Statistical evaluation of the May 15 - September 29, 2002 BaseB1 CMAQ simulation across the OTR

 (including all of VA)

Daily maximum 8-hour O3 at SLAMS/NAMS (208 sites) and other special sites (28)

Daily averages computed from hourly data, require at least 16 valid hours per day

 (unless the daily max concentration was at least 85 ppb)

July 6-9 data were excluded because of the influence of the Quebec forest fires

Only those predictions from hours with valid observed concentrations were included here

Statistics were generated using two minimum thresholds of observed daily max O3 - 40 & 60 ppb

A majority of the sites are SLAMS/NAMS, but special sites are included as well

 (e.g. CASTNet, AIRMAP sites in NH, Pinnacle State Park in NY, and Harvard Forest in MA)

Site names: AQS name + parameter occurrence code (or descriptive CASNet name)

Statistics:

observed average

predicted average

coefficient of determination, R2

normalized mean error

root mean square error

fractional gross error

mean absolute gross error

mean normalized gross error

mean bias

mean normalized bias

mean fractionalized bias

normalized mean bias

Statistics are organized two ways - "by date" (consider all valid observed/predicted data pairs at all

 sites on a given day) and "by site" (consider all valid days at a given site)

Note that for statistics generated on relatively low-O3 days, there may only be a handful of sites

 that exceed the assumed threshold; consider the number of data points when examining the

 statistics on such days
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

20020515 50.43 41.31 0.57 18.14 9.85 20.04 9.15 17.98 -9.12 -17.91 -19.97 -18.08 191

20020516 62.97 52.26 0.303 17.59 12.94 19.82 11.08 17.46 -10.71 -16.8 -19.18 -17.01 197

20020517 54.41 48.25 0.352 12.97 9.54 13.6 7.06 12.25 -6.16 -10.33 -11.76 -11.32 177

20020518 41.47 36.23 0.125 14.82 6.91 16.05 6.14 14.71 -5.23 -12.43 -13.93 -12.62 25

20020519 44.79 42.57 0.209 7.68 4.28 8.06 3.44 7.69 -2.22 -4.88 -5.37 -4.95 161

20020520 45.02 44.91 0.26 5.65 3.31 5.63 2.55 5.61 -0.1 0.03 -0.23 -0.23 148

20020521 43.51 43.36 0.386 12.03 6.16 12.79 5.23 12.3 -0.14 -0.59 -1.73 -0.32 61

20020522 48.01 42.97 0.007 12.68 7.65 13.48 6.09 12.29 -5.04 -9.98 -11.26 -10.51 171

20020523 60.84 55.15 0.149 11.51 8.33 12.13 7 11.33 -5.69 -8.84 -9.8 -9.35 198

20020524 72.6 60.74 0.52 17.5 14.54 19.89 12.71 17.66 -11.86 -16.24 -18.61 -16.34 202

20020525 53.92 47.34 0.465 14.78 9.74 15.95 7.97 14.48 -6.57 -11.55 -13.19 -12.19 170

20020526 53.3 59.31 0.394 18.35 13.69 16.09 9.78 18.32 6 11.51 8.73 11.26 146

20020527 56.16 56.32 0.152 11.76 8.13 11.91 6.61 12.1 0.16 1.71 0.59 0.28 183

20020528 50.36 52.16 0.018 12.46 7.9 12.12 6.27 12.8 1.81 5.05 3.8 3.59 140

20020529 50.23 51.73 0.337 9.78 6.23 9.64 4.91 10.01 1.49 3.67 2.88 2.97 132

20020530 51.67 57.27 0.238 13.89 9.18 13.09 7.17 14.58 5.6 11.99 10.37 10.84 123

20020531 56.75 58.94 0.325 10.52 7.63 10.45 5.97 10.91 2.2 4.72 3.79 3.87 178

20020601 66.32 57.3 0.595 15.29 11.86 17.5 10.14 15.64 -9.02 -13.98 -15.94 -13.6 195

20020602 53.54 45.48 0.587 15.69 10.54 18.03 8.4 15.78 -8.06 -15.17 -17.43 -15.05 188

20020603 49.27 39.69 0.461 19.89 11.18 22.54 9.8 19.66 -9.58 -19.2 -22.1 -19.45 173

20020604 57.96 53.27 0.317 15.65 11.44 16.54 9.07 15.71 -4.69 -7.23 -9.29 -8.08 190

20020605 62.7 66.52 0.473 13.98 11.02 14.15 8.76 15.18 3.83 7.66 5.85 6.1 192

20020606 56.66 56.32 0.355 12 9.43 11.84 6.8 12.14 -0.34 0.75 -0.59 -0.6 83

20020607 49.17 46.88 0.271 9.48 5.94 9.95 4.66 9.5 -2.28 -4.22 -4.99 -4.64 120

20020608 55.49 54.96 0.573 8.8 6.25 8.81 4.88 8.73 -0.53 -0.68 -1.29 -0.95 176

20020609 67.73 67.06 0.443 10.08 8.86 10.38 6.83 10.46 -0.67 -0.31 -1.26 -0.99 199

20020610 70.07 68.03 0.728 13.67 11.32 14.95 9.58 14.67 -2.04 -2.53 -4.11 -2.91 176

20020611 85.5 81.06 0.444 12 12.89 12.9 10.26 12.38 -4.43 -4.34 -5.68 -5.18 178

20020612 65.5 60.51 0.397 13.33 11.29 13.77 8.73 13.44 -4.99 -5.54 -7.13 -7.62 145

20020613 50.45 49.71 0.176 14.67 9.18 14.55 7.4 14.58 -0.74 1 -0.52 -1.47 36

20020614 49.83 50.96 0.406 8.92 5.87 8.92 4.45 9.01 1.13 3.13 2.5 2.26 42

20020615 45.67 49.66 0.287 13.1 7.46 12.23 5.98 13.22 3.99 8.82 7.57 8.74 69

20020616 51.34 51.78 0.466 8.62 5.81 8.92 4.43 9 0.45 1.16 0.44 0.88 122

20020617 51.82 48.5 0.409 12.19 8.25 13.34 6.32 12.46 -3.31 -6.22 -7.67 -6.4 154

20020618 56.53 53.51 0.344 12.17 8.65 12.61 6.88 12.05 -3.02 -4.65 -5.84 -5.34 164

20020619 60.84 59.36 0.184 13.89 10.71 14.03 8.45 14.05 -1.48 -0.91 -2.44 -2.44 172
20020620 69.04 66.49 0.147 14.92 12.48 15.51 10.3 15.44 -2.55 -2.07 -3.87 -3.7 205

20020621 76.77 72.01 0.428 12.37 11.35 13.05 9.5 12.67 -4.76 -5.16 -6.37 -6.2 203

20020622 76.49 72.37 0.526 13.31 12.62 14.43 10.18 14.18 -4.11 -3.56 -5.17 -5.38 195

20020623 74.65 75.35 0.576 10.9 10.77 11.27 8.14 11.68 0.7 2.43 1.21 0.94 194

20020624 70.52 68.4 0.831 9.87 9.18 10.22 6.96 10.05 -2.12 -2.11 -2.99 -3.01 185

20020625 77.51 69.23 0.592 17.1 16.15 19.42 13.26 18.09 -8.28 -9.37 -12.09 -10.68 195

20020626 72.25 77.75 0.255 17.23 16.69 16.32 12.45 18.11 5.5 9.52 6.86 7.62 190

20020627 62.96 64.41 0.572 9.92 7.82 10.05 6.25 10.44 1.45 3.37 2.52 2.3 192

20020628 49.58 53.25 0.355 13.4 8.21 12.91 6.64 13.56 3.66 7.6 6.26 7.39 154

20020629 54.11 50.38 0.483 13 9.26 13.8 7.04 12.82 -3.73 -6.56 -8.02 -6.9 158

20020630 66.31 62.18 0.497 12.45 10.66 13.2 8.25 12.49 -4.13 -5.66 -7.04 -6.23 195

20020701 77.94 70.67 0.466 13.69 12.96 14.91 10.67 13.9 -7.27 -8.81 -10.37 -9.33 198

20020702 81.75 78.58 0.571 12.88 13.49 13.18 10.53 13.2 -3.17 -1.79 -3.29 -3.87 200

20020703 70.61 73.89 0.624 10.57 9.92 10.32 7.47 10.95 3.28 5.88 4.92 4.65 199

20020704 68.75 68.49 0.428 12.39 11.28 12.23 8.52 12.54 -0.26 0.96 -0.34 -0.38 198

20020705 53.68 53.52 0.773 10.04 6.98 10.81 5.39 10.6 -0.15 -0.77 -1.77 -0.28 118

20020706

20020707

20020708

20020709

20020710 54.4 53.3 0.468 14.05 9.63 14.49 7.64 13.93 -1.11 -2.06 -3.63 -2.04 122

20020711 47.91 39.33 0.298 19.61 10.62 22.38 9.39 19.68 -8.57 -17.91 -20.78 -17.89 122

20020712 61.85 50.66 0.583 18.62 13.37 20.89 11.52 18.37 -11.18 -17.77 -20.32 -18.08 189

20020713 67.19 60.69 0.351 14.87 12.22 16.12 9.99 14.82 -6.5 -8.88 -10.65 -9.67 203

20020714 64.48 61.96 0.456 15.38 13.16 15.91 9.92 15.66 -2.53 -3.23 -5.36 -3.92 163

20020715 68.66 66.2 0.307 15.37 12.66 15.65 10.55 15.7 -2.46 -1.02 -2.8 -3.58 197

20020716 60.93 49.54 0.769 19.54 13.3 23.05 11.91 20.07 -11.38 -19.13 -22.17 -18.68 151

20020717 76.72 65.21 0.595 17.22 16.13 18.65 13.21 16.7 -11.51 -13.94 -16.14 -15.01 187

20020718 81.15 71.52 0.655 15.04 14.55 16.71 12.21 15.27 -9.64 -11.14 -12.96 -11.87 197

20020719 71.05 64.84 0.506 15.23 13.53 16.32 10.82 15.42 -6.22 -6.86 -8.82 -8.75 165

20020720 62.74 56.02 0.555 14.06 10.46 15.37 8.82 14.23 -6.72 -9.89 -11.42 -10.7 152

20020721 65.82 61.69 0.325 14.8 11.27 15.31 9.74 14.85 -4.13 -4.33 -5.83 -6.28 184

20020722 72.23 67.36 0.247 14.83 13.14 15.54 10.72 15.11 -4.88 -4.45 -6.22 -6.75 203

20020723 63.82 63.28 0.501 11.91 9.84 12.21 7.6 12.29 -0.55 0.11 -1.15 -0.86 195

20020724 48.43 47.73 0.15 14.37 8.89 15.15 6.96 14.74 -0.7 -0.9 -2.81 -1.44 98

20020725 48.8 48.6 0.143 19.29 11.42 19.72 9.41 19.49 -0.2 0.28 -2.5 -0.41 115

20020726 50.81 50.74 0.453 15.82 10.5 16.04 8.04 16.48 -0.08 0.3 -1.95 -0.15 47
20020727 50.24 56.72 0.048 20.62 12.39 19.24 10.36 21.68 6.48 15.29 12.28 12.9 103

20020728 55.66 63.96 0.329 18.08 12.98 16.87 10.06 19.54 8.3 16.65 13.78 14.91 176

20020729 60.87 62.88 0.518 11.88 8.82 11.68 7.23 12.12 2.02 4.27 3.22 3.31 196

20020730 57.98 57.74 0.497 8.57 6.72 8.51 4.97 8.55 -0.23 -0.09 -0.73 -0.4 201

20020731 65.98 57 0.621 15.8 12.3 17.57 10.43 15.81 -8.98 -13.42 -15.35 -13.61 180

20020801 72.97 62.91 0.495 16.78 15.09 17.96 12.25 16.3 -10.06 -12.84 -14.96 -13.79 187

20020802 78.54 73.74 0.503 13.64 13.66 14.5 10.71 14.03 -4.8 -4.52 -6.2 -6.11 180

20020803 69.35 68.8 0.573 12.56 11.39 12.65 8.71 12.86 -0.54 0.12 -1.21 -0.78 198

20020804 75.89 74.17 0.552 12.41 11.73 12.88 9.42 12.78 -1.72 -1.67 -2.96 -2.26 199

20020805 66.56 67.59 0.471 14.85 12.97 14.57 9.88 14.9 1.03 1.7 -0.06 1.55 203

20020806 48.1 49.11 0.643 6.98 4.54 7.27 3.36 7.22 1.02 2.3 1.78 2.11 26

20020807 43.94 38.42 0.273 13.48 7.17 14.86 5.92 13.41 -5.53 -12.48 -13.96 -12.57 42

20020808 48.37 41.13 0.167 19.16 10.85 20.99 9.27 19.06 -7.25 -14.65 -17.3 -14.98 103

20020809 56.96 48.95 0.395 17.89 12.57 20.02 10.19 17.77 -8.01 -13.71 -16.32 -14.06 164

20020810 78.1 63.08 0.419 20.55 18.57 23.57 16.05 20.5 -15.02 -19 -22.23 -19.24 202

20020811 89.54 72.31 0.13 22.06 22.56 24.64 19.75 21.53 -17.23 -18.18 -21.57 -19.24 205

20020812 91.77 78.55 0.16 21.16 22.92 23.57 19.42 21.37 -13.22 -12.86 -16.41 -14.41 208

20020813 96.53 76.03 0.436 23 24.86 26.96 22.2 23.26 -20.49 -21.25 -25.21 -21.23 207

20020814 92.95 76.75 0.408 19.45 20.66 21.85 18.08 19.34 -16.2 -16.81 -19.55 -17.43 205

20020815 66.69 60.16 0.387 16.79 13.35 17.76 11.2 16.89 -6.53 -7.84 -9.94 -9.79 188

20020816 60.2 60.65 0.182 14.74 12.22 14.3 8.87 15.28 0.45 2.45 0.35 0.75 196

20020817 61.1 56.43 0.317 12.57 11.53 13.03 7.68 11.88 -4.68 -5.97 -7.54 -7.66 199

20020818 63.97 63.38 0.508 10.21 8.43 10.33 6.53 10.29 -0.59 -0.03 -0.9 -0.92 203

20020819 66.25 63.15 0.512 12.78 11.05 12.95 8.46 12.59 -3.1 -2.94 -4.25 -4.68 183

20020820 57.68 52.91 0.67 11.6 8.32 12.37 6.69 11.59 -4.77 -7.7 -8.81 -8.26 159

20020821 63.57 55.15 0.583 14.58 11.53 15.86 9.27 14.3 -8.42 -12.62 -14.37 -13.24 175

20020822 68.79 59.84 0.428 17.2 13.79 19.28 11.83 17.47 -8.95 -12.49 -14.85 -13.01 198

20020823 54.58 55.6 0.466 14.09 9.64 13.62 7.69 14.09 1.02 3.92 2.51 1.87 144

20020824 54.58 60.42 0.286 17.17 11.95 16.54 9.37 18.23 5.84 12.15 9.64 10.71 102

20020825 50.66 51.36 0.583 8.79 5.67 8.84 4.45 8.92 0.7 1.56 0.92 1.38 158

20020826 50.98 46.62 0.309 14.38 9.22 15.48 7.33 14.44 -4.36 -8.29 -10.06 -8.56 144

20020827 56.11 47.16 0.281 19.72 13.27 22.14 11.07 19.63 -8.95 -15.24 -18.43 -15.96 138

20020828 46.96 44.65 0.114 12.81 7.61 13.61 6.01 13.04 -2.3 -4.28 -5.74 -4.91 46

20020829 47 36.11 0.239 23.68 12.58 28.09 11.13 23.79 -10.89 -23.28 -27.6 -23.18 25

20020830 47.28 39.86 0.494 16.18 8.65 17.58 7.65 15.83 -7.42 -15.26 -17.03 -15.69 42

20020831 49.84 41.29 0.194 18.38 11.69 21.67 9.16 18.38 -8.55 -17.01 -20.35 -17.15 63

20020901 45.12 37.76 0.047 16.69 10.21 17.68 7.53 15.46 -7.36 -15.03 -17.26 -16.3 24
20020902 50.19 44.53 0.676 12.99

8 14.64 6.52 13.15 -5.67 -11.25 -12.83 -11.29 48

20020903 57.21 62.44 0.411 13.39 9.96 12.92 7.66 14.07 5.23 9.93 8.38 9.14 150

20020904 59.94 67.95 0.444 15.14 11.83 14.66 9.08 16.71 8.01 15.16 13 13.36 175

20020905 50.17 49.87 0.662 8.42 5.36 8.56 4.22 8.46 -0.31 -0.71 -1.3 -0.61 117

20020906 48.91 47.01 0.161 13.33 7.99 13.49 6.52 13.16 -1.9 -3.11 -4.39 -3.88 163

20020907 63.37 57.81 0.503 12.35 10.09 13.58 7.83 12.5 -5.56 -8.37 -9.86 -8.77 201

20020908 71.79 63.23 0.459 14.96 14.37 15.97 10.74 14.24 -8.56 -10.83 -12.76 -11.93 203

20020909 78.37 69.35 0.314 16.54 15.95 18.11 12.96 16.52 -9.02 -10.83 -13.08 -11.5 201

20020910 79.16 67.31 0.305 21.52 19.94 23.4 17.03 21.79 -11.85 -12.14 -15.65 -14.97 168

20020911 51.3 51.89 0.327 12.86 8.75 12.6 6.6 12.67 0.59 3.37 2.11 1.15 107

20020912 45.24 48.28 0.207 11.3 6.23 10.93 5.11 11.47 3.04 7.43 6.51 6.72 91

20020913 62.72 55.6 0.416 13.78 10.38 14.98 8.64 13.73 -7.12 -10.73 -12.23 -11.35 200

20020914 60.15 60.54 0.063 22.56 15.63 22.85 13.57 23.43 0.38 5.24 1.76 0.64 182

20020915 46.75 52.32 0.094 17.55 10.16 16.1 8.2 17.87 5.57 13.69 11.53 11.91 50

20020916 48.88 47.24 0.306 10.63 6.72 11.33 5.19 10.76 -1.64 -2.88 -3.95 -3.36 91

20020917 54.07 55.67 0.311 11.63 8.15 11.48 6.29 12.13 1.6 4.56 3.36 2.96 145

20020918 57.22 54.84 0.339 15.12 11.2 15.13 8.65 14.87 -2.38 -1.23 -2.95 -4.16 142

20020919 57.26 54.92 0.145 13.19 9.66 13.53 7.55 13.27 -2.34 -2.45 -3.92 -4.09 191

20020920 53.69 53.39 0.183 11.08 7.72 11.2 5.95 11.29 -0.3 0.39 -0.71 -0.56 189

20020921 47.62 51.28 0.17 13.31 7.94 13.01 6.34 13.8 3.66 8.12 6.67 7.68 143

20020922 44.42 46.71 0.219 10.866 10.46 4.82 10.97 2.3 5.5 4.62 5.17 90

20020923 43.39 53.36 0.016 24.46 11.77 21.75 10.61 24.86 9.97 23.68 20.38 22.98 52

20020924 47.7 55.02 0.041 20.07 10.94 18.58 9.57 20.61 7.33 16.42 13.92 15.36 112

20020925 46.66 52.6 0.001 16.07 9.1 15.1 7.5 16.82 5.94 13.91 12 12.73 84

20020926 44.23 52.08 0.012 18.85 9.72 17.28 8.34 19.53 7.85 18.45 16.17 17.74 12

20020927 44.23 44.46 0.157 8.34 5.07 7.84 3.69 7.74 0.23 1.53 1.03 0.538

20020928 44.09 48.96 0.165 11.8 6.32 11.04 5.2 11.98 4.86 11.24 10.28 11.03 118

20020929 47.7 47.01 0.071 12.25 7.57 12.19 5.85 11.9 -0.69 -0.55 -1.67 -1.44 102
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, %

1100100251 62.9 66.44 0.701 11.94 9.8 11.86 7.51 12.77

1100100411 64.2 61.5 0.707 11.93 9.69 12.52 7.66 12.08

1100100431 68.04 59.39 0.75 15.07 12.6 16.57 10.26 14.85

2401700101 65.95 64.99 0.629 11.83 9.7 12.15 7.8 12.3

2402100371 64.41 63.4 0.613 11.93 9.49 12.36 7.68 12.29

2403130011 62.78 66.81 0.651 12.94 10.25 12.66 8.12 13.57

2403300021 65.53 65.74 0.666 12.41 10.06 12.61 8.13 12.82

2403380031 66.11 66.7 0.649 12.91 10.37 13.14 8.54 13.48

5101300201 68.71 63.41 0.728 12.95 11.03 13.48 8.89 12.73

5105900051 64.73 58.61 0.599 13.42 11.15 14.42 8.68 13.23

5105900181 66.19 67.67 0.592 13.67 11.7 13.74 9.05 14.63

5105900301 68.32 64.58 0.704 12.69 10.96 13.01 8.67 12.57

5105910051 68.62 65.41 0.698 12.09 10.34 12.36 8.29 12.01

5105950011 62.12 68.24 0.505 16.49 13.2 15.95 10.24 17.87

5110710051 69.62 62.61 0.67 13.57 11.83 14.11 9.44 13.18

5115300091 63.83 59.72 0.573 12.69 10.29 13 8.1 12.55

5151000091 64.61 69.04 0.638 12.77 10.92 12.77 8.25 14.14
MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

3.54 6.85 5.54 5.63 109

-2.7 -3.13 -4.35 -4.2 106

-8.65 -12.04 -13.94 -12.72 117

-0.96 0.55 -0.64 -1.46 111

-1.01 -0.22 -1.41 -1.57 115

4.03 7.6 6.25 6.42 111

0.21 1.54 0.29 0.31 109

0.6 3.38 2.1 0.9 107

-5.3 -6.33 -7.59 -7.72 111

-6.12 -8.31 -9.8 -9.46 117

1.49 4.93 3.22 2.24 107

-3.75 -3.57 -4.76 -5.48 117

-3.22 -2.94 -4.03 -4.69 106

6.12 11.99 9.61 9.86 106

-7 -8.54 -9.89 -10.06 123

-4.12 -4.23 -5.43 -6.45 119

4.43 9.2 7.5 6.85 101
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, %

0900100171 63.36 64.8 0.655 13.49 11.56 13.33 8.55 13.94 1.44 3.75 2.12 2.28

0900111231 65.16 62.01 0.655 14.87 12.4 15.43 9.69 15.35 -3.15 -2.77 -4.7 -4.83

0900130071 63.59 63.16 0.588 15.88 14.07 15.5 10.1 15.8 -0.42 -0.03 -2.18 -0.67

0900190031 65.56 65.88 0.63 13.42 12.61 13.81 8.8 14.67 0.31 2.28 0.17 0.48

0900310031 60.78 61.84 0.694 13.14 10.66 12.89 7.98 13.36 1.06 2.59 1.15 1.75

0900500051 63.23 54.24 0.606 18.4 14.64 19.93 11.64 17.75 -8.99 -12.6 -15.16 -14.22

0900700071 62.35 63.04 0.701 12.41 10.81 12.62 7.74 13.31 0.69 2.28 0.63 1.1

0900930021 65.77 68.17 0.623 15.03 13.38 14.36 9.89 15.37 2.4 5.25 3.3 3.64

0900990051 62.77 61.84 0.595 15.26 13.3 15.44 9.58 15.99 -0.93 -0.67 -2.98 -1.47

0901100081 58.11 74.3 0.53 30.48 22.7 25.9 17.71 31.94 16.19 29.51 23.28 27.87

0901310011 64.66 60.7 0.734 12.51 10.09 13.11 8.09 12.53 -3.96 -4.67 -5.92 -6.12

1000100021 63.47 60.94 0.581 11.55 9.57 11.93 7.33 11.58 -2.53 -2.12 -3.25 -3.99

1000310031 62.88 62.71 0.672 11.02 8.77 11.5 6.93 11.69 -0.17 0.78 -0.35 -0.27

1000310071 61.13 65.65 0.584 13.74 10.39 13.38 8.4 14.6 4.52 9.4 7.84 7.39

1000310101 67.05 63.34 0.683 11.54 9.9 11.89 7.74 11.57 -3.71 -4.06 -5.15 -5.53

1000310131 62.46 64.56 0.628 11.62 9.45 11.66 7.26 12.27 2.1 4.47 3.21 3.37

1000510021 63.07 58.54 0.573 12.99 10.4 13.41 8.19 12.77 -4.53 -5.21 -6.52 -7.18

1000510031 62.25 61.16 0.641 11.39 8.73 11.55 7.09 11.61 -1.08 -0.09 -1.13 -1.74

1100100251 62.9 66.44 0.701 11.94 9.8 11.86 7.51 12.77 3.54 6.85 5.54 5.63

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5110710051 69.62 62.61 0.67 13.57 11.83 14.11 9.44 13.18 -7 -8.54 -9.89 -10.06

5111300031 63.23 54.61 0.449 15.87 12.85 16.51 10.03 14.88 -8.61 -11.81 -13.68 -13.62

5113900041 58.56 55.65 0.312 13.36 10.29 13.47 7.82 13.08 -2.91 -2.93 -4.35 -4.96

5115300091 63.83 59.72 0.573 12.69 10.29 13 8.1 12.55 -4.12 -4.23 -5.43 -6.45

5116110041 62.84 57.57 0.539 12.56 10.51 12.85 7.89 12.03 -5.27 -6.72 -7.97 -8.39

5116300031 57.84 53.82 0.367 12.59 9.67 12.78 7.28 11.98 -4.02 -5.09 -6.35 -6.95

5117900011 63.75 63.78 0.693 11.01 8.87 11.15 7.02 11.33 0.02 1.73 0.76 0.03

5119700021 60.63 53.93 0.362 14.1 11.64 14.23 8.55 13.01 -6.7 -9.12 -10.64 -11.05

5151000091 64.61 69.04 0.638 12.77 10.92 12.77 8.25 14.14 4.43 9.2 7.5 6.85

5165000042 63.21 51.9 0.453 24.26 18.66 27.71 15.33 23.77 -11.31 -17.51 -22.07 -17.89

5180000041 62.62 62.3 0.656 11.88 9.13 11.83 7.44 11.99 -0.31 1.19 0.17 -0.5

5180000051 62.45 57.11 0.453 15.31 12.13 15.54 9.56 14.54 -5.35 -6.42 -8.04 -8.56
N

102

90

102

86

85

95

97

95

92

82

90

113

103

94

100

93

112

109

109

106

117

69

89

64

60

62

73

34

64

60

57

82

79

83

120

120
114

107

118

111

111

115

120

119

117

111

109

107

114

83

86

84

91

69

78

84

84

93

76

89

72

97

77

48

51

87

62

71

97

60

50

55

77
81

59

65

68

81

65

71

66

105

96

106

114

109

66

109

85

110

111

107

98

112

113

95

91

72

65

113

115

111

96

116

90

95

80

81

105

108
88

102

87

97

88

95

69

77

99

95

89

83

86

70

103

96

77

84

106

111

117

121

117

113

121

116

107

116

99

108

103

108

108

113

117

116

106
111

107

111

109

119

120

110

100

113

96

113

99

106

108

100

112

109

104

97

101

64

104

109

87

115

116

120

121

101

114

111

80

73

93

85

81

111
110

101

114

117

107

117

106

106

112

112

118

112

123

125

115

119

121

113

117

120

101

109

109

99
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

20020515 62.02 50.34 0 18.83 12.13 20.92 11.68 18.79 -11.68 -18.79 -20.92 -18.83 8

20020516 66.15 54.1 0.234 18.37 13.95 21 12.15 18.4 -12.05 -18.24 -20.85 -18.21 143

20020517 66.33 52.76 0.19 20.58 15.57 23.9 13.65 20.6 -13.56 -20.47 -23.77 -20.45 46

20020518

20020519

20020520

20020521

20020522

20020523 64.48 56.46 0.038 13.28 9.74 14.34 8.56 13.15 -8.01 -12.29 -13.51 -12.43 118

20020524 75.18 62.67 0.454 17.49 14.95 20.07 13.15 17.74 -12.51 -16.77 -19.17 -16.64 178

20020525 67.26 58.41 0.198 14.41 12.16 16.15 9.69 14.38 -8.86 -13.11 -14.93 -13.17 41

20020526 68.37 75.11 0.003 18.13 15.22 17.1 12.39 18.64 6.74 10.69 8.31 9.86 34

20020527 65.59 60.07 0.004 10.32 8.51 10.9 6.77 10.11 -5.51 -8.13 -9 -8.41 58

20020528 63.99 54.19 0.669 15.31 10.04 16.69 9.8 15.34 -9.8 -15.34 -16.69 -15.31 9

20020529 64.97 58.56 0.578 10.08 7.54 10.91 6.55 10.17 -6.41 -9.97 -10.71 -9.87 10

20020530 65.36 62.9 0.024 8.94 6.76 9.19 5.84 8.91 -2.46 -3.53 -4.08 -3.76 15

20020531 64.95 64.07 0.096 8.69 7.65 8.92 5.64 8.77 -0.88 -1.2 -1.92 -1.35 65

20020601 69.92 61.41 0.436 14 11.62 15.78 9.79 14.2 -8.51 -12.37 -14.03 -12.17 147

20020602 65.92 58.41 0.291 12.29 10.75 14.05 8.1 12.4 -7.52 -11.52 -13.19 -11.4 44

20020603 64.68 48.83 0.387 24.5 16.44 28.38 15.85 24.56 -15.85 -24.56 -28.38 -24.5 19

20020604 67.13 58.75 0.4 16.15 12.69 18.43 10.84 16.52 -8.38 -12.75 -14.91 -12.49 81

20020605 72.11 73.58 0.347 10.12 8.99 10.26 7.3 10.46 1.47 2.39 1.54 2.04 106

20020606 67.21 61.53 0.176 11.22 9.44 12.14 7.54 11.18 -5.67 -8.31 -9.42 -8.44 34

20020607 69.38 51.79 NaN 25.35 17.59 29.03 17.59 25.35 -17.59 -25.35 -29.03 -25.35 1

20020608 65.2 62.41 0.058 9.1 7.4 9.41 5.94 8.96 -2.79 -4 -4.66 -4.28 54

20020609 72.9 71.17 0.216 9.28 8.56 9.63 6.77 9.46 -1.72 -2.03 -2.76 -2.37 143

20020610 83.92 81.33 0.35 11.73 11.6 12.18 9.85 11.95 -2.59 -2.33 -3.35 -3.09 107

20020611 87.08 82.14 0.37 11.79 12.92 12.64 10.27 12 -4.93 -5.19 -6.47 -5.67 171

20020612 72.67 63.56 0.422 13.47 11.87 14.35 9.79 13.11 -9.11 -12.08 -13.44 -12.54 95

20020613 67.05 54.71 0.291 18.79 14.41 21.46 12.6 18.83 -12.34 -18.48 -21.11 -18.4 7

20020614 69.04 59.95 0.025 13.18 13.01 15.1 9.1 13.04 -9.1 -13.04 -15.1 -13.18 3

20020615

20020616 63.25 61.9 0.078 4.61 3.23 4.67 2.92 4.61 -1.35 -2.08 -2.21 -2.14 12

20020617 65.37 59.12 0.162 11.85 9.41 12.87 7.75 11.83 -6.26 -9.4 -10.54 -9.57 18

20020618 65.67 59.64 0.046 12.15 9.59 13 7.98 12.02 -6.03 -8.97 -10.1 -9.18 58

20020619 67.93 62.54 0.009 13.02 10.77 13.61 8.84 12.8 -5.39 -7.61 -8.88 -7.93 102
20020620 72.8 67.15 0.222 13.53 11.89 14.44 9.85 13.6 -5.65 -7.29 -8.71 -7.76 163

20020621 79.61 73.22 0.438 12.02 11.35 12.8 9.57 12.11 -6.39 -7.79 -8.87 -8.02 180

20020622 82.85 76.32 0.399 12.61 12.97 13.77 10.44 12.98 -6.53 -7.6 -8.99 -7.89 157

20020623 80.34 79.59 0.412 9.85 10.22 10.13 7.91 10.04 -0.75 -0.49 -1.35 -0.94 158

20020624 85.09 81.43 0.639 9.7 10.45 10.12 8.25 9.81 -3.65 -4.01 -4.82 -4.29 111

20020625 87 75.85 0.503 16.23 16.93 18.69 14.12 16.8 -11.14 -12.6 -15.03 -12.81 143

20020626 77.59 81.76 0.068 16.1 16.75 15.34 12.5 16.57 4.17 6.58 4.31 5.37 151

20020627 70.97 70.05 0.495 8.67 7.64 8.83 6.15 8.74 -0.92 -1.17 -1.76 -1.3 104

20020628 62.96 62.8 0.027 13.01 9.95 13.52 8.19 12.94 -0.16 -0.21 -1.55 -0.258

20020629 66.9 61.16 0.038 14.33 12.75 15.65 9.59 14.18 -5.74 -8.12 -10.16 -8.58 46

20020630 72.31 67.22 0.252 12.14 11.03 12.88 8.78 12.05 -5.09 -6.66 -7.88 -7.05 139

20020701 80.34 72.28 0.416 13.57 13.05 14.91 10.9 13.76 -8.06 -9.84 -11.32 -10.03 180

20020702 85.93 81.26 0.51 12.34 13.42 12.63 10.61 12.23 -4.68 -4.3 -5.52 -5.44 176

20020703 76.47 78.56 0.436 9.69 10.03 9.36 7.41 9.74 2.1 3.41 2.62 2.74 152

20020704 75.18 72.8 0.226 11.68 11.25 11.65 8.78 11.49 -2.38 -2.71 -3.74 -3.16 145

20020705 69.54 70.6 0.645 7.11 6.72 6.8 4.95 6.99 1.07 1.31 0.89 1.54 32

20020706

20020707

20020708

20020709

20020710 67.03 65.43 0.063 14.93 12.11 15.31 10.01 14.68 -1.6 -1.59 -3.22 -2.39 35

20020711 62.19 46.911 24.56 15.28 28 15.27 24.56 -15.27 -24.56 -28 -24.562

20020712 69.52 56.37 0.369 19.01 14.91 21.34 13.22 18.82 -13.15 -18.71 -21.23 -18.91 105

20020713 72.62 64 0.223 14.97 13.11 16.41 10.87 14.83 -8.62 -11.58 -13.35 -11.86 144

20020714 74.93 70.4 0.209 14.17 13.52 15.21 10.62 14.31 -4.53 -5.86 -7.62 -6.05 93

20020715 75.56 69.38 0.189 14.19 12.69 14.74 10.73 13.9 -6.18 -7.14 -8.53 -8.18 140

20020716 72.32 59.98 0.564 17.79 13.98 19.96 12.87 17.88 -12.33 -17.08 -19.21 -17.06 77

20020717 82.18 68.85 0.432 17.32 17.07 18.93 14.23 16.78 -13.33 -15.68 -17.9 -16.22 157

20020718 86.41 75.97 0.476 14.64 15.07 16.12 12.65 14.62 -10.44 -11.53 -13.24 -12.08 168

20020719 80.16 70.53 0.308 14.42 14.36 15.52 11.56 14.09 -9.63 -11.43 -13.08 -12.01 114

20020720 71.22 61.93 0.389 13.48 11.44 14.73 9.6 13.36 -9.29 -12.87 -14.26 -13.05 86

20020721 73.65 64.6 0.26 14.65 12.15 15.92 10.79 14.6 -9.06 -12.11 -13.6 -12.29 119

20020722 76.85 68.76 0.204 13.71 13 14.61 10.54 13.43 -8.09 -9.68 -11.14 -10.52 166

20020723 72.23 69.66 0.31 10.68 9.8 11.07 7.71 10.7 -2.57 -3.31 -4.25 -3.55 115

20020724 62.92 57.01 0.84 9.4 6.27 10.01 5.92 9.46 -5.92 -9.46 -10.01 -9.45

20020725 63.39 62.31 0.002 10.62 9.34 11.24 6.73 10.48 -1.08 -1.53 -2.7 -1.7 11

20020726 69.9 65.57 0.14 8.04 7.04 8.47 5.62 7.98 -4.33 -5.98 -6.52 -6.29
20020727 68.32 63.78 0.002 14.65 12.82 14.72 10.01 13.97 -4.54 -5.29 -6.86 -6.64 11

20020728 67.8 72.78 0.21 11.92 10.67 11.24 8.08 12.05 4.98 7.74 6.59 7.34 53

20020729 70.77 69.91 0.281 10.31 8.94 10.42 7.3 10.34 -0.86 -0.84 -1.66 -1.21 91

20020730 65.6 63.72 0.252 8.07 7.46 8.17 5.29 7.96 -1.88 -2.79 -3.42 -2.86 80

20020731 73.33 63.28 0.29 15.62 13.37 17.32 11.46 15.57 -10.05 -13.55 -15.42 -13.71 121

20020801 78.53 66.41 0.359 17.63 16.37 19.54 13.84 17.47 -12.13 -15.12 -17.46 -15.44 148

20020802 83.73 76.97 0.418 12.97 13.54 13.97 10.86 12.99 -6.76 -7.61 -9.03 -8.07 152

20020803 77.71 76.05 0.272 12.37 12.49 12.69 9.61 12.73 -1.66 -1.76 -3.11 -2.13 138

20020804 79.55 76.74 0.511 11.93 11.71 12.49 9.49 12.12 -2.81 -3.49 -4.66 -3.53 172

20020805 73.55 74.67 0.338 15.35 14.48 15.31 11.29 15.48 1.12 1.38 -0.5 1.53 130

20020806 61.19 64.17 1.001 4.87 3.73 4.72 2.98 4.9 2.98 4.9 4.72 4.872

20020807

20020808 62.27 45.54 0.074 26.86 17.25 31.26 16.72 26.79 -16.72 -26.79 -31.26 -26.867

20020809 66.94 56.11 0.039 17.7 14.94 20.05 11.85 17.4 -10.83 -15.81 -18.55 -16.18 69

20020810 80.75 65.11 0.267 20.73 19.17 23.9 16.74 20.78 -15.64 -19.19 -22.49 -19.37 183

20020811 90.04 72.53 0.113 22.14 22.7 24.81 19.94 21.65 -17.51 -18.49 -21.92 -19.44 202

20020812 92.84 78.72 0.173 20.98 22.94 23.51 19.48 21.04 -14.12 -14.21 -17.66 -15.21 202

20020813 96.7 75.97 0.462 22.92 24.84 26.9 22.16 23.14 -20.73 -21.59 -25.52 -21.44 206

20020814 94.02 77.61 0.331 19.36 20.78 21.64 18.2 19.18 -16.41 -16.83 -19.5 -17.46 200

20020815 75.42 65.04 0.249 15.97 14.1 17.21 12.05 15.64 -10.38 -13.17 -14.95 -13.76 120

20020816 70.13 66.23 0.094 12.64 10.77 12.97 8.87 12.48 -3.9 -4.89 -6.05 -5.57 86

20020817 71.08 61.67 0.064 15.18 15.32 17.05 10.79 14.65 -9.41 -12.57 -15.06 -13.24 98

20020818 70.8 68.33 0.346 9.43 8.66 9.63 6.68 9.23 -2.47 -3.17 -3.91 -3.49 124

20020819 74.94 68.56 0.261 12.67 12.24 13.18 9.5 12.3 -6.38 -7.87 -9.18 -8.52 119

20020820 70.02 61.96 0.366 12.39 10.11 13.42 8.67 12.35 -8.06 -11.45 -12.56 -11.51 64

20020821 70.98 60.58 0.335 15.1 12.83 16.82 10.72 14.98 -10.4 -14.47 -16.33 -14.65 111

20020822 74.35 63.82 0.251 17.01 14.52 19.14 12.64 17.21 -10.52 -13.98 -16.23 -14.15 148

20020823 75.62 66.93 0.368 14.36 12.88 14.97 10.86 13.78 -8.68 -10.37 -11.74 -11.48 29

20020824 66.63 68.06 0.217 9.1 7.73 8.98 6.06 9.14 1.43 2.25 1.59 2.15 31

20020825 66.18 63.37 0.626 7.32 5.69 7.71 4.84 7.38 -2.81 -4.37 -4.78 -4.24 11

20020826 63.67 58.29 0.003 13.34 11.03 14.58 8.49 13.23 -5.38 -8.19 -9.83 -8.44 15

20020827 66.63 53.47 0.219 19.8 14.78 22.54 13.19 19.74 -13.16 -19.7 -22.5 -19.75 47

20020828 61.75 49.23 0.995 20.28 12.67 22.52 12.52 20.2 -12.52 -20.2 -22.52 -20.282

20020829

20020830 62.94 53.31 15.32 10.11 16.79 9.64 15.36 -9.64 -15.36 -16.79 -15.322

20020831

20020901
20020902 63.86 54.94 0.082 13.96 9.63 15.13 8.92 13.9 -8.92 -13.9 -15.13 -13.96 11

20020903 66.96 68.82 0.095 8.03 7.59 8.06 5.37 8.14 1.86 3.07 2.39 2.78 55

20020904 69.11 73.48 0.212 9.21 8.71 8.85 6.36 9.42 4.38 6.61 5.85 6.33 89

20020905 65.34 66.42 0.175 7.77 6.12 7.63 5.08 7.81 1.07 1.82 1.38 1.64 12

20020906 65.07 51.87 0.274 20.28 14.21 22.93 13.19 20.22 -13.19 -20.22 -22.93 -20.28 12

20020907 70.13 63.36 0.286 11.46 9.96 12.42 8.04 11.4 -6.78 -9.55 -10.64 -9.66 126

20020908 77.54 66.81 0.284 16.27 16 18.19 12.62 16.02 -10.73 -13.38 -15.69 -13.83 158

20020909 80.83 71.31 0.187 16.18 16.03 17.69 13.08 16.01 -9.52 -11.18 -13.28 -11.78 183

20020910 85.83 69.57 0.335 21.35 20.48 24.32 18.33 21.39 -16.26 -18.63 -21.85 -18.94 137

20020911 67.91 57.68 0.14 16.66 13.97 18.9 11.31 16.56 -10.23 -14.84 -17.25 -15.06 24

20020912

20020913 68.3 59.26 0.236 13.78 11.15 15.16 9.41 13.7 -9.04 -13.14 -14.62 -13.23 127

20020914 74.51 62.1 0.135 19.83 17.44 22.33 14.78 19.59 -12.41 -16.01 -19.02 -16.65 76

20020915 66.34 54.91 0.204 17.24 13.81 18.13 11.44 16.2 -11.44 -16.2 -18.13 -17.244

20020916 62.22 54.73 0.762 12.04 8.89 13.02 7.49 11.93 -7.49 -11.93 -13.02 -12.045

20020917 64.96 60.79 0.003 10.08 7.87 10.35 6.55 9.89 -4.16 -6.02 -6.74 -6.41 43

20020918 71.19 61.05 0.015 15.86 14.25 17.29 11.29 15.32 -10.14 -13.57 -15.64 -14.25 59

20020919 67.39 57.68 0.072 14.62 11.77 16.09 9.85 14.38 -9.71 -14.15 -15.86 -14.41 69

20020920 64.11 57.37 0.182 12.56 9.65 13.81 8.05 12.61 -6.74 -10.56 -11.84 -10.52 36

20020921

20020922

20020923

20020924 63.25 52.35 0.068 20.96 14.74 24.3 13.26 21.12 -10.9 -17.2 -20.53 -17.244

20020925

20020926

20020927

20020928

20020929 65.38 46.96 0.688 28.17 21.71 33.48 18.41 27.21 -18.41 -27.21 -33.48 -28.173
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

1100100251 74.38 76.28 0.65 9.39 8.84 9.06 6.99 9.37 1.9 2.8 2.15 2.55 57

1100100411 75.67 69.81 0.698 11.36 10.41 12.02 8.6 11.28 -5.86 -7.57 -8.56 -7.74 57

1100100431 77.98 67.16 0.676 15.62 14.08 17.33 12.18 15.61 -10.82 -13.66 -15.5 -13.88 75

2401700101 74.38 69.92 0.57 11.13 9.98 11.8 8.28 11.22 -4.46 -5.62 -6.57 -5.99 74

2402100371 74.48 70.91 0.392 10.98 9.97 11.39 8.18 10.9 -3.57 -4.27 -5.19 -4.8 67

2403130011 73.19 75.51 0.462 11.19 10.57 10.87 8.19 11.3 2.32 3.24 2.24 3.17 63

2403300021 75.83 73.73 0.564 11.45 10.39 11.67 8.69 11.42 -2.11 -2.6 -3.54 -2.78 66

2403380031 77.54 73.98 0.452 11.51 11.01 11.92 8.92 11.46 -3.56 -3.87 -4.9 -4.59 64

5101300201 78.52 70.48 0.636 13.42 12.6 14.45 10.54 13.36 -8.03 -9.79 -11.16 -10.23 72

5105900051 73.99 64.55 0.471 13.88 12.94 15.32 10.27 13.71 -9.44 -12.57 -14.22 -12.75 71

5105900181 77.35 74.56 0.535 11.13 10.82 11.15 8.61 11.02 -2.79 -2.63 -3.58 -3.61 63

5105900301 78.01 71.56 0.582 12.34 12.02 12.74 9.62 11.99 -6.45 -7.42 -8.51 -8.27 78

5105910051 77.95 71.61 0.593 12.1 11.53 12.69 9.43 11.88 -6.33 -7.5 -8.59 -8.12 70

5105950011 74.21 77.69 0.305 13.05 13.08 12.66 9.68 13.54 3.49 5.59 4.06 4.7 53

5110710051 78.15 67.82 0.54 14.43 13.46 15.6 11.28 14.18 -10.33 -12.84 -14.34 -13.22 85

5115300091 74.05 65.04 0.344 13.01 12.05 13.87 9.63 12.6 -9.01 -11.7 -12.99 -12.16 69

5151000091 75.04 75.63 0.611 8.84 9.24 8.52 6.64 8.74 0.58 1.31 0.6 0.78 58
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

0900100171 78.19 77.79 0.376 13.22 13.74 13.58 10.34 13.78 -0.4 0.31 -1.36 -0.52 51

0900111231 80.93 73.43 0.592 13.46 13.21 14.46 10.89 13.44 -7.5 -8.74 -10.15 -9.27 46

0900130071 80.82 79.96 0.231 16.82 17.41 17.1 13.59 17.09 -0.86 -0.05 -2.36 -1.07 46

0900190031 80.69 78.86 0.455 11.61 13.12 12.14 9.37 12.18 -1.84 -1.76 -3.19 -2.27 45

0900310031 77.76 78.56 0.38 13.07 13.17 13.26 10.16 13.83 0.8 2.25 0.68 1.03 36

0900500051 78.78 64.54 0.447 20.07 18.6 23.09 15.81 20.17 -14.24 -17.77 -20.95 -18.07 45

0900700071 80.5 77.87 0.724 10.03 10.06 11.14 8.07 10.66 -2.63 -3.71 -4.69 -3.27 40

0900930021 83.13 83.76 0.325 14.45 15.07 14.22 12.01 14.54 0.63 1.67 0.14 0.76 45

0900990051 79.43 77.95 0.394 12.87 13.38 12.91 10.22 12.95 -1.48 -0.99 -2.4 -1.86 41

0901100081 75.45 94.35 0.176 27.63 26.64 24.4 20.85 30.34 18.9 28.1 22.05 25.05 32

0901310011 78.17 71.05 0.639 12.29 11.78 13.27 9.61 12.18 -7.12 -8.71 -9.95 -9.11 46

1000100021 73.53 66.39 0.461 11.89 11.24 13.01 8.74 11.84 -7.14 -9.47 -10.75 -9.71 64

1000310031 74.45 71.86 0.565 9.3 8.46 9.71 6.93 9.42 -2.59 -3.28 -3.98 -3.47 53

1000310071 74.24 74.82 0.358 11.06 10.01 10.82 8.21 11.04 0.58 1.66 0.78 0.78 41

1000310101 76.72 69.5 0.648 11.14 10.57 11.79 8.54 10.91 -7.22 -9.07 -10.01 -9.41 62

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5105900051 73.99 64.55 0.471 13.88 12.94 15.32 10.27 13.71 -9.44 -12.57 -14.22 -12.75 71

5105900181 77.35 74.56 0.535 11.13 10.82 11.15 8.61 11.02 -2.79 -2.63 -3.58 -3.61 63

5105900301 78.01 71.56 0.582 12.34 12.02 12.74 9.62 11.99 -6.45 -7.42 -8.51 -8.27 78

5105910051 77.95 71.61 0.593 12.1 11.53 12.69 9.43 11.88 -6.33 -7.5 -8.59 -8.12 70

5105950011 74.21 77.69 0.305 13.05 13.08 12.66 9.68 13.54 3.49 5.59 4.06 4.7 53

5106100021 71.16 63.89 0.163 12.51 10.7 13.16 8.9 12.15 -7.27 -9.67 -10.8 -10.22 53

5106900101 73.77 66.56 0.303 12.29 11.5 13.09 9.07 11.99 -7.21 -9.12 -10.37 -9.77 58

5108500031 75.51 65.65 0.313 15.49 14.7 16.5 11.7 14.83 -9.86 -12.16 -13.96 -13.06 78

5108700141 74.76 65.49 0.572 13.74 13.14 15.44 10.27 13.74 -9.28 -12.33 -14.09 -12.41 71

5110710051 78.15 67.82 0.54 14.43 13.46 15.6 11.28 14.18 -10.33 -12.84 -14.34 -13.22 85

5111300031 72.29 58.2 0.289 19.59 16.21 21.97 14.16 19.23 -14.09 -19.12 -21.86 -19.49 72

5113900041 70.87 61.47 0.027 15.25 13.45 16.5 10.81 14.8 -9.4 -12.61 -14.44 -13.26 44

5115300091 74.05 65.04 0.344 13.01 12.05 13.87 9.63 12.6 -9.01 -11.7 -12.99 -12.16 69

5116110041 73.4 63.63 0.277 13.72 12.77 14.75 10.07 13.26 -9.78 -12.84 -14.34 -13.32 64

5116300031 68.56 58.22 0.047 15.93 13.02 17.35 10.92 15.51 -10.34 -14.6 -16.48 -15.09 49

5117900011 75.24 72.52 0.505 10 9.75 10.07 7.52 9.75 -2.73 -3.15 -3.92 -3.62 64

5119700021 70.68 57.89 0.051 18.74 15.8 20.63 13.25 18.11 -12.79 -17.38 -19.92 -18.09 59

5151000091 75.04 75.63 0.611 8.84 9.24 8.52 6.64 8.74 0.58 1.31 0.6 0.78 58

5165000042 75.89 60.26 0.451 26.44 23.29 31.65 20.07 26.64 -15.63 -21.53 -27.12 -20.59 54

5180000041 74.91 70.12 0.539 11.49 10.45 11.76 8.61 11.22 -4.8 -6.04 -6.95 -6.4 54

5180000051 75.11 63.02 0.224 17.72 15.85 19.34 13.31 17.12 -12.09 -15.25 -17.54 -16.1 47
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

20020515 53.07 43.16 0.824 18.68 10.32 20.95 9.91 18.82 -9.91 -18.82 -20.95 -18.68 21

20020516 64.09 52.06 0.594 18.77 13.17 21.2 12.03 18.75 -12.03 -18.75 -21.2 -18.77 23

20020517 55.37 47.74 0.526 14.76 10.36 15.36 8.17 13.83 -7.63 -12.52 -14.1 -13.79 21

20020518 44.18 41 0.433 17.55 10.94 17.37 7.75 15.64 -3.18 -4.32 -6.65 -7.2 5

20020519 45.11 43.43 0.326 5.22 3.26 5.36 2.36 5.14 -1.68 -3.56 -3.83 -3.73 17

20020520 46.17 45.6 0.295 5.88 2.97 5.89 2.72 5.84 -0.56 -0.98 -1.18 -1.22 17

20020521 44.23 45.35 0.401 6.73 4.15 6.81 2.98 6.75 1.12 2.46 2 2.52 10

20020522 50.52 42.89 0.002 15.64 9.65 17.1 7.9 15.2 -7.63 -14.61 -16.52 -15.11 23

20020523 64.56 55.65 0.083 14.64 10.37 15.84 9.45 14.49 -8.91 -13.62 -15 -13.81 25

20020524 73.24 58.08 0.589 20.79 16.71 23.85 15.23 20.8 -15.16 -20.69 -23.74 -20.7 23

20020525 56.36 47 0.683 17.54 11.35 19.18 9.88 17.1 -9.37 -15.91 -18.03 -16.62 21

20020526 54.65 54.45 0.331 13.76 11.57 12.9 7.52 13.8 -0.2 1.41 -0.6 -0.36 19

20020527 56.34 52.14 0.304 10.03 7.56 10.58 5.65 9.75 -4.2 -6.98 -7.9 -7.45 22

20020528 52.68 50.37 0.07 9.26 6.35 9.8 4.88 9.48 -2.31 -3.64 -4.44 -4.39 19

20020529 52.95 51.42 0.288 10.02 6.42 10.11 5.31 9.89 -1.53 -1.95 -2.69 -2.9 21

20020530 52.06 53.49 0.257 10.83 6.77 10.6 5.64 11.17 1.43 4.04 3.14 2.74 16

20020531 60.49 57.29 0.17 11.4 8.33 11.9 6.89 11.45 -3.2 -4.32 -5.31 -5.29 22

20020601 64.03 52.16 0.75 18.54 13.23 21.45 11.87 18.9 -11.87 -18.9 -21.45 -18.54 24

20020602 56.98 47.21 0.657 17.68 12.02 20.87 10.07 18.11 -9.77 -17.69 -20.46 -17.15 21

20020603 51.78 41.09 0.724 20.64 12.21 22.54 10.69 19.86 -10.69 -19.86 -22.54 -20.64 22

20020604 62.34 54.29 0.642 15.21 11.41 16.09 9.48 14.63 -8.05 -11.9 -13.47 -12.92 23

20020605 64.12 60.51 0.628 11.92 9.26 12.49 7.64 12.11 -3.62 -4.41 -5.52 -5.64 20

20020606 52.31 48.93 0.578 11.72 8.62 12.96 6.13 11.94 -3.38 -6.21 -7.67 -6.45 15

20020607 51.03 46.11 0.158 10.69 8.59 11.68 5.45 10.32 -4.92 -9.19 -10.57 -9.64 17

20020608 55.69 51.99 0.811 7.97 5.34 8.7 4.44 8.2 -3.7 -6.85 -7.42 -6.65 22

20020609 67.64 60.29 0.705 12.21 9.77 12.73 8.26 11.82 -7.35 -10.17 -11.17 -10.86 23

20020610 72.22 62.26 0.707 17.09 14.82 21.14 12.34 18.51 -9.96 -14.67 -17.66 -13.79 19

20020611 85.56 72.82 0.694 14.98 15.28 17.69 12.81 15.45 -12.74 -15.35 -17.59 -14.89 20

20020612 65.18 55.7 0.358 17.08 13.21 18.24 11.13 16.51 -9.48 -12.96 -15.01 -14.55 17

20020613 49.55 49.03 0.007 17.91 10.29 18.25 8.87 18.5 -0.52 1.43 -0.85 -1.05 9

20020614 47.86 49.92 0.217 11.91 6.3 12.15 5.7 12.32 2.06 4.55 3.58 4.31 10

20020615 47.71 48.93 0.281 7.55 4.49 7.26 3.6 7.48 1.22 2.74 2.33 2.55 10

20020616 52.26 50.35 0.321 9.79 6.33 10.38 5.11 9.83 -1.91 -3.56 -4.4 -3.65 12

20020617 52.36 45.93 0.84 12.29 7.23 13.37 6.43 12.3 -6.43 -12.3 -13.37 -12.29 16

20020618 60.82 51.5 0.542 15.94 11.01 17.32 9.7 15.67 -9.32 -15.15 -16.81 -15.32 17

20020619 61.2 54.03 0.152 17.43 12.26 18.84 10.67 17.49 -7.17 -9.74 -11.95 -11.72 21
20020620 67.58 60.04 0.407 14.91 11.93 16.21 10.07 14.99 -7.54 -10.27 -11.94 -11.16 26

20020621 76.99 64.08 0.44 17.6 15.06 19.44 13.55 17.42 -12.91 -16.6 -18.66 -16.77 25

20020622 71.51 60.53 0.57 17.85 14.69 20.28 12.76 18.19 -10.99 -14.37 -16.82 -15.36 23

20020623 68.95 63.78 0.763 12.11 9.75 13.69 8.35 13.08 -5.18 -6.52 -7.84 -7.51 21

20020624 67.68 61.5 0.81 12.04 10.08 13.26 8.15 12.24 -6.17 -9.23 -10.42 -9.12 20

20020625 72.32 63.79 0.64 16.49 14.6 17.57 11.93 16.21 -8.53 -9.95 -11.95 -11.8 22

20020626 68.06 64.02 0.48 14.55 12.72 14.46 9.9 13.69 -4.04 -4.83 -6.28 -5.94 25

20020627 59.01 57.68 0.614 9.46 7.54 9.2 5.58 8.98 -1.33 -1.67 -2.34 -2.25 24

20020628 48.37 50.73 0.652 9.47 5.61 9.19 4.58 9.59 2.35 4.88 4.23 4.87 20

20020629 52.32 46.87 0.262 12.1 8.52 12.82 6.33 11.59 -5.44 -9.85 -11.13 -10.41 15

20020630 64.32 57.16 0.648 13.72 10.33 14.81 8.83 13.6 -7.17 -10.69 -12.05 -11.14 19

20020701 73.22 63.45 0.172 18.06 16.16 19.29 13.22 17.7 -9.77 -10.76 -13.28 -13.35 19

20020702 73.41 69.23 0.656 11.47 10.43 12.36 8.42 11.73 -4.18 -4.78 -5.94 -5.69 20

20020703 63.62 65.24 0.637 11.51 9.49 11.95 7.32 12.61 1.62 3.58 2.17 2.55 23

20020704 66.32 62.55 0.484 13.71 13.04 13.15 9.09 12.43 -3.77 -5.33 -6.83 -5.69 22

20020705 55.17 50.67 0.718 12.19 8.57 14.34 6.72 12.99 -4.51 -8.26 -9.9 -8.17 15

20020706

20020707

20020708

20020709

20020710 56.83 53.95 0.515 12.7 9.31 14.15 7.21 13.07 -2.88 -5.29 -7.07 -5.06 11

20020711 46.89 39.83 0.468 15.299 17.79 7.17 15.51 -7.05 -15.23 -17.51 -15.04 15

20020712 59.18 47.07 0.579 20.47 14.09 23.34 12.12 20.13 -12.11 -20.12 -23.33 -20.46 22

20020713 65.79 55.84 0.632 15.12 12.48 17.09 9.95 15.08 -9.95 -15.08 -17.09 -15.12 22

20020714 61.86 56.84 0.632 12.59 9.68 13.3 7.79 12.52 -5.02 -7.61 -8.83 -8.11 21

20020715 71.23 65.06 0.155 16.99 13.88 18.12 12.1 17.77 -6.17 -6.22 -8.46 -8.67 20

20020716 66.71 56.21 0.632 19.65 14.81 23.62 13.11 20.81 -10.5 -15.83 -19.19 -15.74 15

20020717 71.87 60.04 0.421 20.16 16.97 22.25 14.49 19.72 -11.83 -15.72 -18.72 -16.46 22

20020718 74.07 64.47 0.635 17.98 15.04 19.5 13.32 18.28 -9.6 -11.22 -13.48 -12.97 20

20020719 60.85 57.35 0.513 12.84 11.03 13.58 7.81 12.71 -3.49 -3.39 -5.15 -5.74 19

20020720 58.2 51.92 0.52 16.64 10.52 18.5 9.68 17.14 -6.28 -10.19 -12.12 -10.78 17

20020721 63.38 57.69 0.33 14.74 11.36 15.52 9.34 14.62 -5.69 -7.13 -8.72 -8.97 23

20020722 70.43 62.9 0.289 15.04 14.26 15.34 10.6 14.04 -7.53 -8.81 -10.5 -10.69 27

20020723 65.19 61.98 0.711 9.44 7.8 10.13 6.16 9.8 -3.22 -4.1 -4.91 -4.93 21

20020724 48.2 44.51 0.153 17.96 10.52 20.32 8.65 18.46 -3.69 -6.98 -9.89 -7.65 13

20020725 48.65 49.49 0.208 13.78 7.98 14.23 6.7 14.41 0.84 2.72 1.19 1.73 14

20020726 51.08 50.58 0.087 16.72 11.32 17.95 8.54 17.79 -0.5 0.83 -1.97 -0.986
20020727 53.36 54.45 0.028 9.53 7.11 9.29 5.09 9.8 1.1 2.78 1.9 2.05 12

20020728 52.42 55.41 0.488 11.87 7.64 11.42 6.22 12.25 2.99 6.8 5.72 5.7 21

20020729 56.31 57.83 0.414 12.73 9.8 11.99 7.17 12.56 1.524 2.67 2.7 20

20020730 56.58 56.52 0.477 9.24 7.91 8.78 5.23 9.1 -0.06 0.75 -0.12 -0.1 20

20020731 60.77 52.47 0.581 17.43 12.48 19.91 10.59 17.76 -8.3 -13.35 -15.87 -13.66 20

20020801 63.98 55.86 0.71 14.46 10.84 15.89 9.25 14.48 -8.12 -12.58 -14.08 -12.69 20

20020802 68.78 61.26 0.555 16.42 14.49 17.09 11.3 15.58 -7.52 -8.55 -10.72 -10.93 20

20020803 64.88 60.39 0.43 13.89 11.08 14.46 9.01 13.61 -4.5 -5.9 -7.34 -6.93 20

20020804 69.21 61.66 0.792 14.17 10.89 15.21 9.81 14.19 -7.55 -9.93 -11.26 -10.91 22

20020805 60.4 59.1 0.504 13.88 10.54 14.85 8.39 14.99 -1.3 -1.47 -3.37 -2.15 24

20020806 47.09 46.85 0.125 11 6.53 10.55 5.18 10.56 -0.25 0.51 -0.37 -0.527

20020807 42.47 35.42 0.019 16.6 8.1 18.45 7.05 16.45 -7.05 -16.45 -18.45 -16.69

20020808 47.06 38.02 0.448 20.11 10.69 23.69 9.46 20.46 -9.04 -19.57 -22.81 -19.22 14

20020809 55.24 39.78 0.649 27.98 16.76 33.98 15.46 28.45 -15.46 -28.45 -33.98 -27.98 18

20020810 71.85 53.64 0.709 25.44 19.84 30.43 18.28 25.81 -18.21 -25.72 -30.34 -25.34 24

20020811 85.99 61.83 0.386 28.29 26.87 33.08 24.32 27.69 -24.16 -27.47 -32.86 -28.09 27

20020812 85.46 61.98 0.462 27.55 26.39 33.18 23.54 27.6 -23.48 -27.54 -33.12 -27.47 27

20020813 86.53 62.6 0.671 27.77 26.96 33.17 24.03 27.54 -23.93 -27.41 -33.04 -27.65 27

20020814 89.73 69.54 0.554 23.52 23.21 26.77 21.1 23.3 -20.18 -21.91 -25.5 -22.5 28

20020815 71.74 58.23 0.526 19.95 17.46 21.25 14.31 18.57 -13.51 -17.13 -19.86 -18.83 27

20020816 61.54 54.57 0.476 14.21 12.09 14.85 8.74 13.44 -6.97 -10.14 -11.78 -11.32 24

20020817 55.83 52.26 0.748 9.29 6.18 9.42 5.199 -3.58 -5.54 -6.1 -6.41 21

20020818 60.12 56.39 0.571 11.99 9.26 12.73 7.21 12.28 -3.74 -4.88 -6.22 -6.21 23

20020819 59.32 57.7 0.575 11.76 8.5 12.17 6.98 12 -1.62 -0.96 -2.05 -2.74 20

20020820 56.02 53.28 0.262 13.68 9.77 13.35 7.66 13.31 -2.74 -2.99 -4.39 -4.89 17

20020821 68.04 54.57 0.434 20.05 15.81 22.25 13.64 19.47 -13.47 -19.14 -21.92 -19.8 18

20020822 68.31 60.81 0.224 17.92 14.6 18.64 12.24 17.47 -7.51 -8.2 -10.38 -10.99 24

20020823 61.71 56.71 0.47 14.95 11.29 14.52 9.23 13.87 -5 -5.56 -6.93 -8.1 14

20020824 53.98 54.16 0.088 16.55 12.83 16.87 8.94 17.09 0.17 3.04 -0.04 0.32 15

20020825 48.61 48.5 0.1 9.49 8.45 9.6 4.61 9.1 -0.11 1.07 -0.24 -0.22 18

20020826 48.86 45.63 0.237 15.3 9.79 16.59 7.48 15.72 -3.22 -6.18 -8.56 -6.6 19

20020827 56.22 49.03 0.475 14.76 9.58 15.54 8.3 14.24 -7.19 -11.53 -13.01 -12.79 12

20020828 47.61 43.38 0.165 12.187 12.41 5.8 11.55 -4.23 -7.88 -8.85 -8.899

20020829 45.35 34.79 0.496 23.29 13.78 27.06 10.56 22.1 -10.56 -22.1 -27.06 -23.293

20020830 46.42 40.590 14.98 10.1 16.01 6.95 13.82 -5.83 -11.36 -13.6 -12.56 10

20020831 49.69 41 0.309 21.51 14.48 24.16 10.69 20.11 -8.68 -15.45 -19.78 -17.48 10

20020901 54.16 37.281 31.17 22.92 34.55 16.88 26.37 -16.88 -26.37 -34.55 -31.172
20020902 48.96 46.34 0.035 17.38 11.67 17.61 8.51 16.46 -2.62 -3.26 -5.64 -5.36

7

20020903 58.16 59.48 0.615 10.76 8.5 11.06 6.26 10.95 1.32 1.81 0.7 2.27 19

20020904 61.03 66.43 0.495 14.35 10.6 14.6 8.76 16.03 5.4 11.18 9.33 8.85 18

20020905 51.9 49.13 0.721 8.78 5.81 8.87 4.56 8.51 -2.78 -4.87 -5.4 -5.35 15

20020906 50.87 46.41 0.375 12.81 8.82 13.29 6.52 12.21 -4.46 -8.13 -9.39 -8.77 24

20020907 61.43 56.16 0.363 14.79 11.79 15.18 9.08 14.27 -5.27 -7.84 -9.58 -8.58 26

20020908 67.35 59.31 0.429 15.75 13.4 16.6 10.61 15.01 -8.04 -10.32 -12.21 -11.94 25

20020909 73.63 63.12 0.462 17.39 15.58 19.5 12.8 17.6 -10.51 -13.45 -15.89 -14.27 25

20020910 79.52 64.83 0.461 20.61 19.54 23.64 16.39 20.47 -14.69 -17.74 -21.09 -18.48 25

20020911 55.99 55.16 0.213 18.26 12.42 18.5 10.22 18.54 -0.83 2.47 0.17 -1.48 20

20020912 46.43 49.5 0.696 10.14 5.17 9.85 4.71 10.36 3.07 7.57 6.95 6.62 14

20020913 64.24 56.82 0.697 12.59 9.03 13.21 8.09 12.28 -7.42 -11.12 -12.1 -11.55 25

20020914 64.43 60.8 0.063 19.82 15.15 20.37 12.77 19.74 -3.63 -1.99 -4.81 -5.63 22

20020915 48.85 53.25 0.255 20.23 12.65 17.98 9.88 19.81 4.4 13.21 10.4398

20020916 53.57 50.64 0.045 11.39 7.96 11.89 6.1 11.15 -2.92 -4.6 -5.73 -5.46 13

20020917 56.09 55.74 0.605 7.42 5.29 7.4 4.16 7.37 -0.36 0.34 -0.09 -0.63 18

20020918 58.45 52.46 0.232 15.64 12.2 15.96 9.14 14.8 -5.99 -7.65 -9.49 -10.24 18

20020919 56.38 55.57 0.498 9.08 6.4 9.08 5.12 9.08 -0.81 -0.43 -1.05 -1.43 25

20020920 54.3 55.75 0.127 12.92 8.12 12.88 7.02 13.38 1.45 4.55 3.36 2.67 24

20020921 49.06 52.27 0.371 8.72 5.52 8.61 4.28 9.26 3.21 7.2 6.51 6.55 16

20020922 44.48 45.63 0.174 9.05 5.02 8.97 4.02 9.23 1.15 2.79 2.13 2.599

20020923 43.82 56.44 0.031 29.7 14.62 25.88 13.02 30.93 12.61 30.21 25.14 28.78 11

20020924 50.81 57.43 0.085 13.03 8.3 12.33 6.62 13.7 6.62 13.7 12.33 13.03 16

20020925 49.33 53.22 0.179 9.39 5.71 9.3 4.63 10.01 3.89 8.57 7.83 7.89 17

20020926 46.98 51.1 0.098 13.62 7.71 12.65 6.4 13.81 4.13 9.47 8.18 8.784

20020927

20020928 44.97 48.19 0.13 7.6 4.72 7.23 3.42 7.76 3.22 7.35 6.81 7.16 11

20020929 49.04 47.090 11.59 6.62 12.01 5.68 11.8 -1.95 -3.32 -4.29 -3.98 12
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, %

castABT147 63.78 60.11 0.759 11.79 9.22 12.3 7.52 11.84 -3.67 -4.53 -5.58 -5.75

castACA416 59.85 58.44 0.54 14.19 11.14 14.63 8.49 14.71 -1.41 -0.35 -2.18 -2.36

castARE128 70.62 59.24 0.608 17.62 15.6 18.36 12.44 16.42 -11.38 -14.27 -16.42 -16.12

castASH135 51.14 39.44 0.509 23.6 14.26 26.19 12.07 22.56 -11.7 -21.69 -25.38 -22.88

castBEL116 67.66 66.08 0.734 11.57 9.81 12.09 7.83 11.99 -1.58 -1.1 -2.2 -2.34

castBWR139 66.64 61.53 0.629 12.48 10.69 12.86 8.32 12.11 -5.1 -6 -7.2 -7.65

castCDR119 54.48 54.93 0.251 14.2 9.82 13.87 7.74 14.2 0.45 2.92 1.35 0.82

castCAT175 60.12 49.66 0.969 17.39 12.04 17.99 10.45 16.39 -10.45 -16.39 -17.99 -17.39

castCTH110 60.24 49.98 0.422 18.63 14.88 19.29 11.22 16.97 -10.26 -14.86 -17.29 -17.03

castHOW132 52.43 44.44 0.365 20.64 12.56 22.17 10.82 20.05 -7.99 -13.59 -16.42 -15.24

castHWF187 54.47 50.41 0.311 15.11 10.31 15.06 8.23 14.53 -4.06 -5.25 -6.84 -7.45

castKEF112 57.8 52.39 0.543 14.33 10.81 14.61 8.29 13.76 -5.42 -7.47 -9.01 -9.37

castLRL117 59.58 58.97 0.564 11.86 8.79 12.07 7.06 12.01 -0.61 0.04 -1.08 -1.02

castLYE145 70.87 52.37 0.538 26.1 21.81 29.33 18.5 24.79 -18.5 -24.79 -29.33 -26.1

castMKG113 60.9 56.65 0.764 11.61 8.91 12.04 7.07 11.47 -4.25 -5.41 -6.42 -6.99

castPAR107 56.75 55.63 0.38 12.49 9.28 12.51 7.09 12.55 -1.12 -0.36 -1.7 -1.98

castPED108 59.93 54.75 0.413 13.04 10.38 13.15 7.81 12.32 -5.19 -6.69 -7.99 -8.66

castPSU106 63.94 55.44 0.551 16.04 13.35 16.51 10.26 15.01 -8.51 -11.27 -13.12 -13.3

castSHN418 63.23 54.61 0.449 15.87 12.85 16.51 10.03 14.88 -8.61 -11.81 -13.68 -13.62

castVPI120 62.58 54.18 0.428 15.81 12.83 16.08 9.9 14.5 -8.4 -11.3 -13.07 -13.42

castWSP144 66.28 62.51 0.71 12.56 11.11 12.81 8.33 12.62 -3.77 -3.21 -4.58 -5.69

castWST109 53.24 48.6 0.267 16.32 10.28 16.87 8.69 15.81 -4.64 -7.36 -9.13 -8.72

airmap_cs1 52.92 48.41 0.38 13.55 9.24 14.03 7.17 13.07 -4.51 -7.29 -8.74 -8.52

airmap_is1 67.82 66.06 0.576 17.19 14.7 17.41 11.66 17.55 -1.77 -0.18 -2.56 -2.6

airmap_mw1 61.12 43.8 0.48 28.85 19.9 34.28 17.63 28.33 -17.32 -27.6 -33.61 -28.34

airmap_tf1 56.9 57.56 0.707 12.24 8.32 12.68 6.96 12.95 0.66 2.22 1.02 1.16

harvard_f1 62.01 50.59 0.69 19.61 16.08 20.99 12.16 18.19 -11.42 -16.59 -19.5 -18.42

pinnacle01 57.98 50.27 0.499 14.68 11.29 15.35 8.51 13.78 -7.71 -12.03 -13.71 -13.29
N

94

64

120

44

120

120

101

7

99

49

49

110

111

45

100

110

113

117

125

123

115

46

59

56

111

69

57

110
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

20020515 62.68 52.92 0.999 15.57 10.64 17.03 9.76 15.46 -9.76 -15.46 -17.03 -15.57 3

20020516 66.5 53.75 0.71 19.18 13.76 22.09 12.75 19.5 -12.75 -19.5 -22.09 -19.18 19

20020517 66.52 52.58 0.33 20.96 15.44 24.13 13.94 20.94 -13.94 -20.94 -24.13 -20.96 8

20020518

20020519

20020520

20020521

20020522

20020523 65.78 56.14 0.052 15.38 10.93 16.79 10.12 15.31 -9.63 -14.56 -16.07 -14.64 21

20020524 75.73 59.08 0.703 21.99 17.73 25.78 16.65 22.39 -16.65 -22.39 -25.78 -21.99 20

20020525 68.49 54.73 0.435 20.09 14.57 22.73 13.76 20.13 -13.76 -20.13 -22.73 -20.09 9

20020526 69.22 62.62 0.25 10.54 10.14 11.5 7.29 10.41 -6.59 -9.24 -10.36 -9.53 6

20020527 63.87 57.15 0.027 11.78 9.32 12.7 7.52 11.58 -6.72 -10.31 -11.46 -10.52 7

20020528

20020529 63 55.31 0.759 12.22 8.12 13.25 7.7 12.32 -7.7 -12.32 -13.25 -12.22 5

20020530 67.38 60.35 1 10.42 7.08 10.95 7.02 10.38 -7.02 -10.38 -10.95 -10.42 2

20020531 65.58 59.18 0.111 11.62 9.1 12.63 7.62 11.62 -6.4 -9.69 -10.74 -9.76 13

20020601 69.93 57.55 0.666 17.7 13.91 20.56 12.38 18.09 -12.38 -18.09 -20.56 -17.7 16

20020602 67.62 57.96 0.705 15.41 12.55 18.07 10.42 15.84 -9.66 -14.85 -17.1 -14.29 7

20020603 69.98 51.99 0.921 25.72 18.37 29.5 18 25.65 -18 -25.65 -29.5 -25.72 4

20020604 70.32 59.44 0.378 16.68 13.42 18.18 11.73 16.34 -10.88 -15.07 -16.96 -15.48 15

20020605 71.23 64.39 0.651 12.01 9.97 13.19 8.55 12.18 -6.84 -9.84 -10.93 -9.6 14

20020606 67.46 62.21 0.436 11.8 12.72 14.26 7.96 12.08 -5.25 -8.21 -10.54 -7.79 4

20020607

20020608 64.68 59.72 0.896 7.66 5.36 7.92 4.95 7.57 -4.95 -7.57 -7.92 -7.66 5

20020609 74.24 64.29 0.658 13.4 11.09 14.7 9.95 13.48 -9.95 -13.48 -14.7 -13.4 16

20020610 82.1 73 0.33 14.05 14.57 15.19 11.53 13.96 -9.1 -10.14 -11.79 -11.08 13

20020611 85.56 72.82 0.694 14.98 15.28 17.69 12.81 15.45 -12.74 -15.35 -17.59 -14.89 20

20020612 73.14 57.9 0.54 20.84 16.47 23.93 15.24 20.95 -15.24 -20.95 -23.93 -20.84 10

20020613

20020614

20020615

20020616

20020617 62.75 54.42 0.545 13.27 8.87 14.46 8.33 13.34 -8.33 -13.34 -14.46 -13.27 5

20020618 67.1 56.26 0.167 17.22 13.22 19.22 11.55 17.1 -10.84 -16.11 -18.26 -16.16 9

20020619 67.12 55.35 0.267 17.53 12.87 19.43 11.76 17.41 -11.76 -17.41 -19.43 -17.53 14
20020620 72.61 62.19 0.385 14.45 12.5 16.06 10.49 14.41 -10.42 -14.3 -15.96 -14.35 20

20020621 76.99 64.08 0.44 17.6 15.06 19.44 13.55 17.42 -12.91 -16.6 -18.66 -16.77 25

20020622 75.45 62.84 0.575 16.98 14.85 19.04 12.81 16.91 -12.61 -16.62 -18.76 -16.71 20

20020623 80.14 72.57 0.84 10.01 9.42 11.36 8.02 10.48 -7.57 -9.95 -10.84 -9.45 13

20020624 77.39 70.87 0.654 11.56 10.86 12.33 8.95 11.59 -6.52 -8 -8.97 -8.43 13

20020625 80.39 69.12 0.52 17.33 16.48 19.2 13.93 17.21 -11.27 -13.15 -15.44 -14.02 16

20020626 77.35 70.83 0.196 15.39 14.69 16.07 11.9 14.76 -6.52 -7.73 -9.42 -8.42 16

20020627 72.6 68.62 0.166 12.48 10.96 13.25 9.06 12.47 -3.98 -4.96 -6.15 -5.488

20020628

20020629 64.78 47.911 26.04 17.16 30.4 16.87 26.2 -16.87 -26.2 -30.4 -26.042

20020630 71.99 62.09 0.443 14.42 12.09 16.09 10.38 14.43 -9.89 -13.72 -15.4 -13.74 12

20020701 77.5 64.24 0.186 18.13 16.81 19.91 14.05 17.5 -13.26 -16.3 -18.76 -17.11 16

20020702 77.58 71.73 0.646 10.58 10.53 11.36 8.21 10.44 -5.85 -7.36 -8.41 -7.54 17

20020703 72.43 71.78 0.776 8.18 7.24 8.37 5.92 8.2 -0.65 -1.37 -1.9 -0.9 14

20020704 75.07 70.32 0.146 15.78 15.52 15.68 11.84 14.95 -4.75 -6.1 -7.96 -6.33 14

20020705 68.4 64.8 0.687 6.76 6.28 6.55 4.63 6.25 -3.6 -4.68 -5 -5.266

20020706

20020707

20020708

20020709

20020710 69.84 68.59 0.632 14.24 10.59 14.48 9.95 14.55 -1.25 -0.81 -2.02 -1.793

20020711

20020712 67.55 53.32 0.335 21.06 15.58 24.26 14.23 21.08 -14.23 -21.08 -24.26 -21.06 12

20020713 71.37 59.93 0.501 16.03 13.92 18.64 11.44 16.31 -11.44 -16.31 -18.64 -16.03 16

20020714 72.4 65.31 0.388 12.7 11.12 13.77 9.19 12.61 -7.09 -9.78 -11.01 -9.79 11

20020715 76.77 66.24 0.324 16 13.65 17.57 12.28 15.98 -10.52 -13.37 -15.09 -13.71 15

20020716 77.44 64.52 0.617 16.69 14.89 18.95 12.92 16.8 -12.92 -16.8 -18.95 -16.699

20020717 77.56 64.66 0.061 20.83 18.09 23.53 16.16 20.99 -12.9 -16.11 -19.22 -16.63 18

20020718 83.16 69.66 0.632 16.84 15.48 18.58 14.01 16.68 -13.51 -15.86 -17.79 -16.24 15

20020719 75.68 66.28 0.454 12.42 12.57 12.95 9.4 11.66 -9.4 -11.66 -12.95 -12.428

20020720 68.73 58.61 0.763 15.55 11.52 17.41 10.69 15.8 -10.12 -15.09 -16.7 -14.728

20020721 70.81 60.67 0.176 14.91 12.72 16.25 10.56 14.57 -10.15 -13.96 -15.65 -14.33 15

20020722 75.95 65.02 0.197 16.01 15.95 16.9 12.16 15.04 -10.93 -13.23 -15.19 -14.39 20

20020723 73.45 68.09 0.729 8.65 8.43 9.2 6.35 8.54 -5.36 -7.39 -8.09 -7.3 12

20020724

20020725

20020726
20020727 61.19 58.83

1 4.64 3.69 4.78 2.84 4.6 -2.35 -3.79 -3.98 -3.852

20020728 66.75 67.480 9.82 7.8 9.75 6.55 10.11 0.73 1.51 0.81 1.095

20020729 71.66 66.2 0.393 12.08 10.2 13.1 8.66 12.25 -5.46 -7.69 -8.83 -7.626

20020730 69.29 62.66 0.703 9.57 8.21 10.43 6.63 9.64 -6.63 -9.64 -10.43 -9.575

20020731 71.27 60.74 0.16 15.87 13.58 17.26 11.31 15.4 -10.53 -14.16 -16.05 -14.78 11

20020801 72.02 61.7 0.718 15.68 12.94 17.91 11.29 16.02 -10.32 -14.87 -16.79 -14.33 12

20020802 76.9 65.17 0.511 17.35 16.1 19.45 13.35 17.03 -11.74 -15.15 -17.64 -15.26 15

20020803 73.58 66.54 0.309 14.4 12.82 15.42 10.6 14.08 -7.04 -9.34 -10.95 -9.56 11

20020804 76.15 66.65 0.79 14.07 11.64 15.41 10.72 14.25 -9.51 -12.25 -13.56 -12.49 16

20020805 69.29 65.28 0.811 10.65 9.26 11.46 7.38 10.66 -4 -6.59 -7.6 -5.78 13

20020806

20020807

20020808

20020809 67.63 50.44 0.206 25.42 19.89 31.02 17.19 25.62 -17.19 -25.62 -31.02 -25.426

20020810 77.86 58.39 0.47 25.13 21.11 29.71 19.56 25.27 -19.47 -25.16 -29.59 -25.01 19

20020811 87.11 62.53 0.33 28.41 27.26 33.34 24.75 27.87 -24.58 -27.64 -33.12 -28.22 26

20020812 85.46 61.98 0.462 27.55 26.39 33.18 23.54 27.6 -23.48 -27.54 -33.12 -27.47 27

20020813 90.77 64.84 0.673 28.66 28.39 35.23 26.01 29.13 -25.93 -29.04 -35.14 -28.57 24

20020814 89.73 69.54 0.554 23.52 23.21 26.77 21.1 23.3 -20.18 -21.91 -25.5 -22.5 28

20020815 80.35 62.07 0.422 23.37 20.69 26.48 18.78 22.94 -18.27 -22.26 -25.83 -22.74 18

20020816 75.48 65.02 0.004 15.44 16.08 16.75 11.65 14.6 -10.46 -12.81 -15.02 -13.86 10

20020817 66.9 60.26 0.231 10.63 8.03 11.25 7.11 10.51 -6.64 -9.79 -10.54 -9.938

20020818 71.44 63.75 0.555 12.68 10.76 14.3 9.06 13.01 -7.69 -10.91 -12.31 -10.77 11

20020819 71.32 65.09 0.631 9.54 8.3 9.89 6.81 9.27 -6.23 -8.49 -9.13 -8.739

20020820 70.05 57.39 0.864 18.07 12.8 19.88 12.66 18.06 -12.66 -18.06 -19.88 -18.075

20020821 73.08 58.08 0.147 20.53 17.2 22.89 15 19.97 -15 -19.97 -22.89 -20.53 13

20020822 75.95 63.04 0.072 18.5 16.22 20.29 14.05 18 -12.91 -16.42 -18.81 -17 17

20020823 76.53 62.09 0.294 18.87 15.23 20.66 14.44 18.57 -14.44 -18.57 -20.66 -18.876

20020824 65.13 56.3 0.647 17.42 14.87 21.14 11.35 17.73 -8.83 -14.27 -17.86 -13.556

20020825 62.38 47.091 24.87 21.78 32.49 15.51 24.6 -15.29 -24.23 -32.12 -24.512

20020826 66.06 57.641 12.75 8.55 13.66 8.42 12.76 -8.42 -12.76 -13.66 -12.752

20020827 64.58 54.44 0.253 15.69 10.47 16.99 10.13 15.59 -10.13 -15.59 -16.99 -15.695

20020828

20020829

20020830

20020831

20020901
20020902

20020903 64.63 67.86 0.014 8.52 7.68 8.13 5.51 8.72 3.23 5.33 4.655 10

20020904 69.79 69.22 0.67 7.86 7.52 7.83 5.49 7.64 -0.57 -1.1 -1.65 -0.81 10

20020905 72.44 61.111 15.64 11.84 16.82 11.33 15.43 -11.33 -15.43 -16.82 -15.642

20020906 72.52 55.46 1.002 23.52 20.57 25.3 17.06 21.58 -17.06 -21.58 -25.3 -23.522

20020907 68.94 60.08 0.063 15.77 12.99 17.62 10.87 15.77 -8.86 -12.67 -14.71 -12.85 16

20020908 75.39 64.55 0.127 17.85 15.83 19.62 13.46 17.42 -10.84 -13.34 -15.71 -14.38 16

20020909 77.31 65.34 0.478 16.63 15.92 18.78 12.85 16.51 -11.97 -15.31 -17.61 -15.48 21

20020910 83.64 67.35 0.387 21.01 20.54 24.75 17.57 21.24 -16.3 -19.65 -23.25 -19.48 22

20020911 70.82 59.85 0.072 15.78 14.8 17.27 11.17 15.06 -10.97 -14.71 -16.92 -15.488

20020912

20020913 68.56 59.5 0.536 13.53 10.02 14.65 9.28 13.49 -9.06 -13.15 -14.31 -13.22 19

20020914 74.45 61.05 0.21 22.18 18.05 25.12 16.52 22.17 -13.4 -17.4 -20.77 -18 12

20020915

20020916 61.32 49.87 0.189 18.68 12.06 20.81 11.45 18.65 -11.45 -18.65 -20.81 -18.683

20020917 66.85 61.46 0.126 9.52 7.57 10.03 6.36 9.4 -5.39 -7.99 -8.65 -8.065

20020918 69.81 57.32 0.004 18.31 16.19 19.97 12.78 17.37 -12.49 -16.95 -19.56 -17.98

20020919 65.94 59.29 0.453 10.07 7.7 10.53 6.64 9.85 -6.64 -9.85 -10.53 -10.079

20020920 65.47 58.580 13.47 9.41 14.31 8.82 13.36 -6.89 -10.43 -11.51 -10.526

20020921

20020922

20020923

20020924

20020925

20020926

20020927

20020928

20020929
obs avg, ppb CMAQ avg, ppb R^2 NME, % RMSE, ppb FE, % MAGE, ppb MNGE, % MB, ppb MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

castABT147 77.25 70.11 0.686 11.97 10.95 12.96 9.24 12 -7.14 -9.29 -10.38 -9.24 48

castACA416 76.42 69.4 0.313 12.1 12.27 12.74 9.24 11.63 -7.02 -8.45 -9.7 -9.18 26

castARE128 79.1 63.87 0.434 19.66 18.06 21.38 15.55 18.87 -15.23 -18.38 -20.91 -19.25 82

castASH135 69.63 47.55 0.38 31.71 23.35 37.24 22.08 31.09 -22.08 -31.09 -37.24 -31.71 9

castBEL116 78.52 74.74 0.631 10.69 10.25 11.25 8.39 10.8 -3.78 -4.38 -5.27 -4.82 75

castBWR139 75.67 66.97 0.508 13.29 12.43 14.29 10.06 12.98 -8.7 -11.13 -12.51 -11.5 76

castCDR119 68.84 60.45 0.074 15.37 12.16 16.67 10.58 15.31 -8.39 -11.85 -13.56 -12.19 29

castCAT175 70 56.43 0.974 19.39 14.95 20.62 13.57 18.57 -13.57 -18.57 -20.62 -19.39 4

castCTH110 72.63 55.15 0.12 24.06 20.53 26.89 17.48 22.97 -17.48 -22.97 -26.89 -24.06 45

castHOW132 69.66 51.36 0.694 26.27 19.01 30.44 18.3 26.18 -18.3 -26.18 -30.44 -26.27 12

castHWF187 69.5 56.67 0.153 18.46 14.42 20.25 12.83 18.04 -12.83 -18.04 -20.25 -18.46 15

castKEF112 72.39 60.56 0.221 16.64 14.44 17.99 12.05 16.03 -11.83 -15.7 -17.67 -16.34 44

castLRL117 71.87 68.28 0.255 11.24 9.83 11.9 8.08 11.34 -3.59 -4.6 -5.61 -5 48

castLYE145 78.74 56.88 0.281 27.76 24.7 32.1 21.86 26.93 -21.86 -26.93 -32.1 -27.76 32

castMKG113 75.99 67.27 0.594 12.05 11.26 12.86 9.15 11.74 -8.73 -11.12 -12.25 -11.48 44

castPAR107 68.5 62.65 0.156 12.23 10.25 13.01 8.38 12.07 -5.84 -8.26 -9.42 -8.53 43

castPED108 69.89 58.63 0.207 16.35 13.7 17.76 11.43 15.82 -11.26 -15.55 -17.5 -16.11 54

castPSU106 75.14 61.83 0.259 18.39 16.72 20.03 13.82 17.65 -13.31 -16.89 -19.31 -17.72 64

castSHN418 72.29 58.2 0.289 19.59 16.21 21.97 14.16 19.23 -14.09 -19.12 -21.86 -19.49 72

castVPI120 71.91 57.65 0.15 19.83 16.44 21.89 14.26 19.18 -14.26 -19.18 -21.89 -19.83 69

castWSP144 80.32 71.74 0.555 12.31 12.73 12.92 9.88 11.86 -8.58 -10.05 -11.23 -10.68 64

castWST109 67.11 54.94 0.197 21.61 15.18 24.27 14.5 21.66 -12.17 -18.12 -21.04 -18.14 11

airmap_cs1 66.33 54.88 0.35 17.4 13.12 19.62 11.54 17.4 -11.46 -17.27 -19.49 -17.27 16

airmap_is1 84.46 76.78 0.419 15.1 15.56 15.73 12.75 14.63 -7.68 -8.13 -9.81 -9.09 30

airmap_mw1 71.98 49.28 0.488 31.54 24.3 38.32 22.7 31.42 -22.7 -31.42 -38.32 -31.54 51

airmap_tf1 76.18 72.95 0.717 8.32 7.5 8.76 6.34 8.48 -3.23 -4 -4.53 -4.24 20

harvard_f1 78.72 60.98 0.489 22.71 21.28 25.29 17.88 21.66 -17.74 -21.44 -25.08 -22.53 27

pinnacle01 69.67 56.58 0.091 18.79 15.44 20.8 13.09 18.29 -13.09 -18.29 -20.8 -18.79 46