SUGAR, MOLASSES, AND BEET PULP

UGAR, RAW VALUE
: YIELD PER TON OF

: SUGAR PRODUCTION
stare. PRODUCTION

tae OF BeENS REFINED BASIS
975 71876 : 2 TSE: E1975 21976
000 TONS POUNDS 000 TONS
SUGARCANE :
FLA > 803 1,06) 930 24 207 197 750 992 869
HAW : 1,041 = 151071, 050 229 233 223 973 1,035 981
tA 1 7594 640 650 181 198 174 555 598 607
TEX 74 126 90 123 200 164 69 118 84
us : 2,512 2,934 2,720 212 214 197 2,347 2,743 2,582
SUGARBEETS :
us 2,916 4,019 3,882 264 an 264 2,725 «3,756 3,628
CANE AND BEET

us : 5,428 6,953 6,602 5,072 6,499 6,170

PRODUCTION
STATE AND PRODUCT UNIT 7 :
1974 : 1975 : 1976 V/
THOUSANDS
SUGARCANE PRODUCTS
BLACKSTRAP MOLASSES-80 BRIX 2/ :
FLA GALLON: 53,479 75,944 77,036
HAW GALLON : — 3/ 52,163 3/ 53,558 3/ 48,984
LA GALLON 41,957 39,570 47,500
TEX GALLON: 6,642 9,916 8,000
us GALLON: 154,241 178,988 181,520
EDIBLE MOLASSES :
LA GALLON: 2,114 2,574 2,538
us GALLON : 2,114 2,574 2,538
SUGARBEET PRODUCTS - US :
MOLASSES GALLON: 155,916 188, 175 4
PULP :
MOLASSES Ton: 1,130 3,693 4/
DRIED Tow 202 168 i]
WET TON : 759 442 a
T7~ PRELIMINARY.
2/ INCLUDES HIGHEST MOLASSES FROM FROZEN CANE.
3/ 85° BRIX.
4/ NOT AVAILABLE FOR 1976.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED t YIELO ‘ PRODUCTION
' 7 ny , ND? t IND 3 , ? IND
t _jovss 3976 4 1977 4 1975't 1976 11977 1978 1 1976 1 1977
1 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS:
ALA 1/1 135° 125: 145 2400 2760 27.0 35240 3375 36915'
ARIZ 4 320 112 63-7140 754007240 229720 89400 41536
ARK 1 $20 710 600 30.0 3940 279690 199866
CALIF (3 986 860 735 6240 6200 532320 474040
colo 29240 20200 203600 82.5 21.5 479300 564640
OkL 14k 34 31 280 34,0 3540 19088' 840
FLA vt 20 22. 21 2640 ©3040 660 525:
GA at 135° 1s 12 2760 31d 37568: 34360
IDAHO 4 880 890 810 41.0 4400 399160 = 339210
TUL ‘ 15730 10850 19870 39.0 3900 729150 624800
IND t 11500 14600 19250 4300 © 360 879600 = $0,000
Iowa 1/4 100 . 88 60 35.0 39400 20975 14800
Kans ' 120100 125300 129000 3000 3509900 3399000 3969000
ky 1 362 330 267 31.0 119968 = 10230
La Wt 2s 35 35 3300 19155"
Mo 1st 156 138 123 38.0 Se2ee
MICK 4 1,020 990 920 3860 379620
MINN 1/5 8 163. 124 26.0 49238
MISS l/t 185 180 178 2960 5220
Mo t 14470 19650 19300 3300 54,450
MONT 1 39000 39080 29800 3200 96,560
NEBR t 39070 25950 39050 320d 96yh00
NEV ws li 1 9 6500 715
Nu ow S4 58 48 4200 25320
N MEX 174 387 a13 240 23.0 49899
NY 1 190 165 165 3800 59940
NC ' 275 240 198 2900 5960
N DAK l/s 123 138 128 2860 34780
OHTO t 1,770 19650 14500 4000 660000
OKLA 4 6s700 62300 65500 2400 151200 1699000
oREe@ os W210 19820 19100 4600 B6s120 419800
Pa 1 345 3s 260 3000 91450 1,020
sc ww 155 145 109 2540 39628 30082
S DAK 3 170 970 680 18.0 179460 139600
TENN t 319 338 280 3760 129395 99800
TEX 1 $1700 49700 49400 22.0 1034400 110000
UTAH 1/2 238 222 180 23.5 S217 32240
va ' 292 240 21s 32.0 74680 69668
WASH 1 e740 2,885 29700, 4600 1329710 999900
Wve ist 17 14 lz 32.0 44 420
WIS lst 72 64. sé 3760 20368 14904:
wo 1/1 . 250 240 240 2560 2h 69250 67000 54760
us 4 510567 4699535470785 3201 3106 3209 246520923 205660074 165251800
1/ ESTINATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD PROM EARLIER! FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-} CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
APRICOTS... eccececeececeeeeeececeneeeeeneeaeneneeeenees B-5
BARTLETT PEARS .....ceeececeeeeeeeeeneeeeceeereteenens B-5
BEET PULP oo. eee ec eecec eee eete ee eeeeeeeeaeeeneeeenenees B-7
CHERRIES 20.0.0 0. ec cec eee enceeeetesteeetetneretetnerees B-2
CITRUS FRUITS 20.0... ececeeeeeeeeeeueececereeeesenenees B-4
CROP PROSPECTS MAPS ........ceseceeeeee ease eeeeeeaeeees A-4
MINT FOR OIL... .eceeccceececeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeneeeeneeees B-10
MOLASSES 2... eccececeeeececee eee eeeeneeeeeeaeeeenenees B-7
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS MAPS ..........eseseee A-5
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS TABLE ............2005 B-2
PEACHES oo. eceececeececeeeeeeceeeeeeseceneneneesenenees B-3
POTATOES 2... eececeecececeeeeeeceeteeneteeneenseaeeens B-5
SUGAR .o. cece cece cee cece een cette eee tenet neta tenes B-7
SUGARBEETS 2.0... ec eceececeeeeeeeeeeeees oe ceeeeeeeeeees B~6
SUGARCANE... . ee eeeceaeee eee ee eens ee teeaseeeeeeeeen ees BB
SWEETPOTATOES ....cecceceeeeeeeee teen eee eeteeeenseeenees B-9
SS re A-2
WINTER WHEAT oo. ccc cc ccceeeeeeeeceneeteceeereneeneneeees B-1

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
foal June 1, 1977

(Good to excellent
3 Poor to fair

E22 Very poor

EE) Severe drought
WM Extreme drought

‘AS REPORTED BY
(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 57-77 (6) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
June 1, 1976

© Good to excellent
[EB Poot to fair

EZ] very poor

BED Severe drought
(EB Extreme drought

AS REPORTED BY
CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 380-76 (6) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED! 1/

: AREA : YIELD OF CANE 3 ~~ CANE
STATE 4 HARVESTED t PER ACRE 1 PRODUCTION

1 Te7s t 15751 USCS 7 SE 2 1974 1 1975 3 1976

' 15000 ACRES TONS 19000 TONS
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR
FLA

' 258.4 29760 27.8 3557 3364 TolBs 109264 9919
Haw t 9508 9909 9 9002 92.8 99082 99485 9o172
ba t 308.0 29100 0 2h 21.0 2566 6.558 69468 75451
TEX t 2767 2906 3204 3563 3702 898 10236 1,099
us 1 68969 7175 «Bho «= 3703 = 3845 = 23072] «= 27945327 4
SUGARCANE FOR SEED
FLA t 409 900 27.8 41.3 36.9 ale ae 332
Haw ! 5.5 6e2 = 2963 2803 279 161 rai 173
ba ‘ 23.0 2400 = Ble3 = 2100 2546 490 441 614
TEK 1 8 3 «2 3206-2800 3560 26 is ?
Us ‘ 4402 38.4 3904 2447 = 2749 2B 14091 14070 19126
SUGARCANE FOR S & S
FLA 1 27363 296.0 30600 27.8 3509 33.5 79598 109698 109252
Maw ry 10103 168 10Ge0l 9162 BG6T 68.1 9y2a2 99666 99345
ba t 33160 32960 31560 9 21632100 25.6 79048 69909 84068
TEX ' 2605 35.5 2908 «= 32h = 3502370) 924 19250 19106
us ' T3401 77400 75609 «3368 = 3849 = 3840 = B12 «=» 28523 2B PT.

SUGAR H SUGAR AND SEED.

: PRICE PFR TON : VALUE OF PRODUCTION 3 VALUE OF PRODUCTION 2/

z 1975 A 1976 z T9375 : T976 1975 i 1976

3 DOLLARS. 7,000 DOLLARS
FLA H 19.80 14.90 203,227 147,793 211,820 152,740
LA : 19.30 12.60 124,832 93,883 133,344 101,619
TEX : 19.80 14.30 24,473 12,419 24,750 12,498
TOTAL 3 19.60 13.80 352,532 254,095 369,914 266,857

17 PRICE AND VALUE EXCLUDES HAW.
2/ PRICE PER TON OF CANE FOR SUGAR USED IN EVALUATING PRODUCTION FOR SEED.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


MINT FOR OIt

3 AREA HARVESTED i YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE 1 ? + mw 7 z y IND t 7 IND
’ 1975 3 1976 1 1977 § 1975 $ 1976 3 1977 1/% 1975 ¢ 1976 * 1977 1/
PEPPERMINT: 1,000 ACRES. LBS OF OIL 00 LBS
IDAHO : Soe 54 83 49 51 284 275
IND t Te? 68 748 40 35 28° 23a
OREG 1 4009 4200 4900 56 ss Pe24an e319
WASH + 8.5 942 W102 ae 58 697 534
WIS ! 6eR 8.8 Int a7 39 252 343
us ' 6Ae) 7262 8566 55 $1 34753 3e700
SPEARMINT :
IDAHO 1 361 367 568 45 4? 140 176
IND : Se7 5.5 565 37 36 2ui 187
MICH t 366 304 Beh 33 2a 119 95
WASH : 1346 1307 17.4 2 ae 14219 14123
WIS 1 2e1 206 363 41 4o 86 104
us t 2749 2A.d 3504 64 58 e775 14683
: PRICE PER POUND : VALUE OF PRODUCTION
: 1975 : 1976 : 1975 : 1976
DOLLARS T,000 DOLLARS
PEPPERMINT:
IDAHO: VW.75 14,00 3,337 3,850
IND : 13.00 14.10 3,640 3,356
OREG : 13.50 15.00 30,240 34,650
WASH : 10.05 14.10 7,005 7,529
Wis : 11.50 15.50 2,898 5,317
us : 12.60 14.80 47,120 54,702
SPEARMINT =
TOAKO + 15.00 15.00 2,100 2,610
IND : 12.90 14.20 2,722 2,655
MICH : 10.50 12.10 1,250 1,150
WASH : 9.15 11.10 11,154 12,465
WIS : 14.00 17.90 1,204 1,862
us : 10.40 12.30 18,430 20,742

7 10 BE RELEASED AUGUST 17, 1977.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND

NUTS

CROP AND STATE

PRODUCTION! }/

1
i) TOTAL” ' TOTAL ' IND
t 1975 ' 1976 ' 1977
v ONS a
PLUMS 1
CALIF + 124,000 1259000 135,000
PRUNES (ORIED BASIS) '
CALIF ’ 1495000 1459000 152,000
APRICOTS - t
CALIF ' 1794000 1509000 150,000
UTAH a 500 2,000 19800
WASH t 39100 25800 25900
TOTAL ' 1825600 154.800 1549700
NECTARINES ‘
CALIF ' 111,000 1334000 128,000
ALMONDS. 1
CALIF 1 160,000 2334000 2384000
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS
CULLAGE® (TONS)? TOTAL APRICOTS, 1975=7,0008
1976=260160,
BARTLETT PEARS
STATE L PRODUCTION If
t TOTAL 1 TOTAL! 7 INO
t 1975 t 1976 ‘1977
t TONS
t
CALIF ’ 2972000 3655000 340,000
OREO ' 799000 824000 78,000
WASH ’ 1339500 1409000 135,000
TOTAL t 509,500 587,000 5534000
1/ INCLUDES _UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE®
(TONS) t [976=TOTAL 20,0006
POTATOES
SEASONAL GROUP | AREA HARVESTED i YIELD
AND ' ! Y INO” ' VT IND | t 1 IND
STATE 1 1975 +t 1976 | 1977 { 1975 | 1976 11977 | 1975 | 1976 | 1977
' 1,000 ACRES cwT 19000 CWT
4
'
WINTER ‘
'
ToraL 1 1603 16.4 13.6 202 207 162 20687 2,984 = 24 469
t
SPRING ‘
ALA ' 130 140 120 19378 15610 19320
ARIZ t 245 270 270 1519 11836 1s 755:
CALIF 1 380 «395 395109488) = :13,509 119683
PUASHASTINGS t 195 210, 220 39189 49053 44095
OTHER ' 185 160 175 382 400 315.
ba t 79 75 2 182 195 160
MISS { 90 98 90 171 190 a7
nc ' 160 145 150 19920 2,885 = - 29010
TEX ' 150 185160 82s 19101 eae
{
TOTAL ' 237280 285 199994 = 249779 229347
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



CITRUS CROP-HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO JUNE 1

Z 1975-76 B “1976-77
cRop : UTILIZATION > REMAINING UTILIZATION + REMAINING

; FRESH} PROCESSED TOTAL ; PROCESSED; TOTAL HARVEST

Ro:
harvest: FRESH
THOUSAND BOXES

ORANGES : 41,866 160,325 202,197 40,189 34,348 177,191 211,539 39,011

GRAPEFRUIT : 29,849 35,454 65,303 4,777 24,522 41,526 66,048 7,952
LEMONS 1 9,585 6,192 15,777 2,043 9,785 10,740 20,525 5,475

GRAPEFRUIT: The U.S. grapefruit crop is forecast at 74.0 million boxes, 2 percent above last

. month's forecast and 6 percent above the 1975-76 crop. The Florida crop at 52.5
million boxes is up 3 percent from last month and 7 percent above Tast season. California pro-
spects at 7.0 million boxes are unchanged from last month but are 3 percent below last season.
Arizona prospects at 3.0 million boxes are unchanged from the previous month but 3 percent below
the 1975-76 crov.

Grapefruit harvest was 89 percent complete by June 1 compared with 93 percent harvested by
the same date last year. Harvest in Florida and Texas is nearing completion. The Arizona harvest
is over half complete while the California crop is over 35 percent harvested.

Changes in the United States grapefruit production forecast between June 1 and final pro-
duction have averaged 0.7 million boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 0.1 million boxes
in 1969-70 to 1.9 million boxes in 1968-69.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona lemon crop is placed at 26.0 million boxes, unchanged from
May 1 but 46 percent above Jast season. Prospects in California at 21.0 million boxes
are 36 percent above the 1975-76 season. Harvest is nearly 80 percent complete.

The Arizona crop of 5.0 million boxes is more than double last season's output. Harvest is
complete.

APRICOTS: The 1977 apricot crop is forecast at 154,700 tons slightly below Vast year and 15
percent below 1975. The California crop forecast at 150,000 tons, is the same as last
year's production.

Harvest began on a limited scale the last week of May. The Washington crop of 2,900 tons is
4 percent above last season. The Utah crop is forecast at 1,800 tons, 10 percent below last year.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine crop is forecast at 125,000 tons, 6 percent less than last

season but 13 percent above the 1975 crop. Fruit size is good with no wind or in-
sect damage to date.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Prune production in California is forecast at 152,000 tons, 5 percent above

last year and 2 percent above the 1975 crop. The crop is late due to cool May
weather. California's plum crop is forecast at 135,000 tons, 17 percent above last season and 9
percent above 1975. Harvest of the early varieties has begun and quality is good.

ALMONDS: The almond crop in California is expected to total a record 238,000 tons in shell (290
million pounds of nut meats). This is unchanged from last month's forecast and is 2
percent above last year. Maturity is 2 to 3 weeks later than normal.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Farmers finished planting the corn crop early and gave full attention to planting the soy-
bean crop at a record pace. U.S. soybean planting reached 76 percent complete by the end of May,
surpassing both last year's 70 percent and the 51 percent average. In the eastern North Central
States, 87 percent of the crop was planted by May 29, slightly ahead of Tast year and over 30
potnts mare than the average. Recent plantings in Ohio and Indiana need moisture for improved
germination but emerged plantings are growing well. In the western North Central States, plant-
ings reached 84 percent complete with more than three-fourths of the crop emerged. Farmers in the
the South Central States planted 61 percent of the crop by the end of May, 5 points more than
1976 and almost 20 points more than average. Some areas across the South need moisture for germi-
nation.

Sorghum planting in the major producing States advanced to 6] percent complete by May 29.
This compares with 53 percent in 1976 and 55 percent average. Planting equalled or exceeded both
last year and the average in all the major States except Oklahoma which lagged last year's rate.
Progress ranged from 35 to 40 percent complete in Kansas and Oklahoma where rains delayed some
row crop ptanting, to 83 percent complete in Texas. Rains also damaged some fields on the Texas
northern High Plains. The crop began heading in south central Texas.

SMALL GRAINS

Oats and barley developement was far ahead of normal; unseasonably high temperatures helped
speed the crop to maturity. The small grains were from 2 to 3 weeks ahead of normal in the
Dakotas, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Early oats were heading in Wisconsin, 17 percent of the South
Dakota oats were headed and 22 percent were headed in Iowa.

ALL SPRING WHEAT

Seeding of the 1977 spring wheat crop began slowly but by the beginning of May, two-thirds
of the spring wheat crop was planted. Progress surpassed the 1976 rate and was almost double the
average rate. Planting by mid-May was 95 percent complete compared with 92 percent in 1976 and
65 percent average. The spring wheat crop grew well in the Dakotas, Minnesota, Montana and Idaho.

COTTON, TOBACCO, PEANUTS AND RICE

The cotton crop in the 11 Southern States was 84 percent planted at the end of May, equal-
ling the average rate and only a point less than last year. With the exception of Oklahoma and
Texas, planting in most States was finished. Oklahoma farmers reached 25 percent and Texas
growers 77 percent complete. Planting advanced very slowly during April because cold soils slow-
ed progress. Low soil temperatures and rain particularly delayed Texas growers early in the
season. Planting caught up during May with the benefit of clear weather and higher temperatures
through most of the South. Periodic May rains plagued Texas farmers but planting advanced rapid-
ly during the last part of the month, Plants squared thoughout the cotton production areas and

ranged from just beginning in Louisiana to 7 percent in Georgia. Texas cotton squared from the
South Central area southward.

Tobacco transplanting made satisfactory Progress through May, though not under entirely good
conditions. Ory soils and hot sunny weather in Kentucky resulted in poor stands. Some fields
were reset. Kentucky burley was 52 percent set by the end of May, the most advanced since 1965,
compared with 46 percent last year and 32 percent average. Tennessee tobacco transplanting reach-
ed 75 percent complete by the end of the month, falling between last year's 80 percent and the 65
percent average. North Carolina flue-cured growers advanced to 97 percent complete, equalling
1976 and ahead of the 92 percent average. By the end of May, Virginia growers transplanted 8]
percent of the flue-cured crop, 66 percent of the fire-cured, and 50 percent of the burley.
Progress in Virginia was far ahead of normal. Peanut planting was almost complete by the end of
May along the eastern production area. About 95 percent of the North Carolina and Virginia crops
were planted. Ory Alabama soils delayed peanut planting. Oklahoma growers replanted many peanut
fields damaged by rains and planting reached 40 percent complete, surpassing the 30 percent
attained last year and the average. By the end of May Texas growers had planted 34 percent of the
peanut crop, compared with 30 percent in 1976 and 41 percent average.

Rice planting was almost complete by the end of May.

C Germinati id
Texas fields reached the jointing stage. "developed slogign “ere S004 Some

The California crop developed slowly.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


MAY WEATHER SUMMARY

May was a month of unstable weather for the major crop-producing areas of the Nation's mid-
section. Thunderstorms, hail, and tornadoes left their mark, but planting continued at a rapid
pace. California's drought condition improved a bit as rangelands and crops received some
moisture. Winter struck a blow in the Northeast. Ory days during mid-month plagued the Southeast
but some locally heavy precipitation fell late in the month.

Heavy rains drenched the Central Great Plains and the West Coast during May. Above normal
precipitation was recorded from the Pacific to the Rocky Mountains, and many portions of Nebraska
southward to Oklahoma experienced between five and nine inches of rainfall. East of the
Mississippi River, drier than normal conditions prevailed except along the southern Atlantic
Coast, isolated areas of New England, and the extreme southern locales of Florida and Alabama
May weather statistics include a 12-hour record rainfall? of 11.50 inches in Miami, a 19-inch
snowfall in parts of the Northeast on May 10, and 30 tornadoes which tore through the lower half
of the Plains on May 18,

Temperatures averaged lower than normal west of the Rockies, in southern Texas, and through-
out most of Florida. The remainder of the Nation experienced a warm month as the mercury climbed
higher than normal, The western Great Lakes, Minnesota, and eastern North Dakota recorded 10 to

2° departures from average May temperatures. Record high readings baked Vermont, New York,
Michigan, Indiana and Illinois. It was the warmest May ever for Chicago, and Memphis sweltered
through a new record 99° on May 30.

Early May precipitation provided a rare two inches of rain to southern California. Southern
Florida was extremely hard hit by heavy rain. Temperatures were 3 to 9° above normal east of the
Rockies.

The second full week in May showed little or no precipitation from Missouri eastward to the
Atlantic Coast and southward to the Gulf. Once again, the western U. S. received some rain,
giving slight relief to the dryness, A spring snow dumped a blanket over parts of the Northeast
while Corn Belt farmers enjoyed clear weather and planted with no interruptions.

Mid-May rains boosted winter wheat condition and growth in the Great Plains. A semi-
stationary front in the Southeast held back storms which had moved from tha Rockies. Soil
moisture was adequate only in the Plains. Temperatues in the Great Lakes region reached as much
as 21° above normal.

More rain in the Plains States hampered winter wheat harvest and row crop planting during
the last week of May. Temperatures east of the Rocky Mountains soared above normal readings.

CORN, SORGHUM AND SOYBEAN PLANTING PROGRESS

Corn planting progressed rapidly again this spring, starting later than last year but soon
passing last year's excellent planting pace. At the beginning of May about one-third of the 1977
corn crop was planted, by mid-month 82 percent of the crop was in the ground and by dune 1 farmers
were almost finished planting. May weather conditions throughout most of the Corn Belt were al-
most ideal for planting. Soil moisture remained adequate for germination until near the end of
the month when some areas needed moisture to germinate recent seedings.

Planting corn advanced very quickly in I1linois, Towa and Missouri and was between 75 and
80 percent complete by May 8. Planting lagged in Ohio and Indiana early in May when rainy
weather kept farmers out of fields. Later Clear, dry weather gave eastern Corn Belt farmers the
opportunity to catch up, and by the end of May dry soils slowed germination of recent plantings.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUGARBEETS

STATE AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED YIELD
: a 19742 5 j
T,000 ACRE: TOW:
ARIZ 1/ 1.1 18.0 17.8 10.4 17.0 17.0 23.8 21.5 23.0
CALIFV/: 234.0 333.0 «318.0 230.0 326.3 312.0 25.3, 27.3 28.5
colo ~: 128.6 © 162.7 12410 128.7 154.9 121.0 18.0 17.2 19.0
TDAH =: 93.5 168.7 145.6 90.8 158.3 139.4 20.3 18.6 20.7
KANS 9: 35.9 46.0 39.0 35.1 43.0 38.0 172 15.5 19:7
MAINE 2/: 10:0 5.5 10.2
MICH: 82.8 93.6 93.6 80.4 91.4 91.4 17.0 19.2 16.8
MINN =: 18914-22510 256.0 182.7 196.0 2480 16 14.2 2
WONT =: 44.7 48.7 46.5 43.9 48.5 46.1 18.7 m1 21.0
NEBR oo: 2.5 98.0 86.0 75.5 96.0 84.5 18.3 18.5 20.0
N MEX: 5 ‘9 ul r ‘9 ‘9 19.8 16.7 22.2
NOAK ; 143.2 139.6 183.2 139.9 130.9 149.8 1.2 13.9 13.5
OHIO. 33.5 39.9 38.4 32.7 39.2 36.5 15.9 19.8 16.9
ORG =: (11.8 18.3 14:9 11.6 17.9 14.5 23.0 23.8 25.1
TEX: 22.6 37.2 26.8 19.7 33.7 23.4 77 13.1 21.5
UTAH W707 23.2 18.4 170 22.5 18.0 4 15.7 1716
WASH =: 65.2 83.9 79.1 63.3 82.4 76.5 24.5 26.0 24.4
wo: 419 58.3 57.1 53.5 57.7 56.4 18.4 18.4 20.7
US :1,251.8 1,595.0 1,525.5 1,212.6 1,516.6 1,478.9 18.2 19.6 19.9
: PRICE PER : VALUE OF
Hi PRODUCTION TON : PRODUCTION
SOT 1975 1976 S76 CTT
: T.000 TONS DOLTARS 1000 DOLLARS
ARIZ V/ : 247 366 391 28.50 10,437
CALIF J: 5,948 8,892 8,892 30:10 2677649
Colo: © 2,261 23661 23303 28.70 76,371
TDAHO =: (1,845 23942 23879 24:90 73,256
KANS ; 602 667 749 26.60 17,742
MAINE 2/ 56
MICH ~~: 1,364 1,755 1,540 24.80 43,524
NINN 2116 27783 31026 23.60, 65,679
MONT 820 829 968 30.20 25,036
NEBR 1,382 1,776 1,690 28.90 513326
NMEX 3 8 15 29 28.10 422
NDAK : 1,562 1,820 2,022 28.50 51,870
ouIO.: 519 777 617 24.40 18,959
OREG 267 426 364 22.00 9,372
TEX 349 440 503 28-10 12,364
UTAH 296 353 317 27.10 9,566
WASH 1,554 2,142 1,862 26.10 55,905
wo 983 1060 1,167 29.50 31,270
us: 22,123 29,704 29,366 27.60 3/19.70 820,743 3/578, 510

T7 RELATES T0_YEAR OF HARVEST.
2/ NONE PLANTED IN 1974 OR 1975.
3/ PRELIMINARY.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


NOTE: A special report on the California Clingstone peach crop

will be released June 24, 1977 at 3:00 P.M. ET, by the Crop
Reporting Board, Statistical Reporting Service, Washington, D.C

and the California Crop and Livestock Reporting Service, Sacramento,
California. The special report will be based on the objective
measurement survey now being conducted and all other indicators
available at that time.

BARTLETT PEARS: The Bartlett pear crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
553,000 tons, down 6 percent from last year's total production but 9 percent
qreater than the 1975 crop.

California production is expected to total 340,000 tons, off 7 percent from the near-record
1976 output. The crop is developing well despite some hai! and frost damage, although cool May
temperatures slowed growth. Harvest is expected to begin in mid-July

Oregon's crop at 78,000 tons will be below both 1975 and 1976 levels. Frost damage reduced
production in many areas of the Willamette Valley, but losses from other factors have been minimal.

In Washington, an estimated 135,000 tons will be produced, compared with 140,000 tons in
1976 and 133,500 in 1975. Trees overwintered in good condition and spring pollination weather
was favorable. Despite the use of frost contro) measures, late spring freezes caused scarring of
fruit in some northern orchards. At this time, water supplies are expected to be adequate for
development of the Bartlett crop.

ORANGES: The Nation's 1976-77 orange crop is expected to total 250.6 million boxes, 2 percent

less than May 1 forecast but 3 percent above last season. The total crop in Florida is
now placed at 189.0 million boxes, down 2 percent from May 1 but 4 percent above last season
Valencia crop prospects declined 4 percent during the month. The California crop at 51.0 million
boxes is down 2 percent from last month, The reduction is the result of lower prospects for the
Valencia crop, now expected to total 24.0 million boxes. The Naval crop at 27.0 million boxes is
unchanged from last month. Arizona's crop is placed at 3.95 million boxes, the same as last
month but 47 percent above last season's crop. The Texas production forecast is placed at 6.6
million boxes, unchanged from last month but 6 percent above last season

Harvest or oranges in the U.S. was 84 percent complete on June 1 compared with 83 percent on
the same date last year. The Florida harvest is about 92 percent complete. Harvest of the early
season crops is complete while the Valencia crop is 80 percent harvested

In California harvest of the Navel crop is nearly complete; however, the Valencia crop is
just slightly over 10 percent complete. The Arizona Navel crop is nearing completion while the
Valencia crop is about 80 percent harvested. The Texas crop is about 90 percent complete. 1

June 1 U.S. forecasts have deviated from actua? production by an average of 1.9 million

boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 210,000 boxes in 1973-74 to 5.0 million boxes in
975-76.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The all orange juice yield for the 1976-77 season is

. projected at 1.08 gallons of 45 degree brix concentrate
per box. The 1975-76 final yield was 1.29 gallons per box

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION [Qi

Released: June 8, 1977 Statistical Report
uy s porting
3:00 P!M. ET Service

U.S. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Winter Wheat production, forecast at 1,526 million bushels, is up 3 percent from
the May 1, 1977 forecast but is 3 percent below the 1976 production and 8
percent below the record high 1975 production.

Citrus production is forecast at 15.5 million tons, 1 percent below last month
but 5 percent above last season.

Orange production is expected to total 250.6 million boxes, 2 percent (4.0 million
boxes) below last month's forecast but 3 percent above the 1975-76 season.

Grapefruit production is forecast at 74.0 million boxes. This is 2 percent above
ast month and 6 percent above last season,

Peach production in the U.S. is forecast at 2.9 billion pounds, down 3 percent
from last season's total but 3 percent above the 1975 crop. Production of
Clingstone peaches in California is expected to total 1.4 billion pounds,
down 6 percent from the 1976 total crop and off 4 percent from 1975.

Bartlett Pear production in the three Pacific Coast States is forecast at 553,000
tons, 6 percent below last year's total crop but 9 percent higher than in
1975.

Sweet Cherry production in the Western States is expected to total 108,150 tons
this year, nearly one-third below the 1976 total crop and 8 percent under
the 1975 output.

Spring Potato production is estimated at 22.3 million cwt., 2 percent below the

orecast of a month earlier and 10 percent less than the 24.8 million cwt.
produced in 1976,

CrPr 2-2 (6-77) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SWEETPOTATOES - 1976 REVISED: Production of sweetpotatoes in 1976 is now placed at 13.8
million cwt, produced in 1975 but 1 percent below the 1974 pro-
duction. The revised 1976 estimate compares with the preliminary estimate of 13.7 million cwt
The 1976 crop was produced from 119.6 thousand acres, a I percent increase from the 118.5
thousand acres harvested in 1975. The average yield for 1976 was a record high 115 cwt. per
acre,

PASTURE ANO RANGE FEED: The condition of pasture and range feed on June 1 was 74 percent of
norma) for the 48 contiguous States - 3 points below a year earlier and

10 points below the 1966-75 average for this date

Pastures and ranges in the West and Southeast were in poorer condition than a year earlier.
Ample rainfall has pushed pasture conditions much above a year ago in the central and southern —
Great Plains. June | pastures were also better than a year earlier in Indiana, Kentucky and Ohio
and in Minnesota and South Dakota which were plagued by drought in 1976.

SUGAR CROPS - 1976 REVISED: Production of sugarbeets in 1976 totaled 29.4 million tons, down 1
percent from the record output of 29.7 million tons produced in 1975,

but 33 percent above the 1974 production. Acreage harvested in 1976 at 1,478,900 was down 2 per-

cent from a year earlier. Average yield per acre of 19,9 tons in 1976 compares with 19.6 tons in

Sugarcane processed for sugar in 1976 totaled 27.6 million tons, up 1 percent from the 1975
production of 27.5 million tons. Sugarcane acreage harvested for sugar in 1976 totaled 717,500
acres and yielded 38.5 tons per acre. In Florida, production of sugarcane for sugar at 9.9
million tons was down 3 percent from 1975. Louisiana's output of 7.5 million tons was up 15 per-
cent from the previous year. The Texas crap totaled 1.1 million tons, down 1] percent from a year
earlier. Hawaiian production at 9.2 million tons was down 3 percent from 1975.

Total sugar production (raw value) is estimated at 6.6 million tons, down 5 percent from the
1975 output of 7.0 million tons. Sugar (raw value) from cane at 2.7 million tons decreased 7 per-
cent from 1975 and sugar (raw value) from beets at 3.9 million tons decreased 3 percent from the
previous year.

The 1976 sugarbeet crop was valued at $578.5 million compared with $820.7 million in 1975.
Value of sugarcane for sugar in Florida, Louisiana and Texas totaled $254.1 million, down sharply
from the 1975 crop valued at $352.5 million,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SWEET CHERRIES: Production of sweet cherries in the seven Western States is forecast at 108, 150
tons in 1977, nearly one-third below last year and 8 percent less than 1975's
total.

California's crop of 25,000 tons will be less than half of last year and 18 percent below
1975. Although size is good, much less fruit was set this year, and fruit splitting has been much
greater. Coo? May weather caused uneven ripening and the season will be abnormally prolonged.

In Oregon, 34,000 tons are forecast, off 13 percent from a year ago. Fruit quality and size
are good, and little damage has been experienced except for some isolated hail and frost in the
Milton-Freewater area

Washington expects a 38,000 ton crop this year, down 30 percent from the 1976 total and 12
percent below 1975. Following the mild winter, cool, windy weather during pollination reduced
cherry set and some frost damage occurred later. Water supplies appear adequate at this time and
harvest will be underway in early June

Idaho and Montana expect good cherry crops this year while Utah expects 1,000 tons Jess than
last year.

TART CHERRIES: The three Western States of Colorado, Oregon and Utah expect tart cherry produc-

tion to total 21.7 million pounds, 19 percent below last year's large crop, but
24 percent higher than the 1975 total. In Colorado, the crop is expected to equal last year's
3.3 million pounds while Oregon expects a slight decline and the Utah forecast is 29 percent be-
Jow a year earlier.

MINT FOR OIL: The acreage of peppermint for harvest in 1977 is estimated at 86,400 acres, an
increase of 20 percent over the 72,200 acres harvested in 1976 and 27 percent

above the 1975 acreage of 68,100 acres. Acreage increases are indicated for all peppermint
producing States.

Spearmint growers expect harvest 35,400 acres this year, up 22 percent from the 28,900 acres
harvested in 1976. Acreage harvested in 1975 was 27,900 acres. Increased acreage is expected

in all spearmint producing States except Indiana and Michigan where acreage remains the same as
1976.

POTATOES: The final forecast of the 1977 spring potato crop at 22.3 million cwt, is 2 percent

below the May 1 forecast and 10 percent below the 24.8 million cwt. produced in 1976
Acreage for harvest at 91,300 is 8 percent below a year earlier. Estimated yield per acre
decreased to an average of 245 cwt., down 2 percent from last year's average of 250 cwt

The California crop is forecast at 11.7 million cwt., unchanged from last month but down 14
percent from last year's crop. Volume harvest began in mid-May. Cool weather has delayed crop
development. Harvest is active in Arizona with quality reported good and size above average.

The Hastings Florida crop is unchanged from last month at 4.1 million cwt., 1 percent above
the 1976 crop. Digging was active during May and continued into early June. The crop is later
than normal but yields are good. Ory weather in late April and early May reduced yield prospects
in North Carolina, However, rain in late May benefited the crop, Harvest is expected to begin
earlier than usual. Ory weather during May in Baldwin County, Alabama reduced yields sharply.
Harvest in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas was completed by early June with quality good but

yields below average. In the San Antonio-Winter Garden area, digging will continue through June.
Harvest in the Knox-Haskell area is active,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Winter wheat production for 1977 is forecast at 1,526 million bushels based on
June 1 conditions up 3 percent from the May 1 forecast. This is 3 percent less
than last year's 1,566 million bushel crop and 8 percent less than the record 1975 crop of 1,653
million bushels, If realized, this will be the third largest crop of record. The decrease in
production from last year is a result of 4 percent fewer acres intended for harvestas grain, off-
setting a slightly higher yield. Nationally, the yield is expected to average 31.9 bushels per
acre compared with 31.6 bushels last year and 32.1 bushels two year ago. Improved moisture
conditions since May 1 have increased expected yields in many areas.

Temperatures during May were generally above normal from the Rocky Mountains eastward to
the Atlantic Coast while they were below normal west to the Pacific Ocean. Much needed
precipitation fell in the Pacific Coast States early in May with showers continuing throughout.
the month. Most of the Plains and North Central States received significant rainfall during
the month with the central Plains getting the largest amounts.

Harvesting has begun in southern States and has progressed to the low plains area of Texas.
Although wheat is ripe in the low plains area, wet fields were slowing harvest progress. Rain
in Oklahoma are causing lodging in local areas and possible harvesting problems.

Arizona harvesting began at mid-May and currently is very active in central and western
areas. Harvest has started in the Imperial and San Joaquin Valleys of California.

The Kansas wheat crop is maturing at a normal rate with 10 percent of the crop turning
color by June 1. Most of the acreage was rated in good condition although lodging was a
problem, particularly in south central Kansas. Nebraska winter wheat in mostly good condition
and heading out ahead of normal.

Rains in the Northern Plains States and Pacific Northwest have improved the wheat condition
but soil mositure reserves are still low. Washington wheat began heading out in late May with
non-irrigated wheat short in height. Winter wheat in Montana’ was also heading early on short
stalks.

Wheat in the soft winter producing areas was generally in fair to good condition. Maturity
is progressing from near normal to slightly ahead of normal in these areas.

Changes in production between the June 1? forecasts and final estimates of production after
harvest have averaged 57 million bushels for the past decade, ranging from 7 million to 150
million bushels. The June 1 forecast was above the final estimate 6 of the 10 years by an
average of 46 million bushels and below 4 times by an average of 74 million.

PEACHES: Production of peaches is forecast at 2.9 billion pounds in 1977, down slightly from

last season's total of 3.0 billion pounds but above the 1975 crop of 2.8 billion pounds.
Excluding California Clingstone production, the peach crop is expected to total 1.5 billion
pounds, slightly above 1976 and 10 percent larger than 1975,

Peach production in the nine Southern States is now forecast at 585.5 million pounds, off 8
percent from a month ago but still above the crop totals of the previous two seasons. Extended
unseasonably dry May weather in Georgia and South Carolina, the region's largest producers, re-
duced the peach crop prospects 20 and 5 percent, respectively, from last month. Some hail damage
also occurred in Georgia. Late May rains in the Carolinas should aid sizing of late varieties.
Harvest is now underway in many producing areas in the region.

Despite severe winter weather, the peach crops in most Great Lakes and Northeastern States
are expected to outstrip last year's freeze damaged crops.

In Western States, fruit set was lighter than last year; however, crop development and fruit
quality are generally good. California's Freestone crop, at 460.0 million pounds, is slightly
below last year's total but well above the 1975 crop, Harvest started on early varieties in the
third week of April and continues active. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.4
billion pounds, 6 percent below last year and off 4 percent from the 1975 total crop. Fruit de-
velopment was slightly behind schedule due to cool, wet May weather in some areas, and thinning
operations were still underway in late May.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SWEETPOTATOES:

AREA SEANTE ! ! AREA HARVESTED ~
1974 J 19758! 1976 1) 1974 | 978 5 1976:

!
STATE J

1 19000 ACRES:

'
ALA 1 55 508: S35 5.5 $08 35
ARK 1 le? 205! 1.5 1.7 1S 1.5
CALIF 1 607 73 To 607 %3 6
GA { 865 8.0 8.0 820 75 75
La | 3600 31.0 30.0 3320 3060 29.0
MO 1 202 202 2.0 2e1 201 1.9
MIss { 90 9.5 9.5 900 98 90
NJ (166 2.0 2.2 1.8. 20 2.2
nc { 3000 32.0 35.0 2900 3100 33.0
sc ! 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.5 203 2.5.
TENN 1 1300 300 2.9 300 300 2.9
TEX 1 1100 1065 1160 1000 1060 10.5
va TeT 609 7.9 Toh 665 6.5
us | 125.6 122.0 124.7 12167 11805 119.6:

{ |

l -YYELD: \ _ PRODUCTION

{_197e 7 1978 1 1976 197% | 1978! | 1976

' cwr 19000 CWT

| .
ALA. { 100 90 90 550 S22 498
ARK: { 78 80 78 128 120 7
CALar: =f 165" 140 155 18106 1,022 14178
GA ( 98 100 95 760 750 713
La. { 105 85 55 39675 24550 24755
MD: t 240 155 140 298 326 266
miss 1 100 97 90 900 922 610
Nu 1 120 110 us 216 220 283
NC 1 135 165 140 35915 49495 49620
sc 1 9 87 86 228 200 215
TENN 1 100 105 105 300 315 305
TEX, (88 115 108 850 10150 14103
VA. 1 135 150 148 999 975 948

(
us: (114 iis 11s 139923 134567 134773

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


12 Good to excellent

Gal Fair
Poor RELATIVE CONDITIONS OR
ER) Very poor PROSPECTS AS INDICATED BY
EB Near failure ‘REPORTS FROM CROP CORRE
‘SPONDENTS ON “ALL CROPS*
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 56-77 (6) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PROSPECTS*
June 1, 1977

© Good to excellent

EG] Fair
EZ
ee #RELATIVE CONDITIONS O8
Ma Very poor PROSPECTS AS INDICATED BY
GH‘ Nezr failure REPORTS FROM CROP CORRE-
‘SPONDENTS ON “ALL CROPS”
U.S, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 381-76 (6) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PROSPECTS*
June 1, 1976

y

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977

A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

: AVERAGE : 2 : AVERAGE : :
STATE : 1966-75: 1976 : 1977 STATE : 1966-75: 1976 : 1977
: PERCENT PERCENT

ALA : 84 83 63 82 75 60
ARIZ : 74 77 60 88 100 85
ARK : 88 80 72 89 82 79
CALIF + 78 a6 aq 68 66 77
COLO 3 76 71 69 88 91 89
CONN : 88 92 88 90 74 74
DEL 3 93 66 67 81 70 44
FLA : 71 82 50 91 72 77
GA : 83 84 $3 82 86 i
TOAHO : 83 90 60 82 87 64
TLL H 92 83 80 90 83 79
IND : 92 7S 83 31 96 90
IOWA : 88 88 80 85 81 62
KANS 3 82 86 90 81 51 68
ky : 94 74 81 91 80 80
LA : 83 78 69 78 79 84
MAINE : 86 94 91 80 83 52
MD : 89 74 65 87 94 75
MASS : 88 93 93 92 67 67
MICH : 88 86 61 85 89 61
MINN + 86 47 7 86 65 61
MISS : 88 78 73 88 78 75
0 : 89 82 81 83 91 82
MONT ’ 82 87 68
NEBR : 82 80 89 84 7 74

T7COOD TH EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER? POOR TO FAIR, 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-455
EXTREME OROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CHERRIES.
CROP AND PRODUCTION 1/
STATE TOTAL : TOTAL : TND
1975, A 1976 a 1977 2/
IN
CHERRIES, SWEET
CALLF 30,500 51,000 25,000
COLO 400 500 550
IDAHO 1,550 3,000 3,000
MONT 2,400 2,650 2,600
OREG 36,500 39,000 34,000
UTAH 2,800 6,000 5,000
WASH 43,100 54,300 38,000
TOTAL 117,250 156,450 108,150
CHERRIES, TART 3/ MILLION POUNDS
cOLo ~ 3.3 3.3 3.3
OREG 6.2 6.6 6.4
UTAH 8.0 17.0 12.0
TOTAL 17.5 26.9 21.7

J/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (TONS): TOTAL SWEET, 1976-4,850; TOTAL TART,
1975- 100,000 POUNDS. 2/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR THE GREAT LAKES STATES-N Y, PA, AND MICH-FOR SWEET
VARIETIES PLUS OHIO AND WIS FOR TART VARIETIES WILL BE MADE AS OF JUNE 15 AND RELEASED JUNE 23. 3/ TART
CHERRIES ARE NOW ESTIMATED IN MILLION POUNDS. ~

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



CITRUS FRUIT 1/

‘ PRODUCTION ' PRODUCTION
crop t TON VALENT ____
AND t UFILIZEO SS yNOTCATEO I oye ih zED JINDICATED
- 975-16 1 1976977 1 19767: =
t 19000 UNITS 2/ Teed UNITS
ORANGES*EARLY MID & NAVEL 3/1
ARIZ as 920 730 800 3 27 3¢
CALIF 1 289000 285300 27.000 1,050 16061 1,013
FLA t 969600 984800 1157000 49347 49466 55175
TEX ae 20930 39800 44200 125 162 179
us 1 1289650 1319630 147+0900 51557 51696 65397
ORANGES sVALENCTA '
ARIZ 1 40050 10950 39150 152 73 118
CALIF t 279100 245000 244000 15016 900 900
FLA + 769700 825600 749000 394652 39708 349330
TEX ase 19610 29400 29400 68 102 102
us t 1099460 1105750 1039550 49688 49783 44450
ALL ORANGES '
ARIZ ' 49970 2,680 39950 187 100 148
CALIF t 856100 526300 51,000 20066 16961 1,913
FLA & 17303900 1815200 = 1495000 799 85154 8,505
TEX ast 49540 60200 69600 193 264 281
us 4 2379910 242380 2506550 109265 109479 10,847
TEMPLES i -
FLA ' 50300 51500 39800 239 248 iv.
GRAPEFRUIT WHITE SEEOLESS ‘
FLA 1 289900 28,300 305700 1e101 15203 1,305
GRAPEFRUITsPINK SEEOLESS '
FLA $ 119500 135000 129600 489 553 536
GRAPEFRUIT sOTHER '
LA U 79200 71800 99200 306 332 391
ALL GRAPEFRUIT 1
ARIZ ’ 29770 35080 30000 89 99 96
CALIF ' .
OESERT t 34750 40100 39700 120 131 41a
OTHER AREAS t 39160 30100 39300 106 104 ll
TOTAL ’ 69910 7200 79000 226 235 229
Fla t 449600 499100 529500 19896 2-088 2,232
TEX arn 79300 109700 11*500 292 428 460
us ' 619580 709080 749000 29503 29850 3,017
TANGERINES '
ARIZ ae 610 660 800 23 25 30
CALIF ast 19620 19350 19450 61 51 54
Fla s 39100 39400 36300 147 162 157
us ’ 59330 So4l0 59530 231 238 241
LEMONS 1
ARIZ as 79200 29420 51000 276 92 190
CALIF t 229200 154400 214000 B46 sa5 798
us 1 299400 179820 264000 19118 67? 988
TANGELOS 1
FLA 4 40700 59500 49800 212 248 216

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED,

2/7 NET LBS PER BOX! ORANGES@CALIF & ARIZ=75s5FLA=904
TEX*B51 GRAPEFRUIT=CALIF DESERT & ARIZ=64+ CALIF
OTHER@67_ FLA=859 TEX=80t LEMONS=76% TANGELOS &
TEMPLES#908 TANGERINES@ CALIF & ARIZ=75» FLAW95,

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
Teka INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN

EXAS,
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF JUNE 1? WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Winter wheat production forecasts are based on surveys of farm operators
as well as objective yield surveys. During the growing season farmers
provide appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for
the wheat crop on their farms and for their localities. Objective yield
surveys provide small plot observations, counts and measurements in a
probability sample of wheat fields. These surveys are subject to sampling
and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More im-
portantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that directly affect final production
but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June winter wheat
production forecast in this report the “Root Mean Square Error“, a statis-
tical measure based on past performance, is included. This is computed

by expressing the deviations between the June production forecasts and

final estimates as a percent of the final estimate and averaging the
squared percentage deviations for the 1957-76 twenty year period; the

square root of this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square
Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected errors in
the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimate, assuming
that factors affecting this year's forecasts are not different from those
influencing recent year forecasts. For winter wheat, the Root Mean Square
Error for the June 1 production forecast is 5.5 percent. This means that
chances are about 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not differ

from the final estimate by more than 5.5 percent, and about 9 out of 10
that the difference will not exceed 9.5 percent. The approximate 90 percent
confidence interval thus indicates that the final production estimate for
winter wheat is not expected to fall below 1,380 million bushels or to
exceed 1,670 million bushels.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

[CARER HARVESTED YIELD PER-ACRE > PRODUCTION
CROP AND UNIT +1976; INDICATED qgpg INDICATED F yg7g gy
i , 1977 2 : 1977: (1977,
T,000 ACRE! T 000

WINTER WHEAT BU: 49,535 47,785 31.6 31.9 1,566,074 1,477,455 1,525,800

POTATOES, SPRING CHT : 9.0 8ST. 250 245 2ae779. 227737” 22,347

PASTURE & RANGE I/ PCT : 7 4

PEACHES 2/ LB: 3,018,200 2,935 ,000

APRICOTS TONS: 184.8 184.7

NECTARINES (CALIF) oo" 133.0 125.0

PLUMS (CALIF) wy 115.0 135.0

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) " 145.0 152.0

ALMONDS (CALIF) my 233.0 238.0 238.0

PEPPERMINT FOR OIL LB: 72.2 86.4 51 AUG 11 3,700 fuG 11

SPEARMINT FOR OIL ="; = 28.9. (35.4 58 Aus 11 17683 AUG 11

CITRUS FRUITS 3/ : 1975-76 1976-77 1976-77
ORANGES BOX TAZ, 7O | T5U,550 | ~ 250,550
GRAPEFRUIT ia 707080 72,500 74,000
LEMONS wy 173820 26,000 26,000
ar PASTURE Al IN RST iON AVERAGE 1 PERCENT. TN-

CLUDES CULLS ANO CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS:

1976 = 154,000. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF

HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
METRIC UNITS
EA Vi D A El ARE TON
cROP 2 yo76 | INDICATED | qg7g | INDICATED F gg7q THOTCATED
: 1977: poet : :
: : : : 1977: 1977
HECTARES” HETRTC TONS

WINTER WHEAT 120,046,320 19,338,110 2.13 2.15 42,621,550 40,209,740 41,525,470

POTATOES, SPRING : "40,060 "36,950 28.06, 274311237950 1,031;330 1,023,640

PEACHES : 13697030 13337,290

APRICOTS t 140,430 140,340

NECTARINES (CALIF) : 120,660 113,400

PLUMS. (CALIF) : 104,330 1223470

DRIEO PRUNES (CALIF) 7 131,540 137,890

ALMONDS. (CALIF) : 2113370 215,910 215,910

PEPPERMINT FOR OIL : 29,220 34,970 06 AUG 11 1,680 AUG 1)

SPEARMINT FOR OIL : 11,700 14,330 .06 AUG 17 760 AUG 1)

CITRUS FRUITS : 1975-76 1976-77 1976-77
ORANGES: : 9,506, 9,997, 84, 230
GRAPEFRUIT : 22585,480 2.678.920 2,736,980
LEMONS : 614,160 "896,300 896,300

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information
on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Re-
porting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the Statistical Reporting Ser-
vice's field offices and Washington headquarters.

(ROP REPORTING BOARD:
_M. Graham, Chairman,
. L. Koehn, Secretary,
. Kirkbride, F. E. Rolf,
. Carver, W. H. Walther,

8
M
JW
RLF
R. S. Crickenberger, D. J. Buckner,
H. J. DeLong, Wo N. Dowdy,
{ 0. J. Fedewa, D. E. Hamilton,
0. 4. Johnson, L. K. Roberson,
DLA
HL J

APPROVED:

. Rockwell, R. L. Schulte,
+ Tippett, W. J. Walker,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE W.'W. Wilken.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARO, SRS, USDA


U.S. SUGAR BEETS

Production and Season Average Price
MIL. TONS

$ PER TON

30 40
Production
26 5 30
2 “| 20
Season average price 4
18 L 1 1 10
1966 1972 1974 1976
USDA NEG. SRS 54-77 (5)

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977

A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEACHES

: PRODUCTION T/ ' PRODUCTION
crop POUNDS : 48 LBs EQUIVALENT
AND TOTAL PINDICATEDE TOTAL vINDICATED
STATE f 1975 1976 1977 ~¢ 1975 ot 1976 1977
t MILLION UNITS 19000 UNTTS
PEACHES :
ALA : 1460 1140 146 292 229
ARK : 4200 4700 729 B75 833
CALTFeFerESTONE ' 38960 46460 45960 Belds 94667 96583
CoOL : W4e7 14.5 2440 348 302 Son
CONN : 41 Sef 113 as 194
OEL 1.6 Pel 67? 33 42
GA 9540 2000 140.6 1979 4o167 2.917
IDAs 29605 1260 22.5 219 250 260
TLL 27a 20.0 11.0 563 417 peo
IND 1net S65 2.5 208 1s $2
KANS, lyea 660 9.0 229 a3 1pA
KY 14S 9.0 1.9 344 188 al
LA 309 7.0 70 63 146 146
MD : 23.0 19.0 479 375 396
MASS : 503 5.0 lho 94 19s
MICH ' 6520 7040 15354 333 14458
MISS ast bed ed a3 125 125
mo : 2400 13. 479 469 27
NJ t 95.0 95.0 19979 19667 14979
NY : 17,0 1165 354 198 240
NC : 306M 3540 625 521 729
OHIO. : 20.0 200 417 250 42
OKLA art eB 9.5 142 167 198
OIEG t 13.2 15.0 27 313 a13
PA t 1la.0 95.0 24292 28292 1,979
sc : 21040 30060 49375 50313 65250
TENN t ae7 Aad 181 167 167
TEX t 14.9 37.0 333 436 m1
UTAN t 16,4 I7ey 333 375 354
va t 3300 2060 667 313 617
wash fy Baan 34.0 792 875, 708
wea : PR. 19.0 $63 313 375
TOTAL t 1039961 1 1,535.0 28,961 31,718 31,980
PEACHES CLINGSTONF ast
CALIF t 1945.0 1949660 3049000 300250 319167 294167
ALL PEACHES t
us t 2594261 3,018.2 2,935.0 SIs21t 62,885 61,147

1/ INCLUDFS UNHaRVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE

(MILLION POUNNS)$ UNTTED STATES, 1975=28.09 1976=

21B 66.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YFAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ CALIFOPNIA CLINGSTONE TS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND

INCLUDFS CULLS AND CANNERY OIVESSTONS (MILLION

POUNDS)! 1975=15U009 197H9154,0,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1977 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USOA