Potatoes:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal
Group, State, and United States. 1993-95

Area Harvested

Seasonal
Group

Winter 1/

Spring 1/
AL
AZ
CA
FL
Hastings
Other FL

Summer 2/
AL

MI 4/
MN 4/

a

5
8
3

PUOHROHANWH

WHT EERDRANONHOMWNO

DBONDOCOHwWH

BPE OMTaONa

CONF ANID

NArPNMAUMN

175
265
380
222
220
230
180
200
251

260
170
206

160
275
375
245
250
230
195
185
258

170
320
295
250
250
160
200

230
300
280
335

90
235
210
249

1,060
19,654

639
1,584
2,542

750
1,170

105

322
3,500
2,130
1,508

630

627
1,290

120
1,875
1,760

20,552

Production

968
1,404
2,372

438
1,670
7,790
8,588
6,380
2,208
3,060
1,100

22,646

1,190
2,109
3,069
816
1.450
328
250
2,730
2,280
1,734
1,408
588
1,088
126
1,800
1,425
22,391

1,587
1,590
728
1,407
117
1,645
1,890
17,590

See footnotes at end of table.

Crop Production
September 1995

A-20

--¢

ont inued

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected
to total 927 million pounds. down fractionally from last month but 1 percent
above 1994. Yields in the tri-State area are expected to average 2,377 pounds
per acre, 126 pounds above last year. In New Mexico. yield prospects are up
300 pounds from the August 1 forecast. After a slow start, crop development
caught up to a normal pace during August. Producers are still working to keep
sufficient water on their fields as temperatures ran slightly above normal.
Oklahoma growers lowered their expectations by 100 pounds per acre, rating their
crop in fair to mostly good condition. Lack of precipitation stressed non-
irrigated fields. Yields in Texas remained unchanged from a month ago as the
crop continued to make good progress. Some disease problems were reported in
Cross Timbers, Blacklands, and the Edwards Plateau.

Cotton: Planted acreage of upland cotton is estimated at 16.5 million acres, up
10,000 acres from August and up 22 percent from 1994. Arizona area was
increased 5,000 acres, California acreage decreased 20.000 acres, and Missouri
was raised 25,000 acres. Harvested acreage. at 15.6 million acres. is
19 percent above last year and up 5.000 acres from last month. American-Pima
planted and harvested area amounted to 195,000 acres and 192,500 acres.
respectively. Both are up 16 percent from last year and 5,000 acres above last
month.

Texas cotton is making normal progress on the Plains, but concern exists about
insect damage. Moisture stress was more apparent in this State with 22 percent
of the crop rated very poor to poor on September 3. In early September, 93 per-
cent of the crop was setting bolls, compared to an average of 96 percent.
Twenty-seven percent of bolls were open, one percent ahead of average.
Objective yield data rank large boll counts in ninth place since 1985. Small
bolls numbers and preliminary bol] weights were third lowest during this same
time period.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
rated cotton mostly in fair to good condition. Tennessee reports the best
conditions in the region, with 71 percent in good to excellent condition in
early September. Mississippi rated 23 percent of their crop in very poor to
poor condition. Arkansas and Louisiana rated 14 percent and 15 percent of the
cotton as very poor to poor, respectively. Boll opening in all states equated
or exceeded the 5-year average. Arkansas was 43 percent open, compared to an
average of 18. Mississippi, at 65 percent open, was 15 percent ahead of normal.
Data from objective yield plots in Arkansas shows the lowest number of large
bolls since 1985. Preliminary boll weights were also the lowest for this
10-year period. Louisiana large boll counts and weights ranked ninth in the
past 10 years, while Mississippi large bolls were the third lowest with weights
ninth lowest during this same period. Producers in the region continued to
apply insecticides.

Arizona's crop was rated very poor to poor on 30 percent of the acreage with
90 percent of bolls opening. 14 points ahead of average. Development in
California remained behind average, with 25 percent of the crop showing open
bolls compared to an average of 44 percent. Ten percent of the crop was in
excellent condition and 70 percent was in good condition on September 3.
California growers continued spraying for aphids and whitefly infestations.
Defoliation approached completion in the desert areas. Arizona objective yield

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-8 NASS, USDA


General Crop Comments: August started with crop progress behind normal due to

the late spring-planting. Crop condition declined-as
the month advanced due to spotty rainfall and high temperatures. By the end of
the month, row crop development was close to normal due to very warm weather
across Central and Eastern States that accelerated development.

Early August rains across the Eastern-half of the Nation restored soil moisture
supplies and slightly improved crop conditions. The month began with rain and
warm weather in the Central and Eastern States that advanced row crop
development. In the Pacific Northwest. favorable weather at the beginning of
the month allowed harvest activity to make good progress. The effects of the
heat wave across the Midwest and Southeastern States was reduced by frequent
showers that helped maintain crop conditions. The rains restored soil moisture
supplies but more rain was needed. In the upper Great Plains. producers sprayed
to control grasshoppers, while insect pressure increased in cotton fields in the
Southeast and Delta despite contro] measures.

By mid-August, hot, humid weather across the Corn Belt allowed rapid crop
development but corn and soybeans remained one to two weeks behind normal. The
continued heat across the Southeast accelerated crop development but eroded crop
conditions and left soil moisture at the lowest levels for the year--especially
in Georgia. Cool weather and rain in the Pacific Northwest slowed small grain
harvest activity. Later in the month, hot weather across the central Corn Belt
to the mid-Atlantic dried fields and left soil moisture supplies at the critical
stage. As the month proceeded, crops in the Midwest matured rapidly due to the
hot, dry weather and pushed crop progress closer to normal. Toward the end of
August, rain from Tropical Storm Jerry replenished soil moisture supplies for
parts of the Southeast, boosting crop conditions, but the rains came too late
for crops in advanced stages of development.

Above-normal temperatures at the end of August and sparse rainfall? from the
southern Great Plains to the Mid-Atlantic dried soils and lowered crop
conditions. In the central Corn Belt, crops endured the hottest August in years
which reduced soil moisture supplies and stalled crop growth. By the end of
August, crop development increased rapidly due to the high temperatures, but
fall crops remained behind schedule in the central Great Plains and Middle
Mississippi Valley. In the High Plains, favorable weather caused late-season
crops to mature quickly with harvest activity starting only slightly behind
normal. Row crops progressed rapidly by month's end, raising producers hopes of
crops reaching maturity before a fall-freeze. Dry summer weather for most of
August in the mid-Atlantic States depleted soil moisture supplies. Cool, dry
weather finished the month in the Pacific Northwest, allowing the small grain
harvest to make good progress.

Corn: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at

64.7 million acres, unchanged from last month, but 11 percent below the
1994 harvested acreage. The September Corn objective yield survey data indicate
a record high stalks per acre count for the ten objective yield States
(I]linois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South
Dakota, and Wisconsin). The September forecasted ears per acre are the highest
on record and, if realized, would exceed the previous record final ears per acre
set in 1992. Ear measurements from the sample plots indicate a 4 percent below
average ear length.

Forecasted yields in the non-objective yield States declined 1.8 bushels per
acre from Jast month. Improved prospects in Georgia, Kentucky. and South

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-4 NASS, USDA


Walnuts: The 1995 California walnut production forecast is 220,000 tons, down
5 percent from 1994's production of 232,000 tons. This is down
10 percent from the July forecast.

The average nut set per tree is 1.777, virtually unchanged from the 1994 average
of 1,773. The Hartley average nut set was up 16 percent, the Franquette set.
down 16 percent. and the Serr set down 15 percent. Of the nuts sampled,

93.1 percent were sound. The average in-shell weight per nut was 20.8 grams,
down 6 percent from the previous year.

Winter and spring storms did not affect the late bloom period. Blight was
visible even in varieties which tend to be blight-free, A substantial amount of
sunburn damage was also noted.

Pecans: The September 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 248 million

pounds (in-shell basis), up 25 percent from last year’s crop of
.199 million pounds. Alabama, California, Georgia, Louisiana, New Mexico,
Oklahoma, and Texas expect higher productfon this year while Florida, Kansas.
and North and South Carolina expect smaller crops.

Georgia's production is set at 80.0 million pounds, 23 percent above 1994 but
nearly half the 1993 level. Conditions have not been favorable. Lack of rain
and extreme heat caused small nut sizes and premature droppage. The eastern
part of the pecan growing region received generous rains from Tropical Storm
Jerry. but the central and southwest regions received only scattered showers.
Rain is still needed to fill nuts in non-irrigated groves.

The Texas forecast is 60.0 million pounds, 50 percent above last year. Growers
report trees are loaded with pecans. Scab, weevils. aphids, and shuck worms
have caused some damage. Producers are irrigating to reduce dropping of nuts.
New Mexico expects 30.0 million pounds, 25 percent more than in 1994. Some
areas of New Mexico experienced a late freeze. Major producing areas have not
experienced bad weather so far and predict a good crop. Production in Oklahoma
is forecast at 18.0 million pounds, 50 percent higher than last year and equal
to 1993. Nut set is mostly average. Some producers reported having too much
water during pollination however, most areas enjoyed adequate water during the
growing season. Recent dry weather is causing trees to shed nuts.

Alabama's forecast of 14.0 million pounds of pecans, up from the 4.00 million
pounds estimated last year. Hurricane Erin caused some damage in coastal
orchards. Localities with available irrigation expect a decent crop.
Louisiana's pecan crop is expected to reach 14.0 million pounds, 27 percent
above the previous year. Lack of moisture during fruit set lowered crop
expectations. Disease pressure is low.

Other southeast states have suffered from hot, dry conditions and hurricane wind
damage. The ice storms of 1994 continue to affect crops in Arkansas and
Mississippi. Upper elevation groves in Arizona experienced late freeze damage.
Extreme summer temperatures resulted in smaller nuts and lower quality.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-13 NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

State : : :

1994 : 1995 : 1994 1994 : 1995

1,000 Acres -- 1,000 Bushels
AZ 1/ : 94 99 91.0 8,554 8,514
CA 1/ : 59 68 95.0 5,605 6,596
MN : 35 10 25.0 875 300
MT : 178 295 30.0 5,340 9,145
ND : 2,350 2,750 32.5 76,375 79,750
SD : 23 33 26.0 598 957
US : 2.739 3,255 35.5 35.0 32.3 97,347 105,262

1/_ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Area Harvested Production

State :

1994 : 1995 : 1994 1994 1995

1,000 Acres —-------- -- 1,000 Bushels --
cols: 42 42 77.0 73.0 73.0 3,234 3,066
1D : 620 560 70.0 74.0 74.0 43.400 41,440
MN > 2,500 2,150 28.0 30.0 30.0 70,000 64,500
MT > 3,350 3.600 30.0 36.0 36.0 100,500 129,600
NV 1/ 4 7 55.0 85.0 85.0 220 595
ND : 8.850 8.200 31.5 32.0 28.0 278,775 229,600
OR 1/ : 58 114 50.0 45.0 45.0 2,900 5,130
SD : 1,980 1,150 26.0 28.0 29.0 51,480 33,350
UT 1/ 22 26 46.0 58.0 58.0 1,012 1,508
WA : 245 445 40.0 44.0 44.0 9,800 19,580
WI1/ oo: 9 9 30.0 36.0 36.0 270 324
WY 1/ oo: 17 25 37.0 43.0 43.0 629 1,075
US : 17.697 16,328 31.8 34.4 32.4 562,220 529,768 ©

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-14 NASS, USDA


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and Guide: statistical

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Tobacco: Area Harvested. Yield, and Production by Class, Type.
State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Class and Type

Class 1, Flue-Cured
Type 11, Old Belts
N

VA
US
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt
NC
Type 13, NC Border &
SC Belt
NC
Sc
US
Type 14, GA-FL Belt
FL

GA
US
Total 11-14
Class 2, Fire-Cured
Type 21, VA Belt
VA

Type 22, Eastern
District

KY

TN

US
Type 23, Western
District

Total 21-23

Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3A, Light
Air-Cured

Type 31, Burley

Type 32. Southern MD
Belt
MD
PA
US
Total 31-32

2,440
2,420
2,434

2,525

2,365
2,300
2,325

2,550
2,180
2,235
2,420

1,780

2,660
2,570
2,600

3,190
2,800
3,136
2.673

1,900
2,050
1,946

1,800

1,800
2,250
2,068

2,400
2,000
2,056
1,933

1,350

2,500
2,400
2,432

2,900
2,500
2,844
2,464

- 1,000 Pounds --

180,560
82,280
262,840

330,775

70,950
108,100
179,050

16,575
80,660
97,235
869,900

2,403

10,906
20,817
31.723

12.441

1,764
14,205
48.331

15,265
420,000
8.015
17,548
18,360
108,375
21,285
3.550
612,398

12,750
7,020
19,770
632,168

144,400
69,700
214,100

255,600

61,200
112,500
173,700

16.800
86,000
102,800
746,200

1,485

9,250
18,720
27,970

10,440

1,475
11,915
41,370

13,780
356.400
5,670
13,770
16,185
86.400
15,300
3,400
510.905

13,600
6,630
20,230
531,135

-- continued

Crop Production
September 1995

to occ-- Acres ----
74,000 76,000

: 34/000 34.000
: 108,000 110.000
: 131,000 142,000
30.000 34.000
47,000 50.000
77.000 84.900
6.500 7.000
37,000 43.000

: 43,500 50.000
: 359,500 386.000
1.350 1.100
4,100 3,700
8.100 7.800
12,200 11.500
3.900 3.600
630 590

4,530 4,190
18.080 16.790

: 7,100 6.500
: 175,000 162.000
: 3.500 2.700
8.200 8.100
8.500 8.300
51.000 48.000
11,000 9.000

: 2/000 — 2.000
+ 266,300 246,600
8.500 8.500
3.600 3.400

: 12,100 11.900
: 278.400 258.500
A-24

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


data show the lowest number of large bolls in the past 10 years. Small bolls
and squares are the third highest at this same time. Preliminary boll weights
also ranked third since 1985. California fruit counts are the second highest
for the past 10 years. but large boll counts and the early boll weights are the
lowest. Small bolls and squares show the highest count since 1985.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina). spring rains allowed the crop to germinate well but August high
temperatures and little rainfall adversely affected the crop. Tropical storm
Jerry moved across the eastern third of Georgia and into the Carolina's,
offering some relief, but fruit shedding and insects reduced crop potential.
This weather also pushed maturity of the Georgia crop and by early September
boil opening reached 61 percent, nearly twice the 5-year average. Boll opening
in the Carolina’s slightly lagged average on September 3. Forty-three percent
of Alabama cotton and 14 percent in Georgia were in very poor to poor condition.
Twenty-six percent of the Georgia Crop was rated in good condition, and

13 percent of Alabama was in good condition. North Carolina reported 26 percent
of their crop as good to excellent. Thirty-nine percent of the South Carolina
crop was in good condition. None was reported excelient in early September.

The American-Pima production forecast, at 368.000 bales, is up 9 percent from
1994 output and up 10,000 bales from August. California was the only State with
a change in production from the August forecast. caused by an upward revision of
§,000 acres in planted and harvested acreage. U.S. yield is expected to average
918 pounds per harvested acre, down 56 pounds from last year. Arizona Pima was
subject to insect pressure during the month and above normal temperatures. In
California, condition was mainly good to excellent as hot August weather aided
crop development. Aphid and mite infestations continued in many San Joaquin
Valley fields.

Ginnings totaled 427,000 running bales prior to September 1, compared with
679.950 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 434,900 running
bales in 1993.

Summer Potatoes: The final forecast of summer potato production rests at

17.6 million cwt. up 4 percent from the July forecast and
1 percent above the comparable States a year ago. Michigan and Minnesota summer
potatoes will be combined with fall crop estimates beginning this year.
Harvested area is 70,700 acres, 1 percent below last year but 2 percent above
two years ago. The average yield of 249 cwt per acre increased 10 cwt from the
July report on the strength of excellent yields atong the East Coast. The
reported yield is 7 cwt above last year. Delmarva Peninsula and New Jersey
growers reported exceptional potato crops this summer. Cool, wet spring weather
gave way to a hot, dry summer just as potatoes came to harvest. Late fields may
have suffered from drought where irrigation was not available. Virginia and New
Jersey yields are expected to be record high. Alabama and Texas also show
improved yields.

Yields are off in the MidWest and Plains States. Late planting, along with
prolonged hot, dry summer weather, are blamed. Colorado was hit by hail in Weld
County in June along with late growing progress. A good season in Missouri
promises to reduce abandonment. In California, summer potatoes are in good
condition as harvest winds down. Some heat damage and growth cracks are
reported.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-9 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Crop and Unit

United States,

Yield per Acre and Production,

1994-95 (Domestic Units)

Yield per Acre

Oats
Winter Wheat
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Ory Edible Beans 2/
Potatoes
Winter
Spring
Fall 3/
Hops
Apples, Comm’1
Peaches
Pears
Grapes
Sweet Cherries
Tart Cherries
Apricots
Olives (CA)
Oried Prunes (CA)
Prunes and Plums
(Excl CA)
Almonds (CA)

57.2
40.2
2.56
3.36
1.99
1,582

193
251
354
1,758

§7.3
37.6
2.61
3.49
2.00
1,649

206
258

1,748

Production
1994 1995 1/
weteeee 1,000 -------
229,857 186,167
1,661,043 1,552,230
150,124 157,374
81,398 86,082
68,726 71,292
29,187 32,078
2,372 2,592
22,646 22,387
420,515
74,5596 75,972.0
11,335,500 11,185,500
2,506,500 2,492,700
1,046.2 963.3
5,870.6 §,772.5
207.2 135.7
287,800 391,000
158.2 67.5
84.0 85.0
193.0 185.0
38.1 25.0
730,000 310,000

1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ Yield in pounds.
3/1994 revised.

Crop Production
September 1995

A-5

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
{LONG TERM, PALMER)
September 2, 1995
hed]
MODERATE (y ‘aN mdperate UPDATED BI-WEEKLY SEVERE
)
MOIST Moist ff (4 MODERATE 8) \ODERATE|
c] Gop St hs= 2
tf 7 (2) 1 EXTREME
Moist . }7 XS
?
Mo! fh A i "EXTREME
MOIST Ugg?
MODERATE , =
NJ nee ? j AY.
H ? J CMovERATE 3 © MoIsT
\ ( }
{ i)
7 ”
{ a
\ =
EXTREME
\ ‘MOIST
MOIST
NOAAUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on prefiminaty teports,

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months. years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds slowly: changes little from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-2 NASS, USDA


Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal
Group, State. and United States, 1993-95 (continued)

Seasonal : Area Harvested”: Yield : Production

Group Oe
and : : : : : : :

State : 1994 : 1995 ; 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 ; 1995

- 1,000 Acres ~--- Cwt ---- 1,000 Cwt --
Fall 1/ 2/ 3/ :

CA : 14.0 11.5 400 4,800 5,600
co : 73.7 76.5 350 25,270 25,795
1D t 408.0 398.0 340 126,192 138,801

10 SW Co : 27.0 27.0 470 10,440 12,690

Other ID : 381.0 371.0 331 115,752 126,111
IN : 4.1 4.6 280 1,050 1,148
ME : 75.0 75.0 245 19,890 18,375
MA : 3.1 3.3 240 645 744
MI 4/ : 42.0 57.5 290 11.780 12,180
MN 4/ : 67.0 80.0 265 12,650 17,755
MT : 10.0 9.7 320 2,700 3,200
NE : 11.1 12.5 360 3,008 3,996
NV : 8.0 8.0 345 2,926 2,760
NM : 6.0 6.2 500 2,871 3,000
NY : 28.6 27.0 273 7.693 7,805

Long Is 5/: 6.1 265 1,643 1,617

Upstate 5/: 22.5 275 6,050 6,188
ND : 120.0 119.0 235 21.090 28.200
OH : 5.5 5.4 245 1,140 1.348
OR : 55.8 50.5 493 23,103 27,514

Malheur : 11.8 11.8 430 3,567 5,074

Other OR : 44.0 38.7 510 19,536 22,440
PA : 18.0 17.0 210 4,600 3,780
RI : 1.1 0.9 225 226 248
SD 5.5 5.0 280 1,066 1,540
UT 6.0 5.3 265 1,643 1,590
WA 152.0 147.0 585 88.500 88,920
WI 71.5 78.0 360 22,588. 25,740
WY 1.7 1.5 280 504 476
Total 1,187.7 1,199.4 354 385,935 420,515
US : 1,382.7) 1,369.5 338 428,693 467,924

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ 1994 revised.

3/ Estimates for 1995 yield and production for fall potatoes will be
published November 9, 1995.

4/ Summer potatoes included with fall in 1995.

5/ Separate estimates discontinued in 1995.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-21 NASS, USDA


Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and
United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 1/

Area Harvested Production

CA 141.0 118.0 29.0 27.0 3,536 4,089 3,186
co 43.2 41.2 21.9 20.6 924 946 849
ID 201.0 198.0 27.9 25.0 4,733 5,608 4,950
MI 187.0 190.0 16.2 18.0 3.179 3,029 3,420
MN : 411.0 416.0 20.6 17.5 5.344 8,467 7,280
MT : 54.0 55.5 24.2 23.5 1,169 1,307 1,304
NE : 74.1 72.5 20.3 18.7 1,473 1,504 1,356
ND : 201.5 207.0 21.2 17.6 3,112 4,272 3.643
OH 16.0 14.7 16.5 17.5 212 264 257
OR 16.4 20.0 27.8 27.5 372 456 550
1X 24.5 19.6 20.3 22.7 823 497 445
wy 61.3 62.0 18.0 21.5 1,269 1,103 1,333
Oth 12.0 14.2 37.7 36.1 103 452 513
Sts 2/

US : 1,443.0 1,428.7 22.2 20.4 26,249 31,994 29,086

1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted
beets in CA.
2/ Includes NM and WA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested. Yield, and Production by
State and United States. 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Area Harvested Yield Production 1/
State pon --- nee ne nrc nent ee nen n cece
1994 1995 1994 1995 1993 1994 1995
1,000 Acres —------ Tons ------ ==---- 1,000 Tons -------
FL : 444.0 445.0 33.6 32.0 15,152 14,937 14,240
HI : 69.3 50.0 77.4 85.0 5,606 5,364 4,250
LA : 380.0 385.0 24.4 24.0 8,904 9,272 9,240
TX : 43.5 42.2 31.2 31.5 1,439 1,356 1,329
us : 936.8 922.2 33.0 31.5 31,101 30,929 29,059
1/ Net tons.
Crop Production . Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1995 A-27 NASS, USDA



Tobacco:

United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

Area Harvested

1994

1995

CT 1,600
FL 6,500
GA 37,000
IN 7,100
KY 187,000
MD 8.500
MA 490
MO 3.500
NC 243,200
OH 8,500
PA 9,000
Sc 47,000
TN 60,350
VA 46,420
wy 2,000
WI 3.000
US 671,160

»611
550
180
150
426
500
616

290

466

160

040
300
192
285
775

970

656
400
000
120
226
600
687
100
826
950
035
250
892
960
700
967

2,533 2,578
18,673 16,575
96.320 80,660
17,415 15,265
455,080 453,687
12,255 12,750
738 792

4,760 8,015

608.415 599,833
18,900 18,360
18,260 18,360
110,760 108,100
139,423 132,289
+ 99,544 106,092

3,600 3,550

6,643 5,910
1,613,319 1,882,816

Crop Production
September 1995

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


August Weather Summary: Moisture from the tropics brought adequate-to-surplus

moisture to scattered locations in a month otherwise
dominated by persistently hot. dry weather, owing to an expansive ridge of high
pressure aloft. A northward transport of moisture around the west side of the
ridge delivered above-normal rainfall to the Southwest, while numerous cold
fronts traversed the ridge’s northern fringe of influence, sparking occasional
heavy rain across the Nation’s northern tier. As the ridge strengthened during
the month, heat became more intense and rainfall diminished across much of the
Nation, stressing reproductive crops, especially in the Middle Atlantic region,
the Arklatex region, the High Plains, and the Corn Belt. Monthly temperature
departures in the Corn Belt ranged from +5 to +8 degrees F. Below normal
temperatures were confined to the Northwest.

Tropical systems headlined the first few days of the month, as heavy rain fell
during and after the landfalls of Tropical Storm Dean--which moved inland near
Galveston, TX on July 30--and Hurricane Erin--which twice struck Florida, first
at Vero Beach on August 2, and then at Pensacola a day later. Although Dean's
circulation stalled over northern Texas, some of its remnant moisture was
entrained into a slow-moving cold front, contributing to heavy rainfall from
Texas to New England. Across the Corn Belt, rainfall gradually diminished
thereafter, with nearly dry and very hot weather observed after mid-month.
Similarly, the remnant circulation of Hurricane Erin provided the month’s most
substantial moisture from the central Gulf Coast States to the Ohio Valley.
Finally, Tropical Storm Jerry pushed inland on August 23 near West Palm Beach,
FL, and proceeded to blaze a rainy path as far north as the Carolinas.

August 1995 was the wettest month on record in Greenville-Spartanburg, SC, with
17.37 inches collected. More than 80 percent of that total--14.47 inches--was
attributed to the effects of Jerry. Farther south, Melbourne, FL. notched their
wettest August (19.05 inches, nearly half of which fell during Erin's passage on
August 2), and second-wettest month all-time. In the Ohio Valley, Mansfield,
OH, received an August-record total) of 8.65 inches, al] of which fel) by the
18th. In contrast, August-record dryness affected locations such as New York's
Central Park (0.18 inches), Harrisburg, PA (0.53 inches), and Scottsbluff, NE
(0.08 inches}. The month ended with more than 3 consecutive weeks of dry
weather in Washington, DC and Little Rock, AR.

Average-temperature records from memorably hot Augusts were toppled in many
locations from the central Plains to the East. Records from 1947 were broken in
Toledo, OH (78.5 degrees F) and Detroit, MI (77.1 degrees F). Standards from
hot Augusts of the 1980’s--1980, 1983, and 1988, respectively--were toppled in
Williamsport, PA. Nashville, TN, and Greenville-Spartanburg. SC. August records
for days with highs of 90 degrees F or above were established in Bristol, TN

(21 days), Roanoke, VA (20 days), Williamsport, PA (18 days), Philadelphia, PA
(17 days), Pittsburgh, PA (15 days), and Scranton, PA (12 days). In Birmingham,
AL, where the mercury reached triple digits an August-record-tying eight times,
the average maximum was 96.4 degrees F, and the average temperature was

84.8 degrees F, breaking the all-time record set in July 1980. The month ended
with 30 consecutive 90-degree days in Baton Rouge and Shreveport, LA, and
Shreveport’s high of 104 degrees F on August 20 was their highest reading since
July 17, 1980. Farther north, Hot Springs. AR notched 108 degrees F on August
19. Nearly as impressive as the high temperatures was the lack of cooling at
night. In South Bend, IN, where the average August minimum is about 61 degrees
F, lows were at or above 70 degrees F on 14 days, and at or above 65 degrees F
on 25 days.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-3 NASS, USDA


Peanuts:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Area Harvested

Production 1/

2,200
2,600
2,600
2,000
2.700
2,700
2,600
2,300
2,800

2,200
2,600

2,300 1,

2.300
2,400
2,600
2,600
2,300
2,300

2,333 4,

---- 1,000 Pounds ---

446,220 470,800
207,480 208.000
862,630 1,391,500

51.660 46,000
485,465 345,600
261.000 260.000

36,250 32,500
605,570 621.000
291,180 204,700

247,455 3,580,100

of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Production,

United States, 1993-94
and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Production

1,000 Acres
AL 222.0 214.
FL 84.0 80.
GA 649.0 605.
NM 21.0 20.
NC 151.0 144.
OK 100.0 100.
sc 12.5 12.
1TMX 287.0 270.
VA 92.0 89.
US 1,618.5 1,534
1/ Estimates comprised
Cottonseed:
State
1993
US 6,343.2
Vv

Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Crop Production
September 1995

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


U.S. Corn Production
1986 - 1995

Billion Bushels
12.00
10.10
10.00 levee eee e reece cece reece eee ee cence neces eee eeee etna nsec teeeeeeeeees, 9.48 wee e eee eee POUR -b eee
8.23
_ 7.93 7.83
8,00 | ROY] -7AG 7.53 AAT ot NNN GET AN or

6.00 \\ Ne
aa) \|\ VEEN
\

2.00] NY;

0.00 N

Year

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board


Cotton:

Cumulative Boll Counts

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts cotton objective yield
surveys in 6 States which account for about 72 percent of the U.S. Upland cotton

production.
fields.

Plots are randomly selected from a scientific sample of cotton

Two sample plots per field are visited monthly from about August 1
through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. The bol] counts
shown below represent actual data collected from sampled fields and are not
official estimates of NASS.

Cotton:

Cumulative Boll Counts, September 1991-1995, and

November and Final, 1991-1994 1/

1991
1992
1993
1994
1995

1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995

Arizona

1,161
1,062
1,158
1,227

Number

1,083
1,013
1,082
1,221

California

826
841
839
805

Arkansas
Nov Final
797 782
822 817
769 753
813 812
Louisiana

Mississippi

695
734
713
619
761

501
466
432
505
515
423

813 770
858 875
662 661
TAT 748
Texas
491 489
449 430
484 489
480 489
4B4 486

1/ Includes small bolts (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls
(at least one inch in diameter), open bolls. partially opened bolls, and burrs,
November counts exclude small bolls.

per 40 feet of row.

Crop Production
September 1995

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Corn: Plant Population

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting corn objective
surveys in 10 States during 1995. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain
fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts
and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual counts from this survey
and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but are
extended to show trends in corn production practices.

Corn for Grain: Plant population per acre,
Selected States, 1991-95 1/

Number of Plants

IL 700 23,300 23,200 24,000
IN 400 23,200 22,850 23,900
IA 900 23,500 23,950 24,800
MI 800 22,800 21,800 23,500
MN 900 25,100 26,000 26,400
MO 800 19,300 19,650 20,400
NE 200 22,200 21,700 22,600
OH 200 23,300 22,900 23,400
So 500 17,600 19,250 19,900
WI 400 23,600

1/ Based on stalk counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.
2/ September 1 counts.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-30 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995
(Metric Units)

Hectares

Corn 32,034,450 28,857,630 29,508,780 26,176.160
Sorghum 3,954,630 3,687,540 3,628,860 3,349,210
Barley : 2,897,180 2,750,270 2,698,070 2.597.300
All Wheat : 28,498,670 28,055,130 24,998,110 24,653,310

Durum : 1,153,370 1,341,550 1,108,450 1,317,270

Other Spring : 7,415,540 6,746,590 7,161,800 6,607,780
Rice : 1,356,930 1,280,840 1,341,950 1,258,990
Soybeans : 25,066,500 25,327,520 24,738,300 24,975,850
Peanuts : 664,100 633,340 654,990 621,000
All Cotton 5,552,390 6,744,160 5,391,400 6,398,350

Upland : 5,484,200 6,665,240 5,324,060 6,320,450

Amer -Pima : 68,190 78,910 67,340 77,900
Potatoes :

Summer 2/ : 38,770 29,340 37,350 28,610

Total 2/ : 574,820 564,100 559.560 554,220
Tobacco : 271,610 273,180
Sugarbeets : 597,240 586.640 583,970 578,180
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed : 379,110 373,210

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop. ie.. grain, beans, etc.
2/ 1994 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested,
United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units)

Hectares

Oats : 2,688,760 2,605,390 1,626,850 1,314,030
Winter Wheat : 19,929,770 19,967,000 16,727,860 16,728,270
Rye : 648,720 658, 430 164,300 167,540
Sunflower > 1,443,530 1,460,120 1,388,090 1,409,940
Flaxseed : 72,030 86,200 69,200 83.370
All Hay : 23,773,110 24,373,670

Alfalfa : 9,802,400 9,971,160

All Other : 13,970,710 14,402,510
Dry Edible Beans : 819,820 829.490 746.730 787,450
Potatoes :

Winter : 5,220 5,180 4,980 5,100

Spring : 37.070 35,860 36,580 35,130

Fall 2/ : 493.760 493,720 480,650 485,390
Sweetpotatoes : 34,840 35,210 33.510 33,830
Hops : 17,160 17,580

1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1994 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-7 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production,
United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units)

Yield per Hectare Production

Crop Porc r ccc tec ce eee eee eee ee eee eee ee eee 22 -------
: 1994 1995 1/ 1994 1995 1/
Metric Tons
Oats 2.05 2.06 3,336,370 2,702,210
Winter Wheat : 2.70 2.53 45,206,180 42,244,780
All Hay : §.73 5.86 136,190,200 142,767,290
Alfalfa : 7.53 7.83 73,843,020 78,092,280
All Other 4.46 4.49 62,347,180 64,675,010
Potatoes :
Winter : 21.60 23.05 107,590 117,570
Spring : 28.08 28.91 1,027,210 1,015,460
Fall 2/ : 27.19 1,015,640
Hops : 1.97 1.96 33,820 34.460
Apples, Comm'1 : 5,141,700 5,073,660
Peaches : 1,136,930 1,128,400
Sweet Cherries : 187,970 123,100
Tart Cherries : 130,540 177,350
Apricots : 143,520 61,230
Olives (CA) : 76,200 77,110
Dried Prunes (CA) : 175,090 167,830
Prunes and Plums :
(Excl CA) : 34,560 22,680

331,120 140,610

Almonds (CA)

1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1994 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-6 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State.
and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

1994 1994 1995

State 1994 1995

upland -- 1,000 Acres -- — ------- Pounds ------- 1,000 Bales 2/
plan
AL 455.0 615.0 766 550 500 726.0 640.0
AZ 312.0 359.0 1,203 1,139 1,123 782.0 840.0
AR 970.0 1,000.0 877 826 744 1,772.0 1,550.0
CA 1,095.0 1,175.0 1,191 1,165 1,123 2,717.0 2,750.0
FL 3/ 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0
GA 875.0 1,490.0 843 677 628 1,537.0 1,950.0
KS 3/ 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7
LA 890.0 1,010.0 815 808 713 1,512.0 1,500.0
MS 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 819 661 2,132.0 2,010.0
MO 345.0 435.0 856 729 701 615.0 635.0
NM 50.0 51.0 720 781 781 75.0 83.0
NC 485.0 780.0 820 615 $35 829.0 870.0
OK 340.0 325.0 349 325 325 247.0 220.0
Sc 223.0 335.0 846 759 731 393.0 510.0
IN 585.0 665.0 726 664 595 885.0 825.0
TX : 5,150.0 5,700.0 458 446 438 4,915.0 5,200.0
VA 3/ 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0
US 213,155.9 15,618.0 705 660 612 = 19,324.3  19,897.7
Amer-Pima :
AZ : 47.9 47.5 806 788 788 80.4 78.0
CA 80.8 100.0 1,098 1.036 1,032 184.8 215.0
NM 10.7 15.0 875 . 800 800 19.5 25.0
TX 27.0 30.0 942 800 800 53.0 50.0
US 166.4 192.5 974 916 918 337.7 368.0
All
AL 455.0 615.0 766 550 500 726.0 640.0
AZ 359.9 406.5 1,150 1,097 1,084 862.4 918.0
AR : 970.0 1,000.0 877 826 744 1,772.0 1,550.0
CA : 1,175.8 1,275.0 1,185 1,155 1,116 2,901.8 2,965.0
FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0
GA : 875.0 1.490.0 843 677 628 1,537.0 1,950.0
KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7
LA : _ 890.0 1,010.0 815 808 713 1,512.0 1,500.0
MS 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 819 661 2,132.0 2,010.0
MO 345.0 435.0 856 729 701 615.0 635.0
NM 60.7 66.0 747 785 785 94.5 108.0
NC 485.0 780.0 820 615 535 829.0 870.0
OK 340.0 325.0 349 325 325 247.0 220.0
sc 223.0 335.0 846 759 731 393.0 510.0
TMN : 585.0 665.0 726 664 595 885.0 825.0
TX : §.177.0 5,730.0 461 448 440 4,968.0 5,250.0
VA3/_: 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0
us :13,322.3 15,810.5 708 663 615 19,662.0 20,265.7

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-19 NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States. 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 -

Area Harvested Production

1994 : 1995 : 1994 :---------22+2------ : 4994 «1995
: : : 1: :

AL 260 220 96.0 70.0 70.0 24,960 15,400
AZ 1/ 15 20 170.0 160.0 160.0 2,550 3,200
AR 1/ 90 85 120.0 125.0 125.0 10,800 10,625
CA 170 140 165.0 160.0 160.0 28,050 22,400
co 2 890 800 150.0 145.0 145.0 133,500 116,000
T

DE : 150 142 125.0 100.0 100.0 18,750 14,200
FL i/o: 80 60 85.0 77.0 77.0 6,800 4,620
GA : 540 360 106.0 95.0 100.0 57,240 36,000
IDi/ ss: 35 35 140.0 140.0 140.0 4,900 4,900
IL : 11,450 10,000 156.0 133.0 126.0 1,786,200 1,260,000
IN 5,960 5,200 144.0 135.0 125.0 858,240 650,000
IA 12,700 11,500 152.0 135.0 125.0 1,930,400 1.437,500
KS 2,130 1,950 143.0 140.0 140.0 304,590 273,000
KY : 1,220 1,150 128.0 120.0 122.0 156,160 140,300
LA l/s: 306 235 115.0 105.0 105.0 35,190 24,675
ME 2/

Hn 2) 390 380 118.0 110.0 105.0 46,020 39,900
A

MI 2,230 2,100 117.0 120.0 120.0 260,910 252,000
MN 6.450 6.000 142.0 130.0 130.0 915,900 780,000
MS 1/ 305 275 100.0 95.0 95.0 30,500 26,125
MO 2,300 1,350 119.0 105.0 105.0 273,700 141,750
MT 1/ 20 18 135.0 140.0 140.0 700 520
NE a 8,300 7,800 139.0 122.0 120.0 1,153,700 936,000
NH

NJ 1/ 81 82 119.0 110.0 110.0 9,639 9,020
NM 1/ 85 85 150.0 170.0 170.0 12,750 14,450
NY : 590 560 116.0 104.0 97.0 68,440 54,320
NC 900 800 91.0 105.0 105.0 81,900 84,000
ND 540 400 100.0 90.0 82.0 54,000 32,800
OH > 3.500 3,150 139.0 124.0 122.0 486,500 384,300
OK 1/ 165 125 100.0 120.0 120.0 16,500 15,000
OR 1/: 20 17 170.0 140.0 140.0 400 2,380
Re a > 1,030 990 120.0 118.0 106.0 123,600 104,940
sc 345 280 85.0 85.0 89.0 29,325 24,920
SD 3,400 2,300 108.0 77.0 80.0 367,200 184,000
TN 570 570 116.0 120.0 120.0 66,120 68,400
TTMX 2,040 2,100 117.0 117.0 115.0 238,680 241,500
ut yi 22 23 130.0 125.0 125.0 860 875
VA 350 300 98.0 110.0 100.0 34.300 30,000
WA 1/ 105 105 185.0 190.0 190.0 19,425 19,950
WV 1/ 35 35 105.0 110.0 110.0 675 3,850
WI 3,100 2,900 141.0 129.0 124.0 437,100 359,600
WY 1/ 48 40 122.0 118.0 118.0 856 720
us 72,917 64,682 138.6 125.6 121.1 10,103,030 7,832,140

1/_ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ Not estimated.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-9 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type. State,
and United States. 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 (continued)

Class and Type

roses: Acres ----- --- Pounds --- - 1,000 Pounds --

Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3B, Oark
Air-Cured
Type 35, One Sucker

Belt :

KY : 2,600 2,200 2,480 2,400 6,448 5,280

TN : 620 550 92,150 2.100 1,333 1,155

us : 3,220 2,750 2,416 2,340 7,781 6,435
Type 36, Green River :

Belt :

KY : 1,400 1,200 2,780 2,550 3,892 3.060
Type 37, VA Sun-Cured :

Belt :

VA : 70 70 «1,770 1,100 124 77
Total 35-37 >: 4,690 4,020 2,515 2,381 11,797 9,572

Class 4, Cigar Filler :
Type 41, PA Seedleaf :
PA i 5,400 4,500 2,100 2,100 11,340 9,450
Class 5, Cigar Binder :
Class 5A, CT Valley :

Binder

Type 51, CT Valley

Broadleaf :
cT : 690 820 1,890 1,860 1,304 1,525
MA : 210 200 «1,905 1,930 400 386

US : 900 1,020 1,893 1,874 1,704 1,911
Class 5B, WI Binder :
Type 54, Southern WI

WI : 2,000 2,000 2,100 2,100 4,200 4,200
Type 55, Northern WI :

WI : 1,000 1,000 1,710 1.700 1,710 1,700
Total 54-55 : 3,000 3.000 1.970 1.967 5,910 5,900
Total 51-55 : 3,900 4,020 1,952 1,943 7,614 7,811

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper:
Type 61, CT Valley
Shade-Grown :
CT : 910 950 1,400 1,480 1,274 1,406

MA : 280 260 1,400 1.500 392 390
US : 1,190 1,210 1,400 1,484 1,666 1,796
All Cigar Types :
Total 41-61 : 10,490 9,730 1,966 1,959 20,620 19,057
All Tobacco : 671,160 675,040 2,358 1,996 1,582,816 1,347,334
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1995 A-25 NASS, USDA


Ny National

Crop @ Agricultural
e ¢< Siatistics

ervice

Production

United States

Department of

Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released September 12, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For
information on "Crop Production” call (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to
4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information
about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at
1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG. GOV.

Corn Production Down - Soybeans Up

Corn production is forecast at 7.83 billion bushels, down 22 percent from the
record high 1994 production. Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are
expected to average 121.1 bushels per acre, down 4.5 bushels from last month and
17.5 bushels below a year earlier. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at
64.7 million acres, the same as last month. Hot, dry conditions reduced yield
prospects in Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Nebraska, and Ohio. High ear counts were
more than offset by shorter than average ear length.

Soybean production is forecast at a 2.28 billion bushels as of September 1. up
2 percent from the August 1 forecast but 11 percent below the record high of
1994. Yield is forecast at 37.0 bushels per acre, 0.6 bushels above August 1
but 4.9 bushels below the record high of 1994. The number of pods counted in
the September survey was considerably larger than the August projections and
indicates the second highest on record. Acreage for harvest is estimated at
61.7 million acres, unchanged from last month. Soybeans are rated in fair to
good condition.

All cotton production remains a record high, at 20.3 million bales, despite a
7 percent drop from last month. Production in 1995 is 3 percent above 1994.
Above normal temperatures, sparse rainfall, and insects during August resulted
in loss of fruit and declining yields. Yields are down 93 pounds from last
year’s record high yield and down 48 pounds from a month earlier.

All Wheat production is forecast at 2.19 billion bushels, down 2 percent from
August 1 and 6 percent less than in 1994. Area for grain is 60.9 million acres,
down 1 percent from last year. Yields are now expected to average 35.9 bushels
per acre, down 0.7 bushels from a month ago.

Cr Pr 2-2 (9-95)


For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 5.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current production forecast of 7.83 billion bushels will not be above
or below the final estimate by more than 5.8 percent or approximately 454
million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 10.0 percent or approximately 783 million bushels.

Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 393 million bushels, ranging
from 10 million to 885 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply that the
September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts
oot Mean Square Erro 10-Year Record Of
: Differences Between Forecast
and Final Estimate

Crop and :
Unit :Percent:

:Percent: Quant:: : : Below: Above
: : t: Avg:Small:Large:Final:Final

Feed Grains 1/ Mt:

5.4 9.3 21 :: 11 0 27 6 4
Corn For Grain Bu: 5.8 10.0 783: :393 10 885 6 4
Sorghum For Grain Bu: 6.2 10.7 58 :: 39 1 115 6 4
Barley Bu: 3.4 6.1 23 12 3 35 5 5
All Wheat Bu: 1.5 2.5 55 34 2 97 3 7
Durum Bu: 5.6 9.8 10 :: 5 3 12 5 5
Other Spring Bu: 3.7 6.3 33002: 22 1 62 3 7
Rice Cwt: 4.2 7,2 130:: 7 2 16 8 2
Soybeans For : ft
Beans Bu: 5.3 9.2 210 19 242 7
Cotton Bales 2/: 6.1 10.5 2,128 84 1,914 5 5

1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley.
2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-15 NASS, USDA


Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and
United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Area Harvested Production

State : :
: 1994 : 1995

1,000 Acres -- 1,000 Bushels --
AZ 1/ : 33 21 95.0 90.0 90.0 3,135 1,890
CA 1/ : 220 200 65.0 70.0 70.0 14,300 14,000
co : 83 100 90.0 105.0 105.0 7,470 10,500
DE 1/ : 30 37 63.0 75.0 75.0 1,890 2,775
1D t 720 760 75.0 77.0 77.0 54.000 58,520
KS 1/ : 14 8 38.0 30.0 30.0 532 240
KY 1/ : 14 16 79.0 77.0 77.0 1,106 1,232
MD 1/ : 60 62 70.0 75.0 75.0 4,200 4,650
MI 1/ t 32 23 51.0 50.0 50.0 1,632 1,150
MN : 600 585 50.0 50.0 50.0 30,000 29,250
MT : 1,200 1,200 44.0 56.0 54.0 52,800 64,800
NE 1/ : 8 8 38.0 36.0 36.0 304 288
NV 1/ : 4 4 85.0 80.0 80.0 340 320
NJ 1/ : 5 5 53.0 72.0 72.0 265 360
NC 1/ : 25 30 70.0 60.0 60.0 1,750 1,800
ND : 2,400 2,350 55.0 52.0 49.0 132,000 115,150
OK 1/ : 6 3 37.0 35.0 35.0 222 105
OR : 130 95 73.0 77.0 77.0 9,490 7,315
PA 1/ 75 75 65.0 75.0 75.0 4,875 5,625
sc 1/ 7 5 72.0 28.0 28.0 504 140
sD 310 170 42.0 40.0 35.0 13.020 5,950
TX 1/ 8 15 33.0 46.0 46.0 264 690
UT 107 95 75.0 90.0 90.0 8.025 8.550
VA 1/ 87 80 73.0 78.0 78.0 6,351 6,240
WA 305 290 47.0 70.0 70.0 14,335 20,300
WI 84 86 53.0 52.0 50.0 4,452 4,300
WY 100 95 76.0 85.0 85.0 7,600 8.075
US > 6,667 6,418 56.2 59.9 58.3 374,862 374,215

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-12 NASS, USDA


Sorghum for Grain:
and United States

1.000 Acres
AL I/ 20 8
AR : 245 185
co : 170 220
GAl/ : 40 30
IL : 180 170
KS : 3,000 2,900
KY l/s: 11 16
LA I 123 57
MS : 70 45
MO : 550 550
NE : 1,250 1,050
NM : 180 195
NC 1/ : 20 15
OK : 280 280
sc l/ : 8 8
Sd : 190 180
IN1/ 30 17
1X : 2,600 2,350
US 8,967 8,276

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

1994 and Forecasted September 1

0 900
0 18,375
0 7,650
0 2,000
0 17,820
0 231,000
0 1,012
0 8,364
0 5,250
0 49,500
0 122,500
0] 6,840
0 1,100
i] 14,000
i] 320
0 12,350
0 2,640
0 153,400

0 655,021

-- 1,000 Bushels --

320
11,100
9,240
1,140
14,110
197,200
1,440
3,705
3,330
47,850
75,600
7,215
750
14,560
280
7,380
1,479
141,000

537,699

1/. Estimates for current year carried forward from

Crop Production
September 1995

earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Florida Citrus: Citrus groves were soaked with continuous rains and

thunderstorms beginning the first of August with Hurricane Erin
and then Tropical Storm Jerry. Inadequate drainage resulted in standing water
in both east and west coast groves and many in the southern district. Record
rainfall for August was recorded in several cities within the citrus belt.
Excessive moisture cauSed only limited adverse effects. However, the constant
rains produced an abundance of new growth on trees of all ages. One early bloom
crop of red grapefruit was packed and shipped the week of August 21. No other
crops were picked. Caretakers were very active moving standing water. Many
growers deep plowed and disced to help dry saturated soils.

Sugarbeets: Production for U.S. is expected to total 29.1 million tons, up

1 percent from the August 1 forecast, but down 9 percent from 1994.
Area for harvest, at 1.43 million acres, is virtually unchanged from last
month's forecast, but down 1 percent from last year. The average yield, at
20.4 tons per acre, is 1.8 tons below last year’s yield.

Sugarbeet planting was delayed by @ cool, wet spring leaving many northern
States behind normal. Oue to the second hottest August on record, Colorado's
sugarbeet producers applied additional water but the hot weather still slowed
plant growth. Sugarbeets progress in Idaho was slightly behind normal earlier
but growers are now preparing for early harvest in mid-September. North
Dakota's Red River Valley had adequate to surplus soil moisture supplies
throughout the growing season, with some disease problems reported. Michigan's
producers were concerned with root aphid problems in some areas that threaten
the State's record harvest of sugarbeets. Good growing conditions in
California, following the late-spring planting, has benefitted the crop.

Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for U.S. sugar and seed in 1995 is expected to

total 29.1 million tons, down less than 1 percent from last month
and down 6 percent from 1994. Area for harvest, at 922,200 acres, is 2 percent
below last year. The forecasted yield, at 31.5 tons per acre, is 1.5 tons below
last year’s yield.

A hot, dry August for mainland sugarcane States allowed sugarcane to make good
growth with the crop reported in good to fair condition for the month. Hawaii's
sugarcane harvest was Slowing. The decline in acres reflects the continued
closing of plantations. Florida’s sugarcane region has not had significant
damage from tropical storms this season, but some growers reported reduced yield
prospects caused by cloudy weather. In Louisiana, scattered rains have been
adequate to allow average plant growth with minor insect problems from the cane

borer reported.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.25 million pounds for
August, 7 percent lower than July and 32 percent lower than August
1994.

Light to moderate rainfall. mixed with sunshine and warm temperatures in major
producing areas, made August weather conditions mostly favorable toward papaya
production. Orchards not heavily infected with papaya ringspot virus were in
good condition.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-11 NASS, USDA


Soybeans: Pods with Beans

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting soybean objective
yield surveys in 8 States during 1995. Plots are randomly selected from a
scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields, which are visited monthly from
August through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements. Sample data
and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the following table
are not Agricultural Statistics Board official estimates but are intended to
show trends in soybean production practices.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet
Selected States, 1991 - 1995 1/ 2/

State : : : :
and : 1991: = 1992s = 1993s 1994: = 1995
Month : : : : :
Number of Pods
AR Sep 3/ : NA NA NA NA NA
Nov : 1,336 1,713 1,399 1,782
Final : 1,327 1.705 1.327 1.673
IL Sep : 1,874 1,698 1.937 1,745 1,816
Nov : 1,480 1,503 1.712 1.639
Final : 1,450 1,502 1.701 1,636
IN Sep 1,535 1,623 1,938 1,850 1,807
Nov > 1,508 1.543 1.703 1.574
Final : 1,508 1.543 1,703 1.570
IA Sep : 1,406 1,501 1,336 1.887 1,739
Nov : 1.451 1.464 15340 11820
Final : 1,456 1.473 1.340 1.820
MN Sep : 1.400 1,431 1,037 1.678 1.613
Nov : 1,478 1,367 1,106 1,496
Final : 1.476 1,367 1,105 1.496
MO Sep : 1,239 1,682 1.493 1.470 895
Nov [1.416 1.607 1,727 1.643
Final + 1,426 1,602 1,699 1.659
NE Sep : 1.487 1,517 1,469 1,676 1,404
Nov : 1,423 1.504 1.414 1.826
Final > 1,422 1,509 1,445 1.826
OH Sep : 1,426 1,462 1.617 1.950 1.790
Nov : 1,313 1.394 1.361 1.643
Final : 1,312 1.404 1.361 1,643

1/ Based on pod counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.
2/ Final pod counts will be published in January.
3/ Not available due to plant immaturity.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-32 NASS, USDA


Index

Page
Table Narrative

Barley... eect eee eeet eee A-12 B- 5
Citrus Fruits....... 0... ee eee A-26 B-11
Corn for Grain.. A-9 B- 4
COttON. eee eee A-19 B- 8
Corn-Plants per Acre........ ccc eee eee A-30

Cotton - Cumulative Boll Counts............... A-32

Cottonseed... 6. eee eee eee A-18

Crop Moisture Maps... eee eee B- 1
Crop Summary... 6.6... cee cee ee eee A- 3 B- 3
Nuts. 0... eee eee A-28 B-12
Papayas - Hawaii... eee ee ee A-28 B-11
Peanuts . wee cee os see A-18 B- 7
PECANS... eee et teenies A-29 B-13
Potatoes..... 0... eee eee A-20 B- 9
Reliability Statement............. 0... cece B-15
RICE cece ccc tee ec eee teens A-15 B- 6
Rice - By Grain Length A-15 B- 6
Sorghum for Grain......... cece cece ee ee eee A-11 B- 5
Soybeans for Beans............. cece eee ee eee A-16 B- 6
Soybeans - Pods for Beans ............0e0e eee A-31

Sugarbeets A-27 B-11
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed.................. A-27 B-11
Tobacco by Class and Type..............00- 0008 A-24 B-10
Tobacco by States.......... 0. eee cee eee A-23

Wheat, All... cece ee A-13

Wheat, by Class....... 0... cee cece cece eee eee A-15

Wheat, Durum.......... 00. cece eee cece A-14 B- 6
Wheat, Other Spring................0. 006 eee A-14 B- 5
Wheat, Other Spring- Heads per Acre........... A-31

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-16 NASS, USDA


All Spring Wheat: Head Population

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting spring wheat
objective yield surveys in 4 States during 1995: North Dakota also does
Durum wheat. Randomly selected plots in wheat fields are visited from August
through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this
table are derived actual field counts and are not official estimates of the
Agricultural Statistics Board.

All Spring Wheat: Heads per Square Foot,
Selected States, 1991-95 1/ 2/

Crop and State 1991 1992

Other Spring

MN Sep + 38.9 49.8 44.3 44.3 45.6
Final : 38.9 48.4 45.3 43.9

MT Sep : 32.6 29.2 29.2 27.3 30.4
Final : 32.1 29,3 29.1 27.3

ND Sep : 36.6 42,1 41.9 39.4 39.5
Final + 36.6 42.0 42.7 39.4

So Sep : 38.2 44.3 36.6 29.2 34.4
Final : 38.2 45.5 36.6 29.2

Durum

ND Sep : 26.8 27.6 27.5 25.9 24.8
Final : 26.6 27.6 26.9 25.7

1/ Based on the number of heads counted in plots selected for the objective
yield survey.
2/ Final head counts will be published in January.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-31 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Corn for Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Barley
All Wheat

Ourum

Other Spring
Rice
Soybeans for Beans
Peanuts for Nuts
Ali Cotton

Upland

Amer-Pima
Cottonseed
Potatoes

Summer 1/ 2/

Total 1/
Tobacco
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for

Sugar and Seed
Pecans
Hazelnuts 3/
Walnuts (CA) 2/

Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995
(Metric Units)

1994

: 27.
: 37.

1 49.
74,

FPOONNAVNNWAD

1995 1994
Metric
7.60 256,628,780
4.08 16,638,300
3.14 8,161,660
2.41 63,156,650
2.17 2,649,350
2.18  15,301.120
6.55 8,971,110
2.49 69,625,980
2.61 1,926,610
9.69 4, 280.900
0.69 4,207,370
1.03 73,530
6,898,140
27.89 1,015,640
21,224,680
2.24 717,950
45.64 29,024,470
70.64 28,058,320
90,260
19,140

470

Tons

206,296,110
13,680,030
8,375,570
60,620,490
3.096.420
15,279,290
8,401,800
61,123,410
1,758,990
4,748,330
4,670,780
77,950
7,627,340

765.300

639,690
26,206,750

26,478,000

34,470
222,260

198,945,520
13,658,180
8,147,570
59,527,460
2,864,760
14,417,920
8,244, 860
62,175,290
1,623,910
4,412,330
4,332,210
80,120
7,093,010

797,870

611,140
26,386,380

26,361.880
112,490
34.470
199,580

1/ 1994 revised.
2/ August estimate carried forward
3/ Carried forward from August 24.

Crop Production
September 1995

A-8

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Potatoes: Area Planted by Seasonal Group,
State, and United States, 1994-95

Seasonal Group

and 1994 : 1995 and 1994 1995
State : State
1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres
Winter 1/ : Fall l/s 2/ :
CA : 4.5 5.0 CA : 14.0 11.5
FL : 8.4 7.8 co : 74.0 77.0
Total : 12.9 12.8 1D t 410.0 400.0
: 10 SW Co I 27.0 27.0
Spring 1/ : Other ID : 383.0 373.0
AL t 2.6 2.6 IN : 4.4 5.0
AZ : 6.3 6.3 ME 78.0 76.0
CA : 20.5 18.0 MA 3.1 3.3
FL : 39.2 39.0 MI o3/ 44.0 60.0
Hastings : 29.5 28.5 MN 3/ 74.0 83.0
Other FL : 9.7 10.5 MT 10.0 9.8
NC : 17.3 17.5 NE 11.3 12.6
TX 5.7 5.2 NV 8.0 8.0
Total 91.6 88.6 NM 6.3 6.2
: i NY : 29.1 30.0
Summer 1/ 2/ : tt Long Is 4/ : 6.1
AL : 7.2 6.8 :: Upstate 4/ : 23.0
CA 5.7 5.5: ND : 133.0 123.0
co 9.5 9.0: OH : 5.6 5.5
DE 4.9 §.3: OR : 56.4 51.0
IL 5.1 5.5: Malheur Co: 11.9 12.0
IA 1.6 1.6: Other OR : 44.5 39.0
MD 2.5 1.5: PA : 19.0 18.0
MI 3/ 14.0 : RI 2 1.1 0.9
MN 3/ 7.7 : SD : 6.0 6.3
MO 7.2 7.1: UT : 6.1 5.4
NE 4.5 5.6: WA : 152.0 147.0
NJ 2.9 2.7: WI t 73.0 80.0
NM 3.7 4.2: WY : 1.7 1.5
NC 1.5 1.4: Total : 1,220.1 1,220.0
TX 7.8 7.3: :
VA 10.0 9.0: US : 1,420.4 1,393.9
Total 95.8 72.5: :

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ 1994 revised.
3/ Summer potatoes included with fall in 1995.
4/ Separate estimates discontinued in 1995.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-22 NASS. USDA


but weights are well below average. Montana's harvest progress of 42 percent is
well behind the average 59 percent. Head counts are the highest in 4 years
while projected head weights are more normal.

Late August open weather has allowed growers to push harvest near completion in
South Dakota and to 55 percent in North Dakota--less than a week behind the
average 66 percent. Heads per square foot are near average in both States.
Average weight was near normal in South Dakota, but the lowest in 6 years for
North Dakota.

Washington's harvest is 85 percent complete. Idaho's is 55 percent complete and
has moved into eastern and northern parts of the State. Remaining wheat in both
States is rated in good to excellent condition.

Durum Wheat: Production is forecast at 105 million bushels, down 7 percent from

August 1 but up 8 percent from 1994. Yield reductions in North
Dakota and Montana are the reason for the production decline from last month.
Area for harvest as grain remains at 3.26 million acres, up 19 percent from
1994. The September yield forecast is 32.3 bushels per acre, down 2.7 bushels
from last month.

North Dakota's Durum crop condition deteriorated during August. The late crop
has been affected by hot weather pushing the forecasted head weights to the
lowest level since 1989. Insect infestations have also had an impact. Harvest
Progress is running a week or more behind average and was 33 percent complete as
of September 3. Hot weather impacted head-fill in parts of Montana.

Rice: Total rice production is forecast at 182 million cwt, 2 percent below the
August forecast and 8 percent below the 1994 total. This production

level, if realized, would be the third highest on record. Yield decreased in

Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas causing a decrease in the U.S. yield to

5.843 pounds. In Louisiana, yield decreased due to increased disease pressure

brought on from extreme heat and too much rain at or near blooming stage.

During harvest in Texas, some producers have discovered stem rot which has

reduced their yield. Yields in Arkansas, California, and Missouri remained the

same as a month earlier. Rice harvest is underway in Arkansas, Louisiana,

Mississippi, and Texas. Rice is in mostly good condition.

Soybeans: Growers plan to harvest 61.7 million acres. unchanged from the August

estimate. The September Objective Yield Survey reported the second
highest pod count for the objective yield States. The percent of soybeans
setting pods was slightly behind 1994 put slightly ahead of the average by the
end of August. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind 1994 and the
average by the beginning of September. Average maturity was behind 1994 and
equal to 1993. Soybeans were rated in fair to good condition.

In comparison with the 1991-95 time period, the 1995 number of pods per

18 square feet for September is the second highest for Illinois, Iowa. Minnesota
and Ohio. These four States had set all pods by the end of August. By the
beginning of September, no soybeans were dropping leaves in Iowa. In Illinois,
Minnesota, and Ohio the percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind average.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-6 NASS, USDA


In Indiana, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet is the third highest.
compared with the September 1991-95 period. By the end of August, Indiana-
soybeans had set all their pods. In Indiana, the percent of soybeans dropping
leaves equaled the average by the beginning of September.

In Missouri and Nebraska, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet ranks as
the lowest for the September 1991-95 time period. The percent of pods set in
Missouri lagged behind 1994 and the average. and not all pods had set by the end
of August. Nebraska fell slightly short of all soybeans setting pods by the end
of August. Neither State had any soybeans dropping leaves and were behind their
averages by the beginning of September. In Arkansas, the percent of soybeans
dropping leaves was behind 1994 but equal to the average.

Peanuts; Production is forecast at 3.58 billion pounds, down 8 percent from the

August 1 forecast and down 16 percent from last year’s crop.
Production is down from 1994 in all States except Alabama, Florida, and Texas.
Hot, dry conditions during August contributed to reduced yields. Yields are
expected to average 2,333 pounds per harvested acre. down 179 pounds from last
month and down 291 pounds from 1994. Harvested area, estimated at 1.53 million
acres, is down 1 percent from August 1 and 5 percent below last year.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 2.10 billion pounds, 8 percent below Tast month
and 18 percent below the 1994 crop. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to
average 2,307 pounds per acre, 331 pounds below last year. Yields in Alabama
are unchanged from August 1 and 190 pounds above a year ago. Early harvest is
underway. The condition of the crop, while mostly good. varies due to scattered
rains during August. The Georgia crop suffered considerable stress from very
hot. dry conditions. Production is forecast at 1.39 billion pounds, down

12 percent from last month and 25 percent below last year. AS of September 1,
the crop was rated 16 percent poor, 61 percent fair, 22 percent good, and 1 per-
cent excellent. Tropical storm Jerry helped farmers in the eastern third of the
State: however, the storm missed most of the major producing areas in the
southwest. Tomato spotted wilt virus is still a concern in some areas. By late
August, first digging and combining were both off to one of the earliest starts
ever. Fifteen percent of the acreage was dug and 8 percent combined. Florida
growers expect a good crop. Harvest started in late August despite excessive
soil moisture.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 550 million pounds, down

17 percent from last month and down 29 percent from last year’s excellent crop.
Yields in the region, at 2,362 pounds, are 834 pounds per acre below the 1994
final average. Lack of moisture slashed crop prospects in Virginia and North
Carolina. Growers in Virginia expect to harvest 205 million pounds of peanuts.
down 30 percent from last year. The anticipated yield of 2,300 pounds is down
500 pounds from last month and 865 pounds below 1994. After a record number of
days with temperatures above 90 degrees, 97 percent of the Virginia crop was
rated in fair condition. Hot, humid weather promoted some insect buildup,
especially spider mite. North Carolina growers expect a yield of 2,400 pounds,
down 300 pounds from last month and 815 pounds below last year. At month's end,
the North Carolina crop was rated as 1 percent very poor, 4 percent poor,

72 percent fair, and 23 percent good.

Crop Production roe Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-7 NASS, USDA


Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95

Month Total in Crop Harvested :
ee eerrrerrrrererrrerrrerereereeerrrrd: 1994 =: = 1995

1994 1995 1994 1995 :
verre cer eer---- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds --
Jul : 3,240 3,780 2,140 2,380 4,665 3,485
Aug : 3,250 3,765 2,145 2,340 4,805 3,245

Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop and State.
1993-94 and Forecasted September 1. 1995

Tons (In-shell Basis)

Hazetnuts 1/ :
OR : 40,800 21.000 37,900
WA : 200 100 100
Total : 41,000 21,100 38,000
Walnuts :
CA : 260,000 232,000 220,000

1/ Carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-28 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:
1994 and Forecasted September 1,

(Domestic

Units)

1995

Yield per Acre and Production, United States,

Crop and Unit

: Yield

per Acre

Production

Corn for Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Barley
All Wheat
Durum
Other Spring
Rice 1/
Soybeans for Beans
Peanuts for Nuts
All Cotton 1/
Upland 1/
Amer-Pima 1/
Cottonseed
Potatoes
Summer 2/ 3/
Total 2/
Tobacco
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed
Pecans
Hazelnuts 4/
Walnuts (CA) 3/

243

: 2,358

22.2
33.0

121.1
65.0
58.3
35.9
32.3
32.4

5,843
37.0

2,333

615
612
918

249

1,996
20.4

31.5

10,103,030
655,021
374,862

2,320,610
97.347
562,220
197,779
2,558,317
4,247,455
19, 662.0
19,324.3
337.7
7,603.9

22,391
467,924
1,582,816
31,994

30,929
199,000
21.1
232.0

16,872

1,410, 267
28,888

29,187

7,832,140
537.699
374,215

2,187,260
105, 262
529,768
181,768

2,284,551

3,580,100

20,265.7
19,897.7
368.0
7,818.7

17,590

1,347,334
29.086

29,059
248,000
38.0
220.0

1/ Yield in pounds.

2/ 1994 revised.

3/ August estimate carried forward from July 1.
4/ Carried forward from August 24.

Crop Production
September 1995

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted

between August 22 and September 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn,
soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually
account for about 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots
were revisited to make current counts. The items counted within the selected
plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of
plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to
forecast the number of heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts
are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological
yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net
yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is
harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field,
another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers. Nearly 20,000 producers were interviewed during
the survey period and asked questions about probable yield.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower

reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were
also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to
previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published
September 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised:

instead a new forecast will be made each month throughout the
growing season. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a
balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports,
Processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data
relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a
production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended
harvested area has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1

production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the
September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a
percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations
for the 1975-1994 20-year period is computed then the square root of the average
becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can
be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the
final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's
forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-14 NASS, USDA


Area devoted to papaya production is estimated at 3,765 acres in August, down
slightly from July but 16 percent higher than a year ago. Harvested area of
2,340 acres was 2 percent lower than last month but 9 percent higher than August
1994,

California Fruits and Nuts: Field activities included irrigation, weed control,

ground leveling, limb propping, and summer pruning
of harvested orchards. Grape growers irrigated vineyards and treated to control
insects and fungus. Table grape harvest continued while the harvest of raisin
grapes began the latter part of August. Good quality was reported. Nectarine,
peach, and plum harvests were active in the Sacramento and San Joaquin valleys.
Gravenstein apples were harvested in Sonoma county while Gala and Granny Smith
apple harvests were active in the San Joaquin Valley. Apple orchards were also
treated to control Codling moth and mites. Bartlett pear harvest continued in
Lake and Mendoncino counties. The prune harvest was well underway throughout
the Sacramento and San Joaquin valleys while the pomegranate harvest was
underway in Fresno county. Olives appeared to be sizing nicely due to a light
crop. Almond harvest began early in the month. Walnut orchards were sprayed
for Codling moth and Huskfly, and the ground was prepared for harvest.

California Citrus: Other Area grapefruit harvest continued with good quality.

Some defects were reported including scar. scale, sheepnose,
and picking injuries. The 1994-95 lemon harvest was ending with the 1995-96
crop harvest to begin shortly. Valencia orange picking slowed due to
competition from other summer fruits but should regain momentum soon. Sunburn,
puff, and crease concerned growers. New crop citrus was progressing well.

Hazelnuts: Hazelnut production in Oregon and Washington is forecast at

38.000 tons for 1995, 80 percent above last year’s reduced crop. If
realized, this level will be the second largest crop ever but 7 percent below
the 1993 record high of 41,000 tons. Oregon growers expect to harvest
37,900 tons, an 80 percent increase from 1994. Washington's production is
forecast at 100 tons, unchanged from last year.

Catkin and flower set were good without any severe frost damage. Favorable
weather during pollination resulted in a larger than normal nut set. Moisture
was adequate, especially in the Willamette Valley where precipitation was 20 to
30 percent more than the long term average. The number of bearing age trees and
average yield per tree are expected to increase as new orchards come into
production and young orchards progress towards full production.

Objective survey counts on nuts picked in Oregon and Washington orchards were
twice last year’s level, but about 20 percent lower than 1993. The percentage
of good nuts was slightly higher than in 1994 and equal to 1993. Average size
and dry weight of good nuts were the lowest since 1985.

Hazelnut production for Oregon and Washington has been revised to 21,100 tons
for 1994 with an average yield per acre of 0.77 tons. Of this total,

11,530 tons were sold in-shell and 9,570 tons shelled (in-shell basis). The
value of utilized production totaled $17.7 million, 32 percent below 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-12 NASS, USDA


Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1993-94
and Forecasted September 1, 1995 1/

Winter Spring
“Hard: Soft : : Hard : : : Total
Red : Red : White : Red : Durum : White :

1,000 Bushels
1993 : 1,065,941 401.326 292.876 511.814 70.476 54,007 2,396,440

1994
1995

971,134 433,335 256,574 515,392 97,347 46,828 2,320,610
847,172 444,229 260.829 476.425 105,262 53,343 2,187,260

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data
available for wheat producing States. Unless unusual situations dictate,
the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the
forecast season.

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and
United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

1,000 Acres -- --- 1,000 Cwt ---

AR : 1,420 1,340 5, 5,600 5,600 80,940 75,040
CA : 485 448 8, 8.300 8,300 41,224 37,184
LA : 620 590 4, 4,950 4,750 29,448 28,025
MS : 313 295 5, 5.900 5,700 18,467 16,815
MO 1/ : 124 100 5, 5,100 5,100 6,448 5,100
TX : 354 338 6, 6.300 5,800 21,252 19,604
: 5 5,954 5,843 197,779 181,768

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain All
1,000 Cwt
1993 : 103,064 51.873 1,173 156,110
1994 : 133,445 63,390 944 197,779
1995 1/ : 128,349 52,482 937

1/ Indicated September 1, 1995, rice class forecasts are on a five-year
average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data
become available through the growing season.

Crop Production . Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-15 “NASS, USDA


3.00

2.50

2.00

1.60} 177

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0.00

U.S. Soybean Production

1986 - 1995
Billion Bushels
2.56
ee ws (7
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7
7

Crop Production
September 1995

Agricultural Statistics Board


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/

1994 1995 1994 1995
1,000 Acres
79,158 71,308 72,917 64,682
9,772 9,112 8,967 8,276
Barley 7,159 6,796 6,667 6,418
All Wheat : 70,421 69,325 61,771 60,919
Durum : 2,850 3,315 2,739 3,255
Other Spring : 18,324 16,671 17.697 16,328
Rice 3,353.0 3,165.0 3,316.0 3,111.0
Soybeans 61,940 62,585 61.129 61,716
Peanuts 1,641.0 1,565.0 1,618.5 1,534.5
All Cotton :  13,720.1 16,665.0 13,322.3 15,810.5
Upland : 13,551.6 16,470.0 13,155.9 15,618.0
Amer-Pima : 168.5 195.0 166.4 192.5
Potatoes :
Summer 2/ : 95.8 72.5 92.3 70.7
Total 2/ : 1,420.4 1,393.9 1,382.7 1,369.5
Tobacco 671.2 675.0
_Sugarbeets 1,475.8 1,449.6 1,443.0 1,428.7
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed 8 2

1/ Harvested for principal use of ie.,
2/ 1994 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested.
United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units)

Crop tween eee eee ee eee ---------
1,000 Acres

Oats 6,438 4,020 3,247
Winter Wheat 49,339 41,335 41,336
Rye 1,627 406 414
Sunflower 3,608 3.430 3,484
Flaxseed : 213 wi 206
All Hay : 58,744 60,228

Alfalfa : 24,222 24,639

All Other : 34,522 35,589
Dry Edible Beans : 2,025.8 2,049.7 1,845.2 1,945.8
Potatoes :

Winter : 12.9 12.8 12.3 12.6

Spring : 91.6 88.6 90.4 86.8

Fall 2/ : 1,220.1 1,220.0 1,187.7 1,199.4
Sweetpotatoes : 86.1 87.0 82.8 83.6
Hops 42.4 43.5

1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1994 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-3 NASS, USDA


Carolina were more than offset by declines in Maryland, New York, North Dakota,
Pennsylvania, Texas, and Virginia. Dry conditions from Virginia north to New
England reduced expected yields.

Objective yield data for Iowa indicate record high stalk and ear counts, but ear
length is well below average. Weather data indicate this August to be the
fifth hottest on record and the hottest of any month since 1983. The hot dry
weather is moving the crop to maturity faster than normal at the expense of
yields.

Illinois growers are also experiencing record high stalk and ear counts this
year, but ears are below average in length. The Corn crop is rapidly maturing
due to the hot, dry weather which is also reducing crop condition.

Minnesota data indicate stalks counts at the second highest level. The number
of ears, if realized, would be the third highest final ear count. Excellent
growing conditions during August benefited the crop and 77 percent was reported
as good to excellent at the end of August.

Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 538 million bushels, slightly
lower than the August forecast and 18 percent less than
1994. No grain acreage changes were made. The forecasted U.S. yield dipped to
65.0 bushels per acre, off 0.1 from August and down 8.0 bushels from last year’s
record high. Nebraska's 3.0 bushel per acre increase held U.S. production near
the previous forecast as six States lowered yield expectations from last month.

Most forecasting States indicated that August was hot and dry in their producing
areas. As of September 3, heading had reached 94 percent completion, just a
point behind average. However, coloring stood at 45 percent compared to the
average 57 percent. Harvested yields in the Texas Blacklands were considered
average: Statewide, harvest is 66 percent complete. Louisiana’s sorghum is

16 percent harvested.

Barley: Production is forecast at 374 million bushels. down 3 percent from last

month, but virtually unchanged from the 1994 crop. The expected yield
per acre is forecasted at 58.3 bushels compared with Tast month's 59.9 bushels
and last year’s 56.2 bushels. Area harvested and to be harvested is estimated
at 6.42 million acres, down 4 percent from last year.

Favorable conditions the last week of August allowed growers to make good
harvesting progress and 73 percent was combined compared to a 84 percent
average. Montana's excellent growing season has been tempered by wide spread
hail and some periods of excessive heat during August. Forty-four percent of
the crop has been harvested compared with a 62 percent average by the first of
September. The Idaho barley crop was 57 percent harvested by September 3,
compared with a 72 percent average.

Other Spring Wheat: Area for grain harvest is 16.3 million acres, unchanged

from last month and down 8 percent from 1994. The
September Objective Yield data indicates an above average number of heads per
square foot in the 4-State region (Minnesota, Montana, and the Dakotas).
However, forecast head weights are the lowest since 1989.

As of September 3. 73 percent of Minnesota's crop was harvested compared to the
5-year average of 67 percent. Forecast head numbers are a little above average,

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-5 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop. State. and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted 1996 on September 1, 1995 1/ 2/ -
Utilized Production : Utilized Production

Crop : Boxes Ton Equivalent

Oranges

Early Mid &

Navel 4/ :
AZ : 700 400 26 15
CA : 36,600 35,000 38,000 1,372 1,313 1,425
FL : 107.300 119.700 4,829 5,387
1X : 480 950 21 40
US : 145,080 156,050 6,248 6,755

Valencia :
AZ : 1,200 650 45 24
CA : 27,000 26,000 1,013 976
FL : 67,100 85,700 3,020 3,857
TX : 70 105 3 4
US >: 95.370 112,455 4,081 4,861

AN :
AZ : 1,900 1,050 71 39
CA : 63.600 61.000 2,385 2,289
FL : 174,400 205.400 7,849 9,244
1X : 550 1,055 24 44
us : 240,450 268,505 10,329 11,616

1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

2/ 1993-94 and 1994-95 revised. Revised grapefruit and other citrus fruit
totals will be released September 22 in "Citrus Fruits, 1995 Summary".

3/ Net 1bS. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85.

4/° Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-26 NASS, USDA


Other Spring Wheat: Production is forecast at 530 million bushels, down

6 percent from both last month and last year. Yield
declines in North Dakota were only partially offset by an improved South Dakota
yield. Lower than expected head weights lead to the North Dakota's drop. The
U.S. yield is now 32.4 bushels per acre, down 2.0 bushels from last month's

forecast,

California Navel orange production for 1995-96 is forecast at 38.0 million
boxes, up 9 percent from last year’s production of 35.0 million boxes. This
initial forecast of the 1995-96 season is based on an objective measurement
survey conducted in the California Central Valley. The crop is maturing well
with a set similar to last year but with larger sized fruit.

This report was approved on September 12, 1995, by the Secretary of Agriculture
and the National Agricultural Statistics Service’s Agricultural Statistics

Board.

Vv sécretary of Agricuitural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Dan Glickman Rich Allen

Agricultural Statistics Board

Crop Production
A-2 NASS, USDA

September 1995


Report Features

The next “Crop Production” report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on

October 11, 1995.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127
Field Crops Section
Bill Dowdy. Head (202) 720-3843
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526
Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye. Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068
Charles Van Lahr - Barley. Corn, Oats (202) 720-7369
Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section
Stephen Ropel. Head (202) 720-3843
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285
Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay (202) 720-5944
Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215
Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157
Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412
Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts (202) 720-7688
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-17 NASS, USDA


[ CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
 _ September 2, 1995
rr) UPDATED WEEKLY
fh y/ ue { SLIGHTLY a wl
{a/ ay DRY ia
if Ss
.
MOIST — S)
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= ¢ va o
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\ ~~ aS r¢ Wn) me
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Gas 5 2 =
ost N / iy tc -
NS) 4 Y cs C
f Ya K raann} ite K
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7 j N SH
om \ ae y
| ANY
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rovonany|
wear,

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly. can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unabte to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55
degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months,
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production

Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-1

NASS, USDA


Fall Potatoes, 1994 Final: Production of 1994 fall potatoes ended at a record
high 421 million cwt, up 9 percent from the previous
record set in 1993 and 2 percent above the preliminary estimate last January.
Farmers harvested 1.19 million acres, up 5 percent from a year earlier. The
average yield was a record high 354 cwt per acre, up 13 cwt from 1993 and 19 cwt
above 1992. Compared with preliminary estimates, larger crops were registered
in California, Idaho, Oregon, Nebraska, and Maine. Blight losses dumped from
Maine storages were added to production and then included in shrinkage and loss.

Smaller estimates were listed in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and New Mexico.

All Potatoes, 1994: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in

1994 totaled 468 million cwt, up 9 percent from a year
earlier and 10 percent above 1992. Area harvested was estimated at 1.38 million
acres, 5 percent above 1993 and 1992. Yields, averaging 338 cwt per acre,
jumped 12 cwt from a year earlier and were 15 cwt above 1992. Winter production
in 1994 dropped 7 percent, spring increased 15 percent, and summer and fall
potatoes gained 9 percent each from a year earlier.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1995 is forecast at 1.35 billion

pounds, down 15 percent from 1994. Harvested acres are expected to be
675,040 up 1 percent from last year. Yields for 1995 are estimated to average
1,996 pounds per acre, 362 pounds below the average for 1994.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 746 million pounds, down 7 percent
from the forecast of a month ago and 14 percent below a year ago. Flue-cured
growers plan to harvest 386,000 acres, 7 percent above last year. Flue-cured
tobacco accounts for 57 percent of this year’s total tobacco acreage.

Burley production is expected to total 511 million pounds, 17 percent below the
production of 1994. Yield is expected to average 2,072 pounds per acre,

228 pounds below the average for 1994. Burley tobacco growers expect to harvest
246,600 acres, 7 percent below last year. Kentucky, with 66 percent of the
1995 burley area to be harvested. is 7 percent below a year ago.

The growing season for tobacco in the Southeastern region (Georgia, Kentucky,
South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia) began with delayed
plantings due a chilly, wet spring. Cool, damp weather continued into early
summer providing ideal conditions for the spread of blue mold. By mid-July
extreme heat and dry weather conditions slowed the spread of the disease. After
weeks of gradual improvement in conditions the heat intensified in early August,
lowering ratings and depleting soil moisture supplies.

By late August, Tropical Storm Jerry brought heavy downpours to the Carolinas.
stopping the harvest and causing some leaf blistering and premature leaf drop.
In Kentucky, half of the burley tobacco was cut, with early housed tobacco
showing light houseburn and drying down quicker than desired due to the hot. dry
weather. Flue cured tobacco in North Carolina was 79 percent harvested, ahead
of schedule due to the dry August weather. The hot weather slowed the spread of
diseases in Tennessee’s burley tobacco but stunted plant growth. A hot. dry
August pushed harvest progress ahead of schedule in all States. Yields were
down in ail the Southeastern States except for South Carolina, where 88 percent
of the tobacco was harvested.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-10 NASS, USDA



Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1995

1993-94 and Forecasted September 1

Crop and State

1,000 Pounds

2,000
600
1,500
400
50.000
1,500

24,000
2,200
1,300
5.400

36,000

118,900

2,000
900
1,500
15.000
3,600
9.500

2,800
10,700
3,600
10,000
59,600

4,000

20,500

and TN in 1994.

158,800

6,000
500
800

15,000
1,800
12,000
500
700
15,300
600
20.000
73,200

14,000
1,500
2,800
1,700

80,000
1,800

14,000
2,500

30,000
2,700

18,000
3,000

60,000

16,000
248,000

No breakdown

Agricultural Statistics Board

Improved Varieties 2/
AL 15,000
AR 600
CA 3,000
FL : 3,200
GA : 124,000
LA : 2.500
MS 3.500
NM 36,000
NC 1,200
OK 1,000
SC 2,100
TMX 45,000
us 237,100

Native & Seedling
AL 11,000
AR 900
FL 4,300
GA 26,000
KS 1,800
LA 13,500
MS 2,500
NC 1,300
OK 17,000
SC 900
1X 30,000
US 109, 200

All Pecans
AL 26,000
AR 1,500
CA 3,000
FL 7,500
GA 150.000
KS 1,800
LA 16,000
MS 6,000
NM 36.000
NC 2,500
OK 18,000
Sc 3.000
TX 75,000
Oth Sts 3/ : 18,700
US 365,000

1/ Missing data included in Other States to avoid disclosure of individual

operations.
2/  Budded. grafted. or topworked varieties.
3/ AZ, MO, and TN in 1993 and 1995. AZ, MS, MO,
between varieties available.
Crop Production
September 1995 A-29

NASS, USDA


All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995

Area Harvested Yield Production

1,000 Acres = ------- ,000 Bushels ---
AL 1/ : 95 80 48.0 36.0 36.0 4,560 2,880
AZ 1/ : 122 122 91.7 86.4 86.4 11,186 10,538
AR 1/ : 880 1,000 46.0 48.0 48.0 40,480 48,000
CA 1/ : 569 508 78.0 70.1 70.1 44,365 35,636
co 1/ > 2,592 2,742 30.8 38.5 38.5 79,734 105,666
DE 1/ : 70 67 54.0 60.0 60.0 3,780 4,020
FL i/ : 15 13 42.0 32.0 32.0 630 416
GA 1/ : 400 300 51.0 38.0 38.0 20,400 11,400
ID > 1,410 1,330 71.1 73.4 73.4 100,280 97,650
IL 1/ : 900 1,390 56.0 49.0 49.0 50,400 68,110
IN 1/ : 630 660 61.0 61.0 61.0 38,430 40,260
IA 1/ : 45 45 47.0 40.0 40.0 2,115 1,800
KS 1/ : 11.400 10,800 38.0 27.0 27.0 433,200 291,600
KY 1/ : 420 460 60.0 53.0 53.0 25,200 24,380
LA 1/ : 70 80 37.0 36.0 36.0 2,590 2,880
MD 1/ : 220 225 55.0 56.0 56.0 12,100 12,600
MI 1/ : 580 600 53.0 60.0 60.0 30.740 36,000
MN : 2,572 2,193 28.0 30.0 30.0 71,948 65,790
MS 1/ : 160 170 40.0 35.0 35.0 6,400 5,950
MO 1/ : 1,100 1,200 45.0 39.0 39.0 49,500 46,800
MT 5.378 5,395 31.7 37.2 37.1 170,590 200,245
NE 1/ : 2,100 2,100 34.0 41.0 41.0 71,400 86,100
NV 1/ : 9 11 74.4 85.0 85.0 670 935
NJ 1/ : 32 32 42.0 52.0 52.0 1,344 1,664
NM 1/ : 230 150 24.0 22.0 22.0 5,520 3,300
NY 1/ : 115 125 53.0 49.0 49.0 6,095 6,125
NC 1/ : 620 680 49.0 42.0 42.0 30,380 28,560
ND : 11,238 10,988 31.7 32.0 28.3 356,404 310,604
OH 1/ : 1,180 1,210 58.0 61.0 61.0 68,440 73,810
OK 1/ : 5,300 5,250 27.0 21.0 21.0 143,100 110,250
OR 1/ : 928 934 63.1 66.9 66.9 58,580 62,530
PA 1/ : 165 185 48.0 51.0 51.0 7,920 9,435
SC 1/ : 360 280 50.0 30.0 30.0 18,000 8,400
so : 3,353 2,693 28.4 33.6 34.0 95,278 91,687
TN 1/ : 300 350 50.0 46.0 46.0 15,000 16,100
TX 1/ : 2,900 3,150 26.0 26.0 26.0 75,400 81,900
UT 1/ : 172 166 40.8 47.9 47.9 7,012 7,948
VA 1/ : 250 275 56.0 58.0 58.0 14,000 15,950
WA > 2,545 2,595 52.7 55.6 55.6 134,000 144, 280
WV 1/ : 10 11 55.0 52.0 52.0 550 572
WI o1/ : 139 139 57.1 50.0 50.0 7,940 6,954
WY 1/ : 197 215 25.1 35.0 35.0 4,949 7,535
US 61.771 60,919 37.6 36.6 35.9 2,320,610 2,187,260

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 A-13 NASS, USDA

7


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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1995 B-18 NASS, USDA


Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States. 1994 and Forecasted

September 1, 1995

Production

Area Harvested

State :

0 9,145
0 115,600
0 8,140
0 1,302
0 15,500
0 438,380
0 219,960
0 447,270
0 75,600
0 42,940
0 32,480
0 19,800
0 58,520
0 229,600
0 59,520
0 173,280
0 137,280
0 5,145
0 41,850
0 18,910
0 175,560
0 9,280
0 13.545
0 15,660
0 94,380
0 38,850
0 7,140
0 17,160
0 36,520

-- 1,000 Bushels --

5,500
99,000
6,670
896
7,680
395,650
227.920
402,600
61,500
39,960
30,900
17,820
58,110
224,200
53,200
145,700
100,640
4,720
24,150
15,750
171,360
7,695
13,860
12,720
67,200
35,640
5,880
13,230
34,400

1994 : 1995
1,000 Acres
AL : 295 220 31.0 25.0 25.
AR : 3,400 3,300 34.0 33.0 30.
OE : 220 230 37.0 30.0 29.
FL 1/ 42 28 31.0 32.0 32.
GA : 500 320 31.0 25.0 24.
IL : 9,530 9,650 46.0 39.0 41.
IN : 4,680 5,180 47.0 43.0 44.
IA : 8,770 9,150 51.0 43.0 44,
KS : 2,100 2,050 36.0 28.0 30.
KY : 1,130 1,080 38.0 36.0 37.
LA : 1,120 1,030 29.0 30.0 30.
MD : 550 540 36.0 34.0 33.
MI : 1,540 1,490 38.0 39.0 39.
MN : 5,600 5,900 41.0 38.0 38.
MS : 1,920 1,900 31.0 31.0 28.
MO : 4,560 4,700 38.0 31.0 31.
NE : 2,860 2,960 48.0 33.0 34.
NJ 1/: 147 118 35.0 40.0 40.
NC > 1,350 1,050 31.0 28.0 23.
ND : 610 630 31.0 25.0 25.
OH : 3,990 4,080 44.0 39.0 42.
OK 1/ 290 285 32.0 27.0 27.
PA 1/ : 315 315 43.0 44.0 44,
SC : 580 530 27.0 26.0 24.
So : 2,420 2,400 39.0 25.0 28.
TMN : 1,050 1,080 37.0 33.0 33.
TX : 210 210 34.0 28.0 28.
VA : 520 490 33.0 31.0 27.
WI : 830 “800 44.0 40.0 43.
US : 61,129 61,716 41.9 36.4 37.

0 2,558,317 2,284,551

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from

Crop Production
September 1995 A-16

earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA