SUGARBEETS 1/

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND: : IND: : : IND

: 1988: 1989 : 1988: 1989: 1987: 1988 : 1989

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
CALIF : 212.0 192.0 25.0 26.5 6,091 5,300 5,088
COLO : 38.6 40.0 22.8 22.0 803 880 880
IDAHO 3 166.0 177.0 24.6 25.0 4,277 4,084 4,425
MICH : 145.0 153.0 16.5 20.0 2,911 2,393 3,060
MINN : 334.0 339.0 14.2 15.5 6,200 4,743 5,255
MONT : 48.9 52.1 21.1 21.0 1,086 1,032 1,094
NEBR : 62.2 63.3 21.2 19.0 1,102 1,319 1,203
N MEX : 7 2/ 12.9 2/ 2 9 2/
N DAK : 175.5 175.0 14.7 15.5 3,161 2,580 2,713
OHIO : 14.7 16.6 15.9 16.5 269 234 274
OREG : 14.1 15.0 26.7 28.9 422 376 434
TEX : 33.0 36.0 21.9 22.0 621 723 792
Wyo : 56.0 61.2 20.3 20.0 1,127 1,137 1,224
OTH STS 3/ : 1.8 29.4 53
US 1,300.7. 1,322.0 19.1 20.0 28,072 24,810 26,495

1/__RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CALIF. 2/ INCLUDED IN OTHER STATES TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVID-
UAL OPERATIONS. 3/ INCLUDES NEW MEXICO AND WASHINGTON.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED YIELD 1/ : PRODUCTION 1/

STATE 0 p----- <= 2-22-22 nnn nnn eee
1988 1989 1988: 1989: 1987 1988 1989
1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

FLA : 421.0 423.0 «31.6 = 33.0 -«:13,469 +=-13,304 13,959

HAW : 86.1 84.0 90.6 85.5 8,195 7,804 7,182

LA : 305.0 320.0 25.3 27.0 6, 469 7,708 8,640

TEX : 33.2 35.7 32.8 29.0 1,085 1,088 1,035

US : 845.3 862.7 35.4 35.7 29,218 29,904 30,816

1/ NET TONS.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

SEPTEMBER 1989 A-20 NASS, USDA


The Michigan forecast is 45.0 thousand tons, down 10 percent from August
1 and 15 percent below the 1988 season. The grape crop received ample
rainfall this year, which has helped berry size but contributed to heavy
disease pressure as well. Harvest of wine grapes began in late August, while
Concord harvest is expected to begin the last week of September.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune production (dried basis) is forecast at

205 thousand tons, up 3 percent from July 1 and 32 percent
more than 1988. Harvest has begun. The crop dried early and had a high dry
weight. There has been some hail damage and brown rot has been reported in
a few areas.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington
is forecast at 48.5 thousand tons, unchanged from August 1 but 7 percent less
than last year. Harvest is about half complete in Idaho. Insect and disease
damage have been minimal. Michigan's harvest began in late August. Quality
and size are excellent. Harvest is nearing completion in Washington.
CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: August was a busy month for fruit and nut growers

throughout the State. Harvesting of apples
picked up speed, with primarily Gravenstein and Red and Golden Delicious
varieties packed. Granny Smith harvest was just getting underway by mid-
month. Packing of avocados progressed slowly. Bagging of dates was completed
in Riverside County during the first week. Harvest was started for figs,
pomegranates, and prunes. Table grape harvest gained momentum while raisin
grapes were beginning to be laid on trays for drying. Wine grape harvest was
well underway by the end of the month for French Colonbard, Grenache, Thompson
Seedless, and Muscat varieties. Stone fruit harvest was coming to a close at
month's end with over 95 percent of the Freestone peaches, plums, and nectar-
ines packed. Picking of Clingstone peaches and Asian pears continued, while
the Bartlett pear harvest was winding down. Packing of grapefruit progressed.
Picking of Valencia oranges continued to be active in southern California,
while slower in the San Joaquin Valley. Almond harvest was in full swing by
the end of the month, with pistachio harvest just getting underway. Walnut
groves were sprayed for pests and pre-harvest irrigations were applied late
in the month.

FILBERTS (HAZELNUTS): Filbert (hazelnut) production in Oregon and Washington
is estimated at 13.5 thousand tons (in-shell basis)
this year. This level is 18 percent below last year and the lowest since

1984. The Oregon crop is expected to total 13.3 thousand tons, and Washington
growers will harvest 200 tons in 1989.

WAINUTS: The September 1 forecast for California walnut production is 210
thousand tons (in-shell basis), 2 percent above last year's crop but
15 percent below the 1987 record production.

PISTACHIOS: ‘The California pistachio production forecast is 28.0 million

pounds (in shell basis), a 70 percent drop from last year's
record crop and 15 percent below the 1987 season. This reduced forecast level
is primarily due to the alternate bearing characteristic of pistachio trees.
Quality is anticipated to be normal while nut sizes should be larger.
Clusters per tree are expected to be down significantly. Nut blanking appears
to be average. Growers began harvest over the Labor Day weekend.

PECANS: The initial forecast for the pecan crop in the 12 estimating States
is 246 million pounds, in-shell basis, 20 percent below last year's
production and 6 percent under the 1987 crop.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-12 NASS, USDA



COTTON

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : IND : IND
: 1988 1989 : 1988 1989 1987 1988 1989
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND
ALA 3 375.0 340.0 486 508 397.0 380.0 360.0
ARIZ : 349.0 239.0 1,190 1,305 849.0 865.0 650.0
ARK : 675.0 570.0 742 623 901.0 1,044.0 740.0
CALIF : 1,335.0 1,040.0 1,015 1,200 2,989.0 2,824.0 2,600.0
FLA 3/: 29.0 29.0 566 $74 39. 34.2 34.7
GA $ 315.0 295.0 564 683 338.0 370.0 420.0
KANS 3/ : 9 1.2 373 400 9 7 1.0
LA : 645.0 620.0 705 697 977.0 948.0 900.0
MISS : 1,190.0 1,050.0 736 686 1,745.0 1,825.0 1,500.0
MO 3 237.0 212.0 620 611 330.0 306.0 270.0
N MEX : 69.0 66.0 710 713 89.0 102.0 98.0
NC : 124.0 110.0 515 524 98.0 133.0 120.0
OKLA : 435.0 365.0 334 375 346.0 303.0 285.0
sc : 142.0 119.0 473 625 106.0 140.0 155.0
TENN : $30.0 445.0 §29 $50 634.0 $84.0 510.0
TEX : §,300.0 3,700.0 472 389 4,635.0 5,215.0 3,000.0
VA 3/: 3.2 2.9 510 612 1.4 3.4 3.7
US > 11,754.1 9,204.1 616 607 14,475.3 15,077.3 11,647.4
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ 128.0 220.0 904 960 213.0 241.0 440.0
CALIF : 1.8 19.0 853 909 2.2 3.2 36.0
N MEX 17.8 27.0 634 640 18.6 23.5 36.0
TEX 41.5 74.5 769 773 50.8 66.5 120.0
at Ss 189.1 340.5 848 891 284.6 334.2 632.0
ALA 3 375.0 340.0 486 508 397.0 380.0 360.0
ARIZ 477.0 459.0 1,113 1,140 1,062.0 1,106.0 1,090.0
A 675.0 570.0 742 623 901.0 1,044.0 740.0
CALIF 1,336.8 1,059.0 1,015 1,195 2,991.2 2,827.2 2,636.0
FLA 0 29. 566 $74 39.0 34.2 34.7
GA 315.0 295.0 564 683 338.0 370.0 420.0
KANS a] 1.2 373 400 7 1.0
LA : 645.0 620.0 705 697 977.0 948.0 900.0
MISS 1,190.0 1,050.0 736 686 1,745.0 1,825.0 1,500.0
237.0 212.0 620 611 330.0 306.0 270.0
N MEX 86.8 93.0 694 692 107.6 125.5 134.0
c 124.0 110.0 515 524 98.0 133.0 120.0
OKLA 435.0 365.0 334 375 346.0 303.0 285.0
sc 142.0 119.0 473 625 106.0 140.0 155.0
TENN : 530.0 445.0 529 550 634 584.0 510.0
TEX 5,341.5 3,774.5 475 397 4,685.8 5,281.5 3,120.0
VA 3.2 2.9 510 612 . 3.4 3.7

11,943.2 9,544.6 619 618 14,759.9 15,411.5 12,279.4

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED. 2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED
PRODUCTION
STATE fo2-e-2e-cenec ene ee eee cee ence eee ee ee ene eee ene
1987 1988 1989
1,000 TONS :
US 5,769 6,062 4,788
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

SEPTEMBER 1989 A-14 NASS, USDA


TONS (IN-SHELL BASIS)
FIUBERTS (HAZELNUTS) 1/ 3

21,500 16,300 13,300
WASH 300 200 200
TOTAL > 21,800 16,500 13,500
WALNUTS 1/ :
CALIF > 247,000 206,000 210,000
: 1,000 POUNDS

PISTACHTO NUTS : (IN2SHELL BASIS)
MARKETABLE IN-SHELL  : 29,000 72,000 2/
SHELLING STOCK : 4; 100 22,000 2

4

y
2/ PRODUCTION BY TYPE OF SALE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN THE "NON-CITRUS FRUIT AND
NUTS ANNUAL SUMMARY" TO BE RELEASED IN JANUARY 1990.

PECANS |

PRODUCTION

TOTAL

PECANS IMPROVED
ALA

ARK : 800 1,900
CALIF a: 2000 1,700
FLA : 3,10 3,400 3,400
GA = 100,000 95,000 81,000
LA : ; 4,500 +500
Miss : 8,000 6,500 6,500
WHER : 25,000 26,000 29,000
: 1,200 3,500 15100
oxtA : 1}000 27500 2,000
: 2,300 4,000 2,200
Tek > 22,000 30,000 25,000
us 3/: 179,650 185,300 167,350
PECANS NATIVE & SEEDLING — :
ALA : 11,250 4,000 8,009
ARK : 500 1}100
FLA : 2,400 2)600 2,800
GA : 15,000 15,000 14; 000
tA : 16,500 177500 12,500
MISs : 4,000 35500 3,500
NC : 800 23000 300
OKLA : 11,000 44,500 10,000
sc : 2,500 1,400
TEX : 20'000 30,000 25,000
us : 82,550 122,700 78,450
ALL. PECANS :
ALA : 25,000 10,000 20,000
ARK : 1,300 33000 1,500
CALIF a: 2000 1,700
FLA : 5,500 6,000 6,000
GA : 115,000 110,000 95,000
LA > 195000 22,000 15,000
MISS. > 12,000 10,000 10;000
We Mex : 25,000 26,000 29,000
: 2,000 5,500 2;000
OKta : 12,000 47,000 . 12,000
sc : 3400 6,500 3600
TEX : 42,000 60,000 50,000
us 3/: 262,200 308,000 245,800

1/ BUDDED, GRAFTED, OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES. 2/ ESTIMATES BEGAN WITH THE 1988
CROP. 3/ CALIF INCLUDED IN 1988 AND 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-24 NASS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN *

BARLEY
ALL WHEAT
DURUM " : : >
OTHER SPRING * : 19. 29. 208480 487,409 504,759
RICE CWT 1/: 5,511 5,548 159,547 150,934 152,343
SOYBEANS FOR :

BU 26.8 32.0 1,538,666 1,905,300 1,889,265
PEANUTS. FOR NUTS ante £2,448 2,688 3,980,917 4,527,200 4,435,400

84 H 4, re 131 7,348,155 7,321,005
$ac¢ 883 290°s0s—Sez3dal aan 147
34-1 32:9 1,811;26] 2,044,128 2,084,407
18 H . 90,671

ALL COTTON Vi 618 15,411.5 ' 11,833.8 ” 12,279.4

UPLAND mye tig 607 18,077-3 11,197.41, 647-4

AMER-PIMA on 172 848 891 34.2 63624 220

COTTONSEED : 6, O82 4,615 4,988
DRY EDIBLE BEANS om 1/: 1,408 1,423 19,230 24,873 25,200

ro CHT =: 220 235 20,154 21,716 21,541

TOTAL 2/ "of  283 356,438
TOBACCO LB: 2,160.0 2,130.0 1,369,662 1,479,489 1,494,194
SUGARBEETS TON : 7 19:1 "20:0 ” 24,810 26,615 26,495
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED": 35.4 35.7 29,904 30,816 30,816
PASTURE AND :

RANGE FEED 3/ PCT : 54 2B
PEARS TON: 861.0 837.1 842.1
GRAPES wo 5,986.0 5,891.3 5,888.3
DRIED PRUNES 4

CALIF) "od 155.0  4/ 200.0 205.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) =": 52.0 48.5 48.5
FILBERTS " : 16.5 5/ 13.5
PECANS: LB : 308,000 245,800
PISTACHIO NUTS :

CALIF) B 94,000 28,000
WALNUTS (CALIF) TON 206.0 4/ 220.0 210.0

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS, , 1988 REVISED. 3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION
AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1978-87 AVERAGE IS 75 PERCENT. 4/ JULY 1,
1989. 5/ MID-AUGUST 1989.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

rn INDICATED: St ~=SINDICATED
1989 1/ 1989 1/

39.1 52.3 218,773 380,690

39.2 35:0 1,560,970 1,466,049

1:93 2:31 126,817 145,172

2:60 3:04 69,282 77,633

1248 1:81 57,535 67,539

213 214 2,616 2,744

252 242 20,110 20,317

: 292 313,558

HOPS LB: 1,638 1,625 54,696 56,068

APPLES, COMM? L woo 9,157,500 9,731,500

PEACHES so 2,619, 700 2,275,000
SWEET CHERRIES TON : 186.2 183.0

TART CHERRIES LB: 236,200 263,700
APRICOTS TON: 102.3 117.5
NECTARINES (CALIF) 7: 200:0 190.0
PLUMS (CALTE) sg 216.0 200:0
OLIVES (CALIF) “3 87.5 100:0

ALMONDS (CALIF) LB 590,000 425,000

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1988 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-5 NASS, USDA



SUGARCANE: Sugarcane production is forecast at 30.8 million tons, the same

as on August 1 but 3 percent above last year's output. Nation-
ally, acreage is up 2 percent from a year ago and the forecasted yield per
acre is 0.3 of a ton higher. Florida and Louisiana expect larger output than
a year earlier but this is partially offset with the smaller crop expected in
Hawaii and Texas.

In Florida, growing conditions were good. No problems have been reported.
Production is expected to be up 5 percent from last year.

In Hawaii, August weather varied among localities but overall was
beneficial. Leeward areas were mostly sunny with occasional moderate to heavy
showers. The windward side of the islands received more frequent
precipitation.

Louisiana sugarcane remained in mostly fair to good condition. Spraying
for borers continued all month. Planting was underway by mid-month.

In the Texas Rio Grande Valley, dry conditions continued most of the
month. Irrigation has been steady. No insect problems have been reported.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: ‘The pasture and range feed condition on
September 1 for the 48 contiguous States
was 73 percent, the same as August 1. This condition was 19 points above the
September 1, 1988 level but 2 points below the 1978-87 average for September
1. Conditions were better than last month in 21 States, below last month in
21 States, and unchanged in 6 States. As in August, no States were in the
extreme drought range. Four States (Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and
Utah) were in the severe drought range. All States east of the Mississippi
River remained in the poor to fair range or better with most in the good to
excellent range. Seven States (Arizona, Florida, Maine, Nebraska, New
Hampshire, New Mexico, and Utah) had conditions below September 1988.

Arizona, Colorado, and New Mexico showed marked improvement from last
month. Sharp declines from August were reported in Arkansas, Delaware,
Maryland, and Mississippi.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of this State's citrus groves experienced hot temper-

atures and less than average rainfall during August. Several
growers applied irrigation to the younger tree groves to help prevent wilt.
There continues to be an abundance of new growth. New crop fruit is still
making very good progress despite the variable blooms in several areas. The
first grapefruit of the season were picked August 24 and were shipped by
August 29. The first Hamlin oranges were shipped September 1. This early
fruit was from December and January bloom that was not damaged by the late
February cold snap. Caretakers were busy this month controlling cover crops,
fertilizing, spraying, and using herbicides.

CALIFORNIA NAVEL ORANGES: The initial forecast for the 1989-90 California

Navel orange crop is 35.0 million boxes, 3 percent
greater than last season and 11 percent above the 1987-88 crop. The crop is
progressing normally with good quality expected. Individual fruit size is
larger than last year but set is down.

PEARS: The final forecast for the U.S. crop is 842 thousand tons, up 1 per-
cent from August 1 but 2 percent less than 1988.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-10 NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE : AVERAGE : 1988 : 1989 AVERAGE : 1988 : 1989

1978-87

PERCENT PERCENT

ALA : 74 63 85 82 58 62
ARIZ: 79 98 64 85 95 93
ARK 2 67 51 82 75 66 97
CALIF : 85 64 75 81 99 67
colo: 80 68 71 78 60 76
CONN : 79 70 96 73 65 92
DEL : 70 63 75 72 22 45
FLA : 84 89 84 78 64 85
GA : 69 59 86 70 52 93
IDAHO: 83 35 72 82 64 83
ILL : 75 43 76 74 56 80
IND : 78 52 90 85 90 90
IOWA: 79 27 54 68 54 87
KANS : 75 58 76 76 39 45
KY : 77 71 95 76 56 91
LA 3 77 79 82 61 50 62
MAINE : 81 85 84 84 57 45
MD : 70 57 73 83 80 86
MASS”: 84 80 93 77 72 97
MICH: 79 62 84 80 69 80
MINN: 81 37 54 76 49 93
MISS): 76 60 87 83 39 76
MO : 69 §3 84 83 42 62
MONT: 74 29 89

NEBR: 80 64 47 75 54 73

1/_ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64;
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-21 NASS, USDA

is


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

The precipitation pattern contrasted sharply with the previous 2 months,
as heavy rains fell in previously ary areas of the Plains States, while unusually
dry weather took place in previously wet areas of the South. In parts of North
Dakota, Minnesota, Illinois, Iowa, Missouri, and Nebraska, August rainfall totals
which were more than twice normal relieved long-term drought but caused local
flooding problems. August was the fourth consecutive month with above-normal
rainfall for many spots along the east coast, with some localities recording more
than 8 inches of rain. Rainfall, however, varied greatly over short distances.
For parts of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Virginia, this was one of the
driest Augusts, with less than 1 inch accumulating. In Anchorage, Alaska, the
record 9.6 inches of rain was 467 percent of normal.

Monthly average temperatures were fairly close to normal for most of the
country, but the averages hid some notable extremes during the month. The record
books for the eastern half of the country were significantly altered as an
unseasonably cold dome of air descended upon the country during ang August 6-12,
tying or breaking more than 240 low-temperature records. The last third of the
month, however, saw hot, muggy air entrenched across most of the South.

AUGUST CROP DEVELOPMENT

As August began, rain was needed in the western Corn Belt and the central
and northern Great Plains, where soil moisture was mostly short to adequate.
In mid-to-late August, rain improved crop conditions in the central Great Plains
and western Corn Belt, but the northern Great Plains remained ary. Early in
August, soil moisture was mostly adequate to surplus in the Delta. Excessive

moisture hampered crop development. By the end of August, lack of moisture
stressed crops in the Delta. In the West, soil moisture remained mostly short
to adequate during August, but rain did improve pasture and range growth in a
portion of the Pacific Northwest the last week of the month. Soil moisture was
mostly adequate in the East during August.

Corn was mostly good to fair during August. Lack of rain stressed corn
in the central and northern Great Plains and western Corn Belt early in August.
Late in August, rain relieved some stress in the central Great Plains and western
Corn Belt. Crop development lagged behind normal in most of the major producing
States during the entire month. By August 27, 41% of the acreage was in the dent
stage or beyond, 15 points behind normal. In Ohio, only 11% of the acreage was
dented, 43 points behind the 54% average. Harvest was underway in Georgia and
Texas

Soybeans were mostly good to fair during August. Lack of rain stressed
soybeans in the central and northern Great Plains early in the month, while
excess moisture stressed the crop in portions of the Delta. By the "end of
August, rain improved conditions in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains, but
lack of moisture lowered conditions in the Delta. Crop development lagged
somewhat behind normal in most of the major producing States during the month.
By August 27, 85% of the acreage was setting pods, 4 points behind normal. In
Ohio, the percentage of acres setting pods was 26 points behind normal.

Cotton was mostly fair to good during August. As the month began, harvest
was underway in Texas. Excess moisture and cool temperatures slowed
development in the Delta and the southern Great Plains during the first half of
the month. At month's end, development was still behind normal, especially in
the Delta. By August 27, 433 of the acreage was in the boll opening Stage, 9
points behind normal in the 14 major producing States. Drier weather had
improved crop condition in the Delta, but the percentage of acres opening bolls
was still 20 or more points behind normal in Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, and
Mississippi. By the end of August, harvest was underway in Arizona and was 10%
complete in Texas.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-2 NASS, USDA


GRAPES

TOTAL
1987 1988 1989
TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE
CALIF 540,000 755,000 700,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE
CALIF 1,950,000 2,180,000 2,050,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE 2/ 3/
CALIF 2,170,000 2,550,000 2,600,000
ALL_ GRAPES :
ARIZ 4a/: 31,000 25,500 26,000
ARK 4: 55000 7,000 5,000
CALIF : 4,660,000 5,485,000 5,350,000
6A a/: 25700 23500 2,800
MICH : 60,000 53,000 45,000
MO a/: 23750 35250 33100
NY : 1783000 157,000 155,000
NC a/: 1,800 35300 25300
OHIO 4/: 10;000 8; 900 93800
PA : 62,500 58,000 59,000
SC 4/: 700 500 300
WASH > 249,500 182,000 230,000
US 5,263,950 5,985,950 5,888,300

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): US - 1986-
13,500; 1988-1,600. 2/ FRESH BASIS. 3/ EXCLUDES PRODUCTION FROM APPROXI-
MATELY 15,000 ACRES OF THOMPSON SEEDLESS VINEYARDS IN THE VOLUNTARY RAISIN
INDUSTRY DIVERSION RID) PROGRAM FOR 1987 AND 25,000 ACRES IN 1988. THERE IS
NO RID PROGRAM FOR THE 1989 SEASON. 4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED
FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

CROP AND STATE

1987 1988 1989
TONS
PRUNES (DRIED BASIS)
CALIF 229,000 155,000 205,000
PRUNES AND PLUMS
IDAHO : 6,200 6,500 6,500
MICH : 16,000 113000 143000
OREG : 17;000 21,000 15,000

WASH 3 12,300 133500 13,000

TED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS):
STATES, 1987-4,300; 1988-3,900.

TOTAL 4

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-23 NASS, USDA


Harvest. continues in Michigan and New York. Michigan 's crop has excellent
quality with large fruit size.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 495
thousand tons, up 2 percent from August 1 but 2 percent less than last year.
In California, fruit size has been smal] but quality has been very good. Harvest
is nearing completion in Washington. The crop has been very clean but fruit size
has been smaller than anticipated.

Other than Bartlett pears are forecast at 310 thousand tons, down 2 percent
from August 1 and 3 percent less than 1988. Harvest is nearing completion in
California. Quality has been good. Picking has just started in Washington.
The crop is reported to be very clean.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 5.89 million tons, virtually
unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 2 percent below last year's
production.

Only California, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, and Washington had the
opportunity to change their August 1 forecast. The August 1 forecast was carried
forward for the remaining States.

California's production, at 5.35 million tons, is 2 percent below last year.
The California raisin variety grape forecast is 2.60 million tons, unchanged from
the August 1 forecast and 2 percent above 1988 production. Thompson Seedless
variety raisin grapes are picking out well with good quality. Harvest is
progressing with about two-thirds of the raisin-use grapes down.

The California wine variety grape forecast of 2.05 million tons is unchanged
from August 1 but 6 percent below 1988 output. Harvest of wine grapes gathered
momentum during August. By late month, approximately 470 thousand tons were
Picked. Quality is reported good.

The California table variety grape forecast is 700 thousand tons, unchanged
from August 1 but 7 percent below the 1988 crop. ‘The harvest of table grapes
for fresh market continued during August. Excellent quality was reported for
most varieties. Extremely high temperatures in early July caused some burn
damage to Tokay grapes in the Lodi area.

The Washington all grape forecast, at 230 thousand tons, is unchanged from
the August 1 forecast and is up 26 percent from 1988 production. Wine grape
harvest is starting while the major Concord harvest is expected to begin around
mid-September. August temperatures were warm enough for good berry development,

The New York grape forecast is 155 thousand tons, the same as August 1 but
1 percent below last year. Adequate moisture should result in good to excellent
berry size. Spraying has been underway to combat downy mildew, black rot, and
insects.

Pennsylvania's forecast of 59.0 thousand tons is 4 percent above last month
and 2 percent above the 1988 production. Some growers are experiencing
difficulty with mildew and black rot as weather conditions have left the crop
susceptible to these problems.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B11 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
CLASS AND TYPE 90 3 --~------ =~ 2 ono ne ee nee en ee ee en ene eee eee een e ee
: IND: : IND: : IND
1988 : 1989 : 1988 :; 1989 : 1988: 1989
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND

MIDDLE BELTS
NC : 92,000 102,000 2,095 2,050 192,740 209,100
VA : 35,000 37,000 2,055 2,100 71,925 77,700
US : 127,000 139,000 2,084 2,063 264,665 286,800
Type es EASTERN N C

NC : 118,000 130,000 2,325 2,200 274,350 286,000
TYPE 13, N C BORDER & :

SC BELT :

NC 32,000 34,000 2,220 2,175 71,040 73,950

Sc : 455000 50,000 25225 2,300 100,125 115,000
: 77,000 84,000 2,223 2,249 171,165 188,950

US

TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT

FLA : 6,400 7,000 2,680 2,700 17,152 18,900
GA : 38,000 41,000 2,260 2,250 85,880 92,250

US 44,400 48,000 2,321 2,316 103,032 111,150
TOTAL 11-14 : 366, 400 401,000 2,219 2,177 813,212 872,900

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TMh 21, VA BELT

2,300 2,000 1,270 1,400 2,920 2,800
TYPE 22, EASTERN
DISTRICT :
KY : 2,600 3,400 2,480 1,950 6,448 6,630
TENN : 5,600 6,700 2,385 2,200 13,356 14,740
US : 8,200 10,100 2,415 2,116 19,804 21,370
TYPE 23, WESTERN :
DISTRICT 3
KY : 2,600 3,200 2,670 2,100 6,942 6,720
TENN : 440 530 2,450 2,300 1,078 1,219
US : 3,040 3,730 2,638 2,128 8,020 7,939
TOTAL 21-23 : 13,540 15,830 2,271 2,028 30,744 32,109

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AIR-CURED

TYPE 31, BURLEY
IND : 5,500 6,100 1,990 2,150 10,945 13,115
KY : 180,000 172,000 2,235 2,200 335,250 378,400

MO 1/ : 23100 2,400 2,100 2,200 45410 5,280
NC : 73900 8,500 1,835 1,800 143497 15>300
OHIO 7,800 9,000 1,855 1,900 14) 469 173100
TENN 42;000 45,000 1,850 1,850 77,700 83, 250
VA 95300 10,500 1,850 2,200 173205 23,100
WVA 1/ 1,700 1,800 1,600 1,500 23720 23700
US 226,300 255,300 2,109 2,108 477,196 538,245
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD
MD 9,000 8,500 1,330 1,400 11,970 11,900
PA 33500 4,000 13850 13800 63475 73200
US : 123500 12,500 1,476 1,528 185445 19; 100
TOTAL 31-32 : 238,800 267,800 2,076 2,081 495,641 557,345
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-19. : CONTINUED
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-18 NASS, USDA


BARLEY

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE H : IND: : IND : : : IND
: 1988 =: 1989 : 1988 : 1989: 1987 : 1988: 1989
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ARIZ : 13 12 104.0 105.0 2,178 1,352 1,260
CALIF : 280 270 61.0 62.0 17,820 17,080 16,740
COLO : 175 170 67.0 70.0 14,520 11,725 11,900
DEL If : 30 44 72.0 57.0 3,224 2,160 2,508
IDAHO : 850 850 60.0 67.0 61,500 51,000 56,950
KANS : 85 60 35.0 30.0 4,800 2,975 1,800
KY fo: 14 17 77.0 61.0 737 1,078 1,037
MD z 69 82 69.0 57.0 5,963 4,761 4,674
MICH 1/ : 38 40 32.0 62.0 2,750 1,216 2,480
MINN : 850 750 32.0 53.0 49,590 27,200 39,750
MONT : 1,250 1,600 24.0 41.0 94,500 30,000 65,600
NEBR 1/ : 60 30 32.0 23.0 2,700 1,920 690
NEV 1/ : 31 27 80.0 80.0 2,970 2,480 2,160
NJ If: 9 9 67.0 59.0 900 603 531
N MEX 1/-: 7 7 65.0 65.0 770 455 455
NC I/: 42 60 65.0 53.0 2,480 2,730 3,180
N DAK : 2,000 2,650 21.0 35.0 139,200 42,000 92,750
OKLA lf : 20 25 48.0 34.0 750 960 850
OREG : 200 195 74.0 68.0 15,400 14,800 13,260
PA : 55 85 66.0 62.0 3,420 3,630 5,270
sc V/ 14 12 60.0 52.0 637 840 624
S DAK 450 660 18.0 33.0 34,000 8,100 21,780
TEX 1/ 18 15 30.0 32.0 1,200 540 480
UTAH 125 122 77.0 74.0 11,786 9,625 9,028
VA 75 75 71.0 65.0 5,148 5,325 4,875
WASH 560 490 62.0 56.0 35,475 34,720 27,440
WIS 1/ 75 65 34.0 59.0 4,752 2,550 3,835
Wyo 140 140 62.0 66.0 10,360 8,680 9,240
US 7,535 8,562 38.6 46.9 529,530 290,505 401,147

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-10 NASS, USDA


SUMMER POTATOES: Production of sumer potatoes is forecast at 22.5 5 million gts

7 percent
forecast. Area for harvest is set at 91.7 thousand acres, just under last year
and 9 percent below 1987. The average yield of 235 cwt projected this year is
7 percent above last year and 4 percent above 1987.

Wet fields in mid-Atlantic States caused deterioration of potatoes during
August. Harvest is about half to three-fourths Complete in New Jersey, Maryland,
and Delaware. In the mid-West, yield prospects have improved in Michigan and
Illinois, but fallen off in Towa and Nebraska where heat and dry weather have
stressed pota’

The Colorado summer crop is half harvested with small tuber size as a
result of the heat. Harvest in New Mexico is nearly completed on the High Plains
and underway in San Juan County. In Texas, harvest on the High Plains is winding

in California with harvest active.

FALL POTATOES, 1988 FINAL: Season-end revisions of 1988 fall potatoes place

final production at 314 million cwt., up 2 percent
from the preliminary estimate but 9 percent below the 1987 crop. Harvested
acreage of 1.08 million acres was down 2 percent from 1987, and yields fell 7
percent to an average of 292 cwt per acre.

ALL POTATOES, 1988 FINAL: Production for all four seasons in 1988 came to 356
Million cwt., off 8 percent from the previous year
and 1 percent below 1986. Harvested acreage totaled 1.26 million acres in 1988,
down 3 percent from 1987 but 3 percent above 1986. Yield averaged were lower
in 1988. As-drought in the North Central States pulled the national average
yield down to 283 cwt per acre from the record high 301 cwt per acre in 1987.

TOBACOO: U.S. all tobacco production for 1989 is forecast at 1.49 billion

pounds, 9 percent above 1988 and up 1 percent from last month's
forecast. Since August 1, outlook has improved in 6 of the 16 producing States
but deteriorated in 4 States. The higher gher production from a year ago is resulting
from 11 percent more acres for harvest. Yield is expected to average 2130 pounds
per acre, off 30 pounds from last year.

Flue-cured production is expected to reach 873 million pounds, up 7 percent
from a year ago but fractionally below last month's forecast. Yield per acre,
at 2177 pounds, is down 42 pounds from last year's average yield. Area for
harvest is up 9 percent from 1988.

In North Carolina, harvest was 67 percent complete on September 3, 4 points
ahead of both last year and the average. Production is expected to be 6 percent
above last year's output.

South Carolina' § harvest was 80 percent complete, the same as last year but
behind the 5-year average of 88 percent. Total poundage is expected to be 15
percent greater than in 1988.

Virginia growers have harvested 55 percent of their crop compared with 30
percent last year and a 5-year average of 34 percent.

Burley output, is now expected to total 538 million pounds this year, 13
percent above a year ago and 3 percent above the outlook on August 1. The change
from last year reflects a 13 percent acreage increase. The 2108 pound per acre
average yield expected is nearly the same as last year's 2109 pounds. Expected
yield is higher than a month ago in 3 of the 8 States and down in only one.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-8 NASS, USDA


As of September 3, 91 percent of the spring wheat acreage in the major
producing States (Idaho, Minnesota, Montana, North and South Dakota, and
Washington) was harvested. This compares with the 5-year average of 86 percent
for the six States. South Dakota's harvest was complete, Minnesota's virtually
so, and North Dakota's neared completion. Progress in these 3 States was ahead
of average. Idaho's harvest was also ahead of the 5-year average at 80 percent
completion. August rains further delayed Montana's combining; some discoloration
has been reported. Washington's harvest progress trailed average by 8 points
at 88 percent completion. Rain in eastern Washington in late August has caused
some sprout damage.

RICE: The 1989 rice production is forecast at 152 million hundredweight, up 1
Percent from August 1 but 5 percent below 1988. The decrease in production
from last year is the result of less acres for harvest and lower yields.

Yield is expected to average 5,548 pounds per acre, up 51 pounds from
August 1 but 37 pounds less than in 1988. Arkansas's yield is forecast at 5,250
pounds, up 50 pounds from August 1. Mississippi’s yield increased 200 pounds
and Texas' yield was up 100 pounds from the August 1 forecast. Yields in the
other States were unchanged from August 1.

Area for harvest is expected to total 2.75 million acres, unchanged from
August 1 but down 5 percent from 1988. Area for harvest is down from last year
in all States except Missouri.

As of September 3, rice was virtually all headed except in Arkansas and
California. Harvest was 24 percent complete, 5 points behind normal. Harvest
had not started in California and Mississippi, but producers were draining early
fields in preparation for harvest. Harvest was just beginning in Arkansas and
was 63 percent complete in Louisiana and 82 percent complete in Texas.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.89 billion bushels, 1 percent below August

1 but 23 percent above 1988. Yield is forecast at 32.0 bushels per
acre, down 0.3 of a bushel from August 1 but 5.2 bushels above last year. If
realized, this yield will be the 5th highest of record. Area for harvest is
forecast at 59.1 million acres, unchanged from August 1 but 3 percent above 1988.

Conditions during the first half of August were mostly dry in Illinois,
Iowa, Missouri, and Nebraska. By month's end, rain fell over mich of the midwest
to ease earlier stress. However, on September 1, soybean condition was rated
slightly below a month earlier in the Western Corn Belt. Illinois, Iowa, and
Missouri expected yields are down 1 bushel from August 1, while Nebraska dropped
2 bushels. Favorable conditions continued during August in Indiana and Ohio,
and across much of the South. Conditions in Georgia declined slightly during
August, as yield is forecasted 2 bushels below last month, but still a record
high.

Expected yields are up 1 bushel from August 1 in Louisiana, and
Mississippi, South Carolina, Texas, and Virginia reflecting favorable conditions
during August.

Michigan had ideal temperatures and adequate moisture during August to
promote a 2 bushel increase over August 1.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-5 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

TELD PER HECTARE:

: INDICATED:
> «1989:

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 5.31 7.05 125,004, 918 186,651,730 185,962,090
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 4.00 3.93 14,670,470 16,869,370 16,735, 760
BARLEY 2.07 2.52 6,325,000 8,537,860 8,733,940
ALL WHEAT 2.29 2.22 49,294,440 55,632,050 56, 183,960

DURUM 1.06 1.76 1}220,100 2,467,630 2,547,350

OTHER SPRING 1.31 1.97 5}591,700 13,265,100 13,737,290
RICE 6.18 6.22 7,236,930 6,846,250 6,910,160
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 1.80 2.15 41,875,630 51,853,770 51,417,370
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2.74 3.01 1,805,700 2,053,490 2,011,850
ALL COTTON 69 69 3,355,440 2,576,490 2,673,510

UPLAND 69 68 33282,680 2,437,930 2,535,910

AMER-PIMA 95 1.00 72,760 138,560 137,600
COTTONSEED 5,499,170 4,186,840 4,343,600
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1.58 1.60 872,260 1,128,220 1,143,050
POTATOES

SUMMER 24.61 26.33 914,170 985,020 977,080

TOTAL 1/ 31.72 16,167,750
TOBACCO 2.42 2.39 621,270 671,080 677,760
SUGARBEETS 42.76 44.93 22,507,250 24,144,720 24,035,860
SUGARCANE FOR
penugak AND SEED 79.30 80.07 27, 18, 639 27, 985, Epi) 27, 988, 800
GRAPES 5, #30; tio 5, ae 500 5, ae 520
ORIED PRUNES (CALIF) 140,610 2/ 181,440 185;970
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) 47,170 44,000 44,000
FILBERTS 14,970 3/ 12,250

139,710 111,490

PISTACHIO NUTS (CALIF 42,640 12,700
WALNUTS (CALIF) 186,880 2/ 199,580 190,510

1/1988 REVISED. 2/ JULY 1, 1989. 3/ MID-AUGUST 1989.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER-HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION

CROP
INDICATED : : INDICATED
1988 1989 1/ : 1988 : 1989 1/
METRIC TONS

OATS 1.40 1.88 3,175,480 5,525,700
WINTER WHEAT 2.64 2.35 42,482,640 39,899,320
ALL HAY 4.34 5.17 115,046,440 131,697,820

ALFALFA 5.82 6.81 62,851,570 70,427,470

ALL OTHER 3.32 4.05 52,194,870 61,270,350
POTATOES : -

WINTER : 23.83 24.03 118,660 124,470

SPRING : 28.25 27.11 912,170 921,560

FALL 2/ 1 32.68 14,222,750
HOPS > 1,84 1,82 24,810 25,430
APPLES, COMM’L : 4,153,770 4,414,130
PEACHES : 1,188,280 1,031,920
SWEET CHERRIES : 168,920 166,010
TART CHERRIES : 107,140 119,610
APRICOTS : 92,800 106,590
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 181,440 172,370
PLUMS (CALI d : 195,950 181,440
OLIVES (CALI } 79, 90
ALMONDS (CALIF) 267,620 192,780

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1988 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-7 NASS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
* (METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP INDICATED
1988 1989 1988 1989
HECTARES
CORN : 27,364,730 29,267,180 23,538,390 26,367,170
SORGHUM : 4,191,780 4,834,020 3,663,250 4,257,340
BARLEY : 3,915,780 3,756,740 3,049,340 3,464,960
ALL WHEAT : 26,518,930 31,062,790 21,518,980 25,364,750
DURUM : 1,350,050 1,493,710 1,152,150 1,445,960
OTHER SPRING 5,420,010 7,216,840 4,266,240 6,966,330
RICE : 1,184,930 1,121,400 1,171,580 1,111,280
SOYBEANS : 23,824,100 24,473,630 23,222,330 23,906,250
PEANUTS 670,730 678,670 59,000 67,740
ALL COTTON 5,062,590 4,257,540 4,833,300 3,862,610
UPLAND 4,985,860 4,119,540 4,756,770 3,724,810
AMER-PIMA 76,730 138,000 76,530 137,800
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 606,390 745,760 552,810 716,580
POTATOES
SUMMER 39,010 38,810 37,150 37,110
TOTAL 2/ 519,910 519,180 509,630 506,670
TOBACCO 256,610 283,840
SUGARBEETS 537,100 543,940 §26,380 535,000
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 342,080 349,130

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1988 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED

AREA HARVESTED

INDICATED
1989 1/ 1988 1989 1/
HECTARES
OATS 5,636,120 4,913,750 2,262,220 2,946,140
WINTER WHEAT 19,748,870 22,352,240 16,100,590 16,952,460
RYE 989,060 842,560 245,650 209,220
FLAXSEED 111,290 93,080 91,460 90,250
SUNFLOWER 865,230 736,130 809,780 719,940
ALL HAY 26,531,070 25,462,290
ALFALFA 10,803,200 10,336,590
ALL OTHER 15,727,870 15,125,690
POTATOES
WINTER 5,060 5,180 4,980 5,180
SPRING 32,740 35,530 32,290 33,990
FALL 2/ 443,100 439,660 435,200 430,390
SWEETPOTATOES 37,840 37,880 36,340 36,660
HOPS 13,520 13,960

1/_ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1988 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-6

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

CLASS AND TYPE 9 t--n--- 2 -- 2 oon en neon nn enn nee ne nn ene ne nnn nen eee ee
: IND: : IND: : IND
1988 : 1989 : 1988 : 1989 : 1988: 1989
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT :
KY : 1,850 2,300 2,280 2,000 4,218 4,600
TENN : 480 530 2,100 2,100 1,008 1,113
US : 2,330 2,830 2,243 2,019 5,226 5,713
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT
KY : 950 1,300 2,280 2,100 2,166 2,730
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :
BELT :
VA : 110 90 1,155 1,255 127 113

TOTAL 35-37 : 3,390 4,220 2,218 2,027 7,519 8,556
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER :
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF :

PA : 6,000 5,500 1,950 1,900 11,700 10,450
TYPE 42-44 OHIO-MIAMI :

VALLEY TYPES :

OHIO Hs 20 2/ 1,400 2/ 28 2/
TOTAL 41-44 : 6,020 5,500 1,948 1,900 11,728 10,450
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER :

CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY :

BINDER
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY
BROADLEAF :
CONN : 850 730 1,700 1,700 1,445 1,241
MASS : 100 100 1,850 1,700 185 170
TOTAL 51-52 : 950 830 1,716 1,700 1,630 1,411

CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :

WIS + 2,500 3,000 2,040 2,100 5,100 6,300
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS :

WIS : 1,100 1,700 1,800 1,800 1,980 3,060
TOTAL 54-55 : 3,600 4,700 1,967 1,991 7,080 9,360
TOTAL 51-55 : 4,550 5,530 1,914 1,948 8,710 10,771

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY
SHADE-GROWN

CONN : 960 1,100 1,590 1,450 1,526 1,595
MASS : 420 390 1,385 1,200 582 468
US : 1,380 1,490 1,528 1,385 2,108 2,063
ALL CIGAR TYPES :
TOTAL 41-61 : 11,950 12,520 1,887 1,860 22,546 23,284
ALL TOBACCO : 634,080 701,370 2,160 2,130 1,369,662 1,494,194

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ ESTI-
MATES DISCONTINUED IN 1989 BECAUSE OF LIMITED ACREAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-19 NASS, USDA



SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

IND: : IND : : : IND
1988 : 1989 : 1988 : 1989: 1987 : 1988 : 1989
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 1/ : 25 30 41.0 55.0 1,920 1,025 1,650
ARIZ Ifo: 4 4 100.0 90.0 990 400 360
ARK : 310 340 68.0 72.0 27,540 21,080 24,480
CALIF 1/ : 15 12 80.0 89.0 1,800 1,200 1,068
COLO : 180 325 46.0 50.0 9,890 8,280 16,250
GA l/: 40 50 35.0 50.0 2,400 1,400 2,500
ILL : 80 140 75.0 83.0 12,040 6,000 11,620
KANS : 3,300 3,500 62.0 65.0 273,750 204,600 227,500
KY V/s: 10 11 55.0 85.0 1,820 550 935
LA : 90 110 68.0 67.0 12,384 6,120 7,370
MISS : 155 85 56.0 65.0 9,425 8,680 5,525
MO : 470 570 81.0 86.0 59,500 38,070 49,020
NEBR : 1,360 1,600 76.0 65.0 109,200 103,360 104,000
N MEX : 145 170 60.0 52.0 7,980 8,700 8,840
NC lf : 65 60 42.0 58.0 1,935 2,730 3,480
OKLA : 360 375 45.0 50.0 18,860 16,200 18,750
sc lf : “8 15 32.0 45.0 555 256 675
S DAK : 250 290 44.0 44.0 14,310 11,000 12,760
TENN : 35 33 70.0 75.0 6,000 2,450 2,475
TEX : 2,150 2,800 63.0 57.0 166,950 135,450 159,600
US : 9,052 10,520 63.8 62.6 739,249 577,551 658,858

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-9 NASS, USDA


COFFEE

1986-87: 1987-88 1988-89

1,000 POUNDS

1/_ PARCHMENT BASIS.

PEARS
PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE Docc c cence cee tee ren renee nen eee n en ern enn nc enr eee
TOTAL 1/ :
So nmrerccccccccccrrcrecccccoses : IND
1987 1988 : 1989
TONS
BARTLETT :
CALIF 3 325,000 291,000 295,000
OREG 3 78,000 68,000 60,000
WASH 3 171,000 147,000 140,000
TOTAL : 574,000 506,000 495,000
EXCLUDING BARTLETT
CALIF 12,000 11,000 15,000
OREG 150,000 145,000 140,000
WASH 165,000 163,000 155,000
fot 327,000 319,000 310,000
CALIF 337,000 302,000 310,000
COLO 2/ : 8,000 3,800 000
CONN 2/ 3 1,450 1,650 1,500
MICH : 8,000 8,000 9,000
NY : 15,000 17,300 16,500
OREG : 228,000 213,000 200,000
PA 2/ 3,200 3,200 3,000
UTAH 2/ 3,600 2,000 3,100
WASH 336,000 310,000 295,000
US 940,250 860,950 842,100

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): US 1987-
2,650 1988-350. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EAR-

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

AREA : FRESH PRODUCTION

MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP HARVESTED : : :
allele aad acadtatleetleteetaehiettetatee : 1988 : 1989  :FORECAST
1988 1989 1988 =: 1989 : : : 1989
1,000 POUNDS
JUL 4,360 4,300 90 2,445 5,470 5,160
AUG 4,510 3,990 10 2,535 4,930 5,435
SEP 4,540 10 5,820 §,400
ocT 4,595 75 5,835 5,700
NOV 4,665 2,420 5,665 5,000
DEC 4,720 2,410 5,890 2,500
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-AUG 33,800 42,230
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-25 NASS, USDA



National United states

Crop 4G Agricultural Department of

Production ees
‘Weshingon, D.C.

RELEASED: September 12, 1989
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHT

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast as of September 1, at 7.32 billion

bushels, down slightly from last month but 49 percent above 1988. At
the end of August, crop development was lagging behind normal in most of the
17 major producing States. Harvest of corn for grain is well underway in the
Southern States but progress is slightly behind normal.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.89 billion bushels, 1 percent below

August 1 but 23 percent above 1988. Overall crop development is near
normal, however, second crop soybeans and the crop in the eastern corn belt
are somewhat behind normal.

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.06 billion bushels, up 1 percent from

Tast month and up 14 percent from last year. As of September 1, the
last of the winter wheat was being harvested. The spring wheat harvest
continued with most of the remaining acreage in Idaho, Montana, and
Washington.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 12.3 million bales, down 20 percent from

last year’s production and 17 percent below the 1987 crop. Due to
weather factors, crop development is lagging behind normal in all States
except Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas. Harvest is active in Texas and just
getting underway in Arizona and some of the Delta States.

kk RE sek Tek kk II IIIA III III II IAHR IIA IIA.

NOTICE

INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT ARE:

Revised Production of 1988-89 Coffee.

Revised Acreage, Yield, and Production of 1988 Fall Potatoes.

Revised Production for 1988-89 Citrus and Final Production for
1987-88 Crop.

doi ka IKI IIS III SII IAA IISA IIA IIS

ee
Ce ee ee)

CrPr 2-2 (9-89) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE IND: : IND : : IND
1989 .: 1988 : 1989 1987: 1988 : 1989
- : 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ARIZ 1/ : 50 84 86.0 90.0 3,825 4,300 7,560
CALIF 1/ : 59 105 95.0 83.0 5,130 5,605 8,715
MINN : 40 29 21.0 36.0 1,218 840 1,044
MONT : 230 335 9.0 20.0 5,320 2,070 6,700
N DAK : 2,400 2,900 13.0 23.0 74,100 31,200 66,700
S DAK : 68 120 12.0 24.0 3,024 816 2,880
US : 2,847 3,573 15.7 26.2 92,617 44,831 93,599

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
OTHER SPRING WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELO PRODUCTION
STATE: : IND: : IND : IND
: 1988 1989 : 1988 : 1989 1988 : 1989
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS “1,000 BUSHELS
colo 1/ : 52 70 70.0 73.0 3,630 3,640 5,110
IDAHO : 380 560 65.0 70.0 25;500  24:700 39200
MINN : 2,150 «2,550 23.0 «3810 ©—«983400 © 495450 «96900
MONT : 13500 33400 12:0 26.0 ~—«663700+~—«183000 «88,400
NEV fo: 12 9 65.0 70:0 1,050 780 630
NDAK : 4,700 ©7,400 «18.0 24.0 1897100 ~=—-70,500 177,600
OREG 1/ : 95 105 52:0 47.0 «33420 «4394047935
$ DAK : 1,300 += 2,100 »«12.0 = 2270» 483600 «153600 46200
UTAH 1/ : 22 23 54.0 50.0 1,653 1,188 1,150
WASH : 310 970 52:0 45.0 107260 165120 43°680
WIS VY : 8 ll 19.0 40.0 924 152 440
wo 1/ : B 16 30:0 34.0 450 390 544
US : 10,542 17,214 «19.5 29.3 449,687 205,460 504,759
1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
RICE
AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE : IND : : IND: : : IND
1988 : 1989 : 1988 : 1989: 1987 : 1988 : 1989
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
ARK 1,210.0 1,140.0 5,350 5,250 53,025 64,735 59,850
CALIF 4200 "410.0 77000 73700 277935 297490 317570
535.0 517.0 47500 42400 197110 247080 227748
MISS 260.0 245.0 5,300 5,300 107098 137780 12,985
MO. 1/ 82.0 85.0 5,100 5,000 3,564 4,182 43250
TEX 388.0 349.0 6,000 6,000 15,871 23'280 207940
0

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-12 NASS, USDA


ONONOO ROODOOWSOOOOMONOOOSOOCOOOONDOOD ROWS

,
9,675
114,285

495
4,164
24.7 8,820

32.9 2,107,480 1,811,261 2

4
9
5:
8
3.
5:
3
4
6!
5
5
3
3
5
4
5.
4
2
4
5
1
3
7
4
2
5!
5
1
5
3
6i
5
4
1
5
2
3
5:
6
4

AOVYHDOHAVHHO HOM PUGAUOHOIN Os &HOOHAGANALWOWD
PUN PUNENV ERAN UNV BUN HYYVMDUWUN BUMUTHWWUNUEOW
NODRCHOMOSUN GENTE ADINS OTH HOGSHDGHBOHOOOHRSOS
DUSWOOUDOWOOWDODOOBOMODOOBDOSBVOCONBOOUMOWS *

oo
=

1,000 BUSKELS

1,020,772 347,742 196,662 430,578 92,617 19,109 2,107,480

80,134 473,643 207,193 181,202 44,831 24,258 1,811,261

715,634 560,963 189,452 449,640 93,599 55,119 2,064,407

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT 5-YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. THE S-YEAR VARIETAL
SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES AVAIL-
ABLE. 2/ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1989

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-11 NASS, USDA


The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina,
and South Carolina) puts production at 1.06 million bales, 3 percent above the
1988 production. Crop development was delayed early in the season due to
excessive rainfall but is progressing well. Yields are expected to average 72
pounds higher than in 1988.

Bureau of the Census reports 362,355 running bales qinned prior te
September 1, compared with 803,797 running bales to the same date last year and
428,562 running bales in 1987.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1989, based on a 3 year average lint-seed ratio, is
expected to total 4.79 million tons, down 21 percent from the 1988
production of 6.06 million tons.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry beans is forecast at 25.2 million cwt., Up

from last year but 3 percent below two years ago.
area for harvest is sot at 1-77 million nerves, Up 30 percent fem last year and
5 percent above 1987. The average yield is projected at 1423 pounds per acre,
up 1 percent from last year but 7 percent short of 1987.

A late maturing crop in Michigan has excellent yield prospects, but harvest
for the vast majority of the crop will have to wait until October. In the Red
River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota, drought condition during the critical
bloom period in duly resulted in a poor main set. Subsequent rains encouraged
xe-bloaming which raises concerns about green pods during harvest. Same
producers may delay harvest to catch the late bloom beans. Prospects in the rest
of Minnesota are improving, Nebraska fields are two to three weeks late although

conditions improved during August.

Out west, the California baby lima crop is not as large as anticipated
earlier, but August weather was generally good for beans. harvest
is late but underway with mostly good conditions. Idaho dry beans averaged 12
percent harvested by September 3. Scattered rain in Colorado brought relief to
arying fields with prospects now looking mostly good. Harvest has begun on the
Eastern Plains of Colorado.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at a record high 4.44 billion pounds
percent from last year, but down 2 percent from the August 1 torbcast.
Harvested area, estimated at 1.65 million acres, is the largest acreage for
harvest since 1955 and is up 1 percent from last year. Yield is expected to
average 2,688 pounds per harvested acre, up 243 pounds from 1988 but down 54
pounds from last month. If realized, this would be the fourth largest yield on

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 3.01 billion pounds, up 15 percent from 1988 but
down 3 percent from August 1. Yield for the G-State area is expected to average
2,876 pounds per acre, 314 pounds greater than last year. Rainfall was not
abundant in this region during August Finich lowered expectations on yields, and
insects and disease problems are causing some concern for the crop.

The Sp Spore tt Carolina area production is forecast at 717 million
pounds, 5 percent from last year but down 3 percent from the August 1
forecast. Yield per harvested aa at 2,937 pounds, is 134 pounds above last
year's yield. Yield prospects declined ‘during the month, as heavy rains in
portions of Virginia damaged fields, and the wet season created more disease
problems than usual in North Carolina.

The Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected
to total 713 million poms, up 6 percent from last year and up 3 percent from
August 1. Yields are expected to average 1,975 pounds per acre, 107 pounds above
last year's yield. Growing conditions were varied in Texas during the season.
In Oklahoma record high yields are expected as a result of the favorable growing
conditions.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B7 NASS, USDA


Record highs yields are forecast in 9 States, including Georgia, Michigan,
North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, and
Delaware.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

1980 - 1989
2.0|--+8~ aN. ne aS BOO cy al® |
8] VINIGININNIN iN
IN INNNININ: UN Ni IN
“TI INNINNIN

YEAR

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 12.3 million bales, down 20 percent

fram last year's production and 17 percent below the 1987 crop. Of
the total, Upland production is expected to account for 11.6 million bales while
American Pima production will reach a record high 632 thousand bales.

Growers expect to harvest 9.54 million acres, down 20 percent from 1988
and unchanged from the August estimate. Yield is expected to average 618 pounds
per acre, only one pound below last year but up 23 pounds from August.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 3.29 million
bales, 40 percent below 1988 but 3 percent above August 1, In Texas, varying
weather conditions in the State have reduced yield potential of the crop fron
last year's 472 pounds per acre. Texas' cotton has been adversely affected by
weather, ranging from hail to drought, and wide ranging temperatures. Harvest
was active in the Valley and approached completion in the Coastal Bend.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and
Tennessee) expect to produce 3.92 million bales, down 17 percent from last year
but up 9 percent from August 1. Because of the delayed maturity this season,
a higher than normal number of small bolls and squares are evident this month.
The percent of bolls opening as of September 3 was more than 25 percent behind
the average in most areas.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.35 million bales, down 12 percent from 1988. Yields, at
1,195 pounds per acre, are expected to average more than in 1988. The Arizona
and California crops are in good to excellent condition with a good boll set.
Spraying for mites and aphids was complete in California, although spraying for
other insects continued in Arizona.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-6 NASS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

STATE
BUSHELS

ALA 44.0 80.0 18,000
ARIZ 1/ 130:0 150.0 2,000
ARK 1/ 100:0 120: 73475
CALIF 145.0 150.0 35,360 ;
coLOo 160:0 155.0 106,950 128,000 147,250
CONN 2/
DEL 70.0 105.0 10,804 9,800 13,650
FLA 1/ 58.0 77.0 7,560 33770 6,160
GA 62.0 100.0 51,240 31,000 55,000
IDAHO 1/ 130:0 125.0 6,500 6,500 75500
ILL 7310 122.0 1,201;200 700,800 1,305,400
IND 83:0 128.0 °631,800 415,000 659,200
IOWA 84.0 108.0 1,306,500 898,800 1,339, 200
KANS 125.0 130.0 (141,600 143,750 °158,600
KY : 73:0 112.0 1185560 803300 133,280
LA If: 125 135° 9510 110.0» 223365 +=—«11,875 +=: 14,850
MAINE 2/ :
MD : 420 400 65.0 103.0 35,880 27,300 41,200
MASS 2/
MICH 1,600 1,950 70.0 105.0 185,250 112,000 204,750
MINN > 43700 5,600 74.0 115.0 635,000 347,800 644,000
MISS 1/ 150 150 60.0 80:0 14,800 93000 12,000
MO : 2,020 2,250 76.0 102.0 242,950 153,520 229,500
MONT 1/ : 20 15 110:0 110.0 13575 2,200 1,650
NEBR ar 6,600 7,200 124.0 115.0 812,200 818,400 828,000
NJ W/o: 84 78 70.0 95.0 10,450 5,880 7,410
N MEX 1/ 55 65 15510 155.0 7,595 83525 103075
NY : 485 590 85.0 90:0 55,590 41,225 53,100
NC 930 980 84:0 95:0 69,000 78,120 93,100
N DAK 380 500 58.0 75.0 46,500 22,040 37,500
OHIO 3,000 2,900 85:0 115.0 362,400 255,000 333,500
OKLA 1/ 72 78 95:0 110.0 7,062 6,840 8,580
OREG 1/ 19 22 158.0 160.0 33960 35002 33520
PA 2) 910 860 65.0 108.0 95,400 59,150 92,880
SC 335 345 58.0 90.0 29,250 19,430 31,050
S DAK 2,400 2,900 55.0 75.0 228,250 1323000 217,500
TENN 530 530 73.0 105.0 52,780 38,690 55,650
TEX 1,350 1,400 96.0 109.0 133,750 129,600 152,600
UTA y 22 124:0 134.0 23800 23728 25680
VA 295 310 79.0 106.0 18,900 23,305 32,860
WASH 1/ 80 90 170:0 175.0 13,600 13,600 15,750
WVA 1/ 40 48 58.0 95.0 3,600 2,320 45560
WIS 1,950 2,800 67.0 110.0 330,400 130,650 308,000
wo 1/ 53 50 122:0 115.0 53217 6,466 5,750
US : 58,164 65,154 84.6 112.4 7,072,073 4,921,191 7,321,005

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ NOT ESTIMATED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-8& NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION
TON EQUIVALENT

CROP acne nen n een nn nnn nee e en nee nee elon nen e ee eee eee e en eee cee etees

AND UTILIZED : INDICATED
STATE fn ewneeeeeceeneeeeeeh 0 pee ee nen en eee nee eens :

1988-89 : 1989-90
: 1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID. :
& NAVE! :

ARIZ : 610 550 23 21
CALIF : 31,500 34,000 35,000 1,182 1,275 1,313
FLA : 78,500 85,300 33532 35839
TEX : 940 1,200 40 51
us + 111,550 121,050 4,777 5,186

ORANGES, VALENCIA :

RIZ : 1,210 1,150 45 43
CALIF : 273500 23,000 1,031 862
FLA : §9,500 61,300 23677 2,759
TEX : 490 650 21 28
us : 88,700 86, 100 3,774 3,692

ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ > 1,820 1,700 68 64

CALIF : 59,000 57,000 2,213 2,137
FLA : 138,000 146,600 6,209 6,598
TEX : 1,430 1,850 61 79
US : 200,250 207,150 8,551 8,878

TEMPLES :
FLA : 3,550 3,750 160 169
GRAPEFRUIT,WHITE —:
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 29,200 27,700 1,241 1,177
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED:
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 21,900 23,700 930 1,007
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT :
FLA : 2,750 = 3,350 117 142
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 1,950
CALIF :

DESERT i 4,200
OTHER AREAS : 4,900
TOTAL : 93100
FLA > 53,850
TEX. : "3,800
us > 68,700

TANGERINES
ARIZ : 600
CALIF : 2,090
FLA : 25450
us : 5,140
LEMONS
ARIZ > 3,650
CALIF : 175000
US > 20,650
TANGELOS
FLA

4,200

1/_ TH YE NS HE BL! OF RS SH ND ITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS. PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,

FLA-90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER-67, FLA-85,
TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND MID-
SEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-22 NASS, USDA



PAGE
A-10
A-15
A-22
eeceee A-25
A- 8
A-14
- A-14
»- Bl
- A-23
« A-24
- B24
» Ar2l
weeeee . A-15
« A-25
« A-24
» A-16
» A-23
»- A-3
. A-13
- AD
. A-13
» A-20
+ A-20
TOBACOO BY CLASS AND TYPE .. . A-18
TOBACCO BY STATES ...... » A-19
- Aa
» A-1l
» A-11
, DURUM ....... . A-12
, OTHER SPRING ee ee eee ee 2 as 02
REKREREKEREREEREREREEREREREREREREREEREREKRERERERERERREEEREKEERERERER
* NOTICE *
* *
* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available *
* reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608, *
* Rockville, MD. 20849-1608 or call 800-999-6779. *
* *
* The next issue of this report will be published October 12, *
* 1989 and will include: *
* *
* Indicated areas harvested, yield, and production as of Oct. 1 *
* for corn for greain, cotton, rice, sorghum for grain, hay, dry *
* edible beans, dry edible peas, Austrian winter peas, lentils, *
* soybeans for beans, peanuts for nuts, sunflower, tobacco (by *
* types and Classes) , sugarbeets, sugarcane for sugar and seed; *
* indicated cottonseed production. *
* *
* Indicated production of rice by classes (U. S.), commercial *
* apples, grapes, prunes and plums (Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, *
* Washington), filberts, peans, and 1989-90 citrus fruits; papaya*
* acreage and production. Index of production by groups of crops*
* for United States and condition of pastures and ranges.
* :
* Revised acreage, yield, and production for soybeans and sun- *
* flower for 1988 and 1989 winter potatoes. Acreage, yield, and *
* production of wheat, oats, barley, and rye for 1989, including *
* revised data for 1988. Revised acreage, yield, and production *
* for dry edible peas, Austrian winter peas, and lentils for *
* 1988. *
HKRKKERERRERRREER ERIE ERER ERIK ERERERERERERERRERRREREERREREREREERE
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

SEPTEMBER 1989 B-14 NASS, USDA




Sorghum was mostly good to fair during August. Early in the month, lack
of rain stressed sorghum in the central and northern Great Plains. Cinch bug
infestations were heavy in the drier areas of Kansas and Nebraska. Harvest was
underway in Texas. In late August, rain improved crop condition in the central
Great Plains. By the end of August, crop development lagged behind normal in
most of the 11 major producing States. As of August 27, 34% of the acres were
turning color, 11 points behind normal. Harvest was underway in Louisiana and
Mississippi and was 52% complete in Texas.

At the beginning of August, winter wheat harvest was complete or nearly
complete except in the Pacific Northwest, where it lagged behind normal. By
August 27, winter wheat harvest was 98% complete. Harvest continued to lag
behind normal in Montana and Washington. By the end of August, spring wheat
harvest was 90% complete, 15 points ahead of normal. Harvest was complete in
South Dakota and nearly complete in Minnesota and North Dakota.

By the end of August winter wheat seeding, for 1990 harvest, was underway
in the High Plains area of Texas.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 7.32 billion
bushels, down slightly from last month but 49 percent above
1988.

The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 112.4 bushels, down 0.4
bushel from last month but up 27.8 bushels from last year's drought reduced
yield. Yields in the leading States and bushel changes from last month are:
Iowa 108, down 2; Illinois 122, down 2; Indiana 128, up 5; Minnesota 115, no
change; Nebraska 115, down 3; Ohio 115, no change; and Wisconsin 110, no change.

At the end of August, crop development was lagging behind normal in most

of the 17 major producing States. Harvest of corn for grain is well underway
in the Southern States: but progress is slightly behind normal.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION
1980 - 1989

o BILLION BUSHEL

Ay eed |

SEPTEMBER 1989 B-3 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP INDICATED

1988 1989 1988 1989

1,000 ACRES

CORN 67,619 72,320 58,164 65,154

SORGHUM 10,358 11,945 9,052 10,520

BARLEY 9,676 9,283 7,535 8,562

ALL WHEAT 65,529 76,757 53,174 62,677

DURUM 3,336 3,691 2,847 3,573

OTHER SPRING 13,393 17,833 10,542 17,214
RICE 2,928.0 2,771.0 2,895.0 2,746.0

SOYBEANS 58,870 60,475 57,383 59,073
PEANUTS 1,657.4 1,677.0 1,628.4 1,650.0
ALL COTTON 12,509.8 10,520.5 11,943.2 9,544.6
UPLAND 12,320.2 10,179.5 11,754.1 9,204.1
AMER-PIMA : 189.6 341.0 189.1 340.5
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1,498.4 1,842.8 1,366.0 1,770.7

POTATOES :
SUMMER : 96.4 95.9 91.8 91.7
TOTAL 2/ H 1,284.7 1,282.9 1,259.3 1,252.0
TOBACCO : 634.1 701.4
SUGARBEETS : 1,327.2 1,344.1 1,300.7 1,322.0
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED 845.3 862.7

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1988 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP INDICATED
1988 1989 1/ 1988 1989 1/
1,000 ACRES
OATS 13,927 12,142 5,590 7,280
WINTER WHEAT 48,800 55,233 39,785 41,890
RYE 2,444 2,082 607 517
FLAXSEED 275 230 226 223
SUNFLOWER 2,138 1,819 2,001 1,779
ALL HAY 65,559 62,918
ALFALFA 26,695 25,542
ALL OTHER 38,864 37,376
POTATOES
WINTER 12.5 12.8 12.3 12.8
SPRING 80.9 87.8 79. 84.0
FALL 2/ 1,094.9 1,086.4 1,075.4 1,063.5
SWEETPOTATOES 93.5 93.6 89.8 90.6
HOPS 33.4 34.5

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1988 REVISED.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA

CROP PRODUCTION

SEPTEMBER 1989 A-4


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

: POUNDS
LARGE LIMA :
CALIF : 28.0 29.0 2,040 2,050
BABY LIMA :
CALIF 29.0 31.0 2,270 2,300
OTHER
pall 93.0 110.0 1,790 1,850
CALIF 150.0 170.0 1,929 1,966
COLO 155.0 175.0 1,650 1,650
IDAHO 119.0 168.0 1,890 2,000
KANS 2/ 20.0 21.0 1,550 1,550
MICH 185.0 330.0 1,200 1,400
MINN 60.0 80.0 800 1,200
MONT 2/ 4.0 5.9 1,900 2,200
NEBR 193.0 210.0 1,950 1,800
N MEX 9.5 14.0 2,200 2,000
NY 25.0 34.0 1,300 1,300
N_DAK 370.0 470.0 730 700
UTAH 2/ 4.5 4.8 580 480
WASH 36.0 43.0 2,060 2,100
wyo 35.0 45.0 1,930 1,900
US 1,366.0 1,770.7 1,408 1,423

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR
CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

ALA 236.0 244.0 2,380 2,600 465,300 561,680 634,400
FLA 90.0 92.0 2,540 2,700 215,800 228,600 248,400
GA 685.0 695.0 2,630 3,000 1,575,000 1,801,550 2,085,000
N MEX 2/ 13.4 15.0 2,280 2,300 33,480 552 34,51

c 153.0 153.0 2,745 2,900 392,200 419,985 443,700
OKLA 97.0 93.0 2,320 2,400 222,750 225,040 223,200

c 13.0 14.0 2,470 2,700 31,200 32,110 37,800
TEX 250.0 283.0 1,670 1,800 441,000 417,500 455,400

2,900 3,000 243,000 263,900 273,000
US : 1,628.4 1,650.0 2,445 2,688 3,619,730 3,980,917 4,435,400

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR
CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-15 NASS, USDA



AREA PLANTED,

SEASONAL GROUP :
AND :

1988 1989

1,000 ACRES

WINTER 1/ 2/
CALIF

: 5.2 5.5 : 16.5 16.5
FLA : 7.3 7.3 COLO : 60.0 62.0
: CONN 3 6 -6
TOTAL 2 (12.8 12.8 IDAHO-10 SW CO : 18.0 17.0
: -OTHER CO : 332.0 338.0
SPRING 1/ 2/ D 3 4.9 4.6
ALA 5.0 4.5 MAINE 81.0 81.0
ARIZ 5.3 5.7 MASS 2.7 2.7
CALIF 19.6 21.0 MICH 36.0 30.0
FLA-HASTINGS 27.0 27.0 MINN 70.0 67.0
~OTHER 2.6 6.8 MONT 7.8 7.9
LA 35 4 NEBR 8.0 7.9
NC 14.5 15.0 NEV 8.0 8.0
TEX 6.4 7.4 N Y-LONG IS : 8.4 75
UPSTATE 3 25.0 22.5
TOTAL 80.9 87.8 N DAK : 140.0 125.0
OHIO : 9.5 8.5
SUMMER 2/ OREG-MALHEUR : 6.6 6.4
ALA 7.9 6.5 -OTHER CO: 39.4 45.6
CALIF 5.9 6.1 3 21.5 21.0
COLO 6.2 6.5 t 1.2 1.2
DEL 8.4 7.7 S_DAK 3 11.0 10.0
TLL 3.5 3.4 UTAH 3 6.8 5.5
IOWA 1.8 1.5 WASH : 115.0 118.0
D 2.3 2.1 WIS z 63.0 70.0
MICH 10.5 10.5 WYO 3 2.0 2.0
MINN 5.9 6.4
NEBR 2.4 2.4 TOTAL 1,094.9 1,086.4
Ng 5.3 4.9
N MEX 10.3 11.0 US 2/ 1,284.7 1,282.9
NC 1.5 1.5
TENN 1.0 1.4
TEX 9.5 11.0
VA 14.0 13.0
TOTAL 96.4 95.9

FALL 1/ 2,
CALIe /

POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP :
AND :

1988 1989

My EShinaTes FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1988

TOBACCO

YIELD

1,000 POUNDS
1,550 2,716 2,971 2,836

2,700 13,804 17,152 18,900
2,250 72,160 85,880 92,250
2,150 11,070 10,945 13,115
2,190 304,845 355,024 399,080
1,400 13,338 11,970 11,900
1,302 653 767 638

2,129 466,592 552,627 584,350
1,9 12,044 14,497 17,100
1,858 20,700 18,175 17,650
2,300 94,080 100,125 115,000
1,901 87,291 93,1 100,322

1,991 8,370 7,080 9,360
2,130 1,190,674 1,369,662 1,494,194

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-17

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA



RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about September 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, cotton, and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals of crop
conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for
their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations,
counts and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject
to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys.

More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to
future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently
but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts
in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on
past performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the September 1 production forecasts and
the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the
squared percentage deviations for the 1969-88 20-year period; the square
root of this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error.”
Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the
current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming
that factors affecting this year’s forecast are not different from those
influencing recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 5.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7,321 million bushels will not
be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.4 percent or approxi-
mately 395 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence
Tavel} that, the difference will not exceed 9.3 percent or approximately 681
million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 232 million bushels,
ranging from 18 million to 660 million bushels. The September'1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or over-
state final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS
(OOT MEAN SQUARE ERRO 10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
ANDO FINAL ESTIMATE

FEED GRAINS 1/
CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
BARLEY

ALL WHEAT

DURUM

OTHER SPRING
RICE
SONBEANS FOR

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-3 NASS, USDA



The Georgia pecan forecast is 95.0 million pounds, 14 percent below 1988
production. Disease, especially scab, has been a concern this year. Western
varieties, especially Wichita's, are hard hit. The disease problems stem from
heavy June and July rainfall. Many growers increased their spray schedules and
those who cut back too early saw the effectiveness of their sprays sharply
reduced. The Alabama forecast is 20.0 million pounds, double last year's
production. Above normal rainfall during June and duly provided ample moisture
for a good nut crop, but increased the influx of scab disease. Those growers
who haven't sprayed their trees will probably suffer substantial losses because
of this disease.

Arkansas is expecting to produce 1.50 million pounds during the 1989 season,
only half of last year's production level. A late spring freeze in April
affected most pecan set which reduced production potentials. California
production is forecast at 1.70 million pounds, 15 percent below last season.
Young bearing acreage will help offset the expected decrease in production from
older orchards. Quality is good, with ideal weather conditions during the
summer. Harvest is expected to begin late in October. The Florida pecan crop,
at 6.00 million pounds, is unchanged from last year. The pecan forecast for
Louisiana is 15.0 million pounds, down 32 percent from the 1988 crop. Too mich
hail, rain, scab, and leftover effects of last year's drought were cited as
reasons for the decrease. The Mississippi crop is forecast at 10.0 million
pounds, unchanged from last season. New Mexico's pecan forecast is 29.0 million
pounds, up 12 percent from last season. A good crop is expected in most of the
major producing areas, but summer drop has been a problem in southeastern New
Mexico. The North Carolina pecan crop forecast is for 2.00 million pounds, a
64 percent drop from last season. This drop is due to spring freeze damage and
excessive moisture during pollination. Oklahoma is expecting a crop of 12.0
million pounds, only a quarter of last year's large production. Excessive
moisture, high winds, late frosts, and the alternate bearing phenomenon for pecan
trees are the major reasons for this sharp drop. Growers in South Carolina are
expecting to produce 3.60 million pounds, down 45 percent from last year.
Excessive rainfall has caused disease problems in some areas. The Texas pecan
crop forecast is for 50.0 million pounds, down 17 percent from 1988 production.
Crop progress has varied widely across the State. A dry summer and a late spring
freeze in some areas will affect this year's crop. Improved varieties that are
irrigated are in good condition across the State. Harvest should begin soon in
South Texas.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 5.40 million pounds for

September, 7 percent lower than September 1988. October output is
expected to rise to 5.70 million pounds before falling to 5.00 million pounds
in November. A further drop to 2.50 million pounds is anticipated in December.

Fresh utilization is estimated at 5.44 million pounds for August, 5 percent
higher than July and 10 percent higher than last August. Year-to-date fresh
output leads the same January to August period of 1988 by 25 percent. Weather
conditions over major producing areas were a mixture of light showers and
sunshine.

Crop area totaled 3990 acres in August, 7 percent lower than July and 12
percent lower than last August. Area harvested for August 1989 totaled 2535
acres, 4 percent higher than the previous month and 10 percent higher than a year
ago.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-13 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 6-FT. SOR. PROFILE)
AUGUST 26, 1989 ys
1 fe are 2 i
a Sb ot A ek Se Or Senay
ae Caomresy TEasay WOMVUSDA JOLT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY. | _
DROUGHT SEVERITY
) (LONG TERM, PALMER)
Z AUGUST 26, 1989 wt
3
woveadong ; mn NEXT CHART SEPTEMBER 12 oe
me POD VP
vo <é _) Kegetex treme WA
i vo avenge »,
YY f
ty) PWS Monaht
ta
.
_ XTR
RT REME, GQ 2 y
2 .
BRM I eg ae = we
~ ONY iy? ‘ gor
3 \
GEES c 2)
a if } \
rd /
MODERATE ~ iN Morey
\
[DROUGHT SEVERITY. (PALMER): DEPICTS PRO-
Jano ee AS WELL AS. EVAPOFRARSPIRAT ON.) etvene) ' °
luses. . .APPLICABLE 1M MEASURING DISRUPTIVE EFFECTS OF PROLONGED. ! /o,
JASYEN’ Raed GE" BRouit On eYRESGLAND REFLECTING Tie CEIGRAL CONE, EXTREME
TERA STATUS OF WATER SUPPLIES IN ‘AQUIFERS RESERVOLRS .AND ‘STREAMS.
LIMTATIONS. 1S MOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORE TERM (FEW WEEKS)
THES Sie SR RIS ile ete CO MOVIN Sor AMLCRTIN HATER FACILITY
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
B-1 NASS, USDA

SEPTEMBER 1989


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1980-89 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR: 3 > HAY: : Hy 3 3

: ALL 1/:: FEED : AND  : FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO: OIL

3 : GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : : : CROPS
1980 : 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981 : 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982: #6117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983: 88 67 100 117 93 55 75 91
1984 3 111 116 107 129 95 91 90 106
1985 =: 117 134 106 121 97 93 79 117
1986 : 107 123 106 107 106 68 61 107
1987 : 106 105 102 106 111 103 62 106
1988: 89 73 88 98 105 107 72 88
1989 : 103 106 99 108 110 85 78 105

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS
OF CROPS SHOWN.

HHA KKKKKKKIKER RE REREKREEEREREREREEEEREREREREEE kkk ek oe
* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with *
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data *
* were prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which *
* consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington *
* headquarters. *
* *
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* Rich Allen, Chairperson, *
* L. Duane Jewell, Secretary, x
* Robert L. Addison, Thomas E. Kurtz, *
* Donald M. Bay, Roger D. Latham, *
* Thomas R. Birkett, Henry J. Power Jr., *
* dames E. Brewster, Darwin E. Ransom, *
* APPROVED: Arvin R. Budge, Carroll G. Rock, *
* N. Carl Cross, Jack L. Rutz, *
* William N. Dowdy, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, *
* Jeffrey K. Geuder, dames L. Smith, *
* G. Dean Hasenmyer, H. James Tippett, *
* Howard R. Holden, Charles A. Van Lahr, *
* Bernard J. Janssen, Herbert L. Vanderberry, *
* Van B. Johnson, Paul M. Williamson, *
* Daniel E. Kerestes, John D. Witzig. *
*
*

* Secretary of Agriculture
Hee KH HK HK eK HHH HICK HICK HHI SCG IKKE IKI ARIES A IKI IKEA ERE EAR EKER IKE EKIEREEEERIEAE

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-2 NASS, USDA


Kentucky burley was 46 percent cut by September 1. Houseburn of the early
cut burley was a major concern for producers. This year's crop has endured black
shank, aphids, and standing water. The quality and quantity varies considerably
across the State. The Tennessee crop is less uniform than usual. The North
Carolina burley crop bloomed out shorter than usual and suffered rain and flood

damage.

The dark fire-cured crop is forecast at 32.1 million pounds, up 4 percent
from last year but down 3 percent from expectations a month ago. The increase
from a year ago is the result of a 17 percent larger acreage which is largely
offset by a 243 pound per acre lower yield.

Southern Maryland type tobacco is expected to total 19.1 million pounds,
up 4 percent from 1988 and 3 percent greater than last month's forecast. With
the area for harvest unchanged from a year ago, the larger production is
resulting from a yield that is expected to be 52 pours per acre above the 1988
average. .

The dark air-cured tobacco crop of 8.56 million pounds is up 14 percent from
1988. The expected outlook is down 4 percent from August 1.

All cigar-type production is expected to total 23.3 million pounds, 3
percent more than in 1988 but 3 percent below last month's expectations.
Compared with last year, binder is 24 percent higher but filler is 11 percent
lower and wrapper is off 2 percent.

SUGARBEETS: The September 1 sugarbeet production forecast of 26.5 million tons

is down fractionally from the August 1 outlook but 7 percent above
last year's output. ‘The increase from a year ago is the combined result of
higher yields and a 2 percent increase in acreage. Yields are expected to
average 20.0 tons per acre nationally, compared with 19.1 tons in 1988.
Production is expected to be up in all states except California, Colorado, and

In California, the crop remains in good condition. Expected yield is above
last year but reduced acreage is limiting the size of the crop.

The Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota was hot and dry the first
half of August. However, by late August, most areas had received significant
precipitation.

The Idaho crop continued to progress well with no major problems reported.
An 8 percent larger crop is expected than a year ago.

The Michigan sugarbeet crop had generally favorable August weather for good
growth and development. Rainfall was mostly adequate but part of Bay County was
on the ary side.

Development of the Nebraska crop is 10 days to 2 weeks later than usual.
Weight and sugar content are below average. Lateness of planting, lack of
irrigation water, hail storms, and hot, dry winds have all taken their toll.

Wyoming sugarbeets deteriorated in areas where growers were short or out
of irrigation water. A legal battle over water in a major county has left ‘many.
irrigators without any water, effective September 7.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-9 NASS, USDA .


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at 659 million bushels, down 1

percent from August 1 but up 14 percent from 1988. Area
for grain is 10.5 million acres, unchanged from last month and up 16 percent
from last year. Yield expectations have dipped from last month, mainly due
to a 5 bushel per acre drop in Nebraska. The average U.S. yield is now
forecast at 62.6 bushels per acre, off 0.5 bushels from August 1 and 1.2
bushels from 1988.

Rain in Colorado's major sorghum areas continued to improve dryland crop
conditions; however, only 23 percent of the acreage had turned color as of
September 3. Crop development in Kansas is trailing average progress and some
of the late planted acreage may not reach maturity. Chinch bugs have been a
problem, especially in drier regions. Sorghum conditions declined during
August in Nebraska. Rains in the latter half of August came too late to help
early planted sorghum, but may help later plantings.

Record yields are still expected in Oklahoma, where mild temperatures
and ample soil moisture have aided development. The crop rated 99 percent in
good condition as of September 3. In Texas, the overall harvest was 55
percent complete, 2 points behind average. Harvest was virtually complete in
the Blacklands and southern areas and active in the Low Plains and Cross
Timbers.

BARLEY: Total production is forecast at 401 million bushels, up 2 percent

from last month and 38 percent above the drought reduced crop of 1988.
The expected yield per acre is forecast at 46.9 bushels compared with last
season's average of 38.6 bushels. Area harvested, and to be harvested at 8.56
million acres, is 14 percent above last year's 7.54 million acres.

Yields are up from last month in Colorado, Minnesota, and North Dakota.
Dry conditions in North and South Dakota during August allowed growers to
complete harvest two weeks ahead of normal.

ALL WHEAT: Total production is forecast at 2.06 billion bushels, up 1 percent

from August 1 and 14 percent more than the 1988 production. Aver-

age yield is forecast at 32.9 bushels per acre, up 0.3 bushels from August but

2 bushels per acre less than last year. Harvested area is still expected
to total 62.7 million acres, up 18 percent from 1988.

DURUM WHEAT: Production is now forecast at 93.6 million bushels, up 3 percent

from last month and up 109 percent from the drought reduced crop
of 1988. Yields are now expected to average 26.2 bushels per acre, up 0.8
bushels from August 1. Last year the average was 15.7 bushels per acre. Area
for grain remains at 3.57 million acres, up 26 percent from a year ago.

Minnesota's harvest was complete by mid-August; harvest in Montana is
nearly complete. Harvest progress in North Dakota was slowed the last week
of August by cool, rainy weather, but was still at least 2 weeks ahead of
average. South Dakota's harvest was virtually finished by mid-August.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production for 1989 is now forecast at 505 million
bushels, 4 percent more than the August 1 forecast and
146 percent more than the 1988 production. Area for grain is unchanged from
last month at 17.2 million acres. This is up 63 percent from 1988. Yields
were a little better in Minnesota and North Dakota than anticipated last
month. U.S. spring wheat average yield is now forecast at 29.3 bushels per
acre, up 9.8 bushels per acre from Jast year and up 1.0 bushel from August 1.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 B-4 NASS, USDA


RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

YEAR : LONG GRAIN : MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN ALL
EES SJ000 CUT tt—C<Cs~—=—s—sSSSSSSS
1987: 88,995 37,651 2,957 129,603
1988 : 118,664 375591 33292 159,547
1989 : 108,351 40; 238 33754 152,343

1/__ INDICATED SEPTEMBER_1, 1989. RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE D ND IND
1988 1989 1988 1989 1987 1988 1989
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 570 520 25.0 25.0 7,920 14,250 13,000
ARK : 3,200 3,200 25.0 22.0 71,500 80,000 70,400
DEL 3 225 250 27.0 31.0 4,230 6,075 7,750
FLA lf : 115 150 29.0 27.0 2,325 3,335 4,050
GA : 900 1,150 25.0 28.0 15,600 22,500 32,200
ILL : 8,700 8,750 27.0 38.0 330,600 234,900 332,500
IND 4,200 4,550 27.5 39.0 174,000 115,500 177,450
IOWA 8,000 8,250 31.0 36.0 343,650 248,000 297,000
KANS 2,000 1,750 23.0 28.0 67,520 46,000 49,000
KY 910 1,170 26.5 32.0 24,000 24,115 37,440
LA 1,850 1,550 27.5 22.0 38,775 50,875 34,100
MD 455 560 31.0 31.0 9,225 14,105 17,360
MICH 1,210 1,090 28.0 36.0 38,150 33,880 39,240
MINN 4,800 5,000 26.0 34.0 181,350 124,800 170,000
MISS 2,250 2,000 22.0 20.0 47,775 49,500 40,000
MO 4,230 4,300 26.0 31.0 154,560 109,980 133,300
NEBR 2,360 2,550 30.0 28.0 83,425 70,800 71,400
NJ V/ 103 128 27.0 30.0 3,069 2,781 3,840
1,410 1,480 27.0 28.0 32,830 38,070 41,440
N DAK 1/ 690 580 18.0 23.0 16,738 12,420 13,340
3,700 3,950 27.0 33.0 147,260 99,900 130,350
OKLA 1/ 270 275 18.0 26.0 5,750 4,860 >
PA 1/ 225 255 32.0 37.0 5,610 7,200 9,435
Sc 790 960 23.0 25.0 15,695 18,170 24,000
S_DAK 1,730 1,870 24.0 28.0 45,175 41,520 52,360
TENN 1,320 1,430 26.0 26.0 28,750 34,320 37,180
TEX 225 450 28.0 30.0 4,200 6,300 13,500
VA 555 525 28.0 32.0 10,920 15,540 16,800
WIS) 1/ 390 380 23.0 36.0 12,160 8,970 13,680
US 57,383 59,073 26.8 32.0 1,922,762 1,538,666 1,889,265

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-13 NASS, USDA



POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP PRODUCTION
AND ance pee eect eee e ee ence eee ee
STATE

1,000 ACRES CHT 1,000 CWT
WINTER 1/ 2/
CALIF 5.2 5.5 230 240 1,081 1,196 1,320
Ta 7:3 200195 1,420 1,420 1,424
TOTAL : 12.3 12.8 213 214 2,501 2,616 2,744
SPRING 1/ 2/
ALA : 4.9 4.4 135 195 700 662 858
ARIZ : 5.3 5:7 235 300 1,348 1,246 1,710
CALIF : 19:6 = 21:0 385375 7,881 7,546 7875
FLA-HASTINGS : 26.5 25.5 235 220 5,168 6,228 5,610
-OTHER : 2.5 6:5 210 180 399 525 1,170
LA : 4 3305055 18 20 17
Nc 1414 14:8 190 155 2,544 2,736 2,294
TEX : 6.2 5.8 185 135 930 1,147 783
TOTAL > 79.8 84.0 252 242 18,988 20,110 20,317
SUMMER 2/
ALA 1.7 6.3 90 170 1,240 693 1,071
CALIF 5.9 6:1 325 360 2,201 1,918 25.196
COLO 6.1 6.4 305 310 1,859 1,861 1,984
DEL 8.4 7.7 215-180 «1,.680 1,806 1,386
ILL 312 3:3 230 © 250 806 736 825
IOWA 17 1:5 170 = 180 360 289 270
D 2:3 2:1 200 = 170 500 460 357
MICH 9.0 9.5 180 220 2,160 1,620 2,090
MINN 5.7 6.3 260 290 1,920 1,482 1,827
NEBR 2:3 2:3 300-265 675 690
NJ 5.2 4:8 195 175 1,254 1,014 840
N MEX 10.2 11:0 300 350 ©3500» 35060 «3,850
NC 1.4 1.4 120 = (120 173 168
TENN 9 79 65 (120 104 59 108
TEX 9.0 10.5 250 250 2,420 2,250 2,625
VA 12:8 «126 «160115 1,974 2,048 1,334
TOTAL : 91.8 91.7 220 235 22,833 20,154 21, 541
FALL 1/ 2/
CALIF 3 16.5 16.5 370 7,869 6,105
coLo > 59:5 61.5 320 19,500 19,040
CONN : ‘6 5 225 123 135
IDAHO-10 SWCO : 18:0 17:0 400 7,200 7,200
OTHER CO: 329.0 334.0290 92,510 95,410
D : 4.2 4:2 180 1,250 756
MAINE 80:0 80.0 275 233240 22,000
ASS 2:6 2:7 220 658 572
MICH 34:0 27:0 230 9,720 7,820
MINN 69:0 63.0 175 16,330 12,075
MONT nT 7.8 280 3370 ,
NEBR 7.6 7.7 280 2,175 2,128
NEV : 8:0 8:0 310 23720 2,480
N-Y-LONG IS : 8.3 7:3 240 23425 1,992
-UPSTATE > 24:0 215 200 6,250 4,800,
N DAK : 135.0 121.0 115 24,050 15,525
OHIO : 8.7 7:9 195 2,254 1,697
OREG-MALHEUR CO : 6.4 6.2 375 2,788 2,400
-OTHER CO: | (38.6 044.8 | 475 233136 18,335,
PA : 20:5 20:5 180 4,730 3,690
RI 1.2 1.2. 250 263
S_DAK 10:0 9:0 160 2,310 1,600
UTAH 6 5.3 245 1,584 1,617
WASH 115:0 118.0550 66,960 63,250
WIS 2:5 69.0 320 223100 20,000
WYO 1.9 1.9 250 483
TOTAL 1,075.4 1,063.5 292 344,998 313,558
us 1,259.3 1,252.0 283 389,320 356,438

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. ESTIMATES
FOR 1989 YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR FALL POTATOES WILL BE PUBLISHED IN CROP
PRODUCTION TO BE RELEASED NOVEMBER 9, 1989. 2/ 1988 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1989 A-16 NASS, USDA