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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

20

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979


ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS)

STATE ! PRODUCTION
’ TOTAL t TOTAL 7 TNO
4 1977 t 1978 ‘ 1979
: 7,000 POUNDS
CALIF ' 3139000 181000 300+000
PAPAYAS - HAWAIT
: AREA : UTILIZED PRODUCTION
MONTH TOTAL INCROP z TARVESTED Done a979 FORECAST
y 1978 1979 W767: : 1979
: ACRES T,000 POUNDS
MAR : 3,150 3,255 2,210 2,320 4,316 2,280
APR 2 3,215 3,265 2,220 2,405 3,971 2,400
MAY > 3,120 2,175 5,546 2,950
UN 2 3,165 2,155 6,896 3,500
JUL > 3,160 2,180 6,664 3,100
AUG > 3,160 2,185 6,279 2,850
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION JAN-APR 16,347 10,730
Hawall
crop 1 AREA HARVESTED t YIELD i PROMUCTION
1976 1 1977 8 1978 1 1976 1 1977 1 197K 11976 T3977 17K
T ACRES T090 POUNRS
t
BANANAS 1 S560 559 560 960 1065 B66 5-030 5+800 4yRN0
'
PAPAYAS 116930 25255 24190 2549 2945 29.2 504037 674548 64,000
i)
TARO t 460 479 450 1669 1647 W7el 7,359 7870 7.6RO
i

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


FARM MARKETINGS OF TOBACCO, BY STATES, 1978 CROP YEAR, PERCENT BY MONTHS 1/

:0CT :NOV :DEC :JAN :FEB :MAR :APR :MAY :JUN :JUL :AUG :SEP :0CT :NOV :DEC

2
34 8
24
360-20

2 51 43 4
1 47 43 9

w
&
Rp
SB
w
a

18 30 27) 25

420 37) 21
32.25 «4003
51 34 15
49 33° «18
36 «32032

avs TNCLUDESCARRYOVER TOBACCO DELIVERED FROM FARM FOR FUTURE PAYMENT.

2/ =MD SALES ARE NOT COMPLETE FOR THE 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 24 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


APRIL_FIELDWORK

Land preparation and spring planting advanced slowly in many parts of the Nation during
April. Above normal precipitation in the Dakotas and most of the South Central States kept
soils saturated and produced serious floods in parts of these regions. Subnormal temperatures in
most crop producing areas held soil temperatures about 2 degrees below normal. However, soil
temperatures rose enough by the end of April to germinate most grain crops except across the ex-
treme northern section of the U.S. Wet soils held planting progress in check throughout most of
the Central States. Spring plowing lagged throughout much of the area; however, plowing in the
Corn Belt was on schedule with previous years because a large part of the acreage was turned last
fall. Plowing and corn and cotton planting in the Southeast exceeded the average. Most areas of
the Nation except the Southeast had only 1 to 3 days suitable for fieldwork per week through
April. Cotton planting, excluding California, stood at 19 percent at the end of April compared
with 31 percent last year and the average of 23 percent. Corn planting advanced to 7 percent,
less than the 9 percent in 1978 and the 15 percent average. Planting was just getting started in
the Corn Belt at the end of April. Spring wheat seeding lagged at 5 percent compared with 10
percent last year and the 31 percent average. Oats planting reached 30 percent, slightly above
Jast year but far behind the 53 percent average. Barley seeding stood at 12 percent, well behind
1978's 21 percent and the 38 percent average. The figures on "average" progress of planting for
spring wheat, oats and barley are influenced by the fact that spring grain areas enjoyed extreme-
ly early planting seasons in 1976 and 1977. Rice planting, excluding California, reached 44 per-
cent, far short of the 78 percent in 1978 and the 72 percent average. Mississippi and Arkansas
particularly fell behind recent years. Most grain sorghum seeding occurred in Texas. Soybean
planting was just getting started in the South by the end of April with Georgia the most advanced
at 5 percent. Peanut planting reached 26 percent, equalling last year and the average, and was
on schedule in all major producing States

Farmers planted 7 percent of the Nation's corn by the end of April, compared with the aver-
age of 15 percent. Most major Corn Belt States planted 5 percent or less; only Ohio and Kansas
reached 10 percent. Last year, also a late starting planting season, the Nation's growers
planted 9 percent of the corn acreage by the end of April. In previous years, half the corn
acreage in some States has been planted in only one week under ideal conditions. A heavy snow
melt, low soi] temperatures and above normal precipitation in many corn growing areas combined
to delay early spring fieldwork and planting. Corn planting in the eastern north central States
stood at 2 percent on April 29, slightly behind 1978's 5 percent and the 13 percent average.
Illinois was 1 percent compared with the 19 percent average, which includes several good plant-
ing seasons. In the western north central States, seeding reached only 1 percent compared with
2 percent last year and the 9 percent average. Progress in the Southeast attained 79 percent,
surpassing 1978's 76 percent and the 68 percent average.

Cotton planting, excluding California, advanced to 19 percent by April 29, short of the 31
percent last year and the 23 percent average. The Delta States lagged far behind last and aver-
age showing only a fourth the progress usually achieved by the end of April. Rain and slow
warming soil temperatures delayed planting operations in the Delta. Cotton growers in both the
Southeast and Southwest made good progress, surpassing both 1978 and the average in most States
Texas cotton planting reached 17 percent, lagging last year's 26 percent and the 20 percent
average. Seeding began on the High Plains as April ended. California planting reached 87 per-
cent.

Spring wheat seeding in the 5 major producing States Tagged because of low soil temperatures
and wet soils with flooding in the Red River Valley. Progress stood at 5 percent, half _1978's
rate and far behind the 31 percent average. Only Idaho, at 50 percent, was close to 1978's pro-
gress and equalled the average. Oats planting moved along reasonably well in most States al-
though lagging the average. Slow progress in the Dakotas and Minnesota held progress to 30 per-
cent for the Nation, almost the same as last year, but well behind the 53 percent average.
Three of the largest barley producing States, North Dakota, Minnesota and Montana, planted vir-
tually no acreage by the end of April. Other States fared better but, overall, barley planting
was 12 percent compared with 21 percent last year and the 38 percent average.

Soybean seeding was just starting across the South; only Georgia reached 5 percent with
other States at 3 percent or less.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


COTTON: PRODUCTION, BALES GINNED, SEASON AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS
AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION 1977 AND 1978

STATE NET WEIGHT BALES

UPLAND

AA 277 291
ARIZ 1,070 1,068
ARK 1,035 660
CALIF 2,790 1,940
FLA : 5.4 3
GA : 82 m1
KY : 7 0
LA : 656 478
MISS : 1,645 1,378
0 : 235 188
NEV : 1.6 in
N MEX 3 161 101
NC 2 53 45
OKLA : 436 355
sc : 109 n6
TENN > 255 235
TEX : 5,465 3,792
VA : 3

US UPLAND : 14,277.0 10,762.
AMER-PIMA,

ARTZ 65.0 53.
CALIF 3 2 .
N MEX 3 12.0 13.
TEX : 35.0 26.
US AMER-PIMA 3 112.2 93,

US ALL COTTON 14,389.2 10,855.

ODUCTION IN 480-LB } pepoRteD BY CENSUS

: BALES GINNED AS
-(480-LB NET WEIGHT) 14

278,473 289,638
1,052,432 1,051,186
1,038,738 "663,261
2,809,703 1,956,575

“ a¥/ 347 18768

ost4572 479,243
1,644,633 1,378,413
231,999 "184,396

5, 5/
159263 97,242

$3,139 47,539
432,231 352,986
108,290 112,516
253,930 234,068

5,474,830 3,795,792

a

<1 °'577,488 "574,893

4 14,276,088 10,757,496

65,149 $3,711
) 0

7
1
0 5,023 6,149
6 42,083 33,313
4

112,261 93,173
8 14,388,349 10,850,669

: PRICE PER POUND 2/

60.5 64,353
58.0 288,130
60.5 261,814
63.3 749,952
60.0 1,244
61.0 20,388

165
60.2 162,163
60.2 414,540
60.6 60,235
60.0 438
61.0 41,731
65.4 12,847
53.9 97,524
63.3 28,305
61.8 $9,976
54.6 1,303,730
64.0 62
58.5 3,567,597
92.0 27,643
92.0 85
88.0 4,896
98.4 14,717
93.3 47,34)

58.8 3,614,938

VALUE OF
PRODUCTION 2/

84,506
297,331
191,664
589,450

1,094

32,501

0
138,123
398,187

54,685
432
29,573
14,126
91,846
34,942
69,710
993,807
3

3,022,008

23,714
44

5,491
12,564

41,813
3,063,827

T-ACTUAL BALES GINNED, NOT ADJUSTED

FOR CROSS-STATE MOVEMENT.

2/ PRICES BASED ON A 480-POUND NET WEIGHT BALE.

vy INCLUDES ALLOWANCE FOR UNREDEEMED

LOANS.

Gy AVERAGE TO APRIL 1, 1979 WITH NO ALLOWANCE FOR UNREDEEMED LOANS.
'5/ FLORIDA, KENTUCKY, NEVADA AND VIRGINIA COMBINED.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979

2

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




COTTON: ESTIMATED PERCENT PRODUCTION SOLD EACH MONTH OF THE MARKETING YEAR 1977 CROP 1/

? ¢ ? ? ? A : : TOTAL

STATE : AUG ‘SEP act NOV > JAN: FEB: MAR MAY < JUN: JUL sTHROUGH

2 i : 4 : : i H 2 JUL 2/

PERCENT

ALA Q 4 a} 19 12 10 8 7 4 6 2 1 88
ARIZ 0 1 7 14 22 27 9 4 3 3 2 2 94
ARK ) 12 24 16 10 6 4 7 3 5 3 2 92
CALIF lv) 0 5 23 19 15 12 4 5 5 3 3 94
GA o 0 12 6 5 § 5 5 4 5 4 5 56
LA 0 2 12 18 15 13 10 9 6 5 3 2 95
MISS 0 6 15 19 13 W 6 7 4 5 3 2 91
0 5 30 13 9 2 2 7 3 4 2 2 89
OKLA ie} 0 6 10 7 21 24 10 4 4 1 1 98
sc 0 2 15 Vv 13 10 6 2 2 3 2 3 75
TENN 0 7 25 7 8 8 6 5 5 6 4 4 95
TEX 5 6 8 7 12 19 7 7 3 7 4 2 87
us 3/ 2 5 10 14 14 16 8 7 4 6 3 2 91

COTTON: ESTIMATED PERCENT PRODUCTION SOLD EACH MONTH OF THE MARKETING YEAR 1978 CROP-PRELIMINARY 1/

3 : 3 : : 3 2 : TOTAL
STATE : AUG SEP : OCT > NOV : DEC : JAN 1 FEB > MAR THROUGH

3 H H H : H H MAR 47

PERCENT

ALA 0 5 19 25 7 12 7 2 87
ARIZ 0 1 7 16 25 20 9 8 86
ARK i} 3 30 35 8 6 4 3 89
CALIF 0 0 7 28 20 12 6 2 75
GA Q 3 20 22 18 6 9 5 80
LA 0 2 21 34 15 u 4 3 90
MISS, 0 1 31 33 10 9 5 1 90
MO 0 2 61 23 3 4 1 1 95
OKLA Q Q 3 6 ary 20 25 1S 84
Sc 0 6 20 26 13 8 7 6 86
TENN Q 3 37 38 7 6 2 1 94
TEX 6 6 9 10 14 21 9 4 79
US3/: 2 3 15 21 15 15 8 4 83

T/ PERCENTS OF FOUR-TENTHS OR LESS SHOWN AS "0",
/ EXCLUDES UNREDEEMED LOANS ON AUGUST 1, 1978.
3/ A SMALL PERCENT FOR JULY IS INCLUDED IN AUGUST.
y EXCLUDES UNREDEEMED LOANS AND COTTON STILL IN PRODUCER'S HANDS ON APRIL 1, 1979.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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HAY STOCKS ON FARMS: May 7 hay stocks on farms were a record high 29.9 million tons (27.1 million

metric tons), 24 percent above last year and 53 percent above 1977. A high
May 1, 1978 carryover combined with a record 1978 production resulted in record high stocks on
both January 1 and May 1 of this year despite a record high disappearance for both periods.

Disappearance of hay from farms from May 1, 1978 to April 30, 1979 totaled 136 million tons
(124 million metric tons) compared with 127 million tons (115 million metric tons) during the same
period a year earlier.

TOBACCO 1978: Production of all tobacco in 1978 is estimated at 2.03 billion pounds (919 thou-

sand metric tons), 6 percent above the 1.9] billion pounds (867 thousand metric
tons) produced in 1977, The crop was harvested from 949 thousand acres (384 thousand hectares),
down 1 percent from the 958 thousand acres (387 thousand hectares) harvested the previous year.
Yields averaged 2135 pounds per acre, compared with 1997 pounds for the 1977 crop.

Flue-cured production is placed at 1.23 billion pounds (558 thousand metric tons), up 9 per-
cent from the 1977 crop of 1.13 billion pounds (512 thousand metric tons), The 1978 production
includes 30.2 million pounds (13.7 thousand metric tons) to be carried over for sale next season,
but excludes 4.08 million pounds (1850 metric tons) of 1977 leaf sold during the 1978 marketing
season. Harvested area totaled 589 thousand acres (238 thousand hectares), virtually the same
as 1977. Yield per acre for types 11-14 averaged 2090 pounds compared with 1917 pounds in 1977.

Fire-cured production for 1978 is estimated at 58.3 million pounds (26.4 thousand metric
tons), up 11 percent from the 52.4 million pounds (23.8 thousand metric tons) produced the pre-
vious year. The leaf was grown on 33.2 thousand acres (13.4 thousand hectares), up 1 percent
from a year earlier. Yields averaged 1755 pounds per acre, compared with 1598 pounds in 1977.

Burley production at 626 million pounds (284 thousand metric tons) was up 1 percent from
the 617 million pounds (280 thousand metric tons) produced in 1977. The 1978 estimate includes
29.1 million pounds (13.2 thousand metric tons) of carryover for sale during the next marketing
season, but excludes 20.6 million pounds (9340 metric tons) of 1977 leaf sold during the 1978
marketing season. The 1978 crop was harvested from 261 thousand acres (106 thousand hectares),
down 3 percent from the previous year. Yield per acre averaged 2399 pounds, compared with 2298
pounds in 1977.

Southern Maryland output is estimated at 32.2 million pounds (14.6 thousand metric tons),
7 percent above the 1977 production of 30.1 million pounds (13.7 thousand metric tons). The
1978 acreage at 23.0 thousand acres (9310 hectares) is the same as last year. Yield per acre
at 1400 pounds compares with 1310 pounds in 1977. Auction sales for the 1978 crop opened in
mid-April and will continue until mid-June. Revisions, if necessary, will be published in the
August Crop Production Report.

Dark air-cured production is estimated at 23.0 million pounds (10.5 thousand metric tons),
9 percent above the 21.2 million pounds (9610 metric tons) produced in 1977, The 1978 crop was
harvested from 12.0 thousand acres (4850 hectares), virtually the same as 1977. Yields averaged
1923 pounds per acre, compared with 1772 pounds in 1977.

Cigar-filler growers produced 28.0 million pounds (12.7 thousand metric tons) on 14.4
thousand acres (5830 hectares) during 1978 averaging 1946 pounds per acre. During 1977, 29.2
million pounds (13.2 thousand metric tons) were produced on 15.0 thousand acres (6070 hectares).

Cigar-binder production of 23.2 million pounds (10.5 thousand metric tons) was 13 percent
below the 26.8 million pounds (12.2 thousand metric tons) produced a year earlier. A 2 percent
increase in acreage was more than offset by a 301 pound decline in yield.

Cigar-wrapper production in 1978 is estimated at 3.77 million pounds (1710 metric tons),

29 percent below 1977. Acreage harvested in 1978 was down 21 percent and average yield at 1392
pounds was down 155 pounds from a year earlier.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF MAY _1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECASTS

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based primarily on surveys conducted
just prior to May 1. Acreage for harvest is based on the planted acreage published in December
1978, with estimated abandonment based on information provided by producers about May 1, 1979.

The yield forecast is based on data from farmers’ mail reports and counts and measurements in wheat
fields. These surveys to obtain acreage and yield information are subject to sampling and non-
sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecast

is subject to change due to future weather conditions and other factors that directly affect

final production but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 winter wheat production forecast,
the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed,
This is done by expressing the deviation between the May 1 production forecast and the final
estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations
for the 1959-78 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the
“Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected errors in the
current forecast relative to the final end of season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent year forecasts.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is 6.1 percent.
This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 1391 million
bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 6.1 percent or approximately
85 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference
will not exceed 10.5 percent or approximately 146 million bushels. Differences between the May 1
winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged
63 million bushels, ranging from 3 million to 237 million bushels. The May 1 forecast was below
the final estimate in 6 years and above in 4 years.

ORANGES: The Nation's orange crop is forecast at 207 million boxes (8.19 million metric tons),
one million boxes above the April 1 forecast but 6 percent below the 1977-78 season.

Florida's crop is placed at 163 million boxes, the same as last month but 3 percent below
the 1977-78 season. The early and mid-season varieties have been harvested and totaled 91 mil-
Tion boxes. Harvest of the 72 million box Valencia crop is 36 percent complete. Groves are in
good condition. Growers were active in hedging and topping harvested groves

The California orange crop is placed at 35 million boxes, 3 percent above the April 1 fore-
cast but 17 percent below last season. Harvest of the 20 million box Navel crop is about com-
plete. Quality was below average with granulation and drying prevalent. The Valencia crop fore-
cast is unchanged from last month at 15 million boxes, but is 32 percent below last season.
Harvest of Valencias in the desert should be complete by June 1 and will be in full swing in
Northern and Central California by mid-May. Quality is below average.

Texas production is placed at 6.2 million boxes, 2 percent more than was harvested last
season. Harvest is complete. The current condition of the trees is varied depending on the ex-
tent of freeze damage this past winter.

Arizona's production forecast is unchanged from last month at 3 million boxes, 19 percent

below last season. Navel harvest is complete while about 60 percent of the Valencia crop has
been picked,

Changes in the U.S. orange production forecast between May 1 and the final production estim-
ate have averaged 3.61 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from 740 thousand boxes
in 1968-69 to 11.6 million boxes in 1976-77.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The alt orange juice yield for the 1978-79 crop is pro-

Jected at 1.34 gallons of 45 degree brix concent:
per box. The yield from the 1977-78 crop was 1.23 gallons per box. 3 centrate

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Sorghum planting advanced into Missouri, but most activity during Apri] centered in Texas.
By the end of the month Texas planting advanced into the southern High Plains; statewide progress
stood at 56 percent compared with 66 percent last year and the 61 percent average.

Rice seeding lagged far behind 1978 and the average because of the adverse planting condi-
tions in the Delta, Both Arkansas and Mississippi stood at 21 percent showing only a fourth to a
third the progress of last year. Louisiana fared better reaching 70 percent, but 17 points less
than last year.

WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at 1.39 billion bushels (37.9 million

metric tons) based on May 1 conditions. This is 11 percent greater than last
year's production but 10 percent less than the 1977 crop. Prospective production decreased 4
percent from the December 1, 1978 forecast of 1.44 billion bushels (39.2 million metric tons).
mur of the reduction occurred in the Pacific Northwest where winterkil] caused abandonment or
reduced stands.

Yield per harvested acre is forecast at 32.4 bushels per harvested acre. In comparison,
last year's crop yielded 32.1 bushels while the 1977 yield was 31.6 bushels. Comparison of this
year's yield with a year ago by areas shows that the Southern Plains are improved primarily as
a result of better moisture conditions. Some lower yields are expected in the Northern Plains
as well as the Pacific Northwest where winterkil] reduced plant populations. Growers in most
of the soft red winter wheat producing areas of the Corn Belt and Atlantic Coast expect better
yields than last year. .

Producers expect to harvest 42.9 million acres (17.3 million hectares) for grain, or 10
percent more than last year's 38.9 million acres (15.7 million hectares), but 12 percent less
than the 1977 harvested acreage. Indicated harvested acres are 83.3 percent of the estimated
seeded acres, compared with 81.5 percent harvested for grain in 1978.

Winter wheat came out of dormancy during early March in Texas and made rapid growth in
response to adequate moisture and higher temperatures. By early April the U.S. wheat crop rated
fair to mostly good with stands showing improvement with the advent of milder weather. Pacific
Northwest growers were reseeding areas seriously damaged from winterkill. Great Plains States
reported very little wind damage but by mid-April a few States were finding winterkill losses.

All major wheat producing areas had adequate soil moisture on May 1 with the crop rating
fair to good. Maturity advanced to the heading stage in parts of Oklahoma. Harvesting was just
getting underway in Arizona.

U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION

BIL. BU.

20

Bee” come West
1.0)
05 WINTER WHEAT:
0
1963 1971 1973 1976 1977 1979
me monane

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

19

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979


Despite a loss of over 173 thousand bearing trees to weather- induced diseases since last
December, area for harvest has remained stable and even increased in April to 2405 acres (970
hectares), up 4 percent from March.

PEACHES: The first forecast of peach production in the nine Southern States for 1979 fs placed

at 606 million pounds (275 thousand metric tons), 2 percent above last year and 17 per-
cent greater than in 1977. The peach crop in these States is sold predominantly in fresh market
channels and accounts for well over one-third of the U.S. fresh peach utilization.

Prospects for smaller crops than last year in Alabama, Georgia, and Texas were more than
offset by increases in the remaining major States. South Carolina production is expected to be
340 million pounds, 8 percent above last season. Good growing conditions and no frost damage
have resulted in a heavy fruit set. Cool nights have slowed development in Georgia, and pro-
spects are for a crop of 110 million pounds, 8 percent below 1978. Early April frost in north
Texas and the High Plains caused some losses during full bloom, and wet conditions in central
areas have hampered spraying. Harvest should begin in mid-May in Louisiana and in mid-June in
Alabama and Arkansas.

ALMONDS: The 1979 California almond crop (shelled basis) is expected to total 300 million pounds

(136 thousand metric tons), 66 percent more than the small crop harvested last year.
The bloom was one of the heaviest in recent memory. However, the weather was chilly and the bee
population was not sufficient to take care of the spectacular but short duration blooms. As a
result set was not as heavy as it could have been.

POTATOES: The 1979 spring potato crop is forecast at 22.9 million cwt, (1.04 million metric

tons), a 4 percent improvement from April 1 and 27 percent above the 1978 production.
Yield prospects increased to an average of 253 cwt. per acre compared with the 244 cwt. per acre
forecast last month and last season's 198 cwt. per acre. The 1979 output is expected to be har-
vested from 90.2 thousand acres (36.5 thousand hectares), a slight reduction from a month ago and
1 percent below the last two seasons.

The California crop is expected to total 12.0 million cwt., a § percent improvement from
last month and 45 percent above last year's short crop. Digging is underway but volume is still
limited. Yield prospects are the best in recent years.

Production in the Hastings area of Florida is forecast at 4.39 million cwt., 2 percent above
April 1 and 25 percent more than in 1978. Harvest began in late April and is nearing full swing.
Yield prospects have steadily improved as digging continues. In other Florida producing areas the
1979 crop has declined from both last month and last year, Harvest is complete in the southern
areas and should begin in the Panhandle in Tate May.

The North Carolina crop, at 2.26 million cwt., improved 6 percent from last month and is now
16 percent above the 1978 output. Although planting and initial crop development was delayed by
rain, the crop is now making excellent growth and shows good condition. Texas harvest in the Low-
er Rio Grande Valley has been slowed by intermittent rains with some acreage loss caused by rot-
ting. Crop progress in the Winter Garden area is good with digging underway. The Knox-Haskel]
crop is in good condition with digging expected to begin in early June. In Alabama, harvest
should begin in late May. The crop has begun to catch up from the late development early in the
season but is still a week late. In Louisiana, some rotting has occurred as a result of heavy
April rains. Digging is expected to begin in late May. The Arizona crop is developing well, but
is still about two weeks late.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: The May | pasture and range feed condition for the 48 contiguous States
was 84 percent, 9 points above a year earlier and 3 points above the

1968-77 average for the date. This is the highest May 1 condition since 1973. Conditions were
above a year ago in all but 9 States. A number of western States recorded lower May 1 conditions
than a year ago, resulting primarily from lower temperatures and slow growth of grasses. Soil
moisture supplies are adequate and growth should improve as temperatures warm. In Texas, range
and pasture condition, at 82 percent, was 36 points above last year when dry conditions affected
most of e ate.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 g CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
ALMONDS 2 ee ee ee ee 13
BANANAS 20. ee ee 13
CITRUS FRUIT 2 2 ee ee eee 4
COTTON 2. ee ee eee 19
HAY STOCKS 2 ee ee ee 12
PAPAYAS © 0 oe ee ee ee ee ee 13
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS... 2.2.2... 3
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION TABLE ......... 12
PEACHES ©. ee ee ee ee ee 15
POTATOES 2 oe ee ee ee ee ee 15
TARO. ee ee ee 13
TOBACCO BY STATES 2. 1 ee ee ee ee ee ee 16
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE... 2... ee eee eae 7
TOBACCO, MONTHLY MARKETING WEIGHTS ........... 23
US SUMMARY 2. ee ee ee 2
WHEAT, BY CLASSES... eee pe ee ee eee uv
WINTER WHEAT 2 woe ee ee ee ee ee WW

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 25 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION

Released: May 10, 1979 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Winter wheat production is forecast as of May 1 at 1.39 billion bushels (37.9
million metric tons), 11 percent or 143 million bushels (3.88 million
metric tons) above the 1978 crop. The 90 percent confidence interval
for this 1979 production forecast is 1.24 to 1.54 billion bushels.

Citrus production forecast at 13.2 million tons (11.9 million metric tons) is up
slightly from last month, but 7 percent below the 1977-78 crop.

Orange production is forecast at 207 million boxes (8-19 million metric tons),
up slightly from April 1 but 6 percent less than last season. By May 1,
harvest of the Nation's orange crop was 70 percent complete. .

Grapefruit prospects increased 2 percent from April 1 to 66.5 million boxes
(2.47 million metric tons}, but were 10 percent below the 1977-78 crop.
Harvest was 89 percent complete by May 1.

Peach production in the nine Southern States is forecast at 606 million pounds
(275 thousand metric tons), 2 percent above last year.

Spring potato production is forecast at 22.9 million cwt. (1.04 million metric
tons), a 4 percent improvement from April 1, and 27 percent above the
1978 spring output.

Hay stocks on farms May 1 are estimated at a record high 29.9 million tons
(27.T mitlion metric tons), 24 percent above last year and 53 percent
above 1977.

Pasture and range feed condition as of May 1 averaged 84 percent, 9 points
above a year earlier and the highest since 1973.

CrPr 2-2 (5-79) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


WINTER WHEAT

STATE

AREA HARVESTED 8 YIELO 1 PRODUCTION
= t + IND 7

OnTO 19560 16300 47.0 3900 4600

OKLA 69500 S700 27.0 27003060) 17S ¥S00

OREG 19160 16000 3940 4300 4240 452240

PA 270 262 33603300 3200 30

sc 98 105 29,0 3300 Shed 20 75S

S OAK 980 600 25.0 2600 22.0 17,000

TENN 280 MNO 360 3540 440100 080

TEX 5700 4100 ©2540-2000 © 27001170800

utan 18 16Y 2340-2920 260 40

va 205 5 1753160300 BS

wast 2,800 25600 2e10 4.0 4700 37.0

wa 0 9 10 Neo 330 32.0 20
Wis 60 33 38 $300 362038,

wo _. 260 275 270 ©2060 2600 2500 $5200 70150 e780
us 481664 381909 420872 31.6 3201 32.4 195379113 1y2680272 193900808

1/ ESTIMATES OISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES. UNITED STATES

a WINTER ‘ _ SPRING
Fear ' HARO SOFT 1 HARD i TOTAL:
' RED RED WHITE ot RED ouRUM WHITE: 1
'
' 15000 BUSHELS:
' 975,860 3360585 2679528 115127 1349914 3603! 201480362
' 9920046 3500152 1966815 3979603 792964, 219638 200360318
' 6349252 2020119 211999) 379,390 33,328 370722 1s7990712
joo yt 9270273 2779564 1869031 _.

T/” INDICATED MAY 1, 1979,

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


COTTON, 3978 REVISED: Cotton production in 1978 totaled 10.9 million bales, 25 percent below

1977 but 3 percent above 1976. The 1978 production consisted of 10.8 mil-
lion bales of Upland cotton and 93.4 thousand bales of American-Pima cotton. The smaller 1978
crop was harvested from 7 percent fewer acres and yielded 99 pounds per acre less than the 1977
crop. The crop suffered from unfavorable growing conditions and insect infestations in all areas
except the southeast where above average yields were obtained. Good harvesting weather prevailed
in the Southeast and Delta areas and harvest was completed ahead of normal. Harvest progressed
slowly in Texas and Oklahoma

Tne 1978 planted acreage of 13.4 million acres (5.41 million hectares) was 2 percent below
the previous year. Growers abandoned 7 percent of the planted acres, resulting in 12.4 million
harvested acres (5.01 million hectares). Yield per harvested acre for Upland cotton was 420
pounds compared with 519 pounds in 1977. American-Pima yield at 590 pounds per acre was 134
pounds below the record high of 1977. Cottonseed production totaled 4.27 million tons (3.87 mil-
lion metric tons) compared with 5.52 million tons (5.01 million metric tons) the previous year

The Bureau of the Census reported 10,549,219 running bales ginned during the 1978 season, 25
percent below 1977. Ginnings totaled 10,850,669 equivalent 480-pound net weight bales.

The preliminary 1978 season average price for lint is 58.8 cents per pound, up 6.5 cents

from 1977, Average price for cottonseed at $114.00 per ton is 62 percent above the previous year
Value of lint and seed for the 1978 crop totals $3.55 billion, 11 percent below 1977.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 VW CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS CROP - HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO MAY 1

1977-78 2 1978-79
crop DINTZATION TRENATNING: UPILIZATION -RENATNING
FRESH ‘PROCESSED: TOTAL ? yapyest , FRESH {PROCESSED TOTAL: wanvest
: THOUSAND BOWES
ORANGES 28,803 172,082 140,885 78,735 «25,749 «118,765 (144,514 62,686
GRAPEFRUIT —«:-237778 «—«35,397 59,175 141525 © 23,430 «35,595 $9,025 7,475
LEMONS 172788 «=—«115924««19;712 «6388 9,127 «6,807 15,934 4,866

As of May 1 a total of 145 million boxes of oranges had been harvested in the U.S., 70 per-
cent of the expected total orange crop. A year earlier, 64 percent of the orange crop had been
harvested by this date. Processors used 82 percent of the oranges harvested prior to May 1 this
year compared with 80 percent a year earlier

Grapefruit harvest was 89 percent complete by May 1, 1979, Last season's crop was 80 per-
cent harvested by May 1. Of this year's crop harvested to date, processors have used 60 percent,

the same as a year earlier.

Lemon harvest was 78 percent complete compared with 76 percent on May 1. last year. Proces-
sors used 43 percent of the crop harvested before May 1. During the same period last year, pro-

cessors used 60 percent.

GRAPEFRUIT: U.S. grapefruit production is placed at 66.5 million boxes (2.47 million metric

tons), 2 percent above last month's forecast, but 10 percent below the 1977-78
season. The Florida crop is now placed at 49.2 million boxes, 3 percent above the April 1 fore-
cast, but 4 percent below last season. About 95 percent of the crop had been harvested prior to
May 1, compared with 88 percent for the same period last year. Groves are in good condition.
The Texas crop at 9.00 million boxes is unchanged from Apri] ? but is 24 percent below last
season, Harvest is complete. California prospects are unchanged from Apri? 1 at 6.00 million
boxes but are 20 percent below last season. Harvest is 35 percent complete, compared with 28
percent for the same period last year. The Arizona crop at 2.30 million boxes is 21 percent be-
low last season. Harvest is two-thirds complete.

Changes in U.S. grapefruit production between the May 1 forecast and final production have
averaged 1.20 million boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 110 thousand boxes in 1969-70
to 3.13 million boxes in 1968-69.

LEMONS: The Arizona and California lemon crop is forecast at 20.5 million boxes (707 thousand

metric tons), 5 percent less than was expected on April 1 and 21 percent less than last
season. The Arizona crop at 5.50 million boxes harvested is 8 percent below last month's fore-
cast and 4 percent below last year. Harvest is complete. The California crop at 15.0 million
boxes is 3 percent below last month's forecast and 26 percent below last season. The Central
Valley is nearly all picked and harvest is complete in the Desert Valley. The central coast is
moving temons at a normal pace with virtually all lemons going to the fresh market. Overall,
California harvest is 70 percent complete, about the same as last year.

TEMPLES: Florida's temple crop is placed at 4.60 million boxes (188 thousand metric tons), 2
1 percent below last month's forecast and 6 percent below last season. Harvest is com-
plete.

PARAYAS: Hawaii papaya production during May is forecast at 2.95 million pounds (1340 metric

___.+, tons), up 23 percent from last month. The heavy rains earlier this year caused more sus-
tained damage than anticipated, and production continues at relatively low levels. April's pre-
liminary output of 2.40 million pounds (1090 metric tons) is 40 percent below the same period a
year ago. March's estimate was revised downward to 2.28 million pounds (1030 metric tons), mak-
ing it the lowest monthly total in over four years. The outlook for the coming months shows the
current production upsurge continuing into June when 3.50 million pounds (1590 metric tons) is
expected. A seasonal downturn is expected to lower production in July and August with forecasts
of 3.10 and 2.85 million pounds (1410 and 1290 metric tons), respectively.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


COTTONSEED: PRODUCTION AND FARM DISPOSITION, 1977 AND 1978 1/

FARM DISPOSTTT' =
PRODUCTION tT Teer a , USED FOR PLANTING 3/
STATE 7 : 7 7 7 7 =
1977; 1978 =; 1977; 1978 S977 | 1978S; 978,979
THOUSAND TONS
ALA 105 109 95 102 10 7 4.3 4.2
ARIZ 445 450 350 366 95 84 6.8 6.7
ARK 400 24) 360 224 40 7 12.2 11.8
CALIF 1,100 824 1,000 775 100 49 19.9 21.3
FLA 2.3 1.5 2.0 1.4 3 a 47 cyan
GA 30 43 26 40 4 3 2.2 1.8
KY 3 Y) 3 0 ° vo) 4 ay
LA 251 180 234 174 7 6 30 47
MISS 610 522 560 489 50 33 20.3 Ww
yo 94 7S 84 69 10 6 4.4 4.0
NEY 7 7 7 6 0 1 Ay y
N MEX 68 44 58 40 10 4 2.1 “3
Nc 19 16 7 4 2 2 7 7
OKLA 165 143 140 131 25 2 5.8 6.6
sc 42 43 39 40 3 3 1.4 1.4
TENN 100 94 91 90 9 4 3.9 3.4
TEX 2,089 1,483 1,775 1,362 314 121 85.7 105.0
vA a 5/ J 0 4) 4
us 5,521.4 4,269.2 4,832.7 3,918.0 689.3 352.2 174.8 191.7
COTTONSEED: SEASON AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS, VALUE OF PRODUCTION, AND
VALUE OF SALES TO OIL MILLS, 1977 AND 1978 CROPS 1/
state PRICE PER TON : VALUE OF PRODUCTION : VALUE OF SALES TO OIL MILLS
1977 : 1978 : 1977 : 1978 : 1977 : 1978
DOLLARS “1,000 DOLTARS T,000 DOLLARS
ALA 71.00 105.00 7,455 11,445 6,745 10,710
ARIZ 75.00 102.00 33,375 45,900 26,250 37,332
ARK 73.50 117.00 295,400 28,197 26,460 26,208
CALIF 76.00 121,00 83,600 99,704 76,000 93,775
FLA 77.00 125.00 7 188 154 175
GA 58.50 108.00 1,755 4,644 1,521 4,320
ky 74,50 22 ) 22 0
1A 73.50 114.00 18,449 20,520 17,199 19,836
MISS 77,50 123.00 47,275 64,206 43,400 60,147
rt) 67.50 97.00 6,345 7,275 5,670 6,693
NEV 78.00 110.00 55 7? 55 66
N MEX 66.00 125.00 4,488 5,500 3,828 5,000
nec 65.00 115.00 1,235 7,840 1,105 1,610
OKLA 63.00 120.00 10,395 17,160 8,820 15,720
sc 68.00 111.00 2,856 4,773 2,652 4,440
TENN 74,50 125.00 7,450 10,810 6,780 10,350
TEX 64.00 110.00 133,696 163,130 113,600 149,820
VA 71.00 100.00 7 4 7 4
us 70.30 114.00 388,035 485,373 340,268 446,206

17 1578 CROP PRELIMINARY.
2/ INCLUDES PLANTING SEED, EXPORTS, INTER-FARM SALES, SHRINKAGE, LOSSES AND OTHER USES.
3/ INCLUDED IN "OTHER" FARM DISPOSITION. PLANTING SEED FROM PREVIOUS YEARS’ CROP.
FLA, VA, KY AND NEV COMBINED.
By 36 TONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




APRIL WEATHER SUMMARY

Temperatures during the month of April averaged near normal west of the Rockies but most
areas to the east were cooler than normal. The northern Plains were 6 to 8 degrees below normal
while the west portion of the Corn Belt was 4 to 5 degrees cooler. New England and Florida were
slightly warmer than normal.

Moderate to heavy rain accumulated from the Sierras in California northward and across the
Plateau and northern Rockies. Most areas east of the Rockies had normal or above rainfall
Severe weather occurred almost everywhere east of the Rockies. Severe flooding occurred in
several areas and record floods plagued North Dakota, southeast Texas, Mississippi, Alabama and
Florida.

In the early part of the first week in April, a series of storm systems moved rapidly from
western Canada southeastward into central U.S. and then eastward. Heavy rain resulted as the
cooler air met the warm, moist Gulf air which reached into southern U.S. along a line from east
Texas to the Ohio Valley and the Appalachians. Some amounts in excess of five inches caused
flooding in Mississippi and Alabama. Later in the week a Pacific storm dumped rain in the North-
west and snow in the northern Rockies. April began with near normal temperatures in the West
and Southeast. Cold weather returned to the northern Plains and pushed southward into Texas.

The second week in April (9th to 15th) also had heavy rain in the South. A storm system
moved into the Pacific Northwest and caused rain with snow in the higher elevations of the
Plateau and northern Rockies. A new storm center formed in Colorado and moved northeastward
trailing behind it a cooler air mass which moved eastward. Again, the cooler air moving into
warmer moist air set off heavy rain. Amounts in excess of two inches fell from Oklahoma to
Lake Michigan. As the cooler air moved through the South, amounts in excess of five inches fell
from northern Mississippi through northern Georgia. Some points in northeastern Mississippi
measured 18 inches of rain during the week. Severe flooding resulted.

Another weather system moved onto the central West Coast early in the week after mid-April
(16th to 22nd). Rain fell along the coast and northward, through the Plateau and northern
Rockies. The frontal system moved through the Southwest with very little rain but showers and
thunderstorms broke out in west Texas as the front moved into that area. At midweek the front
was oriented nearly north-south from central Manitoba in Canada to west Texas and was moving
slowly eastward. Light rain or showers fell along most of the front but severe weather occurred
from central Texas through Louisiana where some areas recorded over 10 inches of rain during
the week. Temperatures in most of the Nation were warmer than normal--as much as 12 degrees in
the eastern slopes of the central Rockies. The East and the West Coast were below normal.

The last week of the month of April contained a mixture of weather systems affecting the
Nation. The old frontal system weakened and moved off the East Coast but an intense low
pressure formed on its trailing end in Louisiana and moved eastward carrying heavy rain and
severe weather to southeastern U.S. Almost at the same time an impulse of energy moved through
the southern Gulf of Mexico and turned northward to deluge southeastern Florida. Considerable
crop damage resulted from the very heavy rain and flooding. Another front from the West caused
heavy rain and severe weather through the Mississippi Valley and in southern Nebraska. Cooler
air moved into the Plains and the South but the West and New England warmied.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Vv

7 ’ PRODUCTION t PRODUCTION
cROP 2 BOXES % TON EQUIVALENT
AND t UTILIZED TINDICATED? UTILIZEO SINDICATED
STATE u 1976-77 8 1977-78 _$% 197879 § 1976-77 § 1977-78 7 1978079
19000 UNITS 27 19000 UNITS
ORANGES SEARLY MID & NAVEL ws
ARIZ ast 800 820 700 30 31 26
CALIF 1 25,600 20,000 209009 960 750 750
FLA + 115,000 884300 925000 5917S 39976 41095
TEX at 40350 34850 41200 185 164 179
us . 1 1455750 112+970 1155900 69350 49919 5050
ORANGES+ VALENCIA t
ARIZ t 35150 2.900 29300 118 109 86
CALIF 8 199700 22,000 159000 739 825 563
FLA : 795500 729000 39291 39578 39260
TEX 1 29250 22000 108 96 85
us t 1065650 919300 49196 4608 30974
ALL ORANGES ' -
ARIZ ‘ 34720 39000 148 140 12
CALIF ' 42,000 359000 19699 19575 10313
FLA ’ 167,800 1639000 8 +606 7552 72335
TEX , 69900 65100 69200 . 293 260 264
us t 262,950 219,620 207+200 109546 99527 9,024
TEMPLES ’
FLA a 1 34800 42900 49600 71 22 207
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE SEEDLESS '
FLA . t 29,900 28,700 282500 Ls27y 19226 sary
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEOLESS ,
.FLA ' 12.6500 145300 139500 531 608 574
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT 1 . . .
. PLA . ' 99100 89400 70200 387 357 306
ALL: GRAPEFRUIT '
ARIZ : 3,000 2,900 29300 96 93 Tm
CALIF ' -. - -
DESERT _ 1: 49500 49300 39500 144 138 112
OTHER AREAS ‘ 00 30200 29500 107 107 84
TOTAL 1’ 72500 69000 251 245 196
FLA t 519400 499200 20189 29185 29091
TEX t 115900 99000 496 476 360
us ’ 739700 669500 39032 29999 20721
TANGERINES '
ARIZ ast 650 700 S50 24 26 21
CALIF ass 14820 19500 20250 68 56 47
FLA t 39300 39200 39500 187 152 166
us ' 5.770 50400 52300 269 234 234
LEMONS t
ARIZ ' $1000 50700 S500 190 217 209
CALIF 1 214000 209400 1 00 798 775 $70
US t 265000 269100 205500 988 992 779
TANGELOS !
FLA ' 4,800 41900 49200 216 221 189

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED,

2/7 NET LOS PER BOX! ORANGES@CALIF & ARTZ<75SeFLAn90e
TEN*65¢ GRAPEFRUIT@CALIF DESERT & ARIZ*64— CALIF
QTHER=675 FLA*8S5, TEX=805 LEMONS#763 TANGELOS &

. TEMPLES@90$ TANGERINES® CALIF & ARTZ=75s FLAS9S,

34 NAVEL aND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND

aRIZOl EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND

TEXAS: INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN

EXAS,
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


TOBACCO

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE 7 : : > ;
1977 1978 i 1977 y 1978 : 1977 : 1978
ACRES POUNDS 7,000 POUNDS
ALA : 550 520 1,900 1,870 1,045 972
CONN : 3,500 3,200 1,606 1,547 5,620 4,950
FLA : 11,840 10,500 2,094 2,100 24,798 22,050
GA : 65,000 61,000 2,075 2,060 134,875 125,660
IND : 6,900 6,600 2,400 2,350 16,560 15,510
ky : 196,750 194,500 2,297 2,415 452 ,024 469,658
LA : 140 130 850 900 119 “7
Mo 23,000 23,000 1,310 1,400 30,130 32,200
MASS : 1,160 1,030 1,643 1,416 1,906 1,458
i.) > 2,600 2,400 2,385 2,280 6,201 5,472
NC : 392,600 398,700 1,896 2,131 744,525 849,431
OHTO : 10,200 9,900 2,162 2,258 22,053 22,350
PA : 13,500 13,000 1,940 1,940 26,190 25,220
sc : 68,000 71,000 2,040 2,120 138,720 150,520
TENN + 68,460 66,850 1,997 2,126 136, 746 142,099
vA > 79,700 73,130 1,794 1,848 142,985 135,157
WA : 1,600 1,500 2,020 1,800 3,232 2,700
WIS + 12,000 12,100 2,032 1,702 24,385 20,600
us : 957,500 949,060 1,997 2,135 1,912,114 2,026,124
TOBACCO
SEASON AVERAGE PRICE PER 5
STATE POUND RECEIVED BY FARMERS : VALUE OF PRODUCTION
: 1997 : 1978 : 1977 : 1978
CENTS T,000 DOLTARS—

ALA : 111.0 129,0 1,160 1,254
CONN : 420.5 47.8 23,631 23,356
FLA 122.6 144.0 30, 396 31,752
115.1 142.6 155,241 179,191
IND 119.5 130.5 19, 789 20,241
KY : 122.0 129.3 551,578 607,202
LA : 159.7 170.1 190 99
oD) : 14.9 Yy 34,619 40,089
MASS : 511.0 600.8 9,739 8,759
: 115.3 127.0 7,150 6,949
NC 116.8 133.3 869, 666 1,132,037
OHTO : 113.0 122.6 24,914 27,403
PA : 60.0 62.0 15,714 15,636
sc : 123.3 137.6 171,082 207,116
TENN : 119.3 126.6 163,085 179,834
vA : 116.1 330.6 166,057 176,582
W VA : 113.0 127.5 3,652 3,443
WIS : 85.0 100.5 20,736 20,703
us : 118.6 132.4 2,268,359 2,681,700

V EVALUATED AT 124.5 CENTS PER POUND, THE AVERAGE OF AUCTION SALES THROUGH MAY 3, 1979.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
F May 1, 1979

‘* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.
usDA NEG, ESCS 76-7915)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
y May 1, 1978

We
(eos

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-1
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY
CONDITIONS. ECONO!

US. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE __ NEG. CRB-47-76(5) ESORER

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
DOMESTIC UNITS

3 REA H, RE: PRO! an
7 3 7 3 7 NOTCATED ————
CROP AND UNIT ig7e z NDUCATED! yg7q INDICATED 1978 WRT: HAY T
: : : : 1979 1979
,000 ACRES 7,000
WINTER WHEAT BU: 38,909 42,872 32.1 «32.4 1,248,272 1,390,848
POTATOES, SPRING cut: $0.9 80.2 «198283 17,963 22,037” 22,864
PEACHES 1/ LB 591,000 605, 500
ALMONDS TCALIF) LB 1813000 300,000
HAY STOCKS ON FARMS TON 24,077 29,922
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT : 15 a4
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1978-79 1978-79
ORANGES BOX : 206, 200 7200
GRAPEFRUIT " 65,300 66,500
LENONS “ 21,500 20,500
SOUTHERN STATES. 27 F WN 5 AS FHONTH TTA
YS 81 PERCENT. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF

HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY

METRIC UNITS, _
A : 3 Rt IN

: 7 : INDICATED
cROP 1978, INDICATED: 97g INDICATED! §— jg7g PR —
; 1979 1 1979: i 1979 1979
HECTARES METRIC TONS

WINTER WHEAT 218 746 080 17 349 870 2.16 2.18 +~—-33:972 400 37 852 680
POTATOES, SPRING 36790 36 500 22.15 28.41 814 780 999 580 1-037 090
PEACHES 1/ 268 070 274 650
ALMONDS {CALIF ) 82 100 13 608
HAY STOCKS ON FARMS 21 842 280 27 144 780
CETRUS FRUITS 2/ 1977-78 1978-79 1978-79
ORANGES 8642 750 8 152870 8 186 440
GRAPEFRUIT 2720 650 2422 180 2 468 450
LEMONS 899 930 741 170 706 700

COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

selected agricultural commodities.

Statistical Offices.

APPROVED:

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on
. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting
Board which consists of commodity statisticians from Washington headquarters and the State

wortaa

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

8. M. Graham, Chairman,

M. L. Koehn, Secretary,

W. Kirkbride, F. E. Rolf,
M. Kitterman, R. P. Small,
R. Blackson, 0. J. Buckner,
J. DeLong, J. R, Garrett,
E. Hamilton, G. D. Hicks,
L. Schulte, W. W. Wilken,

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


HAY STOCKS ON FARMS - MAY 1

STATE : 1977 * 1978 5 4979 STATE (1977 : 1978 i 1979

1,000 TONS 1,000 TONS

ALA : 77 101 77 94 176 144
ARIZ : 139 205 97 45 35 40
ARK : 105 197 179 45 26 81
CALIF : 680 1,082 765 98 124 63
colo: 508 557 452 1,070 649 1,112
CONN 3 25 18 4) 46 57 147
DEL : 3 1 10 716 452 1,742
FLA : 28 68 66 640 676 944
GA : 93 68 152 324 634 258
IDAHO: 798 1,026 1,083 369 585 495
TLL : $88 779 771 655 583 1,210
IND t 301 429 368 2 2 3
TOWA : 1,397 1, 707° 1,909 47 63 107
KANS : 680 1,059 748 710 1,510 2,760
ky : 598 340 664 295 291 421
LA : 39 57 47 967 468 568
MAINE =: 108 68 84 309 424 358
MD : 130 53 158 206 108 W777
MASS H 38 35 50 148, 130 410
MICH 3 551 514 958 465 462 749
MINN : 922 1,627 1,965 50 75 252
MISS : 73 82 143 1,381 2,880 3,374
MO H 544 1,026 1,017 371 328 308
MONT 3 955 508 869

NEBR : 1,072 1,732 1,432 19,505 24,077 29,922

AVERAGE

AVERAGE

STATE 1968-77 1978 : 1979 1968-77 1978 : 1979
PERCENT : PERCENT.

ALA 2 82 79 77 78 84 92
ARIZ : 74 105 90 87 89 99
ARK 85 80 87 83 72 88
CALIF 7] 101 91 71 65 79
COLO 75 60 76 87 75 85
CONN 87 88 96 87 84 89
DEL 87 83 90 72 62 75
FLA 68 72 85 87 80 88
GA 80 77 86 : 80 75 84
TBAHO. 79 94 83 78 96 88
TLL 88 80 88 85 79 86
IND 89 82 89 87 90 100
TOWA 83 73 81 80 82 87
KANS 83 81 85 77 74 79
KY 88 83 90 87 82 89
LA 81 77 83 75 46 82
MAINE 88 86 99 76 90 84
MD 84 74 84 86 90 98
MASS 86 83 98 85 79 90
MICH 88 78 90 79 94 84
MINN 82 81 80 79 69 83
MISS 83 81 85 86 73 85
MO 84 80 87 82 76 85
MONT : 79 79 85
NEBR 3 82 84 82 nUS 81 75 84

‘Y7_GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR, 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME
DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979 + 13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEACHES

' PRODUCTION 2 PRODUCTION
cROP t POUNDS 1. 2 48 LB, EQUIVALENT
AND 1 TOTAL INDICATEDL TOTAL INDICATED
STATE J 1977 1978 ¢t 1979 3 1977 Ot 1978 3 1979
t MILLION UNITS 19000 UNITS
PEACHES :
ALA t 10.0 18.0 13-0 208 313 271
ARK ' 40.0 3700 4000 833 77) 833
GA ' 9060 120.0 11040 19875, 29500 24292
LA + 665 6S 665 135 135 135
MISS ' 4.0 420 40 83 83 83
NC t 35.0 45.0 46.0 729 938 958
OKLA ’ 1060 8.5 10-0 208 177 208
sc t 275.0 31560 34060 50729 69563 73083
TEX t 48.0 40.0 3620 19000 833 750
9 SOUTHERN STATES A 518.5 591.0 605.5 10,800 12,313 12,613

17 _INCLUDFS UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS) £9 SOUTHERN STATES» 1977-11.5,

POTATOES

1978-19.0,

SEASONAL GROUP

t

YIELO

AREA HARVESTED
' {

1 PROOUCTION
t t

t
ANG, 1 ; TNO T 11ND ; 7 ~IND
STATE \_1977_ 1 3978 | 1979 $ 1977 | 1978 1 1979 11977 1 3978 1 1979
i) 19000 ACRES cwr 1,000 CWT

\

1

WINTER '

4
TOTAL 1 1364 1209 1362 (199 203 206 29660 20621 20723

i)

SPRING i} .

ALA 1 10.5 905 8.8 120 100 110 . 950 968
ARIZ 1 65 600 662 270 265 260 J 19590 19622
calLIF 1 3008 2900 30.0 385 265 400 89265 = 12,000
FLA@HASTINGS ' 19,5 2006 204 «=6220 170 21s 39502 49386
-OTHER i) 167 168 1.00 (185 425 170 228 170
ta t 203 2e3 262 7s id 70 173 147
miss 1/ 4 1.3 162 90 90 U . 108 . -
Nc i} 1304 13.0 13.7 165 150 165 20211 40950 26261
TEX ! Seo 75S 8.0 165 160 165° aor 19200 19320
' . . wee ae .
TOTAL 4 9164 9009 90.2 280 198 283 220870 176963 ‘225864:

U/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1979

16

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA