Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington
is forecast at 49.6 thousand tons (45.0 thousand metric tons), 9 percent more
than August 1 and 1 percent more than last year. Increased prospects in
Oregon more than offset declines in Idaho. The frost damage during bloom and
set continues to become more evident in Idaho. Picking is active in
Michigan. August rains were beneficial to the crop. Quality and size are
excellent. Hot, dry weather during the summer limited disease problems in
Oregon. Harvest conditions have been ideal. Harvest is complete for
Washington's early varieties and late varieties should be picked by
mid-September.

PAPAYAS: Output of fresh papaya from Hawaii is forecast at 4.40 million pounds

{2000 metric tons) for September. A decrease to 3.50 million pounds
(1590 metric tons) is anticipated for both October and November. Production
is expected to decline further in December to 2.80 million pounds (1270 metric
ons).

August's fresh utilization is estimated at 4.44 million pounds (2010
metric tons), a 6 percent decrease from July and 41 percent below a year ago.
Harvested area of 2654 acres (1070 hectares) for August was down 4 percent
from July and 5 percent below August a year earlier. Total area of 3659 acres
(1480 hectares) was 2 percent below July and off 4 percent from August last
year.

FILBERTS: The first production forecast of filberts in Oregon and Washington

is a record high 24.0 thousand tons, (21.8 thousand metric tons),
in-shell basis, 79 percent above last year's crop and nearly three times the
small crop harvested in 1983. The forecast is based on the objective
measurement survey conducted during August. Weather conditions were excellent
for pollination and nut set was heavy as a result. Nut clusters are reported
to be larger than normal and the number of clusters is also above normal.
Because of the cluster size, nuts are smaller than average. Blank drop has
been somewhat heavy, but this is normal with heavy sets. The large number of
orchards planted in 1980 and 1981 are coming into production and are producing
quite well. The crop is in very good condition with a relatively high
percentage of nuts determined to be good. However, there is some concern
within the industry that drought conditions which have persisted atl season
may cause underdeveloped nuts and possible shrivel. The crop maturity is
about 7 to 10 .days ahead of normal and growers are preparing orchards for
harvest.

WALNUTS: The September 1 California walnut crop forecast is 215 thousand tons

(195 thousand metric tons), in-shell basis, the same as the August 1
forecast, but 1 percent more than last year's production. This forecast is
based on the results of the objective measurement survey conducted during
August. The average number’of nuts set per tree this year is down 10 percent
from 1984, but about 1 percent above the previous 5-year average. In-shell
average weight and width per nut is very nearly the same as in recent years.
The percent of nuts showing soundness in-shetl is one of the highest of
record. This is’a result of the low incidence of disease, sunburn, and insect
damage this season. Harvest had started the first week of September in the
San Joaquin Valley.

PECANS: The season's first forecast for the 1985 U.S. pecan crop is 262 mil-

lion pounds (119 thousand metric tons), in-shell basis, 13 percent
more than last year's crop, but 3 percent below 1983. About 61 percent of the
crop is expected to be from improved varieties compared with 73 percent in
1984 and 62 percent in 1983.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


GRAPES

1983 1964 : 1985

TABLE TYPE
CALIF 504,000 475,000 550,000
WINE TYPE
CALIF 1,880,000 1,900,000 2,250,000
RAISIN TYPE DRIED
CALIF 396,000 333,000
RAISIN TYPE NOT DRIED
CALIF 617,000 870,000
RAISIN TYPE
CALIF 2,535,000 2,265,000 2,300,000
ALL
ARIZ 14,600 14,000 18,000
ARK 10,000 9,000 7,000
CALIF 4,919,000 4,640,000 5,100,000
GA 2,500 2,700 2,900
MICH 60,000 49,000 55,000
MO 3,600 3,100 1,100
NY 191,000 198,000 165,000
NC 3,000 5,900 3,200
OHIO 11,000 11,200 8,000
PA 62,500 60,000 55,000
sc 1,500 2,500 1,200
WASH 227,000 168,500 119,000
us 3,505,700 5,163,900 5,535,400

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): U S 1983-145,500; 1984~-24,100.
2/ DRIED BASIS; 1 TON OF RAISINS 1S EQUIVALENT TO 4.48
TONS FRESH GRAPES FOR 1983 AND 4.15 TONS FOR 1984.
3/ FRESH EQUIVALENT OF DRIED AND NOT DRIED.
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE 9 teew anna n nn nn nnn n nnn ne nen nnn nnn nn ee eee nen
TOTAL 1/ ;
Sal oleae ate al ata atetetatatatetatatetetatatetated 8 IND
1983 1984 1985
: TONS
PRUNES (DRIED BASIS) :
CALIF : 145,000 148,000 135,000
PRUNES AND PLUMS :
IDAHO : 6,500 7,000 6,000
MICH : 12,000 12,000 12,000
OREG t 18,000 12,000 25,000
WASH : 18,000 6,600
TOTAL 49,000 49,600

1/ PRUNES AND PLUMS - INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION
AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): OREG 1983-2,000; 1984-500.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Soybean yields decreased in Alabama and Louisana from the August 1
forecast. All other States forecasting soybeans on September 1 increased
yield except Arkansas and Texas, which remained unchanged from August 1. The
largest yield increases were recorded in Kansas and Missouri, up 8 and 5
bushels, respectively, from August. In most Atlantic Coast States yields
increased 2 bushels from the August 1? forecast. Adequate soil moisture
throughout August was the major factor causing yields to increase. Growing
conditions were favorable for the Midwest with all States forecasting higher
yields than a month earlier.

U.S. SOYBEAN PROQUCTION

ees
anit as

au

ast

ae . ¢

us

wef

ab

wo

» 7 eu ® & & 8B H 8

we

PEANUTS: Production of peanuts is estimated at 4.24 billion pounds (1.92 mil-

Vion metric tons), down 4 percent from last year's record high crop
but 29 percent above 1983. Harvested area is estimated at 1.48 million acres
(597 thousand hectares), down 4 percent from 1984 but 7 percent above 1983.
This year's anticipated yield of 2877 pounds per acre is 1 pound below the
record high yield set in 1984 but 478 pounds above the 1983 yield.

Production in the Southeast (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina) is
expected to total 2.88 billion pounds, down 7 percent from 1984. Growers
expect to harvest 905 thousand acres this year, 5 percent less than a year
ago. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 3186 pounds per acre,
69 pounds below 1984. All States in the region received adequate moisture
during August and rated the crop in good condition, with minimal disease and
insect problems. Harvest of the crop was just getting underway at months end.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 736 million pounds, 2
percent above last year, with both States expecting larger crops. Area for
harvest, at 251 thousand acres, is fractionally below last year; however,
yield increased 77 pounds per acre from 1984, Peanut prospects in North
Carolina were aided by rain, allowing the crop to remain in good condition. A
wet, damp August in Virginia has brought on some insect and disease problems.

The Southwest (New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma) crop ts expected to total 624
million pounds, 5 percent above 1984. Acreage for harvest is down 3 percent;
yield per acre, at 1955 pounds, is up 151 pounds from Tast year. In Texas,
peanut harvest has begun in the southern portion of the State, with other
areas reporting good crop development on irrigated land. Lack of rain last
month is slowing development in some dryland fields.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PRODUCTION

3 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 1/ 2 30 40 48.0 45.0 1,960 1,440 1,800
ARK 1/ : 28 17 70.0 65.0 3,600 1,960 1,105
CALIF 1/ z 50 42 69.0 67.0 2,925 3,450 2,814
COLO 1/ : 50 45 55.0 54.0 2,394 2,750 2,430
GA Vv ‘ 60 50 55.0 40.0 5,185 3,300 2,000
IDAHO 1/ 3 44 45 68.0 70.0 3,648 2,992 3,150
TEL 1/ 3 165 180 65.0 70.0 12,600 10,725 12,600
IND 8 80 110 62.0 68.0 4,560 4,960 7,480
TOWA 3 740 750 64.0 75.0 38,250 47,360 56,250
KANS 1/ 3 120 200 53.0 55.0 5,040 6,360 11,000
KY V/ 3 6 9 42.0 42.0 308 252 378
MAINE 1/ z 40 47 56.0 70.0 2,356 2,240 3,290
MD / a 15 15 57.0 59.0 784 855 885
MICH z 350 380 62.0 67.0 15,600 21,700 25,460
MINN 3 1,200 1,100 65.0 70.0 76,950 78,000 77,000
MO iva z 33 100 48.0 56.0 2,538 1,584 5,600
105 100 37.0 30.0 5,280 3,885 3,000
300 420 50.0 60.0 13,640 15,000 25,200
6 5 56.0 61.0 255 336 305
180 220 58.0 67.0 11,400 10,440 44,740
68 62 58.0 42.0 3,920 3,944 2,604
980 1,000 51.0 51.0 63,630 49,980 51,000
220 310 60.0 80.0 15,360 13,200 24,800
80 85 46.0 43.0 3,920 3,680 3,655
75 105 88.0 87.0 6,000 6,600 9,135
280 300 57.0 72.0 16,200 15,960 21,600
40 46 58.0 40.0 2,120 2,320 1,840
1,550 1,750 56.0 55.0 79,200 86,800 96,250

5 47.0 308 235
250 300 35.0 50.0 24,000 8,750 15,000
13 12 67.0 69.0 . 952 871 828
12 18 47.0 43.0 1,100 564 774
“30 30 68.0 62.0 2,079 2,040 1,860
8 10 51.0 57.0 468 408 570
840 780 64.0 62.0 45,050 53,760 48,360
70 67 46.0 40.0 3,381 3,220 2,680
8,123 8,750 58.1 61.4 476,961 471,921 537,443

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

: INDICATED
1984 : 1985

HECTARES
CORN : 32 550 840 33 677 090 29 063 220 30 253 010
SORGHUM : 6 980 500 7 229 790 6 211 180 6 548 290
OATS : 5 003 590 5 317 630 3 287 300 3 541 040
BARLEY : 4 810 550 5 313 180 4 520 790 4 762 800
ALL WHEAT : 32 056 710 30 661 340 27 085 100 26 146 210
WINTER : 25 665 040 23 510 470 20 846 800 19 472 870
DURUM : 1 326 170 1 267 490 1 302 700 1 227 020
OTHER SPRING : § 065 500 5 883 380 4 935 600 5 446 320
RICE : 1 134 750 999 580 1 125 850 991 490
SOYBEANS : 27 411 680 25 584 500 26 747 180 25 181 030
FLAXSEED : 224 600 267 100 217 720 259 410
PEANUTS : 632 370 611 890 619 580 596 920
ALL COTTON : 4 510 440 4 346 010 4 200 310 4 194 080
UPLAND : 4 478 020 4 310 880 4 168 100 4 159 240
AMER-PIMA : 32 420 35 130 32 210 34 840
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 605 820 639 610 589 350 621 240
POTATOES :
SUMMER 2/ : 45 120 47 020 43 380 45 730
TOTAL 2/ 3 541 030 567 740 526 500 557 260
SWEETPOTATOES : 43 060 44 110 41 890 42 860
TOBACCO : 320 350 283 530
SUGARBEETS : 453 860 451 960 443 660 445 520
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 302 420 305 500
HOPS : 12 460 T1 530

V/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1984 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP : : : INDICATED
: 1984 > 1985 1/ 1984 : 1985 1/

: HECTARES
RYE : 1 202 330 1 035 200 397 000 273 980
ALL HAY : 24 922 830 25 010 250
ALFALFA : 10 849 330 10 643 350
ALL OTHER : 14 073 500 14 366 900

POTATOES :

WINTER : 5 340 5 340 5 260 5 340
SPRING : 35 650 37 310 35 050 36 870
FALL 2/_ - : 454 910 478 060 442 810 469 320

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1984 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PRODUCTION 1/ 2/

3

STATE perce rt
8 : IND
: 1984: 1985
' POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CALIF 3/¢ 2,000 685 200

IDAHO : 1,750 1,800 6,264 5,425 5,580

OREG : 1,420 1,550 10,017 6,958

WASH t 1,850 43,584

us : 1,785 56,167

1/ QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991.
2/ INCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS):
1983-OREG-1,000,000, WASH-20,000; 1984-WASH-10,000.
3/ 1985 DATA COMBINED WITH WASHINGTON TO AYOID DISCLOSURE
OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE 1984 AVERAGE
1974-83: 1974-83

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


This forecast reflects an early assessment of production losses in the
southeastern States that resulted from Hurricane Elena. Most of the damage
losses occurred in Alabama. Lesser amounts of damage were reported in groves
in the Florida panhandle, southern Georgia, Mississippi and Louisiana.
Generally, most of the primary damage will result in production losses for
this year's crop. Secondary, damage is tree injury with some broken limbs but
a few trees were lost due to being up-rooted by the strong winds. Many
growers who had reported prior to September 1 and Hurricane Elena were
re-contacted to assess the losses resulting from Elena. Production prospects
for the 1985 pecan crop will be evaluated again on October 1 and published in
the Crop Production report released October 10.

Georgia's crop forecast, at 105 million pounds, is 12 percent below last
year's crop, but 5 percent more than 1983. Pecan groves appear in mostly good
condition. Foliage is heavy and dark green, but nut set is extremely
variable. Growers report that most of the damage from Hurricane Elena was in
the form of blown-off individual nuts and small limbs. Major limb breakage
was much less than had been feared. New trees coming into production will
help to offset losses from the storm,

The Alabama forecast is 20.0 million pounds, 54 percent above last year,
but 17 percent less than 1983. The crop was rated as a bumper crop until the
morning of September 1, when Hurricane Elena hit the Alabama coast causing
extensive damage to the pecan crop, Elena's strong winds whipped the trees
and knocked the nuts to the ground. Tre crop is immature and any pecans
knocked to the ground can not be salvaged. Most of the damage was reported in
the southwestern counties of Baldwin and Mobile. Louisiana expects a crop of
17.0 million pounds, compared with a small crop of 5.00 million pounds last
year. The forecast for the 1985 crop is 23 percent below the 1983 crop.
Mississippi expects 7.00 million pounds compared with 5.50 million pounds
harvested last year. In addition to crop loss in Mississippi, the hurricane
did some damage to trees. Most severe damage to this year's crop and tree
injury was noted in the counties of Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River,
Lamar, and Stone. The Florida forecast is 4.00 million pounds versus 5.00
million pounds produced in 1984. The Oklahoma production forecast is 18.0
million pounds, compared with 25.0 million pounds in 1984, The Texas crop
forecast is 61.0 million pounds, well above the small crop of 25.0 million
pounds harvested last year, but 13 percent less than 1983. The New Mexico
forecast is 25.0 million pounds, 4 percent above vast year.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-27 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 1f/ 380 400 39.0 33.0 15,180 14,820 13,200
ARIZ 1/7 ¢ 62 66 90.0 90.0 6,144 5,580 5,940
ARK t/t 1,400 570 44.0 32.0 58,500 61,600 18,240
CALIF 1/ 690 750 76.0 82.0 40,260 52,440 61,500
COLO 1/° + 3,200 3,450 34.5 40.0 117,000 110,400 138,000
DEL 1/ 49 43 41.0 42.0 2,106 2,009 1,806
FLA 1/2/ : 130 29.0 3,770
GA o1/ 890 825 35.0 30.0 30,940 31,150 24,750
IDAHO : 900 870 63.0 54.0 55,610 56,700 46,980
ILL tft 1,600 750 44.0 48.0 64,400 70,400 36,000
IND 1/ 1,050 700 46.0 «= 53.0 49,470 = 48,300 = 37,100
1OWA 1/ 100 112, 35.0 40.0 1,900 3,500 4,480
KANS 1/ 11,200 11,700 38.5 38.0 448,200 431,200 444,600
KY 17 500 310 38.0. 35.0 = 16,120 19,000 10,850
LA ft 320 220 41.0 34.0 7,500 13,120 7,480
MD oo: 140 130 43.0 45.0 5,371 6,020 5,850
MICH 1/ 800 750 57.0 64.0 35,770 45,600 48,000
MINN 1/ 360 180 43.0 © 40.0 2,625 15,480 7,200
MISS 1/  ¢ 660 350 38.0 «931.0 20,400 25,080 10,850
MO t/t 2,050 1,370 41.0 39.0 70,300 84,050 53,430
MONT : 2,480 1,200 27.0 17.0 79,100 66,960 20,400
NEBR 1/ 2,250 2,300 36.0 41.0° 98,900 81,000 94,300
NEV 1/ 8 7 80.0 70.0 560 640 490
NJ 1/3 39 3743.0 44.0 1,520 1,677 1,628
N MEX 1/0 460 550 26.0 36.0 13,630 11,960 19,800
NY 1/3 170 135° 46.0 48.0 7,360 7,820 6,480
NC 17 ¢ 620 760 43.0 30.0 15,980 26,660 22,800
N DAK 1/ 550 450 40.0 32.0 4,805 22,000 14,400
OHIO If) 1,100 950 44.0 60.0 58,800 48,400 57,000
OKLA 1/) : 5,300 5,500 36.0 30.0 150,500 190,800 165,000
OREG : 1,050 960 63.0 55.0 62,000 66,150 52,800
PA fo 220 210 38.0 © 39.0 7,600 8,360 8,190
sc nA : 380 420 38.0 27.0 10,500 14,440 11,340
SDAK 1/ 1,700 1,520 36.0 28.0 51,250 61,200 42,560
TENN 1/ 535 260 40.0 32.0 19,800 21,400 8,320
TEX 1/  ¢ 5,000 5,850 30.0 32.0 161,000 150,000 187,200
UTAH 1/ + 195 215 33.0 34.0 6,650 6,435 7,310
VA 1/ ot 275 300 «45.0 34.0 14,280 12,375 10,200
WASH : 2,400 2,400 62.0 48.0 162,500 148,800 115,200
WYA t/ 10 8 40.0 45.0 378 400 360
WIS tf 160 140 59.0 50.0 5,145 9,440 7,000
Wo o1/ ¢ 260 270 © 28.0 24.0 8,250 7,280 6,480
us : 51,513 48,118 40.0 38.2 1,988,304 2,060,646 1,839,284

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

DURUM WHEAT

PRODUCTION

> 1984

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ARIZ 1/ 80 46 90.0 84.0 4,950 7,200 3,864

CALIF 1/ 94 88 100.0 82.0 6,300 9,400 7,216

MUNN 47.0 45.0 1,225 1,551 1,485

MONT 10.0 4,100 3,570 1,800

N DAK 32.0 54,325 78,590 83,200
30.0 2,079 3,128 2,550

33.0 72,979 103,439 100,115

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

ND
1985

3 3
1984 : 1985 : 1984

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 1/ 5 180 260 50.0 53.0 4,300 9,000 13,780
ARIZ 1/ 8 16 16 85.0 86.0 988 1,360 1,376
ARK : 590 900 72.0 74.0 17,600 42,480 66,600
CALIF 1/ : 48 40 82.0 83.0 3,645 3,936 3,320
COLO 8 430 390 37.0 42.0 6,960 15,910 16,380
GA V/ 2 113 140 42.0 43.0 2,788 4,746 6,020
ILL : 285 450 69.0 82.0 6,552 19,665 36,900
IND 2/ : 13 65.0 385 845

OWA 2/ 3 12 55.0 300 660

KANS H 4,250 4,200 51.0 73.0 121,690 216,750 306,600
KY / 3 115 135 80.0 75.0 1,927 9,200 10,125
LA t 269 420 65.0 70.0 10,080 17,485 29,400
Miss 3 370 630 64.0 67.0 12,375 23,680 42,210
MO 3 1,330 1,430 69.0 84.0 40,020 91,770 120,120
NEBR : 1,900 1,900 64.0 80.0 61,000 121,600 152,000
N MEX t 280 285 55.0 56.0 6,300 15,400 15,960
NC 1/ 48 65 55.0 53.0 1,386 2,640 3,445
OKLA 3 450 420 40.0 49.0 11,880 18,000 20,580
sc / 3 34 50 46.0 45.0 900 1,564 2,250
S_DAK t 395 395 47.0 45.0 13,630 18,565 17,775
TENN 2 260 455 80.0 80.0 5,035 20,800 36,400
TEX 3 3,950 3,600 33.0 66.0 157,500 209,350 237,600
VA 2/ : 10 45.0 280 450

us 3 15,348 16,181 76. 4 70-4 487,521 865,856 1,138,841

vA ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION
cROP BOXES TON EQUIVALENT
AND UTILIZED : INDICATED UTILIZED : INDICATED
fecennen- : -s -:
STATE 1983-84 : 1984-85 : 1985-86 : 1983-84 : 1984-85 : 1985-86
1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID
& NAVEL
ARIZ 550 650 21 25
CALIF 33,700 26,000 1,264 975
FLA 69,700 55,000 3,136 2,475
TEX 2,400 0 102 0
us 106,350 61,650 | 4,523 3,475
ORANGES, VALENCIA -
1Z : 1,250 1,800 47 68
CALIF 14,800 26,000 556 975
FLA : 42,000 48,900 2,115 2,201
TEX »- 110 0 5 0
us 63,160 76,700 2,723 3,244
ALL ORANGES
ARIZ 1,800 2,450 68 93
CALIF 48,500 52,000 1,820 1,950
FLA 116,700 103,900 5,251 4,676
TEX 2,510 0 107 0)
us 169,510 158,350 7,246 6,719
TEMPLES
FLA 2,900 3,250 130 146
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEDLESS
FLA 23,000 24,800 978 1,054
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK
SEEDLESS
FLA 13,400 16,300 569 693
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 4,500 2,900 191 123
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 2,270 3,700 72 118
CALIF
DESERT 3,340 3,900 107 124
OTHER AREAS 3,900 4,000 131 134
TOTAL 7,240 7,900 238 258
FLA 40,900 44,000 1,738 1,870
TEX 3,200 0 128 0
us 53,610 55,600 2,176 2,246
TANGER I NES
ARIZ 1,150 700 43 26
CALIF 1,850 1,680 70 63
FLA : 2,000 1,050 95 50
us 5,000 3,430 208 139
LEMONS
ARIZ 4,000 6,000 3,500 152 228 133
CALIF
DESERT 2,300 2,550 1,800 87 97 68
TOTAL 17,250 19,800 655 152
us 21,250 25,800 807 980
TANGELOS
FLA 3,600 3,600 162 162

/

THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR

SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST {S COMPLETED.

2/

NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,

TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF

OTHER-67,
3/ NAVEL AND
ARIZONA,
TEXAS,
TEXAS.
af

DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DECEMBER 1983,

FLA-85, TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,
MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES
EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES
INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES

FLA-95.
CALIFORNIA AND
IN FLORIDA AND
IN

NO COMMERCIA

L

SUPPLIES WERE AVAILABLE FOR THE 1984-85 TEXAS CITRUS CROP

SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION,

SEPTEMBER 1985

B-15

CROP REPORTI

NG BOARD,

SRS, USDA


HOPS: Production is forecast at 50.9 million pounds (23.1 thousand metric

tons), up fractionally from August 1 but down 9 percent from 1984,
Area for harvest is estimated at 28.5 thousand acres (11.5 thousand hectares),
an increase of 100 acres from the August 1 forecast. Yield, at 1785 pounds
per acre, increased 1 pound. :

Harvest is underway and was virtually complete in California by
September 4. Harvest is active in most areas of Idaho, with no major
problems. In Washington, harvest started the third week of August. Early
yields were light but have improved as harvest gained momentum.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on

September 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
75 percent, 5 points above September 1 last year and 2 points above the
1974-83 average for the date. Conditions improved during August in 33 States,
was unchanged in 2 and declined in 13 States. Despite considerable
improvement in Montana's ranges and pastures during August, condition was
again the lowest in the Nation and, at 43 percent, compares with 54 a year
earlier and the average of 81 percent. Wyoming's pastures and ranges
continued to decline during the month and their condition was rated 47 percent
on September 1. The remaining western States were rated either poor to fair
or very poor, with the exception of Colorado and New Mexico where pastures
were in mostly good to excellent condition. Pastures in Texas averaged 61
percent, down 15 points from August 1 and 1 point from the ten year average,
but well above the severe drought condition of 42 percent a year earlier.
Despite improved conditions during August, the Dakotas were still rated very
poor. Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin also improved considerably
during the month but pastures were still rated poor to fair on September 1.
Conditions declined sharply in New York during August and pastures are now
rated very poor.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Citrus groves continue in good to excellent condition. Almost

daily afternoon rains have negated the need for irrigation.
The flush of new growth on trees continues in abundance. New crop fruit
generally has good size for this time of year, but is variable depending on
the bloom period. By the end of August, some packinghouses were conducting
Maturity tests for fruit that may meet fresh fruit shipping requirements.
Hurricane Elena dropped additional rainfall across the production belt but did
not cause any wind damage to citrus groves. First forecasts of production
will be published in the Crop Production report released October 1.

LEMONS: The first forecast {on tree) for the Arizona 1985-86 lemon crop is

3.50 million boxes, 42 percent betow last season's utilized crop and
12 percent less than the utilized crop harvested in 1983-84. The California
desert area lemon forecast (on tree) is 1.80 million boxes, compared with 2.55
million boxes utilized last season and 2.30 million boxes in 1983-84. An
estimate for the 1985-86 total (on-tree) California lemon crop will be issued
on October 10, 1985. Fruit set in the desert areas of California and Arizona
is light this year due to temperature extremes, ranging from below freezing in
January to above 100 degrees in mid-April. This resulted in a heavy drop of
blooms and small fruit. Picking began in Tate July and has continued on a
limited scale.

PEARS: The final forecast for the U.S. pear crop is 675 thousand tons (612

thousand metric tons), up 2 percent from August 1, but 5 percent less
than the 1984 crop. The increase from August 1 is due to increased prospects
in the California and Oregon Bartlett crops.

In Michigan, harvest of processing pears began in late August, about 2
weeks ahead of normal. Although the crop is short, quality. is good. The New
York crop, which is the smallest since 1976, was virtually picked by

September 7.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

Rain moved over the very dry areas of Montana early in the month. The
rain was generally too late for this year's crops, but the replenished soil’
moisture will help the fall planting. Thunderstorms triggered some rain in
most of the Nation, but some areas remained too dry. An area from eastern
Kentucky and southern Ohio into New England needs rain badly. Much of Texas
was also dry. Temperatures were cooler than normal in the Northwest, the
northern Rockies and Plains,. and through most of the Corn Belt. Cool
temperatures slowed crop development. Early in the month, Hurricane Danny
formed in the Gulf of Mexico and triggered torrential rains in the Mississippi
Delta and then through the lower Appalachians. As the month ended, Hurricane
Elena formed in the Gulf and lashed the upper coast of the Florida peninsula
with gale winds, heavy rain, and a few tornadoes. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA
Joint Agricultural Weather Facility.)

AUGUST CROP DEVELOPMENT

Moisture and warmth continued pushing crop development ahead of normal the
first half of August. By mid-month, below-normal temperatures in the Great
Plains began stowing crop development. The below-normal temperatures
continued as the month progressed and by month's end covered most of the
eastern half of the Nation. The cooler temperatures slowed crop progress and
by the end of August most were running closer to normal. In some instances,
crop progress fell behind normal. Overall crop condition remained mostly good
during the month, Soil moisture was mostly adequate except for the
Northeastern States, portions of the Corn Belt and Western States.

Corn ended the month in mostly good condition. On September 1, 91 percent
of the acreage had reached the dough stage. Fifty-six percent was in the dent
stage or beyond with 10 percent mature. Dough and dent were 3 points ahead of
normal but corn mature was 1 point below the average. Harvest continued
spreading, moving into the Appalachian States and Missouri.

Soybeans were mostly good. At the end of the month, pods were setting on
93 percent of the acreage compared with 89 percent normally. Pod setting was
equal to or ahead of normal in all States except Alabama, Kentucky, Michigan,
Minnesota, South Dakota, and in the Carolinas. Soybeans were turning yellow
and dropping leaves as far North as Minnesota.

Cotton was mostly good during August. Soil moisture was generally
adequate but low moisture slowed crop development in portions of the Delta and
in Texas at month's end. Bolls were opening on 34 percent of the acreage,
compared with 22 percent last year and 25 percent normally. Dryland fields in
Texas began shedding bolls from the lack of’ moisture. Cotton was 13 percent
harvested in Texas and just beginning in Louisiana.

Sorghum was mostly good, with 48 percent of the acreage turning color,
equaling 1984 and the average. Sorghum coloring was. ahead of normal in
Missouri, Oklahoma, and Texas. Twenty-four percent of the sorghum was mature,
compared with 25 percent normally. Harvest was underway throughout most of
the Southeast and lagged 4 points behind normal in Texas.

Winter wheat harvest was limited mostly to the Pacific Northwest during
August and was nearly finished on September 1. Plowing for the 1986 crop was
active in most areas during the month. By month's end, seeding was underway
in Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, South Dakota and
Washington, ranging from 1 percent complete in both Kansas and Nebraska to 15
percent seeded in Washington. Spring wheat harvest was 17 point ahead of
normal on August 4, but by September 1, lagged 13 points behind normal.
Below-normal temperatures slowing maturity, and rain was responsible for the
harvest delay. Harvest was 19 and 33 points behind normal in North Dakota and
Minnesota, respectively.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

WINTER 1/ ALL 1/ 2/
CALIF CALIF 19.6
FLA COLO 953.5
CONN 1,5
TOTAL IDAHO-10 SW CO 28.0
-OTHER CO 302.0
SPRING 1/ : 3.2
ALA : 94.0
ARIZ : 3.4
CALIF : 45.0
FLA-HASTING : WA
OTHER : 7.5 +8
tA : 8.4 3
NC : 10.0 9.0
TEX N Y-LONG IS t 13.6 13.0
-UPSTATE : 26.0 25.0
TOTAL N DAK : 136.0 145.0
OHIO : 9.5 9.5
SUMMER 1/ 2/ OREG-MALHEUR: 15 11.0
ALA -OTHER CO : 46.5 50.0
CALIF : 22.0 22.5
coLo : 2.7 2.5
DEL : 15.0 14.0
TLL : 6.5 6.6
IND : 3 3
OWA : 116.0 127.0
MD : : 62.0 65.0
MICH : : 3.3 2.4
MINN : :
NEBR 2 2 1,128.1 1,181.3
Nod : :
N MEX t : 1,336.9 1,402.9
NC : :

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ 1984 REVISED.

TOBACCO

PRODUCTION

POUNDS POUNDS

1,000

CONN 1,770 2,000 1,595 1,725 3,354 2,824 3,450
FLA 7,000 6,200 2,560 2,560 17,628 17,920 15,872
GA t 38,000 37,000 2,250 2,250 96,360 85,500 83,250
IND + 8,100 7,100 2,320 2,350 13,041 18,792 16,685
KY 228,500 189,100 2,320 2,300 324,602 530,088 434,930
MD 23,000 21,000 1,320 1,300 29,700 30,360 27,300
MASS 500 510 1,570 1,670 783 785 852
MO Vv 2,900 2,700 2,015 2,250 6,417 5,844 6,075
NC 271,600 247,700 2,172 2,200 546,869 590,026 544,940
OKIO 12,000 8,900 2,209 2,130 17,668 26,507 18,955
PA 12,000 11,500 1,864 1,920 21,985 22,370 22,080
sc 47,000 44,000 2,245 2,300 112,860 105,515 101,200
TENN 74,990 67,000 2,062 2,040 118,197 154,646 136,680
vA 53,840 45,600 2,153 2,130 99,052 115,897 97,128
WVA 1/ 2,400 2,300 1,870 1,600 3,762 4,488 3,680
Wis 8,000 8,000 1,968 1,940 16,691 15,744 15,520
us 791,600 700,610 2,182 2,182 1,428,969 1,727,306 1,528,597

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION ve

1985 :

+ 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1 7000 POUNDS
ALA t 219.0 213.0 2,960 2,950 454,500 648,550 628,350
FLA ' 77.0 71.0 3,200 3,000 166,800 246,400 213,000
GA : 640.0 607.0 3,375 3,300 1,567,980 2,160,000 2,003,100
N MEX 2/ t 14.5 13.0 2,220 2,300 25,630 32,190 29,900
nC t 155.0 155.0 2,900 2,950 318,255 449,500 457,250
OKLA t 91.0 86.0 2,077 2,300 176,540 189,000 197,800
sc + 14.5 14.0 2,700 2,800 25,000 39,150 39,200
TEX : 223.0 220.0 1,665 1,800 362,275 371,295 396,000
VA ’ 97.0 96.0 a a98 or809 198,550 269,660 278,400

1,475.0 4,405, 745 | 4,243,000

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON~QUOTA PEANUTS.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTON

1,000 ACRES 1,000

POUNDS BALES 2/

307.0 293.0 699 655 183.0 447.0 400.0
429.0 409.0 1,227 1,291 725.0 1,097.0 1,100.0
465.0 455.0 632 633 323.0 612.0 600.0
1,400.0 1,340.0 999 1,110 1,971.0 2,913.0 3,100.0
17.0 21.5 847 781 15.2 30.0 35.0
172.0 245.0 784 705 112.0 281.0 360.0
5 8 288 480 +2 3 8
645.0 635.0 786 718 532.0 1,056.0 950.0
1,032.0 1,090.0 767 749 900.0 1,650.0 1,700.0
162.0 152.0 554 553 73.0 187.0 175.0
69.0 55.0 605 655 70.0 87.0 75.0
NC + 96.0 88.0 600 627 43.0 120.0 115.0
OKLA 375.0 365.0 234 375 345.0 183.0 285.0
sc 104.0 122.0 785 689 53.0 170.0 175.0
TENN 325.0 305.0 498 535 151.0 337.0 340.0
TEX 4,700.0 4,700.0 376 arg 2,380.0 3,680.0 4,100.0
vA x 1.0 1.3 528 591 3 1.1 1.6
us 10,299.5 10,277.6 599 631 7,676.7 12,851.4 13,532.4
AMER~PIMA
ARIZ 50.3 59.5 841 863 46.9 68.1 107.0
N MEX 10.0 7.7 595 655 15.8 12.4 10.5
TEX 19.3 18.9 744 635 32.0 29.9 25.0
A us 79.6 86.1 786 794 94.7 130.4 142.5
LL
ALA t 307.0 293.0 699 655 183.0 447.0 400.0
ARIZ 479.3 468.5 1,187 1,237 771.9 1,185.1 = 1,207.0
ARK 465.0 455.0 632 633 323.0 612.0 600.0
CALIF 1,400.0 1,340.0 999 1,110 1,971.0 2,913.0 3,100.0
FLA 3/ 17.0 21.5 847 781 15.2 30.0 35.0
GA ’ 172.0 245.0 784 705 112.0 281.0 360.0
KANS 3/ +5 8 288 480 2 3 6
LA 645.0 635.0 786 718 532.0 1,056.0 950.0
MISS 1,032.0 1,090.0 767 749 900.0 1,650.0 1,700.0
10 162.0 152.0 554 553 73.0 187.0 175.0
N MEX 79.0 62.7 604 655 85.8 99.4 85.5
NC 2 96.0 88.0 600 627 43.0 120.0 115.0
OKLA t 375.0 365.0 234 375 145.0 183.0 285.0
sc + 304.0 122.0 785 689 53.0 170.0 175.0
TENN : 325.0 305.0 498 535 151.0 337.0 340.0
TEX t 4,719.3 4,718.9 377 420 2,412.0 3,709.9 4,125.0
VA 3B/ 1.0 1.3 528 591 3 Tet 1.6
us 10,379.1 10,363.7 600 632 7,771.4 12,981.8 13,654.9

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about September 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided
appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on
their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small
plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These
surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common
to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured
currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the “Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing
the deviations between the September 1 production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1965-84 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for
grain production forecast fs 5.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 8,469 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 5.0 percent or approximately
423 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 8.6 percent or approximately 728 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 264 million bushels,
ranging from 84 million to 660 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 8 times and above 2 times. This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production, For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

10- YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE
CROP AND
UNIT

:BELOW : ABOVE
LARGE: FINAL EFINAL

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT
CORN FOR GRAIN BU
SORGHUM FOR

GRAIN BU
OATS BU :
BARLEY BU:
ALL WHEAT BU

DURUM BU

OTHER SPRING BU
RICE CWT:

SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS BU
COTTON BALES 2/

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE pRooucTION
CROP : INDICATED: Peeeee recs ecennee seceeee -
1984 1985 : 1984 : AUG I, : SEP 1,
: 3 1985 3 1985
METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN : 6.69 7.17 194 476 310 209 954 740 215 109 910
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 3.54 4.42 21 993 760 26 617 660 28 927 890
OATS 2.08 2.20 6 849 910 7 $33 670 7 800 960
BARLEY 2.87 2.74 12 988 260 13 057 580 13 038 200
ALL WHEAT 2.61 2.50 70 637 360 64 676 400 65 325 350

WINTER 2.69 2.57 56 081 590 50 155 080 50 057 110

DURUM 2.16 2.22 2 815 150 2 661 410 2 724 680

OTHER SPRING 2.38 2.30 11 740 620 11 859 910 12 543 560
RICE 5.52 5.77 6 215 710 5 608 220 5 720 750
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 1.89 2.23 50 642 210 53 327 190 56 142 640
FLAXSEED 0,82 0.83 178 370 208 800 216 210
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 3.23 3.22 1 998 400 1 930 620 1 924 580
ALL COTTON 0.67 0.77 2 826 440 3 000 210 2 972 990

UPLAND 0.67 0.77 2 798 050 2 969 180 2 941 960

AMER-PIMA 0.88 0.89 28 390 31 030 31 030
COTTONSEED 4 671 990 4 965 930 4 918 760
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1.60 1.63 941 380 1 005 970 1 009 690
POTATOES .

SUMMER 1/ 24.14 27.09 1 047 160 1 234 850 1 238 750

TOTAL 1/ 31.24 16 447 720
SWEETPOTATOES 14.06 14.71 589 030 634 480 630 350
TOBACCO 2.45 2.45 783 490 686 930 693 360
SUGARBEETS > 45.35 46.35 20 118 640 20 756 390 20 650 250
SUGARCANE FOR 3

SUGAR AND SEED 81.24 24 802 430 25 071 860 24 819 670
HOPS 2.00 25 480 22 990 23 070
PEARS 643 740 599 290 611 990
GRAPES 4 684 610 5 028 890 5 021 630
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF): 134 260 2/ 122 470 122 470

PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF)

PECANS

FILBER

WALNUTS *(eautr)

1/1984 “REVISED. 2/ JUL 1, 1985.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION

CROP : INDICATED INDICATED
1984 : 1985 1/ 1985 vA
METRIC TONS

RYE 3 2.07 1.79 822 790 490 190
ALL HAY > 5.49 5.39 136 786 220 134 692 440

ALFALFA : 7.53 7.20 81 662 050 76 630 800

ALL OTHER 3.92 4.04 55 124 170 58 061 640
POTATOES :

WINTER 1 22.77 22,86 119 750 122 060

SPRING : 30.80 29,83 1 079 450 1 099 910

FALL 2/ 2 32.07 14 201 360
APPLES, COM'L t 3.758 220 3 661 380
PEACHES : 1 199 200 956 390
SWEET CHERRIES : 164 930 120 290
TART CHERRIES : 122 970 122 240
APRICOTS : 115 390 125 920
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 166 010 181 440
PLUMS (CALIF) : 204 120 149 690
OLIVES (CALIF) 3 83 190 72 570
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 266 260 224 530

V/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1984 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 429
thousand tons (389 thousand metric tons), up 3 percent from August 1, but 4
percent less than last year. Harvest is complete in California. Quality in
the Lake and Mendocino areas was the best in the last several years. Size was
good and sugar content high. High summer temperatures did not adversely
affect fruit size or quality. Harvest is essentially complete in Oregon.
Quality was excellent in the Medford area. Production was above expectations
in the Hood River area. Quality ranged from excellent to poor, with some
fruit going for juice. Picking is active in Washington. Much of the fruit is
misshaped or frost-mashed.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop forecast at 5.54 million tons (5.02 million metric

tons), is fractionally lower than the August 1 estimate, but 7 percent
higher than last year's production, Only the New York forecast has been
changed from the August 1 estimate.

California production, at 5.10 million tons, is 10 percent above last
year. The California raisin variety grape forecast remains at 2.30 million
tons, 2 percent more than 1984. Nearly half of the raisin variety grapes were
picked and on trays drying by the first week of September. Rain showers fell
jin scattered areas of the San Joaquin Valley on September 3. Some vineyards
received as much as one inch of rain in Easton-Carruthers and other areas of
Fresno County. Some damage is expected as a result of the rain, but the areas
that were affected were limited. it is toe early at this time to assess
possible loss to the crop. Damaged raisins can be reconditioned, diverted to
distilling purposes or salvaged for other uses. Cooler weather during August
was beneficial to the crop. Growers report berry sizes are smaller than
normal with a wide range of harvested yields. Deliveries to wineries of
raisin variety grapes advanced rapidly during the last half of August, but are
running behind tast year's progress.

The California wine variety grape forecast remains at 2.25 million tons,
18 percent more than last year. Harvesting of wine grapes was very active by
the end of August. The Agricultural Marketing Service reports that nearly 700
thousand tons, or about 31 percent of the crop, had been crushed by the
State's wineries as of September 1. Growers report that crop quality is
mostly good, but yields are lighter than earlier anticipated due to small
berry sizes, .especiaily for white varieties. Cooler weather during August
seemed to aid the crop. However, recent spotty rain showers have increased
the chances for berry breakdown due to rot and mildew.

The California table variety grape forecast is 550 thousand tons, 16
percent more than 1984. As of September 1, more than half of the total volume
of all fresh grapes had been picked. Table varieties account for over fifty
percent of the fresh grape shipments. By the end of August, about 74.0
thousand tons of table variety grapes had been delivered to wineries. In
previous years, total winery deliveries of tabie varieties during the season
have averaged close to 200 thousand tons. Deliveries to wineries could
increase, due to recent rains, if damage should develop and because cold
storage space is reported limited for fresh grapes.

The Michigan grape production forecast continues at 55.0 thousand tons, 12
percent above 1984. The New York grape crop forecast, at 165 thousand tons,
is down 5 percent from August 1 and 17 percent less than 1984. The forecast
in Pennsylvania, at 55.0 thousand tons, is 8 percent below a year ago. The
Washington forecast is 119 thousand tons, 29 percent below last year.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune production (dried basis) is forecast at

135 thousand tons (122 thousand metric tons), unchanged
from July 1? but 9 percent less than last year's crop. Harvest is nearing
completion. Quality and size are good. There were no significant scab or end
cracking problems. Sunburn damage was less than expected.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



ot

|

<n

!

‘indicates current supply of pasture feed for gr:

USDA

ee
J

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

September 1, 1985

ol

RE

8
A Q
1}

fazing on non-‘rrigaled pastures and ranges relative to that expected
trom existing stands under very favorable weather conditions.

‘SRS
PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
‘September 1, 1984
jo
Ps ZZ
a
1 6x0 to excetent
[ZZ] Poor to tale y
EB very poor
(KX) severe drought ons reported by
EBB extreme drought 9° Cone
‘tlndicates current supply of pasture feed for grazing on non-irrigated pastures and ranges relative to that expected
from existing Stains ud8r VOrY 13+ aun worvier voters
USOA SRS

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985

A-9

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


BARLEY

1 BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
t

ARIZ 1/7 : 53 62 101.0 97.0 2,808 5,353 6,014
CALIF 1/ : 460 420 63.0 60.0 29,400 28,980 25,200
COLO 2 325 345 62.0 63.0 16,500 20,150 21,735
DEL / : 50 57 35.0 57.0 2,915 2,750 3,249
IDAHO 3 1,340 1,250 66.0 58.0 66,950 88,440 72,500
KANS 1/ 3 95 155 43.0 47.0 4,590 4,085 7,285
ky V/ 3 30 26 37.0 39.0 825 1,110 1,014
MD / : 95 94 58.0 60.0 4,950 5,510 5,640
MICH 1/ 3 34 34 60.0 62.0 1,617 2,040 2,108
MINN : 950 1,100 65.0 66.0 43,460 61,750 72,600
MONT : 2,110 1,500 28.0 20.0 77,700 59,080 30,000
NEBR 1/ : 78 120 33.0 30.0 2,691 2,574 3,600
NEV V/ : 37 37 90.0 93.0 2,720 3,330 3,441
NJ / 3 15 16 55.0 60.0 901 825 960
N MEX 1/ : 20 16 75.0 75.0 1,725 1,500 1,200
nc t/ t 64 69 63.0 40.0 2,205 4,032 2,760
N DAK 3 2,900 3,550 53.0 53.0 114,660 153,700 188,150
OKLA 1t/ : 50 65 41.0 39.0 1,496 2,050 2,535
OREG t 280 330 62.0 60.0 16,470 17,360 19,800
PA / 3 70 70 52.0 62.0 3,575 3,640 4,340
sc Vv z 30 32 52.0 37.0 920 1,560 1,184
S$ DAK 3 595 735 31.0 45.0 23,100 30,345 33,075
TEX V/ : 40 50 50.0 45.0 2,475 2,000 2,250
UTAH : 159 166 73.0 77.0 11,396 11,607 12,782
VA vV/ 2 96 102 60.0 45.0 5,900 5,760 4,590
WASH : 980 1,150 65.0 50.0 54,400 63,700 57,500
WYA 2/ ’ 5 53.0 240 265

Wis V7 ¢ 50 52 53.0 52.0 2,304 2,650 2,704
WYO 3 160 166 65.0 64.0 10,032 10,400 10,624
US 3 11,171 11,769 53.4 50.9 508,925 596,546 598,840

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Crop Production [Qi= S52"

Agriculture
Statistical Reporting Washington, D.C. 20250
Service
RELEASED: September 11, 1985
3:00 P.M. .ET
HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at a record high 8.47 billion bushels
(215 million metric tons), up 1] percent from last year and 3 percent
higher than the previous record set in 1982. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this production forecast is 7.74 to 9.20 billion bushels.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN production is forecast at a record high 1.14 billion bushels
(28.9 million metric tons), up 9 percent from August 1 and 32 percent
above last year's crop.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) is expected to total
265 million metric tons, up 12 percent from 1984.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 2.06 billion bushels (56.1 million metric
tons), 11 percent above last year and 26 percent more than 1983. The 90
percent confidence interval for this production forecast is 1.89 to 2.23
billion bushels.

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.40 billion bushels (65.3 million metric
tons), 8 percent less than 1984. The 90 percent confidence interval for
this production forecast is 2.35 to 2.46 billion bushels.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rice, rye) is expected to total 71.5 million
metric tons in 1985, down 8 percent from 1984.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 13.7 million bales, a decrease of 1 per-
cent from August 1 but 5 percent above the 1984 crop. The 90 confidence
interval for this production forecast is 12.0 to 15.3 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.53 billion pounds (693 thousand metric
tons), 12 percent below 1984 but 1 percent above the August 1 forecast.

PEANUT production is estimated at 4.24 billion pounds (1.92 million metric
tons), down 4 percent from Jast year's record crop but 29 percent above
1983.

FERIA K IARI AKI III III IARI IIIA IIIA IARI ISIS IISA I IIS IIIA III IIIA III IIIA IAI

* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
* should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 - *
* South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021). *

RIK KIKIR RIKI II REIKI HII IARI II ISI IAI IIIS III IIIA II SII IIIS IIS III IIS III IIIS

CrPr 2-2 (9-85) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127



Production increased 4 percent from the August 1 forecast, with the biggest
increases in South Dakota and Wisconsin. Harvest is virtually complete in
South Dakota and Iowa, while in North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin harvest
lags behind normal progress. Yield in North Dakota remained unchanged from
August 1. South Dakota's yield increased 3 bushels from August 1 and is 1
bushel below 1984. Minnesota's yield increased 2 bushels from August 1 and is
5 bushels above last year. Wisconsin's yield increased 5 bushels during
August and is 2 bushels below 1984,

BARLEY: Production of barley is forecast at a record high 599 million bushels
(13.0 million metric tons) a fractional increase from a year ago.
Average yield, at 50.9 bushels per acre, is 2.5 bushels below the 1984 level.
The lower yield is more than offset by a 5 percent increase in harvested acres
from last year. An excellent growing season continued to raise yield
prospects in Minnesota, showing an increase of 2 bushels per acre from
August 1. However, results of dry weather in the Norhtwest continued and
Idaho lowered its expected yield 3 bushels. All other States remained
unchanged from August 1, except Oregon which showed a 2 bushel increase.

Barley harvest was over 80 percent completed across the U.S. by the end of
August. Cool, wet weather slowed harvest progress and caused some sprouting
and bleaching of grain, particularly in Montana, North Dakota, and Minnesota.

ALL WHEAT: Total production is forecast at 2.40 billion bushels (65.3 million

metric tons), down 8 percent from 1984. Harvested area totals 64.6
million acres (26.1 million hectares), 3 percent less than last year. Yields
average 37.2 bushels per acre, 1.6 bushels less than 1984,

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 1.84 billion bushels (50.1 million

metric tons), down 11 percent from 1984. Harvested area is
48.1] million acres (19.5 million hectares), 7 percent less than a year ago.
Average yield is placed at 38.2 bushels per acre, 1.8 bushels less than the
1984 yield.

Winter wheat harvest neared completion in the Pacific Northwest by
September 1. Idaho's harvest had reached 92 percent and Oregon's 98 percent.
Washington's harvest was virtually complete by the end of August. Combining
had advanced to 95 percent in Montana; yields and test weights were well below
average, but protein content was generally high.

DURUM WHEAT: Production is forecast at -100 million bushels (2.72 million

metric tons), 3 percent less than a year ago, but up 2 percent
from August 1. Area for harvest remains at 3.03 million acres (1.23 million
hectares), 6 percent Jess than 1984. Yield expectations have improved
slightly to 33.0 bushels per acre, 0.9 of a bushel above last year and 0.7 of
a bushel higher than August 1.

Rains throughout most of August have delayed harvest progress significantly
in North Dakota; as of September 1, 41 percent of the durum had been combined,
versus 92 percent last year. About 85 percent of Montana's acreage is
harvested; 90 percent of South Dakota's acreage is completed. The rains and
high humidity have contributed to some quality problems such as sprouting and
bleaching.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production is forecast at 461 million bushels (12.5 mil-

lion metric tons), 7 percent more than last year's produc-
tion of 431 million bushels (11.7 million metric tons). Area for grain remains
at 13.5 million acres (5.45 million hectares), up 10 percent from 1984.
Average yield, at 34.2 bushels per acre, is 1.2 bushels Jess than a year ago
but 1.8 bushels more than the August 17 forecast.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record high 8.47

billion bushels (215 million metric tons), up 11 percent from
last year and 3 percent higher than the previous record set in 1982. The
forecast is up 2 percent from the August J forecast. Near ideal growing
conditions throughout most of the country during August greatly improved the
yield prospects of corn. Ample rainfall was received in most areas but the
temperatures have been generally below normal. On August 1, the crop progress
was well ahead of normal in most of the major producing States but by
September 1 the progress was near normal due to the cool wet weather. Warm,
dry weather is now needed in all areas to advance maturity. New York is the
only State showing a yield decline from August }. The U.S. average yield per
acre is forecast at a record high 113.3 bushels, up 6.7 bushels from last
year's yield of 106.6 bushels. The forecasted yield is slightly higher than
the previous record high yield of 113.2 bushels set in 1982. The yield
increases from the August 1 forecast for major States follow: Missouri--11
bushels, Indiana--8 bushels, Minnesota--4 bushels, JIowa--3 bushels, Illinois
and Nebraska, each 2 bushels.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

ILLION BUSHELS

T

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at a record high 1.14 billion

bushels (28.9 million metric tons), up 32 percent from last
year. Area for grain harvest is estimated at 16.2 million acres (6.55 million
hectares), up 5 percent from 1984, the largest since 1958, and the third
largest grain acreage of record. The increase in acreage harvested reflects a
25 thousand acre increase in.Louisiana from the August 1 estimate.

Yield per acre is forecast at a record high 70.4 bushels, up 14 bushels
from last year and 5.5 bushels above the August 1 forecast. This record yield
is due to mostly excellent growing conditions in the major growing areas as a
result of adequate moisture during the past month. Improved conditions from
last month have raised the forecasted yield in Kansas 13 bushels, Missouri 9
bushels, both Nebraska and Oklahoma 5 bushels, and Colorado 4 bushels.
Dryland fields are stressed in the High Plains area of Texas but statewide
yield-is unchanged from August 3. Similar conditions in New Mexico last month
have lowered the yield forecast 2 bushels.

OATS: Production of oats is forecast at 537 million bushels (7.80 million

metric tons), 14 percent above last year and 13 percent above the 1983
production. Area for harvest, at 8.75 million acres (3.54 million hectares),
is unchanged from August J. The average yield, at a record high 61.4 bushels
per acre, is 3.3 bushels above last year and 8.8 bushels above 1983.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP : AREA HARVESTED + YUELD : PRODUCTION

* STATE

+ 1,000 ACRES cwT 1,000 CHT
WINTER 1/ 5
CALIF : 5.6 $.4 260 260 1,269 1,456 1,404
FLA : 7.4 7.8 160 165 924 1,184 1,287
TOTAL : 13.0 13.2 203-204 2,193 2,640 2,691
SPRING 1/ :
ALA t 4.6 5.3 140 160 513 644 848
ARIZ : 5.4 6.0 305 310 1,274 1,647 1,860
CALIF : 28.5 30.5 390 375 8,330 11,115 11,438
FLA-HASTINGS : 25.0 26.0 260 245 4,935 6,500 6,370
~OTHER : 1.2 1.3 200 210 186 240 273
LA : 1.0 +6 60 75 50 60 45
Nc : 14.7 14.9 160 155 1,958 2,352 2,310
TEX : 6.2 6.5 200 170 1,092 1,240 1,105
:
TOTAL : 86.6 91.1 275 266 18,338 = 23,798 24,249
SUMMER 2/ :
ALA : 8.3 7.8 115 180 1,023 955 1,404
CALIF : 8.1 8-2 360 = 375 2,560 2,916 3,075
COLO : TA 7.4 2800285 1,870 1,988 2,109
DEL : 5.5 5.7 230 280 999 1,265 1,596
TLL : 2.4 2.9 265 290 552 636 B41
IND : 1.8 1.9 120 140 188 216 266
IOWA : 1.4 1.6 150 215 176 210 344
MD : 1.6 1.6 185 200 342 296 320
MICH : 12.8 13.8 200 220 2,183 2,560 3,036
MINN : 6.0 6.5 280 280 1,326 1,680 1,820
NEBR : 2.2 2.5 260 280 210 572 700
NJ : 8.5 8.8 215 260 1,615 1,828 2,288
N MEX 2 9.1 9.4 290 275 1,625 2,639 2,585
nc t 2.9 2-4 120 120 390 348 288
OHIO : 1.2 1.0 285 325 234 342 325
TENN : 3.0 z.5 90 105 175 270 263
TEX : 11.3 12.5 250 220 2,232 2,825 2,750
VA : 14.0 16-5 110 200 1,001 1,540 3,300
TOTAL + 107.2 113.0 215 = 242 18,701 23,086 27,310
FALL 1/ 2/ :
CALIF 2 18.2 +4 400 7,790 7,280
coLo : 53.0 +5 325 13,950 17,225
CONN : 1.4 +4 225 266 5
IDAHO-10 SW CO: 28.0 +0 335 8,500 9,380
“OTHER CO: 297.0 -0 260 77,490 77,220
IND : 3.0 +6 250 600 750
MAINE : 89.0 +0 240 22,560 21,360
MASS : 2.9 . 200 646 580
MICH : 44.0 +0 285 9,840 12,540
MINN : 72.5 +5 190 10,313 13,775
MONT : 7.4 +7 260 1,800 1,924
NEBR : 8.0 +1 310 2,025 2,480
NEV : 10.0 +0 330 3,720 3,300
N Y-LONG 1S : 13.5 +B 265 4,075 3,577
- UPSTATE : 25.5 +0 260 5,635 6,630
N DAK : 133.0 +0 155 20,480 20,615
OHIO : 9.3 +3 260 1,886 2,418
OREG-MALHEUR CO : 11.0 +7 360 3,330 3,960
“OTHER CO: 45.5 +3 430 17,380 19,565
PA : 21.5 +0 240 4,300 5,160
RI : 2.6 +5 230 630 598
S OAK : 13.0 +0 140 2,310 1,820
UTAH : 6.4 +5 270 1,357 1,728
VT : 3 +3 210 88 63
WASH : 115.0 +0 495 54,080 56,925
wis 61.0 +5 350 18,910 21,350
wYo : 2.2 +3 250 718 550
TOTAL 2 1,094.2 1,159.7 286 294,679 313,088
1,301.0 1,377.0 279 (333,911 362,612

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ 1984 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-1t CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA HARVESTED t YIELO PRODUCTION

: > IND
> 1984 1985 :

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CHT

LARGE LIMA:

CALIF : 35.0 45.0 1,800 1,840 463 630 828
BABY LIMA :

CALIF : 27.0 25.0 1,960 2,000 472 529 500
OTHER :

CALIF : 122.0 100.0 1,590 1,680
ALL :

CALIF Hy 184.0 170.0 1,684 1,769

coLo : 190.0 225.0 1,190 1,310

IDAHO : 138.0 118.0 1,790 1,750

KANS 2/3 12.0 16.0 1,700 1,600

MICH : 390.0 430.0 1,070 1,300

MINN : 50.0 64.0 1,400 1,400

MONT 2s: 8.0 3.8 1,900 1,700

NEBR : 170.0 155.0 1,900 1,800

NY : 34.0 34.0 1,250 1,100

N DAK : 200.0 250.0 1,260 1,200

UTAH 2s: 9.3 8.3 580 600

WASH : 34.0 33.0 2,080 2,080

WYO 37.0 28.0 2,050 1,900

us 1,456.3 1,535.1 1,425 1,450

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED
PRODUCTION
STATE 9 peewee eee eee nn eee een e een eee ence eee nee nee ene sence renee eens
1983 1984 IND 1985
TO ET Y7000 TONS
us 3,076 5,149 5,422
PRODUCTION

1984

1,000 ACRES

N
N

MD V/

WMVOSOUU=-OUOs

w
MUON e WOU

=
N= UONUAHNATD

sc /

WOoOhM=OhOO

<
>
oa

us : 103.5 105

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARO, SRS, USDA


FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
September 1, 1985

VW
as VAX

iy

E Gec0d to excatent
Pare

row A
ER very poor

FEB near taiture

“Relative conditions or prospects as indicated by reports from crop Correspondents on ‘all crops:

FEED CROP PROSRECTS*

ie
Yon OY
OD pad Eat

“Relative conditions or prospects as indicated by reports from crop correspondents on ‘al crops’
USDA

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-8

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

385 340 65.0 66.0 17,995 25,025 22,440
26 22 440.0 110.0 2,312 3,640 2,420
49 65 95.0 91.0 2,640 4,655 5,915
375 340 136.0 135.0 33,280 51,000 45,900
680 725 134.0 140.0 74,420 91,120 101,500
DEL 150 175 110.0 93.0 10,875 16,500 16,275
FLA V/ 210 200 65.0 65.0 8,174 13,650 13,000
GA 985 1,000 82.0 80.0 55,125 80,770 80,000
IDAHO 1/ 75 80 118.0 120.0 7,735 8,850 9,600
ILL 10,940 11,350 114.0 129.0 624,100 1,247,160 1,464,150
IND 6,030 6,100 117.0 123.0 340,910 705,510 750,300
|OWA 12,900 13,350 112.0 118.0 743,850 1,444,800 1,575,300
KANS 870 1,050 125.0 129.0 85,560 108,750 135,450
ky 1,460 1,560 100.0 100.0 46,080 146,000 156,000
LA 1} 82 195 115.0 120.0 5,040 9,430 23,400
MAINE 2/
MD 590 650 118.0 100.0 37,060 69,620 65,000
MASS 2/
MICH : 2,620 2,700 84.0 100.0 165,600 220,080 270,000
MINN Fy 6,440 6,500 107.0 115.0 367,080 689,080 747,500
MISS 1/ : 70 120 70.0 68.0 3,520 4,900 8,160
MO $ 1,930 2,430 80.0 104.0 72,930 154,400 252,720
MONT 1/ 3 15 14 92.0 105.0 1,365 1,380 1,470
NEBR 3 6,950 7,250 115.0 122.0 470,450 799,250 884,500
NH 2/ 3
NJ 1/ 2 109 114 107.0 101.0 6,120 11,663 11,514
N MEX 1/ : 59 65 150.0 160.0 7,000 8,850 10,400
NY : 660 750 93.0 92.0 54,000 61,380 69,000
nc ’ 1,620 1,650 90.0 75.0 76,800 145,800 123,750
N DAK : 630 650 66.0 65.0 29,145 41,580 42,250
OHIO 3 3,900 4,000 118.0 128.0 224,000 460,200 512,000
OKLA 1/ g 50 55 105.0 112.0 4,144 5,250 6,160
OREG 1/ : 42 37 159.0 172.0 5,346 6,678 6,364
PA / z 1,350 1,370 110.0 105.0 72,450 148,500 143,850
RI 2 z
sc : 447 520 78.0 81.0 17,050 34,866 42,120
S DAK 3 2,780 2,860 67.0 74.0 104,410 186,260 211,640
TENN Hy 690 790 95.0 95.0 23,040 65,550 75,050
TEX Hy 1,550 1,450 93.0 100.0 104,760 144,150 145,000
UTAH 1/ Fy 16 17 148.0 122.0 1,540 1,888 2,074
VT 2/ :
VA z 540 530 104.0 92.0 16,320 56,160 48,760
WASH 1/ : 150 140 155.0 160.0 17,600 23,250 22,400
WVA 1/7 z 81 81 100.0 102.0 4,680 8,100 8,262
Wis : 3,250 3,400 106.0 103.0 223,100 344,500 350,200
WYO Vv : 60 61 100.0 110.0 7,072 6,000 6,710
us : 71,816 74,756 106. 6 113.3 4,174,678 0 656,195 8,468,504

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR GARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE 1S FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


HAW

COFFEE

990

1,000 POUNDS

2,800

1984-85

1/ PARCHMENT BASIS.

BARTLETT
CALIF
OREG
WASH
TOTAL

EXCLUDING BARTLETT
CALIF
OREG
WASH
TOTAL

ALL
CALIF
COLO 2/
CONN 2/
MICH
NY
OREG
PA 2/
UTAH 2/
WASH

us

PAPAYAS ~ HAWAIT

: 259,500
: 63,000
140,800
463,300

8,200
125,000
138,000
271,200

267,700
5,500
1,450
8,000

19,000

188,000
2,700
3,500

278,800

774,650

1984

302,000

44,000
101,000
447,000

10,000
106,000
103,000
219,000

312,000
4,600
1,450

11,000
20,000

150,000
3,300
3,200

204,000

709,550

FRESH PRODUCTION

: FORECAST

1,000 POUNDS

4,705
4435

270,000
72,000
87,000

429,000

10,500
105,000
95,000
210,500

280,500
5,900
1,400
7,000

15,000

177,000
2,800
3,000

182,000

674,600

1/- UNCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): U S,

1984-12,800.

2/ > ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPT

EMBER 1985 B-18

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

SRS, USDA



INDEX

PAGE

BARLEY ..ccseceeceeee se eeees eee ee ceneeeeeeeerre
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ... .

COFFEE ..ceeeeeeeee
CORN FOR GRAIN .
COTTON .....
COTTONSEED ......
CROP PROSPECTS MAPS.
FLAXSEED ..seeeee sees

CITRUS
NUTS ..
OATS ..ceceeeeee
PAPAYAS-HAWAIT 2... .ceeeeeeeeeee
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION ......
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS .
PEANUTS FOR NUTS ...eeceeceeeeeccece

PEARS ..... teens
PECANS ..
POTATOES ....---
PRUNES AND PLUMS .
RICE ...cceeeeeeee
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
SUGARBEETS ..seeeeeeee soseeee
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .
SWEETPOTATOES ..
TOBACCO BY STATE:
US SUMMARY ......006
WHEAT, BY CLASSES
WHEAT, ALL ....--- . . B-
WHEAT, DURUM ..
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING . .
WHEAT, WINTER ...cccccscecccccecccccscecseece eer rere reer reer rrr B-

7
soo

prte)treteroed vt
ssa se
DYAAAWVOWWONYUAIYNDOOCRDWIUTETDOWMOO-“BOf

1
sas

DBWDMOVDDDDDDDBSDDDBBDDTMSPODDWIDD
'

% U.S. Government Printing Office : 1985 - 460-937/20252

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OTHER SPRING WHEAT

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
COLO 1/ 70 90 70.0 70.0 5,103 4,900 6,300
'DAHO 380 480 65.0 59.0 36,100 24,700 28,320
MINN 2,160 2,350 48.0 52.0 75,110 103,680 122,200
MONT 1,950 2,300 17.5 13.0 53,730 34,125 29,900
NEV 1/ 16 16 75.0 70.0 700 1,200 1,120
N DAK 5,400 5,600 34.0 34.0 135,000 183,600 190,400
OREG 1/ 65 85 43.0 40.0 3,570 2,795 3,400
S DAK 1,870 2,170 33.0 29.0 36,400 61,710 62,930
UTAH 1/ 36 40 49.0 47.0 1,377 1,764 1,880
WASH 210 290 55.0 46.0 10,070 11,550 13,340
Wis / 17 17 34.0 31.0 667 578 527
WYO / 22 20 36.0 29.0 714 792 580
us 12,196 13,458 35.4 34.2 358,541 431,394 460,897

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN ALL

1983 64,318 27,388 8,014 99,720
1984 97,368 32,490 7,175 137,033
1985 1/ 93,611 27,888 4,622 126,121

V/ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1985; RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

RICE

2 AREA HARVESTED YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
STATE Pte nn nnn re er nee nn ene nnn nen nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn n nnn e

z IND 2 IND : IND

: 1985 : 1984 : 1985 : 1983 : 1984 1985

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT

ARK 1,150.0 1,050.0 4,600 4,660 39,159 52,900 48,930
CALIF 430.0 380.0 7,040 7,200 23,089 30,283 27,360
LA 528.0 463.0 4,150 4,550 14,693 21,932 21,067
MISS 190.0 185.0 4,350 4,800 6,440 8,265 8,880
MO Vv 76.0 64.0 4,600 4,600 2,534 3,493 2,944
TEX 408.0 308.0 4,940 5,500 13,805 20,160 16,940
u Ss 2,782.0 2,450.0 4,926 5,148 99,720 137,033 126,12

Vv ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

CROP INOICATED
AND INDICATED: = penn nn ane nnn eee e--------
UNIT 1984 : 1985: 1

CORN FOR GRAIN BU

113.3 7,656,195 8,265,554 8,468,504
70.4

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " 865,856 1,047,891 1,138,841

OATS " 61.4 471,921 519,028 537,443
BARLEY ” 50.9 596,546 599,730 598,840
ALL KHEAT . 37.2 2,595,479 2,376,451 2,400,296

WINTER . 38.2 2,060,646 1,842,884 1,839,284

DURUM . 33.0 103,439 97,790 100,115

OTHER SPRING " 34.2 431,394 435,777 460,897
RICE CHT 5,148 137,033 123,640 126,121
SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS Bu 33.2 1,860,783 1,959,439 2,062,889
FLAXSEED st 13.3 7,022 8,220 83512
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: 2,877 4,405,745 4,256,300 4,243,000
ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 600 632 12,981.8 13,779.9  13,654.9

UPLAND "1/599 631 123851.4 13,637.4 = 13,512.4

AMER~PIMA " Te 786 794 130.4 142.5 142.5
COTTONSEED TON 5,149 5,474 5,422
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/: 1,425 1,450 20,754 22,178 22,260
POTATOES :

SUMMER 2/ cwT : | 215 242 23,086 27,224 27,310

TOTAL 2/ "r 279 362,612
SWEETPOTATOES "ob 125 131 12,986 13,988 13,897
TOBACCO LB: 2,182 2,182 1,727,306 «= 1,514,440 = 1,528,597
SUGARBEETS TON : 20.2 20.7 22,177 22,880 22,763
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED =": 36.6 36.2 27,340 27,637 27,359
HOPS LB: 1,824 1,785 56,167 50,675 50,860
PASTURE AND :

RANGE FEED 3/ PCT : 70 75
PEARS TON: 709.6 660.6 674.6
GRAPES woo 5,163.9 5,543.4 5,535.4
DRIED PRUNES :

(CALIF) moog 148.0 4/135.0 135.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) ns 49.0 45.5 49.6
PECANS LB: 232,400 261,800
FILBERTS TON: 13.4 24.0
WALNUTS (CALIF) * 213.0 215.0 215.0

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ 1984 REVISED. 3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION
AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1974-83 AVERAGE IS 73 PERCENT. 4/ JUL 1, 1985.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1985 1/

INDICATED
1985 1/ : 1984

RYE BU: 33.0 28.5 32,392 19,298
ALL HAY TON : 2.45 2.40 150,781 148,473
ALFALFA 3 3.36 3.21 90,017 84,471
ALL OTHER " : 1.75 1.80 60,764 64,002
POTATOES :
WINTER CWT: 203 204 2,640 2,691
SPRING " 3 275 266 23,798 24,249
FALL 2/ “> 286 313,088
APPLES, COM'L LB: 8,285,500 8,072,000
PEACHES wg 23643, 800 2,108,500
SWEET CHERRIES TON : 181.8 132.6
TART CHERRIES LB: 271,100 269,500
APRICOTS TON : 127.2 138.8
NECTARINES (CALIF) . t 183.0 200.0
PLUMS (CALIF) “ z 225.0 165.0
OLIVES (CALIF) " : 91.7 80.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB o: 587,000 495,000

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1984 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-4G CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COTTON: AM cotton production is forecast at 13.7 million bales a decrease
percent from August 1] but 5 pe ercent above the 1984 crop. The

Upland preductton forecast for 1985 is 13. 5 million bales and American-Pima is
143 thousand bales. The 1985 crop is 5.29 million bales lower than the record
high all cotton production of 18.9 million bales set in 1937.

Area for harvest is estimated at 10.4 million acres (4.19 million
hectares), down fractionally from last year. Expected yield per harvested
acre is a record high 632 pounds, 32 pounds above the previous record
established in 1984.

In Texas and Oklahoma, Upland production is forecast at 4.39 million
bales, an increase of 14 percent from last year but a decrease of 2 percent
from the August 1 forecast. Texas harvest was 13 percent complete by
September 1 compared with 9 percent Tast year. Harvest is compiete in the Rio
Grande Valley and the Coastal Bend, Lack of adequate moisture during the
month in Texas caused stress on some dryland acreage in the Texas plains, but
yield prospects remain good. In Oklahoma, prospects are for the best crop in
recent years, especially in irrigated fields.

Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee)
expect to harvest 3.77 million bales, 2 percent below last year but 1 percent
above the August 1 forecast. A record early crop is expected in Louisiana and
Mississippi, with harvest already underway in Louisiana.

Growers in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) expect
to harvest 4.28 million bales of Upland cotton, 4 percent above last year but
down 2 percent from August 1.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina
and South Carolina) is forecast at 1.05 million bales, up 3 percent from last
year's production but down 1 percent from August 1. Excessive moisture during
the month in Georgia and South Carolina has resulted in some bollrot and
insect problems causing crop prospects to fall. Harvest is underway in
Georgia.

Bureau. of the Census reports 681,210 running bales ginned prior to
September 1 compared with 634,437 to the same date last year and 315,062 bales
in 3.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1985, based on a three year average lint-seed

ratio, is forecast at 5.42 million tons (4.92 million metric
tons), 5 percent above the 1984 production of 5.15 million tons (4.67 million
metric tons).

DRY BEANS: Production is forecast at 22.3 million cwt. (1.01 million metric

tons), 7 percent above 1984 and fractionally above the August 1
forecast. Area for harvest at 1.54 million acres (621 thousand hectares),
remained unchanged from August 1 while expected yield edged upward to 1450
pounds per acre. This yield is 5 pounds above the August 1 forecast and 25
pounds higher than 1984.

Harvest of Blackeyes was underway in California by the end of August, with
harvest of other dry beans expected to start in October. Colorado dry beans
were in good condition and harvest was near normal. Hot, dry weather during
the bloom and pod setting stages coupled with above normal insect infestations
reduced yield prospects in Idaho. The drier conditions also enabled
harvesting to progress well ahead of normal. Cooler weather last month slowed
crop development in Michigan, Nebraska and North Dakota where limited cutting
occurred. Michigan experienced heavy rains in early September with possible
yield reducing effects not reflected in this report. Drought conditions in
late July and August dropped yield expectations in New York. Hot weather
experienced during the blooming stage reduced yields in Washington, where
approximately 20 percent of the crop was harvested by September 1. Wyoming's
dry bean crop was in good to excellent condition with combining expected to be
in full swing by mid-September.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


In Kentucky, August rain helped late tobacco but caused some damage and
quality loss. As of September 2, burley was 48 percent cut, compared with 28
percent last year and the 33 percent average. Dark types were 52 percent cut
compared with 3] percent last year and 34 percent average.

In North Carolina, flue-cured harvest lags behind. As of September 1, 58
percent was harvested compared with 75 percent for both last year and the
average. As of September 3, flue cured marketings were 23 percent behind last
year.

Tennessee growers expect ta harvest 137 million pounds, 12 percent less
than a year ago. Yield is expected to average 2040 pounds per acre.

South Carolina's harvest was active during August and was 86 percent
complete the first of September, but was behind last year's 95 percent and the
average of 90 percent. Markets completed their fifth week on August 29, with
quality and grade prices continuing to rise.

In Virginia, wet weather delayed harvest and may reduce quality slightly
but favorable yields are still expected. Burley yields are especially
promising.

SUGARBEETS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 22.8 million tons (20.7 mil-

Tion metric tons), down 7? percent from the August 7 forecast but
up 3 percent from last year's production. Prospects deteriorated during
August in 4 of the 12 producing States but improved in 3 others. Compared
with a year earlier, the increase in production is the result of both higher
expected yields and more acreage for harvest. The yield forecast at 20.7 tons
per acre is down 0.1 of a ton from the August 1 forecast but up 0.5 of a ton
from 1984,

Lifting of the beet crop in the Red River Valley of North Dakota and
Minnesota began in early September. Moisture supplies are plentiful. Warm,
sunny weather is needed to dry some areas. California harvest was in fu)]
swing by September 1. Virus yellows are reducing yields over much of the fall
harvest area. As usual, many beets will be overwintered and harvested next
spring. The Idaho crop continues to progress well. Irrigation water has
remained in good supply during the summer months. No major disease or weather
problems have been reported. In Michigan, beets benefited by late August
rains. Limited harvest is expected to begin about October 1.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.4

million tons (24.8 million metric tons), off 1 percent from the
August 1 forecast but virtually the same as last year's crop. Average yield
is forecast at 36.2 tons per acre, compared with 36.6 tons a year ago. Area
for harvest, at 755 thousand acres (306 thousand hectares), is up 1] percent
from last year.

The Florida crop is in generally good condition but growth has been
limited somewhat by frequent cloud cover. Cutting for sugar is expected to
start in October.

In Hawaii, fields showed improvement from occasional heavy rain and
continued irrigation from adequate underground water supplies. An exception
was fields in the KA'U district of Hawaii island. Lace bug damage on Maui
remained nil

Louisiana's sugarcane is in fair condition. Hurricane Danny's damage was

not severe and in many localities the moisture helped. Planting of cane is
behind schedule due to wet conditions.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

”



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP INDICATED
1984 1985 1984 1985
1,000 ACRES
CORN 80,434 83,217 71,816 74,756
SORGHUM 17,249 17,865 15,348 16,187
OATS 12,364 13,140 8,123 8,750
BARLEY 11,887 13,129 11,171 11,769
ALL WHEAT : 79,213 75,765 66,928 64,608
WINTER 3 63,419 58,095 51,513 48,118
DURUM : 3,277 3,132 3,219 3,032
OTHER SPRING : 12,517 14,538 12,196 13,458
RICE 3 2,804.0 2,470.0 2,782.0 2,450.0
SOYBEANS : 67,735 63,220 66,093 62,223
FLAXSEED : 555 660 538 641
PEANUTS : 1,562.6 1,512.0 1,531.0 1,475.0
ALL COTTON 11,145.4 10,739.1 10,379.1 10, 363.7
UPLAND 11,065.3 10,652.3 10,299.5 10,277.6
AMER-PIMA 80.1 86.8 79.6 86.1
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1,497.0 1,580.5 1,456.3 1,535.1
POTATOES
SUMMER 2/ 111.5 116.2 107.2 133.0
TOTAL 2/ 1,336.9 1,402.9 1,301.0 1,377.0
SWEETPOTATOES 106.4 109.0 103.5 105.9
TOBACCO 791.6 700.6
SUGARBEETS 1,121.5 1,116.8 1,096.3 1,100.9
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 747.3 754.9
HOPS 30.8 28.5

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.£., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1984 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP INDICATED
1984 1985 1/ 1984 1985 1/
1,000 ACRES
RYE : 2,971 2,558 981 677
ALL HAY : 61,585 61,801
ALFALFA 26,809 26,300
ALL OTHER 34,776 35,501
POTATOES
WINTER 13.2 13.2 13.0 13.2
SPRING : 88.1 92.2 86.6 91.1
FALL 2/ : 1,324.1 1,181.3 1,094.2 1,159.7

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ 1984 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP AND STATE

PRODUCTION

FILBERTS
OREG
WASH
us

WALNUTS
CALIF

CROP AND STATE

IMPROVED
ALA
ARK
FLA
GA
LA
MISS
N MEX

NATIVE & SEEDLING
ALA

ARK
FLA
GA
LA
MISs
NC

8,000
200
8,200

199,000

PECANS

17,000
1,750
1,500

85,000
3,000
5,500

29,000

500
1,000
1,000

22,000

167,250

: 7,000
Fy 750
1,900
: 15,000
2 19,000
t 2,500
2 1,100
: 7,000
8 500
z
2

48,000
102,750

24,000
3 2,500
t 3,400
: 100,000
: 22,000
t 8,000
3 29,000
t 1,600
A 8,000
: 1,500
2 70,000
z 270,000

13,200
200
13,400

213,000

PRODUCTION

9,000
1,100
2,200
100,000
1,500
4,000
24,000
1,830
2,000
3,600
20,000
169,230

4,000
400
2,800
20,000
3,500
1,500
1,070
23,000
1,900
5,000
63,170

13,000
1,500
5,000

120,000
5,000
5,500

24,000
2,900

25,000
5,500

25,000

232,400

1/ BUDDED, GRAFTED, OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-17

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

1,000 POUNDS

23,600
400
24,000

215,000

159,100

6,000
500
2,000
15,000
14,000
2,000
200
16,000
1,000
46,000
102,700

20,000
1,700
4,000

105,000

17,000
7,000

25,000

600

18,000
2,500

61,000

261,800

SRS,


: 1,000 ACRES

ALA V/ : 380 400
ARIZ 1/ 142 112
ARK 1/ 2 1,400 570
CALIF 1/ 784 838
colo 1/ : 3,270 3,540
DEL vA z 49 43
FLA 1/2/ : 130
GA / 2 890 825
IDAHO : 1,280 1,350
ML o1/ 1,600 750
IND 1/ 1,050 700
IOWA 1/ $ 100 112
KANS 1/ : 11,200 11,700
KY 1/ : 500 310
LA 1/ 320 220
MD i/ 3 140 130
MICH 1/ : 800 750
MINN 3 2,553 2,563
Miss t/ 660 350
MO If 2,050 1,370
MONT : 4,640 35680
NEBR 1/ 2,250 2,300
NEY o1/ 24 23
NJ / z 39 37
NMEX 1/0 460 550
NY f/f 3 170 135
NC Vv : 620 760
N DAK : 8,660 8,650
OHIO 1/ +100 950
OKLA 1/ 5,300 5,500
OREG : 115 1,045
PA t/t 220 210
sc WV : 380 420
S DAK : 3,662 3,775
TENN t/ z 535 260
TEX 1/ 5,000 5,850
UTAH 1/ 231 255
VA WV rT 275 300
WASH : 2,610 2,690
WA 1/3 10 8
wis V/ : 177 157
WYO If 282 290
us 66,928 64,608

V/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

YEAR

RED 2/ : RED 2/
1983 1,197,893 504,175
1964 1,250,527 531,786
1985 3. 1,239,399 369, 952
/

AT 5~YEAR

WHITE 2/3

ALL WHEA

BUSHELS

39.0
90.0
44.0
78.9
35.3
41.0

35.0
63.6
44.0
46.0
35.0
38.5
38.0
41.0
43.0
57.0
47.3
38.0
41.0
22.6
36.0
76.7
43.0
26.0
46.0
43.0
32.8
44.0
36.0
61.8
38.0
38.0
34.4
40.0
30.0
35.5
45.0
61.4
40.0
56.6
28.6
38.8

T

82.0
40.8
42.0
29.0
30.0
55.8
48.0
53.0
40.0
38.0
35.0
34.0
45.0
64.0
51.1

31.0
39.0
14.2
41.0
70.0
44.0
36.0
48.0
30.0
33.3
60.0
30.0
53.8
39.0
27.0
28.6
32.0
32.0
36.0
34.0
47.8
45.0
47.9
24.5

15,180
11,094
58,500
46, 560

122,103

2,106

30,940
91,710
64,400
49,470
1,900
448,200
16,120
7,500
5,371
35,770
78,960
20,400
70,300
136,930
98,900
1,260
1,520
13,630
7,360
15,980
194,130
58,800
150,500
65,570
7,600
10,500
89,729
19,800
161,000
8,027
14,280
172,570
378
5,812
8,964

PRODUCTION

1,000 BUSHELS

14,820
12,780
61,600
61,840

115,300

2,009

31,150
81,400
70,400
48,300

3,500

431,200
19,000
13,120

6,020
45,600

120,711
25,080
84,050

104,655
81,000

1,840
1,677
11,960
7,820
26,660

284,190
48,400

190,800
68,945

8,360
14,440

126,038
21,400

150,000

8,199
12,375
160,350
400
10,018
8,072

13,200
9,804
18,240
68,716
144,300
1,806
3,770
24,750
75,300
36,000
37,100
4,480
444,600
10,850
7,480
5,850
48,000
130,885
10,850
53,430
52,100
94,300
1,610
1,628
19,800
6,480
22,800
288,000
57,000
165,000
56,200
8,190
11,340
108,040
8,320
187,200
9,190
10,200
128,540
360
7,527
7,060

37.2 2,419,824 2, 595, 479 2,400,296

RED 2/

1,000 BUSHELS

286,236
229,933

322,728
278,333 409,036
435,278

INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES.

SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY

2/

3/ (tNDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1985,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985

BH5

DURUM

72,979
103,439
100,115

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

35,813 2,
22,358 2,
25,619 2,

419,824
595,479
400,296

WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED

THE 5-YEAR VARIETAL

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SI

INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
1983 AND 1984 REVISED BASED ON 1984 WHEAT VARIETY SURVEY.

RS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION

UNITED STATES, 1975-85 (1977=100)

HAY : : :
AND : FOOD : SUGAR:
GRAINS : CROPS :

YEAR : :

:ALL 1/: FEED

3 > GRAINS : FORAGE :
1975 2 93 oh] 100
1976 2 92 96 94
1977 : 100 100 100
1978 : 102 108 106
1979 113 116 108
1980 : 107 97 98
1981 : 116 121 106
1982 : 118 124 N10
1983 : 88 67 101
1984 : 110 115 107
1985 15 129 106

108 114 58
107 W2 74
100 100 100

93 101 76
108 94 102
121 97 79
144 107 109
140 96 85
17 96 54
129 95 90
ve 96 95

COTTON : TOBACCO :OEL CROPS

114 86
112 74
100 100
106 105
80 129
93 99
108 1144
104 124
74 89
90 106
80 116

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE

GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

APPROVED:

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with

related information on selected agricultural commodities. e
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
Raymond R. Hancock, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,

Rich D. Allen,
Donald G. Gerhardt,
Robert L. Addison,
James E. Brewster,
William N. Dowdy,
Barry L. Ford,

G. Dean Hasenmyer,
Carol C. House,
Doyle C. Johnson,
Gregory R. Kimmet,
Darwin E. Ransom,

Vaughn L. Siegenthaler.

A-2

These data were

John D. Witzig,
George R. Knight,
Douglas C. Bond,
Arvin R. Budge,

S. Radley Edwards,
Richard S. Geesey,
Craig M. Hayes,
Clifton D. James,
Stephen A. Kellogg,
Gary A. Nelson,
Barbara N. Sanford,

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUGARBEETS 1/

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

3 3 IND

1984 : 1985 1985
1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
208.0 195.0 24.7 23.5 3,938 5,138 4,583
44.2 2.9 21.8 18.0 603 964 52
144.0 152.0 23.0 23.5 3,487 3,312 3,572
Tal 0 17.2 0.0 95 122 QO
108.0 123.0 19.6 19.5 1,976 2,117 2,399
261.0 275.0 16.6 18.5 4,662 4,333 5,088
24.6 42.8 16.9 20.0 818 416 856
67.5 57.0 21.9 23.0 1,233 1,480 1,311
139.1 142.0 16.6 17.0 2,404 2,309 2,414
10.7 12.5 18.8 19.0 222 201 238
11.6 11.8 26.5 27.0 316 307 319
37.8 37.0 21.8 22.5 622 824 833
32.7 49.9 20.0 22.0 616 654 1,098

1,096.3 1,100.9 20.2 20.7 20,992 22,177 22,763

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
FLA 3 387.0 388.0 32.6 32.0 11,552 12,617 12,416
HAW z 95.2 89.0 91.2 90.0 9,159 8,684 8,010
LA : 230.0 245.0 22.0 24.0 6,328 5,060 5,880
TEX 35.1 32.9 27.9 32.0 1,122 979 1,053
us 747.3 754.9 3.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FLAXSEED*

AREA HARVESTED

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS ,
MINN 3 45 56 14.5 14.5 938 653 812
N DAK : 390 490 12.5 13.0 4,600 4,875 6,370
S DAK 2 103 95 14.5 14.0 1,365 1,494 1,330
us 538 641 13.1 13.3 6,903 7,022 8,512
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
AREA HARVESTED t YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE

1984 : 1985 1984 1985 1983 : 1984 1985

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 2 1,370 1,120 21,0 23.0 30,000 28,770 25,760
ARK : 3,900 3,700 26.0 26.0 70,300 101,400 96,200
DEL 1/ : 250 240 24,0 26.0 7,250 6,000 6,240
FLA / 3 325 250 24.0 25.0 7,800 7,800 6,250
GA 3 2,000 1,750 20.0 26.0 42,000 40,000 45,500
{LL : 9,020 8,950 32.0 38.0 266,975 288,640 340,100
'ND a 4,350 4,460 34.5 38.0 122,450 150,075 169,480
1OWA : 8,400 8,150 31.5 38.0 278,600 264,600 309,700
KANS : 1,620 1,460 17.5 32.0 24,320 28,350 46,720
KY 3 1,460 1,230 29.0 32.0 24,480 42,340 39,360
LA : 2,380 2,190 27.0 25.0 68,120 64,260 54,750
MD 3 425 400 29.0 29.0 10,010 12,325 11,600
MICH z 1,190 1,090 27.0 32.0 33,800 32,130 34,880
MINN 8 5,240 5,140 33.0 35.0 151,800 172,920 179,900
MISS : 3,200 2,700 24.0 25.0 58,900 76,800 67,500
“oO z 5,300 5,180 20.5 34.0 103,000 108,650 176,120
NEBR : 2,550 2,360 25.0 36.0 58,995 63,750 84,960
NJ / : 133 128 31.0 28.0 3,059 4,123 3,584
NC 3 1,790 1,730 26.0 27.0 33,000 46,540 46,710
N DAK 1/ 3 740 540 23.0 23.0 14,310 17,020 12,420
OHIO : 3,770 3,870 36.5 39.0 104,960 137,605 150,930
OKLA 1/ 3 220 190 19.0 22.0 3,910 4,180 4,180
PA 1/ : 170 170 35.0 29.0 3,480 5,950 4,930
sc z 1,490 1,260 20.0 24.0 23,595 29,800 30,240
S$ DAK 3 1,360 1,260 23.0 31.0 26,103 31,280 39,060
TENN : 1,850 1,360 26.0 28.0 31,520 48,100 38,080
TEX 3 410 320 29.0 24.0 9,450 11,890 7,680
VA : 730 695 29.5 29.0 9,760 21,535 20,155
WIS V/ 3 450 330 31.0 30.0 13,825 13,950 9,900
us : 66,093 62,223 28.2 33.2 1,635,772 1,860,783 2,062,889

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Hot, dry weather during August pushed Idaho's harvest to 70 percent
completion, well ahead of average; dry weather lowered yields. Consistent
rainfall] statewide for most of August has delayed North Dakota's harvest; as
of September 1, only 61 percent of the acreage had been combined compared with
94 percent last year and 80 percent average. The rainfall and high humidity
also led to some quality problems. Minnesota's harvest is 55 percent complete
which trails average progress by 33 points. Harvest lags average progress in
South Dakota; some sprouting in the windrows has occurred.

RICE: Production for 1985 is forecast at 126 million hundredweight (5.72 mil-

lion metric tons), down 8 percent from last year but 26 percent above
the PIK program crop of 1983. Acreage for harvest is down 12 percent from
1984. The lower acreage is partially offset by a record high yield.

Yield per acre is expected to average a record high 5148 pounds, up 222
pounds from last year and 101 pounds above August 1. An increase in acreage
planted to new, high yielding varieties plus generally favorable weather has
resulted in record yields in most States. Yields increased from August } in:
Arkansas, 10 pounds; Louisiana, 300 pounds; Mississippi, 200 pounds; and
Texas, 200 pounds.

Crop development as of September 1 was well ahead of normal in
Mississippi, about norma) in Arkansas, California and Louisiana, but lagged
behind normal in Texas. In Texas, only 88 percent of the crop was turning
color and 59 percent was harvested. Normally, the crop in Texas would be 100
percent ripe and 92 percent harvested by September 1. In Mississippi, the
crop was in good condition, with harvest 20 percent complete compared with 6
percent average. In Arkansas, the crop was in mostly good to excellent
condition with 93 percent of the crop headed compared with 88 percent
average. California had 85 percent headed compared with 82 percent average.
Harvest should begin the first week in September. In Louisiana, the crop is
97 percent headed, 77 percent ripe and 57 percent harvested, compared with an
average of 96 percent, 76 percent, and 65 percent, respectively. In
mid-August, hurricane Danny caused severe lodging on a small percentage of the
Louisiana crop but did little damage to the Arkansas or Mississippi crops.

FLAXSEED: Production is forecast at 8.5] million bushels (216 thousand metric

tons), up 2] percent from 1984 and 23 percent from 1983. Yield per
acre is forecast at 13.3 bushels, up 0.5 of a bushel from August 1 and 0.2 of
a bushel higher than last year. During August, yields increased in North
Dakota and South Dakota while remaining unchanged in Minnesota.

In North Dakota and South Dakota growing conditions improved during August
with improved topsoil moisture. Rainfall} and high humidity have hampered
harvest progress in both States. As of September 1, 10 percent of the crop
had been harvested in North Dakota compared with 40 percent last year and an
average of 26 percent, South Dakota harvest was 57 percent complete on
September 1.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 2.06 billion bushels (56.1 million metric

tons}, 11 percent above Jast year and 26 percent above 1983. If
realized, this will be the third largest crop of record. Yield is forecast at
a record high 33.2 bushels per acre, up 5 bushels from last year and 1.7
bushels more than the August | forecast. The 62.2 million acres (25.2 million
hectares) for harvest is down 6 percent from last year and fractionally below
1983.

Soybean growing conditions generally improved during August. Adequate
moisture and cooler temperatures helped increase yields in most States. Crop
development slowed in August, but still remained ahead of last year and the
five year average. As of September 1, 93 percent of the soybeans had set pods
compared with 89 percent last year and the average.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


POTATOES: Summer potatoes are forecast at a record high 27.3 million cwt (1.24

million metric tons), 18 percent above last year. Harvested area is
set at 113 thousand acres (45.7 thousand hectares), up 5 percent from last
year and 13 percent above 1983. The average yield of 242 cwt per acre is a
record high for the season, topping the previous record of 225 cwt. set in
982.

In the Del-Mar-Va Peninsula, harvest was virtually complete by September 1,
a week ahead of schedule. Some fields were by-passed because of low prices.
New Jersey potatoes are about half dug and harvest remains active, but some
growers say they will stop digging and wait for better prices.

Michigan potatoes are of excellent quality, with good growing conditions
through August. Recent rains have slowed harvest. Some fields were plowed
under in Minnesota, where potatoes were too low-priced to harvest. Nebraska
harvest is active with above average yields reported. Texas summer crop
yields are down from last year.

Colorado yields are good but highly variable. Market prices are poor and
the outlook not promising. California harvest continues in the Riverside area
where yield and quality are good.

POTATOES - 1984 REVISED: Final production of U.S. potatoes in 1984 totaled

363 million cwt (16.4 million metric tons), up 9
percent from 1983 and 2 percent above 1982 output. Harvested area, at 1.30
million acres (527 thousand hectares), is 5 percent larger than 1983 and 3
percent above 1982. The average yield of 279 cwt per acre is 10 cwt above
1983 but 1 cwt short of the record high set in 1982.

Fall production finished the season at 3173, million cwt (14.2 million
metric tons), up 6 percent from 1983 and the second largest fall crop of
record. Harvested area totaled 1.09 million acres (443 thousand hectares), a
gain of 4 percent from 1983 and 2 percent above 1982. Yields averaged 286 cwt
per acre, up 6 cwt from 1983, but 2 cwt short of the record high set in 1982.

SWEETPOTATOES: The 1985 sweetpotato crop is forecast at 13.9 million cwt (630

thousand metric tons), up 7 percent from last year. Area for
harvest is estimated at 106 thousand acres (42.9 thousand hectares), a gain of
2 percent from 1984 while the average yield, at a record high 131 cwt per
acre, is up 6 cwt from 1984.

In North Carolina, recent rains have raised concerns about an otherwise
good to excellent crop. By September 1, harvest was underway with less than
10 percent dug. Early yields are good.

In Georgia, heavy rains from Hurricane Elena halted fieldwork but littie
crop damage was noted. Wet conditions in Alabama have caused some
sweetpotatoes to sour and rot.

Harvest is underway in Louisiana, with 42 percent harvested by September 1,
somewhat ahead of schedule, The crop is reported to be in fair to good
condition. In Texas, yields are running higher than last year but some fields
are dry. Digging in California has started on early varieties. Vine growth
is excellent with the help of cooler weather.

TOBACCO: All tobacco production is forecast at 1.53 billion pounds (693 thou-

sand metric tons), 12 percent below last year but 1 percent above
the August 1 forecast. Yield prospects improved from August 1 in 8 of the 16
estimating States and deteriorated in 2 States. Yield per acre at 2182 pounds
is the same as a year ago but 21 pounds above the August 1 forecast. Farmers
plan to harvest 701 thousand acres (284 thousand hectares), 11 percent below
1984,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1985 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA