CORN CROPPING PRACTICES
PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE AND ROW WIDTH

The National Agricultural Statistics Service collects objective information
on corn development during the production period. Counts and measurements are
made by trained enumerators during visits to random plots in a scientific
sampling of fields in 10 States which account for approximately 84 percent of
the 1987 corn production. Information in the following tables represents
sample data and averages from these counts. The data, which are subject to
sampling fluctuations, are not official Agricultural Statistics Board estimates
but do show trends in corn cropping practices.

In 1987, the plant population showed an increase from 1986 in 7 States,
decreased in 1 State and was unchanged in 2 States. Average row widths tended
to decrease in 1987 with 8 States showing decreases, and only 2 States showing
an increase from last year.

CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE,
SELECTED STATES, 1983-87 1/

STATE : 1983 : 1984 1985 =: (1986s ~—(1987
NUMBER OF PLANTS

TLL : 22,000 21,900 22,200 22,300 23,700
IND : 20,900 21,000 21,100 21,500 21,900
IOWA : 21,800 21,400 21,700 21,600 21,800
MICH : 19,200 20,600 20,900 20,700 21,600
MINN : 20,700 21,200 22,000 22,800 22,700
MO : 18,200 17,000 17,200 17,500 18,600
NEBR : 20,100 20,300 20,700 21,100 22,000
OHIO : 20,800 21,500 22,400 22,600 22,600
S DAK : 15,000 14,500 15,500 15,800 15,800
wIS : 20,300 20,500 21,200 21,700 22,800

1/ BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-20 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
IND. ND
1986: 1987: 1985 : 1986 1987
TOT ACRES POUNDS ~—~—~*1+;«000 POUNDS. SCS
1,539 1,580 3,315 3,062 2,844

2,510 2,475 16,318 13,303 13,860
2,190 2,150 82,080 67,890 73,100
2,050 2,100 14,560 12,095 12,600
2,054 2,162 428,409 314,940 332,315
1,320 1,220 26,600 21,120 18,300
1,323 1,485 781 622 772
2,090 2,150 5,450 4,389 4,300
2,073 2,058 556,522 444,790 464,175
1,829 1,699 16,946 13,574 12,315
1,985 1,885 21,900 21,830 20,730
2,040 2,260 98,900 75,480 92,660
1,682 1,826 127,403 82,707 95,845
1,913 1,881 91,092 73,524 75,857
1,650 1,650 3,384 2,640 2,970
1,633 2,078 17,978 10,781 7,690

1,998 511,638 1,162,747 1

SUGARBEETS 1/

YIELD PRODUCTION

1,000 TONS

CALIF 7 27.0 4,669 4,832 5,805
coLo 9 22.5 46 889 828
IDAHO 0 26.5 3,496 4,160 4,267
MICH 8 20.0 2,325 2,288 2,800
MINN 7 19.9 5,088 5,194 6,169
MONT 7 22.0 3811 1,020 1,082
NEBR 23.5 20.0 1,229 1,387 1,132
N MEX . 22.0 2/ 2/ VW
N DAK : 17.9 19.0 2,423 2,932 3,116
OHIO . . 20.6 18.0 258 309 288
OREG 0 29.0 319 384 386
TEX 4 22.0 833 829 704
WYO +8 20.0 1,032 1,000 1,078
us 2 22.2 22,529 25,224 27,666

1/__ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CALIF. 2/ NOT ESTIMATED.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

1,000 TONS

13,117 13,446 14,070
8,129 8,587 8,580
6,006 7,371 7,125

961 907 1,094

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-14 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
{SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
Oct 31, 1987
q LAST CHART FOR THIS SEASON
‘ CHART FOR THIS SE
EXcessivi Z
DAY! YP —ABNORMALLY- 4
ay + = ABNORMALLY
108 WeTy ,
JRABL'
FAvORAR FAVORABLY
>
2
. - BLIGHTLY-
: DRY +
\BNORMALLY
‘CROP MOISTURE: th RY
isonaas‘onraess on Weetess.crracnt fe toa + CESSIVELY
RESPONDS RAPIDAT CAR CHANG CONSIDERABLY "
FS ara Sane ener DG x
x ran es Sioa arecrnne 99
cons ap Fun pear mo NORMALLY FaVonapLy
MAY NOT BE APPLICARLE TO GERNTATING ono RY ‘ols
52 TRE DEEP OR SUBSOTL worsroRe) .
9 atisen Cuore casei ye eT
rod Sarma ipa
otter Seats atce ARE oo WOM/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY made ran per

DROUGHT SEVERITY
’ (LONG TERM, PALMER)
Oct 31, 1987
3 LAST CHART FOR THIS SEASON
iif a
Extnene/ 8 Extaeue
HH >,
EVERE ae
SEVERE EXTREME, Moist
——S % Z
MODERATE. SE XTREME
Bs = = ‘SEVERE;
EXTREME, See ere _—— EXTREME
MODERATE —
provi =
tonsa Pee Mierhgt tars We RU Se = Ae) ‘SEVERE
axa Shogo san eat rr fe Bor. ao
EIB Rezo? saskent ore aSPet ns Praroinmnsttnavics =e
a, APPLLCAMLE 1 waaay oseHuPrvE ercrs 0 F
Seitsi Ee VPage Beto Seat ten oostfeie ia-
Borae techs BP abso Sr nase ns Remererra nee cone
penu'ataros OF BLGUEME,OR, TES"ES Ate reaa Ssenvonss an SeRELON
SINUSES SS SER USAT of BP Tn
FIELD OPERATIONS (THIS 16 INDICATED BY THE CROP MOISTURE TROEN) NOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY 5 nny pert

CROP PRODUCTION,

NOVEMBER 1987

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

B-1 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUNMARY = YI
(DOMESTIC UN

ELD PER ACRE AND PROOUCTION
ITS)

CORN FOR GRAIN BY V9.3 120.3 8,252,838 7,166,020
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 67.7 70.5 "941,634 46,953 40603
CWT 1/3 5,648 5,547 134,416 126,819 1293416

SOYBEANS FOR

BEANS BU: 33.3 34.1 1,940,101 1,968,069 1,959,949
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: 2,407 2,359 3,700,745 3,698,300 3,579,300
ALL COTTON BALE 1 552 671 9,731.1 13,336.64 13,936.4

UPLAND “Uy 547 668 93525.2 133108:9 — 133698:9

AMER~PIMA "i 890 892 205.9 227.5 237.5
COTTONSEED 3,801 5,242 5,480
DRY EDIBLE SEANS cue 1 +532 1,544 22,898 25,210 25,874
POTATOES

FALL CHT 307 315 317,771 342,742

TOTAL “ 296 302 3625511 385,726
TOBACCO LB 1,998 2,045 1,162,747 1,234,243 1,230,333
SUGARBEETS TON 21.2 22.2 25,224 275343 27,666
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED " 9: 38,7 37.3 30,311 31,859 30,869
PASTURE AND RANGE

FEED 2/ a5 n
DRIED PRUNES

(CALIF) 99.0 200.0 218.0
FILBERTS 15.1 18.5 20-0

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF
MONTH. THE 1976-85 AVERAGE IS 74 PERCENT.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~ YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1987 1/

INDICATED
1987 1/

1,000
OATS 3 386,356 369,224
BARLEY 28 610,522 518,124
ALL WHEAT 4 2,091,635 2,104,967

WINTER +2 1,521,498 1,560,986

OURUM +0 95,467

OTHER SPRING 3 448,514
RYE <8 19,098
SUNFLOWER 2,675,750 2,273,900
ALL HAY 49 183,717

ALFALFA 3.42 88,367

ALL OTHER : 1.80 65,350
DRY EDIBLE PEAS © CWT 2/ 3,385
AUSTRIAN WINTER :

PEAS 522
LENTILS 1,794
POTATOES

WINTER 2,501

SPRING 17,570

oSuMmer 22,913

50,964
ites COMTL 9,614,500
PEACI 2 2,486,600
peas 862.1
GRAPES 5,096.0
SWEET CHERRIES 189
TART CHERRIES 363,700
APRICOTS 115.6
NECTARINES (CALIF) 190.0
PLUMS (CALIF) 210.0
OLIVES (CALIF) 80.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) ng 47.1 53.6
PISTACHIO KUTS :

(CALIF) LB 74,900 30,000
PECANS LB 272,700 291,000
ALMONDS (CALIF “ 250,000 600,000
WALNUTS (CALIF TON 180.0 260.0
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1986-87 1987-88

ORANGES BOX 182,225 183,400

LEMONS . 28,600 23,700

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ YIELD IN POUNDS.
3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1987 A-5 ' NASS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1985-87

ween ene n cece e cen nen en nena nen ne nen eeneneneneen T AVERAGE
: : 40.6 & ROW
IGREATER: WIOTH

al 4
1986 -0 4 32.9
1987 -0 0 32.5
IND 1985 : 167 48.5 13.7 4.2 13.8 15.0 4.8 0 32.6
1986: = 167 52.1 16.7 1.2 9.6 16.2 4.2 0 32.4
1987: 174 47.7 V2. 2.9 16.1 14.9 5.8 6 32.8
1A 1985 : 209 35.9 13.9 -5 10.0 29.2 9.1 1.4 33.9
1986 : 27) 36.5 12.3 1.4 7.6 26.5 15.2 “5 34.1
1987 : 205 34.6 13.7 2.4 10.7 26.3 10.7 1.5 34.0
MICH 1985 : 89 47.2 18.0 3.3 4.5 13.5 10.1 3.4 32.7
1986: 88 54.5 19.3 3.4 5.7 12.5 4.6 0 32.0
1987: 87 57.5 20.7 0 5.8 12.6 2.3 1.2 31.8
MINN 1985 : 168 42.3 15.4 1.2 12.5 25.0 2.4 1.2 33.1
1986 : 164 50.6 11.0 -6 9.8 24.4 3.6 0 32.8
1987 : 161 48.5 13.0 6 11.2 22.4 4.4 0 32.7
MO 1985 : 129 38.0 19.4 3.1 11.6 18.6 9.3 0) 33.2
1986 : 127 32.3 19.7 1.6 10.2 25.2 11.0 0 33.8
1987: «121 33.1 20.7 0 14.9 25.6 5.8 0 33.6
NEBR 1985 : 195 30.8 13.3 1.5 21.6 23.1 9.2 35 34.1
1986 : 191 31.9 13.1 0 22.0 23.6 8.4 1.0 34.1
1987 : 196 33.7. 11.2 -5 24.5 23.0 6.6 a) 33.8
OHIO 1985 : 157 56.1 15.9 1.9 7.0 10.2 8.3 6 32.2
1986 : 159 49.7 18.2 5.7 6.3 16.4 3.1 6 32.3
1987 : 155 60.0 12.9 1.3 9.7 11.6 4.5 0 31.9
S DAK 1985: 97 13.4 5.2 1.0 7.2 42.3 26.8 4.1 36.7
1986 : 112 15.2 5.4 9 6.2 41.1 28.5 2.7 36.5
1987 : 112 9.8 4.5 0 7.1 58.9 18.8 9 36.8
WIS 1985: 130 18.5 7.7 4.6 11.5 34.6 21.6 1.5 35.7
1986 : 134 12.7 9.0 5.2 16.4 32.1 22.4 2.2 35.9
1987 : 133 21.1 10.5 4.5 9.8 26.3 24.8 3.0 35.5

1/_ SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE
YIELD DETERMINATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-21 NASS, USDA


Harvest advanced rapidly and was finished in the Southeast by mid-October.
Near the end of the month, Louisiana and Texas producers began harvesting the
second crop. On October 11, California rice harvest was 50 percent finished.
By November 1, 95 percent of the crop was harvested, 5 points ahead of normal.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 3.58 billion pounds (1.62 million metric

tons}, 3 percent below both last year and the October 1 forecast.
Harvested area is estimated at 1.52 million acres (614 thousand hectares),
down 1 percent from 1986. Yield is expected to average 2359 pounds per acre,
48 pounds below last year and 79 pounds below the October 1 forecast.

Production in the southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina) is expected to total 2.29 billion pounds, down 4 percent from
last year and down 5 percent from the October 1 forecast. Dry conditions
during the month of October permitted harvest to progress ahead of last year.
However, the dry conditions had a detrimental effect on late maturing peanuts
and increased harvesting loss.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 617 million pounds, 14
percent below last year and unchanged from October }. Weather conditions
generally favored peanut harvest for the area. Some frost damage occurred
during the month.

The Southwest crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total
671 million pounds, 12 percent above 1986 and unchanged from the October 1
forecast. Harvesting conditions remained good in most areas during the
month. In some areas, moisture was needed to loosen the soil so digging could
progress without damaging the peanuts,

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

1976-1987

BILLION PUSHELS
a6

cA

wee

a5

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.3 million metric

tons), down fractionally from October 1 but 1 percent above last
year. Yield, at 34.1 bushels per acre, is down 0.1 of a bushel from October 1.
If realized, this will equal the record yield set in 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 B~4 NASS, USDA



POTATOES: VARIETIES GROWN - 1987

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts potato objective
yield surveys in 11 major fall producing States. These 11 States accounted
for 93 percent of the 1986 U.S. fall potato production. All producing areas
of each State are represented in the sample in proportion to planted acreage
of potatoes. Variety information in the table below is derived from data
reported. These data are intended to provide current information on varieties
and are not designated as official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics
Board.

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF MAJOR VARIETIES PLANTED,
SELECTED STATES, 1987 CROP

FIRST SECOND

NC oe

VARIETY PERCENT VARIETY PERCENT
COLO : CENTENNIAL RUSSET 67.3 : RUSSET BURBANK 21.7
IDAHO : RUSSET BURBANK 97.7 : NORCHIP 1.0
MAINE : RUSSET BURBANK 24.4 : SUPERIOR 19.7
MICH : RUSSET BURBANK 22.9 : ONOWAY 10.7
MINN : RUSSET BURBANK 37.3 2 NORCHIP 17.0
NY : MONONA 27.2 : SUPERIOR 13.2
N DAK : NORCHIP 48.1 : RUSSET BURBANK 12.2
OREG : RUSSET BURBANK 84.5 : NORGOLD 6.4
PA : NORCHIP 24.1 : ATLANTIC 16.1
WASH : RUSSET BURBANK 86.9 : NORGOLD 5.1
WIS : RUSSET BURBANK 45.0 RUSSET NORKOTA 11.5

THIRD FOURTH
VARIETY PERCENT VARIETY PERCENT

coLo SANGRE

6.3 : RED MCCLURE 1.0
IDAHO :  NORGOLD 5 :
MAINE : ONTARIO 16.2 : SHEPODY 8.9
MICH : SUPERIOR 10.6 MONONA 8.5
MINN : NORLAND 10.2 KENNEBEC 7.8
NY : NORCHIP 12.6 KATAHDIN 9.0
N DAK : NORLAND 8.3 PONTIAC 7.6
OREG : EARLY GEM 1.7 NORCHIP 1.2
PA : SUPERIOR 14.0 KATAHDIN 13.7
WASH : LEMHIT RUSSET 3.2 NORCHIP 1.9
WIS : SUPERIOR 9.0 NORGOLD 6.9
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NOVEMBER 1987 A-23 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/
eee ras PRODUCTION PRODUCTION
BOXES : TON EQUIVALENT

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES,EARLY MID:
& NAVEL 3/ 4/— :
ARIZ : 600 950 750 23 36 28
CALIF : 33,000 34,500 26,000 1,238 1,294 975
FLA : 64,200 65,800 72,000 2,889 2,961 3, 24g
Tex : 200 500 350 3 22
s : 98,000 101,750 99,600 4,159 4,313 4, 238
ORANGES, VALENCIA 4/:
ARIZ : 1,700 2,200 2,300 64 83 86
CALIF : 20,900 24,000 23,000 784 900 863
FLA :  §5,000 53,900 58,000 2,475 2,425 2,610
TEX : 110 375 500 5 16 21
us : 77,710 80,475 83, 800 3,328 3,424 3,580
ALL ORANGES 4/ :
ARIZ : 2,300 3,150 3,050 86 119 114
CALIF : 63,900 58,500 49,000 2,022 2,194 1,838
FLA : 119,200 119,700 130,000 5,364 5,386 5,850
TEX : 310 875 1,350 14 38 57
US : 175,710 182,225 183,400 7,487 7,737 7,859
TEMPLES :
FLA 4/ : 2,950 3,400 3,400 133 153 153
GRAPEFRUIT,WHITE —:
SEEDLESS :
FLA 4/ : 25,600 26,900 27,000 1,088 1,143 1,148
GRAPEFRUIT,COLORED :
SEEDLESS :
FLA 4/ : 18,000 20,000 20,500 765 850 871
SEEDY GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 4/ : 3,180 2,900 3,500 134 123 149
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ARIZ 4/ : 2,400 2,200 2,100 77 70 67
CALIF 4/ 5/ :
DESERT : 3,600 4,200 4,200 116 134 134
OTHER AREAS : 4,500 4,900 151 164
TOTAL > 8,100 9,100 266 298
FLA 4/ : 46,750 49,800 51,000 1,987 2,116 2,168
TEX : 220 1,925 35100 9 77 124
us > 57,470 63,025 2,339 2,561
TANGERINES 4/ :
ARIZ : 700 700 500 26 26 19
CALIF : 1,800 2,230 1,500 68 83 56
FLA 6/ : 1,950 2,340 23200 93 bb 105
US 6/ 4,450 53270 45200 187 220 180
LEMONS 4/
ARIZ 3,250 7,100 5,200 123 270 198
CALIF 15,100 21,500 + =—-18,500 574 817 703
us 18,350 28,600 23,700 697 1,087 901
TANGELOS
FLA 4/ 2,950 4,000 4,000 133 180 180

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS PER BOX: QRANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,
FLA-90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER-67, FLA-85,
TEX-80;  LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND MID-
SEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES
IN TEXAS. 4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORE~
CAST. 5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT “OTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS OF
APR 1. 6/ PER PROGRAM MODIFICATION FLA ALL TANGERINES INCLUDE HONEY TANGER-
INES BEGINNING WITH 1987-88 SEASON. ESTIMATES FOR PREVIOUS SEASONS ARE REVISED
TO INCLUDE THE HONEY VARIETY.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-18 NASS, USDA


ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT

LARGE LIMA :

CALIF: 18.5 21.5 2,080 2,100 931 385 452
BABY LIMA =

CALIF =: 29.8 23.0 2,200 2,350 674 649 541
OTHER :

107.0 121.5 1,720 1,800 1,958 1,840 2,187

155.0 166.0 1,854 1,916 3,563 2,874 3,180

185.0 180.0 1,460 1,450 2,665 2,701 2,610

139.0 148.0 1,960 1,900 2,006 25724 2,812

23.0 24.0 13650 1,700 272 380 408

340.0 460.0 800 1,300 5,412 2,720 5,980

61.0 75.0 1,650 1,600 868 13007 1,200

4.5 5.6 2,160 1,750 57 97 98

205.0 190.0 2,100 1,700 2,794 4,305 3,230

11.0 2,470 272

31.0 28.0 1,400 1,500 297 434 420

280.0 315.0 1,550 1,350 3,010 4,340 4,253

8.5 6.8 480 550 40 41 37

31.0 35.0 2,160 2,250 710 670 788

32.0 31.0 1,890 1,890 481 605 586

1,495.0 1,675.4 1,532 1,544 22,175 22,898 25,874

Vv BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR
CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 3/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1987 CROP.

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA : 610 500 23.0 19.0 27,810 14,030 9,500
ARK : 3,300 3,350 20.0 23.0 98,050 66,000 77,050
DEL : 240 235 24.0 20.0 7,200 5,760 4,700
FLA Ws 140 95 2310 2420 53980 33220 23280
GA : 820 goo. 817.0 21.0 37,200 13,940 16,800
ILL : 9,000 8,750 40.0 37.0 382,500 += 360,000 © 323,750
IND : 43250 43350 37.0 40:0 185,090 157,250 174.000
IOWA : 8,450 8,050 41.5 43.0 309,700 350,675 346,150
KANS : 1,740 2,100 © 33.5 33.0 43,710 58,290 69,300
KY : 1,120 13020 © 32:0 28.0 41,820 35,840 28,560
LA : 1,750 1,660 20.0 23.0 44,100 35,000 38,180
MD : 390 410 27.0 24.0 12,800 10,530 93840
MICH : 930 1,090 31.0 35.0 34;560 28,830 38,150
MINN : 4,650 4,700 35.0 40.0 160,000 162,750 188,000
MISS > 2,450 2,450 17.0 20.0 70,740 41,650 49,000
MO : 5,250 43900 ©3215 32:0 180,435 += 1703625 156,800
NEBR : 2,450 2,350 38.0 37.0 84,960 93,100 86,950
No We: WW? 104 = 28.0 31.0 4,386 33276 3,224
ime : 1,530 1,300 2420 24.0 393100 36,720 31,200
N DAK 1/ : 470 510 35.0 36.0 12,740 16,450 18,360
OHTO : 3,620 4,080 © 40.5 39.0 160,605 146,610 159,220
OKLA 1/: 200 220. 24.0 26.0 4,370 4800 55720
PAO 155 165 35.0 35.0 5,950 5,425 5,775
sc : 830 750 16.5 21.0 24,600 133695 15,750
S DAK =: 1,330 1,340 30.5 3320 40,640 40,565 44,220
TENN : 1,420 1,250 25.0 24.0

TEX : 190 150 23.0 27.0

VA : 570 560 24.0 22.0

WIS 1/: 320 320 36.0 35.0

us : 58,292 57,559 33.3 34.1

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-~10 NASS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ..... A-10
CITRUS FRUIT .....005 os A-18
CORN CROPPING PRACTICES A-20
CORN FOR GRAIN ..ccecececcceccscccetccccsseteseeeteeeeeetetaceteteee A- 8
CORN FOR GRAIN ROW WIDTH ....seeeeeveeee eee cece ese sceeseees seseceee A-21
COTTON cee ceecceec esc nc cere ners teeter nceeeeeeeereeeeet eaters eeeeeeee A~13
A~13
B- 1
A-17
PAPAYAS .ccsccceescceecsvccececvereees bee e cee eceseees eeeeeees seeeee A-17
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION .......eeeeeveeee eeeeee teeeeee sees A~19
PEANUTS FOR NUTS ..cceccccccccncccerecccceesnscrerteceesesserserenes A-11
POTATOES, AREA PLANTED ...eesesecsesevcncs tbe e eee eeeeeeeeeeeee eens A-11
POTATOES ..ccccesccesececeecscecees eeeeees dence eee eee ere e tence recone A-12
POTATOES, VARIETIES GROWN ...ceeeeeeseee tee eeeeeeene teen eeeeeeeene A-23
PRUNES, DRIED ..cceeeec cece cence tetncrecetenceenteesenceeteseereees A~17
RELIABILITY STATEMENT ....cecsccceeccccccececccecececetesreseserses A- 3
RICE ceccrsceccscccccsccesceneescessonere seeseee tee ence erence necene A- 9
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ...ceeeccecescees eee ee eee ee ee eee eee eee ee A- 9
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS ..eececececerece dence cen een nr eerenrerernssseeners A-10
SOYBEANS, ROW SPACING .....-e..eeeee Serer rrr errr Serre rere rr errr ry A-22
SUGARBEETS wecesccceccccceerccceerenene rector estneeeeeessseeneeenees A-14
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .....+..0e semen en enc eeneseeseceaeeses A-14
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE ..seceeeeceeee eee reer ere eee eee eee eres os A-15
TOBACCO BY STATES ...... boone cereeeevenees sa eereeeneee ee eeveccccoens A-14
US SUMMARY ....cseceeseeee aden nec ccc cee tece eee seneeeenereeeasenee A- 4
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NOVEMBER 1987 B-10 NASS, USDA



TOBACCO: U..S. al) tobacco production is forecast at 1.23 billion pounds (558

thousand metric tons), fractionally lower than the October 1
forecast but 6 percent above the 1986 output. Higher yield and increased
acreage from a year ago account for the larger production. Yield is expected
to average 2045 pounds per acre, compared with 1998 pounds for last year's
crop.

Flue-cured production is expected to reach 686 million pounds (311
thousand metric tons), 6 percent more than last year's total. Yield per acre
is expected to average 2099 pounds, 8 pounds above last year. Area for
harvest is above the 1986 level in all States.

Flue~cured auction markets closed for the season on September 30 in
Florida, October 6 in Georgia, and October 15 in South Carolina. Auctions in
North Carolina and Virginia are expected to close by November 12.

Burley output is projected to reach 461 million pounds (209 thousand
metric tons), an increase of 13 percent from a year earlier. The greater
production is the combined result of a 7 percent increase in acreage and
higher yields. The yield is forecast to average 2048 pounds per acre, 112
pounds above the 1986 yield.

Kentucky Burley was 22 percent stripped by November 1. Rain or high
humidity is needed by hanging tobacco. The North Carolina crop was hurt by
dry weather throughout the season and js not expected to weigh as much as
expected earlier.

Fire-cured production is forecast to total 25.6 million pounds (11.6
thousand metric tons), a decline of 38 percent from 1986. The sizeable drop
in production was the result of lower acreage allotments, coupled with a 112
pound drop in yield to 1846 pounds per acre. Very little stripping has been
completed in Kentucky due to dry conditions.

Southern Maryland type 32 production is forecast at 24.6 million pounds
(11.2 thousand metric tons), down 11 percent from last year. Reduced acreage
in Maryland and a decline in yield outlook in both Maryland and Pennsylvania
account for the lower total. All of Maryland's crop was harvested by October
11, one week ahead of 1986 but near the normal pace.

Dark air-cured tobacco production at 7.32 million pounds (3320 metric
tons), is off 34 percent from a year ago. Both acreage and yield are down.

Production of ajl Cigar~type tobacco is forecast at 25.8 million pounds
(11.7 thousand metric tons), 14 percent below last year. Compared with a year
ago, cigar filler production is off 8 percent and binder 26 percent, but
wrapper production is up 8 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 27.7 million tons (25.1

million metric tons), an increase of 1 percent from the October 1
forecast and 10 percent above the 1986 production. This year's larger crop is
the combined result of increased acreage and higher yields. Harvested area is
expected to total 1.25 million acres (505 thousand hectares), 5 percent more
than 1986. An average yield of 22.2 tons per acre is expected compared with
21.2 tons a year ago.

Harvest conditions were nearly ideal in the Red River Valley of North
Dakota and Minnesota. Stockpiling began after October 1. In North Dakota,
harvest was complete October 18, the earliest ever. Quality is excellent and
sugar content is high.

Ideal weather in California led to above normal yields on the fall
harvested crop. Those for spring harvest are going into winter with below
normal disease problems.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1987 B-7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-YIELO PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN : oT. 7.55 209,631,640 181,345,430 182,025,290
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 4.42 23,918,610 18,973,480 18,812,180
RICE 6.22 6,097,010 5,752,410 5,870,210
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 2.29 52,800,900 53,562,060 53,341,070
PEANUTS FOR NUTS. 2.64 1,678,620 1,677,510 1,623,530
ALL COTTON 0.75 2,118,690 2,903,640 3,034,280

UPLAND 0.75 25073,860 2,854,110 2,982,570

AMER-PIMA 1,00 44,830 49,530 51,710
COTTONSEED 3,448,210 4,755,460 4,971,370
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1.73 1,038,630 1,143,500 1,173,620
POTATOES

FALL 35.26 14,413,770 15,546,430

TOTAL 33.80 16,397,780 17,496,150
TOBACCO 2.29 527,410 559,840 558,070
SUGARBEETS 49.68 22,882,830 24,805,150 25,098,170
SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED : 83.54 27,497,680 28,902,000 28,003,890
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) : 89,810 181,440 195,040
FILBERTS : 13,700 16,780 18,340

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

INOLCATED
1987 1/

INDICATED
1987 1/

OATS 2.02 1.91 5,607,940 5,359,270
BARLEY 2.74 2.78 13,292,550 11,280,820
ALL WHEAT 2.32 2.53 56,924,970 57,287,820

WINTER 2.37 2.67 41,408,390 42,483,080

DURUM 2.29 1.96 2,664,590 2,598,190

OTHER SPRING : 2.17 2.26 12,851,990 12,206,550
RYE : 1.81 1.78 495,880 485,110
SUNFLOWER : 1.53 1.52 1,213,690 1,031,420
ALL HAY : 5.59 5.72 140,859,480 139,449,710

ALFALFA : 7.66 7.77 82,938,460 80,165,190

ALL OTHER : 4.03 4.22 57,921,020 59,284,520
ORY EDIBLE PEAS : 2.00 2.36 144,970 153,540
AUSTRIAN WINTER :

PEAS + 1.60 1.77 20,410 23,680
LENTILS 3 1.34 1.42 85,960 81,370
POTATOES :

WINTER 1 27.24 23.98 135,670 113,440

SPRING : 29.27 25.09 899,110 796,960

SUMMER : 24.64 25.86 949,230 1,039,310
HOPS: : 2.19 2.0) 22,210 23,120
APPLES, COM'L : 3,579,280 4,361,040
PEACHES : 1,055,230 1,127,900
PEARS x 694,540 782,080
GRAPES t 4,740,860 4,623,010
SWEET CHERRIES : 125,010 172,000
TART CHERRIES H 101,650 164,970
APRICOTS : 50,080 104,870
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 156,040 172,370
PLUMS (CALIF) : 137,890 190,510
OLIVES (CALIF) : 101,150 72,570
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) : 42,730 48,630
PESTACHIO NUTS :

(CALT 33,970 13,610
PECANS 123,690 131,990
ALMONDS (CAL IE 113,400 272,150
WALNUTS (CALIF : 163,290 235,870
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1986-87 1987-88

ORANGES 7,018,890 7,129,560

LEMONS 986,110 817,370

17" ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH
THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE
FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-T NASS DA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP

1986

1987

1986

INDICATED
1987

HECTARES

CORN 31,029,200 26,719,250 28,000,100 24,100,500
SORGKUM 6,200,260 4,763,610 5,626,810 4,254,100
RICE 971,660 948,590 963,160 944,140
SOYBEANS 24,437,210 23,749,230 23,590,190 23,293,550
PEANUTS 636,460 617,960 622,090 613,910
ALL COTTON 4,064,950 4,215,130 3,427,080 4,032,700

UPLAND 4,019,830 4,162,920 3,382,120 3,980,980

AMER-PIMA 45,120 52,210 44,960 51,720
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 677,370 712,980 605,010 678,020
POTATOES

FALL 431,040 448,520 419,340 440,950

TOTAL 508,780 528,040 493,560 517,640
TOBACCO 235,490 243,500
SUGARBEETS 498,460 513,230 482,110 505,170
SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED 322,210 335,200

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1987 1/

HECTARES
OATS 5,945,300 7,268,230 2,776,170 2,800,860
BARLEY 5,284,850 4,470,210 4,859,110 4,055,800
ALL WHEAT 29,165,200 26,630,220 24,573,990 22,627,840
WINTER 21,839,100 19,741,180 17,484,630 15,901,080
OURUM 1,211,640 1,352,070 1,164,290 1,326,980
OTHER SPRING 6,114,460 5,536,970 5,925,070 5,399,780
RYE 964,780 1,004,850 273,980 272,360
FLAXSEED 291,380 196,270 276,400 188,590
SUNFLOWER 819,500 698,090 791,170 678,670
ALL HAY 25,201,670 24,363,550
ALFALFA 10,824,650 10,318,380
ALL OTHER 14,377,020 14,045,170
ORY EDIBLE PEAS 72,840 65,960 72,440 65,160
AUSTRIAN WINTER
PEAS 12,950 317,000 12,750 13,350
LENTILS 64,350 57,870 63,940 57,470
POTATOES
WINTER 5,060 4,820 4,980 4,730
SPRING 31,320 33,100 30,720 31,770
SUMMER 41,360 41,600 38,530 40,190
SWEETPOTATOES 39,300 39,090 37,800 37,880
11,530

CROP PRODUCTION,
NOVEMBER 1987

10,120

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE : AVERAGE 1986 : 1987 STATE : AVERAGE : 1986 : 1987
: 1976-85 : : 1976-85 : :
PERCENT PERCENT

ALA : 69 63 45 NEV 88 72 62
ARIZ : 77 87 77 NH 86 94 87
ARK > «69 84 67 NJ : 76 79 80
CALIF : 77 88 66 rr ON MEX 78 100 88
colo. : 676 78 81 st ONY : 83 88 88
CONN : 82 86 85 rp ONC : 75 61 60
DEL 2 76 57 52 zs: N DAK : 65 85 70
FLA > 76 75 55 :: OHIO : 82 86 61
GA 2: «62 57 34 3 OKLA: 66 92 87
IDAHO : 86 87 42 :: OREG : 88 82 37
ILL 7 79 85 72 i: PA : 77 75 79
IND >: 82 87 66 rn ORI : 90 102 95
IOWA : 80 91 84 a SC 3 63 58 47
KANS : 73 90 83 :: S DAK: 69 94 73
KY > 83 83 47 :: TENN: 76 81 67
LA : 70 83 66 :2 TEX : 64 89 73
MAINE : 83 94 85 z: UTAH: 83 89 74
MD 2 73 63 75 2: VT : 85 90 88
MASS: 82 89 90 st: OVA : 77 63 70
MICH : 84 90 85 z: WASH: 8) 76 55
MINN: 76 85 71 rs WVA Oo: 76 66 70
MISS 3 72 71 52 :: WIS : 81 77 80
MO > 74 91 76 z: WYO : 8] 93 84
MONT : 74 88 78 a 3

NEBR): 75 92 78 r US 74 85 71

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-19 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

IND
1987

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
100 45 40.0 55.0 12,650 4,000 2,475
12 9 87.0 92.0 1,296 1,044 828
660 405 62.0 72.0 66,240 40,920 29,160
26 20 85.0 85.0 2,988 2,210 1,700
300 230 39.0 39.0 11,200 11,700 8,970
82 90 33.0 50.0 6,624 2,706 4,500
200 120 95.0 92.0 36,190 19,000 11,040
4,150 3,700 75.0 73.0 296,700 311,250 270,100
57 38 75.0 75.0 11,440 4,275 2,850
350 260 68.0 65.0 27,880 23,800 16,900
240 145 60.0 68.0 39,680 14,400 9,860
1,140 770 81.0 85.0 117,030 92,340 65,450
1,570 1,220 89.0 90.0 154,400 139,730 109,800
230 160 45.0 52.0 13,920 10,350 8,320
45 45 30.0 43.0 3,224 1,350 1,935
490 420 47.0 45.0 22,500 23,030 18,900
32 25 32.0 47.0 2,209 1,024 1,175
305 280 46.0 48.0 15,000 14,030 13,440
165 80 65.0 80.0 37,200 10,725 6,400
3,750 2,450 57.0 64.0 241,900 213,750 156,800

13,904 10,512 67.7 70.5 1,120,271 941,634 740,603

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

RICE

YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE IND
1986 : 1987 1985 1986 1987
~ 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT

ARK 1,040.0 1,010.0 5,300 5,300 54,597 55,120 53,530
CALIF 360.0 367.0 7,700 7,500 28,468 27,727 27,525
LA 426.0 420.0 4,550 4,350 20,256 19,380 18,270
MISS 198.0 198.0 5,400 5,300 10,058 10,692 10,494
MO vy 67.0 69.0 6,120 5,400 3,463 3,434 3,726
TEX 289.0 269.0 6,250 5,900 18,071 18,063 15,87
us 2,380.0 2,333.0 5,648 5,547 134,913 134,416 129,416

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

YEAR LONG GRAIN i MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN ALL

$ 1,000 CWT
1985 3 100,367 28,464 6,082 134,913
97,833 32,239 4,344 134,416

129,416

1/__ INDICATED NOVEMBER 1, 1987, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-9 NASS, USDA


OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Temperatures were generally above-normal in the western third of the
Nation, averaging more than 6 degrees above normal at many locations. In the
eastern two-thirds of the Nation, temperatures were generally below-normal
with many stations reporting the coolest October of record. Above-normal
thunderstorm and shower activity resulted in generally wet conditions over
much of the Southwest. The Pacific Northwest was very dry. In the eastern
two-thirds of the Nation, precipitation was mostly below normal, except in
Florida, parts of the Midwest, the Mississippi Delta, the Great Lakes region,
and parts of the Northeast. (Prepared by the Joint USDA/NOAA Agricultural
Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

Dryness restricted winter wheat seeding and germination in the Southeast
and Pacific Northwest during most of October. The lack of moisture hampered
growth and development in most areas. Seeding began the month considerably
ahead of normal. By mid-month seeding was virtually finished in the northern
and central Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States. By the end of the month,
planting was 93 percent finished in the 20 major producing States, compared
with 85 percent in 1986 and the 85 percent average. Eighty-five percent of
the acreage was emerged, 8 points ahead of 1986 and 12 points above average.
Winter wheat was mostly good to fair, but condition declined to fair to poor
in Georgia, and poor to fair in Oregon by the end of October.

In Kansas, seeding at 99 percent completion was 9 points ahead of normal.
The lack of moisture for wheat germination and stand development before winter
concerned producers in western and central areas. Leaf rust was present
Statewide but was most prevalent in early-seeded wheat. Seeding was finished
in Nebraska. Near the end of October, producers began irrigating in areas of
high stress. Mild, dry conditions promoted Russian wheat aphid development.
Winter wheat seeding trailed 5 and 14 points behind normal in Washington and
Oregon, respectively, because of dryness.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 7.17 billion
bushels (182 million metric tons), down 13 percent from last
year's crop but up fractionally from the October 1, forecast.

The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at a record high 120.3
bushels, up 0.4 of a bushel from the October 1 forecast. The previous record
yield was 119.3 bushels set in 1986. Record yields are forecast for Indiana,
Minnesota, and Nebraska.

The dry weather in September and October sped harvest and by November 1,
93 percent of the crop had been harvested in the 17 major producing States.
This compares with 61 percent last year and the 63 percent average. In most
areas the moisture content of the corn has been quite low.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 B-2 NASS, USDA



« Agricultural United States
ro Statistics Department of
Board Agriculture
P . National Agricultural Washington, D.C. 20250
ro u Cc | re] n Statistics Service

RELEASED: November 9, 1987
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 7.17 billion bushels (182 million
metric tons), up fractionally from the October 1 forecast but down 13
percent from last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
production forecast is 6.84 to 7.49 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 741 million bushels (18.8 million
metric tons), 21 percent less than 1986 and down 1 percent from the
October 1 forecast.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.3 million metric
tons), down fractionally from October 1 but 1 percent above last year.
The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast is 1.85 to
2.07 billion bushels.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 13.9 million bales, 43 percent above the

1986 crop and 4 percent above October 1. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this production forecast is 13.1 to 14.8 million bales.

PEANUT production is expected to total 3.58 billion pounds (1.62 million
metric tons), 3 percent below both last year and the October 1 forecast.
Dry weather in the Southeast adversely affected late acreage and is
responsible for the production drop from October 1.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.23 billion pounds (558 thousand metric
tons), fractionally lower than the October 1 forecast but 6 percent above
the 1986 output.

FALL POTATO production is forecast at 343 million cwt (15.5 million metric
tons), up 8 percent from last year but 3 percent below 1985.

DRY BEAN production is forecast at 25.9 million cwt (1.17 million metric
tons), up 13 percent from last year and 17 percent above 1985.

HR KI IIT III IKI III AAI IRIE III II ISSI III III IIIS IIIA I IK ISIS ISIS IAI III IIIS III IAK

NOTICE

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports
should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room
5829-South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021).

This report and other statistical, economic, marketing and news reports
are available as soon as possible following release through USDA's EDI

SERVICE. For more information, call or write: Russell Forte, (202)
447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250.

tt ee OO OO OF
He RO OO OF

The next issue of this report will be published December 10, 1987
HIKARI IIASA IIIA IIIA IIIA IIIA ARISE IAA IAI IIS DAIS SII IASI AAAI IR IER ERE

CrPr 2-2 (11-87) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


POTATOES

1,000 CWT
ALI : 5.1 4.6 290 235 1,404 1,479 1,081
FLA : 7.2 7. 210 200 1,287 1,512 1,420
TOTAL : 12.3 11.7 243 214 2,691 2,991 2,501
SPRING 1/ :
ALA : 4.7 4.9 145 125 848 682 613
ARIZ t 5.9 4.9 220 250 1,450 1,298 1,225
CALIF : 19.5 21.3 390 375 10,588 7,605 7,988
FLA-HASTINGS z 24.5 25.0 280 170 6,370 6,860 4,250
-OTHER t 9 2.1 190 230 273 71 483
LA : 5 4 70 65 42 35 26
NC 7 13.7 13.7 150 150 2,310 2,055 2,055
TEX 3 6.2 6.2 180 150 1,105 1,116 930
TOTAL : 75.9 78.5 261 224 22,986 19,822 17,570
SUMMER 1/ :
ALA 7.3 7.0 135 169 1,404 986 1,320
CALIF : 6.8 6.1 365 360 2,700 2,482 2,196
COLO : 6.9 6.3 300 295 2,220 2,070 1,859
DEL : 6.9 8.0 190 225 1,820 1,311 1,800
ILL : 2.9 2.8 270 260 855 783 728
IND 3 2/ ay ay 2/ 266 2/ ay
TOWA : 1.7 1.7 195 190 330 332 323
MD : 1.6 1.9 170 200 320 272 380
MICH 3 7.3 9.8 230 190 3,036 1,679 1,862
MINN : 6.2 6.4 265 300 1,788 1, 3643 1,920
NEBR 7 2.2 2.5 275 300 700 605 750
Ng z 8.1 7.4 240 200 2,464 1,944 1,480
N MEX : 9.0 9.8 310 320 2,860 2,790 3,136
NC 3 1.9 1.9 110 110 265 209 209
OHTO : 2/ 2s rah 2/ 341 ay ay
TENN : 2.6 3.0 90 115 375 234 345
TEX 3 9.9 11.0 250 250 2,750 2,475 2,750
VA 3 13.9 13.7 80 150 3,300 1,112 2,055
TOTAL t 95.2 99.3 220 231 27,794 20,927 22,913
FALL z
CALIF 17.0 19.0 405 400 8,385 6,885 7,600
coLo 57.0 60.0 330 325 17,920 18,810 19,500
CONN : 9 5 235 220 350 212 110
IDAHO-10 SW CO 17.0 18.0 360 400 10,875 6,120 7,200
-OTHER CO : 290.0 319.0 290 290 91,640 84,100 92,510
IND : 3/4.5 3/5.0 3/220 3/240 624 3/990 3/1,200
MAINE : 86.0 84.0 255 285 28,215 21,930 23,940
MASS : 2.9 2.9 230 235 825 667 682
MICH : 35.0 32.0 275 270 12,100 9,625 8,640
MINN 3 70.0 71.0 195 240 14,145 13,650 17,040
MONT z 7.7 7.9 290 290 1,890 2,233 2,291
NEBR : 6.9 7.5 260 280 2,106 1,794 2,100
NEY i 9.0 8.0 350 345 3,105 3,150 2,760
N Y-LONG IS : 8.9 8.9 285 250 3,870 2,537 2,225
- UPSTATE : 22.5 26.0 235 235 6,375 5,288 6,110
N DAK > 120.0 125.0 180 185 23,630 21,600 23,125
OHIO 2 3/9.7 3/9.8 3/260 3/230 2,465 3/2,522 3/2,254
OREG-MALHEUR CO : 6.8 6.8 350 410 3,774 2,380 2,788
-OTHER CO : 45.2 48.2 460 480 23,114 20,792 23,136
PA 3 21.5 21.5 240 220 5,720 5,160 4,730
RI 1.6 i) 240 175 700 384 263
S_DAK : 12.0 17.0 210 210 2,100 2,520 2,310
UTAH 6.4 6.3 275 240 1,658 1,760 1,512
VT t tT 200 47 20
WASH > 118.0 124.0 525 540 63,630 61,950 66,960
WIS 57.5 63.5 350 335 24,130 20,125 21,273
Wyo : 2.1 2.3 270 210 245 567 483
TOTAL ay 036.2 1,089.6 307 315 353,638 317,771 342,742

:1,219.6

1,279.1 296 302 407,109 361,511 385,726

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ COMBINED WITH "FALL".
3/ INCLUDES AREAS PREVIOUSLY CLASSIFIED AS "SUMMER".

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-12 NASS, USDA


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION 1/

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
ALA : 219.0 218.0 2,260 2,200 590,000 494,940 479,600
FLA 2 87.0 88.0 2,680 2,600 216,000 233,160 228,800
GA : 665.0 620.0 2,455 2,500 1,921,320 1,632,575 1,550,000
N MEX 2/ 3 12.7 13.0 2,260 2,600 31,992 28,700 33,800
La : 143.0 148.0 3,080 2,650 451,990 440,440 392,200
OKLA : 90.0 93.0 2,050 2,300 170,980 184,500 213,900
sc 3 11.5 14.0 2,220 2,400 34,200 25,530 33,600
TEX : 220.0 235.0 1,750 1,800 422,625 385,000 423,000
VA : 89.0 88.0 3,100 2,550 283,680 275,900 224,400
us 1,537.2 2,407 2,359 4,122,787 3,700,745 3,579,300

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP SEASONAL GROUP
AND

AND 1986 1987
STATE STATE
1,000 ACRES
WINTER 1/
CALIF : 5.1 4.6 CALIF 17.0 19.0
FLA : 7.4 7.3 COLO 57.0 61.0
3 CONN : a) “5
TOTAL : 12.5 11.9 IDAHO-10 SW CO : 17.0 18.0
+ OTHER CO : 293.0 322.0
SPRING 1/ IND : 4.9 5.4
ALA 4.9 5.0 MAINE 87.0 85.0
ARIZ 6.1 4.9 MASS 2.9 2.9
CALIF 19.5 21.3 MICH 42.0 34.0
FLA-HASTINGS 25.0 27.0 MINN 72.0 72.0
-OTHER 1.0 2.2 MONT 7.8 8.0
LA 6 35 NEBR 7.1 7.8
NC 13.9 13.9 NEV 9.0 8.0
TEX 6.4 7.0 N Y-LONG IS 9.0 9.0
: -UPSTATE 24.0 26.5
TOTAL : 77.4 81.8 N DAK 128.0 130.0
: OHIO 10.2 10.3
SUMMER 1/ OREG-MALHEUR 7.0 7.0
ALA 7.5 7.2 -OTHER CO 46.0 49.0
CALIF 6.8 6.3 22.0 22.0
coLo 6.9 6.5 1.6 1.5
DEL 7.0 9.0 13.0 12.0
ILL 3.0 3.1 6.4 6.3
TOWA 1.7 1.7 a
MD 1.7 1.9 119.0 124.0
MICH 13.0 10.0 59.0 64.5
MINN 6.3 6.5 2.2 2.6
NEBR 2.3 2.6 :
Nd 8.2 7.5 TOTAL : 1,065.1 1,108.3
N MEX 9.2 10.0 :
NC 2.0 2.0 1,257.2 1,304.8
TENN 2.6 3.0
TEX 10.0 11.5
VA 14.0 14.0
TOTAL 102.2 102.8

T/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-11 NASS, USDA


PRUNES: California's prune production (dried basis) is forecast at 215 thou-

sand thousand tons (195 thousand metric tons), up 8 percent from the
October 1 and more than double the 1986 crop. Harvest is complete. Fruit
size was larger than expected, considering the crop size, and the dry-away
Ratio was lower than expected.

FILBERTS: Oregon and Washington filbert production is forecast at 20.0 thou-

sand tons (18.1 thousand metric tons), up 8 percent from the
October 1 forecast and 32 percent higher than last year's crop. Virtually al
of the 1987 crop has been received by handlers, as harvest conditions were
ideal and growers were able to sweep orchards more than once.

GRAPEFRUIT: The Texas grapefruit forecast is 3.10 million boxes compared with
1.93 million boxes last season. Harvest volume fs ight but
slowly increasing as fruit maturity advances.

FLORIDA CITRUS: The majority of this State's citrus was dry during October.

There were only a few days of scattered rains, around
October 12, from the tropical storm Floyd, which contributed most of the
month's measurable rainfall. There has been considerable irrigation on the
high sand hills to supply the necessary surface moisture to offset wilt. New
foliage growth virtually stopped due to the lack of rain and cool
temperatures. Harvest of early citrus for the fresh fruit markets started very
slowly compared with last year. This year, 225,000 boxes of early oranges
have been harvested compared with almost 500,000 at the same time last year.
Movement of all grapefruit to date is only 1.86 million boxes, whereas last
year at the same time, utilization totaled 3.12 million boxes. It is
estimated that 2.60 million boxes of all citrus have been used through
October, which is 38 percent less than the 4.20 million boxes certified at the
same time last year. Caretakers are busy preparing young trees for the
upcoming winter season. Heaters are being cleaned, fueled, and placed in cold
locations. Most groves have been clean cultivated.

TEXAS CITRUS: Harvest of grapefruit began in the Rio Grande Valley during late

October. Volume was low early in the month as much of the fruit
was not mature enough; however, by the end of October, volume had increased.
Appearance and quality has been good. Trees are in very good condition, Early
orange harvest was increasing by month's end, Quality is also good for
oranges.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: Fal) harvest of California fruit and nut crops

progressed nicely due to excellent weather con-
ditions. Apple picking was winding down. The grape harvest was near
completion, as of November 1. Near ideal growing conditions for grapes
produced an excellent quality crop. Almond, pistachio, and walnut harvest was
virtually complete. The large crop of almonds made it necessary for some
growers to stock-pile almonds in the field, while waiting for huller space.
Other crops such as kiwifruit, olives, persimmons, pomegranates, dates, and
avocados were actively harvested. Valencia orange harvest was virtually
complete. Navel orange crop harvest was active, with large sizes and good
color reported. Summer grapefruit harvest was completed. Desert grapefruit,
lemon, and tangerine harvest. progressed, with groves showing good condition at
this time. All California citrus crops, other than desert grapefruit, are
expected to be down in volume.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1987 B-9 NASS, USDA


Idaho's beets were 72 percent harvested as of October 25, 15 points ahead
of the 5 year average and equal to last year's pace. Good yields were
reported in most areas, with no major problems or diseases.

Michigan harvest should be completed in early November. Frequent light
rains caused some harvest delays in Yate October. Below normal temperatures
have aided storage.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for seed and sugar is forecast at 30.9 mil-~

lion tons (28.0 million metric tons), down 3 percent from the
October 1 forecast but up 2 percent from the 1986 total. Compared with a year
ago, increased acreage is being partially offset with decreased yields. Area
for harvest, at 828 thousand acres (335 thousand hectares), is up 4 percent
from 1986. The expected average yield of 37.3 tons per acre compares with
38.1 tons in 1986.

In Florida, cutting for sugar was underway at the end of October. Some
wind damage was reported during tropical storm Floyd, Qctober 10-14.

In Hawaif, rain was light to heavy with most occurring in windward areas.
Variable cloudiness persisted in windward sections and was responsible for
reduced sugar yields in these areas. However, leeward areas in the islands
had sunny skies and adequate rain, Consequently, these areas experienced
higher sugar yields.

Harvest of the Louisiana crop was ahead of both last year and the
average, Nearly a third of the crop had been cut by November 1. The crop was
in good condition but yields were lower than expected earlier.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 6.00 million pounds

{2720 metric tons) in November. December's output is anticipated to
increase to 6.10 million pounds (2770 metric tons), followed by decreases
during the beginning of the new year--production is expected to be 5.80
million pounds (2630 metric tons) in January and 3.30 million pounds (1500
metric tons) in February.

October's fresh utilization is estimated at 6.09 million pounds (2760
metric tons), 25 percent higher than September and 5 percent more than last
October. Year-to-date fresh sales were 8 percent greater than the same
ten-month period in 1986. October's crop area, up 2 percent from September
but relatively unchanged from iJast October, totaled 4070 acres (1650
hectares). Area harvested totaled 2500 acres (1010 hectares), 4 percent more
than Tast month and 5 percent above last October.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on

November 1 far the 48 contiguous States was
71 percent, 14 points below November 1, 1986 and 3 points below the 1976-85
average for the date. Condition declined during October in 36 States,
improved in 8 States, and was unchanged in 4 States.

In the New England States, New Jersey, and New York, the pasture
conditions are in the good to excellent range. The Great Plains States were
in the poor to fair, or good to excellent, range.

Conditions continued to decline in the Southeast, with Georgia in the
extreme drought range and Atabama, Kentucky, and South Carolina in the severe
drought range. Severe drought conditions were also reported jin Idaho and

regon.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 B-8 NASS, USDA


AREA HARVESTED

IND
1987

CORN FOR GRAIN

PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES

STATE
1986

ALA : 270
ARIZ 1/: 24
ARK /: 80
CALIF : 250
COLO : 710
CONN 2/ :

DEL : 169
FLA VW: 160
GA 730
IDAHO 1/ 60
TLL 10,400
IND 5,700
IOWA 12,050
KANS 1,335
KY : 1,520
LA V/s 385
MAINE 2/ :

MD 3 580
MASS 2/ :

MICH : 2,450
MINN : 5,800
MISS 1/: 180
MO : 2,420
MONT 1/: 13
NEBR 3 7,000
NH 2/:

NJ W/: 104
N MEX 1/ : 55
NY : 650
NC : 1,360
N DAK : 530
OHIO : 3,720
OKLA I/: 45
OREG I/: 30
PA 3 1,240
RI 2/:

sc : 460
S DAK : 2,850
TENN 770
TEX 1,330
UTAH I/: 18
VT 2/:

VA : 400
WASH I/ : 120
WVA T/ 3 70
WIS : 3,100
WYO Wi: 51
us 69,189

1986
BUSHELS

57.0 72.0 24,375
110.0 115.0 2,205
106.0 110.0 7,884
152.0 150.0 46,400
140.0 145.0 103,555
83.0 68.0 19,075
62.0 65.0 12,350
58.0 90.0 81,900
130.0 135.0 10,000
135.0 132.0 »534,950
122.0 135.0 756,450
135.0 133.0 1,707,300
136.0 125.0 152,100
92.0 102.0 159,120
116.0 116.0 23,370
73.0 78.0 70,400
105.0 95.0 286,650
122.0 130.0 724,500
75.0 80.0 7,820
116.0 115.0 272,800
115.0 115.0 1,045
128.0 130.0 953, 3600
107.0 110.0 12,540
150.0 155.0 10,075
99.0 105.0 68,400
69.0 62.0 128,375
93.0 87.0 40,320
128.0 123.0 511,810
116.0 120.0 6,148
160.0 160.0 6,600
103.0 95.0 151,800
46.0 80.0 45,760
82.0 84.0 252,000
74.0 93.0 79,380
112.0 109.0 156,450
125.6 12320 1,840
54.0 58.0 54,450
170.0 170.0 21,600
90.0 92.0 7,665
118.0 118.0 358,450
114.0 110.0 5,194
119.3 120.3 8,876,706

1,000 BUSHELS

15,390
2,640
8,480

38,000

99,400

14,027
93920
42,340
7,800
1,404,000
695,400
1,626,750
181,560
139,840
445660

42,340

257,250
707,600
13,500
280,720
1,495
896,000

11,128
8,250
64,350
93,840
49,290
476,160
5,220
43800
127,720

21,160
233,700
56,980
148,960
2,250

21,600
20,400
6,300
365,800
5,814

8,252,834

28, 3500
100,050

10,540
6,500
55,800
6,750
1,214,400
641,250
1,336,650
150,000
117,300
20,300

36,270
185,250

806, 3000

10,450
6,975
52,500
75,640
40,020
369,000
6,000
4,000
110,200

30,800
226,800
55,800
136,250
2,625

21,750
13,600
5,520
336,300
6,600

7,166,020

1/__ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
ESTIMATED.

CROP PRODUCTION,
NOVEMBER 1987

2/ NOT

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS: ROW SPACING - 1987

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted soybean objective
yield surveys in 15 States which account for approximately 88 percent of the
1987 U.S. soybean production. Plots were randomly selected from a scientifi-
cally drawn sample of soybean fields, which were visited monthly from about
August 1 through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements.

Sample data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the
following table are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics
Board but are intended to show trends in soybean production practices.

In the 11 States where comparable row space measurements are available, 8
decreased and 3 increased from last year. Ohio continues to have the
narrowest row space measurements because a high percentage of the acreage is
drill planted. Louisiana and Iowa had the widest row spacing followed by
Arkansas.

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGES DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1985-87 1/

STATE : NUMBER AVERAGE
AND H OF : 10.0 &: 18.6- : 28.6- : 34.6 & : WIDTH 2/
YEAR : SAMPLES : LESS 2/ 2 28.5 2 34.5 : GREATER (INCHES)

ARK 1985 : 139 8.3 2.2 17.3 28.8 32.4
1986 : 132 11.7 3.4 13.3 29.2 31.0

1987 : 134 10.5 3.4 15.3 24.0 31.5

Itt 1985 : 173 19.7 5.2 3.8 47.4 26.7
1986 : 174 16.7 4.3 4.3 53.2 27.4

1987 : 179 12.3 7.8 3.9 58.9 27.2

IND 1985 : 106 7.1 9.0 2.8 59.9 29.1
1986 : 105 13.8 9.6 4.8 55.5 26.7

1987 : 104 20.8 8.2 1.9 56.1 25.9

TOWA 1985: 147 4.8 5.8 4.4 51.0 30.5
1986 : 147 5.1 2.4 7.9 49.5 31.3

1987 : 155 6 5.2 6.5 46.7 32.0

KY 1985 : 79 11.4 18.4 22.2 36.7 26.1
1986 : 89 16.4 11.9 12.4 47.4 27.0

1987 : 92 12.0 13.0 25.0 44.0 26.3

LA 1985 : 98 18.9 6.6 6.6 31.6 31.7
1986 : 91 18.7 1.7 8.8 26.3 33.5
1987: 95 13.7 Mw 18.4 25.8 32.0

MINN 1985 : 104 19.2 7.7 8.2 48.1 25.8
1986: 95 11.6 2u1 10.6 59.3 28.1

1987 : 93 17.3 10.3 7.0 56.2 25.1

MISS 1985 : 112 15.6 8.9 12.1 24.6 29.1
1986 : 107 1315 9.4 14:0 19.6 28.7

1987 : 110 15.5 7.3 16.5 19.6 28.8

MO 1985: 144 25.7 4.5 5.2 47.2 25.7
1986 : 140 16.4 2.9 6.1 54.5 27.6

1987 : 148 20.6 8.4 7.1 44.3 25.9

OHIO 1985 : 109 33.5 14.7 3.2 40.4 21.3
1986 : WI 41.4 10.8 8.1 33.8 19.5

1987 : 122 35.6 18.8 7.4 32.0 19.3

TENN 85 15.3 6.5 8.8 21.8 31.6
78 12.8 8.3 18.6 18.0 29.4

90 10.17 10.6 18.4 12.9 29.3

1/ BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.
2s BROADCAST SOYBEANS INCLUDED AS 10.0 INCHES ANDO LESS BUT EXCLUDED IN
COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE WIDTH.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-22 NASS, USDA


Dry weather in the South and East continued to have a detrimental effect
on yields. Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina
dropped one bushel per acre from October 1 while Maryland decreased two
bushels and Tennessee fel] three bushels. Both Illinois and Missouri yield
decreased 1 bushel per acre. On the positive side, yield increases from
October 1 were recorded in Michigan, 4 bushels per acre; Kansas, two bushels;
and both Iowa and South Dakota, 1 bushel.

Quality of the crop was good in most areas. Some areas have reported
smaller than normal soybeans as dry weather did not permit the beans to
completely fill. Moisture content has generally been normal to below normal
as the crop has matured faster than anticipated.

As of November 1, 89 percent of the crop was harvested, 21 points ahead of
both last year and the 5~year average. All States were ahead of schedule
harvesting the crop. Most States were two weeks ahead of normal, except in
the Southeast. Towa, Minnesota, and South Dakota had completed their harvests
by November 1, while Illinois, Indiana, and Nebraska were 99 percent complete,
and Ohio’s was 98 percent complete.

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 13.9 million bales, 43 percent

above the 1986 crop and 4 percent above the October 1 forecast. The
Upland production forecast is for 13.7 million bales and American-Pima
production is expected to total a record high 238 thousand bales. Upland
production is the highest since 1981 when 15.6 million bales were produced.
Total area for harvest is estimated at 9.96 million acres (4.03 million
hectares), up 18 percent from last year but fractionally below the October 1
estimate. Yields are expected to average a record high 671 pounds per
harvested acre, up 119 pounds per acre from 1986 and 41 pounds per acre above
the previous record high established in 1985.

In Texas and Oklahoma, Upland production is forecast at 4.50 million
bales, up 64 percent from last year and 7 percent above the October 1
forecast. A record high yield is expected in Texas and Oklahoma. In Texas,
open weather allowed harvest to proceed to near completion in the eastern half
of the State. In the western half of the State, some of the most advanced
fields were defoliated and harvest was underway in the Plains. Mild October
weather in Oklahoma increased potential yields for late planted cotton.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and
Tennessee) expect to produce 4.57 million bales, 49 percent above last year
and 6 percent above the October 1 forecast. The crop has made excellent
growth throughout the season and weather conditions for harvest have been very
favorable. Record high yields are expected jin Arkansas, Missouri, and
Tennessee.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.62 million bales of Upland cotton, up 21 percent from last
year and 2 percent above the October 1 forecast. Growers are extremely
optimistic about yields in the region. Record high yields are expected in
Arizona and California.

The Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina) are expected to harvest 980 thousand bales, up 38 percent from last
year and up 7 percent from October 1. Dry conditions in the area were very
beneficial for harvesting while minimizing harvest loss. In South Carolina,
unusually dry, cold conditions, along with several early frosts, were very
detrimental to late maturing acreage.

Bureau of the Census reports 7,533,780 running bates ginned prior to
November 1 compared with 5,291,515 bales to the same date last year and
6,245,836 bales in 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 B-5 NASS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
{DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

cROP : : : : INDICATED
: 1986 : 1987 : 1986: 1987

1,000 ACRES
CORN : 76,674 66,024 69,189 59,553

SORGHUM : 15,321 11,771 13,904 10,512
RICE : 2,401.0 2,344.0 2,380.0 2,333.0
SOYBEANS : 60,385 58,685 58,292 57,559
PEANUTS 3 1,572.7 1,527.0 1,537.2 1,517.0
ALL COTTON 3 10,044.6 10,415.7 8,468.4 9,964.9
UPLAND 3 9,933.1 10,286.7 8,357.3 9,837.1
AMER-PIMA H 111.5 129.0 111.1 127.8
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1,673.8 1,761.8 1,495.0 1,675.4
POTATOES 3
FALL 3 1,065.1 1,108.3 1,036.2 1,089.6
TOTAL : 1,257.2 1,304.8 1,219.6 1,279.1
TOBACCO : 581.9 601.7

SUGARBEETS : 1,231.7 1,268.2 1,193.3 1,248.3
SUGARCANE FOR 3
SUGAR AND SEED

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

cRoP : : : : INDICATED
: 1986 36: )=6-1987 If t: 1986 =: ~——«1987 1/

1,000 ACRES

OATS : 14,691 17,960 6,860 6,921

BARLEY 3 13,059 11,046 12,007 10,022
ALL WHEAT 3 72,068 65,804 60,723 55,914
WINTER : 53,965 48,781 43,205 39,292
DURUM : 2,994 3,341 2,877 3,279
OTHER SPRING : 15,109 13,682 14,641 13,343
RYE Hy 2,384 2,483 677 673
FLAXSEED : 720 485 683 466
SUNFLOWER : 2,025 1,725 1,955 1,677
ALL HAY H 62,274 60,203
ALFALFA : 26,748 25,497
ALL OTHER 2 35,526 34,706
DRY EDIBLE PEAS : 180.0 163.0 179.0 161.0
AUSTRIAN WINTER :

PEAS 2 32.0 42.0 31.5 33.0
LENTILS H 159.0 143.0 158.0 142.0
POTATOES H

WINTER : 12.5 11.9 12.3 11.7

SPRING 3 77.4 81.8 75.9 78.5

SUMMER : 102.2 102.8 95.2 99.3
SWEETPOTATOES : 97.1 96.6 93.4 93.6
HOPS 25.0 28.5

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-4 NASS, USDA


AREA HARVESTED : : PRODUCTION
CLASS AND TYPE

> IND
1986 : 1987
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND

MIDDLE BELTS :

NC : 78,000 80,000 1,980 2,000 154,440 160,000

VA : 28,000 29,000 2,055 2,000 57,540 58,000

US : 106,000 109,000 2,000 2,000 211,980 218,000
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC :

BELT :

NC : 102,000 107,000 2,165 2,075 220,830 222,025
TYPE 13, N C BORDER & :

SC BELT

NC : 27,000 30,000 2,040 2,200 55,080 66,000

Sc : 37,000 41,000 2,040 2,260 75,480 92,660

us : 64,000 71,000 2,040 2,235 130,560 158,660
TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT

FLA : 5,300 5,600 2,510 2,475 13,303 13,860

GA : 31,000 34,000 2,190 2,150 67,890 73,100

us : 36,300 39,600 2,237 2,196 81,193 86,960
TOTAL 11-14 : 308,300 326,600 2,091 2,099 644,563 685,645

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT

VA : 2,900 2,400 1,220 1,150 3,538 2,760
TYPE 22, EASTERN :
DISTRICT H
KY : 4,400 2,800 1,985 1,950 8,734 5,460
TENN 3 8,800 5,500 2,025 2,000 17,820 11,000
US : 13,200 8,300 2,012 1,983 26,554 16,460
TYPE 23, WESTERN :
DISTRICT Hy
KY : 4,300 2,700 2,240 2,000 9,632 5,400
TENN : 680 450 2,275 2,100 1,547 945
US : 4,980 3,150 2,245 2,014 11,179 6,345

TOTAL 21-23 27,080 13,850 1,958 1,846 43,271 25,565
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED :
CLASS 3A, LIGHT

AIR-CURED

TYPE 31, BURLEY
IND 5,900 6,000 2,050 2,100 12,095 12,600
KY 140,000 145,000 2,050 2,175 287,000 315,375
MO 1/ 2,100 2,000 2,090 2,150 4,389 4,300
NC 7,600 8.500 1,900 1,900 14,440 16,150
OHIO 7,100 7,200 1,840 1,700 13,064 12,240
TENN 39,000 46,000 1,590 1,800 62,010 82,800
VA 7,400 8,800 1,660 1,700 12,284 14,960
WVA 1/ 1,600 1,800 1,650 1,650 2,640 2,970
US 210,700 225,300 1,936 2,048 407,922 461,395

TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MO
BELT 1/
MD

16,000 15,000 1,320 1,220 21,120 18,300

PA 3,400 3,400 1,950 1,850 6,630 6,290

US 19,400 18,400 1,430 1,336 27,750 24,590

TOTAL 31-32 230,100 243,700 1,893 1,994 435,672 485,985
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-16. : CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NOVEMBER 1987 A~15 NASS, USDA


FILBERTS

PRODUCTION
SAE UTILIZED SS~*~<aS*é‘<i<i‘S;C;CS;!”;*S*;S:*~S
wee een ee en ne ne ne enneeneeenneee! IND
1985 1986 1987
TONS (IN-SHELL BASIS)
OREG 24,300 14,900 19,700
WASH VW 300 200 300
US 24,600 15,100 20,000

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES

STATE

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

AREAS
: HARVESTED :
wee nn nnn tw enn n mene enenenesnneennennene= 1986 1987: FORECAST
1987 1986 1987 :1987-88
. . ACRES tstst=~CS 1,000 POUNDS
SEP 3,970 4,000 2,340 2,405 3,120 4,880
ocT 4,050 4,070 2,375 2,500 5,805 6,090
NOV: 4,025 2,265 42155 6,000
DEC = :--3,930 23270 43.440 6,100
JAN: 3,905 2,420 4,400 5,800
FEB 33860 22465 33600 3,300
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-OCT 41,505 44,625

CROP PRODUCTION,
NOVEMBER 1987

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about November 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports from
farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, and cotton. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and
probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities.
Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts, and
measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling
and non-sampling errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the
production forecasts are subject to change due to future weather effects and
other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect final
Production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing
the deviations between the November 1 production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1967-86 twenty-year period; the square root of
this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 2.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7,166 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 2.6 percent or approximately
186 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 4.5 percent or approximately 322 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 154 million bushels,
ranging from 21 million to 378 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 9 times and above 1 time. This does not imply
that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

:ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR : 10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST

290% CONFIDENCE AND FINAL ESTIMATE
CROP AND : LEVEL
UNIT PERCENT: ----- -

PERCENT: QUANT

MIL

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT 1.8 3.1 7
CORN FOR GRAIN BU 2.6 4.5 322
SORGHUM FOR :

GRAIN BU : 4.2 7.3 54
RICE CWT: 2.5 4.3 6
SOYBEANS FOR :

BEANS BU : 3.1 5.4 106
COTTON BALE 2/ : 3.6 6.2 860

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-3 NASS, USDA


U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

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SORGHUM: Production is forecast at 741 million bushels (18.8 million metric

tons), 21 percent less than the 1986 production and off 1 percent
from October 1. Harvested area stays at 10.5 million acres (4.25 million
hectares), down 24 percent from last year. Yield dipped 0.6 of a bushel from
the October 1 forecast and is expected to average 70.5 bushels per acre. This
is sei a record level; up 2.8 bushels per acre from the previous record high
set in 1986,

As of November 1, 81 percent of the crop was harvested in the major
States. This compares with 68 percent last year and the average 70 percent.
Harvests were complete in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee.
Tllinois's harvest is virtually complete; Missouri, Nebraska, and South Dakota
harvests are winding down.

Colorado's crop is 41 percent harvested; the remainder is rated in good
condition. The Kansas harvest is 75 percent complete, 20 points ahead of
average. However, the two largest sorghum districts have 40 percent of their
acreage remaining. Louisiana's crop was out by mid-October. Oryland sorghum
has progressed well in New Mexico; harvest was well underway by November 1.
Rain halted Oklahoma's harvest at 30 percent completion. This lags the
average by 15 points. A hard freeze is needed to reach maturity, particularly
in northern Oklahoma. South Dakota's harvest progress is about three weeks
ahead of average. By early October, sorghum harvest was complete in all areas
of Texas except the Plains and Cross-Timbers. Open weather allowed harvest of
mature fields in these areas, but moisture levels remain high in many fields.
Some of these fields will probably not be harvested until a freeze occurs.

RICE: Rice production is forecast at 129 million hundredweight (5.87 million

metric tons), up 2 percent from the October 1 forecast but 4 percent
below the 134 million hundredweight (6.10 million metric tons) produced in
1986. The increase from the October 1 forecast was caused by an increase in
harvested acres in Arkansas and better yield expectations in Arkansas and
Texas. Harvested area, at 2.33 million acres (944 thousand hectares), is 15
thousand acres above October 1, but 2 percent below 1986. Yield is estimated
at 5547 pounds per acre, 101 pounds below 1986. Yield increased 76 pounds
from the October 1 forecast. Arkansas’ yield increased 100 pounds while
Texas' yield jumped 300 pounds.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 B-3 NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1977-87 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION
YEAR : : : HAY: : : :
sALL 1/: FEED : AND : FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO :OIL CROPS
: : GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : :
1977 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 : 102 108 106 93 101 76 106 105
1979 : 113 116 108 108 94 102 80 129
1980 : 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981 : 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982 2117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983 : 88 67 100 W7 93 55 75 91
1984 2711 116 107 129 95 91 90 106
1985 : 117 134 106 121 97 93 79 VW7
1986 : 108 123 106 106 106 68 61 110
1987 : 107 106 105 107 113 97 64 109

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS
OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
APPROVED: Richard D. Allen, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,
Robert L. Addison, Douglas G. Flohr,

David J. Aune, Craig M. Hayes,
Thomas R. Birkett, Michael A. Hunst,
Charles R. Brantner, Clifton D. James,

( Meer dames E. Brewster, Doyle C. Johnson,
Arvin R. Budge, Gregory R. Kimmet,
Sammye Crawford, Darwin E. Ransom,
William N. Dowdy, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler,
S. Radley Edwards, Glenn W. Suter,
Dennis S. Findley, Charles A. Van Lahr,

John D. Witzig.
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-2 NASS, USDA




COTTONSEED: Production for 1987, based on a three year average lint-seed

ratio, is forecast at 5.48 million tons (4.97 million metric
tons), 44 percent above the 1986 production of 3.80 million tons (3.45 million
metric tons).

DRY BEANS: Dry edible bean production is forecast at 25.9 million cwt (1.17

million metric tons), up 13 percent from last year and 17 percent
above 1985, Area for harvest is estimated at 1.68 million acres (678 thousand
hectares), up 12 percent from last year and 13 percent above 1985. The
average yield should come in at 1544 pounds per acre, 12 pounds above last
year and 47 pounds above 1985.

Michigan harvest progressed very well during October with 85 percent of
the crop in by November 1, Mild fall weather has allowed late setting beans
to mature properly, with better yields than previously anticipated. New York
yields were up from the October 1 forecast. Nebraska acreage was adjusted
down 10 thousand acres and yields again lowered as farmers and dealers came to
a better realization of hail damage that accurred during August and
September. Harvest is finished in nearly all other States.

POTATOES: Fall potato production is forecast at 343 million cwt (15.5 million

metric tons), a gain of 8 percent over last year but 3 percent
short of 1985. Area for harvest is set at 1.09 million acres (441 thousand
hectares), up 5 percent from last year but 5 percent below 1985. The average
yield is expected to hit a record high 315 cwt per acre, up 8 cwt from last
year and 7 cwt above 1985.

The 6 EASTERN STATES produced an estimated 38.1] million cwt, up 5 percent
from last year but 17 percent short of 1985, Area harvested totaled 145
thousand acres, up 1 percent from 1986 but 13 percent below 1985. The average
yield came in at 262 cwt per acre, a gain of 11 cwt from last year but 14 cwt
below 1985. Maine production of 23.9 million cwt was up 9 percent from 1986
New York output of 8.34 million cwt was up 7 percent; Pennsylvania production
of 4.73 million cwt was off 8 percent.

The 8 CENTRAL STATES are expected to produce 77.9 million cwt, up 7
percent from last year but 4 percent below 1985. Harvested area totaled 325
thousand acres, a gain of 3 percent from last year but 6 percent below 1985.
Minnesota's production of 17.0 million cwt jumped 25 percent from last year;
North Dakota production, at 23.1 million cwt, was up 7 percent; while
Wisconsin's 21.3 million cwt was up 6 percent from last year. Michigan
produced 8.64 million cwt, down 10 percent from last year.

The 9 WESTERN STATES potato production is forecast at 227 million cwt, up
8 percent from last year and fractionally above the 1985 crop. Harvest
acreage is set at 620 thousand acres, up 8 percent from last year but 2
percent below 1985. Average yield per acre swelled to 367 cwt, 5 cwt above
last year and 10 cwt above two years ago. Production in Washington and
Colorado hit record highs with 67.0 million cwt and 19.5 million cwt,
respectively. Idaho growers produced 99.7 million cwt, up 11 percent from
last year. Oregon production is forecast at 25.9 million cwt, up 12 percent.
Nevada, Utah, and Wyoming each produced fewer potatoes than last year.

ALL POTATO production for 1987 (Winter, Spring, Summer, and Fall) is
forecast at 386 million cwt (17.5 million metric tons), up 7 percent from last
year but 5 percent short of the 1985 crop. Harvested area totaled 1.28
million acres (518 thousand hectares), up 5 percent from 1986 but 6 percent
below 1985, The average yield climbed to 302 cwt per acre, up 6 cwt from last
year and 3 cwt above 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 B-6 NASS, USDA



COTTON

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION 1/

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 27
UPLAND :
ALA : 313.0 333.0 506 577 545.0 330.0 400.0
ARIZ H 249.0 308.0 1,301 1,294 928.0 675.0 830.0
ARK : 480.0 585.0 602 738 703.0 602.0 900.0
CALIF : 990.0 1,120.0 1,088 1,157 3,114.0 2,245.0 2,700.0
FLA 3/ i: 19.0 23.5 707 735 32.5 28.0 36.0
GA : 195.0 255.0 455 678 370.0 185.0 360.0
KANS 3/ : 1.0 9 336 587 4 7 1
LA : 570.0 600.0 567 776 742.0 673.0 970.0
MISS : 1,000.0 1,090.0 571 77 1,655.0 1,190.0 1,750.0
MO : 160.0 189.0 588 825 204.0 196.0 325.0
N MEX 3 50.0 62.0 595 658 71.0 62.0 85.0
NC : 81.0 94.0 646 511 117.0 109.0 100.0
OKLA : 350.0 390.0 288 431 285.0 210.0 350.0
sc : 113.0 125.0 370 461 180.0 87.0 120.0
TENN 2 335.0 410.0 567 726 419.0 396.0 620.0
TEX : 3,450.0 4,250.0 353 469 3,910.0 2,535.0 4,150.0
VA 3/ : 1.3 1.7 554 508 1.2 1.5 1.8
US : 8,357.3 9,837.1 547 668 13,277.1 9,525.2 13,698.9
AMER-PIMA :
ARIZ : 73.8 84.8 965 991 108.7 148.3 175.0
N MEX : 11.1 12.0 718 700 11.3 16.6 17.5
TEX : 26.2 31.0 751 697 35.1 41.0 45.0
A us 3 WW. 127.8 890 892 155.1 205.9 237.5
LL
ALA 313.0 333.0 506 577 545.0 330.0 400.0
ARIZ 322.8 392.8 1,224 1,228 1,036.7 823.3 1,005.0
ARK 480.0 585.0 602 738 703.0 602.0 900.0
CALIF 990.0 1,120.0 1,088 1,157 3,114.0 2,245.0 2,700.0
FLA 3/ 19.0 23.5 707 735 32.5 28.0 36.0
GA 195.0 255.0 455 678 370.0 185.0 360.0
KANS 3/ : 1.0 9 336 587 4 a7 1.
LA 3 570.0 600.0 567 776 742.0 673.0 970.0
MISS : 1,000.0 1,090.0 571 771 1,655.0 1,190.0 1,750.0
MO : 160.0 189.0 588 825 204.0 196.0 325.0
N MEX 2 61.1 74.0 617 665 82.3 78.6 102.5
NC : 81.0 94.0 646 511 117.0 109.0 100.0
OKLA : 350.0 390.0 288 431 285.0 210.0 350.0
sc : 113.0 125.0 370 461 180.0 87.0 120.0
TENN : 335.0 410.0 567 726 419.0 396.0 620.0
TEX 2 3,476.2 4,28).0 356 470 3,945.1 2,576.0 4,195.0
VA 3/ : 1.3 1.7 554 508 1.2 1.5 1.8
us : 8,468.4 9,964.9 552 671 13,432.2 9,731.1 13,936.4

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED. 2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A-13 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
CLASS AND TYPE Decne cree enn nn enn nnn ee ne nen tenner e ee
3 > IND : IND 2 3 IND
1986 : 1987 : 1986 1987: 1986: 1987
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT :
KY : 2,900 2,000 2,000 1,900 5,800 3,800
TENN : 700 550 1,900 2,000 1,330 1,100
us : 3,600 2,550 1,981 1,922 7,130 4,900
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT
KY 3 1,700 1,200 2,220 1,900 3,774 2,280
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :
BELT :
VA 3 130 130 (1,245 1,050 162 137
TOTAL 35-37 : 5,430 3,880 2,038 1,886 11,066 7,317

CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF :

PA : 7,600 7,600 2,000 1,900 15,200 14,440
TYPE 42-44 OHIO-MIAMI =:

VALLEY TYPES :

OHIO 2/ 320 50 1,595 1,500 510 75
TOTAL 41-44 as i: 7,920 7,650 1,984 1,897 15,710 14,515
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER :
CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY :

BINDER :
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY

BROADLEAF :

CONN : 1,000 930 1,750 1,725 1,750 1,604

MASS 3/ 1 110 1,800 198
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY :

HAVANA SEED :

MASS 3 130 1,925 250
TOTAL 51-52 : 1,130 1,040 1,770 1,733 2,000 1,802
CLASS 58, WIS BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :

WIS : 3,100 2,200 1,530 2,200 4,743 4,840
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS :

WIS

: 3,500 1,500 1,725 1,900 6,038 2,850
TOTAL 54-55 : 6,600 3,700 1,633 2,078 10,781 7,690
TOTAL 51-55 : 7,730 4,740 1,653 2,003 12,781 9,492
CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY
SHADE -GROWN :
CONN : 990 870 1,325 1,425 1,312 1,240
MASS : 340 410 1,095 1,400 372 574
US : 1,330 1,280 1,266 1,417 1,684 1,814
ALL CIGAR TYPES :
TOTAL 41-61 16,980 13,670 1,777 1,889 30,175 25,82

: 581,890 601,700 1,998 2,045 1,162,747 1,230,333

ALL TOBACCO 1/
1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPES GROWN IN OHIO.

3/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1987,

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NOVEMBER 1987 A~16 NASS, USDA