Cr Pr 2-2 (11-04)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released November 12, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 1 Percent from October Forecast

Soybean Production Up 1 Percent

Cotton Production Up 5 Percent

Orange Production Unchanged

Corn production is forecast at 11.7 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month and 16 percent above 2003. 

Based on conditions as of November 1, the yield is expected to average 160.2 bushels per acre, up 1.8 bushels from

October and 18.0 bushels above last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. 

The previous records for both were set last year when production was estimated at 10.1 billion bushels and yield

was 142.2 bushels per acre. Across the U.S., yields are forecast at record high levels in 19 of the 33 published corn

States. With the exception of Wisconsin, yields in the Corn Belt States are forecast at record highs as weather

conditions have been mostly favorable throughout the growing season.

Soybean production is forecast at 3.15 billion bushels, up 1 percent from October and 28 percent above 2003. If

realized, this would be the largest U.S. soybean crop on record. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are

expected to average a record high 42.6 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from October and 8.7 bushels above last

year. Producers in the Corn Belt, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and the Carolinas are realizing higher yields

than expected last month, while yield prospects decreased as harvest progressed in North Dakota and Minnesota. 

Area for harvest in the U.S. is forecast at 74.0 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 2 percent from

2003. 

All cotton production is forecast at 22.5 million 480-pound bales, up 5 percent from October and up 23 percent

from last year’s production. Yield is expected to average a record high 818 pounds per harvested acre, up

36 pounds from last month. If realized, the yield will be 88 pounds above the previous record high yield established

in 2003. Record high yields are expected in Arkansas, California, Mississippi, Missouri, New Mexico, North

Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas. Harvested area, at 13.2 million acres, is unchanged from October but

10 percent above 2003.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 2 NASS, USDA

The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2004-05 season, at 10.3 million tons, is unchanged from October 1 but down

20 percent from last season’s utilization. This forecast is as of November 1, and takes into account fruit loss caused

by the four hurricanes that affected citrus producing areas in Florida during the months of August and September. 

Florida’s all orange forecast, at 176 million boxes (7.92 million tons), is unchanged from October 1 but 27 percent

less than last season’s final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties are forecast at 92.0 million boxes

(4.14 million tons), unchanged from October 1 but 27 percent below last season’s final utilization. Valencia

oranges are forecast at 84.0 million boxes (3.78 million tons), 28 percent below last season’s final utilization. 

Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried over from October 1.

Due to the widespread hurricane damage this year, the Florida Citrus Industry requested that the Department of

Agriculture add a November citrus crop forecast. The November citrus forecast is based on the Size and Drop

Survey conducted in October by USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service's Florida Statistical Office. The

survey provides data about fruit size and droppage. Normally, the October survey will not provide enough new

information to change the initial forecast. The monthly size and drop survey data from October were analyzed for

any indication of fruit size or droppage changes from what were projected for the initial October forecast. The

November 1 forecasts for the other citrus States: Arizona, California, and Texas are carried forward from the

October Crop Production report. The schedule for all following Crop Production reports remains unchanged. 

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2004-05 season is unchanged from the October 1

forecast at 1.56 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is the same as the 2003-04 season’s yield of 1.56 gallons

per box as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. All projections of yield assume that the

processing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past several seasons. 

This report was approved on November 12, 2004.

Secretary of

Agriculture

Ann M. Veneman

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Grains & Hay

Corn for Grain .......................................................................... 4

 Plant Population Per Acre .............................................................. 23

 Ears Per Acre ........................................................................ 24

 Percentage Distribution by Plant Population ................................................ 25

 Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Width ................................................. 26

 Percentage Distribution by Measure Row Width and Average Row Width ......................... 27

Rice .................................................................................. 6

 Rice, by Class ......................................................................... 6

Selected Small Grains, Acres, Yield, and Production ........................................... 15

Selected Small Grains, Stocks ............................................................. 16

Sorghum for Grain ...................................................................... 5

Wheat, by Class ........................................................................ 15

Oilseeds

Peanuts ............................................................................... 8

Soybeans .............................................................................. 7

 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet ...................................................... 28

 Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width ........................ 29

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

Cotton ................................................................................ 9

 Cumulative Boll Counts ................................................................ 30

Cottonseed ............................................................................ 8

Sugarbeets ............................................................................ 10

Sugarcane ............................................................................ 10

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

Dry Edible Peas ........................................................................ 11

Austrian Winter Peas .................................................................... 11

Lentils ............................................................................... 10

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts 

Papayas .............................................................................. 13

Citrus

Grapefruit ............................................................................ 12

Lemons .............................................................................. 12

Oranges .............................................................................. 12

Tangelos ............................................................................. 12

Tangerines ............................................................................ 12

Temples .............................................................................. 12

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Potatoes .............................................................................. 13

 Fall Percent of Major Varieties Planted .................................................... 14

Crop Comments .......................................................................... 34

Crop Summary ........................................................................... 17

Information Contacts ...................................................................... 43

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ................................................... 41

Weather Maps ............................................................................ 31

Weather Summary ........................................................................ 33
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 4 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

190

350

170

890

162

285

11,050

5,390

12,000

2,500

1,080

500

410

2,090

6,650

530

2,800

7,700

61

48

440

680

1,170

3,070

190

890

215

3,850

630

1,650

330

70

2,850

248

71,139

210

300

190

1,000

155

280

11,550

5,500

12,300

2,750

1,110

405

420

1,950

6,900

440

2,850

7,900

72

49

450

760

1,500

3,100

205

900

285

4,100

610

1,600

340

100

2,750

280

73,311

122.0

140.0

160.0

135.0

123.0

129.0

164.0

146.0

157.0

120.0

137.0

134.0

123.0

126.0

146.0

135.0

108.0

146.0

113.0

180.0

121.0

106.0

112.0

156.0

125.0

115.0

105.0

111.0

131.0

118.0

115.0

195.0

129.0

134.8

142.2

120.0

140.0

165.0

132.0

144.0

130.0

180.0

167.0

180.0

148.0

150.0

135.0

152.0

127.0

155.0

136.0

156.0

168.0

128.0

180.0

121.0

115.0

110.0

160.0

140.0

134.0

97.0

120.0

140.0

133.0

145.0

200.0

136.0

144.0

158.4

123.0

140.0

165.0

128.0

144.0

130.0

180.0

169.0

183.0

151.0

150.0

135.0

152.0

132.0

157.0

136.0

159.0

168.0

135.0

180.0

121.0

115.0

110.0

160.0

135.0

145.0

100.0

127.0

140.0

135.0

147.0

200.0

136.0

144.0

160.2

23,180

49,000

27,200

120,150

19,926

36,765

1,812,200

786,940

1,884,000

300,000

147,960

67,000

50,430

263,340

970,900

71,550

302,400

1,124,200

6,893

8,640

53,240

72,080

131,040

478,920

23,750

102,350

22,575

427,350

82,530

194,700

37,950

13,650

367,650

33,428

10,113,887

25,830

42,000

31,350

128,000

22,320

36,400

2,079,000

929,500

2,250,900

415,250

166,500

54,675

63,840

257,400

1,083,300

59,840

453,150

1,327,200

9,720

8,820

54,450

87,400

165,000

496,000

27,675

130,500

28,500

520,700

85,400

216,000

49,980

20,000

374,000

40,320

11,740,920

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop

Production 2004 Summary."
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 5 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

 Sts 1

US

210

160

105

2,900

165

210

500

62

250

150

2,850

236

7,798

58

200

95

2,900

80

145

420

90

230

160

2,050

131

6,559

82.0

27.0

82.0

45.0

85.0

77.0

62.0

27.0

37.0

45.0

54.0

75.5

52.7

84.0

35.0

107.0

75.0

70.0

103.0

82.0

50.0

53.0

46.0

65.0

76.7

70.4

84.0

35.0

109.0

77.0

70.0

103.0

90.0

50.0

55.0

46.0

65.0

76.0

71.9

17,220

4,320

8,610

130,500

14,025

16,170

31,000

1,674

9,250

6,750

153,900

17,818

411,237

4,872

7,000

10,355

223,300

5,600

14,935

37,800

4,500

12,650

7,360

133,250

9,950

471,572

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be published

in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary."
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 6 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,455

507

450

234

171

180

2,997

1,560

600

530

233

194

217

3,334

6,590

7,620

5,870

6,800

6,130

6,600

6,645

6,800

8,100

5,300

6,900

6,350

6,600

6,763

6,800

8,400

5,350

6,900

6,400

6,600

6,828

95,860

38,624

26,397

15,912

10,484

11,880

199,157

106,080

50,400

28,355

16,077

12,416

14,322

227,650

Rice: Production by Class, United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain 1 All

1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

2002

2003

2004 2

157,243

149,011

166,872

52,201

47,440

57,388

1,516

2,706

3,390

210,960

199,157

227,650

 1 Sweet rice production included with short grain in 2003 and 2004 but not in previous years. 2 The 2004 rice production by class estimates are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared

to the all rice yield.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 7 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

160

2,890

178

180

10,260

5,370

10,550

2,480

1,240

740

430

1,990

7,450

1,430

4,950

4,500

88

138

1,400

3,050

4,280

245

375

420

4,200

1,120

185

480

1,670

27

72,476

195

3,150

207

260

9,850

5,430

10,150

2,700

1,290

1,070

490

1,990

7,200

1,630

4,940

4,750

101

173

1,470

3,670

4,420

290

395

520

4,090

1,180

275

520

1,550

34

73,990

36.0

38.5

36.0

33.0

37.0

38.0

32.5

23.0

43.5

34.0

37.0

27.5

32.0

39.0

29.5

40.5

34.0

35.0

30.0

29.0

38.5

26.0

41.0

28.0

27.5

42.0

29.0

34.0

28.0

36.1

33.9

37.0

40.0

42.0

30.0

49.0

51.0

47.0

41.0

42.0

31.0

41.0

35.0

36.0

39.0

44.0

47.0

42.0

36.0

32.0

27.0

46.0

30.0

45.0

26.0

34.0

40.0

31.0

37.0

35.0

34.2

42.0

37.0

40.0

42.0

30.0

50.0

53.0

49.0

41.0

42.0

31.0

42.0

36.0

34.0

39.0

46.0

48.0

42.0

36.0

33.0

25.0

47.0

30.0

47.0

27.0

34.0

40.0

31.0

37.0

35.0

34.2

42.6

5,760

111,265

6,408

5,940

379,620

204,060

342,875

57,040

53,940

25,160

15,910

54,725

238,400

55,770

146,025

182,250

2,992

4,830

42,000

88,450

164,780

6,370

15,375

11,760

115,500

47,040

5,365

16,320

46,760

975

2,453,665

7,215

126,000

8,694

7,800

492,500

287,790

497,350

110,700

54,180

33,170

20,580

71,640

244,800

63,570

227,240

228,000

4,242

6,228

48,510

91,750

207,740

8,700

18,565

14,040

139,060

47,200

8,525

19,240

54,250

1,162

3,150,441

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary."
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 8 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

185.0

115.0

540.0

17.0

100.0

35.0

17.0

270.0

33.0

1,312.0

195.0

130.0

610.0

16.0

105.0

32.0

33.0

235.0

32.0

1,388.0

2,750

3,000

3,450

2,700

3,200

2,800

3,400

3,000

2,900

3,159

2,700

2,300

3,000

3,000

3,200

3,300

3,200

3,300

3,100

2,972

2,800

2,600

3,000

3,000

3,400

3,250

3,400

3,250

3,200

3,027

508,750

345,000

1,863,000

45,900

320,000

98,000

57,800

810,000

95,700

4,144,150

546,000

338,000

1,830,000

48,000

357,000

104,000

112,200

763,750

102,400

4,201,350

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Production

2002 2003 2004 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 6,183.9 6,664.6 8,245.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 9 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

510.0

213.0

945.0

545.0

1,290.0

510.0

1,090.0

390.0

38.0

770.0

170.0

218.0

530.0

4,350.0

85.0

172.0

11,826.0

2.4

149.0

6.0

20.0

177.4

510.0

215.4

945.0

694.0

1,290.0

510.0

1,090.0

390.0

44.0

770.0

170.0

218.0

530.0

4,370.0

85.0

172.0

12,003.4

535.0

236.0

920.0

557.0

1,260.0

490.0

1,090.0

385.0

64.0

725.0

195.0

218.0

540.0

5,500.0

81.0

174.0

12,970.0

3.0

219.0

11.0

20.0

253.0

535.0

239.0

920.0

776.0

1,260.0

490.0

1,090.0

385.0

75.0

725.0

195.0

218.0

540.0

5,520.0

81.0

174.0

13,223.0

772

1,239

916

1,317

785

967

934

862

884

646

616

718

806

478

674

576

723

920

1,194

1,056

1,056

1,170

772

1,236

916

1,290

785

967

934

862

908

646

616

718

806

480

674

576

730

673

1,322

976

1,508

667

764

925

860

938

781

645

731

827

637

836

607

771

960

1,414

916

1,032

1,357

673

1,317

976

1,481

667

764

925

860

934

781

645

731

827

639

836

607

782

727

1,342

1,028

1,508

686

784

960

960

938

847

714

815

844

672

889

607

808

960

1,425

916

1,032

1,366

727

1,338

1,028

1,485

686

784

960

960

934

847

714

815

844

673

889

607

818

820.0

550.0

1,804.0

1,495.0

2,110.0

1,027.0

2,120.0

700.0

70.0

1,037.0

218.0

326.0

890.0

4,330.0

119.4

206.5

17,822.9

4.6

370.5

13.2

44.0

432.3

820.0

554.6

1,804.0

1,865.5

2,110.0

1,027.0

2,120.0

700.0

83.2

1,037.0

218.0

326.0

890.0

4,374.0

119.4

206.5

18,255.2

810.0

660.0

1,970.0

1,750.0

1,800.0

800.0

2,180.0

770.0

125.0

1,280.0

290.0

370.0

950.0

7,700.0

150.0

220.0

21,825.0

6.0

650.0

21.0

43.0

720.0

810.0

666.0

1,970.0

2,400.0

1,800.0

800.0

2,180.0

770.0

146.0

1,280.0

290.0

370.0

950.0

7,743.0

150.0

220.0

22,545.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-lb. net weight bale. 3 Other States include FL and KS. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary."
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 10 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH

OR

WA

WY

US

50.2

27.4

207.0

178.0

487.0

51.5

42.4

255.0

1.9

9.8

4.0

33.7

1,347.9

49.0

33.4

192.0

163.0

479.0

52.2

47.6

256.0

1.6

12.5

3.8

35.9

1,326.0

36.5

23.5

29.2

19.1

20.6

25.4

20.3

20.4

24.2

30.7

40.3

22.3

22.7

38.0

22.7

27.1

19.0

19.9

21.0

20.0

19.5

21.5

29.0

37.6

22.5

21.7

39.0

24.2

27.5

20.0

20.7

21.0

21.4

20.0

21.5

28.3

37.4

23.0

22.4

1,832

644

6,044

3,400

10,032

1,308

861

5,202

46

301

161

752

30,583

1,911

808

5,280

3,260

9,915

1,096

1,019

5,120

34

354

142

826

29,765

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA

and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

438.0

21.3

490.0

45.1

994.4

420.0

24.1

475.0

42.3

961.4

39.3

97.7

26.2

37.8

34.0

36.0

94.0

24.0

36.0

31.5

36.0

94.0

24.0

37.0

31.6

17,231

2,082

12,838

1,706

33,857

15,120

2,265

11,400

1,565

30,350

 1 Net tons.

Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

WA

US

68.0

30.0

55.0

93.0

246.0

72.0

78.0

100.0

95.0

345.0

66.0

26.0

54.0

91.0

237.0

70.0

65.0

94.0

93.0

322.0

Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

MT

ND

WA

US

950

1,050

1,170

1,000

1,030

1,100

1,400

1,370

1,200

1,268

627

273

632

910

2,442

770

910

1,288

1,116

4,084
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 11 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

OR

WA

US

55.0

33.0

160.0

6.5

83.0

337.5

57.0

68.0

310.0

7.0

85.0

527.0

54.0

31.0

155.0

6.5

82.0

328.5

55.0

59.0

296.0

6.8

84.0

500.8

Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

MT

ND

OR

WA

US

1,200

1,450

1,770

2,000

1,500

1,584

1,400

1,550

2,340

3,000

2,400

2,163

648

450

2,744

130

1,230

5,202

770

915

6,926

204

2,016

10,831

 1 Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas.

Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted November 1, 2004

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

OR

US

10.0

9.5

1.6

21.1

15.5

12.0

3.0

30.5

8.0

7.0

0.6

15.6

12.0

8.0

1.5

21.5

Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

MT

OR

US

1,400

800

1,000

1,115

1,400

1,000

1,600

1,265

112

56

6

174

168

80

24

272
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 12 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2002-2003, 2003-2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2004 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 Valencia

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 5

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 4 6

 CA 4 6

 FL

 US

Lemons 4

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

200

42,000

112,000

1,350

155,550

270

20,000

91,000

220

111,490

470

62,000

203,000

1,570

267,040

1,300

16,200

22,500

130

5,600

38,700

5,650

50,080

430

2,800

5,500

8,730

3,000

24,000

27,000

2,350

300

38,000

126,000

1,420

165,720

170

14,000

116,000

230

130,400

470

52,000

242,000

1,650

296,120

1,400

15,900

25,000

140

5,400

40,900

5,700

52,140

690

2,700

6,500

9,890

3,000

18,000

21,000

1,000

270

46,000

92,000

1,650

139,920

170

16,000

84,000

250

100,420

440

62,000

176,000

1,900

240,340

800

4,000

11,000

200

5,200

15,000

5,900

26,300

500

2,900

4,700

8,100

2,400

19,500

21,900

1,400

8

1,575

5,040

57

6,680

10

751

4,095

9

4,865

18

2,326

9,135

66

11,545

59

689

957

4

187

1,646

226

2,063

16

105

261

382

114

912

1,026

105

12

1,426

5,670

60

7,168

6

526

5,220

10

5,762

18

1,952

10,890

70

12,930

63

675

1,063

5

181

1,738

228

2,152

25

101

309

435

114

684

798

45

10

1,725

4,140

70

5,945

6

600

3,780

11

4,397

16

2,325

7,920

81

10,342

36

170

468

7

174

638

236

1,055

19

109

223

351

91

741

832

63

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, Temples-90;

tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of

tangerines in TX. 4 Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5 Includes seedy. 6 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 13 NASS, USDA

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2003-2004

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2003 2004

2003 2004 2003 2004

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Sep 2

Oct

2,370

2,375

2,110

2,100

1,565

1,575

1,370

1,365

3,025

3,450

2,715

3,265

 1 Utilized fresh production. 2 September 2004 revised for area.

Potatoes: Area Planted, Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,

by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2003-2004

Seasonal Group

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter 1

 Total

Spring 1

 Total

Summer 1

 Total

Fall

 CA

 CO

 ID

 10 SW Co

 Other ID

 IN

 ME

 MA

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NV

 NM

 NY

 ND

 OH

 OR

 Malheur

 Other OR

 PA

 RI

 SD 2

 UT 2

 WA

 WI

 Total

US

14.6

88.6

63.4

8.3

66.3

360.0

25.0

335.0

3.8

66.0

3.0

46.0

60.0

10.7

23.5

8.3

4.0

22.2

117.0

4.5

42.8

5.8

37.0

13.0

0.6

1.0

1.0

163.0

81.0

1,106.0

1,272.6

18.7

73.5

58.8

7.6

65.0

355.0

25.0

330.0

3.4

63.5

2.6

43.0

47.0

10.7

22.0

6.7

4.0

20.0

105.0

3.7

37.0

5.2

31.8

12.0

0.5

160.0

75.0

1,043.7

1,194.7

14.3

84.7

58.7

8.3

65.7

358.0

25.0

333.0

3.7

65.5

2.7

45.5

58.0

10.6

23.2

8.0

4.0

21.7

112.0

4.3

42.6

5.8

36.8

12.5

0.6

1.0

1.0

162.0

80.0

1,090.9

1,248.6

18.5

71.7

55.1

7.6

64.3

353.0

25.0

328.0

3.2

61.5

2.5

42.0

43.0

10.6

21.8

6.7

4.0

19.2

100.0

3.6

37.0

5.2

31.8

11.0

0.5

159.0

74.0

1,024.5

1,169.8

282

288

320

425

360

344

465

335

250

260

265

330

385

315

420

415

400

300

245

255

493

415

505

270

285

340

335

575

410

376

367

260

266

336

510

360

374

490

365

350

310

310

310

430

330

410

430

400

250

265

300

534

470

545

235

290

590

415

398

385

4,027

24,433

18,766

3,528

23,652

123,180

11,625

111,555

925

17,030

716

15,015

22,330

3,339

9,744

3,320

1,600

6,510

27,440

1,097

20,991

2,407

18,584

3,375

171

340

335

93,150

32,800

410,588

457,814

4,818

19,077

18,487

3,876

23,148

131,970

12,250

119,720

1,120

19,065

775

13,020

18,490

3,498

8,938

2,881

1,600

4,800

26,500

1,080

19,775

2,444

17,331

2,585

145

93,810

30,710

407,786

450,168

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Estimates discontinued in 2004.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 14 NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted, 2004 Crop

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 States, accounting for 89 percent of the

forecast U.S. fall potato production. Colorado data are from a growers potato variety survey. The remaining

7 States conduct objective yield surveys where all producing areas are sampled in proportion to planted acreage. 

Variety data shown below are actual percentages from these surveys.

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted,

Selected States and 8 States Total, 2004 Crop

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

CO

 R Norkotah

 Yukon Gold

 R Nugget

 Centennial R

 Rio Grande R

 Keystone R

 Other

Total

ID

 R Burbank

 R Norkotah

 Ranger R

 R Alturas

 Shepody

 Other

Total

ME

 R Burbank

 Frito-Lay

 Shepody

 Ontario

 Yukon Gold

 Superior

 R Norkotah

 Atlantic

 Katahdin

 Norland

 Snowden

 Norwis

 Goldrush

 Reba

 Monona

 Chieftain

 Centennial R

 Mainstay

 Other

Total

MN

 R Burbank

 Norland

 Yukon Gold

 Shepody

 Pontiac

 Dakota Pearl

 Cascade

 Dakota Rose

57.6

9.0

7.8

7.1

3.4

1.1

14.0

100.0

63.3

14.2

12.5

2.9

1.7

5.4

100.0

36.7

11.5

9.3

5.5

3.3

3.0

3.0

3.0

2.5

2.5

2.3

2.2

1.9

1.7

1.7

1.3

1.2

1.0

6.4

100.0

51.2

23.2

3.6

2.9

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.1

 Sangre

 R Norkotah

 Atlantic

 Goldrush

 Other

Total

ND

 R Burbank

 Shepody

 Frito- Lay

 Norland

 Ranger R

 Dakota Pearl

 NorValley

 Pontiac

 La Soda

 R Alturas

 Sangre

 Other

Total

OR

 Ranger R

 R Burbank

 R Norkotah

 Shepody

 R Alturas

 Frito-Lay

 Yukon Gold

 Other

Total

WA

 R Burbank

 Ranger R

 R Norkotah

 Umatilla R

 Shepody

 R Alturas

 Chieftain

 Frito-Lay

 Yukon Gold

 Pike

 Other

Total

WI

 R Burbank

 Frito-Lay

1.6

1.5

1.3

1.2

3.9

100.0

40.0

16.5

14.7

8.3

4.2

4.1

2.2

1.8

1.8

1.2

1.0

4.2

100.0

31.3

22.8

16.3

10.3

7.2

6.0

1.1

5.0

100.0

34.7

18.5

12.9

10.7

8.2

3.5

2.4

1.8

1.5

1.0

4.8

100.0

23.3

18.4

 R Norkotah

 Norland

 Goldrush

 Superior

 Silverton R

 Snowden

 Atlantic

 Pike

 Other

Total

TOTAL(8 States)

 R Burbank

 R Norkotah

 Ranger R

 Shepody

 Frito-Lay

 Norland

 R Alturas

 Umatilla R

 Yukon Gold

 Goldrush

 Superior

 Centennial R

 Dakota Pearl

 R Nugget

 Chieftain

 Silverton R

 Atlantic

 Ontario

 Snowden

 Pontiac

 Pike

 Rio Grande R

 NorValley

 Sangre

 La Soda

 Katahdin

 Norwis

 Cascade

 Dakota Rose

 Reba

 Monona

 Keystone R

 Mainstay

 Other

 Total

16.7

11.7

10.7

6.0

5.1

2.6

1.3

1.2

3.0

100.0

43.5

14.4

10.0

5.1

4.5

3.4

2.2

1.9

1.4

1.1

0.7

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

5.5

100.0
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 15 NASS, USDA

Selected Small Grains: Area Planted, Selected States

and United States, 2004 1

Crop

Area Planted

Minnesota Montana North Dakota Wyoming United States

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Durum

 Other Spring

310

130

1,728

1

1,700

105

1,000

5,470

570

3,000

490

1,600

8,195

1,750

6,200

50

90

160

10

4,085

4,527

59,674

2,561

13,763

 1 Updated from "Small Grains 2004 Summary" released September 30, 2004.

Selected Small Grains: Area Harvested, Selected States

and United States, 2004 1

Crop

Area Harvested

Minnesota Montana North Dakota Wyoming United States

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Durum

 Other Spring

190

115

1,636

1

1,610

40

830

5,025

545

2,850

220

1,480

7,775

1,600

5,950

15

75

141

6

1,792

4,021

49,999

2,363

13,174

 1 Updated from "Small Grains 2004 Summary" released September 30, 2004.

Selected Small Grains: Yield, Selected States

and United States, 2004 1

Crop

Yield

Minnesota Montana North Dakota Wyoming United States

Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Durum

 Other Spring

70.0

68.0

54.8

55.0

55.0

60.0

59.0

34.5

33.0

31.0

64.0

62.0

39.4

33.0

41.0

53.0

92.0

26.6

40.0

64.7

69.4

43.2

38.0

43.2

 1 Updated from "Small Grains 2004 Summary" released September 30, 2004.

Selected Small Grains: Production, Selected States

and United States, 2004 1

Crop

Production

Minnesota Montana North Dakota Wyoming United States

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Durum

 Other Spring

13,300

7,820

89,605

55

88,550

2,400

48,970

173,165

17,985

88,350

14,080

91,760

306,650

52,800

243,950

795

6,900

3,750

240

115,935

279,253

2,158,245

89,893

568,918

 1 Updated from "Small Grains 2004 Summary" released September 30, 2004.

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2002-2004 1 2

Year

Winter Spring

Hard Total

Red

Soft

Red White HardRed White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

2002

2003

2004

620,328

1,070,996

856,211

320,968

380,435

380,305

195,705

265,290

262,918

351,439

499,674

525,467

37,478

31,728

43,451

79,960

96,637

89,893

1,605,878

2,344,760

2,158,245

 1 Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available. 2 Updated from "Small Grains 2004 Summary" released September 30, 2004.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 16 NASS, USDA

Selected Small Grains: Stocks by Position, Selected States

and United States, September 1, 2004 1

State

On

Farms

Off

Farms 2 Total AllPositions

Oats

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

MN

MT

ND

WY

Unall *

US

10,000

2,500

14,500

 *

17,000

74,300

11,888

50

1,190

 *

9,385

41,454

21,888

2,550

15,690

 *

35,166

115,754

Barley

MN

MT

ND

WY

Unall*

US

7,600

42,000

72,000

 *

17,000

175,300

21,402

7,290

20,000

 *

5,638

115,305

29,002

49,290

92,000

 *

47,677

290,605

Durum Wheat 3

ND

Oth Sts

US

46,000

20,120

66,120

6,500

18,158

24,658

52,500

38,278

90,778

All Wheat

MN

MT

ND

WY

Unall*

US

86,000

166,000

247,000

 *

23,000

790,600

24,271

19,780

51,500

 *

13,722

1,146,115

110,271

185,780

298,500

 *

131,625

1,936,715

* "Off farms unallocated" includes State data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations: "On farms unallocated" includes

minor producing States’ data not published separately. 1 Updated from "Grains Stocks" released September 30, 2004. 2 Included stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors. 3 Included in all wheat.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 17 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,348.0

78,736.0

4,597.0

730.0

3,022.0

1,348.0

9,420.0

62,141.0

45,384.0

2,915.0

13,842.0

1,082.0

595.0

110.0

1,344.0

1.3

221.0

73,404.0

2,344.0

13,479.6

13,301.0

178.6

1,365.4

21.1

1,406.1

337.5

246.0

1,272.6

14.6

88.6

63.4

1,106.0

95.8

4,527.0

80,968.0

4,085.0

720.0

3,364.0

1,380.0

7,528.0

59,674.0

43,350.0

2,561.0

13,763.0

868.0

629.0

68.5

1,429.0

11.8

142.0

75,065.0

1,864.0

13,763.0

13,508.0

255.0

1,349.8

30.5

1,373.4

527.0

345.0

1,194.7

18.7

73.5

58.8

1,043.7

99.1

4,727.0

71,139.0

6,528.0

63,342.0

23,578.0

39,764.0

2,220.0

620.0

2,997.0

319.0

7,798.0

343.0

53,063.0

36,753.0

2,869.0

13,441.0

1,068.0

583.0

107.0

1,312.0

1.2

212.0

72,476.0

2,197.0

12,003.4

11,826.0

177.4

1,347.9

994.4

411.2

15.6

1,346.9

328.5

237.0

5.9

0.2

28.7

78.2

1,248.6

14.3

84.7

58.7

1,090.9

15.8

92.6

0.4

4,021.0

73,311.0

61,589.0

22,226.0

39,363.0

1,792.0

3,334.0

320.0

6,559.0

49,999.0

34,462.0

2,363.0

13,174.0

832.0

608.0

65.9

1,388.0

11.4

133.0

73,990.0

1,780.0

13,223.0

12,970.0

253.0

1,326.0

961.4

409.6

21.5

1,250.1

500.8

322.0

0.2

28.0

1,169.8

18.5

71.7

55.1

1,024.5

96.3

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2004 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 18 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

58.9

142.2

16.2

2.48

3.24

2.03

65.0

18.5

6,645

27.1

52.7

10.4

44.2

46.7

33.7

39.5

1,416

17.9

723

3,159

949

1,286

33.9

1,213

730

723

1,170

22.7

34.0

1,952

1,115

1,672

1,584

1,030

1,407

37,500

1,903

89

367

282

288

320

376

113

172

69.4

160.2

2.69

3.48

2.25

64.7

6,828

26.9

71.9

43.2

43.5

38.0

43.2

1,517

3,027

42.6

1,346

818

808

1,366

22.4

31.6

2,156

1,265

1,495

2,163

1,268

40,000

1,982

385

260

266

336

398

278,283

10,113,887

105,864

157,123

76,307

80,816

144,383

11,450

199,157

8,634

411,237

3,552

2,344,760

1,716,721

96,637

531,402

1,512,250

6,664.6

10,426

77,372

4,144,150

1,139

272,555

2,453,665

2,665,226

18,255.2

17,822.9

432.3

30,583

33,857

802,654

174

22,515

5,202

2,442

673

8,300

6,000

54,565.1

6,924

457,814

4,027

24,433

18,766

410,588

1,778

15,891

5,000

279,253

11,740,920

165,920

77,371

88,549

115,935

227,650

8,615

471,572

2,158,245

1,499,434

89,893

568,918

1,261,820

8,245.0

4,201,350

3,150,441

2,395,199

22,545.0

21,825.0

720.0

29,765

30,350

883,168

272

18,693

10,831

4,084

6,000

55,537.9

450,168

4,818

19,077

18,487

407,786

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2004 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 19 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2003 2004 2005

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA) 3

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lbs

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,063

1,026

11,545

105

382

59

8,613.3

97.6

22,500.0

6,572.7

118.0

42,600.0

2,519.0

928.1

181.0

16.3

1,040,000

37.9

282,100

119,000

326.0

1,260

2,152

798

12,930

45

435

63

9,458.9

95.6

6,073.0

85.0

2,598.4

908.0

70.0

24.5

1,080,000

44.0

189,300

325.0

1,507

1,055

832

10,342

63

351

36

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2004 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2 Production years are 2002-03, 2003-2004, and 2004-2005. 3 September 1 forecast discontinued in 2004. Preliminary production estimate will be published in the "Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts 2004

Preliminary Summary" to be released in January 2005.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 20 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2003 2004 2003 2004

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,164,280

31,863,670

1,860,360

295,420

1,222,970

545,520

3,812,180

25,147,840

18,366,450

1,179,670

5,601,720

437,870

240,790

44,520

543,900

530

89,440

29,705,860

948,590

5,455,060

5,382,780

72,280

552,560

8,540

569,030

136,580

99,550

515,010

5,910

35,860

25,660

447,590

38,770

1,832,030

32,766,940

1,653,160

291,380

1,361,380

558,470

3,046,510

24,149,470

17,543,310

1,036,410

5,569,750

351,270

254,550

27,720

578,300

4,780

57,470

30,378,050

754,340

5,569,750

5,466,550

103,200

546,250

12,340

555,800

213,270

139,620

483,480

7,570

29,740

23,800

422,370

40,100

1,912,970

28,789,240

2,641,820

25,633,870

9,541,780

16,092,090

898,410

250,910

1,212,860

129,100

3,155,770

138,810

21,474,070

14,873,570

1,161,060

5,439,440

432,210

235,930

43,300

530,950

490

85,790

29,330,310

889,100

4,857,660

4,785,860

71,790

545,480

402,420

166,390

6,310

545,080

132,940

95,910

2,390

60

11,600

31,650

505,300

5,790

34,280

23,760

441,480

6,390

37,470

170

1,627,260

29,668,230

24,924,450

8,994,640

15,929,810

725,200

1,349,240

129,500

2,654,360

20,234,100

13,946,430

956,280

5,331,390

336,700

246,050

26,670

561,710

4,610

53,820

29,943,010

720,350

5,351,220

5,248,830

102,390

536,620

389,070

165,770

8,700

505,900

202,670

130,310

60

11,340

473,410

7,490

29,020

22,300

414,600

38,970

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2004 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 21 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.17

8.92

36.35

5.56

7.25

4.56

2.33

1.03

7.45

1.70

3.31

23.21

2.97

3.14

2.27

2.66

1.59

1.12

0.81

3.54

1.06

1.44

2.28

1.36

0.82

0.81

1.31

50.86

76.32

2.19

1.25

1.87

1.77

1.15

1.58

42.03

2.13

0.10

41.10

31.56

32.33

35.83

42.19

0.13

19.23

3.74

10.05

6.04

7.80

5.04

2.32

7.65

1.69

4.51

2.90

2.93

2.56

2.90

1.70

3.39

2.86

1.51

0.92

0.91

1.53

50.32

70.77

2.42

1.42

1.68

2.42

1.42

44.83

2.22

43.13

29.19

29.82

37.61

44.61

6,058,900

256,904,560

96,038,210

142,539,590

69,224,550

73,315,040

2,095,710

259,680

9,033,610

219,310

10,445,900

3,222,320

63,813,910

46,721,490

2,630,030

14,462,390

685,950

6,046,020

264,830

35,100

1,879,750

520

123,630

66,777,820

1,208,930

3,974,600

3,880,480

94,120

27,744,430

30,714,550

364,080

7,890

1,021,260

235,960

110,770

30,530

3,760

2,720

24,750

3,140

20,766,100

182,660

1,108,260

851,210

18,623,960

810

720,800

2,270

6,080,020

298,233,100

150,520,090

70,189,790

80,330,300

1,682,790

10,326,030

218,830

11,978,480

58,737,800

40,807,910

2,446,490

15,483,410

572,350

7,479,740

1,905,700

85,740,950

1,086,440

4,908,600

4,751,830

156,760

27,002,350

27,533,060

400,600

12,340

847,900

491,290

185,250

2,720

25,190

20,419,280

218,540

865,320

838,560

18,496,860

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2004 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 22 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2003 2004 2005

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA) 3

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

1,871,520

930,770

10,473,450

95,250

346,540

53,520

3,906,930

88,520

10,210

5,962,680

107,050

19,320

1,142,600

841,910

164,200

14,790

471,740

34,380

127,960

53,980

295,740

6,300

1,952,260

723,930

11,729,900

40,820

394,630

57,150

4,290,490

86,680

5,509,330

77,110

1,178,610

823,760

63,500

22,230

489,880

39,920

85,870

294,840

7,530

957,080

754,780

9,382,100

57,150

318,420

32,660

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2004 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2 Production years are 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05. 3 September 1 forecast discontinued in 2004. Preliminary production estimate will be published in the "Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts 2004

Preliminary Summary" to be released in January 2005.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 23 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States

during 2004. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to

obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey.

Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre,

Selected States, 2000-2004

State Month 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

SD 2

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

25,800

25,800

25,800

25,800

25,050

25,150

25,150

25,150

26,500

26,200

26,300

26,300

27,500

27,250

27,150

27,150

23,700

23,400

23,400

23,450

27,300

27,000

27,000

27,050

18,500

18,200

18,200

18,200

25,200

24,900

24,800

24,900

26,550

26,150

26,200

26,200

26,750

26,700

26,650

26,650

26,100

25,900

25,950

25,950

26,500

26,550

26,450

26,450

28,050

28,000

28,000

28,000

22,750

22,650

22,750

22,750

26,250

26,100

26,100

26,050

18,550

18,450

18,700

18,700

26,150

26,100

26,050

26,050

26,800

26,950

27,000

27,000

26,400

26,350

26,350

26,350

25,350

25,350

25,300

25,300

26,850

26,700

26,700

26,700

26,950

26,850

26,800

26,800

23,250

23,250

23,350

23,350

26,400

26,450

26,450

26,450

19,450

19,450

19,650

19,650

24,850

24,450

24,400

24,400

26,550

26,400

26,650

26,650

27,150

27,050

27,050

27,050

26,050

25,900

25,900

25,900

27,400

27,250

27,250

27,250

28,700

28,800

28,800

28,800

23,800

23,700

23,700

23,700

26,900

26,700

26,650

26,650

19,800

19,800

19,800

19,800

25,900

25,900

25,900

25,900

27,300

27,000

27,100

27,100

27,750

27,750

27,700

26,650

26,500

26,500

28,000

27,950

27,850

25,400

25,300

25,300

29,300

29,200

29,250

24,350

24,350

24,350

24,100

24,100

24,050

26,900

26,900

26,900

19,700

19,750

19,750

26,950

26,550

26,650

21,800

21,800

21,850

27,700

27,550

27,550

 1 Field counts began in 2004. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 24 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,

Selected States, 2000-2004

State Month 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

SD 2

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

25,500

25,450

25,450

25,450

24,500

24,550

24,650

24,650

26,000

25,600

25,650

25,650

27,350

27,350

27,250

27,250

22,800

22,750

22,700

22,750

26,500

26,350

26,350

26,350

17,550

17,500

17,500

17,500

24,450

24,250

23,950

24,100

26,100

25,500

25,550

25,550

25,650

25,550

25,550

25,550

25,500

25,350

25,400

25,400

25,450

25,350

25,250

25,250

27,500

26,750

26,700

26,700

22,200

21,950

22,050

22,050

25,550

25,350

25,350

25,350

18,050

17,800

18,000

18,000

25,550

25,250

25,150

25,100

26,100

26,100

26,100

26,100

25,050

25,050

25,000

25,000

23,900

23,650

23,650

23,650

25,950

25,800

25,800

25,800

26,550

26,150

26,100

26,100

21,650

21,250

21,200

21,200

25,800

25,700

25,650

25,650

16,700

15,950

15,950

15,950

23,700

22,400

22,350

22,350

25,950

25,050

25,250

25,250

26,700

26,700

26,650

26,650

25,350

25,400

25,350

25,350

26,700

26,550

26,600

26,600

28,300

28,650

28,600

28,600

22,950

22,650

22,600

22,600

26,550

26,350

26,300

26,300

18,300

17,850

17,800

17,800

25,500

25,700

25,750

25,750

26,150

26,300

26,250

26,250

27,350

27,400

27,400

26,200

25,950

26,050

27,350

27,550

27,500

25,350

25,400

25,400

29,000

29,250

29,150

24,400

24,250

24,250

23,650

24,000

24,050

26,550

26,700

26,650

19,100

19,800

20,000

25,950

26,000

26,000

21,950

22,700

22,700

25,600

27,150

26,800

 1 Field counts began in 2004. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 25 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Plant Population Per Acre

Selected States, 2000-2004

State Year

Plant Populations

Less than

20,000

20,000-

22,500

22,501-

25,000

25,001-

27,500

27,501-

30,000

More than

30,000

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

OH

SD 2

WI

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

7.7

4.2

5.6

3.4

4.4

8.9

7.1

10.4

5.5

4.1

3.6

5.1

3.6

1.5

2.9

33.9

6.1

1.9

4.4

1.2

2.5

11.3

32.2

25.5

17.5

16.3

18.5

11.3

7.8

16.4

5.0

2.8

33.0

9.3

5.2

5.9

6.8

9.1

10.0

9.2

8.9

4.5

3.6

12.7

7.7

8.4

8.0

5.2

10.8

6.9

7.8

7.7

2.6

11.3

7.3

3.7

5.1

2.4

3.8

15.7

9.5

13.6

11.8

10.8

13.3

12.2

5.2

16.4

8.9

7.5

16.5

8.1

9.1

4.7

8.2

6.8

20.7

19.2

17.8

16.4

9.8

25.9

18.6

20.1

19.6

23.3

17.2

20.1

17.4

14.0

9.2

3.8

11.6

12.3

16.5

8.4

3.8

31.3

10.6

14.9

17.0

17.9

12.9

17.4

22.4

21.8

19.8

18.7

21.4

20.9

13.0

18.8

13.7

12.5

32.1

28.3

28.3

30.1

23.6

27.8

32.0

32.5

34.4

30.8

31.4

27.4

30.3

27.6

26.8

12.3

19.5

21.6

29.1

22.3

11.9

22.6

18.8

16.2

24.8

24.6

20.2

30.4

29.2

20.9

36.6

34.6

15.5

22.2

27.2

23.5

19.2

21.6

18.8

26.1

24.9

28.4

34.6

16.5

25.0

18.2

22.1

23.8

26.2

25.9

28.1

32.3

34.6

17.9

28.7

34.0

29.7

33.2

33.8

13.0

18.5

21.3

19.7

20.8

19.8

21.7

25.9

20.0

18.8

24.3

6.8

22.1

23.4

33.0

30.2

21.6

10.7

13.0

14.5

17.2

24.0

8.2

9.6

10.4

10.4

12.8

10.8

14.6

12.8

16.9

23.9

20.8

26.8

26.5

15.2

32.5

44.2

6.1

10.4

8.5

9.2

9.6

15.3

7.0

9.5

4.5

10.9

12.1

6.8

17.4

22.1

14.1

21.9

28.4

 1 Field measurements began in 2004. 2 Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 26 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths,

Selected States, 2000-2004

State Year

Row Width (inches)

Less than

30 30 36 38 More than38

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

OH

SD 2

WI

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

6

5

4

6

4

1

3

3

3

3

6

2

14

25

20

26

28

2

3

3

7

3

8

1

1

1

3

10

2

2

4

3

3

225

226

227

236

255

140

149

142

155

157

214

227

225

216

217

103

127

133

128

144

135

97

156

143

155

154

173

108

109

114

95

107

74

57

58

71

68

78

33

21

24

23

11

18

16

17

13

13

27

15

20

17

17

18

9

8

5

6

10

74

93

83

80

72

11

5

3

5

9

9

10

11

8

5

16

16

11

8

5

7

3

1

6

7

41

40

42

45

33

1

7

7

8

6

3

10

9

10

5

8

6

1

2

1

1

1

19

21

19

13

11

10

1

6

1

2

1

1

1

 1 Field measurements began in 2004. 2 Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 27 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average

Row Width, Selected States, 2000-2004

State Year

Number

of

Samples

Row Width (inches) Average

Row

Width 20.5

or Less

20.6-

30.5

30.6-

34.5

34.6-

36.5

36.6-

38.5

38.6 &

Greater

Number Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Inches

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

OH

SD 2

WI

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

273

261

269

268

275

158

156

154

163

172

279

274

281

272

272

106

164

162

158

166

160

115

224

235

229

240

248

116

116

110

101

107

103

86

77

85

73

88

1.5

0.7

0.7

0.7

1.9

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.4

0.7

1.5

1.9

2.4

2.5

1.9

4.2

1.9

0.9

0.4

0.9

1.3

0.8

1.2

0.9

0.9

4.9

2.3

1.3

1.2

1.1

65.6

67.1

74.4

75.8

84.1

67.7

67.3

69.5

71.1

69.8

56.3

63.2

62.2

62.7

61.7

78.3

62.3

66.7

69.5

77.7

76.2

58.2

52.3

43.8

46.3

52.6

56.5

70.7

74.1

78.2

54.4

74.7

41.7

38.4

57.1

60.0

46.6

60.3

16.8

18.0

11.9

12.3

9.8

14.6

21.2

17.5

16.6

20.3

18.6

17.2

15.3

16.5

17.3

13.2

20.1

22.2

19.0

13.3

17.5

22.6

15.6

15.3

17.0

13.3

12.5

19.0

20.7

17.3

38.6

20.6

22.3

25.6

11.7

18.8

31.5

19.3

10.3

7.7

8.2

6.7

3.6

7.0

6.4

10.4

8.0

5.2

6.8

2.9

5.7

5.1

6.3

6.1

3.1

3.2

1.8

1.9

7.0

22.3

26.4

23.6

25.0

16.5

5.2

1.8

2.0

1.9

9.7

8.1

7.8

5.9

4.1

6.8

6.2

4.6

3.7

4.1

1.8

8.2

5.1

2.6

3.1

4.1

15.8

13.1

9.6

11.0

11.0

0.9

7.3

4.3

5.1

1.8

2.5

8.7

9.4

12.3

11.8

7.9

11.7

4.3

2.6

0.9

5.0

1.9

16.5

16.3

14.3

8.2

9.6

8.0

1.1

1.1

1.1

0.4

0.6

0.6

1.8

2.9

6.8

4.0

2.2

5.7

1.8

1.2

1.3

1.2

2.6

1.3

0.4

1.6

0.8

2.6

0.9

4.9

9.3

7.8

5.9

8.2

4.5

31.3

30.9

30.8

30.7

30.4

31.0

31.0

31.0

30.9

30.8

31.9

31.6

31.8

31.7

31.4

30.6

30.5

29.5

30.0

29.1

29.2

31.5

32.1

32.7

32.3

32.2

31.8

30.9

30.7

30.3

30.9

30.3

31.7

32.6

32.2

31.3

31.7

31.2

 1 Field measurements began in 2004. 2 Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 28 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing States

during 2004. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain

specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,

Selected States, 2000-2004

State Month 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Number Number Number Number Number

AR 1 2

IL

IN

IA

KS 3

MN

MO

NE

ND 3

OH

SD 3

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

2,678

1,859

1,835

2,162

1,996

2,020

2,021

1,917

1,786

1,784

1,784

1,830

1,674

1,660

1,660

1,607

1,509

1,507

1,507

1,974

1,769

1,782

1,793

1,795

1,617

1,619

1,619

1,893

1,625

1,685

1,697

2,260

1,867

1,817

2,041

1,932

1,932

1,932

2,003

1,882

1,880

1,869

1,809

1,778

1,787

1,796

1,492

1,433

1,475

1,475

1,424

1,732

1,874

1,921

1,961

1,932

2,003

2,048

1,801

1,834

1,785

1,785

1,952

1,785

1,795

1,802

1,773

1,677

1,680

1,680

1,988

1,828

1,867

1,867

1,688

1,785

1,739

1,715

1,427

1,609

1,681

1,705

1,548

1,517

1,587

1,592

1,593

1,495

1,499

1,492

1,800

1,606

1,634

1,634

1,786

1,692

1,582

1,582

1,749

1,629

1,647

1,647

1,582

1,417

1,440

1,440

1,144

1,455

1,547

1,523

1,727

1,642

1,636

1,636

1,791

1,898

1,764

1,752

2,446

2,483

2,070

1,923

1,943

1,909

1,866

1,917

1,772

1,731

1,737

1,482

1,588

1,639

1,487

1,406

1,446

1,798

1,943

1,998

1,835

1,836

1,895

1,114

1,148

1,243

1,808

1,873

1,840

1,248

1,332

1,302

 1 September data not available due to plant immaturity. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3 Field counts began in 2004.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 29 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width

and Average Width, Selected States, 2000-2004

State Year

Number

of

Samples

Row Width (inches) Average

Row

Width 10.0 & 1

Less 1 10.1-18.5

18.6-

28.5

28.6-

34.5

34.6 &

Greater

Number Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Inches

AR 2

IL

IN

IA

KS 3

MN

MO

NE

ND 3

OH

SD 3

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

113

123

232

214

208

216

202

219

143

153

149

142

157

205

207

204

203

207

92

95

91

103

92

101

121

126

130

126

128

82

93

89

97

101

100

125

131

132

132

130

108

46.2

40.6

47.9

44.6

41.3

36.9

35.4

32.2

73.1

70.2

57.7

56.9

47.4

19.6

16.7

14.5

13.1

15.0

17.4

23.7

14.8

19.9

19.6

20.8

33.5

31.3

24.6

24.3

32.4

17.1

19.9

16.5

10.8

14.4

35.0

77.2

67.8

71.5

69.6

70.0

12.9

12.6

19.7

20.0

36.2

33.4

44.8

46.2

49.6

17.8

19.5

31.2

33.2

43.0

25.2

27.0

26.3

32.3

35.3

27.7

19.5

25.8

24.3

31.5

25.2

40.8

43.7

48.1

50.2

46.5

26.8

30.9

29.5

29.4

35.6

53.5

19.6

21.8

23.9

27.0

25.8

41.7

16.6

16.8

11.9

0.9

1.7

2.1

3.5

2.7

2.1

1.0

2.0

1.1

1.6

7.8

9.8

7.9

6.2

8.0

9.2

12.1

17.0

20.9

10.9

20.3

8.3

2.0

6.9

5.6

4.7

6.1

8.3

5.7

5.2

5.4

8.5

1.2

3.1

1.5

0.4

1.1

17.1

20.6

17.2

11.3

16.4

22.6

14.8

13.9

14.4

7.0

8.6

8.4

8.8

8.0

43.5

39.4

45.9

43.0

37.9

41.3

42.6

41.9

33.0

36.9

30.7

15.7

19.0

16.5

17.1

12.9

34.1

26.5

31.8

44.8

31.2

3.0

2.0

6.9

2.3

3.0

3.1

21.8

4.0

5.7

8.9

1.9

1.0

1.4

1.0

1.1

0.0

0.7

0.7

0.0

0.0

3.9

7.1

5.4

5.4

3.8

4.4

2.1

0.5

1.9

1.1

3.0

1.7

4.0

3.9

2.8

3.5

15.9

14.4

16.5

9.8

13.4

0.0

0.0

0.4

0.8

0.0

0.0

6.5

17.1

17.5

16.6

14.9

16.0

15.5

15.2

15.3

10.9

11.6

12.5

12.4

12.8

21.9

22.5

23.0

22.3

21.3

22.2

20.8

21.5

20.2

19.6

20.2

15.9

16.5

17.1

16.9

15.8

23.0

21.6

22.8

24.0

22.3

13.1

9.6

11.3

10.2

10.1

10.5

20.1

 1 Broadcast soybeans included as "10.0 inches and less" but excluded in computation of average width. 2 Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3 Field measurements began in 2004.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 30 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during

2004. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific

counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, and Selected States, 2000-2004 1

State Month 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

874

767

755

755

755

760

790

801

800

800

597

631

621

629

629

722

692

674

674

674

657

665

652

650

650

670

724

743

747

747

408

388

397

404

448

747

780

816

756

756

939

902

921

918

918

590

677

651

664

664

625

592

582

588

588

754

696

680

679

679

719

722

696

705

705

441

435

439

445

445

840

763

784

772

772

945

1,041

1,009

1,011

1,011

569

604

591

600

608

663

756

749

742

742

802

783

768

767

767

636

629

560

567

564

536

511

520

497

497

798

755

744

744

744

973

945

893

893

893

559

646

643

665

664

681

778

775

775

775

837

824

811

808

808

628

630

632

632

632

465

431

429

435

433

864

771

753

954

952

945

646

690

686

635

707

691

808

789

780

758

719

732

639

672

593

 1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened

bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 31 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 32 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 33 NASS, USDA

October Weather and Crop Summary

The second half of October featured a phenomenal start to the 2004-05 Western wet season, establishing highelevation snow packs and aiding pastures, rangelands, and winter grains. However, Western rainfall also hampered

fieldwork, caused local flooding, and adversely affected unharvested cotton. Unusually heavy October rainfall was

also observed from the western and central Gulf Coast States northeastward into the Great Lakes region. Tropical

Storm Matthew, which made landfall in southern Louisiana on October 10, contributed to the wet pattern. 

Although the wet conditions slowed autumn fieldwork, flooding was minimal in part because heavy rainfall

followed a 6-week period in late August and September with little precipitation. Although there were a few pockets

of dryness on the Plains, especially in eastern portions of Nebraska and Colorado, most of the region had abundant

topsoil moisture for winter wheat emergence and establishment. Subsoil moisture shortages remained a concern,

however, across the northern half of the High Plains. Meanwhile on the southern High Plains, wet conditions

stalled fieldwork and threatened the quality of open-boll cotton and other unharvested summer crops. Elsewhere,

favorably dry weather prevailed in the Atlantic Coast States, following relentless tropical activity in August and

September.

Driven by sharply contrasting temperatures during the second half of October, monthly readings ranged from 5oF

below normal in parts of California to as much as 7oF above normal in the western and central Gulf Coast States. 

Temperatures generally averaged within 3oF of normal across the northern half of the United States, including the

Midwest, despite an early-October cold outbreak. Growing season-ending freezes struck the northern Corn Belt

from October 2-5, roughly on schedule, although some developmentally delayed corn and soybeans remained

vulnerable to freeze damage. The percentage of corn that had not reached the dent stage by October 3 was

25 percent (%) in Wisconsin, 20% in North Dakota, 11% in Michigan, and 5% in Minnesota. The percentage of

fields with soybean leaves still completely green included 12% in Wisconsin, 11% in Michigan, and 5% in North

Dakota.

October Crop Summary

The winter wet season in the Southwest began around midmonth, bringing cool, wet weather to the region. 

However, fieldwork and crop development were not significantly delayed. Elsewhere in the Nation, above-normal

temperatures prevailed in most areas, particularly in the Delta and Southeast. Along the central and western Gulf

Coast, temperatures averaged over 6 degrees Fahrenheit above normal. However, fieldwork was hampered by

periods of heavy rainfall. Moderate but persistent precipitation also limited harvesting across the Corn Belt and

Great Plains, with harvesting of summer crops falling further behind the normal pace. In the Pacific Northwest and

northern and central Rocky Mountains, mild temperatures and adequate rainfall were beneficial for winter wheat

emergence. Meanwhile, along the southern and middle Atlantic Coast, cotton harvest proceeded ahead of the

normal pace under mostly warm, dry conditions.

On October 3, the Nation’s corn crop was 23 percent harvested, 1 percentage point behind last year and 5 points

behind normal, slowed by developmental delays from the unusually cool summer. Persistent rainfall during

October further hampered fieldwork, particularly in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By month’s end,

harvest was 65 percent complete, 16 points behind last year and 15 points behind the 5-year average. Progress was

over 1 week behind normal nationwide, with Minnesota and South Dakota growers trailing their normal harvest

pace by over 2 weeks, and North Dakota producers were over 3 weeks behind.

Sorghum maturation advanced to 93 percent complete by October 31, compared with 89 percent last year and

96 percent for the 5-year average. Though Texas’s crop began the month 2 weeks behind normal, steady

development brought progress to within 2 points of normal by month’s end. Harvest remained over 2 weeks behind

normal through most of the month but advanced to within 2 weeks of the normal pace during the final week of

October. By the end of the month, harvest had progressed to 62 percent complete, 8 points behind last year and

20 points behind normal. Harvest was complete in the Mississippi Delta but was well behind normal elsewhere. In

Kansas, Missouri, and New Mexico, progress was over 2 weeks behind normal, while Texas growers trailed their

normal harvest pace by 6 weeks.

On October 3, winter wheat planting was 58 percent complete, 1 point behind last year but 4 points ahead of

normal. However, rainy conditions in most growing areas hampered fieldwork during October. By month’s end,

89 percent of the acreage had been planted, 3 points behind last year but the same as normal. Meanwhile,

emergence remained ahead of average throughout the month, reaching 77 percent complete by October 31,

one point ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. Progress was ahead of normal across the southern Great

Plains, Pacific Northwest, and Rocky Mountains but trailed the average pace in the Mississippi Valley.

The spring wheat harvest, having trailed behind normal throughout the harvest season, reached 98 percent complete

on October 10, two points behind last year and 1 point behind the 5-year average. At that time, growers in Idaho,

South Dakota, and Washington had completed their harvest. Harvest was 99 percent complete in Minnesota,

98 percent complete in Montana, and 96 percent complete in North Dakota.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 34 NASS, USDA

Rice producers had harvested 96 percent of their acreage by October 17, compared with 91 percent last year and

92 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was complete in Louisiana and Texas and was at or ahead of the normal

pace elsewhere.

At the beginning of the month, 36 percent of the Nation’s soybean acreage had been harvested, 5 points ahead of

last year and 4 points ahead of normal. However, rainfall across most growing areas during the month slowed

harvest activities. By month’s end, harvest had advanced to 84 percent complete, 6 points behind last year and

5 points behind the 5-year average. At that time, progress was behind normal across much of the Corn Belt, Ohio

Valley, and Great Plains, trailing the normal pace by 1 week in Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, and Missouri

and by over 2 weeks in North Dakota.

With developmental delays caused by below-normal summer temperatures, the sunflower harvest progressed slowly

and remained behind normal throughout the month. On October 31, growers had harvested 25 percent of their

acreage, well behind last year’s 89 percent and the 5-year average of 76 percent. Progress was over 2 weeks behind

normal in Kansas and 3 weeks behind normal in the Dakotas, where summer-time temperatures were the lowest.

The peanut harvest remained behind the normal pace throughout the month, reaching 77 percent complete by

month’s end, 4 points behind last year and the average. Harvest was nearly complete in the middle Atlantic Coast

States, at 98 percent in Virginia and 95 percent in North Carolina, with both States ahead of the normal pace. 

However, progress trailed behind normal elsewhere. Even though Texas growers began the month 3 points ahead

of their normal pace, persistent rainfall in the peanut-producing area of the State slowed harvest which caused

progress to lag 10 points behind normal by the end of the month.

Cotton bolls opened behind the normal pace nationwide. By October 31, bolls were open on 94 percent of the

acreage, compared with 96 percent last year and 98 percent for the 5-year average. Though the open bolls stage was

at or near completion in most areas, just 87 percent of the Texas crop had reached that stage, over 2 weeks behind

normal. Harvest began the month at 5 points behind normal and fell further behind as the month progressed. By

month’s end, 53 percent of the acreage had been harvested, the same as last year but 7 points behind normal. At

that time, harvest was over 2 weeks behind in Missouri and Tennessee and 3 weeks behind in Texas. Only in

California and the Atlantic Coast States was harvest progress ahead of normal, with North Carolina growers

exceeding their normal pace by 24 points.

Sugarbeet growers began harvesting their crop slowly but accelerated their pace as cold weather permitted piling. 

In the Red River Valley, nearly two-thirds of the crop was harvested during the first 2 weeks of the month, whereas

Idaho and Michigan growers harvested over half of their acreage in the final 2 weeks. At month’s end, 90 percent

of the acreage was harvested in the major producing States, 4 points behind last year and 2 points behind normal. 

Idaho growers were 8 points ahead of the 5-year average, but progress was behind normal elsewhere.

Corn for Grain: Area harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 73.3 million acres, unchanged from

October but up 3 percent from 2003. The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest ear counts on

record for the combined ten objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska,

Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). This year’s ear count total is 3 percent above the previous high set in 2003.

On October 3, the Nation’s corn crop was 23 percent harvested, 1 percentage point behind last year and 5 points

behind normal, slowed by developmental delays from the unusually cool summer. Persistent rainfall during

October further hampered fieldwork, particularly in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By month’s end,

harvest was 65 percent complete, 16 points behind last year and 15 points behind the 5-year average. Progress was

over 1 week behind normal nationwide, with Minnesota and South Dakota growers trailing their normal harvest

pace by over 2 weeks, and North Dakota producers were over 3 weeks behind.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 472 million bushels, up 2 percent from last month and up 15 percent from last

year. Based on November 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 71.9 bushels per acre, up 1.5 bushels from

October and up 19.2 bushels from last year. Kansas, the largest producing State, expects a yield of 77.0 bushels,

2.0 bushels above last month. The yield forecast for Texas remains unchanged from October, at 65 bushels per

acre. Record yields are expected in Illinois, Missouri, and Texas. Area for harvest as grain is forecast at

6.56 million acres, unchanged from last month but 16 percent below last year. 

As of October 31, harvest in the top 11 producing States was 62 percent complete, compared with 70 percent last

year and the 5-year average of 82 percent. Harvest was complete in Arkansas and Louisiana, but was behind

normal in all of the remaining States. In Kansas, as a result of rainfall and wet field conditions during the middle of

October, only 52 percent of the crop was harvested, well behind the 5-year average of 80 percent. Harvest in Texas,

at 69 percent, also lagged behind the 5-year average of 84 percent due to cooler temperatures and above normal

precipitation. Most of the area remaining to be harvested is in the Plains region of the State. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 35 NASS, USDA

Rice: Production is forecast at a record high 228 million cwt, up 1 percent from October and up 14 percent

from 2003. This production level surpasses the previous record of 215 million cwt set in 2001. Harvested area, at

3.33 million acres, is unchanged from last month but is 11 percent above 2003. As of November 1, the U.S. all rice

yield is forecast at a record high 6,828 pounds per acre. This yield is up 65 pounds from the October forecast and

up 183 pounds from the record high yield established in 2003.

As of October 31, rice harvest was complete or nearly complete in all six estimating States. Record high yields are

forecast for Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri.

Soybeans: Growers expect to harvest 74.0 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from last month but up 2 percent

from 2003. The November objective yield pod counts for the combined seven objective yield States (Illinois,

Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio) are up 1 percent from last month and are the second

highest on record. Pod counts from the November objective yield survey are the highest on record in Arkansas,

Missouri, and Ohio.

 

Freezing temperatures the first week of October in the northern Great Plains and Corn Belt ended soybean plant

growth and promoted maturation. Though harvest was progressing ahead of normal at the beginning of the month,

rainfall across most of the growing area in October slowed harvest activities. As of October 31, eighty-four percent

of the soybean crop had been harvested, compared with 90 percent last year and the 5-year average of 89 percent. 

Kentucky, Missouri, and North Dakota farmers were the farthest behind their normal progress by the end of the

month.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.20 billion pounds, up 2 percent from last month and up 1 percent from 2003. 

Area for harvest is expected to total 1.39 million acres, unchanged from October but up 6 percent from last year. 

Yields are expected to average 3,027 pounds per acre, up 55 pounds from October but down 132 pounds from 2003.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.83 billion

pounds, up 2 percent from October and up 2 percent from last year. Expected area for harvest, at 968,000 acres, is

unchanged from October but up 13 percent from 2003. Yields in the 4-State region are expected to average

2,920 pounds per acre, 68 pounds above October but 318 pounds below last year. Yield prospects rebounded from

last month after producers were able to fully evaluate the effects of heavy rainfall received from September

hurricanes. A record high yield of 3,400 pounds per acre is forecast in South Carolina. As of October 31, peanut

harvest was 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average in Alabama and Florida at 87 and 94 percent complete,

respectively. Georgia peanut harvest, at 85 percent complete, lagged the 5-year average by 5 percentage points.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 459 million pounds, up 6 percent from October and up 11 percent

from 2003. Area for harvest is expected to total 137,000 acres, unchanged from October but up 3 percent from last

year. Yield is forecast at 3,353 pounds per acre, up 176 pounds from October and up 227 pounds per acre from last

year. The yields in Virginia and North Carolina are forecast at record highs of 3,200 and 3,400 pounds per acre,

respectively. Virginia’s peanut harvest, at 98 percent complete, exceeded the 5-year average by 3 percentage points. 

North Carolina’s harvest, at 95 percent complete, exceeded the 5-year average by 16 points on October 31.

Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 916 million pounds, down

1 percent from October and down 4 percent from 2003. The region’s area for harvest, at 283,000 acres, is

unchanged from last month but down 12 percent from 2003. Yields are expected to average 3,236 pounds per acre

across the region, down 47 pounds per acre from October but up 274 pounds per acre from 2003. The Oklahoma

yield, at 3,250 pound per acres, is forecast at a record high level. Oklahoma harvest, at 76 percent complete, lagged

the 5-year average by 3 points, while Texas harvest, at 39 percent complete, lagged the 5-year average by

10 percentage points at the end of October.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 13.0 million acres, is unchanged from the October estimate but

10 percent more than last year. Harvest progress continues to lag well behind the 5-year average in most States. 

American-Pima harvested area, at 253,000 acres, is unchanged from October but up 43 percent from 2003. 

In the Southeastern States, ideal weather conditions in early October allowed defoliation and harvesting to progress

rapidly. Scattered showers toward the end of the month in north Alabama, the Carolinas, and Virginia delayed

harvesting. Lingering fog and misty mornings delayed picking in Georgia until mid-day. Objective yield data

continue to show above average boll counts in North Carolina, with average boll weight at the highest level of the

previous five years.

Cotton producers in the Delta region made excellent progress harvesting their crop under warm, sunny conditions

during early October. Heavy showers returned during mid-October and continued during the rest of the month. In

parts of Louisiana and Mississippi, harvest was interrupted for several days as a result of saturated fields. Despite

the weather conditions, harvest in the lower Delta remained at the 5-year average or only slightly behind. Boll
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 36 NASS, USDA

counts and average boll weights in Mississippi and Louisiana are above the 15-year average. Boll counts in

Arkansas are slightly above the 15-year average and boll weights are the highest on record.

At the beginning of the month, cooler than normal temperatures delayed maturity and muddy conditions hindered

equipment from entering fields around Lubbock, Texas. Harvesting gained momentum later in the month even

though producers encountered snow and heavy thunderstorms. In southern Texas, harvest was almost complete. 

Oklahoma and Kansas cotton crops were progressing slightly behind the 5-year average due to storms and cooler

weather earlier in the season. Objective yield measurements show Texas boll counts and average boll weights are

the highest in the 15-year data series.

The cotton harvest in the San Joaquin Valley rapidly advanced throughout the month under ideal conditions. Data

from objective yield measurements show California boll counts are the second highest in the 15-year data series,

surpassed only by 2002. Boll weights are below the 15-year average, but the highest since 1997. Arizona’s harvest

was well underway by October 1 and made rapid progress with the excellent harvest weather.

American-Pima production is forecast at 720,000 bales, up slightly from the October forecast and up 67 percent

from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,366 pounds per harvested acre, up 9 pounds from last month. 

California growers are expecting a yield of 1,425 pounds per harvested acre, up 11 pounds from the October 1

forecast. Harvest was limited early in October, but growers made considerable progress by the end of the month.

All cotton ginned totaled 8,756,750 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 7,392,800 running bales

ginned by the same date last year and 6,696,650 running bales ginned in 2002.

Sugarbeets: Production for 2004 is forecast at 29.8 million tons, 3 percent above the October forecast but

3 percent below last year's production. The yield is forecast at 22.4 tons per acre, up 0.7 ton from October but

0.3 ton below 2003. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.33 million acres, unchanged

from last month but 2 percent below last year.

The sugarbeet harvest started slowly but advanced rapidly when the weather became cool enough for piling. As

harvest continued across the Nation, growers in most areas realized higher yields than previously expected. By

October 31, harvest was 90 percent complete in the 4 major producing States, 2 percentage points behind the 5-year

average. Red River Valley growers were nearly finished harvesting, at 98 percent in Minnesota and 97 percent in

North Dakota, slightly behind normal in both States.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2004 is forecast at 30.4 million tons, fractionally above

the October forecast but 10 percent below 2003. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 961,400 acres for sugar and

seed during the 2004 crop year, virtually the same as October and 3 percent less than last year's final harvested area. 

Yield is forecast at 31.6 tons per acre, 0.1 ton above the previous forecast but 2.4 tons below the 2003 yield.

By the end of October, harvest had begun in the Lake Okeechobee area of Florida. Louisiana’s crop was 32 percent

harvested on October 31, four percentage points behind the 5-year average for that date. Texas’ forecasted yield

increased from 36.0 to 37.0 tons per acre, reflecting the ideal harvest conditions that Texas growers have enjoyed.

Lentils: Production of lentils is forecast at 4.08 million cwt, up 67 percent from last year. Area for harvest is

forecast at 322,000 acres, up 36 percent from the previous year. Average yield is expected to be 1,268 pounds per

acre, up 238 pounds per acre from 2003.

Production in Idaho, at 770,000 cwt, is up 23 percent from last year. Harvested area is up 6 percent from last

season, while average yield increased 150 pounds per acre. Producers experienced unstable weather throughout the

2004 season but not as severe as the 2003 crop year. Wind, rain, and hail affected yield and quality reducing early

expectations in some locations. Despite these weather conditions, yields improved from a year ago but were below

the 5 year average.

Montana’s production is forecast at 910,000 cwt, 233 percent greater than last year. Harvested area is 150 percent

above the acreage from 2003, while average yield increased by 350 pounds per acre to 1,400. This yield increase is

due to ideal growing conditions. During April to mid May, Montana experienced 80 degree temperatures with very

limited moisture. During July and August, the State had cooler temperatures with much needed precipitation. 

Temperatures were normal in July averaging mid 80's to mid 90's.

North Dakota’s production, at 1.29 million cwt, doubled from 2003. Harvested area is up 74 percent from last year,

while average yield increased by 200 pounds per acre to 1,370. Above normal daytime temperatures and dry

conditions during the last week of April and the first week in May allowed producers to plant early season crops

ahead of the 5-year average pace. Below normal temperatures and adequate soil moisture in the lentil growing area,

during most of the season, promoted excellent growing conditions. Harvest conditions were aided by dry and above

normal temperatures by the end of September. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 37 NASS, USDA

Washington’s production, at 1.12 million cwt, is up 23 percent from 2003. Harvested area increased by 2 percent to

93,000 acres, while yields increased by 200 pounds per acre to 1,200. Growing conditions were mostly ideal for the

lentil crop though many areas experienced 50-60 mph winds with gusts reaching 80 mph. These winds swept away

much of the harvested crop that was in windrows and shattered much of the uncut portion of the crop in the middle

Palouse region. Untimely rains at harvest time soaked any unharvested lentils causing sprouting to occur.

Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry edible peas is forecast at 10.8 million cwt, more than double the 2003

estimate. Area for harvest, at 500,800 acres, is 52 percent above a year ago. Average yield is forecast at

2,163 pounds per acre, up 579 pounds from last season.

North Dakota’s dry edible pea production is forecast at 6.93 million cwt, up 152 percent from last season. North

Dakota’s harvested acres, at 296,000, increased by 91 percent, while yields, at 2,340 pounds per acre, increased

570 pounds. This is a record high for the State. Above normal daytime temperatures and dry conditions the last

week of April and the first week in May allowed producers to plant the crop ahead of the 5-year average pace. 

Below normal temperatures and mostly adequate soil moisture in the dry pea growing area promoted excellent

growing conditions. Harvest conditions were aided by dry and above normal temperatures during the end of

September. 

Production in Idaho is expected to be 770,000 cwt, up 19 percent from 2003. Idaho’s harvested acres increased

2 percent to 55,000, while yields, at 1,400 pounds per acre, increased 200 pounds from last year’s heat- affected

crop. Producing areas experienced unstable weather such as wind, rain, and hail throughout the 2004 growing

season. Despite these weather conditions, yields improved from the 2003 growing season but were below the

5-year average.

Production in Montana, at 915,000 cwt, has more than doubled from last season. Harvested area increased by

90 percent to 59,000 acres, while yields increased by 100 pounds per acre to 1,550 from last year. Producers are

getting better yields this season due to ideal growing conditions. Montana received warm temperatures with very

limited moisture during April to mid May. During July and August, the State experienced cooler temperatures and

adequate rainfall. Showers fell on most of the producing areas and temperatures were normal during July averaging

the mid 80's to mid 90's. 

 

Washington’s production forecast, at 2.02 million cwt, is 64 percent above last year. Acres for harvest are up

2 percent from last season, and yield increased by 900 pounds per acre to 2,400 pounds. Washington’s dry pea

seeding was completed during the week ending May 16th and harvest of the crop was completed the week ending

September 19th. Some untimely rains pushed harvest slightly behind schedule. Dry pea yields have been the best

in recent memory. Newer upright varieties have some producers realizing yields close to two tons per acre. 

Processors have been reporting excellent quality with little to no bleaching problems.

Austrian Winter Peas: Production of Austrian winter peas for Idaho, Montana, and Oregon in 2004 is forecast at

272,000 cwt, up 56 percent from 2003. Area harvested is forecast at 21,500 acres, up 38 percent from last year. 

Average yield is expected to be 1,265 pounds per acre, up 150 pounds per acre from last season.

The Idaho Austrian winter pea production forecast, at 168,000 cwt, is up 50 percent from last year. Harvested

acreage is up 50 percent for the State. Montana’s production forecast of 80,000 cwt, is up 43 percent from last

year. Ideal growing conditions occurred over much of the State. Warm temperatures with very limited moisture

during April to mid May allowed planting to progress normally. During July and August the State experienced

cooler temperatures and adequate moisture which promoted higher yields. Oregon’s production forecast, at

24,000 cwt, is 300 percent greater than the 2003 crop. Ideal weather conditions and more harvested acreage

combined for this large increase.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.27 million pounds for October, up 20 percent from last

month but 5 percent lower than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,100 acres, down less than 1 percent from last

month and 12 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,365 acres, virtually unchanged from last month

but 13 percent below October 2003. Favorable weather conditions with good precipitation boosted orchard and

fruit development. Soil moisture in non-irrigated orchards has been adequate.

Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 2004 is forecast at 408 million cwt, down 1 percent from last year for

comparable States. South Dakota and Utah were dropped from the program starting in 2004. Area harvested, at

1.02 million acres, is virtually unchanged from the July estimate but 6 percent below last year. The average yield is

forecast at 398 cwt per acre, 22 cwt above last year. If realized, this will be a record high yield, 6 cwt above the

previous record set in 2000.

Western States production is forecast at 281 million cwt, up 3 percent from last year for comparable States. 

Acreage harvested, at 642,200 acres, decreased 3 percent from last year, but the average yield of 437 cwt per acre is
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 38 NASS, USDA

up 23 cwt from 2003. Record high yields in Idaho increased production 7 percent from the previous year. 

Favorable growing conditions during the season contributed to the good size and quality of the tubers. Production

in Washington went up 1 percent from last year. Colorado’s production decreased 2 percent as more acres were

abandoned due to higher disease rates and water management issues. Oregon growers expect to harvest

19.8 million cwt of potatoes, down 6 percent from last year. This decrease is due to a 13 percent decrease in

harvested acres but yields are forecasted at 41 cwt above last season. California’s production is up 10 percent from

last year. Good growing conditions increased yields 85 cwt from 2003 to 510 cwt per acre, more than offsetting the

decrease in acres. Growers in Montana expect a 5 percent increase in production, while Nevada’s production is 

expected to decrease 13 percent. New Mexico production is expected to be unchanged.

Central States production is forecast at 99.9 million cwt, down 9 percent from last year for comparable States. 

Harvested area, estimated at 287,600 acres, is down 12 percent, while average yields, at 347 cwt per acre, are up

12 cwt from a year ago. Indiana is the only State in the Central Region with increased production and that by

21 percent. The other 7 States, when compared with last season, decreased production ranging from 2 percent in

Ohio to 17 percent in Minnesota. A record high average yield of 430 cwt per acre in Minnesota does not make up

for the 26 percent decrease in harvested acres. Michigan production decreased 13 percent. Due to very wet spring

conditions producers planted less potato acreage and reported higher rates of abandonment in Minnesota and

Michigan. Record high yields in North Dakota, at 265 cwt per acre, were offset by an 11 percent decrease in

harvested acres resulting in an 3 percent decrease in production. Wisconsin growers are also expecting a record

high yield of 415 cwt per acre, 5 cwt above last year but production is expected to decrease 6 percent. Nebraska

growers expect production to decrease 8 percent.

Eastern States production is forecast at 27.4 million cwt, down 2 percent from last year. Area for harvest totaled

94,700 acres, 8 percent below last year, while the average yield, at 289 cwt per acre, is up 19 cwt from last season. 

Heavy rains late in the season drowned out areas in low lying fields in Maine, New York, and Pennsylvania,

resulting in quality problems and higher rates of abandonment. Record high yields in Maine and Massachusetts

more than offset lower harvested acres. A 12 percent increase in production is expected in Maine and 8 percent in

Massachusetts. New York production is expected to decrease 26 percent, Pennsylvania 23 percent, and Rhode

Island 15 percent.

All Potatoes: Total U. S. potato production in 2004 from all four seasons is estimated at 450 million cwt, down

2 percent from last year. Harvested area, at 1.17 million acres, decreased 6 percent from a year ago. Yields,

averaging 385 cwt per acre, are up 18 cwt from last year. If realized, this will be a record high, 4 cwt above the

previous record set in 2000.

Small Grains: Survey respondents who reported barley, oats, Durum wheat, or other spring wheat acreage not yet

harvested in Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and Wyoming during the surveys conducted to prepare the Small

Grains 2004 Summary were re-contacted to determine how many of these acres were actually harvested and record

the actual production from those acres. Based on this updated information, several changes were made to the

estimates published in the Small Grains 2004 Summary. Because unharvested production is a component of onfarm stocks, changes were made to the September 1 on-farm stocks levels comparable with the production

adjustments.

Durum harvested area was reduced 5,000 acres in Montana and 80,000 acres in North Dakota. Yield per acre was

increased 1.0 bushel in each of these two States. No changes were made in Minnesota. Other spring wheat

harvested area declined 20,000 acres in Minnesota and 50,000 acres each in Montana and North Dakota. Acreage

was unchanged in Wyoming, and no changes were made to yield in any of the States. All wheat production in the

United States is 2.16 billion bushels, 8 percent below last year and only fractionally below the previous estimate.

In Minnesota, oat harvested area was reduced 10,000 acres, while in North Dakota harvested area was reduced

5,000 acres. Yield per acre increased 2.0 bushels in North Dakota and remained unchanged in Minnesota. Acreage

and yield estimates were unchanged in Montana and Wyoming. As a result of the changes in Minnesota and North

Dakota, oat production in the United States is 116 million bushels, down 20 percent from last year and down less

than 1 percent from the previous estimate.

Barley area harvested in North Dakota was revised to 1.48 million acres, down 10,000 acres from the September

estimate. Yield is estimated at 68.0 bushels per acre in Minnesota, a decrease of 2.0 bushels. As a result of these

changes, production is down 230,000 bushels in Minnesota and 620,000 bushels in North Dakota. Acreage, yield,

and production are unchanged in Montana and Wyoming. Total U.S. production is estimated at 279 million

bushels, slightly below the previous estimate but slightly higher than last year’s production.

Florida Citrus: Florida had a dry October following four hurricanes in the previous two months that affected the

citrus crops. Temperatures have been above average levels following a cool front that moved through the State near

the beginning of the month. Temperatures were very close to record highs near the end of the month. October’s

rainfall amounts have been well below normal levels, with very little precipitation recorded Statewide. However,
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 39 NASS, USDA

lakes and rivers remained at very high levels due to rain from the summer hurricanes. Because of the lack of

October rainfall, growers were successful in moving standing water from the hurricanes away from tree roots in

most areas. Some high ground areas were receiving irrigation to maintain surface level moisture. Growers report

good color break on most early maturing crops. Harvest has started on fresh fruit crops including Fallglo

tangerines, white and colored grapefruit, and early orange varieties (Navels, Ambersweet, and Hamlin). By the end

of the month, about half of the packinghouses in the State were open with several processing plants receiving

eliminations. Several packinghouses and processing plants will not open this season because of the lack of fruit.

California Citrus: Harvest of the 2003-04 Valencia orange crop was virtually complete by mid-month. The new

crop Navel orange harvest commenced during the middle of October. Harvesting was slowed temporarily by rain. 

Citrus fruits were coloring nicely thanks to cooler nighttime temperatures. Lemon harvest continued but was also

disrupted by rain. Mandarins were starting to color and early varieties were being harvested. Grapefruit harvest

continued. Fungicide treatments were applied to citrus groves. 

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted cultural activities that included weed control,

fungicide applications, and irrigation of trees and vines. Raisin grape harvest was complete by the end of October. 

Late variety table grapes such as Autumn Royal, Crimson Seedless, Christmas Rose, Red Globe, and Ruby Seedless

were harvested and packed throughout the month. Table grape growers covered their late maturing varieties with

plastic to protect against rain. There was a brief delay in harvesting due to wet conditions in the vineyards. Wine

and juice grape harvesting was complete by the middle of October in most locations. Stone fruit harvest continued

at a reduced pace throughout the first two weeks of October. Varieties harvested included Sweet September and

Snow Fall peaches, Flavor Fall pluots, Autumn Beauty plums, and Arctic Mist nectarines. Pruning, chipping, brush

shredding, irrigation, and weed control work continued in harvested orchards. Stumps and brush from removed

orchards and vineyards were piled to dry. Harvest of pomegranates continued throughout the month with good

yields reported. Apples, Fuyu persimmons, Hosui Asian pears, and kiwifruit were harvested, with some rain

damage of kiwifruit reported. Strawberries in the San Joaquin Valley continued to be picked for sale at roadside

stands. Olive harvest continued throughout the month but was winding down by month’s end. Walnuts, pecans,

and pistachios were harvested in many locations but the season was winding down. The almond harvest was

complete in most areas by the middle of October. 

Grapefruit: The forecast for the 2004-05 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.06 million tons, unchanged from the October 1

forecast but 51 percent below last season. Florida’s grapefruit forecast is 15.0 million boxes (638,000 tons),

unchanged from the October 1 forecast but 63 percent lower than last season. This forecast is greatly reduced from

previous seasons because of the effects of four hurricanes that hit the State’s growing areas in August and

September. Only the southern area was not directly affected by high winds, with Hendry, Collier, and Lee counties

primarily receiving heavy rainfall amounts on several occasions. The Indian River growing area was greatly

affected by Hurricane Frances on September 5 and Hurricane Jeanne on September 29. Both storms brought high

winds and heavy rain which blew fruit off the trees, broke limbs, and split trees. The all white grapefruit forecast,

at 4.00 million boxes (170,000 tons), is unchanged from the October 1 forecast but 75 percent less than last season. 

The colored seedless utilization forecast, at 11.0 million boxes (468,000 tons), is unchanged from the October 1

forecast but down 56 percent from 2003-04. The monthly fruit size and drop survey show white sizing rates below

average as anticipated but colored sizes continuing on a more normal pattern. Arizona, California, and Texas

grapefruit production forecasts are carried over from October 1. 

Lemons: The forecast for the 2004-05 U.S. lemon crop, at 832,000 tons, is unchanged from the October 1 forecast

but up 4 percent from last season. Arizona and California lemon production forecasts are carried over from

October 1.

Tangelos: Florida’s tangelo forecast, at 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons), is unchanged from October 1 but

40 percent more than last season’s utilized production. Average fruit per tree is 80 percent above last season in

spite of the hurricanes; however, bearing trees are 21 percent below last season. Fruit size is projected to be smaller

than average.

Temples: Florida’s Temples are forecast at 800,000 boxes (36,000 tons) for the 2004-05 season, unchanged from

October 1 but 43 percent below last season’s final utilization of 1.40 million boxes. If realized, this will be the

lowest amount since the 1954-55 season.

Tangerines: The 2004-05 U.S. tangerine crop forecast, at 351,000 tons, is unchanged from the October 1 forecast

but down 19 percent from last season’s utilization of 435,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine crop is forecast at

4.70 million boxes (223,000 tons), unchanged from the October 1 forecast but 28 percent lower than last season’s

utilization. Early variety tree numbers and average fruit per tree are down from last season due to damage from the

recent hurricanes. Many early variety trees were reported broken. Late Honey variety production is expected to be

the smallest since the 2000-01 season and average fruit per tree is slightly higher than the 10-season average. A

large portion of these trees are located in the southern area of Florida and were not affected by the hurricanes. Fruit
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 40 NASS, USDA

size is expected to be slightly larger than last season with droppage rates near normal. The 2004-05 Florida

tangerine forecast only includes the Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey tangerines. Arizona and California tangerines

production forecasts are carried over from October 1.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 41 NASS, USDA

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 25 and

November 5 to gather information on expected yield as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn,

cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the

U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within each

sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with

other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The

counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average

harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the

fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to

obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. 

Approximately 14,200 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable

yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average

yields.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather

patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits

their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and

the State analyses to prepare the published November 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the

marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and

ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant

changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production

report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for

cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and

oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the

October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or

administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is

strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

November 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean

Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is 1.6 percent. This means that chances are

2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than

1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.8 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1

forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the

final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 85 million bushels, ranging from 1 million bushels to

258 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This

does not imply that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 42 NASS, USDA

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn For Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Fall Potatoes

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

Cwt

1.6

4.8

2.2

1.6

2.9

2.0

2.8

8.3

3.8

2.7

5.1

3.4

85

20

3

30

376

6

1

1

0

8

14

1

258

86

12

66

937

16

8

8

12

6

11

18

12

12

8

14

9

2

 1 Quantity is in thousands of units.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2004 43 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information.

Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (202) 690-3234

Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops (202) 720-7621

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
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