FARM MARKETINGS OF COTTON, BY STATES, 1986 MARKETING YEAR,
PERCENT BY MONTHS

ALA 12.2 8.7 23.2 18.3 5.8 10.4 7.4 4.4 4.1 5.5
ARIZ 1.0 5.9 2.2 24.5 31.4 13.0 4.0 3.1 5.5 4.2 3.6 1.6
ARK 1.3 36.4 27.8 17.8 10.1 1.8 2.5 1.2 4 6 a
CALIF 1.9 1.1 8.3 40.5 24.0 6.4 2.7 1.7 3.7 6.6 1.8 1.3
GA 1.9 4.2 2.9 5.1 11.5 11.3 1.8 4.0 16.8 9.7 9.1 21.7
LA 3.1 6.5 29.9 20.6 20.1 15.8 1.5 6 1.3 5 «I

MISS 1.7 25.8 29.3 17.3 11.6 11.7 9 1.0 35 2

OKLA 5.9 1.8 17.9 22.9 20.2 8.2 17.9 5.2

TENN -8 13.9 26.4 35.8 16.1 3.0 1.4 2.0 6

TEX 10.8 26.5 7.6 6.2 13.6 12.9 6.3 4.5 8.0 2.3 9 4
US 4.5 13.2 13.5 20.7 19.2 11.6 4.0 2.8 5.0 3.2 1.3 1.0

FARM MARKETINGS OF TOBACCO, BY STATES, 1987 MARKETING YEAR,
PERCENT BY MONTHS

CLASS - :

FLUE-CURED :
FLA : 5 47 48 100
GA 6 46 46 2 100
NC 2 27 43 26 2 100
sc 2 3 41 46 10 100
VA : 16 35 39 10 100

CLASS -

FIRE-CURED :
VA : 81 19 100
kY : 65 30 5 100
TENN 2 46 50 4 100

CLASS -

AIR-CURED :
IND : 23 45 32 100
KY : 23 52 23 2 100
MD 1/ 3
MO 3 42 43 15 100
NC : 35 52 13 100
OHIO : 22 44 34 100
PA 1/ : :
TENN : 31 55 14 100
VA : 33 53 14 100
WVA 3 25 58 W7 100

1/. SALES ARE NOT COMPLETE FOR THE 1987 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-20 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED 1/

:MARKETING YEAR AVERAGE PRICE : VALUE OF
:PER POUND RECEIVED BY FARMERS: PRODUCTION

1986 1987

CLASS AND TYPE

DOLLARS PER POUND 1,000 DOLLARS
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND

MIDDLE BELTS :

NC ? 1.490 1.541 230,116 242,862

VA : 1.513 1.535 87,058 89,613

us : 1.496 1.539 317,174 332,475
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC

BELT 2

NC : 1.563 1.596 345,157 370,575
TYPE 13, N C BORDER & =

S Cc BELT 3

NC : 1.526 1.625 84,052 101,888

SC : 1.442 1.607 108,842 151,187

US : 1.477 1.614 192,894 253,075
TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT

FLA : 1.622 1.641 21,577 22,652

GA : 1.581 1.630 107,334 117,621

US 2 1.588 1.632 128,911 140,273
TOTAL 11-14 : 1.527 1.587 984,136 1,096,398
CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT

VA : 1.278 1.315 4,522 3,419
TYPE 22, EASTERN

DISTRICT :

KY : 1.446 1.445 12,629 8,076

TENN : 1.436 1.559 25,590 18,607

us 3 1.439 1.523 38,219 26,683
TYPE 23, WESTERN

DISTRICT :

KY 3 1.459 1.486 14,053 9,466

TENN 3 1.459 1.505 2,257 1,627

US : 1.459 1.489 16,310 11,093
TOTAL 21-23 : 1.431 1.494 59,051 41,195
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT

AIR-CURED
TYPE 31, BURLEY 3

IND 3 1.554 1.549 18,796 17,147

KY : 1.568 1.572 450,016 451,164

MO z 1.548 1.568 6,794 5,518

NC : 1.562 1.515 22,555 21,365

OHIO 3 1.564 1.546 20,432 18,509

TENN Hy 1.557 1.553 96,550 113,858

VA H 1.549 1.520 19,028 24,001

WoVA 3 1.544 1.465 4,076 3,797

US : 1.565 1.563 638,247 655,359
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD

BELT 3

MD 5/ 3 1.179 1.249 24,900 23,419

PA : -700 +860 4,641 6,364

US : 1.065 1.139 29,541 29,783
TOTAL 31-32 H 1.533 1.538 667,788 685,142
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-15. CONTINUED
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

MAY 1988 A-14 NASS, USDA


Late April rains have brightened crop prospects in Oregon. South Dakota
experienced more winterkill than usual. Condition of remaining acreage is
mostly fair, but moisture is needed. Fields are turning color over much of
central and south Texas. Harvest has started in the south. Heading
progressing behind average. Moisture is needed. Current conditions of
Washington's winter wheat are varied with most of the crop rated as fair.
April rains have brought some relief to the dry conditions that existed
throughout the winter.

ORANGES: All oranges are forecast at 199 million boxes (7.74 million metric

tons) for 1987-88, virtually unchanged from the April 1 forecast but
9 percent above the 1986-87 season. The Florida crop is nearly 141 million
boxes, down 100 thousand boxes from April 1 but 17 percent more than last
season. Production of early and mid-season oranges this season in Florida
totaled 78.5 million boxes. Harvest is virtually complete. The Florida
Valencia forecast, at 62.0 million boxes, is unchanged from April 1 but 15
percent higher than 1986-87. Harvest is about a third complete.

The California Navel forecast is 31.0 million boxes, unchanged from April 1
but 10 percent below the 1986-87 crop. As of May 1, 95 percent of California's
Navel crop was harvested. California's Valencia forecast is 24.0 million
boxes, the same as the April 1 forecast and last seasons utilized production.

The Texas all orange forecast is 1.43 million boxes, down 4 percent from
last month and compares with 875 thousand boxes harvested last season. Texas
harvest is virtually complete.

The all orange forecast for Arizona, which was carried forward from last
month, is expected to total 2.30 million boxes, 27 percent less than last
season's production.

Changes in U.S. orange production between the May 1 forecast and final
production averaged 3.44 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from
a low of 300 thousand boxes in the 1977-78 season to a high of 7.70 million
boxes in the 1986-87 season.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1987-88 Florida all orange frozen

concentrate juice yield forecast has
been increased to 1.55 gallons per box of 42.0 degrees Brix equivalent, up
from last month's projection of 1.54 gallons per box. This increase is due to
the continued gains in both Brix and pounds of juice per box.

GRAPEFRUIT: The May 1 U.S. grapefruit forecast is forecast at 67.4 million

boxes (2.49 million metric tons), up 2 percent from April 1 and 7
percent above last season. The Florida all grapefruit forecast at, 52.8
million boxes, is up 2 percent from last month and 6 percent above last year.
Movement of all grapefruit slowed during April as supplies were starting to
run low. Some softening of fruit resulted from dry windy conditions.

The Texas grapefruit forecast, at 3.80 million boxes, is up 6 percent from
April and almost double last season's production. Yield continued to increase
as harvest neared completion. Final harvest should be complete in early May.
Trees are in good condition and early sets are looking very promising for next
season. The California "Desert Valley" grapefruit forecast, which was carried
forward from April 1, is 4.20 million boxes, the same as the 1986-87 level.
California's “Other Area" grapefruit forecast, which was carried forward from
the month, is 4.70 million boxes, down 4 percent from last season.

Arizona's forecast, carried forward from last month, is 1.90 million boxes,
down 14 percent from last season.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 B-4 NASS, USDA



WINTER WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 170 180 31.0 45.0 5,720 5,270 8,100
ARIZ : 44 35 «95.0 97.0 4,512 4,180 3,395
ARK : 840 950 41.0 «44.0 33,415 34,440 = 41,800
CALIF : 480 440 76.0 76.0 45,000 36,480 33,440
coLo : 2,500 2,350 37.5 39.0 92,800 93,750 91,650
DEL : 48 50 4210 45.0 13530 23016 24250
FLA : 60 45 30.0 29.0 3,100 1,800 1,305
6A : 460 460 31.0 35.0 15,400 14,260 16,100
IDAHO : 800 790 75.0 70.0 51,850 60,000 55,300
ILL : 950 1,120 59.0 57.0 36,080 56,050 63,840
IND : 600 700 58.0 53.0 30,100 34,800 37,100
TOWA : 30 60 38.0 «=. 38.0 1,680 13140 2,280
KANS : 9,900 9,400 37.0 38.0 336,600 366,300 357,200
KY : 330 390 49.0 42.0 8,910 16,170 16,380
LA : 170 250 31.0 41.0 7,350 5,270 10,250
MD : 165 175 49.0 51.0 63815 8,085 8,925
MICH : 400 620 48.0 50.0 30,600 19,200 31,000
MINN : 90 64 33.0 32.0 44290 23970 2,048
MISS : 350 480 36.0 37.0 6,200 12,600 17,760
MO : 770 1,400 46.0 47.0 18,810 35,420 65,800
MONT > 2,200 2,200 36.0 26.0 64,000 79,200 57,200
NEBR : 1,950 2,050 44.0 42.0 76,000 85,800 86,100
NEV : 7 7 90.0 90.0 810 630 630
Ng : 2? 26 © 4510 © 45.0 1,290 1,215 1,170
N MEX : 340 320 32.0 © 30.0 »='10,120~——-10, 880 9,600
NY : 80 90 47.0 47.0 73595 3,760 4,230
NC : 440 450 47.0 42.0 += «15,180 += 18,040 =—-18, 900
N_ DAK : 185 190 32.0 = 28.0 += 13,920 53920 5,320
OHTO : 800 1,040 §8.0 55.0 48,300 46,400 57,200
OKLA : 4,800 4,900 27.0 37.0 150,800 129,600 187,300
OREG : 750 650 66.0 = 63.0 53,940 = 49,500 40,950
PA : 185 180 43.0 = 44.0 9,680 7,955 7,920
sc : 275 300 38.0 39.0 7,500 10,450 11,700
S_DAK : 1,620 1,550 34.0 30.0 $7,600 55,080 46,500
TENN : 350 380 41.0 41.0 = 10,725 = 14,350 «15,580
TEX > 3,600 3,200 28:0 29.0 120,000 100,800 92,800
UTAH : 170 150 43.0 © 43.0 8,100 7,310 6,450
VA 215 190 45.0 44.0 6,970 95675 8,360
WASH : 1,825 1,650 57.0 54.0 102,900 104,025 89,100
WoVA : n 9 45.0 46.0 396 495 414
WIS : 60 110 -54.0 = 56.0 7,410 3,240 6,160
Wyo : 270 225° 31.0 30.0 7,500 8,370 63750

39,317 39,826 39.8 40.7 1,521,498 1,562,896 1,620,257

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

SPRING

TOTAL
7,000 BUSHELS
1986 :1,017,831 292,450 211,217 451,417 97,907 20,813 2,091,635
1987 31,018,561 347,742 196,593 430,578 92,617 19,109 2,105,200
1988 2/:1,009,555 426,489 1845213

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT 5-YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. THE 5S-YEAR VARIETAL
SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
2/ INDICATED MAY 1, 1988.

* CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-5 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
y(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
April 30, 1988

C 01ST
Sigiaty
CROP MOISTURE:
jorptcts sepa? Tray (UP TO apour 4 WEexs):
[ABNORMAL DRYNESS OB WETNES:

S
LNG a
Ere AED TROLCLizG NORMAL. CONDITIONS af TEE BEG ALLY.
‘ ra
30 AND KMD OF THE GROWING SEASON. ANORN
928, APPLICABLE 14 MEASURING THE stout TEE, SJ — —
re ‘STATUS OF DRYNESS OB WETNESS AFYECTING ©: Y
"aD FIELD OPERATIONS. EXCESSIVELY
XMTTaTIORS.. x47 SOT AE APPLICABLE TO GERUTUATING AND SEALLON
O03 la S07 A, MPLICARE To cemaeTinG Mo SA
row 4 "root PROFILE. ON TOR COOL SEASOW CROS GROWING NEAR TEAPENA

DROUGaT SEVERITY Tamer. NOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY ase on preliminary reports

DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)

7 April 30,1988 MODERATE
EXTREME ° ISSUED TWICE A MONTH

SEVERE
0 EXTREME SEVERE

MODERATE:

MODERATE =Y“SEVERE

EXTREME

SEVERE
EXTREME: MoIsT
MODERATE: MODERATE

EVERE

SEVERE

- Moist EXTREM!
SEVERE MOIST

SEVERE
MODERATE

DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX (PALMER): DEPICTS PRO
LONGED (HONTHS, YEARS DRYN

(UNO!

AND DEEP PERCOLATION, AS WELL AS EVAPOTRANSPIRATI MOIST
USES. . APPLICABLE IN MEASURING DISRUPTIVE EFFECTS OF PROLONGED ~
DRYNESS OR NETHESS ON WATER SENSETIVE ECONOMIES; DESIGHATING

ASTER AREAS OF DROUGHT OR WETNESS; AND REFLECTING THE GENERA
‘TERM STATUS OF WATER SUPPLIES IN AQUIFERS, RESERVOIRS, AND STI

LIMITATIONS 18 NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORT TERM (TEN WEEKS)
WETNESS SUCH AS FREQUENTLY AFFECTS CROPS AND
FIELD OPERATIONS (THIS TS INDICATED. BY THE CROP MOISTURE INDEX)”

ayn cet AACR TIRA, ATER HCY

Bosed on proininary raport

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 B-1

NASS, USDA


California harvest started with white potatoes the second week of April.
Crop condition is normal. Arizona reports good progress with harvest which
started in mid-April. In Texas' Rio Grande Valley, harvest started about
May 1. Sizing was late and some fields were hurt by wind. In other areas of
Texas, potato development was also delayed by dry, cool weather.

Florida harvest is active in the Hastings area, although slow for chipping
potatoes. Digging is active in south central Florida, but is a couple of
weeks late in north Florida. Cool temperatures in North Carolina and wet
fields have slowed growth, but stands are good.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on

May 1 for the 48 contiguous States was 73
percent, 8 points below May 1 last year and 6 points below the 1977-86 average
for the date. Conditions were more favorable than last year in 11 States,
less favorable in 34 States, and unchanged in 3 States.

Precipitation and temperatures were generally below normal throughout the
country. Warmer weather and rainfall are needed to promote pasture and range
growth in most areas.

Conditions in the Southeast were good to excellent, except for Florida
which was in the poor to fair range. Conditions in the Corn Belt States were
down from last year, but were still in the good to excellent range in
Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio. Conditions in Minnesota and
the Dakota's were in the very poor range.

Conditions in the far western States were mostly up from last year, except
for California where conditions were in the very poor range.

HAY STOCKS ON-FARM: May 1 stocks of hay on-farms totaled 27.3 million tons

(24.8 million metric tons), 16 percent below the May 1
level a year ago but 2 percent above the May 1, 1986 quantity held. May 1,
1988 stocks represent 18.3 percent of the 1987 hay production. A year earlier,
stocks represented 20.8 percent of the previous crop.

TOBACCO, 1987 REVISED: Production of all tobacco totaled 1.20 billion pounds

(543 thousand metric tons) for 1987, 3 percent above
1986. Increased production of flue and burley types was partially offset by
decreases for dark-fired, dark air, and cigar types. The higher production
from a year earlier was the combined result of more acreage and higher yield.
Average yield, at 2,026 pounds per acre, is 25 pounds above the 1986 average.
Area harvested, at 590 thousand acres (239 thousand hectares), is up 2 percent
from last year.

FLUE-CURED production of 691 million pounds (313 thousand metric tons) is
7 percent above 1986. Growers harvested 325 thousand areas (131 thousand
hectares), 5 percent more than last year. The average yield of 2,129 pounds
per acre is 38 pounds greater than a year earlier. Percentage increases in
production by types were: type 11, 2 percent; type 12, 5 percent; type 13, 20
percent; and type 14, 6 percent.

Output of BURLEY tobacco totaled 419 million pounds (190 thousand metric
tons), 3 percent higher than in 1986. Growers harvested 216 thousand acres
(87.3 thousand hectares), 2 percent more than last year. Yield averaged 1,943
pounds per acre compared with 1,936 pounds a year ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 B-7 NASS, USDA


U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION

my
BILLION BUSHELS

25

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 1.62 billion bushels (44.1 million

metric tons) as of May 1, 1988. This is a 4 percent increase
from the 1.56 billion bushels (42.5 million metric tons) produced in 1987.
Harvested area is expected to total 39.8 million acres (16.1 million hectares),
up 1 percent from last year. Yield prospects are for an average of 40.7
bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushels from last season and the second highest on
record.

As of May 1, over 60 percent of the winter wheat in the major producing
States rated in good or better condition. Another 28 percent is rated in fair
condition. Heading has moved to 10 percent completion in the major States,
trailing both last year and average progress by several points.

Some disease problems have been reported in Arkansas although the crop is
rated in mostly good condition. Cool April weather benefited California's
irrigated acreage. Conditions are generally good in Colorado; Russian wheat
aphid not active as yet. Late April rains helped the Georgia crop. Warm,
sunny weather is needed.

Kansas winter wheat conditions are varied. Wheat streak mosaic is
prevalent, but other leaf diseases are lighter than normal. Russian wheat
aphids have infested the western tier of counties. Soil moisture is short.

Recent rains have improved Kentucky's winter wheat prospects. Louisiana's
crop is nearly headed out; 20 percent is turning color. Michigan's wheat
wintered well; cool weather has slowed development. The Missouri crop is
rated in mostly good conditon.

Montana's winter wheat needs moisture. The Nebraska crop experienced a
mild winter. Wheat curl mites and Russian aphid infestations are problems.
Conditions of North Dakota's winter wheat are the worst since 1980 because of
cold weather and the unusually dry spring. Ory soils are stressing some of
Ohio's wheat.

Prospects are for near record yields in Oklahoma. Cool, wet April weather
helped heads fill out. The excess precipitation has caused nitrogen
deficiencies in some areas; lower protein content may result. Russian aphids
reported in western counties.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 B-3 NASS, USDA


COTTON: MARKETING YEAR AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS,
AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION

PRICE VALUE
CROP OF
AND PRODUCTION
STATE
1,000 DOLLARS
UPLAND
ALA 52.1 65.1 82,526 124,055
ARIZ 54.3 64.5 175,932 262,850
ARK 49.7 62.8 143,613 271,597
CALIF 59.1 69.1 636,862 991,392
FLA 50.0 63.0 6,720 11,794
GA 58.3 62.4 51,770 101,238
KANS 43.4 59.1 146 255
LA 49.8 63.1 160,874 295,914
MISS 50.9 62.5 290,741 523,500
MO 51.5 66.0 48,451 104,544
N MEX 56.0 66.5 16,666 28,409
NC 52.1 62.0 27,259 29,165
OKLA 43.4 59.1 43,747 98,153
sc 49.0 59.1 20,462 30,070
TENN 49.0 63.3 93,139 192,635
TEX 46.1 60.2 560,945 1,339,330
VA z 52.1 62.0 375 417
US : 51.5 63.5 2,360,228 4,405,318
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ : 89.2 103.0 63,496 105,307
CALIF : 103.0 1,088
N MEX : 90.4 106.0 7,203 9,464
TEX 92.4 106.0 18,184 25,847
US 89.9 103.7 88,883 141,706
ALL :
ALA 2 52.1 65.1 82,526 124,055
ARIZ 7 60.6 72.2 239,428 368,157
ARK 3 49.7 62.8 143,633 271,597
CALIF 2 59.1 69.1 636,862 992,480
FLA 2 50.0 63.0 6,720 11,794
GA 2 58.3 62.4 51,770 101,238
KANS : 43.4 59.1 146 255
LA : 49.8 63.1 160,874 295,914
MISS : 50.9 62.5 290,741 523,500
Mo : 51.5 66.0 48,451 104,544
N MEX 3 63.3 73.3 23,869 37,873
NC : 52.1 62.0 27,259 29,165
OKLA : 43.4 59.1 43,747 98,153
sc 3 49.0 59.1 20,462 30,070
TENN : 49.0 63.3 93,139 192,635
TEX : 46.8 60.7 579,129 1,365,177
VA : 52.1 62.0 375 417
US H 52.4 64.2 2,449,111 4,547,024

1/ AVERAGE TO APR 1, 1988 WITH NO ALLOWANCE FOR UNREDEEMED LOANS.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-18 NASS, USDA


PAPAYAS - HAWAII

AREA FRESH PRODUCTION

HARVESTED

1987 $ 1988 :FORECAST
1 1988

1,000 POUNDS

MAR 2,400 2,245 3,150
APR 2,330 2,255 4,255
MAY 2,310 5,700
JUN 2,300 6,700
JUL 2,330 7,000
AUG 2,350 7,700

CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-APR

SWEET CHERRIES

PRODUCTION

STATE TOTAL
fence meen ence eee ene e eee ee eee : INDICATED

1988

INDICATED
1986 1987 1988

1,000 POUNDS

250,000 660,000 580,000

HAWAIT

AREA HARVESTED TOTAL PRODUCTION

ITEM
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
BANANAS : 980 1,070 9,900 10,700 9,700 13,400
PAPAYAS 2/ 3/  : 2,400 2,350 34,600 44,700 83,000 105,000
TARO 4/ 390 400 16,200 15,800 6,330 6,300

1/ REVISED. 2/ YIELD IS BASED ON TOTAL PRODUCTION WHICH INCLUDES UNUTILIZED
QUANTITIES. 3/ UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD OF 22.0 MILLION
POUNDS IS INCLUDED IN 1986 PRODUCTION AND 38.0 MILLION POUNDS IN THE 1987
PRODUCTION. 4/ AREA HARVESTED IS AVERAGE DURING THE YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-10 NASS, USDA




PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE : AVERAGE : 1987 : 1988 : AVERAGE : 1987 : 1988

: 1977-86 : 1977-86: :
PERCENT : PERCENT

ALA : 76 61 82 NEV : 86 58 64
ARIZ : 82 89 94 : NH : 92 99 85
ARK 2 85 73 85 r2 NJ : 82 93 79
CALIF : 85 69 63 rt ON MEX : 72 97 74
cOLO 8: 675 86 86 zn: NY : 84 91 79
CONN : 90 91 70 2 ONC : 83 89 84
DEL 2 82 90 88 : 66 86 54
FLA : 73 77 74 : 85 92 83
GA 2 75 66 82 : OKLA: 78 80 88
IDAHO : 85 71 75 zt OREG : 87 77 79
ILL 2: 84 85 81 at PA : 84 89 74
IND : 86 89 83 rt ORI : 93 97 80
IOWA : 80 90 69 a SC : 76 81 81
KANS : 82 90 84 zt S DAK : 74 84 53
KY : 84 88 84 rt TENN: 84 83 81
LA > 80 70 85 22 TEX : 66 75 59
MAINE : 91 91 85 z: UTAH: 82 76 83
MD > 81 87 83 rt OVT 4 92 95 85
MASS): 90 93 80 i: VA H 83 91 84
MICH : 88 88 83 zs: WASH: 85 81 81
MINN : 80 81 62 i: WVA 78 83 77
MISS : 82 74 89 z: WIS H 81 72 66
MO : 80 83 75 :: WYO : 81 89 81
MONT 75 85 67 it :

NEBR 80 i] 77 81 73

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64
DROUGHT, 35~49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

SPRING POTATOES

VESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE = Seen anew en nn------------ Beene nn nnn nen nn nn nnn nn een oe

IND : : IND : 7 : IND

1988 : 1987 1988 : 1986 : 1987 : 1988

: 1,000 ACRES cwT 1,000 CWT

ALA : 4.9 4.1 125 150 682 613 615
ARIZ : 4.9 5.3 275 270 1,298 1,348 1,431
fA : 21.3 19.6 370 385 7,605 7,881 7,546
HASTINGS : 26.5 26.5 170 235 6,860 4,505 6,228
OTHER : 2.1 2.5 190 210 val 399 525
LA Vo: 3 4 60 70 35 18 28
NC H 14.5 14.4 140 155 2,055 2,030 2,232
TEX 6.2 6.2 150 185 1,116 930 1,147
US H 80.7 79.0 220 250 19,822 17,724 19,752

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL’ STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-7 NASS, USDA


HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

JAN 1 DEC 1 V MAY 1
“1987 1986 1987 1988
1,000 TONS

1,250 262 168 132
263 55 25 41
1,290 382 486 482
2,341 400 345 360
3,033 765 728 809
129 37 36 22
36 10 6 5
479 75 101 80
: 1,003 186 135 238
IDAHO: 2,162 3,304 4,008 245 1,086 901
TLL : 2,728 2,748 2,472 814 733 570
IND : 1,764 1,722 1,754 497 358 360
IOWA : 4,850 6,800 6,032 1,284 2,080 1,387
KANS : 4,940 5,879 4,635 1,469 1,150 1,023
KY : 3,403 3,050 3,893 943 574 727
LA 3 400 562 799 156 102 97
MAINE : 278 300 278 84 108 81
MD : 452 356 494 146 76 109
MASS : 172 195 178 44 59 47
MICH : 3,195 3,331 2,236 742 861 570
MINN : 4,802 6,773 5,850 1,280 1,548 1,482
MISS : 910 1,067 1,354 286 232 285
MO : 5,341 5,546 5,375 1,433 1,266 927
MONT 2 2,125 4,450 4,842 331 1,296 3,179
NEBR : 4,931 6,354 4,92) 1,419 1,921 1,166
NEV 3 846 963 897 130 206 207
NH 3 129 135 118 31 42 36
Nod H 193 178 172 47 18 40
N MEX : 603 594 536 230 92 67
NY 3 3,267 3,894 3,688 1,001 1,028 843
NC : 498 401 486 121 69 102
N DAK : 2,675 5,208 5,275 641 1,465 1,343
OHIO H 2,944 2,929 2,875 920 560 $75
OKLA 2 3,305 4,553 3,972 1,629 1,417 883
OREG : 1,495 2,100 2,200 179 689 392
PA 3 3,552 3,741 4,054 1,113 769 988
RI : 14 16 12 4 7 5
sc H 349 279 338 69 46 90
so H 5,168 8,677 8,508 1,546 4,105 2,765
TENN 3 2,115 1,925 2,485 537 251 370
TEX : 5,641 6,714 8,089 2,698 2,313 1,665
UTAH : 1,146 1,559 1,503 271 470 381
VT : 665 628 587 152 206 179
VA t 1,397 1,303 1,954 312 190 344
WASH : 1,246 1,868 2,104 182 517 405
WVA 3 800 761 895 172 128 149
WIS : 7,228 9,482 7,726 1,112 1,616 1,954
Wyo 3 1,109 2,298 2,330 256 734 466
US H 96,555 121,734 119,749 26,698 32,418 27,329

1/ PER PROGRAM MODIFICATION, HAY STOCKS SURVEY REFERENCE DATE WAS CHANGED FROM
JAN 1 TO DEC 1 BEGINNING DEC 1, 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-6 NASS, USDA


COTTONSEED: PRODUCTION AND FARM DISPOSITION 1/

FARM DISPOSITION USED FOR
Bee erence ene e nen e em ee meee ene PLANTING

ALA : 122.0 150.0 78.0 77.0 44.0 73.0 3.9 4.3
ARIZ : 309.0 390.0 253.0 257.0 56.0 133.0 2.6 4.0
ARK 228.0 338.0 221.0 331.0 7.0 7.0 5.8 6.5
CALIF : 875.0 1,151.8 522.0 722.5 353.0 429.3 13.2 15.0
FLA : 9.8 14.4 9.5 14.1 3 33 4/.3 4/.3
GA : 64.0 122.0 30.0 51.0 34.0 71.0 3.0 3.2
KANS 3 4 +2 23 ol 1 4/ 4/
LA : 257.0 378.0 215.0 359.0 42.0 19.0 5.4 6.9
MISS : 458.0 678.0 426.0 622.0 32.0 56.0 10.2 11.5
MO 1 81.0 130.0 76.0 114.0 5.0 16.0 2.1 2.3
N MEX 3: 30.5 42.3 21.7 14.5 8.8 27.8 1.1 1.4
NC : 40.0 33.0 18.0 16.0 22.0 17.0 +9 1.0
OKLA z 85.0 155.0 79.0 148.0 6.0 7.0 §.0 5.5
sc 3 31.0 36.0 28.0 20.0 3.0 16.0 8 1.0
TENN : 157.0 235.0 152.0 229.0 5.0 6.0 4.6 5.6
TEX : 1,052.8 1,914.8 860.7 1,614.5 192.1 300.3 72.9 78.)
VA : 5 35 4 2 a 3 4/ 4/
us : 3,800.9 5,769.2 2,990.5 4,590.1 810.4 1,179.1 131.8 146.6

COTTONSEED: MARKETING YEAR AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS,
VALUE OF PRODUCTION, AND VALUE OF SALES TO OIL MILLS 1/

VALUE 0
TO OIL MILLS
STATE ($e nnn nnn nnn nn nn nn nn nn nnn ne nn nn nnn rrr nn renner nee crnne
1986 1987
DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS

ALA : 62.00 78.50 7,564 11,775 4,836 6,045
ARIZ : 95.00 95.50 29,355 37,245 24,035 24,544
ARK : 58.50 71.00 13,338 23,998 12,929 23,501
CALIF : 102.00 89.50 89,250 103,086 53,244 64,664
FLA : 67.00 80.00 657 1,152 637 1,128
GA : 91.00 85.00 5,824 10,370 2,730 4,335
KANS : 93.50 77.00 28 31 19 23
LA H 64.50 76.50 16,577 28,917 13,868 27,464
MISS : 58.50 75.50 26,793 51,189 24,921 46,961
MO 3 63.00 71.00 5,103 9,230 4,788 8,094
N MEX H 95.00 97.00 2,898 4,103 2,062 1,407
NC 3 81.00 76.00 3,240 2,508 1,458 1,216
OKLA 3 93.50 77.00 7,948 11,935 7,387 11,396
sc 3 90.00 85.00 2,790 3,060 2,520 1,700
TENN 3 66.50 77.00 10,441 18,095 10,108 17,633
TEX z 78.00 82.50 82,118 157,971 67,135 133,196
VA 3 81.00 76.00 41 38 32 15
us 80.00 82.50 303,965 474,703 232,709 373,322

1/1986 CROP REVISED, 1987 CROP PRELIMINARY. 2/ INCLUDES PLANTING SEED,
EXPORTS, INTER-FARM SALES, SHRINKAGE, LOSSES AND OTHER USES. 3/ INCLUDED IN
"OTHER" FARM DISPOSITON. PLANTING SEED FROM PREVIOUS YEARS' CROP. 4/ KS,
FL, VA COMBINED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A~19 NASS, USDA


HOP AREA STRUNG, BY STATE AND VARIETY 1/

STATE : AREA HARVESTED STRUNG FOR HARVEST
AND Petra ence nn nen ee nnn nn nn nnn en nn nn ne enn nee eens
VARIETY : 1986 1987 1988
ACRES
CALIFORNIA 2/
IDAHO :
CHINOOK : 180 220
CLUSTER : 510 490
EROICA : 440 410
GALENA : 480 530
WILLAMETTE : 50 730
OTHER VARIETIES : 540 1,220
TOTAL : 2,500 2,200 3,000
OREGON :
FUGGLES : 920 825
GALENA : 210 170
NUGGET : 1,450 1,390
PERLE : 210 310
TETTNANG : 3/ 385
WILLAMETTE : 2,695 3,600
OTHER VARIETIES : 515 520
TOTAL : 5,100 6,000 7,200
WASHINGTON :
CASCADE : 1,650 800
CHINOOK : 300 950
CLUSTER : 9,900 7,900
EROICA : 730 550
GALENA : 4,050 4,800
NUGGET : 13.400 13800
OLYMPIC : 230 300
PERLE : 200 500
TETTNANG : 650 1,850
WILLAMETTE : 3/ 2:050
OTHER VARIETIES : 490 700
TOTAL : 17,400 20,100 22,200
us : 25,000 28,300 32,400

1/ ESTIMATES OF AREA STRUNG FOR HARVEST BY VARIETY BEGINS WITH THE 1987 CROP.
2/ COMBINED WITH WASHINGTON TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.
3/ INCLUDED IN OTHER VARIETIES IN 1987.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-9 NASS, USDA


The change in U.S. grapefruit production between the May 1 forecast and
final production averaged 766 thousand boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging
from a low of 200 thousand boxes in 1982-83 to a high of 2.15 million boxes in
the freeze-damaged 1981-82 season.

TANGERINES: The U.S. all tangerine forecast of 4.35 million boxes (170 thou-

sand metric tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 17
percent less than last season. This forecast includes all varieties of
tangerines in Florida (Dancy, Robinson, and Honey), as well as production of
California and Arizona tangerines. Florida Honey tangerines, beginning this
year, are included in the State and U.S. totals. Production estimates shown
for previous seasons have been revised for comparison purposes with the new
crop forecasts.

TANGELOS: The Florida Tangelo crop, excluding K-early citrus fruit, declined

to 4.20 million boxes, (171 thousand metric tons), down 1 percent
from last month but up 5 percent from last season's utilized production.
Harvest is virtually complete.

TEMPLES: Florida's Temple forecast dropped to 3.55 million boxes on May 1
(145 thousand metric tons), down 1 percent from last month but up 4
Percent from last season's utilized production.

CALIFORNIA FRUIT AND NUTS: Fertilizing, weed control, thinning, fungicide, and

pesticide application, and irrigation activities
continued throughout the month. Rain during mid-April slowed agricultura
work, The San Joaquin Valley had heavy hail in a few localized areas. By
late April, apricot growers were preparing for harvest. Hass avocado picking
was active. Early variety cherry picking accelerated in the northern San
Joaquin Valley by late April, with Bing variety cherry harvest to begin soon.
Table grape and stonefruit harvest began during late April in the Coachella
Valley. Packing of oranges, grapefruit, Jemons, and tangerines was active.
By late April, Navel orange picking was winding down, while packers were
preparing for the Valencia orange crop. Reports indicate the almond nut and
pistachio bud sets are heavy. Walnut orchards were treated for blight and
codling moth.

FLORIDA CITRUS: The majority of Florida's Citrus groves were in very good

condition through most of April. Surface soil moisture became
short the last part of the month. Most irrigation equipment was in use to help
maintain the good tree condition as fruit was being set following this year's
bloom cycle. Some of the remaining Valencia oranges and grapefruit showed a
little softening from the dry windy weather; however, fruit loss from droppage
has not been excessive during the current dry period. Harvest of Valencia
oranges increased steadily during April to more than 5 million boxes for the
last week of the month. Movement of all grapefruit slowed this month as
supplies were starting to run low. Temple harvest is virtually complete.
Harvest of honey tangerines was down to the last few thousand boxes by the end
of April. Caretakers are very busy applying post bloom nutritional sprays and
clean cultivating for moisture conservation.

TEXAS CITRUS: Virtually all of the Texas Valencias were harvested by May 1.
Harvest of early and mid-season oranges was completed earlier.
Overall] guality of the fruit was good. Trees are in good condition and have
set a good crop for next season. Although some rain has been received,
irrigation has continued. Some spraying and other grove care is occurring.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 B-5 NASS, USDA


Natlonal United States
Agricuttural Department of
Service Agriculture

Crop

Production si eects!
Board
Washington, D.C.

RELEASED: May 10, 1988
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at 1.62 billion bushels (44.1 million
metric tons), 4 percent more than 1987. Harvested area is placed at 39.8
million acres (16.1 million hectares), up 1 percent. Yields average 40.7
bushels per acre, the second highest on record.

CITRUS production is forecast at 12.7 million tons (11.5 million metric tons),
6 percent more than last season.

ORANGE production is forecast at 199 million boxes (7.74 million metric tons),
9 percent more than last season.

GRAPEFRUIT production is forecast at 67.4 million boxes (2.49 million metric
tons), 7 percent above last season.

SPRING POTATOES are forecast at 19.8 million cwt (896 thousand metric tons), up
11 percent from last year but slightly less than 1986.

ALMOND production is forecast at 580 million pounds (263 thousand metric tons),
shelled basis, 12 percent below last year.

FRRKIREIRIRRIAIII RIE RIEIIII IR ISIII III IKI AISI ISI IIB III IIIA IIA IS AISA IA IIR,

INCLUDED IN THIS ISSUE

o Revised, 1987 Acreage, Yield, Production, Price, and Value of Cotton
Lint and Tobacco (by Types and Classes).

Revised 1987 and Final Revisions for 1986 Production, Disposition,
and Value of Cottonseed.

o Revisions of 1987 Almond Production.

o Revised Acreage, Yield, and Production of 1987 Crops: Bananas,

Papayas, and Taro.
HARARE IERIE ERIK ERE RIKER KIKI IRIS AAR AAAI ERA ERIRIERERERRE

2 ob FF OR OOF
°
OF OO

CrPr 2-2 (5-88) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE 1/

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD

PRODUCTION

CLASS AND TYPE

POUNDS
1,980 1,970
2,055 2,085
2,000 2,000
2,165 2,170
2,040 2,090
2,040 2,240
2,040 2,178
2,510 2,465
2,190 2,255
2,237 2,286
2,091 2,129
1,220 1,000
1,985 2,070
2,025 2,170
2,012 2,137
2,240 2,450
2,275 2,350
2,245 2,435
1,958 1,990
2,050 2,050
2,050 2,050
2,090 2,070
1,900 1,785
1,840 1,640
1,590 1,705
1,660 1,815
1,650 1,440
1,936 1,943
1,320 1,250
1,950 1,850
1,430 1,376
1,893 1,897

1,000 POUNDS

154,440
57,540
211,980

220,830

55,080
75,480
130,560

13,303
67,890
81,193
644,563

3,538

8,734
17,820
26,554

9,632
1,547
11,179
41,271

12,095
287,000
4,389
14,440
13,064
62,010
12,284
2,640
407,922

21,120
6,630
27,750
435,672

157,600
58,380
215,980

232,190

62,700
94,080
156,780

13,804
72,160
85,964
690,914

2,600

5,589
11,935
17,524

6,370
1,081
7,457
27,575

31,070
287,000
3,519
14,102
11,972
73,315
15,790
2,592
419,360

18,750
7,400
26,150
445,510

ACRES
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND
MIDDLE BELTS
NC 78,000 80,000
VA 28,000 28,000
Us 106,000 108,000
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC
BELT :
Nc : 102,000 107,000
TYPE 13, NC BORDER & :
S C BELT : .
Nc 27,000 30,000
sc 37,000 42,000
us 64,000 72,000
TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT
FLA 5,300 5,600
GA 31,000 32,000
us : 36,300 37,600
TOTAL 11-14 308,300 324,600
CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT :
VA : 2,900 2,600
TYPE 22, EASTERN :
DISTRICT
KY 4,400 2,700
TENN : 8,800 5,500
us 13,200 8,200
TYPE 23, WESTERN
DISTRICT
KY 4,300 2,600
TENN 680 460
Us 4,980 3,060
TOTAL 21-23 21,080 13,860
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AIR-CURED
TYPE 31, BURLEY
IND 5,900 5,400
KY 140,000 140,000
MO 2,100 1,700
NC 7,600 7,900
OHIO 7,100 7,300
TENN 39,000 43,000
VA 7,400 8,700
WeVA : 1,600 1,800
US : 210,700 215,800
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD :
BELT 2/
MD 16,000 15,000
PA 3,400 4,000
Us : 19,400 19,000
TOTAL 31-32 : 230,100 234,800
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-15.
CROP PRODUCTION,
MAY 1988 A-12

CONTINUED

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY STATES 1/

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CONN : 1,990 1,800 1,539 1,509 3,062 2,716
FLA : 5,300 5,600 2,510 2,465 13,303 13,804
GA : 31,000 32,000 2,190 2,255 67,890 72,160
IND : 5,900 5,400 2,050 2,050 12,095 11,070
KY : 153,300 148, 300 2,054 2,056 314,940 304,845
MD : 16,000 15,000 1,320 1,250 21,120 18,750
MASS : 470 520 1,323 1,256 622 653
MO : 2,100 1,700 2,090 + 2,070 4,389 3,519
NC : 214,600 224,900 2,073 2,075 444,790 466,592
OHIO : 7,420 7,350 1,829 1,639 13,574 12,044
PA : 11,000 11,000 1,985 1,882 21,830 20,700
SC : 37,000 42,000 2,040 2,240 75,480 94,080
TENN : 49,240 49,440 1,682 1,766 82,821 87,291
VA : 38,430 39,430 1,913 1,950 73,524 76,900
W OVA : 1,600 1,800 1,650 1,440 2,640 2,592
WIS : 6,200 4,200 1,913 1,993 11,860 8,370
US : 581,550 590,440 2,001 2,026 1,163,940 1,196,086
MARKETING YEAR AVERAGE PRICE VALUE OF
PER POUND RECEIVED BY FARMERS : PRODUCTION

DOLLARS PER POUND 1,000 DOLLARS
CONN 6.642 7.467 20,337 20,281
FLA 1.622 1.641 21,577 22,652
GA 1.581 1.630 107,334 117,621
IND 1.554 1.549 18,796 17,147
KY 3 1.550 1.562 488,123 476,306
MD 2/ : 1.179 1.249 24,900 23,419
MASS : 8.477 11.320 5,273 7,390
MO H 1.548 1.568 6,794 5,518
NC H 1.533 1.579 681,880 736,690
OHIO : 1.539 1.543 20,886 18,578
PA H -672 770 14,673 15,940
Sc : 1.442 1.607 108,842 151,187
TENN : 1.524 1.55) 126,202 135,421
VA : 1.507 1.524 110,809 117,166
W VA : 1.544 1.465 4,076 3,797
WIS : «934 1.000 11,076 8,370
US : 1.522 1.570 1,771,578 1,877,483

1/ 1987 REVISED.
2/ 1987 PRICE AND VALUE BASED ON MARKETINGS TO DATE.

CROP PRODUCTION , AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 ‘ A~11 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION PRODUCTION

BOXES : TON EQUIVALENT

CROP

AND UTILIZED UTILIZED

STATE +: INDICATED: -: INDICATED
1985-86 1987-88

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS

ORANGES,EARLY MID

& NAVEL 3/t
ARIZ 4a): 600 950 600 23 36 23
CALIF : 33,000 34,500 31,000 1,238 1,294 1,163
FLA : 64,200 65,800 78,500 2,889 2,961 3,533
TEX : 200 500 940 9 22 40
us 98,000 101,750 111,040 4,159 4,313 4,759
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
ARIZ 4/: 1,700 2,200 1,700 64 83 64
CALIF : 20,900 24,000 24,000 784 900 900
FLA : 55,000 53,900 62,000 2,475 2,425 2,790
TEX : 110 375 490 5 16 21
US : 77,710 80,475 88,190 3,328 3,424 3,775
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ 4/: 2,300 3,150 2,300 87 119 87
CALIF : 53,900 58,500 55,000 2,022 2,194 2,063
FLA : 119,200 119,700 140,500 5,364 5,386 6,323
TEX : 310 875, 1,430 14 38 61
US : 175,710 182,225 199,230 7,487 7,737 8,534
TEMPLES :
FLA : 2,950 3,400 3,550 133 153 160
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEDLESS
FLA : 25,600 26,900 28,500 1,088 1,143 1,21
GRAPEFRUIT,COLORED :
SEEDLESS :
FLA 18,000 20,000 21,500 765 850 914
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 3,150 2,900 2,800 134 123 119
ALL GRAPEFRUIT H
ARIZ 4/: 2,400 2,200 1,900 77 70 61
CALIF :
DESERT : 3,600 4,200 4,200 115 134 134
OTHER AREAS : 4,500 4,900 4,700 151 164 157
TOTAL 4/: 8,100 9,100 8,900 266 298 291
FLA : 46,750 49,800 52,800 1,987 2,116 2,244
TEX : 220 1,925 3,800 9 77 152
us : 57,470 63,025 67,400 2,339 2,561 2,748
TANGERINES :
ARIZ 4/: 700 700 450 26 26 7
CALIF 4/: 1,800 2,230 1,500 68 83 56
FLA S/: 1,950 2,340 2,400 93 V1 114
us > 43450 5,270 4,350 187 220 187
LEMONS 4a/:
ARIZ : 3,250 7,100 4,000 123 270 152
CALIF : 15,100 21,500 18,500 574 817 703
US > 18,350 28,600 22,500 697 1,087 855
TANGELOS :
FLA 2,950 4,000 4,200 133 180 189

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,
FLA-90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER-67, FLA-85,
TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND MID-
SEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES
IN TEXAS. 4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORE-
CAST. 5/ PER PROGRAM MODIFICATION, FLA “ALL TANGERINES" INCLUDE HONEY TANGER-
INES BEGINNING WITH THE 1987-88 SEASON. ESTIMATES FOR PREVIOUS SEASONS ARE
REVISED TO INCLUDE THE HONEY VARIETY.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-8 NASS, USDA


APRIL WEATHER SUMMARY

The western half of the Nation experienced mostly above-normal temperatures
and above-normal precipitation; however, the northern Plains were very dry and
continued to be relatively warm. Above-normal precipitation in the Pacific
Northwest and parts of the Southeast helped to alleviate the drought in those
areas. The southern Plains and the Atlantic coastal regions had generally
rie temperatures. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather
acility.

APRIL FIELDWORK

Rain, sometimes snow, and unseasonably cold temperatures interrupted
seeding and land preparation in the central and southern Great Plains and Corn
Belt during May. With the exception of snow, much the same was true for the
Delta and Southeast. Above-normal temperatures and dry weather dominated the
northern Great Plains during most of the month as evidenced by the rapid
seeding of spring small grains. Intermittent precipitation gave some relief,
but for the most part, the lack of moisture hampered winter small grain growth
and development.

Corn planting was limited to the southern half of the Nation at the
beginning of April. By the second week of the month, planting moved as far
north as Nebraska. Planting progressed normally until the last week of the
month, when 21 percent of the acreage was seeded in the 17 major producing
States. The month ended with 36 percent of the corn acreage planted compared
with 43 percent in 1987 and 24 percent average.

At month's end, cotton seeding was 33 percent finished, 3 points below
1987 but 2 points above normal. Planting lagged behind normal in the Delta
and Southeast as a result of wetness and low soil temperatures. Planting
lagged behind normal in 8 of the 14 major producing States and by as much as
25 points in North Carolina and 30 points in South Carolina. Rain, cool
weather, and crusting soils caused some replanting in Arizona and California.

Sorghum seeding reached 19 percent completion by the beginning of May.
Seeding was slightly behind normal. Planting was underway in all major
producing States except Kansas and South Dakota.

Rice was 54 percent seeded and 20 percent emerged on May 1. Seeding was 5
points ahead of normal but emergence trailed 17 points behind the average.
Rice planting lagged behind normal until the last week of the month.

Soybean planting was just getting underway as the month ended. Planting
reached 2 percent completion just slightly ahead of normal.

Spring wheat planting advanced rapidly during the month. On April 17, 32
percent of the acreage was seeded, four times greater than normal. Seeding
continued ahead of normal reaching 78 percent completion by month's end.
Planting neared completion in South Dakota. Spring wheat emergence was at 19
percent compared with 17 percent normally.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 B-2 NASS, USDA


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27


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
CROP: : INDICATED: : INDICATED
: 1987: «21988 > 1987: 1988
— HECTARES
WINTER WHEAT: 19,741,180 —-19,663,890 —«'15,911,200 16,117,180
SPRING POTATOES : 33,390 32,420 327660 313970

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION
CROP : : : _ : 2 INDICATED

: : INDICATED: ST aaa etal alata tattered

: 1987 : 1988 : 1987 : APR 1, MAY 1,

: : : 1988 1988

METRIC TONS
WINTER WHEAT : 2.67 2.74 42,535,060 44,096,170
SPRING POTATOES : 24.62 28.02 803,940 938,430 895,930
ALMOND (CALF) : 299,370 263,080
. HAY STOCK ON FARMS —: 29,409,110 1/108,634,470 24,792,450
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1986-87 1987-88 1987-88

ORANGES : 7,018,890 7,747,360 7,741,910
GRAPEFRUIT : 2,323,300 2,454,840 2,492,940

1/_ DECEMBER 1, 1987. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN
AND ENDS WITH COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-4 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED 1/

VALUE OF
PRODUCTION

1987

DOLLARS PER POUND 1,000 DOLLARS
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 38, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT 2
KY 2 1.219 1.379 7,070 5,083
TENN : 1.250 1.384 1,805 1,329
us 3 1.225 1.380 8,875 6,412
TYPE 36,GREEN RIVER
BELT 3
KY 3 1.154 1.144 4,355 2,517
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :
BELT 3
VA H 1.242 1.025 201 133

TOTAL 35~37 H 1.201 1.299 13,431 9,062

CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF

PA : +660 +720 10,032 9,576
TYPE 42-44 OHIO MIAMI

VALLEY TYPES :

OHIO 3/ : +890 -960 454 69
TOTAL 41-44 3/ : 667 72) 10,486 9,645

CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER
CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY :

BINDER :
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY :
BROADLEAF 2
CONN : 1.800 1.700 3,150 2,688
MASS 4/ 3 1.700 337
US H 1.800 1.700 3,150 3,025
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY
HAVANNA SEED :
MASS 3 1.600 400
TOTAL 51-52 : 1.775 1.700 3,550 3,025
CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS
WIs 2 -950 1.000 5,227 5,670
TYPE 55, NOTHERN WIS
WIS : «920 1.000 5,849 2,700
TOTAL 54-55 : 2934 1.000 11,076 8,370
TOTAL 51-55 2 1.055 1.123 14,626 11,395
CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY
SHADE~GROWN
CONN 3 13.100 15.500 17,187 17,593
MASS 3 13.100 15.500 4,873 7,053
us : 13.100 15.500 22,060 24,646
ALL CIGAR TYPES :
TOTAL 41-61 : 1.509 1.819 47,172 45,686
ALL TOBACCO 3 1.522 1.570 1,771,578 1,877,483

1/ REVISED. 2/ ESTIMATES CARRIEO FORWARD FROM CROP PRODUCTION ANNUAL SUMMARY
RELEASED JANUARY 14, 1988. 3/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPES GROWN IN OHIO. 4/_ ESTI-
MATES BEGAN IN 1987. 5/ 1987 PRICE AND VALUE BASED ON MARKETINGS TO DATE.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-15 NASS, USDA


COTTON: PRODUCTION AND BALES GINNED

PRODUCTION IN : BALES GINNED AS

CROP : 480-LB REPORTED BY CENSUS 3/
AND 3 NET WEIGHT BALES 2/ (480-LB NET WEIGHT)

1,000 BALES BALES

UPLAND
ALA : 330.0 397.0 327,804 400,557
ARIZ 3 675.0 849.0 647,357 818,931
ARK : 602.0 901.0 599,273 903,098
CALIF : 2,245.0 2,989.0 2,272,276 3,018,145
FLA 3 28.0 39.0 4/ 21,759 4/ 27,480
GA 2 185.0 338.0 190,431 341,185
KANS H 7 9 4/ 4/
LA : 673.0 977.0 677,017 983,456
MISS : 1,190.0 1,745.0 1,185,812 1,740,662
MO : 196.0 330.0 195,501 324,399
N MEX 3 62.0 89.0 56,073 79,703
NC : 109.0 98.0 111,204 99,644
OKLA H 210.0 346.0 199,715 340,737
sc H 87.0 106.0 85,002 104,398
TENN H 396.0 634.0 396,576 634,419
TEX : 2,535.0 4,635.0 2,531,966 4,640,042
VA : 1.5 1.4
us H 9,525.2 14,475.3 9,497,766 14,456,856

AMER-PIMA 3
ARIZ Hy 148.3 213.0 148,403 214,607
CALIF : 2.2
N MEX : 16.6 18.6 8,297 9,736
TEX : 41.0 50.8 49,126 59,974
us : 205.9 284.6 205,826 284,317

ALL H
ALA Hy 330.0 397.0 327,804 400,557
ARIZ : 823.3 1,062.0 795,760 1,033,538
ARK H 602.0 901.0 599,273 903,098
CALIF : 2,245.0 2,991.2 2,272,276 3,018,145
FLA : 28.0 39.0 4/ 21,759 4/ 27,480
GA 3 185.0 338.0 190,431 341,185
KANS 7 7 9 4/ 4/
LA : 673.0 977.0 677,017 983,456
MISS : 1,190.0 1,745.0 1,185,812 1,740,662
MO 3 196.0 330.0 195,501 324,399
N MEX 3 78.6 107.6 64,370 89,439
NC 3 109.0 98.0 111,204 99,644
OKLA H 210.0 346.0 199,715 340,737
sc : 87.0 106.0 85,002 104,398
TENN : 396.0 634.0 396,576 634,419
TEX 3 2,576.0 4,685.8 2,531,966 4,700,016

VA z 1.5 1.4

9,703,592 14,741,173

V/ . / BE GINNED. 3/ EQUIVALENT 480-L8
NET WEIGHT BALES GINNED, NOT ADJUSTED FOR CROSS-STATE MOVEMENT. 4/ FLA AND
KANS COMBINED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-17 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP : : INDICATED
1987: ~——«:1988

1,000 ACRES

WINTER WHEAT : 48,781 48,590 39,317 39,826
SPRING POTATOES H 82.5 80.1 80.7 79.0

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY-YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
CROP AND UNIT ° : — 1 ° : INDICATED
: INDICATED: Jo eee nee nee nnn enn nnseen=
1987: 1988 : 1987 : APR1, : MAY 1,
: : : 1988: 1988
a 1,000, °~SOCSTM
WINTER WHEAT BU : 39.8 40.7 1,562,896 1,620,257
SPRING POTATOES CWT : 220 250 17,724 20,689 19,752
ALMOND (CALF) lB: 660,000 §80,000
HAY STOCK ON FARM TON : 32,418 = 1/119,749 27,329
PASTURE AND :
RANGE FEED 2/ PCT : 81 73
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ : 1986-87 1987-88 1987-88
ORANGES BOX : 182,225 199,390 199,230
GRAPEFRUIT 3 63,025 66,400 67,400

1/ DECEMBER 1, 1987. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF
MONTH. THE 1977-86 AVERAGE IS 79 PERCENT. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF
THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENOS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING
YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-3 NASS, USDA


PAPAYA: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 5.70 million pounds

(2,590 metric tons) in May, 37 percent higher than May 1987.
Increased production is expected to continue through the summer with output
totaling 6.70 million pounds (3040 metric tons) in dune, 7.00 million pounds
(3180 metric tons) in July and 7.70 million pounds (3490 metric tons) in
August.

April fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 4.26 million pounds (1,930
metric tons), 35 percent higher than March and 3 percent more than last April.
Year-to-date output is 6 percent lower than the same 4 month period last year.
Weather conditions during April were a mixture of light rains and sunshine in
the major growing areas. Orchards were in fair to good condition.

April's crop area totaled 4165 acres (1690 hectares), 2 percent more than
March and 4 percent higher than last April. Harvested area for April totaled
2,255 acres (910 hectares), virtually unchanged from last month but down 3
percent from April a year ago. Orchards in the more productive first year of
harvest accounted for 53 percent of the total harvested area compared to 44
percent last year.

SWEET CHERRIES: The first forecast of California sweet cherries is for 35.0

thousand tons (31.8 thousand metric tons), down 22 percent
from 1987 but 4 times larger than the small 1986 crop. The crop is in good
condition. Rain, the last week of April, caused some damage to the Burlat
variety, which was being harvested. The harvest of the Bing variety is
expected to begin in mid-May. Recent cool weather should help the sizing of
Bings. This forecast was made based on conditions prior to rains of May 5-7
in the Northern San Joaquin Valley. Damage was variable with early cherries in
the Lodi District Bing hardest hit.

HOPS: Hop acreage strung for harvest is forecast at 32.4 thousand acres (13.1

thousand hectares), 14 percent more than last year's harvested acreage
and 30 percent more than 1986. Growers in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington all
indicate more acreage strung for harvest than was harvested last year. Idaho
has the greatest percentage increase while Washington has the largest acreage
increase from last year.

ALMONDS: The first forecast of the 1988 California almond crop is for 580
million pounds (263 thousand metric tons) shelled basis, %2 percent
below last year's record crop but more than twice the low 1986 production.

Almonds are developing well under favorable growing conditions. Early
season warm temperatures helped push maturity ahead of normal. Nut set is
heavy for the second year in a row. Spotty frost damage and high winds have
caused nut drop in some areas. Bearing acreage is estimated at 406 thousand
acres, 164 thousand hectares, 1 percent lower than Jast year.

POTATOES: Spring potato production is forecast at 19.8 million cwt (896 thou-

sand metric tons), up 11 percent from last year, but slightly less
than 1986. Area for harvest is set at 79.0 thousand acres (32.0 thousand
hectares), down 2 percent from last year, but 4 percent above two years ago.
The average yield is forecast at 250 cwt per acre, up 30 cwt from last year
but 11 cwt below 1986. During April, downward adjustments were noted in
California, Florida, and Texas and are reflected in this report.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 B-6 NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF MAY 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECAST

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based on mail and
objective yield surveys conducted just prior to May 1. The mail surveys
provided information on abandonment to date and condition of the crop which
was used to estimate acres for harvest. Yield estimates are based on counts
and measurements in a probability sample of wheat fields and on the condition
of the crop as reported by farmers. Both surveys are subject to sampling and
non-sampling errors common to all surveys. This production forecast is also
subject to change due to growing conditions that may affect the crop after
May 1.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 winter wheat
production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based
on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation
between the May 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage
of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1967-1986 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be
made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the
final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's
forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production
forecast is 6.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the
current production forecast of 1.62 billion bushels will not be above or below
the final estimate by more than 6.8 percent or approximately 110 million
bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 11.7 percent or approximately 190 million bushels.
Differences between the May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 91.0 million bushels, ranging
from 11 million to 210 million bushels. The May 1 forecast has been below the
final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply that the May 1
winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with ]
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Rich D. Allen, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,

APPROVED: Robert L. Addison, Robert L. Freie,
David J. Aune, Clifton D. James,

: Donald M. Bay, Darwin E. Ransom,
Les ze Robert P. Bellinghausen, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler,
\y Qo: ") James E. Brewster, James L. Smith,

Arvin R. Budge, Charles D. Spilimann,
William N. Dowdy, Eldon J. Thiessen,
S. Radley Edwards, Charles A. Van Lahr,

John D. Witzig.
SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-2 NASS, USDA


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28


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED 1/

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

CLASS AND TYPE

3987

6
ACRES POUNDS 7,000 POUNDS
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 38, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT 2
KY 2 2,900 1,900 2,000 1,940 5,800 3,686
TENN : 760 480 1,900 2,000 1,444 960
US : 3,660 2,380 1,979 1,952 7,244 4,646
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT t
KY : 1,700 1,100 2,220 2,000 3,774 2,200
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :
BELT :
VA : 130 130 1,245 1,000 162 130
KY 3
TENN 2
TOTAL 35-37 3 5,490 3,610 2,036 1,932 11,180 6,976
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF
PA 7,600 7,000 2,000 1,900 15,200 13,300
TYPE 42-44 OHIO-MIAMI
VALLEY TYPES 2
OHIO 3/ 320 50 1,595 1,440 510 72
TOTAL 41-44 3/ 3 7,920 7,050 1,984 1,897 15,710 13,372
CLASS’ 5, CIGAR BINDER
CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY :
BINDER
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY
BROADLEAF :
CONN : 1,000 930 1,750 1,700 1,750 1,581
MASS 4/: 110 1,800 198
us : 1,000 1,040 1,750 1,711 1,750 1,779
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY
HAVANA SEED 3
MASS : 130 1,925 250
TOTAL 51-52 : 1,130 1,040 1,770 1,711 2,000 1,779

CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :
WIS : 2,800 2,700 1,965 2,100 5,502 5,670
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS :
WIS :

: 3,400 1,500 1,870 1,800 6,358 2,700
TOTAL 54-55 : 6,200 4,200 1,913 1,993 11,860 8,370
TOTAL 51-55 : 7,330 5,240 1,891 1,937 13,860 10,149
CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY
SHADE-GROWN :
CONN : 990 870 3,325 3,305 1,312 1,135
MASS : 340 410 1,095 1,110 372 455
us : 1,330 1,280 1,266 1,242 1,684 1,590
ALL CIGAR TYPES
TOTAL 41-6} 16,580 13,570 1,885 1,850 31,254 25,11
ALL TOBACCO 581,550

SEE FOOTNOTE

ON PAGE A-15. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MAY 1988 A-13 NASS, USDA


COTTON: ACREAGE AND YIELD

CROP H AREA a AREA °
AND : PLANTED

HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES POUNDS
UPLAND
ALA 315.0 335.0 313.0 333.0 506 572
ARIZ : 250.0 290.0 249.0 289.0 1,301 1,410
ARK 490.0 555.0 480.0 550.0 602 786
CALIF 1,000.0 1,150.0 990.0 1,140.0 1,088 1,259
FLA 19.5 29.5 19.0 29.0 707 646
GA 225.0 250.0 195.0 245.0 455 662
KANS 1.2 1.0 1.0 9 336 480
LA 580.0 605.0 570.0 600.0 567 782
MISS 1,020.0 1,020.0 1,000.0 1,010.0 571 829
MO 178.0 190.0 160.0 189.0 588 838
N MEX 63.0 66.0 50.0 62.0 595 689
NC 82.0 96.0 81.0 95.0 646 495
OKLA 400.0 420.0 350.0 400.0 288 415
sc 118.0 120.0 113.0 119.0 370 428
TENN 340.0 440.0 335.0 435.0 567 700
TEX 4,850.0 4,700.0 3,450.0 4,400.0 353 506
VA 1.4 1.8 1.3 1.8 554 373
US 9,933.1 10,269.3 8,357.3 9,898.7 547 702
AMER-PIMA =
ARIZ 74.0 91.0 73.8 90.8 965 1,126
CALIF 9 ) 1,173
N MEX 11.1 14.0 11.1 13.9 718 642
TEX 26.4 32.0 26.2 31.0 751 787
us 111.5 137.9 W101 136.6 890 1,000
ALL
ALA 315.0 335.0 313.0 333.0 506 572
ARIZ 324.0 381.0 322.8 379.8 1,224 1,342
ARK 490.0 555.0 480.0 550.0 602 786
CALIF 1,000.0 1,150.9 990.0 1,140.9 1,088 1,258
FLA 19.5 29.5 19.0 29.0 707 646
GA 225.0 250.0 195.0 245.0 455 662
KANS . 1.0 1.0 9 336 480
tA §80.0 605.0 570.0 600.0 567 782
MISS 1,020.0 1,020.0 1,000.0 1,010.0 571 829
MO 178.0 190.0 160.0 189.0 588 838
N MEX 74.1 80.0 61.1 75.9 617 680
NC 82.0 96.0 81.0 95.0 646 495
OKLA 400.0 420.0 350.0 400.0 288 415
sc 118.0 120.0 113.0 119.0 370 428
TENN 340.0 440.0 335.0 435.0 567 700
TEX 4,876.4 4,732.0 3,476.2 4,431.0 356 508
VA 1.4 1.8 1.3 1.8 554 373

CROP PRODUCTI
MAY 1988

10,044.6

ON,

10,407.2

8,468.4

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

USDA