FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: Forecast 1983-84 Florida FCOJ yield
is now 1.21 gallons per box at 42.0
degrees Brix equivalent. The yield forecast is an estimate of the season
average which will be reported at end of the season by the Florida Citrus
Processor's Association. The FCOJ yield projection Yast month was 1.23
gallons per box. Final season average was 1.48305 gallons per box for 1982-83
and 1.27730 gallons per box for 1981-82 at 42.0 degrees Brix equivalent.

GRAPEFRUIT: The 1983-84 grapefruit crop (excluding California "Other Areas")

forecast at 49.9 million boxes (1.85 million metric tons), down 8
percent from last month and 13 percent less than last season. Florida's
forecast at 40.0 million boxes, down 7 percent from last month, but 2 percent
above last season, Texas crop forecast at 3.20 million boxes, 29 percent less
than last month, 71 percent below last season's crop, California "Desert
Valley" production forecast continues at 4.20 million boxes, 2 percent above
1982-83. Arizona's crop forecast at 2.50 million boxes, up 9 percent from Jast
month, but 7 percent below last season,

Grapefruit harvest was 36 percent complete February 1] compared with 43
Percent same date last year. Picking in Florida 36 percent complete compared
with 49 percent on February 1 last year. Harvest in Arizona 15 percent
complete and California 8 percent. Due to the December freeze, harvest in
Texas is virtually complete.

LEMONS: Production forecast in Arizona and California 24.5 million boxes (845

thousand metric tons), down 7 percent from last month, 2 percent less
than last season. California's crop forecast 19.0 million boxes, 5 percent
less than 1982-83 season. In Arizona, forecast for crop to be utilized 5.50
million boxes, 9 percent more than last season. Harvest about 59 percent
complete in Arizona and 33 percent in California.

TANGELOS: Florida crop forecast 3.70 million boxes (152 thousand metric tons),
up 16 percent from last month, 3 percent below 1982-83 season. Crop
harvest was active during January with 94 percent utilized to February 1.

TANGERINES: U.S. Crop forecast, at 4,85 million boxes (183 thousand metric
tons), up 1 percent from Tast month, 8 percent less than 1982-83.
Florida crop to be utilized forecast at 2.00 million boxes.

TEMPLES: Florida Temples forecast 2.50 million boxes (103 thousand metric

tons), unchanged from January 1, 47 percent below last season. Pick-
ing activity increased during January and by month's end was 38 percent
complete,

FLORIDA GENERAL CITRUS: Citrus trees damaged by the Christmas freeze had shed

their dead Jeaves by end of January. Some of defoli-
ated trees have started to sprout né@w growth, but many in northern areas are
still bare. Soil moisture has been adequate through most of this past month.
The undamaged lower east coast and south central citrus groves are showing a
lot of new folfage, with some bloom buds pushing out as sap rises. There was a
rush to harvest damaged citrus of a1] types during January. There were almost
12 million boxes of citrus harvested for week ended January 8. The other three
weeks of January Saw 8 to 10 million boxes of all types of citrus picked
Primarily for processing. Movement of fresh grapefruit from Indian River
district was very active this month. Fresh shipments of undamaged Temples and
Tangelos were active during January.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 2984 5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA




TOTAL IN CROP

REA HARVESTED

STATE poceeenence: eaceeeees.

£ ' IND
1983 3

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1984

WINTER POTATOES

FORECAST
1984

1,000 POUNDS
4,400
31563 4,660
2,821 4,150
2°200 3°700
2,516 4,950
42784 42580

'
1984 :

1983 :

IND

240
180
206

'
1984

PRODUCTION
' IND

g3t 1,269 1,344
1,332 924 1,332
2,263 2,193

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TEXAS GENERAL CITRUS: Shipments of remaining fresh citrus supplies were com-

~ pleted last month and all processing plants have closed
for the season. Growers report tree damage is still difficult to assess. Most
severe damage was to trees less than ten years old, with some-trees killed
entirely. Trees older than ten years have also been severely damaged but
final assessment will have to wait until new growth, if any, appears. Some
groves will be pushed out, any groves salvaged will require extensive pruning,
which will severely limit next year's crop as well.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh pai y3 roduction tn February forecast at 4.15 million
aaeninsi pounds (1880 metric Eons), down 11 percent from January, but up a?
percent from a year ago. Production expected to drop to 3.70 million pounds
(1680 metric tons) in March, before increasing seasonally to 4.95 and 4.55
million pounds (2250 and 2060 metric tons) in April and May, respectively.
These forecasts revised upward from earlier forecasts because productivity of
young orchards on Kauai Island has continued to recover much more quickly than
expected from damage caused by hurricane Iwa late 1982.

January production, estimated at 4.66 million pounds (2110 metric tons), 6
percent higher than last month, 31 percent above a year ago. Total area in
crop at 3675 acres (1490 hectares) increased 25 acres--] percent--from previous
month and is a record high for the sixth consecutive month. Of this total,
2365 acres (960 hectares) were harvested in January.

POTATOES: Winter potatoes are forecast at 2.68 million cwt (121 thousand

metric tons) for 1984 season, up 22 percent from previous year and
18 percent from 1982 output. Harvest area is estimated at 13.0 thousand acres
(5260 hectares}, a gain of 15 percent from last year. Average yield is
expected to hit 206 cwt per acre, 12 cwt more than last year, equal to average
yield set in 1982.

In Florida, harvest started in late January in the Stuart and southwestern
areas, with variable but improving yields. Ofgging in larger Dade County area
should start in late February and continue heavy during March. Recent
favorable weather has improved crop conditions but growers are concerned about
tuber set.

California growers are in mid-harvest with tdeal weather conditions.
Earlier rains caused some damage to potatoes, yields are below year ago level.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1984 6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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Crop Production (Qi = Seer

Statistical Reporting Washington, D.C. 20250
RELEASED: February 10, 1984 Service
3:00 P.M. ET
HIGHLIGHTS .

CITRUS production forecast at 11.0 million tons (9.98 milion metric tons), 18
percent below last season.

ORANGE production forecast at 177 million boxes (6.84 million metric tons), 4
percent below last month, 21 percent less than 1982-83.

GRAPEFRUIT production, excluding California "Other Areas" crop, forecast at
Million boxes (1.85 million metric tons), 8 percent less than
January 1, 13 percent below last season.

LEMON production, at 24.5 million boxes (845 thousand metric tons), down 7 per-
Cent from last month, 2 percent less than 1982-83 season.

WINTER- POTATO production is forecast at 2.68 million cwt (121 thousand metric
tons), up 22 percent from a year ago, 18 percent above the 1982 output.

HRIKIKKIIKRI IKEA IAAI IAI AAI IIIS SII AI AAAI IIS I IAI AIHA ISAS SSA IIASA IIIA
* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
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CrPr 2-2 (2-84) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


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CITRUS FRUIT /

PRODUCTION PRODUCTION
cROP TON EQUIVALENT
AND UTILIZED UTILIZED INDICATED
penne enews, ne none an :
STATE 1981-82 : 1982-83 : 1983-84 : 1981-82 : 1982-83 : 1983-64
1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES.EARLY MID:
& NAVEL 3/t
ARIZ : 900 = 1,050 750 34 39
CALIF : 26,500 40,200 33,000 994 1,508
FLA 74,000 70,200 69,000 3,330 3,159
TEX 3.610 3,590 2,200 153 152
us 105,010 115,040 104,950 4,511 4,858
ORANGES, VALENCIA
+ ARIZ 2,150 2,150 2,150 81 103
CALIF 15,400 35,900 = 21,000 578 1,346
FLA 51,800 69,300 49,000 2,331 3,118
TEX 2,330 2,090 30 99 89
“us 71,680 110,040 72,180 3,089 4,656
ALL ORANGES
ARIZ 3,050 3,800 2,900 115 142
CALIF 41,900 76,100 54,000 1,572 2,854
FLA 125,800 139,500 118,000 5,661 6,277
TEX 5.940 5,680 2,230 252 241
us 176.690 225,080 177,130 7,600 9,514
TEMPLES .
FLA 3,200 4,700 2,500 144 211
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEDLESS
FLA 27,300 21,800 = 23, 000 1,160 926 978
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK
SEEDLESS
14,800 12,800 13,000 629 544 553
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
LA 6,000 4,800 4,000 255 204 170
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 2,400 2,700 2,500 17 87 80
CALIF
DESERT 3,400 4,100 4,200 109 131 134
OTHER AREAS 2,600 3,200 87 107
TOTAL 6,000 7,300 196 238
FLA 48,100 39,400 40,000 2,044 1,674 1,701
TEX 13,900 11,200 3,200 556 448 128
us 70,400 60,600 2,873 2,447
TANGERINES
ARIZ 750 860 950 28 33 36
CALIF 1,730 2,120 1,900 65 80 nN
FLA 2,500 2,250 2,000 119 107 95
us 4,980 5,250 4,850 212 220 202
LEMONS
ARIZ 6,300 5,050 5,500 239 191 209
CALIF 18,500 19,900 19,000 703 756 722
us 24,800 24,950 24,500 942 947 931
TANGELOS

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST 1S COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF
OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES- CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS. INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.

4/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT “OTHER AREAS"
WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1984 8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1984-420-929:SRS~99


JANUARY WEATHER SUMMARY

Average temperatures were warmer than normal in the northern Plains, the
northern Rockies, the Southwest, and along the west coast. The central
plateau of the Rockies, the South, and the East were colder than normal. Snow
cover disappeared over most of ‘the Plains leaving winter wheat exposed to

possible cold damage. Much af the Nation had well-below normal
precipitation. Many areas in the West and Southwest had little or no
Precipitation. In the East, a large area, with the axis from west central
Texas to New England, had well-below norma) precipitation. Precipitation was
ample in southern and southeastern Texas, the western portion of the central
Plains, and from Georgia to south-central Virginia. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA
Joint Agricultural Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT

Winter wheat rated fair to good except in Texas where conditions were poor
to mostly fair. Moderate snow cover protected wheat from bitter cold
temperatures which pushed as far saquth as Texas at midmonth. Areas with light
snow cover suffered limited damage. Warmer weather late in January melted
much of snow cover across Great Plains leaving some winter wheat areas
vulnerable to possible winterkill. Precipitation from rain or snow maintained
adequate soil moisture in nearly all areas, except portions of Texas where
additional precipitation would aid crop development.

At end of January, wheat was responding favorably to warm weather and
light precipitation in Texas. Stands had begun to green up in central and
southern areas. Diminished snow cover in Kansas left wheat stands vulnerable
to winterkill as the month ended, but wet topsoil was minimizing wind
erosion. Ory soils at planting produced spotty stands in west-central Kansas,
but elsewhere were generally good. Oklahoma producers applied top dressing
when fields were dry enough to support equipment. Stands were in fair to good
condition with no reported winterkill. Warm temperatures decreased snow cover
across the Northern Piains, but winter wheat was rated good with only light
wind damage.

ORANGES: The U.S. all orange crop is forecast at 177 million boxes (6.84 miJ~
“~~~ dom metric tons) for 1983-84 season, down 4 percent, from January 1°
forecast, 21 percent less than 1982-83 season. Florida's all orange crop
estimated at 118 million boxes, down 9 percent from January 1 estimate, and 15
percent Jess than last season's crop. Production prospects for early and
mid-season oranges in Florida 69.0 million boxes, 7 percent less than last
month, 2 percent below 1982-83. The Valencia crop in Florida forecast at 49.0
million boxes, down 11 percent from a month ago, 29 percent less than 1982-83
season.

Harvest of all U.S. oranges as of February 1 about 42 percent complete,
compared with 34 percent a year earlier. Harvest of Florida early and
mid-season varieties 86 percent complete, Valencias 3 percent complete.

California production, at 54.0 million boxes, up 10 percent from tast
month, 29 percent less than Tast season's record high production. Navel
orange output forecast at 33.0 million boxes, up 10 percent from January 1
estimate, 18 percent Tess than 1982-83 harvest. As of February 1, 36 percent
of California's navel crop harvested. California's Valencia orange crop
forecast at 21.0 million boxes, 11 percent above a month ago, 42 percent below
Yast season. Texas orange production forecast at 2.23 million boxes, down 26
percent from last month, 61 percent below 1982-83. Arizona crop expected to
total 2.90 million boxes, down 3 percent from last month's estimate, 24
percent below last season's production. Texas harvest virtually complete
February 1, Arizona harvest 14 percent complete.

Changes in U.S. orange production between February 1 forecast and final
production averaged 6.97 million boxes over past ten seasons, ranging from low
of 270 thousand boxes in 1980-81 ta high of 17.1 million boxes in 1981-82
season.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1984 4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION I/

— eee TSS INDICATED 1983-84
crop 1982-83 wee en ene e ence ne ee ne ween enweneeeeneees —
JAN 1 FEB 1
ee were Tosser “METRIC TONS)
ORANGES 8 630 960 7 152 240 6 840 170
LEMONS 859 100 905 370 844 590

1 OF THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

WINTER POTATO €S

1983 : 1984

INDICATED
1984

METRIC.
23.08 99 470 121 380 121-380

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1984 3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION | Mu

ORANGES : 177,130
LEMONS 2 500

WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

1,000 CWT
194 206 2,193 2,676

The cROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural Commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

APPROVED: CROP REPORTING BOARD:
R. R. Hancock, Acting Chairperson,

C. W. Gardner, Acting Secretary,
f R. D. Allen, R. L. Addtson,
le r R. P. Small, A. R. Budge,
Dd. C. Johnson, C. D. Spillmann,

J.D. Witzig.
SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1984 2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA