CITRUS FRUIT FOOTNOTES

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS. PER BOX: ORANGES-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CA DESERT
& AZ-64, CA OTHER-67, FL-85, TX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TAN-
GERINES-CA & AZ-75, FL-95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CA AND AZ. EARLY AND MID-SEASON VARIE-
TIES IN FL AND TX, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN TX.

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

5/ DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DEC 1989, THE 1990-91 TX CITRUS CROPS ARE VIRTU-
ALLY ELIMINATED AND FORECASTS WILL NOT BE ISSUED THIS SEASON UNLESS SUFFI-
CIENT COMMERCIAL SUPPLIES BECOME AVAILABLE.

6/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CA GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

7/ FL "ALL TANGERINES" INCLUDE SUNBURST TANGERINES BEGINNING WITH THE 1989-90

SEASON.
PAPAYAS - HAWAII 1/
AREA FRESH PRODUCTION
MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP HARVESTED
penen ence nen nner 1990 1991
1990 1991 : 1990 1991
ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
DEC : 3,285 2,170 4,600
JAN =: 4,180 3,315 2,675 2,225 5,005 4,720
FEB: 4,070 2,560 4,480
MAR: 3,960 2,490 45840
APR =: 3,955 2,435 4,780
MAY =: 3,885 2,365 5,120
1/1990 REVISED.
WINTER POTATOES
AREA HARVESTED : YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE : : : IND
1990 : 1991 : 1990 : 1991
1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CWT
CA 5.5 4.1 230 230 1,320 1,265 943
FL 7.7 7.6 140 195 1,444 1,078 1,482
US 13.2 11.7 177 207 2,764 2,343 2,425
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

FEBRUARY 1991 5 NASS, USDA


Florida's grapefruit forecast is 47.0 million boxes, unchanged from January 1
but 32 percent more than the freeze damaged 1989-90 crop. The Florida white
seedless grapefruit forecast is 23.0 million boxes, unchanged from the January
1 forecast but 28 percent above the previous season; colored seedless is fore-
cast at 22.5 million boxes, unchanged from last month's forecast but 38 percent
greater than the 1989-90 crop. Seeded grapefruit is forecast at 1.50 million
boxes, unchanged from January 1 but 7 percent above last season.

California's "Desert" grapefruit forecast, which was carried forward from Jan-
uary 1, is 3.50 million boxes, 5 percent below the 1989-90 crop. Also carried
forward was Arizona's grapefruit crop forecast of 2.30 million boxes, a 5 per-
cent increase from last season.

TANGERINES: The U.S. all tangerine forecast is 3.85 million boxes, down 3

percent from the previous forecast and 1 percent below last season's
utilized production. This forecast includes the Dancy, Robinson, Honey, and
Sunburst varieties of tangerines in Florida, as well as production of California
and Arizona tangerines. Florida Sunburst tangerines are included in the State
and U.S. totals beginning with the 1989-90 season. Production estimates shown
for seasons prior to 1989-90 do not include this new varietal tangerine.

The Florida forecast is 1.90 million boxes, down 5 percent from January 1, but
12 percent above the 1989-90 season. Florida harvest as of February 1 was about
53 percent complete. The California crop forecast of 1.30 million boxes, which
is carried forward from last month, is 19 percent below last season. The Arizona
forecast is 650 thousand boxes, carried forward from last month, but 8 percent
above the 1989-90 utilized production.

TANGELOS: The Florida crop, excluding K-early citrus fruits, at 2.90 million

boxes, is down 6 percent from January 1 and 2 percent below the 1989-
90 crop. Harvest was active during January and was 79 percent complete by the
end of the month.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Trees, groves, and fruit were generally in good condition

through most of January. Warmer than normal temperatures ac-
celerated evaporation and increased the need for irrigation in many counties.
By month's end, new growth and bloom buds of various sizes were showing in the
southern part of the citrus belt. Harvest of early and mid oranges was active
in January. Picking of white and colored grapefruit increased during January,
particularly on the lower East Coast. Harvest of Valencia oranges was underway
before the first of January and had progressed to near the quarter of a million
box per week rate by the end of the month. Tangelo and Honey tangerine movement
was active most of the month. Temple harvest increased during January as most
groves were ready to pick.

TEXAS CITRUS: Groves across the Rio Grande Valley were in good condition. Late

January rainfall helped leach soil of salt buildup from irriga-
tion and was beneficial to recovering trees. The absence of severe cold this
winter should allow some blooming to occur in the spring. The lack of fruit has
slowed some spraying programs. Insect and disease problems are minor at this
ime.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.72 million pounds for
January. This is 3 percent higher than December but 6 percent below
January 1990.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
FEBRUARY 1991 8 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION
TON EQUIVALENT

IND
1990-91

UFILIZED

& NA
AZ 4/.
CA :
1K 5/:
US :
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
AZ 4/:
cA :
FL :
TMX 5/:
US
ALL ORANGES :
AZ 4/:
CA
i /
US 3
TEMPLES
FL
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEDLESS
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED
SEEDLESS
OTHER, GRAPEFRUIT
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ch 4/6:
DESERT :
OTHER AREAS
TOTAL
FL :
TX 5/:
US :
TANGERINES 7/:
AZ 4]:
CA 4/:
FL :
US :
LEMONS 4/:
AZ 3
CA
US
TANGELOS
FL

550
16,000
895000

105,550

1,200
115000
70; 000
82,200

1,750
27;000
159;000
187,750

3,100

23,000

22,500
1,500
2,300
3,500

47,000

: IND
: 1988-89: 1989-90:1990-91
1,000 TONS
21 14 21
1,275 1,654 600
35839 33064 4,005
51 44
5,186 4,776 4,626
43 44 45
934 1,005 413
2,758 1,895 3,150
28 7
3,763 2,951 3,608
64 58 66
2,209 2,659 1,013
6,597 4,959 7,155
79 51
8,949 7,727 8,234
169 63 140
1,177 765 978
1,007 693 956
142 60 64
63 70 14
112 118 112
15] 167
263 285

2,844 1,953

25 22 24

76 61 49
138 81 90
239 164 163
144 110 141
615 596 532
759 706 673
171 132 131

SEE FOOTNOTES ON NEXT

CROP PRODUCTION
FEBRUARY 1991

PRODUCTION

BOXES

UTILIZED
1988-89 : 1989-90 :
1,000 BOXES 2/

550 380
34,000 44,100
85,300 68,100

15200 1,050
1213050 113;630
1,150 1,190
24,900 26800
61,300 42/100
650 155
88,000 70,245
1,700 1,570
58,900 70,900
146,600 110,200
1850 13205
2093050 183,875
3,750 1,400
27,700 18,000
23,700 16,300
3,350 1,400
1,950 2,200
3,500 3,700
4,500 5,000
87000 83700
54,750 35,700
47800 23000
69,500 48,600
650 600
2,040 1,600
2,900 1;700
5,590 33900
3,800 2,900
16,200 15,700
20,000 18,600
3,800 2,950

PAGE.

AGRIC

ULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


JANUARY WEATHER SUMMARY

The Southeast endured eight drenching rains, the West had an abnormally dry
spell, and the Nation as a whole was spared extended cold snaps during this
midwinter month. Elsewhere, only a handful of storms hit the normally rainy
Pacific Northwest, drought worsened in the northern Plains and California, and
persistent high pressure over the central Rockies resulted in below-normal
temperatures from the Great Basin to the southern Plains. A series of weak
storms dropped frequent light snows from the Midwest to the Northeast. Snow
squalls often raged in the Great Lakes States during the last 10 days of the
month.

The year 1991 began with many Ohio Valley rivers out of their banks. Precipita-
tion continued at a moderate clip until mid-January in the Ohio Valley, prolong-
ing flood conditions, especially in Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky. As the month
progressed, the prime focus for heavy rain shifted southward toward the Gulf
coast. With never more than five days between soaking rains, areas from eastern
Texas to Georgia saw last year's dryness vanish. In the Southeast, only portions
of peninsular Florida remain in need of rain. Many locations along the Gulf and
south Atlantic coasts shattered January rainfall records, including Port Arthur,
TX (14.87 inches), Slidell, LA (21.84 inches), Mobile, AL (16.07 inches), Talla-
hassee, FL (18.96 inches), and Wilmington, NC (10.22 inches). Monthly rainfall
in the Florida Panhandle was 400 to 600 percent of normal.

Two disturbances crossed southern California by the 10th, but insignificant pre-
cipitation fell thereafter. The Pacific Northwest had the bulk of its rain and
snow during the second week of the month. Central California received less than
10 percent of its normal precipitation. January's storms also largely bypassed
the northern and central Plains.

The East's coldest air of the winter settled in by the 22nd. Most of the arctic
wrath was directed at the Northeast, although night-time temperatures briefly
dipped below freezing as far south as northern Florida. Snow squall-prone areas
near the Great Lakes were frequently blasted by snow and wind for the rest of
the month.

January ended on a transitory note, with arctic air rapidly receding into Canada,
and subtropical warmth and moisture overspreading the Pacific Northwest. Record
warmth appeared in Florida and along the Pacific coast, poised to spread north-
ward and eastward across the Nation.

WINTER WHEAT

Early in January, snow cover from Montana through the northern Plains provided
protection from low temperatures for winter wheat. Cold weather in Kansas re-
duced greenbug and armyworm populations in south-central winter wheat fields.
The Wyoming winter wheat crop was fair to good, with some freeze and wind dam-
age. Topdressing was underway in most areas. By mid-January, the I]linois and
Indiana winter wheat crops were in mostly good condition, with moisture supplies
adequate to surplus. Wheat seeding continued in California, while rain early in
the month aided emerged fields. Newly emerged wheat in California showed some
freeze damage, and replanting may be necessary. Warm weather in Kansas and North
Dakota melted some snow cover on the wheat crop, but the crop remained in good
condition. Texas small grains were showing some recovery from the recent freez-
ing temperatures. The condition of the wheat crop in Washington was mostly poor
to fair. Montana's wheat crop was fair to good, with spotty snow cover due to

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
FEBRUARY 1991 6 NASS, USDA


Some areas experienced heavy showers and strong winds the Tast weekend of the
month, but overall weather conditions were mostly fair over major papaya pro-
ducing areas during January. Disease incidence was reported to be lower due to
the drier conditions. Seasonally cool temperatures have slowed fruit develop-
ment.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,315 acres in January, 1 percent
greater than December but 21 percent below last January. Harvested area,
totaling 2,225 acres was 3 percent above December but 17 percent less than a
year ago.

WINTER POTATOES: Production of winter potatoes is forecast at 2.43 million

cwt, a gain of 3 percent from last year but 12 percent below
two years ago. Area for harvest, estimated at 11.7 thousand acres, is down 11
percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 207 cwt per acre, an
increase of 17 percent over last year.

California growers are struggling with freeze damaged potatoes from the late
December cold snap. Pick out is heavy to ensure quality marketings. Harvest in
Florida started in late January with nearly ideal conditions. Rain had earlier
slowed growth of potatoes in some areas but the State yield is much better than
last year's freeze damaged crop.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS & NUTS: Winter cultural practices continued throughout the

State. Pruning, weed control, dormant spraying, and
irrigation were common in orchards. Some almond orchards in Northern California
were being irrigated. Central Valley Navel orange growers were picking a few
isolated groves. Most fruit was sent for processing because of freeze damage.
Lemons were also harvested at a low rate with fruit sent to processing. Damage
to citrus trees was most extensive in young groves. An increasing amount of
freeze damaged fruit was dropping off the trees. Navels, dates, mandarins,
minneolas, and "Desert" grapefruit were harvested in Southern California. Some
avocados suffered, but damage depended on location. Kiwifruit was moved to lo-
cal markets and Fuji apples were packed at the beginning of the month.

HARIKA RII RIK IRI IRI IAI IR IIIA IAI IIIS IIA IARI IIIS IA III III IIIA II.

NOTICE

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available
reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608,
Rockville, MD. 20850 or cal? 800-999-6779.

The next issue of this report will be published
March 11, 1991.

FIR II KIKI II IRE IIIA III IAI AI IS IKI IIIA IAI IIIA IIIS III AISI III.

Ce ee
te ee OF

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
FEBRUARY 1991 9 NASS, USDA


—— — — — ——

National United States
Crop ¢ Agricultural Department of

P d ti Statistics Agriculture
ro uc ion Service Agricultural
Statistics
Board
Washington, D.C.

RELEASED: February 11, 1991
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CITRUS production as of February 1, is forecast at 11.5 million tons, down
slightly from last month but 9 percent above the 1989-90 season.

ORANGE production is forecast at 188 million boxes, unchanged from January 1 but

2 percent above last season. Salvage operations for California's freeze
damaged Navel crop have progressed rapidly and the amount salvaged for juice
continues to exceed earlier expectations, especially in the Central Valley.
Higher than expected fruit drop caused the Florida crop forecast to be lowered
slightly.

GRAPEFRUIT production, including California's "Desert" grapefruit but excluding

California's “Other Areas” crop, is 52.8 million boxes, unchanged from the
January 1 forecast but 21 percent greater than last season. This large increase
is the result of last season's devastating freeze in the Florida citrus belt
causing significant fruit loss last year.

WINTER POTATO production is forecast at 2.43 million cwt, up 3 percent from a

year ago but 12 percent below 1989. Florida growers started digging pota-
toes in late January. Mid-month rains have cut yields but no acreage was lost.
Aa California, producers are busy sorting out potatoes damaged by the Christmas
reeze.

Cr Pr 2-2 (2-91) For Information Call (202) 447-2127


strong winds. Some Arkansas wheat was waterlogged due to wet conditions and
poor drainage. By the end of the month, above-normal temperatures warmed the
Texas High Plains and Montana, melting the protective snow cover on the wheat
crops. Wheat in the Delta suffered damage due to flooding and excessive soil
moisture. Irrigated wheat fields in the Texas High Plains were in good condi-
tion, while the dryland fields suffered. Washington winter wheat was in mostly
poor condition. California wheat emergence and growth were slowed due to a low
level of soil moisture.

ORANGES: The U.S. all orange crop is forecast at 188 million boxes for the 1990-

91 season, unchanged from the January 1 forecast but 2 percent greater
than 1989-90. Florida's all orange crop is estimated at 159 million boxes as of
February 1, 1 percent below last month's forecast but 44 percent above last sea-
son. Production prospects for early and mid-season oranges in Florida are 89.0
million boxes, 2 percent below last month but 31 percent greater than 1989-90.
The Valencia crop in Florida is forecast at 70.0 million boxes, unchanged from
a month ago but 66 percent above the freeze damaged 1989-90 season. Harvest of
Florida early and mid-season varieties is 90 percent complete, while the Valen-
cia crop harvest is just beginning.

The California all orange forecast, at 27.0 million boxes, is 8 percent
greater than last month but 62 percent less than last season's production. The
Navel orange forecast is 16.0 million boxes, 14 percent above last month but 64
percent less than the 1989-90 record high harvest. As of February 1, 78 percent
of California's freeze damaged Navel crop had been harvested. The California
Valencia orange crop forecast, at 11.0 million boxes, is unchanged from a month
ago but 59 percent below last season's crop. Harvest has not begun. The all
orange forecast for Arizona, which was carried forward from last month, is ex-
pected to total 1.75 million boxes, up 11 percent from last season's production.
Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, the 1990-91 Texas orange crop is vir-
tually eliminated and forecasts will not be issued this season unless sufficient
commercial supplies become available.

Changes in U.S. production between the February 1 forecast and final pro-
duction averaged 7.94 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from a
low of 270 thousand boxes in 1980-81 to a high of 17.1 million boxes in 1981-82.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1990-91 forecast of all Frozen

Concentrated Orange Juice Yield (FCOJ)
for Florida remains at 1.48 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast
projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Associa-
tion. The freeze damaged 1989-90 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.23
gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix.

TEMPLES: The Florida forecast, at 3.10 million boxes, is unchanged from January
1 but more than double last season's freeze damaged crop. Harvest as
of February 1 was about 19 percent complete.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects as of February 1 for the 1990-91 season indicate a crop

of 52.8 million boxes, unchanged from the January 1 forecast, but
21 percent above last season's production. This forecast includes California's
“Desert” grapefruit but excludes California's “Other Areas“ grapefruit. The
grapefruit crop from California's "Other Areas" accounted for 5.00 million boxes
harvested last season and 4.50 million boxes in 1988-89. The first forecast for
that area will be as of April 1, 1991. Due to the severe freeze of December
1989, the 1990-91 Texas grapefruit crop was virtually eliminated. Forecasts will
not be issued this season unless sufficient commercial supplies become available.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
FEBRUARY 1991 7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP pene teen eee cece ene tee ne enema ene nnnenenenee
: : INDICATED : : INDICATED
1990 : 1991 : 199 : 1991
1,000 ACRES
POTATOES :
WINTER > 13.5 13.2 13.2 11.7

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

CROP AND UNIT : : INDICATED : 3 INDICATED 1991
: > 1991 : pewee----------------------

POTATOES :
WINTER CWT: 177 207 2,343 2,463 2,425

: 1989-90 1990-91 1990-91

ORANGES 1/ BOX : 183,875 187,750 187,750

1/ HARVEST BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

keRKIK FREE E: Hee tok HHH II HII IAISIH IIIS IAI III AIS ISIIIAIAR.

* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data

* were prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which
consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington
headquarters.

*

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:

APPROVED: Frederic A. Vogel, Acting Chairperson
Michael A. Hunst, Acting Secretary

David S. Abbe, Stephen C. Ropel,

Arvin R. Budge, James L. Smith,

Robert L. Freie, H. James Tippett,
John D. Witzig.

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

HAKKAR IIER IIA IISA IIIS IAI IAI AAI AIS AIA ISI IA ISIN IIS ISI IASI AIA ISAS.

ee

eS

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
FEBRUARY 1991 2 NASS, USDA


CROP

POTATOES
WINTER

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

INDICATED : Hy INDICATED
1990 1991 2 1990 : 1991
HECTARES
5,460 5,340 5,340 4,730

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

CROP

POTATOES
WINTER

ORANGES 1/

(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION

1990: INDICATED; 1990 j------- n-ne

: 1991: > JANI FEB 1
pn METRIC TONS tstst=<“C=s~st‘S*~TM*S
19.90 23.26 106,280 111,720 110,000
1989-90 1990-91 1990-91

7,009,820 7,483,370 7,469, 760

1/ HARVEST BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION
FEBRUARY 1991

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
3 NASS, USDA