oars

STATE 3. AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO 2 PRODUCTION

: : $ TND = T + IND? t ? TNO

z 1976 ¢ 1979 2 1980 3 1976 ¢ 1979 3 1980 3 1978 3 1979 3 1980

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 SUSHELS

t
ALA OAs8 30 25 2s 49,0 © 41,0 38,0 1,200 1,025 950
ARK 2 55 32 Si 73.0 65.0 70.40 4,015 2,080 3,570
CALIF 106 85 70 4,0 $5.0 56.0 5,088 4,675 3,920
cole ist 40 3 30 40,0 50,0 47,0 1,760 2,500 1,410
Uy wet 6S 59 ss 53.0 53.0 3,445 3,166 2,915
IDAHO 173 a9 44 43 64,0 65.0 3,136 2,288 2,795
TLL 1 288 270 240 $6.0 61.0 15,960 16,200 14,690
IND : 165 145 125 $4.0 61.0 8,910 8,645 7,625
10WA 3 1,050 1,000 960 58.0 61,0 60,900 63,000 58,560
RANS 2 105 85 120 39,0 © 44,0 4,095 3,740 4,200
KY wet 7 8 6 42.0 41,0 294 328 26a
MAINE 1/3 36 39 40 66.9 = 62.0 2,376 2,418 2,120
“n ist 23 22 220 54,0 55.0 1,242 1,210 1,232
MICH : 360 270 285 57,0 61.0 20,520 16,470 17,955
MINN : 1,830 1,490 1,370 54,0 57,0 98,820 84,930 69,870
“oO t 35 45 48 38.0 45,0 1,330 2,025 2,016
MONT z 208 140 110 51.0 39,0 10,608 5,460 3,960
NEAR t aso 380 3600 47,0 53.0 21,150 20,140 15,580
NJ 4st 8 8 7 48,0 = 5060 384 400 336
NY t 300 290 280 59,0 6240 17,700 17,980 17,920
nC 2 9S 95 cy 55.0 3,225 5320 4,320
NDAK ot 1,220 Bao 490 54.0 65,80 36,960 12,250
OHIO t 400 340 310 61,0 24,400 23,800 20,770
OKLA : 95 95 105 36.0 3,420 4,560 4,095
OREG : 19 65 60 65,0 . 4,550 4,160 3,840
PA : 340 335 340 53.0 55.0 18,020 18,425 18,360
sc ws 15 so 43 52.0 94,0 3,900 3,186 2,107
SOAK 2,210 1,970 1,650 46,5 50.0 102,765 98,500 62,700
TENN 173 25 27 15 95.0 44125 14107 660
TEX : 430 400 340 32,0 13,760 16,800 12,580
UTAH 173 12 12 12 48,0 58.0 576 708 696
va wt 36 35 25 45.0 46.0 1,620 1,715 1,150
WASH 1/t 30 33 33 58,0 59.9 1,749 1,749 1,997
wa ast 12 12 12 92.0 51.0 Soa 12 12
wis Py 1,120 960 1,030 56.0 59.0 62-720 55,860 604770
aYO 1/8 49 46 49 56.0 40,0 2,744 2,024 1,960
us 3 11,426 De ASL 8,861 52.2 49.7 595,882 534,386 440,655

1/ ESTIMATES FOk CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


HOPS

STATE 2 AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO 2 PROOUCTION 1/
z ? ? TRO FIND + T t TRO
3 1978 = 1979 8 1989 1976 } 1979 ? 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 ¢ 1980
7 ¥,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF 1.5 1.2 1,2 1,360 1,290 1,700 2,000 1,548 2,040
IDAHD 2.7 2.7 2.8 14790 1,710 1,750 4,833 4,637 4,900
ORE : 5.4 5.6 6.2 1/510 1,540 1,700 8,154 8,624 10,540
WASH : 21.3 22.3 24,9 14880 1,800 1,850 40,094 40,140 49,765
ws : 30.9 31.8 37,1 e782 14727 B13 55-071 54,929 67,245
1/ 1980 QUANTITIES AVATLABLE FOR MARKET WILL RE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNUER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,
APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/
PRODUCTION 3 PRODUCTION
CRue POUNDS 42 LB, EVUIVALENT
AND Tors Z LOTR TWDICATED
STATE $978 3 1970 1978: 1979: 1980
MILCION UTTTS 1/000 UNITS
ALL COMMERCIAL APPLES
ARK 13.0 24,0 310 S71 476
CALIF 500.0 600,90 11,905 14,286 12,381
coun 4460 100.0 976 2,301 1,905
CONN 50,0 45,0 14190 1,071 1,000
veL 14,5 13,0 345 310 3at
GA 22.0 35,0 524 833 857
IDAHO 150,0 125,0 3,095 2,976 2,976
TLL 89,0 119,0 2,119 2,619 2,500
1nd 75.0 i9s2a 1,786 19643
Towa 12,1 aie 288 274
KANS 15,0 238 357 333
KY 2t,o 357 500 as2
MALONE, B6,0 1,766 2,048 2,024
ail 85,0 2,024 2,020 2,071
MASS 95,0 2,500 27262 2,381
MICH 680,60 21,905 1os19d 21,429
MTN 28, 15,0 60? 357 saa
mn ano 70,0 992 1,667 1,500
nh 00.0 58.0 1,429 1,381 1,476
wy 9660 110,0 2,43 2,619 2,857
fi HEX 17.0 14,9 40S 333 2348
uy 1,080.0 1,035,0 25,714 24,643 25,476
ne 3ea,0 302.0 771A Brb19 9,048
Ouro 146,40 105.0 3,333 2,500 4,048
DRE yaa 170,60 3,381 4,048 4,048
PA 400.0 53504 9,524 12,738 13,571
er 640 5,0 143 119 A131
s¢ 22.0 35.0 Seq 833 786
TENN BLO 10.0 390 23a 214
UTAH 35.0 51.0 A33 1,214 1,258
vT ago 49,0 5540 1,167 4,167 1,319
va 515.0 a7u,0 420.0 12,262 11,191 10,000
was 2s148.0 2,554.0 2,600.0 Si,143 60,952 1, 905
wea 295.0 209.0 209.0 1024 64190 67190
nto 66,0 54,0 62.0 1,571 1,286 1,476
us TrbnT eo 4,069,1 A, 309.5 181,129 192,598 199,059
1/ TY OWCHARDS UF 100 Nx NOKE REARTiY AGE TREES,

2/ INCLURES vivRARVESTED PREDICTICN AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(PILLTOR PouMdSs UOITED STATES 1976"55.241979"25.68

ESTIGATES FON CURRENT YEA? CAPRIED FORWARD FROM EARLL

ATA

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-20

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS,

ER FORECAST,

USDA


Yield prospects are higher than last year in North Carolina and Maryland, but the same or
lower in other producing States largely as a result of hot, dry weather. In North Carolina, the
Nation's leading producing State, a slightly higher yield was more than offset by a reduction in
acreage resulting in production at 4.75 million cwt, down 3 percent from 1979. Dry weather has
hurt some fields and crop development is 2 weeks behind normal. With a reduction in both acreage
and yield, the Louisiana crop will be off by 12 percent. Soil moisture shortages in late June
through July have left the crop in only fair condition in most producing areas. Texas sweet-
potatoes have been particularly hard hit by the hot, dry weather and coupled with a small reduc-
tion in acreage, production is expected to be cut almost in half from 1979.

In California, the yearly upward trend in acreage ended in 1980 with a 6 percent drop from
1979, Cool weather until mid-July slowed growth and the crop. is 2 to 3 weeks behind normal.
Harvest is expected to get underway by mid-August.

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco for 1980 is forecast at 1.85 billion pounds (840 thousand

metric tons), up 21 percent from the 1979 crop. A 20 percent increase in flue-cured
and a 29 percent increase in burley account for most of the change. Yield per acre of all to-
bacco is forecast at 1995 pounds, compared with the 1979 yield of 1848 pounds.

Flue-cured production is forecast at 1.13 billion pounds (515 thousand metric tons), up 20
percent from the 945 million pounds (429 thousand metric tons) produced in 1979. The indicated
yield of 2019 pounds per acre compares with 1892 pounds a year earlier.

Prospects improved in North Carolina and Virginia, were unchanged in Georgia and Florida, but
declined in South Carolina. Markets are open in all States but Virginia. The Georgia-Florida
markets opened July 21 with high grade prices and slightly better quality than last year.

Burley production is expected to total 576 million pounds (261 thousand metric tons), up 29
percent from the 1979 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2089 pounds and compares with the 1979
yield of 1875 pounds. The crop in Kentucky is later than normal, but if soil moisture remains
adequate, good potential with remain. Blue mold is reported, but the hot, dry weather has slowed
development. Orought conditions in Missouri have reduced prospects sharply. Above normal rain-
fall and high humidity have accelerated the spread of blue mold in Ohio.

Fire-cured growers expect to produce 39.6 million pounds (18.0 thousand metric tons), 12 per-
cent less than a year earlier. A 6 percent decline in acreage and a 109 pound drop in yield
account for the lower production. -

Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at 26.4 million pounds (12.0 thousand metric
tons), up 20 percent from the revised 1979 production of 22.0 million pounds (9980 metric tons).
Yield per acre is forecast at 1200 pounds, 200 pounds above the 1979 yield.

Dark air-cured growers expect to harvest 16.3 million pounds (7380 metric tons), a decline of
3 percent from the 1979 crop of 16.7 million pounds (7580 metric tons). Acreage for harvest and
yield per acre are below last year.

All cigar-type production is forecast at 58.4 million pounds (26.5 thousand metric tons), up
12 percent from a year earlier.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 22.0 million tons (20.0 million metric

tons), fractionally lower than the 1979 crop. Expected yield this year--18.7 tons
per acre--compares with 19.6 tons in 1979. Acreage for harvest at 1.18 million acres (477
thousand hectares) is 5 percent above the 1979 harvested acreage.

California's sugarbeets are progressing satisfactorily with the advent of higher tempera-
tures. Field activities include thinning, weeding and irrigating. Harvest of the Imperial Valley
and carryover crops in the central valley areas was completed in late July.

Sugarbeets in the northwestern part of Minnesota were hit very hard by drought. Some
reseeding was necessary to improve stands. Yields will be reduced in this area with the greatest
reduction in the northern half. The crop in the southern part of the State is in good condition
with above average yields expected.

The crop in Idaho is making good progress. Growing conditions have been good and ample
irrigation water has been available.

CROP PROOUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO A PRODUCTION
t 3 ? TNO ? FIND ¢ TAD
: 1978 ¢ 1979 1980 2 1978 = 1979 2 1980 ¢ 1978 919 ¢ 1980
$ 1-000 ACHES BUSHELS 1/000 SUSRELE
:
ARIZ 1/2 1 10 145 70,0 7540 75.0 65370 5,250 10,875
CALIE 172 115 4s 100 75.0 © 80.0 78,0 8,625 3,600 7,800
MINN : 98 7 120 3A.5 37.0 28.0 3,773 2,849 3,360
WANT t 290 325 3a0 30.0 © 21.0 12.0 8-700 6,625 44560
N OAK of 3,240 3,250 3,900 31.5 26,0 18.0 102,060 64,500 70,200
SOAK 190 165 200 «20,0 = 22,0 17,0 3,800 3,630 3,400
us 3 4,024 3,932 a, AUS 33 et. 20,7 133,328 106,659 100,195

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED A YIELD A PRODUCTION
3 Two ¢ ¥ INO ? ? z 10
1974 3 1979 3 1980: 1976 = 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979 2 1960
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
coLo 33 41 a 54,0 63.0 62.0 1,782 2,583 2,592
TOAHO 480 620 64 64,0 62.0 66.0 30,720 38,990 42,240
MINN 2,620 2,450 2,980 $3.5 35.0 31.0 87,770 85,750 92,360
MONT 1,850 2,590 2,550 2o.0 20,5 20,0 33,650 32,275 31,000
NEV 15 14 18 55.0 50.0 50.0 825 700 900
N DAK 64210 6,230 5,800 29.0 19,0 180,090 165,095 110,200
QREG 125 24s 170 37.0 5a.0 44625 9,310 6,460
S DAK 2,200 2,090 2,980 20.0 15.0 44,000 45,980 31,200
UTAH 29 ao 2a 36.0 aro 1,008 1,640 98a
ASH 310 790 aio 3640 38.0 11,160 23,400 15,580
wIS 173 12 16 aq 31.0 3160 372 sea 74a
MYO Ast 19 20 1s 24.0 24.0 456 ago 315
us 2 13,903 15,096 14,752 30.0 24.0 416,499 426,181 354,545

A/ ESTIMATES FOX CURRENT YFAR CARRIED FORWAKD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

QuURUM WHITE

1,000 BUSHELS

1977 992,846 3506152 194,515 397,603 790964 21,638 Eee
1978 8366285 201,761 209,660 379,104 133,328 37,390 1,79

1979 1,093,275 324,079 199,543 364,477 106,659 61,708 2,141, Se
1980 v1799315 4334295 262,601 298,137 100,195 56,408 2, 324,951

1/ INDICATED AUGUST 1, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 8-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
August 1. The yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field
observations and measurements for corn, soybeans, cotton and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals
of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their locali-
ties. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and measurements in a
probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are
common to all surveys. More importantly, the forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect final
production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the August 1 production
forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1960-79 twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning
expected errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming
that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years’ forecasts.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain is 6.5 percent.
This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 6646 million
bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 6.5 percent or approximately
432 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confiaence level) that the difference
will not exceed 11.2 percent or approximately 744 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between
the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between
the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 342 million
bushels, ranging from 9 million to 655 million bushels. Ouring this 10-year period the August 1
forecast has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times.

RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 ROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS.

ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR

TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE

+ 90% CONF IOENCE ia

CROP AND NUMBER OF YEARS

UNIT

FEED GRAIN 1/
CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
OATS
BARLEY
ALL WHEAT

WINTER

DURUM

OTHER SPRING
RICE
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
COTTON

DUFAORPEE ENA

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

“CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-5 OROP REPORTING BOARD, €SCS, USOA


TOBACCO

STATE AREA HARVESTED YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
7 i 7 TNO ¢ t t THO
1978 2 1979 2 1980 3 1976 t 1979 2 1980 1978 3 1979 3 1980
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
ALA W/ S20 500 1,870 1,650 1,700 972 825 667
CONN 1,507 1,539 1,575 4,950 4,925 5,040
FLA 2,100 2,240 2,100 22,050 22,400 22,050
GA 53,000 2,060 1,905 14,950 125,660 100,965 107,259
IND 67100 2,350 1,950 2,200 15,510 11,695 14,740
ny 173,700 2,415 1,976 2,152 469,658 343,145
LA 900 700 700 56
MD 2/ 1,390 1,900 1,200 22,000
MASS 1,416 1,564 1,578 1,892
Mo 2,400 2,500 2,280 2,405 1,300 6,013
nC 398,700 334,500 382,000 24131 14858 2,963 889,231 621,368 788, 000
OHIO 10,100 9,800 116300 24229 1,435) 1,613. 9 22,510 14,063 18,230
PA 13,000 11,200 13,900 1,940 1,580 1,700 25,220 17,696 22,100
sc 71,000 57,000 68,000 2,120 2,965 2,025 «150,520 117,705 137,700
TENN 66,850 60,090 64,400 24126 1,745 1,820 142,099 104,829 117,193
vA 735130 67,240 79,000 14848 1,630 1,749 109,603 1234155
wovaA 1,500 1,300 1,500 1¢800 1,275 1,700 1,658 2,550
ats 12,100 12,900 13,700 1,675 1,988 1,943 25,640 26,625
vs 948,260 826,320 927,619 2,135 1,848 1,995 2,024,369 1,526,682 1,850,832
T/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1979 REVISED.
SUGARBEETS Vv
STATE AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
z B TRO t IND t THD
1978 3 1979 3 1980 51976 : 1979 $1980 3 1978 3 1979 1980
1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
AREZ 15.0 11.3 aa 19.2 22.9 308 217 208
CALIF 194.0 219.0 219,90 26.5 26.5 4,745 5,796 5,796
coLo 64,0 73.0 90.0 18.6 18.0 1,538 1,358 1,620
IDAHO 132.3 125.9 139.6 22.4 21.0 2,765 2,820 2898
KANS 26.0 12,0 15.0 17.8 1740 442 213 255
MICH 91.5 68.0 99.0 17466 19.5 1.770 1,550 1,833
INN 263.9 244.0 250.0 15.5 13.5 4,971 3,782 3,375
MONT aa? 43,0 43.5 1964 13. 5 B65 82g Ag
NESP 76.0 72,4 $2.0 20.2 1,368 12462 1,558
N MEX 168 2.0 166 1560 20: to 37 30 32
N DAK 155.2 143,61 142.0 1601 12,5 3,054 2,300 1,775
OHIO 23.3 13.7 17.8 19,4 20.0 394 266 356
OREG 8.9 6.7 7.2 2666 26,5 203 178 194
TEX 23.6 19,5 2406 17.0 17,0 aia 332 418
UTAH 12.6 1.5 8 19.9 17,0 225 30 14
WASH 68.5 0 0 0 ° 1,747 o o
wo : 48.8 48.2 44.5 16.8 19,5 922 906 867
us £4,269.2 1,123.7 117901 19.6 18,7 25,788 22,073 22,044
1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF,
SUGARCANE FOR 8UGAR AND SEED
STATE 4. AREA HARVESTED a YIELD 1 PRODUCTION
' THD t 7 TAD ' v IND
t tore t 1979 i 1980s 1978 + 1979 + 1980 ¢ 1978 1979 4 980
+ 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
’
FLA ' 346.0 330.8 331.0 30.7 34.4 33.0 94701 10,387
WAN 1 105,9 107.9 108.3 89.3 91,4 94,9 9yhod 9,859
tA ’ 26 25 20.3 2 21.0 5,875 5,403
TEX ' 32. 35. 29.3 2 34.0 960 883
us 1 732.7 729.9 35.0 3 37.9 25,997 26,532

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980

B-18

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


BARLEY

STATE t AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD a PRODUCTION

+ 3 + TNO ¢ z z IND ? 7 3 THO

z 1978 3 1979 & 1960 3 1978 3 1979 1980 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980

: 1,600 ACRES BUSHEL S 1,000 BUSHELS

t
ARIZ : 35 43 55 71,0 75.0 17,0 2,485 3,225 4,235
CALIF =: 950 790 720 48s 60.0 2.0 45,600 47,409 44,540
coo t 240 290 260 64,0 69,0 68,0 15,360 20,010 17,580
DEL ass eq 2s 24 4a,0 45.0 ag9,0 1,056 1,125 1,176
TDAHO 930 850 880 60, 58.0 65.0 55,800 49,300 57,200
Tut 7d 7 7 6 36,0 47.0 47.0 252 329 262
KANS 1/3 60 3s 44.0 95.0 38,0 2640 24700 24090
KY iss 2s 268 50.0 $3.0 989 12250 1,484
MO t 88 79 49.0 52.0 3,910 4,312 4,108
MICH It 17 18 a7. 893 7199 B46
MINN : 170 765 40,0 51,975 40,810 30,600
MONT : 16900 1,060 39.0 59.125 404560 42,120
NEBR 1/3 26 26 36.0 1,102 1,204 936
NEV 1¢s 22 19 60,0 1,200 14320 1,140
NJ tat 18 17 51.0 920 918 867
N MEX 173 27 24 56.0 4,425 1,566 1,620
NY ise i ry 45.0 420 52a 495
NC es o1 sa 49,0 3,009 Bel 2,842
N DAK z 1,650 1,600 27.0 112,700 75,900 43,200
OHIN 1/8 9 7 48.0 4a0 468 336
OKLA t 55 5s 35.0 2,720 27530 1,925
OREG ' 160 150 51.0 9,250 8,000 7,650
PA 2 115 105 54.0 5,875 52405 $4670
sc ist 23 23 42,0 1,128 966
S$ OAK ¢ 500 42s 29,0 20,905 12,325
TENN 173 13 12 42.0 4a2 Soa
TEX ’ so 3b 30.0 1,080 1,089
UTAH : 131 136 68.0 7,560 9248
vA t 100 90 52.0 5,950 4,680
WASH : 35 430 65.0 23,180
WA ast 10 9 44.0 aa
wis ast 2a 26 51,0 1,323
wyo : 141 133 63.0 8,863
us uy 9,207 71068 1,367 46.2 449,177 3784067 3.40, 000

t/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PEANUTS FOR NUTS

STATE AREA HARVESTED g YIELD PROVUCTION
7 z Tot t 710 ¥ t TAD
1978: 1979 ¢ 1980 $1978 : 1979 ¢ 1980 1973 3 1979 3 1980
1,000 ACKES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
ALA aia 213,0 219.0 2,659 24795 2,500 SH2,8Z0 395,335 525,000
FLA Sa.0 95.6 $5.6 3,360 3,270 3,100 182,520 179,850 179,500
BA S26. sero 527.9 3,800 5,235 3,900 1,735,800 1,704,845 1,561,000
MISS alo 3 7.3 2,000 1,450 1,700 = 16,000 15,355 12, 410
N MEX a4 9.2 6.4 2,560 2,790 2,500 24,064 = 25,300 22 250
ue 166.0 166.0 1h. 2,425 2,600 468,950 378,480 431,400
nea 115.0 120.6 W19.0 1,500 1,800 207,000 264,009 214,209
sC 15.2 1966 15.0 27550 1,900 35,720 29,250 26,500
TEX 301.0 309.0 30n.0 1,450 1,400 436,459 533,025 420,000
vA 103.0 102.0 103.0 3,100 2,830 319,300 = 255,000 293,550
ws WpSideo 165245 bedttee Pe 639 2,448 3,968,624 36960,440 3,699,010
correy
CROP ASEA HARVESTED 3 YIELO PRODUCTION 17
AND 7 7 THF Fey CU) 1D
STATE 1978 3 1979 3 1980 31978 3 1979 3 1980 1978 1979 1980
3 1,000 ACKES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2
COTTON, UPLAND
ata 3 315.0 31.0 314.0 aa3 502 440 291.0 324.0 28R,0
ARIZ 3/2 538.0 575.0 608.0 953 1,069 1,062 1,068.0 = 1,280.0 © 1,320.0
2 530.0 750.0 a7 509 aie 660.0 606,0 650.0
z 16635.9 1,585.0 440 1,000 909 1,940.0 3,408.0 © 3,000.0
r . Sus 565 Sta 3.8 ost
: 165.0 463 aan 436 122.0 150.0
4 a a 0 ° 0
560.0 asa 72 489 478.0 370.0
1911060 S75 670 554 1,37R0 11280,0
196 550 460 188.0 235.0
Saz 65s, 62a 1.8 1.3
44s 396 450 101,40 122.0
S15 455 466 45,0 65.0
292 432 304 355.0 390,90
S62 510 aug 115.0 115.0
TENN 230.0 490 357 364 235.0 220.0
TEX 6,200.0 294 36° 30R 3,792.0 4,300.0
va . ago 320 ano a 22 22
WS 37% 12,29a,0 ae 548 460 10,762,8 14,530,7 12,722.6
COTTON, AMER@PIMA
WIT. Tsa Tas 750 33.7 67,0 79.0
CALIF aan 4g0 0 n nN ry
N MEX 3, 4S 246 375 13.0 7.5 $7
TEX 456 373 461 26.6 24,0 24,0
Us 3, 390 531 oat 93.4 98.6 99.7
COTTON, Al
ALA 314.0 aad 502 44d 291.0 268,0
ARIZ 3/ 652.8 M41 1,046 1,022 1,121.7 1,390.0
ARK 750.0 ay 549 446 66050 650.0
CALIF 1,885.0 640 1,000 909 16940.1 3,000.0
FLA 3/ S06 565 sia 3.8 61
GA aes 486 436 111.0 150.0
KY 0 0 0 0
La 560.0 450 m2 489 478,40 570.0
MISS 1s1to.0 S75 670 554 1,378.0 1,280.0
wo 245.0 496 550 460 186.0 235.0
NEV . su2 655 624 1.5 1,3
NOMEX 3/ 137.3 aes 380 446 11450 127.7
NC 3/ 6440 515 455 488 45.0 65,0
oKLa 615.0 292 a3 30a 355.0 390.0
sc 123.0 S62 510 aaa 115.0 115.0
TENN 230.0 29040 490 357 Bea 235,0 220.0
TEX 6228.0 On 72840 204 389 309° 3,814.6 © 5,539.9 4,324.0
va : ot . . ago 320 480 al 2 2
US 3/3 12370.0 12¢815,9 134343,0 421 548 461 10,855,8 14,629,3 12,812,3

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED ANO TO BE GINNED. 2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.

3/ 1980 PLANTED ACRES REVISED AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND ACRES: UPLAND, ARIZ, 610; FLA, 5.95
LA, 570; NC, 65; TOTAL, 14,282.2. AMER-PIMA, N MEX, 7.5; TOTAL, 78.5. ALL COTTON, ARI
655; FLA, 5.9; LA, 570; N MEX, 157.5; NC, 65; U.S., 14,360.7.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



WINTER WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELD z PRODUCTION

z z 3 IND = ? *_IND= = ? THD

3 1978 3 1979 3 1980 2 1978 : 1979 3 1980 ? 1978 3 1979 3 1980

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA A/3 35 300 2660 26.0 26.0 1,690 2,470 7,600
ARIZ z $s 65 70.0 78.0 78.0 3,290 4,290 4,875
ARK + 420 820 3760 35.0 39.0 11,100 14,700 31,980
CALIF =o: 780 1,050 62.0 70,0 74,0 37,200 54,600 774700
cove : 2,600 3,350 2340 26,0 57,270 67,600 103,850
Oe 1st 3o as 34,0 875 1,020 1,665
FLA ast a32
GA ast 160 600 35.0 3,840 5,600 21,000
IDAHQ 850 890 42.0 55,0 44,010 35,700 48,950
TLL 3 1,300 1,650 43.0 48.0 35,340 55,900 79,200
INO 2 995 1,100 47,0 49,0 31,785 44,415 53,900
IOWA 1/2 2 95 37,0 36.0 1,395 2,664 3,420
KANS z 10,600 12,200 . 38,0 34.0 306,000 410,400 414,800
ky : 299 350 35,0 © 36,0 39,0 6,625 11,020 13,650
LA Wt 27 35 2,0 612 756 980
“oO wt 114 116 37,0 3,774 4,218 4,408
MICH 3 78S 840 43.0 18,000 33,755 36,960
MINN 473 51 69 35,0 1,682 1,785 2,079
MISS 17% 115 250 32,0 2,015 3,680 7,750
40 : 1,600 2,070 44,0 93.0 28,560 70,400 89, 010
MONT : 2,250 2,200 31,0 25.5 25.0 83,700 57,375 $5,900
NEBR 3 26550 3,100 34,0 81,600 86,700 = 114,700
NEV 1/8 43 1a 70.0 115 910 910
NJ ist aL 3640 1,188 1,976 1,748
N MEX i738 394 22,0 5,508 8,756 10,000
NY 43 160 41,0 40.0 26625 6,560 6,000
nc iss ato 36.0 36,0 5,949 7,560 10,800
N OAK 178 120 22.0 15.0 3,915 2,640 1,050
OHIO 3 1/320 48,0 48.0 43,875 63,360 =, BOD
OKLA : 5,700 58,0 30.0 145,800 216,600 195,000
OREG : 1,000 48,0 53.0 47,300 48,000 63,600
PA : 262 31.0 38.0 4,085 a, 122 9,500
sc 443 109 53.0 35.0 2,S74 3,597 6,475
S DAK 550 19.0 19,0 18,200 10,450 = 20,900
TENN : 295 34,0 38.0 7/700 10,030 17,100
TEK : 4,600 30.0 25,0 54,000 $36,000 130,060
UTAH 173 210 24,0 © ar,o0 5,626 5,040 5,940
vA ist 180 35.0 35,0 5,425 6,300 VAIS
WASH t 2,200 43.0 30.0 119,600 94,600 138,000
WA 173 10 34,0 39,0 297 340 340
wl 1/3 33 38 43.0 38.0 1,188 1,634 3,420
WYO 1/3 275 267 22,0 © 23.6 7150 5,874 6,785
us z 39,015 43,572 36.9 3549 142474706 1,608,897 1,870,211

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


STATE AVERAGE 3 1979 1980
2 1969-78 & t
: :
PERCENT
ALA 2 77 89 68
ARIZ : wa ad 63
ARK 2:0 72 ag 39
CALIF ¢ 72 86 90
COLO 3 74 86 m4
CONN oo: #77 5a 74
OEL 275 9a oT
FLA 2 Ba 85 78
GA 2 76 8B 55
IDAHO = 64 65 oT
TLL : 78 7a 68
IND + 84 88 To
TowA 3 76 88 68
KANS ot 75 90 4s
KY : 86 94 73
LA 2077 86 39
MAINE 3 82 79 82
MO : 7 65
MASS oo: 7a
MICH oo: (79
MINN 3 77
MISS 2 9
Mo z 69
MONT ¢ 62
NEBR 1

AVERAGE
1969976 ¢

2

~
o

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER 3 POOR TO FAIR 65=793 VERY POOR,

OROUGHT, 359493 EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35,

PRUNES AND PLUMS

1979-3 1980
3
t
PERCENT
63 95
Te 86
66 56
86 se
68 ae
90 7
mS 29
92 O11
BB a7
mS 93
87 7
11 70
90 53
83 aq
95 60
63 35
1 86
nm 8h
69
1
69
i’
74
60

Soe64s SEVERE

STATE ' PRODUCTION 1/
: TOTAL i TOTAL Tap
1 1978 i 1979 1980
1 TONS
+
IDAHO H 74500 7,500
MICH : 14,000 13,000
OREG : 26,000 32,000
WASH ' 15,000 21,000
us t 62,500 73,500
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS)4 TOTAL & STATES, 1978-600,
PAPAYAS-HAWATI
AREA : FRESH (UTILIZATION ~
MONTH TOTAL IN CROP : FORECAST
ane ena nm 1979: 1980 1960
1979 198 1979 : :
ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
UN 3,285 «3,085 2,370 2,050 3,452 4,000
RTH 3,305 2,960 2,390 '1,905 2,895 3,900
AG 3,215 21265 21876 3,200
SEP 3,285 2,285 2,762 4,300
oct 21975 1,910 3}931 4,100
Nov 24930 1,885 3,884 3,800

(CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-JUL

19,563 21,825

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B19

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO 2 PRODUCTION
r 3 t TND 3 ¥ ¥ IND ¢ 7 ? TND
2 1978 3 1979 2 1980s 1978: 1979 3 1980.4 1978 3 1979 3 1980
t 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
:
ALA : 544 502 420 50.9 61,0 40,0 16,800
ARIZ : so 45 48 115.0 115.0 105.0 5,040
ARK : 30 35 SB 5A40 = 60,0 35,0 2,030
281 260 260 «126.0 117.9 118.0 30,680
675 725 750 11040 127.0 120.0 90,000
17S 167 177 9660 74,0 13,098
370 360 350 52.0 45,0 45,750
1,500 1,550 1,300 50.0 40,0 52,000
39 ay 36 B70 87.0 3,132
10,730 10,610 11,130 11160 106.0 14191,030 1,356,080 1,202,000
IND : 5,900 5,930 67200 10840 98,0 637,200 664,160 607,600
Towa 3 12,700 12,800 13,200 11540 108.0 174607500 1,625,600 1,425,600
KANS : 1,500 1,470 1,250 102.0 85,0 153,000 171,990 106,250
Ky : 1,410 1,300 1,500 8540 89.0 119,850 132,600 120,000
at 320 590 49.0 2,773 2214 1,568
595 640 ©9740 82.0 57,230 58,905 52,480
2,500 2,050 81.0 90,0 194,400 237,500 220,500
6,060 5900 © 10440 93,0 643,760 606,000 548,700
110 105 $640 36.0 7,560 5,720 3,780
2,220 2,000 = 8740 45,0 191,400 228,660 90,000
5 6 72.0 75.0 360 385 a50
6,900 6,800 113.0 93,0 740,150 793,500 632,400
82 100 91.60 75.0 8, 64S 7,389 7,500
74 75 106.0 95,0 7,632 8,066 7,125
450 670 79.0 87.0 47,400 55,250 58,290
1,690 1,740 7640 65.0 121,600 128,440 113,100
290 300 79,0 50.0 19,987 22,040 15,000
3,630 3,850 105.0 112.0 379,050 417,450 431,200
75 75 6540 55.0 4,745 8,250 4,125
it 12 95,0 95.0 1,235 1,100 1,140
1,215 44230 © 98,0 82.0 113,050 115,425 100,860
509 S15 $5.0 47.0 90,720 24,205
2,850 2,200 6740 52.0 210,900 114,400
620 650 66.0 55.0 43,560 51,460 35,750
1,260 17350 10060 80,0 144,900 132,300 108,000
16 17-9040 93.0 1,440 1,504 1,561
vt wet
vA 615 61S 620 82,0 65.0 50,430 = 51,085 40, 300
WASH 6s 103 115 114.0 110.0 7,410 12,257 12,650
WeVA 58 so 60 77.0 738.0 4,466 4,543 4,680
wis 2,750 2,960 3,200 9840 101.0 269,500 306,940 323,200
wo 34 29 32008140 89,0 2,754 2,523 2,848
us 70,275 70,984 71,423 100.8 93.0 7,086,666 7,763,771 6,645,852

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


BARLEY: Barley production as of August 1, 1980 is forecast at 340 million bushels (7.40 million

metric tons), 3 percent more than the July 1 forecast. Production at this level is 10
percent less than the 1979 crop, 24 percent below the 1978 crop and the smallest barley crop
since 1974. Yield per acre is forecast at 46.2 bushels per acre, down 4.4 bushels from last
year's record yield of 50.6 bushels per acre.

Extremely dry weather in the major producing areas of North Dakota, South Dakota, and
Minnesota has resulted in low yield prospects. Yield in North Oakota is expected to be 27.0
bushels per acre compared with 46.0 bushels a year ago. In South Dakota yield is forecast at
29.0 bushels compared with 40.0 bushels last year. In Minnesota, the forecast of 40.0 bushels
compares with 53.0 bushels last year. Prospects in Montana improved and yield is now expected
to be 39.0 bushels per acre, the same as last year. Crop development in the Great Plains is
running ahead of normal. Harvest is now underway.

In California, harvest was nearly complete by August 1. Good yields were reported on both
dryland and irrigated fields. In Washington and Idaho, moisture and growing conditions have
been good and record yields of 65.0 bushels per acre are expected. Harvest is just getting
underway. In Colorado, over one-third of the acreage has been harvested which is near normal
progress.

ALL WHEAT: U.S. producers expect to harvest a record high 2.32 billion bushels (63.3 million
metric tons) of all types of wheat in 1980, 9 percent more than last year. In=
creased acreage more than offset lower yield prospects.

Nationally, the average yield per harvested acre is expected to be 32.5 bushels compared
with 34.2 bushels last year. About 71.6 million acres (29.0 million hectares) will be harvested
for grain. This is 89 percent of the acreage planted. Last year 87 percent of the planted
acreage was harvested for grain.

WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at a record high 1.87 billion bushels (50.9

million metric tons), 16 percent more than last year and 1 percent more than the
July 1, 1986 forecast. The increased production over 1979 resulted from larger acreage
harvested this year.

The expected yield of 35.9 bushels per harvested acre is down 1 bushel from 1979 but up 0.5
bushel from last month's forecast. Growers have harvested or expect to harvest 52.0 million
acres (21.1 million hectares).

Winter wheat combining in the 15 major producing States for the week ending August 3, 1980
reached 89 percent complete, slightly ahead of the progress of harvest a year earlier. Cutting
was complete as far north as Illinois and South Dakota. Hot, dry conditions through the growing
season in Montana caused rapid crop development and harvesting was 40 percent complete on
August 3 compared with 10 percent last year and the average of 25 percent.

DURUM WHEAT: Durum wheat production is forecast at 100 million bushels (2.73 million metric

tons), 11 percent more than the July 1, 1980 forecast but 6 percent below last
year. The increase from last month's forecast is the result of an increase in expected yields
which more than offset losses in acreage for harvest.

Area for harvest is now estimated at 4.85 million acres (1.96 million hectares), compared
with 3.93 million acres (1.59 million hectares) in 1979 and 4.02 million acres (1.63 million
hectares) in 1978. Acres for harvest decreased from July 1 in Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota
and South Dakota as the result of drought conditions that have persisted through the growing
season. .

An average yield of 20.7 bushels per harvested acre is expected, 2.6 bushels above the
July 1, 1980 forecast but 6.4 bushels below 1979.

Adequate topsoil moisture was reported in only a small portion of the important durum
producing area of North Dakota during the critical filling stage of development. North Dakota
durum was 4 percent harvested as of August 3.

QTHER SPRING WHEAT: The August 1 forecast of 1980 production of spring wheat other than durum is

355 million bushels (9.65 million metric tons), 17 percent less than last
year and 6 percent less than last month's forecast. Decreased acreage for harvest resulting
from drought is primarily responsible for the reduction in prospects. Growers expect to harvest
14.8 million acres (5.97 million hectares) or 2 percent less than last year and 6 percent less
than the July 1, 1980 forecast. -Yield prospects of 24.0 bushels per acre compare with 28.2
bushels in 1979 and the July 1 forecast of 24.1 bushels.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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ALL OTHER HAY

STATE AREA HARVESTEN t YIELD & PRODUCTION
z ? ¢ TAOS + t INO ¢ : : AND
: 1978 = 1979 3 19Ay § 9978 ¢ 1979 2 1980 ¢ 1978 2 1979 ¢ 1980
1,000 ACRES TONS T,000 TONS
ALA : 650 630 625 41,70 1.80 1,70 1,408 1,134 1,063
ARIZ : 38 37 3B 2.20 2.30 2.30 8a 85 87
ARK : 72s 740 760 1.65 1,85 1,50 1,196 1,369 1,140
CALIF 3 S20 S10 B10 1.95 1.95 1,95 1,014 995 995
coLo : 725 780 785 £40 1.50 1.45 1,015 1¢170 Ved 3R
CONN : 66 6a 65 1.90 1,90 139 22 124
oeL 7 1s 1a 14 1.65 1.65 26 26 23
FLA t 235 235 240 2.40 2.00 470 49a 480
6A ' a7s aso aso 2.60 2,00 950 1,170 900
IDAHO 299 300 290 1.65 2.20 658 a5 638
TLL : aas 4aa0 a35 2.00 1.90 BoA 880 827
INO 3 ass 400 430 2.05 2.05 956 902 age
IOWA : $80 510 S00 2.55 2.30 1,421 1,301 1,150
KANS 2 1,240 1,230 1,230 1,60 1610 1,736 2,214 1,353
ky : 1,410 1,390 14390 1.80 1.75 2,538 2,502 2,433
LA t 347 302 350 2.20 1.80 69a 7196 430
MAINE = 200 195 200 1679 1670 a10 332 3ao
MD 2 180 AML 170 2.25 2.10 396 385 357
MASS 2 90 90 90 2.25 2.10 194 203 159
MICH t 290 290 290 2.10 2.00 SSt 449 San
MINN : 920 860 830 2,00 1.20 1,656 1720 996
MISS : 695 660 630 1.95 1.80 1,193 1,287 1,238
MO z 2,900 24900 2,780 1,60 1620 4,495 4,640 3,336
MONT 3 1,170 1,120 1,000 1.30 1.35 1,638 1,456 1,350
NERR a 2,150 25050 2.950 1.10 9.90 2,258 2,255 1,Aa5
NEV t 260 280 aos 1.25 1.25 3e5 350 369
NH 3 2 73 m3 1.90 1.80 133 139 134
NJ r 6a 66 6s 2220 1680 128 145 117
N MEX : 70 T4 78 1230 1.10 6a 9 86
nY : 1.450 1.4190 1.360 1.90 1.95, 2,683 2,679 2,652
ne : 343 338 345 1.60 1.55 566 sal $35
© DAK : 1,539 1,500 16500 1.30 0.75 20295 1,950 1,425
OHIO : 930 880 880 2.20 2.20 24096 1,936 1,936
OKLA 3 1,230 1,400 1,250 1.70 1220 1,845 2380 1,500
ORES 2 630 645 6a5 1.60 1665 1,074 1,032 1,064
PA : 1,095 ¥e1l0 1,110 1.80 1.75 1,971 1,998 1,943
a1 3 3 & 1.70 1.80 % 10 MW
sc 3 222 215 205 2010 1,90 aaa ase 390
S$ DAK ¢ 2,100 2.100 2.020 1615 9.70 2,625 2,415 1,014
TENN z 1,145 Let3S 4,140 1.55 1.35 1,660 1,759 1,539
TEX ? 26150 2-150 2-130 2.40 1,60 3,548 5,160 3,408
UTAH z 12a v23 125 1.80 1.80 217 221 2e5
vT : 350 350 350 1.70 1,80 648 sus 630
vA : 670 885 890 1.70 1,50 1,392 1,505 1,335
WASH : 373 350 385 1.85 1,80 674 48 639
Wova : 505 500 505 1.20 1,40 758 600 707
wis 3 900 930 aso 2.50 2,10 2,025 2,325 1,785
wro t 670 655 665 1.25 1.20 804 819 798
vs t 33,858 33,643 32,994 1,73 1,46 55,609 58,297 48,329

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


JULY WEATHER SUMMARY

The heat wave, which began in June, bore down on the eastern two-thirds of the Nation for
most of July. Ouring the last 10 days of the month, the ridge of high pressure aloft
responsible for the abnormally long period of not weather moved westward and allowed cooler air
to come into the northern Plains. Although precipitation was heavy in some areas, high
temperatures put a tremendous demand on moisture supplies. The central and southern Plains and
parts of the South suffered losses in human lives as well as crops, poultry, and livestock.

July began with a continuation of the severe heat wave affecting much of the United States.
During the first week of the month, only the Northwest, the Great Lakes area, and the Northeast
were spared the heat. Temperatures ranged from 9 to 11 degrees above normal in Oklahoma,
Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas, and well-above-normal temperatures extended throughout the
Plains and the South. Frontal systems moving through the northern tier of States became nearly
stationary from New England through the Ohio Valley and into the central Plains. Very welcome
rain--up to 2 inches--fell through northern Kansas and Missouri and through the lower Ohio
Valley.

The hot weather spread eastward and intensified in the central Plains during the second week
of July. New England remained cool, but the Southwest and all other areas east of the Rockies
were hot. Average temperatures in Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas ranged from 12 to 15 degrees
above normal, The heat edged into the southern fringes of the Corn Belt ana stressea corn as
it began its sensitive pollination stage. Some heavy showers fell in parts of northeastern
Towa, but most of the State had little or no rain. Heavy showers fell in the upper Ohio Valley
and the central Appalachians. The central Gulf Coast and the Southeast recorded scattered light
to moderate showers.

Record breaking heat continued in the eastern two-thirds of the Nation during the third week
of the month, but some cooling began from the northern Plains by the end of the week. The ridge
of high pressure associated with the hot weather showed signs of backing westward. The averages
for the week were still 12 to 15 degrees above normal in the central Plains. Temperatures over
100 degrees or in the high nineties cominated much of the western Corn Belt on most days.
Showers dotted the central and northern Rockies through the Great Lakes ta New England and down
the East Coast. A disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico spread heavy showers through the eastern
Gulf Coast States.

The pattern of hot weather did change early in the fourth week. Cooler air moved into the
northern Plains and pushed eastward and southward. The wedge of hot weather moved westward and
100 degree temperatures extended as far north as the State of Washington. Texas and the South-
west saw little relief from the hot weather. A slow-moving frontal system moved to a position
from New England to the Texas Panhandle and triggered some heavy rain. A disturbance from the
Gulf of Mexico moved through the Southeast. The heaviest rain fell from the Mississippi Delta
to southern Michigan and in the upper Ohio Valley. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain down the
East Coast and in the South.

Ouring the last 4 days of the month, hot weather again pushed northward through the Plains,
but by the last day, another surge of cool air began to move into the western portions of the
Midwest. A lack of moisture in the air kept rain to small amounts, although some isolated heavy
thunderstorms did occur. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility). .

(CROP _DEVELOPMENT

Crop development was generally ahead of the usual progress expected by August 1 because of
the early planting season and hot weather. Extremely high temperatures together with below
Normal rainfall in much of the Nation stressed crops and livestock. Pastures deteriorated.

Corn developed rapidly during July. At the beginning of August, the crop rated fair to good
throughout most of the Corn Belt but poor to fair in other areas. Almost 90 percent of the crop
reached the silking stage by August 3, and 28 percent progressed to the dough stage. In the
South, much of the crop was denting. Harvest gradually spread throughout the Gulf Coast States
in late July and by the end of the month ranged from 10 percent in Alabama to 22 percent in
Texas. In the Southeast, where hot, dry conditions severely stressed the crop, many fields were
harvested for silage rather than grain.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS* |
=f : August 1, 1980

1 Good to excellent
[3 Poor to fair

Very poor

(Ed Severe drought

AS REPORTED BY
HA Extreme drought SPONDE!

CROP COARES

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. ESCS 256-80(8

ID RANGE FEED CONDITIONS
AUGUST 1,1979

5 6000 t0 excellent r
EE} Poor to fair - 2!
ZZ. very poor
GBD severe drought AS REPORTED oY
GBD Extreme drought CROP CORRESPONDENTS
* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. ESCS 128-79(B)

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED : YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
: t 3 TRO fy 3 TND ¢ : 7 INO
2 1978 3 1979 3 1980 § 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980 + 1978 $ 1979 3 1980
t 17000 ACRES RUSHELS 1,050 SUSRELS
t
ALA : 34 28 320-3760 35.0 1,258 1,036 1,120
ARIZ t 73 Tz 72-7840 80.0 5,694 S,112 5,760
ARK : 200 176 220 6040 45.0 12,000 10,912 9,900
CALIF = ¢ 185 160 140-7140 74,0 13,135 12,000 10,360
coLo : 280 280 2703140 33.0 6,680 10,640 8,910
GA t a3 a9 76 29.0 35.0 1,247 1,941 2,660
TL t 68 15 62 68.0 55.0 4,624 5,100 3,410
IND : 18 15 13 65.0 52.0 975 825 676
TOWA $ 2a 19 20 (7540 64,0 1,600 1,330 4,280
KANS. z 4,020 3,720 3,900 52.0 37,0 209,040 256,680 144,300
KY ’ 23 3a 27 6240 58.0 1,426 2,312 1,566
LA t 17 18 18 34,0 34,0 578 684 612
MISS : at 33 35-3840 40.0 798 1,482 1,400
MO 3 850 720 a7o = 80,0 52.0 68,000 59,040 45,240
NEBR : 1/830 1,830 1,930 75,0 53.0 137,250 144,570 102,290
NMEX 3 267 258 210 © 4640 50,0 12,282 13,416 10,500
nc : 86 a3 75 52.0 49.0 4,472 4,399 3,675
OKLA t 485 515 500 36.0 32.0 17,460 23,175 16,000
PA wt 7 5 79.0 525 350
sc : 15 14 16 32,0 25,0 480 532 400
3 0AK 340 302 239 «50,0 25.0 17,000 13,590 5,750
TENN : 2a 29 25 5140 50,0 1,224 1,479 1,250
TEX ’ 4,650 4,500 3,800 99.0 46.0 227,850 243,000 174,800
va : at 12 it 47.0 44,0 S17 588 48a
us 413,561 12,949 12,557 SSet 40.0 747,790 814,308 _5$2,693

1/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1979 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 6.65 billion bushels (169 million
metric tons), 9 percent less than the July 1 forecast and 14 percent below last
year's record crop.

Yield prospects dropped in most areas during the month and as of August 1 the U.S. average
yield is forecast at 93.0 bushels per acre, a decrease of 6.3 bushels from July 1 and 16.4
bushels less than last year's record yield of 109.4 bushels.

The area now expected to be harvested for grain is 71.4 million acres (28.9 million hec-
tares), down 1.90 million acres from the July 1 estimate but 439 thousand acres more than har-
vested for grain in 1979. The forecast of acreage for harvest as grain was reduced from July 1
in 10 States, primarily because of unusually hot, dry weather during July.

In general, the season started favorably with oood field conditions during planting ano
favorable growing conditions in June. Although there were good stands reported in most areas of
the Corn Belt, the extreme hot weather in July affected the crop and potential yields declined.

Most major Corn Belt States, with the exception of the four Northern States, posted substan-
tial decreases in expected yields from last month. Missouri showed the largest drop, off 37
bushels, followed by Kansas, off 22 bushels, Nebraska off 13 bushels, Indiana off 11 bushels,
Illinois off 10 bushels, Iowa off 3 bushels and South Dakota off 2 bushels.

Rain in much of the Northern Corn Belt during the month improved conditions. Michigan showed
a 6 bushel per acre increase. Ohio was up 4 bushels, Wisconsin 4 bushels, and Minnesota 3
bushels,

Crop development in most areas is running ahead of normal. Harvest is in progress in Georgia
and Texas.

SORGHUM: Production of grain sorghum is forecast at 553 million bushels (14.0 million metric

tons), down 32 percent from last year and 26 percent less than the 1978 crop. If the
August 1 forecast is realized, this will be the smallest crop since 1964. The low production
forecast is attributed to the hot, dry weather during June and July which lowered yield expecta-
tions and reduced acreage intentions for grain. Acreage to be harvested for grain, forecast at
12,6 million acres (5.08 million hectares), is down 3 percent from last year's 12.9 million acres
(5,24 million hectares). Yield per acre is forecast at 44.0 bushels compared with last year's
record high of 62.9 bushels. Based on conditions as of August i, yield prospects in Texas are 8
bushels less than last year, while Kansas and Nebraska yields are down 32 bushels and 26 bushels,
respectively.

The extremely hot, dry weather since mid-June throughout the major sorghum producing States
of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and Nebraska has resulted in slow growth and reouceo yield
prospects. Most irrigated fields have been under stress from the continuous hot temperatures
which reduced the effectiveness of irrigation. Many non-irrigated fields will be salvageable
only as hay or silage.

Texas arain sorghum harvest was 56 percent complete at the beginning of August compared with
35 percent last year and the average of 41 percent. Fields with short stands and light heads
were common across the State.

In Kansas and Nebraska, moisture reserves were depleted and the crop was under stress the
end of July.

OATS: Production of oats is forecast at 44) million bushels (6.40 million metric tons), 18 per-

cent less than last year and 26 percent below 1978. The 2 percent decline from the July 1
forecast results from lower acreage for harvest as grain, now estimated at 8.86 million acres
(3.59 million hectares), down 10 percent from the 1979 harvested acreage. Yiela is expected to
average 49.7 bushels per acre com ared with 54.4 bushels per acre a year ago.

Hot, dry weather in the Dakotas and Minnesota caused the crop to mature early. Lower yield
prospects caused many areas to be cut for hay. Iowa, Michigan, and New York showed higher yields
as harvest proceeded. Dry weather proviced good harvesting conditions from Texas north through
the Plains States.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 AD CROP REPORTING SOARD, ESCS, USLA


RICE

STATE AREA HARVESTED YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
t 3 ¥ t IND ¢ + z TND
1978 1979 kK 1978 31979 1980 3 1978 2 1979 2 1989
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 17000 CAT
ARK 16090.0 1413060 14290.0 8450 4,359 300 = 48,505 «= 49,157 = 55, 870
CALIF 490.0 522.0 565.0 5,220 6,450 5,500 25,578 = 334669 31,075
LA 1/ 587.0 528.0 607.0 $4820 3,919 3,700 22,925 20,643 22,959
M198 215.0 207.0 235.0 4,250 4,050 4,000 9,438 8,384 9,200
40 30.0 35,0 45,0 4,330 35,810 4,000 1,298 1,333 1,800
TEX 558.0 557.0 568.0 4,700 4,220 4,400 26,226 23, 481 25,872
vsil/ 2,970.0 24979. 3,330.0 4,484 4,588 «4, 3867 «133,179 136,667 146,076

1/ REVISED 1980 PLANTED ACREAGE IN THOUSAND ACRES: 615.0 FOR LA AND 3,360.0 FOR U S.

RYE
STATE AREA HARVESTED : YIELO 3 PRODUCTION

180 ¢ ? 7 IND ¢ t t Two

19h0 3 1978 ¢ 1979 = 1980 ¢ 1976 1979 3 1940

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS T,000 BUSRELS

coLo 5 s 5 21.0 29,0 25,0 105 100 125
DEL 4 4 3 25.0 24,0 26,0 100 % 78
Ga 110 110 105 23.0 21,0 21.0 2.530 2,310 21205
TU 16 wv 16 23.0 23.0 23.0 368 BL 368
IND 9 A 8 25.0 26,0 27,0 225 208 216
Tawa 5 5 4 5000 29,0 24.0 150 145 112
KANS 15 18 20 21.0 28.0 23.0 315 Soa noo
ky 4 a 3 2740 24,0 26.0 108 96 78
Mp 9 9 6 50.0 29.0 34,0 270 261 272
MICH 25 2s 23 2440 25.0 600 625 S78
MINN 98 1 73 24.0 23.0 2,352 20275 LeeTd
i) 7 8 5 2540 24.0 175 yaa 120
NEBR 83 50 50 19,0 19,0 1,007 1,100 950
J iM 10 9 23,0 24.0 253 250 216
NY 9 10 9 3160 32.0 279 320 268
wc 20 20 20 23,0 22.0 460 460 4ao
OAK 205 1a5 7 31,0 190 6,355 S$, 160 1,330
DKIN 8 8 7 30,0 33,0 2a aan ast
OKLA 30 35 32 19,0 21.0 570 910 o72
OREG 1 7 6 25,0 26.0 178 168 156
PA 16 v7 13 32.6 3540 S12 459 455
sc 38 31 29 22.0 23.0 836 651 667
$ DAK 220 aio 430 31,0 26.0 820 6,300 3,380
TENN 2 19,0 38
TEX 29 ev 26 14,0 19.0 406 513 494
VA 17 16 wy 25.0 24.0 425 Baa 286
WASH 3 21.0 63
wIS 7 16 12 21.0 23.4 23.0 357 See 276
WYO 3 3 3 22.0 . 20,0 66 Si 69
us 995 949 700 26.3 25.9 23.4 26,160 24,549 16,109

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION (Gee

Released: Economics, Statistics, &
August 11, 1980 cS, i
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 2.32 billion bushels (63.3 mil-
lion metric tons), virtually unchanged from the July 1 forecast but 9
percent more than last year. The 90 percent conficence interval for
this production forecast is 2.25 to 2.40 billion bushels. The winter
wheat crop is now forecast at 1.87 billion bushels, up 1 percent from
the July 1 forecast. The durum wheat production forecast is up ll per-
cent while other spring wheat is down 6 percent from a month earlier.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye and rice) is expected to total 70.3 million met-
tic tons in 1980, up 8 percent 1979.

CORN production is forecast at 6.65 billion bushels (169 million metric tons), 9
percent less than the July 1 forecast and 14 percent below last year's
record crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production is
5.90 to 7.39 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 553 million bushels (14.0 million metric
tons), down 32 percent from last year's production.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is expected to
total 197 million metric tons, down 16 percent from last year's record
high 234 million metric tons.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.88 billion bushels (51.2 million metric tons),
17 percent smaller than the 1979 crop. The 90 percent confidence inter-
val for this production is 1.72 to 2.04 billion bushels.

HAY production is forecast at 124 million tons (113 million metric tons), down 15
percent from the record high crop of 1979. Pasture and range condition
on August 1 averaged 60 percent, 24 points below a year ago.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 12.8 million bales, 12 percent less than
1979. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production is 11.0 to
14.6 million bales.

CrPr 2-2 (8-80) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at 3.70 billion pounds (1.68 million metric tons), down 7
———~ percent from the 3.98 billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) produced in 1979.
Yield per acre is forecast at 2448 pounds, down 163 pounds from last year. Estimated acreage for
harvest in 1980 totals 1.51 million acres (612 thousand hectares), 1 percent less than in 1979.

Southeastern production is forecast at 2.32 billion pounds, down 8 percent from a year earli-
er. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 814 thousand acres, slightly below 1979. Expected yield
of 2846 pounds per acre is 239 pounds below the 1979 yield. Florida's peanut crop is in fair
condition. Digging is expected to begin during August. Hot and dry conditions have put much of
the Georgia crop under stress, but wide use of irrigation has lessened damage.

The Virginia-North Carolina area is expected to produce 725 million pounds, 14 percent more
than last year's crop. Prospects are fair to mostly good at this time. The indicated yield of
2696 pounds per acre is up 332 pounds from the 1979 yield.

The Southwest crop is forecast at 656 million pounds, 20 percent less than 1979 production.
Acreage for harvest is estimated at 428 thousand acres, 2 percent below 1979. Yield per acre is
expected to average 1534 pounds, down 343 pounds from the previous crop. The hot, dry weather
during July reduced prospects.

COTTON: Production of all cotton is expected to total 12.8 million bales, 12 percent less than

in 1979. Upland production is forecast at 12.7 million bales, down 13 percent from last
year and American-Pima is forecast at 99.7 thousand bales, up 1 percent from 1979. Cottonseed
production for 1980, based on a three year average lint seed ratio, is forecast at 5.01 million
tons (4.55 million metric tons), 13 percent below 1979.

Cotton acreage planted is estimated at 14,4 million acres (5.81 million hectares), 3 percent.
above 1979 plantings.

Growers expect to harvest 13.3 million acres (5.40 million hectares) of cotton in 1980 com-
pared with 12.8 million acres (5.19 million hectares) harvested last year, an increase of 4 per-
cent. Average yield per harvested acre is forecast at 461 pounds, 87 pounds below last year's
record high 548 pounds.

Production in the Southeastern States--Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina--
is forecast at 618 thousand bales, 3 percent below 1979. Plant growth has been restricted by low
soil moisture. Plants are fruiting but shedding is evident in many drought stressed fields.

The Delta States--Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee--expect to harvest
2.96 million bales in 1980 compared with 3.06 million bales in 1979. Stands are good but plant
growth has been restricted by dry weather. Plants in some drought stressed fields are shedding
fruit. 8011 worm populations are building and growers are maintaining regular spray schedules.

Texas and Oklahoma production is forecast at 4.69 million bales, 22 percent below 1979. Har-
vest is at a peak in the Lower Rio Grande Valley and Coastal Bend and getting underway in the
Austin area. Hot, dry weather matured the crop earlier than normal. Dryland cotton in the High
Plains and Oklahoma is suffering from lack of moisture and high temperatures and a sizable acre-
age has been abandoned. Irrigated acreage is showing good progress.

Upland production in Arizona, California and New Mexico is expected to total 4.44 million
bales compared with 4.79 million bales last year. Hot weather during July enhanced plant growth
and fruit set. Insects are increasing but populations remain below normal.

The Bureau of the Census reports 199,606 running bales ginned to August 1 compared with 72,294
bales ginned to the same date in 1979, and 143,791 bales ginned before August in 1978.

HAY: All hay production in 1980 is forecast at 124 million tons (113 million metric tons), a 15

percent decrease from the record high production of 1979, and a 12 percent decline from
1978. Acreage intended for harvest totals 59.9 million acres (24.2 million hectares), down 2
percent from a year earlier. All hay yield is forecast at 2.08 tons per acre compared with 2.39
tons in 1979 and 2,31 tons in 1978.

Production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures is forecast at 76.1 million tons (69.1 million
metric tons), 13 percent less than a year a ago and 12 percent below the 1978 crop. Acreage for
harvest totals 26.9 million acres (10.9 million hectares), down 2 percent from last year and 3
percent from 1978. Average yield is indicated at 2.83 tons per acre compared with last year's
record high 3.18 tons and 3.13 tons two years aga.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Minnesota spring wheat development as of August 3 was ahead of normal with 95 percent
turning ripe compared with only 38 percent in 1979 and a normal of 80 percent. Dry weather
provided ideal harvest conditions in the Northern Plains. South Dakota spring wheat harvest is
81 percent complete compared with 13 percent in 1979 and a normal of 46 percent. Thirty-eight
percent of the spring wheat in North Dakota was swathed or combined compared with 1 percent in
1979 and a normal of 15 percent.

RICE: Rice production for 1980 is forecast at a record high 146 million hundredweight (6.63 mil-
lion metric tons), 7 percent more than last year's production of 137 million hundredweight
(6.20 million metric tons). The larger production results from increased harvested acreage.

Nationally, 3.33 million acres (1.35 million hectares) are expected to be harvested comparea
with 2.98 million acres (1.21 million hectares) for 1979. Rice acreage for harvest has increased
from last year in all six rice producing States.

This year's yield forecast of 4387 pounds is 201 pounds less than last year's average. Rice
heading reached 45 percent in the five major States as of August 3, 1980. Heading was most ad-
vanced in Texas with 100 percent and Louisiana with 80 percent. Harvest is underway in Texas and
is progressing rapidly. In Louisiana, 20 percent of the crop has been harvestec compared with 10
percent in 1979,

RYE: Production of rye in 1980 is forecast at 16.2 million bushels (411 thousand metric tons),
34 percent less than last year but 3 percent above the July 1, 1980 forecast. Both reauced
acreage and poor yields contributed to the production decline from last year.

Growers have harvested or expect to harvest 700 thousand acres (283 thousand hectares) for
grain, 26-percent less than a year ago. This is 27 percent of the planted acres compared with 31
Percent harvested for grain last year. A yield of 23.1 bushels per acre is forecast, down 2.8
bushels from last year. Prospects indicate lower yields then last year in Minnesota, Nebraska,
North and South Dakota, the same as last year in Georgia, and higher yields in South Carolina.
South Dakota rye harvest was 95 percent complete as of August 3, 1980 compared with 30 percent a
year earlier and a normal of 78 percent.

SOYBEANS: Soybean production as of August 1 is forecast at 1.88 billion bushels (51.2 million

metric tons). This is 17 percent less than last year's record production, but 1 per-
cent above the 1978 crop. Yield is forecast at 27.4 bushels per acre, down 4.8 bushels from the
1979 record and 2.1 bushels below 1978, Area for harvest at 68.6 million acres (27.8 million
hectares) is down 3 percent from last year, but 8 percent more than in 1978.

Expected yields are down from last year in all East North Central States except Wisconsin
where the forecast is the same as in 1979. Yields expected on August 1 show a 1.5 bushel decline
in Michigan, a 2.0 bushel reduction in Ohio and Indiana, and a 3.5 bushel drop in lilinois. The
Illinois yield is forecast at 35.0 bushels. All West North Central States are showing declines
from last year ranging from 1.0 bushel in Minnesota to 10.5 bushels in Missouri. The yield fore-
cast for Iowa at 36.0 bushels is showing a 2.0 bushel decline. Nebraska yield is off 7.0 bushels
from last year, North and South Dakota off 9.0 bushels and Kansas off 9.5 bushels from last year.

All South Central States are showing reductions in yield from last year--Arkansas at 18.0
bushels reflects at 10.0 bushel decline, and the Mississippi yield at 21.0 bushels is 8.0
bushels below last year. Decreases from last year in other States range from 2.0 bushels in
Texas to 6.0 bushels in Oklahoma and Tennessee,

All Atlantic Coast States are also showing decreases in yield from last year, ranging from
0.5 bushel in North Carolina to 8.0 bushels in Georgia.

FLAXSEED: Flaxseed production this year is forecast at 7.06 million bushels (179 thousand metric

tons), down 48 percent from 1979 and 32 percent -below 1978. Acreage for harvest at
763 thousand acres (309 thousand hectares) is down 25 percent from last year and 9 percent below
1978. The yield per harvested acre forecast at 9.3 bushels is down 4.0 bushels from last year
and 3.2 bushels below 1978.

North Dakota with 47 percent of the U.S. acreage for harvest is expecting a yield of 7.0
bushels per acre, down 5.5 bushels from last year. South Dakota growers expect to harvest 11.0
bushels per acre, down 3.0 bushels from 1979. The Minnesota yield is forecast at 12.0 bushels
per acre, down 2.5 bushels from last year. Harvest of the Texas crop was completed by August 1
with yield averaging 6.5 bushels per acre, down 2.5 bushels from last year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-ll CROP REPORTING BGARD, ESCS, USDA


SUMMER POTATOES

STATE, AREA HARVESTED
3 % 3
1978 ¢ 1979 3

YIELD 2 PRODUCTION
t IND + ? t IND

7
1978 ¢ 1979 f 1980 8 1978 2 4979 ¢ 1980
Cat

1,000 ACRES Tr000- twr

ALA 8.0 9,0 9.5 150 170 85 1,200 16530 807
CALIF 7.9 767 7.66 360 350 360 2,84q 27695 2,736
Coun 6.8 609 5.8 255 275 275 1,734 1,898 1595
oEL 5.3 4.8 5.3 210 220 210 1,113 14056 1,113
TL 1.8 169 168 200 235 190 360 4aa7 342
IND 2.0 1.8 1.5 170 160 160 340 288 240
IMwa 1.5 11 1.5 200 210 220 300 2st 330
MD 1.5 1.5 41.5 150 165 175 225 248 263
MICH 8,3 Bb a3 17s 189 185 1,453 49508 1,536
MINN 3 7.0 6.3 5.4 280 285 280 1,960 16796 1,512
NEBR 172 1.8 165 1.3 160 180 160 288 270 208
Nod 3 B.2 8.5 8.2 255 250 250 2,091 2,125 2,050
N MEX 3 3.8 aa 3.5 205 275 180 779 1,210 630
NC : 4,0 3.9 3.8 125 120 115 500 468 437
OHIO 1/3 1.6 1,4 104 190 210 200 304 294 280
TENN 1/3 a4 4,3 4 90 90 90 396 387 369
TEX : 11.0 10.9 720 210 240 150 2,310 2,616 1,050
vA : 27,0 24.5 19.0 110 130 100 2,970 3,165 1,900
TOTAL ' 111.9 109,0 96.5 189 205 180 21,167 22,292 17,398

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SWEETPOTATGES

STATE AREA HARVESTED A PRODUCTION
3 ? TNO = t 3 TND
1978 1980 = 1976 = 1979 1980

1,000 CAT

ALA 100 110 90 550 627 495
ARK 19 1s 1s 126 120 113
CALIF 160 170 195 1,392 1,632 1,395
BA + 110 115 140 660 690 550
fw : 95 95 90 2,660 2,565 2,250
Mo lot 155 160 224 217 208
HIss 88 ae a6 792 792 73
NJ 110 115 140 ake 311 297
nC 140 120 125 5,160 4,920 4,750
sc 105 100 90 252 260 2e5
TE nk 109 105 3s 260 290 as?
TRY 110 125 70 1,045 1,175 64a
vA 3 140 130 125 854 767 488
is 2 BS] 115" 108 14,301 14,390 12,403

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ORY EDIBLE BEANS uv

CROP AND STATE t. AREA HARVESTED YIELD 2 eRoDUCT EON
: ? 7 ¥ cee rs 7 T Tw
14976: 979 1978 11979 1 1980 $1978 t 3979 31980.
= 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 17006 CHT
LARGE LIMA BEANS 3
CALIF 2 29,0 27,0 1,580 1,930 asy sea 600
BABY LIMA BEANS 2
CALL 2 2s, 29.0 26050 2,200 Sie 650 380
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS a
CaLTe 2 109.0 1,450 1,580 2,353 2,350 2,550
ALL DRY EDIALE BEANS y
CALIF a 153A 1,720 35520 3,530
coto a 900 a10 1,593 1,995,
IDAHO z 1,630 1,850 2,060 3,043
KANS z 4,200 1,000 170 aia
MICH t 1,150 1,400 4, R60 720
MINN 3 1,610 1,500 362 736
MONT : 4,500 1,800 17s 198,
Nese ' 1,450,600 2,100 2,400
Ny 1 1,200 80 Sot
N paK : 1,380 1,418 2,280
UTAH : 890 32 35
wasn 3 1,900 703 892
Wyo 1 1,900 532 soa
us z1a8iye 1,457 20,665 234199

1/ EXCLUDES REANS GROWN FUR GARDEN SEED,

ORY EDIBLE PEAS Vv
STATE AREA HARVESTED. A YIELD q PRODUCTIDK
t THOT T T—Tw0-F T ee Oy
1978 1979: _39A0 t 1978 t 1979 £ 4960 f 4976 t _s979't say
T,000 ACRES BOUNDS 1,000 CT
TOAHO ot 82.0 51,0 6160 14830 1,380 1,850 1-501 Toa 1,129
WASH 312000 95.0 70.0 44750 1,570 1,890 2,100 16335 1,260
us 202.0 136.0 13160 1/783 1,499 1820 3,601 2,059 2,389
17 EXCLUDES ROTH WRINKLED SEED PEAS AND AUSTRIAN INTER
PEAS,
MINT O14
STATE AREA HARVESTED FOR OIL. £ YiELp 1 PAQDUETION
7 THD § 7 TINO v 7 TAD
19761 1979 t__—t8d t 2074 ¢ f979 4 1080 b 4978 4 _4979 5 ___ 5980
1,000 ACRES Tes — Yy000 POUNDS
PEPPERMINT
TOAKO. 10.3 as 8.3 4s 59 62 e709 soz
IND ny 84 92 45 ye 3s 3e7 302
‘GREG 51,0 se sa 5a 3,306 2.786
WASH 1al0 47 60 89 ayi26 ago
wig 90 34 35 34 279 M5
vs 90,9 87 sz 53 5,728 4,713
PEARMIN:
104aKO. 40 56 62 70 aos eae
ND ae rt 38 32 194 186
MICH 4 3.8 39 uM 29 108 118
WASH 16,0 ct 14 a2 2,402 yaa
rr 2 aa 7 az a0 144 18s
us a 33a Yo 38 a1 3,204 1

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Soybeans rated fair to good in most of the Corn Belt, but poor in the central and southern
Plains, Missouri, much of the Delta and the Southeast. Nearly 80 percent of the crop had bloomed
by August 3 and 38 percent was setting pods. Progress was generally ahead of last year and the
average. In the southern Plains, development was slow with uneven pod filling.

Cotton condition was lowered by dry, hot weather. Fields developed rapidly with some squares
and early bolls dropping. By August 3, 72 percent of the crop was setting bolls with progress
ranging from 20 percent in Oklahoma to 99 percent in Georgia. Peak harvest spanned southern
Texas.

Winter wheat combining advanced to 89 percent complete by the beginning of August. Harvest
was completed in all States except California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Ohio, Oregon, and
Washington. Spring wheat harvest reached 23 percent complete, well ahead of last year's 2
percent and the 15 percent average. Progress ranged from 2 percent in Idaho to 81 percent in
South Dakota. Extreme heat and drought stimulated ripening and harvest got underway much earlier
than normal. In the northern Plains, many fields were plowed down, cut for hay, or grazed.

Grain sorghum heading reached 56 percent complete by the beginning of August, compared with
43 percent a year earlier. Harvest in Texas reached 56 percent, compared with 35 percent last
year. Many fields were being baled, cut for silage, or grazed because of poor grain prospects.
Hot, dry conditions caused fields to mature early and head weights were unusually low.

FEED GRAIN PRODUCTION DROPS SHARPLY

Production of the four feed grains (corn, sorhgum, oats and barley) is expected to total 197
million metric tons, down 16 percent from the record high 1979 production of 234 million metric
tons. Prospects for barley improved during July and the production forecast is up 3 percent from
last month. The forecast of corn production, which normally accounts for about 82 percent of the
feed grains, showed a 9 percent decline form last month and oats production declined 2 percent
from the July 1 forecast. The first forecast of sorghum for grain production is 32 percent
below last year's production.

FOGO GRAIN PRODUCTION RISES

Food grain production (wheat, rye and rice) in 1980 is forecast at 70.3 million metric tons,
8 percent more than last year. Winter wheat production at 50.9 million metric tons is up 16
percent and the rice production forecast of 6.63 million metric tons is 7 percent above a year
ago. Partially offsetting these increases are durum wheat, down 6 percent to 2.73 million
metric tons, and other spring wheat down 17 percent to 9.65 million metric tons. Rye production
at 411 thousand metric tons is down 34 percent.

U.S. FEED GRAINS PRODUCTION

‘AUGUST
‘TON (CHANGE FROM
1970 1968 1970 LAST FORECAST
——— MILLION METRIC TONS PERCENT
234 197 -16 --
‘a oe
=
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CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL WHEAT
STATE AREA HARVESTED £ YIELD PRODUCTION
r ? : THD = = = IND ¥ IND
: 1978: 1979 1980: 1978 : 1979 ¢ 1980 1978 1979 3 1980
= 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 1/3 65 95 300 26-0 26.0 26.0 1,690 2,470 7,800
ARIZ : 138 125 210 7000 76,43 75.0 94660 94500 15,750
ARK : 300 420 620 3740 35.0 39.0 11,100 18,700 31,980
CALIF 715 825 1,150 6ae1 70.5 74,3 45,625 58,200 85,500
coto 2,523 2,641 3,391 2364 26.6 31,4 59,052 70,183 106,392
ven 1/ 25 30 4s 3520 37.0 875 1,020 1,665
FLA 2/ 12 3660 432
120 160 600 32.0 35.0 3,840 5,600 21,000
19295 1,470 1,530 57.7 59.6 74,730 74,140 91,190
930 1,300 1,650 30.0 48.0 35,340 = 55,900 794200
BLS 945 1,100 39.0 49.0 31,785 5 53,900
45 72 95 31.0 36,0 0395 04 3,420
10,200 10,800 12,200 3020 34,0 306,000 410,400 414,800
195 290 350 3520 39.0 6,825 14,020 13,650
17 27 35 3640 28.0 o12 756 980
102 114 116 37,40 38,0 3,774 4,218 4,408
450 785 #ug 40,0 aa,o
MINN : 2,776 2,578 34169 33,6 30,9
MISs 1/ 65 w1S 250 51,0 31,0
“oO t B40 1,600 2,070 34,0 43.0
MONT g 4,840 5125 S130 30<2 22.7 2t.e
NEBR 2,550 2,550 34100 3240 34.0 37,0
NEV 26 er ae 5962 59.6 56.6
nJ 33 aL 46 36,0 36.0
N MEX 306 398 500 1669 20.0
ny 75 160 150 35.0 © 41,0 40.0
nc 180 240 300 33.0 3640 36.0
N OAK 9,585 97600 94770 29.8 26.3 16.6
ono 1/125 49320 1,350 39,0 48.0 98,0
OKLA 5,400 $4700 6,500 27,0 38,0 30.0
OREG 1,225 1,205 1,370 42,4 46,0 Stet
PA 245 202 aso 33,0 5160 38.0
sc 78 109 185 53,0 5360 35.0
S DAK 3,090 2,805 34380 21.4 21,4 16,4
TENN 220 295 aso 35.9 34,0 38.0
TEX 2,700 4,o0d 5200 20,0 30,0 25,0
UTAH 223 290 aaa 29.9 26,7 28,4
vA 155 180 205 35,0 35.0 35,0
WASH 2,910 2,980 3,110 44,9 39,6 48.4
WoVA 9 10 10 33,0 34.0 34,0
wIS 45 34 114 3a,7 40.0 36,5 1,560 2,162 4,164
*¥o 294 287 340 25.9 aaa 22.9 7,606 6,350 74100
us 56,942 62,600 71,627 31.6 54,2 32.5 1/797,528 2,14t,732 2,329,951

¥ pestiMATes FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978
ROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEARS

CROP AND STATE

PRODUCTION 1/

3 TOTAL TOTAL 3 TND
2 1978 1979 : 1980
? TONS
PEARS BARTLETT t
CALIF : 281,000 355,000 360,000
PEG : 55-500 85,000 62,000
WASH : 132,000 153,000 155,000
TOTAL : 468,500 593,000 $97,000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
CALIF : 74300 50,390 11,000
OREG : 467000 120,000 120,000
WASH : 114,900 93,000 100,000
TOTAL 217,200 223,300 231,000
ALL PEARS
CALIF 286,300 $65,300 371,000
cova 14950 4,600 4,600
con 1,900 1,800 1,600
wrod 13,900 13,000
wy 18,500 18,000
ORES 151,500 205,090 202
PA 3,306 2,800 3,700
UTAH Py600 5,000 3,900
wag 24e,000 246,000 255,000
vs 727,950 861,500 472,800
1/ TACLUDES UNHARVESTED PROUUCTION AUD EXCESS CULLAGE,
(TONS) US 1979"500,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
GRAPES
CROP AND STATE PRODUCTION 1/
TOTAL TOTAL IND
1978 1979 1980
TONS
GRAPES TAALE TYPE
CALIF 393,000 417,000 460,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE
CALIF 1,706,000 1,821,000 1,600,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE DRIED
CALIF 226,500 302,300
GRAPES RAISIN NOT ORIEO
CALIF 912,000 944,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE
CALIF 1,918,000 2,320,000 2,100,000
ALL GRAPES
ARIZ 14,300 13,500 12,400
ARK 8,200 8-200 8,300
CALIF 4,017,000 4,558,000 4,360,000
MICH 67,500 58,500 59,000
“0 3 3,300 4,500 5,200
NY 3 188,000 165,000 185,000
NC 6,800 5,800 6,000
oHTO 12,000 12,000 13,500
PA 3 57,500 55,500 56,000
WASH 3 187,000 102,800 127,000
OTHER STATES ays $,100 $7200 5,800
vs t 4,566,700 41989,000 4,834,200

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE

(TONS) U S$ 1978=248,900 (248,000 TONS

FRESH EQUIVALENT RAISIN TYPE IN CALIF LAID,
HARVESTED DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGE), 1979~300,
2/ DRIED BASIS,1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4,40

BUT NOT

TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FUR 1978 AND 4,55 TONS FOR 1979,
3/ FRESH EQUIVALENT OF DRIED AND NOT DRIED.

4/ GA AND SC

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980

B-22

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
ALFALFA & ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY ... B-12
APPLES, COMMERCIAL B-20
BARLEY .......005 B= 4
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE . . B-l4
CORN FOR GRAIN . B- 1
COTTON .... B-10
FLAXSEED B- 9
GRAPES .. B-22
HAY, B-11
HAY, 8-13
HOPS .. B-20
MINT B-14
OATS .. 8-3
OLIVES .......66 : B-21
PAPAYAS-HAWAII ...s.sesseesceveeeees B-19
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION ... B-19
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS A- 6
PEACHES ... B-21
PEANUTS FOR B-10
PEARS ......ceee B-22
PEAS, ORY EDIBLE . B14
POTATOES, SUMMER B-15
PRUNES & PLUMS . 8-19
RICE . B- 8
RYE... wenee 8- 8
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN . B- 2
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS .... 8-9
SUGARBEETS .......0.e005 B-18
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED . B-18
SWEETPOTATOES ... B-15
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND B-16
TOBACCO BY STATES ... B-18
US SUMMARY A- 3
WALNUTS .... B-21
WHEAT, BY CLASSES . B- 7
WHEAT, ALL ..... B- 5
WHEAT, DURUM . B- 7
WHEAT, SPRING B- 7
WHEAT, WINTER .. B- 6

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED + YIELD a PRODUCTION
: ? t TKO? ? INDt 7 T TNO
t 1978 3 1979 3 1980 % 1978: 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980
= 1,000 ACRES TONS “1,500 TONS
ALA 3 650 630 o25 1,70 1.80 1670 1,105 1,134 1,063
ARIZ 3 204 2a2 248 «S466 5.77 5.85 1,382 1,397 1,452
ARK 3 195 813 830 1,73 1,91 1.54 1,375 1,552 1,260
CALIF ot 1,610 1,560 1,590 4,32 4,68 4.70 6,955, 7,295 7,475
coLo : 1,405 1,440 1,415 2453 2.23 2.14 2,987 3,216 3,028
CONN t ar 84 86 2,23 2.08 2.08 194 17S 179
DEL 3 22 22 220 2.18 2.36 2.14 48 52 a7
FLA t 235 235 2a0 2.00 2610 2.00 470 49a 480
GA 2 47s 450 ase 2.00 2.60 2.00 950 1,170 900
TOAHO 1,379 1,368 1,380 Beat 3.02 3.46 4,708 4,126 4.760
TLL t 1,205 1,180 14170 3.02 3419 3.03 3roa2 3,766 3,547
IND 2 875 830 ALS 2.63 2.59 255 2,300 2,150 2,076
IOWA : 2,300 2,210 2,170 3461 3.74 3438 8,301 8,271 7,329
KANS 2 2,290 2,260 2260 2.00 2.53 1.78 4,676 5,716 4,031
KY 3 1,618 1,594 1,595 1.95 1,97 1.91 3,162 3,134 3,008
LA z 360 375 363 2.01 2.21 1,81 72a 627 657
MAINE 3 aay 216 224 2.10 1.78 1,76 265 385 388
MD z 2a9 240 240 2.53 2.53 239 631 606 574
MASS 2 116 116 116 2.26 2.40 2,22 262 278 287
MICH : 1,370 1,330 1,310 2.69 2.88 2.93 3,683 3,833 3, 8a
MINN 3 3,060 3,010 2,930 2.92 3,00 2.13 8,932 9,030 6,296
MISS $ 645 660 630 1,85 1.95 1,80 1,193 1,287 1,134
MO $ 34450 3,420 3,300 1,73 1,77 1.37 5,980 6,070 4,532
MONT 3 2,420 2,380 2,250 1.89 1.80 68 4,576 4,291 4,225
NEBR $ 3,800 3,700 3,700 1,98 2.06 1.61 7,538 7,618 5,970
NEV ’ aas 465 480 2616 2.12 2.10 963 979 1,007
NH 3 1 92 92 1.99 2,08 1.95 181 188 179
NJ 2 119 120 113 2,61 2.83 2.31 310 339 201
NMEX 301 310 ain 3.50 3.74 3.48 1,059 1,158 1,098
NY : 2,475 2,450 2,360 2.14 2,26 227 $,297 5,539 5,352
ne z 360 355 362 1670 1.65 | 1,60 e12 $89 581
N OAK 3,510 3,570 3,250 1,84 1.62 0.88 6,453 5,760 2,875
OHIO 3 1,520 1,410 1,400 2.59 2.56 | 2,53 3,939 3,606 3,548
OKLA 2 1,740 1,900 1,740 1.85 2.12 1,62 3,222 4,030 2,823
ORES : 4,045 1,050 1,060 2.49 2.29 2.49 2,607 2,409 2,641
PA : 1,935 1,960 1,950 2.23 2.19 2.16 4,323 4,293 4,2i1
Rt 3 8 9 9 213 2,00 ait 47 18 19
sc z 222 ais 205 2,00 2.10 1,90 444 452 390
SOAK 4,600 4,600 4,400 1488 1.72 0,97 8,625 7,915 4,270
TENN : 1,250 1,240 1,250 1.53 1.03 1,43 1,912 2,022 1,792
TEX 3 2,355 2,360 2.335 1485 2.60 1,481 4,368 6147 4,228
UTAH 3 594 598 595 3.18 3.39 1,886 2,026 2r0Rt
VT 2 443 450 450 2.00 1.89 88S 850 880
vA : 950 975 977 1.73 1.82 1,640 1,775 1,544
WASH 3 876 853 ASS 2.95 288 2.88 2,582 2,459 27404
wva 3 $95 585 $95 1,63 1.28 1,52 970 749 905
WIS t 4,000 4,030 3,900 2.91 3.12 2.76 11,635 12,555 10,783
wo : 1,200 1,200 1,210 1.71 1.77 1.70 2,050 2,127 2,052
us 2 61,515 61,162 59,862 2.31 2.39 2.08 142,209 145,878 124,452

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED: YIELD PER HECTARE +

CROP 1979 INDICATED ; 1979: INDICATED } 1979
1980 : 1980 +
HECTARES METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 726 510 28904170 6.87 5.86 197 208 870 185 023 040 168 B12 420
‘SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 240 330 5081 690 3.95 2.76 20 684 380 14 039 050
OATS 978 510 3 585 960 «(1.95 1,78 7 756 590 6 524 530 6 396 090
BARLEY 022 220 2981 350 «2.72 2.48 8 23) 440 «©7153 48007 402 630
ALL WHEAT 333 590 28 986 730 2.30 2,18 58 288 400 63 060 250 63 274 790

WINTER 633 150 21056 020 2.48 2.42 43 787 000 «650 298 700 «50 898 800

OURUM 591 240 1960720 1.82 1,39 2902 650 2 463 330-2 726 860

OTHER SPRING 109 200 5 969 990 1.90 1,62 11 598 750 «10 298 2209-649 130
RICE 205 570 1347620 «5.14 4.92 6 199 110 6 625 900
RYE 384 050 283 280 «1.62 1.45 623 570 400 930 411 220
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 542 790 27772 660 2.16 1,84 61 715 240 51 174 520
FLAXSEED 411 970 308 780 «(0,83 0.58 343 910 179 330
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 616 950 611 570 2.93 2.74 2 805 409 1 677 830
ALL COTTON : 5186 470 5399 780 0.61 0.52 3 185 140 2 789 540

UF 5150410 5 368 580 0.61 0,52 3 163 670 2 767 830

AMER-PIMA : 36 060 31 200 0.60 0,70 21 470 21 710
ALL HAY 3 24 751 650 24 225550 5,35 4.66 132 338 300 112 900 950

ALFALFA, sill ie 10873. 2107.3 6,35 79 452 150 69 057 620

ALL OTHER 13 614 990 13352 340 3.88 3.28 52 886 150 43 843 330
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 2 574 130 722 980 1.63 1.46 937 340 1052 280
ORY EDIBLE PEAS 55 040 53010 1.68 2.04 92 490 106 360
‘SUMMER POTATOES: 44 110 39 050 22.92 20.21 1 oll 140 848 210 789 160
SWEETPOTATOES 50 460 46 460 12.94 2 652 720 562 590
TOBACCO 334 400 375 390 2.07 2.26 692 490 839 520
‘SUGARREETS 454 750 477 170 64.03 aL.gi 2 026 290 19 997 980
‘SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED 296 520 295 380 81.17 84.95 24 069 430 25 092 730
HOPS: : 12 870 15 010 1,94 2.03 24 920 30 500
APPLES, COM‘L : 3 669 130-3 728 700 «= 3-792 240
PEACHES 1/ : 1 350 560 1315 050 1 318 680
PEARS : 781 540 789 070 791 790
GRAPES: + 4 525 940 4 385 510
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) 56 700 66 680
OLIVES (CALIF) 53 520 96 160
WALNUTS (CALIF) 188 690 195 040 195 040
PEPPERMINT OIL : 36 790 33 390 0.06 0.08 2140 1970
SPEARMINT OIL : 13 400 12 300 (0.06 0.07 870 840

¥ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN METRIC TONS:
[979-40 820,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD PER HECTARE : PRODUCTION

cROP : INDICATED : : INDICATED :
1979 eos: 1979 =: 19801s : 1979
HECTARES METRIC TONS

POTATOES

WINTER 4 820 4 650 22.43 23.05 208 090 107 180

SPRING 33 910 29 460 28.55 26.19 968 190 77 650

FALL 434 720 395 500 31.47 13 681 540
‘SWEET CHERRIES 165 560 1s] 230
TART CHERRIES 77 230 112 630
APRICOTS 231 090 112 760
NECTARINES (CALIF) 156 C&O 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) 158 760 158 220
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 120 660 245 150
ALMONDS: (caLie) 170 550 154 220

17 ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

(CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1960 Ana CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Plentiful rains in late July have given a boost to the Michigan crop. Some li spots have
been reported due to the high temperatures and humidity. Prospects are the best in years.
Quality of beets and sugar content will depend on the rain and sunshine pattern over the next

few months.

Development of the sugarbeet crop in North Dakota has suffered from dry conditions, after
experiencing poor emergence which required considerable reseeding. Condition of plants in
Colorado has remained consistently good as a result of heavy irrigation. The Nebraska crop shows
good growth and color. Dry, hot weather has mot significantly hindered development because most
fields are irrigated.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.7 million tons (25.1

million metric tons), up 4 percent from the 26.5 million tons (24.1 million metric
tons) produced in 1979. Harvested acreage in 1980 is expected to total 730 thousand acres (295
thousand hectares), down fractionally from the 733 thousand acres (297 thousand hectares)
harvested last year. The average yield per acre of sugarcane is forecast at 37.9 tons compared
with 36.2 tons in 1979.

Tne weather was warm and humid in Hawaii during most of July. Periodic rains kept moisture
levels adequate in most areas but drier areas required irrigation for good crop development.
All plantations were operating at normal levels.

Florida sugarcane was in good to excellent condition. Moisture has been adequate in all
growing areas of the State. The hat, humid weather has been ideal for growth.

Stands of sugarcane in Louisiena are generally good put growth has been slow because of the
drought from mid-June through much of July. Heavy rains in late July had the crop growing
rapidly by August 1.

Sugarcane in the lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas continued to make normal growth with above
normal temperatures during June and July. The area has been without rainfall for a considerable
period of time and irrigation has been very active.

MINT OIL: The 1980 peppermint oil crop is forecast at 4.35 million pounds (1970 metric tons), 8

percent less than a year earlier. Acreage harvested at 82.5 thousand acres (33.4
thousand hectares) is 9 percent below last year. Yield per acre at 53 pounds is 1 pound more
than the previous year. Harvest will be underway in most States by mid-August.

Spearmint production is forecast at 1.86 million pounds (840 metric tons), down 3 percent
from 1979. Acreage for harvest is down 8 percent from last year. Expected yield per acre at 6]
pounds is up 3 pounds from the 1979 crop. Growers in Washington, the major producing State, are
nearly finished
with the first cutting.

HOPS: Production of hops in the U.S. is forecast at 67.2 million pounds (30.5 thousand metric

tons), 22 percent more than both last year's crop and in 1978. Acreage for harvest at
37.1 thousand acres (15.0 thousand hectares) is 5300 acres above last year. Yield, forecast at
1813 pounds per acre, is up 86 pounds from last year.

Washington, which accounts for nearly three-fourths of the U.S. total, is expecting a 24 per-
cent increase in production. The higher production is largely the result of an increase of 4600
acres harvested. Bloom, cone set and growth have been good but some mildew has shown up.
Harvest is expected to start about August 18.

The Oregon crop is expected to be 22 percent larger than a year ago. Acreage is up by 600
acres. The crop is doing well with little disease. The Idaho and California crops are both
expected to be larger than a year earlier.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Pasture and range feed condition on August 1 averaged 60 percent for the

48 contiguous States. This is 24 points less than a year ago, 16 points
below the 1969-78 average for this date, and the lowest August 1 condition since records began
in 1961. Ouring July, conditions deteriorated in all States except Florida and North Carolina.
On August 1, pastures and ranges were in a severe or extreme drought situation in Texas,
Arkansas, Missouri, and throughout most of the Northern and Central Plains States as a result of
the below normal rainfall and high temperatures. Supplemental feeding continued to be necessary
in most of these States.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


GRAPES: The first forecast of the Nation's grape crop is for 4.83 million tons (4.39 million

metric tons), 3 percent less than last year's record production of 4.99 million tons
(4.53 million metric tons) but 6 percent above the 1978 crop. Prospects in California declined
during July to 4.36 million tons, 4 percent lower than last year. Prospects for the raisin grape
crop declined to 2.10 million tons, 9 percent less than the previous crop. Bunch counts are down
and recent hot weather has put stress on the vines. Table type grape prospects at 460 thousand
tons are 1 percent lower than last month, but are 10 percent greater than production a year ago.
The forecast for wine type grapes continues at 1.80 million tons, 1 percent below the 1979 record
production. Bunch counts and size appear to be slightly higher. Recent hot weather has helped
to reduce mildew problems and improve sugar levels.

For other States, except Michigan and Arizona, forecasts indicate larger crops than last year
Growing conditions appear favorable and good quality crops are expected. Washington's grape crop
at 127 thousand tons is 24 percent larger than last year and New York's crop at 185 thousand tons
is 12 percent above 1979.

PRUNES ANO PLUMS: Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon and Washington is

forecast at 73.5 thousand tons (66.7 thousand metric tons). This is up 18
percent from last year's crop and is 5 percent greater than the 1978 crop. Oregon expects 32.0
thousand tons, compared with 26.0 thousand tons a year ago. Size and quality are good.
Washington expects 21.0 thousand tons, up from last season's 15.0 thousand tons. Trees
overwintered in good condition. Bloom and pollination weather was generally favorable and the
crop has made good growth. A light fruit set in Michigan is expected to limit the crop to 13.0
thousand tons compared with 14.0 in 1979 and 24.0 thousand tons in 1978. Idaho's estimate at
7500 tons is unchanged from the 1979 and 1978 crops.

OLIVES: The first forecast of olive production in California is for a crop of 106 thousand tons

(96.2 thousand metric tons), 80 percent more than last year's short crop of 59.0 thou-
sand tons (53.5 thousand metric tons) but 16 percent below 1978. A heavy bloom occurred this
year with normal development reported.

PAPAYAS: Production of fresh papayas from Hawaii is estimated at 3.90 million pounds (1770

metric tons) for July, up 35 percent from the same period a year ago. Fresh production
is expected to drop 18 percent in August, then turn up in September to a year high of 4.30
million pounds (1950 metric tons). A 5 percent decrease in fresh output is forecast for October,
followed by a 7 percent drop in November to 3.80 million pounds (1720 metric tons).

duly area in crop totaled 260 acres (1200 hectares), down 10 percent compared with last
duly. An estimated 1905 acres (770 hectares) were harvested in July, down 20 percent from a year
earlier.

January-July cumulative fresh production totals show 1980 production running 12 percent ahead
of last year.

WALNUTS: The California walnut crop is forecast at 215 thousand tons (195 thousand metric tons),

unchanged from the July 1 forecast and 3 percent more than last year's crop. Cool tem-
peratures earlier this summer were ideal for nut development. Recent hot weather is causing tree
stress but quality of the nuts has not been reduced.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

> AREA HARVESTED + YIELD PER ACRE :
cROP
AND INDICATED :
UNIT 1979 1979 1980: (1979
CORN FOR GRAIN Bu 109.4 93.0 7,763,771
SORGHM FOR GRAIN . 62.9 44.0 84,308
cats * 54.4 49.7
BARLEY ° 50.6 46.2 340,000
ALL WHEAT . 34.2 32.5 2,326,951

WINTER " 36.9 35.9 1,870,211

DURUM " 27.1 20.7 100,295

OTHER SPRING * 28.2 24.0 354,545
RICE wT 1/ 4,588 4,387 146,076
RYE BU 25.9 23.1 16,189
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS D 32.2 274 1,880,382
FLAXSEED . 13.3 2.3 7,060
PEANUTS FOR NUTS us 2,611 2,448 3,699,010
ALL COTTON BALE 1/ 548 461 12,812.3

UPLAND “Vy 548 460 12,712.6

AMER-PIMA eu 531 621 99.7
ALL HAY TON 2.39 2.08 124,a52

ALFALFA * 3.18 2.83 76,123

ALL OTHER ° 1.73 1.46 48,329
ORY EDIBLE BEANS ory 1,457 1,299 23,199
DRY EDIBLE PEAS “Y 1,499 1,824 2,389
SUWER POTATOES ” 205 160 22,292 28,700 17,398
‘SWEETPOTATOES " 1s 108 14,390 12,403

1B 1,848 995 1,526,682 1,850,832
‘SUGARBEETS TON: 19.6 18.7 22,073 ,
‘SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED “ 36.2 37.9 26,532 27

1B 1,727 1,813 54,929 67,205
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT 0
APPLES, COM'L B 8,089,100 8,220,500 8,360,500
PEACHES 3/ * 2,977,500 2,899,200 2,907,200
PEARS TON 861.5 869.8 872.8
GRAPES * 4,989.0 4,834.2
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) wos 62.5 B.S
OLIVES (CALIF) “3 59.0 106.0
WALNUTS (CALIF) ° + 208.0 215.0 215.0
PEPPERMINT OTL Boo: 90.9 82.5 52 53 4,713 4,347
SPEARMINT OIL ms 33.1 30.4 38 61 3,921 1,861

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1969-78 AVERAGE IS 76 PERCENT.
3/ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY OIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS: 1979 -
90,000,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCTION

CROP p ae _ —
AND : INDICATED + INDICATED = : INDICATED
UNIT : 1979 1980 1/ 1979 > 180 : 1979: 1980
1,000 ACRES 1,000
POTATOES
WINTER oT: ig ls 200 205 2,383 2,363
SPRING "3 83.8 72.8 255 234 21,345 17,012
FALL "1074.2 9774 281 301,628
SWEET CHERRIES TON: 162.5 166.7
TART CHERRIES Bt 170,400 248, 300
APRICOTS TON: 144.5 224.3
NECTARINES (CALIF) "3 172.0 185.0
PLUMS (CALIF) nr! 175.0 170.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) oo" 133.0 160.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) wo: 376,000 340,

V/_ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 And CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEACHES

: PRODUCTION ry PRODUCTION
crop 1 POUNDS 2 48 LB, EQUIVALENT
AND : TOTAL 17 t INDICATED: TOTAL 3 INDICATED
STATE A 1978 2 1979 3 1980 3 1978 3 1979 1980
3 BILLION UNITS 1,000 UNITS
PEACHES FREESTONE 3
ALA are 15.0 14,0 14,0 313 29a 292
ARK as 3 3 36,0 3B. m7 750 792
CALIF *FREESTONE 2 468.0 a, 208 9.750 9,167
colo 3 14,0 150 292 365
CONN evs 5.0 131 10a 125,
DEL Evans 1.65 aa BM 50
GA as 3 135.0 2,900 2,413 2,500
Inano ars 10,5 229 219 271
TLL 2 333 313 500
INO ar t04 83 188
KANS avr 104 toa 135
KY art 229 313 323
La av: 135 146 a3
MD : $00 a3R 500
MASS ars 13 69 83
MICH 3 1,250 Ta9 1,146
MISS av 83 63 58
wo are 292 25a 354
un J ? 1,458 14979 2,292
NY + 333 140 313
nC ast 938 1,042 938
OHIO ast 104 383 250
OKLA ask 177 250 208
GREG ers amt 333 em
PA 3 1,771 1,875 2,188
sc 3 6,563 7,292 6,563
TENN ay . 175 177 198
TeX at 40.0 433 750 204
UTAH ar: 15,0 313 375 350
vA : 45.0 833 667 607
WASH 3 35°40 792 646 129
woiva 3 25.0 25.0 52 500 Sat
TOTAL 2 14465.7 14567,2 30,555 32,868 32,652
PEACHES CLINGSTONE Bre
CALIF t 16230.0 14400.0 1,340.0 25,625 29,167 27,917
ALL PEACHES 3
us 2 2,695.7 2/97745 2 907.2 56,160 62,035 60,569

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION Ano EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION PONKNS)s UNITED STATES, 197B=19,0, 1979916.0.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CAFRIEN FONWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ CALIFORNIA CLINSSTGNE IS OVEK THE SCALE TONNAGE AND
INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION POLINDS)
1978-12069, 1979=90.0.

#ALWTS.
i PRODUCTION
STATE z TOTAL 3 TOTAL : IND
2 1978 2 1979 z 1980
3 “TONS
CALIF 160,000 208,000 215,000
OLIVES
STATE : PRODUCTION
t TOTAL t TOTAL ? THO
3 1978 : 1979 2 1980
? TORS
CALIF z 126,000 59,000 106,000

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-21 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



FLAXSEED

STATE AREA HARVESTED YIELO 8 PRODUCTION
? IND? ? + IND = 3 ? TNO
1978 3 1979 3 1980 3 1978's 1979 2 1980 3 1978 3 1979 3 1980
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
MINN 142 153 120 1S.5 14,5 12.0 2,204
N OAK 410 S10 300 11.5 la. 7.0 49715
S DAK 263 350 260 12.5 14,0 12.0 3,288 3,060
TEX 20 5 3 10,0 9.0 6.5 200 20
us A35 1,918 763 12.5 13.3 943 10,404 7,060
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
STATE AREA HARVESTED g YIELD A PROOUCTION
3 Thos 3 IND ¢ : ¥ IND
1978 41979 1940 1978 ¢ 1979 t 4960 ¢ 1978 t 1979 3 1989
: £/000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
A
ALA : 14950 2,250 2,200 21.0 25.0 21.0 56,250
ARK : 4,700 5-150 4,570 24.5 28.0 18.0 144,200
DEL : 24s 265 260 28.0 30.0 27.0 7,950
FLA : 410 453 465 25.0 29.0 24.0 13,137
GA 1,689 2,100 2,280 17.5 28.0 20.0 58,800
TUL 9,190 9720 9,250 33.5 38.5 35.0 374,220
IND 3 4,180 4,420 4,350 34,5 36.0 34.0
TOWA r 7.550 6170 8.250 34,5 36,0 36.0
KANS: : 1,490 1,560 1,520 16.0 26.5 17.0
KY + 1,910 14660 1,600 3900 32.5 28,0
LA 2,840 3,200 3,400 25.0 23.0 24.0
“0 z 345 375 32.0 5060 27.0
MICH 3 800 950 24.0 29,5 28.0
MINN. t 4,060 4,750 36.0 32,0 31.0
*ISS t 3,600 3,950 21.5 29.0 21.0
MO : 5,540 5,600 25.5 31.5 2.0
NEBR t 1,250 1,780 34,0 34.0 27,0
nd : 206 206 31.0 30.0 27.0
NY t 22 19 23.0 26,0 24,0
ne + 1,680 17980 23.5 23,0
N DAK : 173 200 2765 27,0 18,0
OWIO t 3,750 3,760 33.5 36.0 34.0
OKLA U5 330 17.0 23.0 17,0
PA 62 97 31.5 32.0 27,0
st 17970 1,650 2a.0 20.0
3 DAK 390 725 33.0 24,0
TENN 2,420 2,550 23.5 27.0 21,0
TEX Tas S85 26,5 26.0 24,6
vA 455 645 2n.0 2a.5 22.0
wis 21s 295 330 3240 34,0 34.0 ’ 10/030 11,220
us 63,343 70,530 64.627 29,5 32.2 27.4 LeB70,181 242674647 16880, 342

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 8-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


GROP REPORT SUMMARY

The “all crops" production index (1967=100) at 133 is 11 points below last year, according
to the Crop Reporting Board. Oil crops are down 36 points, followed by cotton -- off 28, feed
grains -- off 23, hay -- off 9, and sugar crops -- off 1 point. The food grains index is up 12
points, and tobacco up 15 points.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1970-80 (196

1970 : 100 89 100 91 114 139 97 117
lg7l (112 116 105 107 116 145 86 lal
1972: 3 112 104 102 127 187 88 131
1973 6: (lle Ms 1909 Ag AL2 ys 88 155
1974: 110 93 104 120 104 158 101 127
1975: (lal 114 108 142 130 112 110 153
1976 : 121 120 102 lal 128 142 108 132
1977: 129 126 107 132 116 191 98 175
1978: «(131 135 113 125 116 145 102 182
1979: 14a 145 117 143 110 200 79 219
iso: (133 122 108 iss 109 172 94 183

1/ INCLUDES GRASS AND COVER CROP SEEDS, AND. SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN
SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN,

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on
selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting
Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington
headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
J. L. Olson, Chairman,

P. A. Walsh, Secretary,
APPROVED: DO. W. Barrowman, F. E. Rolf,
G. W. Suter, J. &. Cochrane,
R. L. Aadison, A, R. Budge,
T. J. Byram, H. L. Castle,
, ae R. D. Fenley, W. G. Foose,
Vi - G. H. Howse, T. W. Jean
ard Ws 1p és D.C. Johnson, —«G.-R. Kimmet,
~ S. R. Koyle, H. M. McWilliams,
G, A. Nelson, D. A. Rockwell,

R. L. Schulte.
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

B-17

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980



ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY

STATE 5 AREA HARVESTEL 2 YIELO z PRODUCTION

: z ' TNO = = 2 IND? z t TND

: 1978 3 1979 3 1980 31978 ¢ 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 3 1980

t 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
ARIZ 3 206 205 ato 6.30 6.40 1,298 1,332 1,365
aRK : 790 73 70 2,55 2.50 179 183 140
CALIF + 1,090 1,050 1,080 5.45 6.00 5,941, 6,300 6,480
caLo 3 680 660 430 2.90 3.10 19972 2,046 1,890
CONN 3 24 20 2 2,60 2665 ss 53 ss
veL 3 7 & 8 3.20 3.25 22 26 24
IDAHO ¢ 1,060 12068 1,090 3.75 3440 4,050 3,631 4,142
TLL 3 760 740 735 3.65 3490 2,774 2,886 2,720
IND : a20 390 385 3.20 3420 1,344 16246 1,198
10WA 3 1,720 17700 4,670 4,00 4640 6,880 64970 6,179
KANS : 3,050 47030 1,030 2.60 3.40 24940 36502 2,678
ky g 208 204 205 3.00 3.10 424 632 615
La 3 13 13 13 2.350 2.35 30 31 eT
MAINE 3 21 21 21 2.60 2.50 55 53 48
MD : 69 69 70 3,40 3.20 235 223 2i7
MASS 3 26 26 26 2,60 2.90 8 75 68
MICH : 1,080 1,040 1,020 2.90 3410 3,132 3,224 3,264
MINN z 22140 2,150 26100 3.40 3.40 7,276 7,310 5,250
“a t 550 520 $20 2.70 2.75 2.30 1,485 1,430 1,196
MONT t 2,259 14260 1,250 2635 2425 23D 2,938 2,835 2,875
NEBR : 1,650 1,650 1,650 3,20 3.25 2.50 5,260 57303 4,125
NEV 3 185 185 185 3,45 5440 3.45 638 629 638
NH : 19 19 419 2,55 2,60 2.50 4B ao an
NJ 3 55 5a 48 3,30 3460 3.00 182 194 14a
NMEX oo: 2st 236 2a 4,20 4,50 4.20 970 1,062 1,008
NY 3 1,025 1,040 1,000 2,55 2,75 2.70 2,614 2,860 2,700
NC : 17 7 17 2.70 2.80 46 46 46
N DAK ot 1,980 2,070 1,750 2,10 1.85 4,158 3,630 1.750
OHIO : 590 530 sao 3,20 3,15 1,588 1,670 1e612
OKLA : 510 500 490 2,70 3.30 1,377 16650 1,323
OREG t 445 405 ais 3.70 3,40 . 1,536 12377 1,577
PA 3 840 850 ean 2,40 2,70 2,70 2,352 25295 2,266
RI 2 3 3 3 2,50 2.70 2.60 8 8 a
SOAK & 2,500 2,500 2,380 2,40 2.20 1.20 6,900 5,500 2,856
TENN 3 165 105 110 2.40 © 2,50 2.30 252 263 253
TEX 3 205 210 205 4.00 4.70 4,00 R20 987 820
‘TAH : 470 47s a7o 3,55 3.80 3,80 1,669 1,805 1,786
vT : 93 100 100 2,55 2.55 2.50 237 255 250
vA : 80 90 387 3,10 3.00 2.40 248 270 209
WASH : 503 503 500 3,80 3.60 3.65 1,91t 1,881 1,825
weve 3 90 65 90 2.35 1.75 2.20 212 149 198
wis : 3-100 3,100 3-950 3.49 3.39 2.95 9,610 10,230 8,998
wyo + 530 sas 545 2,35 2,40 2,30 1,246 1,308 1,254
vs 3 27,657 275519 2b, AOR 3.13 3.18 2.83 86,600 87,581 76123

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


All other hay production is forecast at 48.3 million tons (43.8 million metric tons), down
17 percent from Tast year and 13 percent below 1978. Yield per acre is forecast at 1.46 tons
per acre compared with 1.73 in 1979 and 1.64 tons in 1978. Acreage for harvest is forecast at
33.0 million acres (13.4 million hectares), down 2 percent from 1979.

Hot, dry weather throughout the spring and summer has curtailed expected hay yields in the
Midwest from Texas north through Minnesota and the Dakotas. This area is experiencing very
little regrowth after the first and second cuttings.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at a record high 23.2 million cwt.

(1.05 million metric tons), 12 percent more than the 1979 crop. Acreage for
harvest is estimated at 1.79 million acres (723 thousand hectares), up 26 percent from 1979 and
the highest since 1949. Yield is expected to average 1299 pounds compared with 1457 pounds last
year.

Rains and thunderstorms passing through Michigan since mid-July have drowned out some beans
in the Saginaw Valley and the Eastern Thumb areas. Planting of the California crop continued in-
to July; however, the hot weather may reduce their yield potential. Warm weather in Idaho helped
spur bean growth and the crop is progressing at a normal rate. Periods of hot, dry weather in
Nebraska have adversely affected growth and setting of pods. Rainfall is needed badly in
North Dakata as the dry weather is causing problems in crop development. Beans in Washington are
making good progress despite the ash fall-out. Crop prospects in Colorado are good, especially
on the irrigated area of the Eastern Plains.

DRY EDIBLE PEAS: Dry edible pea production in Idaho and Washington is forecast at 2.39 million

cwt (108 thousand metric tons), This is up 17 percent from 1979 but is
one-third less than production in 1978. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 131 thousand acres
(53.0 thousand hectares), down 4 percent from last year. Average yield per acre for the
two-State area is expected to be 1824 pounds, up 325 pounds from last year.

Harvest is underway in southern Idaho and central Washington with good yields reported.
Volcanic ash fallout from the Mount St. Helens eruptions earlier this year coupled with
excessive moisture have caused stem rot problems and poor pod set in northern Idaho. Abandonment.
in both States has increased from last year.

POTATOES: The Nation's summer potato crop for 1980 is forecast at 17.4 million cwt (789 thousand

metric tons). This is a 7 percent decline from a month ago and is 22 percent less
than the 1979 output. Yields are expected to average 180 cwt per acre, down 14 cwt from the
duly 1 forecast and 25 cwt from last year.

California's crop, at 2.74 million cwt, is unchanged from last month's forecast and 2 percent
above the 1979 output. Harvest of a good quality crop is in progress in southern areas but
sizing is off slightly in some fields. In Virginia, dry conditions which prevailed during June
continued into July, further reducing yields. However, abandonment will be lower than expected
earlier. Harvest is underway in New Jersey and progressing well ahead of both 1979 and 1978.

Michigan's potato crop has benefited from cool, wet conditions, but frequent rains are caus-
ing problems in getting harvest underway. In Colorado, hail damage in the Arkansas Valley has
reduced prospects, but overall stand, set, and condition are still considered good. oth heat
and hail took their toll on the Texas crop, sharply reducing yields and adversely affecting qual-
ity and size. Harvest is in full swing on the High Plains and Trans-Pecos. In Alabama, hot, dry
weather has caused extreme losses in the Sand Mountain area, cutting expected yields sharply.
Yield prospects in New Mexico were reduced sharply during the past month by extreme heat.
Harvest of the Minnesota crop is expected to begin around August 10.

SWEETPOTATOES: The 1980 U.S. sweetpotato crop is expected to total 12.4 million cwt (563 thou-

sand metric tons), a 14 percent decrease from 1979. Acres for harvest are es-
timated at 115 thousand acres (46.5 thousand hectares), down 8 percent from last season. The
average yield this year is forecast at 108 cwt per acre, down 7 cwt from 1979 and the lowest
yield since 1972.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980. A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


APPLES: The Nation's apple crop is forecast at a record 8.36 billion pounds (3.79 million metric
tons), a 2 percent increase from the July 1 forecast and 3 percent greater than 1979
production.

Prospects during July increased one percent in both the Eastern and Western Regions and 4
percent in the Central States.

Production in the Eastern States is forecast at 3.34 billion pounds, 2 percent above last
year. New York's crop is developing well and harvest of early varieties is underway. Fruit is
sizing well in Pennsylvania and prospects increased 3 percent during July 1. Virginia's crop
forecast is unchanged from last month but 11 percent below a year ago because of lighter fruit
set. North Carolina prospects increased 3 percent. The crop continues to make normal progress.

The crop in the Central States is forecast at 1.46 billion pounds, 23 percent greater than
the 1979 crop. Michigan’s crop is expected to be 6 percent more than the July 1 forecast and 32
percent above last year's crop. Ohio's crop prospects also improved from last month. Illinois
is showing a slight decline from last month and is down 5 percent from last year.

The Western States expect a crop of 3.56 billion pounds, 2 percent less than the previous
year's production. Washington, the leading apple producing State, is expecting a new record of
2.60 billion pounds, 2 percent better than last month's forecast and last year's production
estimate. July weather was favorable for fruit sizng. Fruit quality and shape are also
expected to be excellent. Oregon's forecast at 170 million pounds is unchanged from last month
and is the same as the 1979 crop. Expectations in California are unchanged at 520 million
pounds, 13 percent below the previous year. Harvest of the relatively small Gravenstein crop is
in full swing. Picking of late varieties wiil get underway by abaut September 1. Crop
prospects continue good in Idaho, Colorado and Utah.

PEACHES: United States peach production is forecast at 2.91 billion pounds (1.32 million metric

tons), up fractionally from the July 1 forecast but 2 percent smaller than the 1979
crop. Excluding California Clingstone peaches, the crop is forecast at 1.57 billion pounds, 1
percent less than last year.

The Clingstone crop in California, at 1.34 billion pounds, is 4 percent below year's crap but
9 percent above the 1978 production. An early July rain caused only minimal problems but two
weeks of 100 degree and higher temperatures caused some quality deterioration. Some greener
than usual fruit was picked in the lower San Joaquin Valley because of fruit dropping premature-
ly. California's Freestone crop at 440 million pounds is 6 percent smaller than last year.
Fruit size continues good.

The South Carolina crop is forecast at 315 million pounds, up 11 percent from expectations a
month ago, but down 10 percent from last season's crop. Weather has slowed the Blake harvest in
the Piedmont area. In the Ridge area, growers will be picking their last major variety and
volume shipments are expected to end in mid-August. In New Jersey, harvest of a 110 million
pound crop is expected. Size was disappointing on some early varieties and orchards need a
general rain for sizing of late season varieties. Pennsylvania peach production at 105 million
pounds is 17 percent more than last season. Ory weather limited sizing of early varieties and
rain is now needed for the later ones. An excellent set accompanied by adequate moisture points
to a large peach crop for Michigan. Recent hail caused some bruising. A crop of 55.0 million
pounds is expected compared with 35.0 million pounds a year ago.

PEARS: Praduction of pears in the U.S. is forecast at 873 thousand tons (792 thousand metric
tons), up slightly from the July 1 forecast and 1 percent more than last year's crop.

The forecast of Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington at 597 thousand
tons (542 thousand metric tons) increased 1 percent from both last month and last year. The
California crop is of excellent quality and most areas report large sizes. The hot weather in
July had little effect on the crop. Excellent size and good quality are expected in Washington.

Production of pears other than Bartletts in the Pacific Coast States, forecast at 231
thousand tons (210 thousand metric tons), remains unchanged from last month and is 3 percent
greater than last year. The Washington crop is sizing well with harvest expected to start in
late August. California harvest is expected to start soon. Fruit size and quality are good.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1980 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA