SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE AREA HARVEST : YIELD A PRODUCTION

: ? INO : : 3 IND = = IND

: 1978 ¢ 1979 1980 $ 1978 1979 : 1980 $ 1978 $ 1979 1980

¥ 1,000 ACRES ~BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

'
ALA 4/3 34 28 32-3760 37203540 1,258 1,036 1,120
ARIZ z 73 72 72 78.0 71,0 76,0 5,694 Selle 5,472
ARK : 200 176 160 6060 6240 = 30,0 = 12,000 10, 912 4,800
CALIF ot 185 160 140-7400 7540 74,0 © 83,135 12,000 10, 360
colo) 280 280 270-3160 3840-3380 8,660 10,640 8,910
GA ast a3 a9 76 29.0 39,0 35.0 1,247 1,918 2,660
TLL 1/3 68 75 62 68.0 6840 55,0 4,624 5,100 3440
INO 1/3 15 1s 13° 6540 55,0 52,0 975 825 676
TOwA 1st 2a 19 eo 75.0 70.0 64,0 1,800 1,330 1,260
KANS = 4,020 3,720 3,600 524.0 69.0 = 40.0 © 209,040 256,680 144,000
KY 4st 23 34 27 62,0 6840 58,0 1426 2,312 1,566
A oust 17 18 18 «34,00 38,0 34,0 578 684 612
MISS 1/3 21 33 35 38.0 4.00.0 798 12452 1,400
“oO : aso 720 820 8060 © 82,0 ©4440 © 68,000 © 59,040 = 36 080
veer ot 1,830 17830 16930-7540 79,0 58,0 «137,250 144,570 111,940
NMEX 3 207 258 210 46.9 = 52.00 45,012,282 13,416 9,450
NC 178 86 83 75 52.0 53,0 49,0 a,a72 4,399 3,675
OKLA ot 485 515 500 36,0 45,0 © 32,0 17,460 23,175 16, 000
PA ast 7 5 75.0 $5.0 525 275
sc 1/3 1s 14 16-3240 38,0540 480 532 400
SOAK 340 30a 230 5060 45,0 © 28,017,000 13,590 6,400
TENN 4/8 24 29 25 5160 S140 © 5060 1,224 1,479 1,250
TEX ? 4,650 4,500 3,800 49.0 34.0 46,0 227,850 243,000 174,800
VA Ask il 12 11-4740 49,0 440 517 508 48a
us 2 13/561 12,949 12,187 SSe1 6249 45,0 747,790 814,308 547,060

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1979 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


NUTS

CROP AND STATE PRODUCTION

YOTAL ? TOTAL *. IND

: 1978 2 1979 3 1980
A TONS
FILERTS :
OREG : 13,700 12,700 13,600
WASH : 350 300 400
us : 14,950 13,000 14,000
WALNUTS z
CALIF z 160/000 208,000 220,000
\
MINT OIL
STATE AREA HARVESTED FOR OIL : YIELO t PRODUCTION
7 7 TND 7 1 IND 8 + :
1978 t 1979 8 1960 $ 1976 t 1979 5 1980s 1978 t_ _4979 t_ _—1980.
1,000 ACKES LBS 14000 POUNDS
PEPPERMIN
TOAKO 40.3 8.5 65 59 65 670 502
No 17 45 36 36 347 302
ORES 57,0 58 34 55 34306 2,754 2,420
MASH 16,8 67 60 69 1,126 840
4I8 8.2 34 35 at 279 315
vs 10040 57 52 $4 5,728 4,713 4,3at
SPEARMINT:
1DAHO 1.2 56 62 70 403 248
TNO Sal 38 38 31 194 166
MICH 346 29 31 28 104 118
WASH 26.4 ce m4 97 2,402 1,184 1,455
ey) 3.8 37 42 39 144 165
us 46,1 70 58 69 3,244 1,921 2,056
COFFEE
PRODUCTION
STATE : 1978-79 : 1979-80
1,000 POUNDS: ~
HAW 1,680 2,190

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Upland production in Oklahoma and Texas is forecast at 3.89 million bales, down 36 percent
from last year and 17 percent below last month's forecast. The irrigated acreage made normal
progress and yield prospects ere good. Oryland cotton deteriorated during August as dry weather
continued. Boll worms reached damaging levels in the Plains. Harvest is complete in South Texas
and progressing ahead of normal in other parts of the State. Some unharvested cotton and cotton
in modules was destroyed by Hurricane Allen in the Lower Rio Grande Valley and the Coastal Bend.

In the Western States--Arizona, California and New Mexico--upland production is forecast at
4.59 million bales, 4 percent below last year but up 3 percent from last month. High tempera-
tures promoted plant growth but caused some shedding of fruit. Insect populations have been
lighter than usual. Bolls are opening throughout the area.

The Bureau of the Census reports 581,224 running bales ginned prior to September 1 compared
with 538,494 bales ginned to the same date in 1979 and 671,847 bales in 1978.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at a record 23.9 million cwt. (1.08

million metric tons), 3 percent more than last month's forecast and 16
percent abave last year. Acreage for harvest, at an estimated 1.79 million acres (723 thousand
hectares), is up 26 percent from 1979 and is the highest in 31 years. Average yield is forecast
at 1337 pounds per acre, down 120 pounds from last year's average of 1457 pounds.

Timely August rains helped fill pods in Michigan, North Dakota and dryland fields in
Colorado. There is concern about the possibility of frost in late maturing northern fields.

Harvest is underway in most States with good quality beans reported. California reports
harvest of early blackeye and gafbanzo in the Sacramento and San Joaquin Valleys. Limited
harvest is underway in Michigan, with volume expected in mid-September. Late August rains
relieved stress in southwestern Colorado's dryland fields, where harvest progress is ahead of
schedule. Harvest is also early in Nebraska where hot, dry summer weather pushed maturity and
some acreage was damaged. In Washington, good quality beans are reported from early harvested
fields. Combining should peak there in mid-September. Wet weather in North Dakota during August
improved prospects for late maturing beans. Idaho's crop is about normal except for slightly
lower than average yields resulting from lateness of the crop and hot weather during bloom.
Harvest started around September 1.

ORY EDIBLE PEAS: Production of dry edible peas is expected to total 2.79 million cwt. (127 thou-

sand metric tons) this year, up 37 percent from the 1979 output. September 1
prospects gained 17 percent from the August 1 forecast as yields turned out much better than
expected.

Yield per acre in the two-State producing area af Washington and Idaho is expected to average
2131 pounds, up 632 pounds from last year. Many farmers in northern Idaho and eastern Washington
reported their best yields ever.

Acreage for harvest is estimated at 131 thousand acres (53.0 thousand hectares), down 4
percent from last year and 35 percent short of the acreage harvested in 1978.

Harvest progressed well in Washington during August, interrupted only slightly by rain late
in the month. Harvest activity was expected to end in early September. Idaho harvest is near
completion in bath the Panhandle and Magic Valley.

POTATOES: The final forecast for the 1980 summer potato crop is placed at 16.8 million cwt (763

thousand metric tons). This is a 3 percent decrease from August 1 and 25 percent be-
low the 1979 crop. The acreage for harvest, at 95.7 thousand acres (38.7 thousand hectares), is
down 800 acres from August 1 and off 12 percent from the 1979 total. Yields are expected to
average 176 cwt per acre compared with 180 cwt per acre forecast August 1 and 205 cwt per acte
harvested last season.

In Virginia, where production is down 42 percent from last year, Eastern Shore harvest is
complete. California's crop prospects remained bright with good quality and an improved yield
forecast. Harvest was active in the Stockton, Riverside and Santa Maria areas. Harvest was
virtually complete on the Texas Plains and Trans-Pecos regions. Throughout Texas, extreme heat
and dryness have reduced yields and lowered quality.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-1a CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED YIELO 4 PRODUCTION
' ' . IND t ' a IND & $ IND
1 1976 41979 4 1980 t 2978 t 197d t 1980 t 1978 41979 8 1980
’ 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
'
ALA ast 65 95 300 2640 = 2640-2640 14690 2,470 7,800
ARIZ t/t a7 5S 65 70,0 78,0 75,0 3,290 4,290 4,875
ARK A/8 300 420 820 37,0 35,0 ©3940 = Hty800 = 4,700 © 31,980
CALIF i/t 600 780 1,050 62,0 70,0 © 74,0 += 374200 = 54,600 = 77,700
COLO i/1 2,490 2,600 3,350 23.0 26,03. 57,270 67,600 103,850
DEL Avs 2s 30 a 35,0 34,0 875 1,020 1,665
FLA 2/t 12 3640 a32
GA Ass 120 160 600 = 32.0 35,0 3,840 5,600 21,000
IDAHO 8 eis 850 890 54,0 42,0 44,010 35,700 = $2,510
Thu iar 930 1,300 1,650 38.0 43,0 35,340 55,900 79,200
IND 4/9 81S 94s 1,100 39,0 47,0 31,785 = 44,415 = 53,900
IOWA 1/9 as 7 9S 31,0 3740 1,395 2,668 3,420
‘KANG 1/8 10,200 10,800 12,200 30,0 38,0 306,000 410,400 414,800
KY 1/8 195 29 350° -35.0 38,0 6,825 = 41,020 13,650
La ive 17 27 35 36.0 26,0 642 756 960
MD Ast 102 414 1160-3740 37,0 3,774 4,218 4,408
MICH S/t aso 785 840 40,0 43,0 18,000 33,755 36,960
MINN 1/8 58 51 69 29,0 35,0 1,682 1,785 2,070
MISS 1/3 65 115 250 32,0 2,015 3,680 7,750
MO 148 840 1,600 2,070 44,0 28,560 70,400 89,010
MONT 2,700 2,250 2,200 25.5 83,700 57,375 57,200
NEBR 1/1 2,550 2,550 3,100 34,0 81,600 86,700 114,700
NEV A/8 il 13 14 70,0 115 910 910
NJ ast 33 at 46 36,0 1,188 1,476 1,748
N MEX I/8 306 398 500 22,0 5,508 8,756 10,000
NY 3/8 1s 160 150 41,0 2,625 6,560 6,000
NC t/t 180 210 300 36,0 5,940 7,560 10,600
N DAK 173 135 120 70 22,0 3,915 2,640 1,050
OHIO 1/3 1,125 1,320 1,350 48,0 43,875 63,360 64,800
OKLA 1/1 5,400 5,700 6,500 38,0 145,800 216,600 195,000
ORES ' 1,100 1,000 1,200 48,0 47,300 48,000 63,600
PA tse 245 262 250 31,0 8,085 8,se2 9,500
sc is 78 109 185 33,0 2,574 3,997 6,475
8 OAK 1/3 700 550 1,100 19,0 18,200 10,a50 20,900
TENN S78 220 295 aso 34,0 7,700 10,030 17,100
TEX asa 2,700 4,600 5,200 30,0 $4,000 138,000 130,000
UTAH 1/8 194 210 220 24,0 54626 5,040 5,940
VA Ast 155 180 205 35.0 5,025 6,300 7,175
WASH 4 2,600 2,200 2,700 43,0 119,600 94,600 137,700
WVA ast 9 10 10 34,0 297 3ao 3a
ats A/8 33 38 90 43,0 4,168 1,634 3,420
wr t/t 27s 267 295 22,0 74150 5,874 6,785
us 139,015 43,572 52,030 32.0 369 142474706 1,608,897 1,878,671

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
September 1. Some adjustments have been made in harvested acreages published previously. The
yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field observations
and measurements for corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers pro-
vided appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms
and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and
measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling
type errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
“Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure baSed on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the September 1 produc-
tion forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the
squared percentage deviations for the 1960-79 twenty year period; the square root of this average
becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error”. Probability statements can be made concern-
ing expected errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates,
assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing
recent years' forecasts.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error” for the September 1 corn far grain is 4.7 percent.
This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 6534 million
bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 4.7 percent or approximately
307 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference
will not exceed 8.1 percent or approximately 529 million bushels.

Also,shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between
the Septémber 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between

ptember 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 297 million
1s, ranging from 98 million to 496 million bushels. During this 10-year period the
September 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE

CROP AND
UNIT

QUANTITY

t ERAGE : SMALLEST:LARGEST: FINAL

MILLION MILLION MILLION
FEED GRAINS 1/

MT 3.8 6.6 2 3 7 3

CORN FOR GRATN BU 4.7 8.1 98 496 7 3
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU 46 7.9 oO 53 4 6
OATS. BU 3.9 6.7 i) 48 3 7
BARLEY BU 3.1 5.3 4 27 6 4
ALL WHEAT Bu 1.3 2.2 3 i 4 6
DURUM BU 3.2 9.0 i) 7 5 5
OTHER SPRING BU + 3.3 5.7 oO ll 6 4
RICE CWT 2 3.2 5.5 1 6 5 5
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU 2 42 7.2 6 18 5 5
COTTON BALES 2/: 7.1 12.2 1,430 36 1,660 5 5

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 AS CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


GRAPES.

CROP AND STATE t PRODUCTION 1/
: TOTAL ? TOTAL ? IND
3 1978 : 1979 uy 1980
z TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE ?
CALIF : 393,000 417,000 460,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE t
CALIF : 1,706,000 1,821,000 1,750,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE ORTED 2/t
CALI 2 228,500 302,300
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE NOT ORIE
CAL: 912,000 944,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE Bes
CALIF t 1,918,000 24320,000 24200,000
ALL GRAPES t
ARIZ ast 14,300 13,500 12,400
ARK ast 8,200 8,200 8,300
CALIF : 4,017,000 4,558,000 4,410,000
MICH : 6 0.0 58,500 55,000
MO ast 4,500 5,200
ny ' 165,000 180,000
nc ast 6,600 5,800 6,000
OHIO ass 12,000 12,000 13,500
PA : 57,500 55-500 56,000
WASH 2 187,000 102,600 127,000
OTHER STATES As S/t 100 5,200 5,800
us 3 4,566,700 4,989,000 4,879,200
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PROOUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS)? US 1978=248,900 (248,000 TONS
FRESH EQUIVALENT RAISIN TYPE IN CALIF LAIO, BUT NOT
HARVESTED DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGE), 1979-300,
2/ ORIED BASIS,1 TON UF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4,40
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1978 AND 4.55 TONS FOR 1979,
3/ FRESH EQUIVALENT OF ORIEO AND NOT DRIED,
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWAKO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
S/ GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA,
PRUNES AND PLUMS
CROP AND STATE z PRODUCTION 1/
oy TOTAL 3 TOTAL t IND
z 1978 2 1979 : 1980
TONS
PRUNES (ORTED BASIS)
CALIF 3 132,900 133,000 165,000
PRUNES AND PLUMS 3
TDAHO 2 7,500 7,500 7,500
MICH 3 24,000 14,000 12,000
OREG : 17,000 26,000 32,000
WASH t 21,300 15,000 22,000
TOTAL 4 STATES 3 69,A00 62,500 73-500
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS)2 TOTAL &@ STATES, 1978-600,
CRANBERRIES 1/
PRODUCTION
TOTAL :
‘STATE " IND
1978 : 1979 : 1980
1,000 BARRELS
mass 1,180.0 1,080.0 1,080.0
NO : @B.0 253.0 245.0
OREG 94.5 94.5 96.0
WASH 139.0 147.0 12.0
WIS 822.0 901.0 925.0
us 2,458.5 2,475.5 2,475.0
1/° ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM CRANBERRY REPORT RELEASED AUGUST 19, 1980.
CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS,



vats

STATE 2 AREA HARVESTED YIELO PRODUCTION

: t 3 IND = A z ? THO
2 1978 1979 1980 3 1978 3 1979 : 1978 ¢ 1979 1980

: 1,000 ACRES WUSHELS 1/000 BUSHELS
30 25 25 40.0 41.0 38.0 1,200 1,025 950
35 32 31 73.0 65.0 70.0 4,015 2,080 3,570
106 8S 79 48.0 55.0 56.0 5,088 4,675 3,920
a0 50 30 44,0 5020 3,760 2,500 1,410
65 39 55 53.0 54,0 344s 3,165 2,915
49 aa 43 64,0 52. 3,136 2,288 2,795
285 270 240 56.0 60.0 15,960 16,200 14,640
165 145 125 54.9 61.9 63,0 8,910 8,845 7,875
1,050 1,000 960 5A.0 63.0 61.0 60,900 63,000 5B, 560
108 85 120 39.0 44.0 3,740 4,200
? a 6 42.0 41,0 328 264
36 39 40 66.0 62.9 2ra18 2,120
23 e2 22 54,0 55.0 1,210 1,232
360 270 285 57601 16,470 17,100
1,830 1,490 1,370 54.0 © $7.0 84,930 73,980
35 4s 4a 38.9 © 45.0 2,025 2,016
208 140 110 5100 3960 5,460 3,850
450 380 380 47,0 $3.0 20,140 15,580
8 8 7 48.9 5040 400 336
300 290 280 59.0 62,0 17,980 17,920
95 95 5D 5549 She 5-320 4,320
1,220 Bao 490 54.0 40,0 364960 13,230
400 340 310 6160 7040 232800 = 20,770
9 95 105 36.0 48.0 4,560 4,095
1 65 60 65.0 64,0 44160 3,840
340 335 3490 53.00 5540 18,425 19,040
75 59 43 52.0 $4.0 34186 2,107
2,219 1,970 1,650 46.5 50.0 98,500 67,650
25 a? 45 45.9 44.0 4,107 660
430 400 340 32.0 42,0 16,800 12,580
te 12 120-4860 5940 708 696
36 35 es 45,0 49.0 1,715 1,150
30 33 33 58.0 53.0 1,749 1,947
te te 12 4260 $3.0 Ste 12 ole
1,120 960 1,030 56.0 57,0 59,0 55,860 60,770
49 46 49 56.0 4,0 40.0 2,740 2,020 1,960
11/426 9,831 8,861 52.2 54,0 50.9 595,882 534,386 450,660

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CIRRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PEANUTS FOR NUTS

STATE AREA HARVESTED YIELO 3 PRODUCTION
i 5 z 7 = INO 3 t 3 IND
3 1976 + 1979 _¢ 1978 31979 3 1980: 1978 ¢ 1979 + 1980
? 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
ALA : 214.0 213.0 2,630 2,795 2,100 562,820 595,335 441,000
FLA 3 54,0 55.0 3,380 3,200 182,520 179,850 176,000
GA : 526.0 $27.0 3,300 2,500 1,735,800 1,704,645 1,300,000
MISS 1/3 8.0 ass 2,000 1,700 16,000 15,355 12,420
N MEX 1/3 962 2,560 2,500 24,064 25,300 22,250
nc + 166.0 2,825 2,200 968,950 378,480 365,200
OKLA : 120.0 1,800 1,800 207,000 198,000
sc {st 1560 2,350 1,900 35,720 26,500
TEX : 309.0 1,450 1,300 436,450
vA : 103.0 102.0 3,100 2,000 319,300 7900 06%
us 1,511.6 1,524.5 2,639 2,011 2,100 3,988,624 3,980,440 3,139,360

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

COTTON
CROP AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD 3 PRODUCTION 1/
AND : ¢ z TNO t ? TNO
STATE g 1979 31978 3 1979 1980 3 1978 3 1979 3 1980
1,000 ACRES ROUNDS 1,000 BALES. 37
TON .
AL 310.0 44s soe 367 291,0 324,0 240.0
ARIZ : 575.0 953 1,969 1,082 1,068.0 1,260.0 1,320.0
ARK 3 530.0 a7 549 304 660.0 606,0 600.0
CALIF 1,635.0 680 = 1,000 954 1,900.0 3,408,0 3,150.0
FLA 3/3 3.4 506 565 $14 3,8 4,0 bel
GA : 150.0 463 486 276 141.0 152.0 95.0
KY : 0 0 ° ° ° 0
LA : 465.0 450 m2 403 478,0 690.0 470.0
MISS 3 1603000 575 670 S19 1437860 1743740 120000
MO : 137.0 ave S50 353 188.0 157.0 160.0
NEV ue del sae 655 6e4a 1.5 1.5 “463
NMEx 7 126.0 4a3 3% 450 101.0 104.0 122.0
ne z 45.0 S15 455 ais 45.0 43,0 55.0
OKLA : 580.0 ave 432 234 355.0 522.0 290.0
sc : 109.0 562 510 381 115.0 116.0 90.0
TENN : 230.0 490 357 264 235.0 171.0 170.0
TEX : 6,800.0 294 389 258 3,792.0 5,515.0 3,600.0
va Bee al . 480 320 480 a . 2
us 2 142,294.0 12/726.8 420 548 420 10¢762,4 14/530.7 11,589.6
COTTON, AMER=PIMA
ARIZ 43.3 754 793 750 $3.7 67.0 70.0
CALIF 3/ al 480 480 ) el ol 0
N MEX ? 14,8 asa 246 375 13.0 7.5 S.7
TeX : 30.9 a56 373 549 2646 24,0 24.0
us 3 89.1 590 S31 655 93,4 98.6 99.7
COTTON, AL
ALA 3 31060 4as S02 367 291.0 324,0 240,0
ARIZ : 18,3 oat 1,046 1,022 1912147 1,347.0 1,390.0
ARK 3 530.0 ai? 549 3ea 660.0 606.0 600.0
CALIF 3 1563501 640 1,000 954 14940.1 3,408.1 3,150.0
Fla 3/t 3.4 506 565 S14 3.6 4,0 bel
GA : 150,0 4603 486 276 111.0 152.0 95.0
ky : ° 0 0 Qo 0 0
La 3 465.0 aso 12 403 4780 690.0 470.0
MISS t 1,030,0 575 670 S19 1,376,0 1,437.0 1,200,0
“Oo t 137.0 a96 550 353 188,90 157.0 180,0
NEV 3/3 Yel 502 655 62a 105 165 1.3
NMEX 2 140.8 aa 380 446 114.0 11,5 127.7
nc 3 45.0 515 455 413 45.0 43,0 $5.0
OKLA 2 580,0 292 ase 234 355.0 $22.0 290.0
sc & 109.0 562 S10 351 115.0 116.0 90.0
TENN z 230.0 490 357 281 235.0 171.0 170.0
TEX + 6,228,0 6,830.9 294 369 259 3,818.6 5,539.0 3,624.0
vA 3/3 a . 480 320 480 ol ° 2
us # 12,370,0 12,815.9 421 548 42t 10,855.8 14,629.53 11,689.3

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.

2/ 480-L8, NET WEIGHT BALES,

3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED z YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
3 A IND s 3 ¢ IND t z TND
1978 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979 ¢ 1980 ¢ 1976 ¢ 1979 1980
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 000 BUSHELS
6s 95 300 26.0 2640 1,690 2,470 7,800
138 125 210 76.3 75.0 9,660 9,540 15,750
300 920 820 35,0 39,0 114100 14,700 31,980
715 825 1,150 70, 74,3 45, A25 58,200 85,500
2,523 2,ea1 3,391 26,6 «931.4 «= 59,052 106,392
2s 30 45 34,0 37,0 875 1,665
12 a32
120 160 600 35,0 35.0 3,840 21,000
1,295 1,470 1,530 50.4 64.0 = 74,730 97,950
930 1,300 1,650 43,0 46.0 35,340 79,200
B15 945 tefoo 47,0 49.0 31,785 53,900
45 7a 95 37,0 36.90 14395 3,420
10,200 10,800 12,200 38.0 34,0 306,000 410,400 414,800
195 290 350 38,0 = 39,0 6,825 11,020 13,650
17 27 35 612 156 980
102 114 116 3,774 4,218 4,408
450 785 8a 18,000 33,755 36,960
2,776 2,578 3,169 93,225 90,384 104,010
65 115 250 2,015 3,680 7,750
B40 1,600 2,070 24,560 70,400 += 89,010
4,840 5,125 54130 196,050 116,475 117,590
2,550 2,550 34100 81,600 86,700 114, 700
26 a7 32 1,540 1,610 1,810
33 41 a6 1,188 1,476 1,748
306 398 500 5,508 8,756 10,000
75 160 150 2,625 6/560 6,000
180 210 300 5,940 7,560 10,800
9,585 9,600 9,770 286,065 252,235 181,450
1,125 1,320 17350 43,875 63,360 64,800
$,400 5,700 64500 145,800 216,600 195,000
1,225 1,245 1-370 51,925 57-310 70,060
245 262 250 8,085 8,122 9,500
78 109 185 2,574 3,597 6,475
3,090 2,805 3,380 66,000 60,060 = 59, 860
220 295 450 7,700 10,030 17,100
2,700 4,600 5,200 54,000 138,000 130,000
223 250 eaa 6,670 6,680 6,924
155 180 205 5,425 64300 THATS
2,910 2,980 3.110 130,760 118,000 154,920
3 10 10 297 3a0 340
4s Sa 114 1,560 2,162 4,364
294 287 310 7,606 6,354 7,100

56,942 62,600 71,627 31.6 1,797,528 2,141,732 2,353,641

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

SPRING

WINTER

RED WHITE

RED DURUM WHITE

1977 3505152 397,603 79,964 21,638 2,036,318
1978 201,761 379,404 133,328 37,390 1,797,528
1979 1,093,275 321,079 194,543 364,477 106,654 61,704 2,141,732
1980 1/7 1,177,826 433,295 267,550 311,617 102,915 60,438 2,353,601

If INOICATED SEPTEMBER I, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PECANS

CROP AND STATE PRODUCTION
TOTAL : TOTAL t TNO
1978 t 1979 3 1980
1/000 POUNDS
PECANS IMPROVED
ALA 13,000 2,800 12,000
ARK 1,000 400 240
FLA 1,600 1,100 2,000
GA 105,000 52,000 75,000
LA 2,500 2,500 2,500
MISS 6,000 1,500 4,000
N MEX 15,000 14,700 16,000
NC 2,A00 900 1,700
OKLA 2,000 1,000 1,000
sc 3,609 14200 16500
TEX 12,000 21,000 12,000
us 164,500 99,100 127,940
PECANS NATIVE & SFEDLING z
ALA : 94000 1,200 8,000
ARK z 3,000 1,100 660
FLA 2 2,600 1,500 3,000
GA 3 30,000 13,000 20.000
La : 67500 13,500 9,500
MISS z 4,000 1,000 2,000
NC r 1,200 400 900
OKLA 2 13,500 9,000 6,000
sc : 2,400 800 1,000
TEX : 14,000 70,000 13,000
us z 86,200 111,500 64,060
ALL PECANS : 2
ALA 3 22,000 4,000 20,000
ARK t 4,000 1,500 900
FLA 2 4,200 2,600 5,000
GA : 135,000 65,000 95,000
La : 9,000 16,000 12,000
MISS : 10,000 2,500 6000
N MEX z 15,000 14,700 16,000
nc : 4,000 1,300 2,600
OKLA 3 15,500 10,000 7,000
sc 6,000 2,000 2,500
TEX 26,000 91,000 25,000
us : 250,700 210,600 192,000
1/ BUDDED, GRAFTED, OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES,
PAPAYAS - HAWAII
3 AREA : FRESH UTILIZATION
MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP HARVESTED =: : FORECAST
: 1979 : 1980 : 1979 : 1980 : 1979 : 1980 : 1980
ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
JULY : 3,305 2,960 2,390 1,905 2,895 3,900
AUGUST 2 3,215 3,000 «2,265 +=1,930 2,876 3,530
SEPTEMBER + 3,245 2,245 2,762 4,300
OCTOBER : 2,975 1,910 3,931 4,100
NOVEMBER : 2,930 1,885 3,884 3,800
DECEMBER: 2 2,960 1,885 3,430 3,500
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JANUARY - AUGUST 22,439 25,355

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

B-18

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CRANBERRIES: The first forecast of 1980 cranberry production in the U.S. is a crop of 2.48

million barrels (112 thousand metric tons), virtually the same as last year's
record crop but 1 percent above 1978 production, Based on early August conditions, Oregon and
Wisconsin expect increases in production from a year ago, Massachusetts is unchanged, while
Washington and New Jersey are expecting smaller crops.

The Massachusetts crop is forecast at 1.08 million barrels, the same level as a year earlier
but 8 percent below 1978. Warm weather has slowed color development and will delay the start of
harvest.

New Jersey expects a crop af 245 thousand barrels, a decrease of 3 percent from 1979 but 10
percent above 1978. Hot weather has hurt berry set. All bogs have received some rain but
additional moisture is needed for good befry sizing.

Production in Wisconsin is forecast at 925 thousand barrels, 3 percent above last season and
13 percent more than the crop of 1978. A good set of berries is reported with an adequate supply
of water for most of the State. Harvest will be about two weeks early.

Oregon expects a crop of 96,0 thousand barrels, up 2 percent frm both last year and 1978.
Inclement weather has prolonged bloom with some twig blight .and insect damage reported.

The Washington crop is forecast at 129 thousand barrels, down 12 percent from 1979 and 7
percent below the 1978 crop. Adverse weather conditions this season have reduced bloom, berry
set and size.

PECANS: The first forecast for the 1980 U. S. pecan crop is 192 million pounds (87.1 thousand

metric tons), 9 percent less than last season and 23 percent below the 1978 crop. The
native and seedling crop is 43 percent less than last year while improved varieties are up 29
percent from a year ago. In Alabama, prospects are much improved from last year but trees have
not fully recovered from storms in 1979, In Georgia, drought conditions prevail with August
being very hot and dry. There were a few scattered thunderstorms during the month but most
areas are in need of moisture. Initially, nut set was very good but the trees have been
shedding heavily. Nut size is expected to be small this year. Louisiana pecan prospects are
down from a year ago because of premature droppage caused by dry weather. If general rains are
not received soon, filling of the nuts and quality will be affected. In New Mexico, the set is
lighter than a year ago but increased production is expected due to new trees coming into
production. The crop in Oklahoma is rated in poor to fair condition with droppage occurring in
the eastern third of the State because of dry weather. The Texas crop is down substantially
from 1979 because of a light nut set and adverse weather. Dry conditions have prevailed since
early June, stressing trees and increasing droppage. Nut size is below normal and additional
moisture is needed to fill out the nuts.

FILBERTS: Production of filberts in Oregon and washington is forecast at 14.0 thousand tons
(12.7 thousand metric tons), 8 percent more than last year's production but 1 percent
below the 1978 crop. Harvest should begin about October 1. Nut sizes are expected to be large.

WALNUTS: California walnut prospects continued to improve during August with the crop now

forecast at 220 thousand tons (200 thousand metric tons), 6 percent above last
season's crop and 38 percent more than the 1978 harvested production. Average nut size is up
from last year. Harvest of early varieties has begun in the San Joaquin Valley.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Acreage intended for grain harvest is now estimated at 71.2 million acres (28.8 million
hectares), down less than 1 percent from last month's estimate but slightly more than last
year's harvested acreage. Some fields originally intended for grain are being cut for silage or
forage because of the hot, dry weather.

On September 1, crop maturity in the eastern Corn Belt ranged from 30 percent dented in
Michigan to 85 percent in Illinois; full maturity in the eastern Corn Belt ranged up to 40
percent in Illinois. In the western Corn Belt, denting ranged from 44 percent in South Dakota
to 78 percent in Missouri, The mature stage varied from 5 percent in Minnesota to 30 percent in
Kansas. In the 17 major States, 92 percent of the crop had reached the dough stage and about 15
percent was mature by September 1. Harvest has gained momentum in the South but is just getting
underway in the Corn Belt.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

BILLION BUSHELS:

"

SORGHUM: Grain sorghum production is forecast at 547 million bushels (13.9 million metric tons),
~~ down 33 percent from a year ago and 27 percent less than the 1978 crop. The 1 percent
decrease from the August 1 forecast results from lower acreage for harvest as grain, now
estimated at 12.1 million acres (4.92 million hectares). This is down 6 percent from the 1979
harvested acreage. Yield per acre is forecast at 45.0 bushels per acre, up 1 bushel from the
August 1 forecast, but sharply below last year's record high average yield of 62.9 bushels.

As of September 1, 92 percent of the sorghum was headed and approximately 40 percent was
coloring. Harvest was active across the South and was 70 percent complete in Texas. Harvest
was complete in South Texas and had moved northward to the Low Plains and along the Oklahoma
border. Many dryland fields continued to be grazed or baled due to poor head and grain
development resulting from the prolonged summer drought.

Although rains during August across portions of South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, and Colorado
improved crop prospects in some areas, crop conditions remained very poor in eastern Kansas,
Missouri, Arkansas, and Oklahoma. Chinch bug infestations were on the increase in Kansas and
Nebraska.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA


SUGARBEETS
STATE AREA HARVESTED A YIELD H PRODUCTION
z i TaD ¢ 3 IND ? TNO
1978 3 1979 3 1980 3 1978 1979 3 1980 3 1976 3 1979 1980
1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
ARIZ 15.0 11,3 et 20,5 19.2 217 208
CALIF 194.0 219.0 219.0 24.5 26.5 5,796 5,913
coLo 84,0 73.0 92.0 18.3 18.6 1,358 1,702
IDAHO 125.9 138.0 20.9 22.4 2,820 34105
KANS. 12.0 1540 17.0 17.8 213 255
MICH 88.0 94.0 19.3 17.6 1,550 1,880
MINN 244.0 243.0 18.9 15.5 3,782 3,499
MONT 43.4 43.3 19.8 19,1 829 844
NEBR 72.4 82.0 18.0 20.2 1,462 1,558
N MEX 2/ 2.0 146-2066 15.0 30 32
NODAK f 14361 145.0 19.7 16.1 2,304 1,958
OHIO : 13.7 17.6 16.9 19.4 266 356
OREG : 6.7 7.2 22.8 26.6 178 191
TEX : 19.5 24,6 17.5 17.0 332 418
UTAH 3 1.5 1.0 17,9 19.9 30 20
WASH 3 0 0 25.5 ° Q 0
WYO t 48.8 48.2 49,5 18.9 18.8 906 890
us $ 4,26962 1912347 Le ATTA 20.3 19.6 22,073 22,829
1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED
STATE AREA HARVESTED 3 PROOUCTION
t ? TND TND # t 3 IND
1978 2 1979 ¢ 1980 1978 1980 3 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980
1,000 ACRES 1,000 TONS
FLA 316.0 330.8 33160 39.7 31.4 33.0 9,701 10,387 10,923
HAW 105.9 107.9 108.3 89.3 9164 94.9 9,461 9,859 10,278
LA 289.0 262.0 255.0 = 20.3 20.6 19.5 5,875 5,403 4,973
TEX : 32.8 32.0 35.6 29,3 27.6 28.0 960 883 997
us : 743, 732.7 729.9 35.0 36.2 37.2 25,997 26/532 27,171
HOPS
STATE AREA HARVESTED £ YIELD PRODUCTION 17
>. . F INO ¥ 7 t 7 TNO
1978 ¢ 1979 3 1960 1978 + 1979 ¢ 1978 3 1979 3 1980
17000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF 1.5 1.62 142 14360 4,290 1,700 2,040 1,548 2,040
IDAHO 2.7 267 2.8 1/790 1,710 4,833 4,617 4,900
OREG 5.4 5e6 . 1,510 1,540 8,154 8,624 11,160
wash 21.3 22.3 26.9 14880 17800 1,900 = 4,044 = 40,140 51, E10
us 30.9 3168 37.1 1¢782 44727 1,865 55,071 54,929 69,210

1/ 1980 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET

WILL BE GOVERNED

BY REGULATIONS ISSUFU UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

B-15

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


TOBACCO

AREA HARVESTED YIELO 3 PRODUCTION
: z TNO 7 3 IND = : ? IND
1978 : 1979 1980 1978 $ 1979 3 1980 1978 3 1979 3 1980

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
520 500 510 1,870 1,650 1,700 972 825 867
3,200 3,200 3,200 1,547 1,539 1,613 4,950 4,925 5,160
10,500 10,000 10,500 2,100 2,240 2,100 22,050 22,400 22,050
61,000 53,000 $5,000 2,660 1,905 1,850 125,660 101,750
6,600 67100 6,700 2,350 1,950 2,100 15,510 ’ 14,070
KY 3 194,500 1734700 201,200 2,415 1,976 24010 469,658 = 343,145 404,335
LA iss 130 80 60 900 700 700 M17 56 56
22,000 22,000 22,000 1,390 1,000 1,050 30,580 22,000 23,100
1,030 1,210 1,416 t,S64 = 1,642 1,458 1,892 2,167
2,400 2,500 2,280 2,405 1,300 5,472 6,013 3,250
398,700 334,500 21131 19858 = 2,017 849,431 621,368 770,650
10,100 9,800 2,229 12435 1,800 22,510 19,063 20,340
13,000 11,200

1,940 1,580 1,700 25,220 17,696 += 22,100
2,120 2,065 1,975 150,520 £705

74,000 $7,000

TENN 66,850 60,090 2,126 1,745 1,756 142,099 104,829 113,090
va 3 73,130 67,240 1,848 1,630 1,728 135,157 109,603 121,680
wVA s/t 1,500 1,300 1,800 1,275 1,700 2,700 1,658 2,550
WIS 3 42,100 12,900 13,700 1,678 1,988 1,943 20,305 25,6404 26,625
us 3 948,260 826,320 9274310 2135 =p BAR 1 928 2,024,369 1,526,682 1,788,140

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
c September 1, 1980

2 Good to excailent
5) Poor to fair

Very poor

(WD Severe drought
GHB Extreme drought

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

usba NEG. ESCS 258-80 (9)

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
: SEPTEMBER 1, 1979

© Good to exceitent
Ty Poor to fair

EZ. Very poor

BD Severe drought
GB Extreme drought

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRICATED PASTURES AND

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

usDA NEG. ESCS 140-7919)

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
September 1, 1980

(ED Near faiture

USDA,

RELATIVE CONDITIONS OR

PROSPECTS AS INDICATED BY
‘REPORTS FROM CROP CORAE-
SPONDENTS OW “ALL CROPS*

NEG. ESCS 289-80 (9)

FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
SEPTEMBER 1, 1979

RELATIVE CONDITIONS OR
PROSPECTS AS INDICATED BY
[REPORTS FROM CROP CORRE:

[SPONDENTS ON “ALL CROPS”

NEG. ESCS 141-7919)

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

A-6

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORW FOR GRAIN

STATE AREA HARVESTED A YIELO i PROOUCTION
z 2 TAD = 7 * IND ¥ ¥ TND
1978 3 1979 1980 $ 1978 ? 1979 3 1980 3 1978 t 1979 ¢ 1980
1,000 ACRES ‘BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 1s 54a 502 420 50,0 61.0 40.0 27,200 30,622 16,800
AQIZ 1/7 50 45 48 115.0 115.0 105.0 5,750 5,175 5,040
ARK A/t 30 35 5 58.0 60,0 35.0 1,740 2,100 2,030
CALIF 17 281 260 260 1264.0 11740 118.0 35,406 30,420 = 30,680
coLo 675 725 750° 11940 427.0 115.0 74,250 92,075 86,250
CONN 2/2
OeEL : 175 167 177 96.0 102.0 © 68.0 16,800 17,034 12,036
FLA Ast 370 360 350 92.0 53.0 © 4540 19,240 19,080 15,750
GA : 1,500 1,850 1,200 50.9 65.0 49.0 75,000 100,750 48,000
TOAHO 172 39 at 36 87.9 88,0 87.0 3,393 3,608 3,132
Te = 10,730 10,610 41,050 11140 128.0 10040 1,191,930 1,358,080 1,105,000
Ind ? 5,900 5,930 4,200 112.0 96.0 637,200 64,160 595,200
Towa $ 12,700 12,800 13,200 127.0 108.0 1,460,500 1,625,600 1,425,600
KANS t 1,500 1,470 1,200 117.0 88,0 153,000 171,990 105,600
KY z 1,410 12300 17500 102.0 68,0 -119,850 132,600 = 102,000
La wt a7 ay 32 54,0 49.0 2,773 2,214 1,568
MAINE 2/2
Mo : 590 595 640 99.0 70.0 57,230 $8,905 44,800
MASS 2/2
#ICH 2,400 2,500 25450 8440 © 95,0 ©9740 © 194,400 = 237,500 237,650
MINN 64190 be 06D 5,909 108.9 = 190.0 964.0 83,760 606,009 566,900
MISS 17 4135 110 105 56.0 52.0 36.0 7,560 5,720 3,780
“0 2,200 2,220 2,000 87.0 © 103.0 45.0 191,400 228,660 99,000
MONT 47 5 5 6 72.0 17.0 75.0 360 385 450
NEBR 6,550 6,900 6,600 11340 115.0 94.0 740,159 793,500 639,200
NH 2/3
NJ oust 95 82 100-9140 90,0 75.0 8,645 7,380 7,500
N MEX 173 72 7a 7S 109.0 95.0 7,632 8,066 7125
NY 600 650 670 79.0 85.0 aT. 47,400 $5,250 58,290
ne 1,600 1,690 1,740 76.0 76.0 60.0 121,600 128,440 104,400
N DAK 17 253 290 300 79.0 7640 5040 19,987 22,040 15,000
OHIO 3,610 34630 3,850 105.0 115.0 115,09 379,050 447,450 442,750
OKLA 1 3 75 75 6540 = 110.0 55.0 4,745 8,250 4,125
OREG 1 13 wW 12 95.0 100,0 9540 1,235 1,100 1,140
PA 2 1,190 1,215 1,230 95.0 95.0 72,0 113,050 115,425 88,560
RI
sc 1 550 509 515 80.0 aT. 30,250 40,720 24,205
S DAK 2,560 2,850 24200 74,0 48,0 1717520 210,900 105,600
TENN 1 660 620 650 66408340 55.0 43,560 51,460 35,750
TEX 1,440 14260 1,350 10040 105,0 = 80,0 ©:144,000 132,300 108,000
UTAH BY 16 16 7 99.0 © 94,0 93.0 1,440 1,504 1,581
vt
vA 615 615 620 82.0 83,0 60,0 50,430 51,045 37,200
WASH 1 6S 103 115 114,0 119,0 119.0 7,410 12,257 12,650
wVA OL 58 39 60 77.0 78.0 4,466 4,543 4,660
wis 2,750 2,980 3,200 103,0 105,0 269,500 306,940 336,000
WYO 7 34 20 32 87.0 89,0 2,758 2,523 2,848
us 70,275 70,984 71,193 10048 109.4 91,8 7,086,666 7,763,771 6¢534,370

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Corn developed rapidly during August. At the beginning of September, the crop rated fair to
good throughout much of the Corn Belt but only poor to fair in other areas of the Nation. By the
end of August, 92 percent of the crop had reached the dough stage, 64 percent the dent stage, and
about 15 percent was mature. Harvesting gained momentum in the South where progress ranged from
5 percent in Tennessee to 59 percent in Georgia.

Soybeans rated fair to good in much of the Corn Belt but rated poor to fair in other major
growing areas. By the end of August, early planted fields were turning color and some started
dropping leaves; 90 percent of the crop had set pods. In areas where hot, dry conditions pre-
vailed, pod setting and bean development were hindered, and some fields were cut for hay or
disked under.

Cotton condition deteriorated during August and by the end of the month rated fair to poor
in most major producing areas. Bolls were open on 28 percent of the acreage and harvesting was
underway in many areas. Progress of picking ranged from 19 percent in Georgia and South
Carolina to 14 percent in Texas. Some dryland fields damaged by the drought were being plowed
under while other fields continued to wilt and drop bolls. The intense heat promoted early
maturity, Wet cotton in modules, soaked from Hurricane Allen, presented problems for growers in
Texas.

Grain sorghum heading advanced to 92 percent complete by the end of August, coloring reached
about 41 percent, and harvesting moved actively ahead in the South. Harvesting in Texas reached
70 percent complete where many dryland fields matured earlier than expected. The drought
severely affected many fields and some were abandoned, grazed out, cut for hay, or cut for
silage.

Rice heading reached 89 percent complete by the end of the month, while harvesting advanced
to 35 percent complete. Harvesting was finished in Texas and underway in all other areas except
California, Hurricane Allen did little damage to rice in Texas.

Spring wheat harvesting was 67 percent complete by the end of the month. Wet conditions in
North Dakota and Minnesota caused sprout damage. Plowing for winter wheat gained momentum while
planting began on a limited scale.

FOOD GRAINS UP_9 PERCENT FROM LAST YEAR

Food grain production is expected to total 70.8 million metric tons, 9 percent more than
last year. Forecast production as of September 1 increased 1 percent from a month earlier as a
result of higher wheat yields, All wheat production is up 10 percent, rye down 34 percent, and
rice production up 3 percent fron last year.

FEED GRAIN PRODUCTION DECLINES

Production of the four feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) is expected to total
194 million metric tons, down 17 percent from the record high 1979 production of 234 million
metric tons and 1 percent below the August 1 forecast. Prospects for corn were down 2 percent
from last month, sorghum down 1 percent, oats up 2 percent, and barley up 3 percent.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is now forecast at 6.53 billion bushels (166

million metric tons), 2 percent less than the August 1 forecast, and 16 percent
below last year's record crop. Crop prospects as of September 1 indicate a U.S. yield of 91.8
bushels per acre, down 1.2 bushels from last month's forecast and 17.6 bushels below last year's
record yield of 109.4 bushels.

Most of the northern Corn Belt received above normal rainfall in August which greatly
improved crop prospects in those areas. Ideal growing conditions have existed throughout the
growing season in Michigan and Wisconsin and record yields are expected in both States.
Conditions in Ohio have also been good and yields are expected to equal last year's record. Hot
weather during the early part of the summer caused pollination problems in other parts of the
Corn Belt, however, and yield prospects have been reduced. Continued hot and dry weather along
the east coast plus much of the south central region extending into Missouri and parts of Kansas
and southern Illinois has caused additional crop stress. Yield indications are lower in these
areas.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-o CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED : YIELO PRODUCTION
i : IND ¢ 3 7 IND 3 ? TNO
2 1978: 19793 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 t 1980 1978 ¢ 1979 3 198y
3 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ARIZ 3 1 70 145 70.0 75.0 75.0 6,370 3,250 10,875
CALIF 172 us a5 100 7520 80.0 76.0 8,625 3,600 7,800
MINN 98 17 120 38.5 57,0 30,0 3,773 2,849 34600
MONT 290 325 3603040 eh 18.0 84700 6,625 6,840
N DAK 3 3,240 3,250 3,900 31.5 26.0 18,0 102,060 84,500 70,200
8 DAK 190 165 200 20, . 16.0 3,600 3,630 3,600
us 4,024 3,932 4,AUS 3341 271 21,2 133,328 106,654 102,915
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
OTHEW SPRING WHEAT
STATE AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
: TMD ¢ IND = Fy TND
1978 ¢ 1979 1980 1979 1980 ¢ 1978 1979 3 1980
1/000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
coLo 33 a 44 S40 63.0 62.0 1,762 2,563 2,542
TDAHO 480 620 o40 64,0 62.0 71.0 30,720 38,440 45,440
MINN 2,620 2,450 2,980 33.5 35.9 33.0 67,770 85,75u 98,340
MONT 1,850 27550 2,550 2940 20.5 21.0 53,650 32,275 53,550
NEV 15 1a 18 55.0 50,0 © 50,0 R25 700 900
N DAK 6,210 64230 5,800 29.0 26.5 19,0 160,090 165,095 110,200
OREG 125 2a5 170 37.0 38.0 38,0 4,625 9,310 6,460
S DAK 2,200 2,090 2,080 20.0 22,0 17,0 44,000 45,980 35,366
uTAn 29 40 24 36.0 4169 4140 1,008 1,640 984
WASH 310 780 410 56.0 30.0 42,0 11,160 23,400 17,220
WIS 12 16 2a 31.0 33.0 31.0 are 528 74a
WYO 19 20 15 24,0 24.0 21,0 a56 480 315
us 13,903 15,096 14,752 30.0 2842 25.2 416,494 426,181 372,055
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
RICE
STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO H PRODUCTION
: : THD = = = IND # F ? IND
1978 3 1979: 1980: 1978 = 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1978 t 1979 = 1980
T7000 ACRES > POUNDS 1,000 CHT
ARK $ 1,090.0 1,130.0 1,290.0 4,450 4,350 3,900 48,505 49,157 $0,310
490.0 522.0 565.0 5,220 6,450 6,000 25,578 33,669 33,900
587.0 52A.0 607.0 3,820 3,910 3,500 22,425 20,643 21,245
215.0 207.0 235.0 4,250 4,050 4,000 9,138 8,384 9,400
30.0 35.0 45,0 4,330 3,810 4,000 1,298 1,333 1,800
558.0 557.0 588.0 4,700 4,220 4,000 26,226 23,481 23,520
us 3 2497060 — 24979. 3433020 4,484 = 4,588 4, 209 133,170 136,667 140,175

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION See

Released: september 11, 1980 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250"

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN production is forecast at 6.53 billion bushels (166 million metric tons), 2
percent less than the August 1 forecast and 16 percent below the record 1979
crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for the 1980 production forecast is
6.01 to 7.06 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 547 million bushels (13. 9 million metric
tons), down 33 percent from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley combined) is expected to
otal 194 million metric tons, down 17 percent from 1979.

SOYBEAN production, forecast at 1.83 billion bushels (49.8 million metric tons),
is down 3 percent from a month ago and 19 percent below last year. The 90

percent confidence interval for this 1980 production forecast is 1.70 to 1.96
billion bushels.

ALL_WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 2.35 billion bushels (64.1 mil-
on metric tons), 10 percent more than last year. Durum production is down
4 percent, other spring, down 13 percent and winter wheat production up 17
percent from last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for this all wheat
production forecast is 2.30 to 2.41 billion bushels.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye, and rice combined) is expected to total 70.8
million metric tons, 9 percent above 1979.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 11.7 million bales, 9 percent below the
August 1 forecast and 20 percent less than the 1979 production. The 90 per-

cent confidence interval for this 1980 production forecast is 10.3 to 13.1
million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.79 billion pounds (811 thousand metric
tons), up 17 percent from the 1979 production.

Revisions for 1979 crop fall potatoes will be pub-
lished in POTATOES AND SWEETPOTATOES, 1978-79 Pro-

duction, Disposition, Value, Stocks and Utilization
scheduled for release on September 25, 1980.

CrPr 2-2 (9-80) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Growers expect to harvest 372 million bushels (10.1 million metric tons) of

spring wheat other than durum compared with 426 million bushels (11.6 mil-
lion metric tons) last year. The September 1 forecast is 13 percent less than last year but 5
percent more than last month's forecast. Yields are expected to average 25.2 bushels per acre
compared with 28.2 bushels a year ago.

Wet weather in North Dakota has delayed harvest and promoted some sprout damage. Harvesting
of spring wheat other than durum in North Dakota, 58 percent complete at the end of August, com-
pares with 31 percent in 1979 and a normal of 61 percent.

RICE: Production of the 1980 crop is forecast at 140 million hundredweight (6.36 million metric

tons), 4 percent less than last month's forecast, but 3 percent more than last year's
Production. Declines in yield prospects in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas more than offset
improved yield prospects in California.

Nationally, yields are expected to average 4209 pounds per acre compared with 4588 pounds
last year. Yield prospects in all major rice producing States are down from 1979.

The Arkansas rice crop was 90 percent headed by September 1 and harvest was 5 percent
complete. In Louisiana, combines were active during the month with 74 percent harvested by
September 1. Texas rite growers have completed the first cutting. The California rice crop was
65 percent headed and 10 percent was turning color by September 1 compared with 95 and 31 percent
last year.

SOYBEANS: As Bf September 1, soybean production is forecast at 1.83 billion bushels (49.8
mYllion metric tons), down 3 percent from the August 1 forecast, 19 percent less than
last year's record crop and 2 percent below the 1978 crop. Yield prospects at 27.0 bushels per
acre are down 0.4 bushel from last month and 5.2 bushels below last year's record yield. The
crop rated fair to good in much of the Corn Belt but only poor to fair in other major growing
areps. At the end of August, crop development was slightly ahead of last year and the average.

September 1 yield prospects improved 1.0 bushel from last month in Ohio, Minnesota, Iowa,
and Nebraska while Michigan's yield increased 2.0 bushels. Kansas and Missouri yields each
declined 1.0 bushel. Other States in the North Central region remained unchanged from last
month.

Declines in yield prospects from August 1, ranging from 1.0 to 4,0 bushels, were shown in
all South Central States, except Texas. An increase of 2.0 bushels was shown in Texas.

Yield prospects in the Atlantic States declined from 1.0 to 3,0 bushels per acre.

Virginia's expected average yield is off 3.0 bushels while North Carolina and Maryland are both
showing declines of 1.0 bushel.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

BILLION BUSHELS
25

ced

as

ee

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


OATS: Oats production is forecast at 451 million bushels (6.54 million metric tons), 16 percent

below last year and 24 percent less than 1978. The 2 percent increase from the August 1
forecast results from improved yields primarily in the Dakotas and in Minnesota. An average
yield of 50.9 bushels per acre is expected for the U.S. and compares with 54.4 bushels a year
ago and 52.2 bushels in 1978.

Ory weather during early August allowed harvest to gain momentum throughout the northern
States. Since mid-August, rains and wet field conditions have hampered harvest and caused some
fields to lodge in the Dakotas and in the Lakes States. This damp weather has resulted in in-
creased weed growth and sprouting of swathed grain in some fields.

BARLEY: Production of the 1980 barley crop is forecast at 352 million bushels (7,65 million

metric tons), down 7 percent from last year but 3 percent above the August 1 forecast.
Yield per acre is forecast at 47.7 bushels per acre, off 2,9 bushels from last year's record
yield. Acres for harvest remains at 7.37 million acres (2.98 million hectares), 1 percent below
last year and 20 percent below 1978.

Yields improved or remained unchanged from August ] in all major producing States. Idaho
showed a 5 bushel increase in yield from last month and a record yield of 70 bushels is now
expected, 10 bushels above the previous record. Washington's yield increased 3 bushels to a
record 68 bushels and Utah was up 2 bushels to a record 70 bushels per acre. Seneficial rain in
August also improved yields in several other major States. Montana was up 3 bushels and North
Dakota and Minnesota were both up 1 bushel from a month ago.

Harvest of the barley crop has been lagging in some areas due to wet weather but has been
normal in others. In Washington, harvest progressed rapidly under mostly dry conditions and by
September 1 harvest was nearly complete. In Idaho, harvest was 57 percent completed. Harvest in
North Dakota has been delayed by wet weather. By the end of August, 64 percent of the crop had
been combined compared with 78 percent normal, In Minnesota and South Dakota, harvest is
virtually complete.

ALL WHEAT: Production of all wheat in 1980 is forecast at a record high 2.35 billion bushels

(64.1 million metric tons), 10 percent more than last year. Increases in harvested
acreage in 1980 more than offset lower yield prospects. Nationally, the yleld per harvested acre
is expected to average 32.9 bushels compared with a record high 34.2 bushels in 1979. Area for
harvest is up 14 percent from last year.

WINTER WHEAT: Production of the 1980 winter wheat crop is placed at a record high 1.88 billion
bushels (51.1 million metric tons), 17 percent more than last year. The
production increase over 1979 resulted from larger acreage harvested this year.

Growers realized an average yield of 36.1 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushel from last year’s
record high, but up 4.1 bushels from 1978. Area harvested at 52.0 million acres (21.1 million
hectares) is 19 percent more than last year.

The winter wheat forecasting period extends to September 1 in Idaho, Montana, Oregon and
Washington. Forecasts for all other States were carried forward from previous reports. Harvest
was 64 percent complete in Idaho by September 1 compared with 84 percent in 1979 and a normal of
74 percent. In Montana, 75 percent of the winter wheat had been harvested by the first of
September compared with 90 percent in 1979 and a normal of 85 percent. Late summer rains
improved the Montana winter wheat crop after a poor start in the spring due to a lack of soil
moisture. Harvest in Oregon was 92 percent complete by September 1 compared with 96 percent in
1979. The Washington winter wheat harvest has progressed rapidly, but is later than last year.

OURLM WHEAT: Producers expect to harvest 103 million bushels (2.80 million metric tons) of durun

wheat in 1980, 4 percent less than last year but 3 percent more than the August 1
forecast. Yields are expected to average 21.2 bushels per acre compared with 27.1 bushels last
year.

Wet weather in North Dakota has increased sprout damage and delayed harvest, which is now
behind normal progress. Sprouting is affecting ripe standing grain as well as grain in the
swath. Durum wheat harvest in North Dakota was 35 percent complete by September 1 compared with
18 percent in 1979 and a normal of 44 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1960 A-1l CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

The most consistent feature of the August weather was the heat wave which began in the last
week of June and continued through July and August. Average temperatures for August ranged up
to 6 to 8 degrees above normal. Warmer than normal temperatures spanned an area from the
Southwest to the northern Mississippi Valley and eastward to the Atlantic. The Pacific North-
west, the northern Plateau and Rackies, and the northern Plains ranged cooler than normal, Rain,
from thunderstorms, was well above normal from the northern Rockies to the central Plains and
eastward te the Appalachians. The southern Plains, the South, the Southeast, and the East Coast
generally had less than half the normal rain. Coupled with high moisture demand due to the
excessive heat, the lack of rain caused varying degrees of drought in these areas.

The first 3 days of August were hot in the South and in most of the Plains. Precipitation
was light until a weak front moved through the Great Lakes and produced some moderate showers in
the Lakes region and western New England.

FIRST WEEK...A strong low pressure center moved through southern Canada with a cold front
trailing southward into the United States. Moderate to heavy rain fell in the upper Mississippi
Valley, the western Great Lakes area, the upper Ohio Valley, and in the very dry eastern Kansas
and northern Missouri sections, where corn and soybeans struggled to combat hot, dry weather.
Late in the week, Hurricane Allen slammed into the South Texas Coast with very diminished winds
but brought heavy downpours ta the dry southern Texas area. Hot weather spread over much of the
Nation. Only the northern Plains, Plateau, and Rockies had cool weather. One-hundred-degree
Teadings reached as far north as northern California, South Dakota, and Virginia.

SECONO WEEK...A storm system moved through New England, and another started in the northern
Plains. Showers and thunderstorms were widespread from the Rockies to the East Coast and over
much of the Plateau Region of the West. Kansas and Missouri again got a good soaking. The dry
areas in mortheastern Texas, Arkansas, and northern Louisiana remained hot and dry. The
remnants of Hurricane Allen spread rain further into southwestern Texas and New Mexico. The
rapid sucession of frontal passages gradually cooled the northern tier of States, but the South
and most of the Plains remained warm. Hot weather in the mid-Atlantic States early in the week
gave way to a cooling spell by week's end.

THIRD WEEK...A slow-moving cold front worked its way through the northern and central Plains
and the eastern United States. A warm front held nearly stationary from the Great Lakes to the
mid-Atlantic region. Showers and thunderstorms gathered along the warm front. Almost daily
rain in West Virginia and adjacent States resulted in severe flooding. Isolated thunderstorms
in the dry northern Oklahoma area left 2 of more inches of rain in some spots. Some light storms
crept into northwestern Arkansas, but little rain fell. No rain fell in the dry wedge of eastern
Texas, Arkansas, and northern Louisiana, A respite from the hot weather edged into the northern
and central Plains, but warm temperatures returned to the central Plains as the cool air moved
eastward.

FOURTH WEEK,..A cool high pressure system centered from West Virginia to Pennsylvania and
drifted slowly southward and eastward. Several frontal systems moved into the Plains and steered
northeastward. Almost daily showers and thunderstorms rolled from the Pacific Northwest to the
northern Mississippi Valley and from Kansas through the Great Lakes to New England, Circulation
around the high pressure caused warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico to flow northward, and
thundershowers broke out--first in eastern Texas and then in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama,
moving northward to the Ohio Valley. As the south wind increased, warm air again flowed north-
ward and enveloped the region from the central Plains to the Northeast. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA
Joint Agricultural weather Facility.) .

CROP DEVELOPMENT

Crop development was generally ahead of the usual progress expected by September 1 because of
the early planting season and continued hot weather. Drought conditions persisted along the east
coast, and in much of the south central region extending into Kansas, Missouri, and southern
Illinois. Crops and livestock in some areas of these States were further stressed and pastures
deteriorated. However, above normal rainfall throughout most of the Corn Belt benefited crops
and restored moisture supplies.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 AB CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


BARLEY

AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO 2 PRODUCTION
? ? THO r 7 7 Ino t ? TN
1976 ¢ 1979 3 1980 3 1978 : 1979 : 1980 ¢ 1978 1979 3 1980
1,000 ACRES BUSHEL S 17000 BUSHELS
35 a3 55 71.0 75.0 77.0 2,485 3,225 4,235
950 790 Teo 48.0 60.0 = 62.0 45,600 47,400 44,600
240 290 260 64,0 69.0 68.0 15-360 20,010 17,680
2a 2s 24 44,0 45,0 49,0 1,056 1,125 1,176
930 B50 8BO 60.0 58.0 70,0 55,600 49,300 61,660
7 7 6 36.0 47.0 47.0 ase 329 282
60 60 55 a4a.o 38.0 2,640 2,700 2,090
23 25 28 43.0 53.0 989 1,250 1,484
85 88 79° 4640 52.0 3,910 4,312 4,108
19 17 1k 47.0 a7, 693 799 846
1,050 170 765 49,5 41,0 516975 40,810 31,365
1,375 1,040 1,080 43.0 59,125 40,560 45,360
29 28 26 38.0 1,102 1,204 936
20 22 19 60.0 14200 1,320 1,140
29 18 17 46.0 920 918 867
as 27 29 57.0 14425 1,566 1.624
10 M re 42.0 azo 495
59 61 58 51.0 3,009 2,842
2,450 1,650 1,600 46.9 112,700 44,800
10 9 7 4.0 TT) 336
80 55 55 34.0 2,720 1,925
185 160 150 59.0 9,250 7,650
125 115 105 4760 5,875 5,670
24 23 230 4740 1,128 966
565 500 425 37.0 20,905 12,325
13 AB 12 34,0 aa2 soa
40 50 36 27.0 1,080 1,080
135 131 136 56.0 7,560 9,520
104 100 90 50.0 5,050 4,680
360 315 430 61.0 23,180 29,240
19 10 9 4a, 40 396
27 2a 26 49.0 49.0 1,323 1,326
144 41 133 63.0 60.0 8,883 1460 8,379
9,247 7,468 7,367 48.6 50,6 449,177 378,067 354,567

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


1980 SEEDING RATES: QUANTITY OF SEED USED FER ACRE FOR
‘SPECIFIED CROPS, BY STATES ~ CONTINED

t A : 1: WHEAT WEAT,
1 SOYBEANS : SUGARBEET 5/ :SUNFLOMERS 6/ PLL FESCUE L/ITDOTHY 1/1 DORM ITH SPR: MINTER
7 BUSELS : POUNDS: SEEDS: AOUMDS ; FUADS SGUDELSIOUSELS; BUGELS
90 ° 18
3.0 22 2.2
70 20.0 Ve
2.8 2.0 Vs
27 La 163
9 Lg
30 .
190 30.0 Ly

28 1.6
6.8
2.6 18.6
17.0
95 1.0 6.2
MINN 1.0 2.3 21,000 69 16 16
MISS. us 9.1 185
“ 10.0 15 1.6 78 130 16,1 8.6
NONT 24 wl 1.0
NEBR a8 12 5.8 95 2.8
nev 1.8
NH
Na
NX 8.0 2.6
NY 10.7 7
NC 13.0
NOK: 2.3 19,800 15 13
OHIO : 103 1a
OKLA a8 a
OE : 10 2.0 23.0 2 2
iy + 100 2s 12 2
RI :
sc : 13.0 285 7
5 DAK Ta 195 18,300 1a 13 0
TENN 415.0 185 2.0 9
TEX us 95 Ta 185 2.0 90
yin 3.0 20,500 16 2
va 1.8 3.2 1.0 8
WASH wt Ls 1
0
10.8 1.6 1.2 17 7
185 22 uz +90
10.3 Ba 159° 7.17 5 2.4 19,900 18.5 69 1.50 1.32 1,18

FOR HAY AND SEED. 2/ APPROXIMATELY 1,650 KERNELS PER POUND. 3/ FUZZY, NON-DELINTED EQUIVALENT BASIS, 4/ SHELLED BASIS (MATIPLY BY
Hss'To catAM tNseLien basis). ‘5/ CLEAN SEED, UNPELLETIZED BASIS.” 6/ APPROXIMATELY 5,600 SEEDS PER POLAND.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B21 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

BARLEY 2... cece cece ees ceeeceeenns teat eee eeceencenes tee cecccecccces
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .
COFFEE ..........

CRANBERRIES ..
CROP PROSPECTS MAP
FLAXSEED ........
GRAPES ..
HOPS ....
MINT OIL
NUTS 2...
OATS .
PAPAYAS .
PASTURE AND RANGE DITION
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAP
PEANUTS FOR NUTS .....eeecceesseeeess
PEARS ...seeeeeee
PEAS, DRY EDIBLE .
PECANS .
POTATOES .
PRUNES AND PLUMS
RICE ...eeeeeeee
SEEDING RATES ...
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ...
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS .
SUGARBEETS ........
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .
SWEETPOTATOES ...eccceeeeseeee
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE
TOBACCO BY STATES .......-
US SUMMARY .......
WHEAT, BY CLASSES .
WHEAT, ALL ...... .
WHEAT, DURUM .......4 =
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING ...ccccecccceesscceeeecseeeeeeeeeeeseeneaeeers
WHEAT, WINTER ......eeeeeee bese eeeeeeeeeeee dedeeeeeeneeeeeeees sees

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


DRY EOISLE BEANS vy
CROP ANO STATE n AREA MARVESTED x YIELO : PRopUCTION
¢ iy t Toy Cae 7 TRO
8

+ LARGE LIMA BEANS.
CALIF

29,0 33.0 520 600
BABY LIMA BEANS,
CALIF 25.0. 18,0 650 380
GEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS
CALIF 158.0 2,550
ALL DRY EDIOLE BEANS
CALIF 209.0 3,530
coo 210.0 1,995
ToaHO 17950 3,003
KANS 18,5 218
MICH 5aa,0 74280
MIAN 64.0 736
MONT 13.0 195
NEBR 150.0 2-400
NY 40.0 51.0 Ser
N OAK 105.0 240.0 2,400
UTAH Alo 10.0 35
WASH 37.0 49.0 907
w¥0 0 28.0 33,0 soa
us 1,481.4 1,938.7 1,786.5 1,337 19,040 20,665 23,894
1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORMARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
DRY EQIBLE PEAS “v
STATE AREA WARVESTED in YIELD ‘ PRODUCTION
1 v + TD 7 Y INDY ¥ T To
41979 t__1979 41980 1 1978 4 1979 4 1980 2 _1978 1 _1979 1_1980
+ 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 Cat
1
Joann ot 92,0 S120 61.0 14830 14380 2,050 1,501 Toa 19253
WASH 4 120,0 85,0 70,0 14750 4,570 2,200 24100 1,335 14540
us 4 202.0 136.0 134.0 15783 1,499 24134 3,601 2,039 2,794

47 EXCLUOES BOTH HAINALED SEED EAS AnD sUaTaLAN WINTER
PEAS,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD PER HECTARE :
cROP 1979: INDICATED : 1979 : INDICATED; 1979
: 1960 : > 1980 2 > 1980 t 1980
HECTARES METRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN 28726 510 2681110 6. 5.76 197 208 870 168 812 429 165 980 640
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 5 240 330 4915770 3. 20 684 380 14 039 050 13 895 960
OATS 3978 510 3585 960 1 7756 590 = 6 396 090 6 541 310
BARLEY 3 022 220 2 981 350 2. 8 231 440 7 402 630 7 654 470
ALL WHEAT 5 333 590 28 986 730 58 288 400 63 274 790 = 64 055 620
WINTER 17 633 150 21 056 020 2.48 2.43 43 787 000 50 898 800 51 129 050
‘DURUM 1591 260 1960720 1.82 1.83 2902 650 -2:726 86D) 2 800 890
OTHER SPRING 6 109 200 5 969 990 1.90 1.70 11 598-750 «= 9 649 130-10 125 680
RICE 1205 570 1347 625.14 4,72 6 199 110 6 625 900 6 358 230
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 28 542 790 27 461 050 2,16 1,81 61 715 240 = 51 174 520, 49 836 330
FLAXSEED 411 970 308 780 0.83 0.63 343 910 179 330 195 590
PEANUTS FOR NUTS: 616 950 605 090 2.93 2.35 1 805 490 1 677 830 1 423 980
ALL COTTON 5 186 470 5390060 0.61 0.47 3 185 140 2 789 S40 2 545 030
‘UPLAND, 5 150 41D 5 360 ABO 0.61 0.47 3 163 670 «= -2.:-767 830 2 523 320
AMER-PIMA 36 060 29 580 0.60 21 470 21 710 21 710
ORY EDILE BEANS 574 130 722 980 (1.63 937 340 1052 280 21 083 810
ORY EDIBLE PEAS 55 040 53010 1.68 92 490 108 360 126 600
SUMMER POTATOES 44 110 38 730 22.92 1 oll 140 789 160 763 260
SWEETPOTATOES 50 460 46 460 12.94 652 720 562 590 54 630
TOBACCO 334 400 375 270 2.07 692 490 839 520 @11 080
‘SUGARBEETS 454 750 476 360 44,03 43.48 20 028 290 «19. 997 980» 20 710 120
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 296 520 295 380 81.17 83.45 24 069 430 ©=—- 25 092 730 24 649 120
PEPPERMINT OIL 36 790 32 380 0.06 0.06 2 140 1970 1 960
SPEARMINT OIL 13 400 12 100 0,06 0.08 870 840 930
HOPS 12 870 15 010 1.94 2.09 24 920 30 500 31 390
PEARS 781 540 791 790 805 400
GRAPES 4 525 940 4 385 510 4 626 340
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 120 660 (17145 150 149 690
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) 56 700 66 680 66 680
CRANBERRIES 112 290 2/12 260
PECANS 95 530 87 090
FILBERTS ii 790 12 700
WALNUTS ( CALIF) 4 188 690 195 040 199 580

Vv Wi 1, 1980. 2/ RELEASED AUG 19, 1980.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED ©: ~— YIELD PER HECTARE + PRODUCTION
cROP : INDICATED : INDICATED + INDICATED
1979: sso: 1979 1980 1/ : 1979 : 1980 1/
HECTARES METRIC TONS

RYE 384 050 283 280 1.62 1.45 623 570 411 220
ALL HAY 24 751 650 24 225 550 35.35 4.66 132 338 300 ©=—:112 900 950

ALFALFA 11 136 660 10 873 210 7.13 6.35 79 452 150 69 057 620

‘ALL OTHER 13 614 990 13 352 340 3.88 3.28 52 886 150 43 843 330
POTATOES

WINTER 4 820 4 650 22.43 23.05 108 090 107 180

SPRING 33 910 29 460 28.55 26.19 968 190 771 650

FALL 434 720 395 540 31.47 13 681 540
APPLES, COM'L 3 669 150 3 792 240
PEACHES 1 350 560 1 318 680
‘SWEET CHERRIES 165 560 251 230
TART CHERRIES 77 290 112 630
APRICOTS 131 090 12 760
NECTARINES (CALIF) 156 040 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) 158 760 154 220
OLIVES (CALIF) 53 520 96 160
ALMONDS (CALIF) 170 550 154 220

‘1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 ana CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Harvest in New Jersey is moving at a rapid pace and is well ahead of previous years.
Production prospects have diminished from earlier expectations because of prolonged high
temperatures. Growing weather has been near perfect in Michigan where prospects have improved
over a month ago. In Colorado, conditions are near normal with a good set reported. Minnesota
harvest has been slowed by rains but it is more than 50 percent complete. Hot, dry growing
conditions have also affected expectations for Alabama where yield forecasts have dropped to 50
cwt per acre. .

SWEETPOTATOES: U. S. sweetpotato production is expected to total 12.0 million cwt (545 thousand

metric tons), down 3 percent from the forecast a month ago and 17 percent below
the 1979 crop. The average yield is forecast at 105 cwt per acre compared with 115 cwt per acre
a year ago. The acreage for harvest, at 115 thousand acres (46.5 thousand hectares), is
unchanged from August 1 but 8 percent below the 1979 total of 125 thousand acres (50.5 thousand
hectares).

This year’s yield is the lowest since 1971. Yield prospects declined during August in
Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, North Carolina, and New Jersey where continuing hot temperatures
have reduced soil moisture and hampered development of the crop.

The California crop continues to develop well under favorable weather conditions. Yield
prospects are mostly good and have improved over a month ago.

Harvest is underway in California and Louisiana and expected to be in full swing in all
other major producing States before the end of September. Many acres of Texas sweetpotatoes,
which have been hard hit by extreme drought conditions, may not be harvested if rains are not
received. In North Carolina, the Nation's leading producing State, harvest on September 1 was
10 percent complete with yield prospects dimmed slightly during August because of the drought
conditions. North Carolina's yield per acre is forecast at 120 cwt. with drought conditions
continuing in Georgia, the yield forecast has fallen to 100 cwt per acre compared with 110 cwt
per acre on August 1.

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco in 1980 is forecast at 1.79 billion pounds (811 thousand

metric tons), up 17 percent from the 1979 crop of 1.53 billion pounds (692 thousand
metric tons). Yield of all tobacco is forecast at 1928 pounds per acre, compared with 1848
pounds last year.

Flue-cured production is forecast at 1.11 billion pounds (503 thousand metric tons), up 17
percent from a year earlier. Yield is indicated at 1971 pounds per acre, up 79 pounds from a
year ago. Production forecasts are down from August 1 in all States except Florida.

Harvest of Type ll in North Carolina during August lagged behind both last year and the
5-year average. Blue mold has not been a significant problem, but the hot, dry weather has
reduced yield prospects.

Burley production is expected to total 546 million pounds (248 thousand metric tons), 22
percent more than last year's crop. Yield is indicated at 1981 pounds, 106 pounds above last
year, Dry weather has reduced prospects in mast States but has slowed the growth and spread of
blue mold. As the hot weather continued, growers in Kentucky were concerned about houseburn of
early harvested crops.

Fire-cured growers expect to harvest a crop totaling 37.1 million pounds (16.9 thousand
metric tons), 17 percent less than a year earlier. A 6 percent drop in acreage and a 206 pound
decline in yield from last year account for the lower production. Yield per acre is indicated
to be 1468 pounds.

Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at 23.1 million pounds (10.5 thousand
metric tons), up 5 percent from 1979. Yield per acre is indicated at 1050 pounds, up 50 pounds
from last year.

Dark air-cured prospects indicate a 15.6 million pound crop (7060 metric tons), a decrease
of 7 percent from the 1979 production. Both acreage for harvest and yield are down from last
year.

All cigar type tobacco production is forecast at 58.8 million pounds (26.7 thousand metric

tons), up Percent from last year. Production forecasts of cigar-filler type are up 26
percent, cigar-binder types up 3 percent, and cigar-wrapper types up 18 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: The September 1 pasture and range feed condition averaged 61 percent for

the 48 contiguous States, This is 25 points less than a year ago and
13 points below the 1969-78 average for this date. During August, pastures and ranges
deteriorated throughout the Southeast while rains and cooler temperatures brought some relief to
the north central States. Supplemental feeding and herd reduction continued in the drought-
stricken areas.

PEARS: The final forecast of the U.S. pear crop for 1980 is 888 thousand tons (805 thousand
metric tons), a 2 percent improvement from August 1 and 3 percent greater than the 1979
crop. The higher forecast resulted from improved prospects for the California Bartlett crop.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 612 thousand tons (555
thousand metric tons), up 3 percent from both the August 1 forecast and 1979. Picking of a good
quality crop was nearing completion at the beginning of September.

Production of Pacific Coast pears other than Bartlett is forecast at 231 thousand tons (210
thousand metric tons), unchanged from a month earlier but 3 percent more than last year's crop.
Harvest in Washington started in late August and pears are going into storage under ideal
conditions. A high pack-out is expected, Harvest of a good quality crop is underway in Oregon.
Some smaller size fruit is expected.

Reduced pear production is expected in Michigan this season. Production in New York is
expected to be greater than last year.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 4.88 million tons (4.43 million metric tons), 2 per-

cent less than last year's record crop but 7 percent larger than in 1978. Prospects in
California, at 4.41 million tons, are up 1 percent from August 1 but down 3 percent from last
year. Sugar content there is low but acceptable for most table type grapes. Color is very
good. Mildew in the Tokay crop has subsided. Harvest has begun and a good crop is expected.
Development of sugar in wine grape is later than last year but improving. Grenache crush has
started. The wine crop looks good but mildew is more prevalent this year.

The Washington crop is ripening rapidly and good quality is expected. Concord harvest is
expected to start about September 15-22, Rain is meeded in New York to increase size. Concords
look good but are about a week later than usual, A crop slightly smaller than last year is
expected in Michigan. Some damage occurred as severe storms brought heavy rains, hail and wind.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California prune production (dried basis) is forecast at 165 thousand tons
(150 thousand metric tons), 3 percent above the July 1 forecast, and 24

percent greater than last year's crop. Clean fruit was accepted at all driers throughout August.

Some off grade fruit was reported in part of the central coast but there were very few culls.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
73.5 thousand tons (66.7 thousand metric tons), unchanged fron a month ago but 18 percent more
than last year. In the Milton-Freewater area of Oregon, a heavier than usual crop of excellent
quality was harvested but it was below average size. Fruit in Willamette Valley is expected to
be better than average quality and size. In Washington, size is better than average and color
is the best in many seasons. The Michigan crop was limited by declining tree numbers and a poor
set.

PAPAYAS: Production is estimated at 3.53 million pounds (1600 metric tons) for August, down

9 percent from July but up 23 percent from August a year ago, Fresh production of
4.30 million pounds (1950 metric tons) during September is forecast to be the monthly high for
the year, The last quarter of this year is expected to be a period of continuous decline in
fresh output. October fresh production is forecast at 4.10 million pounds (1860 metric tons),
November at 3.80 million pounds (1720 metric tons) and December fresh production is forecast at
3.50 million pounds (1590 metric tons).

Area in crop totaled an estimated 3000 acres (1210 hectares) for August. Of this total, 64
percent was harvested. Both total area in crop and harvested acreages were up in August
compared with July.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED + YIELD PER ACRE = PRODUCTION

: : : 3 : : INDICATED
CROP ANO UNIT 3 + INDICATED : t INDICATED: feeeec ene nn nec eenenn ne
: 1979; (1980: 1979s 1980s 1979 AUG) 6: SEP IL
3 : : : : : 980: 1980
1,000 ACRES 1,000
CORN FOR GRAIN 70,984 71,193 109.4 91.8 7,763,771 6,645,852 6,534,370

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 12,949 12,147 62.9 45.0 814,308 552,693 547,060
OATS 9,831 8,861 54.4 50.9 534,386 440,655 450,660
BARLEY 7,468 7,367 50.6 47.7 378,067 340,000 351,567
ALL WHEAT 62,600 71,627 34.2 32.9 2,141,732 2,324,951 2,353,641

WINTER 43,572 52,030 36.9 36.1 1,608,897 «1,870,211 1,878,671
OURUM 3,932 4,845 2.1 21.2 "106,654 100,195 "102,915
OTHER SPRING 15,096 14,752 ; 25.2 426,181 354,545 372,055
RICE 2,979.0 3,330, 4,209 136,667 146,076 140,175

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 70,530 67,857 27.0 2,267,647 «1,880,342 1,831,172
FLAXSEED 1,018 763 10.1 13,539 7; 7,700
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 1,524.5 1,495.2 2,100 3,980,440 3,699,010 3,139,360,
ALL COTTON 12,815.9 3,319.0 Sii 42. 14,629.3 32,812.3  11,689.3

‘UPLAND 12,726.8 —-13,245.9 420 14,530.7 12,712.6 —11,589.6
AMER-PIMA 9.1 BL 655 98.6 99.7 99.7

ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1,418.7 1,786.5 1,337 20,665 23,199 23,894
ORY EDIBLE PEAS BY 136.0 131.0 2,131 2,039 2,389 2,791
SUMMER POTATOES OT: 109.0 95.7 176 22,292 17,398 16,627
‘SWEETPOTATOES wo: 124.7 114.8 105 14,390 12,403 12,007
TOBACCO 1.8 2 826.3 927.3 1,928 1,526,682 1,850,832 1,788,140
‘SUGARBEETS TIN + 1,123.7 1,177.1 19.4 22,073 22,044 22,829
SUGARCANE FOR :

‘SUGAR AND SEED “ 3 732.7 129. 37.2 26,532 27,660 27,171
PEPPERMINT OIL Bo: 90.9 80. 54 4,713 4,347 4,321
SPEARMINT OIL es 33.1 2 69 1,921 1,861 2,056
HOPS, mo: 31.8 37 1,865 54,929 67,205 69,210
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT = él
PEARS TON: 861.5 872.8 887.8
GRAPES noo: 4,989.0 4,834.2 4,879.2
ORIEO PRUNES (CALIF) oo" = ¢ 133.0 3/1600 165.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS : ~

(EXCL CALIF) " 3 62,5 73.5 73.5
CRANBERRIES PL: 2,075.5 4/2,475.0
PECANS: LB: 210,600 I92,000
FILGERTS TON: 13.0 14,0
WALNUTS (CALIF) ns 208.0 215.0 220.0

V/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1969-78 AVERAGE IS 74 PERCENT.
3/ JA 1, 1980, 4/ RELEASED AUG 19,1980.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD PER ACRE :
CROP AND UNIT : INDICATED: : INDICATED
1979: 19 / 1979: 1980
: 1,000 ACRES

RYE gu: 949 700 25.9 23.1
ALL HAY TON 61,162 59,862 2.39 2.08

ALFALFA * 27,519 26,868 3.28 2.83

ALL OTHER * 33,643 32,996 1.73 1.46
POTATOES

WINTER wT 1.9 1.5 200 205 2,383 2,363

SPRING ® 83.8 72.8 255 234 21,345 17,012

FALL ® 1,074.2 977.4 281 301,628
APPLES, COM'L LB 8,089,100 8,360,500
PEACHES * 2,977,500 2,907,200
SWEET CHERRIES TON 182.5 166.7
TART CHERRIES Bo: 170,400 248, 300
APRICOTS TON: 144.5 124.3
NECTARINES (CALIF) " : 172.0 185.0
PLUMS (CALIF) " : 175.0 170.0
OLIVES (CALIF) . t 59.0 106.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) Bo: 376,000 340,000

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 AS CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


QUANTITY OF SEED USED PER ACRE FOR

SPECIFIED CROPS, BY STATES

1980 SEEDING RATES:

‘SWEET

IRISH |:

POTATOES, :POTATOES,

2 PEANUTS 4/ +

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POUNDS:

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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980



FLAXSEED

STATE 6 AREA HARVESTED a YIELO 4 PRODUCTION
t t ry TNO t + + INO s + t IND
11978 + 1979 + _3980 : 1978 + 3979 + 4980 4 4976 ¢ 4979 4 4960
1 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
'
MINN 8 442 153 120 15,5 1,5 12,0 2,201 2,219 1,440
NOAK of 410 510 3600 14651245 8,0 4,715 6,375 2,680
3 0AK 4 263 350 280 «12,5 14,0 1240 3,268 4,900 3,360
TEX S49 20 5 3 10,0 9.0 6.5 200 as 20
us : 835 4,018 763 12,5 13,3 1041 10,404 13,539 74700
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELD 3 PROOUCTION
: : z IND: t t IND = = ~ TNO
3978 3 41979 LI>d A976 3 1979 2 1980 ¢ 31978 3 1979 1940
3 4,000 ACHES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
2 1,950 2,250 2,100 25.0 20,0 40,950 $6,250 42,000
4,700 5,150 4,570 28.0 115,150 144,200 73,120
z 245 265 260 30.0 6,860 7,950 7,020
: 410 as3 465 29.0 19,250 13,137 11, $60
: 1,660 2,400 2,180 28.0 29,400 58,800 3
94190 9,720 9,250 38,5 307,865 374,220 323,
: 4,180 4,420 4,350 36.0 144,210 159,120 147,900
3 7,550 6,170 6,250 36.0 290/675 310/460 305,250
: 1,490 19560 1,200 26.5 26,820 41,340 19,200
3 46440 14660 1,600 32.5 426300 53,950 38, 400
: 2.840 3.200 3,400 28.0 712000 899600 = 71,900
3 345 385 375 30.0 11,040 11,550 9,750
z 500 970 950 29.5 19/200 28,615 28,500
t 4,060 5,230 4,700 32.0 146,160 167,360 150,400
: 3,800 4,100 3,850 29.0 81,700 118,900 77,000
zr 5,500 5+930 5,500 3165 157,890 186,795 110,000
: 1,250 1,610 10760 34,0 42,500 54,740 49, 840
: 206 225 206 39.0 6,386 6,750 5,562
t 22 23 19 26.0 506 598 456
: 1,680 1,950 16980 23,5 41,160 «45,825 43,560
3 173 206 200 27.0 4,758 1562 3,600
3,750 4,030 3.760 36.0 125,625 145,080 131,600
315 330 330 23.0 5,355 7,590 5,610
62 82 97 52.0 1/953 2,620 2,619
1,970 1,669 19650 24.0 32,340 39,840 29,700
390 635 725 33.0 116895 20,955 17,000
2,420 2,620 2,550 27.0 56,870 70,740 48,450
145 805 585 26,0 194743 204930 154210
ass 496 645 26.5 19, 126740 14,136 12,255
215 295 330 34,0 © 34,0 6,860 40,030 11,220

63,343 70,530 67,857 32.2 27,0 1,870,181 2,267,647 1,831,172

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1970-80 (1967=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR ¢ 3 HAY =: H : : 3

: ALY FEED: AND : FOOD) : SUGAR COTTON : TOBACCO : OIL CROPS

: = GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : :
1970: = 100 89 100 91 114 139 97 117
1971: 12 116 105 107 116 145 86 121
1972, : =) 113 112 104 102 127 187 88 bl
1973: oho 115 109 116 112 V5 88 155
1974: lO 93 104 120 104 158 101 127
1975: lal 114 108 142 130 112 110 153
1976 : 121 120 102 141 128 142 108 132
1977: (129 126 107 132 116 191 98 175
1978: 131 135 113 125 116 145 102 182
1979: (144 145 117 143 110 200 79 219
198000: (131 120 108 156 a 157 91 176

1/__INCLUDES GRASS AND COVER CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN
SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

Cong OF PRODUCTION Tapert Contalis State! and National estimates, With, related Invornation on
iselected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting|
Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington]
lneadquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

J. L. Olson, Chairman,
P, A. Walsh, Secretary,
APPROVED: D. W. Barrowman, F. E. Rolf,
D. C, Tucker, R. F. Carver,
R. L. Addison, F. H. Belmont,
W. R. Blackson, A. R. Budge,
T. 3. Byram, R. 0. Fenley,
<2 J. R. Gibson, F. W. Griffith,
G. H. Howse, T. W. Jean,
. D. C. Johnson, S. A. Kellogg,
S. R. Koyle, T. €. Marr,
G. A. Nelson, D. £. Ransom,
R. L. Schulte, C. A, Van Lahr, Jr.,
QO. K. Wong.
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE J

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEARS

CROP AND STATE £ PRODUCTION 1/
: TOTAL : TOTAL : IND
z 1978 2 1979 H 1980
3 TONS
PEARS BARTLETT t
CALIF t 281,000 355,000 380,000
OREG ' 55,500 85,000 82,000
WASH 3 132,000 153,000 150,000
TOTAL t 466,509 593,000 612,000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT '
CALIF : 7,300 10,300 11,000
OREG : 96,000 120,000 120,000
WASH : 114,000 93,000 100,000
TOTAL t 217,300 223,300 231,000
ALL PEARS 3
CALIF z 268,300 365,300 391,000
covo est 1,950 4,600 4,600
CONN est 1,900 1,800 1,600
MICH z 13,000 13,000 12,000
NY : 18,500 16,000 19,000
OREG 2 151,500 205,000 202,000
PA "est 3,300 2,800
UTAH ers 2600 5,000 4900
WASH z 246,000 246,000 250,000
us t 727,050 861,500 887,800

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE,
(TONS)? U 8 1979*500,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE & AVERAGE 3 1979
2 1969978 ¢&
3 :

AVERAGE = 1979
1969078

: PERCENT PERCENT

ALA > 80 ty) 38 5 78 82 94
ARIZ 3 72 7 2 719 65 eT
ARK : 70 90 : 79 86 se
CALIF ¢ 71 6a 2 75 a8 54
colo ot 7t BA 3 80 72 19
CONN : 1m 72 : be 82 6a
DEL 3 18 95 : 69 72 4s
FLA : 8s ag 2 a4 97 95
GA : 19 62 z 70 87 36
TOAHO ¢ 81 7? 3 80 ie) 92
TRL t 79 a9 : 81 85 69
IND 2 84 96 z BL 92 72
TOWA : 7 89 3 78 76 aT
KANS ot 72 88 : 64a 88 48
KY : 68 96 3 80 93 50
LA t 78 ar t 66 as BT
MAINE ¢ m9 86 3 74 el 62
MD + 79 92 : 1 17 a6
MASS 3 19 6s 2 83 93 70
MICH : 14 89 2 77 70 e4
MINN : 68 92 3 Be 94 92
MISS : 78 91 : 70 bet 89
“Oo : 66 ba 2 a1 19 70
MONT 3 80 69 3

NEBR : 70 a7

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER 3 POOR TO FAIR 65=793 VERY POOR, SO9643 SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35*493 EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUMMER POTATOES

STATE 2 AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO z PRODUCTION
? 7 ? IND 3 3 cy IND : fy IND
1978 : 1979 3 1980 } 1978 31979 + 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 1980
1/000 ACRES tat 1,000 CWT
ALA 2 905 150 170 50 1,200 1,530 a7s
CALIF = ¢ 76 360 350 365 2,804 2,695 2,774
coro 5.8 25s 275 275 1,734 1,898 1,595
DEL 3 Sel 210 220 190 1,113 1,056 969
Tut t 1.8 200 235 190 360 aur 342
INO 3 1.5 170 160 160 340 288 240
IOWA 1.4 200 210 230 300 231 322
MO 1.5 150 165 175 225 248 203
MICH ot 4.3 175, 180 195 1,453 1,548 1,619
MINN 3 5.4 280 285 280 1,960 2796 1,512
NEBR 1.3 160 180 200 288 270 260
NJ t 8.2 255 250 240 2,091 2,125 1,968
NMEX 3.5 205 275 160 779 1,210 500
nc z 3.8 125 120 105 500 468 399
OHIO 1.4 190 210 200 304 294 280
TENN a1 90 90 85 396 387 309
TEX 7.0 210 240 150 2,310 2,616 1,050
vA 18.5 110 130 100 2,970 3,185 1,850
TOTAL 95.7 189 205 176 21,167 = 22,292 46, 827
SWEETPOTATOES
STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELD : PRODUCTION
: 3 IND = IND = = TND
z 1978 3 1979 1980: 1978 = 1979 1980 3 1978 1979 3 1989
3 1,000 ACRES Cwr 1,000 CWT
ALA z 5.5 5.7 5.5 100 110 80 550 627 440
ARK 1/3 1.6 1.6 1.5 79 75 15 126 120 113
CALIF ¢ 8.7 906 9.0 160 170 165 1,392 1,632 1,485
GA : 6.0 6.0 5.0 110 m5 100 660 690 500
La : 28.0 27.0 25.0 95 95 85 2,660 2,565 2,125
MD Ast 1.4 1a 1.3 160 155 160 22a 217 208
MISS 3 9.0 8.8 aS 68 90 86 7192 792 731
NJ z 2.6 2.7 2.7 110 115 105 286 Bil 264
nc : 37.0 41.0 38.0 140 120 120 5,180 4,920 4,560
sc 1s 2.4 268 2.5 105 100 90 ase 280 2e5
TENN 2.8 2.8 2.7 100 105 90 280 294 243
TEX : a5 9.4 9.2 110 125 70 1,045 1,175 64g
vA z ool 5.9 3.9 140 130 145 asa 767 aug
us : 120.6 124.7 110.8 119 115 105 14,301 14,390 12,007

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEM FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


FLAXSEED: Flaxseed production is forecast at 7.70 million bushels (196 thousand metric tons), up
9 percent from last month's forecast but 43 percent less than last year's crop,

Both North Dakota and South Dakota are showing a 1.0 bushel per acre yield increase from
last month's forecast while prospects in Minnesota remained unchanged.

Late summer rains improved crop prospects during August. However, harvest was delayed, re-
sulting in some quality and quantity losses.

PEANUTS: Peanut production as of September 1 is forecast at 3.14 billion pounds net weight

(1.42 million metric tons), down 15 percent from the August 1 forecast and 21 percent
less than the 3.98 billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) produced in 1979. The indicated
yield per acre of 2100 pounds is 348 pounds below last month's forecast and 511 pounds less than
last year. Acreage expected to be harvested for peanuts this year totals 1.50 million acres (605
thousand hectares), 2 percent below the 1.52 million acres (617 thousand hectares) harvested in
1979,

The Virginia-North Carolina area is expected to produce 571 million pounds, down 10 percent
from 1979. The indicated yield of 2123 pounds is down 241 pounds from a year ago. Drought
conditions in the major peanut. growing areas of both States prevailed throughout August, sharply
reducing prospects.

The crop in the Southeastern area is expected to total 1.96 billion pounds, down 22 percent
from the 2.52 billion pounds produced last year. Acreage for harvest at 807 thousand acres
compares with 818 thousand harvested last year. Yields are expected to average 2425 pounds per
acre, down 660 pounds from the previous year. Hot, dry weather in Alabama during August
tesulted in a 400 pound decrease in indicated yield per acre from August 1. Condition of the
crop in Florida was improved by August rains as pods were filling out. Harvest started in late
August. Non-irrigated acreage in Georgia deteriorated rapidly during August. Plants have quit
growing and blooming. Yields will be reduced considerably from last year. Irrigated acreage is
in much better condition but is also showing the effects of the extreme heat and dry weather.

Production in the Southwest is expected to total 610 million pounds, 26 percent less than
last year. Acreage for harvest at 419 thousand is down 4 percent from last year's 438 thousand
acres. Indicated yield at 1457 pounds per acre is 420 pounds less than last year. About 5
percent of the Oklahoma acreage was mature on September 1. Oryland acreage has suffered severely
from the drought and many ponds used for irrigation are critically low. Harvest in Texas got
underway around September l-~later than usual. Dryland fields are suffering from a lack of
moisture and are maturing rapidly. Irrigated fields remain in generally good condition.

COTTON: All cotton production in the United States is expected to total 11.7 million bales, 20

percent less than last year and 9 percent below the August 1 forecast. Prospects
declined during August in all producing areas except the western States. Upland production is
forecast at 11.6 million bales, down 20 percent from last year and American-Pima production,
forecast at 99.7 thousand bales, is up 1 percent from 1979. Cottonseed production for 1980,
based on a three year average lint-seed ratio, is forecast at 4.58 million tons (4,15 million
metric tons), 21 percent below 1979,

Acreage of all cotton for harvest is estimated at 13.3 million acres (5.39 million hec-
tares), 4 percent more than last year. Average yield of lint per harvested acre is forecast at
421 pounds compared with 548 pounds last year.

Production in the Southeastern States--Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina--
is forecast at 480 thousand bales, down 24 percent fron last year and 22 percent below the
August 1 forecast. Hot, dry weather restricted plant growth and caused shedding of fruit. Bolls
are small and opening prematurely, Harvest was underway by September 1.

Growers in the Delta States--Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee--expect
to produce 2.62 million bales, 14 percent below 1979 and 11 percent less than the August 1 fore-
cast. Condition of the crop was mostly poor to fair on September 1. Prospects declined in all
Delta States. In much of the area, plants are small but well fruited and many bolls are mis-
shapen with blank locks. Golls are opening earlier than normal and limited harvest is underway.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 22.8 million tons (20.7 million metric

tons), up 4 percent from the August 1 forecast and 3 percent above 1979 production.
Average yield per acre is estimated at 19.4 tons compared with 19.6 tons in 1979. Acres for
harvest at 1.18 million acres (476 thousand hectares) is 5 percent more than the 1979 harvested
acreage.

Harvest of the 1980 crop is complete in the Imperial Valley of California with 1981
Plantings underway. Central Valley harvest is underway. Colorado's crop is in good to excellent
condition. The hot weather during August put great demands on irrigation but water supplies
were plentiful. Hail damage has been minimal this summer.

The crop is generally in good to excellent condition in Michigan and Ghio. Michigan beets
are sizing very well and moisture is plentiful. Idaho's crop continues to make good growth.
Water supplies for irrigation are ample. The crop continues in excellent condition in Montana
with sugar content running slightly higher than normal. The south central area of the State has
potentially record production if good weather prevails through harvest.

Rain during August in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota improved
prospects. Beets now need more sunny days to improve sugar content. Harvest is expected to
start September 24 in the Southern Red River Valley and the first week in October in Northern
Valley areas.

SUGARCANE: Production af sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.2 million tons (24.6

million metric tons), down 2 percent from the August 1 forecast but 2 percent above
production in 1979. Average yield per acre is estimated at 37.2 tons compared with 36.2 tons in
1979,

Florida's yield prospects are good to excellent as weather during August was very favorable
for cane growth, Light harvest for seed was underway in August and should slowly increase during
September. Harvest for sugar is not expected to begin until late October.

Yield prospects in Louisiana declined from a month earlier. Growers were preparing seedbeds
and planting was underway as the month ended.

In Texas, some sugarcane tops were broken and cane blown over during Hurricane Allen.
Expected yields were reduced and some loss of sucrose is expected. On the other hand, the
moisture from Hurricane Allen was helpful and temporarily reduced irrigation needs. Harvest is
expected to begin in mid-October.

Weather was warm and humid--hot at times--during August in the Hawaiian Island chain.
Rainfall was generally confined to the windward section keeping moisture levels sufficient for
good crop development. Most of the fields in leeward areas were irrigated.

MINT OIL: The ermint crop is forecast at 4.32 million pounds (1960 metric tons), 8 percent

below fee year and 1 percent less than last month. An increase of 1 pound in the
Nation's yield prospects since August 1 was offset by a reduction in acreage for harvest in
Wisconsin where excessive rainfall caused a decline during August. Yield prospects improved in
Indiana, Oregon and Idaho.

The spearmint crop is forecast at 2.06 million pounds (930 metric tons), 7 percent more than
last year ar percent above August 1. All of the increase in production since August 1
resulted from better yield prospects in Washington where two cuttings plus improved baby mint
prospects markedly increased the outlook for this year.

HOPS: Production of hops in the U.S. is forecast at 69.2 million pounds (31.4 thousand metric

tons), 3 percent above the August 1 forecast and 26 percent above last year. Acreage for
harvest, estimated at 37.1 thousand acres (15.0 thousand hectares), is unchanged from last month
but expected yields increased 52 pounds to 1865 pounds per acre.

Washington harvest started August 18 and was about 20 percent complete by the first of

September with ideal harvest conditions. August was an exceptionally good month in Oregon for
hop growth and development.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1980 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA