PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

: IND

1983 : 1984:
: BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
: 59.0 69.0 25,080 17,995 26,220
: 136.0 140.0 2,376 2,312 3,640
: 80.0 90.0 2,700 2,640 4,410
: 128.0 140.0 42,900 33,280 51,800
: 122.0 135.0 101,910 74,420 91,800
: 75.0 110.0 18,054 10,875 16,500
z 67.0 62.0 13,860 8,174 13,020
: 75.0 85.0 69,275 55,125 79,050
: 119.0 122.0 8,520 7,735 10,370
: 79.0 116.0 1,498,640 624,100 1,267,880
: 73.0 114.0 790,020 340,910 684,000
: 87.0 115.0 1,578,000 743,850 1,460,500
: 93.0 109.0 139,080 81,840 100,825
: 48.0 97.0 153,470 46,080 141,620
: 90-0 105.0 3,200 5,040 8,190
MAINE 2/ :
MD : 545 590 68.0 112.0 65,920 37,060 66,080
MASS 2/ +
MICH ' 1,800 2,600 92.0 90.0 293,180 165,600 234,000
MINN t 4,370 6,380 84.0 107.0 734,500 367,080 682,660
Miss 1/ 55 105 64.0 60.0 5,580 3,520 6,300
Mo : 1,430 1,780 51.0 78.0 198,970 72,930 138.840
MONT 1/ : 13 15 105.0 100.0 1,400 1,365 1,500
NEBR : 4,850 6,800 96.0 108.0 748,000 465,600 734,400
NH 2/  ¢
NJotf og 90 105 68.0 105.0 11,400 6,120 11,025
NMEX 1/0 50 60 140.0 145.0 8,125 7,000 8,700
NY : 600 + 740 90.0 95.0 70,380 54,000 70,300
nc : 1,280 1,650 60.0 93.0 155,430 76,800 153,450
N DAK 1/ ot 435 630 67.0 73.0 35,360 29,145 45,990
OHIO : 2,800 3,750 80.0 108.0 224,000 405,000
OKLA 1/ 37 55 112.0 105.0 4,144 5,775
OREG 1/ = 33 37 162.0 164.0 5,346 6,068
PA : 1,050 1,300 69.0 106.0 126,100 72,450 137,800
Rt 2:
sc t 275 435 62,0 76.0 33,440 17,050 33,060
S DAK : 1,970 2,700 53.0 74.0 193,680 104,410 199,800
TENN : 480 680 48.0 90.0 56,700 23,040 61,200
TEX : 1,080 1,450 97.0 95.0 119,700 104,760 137,750
UTAH 1/ 14 15 110.0 120.0 2,006 1,540 1,800
vT 2/ '
vA : 340 540 48.0 101.0 62,620 16,320 54,540
WASH t/t 110 130 160.0 160.0 24,000 17,600 20,800
WYA 1/3 60 76 78.0 98.0 7,840 4,680 7,448
Wis + 2,300 3,400 97,0 106.0 361,800 223,100 360,400
wYo t/ 68 68 104.0 110.0 5,145 7,072 7,480
us 54,443 71,064 81.0 106.3 8,255,101 4,166,108 7,551,991

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED 1S FOR SILAGE. .

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COFFEE

: PRODUCTION

1982-83
t,000 POUNDS
990 2,800

PRODUCTION

CROP ewer nn nnne eee ene te eaeaeey ener eene
AND t TOTAL ‘ / t

STATE tween an nnee= eee e nen enecne woseeee : IND

BARTLETT :

CALIF Fy 314,000 259,500 275,000
OREG 2 70,000 63,000 41,000
WASH : 141,300 140,800 95,000
TOTAL : 525,300 463,300 411,000
EXCLUDING BARTLETT 2
CALIF 2 7,500 8,200 9,500
OREG : 105,000 125,000 115,000
WASH 1 123,500 138,000 108,000
TOTAL : 236,000 271,200 232,500
ALL 2
CALIF : 321,500 267,700 284,500
COLO 2/ 2 2,700 5,500 4,700
CONN 2/ t 1,550 1,450 1,500
MICH : 12,000 8,000 10,000
NY : 19,000 19,000 20,000
OREG : 175,000 168,000 156,000
PA 2/ : 4,600 2,700 4,100
UTAH 2/ : 2,800 3,500 3,700
WASH 2 264,800 278,800 203,000
us z 803,950 774,650 687,500

Vv INCLUDES UNHARV ESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED Not SOLD (TONS): uv s
1982-1,220, 1983-200.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

107-10

wb

ak

oe

we

PEANUTS: Production is estimated at a record high 4.25 billion pounds (1.93
————" million metric tons), up fractionally from last month and 29 percent
above last year. This is 272 million pounds above the previous record of 3.98
billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) set in 1981. Production fs up from
1983 in all States, except Texas. Yield, forecast at a record high 2784
Pounds, is up 6 pounds from August 1, 385 pounds above last year and 91 pounds
above the previous record set in 1982.

Southeastern growers (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina) expect
their production to total 2.98 billion pounds, 35 percent above 1983. Yield
for the 4-State area at 3158 pounds is up 25 pounds from last month and 439
pounds above last year. Production in Alabama is set at 621 million pounds,
37 percent above 1983, This is a record high production, 3 percent above the
Previous record of 603 million pounds set in 1981. Yield prospects in Alabama
are up 100 pounds from a month earlier and 325 pounds above a year earlier.
August weather was favorable with first digging expected in early September.
Florida growers are expecting a record high production of 224 million pounds,
34 percent above 1983. The crop was in good condition on September 1.
Georgia's production is forecast at a record high 2.10 billion pounds, 34
percent above last year and 22 percent above the previous record high set in
1975. Estimated yield per acre of 3300 pounds is up 510 pounds from last year
and fs also a record high.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 723 million pounds, up 40
Percent from last year's crop of 517 million pounds. Growers in North
Carolina expect to harvest 447 million pounds of peanuts, up 40 percent from
last year. The anticipated yield of 2900 pounds is 735 pounds above a year
earlier. Digging is not expected to begin until late September. Virginia
growers are expecting a yield of 2850 pounds, down 50 pounds from last month
but 760 pounds above last year. Wet conditions during August promoted some
disease buildup causing yield prospects to decline from August 1.

The crop in the southwest (Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico) is expected to
total 551 million pounds, 3 percent below August 1 forecast and 2 percent
below last year. Yield prospects are down 50 pounds per acre in Texas and
unchanged in Oklahoma. Recent rain in Texas was beneficial to peanuts in the
Plains but dryland acreage is still showing stress from a shortage of moisture.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

YRELD t

: NI
1982 : 1983 3 1984

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA V/ 460 380 33.0 34.0 23,200 15,180 12,920
ARIZ 17 119 142 93.2 87.3 12,407 11,094 12,398
ARK t/ 1,500 1,400 39.0 44.0 72,200 58,500 61,600
CALIF t/ 680 800 068.5 78.2 17,175 46,560 62,560
COLO 1/ 3,063 3,170 39.9 34.0 84,984 122,103 107,900
DEL 7 54 49 39.0 40.0 2,320 2,106 1,960
GA v 910 880 34.0 35.0 45,210 30,940 30,800
{OAHO 1,305 1,280 70.3 68.4 ra 770 91,710 87,520
WEL vA 1,400 1,600 46.0 44.0 64,400 70,400
Ind t/ 970 1,050 51.0 47.0 49,470 49,350
1OWA t/ 50 100 38.0 36.0 1,900 3,600
KANS 1/ 10,800 11,000 41.5 39.0 448,200 429,000
ky VA 520 500 31.0 38.0 16,120 19,000
LA A 250 310 30.0 41.0 7,500 12,710
MD Vv 131 135 41.0 42.0 5,371 5,670
MICH 1/ 730 800 = 49.0 54.0 35,770 43,200
MINN 2,140 2,473 36.9 46.9 78,960 115,871
Miss 1/ 600 640 = 34.0 38.0 20,400 24,320
MO Vv 1,850 2,050 38.0 42.0 70,300 86,100
MONT 4,455 4,694 30.7 22.7 136,930 106,434
NEBR t/ 2,300 2,300 43.0 36.0 98,900 82,800
NEV Vv 18 22 70.0 70.0 1,260 1,540
Ng if 38 40 40.0 41.0 1,520 1,640
N MEX 1/ 470 460 29.0 26.0 13,630 11,960
NY 1/ 160 170 46.0 46.0 7,360 7,820
nc Vv 470 600 34.0 40.0 15,980 24,000
N DAK 7,205 8,610 26.9 32.7 194,130 281,400
OHIO 1/ 1,200 1,100 49.0 44.0 58,800 48,400
OKLA 1/ 4,300 5,300 35.0 36.0 150,500 190,800
OREG 1,085 1,125 61.5 65,570 69,225
PA / 200 220 38.0 7,600 8,360
sc t/ 375 380 37.0 10,500 14,060
S_DAK 2,727 3,292 35.4 89,729 116,578
TENN 1/ 600 38.0 19,800 19,760
Tex t/ 4,600 5,000 30.0 161,000 150,000
UTAH 1/ 217 231 38.2 8,027 8,820
vA Vv 340 300 45.0 14,280 13,500
WASH 2,690 2,590 61.5 172,570 159,180
WVA 1/ 9 10 38.0 378 380
wis Vv 128 177 49.2 5,812 8,704
WYO Vv 271 294 30.0 8,964 8,820
us 61,390 66,194 38. 8 2, 164; 367 2,419,824 2,571,060

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR” CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

t
DURUM : WHITE

1,000 BUSHELS

:
1981: 1,112,085 678,017 306,955 463,726 183,040 41,534 2,785,357
1982: 1,243,598 588,869 241,093 492,673 145,863 52,871 2,764,967
1983: 1,192,386 506,491 289,427 312,674 72,979 45,867 2,419,824

1984 we 1 201,697 54t, 750 292,581 389,247 105,403 40,382 2,571,060

WV INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1D 1984,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

3 HECTARES
CORN FOR GRAIN 3 24 353 030 32 290 220 20 818 470 28 758 890
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 3 4 732 850 6 565 690 3 980 530 5 750 240
OATS : 8 211 160 4 948 950 3 672 970 3 273 130
BARLEY 3 4 216 470 + 4 847 380 3 936 420 4 544 260
ALL WHEAT : 30 926 000 32 183 380 24 843 920 26 788 050
WINTER : 28 133 270 25 830 960 19 256 770 20 642 830
DURUM : 1 038 030 1 328 190 1 008 490 1 292 580
OTHER SPRING : 4 754 700 5 024 230 4 578 660 4 852 640
RICE 3 886 270 2 153 770 877 770 1 132 510
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 25 551 720 27 589 740 25 015 910 27 046 650
FLAXSEED : 244 840 232 700 234 720 224 600
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 3 571 020 630 100 555 840 618 370
ALL COTTON : 3 215 790 4 477 700 2 981 550 4 193 880
UPLAND 2 3.190 290 4 440 260 2 956 180 4 162 760
AMER-PIMA : 25 500 31 440 25 370 31 120
COTTONSEED :
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 476 720 592 470 460 010 572 640
POTATOES 3
SUMMER 3 42 130 45 280 40 470 43 460
TOTAL 1/ 2 514 810 538 720 502 790 §25 000
SWEETPOTATOES 3 42 610 43 990 4) 440 42 860
TOBACCO + 319 300 322 500
SUGARBEETS : 437 230 452 650 427 270 442 200
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 310 680 294 900
HOPS 3 14 930 12 670
PEARS : .
GRAPES 7

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) =:
PRUNES AND PLUMS 2
(EXCL CALIF) :
PECANS :
FILBERTS

WALNUTS (CALIF)

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

: AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
+ CROP : : INDICATED INDICATED
1988s 1983 1984 1/
: HECTARES
RYE : 1 095 500 1 196 260 362 600 385 670
ALL HAY : 24158 780 25-192 360
ALFALFA : 10 404 580 17-030 640
ALL OTHER 3 13 754 200 © 14 161 720
POTATOES :
WINTER : 4 650 5 340 4 570 5 260
SPRING : 33 230 34 920 32 210 34 280
FALL 2/ z 434 800 453 170 425 530 442 000
APPLES, COM'L :
PEACHES :
SWEET CHERRIES :
TART CHERRIES :
APRICOTS :
NECTARINES (CALIF) =:
PLUMS (CALIF) :
OLIVES (CALIF)
ALMONDS (CALIF)
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-6. (CONTINUED)

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



GRAPES

PRODUCTION

CROP AND STATE
. TOTAL 1/

TABLE TYPE :

CALIF 612,000 497,000 430,000
WINE TYPE

CALIF 2,402,000 1,880,000 1,800,000
RAISIN TYPE DRIED

CALIF 292,000 394,000
RAISIN NOT DRIED

CALIF 1,112,000 619,000
RAISIN TYPE

CALIF 3,062,000 2,530,000 2,250,000
ALL

ARIZ 15,100 14,600 13,600

ARK 10,500 10,000 10,000

CALIF 6,076,000 4,907,000 4,480,000

GA 2,800 2,500

MICK 58,500 60,000

Mo + 2,500 3,600

NY 157,000 191,000

nc 4,500 3,000

OHIO 9,000 11,500

PA 47,000 62,500

sc 2,400 1,500

WASH 3 168,900 227,000

us 6,554,200 5,494,200

/ TweLupes UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): U $ 1982~690,200; 1983-146,500.

2/ DRIED BASIS; 1 TON OF RAISINS 1S EQUIVALENT TO 5.24
TONS OF FRESH BASIS FOR 1982 AND 4.48 TONS FOR 1983.

3/ FRESH EQIVALENT OF DRIED AND NOT DRIED

47 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

CROP AND STATE

t TOTAL 1/ ?

t 1982

PRUNES (DRIED BASIS) :
CALIF : 126,000 145,000 140,000
PRUNES AND PLUMS :
'DAHO t 7,000 6,500 6,400
MICH : 11,000 13,000 12,000
OREG : 37,000 28,000 19,000
WASH t 11,500 14,700 16, foo
TOTAL t 66 500 62 200 53,40

1/ PRUNES AND PLUMS ~ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION
AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): U S$ 1982-6,000,
1983~5,000.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

BUSHELS

65 150 40.0 44.0 2,924 2,600 6,600

3 WZ 76.0 80.0 1,185 988 960
320 590 55.0 70.0 15,780 17,600 41,300
45 45 81.0 82.0 5,390 3,645 3,690
240 300 29.0 35.0 10,230 6,960 10,500
68 110 41.0 45.0 5,670 2,788 4,950
W7 270 56.0 64.0 8,658 6,552 17,280

7 13 55.0 70.0 949 385 910

5 6 60.0 70.0 885 300 420
2,700 3,700 43.0 57.0 207,700 116,100 210,900
41 105 47.0 70.0 2,660 1,927 7,350
180 250 56.0 60.0 7,830 10,080 15,000
225 350 55.0 60.0 6,160 12,375 21,000
690 1,330 58.0 67.0 63,910 40,020 89,110
1,000 1,900 60.8 68.0 128,480 60,000 129,200
150 220 42.0 53.0 13,160 6,300 11,660
42 55 33.0 47.0 3,000 1,386 2,585
360 460 33.0 36.0 20,400 11,880 16,560
25 32 36.0 45.0 1,610 900 1,440
290 450 47.0 48.0 17,250 13,630 21,600
95 250 53.0 65.0 5,525 5,035 16,250
3,150 3,600 50.0 52.0 305,250 157,500 187,200

8 W 35.0
a 836 14,209 48.7

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FLAXSEED

1,000 BUSHELS

1,000 ACRES

MINN . 75 45 938 675
N DAK 400 410 4,600 5,330
S DAK 105 100 1,365 1,550
us 6,903 7, 355

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA : 1,450 1,370 19.0 25.0 80,000 27,550 34,250
ARK t 3,800 4,000 17.5 25.0 105,600 66,500 100,000
DEL t/t 245 255 29.0 30.0 6,480 7,650
FLA t/ 312 330 25.0 © 26.0 -—-10, 452 , 8,580
GA : 1,950 1,950 21.0 27.0 63,450 40,950 52,650
TLL : 8,800 9,220 28.5 33.0 354,200 250,800 304,260
IND 3 3,950 4,350 30.5 36.0 173,250 120,475 156,600
IOWA : 7,960 8,400 33.5 36.0 306,600 266,660 302,400
KANS : 1,520 1,690 15.0 21.0 46,280 35,490
KY : 1,390 1,440 16.5 30.0 51,345 43,200
LA : 2,570 2,330 25.5 28.0 75,400 65,240
MD : 370 430 25.0 32.012, 035 13,760
MICH 2 1,040 1,140 32.0 28.0 35,340 > 31,920
MINN t 4,600 5,750 31.5 36.0 169,050 144,900 207,000
MISS : 3,050 3,250 18.5 27.0 92,300 56,425 87,750
Mo : 5,050 5,500 19.5 22.0 171,000 98,475 121,000
NEBR : 2,050 2,550 28.0 31.0 78,750 57,400 79,050
NJ: 133 133 23.0 = 30.0 4,250 3,059 3,990
NC : 1,650 1,740 19.0 27.0 52,500 31,350 46,980

27.0 25.0 8,715 14,310 20,250.

31.0 36.0 133,200 101,680 135,720

{7.0 15.0 5,040 3,910 5,300

24.0 © 34.0 45185 3,480 5,270

16.0 22.0 39,600 22,880 32,340
26.0 28.0 24,400 24,310 32,480
15.5 26.0 60,950 30,225 46,800
22.5 26.0 23,000 9,450 10,400
16.0 31.0 19,285 9,760 22,785
34.0
25.3

7 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


BARLEY

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

STATE =— tee wnwnwwennenennne:

tND

1983 1984

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS ‘

ARIZ 1/ 27 53 104.0 101.0 3,800 2,808 5,353
CALIF 1/ 490 460 60.0 60.0 38,440 29,400 27,600
COLO 220 325 75.0 64.0 15,910 16,500 20,800
DEL Vv 53 48 55.0 57.0 2,166 2,915 2,736
IDAHO 1,030 1,340 65.0 66.0 75,900 66,950 88,440
KANS 1/ 90 85 51,0 43.0 2,451 4,590 3,655
KY v/ 25 30 33.0 40.0 1,410 825 1,200
MD Vv 90 95 55.0 58.0 5,428 4,950 5,510
MICH 1/ 33 34 49.0 56.0 2,124 1,617 1,904
MINN 820 950 53.0 66.0 51,040 43,460 62,700
MONT 1,850 2,090 42.0 28.0 76,440 77,700 58,520
NEBR 1/ 78 68 39.0 38.0 1,100 3,042 3,344
NEV V/ 34 37 80.0 80.0 2,560 2,720 2,960
Nd 1/ 17 14 53.0 59.0 1,071 901 826
N MEX 1/ 23 20 75.9 77.0 2,442 1,725 1,540
NC Vv 45 60 49.0 54.0 3,380 2,205 3,240
N DAK 2,520 3,050 45.5 54.0 103,350 114,660 164,700
OKLA 1/ 34 60 44.0 38.0 1,102 2,280
OREG 270 240 61.0 64.0 15,500 15,360
PA v/ 65 70 55.0 51.0 3,380 3,570
sc Vv 23 30 40.0 1,650 1,500
S DAK 550 580 42.0 23,435 29,580
TEX Vv 45 40 55.0 1,610 2,000
UTAH 154 162 72.0 12,880 14,988
VA / 100 96 59.0 5,700 5,760
WASH 850 960 64.0 49,410 65,280
WYA 4/7 4 6 60.0 208 300
Wis Vv 35 42 48.0 2,688 2,394
Wyo 152 164 66.0 9,360 be'See 10,660
us 9,727 11.229 52. 3 315, 935 605, 700

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP AND STATE

FILBERTS
OREG
WASH
us

WALNUTS
CALIF

IMPROVED 2
ALA ry
ARK 2

FLA Hy

PECANS

1,200
14,000
168,200

9,000
200
2,500
20,000
7,500
1,000
1,000
1,700
1,000
3,000
46,900

23,000
500
4,500
125,000
10,000
4,000
25,000
1,900
2,000
2,200
17,000

215, 100

1/ BUDDED, GRAFTED, “OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984

8-17

199, ooo 225,000

PRODUCTION

1,000 POUNDS
17,000 14,000
1,750 1,400
1,500 2,200
85,000 110,000
3,000 1,500
5,500 3,500
29,000 27,000
500 1,700
1,000 2,000
1,000 3,600
22,000 20,000
167,250 186,900
7,000 6,000
750 600
1,900 2,800
15,000 20,000
19,000 6,500
2,500 1,500
1,100 1,200
7,000 18,000
500 2,400
48,000 5,000
102,750 64,000
24,000 20,000
2,500 2,000
3,400 5,000
100,000 130,000
22,000 8,000
8,000 5,000
29,000 27,000
1,600 2,900
8,000 20,000
1,500 6,000
70,000 25,000
270,000 250,900

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


LEMONS: The first forecast for the Arizona 1984-85 lemon crop is 5.90 million
“~~~ boxes, 48 percent above last season and 17 percent more than the
utilized crop harvested in 1982-83, The California Desert Area lemon forecast
is 4.00 million boxes, compared with 2.30 million boxes utilized last season
and 2.95 million boxes in 1982-83. A’ forecast for the 1984-85 total
California lemon crop will be issued on October 11.

PEARS: The final forecast of the U.S. pear crop is 688 thousand tons (624
thousand metric tons), up fractionally from August 1, but 17 percent
less than the 1983 crop. New York's forecast increased 500 tons from
August 1. Harvest is active in New York and Michigan.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, Washington is forecast at 411
thousand tons (373 thousand metric tons}, unchanged from the August 1 forecast
but 17 percent less than 1983. Harvest should be complete about a week
earlier than normal in California. Quality of the crop is excellent. Harvest
is active in Oregon and Washington.

Production of Pacific Coast pears other than Bartlett is forecast at 233
thousand tons (211 thousand metric tons), unchanged from a month earlier, but
14 percent less than last year's crop. The condition of California's crop is
quite variable, with fireblight reported in some Asian varieties, while winter
Pears have generally been free of the disease. Harvest of Comice pears is
complete while Bosc, Anjou and Nellis pears continue to be picked. Harvest of
winter pears is expected to start in Washington the week of September 10.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop forecast, at 5.03 million tons (4.56 million
metric tons), is 7 percent below last month's estimate, and 8 percent
Jess than last year's production.

California's production, at 4.48 million tons, is down 8 percent from
August 1 and 9 percent below Tast year. California raisin variety grape
forecast, at 2.25 million tons, is down 10 percent from Tast month and 117
percent less than 1983. Harvests of raisin varieties for fresh market use,
wine, and raisins are more than two weeks ahead of the normal pace. Total
fresh shipments had reached the half-way point by September 4th. Crushing for
wine was nearly one-half complete, while grapes being dried for raisins were
also about 50 percent laid by September 1. Hot weather and mid-August
thunderstorms in the Dinuba to Delano area have caused production losses.
Vineyards in the area suffered varying amounts of damage from slip skins,
splits and bunch rot. Thompson Seedless vineyards are picking out lighter
than anticipated by growers and vintners. Berry sizes have not increased in
size and weight as was expected. Sugar levels, however, are running extremely
high with 20-21 percent a common reading by September Ist.

The California wine variety grape forecast is 1.80 millfon tons, 5 percent
below last month, and d percent tess than last year. Harvest is more than two
weeks earlier than normal. Most wineries report that yields are significantly
lower than expected, but quality is very good. Sugar levels are high due to
the early maturity of the crop.

The California. table variety grape forecast is 430 thousand tons, 7
percent below last month and Te perdent less than 1983. The maturity of the
crop is at least two weeks ahead of normal mainly due to the extremely hot
temperatures this summer. A mid-August rain in the Delano-Porterville area
has also caused some production loss. Quality of the crop shipped to date has
been excellent.

The Michigan grape production forecast continues at 50.0 thousand tons, 17
percent below 1983. The New York grape crop forecast, at 195 thousand tons,
is up 3 percent from last month and 2 percent more than 1983. The forecast in
Pennsylvania, at 60.0 thousand tons, is unchanged from last month and 4 percent
below a year ago. The Washington grape crop forecast is 195 thousand tons,
the same as on August 1, 14 percent below last year.

California prune production (dried basis) is forecast at 140
thousand tons (127 thousand metric tons), unchanged from
the duly 1 forecast, but 3 percent less than last year’s crop. Harvest is
almost complete. Fruit size is excellent with only minimum damage. Sugar
content is very high, resulting in a low dry-down ratio.

PRUNES AND PLUM

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

Abnormal dryness dominated much of the Nation. Less than half the normal
rainfall was recorded over parts of the Great Plains, Corn Belt,
mid-Mississippi Valley, eastern seaboard, and west coast. In contrast, a few
areas measured twice the usual rainfall, such as the central and southern
Rockies, and parts of the Great Basin and Delta States. High temperatures, up
to 4 degrees above normal, blanketed much of the central and northern Plains,
northern Corn Belt, as well as central and southern California. Unusual
cloudiness and wetness kept southeastern New Mexico much cooler than normal.
(Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility.)

AUGUST CROP DEVELOPMENT

Cool, wet weather was favorable for crop growth and development in the
Delta States and Southeast. However, hot, dry conditions persisted through
August across most of the Great Plains and through the Corn Belt. Hot, dry
weather advanced small grain maturity and promoted rapid harvesting. Row
crops suffered from increased moisture stress in portions of the Corn Belt and
Great Plains, receiving only limited precipitation this month. Ory conditions
caused increased pasture and range deterioration from the Great Plains through
the Corn Belt, and also contributed to range fires in Montana.

By the beginning of September, corn conditions declined to fair to good in
the Corn Belt, as dry weather advanced crop maturity. Stands rated mostly
good in the Delta States and Southeast, and fair to mostly good in the other
regions. In the 17 major producing States, 90 percent of the corn was in or
past the dough stage, 55 percent was in or past the dent stage, and nearly 10
percent was mature by September 2. Normally, about 88 percent is in or past
the dough stage, 54 percent is in or past the dent stage, and 13 percent is
mature. Progress was generally ahead of average in the western Corn Belt, and
trailing in the eastern Corn Belt. Harvesting moved as far north as Missouri
and Virginia as the month ended.

Soybeans were in mostly fair to good condition in the Corn Belt, and
mostly good condition elsewhere. Adequate moisture aided pod filling in the
South, while dry conditions stressed stands in the Corn Belt. In the 18 major
producing States, 98 percent of the crop bloomed by September 2, and 91
percent set pods. Leaves were turning color in early-planted stands, and
leaves started shedding in some areas. Development was slightly ahead of
schedule across much of the South and the Corn Belt.

Cotton was in fair to mostly good condition, but Mississippi and Oklahoma
conditions were only fair. The boll set was virtually complete by the end of
August, and 22 percent of the acreage had opened bolls. Harvesting was
confined to Texas, where 10 percent of the crop was picked, equaling the
average. Prolonged dryness stressed dryland cotton in the Low Plains of Texas
and Oklahoma, causing some square and boll shedding late in the month.
However, frequent showers provided generally adequate moisture for crop
development across the Texas High Plains. Growers in all States actively
sprayed to control increasing insect populations during the month.

Sorghum was in fair to good condition. Late August showers benefited,
critically stressed stands in portions of the southern Plains. However,
additional precipitation was needed as hot weather was causing rapid plant
maturity. In the 7 major producing States, grain sorghum heading advanced to
92 percent by September 2. Coloring was evident in all States--ranging from
25 percent in Kansas to 74 percent in Texas. The Texas harvest was 62 percent
complete, only 1 point behind average. Combining was winding down in the
Texas Blacklands as the month ended.

Winter wheat harvesting was complete, except in the Northwest where
combining was finishing at the beginning of September. Plowing for the 1985
crop became more widespread, but dry conditions delayed progress across most
of the Great Plains. Seeding of the 1985 crop started on a limited basis,
with 1 percent or less planted in most of the major producing States. Hot,
dry weather advanced spring wheat maturity, and promoted rapid harvesting in
most areas. In the 5 major producing States, spring wheat was 95 percent
harvested by September 2, 2 points ahead of last year's rapid progress, and
well ahead of the 72 percent average. Combining was finished in South
Dakota. Progress was ahead of schedule in al? States, except Idaho where only
58 percent of the crop was combined, compared with the 62 percent average.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


HOPS

PRODUCTION 1/ 2/

t ND
: 1983 +
a 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF : 3 +1 1,370 2,250 850 685 225
1DAHO z 3.6 3.2 1,740 1,640 6,401 6,264 5,248
OREG : 6.3 4.9 1,590 1,600 13,140 10,017 7,840
WASH 3 26.5 23.0 1,930 2,000 58,167 51,145 46,200
us z 36.9 31.3 1,846 1,901 76,558 68,118 59,513

v/ QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991.
2/ INCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS): 1982-WASH 5,000,
1983-OREG 1,000,000, WASH 20,000.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

t AVERAGE : 1983
1973-82

AVERAGE : 1983
1973-82 +

ALA t W 60 6 : 79 102 95
ARIZ 2 70 87 96 : 83 73 91
ARK 2 71 49 65 : 78 51 87
CALIF 78 92 81 z 75 65 92
COLO : 74 67 84 : 78 7 st
CONN 2 79 61 93 : 77 42 91
DEL t 75 67 33 : 67 69 56
FLA 2 63 62 88 t 85 48 80
GA 2 74 44 85 : 72 59 50
IDAHO = 82 97 95 t 83 98 868
tot : 60 27 62 + 80 51 92
IND 2 85 38 71 : 82 86 97
1OWA 7 79 32 67 t 72 36 87
KANS ry 72 aT 61 : 65 80 83
ky : 87 34 7 : 79 47 85
LA t 75 80 84 2 64 61 42
MAINE : at 83 91 t 76 107 95
MD : 7 4i 90 : 79 81 88
MASS z 80 74 89 z 80 45 97
MICH By 78 70 63 3 78 97 85
MINN t 72 76 72 + 84 54 87
MISS 3 77 70 78 : 75 74 78
MO 2 69 24 40 : 81 94 91
MONT Fy 79 74 54 +

NEBR : re} 73 73

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SEASONAL GROUP
‘AND

WINTER 1/
CALIF
FLA

TOTAL
SPRING 1/
ALA
ARIZ
CALIF
FLA-HASTINGS
-OTHER

TOTAL

SUMMER
ALA
CALIF
COLO

TOTAL

FALL 1/ 2/
CALIF
coLo
CONN
IDAHO-10 SW CO
~OTHER CO
IND
MAINE
MASS
MICH
MINN
MONT
NEBR
NEV
N Y-LONG IS
- UPSTATE
N DAK
OHIO
OREG~MALHEUR CO
“OTHER CO

mou

PON=Wue-u==--nuae0

© WRURSUUSLeeaul

3
=)

1,051.5
1,242.4

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984

410

B-11

260
190

220
130

2,088
2,475

22,770

7,585
42,825
369
8,625
83,160
924
27,030
779
10,530
11,520
1,924
2,332
4,095
5,130
6,500
17,250
2,205
3,885
17,220
4,935
720
1,550
1,440
92
52,800
22,575
1,134

309,134
355,131

1,269
924

2,193

513
1,274
8,330
4,935

186

50
1,958
1,092

18,338
1,023
2,560

1,870
999

294,679

333,887

RECAST.

23,248

955
2,916

2,825
1,575

22,850

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about September 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided
appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on
their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small
plot observations, counts and measurements fn a probability sample. These
surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common
to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured
currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the “Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the September 1 production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1964-83 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts retative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 5.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7552 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 5.1 percent or approximately
385 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 8.8 percent or approximately 665 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 284 million bushels,
ranging from 84 million to 660 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the fina) estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

:ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR

10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
290% CONFIDENCE AND FINAL ESTIMATE
LEVEL ge ennn n-ne 20-0 -- 2-52-22 -- e+e - eee

CROP AND :
UNIT PERCENT:

ELOW ABOVE
INAL :FINAL

:PERCENT: QUANT

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT 3.9 6.7 16 8 2 7 7 3
CORN FOR GRAIN BU : 5.1 8.8 665 284 84 660 7 3
SORGHUM FOR :

GRAIN BU: 3.7 6.4 52 15 0 32 5 5
OATS Bu: 4.0 6.9 33 15 Q 48 3 7
BARLEY BU: 3.6 6.2 38 15 0 28 5 5
ALL WHEAT BU: 1.3 2.2 $7 19 9 51 6 4

DURUM BU: 4.2 7.3 8 3 0 7 5 5

OTHER SPRING BU 2.6 4.5 19 5 9 16 6 4
RICE cwT 2.9 5.0 7 4 1 6 4 6
SOYBEANS FOR

BEANS By 4.2 7.3 148 a1 14 124 6 4
COTTON BALES 2/ 7.2 12.4 1,650 639 4 1,660 5 5

1/_ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR SRaAlN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
{METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE

cROP : : INDICATED:
30: 1984:

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 6.67 105 824 020 194 769 080 191 829 410
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 3.61 12 173 030 20 851 360 20 752 300
OATS t 2.10 6 925 570 6 607 060 6 857 740
BARLEY : 2.90 11 067 880 13 086 360 13 187 560
ALL WHEAT z 2.61 65 856 820 68 796 370 69 972 790
WINTER : 2.68 54 112 770 55 658 170 55 411 600
DURUM : 2.22 1 986 160 2 642 960 2 868 600
OTHER SPRING z 2.41 9 757 890 10 495 240 11 692 590
RICE : 5.47 4 523 220 6 131 210 6 189 130
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 2.04 42 638 150 55 393 690 55 181 280
FLAXSEED z 0.85 175 340 184 410 191 910
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2 3.12 1 494 820 1 927 730 1 929 690
ALL COTTON : 0.69 692 020 2 736 650 2 890 580
UPLAND : 0.69 1 671 400 2 713 070 2 867 000
AMER-PIMA z 0.76 20 620 23 580 23 580
COTTONSEED 2 2 790 500 4 555 880 4 809 890
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1.58 703 880 873 430 907 090
POTATOES :
SUMMER : 23.85 847 170 1 029 060 1 036 450
TOTAL 1/ 3 15 144 780
SWEETPOTATOES : 14.05 548 070 $81 730 602 320
TOBACCO : 2.44 647 950 763 680 787 490
SUGARBEETS Hy 46.42 19 059 040 20 457 920 20 527 780
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED 81.57 25 $47 230 24 245 420 24 054 910
HOPS : 2.13 30 890 27 110 26 990
PEARS 2 702 800 623 240 623 690
GRAPES : 4 984 250 4 904 330 4 564 140
ORTEO PRUNES (CALIF): 131 540 2/127 O10 127 010
PRUNES AND PLUMS 3
(EXCL CALIF) 3 56 430 49 350 48 440

PECANS
FILBERTS
WALNUTS (CALIF)

1/1983 REVISED. 2s aut, y984.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE

INDICATED
1984 1/

INDICATED
1984 we

RYE 3 1.90 1.99 688 780 766 710
ALL HAY : 5.28 5.52 127 671 740 139 122 220
ALFALFA : 7.17 7.61 74 581 470 83 970 830
ALL OTHER : 3.86 3.89 53 090 270 55 151 390
POTATOES :
WINTER 2 21.77 24.68 99 470 129 820
SPRING > 25.82 30.76 831 790 1 054 510
FALL 2/ 31.41 13 366 340
APPLES, COM'L t 3 771 370 3.779 990
PEACHES : 811 790 1154 840
SWEET CHERRIES 3 163 020 163 840
TART CHERRIES : 70 130 139 620
APRICOTS : 86 270 112 400
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 168 740 154 220
PLUMS (CALIF) : 143 340 190 510
OLIVES (CALIF) : 50 800 95 250
ALMONDS (CALIF) 108 860 235 870

vy “ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1983 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington,
forecast at 53.4 thousand ‘tons (48.4 thousand metric tons), is 2 percent less
than August 1, and 14 percent below last year. Dry weather in southwestern
Michigan has lowered that State's prospects. The crop season is about 10 to

14 days behind norma? in Washington. Early variety picking is complete and
harvest of late varieties should be finished in mid-September.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production in September is forecast at 6.20 mil-

lion pounds (2810 metric tons), nearly three times greater than the
drought-depressed level produced last September, but a 5 percent decline from
the previous month. Production should experience a seasonal drop to 4.80
million pounds (2180 metric tons) in October, rebound to 5.50 million pounds
(2490 metric tons) in November, then decline to 5.00 million pounds (2270
metric tons) in December. August's production figure brings the 1984
year-to-date total to 44.5 million pounds (20.2 thousand metric tons), 56
percent above production during the same period last year. Should -production
forecasts for the remainder of the year be realized, the 1984 fresh fruit
total will be a record 66.0 million pounds (29.9 thousand metric tons), 13
percent above the current record produced during 1981 and 42 percent more than
the total fresh production during 1983.

Use of the fumigant EDB for fruit fly disinfestation was banned effective
September Ist, and has been replaced by a double hot-water bath procedure.
Samples taken from initial shipments by one packinghouse indicate that fruit
appearance and quality are untainted by the new treatment. At this early
date, however, there is still some uncertainty about the immediate impact on
mainland and foreign shipments.

Fresh production in August is estimated at 6.50 million pounds (2950
metric tons}, 89 percent above the total of last August, and 25 percent
greater than July 1984. Total area in crop during August was down 7 percent
to 3650 acres (1480 hectares). Harvested acreage, meanwhile, increased for
the twelfth consecutive month to 2770 acres (1120 hectares), a result of the
record high acreage planted last summer on the island of Hawaii.

PECANS: The season's first forecast for the 1984 U.S. pecan crop for is 251

million pounds (114 thousand metric tons}, in-shell basis, 7 percent
less than last year's crop but 17 percent above 1982, About 74 percent of the
crop is expected to be from improved varieties compared with 62 percent in
1983, and 78 percent in 1982. Georgia's crop forecast, at 130 million pounds
is 30 percent above last year's crop and 4 percent more than in 1982,
Moisture has been favorable for most of the season. Limb breakage has been a
Problem in some areas. Weevil emergence has been at very high Tevels and
Spraying continues very active.

The pecan crop in Alabama is forecast at 20.0 million pounds, 17 percent
below last year. Louisiana expects a crop of 8.00 million pounds, 64 percent
Tess than Tast year. The Oklahoma production forecast is 20.0 million pounds
compared with 8.00 million pounds in 1983. The Texas crop forecast is 25.0
million pounds, 64 percent smaller than Jast year. New Mexico's forecast is
27.0 million pounds, 7 percent betow last year.

FILBERTS: The season's first production forecast of filberts in Oregon and
Washington is 14.0 thousand tons, (12.7 thousand metric tons),

in-shell basis, up 71 percent from Yast year's small crop, but 26 percent
below 1982's record high production. A cool, wet spring caused some
pollination problems. Growers report large numbers of single nut clusters and
few multiples. Blank nut drop is heavier than normal in some areas, but
incidence of brown stain and insect damage has been Tight. Harvest should
start about October 1.

WALNUTS: The September | California walnut crop forecast is 225 thousand tons

(204 thousand metric tons), in-shell basis, up 7 percent from the
August 1 forecast and 13 percent more than last year's production. Nut set
per tree is the highest ever recorded, while in-shel? weight per nut is the
lowest of record. Record high temperatures this summer have concerned growers,
but apparently the heat has caused only minimal damage. Sunburn, husk fly and
codling moth problems have also been minor.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
September 184
Ze
i
~
a=
( cx0d to excelent fe
ZZ) Poor to tair 24
EB very poor a: KY
[XU Severe orought . ene epan by
FEB Extreme drought “op Correspondents
indicates current supply ot pasture feed for grazing on non-irnigated pastures and ranges retative to that expected .
from existing stands under very favorable weather condhons.
USDA SRS

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

Septerber 11869
= ge
Ta ‘

: Sa (Naas ome
(7 e000 to excatent =
ZZ Pree tae if -
EB vey poor

‘Severe drought = “As reported:
ca cp CE ee

EER exvere crougtt

‘indicates current supply of pasture teed fox grazing on non-inigated pastures and ranges relive to hat expected
from existing stands under very favorable weather conditions

USDA SRS

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

STATE Sotatatabated

: 2 IND

1983 : 1964 : 1983 1984

+ 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA V/ t 460 380 33.0 34.0 23,200 15,180 12,920
ARIZ 1/ : 64 62 96.0 89.0 5,376 6,144 5,518
ARK Vy t 1,500 1,400 39.0 44.0 72,200 58,500 61,600
CALIF 1/ 3 610 690 66.0 76.0 65,550 40,260 52,440
COLO 1/ : 3,000 3,100 39.0 33.0 81,480 117,000 102,300
DEL / t 54 49 39.0 40.0 2,320 2,106 1,960
GA Vv : 910 880 34.0 35.0 45,210 30,940 30,800
IDAHO : 830 900 67.0 66.0 53,010 55,610 59,400
ALL / 3 1,400 1,600 46.0 44.0 67,500 64,400 70,400
IND vV/ ? 970 1,050 51.0 47.0 43,260 49,470 49,350
|OWA 1/ : 50 100 38.0 36.0 3,000 1,900 3,600
KANS 1/ t 10,800 11,000 41.5 39.0 458,500 448,200 429,000
KY Vv ? 520 500 31.0 38.0 23,560 16,120 19,000
LA v/ t 250 310 30.0 41.0 19,000 7,500 12,710
MD TA ' 131 135 41.0 42.0 5,712 5,371 5,670
MICH 1/ : 730 800 49.0 54.0 22,960 35,770 43,200
MINN 1/ 7 75 280 35.0 38.0 2,967 2,625 10,640
MISS 1/ : 600 640 34.0 38.0 36,100 20,400 24,320
MO WV : 1,850 2,050 38.0 42.0 74,800 70,300 86,100
MONT . t 2,260 2,480 35.0 27.0 80,560 79,100 66,960
NEBR 1/ 3 2,300 2,300 36.0 101,500 98,900 62,800
NEV WV 1 8 8 70.0 1,050 560 560
NJ WV 2 38 40 47.0 1,800 3,520 1,640
N MEX 1/ 2 470 460 26.0 12,750 13,630 11,960
NY v/ t 160 170 46.0 5,438 7,360 7,820
NC / : 470 600 40.0 23,400 15,980 24,000
N DAK 1/ t 155 580 33.0 4,760 4,805 19,140
OHIO 1/7 ey 1,200 1,100 44.0 51,600 58,800 48,400
OKLA t/ t 4,300 5,300 36.0 227,700 150,500 190,800
OREG : 1,000 1,050 63.0 59,400 62,000
PA / : 200 220 38.0 8,208 7,600
sc V/ t 375 380 37.0 19,800 10,500
S$ DAK 1/ : 1,250 1,550 37.0 36,300 51,250
TENN 1/ 2 600 520 38.0 29,880 19,800
TEX is + 4,600 5,000 30.0 144,000 161,000
UTAH 1/ : 190 195 36.0 7,689 6,650
VA vV/ t 340 300 45.0 13,300 14,280
WASH : 2,500 2,390 62.0 125,440 162,500
WYA 1/ t 9 10 38.0 315 378
wis 1/ : 105 160 51.0 4,700 5,145
wyo Vv 7 8,265
us :

t/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


. Crop _ United States
Crop Production [Qf = Bint

Statistical Reporting Washington, 0.C. 20250
Service
RELEASED: September 12, 1984
3:00 P.M. ET
HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production forecast at 7.55 billion bushels (192 million metric
tons), is down 2 percent from the August 1 forecast but 81 percent above
last year's drought~stricken crop. A crop of this size is 8 percent below
the record high crop of 1982. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
production is 6.89 to 8.22 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 817 million bushels (20.8 million
metric tons), down one-half of one percent from August 1 but up 70 percent
from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley combined) is expected
to total 233 million metric tons, up 71 percent from 1983 but down 7 per~
cent from 1982.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 2.03 billion bushels (55.2 million metric
tons), 29 percent larger than the 1983 crop but 7 percent smaller than
1982. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast is
1.88 to 2.18 billion bushels.

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.57 billion bushels (70.0 million metric
tons), 6 percent above 1983 but 7 percent below the 1982 total. The 90
percent confidence interval for this production forecast i$ 2.51 to 2.63
billion bushels. Winter wheat production is placed at 2.04 billion
bushels (55.4 million metric tons), up 2 percent from last year. Other
spring wheat production is forecast at 430 million bushels (11.7 million
metric tons), 20 percent more than 1983. Durum wheat is set at 105
million bushels (2.87 million metric tons), 44 percent above last year's
crop.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rice, and rye) now totals 76.9 million metric
tons in 1984, up 8 percent from last year.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 13.3 million bales, 71 percent above last
year and 11 percent more than 1982 production. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this production forecast is 11.6 to 14.9 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.74 billion pounds (787 thousand metric
tons), 22 percent above the 1.43 billion pounds (648 thousand metric tons)
produced in 1983 and 3 percent above the August ] forecast.

PEANUT production is estimated at a record high 4.25 billion pounds (193 mil-
~~Tion metric tons), 29 percent above 1983 and up fractionally from last
month.

JESS HIS ISI ICIS ISI SOS IS ITI CSIG IITA G SII ISSO I TOTS II TTI II II TISAI
* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
* should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 - *

* South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021). *
FEISS I I I OSI IO OI OTT ISOS SIO I IOI II IO TTI AO TIT II III O TS TOS I IO OS IO

CrPr 2-2 (9-84) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at 817 million bushels (20.8 million,
metric tons), 70 percent more than last year, but 2 percent
less than 1982. Yield forecast at 57.5 bushels per acre is up 8.8 bushels
from last year, but down 1.6 bushels from 1982.

Rain benefited sorghum across portions of the southern Plains, but some
dryland areas remain severely stressed. Sorghum was in fair to good condition
in most areas. In the seven major Producing States, heading was complete on
92 percent of the acreage, equaling the average. Sorghum was colored on 49
percent of the acreage, equaling both last year and the average. Texas yield
prospects increased 3 bushels during August, while Oklahoma's yield increased
4 bushels. Dry weather in the central Plains during August reduced yield
prospects 5 bushels in Nebraska, 7 bushels in Missouri, and 1 bushel in Kansas.

GATS: Production is forecast at 472 million bushels (6.86 million metric

tons), 1 percent below last year and 20 percent below the 1982 produc-
tion. Area for harvest, at 8.09 million acres (3.27 million hectares),
remains unchanged from August 1. Yield, at a record high 58.4 bushels per
acre, is up 2.1 bushels from August 1 and 5.8 bushels above last year. This
surpasses the previous record high yield set in 1982 by 0.6 bushel.

Production increased 4 percent from the August 1 forecast due to cool
temperatures and adequate precipitation in the major producing States during
the crucial weeks just before harvest. Harvest is virtually completed in the
major producing States, with South Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa all
showing yield increases from last month, and at Teast 10-bushel increases in
yield from last year. South Dakota's yield was equal to 1982 while the other
three States were above 1982 yields. North Dakota's yield is up 3 bushels
from August 1, but only 0.5 bushel above last year, while being 2 bushels
below the 1982 level.

BARLEY: Production of barley is forecast at a record high 606 million bushels

(13.2 million metric tons), up 19 percent from last year and 17 per-
cent above 1982. The U.S. yield is forecast at 53.9 bushels per acre, up 1.6
bushels from last year, but off 3.3 bushels from the record high set in 1982.
North Dakota and Minnesota are both showing a 6 bushel increase from August 1;
South Dakota's yield is up 5 bushels. The crop in these States is turning out
much better than expected earlier. In Montana, the hot, dry weather reduced
prospects and their yield is off 6 bushels from August 1. Washington and Utah
are showing reductions in yield of 5 and 6 bushels, respectively.

Harvest is in the final stages in most States. The abundant rainfal}
earlier in the season apparently carried the crop through harvest, particularly
in Minnesota and the Dakotas. Montana was hit extremely hard by the drought
and their yields are down considerably. In Idaho, 54 percent of the crop was
harvested by September 2. Occasional showers have slowed the progress to some
degree. In Washington, harvest conditions were excellent and average or above
average yields were realized.

ALL WHEAT: Total production is forecast at 2.57 billion bushels (70.0 million

metric tons), up 6 percent from 1983, but 7 percent less than the
1982 aggregate. Area for harvest totals 66.2 million acres (26.8 million
hectares), 8 percent more than last year, but 15 percent less the acreage
harvested in 1982. Yield is at a near record 38.8 bushels per acre, just 0.6
bushel below the all time high set in 1983.

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 2.04 billion bushels (55.4 million
metric tons), up 2 percent from 1983, but down 2 percent from
1982. Area for harvest is 51.0 million acres (20.6 million hectares), 7
Percent more than last year, but 11 percent below the 1982 acreage. Average
yield ts forecast at 39.9 bushels per acre, 1.9 bushels less than in 1983 and
0.2 bushel below the August l forecast.

Showers during the last week of August slowed the wrap-up of combining in
the Pacific Northwest. Washington had progressed to 95 percent completion by
September 1? compared with the average of 93 percent. Ideal conditions pushed
Montana's harvest to virtual completion as of September 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FOOD GRAINS UP 8 PERCENT
Food grain production (wheat, rice and rye) is expected to total 76.9

millfon metric tons, 8 percent more than in 1983. The September | forecast is
up 2 percent from August 1 primarily because of higher spring wheat prospects.

FEED GRAIN PRODUCTION UP SHARPLY

Production of feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats and barley) is expected to
total 233 million metric tons, up 7) percent from last year. The much higher
yields on larger acreage for harvest for corn and sorghum accounted for the
large increase. Corn production, which accounts for 82 percent of the feed
grains, is up 81 percent from a year earlier; sorghum, up 70 percent; barley,
up 19 percent. Oats is down 1 percent from 1983.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 7.55 billion
bushels (192 million metric tons), up 8? percent from last

year's drought-stricken crop but 8 percent below the record high crop of
1982. The forecast is 2 percent below the August 1 forecast. Much of the
Corn Belt experienced very dry weather during August but the duly rainfal)
appears to have helped carry the crop. Missouri has been particularly hurt by
dry, hot weather in July and August with yield dropping 12 bushels since
August 1. The Eastern and South Atlantic States experienced good weather
during August after receiving abundant rainfall in duly. Many of these States
are at record high yields.

The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 106.3 bushels, up from last
year’s low yield of 81.0 bushels but below the record high yield of 113.2
bushels set in 1982, In addition to the 12-bushel drop in Missouri from last
month, decreases are shown for: lowa--7 bushels, Nebraska--6 bushels,
I) linofs--3 bushels, and Minnesota--2 bushels. In contrast, Ohio yield is up
8 bushels from last month and Indiana is showing a 2 bushel increase.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

sar1086

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-1T CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

STATE (tenn onan wenn rm nner nnn n ne nnn nnn nnn nnn nme n anne en anne ee nnn nna etna en

: 1,000 ACRES

’
ARIZ t 0 +0 0.0 0.0 298 o 0
CALIF 2 169.0° 200.0 23.4 25.0 3,852 3,955 5,000
coLo t 37.2 45.0 16.2 20.0 920 603 900
IDAHO + 143.0 143.0 24.4 24.0 3,182 3,487 3,432
KANS t 6.9 7.2 13.7 17.0 170 95 122
MICH : 104.0 107.0 19.0 19.0 1,853 1,976 2,033
MINN t 259.0 258.0 18.0 18.0 4,738 4,662 4,644
MONT t 41.3 25.0 19.6 18.5 850 818 462
NEBR t 65.3 72.0 18.9 926 1,233 1,548
N MEX ey 0 . 0.0 12 0 0
N DAK t 142.2 142.0 16.9 2,476 2,404 2,414
OHIO 2 12.6 10.6 17.6 t) 222 196
OREG : wd 11.6 28.0 251 316 325
TEX : 31.9 37.8 19.5 556 622 832
WYO z 32.1 33.5 19.2 810 616 720
us : 1,055.8 1,092.7 19.9 20,894 21,009 22,628

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST &:
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

PRODUCTION

TONS

1,000 ACRES

367.9 369.0 31.4 31.0 12,613 11,552 11,439
99.3 94.0 92.2 98.0 8,997 9,159 9,212
265.0 230.90 23.9 21.0 7,930 6,328 4,830
35.5 35.7 31.6 29.0 1,130 1,122 1,035
767.7 728.7 36.7 36.4 29,770 28,161 26,516

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP

STATE

- 1,000 AGRES

WINTER 1/
CALIF

4.7 19.0
FLA 6.8 47.0
1.4
TOTAL 1165 IDAHO-10 SW CO + 25.0
+OTHER CO: 290.0
SPRING 1/ rr IND 3.2
ALA 4.5 33 MAINE 95.0
ARIZ 4.9 rt MASS : 3.4
CALIF 25.5 MICH : 43.0
FLA=HASTING : 24.0 MINN : 70.5
OTHER : 1.3 MONT : 7.3
LA : Vt NEBR 1 7.6
Nc : 14.7 NEV : 12.0
TEX 2 6.1 N Y-LONG IS : 16.5
-UPSTATE> 25.5
TOTAL 82.1 N DAK : 132.0
OHIO + 9.5
SUMMER OREG-MALHEUR + 9.2
ALA 9.5 “OTHER CO = 40.0
CALIF 8.0 : 22.0
coLo 7.0 3 2.8
DEL 5.4 1 15.5
rae 2.4 : 6.0
IND 1.8 : 4
OWA 1.7 2 104.0
MD 1.8 : 63.0
MICH 12.0 : 3.6

MINN 5.2
NEBR at 1,074.4

NJ : 8.8
5.7 1,272.1

4.0

1.3

2.5

9.4

6.5

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ 1983 REVISED

TOBAGCO

1983 + 1984 ¢ 1983 «1984 ¢ 1982 1983 1984
ACRES POUNDS “T7000 POUNDS
:
CONN : 1,940 1,840 1,781 4,585 4,210 3,456 2,916
FLA : 7,800 7,000 2,260 2,400 20,972 17,628 16,800
GA 1 44,000 * 59,000 2,190 2,200 105,595 96,360 85,800
IND : 8,100 8,600 1,610 2,350 20,210 13,041 20,210
KY t 203,300 228,300 1,597 2,310 589,350 324,602 527,373
Mo : 27,000 24,000 «1,100 1,380 37,530 29,700 33,120
MASS : 425 505 1,807 1,690 852 768 853
MO 1/ 3,100 2,900 2,070 2,200 5,940 6,417 6,380
Nc t 277,700 272,000 1,969 2,145 700,668 546,869 583,440
OHIO : 11,900 11,700 1,485 «2,100 31,860 += «17,668 + = 24,570
PA 2 12,000 = 12,000,632, 2,000 «25,885 = 21,985 24,000
sc : 54,000 49,000 2,090 2,200 124,195 112,860 107,800
TENN : 72,910 75,500 1,621 «2,180 «178,117 118,197 164,590
vA > 54,190 54,440 1,828 125,384 99,052 118,95
WYA 17 : 2,200 2,300 1,710 3,590 3,762 3,795
Ws : 8,400 7,800 1,919 20,136 16,118 15,522

994,494 1,428,483 1,736,120

1/ ESTIMATES CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 Bo12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
‘September 1, 984

|

[1 oxes to excotion
Fra HF
EE Poor
TZ) very poor Ye
EBB Nar taiare Wy

‘Relative condiitons or prospects as indicated by reports from crop correspondents on ‘all crops:
USDA

FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
‘September 1, 1963

(2000 10 excotert =X
Are S

po ¥
(20 ver poor

EBB New tone

‘*Ratetive conditions or prospects as indicated by reports trom crop correapondents on ‘al crope.,
USOA

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OATS

AREA HARVESTED t YIELD PRODUCTION

1983 : 1984

BUSHELS D 000 BUSHELS

vA 40 35 49.0 48.0 2,080 1,960 1,680

/ 50 28 72.0 60.0 2,310 3,600 1,680

vA 45 50 65.0 66.0 3,350 2,925 3,300

Vv 42 65 57.0 54.0 2,080 2,394 3,510

GA / 2 85 65 61.0 59.0 5,490 5,185 3,835
IDAHO 1/ : 48 46 76.0 77.0 3,174 3,648 3,542
Vv 210 165 60.0 63.0 1,600 12,600 10,395

80 80 57.0 60.0 6,720 4,560 4,800

750 750 51.0 64.0 54,150 38,250 48,000

110 120 48.0 51.0 8,084 5,280 6,120

7 6 44.0 44.0 308 308 264

38 42 62.0 62.0 2,640 2,356 2,604

14 15 56.0 57.0 928 784 855

MICH z 300 300 52.0 62.0 28,350 15,600 18,600
MINN . 1,350 1,100 57.0 67.9 97,929 76,950 73,700
MO Vv : 54 36 47.0 49.0 3,276 2,538 1,764
MONT ? 120 140 44.0 38.0 7,650 5,280 5,320
NEBR 310 320 44.0 50.0 26,680 13,640 16,000
NJ vy 5 6 51.0 54.0 378 255 324
NY 200 185 57.0 57.0 18,200 11,400 10,545
nc / “70 65 56.0 60.0 4,425 3,920 3,900
N DAK 1,260 1,030 50.5 51.0 55,650 63,630 52,530
OHIO 240 200 64.0 60.0 23,460 15,360 12,000
OKLA 1/ 80 95 49.0 43.0 3,420 3,920 4,085
OREG 75 85 80.0 82.0 6,375 6,000 6,970
PA 300 280 54.0 57.0 19,765 16,200 15,960
sc WV 40 45 53.0 58.0 2,800 2,120 2,610
S DAK 1,650 1,450 48.0 58.0 123,540 79,200 84,100
TENN t/ . 7 5 44.0 47.0 376 308 235
TEX v7 500 250 48.0 35.0 10,730 24,000 8,750
UTAH 1/ 13 V4 68.0 70.0 1,020 884 980
VA Vv 22 12 50.0 50.0 816 1,100 600
WASH 1/ 33 33 63.0 65.0 1,860 2,079 2,145
WYA 1/ 9 9 52.0 43.0 510 468 387
wis 850 880 53.0 64.0 49,290 45,050 56,320
Wyo / 69 81 49.0 50.0 3,025 3,381 4,050
us 9,076 8,088 52.6 56.4 592,630 477,133 472,460

/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Reonina

Statistical Reporting
Service

Report Title
FIELD CROP SERIES

(1 Crop Production
{monthly/annual)
Plus single copies of:
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UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE soaTAat AND Pets Palo
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF Se

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AGRICULTURE
AGAR 101
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Wash. 0.6. 20260



PEANUTS FOR NUTS

TM
2
>

1/ ESTIMATES
2/ REVISED 1984 PLANTED ACREAGE IN THOUSAND ACRES:

“AREA HARVESTED |

218.0
76.0
636.0
13.0
154.0
95.0
14.0

1,528. 0

1,000 ACRES

UPLAND

ALA + 215.0 298.0

ARIZ : 2864.0 477.0

ARK : 310.0

CALIF : 950.0

FLA 3/ ¢ 12.0

GA t 115.0

KANS 3/: 4

LA Fy 410.0

MISS : 675.0

Ll : 93.0

NEV 3/ +0

N MEX t 47.0

Nc : 59.0

OKLA + 300.0

sc z 69.0

TENN : 215.0

TEX + 3,550.0

VA 3/3 4

us 1 7,304.8
AMER-PIMA

ARIZ + 29.3

N OMEX 3 Wt

TEX : 22.3

us ’ 62.7
ALL

ALA t 215.0

ARIZ t 313.3

ARK z 310.0

CALIF z 950.0

FLA 3/3: 12.0

GA : 115.0

KANS 3/ 3 4

LA ’ 410.0

Miss 3 675.0 7140.0

MO : 93.0

NEV 3/3 +0

4 MEX : 58.1

nc t 59.0

OKLA : 300.0

sc 69.0

TENN 215.0

TEX 3,572.3

vA af 4 1.)

us 7,367.5 10,363.2

1983 +

IND
1984

POUNDS
2,525 2,850
2,780 2,950
2,790 3,300
2,330 2,500
2,165 2,900
1,940 1,900
2,000 2,600
1,685 1,500
2,090 2,850
2,399

COTTON

YIELO

1982 :

522,150
153,000
1,517,480
25,220
417,200
174,580
30,000
325,125
275,500

PRODUCTION

1983

1,000 POUNDS

454,500
166,800
1,567,980
25,630
318,255
176,540
25,000

2, 784 3,440,255 3,295,530

FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM

EARLIER

POUNDS
409 580
1,225 1,208
500 647
996 1,080
608 651
467 554
240 480
623 707
640 800
377 480
0 °
115 653
350 536
232 278
369 594
337 526
322 391
360 480
504 614
768 735
683 575
689 566
725 676
409 580
1,183 1,163
500 647
996 1,080
608 651
467 554
240 480
623 707
640 800
377 480
CY) 0
709 644
350 536
232 278
369 594
337 526
324 392
360 480
506 615

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984

B-9

4
11,864.0

65.9
10.0
22.8
98.7

460.0
1,160.9
534.0
3,073.0
19.6
235.0
870.0
1,760.0
204.0
9

88.0

1,000

FORECAST.

OKLA, 97.0 AND U S,

621,300
224,200
2,098,800
32,500
446,600.
180,500
36,400
337,500
276,450
4,254,250

1557.0.

PRODUCTION 1/

183.0
725.0
323.0
1,971.0
15.2
112.0
+2
532.0
900.0
73.0

3
7,676.7

46.9
15.8

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

BALES

360.0

1,200.0

580.0

3,150.0
1

13,166.1
75.8
1

SRS, USDA


UNETED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE

CORN FOR GRAIN Bu: 81.0 106.3 4,166,108 7,667,721 7,551,991
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN TM : 48.7 57.5 479,231 820,882 816,982
TS

2 52.6 $8.4 477,133 455,190 472,460
BARLEY " b 52.3 53.9 508,344 601,052 605,700
ALL WHEAT moos 39.4 38.8 2,419,824 2,527,834 2,571,060
winner . 3 41.8 39.9 1,988,304 2,045,088 2,036,028
DURUM "29.3 33.0 72,979 97,112 105,403
OTHER SPRING "oy 317 35.8 358,541 385,634 429,629
CWT 1/: 4,598 4,880 99,720 135,170 136,447

SOYBEANS FOR :

BEANS BU: © 25.3 30.3 1,566,684 2,035,370 2,027,565
FLAXSEED "oor 11.9 13.6 6,903 7,260 7,555
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB +: 2,399 2,784 3,295,530 4,249,950 4,254,250
ALL COTTON BALE I/: 506 615 7,771.4 12,569.4 — 13,276.4

UPLAND "Us, 504 cans 7,676.7 12,461 13,168.

AMER~PIMA "Ut 725 676 94.7 108.3 108.3
COTTONSEED TON; 3,076 5,022 5,302
ORY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/: 1,413 15,518 19,256 19,998
POTATOES

SUMMER cwT 213 18,677 22,687 22,850

TOTAL _2/ * 333,887
SWEETPOTATOES * 325 12,083 12,825 13,279
TOBACCO LB 2,179 1,428,483 1,683,626 ~—-1,736, 120
SUGARBEETS TON 20.7 21,009 22,551 22,628
SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED 36.4 28,161 26,726 26,516
HOPS is 1,901 68,111 59,759 59,513
PASTURE AND :

RANGE FEED 3/. PCT =: 63 70
PEARS TON: 774.7 687.0 687.5
GRAPES. moos 5,494.2 5,406.1 5,031,
DRIED PRUNES

(CALIF) "oo: 145.0 4/140.0 140.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) " 62.2 54.4 53.4
PECANS LB 270,000
FILBERTS 8.

WALNUTS (CALIF)

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ 1983 REVISED.3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED cougTTION AS
OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1973-82 AVERAGE IS 75 PERCENT. 4/ JUL 1, 1984

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE

INDICATED
1984 1/

INDICATED
1984 V7

RYE BU: © 30.3 31.7 27,116 30,184

ALL HAY TON of 2.36 2.46 140,734 153,356
ALFALFA " : 3.20 3.40 82,212 92,562
ALL OTHER « : 1,72 1.74 $8,522 60,794

POTATOES :

WINTER CWT: 194 220 . 2,193 2,862
‘SPRING * z 230 274 18,338 23,248
FALL 2/ “or 280 294,679

APPLES, COM'L Bo: 8,314,500 8,333,500

PEACHES “ t 1,789,700 2,546,000

SWEET CHERRIES TON : 179.7 180.6

TART CHERRIES LB: 154,600 307,800

APRICOTS TON : 95.1 123.9

NECTARINES (CALIF) *  ¢ 186.0 170.0

PLUMS (CALIF) . + 158.0 210.0

OLIVES (CALIF) " + $6.0 105.0

ALMONDS (CALIF) LB: 240,000 520,000

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST, 2/ 1983 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COTTON: Production is expected to total 13.3 million bales, up 71 percent

from last year and 11 percent above 1982. Upland is forecast at 13.2
million bates, 72 percent above last year and 11 percent more than 1982
production. American-Pima is forecast at 108 thousand bales compared with
94.7 thousand bales last year and 98.7 thousand bales in 1982.

Area for harvest is estimated at 10.4 million acres (4.19 million
hectares), 41 percent above 1983 and 6 percent above 1982.

Yield per harvested acre is set at a record high 615 pounds compared with
506 last year and the previous record high yield of 590 pounds set in 1982.

Production in the Southeastern States is forecast at 820 thousand bales,
more than double Yast year's production, but 14 percent below 1982. August
growing conditions were favorable for fruiting but cool temperatures delayed
maturity and bolls are opening about one week later than Tast year. Fiants
are well fruited but excessive vegetative growth in many fields makes bolls
vulnerable to boll rot if cool, damp weather continues.

Delta growers expect to harvest 3.93 million bales, 99 percent more than
last year and 6 percent above 1982, Favorable growing conditions continued
during August and fruit set is heavy. The crop is maturing about 10 days
later than tast year because of cool night time temperatures.

Upland production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 3.95 million bales,
up 56 percent from last year and 34 percent above 1982. Timely rains improved
prospects for the dryland acreage, but caused some concern for the irrigated
acreage in Texas. Harvest is nearly finished in the Rio Grande Valley and the
Coastal Bend and is moving into central Texas. Yields are exceeding
expectations in many areas. The High Plains crop made good progress under
favorable growing conditions.

Western States uptand production at 4.45 million bales is expected to
exceed last year by 6] percent and 1982 by 5 percent. Larger acreage for
harvest and good to excellent yield prospects pushed expected production above
the previous two years. The crop was planted on schedule and developed
rapidly under favorable conditions. High August temperatures hastened
maturity, and boll opening is one to two weeks earlier than last year.

Bureau of the Census reports 636,475 running bales ginned prior to
September, | compared with 315,062 to the same date last year and 453, 257
bales in 1982,

COTTONSEED: Production in 1984, based on a three year average lint-seed ratio
is forecast at 5.30 million tons (4.81 million metric tons), 72
percent above last year.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production is forecast at 20.0 million cwt. (907 thousand

metric tons), 29 percent above 1983 and 4 percent above the”
August 1 forecast. Most of the increase in production from August 1 can be
attributed to better yield prospects in Michigan and Nebraska, Production is
expected to be larger than 1983 in all producing States. The average yield is
forecast at 1413 pounds per acre, up 48 pounds from 1983, and up 52 pounds
from the August 1 forecast. Production is expected to be up from 1983 in
major producing States as follows: California--35 percent; Colorado--17
percent; Idaho--67 percent; Michigan-~3 percent; Nebraska-~20 percent; and
North Dakota--33 percent.

Harvest got underway on early planted blackeyes in California during early
August. Harvests of limas and kidney beans are off to a slow start. Overall
record heat during the growing season delayed harvest by about two weeks. The
Colorado dry bean crop is in good condition with harvest underway fn all
growing areas, Rain during early August and scattered showers during the
month improved production prospects from a month ago in Michigan. Harvest
thus far has been limited to early maturing fields. Harvest is considerably
ahead of normal in North Dakota with 22 percent of the crop harvested by
September 1 compared with 4 percent normally.

POTATOES: Summer potatoes are forecast at 22.9 million cwt (1.04 million

metric tons), up 22 percent from last year and 1 percent above the
August 1 forecast. This would be the largest summer potato crop in 10 years.
Area for harvest is set at 107 thousand acres (43.5 thousand hectares), 7
percent above last year. The average yield is forecast at 213 cwt per acre,
26 cwt above last year but 12 cwt below the record high yield set in 1982.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 22.6 miltfon tons {20.5

million metric tons), fractionally above the August 1 forecast
and 8 percent larger than last year's production. The increase from a year
ago is the combined result of increased acreage and higher yields. Average
yield is forecast at 20.7 tons per acre, up 0.1 ton from the August 1 forecast
and 0.8 ton above Tast year's average. The 1.09 million acres (442 thousand
hectares) expected to be harvested is down fractionally from August 1 but up 3
percent from 1983.

August was generally dry in Minnesota and North Dakota's Red River
Valley. The southern Valley received little or no rain at crucial times while
the northern half received timely rain. Yield outlook declined in the South
but excellent yields are expected in the North. Overall quality is expected
to be better than last year.

California harvest is expected to continue normally. Yields range from
average to good, with quality varying in the different growing areas. A few
decayed beets and some disease problems have been encountered.

Michigan yield prospects appear favorable. Sugar content is expected to
be above normal.

Nebraska sugarbeets are progressing rapidly with only very limited damage
from disease.

Montana had poor growing conditions during May and June. Considerable
replanting was required which limited yield prospects. Good growing weather
since has helped, but the season wil] be too short.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 26.5 mil-
"ion tons (24.1 million metric tons), off 1 percent from the
August 1 forecast, 6 percent below 1983 production and the smallest crop since
1978. Average yield is forecast at 36.4 tons per acre compared with 36.7 tons
a year ago. Area for harvest, at 729 thousand acres (295 thousand hectares),
is down 5 percent from last year and the lowest since 1972.

Florida sugarcane is in good condition and making rapid growth under
favorable weather conditions. Cutting for sugar should start in October.

Hawafi's outlook remains unchanged from August 1. Recently announced
temporary closures at some plantations are not expected to change the overall
harvest for the year.

The Louisiana crop is in fair to good condition. Planting lagged, with 6
percent complete on September 2, compared with 15 percent for both last year
and the average.

HOPS: Production is forecast at 59.5 million pounds (27,0 thousand metric
tons), down fractionally from the August 1 forecast, and 13 percent
Jess than last year. Area for harvest is estimated at 31.3 thousand acres
(12.7 thousand hectares), unchanged from August 1. Yield, at 1901 pounds per
acre, is down 8.0 pounds from August 1.

Harvest is underway. The extent of early summer hail damage is becoming
evident in Idaho, and yields are lower than earlier anticipated. Wind storms
on August 27 caused some damage in Washington but yields are better than
growers had expected.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on

September 1 for the 48 contiguous States
was 70 percent, 7 points higher than September 1 last year but 5 points below
the 1973-82 average for the date. During the month of August, condition
improved in 21 States, deteriorated in 22 States, and was unchanged in §
States. Conditions are the lowest in Missouri and Texas where the condition
is $0 and 42 percent, respectively. Last year Missouri's condition was 24
percent and average {1s 69 percent. Condition in Texas was 61 last year and
the average is 64 percent. Portions of northern Montana and northwestern
North Dakota continue to show extreme drought conditions, In Montana, the
condition is 54 percent compared with 74 percent last year and the average of
79 percent. In North Dakota, the current condition is 56 percent, with Jast
year's 69 percent and the average of 67 percent. Conditions from New England,
south along the eastern States and the southern States as far west as
Louisiana are in the good to excellent range. With the exception of Montana,
the Western States are also in the good to excellent range.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

cROP

INDICATED
1984

INDICATED
1984

1,000 ACRES

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 2 60,177 79,790 51,443 71,064

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN "os 114695 16,224 14,209

oats "-: 20,290 12,229 8,088

BARLEY “10,419 11,978 11,229

ALL WHEAT " : 76,419 79,526 66,194
WINTER "62,105 63,829 51,009
DURUM . t 2,565 3,282 3,194
OTHER SPRING “ : T1,749 12,415 11,997

RICE CWT I/: 2,190.0 2,851.0 2,796.0

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU : 63,139 68,175 66,833

FLAXSEED “3 605 575 555

PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB 3 1,411.0 1,557.0 1,528.0

ALL COTTON BALE I/: 7,946.3 11,049.7 10,363.2
UPLAND e Us: 7,883.3 10,972.0 10,286.3
AMER-PIMA "Vs: 63.0 77.7 76.9

COTTONSEED TON:

DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/: 1,178.0 1,464.0 1,136.7 1,415.0

POTATOES :
SUMMER CWT 3 104.1 111.9 100.0 107.4
TOTAL 2/ wr 1,272.1 1,331.2 1,242.4 1,297.3

SWEETPOTATOES so: 105.3 108.7 102.4 105.9

TOBACCO LB : 789.0 796.9

SUGARBEETS TON t 1,080.4 1,118.5 1,055.8 1,092.7

SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED "og 767.7 728.7

HOPS LB 3 36.9 31.3

PASTURE AND :

RANGE FEED 3/ pcr:

PEARS TON :

GRAPES . !

ORIEO PRUNES (CALIF) *  :

PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) og

PECANS LB :

FILBERTS TON

WALNUTS (CALIF) "

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(OOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED

CROP weneeeee
AND INDICATED INDICATED
UNIT 1983: 1984 T/ 1983 1984 3/
1,000 ACRES
RYE BU: 2,707 2,956 896 953
ALL HAY TON 3 59,697 62,251
ALFALFA " : 25,710 27,257
ALL OTHER " : 33,987 34,994
POTATOES :
WINTER CWT: 11.5 13.2 11.3 13.0
SPRING wo: 82.1 86.3 79.6 84.7
FALL 2/ “ : 1,074.4 1,119.8 1,051.5 1,092.2
APPLES, COM'L LB :
PEACHES ” :
SWEET CHERRIES TON :
TART CHERRIES LB :
APRICOTS TON :
NECTARINES (CALIF)  "

PLUMS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF) *
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-4.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-3 CROP REPORTING BGARD, SRS, USDA



INDEX

BARLEY cessece veces cree ereseerncectreeeeeee ese st es esssreeeaes Be 4
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ..ceece eee e cece eset scene eee e ete teteereceene B-10
0d 4 ee ee ns 8-18
CORN FOR GRAIN wo. cceeeverecennecsereerencsrreeterreeeerereee B- 1

COTTON B- 9

COTTONSEED . B-10

CROP PROSPECTS MAPS .. ae wee eens A- 8

FLAXSEED cece cece ee ee eter ee eee eee ene nena tee eeneeeeeeet Be 8

GRAPES ce cececeeecnererereecee seater eee nenee cet eeserareeenee B-16
HOPS co cceccceseesen rece ee eeeeeseeteeseeeee res eeeeeereeeaeee? B-14
CITRUS ce cec cece ces ecee cece tennessee eee eensenet ee eeeeneneaee B-15
NUTS cece rece seer eect renee ees e eee e tet e tenes eet teres ene en ee B-17

deere eeceee teeter cece ster eee eneenee B- 3

OATS .ceeeeeeee

ae B-18
oe B-14

PAPAYAS-HAWAIT ....00e
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION .

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS . beeen A- 9

PEANUTS FOR NUTS ... cece ee cece cece ere rece eee n arene eeeterenee B- 9
PEARS cacecececcee rect ee eee seen eect tenses ena e etter eee easenes B-18
PECANS pecccccsece ccc c sere seer ence ttre eee enne nec teeeeseeeeane B-17
POTATOES wecesccnscccccccessrecsnssseeeeeenscnesesesnseeseees B-11
PRUNES AND PLUMS ...cecereecerncsartreeewecsesestsetreenseees B-16
RICE cere ccncererecetrncerccnn reat ter seeeennanettreesereenes B- 7

eee eee eee eee B- 2

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ......++..4

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS .

SUGARBEETS ....
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .....eeeeeeeeececcceeeresteeeens B-13
SWEETPOTATOES co... ccceeeeeeecec cet teneeeeeecceteeeeeeeeees B-10
TOBACCO BY STATES ...eeeeecceeceeeeeeeretenceeretseereeeeeees 8-12
US SUMMARY 2. ..c cc cece cece cece rete e ents cece tte neneneeees A- 3
WHEAT, BY CLASSES ..cccecceeeeeseceeeceeeesseeceeetteeseneees B- 5
WHEAT, ALL cecccecccee eee eeeeeece eet eneeeeee eee eteeeeeeeeenes B- 5

WHEAT, DURUM 2... .. ccc cece cece ener eee eseeeeseeteteeeeeeeees 8-7

WHEAT, OTHER SPRING ......

WHEAT, WINTER . oe B- 6

U.S, GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1984-420-929:414-FAS

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ARIZ 1/ 55 80 90.0 86.0 7,031 4,950 6,880
CALIF 1/ 70 110 90.0 92.0 11,625 6,300 10,120
MINN 35 33 35.0 47.0 3,042 1,225 1,551
MONT 205 189 20.0 16.0 9,860 4,100 3,024
N DAK 2,050 2,690 26.5 30.0 110,825 54,325 80,700
S DAK 77 92 27.0 34.0 3,480 2,079 3,128
us 2.492 3,194 29.3 33.0 145, 863 72,979 105,403

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD :

1,000 BUSHELS

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS

: 63 70 81.0 80.0 3,504 5,103 5,600

ry 475 380 76.0 74.0 41,760 36,100 28,120
MINN : 2,030 2,160 37.0 48.0 120,800 75,110 103,680
MONT 2 1,990 2,025 27.0 18.0 89,900 53,730 36,450
NEV V/ 2 10 14 70.0 70.0 840 700 980
N DAK 2 5,000 5,340 27.0 34.0 209,250 135,000 181,560
OREG 1/ 2 85 75 42.0 41.0 4,100 3,570 3,075
S$ DAK 2 1,400 1,650 26.0 34.0 58,750 36,400 56,100
UTAH 1/ ’ 27 36 51.0 50.0 1,584 1,377 1,800
WASH : 190 200 53.0 55.0 13,440 10,070 11,000
wis Vv t 23 17 29.0 32.0 896 667 544
Wyo / t 21 24 34.0 30.0 720 714 720
us : 11,314 11,991 31.7 35.8 545,544 358,541 429,629

Vv ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRODUCTION

ACRES POUNDS

1,130.0 4,280 4,450 57,037 39,159 50,285
455.0 7,040 7,300 35,648 23,089 33,215
528.0 3,820 4,100 24,862 14,693 21,648
195.0 4,000 4,200 10,094 6,440 8,190

70.0 4,090 4,350 3,582 2,534 3,045

4,800

4,880

V ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1974-84 (197 00)

PRODUCTION

H HAY :
sALL 1/: FEED = AND  : FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO
: : GRAINS : FORAGE ; GRAINS : CROPS : :

74 96 91 89 82 104 71

91 100 108 114 58 114 86

96 94 107 W2 74 We 74

100 100 100 100 100 100 100

108 106 93 101 76 106 105

V6 108 108 94 102 80 129
1980 : 107 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981 : 116 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
3982 > 118 1246 110 140 96 85 104 124
1983 : 87 100 116 93 54 75 88
1984

4 INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS crop PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National “estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
R, Hancock, Chairperson,
L. Clampet, Secretary,

APPROVED: R. OD. Allen, J. O. Witzig,
Me. L. Dantzler, G. W. Suter,
W. T. Brannen, J. E. Brewster,
ALR. Budge, T) 9! Byram,
W. oN. Dowdy, C. WwW. Foss,
(ce 8. L. Ford,, C.D: dames,
0. C. Johnson, S. E. Keller,
S.A. Kellogg, B. AL Nelson,
W. Le. Pratt, 0. E. Ransom,
M.D: Rogers, Ll AL Shaw,
Vv. L. Siegenthaler, L. S. Williams,
M. B. Yost.

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION

PRODUCTION
crop BOXES . TON EQUIVALENT
AND UTILIZED UTILIZED : INDICATED
1903-84 1982 83 : 1983-84 : 1984-85

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID
& NAVEL :
ARIZ 1,050 550 39 21
CALIF 40,200 33,300 1,508 1,249
FLA 70,200 69,700 3,159 3,136
TEX 3,590 2,400 152 102
us 115,040 105,950 4,858 4,508
ORANGES, VALENCIA =
ARIZ : 2,750 1,250 103 47
CALIF + 35,900 15,000 1,346 563
FLA : 69,400 47,000 3,123 2,115
TEX : 2,090 110 89 5
us + 110,140 63,360 4,661 2,730
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ t 3,800 1,800 142 68
CALIF + 76,100 48,300 2,854 1,812
FLA + 139,600 116,700 6,282 5,251
TEX : 5,680 2,510 241 107
us s 225,180 169,310 9,519 7,238
TEMPLES t
FL $ 4,700 2,900 24 130
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE = +
SEEDLESS ‘
FLA + 21,800 23,000 926 978
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK = ¢
SEEDLESS : -
FLA 12,800 13,400 544 569
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 4,800 4,500 204 191
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 2,700 2,100 87 67
CALIF
DESERT 4,100 3,340 131 107
OTHER AREAS 3,200 3,100 107 104
TOTAL 7,300 6,440 238 211
FLA 39,400 40,900 1,674 1,738
TEX 11,200 3,200 448 128
us 60,600 52,640 2,447 2,144
TANGERINES .
ARIZ 1,100 950 4) 35
CALIF 2,150 1,850 81 70
FLA 2,250 2,000 107 95
us 5,500 4,800 229 200
LEMONS :
ARIZ 5,050 4,000 5,900 191 152 224
CALIF.
DESERT 2,950 2,300 4,000 112 87 152
TOTAL 20,300 17,250 772 655
us 25,350 21,250 963 807
TANGELOS
FLA 3,800 3,600 71 162

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ~75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT~CALIF DESERT & AR1Z-64, CALIF
OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES- CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS. INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA HARVESTED

AND tern en nnn
STATE t 2
1983 : 1984 1983 1984
1, 000 ACRES POUNDS
LARGE LIMA
CALIF 27.0 35.0 1,800 1,950 580 486 683
BABY LIMA
CALIF 24.0 24.0 2,020 2,060 530
OTHER
CALIF 87.0 116.0 1,590 1,700 2,475
ALL
CALIF 138.0 177.0 1,708 1,798 3,585
COLO 150.0 170.0 1,120 1,160 2,128
TDAHO 88.0 138.0 1,650 1,760 2,594
KANS : 9.0 1147 1,400 280
MICH 1 350.0 390.0 1,200 7,975
MINN a 39.0 56.0 1,200 949
MONT 2/3: 2.8 8.5 1,700 118
NEBR : 131.0 150.0 1,750 3,286
NY : 28.0 34.0 1,300 686
N DAK t 160.0 200.0 1,100 2,520
UTAH 2/: 6.9 8.8 520 46
WASH t 16.0 34.0 2,060 766
Wyo 2 18.0 37.0 2,000 630
us : 1,136.7 1,415.0

1,413 25,563

V/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

COTTONSEED

ALA ey 4.9 5.9 105 125 660 515 738
CALIF 8.8 9.0 195 175 1,748 1,716 1,575
GA 5.8 6.8 125 130 819 725

LA 24.0 23.0 95 100 2,500 2,280 2,300
MD VW 11 101 165 175 254 182 193
MISS 4.7 4.8 95 105 500 447 504
NJ 2.4 2.4 90 V5 319 216 276
NC 37.0 38.0 120 135 5,940 4,440 5,130
sc Vv 4.0 5.0 115 120 663 460 600
TENN 1.4 1.6 80 85 128 W122 136
TEX 7.1 7.3 120 110 972 852 803
VA 1.2 1.0 115 140 330 138 140
us 102.4 105.9 118 125 14,833 12,083 13,279

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 8-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



OURUM WHEAT: Production is forecast at 105 million bushels (2.87 million
metric tons), 44 percent more than in 1983, but 28 percent Tess
than 1982. Harvested area totals 3.19 million acres (1.29 million hectares),
up 28 percent from last year. Estimated yields average 33.0 bushels per acre,
3.7 bushels more than in 1983 and up 2.6 bushels from the August 1 forecast.

Near ideal harvest conditions have advanced harvest rapidly. North Dakota
finishing at a record early pace. As of September 2, 95 percent of the crop
had been combined, versus 86 percent fast year and the 5-year average of 57
percent.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production is forecast’ at 430 million bushels (11.7

million metric tons), 20 percent above last year, but 21
percent below the record high set in 1982. Harvest area remains at 12.0
million acres (4.85 million hectares), up 6 percent from 1983, but off 26
percent from the 1982 acreage. Yields average a record high 35.8 bushels per
acre up 4.1 bushels from the 1983 average, and 2.0 bushels more than the
previous record high set in 1982.

Hot, dry weather advanced crop maturity and promoted rapid harvest .in most
areas. The 5 major producing States harvest stood at 95 percent on September
2, two points ahead of last year and well ahead of the average 72 percent.
South Dakota's harvest is complete.

RICE: Production of the 1984 crop is forecast at 136 million hundredweight
(6.19 million metric tons) 1 percent more than the August 1? forecast,

37 percent above last year's production, but is 11 percent below 1982.

Harvested acreage and average yield per acre are both above a year earlier.

Nationally, yields are expected to average 4880 pounds per acre, 282
pounds more than a year earlier and 170 pounds more than in 1982. Favorable
growing conditions produced yield increases, from a year earlier, in al?
States.

In the five major producing States, harvest ranged from 92 percent
complete in Texas to just getting underway in Arkansas and California,
Twenty-eight percent of the crop was harvested by September 2, and 91 percent
of the acreage was headed. In Texas, yields were affected by excess grass,
smut, and red rice fn some areas. Prospects improved in Mississippi during
August due to favorable weather. In Louisiana, harvesting advanced to 65
percent complete by the end of the month. California weather continued to aid
yield prospects. Heads showed little blanking. In Arkansas, cool weather
stowed development. Harvest is several days behind normal.

FLAXSEED: Production is forecast at 7.56 million bushels (192 thousand metric

tons), up 9 percent from 1983 but 26 percent below 1982. Yield per
acre is forecast at 13,6 bushels, up 0.5 bushe? from August 7 and 1.7 bushels
above a year ago. During August, yields increased in all. States except North
Dakota, which was unchanged.

In North Dakota harvest is running well ahead of the average pace with 44
percent combined as of September 1. Harvest conditions to date have been
ideal with few weather-related problems. Harvest in South Dakota is 68
percent complete, slightly behind the normal of 70 percent. Harvest in
Minnesota at 54 percent is more than twice the normal pace of 26 percent.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 2.03 billion bushels (55.2 million metric

tons), 29 percent above last year but 7 percent below 1982. Yteld
is forecast at 30.3 bushels, 5.0 bushels more than last year, but 1.2 bushels
betow 1982. The 66.8 million acres (27.0 million hectares) for harvest, is up
8 percent from last year, but 4 percent below 1982.

Soybeans began showing stress during August in a few areas because of
moisture shortages and hot weather. Expected yields are up from a year ago in
all North Central States except North Dakota and Michigan. Yields in South
Central States all increased from 1983 except for Oklahoma, Mississippi's
yield of 27.0 bushels was up 8.5 bushels from last year, and Arkansas' yield
of 25.0 bushels was up 7.5 bushels.

All Atlantic Coast States showed yield increases from 1983,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



In the South Eastern States, harvest is nearing completion. Ory weather
in August limited late sizing in Virginia but aided harvest progress
elsewhere. In New Jersey, with harvest about half completed, yields were
adjusted downward because of dry weather. In Michigan, yields and quality are
ood. Recent rains, however, may slow completion of harvest. In Indiana and
owa, hot summer weather reduced sizing. Irrigation aided Illinois potatoes.
Digging in Minnesota began about the first of August.

The Colorado crop is in generally good condition. Harvest 4s progressing
well, Texas growing conditions were very good during August, aided by rain
and cooler temperatures. Harvest should wind down in early September.
California harvest is about 75 to 80 percent complete. Yields and quality
were excellent, especially for the White Rose variety.

POTATOES -~ 1983 REVISED: Final production of 1983 potatoes for all 4 seasons

totaled 334 million cwt (15.1 million metric tons),
down 6 percent from 1982. Area harvested, totaling 1.24 million acres (503
thousand hectares), dropped 2 percent from 1982. The average U.S. yield, of
269 cwt per acre, was well off the record high of 280 cwt set in 1982.

Fall production finished the 1983 season with 295 millton cwt (13.4
millTon metric tons), 5 percent below the 1982 output. Harvested area came to
1.05 million acres {426 thousand hectares), 2 percent below 1982. Yield
averaged 280 cwt per acre compared with 288 cwt the previous year.

SWEETPOTATOES: The 1984 sweetpotato crop is forecast at 13.3 million cwt (602

thousand metric tons), up 10 percent from last year, but 10
percent below 1982, Area for harvest is estimated at 106 thousand acres (42.9
thousand hectares), a gain of 3 percent from 1983. The average yield is
forecast at 125 cwt per acre, 7 cwt above last year, but 4 cwt below the
record high of 129 cwt per acre set in 1982.

In North Carolina, where nearly two-fifths of the crop is produced,
harvest is late. Growers expected to get into full swing around September
10th. Louisiana's harvest progress is also a little late, but as of the first
of September about 30 percent was completed. Harvest in California was
underway on a small scale, with lighter than normal sets and good demand.
Texas was dry during August, which limited sizing. Harvest is Tate and
expected to start soon after the first of September.

Harvest is progressing favorably in Alabama and Georgia. Alabama movement
should peak in late September. Georgia and Virginia had wet and then dry
weather in August. New Jersey growers report favorable conditions and crop
prospects, with harvest just beginning.

TOBACCO: All tobacco production is forecast at 1.74 billion pounds (787 thou-

sand metric tons), 22 percent above last year and 3 percent above the
August 1 forecast. Yield prospects increased from August 1 in ten of the
sixteen estimating States. Yield per acre at 2179 pounds is 368 pounds above
last year and 66 pounds above August 1. Farmers plan to harvest 797 thousand
acres (323 thousand hectares), 1 percent more than in 1983.

Kentucky's production of all tobacco is estimated to be 527 million
pounds, 62 percent above 1983. This represents a 6 percent increase over the
August 1 estimate. Harvest is progressing well with 28 percent of the burley
and 33 percent of the dark types cut. Disease and insect problems have been
minimal.

Production in North Carolina is expected to total 583 million pounds, 7
percent above last year and virtually the same as the August 1 estimate.
Flue-cured harvest is progressing well and on schedule. Burley harvest is off
to a good start but is about 9 percentage points behind normal.

Tennessee growers expect to harvest 165 million pounds, 39 percent above
1983 and 6 percent above the August 17 estimate. Yield prospects at 2180
Pounds per acre are up 117 pounds from last month. Tobacco harvest began
around the first week of August and as the month ended, about 40 percent of
the crop had been harvested. The crop was rated in mostly fair to good
condition with harvest progressing a little behind normal.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1984 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA