Cr Pr 2-2 (4-07)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released April 10, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

All Orange Production Down 1 Percent

The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2006-07 season is 7.36 million tons, down 1 percent from the March 1

forecast and 18 percent below last season’s final utilization of 9.00 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast,

at 131 million boxes (5.88 million tons), is down 1 percent from last month and 12 percent lower than the

utilization from the 2005-06 season’s crop. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at

65.7 million boxes (2.96 million tons), down 2 percent from the previous forecast and down 12 percent from

last season’s final utilization. The row count survey conducted March 28-29 indicated that 1 percent of the

early and midseason orange rows remained to be harvested. Navel harvest was complete. The forecast is

reduced from last month based on current utilization data. Florida’s Valencia forecast is 65.0 million boxes

(2.93 million tons), unchanged from the March forecast but down 11 percent from last season’s final

utilization. The row count survey showed that 21 percent of Valencia rows had been harvested.

California’s all orange forecast, at 37.0 million boxes (1.39 million tons), is unchanged from the March

forecast but 39 percent lower than last season’s final utilization of 60.5 million boxes (2.27 million tons). 

California’s navel orange utilization is forecast at 27.0 million boxes (1.01 million tons), unchanged from the

previous forecast but 43 percent lower than last season’s final utilization. Packing houses continue to find

some good quality navel oranges. California’s Valencia forecast is 10.0 million boxes (375,000 tons),

unchanged from the March 1 forecast but 26 percent below the utilization from the 2005-06 season’s crop. A

few packing houses were scheduled to start handling Valencia oranges in early April. The Texas all orange

forecast is 1.85 million boxes (78,000 tons), down 7 percent from the March 1 forecast but 16 percent higher

than last season’s final utilized production. The Texas early and midseason orange harvest was virtually

complete. Arizona’s all orange utilization forecast, at 350,000 boxes (14,000 tons), is unchanged from the

previous forecast but 22 percent lower than the 2005-06 season.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2006-07 season is forecast at a record high

1.65 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, up from 1.62 gallons per box last month and the 2005-06 season’s

yield of 1.63 gallons. Yield from the early-midseason portion is 1.56 gallons, unchanged from last month but

up from 1.53 gallons last season. Valencias are projected to yield 1.78 gallons, up from 1.72 gallons last

month and 1.75 gallons for the 2005-06 crop. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships

this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on April 10, 2007.

Secretary of

Agriculture

Mike Johanns

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Carol C. House
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Citrus Fruits

Grapefruit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Lemons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Tangelos . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Tangerines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Temples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Crop Summary ........................................................................6

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 4 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2004-05, 2005-06 and Forecasted April 1, 2007 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ

 CA

 FL 4

 TX

 US

 Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Temples 4

 FL

Grapefruit

 White

 FL

 Colored

 FL

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 5

 CA 5

 FL

 US

Lemons

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

240

44,000

79,100

1,500

124,840

190

20,500

70,700

270

91,660

430

64,500

149,800

1,770

216,500

650

3,400

9,400

140

6,100

12,800

6,600

25,640

400

2,900

4,450

7,750

2,400

20,500

22,900

1,550

250

47,000

75,000

1,400

123,650

200

13,500

72,700

200

86,600

450

60,500

147,700

1,600

210,250

700

6,500

12,800

100

6,000

19,300

5,200

30,600

550

3,600

5,500

9,650

3,800

21,000

24,800

1,400

200

27,000

65,700

1,580

94,480

150

10,000

65,000

270

75,420

350

37,000

130,700

1,850

169,900

10,000

18,000

100

4,800

28,000

6,500

39,400

300

2,600

4,600

7,500

2,500

16,500

19,000

1,250

9

1,650

3,560

64

5,283

7

769

3,182

11

3,969

16

2,419

6,742

75

9,252

29

145

400

5

204

545

264

1,018

15

109

211

335

91

779

870

70

9

1,763

3,375

60

5,207

8

506

3,272

9

3,795

17

2,269

6,647

69

9,002

32

276

544

3

201

820

208

1,232

21

135

261

417

144

798

942

63

8

1,013

2,957

67

4,045

6

375

2,925

11

3,317

14

1,388

5,882

78

7,362

425

765

3

161

1,190

260

1,614

11

98

219

328

95

627

722

56

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90;

Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities

of tangerines in TX. 4 Temples included in early and midseason orange varieties beginning with 2006-07 season. 5 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 5 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production

by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2005-2007

Seasonal

Group

and

State

Area

Yield Production

Planted Harvested

2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter

 CA

 FL 1

 Total

Spring

 AZ

 CA

 FL 1

 Hastings

 Other FL

 NC

 TX

 Total

Summer 2

 AL

 CA

 CO

 DE

 IL

 KS

 MD

 MO

 NJ

 TX

 VA

 Total

12.0

5.7

17.7

3.9

15.3

23.1

17.0

6.1

17.7

10.7

70.7

1.7

6.3

4.1

3.0

6.5

6.0

4.0

7.8

2.5

10.5

6.0

58.4

11.5

11.5

3.5

15.5

27.8

16.5

11.3

16.0

9.6

72.4

12.0

5.5

17.5

3.9

15.3

22.6

16.6

6.0

15.5

10.2

67.5

1.6

6.3

4.0

2.1

6.3

5.7

2.9

7.6

2.5

9.7

5.6

54.3

11.5

11.5

3.5

15.5

27.2

16.2

11.0

14.5

9.1

69.8

260

250

257

300

395

285

285

285

210

280

293

150

335

370

240

395

320

320

315

240

440

270

338

215

215

300

395

290

290

290

200

315

298

3,500

1,392

4,892

1,183

6,116

6,527

4,760

1,767

2,850

2,048

18,724

195

2,201

1,838

806

2,090

1,800

884

2,142

536

4,046

1,029

17,567

3,120

1,375

4,495

1,170

6,044

6,441

4,731

1,710

3,255

2,856

19,766

240

2,111

1,480

504

2,489

1,824

928

2,394

600

4,268

1,512

18,350

2,473

2,473

1,050

6,123

7,888

4,698

3,190

2,900

2,867

20,828

 1 Winter potatoes combined with spring potatoes in 2007. 2 2006 revised.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2006-2007

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested 2006 2007

2006 2007 2006 2007

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Feb

Mar

2,285

2,070

2,360

1,935

1,795

1,785

1,145

870

2,240

2,210

2,070

2,160

 1 Utilized fresh production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 6 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

3,452.0

78,327.0

4,168.0

580.0

2,838.0

1,396.0

6,522.0

57,344.0

40,575.0

1,870.0

14,899.0

1,044.0

813.0

40.5

1,243.0

1.4

189.0

75,522.0

1,950.0

15,274.0

14,948.0

326.0

1,366.7

46.0

1,629.8

925.5

429.0

1,134.7

17.7

70.7

58.4

987.9

95.6

3,703.0

90,454.0

4,029.0

2,644.0

7,109.0

60,303.0

44,505.0

1,990.0

13,808.0

1,168.0

390.0

1,197.0

67,140.0

1,799.0

12,147.0

11,855.0

292.0

1,294.7

37.0

1,504.5

902.0

340.0

11.5

72.4

92.9

2,951.0

70,648.0

6,477.0

60,807.0

21,384.0

39,423.0

1,576.0

475.0

2,821.0

274.0

4,937.0

347.0

46,810.0

31,117.0

1,815.0

13,878.0

1,021.0

767.0

39.2

1,209.0

1.0

179.0

74,602.0

1,770.0

12,731.5

12,408.0

323.5

1,304.1

908.8

339.0

22.5

1,537.6

884.1

407.0

6.3

0.1

29.4

79.2

1,115.5

17.5

67.5

54.3

976.2

18.5

87.2

0.4

63,056.0

344.2

11.5

69.8

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Acreage is not estimated. 4 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 7 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

“

Tons

“

“

“

Bu

“

Cwt

Bu

“

Tons

Bu

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Bu

Lbs

“

“

“

Bu

Lbs

Bales

“

“

Tons

“

Lbs

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

“

“

“

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

Cwt

Lbs

61.0

149.1

16.2

2.33

3.35

1.78

59.5

21.5

6,868

26.3

56.2

13.4

38.7

41.7

29.5

33.2

1,366

14.4

720

2,874

1,100

1,069

42.7

1,211

819

811

1,122

25.9

32.8

2,144

1,151

1,577

1,493

797

1,160

43,000

1,964

92

390

257

293

338

402

110

189

215

298

180,051

10,534,868

104,849

141,666

71,666

70,000

93,764

10,195

193,736

7,193

277,538

4,642

1,812,036

1,298,081

53,475

460,480

1,394,332

7,632.0

11,019

28,220

3,474,450

1,100

191,405

3,188,247

2,143,613

21,729.0

20,973.0

756.0

33,765

29,799

726,724

259

24,247

13,203

3,244

590

7,300

4,300

57,686.7

7,248

434,589

4,495

19,766

18,350

391,978

2,038

16,441

4,500

2,473

20,828

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 8 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Production

2005 2006 2007

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Tons

“

“

“

“

“

1,000 Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

“

Lbs

Tons

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

Gals

1,018

870

9,252

70

335

29

9,719.9

81.7

20,900.0

7,813.7

142.0

32,900.0

1,184.6

823.3

97.0

9.1

915,000

27.6

280,250

355.0

1,242

1,232

942

9,002

63

417

32

10,072.1

44.7

17,000.0

6,346.3

23.5

28,300.0

1,010.1

841.0

170.0

21.3

1,095,000

41.0

188,900

350.0

1,449

1,614

722

7,362

56

328

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2 Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3 Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 9 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2006 2007 2006 2007

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 4

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 5

1,396,990

31,698,150

1,686,750

234,720

1,148,510

564,950

2,639,390

23,206,540

16,420,300

756,770

6,029,480

422,500

329,010

16,390

503,030

570

76,490

30,563,000

789,150

6,181,240

6,049,310

131,930

553,090

18,620

659,560

374,540

173,610

459,200

7,160

28,610

23,630

399,790

38,690

1,498,570

36,605,830

1,630,500

1,070,000

2,876,940

24,404,020

18,010,730

805,330

5,587,960

472,680

157,830

484,410

27,170,890

728,040

4,915,770

4,797,600

118,170

523,950

14,970

608,860

365,030

137,590

4,650

29,300

37,600

1,194,240

28,590,540

2,621,180

24,607,980

8,653,890

15,954,090

637,790

192,230

1,141,630

110,890

1,997,950

140,430

18,943,540

12,592,740

734,510

5,616,290

413,190

310,400

15,860

489,270

400

72,440

30,190,680

716,300

5,152,310

5,021,390

130,920

527,760

367,780

137,170

9,110

622,250

357,790

164,710

2,550

40

11,880

32,050

451,430

7,080

27,320

21,970

395,060

7,490

35,290

150

25,518,130

139,280

4,650

28,250

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Acreage is not estimated. 5 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 10 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.28

9.36

36.29

5.22

7.51

3.98

2.13

1.20

7.70

1.65

3.53

29.99

2.60

2.81

1.98

2.23

1.53

0.90

0.81

3.22

1.23

1.20

2.87

1.36

0.92

0.91

1.26

58.04

73.50

2.40

1.29

1.77

1.67

0.89

1.30

48.20

2.20

0.10

43.67

28.79

32.82

37.88

45.01

0.12

21.13

24.10

33.45

3,920,150

267,597,970

95,117,410

128,517,230

65,014,300

63,502,930

1,360,980

231,220

8,787,720

182,710

7,049,790

4,211,150

49,315,540

35,327,980

1,455,350

12,532,210

632,460

6,923,630

279,900

12,800

1,575,980

500

86,820

86,769,860

972,330

4,730,930

4,566,330

164,600

30,631,090

27,033,200

329,640

11,750

1,099,830

598,880

147,150

26,760

3,310

1,950

26,170

3,290

19,712,630

203,890

896,570

832,340

17,779,820

920

745,750

2,040

112,170

944,740

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 11 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2005 2006 2007

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

923,510

789,250

8,393,270

63,500

303,910

26,310

4,408,870

74,070

9,480

7,088,470

128,820

14,920

1,074,610

746,900

88,000

8,260

415,040

25,040

127,120

322,050

6,210

1,117,650

854,570

8,166,480

57,150

378,300

29,030

4,568,630

40,530

7,710

5,757,220

21,320

12,840

916,370

762,970

154,220

19,320

496,680

37,190

85,680

317,510

7,240

1,464,200

654,990

6,678,690

50,800

297,560

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2 Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3 Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 12 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 13 NASS, USDA

March Weather Summary

Record-setting warmth in March followed a nearly nationwide cold snap from mid-January through February. 

Monthly temperatures averaged at least 10 degrees F above normal at several sites across the central one-third

of the Nation, while cooler-than-normal weather was confined to the Northeast and scattered locations in

Florida and along the Pacific Coast. Warmth rivaled conditions observed in March 2004, which was the

nation’s second-warmest March since the beginning of the 20th century.

From the Rockies westward, above-normal temperatures promoted fieldwork and rapid crop development, but

caused premature melting of high-elevation snowpacks. Implications of early melting could include the need

for careful water management to meet the summer needs of agricultural, environmental, industrial, municipal,

and recreational users. Meanwhile on the Plains, winter wheat growth advanced at a faster-than-normal pace,

with nearly half (46 percent) of the crop jointing in Kansas by early April (the 5-year average for April 1 is

19 percent) and some heading underway in Texas (7 percent by April 1) and Oklahoma (1 percent). Through

the end of March, conditions for wheat development on the Plains were nearly ideal and stood in stark

contrast to last year’s drought, although frequent storms and abundant soil moisture slowed planting

preparations and other spring fieldwork. Farther east, melting snow and a number of moisture-laden storms

soaked the western Corn Belt and maintained soggy conditions farther east. Excessive Midwestern moisture

was detrimental to winter grains, especially in parts of the eastern Corn Belt, and prevented or significantly

curtailed spring planting preparations. Nearly the opposite conditions prevailed across the Southeast, where

warm, mostly dry weather promoted planting activities and rapid growth of pastures, winter grains, and

emerging summer crops. By month’s end, however, worsening Southeastern drought boosted irrigation

demands and increased stress on rain-dependent crops.

March Agricultural Summary

March was warmer than usual coast to coast, except in the Northeast where it was slightly cooler than usual. 

Temperatures averaged 5 to 10 degrees F above normal from the High Plains through the Mississippi Valley

and into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, and were generally within 5 degrees F of normal elsewhere. Total

monthly precipitation was well-above normal in the extreme Pacific Northwest, throughout the Great Plains,

and in portions of the middle and upper Mississippi Valley, upper Ohio Valley, Great Lakes, and Northeast.

Significant precipitation – 2 to 4 times normal in Texas, and up to or over 2 times normal further north –

increased moisture levels across the Great Plains to the benefit of most crops, pastures, and water supplies. 

The unusually warm weather combined with the abundant moisture to promote rapid greening and

development of the winter wheat crop. Favorable conditions allowed farmers in the northern Plains to start

planting barley, oats, and spring wheat earlier than usual. In the central and southern Plains, planting of corn,

cotton, soybeans, and sorghum was underway, but moderate to heavy rainfall late in the month slowed field

preparation activities. Some replanting of corn, cotton, and sorghum may be necessary due to flooding in

portions of Texas.

Mild weather across the Corn Belt eased stress on livestock, but melting snow, together with moderate to

heavy precipitation late in the month, contributed to lowland flooding and soggy soils from the eastern

Dakotas into Indiana. The overly wet conditions hampered farmers efforts to prepare fields for planting,

especially in eastern portions of the region. Winter wheat broke dormancy, but development lagged behind

normal.

Warm, dry weather allowed farmers in the Delta and Southeast to make good progress with field preparations. 

Spring planting began earlier than usual and advanced well-ahead of schedule. Persistent dry conditions

increased stress on emerging crops and pastures, causing farmers to irrigate some small grains and spring

planted crops.

In California, warmer than normal temperatures promoted rapid growth of small grains and vegetable crops,

but drier than normal conditions increased irrigation requirements and caused dryland crops to show signs of

stress. The unseasonably warm weather accelerated bloom and development of stone fruit and almonds. In

the Pacific Northwest, winter wheat was in mostly good condition and spring planting was underway.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 14 NASS, USDA

Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2006-07 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.61 million tons, unchanged from the

March 1 forecast but 31 percent higher than last season's final utilization of 1.23 million tons. Florida's

grapefruit production is forecast at 28.0 million boxes (1.19 million tons), unchanged from last month but

45 percent above last season's hurricane-reduced final utilization of 19.3 million boxes (820,000 tons). The

all white grapefruit forecast is 10.0 million boxes (425,000 tons), unchanged from March but 54 percent

above last season’s final utilization. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 18.0 million boxes (765,000 tons), is

unchanged from last month but 41 percent above last season's utilization. The row count survey conducted

March 28-29 showed 75 percent of all grapefruit rows harvested, with a lower percentage of colored

grapefruit harvested than white. Unlike last season, due to the overall excellent quality of this season’s crop,

the majority of colored grapefruit have been harvested for fresh use.

California’s grapefruit forecast, at 4.80 million boxes (161,000 tons), is unchanged from the March 1 forecast

but down 20 percent from the previous season. As a result of the January freeze, grapefruit and pummelo

harvests remained slow. The Texas grapefruit forecast is 6.50 million boxes (260,000 tons), unchanged from

the March 1 forecast but up 25 percent from last season’s utilized production. Arizona’s grapefruit forecast is

100,000 boxes (3,000 tons), unchanged from both the previous forecast and last season’s utilization.

Tangerines: The 2006-07 U.S. tangerine forecast is 328,000 tons, down 3 percent from the March forecast

and 21 percent lower than last season's final utilization of 417,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at

4.60 million boxes (219,000 tons), down 4 percent from the March forecast and 16 percent lower than last

season’s utilization of 5.50 million boxes. Early variety tangerine harvest is complete, and the row count

survey conducted March 28-29 showed that the later maturing Honey tangerine harvest was further along at

this point than in any of the previous ten seasons. Honey tangerines are normally harvested through the

month of April and into May. 

California’s forecast of tangerine production, at 2.60 million boxes (98,000 tons), is unchanged from the

March 1 forecast but 28 percent below last season’s utilized production. Most Clementines were picked

before the January freeze but Murcott harvest increased in March with good fruit quality reported. The

Arizona tangerine forecast, at 300,000 boxes (11,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous month but

45 percent below last year’s utilization.

Lemons: The forecast for the 2006-07 U.S. lemon crop, at 722,000 tons, is unchanged from the March 1

forecast but 23 percent below last season’s utilization. California production is forecast at 16.5 million boxes

(627,000 tons), unchanged from March but 21 percent lower than utilization for the 2005-06 season. Packing

houses in the desert areas of California had exhausted their lemon supplies. Elsewhere in the State, lemons

were still being picked and packed. Volumes in the Central Valley and south coastal regions of the State were

low, but fruit quality in the coastal areas was reported as very good. Arizona's 2006-07 lemon forecast, at

2.50 million boxes (95,000 tons), is unchanged from the March forecast but down 34 percent from the

previous season. Harvest had ended for this season.

Tangelos: Florida’s tangelo forecast is 1.25 million boxes (56,000 tons), unchanged from the March 1

forecast but down 11 percent from last season’s final utilized production. Tangelo harvest is complete with

66 percent of this season’s crop being processed.

Florida Citrus: Bloom was evident in all citrus growing areas during March. By the third week of the

month, full bloom was noted on most citrus varieties in coastal and upper interior areas and a few Valencia

orange groves had begun showing petal drop. Field personnel in lower interior groves reported an even,

heavy bloom on all varieties. Rainfall for the month was below average in all areas. The east coast and the

southern citrus producing areas were very dry, having received about an inch of rainfall for the month. Many

days in the lower to mid 80s were recorded in all areas. Most growers were irrigating frequently, but the dry,

warm weather could cause problems if rain does not come shortly after the bloom period.

Early and midseason orange harvests were completed during March. Valencia harvest increased significantly

during the second week of the month. The Valencia harvest was running ahead of the last two years,

indicating an earlier maturing crop. Grapefruit harvest continued throughout the month with about two thirds

of the harvested fruit being processed. Honey tangerine harvest was steady at between 100,000 and

200,000 boxes per week. Growers and caretakers continued hedging and topping programs and applying
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 15 NASS, USDA

pesticides in preparation for the next season’s crop. In addition to normal maintenance programs, growers

scouted for greening and removed diseased trees.

Arizona Citrus: With the exception of Valencia oranges, this season’s citrus harvest was mostly complete. 

Packers reported that some grapefruit might still be harvested but most remaining fruit would be used for

juice. Packers were optimistic about the prospects for next season’s crop. Bloom appeared to be good in

grapefruit and tangerine groves but light in lemon groves.

Texas Citrus: Grapefruit and Valencia orange harvests continued throughout the month, while navel oranges

were finished. Growers generally reported good quality and size of fruit.

California Citrus: Citrus packing houses continued to monitor for freeze damaged fruit. Recovery of citrus

groves continued with removal of frost damaged limbs. Hedging and topping of trees continued. Citrus

bloom began in most growing areas although growers in some areas fear that bud and tree damage will

seriously affect next season’s crop. Harvest of oranges, tangerines, tangelos, mandarins, and grapefruit

continued throughout the month. Some growers applied foliar nutrients as well as pesticides to control fungus

and weeds.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape vineyard operators applied fertilizer, irrigated, and sprayed to

control weeds throughout the month of March. Pruning and trellis system repairs were completed for the

season. Several varieties of grapes had begun leafing out. Stone fruit, nut, and pomegranate orchards were

irrigated, fertilized, and herbicides were applied. New orchards were still being planted. Warm weather

toward the end of the month encouraged the bloom in stone fruit orchards. Early blooms on peaches,

nectarines, and plums were winding down by month’s end in Tulare County. Kiwi pruning was almost

complete. Cherry and prune orchards were in bloom and blueberry fields were beginning to bloom. Winter

cover crops were mowed and disked. Bee pollination was active with recent weather making conditions ideal. 

Almonds were in full bloom throughout March with petal fall occurring later in the month. Walnut orchards

were pruned and limbs were shredded as weather permitted. The addition of soil amendments and

applications of pre-emergent herbicides continued.

Winter Potatoes: Production for 2007 is forecast at 2.47 million cwt, 14 percent below the January forecast

and 45 percent below last year. Florida winter potatoes were combined with their spring potatoes for the

2007 crop. The California production is 21 percent below 2006. Area for harvest in California, at

11,500 acres, is unchanged from January but down 4 percent from a year ago. The average yield of 215 cwt

per acre is down 35 cwt from January and 45 cwt below a year ago. Freezing temperatures in January

damaged the crop, resulting in lower yield potential.

Spring Potatoes: Spring production in 2007 is forecast at 20.8 million cwt, up 5 percent from last year and

11 percent above two years ago. Area for harvest is forecast at 69,800 acres, 3 percent above 2006. The

average yield is forecast at 298 cwt per acre, up 5 cwt from a year ago.

Spring potato production in Florida is forecast at 7.89 million cwt, up 22 percent from a year ago. Florida’s

winter potatoes were combined with spring potatoes in 2007. Mild weather during December kept planting

on schedule and aided crop development in southern Florida. Dry weather from January to March aided

planting progress around the Hastings area and in the northern Peninsula. California’s spring potato

production forecast, at 6.12 million cwt, is 1 percent above last year. Freezing temperatures in January caused

some delays in planting, slowed growth, and caused some crop damage. However, growers rate the overall

crop condition better than the 2006 crop. North Carolina’s spring potato crop is forecast at 2.90 million cwt,

down 11 percent from last year. As of April 1, the crop was rated 85 percent good to excellent and planting

was nearing completion. Texas spring potato production is forecast at 2.87 million cwt, virtually unchanged

from last season. Producers report good growing conditions with high levels of moisture available. Arizona’s

production is forecast at 1.05 million cwt, down 10 percent from last year.

Summer Potatoes, 2006 Revisions: The final estimate of 2006 summer potato crop production is

18.4 million cwt, down 1 percent from the preliminary estimate in the January Crop Production

2006 Summary but up 4 percent from the 2005 crop. Harvested area covered 54,300 acres, unchanged from

the 2006 preliminary estimate but up 6 percent from 2005. The average yield of 338 cwt per acre is down

2 cwt from the 2006 preliminary estimate and 4 cwt below the 2005 crop. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 16 NASS, USDA

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.16 million pounds for March, up 4 percent from

February but 2 percent less than March 2006. Area in crop totaled 1,935 acres, down 18 percent from last

month and 7 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 870 acres in March, down 24 percent from

February and 51 percent lower than March 2006. Conditions in papaya growing areas were generally

favorable during March. Normal field activities were conducted as weather permitted.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 17 NASS, USDA

Reliability of April 1 Orange Forecast

Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the April 1 forecast was conducted in Florida,

which accounts for nearly 75 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start

of the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review based on

administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is

determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are

conducted, which combined with the previous components are used to develop the current forecast of

production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in

October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for

navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Due to severe weather conditions in California and the

Desert Southwest in January, some survey procedures were changed for this season. The grower and packer

surveys normally used to set the April forecast were conducted a month earlier than normal and the California

Valencia objective measurement survey was discontinued for this season. All citrus estimating States

submitted new analyses of current citrus utilization for this report based on additional survey indications

and/or administrative data.

Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors,

reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona,

California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These 4 States submit their analyses of the current

situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to

prepare the published April 1 forecast. 

Revision Policy: The April 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each

month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits

Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the

marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. 

Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the April 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

April 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. 

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the April 1 orange production forecast is 3.0 percent. However, if you

exclude the 6 abnormal production seasons (4 freeze seasons and 2 hurricane seasons), the "Root Mean

Square Error" is 1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production

forecast will not be above or below the final estimates by more than 3.0 percent, or 1.6 percent, excluding

abnormal seasons. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed

5.1 percent, or 2.9 percent, excluding abnormal seasons.

Changes between the April 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged

192,000 tons (158,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 7,000 tons to 716,000 tons

(7,000 tons to 368,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons). The April 1 forecast for oranges has been below

the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times (below 6 times and above 8 times, excluding abnormal seasons). 

The difference does not imply that the April 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final

production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

April 2007 18 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics

Service to contact for additional information.

Jeff Geuder, Chief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head ................................................. (202) 720-2127

Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5944

Todd Ballard - Wheat, Rye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-8068

Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed ................................ (202) 720-9526

Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7688

Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds ...................... (202) 720-7369

King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 690-3234

Greg Thessen - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops ........................ (202) 720-2127

Fruits, Vegetables & Special Crops Section

Lance Honig, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco .................... (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries ....................................... (202) 720-2157

Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits .................................. (202) 720-5412

Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Tree Nuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4215

Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils,

Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

Wrinkled Seed Peas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-3250

Faye Propsom- Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

Plums, Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (360) 902-1940

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4285
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