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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979





CITRUS FRUIT Vv

' PRODUCTION ' PRODUCTION
CROP! Bees anette
AND! t UTILIZED TINDECATEOL OUILIZEG, MINDICATED:
STATE. 11977-78 1 1976-79 * 1979-80 t 1977-78 ! 1978-79 3 1979-80
+ 1¥000 UNITS 27 1,000 UNITS
ORANGESEARL MID. & NAVEL! 3/ 4/
ARIZ + 820 700 700 2 26 26
CALIF 4 200000 = 208800 = 264000 750 780 975'
PLA 1 882300 = 932000 = 1359000 39974. 49095 50175
TEX + 39850 49300 29600 164 183 qn
us # 1120970 1169800 1449300 4929 51084 69287
ORANGES» VALENCIA 4/ ’
ARIZ 1 2,800 22200 24600 105 cx} 98
CALIF: 1 229600 16,400 234000 848 615 863
FLA $ 799500 739000 54000 30578 39285 30825'
TEX 3 29250 29100 20400 98 89 60
us { 1079150 9349700 = 1224000 43627 49072 44846
ALL ORANGES: 4/ 1
ARIZ t 39620 24900 39300 136 109 124
CALIF ¥ 420600 «= 370200 ©4900 19598. 19395° 29838
Fla 1 1679800 1660000 = 2009000 79552 79380 99000
TEX 1 64100 64400 4000 260 272 171
us 4 2209120 2209500 2564300 99566 90156 = 110133
TEMPLES t
FLA 4/  — &s900 44700 5»600 221 212 243
GRAPEFRUIT SWHETE! SEEOLESS.
FLA 47 § 280700 = 299400 = 300000 19220 10250 10275"
GRAPEFRUTT» PINK SEEOLESS. +
FLA G7. #169300 139300 149000 608 565 595'
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT 4
Fua 4/1 Bs400 75300 79000 357 310 298
ALL GRAPEFRUIT 1
ARIZ 4 39000 20250 29500 96 72 80
CALIF! By
oesertTM t 49200 30270 39500 136: 105 12"
OTHER AREMS: + 9160 21500 139 84
ToTau’ 1 89360 59770 273 189
FLA 4/1 512400 509000 = 510000 20185 20125 25168
TER + 420900 99000 69500 476 360 260
us t 741660 673020 34030 29746
TANGERINES. '
ARIZ ' 600 450 600 23 17 23
CALIF ) 19400 10450 19700 53 56 64.
Fua aft 39200 39500 4100 182 166 195:
us. ' 59200 59400 64400 228 237 282"
LEMONS. t
ARIZ + 59800 59500 39300 220 209 12s"
CALIF $ 209300 = 139900 169500 77) $28 627
us. t 269100 =: 1949400 195800 991 137 752
TANGELOS: ’
FLA aft 49900 4200 5000 221 189 225:

1/. THE! CROPI YEAR’ BEGINS: WITH: THE: BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN: AND: ENOS WITH YEAR! HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/. NET LBS PER! BOXS ORANGESRCALIF & ARIZ@=75eFLA=90¢
TEX=G53 GRAPEPRUIT@CALTF! DESERT & ARIZ=649 CALIF:
OTHER=675 FLAG TEXR60$ LEMONS=76$ TANGELOS &
TEMPLES~90$ TANGERINES* CALOF & ARIZ©75— PLAS9S.

3/. NAVEL! ANDi MISCELLANEOUS: VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZON&e EARLY AND MIOSEASON: VARIETIES IN FLORIDA. AND
eae INCLUDING SMALLI QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES. IN

Ass

4/. EBTIMATEG: FOR! CURRENT YEAR: CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLGER. FORECAST,

37. THE PIRST FORECAST FOR! CALIF: GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS"
WILL) BE! AS: OF! DEC 2.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts is this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about November 1.
Some adjustments have been made in harvested acreages published previously. The yield surveys included
mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, cotton, potatoes and cranberries. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and
probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys
Provided smal] plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are
subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the
forecasts are subject to change due to weather during the remainder of the season and other factors that
directly affect final production but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the "Root
Mean Square Error", a statistica) measure based on past performance, is shown below for selected crops.
This is computed by expressing the deviations between the November 1] production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1959-78 twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square
Error", Probability statements can be made concerning expected errors in the current forecasts relative
to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecasts are not
different from those influencing recent years’ forecasts.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error” for the November 1 corn for grain forecast is 2.3 percent.
This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7586 million bushels will
not be above or below the fina) estimate by more than 2.3 percent or approximately 174 million bushels,
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference wil] not exceed 4.0 percent or
approximately 303 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year (1969-78) record for selected crops of the differences between the
November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 7
forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 113 million bushels, ranging from 7
million to 243 million bushels. During this 10-year period the November 1 forecast has been below the
final estimate 9 times and above | time.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

ROOT WEAW 7 TEW YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETHEEN
SQUARE ERROR : FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
caer te + 90% CONFIDENCE "QUANTITY 7 NUMBER OF YEAR:
PERCENT {BERCENT QUANTITY: AVERAGE | SMALLEST | LARGEST ! Frnat PINAL
: MILLION : MILLION MELLON MILUTON

FEED GRAINS 1 wT > 18 30 ? 3 0 6 8 2
CORN FOR RAT BU 2:3 4.0 303 n3 7 203 9 1
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU : 45 7:8 64 31 n 94 3 7
RICE cuT : 19 33 5 : 2 0 4 6 4
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU > 26 4B ls 8 2 80 5 5
COTTON BALES 2/: 3.8 6.6 960 360 40 733 2 8
FALL POTATOES Wr: 9B 10 5 1 9 10 0

17 CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
i] QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



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B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979


CORN CROPPING PRACTICES
PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE ROW WIDTHS

The Statistics Unit of ESCS collects objective information on corn development
during the production forecast period. Counts and measurements are made by trained
enumerators during visits to random plots in a scientific sampling of fields in States
which accounted for 95 percent of the 1979 corn production. Information in the follow-
ing tables represents sample data and averages from these counts about October 1. The
data, which are subject to some sampling fluctuation, are not official Crop Reporting
Board estimates but do show trends in corn cropping practices over a period of years.

The trend in plant population per acre continued upward in 1979. Fifteen States
showed increases, and three declined. Average row widths tended to decrease slightly
with 9 States showing decreases, three States showing no change and 6 States showing
‘increases.

CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE, SELECTED STATES, 1975-79 1/

STATE : 1975 1976 : 1977 : 1978 : 1979
NUMBER OF PLANTS

COLO : 20, 500 21,400 22,900 23,300 23,800
GA : 11,500 12,900 14,100 14,100 14,400
TLL : 18,400 20,100 20,100 19,600 20,600
IND : 18,000 19,500 19,100 19,300 20,000
IOWA : 18, 500 18, 800 18,800 19,800 20,300
KANS : 17,500 18, 700 20,800 20,600 20,800
KY : 15,000 16,100 15,800 17,000 16,800
MICH : 17,300 16,200 18, 300 18,600 19,000
MINN : 18, 200 18,000 19,100 20,000 20,200
MO : 14,500 14,500 15,600 35,100 15,400
NEBR : 15,400 16,700 37,600 19,000 18,400
NC : 15, 200 17,000 17,900 17,300 18,300
OHIO : 18,200 18, 600 20,200 19,900 20,700
PA : 16,500 17,300 18,000 18,500 18,600
S DAK : 12,800 12,600 17,700 13, 300 13,700
TEX : NA 20,700 20,600 20,100 20,600
VA : 16,400 47,500 17,800 16,700 18,200
WIS : 17,900 18,200 19,700 20,100 19,600

T7 BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBUECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



CRANBERRIES

STATE t PRODUCTION
1 TOTAL, , IND
L 1977 n 1978 A 1979
t T,000 BARRELS:
1
MASS ' 87520 19180.0 1008060
NJ , 15740 22340 24060
OREG + 8002 94.5 9900
waSH , 13600 139.0 147,40
wis ' 854.60 822.0 910.0
vs 1 2410202 29458.5 29476.0
PRUNES:
STATE t PRODUCTION
f) TOTaL ' TOTAL IND
% 1977 t 1976 ‘ 1979
' TONS
CALIF (DRIED BASIS) 1 1595000 131.000 1341000
FILAERTS
STATE t PRODUCTION
t TOTAL t TOTAL ‘ INO
4 1977. Ly 1978 t 1979
‘ TONS
‘
OREG ' 119400 135700 119200
WASH et 350 350 300
us + 115750 145050 144500
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST.
PAPAYAS ~ HAWAIT
HoNT AREA : UTILIZED PRODUCTION
IONTH . ~
z ‘AL_IN CR Vi D : ECAS
2 1978 979 878 979: 1978 i 1979 1979-80
: T, 000 POUNDS
SEP : 3,190 3, 245 2,145 2,245 6,083 2,800
OcT + 3,250 2,980 2,205 1,960 6,825 3,900
NOV 2: 3,215 2,135 5,312 3,900
DEC 3,275 2,145 4,048 3,350
JAN 3,195 2,216 3,670 3,100
FEB 3,176 2,310 2,380 2,200
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION JAN-OCT 54,640 29,530
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B~9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



COTTON

CROP AREA HARVESTED t YIELD 1 PRODUCTION 1/7

AND ’ t ? IND ? ¥ To 3 t IND

STATE 4 1977: 97e8 et 3979 t 1977 t 1978 t_ 1979 ¢ 1977 4 1978 t 1979

7 19000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 BALES 27

COTTON» UPLAND

ALA 7 39500 31560 32560 337 463 473 27760 291460 320.0
ARIZ t $1500 538.0 61560 997 95314015 14070,0 = 19068.0 1430040
ARK ' 930.0 76000 60060 534 417 $28 1403540 66040 660.0
CALIF ot 1939 1945520 1963540 964 640 956 2479040 1996040 3625060
FLA 341 3.0 425 506 S12 SoG 368 302
Ga ' 14040 232 463 480 8240 121.0 140.0
Ky 348 +0 420 9 9 7 20 20
wy ' 46560 583 450 630 65640 678.0 61040
MISS ' 19030,0 sal sis 620 1964550 91837860 ©=—-16330,0
MO ' 14060 437 496 480 235.0 2188.0 140.0
NEV 3/8 202 598 S42 560 1.6 1.5 lea
NMEX 1 130.0 603 443 425 161.0 101.0 115.0
NC 1 46.0 305 515 502 53.0 4500 48.0
OKLA t 580.0 402 aga 430 43660 35560 520.0
sc ' 108.0 342 562 511 109.0 11520 115.0
TENN ’ 230,09 407 490 376 255.0 23540 18060
TEX ' 6990060 407 296 397 59665.0 3979240 © 5070020
va 348 . 3 194 480 480 3 al 3
us 413020069 12429460 1299468.5 519 420 535 149277.0 10762e4 14943209
COTTONy AMER@PIMA

ARIZ ' 42.3 3402 4208 738 754 740 650 53,7 $600
CALIF 3/3 3 al al 269 480 480 2 ol al
N MEX 3 903 1367 1660 621 454 390 12.0 1360 1300
TEX ’ 22.5 28.0 30.0 I? 456 512 35.0 26.6 32.0
us : THe 7600 88.9 726 590 600 12.2 930% W126
COTTON, ALL
ALA + 39560 31560 325.0 337 443 473 27760 291.0 320.9
ARIZ 1 557.3 57202 65768 978 941 997 1013540 Lel21e7 1036640
ARK t 76000 60060 534 aT 528 140350 660-0
CALIF 3 1965501 1963501 963 640 954 2979062 3025001
Fla 3s t 366 425 507 512 564 302
GA 1 115.0 232 463 480 82.0 140.0
KY 3/3 00 420 0 +7
La ’ 510.0 583 450 630 65600 62000
MISS ’ Lel50.0 sal S75 620 1564540 1933000
MO ‘ 182.0 437 496 480 235.0 140.0
NEV 3/ 5 143 591 55a 560 166 Led
NMEX 5 122.7 605 466 a1 173.0 128.0
nc ' 42.0 307 514 Sol 53.0 48.0
OKLA ' 585.0 402 291 430 436.0 520.0
sc : 98.0 342 563 521 10940 125.0
TENN 1 230.0 498 490 376 255.0 180.0
TEX 1 6947265 622840 408 296 397 5450040 5973200
va 3/8 +7 ol 3 206 480 480 ° el 3
us $ 139275e3 12037060 13903746 S20 421 535 24938962 10085528 14954460

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO
2/ 480=.B. NET WEIGHT BALES.

BE: GINNED.

3 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979

8-4

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at 4.03 billion pounds (1,83 million metric tans) net

weight, down 1 percent from the October 1 forecast but still a record high. This com-
pares with the previous record of 3.99 billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) produced last
year. The expected yield of 2643 pounds per acre is down 39 pounds from Tast month but 4 pounds
above last year. Acres for harvest, at 1.52 million acres (617 thousand hectares}, remain un-
changed from last month.

Southeastern production is expected to total 2.56 billion pounds, 1 percent more than Jast .
year. The average yield of 3135 pounds per acre compares with 3099 pounds Jast year. Harvest in
Georgia is now virtually complete. Loss from the heavy September rains was greater than had been
expected earlier. In Florida, harvest progressed at a record pace during October and is expected
to wind up in early November, Harvesting losses have been heavier than norma) because of the wet
September.

The Virginia-North Carolina area is expecting a 687 million pound crop, down 13 percent from
last year caused entirely by lower yields. Harvest in North Carolina got underway in early
October, several days Tater than usua? because of the wet September and lateness of the crop, By
November 1, digging was about 90 percent complete. Virginia's harvest which got underway in late
September was interrupted by a light freeze in late October, but the crop should be out of fields
by early November. Actual yields realized are down from earlier expectations because of adverse

weather conditions.

Production in the Southwest area is expected to total 779 million pounds, up 17 percent from
Jast year's crop. Acreage for harvest is up 3 percent from last year. Indicated yield at 1776
pounds per acre is up 207 pounds from a year earlier. Harvest was approaching completion in
Texas with about 94 percent harvested by November 1. In Oklahoma, harvest was proceeding normally
with about 60 percent of the crop dug.

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 14.5 million bales (480 pound net weight), up | per-~

cent from the October 1 forecast and 34 percent more than last year's crop. The Upland
crop is forecast at 14.4 million bales and American-Pima production is expected to be 14] thousand
bales. Cottonseed production, based on a three year average lint-seed ratio, is forecast at 5.67
million tons (5.14 million metric tons), 33 percent above 1978.

Upland cotton acreage for harvest is estimated at 12,9 million acres (5.24 million hectares)
and American-Pima at 88.9 thousand acres (36.0 thousand hectares).

Texas and Okiahoma growers expect to harvest 6.22 million bales, up 2 percent from the
October 1 forecast and 50 percent more than in 1978. In Texas, harvest gained momentum throughout
the Low Plains and Trans-Pecos. Most areas of the High Plains received freezing temperatures on
November 2 sufficient to defoliate plants. Harvest was about one-third complete in Texas and about
10 percent complete in Oklahoma by November 1.

Production in the Delta States--Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Mississippi and Tennessee--is
forecast at 2.92 million bales, up 4 percent from Jast month but 1 percent below last year. Har-
vest gained momentum after mid-October and was near peak activity when interrupted by rains during
the last week of the month. About one-half of the cotton had been picked in the Delta by
November ) compared with almost 90 percent on the same date last year.

In the Southeastern States--Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina--growers ex-
pect to harvest 623 thousand bales, the same as last month's forecast and 11 percent above 1978.
Harvest progress is about one week behind last year but near normal for this date.

The Arizona, California and New Mexico Upland crop is forecast at 4.67 million bales, down
ess than 1 percent from last month but 50 percent above last year. Reduced acreage for harvest
in California was offset by improved yield prospects. Freeze damage to immature cotton reduced
production prospects in New Mexico. High October temperatures in California and Arizona matured
the crop and harvest is well ahead of last year's pace. By November 1, over half of the cotton
was harvested in the two States.

The Bureau of the Census reported 4,796,019 running bales ginned prior to November 1 com-
pared with 4,658,643 bales ginned to the same date in 1978 and 7,493,396 bales in 1977.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



SOYBEANS: DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES, OBJECTIVE YIELD STATES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1979 CROP 1/

4 LEADING VARIETIES BY PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED
state t ~ :
. FIRST ‘ SECOND . THIRD
RARE PERCENT TARE PERCENT 2 WARE PERCENT
ALA + BRAGG 19.6 RANSOM 16.9: CENTENNIAL 10.8
ARK FORREST 27.3 PICKETT 2/ 22.5 LEE 2/ 3/- BRAGG 3/ 12.0
GA BRAGG 60.3 DAVIS 8.5 : HUTTON 7.8
TLL WILLIAMS 35.9 ANSOY 2/ 8.9: CORSOY 5.8
IND : WILLIAMS 31:8 ANSOY 27 13.2: CALLAND. $19
TOWA CORSOY 19:9 WAYNE 8.9 WILLIAMS 712
KANS WILLIAMS 30.3 ESSEX 12.8 FORREST 10.1
KY : ESSEX 46.2 FORREST 13.6 0: MITCHELL 12.
LA BRAGG 21.7 DAVIS 20.7: FORREST 15.2
MINN + CORSOY 40.7 HODGSON 20.3: EVANS 3.9
MISS + BRAGG 23.4 FORREST 16.9 CENTENNIAL 14.9
YO 2 WILLIAMS 50.0 FORREST 11.2 MACK 72
NEBR 2 WILLIAMS 21:9: AMSOY 2/ 13:3 WAYNE 7.8
NC : FORREST 26:4 RANSOM” 25.0 : BRAGG 22.3
OHIO : WILLIAMS 28.2: CALLAND 12,6 —: AGRIPRO ER
$C : BRAGG 40.4 RANSOM 20:5 COKER 2/ 14.4
TENN 2 FORREST 34.1 ESSEX 22.8 BEDFORD 16.8
2/ INCLUDES VARIETIES WITH ADDITIONAL NUMERICAL DESIGNATIONS SUCH AS AMSOY "71", PICKETT "71", ETC.
3/ TIED FOR THIRO PLACE.
MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGES DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1977-79 1/
STATE > NUMBER ROW WIDTH GROUPS (INCHES) * AVERAGE
AND OF OE WOT 27
YEAR; SAMPLES Less 2/ : 18.5: 28.5; 3415: GREATER_: (INCHES)
: PERCENT OF PLOTS
ARK 1977: 180 5.3 1.0 3 23.3 70.4 36.5
1978 : 143 4.3 3 1.0 21.3 73.1 36.3
1979: 139 12.9 0 7 23.7 62.7 36.1
TLL 1977: 163 2.5 1.5 44.2 46.6 32.9
1978: = 166 2.4 6 44.9 47.6 33.5
1979: 164 5.2 1.2 48.5 39.6 37
IND 1977: 108 1.9 3.7 6.9 46.3 41.2 32.2
1978: = «112 5.4 212 5.8 42:0 44.6 3214
1979: 105 3.3 ‘5 6.7 47.6 41:9 32.8
Towa 1977: 155 1.0 2.5 2.3 34.2 60.0 34.7
1978: 141 7 mW 78 ay 49.3 33.5
1979: 145 7 7 4.2 42.6 51.8 34.4
MINN 1977: 93 5 2.7 3.8 42.5 50.5 33.4
1978 : 86 41 2.3 6.4 47.1 40.1 32.5
1979 : 89 7.9 nN? 7:9 471 35.4 31:3
MISS 1977; 124 12.1 0 2.4 8.5 77.0 37.3
7a: 121 M5 8 0 Wz 73:5 371
1979: 124 10:1 28 4.0 19.8 63.3 35.4
vo 1977; 139 2.9 7 2.2 38.5 55.7 34.5
1978: 134 3.8 v7 3.0 45.1 47.4 33.8
1979; 138 5.1 1.8 3.6 43.1 46.4 32.5
OHIO. = 1977: ~——103 22.3 10.2 7.8 38.8 20.9 26.6
1978: 104 22.6 17 8.7 4103 19.7 26.1
1979: «14 28.1 14.0 1:8 307 18.4 23.6

17 BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES. 1977 AND 1978 RESUMMARI ZED.

2/ BROADCAST SOYBEANS INCLUDED AS 10.0 INCHES AND LESS BUT EXCLUDED IN COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE WIDTH.
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Early in October, rain was generally confined to the eastern United States. The already too
wet mid-Atlantic States and eastern New England continued to accumulate surplus moisture. 8y the
end of October, nearly twice the norma? amount of rain had fallen.

At mid-month, rain or snow in some amount fel? nearly everywhere in the West. Well~above-
normal amounts were recorded in al? but the Southwest. Near the end of the month, a severe storm
brought blizzard conditions to the western Plains and heavy rain to the eastern Plains. Goodland,
Kansas, measured a record 17,6 inches of snow during October,

bh eierase temperatures for the month were above normal in the West and colder than normal in
the East.

Rainfall was confined to the area from the eastern Plains to the East Coast in the first
week of October. The area of heaviest rain extended from the New Engtand Coast into central yir-
ginia where more than two inches were recorded. Moderate rain fell in the Great Lakes area and
from the central Mississippi Delta through South Carolina. Average temperatures for the week
were very warm in the West and generally cool in the East except for New England.

Rainfall was generally sparse over the Nation for the week of October 8-14 except in West
Virginia, Virginia, and Maryland. A freak snowstorm hit the western portion of this area and de-
posited as much as a foot of snow in some parts. Trees in full foliage toppled under the unusual
weight. Temperatures warmed west of the Rockies and gat colder in the East. The freeze line
plunged as far south as Tennessee in the Mississippi River Valley. Average temperatures for the
week ranged from 9 to 12 degrees colder than normal in the upper Mississippi Valley.

Rains began in the West during the week of October 15-21, Heavy amounts accumulated in the
coastal areas of the Pacific Northwest, and lesser amounts fell throughout the entire West. Snow
fel) on the higher elevations. E)sewhere, moderate to heavy rain fe)) from north central Texas
to the western Lakes area. The winter grain area in the central Plains got some much-needed rain,
but the western portion needed more. Average temperatures for the week were near normal in most
of the West but well above normal in the East.

Rain continued in the Northwest during the week of October 22-28. The coastal area from
northern California through Washington recorded heavy amounts. The Southwest, most of the
Rockies, and the western Plains had little or no precipitation, A series of low pressure centers
deepened in the western Great Lakes area and moved northeastward. Lines of weather from the low
centers southward brought rain to most of the East. Heavy snow blanketed northern Michigan, One
to two inches of rain fel) in Iowa, and severe weather--with several tornadoes-~-moved through the
lower Mississippi Valley. Cold air moved into the East and temperatures plunged. Average tem-
peratures for the week in parts of the Midwest were about 6 degrees colder than normal.

During the last few days of the month, a severe autumn storm formed in the southern Rockies
and moved northeastward and eastward. Blizzard conditions ensued throughout the western Plains.
Heavy snow and winds to 60 mph stressed livestock in the southwestern Plains. Heavy rain through-
out the winter grain area brought soil moisture levels up. Cold weather moved in behind the
storm and some record cold temperatures were noted.

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

Almost no precipitation fell on the Great Plains during the early part of the planting season
for the 1980 crop, creating dry topsoil conditions. Light rainfall brought some relief to seed-
ings on the Northern Plains just before mid-October--about the time growers finished planting
winter wheat jn the area.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
: NOVEMBER 1, 1979

“IRR
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS,

UsDA NEG. ESCS 186-79(11)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
é November 1, 1978

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
HOITIONS.

USDA NEG. ESCS 3170-78111)

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL: GROUP | AREA MARVESTED 1 YIELD f PRODUCTION
AND t T re v T ToT T Two
STATEL {1977 | 1978 __|_3979 4 1977 | 1978 | 1979 | 1977 |} J978 1 1979
' T9000 ACRES CHT 26000 CWT
WINTER 1
4
TOTAL: ul 13.6 12.9 1169 199 203-200 2660 9 2s621 029383
SPRING '
'
TOTAL! wi 9166 9009 8964 250 198 256 220870 1746963 234060
§
SUMMER 4
'
TOTAL Wi 1502 11d 107.7 91 189 206 210982 219167 «= 220167
1
FALL '
CALIF: 1 1763 17.2 350 «350360 59950 64055 69192
cOLo 1 41.0 39.5 260 275 290 229275120455
CONN: ' 19 109 268 230 230 437 437
TOAHOm10 SW CO | 32.0 30.0 300 «3250325 105400 99750
sOTHER CO 1 333.0 300.0 240 270 260 899910 784000
IND 4 3.9 4.2 260 240 ess 936 10071
MAINE! ' 118.0 11540 2460-220, 250 28320 254980 9-284 750
waSS t 3.6 365 240 225 «= 230 388 alo 805
MICH ' 3400 32.0 «2750250 280 8800 = 84500 ©8000
MINN ' 7100 68.60 180 «210 195129960) 144910 © 139260
MONT t 8.7 6.9 260 © 240240 20016 = 240881858
NEBR ) Te2 6.0 260 250 250 19440 146800 19500
NEW ' 1740 15,0 340 320-330 8176059440 45950
NH 2/ | 235
N YeuDNG IS t 23.3 22.8 315 265 295 675 69632
ouPSTATE | 2500 23.5 260 260 275 $9500 64463
N DAK ' 128.0 115.0 160175160 225400 184400
OHIO { 1063 10.0 265 215 = aw 26215 = 29400
OREG*MALHEUR CO | 1068 13,9 358 350 370 30780 4810
eOTHER CO 1 5608 51.0 440 «= 435 20 240708 219420
PA t 25. 24,0 250 250 255 $250 64120
RL ' el 4.0 230 240230 984 920
S_DAK l 700 Se? 180 ©1170-1770 1+190 969
uta t 408 5.2 240 82465 = 250 ¥el27 1300
vt i +8 +7 23500220210 176 147
WASH \ 10940 = 10060 460 465475, 500685 476500
WIS ‘ 5500 54,5 325 315 310 176325 160895
wo 1 608 $2 220 215 220 19676 04621 OH
1
TOTAL (1913867 Ls155el 190728 270 280-280 «3074064 3234498 3004745
!
vs 11035807 1937008 29281.8 261 266 272 -35KsS7H 365,269 348, 335

14 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
27 ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

FALL POTATOES - PERCENT HARVESTED TO NOVEMBER 1, 1979

HARVESTED : HARVESTED
STATE TO NOV 1 STATE : TO Nov 1
PERCENT PERCENT
CALIF 65 N DAK 190
coLo 100 oHrO 95
conn 100 OREG 95
TDAHO 100 PA 95
IND 100 RI : 100
MAINE 100 S_DAK 95
MASS 100 UTAH 100
wich 100 vt too
MINN 100 WASH 95
MONT 95 Wis 100
NEBR 85 wo. 100
NEV 100
NY = LONG ISLAND 100 :
> UPSTATE 95 AVERAGE : 98

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B~5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



SOYBEANS: Soybean production is forecast at a record 2.24 billion bushels (60.9 million metric
tons), up 1 percent from last month's forecast, and 20 percent above the previous record

high set in 1978. Yield per acre is indicated at a record high 31.8 bushels, 2.3 bushels more than
last year.

Compared with a month ago, yield prospects decreased by | bushel in Onio and Minnesota but
jpereased by T bushel in Missour7. Other States in the North Central area remained unchanged from
ast month. |

In the South Central region, yield prospects increased 2 bushels from last month in Mississippi
and Alabama; 7 bushel in Louisiana, Arkansas and Tennessee; and remained unchanged in Texas and
Kentucky.

As of November 4, harvest in the east north central States was 92 percent complete, the same
as average and only 1 point less than last year. In the west north central States, harvest had
reached 93 percent complete, the same as last year but 6 points ahead of average. Harvest progress
in south central States stood at 62 percent, 15 points less than last year but 3 points ahead of
average.

CORN AND SOYBEAN YIELD PER ACRE
BUSHELS U.S. 19548-1979

LN

RICE: Production of rice is forecast at a record high 140 million hundredweight (6.33 million
metric tons), 4 percent greater than Jast year and ) percent more than Jast month's fore-
cast. The increase from last year results from more acres harvested and larger yields.

Nationally, yields are expected to average 4626 pounds per acre, 133 pounds more than last
year. Yield expectation in California is at a record high 6300 pounds per acre, exceeding the
previous record set in 1977 by almost 500 pounds. Louisiana growers expect slightly better
yields while Arkansas yield expectations declined from last month,

Arkansas growers were nearing completion of harvest by November 7. October weather provided
excellent harvesting conditions during most of the month but rains the last week delayed com-
pletion, California rice harvest was active during October and was about 85 percent complete
by November 1, slightly behind last year. Rice yields have been excellent in the Sacramento
Valley and fair to good in the San Joaquin Valley. Unharvested rice is starting to lodge.
Second cutting in Texas is wel} underway but acres harvested and yields of second crop rice
are lagging previous years.

CROP PROOUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PASTURE ANO RANGE FEEO CONDITION 1/7

STATE § AVERAGE + 1978 3 1979 ty STATE ¢ AVERAGE: # 1978 § 1979

$ 1966977 1 1‘ trot 1 1968-77 ft t

' t t t 1

+ PERCENT PERCENT
ALA 6 7 $4 3 90 85
ARIZ , 76 66 ' 73 9%
ARK $77 62 : 78 86
cALUF $= 70 85 ' 70 19
COLO 4 73 57 t 65 86
CONN: 1 83 85 ' 68 87
DEL #79 77 ' 83 54
Fla ‘ 78 70 ' 65 92
GA ' 70 39 ' 4S. 68
IDAHO ¢ 83 86 t oT 86
Tht $ 83 7 1 83 a
TMND , 87 83 , 90 98
1QwA of BL 84 1 4? 82
KANS ' 78 61 72 tt S$ OAK of 68 82 Bid
ay ' 88 84 92 te TENN t él 65 68
ua $ Th 67 16 ty TEX : 16 55 67
MAINE $ 82 61 a9 tt UTAH 8 7 70 69

' aa 70 65 weoovT ' 62 78 80
MASS ’ 83 8s 83 anova ' 82 7 96
MICH $ © B82 87 82 tt WASH of 79 88 17
MINN 5 (72 88 88 thoWva 8 aL 82 a
MISS 7% 53 2 tt WIS ' 6 90 8)
40 $s BL 71 69 at WYO : 8) a9 ”
MONT § 80 96 68 at t
NEBR ot 73 1% 74 tr ous t 78 7

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER § POOR TO FAIR 65=791 VERY POOR» S664) SEVERE
OROUGHTs 35-494 EXTREME OROUGHT» UNDER 35.

WHEAT PASTURE: About 6 percent of the winter wheat seeded in the three-State area of Kansas,
Oklahoma, and Texas had sufficfent growth to support grazing on Novenber 1.

This is about J percentage point less than last year. However, less than } percent of the

acreage was being grazed compared with 1.8 percent last year. “The wheat forage supply

rated mostly poor. It is estimated that 8.2 acres of wheat pasture are needed to carry a

400 pound calf, slightly more than last year.

KANSAS (WESTERN): About 90 percent of the intended fall sown wheat had been planted by

November 1, lagging behind Tast year and average. Growers estimate
5 percent of the acreage would support livestock grazing, up 4 points from last year.
Less than 0.5 percent of the acreage was being grazed as few emerged stands have rooted
down enough to provide pasture. Prospects may improve as rain and snow covered the en-
tire State toward the end of October.

OKLAHOMA (WESTERN): Farmers had planted about 90 percent of the 1980 crop winter wheat

by Novenber 1, 5 points less than last year and average as dry soils
plagued planting progress, Only 4 percent of the acreage had enough growth for grazing
this fall compared with 6 percent last year. Less than 0.5 percent was being grazed as
early plantings still lack adequate root development. forage supplies rated poor and more
rainfall] is needed to improve conditions.

TEXAS (PANHANDLE AND LOW PLAINS): About 80 percent of the wheat had been sown by November 1,

10 points behind last year at this time. Al? areas need
rain for the crop to emerge and to promote growth. Only 11 percent of the acreage would
support grazing, down 12 points from last year but more in line with two years ago. Growers
estimate 4 percent of the acreage is being grazed white 7 percent was grazed last year.
Irrigated fields should be available for grazing in the near future.

AVAILABLE WHEAT PASTURE - NOVEMBER 1, 1978-79

T PERCENT OF SEEDED WHEAT = THERES OF WHEAT PASTURE
STATE {WITH SUFFICIENT GrowTH ; PERCENT OF SEEDED WHEAT : “REQUIRED TO CARRY A
: TO_PASTURE : 400 Pound CALF
To se 1978
5 CENT PERCENT RCRES
WESTERN KANSAS) 5 * * 9 9
WESTERN OKLAHOMA : 6 4 1 * 8 8
TEXAS PANHANDLE =: 23 u 7 4 6 a
AVERAGE FOR WHEAT :
PASTURE REGION 7 6.0 18 0.9 a. 8.2

¥ TESS THAN 0-5 PERCENT,
‘Vs REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B-1) CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



CROP PRODUCTION

Released: November 9, 1979 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN production is forecast at a record high 7.59 billion bushels (193 million
metric tons), 3 percent above the October 1 forecast and 7 percent more
than the previous record set last year. The 90 percent confidence inter-
val for the 1979 production forecast is from 7.28 to 7.89 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 825 million bushels (21.0 million metric

tons), up 1 percent from last month's forecast, and 10 percent more than
the 1978 crop.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley combined) is forecast at
a record high 229 million metric tons, 5 percent more than a year ago.

SOYBEAN production, forecast at a record 2.24 billion bushels (60.9 million
metric tons), is up 1 percent from a month ago and 20 percent above the 1978
crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for the 1979 production forecast
is 2.14 to 2.34 billion bushels,

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 14.5 million bales, 34 percent above 1978,
an percent above the October 1 forecast. The 90 percent confidence in-
terval for this production forecast is 13.6 to 15.5 million bales.

OILSEED production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts, flaxseed, and sunflower) is
forecast at 71.6 million metric tons, up 22 percent from last year.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.61 billion pounds (731 thousand metric
tons), 20 percent below 1978 and the lowest production since 1943. Flue-

cured production is down 23 percent and burley down 18 percent from last
year.

FALL POTATO production is forecast at 301 million cwt. (13.6 million metric tons),
-,7 percent less than the record high 1978 crop.

SUGAR CROPS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 22.0 million tons (20.0 million

metric tons), 14 percent less than last year. Sugarcane production
is expected to total 27.4 million tons (24.9 million metric tons), 6 percent
above the 1978 output.

CrPr 2-2 (11-79) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


TOBACCO: The Nation's smallest tobacco crop since 1943 is forecast at 1.61 billion pounds (731

thousand metric tons), down 20 percent from the 1978 crop and down 4 percent from the
October 1 forecast. Flue-cured production is down 23 percent and burley production is down 18
percent from last year. Yield per acre for all tobacco is forecast at 1914 pounds compared with
2135 pounds in 1978.

Flue-cured output is estimated at 950 million pounds (431 thousand metric tons), 23 percent less
than 15978. Less acreage and lower ytelds account for the decrease in production. Yield per acre
this year is forecast at 1886 pounds compared with 2090 pounds a year earlier. Markets have
closed in all States but Virginia. A final cleanup sale will be held in North Carolina,

Fire-cured tobacco is expected to tota? 45.2 million pounds (20.5 thousand metric tons), 22 per-
cent Tess than a year earlier. Acreage and yields are both below those of 1978,

Burley production is forecast at 516 million pounds (234 thousand metric tons), down 2 percent
rom October 1 and 18 percent below the 1978 crop, Stripping is underway in al] States and about
one-fourth complete in Kentucky. Markets are scheduled to open November 19.

Southern Maryland output is forecast at 26.4 million pounds (12.0 thousand metric tons), down 14
percent from Tast year,

Dark-air cured prospects indicate a 17.8 million pound crop (8060 metric tons), 23 percent less
an the crop.

All_cigar-type production is forecast at 54.9 million pounds (24.9 thousand metric tons), down
fractionally from last year. Production of cigar~filler types is down 17 percent but production
of cigar-binder types is up 18 percent and cigar-wrapper types are up 9 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Production is forecast at 22.0 million tons (20.0 million metric tons), down |
percent from the October 1 forecast and 14 percent less than the 1978 crop. The
lower production compared with last year is the result of both fewer acres harvested and a
lower yield. Reductions in yield from October 1 were noted for Michigan, Minnesota and North
Dakota. California beet digging neared completion in the Sacramento Valley. Cultivation of
1980 crop sugarbeets is underway in the Imperial Valley of California. Some Idaho growers
stopped digging around mid-October waiting for cooler weather to raise sucrose content. Lift-
ing is complete in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota and nearing completion
‘in most other States. Cooler October weather increased sucrose content in many States.
Harvest weather has generally been good, although wet weather slowed harvest in the northwest.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.4 million tons (24.9

million metric tons), up 1 percent from the October 1 forecast and 6 percent more

than the 1978 production. Average yield per acre is estimated at 37.5 tons compared with 35.1
ns in :

Sugarcane Prospects in Florida continued to improve during October. Some acreage may be
Tost or yields reduced because of the collapse of a dam on October 37 and the flooding of an
area of Martin County. Actual losses of sugarcane in the Port Mayaca area may not be known for
several weeks. Hawaii had favorable weather for crop growth during October. Some mills were
gradually slowing down for the year end or closing for repairs. Louisiana's Planting progressed
well ahead of last year and was virtually completed by the end of October. Harvest began in
mid-October and by the month's end, 20 percent of the crop was cut. Harvest began in the Lower
Rio Grands Valley of Texas near mid-October and approximately 10 percent had been cut by

lovember 1.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: sre sondition of pasture and range feed on November } in the 48 contiguous
. ates averaged 77 percent. This is 4 points ab Novembs
1 point below the 1968-77 average for the date. points move Hovenber 1, 1978 but

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-V2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA



ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 19.8 million cwt, (899 thousand

metric tons), dawn fractionally from last month's forecast but 4 percent above
last year. Acreage for harvest at 1.38 million acres (560 thousand hectares) is 7 percent less
than last year. Average yield is estimated at 1432 pounds per acre compared with 1279 pounds
ast year.

Harvest of dry beans in California was active during October. Rains during the month
caused some damage to beans that had been windrowed but not yet combined. Harvest of small
whites and garbanzo beans along the Central Coast and large limas in Ventura County was nearing
completion. Blackeye and baby lima bean harvest was slow during the last part of October with
some damage resulting from the rains in the San Joaquin Valley. In Michigan, harvest is virtually
complete. Yields have been excellent. The bulk of Idaho's crop was combined under favorable
conditions in September and early October. This resulted in low clean-out and high quality beans.
Rains during the later part of October caught a few beans still in the fields and quality of these
beans isnot up to that of those harvested earlier. Growers in Colorado completed harvest by
mid-October with nearly ideal harvest weather. Production was good in most areas although
scattered white mold and blight damage were present in some fields.

POTATOES: The Nation's 1979 fall potato crop, at 301 million cwt {13.6 million metric tons),

is 7 percent less than last season's record crop. The yield, at 280 cwt per acre,
is unchanged from both a month ago and last year, The area for harvest is estimated at 1.07
million acres (434 thousand hectares), the same as for October 1 but 7 percent below the 1978
total.

Production in the seven Eastern States is forecast at 50.1 million cwt, a 1 percent in-
crease from a month ago and 6 percent above the 1978 crop. The yield is placed at 258 cwt per
acre compared with 254 cwt per acre forecast on October 1 and 234 cwt per acre last season.

Maine's crop is now expected to total 28.8 million cwt, up 2 percent from expectations
last month and 11 percent more than the 1978 ouput. Harvest of the Maine crop is now finished and
potatoes in storage are excellent quality. The Long Island crop in New York improved 2 percent
during October; harvest is near completion. The Upstate New York crop prospects declined 2
percent fram October } as a result of earlier heavy rains and water damage; digging is now in
the wrap-up stage. Although rains in Pennsylvania hindered field operations during October,
harvest is 95 percent complete. The wet weather has cauSed some increase in potato rot this
year.

The crop in the eight Central States is forecast at 62.5 million cwt, off 2 percent from a
month earlier and 10 percent below the record 1978 production. The average yield slipped to 212
cwt per acre compared with 215 cwt per acre on October 1 and the 219 cwt per acre average last
year.

The North Dakota crop is now forecast at 18.4 million cwt, 3 percent less than last month's
forecast and 18 percent below the large 1978 production. Harvest was completed ahead of
schedule despite dry soils and a mid-month freeze which damaged some fields. The Minnesota and
Wisconsin estimates are unchanged from a month ago. Harvest in all the Central States was
finished or nearing completion by month's end.

Production in the eight Western States is forecast at 188 million cwt, up slightly from
October 1 but still 9 percent beYow the record large 1978 crop. The average yield in the region,
at 323 cwt per acre, is up 1 cwt from last month but is 2 cwt less than last year's record yield.

The Idaho crop, at 87.8 million cwt, is unchanged from October 1 but 13 percent less than
last season. Despite a late start in some localities, digging made good headway during October
and was virtually wrapped up by the end of the month. Quality is average this year. The pro~
duction forecast in Oregon and Washington is also unchanged from a month ago. Harvest in both
States is about 95 percent complete and quality of this year's crop is rated average to good.
Yields in Oregon are off this year, but in Washington, have been running at a record high.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 AV CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA





INDEX

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .
CITRUS FRUIT ............
CORN CROPPING PRACTICES .
CORN FOR GRAIN .........005
CORN FOR GRAIN ROW WIDTH ..
COTTON .. ccc eee ee cece eeeees
CRANBERRIES ..
NUTS ......4-.
PAPAYAS ...cccceeceen cence eceecees
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION .....
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAP .
PEANUTS FOR NUTS .
POTATOES .......
PRUNES ...
RICE ..... eens

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN .

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS ......cceeceaceeeeneees
SOYBEANS, VARIETIES GROWN AND ROW SPACING
SUGARBEETS 2... cece ec cee cece eee e tee eeeeeee
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED
TOBACCO, BY STATES ..........
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE .
US SUMMARY ........e eee
WHEAT PASTURE ..

WINTER WHEAT MAP .

a
t ?
MWHWABDHDHAWNNOUNADH-OCwVwLDE

DOS ODMH

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



Producers on the Southern Plains delayed planting as long as possible and fell behind the
usual pace. Some growers planted in dry soils anticipating the rain that came at the end of
October, Heavy rains may have damaged some central Kansas wheat stands but overall, the moisture
proved beneficial. Dry soils also slowed seedings in the Pacific Northwest early in October but
Tate-month rains improved conditions. The late-arriving rains boosted monthly totals for the area
above normal except in some parts of Washington. Wet soils curbed early October wheat planting in
most of the Corn Belt. Drier conditions prevailed later in the month giving producers the oppor-
tunity to accelerate seeding progress. At the end of October 92 percent of the U.S. wheat acre-
age was planted. Unseeded acreage was mostly located in the Pacific Coast States and on the Sou-
thern Plains.

In Kansas 93 percent of the wheat acreage was seeded by the beginning of November with 70 per-
cent emerged. Some acreage will probably be reseeded because of heavy rainfalls in late October.
Dry topsoils in Nebraska held germination in check until rains began late in October. Colorado's
winter wheat responded well to favorable seedbed conditions and got off to an excellent start.

Late October rainfall helped Texas plantings which had been dusted in earlier; however, south
Texas and portions of the Edwards Plateau and Low Plains still need moisture. Rain Slowed plant-
ing in Oklahoma at the end of October but provided a boost to earlier dry seedings.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record 7.59 billion bushels (193
million metric tons). This is 3 percent more than the October 1 forecast and 7
percent above the previous record set last year,

Average yield is forecast at a record 109.2 bushels per acre, up 2.8 bushels from last
month's forecast and 8.0 bushels more than Yast year. Illinois, lowa, Missouri and Nebraska
showed substantial increases in yield prospects since last month.

Acreage for grain at 69.5 million acres (28.1 million hectares) is 1 percent less than last
year and 2 percent below 1977.

Progress of corn harvest continues to lag last year and average. By the end of October,
growers had harvested just over half their crop, while normal progress for this date is nearly
three-fourths complete. Growers in the northern Corn Belt were contending with high moisture
content in corn.

In the eastern Corn Belt, harvest was 59 percent complete by November 4, 17 points behind
last year but only 7 points less than average. Michigan at 33 percent harvested and Wisconsin
at 30 percent were much later than in recent years. In the western Corn Belt, harvest reached
52 percent, 35 points behind last year and 27 points below average. Harvest in Minnesota con-
tinued to be very late with onty 22 percent harvested by November 4. This compares with 91 per~
cent for both last year and the average.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: The Nation's production of grain sorghum this year is expected to total 825
mi t¥40n bushels (21.0 million metric tons), up 10 percent from last year and
4 percent more than the 1977 crop. A record high yield more than offset a decrease in harvested
acreage.

Acreage for grain is estimated at 13.0 million acres (5.24 million hectares), 5 percent less
than last year and 8 percent less than 1977, Average yield is forecast at a record high 63.7 bu-
shels per acre which compares with the 1978 yield of 55.1 bushels. The previous record high yield
was 60.7 bushels in 1972.

Three States are expected to produce 80 percent of the grain sorghum: Kansas 33 percent,
Texas 30 percent, and Nebraska 17 percent. Harvest was approaching 80 nercent complete in Kansas
on November 1 with yields turning out better than expected. The Texas harvest was about 90 per-
cent complete on November 1 with favorable yields reported in all producing areas of the State.
Nebraska harvest neared 80 percent complete on November 1 with rain and snow late in October caus-
ing some losses in unharvested fields.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Tosacco

STATE 4 AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD 4 PRODUCTION
t + + TND + t + IND 7 7 IND
t 4977 t 97a t 1979 1 1977 § 1978 t 1979 + 1977 4 1978 1 1979
t ‘ACRES. BOUNDS 19600 POUNDS
1
ALA T/ t 550 520 $25 10900 19870 14850 16045 972. 971
CONN 39500 39200 3,100 14606 «19547-19570 59620 49950 41868
FLA 4 120860 = 108500 1095002 909% 29000 «244798 = 224050 214000
Ga $ 650000 = 610000 «= 539000 © 20075 14925 1340875 = 1254660 1020025
IND ’ 59900 69600 64500 24400 29200 164560 156510 14+300
ky 1 1965750 1949500 1789000 «29297 20107 4520024 4699658 3754108
ta ft lag 130 a0 aso 700 ns ut 56
MD 1 239000 = 220000») 229000 1310 49200 300130 300586 = 264400
MASS : 19160 19030 16030 19643 10494 1,906 16458 16539
“wo / 26600 24400 25300 24385 «= 29280-29300 60201 Sea72 50290
Ne 1 3929600 3980700 3379500 «14896 «29131 19861 = 7444525 8499631 6284050
OWTO t "109200 94900 99200 20162 20258 14800 220053 224350 164560
Pa 4 134500 139000 134000 14940-14940 14700 = 264190 © BSe220 224100
sc $ 684000 712000 «© $7e000 © 20040 24120 2407S = 1384720 1506520 1289275
TENN t 689460 669850 630950 10997 24126 «= 29001 1360746 = 1420099 1274933
va 1 794700 730130 © 699560 «19794 «10848 «19702 «1420985 = 1354157 = 1:18 OB
wval/t 1,600 19500 19500 2020 «1980019750 39232 29700 20625
WIS t 124000 12100 121900 29032-19702 14969 = 244385 200600 254.140
us t 9575500 9484060 8410645 10997 20135 «19 1G LeP2nl14 200240508 106104648
1/7 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SUGARBEETS Vv
STATE 4 AREA HARVESTED : YIELD ' PROOUCTIOW
t t t TNO t t + IND ’ 7 IND
' 1977 + 1978 3 1979 $1977 1 1978: 1979 8 1977 1 1976 4 1979
+ 19000 ACRES “TONS 19000 TONS
t
ARIZ ’ 1266 1540 ToS 2203 2065 1902 285 308 219
CALIF ot 21760 195.0 2602 2465 2740 51666 40778 59562
colo 8 7200 B4y0 1965 B63 1905 19406 14538 19426
TOAHO of 10764 13441 1965 2063-2045 250946 av?22 29583
KANS ' 2400 26.0 16.7 1740-1960 @oL 442 22a
WICH : 35.5 9165 21.0 17.5 19796 10770 16602
MINN ' 26000 263.0 18.2 16.9 49732 &y9Th 39906
MONT ‘ 4600 4407 19.9 1965, 896 885 846
NEBR ' 6707 76.0 2060 2060 19354 19368 14500
N MEX 278 Lez 18 1902 1940 23 37 40
N DAK of 15502 15562 1768 16.0 20769 39056. 25288
OnTO ' 2205 23.3 20.3 19.5 457 398 283
OREG 5 Be2 8.9 2501 2660 206 198 17%
TEX 1 179 2346 1743 1949 309 414 386
UTAH ’ 908 1206 1747 2066 173 225 31
WASH 371 $206 68.5 246.3 0.0 16495 19767 0
WYO t 4B 48.8 490 1966 2060 949 see 980
us #1921602 1027200 1911903 2046 19.7 254007 ~—-25e773_ 22047
1 RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST FOR ALL STATES
INCLUDING ARIZ AND CALIF,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
‘3/ NONE! PLANTED IN 1979.
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED
STATE ot AREA HARVESTED t YIELO 1 PRODUCTION
: + + TNO ¢ t 7 IND? t 7 TNO
: 1977 4 4978 1979 | 1977 8 1978 $ 1979 t 1977 4 4978s 1979
1 19090 ACRES TONS 19000 TONS
1
FLA ' 300.0 31160 32060 © 2949 = 3009 3340 84970 99610 109560
Haw ‘ 30365 10569 10940 88.7 = B94 Ha 90176 1 100246
LA t 32260 289.0 27000 © 2369 20432140 71695 59875 59670
TEX ' 33.9 3268 3263 292 29433000 989 960 969
vs 15964 738.7 V3.3 3563 Sed 37S 260830259906 AT GAS
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE

ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1977-79

CORN FOR GRAIN:

{NUMBER
1 OF
P SAMPLES

TOPBER

AVERAGE
ROW
WIDTH

> 40.6:
1& GREATER:

38-6-
40.5

6
38.5

ROW WIDTH (INCHES) 1/

30.6-
32.5

2305
i0R LESS

TNCHES”

BERCENT OF SARPLE!

man
one

wn,
asd
228

69.
73.
66.:

123
109
ng

1977
1978 :
1979

COLO

=zNo

ane

et

73
83
98

1977
1978 :
1979

A

pine

75
174
173

1977:
1978 :

IND

1979;

36.6
5.7

Qn

Nee

ane
wu

18,
17.
2.

207
197
199

1977:
1978 :
1979

IOWA

om

3.

nee

oan
rN

en

Pear’

Reo

1977
1978 ;
1979

KANS

KY

AAN

ase

ate
Owe

waa

153
115
134

1977 :
1978 :
1979:

“o

104
101
M2

4977:
1978 :
1979

NC

135
147
138

1977
1978 :
1979

OHI10

PA

1.2

eae
nen

16.
29,
27.

184
155
135

1977
1978 :
1979

ane

aoe
ose

16.
Wu
13

mw
WwW
6

1977
1978 :
1979

VA

1977
1978 :
1979

ash

eae
vio”

nue
Swed

one
Noo

1s
127
123

WIS

SPACINGS BASED OW ROW PEASURERENTSIN-SANPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR-OBIECTIVE-YTELU DETERMINATIONS;

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979

7

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

B-14



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY.

(METRIC UNITS)
REA HARVESTED + YIELD PER HECTARE = PRODUCT
: F z INDICATED.
cRoP : INOIcATED * Iwotcaten } : u
ae 8 Vee: ay
HECTARES METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN + 2B 316 160 28 116 240 6.85 179 887 250 187 723 920 192 681 460
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: 5 496 090 5 262 760 4.00 19 010 490 20 745 870 20 965 240
ICE : 1 205 $70 1 220 950 5.18 6 070 880 6 260 820 “6 330 060
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS — : 25 634 280 28 429 070 2.14 50 897 990 60 235 860 60 850 380
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 61) 730 616 990 2.96 1 809 200 1 854 580 1 828 050
ALL COTTON 5 006 020 § 276 110 0.60 2363 560 3125 630 © 3: 166 570

UPLAND : 4975 260 5 240 130 0.60 2 343 220 «3 TOT 010-3 142 380

AMER-PIMA : 30 760 35 980 0.67 20 340 24 620 24 190
ORY EDIBLE BEANS : 604.770 560 130 1.61 867 130 900 560 899 200
POTATOES :

FALL 467 460434 150 -31.39 31.42 14 673 550 13 622 67013 641 490

TOTAL 554 750 © $18 730 29.86 © 30.48 16 $67 330 15 781 300 1 800 130
TOBACCO : 383 690 340. 5902.39 2.15 918 300 762 790 730 $70
SUGARBEETS : 517 770 © 452.970 45.82 44.15 23 380 870 20 239 290 20 000 700
SUGARCANE FOR 3

SUGAR AND SEED : 298.940 © 295 950 78,62 84,13 23 S01 530 24 562 030 24 897 690
ORTED PRUNES (CALIF): 118 840 1/117 930 121 560
CRANBERRIES : NI 520 114 440 12 310
FILBERTS. : 12 790 9 989 V0 430
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1978-79 1979-80 1979-80
“TEMONS : “668 600 ~~ 630-490 «= 6BZ 200

ROUT NOS WITH THE CON

SEPTENBER T,
PLETION OF HARVEST THE

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC_UNITS)

cro AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION
p

+ —TNDICATED ¥—THDICATED—: 7 THOTCRTED

1978; yor yy: 1978s ora ys 1978 stg
HECTARES METRIC TONS

oaTs : 4 666 480 © 4 087 710 1.87 1.90 8730410 7-710 810
BARLEY 3736 900 3.012 920 2:60 2163 9 732 450 7-930 320
ALL WHEAT 2 23.002 170 25 182 650 203 2128 48.952 920 57 530 850

WINTER : 15 746 080 17 602 400 2016 2147 33 972 400 © 43 424 870

DURUM : 1 564 130 2123 Val 3628 590 2 83) 830

OTHER SPRING 6 016 120 2102 1187 14351 930 14-274 150
RYE 378 790 1165 159 664 490 602 920
FLAXSEED 408 330 0.80 0182 277 410 336 690
SUNFLOWER 2 210 820 1:54 1.57 1747-470 «3-472 470
ALL HAY 24 629 630 5.19 $127 129.059 730-129 759 170

ALFALEA 11031 ado 7.02 7.09 78 683 740 78 208 400

ALL OTHER 13 597 990 3168 3:79 50 365 990 51 550 770
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 81 750 56 660 2100 168 163 340 95 390
POTATOES

WINTER : 5 220 4820 22.78 22.83 118 890 108 090

SPRING : 36 790 36180 (22.15 28.91 814 780 ©1045 980

SUMMER > 45 280 43.590 21.20 23:05 960 110 1-008 570
SHEE TPOTATOES > 4B B20 49450 13.29 13.62 648 680 673 540
PEPPERMINT OIL : 40 470 38 240 0.06 3 2 600 2 180
SPEARNINT OIL : 18 660 13 760 0108 0.06 1470 8
Hops : 12 500 12 870 2.00 1.94 24 980 24 950
APPLES, COM*L 3462 430 ©3439 350
PEACHES 1225 180 326 430
PEARS 659 340 728 560
GRAPES 4142 840 © 4-298 970
SWEET CHERRIES 140 620 174 540
TART CHERRIES : 82 190 78 330
APRICOTS : 114 580 13) 270
NECTARINES (CALIF) 134 260 167 830
PLUMS (CAL IF) : 139 710 163 290
OLIVES (CALIF) : n4 310 47/170
PRUNES AND PLUMS =:

(EXCL. CALIF) 63 320 61 230
PECANS 113 720 113 530
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 82 100 158 760
WALNUTS. (CALIF) : 105. 150 199 580
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ 1978-79 1979-89

ORANGES 8 306 180 10 099 690

STIMATES CARRIED FOI ARLT
2/_ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FiRst Yea ‘SHOWN AN ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST
THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 Ad CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE 4 AREA HARVESTEO YIELD Hn PRODUCTION

’ ' 7 TNO ¢ t t IND t ¥ 1 IND

ul 1977 + 1978 t 1979 3 3977 t 1978 t+ 1979 1977 + 1978 t 1979

1 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 GUSHELS

'
ALA vst 375 544, 530 2940 5000 ©6040 100875 = 279200 314800
ARIZ M/k So 50 5 10040 11500 12560 54000 50 So175
ARK 1/8 43 30 35 83,0 5800 58.0 29279 40 240030
CALIF L/t 267 ea. 285 11660 12600 12200 285652 359406 340770
COLO , 695 720 826 116.0 11000 130.0 809620 799200 1060600
CONN 2/1
OEL ' 185 175 167 $640 9660 = 10040 100360 169800 166700
FLA ost 299 370 370 3540 S200 $5.0 100665 = 199240 205350
Ga + 10000 19500 19550-2440 65.0 244000 759000 1004750
IDAHO 1/8 28 39 35 86.0 89.0 20608 39393 3e11S
TLL 1 119080 100730 106500 105.0 12640 141634400 191919030 193231000
IND ' 69210 59900 59850 10240 115.0 6330420 6379200 = 6729750
IOWA ‘ 129700 129500 B60 12520 190929200 1964629500 195754000
KANS a 14680 19500 96.0 11660 1614280 = 1539000 = 1684200
ky 1’ 19470 19410 90.0 106.0 1320300 1199850 132,060
La vay 6S “7 52.0 6640 30360 20773 2e772
MAINE 274
Mo ’ 600 590 7200 101.0 439200 579230 «= $8560
mass 21
MICH 1 20320 20250 29200 «8540 90.0 1979200 1820250 1989000
MINN 4 69000 69190 50900 = 10040 9 6001000 6435760 © 5724300
Miss 1/t 160 135 115 3640 59760 79560 54750
Mo 1 29650 29200 29250 7640 2019600 1915400 2344000
MONT 1/8 il 5 7 6840 748 360 504
NEBR t 69550 69550 60700-9940 6489650 7400180 7774200
NEV ast
NA ft
NJ Wt 95 95 62 7040 9100 8900 60650 89645. 7298
N MEX I/t 16 72 70 90.0 20560 22060 109260 79560 79700
NY Wet 640 600 640 8040 7900 Bled $1200 479400 519360
NC ' 19740 9600 19700 51.0 7600 7760 BBr740 1219600 3309900
N DAK 2/8 237 253 26 7360 7940 7620 17930) 199987 199760
OxIO ' 39620 39610 39630 10540 = 10520 13720 = 3809100 © 3799050 = Abe TL
OKLA 141 95 73 80-8240 65.0 9560 79799 49745, 79600
OREG 1/3 12 13 13 9520 9540 9540 19140 39235 31005
Pa ot 19160 19190 19190-9260 9500 9500 1069720 1139050 1134050
RY ay
sc ist 690 550 500 3660 5500 7600 249860 300250 384000
$ DAK ' 29150 29560 29500 59.0 6740 T7400 1269850 1739520 185,000
TENN 1/3 730 660 590 6540 6640 80.0 479450 439560479200
vEX ’ 15650 19440 19300 = 9Be0 10060 = 12040 = 112700 = 1444000 = 158 9000
UTAH yea 13 16 1 89.0 9060 92.0 19157 19440 19472
vt a
va ’ 560 615 600 55.0 87.0 309600 500430 = $24200
WASH 1/1 66 65 65 119.0 123.0 74616 65 71995
WVvA Vt Se 58 61 7400 7940 39996 4819
wis ’ 29800 29750 2850 10440 10060 © 2910200 2854000
wyO 14a 30 34 3 85.0 8400 29550 29520
us ’ 709872 699970 699476 90.7 1LO1e2 — 10962 694259457 700819869 795859535

\/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA



SOYSEANS FOR BEANS

state ¢ AREA HARVESTED, ‘ rteeo ‘ eRODUET ION
+ TNO 7 r 7 TNO 7d INO’
1 1977 4 1978 3 1979 | 1977 3 1978 + 1979 1 3977 t 1978 : 1979:
7 T9500 ACRES BUSHELS T9500 BUSRELS
4
aud t 1600 20250 21.0 2160 26.0 (334600 408950 58,500
ARK 7 41600 S150 2320 24S 27.0 1055800 1150150 139,050
DEL we 225 265 2460 2860 2900 Ss400 61860 7,685
Fla Ast 327 450-2540 2540260 «By 175 100250124700
GA + 14090 25080 2040 1S 28.0 215800 294400 579600
Tbh + 8850 94700 2860 35 2860 3389300 3077885 = 968, 00
IND ty 900 41400 37603445 3640 1444300 14h9210 1584400
TOWA ' 74080 B+lS0 3565 3865 3840 2519340 2900675 = 3094700
KANS t 990 14540 28.5 27.0 284215 21382
KY ' 2320 19600 deo 32.0 404920
La 7 29680 ‘39200 23.5 2
TMD 1 325 385 27,0
MICH 7 720 970 3040
MINN 1 39770 59260 3565
MISS ' ‘39650 oel2s 21.5
Lc J 49650 50930 32.0
NEBR ot 14130 11600 36,0
uso 177 211 2400
NY we 19 23 23,0 .
NC t  ty320 19850 22.0
N DAK 1st 7s 205 20.0
OHTO 1 39380 49020 35.5
OKLA 1/2 340 330-2340
Pa Veet 67 60 31.0
7 19300 19660 20.5
S DAK 1/8 us 590 30.65
TENN 7 29220 29600 23.5
TEX 7 760 850 26.5
va 1 40 495 1940
WIS ve 192 2 a0 35.0 72:
US 71 srste 630303 roses Sore 2553 —_-31s8 Le 7ehsvss tea7oedel 2v295s069

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS wv
CROP AND STATE D AREA WARVESTEO ot YIEL0 ‘ PRODUCT LOW
1 T NOt TNF T
_ 9 3978 § 1979s 1977 11978 8 1979 __3977 4) are t 4979
7 ¥9000 ACRES POUNDS er ee
LARGE LIMA BEANS 1
LF t 31.0 2900 2660 16740 19500 1692 S40 434 ao
paay LIMA BEANS 1
CALIF 1 22.0 25.0 2760 20160 14960 20037 475 48o $50
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS 1
‘CALL t 116.0 156.0 16m. Le610 19450 She 10872 20268 20180
ALL ORY EOLBLE BEANS ‘
CALIF {16940 19760 19708 49518 1460924887 = 39 BB 34170
COLO t 17500 830 900 690 bs265 15530 2e558
IDAHO ' 12540 19660 19630-19880 2016524494 20987
ANS: eee 1060 19300 19200 19240 162 192 126
mice 49000 15180 19150 19600 S664 65440 69860
MINN eet 2900 19320 14410 19350 396 592 392
ONT eve Get 16600 14800 24700 104 126 155
NEBR 1 128.0 19550 19650 19650 10767 19947 2ehie
NY 1 4000 19100 10020 AslT0 352 426 466
N DAK 10560 14050 16100 19350 19103 16263 19418
UTAH ant B60 200 300 350 2 26 28
WASH t 2760 19750 14800 29800 333 486 666
wo 1 27,0 19650 19580 14800 380 427 486
OTHER 1 $69 +0 868 6 50 @
vs TOTAL! 11927969 11O9bee Le38461 14298 19279 16432 16,610 199117 194826

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
47 TLL AND INDE ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 2977 CROP.

ROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 8-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP_SUMMARY
__(OOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
Hi ? r 5 DICATED
CROP AND UNIT ore INDICATED > 97g HINDICATED | tg7g :
i : £ A : 1979: 1979
T,000 ACRES ~T, 000
CORN FOR GRAIN BU 69,970 69,476 101.2 109.2 7,081,849 7,390,365 7,585,535
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN =" 13,581 12,955 55.1 63.7 748,410 816,729 825,365
RICE TAs: 2,979.0 3,017.0 4,493 4,626 133,840 137,807 139,554

cw
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU

63,343 70,249 39.5 1.8 18 70;185 2,213,289 2,235,869
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB

ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 12,3700 13,037.4 421 35 j0,985.8 14,386.0 {4,584.0
UPLAND “ 12,299.0 12,948,5 420 535, 10,762.4 4,242.9 1,432.9
AMER-PIMA . 76.0 88.9 590 600 93. V3.1 Yt

DRY EDIBLE BEANS © CHT V/: 1,494.4 1,384.1 1,279 1,432 19,117 19,854 19,824

POTATOES
FALL CHT 1,185.1 1,072.8 280 280 323,498 300,330 300,745
TOTAL . 1370.8 1,287.8 266 272 365,269 347,920 348,335

TOBACCO 8 948.1 847.6 2,135 1914 2,024,508 1,687,678 1,610,648

SUGARBEETS TON 1,272.0 1,179.3 20.3 19.7 25,773 * 22,310 * 22,087

SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED " 738.7 731.3 35.1 37.5 25,906 27,075 27,445

PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT 73 7

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) TON 131.0 3/130.0 134.0

CRANBERRIES BBL 2,458.5 2,523.0 2,476.0

FILBERTS TON 141 11.0 Ws

1978-79 1979-80 1979-80
“TS, 400 78, 300 19,800

CITRUS ERUITS 4/
TERONS 80x

T]“VYECD“IN- POUNDS 27 PRSTOREANORANGE FEED CONDITION -ASOF-FTRST OF _WONTR. THE” TSE5=77 AVERAGE TS
78 PERCENT. 3/ SEPT, 1979. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND £NOS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITEO STATES CROP SUMMARY

DOMESTIC UNITS
CROP AND UNIT > INDICATED: > TNDYCATED > INDICATED
1978 1978 ig ys 1978s 1979
1,000
OATS 52.2 601,477 531,232
BARLEY 48.4 447,008 364,237
ALL WHEAT 31.6 1,798,722 2,113,897
WINTER 32.1 1,248,272 1,595,591
DURUM 33.1 133328 "104)052
OTHER SPRING 30.0 a72— 444,254
RYE 26.3 26,160 23,736
FLAXSEED 12.7 19,921 13,255
‘SUNFLOWER. 1,377 3,852,540 7,655,525
ALL HAY 2.31 742,264 "143,035
ALFALFA 3.13 86,745 86,210
ALL OTHER 1.68 55,519 56,825
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 9,783 3,601 2,103
POTATOES.
WINTER 203 2,621 2,383
SPRING 198 17,963 23,060
SUMMER 189 21,167 22,147
‘SWEETPOTATOES ng 14,307 143849
PEPPERMINT OIL 87 5,728 4,812
SPEARMINT OIL 70 33248 73893
HOPS 1,782 $5,071 543998
APPLES, COM'L 7,633,400 7,582,500
PEACHES . 23,701,000 2,924,300
PEARS TON 726.8 803.1
GRAPES . 4,566.7 4,738.8
SWEET CHERRIES " 155:0 192.4
TART CHERRIES ce 181,200 172,760
APRICOTS , ms 16.3 140.2
NECTARINES (CALIF) * 43. ‘
Ling. (CALI * 15410 180.0
OLIVES (CALIF) “ 126.0 52.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) ToN 69.8 67.5
PECANS fr) 250,700 250,300
ALMONDS (CALIF) > 781,000 350,000
WALNUTS (CALF) TON 160.0 220.0
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1978-79 1979-80
“ORANGES BOX 210,500 258,300

7 ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST EXCEPT CHERRIES END-OF-SEASON ESTIMATES. 27 YIELD
TW POUNDS. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SNGWN AND ENDS WITR THE COMPLETION OF HAR-
VEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 An CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



WINTER WHEAT—TOP GROWTH AVAILABLE FOR GRAZING*
NOVEMBER 1, 1979

NEBRASKA

OKLAHOMA

*RELATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF TOP GROWTH AS
REPORTED BY FARM AND RANCH OPERATORS

USDA NEG. ESCS 187-79(11)

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP_REPORT SUMMARY

The "all-crop" production index (1967=100) at a record high 143 is 12 points
above the previous record set last year, according to the Crop Reporting Board, The
cotton index, up 49 points from last year, shows the largest increase with oi] crops
following closely with a 48 point increase. Food grains are up 18 points and feed
grains up 7 points from a year ago. Partially offsetting are declines of 20 points
in the tobacco index and 9 points in the sugar crops index.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1969-79 (1967=100)

H PRODUCTION
: 2 > HAY : 3 : : :

YEAR F ALL/ : gppiws } AND? GRoGns ? creme : COTTON : TOBACCC : OIL CROPS
H 4 i FORAGE + i a z H
1969: (104 99 100 98s 37 91 116
1970: (100 89 100 916139 97 7
97): (1216051076145 86 121
19720; «1321008 88 131
19730: 190050 88 155
74:10 9310 12010 1SB 10 127
1975: (dal dB“ 4D 153
197% 0: «(121s 120SssiSs— (S118 132
1977: «1300=S126— 3K 98 175
19780: 13] 135512040 180
197990; «(1832s NBN 195 82 228

‘T/ TNCLUDES GRASS AND COVER=CROP SEEDS, AND SOME WISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT
TNCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related
information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and
adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from
Washington headquarters and the State Statistical Offices.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
J. W. Kirkbride, Chairman,
M. L. Koehn, Secretary,
0. W. Barrowman, F, E. Rolf,
APPROVED: K. M, Barr, W. R, Blackson,
D. J. Buckner, T. J. Byram,
. H. J. DeLong, C. Drain,
. W. ON. Dowdy, T. W. Feurer, .
: ZA J. R: Gibson, D. E. Hamilton,
D. A, Hasslen, S$. R. Koyle,
L. A. Losleben, G. S. Patton,
L. G. Ridgeway, R. L. Schulte,
L. E. Snipes, C. R. Spurgeon,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE C. A. Van Lahr, Jr., W. W. Wilken.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



SOYBEANS: VARIETIES GROWN AND ROW SPACING--1979

The Statistics Unit of ESCS conducted soybean objective yield surveys in 17 States which accounted
for about 93 percent of the 1979 U.S. soybean production. Plots were randomly selected from a scienti-
Fically drawn sample of soybean fields which were visited monthly from about August 1 through harvest
to obtain specific counts and measurements.

Sampte data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the following tables are not
official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board but are intended to show trends in soybean production
practices. .

Williams, the leading soybean variety for the fourth consecutive year, accounted for 16.2 percent
of the acreage in the 17 States surveyed. This was up from 14.2 percent in 1978. Williams is grown
primarily in the North Central Region. Forrest, in second place with 7.9 percent of the total acreage
covered by the survey, was planted in all three regions. Bragg, in third place with 7.8 percent of the
acreage, was planted in the South Central and South Atlantic States. Corsoy, at 6.7 percent, was the
fourth most important variety in the 17 States, and was planted in the North Central Region.

There has been a trend in planting soybeans to closer row spacing in recent years. Therefore, this
year's table on row spacing provides data for 5 row width groups, compared with 3 groups in previous
years, The 1977 and 1978 data were resummarized to obtain comparability with 1979.

Average row space measurements in 1979 increased from 1978 in Indiana and Iowa and decreased in
the remaining States. Ohio average row spacing continued narrower than other North Centra? States
because of the higher percent of the acreage which is dri? planted.

SOYBEANS: REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1979 CROP 1/

NORTH : SOUTH : SOUTH Ww
VARIETY CENTRAL 2/ : CENTRAL 3/ > ATLANTIC 4/ STATES
WILLIAMS : 25.6, 6/ 16.2
FORREST 2.2 20.0 8. 7.9
BRAGG : 14.5 41.7 7.8
CORSOY 3 10.8 6.7
AMSOY 5/ : 5.9 3.7
ESSEX ~ 1.3 8.4 6/ 3.3
DAVIS 8.7 6.3 3.1
LEE 5/ 5/ 8.3 6/ 2.5
WAYNE 3.9 e 2.4
RANSOM 3.5 16.3 2.4
PICKETT 5/ 75 6/ 2.2
CENTENNIAL 6/ 6.2 2.3 2.1
AGRIPRO 3.0 1.9
HODGSON : 2.8 1.7
MACK : 1.2 3.0 1.6
CALLAND : 2.3 1.5
YORK : 1.0 2.6 &/ 1.4
PETERSON : 2:2 14
MITCHELL : 1.8 1.0 1.4
BEESON to 2.2 14
WELLS : 2.1 1.3
HARCOR : 2.1 1.3
WOODWORTH 1.8 i
BEDFORD : 6/ 3.1 6/ ie
TRACY : ~ 3.6 V1
ALL OTHER 7/ : 27.8 9.6 24.6 21.5
ALL VARIETIES 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPORTED FOR THE FIELDS USED IN OBTAINING B27 IWC TL, IND, IOWA, KANS,

MINN, MO, NEBR, AND OHIO. 3/ INCLUDES ALA, ARK, KY, LA, MISS, AND TENN. 4/ INCLUDES GA, NC, AND
SC. 5/ INCLUDES VARIETIES WITH ADDITIONAL NUMERIC IDENTIFICATION SUCH AS AMSOY 71, PICKETT 71, ETC.
6/ LESS THAN } PERCENT OF REGIONAL TOTAL, INCLUDED IN ALL OTHER. 2/ INCLUDES UNKNOWN VARIETIES AND
VARIETIES WITH LESS THAN } PERCENT OF THE 17 STATE TOTAL.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



Pastures in the eastern States--with the exception of Georgia and Florida--were in good to
excellent condition. Pastures in the central and western States were generally poorer than last
month, especially on the central Plains where precipitation has been Tight. Many cattle and hogs
were moved to corn and sorghum stubble as harvests were completed.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii papaya production in November is expected to total 3.90 million pounds (1770

metric tons), 27 percent less than a year ago, but unchanged from October. A larger
than anticipated increase in October's output boosted production 39 percent over that of the
previous month. This relatively high production period is expected to last through this month.
Qecreases in production are then forecast for the mext three months. The downturn begins with
a forecast of 3.35 million pounds (1520 metric tons} for December, a 14 percent decrease, and
continues with a 7 percent reduction in January. A sharp 29 percent drop is foreseen in
February with 2.20 million pounds (1000 metric tons) being forecast.

Yields were higher in October but acreage harvested was only 1960 acres (790 hectares),
down 13 percent from September. Total area in crop at 2980 acres (1210 hectares} was also down.

PRUNES: California's prune crop (dried basis) is forecast at 134 thousand tons (122 thousand
metric tons), 2 percent more than last year's crop and 3 percent above the September 1

forecast. A good quality crop of large size prunes was harvested under excellent weather con-

ditions. The ratio of green weight to dry weight was 3.14, compared with last year's 3.11,

CRANBERRIES: The final forecast of U.S. cranberry production is for a record crop of 2.48 million
barrels (112 thousand metric tons), 1 percent more than the 1978 crop but 2 percent
less than prospects on October 1.

Prospects declined during October in Massachusetts. The dry harvest was delayed by rains
and yields fel) below those anticipated earlier. Harvest was nearly complete in New Jersey by
November ] where prospects remained unchanged from a month earlier. Wisconsin stil] expects to
harvest 910 thousand barrels, its second largest crop. Oregon's crop is now forecast at 99.0
thousand barrels, a 7 percent decline from last month. As harvest progressed, growers found
berries didn't size as well as anticipated. Harvest has ended in Washington, where late frosts
helped darken berries.

FILBERTS: Production of filberts is estimated at 11.5 thousand tons (10.4 thousand metric tons),

5 percent above last month's forecast but 18 percent below last year. Harvesting
conditions were nearly perfect as growers began harvesting two weeks earlier than normat and
were virtually finished before the first rainfall. Nut size is above average.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects for the 1979-80 season point to a grapefruit crop of 63.5 million boxes
(2.38 million metric tons), fractionally less than last month and 2 percent below
last season. This total does not include California "Other areas" for which the first forecast
will be published December 11. Production in the "Other areas" was 2.50 million boxes in 1978-79.
The Florida October 1 forecast of 51.0 million boxes is carried forward for this report. Texas
production, at 6.50 million boxes, is unchanged from last month but is 28 percent less than last
season. Trees are in good condition considering the severity of the freeze last winter. Fruit
is sizing normally except on trees with heavy set. Quality of fruit is good to excellent, and
color is being aided by cool nights and warm days. The Arizona crop of 2.50 million boxes is
7 percent below last month but is 1] percent more than last season. Limited harvest is underway.
California Desert Valley growers expect to harvest 3.50 million boxes, the same as forecast last
month but 7 percent above last season. Limited movement is reported with good quality and size.

LEMONS: The Arizona-California lemon crop is forecast at 19.8 million boxes (682 thousand metric
tons), 8 percent more than last month's forecast and 2 percent above last season.

TANGERINES: The 1979-80 tangerine crop is expected to total 6.40 million boxes (256 thousand

metric tons), unchanged from last month but 19 percent more than last season. The
Florida forecast is carried forward from October 1, California production at 1.70 million boxes
is 17 percent above last season, The Arizona forecast at 600 thousand boxes is 33 percent
larger than the 1978-79 crop.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA



SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED ' YIELO : PRODUCTION
i 7 7 INO # 7 y IND # ' D TND
t 1977 4 1978 4 1979 ¢ 1977 3 2978 t 1979 8 1977 3 1978 3 1979
' Te000 ACRES @USHELS 19000 BUSHELS
'
ALA 1/8 27 34 30 2760 3760 3940 729 19258 16170
ARIZ ' 90 73 73 80.0 78.0 8140 79200 59696 59913
ARK ‘ 252 200 170 52.0 6060 60.0 139104 129000 106200
caLIF 132 185 160? 7100 73.0 99636 = 139235 129680
COLO , 263 300 280 3 3160 34.0 89153 94300 99520
GA wa a4 43 47 28. 2900 37.0 672 10247 19739
me ol4t 64 68 70 64.0 6800 64,0 49626 49480
IND ost 15 15 15-7840 6500 65.0 975 975
Towa 178 32 24 200 74.0 75607840 19800 10360
KANS t 49050 oy020 39870 © 6000 = S200 7140 2099040 © 2744770
wy yr 32 23 30-570 = 6200 BD 19426 29060
ba ws 20 vz 1? 3360 Bed Jed S78 STB
MISS 371 24 a 25 32.0 38.0 4000 798 14000
MO + 930 850 720 7300 80.0 81.0 675890 684000 = 584320
NEBR 4 20070 19830 39830 7560 75.0 = 1669970 «1379250 1379250
NMEX 1 265 267 2so . 46.0 $360 319760 129282 139250
NO 14S 12 86 80 3740 5200 S520 29666 4G72 49400
OKLA ‘ S65 485 500 3840 3640 4340 219470 179460 219500
Pa 2st 0 6 00 65.0 0 390
sc. it 2 1S ‘Ss 1660 32.0 36.0 192 489 Sag
$ Oak ¢ 343 340 310, 4940 5040 51.0 165807 174000 159810
TENN 1¢t 20 24 26 5140 5140 5240 1,020 19224 10352
TEX 8 41800 4650 45400 4840 4980 56.0 2309400 «= 2275850 = 2464400
va Ve 10 Yu it 43,0 4700 48.0 430 SI? $28
us t 140092 139581 123955 56.3 5501 6347? 7925963 7480410 = 8255365
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2¢ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1979 CROP.
RICE
STATE ot AREA HARVESTED ! YIELO ' PRODUCTION
' t t IND ¢ t 7 IND * t 1 TNO
1 1977 3 1978 3 1979 1977 #1978 +1979 + 1977 4 1978 t 1979
’ 12000 ACRES POUNDS T9000 CwT
'
ARK ' 83700 = 1909060 = 1419000 = 49230 42450 4 450 359396 489505 520955
CALIF ot 30860 49960 $34.0 59810 59260 69300 176913 269248 339642
LA 1 47500 587.0 $33.0 39670 39820 34950 179445 220425 219056
MISS 1 11160 215.0 20540 49000 4250 4200 41640 99138 89610
Mo we 1760 30.0 35.0 39700 4330 49150 629 19298 16453
TEX ' 50160 558.0 $2000 49670 44700 4200 = 239400 269226 = 214840
us 12924960 2997540 3001700 40412 49493 49626 990223 1334840 1394554
14 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
PEANUTS FOR NUTS
STATE AREA HARVESTED ‘ YIELO t PROOUCT ION
f 7 t 7 7 tT Ivwr 7 7 TNO
1 1977 3 1978 4 1979 | _1977 § 3978 t 979 § 1977 + 1978 3 1979
' 14000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 POUNDS
a]
ALA 1 214.0 26740 20630 = 29800 = SB99100 §=— 5624820 = 596 4400
FLA ' 54.0 30100 39380 39300 1709500 = 1829520 = 1814500
GA : 52600 2eB50 36300 © 34. 300 144999100 1¥7350800 147399100
MISS 1/3 Bo 19650 24000 0750 119550 169000 134650
NOMEX 1/75 Doe 20700 «29580 20400 = 254380 = By DHS = 23.4040
NC $ 16640 29675 24825 2450 449050 = 4684950 4064700
OKLA 1 11500 19800 29050 2674600 = 2074000 = 244000
sc ww S62 29350 29200 31-200 359720 339440
TEK : 301.0 19450 19650 3944500 9 4360450 5094850
vA t 10360 39100 20750 2934035 3299300 = 2804500
us t 1951606 LeSd1e6 1952406 29639 29643 347269015 399889624 410309180

1/ ESTSMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1979

B-2

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA