DL11 LCC and PBP

Design Line 11

Efficiency (%) EL 0: 98.67%

Year 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011

Transformers with Net Increase in LCC (%) 8.64% 32.44% 43.67% 58.75% 17.35% 46.61% 17.13% 34.32% 32.77% 46.51% 73.11% 78.91%

Transformers with Net LCC Savings (%) 91.32% 67.56% 56.33% 41.25% 82.65% 53.39% 82.87% 65.68% 67.23% 53.49% 26.89% 21.09%

Transformers with No Impact on LCC (%) 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Mean LCC Savings ($) 1653 490 413 -203 2528 449 2707 1317 2025 743 -2568 -3731

Median LCC Savings ($) 1711 421 270 -487 2218 273 2381 1083 1656 343 -3160 -4413

Mean Payback (Years) 2.3 17 20.9 26.9 12.9 20.4 12.9 16.4 16 18.6 24.8 27

Median Payback (Years) 0 14.4 16.3 20.2 12.6 17.5 12.5 16 15.4 18 23.6 25.6

Transformers Having Well Defined Payback (%) 93.66% 98.08% 97.54% 97.59% 100.00% 99.98% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Transformers Having Undefined Payback (%) 6.34% 1.92% 2.46% 2.41% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Mean Retail Cost ($) $22,662 $21,918 $25,232 $23,687 $26,791 $25,960 $27,093 $26,283 $29,839 $28,930 $36,000 $34,965

Mean Installation Cost ($) $3,869 $4,090 $4,228 $4,434 $4,267 $4,342 $4,296 $4,295 $4,622 $4,622 $5,205 $5,206

Mean Operating Cost ($) $1,005 $978 $914 $901 $713 $748 $686 $687 $557 $557 $441 $441

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) $42 $1,629 $2,971 $3,742 $4,569 $5,922 $4,900 $6,199 $7,973 $9,172 $14,718 $15,792

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) $91 $114 $182 $191 $383 $344 $410 $406 $539 $535 $655 $651

Payback of Average Transformer 0.5 14.2 16.3 19.6 11.9 17.2 11.9 15.3 14.8 17.1 22.5 24.3

EL 1: 98.81% EL 2: 98.94% EL 3: 99.06% EL 4: 99.13% EL 5: 99.32% EL 6: 99.5%
DL12 LCC and PBP

Design Line 12 (default scenario)

Efficiency (%) EL 0: 99.12%

Year 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010

Transformers with Net Increase in LCC (%) 8.13% 5.42% 8.31% 7.47% 19.00% 28.64% 16.77% 19.65% 23.78%

Transformers with Net LCC Savings (%) 91.87% 94.58% 91.69% 92.53% 81.00% 71.36% 83.23% 80.35% 76.22%

Mean LCC Savings ($) $4,035 $5,056 $6,514 $7,388 $7,505 $5,300 $9,299 $8,495 $8,860

Median LCC Savings ($) $3,752 $4,695 $5,997 $6,794 $6,641 $4,231 $8,496 $7,585 $7,837

Mean Payback (Years) 8.9 6 10.2 9 13.4 15.3 13 13.6 14.4

Median Payback (Years) 8 4.8 9.8 8.1 13.1 14.1 12.8 13.3 14

Mean Retail Cost ($) $59,676 $55,185 $63,262 $58,786 $70,664 $66,562 $73,316 $70,541 $78,380

Mean Installation Cost ($) $7,082 $7,146 $7,232 $7,231 $8,130 $7,820 $8,317 $8,316 $8,636

Mean Operating Cost ($) $2,980 $2,971 $2,645 $2,646 $2,143 $2,308 $1,893 $1,893 $1,627

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) $2,942 $1,743 $6,678 $5,430 $14,978 $13,794 $17,817 $18,270 $23,200

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) $377 $367 $712 $692 $1,213 $1,030 $1,463 $1,444 $1,730

Payback of Average Transformer 7.8 4.7 9.4 7.9 12.3 13.4 12.2 12.7 13.4

Design Line 12 (wound core exclusion scenario)

Efficiency (%) EL 0: 99.12%

Year 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010

Transformers with Net Increase in LCC (%) 8.13% 5.42% 8.35% 7.47% 36.00% 31.51% 79.60% 73.11%

Transformers with Net LCC Savings (%) 91.87% 94.58% 91.65% 92.53% 64.00% 68.49% 20.37% 26.89%

Mean LCC Savings ($) $4,035 $5,056 $6,516 $7,388 $3,592 $4,743 -$7,711 -$5,340

Median LCC Savings ($) $3,752 $4,695 $5,997 $6,794 $2,579 $3,704 -$9,089 -$6,763

Mean Payback (Years) 8.9 6 10.2 9 16.8 16.1 27.6 26.3

Median Payback (Years) 8 4.8 9.8 8.1 15.8 14.4 25.9 23.9

Mean Retail Cost ($) $59,676 $55,185 $63,249 $58,786 $71,234 $66,461 $86,597 $80,522

Mean Installation Cost ($) $7,082 $7,146 $7,230 $7,231 $7,759 $7,769 $8,738 $8,761

Mean Operating Cost ($) $2,980 $2,971 $2,645 $2,646 $2,344 $2,346 $2,072 $2,078

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) $2,942 $1,743 $6,663 $5,430 $15,177 $13,643 $31,520 $28,695

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) $377 $367 $711 $692 $1,013 $992 $1,284 $1,260

Payback of Average Transformer 7.8 4.7 9.4 7.9 15 13.8 24.5 22.8

EL 1: 99.21% EL 2: 99.3% EL 3: 99.39% EL 4: 99.46% EL 5: 99.53%

EL 1: 99.21% EL 2: 99.3% EL 3: 99.39% EL 4: 99.46% EL 5: 99.53%
DL12 LCC and PBP

2011

26.43%

73.57%

$8,170

$6,983

14.8

14.4

$75,492

$8,636

$1,627

$23,540

$1,711

13.8

2011

EL 5: 99.53%

EL 5: 99.53%
ECs 7 and 8 NIA

EC 7

TSL

Year 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011

Transformer Shipments 2015-2044 (Million KVA) 0.5 0.5 500 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Equipment Cost Savings ($Billions) 0.0147 -0.0042 -0.0042 -0.0035 -0.0042 -0.0056 -0.0109

Operating Cost Savings ($Billions) 0.0161 0.0066 0.0066 0.0054 0.0066 0.0082 0.0099

Cumulative Source Savings 2044 (Quads) 0.0007 0.0007 0.0006 0.0007 0.0009 0.0011

Net Present Value at 3% Discount Rate ($Billions) 0.0025 0.0025 0.0019 0.0025 0.0026 -0.0011

Net Present Value at 7% Discount Rate ($Billions) 0 0 -0.0001 0 -0.0003 -0.0025

EC 8

TSL

Year 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011

Transformer Shipments 2015-2044 (Million KVA) 173.1 172.2 172.2 172.4 172.2 171.9 171

Equipment Cost Savings ($Billions) 3.7032 -1.1057 -1.1057 -0.8425 -1.1057 -1.4281 -2.9622

Operating Cost Savings ($Billions) 4.3764 1.8614 1.8614 1.3857 1.8614 2.2386 2.6591

Cumulative Source Savings 2044 (Quads) 0.2044 0.2044 0.1563 0.2044 0.2488 0.3001

Net Present Value at 3% Discount Rate ($Billions) 0.7557 0.7557 0.5432 0.7557 0.8105 -0.3031

Net Present Value at 7% Discount Rate ($Billions) 0.0243 0.0243 0.0081 0.0243 -0.0212 -0.6752

6

Base 1 2 3 4 5 6

Base 1 2 3 4 5