DURUM WHEAT

STATE ot AREA aAQVESTED 3 YIELO 4 PRODUCTIOV:

r if t TNO # t + IOs ¥ 7 _IND

1 1977 4 1978 3 1979 3 1977 + 1978 $ 1979 4 19774 1978 1 i979

¥ 1+000 ACRES BUSHELS 10000 BUSHELS

’
H a as 9 63 72.0 7060 T5.0 69120 60379 e725
canie ia 28 11s 45 75.0 75.0 7349 24190 80625: 30375
MINN ' 82 98 7 34.5 33,5 36.0 25829 36773 20772
MONT 1 220 290 760 22.0 19.0 49860 84700 66960
N MEX 2/1 4 y 760 . 296 oy
N DAK 8 26470 39260 39250 26.5 3165 2640 600515 1027060 = 844500
Soae of 136 190 170 24.0 20.0 22.0 39266 36600 34760
us t 3.025 49026 39865 26.46 3401 26.9 790964 1335328 1064052
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST.
2/ BEGINNING IN 1978 INCLUDED IN WINTER WHEAT,

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

STATE 3 Ages HARVESTED 4 YTELO PRODUCTION

t + + 1ND Ta 8 7 1D

1 1977 1978 t 1979 +1977 t 1978 § 1979 5 1977 3 1978 $ 1979

? T+000 ACRES BUSHELS 15000 SUSHELS

1
colo it 25 44. 50 45.40 4740 SEN 19125 2068 24800
mmaHo 360 480 620 S1.0 $400 62.0 185360 300720 389640
MINN 1 36140 26620 29390 4000 3365 3449 = 1254600 876770 814260
MONT ot 20040 19850 26550 27,0 29.0 21.9 = 449880 = 590650 53.550
NEV 1st 12 15 1300 50.0 55.0 50.0 60 825 850
N DAK of 69580 $9210 69700 29.0 26.9 «1579000 = 1AD4090 1814700
OREG 1st 70 125 aso 3740 35.0 20380 25 750
S DAC of 2200 2eann 19950 20.0 Blan 510700 444000 404950.
UTAH 1/8 24 21 30 36.0 38.0 576 758 14160
was ' 185 310 780 34.0 32.0 65105 119780 244960
wrs lst 15 12 16 31.0 3060 495 372 ao
wo 14k 21 19 17 26.0 22.0 420 456 374%
us t 14.772 134906 146966 Paes 3000 27.9 190241 170122 41254

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST,

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSESs

UNTTED STATES

1 WINTER t SPRING 1
YEAR ’ HARD SOFT + WARD ~ ’ TOTAL
1 REN RED WHITE & RED Dug WHITE 3
: = acne wenn enn eee nnn n nen een n een neenne
4 14000 SUSHELS
1
1976 1 975084) 3360555 24679528 4120127 136,914 364398 241424362
1977 t 9924666 35%9152 1969515 3970603 794964. 216638 299369318
1978 ’ 8340252 2020119 2116901 3790399 133,929 376722 14798s712
1979 1/t 190919107 3186733 185475] 3540565 104,052 596689 261134897
TT UII OG BI reer rnennnnnnanaannamanennmaneaes

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979

B-4

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


POTATOES: TYPES AND VARIETIES GROWN ~ 1979

The Economics, Statistics and Cooperatives Service conducts potato objective yield surveys in 11
fall producing States which in 1978 represented 92 percent of the U.S. fall potato production. All
producing areas of each State are represented in the sample in proportion to the acreage of potatoes.
Variety and type information in these tables is calculated from data reported for farms which were
selected for objective yield sampling. These data are intended to provide additional current infor-
mation about the 1979 crop and are not designated as official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board.

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF ACREAGE PLANTED BY TYPE OF POTATOES,
SELECTED STATES, 1979 CROP 1/

POTATO TYPES

STATE > 7 7
REDS : WHITES : RUSSETS : TOTAL,
PERCENT

COLO : 9.6 1.4 89.0 100.0
IDAHO. : 4 4 99.2 100.0
MAINE 1.0 67.5 31.5 100.0
MICK 9 67.8 31,3 100.0
MINN 17.2 58.9 23.9 100.0
NY : 2.9 96.4 7 100.0
N DAK : 24.4 62.9 12.7 100.0
OREG : 8 15 97.7 100.0
PA 1.2 98.8 100.0
WASH 1.0 4.2 94.8 100.0
WIS : 8.2 33.6 58.2 100.6
11 STATE TOTAL 7 5.5 H.2 63.3 100.0

T7 REPORTED BY FARVS SELECTED FOR “OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLING.

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF MAJOR VARIETIES PLANTED,
SELECTED STATES, 1979 CROP 1/

state FIRST : SECOND : THIRD ; FOURTH

: v2

COLO : RUSSET BURBANK 56.6; CENTENNIAL 29.0 : RED McCLURE 9.1
IDARO —: -RUSSET BURBANK 98.2: :
MAINE > KATAHDIN 25.9 : RUSSET BURBANK 25.4 : SUPERIOR 21.2 :
MICK : RUSSET BURBANK 29.2: MONONA 15.9 : SEBAGO 12.2: NORCHIP 11.6
MINN : NORCHIP 28.2 : RUSSET BURBANK 21.0 : KENNEBEC 16.6 :
NY + KATAHDIN 33.7: SUPERIOR 26.3: NORCHIP WT:
N DAK + NORCHIP 37.4 : KENNEBEC 15.7: NORLAND. 12,5 : PONTIAC 9.9
OREG : RUSSET BURBANK 69.5 : NORGOLD RUSSET 12.6 : EARLY GEM 10.7 :
PA > KATAKDIN 31.6: NORCHIP 28.3: KENNEBEC 16.6 : SUPERIOR W.4
WASH : RUSSET BURBANK 80.3 : NORGOLD RUSSET 12.1 : :
WIS : RUSSET BURBANK 48.2 : SUPERIOR 15.8

EPORTE! S SEL ‘OR T NG.

FALL POTATOES - PERCENT HARVESTED TO OCTOBER 1, 1979

HARVESTED : HARVESTED

STATE TO OCT 7 STATE : TO OCT 1

PERCENT PERCENT
2 5 60
four 60 45
CONN : 70 45,
IDAHO H 20 80
IND Z 45 60
MAINE, : 75 45,
MASS: : 40 50
MICH : 55 85
MINN : 50 35
MONT : 30 80
NEBR : 40 80

NEV : 5 :

WY = LONG [SCAN : 50 AVERAGE : 45

= UPSTATE 3 55

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 8-21 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Weather conditions in Hawaii continued hot and humid during September. Soil moisture was
depleted in the Puna, Hilo and Hamakua districts as a result of relatively dry conditions during
the first three weeks of the month, However, showers toward the end of the month were timely
since many of the fields in these areas are not irrigated. Fields in the drier areas of Kauai,
Maui and Oahu were heavily irrigated.

HOPS: Production of hops is estimated at 55.0 million pounds (25.0 thousand metric tons),
slightly more than last month's forecast, but just below the 55.1 million pounds (25.0
thousand metric tons) produced in 1978.

Improved yield prospects in Washington more than offset declines in California, Idaho and
Oregon. There were 31.8 thousand acres (12.9 thousand hectares) harvested, slightly less than
forecast earlier but 3 percent above the 1978 acreage. Although early harvesting operations in
Oregon and Washington were hampered somewhat by rains, weather was good during the major har-
vesting activities.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: October J pasture and range feed condition averaged 81 percent for the

8 contiguous States. This is 4 points above a year ago and 3 points
above the 1968-77 average for this date, » %° p

Pastures in all Eastern States were in good to excellent condition. In many Central and
western States condit fons declined from a month ago because of dry weather and were rated in poor
0 fair condition.

APPLES: The final forecast of the 1979 U.S. apple crop places production at 7.58 billion pounds
(3.44 million metric tons), 1 percent below August 1 prospects and last year's record
crop. Prospects declined in all regions since August 1.

The Eastern States expect a crop of 3.13 billion pounds, a 2 percent decline since August and
last year, Maine experienced good growing conditions during the period, in contrast to the other
New England States which experienced the effects of two tropical storms. New York growers found
fewer apples than expected when harvest became active, but apples sized well and weather was good
for improving color and allowing McIntosh harvest to make good progress. September rains have de-
layed harvest of late varieties throughout the region.

In the Central States, prospects are for a crop of 1.2] billion pounds, down 3 percent from
August 1 and 14 percent Tower than last year's production. Dry weather since mid-August held back
sizing in Michigan, but color and sugar content are good. Drop has been relatively heavy in Ohio
and color is generally not as good as growers would like. Half the Illinois crop was harvested by
October 1, and size, quality and quantity of apples is generally good to excellent.

Prospects in the Western States declined slightly after August 1, but the 3.25 billion pounds
expected is still 7 percent above the 1978 harvest. Washington's 2.30 billion pound crop has
sized well and picking was in full swing by mid-September. Red Delicious harvest was slowed in
late September because high temperatures slowed coloring. Harvest is virtually complete in the
Milton-Freewater area of Qregon with fruit generally small and quality fair. Picking is well
along in the Hood River area, and fruit: size and quality are good. The California crop generally
shows good size and harvest is progressing wel]. Extended warm weather in Colorado has resulted
in smaller than normal fruit size and slow ripening.

GRAPES: The final forecast of the U.S. grape crop places production at 4.74 million tons (4,30

million metric tons), 2 percent below last month's forecast but 4 percent above the 1978
crop.

California now expects 4.30 million tons, 7 percent more than in 1978. Harvest of a good
quality Tokay crop is winding down. Although yields are below average, quality of the wine grape
crop is good to exceptional and sugar levels are higher than normal. Crush is well underway,
with localized labor shortages the only harvesting problems. Weather conditions were excellent
throughout the season for the raisin grape crop resulting in excellent quality and virtually no
drying problems. Nearly all the crop was out of the fields by October 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL HAY

STATE AREA HARVESTEO 4 YIELD ‘ PRODUCTION
' _.. 4 ; + IND 7 1 IND? 7 8 TND
ti977 t ig7a't 1979 1 7977 + (1978: 1979 3 1977 4 i978 t 1979
t 19000 ACRES TONS 15000 ‘TONS
: - .
' 630 650 630 -1,60 1485 16008 10108
t 250 246 245 5.86 6.23 10462 19382
i 778 . 798 _.800 1.80 1.93 19404 14375

CALIF ot 14670 14610 16560-4463 4.59 74729 60955"

colo tt 18380 19370 Ye38Q 208 2.29 25785, 30013

CONN 1/1 43 ar 86 1.96 1.77 161 194

ofl 1/8 23 22 22002406 2.36 4? 48

FLA 1/3 226 ays 225 2.00 2.00 452 470

Ga. 1. 470 _ 475 465 1460 2.50 752 950

yosHO of = 14366 19379 10368 3426 3.35 64459 40708

FUL ¥ 19230 10220 20150 3,01 3.09 36708 30671

IND. fy . 89S 875 B50 2686 2.63 29386 29300

TowA = t 9.360 24300 20160 3617 3.86 79423 85301
1 29290 20310 2,32 2.36 51296 40676
' 19618 16612 1,97 2.09 34093 39162
’ 360 37501492 2.10 ns 726.

eat 221 1.59 1.53 340 465
isd 247 218 2.61 530 631

. AM6 11S 1.99 1.93 233 262
19370 1,340 2.20 2.59 29855 39683
39060 39000 459 2.85 89136 89932
645 $45 1477 1.90 \otT2 10193
34450 39420 1.65 1.73 59700 59980
20420 2:380 1474 1.75 3.907 40576
34800 30750-1493 2.0) 74530 79538
445 455 2.09 2.97 879 963
91 90 2.08 2.07 185 181
119 1200 2.85 2.78 306 310
301 208 3473 3670 19126 16056.
29475 294001497 162419 41639 $0297
380 3550164910701 321 612
39510 39520 1,03 1.42 34229 60653
19520 19450 2.30 2.59 3.558 39934.
14740 19750-1698 2.36 39520 30222
19045 4,050 2,37 2.29 20437 29607
19935 19960-2403 2.29 30A89 49323
a <8 1688 2.60 15 17
222 218 1,80 2.10 396 464.
45690 4.900 1.40 1.63 64292 86625
14250 142501449 1.63 10820 16912
20355 26360 = 2.08 2.51 4676 40368
594 594-3415 3.53 19862 19886
443 4381463 1.91 rar ees
950 9701416 1.79 1,083 19640
874% 873 2.78 2.68 29632 20582
595 {995 443 1.62 _ 830 __ 970
44000 44040 2.97 3.07 «= 12,002 Ss 116635
10200 19200 483 1.67 19639 20050

614495 60560 2el6 2.35 1315313 1420264 143.035

T/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts is this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about October 1.
Some adjustments have been made in harvested acreages published previously. The yield surveys included
mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn, soy-
beans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and
probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys
provided smal] plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are
subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the
forecasts are subject to change due to weather during the remainder of the season and other factors that
directly affect final production but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the "Root
Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for selected crops.
This is computed by expressing the deviations between the October 1 production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1959-78 twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square
Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected errors in the current forecasts relative
to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecasts are not
different from those influencing recent years’ forecasts.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error” for the Gctober 7 corn for grain forecast is 3.5 percent.
This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7390 million bushels will
not be above or below the fina) estimate by more than 3.5 percent or approximately 259 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 6.0 percent or
approximately 443 million bushels.

Also shawn in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the
October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1
forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 192 million bushels, ranging from 16
million to 401 million bushels. Ouring this 10-year period the October 1 forecast has been below the
final estimate 7 times and above 3 times.

RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

ROOT EAN TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
: SQUARE ERROR FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
CROP AND : > 90% CONFIDENCE QUANTITY. >_NUMBER OF YEARS
UNIT > PERCENT :__LEVEL BELOW : ABOVE

: SPERCENT: QUANTITY: AVERAGE ; SMALLEST ; LARGEST : Final + FINAL

3 MILLION : MILCION ~ MILLION MILLION

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT 2 2.7 4.7 W 5 1 10 7 3
CORN FOR GRAIN BU + 36 6.0 443 192 16° 401 7 3
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU 2 47 8.1 66 33 6 76 3 7
ALL WHEAT BU : 1.3 2.2 47 12 1 20 4 6

OURUM BU 7 $5.4 9.3 10 4 1 8 6 4

OTHER SPRING BU 2 3.2 5.5 23: 5 0 13 7 3
RICE CWT 1 2.4 4.1 6: 2 ) 6 6 4
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 8U > 3.3 5.7 126: 5T 1 114 6 4
COTTON BALES 2/: 5.3 9.1 1,310 : 481 Vv 1,273 3 7
FALL POTATOES (1) 4.3 1 12 10 0

30: 6

T7CORW FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR” GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY. —
2/ QUANTITY IS IN’ THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


GRAPES

C20P AND STATE 1 PRODUCTION 17
1 TOTAL 1 TOTAL 1 ND
2 1977 A 1978 2 1979
t TONS
GRAPES TABLE: TYOR '
Cali t GAReaON 399.000 4904000
GRAPES 4INE TYOF !
CALIF i 195634000 167969000 1,700,000
GRAPES 2AISIN TYPE NRTED 2/1
CALIF ' 2484300 228.500
GRAPES RATSIN VOT ORIED 1
CALIF t BO3e000 912.00
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE t
_ CALIF 1 19935000 1s918.000 242005000
ALL GRAPES 1 -
aUIZ 3/1 Tieonn 160300 134500
ark an 94600 Aepng 8.000
Cauir t 399862900 490170000 4,300,000
MICH ' 334000 674500 674000
Mo 343 34950 26300 4.000
Not ast
vy ' 188.000 170.000
Nc 3k 6 ADD 8.500
OWT at 120090 14.000
Pa : 579500 574000
wase : 1056600 1874900 95.000
OTHER 3/ Bat 4eA5O 59100 4800
us : 692970750 405660700 4,738,800
T/ INCLUDES UNMARVESTEO PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLASE
(TOVS)t US 1977"1955M9 1978=248,9n0 (24a,00N TONS
FRESH EQUIVALENT RAISIN TYPE IN CALIF LAID. AUT NOT
. HARVESTED QUE TO SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGE),
2/ DRIED BASTSe1 TON OF QAISINS TS EQUIVALFNT TO 4.56
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1977 ANN 4.49 TONS FO? 1978,
‘A/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
&/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP
S/ GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
PRUNES AND SLUMS.
STATE t PRODUCTION 1/7
' TOTAL 7 TOTAL $ IND
1 1977, A 1978 t 1979
+ TONS
PRUNES AND PLUMS 1
IDAHO : 7490 74500 76500
MICH 1 146900 18,000
OREG : 2R.n00 2AeN00
WASH 1 124000 16.900
TOTAL 4 STATES ‘ ALAND 675590
17 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CILLSGE
(TONS) £ TOTAL & STATES, 1977239500) 197A-6n0.
FILGERTS
STATE te PRODUCTION
t TOTAL + TOTAL 1 IND
1 1977 ' 1978 1 {979
t TONS
te.
OREG ' lissno 136700 194700
was we 350 350 309
us 1 1146750 16005: 11400)
T/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEA® CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST,
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



SOYBEANS FOR SEanS

STATE L AREA HARVESTED t YIELD t PRODUCTION.
r : t TNO 4 t IND f ot ¥ IND
4 2977 $1978 1/ + 1979 2 1977 21978 1/t_ 1979 ¢ 1977 #1978 1/ ¢ 1979
1 14000 ACRES BUSHELS 1+000 BUSHELS
'
ALA 1 19600 2.259 ai. 2140 = 240 334600 400950 44000
ARK ' 41600 5.150 23.0 2b. 26.0 1050800 115¢150 1334900
neL ast 225 265 24.0 28.0 2900 $85
FLA ast 327 450 25.0 25.0 2640 11.700
Ga t 14090 22050 2060 17.8 26.0 53.300
TUL ' 84850 9,700 = 38.0 = 33,8 = 3840 368.600
IND ' 34900 49400 37.0 36.0
Towa ' 7.080 85150 3565 36.0
KANS ' 990 10540285 2760
KY ' 16320 19600 31.0 32.0
La t 2680 35200 23.5 27.0
bel) ' 325 388 27.9 33.8
MICH : 720 970 40.0 2900
MINN ' 39770 50260 3565 33.9
MISS : 36650 4128 2245 24.0
MO t 44650 5930 32.0 31.0
NEBR ' 40130 19600-3640 35.0
NJ ast 17? aly 24.0 29.0
NY ert _ is _ 23 23.9 25.0
NC t 16320 TeASO 27.0 26.0
N DAK art 175, 205 2040 25.0
OHIO ’ 36380 49020 © 35.5 3760
OKLA 2/8 340 330 23.0 23.0
Pa art 67 _ 80 31.0 31.0
sc ' 15300 19660 2065 2340
S$ DAK ast us 590 30.5 3065 29.0
TENN t 29220 26600 23.5 23.5 25.0 526170 560870
TEX ' 760 850-2665 2645 = 284 200 140 194743.
va 1 440 495 19.0 28.0 30.0 A360 120740
wis est 192 Jo 3520 32.0 31.0 60720 64 880 96610
us ' 579612 700249 30.6 2965 3105 167616755 198709181 292130289

1/ PEVISEN.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CUSRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

AREA PLANTED, SOYBEANS

STATE 1978 V/ 1978 U/
T,000 ACRES ~ T,000 ACRE!
ALA 2,000 5,600
ARK 4,750 1,270
DEL 250 210
FLA 420 23
GA 1,750 1,750
ILL : 9,250 75
IND 3 4,200 3,780
IOWA 3 7,600 340
KANS 1,520 65
KY 1,450 1,510
LA 2,900 400
MD 350 2,530
MICH Big 800
MINN 4,100 460
MISS 3,900 220
64,383
7 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ORY EDIBLE: BEANS wv

CROP! AND STATE 1 AREW HARVESTED ' YIELD. t PRODUCTION
i 7.4 TNS t T+ wr
1 i977 1 jo7a s__t979 t_ i977 t_ i979 t i979 i977 1978 8
7 T T3000 ACRES +00 Cut
Uieoe Ura Beas : - . .
AL TF ' a1e0 29.0 26.0 16740 14500 16892 584 436
eae LIMA rans 1 . .
caurF t 2240 2540 27,0 20160 «14960 24037
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS to .
CALIF + {i660 156.0 LésyO 16620 1645014518.
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1 . ‘
cauir #16960 210.0 issis
on) t 150.0 170.0 900
TDAH t 13200 153.0 14630
KANS a 12.5 16.0 14200
MICH 1 480.0 560.0 1,180
MINN ant 42.0 1ee10
MONT an
NEAR '
NY 1
N_DAaK :
uray ant
wash 1
YO ' 16580
OTHER wi 59 _ . 5A
us 1 35279,9 19386.i 1s279 1eh9h 164610

TNO
1979

J/ EXGLUGES: BEANS GROWN FOR: GARDEN SEEO.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST.
3/ TLL! AND INDI ESTIMATES DSSCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

SWEETPOTATOES
state 1. AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD ' PRODUCTION
1 1 7 THO 4 7 Tt 7 t Two
§_ i977 §_ 978 11979 +1977 1 1978 1979 1977 t97B E1979
¢ TeO0d ACRES CHT Toe OWT
'
1 568 $67 85 100 to 4st 550 $27
K 1 166 16 7% 79 on ye 128
ciurr 8 &.7 9.8 1s0 160 165 1170 16392
: 650 518 30110 110 495 660
‘ 28.0 27.0 90 95 95 2830-24660
: 166 16 155 160 i6s 248 226
' 0 8 8S 83 98 680 792
‘ 266 2.7 jos 110 110 252 286
' 31.0 39.0 135 140 tar 49655 50180
‘ 26 25 91 105 100 209 252
: 2.8 2.8 700 100 190 290 280
1 95 ce 9 110 125 903 14045
to. a1 $9 125140 130 708 854
tilde 12066 122.2 io 9 122124395 14y302

AREA PLANTED, FALL POTATOES

1979 1979
T,000 ACRES
CALIF 17.3 17.2
COLO 405 40.0
CONN 1.9 1.9
TOAHO-10 § W CO 32.0 30-0 ura :
OTHER CO 338.0 305.0 OREG-MALHEUR CO

IND 4.0 4.3 GTHER CO
MAINE 119.0 116.0 PR
MASS 3.6 35 RI
MICH 35.0 33.0 S DAK
EWN 73.0 70.0 UTAH
MONT 8.8 7.0 WT
NEBR 7.3 6.1 WASH :
NEV 17.0 15.0 WIS

wo

TOTAL

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



COTTON

CROP 3 AREA HARVESTED t YTELD 1 PRODUCTION! 17
AND r 7 t TO 7 TW ¢ t t TV
STATE 4 1977s 1978 4 1979 t 1977 t 1978 + 1979 f 1977 4 1978 t 1979"
. + 10000 BCRES Ba INOS T9000 BALES 27
COTTON, UPLAND
ACT 395.0 315.0 325.0 337 443 473 27720 _ 29240 320.0
ART? 1 51560 539.0 615.0 997 PSA LeMlS = 1907060 14086840
ARK t 910.0 76060 600.0 534 aly 52a 10035.0 660.0

2879060 1494060

CALIF 2 «1439060 = 10455,0 © 1665540 964 640 943

FLa vt 1 306 3.0 625 506 312

Ga ' 140.0 232 463 480

Ky we 0 420 a iy

La ' 465.0 Say 450 S57

MISS ' 1603060 581 575 605

MO t 160.0 437 496 oan

NEV get 162 598 $62 560

N MEX 8 130.0 603 443 462

NC 1 46.0 305 515 5)

OKLA t $20.0 402 292 439

sc ' 112.0 342 562 493

TENN ' 23020 407 490 376

TEX £ $650.0 6920040 6990049 ao7 296 390

va afar «7? al 3 196 480 GAD

us § 1302N069 12929609 12697265 519 420 527

COTTON, AMERPT UA

a ? G23 340? 4708 738 754 740

CALIF wt 03 a _ el 269 480 Ro

NOMFX ot 943 13.7 is. 621 456 san

TEX t 27.5 28.0 3040 167 456 528

Us : Thee 76.0 8A.9 726 590 61)

COTTON, ALL

ava 1 39560 31560 32540 337 469 473

ARIZ. : 55763 572.2 65768 9739 961 997

aRK 1930.0 74040 609.0 534 ai? 528

GALTF 8 1939003 1055.1 1965501 963 £40 949 2979062 3625001
Fua s/t bel 305 340 425 507 ste Be 302
Ga ’ 170.0 115.9 160.0 232 463 oan 82.0 160.0
KY Bat oB 7) 0 420 7 .
La 1 540.0 © 51000 46540 594 450 587 $5600 _ 54000
MISS $ 1936020 1915000 1403040 sal S75 606 1986540 1,300.0
vo ' 259.0 18260 140.0 4a7 496 480 235.0 14040
NEV 3/8 1.3 163 12 591 556 560 166 Te
NMex of 13743 12267 14460 605 4h6 457 173.0 139.0
Nc t A300 4260 46.0 307 Sle 5a 53.0 4aen
Oxia t 52060 585.0 530.0 402 aay 430 436.0 520.0
sc ‘ 15440 9860 117.4 342 563 493 109.0 12500
TENN t 30960 23960 230.0 «oa 490 378 255.0 19060
TEX t $967265 6922540 6493940 Goa 296 39M 5450060 39B1B4§ = 543960
va art eT aT 3 206 680 4ao a ot eee)
us 113427543 12637000 52 02) 528 36538942 19,855.38 14738660

T/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNEN,
2/7 G800L3, NET WEIGHT BALES.
4s ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 8-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PECANS

CROP: AND STATE PRODUCTION
TOTAL 1 TOTAL: + TNO
1977" : 1978 t 1979

15000 POUNDS

1
'
1
ee .
PECANS IMPROVED. ist woe
ALA 1 19.000
ARK 1
Fua :
Ga s
La b
MISS 1
N MEK t
nC an
OKLA 1
sc '
TEX 1 lee be
_ US . 1 1374900 1649500 1034000
PECANS VATIVE' & SEEOLING 1 _. 7 ..
ALA 1 64400 92900 2.0800
ARK ' 22190 39000 32000
FLA 1 39800 24600 14100
Ga ’ 204000 30+000 15,000
La t 27,500 62500 252000
MISS .t 44500 19000
Ne arr .. 900 900
OKLA 1 12,000 172009
sc 1 9500 19500
TEX t 204000 802000
us. ry 96.700 1474300
ALU PECANS: t _
ALA 4 71000
ARK ’ 42000
PLA t 14800
cry t 70.009
La s 292000
MISS ! 24500
N MEX ai 52000
NG: art 24000
OKLA : 132500
sc ’
TeX ! 32000 .264000
us . 2364600 2509700 2500300
14 BUDDEDs GRAFTED» OR TOPWORKED! VARIETIES, . .
2/7 ESTIMATES: FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM: EARLIER FORECAST.
PAPAYAS - HAWAII
AREA UTILIZED PRODUCTION
MONTH
: TOTAL IN CROP H HARVESTED 1978 1979 FORECAST
H : A 3 H 1979-80
: ACRES T,000 POUND:
AUG : 3,760 3,320 2,185 2,375 6,279 3,050
SEP : 3,190 3,270 2,145 2,245 6,083 2,800
ocT : 3,250 2,205 6,825 3,000
NOV : 3,205 2,135 5,312 3,150
DEC 3,275 2,145 43048 3,050
JAN 3,195 2,215 3,670 3,100
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION JAN-SEP 47,815 25,630
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 8-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE ot AREA HARVESTED t YIELD 1 PRODUCTION
t t t NOt t rt tNO et _t aa IND
t 1977 3 1978 t 1979 1 1977s 1978 t 1979 8 1977 t jo7a + 1979
1 16000 ACRES @USHELS 1.600 BUSHELS
t -
ALA st 27 34 30 3760 ©3940 729
ARIZ 3 90 73 73 7R.O 74200
ARK , 252 200 170 6040 139106
CALIF ot 132 185 160 7120 94636
COLO ’ RAR 300 280 31.0 8153
Ga yt 24 43 47 2960 672
JUL ost 66 6a 70 68.0 44096
IND V/t 1s 1s is 6540 10170
Towa 1/8 32 24 ~ 20 7500 20368
KANS 1 &ynSo 44020 39870 53.0 2634000
KY oft 32 23 30 6200 19824
La Vt 20 17 17 34.0 666
MISS 1/1 26 21 25 3840 788
MO t 930 850 720 80.0 67,890 684000 = $94 760
NEBR ' 24070 1,830 14830 7540 1464970 1374250 1374250
NMEX 4 245 267 250 46.0 110760 120282 0134250
NC ist 72 86 80 5260 24664 4472
oKLa : 565 4as 500 36.0 215670 179460 219500
PA ast 6 390
SC is 12 is 18 16.0 3240 192 480 __ S40
soak ot 343 340 310° 49.0 ©5060 162807 17,000 += 15810
TENN st 20 2a 2 512d Sed 14020 10226 1,382
TEX 1 &yROO 44650 46400 4940 2300600 2274859 2462400
VA ist 10 iM Bess 4700 430 S17 $28
us 2 A492 136581 12+98S 5561 7925983 7T4BeG10 8166729
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1979 CROP,
RICE
stave ot AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD t PRODUCTION
t ’ ’ “IND t tO IND 3 _ oe IND
1 1977 1 1978 1 i979 1 i977 1 _ 1978 +1979 + 1977 1 i978 1979
t 1+000 ACRES BOUNDS 00 cw
1
ARK s P3760 1409060 1619040 6230 e450 ©4455 359396 48s505 5449165
caLIF ot 308.0 499.0 534.0 56820 50260 54800 179913 260248 = 304972
la ' 475.0 532.0 34670 39820-34900 170445 220425 209787
MISS ' W160 00 49750 4a? 00 49660 90138 Be610
moat 1760 00 e330 4150 629 19298 19453
TEX : 501.0 44670 40700 49200 © 23G400 © 264226 = 21440
us 1 2924060 2997940 40612 96493 65568 9902231330840 1374807

1s ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


theastern production is expected to total 2.59 billion pounds, 2 percent above 1978. The
1979 sot of 3170 pounds per acre compares with 3099 pounds last year. A record yield of 3400
pounds per acre is expected in Georgia. Hurricane David caused some damage, but much of bh
State's crop benefited from the accompanying rains, Heavy rains reduced prospects in Florida,
the only State showing a decline from the September 1 forecast.

The Virginia-North Carolina area expects a production of 733 million pounds, 7 percent below
1978. Acreage for harvest is virtually unchanged from last year, but indicated yield is down
197 pounds per acre. Heavy rains have delayed harvest in both States and growers are quite con-
cerned about an early frost or freeze which could reduce production.

Production in the Southwest is expected to total 763 million pounds, up 14 percent from the
1978 crop. Acreage for harvest is 3 percent above last year. Indicated yield at 17417 pounds
per acre is up 172 pounds from a year earlier. Harvest is ahead of normal in Texas but just

underway in Oklahoma.

SUNFLOWER: Production of sunflower is forecast at 7.66 billion pounds (3.47 million metric tons),

up 99 percent from 1978 and 177 percent above 1977. This first forecast of the 1979
crop is for all sunflower production in the four States of North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas and
Minnesota. Yield is forecast at 1475 pounds per acre in Minnesota, 1400 pounds in North Dakota,
1265 pounds in South Dakota and 1200 pounds in Texas.

In the tri-State area, harves by October 1 was 8 percent complete in Minnesota, 3 percent in
North Dakota and 6 percent in South Dakota. Harvest progress was behind last year in both Minne-
sota and North Dakota, but slightly ahead of last year in South Dakota. South Dakota acreage in-
creased from earlier estimates as farmers there planted more acreage than originally intended. In
Texas, sunflower harvest was 12 percent at the end of September, just 1 point behind last year.

COTTON: Based on October 1 conditions, all cotton production is expected to total 14.4 million
480 pound net weight bales, up 32 percent from last year and 7 percent more than the
September ) forecast. Expected production consists of 14.2 million bales of Upland and 113 thou-
sand bales of American-Pima. Cottonseed production, based on a three year average lint-seed
ratio, is forecast at 5.60 million tons (5.08 million metric tons), 31 percent above 1978.

Growers expect to harvest 13.0 million acres (5.25 million hectares) of Upland cotton and
88.9 thousand acres (36.0 thousand hectares) of American-Pima.

Texas and Oklahoma Upland production is forecast at 6.12 million bales, an increase of 48
percent from last year but down fractionally from the September 1 forecast. Generally favorable
weather conditions prevailed in Texas during September and the crap made good progress; however,
some boll worm damage and shedding of fruit occurred in West Texas.’ Harvest has ended in South
Texas and is active in the Austin area. Defoliation is beginning in North and West Texas. Hot,
dry weather in Oklahoma resulted in some plant stress and shedding of fruit.

In the Delta-States--Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Mississippi and Tennessee --the cotton
crop is expected to total 2,82 million bales, down 4 percent from last year but up 6 percent from
last month's forecast. Favorable weather prevailed in the Delta during September. Defoliation
is widespread, Although harvest activity is increasing, it is about one week behind last year's
progress.

Production in the Southeastern States--Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina--
is forecast at 623 thousand bales, up 11 percent from 1978 and 1 percent more than the Septem-
ber 1 forecast. A decline in expected yields in Georgia and South Carolina was more than offset
by an increase in estimated acreage for harvest in Georgia. Heavy September rains benefited some
acreage, but promoted boll rot and lodging, particularly in Georgia and South Carolina. Dry,
open weather is needed to aid harvest progress.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Vv

. ’ PROOUCTION t PRODUCTION
trop —_ BOXES 1 TON EQUIVALENT
AND L UTILIZED STNOTCATED! UTILIZED SINOTCATED
STave $ 1977-78 § 1978-79 § 1979980 t 1977278 & 1978-79 ¢ 1979-80
- . . 0 10000 UNITS 27 19000 UNITS
ORANGES +EARLY “TO & NAVEL! 3/1
ARIZ. 1 820 700 _ 700 n 26 26:
CALIF! 3 204000 202800 264000 750 780 975!
FLA 2 884300 91-000 1154000 36974 42095) 58175
TEX t 36850 49300 22600 164: 163 It
us t 1120970 1169800 1440300 919 5.086 60287
ORANGES» VALENCIA t
ARIZ t 24800 20200 24600 105" 83
CALIF t 222600 164600 230000 848 os
PLA t 794500 734000 85,000 30578 30285
TEX t _ 20250 20100 19400 96 89
us 2 107-150 934700 1126000 40627 e072
ALL ORAVGES: ' . ee ~.
ARIZ bt 39620 22900 39300 136: 109
CALIF: t 420600 372200 492000 12598. 19395
FLA 1 167+800 = 1644000 = 2004000 79552 79380
rex t 6100 60400 44000 260 272
4 2200120 2106500 2869300 95546: 90156
feupces : . . -
FLA . ’ 42900 4700 50400 222 ai2
GRAPEFRUIT) WHITE’ SEEDLESS ' .. .
Fla . ' 284700 299600 300000 10220 19250
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEOLESS oo: oo. _.
FLA . ' 140300 134300 149000 608 565 595
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT t - oe a
_ FLA : 89400 76300 74000 387 310 298
ALL! GRAPEFRUIT 1 . . _o. .
ARIZ. t 39000 24250 297D0 17 72 86
CaLiri ae . . ; . 7
OESERT t 49200 30500 134. 105 112
OTHER AREAS: ' 40160 139 84
TOTAL: ' 84360 273 . 189
Fua + 514400 512000 20185) 20125 24168.
TEX t 114900 60500 476 _ 360 260
Us 1 749660 674020 39030 20766
TANGERINES: t . . :
ARIZ. 1 600 450 _ 660 23 i? 23
CALIF! fy 12400 19450 19700 53 56 64
FLA ’ 32200 346500 49100 152 166 195'
Us ’ 5200 5400 69400 228. 237 282
LEMONS '
ARTZ. ' 51800 220 209 125'
CALIF: 205300 134 7m 52a 570
_.U Ss 26100 194400 991 737 695)
TANGELOS: ' a . - .
Fla t 49900 49200 221 igo 225)

T/ THE CROP! YEAR’ BEGING WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR

_ SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAQ HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/ NET LOS PER’ BOX! ORANGES@CALIF _& ARITZ=75yFLA=90y
TEX*85% GRAPEFRUIT@CALTF! DESERT & ARTZ=644 CALIF
OTHERS67 FLA=BSe TEX=603 LEMONS] 765 TANGELOS &
TEMPLES 905 TANGERINES= CALIF: & ARIZ<75» FLA=95,

3/7 NAVEL: AND WISCELLANEOUS: VARTETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS» INCLUDING SMALL! QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.

4/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR! CALTF! GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREASI
WILUI BE: AS OF DEC i,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS. USDA

B-14

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979


SEPTEMBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Wet, cloudy, humid weather prevailed over the South and East as two hurricanes and other
storm systems moved across the areas during September. Rainfall totaled over 12 inches along
most of the Gulf Coast, Florida, and the southeastern Coastal Plain. A total of 27 inches was
recorded during a 3-day period at Freeport, Texas, just southwest of Galveston. In contrast,
record dryness occurred from Michigan to central Texas, and over parts of the West. It was
also unseasonably warm in the West and a prolonged heat wave baked California during the first 3
weeks. Pleasant, sunny weather was the rule in the Rockies.

Hurricane David reached south Florida on September 3. It marched northward and triggered
heavy rains, gusty winds, flash floods, and a few tornadoes from Florida to Connecticut. Over 10
inches of rain was dumped on the eastern Carolinas on the 5th. Meanwhile, dry weather developed
from Michigan to central Texas and over most of the West. It also became unseasonably warm in
the West with severa) stations measuring 8 to 10 degrees above normal.

Hurricane Frederic slammed into the central Gulf Coast near Mobile, Alabama, on the 13th. It
brought heavy rains of up to 9 inches along the Coast and 4 to 6 inches across its track through
Tennessee into western New York. Ory weather continued from Michigan to central Texas and the
Far West during the week of 10-16th, while a heat wave became concentrated over California with
temperatures averaging 9 to 11 degrees above normal.

The California heat wave abated during the 3rd week of September but it was still unseason-
ably warm over the West. Meanwhile, a low pressure storm system developed along the Texas coast
on the 18th and triggered heavy rains over the southeastern third of the Nation. Torrential
arounts fell along most of the Texas and Louisiana coasts. Elsewhere, dry weather was the gener~
al rule.

Heavy rains fell over the Southeast in association with a stationary front during the last

week of September, Three to 6 inches soaked some sections from Florida into Tennessee and Vir-
ginia. Light showers heralded the beginning of the fall rain season over parts of the West.

WINTER WHEAT SEEDING

Winter wheat seeding for 1980 harvest reached 52 percent complete by the end of September,
surpassing last year's 48 percent but short of the 54 percent average. Planting in the northern
Great Plains was almost complete, exceeding the pace set in recent years. On the central and
southern Plains, seeding advanced ahead of schedule compared with recent years, but dry soils
delayed some planting operations. September rainfall was very sparse in most of Texas, Oklahoma,
and Kansas; most areas had less than half the normal rainfall. Nebraska and the Dakotas fared
better but only a few areas received normal precipitation. Most of the Great Plains needed
additional moisture for good germination.

In Kansas, winter wheat seeding passed the halfway mark; early-seeded stands grew fairly
uniform but wheat seeded later under dry conditions showed either spotty stands or had not
emerged, Oklahoma growers delayed seeding, waiting for additional rainfall. Early seedings
rated fair to good showing no undue stress from the dry weather. Most Texas growers planted in
dry soils anticipating rainfall needed to promote germination but some growers have delayed —
planting dryland acreage until precipitation arrives. Low topsoil moisture limited germination
jn some Nebraska localities. South Dakota winter wheat seeding began late but finished early.
Greenbugs and grasshoppers inflicted some damage to newly emerged seedings.

In Washington, drying soils crusted over at midmonth forcing reseeding of some stands.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
: OCTOBER 1, 1979

#45 REPORTED BY
CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

usDA NEG. ESCS 168-79(10)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
. OCTOBER 1, 1978

Gea

Se

(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATEO PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS,

UsbA . NEG. CRB 81-78(10)

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL WHEAT uv
STATE t AREA HARVESTED t YTELO PRODUCTION
‘ t 1 TNO t t + IW 7 7 TN
t 19773 1978: 1979 + 1977 + 1978 t 1979 1 1977 1 1978 1 1979
t 1.000 SCRES BUSHELS 19000 SUSHELS
:
' 65 95 2B.0 26.0 27.0 24620 14690 26565
2 138 1217240 7940 7340 104080 99660 94075
1 300 430 99.0 3700 Boen 250740 126200 169620
' 715 825 64.5 S401 7202 439700 459825 594535
1 29466 21600 = P2.2 232 TK 57225 574268 = 716350
t 28 30-3040 3600 3760 16050 10008 Tsll0
' 12 29.0 36.0 377 432
1 120 160 33.0 3240 3560 39200 19 BG 5-600
19295 19490 424605747 4902 500730 744730 734240
930 19300 43403820 G20 679510 359340 54.600
815 965 45.0 39407 559800 BLeT85’ = G05
55 72 3% Be 35.0 40033 1e705' 2.520
104200 100600 =? 3040 3Be0 —4H0RSO «3060000 © 402.800
195 290 37.0 35.0 39.0 109138 69825 120310
17 25 34.0 3640 28.0 850 612 700
108 U6 36.0 3760 3740 49320 34995 4218
450 770 40.0 4040 1.0 33,800 164000 315570
20776 29521 39.6 33056 = BGM «= 1310R96 = 934225' 850706
65 115 34.0 3100 32.0 39570 24015" 34680
840 19600 49.0 34.0 45.0 689640 28+560 72.000
4eBGO 59160 25.9 300? 1300920 1460050 1179260
25550 22600 3540 9940 1030250 816600 = BS e800
26 26 55.7 59.2 19560 16548 1.560
33 39° 31.0 3600 16302 16188 16899
298 367 21.5 1960 90137 59662 19,643
75 162 3960 3500 6825 20625" 60480
180 705 30.0 33-0 $2000 59960 7Tel7S
99585 99555 GR 29.8 2296907 3860065 2486220
19125 19320 47.0 39.0 724380 436875 600720
5400 59700 97.0 2760 1754500 1659800 = 216 4600
19225 16220 Wwe? BP oe 479620 519925! S2e600
265 762-3360 3309 8.910 86085" Bel22
78 100 2920 3309 20755 20576 34300
30090 20720 7369 21a 716964 64000 5649
220 7953640 3560 105080 79700 109030
29700 4600 = 9540 2060 1174500 54,008 = 1.384000
188 1972341 29.8 We716 5¥599 5.816
15S aS 1.0 35.0 60355 30425 61660
20920 30050-3369 4609 101,305 1330980 2296030
9 10 31.0 3340 310 297 340
45: 54 41.0 34.7 35075 40560 16926
294. 297 20.0 2549 22.0 50620 76606 64534
560839 620227 3966 B16 400 240360918 19 79H 712 2e1132A97

1 INCLUDES WINTER WHEAT ESTIMATES FROM SEPTEMBER CANP

PRODUCTION REPORT.

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


QTHER SPRING WHEAT: Growers expect to harvest 414 million bushels (11.3 million metric tons)

of spring wheat other than durum, 1 percent less than last year's 417
million bushels (13.4 million metric tons) and 1 percent less than the September 1, 1979 fore-
cast. Yields are expected to average 27.9 bushels per acre compared with 30.0 bushels last year.

Harvest was slowed by rainy, humid weather during early September. Favorable harvest
weather returned and allowed farmers to catch up by the end of the month. Virtually all acreage
has been harvested, the exception being areas along the Canadian border.

RICE: Growers expect to harvest a record high 138 million hundredweight (6.25 million metric

tons) of rice this year, 3 percent more than last year's 134 million hundredweight (6.07
million metric tons). The 2 percent increase over last month results from improved yields in
both Arkansas and California.

Nationally, yields are expected to average 4568 pounds per acre compared with 4493 pounds
last year. Prospective yields in Arkansas are 100 pounds above 1978 yields while the California
forecast of yield is up 540 pounds from last year. The Texas yield forecast is 500 pounds less
than last year as a result of tropical storm Claudette.

Harvest in Arkansas is later than last year and normal. Some minor wind damage and lodging
occurred at mid-month but the crop is mostly in good condition. In Mississippi, more than half
the crop is harvested, slightly more than normal. Louisiana growers are nearing completion of
rice harvest. First cutting of Texas rice was complete by late September and harvest of the
second cutting has begun. Prospects for the second crop are somewhat reduced from previous
years because of late spring plantings and a rain delayed first crop harvest. Rice in Cali-
fornia is mostly ripe and harvest is underway. The main rice producing area received rain the
last week af September causing delays in harvest. Lodging has been minima).

SOYBEANS: Soybean production is forecast at a record 2.21 billion bushels (60.2 million metric

tons), up 2 percent from last month's forecast, up 18 percent from last year's crop,
and 26 percent above the 1977 crop. Yield per acre is indicated at a record 31.5 bushels, up
2.0 bushels from last year, and 0.9 bushel per acre above the previous record set in 1977.

Yield prospects in the North Central States improved or were unchanged from a month
earlier in all States except Kansas which showed a 2.0 bushel decline. Prospective yields in
Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and Missouri remained unchanged but increased 1.0 bushel in I1linois,
Michigan, Nebraska, and Ohio.

In the South Central States, yield prospects increased 1.0 bushel in Arkansas, Tennessee,
and Texas. Mississippi was up 2.0 bushels. Other States in the South Central area remained
unchanged from last month.

In the South Atlantic area, prospective yield in Georgia was up 3.0 bushels, Virginia was
up 2.0 bushels, each of the Carolinas was up 1.0 bushel, and Maryland remained unchanged from
last month.

FLAXSEED: Flaxseed production is forecast at 13.3 million bushels (337 thousand metric tons),
up 6 percent from the September 1 forecast and 21 percent above the 1978 production.

Minnesota and South Dakota yield prospects are up 1.0 bushel from a month earlier, while the
North Dakota yield prospect is up 0.5 bushel. Harvest progress stood at 71 percent complete in
Minnesota, 62 percent in North Dakota and 100 percent complete in South Dakota on September 30.

PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at a record 4.09 billion pounds (1.85 million metric

tons) net weight, down slightly from the September 1 forecast but 3 percent above the
3.99 billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) produced last year. The expected yield of 2682
pounds per acre is down 5 pounds from last month's forecast but up 43 pounds from last year.
Acreage for harvest remains at 1.52 million acres (617 thousand hectares).

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR

STATE t AREA HARVESTED : YTELO t PRODUCTION

t -° t TNO # t t IND & t ? IND

: 1977 3 1978 3 1979_t 1977 + 1978 8 3979 4 1977+ 1978 3 1979

t 14000 ACRES TONS 19000 TONS:

t
ARIZ, _ 10 206 208 4.50 6.39 7.90 146365 16298 16635
ARK st 68 . 70 70 2.55 2-75 197 179 193
CALIF ot 16140 14090 14050 8.45 5,90 64669 $1941 69195
goto tt 716 730 700, 2.90 3.19 16953 2ell? 26170
CONN 1/3 20 2) 20 2.60 2.39 4B ss 46
ORL ivs 7 _ 7 a 3.20 3.20 2) 22 26
TDAHO : 19970 10080 19068 3.75 3.79 39852 49050 34952
TUL ' 770 760 740 3665 3.79 20811 29776 26738
TND t aan 420 419 3.20 3.28 19386 10344 19312
TOWA 1 15750 149720 e610 4.00 430 66125 61880 64923
KANS t 15010 10050 19930 2.80 3.2" 36182 22940 39296
Ky _t 208 208 3.00 3.40 645 624 687
La st 13 13 2.30 2.28 27 39 29
MAINE 1/8 22 21 2.60 2.39 52 55 4B
“n it 68 69 3640 3449 197 235 235
MASS 1/3 25 26 2.60 2.40 58 68 62
Mica : 14000 14080 2.90 2.30 204540 36132 21912
MINN 1 24200 24140 3.40 3.3r 69820 749278 6.934
MISS 2/1 1? 36
MO ' 575 550 520 2670 2.78 19586 16485 149430
MONT ' 19170 14250 1+260 2635 215 24516 26938 24709
NEBR ' 44700 14650 14650 3470 3.30 51440 5.280 50445
NEVO Ut 180 185 180 3645 3440 603 638 6i2
NH jst 19 19 19 2055 2470 82 aR sl
Ns o1ft 55 55 56 3.39 3,40 182 182 196
NMEX ot 29) 231 236 4.20 Gan 140460 970 15038
ny ft 990 19025 16000 2.55 2.60 20327 20616 26600
NC Yet 16 17 17 2.70 © 2.80 37 46 48
NDAK 8 14600 14980 Benen Polo 1.65 1.920 49158 39333
OHTO t 400 590 560 3.20 3.20 100 14888 16792
OKLA 1 aon Sin 520 2,70 3.85 46320 446377 20002
ORES ' sty ais 405 3.70 3440 16453 10536 19377
Pa _t R25 849 850 2.80 2.80 29165 29352 25380
Rt ist 3 3 3 2,60 2,39 7 8 7
SK ot 24440 29500 20400 2.40 Aol 46026 69000 S040
TENN 1/3 190 105 105 2640 2.45 245 ase 257
TEX x 180 205 aio 4.00 4670 Ba6 a26 987
UTAH ' 465 470 477 3.55 4.00 14628 16669 1en8n
vt ivt 9A 93 45 2.55 2.30 186 237 219
va Vr Be 80 aS 3.10 3.20 148 248 277
WASH ’ 503 503 493 3.60 3.40 19761 VL 19676
wa ist 89 90 a5 2435 2435 180 are 200
WIS 1 39100 34100 39100 3.19 3.30 100075 Foon 109230
wo ‘ 525 530 S40 2.35 2.30 19050 19266 19262
us t _P%9075 274707 274259 3e19 342K AD DB_——AEH 74S Be.?10

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ REGINNING 1978 INCLUDED IN "ALL OTHER".

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

en


CROP PRODUCTION

Released: October 12, 1979 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN production is forecast at a record high 7.39 billion bushels (188 million
metric tons), 2 percent above the September 1 forecast arid 4 percent more
than the previous record set last year. The 90 percent confidence inter-
val for this 1979 production forecast is from 6.95 to 7.83 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 817 million bushels (20.7 million metric
tons), up 9 percent from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is expected to
total a record high 224 million metric tons, 3 percent more than last year.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at a record high 2.21 bitlion bushels (60.2 mil-
jon metric tons), 2 percent above the September 1 forecast and 18 percent
larger than the 1978 crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
1979 production forecast is 2.09 to 2.34 billion bushels.

OILSEED production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts, flaxseed and sunflower com-
ined) is expected to total 71,0 million metric tons, up 21 percent from
last year.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye and rice combined) is forecast at 64.4 million
metric tons, 16 percent above 1978.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 14.4 million bales, 32 percent above 1978
and 1 percent more than the September 1 forecast. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this 1979 production forecast is 13.1 to 15.7 million bales.

SUGAR CROPS--sugarbeet production at 22.3 million tons (20.2 million metric tons)
Ts forecast 13 percent below the 1978 production. Sugarcane production is
forecast at 27.1 million tons (24.6 million metric tons), up 5 percent from
1978.

ORANGE production is forecast at a record high 256 million boxes (10.1 million
metric tons), 22 percent above last season.

FALL POTATO production is forecast at 300 million cwt (13.6 million metric tons),
percent below the record high 1978 crop.

CrPr 2-2 (10-79) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


The lack of rain in Michigan during September provided dry bean growers with ideal harvesting
conditions. Yields have been excellent. Quality is high with very few splits or checks even
though moisture content was low. Harvest was 85 percent complete by October 1. Harvest and wind-
rowing of California dry beans continues in the major producing areas. Unseasonably high temper-
atures caused damage to some fields, but aided growth of the Coastal Small Whites.

Colorado's yields are extremely varied. Irrigated areas in eastern Colorado are generally
reporting average or below normal yields. In the southwest, where most acreages are non-irrigated,
yields are good to excellent. By the end of September, 58 percent of the crop had been threshed.
In Idaho harvest is 85 percent complete. Weather conditions have been favorable during harvest
and the quality of the crop is excettent.

POTATOES: Production of fall potatoes for the United States is forecast at 300 million cwt (13.6

million metric tons), 7 percent Tess than the record high 323 million cwt (14.7 million
metric tons) produced in 1978. Area for harvest is estimated at 1.07 million acres (434 thousand
hectares), 7 percent less than last year. Yields nationally are forecast at 280 cwt per acre, the
same as last year, but up 10 cwt per acre from 1977.

Production in the seven Eastern States is estimated at 49.4 million cwt, 4 percent above the
47.3 million cwt harvested in 1978. The average yield is placed at 254 cwt per acre, up signifi-
cantly from the 234 cwt per acre yield of 1978. The harvest season has progressed well in Maine
with production at 28.2 million cwt, up 9 percent from last season. Harvest is progressing on
schedule on Long Island, New York, where quality of the crop and yields are good. In Upstate
New York, harvest is back on schedule after some delays when hurricane Frederic moved through the
area, Harvest of the Pennsylvania crap is running more than a week ahead of a year earlier.

In the eight Central States, production is forecast at 63.5 million cwt, an 8 percent decrease
from 1978. In North Dakota, heavy rains in July have reduced the crop's potential but harvest is
progressing normally. Below average yields are expected in Wisconsin. Potatoes are smaller in
size but of excellent quality. Good weather in Michigan and Minnesota is making it possible for
harvest to move along at a rapid pace.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 188 million cwt, 9 percent below the 207 mil-
lion cwt produced in 1978. The average yield at 322 cwt per acre is 3 cwt less than last year.
While Idaho's crop is above average in quality it is not expected to equal the outstanding crop of
last year, In Oregon, where harvest is in full swing, weather has been favorable. Harvest of both
Norgold and Russets in Washington is behind schedule. Quality of the crop is average to slightly
below average with more than a normal amount of hollow heart occurring.

The revised production for the 1979 winter crop is placed at 2.38 milion cwt (108 thousand
metric tons). This is down 12 percent from the previous estimate and is 9 percent below the 1978
production of 2.62 million cwt (119 thousand metric tons). The 1979 crop was harvested from 11.9
thousand acres (4820 hectares), 8 percent less than in 1978 and 11 percent below the 1977 acreage.
Yields averaged 200 cwt per acre compared with 203 cwt per acre for the 1978 seaons and 199 cwt
per acre in 1977.

SWEETPOTATOES: The 1979 sweetpotato production is forecast at 14.8 million cwt (674 thousand

metric tons), up fractionally from the September 1 forecast and 4 percent above
the 1978 crop. The crop is expected to be harvested from 122 thousand acres (49.5 thousand hec~
teres] 1 percent more than in 1978. Yield per acre is placed at 122 cwt compared with 119. cwt
ast year.

Harvest progress is Vater than normal in nearly all producing areas as a result of above nor-
mal September rainfall. In North Carolina, the leading sweetpotato State, growing conditions have
been mostly good throughout most of the season. Harvest was 34 percent complete on September 30.
Quality of early harvested sweetpotatoes in South Carolina is reported lower than normal. Harvest
was 39 percent complete by the end of September. The Louisiana crop made satisfactory growth in
mst areas with 62 percent of the crop harvested by the end of September compared with 64 percent

ar ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


The California, Arizona, and New Mexico crop is forecast at 4.68 million bales, 50 percent
above last year but down 1 percent from the September 1 forecast. Favorable September weather in
California enhanced development of the top crop. Harvest is underway in western Arizona and the
San Joaquin Valley.

The Bureau of the Census reports 916,472 running bales ginned prior to October 1 compared
with 1,490,383 bales ginned to the same date in 1978 and 2,353,223 bales in 1977.

U.S, ALL COTTON - 1979-79
‘YIELD NO PRODUCTION
MILTON BALES YIELD PONS

uP / os

+—

+

ok map 4s
ak 4 es
‘ 1 H n n 4 m —L L i wa
1978 3973 ss 1973 swe ers, 1978 197 1978 1978 1088
490 LB. YET YEIOHT BLES, eR

HAY: All hay production in 1979 is forecast at 143 million tons (130 million metric tons), up 2
“percent from the August 1 forecast, up 1 percent from 1978 and 9 percent above the 1977
crop. The all hay yield forecast at a record high 2.35 tons per acre compares with last year's
2.31 tons and the 1977 yield of 2.16 tons per acre.

Production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures is forecast at 86.2 million tons (78.2 million
metric tons), up 2 percent from the August forecast, down 1 percent from a year ago, and up 7
percent from the 1977 crop. Yield is forecast at a record high 3.16 tons per acre, up from 3.13
tons last year and 2.97 tons in 1977.

All other hay production is forecast at 56.8 million tons (51.6 million metric tons), up 2
percent from the August 1 forecast, 2 percent more than last year, and 12 percent above 1977.

Yield is forecast at a record high 1.69 tons per acre, compared with 1.64 tons in 1978 and 1,52
tons in 1977.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Production af dry edible beans is forecast at 19.9 million cwt (901 thousand
1 metric tons), 6 percent above last month's forecast and 4 percent more than
ast year, Acreage for harvest at 1.38 million acres (560 thousand hectares) is 7 percent less

phan a year earlier. Average yield is estimated at 1434 pounds per acre compared with 1279 pounds

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-i1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


HOPS,

STATE o£ AREA HARVESTED t YTELD ' PRODUCTION 17
t 1 1 LIND? ? Wot oe , IND
t j977_4 i978 4 1979 t 1977 1 1978 t 1979 ¢ 1977 ¢ 1978 1 1979
ry 1,000 ACRES BOUNDS 16000 POUNDS 5
: - ee
Caute ot 165 1S 1s2 19630-19360 14280 2646S 29060 19536
TOAWO ot 209 267 207 19770 10790 19740 $0133 49833 461698
ORES ot 565 504 5.6 10690 26S10 19540 90295 86156 81626
wash ot 2n.6 2163 2203 14860 19880 15800 «= 370904 = 9044 = 400 140
us t 3065 3009 3168 16796 18782 10729544777 550071 544998
1/ 1979 QUANTITIES AVAILASLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 17
STATE i AVERAGE 1 1978 1 1979 ts STATE + AVERAGE + 1978 1 1979
1 1968677 4 : wy 1 1968677 3 t
: : ' cz) 1 1 oF
. 1 PERCENT 1 DERCENT
aca to78 66 8a ty NEVO ot a1 89 78
ARIZ 9 75 68 66 11 NH 4 83 75 88
aRe ot 7B a? 85 teoNJ ob 75 86 84
CauIF + 70 90 as tr N MEX of 738 68 86
COLO ' 72 se a3 moNyY t a5 ar ae
CONN 1) 89 86 80 troNC t 78 80 90
de to? ao ce) tr N DAK ft 70 88 65°
Pua t 33 78 aS te OM410 ' 87 60 95
GA 1 75 s7 a7 tr OKLa ot 79 49 79
ToaHO = a2 68 68 tt ORES ot 7B 98 BG.
Tur tt BL :z3 7 tr PA 1 82 ar 89
IND ft 86 8s 86 oR YT t B64 99 94
Towa t 80 as 79 wm SC ft 79 62 85
KANS ot 77 61 75 tr S$ DAK 1 67 86 719
xy 1 ar 86 98 + 48 TENN ot 81 71 93
ua 1 79 19 80 tr TEX ot 7B 62 7
MAINE tt Si 89 a2 UTAH ob 78 chy TM
40 1 77 at 89 te ovr r 83 7%. a1
“ass tT 80 90 tt VA ' 80 85 9?
MICH 8) (79 83 73 tt WASH ot (77 96 70
MINN of 73 a9 8a tro oWva ot as 89 93
“ISS 8 BQ 73 a9 i) WIS ot 75 91 a6
40 1 77 73 73 tr WYO) BO 89 16
MONT 2 80 97 66 " ' .
NesR 73 76 80 mous 4 78 7 ey

Vv 000 TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER § POOR TO FAIR 65+794 VERY POOR, Sb=6u5 ‘SEVERE
DROUGHT» 35-495 EXTREME DROUGHT. UNDER 35,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979

B-16

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


TOBACCO

sTaTe 3 AREA WARVESTED a YIELO 1 PROOUCTION:

f ? t TWO ¢ t t IWOg 7 , IND:

4 1977.3 1978 1 1979 + 1977 + 1978 s_ 1979 4 1977 3 1978 t 1979:

+ ‘ACRES BOUNDS T+000 POUNDS

‘
ALA 1/ 3 550 520 525 1.900 1AT0 19850 19065 972 971
CONN 1 34500 35200 Bel00 = -106NB 10547 14564 S620 41950 44775
FLA ' 110940 10,500 104500 20096 24100 24009 24s79B 224050 214000
GA 1 654000 61,000 534900 20075 24069 19950 1349875 1250660 1036350
i) 1 e900 64600 64500 74400 = 935N 20 300 169560 159510 149950
ky $ 1969750 1944500 1794200 24297 2415 291M = 24NZH © 4690658 3854199
tA Wa 140 130 . at aso 900 700s 9 17 56
CD) 4 234000 294000 «490014320 54390 «146200 304130 = 304A © BBY HOD
Mass t 14160 14030 19930 16643-10416 10529 14906 19658 1.575
MO l/ t PAO 24400 29399 sas 2a2an 29309 69701 S0G72 52290
nec 13924500 3984700 © 24AG5ON §=—14A9G 2413219939 7444525 8494432 6754600
OHTO 1 “104200 9.900 99200 24162 225R8 14988, 226953 229350 18.260
Pa 1 134500 139000 130009 14940 16940 de 790 260190 © 250220220100
se 1 68,000 71,000 586004 = ydGT =e l20 «24075 13982720 1504520 © :1204.950
TENN t 664850 639950 97 20126 1360746 1429999 1289055
va a 739130 700560 14794 19848 1626985 135¢157 1254658
wa ./t 19509 19500 9 2yN20 16800 30232 26700 29625
wrs : 12.100 124900 29032 rst 245385 200600 250470
us 1 9579500 9484060 = ASSeRGS 14997 2433S 14965 1491 2ek1S 290260508 146819678

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD

FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARBEETS Vv
STATF ot AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD 4 PRODUCTION
' $ + TNO + 7 + WT 7 7 TWO
1 1977 4 1978 3 1979 + 1977 + 1978 £ 1979 £ 1977 4 1978 ¢ 1979
¥ +000 ACRES TONS T0000 TONS
aetz : 12.4 15.0 Tee 7263 ans 1962 2a5 aoa 219
calte oo 2176n 19540 206.0 2661 2665 2665 5686 45778 54459
COLO t 72d 84.0 7300 1945 1843 1965 140 16538 19426
Toso 1076 13401 12860 19.5 2063 20.0 20096 26722 24560
KANS t Buen 2640 1667 17.0 TAL son 442 _ 216
MICH t ARS 9165 2.9 y 1845 10796 Le770 19693
MINN ' 2600 243.0 1Ae2 17.0 46732 4971 49168
MONT ' 4500 bbe? 19.9 19.0 096 . 88S _ 825
NES? ’ S767 7.0 20.0 19.9 16356 19368 14625
NOMEX 2/1 142 18 19.2 1960 23 37 40
N DAK Ot 155.2 15502 7A 17.5 24769 39056 24503
OHIO t P2058 2363 20.2 19,5 457 394 783
OREG t Re? Bd 2501 26.0 206 198 17%
TEX 1 1709 23.6 17.3 19.0 309 “1s 383
UTAH ' 9608 12.6 17.7 1A,a 173 225 27
WASH 3/t 6166 ORAS 26.3 0.0 10495 1747 °
wyo : Gad 488 1966 19,0 949 922 OU
us 11921662 1927200 20.6 19,9 250007 250773 226310

yf RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST FOR ALL STATES

INCLUDING ARIZ AND CALIF.
Pes ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CAQRTED FURWAED F204 EAPLTER FORECAST,
VY MONE OL ANTE tN 1979,

SUGARCANE FOS SUGAR AND SEED

Stave AREA ~ARVESTED 1 YrEUO t PRODUCTION
: " t mt 1 t ENO g 1 t IND
t 1977 4 1978 1979 1 1977.1 1978 1979 3 1977 3 1978 1 1979
t 1000 ACRES TONS T+000 TORS
1
FLA 1 30060 311.0 329.0 29.9 30.9 31.9 Q.970 9610 94920
HAW : 103.5 105.9 109.0 AR,? 89,3 96.0 90176 90461 104266
ta t 397.0 28940 a7A.a 23.9 2 22.0 76695 5.875 52940
TEX : 3369 32.8 29.2 29 30.0 989 960 969
us t T5966 737 73163 38.3 3501 37.6 26.839 253906 27,075

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979

B-15

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record high 7.39 billion bushels
(188 million metric tons), up 2 percent from the September 1 forecast and up 4
percent from the 1978 production.

Acreage for grain at 69.5 million acres (28.1 million hectares) is virtually unchanged from
September 1 and is 1 percent below 1978

Average yield is forecast at a record high 106.4 bushels per acre, 1.8 bushels more than
last month and up 5.2 bushels from 1978. Yields were either unchanged or up from Jast month in
all major Corn Belt States.

By October 1 most corn was safe from a killing frost. Some Tate-planted fields in the nor-
thern Corn Belt, however, needed a little more time to escape frost damage and realize the full
potential of the crap. Crop maturity is running behind last year and average. Corn Belt harvest
was just getting underway by October 1. In the eastern Corn Belt, harvest had reached 5 percent
complete, lagging last year by 4 points and the average by 3 points.

In the western Corn Belt, 5 percent of the acreage had heen harvested by October 3, 4 points
behind last year and the average. In the Southeast, harvest advanced to 65 percent complete,
just short of Tast year's 67 percent but ahead of the 57 percent average. Rain caused some lod-
ging and slowed harvest throughout the Southeast.

SORGHUM: Production of grain sorghum is forecast at 817 million bushels (20.7 million metric

tons), up 9 percent from last year and 3 percent more than in 1977. A record high
yield per acre is forecast, pushing production above last year despite a decline in acreage to be
harvested for grain.

Yield per acre harvested for grain is forecast at a record high 63.0 bushels compared with
last year's yield of 55.1 bushels and the previous record high of 60.7 bushels set in 1972, The
September 1, 1979 forecast was 62.9 bushels per acre. Acreage to be harvested for grain is esti-
mated at 13.0 million acres (5.24 million hectares), 5 percent less than last year and 8 percent
less than in 1977.

Three States will produce almost 80 percent of the grain sorghum: Kansas - 32 percent,
Texas - 30 percent, and Nebraska ~ 17 percent. Harvest was 10 percent completed in Kansas by
the end of September, slightly behind the average for this date. In Texas, harvest was progres-
sing toward the Panhandle where weather conditions have hastened maturity. By the end of Sep-
tember 69 percent of the crop had. been harvested. In Nebraska, sorghum maturity reached 55 per-
cent, one to two weeks later than normal. Harvest was just getting underway as of October 1.

ALL WHEAT: Winter, other spring and durum wheat production combined is estimated at 2.11 billion

bbushels (57.5 million metric tons), up 18 percent from last year and the third largest
Production of record, Both an increase in harvested acres and improved yields contributed to this
larger production. Nationally, yields are expected to average a record high 34.0 bushels per har-
vested acre. Last year the average yield was 31.6 bushels and the previous record high was 33.9
bushels, set in 1971.

DURUM WHEAT: Production of durum wheat is forecast at 104 million bushels (2.83 million metric

tons), 22 percent less than last year and down 3 percent from the September 1,
1979 forecast. Yields are expected to average 26.9 bushels per acre compared with 33.1 bushels
in 1978 and 26.4 bushels in 1977.

Rainy, humid weather during early September delayed harvest in some areas with swaths diffi-
cult to combine and some sprouting of grain. However, harvest was virtually complete by the
end of the month. Good harvest weather in North Dakota enabled farmers to complete harvest at
about the normal time after being 10-14 days behind at the beginning of the month. Producers
in northwest North Dakota experienced some poorly filled heads and shrunken kernels as a result
of the damaging frost on August 14.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


FLAXSEED

STATE 3 AREA dARVESTED, t YIELD t PRONUCTION
' 1 : TNO 1 7 ? twee 7 7 TNO
1 1977 t 1978 1 1979 + 19771 1978 + 1979 t 1977 4 1978 ¢ 1979
t 1.000 ACRES BUSHEL ~¥e8a0 SUSHELS
t
MINN ot 220 142 154 15.5 1549 elon 29201 26310
MONT 1/8 5 i) 040 35 9 .
NOOK 1 750 410 500 1260 12a 74500 49920 6.000
$ Dak 330 aaa 350 1265 lase 40290 39600 4.900
TeX 20h 9 20 _ 5 1040 9.0 90 200 45
us ' 1ea14 860 i,009 12.7 13,1 154105 104921 13,255

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977.
a7 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST.

PFANUTS FMB NUTS

State ot AREA 4ARVESTED : YTELO 1 PRODUCTION

t 1 Y YN 7 1 Woe ? 7 TN

t1977 1978 4 1979 ¢ 1977 t 2978 t 1979 & 1977 ¢ 1978 t 1979

t Tefi00 4CRES POUNDS 19009 POUNDS

t
aua 1 1540 213.0 24830 7D = 5894100 © S674AZN 5754100
FLA : 3540 55.0 34780 3e750 1700500 1826520 179,750
6a 1 576.0 $77.0 34300 34400 146999100 147359800 147926800
MISS 1/1 Te 7.8 29009 Le7=M = 119550169000 134650
N MEX U4 9G 9.4 74569 Peng 255380 24064 2360460
NC 1 16640 165.9 2225 4500 4444050 © 46B09S0 31 eH
OKLA t 12040 10800 26059 © 757460 = 2074000 = 2464000
sc ois 15.9 2e950 74200 3142ND «= 3S4TAN BH HUO
TEX ' 39040 30940 19450 -1e8N0 3944500 960450 4944400
va 1. 10340 193.0 10760 35100 24950 2920035 3194300 = 300-900
us 2 1e5TAw 1951206 1052626 2 eA39 2eS82 367759915 3eIAAe624 4eOBHVHRO

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEN FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST.

SUNFLOWE®

STATE AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD 1 PROOUCTION

t t 7 Tw ¢ 7 + we T ¥ IND

' i977 1978 4 1979 + 1977 t 1978) 1979 8 1977 t 1978 t 1979

' 14000 ACRES POUNDS Ts000 POUNNS

1
MINN ’ 518 998 16378 = 195S8 10536 14475 8074060 160720020 240326550
N DAK of 14320 19910 30405 19255 19351146600 166584250 24579+700 447876000
g§ Oax 4 132 160 615 959 LsTLS 49265 1269560 1790820 «7774975,
TEX ’ 235 30 65 717) 727) 14200 188-600 229800 786000
us t 24205 20798 5e463  9P52 10977 1 eANL 2e7HMVKTN 348520540 746554525
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA






POTATOES

SEASONAL. GROUP {| AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD. ! PRODUCTION
AND ' t “IND 1 T T1071 T t_1N0
STaTel )_ i977 197 i979 + i977 1 i978 | 1979 | 1977 1 i978 1 i979
1000 hi Ww 7500 Cw
'
WINTER! t
' _ wees s-cov ast
TOTAL et 12.9 11.9199 203 200 2660 26621 39383
L
SPRING: i)
. 1 - - .
TOTAL 2st Oh ae 9069 89.6 250 198 258 226875 174963 234060
'
‘SuMMER 5
. ' ae a - ; -
TOTAL 2 11562 TTT69 = i077) 191189 anh 214982 219 1B7 =H HT
1
Fale ' os . .
CALIF: ! 17.2 350 350 350 5.950 6055 64020
gove: t 39,5 263 «275 280 Sousn 119275 114060
CONN 1.9 245 230 230 466 437 437
TDAHORIg SW CO ft 30.0 300 32535 94000 106400 94750
“OTHER CO} 300.0 260 «270 280794200 © 89,910 784000
ND ' 42 260 © 240-280 isi2e 936 19092’
MATNE! t 115.0 260 220 268 284320 254960 289178
Mass ' 3.5 260 225 210 B10 138
MICH t 32.0 275 250 250 40500 4000
MINN 1 68,0 180 210 195 166910 139260
MONT 1 6.9 2H BHD kD 14656
NEBR’ 1 6.0 260 250 «= 250 14500
NEV ( 15.0 340 320 330
NW . 3/1 235 .
N YeLONG IS ' 21.8 315 265 290 60175!
“UPSTATE: ! 23.5 260 260 280 6500
N OAK! t 115.0 160 175 165 220400
OHrO 1 10.0 245 215 «240 20215'
OREGeMaLHEUR CO | 13.0 356 3500370 34780
sOTHER CO i 51.0 660 635420 24708
Pa 1 26,0 250 25085 60250
Rr. i 4.0 230 280240 _ 984
S_OAg! ' $1 180 170 220 14190
Uta { 4.8 260 © 265280 14127
vt ' 8? 235 22020 L176
was ' ioo.0 4600465" 78 560685'
WIS ! $4.5 325 us 310 8 179325
wo { S.2 220 218 22a 104% 14462
TOTAL ( T6i3e07 19155,1 160728 270 280 «280 3074064 3234498 3006330
‘. : 5
us 1 {6358.7 1,370.8 1,281.8 261 266 271 356.576 365,249 347,920
1

W7"T975 REVISED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.

WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED T7

AREA HARVESTED

STATE :
1978 : 1979 2/ 1978 : 1979 2/
: T;000 ACRES
CALIF : 3.0 33 3.0
FLA : 10.0 317 9.9 ae
TOTAL : 13.0 13.0 12.9
3 YIELD. a PRODUCTION
: 1978 : 1979 2/ : 1978 i 1979 2/
: CHT T,000 CHT
CALIF : 230 240 690
FLA Hy 195, 185 1,931 1s1
TOTAL : 203 200 2,621 2,383

7 INCLUDES ACREAGE PLANTED TW PRECEDING FALL.
2 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 8-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

: T
AREA HARVESTED TELD PER HECTARE ; POON
crop 1a7e 7? INDICATED: 075 STNDICATED: 1978 SPT: OTT
i Bigg 1978979: 179: 1979
2 HECTARES METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 3 28 316 160 28 116 240 6.68 179 887 250 184 620 150 187 723 920
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 1 5 496 090 5 242 760 3.96 19 010 490 20 683 180 20 745 870
ALL WHEAT : 23.002 170 25 182 650 2.28 48 952 920 57 783 330 57 530 850

OURUM : 1628 470 1 564 130 1.81 3 628 590 2922 380 2 831 830
OTHER SPRING : 5 627620 6 O16 120 1,87 11-357 930-11 436 080-117-274 150

RICE : 1 205 570 1 220 950 5.12 6 070 880 6 136 290 6 250 820
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 1/ : 25 634 280 28 429 070 2.12 60 897 990 59 171 460 60 235 860
FLAXSEED : 348.030 408 330 0.82 277 410 317 540 336 690
PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 611730 616 990 3.01 1 809 200 1858 330 © 1-854 $80
SUNFLOWER 1 132 320 2 210 820 1.57 1 747 470 3 472 470
ALL COTTON 5 006 020 5 285 820 9 2 363 560 3101 460 3 125 630

UPLAND 4975 260 5 249 840 9 2 343 220 3078 800 3 101 010

AMER-PIMA 30 760 35 980 0.68 20 340 22 660 24 620
ALL HAY 24 886 420 24 629 430 5.27 129 059 730 2/127 199 100 129 759 170

ALFALFA : 11 212 750 11 03 440 7.09 78 693 740 “2/76 636 250 78 208 400

ALL OTHER 13 673 670 13 597 990 3.79 50 365 990 2/50 562 850 51 550 770
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 604 770 = 560 130 1.61 867 130 ~ 846 260 900 560
POTATOES

FALL 467 460 © 434-150 31.38 14 673 550 13 622 670
TOTAL 554750 518 730 30.42 16 567 330 15 781 300

SWEETPOTATOES 48 810 49 450 13.62 648 680 671 490 673 540

‘OBACCO 383 690 346 330 2.20 918 300 784 590 762 790
SUGARBEETS 514 770 © 453 780 44.60 23 380 870 «= 19. 900 910-20 239 290
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 298.940 295 950 82.99 23 501 530 24 271 730 24 562 030
KOPS : 12 500 12 870 1,94 24 980 24 880 24 960
APPLES, COM'L t 3.462 430 2/3 490 600 3. 439 350
GRAPES : 4142 840 «=~ 4 383 340 «4 298 970
SWEET CHERRIES 3 : 140 610 174 540
TART CHERRIES 3 : 82 190 78 330
PRUNES AND PLUS :

(EXCL CALIF) : 63 320 62 140 61 230
CRANBERRIES : 111 520 4/112 740 114 440
PECANS : 113 720 "116 440 113 530
FILBERTS : 12 790 9 530 9 980
CITRUS FRUITS 5/ : 1978-79 1979-80 1979-80
“ORANGES : 80

LEMONS 668 600 630 490

7978 -REVISED. 27 AUGUST T, T9753] CARRIED FORRARD FROM CHERRY UTILIZATION REPORT RELEASED OCTOBER A
979, _4/ MID-AUGUST. 5/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF

HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

a AREA PARVESTED YIELD PER HECTARE FROOUCTTON
oP : + INDICATED : : i)
2188 tga 8 tog ys 978979 17
HECTARES METRIC TONS
oats 4666 480 © 4 047 710 1.87 1.90 8730410 7: 710 B10
BARLEY + 3736 500 3012 920 2.60 2.63 9 732 450 7 930 320
WINTER WHEAT : 15 746 080 17 602 400 2.16 2.47 33.972 400 43 424 870
RYE : 402 670 378 790 1.65 1.59 664 490 602 920
ORY EDIBLE PEAS. : 81750 56 660 2.00 1.68 163 340 96 390
POTATOES 3
WINTER 2/ § 220 4 820 22.78 22.43 118 890 108 090
SPRING : 36 790 36 180 22.15 28.91 814 780 ~—1:045 980
SUMMER : 45 280 43 590 21.20 23.05 960 110 —- 1. 004 570
PEPPERMINT OIL : 40 470 38 240 0.06 0.06 2 600 2 180
SPEARMENT OTL + 18 660 13 760 9.08 0.06 1 470 860
PEACHES 3 1225 150 1-326 430
PEARS : 659 340 728 560
APRICOTS 114 580 131 270
NECTARINES (CALIF) 134 260 167 830
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 118 840 V7 930
PLUMS (CALIF) 139 710 163 290
OLIVES (CALIF) 174 310 47 170
ALMONDS (CALIF) 82 100 158 760
WALNUTS (CALIF) 145 150 199 580
E Tt ECA:

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS. USDA


Harvest is progressing on schedule in New York despite mid-September delays due to Hurricane
Frederic. Yields are lighter than previously expected, but quality and sugar content are good.
Cluster size, color, and sugar content of Pennsylvania's crop are good and growers are hoping for
drier weather to curb potential motd and mildew problems. Michigan's crop benefited from plenty
of September sunshine and sugar content is above average. Harvest is ahead of last year. A warm
month also favored sugar build-up in Washington's crop. Harvest of Concords began at mid-month
and will continue through mid-November. Wine grape picking will extend into November.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is

forecast at 67.5 thousand tons {61.2 thousand metric tons). This last fore-
cast of the season is down one percent from last month, and is 3 percent lower than last year's
production. Harvest was virtually complete in all States by the end of September. Prospects
improved during September in Idaho, but declined more than an off-setting amount in Michigan
and Washington.

CRANBERRIES: Production of the Nation's cranberry crop is forecast at a record 2.52 million
barrels (114 thousand metric tons), a 2 percent increase since mid-August and 3
percent larger than the 1978 crop.

Prospects in Massachusetts improved 4 percent during the period to 1.12 million barrels.
There was no frost damage or appreciable fruit worm damage by the end of September. Water har-
vesting has proceeded on schedule, but wet weather delayed dry harvest,

Harvest of a good crop is active in New Jersey. Berries in some bogs have been slow to
color. Berry size in Wisconsin is smaller than normal, but quality is excellent. Oregon stil)
expects a record crop, although prospects have diminished 2 percent since mid-August to 106 thou-
sand barrels, Berry sizing and color development appear to be normal and harvest is expected to
begin the first week of October. Harvest began in Washington the third week of September, with
berry size and quality above average but color on the light side,

PAPAYAS: Hawaii papaya producting during October is forecast at 3.00 million pounds (1360 metric

tons), 7 percent higher than last month, but a sharp 56 percent’ drop from a year ago.
Moderate fluctuations in production are expected to occur in the following months. It is ex-
pected that a winter quarter high of 3.15 million pounds (1430 metric tons) in November will be
followed by a drop to 3.05 million pounds (1380 metric tons) in December. In January, production
is expected to climb again with 3.10 million pounds (1410 metric tons) now forecast. The down-
ward revision from previous forecasts is based on recent data which indicates less acreage for
harvest in the coming months than previously estimated. The January-September output this year
is 46 percent less than production for the similar period one year earlier.

Area in crop totaled 3270 acres (1320 hectares) last month. Of this total, 69 percent or
2245 acres (910 hectares) was harvested. Harvested acreage was down 5 percent from August.

PECANS: Pecan production is forecast at 250 million pounds (174 thousand metric tons), 2 percent

less than the September 1 forecast and slightly less than last year's crop. Declines
from last month in Alabama, Florida and Mississippi were caused by Hurricane Frederic. In
Alabama, extensive damage was sustained by the 1979 crop in the Baldwin and Mobile County areas,
where tree losses were about 80 percent. In southeast Mississippi, trees received heavy damage
resulting in substantial crop loss.

In Georgia, Hurricane David caused some damage in the coastal areas; however, the major
producing areas benefited from the rainfall associated with the storm system, Harvest is just
getting underway. In Louisiana, September weather conditions were generally favorable for
crop development, In Texas, some drop has occurred because of dry weather and overloaded limbs.
Nut quality appears to be good but sizes are small.

Improved varieties in the U.S. are expected to account for 41 percent of this year's crop
compared with 66 percent last year and 58 percent in 1977.

FILBERTS: Oregon and deshington filbert production is expected to total 11.0 thousand tons

(9980 metric tons), 5 percent above last month's forecast but 22 percent below the
1978 output.

Growers were able to begin harvest approximately two weeks before normal. The weather has
been dry and windy, perfect for harvest.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED t YIELO t PRODUCTION
: 8 : “IND + t _ 1 tw t t 1)
t i977 1 1978 ¢ 1979 1 i977 « 1978 + i979 + 1977 4 1978 1979:
: 10000 ACRES BUSHELS 19600 BUSHELS
'
AULA at 29.0 5000. 6060 = 100875 = 270200 310800
ARIZ \st 100.0 11540 51000 59750 S175
ARK A/t $3.0 58.0 26279 14760 2030
CALIF 1st 116.0 122.0 359406 349770
colo t 12660 12040 794200 984400
CONN 2/8 . - . eee
oeL Ot 56.0 100.0 100360 «= 164800 164700
FLa ist 35.0 $5.0 100665 199260 © _ 200350
Ga ’ 26.0 65.0 240000 = 750000 = 1004750
1nAHO i/t 8600 8940 20608 _ 36393 30115
TUL ' 105.0 120.9 191639400 191914030 142604000
INO t 102.0 115.0 6339420 . 6376200 6724750
TOws : 86.0 119.0 190920200 144629500 194994600
KANS ot 9640 114.0 1610280 1534000 © 1654900
Ky ft 906 104.6 1320300 1199856 1325080
La yer 52.0 6600 39380 20773 20772
MAINE 2/3 oe oo
MD 600 7200 10160 439200 «= 579236 = 884580
MASS 2/1 - aoe ae |.
MITCH ' 29320 A5.0 85.0 1979200 1829250 1672000
MINN  f  69000 100.0 97.9 8000000 6434760 —$724.300
MISS 1/1 160 3620 50.0 56760 7560 9 _ 54750
40 ' 20650 16. 9920 2010400 1914400 2220750
MONT it li 58.0 7260 748, 360 504
NEBR ' 60550 99.0 11300 116.0 6489450 7400150 7639800
NEV 2/t
NH 2/8 ; . .
NJ 1st 95 95 82 70.0 91608960 69650 8 +645
NOMEX 171 116 72 70 9020 10540-11040 © 108260 79560
NY wt $40 600 640 060 81.0° 519200 = 479600
nec t 16740 14600 1s700 $140 77.0 = BB9740 1219600
N OAK ist 237 253 260 7340 76.0 178301 199987
OHIO t 3e620 30610 36630 105.0 117.0 3800100 3790050
OKLA i/t 95 73 80 8240 9540 70790 e765
OREG 1/8 _ 12 _ 13 _ 1) 9560 95s 95.0 19160-19235" 0
pas! 19160 19190 1s190 9240 9540-9740 = 1060720 1139050 = 1154430
RT ’ . .
sc is 890 $50 _ 500 3620 5540 ©7600 Ay B4O = 308250 = 384000
SOAK t 24850 20560 26500 5900 = S7a0 = 7He0 = 8264850 «172520
TENN 1/3 730 _ 660 -.590 65206640 8000 74EO
TEX 8 14650 16640 15300 9840-10060 11540 = 1614700
uta. ist a) 16 16 A960 9040 9A 10157
vt ast
va ft 560 615 600 «5540 B40 BTe = 300800 © 500430) SB 4200
wash 1/1 64 65 65 11960 121460 © 12340 72616 71865: 14995
wa l/r So 58 _ 61 -7he0 77907940 96 49466 60819
wis 1 20800 24750 20850 10440 = 984 B40 2924200 © 2894500 © 2794300
wyO | 1/8 .30 ‘ry _ 30 85.0 84.0 26550 20756. | 24520
US t 70eB72 694970 6 9047H 9047 10644 604250457 7408149849 763900365

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR STLAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


(DOMESTIC UNITS)

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY

AREA HARVESTED: YIELD PERCACRE PRODUCTION
CROP AND UNIT 1978: INDICATED: yg7g INDICATE: 1978 THOTCATED
: 1979} 7 (1979 7079 3979
T,000 ACRES T,000
CORN FOR GRAIN BU 69,970 69,476 101.2 106.4 7,081,849 7,268,175 7,390,365
SORGHUM FOR GRALN " 13,581 12,955 55.1 63.0 748,410 "814,261 6,729
ALL WHEAT " 56,839 62,227 31.6 34.0 1,798)712 2,123,174 2,113,897
DURUM " 4,024 3,865 33.1 26.9 33, 328 107,379 104,052
OTHER SPRING " 13,906 14,866 30.0 27.9 417,112 420,204 414,254
RICE CAT Vi 2,979.0 3,017.0 4,493.4, 568 133,840 135,282 ‘137,607
SOVBEANS FOR BEANS 2/ BU 63,343 70,249 29.5 31.5 1,870/181 2, 74, 2178 2,213,289
FLAXSEED 8 1,009 12.7 3) 10,921 13,255
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB 1,511.6 1,524.6 2,639 «2,682 «3,988,624 4, 08” 7390 4,088, 680
SUNFLOWER Us 2,79 1,377 1,401 3,.852;540 7,655,525,
ALL COTTON BALE 1 : : 42) $28 0,855.8 14,245.0  14,386.0
UPLAND: " . : 420 527 10,762.4 © 14,140.9  14,242.9
AMER-PIMA " 76.0 88.9 590 611 93.4 104.1 113.1
ALL HAY TON 61,495 60,860 2.31 2.35 142,264 © 3/140,213 143,035
ALFALEA ” 27,707 27,259 513 6 3.16 86,745 ~3/84,477 86,210
ALL OTHER " 33,788 33,601 64 1,69 55,519 3/55,736 56 825
ORY EDIBLE BEANS CHT 1: 1,494.4 1,384.1 1,279 1,434 19,117 18,657 19,854
POTATOES,
FALL CHT 1,155.1 1,072.8 280 280 323,498 300,330
TOTAL . 13370.8 1;281:8 266 2 365,249 347/920
SWEETPOTATOES " 120.6 122.2 vig 122 14,301 14,804 14,849
TOBACCO 8 948.1 855.8 2,135 1,965 2,024,508 1,729,725 1,681,678
SUGARBEETS TOK 1,272.0 2,228.3 20.3 19.9 5,773 : 22,310
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED " 738.7 731.3 35.1 37.0 25,906 26,755 27,075
Hops LB 30.9 3.8 1,782 1,729 55,071 547846 54.998
PASTURE AND RANGE 4/ PCT 77 8
APPLES, COM'L LB 7,633,400 3/7,695,500 7,582,500
GRAPES TON 4,566.7 4,831.8 "4,738.8
SWEET CHERRIES 5/ " 158.0 192.4
TART CHERRIES 57 (8 181,200 172,700
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) TON 69.8 68.5 67.5
CRANBERRIES BBL 2,458.5 6/2,485.5 2,523.0
PECANS ny 250,700 ~ 256,700 250,300
FILBERTS TON 14. 40.5 11.0
CITRUS FRUITS 7/ 1978-79 1979-80 1979-80
fANGES Box 210, 256,300
LEWONS " 19,400 18,300

NDS. VISE. AUG T,
FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1968-77 AVERAGE IS 78 PERCENT.

RELEASED OCT 4, 1979, 6/

MID-AUG.

WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

Sf “CARRIED FORWARD FROM CHERRY UTILIZATION REPORT
7/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER ACRE 7 PRODUCTION
CROP AND UNIT 7 : 7 :
19781979 1978 1973 1978 1979
T,000 ACRES 008

OATs 11,531 10,002 52.2 53.1 601,477 $31,232
BARLEY 93233 7,445 48.4 48:9 447,008 364,237
MINTER WHEAT 38,909 433496 32:1 36.7 1,248,272 —-1,595,592
995 936 26.3 28.4 26, 160 23,736

DRY EDIBLE PEAS 202.0 140.0 1,783 1,802 33601 23103

POTATOES
WINTER 3/ 12.9 ng 203 200 2,621 2,383
SPRING ~ 90.9 39.4 198 258 17,963 23,060
SUMMER nis 107.7 189 206 21,167 220147
PEPPERMINT OIL 100.0 94.5 87 51 5,728 aa12
SPEARMINT OIL 46.1 34.0 70 56 3,244 1,893
PEACHES 2,701,000 2,924,300
PEARS 726.8 803.1
APRICOTS 126.3 144.7
NECTARINES (CALIF) 148.0 185.0
ORIED PRUNES (CALIF 131.0 130.0
PLUMS (CALIF) 1540 180:0
OLives (CALIF) 126.0 52.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) 181,000 350,000
WALNUTS (CALLE 160.0 220.0
STRATES CAFRYED-FORNARD: FROW THAUTER-FORECIST- T ram) is

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Beans, Dry Edible ..
Citrus Fruits ..
Corn for Grain
Cotton ........
Cranberries .
Filberts ....
Flaxseed
Grapes ..
Hay, All .... rrrrrrrrr sy
Hay, Alfalfa alfa Mixtures”
Hay, Other ....eeeeee oo ccncscees
Hops ......

Papayas .
Pasture & Range Feed Condition” .
Peanuts for Nuts ....seceseaeee
Pecans ..
Potatoes ..
Potatoes, Types
Prunes & PlumS ....ccececeeeeecees
RICE ...seeeeeee
Sorghum for Grain ..
Soybeans for Beans .
Sugarbeets .........
Sugarcane for Sugar & See
Sunflower ....seseeeseeeues
Sweetpotatoes .........
Tobacco by Class & Type .
Tobacco by States ......
U. S. Summary ....
Wheat, All .......
Wheat, by Classes
Wheat, Durum .... aoe .
Wheat, Spring ..ccscsceccccccteecns cece settee eset neste reece eeeetenes

PAGE

jt rrertrertarereae
=-nss ation sh

1
' avin
PPARWWHDUMAAUINNGUNIAAGAGCHONGHVHIIH

PRVOPVMOTVDDDVDDDUTDDVIDDDVDOVOTDHIDDID
q ed tt

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SLL OTHFR HAY

state ft AQEA YAQVESTED t YTELO t PRODUCTION

t t t Tot + tT N08 n 7 IND

t 1977.3 1978 + 1979 | 1977 2 1978: 1979 5 1977 + 1978 + 1979

¥ 19000 ACRES TONS 1y000 TONS

' <
ALA : 630 650 630 1.60 147014 19008 19105 Lise
ARIZ 1/3 40 33 40 240220 230 96 84 92
ARK ' 710 725 730 1.65 1488 29207 49196 46383
calir ot 530 $20 510 1.95 1.90 19060 1,016 969
Goto ‘ 640 660 6A0 1.40 1.65 832 896 986
CONN 17t 63 66 66 2.10 1.40 113 139 196
DEL 17s 16 15 14 1.70 1.85 26 26 26
Fla st 224 235 725 2.00 2.00 452 470 450
64 ' 470 475 465 2.00 2.59 752 950 16163
TOAHOt 294 299 300 2.20 2410 607 658 630
TLL 1 460 460 410 1.95 2.00 897 897 A20
TND ' 475 455 440 2.19 2.10 998 956 924
Towa t 590 580 550 2.45 2450 19621 14375
RANS : 19280 19260 19280 1.40 14736 2yil2
xy t 14360 146410 10410 1,80 29538 24679
La : 362 347 362 2.00 6946 760
MAINE 1/5 192 200 200 2.05 410 290
Mn _t 175, 180 278 2620 396 409
Mass J/t 92 90 "a9 2015 196 160
MICH : 300 290 300 1.90 551 555
MINN ' oun 920 900 1,80 19656 15620
MISS a/t 650 665 64S 1.85, 19193 16226
ll ' 2eRAO 29900 22900 1.55 4495 49695
MONT : 19970 19270 19120 1,40 10638 14456
NEBR ' Peron 20150 24100 1,05 2925 20100
NEV t 240 260 278 1,25 325 330
NH ist 19 72 71 1.85 133 135
NJ Met 65 64 66 2.00 128 139
NOMEX ft 1 70 7 1.20 aa 101
NY 1 146360 16450 is400 1.85 29483 29660
ne 3 334 343 338 1.65 566 558
N DAK 14540 14530 19500 1,50 29295 14650
OWIO ot 950 930 890 2.20 29046 14988
OKLA 1 19375 14230 14230 1,50 19845 24091
OREG ot 615 630 54S 1.70 19071 14032
Ps ' 1,090 19095 14110 1.80 10971 20109
Rr owt 5 5 1,80 9 9
sc : 220 222 21a 2.00 444 458
gnak ot 24060 24100 20100 1.25 20625 26310
TENN 1 146125 141465 149145 1.45 19660 16775
TEX 1 24070 20150 20150 1.65 39568 49965
UTAH lst 119 126 126 1.75 216 217 aur
vT vt 345 350 343 1.858 535 648 617
va ' aso a70 RAS 1.460 935 14392 14460
WASH : 373 373 3A JRO 671 671 665
wWovs + 500 505 510 3.50 650 758 768
wIs : 340 900 940 2625 19927 24025 20162
wd : 620 670 660 1.20 589 804 959
us 2 330583 336788 336502 1.64 506910 = 554519 $64825

T/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTEN FORWARD FROM FARLTER FORECAST,
2¢ REGINNING 1978 TNCLUNES ALFALFA ANN ALFALFA MIXTURES,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP_REPORT SUMMARY

The "all crops", production index (1967=100) at a record high 142 is 11 points above the previous
record set last year, according to the Crop Reporting Board. The oi] crop index shows a 46 point
increase from last year's previous record high and the feed grain index at 139 also increased to a
new record, The food grain index is 18 points above last year and the cotton index is up 47 points.
The tobacco index is off 16 points and sugar crops down 9 points from last year.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1969-79 (1967=100)

2 PRODUCTION
3 2 HAY : A : $ :
YEAR; FEED t : FOOD ; SUGAR ¢ : :

: AL / : GRAINS * AND = grains = crops ? COTTON 3 TOBACCO : OIL Crops

z : FORAGE: : 5 H
1969 104 99 100 98 5 137 91 116
1970 : 100 89 100 gy 4 139 97 17
1971 2 M2 n6 105 107 116 145 86 127
1972 2 113 N2 104 102 127 187 88 131
1973 > 119 115 109 14 12 175 88 155
1974 > 110 93 104 120 104 158 101 127
1975 > lal 4a 108 142 130 Ve V0 183
1976 : 127 120 102 141 128 142 108 132
1977 : 130 126 407 132 V6 191 98 175
1978 > 131 135 115 124 118 146 102 180
1979 142 139 5 142 109 193 86 226

7 IN TUDES “GRASS AND COVER-CROP SEEDS, AND SOME WISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN. q

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information
on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Re-
porting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from Washington headquarters and the
State Statistical Offices.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
J. W. Kirkbride, Chairman,
M. L. Koehn, Secretary,
D. W. Barrowman, R. A. McGregor,
F. E. Rolf, R. P. Smail,
APPROVED: R. L. Freie, R. J. Ries,
C. W. Hammond, B. A, Nelson,
. W. R. Blackson, D. J. Buckner,
. T. J. Byram, H. J. DeLong,
W. ON. Dowdy, R. D. Fenley,
T. W. Feurer, J. R. Gibson,
C, R. Halley, D. E. Hamilton,
S. R. Koyle, R. L. Schulte,
L. E. Snipes, C. A. Van Lahr, Jr.,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE W. W. Wilken,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 Ar? CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


APPLES» COMMERCTALI Vv

- t PRODUCTION ’ “PRODUCTION.
crop t POUNDS. £ 42" LB, EQUIVALENT:
AND 72 SINDICATEOt ___“ToTay: —_+ INT CATED!
STATE: t 1977 _% 1978 81979 ot 1977 978 tt 1979
wae ~ , t MILLION UNITS 1000 UNITS: —
ALL: COMMERCIAL: APPLES ' . ;
ARK wt 24.0 13.0 20.0 572 310 ._ 478
CALIF! ' 480.0 500.0 $10.0 2429 110905124243:
CoLo 1 7 10071 20381
CONN ' 19190 976
neu vi 348! 310
GA 3A8 524 786
TQAHO 1 30095" 24738
TLL ' 20119 24619
IND 1 19524. 19905
TOWwA we 7 262
KANS avs 357
KY wee
MAINE! 1
MD t
Mass ‘
MICH :
MINN 378
MO ‘
nw t
NJ ’
N MEX wv
NY 1
Nc t
OHT0 t
OREG
Pa '
Ry '
sc Me
TENN ve
UTAH vt
vt y
vA :
wash ' 510667"
WoVA fy 12739.
wis’ ! .. . _ 49572 19286:
us ‘ asehers 79633.4 —79582.5' 1580871 1819748 1800597"
1/ IN_ORCHARDS: OF: 160 OR MORE: BEARING AGE TREES.
27 INCLUDES: UNHARVESTED: PRODUCTION: AND_EXCESS: CULLIGE’
(MILLION: POUNDS) 3 UNITED: STATES: 1977~29.69197895202.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED: FORWARD’ FROM EARLTER FORECAST.
CRANBERRIES
z PRODUCTION
STATE 2 TOTAL :
A 1577 A 1378 1979
: 1,000 BARRELS
MASS H 875.0 1,180.0 1,120.0
Nd : 157.0 223.0 240.0
OREG : 80.2 94.5 106.0
WASH : 136.0 139.0 147.0
WIS 2 854.0 822.0 920.0
Us 3 2,102.2 2,458.5 2,523.0
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 8-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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BaAL ONY SSV79 Ag ODDVEOL

USDA

CROP REPORTING BOARD. ESCS.

B-13

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979


Harvest continued active in Texas during September with some delays from heavy rains, Quali-
ty and yields appear good to excellent in most areas. In California, harvest continues active
with yields and quality both reported better than normal.

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco is forecast at 1.68 billion pounds (763 thousand metric tons),

down 17 percent from the 1978 production and 3 percent less than the September | forecast.
Flue-cured production is down 18 percent and burley production is down 16 percent from last year.
Yield per acre for all tobacco is forecast at 1965 pounds compared with 2135 pounds in 1978.

Flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 1.01 billion pounds (457 thousand metric tons), 18 percent
less than in 1978 and 3 percent below the September | forecast. Harvest of flue-cured tobacco
was virtually complete by the end of September. Flue-cured markets continued active during
September.

Fire-cured growers expect to harvest a crop totaling 46.2 million pounds (20.9 thousand
metric tons), 21 percent below last year. Both acreage for harvest and yield are down from a
year earlier.

Burley tobacco production is forecast at 527 million pounds (239 thousand metric tons), down
16 percent from last year and 2 percent less than the September 7 forecast. In Kentucky, record
rainfall and wet conditions continued to take their toll of the burley crop in the field and in
the barn. The effect of blue mold damage has become more noticeable in Kentucky, Virginia, and
North Carolina.

Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at 26.4 million pounds (12.0 thousand metric
tons), down 14 percent from 1978.

Dark air-cured prospects indicate a crop of 19.0 million pounds (8620 metric tons), a decrease
of 17 percent from the 1978 production.

All cigar-type production is forecast at 55.2 million pounds (25.0 thousand metric tons), up
fractionally from last year. Production of cigar-filler types is down 17 percent but production
of cigar-binder types is up 20 percent and cigar-wrapper types is up & percent.

SUGARBEETS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 22.3 million tons (20.2 million metric tons), up

2 percent from the September 1 forecast but 13 percent less than the 1978 crop. The
decline from last year results from both fewer acres harvested and a lower yield.

Harvest of beets is underway in the Central Valley and Central Coast areas of California.
The Colorado crop has maintained very good condition all year with adequate irrigation water.

Beet harvest has begun in Minnesota and North Dakota, but full scale harvest is not expected
until mid-October. Indications are for a good quality crop with above average yields in North
Dakota. Dry weather during September in Michigan is expected to keep yields below the previous
year, but sugar content is expected to be high. Sugar content is also expected to be above last
year in Texas and Montana,

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.1 million tons (24.6

million metric tons), up } percent from the September } forecast and 5 percent above
the 1978 production. Average yield per acre is estimated at 37.0 tons compared with 35.1 tons
last year.

Sugarcane in Florida has made excellent recovery from the damage caused by Hurricane David.
The hot, humid weather during September was ideal for growth and development. Cutting cane for
seed continues and harvesting of cane for sugar should begin before the end of October. Planting
of cane in Louisiana has made good progress with about two-thirds of the crop planted by October 1,
Harvest of this year's crop is expected to be underway by mid-October.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ORANGES: The first forecast for the 1979-80 season points to a record crop of 256 million boxes
(10.1 million metric tons), 22 percent greater than last season's crop and 5 percent
above the previous record set in 1976-77. The forecast for production of all oranges in Florida
is set at 200 million boxes, 22 percent above last season, Production of early and mid-season
varieties in Florida at 115 miltion boxes is 26 percent above last season but is the same as har-
vested in 1976-77, Valencia production in Florida is expected to total 85.0 million boxes, 16
percent more than last season. The California orange crop is forecast at 49.0 miltion boxes, 32
percent more than last season and 15 percent above the 1977-78 season. The Navel crop in Califor-
nia is placed at 26.0 million boxes, 25 percent above last season. The Valencia forecast for
California is 23.0 million boxes, 40 percent more than last season and 2 percent above the 1977-78
season. The Arizona orange crop is expected to total 3.30 milion boxes, up 14 percent from last
season. Orange production in Texas is forecast at 4.00 million boxes, 37 percent below the 1978~

79 crop.

In Florida, groves were generally wet at the end of September, Hurricane David dumped ‘up to
10 inches of rain in groves along the coast and 2 to 5 inches on interior groves. Caretakers were
very active pumping water from the groves and ditching, to help eliminate standing water that could
cause tree damage and fruit splitting. The crop in California appears to be in very good condition;
most Navel trees have recovered from the freeze last year, The Valencia bloom was excellent.

In Texas, trees recovered remarkably well following last winter's freeze. Fruit set was
varied depending upon severity of damage from the freeze but fruit has sized well. Considerable
pruning was necessary to remove dead linbs.

te oe etek ee: Hk ei to Helo fei t eke
* No forecast of orange production will be made in November. The next orange forecast will be *
* made as of December 1 and released at 3 p.m. December 11, 1979. *
oererrworccres ss ees reer HEITOR IT II AI II toe ae *

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The Florida all orange juice yield for 1979-80 is pro-
jected at 1.30 gallons of 45 degree brix concentrate per
box. The yield from the 1978-79 crop was 1.34 gallons per box.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects for the 1979-80 season (excluding California's “other areas”) point to a
~ 63.7 million box crop (2.38 million metric tons), 1 percent less than last season
and 10 percent less than the 1977-78 crop. California “other areas” grapefruit production, which

wil) be forecast as of December 1, was 2.50 million boxes last season.

Florida's grapefruit crop forecast at 51.0 million boxes is 2 percent more than least
season's crop. The Texas crop at 6.50 million boxes is 28 percent below the 1978-79 crop. Ariz-
ona growers expect to harvest 2.70 million boxes, 20 percent mare than last season. The Calif-
ornia Desert crop is forecast at 3.50 million boxes, 7 percent above the 1978-79 crop. Limited
harvest has begun in all States.

LEMONS: The Arizona-California lemon crop is forecast at 18.3 million boxes (630 thousand met-

ric tons), 6 percent less than last season and 30 percent less than the 1977-78 crop.
In Arizona, the crop is expected to total 3.30 million boxes, 40 percent less than last year.
The crop in California 4s forecast at 15.0 million boxes or 8 percent more than the 1978-79 crop.
Harvest volume is increasing in Arizona where sizes are somewhat smaller than normal. Lemon
quality is good in central California where weather conditions have been favorable. Last win-
ter's freezes and the June heat wave were detrimental to the crop in southern California. Pick-
ing activity is light in the California desert because of light set and oi] spotting caused by
high humidity.

TANGELOS: The Florida tangelo crop, excluding K-Early citrus fruit, is forecast at 5,00 million
boxes (204 thousand metric tons), 19 percent above last season's crop and 2 percent
more than was harvested in 1977-78.

TANGERINES: The tangerine crop is forecast at 6.40 million boxes (256 thousand metric tons), 19
percent more than last season. The Florida forecast of 4.10 million boxes 4s for
that portion of the crop expected to reach a size of 210 fruit per 4/5 bushel carton by Decem-
ber YM {an estimate for the utilized crop will be shown in the February 1980 Crop Production
release,

California's prospects are for a tangerine crop of 1.70 million boxes, 17 percent above last
season. There are no reports of disease and quality is good. Arizona growers expect to pick 600
thousand boxes, 33 percent more than was harvested last season.

TEMPLES: Florida temples are forecast at 5.40 million boxes (220 thousand metric tons), 15 per-
cent above last season.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1979 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA