ALL WHEAT

YIELD

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED
7

1
7
$

7 TRO 7 “IND
1977 + 1978 ¢ 1979 1977 + 1978 § 1979 & 1977 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979
— Ts000 ACRES BUSRELS 19000 BUSHELS

90
140

26)
669461

65
138
300
ns

29444

28

de
220

19295
930
als

SS

109200
195
wv

294
569839

9s
ya)
430
625
20600
30

160
19490

2600
72.0
3940
64.5
2208
3060
2900
3360
4266
4320
45.0
3700
2868
3760
3400
3600
4000
3906
34ed
3900
2509
3560
5507
3160
2165
3900
3000
2408
4700
2760
3807
33-0
2940
2369
3660
2500
2301
3160
3369
3160
9160
20.0
3066

2660
7000
3700
6

3260

2700

3160
6000
4100
2920
4000
3500
2703
48.0
3960
43.0
3500
3300
1967
3400
3060
29.5
36.0
3764
3400
3506

29520
109080
259740
439700
579225

19690
99660
129100
450825
570268
19008
432
39860
749730
359340
319785
10705
3060000
69625

1469050
619600
19540
10168
50662
29625
59940

9875,
245+800
519925
6.085
2957
669600
79700
541000
59599
50425
1339980
297
10560

4359530
80+600

4339500
S616
69660

1149200

340
19924

22.0 5+620 79606 69534
3368 2903693168 197989712 201030177

1/ ESTIMATES OISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


duct 1 n the nine Southern States is forecast at 634 million pounds, virtually the same
as rect wantheand 7 percent above last year. The South Carolina crop continues to look good, 4
with excellent size and quality. Harvest fs one to two weeks ahead of last year. Relatively ry
weather in Georgia has not reduced crop prospects, with 62 percent of the crop harvested y h
duly 1. Harvest is complete in South Texas, and now is active in the hill country. A a ough
Virginia and.West Virginia crops are iin good condition, prospects have declined and coo ee er
has delayed harvest. Light harvest is getting underway in New Jersey, and the crop is sizing
well in Pennsylvania where moisture has been abundant.

PEARS: The U.S. pear crop is forecast at 785 thousand tons (712 thousand metric tons), 8 percent
above last year’s crop but slightly below 1977.

Bartlett tonnage in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 539 thousand tons (489
thousand metric tons), 15 percent more than last year. The California crop is sizing well and
early shipments should begin in mid-July. Thinning and irrigating are active in Oregon.
Washington's crop continues to grow well, and both quality and fruit size appear excellent.

Production of pears other than Bartletts in the Pacific Coast States is initially forecast
at 200 thousand tons (181 thousand metric tons), 8 percent below last year's total, but 3 percent
greater than 1977. Growing conditions have been good in all three States.

The New York crop is sizing nicely. Fruit set was good in Pennsylvania, but drop has been
heavier than normal. Development of the Michigan crop is near normal. In Colorado, poor weather
during pollination reduced fruit set and there was a heavy fruit drop, but the crop is expected
to be more than triple last year's freeze-damaged crop.

GRAPES: The California grape crop is expected to total a record 4.52 million tons (4.10 million

metric tons), 13 percent above last year's previous record, and 13 percent above the crop
of 1977. Coachella Valley table grape harvest began the last week of May. Vines are in excellent
condition. A record large wine grape crop is expected, due mainly to new bearing acreage plus
outstanding weather conditions. There is a large set and vines are in excellent condition. The
raisin grape crop is also in excellent condition with bunches developing well.

SWEET CHERRIES: The U.S. sweet cherry crop is forecast at 177 thousand tons (160 thousand metric
tons), 14 percent more than last year's production and 20 percent above 1977.

The three Pacific Coast States expect to harvest 132 thousand tons, compared with 109 thousand

tons last year. In California, the set was heavy thus reducing size on much of the crop. Quality

was good early in the season but deteriorated toward the end. In Washington, quality is reported

excellent. In Michigan, harvest started in late June. A severe winter coupled with spring

freezes lowered prospects from last year.

TART CHERRIES: Production of tart cherries in the U.S. is expected to total 167 million pounds

(75.8 thousand metric tons), 8 percent below last season and 213 percent less than
the 1977 crop. The crop in the Great Lakes States at 147 million pounds is off 11 percent from a
year ago

APRICOTS: The U.S. apricot crop, forecast at 145 thousand tons (131 thousand metric tons), is

; __ unchanged from last month but is 15 percent above last year's production. The
California crop is placed at 140 thousand tons, 14 percent above last year. Fruit sizes are
generally good, with above average quality. In Utah, the crop is estimated at 2000 tons compared
with 600 tons last season. Weather has been ideal for development of the crop. In Washington

growers are expecting to pick 2700 tons, the same as last year. Fruit is large with excellent
quality.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine crop of 185 thousand tons (168 thousand metric tons) is 25
percent above last year's production. Harvest is lagging behind last year, but fruit
is developing normally and sizing well.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


APPLES» COMMERCIAL

’ PROOUCTION ' PRODUCTION

crop 1 POUNOS t 42 LG» EQUIVALENT

AND 1 TOTAL 2/ Ss INDICATED! TOTAL SINDICATED

STATE tg 1 19 41979 ft 977 t9Te it _—i979

t MILCTON UNITS 19000 UNITS
ALL COMMERCIAL APPLES +

ARK 1 2660 13,0 2000 $72 320 476
CaLir a 48000 50020 52500 119429 119905 129500
COLO ’ 7500 4520 100.0 19786 19071 2938)
CONN 1 4600 50.0 4600 1,095 19190 19095
DEL 1 1365 14.5 13.0 321 345
Ga ' 22.0 2260 33.0 S24 524
TDAHO 3 8520 130.0 125.0 29024 39095
TLL 1 108.0 89.0 10240 20571 20119
IND ’ 5200 6420 80.0 10236 19524
towa ' 1007 1160 255 2i2
KANS : 1660 15.0 381 238
KY 1 22.0 2160 524 357
MAINE ’ 9200 78.0 29190 10786
MD s 7000 8320 19667 29024
MASS t 9500 10340 2262 29500
MICH ’ 57060 72060 139571 219905
MINN ’ 19.9 1960 44 667
MO 1 58.0 63.0 15381 952
NH + 58.0 6000 15381 19429
NJ t 13060 120.0 3,095 20143
N MEX t 25.0 17.0 595 405
NY a 90060 1100020 210429 259714
Nc : 27000 350.0 6429 70714
OHn10 ' 6560 120.0 19548 39333
OREG 3 34700 14060 34500 3038)
PA ’ 46000 51500 10,952 99526
R1 ' 5.5 605 131 143
sc ' 2500 29.0 595 524 699
TENN ' 1060 1060 238 190 233
UTan 1 4700 5460 19119 833 19286
vt ‘ 4760 50.0 19167
vA ' 290.0 480.0 119548
WASH t 2908300 29300.0 519667
Wova ’ 19560 26000 79738
wIs : 5600 66 56.0 33 1eS71 33
us $ 6967256 7963304 7972405 158987) 1819748 1839916

17 IN ORCHAROS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES.
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTIUN AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS) UNITED STATES 1977°29.691978-S2e2e

BLUEBERRIES
AREA HARVESTED : YIELO : PRODUCTION
STATE = +
IND : IND 3__I0TAL 17: IND
178 agg 98 gg TH 979
‘ACRES POUNDS T, 000° POUNDS
MAINE 2/ 14,800 14,800 1,220 880 18,100 13,000
MICH Z 8,000 8,400 2,820 3,810 22,500 32,000
Nd : 7,800 7,800 2,860 3,000 22,308 23,400
NC 3/ : 3,400 3,400 2,310 2,090 7,850 7,110
ORES : 450 500 5,000 5,800 2,250 2,900
WASH : 800 800 6,030 5,900 5,03) 4,720
us : 35,250 35,700 2,214 2,329 78,039 83,130

7 TRCCUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (000 POUNDS): US 207. ~
2/ 1978 REVISED. 3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PROSPECTS*
JULY 1,1979

CROP PROSPECTS*
JULY 1, 1978

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979

A-5

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

STATE 4 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO t PRODUCTION
i ? + IND ¢ 3 ¢ IND ¢ t ’ IND
t 1977 3 1978 4 1979 1 1977 1 1978 t 197914 1977 3 1978 4 1979
D T9000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
7
ALA ’ 6S 95 28.0 2600 2700 29520 19690 29565
ARIZ ’ 47 se 7260 7060 7860 39960 39290 49524
ARK : 300 430 39.0 3740 3400 259740 119100 149620
CALIF ot 600 780 64.0 6260 7060 419600 = 379200 544600
coLo : 29400 20550 22.0 2340 2640 560100 559200 664300
DEL t 28 30 3060 3 3760 19050 19008 ys1l0
FLA 1st 12 29.0 377 432
GA 1 120 160 3360 3260 3540 39300 37860 5600
IOAHO tt als 870 3940 4340 329370 = 449010 = 37 9410
ILL 1 930 49300 43.0 4000 679510 359340 520000
IND t als 945 4540 46.0 559800 310785 = 439470
TOWA 1 55 72 ©3740 35.0 49033 10705 29520
KANS : 109200 109700 2865 3600 3449850 = 3069000 = 3859200
KY ' 195 290 37.0 36.0 109138 69825 100440
La t wv 25 34.0 28.0 850 612 700
MO ' 108 114-360 37.0 49320 39996 4218
MICH ’ 450 770 = 4040 41.0 33,000 189000 3146570
MINN t 58 54 3340 31.0 39465 82 19676
MISS : 65 115 34.0 32.0 39570 15 39680
Mo 1 B40 19600 3940 38.0 6B, 640 60 = 60 B00
MONT t 29700 29350 2900 28.0 819200 839700 = 654.800
NEBR a 29850 29600 35.0 31.0 1035250 1s600 = 809600
NEV ' a 13° 6040 7000 960 715 910
NJ ’ 33 39 eo 4160 19302 19188 14599
NMEX 1 298 367 2160 29.0 BrB41 59662 109643
NY ' 7s 162 3940 40.0 69825 29625 60480
NC cy 180 205 3000 3500 62000 S940 ITS
N DAK 4 135 105 23.0 24.0 20392 25520
OHIO 1 1125 19320 4740 48.0 724380 634360
OKLA ‘ 59400 59700 2700 3800 1759500 , 2169600
OREG 1 19100 970-3940 45.0 459240 432650
Pa ' 270 245 262 3340 3500 8910 99170
sc 1 95 Te 100 2960 3360 20755 39300
SOAK ot 680 700 600 2520 2260 179000 139200
TENN ’ 280 220 270 3640 34.0 109080 99180
TEX ' 41700 29700 49450 2560 30.0 1179500 1339500
UTAH 4 180 167 167-2360 28.0 49140 49676
vA 1 205 155 185 3140 35-0 3640 69355 67660
WASH y 29800 29600 29270 3440 4740 4000 = 959200 909800
weVA 1 10 9 10-3160 3360 34 310 340
wis + 60 33 38-4340 3600 36.0 29580 Aviea 194ae
wyo ' 260 275 280 20.0 2600 2200 59z00 50 60160
us 1485664 389909 439421 3166 3201 3509 195379113 192469272 195609768

1¢ ESTIMATES OISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

1yTe
Ly??
1978
1979 -1/

T7 TOT eATED Gar Ty 1999

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-5

wee aT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES.

1 HARD
WHITE 3 WED

14000 BUSHELS:

2679528 419227 1340916 361396 291620362
1949515 3979603 799966 226638 2r0360a18
2119901 3790390 aTe722 197980712

1 1664735

201010177

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Vv

PRODUCTION ' PRODUCTION
CROP BOXES. $ TON EQUIVALENT
AND UTILIZED VINDICATED? UTILIZED HINDICATED
STATE 1976*77 3 1977+78 3 1978-79 $ 1976*77 3 1977"78 $ 3978979

ORANGES PEARLY MID & NAVEL 37,
ARIZ a
CALIF
FLA
TEX “af
us .

ORANGES» VALENCIA
ARIZ
CALIF
FLA
TEX ca

us
ALL ORANGES
TEX a

RAPEFRUET WHITE SEEOLESS
SrAPEFRUTTs PINK SEEDLESS
omen GRAPEFRUIT

FLA
ALL GRAPEFRUIT

ARIZ

CALIF
DESERT
OTHER AREAS
TOTAL
FLA
TEX as

us
TANGERINES

ARIZ LA
CALIF af

a
1
t
s
t
3
‘
a
'
+
1
t
:
:
.
$
’
’
’
’
’
1
’
7
a
s
1’
‘
t
‘
'
’
‘
Y
1
t
1
’
1
‘
t
t
:
:
t
‘
ARIZ ase
+
‘
:
’

v
TANGELOS
FLA

800
251600
1157000
45350
1459750

39150
199700
729800

2429950
30800
294900
129500
99100
39000

49500
30200
7TeT00
51500
129400
749600

650
19820
3300
59770

55000
210000
269000

49800

Ts000 UNITS 27

820
209000
889300

39850
1124970

24900
229000
799500

29250

106s650

39720
42000
1679800
69100
2199620

49900
280700
144300

89408

"29900

49300
39200
79500
519400
120900
735700

700
14500
39200
S400

5e700
209400
269100

49900

700
219500
919000

49200
1179400

2200
164000
735000

29000
939200

29900
374500
164000
65200
2109600

49600
299400
139300

79300

29300

39500
29500
69000
50,000
99000
679300

$50
14250
39500
59300

5500
434700
194200

49200

30
960
Sel7S
18s
69350

18

109546
71
1271
531
387

19000 UNITS

33
750
39974
164
49

109

138
107
24s
2985
476
29999

26

152
234

217
17S
992

22k

2
806
40095
179
Sel06

83
600
3285

6s
49053

109
19406
79380

264
9159

207
29250
565
310
1%

112
84

196
29125
360
29755

2
a?
166
234

209
$22
730

169

1/4 THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH

TEXAS.
af ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979

THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX? ORANGES@CALIF 6 ARIZ=75¢FLAW904
TEX653 GRAPEFRUIT=CALIF DESERT & ARIZ*64> CALIF
OTHER*679 FLA©8S+ TEX*80? LEMONS=76% TANGELOS &
TEMPLES@905 TANGERINES= CALIF & ARIZ=75» FLA-9S.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONAs EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS» INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

CLASS AND t AREA HARVESTED
TYPE 1977 : 1978 i 1
ACRES

CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED

TYPE 11 OLD AND MIDDLE BELTS:

NC : 160,000 155,000 137,000

VA : 61,000 56,000 :

us : 221,000 211,000 192,000

TYPE 12 EASTERN NC BELT :

NC : 177,000 186 ,000 165,000

TYPE 13.N C BORDER &S C BELT :

NC : 46 ,000 49,000 43,000

sc : 68,000 71,000 63,000

US : 114,000 120,000 106 ,000

TYPE 14 GEORGIA-FLORIDA BELT =:

ALA : 550 520 526

FLA : 11,700 10,500 10,500

GA : 65,000 61,000 53,000

US : 77,250 72,020 64,025
TOTAL 11-14 3 589,250 589,020 $27,025

YIELD : PRODUCTION
1977; «1978 =} 1979S; 1977S ss 978 Ss 979
POUNDS T,000 POUNDS

CLASS 1 FLUE-CURED

TYPE 11 OLD AND MIDDLE BELTS

NC : 1,770 1,940 1,850 283,200 300,700 253,450

vA 21,795 1,850 1,800 109,495 103,600 :

us : 1,777 1,916 1,836 392,695 404,300 352,450
TYPE 12 EASTERN N C BELT

NC : (1,955 2,255 2,100 346,035 419,430 346,500
TYPE 13 NC BORDER & S C BELT

NC : 1,995 2,210 2,150 91,770 108,290 92,450

SC > 2,040 2,120 2,100 138,720 180,520 132,300

US : 2,022 2,157 2,120 230,490 258,810 224,750
TYPE 14 GEORGIA-FLORIDA BELT

ALA : : 1,900 1,870 1,850 1,045 972 971

FLA : 2,100 2,100 2,000 24,570 22,050 21,000

GA 2 2,075 2,060 1850 134,875 125,660 98,050

us : 2,078 2,064 1,875 160,490 148,682 ‘120,021
TOTAL 11-14 > 1,917 2,080 1,980 1,129,710 1,231,222 1,043,721

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


oaTs

STATE ' AREA HARVESTED s YIELO 1 PRODUCTION

r t T TROT t TINO T T TNO

t 1977 3 1978 4 1979 + 1977 + _1978 t_ 1979 ¢ 1977 8 1976 ¢ 1979

t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS T9000 BUSHELS

'
ALA : 2s 30 25 4100 4000 3900 1,025 19200 975
ARK ' 50 ss 45 70007300 6000 39500 49015 29700
CALIF ot 106 106 8S 5100 4800 5040 59306 59088 49250
coLo ' 32 40 36 466000 44 19426 19760 19584
Fla 1st 12 4520 540
GA ' 55 6s 59 5000 S300 5440 29750 39445 39186
IDAHO t 45 49 44 57.0 6400 5600 21565 39136 2466
TLL ' 340 275 215 6100S 56.0 200740 15400 229040
Ino ' 150 165 145 5360 S760 79950 8910 89265
IOWA ‘ 19350 19150 19050 6100 58.0 829350 660700 604900
KANS ’ alo 120 1120 4540 4520 99450 42680 59040
KY ’ 9 7 7 3500 4100 31s 294 287
La st 7 54.0 376
MAINE ' 30 36 35 5000 53.0 19500 29376 1988S
Mo : 22 23 22 540 5640 1188 1s262 10232
MICH : 340 360 290 $50 55.0 189700 = - 209520 159950
MING : 29380 19830 19450 6860, S2.0 1619840 989820 759400
MISS 1/8 43 4500 585
MO ’ 145 35 so 5000 46.0 79250 19330 29300
MONT 1 140 208 200 © 4000 4000 $9600 109608 86000
NEBR a 700 450 400 © 5860 50.0 20,000
NEV 1/8 « 5520
Nv ’ 9 8 8 4300 48.0 384
NY 1 290 300 280 5300 61.0 179080
NC 3 in 95 90 4200 55.0 49950
NODAK 2 19500 19220 930 4000 44.0 409920
OHIO ' 420 400 350 5940 67.0 236450
OKLA : 130 95 95 4640 46.0 49370
OREG ‘ 80 0 65 6500 56.0 39640
Pa % 350 340 335 5300 53.0 7075S
sc z 55 7S 63 4600 $2.0 30276
SOAK 1 29450 20210 29000 = S400 45.0 90+000
TENN ’ es es 20 43.0 46.0 920
TEX ' 600 430 400 4060 40.0 16000
UTAN 4 10 12 12 5560 56.0 672
va ' 34 36 35 hed 48.0 19680
WASH ' 35 30 28 = 43406200 5300 19486
wWVA ‘ 12 12 12 4100 4200 4600 552
WIS 1 10170 19120 19000 65.0 5600 54.0 54000
wo 1 4S 9 S50 3810 5600 40 25200
us t 139452 119531 109043 5568 = 5202 = 5008 = 7500901 6019477 = 5094761

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


U.S. WHEAT - JULY 1

FORECAST AS PERCENT OF FINAL PRODUCTION

PERCENT OF FINAL

ug
ne
6 / .,
Py kind
4. ~
Zz + 2
1.
\ 4 q
v ’

sP
wb 1 1 1 L A 1 a

F] R 7) 7% nm @

OURUM WHEAT: Ourum wheat production is forecast at 117 million bushels (3.03 million metric
tons), 17 percent below 1978, but 39 percent above 1977. The decrease in produc-
tion from a year ago is attributed to reduced harvested acres and lower expected yields.

. Yield is forecast at 28.8 bushels per acre, down 4.3 bushels from last year but up 2.4
bushels from 1977.

Area for harvest is estimated at 3.87 million acres (1.56 million hectares), compared with
4.02 ait lton acres (1.63 million hectares) in 1978 and 3.03 million acres (1.22 million hectares)
in 1977,

With a late start in North Dakota, durum development is behind normal. Hot, dry weather in
some of the major producing areas of the north and west caused emergence problems. Only 1 per-
cent was headed on July J, compared with a normal of 20 percent for the date. Adequate moisture
supplies exist in the South Dakota and Minnesota growing areas. Harvest is near completion in
Arizona with higher yields than last year.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production of spring wheat other than durum is forecast at 429 million

bushels (11.7 million metric tons), 3 percent above the 1978 crop and 2
percent above 1977, The larger production is due to the increase in harvested acres. Acres for
harvest is estimated at 15.0 million (6.06 million hectares) compared with 13.9 million acres
(5.63 million hectares) in 1978 and 14.8 million acres (5.98 million hectares) harvested in 1977.
The yield forecast of 28.7 bushels per acre compares with 30.0 bushels Jast year and 28.4 bushels
two years ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP f ' 1} SEASONAL GROUP j 4
AND 1 1978 4 1979 i AND ' 1978 ' 1979
STATE t ‘ us STATE oi t
T Te000 ACRES wv 1 T9000 ACRES
{ im '
WINTER H in 1
4 " 4
Toran ivi 1340 1302 fi MONT ‘
1 uw NEBR ‘
SPRING ' 1) oNev '
' 1] ON YeLONG ISLAND
TOTAL wi 9304 9104 UPSTATE '
' ito DAK '
SUMMER ' (1 oKIO ‘
‘ {1 OREG=MALHEUR CO |
TOTAL we 114? 1ble2 uw OTHER CO t
' 1) pa (
FALL 4 ooRE '
CALIF § 1763 1702 ‘}s paK f
coLo t 3800 40.0 1 tan '
CONN ’ 19 eo thot t
IDAHO-10 SwcO 4 3200 30.0 1) wask ‘
eOTHER CO 33800 31060 tt wis l
IND J 40 43 i wD J
MAINE 1 12060 116.0 nh 1
mass ' 366 35 TOTAL (
MICH ( 3520 3340 tt H
MINN ' 7340 7000 " us n
n

l
17 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORESAST
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 17

state AVERAGE 1g78 1979 STATE AVERAGE 1978 1979
1968-77 1968-77
PERCENT PERCENT

ALA 7 82 79 NEV 82 ot a5
ARIZ 70 90 87 NA 90 93 93
ARK aL 43 90 NJ 86 ot 90
CALIF Th 96 8a N MEX os 76 9)
COLO 76 79 90 NY 89 coy a9
CONN 86 a9 38 nc a6 a6 92
OeEL 83 ao 89 N DAK Be 99 78
Fla 19 82 7 OHTO 87 90 n
GA 78 72 77 OKLA 84 8? 89
IDAHU 86 rr 7 OREG 83 99 84
Tbe 86 838 82 Pa 89 92 91
IND 89 88 a9 RI 90 95 92
1Owa 86 92 92 sc 19 % 87
KANS 86 86 88 $ Dak al 96 80
KY 1 91 93 TENN 85 a7 a1
ta 75 73 7s TEX 75 58 83
MAINE 90 93 93 UTAH 19 86 83
“oO 86 8s a9 vt 88 93 a9
MASS 86 90 9 va 88 93 98
MICH a5 92 88 wash 83 94 73
MINN 87 96 95 wea 85 92 92
MISS 19 86 83 wiS 87 95 93
40 83 89 86 #YO 87 98 80
MONT 84 100 19

NEBR 84 a7 90 us 82 85 86

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT» 80 AND OVERS POOR TO FAIR» 65-793 VERY POOR, So*643 SEVERE
DROUGHT» 35"49% EXTREME DHOUGHTs UNUER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



QUNE WEATHER SUMMARY

June 1979 was typical in that thunderstorms abounded east of the Rockies and relatively
light amounts of rain fell west of the Rockies. However, the West was much drier than normal
this year. East of the Rockies, the thunderstorms produced deluges of rain in some areas but
many others were far below their normal June rainfall. An area from central Illinois to northern
Arkansas had less than half the normal rainfall for the month. The southern coastal area, New
England, North Dakota and Montana were also much drier than normal. Temperatures were cooler than
normal from New England through the Appalachians and across the South to New Mexico. Warm weather
prevailed in the Southwest and the Plateau region.

A low pressure system in Ohio, with a cold front extending southward, moved rapidly eastward
during the first three days of June. Some heavy rain fell in the mid-Atlantic States and the
Southeast.

In the period of June 4-10, another upper air disturbance began moving out of the Southwest
and low level winds carried moisture northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Thunderstorms and rain,
heavy in places, fell from the middle Rio Grande Valley in Texas through the Great Lakes area.
Severe weather, some with tornadoes, was reported throughout this area. Rain totals for the week
exceeded five inches in some localities. Cool weather prevailed in the Rockies and western Plains
but warm temperatures were noted elsewhere.

The second week in June brought relief from severe weather and rain in most of the South.
The exception was in the form of a low pressure system that moved northward along the East Coast
and spread rain from Florida to New England. Elsewhere, a series of storms moved across southern
Canada and caused rain in that area and the northern half of the U.S. The weather was warm
through most of the West, the Rockies, central and northern Plains and through the Great Lakes.
Maximum temperatures exceeded 100° in parts of the northern Plains.

Rain covered nearly all of the U.S. east of the Rockies during the week of June 18-24th.
The exception was central, Texas and southward where no rain fell. A storm system formed in the
central Rockies trailing a cold front southwestward. The center of the storm moved to the central
Plains and then northeast through the western Great Lakes. The most rain occurred in the northern
Plains as the storm center moved through the area and in the central Plains where a wave formed
on the front. Later in the week, thunderstorms with heavy rain moved through the Ohio Valley.
northern Mississippi and central Alabama. It was cooler than normal in most of the Rockies and
Plateau, the northern Plains, Great Lakes and eastern U.S. Other areas were up to 3° warmer
than normal.

The last week in June saw precipitation in all but the southwestern quadrant of the Nation.
As the week began, a high pressure center over the Great Lakes kept the weather cool and dry over
the Midwest. As the high pressure moved eastward, warm, moist air moved northward behind it and
rekindled the showers and thunderstorms from Texas to the Great Lakes. A low pressure center
moved from the northern Plains to the eastern Great Lakes by the end of June. The heaviest rain
was in central Texas and the central Mississippi Valley. However, as the month ended, heavy showers
were falling in southern Michigan, northern Indiana and Ohio, Average temperatures for the week
were warmer than normal west of a line from central Texas to central Wisconsin and cooler than
normal in the East.

ROW CROP PROGRESS

Most corn acreage was planted by the beginning of June, earlier than last year and the aver-
age. Wet soils and Tow temperatures delayed seedings on some heavy soils in northern areas and
yellowed a few eastern Corn Belt stands early in the month, Growth generally exceeded last year
but lagged the average in the eastern north central States and fell short of both last year and
average in the western north central States during June. The southern crop was silking at the be-
ginning of dune; a few Florida corn fields were harvested at the end of the month, Frost nipped
some northern stands at the end of June but probably caused no damage considering the stage of
development in that region, Corn generally rated good throughout the Nation as dune ended.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
i JULY 1,1979

Good to excelent

{2 Poor to fair

EZ Very poor

[BT Severe crought

GB Extreme drought

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CoMDITIONS.

UsdA NEG. EScs 121-79(7)

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS
JULY 1, 1978

2 Good to excellent

Bl Poor to fair

[2 very poor

ERB Severe drought

GBT Extreme drought

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER

CONDITIONS.
usDA ESCS NEG. CRB 61-78(7)

AS REPORTED BY
(CROP CORRESPONDENTS,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



BARLEY

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO 1 PRODUCTION
' t ? IND t INO ¢ t v TNO
2 1977 3 1978 ¢ 1979 $1977 t 1978 $1979 § 1977 ¢ 1978 3 1979
+ 1¥000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
1
ARIZ t $s 35 4S 760 T1e0 8240 49180 2.485 34690
CALIF 8 950 950 780 56.0 48.0 58.0 539200 459600 455240
COLO ' 230 240 270 © 59606440 6200 130570 159360 169740
OEL 1 22 24 24 e044 4600 968 19056 19104
GA ist 7 3740 259
1Oand 940 930 850 4760 6000 Sled 449180 559800 434350
TLL 1 9 7 8 42.0 3660 4000 376 252 320
IND 148 8 4 320
KANS + 78 60 55 4400 4700 25808 29640 29585
KY 1 2s 23 23 43.0 5200 19150 989 19196
Mo ’ 70 85 83 45.0 Ba 39430 39825 39984
MICH ot 19 19 1? S200 4760478 aga 799
MINN ’ 19080 1,050 760 5140 4905 4500 519975 344200
MO we 8 3740
MONT ' 19430 19375 19050 3645 4140 = 3840 569375 394900
NEBR + 43 29 27 4540300 4300 39102 4916)
NEV ' 19 20 22 65.0 60.0 6000 39200 19320
NJ 1 17 20 17 48.0 4640 4940 920
N MEX ot 26 25 28 5700 5700 19425
NY + 10 10 i 4260 4500 420
uc ' $5 59 62 51.0 5100 39009
N DAK Of 29530 29450 19650 4600 4200 1129700
OHIO 1 a 10 9  Sle0 4B Sea 480
OKLA 8 120 80 70-3500 3420 4300 29720
OREG 190 185 1704740 © 50.0 4640 99250
PA ' 125 125 100 5000 4740 S000 59875
sc + 2. 24 23 4000 470d 4800 19128
SOAK 3 640 565 S25 42.0 3700 3000 209905
TENN ' 13 13 13-3940 3400 3900 442
TEX ‘ 8s 40 SS 440002700 3600 19080
UTAH us 131 131 54.0 56.0 $840 79336
vA ' 92 101 95 e055 000 5000 59050
WASH 350 380 310-2740 6540 = 4800 249700
WeVA t 9 lo 10 4200 4400 4700 440
wIs a 29 27 24 54004900 4640 19323
Wyo ’ 133 131 133° 55.0 = 63.0 S700 89253
us t 99564 99233 79450 4369 4604 4603 4209159 4479008 3459115

14 ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 8-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA,


Development of the 1979 oat crop is well behind normal resulting from a cool, wet spring
and late plantings. The major producing areas have experienced cool growing weather along with
adequate moisture supplies throughout the season. Harvest is nearing completion in the far south
with 98 percent of the Texas crop harvested.

BARLEY: Production of barley for 1979 is forecast at 345 million bushels (7.51 million metric
tons), down 23 percent from 1978 and 18 percent below the 1977 crop. This would be the

smallest crop since 1974. Yield per acre is forecast at 46.3 bushels, down 2.1 bushels from a

year earlier but 2.4 bushels above 1977. Acreage for harvest is down 19 percent from last year.

Major producing States showing reductions in yield per acre from last year are: North Dako-
ta, 4.0 bushels; Montana, 3.0 bushels; Minnesota, 4.5 bushels; Idaho, 9.0 bushels; South Dakota,
3.0 bushels; and Washington, 17.0 bushels. California, the only major producing State to show an
increase in yield, is 10.0 bushels higher than a year earlier.

Cool weather delayed seeding in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Montana. Lack of precipitation
reduced yields in the non-irrigated areas of Idaho and Washington. Soil moisture supplies in
Minnesota were adequate to sustain the crop through the critical heading stage. Harvest was in
progress in California on July 1 with good yields and quality realized to date.

ALL WHEAT: A crop of 2.10 billion bushels (57.2 million metric tons) of all wheat is forecast

based on July 1 conditions. This is 17 percent more than last year's 1.80 billion
bushels (49.0 million metric tons). The increase results from a 10 percent increase in har-
vested acres and prospects for a 2.2 bushel increase in yield.

Average yield for the U.S. is estimated at 33.8 bushels per harvested acre compared with
last year's 31.6 bushels. Farmers expect to harvest 62.3 million acres (25.2 million hectares).
This is 87.4 percent of the total acres seeded which compares with 86.0 percent last year.

WINTER WHEAT: July 1 winter wheat production is forecast at 1.56 billion bushels (42.5 million
metric tons), 25 percent more than last year and 9 percent more than last month's

forecast. Both a larger number of acres harvested and higher than anticipated yields account for

the increase in expected production from last month

The expected yield of 35.9 bu:

ishels per harvested acr i
32.1 bushels per acre. pi cre compares with last year's yield of

Subnorma] temperatures and rain delayed maturity of winter wheat in Texas during early June
while growers in the Pacific Northwest complained of dry conditions stressing the crop. The crop
started turning color in Northern production areas by July 1 with rains improving growing condi-
tions in the Pacific Northwest. However, some fields remained stressed from dry weather

Winter wheat harvest was underway throughout most southern States during early June. Scat-
tered rainfall and below normal temperatures during June delayed crop development and harvesting
operations. Harvesting had progressed northward into Kansas by July 1. All major producing
States, except Illinois, were lagging behind last year's harvesting progress.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEACHES

‘ PROOUCTION ' PRODUCTION
CROP s POUNDS 4 46 LBs EQUIVALENT
AND o TOTAL 47S INDICATED? TOTAL TINDICATED
STATE 2 3977_ 3 1978 4 1979 _ 3 1977 1978 2 1979
7 MILLION UNITS 19000 UNITS
PEACHES FREESTONE 1
ALA : 1060 1560 14.0 208 23 292
SARK t 4000 370 833 m 433
CALIF @FREESTONE t 468.0 400.0 99750 84333 10,000
COLO ‘ 18.0 5.5 375 115s 313
CONN ase 12s 431 9
DEL ara 50 46 38
GA a 4,675 2y500 29813
IDAHO as 260 229 219
me ’ 188 333 333
TNO ar ai 104 83
KANS ae 188 104 106
ky ae 2 229 3
LA ae 135 135 135
MD ’ 438 500 500
MASS as 305 73 3 73
MICH ' 55.0 19146 19250 729
MISS awe 40 63 83 63
MO as 2160 229 292 354
NJ . s 12000 20292 1,658 27500
NY 1 1360 27 333 140
nC , 35.0 729 938 10900
OHIO ae 3.0 63 104 83
OKLA ae 10.0 208 v7 208
OREG awe 18.0 375 a7 333
PA t 95.0 1979 Lev? Ls?7L
sc 1 27500 $9729 69563 79083
TENN ars B60 167 175 177
TEX 1 4820 14000 833 750
UTAH as 18.0 375 313 396
va 1 19.0 396 833 667
wash ’ 4160 854 192 mm
wva a 15-0 313 $2) 419
us 2 1967520 2447040 1061523 309730 309625 339652
PEACHES CLINGSTONE we
CALIF 1 195080 1923140 19300.0 31s417 259645 27,083
ALL PEACHES 1
us t 2983.0 2970100  29925.3 625147 565271 60,735
\/ INCLUDES UNNARVESTEO PROOUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS) UNITED STATES, 1977=15+8 197821960.
B/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND
INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS)
L9V7TT1S ee I7TBVNL Oe
ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS)
: PRODUCTION
STATE ! TOTAL Fy TOTAL ? TND
z 1977 2 1978 Z 1979
t 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF -- : 313,000 181,000 350,000

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979

B-9

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION

Released: July 11, 1979 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Corn production is forecast at 6.66 billion bushels (169 million metric tons) based
on crop conditions as of July 1, 6 percent below the record high 1978 crop.
The 90 percent confidence interval for this production is 5.74 to 7.58 billion
bushels.

All wheat production is forecast at 2.10 billion bushels (57.2 million metric tons),
up 17 percent from the 1978 crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
production is 1.98 to 2.23 billion bushels.

Winter wheat production at 1.56 billion bushels (42.5 million metric tons) is up 25
percent from 1978.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 111 million bushels (3.03 million metric tons),
percent below 1978 production.

Spring wheat other than durum is forecast at 429 million bushels (11.7 million metric
tons), 3 percent above the 1978 crop.

Qats production is forecast at 510 million bushels (7.40 million metric tons), 15
percent below last year.

Barley production is placed at 345 million bushels (7.51 million metric tons), down
23 percent from 1978.

Apple production is forecast at a record 7.72 billion pounds (3.50 million metric
tons), 1 percent above last year's total and up 16 percent from the 1977 crop.

Potato acreage for 1979 harvest (al? seasonal groups) is estimated at 1.29 million
acres (524 thousand hectares), down 5 percent from the previous two years.
The fall crop acreage for harvest this year is placed at 1.08 million acres
sand

(438 tho hectares), 6 percent below last season and 5 percent Jess than
1977.

CePr 2-2 (7-79) For Information Catt: (202) 447-2127



Idaho planting was completed on schedule, but dry soils necessitated irrigation earlier than
usual. Growth and development of the crop has been good. In Washington, planting of both early
and late varieties progressed normally. The early crop is showing excellent growth with good set.
Harvest should begin in late July. Oregon's Malheur crop got off to a slow start because of cold,
wet weather but is now progressing well. Early planted fields in the Hermiston-Boardman area have
made good growth and are approaching maturity. Colorado's early plantings were set back by a
freeze in tate June but no replanting was necessary. California stands are in good condition de-
spite frosts in the Tulelake area.

The first forecast of summer potato production for 1979 is placed at 217.4 million cwt. (970
thousand metric tons), 1 percent above the 21.2 million cwt. (960 thousand metric tons) produced
in 1978, The 1979 crop is expected to be harvested from 108 thousand acres (43.8 thousand hec-
tares), 3 percent below the 112 thousand acres (45.3 thousand hectares) harvested in 1978. The
average yield per acre is forecast at 197 cwt. compared with 189 cwt. in 1978 and 191 cwt. in 1977.

In Virginia, the Nation's leading producer, good weather conditions have pushed expected
yields higher than. in the past five years. Growing conditions have been favorable on the High
Plains in Texas and plants are showing excellent vine development. The California crop is in
generally good condition although some stands are irregular.

Harvest is underway in the Sand Mountain area of Alabama with excellent quality. In Michigan,
planting started slowly but caught up to normal as the season progressed. Oespite frost in late
dune, very little damage has been reported. Planting was late in Nebraska and remains behind
normal, Some acreage in Minnesota has received minor hai) damage.

The Colorado crop emerged later than normal but is currently in very good condition. Water
supplies for irrigation are more than adequate. Poorly drained areas of many fields in New Jersey
were drowned out. Light harvest is underway, mostly for local use and roadside markets.

FLUE-CURED TOBACCO: Production of flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 1.04 billion pounds (473

thousand metric tons), down 15 percent from the 1.23 billion pounds (558
thousand metric tons) produced in 1978. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 527 thousand
acres (213 thousand hectares), down 11 percent from last year. The July 1 indicated yield of
1980 pounds per acre compares with the 1978 yield of 2090 pounds per acre.

Prospects in the North Carolina Old and Middle Belts vary considerably. Drier weather in
the Old Belt improved conditions rapidly in the past few days. Soil moisture is rated short to
mostly adequate. In the Eastern Belt, prospects are poor to good. The cool, wet weather during
dune stunted growth and caused water and disease damage. In the Border Belt, priming is well
underway. Prospects are fair to mostly good.

Harvest of the South Carolina tobacco crop started during late June. Blue mold and mosaic
damage have been severe in many fields, but conditions have improved in recent days.

Type 14 tobacco harvest in Georgia and Florida was in full swing by early July. Oisease and
wet weather reduced yield prospects in Georgia. Yield prospects in Florida are mostly good for
irrigated fields, but the non-irrigated acreage has suffered from hot, dry weather.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Pasture and range feed condition for the 48 contiguous States-on July 1
average was 86 percent, J point above a year ago and 4 points above the 1968-77
ge.

All States except North Dakota and those in the Northwest and Southeast recorded good to
excellent conditions. Conditions improved from a month ago in 12 States and from a year ago in
18 States. Most of the improvement during the month occurred in the Plains States where excel-
Tent growing conditions existed following cool spring weather.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Development of the spring wheat crop is later than a year ago but the crop is generally in
good condition, although some areas are experiencing too dry or too wet conditions. In North
Dakota, about 4 percent of the crop was heading on July 1 compared with 29 percent normally.
Spraying for wild oats and weeds is widespread and grasshopper populations are being closely
monitored in the east. In Minnesota, heading reached 10 percent by July 1, while it was 48 per-
cent headed at this time last year. Dryland areas in Idaho did not receive their usual May and
dune rains, therefore, prospects are not as favorable as last year. Over half the crop is headed
in South Dakota but still later than normal. Grasshoppers remain a problem in the west. Hot.
windy weather in Washington has caused moisture stress in most of the eastern counties. Good
rains near the end of the month should improve development. Conditions in Colorado remain good
with some losses due to hail.

RYE: Production of rye in 1979 is forecast at 23.6 million bushels (600 thousand metric tons),
“~~ 10 percent below the 1978 crop of 26.2 million bushels (664 thousand metric tons}. The
decline in production from last year is the result of a 6 percent reduction in acreage for harvest
combined with prospects for a one bushel decline in yield. Area for harvest is estimated at

936 thousand acres (379 thousand hectares).

South Dakota continues as the leading rye producing State despite a forecast for a 23 percent
crop reduction.’ As of July 1, rye was 100 percent headed in South Dakota with 21 percent of the
acreage turning color. Topsoil moisture is short in portions of the State. The North Dakota
crop forecast is 24 percent less than last year's production with acreage off 12 percent and yield
down 4 bushels per acre. The severe winter adversely affected development of the crop causing
it to lag behind normal. As of July 1, less than one percent of the acreage was turning color
compared with a normal 14 percent turned by that date. Minnesota, in third place for rye pro-
duction, is up 4 percent from last year. Acreage for harvest is off 7000 acres, but offsetting
this is a 3 bushel yield improvement, About 7 percent of the crop is turning color while normally
37 percent has turned by July 1. Harvest was reaching conipletion in Georgia by July 1? with yields
forecast 2 bushels below 1978.

POTATOES: The Nation's 1979 potato acreage for harvest (all seasonal groups) is estimated at 1.29
million acres (524 thousand hectares), off 5 percent from the last two years.

In the fall producing States, the 1979 planted acreage is placed at 1.10 million acres (446
thousand hectares), a 6 percent reduction from the past two seasons and 1 percent below the April 1
prospective plantings. Fall crop acreage for harvest is expected to total 1.08 million acres (438
thousand hectares). This Ts 6 percent less than last year and 5 percent below the 1977 level, re-
flecting reductions in every region and virtually all major producing States.

In Eastern States, fall acreage for harvest is estimated at 195 thousand acres, down 4 per-
cent from 1978. In Maine, acreage for harvest at 115 thousand acres is off 3 percent from last
year. All other States in the region except Connecticut are also expected to harvest less acreage
than last season.

In the Central States, the 1979 fall acreage for harvest is placed at 300 thousand acres, 5
percent below a year ago. Acreage in North Dakota is down 7 percent, Minnesota is off 4 percent
and Michigan is expected to have 6 percent fewer acres for harvest. Other States in the region,
except Indiana, are also lower than 1978

In the West, fall acreage for harvest is expected to total 588 thousand acres, off 7 percent
from last season and 5 percent below 1977, Idaho's acreage for harvest at 335 thousand acres is
down 8 percent from 1978 and in Washington has a similar percentage reduction. Acreage declines
are also estimated for Oregon, Nevada, California, Montana and Wyoming

Condition of the fall crop is rated good in most producing States across the country. Plant-
ing of the Maine crop was delayed by heavy rains, and some seed rotted in the ground causing
spotty stands. New York potatoes are showing good color and vine development in both Long Island
and Upstate areas. In North Dakota, planting got off to a slow start because of flooding but by
mid-June had caught up to about normal. Cool, wet weather in ate June slowed crop growth some-
what but condition remains good. In Wisconsin, the potato crop is making good growth with minimal
insect or disease problems, and in Michigan, timely rains have kept the crop in good condition.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-V1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




INDEX

PAGE
APPLES, COMMERCIAL .....cce sec ce cect teense eee ce eee eene nce eneeeees B- 8
BARLEY oo. ccc cece cece ncn e cence sence teen e antes esa ee en seen en tenenee nes B- 3
BLUEBERRIES 1. cece cece cece cece cect rece eee e nee e nent teen eee eeeeeees B- 8
CHERRIES veces ccc cece ence eer e eet eee nent atte eet e eet eee en ees B-12
CITRUS FRUIT oc. cece cece cece cence ee tence teen ene e eee eee ete enennes B-11
CORN FOR GRAIN 20... . cece cece eee e ete ence renee tec e reece ee te tenn eens B- 1
CROP PROSPECT MAP ..... cece cece cece cece ene eet ee eee ence cteereeenes A- 5
MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS 1.2... cece cece cece cece cee eeteeeeetees B-10
0019 B- 2
PAPAYAS, HAWAII 1... .ccececec eee ce ster een tenses teense ence teeeesnees B-12
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION ........eseceee eee ceeeecerteeneeeres B-14

A- 6

B- 9

B-10

B-13
RYE .....8. Dearne eee teen eer n neta eee tenet nena ease neeeereeee B- 6
TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE ..... ccc ceceee cette cece nen ceeeeteteetece B- 7
US SUMMARY oo cece cece ccc ee cece eee eee e ete e nee en teen cena teen eenes A- 2
WHEAT, BY CLASSES 20... cece cee ee cece eect ener cree eenen eee teene res B- 5
WHEAT, DURUM 2... cece cece cece cece cette eer eee e ete e eet ee cnet ten enees B- 6
WHEAT, SPRING ccc cececccceccceseen eet eee tenons eeeenetenseeeeeseeeee B- 6
WHEAT, WINTER .. cc cccccceeee ccc n cece tence teen ete neste neetesteetee B- 5

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Soybean seeding advanced rapidly in early June with favorable weather in all production areas
except the Delta. Frequent rains kept soils wet and limited soybean planting in Arkansas,
Mississippi, and Tennessee, By mid-June, weather conditions improved in the rain-plagued south
central States and farmers moved swiftly to compensate for lost time. Corn Belt farmers finished
seeding activities shortly after mid-month. There were some late June seedings in southern areas
following small grain harvest. At the end of June, plant growth in the eastern north central
States ranged from 9 to 11 inches~-ahead of last year and equal to the average. Minnesota farmers
replanted some hail-damaged soybean acreage at the end of June.

At the beginning of June, cotton planting was almost complete except in Texas and Oklahoma
where some cotton is usually seeded later. Squaring was observed in early planted fields in Cali-
fornia, Texas, and the Southeast. Early in the month cotton rated only fair to good with some
poor stands in the Delta because of sub-normal temperature and wet soils. Better weather condi-
tions for cotton growth improved the crop and by the end of June cotton rated fair to good. Bol)
set was well advanced in the Southeast and just getting started jn the Delta and the West. The
first cotton ginned for the 1979 season was ginned in the lower Rio Grande Valley but general har-
vest was expected to begin near mid-July.

Grain sorghum seeding advanced on schedule through June and neared completion by July 1.
Most of the crop was emerged and growing well. The 1979 harvest started in southern Texas with
1 percent of the State's crop combined by July 1.

WINTER WHEAT HARVEST

Winter wheat harvest in the 15 major producing States, accounting for 95 percent of the 1978
crop, reached 25 percent complete by July 1, falling short of the 36 percent harvested last year
and the 46 percent average for July 1. Only the Illinois harvest exceeded last year among the
States where combining was underway; none of the States surpassed the average. Harvesting advanced
into Kansas, although rains in some areas delayed progress. Winter wheat began turning color
throughout northern production areas. Rains improved growing conditions in the Pacific Northwest
but some stands remained stressed by dry soils.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 6.66 billion bushels (169 million
metric tons), down 6 percent from the record 1978 crop but up 4 percent from
1977. If the July 1 forecast is realized, this will be the second largest crop of record.

Conditions on July ) indicate an average yield per acre of 95.8 bushels compared with the
record 101.2 bushels in 1978 and 90.7 bushels in 1977. This would be the third highest yield,
exceeded only by 1972 and 1978.

As of July 1, corn was generally in good condition throughout the Nation, Frost was reported
on some northern stands, but it should not damage the crop at this stage of development. Corn
growth in the eastern Corn Belt ranged from 16 to 35 inches. Development generally exceeded last
year but fell short of normal.

In the western Corn Belt, corn growth reached 14-29 inches, lagging behind growth of both
last year and the average on July 1.

Silking advanced rapidly in southern corn fields, and some of the crop moved into the dough
stage. Early harvest activity has been reported in Florida.

QATS: Production of the 1979 oat crop is forecast at 510 million bushels (7.40 million metric

tons), 15 percent below last year and 32 percent below 1977. If realized, this level will
be the lowest since the late 1800's. Yield is forecast at 50.8 bushels per harvested acre, 1.4
bushels below 1978. The lower yield and a 13 percent decrease in acreagé intended for grain
contribute to the historically low production.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



OURUM WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED ‘ YIELD 4 PRODUCTION
c rr re CE 7 7 IND? 7 7 IND
t ag77t 1978 3 19791 1977 51978 t 1979 977 8 9 979.
7 9000 ACI BUSHELS ¥9000 BUSHELS
'
ARIZ t as a 630-720 7000 7500 69120 69370 40725
CALIF ’ 2 us 45 7500 7520 75.0 29100 89625 39375
MINN ' 82 98 7 3405 385 3500 2s829 30773 20695
MONT ' 220 290 260 2200 3000 2340 47840 Bs700 59980
N MEX 1/8 4 T4ed 296
N DAK ' Boao 39260 30250 245 3165 2650 600515 1029060 915000
S DAK ' 136 190 170 2400 2000 ra 39264 39800 34400
us ' 3025 49026 39665 2664 3301 799964 =1339328 = L14917S

1/ BEGINNING IN 1976 INCLUDED IN WINTER WHEAT,

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED : YIELO 4 PRODUCTION

i + . TNO 8 7 1 IND + t + TND

4 1977 3 1978 + 1979 ¢ 1977 1 _978 + 1979 4 1977 :__—497a t__—4979

7 10000 ACRES BUSHELS 18000 BUSHELS

1
COLO ' es 46 so 45.0 4760 50.0 4eles 20068 2500
IDAHO 1 360 480 620 5540 184360 e722 34000
MINN 4 39140 2vez0 20490 3600 © 1250600 890660
MONT $2060 1,850 29550 2500 = 449880 639750
NEV ' 12 15 13 5000 600 650
NOaR ¢ 69680 69210 69200 2760 1674000 1800090 1674400
OREG 4 70 125 250 3500 29380 49625 85750
S Dan iy 2,200 29200 15950 1960 51e700 449000 379050
UTAH ’ 24 2) 30 3800 S76 756 19140
waSH ’ 185 310 780 3000 69105 119780 239400
WIS ’ 45 12 16 30.0 495 37, 480
WYO : a. 19 vv 22.0 420 456 31%
us 1 L4e772 130906 149966 26.7 4190241 SLT e12 4299236

RYE

STATE AREA HARVESTED + YIELO s PRODUCTION

: t ? TRO 7 7 IND-F t 7 IND

‘ 1977 2 1976 t 1979 11977 | 1978 1979 8 1977 t 1978 + 1979

t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSKELS

5
coos « 5 5 2000 = 2100 = 2300 80 105 1s
OEL ' 4 4 4 2500 2500 2500 100 300 100
GA 1 95 dio 11221402300 2100 19995 29530 20352
me t 1s 16 17-2240 2300 2300 330 368 391
IND + lo 9 10 26.0 25.0 27.0 260 225 270
T0wAa 1 4 Ss s 29.0 3060 2960 116 150 145
KANS 3 10 4s 1518.0 2100 Bo 180 315 35
ky ' 4 4 4 27.0 2500 108 108 100
MD 1 8 9 9 3060 3060 232 270 270
MICH ot 19 25 25 24.0 2540 456 600 625
MINN 84 96 2 2400 2700 29436 20352 20487
MO 1 6 7 10 25.0 2540 162 175 250
NEBR Ot 30 $3 so 1960 2200 15050 14007 1100
NJ : 9 st 10 23.0 2820 261 253 280
NY 3 9 9 10-3260 Bed 3 279 279 316
NC + ray 20 20 1940 2300 24 399 460 480
N OAK + 380 205 180 26.0 3160 27.0 21080 69355, 42860
ONTO ot 3 8 8 32.0 30.0 © Bed 248 240 266
OKLA ot 4 30 40 1940-1900 2640 646 570 12060
OREG = t 8 ? 7 2540 2540 Ba 125 a75 168
PA ' 12 16 14 Red 32.0 3400 372 S12 476
sc 1 32 38 36 20.0 © 2200 2200 640 836 192
S$ vaK 3 120 220 195 29,0 3160-2740 39480 69820 50265
TENN 1/2 2 2 a 19.0 46 38
TEX + 2s ay er 2 14.0 18.0 400 406 486
va rT 16 a7 43 a 2520 25.0 350 425 325
WASH 1st 3 3 20. 21.0 60 63
WIS : 16 Vv le 2640 2140 BRO 364 357 352
WYO 1 3 3 3 19,0 2200 22.0 57 66 66
us ' 704 995, 936246 2603254370312 26160-23638

1/7 ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CHERRIES.

STATE PRODUCTION 1/
AND
TOTAL TOTAL TND
CROP 1927 1978 1979
TONS
CHERRIES, SWEET
CALIF 27,000 14,000 37,000
COLO 2/ 550 140
TDAHO 2,200 2,000 2,300
MICH 23,000 35,000 29,000
PONT 2,600 1,850 2,300
NY 1,800 3,500 4,800
OREG 37,500 34,000 33,000
PA 3/ 350 750 750
uTaal 5,800 3,000 5,600
WASH 47,000 60,700 62,000
us 147,800 754,980 176,750
MILLION POUNDS
CHERRIES, TART
COLO 3/ 2.3 1.3 2.2
MICH 3/ 162.0 128.0 95.0
NY 3 1.8 18.9 30.0
ONIO-2/ 12 12
OREG 8.0 3.8 4.0
PA 3/ 3.2 6.2 9.0
uTaH 1.2 1.3 14.0
WIS 3/ 12.2 11.8 13.0
us 210.9 181.2 167.2

Th

R
2f ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

IN.

PAPAYAS ~ HAWAIT

AREA : UTILIZED PRODUCTION
MONTH 7 >
YOTAL IN CROP. : HARVESTED : 178 1979 : FORECAST

ACRES 3,000 POUNDS
MAY 3,120 3,305 2,175 2,345 5,546 2,410
JUN 3,165 3,330 2,155 2,380 6,896 3,700
JUL 3,160 2,180 6,664 3,300
AUG : 3,160 2,185 6,279 3,000
SEP : 3,190 2,145 6,083 3,000
OCT 2 3,250 2,205 6,825, 2,900
UMOLATIVE PRODUCTION ‘JAN-JON 28,789 16,840
CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B~12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



RELIABILITY OF JULY 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based on acreage surveys conducted around June 1}
and yield surveys conducted around July 1. The acreage estimates published in the June 28 Acreage
Report and used in this report include acres already planted at the time of the survey and acreage
intended for planting later. The July 1 yield surveys include mailed reports from farmers for all
crops and actual field observations in wheat fields. Farmers provided appraisals of crop condi-
tions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities. Objective
yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample of
wheat fields. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common
to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect final pro-

uction.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report the
"Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for se-
lected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the July 1 production fore-
casts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared per-
centage deviations for the most recent twenty-year period; the square root of this average becomes
statistically the “Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expect-
ed errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that
factors affecting this year's forecasts are not different from those influencing recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the July ? corn for grain forecast is 8.0 percent
This means that chances are about 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 6663 millian
bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 8.0 percent or approximately
533 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference
will not exceed 13.8.percent or approximately 919 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the
duly 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the July 1
forecasts and the final estimate for the previous 10 years in which July 1 corn forecasts were
made have averaged 320 million bushels, ranging from 3 million to 936 million bushels. During
the 10 years, the July 1 forecast was below the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times.

RELIABILITY OF JULY 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS 1/

: 3 Yi 0!
ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
CROP AND UNIT 7 90% CONFIOENCE QUANTITY T_NUNBER_OF_VEARS
PERCENT : LEVEL : : ?
SPERCENT QUANTITY; AVERAGE SMALLEST = LARGEST": FINAL : FINAL
HILLTON —; MILLION MILLION MILLION
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 8.0 13.8 919: (320 3 936 5 5
OATS BU: 7.5 12.9 66 48 2 89 4 6
BARLEY BU: 7.5 12.9 4: 28 0 61 6 4
ALL WHEAT BU: 3.4 5.9 124 45 3 143 4 6
WINTER BU: 3.3 5.7 8g: (19 2 4] 3 7
DURUM BU: 14.0 24.7 e7 : 10 3 20 5 5
OTHER SPRING BU: 10.5 18.1 7%: 31 1 97 8 2

RE_ ERRORS R 75 OF RN,
DIFFERENCE IS BASED ON 1969-78 EXCEPT CORN, 1965-70 AND 1975-78,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PRUNES AND PLUMS: California prune production is forecast at 125 thousand tons (113 thousand
metric tons), up 4 percent from last month, but 5 percent below last season.
Development has been good with virtually no problem with brown rot.

The plum crop in California is forecast at 180 thousand tons (163 thousand metric tons),
unchanged from last month and 17 percent larger than last year. Approximately 30 percent of the
crop has been harvested.

PAPAYAS: The estimate of utilized production of papayas for June is 3.70 million pounds (1680
metric tons). Although 54 percent above May, it is 46 percent below the same month
last year.

The forecast for July is 3.30 million pounds (1500 metric tons), 10 percent higher than last
month's forecast for July because some acreage intended to be taken out of production was not.
Production is forecast at 3.00 million pounds (1360 metric tons) during both August and September.
A slight dip is expected to accur in Octaber.

Of the 3330 acres (1350 hectares) in crop, 2380 acres (960 hectares) were harvested during
June. This total is up slightly from May and is 10 percent more than Jast June when 2155 acres
{870 hectares) were harvested.

Cumulative production for January-June shows that output this year is running 11.9 million
pounds under the comparable total for last year.

ALMONDS: California almond production is forecast at a record 350 million pounds (159 thousand

metric tons). A crop this size would be 93 percent greater than last year's small crop
and 12 percent above the 1977 crop. ‘the large crop is attributed to the excellent condition of
the trees in the spring and the heavy bloom. Weather has been conducive to good nut growth.

WALNUTS: Walnut growers in California expect to harvest 210 thousand tons (191 thousand metric
tons), 31 percent above the 1978 crop. The crop is in good condition. Most varieties
have good sets and are sizing well.

_ ORANGES: The final 1978-79 orange forecast is placed at 211 million boxes (8.31 million metric
tons), up slightly from the dune 1 forecast but 4 percent less than was harvested last
season. Valencia production is expected to total 93.2 million boxes (3.68 million metric tons),
J percent more than was expected last month, but 13 percent less than the 1977-78 crop. The
Florida Valencia crop at 73.0 million boxes is 1 percent above last month, but is 8 percent below
the 1977-78 crop. The California Valencia crop forecast of 16.0 million boxes is unchanged from
dune 1 but is 27 percent below last season,

Harvest of Valencia oranges in Florida was about 97 percent complete while California was 28
percent harvested by July 1. Valencia harvest is complete in other States. The U.S. orange crop
was 93 percent harvested by July 1 compared with 91 percent on July ? Jast year.

The July 1 U.S. forecast has deviated from actual production by an average of 1.59 million
Boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from na change in 1977-78 to 4.60 million boxes in 1976-

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The all orange juice yteld in Florida for the 1978-79

crop is projected at 1.34 gallons of 45 degree brix
Concentrate per box. The yield from the 1977-78 crop was 1.23 gallons per box. 3

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE tt AREA HARVESTED : YIELO ' PRODUCTION
f g t IND ¢ ' t TNO? ’ + IND
’ 1977 1 1978 t 1979 t 1977 : 1978 1979 1 1977 4 1978 1 1979
7 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 1¥000 BUSHELS
‘
ALA ! 375 544 530 29.0 5000 = 5540 100875 = 279200 294150
ARIZ t 50 $0 45 10060 11540 11500 54000 59750 5e175
ARK : 43 30 3S 53.0 5840 580 29279 39740 29030
CALIF 5 247 281 285 116.0 12600 «127460 © 280652 © 359406 = 36495
coo 8 695 720 620 11660 11000 11060 ©8020 799200 © 904200
CONN 1/8
OEL t 185 47s 167 5600 9640 9400 109360 = 169800 15,698
FLA 1 299 370 370 35.0 5200 S000 109465 199260 185500
GA : 19000 19500 19550 24,0 5060 = S800 «= 244000 = 759000 © 894900
Toano 28 39 35 86408740 8640 29408 39393 10
TLL 4 119080 109730 109530 11160 11000 191639400 191919030 00
IND 1 69210 59900 54950 10860 10760 6339420 6379200 636 650
1owa 1 129700 129500 129600 11700 10600 190929200 194629500 193359600
KANS = 3 19680 19500 14450 10200 = 10400 = 1614280 += 1530000 += 1504800
ky ' 19470 16410 19290 85.0 9000 «1329300 §=— 1199850 1164100
La t 6s 47 42 59.0 5940 39380 29773 20478
MAINE 1/8
MD ' 600 590 580 9720 9700 435200 579230 569260
MASS 1/8
WICH = § 29320 20250 29300 B1e0 = 77001979200 1829250 1774100
MINN + 69000 69190 $9900 10460 8820 = 6009000 = 6439760 = 5194200
MISS , leo 135 11s 5660 5000 59760 79560
MO 1 29650 29200 29150 87.0 = 80002019400 = 1919400
MONT ! ul 5 7 7200 7200 748 360 504
NEBR 69550 69550 69700 113.0 9940 6489450 7409150 6634 300
Nev lst
NH lst
Nv 1 95 95 82 91200 8540 69650 89645 69970
NMEX 1 14 7 70 10560 11060 109260 79560 79700
NY ' 640 600 640 7900 = 8200 = 519200 © 470400 529480
ne ‘ 19740 19600 19700 7640 7800 = BB9 740 =: 1229600 =: 132600
N OAK ‘ 237 253 260 7900 68.0 174301 199987 1 80
OHIO ' 39620 39610 39630 105.0 10540 3809100 = 3799050
OKLA ' 95 73 8 6500 8560 79790 49745
OREG 1 12 13 ll 95.0 = 9540 19140 19235 45
Pa i 10160 19190 19190 95.0 9540 = :1069720 1439050 4139050
1
sc 1 690 550 $00 5500 7600 B&yBHO = 309250 = 384000
S Oak 3 29150 29560 29500 6700 = 5500 §=— 1269850 1719520 = 1374500
TENN 1 730 660 590 6640 7000 470450 9 439560 41 300
TEX ! 14650 19440 19200 10060 10000 1619700 1449000 = 1204000
uTAM + 13 16 16 9000 = 9200 19157 19440 19472
v we
va ' 560 615 600 82.0 82.0 = 300800 = 500430 = 499200
WASH ' 64 65 65 121.0 123.0 T1616 79865 95
wevA 1 54 5 61 7760 = 7900 39996 49466 40819
wis 4 21800 29750 20850 98.0 9000 © 2914200 = 2699500 2564500
Wyo ' 30 34 30 81.0 Bd 25550 29754 20520
us t 709872 695970 695526 LOLs2 «9S 64250457 740819849 6,662,681

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

7 PRODUCTION
CROP. : 1978 TINDICATED 1978 INDICATED : 1978 : i) INDICATED
: ; 1979 : (1979 21979: 1979
TECTARES METRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN 28 318 160 28.136 480 6.35 6.01 179 887 250 169 239 890
OATS 4 666 480 4 064 300 1.87 1.82 8 730 410 7 399 160
BARLEY : 3 736 500 3 014 940 2.60 2.49 9 732 450 7 $13 990
ALL WHEAT 123 002 170 25 192 760 2.13 2.27 48 952 920 57 184 670

WINTER 18 746 080 17.572 040 2.16 2142 33.972 400 38 840 660 42 477 140

DURUM :1 628 470 1 564130 2.23 1.93 3 628 590 3 025 690

OTHER SPRING : 5 627 620 6 056.590 2.02 1193 ——-11--381 930 11 681 840
RYE : 402670 378 790 —«*1.65 1.59 664 490 600 430
POTATOES :

SUMMER : 45 280 43 830 21.20 22.12 960 110 969 550

FALL 1/ : 466 360 438 200 31.00 14 456 000

TOTAL / $53 660 523 550 29.53, 16 349 790
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO :

TYPES 11-14 : 238360 © 213-270 2.34 2.22 558 470 473 420
APPLES, COM'L : 3 462 430 3503 760
BLUEBERRIES : 14 290 14 450 2.48 2.61 35 400 37 710
PEACHES 2/ : 1225 150 1 325530 1 322 350
PEARS : 659 340 T2 230
SWEET CHERRIES 3/ : 140 520-163 750 160 390
TART CHERRIES 37 : 82 190 75 840 75 840
APRICOTS : 114 580 ~—131 270 131 270
NECTARINES (CALIF) 134 260 167 830 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) : 139 710 «=—«163 290163 290
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 118 840 108860 113 400
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 82100 145 150, 158 760
WALNUTS: : 145 150 190 510
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ : 1977-78 1978-79 1978-79

ORANGES : B 642 750 8 270800 WET

GRAPEFRUIT : 2720 650 2491 130 2 499 290

LEMONS : 899 930 706 700 «=» 62-240

YTELD AND PRODUC’ IR 0c > . TNCLUI COLtS
FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN METRIC TONS: 1978 - 54 880, 3/ ESTIMATES IN JUN 1
COLUMN INCLUDE FORECAST IN THE GREAT LAKES. AS Of JUN 15. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEaRS

CROP AND STATE

PRODUCTION 2/

1
' TOTAL 1 TOTAL 1 IND
1 1977 1 1978 2 1979
7 TONS
PEARS BARTLETT :
CALIF : 326%000 2816000 3300000
OREG : 809000 559500 749000
WASH 1 1385000 1329000 1359000
us ’ 5449000 4689500 5399000
PEARS EXCLUOING BARTLETT 1
CALIF 1 7300 105000
ORES t 969000 1009000
wash ’ 114,000 900000
us 8 1961600 21749300 2004000
ALL PEARS '
CALIF ' 334.600 2684300 3404000
COLO t 61900 1,700 51500
CONN t 19600 14900 21500
TDaHO are 19800
MICH ' 129000 235000 224000
NY ’ 260000 189500 284000
OREG a 1890000 174,000
PA , ‘00 9100
UTA . 00 5000
wash $ 2244000 2465000 2250000
us ' 786+600 726800 7859100

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTEU PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE®

{TONS} 4 VS L9TT*254008

2/7 ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

CROP AND STATE

+ PRODUCTION 27

1 TOTAL t TOTAL 1’ IND
1 197? 2 1978 4 1979
t TORS
PLUMS 1
CALIF s 1574000 1564000 1800000
PRUNES (ORJEO BASIS) '
CALIF ' 1599000 1319000 1254000
GRAPES TABLE TYPE 4
CALIF ‘ 488.000 393,000 470,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE '
CauLF t 195634000 19706000 196500000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE ORLED 2/3/%
CALIF t 2484300 228,500
GRAPES RAISIN NUT DRIED '
CALIF 8039000 9120000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE aa
AL : 149359000 149182000 262006000
ALL GRAPES aft
CALIF ‘ 399669000 40LTs000 45200000
APRICOTS. 1
CALIF 1 1435000 123,000 1404000
UTAH ‘ 15600 600 29000
wash g 29600 24700 25700
us ‘ 1479600 1269300 1445700
NECTARINES. '
caulF 1 1554000 2484000 1854000
WALNUTS 1
CALIF 3 1924000 1609000 220.000
OREG an 500
vs 4 1920500 160«000 2101000

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGEs
(TONS) 1 APRICOTS» TOTAL 1977*62000¢-

2/ ORSED BASSSS1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 6.56
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1977 AND 4-40 TONS FOR 1978,

3/7 1978 OATA INCLUDES 561300 TONS (2485000 TONS FRESH
EQUIVALENT) LalOe BUT NOT HARVESTED OVE TO SEVERE

WEATHER DAMAGE,

4¢ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979

8-10

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY

(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELO PER ACRE: PRODI
CROP AND UNIT 197g; INDICATED ; 497g ©: INDICATED qg7g_ i 7
2 1979: 2 979 1979: (1979
T, 000 ACRES T,000

CORN FOR GRAIN 69,970 69,526 101.2 95.8 7,081,849 6,662,681
OATS 114531 10,043 82.2 50.8 601,477 509,761
BARLEY 9,233 7,450 48.4 46.3 447,008 345,115
ALL WHEAT 56,839 62,252 31.6 33.8 1,798,712 2,101,177

WINTER 38,909 43,421 32.1 35.9 152485272 1,427,150 1,560,768

DURUM 4,024 3,865 33.1 28.8 133, 328 111,175

OTHER SPRING 13,906 14,966 30.0 28.7 417,112 429,234
RYE 995 936 26.3 25.3 26,160 23,638
POTATOES

SUMMER V1.9 108.3 189 197 21,167 20,375

FALL 1/ 1,152.4 1,082.8 277 318,702

TOTAL” 1/ 1,368.1 1,293.7 263 360,453
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO

TYPES 11-14 589.0 527.0 2,090 1,980 1,231, 222 1,043,721
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ 85 86
APPLES, COM'L 7,633,400 7,724,500
BLUEBERRIES 35.3 35.7 2,214 2,329 78,039 83,130
PEACHES 3/ 2,701,000 2,922,300 2,915,300
PEARS 726.8 785.
SWEET CHERRIES 4/ 154.9 180.5 176.8
TART CHERRIES 47 181,200 167,200 167,200
APRICOTS ~ 126.3 144.7 144.7
NECTARINES (CALIF) 148.0 185.0 185.0
PLUMS (CALIF) 154.0 180.0 180.0
ORIED PRUNES (CALTF) 131.0 120.0 125.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) 181,000 320,000 += 350,000
WALNUTS 160.0 210.0
CLTRUS FRUITS 5/ 1977-78 1978-79 1978-79

ORANGES F 3700 °

GRAPEFRUIT 73,700 67,100 67,300

LEMONS 26,100 20,500 19,200

> . BS R
OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1968-77 AVERAGE IS 82 PERCENT. 3/ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR
CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS:
COLUMN INCLUDE FORECAST IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES AS OF JUN 15. 5/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE
FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

1978 - 121,000. 4/ ESTIMATES IN JUN ?

Statistical Offices.

APPROVED:

nenaZoZwe

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on |
selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting
Board which consists of commodity statisticians from Washington headquarters and the State

W. Kirkbride, F. E. Rolf,

P. Smait, d. R. Garrett,
R. Blackson, D. J. Buckner,
W. Danekas, H. J. DeLong,

. N. Dowdy, T. W. Feurer,
8. Goodwin, O. E. Hamilton,
J. Hammel, dr., G. D. Hasenmyer,
y. Hurt, £. Oaks,

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
B. M. Graham, Chairman,
M. L. Koehn, Secretary,

3.
A. Van Lahr, Jr., W. W. Wilken.

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979

A-2

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP | AREA HARVESTED 4 YLELO 4 PRODUCTION
AND t T T TD 7 1 T IND T v 7 IND
STATE 11977) 1978} 1979 _ 1 1977 | 1978 | 2979 | 1977 _1 1978 1 1979
| 19000 ACRES CwT 19000 CwT
1
WINTER {
)
TOTAL wv) 1364 1209 13.2 199 203-206 20660 = 262) 20723
'
SPRING 1
1
TOTAL wi Dee 9009 89.4 250 198 258 229870 =179963 239060
1
SUMMER: ‘
ALA ' 765 8.0 8e3 100 150 150 750 19200 19245
CALIF ‘ Bos Wd 7.7 360-360 355 30024-20844 24736
coLo ( 668 608 669 265 255 265 19802 19734 19829
OEL 4 53 $3 4e8 210 210 208 19113 10113 984
TLL l 2.3 1.8 1.9 200 200 200 460 360 380
IND H 2el 200 1.80175 170 175 368 340 35
Towa, 4 ae 15S eo = 225 200 220 413 300 308
4D ' 166 1.65 1.5 150 150 150 240 225 225
MICH : 7.8 8.3 86 «185 175 175 1Le4e3 19453 19505
MINN 1 7.5 740 6e3 275 = -2B0 270 29063 15960 19701
NEBR { 2el 168 165 150 160 160 315 288 240
Na 4 Bel B62 Bel 265 255 240 20147 20091 199446
N MEX ! 2.9 368 4.4 190 205 = 210 551 779 924
nC i} 4.0 40 el 125 125 125 500 500 $13
OH10 t 1.8 Leé 14 190 190 2k 342 306 2%
TENN 1 465 bee 43-90 90 95 405 396 409
TER ‘ 1063 1160 1063 23000 240 250 2036925310 29575,
vA 1 2767 27.0 2560 125 110 130 39463 29970 39250
wVA 27 ! 204 64 154
(
TOTAL 1 125.2 111.9 = 10863191 189 197 219982219167 = 219375
i}
FALL wt
CALIF i 1760 4763 17.2 3500-350 $9950 69055
COLO | 3665 37.5 39.5 260 260 99490 = 94750
CONN ‘ 109 1.9 169 245 220 466 418
IDAHO"10 SW CO | 3060 3240 3000 © 300 325 91000 205400
WOTHER CU | 330.0 333.0 305.0 240 260 799200 869580
IND { 467 369 412 240 240 139128 936
MAINE 4 12B.d 119.0 115.0 240 = 220 20320 © 264180
MASS ' 367 306 365 9 240 2e5 868 810
MICH ’ 3260 3400 32.0 275 = 255 89800 = 84670
MINN ' 7200 TL 68.0 180 210 129960 = 149910
MONT 1 864 8.7 669 240 240 20016 = 20088
NEBR 4 600 740 6.0 hu 240 19440 15680
NEV 1 1460 17.0 15.0 340 © 320 49760 59440
NH 2 1 3 235 7
N Y*LONG IS { 22.8 23.3 2168 315265 7182 069175
UPSTATE 1 2006 25.0 24,5 260 260 59356 69500
N OAK { 13500 128.0 119.0 © 160 175 219600 229400
OHIO 1 1le2 1043 10.0 205 9215 20744 = 29215
OREG=MALHEUR CO | 1060 1068 13.0 355 = 350 36550 39780
OTHER CO | 50.0 5608 51.0 440 © 435 220000 © 249708
PA ' 2505 2540 24.0 250 250 69375 = 6250
RL ( Gel Sel 4.0 230 220 943 902
S_DaK 1 509 7o0 Gol = 180 170 19062 49190
UTad ' 509 4d 4B 240 245 19416 10127
vT 1 1.0 8 «7? 235 210 235 168
wASH 1 11000 10960 10060 460 465 500600. 50685
wIS { $5.5 55.0 54.5 325 315 165036 = 179325
wyo ( 607 668 5.2 220 200 15474 19360
y
TOTAL 11913867 1915264 19082.8 270 277 3074064 3189702
(
us 3/1 1935807 1936861 1929367 261 263 384,576 360,453

1/ ESTIMATE FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED tron? FROM EARLIER FORECAST»
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CRO!
3/ YIELO AND PRODUCTION FOR 1979 TO BE RELEASED OCT 12, 1979.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



APPLES: The season's first forecast of the Nation's apple crop is a record 7.72 billion pounds

(3.50 million metric tons), 1 percent above last year and 16 percent greater than the
1977 crop. Prospects for increases from last year in Washington and a majority of other States
offset expected declines in West Virginia, Ohio, New York, and Michigan.

The Eastern States production is forecast at 3.23 billion pounds, up 1 percent from last year
and 19 percent above 1977. New York's crop is forecast at 1.00 billion pounds, a 7 percent de-
crease from last year's record crop but 11 percent above 1977. Set is variable, drop has been
normal to heavy, and the crop is generally in good condition. Pennsylvania expects a crop of 515
million pounds, 29 percent and 12 percent over 1978 and 1977, respectively. Frost severely reduc-
ed prospects in western counties, but the rest of the State was virtually frost-free. The New
England crop is forecast at 344 million pounds, just slightly below last year, and the same as the
1977 crop. Scab infection thus far is a minor problem, and drop has been moderate. Virginia ex-
pects a] percent drop in production from last year, but the 480 million pounds forecast is two-
thirds greater than the 1977 crop. The crop in West Virginia is forecast at 260 million pounds,
20 percent below last year's record crop but 33 percent above 1977. Conditions have been good in
both States. A record crop of 350 million pounds is forecast for North Carolina, where conditions
have been good, and quality is excellent.

Production in the Central States is forecast at 1.24 billion pounds, 12 percent below last
year's targe crop, but 22 percent above 1977. The Michigan crop is expected to be 720 million
pounds, 22 percent below last year's record, but 26 percent above the 1977 crop. The crop is siz-
ing well, while drop has been heayy. The Ohio crop is forecast at 120 million pounds, down 14 per-
cent from last year, but 85 percent above 1977. Drop has been heavy and remaining fruit are siz-
ing normally. The Illinois crop is forecast at 102 million pounds, 15 percent above the 1978
crop, but 6 percent below 1977

The crop in the Western States is forecast at 3.26 billion pounds, a 7 percent increase over
last year, and up 1] percent from 1977. The Nation's leader, Washington, expects 2.30 billion
pounds, up 6 percent and 10 percent,’ respectively, from the two previous years, and just short of
the 1976 record crop of 2.31 billion pounds, Winter damage was general, but bloom and pollination
conditions were generally good, with the exception of some rain early in that period. June grow-
ing conditions were favorable. The Oregon crop is forecast at 140 million pounds, just 1 percent
below last year, and 5 percent below the 1977 crop. Production in Hood River is expected to be
near last year, while the Milton-Freewater area will likely be down because of poor pollination
weather. The California crop is’ expected to total 525 million pounds, 5 percent above 1978 and
9 percent greater than the 1977 crop. Bloom was excellent and trees are in good condition.
Gravenstein picking should begin about the third week of July.

BLUEBERRIES: The U.S. blueberry crop is forecast at 83.1 million pounds (37.7 thousand metric

tons), 7 percent above last year's production. In Maine, the crop is expected to
total 13.0 million pounds, 28 percent below last year. The decline is attributed to a dry fall,
less than adequate winter snow cover and poor pollination conditions. In Michigan, a 32.0 million
pound crop is expected. Adequate snow cover during the winter protected the plants. The good
bud set this spring points to the largest crop in 3 years. The crop in New Jersey, now placed at
23.4 million pounds, is 5 percent above 1978. Harvest is underway. Excessive rain in May caused
some production losses. The crop in Oregon is forecast at 2.90 million pounds, 29 percent above
last season. The crop had a good bloom and fruit set. In Washington, growers expect to harvest
4.72 million pounds, 6 percent less than last season. The warm, dry spring has allowed good crop
development.

PEACHES: U.S. peach production is forecast at 2.92 billion pounds (1.32 million metric tons},
virtually unchanged from last month and 8 percent above last year. Excluding Calif-

ornia's Clingstone crop (utilized mostly for canning), peach production is expected to total 1.62

billion pounds, 1 percent above the June 1 forecast and 10 percent greater than the 1978 total.

Production of Clingstone peaches in California is expected to total 1.30 billion pounds, 6
percent above last season's crop, but 14 percent below the 1977 level. Fruit is sizing well and
brown rot problems are minimal. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 480 million Pounds,
up 4 percent from the June 1 forecast and 20 percent above last year's crop. Fruit is sizing
well and about one-third of the good-to-excellent quality fresh market crop is picked

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS CROP-HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO JULY 1

TOIY=TE TS7E=7S-
cRoP A ALTON mA
FRESH "PROCESSED? TOTAL + ,sfCR. } FRESH ‘PROCESSED: TOTAL mR
: : E HARVEST : : HARVEST
THOUSAND BOXES

ORANGES 1 37,276 162,584 199,860 19,760 32,490 164,077 196,567 «14,033
GRAPEFRUIT : 27,988 42019-70007 -«-34693 26.542 «377681 «640223 «307
LEMONS : 101438 142320243758 «= 1534211192 «= 73498 «18,690 510

GRAPEFRUIT: The 1978-79 grapefruit forecast of 67.3 million boxes (2.50 million metric tons) is
200 thousand boxes above last month‘s forecast but is 9 percent below last season.

Harvest is more than 50 percent complete in California and is virtually complete in all other
States.

Changes in the U.S. grpaefruit production forecast between July 1 and final production have
averaged 476 thousand boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 40.0 thousand boxes in 1970-71
to 900 thousand boxes in the 1976-77 season.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona lemon crop is expected to total 19.2 million boxes (662
thousand metric tons), 6 percent Tess than last month's forecast and 26 percent below

the 1977-78 season, Harvest is nearing the end with less than 3 pe ini
the 1977-78 ig percent of the crop remaining

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1979 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA