on geologic attribute evaluation Scenario 4: Receptor location coincides with

CO 2 -concentrating physical features and

elevated geologic vulnerability If any of these physical features and receptors are present, the

CO 2 spatial area of evaluation may need to be expanded to

include the area over which adverse impacts could occur

Delineate the lateral extent of the CO 2 spatial area of evaluation, using the CO 2 plume as the base

Figure 4.5. Carbon Dioxide Spatial Area of Evaluation

4.6.2 Pressure Spatial Area of Evaluation

Th

e fl owchart depicted in Figure 4.6 provides an approach for delineating and examining the pressure spatial area of evaluation. Spatial Area of Evaluation Delineation Th e lateral extent of the pressure spatial area of evaluation can be delineated using the GS footprint as the base. In this case, the boundary of the GS footprint is defi ned by the pressure change that is signifi cant enough to cause adverse impacts to overlying receptors (e.g., fl uid displacement into4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

41 an overlying aquifer). Th e perimeter can then be expanded to include the spatial extent over which receptors within a determined distance of the perimeter of the GS footprint could be aff ected. As noted in the previous section, receptors can include human populations, populations covered by Executive Orders, cultural/recreational resources, economic resources (surface and subsurface), legislatively protected and other sensitive ecological species, and groundwater and surface water

sources. Identifi cation of Receptors and Development of Monitoring and Mitigation Plans Potentially aff ected receptors within the expanded pressure spatial area of evaluation can then be considered. It is important to evaluate the potential impacts to these receptors, taking into account geologic attributes, and then develop monitoring and mitigation plans for receptors susceptible to adverse impacts associated with pressure changes.

Figure 4.6. Pressure Spatial Area of Evaluation Develop monitoring and mitigation plan for receptors susceptible to adverse impacts associated with pressure changes Identify receptors along or near the perimeter of the footprint Delineate the lateral extent of the pressure SAE, using the GS footprint as the base

Identify and locate receptors Evaluation complete None present

Evaluate the level of vulnerability to receptors within the pressure SAE taking into consideration geologic attributes If present, the pressure SAE may need to be expanded to include the spatial extent over which adverse impacts could occur4 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: impacts and receptors

42 

## 4.7 Chapter Summary
Th is chapter examined categories of potential adverse impacts resulting from unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes, and associated receptors. Impact categories include human health and welfare, atmosphere, ecosystems, groundwater and surface water, and the geosphere. Th e chapter then discussed the delineation of spatial areas of evaluation for site characterization and monitoring, taking into account the receptors discussed in the previous sections. Chapter 5 incorporates elements from Chapters 3 and 4 into a holistic approach for vulnerability evaluation and highlights key geologic attributes that should be considered carefully when characterizing a potential GS site.5

43 CHAPTER 5



## VULNERABILITY EVALUATION FRAMEWORK FOR GEOLOGIC SEQUESTRATION: KEY CONSIDERATIONS Adopting a holistic approach to vulnerability assessment is important because the overall vulnerability of a GS site is a combined function of all of the identifi ed geologic attributes and receptors. In most instances, evaluating a single attribute will not provide suffi cient information to characterize overall vulnerability. Rather, the entire site needs to be evaluated as a whole. Th e individual and combined infl uence of attributes on vulnerability as well as the presence, proximity, and sensitivity of receptors is likely to change over time. Generally, vulnerability and uncertainty will decrease after injection ceases and as monitoring data are incorporated into the assessment. Key attributes that have been identifi ed as particularly important when evaluating the potential vulnerability to unanticipated migration and leakage from a GS system include wells and faults/ fracture zones, as well as pressure changes that may induce fracturing or reactivate faults. However, even for these key attributes, it is the interplay of multiple characteristics that will determine the level of vulnerability that may be associated with them; the simple presence of a well or a fault does not automatically indicate elevated vulnerability. Th e prioritization of vulnerabilities associated with receptors, geologic attributes and their characteristics is an important, but challenging endeavor that is beyond the current scope of the VEF. However, vulnerabilities can nevertheless be managed by carefully evaluating and managing these key attributes, thus reducing the likelihood of adverse impacts. Chapters 3 and 4 identifi ed and described the geologic attributes that could contribute to vulnerability and the receptors that may be adversely impacted. Th ey also presented evaluation processes and suggestions as to how particular vulnerabilities may be addressed. Th is chapter examines key considerations when examining the vulnerabilities of a GS site as a whole and contains the following sections: • Section 5.1 discusses a holistic approach to vulnerability evaluation in terms of GS system characteristics and temporal scales. • Section 5.2 provides additional detail on attributes that are key to determining GS site vulnerability, specifi cally wells, faults, and pressure changes. Evaluation fl owcharts for these attributes are introduced as well as suggestions for reducing vulnerabilities. • Section 5.3 provides a summary of the chapter.


## 5.1 Holistic Approach to Evaluating Vulnerability
Th e overall vulnerability to adverse impacts is determined by the combination of geologic attributes and receptors that are associated with a GS site. Further, since storage of CO2 is intended for a long time period, it is important to examine how the infl uence of diff erent attributes may change over time. 5.1.1 Interplay of Geologic Attributes and Receptors Th e overall vulnerability of a GS site to adverse impacts is a function of the vulnerability of a system to unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure changes in combination with the vulnerability of5 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: key considerations

44 Figure 5.1. Risk Profi le for CO2 Storage. Source: Benson, 2007. specifi c receptors of concern. Th e highest level of vulnerability emerges when there is a high potential that there are unanticipated migration or leakage pathways in the presence of important vulnerable receptors, such as a sensitive drinking water supply. If the vulnerability to unanticipated migration or leakage is low (for example, the confi ning system is laterally extensive, has a very low permeability, is not known to be perforated by wells or faults, and has a low vulnerability to induced fracturing or other pressure-related eff ects) then the overall vulnerability to adverse impacts may be relatively low, despite the presence of sensitive receptors such as drinking water supply. Th erefore, an evaluation of the combined presence and condition of GS attributes together with the presence and sensitivity of receptors is required for a clear understanding of overall vulnerabilities. 5.1.2 Evaluation of Vulnerability at Diff erent Temporal Scales Th e importance of diff erent attributes for aff ecting the probability and severity of adverse impacts is likely to change over the lifetime of a GS project. Although a quantitative discussion of the relative contribution of diff erent attributes and how this may change over the duration of a project is not possible at this time, some qualitative comments can be made. For example, during the injection phase, injectivity and geomechanical processes are anticipated to be key attributes in the evaluation of vulnerability to adverse impacts. Th e mechanical integrity of the injection wells is also very important, particularly the ability to withstand applied pressures. Th e vulnerability to induced fracturing is expected to be much higher during injection than post-injection. Post-injection, wells might continue to represent potential unanticipated migration or leakage pathways. However, the concern may be more for slow/small leaks that develop through slow geochemical degradation pathways (thus primarily aff ecting atmospheric vulnerability) as opposed to high-intensity pressure blow-outs that could also aff ect human health and welfare and environmental receptors. In general, the overall vulnerability to adverse impacts is expected to decline over time, as illustrated in Figure 5.1. Th is is based on a combination of factors, including the greater permanence of secondary trapping mechanisms such as dissolution, which also decreases buoyancy (see Chapter 2),5 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: key considerations

45 pressure recovery once injection stops, and improved characterization and modeling of GS system attributes over time. In some cases, however, vulnerabilities associated with certain aspects of a GS system may not decrease appreciably over time. For example, in open systems where the injected CO2 and associated induced pressure changes do not reach the lateral boundaries of the injection zone formation(s), pressure is expected to drop signifi cantly when injection ceases (Pawar et al, 2006; Birkholzer et al., 2007), thus decreasing the vulnerabilities to induced seismic activity and faulting and fracturing. However, in closed systems where pressure remains elevated at the lateral boundaries of the system (for example in EOR geologic settings, where boundaries may be defi ned by geologic features such as an anticline or sealed fault), it may take much longer for pressure to dissipate. Th is can result in elevated vulnerability for a prolonged period of time after injection stops. It should be noted that this example re-emphasizes the necessity of evaluating the vulnerabilities associated with a GS system as a whole. Although pressure may remain elevated for a longer period of time in the closed system, this does not necessarily mean that the system has an overall elevated level of vulnerability. For example, EOR settings have withstood elevated pressure for geologic timescales in the past, thus demonstrating an eff ective confi ning system with low vulnerability to unanticipated migration or leakage.


## 5.2 Key Attributes in Evaluating GS System Vulnerability
Although the overall vulnerability of a GS site is determined through a holistic evaluation of the interactions among all elements of a GS site, certain key attributes have been identifi ed as central to evaluating the vulnerability associated with a GS system. It is unlikely that any one of these single attributes alone will determine the overall vulnerability of a GS site. However, there are some basic screening considerations: • Is the physical capacity of the injection zone suffi cient to store the total CO2 volume? • Is the confi ning system present and of suffi cient lateral extent? • Is the injectivity of the injection zone suffi cient? • Is tectonic activity (earthquakes, volcanoes, hotspots, etc.) not a concern?
• Are wells, faults, fracture zones not a concern? If one or more of these conditions is not met, there may be elevated vulnerability to unanticipated migration, leakage, or adverse pressure changes that render a GS system less suitable. As described in the evaluation processes presented in Chapter 3, the suitability of the GS system can be improved, for example, by altering operational plans and injecting less, through targeted monitoring and mitigation, and/or corrective actions at vulnerable wells. Th e discussion below focuses on wells and faults because they have been identifi ed as being the most likely attributes to contribute to unanticipated fl uid migration out of the injection zone. However, the presence of these attributes alone may not indicate elevated vulnerability; and it is important to examine them thoroughly to ascertain the level of vulnerability associated with a GS system.5 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: key considerations

46 5.2.1 Wells as Fluid-Conducting Pathways Wells and other artifi cial penetrations such as boreholes have been identifi ed as one of the most probable conduits for the escape of CO2 and other fl uids from the injection zone (Gasda et al., 2004; Benson, 2005; IPCC, 2005; Carey et al., 2007). Industrial analogs indicate that while gases such as CH4 can be stored eff ectively in the subsurface, there are examples of unanticipated gas leakage through poorly completed or improperly plugged and abandoned wells (Gurevich et al., 1993; Lippmann and Benson, 2003; Perry, 2005). Hence, if not properly sealed and plugged, wells can provide an open conduit from depth to the surface. Even wells that are properly sealed may have fl uid-conducting pathways along the outside of the casing, where a complex environment involving well cements, drilling muds, and possibly damaged rock zones can provide opportunities for fl uid fl ow (Gasda et al., 2004). Further, the acid generated when CO2 contacts water could degrade well construction materials, possibly creating pathways for fl uid fl ow (Scherer et al., 2005). Th e relative depth of wells is also an important consideration when evaluating their potential to serve as fl uid pathways. Only wells that penetrate the injection zone can serve as direct leakage pathways to the surface. However, well characterization should include all wells within the area anticipated to be aff ected by CO2 injection, because shallower wells could be connected to faults or other features that do penetrate the injection zone. Th us, the combination of wells and faults can serve as a pathway for unanticipated migration and leakage. Experience from industrial processes underlines the importance of evaluating the potential for active and abandoned wells to serve as fl uid pathways and conducting a detailed GS site characterization before injection (Cawley et al., 2005). As illustrated in Figure 5.2, evaluating the potential for wells to act as conduits for CO2 and other fl uids involves considering multiple factors, including determining whether wells are present, measuring their depth relative to injection zone, and evaluating the integrity of the well construction materials and seal. While operational factors are not the focus of the VEF, injection and monitoring wells may also have implications for the creation of fl uid-conducting pathways. Principal design considerations for CO2 injection wells include pressure, production and injection rates, and corrosion. Th ere is substantial knowledge about the design of CO2 injection wells developed for EOR operations (IPCC, 2005). Equipping injection wells with packers can help isolate pressure eff ects to the injection interval. Th e slotted length of wells, use of horizontal wells (slotted over much longer reaches than vertical wells), and the number of injection wells used for injecting CO2 are all operational factors that may minimize pressure. Using corrosion-resistant well construction materials can help maintain the integrity of the well. Numerous monitoring and mitigation techniques also exist and could be applied to GS systems (Jarell et al., 2002; Skinner, 2003). Identifying and evaluating active and abandoned wells may be particularly challenging in certain geologic settings, such as depleted oil and gas fi elds, where there may be numerous active and abandoned production and exploration wells of diff erent ages, depths, and general condition. Industry and state records exist that can help locate such wells, and determine their depth and mechanisms of sealing and plugging. However, the completeness of such records, particularly for historical (pre-1950s) wells, may be limited, and may need to be supplemented by fi eld verifi cation. Nevertheless, site characterization that includes the considerations outlined in Figure 5.2 may reduce uncertainties and manage vulnerability by helping identify those conditions involving wells that may be of concern and by providing approaches to address them. For example, a well that penetrates the injection zone and is not sealed properly, or for which records do not exist on abandonment5 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: key considerations

47 No Assessment complete. Low vulnerability. Yes Assessment complete. Low vulnerability. Yes Assessment complete. Low vulnerability. Well penetrates

the IZ? No Assessment complete. Low vulnerability.

Yes Yes No

No

Well integrity is adequate? Adequate records of well integrity exist? Well connected to IZ through

secondary conduits?

Possible to conduct field investigation to evaluate integrity?

Yes

Elevated vulnerability. Consider corrective action and/or targeted monitoring and mitigation plans. No

Yes Elevated vulnerability.

Consider corrective action and/or targeted monitoring and mitigation plans. Evaluate individual wells

No

Yes Conduct field investigation to determine depth Unknown

Integrity is adequate along full penetration

depth? Secondary conduits to receptors

exist?

Evaluate secondary conduits Secondary conduits provide path to receptors?

Elevated vulnerability. Consider corrective action and/or targeted monitoring and mitigation plans. No

Yes High density of

wells? Higher cumulative uncertainty and vulnerability. Corrective action and/or targeted monitoring and mitigation plans may need to be considered. Yes

No Locate pre-existing wells Injection and monitoring wells should be carefully designed, operated, and monitored, taking into consideration injection rate, pressure, and corrosion conditions Identify wells

No Wells evaluation approach:
Initial well screen
 Evaluate penetration depth relative to the Injection Zone (IZ) and confining system, and connection to other conduits

 Evaluate well integrity


Figure 5.2. Wells Evaluation5 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: key considerations

48 methods, could be managed by targeting the well for monitoring and taking mitigative steps such as those described in Chapter 6. Decisions may need to be made on a site-specifi c basis regarding whether corrective action or targeted monitoring, or a combination of both, may be most appropriate to address conditions at a given well, in addition to the development of mitigation plans. 5.2.2 Faults and Fractures as Fluid-Conducting Pathways Although faults and fractures have been identifi ed, along with wells, as one of the most likely fl uid conduits in GS systems, the simple presence/absence of fault in many cases will not be suffi cient to evaluate the vulnerability to unanticipated migration and leakage. Th e potential for faults and fractures to act as fl uid pathways in GS systems is a function of numerous factors, including stratigraphic position. For example, a fault that does not cut across the full thickness of the confi ning zone may not pose the same level of vulnerability as a fault that is continuous from the injection zone to the surface. Whether a fault is sealed or conductive will also determine its ability to allow passage of CO2 and other fl uids; faults may serve as either barriers or conduits to fl uid fl ow (Omre et al., 1994; Lewicki et al., 2006; Wilkens and Naruk, 2007). Existing faults and fractures that are sealed may remain stable or may be reactivated by induced pressure changes and geochemical conditions caused by CO2 injection. Th e orientation and geometry of the fault relative to regional stresses will also infl uence whether it may be re-activated (Rutqvist et al., 2007a, 2007b). New fractures could form if the fracture pressure of the formation(s) is exceeded (Healy et al., 1968; Gibbs et al., 1973; Raleigh et al., 1976; Sminchak et al., 2002; IPCC, 2005; Streit et al., 2005; Wo et al., 2005). However, currently available geomechanical methods can assess the stability of faults and estimate the maximum sustainable pore fl uid pressures for CO2 storage (e.g., Streit and Hillis, 2003). Th e potential for induced fractures and re-opened faults to result in adverse impacts will depend on numerous additional factors, including whether they are connected to an overlying receptor, whether they are connected to other fl uid-conducting pathways (e.g., wells), and whether or not they may be resealed by geochemical processes. In addition, an adverse impact will occur only if the amount of CO2 that is transported along the fault is suffi cient to impact a receptor such as a drinking water supply. For example, if a small fault reopened that connects the injection zone to an overlying aquifer, the amount of CO2 transported along the fault may not adversely aff ect drinking water or other resources. Identifying and evaluating how faults and fractures will behave presents a particular challenge in the characterization of GS systems. Figure 5.3 presents some of the factors that can be considered when evaluating the potential for faults and fractures to act as fl uid-conducting pathways. Th e fi gure highlights the need to identify whether faults are continuous from the injection zone to secondary conduits, overlying aquifers, or other receptors. Th is evaluation can be strengthened if multiple techniques for site characterization are used, such as surface mapping, interpretation of well bore data, and seismic techniques. Use of seismic techniques is generally the more comprehensive approach, because not all faults at injection zone depths have surface expressions allowing surface mapping to locate them, and the spatial discreteness of well bore data is generally insuffi cient to properly characterize fault and fracture zones. Th ree-dimensional seismic data may provide advantages for complete fault characterization, because two-dimensional seismic data have associated spacing and resolution constraints. As work progresses, additional methods may be identifi ed for fault characterization techniques within GS systems.5 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: key considerations

49 Evaluating the stability of faults and fracture zones in GS systems also presents particular challenges. Faults and fractures are often associated with complex zones with altered properties, rather than being simple discontinuities. Th ere may be signifi cant uncertainty in being able to predict how they will behave under the conditions induced by GS. However, as described in Figure 5.1, careful design and monitoring can help manage vulnerabilities associated with faults and fractures. Approaches include using multiple site characterizing technologies and setting monitoring at a level appropriate to the level of uncertainty. Furthermore, the existing knowledge base is likely to improve as more data are acquired from fi eld projects. 5.2.3 Pressure-Induced Physical Eff ects Injecting CO2 into geologic formations will in most cases cause subsurface changes in pressure. As discussed above, induced fracturing and fault reactivation can occur if injection pressure exceeds Low vulnerability Secondary conduit(s) identified?

No Yes Evaluate potential of combined pathway to conduct fluids Locate faults based on

site characterization Evaluate if faults are expected to be present based on the regional tectonic environment

Presence of fault(s) continuous from the IZ to overlying aquifer(s) or other receptors? Evaluate potential conduits for all other identified faults, considering secondary conduits, such as wells None identified

Yes

Evaluate potential to conduct fluids

If conductive: elevated vulnerability If sealing: evaluate fault stability under proposed operational conditions and set

monitoring and mitigation plans If uncertain/ unknown: consider further site characterization

and targeted monitoring and mitigation plans Figure 5.3. Faults Evaluation5 vulnerability evaluation framework for geologic sequestration: key considerations

50 fracture pressures, which may in turn result in the opening of fl uid migration pathways. If pressures are great enough, they could in extreme cases cause earthquakes (Healey et al., 1968). However, these eff ects could be minimized through an understanding of the relevant geologic attributes, careful site characterization, careful operation of GS systems, and monitoring. As summarized in Chapter 3, the geologic attributes that will infl uence pressure changes include physical capacity of the injection zone, its injectivity, and geomechanical and geochemical processes. Operational factors that infl uence pressure changes, and that can be managed, include the rate of injection, the slotted length of the injection well, the number of injection wells, and their orientation. Th ere may be greater uncertainty about evaluating pressure eff ects in GS systems when examining the potential for pressure-induced regional scale impacts that do not involve fracturing or faulting. As discussed in Chapter 4, pressure changes in the injection zone could cause regional impacts on overlying aquifer systems, including changes in groundwater fl ow directions and water table levels. Th ese may result in alterations in the distribution and fl uxes of groundwater. Th is could in turn have other impacts, for example, changing the quantity of groundwater that is available for municipal drinking water supplies. Th ere also could be pressure-induced migration of brines and other fl uids through the pore structure of overlying formations into groundwater receptors, which may impact water quality. Furthermore, pressure-induced fl uid displacement could result in the release of brine at locations where injection zone formations outcrop at the land surface. Regional pressure eff ects have been the focus of relatively few studies, and uncertainties and vulnerabilities associated with this subject should be addressed through additional research.


## 5.3 Chapter Summary
Th is chapter discussed the importance of a holistic evaluation of vulnerability associated with GS systems and highlighted key attributes (i.e., wells, faults, and pressure changes) that should be examined extensively in a vulnerability evaluation. Chapter 6 summarizes monitoring and mitigation strategies to help decrease or avoid the potential adverse impacts of GS summarized in Chapter 4.51 CHAPTER 6



# MONITORING AND MITIGATION

Careful site selection and site characterization of GS systems and accompanying spatial areas of evaluation can help minimize the potential for adverse impacts. However, in the event of unanticipated migration and leakage, early detection through monitoring and application of mitigation techniques can help prevent or minimize adverse impacts. Data collected from monitoring can also help refi ne our understanding of GS systems and overlying receptors, thereby enhancing operations while minimizing vulnerabilities.

Th

e VEF identifi es the key attributes that are important to site selection and site characterization (geologic attributes and receptors described in Chapters 3 and 4), and approaches to delineate the spatial extent of the GS system (also described in Chapters 3 and 4). Although monitoring and mitigation are not the focus of the VEF, application of the VEF can inform and prioritize monitoring and mitigation approaches, focused on both the subsurface geologic attributes, and overlying receptors. Th is chapter contains the following sections: • Section 6.1 presents a brief overview of the purposes of monitoring, diff erent applicable monitoring technologies, and the timeframe for monitoring activities. • Section 6.2 provides a brief summary of mitigation strategies in the event of unanticipated migration, leakage, and pressure changes. • Section 6.3 provides a summary of the chapter.


## 6.1 Monitoring
6.1.1 Purposes of Monitoring Most of the geologic attribute evaluation processes provided in the VEF qualitatively identify those conditions that may lead to low or elevated vulnerability, and recommend the development of monitoring and mitigation plans in instances of elevated vulnerability. Monitoring can provide an early warning mechanism in the event of unanticipated movement of CO2 and other fl uids from the injection zone (Oldenburg et al., 2003; IPCC, 2005). It can also be used to detect pressure changes in the subsurface. Early detection of unanticipated fl uid migration and increases in pressure provides the opportunity to put into place mitigation strategies to avoid or minimize adverse impacts. Th e goals of monitoring include regularly confi rming the location and containment of the injected CO2. Hence, the data collected during monitoring can also be used to develop a more comprehensive understanding of the GS system, and to calibrate and refi ne models of the behavior and location of CO2 in the subsurface. Operations may be modifi ed and enhanced based on the interpretation of monitoring data. An important element of monitoring is establishing baseline conditions by collecting monitoring data prior to the injection of CO2. Measurements taken before injection will help evaluate how the subsurface might change in response to injection. Interpreting the data gained through many6monitoring and mitigation6

52 monitoring techniques (such as the seismic measurements discussed in the next section) can be greatly facilitated if post- and pre-injection data can be compared. Monitoring can also be used to ensure proper functioning of injection wells and to optimize injection. Specifi c techniques can also be targeted at attributes and receptors of a GS site identifi ed during site characterization that may be of particular interest, including abandoned wells, faults and fracture zones, and sensitive overlying receptors (IPCC, 2005). 6.1.2 Monitoring Technologies Several types of monitoring technologies can be used to meet the purposes identifi ed above. Th e IPCC, in its Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage, describes monitoring technologies for the diff erent monitoring purposes:

• Location and movement of stored CO2 . Th e location and movement of stored CO2 and other underground fl uids and gases can be monitored using direct or indirect approaches. Direct approaches, which are employed at many EOR projects, involve measuring the volume of injected quantities of CO2 at multiple production wells. A second direct approach to monitoring movement of stored CO2 and other underground fl uids and gases is to drill monitoring wells. Monitoring wells can also be used in other assessments of subsurface fl uid migration, including tracer tests. Injecting unique tracers (e.g., gases not found within the injection zone) and detecting for them at monitoring wells can help characterize CO2 migration in the subsurface (IPCC, 2005). Indirect approaches for monitoring movement of stored CO2 and other underground fl uids and gases include using seismic and non-seismic technologies (IPCC, 2005). Seismic technologies measure the velocity and absorption of energy waves through rock and provide a picture of underground layers of rocks and reservoirs. Non-seismic techniques such as electrical and electromagnetic techniques measure the relative conductivity of subsurface layers of various solids and fl uids (IPCC, 2005). A comprehensive list of technologies for monitoring movement of stored CO2 and other underground fl uids and gases is given in Table 5.4 of the IPCC Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (IPCC, 2005).

• Injection rates and pressures . Th e oil and gas industry has a long history of monitoring injection rates and pressures. Technologies used for this purpose are mature and commercially available. Gauges at wellheads are used to measure injection rates. Injection pressure is typically measured at most injection wells, and downhole formation pressure measurements are also routine, though the latter measurements may only be made on a periodic basis. Pressure gauges at injection wells are often linked to shut-off mechanisms that will slow or cease injection if injection pressure deviates from a determined range (IPCC, 2005).

• Well integrity . Wells are often subjected to extensive induced-pressure testing for mechanical integrity before use. Continued integrity of the well during injection can be evaluated by monitoring pressure. Th e injection pressure can be continuously monitored at the wellhead by meters (IPCC, 2006). Th e pressure in the injection well annulus can also be monitored during injection to ensure the integrity of the injection well packer and casing. A decrease in pressure in the annulus may indicate unanticipated subsurface migration. In addition,monitoring and mitigation6

53 temperature and “noise” logs can be used to detect well failures. Such logs have historically been used in natural gas storage projects. Th e integrity of the casing material can also be monitored using corrosion monitoring techniques such as caliper logs (IPCC, 2005).

• Local environmental impacts . In addition to technologies for monitoring CO2 movement underground, several technologies are available for monitoring the local environmental impacts of unanticipated migration and leakage. Several reviews have been published on near-surface monitoring technologies that can evaluate local environmental impacts, including both conventional and unconventional technologies (IPCC, 2005; Benson et al., 2002; Oldenburg et al., 2003). Monitoring CO2 levels at the surface is a common practice in many occupational applications. Many heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems, for example, have CO2 sensors. In addition, the literature on CO2 concentrations in soil and air is extensive (as described in Oldenburg et al., 2003; Miles et al., 2005) and monitoring occurs frequently in many areas (e.g., regular CO2 fl ux measurements by the U.S. Geological Survey at Mammoth Mountain, California) (USGS, 2001). Satellite-based remote sensing and airborne imaging measurements of CO2 levels are also possible technologies for monitoring CO2 levels at the surface. However, these technologies may not be sensitive enough to detect the small CO2 fl uctuations that may be associated with GS. Monitoring ecosystems for exposure to CO2 is another technique for assessing local environmental impacts at the surface. Such monitoring often involves measuring the productivity and biodiversity of fl ora and fauna and measuring pH levels in aquatic ecosystems. Impacts on USDWs can be monitored by water sampling that tests levels of major ions and gases that may be carried by the leaked plume or mobilized by the plume’s constituents (IPCC, 2005). Hyperspectral imaging is also being considered for the detection of stressed vegetation. 6.1.3 Timeframe Implications for Monitoring Th e long timeframe over which GS needs to be eff ective underlines the importance of regular monitoring. It is suggested that monitoring periods for GS can be divided into three periods: injection and operation; storage during pressure equilibration; and long-term storage (Chalaturnyk and Gunter, 2004). Th e length of the injection and operation period will depend on the capacity of the injection zone and the rate of injection, but is generally expected to be 25–50 years. Th e period of time required for pressure equilibration after injection stops will be site specifi c. For open systems, where the injection zone formation is very large compared to the volume of the CO2 plume, the time period for pressure to decay back to the regional formation pressure may be 100 years or less (Birkholzer et al., 2007). For closed systems, pressure may remain elevated for a much longer period of time. After pressure stabilization (either with a return to the regional pressure regime in the case of open systems or a long-term stabilization at elevated pressures in closed systems), if unanticipated migration andleakage has not occurred, the GS system may be considered stable, and the formation of pressurerelated fl uid conduits no longer anticipated (Chalaturnyk and Gunter, 2004). Geochemical changes, however, can continue over a longer timeframe. Th e integrity of the caprock or wellbore cements, for example, may be aff ected by reactions with injected CO2 (IPCC, 2005).monitoring and mitigation6

54 Monitoring may be more intensive in the earlier stages, with more frequent measurements and specifi c targeting of operational infrastructure. Th e frequency of monitoring may decrease as the system stabilizes post-injection, and eventually cease (Chalaturnyk and Gunter, 2004; IPCC, 2006). Additionally, the area requiring monitoring is also likely to change over time, expanding during the injection period as the CO2 plume grows. Th e continued mobility of CO2 post-injection, because of its relatively high buoyancy and lower viscosity compared to water and brine, may also result in a dynamic post-injection area of evaluation, necessitating adaptive monitoring. Th e area to be monitored for pressure impacts will also expand during injection and may be signifi cantly larger than the area covered by the CO2 plume. Post-injection, if the pressure dissipates (e.g., in the case of open systems), the area requiring monitoring for pressure changes may decrease correspondingly.


## 6.2 Mitigation
Unanticipated migration, leakage, and adverse pressure changes identifi ed through monitoring may be addressed in many cases with mitigation actions. For the purposes of this report, mitigation refers to actions taken to prevent unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure changes that have the potential to cause adverse impacts. It also includes actions taken to prevent or reduce impacts once unanticipated migration, leakage, or pressure changes have been detected by monitoring. Th is report does not address actions taken to address impacts that have already occurred. Several important mitigation concepts are discussed below. Some of these approaches are routine within the oil and gas and other industries, while others are more experimental, and will likely require further study prior to implementation.

Wells . According to the IPCC, the development of mitigation plans for active or abandoned wells is particularly important, because they are known vulnerabilities (Gasda et al., 2004; IPCC, 2005; Perry 2005). Standard mitigation techniques, also referred to as corrective actions, exist to stop unanticipated migration and leakage from injection and abandoned wells. Th ese include injecting a heavy mud to plug the opening. If the well is not accessible at the surface, a new well can be drilled to intercept the casing of the compromised well below the ground surface and cement can be pumped in from the interception well. Further mitigation techniques also exist for injection wells. Th e integrity of CO2 injection wells can be repaired by replacing injection tubing and packers. If the space between the casing and the formation borehole leaks, the casing can be perforated to allow injection of cement behind the casing to seal the leak. If the well cannot be repaired, it can be plugged and abandoned using the standard procedures cited above, and replaced with a new injection well.

Faults and fractures . Th e unanticipated migration of CO2 and other fl uids along faults (and fractures) could be mitigated by lowering the pressure driving fl ow along the fault by injecting at a lower rate, or through more wells. Alternatively, the pressure in the injection zone could be lowered by removing water or other fl uids, or by possibly creating a pathway to access additional formations within the injection zone. Further, extraction wells could be used to intersect the pathway, or a hydraulic barrier could be created by increasing the reservoir pressure upstream of the fault. It may also be appropriate to consider ceasing injection to stabilize the project and, in the extreme case, the CO2 could be recovered from the formation and re-injected in a more suitable formation (IPCC, 2005).monitoring and mitigation6

55 Accumulation in indoor environments . Slow releases of CO2 can accumulate in confi ned spaces (e.g., basements) and cause harm to human health. Th ese slow releases into structures can be eliminated using techniques designed to dilute the CO2 before it enters indoor environments, such as basement/substructure venting or pressurization (IPCC, 2005). Large releases to the atmosphere . For very large releases to the atmosphere spread over large areas, natural attenuation through atmospheric dispersion may be the main mitigation option. Smaller localized releases at wellheads or in buildings could be addressed using fans or venting (Benson and Hepple, 2005; IPCC, 2005). Accumulation in soil gas . As discussed in chapter 4, accumulation of CO2 in soil gas can be detrimental to ecological receptors. Removing the CO2 from the vadose zone would also prevent its escape to the atmosphere. CO2 can be extracted from the vadose zone and soil gas using standard vapor extraction techniques that use horizontal or vertical wells to collect the CO2. Additionally, it may be possible to decrease or stop releases to the atmosphere from the vadose zone by the use of caps or gas vapor barriers. Th e CO2 accumulated under the cap could then be removed using extraction wells. Since CO2 is denser than air, it may be possible to collect it in subsurface trenches. Th e CO2 captured via these approaches could then be reinjected into the subsurface. Finally, in some cases, acidifi cation of the soils from contact with CO2 could be remediated by irrigation and drainage, acid-neutralizing substances such as lime could be applied to the soil (IPCC, 2005).

Groundwater and surface water . Fluids that reach groundwater could be captured using extraction wells and reinjected into the subsurface. Carbon dioxide that reaches a groundwater aquifer and then becomes immobile through residual trapping could be removed by fl ushing the aquifer with water, thereby enhancing CO2 dissolution, and then extracting the dissolved CO2 using groundwater extraction wells. Additionally, CO2 that has dissolved in shallow groundwater can similarly be removed with groundwater extraction wells. Th e mobilization of metals or other contaminants as a result of CO2 migration into groundwater could be addressed through pump and treat technologies, the creation of hydraulic barriers, or by in situ passive methods such as enhanced bioremediation (IPCC, 2005). Shallow surface water bodies that have signifi cant turnover (shallow lakes) or turbulence (streams) may be naturally attenuated, due to their relatively quick release of dissolved CO2 back into the atmosphere. For deep, stably stratifi ed lakes, active systems for venting gas accumulations have been developed and applied (IPCC, 2005).


## 6.3 Chapter Summary
Chapter 6 summarized the importance of delineating the geographical extent of GS systems for site characterization and monitoring purposes, how monitoring can be used to achieve multiple goals, the types of monitoring technologies, and the timeframe for monitoring activities. It also described mitigation strategies that can be employed in the event of unanticipated migration and leakage of fl uids in order to avoid or minimize adverse impacts.56 CHAPTER 7



# SUMMARY AND NEXT STEPS

Th e VEF approach was developed by EPA to systematically identify those conditions that may increase or decrease susceptibility to adverse impacts from GS. Th e VEF is a reference document that can assist regulators and other technical experts in identifying key areas for in-depth site-specifi c risk assessment, monitoring, and management. Th e vulnerability assessment introduced in the VEF is intended to be an iterative process where new information is incorporated into the evaluation as it is generated. It is not intended to be broadly applicable or to measure the severity of an outcome, to establish performance standards for GS sites, or to specify data requirements.

Th

e VEF identifi es attributes of GS systems that may lead to increased vulnerability to adverse impacts, identifi es potential impact categories, identifi es thresholds that may indicate low versus elevated vulnerability, and provides a series of decision-support fl owcharts that are organized, systematic approaches to assess the attributes and potential impacts. Th ough certain attributes or receptors may increase the overall susceptibility of a GS site to adverse impacts, it is important to recognize that assessing overall vulnerability is dependent on the interplay between individual attributes and receptors. Th e VEF, as described in this report, represents the fi rst step toward the development of a conceptual framework to evaluate potential vulnerabilities of GS projects and as such is a work in progress. Numerous reviewers have encouraged further development and refi nement of the VEF as well asdemonstration of its practical applicability. Future work could also involve developing the decisionsupport fl owcharts into an integrated evaluation tool that has a more quantitative and numerical basis. Th is could include refi ning the binary vulnerability classifi cation (low versus elevated) into a multiscaled classifi cation scheme as warranted by available information, data, and expert opinion. In addition, the VEF may be validated and refi ned by applying it to case studies that represent a range of likely scenarios in which various aspects of the VEF framework can be tested. Th ese scenarios may be based on real, successful demonstration projects as well as more challenging situations where risk may be higher. Applying the VEF in this manner would improve the framework and could be an instructive exercise for regulators, operators and other stakeholders and can provide a means to test approaches developed to manage uncertainties. Th e VEF is designed to focus on vulnerabilities of GS systems that could increase adverse impacts associated with GS. It could be expanded to include vulnerabilities to adverse impacts associated with the capture or transport of CO2, operational aspects of GS such as surface infrastructure (e.g., buildings, pipelines, well construction), and specifi c monitoring techniques to ensure the integrity of the GS system recommended. Th ough not currently included in the VEF, these elements need to be considered because they may play an important role in defi ning a proposed project’s overall vulnerability.757 

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68 West, J. M., J.P. Pearce, M. Bentham, and P. Maul. 2005. Issue Profi le: Environmental Issues and the Geological Storage of CO 2 . European Environment . 15:250 – 259. West, J.M., J. Pearce, M. Bentham, C. Rochelle, and P. Maul. 2006. Environmental issues, and the geological storage of CO 2 – a European perspective. Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies . Trondheim, Norway, June 2006. Wildenborg, A.F.B., A.L. Leijnse, E. Kreft, M.N. Nepveu, A.N.M. Obdam, B. Orlic, E.L. Wipfl er, B. van der Grift, W. van Kesteren, I. Gaus, I. Czernichowski-Lauriol, P. Torfs, and Wojcik, R. 2005. Risk Assessment Methodology for CO 2 Storage: Th e Scenario Approach. In Results from the CO 2 Capture Project. V 2: Geologic Storage of Carbon Dioxide with Monitoring and Verifi cation , S.M. Benson (ed.). Elsevier, London, UK, 1293-1316. Wilkens S.J. and S.J. Naruk. 2007. Quantitative analysis of slip-induced dilation with application of fault seal. AAPG Bulletin 91:97

− 113. Wilson, E.J. 2004. Managing the Risks of Geologic Carbon Sequestration: A Regulatory and Legal Analysis. PhD thesis, Carnegie Mellon University. Wo, S. and J.T. Liang. 2005. CO 2 storage in coalbeds: CO 2 /N 2 injection and outcrop seepage modeling, carbon dioxide capture for storage in deep geologic formations. In Results from the CO 2 Capture Project, v. 2: Geologic Storage of Carbon Dioxide with Monitoring and Verifi cation , S.M. Benson (ed.). Elsevier Science, London, UK, 897–924. Wo, S., Liang, J. and L.R. Myer. 2005. CO 2 Storage in Coalbeds: Risk Assessment of CO 2 and Methane Leakage. In Results from the CO 2 Capture Project. V 2: Geologic Storage of Carbon Dioxide with Monitoring and Verifi cation , S.M. Benson (ed.). Elsevier, London, UK, 1263-1292. Xu, T., J.A. Apps, and K. Pruess. 2003. Reactive geochemical transport simulation to study mineral trapping for CO 2 disposal in deep arenaceous formations. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(B2): 2071–2084. Zhang, Y., C.M. Oldenburg, S. Finsterle, and G.S. Bodvarsson. 2006. System-level modeling for geological storage of CO 2 . In Proceedings: TOUGH Symposium 2006 . May 15-17. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA. Q. Zhou, J. Birkholzer, C.-F. Tsang, and J. Rutqvist. 2008. A method for quick assessment of CO 2 storage capacity in closed and semi-closed saline formations. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Paper LBNL-63820. Zhou, W., M. Stenhouse, M. Sheppard, and F. Walton. 2004. Th eme 4: Long-term risk assessment of the storage site. In IEA-GHG Weyburn CO 2 Monitoring and Storage Project Summary Report 2000-2004, Wilson, M., and Monea, M. (ed.)

. 211–268. Petroleum Technology Research Centre, Regina, Canada.69 

# GLOSSAR Y Te rm D e fi nition
A

bandoned W ell A w ell that is no longer in use and has been closed accor ding to standar diz ed pr ocedur es, which may often include placing cement or mechanical plugs in all or par t of the w ell.

A

dsorption Th e adhesion of molecules on the sur face of a solid or a liquid. Ar tifi cial P enetration M an-made per forations that penetrate the subsur face (e.g., w ells, bor eholes, and mines). A

quifer An undergr ound geological formation or gr oup of formations, containing

water . A quifers ar e sour ces of gr oundwater for w ells and springs.
A

ttribute A characteristic of the geologic system that may infl uence the vulnerability to adv erse impacts. G eologic attributes ar e characteristics that can aff ect the vulnerability to unanticipated migration, leakage, or pr essur e changes.

B o r ehole A hole drilled into the subsur face, typically to collect soil samples, water samples or r ock cor es. A bor ehole may be conv er ted to a w ell b y installing a

v e r tical pipe (casing) and w ell scr een to keep the bor ehole fr om caving.
B rine W ater containing a high concentration of dissolv ed salts. Bu ff ering C apacity A measur e of the ability of a solution to r esist change in pH when acid or base ar e added.
C apillary E ntry P r essur e Th e additional pr essur e needed for a liquid or gas to enter a por e occupied b y a diff er ent phase. F or example, for CO2 to displace water and enter the por es of the confi ning system. C apillary T rapping R etention of CO2 in por e spaces b y capillar y for ces. C apr ock S ee confi ning system. C arbon D i o xide C aptur e And S torage A climate change mitigation strategy that inv olv es capturing CO2 emissions fr om large stationar y sour ces, transpor ting the CO2 to a storage location, and sequestering the CO2 for long periods of time. Closed S ystem A system wher e elev ated pr essur e lev els associated with the injection of CO2 do not dissipate to backgr ound lev els, but r emain elev ated at its physical boundaries, and may r emain elev ated for a long period of time after injection stops. C O2 P lume Th e extent, in thr ee dimensions, of an injected carbon dio xide str eam. C O2 S patial Ar ea O f E

valuation Th e CO2 spatial ar ea of ev aluation is delineated based on potential adv erse impacts r esulting fr om unanticipated migration or leakage. Th e CO2 spatial ar ea of ev aluation is typically larger than the CO2 plume, because unanticipated migration or leakage of CO2 right along the boundar y of the plume may aff ect ar eas bey ond the plume.
C O2 S t r eam Th e content of the CO2 str eam captur ed fr om large point sour ces for injection. Th e CO2 str eam may include trace amount of impurities in addition to CO2.glossary

70 Confi ning S ystem Th e confi ning system is a geologic formation, gr oup of formations (e.g., shale or siltstone), or par t of a formation that is composed of impermeable or distinctly less permeable material stratigraphically o v erlying the injection

z one that acts as a barrier to the up war d fl o w of fl uids.
Corr ectiv e A ction Use of methods to assur e that w ells do not ser v e as conduits for unanticipated migration or leakage.

C ultural/R ecr eational C ultural r esour ces include gathering places for human populations, R

esour ces including places of ar chaeological, historic, or natural signifi cance; American I ndian r esour ces, cemeteries and paleontological r esour ces. R

ecr eational r esour ces include ecological featur es that pr o vide fi shing, hunting, and hiking to the public.

Di p Th e angle betw een a planar featur e, such as a sedimentar y bed or a fault, and the horiz ontal plane. D issolution Rate Th e rate at which a substance is dissolv ed in a fl uid.

D issolution T rapping Th e trapping of CO2 when it contacts the fl uid formation and dissolv es into the fl uid. Also r eferr ed to as solubility trapping

D ownhole I njection I njection pr essur e at the point wher e CO2 exits the w ell and is intr oduced P r essur e to the injection z one formation(s).
E conomic R esour ces S u r face and subsur face r esour ces with economic v alue, including mineral and hy dr ocarbon r eser v oirs, for ests, and cr oplands. E ndangerment Th e constr uction, operation, maintenance, conv ersion, plugging, or abandonment of an injection w ell, or the per formance of other injection activities, b y an o wner or operator in a manner that allo ws the mo v ement of fl uid containing any contaminant into a USD W , if the pr esence of that contaminant may cause a violation of any primar y drinking water

r egulations or may adv ersely aff ect the health of persons. E nhanced Coal Bed Th e pr ocess of injecting a gas (e.g., CO2) into coal, wher e it is adsorbed to M ethane R eco v

e ry the coal sur face and methane is r eleased. Th e methane can be captur ed and pr oduced for economic purposes; when CO2 is injected, it adsorbs to the

sur face of the coal, wher e it r emains sequester ed.

E nhanced G as T ypically , the pr ocess of injecting a fl uid (e.g., water , brine, or CO2) into R

eco v

e ry a gas bearing formation to r eco v er r esidual natural gas. Th e injected fl uid thins (decr eases the viscosity) or displaces small amounts of extractable gas, which is then av ailable for r eco v e r y
.
E nhanced O il T ypically , the pr ocess of injecting a fl uid (e.g., water , brine, or CO2) into R

eco v

e ry an oil bearing formation to r eco v er r esidual oil. Th e injected fl uid thins (decr eases the viscosity) or displaces small amounts of extractable oil, which is then av ailable for r eco v e r y
.glossary

71 F ault F aults ar e br eaks in the Ear th ’s cr ust that occur as a r esult of when the

cr ustal r ock is either compr essed or pulled apar t. F aults may either ser v e as barriers or conduits to fl uid fl o w , depending upon whether they ar e transmissiv e or sealed.
F lux Rate Th e rate of transfer of fl uid, par ticles, or energy acr oss a giv en ar ea.
F o rmation A body of r ock of considerable extent with distinctiv e characteristics that allo w geologists to map , describe, and name it.
F

ractur e A separation or discontinuity plane in a geologic formation, such as a joint that divides a r ock segment into two or mor e pieces. F ractur es can be caused b y str ess ex ceeding the r ock str ength.
F

ractur e/F ault Th e geologic formation pr essur e thr eshold that when achiev ed will cause r e R

eactivation P r essur e opening of a sealed fault or fractur e. G eochemical P r ocess G eochemical pr ocesses r efer to chemical r eactions that may cause alterations in mineral phases. G eologic Th e pr ocess of injecting captur ed CO2 into deep , subsur face r ock S equestration formations for long-term storage. Th is term does not apply to its captur e or transpor t. G eomechanical P r ocesses that may r esult in alterations in the str uctural integrity of geologic P r ocesses material. GS S ystem A system that is comprised of the confi ning system, the CO2 str eam, and the injection z one. GS F o otprint Th e ar eal extent of the CO2 plume and associated pr essur e fr ont.
H

yper capnia A physical condition inv olving an ex cessiv e amount of CO2 in the blood.

I mpact C a tegory T erm for classifying gr oups that might experience adv erse impacts. I mpact categories include human health and w elfar e, atmospher e, ecological

r eceptors, sur face and gr ound water , and the geospher e. I njection Th e subsur face discharge of fl uids thr ough a w ell.
I njection Z one A geologic formation, gr oup of formations, or par t of a formation of suffi cient ar eal extent, thickness, por osity , and permeability to accommodate CO2 injection v olume and injection rate.
I njectivity I njectivity characteriz es the ease with which fl uid can be injected into a geological formation. Lateral E xtent Th e sur face ar ea of the confi ning system that o v erlies the GS footprint. Leakage Th e mo v ement of CO2 (or other fl uids and gases) to the sur face (for example, to the atmospher e or oceans). Legislativ ely P r otected S pecies designated as thr eatened or endanger ed b y S tate and federal S pecies go v ernment authorities.glossary

72 M easur ement, Collectiv ely , a compr ehensiv e pr otocol for pr o viding an accurate accounting M onitoring, And of stor ed CO2. V

erifi cation

M echanical I ntegrity Th e absence of fl uid-conducting openings within the injection tubing, casing, or packer (kno wn as internal mechanical integrity), or outside of the casing (kno wn as external mechanical integrity).

M echanical I ntegrity E v aluations used to confi rm that a w ell maintains internal and external T

est mechanical integrity . Th ese tests ar e a means of measuring the adequacy of the constr uction of an injection w ell.
M igration S ubsur face mo v ement of CO2 (or other fl uids) within or out of the injection z one. M ineral T rapping When injected CO2 r eacts with the formation waters and/or formation

r ocks to form carbon-containing minerals such as carbonates, ther eb y eff ectiv ely r etaining the CO2 in the formation.

M ineralization Th e chemical pr ocess inv olving the r eaction of CO2 with the formation waters and/or formation r o cks to form carbon-containing minerals such as carbonates.

M ineralogy Th e mineral content of a r ock or geologic formation. E v aluating mineralogy can help determine whether metal and metalloid-bearing mineral phases (e.g., metal o xides, sulfi des, carbonates) ar e pr esent.
M olar V olume Th e v olume occupied b y one mole of a substance (chemical element or chemical compound) at a giv en temperatur e and pr essur e. M onitoring E mplo ying v arious technologies for the purposes of measuring quantities of injected CO2, tracking the location and mo v ement of injected CO2 and other fl uids, ensuring the eff ectiv eness of injection w ells, assessing the integrity of abandoned w ells.

O pen S ystem A system in which pr essur e lev els associated with injection of CO2 dissipate to backgr ound lev els befor e r eaching the physical boundaries of the system.

O ther S ensitiv e E cological r eceptors that may be sensitiv e to exposur e to CO2, other str eam R

eceptors constituents, brine, or other fl uids that may r esult fr om GS activities but ar e not legislativ ely pr otected. Th ese r eceptors may be vulnerable either because of their behavior (e.g., soil-dw elling organisms) or because their physiology makes them unusually sensitiv e to incr eased concentrations of r eleased substances.

P acker A mechanical device set immediately abo v e the injection z one that seals the outside of the tubing to the inside of the long string casing. A packer may be a simple mechanically set r ubber device or a complex concentric seal assembly

.glossary

73 P e rmeability Th e ability of a geologic material to allo w transmission of fl uid thr ough por e spaces.
P

e rmit An authorization, license, or equiv alent contr ol document issued b y EP A or a S tate to operate an injection w ell. P ermits may be individual permits (co v ering a single w ell) or ar ea permits (co v ering multiple w ells in one ar ea).

P hysical C apacity Th e v olume within a geologic formation that is av ailable to accept CO2.

P hysical T rapping When injected CO2 rises o wing to its r elativ e buo yancy or the applied injection pr essur e, and r eaches a physical barrier that inhibits fur ther up war d migration.
P lugging Th e act or pr ocess of stopping the fl o w of water , oil or gas into or out of a formation thr ough a bor ehole or w ell penetrating that formation.

P

opulations Co v

e r ed A series of ex ecutiv e or ders r equir e pr oposed federal r egulations and B

y

E

xecutiv e O r ders pr ograms to specifi cally addr ess potential impacts to envir onmental justice populations, childr en, and tribal go v ernments.
P

o r eS pace O pen spaces in r ock or soil. I n the subsur face, these ar e typically fi lled with

water , brine (i.e., salty fl uid), or other fl uids such as oil and methane.
P

o r osity A measur e of the per centage of a r ock that is occupied b y por e space.
P r ecipitate A solid separated fr om a solution, especially as the r esult of a chemical

r eaction (i.e., the r eaction of minerals within the confi ning system with CO2 and salt ions).

P r efer ential When micr opor es in cer tain geologic formations tend to adsorb CO2 and A

dsorption T rapping displace other pr esent gases to which they hav e a lo w er affi nity

. P r essur e Change A change in for ce per unit ar ea. P r essur e changes ar e likely to be associated with the injection of CO2 into the subsur face.
P r essur e E quilibration A state of balance achiev ed when formation pr essur e lev els r eached during injection r eturn to the original formation pr essur e lev els.

P r essur e S patial Ar ea Th e pr essur e spatial ar ea of ev aluation is delineated based on the potential O f E

valuation for subsur face pr essur e changes that ar e suffi ciently signifi cant to cause adv erse impacts to o v erlying r eceptors (e.g., fl uid displacement into an

o v erlying aquifer).
P r otected O r S ensitiv e D rinking water supplies that ar e vulnerable to endangerment or D rinking W ater contamination. S upplies
R

eceptor A sur face or undergr ound featur e whose pr esence within the CO2 and pr essur e spatial ar eas of r evie w could aff ect the vulnerability of adv erse impacts in the ev ent of unanticipated migration, leakage, or pr essur e changes.
R

egional Gr oundwater Th e dir ection and rate of gr oundwater mo v ement in the subsur face. Fl owglossary

74 R elease Another term for leakage, the mo v ement of CO2 (or other fl uids) to the

sur face (for example, to the atmospher e or oceans).

R

emediation Th e pr ocess of corr ecting any sour ce of failur e to stop or contr ol undesir ed CO2 mo v ement if it occurs.

R

esidual W ater R etainment of water in por e space due to capillar y for ces. S aturation

Risk A ssessment An appr oach to measuring the pr obability and sev erity of consequences.

S afe D rinking W ater Th e main federal law that ensur es the quality of Americans ’ drinking water

. Ac t Th e S afe D rinking W ater Act sets the frame wor k for the Undergr ound I njection Contr ol P r ogram to contr ol the injection of fl uids. EP A and states implement the UNDER GR OUND INJECTION CONTR OL P r ogram, which sets standar ds for safe injection practices and bans cer tain types of injection.

S eismic A ctivity S eismic activity is defi ned as the shifting of the Ear th ’s sur face due to changes at depth. I ncr eased seismic activity can lead to ear thquakes.

S eismic T echnology A monitoring appr oach that inv olv es measuring the v elocity and absorption of energy wav es thr ough r ock and pr o vide a pictur e of undergr ound layers of r ocks and r eser v oirs.
S eismicity Th e episodic occurr ence of natural or human-induced ear thquakes.

S tratigraphic P osition Th e or der and r elativ e arrangement of a specifi c layer of r ock that is

r ecogniz ed as a cohesiv e unit based on lithology , fossil content, age, or other pr oper ties.

S trike Th e line r epr esenting the intersection of a planar featur e with the horiz ontal.

S ubsidence Lo w ering, or “ sinking, ” of geologic formations due to dissolution of formation minerals. D issolution of formation materials can r esult fr om CO2 acidifi cation of formation waters.

S uper critical F luid A fl uid abo v e its critical temperatur e (31.1 degr ees Celsius for CO2) and critical pr essur e (73.8 bar for CO2). S uper critical fl uids hav e physical pr oper ties intermediate to those of gases and liquids.

T

ectonic A ctivity N atural activity inv olving str uctural changes to the Ear th ’s geology

. T

otal D issolv ed S olids Th e measur ement, usually in mg/L for the amount of all inorganic and organic substances suspended in liquid as molecules, ions, or granules. F or injection operations, TDS typically r efers to the saline (i.e., salt) content of water-saturated undergr ound formations.glossary

75 T racer A chemical compound or isotope added in small quantities to trace fl ow patterns.
T

rapping M echanism A physical or geochemical featur e in the geologic system that r etains injected CO2, immobilizing it under thick, lo w-permeability seals or b y
conv er ting it to solid minerals.
T

rav el T ime Th e inter v al of time that is r equir ed for a fl uid (e.g., CO2 or brine) to migrate acr oss the thickness of the confi ning system.
T

ubing A small-diameter pipe installed inside the casing of a w ell. T ubing conducts injected fl uids fr om the w ellhead at the sur face to the injection z one and pr otects the long-string casing of a w ell fr om corr osion or damage b y the injected fl uids.
U

ndergr ound S o ur ce O f D rinking W ater An aquifer or por tion of an aquifer that supplies any public water system or that contains a suffi cient quantity of gr ound water to supply a public water system, and curr ently supplies drinking water for human consumption, or that contains fe w er than 10,000 mg/l total dissolv ed solids and is not an

ex empted aquifer

. U

plift Rising of geologic formations due to incr eased por e pr essur e fr om injection. V

ulnerability A

ssessment An appr oach to examining conditions that lead to incr eased or decr eased susceptibility to consequences.

W ater Q u ality Th e characteristics of a sour ce of water that determine its usefulness for a specifi c purpose. W ell A bor ed, drilled, or driv en shaft or a dug hole whose depth is gr eater than the largest sur face dimension. W ells can be used for pr oduction, injection, or monitoring purposes.
W ellbor e S ee bor ehole.A

76 

# APPENDIX A

Properties of Carbon Dioxide (CO2)
Th is appendix provides a brief overview of the physical and chemical properties of CO2 and a description of the supercritical phase in which CO2 will be injected for GS. Th e properties discussed in this section are important considerations addressed in the VEF. 

## Physical Properties of CO2
Carbon dioxide typically exists as a gas at normal pressure and temperature (i.e., at the earth’s surface). It can be processed into a solid (i.e., dry ice) at temperatures below -55°C (-67°F). At very high pressure, CO2 may exist as a solid, liquid, or a supercritical fl uid. A substance may be a supercritical fl uid at high pressure and temperature when the gaseous and liquid phases have the same density and cannot be further compressed with additional pressure. Carbon dioxide exists as a supercritical fl uid at temperatures greater than 31.3°C and pressures greater than 73.9 bar (IPCC, 2005).


## Chemical Properties of CO2
Carbon dioxide is soluble in water, forming carbonate ions and acidity [CO2 (g) +H2O => H2CO3 (aqueous) => HCO3- + H + => CO3 2- + 2H + ] (IPCC, 2005, Chapter 6). Th e solubility decreases with increasing temperature and salinity and increases with increasing pressure. Solid hydrates may form in aqueous solutions of CO2 at high pressure and temperatures below 11°C (IPCC, 2005).



## Characteristics of Supercritical CO2
Supercritical CO2 is approximately one order of magnitude less viscous than water and oil and is highly mobile (Oldenburg et al., 2002a; GEO-SEQ Project Team, 2004; Wilson, 2004). Supercritical CO2 is less dense and more buoyant than oil and 30% to 50% more buoyant than saltwater (Benson et al., 2002; GEO-SEQ Project Team, 2004; Wilson, 2004). As a result, injected supercritical CO2 will rise to the top of depleted oil or deep saline Figure A.1. Phase Diagram for CO2A appendix a

77 formations. In contrast, supercritical CO2 is denser than natural gas, and will sink when injected in depleted gas reservoirs. As temperature increases, the density of supercritical CO2 decreases at a given pressure, but increases with increasing pressure at a given temperature. Similarly, the viscosity of supercritical CO2 decreases with increasing temperature at a given pressure, but increases with increasing pressure at a given temperature. As temperature and pressure increase with subsurface depth, the density and viscosity of supercritical CO2 injected will be determined by the specifi c pressure and temperature conditions (Haszeldine, 2006). Finally, when CO2 dissolves, it shares the physical properties of the substrate (e.g., saltwater) and no longer behaves independently (IPCC, 2005).B

78 

# APPENDIX B Comparison of Attributes: VEF, IPIECA, and IPCC
Th e VEF geologic attributes are similar to characteristics identifi ed in GS summaries by IPCC (2006) and IPIECA (2007) as shown in the table below. However, there are two discrepancies between the IPCC and IPIECA summaries and the VEF. First, in the VEF, the seismic and volcanic risks in a proposed project area must be explicitly identifi ed and considered. Th is potential pathway is not explicitly addressed in the IPCC and IPIECA guidelines, although their recommended consideration of faults and fractures would presumably include consideration of seismically active areas. Second, the IPCC recommendations explicitly request consideration of potential methane displacement from GS projects. In the VEF this is not explicitly addressed by a specifi c attribute. Rather, the VEF addresses this potential release as part of the CO2 and Pressure Areas of Evaluation processes consideration of substances that could be released.

T

able B.1. Comparison of A ttributes/P athways I dentifi ed as Being Likely to Aff ect U

nanticipated M igration or Leakage fr om GS P r ojects VEF geologic attributes IP IECA storage site attributes a IPC C potential emissions pathways and sour ces b Lateral extent (of the confi ning system) Eff ectiv e seal pr o vided b y

o v erlying capr ock. Local absence of cap r ock.

Th r ough the por e system in lo w permeability cap Capillar y entr y pr essur e r ocks if the capillar y entr y pr essur e is ex ceeded or if the CO2 is in a solution.
P ermeable distribution is suitable Th r ough the por e system in lo w permeability cap P ermeability for both injection and post- r ocks if the capillar y entr y pr essur e is ex ceeded or if injection CO2 migration. the CO2 is in a solution.

Ar tifi cial penetrations (i.e.,

w ells, mines) N e w and existing w ells will not compr omise the integrity of the (capr ock) seal. O perational or abandoned w ells or futur e mining of CO2 r eser v oir

.

G eomechanical pr ocesses or pr oper ties T rapping mechanisms (capillar y , solubility , and mineralization) ar e eff

ectiv e. CO2/water/r ock r eactions degrade cap r ock.

Likelihood of contacted faults F aults/fractur e z ones r eactiv ating and potential for N atural or induced faults and/or fractur es. existing fractur es to r e-open. Ear thquakes, v olcanoes, hot spots

P hysical capacity (of the injection z one) Su ffi cient storage capacity

. R eser v oir o v erfi lling r esults in r elease fr om a spill point.

a. S our ce: B ulleted list in on page 23 of IP IECA (2007).
b

. S our ce: T able 5.3 in IPCC (2006).