ALL WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

INO

1979 = 1980? 1981 = 1979 1980 E
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 145 235 365 2640 24,5 3,770 5,758 23,165
ARIZ 125 215 241 76.380, 9,540 17,200 19,521
ARK 420 820 17650 3540 38,0 14,700 31,160 67,650
CALIF 800 1,150 1,365 7066 «= 74,3 7647 = 56,450 85,500 104,685,
COLO 2,641 3,395 3,090 26.6 © 52,4 = 6,4 70,224 «109,900 81, 660
EL at 27 43 3440-4000. 0 714 1,080 1,720
GA 175 600 1,050 35,0 33.0 41.0 6,125 19,800 © 43,050
ToAHO 1,470 1,550 1,455 50,4 ba, 62.2 74,140 96,030 90, 495
TLL 17250 1,570 1,900 43,0 © 48,0 «$1.0 © 53,750 75,300 © 96, 900
INO 945, 1,100 19350-4740 4940 S140 © M4415 = 53,900 0B B50.
TOWA 60 92 410-3760 3840 -38.0 2,220 3,496 4,180
KANS 10/800 124000 12,206 38.0 35.0 ©2540 © 410,000 420,000 305,000
ny 290 350 700 38.0 3945 420 11,020 13,825 29,400
LA 26 67 275 28.028, 44.0 728 1,876 12,100
TMD 90 7 137 37.0 3840 4040 3,330 3,686 5480
MICH 735 800 820 43.0 44.0 © 46.0 31,605 37,720
MINN 2,578 34169 3/555 35.1 32,9 5710 90,384 ue 132,415
MISS 115 250 600 5260 $140 3820 3,660 7,750 22+800
MO 1,600 24070 2,950 44,0 © 340 © 42,070,400 © 89,0430 23900
MONT 3,125 5,100 5,795 22.7 2 30,0 116,475 119,800 173,980
NEBR 2,550 2,950 3,050 34,0 33,0 86,700 112,100 100,650
NEW 24 29 29 9a.2 56.7 1,420 1,800 4,645
NJ ay a3 56 36.0 a2.n 1,476 1,809 2,352
N MEX 410 500 525 22.0 20, 9,020 10,500 10,500
NY 160 150 160-4140 40,04 6,560 6,000 6880
nec 210 300 405 Bh 35.0 7,560 10,500 14,175
N DAK 9600 geno tg?¥a aes. ely Sala asatass tfofese  seutaro
OHIO 1,320 49370 1,600 48.0 49.0 © 50,0 © 63,360 «67,130 80,000
OKLA 5,700 64500 6,400 38.0 30.0 28,0 216,600 195,000 179,200
ORES 1,245 414350 1,285 4660 5743 5949 57310 77,400 © 7r 919
PA 235 250 270-3460 3700 -38L0 7,285 9,250 10,260
sc 100 192 380 33.038, 34.0 34300 6,912 12/920
Ss DAK 2,805 3,205 3,505 2164 19,2 2229 = 60,060 = 62,425 80,425
TENN 250 350 850 34,40 38.0 a5 0 8,500 13,300 38,250
TEX 4,600 5,200 6,800 3040 © 25,0 ©2850 «138,000 130,000 179,200
UTAH 262 ata 270 26.0 3209519 7,048 8,992 7610
va 180 286 395 35405720 -39,0 6,300 10,582 96805
WASH 2,980 e160 3,120 39.6 |S) 54,9 118,000 160,220 a.1,200
wovA 10 9 10 34,0 33,0 340 342 330
wis 54 at 121 40,0 41,0 2,162 4,365 4,960
wyo 287 309 287) 22k 26.8 6,354 8,512 7,689
us 62/454 704853 80,739 3442 5344 = 548 2,134,060 2,369,566 2,810,102

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE = 1980 1981 AVERAGE : 1960 = 1961
1970079 1970-79 3 3
PERCENT
79 az 14 7B
72 69 58 96
a1 82 1 90
73 9 89 59
76 6s 1 92
86 8a 90 78
aa 35 ar 86
79 16 6S 93
7 Ta 64 a1
85 99 92 96
8a as 93 93
38 92 93 89
86 85 78 64
8s 76 a4 63
90 65 94 cr
15 15 67 87
a 86 94 87
85 83 87 94
86 67 er 86
64 90 OL 92
38 va 8S 93
MISS: 80 80 82 87
or) bas 63 92 90
MONT 2 85 69 95
NEBR ot 86 a1 68 ea

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER ; POOR TO FAIR 65-797 VERY POOR, S064; SEVERE
OROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME OROUGHT, UNDER 35,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALMONDS: California almond production is forecast at a record 450 million pounds (204 thousand

metric tons). This is up 13 percent from the June 1 forecast, 40 percent higher than
1980 production, and 20 percent above the previous record crop harvested in 1979. A greater nut
set, larger expected kernel sizes and more bearing acres are all contributing to the higher
production level. Production prospects remain excellent for Nonpareil, Mission, Ne Plus and
Carmel varieties with Thompson down slightly from 1980. Higher than normal temperatures
beginning in mid-June have prevailed throughout almond bearing areas but the heat has not been
detrimental to date.

WALNUTS: The first forecast for the California walnut crop is a record 215 thousand tons (195

thousand metric tons), 9 percent more than the 1980 crop and 3 percent above the pre-
vious record harvest in 1979. Temperatures have been above normal in major producing areas but
sunburn problems have been minor to date.

ORANGES: The final 1980-81 orange forecast at 242 million boxes (9.43 million metric tons), is

up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast but is 12 percent less than last season.
Valencia production is expected to total 97.0 million boxes (3.76 million metric tons), up 4
percent from last month but 19 percent below the 1979-80 season total. The Florida Valencia
crop at 66.5 million boxes is 6 percent above last month but 25 percent less than the 1979-80
crop. The California Valencia crop, forecast at 27.0 million boxes, is unchanged from last
month and equal to last season.

Harvest of Valencias in Florida was about 99 percent complete while California was about 22
percent harvested by July 1. Valencia harvest is complete in other States. The U.S. orange
crop was 91 percent harvested by July 1 compared with 94 percent on July 1 last season.

The July 1 U.S. forecast has deviated from actual production by an average of 1.41 million
boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from no deviation in 1978-79 to 4.60 million boxes in
1976-77,

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1980-81 crop projection for the Florida FCOJ yield
is estimated at 1.21 gallons per box at 43.4 degree
brix equivalent. The final yield for the 1979-80 crop was 1.39 gallons per box at 43.4 degree
brix equivalent.

CITRUS CROP - HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO JULY 1.

1980-81

FOR
TOTAL : HARVEST

THOUSAND BOXES

ORANGES 44,457 211,888 256,345 17,485 40,162 180,267 220,429 21,671
GRAPEFRUIT 27,858 43,925 71,783 1,417 25,542 38,474 64,016 3,984
LEMONS 9,569 9,406 18,975 1,775 10,125 19, 486 29,611 1,889

GRAPEFRUIT: The final forecast for the 1980-81 U.S. grapefruit crop is at 68.0 million boxes

(2.51 million metric tons) is up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast but 7 percent
less than harvested production in 1979-80. Harvest is approximately one-half complete in
California and is virtually over in all other States.

Changes in the U.S. grapefruit production forecast between July 1 and final
production have averaged 486 thousand boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from no change in
1979-80 to 1.66 million boxes in the 1977-78 season.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona lemon crop is expected to total 31.5 million boxes (1.09

million metric tons), unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 52 percent more than the
1979-80 season. Harvest is nearing completion with about 8 percent of California's crop
remaining on the tree as of July 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL tA

PRODUCTION
42 LB, EQUIVALENT

PRODUCTION
crop 2 POUNDS

NOICATED

AND TOTAL

STATE

1980 3 1961
MILLION UNITS 1,000 UNITS

ALL COMMERCIAL APPLES

ARK : 24.0 10.0 23.0 svi 238 S48
CALIF 600.0 520,0 620,0 14,286 12,381 14,762
COLO 100.0 70.0 75.0 2,381 1,667 1,786
CONN 8 45.0 42.0 42.0 1,071 1,000 1,000
DEL : 13.0 13.5 13,5 310 321 32i
GA : 35.0 36.0 40.0 833 857 952
TDAHO : 125.0 150,0 110.0 2,976 3,571 2,619
TLL ? 110.0 101.0 99.0 2,619 2,405 26357
IND 7020 71.0 64.0 1,667 1,690 1,524
Towa 1261 8.4 7.5 288 200 179
KANS 15.0 11.0 14,0 357 262 333
KY 21,0 19,0 24,0 500 4s2 571
MAINE 86.0 85.0 75.0 2,048 2,024 1,786
TMD 85.0 90,0 75,0 2,024 2,143 1,786
MASS 95.0 100.0 95.0 2,262 22381 2,262
MICH 660.0 900.0 680,0 16,190 21,429 16,190
MINN 15.0 23.0 21,0 357 $48 Soo
MO 70.0 56.0 . 56.0 1,667 1,333 1,333
Nw 58.0 58,0 51.0 1,381 1,381 1,214
NJ 110.0 110.0 100.0 2619 2,619 2,381
N MEX 14,0 12,0 14,0 333 266 333
NY 1035.0 1410020 780.0 24,643 26,191 18,571
nc 362.0 440.0 350.0 8,619 9,762 6,333
OHIO 105.0 170,0 100,0 2,500 4,008 2,381
OREG 170.0 195.0 175.0 4,048 4,643 4,167
PA $35.0 570.0 450.0 12,736 13,571 10,714
RI 5.0 5.5 5.5 119 131 131
sc 35,0 32.0 36,0 833 762 857
TENN 10.0 8.0 12,0 236 190 286
UTAH 51.0 52,0 54,0 1,214 1,238 1,286
vt 49.0 50.0 43.0 1,167

vA 970.0 420.0 410,0 11,190

WASH 2,619.0 3,020,0 3,050.0 62,357

WovA 3 260.0 245.0 230.0 64190

wis 54.0 65,0 63,0 1,286

us 6,143.1 6,828.4 6,057,5 193,882

1/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES,
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTEO PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS)! UNITED STATES 1979¢24.9, 1980"18,0,

BLUEBERRIES

TOTAL V/

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
MAINE : 17,400 18,000 1,220 1,230 21,200 22,200
MICH > 9,400 9,600 4,360 4,380 + ~~ «41,000 42,000
NQ : 8,100 8,000 3,210 3,380 26,000 27,000
NC 2/ : 3,000 3,000 2,000 2,100 6,000 6,300
OREG : 560 580 5,820 5,790 3,200 3,360
WAS 300 800 6,670 6,200 5,335 4,960
us 39,250 39,980 2,617 2,647 102,736 105,820

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (000 POUNDS): U S-465.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PROSPECTS*
July 1, 1981

NEG. ESS 328-81(7)

CROP PROSPECTS*
July 1, 1980

NEG. ESCS 253-8017)

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-5

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

AREA HARVESTEO 3 YIELO

: 3 Inv IND
1979 1980 1981 t 1979 1980 : 1981 1980 = 1961

PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA ‘ 145 as S65 26.0 24.5 41.0 3,770 3,758 23,105
ARIZ 3 3s 60 43 78,0 80.0 81.0 4,290 4,800 3,463
ARK : 420 820 1,650 35.0 38.0 41.0 14,700 31,160 67,650
CALIF 3 755 1,050 1,200 70.0 75.0 52,850 90,000
COLO : 2,600 3,350 3,050 26.0 26.0 67,600 79,300
OEL : 21 27 a3 34.0 40.0 m4 1,720
GA : 17s 600 1,050 35.0 41.0 64125 19,800 434050
IDAHO : 850 910 900 42,0 58.0 35,700 51,870 52,200
TUL 3 1,250 14570 1,900 43,0 48,0 51.0 53,750 15,360 96,900
INO : 945 1,100 1,350 47.0 51.0 44,415 53,900 68,850
IOWA : 60 92 110 37,0 38.0 2,220 3,496 4,180
KANS t 10,800 12,000 12,200 38.0 3 25.0 410,400 420,000 305,000
KY : 290 350 700 38.0 42.0 11,020 13,825 29,400
LA 3 26 67 275 28,0 44.0 728 1,876 12,100
MD : 90 97 137 37.0 40.0 3,330 3,686 5,480
MICH : 735 800 820 43.0 46.0 31,605 35,200 37,720
MINN : St 69 120 35.0 3640 1,785 2,346 4,320
MIss : 115 250 600 32.0 36.0 3,680 7,750 22,600
MO : 1,600 2,070 2,950 44.0 42.0 70,400 89,010 123,900
MONT : 24250 2,150 2,570 25.5 34,0 57,375 54,825 67,380
NEBR : 2,550 2,950 3,050 34,0 33.0 86,700 112,100 100,650
NEV : a 12 13 70.0 69.9 770 845
NJ : at 43 56 3640 42.0 1,476 2,352
NMEX 3 ato 500 S25 22.0 20.0 9,020 10,500
NY ; 160 150 160 41.0 43.0 6-560 6,880
ne : 210 300 805 3b 3560 74560 14,175
N OAK 120 70 120 22.0 3140 2,640 1,050 3,720
OHIO : 1,320 4,370 1,600 48.0 50.0 63,360 67,130 80,000
OKLA 3 5,700 6,500 6,400 38.0 28.0 216,600 195,000 179,200
OREG t 1,000 1,200 1,170 48.0 62.0 48,000 72,000 72,540
PA : 235 250 270 31.0 38.0 7,285 9,250 10,260
sc 3 100 192 380 33.0 34,0 3,300 6,912 12,920
S$ DAK 550 950 1,030 19.0 25.0 10-450 20,900 25-750
TENN z 250 350 850 34,9 45.9 8,500 13,300 38,250
TEX : 4,600 5,200 6,400 30.0 28.0 136,000 130,000 179-200
UTAH : 242 2ae 240 24,0 30.0 5,808 7,502 7,200
va 2 180 286 395 35.0 39.0 6,300 10,582 15,405
WASH : 2,200 2,750 2,900 43.0 56.0 94,600 143,000 162,400
wVA : 10 9 10 34,0 33.0 340 342 330
wis 3 38 88 93 43.0 44.0 1,634 3,652 A092
WYO 3 267 295 275 22.0 27420 5,874 8,260 7,425
us 2 43,427 51,374 $8,575 3649 3507 1¢601¢234 1891-251 2,092,692

SPRING
YEAR TOTAL
: RED RED WHITE = REO OuRUM WHITE =
1,000 BUSHELS

1978 829,908 188,920 203,618 379,694 133,328 40,056 1,775,524
1979 1,088,918 316,698 195,618 362,891 106,654 63,281 2,134,060
1989 L,18G,641 427,530 278,910 314,226 108,395 58,798 2,369,666
1981 4 1,099,411 689,094 304,187 480,645 191,193 45,572 2,810,102

1/ INDICATED JULY 1, 1981.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 198) 8-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT wv

PRODUCTION PRODUCTION

cROP TON EQUIVALENT
AND UTILIZED SINOICATED
STATE 1978=79 ! 1979080 2 1980081 = 1978079 % 1979080 ¢ 1980981
1,000 UNITS 27 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES,EARLY MIO & NAVEL 3/2
ARIZ apt 700 650 900 26 32 3a
CALIF 20,800 32,600 36,000 780 1,223 1,350
FLA 91,000 117,900 105,600 4,095 5,306 4,752
TEX 4,300 2,300 2,600 183 98 410
us 3 186,800 1537650 145,100 5,064 6/659 67246
ORANGES, VALENCIA z
ARIZ : 2,200 2,650 1/700 a3 9 64
CALIF 16,500 27,000 += 27,000 619 1,012 1,012
FLA 73,000 887800 66-500 3,285 3,996 2,993
TEX as 2,100 1,730 1,800 89 73 77
us 93,800 120/180 97,000 4,076 55180 4,146
ALL ORANGES
ARIZ 2,900 3,500 2,600 109 431 98
CALIF 37,300 59,600 63,000 1,399 2,235 2,362
FLA 164,000 206,700 172,100 7,380 9,302 7,745
TEX ast 6,400 4,030 4,400 272 171 187
us 210,600 273,830 242,100 9,160 11,839 = 10,392
TEMPLES
FLA 4a 4,700 6,000 3,600 212 270 162
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE SEEULESS
FLA 29,400 314100 = 28, 400 1,250 1,322 1,207
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEOLESS
FLA 13,300 15,800 14,600 565 671 621
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 7,300 7,900 7,300 310 336 310
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 2,250 3,000 2,800 72 96 90
CALIF
OESERT 3,260 4,200 4,300 104 134 138
OTHER AREAS 3 2,870 34300 3,800 96 1 127
TOTAL 3 6,130 71500 6,100 200 245 265
FLA 2 50,000 54,800 $0,300 2,125 2,329 2,138
TEX 9,000 74900 6,800 360 316 a2
us 67,360 73,200 += 68, 000 2,757 2,986 2,765
TANGERINES
ARIZ 450 750 800 17 268 30
CALIF 1,450 1,650 14700 Sa 62 64
FLA 3,500 3,900 3,000 166 185 143
us 5,400 61300 5,500 237 275 237
LEMONS
ARIZ 5,500 3,050 7,000 209 116 266
CALIF 14,100 174700 24,500 536 673 931
us 19,600 20,750 31,500 745 789 1,197
TANGELOS
FLA 4,200 6,400 4,900 169 288 ear

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENOS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED
2/ NET LBS PER BOX? ORANGES@CALIF & ARIZ*75¢FLA=90y
TEX@857 GRAPEFRUIT@CALIF DESERT & ARIZ64, CALIF
OTHER@67, FLA@85, TEX=803 LEMONS=767 TANGELOS & ,
TEMPLES=907 TANGERINES@ CALIF & ARIZ*75, FLA=95,
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.
G/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

CLASS AND
TYPE

CLASS 1,FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11 OLD AND MIDDLE BELTS

NC : 129,000 139,000 140,000

VA : 52,000 51,000 54,000

US : 181,000 190,000 194,000

TYPE 12 EASTERN N C BELT

Nc : 162,000 185,000 165,000

TYPE 13 N C BORDER & S C BELT :

NC Fy 39,000 46,000 43,000

sc H 57,000 65,000 67,000
96,000 111,000 110,000

us :
TYPE 14 GEORGIA-FLORIOA BELT :

ALA V/ 510
FLA 9,800
GA 53,000
us 62,800
TOTAL 11-14 531,800

PRODUCTION

CLASS 1 FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11 OLD AND MIDDLE BELTS

NC 1,765 1,765 1,800 227,685 245,335 252,000
VA > 15735 1,650 1,790 90,220 84,150 96, 660
US : 1,756 1,734 1,797 337,905 329,485 348, 660
TYPE 12 EASTERN NC BELT

NC : 1,865 2,170 2,150 302,130 401,450 354,750
TYPE 13 NC BORDER & S C BELT :

NC :  2,130° 2,130 2,150 83,070 97,980 92,450
Sc : 2,065 1,930 2,050 117,705 125,450 137,350
US > 2,091 2,013 2,089 200,775 223,430 229,800
TYPE 14 GEORGIA-FLORIOA BELT

ALA 1/ 825 826

FLA 23,175 20,343 «= 20,090
GA 100,965 110,550 108,650
us 124,965 131,719 128,740
TOTAL 11-14 067950

945,775 1,086,084
1/ ESTIMATES 0: ~

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OATS

PRODUCTION
3 IND + 3 IND 3 : ’ IND
1980 3 1981 t 1979: 1980 8 1961 ¢ 1979 3 1960 ¢ 1981

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 28 30 35340 42,0 43,0 1,204 1,260
ARK 34 33 36 65.0 63.0 60,0 2,210 2,079
CALIF 78 70 60 «655.0 © 62.0 58.0 4,125 4,340
colo t 50 33 27 53.0 49.0 1650 1,683
GA : 70 65 80 $4.0 60.0 3,780 3,405
IDAHO | ¢ 4a 46 46 = 52,0 60.0 2,288 2,990
Tut : 260 230 215 60.0 62.0 15,600 14,030
IND : 105 90 80 61.0 63.0 6,405 5,850
IOWA 1,000 1,000 900 63.0 61,0 63,000 62,000
KANS 85 120 175, 44,0 45.0 7740
KY 8 6 7 41,0 39,0 328
MAINE a 42 4362.0 65.0 2,542
Mo 17 19 20 © 55.0 54.0 935
MICH 310 335 3406140 60.0 18910
MINN 16490 1,450 1,505 87.0 63.0 930
MO 4s 46 100 45.0 49.0
MONT 125 73 110 39.0 50.0
NEBR 400 370 410 53.0 42.0
NJ ? 5 5 50.0 $0.0
NY 290 280 280 62.0 69,0
nc 95 75 TS (57.0 53.0
N OAK 840 450 1,070 44,0 53.0
OHIO 290 290 270-7040 67.0
OKLA 95 100 105 48,0 35.0
OREG 60 60 65 67,0 68,0
\PA 338 340 350 5540 56.0
sc 59 40 ae 56.0 49.0
3 DAK 1/888 1,500 1,700 50.0 42.0
TENN 16 12 16 41.0 46,0
TEX 400 340 500 42,0 37.0 40.0
UTAH 15 15 14° 60,0 6140 61.0
va 2s 20 17 «49,045,070 1,225-
WASH 3 33 30 31 5340 62,0 2,0 1,749
wevaA : 12 il 12 51.0 a 49,0 612
WIS z 980 963 957 «57.061 61.0 55,860
wo : 52 Si $2. 44,0 45,0 46,0 2,288 2,295 2,392

$3.0 54,1 526,552 457,593 526,118

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT: Durum wheat production is forecast at a record high 191 million bushels (5.20

million metric tons), 76 percent more than produced in 1980 and 42 percent more
than the previous record set in 1976. The increased production from a year ago is the result of
17 percent more acreage for harvest and better yield prospects in all States which average a
record high 33.9 bushels per acre, up 11.5 bushels from last year.

By the end of June, North Dakota durum wheat condition was mostly good to very good and
heading had reached 31 percent compared with 36 percent last year and a 22 percent average.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production of spring wheat other than durum is forecast at a record high 526

million bushels (14.3 million metric tons), 42 percent more than the 1980
crop. The previous record of 450 million bushels was set in 1976. The larger production
results from better yield prospects plus a 13 percent increase in acreage from last year.
Acreage for harvest is estimated at 16.5 million acres (6.68 million hectares) compared with
14.6 million acres (5.92 million hectares) in 1980. The record high yield forecast of 31.9
bushels per acre compares with 25.3 bushels last year and 28.2 bushels in 1979.

During the last week of June, most growing areas received timely rains and the crop was in
fair to good condition. In North Dakota, about 35 percent of the crop was heading compared with
39 percent last year and a 31 percent average. Spring wheat in Minnesota was 60 percent headed
by the end of June compared with 72 percent last year.

RYE: Production of rye in 1981 is forecast at 16.7 million bushels (425 thousand metric tons),
“~~ 3 percent more than the 1980 crop. Area for harvest is estimated at 663 thousand acres
(268 thousand hectares).

South Dakota remains the leading rye producing State followed by Georgia, North Dakota and
Minnesota. In Minnesota, the crop was 97 percent headed and 21 percent ripe by the end of June,
which is virtually the same as last year. In North Dakota, 70 percent of the rye was in the
milk stage or beyond. Fifty-one percent of the South Dakota crop was turning color compared
with 56 percent last year and the average of 46 percent. Georgia has a record high yield of 26
bushels per acre this year.

POTATOES: Harvested area for the 1981 U.S. potato crop (all seasonal groups) is expected to
total 1.23 million acres (497 thousand hectares), 6 percent above 1980, but 3 percent
below 1979. The largest increases in acreage this year are in the Northern Pacific fall States.

Fall potato area harvested is estimated at 1.04 million acres (422 thousand hectares), up 6
percent from last year but 3 percent below 1979. Area planted to fail potatoes totaled an
estimated 1.06 million acres (431 thousand hectares) 6 percent above 1980 but 3 percent less
than 1979.

Acreage of fall crop potatoes for harvest in the Eastern States is estimated at 178 thousand
acres, fractionally below last year and the smallest of record. In Maine and New York area for
harvest is estimated at 104 thousand acres and 43.8 thousand acres respectively unchanged from
1980. Crop conditions are generally good in the Eastern States. Maine potatoes are growing
well with uniform stands and early fields have started to bloom. In New York, both the Long
Island and Upstate crops are progressing well.

In the Central States acreage for harvest is estimated at 293 thousand acres, 3 percent
above 1980, but percent below 1979. North Dakota growers intend to harvest 3 percent more
acres while Minnesota shows a 8 percent increase and Wisconsin a 4 percent rise. Planting of
the North Dakota crop progressed about on an even pace with last year. The crop is rated mostly
good to excellent with adequate rainfall this year. Conditions in Minnesota have also been
favorable for crop growth and development. In Wisconsin recent rains and warmer temperatures
improved early plantings.

The Western State's fall acreage for harvest is estimated at 572 thousand acres, 10 percent
above 1980 but 2 percent less than 1979. In Idaho, the Nation's leading potato producing State,
area to be harvested is estimated at 325 thousand acres, 8 percent more than 1980. Washington
growers reported the largest proportional increase with a 24 percent jump over the 1980 acreage
for harvest. Acreage intended for harvest in Oregon is up 13 percent from a year ago. In Idaho
the crop is recovering from frost and development averages } to 3 weeks later than normal.
About one fourth of the crop has developed to the point of closing the rows. Washington
potatoes are progressing well after recent warm weather. Growth jis excellent and yield
prospects appear bright again this year. In Oregon, crop conditions are mostly good and harvest
is slated to start in late July in the Hermiston-Boardmen area.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP

SEASONAL GROUP

STATE

1,000 ACRES

WINTER

:
zt MONT 7.5
TOTAL 11.6 11,8 zt NEBR 8.0
zt NEV 11,0
SPRING 3 N YeLONG IS 1845
UPSTATE 26.5
TOTAL 15.7 80.0 N DAK 118.0
OHIO 948
SUMMER OREG@MALHEUR CO 10.3
TOTHER CO 43.7
TOTAL 92.8 96,2 PA 22,0
RI 3.2
FALL 8 DAK 6.6
CALIF 17.4 18.0 UTAH 5.3
coLo 37.0 39.5 vT 7
CONN 1.8 2.0 WASH 108.0
IDAHO*10 Sw CO 23.0 24.0 WIS 55.0
SOTHER CO 262.0 306.0 wyo 5.5
IND 3.6 3.3
MAINE 108.0 106.0 TOTAL 1,064.7
MASS. 364 3.3
MICH 32.5 32.0 thus 1,252.7
MINN 65.0 71,0 a3

T7ESTINATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST «

FALL POTATOES: ACRES PLANTED FOR CERTIFIED SEED POTATOES, BY STATES 1/

1981 CROP

1980 CROP

1980 CROP

STATE ENTERED ENTERED ENTEREO
FOR : : PERCENT FOR 2 + PERCENT FOR
CERTIFI- : CERTIFIED : CERTIFIED : CERTIFI- : CERTIFIED : CERTIFIED CERTIFI-
CATION 2/ = CATION af

2 CATION y

CALIF : 1,738 1,739

COLO 3 6,359 6,359

CONN 2 0 i)

TOAHO 47,775 44,233

IND : 0 LY) Saal

MAINE 41,400 34,580 84 :

MASS 0 0 cor : 725 72 100 1,480

MICH 4,188 4,004 96 H 296 245 83 225

MINN 24,297 22,300 92 ‘ O oO oe oO

MONT 5,846 5,675 97 3 1,380 1,443 105 1,470

NEBR 4,571 3,683 81 2: 10,749 10,760 100 10,548

NEV 0 0 -— Hy 286 286 100 286
179,764 163,395 ct 184,642

1/ DATA SUPPLIED BY STATE SEED CERTIFICATION OFFICIALS.
27 PRELIMINARY.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


JUNE WEATHER SUMMARY

HIGHLIGHTS: Cumulative heavy rainfall of over 8 inches during June kept fields soggy and
reduced fieldwork across parts of the southern Plains into the north central region. Severe
weather dotted the area with damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes. Some cropland was flooded.
West Central Florida had welcome rains which alleviated the drought. However, rain was
subnormal over the Florida Panhandle, parts of the area northward to southern Indiana and
Illinois, the western Plains, and from Wyoming to California. Unusually hot weather over the
Southwest extended southeastward across the central Plains. Temperatures up to 9° above
normal sapped moisture from ranges and forest in California and kept crop irrigation
requirements very high.

FIRST WEEK...Most of the Nation had beneficial rains except the desert Southwest. A
tropical depression moved across the central Texas coast, then tracked northeastward before
weakening. Very heavy rains were dumped from the eastern half of Texas to West Virginia,
flooding streets and cropland. Continued soggy fields in the eastern Corn Belt further delayed
planting. Almost daily showers brought welcome moisture to the Southeast, although the showers
slowed the wheat harvest. Warm weather persisted over most areas except parts of the southern
Plains. Very hot, dry conditions caused deterioration of rangeland grasses over the Southwest.

SECOND WEEK...Tropical air laden with moisture produced torrential downpours over south
central Texas and southern Louisiana while fronts triggered heavy rains over parts of the north
central States. Over 11 inches, 14 times the normal, accumulated around Austin, Texas. More
than 4 inches fell in some northwestern and eastern portions of the Corn Belt as well as winter
wheatlands of eastern Kansas and western Missouri. Cooler-than-usual weather extended over the
northwestern third of the country. Other areas were unseasonably warm, up to 9° above normal
from the Southwest to the west central Plains.

THIRD WEEK...A series of cold fronts produced a broad band of heavy rain, over 4 inches in
spots, from south Texas into the north central region. Some fields continued too wet for
fieldwork and growing crops. Lighter amounts fell over the east and northernmost States. Dry,
sunny weather dominated the Southwest, the Plateau, and most of the South. It was unusually
warm in the eastern third of the Nation and the Southwest. Temperatures up to 12° above
normal, coupled with dry soils, stressed California's native vegetation; potential crop water
use was very high as indicated by weekly pan evaporation readings of over 5 inches at some sites.

FOURTH WEEK...Most of the Nation had rain -- even parts of the southern Plateau and
southwestern desert -- as tropical moisture moved out of Mexico. Rains were very heavy over
parts of Iowa, Missouri, Florida, and southeast Texas, causing local flooding. Most of the
severe weather was confined to the north central States. Unusually hot, dry weather sapped
moisture from rangeland and forests in California through the northern Plateau. The above
normal temperatures also extended into the central Plains and parts of the Southeast. Subnormal
temperatures persisted across the Great Lakes, northern Rockies, and south Texas. (Prepared by
NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility).

ROW CROP PROGRESS

Heavy rains and wet fields in the eastern Corn Belt continued to delay planting activities
during much of June, but in other areas, planting generally progressed on schedule. Much needed
rain fell in the spring wheat areas and in the South and East, helping relieve dry conditions
and providing needed moisture for growing crops. Dry, hot weather increased irrigation
requirements in California,and caused deterioration of rangeland grasses over the Southwest.

At the beginning of June, corn planting was 87 percent complete, 5 percentage points later
than normal. Progress was 45 points behind average in Indiana and 30 points behind in Ohio
where rains have delayed fieldwork during most of the planting season. At mid-month, heavy
rains caused flooding and extensive crop damage in Indiana, Illinois, and Ohio, and further
delayed the completion of planting. By the end of June, planting was completed except in
Indiana where 95 percent of the acreage was planted and Ohio where 88 percent was planted. Corn
was silking as far north as Virginia. Further South, much of the acreage was in the dough stage
and some fields reached the dent stage. Corn: generally rated fair to good throughout the Nation
as June ended.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
é July 1, 1981

©) Good to excellent
3 Poor to fair

Very poor

EBM Severe drought
GBD Extreme drought

45 REPORTED BY
‘CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

usDA NEG. ESS 327-81(7)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
bat July 1, 1980

(2) Good to excellent

J Poor to fair

Very poor

REQ) Severe drought

GHEY Extreme drought

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG ESCS 254 8017)

"AS REPORTED BY
CROP CORKESPONDENTS

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


BARLEY

YIELD 2 PRODUCTION

IND 3
1980 1961 1979 1960

1979

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ARIZ : 50 rT) 75.0 79.0 90.0 3,225 3,950 3,600
CALIF = 712 655 6040 62.0 56.0 47,400 44,140 36,680
coco t 245 295 68.0 65.0 6S. 18,700 15,925 19,175
DEL : 25 25 45.0 49.0 49.0 1,125 1,225 4,225
IDAHO ¢ 880 1,070 5940 6740 66.0 54,870 58,960 70,620
Ikh 1/2 6 47,0 43,0 329 258

KANS : 59 60 44.0 41,0 34,0 2,288 2,419 2,040
Ky : 29 3200 «50.0 = 55.0 52.0 1,250 1,595 1,668
MD t 70 75 49.0 © 52.0 3,822 3,640 4,125
MICH 3 at 23 47.0 $3.0 900 4,113 1,150
MINN : 815 990 53.0 42.5 52,0 40,810 34,638 51,460
MONT : 1,050 14300 39.0 42.0 46.0 40,560 44,100 59,800
NEBR t 25 25 43.0 38,0 38.0 1,204 950 950
NEV : 28 30 60,0 70,0 65.0 1,620 1,960 1,950
wd $ 15 13 51.0 53.05: 714 795 689
NMEX 2 35 30 58.0 57.0 1,566 1,995 1,650
NY ost i 48.0 47.0 528 S17

NC : 60 62 5140 48.0 50.0 3,264 2,880 3,100
N DAK 1,500 2,260 46.0 32.0 47,0 75,900 48,000 = 106,220
OHIO 1/3 8 52.0 52.0 468 416

OKLA 50 50 46. 33.0 30.0 2,530 17650 1,500
OREG 3 155 195 52,0 65.0 63.0 8,320 10,075 12,265
PA 3 15 81 4740 50.0 54,0 3,995 3,750 4,374
3c : 23 a7 48.0 aa.0 46.0 “1,104 1,012 1,242
S.DAK 3 a20 S00 4040 33.0 36,0 20,800 13,860 18,000
TENN 1/3 4 46,0 42,0 230 168

TEX 3 30.0 35.0 2,300 1,080 1,750
UTAH : 73.0 73. 10,940 10,804 10,950
va 3 51.0 6140 5,200 4,590 5,917
WASH : 75.0 68,0 17,010 31,500 45,560
WA 1 44,0 45.0 410 396 aso
WIS : 59.0 51.0 1,176 1,534 1,581
Wyo 3 65.0 65.0 8,700 8,695 8,710
us 3 4906 5

382,798 358,544 478,437

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1960 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



BARLEY: Production of barley in 1981 is forecast at 478 million bushels (10.4 million metric
tons), up 33 percent from 1980. Average yield is forecast at 53.3 bushels per acre, up
3.7 bushels over last year's figure and 2.4 bushels above 1979. The area for harvest at 8.98
million acres (3.63 million hectares) is 24 percent above last year. The major barley producing
areas of Minnesota and North Dakota report good crop development and excellent yield potential.
Ample moisture as a result of the cool, moist weather in June is promoting good growth.

In California, harvest is well along although high temperatures have affected both yield and
quality. Harvest has started in Oregon and was expected to start in southern Washington in
early July. Idaho's forecasted acres for harvest is up 22 percent from 1980 whereas yields are
expected to be about the same or slightly lower than last year.

ALL WHEAT: A record crop of 2.81 billion bushels (76.5 million metric tons) of all wheat is

forecast as of July 1 conditions. This is 19 percent more than the previous record
of 2.37 billion bushels (64.5 million metric tons) produced in 1980. The increase results from
a 14 percent increase in harvested acres, and yield prospects 1.4 bushels greater than last
year's average.

Average yield for the U.S. is estimated at 34.8 bushels per harvested acre compared with
33.4 bushels in 1980. Farmers expect to harvest 80.7 million acres (32.7 million hectares).
This year, 90.9 percent of the acreage seeded compared with 88.1 percent last year.

WINTER Wrs.AT: July 1 winter wheat production is forecast at a record high 2.09 billion bushels

(57.0 million metric tons), 11 percent more than the previous record high set
last year and 4 percent more than last month's forecast. The increase from last month results
from a larger acreage for harvest and higher yields in the southeast, some north central States
and the north west. Yields in the Central Great Plains States declined from a month earlier.
This year's expected yield of 35.7 bushels per harvested acre compares with last year's yield of
36.8 bushels per acre.

The crop rated fair to mostly good at the end of June. Winter wheat harvesting in the major
producing States had reached 43 percent complete, nearly double last year's progress of 23
percent. Virtually all of the acreage in Kansas had turned color and 90 percent was ripe.
Harvesting was underway as far north as Nebraska. Harvesting in Kansas was 55 percent complete,
40 points ahead of normal. The Oklahoma harvest was 95 percent complete and, in Texas,
combining was 84 percent finished.

U.S. WHEAT - JULY 1

FORECAST AS PERCENT OF FINAL PROOUCTION
PERCENT OF FINAL

ue
ws

198

ob

i
3 1 | ! 1 Ll | 1 L
7 72 73 7” 7S 76 7 78 79 88 ai
YEAR

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1983 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEACHES

z PRODUCTION 1/ 5 PRODUCTION
cROP : POUNDS 48 LB, EQUIVALENT

ANO 3 SINDICATEOS TOTAL INDICATED

STATE s 1979 2 1960 & 14981

: MILLION UNITS

PEACHES FREESTONE :
ALA z 20,0 14,0 292 4alT
ARK 3 36.0 26.0 583 833
CALIF=FREESTONE 2 468.0 470.0 9,792 10,000
coLo 3 14.0 18.0 a17
CONN arr 2.5 2.8 10
dEL est 2.0 1.4 50
GA : 135.0 120,0 2,613
TOAHO as 3 10.5 13,0 250
ul : 15.0 24,0 436
IND et 4.2 8.0 146
KANS ark 5.0 665 104
Ky ase 15.0 15.5 333
LA ars 740 4.0 146
MO t 22.0 19,0 396
MASS: art 1.8 2.0 17
MICH : 35.0 40.0 729
miss ast 3.0 2.5 115
“Oo ek 12.0 12.0 354
NJ 3 95.0 110.0 1,667
NY 3 6.7 13.0 188
NC 7 50.0 45.0 Ted
OHIO at 4.0 12.0 42
OKLA ares 11.0 8.0 168
OREG aes 16.0 13.0 250
PA 3 80.0 105.0 19354
sc : 350.0 355.0 8,125
TENN avr 8.5 5.4 196
TEX 2 23.0 12.5 667
UTAH ast 12.0 11,0 313
vA t 32.0 32.0 30.0 667 625
WASH z 31.0 31.0 18.0 646 375
W OVA : 24,0 22,0 17,0 500 354
TOTAL ABOVE + 1,551.2 1-578,6 1,566.6 32,321 32,689 32,641

PEACHES CLINGSTONE 3st
CALIF 2 1440020 1,495.0 1,320,0 29,167 31,146 27,500

’

ALL PEACHES
us $ 295162 3,073.6 2,886.6 61,488 64,035 60,141

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE

(MILLION POUNDS) 3UNITED STATES, EXCLUDING CALIFORNIA

CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1979014,5, 1980°0.5.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. -
3/ CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE I$ OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND

INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS)

$1979"90,0, 19609113.0,

CROP PRODUCTION. JULY 1981 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD. SRS. USDA


CROP PRODUCTION [Q-

Released: July 10, 1981 Statistical Reporting
3:00 P.M. ET . Service

U.S. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 2.81 billion bushels (76.5
million metric tons), up 19 percent from the 1980 production. The 90 per-
cent confidence interval for this production is 2.64 to 2.98 billion
bushels.

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 2.09 billion bushels (57.0
million metric tons), up 1] percent from the 1980 crop.

DURUM WHEAT production, forecast at a record high 191 million bushels (5.20
million metric tons), is 76 percent more than last year's production.

SPRING WHEAT OTHER THAN DURUM is forecast at a record high 526 million bushels
(1423 million metric tons), up 42 percent from 1980.

CORN production is forecast at 7.12 billion bushels (181 million metric tons),
up 7 percent from last year's crop. This will be the third largest crop
of record, exceeded only by the 1978 and 1979 crops. The 90 percent con-
fidence interval for this production is 6.00 to 8.23 billion bushels.

OATS production is forecast at 528 million bushels (7.67 million metric tons),
15 percent above the 1980 production.

BARLEY production is forecast at 478 million bushels (10.4 million metric
tons), up 33 percent from last year's production.

APPLE production is forecast at 8.06 billion pounds (3.65 million metric tons),
9 percent below last year's record high crop and 1 percent below 1979.

POTATO acreage for harvest (all seasonal groups) is estimated at 1.23 million
acres (497 thousand hectares), up 6 percent from 1980 but 3 percent below
1979, The fall crop acreage for harvest is estimated at 1.04 million
acres (422 thousand hectares), also up 6 percent from last year.

Changes in Commodity Coverage -- Page A-3.
Revised Corn Planted Acreage -- Page B-1.
Revised Soybean Planted Acreage -- Page B-2.

CrPr 2-2 (7-81) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


Washington expects a record crop of 3.05 billion pounds which is 1 percent greater than last
year's record crop. Plantings which have just begun to come into production more than offset
losses caused by adverse spring weather.

California expects a 19 percent increase to 620 million pounds. The hot weather in June
does not seem to have damaged the crop and projected yields are excellent at this time.

The apple crops in Michigan, New York and Pennsylvania are forecast to be down from last
year, resulting from spring freezes and poor pollinating weather. Michigan's production
forecast of 680 million pounds is the same as the 1979 crop but down 24 percent from last year's
excellent crop. The crop for New York is forecast at 780 million pounds, down 29 percent from
last year and down 25 percent from 1979. Pennsylvania expects to harvest 450 million pounds of
apples, 21 percent below 1980 and off 16 percent from 1979.

BLUEBERRIES: The U.S. blueberry crop is forecast at a new record high production of 106 million

pounds (48.0 thousand metric tons), 3 percent above last year's production. In
Maine, production where both yield and acreage expected to be harvested are above last year, is
forecast at a record high 22.2 million pounds, 5 percent greater than the 1980 harvest. The
Michigan crop is forecast at a record high 42.0 million pounds, up 2 percent from the 1980
harvested production. This reflects a recovery from the winter freeze and flooding damage of
last year. Currently, harvest of some early varieties is underway. The New Jersey crop is fore-
cast at a record high 27.0 million pounds, 4 percent above 1980 production. There were reports
of some damage to early varieties by spring frosts, but overall crop prospects are good. The
crop in Oregon is forecast at 3.36 million pounds, up 5 percent from 1980. Oue to increased
area for harvest, production is higher this year, but the average yield is lower due to
excessive spring rains which hindered pollination. The Washington crop, at 4.96 million pounds,
is down 7 percent from last year's production. Frost damage occurred in early May and extended
cool, wet weather this spring hampered pollination and promoted blight problems.

PEACHES: U.S. peach production is forecast at 2.89 billion pounds (1.31 million metric tons),
down fractionally from last month and 6 percent below last year. Excluding California

Clingstone crop, which is mostly canned, peach production is expected to total 1.57 billion

pounds up 6 million pounds from the June 1 forecast but 1 percent less than the 1980 total.

Production in the nine Southern States is forecast at 674 million pounds, up 1 percent from
the June 1 forecast and 14 percent from last year. Although hot, dry weather in June required
some irrigation in South Carolina the forecast increased 3 percent from June 1, Harvest is
getting into full swing and quality is generally excellent. The weather did adversely affect the
North Carolina crop causing a decrease of 12 percent in the forecast production. The Georgia
peach harvest was 55 percent complete the first week of duly, somewhat behind the historic
average of 73 percent. Excessive rains and high humidity lowered the quality of the Texas crop
as brown rot and black spot began to appear. Harvest is gaining momentum as the mid and late
season varieties mature. Freeze damage in Michigan, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania has
caused extreme local variation in production prospects.

Production of Clingstone peaches in California is expected to be 1.32 billion pounds, down 1

percent from last month's forecast and 12 percent below the 1980 level. The major reason for
the reduction was stripping of green fruit from orchards because of economic considerations.
The fruit is below normal size in all areas but fruit is developing normally otherwise. There
is no change in the forecast of California Freestone peaches at 480 million pounds, which is up 2
percent from 1980. The crop made excellent progress during June and was 40 percent harvested on
duly 1.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 5.12 million pounds (2320 metric tons)

for July, down 13 percent from June. This seasonal lull is expected to continue
through August. Heavy fresh production is anticipated in September and October with forecasts
of 5.90 million pounds (2680 metric tons) and 5.70 million pounds (2590 metric tons),
respectively.

Fresh production in June reached a year high total of 5.90 million pounds (2680 metric
tons), up 19 percent from May and 47 percent more than last June.

Total area in crop and area harvested increased in June from the previous month. Area
harvested at 2065 acres (840 hectares) was 66 percent of the June total area in crop.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


The first forecast of summer potatoes places production at 19.9 million cwt (901 thousand
metric tons), 17 percent above fast year's record low output but the second smallest crop of
record. The 1981 area for harvest is set at 94.4 thousand acres (38.2 thousand hectares) 5
percent more than the 1980 record low acreage but also the second smallest of record. Expected
average yield at 210 cwt per acre, is 21 cwt above 1980 but 1 cwt below 1979.

In Virginia, production is estimated at 2.24 million cwt, 45 percent above 1980. Growing
conditions during the season have been good with timely and adequate rainfall. Harvest started
near mid-June, about 10 days earlier than the average for the last three years.

The Alabama crop is expected to be nearly three times as large as last year's drought
reduced crop. Harvest started the end of June and is expected to finish by the first of August.

Excessive rainfall in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan has adversely affected this year's crop.
Harvest is just getting underway in Indiana and Ohio.

In Texas, summer potatoes have developed well as cool temperatures during the fore part of
the season helped to promote growth. There has been some slight damage from disease, hail and
wind but yields are generally expected to be good.

California's weather has been favorable and harvest is underway in the Riverside area.
Harvest should start about mid-July in the Stockton area.

FLUE-CURED TOBACCO: Production of flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 1.06 billion pounds (482

thousand metric tons), down 2 percent from 1980. Acreage for harvest is
set at 532 thousand acres (215 thousand hectares) compared with 552 thousand acres (223 thousand
hectares) harvested in 1980. The July 1 indicated yield of 1997 pounds is 29 pounds higher than
in 1980.

North Carolina prospects are good in the Old and Middle Belts. Virginia's crop is beginning
to show signs of drought stress.

Harvest has just begun in the Eastern North Carolina Belt and crop prospects are good.
Auction Markets are scheduled to open July 22,

Harvest in the North Carolina-South Carolina Border Belt is underway. North Carolina's crop
has progressed well but South Carolina's crop has suffered from dry weather since mid-June.
Markets are expected to open duly 20.

Harvest has been underway since early June in the Georgia-Florida Belt. Lack of moisture
since mid-June has been the main concern, Markets are scheduled to open July 14.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: The duly 1 pasture and range feed condition for the 48 contiguous States

was 84 percent, 6 points above last year and 2 points above the 1970-79
average for the date. During the month of June, conditions deteriorated in 20 States and
improved in 28 States. Hot, dry weather in the Southwest quarter of the Nation caused
conditions to decline during the month. Although some deterioration occurred in parts of the
Northwest, pastures were still in good to excellent condition. Pastures and ranges made a
remarkable recovery in Montana and North Dakota due to timely rainfall during June and were in
good to excellent condition as of July 1. Conditions also improved in portions of South Dakota,
but Central and Western rangelands continued in very poor condition. Dry weather resulted in
lower conditions in Nebraska and Lowa, where pastures rated poor to fair. Widespread rainfall
from Kansas and Missouri through Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi improved conditions and
pastures rated excellent. In the Southeast, dry weather continued to hinder growth of grasses
and conditions ranged from very poor to fair. Pastures remained in good to excellent condition
in the Northeast and East North Central States.

APPLES: At 8.06 billion pounds (3.65 million metric tons), the Nation's apple crop is forecast

9 percent below last year's record crop and 1 percent below 1979. Declines from 1980
in the Great Lakes States and along the upper eastern Seaboard were not offset by increases in
the remaining major States. Frost during bloom caused the reduced production along the East
Coast and through the Great Lakes region. Insects have also reduced production, especially in
Maryland where mites have been a problem.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF > a
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INDEX

PAGE,
APPLES, COMMERCIAL ....cseeeee seeeeees beet eeceeeeeeeeeeueeeseeeeees B-10
BARLEY .ecccccccecececcceeeccceeceeeeteteneeteeeseseeeeeees decease Be 5
BLUEBERRIES ...-sceeeceeeceesceeseenee peeeeeeeeneeeee seeeeee deeeee B-10
CHERRIES ..cceceeeceeeceeueees seteees chee eeeenceeneeeeeeeeees deseee B-14
CITRUS FRUIT ..scceeecceecceceeseeeee peeeeee cece eee eeeeeeneeeeees B-13
CORN FOR GRAIN ....ceeseeeceeeceeceees debe eee eeeeeeeeeeeseeaeeeeees B- 3
CROP PROSPECTS MAPS ....eeeceeeseceees debe eeeecaeeeesaeeeseaee seeee ALS
MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS ......05 deeeeneeeee seeeeee seeeeeeeeee B-12
OATS vo. eeeeeee beeen eee eee eee eee eee eee eee EEE EEE EEE ES B- 4
PAPAYAS, HAWAII ...cccceeccecccecceccseteeeseeeeeseaseeteeeseeteees B-14
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION ..........00. bee eeeeeeeeeecereaes B- 6
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS ......cccccesccceesseceeteees A- 6
PEACHES wo... seeeees see eeneeeceeneeeeees seeeeeeeeeee se eeeeaeeeees B-11
PEARS ...eseeee dace ee eeeeeeaeeeeees cee eeeeaeeeaeeeaeeenees ween B-12
POTATOES ce ccceccceceecceeeeeeeeesceectteeeesseeeesaseeesseeeeaes B-14
POTATOES, CERTIFIED SEED ......eecceccceeeenes bee ceeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee B-16
RYE cc cccccceesacceesee see eeasseeeeseeetteeeeeseeeeeeseeeeeseeeees B- 8
TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE .....ccccceeecccescccecnssetenesseeteeee B- 9
US SUMMARY ...ccceeeseeeeesseeee seveeaeeeeees dee eeeeeteeeeeeseeees A- 2
WHEAT, BY CLASSES ..ccccccessccceccccectteeecseteenseetennetesteees B- 7
WHEAT, DURUM .....ccceeceeeseeeeeeees date eee eae eeeseeeeneceseeees B- 8
WHEAT, SPRING ......00. debe cence enc eneeteeenae ees eenaeteseeaseeenen B- 8
WHEAT, WINTER .....0. cece eaeeeeeeeseesees cee eeceeeeeeaeeeeeeeaee vee BE?

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Soybean seeding was 46 percent finished at the beginning of June, well behind the 64 percent
average. Progress in all major producing States except Louisiana, Minnesota, and Nebraska was
slower than average. Indiana growers were 60 percentage points behind schedule; Ohio, 55
points; Illinois, 39 points; Michigan, 23 points; and Missouri, 22 points slower than average.
Wet conditions throughout the season have delayed seeding progress. By the end of the month,
seeding advanced to 89 percent finished. Ohio producers were 25 percentage points behind
average; Kentucky, 22 points; Missouri, 19 points; and Indiana, 15 points. Progress in the
Southeast was slow because many farmers were waiting to plant double-cropped soybeans after
harvesting small grains. Some double-cropped soybeans were planted by the end of the month in
early harvested winter wheat fields. Planting was finished in Iowa and Nebraska.

Cotton planting was almost complete by the beginning of June except in Texas and Oklahoma
where cotton is seeded later. Squaring was underway on 10 percent of the acreage. By the end
of the month, 40 percent of the acreage was squaring. Boll set was underway with progress
ranging up to 30% complete in Georgia. High winds and blowing sand damaged many dryland fields
jn the southern High Plains of Texas. Replanting was necessary in some fields. Excessive
moisture in the southern half of the State adversely affected the crop.

Grain sorghum seeding progressed on schedule and neared completion by July 1. Most of the
crop was emerged and growing well. The 1981 harvest started in southern Texas during the last
week of June.

WINTER WHEAT HARVEST

Winter wheat harvesting in the 15 major producing States reached 43% complete by the end of
dune, nearly double last year's progress of 23%. On the Great Plains, harvesting was underway
as far north as Nebraska. Virtually all of the acreage in Kansas has turned color and 90% was
ripe. Fifty-five percent of the Kansas acreage was harvested by June 28, well ahead of the 15%
normally harvested by that date. The Oklahoma harvest was 95% complete while 84% of the Texas
acreage had been combined.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain in 1981 is forecast at 7.12 billion bushels (181

million metric tons), up 7 percent from last year’s crop of 6.65 billion
bushels (169 million metric tons), but down 10 percent from the record 1979 crop. If realized,
this will be the third largest crop of record, exceeded only by the 1978 and 1979 crops.

Yield per acre is forecast at 95.9 bushels, up from last year's yield of 91.0 bushels but
13.8 bushels less than the record high of 109.7 in 1979.

As of July 1, conditions were generally favorable with most areas in the Corn Belt having
adequate to surplus moisture supplies. Heavy rains and wet fields in the eastern Corn Belt --
particularly Indiana and Ohio -- delayed planting activities during much of June. As a result,
some of the intended acreage did not get planted. The planted acreage in these two States has
been revised downward -- Indiana off 150 thousand acres to 6.25 million acres and Ohio down 100
thousand acres to 4.10 million acres. This reduction is less than was expected since growers
planted some of the shorter-season varieties into early July.

During June silking was confined to the southern areas, but had extended into Virginia by
duly 1. Some fields in the extreme South had reached the dent stage. In the Corn Belt, crop
development is generally running behind normal because of the cool, wet weather.

QATS: Production of the 1981 oat crop is forecast at 528 million bushels (7.67 million metric

tons), 15 percent above last year and up fractionally from 1979. The increase in
production resulted from a 13 percent increase in acres for harvest and higher yields than a
year ago. The U.S. average yield is forecast at 54.1 bushels per harvested acre, 1.1 bushels
above last year.

Development of oats in North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin has been near average to
slightly ahead of normal. Moisture was favorable for excellent development. Yields in North
Dakota are expected to increase 23 bushels per acre over last year's drought stricken crop.
However, short soil moisture supplies and a dry spring in South Dakota resulted in expected
yields of 2 bushels per acre less than a year ago. However, development of the crop continued
well ahead of normal.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED 5 YIELD 8 PRODUCTION

:
1979 = 1980 1980 ¢
: BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
:
ARIZ 70 155 198 80.0 8140 5e250 12,400 16,038
CALIF ot 45 100 165 78.0 34600 7,800
MINN " 120 135 28.0 2,849 3,360
MONT 325 400 475 19,0 6,825 7,600
N OAK of 3,250 34850 4,450 19,0 31,0 © 84,500 73,150
SUAK 165 215 “ees 19.0 23.0 3,630 4,085
us + 3,932 4,840 5,648 = 27,1 22.4 3349 106,654 108,395 191,193

1 AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELO

PRODUCTION

1
1980 t 1981 ¢

BUSHELS.

1,000 BUSHELS

coLo 60.0 59.0 2,624 2,700 2,360
IDAHO 69,0 69,0 38,440 38,295
MINN 32.5 37,0 85,750 122,100
MONT 22.5 27.0 © 52,275 74,250
NEV 60.0 50.0 650 800
4 DAK 18.5 31.0 © 165,095 223,200
ORES 36.0 © 38.0 9,310 1370
5 OAK 18,0 22.0 45,980 49,500
UTAH asso alo 49 1,410
aASH 42.0 40,0 1400 8,800
wI8 31,0 31,0 528 68
ayo 20 14 rf 18,0 22.0 480 ase 20a
us + 15,095 14,639 Ahy516 2842-2543 5149 AREY ITZ ~— 370,020 526,217

RYE

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

BUSHELS
couo 5 20.0 © 20.0 100 120 100
vet 3 29.0 31,0 72 87 93
Ga 110 21,0 26,0 2,310 1,995 2,600
TUL 17 23,0 25.0 301 368 350
INO 8 26.0 26.0 208 162 208
Towa 5 30,0 30.0 145 150 150
KANS 18 21,0 © 20,0 50a 210 180
ky 4 24,0 © 25,0 96 ic 100
MD 7 27,0 © 5060 203 216 2a0
MICH 25 24.0 26,0 625 50a aga
MINN a1 25.0 © 2740 2275 14900 2,268
"a 8 23,0 25.0 18a 115 150
NEBR 35 18.0 16.0 770 468 498
J 10 27,0 26,0 250 216 286
wy 10 32.0 33.0 320 288 297
NC 20 20.0 © 19.0 460 400 380
N DAK 150 21,0 29,0 4,200 1,470 2,320
OHIO 5 33.0 3260 155 231 192
OKLA 35 24.0 © 20.0 910 816 640
OREG 6 25.0 26.0 144 150 156
PA 7 31.0 32,0 459 a3a 352
sc 29 22.0 © 21.0 609 616 651
S_DAK 190 31.9 27.0 5,700 4,030 2,835
Tex 27 1940 17,0 513 49a 459
va 16 25,0 28,0 38a 325 azo
wis 16 23.0 © 22.0 368 368 374
wo 2 20,0 3a 40

us 869 24,5 25,3 22,389 16,265 16,743

J/ ESTIMATES OISCONTINUED AFTER 1960 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CHERRIES.

CROP AND
STATE

CHERRIES, SWEET

CALIF : 34,300 44,000 34,000
TDAHO : 33000 3,100 1,900
MICH : 27,000 29,000 25,000
MONT : 2,950 700 1,800
NY : 4,200 5,100 2,400
OREG : 38,000 33,000 31,000
PA 2/ : 730 700 400
uTAR : 4,200 4,100 5,000
WASH : 67,600 52,000 32,000
us 181,980 171,700 133,500

MILLION POUNDS

CHERRIES, TART
COLO 2/ 3 1
MICH 2/ 2 100.
NY 2/ : 27.
OREG : 3.

PA 2/ 3 6.

: 7
4

UTAR
WIS 2/

1/_ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE: US SWEET CHERRIES (TONS), 1979-150. 1980-5,400; U
3 TART CHERRIES (MILLION POUNDS), 1980-1.9. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER

FORECAST.

PAPAYAS - HAWALT

FORECAST

1,000 POUNDS

MAY : 2,970 3,090 2,035 2,040 4,090 4,950

JUN > 3,085 3,140 2,035, 2,065 4,012 5,900

JUL : 2,955 1,895 4,016 5,120

AUG : 3,000 1,925 33497 5,080

SEP : 3,040 1,920 5,009 5,900
: 1,950

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF ACREAGE PLANTED BY TYPE
OF POTATOES, 11 MAJOR STATES, 1981 CROP

“Lf PREDOMINANT TYPE SHOWN MAY INCLUDE SMALL PORTION OF OTHER TYPE(S) CONSTITUTING LESS THAN 5 PERCENT
UF STATE'S TOTAL.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF JULY 1 PROUUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based on acreage surveys conducted around June 1
and yield surveys conducted around July 1. The acreage estimates published in the June 29
Acreage Report and used in this report include acres already planted at the time of the survey
and acreage intended for planting tater. Because of an unusually wet spring in Ohio and Indiana,
planted and harvested acreages of corn and soybeans have been revised from those published in the
dune Acreage Report. These changes are based on surveys conducted in these two States, during
the last part of June. Adjustments have been made in a few State's small grain harvested acreage
based on changing crop conditions. Further acreage changes may be made in the August Crop
Production Report based on surveys conducted in Tate July.

The July 1 yield surveys include mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field
observations in wheat fields. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield
information for crops on their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided
small plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample of wheat fields. These
surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys.
More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future weather effects
and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report the
"Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the July 1 production
forecast and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the most recent twenty-year period; the square root of this average
becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made
concerning expected errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end-of-season
estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those
influencing recent years. For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 corn for
grain forecast is 9.1 percent. This means that chances are about 2 out of 3 that the current
Production forecast of 7116 million bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by
more than 9.1 percent or approximately 648 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent
confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 15.7 percent or approximately 1117 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the
duly 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the
duly 1 forecasts and the final estimate for the previous 10 years in which July 1 corn forecasts
were made have averaged 510 million bushels, ranging from 3 mittion to 1276 million bushels.
During the 10 years, the July 1 forecast was below the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times.

RELIABILITY OF JULY 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS 1/

ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE

CROP AND NUMBER OF YEARS

UNIT

QUANTITY

CORN FOR GRAIN 1,276 5 5
OATS 92 5 5
BARLEY 72 6 4
ALL WHEAT 143 5 5
WINTER 54 6 4
DURUM 19 4 6
OTHER SPRING 97 6 4

1/ ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR DERIVED FROM 1961-80 DATA EXCEPT CORN, 1957-70 AND 1975-80; TEN YEAR
DIFFERENCE IS BASED ON 1971-80 EXCEPT CORN, 1967-70 AND 1975-80.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


REVISED CORN AND SOYBEAN ACREAGES
AS OF JULY 1, 1981

Revised corn and soybean acreage for Ohio and Indiana are shown in the tables below.
Planting delays, caused by wet weather, were particularly pronounced in these two States.
Because of this, many inquiries summarized for the June “Acreage” report were based on more than
the usual degree of intentions. The data shown below are based on follow-up surveys conducted
during the latter part of June. Further update surveys will be conducted in several States in
Tate July. Updated planted and harvested acreage based on these surveys will be released in the
"Crop Production" report of August 12, 1981.

CORN PLANTED
(REVISED JULY 1, 1981)

AREA PLANTED

STATE
ALAS 2 520 580
ARTZ t . 3S 45
ARK 60 65
CALIF 3 aso 460
coLo 3 970 1,020
CONN z 36 37
OL 190 196
FLA a10 ast
6A 1,600 1,600

TOAHO
Tee
IND

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 198) B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED YIELD z PRODUCTION

1980 =
BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
36.0 60,0 30,622 14,580 31,200
100.0 110.0 5,175 4,000 34300
28,0 60.0 2,030 1,036 2,520
135,90 130,0 30,420 36,450 35,750
118.0 © 125.0 96,520 89,680 103-750

72,0 100.0 16,218 12,740 18,300
47,0 50.0 17,967 15,416 18,250
42.0 54,0 100,750 54,600 76,300
94,0 92,0 4,400 4,700 4,876
93,0 113,0 17¢414,400 1,065,780 1,276,900
9640 82,0 675,360 602,880 492,000
110.0 107.0 1,663,700 1,463,000 1,444,500
94,0 105,0 171,990 116,560 136,500
70.0 85,0 132,600 103,600 130,050
46,0 66,0 2,214 1,380 1,848

72.0 100.0 $8,905 46,080 66,000
95.0 95,0 237,500 247,000 266,000

97,0 00,0 606,000 610,130 670,000
28.0 62.0 5,720 2,404 8,060
53.0 90.0 239,990 109,710 180,000
74.0 75.0 770 592 675
85.0 97,0 622,250 603,500 669,300
N
N 75.0 83,0 6,550 7,725 10,375
N 85.0 95,0 66 7,225 7,600
NY : 650 730 800 9340 93.0 59,800 67,890 74,400
nc ' 1,690 1-730 1,830 60.0 75.0 128,440 103,800 137,250
N DAK t 313 290 450 58.0 78,0 23,788 16,820 35,100
OHIO : 3,630 3,900 3,800 115.0 113.0 85.0 417,450 440,700 323,000
OKLA t 75 75 65 110.0 70.0 80.0 8,250 5,250 5,200
OREG + 12 iw 15 105.0 106.0 115.0 17260 1,166 1,725
PA wi 1,260 1,260 1,330 95.0 75.0 93.0 121,600 96,000 123,690
RI :
sc ‘ 509 515 570 80.0 48.0 60.0 40,720 24,720 34,200
S DAK : 2,850 2,300 2,300 74,0 53.0 55.0 210,900 121,900 126,500
TENN z 620 640 660 2500 45.0 80.0 52,700 28,800 52,800
TEX : 1,260 17300 1,250 105.0 90.0 105,0 132,300 117,000 131,250
UTAH v : 16 15 15 94,0 100.0 97.0 1,504 1,500 SS
vT 3
vA : 615 595 600 83.0 55,0 83.0 51,045 32,725 49,800
WASH t oT 94 100 123.0 120,0 120.0 11,931 11,280 12,000
WeVA 3 so 56 63 89,0 89,0 90,0 S,251 5,162 5,670
WIS ’ 3,080 3,350 3,500 103.0 104,0 98,0 317,240 348,400 343,000
3 2,523 3,589 2,975

7,938,819 6,647,534 Tyit

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE,

CRAP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

1980: 1981

: HECTARES METRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN : 29 567 060 30 025 170 5.71 6.02 168 855 140 180 756 480
OATS : 3496 520 3 947 350 1.90 1.94 6 641 940 7 665 610
BARLEY : 2927 120 3 634 120 2.67 2.87 7 806 370 10 416 740
ALL WHEAT : 28 673 500 32 674 270 2.25 2.34 64 491 740 76 478 440

WINTER : 20.790 540 23 704 720 2.48 2.40 51 471 420 54 801 400 56 953 740

DURUM : 1958 700 2 285 690 1.51 2.28 2 950 03 5 203 420

OTHER SPRING : 5924 260 6 683 860 1.70 2.14 10 070 290 14 321 280
RYE : 268 710 268 310 1.54 1,59 413 150 425 290
POTATOES :

SUMMER : 36 420 38 200 21.14 23.58 770 060 900 780

FALL V/ : 397 080 421.970 30.22 12 001 720

TOTAL 1/ 3 467 540 496 680 29.20 33 653 330
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO :

TYPES 11-14 : 223 310 215 210 2.21 2.24 492 640 481 690
APPLES, COM'L : 4 004 470 3 654 800
BLUEBERRIES : 15 900 16 190 2.93 2.96 46 600 48 000
PEACHES 2/ : 1394 150-1 315 680 1-309 330
PEARS : 810 840 773-190
SWEET CHERRIES 3/ : 185 760 126 010 121 130
TART CHERRIES 37 : 98 930 64 360 65 270
APRICOTS ~ : 107 950 97 520 97 700
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 174 630 190 510 181 440
PLums (CALIF) : 145 150 163 290 163 290
ORIED PRUNES (CALIF) =: 152 410 140 610 140 610
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 146 060 181 440 204 120
WALNUTS. : 178 720 195 040
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ : 1979-80 1980-81 1980-81

ORANGES: ~ : 10 74 160 9 286850 9 427 460

GRAPEFRUIT : 2708 850 2 492 040 2 508 370

LEMONS 715 770 1 085 900 1 085 900

1/ YiELD AND PRODUCTION FOR 1981 TO BE RELEASED OCT 9, 1983. 2/ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS
FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN METRIC TONS: “1980 - 51 260. 3/ ESTIMATES IN JUN 1
COLUMN INCLUDE FORECAST IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES AS OF JUN 15. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE
FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENOS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CHANGES IN COMMODITY COVERAGE

Commodity coverage is reviewed periodically because of changing importance of crops
at the State level. As a result of a recent review, the following changes have been
made:

Estimates discontinued: Alfalfa seed - North Dakota; Barley - Illinois, New York, Ohio
and Tennessee; Flaxseed - Texas; Red Clover Seed - Nebraska; Rye - Wyoming; Sorghum -
Pennsylvania; Soybeans - New York; Sugarbeets ~- Washington; Sweetpotatoes ~ Arkansas;
and Tobacco - Alabama.

Estimates started: Spearmint - Oregon.

Change from full to limited estimates: Under the limited estimates program, data for

‘@ particular crop in a State(s) are obtained only for the season's first monthly fore-
cast. This estimate is carried forward each month until the end of the season when
final data are collected and published in the appropriate “Small Grains" report or “Crop
Production - Annual Summary". Forecasts for sugarbeets in Utah, published in “Crop Pro-
duction“ released August 12, 1981, will be based on survey indications. Estimates pub-
lished for Utah in other months will be carried forward from the August 12 publication.

Changes from limited to full estimates: Winter wheat - Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi,
South Carolina and Virginia; Corn - Alabama, South Carolina, Tennessee and New York;
Soybeans - South Dakotas and Ory Edible Beans - Minnesota. Estimates for these crops
in the States specified will be based on current survey indications each month during
the forecast season.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


+ PRODUCTION 1/7

t TOTAL 7 TOTAL % INO

+ 1979 1980
+ TONS
PEARS BARTLETT .
CALIF Py 355,000 387,000 360,000
OREG 2 85,000 80,000 90,000
WASH 3 153,000 143,000 135,000
TOTAL 3 593,000 610,000 565,000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT t
CALIF 2 9,800 10,700 11,000
ORES 2 120,000 1205000 115,000
WASH z 93,000 113,000 100,000
TOTAL z 222,800 243,700 226,000
ALL PEARS 3
CALIF : 364,800 397,700 371,000
coLo : 4,600 44600 74000
CONN : 1,500 1,500 1,650
MICH 3 97000 10,000 9,000
NY : 18,000 17,500 16,000
OREG : 205,000 205,000
PA : 3,100 3,800
UTAH 7 2,700 3,000 3,800
WASH t 246,000 256,000 235,000
us 3 854,700 893,800 852,250

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE,
(TONS)? U S 1979=500,

MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE I eeemmen earn ne tcwn nnn n em em ern nnn ee ne ne tenn nn nena eens eeeneoenes
2 TOTAL z TOTAL : IND
3 1979 3 1980 Hy 1981
t TONS
PLUMS of
CALIF t 175,000 160,000 180,000
PRUNES (ORIED BASIS) ef
CALIF t 136,000 166,000 155,000
GRAPES TABLE TYPE :
Cc. . : 417,000 428,000 420,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE :
CALIF ' 1,821,000 2,004,000 1¢800,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE ORIED 1/2
CALIF of 302-300 309,000
GRAPES RAISIN NOT DRIED 3
CALIF oF 944,000 1,080,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE est
CALIF : 2,320,000 27692,000 1,950,000
ALL GRAPES t
CALIF ' 4,558,000 5,124,000 4,170,000
APRICOTS t
CALIF 3 140,000 115,000 105,000
UTAH ' 1,700 17500 14750
WASK $ 2,500 2-500 900
us t 184,200 119,000 107,650
NECTARINES: ’
CALIF 3 172,000 192,500 200,000
WALNUTS 3
CALIF : 208,000 1977000 215,000
: 12000 POUNDS
ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS) '
“CALIF oF 376,000 322-000 450,000

1s DRIED BASISt1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4.55

TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1979 AND 5,22 TONS FOR 1960,
2/ FRESH EQUIVALENT OF DRIED AND NOT DRIED.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1987 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD. SRS. USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

INDICATED

CROP AND
UNIT

1,000 ACRES 1,000

CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 73,061 74,193 91.0 95.9 6,647,534 7,116,069
OATS " : 8,640 9,754 53.0 54.1 457,593 528,118
BARLEY "  : 73233 8,980 49.6 53.3 358,544 478,437
ALL WHEAT ": 70,853 80,739 33.4 34.8 2,369,666 2,810,102

WINTER "51,374 58,575 36.8 35.7 1,891,251 2,013,607 2,092,692

DURUM " : (4,840 5,648 22.4 33.9 108,395 191,193

OTHER SPRING "14,639 16,516 25.3 31.9 370,020 526,217
RYE “oy 664 663 24.5 25.3 16,265 16,743
POTATOES :

SUMMER CWT: 90.0 94.4 189 210 16,977 19,859

FALL 1/ oy 981.2 1,042.7 270 264,594

TOTAL 1/ " : 4,155.3 1,227.3 261 301,006
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO :

TYPES 11-14 LB: 551.8 531.8 1,968 1,997 1,086,084 1,061,950
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT : B 84
APPLES, COM'L LB: 8,828, 400 8,057,500
BLUEBERRIES wy 39.3 40.0 2,617 2,647 102,735 105,820
PEACHES 3/ mos 3,073,600 2,900,600 2,886, 600
PEARS TON: 893.8 852.3
SWEET CHERRIES 4/ "3 W7 138.9 133.5
TART CHERRIES 47 LB: 218,100 141,900 143,900
APRICOTS TON: 119.0 107.5 107.7
NECTARINES (CALIF) "oy 192.5 210.0 200.0
PLUMS (CALIF) wo 160.0 180.0 180.0
ORIED PRUNES (CALIF) “ : 168.0 155.0 155.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) iB: 322,000 400,000 450,000
WALNUTS TON: 197.0 215.0
CITRUS FRUITS 5/ 3 1979-80 1980-81 1980-81
“ORANGES BOX : 273,830 238,700 242, 100

GRAPEFRUIT "o; 73,200 67,400 68,000

LEMONS “ 20,750 31,500 31,500

1/_ Y{ELO AND PRODUCTION FOR 1981 TO BE RELEASED OCT 9, 1981. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF
FIRST OF MONTH, THE 1970-79 AVERAGE IS 82 PERCENT, 3/ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA
CuINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS: 1980 - 113, 000. 4/ ESTIMATES IN JUN 1 COLUMN INCLUDE
FORECAST IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES AS OF JUN 15. 5/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND
ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on
selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting
Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

APPROVE O: CROP REPORTING BOARD:

W. E. Kibler, Chairman,

G. L. Clampet, Secretary,
D. W. Barrowman, R. L. Schulte,
R. P. Small, . C. Ranek,

(e BGL. W. R. Blackson, J. S. Buche,

R. O. Fenley, G. H. Howse,
C. 0, James, 0. C. Johnson,
B. F. Klugh, dr., R. W. Milton,
G. A. Nelson, C. A. Ouzts,

V. Tolomeo..

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP AREA HARVESTED 3 PRODUCTION
AND lencerewnceennes ~
STATE 3 : IND
: 1979 3 1960 2 1979 1980 1981
ee eenewecenn anne. serencsaneesemerenenaneneneaccescs
1,000 ACRES cwr 1,000 CwT
WINTER 3
TOTAL, st 11.9 11.5 11.8 200 «205 9 214 2,383 2,363 2,530
SPRING 3
TOTAL iss 83.7 72.6 78.4 255 235 265 21,348 17,072 20,752
:
SUMMER :
ALA : 9.1 170 so 150 1,530 a7s 1,365
CALIF : 8.0 350 «365 365 2,695 2,774 = 2, 920
coLo t 6.8 275 275 270 1,898 1,595 1,836
EL : 5.2 220 190 200 14188 969 = 1,040
LU z 2.1 235 230 240 470 414 504
IND : 166 160 160 160 288 240 256
TOWA : 1.3, 210 2300 240 231 322 312
MO t 1.9 165 170 180 261 306 342
MICH : 8.3 180 195 195 1,548 1,619 = 1,619
MINN 2 6.1 285 290 245 1,796 1,566 = 1,739
NEBR 3 1.1 180.200 180 270 260 198
NJ 3 8.1 250 240 265 2,125 1,968 = 2,147
N MEX 4,0 275 180.205 1,210 820
nc 4.0 120 110 115 468 460
OHTO 1.2 210 220, 200 294 240
TENN 3.l 105 10 105 347 326
TEX 6.5 240 200 230 2,616 1,495
vA 16,0 135 110 140 2,592 2,240
TOTAL 94,0 ant 189 210. 21,847 = 16,977 19,859
FALL a
CALIF 17.2 18,0 370 © 370 6,369 6, 438
coLo 39.5 39,0 290 © 300 11,455 10,950
CONN aot 2.0 220 225 462 405
TOAHO*#10 Sw CO 30.0 24,0 335 = 340 10,050 7,820
OTHER CO 300.0 301.0 250 © 255 75,000 70,635
IND 4.2 2.5 255 220 1,071 726
MAINE 113.0 104,0 245 240 27,685 24,960
MASS 3.4 3.3 220 220 748 748
MICH 32.0 31.0 250 235 8,000 7,403
MINN 68.0 69.0 © 190 155 12,920 9,920
MONT 765 7.4 240 © 250 1,600 1,725
NEBR 5.7 7.6 260 260 1.482 1,876
NEV 15.0 41,0 3300340 4,950 4,420
N YeLONG IS 21.8 18.3 295 235 6,431
UPSTATE 23.5 25.5 275 aso 6,463
N DAK 114.0 115.0 © 160 140 18,240
oHTO 10.0 9.3 240 «205 2,400
OREG=MALHEUR CO 1340 10.0 370 365 4,810
20THER CO 50.0 43.0 410 435 20,500
PA 24.0 21,0 250 190 6,000
RI 3.3 3.2 230 © 230 759
S DAK 6.5 et 185 160 1,203
UTAH 5.5 S.2 250 220 1,375
vt 7 o7 210 © 200 147
WASH 102.0 108.0 475 505 48,450
wis 54.0 $2.0 315 320 17,010
wyo 5.2 5.4 22000235 1,144
TOTAL 1,07141 98142 1,042.7 277-270 296,919 264,594
us 2/3 1,270.3 1,155.3 1,227.3 270 261 342,497 301,006

1/ ESTIMATE FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ YIELD AND PROOUCTION FOR 1961 TO BE RELEASED OCTOBER 9%, 1961.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEARS: The U.S. pear crop is forecast at 852 thousand tons (773 thousand metric tons), 5 percent
less than last year and fractionally below 1979.

BARTLETT tonnage in California, Oregon and Washington is forecast at 585 thousand tons (531
thousand metric tons), a decrease of 4 percent from a year ago and 1 percent less than 1979.
Quality and size appear good in California as the acreage continues its downward trend. Cool
weather and poor pollination reduced prospects in Washington.

Production of pears QTHER THAN BARTLETTS in the Pacific Coast States is forecast at 226
thousand tons (205 thousand metric tons), a 7 percent reduction from last year but 1 percent
more than the 1979 crop. Pollination problems reduced the crop in Oregon and Washington.

The New York and Michigan crops were damaged by spotty spring frost. The crop is sizing
nicely and growing conditions are good in New York.

GRAPES: The California grape crop is expected to be 4.17 million tons (3.78 million metric

tons), down 19 percent from the 1980 record high crop and down 9 percent from 1979. Ex-
tremely hot, dry weather reduced production of table grapes in the Coachella Valley and has
caused a slight reduction in the remainder of the State. However, the quality of table grapes is
good, The condition of raisin grapes varies greatly and bunch counts appear to be generally
down. Hot weather has retarded sugar formation and reduced the juice content of some berries
which has caused concern among wine grape growers.

SWEET CHERRIES: The U.S. sweet cherry crop is forecast at 134 thousand tons (121 thousand metric

tons), down 22 percent from 1980 and 27 percent from 1979. Production is down
in all States except Utah where an average crop is expected and Montana which realized a very
poor crop in 1980. The Pacific Coast States expect to harvest 97.0 thousand tons compared with
129 thousand tons harvested in 1980. Rains, during June, caused cherries to be lost in all three
Pacific Coast States because of splitting. As a result of the losses, Washington and Oregon
forecasts are lower than a month earlier. Production prospects improved in Michigan during June
and the production forecast was raised 2000 tons from the mid-June report. However, production
in Michigan is still forecast to be 14 percent below the 1980 crop.

TART CHERRIES: Production of tart cherries in the U.S. is expected to be 144 million pounds

(65.3 thousand metric tons), 34 percent below last year and 16 percent below the
1979 crop. The Great Lake States expect to harvest nearly 123 million pounds which is a 38
percent drop from 1980 and a 17 percent decrease from 1979. The Utah forecast, at 15.0 million
pounds, is up 2 million pounds from June 1.

APRICOTS: The U.S. apricot crop, forecast at 108 thousand tons (97.7 thousand metric tons), is

up fractionally from last month's forecast but 9 percent less than last year's pro-
duction. The California crop forecast, at 105 thousand tons, is unchanged from last month but 9
percent below the 1980 crop. Quality is excellent and the quantity of off-grade fruit is low.
Hot weather during early June caused a reduction in size and a larger than usual proportion of
the crop will be diverted to processing. Harvest is a week to ten days earlier than normal. The
crop in Utah is estimated at 1750 tons, 17 percent above last year. WaShington's crop, at 900
tons, is down 64 percent from last year due to poor pollination and some frost damage this
spring. Also, fruit development was hampered by cool temperatures during June.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine crop is forecast at a record 200 thousand tons (181 thou-
sand metric tons), down 5 percent from last month's forecast but 4 percent above
last year's crop. Harvest of early season varieties is active and quality is excellent.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California prune production is forecast at 155 thousand tons (141 thousand

metric tons), unchang@d from last month and 8 percent less than last year.
The recent hot weather caused some sunburn damage in the northern Sacramento Valley but there is
no apparent cracking problem.

The California plum crop is forecast at a record 180 thousand tons (163 thousand metric
tons), the same as last month and up 13 percent from last year. The harvest of early season
plums is complete and the mid-season plum harvest is rapidly approaching completion. Quality is
good on both early and mid-season varieties.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS PLANTED
(REVISED JULY 1, 1981)

AREA PLANTED

STATE Lemna rene wen seen n nen e nner cna en en en newt mn ner none nsenneeenee

z 1979 t 1980 : 1981

: 1,000 ACRES

:
ALA : 2.200 2250 2,100
ARK : 54200 4,800 4,550
DEL : 260 265 265
FLA : 460 475 47s
GA 2 24150 2,450 2,300
TLL : 9,800 9,300 9,050
IND : 4,500 4,400 4,600
TOWA + 8,200 8,300 8,200
KANS 3 14580 1,550 1,600
Ky : 1,720 1,650 1,750
tA t 3,400 39450 3,180
MD : alo 400 365
MICH 3 1,020 960 950
MINN : 59150 4,800 4,500
MISS 3 45200 4,000 3,800
“Oo 2 5.900 5,700 5,650
NEBR : 1,630 1,630 2,150
NJ : 205 200 170
wy lf 26 20
ne 3 2,000 2,030 1,920
N DAK : 210 210 225
OHIO 3 4,100 3,800 3,550
OKLA z 390 350 280
PA z 101 a2 105
sc 3 1,700 14700 1,600
8 OAK t 700 780 780
TENN 3 2,700 2,650 2,450
TEX t 860 700 700
vA g 540 620 645
wis t 300 335 380
us : 71,632 70,087 68,690

J/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1981 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA