Potatoes:
State,

Area Planted by Seasonal Group
and United States, 1992-93

Seasonal Group
and State

Winter 1/ : 13.

Spring 1/ : 85.

Summer
AL
CA
co
OE

<
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ray

4
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ia
a
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=

v
PNB WONNYN EP HEDMAN
ONMEDEPYUNTADMOVNEN

4
3

N

1,000 Acres
13,
86.

Oo oe
nN

eb
POP WONMNIOHHEanonn~
COWMEEYNOAMPOHNYW

wo

Seasonal Group

and State

NM 2/

Upstate

Malheur
Other Co

Long Island :

1,000 Acres
12.0 12.0
66.5 72.5
22.0 24.0
358.0 366.0
4.6 4.5
81.0 81.0
3.0 2.9
37.0 40.0
71.0 74.0
8.6 9.1
8.6 9.6
7.5 7.7
5.1 5.8
6.2 6.3
22.0 22.5
146.0 143.0
7.0 6.0
6.8 8.5
37.2 41.5
20.0 21.0
1.3 1.2
6.5 5.5
6.1 6.1
125.0 145.0
69.0 69.0
1.7 1.8
1,139.7 1,186.5
1,327.1 1,379.0

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ District I (NW Counties) included in fall potatoes beginning in 1992

Crop Production
July 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


2.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
production forecast of 1.82 billion bushels will not be above or below the
final estimate by more than 2.0 percent or approximately 36.4 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will
not exceed 3.5 percent or approximately 63.7 million bushels. Differences
between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate
during the past 10 years have averaged 22 million bushels, ranging from

4 million to 51 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final
estimate 4 times and above 6 times. This does not imply that the July 1 winter
wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
duly 1993 B-14 NASS, USDA



Peaches: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Total Production 1/

Million Pounds

AL : 16.

0 13.0 17.0
AR : 12.0 12.0 22.0
CA - Freestone: 627.0 642.0 630.0
co : 2.0 18.0 18.0
CT 2/ : 3.4 3.9 3.6
DE 2/ : 3.0 3.5 3.3
GA : 150.0 130.0 145.0
1D 2/ 3/ : 5.4 4.0
IL : 19.5 18.0 20.0
IN 2/ : 4.6 6.0 8.0
KS 2/ : 2.5 0.5 1.0
Ky 2/ : 4.0 4.0 8.0
LA 2/ 5.0 4.0 3.5
MD 15.0 11.0 12.0
MA 2/ 1.2 1.2 1.7
MI 40.0 50.0 47.0
MO 2/ : 11.0 9.0 11.0
NJ : 115.0 85.0 95.0
NY : 15.0 14.0 10.0
NC 35.0 12.0 38.0
OH 2/ 5.8 14.0 12.0
OK 2/ 31.0 5.0 20.0
OR 2/ 13.0 15.0 14.0
PA 100.0 90.0 90.0
sc 310.0 170.0 360.0
TN 2/ 6.5 4.2 11.0
TX 2/ 32.0 27.0 25.0
UT 2/ 2.5 10.8 11.0
VA 26.0 25.0 27.0
WA 30.0 52.0 50.0
wy 18.0 20.0 20.0
Total Above : 1,656.0 1,475.5 1,738.1
CA - Clingstone 4/: 1,030.0 1,183.0 1,140.0
US Total : 2,686.0 2,658.5 2,878.1

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (million pounds):
United States, excluding CA clingstone peaches, 1991 - 120.1, 1992 - 113.2.

2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

3/ No significant production due to frost for ID in 1991.

4/ CA clingstone is over the scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery
diversions (million pounds): 1991 - 60.0; 1992 - 66.0.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-14 NASS, USDA


[ CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

July 3, 1993

i

SRR

CROP MOISTURE:
[DEPICTS SHORT TERM (UP TO ABOUT 4 WEEKS)
‘ABNORMAL DAVNESS OR WETNESS,

(OMONTHS, YEARS) DROUGHT OR WET
[BY THE DROUGHT SEVERITY DEX, NOAAAISDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY _ Based on preliminary reports

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up. to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile.
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55
degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the Jong term (months,
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-1 NASS. USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
1992 and Forecasted July 1, 1993
(Metric Units)

Production

Metric Tons

Oats 2.35 2.27 4,276,170 3,815,400
Barley 3.36 3.30 9,935,800 10,055,510
All Wheat > 2.65 2.72 66,918.380 70,788,680

Winter : 2,58 2.76 43,722,690 49,642,830 49,568,890

Durum : 2.67 2.54 2,645,240 2,203,370

Other Spring : 2.81 2.65 20,550,450 19,016,420
Summer Potatoes : 27.76 26.37 963,840 949,960
Flue-cured Tobacco :

Types 11-14 2 2.53 2.43 416,970 393,120
Apples, Comm'1 : 4,862,280 4,898,800
Peaches : 1,205,880 1,301.400 1,305,480
Pears : 840.140 859,380
Sweet Cherries 1/ : 189,060 161,570 149,590
Tart Cherries 1/ : 152,000 149,550 149,100
Apricots : 97,980 97,110 87,950
Nectarines (CA) : 214,100 199,580 199.580
Plums (CA) : 226.800 199.580 199,580
Dried Prunes (CA) : 166,920 122,470 122,470
Almonds (CA) : 248,570 235,870 213,190
Walnuts (CA) : 184,160 226,800
Citrus Fruits 2/ : 1991-92 1992-93 1992-93

Oranges : 8,079,390 10,067,030 10,039,810

Grapefruit : 2,017,580 2,522,880 2,534,670

Lemons : 696,720 823,720 858.200

l/ Estimates in June 1 column include forecasts in the Great Lakes States as
of June 15, 1993.

2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-5 NASS, USDA


been characteristic of this region and some planting delays and slow
development were experienced. In the major producing areas, the majority of
the potatoes are in good condition but a substantial portion is rated poor.

The Western region increased its acreage to 700,000 acres. with the Pacific
Northwest leading the group. AS a region, planted acres are 7 percent higher
than the 1992 total. Washington growers planted 16 percent more acres and
Oregon growers planted 14 percent more. Acreage in Idaho is up 3 percent.
Montana and Wyoming acreages are both 6 percent higher than last year.
Colorado's fall acreage climbed 9 percent and New Mexico jumped 14 percent.
California and Utah planted the same amount as last year and Nevada acreage is
200 acres higher. A wet or cool spring in most of the States in this region
delayed planting and slowed growth. In several States, cool conditions
persist. Crop progress in the coastal States picked up and is now about normal
but in Idaho much of the crop remains two weeks behind. The Colorado crop is
mostiy good to excellent but some affects are expected from an early June
frost.

Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 20.9 million

cwt, down 1 percent from a year ago and 8 percent below
1991. Farmers expect to harvest 89,000 acres during the summer season,
3.200 acres more than the acreage harvested last year.

Most of the potatoes along the Atlantic Coast were behind normal because of
cool temperatures and above normal rainfall during the early part of the
season. Heat and dry weather more recently have stressed the crap. Digging in
Alabama will begin about the second week of July. Much needed rain fell in
many areas in late June but growers remain pessimistic. The North Carolina
crop was 64 percent harvested by July 4. equal to the average. The crop
condition was considered from poor to good with most of it rated fair.

Maryland and Delaware potatoes show signs of needed moisture. Virginia growers
expect better results. Some early planted fields rotted because of wet
conditions but decent conditions in April and May improved the outlook.

Many areas in the midwest experienced abnormally wet and cool conditions during
the season. Some Iowa fields were lost and others have been damaged by the
excessive rains. Michigan potatoes are about one week late because of cool
temperatures but recent warmth raised expectations. Missouri quality is down
because of excess moisture and high heat. Growers in Colorado started later
than usual but caught up to normal midway through the planting period. As of
early July, 72 percent of their crop was in good to excellent condition. The
Texas crop was set back by early cool weather followed by hot. dry winds.

California summer potato acreage is estimated to be above last year’s record
low. Cool weather has been ideal for the crop, although harvest may be
slightly delayed in some areas. Quality and price are expected to be good for
the 1993 season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
duly 1993 B-12 NASS, USDA



Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal
Group, State, and United States, 1991-93

Seasonal Production

Group and prc r reece ene ee ee enn ee ee eee ee ee ee eee eee ee eee

State

1,000 Acres - -- 1,000 Cwt --

Winter 1/ : 13.4 13.0 224 199 2.609 2,998 2,592

Spring 1/ > 83.0 83.8 259 234 20,636 21,535 19,569

Summer
AL 7.0 7.1 170 130 952 1,190 923
CA 4.3 4.8 320 355 1,560 1,376 1,704
co 6.5 7.9 300 305 2,036 1,950 2,410
OE 6.0 5.9 230 190 1,348 1,380 1,121
IL 4.4 4.8 300 250 1,008 1,320 1,200
IA 1.4 1.2 200 140 208 280 168
MD 1.6 1.6 200 170 298 320 272
MI 12.0 12.5 260 270 2,875 3,120 3,375
MN 7.1 7.1 325 290 2,154 2,308 2,059
MO 7.2 7.2 245 235 1,323 1,764 1,692
NE 2.0 2.3 300 300 636 600 690
NJ 3.5 3.3 240 220 760 840 726
NM 2/ 3.4 3.6 280 265 3,450 952 954
NC 1.4 1.2 110 120 154 154 144
1X 7.0 7.5 245 240 2,400 1,715 1,800
VA 11.0 11.0 180 155 1,485 1,980 1,705
Total 85.8 89.0 248 235 22,647 21,249 20,943

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ District I (NW Counties) included in fall potatoes beginning in 1992.

--continued

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-21 NASS, USDA



June Weather Summary: An unusually rich supply of north Pacific energy and a

stalwart ridge of high pressure over the Southeast
combined to produce rare summer flooding in the upper Mississippi Valley.
Across the western Corn Belt, June rainfall of 8 to 12 inches was the
culminating event in a year-long spate of surplus precipitation. Sioux Falls,
SD, registered its wettest 12-month period on record (42.20 inches).

Other by-products of the unusual weather regime included crop-withering heat
and dryness in the Southeast and out-of-season rainfall in California. In
addition, Tropical Storm Arlene and other disorganized tropical moisture were
steered into the western Gulf Coast States by the high pressure ridge.

Temperatures averaged 2 to 5 degrees F below normal along the primary storm
track from the Great Basin to the northern Plains, but reached levels of 2 to
4 degrees F above normal in the Southeast.

On June 1, a tropical depression passed southeast of southern Florida, helping
to ease a 6-week dry spell. But intense heat arrived across the interior
Southeast a week later, severely stressing corn and various ground crops,
including peanuts and watermelons. Meanwhile. a storm thrashed the West,
dumping more than 2 inches of rain in California’s northern Sacramento Valley
and breaking 24-hour June rainfall records in locations such as Los Angeles and
Sacramento, CA. Snow accumulated as far south as California's San Gabriel
mountains, and more than 10 inches blanketed higher elevations from the Sierras
to Utah's Wasatch range.

At mid-month, a series of cold fronts dumped 2 to 7 inches of rain across the
western Corn Belt. The upper Mississippi River and its tributaries, already
running near bankfull, surged above flood stage. Continuing rains through
early July resulted in a broad, flat crest on the Mississippi River that
reached northeastern Iowa by the end of June. A sampling of June rainfall
records includes nearly 12 inches at Rockford, IL, more than 13 inches at
Moline, IL, and almost 11 inches in South Bend, IN. Waterloo, IA, recorded
more than 10 inches of rain in June en route to its wettest first half of a
year on record (25.77 inches). La Crosse, WI, noted its fifth wettest month
Cany month) this century.

In contrast, record June dryness enveloped the Southeast. Less than one-
third of an inch of rain fell at Raleigh-Durham, NC, Charlotte, NC, and
Greenville-Spartanburg, SC. But farther west, Tropical Storm Arlene arrived in
Texas on June 20, contributing heavily to large monthly precipitation values.
Shreveport. LA. collected more than 13 inches of rain in less than 1 week.

General Crop Comments: At the beginning of June, rain fell over the central
portion of the Nation, delaying planting and flooding
emerged crops. Rain also occurred along the Pacific coast hampering harvest
activities. Rainfall over the central portion of the Nation for the remainder
of the month caused flooding and damage to crops along many rivers and in low
lying fields. The rest of the Nation turned dry. By the end of June, crops in
the Southeast were suffering from the hot, dry conditions, while crops in the
upper Midwest suffered from excessive moisture. By the beginning of June,
winter wheat harvest had begun. Hot, dry conditions in the Southeast and Texas
pushed harvest ahead of last year and normal. In other areas, however, the
Jate maturing crop delayed the harvest. Nationally, harvest progress at the

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-4 NASS, USDA


Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes,
11 Major States, 1992-93 Crop

State : Reds

1992

co 7
ID
ME
MI 4
MN 22
NY
ND 13
OR 2
PA
WA 1
WI 12

23
18

12

Types i/
Russets

"1993: 1992 “21993: 1992 1993
93 93
5 7 95 93
76 79 24 21
62 76 34 22
42 37 36 40

100 100
68 62 19 20
20 21 78 78

100 100
12 15 87 82
25 26 63 62
30 30 65 64

11 State Avg

1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s)
constituting less than 1 percent of state's total.

Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes.
by State and Total, 1992-93

State : Entered for
: Certification

-- Acres ---

1992 Crop 1993 Crop 1/
. : Percent Entered for
Certified 2/ : Certified Certification
-- Percent -- --- Acres ---

CA : 1,200 1,082 90
co : 10,000 10,038 100 10,800
1D : 49,106 40.314 82 45,000
ME : 29,581 29,035 98 25,988
MI : 3.175 2,403 76 3.100
MN : 21,887 20,690 95 22,569
MT : 8,550 7.987 93 8,511
NE : 6,921 7,095 103 5,782
NY : 1,900 1,820 96 1,822
ND : 31,103 29,418 95 28,899
OR : 3,100 2,918 94 3,250
PA 245 228 93 242
SD 2,024 1,924 95 1,800
UT : 400 193 48 233
WA : 1,950 2,042 105 2.056
WI : 10,100 10,825 107 10,100
Total 181,242 168,012 93 170,152

1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials.
2/ Source: 1993 Potato Statistical Yearbook, National Potato Council.

Crop Production
July 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

A-23 NASS, USDA


Reliability of July 1 Winter Wheat Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted
between June 22 and July 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in
13 States that accounted for 79 percent of the 1992 production. Plots were
revisited to make counts and harvest mature samples. In immature fields,
counts such as number of stalks. heads in late boot, and number of emerged
heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. A 5-
year historical head weight is used until the crop matures to the point that
heads can be clipped. threshed, and weighed. The number of heads times the
weight of the heads in a sample plot can then be expanded to an estimate of
yield per acre. The 5-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a
net yield. The plots are revisited each month until the crop reaches maturity
and or harvested on the final visit.

The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 10,000 winter wheat
producers representing all major production areas. These producers were
selected from an earlier acreage Survey and were asked about the probable
winter wheat yield on their operation. These growers wil? be surveyed
throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the
season progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower

reported indications were reviewed for reasonableness
and consistency with historical estimates. The indications were also reviewed
considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and
previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the
current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the
survey indications and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1
forecasts.

Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead,

a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing
season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the
marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks,
production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then
made, if data relationships warrant changes.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1
winter wheat production forecast, the “Root Mean Square Error,“
a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by
expressing the deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final
estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1973-1992 20-year period; the square root of the
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error.” Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year’s forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The “Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-13 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit:

Utilized Production by Crop, State

and United States 1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993 1/

Utilized Production
Ton Equivalent

Utilized Production
Boxes

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/
AZ A/

Valencia
AZ
CA
FL
TX 4/ 5/ 6/
us
All
AZ
CA
FL
TX 4/ 5/
US
Temples
FL
Grapefruit
White Seedless
FL
Colored Seedless
FL
Other
FL
All
AZ
CA
Desert 4/
Other Areas
Total

Tangerines
AZ A/
CA 4/

FL
us

Lemons
AZ 4/

750
43,800
14,300

450
59,300

1,150
25,000
72,200

60
98,410

1,900
68,800
86,500

510
57,710

2.500

25,700
27,600
1,750
2,200

3,500
6,000

20
593
937
550
45
368
885
298
65
961
822
848

113

922
927

112

1
3

5

1
2

3,

oO an

29
.317
753

1
100

60
208
538
806

89
525
291

1
906

106

812
940
51
89

112
217
329
803

224

45
90
123
258

194
574
768

112
201
313
2,339
72

2,794
32

94
133
259
186

760
946

Crop Production
July 1993

550 780
15,800 35,100
87,500 83.400 1
20

103,850 119,300 1
1,200 1,600
9,800 32,200
64,100 56.400
10
75.100 90,210
1,750 2,380
25,600 67,300

151,600 139,800 1
30

178,950 209,510 2
2.500 2,350
21,700 19,100
21,800 22,100
1,600 1,200
2,400 2,800
3,500 3,500
4,500 6,500
8,000 10,000
45,100 42,400
65
55,500 55,265
600 1,200
1,350 2,400
1,950 2,600
3,900 6,200
4,100 5,100
14,800 15,100
18,900 20,200
2,650 2,600
160 165
A-18

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Area Harvested :

1992 : 1993

1,000 Acres  —— - ------ Bushels ------- ---- 1,000 Bushels ---
AL: 44 50 90.0 3.740 4,500
cA: 55 30 100.0 5.115 3.000
MN: 10 10 50.0 470 500
MT oo: 457 114 30.0 5,181 3,420
ND: 2,150 1,900 36.0 81.700 68,400
so: 33 38 30.0 990 1.140
US: 2,449 2,142 39.7 37.8 97,196 80,960

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

State: ------------ +--+ 22-2222 oe ee eee eee eee eee een ene eee eee eee ee eee eee eee
1992 1993 1992 1993 1991 1992 1993
1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels -------
co : 47 33 77.0 78.0 2,700 3,619 2,574
ID : 640 $50 75.0 76.0 32.660 48,000 41,800
MN : 2,750 2,450 50.0 50.0 64,170 137,500 122,500
MT : 2,450 2.600 30.0 30.0 81,600 73,500 78.000
NV : 5 5 75.0 80.0 300 375 400
ND : 9,100 9,600 42.0 38.0 212,350 382,200 364,800
OR : 100 65 49.0 58.0 2,300 4,900 3,770
so : 2,500 2,020 34.0 33.0 49.000 85,000 66,660
UT : 22 25 48.0 49.0 1,127 1,056 1,225
WA : 420 340 42.0 47.0 58.000 17,640 15,980
WI : 21 11 40.0 40.0 238 840 440
wy : 10 13 47.0 45.0 120 470 585
US : 18,065 17,712 41.8 39.4 504,565 755,100 698,734
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1993 A-10 NASS, USDA


Valley in Oregon. In Washington, size and quality are good, however, the crop
has not picked out as heavy as earlier estimated. Only slight rain damage was
reported, but producers are still worried as 25 percent is left to be harvested
in the Yakima district. Harvest is just starting in the Upper Heights regions
of Wenatchee. Cherry fruit fly larvae and spotty coloring were also reported.

Tart Cherries: The U.S. production for 1993, at 329 million pounds, is
2 percent less than 1992 but 73 percent more than 1991.

Oregon's tart cherries were affected by poor pollinating weather this spring.
Harvest is underway in the Willamette Valley. Hail reduced crop prospects in
Utah.

Grapefruit: The final forecast for the 1992-93 U.S. grapefruit crop is

2.79 million tons, up slightly from the June 1 forecast and up
26 percent over last season. The Florida all grapefruit forecast, at
55.1 million boxes, is up 1 percent from the previous forecast. The increase
was in colored seedless grapefruit as processors used more end of season fruit
than expected. Grapefruit harvest was virtually complete at the end of June.

The California “Desert Valley” grapefruit forecast, carried forward from
April 1, is unchanged from last season at 3.50 million boxes. California's
"Other Areas" grapefruit forecast, unchanged from last month, is 6.00 million
boxes. Fruit quality has been good as trees benefited from spring rains.

The Arizona forecast remains unchanged from last month at 2.20 million boxes,
21 percent below last season. Harvest is virtually complete. The Texas
forecast was carried forward at 1.80 million boxes. Harvest is complete.

Lemons: The California and Arizona lemon crops are expected to total

946,000 tons, a 4 percent increase from the April 1 forecast and up
23 percent over last season. Harvest is virtually complete in the California
and Arizona desert as well as the Central Valley of California. Harvest
continues in Southern California and the coastal region. The 1992-93 crop
benefited from the rainfall received this winter and spring. Fruit sizes have
been excellent and quality has been good.

Florida Citrus: Citrus groves were hot and dry during the first half of June.

Rainfall was light and scattered. During the last half of the
month, rains were more frequent and caretakers reduced irrigation. New crop
fruit made progress. However, the prolonged bloom this year produced an unusual
fruit set in which some fruit is larger than others of the same type and age.
Growers from ail areas have expressed concerns about post-bloom fruit drop
caused by a fungus. This fungal organism is most severe on Navels but it does
attack all varieties. Some growers say they have little fruit on some of their
trees. The prolonged bloom, along with moist conditions, provided the organism
with the environment needed to create problems for growers. Harvest of
Valencia oranges was active at the beginning of June but was nearly over by the
end of the month. Grapefruit harvest was slow during June with few supplies
remaining at the end of the month.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
duly 1993 B-10 NASS, USDA



Virginia growing seasons have been good. Pollination was excellent and fruit
set was good though not as heavy as last year. Good fruit size is expected to
make up for smaller quantities. Fruit size for this time of year is above
average.

The Central States’ forecast of 1.62 billion pounds is up 5 percent from last
year. With the exception of Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, production is up.
Most of this area experienced heavy rains and cool temperatures. Pollination
was generally good and a favorable set was reported throughout the region.

Only minimal freeze damage was reported. The wet weather has hampered spraying
and some scab and other diseases were reported. The cooler temperatures
however, kept diseases and insects to a minimum. In the States that are down
from last year, the wet, cool weather is the cause. Fruit throughout the
region is mostly in good condition.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 6.07 billion pounds, down

1 percent. Increased production in California and Idaho did not offset
decreases in the other States. The California crop is expected to be 1 percent
above last year’s record high because of increased production from young Fuji.
Gala, and Granny Smith trees. Harvesting of Gravensteins, early Galas, and
Royal Galas is anticipated to begin in mid-July. Apples were being thinned in
Washington the week ending July 5. Producers would like temperatures to
increase, especially in the Wenatchee region. Increased production of Fuji.
Johnagold, and Granny Smith varieties are expected to nearly offset a drop in
Golden and Red Delicious. Freeze and hail have limited production in Colorado,
New Mexico, and Utah growing areas.

Peaches: U.S. production is forecast at 2.88 billion pounds, fractionally
more than the June 1 forecast and 8 percent more than 1992.
Production of the crop, excluding California Clingstone peaches that is mostly
canned, is expected to total 1.74 billion pounds, up 1 percent from June 1 and

18 percent more than last year’s production.

South Carolina’s production, at 360 million pounds, is unchanged from the June
1 forecast but more than double 1992's production. Prospects continue to
surpass earlier expectations even with the unseasonably hot and dry weather
conditions. Moisture is needed to finish later maturing varieties. At the end
of June, only 21 percent of the crop was harvested, slightly behind last year
and the five-year average. In Alabama, harvest picked up in late June. Most
producers indicated a need for rain. More than half of Arkansas’s producers
began harvest by July 1. Colorado has enough moisture to size a big crop.
Illinois growers experienced a good set. Minor problems are localized hail
damage, leaf curl disease, and some trees lost due to wet soils. Frequent
rains have hampered spraying. New Jersey's fruit is sizing well. Pennsylvania
growers have a clean crop that is sizing well. Some growers are reporting a
heavy drop, while others are in the process of thinning. Virginia experienced
a normal spring with a heavy bloom and good pollination along with adequate
moisture during May and June. Some peaches in the Roanoke area were damaged by
severe thunderstorms which brought hail and high winds.

Harvest of California's Freestone crop is in full swing with approximately

45 percent of the crop picked. Redtop and Elegant Lady are the main varieties
begin picked. Picking began on California's Clingstone crop in the Kingsburg-
Visalia area. Fruit sizing is good.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 8-7 NASS, USDA


Barley:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Area Harvested

Production

1992

1,000 Acres
AZ : 21 29
CA : 180 200
co : 120 95
DE : 35 35
1D : 720 760
Ks : 17 15
ky : 18 16
MO : 64 69
MI : 28 30
MN : 675 700
MT : 1,200 1.200
NE : 30 32
NV : 5 5
NJ : 7 5
NC : 30 20
ND : 2,650 2,950
OK : 9 8
OR : 150 155
PA : 90 95
sc : 9 7
SD 380 370
TX 6 7
UT 115 110
VA 90 85
WA 440 345
WI 80 75
WY 140 121
us 7.309 7,539

37.050
3,312
10,530

464,326

2,205
11,160
9,000
2,590
54,000
680
1,188
4,672
1.736
50,625
52,800
1,500
550
448
1,980
172,250
396
9,450
6,390
558
20,520
270
8,970
7,110
19,800
4,160
11,340

456,348

1,024
4,485
1,860
9,000
1,200
1,440
450
300
1,100
171,100
304
11,315
6,175
294
18,130
308
9,350
5,950
19,665
3,975
9,801

461,846

Crop Production
July 1993

1992
--- Bushels ---
105.0 105.0
62.0 65.0
75.0 90.0
74.0 65.0
75.0 75.0
40.0 50.0
66.0 64.0
73.0 65.0
62.0 62.0
75.0 70.0
44.0 51.0
50.0 45.0
110.0 90.0
64.0 60.0
66.0 55.0
65.0 58.0
44.0 38.0
63.0 73.0
71.0 65.0
62.0 42.0
54.0 49.0
45.0 44.0
78.0 85.0
79.0 70.0
45.0 57.0
52.0 53.0
81.0 81.0
62.4 61.3
A-7

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS. USDA


Oats:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Area Harvested

Production

1,000 Acres
25 30
20 25
35 30
35 32
55 55
20 15

130 100
40 40

375 375

140 45
22 28

9 7

120 135

500 500
45 20
70 60

220 160

110 110
50 30

550 550

170 160
50 30
45 40

205 200
35 30

650 560

130 150
15 15
30 30

6 6

555 560
30 25

492 4,153

--- Bushels ---

60.
80.
80.
60.
67.
72.
61.
70.
67.
56.
75.
66.
70.
70.
54.
56.
70.
70.
60.
68.
71.
45.
94.
67.
63

66.
44,
70.
60.
60.
62.
52.

SOESCTCDDAODDCDCDOCSCDDOCODODDCODOCOCOCCOOe

63.
71.
85.
70.
55.
85.
68.
62.
68.
46.
65.
55.
68.
65.
45.
60.
60.
72.
60.
66.
69.
37.
105.
58.
55.
60.
50.
78.
65.
55.
60.
60.

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
ie)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

875
1,680
3,375
1,800
3,000
3.060
6,600
2,565

21,250
5.830
1,380

420

5,400
22,800
1,632
6,050
11.880
5,000
2,200
32,500
10,200
1,292
4,725
8.400
2,200
38,500
7,200

616
2,600

225

26,500
1,696

243,451

1,500
1,600
2,800
2,100
3,685
1,440
7,930
2,800
25,125
7,840
1,650
594
8,400
35,000
2,430
3,920
15,400
7.700
3,000
37,400
12,070
2,250
4,230
13,735
2,205
42,900
5,720
1,050
1,800
360
34,410
1,560

294,604

Crop Production
July 1993

A-6

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS. USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes

The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

A
Net Ibs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85: grapefruit-CA Desert
& AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus
& Temples-90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, TX had no commercial production
for the 1990-91 season.

TX forecast at 425 tons for 1991-92.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1992-93

-- 1,000 Pounds --

May 3,795 3,845 2,190 2,610 4,445 2,960
Jun 3,770 3,860 2,410 2,600 4,940 4,640

Jul 3,700 2,465 4,970

Aug 3,625 2,590 4,015

Sep 3,625 2,755 3,835

Oct 3,595 2,640 5,475

Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Jun 27,195 25,945
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1993 A-19 NASS, USDA



Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Area Harvested Production

: - 1,000 Acres - — ------- Bushels ------- ---- 1,000 Bushels ---
AL : 95 100 44.0 37.0 34.0 4,180 3,400
AZ : 44 35 90.0 94.0 92.0 3,960 3,220
AR : 850 1,000 46.0 38.0 41.0 39,100 41,000
CA : 550 500 75.0 80.0 82.0 41,250 41,000
co : 2,300 2,550 30.0 37.0 37.0 69,000 94,350
OE : 70 60 58.0 54.0 55.0 4,060 3.300
FL : 20 25 42.0 37.0 33.0 840 825
GA : 350 360 46.0 38.0 40.0 16,100 14,400
ID : 800 850 65.0 69.0 69.0 52,000 58,650
IL : 1,150 1,550 54.0 55.0 49.0 62,100 75.950
IN : 450 650 50.0 55.0 55.0 22,500 35,750
IA : 40 50 39.0 45.0 45.0 1,560 2,250
KS : 10,700 11,400 34.0 40.0 39.0 363,800 444,600
KY : 420 470 55.0 48.0 48.0 23,100 22,560
LA : 170 90 36.0 30.0 25.0 6,120 2,250
MD : 220 195 58.0 51.0 §2.0 12,760 10,140
MI : 630 540 56.0 50.0 50.0 35,280 27,000
MN : 45 40 42.0 40.0 40.0 1,890 1,600
MS : 250 210 42.0 35.0 33.0 10,500 6,930
MO : 1,350 1,450 48.0 41.0 44.0 64,800 63,800
MT : 2,100 2,500 29.0 36.0 37.0 60,900 92,500
NE : 1,850 2,150 30.0 37.0 35.0 55,500 75,250
NV : 5 3 85.0 86.0 90.0 425 270
NJ : 28 31 50.0 48.0 45.0 1,400 1,395
NM : 330 290 34.0 25.0 25.0 11,220 7,250
NY : 110 90 56.0 48.0 48.0 6,160 4,320
NC : 555 560 50.0 44.0 44.0 27,750 24,640
ND : 170 135 35.0 35.0 37.0 5,950 4,995
OH > 1,115 1,000 53.0 53.0 54.0 59,095 54.000
OK : 5,900 5,500 29.0 31.0 31.0 171,100 170,500
OR : 825 860 52.0 62.0 64.0 42,900 55,040
PA : 185 165 55.0 50.0 48.0 10,175 7,920
Sc : 275 270 47.0 35.0 37.0 12,925 9,990
SD : 1,200 1,400 28.0 35.0 36.0 33.600 50,400
TN : 280 360 48.0 39.0 39.0 13,440 14,040
TX : 3,800 3,700 34.0 32.0 32.0 129,200 118,400
UT : 130 155 40.0 44.0 43.0 5,200 6,665
VA : 265 255 57.0 53.0 53.0 15,105 13,515
WA > 2,000 2,500 51.0 58.0 58.0 102,000 145,000
WV : il 11 49.0 45.0 45.0 539 495
WI : 45 115 40.0 51.0 49.0 1,800 5,635
wy : 210 205 25.0 29.0 30.0 5.250 6,150
US : 41,893 44,380 38.3 41.2 41.0 1,606,534 1,821,345

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-9 NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)

June 26, 1993

a NL (MODERATE|
Molsl,

MOIST

i) moist

Moist

DRYNESS OR WETNESS;
|RESPONDS SLOWLY; CHANGES LITTLE FROM WEEK TO RIO WEEK

JAND REFLECTS LONG-TERM MOKSTURE RUNOFF,

av DEEP PERCOLATION AS WELL AS EVAPOTRANSPIRATION

SEVERITY DEX PALMER: DEPCTS PRO. ‘MOIST
YEARS) ABNORMAL

-APPUCABLE IN MEASURING DISRUPTIVE EFFECTS OF PROLONGED
lorie on WETNESS ON WATER SENSITIVE E DESIGNATING O1s-
'STER AREAS, ‘AND REFLECTING THE GENERAL LONG-

OF WETNESS;
ena STATUS OF WATER SUPPUES NKGUSRS TacoHtoN A eS
LIMITATIONS. .1S NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORT-TERM.

TUS WArHECTS CROPS AND

| STATUS OF DROUGHT OR WETNESS SUCH AS FF
FIELD OPERATIONS (THS (8 NDCATED BY THE CROP MOISTORE NOEXT NOAAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY __Based on preliminary reports.

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff. recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-2 NASS, USDA



National
Crop Agricultural
Statistics

Production Sane

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released July 12, 1993, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts refer
to July 1, 1993.

All Wheat Up 6 Percent

All wheat production for 1993 is forecast at 2.60 billion bushels, up 6 percent
from 1992. Area for grain is 64.2 million acres, up 3 percent from last year.
The 1993 yield is forecast at a record high 40.5 bushels per acre, up

1.1 bushels per acre from last season.

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.82 billion bushels, down slightly from
the June 1 forecast but 13 percent above 1992. Yields are expected to average
41.0 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushels from June 1. Area for grain is

44.4 million acres, up 6 percent from last year. Reduced acreage and lower
yields in some Hard Red Winter States contributed to the change from June 1.
Increased acreage is largely the reason for the increase in White Winter wheat
production. Improved yield prospects in Missouri and Ohio, coupled with some
acreage increases elsewhere, have largely offset other Soft Red Winter
declines.

Other spring wheat production for 1993 is forecast at 699 million bushels, down
7 percent from last year’s record high level. Yields are forecast at

39.4 bushels per acre, down 2.4 bushels per acre from 1992's record high. Area
for grain, at 17.7 million acres, is off 2 percent from last year.

Severe drought conditions prevailed in Montana's northeast district until early
June. Since then, coo) weather and showers have dramatically improved
Prospects; other areas have enjoyed above normal rainfall and cool
temperatures. Wet, Cool conditions in North Dakota are similar to last year,
but the crop is developing even slower than 1992.

Index is located at the end of this report. For information call
(202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (7-93)


Pasture and Range Feed:

State : Average : 1992
: 1982-91:

Percent
AL : 72 91
AZ : 71 87
AR : 80 88
CA : 76 67
co : 81 90
cT : 85 93
DE : 75 93
FL : 79 79
GA : 67 89
ID : 83 59
IL : 78 66
IN : 79 81
IA : 79 59
KS : 85 83
KY : 82 93
LA : 78 95
ME : 88 64
MD : 77 98
MA : 89 87
MI : 78 60
MN : 79 86
MS : 79 86
MO : 79 67
MT : 79 63
NE : 82 90

Condition by State and United States,
1992-93 and Average 1/

1993

State :
: 1982-91

Average

1992

1993

79
91
80
72
82
78
76
81
84
86
79
89
68
81
78
73
77
88
82
84
77
77
84

Percent

45
78
64
97
87
91
63
86
100
54
79
83
85
81
93
93
78
80
93
61
81
62
79

101
80
65
67
94
66
92
87
96

109
75
45

100
88
79
99
95

85
80
89
104

1/ Good to excellent, 80 and over: poor to fair 65-79; very poor, 50-64;
severe drought, 35-49; extreme drought, under 35.

Crop Production
July 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Wheat:

Production by Class, United States,
and Forecasted July 1, 1993 i/

1991-1992

1,000 Bushels

1991 901.781 325,201 145.635 431,223 103,957 73,342 1,981,139
1992: 966.078 427,139 213,317 701,994 97,196 53.106 2,458,830
1993 : 1,129,392 428.285 263,668 652,349 80,960 46,385 2,601,039

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available

for all wheat producing states.

Unless unusual situations dictate,

the

previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast

season.

Tobacco:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class. Type,

State, and United States, 1992 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Class and Type

1992

1993

--- Pounds ---

2,195
2,205
2,198

2,345

2,150
2,150
2,150

2,300

1,000

215,110
81,585
296,695

302,505

73,950
112,320
186,270

19,575
100,980
120,555
906,025

Pounds

210.700
79,550
290,250

296,700

71,400
104,000
175,400

16,125
88,200
104,325
866,675

--- Acres ---

Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and

Middle Belts :

NC : 98,000 98,000

VA : 37,000 37,000

US : 135,000 135,000
Type 12, Eastern NC

Belt :

NC : 129,000 129,000
Type 13, NC Border &

SC Belt :

NC : 34,000 34,000

sc : 52,000 52,000

us : 86,000 86,000
Type 14, GA-FL Belt

FL : 7,500 7,500

GA : 44,000 42,000

us : 51,500 49,500
Total 11-14 : 401.500 399,500
Crop Production
July 1993 A-11

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA



California’s table type grape production is expected total 600,000 tons, a
7 percent decrease from last year. Picking is active in the Coachella Valley
and the lower San Joaquin Valley.

Apricots: The final forecast for the 1993 U.S. apricot crop is 96,950 tons.
down 9 percent from last month and down 10 percent from last year.

California's crop is forecast at 90,000 tons, down 10 percent from last month.
The reduction in the forecast is due to the fruit not sizing as well as
expected. Harvest is virtually complete.

The Utah crop, at 250 tons, dropped 29 percent from last month. Hail damaged
fruit in the northern growing region.

Washington’s apricot production is 6,700 tons, unchanged from the previous
forecast. Lower production is expected in the Yakima Valley but more in the
Wenatchee Valley. Apricot harvest just began in the Yakima Valley and is
expected to run through the end of July.

Nectarines: California’s 1993 nectarine crop is forecast at 220,000 tons,

unchanged from last month but 7 percent below last year’s
production. The nectarine harvest continued at a steady pace and as of July 1
was 37 percent complete. May Diamond, Spring Red, Firebrite, and Summer Grand
are the major varieties being harvested.

Walnuts: The 1993 California walnut forecast is 250.000 tons, up 23 percent

from the previous year. Production for all varieties is expected to
exceed last year with the greatest increase in the Chandler, Hartley, and Serr
varieties. June rains caused growers concern about blight especially in the
Ashley, Payne, and Serr varieties. Some growers are concerned that codling
moth may adversely affect nut quality.

Almonds: The 1993 almond production in California is forecast at 470 million

pounds (shelled basis). This forecast is down 10 percent from the
June forecast and down 14 percent from last year’s crop. Estimated bearing
acreage is 395,000 acres.

Nut quality is reported as excellent with size and weight larger than 1992.
Nut sets, however, are lighter. As a result of rain, orchards are in excellent
condition and trees are experiencing minimal stress.

Sweet Cherries: The U.S. production for 1993, at 164,900 tons, decreased
21 percent from 1992 but increased 10 percent from 1991.

The California harvest was completed in late June. In Michigan, a heavy set
was partially offset by the June and July drop. Brown rot is a concern.
Montana had hot weather during the heavy bloom which was later than usual. A
lighter set than anticipated resulted. Harvest is expected to begin the week
of July 19. Harvest is underway in both the Dalles district and Willamette

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-9 NASS, USDA


Pears: The U.S. production is placed at 947,300 tons. 2 percent more than
last year and 5 percent more than 1991. Most of the increase is
attributed to increased potential in Washington pears, excluding Bartlett.

Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
548,000 tons, down 2 percent from last year. Picking should begin in
California by mid-July. Good quality is expected. The crop is progressing
normally in Washington. Fire blight was reported in some areas of Chelan and
Okanogan counties.

Production of pears, other than Bartlett, in the Pacific Coast States, at
363,000 tons, is expected to be 10 percent more than last year. Washington
expects increased production despite some hail damage and fire blight.

Colorado pear growers expect to harvest a full crop this year. Weather has
not been a problem. Ali the growers have access to irrigation water and there
is adequate soil moisture to size the crop. Connecticut’s relatively heavy
bloom was offset by a heavy June drop. Crop potential in New York is
considered excellent. Thinning conditions in early June were less than
desirable. The Bartlett crop is smaller than earlier expectations. Bosc has a
good set and is sizing nicely. Pennsylvania growers indicate fruit is clean
and sizing well. Some growers are reporting a heavy drop and some have had to
thin their trees. There are some reports of fire blight and the dry weather is
affecting fruit size. There were some scattered reports of hail and frost
damage.

Plums: California’s crop is forecast at 220.000 tons, unchanged from last

month but 12 percent below last year’s crop. Picking and packing
increased dramatically with the onset of hot weather. Heat caused fruit to
mature more rapidly than normal. Plum harvest, as of July 1, was 23 percent
completed. Santa Rosa, Blackamber, Black Diamond, and Catalina are the major
varieties actively harvested.

Dried Prunes: The California crop is forecast at 135,000 tons, unchanged from
last month but down 27 percent from last year. Harvest is
expected to begin by mid-August. .

Grapes: The initial California a1] grape forecast is 5.10 million tons, down
7 percent from last year but up 2 percent from 1991. Rainy weather
during the spring and early summer have caused some mildew problems.

Raisin type grape production in California is forecast at 2.30 million tons,
down 14 percent from last year. Mildew has been a problem for growers and
recent hot weather has caused burn and heat stress. Bunch count is down from
last year in the Thompson Seedless variety. Approximately 20,000 acres of
Thompson Seedless grapes of bearing age are in the Raisin Industry Diversion
(RID) program for 1993. This acreage was pruned to prevent vines from
producing grapes.

The California wine type grape forecast is 2.20 million tons, up 3 percent from
last year. The crop is maturing well but mildew and heat stress are also
affecting wine grapes.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-8 NASS, USDA



All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

1,000 Acres --- Bushels --  -------- 1,000 Bushels --------
AL : 95 100 44.0 34.0 2,750 4,180 3,400
AZ : 88 85 87.5 90.8 6,750 7,700 7,720
AR : 850 1,000 46.0 41.0 20,460 39,100 41,000
CA : 605 530 76.6 83.0 36,160 46,365 44,000
co : 2,347 2,583 30.9 37.5 74,000 72,619 96,924
DE : 70 60 58.0 55.0 3,551 4,060 3,300
FL : 20 25 42.0 33.0 575 840 825
GA : 350 360 46.0 40.0 14,025 16,100 14,400
ID : 1,440 1,400 69.4 71.8 81,660 100,000 100,450
IL : 1,150 1,550 54.0 49.9 44,800 62,100 75,950
IN : 450 650 50.0 55.0 28,800 22,500 35,750
IA : 40 50 39.0 45.0 1,700 1,560 2,250
KS : 10,700 11,400 34.0 39.0 363,000 363,800 444,600
KY : 420 470 55.0 48.0 10,800 23,100 22,560
LA : 170 90 36.0 25.0 3,800 6,120 2,250
MD : 220 195 58.0 52.0 9,750 12,760 10,140
MI : 630 540 56.0 $0.0 24,080 35,280 27,000
MN : 2,805 2,500 49.9 49.8 67,110 139,860 124,600
MS : 250 210 42.0 33.0 4,500 10,500 6.930
MO : 1,350 1,450 48.0 44,0 48.000 64,800 63,800
MT 4,707 5,214 29.7 33.4 159,507 139,581 173,920
NE : 1,850 2,150 30.0 35.0 67,200 55,500 75,250
NV : 10 8 80.0 83.8 660 800 670
NJ : 28 31 50.0 45.0 1.196 1,400 1,395
NM : 330 290 34.0 25.0 8.000 11,220 7,250
NY : 110 90 56.0 48.0 5,390 6,160 4,320
NC : 555 560 50.0 44.0 19,200 27,750 24,640
ND > 11,420 11,635 41.1 37.7 303,670 469,850 438.195
OH : 1,115 1,000 53.0 54.0 52,920 59,095 54,000
OK : 5,900 5,500 29.0 31.0 140.000 171.100 170,500
OR : 925 925 $1.7 63.6 43.900 47,800 58,810
PA : 185 165 55.0 48.0 7,700 10,175 7,920
sc 2 275 270 47.9 37.9 8,525 12,925 9,990
so : 3,733 3,458 32.0 34.2 96,175 119,590 118,200
TM : 280 360 48.0 39.0 7,680 13,440 14,040
TX : 3,800 3,700 34.0 32.0 84.000 129,200 118.400
UT : 152 180 41.2 43.8 5,807 6,256 7,890
VA : 265 255 57.0 53.0 12,250 15,105 13,515
WA : 2,420 2,840 49.4 56.7 98,600 119,640 160,980
WV : 11 ll 49.0 45.0 450 539 495
Wi : 66 126 40.0 48.2 6.118 2,640 6,075
wy : 220 218 26.0 30.9 5,920 5.720 6,735
US 62,407 64,234 39.4 40.5 1,981,139 2,458,830 2,601.039
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

duly 1993 A-8 NASS, USDA


Potatoes:

Group, State, and United States, 1991-93 (continued)

Seasonal
Group and
State

10 SW Co
Other Co

NM 1/

Long Is
Upstate

Malheur
Other Co

PA

RI

so

UT

WA

WI

WY

: - 1,000 Acres -
12.0 12.
66.0 72.
22.0 24.

356.0 364.
4.3
80.0 80.
3.0
36.0 38.
67.0 72.
8.5
8.3
7.5
5.1
6.2
20.8 22.
142.0 139.
6.0 5
6.6 8
36.4 40
19.0 20
1.3 1
6.0 5
6.0 6
125.0 145
68.0 67
1.6 1
1,120.6 1,169.

Total

US

Production

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal

4.
2

9.

6

WBINSCODDONTDO

9
7.
5

DOOw

NONOSORNODS

oo

on

415

420
315
230
280
285
300
240
290
325

450

5,390
23,800

9,020
113,155
902
18,170
585
8,840
17,160
2,790
2,464
2,546

1,650
5,267
30,030
1,425

2,640
19,530
3.500
241
1,775
1,620
75,435
23,275
520

371,730

417,622

4
22

9
112

22,

10,
16,

1

65
25

366,

2
2,
2
2

980
110

240
140
989
400
855
800
080
465
698
£925
295

984
"824
690
1440

706
744
940

384
500
650
625
160

440

064
846

1/ District I (NW Counties) included in fall potatoes beginning in 1992

Crop Production
July 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next “Crop Production” report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on
August+11, 1993.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Herb Eldridge - Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202) 720-7621
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526
David Mueller - Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-2157
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068

Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
Jim Brewster - Fruits (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans. Onions (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202) 720-8843
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202) 720-5412
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944
David Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-6054

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1993 B-16 NASS, USDA


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end of June was about a week behind average. The spring wheat crop started the
month in good to excellent condition. Ample moisture and favorable
temperatures allowed the condition to improve slightly by the end of June. Due
to the relative lateness of the planting, crop progress remained behind last
year and average. Corn planting was finally ended by mid-June. The crop grew
rapidly with the warm, moist conditions. However, excessive rains, the end of
the month, caused damage to the crop in the central Cornbelt. Hot, dry
conditions damaged some of the crop in the Southeast. The corn crop in the
eastern Cornbelt enjoyed favorable growing conditions. By the end of the
month, the corn condition was mostly fair to good, but was decreasing in the
rain soaked areas of Iowa, Illinois, and Minnesota. The continued wet
conditions across the upper and middle Mississippi Valley and excessive dryness
in the South hindered soybean ptanting. Significant acreage in Iowa, South
Dakota, Minnesota. Missouri, and Mississippi was still left to be planted at
the end of the month. Although the crop condition at the end of June was fair
to good, it was declining due to the excessive moisture found in the central
portion of the Nation. Cotton planting ended in early June. Cool weather,
which hindered growth early in the month, gave way to hot dry conditions which
promoted growth. By the end of June, cotton progress was near normal, with the
crop in good condition except in the Southeast where some cotton is poor due to
excessive dryness. Sorghum planting was finished by the end of June, after
having been delayed by wet weather. Crop progress was normal in Texas and New
Mexico, but behind normal in the lower Mississippi Valley due to excessive
moisture. Crop condition the end of June was good. Rice planting reached
completion by mid-June. By the end of June, the crop was in fair to good
condition.

Oats: Total 1993 oat production is forecast at 263 million bushels, down
11 percent from last year. The forecasted yield per acre of

63.3 bushels is down 2.3 bushels from last season's 65.6 bushels. Area

harvested and to be harvested, at 4.15 million acres, is down 8 percent from

the 1992 harvested acreage of 4.49 million acres.

Expected yields in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota are down from Jast
year. Prospective yields in Illinois and Iowa are up from a year earlier.

Barley: Production is forecast at 462 million bushels as of July 1, 1993.

This is 1 percent above the 1992 production of 456 million bushels.
Yields are expected to average 61.3 bushels per acre, 1.1 bushels less than
last year. Area harvested and to be harvested at 7.54 million acres, is up
3 percent from last year’s 7.31 million acres.

Yield declines in the Eastern States as well as the upper Mid-western States
are partially offset by increases in the Western States.

Durum Wheat: The 1993 production is forecast at 81.0 million bushels as of
July 1. This is down 17 percent from 1992. Yields are forecast

at 37.8 bushels per acre, off 1.9 bushels from last year’s record high.

Harvested area totaled 2.14 million acres. down 13 percent from 1992.

Planting of North Dakota's durum crop finished on schedule after early delays.
Development was slowed during June by cool weather. As of July 4, just

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-5 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Yield per Acre and Production, United States
1992 and Forecasted July 1, 1993
(Domestic Units)

1993

Oats
Barley
All Wheat
Winter
Durum
Other Spring
Summer Potatoes
Flue-cured Tobacco
Types 11-14
Pasture and Range
Feed 1/
Apples, Comm’?
Peaches
Pears
Sweet Cherries 2/
Tart Cherries 2/
Apricots
Nectarines (CA)
Plums (CA)
Dried Prunes (CA)
Almonds (CA)
Walnuts (CA)

Citrus Fruits 3/
Oranges

Grapefruit
Lemons

i1/ Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month

Pet :

Lb

Ton :

Lb

Ton :

Ton :

average is 79 percent.
2/ Estimates in June 1 column include forecasts in the Great Lakes States as

of June 15, 1993.

294,604
456,348
458,830
606,534
97,196
755,100
21,249

906,025

719,500
658,500

926.1
208.4
335,100
108.0
236.0
250.0
184.0
548,000
203.0

1991-92
8,906

2,224
768

262,860
461,846
2,601,039
1,824,062 1,821,345
80,960
698,734
20,943
866,675
10,800,000
2,869,100 2,878,100
947.3
178.1 164.9
329,700 328,700
107.1 97.0
220.0 220.0
220.0 220.0
135.0 135.0
520.000 470,000
250.0
1992-93 1992-93
11,097 11,067
2,781 2,794
908 946

The 1982-91

3/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the

completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production
July 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Pears: Total Production by Crop, State and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Total Production 1/

1991 1992 1993
Tons

Bartlett :
cA : 300,000 315,000 310,000
OR : 70,000 74,000 68.000
WA : 160.000 170.000 170,000
Total : 530.000 559,000 548,000

Excluding Bartlett :
CA : 17,000 23,000 23,000
OR : 150.000 140,000 145,000
WA : 176,000 167,000 195,000
Total : 343,000 330,000 363,000

AN :
cA : 317,000 338.000 333,000
co : 3,100 4,000 4,000
CT : 1,200 1,300 1,300
NI : 5,000 6.000 6.500
NY : 14,500 18.500 17,500
OR : 220,000 214,000 213,000
PA : 4,600 5,500 5,200
UT : 2,200 1,800 1,800
WA : 336,000 337,000 365,000
US : 903,600 926,100 947,300

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons):
U.S.; 1991 - 150, 1992 - 1,950.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-15 NASS. USDA


Cherries: Total Production by Type, State, and Total,
1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Total Production 1/

Type
and
State
Sweet :
CA : 36,000
ID : 400
MI : 21,000
MT 2/ :
NY 3/ : 1,250
OR : 40,000
PA 3/ : 1,100
UT : 800
WA 4/ : 50,000
Total : 150,550
Tart
CO 3/ : 1.6
MI 3/ : 110.0
NY 2/ : 25.5
OR 7.5
PA 3/ 11.5
UT 26.0
WI 3/ 7.8
Total 189.9

Tons
31,000 20,000
1,200 1,500
18,000 26,000
800 900
1,100 600
55,000 38.000
1,100 1,200
3,200 1,700
97,000 75,000
208,400 164,900

Million Pounds

1
245.
31.
9.

ROoOMCOM
x)
WOOOWDOD

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold: U.S. sweet cherries
(tons), 1991 - 8,150, 1992 - 13,350, U.S. tart cherries (million pounds)

1991 - 0.2, 1992 - 22.1.

2/ No commercial production in 1991 due to frost.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

4/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production
July 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1992 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/

100 a0)» ees
1992 1993 1992 1993
1,000 Acres
Oats : 7,961 8,064 4,492 4,153
Barley : 7,802 7,941 7.309 7,539
All Wheat : 72,262 72,137 62,407 64, 234
Winter : 51,057 51,896 41,893 44,380
Durum : 2,507 2,201 2,449 2,142
Other Spring : 18,698 18,040 18,065 17,712
Potatoes :
Summer : 88.7 92.3 85.8 89.0
Fall : 1,139.7 1,186.5 1,120.6 1,169.5
Total > 1,327.1 1,379.0 1,302.8 1,355.3
All Tobacco : 784.7 745.7
Flue-cured :
Types 11-14 : 401.5 399.5
Metric Units - Hectares
Oats > 3.221.740 3,263,420 1.817.870 1,680,680
Barley : 3,157,390 3,213,640 2,957,880 3,050,960
All Wheat : 29,243,710 29,193,120 25,255,490 25,994,860
Winter : 20,662,260 21.001.790 16,953,680  17,960.140
Durum : 1,014,560 890,720 991.090 866,850
Other Spring : 7,566,890 7,300,610 7,310,720 7,167,870
Potatoes :
Summer : 35.900 37,350 34,720 36,020
Fall : 461,230 480,160 453,500 473,280
Total : 537,060 $58,070 527,230 548,480
All Tobacco : 317,570 301.780
Flue-cured :
Types 11-14 : 162,480 161.670

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-3 NASS, USDA


Index

Page

Table Narrative

Apples, Commercial.......... cc cece ccc eee eee eee eee A-13 B- 6
Barley... eee eee ete eee teen et eens A- 7 B- 5
Cherries... cee eee ete eens A-17 B- 9
CUEPUS FOUTt. cece cette eens A-18 B-10
Crop Moisture Maps...... 2.2... cee eee eee eee B- 1
Crop Summary... . 0... cece eee eee e eens A- 3 B- 4
Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts................... sees A-16

10 a A- 6 B- 5
Papayas-Hawaii...... ee eee ee eens A-19 B-11
Pasture and Range Feed Condition.................... A-12 B- 6
PEACHES... cect ete tenet teens A-14 B- 7
Pears... cece cee e eee eee eee ene ee A-15 B- 8
Potatoes... eee eee eee eee ene A-20 8-11
Reliability Statement......... 0... cece eee eee ee B-13
Tobacco, by Class and Typ@.......... ccc eee ee eee eee A-11 B- 6
Wheat, All... cee cece treet ete A- 8

Wheat, by Class... .. cece eect e eee A-11 B- 5
Wheat, Durum... 00... eee eec eee eee ene A-10 B- 5
Wheat. Other Spring...........- ccc ccc cee cece tee eee A-10 B- 6
Wheat, Winter... 0... cece cee eee eee A- 9

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-15 NASS, USDA


Departure of Average Temperature from Normal(°F)
JUN 1993

. WCU 5 ,
f Mt

4
Lue

2 -
ty CLIMATE ANALYSIS CENTER, NOAA
Based on preliminary data

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-3 NASS, USDA



Orange production is forecast at 11.1 million tons, down slightly from last
month but up 24 percent from last season.

The forecast for all Florida oranges is 187 million boxes, up 1 percent from
June 1 and 33 percent more than last season. Production of Florida early and
mid-season varieties is forecast at 114 million boxes, unchanged from last
month but up 37 percent from last year. Harvest is complete. Florida Valencia
production is expected to total 72.2 million boxes, up 2 percent from June 1
and 28 percent more than last season's crop. Harvest was virtually complete by
July 1.

California's 1992-93 all orange forecast is 68.8 million boxes, down 3 percent
from last month but 2 percent more than last year. Picking of the California
Navel orange crop for the 1992-93 season is complete. Production is estimated
at 43.8 million boxes, 25 percent more than last season. California's Vatencia
forecast is 25.0 million boxes, down 4 percent from June 1 and down 22 percent
from last season’s large crop. Over 40 percent of the crop has been picked
with good quality reported.

Florida frozen concentrated juice yield is at a record high 1.58 gallons per
box at 42.0 degrees Brix concentrate. The final yield is reported by the
Florida Citrus Processors Association. The 1991-92 season's final yield for
all varieties was 1.55 gallons per box.

This report was approved on July 12, 1993, by the Acting Secretary of
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural
Statistics Board.

—_
Libecuwe Joce (ok (UL
adting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Eugene Moos Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1993 A-2 NASS, USDA


California Fruit and Nuts: June began with a weather system that brought
considerable rainfall to the State. This
precipitation plagued fruit growers with brown rot concerns and created the
need for’ fungicide applications. Rain was beneficial to developing olives.
During June, harvest of desert table grapes, avocados, and early variety
stonefruit was active. By month's end, the Freestone peach crop was 40 percent
picked. plum harvest was 20 percent complete. and nectarine harvest was over
33 percent complete. Navel orange and cherry harvests were completed. Walnuts
were treated to prevent blight and codling moth. Almond orchards were
irrigated and treated for mites. Table grapes were treated for mildew and
nematodes. In late June, apples and Asian pears were thinned. Picking of
Valencia oranges and south coast area lemons was active throughout the month.

Papayas: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is estimated at 4.64 million

pounds during June, 57 percent more than May but 6 percent less than
June 1992. Year-to-date output was 5 percent less than the same six-month
period of last year. June weather conditions were generally favorable with
warm temperatures and light rainfal] benefitting orchard development.

Area devoted to papaya production is estimated at 3,860 acres, up slightly from
last month and 2 percent higher than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling
2,600 acres, was virtually the same as May but 8 percent more than last June.

All Potatoes: Growers across the United States planted 1.38 million acres in
1993, 4 percent more acreage than in 1992 but 2 percent less

than the 1991 crop. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.36 million acres,

4 percent above the previous year, The summer and fall crops are both up

4 percent from the previous year. Acres planted to winter potatoes were down

only 100 acres and the spring crop was up 2 percent from 1992.

Fall Potatoes: Acreage of fall potatoes for the 1993 crop is estimated at

1.19 million acres, up 4 percent from a year ago but 1 percent
below the 1991 acreage. Growers expect to harvest about 1.17 million acres
from this crop compared with 1.12 million acres harvested last year.

Fall crop potatoes in the Eastern States total 134,900 acres this year, up

1 percent from a year earlier. Acreage in Maine is unchanged from a year ago.
Massachusetts and Rhode Island are each 100 acres off. New York planted

2 percent more potatoes and Pennsylvania planted 5 percent more. A cool, wet
spring delayed planting in most of this region but improved conditions toward
the end of the planting season allowed farmers to catch up. Hot. dry
conditions, lately, have added more stress. Stands appear to be thinner than
desired.

The Centra} region’s acreage is up 1 percent from a year earlier, at

351,600 acres, but some major changes have occurred. Nebraska's acreage is

12 percent higher, Michigan is up 8 percent. and Minnesota is up 4 percent.
The acreage in Wisconsin remained equal to a year ago and the four remaining
States planted fewer acres. South Dakota dropped 15 percent, Ohio fell

14 percent, and Indiana decreased 2 percent. The leading State in this region.
North Dakota, planted 2 percent fewer potatoes in 1993. Surplus moisture has

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-11 NASS, USDA


2 percent of the crop was in the milk to dough stage. This compares to
5 percent last year and the average of 15 percent. Condition ratings are
93 percent good to excellent.

Timely June rains in Montana’s main durum area have raised yield prospects from
drought reduced to above average. California's durum harvest finished by
July 1 and Arizona's neared completion.

Other Spring Wheat: The 1993 other spring wheat crop is off to a slow start
in most producing States. Planting progress generally
trailed average in most areas until the latter part of May. Cool weather
during June has kept development behind both 1992 and the 5-year average.
Condition ratings are at least 60 percent good to excellent in most States.

Tobacco: The first flue-cured production forecast for this season is

867 million pounds, 4 percent less than last year’s output.
Production is expected to be down in North Carolina, where two-thirds of flue-
cured tobacco is produced. Yield per acre for all flue-cured is forecasted at
2,169 pounds, 88 pounds below the 1992 average yield. Acres for harvest are
virtually unchanged from a year earlier.

Unseasonably hot, dry weather in North Carolina called for heavy irrigation.
Dry conditions across the Southeast have been a major concern. It has caused
some fields to bloom pre-maturely. The crop has been considered as being in
fair to good condition with harvest active in many areas.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on

July 1, 1993, for the 48 contiguous States
was 88 percent, 8 points above July 1, 1992, and 9 points above the 1982-91
average. Conditions were above last year in 28 States, below last year in
18 States, and the same as a year earlier in 2 States.

States along the east coast from Georgia to Massachusetts showed sharp declines
from a year ago. Rhode Island reported condition in the severe drought range,
while Connecticut and Georgia reported very poor conditions.

Apples: The first forecast of the 1993 crop is 10.8 billion pounds, 1 percent
above last year’s crop and 11 percent more than 1991.

In the Eastern States, production of 3.11 billion pounds is up 3 percent from a
year ago. Increases in Georgia, New Jersey, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and
Virginia offset decreased prospects in the northern Atlantic Coast States.

Last year’s large New England crop limited this year’s bloom, set, and size.
There was some winter damage reported in northernmost areas. The New York crop
is late but thinning was successful and the crop is generally excellent.

Recent hot weather and lack of rain have led to dry conditions and forced
growers to irrigate, if possible. In the mid-Atlantic States, conditions have
been generally good. Fruit set was heavy, needing thinning, but apples are
sizing well. Scattered fire blight was reported in Pennsylvania but, across
the area, fruit is generally clean and disease free. The Virginia and West

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 B-6 NASS, USDA


Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993 1/

BSS 9
1991 1992 1993
Million Pounds

AZ 57.0 90.0 63.0
AR 10.0 8.0 11.0
CA 800.0 840.0 850.0
co 75.0 90.0 88.0
CT 27.0 42.0 32.0
DE 25.0 20.0 20.0
GA : 32.0 25.0 35.0
10 : 120.0 75.0 150.0
IL : 69.0 88.0 95.0
IN 60.0 70.0 80.0
IA 8.0 14.0 11.0
KS 7.5 6.0 10.0
KY 20.0 16.0 22.0
ME 68.0 83.0 83.0
MD 42.0 50.0 38.0
MA : 62.0 85.0 75.0
MI : 880.0 1,080.0 1,100.0
MN : 25.4 29.0 28.0
MO 40.0 37.0 48.0
NH 40.0 54.0 45.0
Nd 92.0 55.0 85.0
NM 2.3 15.0 7.0
NY 1,050.0 1,170.0 1,050.0
NC 260.0 240.0 380.0
OH 120.0 115.0 140.0
OR 120.0 175.0 160.0
PA 470.0 500.0 550.0
RI 5.5 6.5 5.5
SC 40.0 60.0 60.0
TN 13.0 13.0 15.5
UT 55.0 60.0 52.0
VT 53.0 50.0 48.0
VA 420.0 370.0 380.0
WA 4,300.0 4,800.0 4,700.0
wv 200.0 225.0 225.0
WI 60.0 63.0 58.0
US 9,728.7 10,719.5 10,800.0

1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees.
2/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (million pounds):
United States 1991-69.9, 1992 - 105.2.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-13 NASS, USDA


Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State.
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted July 1, 1993

Crop and State

Tons

Piums :

CA : 218,000 250,000 220,000
Prunes (Dried Basis) :

CA : 187,000 184,000 135,000
Grapes (Table Type) :

CA : 620.000 645,000 600,000
Grapes (Wine Type) :

CA : 2,195,000 2,145,000 2,200,000
Grapes (Raisin Type) 1/ :

CA : 2,165,000 2,670,000 2,300,000
All Grapes :

CA : 4,980,000 5.460.000 5,100,000
Apricots 2/ :

CA : 90,000 101,000 90,000

UT : 100 600 250

WA : 5,700 6,400 6,700

us : 95,800 108.000 96,950
Nectarines :

cA : 215,000 236,000 220,000
Walnuts :

CA : 259,000 203,000 250,000

1,000 Pounds
Almonds (Shelled Basis) :
CA : 490.000 548.000 470,000
1/ Fresh Basis.
2/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons): U.S.
1991-4,010; 1992-100.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1993 A-16 NASS, USDA