Cr Pr 2-2 (7-02)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released July 11, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Winter Wheat Production Down 5 Percent from June Forecast

Other Spring Wheat Production Down 5 Percent from 2001

Durum Wheat Production Up 1 Percent from 2001

All Wheat Production Down 11 Percent from 2001

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.18 billion bushels, the lowest level since 1971. The production

forecast is down 5 percent from last month and down 13 percent from 2001. The decline in production from

the June forecast is due to a reduction in harvested acreage and a lower forecasted yield. Acres for harvest as

grain are forecast at 29.8 million, 1 percent below the June forecast and down 5 percent from 2001. This is

the smallest harvested acreage since 1917. The U.S. yield is forecast at 39.6 bushels per acre, down

1.4 bushels from last month.

Hard Red Winter, at 634 million bushels, is down 6 percent from a month ago. White Winter is down

1 percent this month and now totals 203 million bushels. Soft Red Winter, at 341 million bushels, is down

5 percent from the last forecast.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 84.1 million bushels, up 1 percent from 2001. The U.S. yield is

forecast at 31.3 bushels per acre, 1.3 bushels more than last year.

Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 486 million bushels, down 5 percent from 2001. The U.S.

yield is forecast at 32.0 bushels per acre, 3.2 bushels lower than last year. Of this total, 443 million is Hard

Red Spring wheat, down 7 percent from last season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 2 NASS, USDA

The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2001-02 crop is 12.4 million tons, virtually unchanged from the

June forecast but 1 percent higher than last season’s utilization. Florida's all orange forecast is 229 million

boxes (10.3 million tons), virtually unchanged from the previous forecast but 3 percent higher than last

season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 128 million boxes (5.76 million tons),

unchanged from the June forecast and equal to last season’s final utilization. Florida’s Valencia forecast is

101 million boxes (4.55 million tons), 1 percent above the previous forecast and 6 percent above the previous

season. 

California’s all orange forecast is 54.0 million boxes (2.03 million tons), down 2 percent from the April

forecast and 5 percent below last season’s utilization. The Navel orange forecast remains at 32.0 million

boxes (1.20 million tons), 11 percent less than the 2000-01 crop. Harvest of the Navel oranges is complete. 

California’s Valencia orange crop is forecast at 22.0 million boxes (825,000 tons), down 4 percent from the

April forecast but 5 percent above last season’s utilization. Valencia orange harvest is continuing but at a

reduced rate.

The Texas all orange forecast for July is 1.74 million boxes (74,000 tons), 1 percent less than the April

forecast and 22 percent below last season’s final utilization. Harvest is complete in Texas. Arizona’s July

forecast is 8 percent below the April forecast and 33 percent less than the 2000-01 season.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) final forecast is 1.58 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees

Brix, as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. This forecast, unchanged since January, is

final. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.53 gallons per box. The final average yield for the

Valencia oranges remains at 1.66 gallons per box.

This report was approved on July 11, 2002.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Keith J. Collins

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Frederic A. Vogel
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Almonds ............................................................................. 10

Apricots ............................................................................. 10

Barley ................................................................................ 4

Citrus Fruits .......................................................................... 11

Crop Comments ....................................................................... 26

Crop Summary ........................................................................ 16

Grapes .............................................................................. 10

Information Contacts ................................................................... 35

Lentils ............................................................................... 12

Oats ................................................................................. 4

Papayas .............................................................................. 10

Peaches .............................................................................. 9 

Peas, Austrian Winter ................................................................... 12

 Dry Edible ....................................................................... 12

Potatoes ............................................................................. 13

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ................................................. 33

Tobacco .............................................................................. 8

Weather Summary ..................................................................... 24

Weather Maps ........................................................................ 22

Wheat, Durum ......................................................................... 6

Wheat, Head Population .................................................................. 7

Wheat, by Class ........................................................................ 6

Wheat, Other Spring ..................................................................... 6

Wheat, Winter ......................................................................... 5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 4 NASS, USDA

Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

CA

ID

IL

IA

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NY

ND

OH

OR

PA

SD

TX

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

15

20

40

130

40

55

210

60

60

80

240

85

25

115

130

160

195

245

1,905

30

25

50

210

60

65

320

85

80

55

430

55

30

120

250

180

315

273

2,633

60.0

68.0

80.0

70.0

53.0

64.0

60.0

40.0

61.0

69.0

62.0

73.0

77.0

65.0

60.0

45.0

64.0

59.2

61.3

70.0

80.0

61.0

67.0

45.0

60.0

60.0

54.0

45.0

75.0

53.0

66.0

90.0

64.0

45.0

35.0

64.0

50.3

56.1

1,875

1,400

4,015

12,060

2,200

4,800

22,320

2,600

1,890

3,900

19,845

6,840

2,450

8,265

13,420

4,300

19,040

18,325

149,545

900

1,360

3,200

9,100

2,120

3,520

12,600

2,400

3,660

5,520

14,880

6,205

1,925

7,475

7,800

7,200

12,480

14,511

116,856

2,100

2,000

3,050

14,070

2,700

3,900

19,200

4,590

3,600

4,125

22,790

3,630

2,700

7,680

11,250

6,300

20,160

13,739

147,584

 1 Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in

the "Small Grains 2002 Summary".

Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

CO

DE

ID

MD

MN

MT

ND

OR

PA

SD

UT

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

40

110

80

26

670

51

145

720

1,450

100

60

78

65

50

420

85

139

4,289

38

75

93

23

690

41

185

950

1,520

75

65

50

55

50

360

75

154

4,499

110.0

53.0

107.0

77.0

75.0

75.0

55.0

41.0

55.0

45.0

70.0

52.0

68.0

75.0

50.0

84.0

60.5

58.2

114.0

66.0

94.0

80.0

80.0

81.0

46.0

50.0

50.0

58.0

76.0

32.0

71.0

82.0

58.0

82.0

58.5

59.0

4,104

6,460

12,075

2,268

55,480

4,100

15,360

38,000

97,350

8,400

5,325

5,775

5,460

5,785

34,300

7,885

10,601

318,728

4,400

5,830

8,560

2,002

50,250

3,825

7,975

29,520

79,750

4,500

4,200

4,056

4,420

3,750

21,000

7,140

8,412

249,590

4,332

4,950

8,742

1,840

55,200

3,321

8,510

47,500

76,000

4,350

4,940

1,600

3,905

4,100

20,880

6,150

9,010

265,330

 1 Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the

"Small Grains 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 5 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Jun 1 Jul 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

MD

MI

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

970

380

2,000

57

200

710

720

380

8,200

360

175

560

225

760

870

1,600

120

470

900

3,700

700

160

210

370

340

3,200

170

1,750

120

918

31,295

800

310

1,650

58

200

690

650

330

8,000

360

180

490

180

760

800

1,450

135

480

800

3,500

750

185

190

800

330

2,800

185

1,750

120

831

29,764

52.0

70.0

33.0

61.0

53.0

73.0

61.0

66.0

40.0

66.0

63.0

64.0

52.0

54.0

22.0

37.0

53.0

39.0

67.0

33.0

40.0

52.0

43.0

32.0

54.0

34.0

60.0

61.0

24.0

46.4

43.5

53.0

75.0

23.0

65.0

45.0

75.0

55.0

60.0

35.0

62.0

65.0

67.0

50.0

51.0

30.0

29.0

60.0

45.0

65.0

31.0

47.0

58.0

40.0

34.0

51.0

32.0

62.0

65.0

18.0

49.1

41.0

49.0

80.0

23.0

65.0

40.0

75.0

50.0

58.0

34.0

53.0

66.0

65.0

40.0

44.0

33.0

30.0

58.0

44.0

62.0

30.0

40.0

59.0

38.0

24.0

46.0

30.0

65.0

65.0

16.0

45.8

39.6

50,440

26,600

66,000

3,477

10,600

51,830

43,920

25,080

328,000

23,760

11,025

35,840

11,700

41,040

19,140

59,200

6,360

18,330

60,300

122,100

28,000

8,320

9,030

11,840

18,360

108,800

10,200

106,750

2,880

42,557

1,361,479

39,200

24,800

37,950

3,770

8,000

51,750

32,500

19,140

272,000

19,080

11,880

31,850

7,200

33,440

26,400

43,500

7,830

21,120

49,600

105,000

30,000

10,915

7,220

19,200

15,180

84,000

12,025

113,750

1,920

38,100

1,178,320

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 6 NASS, USDA

Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Jun 1 Jul 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

MT

ND

Oth

 Sts 1

US

87

81

495

2,100

26

2,789

95

90

530

1,950

27

2,692

91.0

105.0

24.0

26.0

25.2

30.0

95.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

27.0

26.0

23.5

31.3

7,917

8,505

11,880

54,600

654

83,556

9,500

9,000

14,310

50,700

635

84,145

 1 Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary".

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

ID

MN

MT

ND

OR

SD

WA

 Oth

 Sts 1

US

490

1,800

2,850

6,900

175

1,650

630

74

14,569

530

1,900

3,550

6,800

155

1,550

635

52

15,172

68.0

44.0

23.0

34.0

30.0

39.0

41.0

60.9

35.2

75.0

35.0

28.0

31.0

27.0

22.0

45.0

56.1

32.0

42,750

95,550

77,500

233,600

8,280

60,040

33,480

5,432

556,632

33,320

79,200

65,550

234,600

5,250

64,350

25,830

4,508

512,608

39,750

66,500

99,400

210,800

4,185

34,100

28,575

2,916

486,226

 1 Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2002

Summary".

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2000-2001

and Forecasted July 1, 2002 1

Year

Winter Spring

Hard Total

Red

Soft

Red White HardRed White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

2000

2001

2002

846,324

766,795

633,974

471,356

399,670

340,909

248,343

195,014

203,437

502,318

475,653

443,336

54,314

36,955

42,890

109,805

83,556

84,145

2,232,460

1,957,643

1,748,691

 1 Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used

throughout the forecast season. Washington wheat variety survey indicates that winter wheat is 93 percent white and spring wheat

is 74 percent white.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 7 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Head Population

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 10 winter wheat

estimating States during 2002. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May

through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this

survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested.

Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot,

Selected States, 1998-2002

State and Month 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 1

Number Number Number Number Number

CO July

 Final

IL July

 Final

KS July

 Final

MO July

 Final

MT July

 Final

NE July

 Final

OH July

 Final

OK July

 Final

TX July

 Final

WA July

 Final

40.3

39.3

51.1

51.2

51.3

51.3

43.6

43.6

37.2

38.8

56.4

56.7

55.4

55.1

39.9

40.1

39.6

39.7

38.2

37.7

42.1

43.4

59.7

59.6

49.4

49.4

47.0

47.0

37.0

36.3

59.8

57.9

57.0

57.3

40.2

40.1

40.7

40.7

35.1

35.0

48.0

47.7

55.0

55.0

46.5

46.5

49.9

49.9

41.3

40.3

57.5

58.3

59.5

59.5

40.2

40.2

31.4

31.6

40.6

40.1

34.2

33.9

53.1

52.0

39.7

39.7

47.7

47.7

25.6

25.2

46.6

46.8

52.0

51.7

32.5

32.5

33.4

33.4

37.3

36.8

35.9

59.4

41.7

54.8

36.3

52.4

58.5

40.2

34.2

37.8

 1 Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary" in September.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 8 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

42,000

20,500

62,500

93,000

20,000

32,000

52,000

4,500

26,100

30,600

238,100

44,000

22,000

66,000

95,000

24,000

31,000

55,000

4,800

28,000

32,800

248,800

2,500

2,370

2,457

2,400

2,400

2,450

2,431

2,600

2,460

2,481

2,432

2,150

2,200

2,167

2,100

2,200

2,150

2,172

2,600

2,000

2,088

2,132

105,000

48,585

153,585

223,200

48,000

78,400

126,400

11,700

64,206

75,906

579,091

94,600

48,400

143,000

199,500

52,800

66,650

119,450

12,480

56,000

68,480

530,430
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 9 NASS, USDA

Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States,

2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

State

Total Production

2000 2001 2002

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AL

AR

CA

 All

 Clingstone

 Freestone

CO

CT

GA

ID

IL

IN

KY

LA

MD

MA

MI

MO

NJ

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

TN

TX

UT

VA

WA

WV

US

14.0

18.0

1,855.0

1,064.0

791.0

19.0

2.0

115.0

13.0

23.0

2.6

1.1

1.2

9.0

2.1

47.5

9.5

65.0

12.0

32.0

10.4

14.0

8.0

60.0

150.0

2.5

21.0

11.0

10.0

65.0

7.0

2,599.9

23.0

12.0

1,727.0

952.0

775.0

18.0

1.9

140.0

13.0

17.8

3.0

1.8

1.4

8.8

1.8

42.0

9.0

75.0

12.5

12.0

11.2

12.0

6.5

75.0

100.0

3.7

30.0

9.0

8.0

55.0

11.0

2,441.4

21.0

12.5

1,880.0

1,050.0

830.0

17.0

1.5

115.0

13.0

17.5

3.1

2.0

1.5

8.2

2.2

14.0

8.0

65.0

10.0

20.0

10.9

6.0

7.3

60.0

160.0

4.0

15.0

5.0

7.0

50.0

11.0

2,547.7
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 10 NASS, USDA

Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State,

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002

Crop and State

Total Production

2000 2001 2002

Tons Tons Tons

Grapes Table Type 1

 CA

Grapes Wine Type

 CA

Grapes Raisin Type 1 2

 CA

All Grapes

 CA

Apricots

 CA

 UT

 WA

 US

774,000

3,364,000

2,921,000

7,059,000

90,000

400

6,500

96,900

710,000

3,053,000

2,199,000

5,962,000

77,000

260

5,200

82,460

770,000

3,300,000

2,550,000

6,620,000

85,000

200

4,500

89,700

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Almonds (Shelled Basis) 3

 CA 703,000 830,000 980,000

 1 Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2 The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) is implemented on the bearing acres only. No production will be realized from

these acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 41,000 for 2001 and 27,000 for 2002. 3 Utilized production.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2001-2002

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2001 2002

2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

May

Jun

2,805

3,535

2,475

2,205

2,025

2,035

1,940

1,730

4,530

4,745

3,155

2,820

 1 Utilized fresh production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 11 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

1999-2000, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 4

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 Other 4

 FL

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 5

 CA 5 6

 FL

 US

Lemons

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

K-Early Citrus

 FL

600

40,000

134,000

1,460

176,060

500

24,000

99,000

200

123,700

1,100

64,000

233,000

1,660

299,760

1,950

20,900

31,900

600

450

7,200

53,400

5,930

66,980

850

2,500

7,000

10,350

3,100

19,000

22,100

2,200

110

480

36,000

128,000

2,000

166,480

420

21,000

95,300

235

116,955

900

57,000

223,300

2,235

283,435

1,250

18,700

27,300

250

6,500

46,000

7,200

59,950

650

2,100

5,600

8,350

3,600

22,700

26,300

2,100

40

300

32,000

128,000

1,530

161,830

300

22,000

101,000

210

123,510

600

54,000

229,000

1,740

285,340

1,550

18,900

27,700

150

6,400

46,600

5,900

59,050

650

2,300

6,600

9,550

2,800

22,000

24,800

2,150

30

22

1,500

6,030

62

7,614

19

900

4,455

9

5,383

41

2,400

10,485

71

12,997

88

888

1,356

25

15

241

2,269

237

2,762

32

94

332

458

118

722

840

99

5

18

1,350

5,760

85

7,213

16

787

4,289

10

5,102

34

2,137

10,049

95

12,315

56

795

1,160

8

218

1,955

288

2,469

24

79

266

369

137

863

1,000

95

2

11

1,200

5,760

65

7,036

11

825

4,545

9

5,390

22

2,025

10,305

74

12,426

70

803

1,177

5

214

1,980

236

2,435

24

86

314

424

106

836

942

97

1

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early

Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 "Other" seedy grapefruit estimates discontinued after 1999-2000 crop. Included with white seedless beginning with the 2000-01

crop. 5 Includes tangelos and tangors. 6 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 12 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2001-2002 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

OR

WA

US

24.0

31.0

90.0

4.8

62.0

211.8

40.0

27.0

130.0

4.5

70.0

271.5

23.0

21.0

86.0

4.8

62.0

196.8

39.0

25.0

125.0

4.5

70.0

263.5

 1 Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas.

Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2001-2002

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

WA

US

54.0

22.0

45.0

80.0

201.0

50.0

15.0

50.0

75.0

190.0

53.0

20.0

44.0

80.0

197.0

49.0

14.0

49.0

75.0

187.0

Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2001-2002

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

OR

US

4.5

9.9

1.5

15.9

7.0

7.0

1.0

15.0

4.0

2.5

0.6

7.1

6.5

2.0

0.5

9.0
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 13 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2001-2002

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter 1

 CA

 FL

 Total

Spring 1

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 Hastings

 Other FL

 NC

 TX

 Total

Summer

 AL

 CA

 CO

 DE

 IL

 KS

 MD

 MO

 NJ

 NM

 TX

 VA

 Total

9.0

7.8

16.8

8.2

15.5

25.6

18.5

7.1

19.5

9.5

78.3

4.2

8.0

5.6

4.4

5.5

2.5

4.8

6.2

2.5

2.2

8.5

6.5

60.9

7.0

6.8

13.8

7.8

19.0

26.0

19.2

6.8

18.0

9.5

80.3

4.0

8.0

6.5

3.7

6.3

3.0

4.8

7.0

2.5

2.5

8.8

6.5

63.6

9.0

5.0

14.0

8.2

15.5

25.0

18.0

7.0

18.5

9.0

76.2

3.9

8.0

5.4

4.3

5.3

2.4

4.7

5.6

2.5

2.2

8.0

6.3

58.6

7.0

6.5

13.5

7.8

19.0

25.4

18.7

6.7

17.5

8.0

77.7

3.9

8.0

6.4

3.6

5.9

2.9

4.7

5.4

2.5

2.5

8.3

6.5

60.6

310

265

294

270

390

319

330

290

190

230

286

160

355

355

270

350

300

250

340

255

350

390

220

309

270

275

272

270

405

283

280

290

195

170

280

170

380

350

270

340

340

250

225

265

360

390

235

307

2,790

1,325

4,115

2,214

6,045

7,970

5,940

2,030

3,515

2,070

21,814

624

2,840

1,917

1,161

1,855

720

1,175

1,904

638

770

3,120

1,386

18,110

1,890

1,788

3,678

2,106

7,695

7,179

5,236

1,943

3,413

1,360

21,753

663

3,040

2,240

972

2,006

986

1,175

1,215

663

900

3,237

1,528

18,625

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 14 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2001-2002 (continued)

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Fall 2

 CA

 CO

 ID

 10 SW Co

 Other ID

 IN

 ME

 MA

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NV

 NM

 NY

 ND

 OH

 OR

 Malheur

 Other OR

 PA

 RI

 SD

 UT

 WA

 WI

 Total

US

2.5

68.1

370.0

26.0

344.0

3.1

62.0

2.8

47.5

59.0

9.6

22.5

6.5

4.2

23.5

118.0

4.2

45.0

9.0

36.0

14.0

0.5

2.8

1.3

160.0

84.0

1,111.1

1,267.1

8.5

71.6

395.0

26.0

369.0

2.9

64.0

3.1

46.5

61.0

9.0

21.5

7.5

4.0

22.5

120.0

4.3

50.5

8.5

42.0

15.0

0.6

1.2

1.1

175.0

85.0

1,169.8

1,327.5

2.5

67.8

368.0

26.0

342.0

2.9

62.0

2.8

46.0

55.0

9.5

22.4

6.5

4.2

23.3

110.0

4.1

44.5

9.0

35.5

13.5

0.5

2.7

1.3

160.0

83.0

1,092.5

1,241.3

8.5

71.3

393.0

26.0

367.0

2.8

64.0

3.1

45.5

53.0

8.9

21.0

7.5

4.0

22.0

112.0

4.2

50.0

8.5

41.5

14.5

0.6

1.1

1.1

175.0

79.0

1,142.1

1,293.9

445

315

348

450

340

320

260

265

305

335

320

380

360

340

255

240

240

466

410

480

235

270

240

265

590

385

367

358

1,113

21,357

127,980

11,700

116,280

928

16,120

742

14,030

18,425

3,040

8,512

2,340

1,428

5,942

26,400

984

20,730

3,690

17,040

3,173

135

648

345

94,400

31,955

400,727

444,766

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2 The forecast of fall potato production will be released November 12, 2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 15 NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes,

11 Major States, 2001-2002

State

Potato Types 1

Reds Whites Russets

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

CO

ID

ME

MI

MN

NY

ND

OR

PA

WA

WI

Total

6

1

4

4

26

18

1

3

11

6

4

1

4

2

29

19

1

4

11

6

13

5

60

80

10

100

35

14

100

4

29

21

12

4

59

90

11

100

37

30

100

11

33

23

81

94

36

16

64

47

85

93

60

73

84

95

37

8

60

44

69

85

56

71

 1 Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State’s total. Yellow flesh

potatoes are reported under white types.

Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes,

by State and Total, 2001-2002 1

State

2001 Crop 2002 Crop

Entered for

Certification Certified PercentCertified

Entered for

Certification

Acres Acres Percent Acres

AK

CA

CO

ID

ME

MI

MN

MT

NE

NY

ND

OR

PA

SD

UT 2

WA

WI

Total

150

800

16,813

38,581

14,000

2,344

8,000

9,306

7,000

1,000

22,221

2,200

256

648

50

2,250

10,450

136,069

198

665

13,031

38,065

14,820

2,202

8,040

9,240

5,699

961

20,682

2,119

256

633

2,191

10,215

129,017

132

83

78

99

106

94

101

99

81

96

93

96

100

98

97

98

95

175

350

17,400

41,000

14,500

2,564

9,000

8,871

5,800

570

19,569

2,240

256

840

2,400

10,732

136,267

 1 Data supplied by State seed certification officials. 2 None certified for 2001 crop. None entered for certification for 2002 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 16 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-2002

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

4,967.0

75,752.0

4,403.0

650.0

3,335.0

1,328.0

10,252.0

59,617.0

41,078.0

2,910.0

15,629.0

1,494.0

585.0

45.8

1,541.2

3.7

188.0

74,105.0

2,653.0

15,768.5

15,498.5

270.0

1,370.8

15.9

1,429.9

211.8

201.0

1,267.1

16.8

78.3

60.9

1,111.1

97.9

5,048.0

78,947.0

5,085.0

475.0

3,251.0

1,395.0

9,290.0

60,085.0

41,362.0

2,760.0

15,963.0

1,513.0

844.0

155.0

1,469.0

2.0

207.0

72,993.0

2,486.0

14,415.5

14,151.0

264.5

1,408.8

15.0

1,864.0

271.5

190.0

1,327.5

13.8

80.3

63.6

1,169.8

94.4

4,289.0

68,808.0

6,148.0

63,511.0

23,812.0

39,699.0

1,905.0

580.0

3,314.0

255.0

8,584.0

336.0

48,653.0

31,295.0

2,789.0

14,569.0

1,455.0

578.0

44.2

1,411.9

3.1

177.0

73,000.0

2,580.0

13,827.7

13,559.5

268.2

1,243.6

1,028.0

432.4

7.1

1,243.0

196.8

197.0

6.3

0.4

35.9

78.5

1,241.3

14.0

76.2

58.6

1,092.5

19.5

93.5

0.4

4,499.0

72,081.0

64,709.0

24,134.0

40,575.0

2,633.0

3,227.0

275.0

7,908.0

47,628.0

29,764.0

2,692.0

15,172.0

1,458.0

821.0

146.0

1,412.5

1.8

198.0

72,029.0

2,392.0

1,370.7

1,022.1

9.0

1,745.1

263.5

187.0

29.3

1,293.9

13.5

77.7

60.6

1,142.1

91.8

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 17 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

58.2

138.2

16.6

2.47

3.37

1.93

61.3

33.2

6,429

27.3

59.9

11.1

40.2

43.5

30.0

35.2

1,374

19.8

930

3,029

1,306

1,365

39.6

1,349

705

694

1,254

20.7

33.6

2,293

1,366

1,572

1,920

1,471

1,210

45,000

1,861

81

358

294

286

309

367

105

156

59.0

56.1

36.7

39.6

31.3

32.0

272

280

307

249,590

9,506,840

102,352

156,703

80,266

76,437

116,856

19,250

213,045

6,971

514,524

3,728

1,957,643

1,361,479

83,556

512,608

1,998,515

7,452.2

11,455

41,106

4,276,704

4,050

241,665

2,890,572

3,480,696

20,302.8

19,602.4

700.4

25,787

34,587

991,519

97

19,541

3,779

2,898

640

7,600

16,200

66,832.1

6,343

444,766

4,115

21,814

18,110

400,727

2,052

14,565

6,400

265,330

147,584

1,748,691

1,178,320

84,145

486,226

3,678

21,753

18,625

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 18 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2000 2001 2002

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lb

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,762

5

840

12,997

99

458

88

10,663.7

96.9

29,000.0

7,688.0

53.0

54,500.0

2,599.9

967.2

219.0

23.9

703,000

22.5

209,850

243,000

239.0

1,231

2,469

2

1,000

12,315

95

369

56

9,629.1

82.5

28,000.0

6,552.5

134.0

55,000.0

2,441.4

1,005.8

150.0

21.2

830,000

49.5

338,500

161,000

305.0

1,049

2,435

1

942

12,426

97

424

70

89.7

2,547.7

155.0

980,000

1,356

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 19 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-2002

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,010,100

30,656,080

1,781,850

263,050

1,349,640

537,430

4,148,880

24,126,400

16,623,860

1,177,650

6,324,900

604,610

236,740

18,530

623,710

1,500

76,080

29,989,550

1,073,640

6,381,350

6,272,090

109,270

554,750

6,430

578,670

85,710

81,340

512,780

6,800

31,690

24,650

449,650

39,620

2,042,880

31,949,060

2,057,850

192,230

1,315,650

564,540

3,759,570

24,315,800

16,738,790

1,116,940

6,460,070

612,300

341,560

62,730

594,490

810

83,770

29,539,540

1,006,060

5,833,810

5,726,770

107,040

570,130

6,070

754,340

109,870

76,890

537,230

5,580

32,500

25,740

473,410

38,200

1,735,720

27,845,910

2,488,030

25,702,270

9,636,480

16,065,790

770,930

234,720

1,341,140

103,200

3,473,860

135,980

19,689,380

12,664,770

1,128,680

5,895,930

588,820

233,910

17,890

571,380

1,250

71,630

29,542,370

1,044,100

5,595,930

5,487,390

108,540

503,270

416,020

174,990

2,870

503,030

79,640

79,720

2,550

150

14,530

31,770

502,340

5,670

30,840

23,710

442,120

7,890

37,840

180

1,820,700

29,170,460

26,187,090

9,766,790

16,420,300

1,065,550

1,305,930

111,290

3,200,290

19,274,580

12,045,190

1,089,430

6,139,960

590,040

332,250

59,080

571,620

730

80,130

29,149,420

968,020

554,710

413,630

3,640

706,220

106,640

75,680

11,850

523,630

5,460

31,440

24,520

462,200

37,150

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 20 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.13

8.67

37.32

5.53

7.56

4.32

2.20

1.86

7.21

1.72

3.76

24.87

2.71

2.93

2.01

2.37

1.54

1.24

1.04

3.40

1.46

1.53

2.66

1.51

0.79

0.78

1.40

46.48

75.42

2.57

1.53

1.76

2.15

1.65

1.35

50.44

2.09

0.09

40.16

32.94

32.09

34.64

41.11

0.12

17.46

3.17

2.01

2.47

2.66

2.10

2.16

30.54

31.38

34.45

5,434,180

241,484,860

92,852,170

142,158,570

72,816,090

69,342,480

1,696,160

436,580

9,663,560

177,070

13,069,510

3,381,980

53,278,310

37,053,390

2,274,020

13,950,900

906,510

6,760,520

290,970

18,650

1,939,880

1,840

109,620

78,668,480

1,578,820

4,420,410

4,267,920

152,490

23,393,570

31,376,800

449,750

4,400

886,360

171,410

131,450

29,030

3,450

7,350

30,310

2,880

20,174,250

186,650

989,470

821,460

18,176,670

930

660,660

2,900

5,776,880

2,142,180

47,591,570

32,068,620

2,290,050

13,232,900

166,830

986,700

844,820

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 21 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2000 2001 2002

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,505,640

4,540

762,040

11,790,680

89,810

415,490

79,830

4,836,970

87,910

13,150

6,974,410

48,080

24,720

1,179,290

877,380

198,670

21,680

318,880

20,410

95,190

110,220

216,820

6,150

2,239,840

1,810

907,180

11,171,980

86,180

334,750

50,800

4,367,690

74,810

12,700

5,944,350

121,560

24,950

1,107,400

912,460

136,080

19,230

376,480

44,910

153,540

73,030

276,690

5,240

2,208,990

910

854,570

11,272,680

88,000

384,650

63,500

81,370

1,155,620

140,610

444,520

6,780

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 22 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 23 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 24 NASS, USDA

June Weather Summary

Hot, mostly dry weather brought worsening drought conditions from southern California to the High Plains,

excluding Montana. The drought increasingly stressed dryland crops, strained irrigation reserves, and

fostered the spread of numerous wildfires. Farther north, beneficial showers eased stress on pastures and

spring-sown small grains in North Dakota, Montana, and portions of the interior Northwest. However,

several rounds of heavy rain flooded parts of the Red River Valley and adjacent areas in northern Minnesota. 

Meanwhile, most of the Midwest experienced above-normal temperatures and a gradual drying trend during

June. By month’s end, soil moisture remained mostly adequate in the previously saturated Ohio and middle

Mississippi Valleys, but heat and dryness increased stress on corn and soybeans in the western Corn Belt,

including South Dakota, Nebraska, and western Iowa. Farther south, heavy showers eased or eliminated

citrus irrigation requirements across Peninsular Florida. Despite scattered showers elsewhere in the South,

soil moisture shortages continued to stress rain-fed summer crops in several areas, including the lower Rio

Grande Valley, southern portions of the Delta, and most locations from the Florida panhandle to the southern

Mid-Atlantic region. In contrast, torrential rainfall developed across south-central Texas at month’s end,

sparking early-July flooding.

Widespread above-normal June precipitation was confined to Florida’s peninsula and the Nation’s northern

tier, including much of the Northeast and areas from the northern Rockies to the upper Great Lakes region. 

Pockets of above-normal rainfall were scattered across the Midwestern and South-Central States. In contrast,

little or no rain fell in California and the Southwest, while only light amounts were observed in other areas,

including the western Corn Belt and the southern Mid-Atlantic region.

Monthly temperatures averaged as much as 3 degrees F below normal along the California coast and in

Montana and Florida. Readings were near normal across the remainder of the South, but as much as 5

degrees F below normal in northern New England. Warmer-than-normal weather prevailed elsewhere, with

temperatures averaging up to 5 degrees F above normal in the western Corn Belt, 3 to 7 degrees F above

normal on the central High Plains, and generally 3 to 5 degrees F above normal in the Southwest.

June Crop Summary

Hot weather quickly ripened winter wheat fields and promoted rapid emergence and growth of spring-planted

row crops in the Great Plains and Corn Belt. Dry weather aided winter wheat harvest, but soil moisture

reserves diminished, stressing crops in the Great Plains and Corn Belt, especially near the end of the month. 

In the South, heavy rains boosted soil moisture reserves and maintained crop conditions along the western

Gulf Coast. Interior areas of the lower Mississippi Valley and most of the Southeast also received beneficial

precipitation, but amounts varied considerably. Abnormally dry weather stressed crops on the Atlantic

Coastal Plain and delayed planting, emergence, and growth on the southern High Plains. In the Southwest, 

producers irrigated crops to maintain healthy development.

Corn was 98 percent planted on June 9, slightly less than the 5-year average. Planting remained active in the

eastern Corn Belt early in the month, despite additional rain delays. Most of the acreage remaining to be

planted on June 9 was in Indiana and Ohio. Warm weather and adequate soil moisture supported quick

emergence in the eastern Corn Belt and promoted rapid vegetative growth in the western Corn Belt. By June

16, the crop was 97 percent emerged. On June 23, crop development ranged from barely emerged in many

areas of the eastern Corn Belt to chest-high in some western Corn Belt fields. Five percent of the crop was at

or beyond the silking stage at the end of the month. However, silking in the Corn Belt was mostly confined to

the lower Missouri and lower Ohio River Valleys, where 30 percent of the Kentucky acreage and 21 percent

of the Missouri crop was silking. Hot winds and dry soils stressed many fields in the western Corn Belt and

Great Plains near the end of the month, while rain improved crop conditions in Indiana, Minnesota, and

Wisconsin. 

Soybean planting progressed behind normal during the first half of the month, but neared completion slightly

ahead of normal, advancing to 97 percent complete on June 23. Planting neared completion by June 9 across

the northern and western Corn Belt. Meanwhile, planting remained active across the central and eastern Corn

Belt, interior Mississippi Delta, and central Great Plains, even though some areas received additional,

unneeded precipitation. After midmonth, planting was most active along the Ohio and Tennessee River

Valleys, but planting also remained active in parts of the lower Mississippi Valley and eastern Corn Belt. 

Above-normal temperatures and adequate topsoil moisture aided emergence and growth in most areas of the
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 25 NASS, USDA

Corn Belt, northern Great Plains, and lower Mississippi Valley during the month. By June 23, most fields

were emerged in the western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Near the end of the month, fields rapidly

emerged in the eastern Corn Belt and interior Mississippi Delta. On June 30, emergence was 96 percent

complete, 1 percentage point ahead of the average for this date. In addition, 6 percent of the acreage was

blooming at the end of June, as fields rapidly entered the bloom stage in the lower Mississippi Valley. In the

Corn Belt, Iowa led progress with 16 percent blooming. Conditions deteriorated in the western Corn Belt

and Great Plains, where soil moisture reserves quickly diminished.

Above-normal temperatures promoted winter wheat development in the eastern Corn Belt, across most of the

central and northern Great Plains, and Pacific Northwest during June. However, below-normal temperatures

delayed heading in Montana, especially near midmonth. Cooler-than-normal weather also delayed ripening in

parts of the southern Great Plains. Despite ample heat in most areas, heading neared completion slightly later

than normal, as 96 percent of the acreage was headed on June 23, compared with the average of 98 percent. 

Harvest accelerated in the lower Mississippi Valley and along the Atlantic Coastal Plain early in the month

and progressed with only brief rain delays in most areas. Early-month harvest progress in Oklahoma was

abruptly halted by widespread heavy rain, but harvest steadily advanced in most areas of the southern Great

Plains during June. Harvest began in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains near midmonth and was aided by

mostly dry weather after midmonth. At the end of June, 61 percent of the acreage was harvested,

14 percentage points more than the average for this date. Harvest neared completion in Arkansas and

Oklahoma, but had not begun in the northern Great Plains or Pacific Northwest.

Ninety-four percent of the cotton acreage was planted on June 9, slightly ahead of the 93-percent average for

this date. Planting remained active in the southern Great Plains early in the month, but was nearly complete

in the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast. Seasonal temperatures and timely showers favored

development across most of the South during June. However, conditions deteriorated along the Atlantic

Coastal Plain and southern High Plains due to increasing moisture shortages and late-month heat. At the end

of June, 63 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage, and 18 percent was setting bolls. 

Normally, 62 percent would be squaring and 15 percent would be setting bolls by June 30. 

Barley and spring wheat were 95 and 93 percent emerged, respectively, on June 9, slightly ahead of their

5-year averages. Warm daytime temperatures aided early-month emergence of the barley and spring wheat

fields in North Dakota, while rain improved crop conditions in Montana. However,increasing moisture

shortages stressed fields in South Dakota. Hot weather promoted biolgical development of both crops during

most of the month, but progress of both crops lagged across most of the northern Great Plains and Pacific

Northwest at the end of June. However, spring wheat progressed ahead of normal in South Dakota. On June

30, barley fields at the heading stage lagged 11 percentage points behind the 5-year average of 39 percent, and

spring wheat at the heading stage was 9 percentage points behind the 41-percent. Crop conditions

deteriorated in many areas due to moisture shortages, but fields in Minnesota suffered due to excessive

moisture.

Ninety-six percent of the oat crop was emerged on June 9, equaling the 5-year average. Soil moisture

supplies were adequate to support development across most of the Corn Belt, but conditions declined in South

Dakota and Nebraska due to a combination of excessive heat and dry soils. Fields entered the heading stage

far ahead of normal in Nebraska and well ahead of normal in Iowa. Meanwhile, development lagged in the

upper Mississippi Valley and eastern Corn Belt. Hot weather promoted rapid development in the Great Plains

and Corn Belt near the end of the month. However, slow heading in North Dakota, Ohio, and Wisconsin held

progress slightly behind the 63-percent average on June 30. Conditions deteriorated in Minnesota due to

excessive rain and slow drainage.

Ninety-six percent of the rice crop was emerged on June 9, compared with the average of 95 percent. 

Above-normal temperatures promoted rapid emergence in California and Missouri and accelerated vegetative

growth in Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas early in the month. Mostly seasonal temperatures

maintained growth and development through the remainder of the month. Fourteen percent of the crop was

heading on June 30, slightly more than the average of 11 percent. Fields entered the heading stage well ahead

of normal along the Gulf Coast, but progress was slightly slower than normal in the interior Mississippi Delta.

Sorghum planting progressed slightly behind normal during June and was 95 percent complete on June 30,

compared with the 5-year average of 96 percent. Planting was active in the Corn Belt and Great Plains during

the first half of the month, although soils were unfavorably dry on parts of the High Plains. Rain temporarily
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 26 NASS, USDA

delayed progress in the Corn Belt near midmonth. By June 23, planting was complete in Nebraska and

approached completion in Kansas and South Dakota. Planting remained active in the southern Great Plains

through the end of the month. Along the western Gulf Coast, fields entered the reproductive stage earlier than

normal. At the end of the month, 62 percent of the Texas acreage was at or beyond the heading stage,

37 percent was turning color, 20 percent was mature, and 9 percent was harvested. Development also

exceeded the 5-year average in Louisiana and Arkansas, where 45 and 27 percent, respectively, was heading

on June 30. Conditions deteriorated in many areas of the Great Plains due to hot, windy weather and dry

soils, especially near the end of the month.

Peanuts advanced to 96 percent planted on June 9, slightly more than the 92-percent average for this date. 

Planting was virtually complete along the eastern Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coastal Plain by midmonth, but

remained active on the southern High Plains until late in the month. Pegging progressed slightly behind the

5-year average until midmonth, but accelerated in the southern Great Plains and along the eastern Gulf Coast

after midmonth. At the end of June, 36 percent of the acreage was pegging, compared with the average for

this date of 32 percent. Late-month rain improved crop conditions and aided pegging along the eastern Gulf

Coast, while dry soils stressed plants and impeded pegging along the mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain and southern

High Plains.

Dry weather accommodated rapid sunflower seeding throughout the Great Plains during June. Planting was

most active on the northern Great Plains early in the month, and seeding neared completion in North Dakota

by midmonth. Planting remained active on the central High Plains through midmonth, and by June 23, the

sunflower crop was 95 percent planted.

Oats: Production is forecast at 148 million bushels, 26 percent above last year’s 117 million bushels. The

forecasted yield is 56.1 bushels per acre, down 5.2 bushels from 2001. Area for harvest is estimated at

2.63 million acres, up 38 percent from last year.

Above-normal temperatures and favorable topsoil moisture aided emergence and stimulated vegetative growth

in Iowa, Nebraska, and Pennsylvania during April, but below-normal temperatures slowed emergence and

limited growth across most of the Corn Belt and Great Plains during May. 

In June, soil moisture supplies adequately supported development across most of the Corn Belt until

midmonth, but a combination of excessive heat and moisture shortages reduced yield potential in the western

Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains after midmonth. In Minnesota, yield potetial was limited by

persistent rains that produced localized flooding. Higher yields are expected in the west due to increased

irrigation water supplies.

Barley: Production for 2002 is forecast at 265 million bushels, 6 percent above 2001. Based on July 1

conditions, producers expect to harvest an average of 59.0 bushels per acre, up 0.8 bushel from last year. 

Area harvested, at 4.50 million acres, is up 210,000 acres from 2001.

The increase in production is being led by Montana where producers expect to harvest 230,000 more acres

than in 2001 and expect yields to be 9 bushels higher. These increases are the result of more favorable

moisture conditions this year. Improved growing conditions in California, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington

are increasing yields this year. Yields across the Great Plains States are expected to be down from last year

due to the dry growing conditions. North Dakota is expecting to harvest an additional 70,000 acres this year,

but yields are forecast to be down by 5 bushels per acre due to the dry conditions across the southern third of

the State. Yields in Minnesota, however, are forecast to be 9 bushels below last year to due to heavy

precipitation and flooding in the northwestern part of the State.

Winter Wheat: Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 29.8 million, down 5 percent from 2001. This is

the smallest harvested acreage since 1917. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing states had reached

61 percent completion by June 30. This was 7 points ahead of last year and 14 points ahead of average.

Yield declines are forecast in most of the major Hard Red Winter (HRW) States. Forecasted head counts

from the Objective Yield surveys in the six HRW States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma,

Texas) are down slightly from last month, and the weight per head is down a collective 11 percent. Harvest

progressed rapidly due to hot, dry weather. Realized yields in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas were lower than
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 27 NASS, USDA

expected. Continued drought conditions in South Dakota and Wyoming reduced yield prospects for the

second consecutive month. Beneficial June rains in Montana improved yield expectations.

Harvested yields were much lower than previously expected in many of the Soft Red Winter (SRW) States.

Disease pressure resulting from excessive spring precipitation reduced yields in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,

Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee. In addition to disease, harvest revealed more yield damage than

expected in Georgia from an early March freeze. Yield expectations continue above last year in the Atlantic

Coastal States. Collective head count forecasts are up slightly from last month in the SRW Objective Yield

States (Illinois, Missouri, Ohio), but average weight per head is collectively down 13 percent from a month

ago.

White Wheat yield prospects are unchanged from last month in Washington and Idaho. Drought conditions in

the major wheat growing region of Oregon lowered yield expectations significantly. Yields also declined

from last month in Michigan and New York but remain above last year.

Durum Wheat: Area for 2002 grain harvest is expected to total 2.69 million acres, down 3 percent from last

year. Weather has been ideal for harvest in California. Harvest in the California Imperial Valley is complete,

while harvest remains active in the San Joaquin Valley. Conditions declined in Montana as high winds and

temperatures near 100 degrees swept through the major Durum growing area of the State. Above normal

temperatures in North Dakota have rapidly advanced the maturity of the crop. For the week ending June 30,

sixty-three percent of the North Dakota crop was rated good to excellent.

Other Spring Wheat: Harvested grain area is forecast at 15.2 million acres, up 4 percent from last year. 

Warm daytime temperatures aided early June emergence of the spring wheat fields in North Dakota, while

early June rains supported crop development in Montana, however moisture shortages stressed fields in South

Dakota. Hot weather promoted development of the crop during most of the month. Development lagged

across most of the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest, but progressed ahead of normal in South

Dakota. Crop conditions deteriorated in many areas due to moisture shortages, but fields in northwest and

north central Minnesota suffered due to excessive moisture and flooding.

Lentils: Planted acreage of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at

190,000 acres, down 5 percent from last year and 12 percent less than 2000. Harvested acreage is estimated

at 187,000, down 5 percent from last year. Washington growers planted 75,000 acres of lentils, down

6 percent from 2001 and 12 percent below two years ago. Growers in Idaho planted 50,000 acres to lentils,

7 percent below last year and 23 percent less than two years ago. Planted acreage in North Dakota is

estimated at 50,000 acres, up 11 percent from last year and the year before. North Dakota is the only State

where more acreage was devoted to lentils in 2002. Montana growers planted 15,000 acres this year,

32 percent fewer than the last two years. 

Washington growers completed planting slightly later than normal. However, expectations are for an

improved crop from last year. Heading into this crop year, Montana was facing a fourth year of drought. 

However, rain began to come to the State after planting was completed. By the end of June, the north central

district of the State was ahead of normal for the water year and the north eastern district was around

80 percent of normal.

Dry Edible Peas: Planted acreage of dry edible peas for 2002 is estimated at 271,500 acres, up 28 percent

from last year and 44 percent above 2000. Acreage planted in North Dakota, at 130,000 acres, is up

44 percent above a year ago. North Dakota growers are expected to harvest 125,000 acres, 45 percent greater

than last season. Idaho dry edible pea growers planted 40,000 acres in 2002, up 67 percent from last year. 

Idaho growers plan to harvest 39,000 acres, 70 percent more than the previous year. Oregon growers devoted

4,500 acres to dry edible peas, a decrease of 6 percent from the previous year.

Washington farmers planted dry edible peas on 70,000 acres, 13 percent above 2001 and 8 percent greater

than 2000. Planting for dry edible peas was completed by May 26. Temperatures dipped into the mid to high

teens during late May and early June. Counties in the northern most production area reported fields lost, but

the majority of the crop in the Whitman County area had not bloomed and was reported in average to good

condition. The dry pea crop has not suffered the drought conditions of last year and the overall outlook is

positive. Growers plan to harvest all 70,000 acres, 13 percent more than last year. Montana dry edible pea
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 28 NASS, USDA

growers planted 27,000 acres, down 13 percent from a year ago and 4 percent below 2000. Growers plan to

harvest 25,000 of these acres, 19 percent more than last season. Heading into the crop year, the State was

facing a 4 year drought. However, by the end of June the north central district of the State was ahead of

normal for the water year and the north eastern district was about 80 percent of normal.

Austrian Winter Peas: Planted acreage of Austrian winter peas in Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is estimated

at 15,000 acres and harvested acreage is estimated at 9,000 acres. Montana growers planted 7,000 acres,

down 29 percent from 2001. They plan to harvest 2,000 acres, 20 percent less than last season. Planted

acreage in Idaho totaled 7,000 acres, up 56 percent from 2001 and 75 percent above two years ago. 

Harvested acreage is estimated at 6,500 acres, 63 percent above the 2001 season. Austrian winter pea planted

acreage in Oregon is estimated at 1,000 acres, down 33 percent from a year ago and 17 percent below 2000. 

Harvested area is estimated at 500 acres, also 17 percent below the previous year.

Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured production is forecast at 530.4 million pounds, down 8 percent from the

2001 crop and 11 percent below 2000. Yield per acre for flue-cured is forecast at 2,132 pounds, down

300 pounds from 2001 and 264 pounds below the 2000 yield. Forecasted yields for all flue-cured types

decreased from last year in every State except Florida, where the yield is expected to be unchanged.

North Carolina’s flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 346.9 million pounds, down 8 percent from the

2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,128 pounds, down 299 pounds from 2001. The State has been dry. 

However, rainfall has been more consistent in the Coastal Plain where most of the tobacco is grown. Tomato

spotted wilt virus is causing some concern among growers, resulting in lowered yield expectations.

Flue-cured tobacco production in South Carolina is forecast at 66.7 million pounds, down 15 percent from the

2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,150 pounds, down 300 pounds from last year. The crop is reported

to be in mostly fair to good condition. Dry conditions across the State have slowed growth and development

of the crop. 

Georgia’s flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 56.0 million pounds, down 13 percent from the

2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,000 pounds, down 460 pounds from last year. Temperatures during

June were near normal but rainfall has been below normal. Tomato spotted wilt virus is widespread across

the State. Harvest is 11 percent complete, slightly ahead of the five-year average of 10 percent.

Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 48.4 million pounds, virtually unchanged from the

2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,200 pounds, down 170 pounds from last year. By the end of June,

the crop condition was rated 37 percent fair, 43 percent good, and 19 percent excellent, despite dry weather

across the State. 

Florida’s flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 12.5 million pounds, up 7 percent from last year’s crop. 

Yield per acre is forecast at 2,600 pounds, unchanged from the 2001 crop. Harvest began about mid-June

with some delays due to recent rainfall.

All Potatoes: Potato farmers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.33 million acres of

potatoes in all four seasons this year, up 5 percent from last year. Area for harvest, forecast at 1.29 million

acres, is up 4 percent from a year ago. Winter acreage for harvest was down 4 percent from last year, while

spring, summer, and fall estimates for harvest gained 2, 3, and 5 percent, respectively. The summer forecast

places production up 3 percent from last season. In earlier forecasts, winter production fell 11 percent over a

year ago, while the spring potato production was virtually unchanged from the 2001 season. 

Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes this year is estimated at 1.17 million acres, up 5 percent from last

year but 4 percent below two years ago. Harvest is expected from 1.14 million acres, 5 percent above a year

ago but 4 percent below 2000.

Western States potato plantings are estimated at 722,200 acres this year, up 8 percent from last year but

5 percent below 2000. Fall potato acreage in California more than doubled as potatoes are again being

planted in the Tule Lake area. Oregon’s planted acreage is up 12 percent from last year. Idaho’s plantings

are up 7 percent and Washington’s acreage rose 9 percent. Nevada’s planted acreage jumped 15 percent and

Colorado’s rose 5 percent. Acreage planted in New Mexico is down 5 percent, Montana declined 6 percent,
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 29 NASS, USDA

and Utah potato acreage fell 15 percent. Periods of cool spring weather slowed growth in most western States

and left a good part of the Northwest behind normal development. Oregon and California are back to normal

planting in the Klamath-Tule Lake Basin after a year without water. Crop progress in the rest of Oregon and

Washington is late. Idaho’s crop progress was aided by warm weather in late June. Hot, dry weather in

Colorado and New Mexico have raised grower concerns because of limited supplies of irrigation water.

Central States planted an estimated 342,400 acres of fall potatoes this year, up less than 1 percent from last

year but 5 percent below two years ago. Michigan and Nebraska are down 2 and 4 percent, respectively. 

North Dakota and Ohio each gained 2 percent in planted acres, while Minnesota and Wisconsin rose 3 and

1 percent, respectively. Acreage in South Dakota fell 57 percent and Indiana’s planted acreage dropped

6 percent. Heavy rain and flood damage during different periods of the spring and early summer brought

abandonment of several thousand acres of potatoes in the three North Central States. Wisconsin growers

expect to harvest 6,000 acres less than the planted, while Minnesota and North Dakota each look for a loss of

8,000 acres. North Dakota potatoes were rated 57 percent good to excellent on June 16, but declined to

43 percent by June 23. Minnesota had heavy losses in their northwest counties and growers are worried about

disease development. June rains in Wisconsin’s Central Sands area washed out many fields. A cool start in

Michigan warmed up with good growing weather in June.. Harvest could start in late July. Hot weather in

Nebraska has caused some wilting of fields and will heavily tax irrigation water supplies.

Eastern States have planted an estimated 105,200 acres this year, up 2 percent from the last two years. 

Maine’s planted acreage is estimated at 64,000 acres, up 3 percent from last year. Massachusetts acreage is

up 11 percent and Rhode Island’s gained 20 percent. Acreage in Pennsylvania rose 7 percent from a year ago. 

New York’s planted acreage is down 4 percent. A cool, wet spring in most of New England, New York, and

northwestern Pennsylvania delayed planting and got the crop off to a slow start.

Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 18.6 million cwt, a gain of 3 percent from a

year ago. Harvest is expected from 60,600 acres, up 3 percent from last year, with an average yield of

307 cwt per acre, down 2 cwt from 2001. Most summer potato States expect larger crops than last year. The

Kansas forecast of production is up 37 percent from last year, while Colorado and New Mexico are up

17 percent each. California expects an increase of 7 percent, as Virginia and Illinois are up 10 and 8 percent,

respectively. Alabama is up 6 percent, and New Jersey and Texas are up 4 percent each. Smaller potato

crops are seen in Missouri, down 36 percent from last year, and Delaware, off 16 percent from a year ago. 

Maryland’s production forecast is unchanged from last year’s output.

Harvest was completed a month ago in Alabama’s coastal area. Virginia’s growers jumped into harvest the

last week of June on one of the best potato crops in recent memory. Delaware and Maryland growers are just

starting with harvest and the crop is doing well in both States. High temperatures and humidity helped crop

progress in New Jersey. Flooding in Missouri’s Bootheel area destroyed acreage and reduced yield potential. 

Harvest is nearly finished in southeastern counties and will start later this month in the northwest. Cool, wet

spring weather slowed growth in Illinois where harvest will soon get underway. Digging is expected to begin

in Kansas in early July. Texas summer potato harvest is just starting. The High Plains weather has been hot

and dry during the growing season. Growing conditions in Colorado have been hot and dry but no hail

damage has occurred. The California summer crop had some late freeze damage but the crop is progressing

nicely.

Peaches: The July 2002 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.55 billion pounds, up 4 percent from 2001 but

2 percent below two years ago. Ten States forecast increases in production from last year while 17 States

expect declines and 2 States remain unchanged.

The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.05 billion pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but

10 percent above 2001. Weather conditions were good during the Clingstone bloom period. Set is reported

to be lighter in the Sacramento Valley than in the northern San Joaquin Valley. Harvest began during the

middle of June with excellent quality reported.

The California Freestone crop is forecast at 830 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but

7 percent above 2001. The Freestone peach crop continues to progress smoothly with approximately

30 percent of the harvest completed by the end of June.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 30 NASS, USDA

The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 160 million pounds, down 11 percent from the June 1 forecast

but 60 percent above 2001. Expectations of the largest crop in several years have been hindered by a period

of reduced precipitation. Dry weather has reduced fruit size and yield for much of the State. Coastal areas of

the State have received good rains, but most of the State’s peach producing areas are in the midlands and

upstate regions. North Carolina’s peach crop, forecast at 20.0 million pounds, is up 67 percent from last year

but 37 percent below two years ago. Fruit quality is good but size is small due to the dry weather during June.

Georgia’s peach crop is forecast at 115 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but down

18 percent from the 2001 crop. The major production area of central Georgia escaped significant damage

from the freezing temperatures in late February. This area received only minor losses while the freeze

actually provided beneficial thinning of the crop. Peaches in south Georgia suffered severe losses from the

February freeze. Harvest got off to a slow start and as of June 30, progress was 52 percent complete, a few

day behind schedule. Louisiana is up 7 percent but Texas is down 50 percent from last season. Texas

producers reported a poor quality crop due to a late freeze as well as drought conditions as of July 1. 

New Jersey and New York production is down 13 and 20 percent, respectively, from 2001. Peach production

in both States was hurt by spring frosts. Production in Pennsylvania is forecast at 60.0 million pounds,

20 percent below last year but unchanged from 2000. Some areas of the State received significant frost

damage at blossom time. However, good fruit size, adequate moisture, and minimal frost damage was

reported in the southern part of the State.

Michigan’s peach crop is forecast at 14.0 million pounds, 67 percent below 2001. The peach crop in

Michigan was adversely affected by several spring frosts. After a warm week in April caused early blooming,

numerous frosts killed flower buds and cold weather hampered bee activity. Illinois’ production, at

17.5 million pounds, is down 2 percent from 2001. Oklahoma is forecast at 6.0 million pounds, down

50 percent from last year. Oklahoma peach growers have been hit by adverse growing conditions. The State

experienced a severe ice storm in January followed by a late freeze and spring hail storm which reduced crop

potential.

The Washington peach crop is forecast at 50.0 million pounds, 9 percent below last year and 23 percent

below 2000. A combination of poor pollinating weather and frost reduced prospects for Washington’s 2002

crop. Utah’s production is down 44 percent due to freezing temperatures May 8 and 9. In Idaho, production

remains unchanged from last year. In Colorado, production is forecast at 17.0 million pounds, 6 percent

below last year’s crop. Late frosts limited production for producers without frost protection devices.

California Grapes: California’s all grape production is forecast at 6.62 million tons, up 11 percent from last

year but down 6 percent from 2000. Wine type grapes account for 50 percent of California’s total production,

raisin types account for 38 percent, while the remaining 12 percent are table type grapes. 

Wine type grape production is forecast at 3.30 million tons, up 8 percent from last season’s crop but 2 percent

lower than the 2000 crop. Most areas had mild temperatures in May, which helped the crop have an excellent

start. With the favorable weather conditions, a good bloom occurred, resulting in a large number of bunches. 

Size, quality, and color are expected to be very good.

California’s raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.55 million tons, up 16 percent from last year but

13 percent below the 2000 crop. Mild weather conditions allowed for a good bloom to occur. A large

number of bunches was reported, with the bunches per vine greater than last year. Thompson Seedless

harvest was active through late June in the Coachella Valley. 

Table type grape production is expected to be 770,000 tons, up 8 percent from last year but 1 percent lower

than 2000. Picking was active through late June in the Coachella Valley, with Perlette and Flame Seedless

the primary varieties harvested.

Apricots: The final forecast for the 2002 apricot crop is 89,700 tons, up 9 percent from last season’s

production but down 7 percent from 2000. California’s 2002 apricot production is forecast at 85,000 tons, up

13 percent from the June forecast and 10 percent above 2001. California’s production represents 95 percent of

the 2002 U.S. apricot crop. Due to cooler temperatures, apricot harvesting in California has been delayed

allowing the fruit to grow larger resulting in a higher yield. Fruit quality is reported excellent. Washington’s
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 31 NASS, USDA

production at 4,500 tons is down 13 percent from last year and 31 percent below two years ago. In

Washington, a late spring took it’s toll on the State’s apricot crop as production was reduced by poor

pollinating weather and frost.

Almonds: The 2002 California almond crop is forecast at a record high 980 million pounds, shelled basis, up

4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 18 percent above last year’s 830 million pounds. Bearing acreage, at

530,000, is up 1 percent from the previous crop year. The average yield is forecast at 1,850 pounds per acre,

270 pounds per acre above last year and 440 pounds more than the 2000 yield. The almond crop got off to a

great start. Weather conditions were nearly ideal during the critical bloom and pollination period. However,

an early March freeze caused damage to the crop in Colusa, Glenn, and Yolo counties. The remainder of the

almond growing areas have experienced good weather throughout the season and are expecting a record crop.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.82 million pounds for June, 11 percent lower than

last month and 41 percent below a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,205 acres, 11 percent lower than last

month and 38 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,730 acres, 11 percent lower than last

month and 15 percent below June 2001.

Weather conditions in June were variable with scattered showers and sunshine over major papaya producing

areas. Non-irrigated orchards have adequate soil moisture. Incidences of a papaya ringspot virus were low. 

Yields were affected by fruit scarring and diseases.

Grapefruit: The forecast for the 2001-02 grapefruit for the United States is 2.44 million tons, down

3 percent from the June forecast and 1 percent less than last season’s utilized production. The Florida

grapefruit forecast is 46.6 million boxes (1.98 million tons), 1 percent less than the June forecast but 1 percent

more than the previous season. The all white grapefruit forecast, which includes seedless and seedy varieties,

is reduced to 18.9 million boxes (803,000 tons). The colored seedless utilization is forecast lower at

27.7 million boxes (1.18 million tons). Both the all white and colored grapefruit forecast are 1 percent less

than the previous forecast and 1 percent above the final utilization from a season ago. Harvest is virtually

complete. The route survey indicated nearly all the white rows had been harvested and approximately

7 percent of the colored rows have fruit available for harvest.

The California grapefruit forecast of 6.40 million boxes (214,000 tons) is unchanged from the previous

forecast and 2 percent less than the previous season’s utilization. Fruit size is reported to be large with very

good quality. Picking is underway in the Riverside area. The July 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is

5.90 million boxes (236,000 tons), down 17 percent from the previous forecast and 18 percent below last

season. Harvest is complete. Arizona’s July 1 forecast is 150,000 boxes, 25 percent lower than the previous

forecast and 40 percent below last season’s utilized production. Fruit quality is good and size is medium.

Tangerines: The U.S. tangerine forecast for July 1 is 424,000 tons, unchanged from the June forecast but

15 percent higher than last season’s utilization of 369,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine forecast is held at

6.60 million boxes (314,000 tons), 18 percent above last season and just 6 percent below the record high set

in 1999-00. Arizona’s forecast is unchanged at 650,000 boxes, from the previous forecast and the previous

season. California’s forecast, at 2,300 boxes, is carried forward from the April forecast.

Lemons: The 2001-02 lemon forecast for the United States is 942,000 tons, down 1 percent from the

previous forecast and 6 percent less than the previous season. California production is forecast at 22.0 million

boxes (836,000 tons), the same as the June forecast but 3 percent less than the previous season. Harvest

remains active in the Southern Coastal regions as the quality and color of fruit remains good. The Arizona

lemon crop is forecast at 2.80 million boxes (106,000 tons), down 10 percent from June. Utilized production

is down 22 percent from the 2000-01 crop. Harvested fruit is reported as medium sized and in good to very

good condition.

Temples: Florida’s 2001-02 Temple forecast remains at 1.55 million boxes (70,000 tons). This crop is

24 percent higher than the record low harvest of 2000-01 but below the 1998-99 and 1999-2000 crop year

levels. Harvest is complete.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 32 NASS, USDA

Tangelos: Florida’s 2001-02 tangelo forecast remains 2.15 million boxes (97,000 tons), unchanged from

June but up 2 percent from last season. The last two seasons are the two smallest crops recorded since

utilization peaked at 6.40 million boxes during the 1979-80 season.

K-Early Citrus: The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast, at 30,000 boxes (1,350 tons), is unchanged from June

but 10,000 boxes fewer than last season. Utilized production is continued at a record low, 25 percent below

the previous low of 40,000 boxes in 1997-98 and 2000-01.

Florida Citrus: Citrus groves received much needed rain during June. Many areas on the lower east coast

received record rainfall. Some wetter groves received above 20 inches of rain. Most well cared for groves are

in very good condition. Recent rains produced an abundance of new growth on all young trees and resets. 

The new crop fruit is in good condition.

Valencia harvest was very active in early June and tapered off by the end of the month when virtually all

processors and packers closed for the season. Grapefruit movement was slow during June as most processors

closed for the season. Some fresh squeezed juice operations plan to stay open as long as good usable fruit is

available. 

Caretakers have been cutting cover crops to stay ahead of the rapid growth resulting from the rains. Growers

are planting new trees in place of older, diseased trees removed this year. Hedging, topping, and burning

grove debris continued in the harvested groves.

Texas Citrus: Harvest of the Texas grapefruit crop ended with most volume harvested in the early part of the

season. The orange harvest ended on schedule. Despite freezing temperature and water shortages, overall

quality, size and sweetness were good this season.

California Citrus: Navel orange harvest is complete. The Valencia orange harvest continued through June. 

Lemon harvest in the Southern Coastal regions remains active. Grapefruit harvest is in full swing in the

Riverside summer producing areas.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included

herbicide and fungicide application, cultivation, and irrigation in orchards and vineyards. Stone fruit varieties

matured rapidly due to hot weather during June. Picking of many fruit crops was active throughout the

month. Nectarines, peaches, plums, and apricots were picked and packed. Harvest of Clingstone peaches

began in the Kingsburg area towards the middle of June. Cherry harvest neared completion by mid-month. 

Grapes for fresh use were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Flame Seedless and Thompson Seedless were

the primary varieties harvested. Robust growth of raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards continued. Table

grape growers continued to thin shoots and fruit clusters. Apples, pears, pomegranates and figs continued to

show good development. Strawberry fields were shredded and disced in preparation for replanting. Olives

were sizing nicely as growers began treatments to control the olive fruit fly. The heavy almond crop was

resulting in limb breakage in some orchards. Walnut orchards were sprayed for codling moth. Pistachio trees

were showing an abundant crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 33 NASS, USDA

Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecast

Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 25 and

July 5 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The Objective Yield survey was conducted in ten

States that accounted for 69 percent of the 2001 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to

update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected

winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts

such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number

of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a

projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are

revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm

operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal

interviewers. Approximately 8,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions

about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to

provide indications of average yields as the season progresses.

Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were

reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed

considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State

Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). 

The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts.

Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in

Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, 2001, the number of

bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement

and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California,

and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July.

Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for

errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in

Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses

of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the

State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the

end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports,

millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other

administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September’s Citrus

Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing

season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are

made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.7 percent. This means

that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final

estimate by more than 1.7 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference

will not exceed 3.0 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final

estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 25 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 65 million
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 34 NASS, USDA

bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not

imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.3 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate

by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 2.2 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past

20 years have averaged 100,000 tons, ranging from 1,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for

oranges has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. The difference does not imply that the

July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2002 35 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234

Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops,

 Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice, Barley (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288

Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

 Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Betty Johnston - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 12, 2002.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of

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To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten

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