CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION

PRODUCTION
BOXES

TON EQUIVALENT
CROP 0 ~~ ---------- -- == + --- = +--+ 2-2 en ee ee eee ene
AND UTILIZED UTILIZED :
STATE : INDICATED

: 1989-90
1,000 UNITS

ORANGES, EARLY MID :
& NAVEL 3/ 4/
ARIZ

1,000 UNITS 2/

: 610 550 500 23 21 19
CALIF : 31,500 34,000 35,000 1,182 1,275 1,313
FLA : 78,500 85,300 72,000 3,532 3,839 3,240
TEX 3 940 1,200 1,300 40 51 55
US : 111,550 121,050 108,800 4,777 5,186 4,627
ORANGES, VALENCIA 4/:
ARIZ : 1,210 1,150 900 45 43 34
CALIF : 27,500 23,000 26,000 1,031 862 975
FLA : 59,500 61,300 58,000 2,677 2,759 2,610
TEX : 490 650 650 21 28 28
US : 88,700 86,100 85,550 3,774 3,692 3,647
ALL ORANGES 4/
ARIZ : 1,820 1,700 1,400 68 64 53
CALIF : 59,000 57,000 61,000 2,213 2,137 2,288
FLA : 138,000 146,600 130,000 6,209 6,598 5,850
TEX : 1,430 1,850 1,950 61 79 83
US 200,250 207,150 194,350 8,551 8,878 8,274
TEMPLES
FLA Hu 3,550 3,750 3,000 160 169 135
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEDLESS
FLA 4/ : 29,200 27,700 22,500 1,241 1,177 956
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED :
SEEDLESS :
FLA 4/ 21,900 23,700 18,500 930 1,007 786
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 4/ 2,750 3,350 3,000 117 142 128
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ _4/ 1,950 1,950 2,100 63 63 67
CALIF 4/ 5/
DESERT : 4,200 3,500 3,700 134 112 118
OTHER AREAS: 4,900 5,000 164 168
TOTAL : 9,100 8,500 298 280
FLA 4/ : $3,850 54,750 44,000 2,288 2,326 1,870
TEX : 3,800 4,800 4,400 152 192 176
us : 68,700 70,000 2,801 2,861
TANGERINES 4/ 6/
ARIZ : 600 650 700 23 25 26
CALIF : 2,090 2,040 1,750 78 76 66
FLA : 2,450 2,900 2,200 117 138 105
US : 5,140 5,590 4,650 218 239 197
LEMONS 4/
ARIZ : 3,650 3,800 3,200 139 144 122
CALIF : 17,000 16,200 16,500 646 615 627
US : 20,650 20,000 19,700 785 759 749
TANGELOS
FLA 4/ 4,200 3,800 3,500 189 171 158
1/_ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2 T LBS. PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75

FLA-90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF “DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER-67, FLA-85,
TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND MID-
SEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES
IN TEXAS. 4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS OF APR 1.
$39 FLORIDA het TANGERINES" INCLUDE SUNBURST TANGERINES BEGINNING WITH THE

CROP PRODUCTION Rear Cut TURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-20 NASS, USDA


INDEX

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ......eceeccccccccccccccceccccccccccsvcsere
CITRUS FRUIT ...c cece cece cc cccc ccc c ccc ccsecc essen sccescccace

CORN CROPPING PRACTICES .....ccesscccccccccccercceccesccscces

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED ...

NOVEMBER 1989 B-11 NASS, USDA

A-13
A-20
A-22
A-10
A-23
A-15
A-15
Bil
A-19
A-19
A-21
A-12
A-14
A-12
A-10
A-25
A-19
A- 3

A-11

A-11
A-13
A-24
A-16
A-16
A-17
A-16
A-4


POTATOES

1,000 CWT
WINTER 1/
CALIF 5.2 5.5 230 240 1,081 1,196 1,320
FLA : OO 7:6 200 190 15420 1) 420 1,448
TOTAL > 12.3 13.1 213 all 2,501 2,616 2,764
SPRING 1/
ALA. 4.9 4.4 135 195 ‘00 8
ARIZ : 5.3 5.7 235 300 1,348 1,246 1,710
CALIF : 19.6 21:0 385 375 :881 7,546 7,875
FLA-HASTINGS : 26.5 25:5 235 220 5 168 6,228 53610
~OTHER 2.5 6.5 210 180 399 525 1,170
7) 4 3 50 55 18 20 7
Nc 14.4 14:8 190 155 2,544 2,736 2,294
TEX 3 2 5:8 185 «135 930 15147 783
TOTAL > 79.8 84.0 252 242 18,988 20,110 20,317
SUMMER 1/
ALA 7.7 6.3 90 170 1,240 693 1,071
CALIF 5:9 6.1 325 360 25208 1,918 23196
coLo 6.1 6.4 305 310 1,859 1,861 1,984
OEL 8.4 7.7 215 180 1,680 1,806 1,386
TLL 32 313. 230250 806 736 825
IOWA 1.7 1:5 170 180 360 289 270
MD 2:3 2:1 200 170 500 460 357
MICH 9:0 9:5 180 220 2,160 1,620 2,090
MINN 5.7 6.3 260 290 1,920 1,482 1,827
NEBR 2.3 2.3 300 265 675 690 610
NJ 5.2 4.8 195 175 1,254 1,014 840
N MEX 10.2 11.0 300 350 3,500 > 3,850
NC 14 1:4 120-320 173
TENN ‘9 "9 65 120 104 59 108
TEX 9.0 10.5 250 250 2,420 2,250 2,625
VA 12:8 11:6 160 = 115 1,974 2,048 1,334
TOTAL > 92.8 91.7 220 235 22,833 20,154 += 21, 541
FALL
CALIF > 16.5 16.5 370 400 7,869 6,105 6,600
coLo > 5915 61:5 320 335 19,500 19,040 20,603
CONN 3 ‘6 13225 © 220 123
IDAHO-10 SW CO: 18:0 17:0 400 © 395 7,200 7,200 6,715
-OTHER CO : 329.0 336.0 290 285 92,510 95,410 95,760
IND : 4.2 4.2 180 270 1,250 6 1,134
MAINE : 80.0 79.0 275 270 23,240 22,000 21,330
MASS : 2.6 2:5 220 © 240 658 (00
MICH 34:0 27:0 230 230 9,720 7,820 6,210
MINN 69:0 66.0 175 210 16,330 12,075 13,860
MONT Fane ef 7.8 280 © 300 2,370, ,
NEBR > 7.6 7:9 280 © 320 23175 23128 2,528
: 8.0 8.0 310 325 2,720 2,480 2,600
N Y-LONG IS 8.3 7.3 240 260 2,425 1,992 898
-UPSTATE 24:0 21:5 200 220 6,250 4,800 4,730
N DAK : 135.0 12310 115115 24,050 «15,525 14145
OHIO : 87 7:9 195 185 25254 15697
OREG-MALHEUR CO : 6.4 5.2 375 390 » 788 2,400 2,028
-OTHER CO 8: 38.6 44.8 475 475 23,136 18,335 21,280
A : 20:5 20:5 180 230 5730 (3,691 4,715
RI 1.2 1.2 250 250 263 300
S_DAK 10.0 9:0 160 210 2,310 1,600 1,890
UTAH 6.6 6.1 245° 245 1,584 1617 1,495
WASH 115.0 118.0 550 545 66,960 63,250 64,310
WIS 62:5 68:0 320 345 22,100 20,000 23) 460
WYO 19 2:1 250 «285 483 475
TOTAL 4 1,068.3 292 302 344,998 313,558 322,658
us 3 1,257.1 283 © 292 389,320 356,438 367,280
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1989 A-14 NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS: ROW SPACING - 1989

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted soybean objective
yield surveys in 14 States which account for approximately 85 percent of the
1989 U.S. soybean production. Plots were randomly selected from a scientifi-
cally drawn sample of soybean fields, which were visited monthly from about
August 1 through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements. Sample
data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the follow-
ing table are not Agricultural Statistics Board official estimates but are
intended to show trends in soybean production practices.

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1987-89 1/

ROW WIDTH GROUPS (INCHES)

STATE :NUMBER :---------------2--- 2222 2e eon eee eee : AVERAGE

AND : OF: 10.1- : 18.6- : 28.6- : WIDTH 2/
YEAR  :SAMPLES: 18.5 28.5 34.5 (INCHES)

: NUMBER PERCENT OF PLOTS

ARK 1987: 134 10.5 3.4 15.3 24.0 46.8 31.5
1988: 131 lll 2.7 18.3 19.8 48.1 31.9
1989: 125 14.1 2.0 22.1 25.7 36.1 30.4

GA 1987: 79 - - 5.1 26.6 68.3 34.7
1988: 83 9.6 - 1.2 24.1 65.1 35.2
1989: 76 2.6 - 5.3 17.1 75.0 35.0
ILL 1987: 179 12.3 7.8 3.9 58.9 17.1 27.2
1988: 185 16.8 49 2.7 56.2 19.4 27.2
1989: 178 18.8 5.9 307 48.6 23.0 26.6
IND 1987: 104 20.8 8.2 1.9 56.1 13.0 25.9
1988: 117 16.3 8.1 43 58.4 12.9 26.9
1989: 108 19.5 9.8 2:3 53.5 14.9 26.4
IOWA 1987: 155 6 5.2 6.5 46.1 41.6 32.0
1988: 155 4.8 4.2 12.0 52.9 26.1 30.1
1989: 148 4 4.8 6.8 55.4 28.9 30.3

KY 1987: 92 12.0 13.0 25.0 44.0 6.0 26.3
1988: 88 16.5 19.1 18.0 37.1 9.3 24.9
1989: 94 25.5 25.5 20.2 21.3 15 22.
LA 1987: 95 13.7 Ll 18.4 25.8 41.0 32.0
1988: 109 21.1 9.6 11.0 10.6 47.7 31.1
1989: 85 15.9 8.2 18.8 147 42.4 28.4
MINN 1987; 93 17.3 10.3 7.0 56.2 9.2 25.
1988: 109 17.0 13.3 8.7 52.7 8.3 24.0
1989: 110 20.7 8.1 5.4 53.2 12.6 24.7
(CONTINUED)

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1989 A-24 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

CROP : : :

AND : : INDICATED: te

UNIT : 1988 : 1989 : 1988
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 84.6 116.6 4,921,191 7,448,875 7,589,715
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " : 63.8 59.8 577,551 656,718 628,908
RICE CWT 1/: 5,511 5,697 159,547 155,118 156,428
SOYBEANS FOR :

BEANS BU: 26.9 32.8 1,547,541 1,926,385 1,936,545
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: 2,445 2,523 3,980,917 4,341,850 4,134,700
ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 619 607 15,411.5 11,991.4 12,102.4

UPLAND "If: 616 597 15,077.3 11,324.4 11,434.4

AMER-PIMA "—V/: 848 877 334.2 667.0 668.0
COTTONSEED TON: 6,062 4,677 4,716
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/: 1,408 1,415 19,230 24,719 23,991
POTATOES :

FALL CWT: = (292 302 313,558 322,658

TOTAL . 2 283 292 356,438 367,280
TOBACCO LB : 2,160 2,105 1,369,662 1,478,122 1,465,857
SUGARBEETS TON: 19.1 19.6 24,810 26,596 25,956
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED " : 35.4 35.2 29,904 30,521 30,368
PASTURE AND :

RANGE FEED 2/ PCT : 59 70
DRIED PRUNES :

(CALIF) TON : 155.0 3/205.0 205.0
FILBERTS " : 16.5 13.5 13.0

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF
MONTH. THE 1978-87 AVERAGE IS 76 PERCENT. 3/ SEP 1, 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-5 NASS, USDA


The Idaho crop was about 75 percent harvested by October 30,
slightly behind last year's progress. Yields are lower than had been
expected.

Michigan sugarbeet tonnage is down from earlier expectations.
However, the beets are of excellent quality and sugar content. About 90
to 95 percent of the crop was harvested by November 1, the earliest
harvest in several years.

Wyoming harvest progressed slowly in early October but the pace
increased and most were harvested by November 1. Most growers had good
yields. However, some were short on irrigation water and lost their crop
or had reduced yields.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at
30.4 million tons, 1 percent less than the October 1 forecast
but 2 percent above last year's output. Nationally, acreage is up 2
percent from a year ago but the expected yield per acre is 0.2 tons
lower. Larger crops than a year earlier are expected in Florida and
Louisiana. However, Hawaii and Texas expect a smaller output.

In Florida, the first mill opened the week of October 22-28. The
last mill is expected to start by November 15.

In Hawaii, heavy showers slowed harvest during the early part of
October. Drier weather later in the month aided crop growth and
harvesting.

The Louisiana harvest was 30 percent completed by October 30.
Reports reveal low juice content but high sucrose levels.

The Texas crop expectations declined with dry conditions and salt
build up from heavy irrigation.

FILBERTS (HAZELNUTS): Oregon and Washington filbert (hazelnut) produc-

tion is forecast at 13.0 thousand tons, 4 percent
below the October 1 forecast and 21 percent less than last year's crop.
Growers report quantity and quality vary greatly as harvest nears
completion.

PRUNES: California's production on a dried basis is forecast at 205

thousand tons, unchanged from the September 1 forecast but 32
percent more than 1988. Harvest is complete. Fruit volume was heavy but
there were more undersized fruit than normal.

PAPAYAS: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is forecast at 4.60 million

pounds for November, 19 percent lower than November 1988.
Output is expected to decline to 2.50 million pounds in December,
increase to 3.20 million pounds in January, but drop again to 2.50
million pounds in February.

Fresh utilization is estimated at 5.86 million pounds for October,
22 percent higher than September but virtually unchanged from last
October. Year-to-date fresh sales were 16 percent higher than the same
10-month period a year ago. Weather conditions over major producing
areas were mostly fair during October.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B-9 NASS, USDA



PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE : AVERAGE : 1988 : 1989 :: STATE : AVERAGE : 1988 : 1989
: 1978-87 : : nt : 1978-87 : :
PERCENT i : PERCENT

ALA : 65 69 75 NEV 85 56 71
ARIZ: 78 94 55 NH 87 80 93
ARK : 70 59 69 i: NJ : 75 79 96
CALIF : 83 62 86 tr N MEX: 83 95 60
coLO : 79 72 71 2: ONY : 83 72 73
CONN : 82 88 91 rp ONC : 72 74 85
DEL : 71 61 90 zt N DAK: 70 26 39
FLA : 73 73 81 :: OHIO: 79 70 86
GA : 58 59 70 :: OKLA: 70 65 85
IDAHO: 83 36 73 :: OREG : 83 58 77
ILL : 79 65 78 :: PA : 76 66 75
IND : 81 65 85 i: RI : 91 90 99
IOWA: 83 58 69 :: SC : 60 68 80
KANS : 75 60 78 :: S DAK : 75 41 52
KY : 78 75 92 :: TENN: 75 84 97
LA : 72 76 65 z: TEX 4 67 45 46
MAINE : 84 85 91 z: UTAH: 86 47 54
MD : 72 72 90 r2 VT : 86 84 87
MASS: 82 88 92 :: VA : 75 70 90
MICH: 87 71 83 :: WASH: 79 73 79
MINN : 81 51 52 tr: WVA SO: 74 72 90
MISS): 71 74 80 z:) WIS 4 84 42 65
MO : 77 63 80 z: WYO : 83 45 63
MONT =: 75 37 84 i :

NEBR 78 69 52 rn US : 76 59 70

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64;
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-21 NASS, USDA



CROP MOISTURE

OCT 28, 1989
LAST CHART FOR THIS SEASON [*¥Qn42LY

1

> ABNORM,
c DR’
‘

AN 7 TABNORMALLY ~
’ —L DRY
ABNORMALLY ~
oy \
fl ‘

+ABNORMALLY
ca DRY

TEARS) DAQOGEE O8 WET SPELLS WHICH a8 DEPICTIO aren st MLCT ADE PactsTY

texan prin opr
DROUGHT SEVERITY
4 (LONG TERM, PALMER)
ameene’ Y OCT 28, 1989 | AST CHART FOR THIS SEASO
vb
wloehe af “wooenATE uy EXTREME H g
ey co? 07) Hb earaeue moist ye
Nn 3 SEVERE 7 SSE _- ac
” %
Moist ” EXTREME, i ho LE EXTREME. Hi .
- / 7
a 4, ce A
\Syirend ~ rad MODERATE, Moist
7 Silietas wy
Ss <4 ‘ “\wooenate + ‘ by
y “
* raiirisustiiscvene iH piMest
. m4 —— MODERATE
\ z f so MOIST MOIST
So a! a4 y
i(—o¢ SEVERE ‘
Aah eA SRO ONTRESS Sn Ne TVESE 4 as. MODERATE
WG REFLE ha AOTSTURE RUMOFE RECHARGE. d, MODERATE 7 ‘, ‘
ton, As EVAPOFRANSPI RATION: A, —> \ 4
APPL I UN MEASURING DISRUPTIVE EFFECTS OF PRO! ay SEVERE
IR SS OM WATER iF Vi :S/DES GMAT TAS wal
ra Hs Pa aS MCL ee ee Berne
[ETAT] 1s Ly Al OF DR)
Tr a
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1989 B-1 NASS, USDA



STATE
AND
YEAR

IND

IA

MICH

MINN

MO

NEBR

OHIO

S DAK

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

1987:
1988:
1989:

CORN FOR GRAIN:

: NUMBER :
OF:

230
231
230

174
178
170

205
213
210

PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTIONS BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1987-89

wenn ence eee cence een eee cnn een ee eee neeecneee TAVERAGE
40.6 &: ROW
38.5 : 40.5 :GREATER: WIDTH

: : 30.
: SAMPLES:OR LESS:

57.
52.
53.

47.
52.
58.

34.
37.
41.

57.
55.
59.

48.
53.
54.

33.
28.
44.

33.
34.
36.

60.
59.
58.

9.
17.
19.

21.
20.
13.

5:

DOH WON

OPO ANG CAM BWO DOP UAH won

Wor wnNo

HON

WON NOnm WIND OWN

onw

een

aN)
POD BONA WMS CoOF

HHO ODF

PNW Mon

ono

30.6-: 32.6-: 34.
32.5 : 34.5 : 36.5:

NUMBER

5 9.
5 14.
2 oil.

17.
12.
13.

16.
10.
10.

10.
9.
9.

5.
6.

ll.
14.
9.

14,
17.
ll.

24.
22.
24.

9.
4.
5.

7.
10.
10.3

TAN WOM WNO ODN CWHO FERN GDH UHO

ae

36.

16.
14.
17.

14,
16.
10.

26.
27.
29.

12.
8.
12.

22.
13.
14.

25.
25.
16.

23.
19.
22.

58.
48.
48.

26.
38.
39.

AWHD YWO BUH

11
9.
7

FOR NOM CNW DAWO FIN

wow

38.

“
UNF HAOMR OE WEE WUD

UWE OOD

eee
ao
o::)

aN)
oe

19.

Uw LUM DOW

Nwo bee DLW

noo noo

RAD ROO

onn

awn

NWO FOO Aum

0 5
4 35.5
6 8

32.
32.
32.

32.
32.
31.

34.
34.
33.

31.
31.
31.

32.
32.
32.

33.
34,
33.

Hw SNODO MOO OUMO AUF

WwW

33.
33.
33.

31.
31.
31.

36.
36.
36.

HWO NHOO CHM

35.
35.

1/ SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS
YIELD TERMINATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1989

A-23

IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR

OBJECTIVE

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


Area devoted to papaya production totaled 4035 acres in October, 1
percent more than September but 12 percent less than last October.
Harvested area, totaling 2660 acres for October, was 4 percent higher
than last month and 12 percent higher than a year ago.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of Florida's trees and groves were in good condi-

tion through all of October. Rainfall was generally
less than average for the majority of the citrus belt. Low volume
irrigation has been in use in all areas to supplement the surface soil
moisture. New growth on older trees has slowed considerably; however,
most young trees that have been fertigated are still showing new foliage.
New crop early bloom fruit have good sizes and the early types are being
picked for fresh usage. Both white and colored grapefruit are being
picked for domestic and export use. By the emd of October, early
oranges, all grapefruit, early tangerines, K-earlys, and tangelos were
being picked in good volumes. Caretakers are busy preparing groves for
the upcoming winter season. Disking and spraying weeds have been active
in young tree groves. A few spot sprays have been applied where insects
were a problem on fresh fruit.

GRAPEFRUIT: The Texas grapefruit forecast is 4.40 million boxes, un-

changed from last month, but 8 percent below last season.
Harvest was slow during October because of smaller sizes but quality has
been good. Irrigation has remained steady due to lack of rainfall in the
valley.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition

on November 1, 1989, for the 48
contiguous States was 70 percent, 11 points above November 1, 1988 but
6 points below the 1978-87 average for the date. The November 1
condition was 4 points below the October 1, 1989, condition. Conditions
improved from last month in 11 States, declined in 32 States, and was
unchanged in 5 States. Only North Dakota and Texas were in the severe
drought range. All of the Southeastern States, except for Tennessee, had
conditions below last month.

Five States (Arizona, Colorado, Louisiana, Nebraska, and New Mexico)
had conditions below November 1988.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: Early October was characterized by cool and

rainy days. Damage from the early rains was
variable depending on the crop and area. Weather conditions returned to
near normal by mid-month. The harvest of Fuji, Granny Smith, and Rome
variety apples progressed. Deglet Noor dates and avocados were harvested
in Riverside County. Packing of peaches and plums was completed in
October. Hachiya and Fuyu persimmons, Wonderful pomegranates, kiwifruit,
and Black Mission figs were packed throughout the month. Olive harvest
was active. Wine grape harvest was nearly completed in October. Raisins
were being reconditioned due to the rains of early October. Late season
table grapes continued to be packed. Almond, pistachio, and walnut
harvests were virtually complete by month's end. Pecan harvest had begun
by mid-October. Pruning and other fall cultural practices were ongoing
in deciduous fruit and nut crops. Desert grapefruit and lemons, along
with old crop Valencia oranges, were picked and packed during the month.
Some new crop Navel oranges and tangerines were being harvested by
month's end.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B-10 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

CLASS AND TYPE

: 1988 : 1989 1988

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT :
KY : 1,850 2,300 2,280 2,000 4,218 4,600
TENN : 480 550 2,100 2,000 1,008 1,100
US : 2,330 2,850 2,243 2,000 5,226 5,700
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT
KY : 950 1,300 2,280 2,000 2,166 2,600
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :
BELT :
VA : 110 90 1,155 1,255 127 113

TOTAL 35-37 : 3,390 4,240 2,218 1,984 7,519 8,413
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER :
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF : .

PA : 6,000 5,500 1,950 1,950 11,700 10,725
TYPE 42-44 OHIO-MIAMI :

VALLEY TYPES i

OHIO 2/ : 20 3/ 1,400 3/ 28 3/
TOTAL 41-44 2/7, : 6,020 5,500 1,948 1,950 11,728 10,725
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER : .
CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY :

BINDER

TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY

BROADLEAF :
CONN : 850 730 1,700 1,700 1,445 1,24]
MASS 3 100 100 1,850 1,750 185 175

TOTAL 51-52 : 950 830 1,716 1,706 1,630 1,416
CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :

WIS : 2,500 3,000 2,040 2,100 5,100 6,300
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS :

WIS : 1,100 1,700 1,800 1,800 1,980 3,060
TOTAL 54-55 : 3,600 4,700 1,967 1,991 7,080 9,360
TOTAL 51-55 : 4,550 5,530 1,914 1,949 8,710 10,776

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY
SHADE-GROWN DO
CONN : 960 1,100 1,590 1,400 1,526 1,540

MASS : 420 380 1,385 1,300 582 494
US : 1,380 1,480 1,528 1,374 2,108 2,034
ALL CIGAR TYPES :
TOTAL 41-61 : 11,950 12,510 1,887 1,881 22,546 23,535
ALL TOBACCO : 634,080 696,480 2,160 2,105 1,369,662 1,465,857

1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPES GROWN IN OHIO.
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED IN 1989 BECAUSE OF LIMITED ACREAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-18 NASS, USDA


AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION

STATE : IND : : IND : : : IND

1988 : 1989 : 1988 : 1989: 1987 : 1988 : 1989

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 170 190 44.0 80.0 18,000 7,480 15,200
ARIZ 1/: 17 13. 130.0 150.0 2,000 2,210 1,950
ARK 1/ : 60 55 100.0 120.0 7,475 6,000 6,600
CALIF : 187 200 145.0 150.0 35,360 27,115 30,000
colo 2/ : 800 950 160.0 150.0 106,950 128,000 142,500
DEL : 140 130 70.0 105.0 10,804 9,800 13,650
FLA 1/: 65 80 58.0 77.0 7,560 3,770 6,160
GA : 500 550 62.0 100.0 51,240 31,000 55,000
IDAHO 1/ 50 60 130.0 125.0 6,500 6,500 7,500
ILL 9,600 10,700 73.0 124.0 1,201,200 700,800 1,326,800
IND 5,000 5,150 83.0 134.0 631,800 415,000 690,100
IOWA 10,700 12,400 84.0 119.0 1,306,500 898,800 1,475,600
KANS 1,150 1,220 125.0 130.0 141,600 143,750 158,600
KY 1,100 1,190 73.0 114.0 118,560 80,300 135,660
LA 125 135 95.0 110.0 22,365 11,875 14,850
MAINE 2/

420 400 65.0 110.0 35,880 27,300 44,000
MASS 2/:
MICH : 1,600 1,950 70.0 108.0 185,250 112,000 210,600
MINN : 4,700 5,600 74.0 125.0 635,000 347,800 700,000
MISS 1/ 150 150 60.0 80.0 14,800 9,000 12,000
MO 2,020 2,250 76.0 99.0 242,950 153,520 222,750
MONT 1/ 20 15 110.0 110.0 1,575 2,200 1,650
NEBR 2/ 6,600 7,200 124.0 118.0 812,200 818,400 849,600
NJ. 1/ 84 78 70.0 95.0 10,450 5,880 7,410
N MEX 1/ 55 65 155.0 155.0 7,595 8,525 10,075
NY 485 590 85.0 90.0 55,590 41,225 53,100
NC 930 980 84.0 93.0 69,000 78,120 91,140
N DAK 380 500 58.0 75.0 46,500 22,040 37,500
OHIO 3,000 2,900 85.0 118.0 362,400 255,000 342,200
OKLA 1/ 78 95.0 110.0 , 840 8,580
OREG 1/ 19 22 «158.0 160.0 3,960 3,002 3,520
RA / 910 860 65.0 112.0 95,400 59,150 96,320
2
sc 335 300 58.0 90.0 29,250 19,430 27,000
S DAK 2,400 2,900 55.0 72.0 228,250 132,000 208,800
TENN 530 530 73.0 110.0 52,780 38,690 58,300
TEX : 1,350 1,400 96.0 109.0 133,750 129,600 152,600
UTAH ys : 22 20 «124.0 134.0 2,800 2,728 2,680
2/:

VA : 295 310 79.0 106.0 18,900 23,305 32,860
WASH 1/ : 80 90 170.0 175.0 13,600 13,600 15,750
WVA 1/7: 40 48 58.0 95.0 3,600 2,320 4,560
WIS : 1,950 2,800 67.0 111.0 330,400 130,650 310,800
wo 1/: 53 50 122.0 115.0 5,217 6,466 5,750
US 58,164 65,109 84.6 116.6 7,072,073 4,921,191 7,589,715

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ NOT ESTIMATED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-10 NASS, USDA


ALL COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 12.1 million bales,

down 21 percent from last year's production. Of the total,
Upland is expected to account for 11.4 million bales while Pima
production will be a record 668 thousand bales. Tota] area for harvest
is estimated at 9.57 million acres, down 20 percent from 1988. Yield is
expected to average 607 pounds per acre, 12 pounds below last year but
up 4 pounds from October 1.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 3.12
million bales, 43 percent below 1988 and 2 percent below October 1.
In Texas, a frost killed some cotton fields and the cooler weather
reduced production in later planted fields. As of November 5, harvest
continued in the Trans-Pecos and approached completion in the Blacklands.
In Oklahoma, the dry, cool weather slowed crop development, and many
fields were damaged from freezing temperatures during October. Texas was
10 percent ahead of the average harvesting pace and Oklahoma was 7 points
behind the average as of November 5.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and
Tennessee) expect to produce 3.84 million bales, down 18 percent from
last year but up 1 percent from October 1. Freezing temperatures slowed
boll development and damaged late fields in Arkansas, Louisiana, and
Mississippi. As of November 5, Mississippi and Arkansas were slightly
behind their average harvesting rate, but the harvesting pace in
Louisiana and Missouri was ahead of the average.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New
Mexico) is expected to total 3.39 million bales, down 11 percent from
1988. The yields in this region are expected to average 1,210 pounds per
acre, 172 pounds above the 1988 yield. The Arizona and California crops
remain in good to excellent condition. Cooler temperatures reduced the
effectiveness of defoliants in Arizona and also slowed harvest activity.
In California, the harvest pace slowed due to rain but progress has been
good.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North
Carolina, and South Carolina) puts production at 1.05 million bales, 2
percent above the 1988 production. Cotton harvest continued in these
States, although at a slower pace than both the average and the previous
year paces. The cool and wet weather experienced the previous month did
not reduce yields as much as anticipated.

Bureau of Census reports 5,806,406 running bales ginned prior to
November 1, compared with 6,888,334 running bales for the same date last
year and 7,531,110 running bales in 1987.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1989, based on a 3 year average lint-seed
ratio, is expected to total 4.72 million tons, down 22
percent from the 1988 production of 6.06 million tons.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1985 B7 NASS, USDA



Rice harvest was virtually complete by the end of October. Second
crop harvest continued in Louisiana and Texas. In California, rain
slowed harvest early in October.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 4.13 billion pounds, up 4 percent

from last year but down 5 percent from the October 1 forecast.
This production level represents the second largest crop of record.
Harvested area, estimated at 1.64 million acres, is the largest acreage
for harvest since 1955 and is up 1 percent from last year. Yield is
expected to average 2,523 pounds per harvested acre, up 78 pounds from
1988 but down 116 pounds from last month. Prolonged wet weather early
in the season and diseases lowered yields more than previously expected.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia,
and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.78 billion pounds, up 6
percent from 1988 but down 5 percent from October 1. Yield for the 4-
State area is expected to average 2,684 pounds per acre, 122 pounds
greater than last year. Wet weather earlier during the year reduced
yields more than previously thought in Georgia. Alabama had the same
conditions, in addition to an early frost and white mold problems.
Digging and threshing activities exceeded last year's pace and the
average in this area. At the beginning of November, Georgia digging was
99 percent complete and combining was at 95 percent.

The Virginia-North Carolina area production is forecast at 648
million pounds, down 5 percent from last year and down 9 percent from the
October 1 forecast. Yield per harvested acre, at 2,669 pounds, is 134
pounds below last year's yield. In North Carolina, harvest began late
and wet weather damaged those peanuts that were dug, but not threshed.
In Virginia, shattering of the nuts during harvest lowered yields. As
of November 5, 90 percent of the crop was combined in North Carolina and
harvest was complete in Virginia.

The Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is
expected to total 708 million pounds, up 5 percent from last year but
down 1 percent from October 1. Yields are expected to average 1,962
pounds per acre, 94 pounds above last year's yield. In Texas, harvest
activity increased after an October frost. Many fields in the Cross
Timbers and central portions of the State suffered frost damage.

POTATOES: Fall potato production is forecast at 323 million cwt, up 3

percent from last year but 6 percent below two years ago.
Harvest is expected from 1.07 million acres this year, down 1 percent
from last year and 3 percent below 1987. The average yield is forecast
at 302 cwt per acre, a gain of 10 cwt from last year but 12 cwt below the
record high in 1987.

Drought sharply curtailed potato production for the second straight
year in the Red River Valley of North Dakota and Minnesota. Frost damage
in June and September reduced sizes in Idaho, although increased acreage
resulted in Gem State production near last year's level. Reduced acreage
resulted in smaller crops in Maine, New York, Ohio, Michigan, and Utah.
Most other States, however, increased production on the strength of
higher yields per acre.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B4 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP INDICATED
1988 1989 1988 1989
HECTARES
CORN : 27,364,730 29,267,180 23,538,390 26,348,960
SORGHUM : 431913780  4,8345020 3,663,250 4,257,340
RICE : 131843930 «131213400 =—-131713580 131113280
SOYBEANS : 23,860,520 24,473,630 23,262,800 23,906,250
PEANUTS : 70,730 678,670 659,000 63, 290
ALL COTTON 5,062,590 4,267,660 4,833,300 3,871,100
UPLAND 45985,860 4,119,540 45756,770 3,723,190
AMER- PIMA 76,730 148; 120* 76,530 147,910
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 606,390 745,760 552,810 686,230
POTATOES
FALL 443,100 438,560 435, 200 432,330
TOTAL 519,910 518, 200 509,620 508,730
TOBACCO 256,610 281,860
SUGARBEETS 537,100 543,940 526,380 536,620
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 342,080 349,130

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.£., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
* ARIZONA REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1989

A-7

CROP INDICATED
1988 1989 1/ 1988 1989 1/
HECTARES
OATS 5,636,120 4,889,460 2,262,220 2,762,820
BARLEY : 3,994,690 3,724,360 3,108,020 3,367,830
ALL WHEAT : 26,518,930 30,979,020 21,518,980 25,123,560
WINTER : 19,748,870 22,268,470 16,100,590 16,754,570
* DURUM : 1,350,050 1,534,180 1,152,150 1,486,430
OTHER SPRING 5,420,010 7,176,370 4,266,240 6,882,560
RYE 980,970 827,190 245,650 195,470
FLAXSEED 111,290 93,080 91,460 90,250
SUNFLOWER 824,760 736,130 777,410 714,280
ALL HAY 26,531,070 25,391,460
ALFALFA 10,803,200 10,336,590
ALL_OTHER 15,727,870 15,054,870
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 73,250 70,820 72,440 70,420
AUSTRIAN WINTER
PEAS 5,260 4,940 4,050 4,130
LENTILS 29,140 34,800 28,730 33,990
POTATOES
WINTER 5,060 5,300 4,980 5,300
SPRING 32,740 35,530 32,290 33,990
SUMMER 39,010 38,810 37,150 37,110
SWEETPOTATOES 37,840 37,880 36,340 36,660
HOPS 13,520 13,960

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
CROP pene eee ene eee ee eee eee ee eee
AND : : INDICATED : : INDICATED
UNIT : 1988 : 19891/ : 1988 : 1989 1/
1,000
OATS BU: 39.2 54.3 218,853 370,693
BARLEY no; 38.2 48.6 293,524 404,569
ALL WHEAT my 34.1 32.9 1,811,436 2,041,884

WINTER my 39.2 35.1 1,561,145 1,451, 746

DURUM "oo; 15.7 25.3 44,831 92,899

OTHER SPRING moo; 19.5 29.2 205,460 497,239
RYE wy 24.8 28.2 15,047 13,610
SUNFLOWER LB: (933 954 1,791,970 1,683,200
ALL HAY TON: 1.93 2.40 126,817 150,497

ALFALFA "oy 2.60 3.13 69,282 79,883

ALL OTHER moo 1.48 1.90 57,535 70,614
DRY EDIBLE PEAS CWT 2/: 2,161 2,239 3,868 3,895
AUSTRIAN WINTER :

PEAS "2/2 1,330 1,627 133 166
LENTILS "2/7: 1,259 1,239 894 1,041
POTATOES :

WINTER CWT =: 213 2ul 2,616 2,764

SPRING "oy 252 242 20,110 20,317

SUMMER "220 235 20,154 21,541
HOPS LB: «1,638 1,625 54,696 56,068
APPLES, COMM?L moos 9,157,500 9,626,500
PEACHES my 2,619,700 2,275,000
PEARS TON: 861.0 842.1
GRAPES mo: 5,986.0 5,879.3
SWEET CHERRIES my 186.2 183.0
TART CHERRIES iB: 236,200 263,700
APRICOTS TON: 102.3 117.5
NECTARINES (CALIF) " — : 200.0 190.0
PLUMS (CALIF) my 216.0 200.0
OLIVES (CALIF) my 87.5 100.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) my 52.0 50.5
PISTACHIO NUTS :

(CALIF) LB: 94,000 28,000
PECANS my 308,000 240,400
ALMONDS (CALIF) moo; 590,000 425,000
WALNUTS (CALIF) TON : 206.0 210.0
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ : 1988-89 1989-90

ORANGES BOX : 207,150 194,350

LEMONS woy 20,000 19,700

1/_ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ YIELD IN POUNDS.
3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-6 NASS, USDA


FILBERTS (HAZELNUTS)

1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES

PRODUCTION

STATE : TOTAL

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

AREA FRESH PRODUCTION
MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP: HARVESTED : :
we nee nee ee nnn nnn n neers 1988 : 1989  :FORECAST
1988 : 1989 : 1988 1989 : :1989-90
ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
SEP: 4,540 4,000 2,410 2,565 5,820 4,815
OCT : 4,595 4,035 2,375 2,660 5,835 5,860
NOV: 4,665 2,420 5,665 4,600
DEC =: 4,720 2,410 5,890 2,500
JAN: 4,530 2,415 4,395 3,200
FEB: 4,425 2,525 4,350 2,500
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN - OCT 45,455 52,905
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-19 NASS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION
CROP : : INDICATED =| : INDICATED
> 1988 =: 19891/ : 1988 : 1989 1/

METRIC TONS

OATS 1.40 1.95 3,176,640 5,380,590
BARLEY 2.06 2.62 6,390, 730 8,808, 450
ALL WHEAT 2.29 2.21 49,299,200 55,570,980

WINTER 2.64 2.36 42,487,400 39,510,050

DURUM 1.06 1.70 1,220,100 2,528,300

OTHER SPRING 1.31 1.97 5,591,700 13,532,630
RYE 1.56 1.77 382,210 345,710
SUNFLOWER 1.05 1.07 812,820 763,490
ALL HAY 4.34 5.38 115,046,440 136,528,580

ALFALFA 5.82 7.01 62,851,570 72,468,640

ALL OTHER 3.32 4.26 52,194,870 64,059,940
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 2.42 2.51 175,450 176,670
AUSTRIAN WINTER

PEAS > 1.49 1.82 6,030 7,530
LENTILS : 141 1.39 40,550 47,220
POTATOES :

WINTER : 23.83 23.65 118,660 125,370

SPRING 2 28.25 27.11 912,170 921,560

SUMMER > 24.61 26.33 914,170 977,080
HOPS : (1.84 1.82 24,810 25,430
APPLES, COMM?L : 4,153,770 4,366,510
PEACHES : 1,188, 280 1,031,920
PEARS : 781,090 763,940
GRAPES : 5,430,410 5,333,610
SWEET CHERRIES : 168,920 166,010
TART CHERRIES : 107,140 119,610
APRICOTS : 92,800 106,590
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 181,440 172,370
PLUMS (CALIF) : 195,950 181,440
OLIVES (CALIF) : 79,380 90,720
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) : 47,170 45,810
PISTACHIO NUTS (CALIF) : 42,640 12,700
PECANS : 139,710 109,040
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 267,620 192,780
WALNUTS (CALIF) : 186,880 190,510
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1987-88 1988-89

ORANGES : 8,053,990 7,506,050

LEMONS : 688,550 679, 480

1/__ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH
THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST
THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-9 NASS, USDA



MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1987-89 1/ (CON’T)

STATE NUMBER :-------------------2-02-2202oe ee eee cence econ : AVERAGE

AND : OF : 10.0& : 10.1- : 18.6- : 28.6- : 34.6 & : WIDTH 2/
YEAR :SAMPLES: LESS 2/ : 18.5 : 28.5 : 34.5 =: GREATER: (INCHES)

PERCENT OF PLOTS

MISS 1987: 110 15.

5 7.3 16.5 19.6 41.1 28.8

1988: 104 18.8 5.4 14.3 26.8 34.7 28.7
1989: 91 17.6 12.6 14.3 14.3 41.2 27.9

MO 1987: 148 20.6 8.4 7.1 44.3 19.6 25.9
1988: 146 19.7 7.4 8.8 45.8 18.3 25.1
1989: 145 23.8 5.9 7.3 42.9 20.1 25.7
NEBR 1987: 77 5.3 2.6 7.2 35.5 49.4 32.2
1988: 82 8.5 1.2 3.1 37.8 49.4 31.7
1989: 85 11.8 2.9 2.3 35.3 47.7 31.6

NC 1987: 75 10.0 10.7 6. 27.3 45.3 31.3
1988: 93 35.6 11.2 8.5 9.0 35.7 24.0
1989: 84 23.8 10.7 9. 13.7 42.3 26.8
OHIO 1987: 122 35.6 18.8 7.4 32.0 6.2 19.3
1988: 124 35.5 24.5 2.9 35.5 1.6 18.2
1989: 119 31.7 23.2 5.5 35.4 4.2 19.6
TENN 1987: 90 10.1 10.6 18.4 12.9 48.0 29.3
1988: 85 11.3 14.9 19.1 9.5 45.2 28.3
1989: 86 9.9 13.9 18.6 15.7 41.9 28.3

1/ BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD
SAMPLES.

2/ BROADCAST SOYBEANS INCLUDED AS 10.0 INCHES AND LESS BUT EXCLUDED IN COMPU-
TATION OF AVERAGE WIDTH.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-25 NASS, USDA


Crop q Agricultural Department of

Production oe seen
cam Om

RELEASED: November 9, 1989
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production as of November 1, is forecast at 7.59 billion

bushels, up 2 percent from last month and up 54 percent from the drought
reduced crop of 1988. The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 116.6
bushels, up 2.2 bushels from last month and 32 bushels above last year.
Harvest progressed rapidly in the 17 major producing States during October and
was 88 percent complete by November 5.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 629 million bushels, down 4 per-

cent from October 1, but up 9 percent from 1988. Yield expectations are
down 2.6 bushels from October 1 and 4.0 bushels from 1988. As of November 5,
harvest was 85 percent complete in the 11 major production States, slightly
ahead of average.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.94 billion bushels, 1 percent above
October 1 and 25 percent higher than the 1988 production. Average yield
at 32,8 bushels per acre is 0.2 bushels higher than October ] and 5.9 bushels
above 1988. Excellent October harvest conditions prevailed in many States.
Harvest progress was 87 percent complete by the week ended November 5, 1989.

COTTON production is forecast at 12.1 million bales, down 21 percent from

1988. Area for harvest, down 20 percent from last year, and slightly
lower yields account for this big production decrease. The crop remains in
good condition in the Western producing areas and harvest in California is a
little ahead of normal. However, freezing temperatures slowed boll develop-
ment and caused damage in some Delta States while harvest in the Southeastern
States continues to lag behind normal.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.47 billion pounds, 7 percent above
last year’s level. Flue-cured is up 3 percent and Burley is up 14
percent from a year ago.

PEANUT production is forecast at 4.13 billion pounds, up 4 percent from last
year, but down 5 percent from the October 1 forecast.

FALL POTATO production is forecast at 323 million hundredweight, up 3 percent
from last year, but 6 percent below two years ago.

CrPr 2-2 (11-89) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

PRODUCTION 1/

STATE

rr 1,000 ACRES —~—=~POUNDS.~=S*S*S*S*S*«*Si«SO SPUN
ALA 236.0 244.0 2,380 2,400 465,300 561,680 585,600
FLA : “90:0 92:0 2,540 2,600 215,800 228,600 239,200
GA : 685.0 «685.0 2,630 2,800 1,575,000 1,801,550 1,918,000
NMEX 2/ i: 13:4 15.0 2,280 2,300 ' 33,480 ° 30,552 ” 34,500
NC : 15310 153.0 2,745 2,650 392,200 419,985 405,450
OKLA : 97:0 9310 2,320 2,350 222,750 225,040 218,550
$C > 1310-1410 23470 2,500 315200 32,110 35,000
TeX : 250.0 2530 15670 1,800 441,000 417,500 455,400
vA 91:0 30-0 2,900 2,700 243,000 263,900 243,000
us 1,628.4 1,639.0 2,445 2,523 3,619,730 3,980,917 4,134,700

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

1988: 1989

1,000 ACRES

WINTER 1/ ::FALL 1/ 3/
CALIF : 5.2 . :: CALIF : 16.5 16.5
FLA : 7.3 7.6 :: COLO : 60.0 62.0
2 :: CONN 3 76 “4
TOTAL > 12.5 13.1 :: IDAHO-10 SW CO : 18.0 17.0
. : it -OTHER CO: 332.0 338.0
SPRING 1/ : zr: IND : 4.9 4.6
ALA : 5.0 4.5 o:: MAINE 81.0 80.0
ARIZ 5.3 5.7 MASS 2.7 2.6
CALIF : 19.6 21.0 MICH 36.0 30.0
FLA-HASTINGS : 27.0 27.0 MINN 70.0 67.0
-OTHER : 2.6 6.8 MONT 7.8 7.9
A : 7) 4 NEBR 8.0 8.0
NC > 14.5 15.0 NEV 8.0 8.0
TEX : 6.4 7.4 N Y-LONG IS 8.4 7.5
: -UPSTATE 25.0 22.5
TOTAL > 80.9 87.8 N DAK 140.0 125.0
: OHIO 9.5 8.5
SUMMER 1/ OREG-MALHEUR 6.6 5.4
ALA 7.9 6.5 -OTHER CO 39.4 45.6
CALIF 5.9 6.1 PA 21.5 21.0
COLO 6.2 6.5 RI 1.2 1.2
DEL : 8.4 7.7 S_DAK 11.0 10.0
TLL 3.5 3.4 UTAH 6.8 6.3
IOWA : 1.8 1.5 WASH 115.0 118.0
MD : 2.3 2.1 WIS 63.0 68.5
MICH 10.5 10.5 WYO 2.0 2.2
MINN 5.9 6.4 :
NEBR 2.4 2.4 TOTAL : 1,094.9 1,083.7
J 5.3 4.9 :
N MEX 10.3 11.0 US : 1,284.7 1,280.5
NC 1.5 1.5 0: :
TENN 1.0 1.40:
TEX 9.5 11.0:
VA 14.0 13.0
TOTAL 96.4 95.9
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1989 A-12 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE “TP IND: : IND
1988 1988: 1989: 1987 : 1988 : 1989
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 1/ : 25 30 41.0 55.0 1,920 1,025 1,650
ARIZ 1/ : 4 4 100.0 90.0 990 400 360
RK 310 340 68.0 69.0 27,540 21,080 23,460
CALIF 1/ 15 12 80.0 89.0 1,800 1,200 1,068
COLO 180 325 46.0 48.0 9,890 8,280 15,600
G V/ 40 50 35.0 50.0 2,400 1,400 2,500
ILL 80 140 75.0 85.0 12,040 6,000 11,900
KANS 3,300 3,500 62.0 60.0 273,750 204,600 210,000
KY VA 10 11 55.0 85.0 1,820 550 935
3 90 110 68.0 60.0 12,384 6,120 6,600
MISS 155 85 56.0 56.0 9,425 8,680 4,760
470 570 81.0 81.0 59,500 38,070 46,170
NEBR 1,360 1,600 76.0 61.0 109,200 103,360 97,600
N MEX 145 7 60.0 55.0 > 8,700 9,350
N Ye: 65 60 42.0 58.0 1,935 2,730 3,480
OKLA 360 375 45.0 51.0 18,860 16,200 19,125
1 8 15 32.0 45.0 555 256 675
S_DAK 250 290 44.0 40.0 14,310 11,000 11,600
TENN 35 3 70.0 75.0 6,000 2,450 2,475
TEX 2,150 2,800 63.0 57.0 166,950 135,450 159,600
US 9,052 10,520 63.8 59.8 739,249 577,551 628,908
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
RICE
YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE : IND: : : IND
1988 1988 : 1989: 1987 : 1988 : 1989
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
ARK : 1,210.0 1,140.0 5,350 5,600 53,025 64,735 63,840
CALIF 2 420.0 410.0 7,000 7,900 27,935 29,490 32,390
LA 2 535.0 517.0 4,500 4,300 19,110 24,080 22,231
MISS 3 260.0 245.0 5,300 5,500 10,098 13,780 13,475
MO Vo: 82.0 85.0 5,100 5,000 3,564 4,182 4,250
TEX 388.0 349.0 6,000 5,800 15,871 23,280 20,242
0

2,895.0 2,746.

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

YEAR : LONG GRAIN : MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN : ALL
eee 1,000cwT === ~~ tC; }RSTCé<CS~*TM
37,651 2,957 129,603
1988 118) 664 377591 33292 159,547
1989 111,498 41,076 33853 156, 428

1/__ INDICATED NOVEMBER 1, 1989, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS
DATA BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-11 NASS, USDA


Nebraska harvest is complete with generally fair yields. Early fall
frosts reduced quality. In Colorado, the effects of severe drought in
the dryland bean area of the Southwest were more than offset in better
yields from Eastern Colorado irrigated fields. Rains in California
interrupted harvest the first and last weeks of October. Early yields
were low but improved in later fields.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.94 billion bushels, 1 percent

above October 1 amd 25 percent higher than the 1988
production. Average yield, at 32.8 bushels per acre, is 0.2 bushels
higher than October 1 and 5.9 bushels above 1988.

Yields were up from last month in 6 States and down in 3 States.
Arkansas, Illinois, Kansas, and Kentucky were up 1 bushel each. Maryland
and Nebraska were up 2 bushels from October 1. Missouri and Texas were
2 bushels below last month and Tennessee was down one bushel.

Excellent October harvest conditions prevailed in many States.
Harvest progress was 87 percent complete by the week ending November 5,
1989, 3 percentage points ahead of last year and 11 points ahead of
average. The Delta States were well ahead of normal. In the Southeast,
harvest progress was behind average in Georgia and South Carolina. Most
Corn Belt States had completed harvest or were rapidly approaching
completion.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
1980 - 1989

o BILLION BUSHELS

2) sme 9 Sm Sty 88
100 VV VANNANANNN;

NOVEMBER 1989 B-6 NASS, USDA


The six Eastern States produced 33.6 million cwt of potatoes this
year, up fractionally from 1988 but down 11 percent from 1987. Harvested
acreage of 132 thousand acres was down 4 percent from last year but the
average yield of 254 cwt per acre gained 2 percent. Higher yields in
Pennsylvania and New York more than offset lower yields in Maine.

Eight Central states produced a crop of 64.7 million cwt this year,
a gain of 5 percent from last year but 19 percent short of 1987 output.
Area for harvest was 313 thousand acres, down 5 percent from last year
and 7 percent below two years ago. The average yield gained 4 percent
to 207 cwt per acre. Better yields on irrigated fields in Wisconsin,
Minnesota, South Dakota, and Nebraska more than offset poorer crops in
North Dakota and Ohio.

The nine Western States produced 224 million cwt of potatoes’ this
year, up 3 percent from last year but 1 percent below 1987. Acreage for
harvest, at 623 thousand acres, was up 3 percent from last year and 1
percent above 1987. The average yield gained 2 percent to 360 cwt per
acre. Production in Idaho totaled 102 million cwt, down fractionally
from last year, where increased acreage almost made up for smaller sizes
and yields. Washington production of 64.3 million cwt was 2 percent
above last year; while Oregon and Colorado registered production gains
of 12 and 8 percent, respectively.

All U.S. potato production for the year totaled 367 million cwt, up
3 percent from 1988 but 6 percent short of the 1987 crop. Harvested
acreage of 1.26 million acres was down slightly from last year and 3
percent below 1987. The average yield of 292 cwt per acre gained 3
percent from last year.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans is set at 24.0 million

cwt, up 25 percent from a year ago but 7 percent below
two years ago. Harvested acreage is estimated at 1.70 million acres, 24
percent above last year and fractionally above 1987. With harvest nearly
ended, the average yield is 1415 pounds of clean beans per acre, slightly
above last year, but 8 percent below two years ago.

The current forecast is down 3 percent from October 1 because of a
much poorer than anticipated crop in North Dakota. On the other hand,
idea fall weather in Michigan allowed farmers there to reap one of their
best harvests in recent years. New York and Washington also turned out
better crops than earlier forecast.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B-5 NASS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

CROP

1988

: YIELD PER HECTARE:

: INDICATED:
> 1989

PRODUCTION
INDICATED
1988 oct 1, : NOV 1,
1989 =: = 1989

CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
RICE
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
PEANUTS FOR NUTS
ALL COTTON

UPLAND

AMER-PIMA
COTTONSEED
DRY EDIBLE BEANS
POTATOES

FALL

TOTAL
TOBACCO
SUGARBEETS
SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
FILBERTS

32.
31.

42.
79.

+32
75
+38
+20
-83
-68
-67
-98

VMI aww

1.59

33.85
32.75

2.36
43.88

78,91

METRIC TONS

125,004,010 189,210,140 192,787,640
14,670,470 16,681,410 15,975,000
7,236,930 7,036,030 7,095,460
42,117,160 52,427,610 52,704,120
1,805,710 1,969,430 1,875,470
3,355,460 2,610,820 2,634,990
3,282,700 2,465,600 2,489,550
72,760 145,220 145,440
5,499,350 4,242,900 4,278,280
872,260 1,121,240 1,088,210

14,222,750 14,635,520
16,167,750 16,659,530

621,270 670,460 664,900
22,507,250 24,127,490 23,546,890

27,128,450 27,688,180 27,549,380
140,610 1/185,970 185,970
14,970 12,250 11,790

1/ SEP 1, 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1989

A-8

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


In 1989, the plant population showed an increase from 1988 in 7 States and
decreased in 2 States. Average row widths continued to decrease in 1989 with
7 States showing decreases, and only 3 States showing an increase from last
year.

CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE,
SELECTED STATES, 1985-89 1/

STATE : 1985 : 1986 : 1987 1988 =: «1989
NUMBER OF PLANTS

ILL : 22,200 22,300 23,700 21,900 21,900
IND : 21,000 21,500 21,900 20,700 21,500
IOWA : 21,700 21,600 21,800 22,100 21,600
MICH : 20,900 20,700 21,600 20,500 21,100
MINN : 22,200 22,800 22,700 23,600 24,100
MO : 17,200 17,500 18,600 17,800 17,900
NEBR : 20,700 21,100 22,000 21,900 20,700
OHIO : 22,400 22,600 22,600 21,000 21,400
S$ DAK : 15,500 15,800 15,800 16,200 16,400
WIS 21,200 21,700 22,800 20,400 21,000

1/ BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-22 NASS, USDA


OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Nearly ideal harvest weather prevailed during October over the Great
Plains, Corn Belt, and Delta, while above-normal precipitation covered
much of the East. A large portion of the country from the northern and
central Rockies to the Appalachians experienced alternating periods of
record warm and cold conditions throughout the month. Above~normal
temperatures generally persisted over the southern Plains and along the
Atlantic seaboard. Early in the month, moisture from the remnants of
Pacific Hurricane Raymond caused unseasonable rain in the Southwest and
contributed to substantial rain from the southern High Plains to the
middle Mississippi Valley. Torrential rain also fell along Florida's
Atlantic coast. At midmonth, Hurricane Jerry smashed into Galveston, TX,
and, subsequently, moisture from the remains brought heavy rain along the
central Gulf coast and into the upper Ohio Valley. Also during midmonth,
unusually early heavy snow blanketed the eastern Corn Belt. Late in the
month, scattered showers and thunderstorms brought needed moisture into
the Great Plains and western Corn Belt, while Pacific storms caused early
season rain in California. Cold arctic air moved into the North Central
States at month's end as temperatures plummeted into the teens over
Montana's winter wheat.

WINTER WHEAT PLANTING

Dry weather during October allowed winter wheat planting to progress
at a normal pace. At the beginning of October, planting was 71 percent
(%) complete, 9 percentage points ahead of the S-year average. By month's
end, planting was 91% complete, 7 points ahead of normal. Dry soil
conditions slowed germination and emergence in the Great Plains and the
Pacific Northwest. By midmonth, planting was complete in Nebraska and
South Dakota and nearly complete in Colorado, Kansas, Michigan, Montana,
Oklahoma, and Washington. the end of the month, planting was over 90%
complete in 11 of the 19 major producing States. Seventy-seven percent
of the crop was emerged, 7 points ahead of normal. The crop was in
mostly good to fair condition. Rain was needed in the Great Plains and
Pacific Northwest.

By month's end, planting was 99% complete, 9 points ahead of normal
in Kansas. Oklahoma's planting was 97% complete, 17 points ahead of
normal. Condition was mostly good in Kansas and good to fair in
Oklahoma, but rain was needed. In Texas, planting was 89% complete, 5
points ahead of normal. Condition was mostly fair and rain was needed,
especially in the High Plains and Cross Timbers area. Condition was good
to fair in Colorado and Montana. In western Nebraska, rain slowed insect
activity and improved condition. In Oregon and Washington, Russian wheat
aphids were a continuing problen. Planting lagged behind normal in
California, Georgia, and North Carolina.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 7.59 billion
bushels, up 2 percent from last month and up 54 percent
from the drought reduced crop of 1988.

The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 116.6 bushels, up 2.2
bushels from last month and 32 bushels above last year. Yields in the
l States and bushel changes from last month are: Iowa 119, up 5;
Illinois 124, up 2; Nebraska 118, no change; Minnesota 125, up 5;
Indiana 134, up 4; Ohio 118, up 3; and Wisconsin 111, no charge.

Harvest progressed rapidly in the 17 major producing States during
October and was 88 percent complete by November 5th, compared with 91
percent last year and the average of 78 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B-2 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED

AREA HARVESTED 1/

INDICATED
1989

CORN : 67,619
SORGHUM : 10,358
RICE 3 2,928
SOYBEANS : 58,960
PEANUTS 3 1,657.
ALL COTTON : 12,509.
UPLAND : 12,320.
AMER-PIMA : 189
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1,498.
POTATOES :
FALL : 1,094,
TOTAL : 1,284.
TOBACCO :

SUGARBEETS : 1,327.

SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED

Ry NO AANA ©

1,000 ACRES

72,320
11,945

2,771.

+e oN waQunns °

58,164
9,052

23895.

65,109
10,520
23746.0

59,073
1,639.0
93565.6
9} 200.1
365.5
1,695.7
1,068.3
13257.1
696.5
1,326.0
7

N+wh OF DR O

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

* ARIZONA REVISED UP BY 25,000 ACRES.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1989 1/

CROP
1988
OATS : 13,927
BARLEY : 9,871
ALL WHEAT : 65,529

WINTER 3 48,800

DURUM : 3,336

OTHER SPRING : 13,393
RYE : 2,424
FLAXSEED : 275
SUNFLOWER 3 2,038
ALL HAY :

ALFALFA

ALL OTHER Hy
DRY EDIBLE PEAS : 181.0
AUSTRIAN WINTER :

PEAS 3 13.0
LENTILS : 72.0
POTATOES :

WINTER : 12.5

SPRING 2 80.9

SUMMER 3 96.4
SWEETPOTATOES : 93.5
HOPS :

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1989 A-4

ARI
1989 1/ 1988
1,000 ACRES
12,082 5,590
95203 73680
76,550 53,174
55,026 39,785
33791 23847
173733 103542
23044 607
230 226
1,819 1,921
65,559
26,695
38,864
175.0 179
12.2 10
86:0 n
13.1 12
87.8 79
95.9 91
93.6 89
33
AGRICULTURAL
NASS, USDA

STATISTICS BOARD


COTTON

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION 1/
STATE Doreen tert een enn ee ne nnn eee ner enn ne ee eee nen nnn n nee ner e nee
: : IND: : - 3 IND
1988 1989 1988 : 1989: 1987 : 1988 : 1989
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND :
ALA : 375.0 340.0 486 536 397.0 380.0 380.0
ARIZ : 349.0 239.0 1,190 1,305 849.0 865.0 650.0
ARK : 675.0 590.0 742 643 901.0 1,044.0 790.0
CALIF : 1,335:0 1,040:0 1,015 1,223 2,989:0 2,824.0 2,650.0
FLA 3/ ; 29. 29. 566 574 39. 34. 34.7
GA : 315.0 275.0 564 681 338.0 370.0 390.0
KANS 3/ 9 1.2 373 400 9 7 1.0
: 645.0 620.0 705 658 977.0 948.0 850.0
MISS : 1,190.0 1,050.0 736 686 1,745.0 1,825.0 1,500.0
MO : 237.0 212.0 620 589 330.0 306.0 260.0
N MEX t 69.0 66.0 710 655 89.0 102.0 90.0
NC : 124.0 110.0 515 589 98.0 133.0 135.0
OKLA : 435.0 365.0 334 289 346.0 303.0 220.0
sc : 142.0 115.0 473 584 106.0 140.0 140.0
TENN : $30.0 445.0 529 475 634.0 584.0 440.0
TEX : 5,300.0 3,700.0 472 376 =64,635.0 5,215.0 2,900.0
VA 3/: 3.2 2.9 510 612 1.4 3.4 3.7
US : 11,754.1 9,200.1 616 597 14,475.33 15,077.3 11,434.4
AMER-PIMA :
ARIZ : 128.0 245.0 904 931 213.0 241.0 475.0
CALIF : 1.8 19.0 853 935 2.2 3.2 37.0
N MEX : 17.8 27.0 634 640 18.6 23.5 36.0
TEX : 41.5 74.5 769 773 50.8 66.5 120.0
N t Ss : 189.1 365.5 848 877 284.6 334.2 668.0
L :
ALA H 375.0 340.0 486 536 397.0 380.0 380.0
ARIZ : 477.0 484.0 1,113 1,116 1,062.0 1,106.0 1,125.0
675.0 590.0 742 643 901.0 1,044.0 790.0
CALIF : 1,336.8 1,059.0 1,015 1,218 2,991.2 2,827.2 2,687.0
FLA .3/ 29.0 29 56 574 39 34.2 34,
GA 315.0 275.0 564 681 338.0 370.0 390.0
KANS 3/ 9 1.2 373 400 9 7 1.0
645.0 620.0 705 658 977.0 948.0 850.0
MISS 1,190.0 1,050.0 736 686 1,745.0 1,825.0 1,500.0
237.0 212.0 620 589 330.0 306.0 260.0
N MEX 3 86.8 93.0 694 650 107.6 125.5 126.0
c 124.0 110.0 515 589 98.0 133.0 135.0
OKLA 435.0 365.0 334 289 346.0 303.0 220.0
c : 142.0 115.0 473 584 106.0 140.0 140.0
TENN : 530.0 445.0 529 475 634.0 584.0 440.0
TEX : 5,341.5 3,774.5 475 384 4,685.8 5,281.5 3,020.0
VA 3/: 3.2 2.9 510 612 1.4 3.4 3.7
RS ::11,943.2 9,565.6 619 607 14,759.9 15,411.5 12,102.4

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED. 2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
y ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-15 NASS, USDA



TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

PRODUCTION
IND
1988 1989

1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND
MIDDLE BELTS
NC
VA

US
TYPE 12, EASTERN N C
BELT
NC
TYPE 13, N C BORDER
S C BELT
NC
$C
US
TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT
FLA

GA

US
TOTAL 11-14
CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
mir 21, VA BELT

TYPE 22, EASTERN
DISTRICT

KY

TENN

US
TYPE 23, WESTERN
DISTRICT

TENN
URS
TOTAL 21-23
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AIR-CURED
TYPE 31, BURLEY
IND

KY

MO 1/
NC
OHIO
TENN

VA

WA 1/

Us
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD
BELT

MD
PA

us
TOTAL 31-32

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-18.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1989

IND
1988 1989
ACRES

92,000 100,000
35,000 37,000
127,000 137,000

! 118,000 128,000
32,000 34,000
45,000 50,000
77,000 84,000
6,400 7,000
38,000 40,000

: 44,400 _47;000
: 366,400 396,000
2,300 2,100
2,600 3,400
5,600 6,700
83200 10,100
2,600 3,200
440 530
3,040 3,730
13,540 15,930

: 5,500 6,100
: 150,000 172;000
: 23100 2400
7,900 8,500
7,800 9,000
42,000 45,000
95300 10,500

: 1,700 13800
: 226,300 255,300
9,000 8,500
3,500 4,000

: 12,500 12,500
: 238,800 267,800

YIELD
ND
1988 : 1989
POUNDS

2,095 2,050
2,055 2,050
23084 2,050
2,325 2,100
2,220 2,150
23225 2,200
2,223 2,180
2,680 2,600
25260 2,200
2,321 23260
2,219 2,119
1,270 1,300
2,480 1,950
2,385 2,200
23415 2116
2,670 2,100
23450 2,400
2,638 2,143
2,271 2,015
1,990 2,170
23235 2,250
2,100 2,200
1,835 1,800
13855 1,900
15850 1,800
15850 25150
1,600 1,500
2,109 2,132
1,330 1,350
1,850 1,800
1,476 1,494
23076 2; 102

192,740
71,925
264,665

274,350

71,040
100,125
171,165

17,152
85,880
103; 032
813,212

2,920

6,448
13,356
19,804

6,942
1,078
8,020
30,744

10,945
335, 250
4,410
14,497
14,469
77,700
17,205
2,720
477,196

11,970
6,475
18,445
495,641

205,000
75,850
280,850

268,800

73,100
110; 000
183; 100

18,200
88,000
106; 200
838,950

2,730

6,630
14,740
213370

13,237
387; 000

15,300
173100
815000
22,575
23700
544,192

11,475
7,200
18,675
562,867

CONTINUED

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA



RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about November 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual] field observations and measurements for
corn, Soybeans, cotton, and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals of crop
conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for
their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations,
counts and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject
to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More
importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts
in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical measure based on
past performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the November 1 production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1969-88 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the fina] end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year’s forecast are not different from those influencing
recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 2.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7,590 million bushels will not
be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.8 percent or approximately
213 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 4.8 percent or approximately 364 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the November 1] forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 140 million bushels,
ranging from 22 million to 342 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 8 times and above 2 times. This does not imply
that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or over-
state final production. for most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER I CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR 10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

10. OF YEARS

UNIT

: : BELOW: ABOVE
AVG: SMALL: LARGE: FINAL

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT:
CORN FOR GRAIN BU:
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
RICE

SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS

COTTON BALES
FALL POTATOES

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-3 NASS, USDA


HRKREREREAEEERIEREIRERERER IEE ENRE EERE EEEERIRRERE REET EERREERRERERER
* NOTICE

*

* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available
* reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608,

* Rockville, MD. 20849-1608 or call 800-999-6779.

*

*

The next issue of this report will be published December 12,
1989 and will include:

Indicated area harvested, yield, and production of burley
tobacco, cotton, and dry edible beans; also planted acreage
and production by commerical classes for dry edible beans.
Indicated production of cottonseed and pecans and 1989-90
citrus fruits; papaya acreage and production. Monthly market-
ings of corn, sorghum, barley, oats, wheat, cotton, soybeans,
flaxseed, hay, peanuts, and dry edible beans.

Revised acreage, yield, production, and production by commer-
cial classes of dry edible beans for 1988.
RAREEERERIEREREERAREIREERREERERERE AIA EIEIR ERIK EERE IEREEEEERERAEAREER

eee ee OO

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CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B-12 NASS, USDA


POTATOES: VARIETIES GROWN - 1989

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts potato objective
yield surveys in 11 major fall producing States. These 11 States accounted for
94 percent of the 1988 U. S. fall production. All producing areas of each State
are represented in the sample in proportion to planted acreage of potatoes.
Variety information in the table below is derived from data reported. These
data are intended to provide current information on varieties and are not
designated as official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board.

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF MAJOR VARIETIES PLANTED,
SELECTED STATES, 1989 CROP

3 SECOND
STATE 0 i --------- 2-2-2 - nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn renner nrc c ccc rrrccce
VARIETY : PERCENT
COLO : CENTENNIAL RUSSET 55.3 : RUSSET BURBANK 13.2
IDAHO =: _RUSSET BURBANK 93.9 : NORKOTAH 3.4
MAINE  : SUPERIOR 20.3 : ONTARIO 18.0
MICH : ATLANTIC 17.0 : SUPERIOR 13.4
MINN : RUSSET BURBANK 33.9 : NORCHIP 22.7
NY : SUPERIOR 18.4 : KATAHDIN 18.2
N DAK —: NORCHIP 46.7 : RUSSET BURBANK 15.6
OREG : RUSSET BURBANK 74.1 : NORKOTAH 7.7
PA : ATLANTIC 25.2 : KATAHDIN 19.4
WASH : RUSSET BURBANK 79.3 : SHEPODY 6.2
WIS : RUSSET BURBANK 39.4 : NORKOTAH 20.8
COLO : NORKOTAH 9.9 : SANGRE 7.9
IDAHO =: SHEPODY 1.1 : OTHER RUSSET 1.0
MAINE  : RUSSET BURBANK 14.3 : SHEPODY 13.1
MICH : ONTARIO 13.3 : ONOWAY 11.1
MINN : NORLAND 9.3 : NORKOTAH 6.3
NY : MONONA 15.9 : ATLANTIC 8.7
N DAK =: NORKOTAH 5.5 : NORLAND 5.2
OREG : SHEPODY 5.0 : EARLY GEM 3.8
PA : NORCHIP 15.8 : SUPERIOR 9.0
WASH : NORKOTAH 7 : LEMHI 3.0
WIS : NORLAND 5 7.7

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-26 NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1980-89 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR: : : HAY oo: : 2 2 :

: ALL 1/: FEED : AND  : FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO: OIL

: : GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : : CROPS
1980 =: 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981: 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982: «#117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983: 88 67 100 117 93 55 75 91
1984 =: 111 116 107 129 95 91 90 106
1985: 7 134 106 121 97 93 73 7
1986 : 107 123 106 107 106 68 61 107
1987: =106 105 102 106 111 103 62 106
1988: 89 73 88 98 105 107 72 88
1989 : 104 109 102 107 109 84 77 107

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS
OF CROPS SHOWN.

HKIIII II IASI IAI AIS II AISI ISI IA IAS Het ictte ek RIKI AIIAAAAI AR

* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with *

* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data *
* were prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which *
* consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington *
* headquarters. *
* *
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* Rich Allen, Chairperson, *
; L. Duané Jewell, Secretary, *

*
* Robert L. Addison, Gail G. Hanneman, *
* Donald M. Bay, Van B. Johnson, *
* Lewis M. Bever, Thomas E. Kurtz, *
* Thomas R. Birkett, Roger D. Latham, *
* APPROVED: James R. Bordick, Darwin E£. Ransom, *
* James E. Brewster, James L. Smith, *
* Arvin R. Budge, H. James Tippett, *
EB. OK Gwilliam’ N. Doudy, Charles A. Van Lahr, *
* . Dennis S. Findley, Herbert L. Vanderberry, *
* Jeffrey K. Geuder, Paul A. Walsh, *
* SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE John D. Witzig. *
* *

HRI III IIR IAI RIA II IRI III IIIA IAI SAIS IIIS SAINI SAI IASI ISIS AIS SSI IIIS IASI AAI SIN

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-2 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 1.47 billion pounds,

7 percent above 1988 but down 1 percent from last month's
outlook. Current outlook is below the October 1 prospects in 7 of the
16 producing states. The higher production from a year ago is resulting
from a 10 percent increase in acreage which is partly offset by lower
yields. Yield per acre is expected to average 2105 pounds per acre,
compared with 2160 last year.

Flue-cured production is expected to reach 839 million pounds, 3
more than a year ago but 1 percent less than last month's
forecast. Yield per acre, at 2119 pounds, is down 100 pounds from last
year's average yield. Acres for harvest are up 8 percent from 1988.
Marketing of the crop is nearing completion.

Burley output is now expected to total 544 million pounds this year,
14 percent above a year ago but fractionally below the outlook on October
1. The change from last year reflects a 13 percent acreage increase and
an average yield that is expected to be 23 pounds per acre above 1988.

Kentucky growers had stripped 17 percent of the crop by October 29.
Overall quality is good though some houseburn was reported in early
housed tobacco.

The dark fire-cured crop is forecast at 32.1 million pounds, up 4
percent from last year but down 1 percent from expectations a month ago.
The increase from a year ago results from an 18 percent larger acreage
which is partly offset by a lower yield.

Southern Maryland type tobacco is expected to total 18.7 million
pounds, off 1 percent from last month's forecast but 1 percent larger
than in 1988. The area for harvest is the same as a year earlier.
Yields are expected to average 18 pounds per acre more than in 1988.

The dark air-cured crop of 8.41 million pounds is up 12 percent from
a year earlier. The larger total this year is the result of increased
acreage which is partially offset by lower yields.

All cigar-type production is expected to total 23.5 million pounds,
4 percent more than in 1988. Filler output is 9 percent lower. Binder
production is up 24 percent. Expected production of wrapper is off 4

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 26.0 million tons,

down 2 percent from the October 1 forecast but 5 percent
above last year's harvest. The increase from a year ago is the combined
result of higher yields and a 2 percent increase in acreage. Yields are
expected to average 19.6 tons per acre nationally compared with 19.1 tons
in 1988. Production is expected to be higher than last year in all
states except California and Nebraska.

Lifting of beets in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North
Dakota was temporarily halted by freezing temperatures in early October.
However, warm, dry conditions the last half of the month enabled growers
to harvest at a rapid pace. Virtually all were harvested as the month
closed.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B-8 NASS, USDA


U.S. CORN PRODUCTION
1980 - 1989

BILLION BUSHELS

8.12 98.24 8.26

dll
YM

MMMM

VM
VD

Yd

so 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88
YEAR

SORGHUM: Production is forecast at 629 million bushels, down 4 percent

from October 1 but up 9 percent from 1988. Area for grain has
not changed from previous forecasts. Yield expectations are down 2.6
bushels from October 1 to 59.8 bushels per acre. This is 4.0 bushels
less than 1988 and would be the first sub-60 bushel yield in 5 years.

The yield in Kansas is down 5 bushels from October 1. The late-
September light freeze had more effect than previously realized.
Nebraska growers face the lowest average yield since 1983, as lack of
subsoil moisture has lowered expectations. Harvest of Texas grain
sorghum has increased in the Plains and Cross Timbers. A hard freeze in
the High Plains hurt potential in late fields there. Light test weights
have been reported in parts of Colorado's harvested area. South Dakota's
harvest neared completion by October 29, well ahead of average progress.

RICE: The 1989 rice production is forecast at 156 million cwt, down 2
from the 160 million cwt produced last year. This fore-
cast is up 1 percent from October 1.

Yield is expected to average a record high 5,697 pounds per acre,
up 48 pounds from last month and 186 pounds from last year. The previous
record high yield of 5,651 pounds per acre was set in 1986. Arkansas,
California, and Mississippi are all forecasting record high yields.
Yields were up 200 pounds from last month in both California and
Mississippi. California's yield is expected to average 7,900 pounds per
acre and Mississippi's 5,500 pounds per acre. Arkansas' yield is
expected to average 5,600 pounds per acre, unchanged from last month.
Yields in Louisiana and Texas are also unchanged from last month.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 B3 NASS, USDA



PRODUCTION

POUNDS 1,000 CWT
0 2,040 2,050 435 571 $95
0 0 2,270 2,300 485 658 713
0 0 1,790 1,850 2,218 1,665 2,035
0 -0 1,929 1,966 3,138 2,894 3,343
0 0 1,650 1,680 2,610 2,558 2,940
0 0 1,890 2,050 2,812 2,249 3,444
0 0 7950 1,550 363 0 326
0 0 > 1,500 5,124 2,220 4,500
0 +0 800 3050 1,184
4.0 5.9 1,900 2,200 125 76 130
0 0 1,950 1,700 3,507 3,764 3,570
9.5 0 2,200 000 212 8
3 -0 0 1,300 1,400 420 325 476
H 0 0 730 560 5,026 2,701 2,380
UTAH 2/: 4.5 4.8 580 480 47 6 23
WASH 36.0 43.0 2,060 2,160 746 742 929
Wyo 35.0 45.0 1,930 1,800 595 676 810

1/_ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR
CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

>: IND : IND: : : IND.
1988 =: 1989 : 1989; 1987 : 1988 : 1989

1,000 BUSHELS

570 520 a) 7,920 14,250 11,960
3,200 3,200 0 71,500 83,200 80,000
250 -0 4,230 6,075 7,750
115 150 0 2,325 3,335 4,050
900 1,150 0 15,600 22,500 31,050
8,700 8,750 0 330,600 234,900 350,000
4,200 4,550 -0 174,000 115,500 177,450
8,000 8,250 -0 343,650 248,000 313,500
2,000 1,750 0 67,520 46,000 50,750
10 1,170 -0 24,000 24,115 38,610
1,950 1,550 0 38,775 56,550 32,550
55 560 : 0 9,225 14,105 18,480
1,210 1,090 28.0 36.0 38,150 33,880 39,240
4,800 5,000 26.0 37.0 181,350 224,800 185,000
2,250 2,000 22.0 20.0 47,775 49,500 40,000
4,230 4,300 26.0 29.0 154,560 109,980 124,700
2,360 2,550 30.0 30.0 83,425 70,800 76,500
103 128 27.0 30.0 3,069 2,781 3,840
1,410 1,480 27.0 27.0 32,830 38,070 39,960
580 18.0 23.0 16,738 12,420 13,340
3,700 3,950 27.0 33.0 147,260 99,900 | 130,350
270 275 18.0 26.0 . 860 ,
225 255 32.0 37.0 5,610 7,200 9,435
790 960 23.0 22.0 15,695 18,170 21,120
1,730 1,870 24.0 28.0 45,175 41,520 $2,360
1,320 1,430 26.0 24.0 28,750 34,320 34,320
225 450 28.0 28.0 4,200 6,300 12,600
555 525 28.0 32.0 10,920 15,540 16,800
390 380 23.0 36.0 12,160 8,970 13,680

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-13 NASS, USDA



TOBACCO

PRODUCTION

POUNDS

1,000 POUNDS

CONN : 1,810 1,830 1,641 1,520 2,716 2,971 2,781
FLA : 6,400 7,000 2,680 2,600 13,804 17,152 18,200
GA : 38,000 40,000 2,260 2,200 72,160 85,880 88,000
IND : 5,500 6,100 1,990 2,170 11,070 10,945 13,237
ky : 158,000 182,200 2,247 2,237 304,845 355,024 407,550
D : 9,000 8,500 1,330 1,350 13,338 11,970 11,475
MASS t 520 480 1,475 1,394 653 767 669
Mo Yo: 2,100 2,400 2,100 2,200 3,519 4,410 5,280
NC : 249,900 270,500 2,211 2,078 466,592 552,627 562,200
OHIO 3 7,820 9,000 1,854 1,900 12,044 14,497 17,100
PA 3 9,500 9,500 1,913 1,887 20,700 18,175 17,925
sc : 45,000 50,000 2,225 2,200 94,080 100,125 110,000
TENN : 48,520 52,780 1,920 1,859 87,291 93,142 98,112
VA : 46,710 49,690 1,973 2,038 76,900 92,177 101,268
WVA If: 1,700 1,800 1,600 1,500 2,592 2,720 2,700
WIS : 3,600 4,700 1,967 1,991 8,370 7,080 9,360
us > 634,080 696,480 2,160 2,105 1,190,674 1,369,662 1,465,857

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SUGARBEETS 1/

PRODUCTION

1988
1,000 TONS
5,300 5,088
880 920
4,084 4,160

234 266
376 407
723 792
1,137 1,224
53

1/__RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS _IN CALIF. A INCLUDED IN OTHER STATES TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL
OPERATIONS. 3/ INCLUDES NM AND WA.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED YIELD 1/ PRODUCTION 1/

1,000 TONS

31.6 32.0 13,469 13,304 13,664
90.6 88.8 8,195 7,804 7,100
25.3 27.0 6,469 7,708 8,640
32.8 27.0 1,085 1,088 964

35.4 35.2 29,218 29,904 30,368

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1989 A-16 NASS, USDA