SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

STATE
BUSHELS

ALA 65 55 99.0 36.0 26146 27600
ARIZ, 13 18 84,0 89.0 2158 1/092
ARK 263 310 60,0 50.0 16,986 15,780
CALIF 130 19 17.0 16.0 8880 10,010
colo 380 310 34,0 35.0 12,775 12/920
GA 135 80 42.0 35.0 4,455 5,670
TLL 82 7S 80.0 60.0 5,548 6,560
IND 13 7 73,9 50.0 720 949
IOWA t 10 15 65,0 70.0 1,600 650
KANS 2 3.350 2,800 62.0 60.0 238,520 207,700
ky 3 38 38 74.0 65.0 2,250 2.812
La z 175 170 45.0 45.0 2,592 7,875
MISS : 115 279 60.0 54.9 3,872 62900

640 81.0 64.0 75,200 104970
1,080 73.0 73.0 164,800 1214910
160 47,0 95.0 12,240 14,570

30 53.0 40.0 4,134 34710
350 39.0 37.0 22,050 19,690
268 46.9 35.0 S76 1.610
300 96.9 48.0 19,565 17,250
400 56.0 47.0 4,200 4,424
3,200 $5.0 S1.0 273,420 305,250
it 53.0 44.0 539 ary

10,437 $9.9 55.5 879,222 841,079 562,366

* £983 PLANTED ACRES REVISED (THONSAND ACRES): MISSOURI

700% U S=011,653,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FARM NUMBERS CONTINUE DECLINE

The number of farms in the United States in 1983 is estimated at 2.37
millton, down 1 percent from the 2.40 million in 1982. The sharpest declines
were in the Southeast and East North Central States. Except for 1981, the
number of farms has declined every year since 1936. The number of large farms
(annual sales of $100,000 or more) continued to increase and now accounts for
over 47 percent of all land in farms. In contrast, over half of the farms
have annual sales less than $10,000, but only account for about 11 percent of
the total farm land.

Total land in farms for 1983, is 1035 million acres, down fractionally from
a year earlier. In 1983, the average farm size is 437 acres compared with 433
in 1982. This slight increase occurred in the large farm category; the
average sfze of all other farms declined.

NUMBER OF FARMS AND LAND IN FARMS, UNITED STATES, JUNE 1, 1978-83

NUMBER OF LAND IN AVERAGE SIZE

OF FARMS

THOUSANDS

THOUSAND ACRES

1978 2,436 1,044,790 429
1979 2,430 1,043,195 429
1,042,245 429
1,042,100 428
1,038,530 433
1,035,160 437

PERCENT OF FARMS, LAND IN FARMS, AND AVERAGE SIZE, BY ECONOMIC CLASS,
UNITED STATES, JUNE 1, 1982-83

PERCENT OF TOTAL AVERAGE
SIZE OF

FARMS

ECONOMIC CLASS
GROSS VALUE
OF SALES

$ _1,000-$ 9,999 12.1 WW 102 97
$ 10,000-§99,999 43.3 41.7 523 498
$100, 000+ 44.6 47.2 1,494 1,561

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/
AVERAGE
1972081

STATE ft AVERAGE 3 1982 ¢ 1963
2 1972-61 :
7 z :

: PERCENT PERCENT
ALA t 78 88 87 99
ARIZ o£ 73 67 89 81
ARK 2 72 82 a1 66
CALIF o£ | 74 92 70 66
colo os 72 aL 18 64
CONN =: 76 76 88 63
z 92 85
: 8a 80
x 87 1S
: 88 98
: 83 7S
: 98 95
2 89 a6
: 95 90
2 82 70
z 72 68
z 88 104
: 1 7S
: crt 67
z 719 98
: aa 78
z 88 78
: 93 95
t
66 1

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 ANO OVERS POOR TO FAIR 65=793 VERY POOR, 50-643 SEVERE
OROUGHT, 35-493 EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

STATE
IDAHO.
MICH
OREG
WASH 14,609 11,500 15,000
us 76.100 59.500 60,800

4/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLO
(TONS) HS 1981-2,500, 198287,000,

PAPAYAS - KAWAIT

1,000 POUNDS

2,040 3,650 4,800

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Southeastern States production forecast at 521 thousand bales, down 45
percent from last year. Cool, wet weather delayed planting and continued to
retard. plant growth until mid-July. Recent hot weather improved growing
conditions.

Delta States crop forecast at 2.09 million bales, 44 percent below 1982.
Development two to three weeks behind last year.

Oklahoma and Texas, upland production forecast at 2.39 million bales, down
19 percent from last year's weather damaged crop. Cool, wet weather delayed
planting on High Plains of Texas and in Oklahoma. Dry weather during July
glowed development of dry land and acreage and continues to be a major threat
0 crop.

Growers in the Western States expect to harvest 2.72 million bales of
upland cotton, 36 percent less than last year. Wet fields delayed planting in
San Joaquin Valley of California and caused widespread replanting. Crop
developed rapidly under favorable growing conditions. By August 1, crop only
about one week behind last year's progress.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1983, based on a three year average lint-seed
ratio, is forecast at 3.13 millfon tons (2.84 million metric
tons), 34 percent below 1982 production. .

HAY: Production forecast at 146 million tons (132 million metric tons), down

5 percent from 1982, 2 percent above 1981. Acreage for harvest estimated
at 60.4 million acres (24.4 million hectares), fractionally below 1982. All
hay yield of 2.41 tons compares with last year's record high 2.51 tons. Hay
Prospects generally good in Western States, but hot, dry conditions during
July in midwest and southeast reduced expected yields from second and third
cuttings.

Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures forecast at 84.4 million tons (76.5 million
metric tons), 7 percent Yess than record high of 1982, 1 percent higher than
1981. Acreage for harvest, 25.3 million acres (10.2 million. hectares), down 5
percent from 1982, Average yield, at 3.34 tons, compares with 3.41 tons a
year earlier.

All other hay forecast at 61.2 million tons (55.5 million metric tons), 1
percent less than last year's record, 3 percent above 1981. Acreage for
harvest, at 35.1 million acres (14.2 million hectares), up 3 percent from
1982. Production of all hay down 22 percent in Iowa, 12 percent in Illinois,
11 percent in Montana, 10 percent in North Dakota and 7 percent in Kansas.
Production of alfalfa hay down 4 percent in Wisconsin and 20 percent in Iowa.

ORY BEANS: Production forecast at 15.7 million cwt (712 thousand metric tons),

37 percent less than last year, less than half 1981 output. This
is smallest crop produced since 1967. Production expected to be lower than
last year for each producing State. Area to be harvested at 1.11 million
acres (451 thousand hectares), 37 percent less than last year, smallest since
1922. Average yield at 1410 pounds slightly higher than 1404 pounds in 1982,
38 pounds less than in 1981. Yields expected to be above last year in at}
States except Idaho, Michigan, Minnesota, and Montana.

Cool, wet weather slowed planting early in season but warm weather during
duly speeded up development in most areas. Early planted beans in California
were blooming, setting pods, almost a third of the Colorado acreage had
flowered by August 1. Idaho crop one to two weeks behind normal; development
of the Michigan crop about 10 days behind normal with harvest expected to
start after Labor Day. Hot weather during July pushed beans in Nebraska and
North Dakota to rapid development. Seventy-seven percent of North Dakota's
crop was blooming or beyond bloom on August 1, considerably ahead of the 54
percent at same time Yast year.

Planting of California beans completed in early July, condition of the
crop good in all areas. Idaho crop was in good shape in spite of late start
due to a cool, wet spring. Michigan beans hampered by adverse weather at
planting time. Hot, dry weather in July further compounded problems. The
Colorado, Nebraska, North Dakota crops in mostly good condition. Yields
expected as good or better than year ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-T4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED = 2 YIELD z PRODUCTION

STATE eeeneen, a Ween anne nen nen nn erece cen ene:

: : IND ¢ IND : 3 IND

: 1982 2 1983 = 1982 % 1983 ¢ 1981 1982 1983

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS. 1,000 BIISHELS

ALA 1/ B25 470 32,0 34,0 24,860 26,400 15,980
ARIZ 1st 64 62 84.0 90.0 3,569 5,376 5,580
ARK : 15760 10375 39,0 39.0 67,650 68,640 53,625
CALIF : 1,000 650 70,0 62.0 92,400 70,000 40,300
coLo 2 3,000 2,950 28.0 38.0 63,875 84,000 112,100
DEL ote 49 43 42.0 41,0 1,720 2,058 1,763
GA wv 1,480 970 33.0 34,0 46,010 48,840 32,980
TOAHO 920 800 57.0 63,0 55,680 52,440 50.400
TLL 1,500 1,350 AS,0 48.0 92,500 67,500 64,800
IND 1,080 970 43,0 51.0 62,100 96,440 49,470
IOWA 17 100 50 30,0 38.0 4,875 34000 1,900
KANS 13,200 10,800 35.0 42.0 305,000 462,000 453,600
KY 675 580 39.0 32.0 28,560 26,325
La uv 500 250 38.0 29.0 11-550 19,000
MD Vv 136 120 45,0 42.0 S617 6120
MICH 600 700 41,0 50.0 41,500 24,600
MINN 1/ 86 80 34.5 36.0 4,625 2,967
MISS 1/  ¢ 1,050 600 38.0 34.0 24,000 39,900
Mo : 24230 1,850 34,0 38.9 115,500 75,820
MONT 1 2.120 2280 38,0 35.0 89,250 80,560
NEBR 1 2,900 2300 35.0 43,0 104,400 101,500
NEV tf 15 11 70.0 70.0 1,050 1,050
NJ oa 48 35 41.0 40.0 2,352 14968
N MEX 4/ 530 450 25.0 30.0 11,000 13,250
NY 1% 125 150 43.5 44.0 7,040 5,438 64600
NC 600 480 36.0 35.0 19,500 21,600 16,800
N DAK t/ 140 170 34.0 33.0 3510 4,760 5,610
OHIO 14250 1,150 44,0 $2.0 72,600 55,000 59,800
OKLA 6.900 4,300 33.0 35.0 172,800 227,700 150,500
OREG 1,100 970 55.0 63.0 73,200 60,500 61,110
PA 228 215 36.0 39.0 9,720 8,208 8,385
sc ww 550 400 36.0 29.0 14,350 19,800 11,600
3 DAK 1,100 1,200 34,0 40.0 30,420 37,400 48,000
TENN 935 630 36,0 34.0 37,400 33,660 21,420
TEX 6-000 4,600 24,0 35.0 183,400 144,000
UTAH 1/ 233 185 34,0 37.0 8,225 74922
vA 370 320 38.0 41.0 174160 14,060
WASH 2,560 2,400 49,0 60.0 161,310 125,440
WVA Lf 9 9 36.0 37.0 360 324
WIS 1s 9a 105 50.0 50.0 4,650 4,700
wo 1s 285 a12 28.0 31.0 8250 74980
us 58,347 47,202 36.1 103,538 2,108,246

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


NUMBER

ALA: 56,000
ALAS: 420
ARIZ = 7,200
ARK: 57,000
CALIF : 80,000
colo: 25,800
CONN: 43300
DEL: 3,400
FLA: 41,000
GA : 58,000
HAW: 43400
IDAHO: 24,200
ILL: 104,000
IND: 88,000
IOWA: 117,000
KANS = 76,000
KY : 102,000
tA : 37,500
MAINE : 7,900
MD : 18,000
MASS: 5,300
MICH: 65,000
MINN: 103,000
MISS: 53,000
MO : 118,000
MONT so: 24,000
NEBR: 63,000
NEV: +900
NH: 3,200
Ngo: 9,500
NMEX = 13,500
NY oo: $0,000
NCO: 88,000
N DAK : 38,000
OHIO: 93,000
OKLA: 71,000
OREG : 36,000
PA : 60,000
RIO: 750
$c: 33,000
S DAK : 37,000
TENN: 95,000
TEX: 185,000
UTAH: 12,900
VT : 7,500
vA : 60,000
WASH: 39,000
WVA 20,600
WIS): 92,000
wo: 9,100

z 2,400,370

1,000 ACRES

12,400 12,300
1,520 1,530
39,000 39,000
16,300 16,400
34,000 33,700
36,500 35,800
500 490

35,300
1,042,100

1/ A FARM IS A PLACE AS OF JUNE 1 THAT SELLS OR COULD SELL $1,000 OF
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS DURING THE YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983

B-24

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNTTS)

AREA HARVESTED

YIELD PER HECTARE

1982 : 1983 1983

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN : 29 603 880 21 211 420 7.21 6.27
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : § 765 620 4 102 340 3.71 3.48
OATS > 4 273 930 3 665 680 2.10 2:00
BARLEY : 3 687 940 4 008 450 3.08 3201
ALL WHEAT > 32 906 170 24 673 540 2.40 2.67
WINTER : 23 612 450 19 118 360 2.43 2:79
DURUM : 1 706 580 995 540 2.35 2.21
OTHER SPRING > 6 587 140 4559 640 2.28 2.27
RICE : 1 316 050 934 430 5.32 5.20
RYE : 289 350 347 220 1.83 1.88
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 28 645 170 25 134 490 2.16 2.00
FLAXSEED : 329 820 238 770 0.90 0.88
PEANUTS FOR NUTS =: 576 140 538 240 3.02 2.96
ALL COTTON > 3 937 030 3015 510 1/0.66
UPLAND : 3 908 500 2 990 580 1/0.56
AMER-P IMA : 28 530 24 930 0.75
COTTONSEED :
ALL HAY > 24 556 180 24 $40 850 5.63
ALFALFA : 10 743 710 10 223 280 7.64
ALL OTHER 2 13 812 470 14 217 570 4.07
ORY EDIBLE BEANS: 714 040 450 820 1.57
SUMMER POTATOES =: 39 170 38 000 24.85
SWEETPOTATOES : 44 960 39 660 14.42
TOBACCO H 367 380 322 860 2.45
SUGARBEETS : 417 150 425 090 46.23
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED: 307 320 314 730 87.88
HOPS : 16 030 15 050 2222
APPLES, COM'L 3
PEACHES 2/ :
PEARS :
GRAPES :
PRUNES AND PLUMS =:
(EXCL. CALIF :

WALNUTS (CALIF

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-6.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED

INDICATED

1983 / 1983 1/
> HECTARES METRIC TONS
POTATOES
WINTER 4 450 4 450 23.07 22.73
SPRING 31 570 30 510 29.54 25.99
FALL 440 180 426 500 31.43

SWEET CHERRIES
TART CHERRIES
APRICOTS
RECTARINES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF)
DRIED PRUNES
(CALIF)
ALMONDS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF)

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-6.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 ASS CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE = CONTINUED

PRODUCTION

2 1983

CLASS AND TYPE

1982: 1983

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 3, AIR@CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK

AIRSCURED
TYPE 35, ONE SICKER
BELT
KY 5,600 4,900 14985 15700 11,513 8.330
TENN 1,600 1,300 1.865 1,550 2,988 2,015
us 7,400 6,200 16959 1,669 14,497 10,345
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT
ky 2,800 2,700 14930 1,600 5,400 4,320
TYPE 37, VA SUN@CURED
BELT
va 570 $90 14290 1,060 735 530
TOTAL 35-37 3 10,770 = 9,400 14916 = 17616 20,636 15,195
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER :
TYPE a1, PA SEEOLEAF
PA = 10,700 7,700 24000 1,800 21,400 13,860
TYPE G2-44 OHIO*MIAMI +
VALLEY TYPES Bet
onto Bet 2,800 1,500 1-950 1,700 3,510 2,550
TOTAL a1-4a 2 12,500 9,200 1,993 1,784 24,910 16,410
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER ¢
CLASS SA, CONN VALLEY ¢
BINDER 2
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY =
BROADLEAF z
CONN t 8,800 1,300 £640 1,750 2,952 2.275
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY ¢
HAVANA SEEO 3
MASS z 300 235 1,955 2,100 S87 494
TOTAL 51-52 z 2,100 1,535 1,685 1,808 3,539 2,769
CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER ¢&
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS ¢
wIs 2 5,100 = 4,700 26110 2,000 10,761 9,400
TYPE 5S, NORTHERN WIS 3
WIS + $000 9,500 1,875 1,650 9,375 1.925,
TOTAL 54=55 3 10,100 9,200 14994 1,829 20,136 16,825
TOTAL 51055 $ 12,200 10,735 1,901 5,825 23,675 19,594
CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER ¢
TYPE 614 CONN VALLEY ¢
SHADE~GROWN :
CONN z 870 800 1,485 1,600 1,292 14280
MASS : 250 165 14200 1,500 300 208
us t 16120 965 16421 1,583 1,592 1,528
ALL CIGAR TYPES +
TOTAL Gim6t t 25,820 20,900 1.943 1.796 50,177 37,532

ALL TOBACCO 907,840 797,750 20183 1,898 1,982,245 16514,220

1/ 1982 REVISED,
2/ NOT PLANTEO IN 1963,
3/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPE GROWN IN OHIO,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-17° CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


oars
AREA HARVESTEO = YIELD 2 PROOUCTION
STATE enecereeee ane nwnnnnnnenen: eeaencnceosene —
2 : IND ¢ : IND ry : IND
' 1982 =1983 F 1982 t 1983 2 1981 F 1982 + 1983
5 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 4/3 40 ao $2.0 24360
ARK ‘ 33 55 62.0 2,100
CALIF Py a0 a0 62.0 3,600
coLo 1/ So 50 56.0 1,750
GAs 90 85 61.0 4,500
IDAHO 4/0 ot 46 49° 69,0 2,760
TLL ‘ 200 1800 «59,0 13,530
IND : 95 60 64.0 5/525
TOWA 2 1,000 800 = 56.0 59,520
KANS 160 115 47,0 9,000
Kya 7 6 44,0 288
MAINE 1/ 40 40° 60.0 3,010
“Do 19 16 = 58.0 1-100
MICH z 450 300 63,0 21,080
MINN z 1,630 1,250 66,0 90,090
40 t 78 5a 41.0 4,590
51.0 44840
$8.0 15,800
56.0 385
65.0 17,920
57.0 4,648
54.0 44,160
70,0 17-010
38,0 3,780
7540 4,550
«39.0 20,010
58,0 2,208
60,0 10,520
95,0 816
37.0 18,860
64,0 798
48.9 940
60.0 1,600
51.0 618
52.0 52,606
55.0 57.0 2,295

38.4 55.7 509,167 616,981 504,208

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTEO = YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE

z IND ¢ IND 3 :

: 1982 ¢ 1983 1982 = 1983 ¢ 1981 = 1982 2 1983

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

2
ALA : 2,050 26.0 46,460 53,300 © 32-340
ARK : 4,550 24,0 99,000 109.200 85,800
DEL 270 24.0 7,020 65480 65125
FLA 578 27.0 11,040 15,606 10,250
GA : 2,550 27,0 39,900 68.850 45.770
TL : 9-410 39.0 351,500 3664990 302,990
IND : 4,580 40.0 151,800 183,200 131,010
TOWA : 4,550 37.5 326,000 329,625 300,960
KANS. z 1,810 26,0 45,300 47,060 40,250
KY : 1,660 32.0 $3,120 36,920
LA : 2.950 26,0 76,700 61,680
Mo : 405 29,0 26.0 10,915 11,745 9,360
MICH : 1,040 31.0 30.0 29,100 32.240 © 26,700
MINN : 4,850 36.0 34.0 139,200 174,600 156-400
MISS : 3.600 26,0 © 21.0 754600 93,600 63,420
MO : 5.850 31.5 184,275 149,060
NEBR 3 2,300 36,0 82,800 75,600
NJ 3 170 25.0 4,250 3,059
nc + 2,100 25.0 52.500 36.740
N OAK : 345 21.0 7,245 43,250
oHTO : 3.730 37.0 138,010 © 118,080
OKLA : 280 19,0 5,320 44800
PA : 100 32.0 3,200 2.940
3c z 1,850 22,0 40,700 28,800
S DAK : 830 31.0 25-730 = 27.115
TENN t 2,350 27,0 63.950 40,320
TEX z 920 340 26.0 27.0 104560 23,920 94180
va : 665 610 28.9 = 21.0 16,828 18,620 12,810
WIS : aaa 380 31.0, 375 13,640 11,780

62-108 32, 4S 262764976 1,843,459

FLAXSEED

AREA HARVESTED 2
3 IND
1982 3 1983 2

PRODUCTION

3
1983 ¢ 1981 1982 4 1983

: 1/000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
t
MINN a 110 70 15.0 14,5 1,300 1,650 1,015
N DAK : 47s ais 14,0 14,0 4,250 6,650 5,810
3 DAK : 230 105 14,5 14.0 2,249 3,335 16470
:
us 2 ars 590 14,3 14,4 1799 115635 8295

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED = = PRODUCTION
STATE Beer ewe nnenn eww ennnne: ean wen nen wwe onan n-ne nee een n nee n ence ee ees
: Fy IND 2 Ind ¢ : : IND
. 3 1982 2 1983 = 1982: 1983 = 1981 1982 3 1983
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS:

ALA 4s eas 470 32.0 34.0 24,860 26,400 15,960
ARIZ 143 117 86.8 BB 21,644 12,407 105310
ARK 1,760 19375 39.0 39,0 67,650 68,640 53,625
CALIF 1,125 15 72.6 63.8 107,085 45,630
coun 3,048 3,010 38.7 87,877
CEL os a9 43 41.0 1,720
Ga wv 1,480 970 34.0 96,010
IOAHO 1.500 1,275 67.5 89,760
TLL 1,500 1,350 48,0 92,500
IND 1,080 970 $1.0
IOWA 17 100 50 38.0
KANS 13,200 10,800 42.0
KY 675 580 32.0
LA Vv 29.0
Mo vs 42,0
MICH 59.0 41,500 24,600
MINW : 39.8 140,025 126,809
MISS 140 3 34,0 24,000 39,900
wo ry 3A.0 © :115,500 752820
MONT t 31.0 172,830 183,560
NEBR : 43,0 104,400 101,500
NEV : 67.6 1,850 1,890
NJ Vv : 40.0 2,352 1,968
NMEX 1/0 & 30.0 41,000 250
NY if 5 40.0 7040 438
NC If 35.0 19,500 21,600
N DAK 3 30.4 331,700 330,785
onIO 3 52.0 72-600 55,000
OKLA t 35.0 172,800 227,700
OREG : 61.5 77,380 64,500
PA 3 39.0 9-720 Rp 208
sc wv 29.0 14,350 19,800
S$ DAK : 32.9 88,970 99,630
TENN : 34.0 37,900 33,660
TEX : 35.0 183,400 144,000 161,000
UTAH t 36.4 9,575 9,572 7,995
va t 41.0 17,160 14,060 13,120
WASH + 59.2 168350 138,880 = 155,000
WvA 17 : 37.0 360 324 333
WIS : 46.0 5518 5.596 5,940
wro t Biel 8,430 8,628 7,244
us t 39.8 2,798,738 2,808,737 2,423,932

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIFD FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO

STATE
1,000 POUNDS:

CONN 2,670 2,100 1,693 5,645 4,204 3.555
FLA 94300 8,000 2,100 22,648 29,972 16,800
GA 50,000 45,000 2,000 121,000 105,500 90,000
IND 8.600 7,500 1,900 18,800 20,210 14,250
ky 239,190 = 202.400 1,928 509,576 577,100 | 390,300
LA wv 45

MO 27,000 26,000 1.150 33,000 37,530 29,900
MASS 550 400 1,855 1,970 aa7 742
Mo 2.900 2,900 2-000 6076 5.945 5.800
NC 325,040 286,000 1-966 795,909 790,689 562,300
OHIO 14.400 12,000 1,875 22,854 31,860 22,500
PA 13-000 124900 1,782 27-265 25,885 21.385
sc 59,000 54,000 2,025 149,580 124,195 109,350
TENN 72,450 1,856 = 161,463 178,117 134,445
vA 55,800 1,654 158,797 125,384 92,268
wea 2,000 1,900 2,430 3,591 3.800
wis 94200 1,829 26,353 20,136 16,825
us 907,840 797,750 1,898 2,063,611 1,982,245 1,514,220

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1941 CROP,

SUGARBEETS

t AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE Lewenenaaceneun: aonnenen, een wwneseseseseees

3 + IND 3 5 : 3 t IND

sy 1962 3 1983 t 1982 § 1983 2 1981 5 1982 % 1983

3 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
ARIZ z 12.8 20 23.3 0.0 300 298 0
CALIF 3 165.0 171.0 25.5 24.5 7,254 4,200 4190
coLo : 46.0 35.0 20,0 19,0 1,733 920 665
IOAHO 2 136.0 143.0 23.4 25.0 3,754 3,182 3,575
KANS t 9.5 4,8 17.9 16.5 284 170 9
MICH t 96.5 101.0 19,2 19.0 2,030 1,853 1,919
MINN 2 253.0 259.0 18,8 17.5 4,903 4,756 4,533
MONT : 43.0 41.4 19,8 20.0 926 850 626
NEBR 2 45.4 63.0 20.4 19.0 1,889 926 1,197
N MEX 2 7 20 17,1 9.0 43 12 0
N DAK 3 194.8 194.0 17,1 17.5 2,695 2,476 2.520
OHIO 2 20 12.7 0.0 18.0 274 0 228
OREG : 10.3 10.8 24.4 27.0 300 251 292
TEX t 29.4 33.0 18.9 18,0 S75 556 594
WYO 2 36.4 3167 21.1 22.5 1,078 810 713
. 2
us z 1,030.8 1,050.4 20.6 20.3 27,538 21,260 21,333

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED, HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTEO BEETS IN CALIF,

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTEO = t yIeLd PRODUCTION
STATE feceewnsennnennes: - soaennncnnone
: : IND 2 IND t IND
1982 t 1983 2 1982 5 1983 3 1961 1982 3 1983

1,000 ACRES

1,000 TONS

3
FLA 3 373.0 377,20 33,8 32.0 10,019 12,613 12,064
HAW 3 94.7 100.0 95.0 97.0 9,081 8,997 700
LA t 255.0 265.0 27.6 26.5 Tel3G 7,030 7,553
TEX 2 36.7 38.7 30.8 35.5 1174 14130 1,267
us 2 759.4 77747 39.2 39,3 27,908 29,770 302560

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


GRAPES: U.S. crop expected to total 5.90 million tons (5.35 million metric

tons), 11 percent below last year, 32 percent above 1981. California
crop 5.35 million tons, 13 percent less than 1982, 34 percent above 1981.
California raisin type forecast 2.75 million tons, down 12 percent from 1982,
55 percent “ipeve TeaT. Production, if realized, will be second largest of
record due to increase in bearing acres. Harvest will start in-Vate August.
California wine type forecast, 2.10 million tons, down 13 percent from 1982,
17 percent more an 1981. Maturity about one week behind normal. Some berry
shatter due to high temperatures last month. Forecast table type grapes in
California at 500 thousand tons, down 9 percent from a month a 19 percent
below last year, 19 percent above 1981. Maturity 1-2 weeks behind normal.
Tokay variety suffered burn damage from July heat wave.

Michigan grape forecast 60.0 thousand tons, up 3 percent from last year,
13 percent above 1981. Bloom ideal, excellent crop condition. New York
forecast 170 thousand tons, 8 percent above 1982, 13 percent more than 1981.
Freeze damage very limited in major areas. Excellent bunch development, berry
size. Forecast tn Pennsylvania, 53.0 thousand tons, 13 percent higher than
last year, 13 percent below 1981. Late bloom, but excellent development.
Washington forecast 220 thousand tons, 30 percent more than 1982, 38 percent
above 1981. Early bloom, but excellent crop set. Berries sizing well.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon and Washington ex-

pected to total 60.8 thousand tons (55.2 thousand metric
tons), 2 percent more than last year, 20 percent betow 1981. Idaho expects
6800 tons, off 3 percent from 1982. Michigan forecast, 13.0 thousand tons, up
18 percent from last year. Ory weather hindering fruit sizing but fruit sets
are good. Forecast in Oregon, 26.0 thousand.tons, down 13 percent from 1982.
Some poor sets, fruit splitting reported. Heavy drop some areas and leaf spot
affecting fruit size. Washington forecast, 15.0 thousand tons, up 30 percent
from last year. Good bloom and fruit set.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh production forecast at 3.30 million pounds (1500 metric
————" tons) in August, down 26 percent from July but up fractionally from
a year ago. September output expected to drop to 2.52 million pounds (1140
metric tons). Seasonal upswing will begin with an increase to 3.07 million
pounds (1390 metric tons) in October and build to 4.95 million pounds {2250
metric tons) in November.

July fresh production estimated at 4.47 million pounds (2030 metric tons),
down 7 percent from June, 21 percent more than a year ago. Area harvested
rose 3 percent in July, from the previous month, to 2100 acres (850 hectares).

WALNUTS: California forecast, 210 thousand tons (191 thousand metric tons),

10 percent Tess than record high 1982 crop, 7 percent below 1981.
Some bright and codling moth damage reported. Trees weak in some areas due to
excess winter ratns.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FOOD GRAIN PRODUCTION DECLINES

Food grain production (wheat, rye, and rice) forecast at 71.5 million
metric tons, down 15 percent from last year. Wheat productton was down 14
percent, rice was down 31 percent, but rye production increased 23 percent.
Smaller acreages of wheat and rice in response to government programs primary
reason for decrease.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production forecast at 5.24 billion bushels (133 mittion
metric tons), 38 percent below record high of 8.40 billion
bushels (213 million metric tons) in 1982

Average U.S. yield per acre forecast at 99.9 bushels, down 14.9 bushels
from last year's record high. Yields in leading States and bushel change from
last year: Towa 114, down 7; Illinois 102, down 32; Nebraska 113, up 23
Minnesota 114, up 1; Indiana 92, down 37; Ohio 110, down 7; and Wisconsin 103,
down 5. In Southeastern States, yfelds vary reflecting weather to date.
Kentucky, Virginia and parts of Carolinas affected by hot, dry weather. Yields
in 10 Western States above last year; all except-California expecting record
highs.

Area for grain harvest, 52.4 million acres (21.2 million hectares), down
20.7 million acres from 1982 -- many farmers participating {n payment-in-kind
Program.

Crop development generally behind normal due to wet spring weather. Hot,
dry weather in July placed the crop under stress in many States. Crops in
Tllinois and Missourt were particularly affected by the abnormal weather.
Minnesota's moisture ample and record high yield expected although crop
development behind normal. In Iowa, conditions variable with northern part of
State expecting a good crop while prospects deteriorated in southern part of
State. Nebraska crops look good especially in irrigated fields. Over 70
Percent of acreage irrigated.

Harvest underway in Rio Grande Valley of Texas -~ by July 31, 5 percent
harvested; average, 1] percent. Harvest in Georgia about 4 percent complete;
average, 12 percent.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production forecast at 562 million bushets (14.3 million

metric tons), 33 percent less than last year, 36 percent
less than 1981. Area for grain harvest forecast at 10.1 million acres (4.10
million hectares), 29 percent below 1982, 26 percent less than 1981. Yield
forecast at 55.5 bushels, 3,5 bushels less than 1982 and 8.6 bushels less than
record high of 64.1 bushels set in 1981. August 1 yfeld prospects in Northern
Plains equal to last year in Nebraska, but 2 bushels higher in South Dakota.
Prospective yields in Kansas down 2 bushels from last year and Texas yield
forecast 4 bushels per acre less than 1982.

Development of sorghum continued behind normal during July. August
condition fatr to good. In major producing States 39 percent of crop headed,
compared with 40 percent in 1982 and 49 percent average. Lack of rain in
Texas and eastern Kansas stressed crop. Harvest in Texas 35 percent complete,
9 points behind average.

OATS: Production forecast at 504 million bushels (7.32 million metric tons),
18 percent below Tast year and second smallest crop of 20th century.

In 1980, only 458 million bushels (6.65 million metric tons) produced. Area

for grain, at 9.06 million acres (3.67 million hectares), the smallest since

1980. Yield, at 55.7 bushels, 2.7 bushels below last year's record high, 1.6

bushels above 1981.

Production declined 3 percent from July 1 forecast, primarily because of
yield reductions in Iowa and Minnesota. In these States hot, dry July weather
Caused light test weights. No yield changes from July 1 forecast for the
important States of North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUMMER POTATOES

STATE eee ee mene e meen wen enesnonnee
3 2 3 IND
' 1982 3 1983 3 1982 1981 8 1982 t 1983
+ 1000 ACRES cur 4,000 CHT
3
ALA ' 1590 120 1,365 1,290 Lelle
CALIF : 365 320 2,960 3,066 2,560
COLO ' 260 250 1,908 1e664a 1/4975
DEL 2 290 200 1,248 1,566 1,080
TLL Vv 3 265 24s ses $83 564
INO) 1/0 220 170 272 418 289
TowA 1/  $ 208 185 270 308 296
“0 wv z 205 205 312 328 328
MICH : 200 170 1,483 1,560 1,360
MINN : 265 270 1,647 12881 1.377
NEAR 7 160 180 220 160 198
Nog : 260 180 2,066 2,054 1,494
N MEX 3 280 300 945, 1,260 1,320
oN t AIS. 115 480 449 499
OHIO If ¢ 250 210 228 300 ase
TENN 17 ¢ 95 95 279 257 238
TEX : 240 250 1,541 2,088 2,325
VA ’ 135 7 2,320 2,228 1,001
us Ree 189 20,035 21,460 17,722

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

SWEETPOTATOES

AREA HARVESTED = YIELO : PRODUCTION

g IND 3 2: IND ft : ’ IND
1982 3 1983 3 1982 1983 % 1981 1982 t 1983
1,000 ACRES cat 3,000 cwr

5.5 120 120 bet 660 588
9.2 190 180 1,647 1,708 1,584
6.3 130 110 64a a19 638
25.0 100 95 26600 2,500 2,090
1.3 195 165 228 254 182
5.0 100 95 aga 500 aa7
2.9 110 105 275 319 263
41.0 140 120 4.680 S.740 4,200
4.0 125 105 333 500 368
1.5 85 60 144 126 112
7.2 110 130 74a. 792 923
2.2 150 wis 345, 330 138

129 118 12.752 533

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY

$ AREA HARVESTED ¢ YIELO 2 PRODUCTION
2 INO ft IND
1962 1963 ¢ 1983

STATE

1,000 ACRES

1,000

ARIZ 160 145 7,70 16120 1,168
ARK 60 60 2.20 196 144
CALIF 960 950 6.70 6.615 6,032
coLo 770 730 3.50 26310 2.541
CONN 2 23 22 2.90 s? 63
DEL 2 7 7 3.60 27 ar
IDAHO t 16020 980 3.70 34960 3,774
TLL 3 690 680 3.50 2.609 24691
IND + 385 360 3.50 Ve3i3 1-963
TOWA : 1,740 1,600 3.50 7,000 6,960
KANS 2 1,000 930 3.30 3,600 3.650
ky : 204 190 3.20 720 775
LA to 12 2.50 31 24
MAINE 20 20 2.65 51 52
MD" 3 66 70 3.60 2a. 257
MASS Fy 29 31 2.80 7B BL
MICH t 1,050 1.100 3.40 3.300 3,675
MINN 1 1.950 1.850 3.30 6,400 6,240
mo : 560 420 2.60 1,650 1,736
MONT + 4.300 1-120 2.50 3,380 3,380
NEBR 1.650 1,650 3.20 44960 5,445
NEV ais 220 3.50 746 153
NH 20 22 2.60 50 54
NJ a2 40 3.60 136 168
N MEX 260 270 5.00 1,269 14300
NY 975 930 2.60 25673 2.633
nc 35 30 2.90 65 88
N DAK 1,670 1,450 1,90 2,560 3,340
OHTO 480 440 3.60 16449 14710
OKLA 370 340 3.00 W131 1,221
OREG 420 aan 4.40 1,743 1,764
PA 640 B10 3.00 2ao7 2,520
RI 2 3 2.90 T 6
8 DAK 2,450 25340 2.58 3,555 5,880
TENN 130 125 3.10 288 390
TEX 180 170 4,30 86a R28
uTAR 470 ass 4,00 1,948 1,880 1,820
vt 110 105 2.70 289 297 284
vA 95 100 2.50 2ao 304 250
WASH 490 aso 4.00 1,850 2.107 1,800
wv t 90 85 2.70 196 234 230
wis : 3,950 2,980 3,60 9,405 12-133 10,728
wo 3 530 S30 2.60 16323 16325 16378
us 265588 25,262 3434 832792, = 90,513 84,361.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about August 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports from
farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, cotton and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions
and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their
localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts
and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to
sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to al? surveys. More
importantly, the productfon forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
Performance, is shown. below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the August 1 production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
Percentage deviations for the 1963-82 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 6.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current production forecast of 5,237 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 6.7 percent or approximately
+351 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 11.7 percent or approximately 613 mitlion

ushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn
again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 294 million bushels, ranging
from } million to 830 million bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply that the
August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

MEAN SQUARE ERROR 10-YEAR RECORD OF
OIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST

AND FINAL ESTIMATE

UNIT

:BELOW: ABOVE
GE: FINAL: FINAL

FEED GRAINS 1/
CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
OATS
BARLEY
ALL WHEAT

WINTER

DURUM

OTHER SPRING
RICE
SOYBEANS FOR

BEANS
COTTON BALES 2

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
(METRIC UNITS)

CROP

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 3 213 302 110 133 014 700
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 21 364 390 14 284 750
OATS 3 8 955 450 7 533 290 7 318 460
BARLEY : 11 373 630 12 191 840 12 068 780
ALL WHEAT : 76 441 290 65 968 620
WINTER : 57 377 050 52 727 060 53 430 720
DURUM 3 4 014 370 2 203 290
OTHER SPRING 3 15 049 870 1O 334 610
RICE 3 6 995 120 4 856 480
RYE 7 528 780 661 900 652 760
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 3 61 969 130 50 170 730
FLAXSEED 3 295 540 210 700
PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 1 559 590 1 591 780
ALL COTTON 1/2 604 540 1 700 310
UPLAND 1/2 583 050 1 683 330
AMER-PIMA : 21 490 16 980
COTTONSEED 3 1/4 303 680 2 839 490
ALL HAY 3 138 276 720 132 053 440
ALFALFA : 82 112 010 76 531 010
ALL OTHER : 56 164 710 55 522 430
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 3 1123 270 712 410
SUMMER POTATOES 3 973 400 870 260 803 850
SWEETPOTATOES : 648 180 $23 130
TOBACCO 3 899 130 686 840
SUGARBEETS 2 19 286 750 19 352 970
SUGARCANE FOR :
one AND SEED 27 006 890 27 745 340
35 630 32 500
APPLES, COM'L 3 678 610 3 811 060 3 801 540
PEACHES 2/ 1 039 900 967 870 893 480
PEARS 730 280 768 930 747 160
GRAPES. 6 002 120 5 350 030
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL. CALIF 53 980 55 160
WALNUTS (CALIF ale 280 190 10 190 510

v7 "REVISED. 27 INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY “DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA
CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN METRIC TONS: 1982-72 120.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

METRIC TONS

POTATOES t
WINTER : 102 650 107 150
SPRING : 932 540 792 830
FALL B 13 833 860
SWEET CHERRIES 3 143 520 141 700
TART CHERRIES : 141 020 64 360
APRICOTS : 102 420 ~ 94 800
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 156 940 172 370
PLUMS (CALIF) 3 107 500 154 220
ORIED PRUNES 3
(CALIF) 3 114 310 122 470
ALMONDS (eatiy) : 157 400 113 400
OLIVES (CALIF) 3 132 850 59 870

W ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-& CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

$ AREA HARVESTED ot

STATE Fewewennnwne nen ne a=:

PROOUCTION

’ : IND ft e IND 2 3
Py 1982 1963 t 1982 3 1983 2 1981 ¢ 1982 3
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 4,000 BUSHELS

ALA 450 300 60.0 34,100 29,700
ARIZ 25 17 140.0 4,550 3,375
ARK 30 35 75.0 3,185 2,460
CALIF 330 270 132.0 38,750 42,900
coLo 830 585 140.0 108,230 110,390
CONN 17
DEL z 182 84.0 15,385 18,564
FLA 3 245 66.0 17,985 15-190
GA 3 81s 70.0 69,000 69,275
Dano z 65 122.0 74130 7,800
TUL : 11,380 102.0 14454,080 1,4524,920
IND 3 64320 92.0 654,000 815,280
TOWA : 13,150 114.0 1/758,950 1.591,150
KANS : 1,230 203.0 © 148,050 = 140,220
KY 2 1.490 72.0 189,000 157,940
La t 40 80.0 2,409 3,120
MAINE 17
“D 2 660 550 8740 72,950 70,620 47,850
MASS 1/ :
MICH z 2,820 1,650 95.0 273,600 307,380 175,750
MINN t 6,500 4,370 114,0 704,700 734,500 498,180
MISS : 90 BO 56.0 6,440 5-589 4,480
MO z 1,970 1,550 75.0 213,400 204,889 116,250
MONT 2 14 12 100,0 © 119.0 850 1,400
NEBR 2 6,940 5e000 411.9 113.0 791,200 770,340
NH Ys ok
NJ : 12 105 102.0 85.0 12,375 11,420
N MEX : 90 SS 110.0 125.0 9,000 9,900
NY g 730 550 92.0 85.0 74,400 67,160
ne 2 1630 1,350 = 104,0 62.0 180,950 164,630
N DAK : 520 350 68.0 80.0 41,553 35,360
OHIO z 4,060 2,650 117.0 110.0 360,000 475,020
OKLA 5 60 45 100.0 90.0 3,850 6,000
OREG 3 34 20 140.0 | 345.0 22970 4,760
PA A 14300 1,150 85.0 134,400 126,100
RI wv :
sc 3 340 290 65.0 33,060 30,600 18,850
3 DAK : 2,640 1,700 70.0 180,600 © 192,729 119,900
TENN : 650 600 66.0 55,040 61,100
TEX z 1,140 1,150 405 100.0 127,530 119,700
UTAH : wv 14° «118.0 120.0 1,650 2,006
vt Vv t
va £ 595 375 105.0 6540 56,250 62,475 24,375
WASH 3 190 130 145.0 = 150.0 14,250 27,550 49,500
weva 2 69 62 100.0 92.0 6,256 6,900
WIS 3 34350 2,400 108.0 «= 103,0 © 37A,000 © 361.800
wro t a9 46 105.0 = 110.0 5,060 5.105
us t 73,152 $2,014 114.8 99.9 8,201,598 8,397,334 5,236,558

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTEO FoR SILAGE,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



SULY WEATHER SUMMARY

The month was generally warmer than normal east of the Rockies and cooler
to the west. Averages for the month were 4-60 above normal from Towa to
Ohio, in northern North Dakota, and northward into Canada. Afternoon
temperatures were unusually high during the last two weeks of the month, after
corn and soybeans began blooming. Temperatures in the high nineties over the
Corn Belt stressed corn at a very critical time. Much of the Nation had
below-normal rainfall. The Paciftc Northwest and parts of the central Rockies
had wel? above-normal precipitation. Most of the Corn Belt had
less-than-normal rain, especially the southern portion. The Southeast became
very dry. Parts of South Carolina had less than 25% of norma) precipitation.

GROP_DEVELOPMENT

Hot, dry weather persisted during July across most regions of the Nation.
Pushing small grains to maturity. Harvesting moved ahead rapidly during the
month, but was still later than average because small grains developed slowly
during the unusually cool, wet spring. Ory soi? slowed germination of double-
cropped soybeans and stressed corn development across much of the eastern half
of the Nation. Development of all row crops continued behind the five-year
average because of the late planting season.

At the beginning of August, corn was in generally fair to good condition.
However, in portions of States from Missouri to Virginia, dry conditions
caused ratings to fall to poor to fair. Only 62 percent of the Nation's corn
had reached the silking stage by July 31 and 9 percent had reached the dough
stage. Crop development trailed the average in all producing areas. Fields
in the South were in the dent stage and many were mature as the month ended.
Harvesting reached 4 percent in Georgia and was 8 percent finished in
Louisiana.

Soybeans were in fair to good condition. Reduced moisture levels in some
areas slowed germination of double-cropped soybeans, limited growth of plants
and caused some bloom loss. By the end of the month, blooming and podding was
underway in al? States, with 59 percent of the fields blooming. Pod set was
20 percent complete. Pod set was 20 points behind average in Ohio, 18 points
behind in Mississippi, and 15 points behind average in Louisiana. The only
States ahead of average were North Carolina and South Carolina.

Cotton was generally in fair to good condition, although the Missouri crop
was rated only poor to fair. Boll set was Tess than average in most areas.
By the end of July bolls had set on 46 percent of the acreage, compared with
the 63 percent average. In Texas, 36 percent of the acreage set bolls, 17
points less than average. Bolls were beginning to open in the extreme South.
Harvesting had not started as the month ended.

Sorghum was in fair to good condition. Dry conditions from Texas into
eastern Kansas stressed fields, causing some deterioration at the end of July.
Heading reached 39 percent complete by the beginning of August. Thirty-five
percent of the Texas crop had been harvested.

Winter wheat combining was 84 percent complete by July 31. Progress
ranged from 7% finished in Idaho to complete in Illinois, Indiana, Kansas,
Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas. Growers in the Corn Belt began plowing
harvested fields as the month ended. Spring wheat harvesting reached 4
percent. Montana had not started spring wheat harvest. In the other 4 major
States, harvest ranged from 1 percent complete in both Idaho and North Dakota
to 18% finished in South Dakota.

FEED GRAIN PRODUCTION DECREASES

Production of four feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) expected
to total 167 million metric tons, down 35 percent from last year. Lower corn
yields and smaller corn acreage because of government programs was major
reasons for the decline in feed grain production. Corn production, which
accounts for 80 percent of feed grains, down 38 percent from a year earlier;
oats, down 18 percent; sorghum, down 33 percent; but barley, up 6 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

: IND ¢ 2 : IND
1983 3 1981 1982 ¢ 1983

' 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS: 1,000 BUSHELS
2 .
ARIZ 3 79 55 89.0 86.0 18,275 7,031 4,730
CALIF ' 125 65 93,0 82.0 14,685 11,625 5,330
MINN : 78 38 39.0 37.0 5,400 3,042 1,406
MONT : 340 205 30,0 23.0 14,040 10,200 4,115
N DAK ? 3,450 2,020 32.5 31.0 130,790 112,125 62,620
S DAK : 145 17 24,0 28.0 5750 3.480 0156
+ 4217 2,460 35.0 32.9 185,940 147,503 80,957

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

: PRODUCTION

3 : :
1982 t 1983 1981 3 1982

1982 %

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
coLe 48 60 73,0 75.0 4,002 3,504 4,500
IDAHO 580 475 72.0 75.0 34,100 41,760 35,625
MINN 3,020 2,090 40,0 40.0 134,000 120,800 83,600
MONT 24900 1,860 32.0 27.0 72,540 92,800 50,220
NEV 14 10 60.0 65.0 800 840 650
N OAK 66900 5,000 31.0 30.0 197,400 213,900 150,000
OREG 100 as 40.0 45.0 4,180 4,000 3,625
3 _DAK “2,350 1.400 25.0 27.0 52,800 $8,750 37,800
UTAH 33 23 50.0 50.0 1,350 1,650 1,150
WASH 280 220 48.0 50.0 7,040 13,440 11,000
WIS 28 23 32,0 30.0 868 896 690
WYO a4 at 27.9 32.0 180 648 e72
us 16,277 11,267 34,0 33.7 509,260 552,988 379,732

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSE

UNITEO STATES

: SPRING

TOTAL

3 3
DURUM = WHITE =

1,000 AUSHELS

1980 161815126 435,347 278,910 311,948 108,395 59,080 2,374,306
1981 16116,652 676,467 319,419 467,726 185,940 41,534 2,798,738
1982 1,255,389 609,815 243,042 500,172 147,503 $2,816 2,808,737

198% 1/2 4,18

1/ INDICATED AUG. 1, 1983.

504 507,687 269,052 333,812 80,957 45,920 2,423,932

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION =: (SE

Released Statistical Reporting
SEC qugust 11, 1983 Service

3:00 P.M. ET

US. Department
of Agriculture
Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

ALL WHEAT production forecast at 2.42 billion bushels (66.0 million metric
tons), down 14 percent from 1982 record high production. The 90 per-
cent confidence interval for this production forecast is 2.34 to 2.50
billion bushels. Winter wheat forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.4
million metric tons), 7 percent less than 1982. Durum wheat
production forecast at 81.0 million bushels (2.20 million metric
tons), down 45 percent from last year while other spring wheat
production at 380 million bushels (10.3 million metric tons) is 31
percent below 1982's record production.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye, and rice) expected to total 71.5 million
metric tons in 1983, down 15 percent from a year earlier.

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 5.24 billion bushels (133 million
metric tons), 38 percent below record high 1982 crop. The 90
percent confidence interval for this production is 4.62 to 5.85
billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production forecast at 562 million bushels (14.3 million metric
tons) down 33 percent from last year's production.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) expected to total 167
million metric tons; down 35 percent from a year earlier.

SOYBEAN production forecast at 1.84 billion bushels (50.2 million metric tons),
19 percent smaller than record crop of 1982 and 8 percent smaller
than 1981 crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for production is
1.68 to 2.00 billion bushels.

HAY production is forecast at a 146 million tons (132 million metric tons), a 5
percent decline from the record 1982 production. Pasture and range
feed condition on August 1 averaged 76 percent, 70 points below a
year ago.

ALL COTTON production forecast at 7.81 million bales, 35 percent below 1982
production. The 90 percent confidence interval for this forecast is
6.61 to 9.01 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production forecast at 1.51 billion pounds (687 thousand metric

tons), 24 percent below the 1.98 billion pounds (899 thousand metric
tons) produced in 1982.

NUMBER _OF FARMS in the U.S. in 1983 is estimated at 2.37 million, down 1 per-
cent from 1982. Land in farms declined 3.37 million acres. Average
size of farms increased from 433 last year to 437 acres in 1983.

Planted revisions have been made in a few States. These revisions
are shown as footnotes in the respective State tables. The effect of
these changes on U.S. planted acreage is minimal for most crops.

** IMPORTANT NOTICE **

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports
should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 ~
South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021).

eres

ee

Fe

CrPr 2-2 (8-83) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


DURUM WHEAT: Production forecast at 81.0 million bushels (2.20 million metric
tons), 45 percent Tess than 1982, 56 percent below 1981 record
high.

Area for harvest, 2.46 million acres (996 thousand hectares), down 42
percent from last year--smallest area harvested since 1970.

Expected yield of 32.9 bushels, down 2.1 bushels from Yast year. Limited
harvest began July 31 in North Dakota, expected to become general by mid
August. Hot July weather pushed development ahead of normal in North Dakota
with 35 percent of acreage ripe by July 31 compared with 5 year average of 30
percent. Conditions mostly good, although hot weather is a concern.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production forecast at 380 million bushels (10.3 million
metric tons), 31 percent below record high 1982
production, 25 percent below 1981.

Area for harvest, 11.3 million acres (4.56 million hectares), 31 percent
less than 1982 -- smallest since 1972.

Expected yield of 33.7 bushels down 0.3 bushel from last year although
record high yields expected in Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, South Dakota,
Washington and Wyoming. Yields in Montana, North Dakota and Wisconsin down
from last year while Minnesota and Utah tied record high yfelds.

Spring wheat crop ripened unusually fast because of hot July weather in
major producing States. In North Dakota, 51 percent of acreage ripe by July
31 compared with 43 percent average. Harvest just beginning in southeastern
North Dakota. .

RICE: Productton forecast at 107 million hundredweight (4.86 million metric
tons), 31 percent less than last year, 41 percent below record high in
1981. Harvested acreage and average yield are both down from 1982.

Nationally, 2.31 million ‘acres (934 thousand hectares) for harvest
compared with 3.25 million acres (1.32 million hectares) for 1982. Harvested
acreage declined in all six producing States due to government acreage
programs.

This year's yield forecast of 4637 pounds, 105 pounds less than last
year. California, Louisiana, Missouri and Texas, report lower yield than
1982. Cool, wet spring caused late planting and slow development tn 211
tates.

Rice generally in fair to good condition at end of July. Hot weather
pushed maturity of late fields in Texas; cool nights slowed development in
California. Twenty-nine percent of crop headed in major producing States as
month ended, 14 points behind normal. Harvest just starting in Louisiana by
August 1.

RYE: Production forecast at 25.7 million bushels (653 thousand metric tons),
23 percent above last year. Average yield 30.0 bushels, up 0.9 bushel

from 1982. Expected yields equal or higher than 1982 all States except

Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Carolina and Wisconsin.

Harvested area, at 858 thousand acres (347 thousand hectares), 20 percent
above last year, but 2 percent below July 1 forecast.

SOYBEANS: Production forecast at 1.84 billion bushels (50.2 million metric

tons), 19 percent below last year's record, 8 percent less than
1981. Yield forecast, 29.7 bushels--2.5 bushels less than Vast year, 0.4
bushel below 1981. The 62.1 million acre (25.1 million hectares) for harvest,
down 12 percent from last year, 6 percent below 1981.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


BARLEY: Production forecast at record high 554 million bushels (12.1 million
——— metric tons), up 6 percent from previous record high of 1982, 16
percent above 1981. Average yield, 56.0 bushels, compares with record high
57.3 bushels last year. roduction up sharpty in North Dakota and
Washington--increasing 25 and 20 percent, respectively, from last year.
Montana production up 9 percent from 1982, South Dakota, up 8 percent.
Reductions in Idaho and Minnesota, both down 3 percent, and California down 26
percent. Fewer acres for harvest accounted for smaller production in these
States. Nationally, area for harvest at 9.91 millfon acres (4.01 million
hectares), up 9 percent from 1982. Harvest ranged from virtually complete in
California and Oregon to just underway in Idaho, Minnesota and North Dakota.

ALL WHEAT: Combined production of winter, other spring, and durum wheat for
1983 estimated at 2.42 billfon bushels (66.0 million metric tons),
down 14 percent from 1982's record high production.

Harvested area, at 61.0 million acres (24.7 million hectares), down 23
percent from last year. .

Yield expected to average record high 39.8 bushels per acre, 4.2 bushels
above previous record set last year.

WINTER WHEAT: Production forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.4 million metric
~~~" tons}, 7 percent less than both 1982 and 1981,

Harvested area, at 47.2 million acres (19,1 million hectares), 19 percent
below both 1982 and 1981. .

Yield placed at record high 41.6 bushels per acre, up 5.5 bushels from Tast
year, 4.7 bushels above previous record high set in 1979. Major producing
States with record high yields were: Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Ohio, Oregon,
South Dakota, Texas and Washington. Idaho, Illinois and Indiana tied previous
record high yields.

Harvest 84 percent complete 15 major States on July 31, compared with 85
percent 1982 and 87 percent average. Combining virtually complete Kansas,
Oklahoma, Texas several other mid-western States. Harvest behind schedule
Oregon and Washington.

U,S.- ALL WHEAT PRODUCTION

me
sum apes
u
ann west
nen oe y
went ABAR
vor wes
u
re ar
"

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250

OFFICIAL BUEINESS
PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE, §300

To stop mating ([) or to chenge your
eddress (] send this sheet wih tebe!
intact, showing new address, to Crop
Reporting Board Publications, $RS..U.8.
Dept. of Agricutture, Rm 5829 South

Wash. 0.C. 20250.

Bulicing. 14th & independence Ave. 8.W.,

POSTAGE AND FEES PAID
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE
AGA 103

FIRST CLASS


Day EDIBLE BEANS uv

PRODUCTION

i AREA HARVESTED

crop femmenne. eeeeecnen. ewe wenenee

AND : t IND 3 t tno

STATE 1982 1983 3 1982 1981 2 1982 19833
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 cut

LARGE LIMA BEANS

CALIF * : 31.0 30.0 2.010 2,020 639 623 606
BABY LIMA BEANS :

CALIF * 27.0 26.0 2.150 26300 66 S81 598
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS t

CALIF « 168.0 94.0 1,570 1,650

ALL ORY EDTBLE REANS 2

CALIF 3 226,0 150.0 1,700 1,837

coLo $ 170.0 107.0 1,210 1,440

TOAHO 2 141.0 98.0 1,840 1.809

KANS 3 24,0 10.5 1,000 1,400

MICH $50.0 340.0 1,350 1,150

MINN : 73.0 51.0 1,300 1,250

MONT t 8.4 3.0 1,650 1,600

NEBR : 212.0 130.0 1,500 1,650

NY 8 t 49.0 28.0 1,200 1,250

N DAK : 240.0 157.0 1,050 1,100

UTAH 2 19,0 6.5 460 480

WASH Hy 32,0 "15.0 2,070 2,080

Wyo : 29.0 18,0 1.800 1,880

US 2 1,764.9 = 1,114.0 1,404 1,410

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED,

*# 1983 PLANTED ACRES REVISED (THOUSAND ACRES)? CALIF LARGE LIMA-~30.0,
BABY LIMA==26.0, BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS==94,03 MICH==360.08 N Y==29.07
U Semt,160.0.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA_


ALL OTHER HAY

AREA HARVESTEO YIELO : PRODUCTION
$ IND
1982 2 | 1983

2 t IND t : IND
a 1982! 1983 1 1982 t 1983

1-000 ACRES 1,000 TONS

ALA 650 650 1,90 1.90 1,235 1.235
ARIZ 2s 25 2,90 3.10 73 78
ARK 800 750 1,80 1,70 1,490 1,275
CALIF S10 530 2.40 2.50 1,224 1-325
couo 700 650 1,60 1,60 1,120 1,360
CONN 66 68 2.10 2.10 139 143
OEL 1 17 1.90 1,80 ay 31
FLA 237 210 2.40 2,40 569 S04
GA 500 480 2.40 2,00 14200 960
IDAHO 320 340 2,10 2.10 672 714
Tue 440 450 2.10 1.80 924 810
INO 430 450 2,40 2.30 1,032 1,035
IOWA $00 400 2,60 2,20 1,300 880
KANS. 1,350 1,500 1.75 1.70 2363 2.550
KY 15380 1,90 1,80 2,622 2,538
tA 3a0 2,20 2.20 748 7440
MAINE 203 1.85 1.85 376 376
MD 179 2,10 2,00 376 370
MASS cry 2.25 2.20 212 207
MICH 320 2.20 2.10 704 630
MINN 920 2.20 2,10 2,024 1.953
MISS 750 2.19 2,10 1,575 16418
MO 2,620 1.70 1.50 4,794 4,200
MONT 4,150 1,50 1.40 1,725 1,750
NEBR 25150 1,10 1.10 2,365 26530
NEV 280 1.35 1,35 378 405
NH m1 2.10 2,05 149 144
nd 62 2.30 2.20 143 165
N MEX 60 1.40 1,40 84 98
NY 1,325 2,00 1.90 2,659 26546
nec 360 1.60 1.50 576 593
N DAK 1,550 1,45 1.45 2,248 2,248
OHIO 850 2.20 2.20 1.870 1,980
OKLA 1-150 1.70 1.50 1,955 2.325
OREG 650 1,85 1,90 1,203 1.311
PA 1.160 2.00 1.90 2.320 2.185
RI 8 1,90 1.90 15 13
sc 220 2.20 1,90 484 a09
3 DAK 1,900 1.45 1.45 2,755 2.610
TENN 1,200 1.50 1,50 1,800 1,838
TEX 2,800 2,10 2.20 5,880 6.050
UTAH 125 1.90 1.90 238 226
vT 350 1.90 1.90 665 665
vA 15 1.50 1,30 1,373 1,235
WASH 340 2,30 2.20 782 836
WoVA 540 540 1,20 1.20 648 648
WIS 750 850 2.70 2,60 2,025 2.210
wrod 620 650 1,35 1,30 837 845
us 34,13 35,132 1.82 1,74 1,911 61-203,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

Lop
Yigll

at

Willy.
TT ow

tngcates cuter supp feod for grazng on non-ergated pasties and anges rlave to tha expected
fom ensing sands under ery Haver able 4
soa

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WVA 1/
wis 1s

1/ ESTIMATES

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983

AREA HARVESTED

FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FO!

IND

BARLEY

IND

1983 f

BUSHELS

105.9
62.0
74.0
57.0

106.0
57.0
75.0
55.0
72.0
48.0
38.0
58.0
54.0
58.0
45.0
45.0
75.0
57.0
67.0
51.0
50.0
37.0
67.9
$6.0
40.0
45.0
55.0
78.0
60.0
70.90
50.0
58.0
69.0
$6.0

1981 3

4,085
40,320
18,600

1,300
63,130

1,664

2,016

5-040

1,352
57,680
56,760

975

1,650

1,037

1,876

3eG10

105,600

1,550
11-700

4,104

1,161
20,060

2-100
11,088

5,917
44,080

$50

1,550

8,978

479,333

1,000 BISHELS

6615
38,440
17,020

2,166
74,529

2,337

1,350

5,723

2.916
51,040
76,440

1e175,

2,560

1,260

2,442

31276

108,120

14344

$22,387

PRODUCTION

10,488
554,315

RECAST,

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEACHE:

cROP
AND

STATE

ALA 2s
ARK

co.o
CONN 2/7
DEL av
GA 2s
IDAHO 2/
ToL

IND 2/
KANS ay
Ky as
Laas

Mo

MASS 2/
MICH
MISS 27
MO 2/

OKLA 27
OREG as
PA

sc

TENN 2/
TEX 2/
UTAH 2s
vA

WASH
Wve

a
CALIF *FREESTONE

TOTAL ABOVE

CLINGSTONE 3/
CALIF

a

1

Lt PEACHES
ug

:
1
2
ry
:
3
:
:
ry

40.0
2.0
13.0
13.0
65.0
430.0
10,0
34.0
12.0
30.0
20.0
18.0

1,580.6

1,202.0

2782.6

TATAL 2

M

$s
PRODUCTION
/ ‘
INDICATED
1983
TLLION POUNDS

15.0 13.0
32.0 32.0
415.0 440.0
114.0 10.0
2.3 3.0

1.7 1.8
120.0 aS.0
7.0 11.0

a 11.0

a 5.0

1.8 6.5

a; 6.0

5.0 7.0
22.0

1.8

35.0

3.0

16,0

110.0

14,

10.0

10.0

9.0

16,0

99,0

95.6

2.2

27.0

13.0

27.0 24.0
25.0 29.0
14,0 22.0
1,190.6 1718968
1,102.0 780.0
2292.6 1,969.8

7 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLTON POUNDS)?
EXCLUDING CALIF CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1981+34.8, 1982=24,7,
A ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

7 CALIF CLINGSTONE I$ OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY

UNITED STATES,

DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS) ®

1981-9620, 19820159.0.

7 NO SIGNIFICANT COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION DUE TO EARLIER FROSTS,

WALNUTS:

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST

PRODUCTION

1983

8-21

210-000

234,000

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



AND TOTAL 1/ $
oe eeeenessencnest InD
1981 ' 1982 ' 1983

: TONS

:

PEARS BARTLETT 3
CALIF 3 366,000 314,000 300,000
OREG t 85,000 70,000 76,000
WASH t 144,500 141,300 150,000
TOTAL : 595,500 525,300 $26,000

PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT ¢
CALIF 3 10,000 7/500 7,500
OREG ’ 120,000 105,000 120,000
WASH 2 130,800 129,500 130,000
TOTAL t 260,800 237,000 257,500

ALL PEARS :
CALIF 3 376,000 321,500 307,500
colo 27 3 7,000 2,700 5,300
CONN 2/ 1,550 1,580
MICH 12,000 + 87000
NY 19,000 18,500
OREG 175,000 196,000
PA cts 41600 3,600
UTAH 2/ 2,800 3,100
WASH 275,300 265,800 280,000
us 897,000 604,950 823,580

17 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS)? vs
1981-3,050, 1982~1,220,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

GRAPES
’ PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE teoeee: eee ne ne enw ene renee es enern eee

: TOTAL 17 :

Beene mene nnn nn ne enone ree enoeet IND

: 1981 i 1982 t 1983

: TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE
CALIF 3 420,000 602-000 500,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE :
CALIF 2 1,794,000 2,402,000 24100,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE DRIED 2/2
CALIF 3 256,000 288,000
GRAPES RAISIN NOT ORIED 3
CALIF 1 755,000 t,1142,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE ast
CALIF 1 1+779,000 3,134,000 2,750,000
ALL GRAPES 2
ARIZ : 126400 15100 13,500
ARK 3 6000 10,500 9,500
CALIF 3 3,993,000 6,138,000 5,350,000
GA : 2,800 2,500
MICH : 58,500 60,000
“Oo 1 2.500 3,400
NY Hy 157,000 170,000
nc : 4,500 5000
OHIO 9,000 8,000
PA ’ 61,000 47,000 53,000
$c ’ 2,400 2,500
WASH % 159,000 168,900 220,000
OTHER STATES art 5,600
ys : 404570 600 6+616,200 5,697,400

1/ INCLUOES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS) I) S$ 19812600, 1982-780,200,

2/ DRIEO BASIS, 1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4,00
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1981 AND 5,25 TONS FOR 1982,

3/ FRESH EGIVALENT OF ORIED AND NOT DRIED.

4/ GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA FOR 1981,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-22 CROP REPORTING ‘BOARD, SRS, USDA



PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED = 3 PRODUCTION

1982 ¢ 1983 3

t 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

t
ALA ' 177.0 183.0 2,950 2,700 602¢730 $22,150 4944100
FLA : 5 56.0 3-000 2,900 153,000 1626400
GA ' 525.0 3-215 3,100 1,517,480 1,627-500
MISS 1/3 120730
N MEX z 11,0 2.425 2,500 24,900 25,220 27,500
nC # t 147.0 26825 2,600 555-560 415,275 382,200
OKLA & 84.0 2030 24100 189,280 174,580 176,900
sc : 13.0 © 26500 2,400 39,000 30,000 31,200
TEX 2 215.0 12995 1,600 393/250 325,125 344,000
va : 96.0 26900 2750 330,750 275,500 264,000

2
uUSs® 3 142754 = 16330.0 | 24696 2639 3,981,850 3,938,330 3,509,300

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1983 CROP,
# 1983 PLANTED ACRES REVISED (THOUSAND ACHES)! N Com148.07 U S="1,3555.0,

COTTON

AREA HARVESTED = = YIELD PRODUCTION 1/

CROP AND
STATE

1983 5 1982 1982 ¢ 1983

POUNDS 1,000 BALES 27
COTTON, UPLAND
Mk ——t ~—285.0 195.0 178 554 422.0 460.0 225.0
ARIZ 465.0 290.0 16130 1,092 1,556.0 1,095.0 660.0
ARK 310.0 657 495 604.0 534.0
CALIF 37 2 965.0 16037 9953453560 3073.0
FLA : 9.5 627 621 21.3 19,6
GA 2 125.0 714 538 159.0 235.0
la : 410.0 702 S62 742.0 870.0
MISS z 750.0 853 640 «1,565.9 14760,0
“Oo : 93.0 eae 387 168.0 204.0
NEV : 20 617 0 1.5 ao
N MEX t 49.0 S51 598 133.0 78.0
nC : 39.0 699 496 95.0 102.0
OKLA 3 350.0 254 325 440.0 238.0
sc t 69.0 783 661 164.0 155.0
TENN : 255.0 215.0 635 480 315.0 339.0
TEX t 4,300.0 3,590.0 301 29s 5,645.0 2,700.0
vA z 3 640 320 3 4
us wee 9,658. 7,389.8 590 502 15,566.12 11,863,9
COTTON, AMERSPIMA
a z 41.6 30.8 Teo 76a 53.7 65.9
N MEX : 9.4 11.0 S11 980 7.9 10.0
TEX : 19.5 19.8 Sot 436 18.0 22.8
+ 70.5 61.6 672 608 19.6 98.7

us
COTTON, ALL
aa

175 ssa 422.0 460.0

ARIZ 1/100 = 16061 = 460927 16160,9

ARK os? 495 604.0 534.0

CALIF eA 1,077 995 3,535.0 3,073.0

FLA 627 621 21.3 19.6

GA 71a 538 159.0 235.0

ta 702 S62 742.0 870.0

MISS 853 640 «1,565.0 = 14760.0

MO e48 387 166.0 204.0

NEV e17 iy 1.5 a

N MEX 546 576 140.9 88.0

NC 699 496 95.0 102.0

OKLA 254 325 440.0 238.0

sc Tes boi 1bh.0 185.0

TENN 255.0 638 480 315.0 339.0 215.0
303 296 5,663.0 2,722.8 2,168,0
640 320 3

590 $03 15,645.7

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
2/ GBO-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ 1982 REVISED,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-10 TROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED

CROP AND UNIT

CORN FOR GRAIN BU : 8,397,334 5,236,558
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN . 3 841,079 562,366
OATS * : 616,981 519,002 504,201
BARLEY . : 522,387 559,967 554,315
ALL WHEAT . : 2,808,737 2,423,932
WINTER " : 2,108,246 1,937,388 1,963,243
DURUM . : 147,503 80,957
OTHER SPRING . : 552,988 379,732
RICE CWT 1/ : 154,216 107,067
RYE Bu : 20,817 26,058 25,698
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS " : 2,276,976 1,843,459
FLAXSEED . : 11,635 8,295
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB : 3,438,330 3,509,300
ALL COTTON BALE 1/ : 2/11, 962.6 7,809.5
UPLAND “Us: 2/11,863.9 7,731.5
AMER~P IMA "o/s: 98.7 78.0
COTTONSEED TON: 2/4,744 3,130
ALL HAY . : 152,424 145,564
ALFALFA " : 90,513 84,361
ALL OTHER . : 61,911 61,203
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT I/ : 24,764 15,706
SUMMER POTATOES CWT ot 21,460 19,186 17,722
SWEETPOTATOES ® : 14,290 11,533
TOBACCO 8 : 1,982,245 1,514,220
SUGARBEETS TON : 21,260 21,333
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED ° : 29,770 30,584
HOPS LB : 78,558 71,642
PASTURE AND RANGE 3/ PCT ot
APPLES, COM'L : LB : 8,110,000 8,402,000 8,381,000
PEACHES 4/ . : 2,292,600 2,133,800 1,969,800
PEARS TON: 805.0 847.6 823.6
GRAPES " : 6,616.2 5,897.4
PRUNES AND PLUMS :
(EXCL CALIF) * : 59.5 60.8
WALNUTS (CALIF) .

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ REVISED. 3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF
FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1972-81 AVERAGE IS 75 PERCENT. 4/ INCLUDES CULLS AND
CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND
POUNDS: 1982-159,000.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1983 1/

POTATOES :
WINTER cw: 2,263 2,230
SPRING od : 20,559 17,479
FALL “ : 304,986

SWEET CHERRIES TON Hy 158.2 156.2

TART CHERRIES LB : 310,900 741,900

APRICOTS TON : 112.9 104.5

NECTARINES (CALIF) ” : 173.0 190.0

PLUMS (CALIF) . : 118.5 170.0

ORIED PRUNES (CALIF) ” 2 126.0 135.0

ALMONDS (CALIF) LB : 347,000 250,000

OLIVES (CALIF) TON 146.0 66.0

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 Ana CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


POTATOES: Summer potato production forecast, 17.7 million cwt (804 thousand °
“metric tons}, down 17 percent from 1982, second smallest of record.
Average yield forecast at 189 cwt, down 14 cwt from last month, 33 cwt less
than Jast year and equal to 1980 which was lowest since 1975. Area for
harvest, 93.9 thousand acres (38.0 thousand hectares), down 3 percent from
last year.

Potatoes on Virginta's Eastern Shore devastated by hot, very dry July
weather. Harvest winding down with shipments less than half last year’s
pace. Oelaware season running late; sizing limited by hot weather. New
Jersey harvest beginning. Crop tate--irrigated where possible. Alabama
production down 13 percent despite 8 percent larger acreage.

Texas production up 11 percent from last year. Harvest active. New
Mexico up 5 percent; harvest begun most areas. In Michigan, hot weather
reduced set and limited sizing. Irrigation used where available, Minnesota
acreage down 23 percent, production down 27 percent,

In Colorado, late development reduced yields. Harvest in Arkansas Valley
near completion. In California, harvest started Riverside county. Crop three
weeks Tate Central Valley. Poor stands Santa Barbara County because of rains
at planting.

SWEETPOTATOES: Producton forecast at 11.5 million cwt (523 thousand metric

tons), down 19 percent from last year, 10 percent below two
years ago. Area for harvest a record low 98.0 thousand acres (39.7 thousand
hectares), down 12 percent from 1982. Some intended acreage in Loutsiana and
North Carolina not planted because of wet weather in June. Current hot, dry
conditions expected to reduce U.S. average yield to 118 cwt, down 11 cwt from
last year. Production forecast down from last year in all producing States
except Texas. Greatest declines in Atlantic Coast States.

North Carolina crop forecast 4.20 million cwt, off 27 percent from Tast
year. Crop rated fair to good but hurt by hot, dry weather in July.
Transplanting delayed in Maryland and New Jersey this spring because of wet
fields. Rain now needed for crop development. Virginta crop forecast less
than half last year. Acreage down sharply. Soil moisture short to adequate in
South Carotina's Pee Dee Region, drier elsewhere. Added crop stress from hot
weather. Irrigation used in Georgia where available. Rains in early August
should improved Georgia outlook.

Louisiana production forecast 2.09 million cwt, down 16 percent from last
year. Crop devetoping Tate, harvest just starting. Texas forecast up
Percent from last year. Adequate moisture and hot July temperatures promoted
excellent growth. Harvest to start late August. In California, sweetpotatoes
forecast 1.58 million cwt, down 9 percent from last year. Crop two weeks late
from planting delays and cool weather.

TOBACCO: Production forecast at 1.51 billion pounds (687 thousand metric

tons), 24 percent below 1982, 27 percent below 1981, lowest produc-
tion since 1943. Lower yields for all types and classes plus curtailed
acreage for most resulted in reduced production for all types and classes.
Yield expected to decline to 1898 pounds compared with 2183 pounds last year.
Acres for harvest down 12 percent from 1982.

Flue-cured production expected to total 825 mfllfon pounds (374 thousand
metric tons), the lowest in forty years. Productton down 18 percent from
1982--7 percent below last month's forecast as extreme heat continues to take
its toll. Acres for harvest down 11 percent from 1982 and yield per acre off
167 pounds. Acreage and yield down in all producing States. North Carolina's
crop mostly fair to poor in Old and Middle Belts and fair to good in Eastern
and Border Belts. South Carolina crop condition rated fair to good. Tobacco
condition in Virginia generally good due mostly to irrigation. Harvest
continues to lag about a week behind normal throughout the region. Markets
open all States.

ley output expected to reach 559 million pounds (254 thousand metric

percent below last year's record high, 23 percent below 19813.
Production down all States except West Virginia. Production down 33 and 23
percent in Kentucky, Tennessee, respectively. Yield expected to average 1925
pounds, 454 pounds below last year, Harvested acres 15 percent below last
year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 _ AA15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Condition on August 1, 76 percent of normal for 48
~~" contiguous States -- 10 points betow year ago, 1

point above 1972-81 average. During July, conditions worsened in 43 States,
were unchanged in 1, improved in 4. Hot, dry weather from west Texas north
across Corn Belt produced fair to very poor conditions with an area of extreme
drought in southwest Texas. Conditions in southeast to portions of northeast
deteriorated during July to fair or very poor with small pocket of extreme
drought in adjoining areas of South Carolina and Georgia.

APPLES: Nation crop forecast at 8.38 billion pounds (3.80 million metric
tons), fractionally lower than July 1 forecast, 3 percent more than
1982 production. .

Production in Eastern States forecast at 3.19 billion pounds, fractionally
more than last year. Normal rainfall needed to size apples as effects of hot,
dry weather begin to appear. Prospects decreased in most of New England,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia. Scab, powdery mildew problems in New
York. Hail damage more widespread than usual in Virginia. Scab more
prevalent in Pennsylvania.

Crop in Central States, 1.23 billfon pounds, 16 percent less than 1982,
Michigan's crop needs rain to improve sizing. Weather adversely affected crop
in Indiana, limiting size and causing fruit drop.

Western States expect 3.96 billion pounds, 14 percent more than 1982.
July weather in Washington conducitve-to crop development. Reds starting to
turn; apples larger than same time last year. Hail in Yakima Valley will
divert some apples to processing; irrigation continues. Scab stil) problem in
Sebastopol and Watsonville area of California. San Joaquin Valley has normal
crop with no major problems.

PEACHES: Production forecast, 1.97 billion pounds (893 thousand metric tons),
14 percent less than 1982, Excluding California Clingstone peaches,
U.S. crop forecast at 1.19 billion pounds, virtually same as last year.

California's Clingstone crop, at 780 million pounds, 29 percent below 1982
production. California's Freestone forecast, 440 million pounds, 6 percent
more than last year. Clingstone prospects poor, about 20 percent harvested,
quality below average, brown rot severe. Freestone crop about two-thirds
harvested. Quality generally average, but sugar content lower than usual.

South Carolina forecast, 95.0 million pounds, 55 percent less than last
season, Gradeout higher than normal.

New Jersey crop, 110 million pounds, unchanged from last month. Harvest
about one week late. Rain would be beneficial far sizing late varieties.

“Pennsylvania forecast, 99.0 million pounds, down 3 percent from July 1,
because of hot, dry weather from growers irrigating.

PEARS: Production forecast, 824 thousand tons (747 thousand metric tons),
down 3 percent from July 1, 2 percent more than last year.

Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington, 526 thousand
tons (477 thousand metric tons), down 5 percent from last month, fractionally
more than last year. Some hail damage in California and Washington. Fruit
size small in California. Harvest beginning first week of August in
Washington. Harvest to begin mid-August in Oregon.

Pears Other than Bartlett tn Pacific Coast States forecast at 258 thousand
tons (234 thousand metric fons), up 2 percent from July 1, 9 percent above
1982. Harvest of summer varieties almost complete in California. Picking of
winter varieties in California, Washington expected to start late August.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP_SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED

1,000 ACRES

CORN FOR GRAIN BU : 73,152 52,414 114.8

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN . : 143247 10,137 59.0

OATS . : 105561 9,058 58.4

BARLEY " : 95113 9,905 57.3

ALL WHEAT . 2 78,841 60,969 35.6
WINTER . 2 §83347 47,242 36.1
DURUM . : 43217 2,460 35.0
OTHER SPRING " : 16,277 11,267 34.0
1CE CWT 1/ : 3,252.0 2,309.0 4,742

RYE BU : 715 858 29.1

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS « : 70,783 62,108 32.2

FLAXSEED * : 815 590 14.3

PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB 3 1,275.4 1,330.0 2,696

ALL COTTON BALE If: 9,728.5 7,451.4 2/590
UPLAND "17: 93658.0 7,389.8 2/590
AMER-PIMA “We 70.5 61.6 672

COTTONSEED TON:

ALL HAY . : 60,679 60,394 2.51
ALFALFA " : 26,548 25,262 3.41
ALL OTHER « : 34,131 35,132 1.81

DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/ : 15764.4 13114.0 1,404

SUMMER POTATOES CWT: 96.8 93.9 222

SWEETPOTATOES “ 3 111.1 98.0 129

TOBACCO LB : 907.8 797.8 2,183

SUGARBEETS TON : 1,030.8 1,050.4 20.6

SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED . : 759.4 777.7 39.2

HOPS LB : 39.6 37.2 1,984

PASTURE AND RANGE 3/ PCT: 86

APPLES, COM'L LB :

PEACHES 4/ . :

PEARS TOX

GRAPES. « :

PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) * :

WALNUTS (CALIF) .

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-4,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

“AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER ACRE
CROP AND UNIT “INDICATED =: Ot INDICATED
1983.1/ 1983 1/
POTATOES
WINTER 11.0 206 203
SPRING 75.4 264 232
FALL 1,053.9 280

SWEET CHERRIES

TART CHERRIES
APRICOTS

NECTARINES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF)

ORIED PRUNES (CALIF)
ALMONDS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF)

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A 4,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



135.0
103.0

80.0

$660.0

9540
17.0
800.0
375.0
100.0
155.0
800.0
4,5
36.0
11.0
54.0
28.0
465.0
8,760.0
200.0
59.0

7,753.6

1/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES.

PRODUCTION

INDICATED
1983

MILLION POUNDS

10.0
480.0
40.0
55.0
14,5
15,0
126.0
88.0
77.0
11.5
12.5
12,0
89.0
80.0
190.0
980.0
25.0
45,0
56.0
140.0
12.0
1,130.0
170.0
150.0
150.0

2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLO
(MILLION POUNDS) UNITED STATES 1981247,7,1982013.8,
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

AREA HARVESTED

POUND:
CALIF 5 3 1-700
IDAHO 3.7 3.6 1,730
GREG 7.3 6.3 £, 800
WASH 28.1 26.8 2,070
us 39.6 3762 1,984

3

14650
1-720

2000

1,926

1983 ¢

PROQUCTION 1/ 22

: $ IND
1983 ¢ 1982 3 1983

1,000 POUNDS
1680 850 825
5,610 6,401 6,192
12,364 13,140 11,025
59,470 $8,167 53,600
79,100 78,558 71,642

1/ 1983 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
By REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,
2/ INCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS):

1981*WASH 90,000, 1982-WASH 5,000,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983

B-20

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS,

uspa


PRODUCTION

STATE fenrenennnnn eeeeeeeeeee
? . 3 7
z 1962? 1982 ¢ 1983 ¢
t 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
colo 17 12 15 19,0 19,0 195 22a 285
OeL 17 a 3 34,0 © 3a,0 105 136 102
GAs 70 60 «21.0 2,0 2,730 1,470 1,260
TLL 13 11 23.0 24,0 336 299 264
IND 10 10 26,0 27,0 234 260 270
TOWA 1/ a a» 26.0 32,0 165 112 128
KANS 10 15 24.0 28.0. a2 240 420
Ky os 2 3 28.0 29,0 81 56 67
MD 10 9 29.0 29,0 240 290 261
MICH 22 18 29,0 32.0 S32 638 S76
MINN 100 160 33.0 32.0 2,883 3,300 5,120
MO os 3 2 24,0 23,0 100 72 46
NEBR at 4a 27,0 25.0 924 1,107 1,100
ng eer 14 29,0 3140 261 319 434
NY uM 13° 32.0 -32.0 288 341 a6
we as Bo 22.9 22.0 a00 550 669
N DAK 100 120 34.0 ©3340 2,560 3,400 3,960
OHTO 5 6 31.0
OKLA 368 30 23.0
OREG 17 5 4 29,0
PA 12 17 34,0
sc wv a7 25 23.0
S_DAK 130 190 36.0
TEX 26 25 18,0
va 14 25 26,0
wis 8 S 31.0
us z T15 658 a4

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION
: 2 : IND
1981 3 1982

STATE

1982 1983

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 Cw

ARK 3 1,330.0 935.0 4,290 4,300 69,610 57,037 80,205
535.0 337.0 6,650 6700 40,926 36,651 22,579
598.0 48,0 4,160 4,000 27,078 24,862 17,920
235.0 155.0 4,200 = 4,270 14,792 9,870 6,619
60.0 55.0 4,489 44.200 3,099 3,582

9,690 4,600 27,239 22,214
42 4,637 =—:182,742 . 154,216

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITEO STATES, 1973-83 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

vy INCLUDES SOME MISCELL: CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE

GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
H, Walther, Chairperson,
L. Clampet, Secretary,

APPROVE D: Barrowman, R. L. Schutte,
Barrett, Jr., D. A. Brown,
Carter, R. F. Carver,
Addison, M. A. Anderson,
Brannen, d. E. Brewster,
Buche, A. R. Budge,
Byram, P. R. OH. Hardy,
. James, D. C. Johnson,
S.A. Kellogg, G. A. Nelson,
W. T. Placke, OD. E. Ransom,
8B. N. Sanford, Jd. W. Snyder,
L. S. Williams.
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE ]

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

‘
2 AREA HARVESTED
CLASS AND TYPE feomoneccones:
2 1982 % 1983 2 1982 2 1983 3 1982 & 1983

YIELO

PRODUCTION

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
3
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED =:
TYPE 11, OLD AND :
MIDOLE BELTS 1
nec £117,000 107,000 1,955 1,800 228,735 192,600
va 1 22,000 39,000 2-055 14750 864310 68.250
us $159,000 146,000 1,981 1,787 315,045 260,850
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC 3 .
BELT :
nc $156,000 132,000 2.270 2,075 358,120 273,900
TYPE 13, NC BORDER & 2
$C AELT 3 .
nc t 40,000 36,000 2,165 2,050 86,600 73,800
sc 2 $9,000 54,000 24105 2,025 124,195 109,350
us % 99000 90,000 26129 2035 210,795 183,150
TYPE 14, GASFLA BELT &
FLA t 9,300 = 8,000 24255 2100 20,972 16,800
GA 3 50,000 45,000 24110 2,000 105,500 90.000
us 4 59,300 $3,000 2.133 2,015 126,872 106,800
TOTAL 11914 2 473,300 421,000 2.126 1,959 1,006,432 824,700
CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED :
TYPE 21, VA BELT t
vA 3 4,600 = 4,800 1150 1,060 5,520 $,0a8
TYPE 22, EASTERN :
DISTRICT ’
Ky t 5,000 1,700 10,653 8,500
TENN z 10,500 1,650 24,888 17,325
us 3 15,500 1,666 35,541 25,825
TYPE 23, WESTERN :
DISTRICT :
KY 1 4,800 1.750 10,530 8,400
TENN 3 650 1,700 1,665 1,108
us t 5,050 1,749 12,195 9,505
TOTAL 21-23 t 25,750 1.570 40,418
CLASS 3, AIR=CURED :
CLASS 3A, LIGHT 3
AIR=CURED 3
TYPE 31, BURLEY ’
IND : 7,500 26350 1,900 20,210 14,250
Ky : 185,000 1,950 539,000 © 360,750
MO : 2,900 2.000 a5 5,800
nc 2 11,000 2,000 22,000
oHTO t 12,600 10,500 16900 19,950
TENN “2 68,900 60,000 1900 114,000
va t 14,300 11,500 1,600 18,400
WA t 14900 2,000 1,900 3,591 3,800
us + 340,300 290,900 25379 1,925 809,695 558,950
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD ¢
BELT 17 :
4D t 27,900 26,000 14390 1-150 37,530 29,900
Nc 2 : 40 850 34
PA t 2,300 4,300 1,980 14750 4,485 7,525
us $ 29,340 30,300 1,433 14235 42,049 37,425
TOTAL 31-32 2 369,640 320,700 2,308 1,860 851,744 596,375
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE B11. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

APPLES, COMMERCIAL
BARLEY ....eeeeene
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE
CORN FOR GRAIN ...
COTTON ....
COTTONSEED .
FARMS AND LAND IN FARMS
FLAXSEED .

ALFALFA & ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY ..
HAY, ALL OTHER .
HOPS

PASTURE & RANGE .
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION

PEACHES .seeveseeceee
PEANUTS FOR NUTS .
PEARS ...eeeeeee
POTATOES, SUMMER .
PRUNES & PLUMS ....
RICE ..

RYE 4.4

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
SUGARBEETS «...s.eee
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED
SWEETPOTATOES ......06
TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE ..
TOBACCO, BY STATES ....
US SUMMARY .
WALNUTS ...
WREAT, ALL ..... oo
WHEAT, BY CLASSES ....
WHEAT, DURUM .....
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING .
WHEAT, WINTER ......-

*U.8. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1983~380-929:SRS-1264

.

AUN Ww DHAADOOVTOGANSODOUOUN-=NOUZA—EAO

OH ODOTHND ODDO ODS PAD BOMTNGDOUDTTIGO
1

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 B-25 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL HAY

AREA HARVESTED YIELO

PROOUCTION

1982 i 1983

1,000 ACRES 1,000 = TONS.
ALA : 650 650 1.90 1,152 16235
ARIZ 185 170 7.03 1,216 1,241
ARK 860 B10 1.74 17806 84
CALIF 1,470 1,980 5.20 7,851
caLo t 0470 17580 2.48 3-303
CONN : 89 90 2,30 175
z 18 2a 2.33 45
237 210 2.40 463
500 480 2,00 1,021
1.340 1,320 3,29 4,453
14130 1,130 2,82 3.501
815 810 2.83 24256
2.240 2,000 3.24 8,220
2,350 2,430 2051 6.070
14584 1600 1.97 34304
350 350 2.21 805
223 223 1.92 aor
245 255 2.40 ssi
123 125 2.35 278

750 675

3.800 34830 3.46 3.38 11,055
14150 15180 1,88 1,88 24129
60,679

COTTONSEED

1,000 TONS

6,397 1/4,744 3,130

1/ REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 8-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Soybeans generally in good condition during most of July, despite hot, dry
weather. However, next few weeks very critical; additional moisture needed in
almost all producing areas. Expected yields down from a year ago in all North
Central States except Iowa and North Dakota; Wisconsin and Nebraska, no change
from previous year. Decreases in remaining North Central States ranged from
1.0 bushel in Michigan, Kansas, and Ohio to 7.0 bushels in Indiana. Yietds in
South Central States decreased from 1982, except in Oklahoma and Texas.
Mississippi's yield of 21.0 bushels, down 5.0 from last year and Arkansas
yield of 22.0 bushels, down 2.0.

Alantic Coast States al! showed yield decreases from 1982 except Delaware
which increased 1.0 bushel.

FLAXSEED: Production forecast at 8.30 million bushels (211 thousand metric

tons), down 29 percent from 1982. Area for harvest, at 590 thousand
acres, (239 thousand hectares) down 28 percent. Average yield forecast at
14.1 bushels, down 0.2 bushel from last year.

North Dakota, with 70 percent of U.S. acreage, expecting yield of 14.0
bushels, same as a year ago. Minnesota's anticipated yield, at 14.5 bushels,
down 0.5 bushel from a year ago. South Dakota's yield, at 14.0 bushels, down
0.5 bushel from last year. In North Dakota, development accelerated by hot
weather in ‘July; 86 percent of acreage in bloom or beyond by August 1,
compared with 65 percent last year and average of 73 percent. Crop condition
generally good but soil moisture shortages were developing.

PEANUTS: Production estimated at 3.51 billion pounds (1.59 million metric

tons), 2 percent above last year, 12 percent below 1981. Harvested
area at 1.33 million acres (538 thousand hectares) up 4 percent from 1982,
down 11 percent from 1981. Yield prospects 2639 pounds, down 57 pounds from
Tast year's record high of 2696 pounds.

Production in southeast (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina)
expected to. total 2.32 billion pounds, 4 percent above 1982. Growers to
harvest 9 percent more acres this year. Yield for the 4-state area expected
to average 2980 pounds per acre, 142 pounds below 1982's average. Alabama
yteld prospects 250 pounds less than their record high of 2950 pounds set in
1982. Florida's crop hetped by recent rains. Harvest expected to start late
August. Georgia crop generally received little rain after first week of duly,
but rains resumed early in August. The crop was in fair to good condition on
ugust 1.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop forecast at 646 million pounds, 6 percent
less than last year's crop of 691 million pounds. North Carolina growers plan
to harvest 147 thousand acres, unchanged from 1982; Virginia growers expect a
1 percent increase in acreage. Many North Carolina growers have been
irrigating the past few weeks. The North Carolina crop is in fair to good
condition. Virginia's crop beginning to show drought stress and near the
critical period when adequate rains are needed. Condition of the crop mostly
good at the end of duly.

In Texas, Oktahoma and New Mexico, crop is expected to total 548 million
pounds, 4 percent above last year. Area for harvest estimated at 310 thousand
acres, down 4 percent from a year ago. Yield is forecast at 1767 pounds, up
134 pounds from 1982. Crop in Texas growing well. Hot, dry July weather
affecting the Oktahoma crop; it will need significant rains in early August.

COTTON: Al? cotton production forecast at 7.81 million bales, 35 percent below

last year's production. Upland production forecast at 7.73 million
bales and American-Pima at 78.0 thousand bales. If realized, this will be the
second smallest crop since 1895. Record high production was 18.9 million
bales in 1937.

Planted acreage estimated at 8.30 million acres (3.36 million hectares),
27 percent below 1982 planted acreage. Plantings below last year in all major
States. Declines range from 37 percent in Arizona to 15 percent in Arkansas,
North Carolina and Tennessee. Growers expect to harvest 7.45 million acres
(3,02 million hectares), down 23 percent from last year, and lowest since
868. Yield per harvested acre forecast at 503 pounds, 87 pounds below last
year's record high 590 pounds. .

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


. Extreme dry conditions during July continued to hamper growth. Rain
needed all areas. B8lue mold reported in North Carolina, Tennessee but damage
minor.

Fire-cured production forecast at 40.4 million pounds (18.3 thousand
metric tons), 24 percent below 1982. Acreage 9 percent below tast year.
Yield down 311 pounds from 1982.

Southern Maryland Type 32 production at 37.4 million pounds (17.0 thousand
metric tons)» tt percent below 1982. Acreage up 3 percent, but more than
offset by the 198 pound drop in average yield.

Growers of dark air-cured tobacco expect to harvest 9400 acres (3800
hectares), with productfon of 15.2 million pounds (6890 metric tons). Acreage
down 13 percent from 1982, production down 26 percent, yield down 16 percent.

All cigar-type production, 37.5 million pounds (17.0 thousand metric
tons), down percent from last year. Cigar filler production down 34
percent, binder down 17 percent, Cigar wrapper down 4 percent,

SUGARBEETS: Production forecast at 21.3 million tons (19.4 million metric
~~ tons), up fractionally from 1982. A small increase in acreage
more than offset slightly lower yield prospects. Expected U.S. yield of 20.3
tons compares with 20.6 tons in 1982. Area for harvest, at 105 million acres
(425 thousand hectares), is up 2 percent from 1982.

North Dakota and Minnesota sugarbeets had adequate to surplus moisture
through July. Excessive moisture caused acreage losses in some areas, but
yields expected to be average. Some farmers spraying for cercospora leafspot.

In California, poor weather during planting season may result in lower
yields. Late winter and early spring rains shortened growing season. Harvest
complete jn Imperial Valley; just started in the southern part of San Joaquin
Valley.

In Idaho, combined result of increased acreage and higher yield expected
to produce a 12 percent larger crop than a year agos

Michigan crop has adequate moisture at present but reserve moisture is
limited, Crop very dependent on rainfall during August and September.

Colorado crop condition good, despite delayed start. Hail damage has been
light since an early June storm set back Jarge acreages in the Prospect
Valley. Irrigation water supplies excellent.

SUGARCANE: Production for sugar and seed in 1983 forecast at record high 30.6

million tons (27.7 million metric tons), up 3 percent from previous
record in 1982. Both acreage and yield prospects higher than year ago.
Average yield forecast at 39.3 tons compared with 39.2 tons in 1982. Harvested
area, 778 thousand acres (315 thousand hectares), 2 percent more than last
year.

Florida sugarcane condition good to excellent. Moisture ample. Hot,
humid weather good for growth. Hawati‘s crop benefited from favorable
weather, Rains in non-irrigated areas adequate. Harvesting operations well
ahead of normal. Forecast production 8 percent greater than last year's
weather hampered harvest. Louisiana sugarcane condition rated good. A mild
winter resulted in thick stands, but cooler than average spring limited growth.

HOPS: Production forecast, 71.6 million pounds (32.5 thousand metric tons), 9

percent tess than both 1982 and 1981. Area for harvest at 37.2 thousand
acres Gs 1 thousand hectares), 2400 acres less than last year. Yield at 1926
pounds per acre, down 58 pounds from last year. Harvested acreage and yield
per acre down in all} major States.

Washington expects a crop of 53.6 million pounds, 8 percent below last

year. Bloom and cone set generally excellent; vines smaller than normal.
Growers battling aphids and mildew. Harvest to start about mid-August.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1983 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA