United States:

Monthly Marketings - United States

U.S. monthly marketing percentages for wheat, oats, barley,
corn, sorghum, soybeans, flaxseed, sunflower, cotton, and
peanuts are based on the 12 months which are used for the
U.S. marketing year. These months are consistent with the
data used to weight U.S. marketing year average prices.
Marketings are based on monthly probability surveys which
obtain quantities of the crop purchased from producers and
price information. Purchases are not identified by crop
production year, but represent the commodity sold during the
12 months of the marketing year. Monthly marketings for hay
and dry edible beans are based on estimates derived from
State marketing years and thus may extend over a period
exceeding 12 months.

Crop Marketing Seasons of Specified Field Crops

Barley:

Corn for Grain:

Dry Edible Beans:
Flaxseed:

Hay:

Oats:

Sorghum for Grain:

Soybeans:

Sunflower:

Wheat:

Crop Production
December 1996

June 1 to May 31 for California; July 1 to June 30 for all
other monthly marketing estimating States.

August 1 to July 31 for Georgia and Texas; September 1 to
August 31 for Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky,
Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio; October 1 to September
30 for all other monthly marketing estimating States.

September 1 to August 31 for all estimating States.
July 1 to June 30 for all estimating States.

April 1 to March 31 for Arizona; May 1 to April 30 for
Arkansas, California, Georgia, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri,
Nevada, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas, and Utah; June 1 to
May 31 for all other monthly marketing estimating States.

May 1 to April 30 for Texas; June 1 to May 31 for
California; July 1 to June 30 for all other monthly
Marketing estimating States.

June 1 to May 31 for Texas; August 1 to July 31 for Arkansas
and.Oklahoma; September 1 to August 31 for Kansas, Missouri,
New Mexico, and South Dakota; October 1 to September 30 for
Colorado and Nebraska.

September 1 to August 31 for all estimating States.

September 1 to August 31 for Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota
and South Dakota.

May 1 to April 30 for Arizona, California, Oklahoma, and

Texas; June 1 to May 31 for Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,

Kansas, and Missouri; July 1 to June 30 for the all other
monthly marketing estimating States.

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield surveys were conducted to gather
information on expected yield as of December 1. The
objective yield survey for cotton was conducted in the major producing States
that normally account for 65 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected
fields and plots within fields are surveyed each month. At crop maturity, the
fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the
sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield survey

estimates were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and
consistency with historical estimates. In addition, reports from cotton ginners
in each State were considered. Each State Statistical Office submits their
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published
December 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The December 1 cotton production forecast will not be

revised; instead, a new forecast will be made in January
followed by end-of-season estimates in May. At the end of the marketing year,
administrative records are reviewed and revisions are made, if data
relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised at any time a
production forecast is made, if there is strong evidence that the intended
harvested area has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1
production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the
December 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a
percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations
for the 20-year (1976-1995) period is computed; then the square root of the
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 cotton production forecast is
1.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production
forecast of 18.7 million bales will not be above or below the final estimate by
More than 1.7 percent, or approximately 318,548 bales. Chances are 9 out of

10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.0 percent
or approximately 562,143 bales.

Changes between the December 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past
10 years have averaged 198,000 bales, ranging from 40,000 to 479,000 bales. The
December 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times.
The difference does not imply that the December 1 cotton forecast this year is
likely to understate or overstate final production.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-8 NASS, USDA


Burley Tobacco: U.S. burley tobacco production is forecast at 572 million

pounds, up 31 percent from 1995 but 2 percent below the
November 1 forecast. Yields for 1996 are expected to average 2,065 pounds per
acre, 6 pounds below last month's forecast but 202 pounds above the average for
1995. Growers are expected to harvest 277,100 acres, 18 percent above last year
but 5,000 acres below last month. End-of-season surveys indicate that Kentucky
growers did not plant as much acreage as earlier expected.

Burley auction markets opened November 25. As of December 3, total gross sales
for the season totaled 153 million pounds compared with 152 million pounds sold
during a comparable period a year ago.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production was 2.97 million pounds for November.
This was 5 percent lower than October and 21 percent lower than
November 1995.

Weather conditions during November were mixed for papaya production. The first
two weeks were unfavorable with heavy rains over Kauai and Oahu flooding some
fields. Major Big Island orchards benefitted from light to moderate rainfall
during this period. Papaya ringspot virus continued to be a problem in infected
fields.

Area devoted to papaya production was 3,500 acres, 1 percent lower than October
and 7 percent lower than a year ago. Harvested area was estimated at

1,400 acres, 8 percent less than October and 41 percent less than last year.
October acreage figures were revised based on new survey data. Acreage declines
were caused by virus infected fields being taken out of production. Total area
did not show the same amount of decline as harvested area, reflecting new
plantings in areas not as affected by the virus.

Dry Edible Beans: Production of dry edible beans is estimated at 27.5 million
ewt. for 1996, 11 percent below 1995 and 5 percent below

two years ago. This estimate is 2 percent larger than the October forecast.

Area for harvest is estimated at 1.73 million acres, down 9 percent from 1995

and 6 percent below 1994. The average yield, at 1,589 pounds per acre fell

33 pounds short of 1995 but was 7 pounds above 1994.

North Dakota‘s dry bean harvest began in early September, slightly behind the
average. By early October, harvest was ahead of average due to dry conditions.
Harvest was virtually complete by mid-October, ahead of 1995 and the State’s
average. Michigan's dry bean crop came through as well as could be expected
considering the late planting, excessive rain, and frost damage. Harvest began
well behind normal but made good progress in October.

Cool weather early in the growing season kept Wyoming bean development behind
the average pace. With warm, dry weather during the summer and irrigation
supplies adequate or better, the crop developed rapidly. Harvest was completed
well ahead of the 5-year average. Utah’s severe drought destroyed much of the
1996 crop on non-irrigated land and resulted in the State’s average yield
increasing from 460 pounds per acre in 1995 to 1,600 pounds per acre in 1996,
since all the beans were on irrigated acres. However, harvested acres fell from
7,000 to 600 acres in one year.

Further west, in Oregon and Washington, rain delayed and prevented some
planting. However, growers in Washington completed harvest well ahead of
normal. A late frost in June damaged the crop in northeastern Oregon,
decreasing or completing destroying production for some producers.

Production in North Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming, New Mexico, Montana, and
Wisconsin is expected to be above 1995. Michigan experienced a 33 percent

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-4 NASS, USDA




Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Dry Edible Beans:

1994-96 (continued)

State, and Total,

Class,

Area Harvested

Area Planted

Class
and

1996

1995

1994

1995 1996

1994

State

i
t
'
'
'
‘
‘
'
‘
'
'
'
t
‘
'
1
1
'

1,000 Acres

worm
amnvo
a

26
1
38

moon
anno
a a

Small Red

omoad
adndd
am

omonea
Naam
a mM

ovoow
Manan
am

omono

Adomin
am

Total

Cranberry
CA
ID
MI
MN

eo denanowe
dia = aon s

85.

eomaonococon
NAAN oNdoNnA
© a

125.5

SONRDOHROOND
NoOdNATHAOMA
nt

°
4

eo nooOCoO AN
dq dovann
© d

89,

cononooonna

Ada QOAODND
dom
dd

SONDBDODON
NOHDANDAM
ing

107.5

Total

26.
6
32.

43.5
10.1
53.6

30.0
12.1
42.1

27.0
8.2
35.2

1

44.5
1.
55.6

32.0
14.0
46.0

Blackeye

Garbanzo

onads
MINA DH
ra)

ownne
nKmMdwo
a

onanan
wadond
d a

omoun
MDOoMana
a st

oenne
o maw S

onana
tdoMnd
a i)

CA
ID
OR
WA
Total

OMBnNOMA ONNaAaAAG

S SonNrHO meHAHS g

Conn onstTONN oA AD

YNFZMOMAMOAANAING

Nd dHtOWdOVNAMANAD
a 7

emaoo0o Conaanon
SSoOmOnH mhamddam
a st

SNANMOHOVWOONNAGON
ANAHANLDOMEMANAM
a a wo

Qetmowomonoo@on
Ss ddd 4 CNowmATAR 3

Total :

--continued

NASS, USDA

Agricultural Statistics Board

A-14

Crop Production

December 1996


State and :

Hay:

Marketing

Year

:Apr

Farm Marketings,

Percent of Sales, by Month and State,
1994-95 and 1995-96 1/ (continued)

:Oct :Nov

:Dec

OH

OK

OR

PA

sD

TX

WA

WI

1994-95

1995-96 :

1994~95

1995~96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95

1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95 :

1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

uw

16
10

17
16

10
10

ww

24
20

15
12

10
11
11

12
12

11
12

10
10

14
14

11
16

12
12

16
16

12
12

14
13

17
12

12
13

12
12

11
11

14
11

10
15

13
13

14
14

15
13

ww

an

ww

12
10

10
10

12
12

14
14

12
10

sw

Percent
11 12
12 6
10 9
10 9
8 4
9 6
7 8
7 8
16 16
7 17
4 6
7 6
6

7 6
12 9
8 9
4 9
4 9
8 7
8 7
10 10
7 9
12 12
121 8
10 7
10 7
5 8
7 8
110 (13
11 13

© 0

uw

ww

©

10

NV @H4 wo Aw

a3

10
10

15
15

ano nA

ou

10
10

11

au

un Co AR ww

Ow

wr NouA w py

aw

FA

aw

cS

0

Percents used to calculate marketing year average prices.

Crop Production
December 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS,

USDA


Beans, Dry Edible (by State).

Beans, Dry Edible (by Class).

Citrus Fruit .......e essen eee

Coffee 1... ee eee eee eee eee

COLTON 2c eee eee eee ee eee eee

Cottonseed ....... eee eee eee

Crop Marketing Seasons .......

Crop Summary .....---ee-ee eee

Farm Marketings ......-

PAPAYAS ..e. eee eee eee eee eee

PECANS 1 ee eee eee eee eee eee

Reliability Statement .......-

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed .

Tobacco, Burley .....+.-..eeeee

Crop Production
December 1996

Page

Table Narrative

bebe eee e eee eeee A-18 B- 6

eee e eee eee eee B- 8

pence tee eenee A-19 B- 7

cece cee e etn eene A- 8 B- 4

Agricultural Statistics Board
B-9 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Yield per Acre and Production, United States,

1995 and Forecasted December 1, 1996

All Cotton 1/ Bal, 537
Upland 1/ "3 533
Amer-Pima 1/ . 836

Cottonseed Ton :

Dry Edible Beans 1/2/Cwt
Burley Tobacco Lb
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed
Pecans 3/

(Domestic Units)

1995

17,899.8
17,532.2
367.6
6,848.7
30,812
436,343

30,796
268,000

Production
Nov 1, Dec 1,
1996 1996

18,594.1 18,738.1
18,027.1 18,197.1
567.0 541.0
7,128.4 7,186.4
26,989 27,485
584,247 572,332
27,968 28,312
250,700 230,700

1/ Yield in pounds.
2/ 1995 revised.
3/ November 1 forecast carried forward from October 1.

Crop Production
December 1996

Agricultural Statistics Boar@
NASS, USDA


In Hawaii, a November-record 18.79 inches of rain deluged Honolulu, Oahu.

Nearly all of the precipitation fell in a 2-week period between November 5-18,
including a 24-hour total of 4.52 inches on the 5th and 6th. The only wetter
months on record in Honolulu were February 1904 (23.50 inches) and March 1951
(20.79 inches). Elsewhere on Oahu, totals reached an all-time record

25.27 inches (362 percent of normal) in Wahiawa. Farther west, monthly rainfall
locally topped 1 foot on Kauai, but the eastern islands largely escaped the
downpours. On Hawaii Island, Hilo notched a monthly record high of 92 degrees F
on November 7. Meanwhile in Alaska, frigid early-season weather eased across
the west and north. Barrow's November temperatures averaged 10 degrees F above
normal. Cold, snowy weather persisted, however, in the State's southeastern
quadrant. Monthly snowfall totaled 25.7 inches (245 percent of normal) in
Anchorage and 18.4 inches in Fairbanks.

General Crop Comments: Harvest of the major row crops started November slightly

behind schedule. In the Corn Belt, rain and snow slowed
harvest activity, while in the eastern Corn Belt, high moisture levels in some
late-maturing grain fields limited harvest progress. Snow and freezing rain in
the western Corn Belt brought the row-crop harvest to a halt. Elevators in the
central Great Plains were filled to capacity with grain due to a large
production of corn and soybeans. Early in the month, wheat diseases were
reported in the central Great Plains, but damage was minimal. The lateness in
the row-crop harvest caused delays to wheat seeding in the Ohio Valley, leaving
some acres unplanted. Heavy rains in the Eastern States were followed by
freezing temperatures that limited fieldwork. Excessive rainfall delayed
harvest activity and flooded some unharvested fields in the middle Mississippi
Valley. In the Southeast, severe thunderstorms, some accompanied by tornadoes,
and chilly weather stopped fieldwork. Freezing temperatures in early November
in the southern Great Plains were welcomed by cotton producers who waited for a
hard freeze to aid defoliation. Wet weather at mid-month across the central
Great Plains slowed row-crop harvest activity and prevented producers from
completing small grain seeding. In the Dakotas, blizzard conditions brought
harvest activity to a standstill and left some row crops unharvested until
spring. Wheat producers in the Dakotas were concerned that short wheat stands
were susceptible to blow-out during the winter. Producers struggled with muddy
fields in the Ohio Valley as they attempted to finish combining row crops.
Farmers hurried to chisel their fields in the Great Lakes region before a deep
frost occurred. Farther south in the Delta, surplus soil moisture caused
harvest activity to fall behind schedule.

Later in the month, cold, wet weather limited harvest activity and small grain
seeding in the Midwest and slowed the dry down of row crops still in the field.
Producers left some row crops unharvested until spring due to deep snow in the
Dakotas. In the central Great Plains, persistent wet conditions required
producers to wait for fields to freeze to support combines. Wet weather in the
southern Great Plains and western Delta flooded fields and delayed the row-crop
harvest. Heavy rains along the Pacific Coast caused flooding and halted all
field activity. Low temperatures and dry conditions slowed wheat emergence on
some replanted fields in the Mountain States. Cotton producers in the southern
Great Plains waited for freezing temperatures to aid in defoliation, while
producers in the Tennessee Valley commented that the cotton harvest would not be
completed by year's end. Harvest activity was delayed by rains over the
Southeast, but the moisture improved small grain and pasture condition.

Persistent cool, wet weather at the end of November slowed harvest activity and
small grain seeding across the Eastern States. Snowfall brought much-needed
moisture across the southern and central Great Plains for recently planted small
grains. Producers in the Northern States were concerned about the early-winter
weather and snow accumulation and the lateness of small grain seedings. Deep
snow in the Dakotas restricted grazing and forced producers to begin using feed

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-2 NASS, USDA


Fie.

1d Crops: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales by Crop
1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

and Month, United States

Crop Marketing Year

1995-96 1994-95 1995-96 1994-95 1995-96
Percent
Hay Flaxseed Peanuts
Apr H 4 4
May : 3.9 3.5
Jun 3 12.1 11.0
Jul : 12.4 11.1 5.9 2.8
Aug 3 10.6 10.3 3.8 9.7 3 1.0
Sep 3 10.7 9.9 18.5 21.8 36.2 40.4
Oct 2 8.7 8.1 22.2 33.6 42.6 40.7
Nov : 7.9 7.9 14.1 6.7 15.7 14.6
Dec 7.6 7.9 8.0 3.9 4.3 2.5
Jan 7.8 7.7 13.4 4.6 9 7
Feb 6.3 7.4 4.4 6.1 a1
Mar 5.7 7.0 5.1 3.2
Apr 4.4 5.6 2.7 1.5
May 1.5 2.2 0.6 1.5
Jun 1.3 4.6
Year : 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Oats Wheat Barley

Jun 5.6 6.4 12.4 8.9 6.5 3.9
Jul 21.4 14.9 16.8 21.6 8.3 4.1
Aug 23.7 26.8 11.8 11.2 20.0 18.2
Sep 10.0 9.2 9.5 10.0 10.4 15.6
Oct 7.1 5.6 6.9 7.8 7.0 8.8
Nov 3.3 4.7 5.6 6.3 7.9 11.0
Dec 3.6 6.1 8.6 8.6 9.6 10.1
Jan 5.3 5.9 8.5 9.0 11.3 9.6
Feb 6.3 5.4 6.0 5.4 7.5 7.0
Mar 5.3 5.2 4.8 4.4 4.9 4.9
Apr 4.8 5.2 4.1 3.7 4.0 3.7
May 3.6 4.7 5.0 3.1 2.6 3.1
Year 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
See footnotes at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-21 NASS, USDA


State and
Marketing
Year

AZ 1994-95
1995-96

AR 1994-95
1995-96

CA 1994-95
1995-96

co 1994-95
1995-96

GA 1994-95
1995-96

ID 1994-95
1995-96

IL 1994-95
1995-96

IN 1994-95
1995-96

KS 1994-95
1995-96

MI 1994-95
1995-96

Crop Production
December 1996

All Wheat:

: Jun:

Farm Marketings,
by Month and State,

: 13

: 58
+ 61

20
36

17
23

28
30

17
15

Be

49
67

55
57

23
33

29
38

qa
13

10
18

19
aaa

13
15

29
26

Roe AD

w

13
16

ne

@~o

13

en PN NP

sO

Percent
1

1 4
2 4
7 10
5 11
1

6 8
11 11
2 1
1 3
1 1
1 5
3 8
3 3
2 7
8 3

3
6

15
14

12
15

ww w RRP aF

uw

Percent of Sales,
1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

AO PN

B

1

1

1
5
1
3 5 3
3 2 #21
1
5 7 21
6 4 5
2 1
2 3
1 1
1 1 2
1

~-continued

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Hay: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales, by Month and State,
1994-95 and 1995-96 1/
State and
Marketing
Year

fun :Jul :Aug :Sep :Oct :Nov :Dec :Jan :Feb :Mar :Apr :May

az 1994-95; 11 10 11 10 10 12

7 7 6 6 5 6

1995-96 : 11 10 11 10 10 11 7 7 6 6 5 6
AR 1994-95 : 5 23 10 5 9 7 6 6 16 6 5 2
1995-96 : 5 23 10 5 9 7 6 6 16 6 5 2
CA 1994-95 13 14 14 14 11 9 4 4 3 2 4 8
1995-96 12 12 14 #15 10 8 5 3 3 4 4 10

cO 1994-95 : 6 12 10

9 12 12 11 14 5 4 3
1995-96 : 12 9 lo 8 9 9 10 11 6 6 6 4
ID 1994-95 : 17 aL g 12 8 5 10 6 7 3 2 1
1995-96 : 10 9 lo 15 8 12 9 6 7 6 4 4
IL 1954-95 : 12 10 9 11 6 7 9 9 10 7 7 3
1995-96 : 10 8 8 6 4 6 9 13 13 13 7 «3
IN 1994-95 : 15 11 #9 8 7 #8 10 #8 8 8 5 3
1995-96 : 15 12 #9 8 7 +8 10 8 8 8 5 3
IA 1994-95 16 1i 9 8 5 6 7 11 11 8 5 3
1995-96 wi 69 8 § 6 7 I it 8 5 3
KS 1994-95 5 6 8 8 11 15 13 11 7 6 5 5
1995-96 : 5 6 8 @ lL 15 13 i 7 6 5 5
KY 1994-95 : 4°13 9 9 10 7 5 13 4 9 7 3
1995-96 : 4 13 9 9 10 7 5 13 11 9 7 3
MI 1994-95 : 4110 9 #6 6 6 6 10 9 12 8 7
1995-96 : 122 °9 «6 #3 6 4 #7 +8 14 15 1 4
MN 1994-95 : 17 0120«13—- ss 13—i 5S KK KT
1995-96 8 il i112 #7 #2 6 7 10 13 5 8
Mo 1994-95 : 3017 17 #14 +8 6 4 6 11 #7 5 2
1995-96 : 312 11 #10 8 4 10 9 4 9) 65
MP 1994-95 : 5 5 9 9 8 17 12 10 8 9 6 2
1995-96 5 5 9 9 8 17 12 10 8 9 6 2
--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1996 A-23 NASS, USDA


supplies earlier than normal. Excessive rainfall in the Delta caused harvest
activity to fall behind schedule. Showers over the mid-Atlantic restricted
harvests but improved small grain and pasture conditions. Heavy rains along the
Pacific Coast caused some flooding and slowed fieldwork and prevented some
growers from planting field crops. Winter wheat emergence finished ahead of
normal and ended the month in mostly good to fair condition. At month’s end,
late-planted wheat in the Great Lakes region and eastern Corn Belt remained
susceptible to damage from heaving. Corn harvest progress started November
behind the average but was virtually complete at months’s end, slightly ahead of
schedule. Cotton harvest progress started the month 1 percentage point behind
the average, and wet weather during the month prevented progress from exceeding
the average.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 12.5 million acres, is down
21 percent from last year, and American-Pima harvested acreage, at
261,900 acres, is 24 percent above 1995.

In Texas, generally favorable weather allowed harvest to proceed at a normal
pace, although damp mornings and cold, wet conditions slowed operations in the
Plains the last week of November. On December 1, three-fourths of Texas' crop
was harvested, only 1 percent ahead of average. Cotton objective yield data
indicate Texas' crop has the second highest boll weights when compared to the
previous 10 year's weights.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
harvest pace was behind the average on December 1 in Arkansas, Missouri, and
Tennessee, as rains interrupted field work. Louisiana and Mississippi stayed
slightly ahead of their average progress, and harvest was complete in these
two States. Data from objective yield surveys show boll weights are the third
lowest since 1986 in Arkansas, second highest in Louisiana, and Mississippi
weights ranked sixth during this period.

Arizona's harvest was 82 percent complete in early December, 14 points behind
normal, as producers are waiting for more bolls to develop. California, at

95 percent harvested, was 3 percent behind their average pace. Mid-month rains
in California caused minimal harvest activity, and increased the concerns about
rain stained lint. December 1 cotton objective yield counts show boll weights
are the third lowest since 1986 for California.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina), harvest progress exceeded the average pace except for Alabama.
Georgia producers harvested 91 percent of the acreage by December 1, 4 percent
ahead of normal, and South Carolina producers harvested 95 percent of the crop
compared to the 5-year average of 89 percent. North Carolina’s harvest pace was
4 percent ahead of the normal pace at 90 percent.

American-Pima production is forecast at 541,000 bales, up 47 percent from 1995's
output, but down 26,000 bales from the November forecast. Yield is indicated at
992 pounds per harvested acre, up 156 pounds from last year. In California, the
effect of August’s high temperatures, caused yield prospects to decline from
early season expectations. Harvest continued in the Trans-Pecos region of
Texas, as yield expectations declined slightly due to the freeze in late
October. Arizona’s yield prospects improved slightly from November. Thirty-
five percent of the Arizona crop was rated in good condition and 16 percent was
in excellent condition.

All cotton ginnings totaled 14,659,300 running bales prior to December 1,
compared with 14,199,050 running bales ginned to the same date last year and
15,587,300 running bales in 1994.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-3 NASS, USDA


Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted December 1, 1996

Utilized Production

Crop and State

1,000 Pounds
Improved Varieties 1/

AL : 2,000 7,000 10,000
AZ 2/ : 18,000
AR 3/ 3 600 900 900
CA 3/ : 1,500 2,900 2,100
FL 3/ 2 400 600 1,500
GA 2 50,000 62,000 80,000
LA : 1,500 2,000 3,000
MS 3/ : 1,200 1,400
NM 3 24,000 45,000 24,000
NC 3/ : 2,200 1,800 2,000
OK 2 1,300 2,500 1,000
sc 3/ : 5,400 2,400 4,000
TX 3 30,000 47,000 35,000
us 2 118,900 175,300 182,900
Native & Seedling :
AL 3 2,000 3,000 5,000
AR 3/ : 900 700 500
FL 3/ : 1,500 500 1,000
GA 3 15,000 13,000 10,000
KS 3/ 3 3,600 500 400
LA : 9,500 11,000 15,000
MS 3/ t 1,000 1,100
NC 3/ : 2,800 1,500 800
OK : 10,700 16,500 3,000
sc 3/ : 3,600 1,100 1,000
TX : 10,000 28,000 10,000
us : 59,600 76,800 47,800
All Pecans :

AL : 4,000 10,000 15,000
AZ 2/ : 18,000
AR 3/ : 1,500 1,600 1,400
CA 3/ : 1,500 2,900 2,100
FL 3/ 2 1,900 1,100 2,500
GA : 65,000 75,000 90,000
KS 3/ z 3,600 500 400
LA 3 11,000 13,000 18,000
MS 3/ : 2,200 2,500
NM : 24,000 45,000 24,000
NC 3/ : 5,000 3,300 2,800
OK 3 12,000 19,000 4,000
sc 3/ : 9,000 3,500 5,000
TX 3 40,000 75,000 45,000
Oth Sts 4/ : 20,500 15,3900

199,000 268,000 230,700

1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.

2/ Estimates published separately beginning in 1996.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

4/ AZ, MS, MO, and TN in 1994. AZ, MO, and TN in 1995. No breakdown between
varieties available. Forecasts discontinued in 1996 for MO and TN.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-18 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1994-96

Class Area Planted Area Harvested

1,000 Acres

Large Lima :
CA 2 24.0 21.0 22.0 23.5 20.0 21.0
Baby Lima :
cA : 26.0 23.0 24.0 24.5 22.0 23.0
Navy
co 2.0 0.8 2.0 0.8
ID 3.5 6.3 7.6 3.4 6.3 7.4
KS 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.1
MI 230.0 220.0 210.0 210.0 218.0 200.0
MN 45.2 76.5 46.0 41.1 61.2 42.9
NE 4.0 6.0 5.0 3.5 5.8 4.6
NM 4.1 4,3 5.0 4.1 4.3 5.0
ND 135.0 168.0 135.0 112.0 149.0 132.0
OR 1.0 2.0 1.8 0.9 1.9 1.8
wy 2.0 2.0 4.0 1.7 1.9 3.7
Total 428.4 487.1 414.4 380.2 450.3 397.4
Great Northern
co 0.9 4.0 1.3 0.9 4.0 1.3
ID 3.5 7.9 8.2 3. 7.8 8.1
KS 2.0 2.5 1.8 2.3
MN 3 6.8 1.0 4.8 0.9
NE : 77.0 110.0 100.0 73.0 98.0 94.6
WA : 1.7 2.2 1.7 2.2
wy : 4.0 6.0 5.0 3.8 5.2 4.4
Total : 85.4 138.4 120.2 81.2 123.3 113.8
Small White
ID 3.5 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.2 2.8
1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
2.3 1.7 2.3 1.7
1.6 2.5 1.6 2.5
8.4 8.3 8.3 8.3
--cont inued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1996 A-10 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales, by Month and State,
1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

State and

Marketing sep : oct: Nov Dec: Jan : Aug
Year :
Percent
CA 1994-95 10 13 9 8 6 7 8 10 7 8 8
1995-96 10 14 8 9 8 7 9 10 7 6 7
co 1994-95 16 8 8 8 7 5 6 4 6 6
1995-96 15 9 8 8 6 6 5 4 5 6 4
ID 1994-95 11 18 10 14 6 8 5 5 3 3 5
1995-96 6 15 9 10 4 7 7 8 9 11 6
MI 1994-95 : 24 30 8 8 12 2 2 7 2 2 1
1995-96 : 26 11 8 8 7 5 6 5 10 7 4 3
MN 1994-95 : 41 16 7 i) 6 4 7 3 2 4 1 1
1995-96 : 30 16 8 5 5 6 15 4 3 1 3
NE 1994-95 : 33 14 12 8 7 5 7 3 2 3 2 4
1995-96 : 22 20 9 9 7 6 8 3 3 5 3 5
ND 1994-95 : 26 17 13 10 10 6 8 2 2 3 2 1
1995-96 +: 26 16 9 6 7 9 8 8 3 3 2
WA 1994-95 24 19 15 9 9 2 7 5 4 2 1 3
1995-96 19° 26 15 6 6 3 4 4 4 5 5

1/ Percents reflect estimates of actual marketings used for calculating
marketing year average prices.

Sunflower: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales
by Month and State, 1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

State and
Marketing
Year

Ks 1994-95: 8 26 16 8 12 #6 10 4 6 3 1
1995-96: 1 24 24 18 15 5 6 2 1 2 1 1

MN 1994-95: 2 11 20 19 5 9 8 7 6 7 4 2
1995-96: 9 25 22 9 6 4 303 #2 3 1 4

ND 1994-95: 1 9 28 9 4 7 7 6 5 4 6 7
1995-96: 3 21 18 12 10 6 7 5 4 4 7

SD 1994-95: 5 30 16 16 5 4 4 3 4 7 4 2
1995-96: 5 27 27 9 8 67 5 3 3 3 3

1/ Sample survey reported marketings as percent of total used for calculating
marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-33 NASS, USDA


Corn: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales, by Month
and State, 1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

State and
Marketing

co 1994-95 13 15 14 15 7 8 6 6 5 3 5 3
1995-96 11028 0«©20 0 «(15 7 5 5 3 1 t 2 2

GA 1994-95 30 #19 11 6 4 7 5 3 3 6 3 3
1995-96 3700 21 5 2 3 5 3 2 2 1 7 12

IL 1994-95 : 3 9 10 9 25 10 9 5 6 4°65 5
1995-96 =: 7 18 8 8 28 9 9 4 4 2 2 1

IN 1994-95 5 15 13 7 19 #10 8 5 5 4 5 4
1995-96 8 21 8 8 19 «11 8 6 3 2 3 3

ITA 1994~95 4 10 13 7 a1 6 #7 7 7 8 411 9
1995-96 8 14 14 6 16 7 421 8 5 4 5 2

KS 1994-95 9 19 14 14° «16 7 6 3 4 2 3 3
1995-96 8 28 18 14° «214 6 5 2 2 es

KY 1994-95 12 «16 8 5 21 411 8 5 4 3 3 4
1995-96 26 13 5 6 21 12 7 4 2 1 2 3

MI 1994-95 3 18 14° «214 6 6 5 5 11 7 7 4
1995-96 18 19 13,20 10 6 7 3 1 oo 1 a

MN 1994-95 : 6 12 6 7 4 65 5 6 12 14 13 11
1995-96 ; 17 121 6 10 7 8 10 9 9 7 3 3

MO 1994-95 17 16 14 8 12 7 5 4 3 3 7
1995-96 14 «#12 12 9 #17 1067 5 5 3.03 3

NE 1994-95 12 11 9 13 8 9 6 6 7 6 7 6
1995-96 130 22 10 #16 di 9 6 4 2 3 2 2

NC 1994-95 36 20 4 3 6 5 4 3.3 1 114
1995-96 36 06:12 2 3 8 7 4 3 3 2 1°19

OH 1994-95 2 160615 9 14 8 9 7 6 6 4
1995-96 5 26 15 9 14 8 8 5 3 2 3 2

PA 1994-95 8 17 #10 10 5 9 8 9 10 4 5 5
1995-96 23 17 17 8 3 8 5 5 4 5 3 2

SD 1994-95 10 28 10 10 7 5 5 5 4 5 5 6
1995-96 1g 16 8 12 12 10 8 5 5 3 2 1

TX 1994-95 23 20 5 9 10 30 2 1 1 2 #7

. 1995-96 8 29 13 14 8 2 1 1 oa1 1 a

WI 1994-95 7 16 9 10 5 7 9 6 7 8 8 8
1995-96 17 19 10 20 6 5 7 6 3 3 3 1

1/ Sample Survey reported marketings as percent of total used for calculating
marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-30 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State
and United States, 1995 and Forecasted December 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production 1/

1,000 Acres

1,000 Bales 2/

Upland t
AL 5 578.0 556.0 409 699 699 492.0 810.0
AZ 3 364.0 324.0 1,046 1,170 1,141 793.0 770.0
AR : 1,110.0 990.0 635 776 776 1,468.0 1,600.0
CA : 1,165.0 995.0 953 1,206 1,182 2,312.0 2,450.0
FL 3/ : 109.0 100.0 472 672 672 107.2 140.0
GA : 1,490.0 1,375.0 625 698 698 1,941.0 2,000.0
KS 3/ 3 2.6 1.7 185 311 311 1.0 1.21
LA : 1,075.0 940.0 614 664 664 1,375.0 1,300.0
MS : 1,420.0 1,030.0 622 839 862 1,841.0 1,850.0
MO : 453.0 405.0 544 711 711 513.0 600.0
NM : 56.0 54.0 609 720 764 71.0 86.0
NC 2 800.0 720.0 479 660 660 798.0 990.0
OK 3 315.0 240.0 187 270 260 123.0 130.0
sc 2 342.0 265.0 528 779 815 376.0 450.0
TN : 660.0 520.0 527 600 618 724.0 670.0
TX : 5,750.0 3,900.0 372 498 517 4,460.0 4,200.0
VA 3/ 3 106.0 102.0 620 706 706 137.0 150.0
us 315,795.6 12,517.7 533 691 698 17,532.2 18,197.1

Amer-Pima :
AZ : 48.1 39.9 720 818 878 72.2 73.0
CA > 115.0 165.0 937 1,193 1,120 224.5 385.0
NM : 15.0 17.0 605 734 621 18.9 22.0
TX : 33.0 40.0 756 756 732 52.0 61.0
US $ 211.1 261.9 836 1,039 992 367.6 541.0

All
AL 0 556.0 409 699 699 492.0 810.0
AZ ol 363.9 1,008 1,132 1,112 865.2 843.0
AR 0 990.0 635 776 776 1,468.0 1,600.0
CA -0 1,160.0 951 1,204 1,173 2,536.5 2,835.0
FL 3/ 0 100.0 472 672 672 107.2 140.0
GA -0 1,375.0 625 698 698 1,941.0 2,000.0
KS 3/ 6 1.7 185 311 311 1.0 1.1
LA 0 940.0 614 664 664 1,375.0 1,300.0
MS -0 1,030.0 622 839 862 1,841.0 1,850.0
MO 0 405.0 544 711 711 513.0 600.0
NM -0 721.0 608 723 730 89.9 108.0
NC 0 720.0 479 660 660 798.0 990.0
OK -0 240.0 187 270 260 123.0 130.0
sc 0 265.0 528 7179 815 376.0 450.0
TN -0 520.0 527 600 618 724.0 670.0
TX -0 3,940.0 375 501 519 4,512.0 4,261.0
VA 3/ -0 102.0 620 706 706 137.0 150.0
us «7 12,779.6 537 698 704 17,899.8  18,738.1

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-7 NASS, USDA



Crop Summary:

Crop

Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
1995 and Forecasted December 1, 1996
(Metric Units)

Yield per Hectar

Production

All Cotton

Upland

Amer-Pima
Cottonseed
Dry Edible Beans 1/
Burley Tobacco
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed
Pecans 2/

Metric

3,897,230
3,817,190

80,040

6,213,040
1,397,610

197,920

27,937,660

121,560

Tons

4,048,390
3,924,940
123,450
6,466,780
1,224,200
265,010

25,372,140
113,720

4,079,740
3,961,950
117,790
6,519,390
1,246,700
259,610

25,684,210
104,640

1/ 1995 revised.

2/ November 1 forecast carried forward from October 1.

Crop Production
December 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS,

USDA


For Sugar :
FL
RI
LA
TX

US

For Sugar
and Seed

Sugarcane:

by

417.
48.
368.
41.

NOND

874.

a)

20.
4.
32.
1.

Rone

57.

a

437.
53.
400.
42.

wooo

w

Coffee:

1,000 Acres

Use,

420.0
40.0
325.0
34.7

819.7

20.

35.

wooo

wn
i)
w

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production
State, and United States, 1994-96

Area Harvested

34,
81.
25.
32.

33.
33.
26.
25.
25.

28.

Yield 1/

BAAD

mu mAnoe

34.
26.
25.
24.

28.

34.
78.
25.
28.

Area Harvested, Yield,
Hawaii 1994-96

14,216
5,266
8,589
1,334

29,405

721
98
683
22

1,524

1,000 Tons -

14,445
3,953
9,421
1,336

29,155
677
117
819

28

1,641

and Production,

Production 1/

14,280
3,276
8,125

991

26,672

680
78
875,

1,640

1/ Parchment

Crop Producti
December 1996

Acres -
5,400

basis.

on

5,700

980

1,000

A-19

1,000 Pounds

1,140 4,300

5,400

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production,
by State and United States, 1994-96 1/ 2/

Area Planted Area Harvested
1995 1996 1994 1995 1996
1,000 Acres
CA 136.0 145.0 135.0 131.0 137.0 130.0
co 205.0 190.0 150.0 195.0 165.0 135.0
ID 140.0 110.0 95.0 138.0 108.0 93.0
KS 34.0 34.0 28.0 32.0 31.0 24.0
MI 390.0 390.0 340.0 360.0 385.0 320.0
MN 135.0 190.0 130.0 121.6 150.0 120.0
MT 10.2 11.0 10.5 10.0 10.8 10.3
NE 200.0 225.0 205.0 190.0 205.0 195.0
NM 12.5 12.5 12.0 12.5 12.5 12.0
NY 39.0 34.0 30.0 38.5 33.0 29.0
ND 570.0 600.0 580.0 470.0 540.0 565.0
OR 10.2 10.2 9.2 10.0 10.0 8.8
TX 30.0 25.0 13.0 26.0 23.0 10.0
UT 6.5 7.3 5.0 6.3 7.0 0.6
WA 40.0 41.0 37.0 40.0 41.0 35.0
Wr 11.4 9.3 8.3 11.3 9.0 8.0
wy 46.0 35.0 37.0 43.0 32.0 34.0
us 2,015.8 2,069.3 1,825.0 1,835.2 1,899.3 1,729.7
Yield Per Acre Production

cA 3 2,115 2,000 1,880 2,771 2,740 2,444
co 3 1,610 1,550 1,750 3,140 2,558 2,363
ID 1,950 2,000 2,050 2,691 2,160 1,907
KS 3 1,750 1,550 1,850 560 481 444
MI 3 1,300 1,800 1,450 4,680 6,930 4,640
MN 3 1,710 1,370 1,500 2,079 2,055 1,800
MT 3 2,200 1,900 2,280 220 205 235
NE 1,880 1,750 1,900 3,572 3,588 3,705
NM 2 2,260 2,010 2,200 283 251 264
NY 1,630 1,280 585 538 371
ND 1,330 1,320 6,110 7,182 7,458
OR 2,080 1,800 197 208 158
TX 980 840 218 225 84
UT 460 1,600 24 32 10
WA 2,200 2,030 840 902 710
WI 1,300 1,800 237 117 144
wy 2,000 2,200 821 640 748
us 1,589 29,028 30,812

1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ 1995 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-9 NASS, USDA



Barley: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

State and 3 : 3 2 3
Marketing :Jun :Jul :Aug :Sep :Oct
Year 3 t 3
Percent
CA 1994-95 : 16 17 19 3 3 1 4 1 3 2 22 9
1995-96 : 13 20 12 8 5 5 5 1 4 2 2 23
co 1994-95: 7 31 415 6 18 3.15 1 1 1 1 1
1995-96 : 16 19 9 23 27 4 1 1
ID 1994-95: 5 22 41 5 13 7 15 8 6 4 2 2
1995-96 : 1 19 15 8 13 10 14 6 5 A 2 3
MN 1994-95: 10 19 10 5 7 12 9 5 7 7 4 5
1995-96 : 9 13 11 7 13 121 10 6 4 5 2 9
Mr 1994-95 7 14 42 3 9 9 12 10 9 3 3 3
1995-96 2 14 12 a1 14 13 11 8 6 4 2 3
ND 1994-95 : 10 22 11 7 7 12 12 7 4 3 2 3
1995-96 : 5 16 14 9 10 10 10 9 6 4 3 4
OR 1994-95: 4 16 4 317 10 4 5 2 2 2 2 2
1995-96 3 15 15 12 7 9 6 16 6 5 5 1
SD 1994-95 : 15 13 10. 4 4 6 7 11 8 5 3 14
1995-96 3 13 18 9 4 6 8 10 12 6 5 2 7
ur 1994-95: 14° 20 8 8 6 5 8 9 8 6 3 5
1995-96 t 6 19 13 7 10 8 at 6 4 4 5 7
WA 1994-95 3 15 15 13 12 9 13 10 5 2 1 2
1995-96 1 21 42 «412 8 5 4 1 2 2 2 1
WY 1994-95 : 2 83 4 1 3 2 1 2 1 1
1995-96 : 84 8 4 2 1 1

i/ Sample survey reported marketings as percent of total used for calculating
marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-25 NASS, USDA


Crop
Production

Released December 12, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For
information on “Crop Production” call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m.
to 4:00 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics,
information about NASS, its products or services, contact the Agricultural
Statistics Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. Forecast
refer to December 1, 1996. The “Crop Production” U.S. Summary is available on
Autofax, (202) 720-2000, report 1150. See page B-11. Index and report features
are located at the end of this report.

Cotton Production Up 1 Percent

All cotton production is forecast at 18.7 million bales, up 1 percent from last
month and a 5 percent increase from last year. Yield is indicated at 704 pounds
per acre, up 167 pounds from 1995. This is the third largest production and the
third highest yield on record. Late August rainfall in Texas and favorable
weather during harvest, resulted in the highest large boll count and the second
highest boll weight in 10 years. Forecasted production in Texas increased
150,000 bales from November, and the Upland cotton yield of

517 pounds per harvested acre is a record high. The Mississippi forecast
increased 50,000 bales from last month. During the growing season, producers
had favorable weather, light insect pressure, and high boll counts.

All oranges: Production for the 1996-97 season is forecast at a record large
12.4 million tons, unchanged from the previous forecast in October but up 6
percent from a year ago. This year's crop is 5 percent larger than the previous
record of 11.8 million tons set in the 1979-80 season. Florida's production
amounts to 220 million boxes (9.90 million tons), unchanged from October but 8
percent above last season. Florida’s all orange, early varieties, and Valencia
forecasts remained unchanged from October and are each record large crops.

Early and mid~season varieties are expected to produce 130 million boxes (5.85
million tons), 7 percent above last year. The Valencia forecast is 90.0 million
boxes (4.05 million tons), 10 percent above a year ago. The California all
orange production forecast, at 63.0 million boxes (2.36 million tons), is
carried forward from October and is 5 percent less than last season. The Navel
orange forecast is 37.0 million boxes (1.39 million tons), down 3 percent from
last year's production of 38.0 million boxes. The California Valencia forecast
is 26.0 million boxes (975,000 tons), 7 percent less than last year.

Cr Pr 2-2 (12-96)


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1994-96 (continued)

Area Planted

1,000 Acres

Pinto

co 191.2 164.5 139.7 181.5 140.7 125.2
ID 72.8 48.9 44.8 71.8 48.3 44.4
KS 30.7 29.0 22.5 29.0 26.4 19.5
MI 5.0 4.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 8.0
MN 32.0 46.9 30.0 24.6 35.0 28.0
MT 10.2 11.0 10.5 10.0 10.8 10.3
NE 100.0 85.0 88.0 95.5 80.8 84.3
NM 7.1 7.0 6.7 7.1 7.0 6.7
ND 410.0 399.0 413.0 337.0 362.0 402.0
OR 4.0 2.0 2.2 4.0 1.9 2.0
TX 12.0 2.4 1.0 10.4 2.3 0.9
UT 6.5 7.3 5.0 6.3 7.0 0.6
WA 11.7 10.0 14.2 11.7 10.0 13.0
WY 2 38.0 26.0 27.0 36.0 24.0 25.0
Total 2 931.2 843.0 813.6 829.9 760.2 769.9

Light Red

Kidney 3

CA z 14.0 13.0 10.0 13.5 12.0 10.0
co 2 8.7 14.5 8.7 8.5 13.5 8.2
ID 0.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.1 0.8
MI : 14.0 12.0 12.0 13.0 12.0 10.0
MN Hy 9.6 7.0 8.0 9.4 6.6 7.4
NE : 15.0 17.0 10.0 14.2 14.0 9.7
NY 3 21.0 19.0 16.5 20.5 18.0 16.0
Total : 82.9 83.9 66.1 79.7 77.2 62.1

Dark Red

Kidney

CA 7.0 4.5 5.0 7.0 4.5 5.0
ID : 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.5
MI : 21.0 16.0 11.0 18.0 15.0 10.0
MN : 35.6 35.3 32.0 34.6 27.5 29.0
NY 3 5.0 4.0 3.5 5.0 4.0 3.0
ND 3 6.0 3.0 3.0 5.2 3.0 2.9
wi : 11.4 9.3 8.3 11.3 9.0 8.0

7 73.4 63.3 81.8 64.1 58.4

Total : 86.

--continued

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-12 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production, by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1994-96 (continued)

Large Lima

CA : 1,830 2,080 2,050 429 415 430
Baby Lima :
cA : 2,490 2,320 2,230 609 510 514
Navy :
co : 1,800 1,750 36 14
ID 3 2,060 2,210 2,000 70 139 148
KS 3 1,730 1,550 26 17
MI : 1,310 1,810 1,400 2,750 3,950 2,800
MN : 1,650 1,380 1,470 678 845 631
NE 3 1,890 1,900 2,070 66 110 95
NM : 2,270 1,980 2,200 93 85 110
ND 3 1,360 1,400 1,450 1,524 2,086 1,914
OR 3 2,110 2,260 2,330 19 43 42
wy : 1,710 1,580 2,300 29 30 85
Total 2 1,392 1,625 1,466 5,291 7,319 5,825
Great Northern
co 3 1,560 1,600 1,620 14 64 21
ID 3 2,090 2,030 2,170 73 158 176
KS : 1,560 1,610 28 37
MN : 1,400 1,780 67 16
NE : 2,020 1,760 1,920 1,478 1,723 1,817
WA : 2,350 2,360 40 52
wy : 2,110 1,850 2,300 80 96 101
Total : 2,026 1,765 1,951 1,645 2,176 2,220
Small White :
ID 3 1,880 2,000 1,930 64 62 54
MI 3 1,000 1,500 10 1s

OR : 2,300 2,120 2,000 53 36 10

-cont inued

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-11 NASS, USDA


The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in
its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA
Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD).

To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C.,
20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal
employment opportunity employer.

!

SUBSCRIBE TODAY

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data
products, and services:

INTERNET ACCESS

All NASS reports are now available free of charge on the worldwide Internet.
For access, connect to the Internet and select:

1. Worldwide Web: http://www.usda.gov/nass/ OR

2. For Gopher/Telenet/FTP access:
HOST=usda.mannlib.cornell.edu OR

3. For a subscription direct to your e-mail address,
send an e-mail message to: usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu
and in the body of the message.type the word: list

AUTOFAX ACCESS

NASSFax service is available for some reports from your fax machine. Please
call 202-720-2000, using the handset attached to your fax, Respond to the voice

Prompts.

PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS
CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 1-800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada)

Other areas, please call 1-703-834-0125 FAX: 1~703-834-0110
(Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.)

ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about
NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics HOTLINE at
1-800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-11i NASS, USDA


Year

Soybeans: Farm Marketings,

Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

State and
Marketing

NE

NC

OH

sc

sD

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995~96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

19
27

20
30
7
6
32
35

3
4

32
35

19
33

10
14

40
27

5
6

23
25

12
10

32
20

23
18

24
23

ova

32
31

13
17

14
17

Percent
8 6
6 4
8 9
7 7
7 al
5 4
4 5
6 3
8 8
5 5
5 13
6 5
7 8
6 6
5 5
6 4

2 2 2 5 2
4 1 1 1 2
S 5 4 4 4
6 4 2 4 4
5 5 4 5 5
5 5 2 5 5
4 3 3 2 1
4 3 2 2 21
5 5 5 4 3
5 3 2 3 2
3 3 2 10

8 6 2 2 2
4 5 4 3
7 3 3 4 2
2 2 3 3 3
4 2 1 1 1

Percents reflect crop

Beginning 1991-92, estimates discontinued.

marketings reported by surveyed firms.

Crop Production
December 1996

A-32

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


by Month and State,

Soybeans: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales,
1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

State and
Marketing
Year

AR 1994-95
1995-96

GA 1994-95
1995-96

IL 1994-95
1995-96

IN 1994-95
1995-96

IA 1994-95
1995-96

KS 1994-95
1995-96

Ky 1994-95
1995-96

LA 1994-95
1995-96

MI 1994-95
1995-96

MN 1994-95
1995-96

Crop Production
December 1996

on

10
14

Naw

31
38

15
12

14
20

31
36

17
23

29
43

21
21

25
47

26
4.

16
20

26
18

40
47

eu

© @

14
a.

10
13

15
17

an

14
13

14
12

18
24

12
13

it
16

10
15.
21

15
11

12
14

A-31

: Aug

2 1 2 1 1
3 1 1 1 1
2 2 1 3

3 3 1 2

5 6 5 6 5
6 4 3 5 4
5 4 3 5 3
5 3 3 3 4
7 7 6 9 5
7 4 4 6 4
3 4 3 3 3
3 3 2 4 3
4 4 2 3 2
7 3 1 3 3
1 1

1 1
4 4 4 3 3
5 3 1 1 1
7 10 8 13 7
7 5 8 10 6

--continued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1994-95
and Forecasted December 1, 1996

Production

1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Burley Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State,
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted December 1, 1996

IN : 6,700 7,600 2,030 1,970 15,265 13,601 14,972
KY : 155,000 190,000 1,950 2,100 420,000 302,250 399,000
MO 1/ : 2,700 2,900 2,025 2,200 8,015 5,468 6,380
NC : 8,100 8,300 1,290 1,900 17,548 10,449 15,770
OH : 7,700 8,300 1,950 1,700 18,360 15,015 14,110
TN : 43,000 48,000 1,700 2,050 108,375 73,100 98,400
VA : 9,000 10,000 1,540 2,000 21,285 13,860 20,000
we 1/ : 2,000 2,000 1,300 1,850 3,550 2,600 3,700

234,200 277,100 1,863 2,065 612,398 436,343 572,332

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1995-96

Month Total in Crop Harvested

1,000 Pounds

Oct 1/ : 3,740 3,550 2,375 1,530 3,125 3,140
Nov : 3,760 3,500 2,370 1,400 3,775 2,970

1/ October 1996 acreage was revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-8 NASS, USDA


Field Crops: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales by Crop and Month,
United States, 1994-95 and 1995-96 1/ (continued)

Crop Marketing Year

Percent

Sorghum Corn Cotton
Aug : 5.0 3.2
Sep 6.9 4.1 5.0 8.1 4.6 6.1
Oct 15.2 30.9 11.2 17.1 14.8 15.2
Nov 14.2 15.3 12.2 12.9 23.5 19.2
Dec 13.3 10.0 8.5 8.0 27.1 18.6
Jan 12.3 9.6 16.3 17.4 11.3 16.2
Feb 5.2 3.6 7.9 8.3 6.0 5.4
Mar 4.9 2.6 7.7 8.5 2.9 5.1
Apr 3.1 1.7 5.3 6.2 1.3 4.0
May 4.5 1.5 5.8 4.3 1.1 2.4
Jun 6.6 3.7 6.2 3.3 1.4 2.2
Jul 7.2 8.0 6.9 3.4 1.5 1.5
Aug 6.7 9.0 7.0 2.5
Year : 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Soybeans Dry Edible Beans Sunflower
Sep 7.0 8.1 22.7 21.9 2.4 4.2
Oct 20.6 26.9 17.9 14.0 15.6 23.7
Nov 10.0 8.5 11.4 9.8 22.4 21.6
Dec 7.7 7.2 8.9 7.9 12.9 11.5
Jan 12.7 15.2 9.3 7.2 8.5 9.0
Feb 7.9 6.1 4.7 6.7 6.5 6.2
Mar 8.8 6.3 6.0 7.2 6.6 5.8
Apr 5.0 5.8 4.9 6.0 5.4 3.8
May 5.5 3.8 3.6 6.1 4.8 3.0
Jun 4.4 3.4 4.0 5.2 5.4 3.4
Jul 6.0 4.7 3.0 4.1 5.0 5.7
Aug 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.9 4.5 2.1
Year 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
1/ Revised for 1994-95.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1996 A~22 NASS, USDA


ahead of last year with nearly 2 million boxes moved through November. Early
varieties Robinson and Fallglo were nearly completely harvested. Fruit drop was
a record low for this time of year on the Honey variety. The Arizona and
California tangerine forecasts were carried forward from October 1.

Temples

s The Florida 1996-97 temple production forecast remains at 2.50 million

boxes (113,000 tons), 16 percent more than last season. The average
fruit size in November was the smallest in over 20 years, reflecting the heavy
fruit set. Accumulated percent loss from fruit dGroppage was less than any
November in the 35 year series.

K-Early Citrus: The 1996-97 forecast of Florida K-Early Citrus is 150,000 boxes
(7,000 tons), down 25 percent from October and 6 percent from
last season. Harvest was almost complete with 139,000 boxes certified.

Florida Citrus: Most central Florida groves were dry during November. The east

and west coasts generally had a few more showers than the rest
of the State during the month. Growers and caretakers used all types of
irrigation to maintain good fruit and tree condition during the dry weather.
High northeast winds on November 13 through 16 burned some foliage on the east
side of many trees on the lower east coast and some inland areas. Salt was
picked up from the Atlantic Ocean, carried inland, and contributed to the
foliage burning. Caretakers reduced their in-grove activity in an effort to
reduce production costs. Very few sprays and fertilizers were applied this
month. Harvest of early and mid oranges was a little over 15 million boxes
which is about half of what it was at the same time the past two years.

Texas Citrus: Harvest moved briskly throughout November as shippers were busy

filling gift orders. Quality and packout remained very good.
Rainfall was minimal for the month which is actually preferred at this time so
crews can get the needed fruit for the gift market.

California Citrus: Grapefruit harvest in the desert area was active in November
with smooth texture and good color. Lemon movement gained

momentum with warm days and cool nights improving maturity. Navel orange

picking continued with above average quality reported. The cool nights improved

color and maturity and thickened the rind which will help in transportation.

The Valencia orange harvest was completed for the 1995-96 season. Tangerine

picking was active with good quality reported.

California Fruits and Nuts: Thompson Seedless, Red Crimson, and Emperor table

grape variety harvests were virtually complete by
month's end. Grape growers planted cover crops and pruned vines. Stone fruit
and nut orchards were also pruned. Walnut, pistachio, olive, kiwifruit,
pomegranate, fig, plum, apple, and quince harvests ended by month's end.
Harvest of avocados and persimmons continued throughout the month where
conditions permitted. Fall strawberries were harvested in the San Joaquin
Valley.

Pecans: The December 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 230.7 million
pounds (in-shell basis), a decrease of 8 percent from October and

14 percent lower than 1995. Production of improved varieties decreased

6 percent to 182.9 million pounds, and production for native and seedling

varieties declined to 47.8 million pounds. Growers in several States reported

they will not harvest due to depressed prices and low quality nuts.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-6 NASS, USDA


Georgia production decreased to 90.0 million pounds, 10 percent below October
but 20 percent higher than last year. Harvest reached over three-fourths
complete at the end of November, slightly ahead of normal. The quality of this
year's crop is highly variable and the crop is not weighing out as well-as
earlier expectations. Production in Texas remains at 45.0 million pounds,

40 percent lower than the previous year. Sixty-five percent of the crop has
been harvested. Both quantity and quality have been adversely affected this
year by insect damage and the ary conditions during spring and summer. Large
irrigated orchards have reported good crops, while most of the small producers
are reporting crop failures. New Mexico forecasts 24.0 million pounds, down
20 percent from the last forecast and 47 percent less than 1995. With

40 percent of the harvest completed, early grower optimism regarding the crop
has diminished.

Alabama forecasts 15.0 million pounds, unchanged from last forecast but

50 percent more than 1995. Reported yields varied across the State. Rains
reduced nut quality, especially in Mobile County. With 73 percent of the crop
harvested, Louisiana continues at 18.0 million pounds, 38 percent higher than
last year. Timely rainfall and lower disease pressure contributed to the good
production this year.

Arizona remains at 18.0 million pounds. Harvest is starting to gain momentum.
Oklahoma production dropped to 4.0 million pounds, half of October’s forecast
and 79 percent below last year. Producers who expected some production had
their crop washed away by flooding. Deer, squirrels and birds further reduced
the crop as wet ground hindered harvest activity.

Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for U.S. sugar and seed in 1996 is expected to

total 28.3 million tons, down 8 percent from 1995, but up 1 percent
from the November "Crop Report". Area for harvest, at 878,000 acres, was down
slightly from the November "Crop Report", and 6 percent below last year. The
forecasted yield, at 32.2 tons per acre, is 0.8 tons below last year's yield,
but up 0.5 tons from last month.

The harvest of Louisiana's sugarcane acreage started November slightly behind
normal due to wet field conditions. Rainy weather persisted during November and
by month’s end the harvest of Louisiana's sugarcane acreage at 61 percent
complete was slightly behind last year and the average. The sugarcane harvest
in Florida was active during November and was aided by dry weather. In Texas,
the lack of rain and irrigation water shortages early in the growing season
caused the loss of some acreage and limited the development of sugarcane. Rain
in Hawaii lessened the impact of the dry conditions and interrupted harvest
activity.

Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 6.50 million pounds for the

1996-97 season, up 20 percent from the previous season. Increased
production from the islands of Maui, Molokai, Kauai, and Oahu accounted for the
entire boost in overall output. Increased harvested acreage and the continuing
maturity of trees accounted for the increase in production from these islands.
Production on the island of Hawaii, where Kona coffee is produced, is expected
to decline this season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-7 NASS, USDA


All Wheat: Farm Marketings,
by Month and State, 1994-95 and 1995-96 1/ (continued)

Percent of Sales,

State and
Marketing
Year

MO

NE

OH

OK

OR

sD

WA

1994-95
1995-96.

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

: 16
: 13

17
14

21
33

42
24

36
59

au

30
27

64
76

13
19

aa

aw

18
18

10
10

Nw

14

rN wo

ww

Percent
7 10
7 iL
2 5
1 2

10 #10

10 a.
4 10
4 9
9 10

10 4610
1 3
4 1
4 17
2 10
6 6

10 14
6 10
7 10
1 3
1 2
9 10

130 12

an

15
12

12
11

rs

ai
11

aw

wo

Bw

wo PN

PU

we Pe

aw

7 9 8
6 6 5
1 1

6 6 8
8 5 6
2 3 2
3 1

8 7 8
6 5 4
1 1
a

3

2

2 2 2
4 2 1
6 7 8
5 2 2
4 4 4
5 3 1

1/ Sample survey reported marketings as percent of total used for calculating

marketing year average prices.

Crop Production

December 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1995 and Forecasted December 1, 1996
(Domestic Units)

1,000 Acres

All Cotton 16,931.4 14,243.0 16,006.7 12,779.6
Upland 16,716.8 13,979.0 15,795.6 12,517.7
Amer-Pima 214.6 264.0 211.1 261.9

Dry Edible Beans 1/ 2,069.3 1,825.0 1,899.3 1,729.7

Burley Tobacco 234.2 277.1

Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed 932.3 878.0

1/ 1995 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1995 and Forecasted December 1, 1996
(Metric Units)

1995 1996 1995 1996
Hectares

All Cotton : 6,851,970 5,764,000 6,477,750 5,171,780

Upland : 6,765,120 5,657,160 6,392,320 5,065,790

Amer-Pima : 86,850 106,840 85,430 105,990

Dry Edible Beans 1/ 3 837,430 738,560 768,630 699,990

Burley Tobacco 7 94,780 112,140
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed 377,290 355,320

1/ 1995 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-4 NASS, USDA


USDA Announces Agricultural Outlook Forum ‘97
February 24 and 25, 1997
Omni Shoreham Hotel, Washington, D.C.

An era of freer markets under the 1996 Farm Bill has begun. For an expert assessment of the
impact, attend the Outlook Forum. Top speakers will discuss the 1997 farm outlook, prospects
to 2005, risk management, concentration issues, market stability, world food security, marketing
high-valued exports and more. Plan now to attend. For program and registration details, check
Forum home page, call (202) 720-3050 or dial (202) 219-0296 from your fax machine and request
document 66666. Send e-mail to agforum@oce.usda.gov.

Get news from the Forum. Can't attend? After the Forum, download speeches from the Internet.
Or, call 1-800-999-6779 to place an advance order for the printed proceedings (YCONS 97) or new
Jong term projections to 2005 (WAOB-97-1).

Ag Forum home page: http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/agforum.htm

—= ————

Agricultural
Outlook
Forum ‘97

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-12 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production, by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1994-96 (continued)

Class Yield Per Acre 2 Production

Pounds
ID : 1,910 1,980 2,130 508 335 268
MI : 1,780 1,170 160 35
WA 3 2,300 2,270 2,280 265 250 107
Total 3 2,029 2,019 2,020 773 745 410
Cranberry :
CA 2 2,100 1,670 42 50
ID : 1,460 1,850 19 24
MI 3 1,290 1,740 1,600 360 470 400
MN : 1,970 1,260 1,780 59 44 32
Total : 1,352 1,701 1,627 419 575 506
Black 3
CA 2 1,700 1,400 2,000 34 28 20
co : 1,670 1,900 10 19
ID : 2,110 1,960 2,090 40 55 23
MI 3 1,320 1,930 1,650 390 1,700 940
MN 3 1,650 1,600 1,590 43 83 59
NE : 1,680 1,700 2,000 32 17 18
NY : 1,620 1,690 1,430 146 135 100
ND : 1,320 1,390 1,420 87 208 207
WA 2 2,500 2,400 80 60
Total : 1,422 1,837 1,603 1,462 2,305 1,367
Blackeye 3
CA : 2,570 2,230 2,120 771 970 550
TX 3 590 1,200 3900 72 121 56
Total : 2,000 2,035 1,882 842 1,092 606
Garbanzo z
CA : 1,870 1,690 1,540 262 288 355
ID : 600 1,750 670 9 63 37
OR 2 1,440 1,540 1,210 13 20 34
WA 3 800 1,520 1,000 44 102 81
Total : 1,498 1,654 1,287 328 473 507
Other :
CA : 1,340 1,350 1,350 127 108 135
co : 930 800 1,000 14 40 3
ID 3 2,070 1,730 2,000 29 19 16
KS 3 1,730 1,530 1,680 26 26 37
MI 3 1,100 1,410 1,210 110 155 85
MN : 1,700 1,200 1,330 107 18 24
NE : 1,890 1,670 1,780 36 90 16
NM : 2,330 2,000 7 8
NY 3 1,580 1,570 1,170 63 47 35
ND : 1,340 1,390 1,400 39 82 94
OR 2 1,890 2,160 1,880 36 69 32
TX 2 740 760 690 26 81 20
WA 3 1,930 1,900 2,470 54 40 47
wy 3 1,870 1,670 2,000 28 15 18
Total : 1,433 1,334 1,401 702 798 562
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1996 A-15 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes

1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67,
FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76, tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90;
tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95.

3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

5/ California Desert and Other Areas Grapefruit forecasts combined to All
Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96.

p
U.S. Orange Production
Million Tons
13.0
12.4
12.0
11.0
10.0

9.0
8.0

7.0

6.0 ee ee oe ee

70 72 74 76

Up 6% from last season

Unchanged from October
Record large crop

Crop Production
December 1996

A-17

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Production, United States,
1995-96 and Forecasted 1996-97

Crop Oct 1,

1996 1/

Crop Year 2/ : 1995-96 1996-97 1996-97
: 1,000 Tons
Citrus Fruits 2

Oranges : 11,723 12,380 12,380
Grapefruit : 2,718 3,042 3,041
Lemons 3/ : 992 1,015 1,015
Tangerines : 348 415 415
Temples (FL) 2 97 113 113
Tangelos (FL) : 110 17. 171
K-Early Citrus (FL) : 7 9 7

Metric Tons

Oranges 10,634,930 11,230,950 11,230,950
Grapefruit : 2,465,730 2,758,750 2,758,750
Lemons 3/ : 899,930 920,790 920,790
Tangerines t 315,700 376,480 376,480
Temples (FL) 3 88,000 102,510 102,510
Tangelos (FL) : 99,790 155,130 155,130
K-Early Citrus (FL) 6,350 8,160 6,350

1/ October is the last previous forecast, since citrus production is
no longer forecasted in November.

2/ Crop year begins with the bloom of the first year and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

3/ December 1 forecast carried forward from October 1.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-3 NASS, USDA


decline in production, California an 11 percent, Colorado an 8 percent and Idaho
a 12 percent decrease from last year.

By variety, garbanzo production rose 7 percent, pintos rose 5 percent large
limas rose 4 percent, great northerns rose 2 percent and dark red kidneys and
baby limas each rose 1 percent. All other varieties fell with small reds
leading at 45 percent below last year.

Pintos had 44 percent of the total 1996 production compared with 37 percent last
year, while navies had 21 percent of the total compared with 24 percent in 1995.

Grapefruit: The December 1 forecast of the 1996-97 U.S. grapefruit crop is

3.04 million tons, unchanged from the last forecast in October but
12 percent larger than last season’s crop. This year’s tonnage is a record
large crop, surpassing the previous record of 3.032 million tons in the
1976-77 season.

The December 1 Florida all grapefruit crop is forecast at a record large

59.0 million boxes (2.51 million tons), unchanged from the last forecast but

13 percent more than last year. The seedless grapefruit forecast is maintained
at 58.0 million boxes. The varietal divisions of 26.5 million boxes

(1.13 million tons) of white and 31.5 million boxes (1.34 million tons) of
colored are continued. If attained, the total seedless will be 13 percent above
the 51.3 million boxes recorded last season and 7 percent above the recorded
high 54.4 million boxes of the 1994~95 season. The colored forecast exceeds the
record 1994-95 crop of 28.7 million boxes by 10 percent and last season's by

12 percent. The white variety exceeds last season by 14 percent but will not be
a record. The seedy grapefruit forecast is continued at 1 million boxes

{43,000 tons), 5 percent less than last season. A little over one million boxes
of white grapefruit moved, while colored movement was just over five million
boxes.

The Florida forecasts are based on objective fruit counts and measurement
surveys in relationship to the harvest patterns and utilization of the past two
seasons. All citrus forecasts project certified utilization including a
preseason allocation of less than two percent for unrecorded usage.
Certifications include only fruit actually shipped in fresh pack or recorded at
a processing plant,

The Texas grapefruit forecast, at 5.70 million boxes (228,000 tons), is
unchanged from the last forecast but is 25 percent more than the 1995-96 season.
Fruit set was high and quality is very good.

Tangelos: The 1996-97 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 3.80 million boxes
(171,000 tons), unchanged from the last forecast in October but up
55 percent from last year. The average fruit size was smaller than last season,
as indicated by the heavy fruit set. However, loss from fruit droppage, while
close to last season, was less than any November in the past 10 seasons. Last
season, 58 percent of the record small 2.45 million box crop was processed. If
this percent were the same this season, 2.20 million boxes would be used in
processed form. Tangelo utilization at 660,000 boxes was behind the past
two years due to lagging maturity.

Tangerines: The 1996-97 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at a record large
415,000 tons, unchanged from October but 19 percent more than last

season. Florida's tangerine forecast is continued at 6.00 million boxes

(285,000 tons), 33 percent more than 1995-96. Early tangerine movement was well

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-5 NASS, USDA


Oats: Farm Marketings,

and State,

State and :

Marketing

Year

:May :Jun :Jul :Aug :Sep

CA

IL

IN

IA

MI

OH

OR

PA

sD

wr

1s

Crop Production

1994-95 :

1995-96

1994-95 :

1995-96

1994-95 :

1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95

1995-96 :

1994-95

1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95

1995-96 :

1994-95 :
1995-96 :

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95 ;

1995-96

1994-95
1995-96

1994-95 ;

1995-96

76
38

15
19

31
24

26
71

43
29

22
15

33
34

10
18

25
10

17

23
45

50
39

29
29

21
39

18
24

37
31

18
13

31
26

23
19

32

wor MH

on

18
12

Percent
9 17
2 2
2 3
3 2
2 1
3 2
2 3
5 1
2 5
5 6
3 2
3 3
1 1
3 1
5 5
7 7
7 4
L 2
6 6
cc] 15
3 2
4 3
2 5
5 9

13
3 3

Percent of Sales, by Month
1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

9 4 9
4 5 13 10 4 3
1 16 4 3 1 2
2 2 32 1 7 5
3 1 6 6 4 3
2 2 4 3 2 2
5 4 3 9 3 3
12 8 3 6 8 4
4 3 5 5 5 7
4 5 5 7 4 5
2 5 5 3 2 2
6 3 2 1 1 2
18 «(54 5 3 5
3 8 10 6 8
6 9 4 4 3 8
7 6 5 4 2
6 4 4 6 4 3
3 2 1 1 2
8 5 4 4 15
8 7 4 2 2 1
9 8 8 8 4 6
6 4 11 6 9 6
7 8 8 4 4 3
9 7 9 9 6 3
1 1 1
6
6 3 5 6 3 10
6 9

Sample survey reported marketings as percent of total used for calculating
marketing year average prices.

December 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1996-97 season is
forecast at 1.53 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, unchanged from October.
The forecast projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus
Processors Association. The final 1995-96 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was
1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. Projected yields for 1996-97 early
and midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop

Production report.

This report was approved on December 12, 1996, by the Acting Secretary of
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural
Statistics Board.

Linemaus Vieoe fea Ve

Adting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Eugene Moos Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1996 A-2 NASS, USDA


November Weather Summary: An active Pacific-origin storm track that developed
in mid-October persisted through November, promoting
unsettled weather in the Western and Central United States. In addition,
arctic-origin air overspread many areas east of the Rocky Divide after November
9. Several heavy precipitation events unfolded from the Northwest to the
northern Plains--the collision zone between Pacific and arctic airmasses--
roducing near-record to record totals of rain, freezing rain, and snow.
Farther east, arctic air streamed across the relatively warm Great Lakes on
November 9-14, contributing greatly toward monthly record snowfall in several
locations. On November 7-9 and 25-26, Pacific-origin storm systems exhibited
re-development in the East, dumping heavy precipitation and perpetuating a
14-month wet spell. Although mid-month rainfall ended short-term dryness from
Nebraska to central Kansas, the dry spell stretched to 2 months on the High
Plains from eastern Colorado to Texas.

In Rapid City, SD, the temperature failed to rise above freezing for a November
record 17 consecutive days, from November 10-26. The last in a series of arctic
high-pressure systems crossed the Canadian border into the northern Plains on
November 25, reaching the East Coast 4 days later. On November 24, the low

of -27 degrees F in Williston, ND was a November record. Two days later in
Minnesota, Rochester's low of -12 degrees F was their lowest in November since
1977. In Montana, Glasgow's monthly temperature averaged 12.7 degrees F below
normal, falling just shy of their November record. Farther east, however,
November records were set in Lynchburg, VA (7.4 degrees F below normal) and
Baltimore, MD (6.6 degrees F below normal). November temperatures averaged 6 to
7 degrees F below normal and were the third lowest on record in Richmond, VA and
Kansas City, MO, and the fourth lowest in Rochester, MN and Evansville, IN. In
contrast, November-record warmth spread across the southern Plains a few days
earlier. On November 20, highs soared to 88 degrees F in Roswell, NM and

90 degrees F in Midland, Tx. Above-normal monthly temperatures were confined to
areas from Oregon and California eastward to the Rocky’ Divide, and near the Gulf
Coast from southern Texas to southern Florida.

Unusually heavy snowfall blanketed the Northwest and the northern Plains. A
November record was established in Glasgow (23.3 inches; 81 percent of their
normal seasonal total). In North Dakota, Grand Forks’ November snowfall of
26.4 inches was their highest this century. Kalispell, MT received 48.5 inches,
narrowly missing their all-time monthly total of 52.1 inches, set in December
1990. Precipitation totals eclipsed November records in Duluth, MN

(5.38 inches) and Glasgow (1.50 inches). East of the Washington Cascades,
monthly snowfall included 18.4 inches in Spokane and 23.5 inches, a November
record, in Yakima. On November 18-19, a severe ice storm struck Spokane and
surrounding valleys, while in Yakima, a 24-hour record (for any month)

16.0 inches of snow fell. West of the Oregon Cascades, monthly rainfall reached
12.06 inches in Eugene, 10.11 inches in Salem, and 9.73 inches in Portland,
poosted by monthly record 24-hour totals on November 18-19.

A rainfall-laced storm crossed the Nation's mid-section at mid-month, erasing

6- to 7-week moisture deficits on the central Plains. On November 15-16, a
24-hour monthly record 2.76 inches drenched Dodge City, KS. A week earlier,
another storm crossed the Nation before re-intensifying over the East. On
November 7, 3.51 inches of rain soaked Indianapolis, IN, their heaviest 1-day
total since November 14, 1993. Runoff from heavy rainfall produced record
crests along a few rivers in northeastern New York. Farther south,
thunderstorms along the system's trailing cold front spawned nearly three dozen
tornadoes across the South and East. In the storm's wake, the first in a series
of arctic high-pressure systems approached the United States. But the center of
the arctic high did not arrive for nearly a week, leading to long-duration
lake-effect snow squalls. Downwind of Lake Erie, 68.9 inches fell in Chardon,
OH. The squalls boosted snowfall toward November-record totals in Cleveland, OH
(23.4 inches) and Syracuse, NY (25.9 inches). By November 16, November-record
barometric readings were noted in locations such as Philadelphia, PA

(30.85 inches) and Newark, NJ (30.84 inches) .

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 B-1 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next “Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
January 9, 1997.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127
Pield Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Kevin Barnes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Dan Kerestes - Corn (202) 720-9526
Roger Latham - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Joel Moore - Barley, Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234

Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather, Oats (202) 720-7621
Barbara Rater - Peanuts, Rice, Tobacco (202) 720-7688
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Vince Matthews, Head (202) 720-3843
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285
Howard Hill - Cherries, Berries, Prunes, Plums,

Cranberries, Grapes, Maple Syrup (202) 720-7235

Linda McMillan - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215

Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions (202) 720-2157
Linda Simpson - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas,

Mushrooms, Hops (202) 690-0270

Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1996 B-10 NASS, USDA


Flaxseed:

by Month and State,

Farm Marketings,

Percent of Sales,

1994-95 and 1995-96 1/

State and : :

Marketing : Jul
Year 2

ND 1994-95: 6 3
1995-96: 3 lo

SD 1994-95: 10 8
1995-96: 2 9

Sep

Oct

: Nov :Dec

Percent
8 1
5
4
Ss

Mar tApr Jun
5 5 3 1 1
6 3 1 1 4
2 a 3 1 3
4 3 1 1 10

1/ Sample survey reported marketings as percent of total used for calculating
marketing year average prices.

State and :
Marketing :Jdun

Sorghum:

Farm Marketings,

Percent of Sales,

by Month and State, 1994-35 and 1995-96 1/

:Jul:Au

AR 1994-95
1995-96

cO 1994-95
1995-96

KS 1994-95
1995-96

MO 1994-95
1995-96

NE 1994-95
1995-96

NM 1994-95
1995-96

OK 1994-95
1995-96

TX 1994-95 : 6
1995-96 +19

32
22

2
1
15
18

15
12

12

16
40

32
26

18
35

14
16

20
19

31
46

Percent
5 4 3
1 2
30 14 5
19° «9 7
17°~=«15 7
12 11 5
9 11 4
10 15 #5
14.415 6
10 #17 4
15 14 3
23 #19 4
35 13 10
17:10 «4
7 7 2
5 5 1

BA AK

au

wa

2 5 1 4 2 6
2 141 i121 1
4 6 3 2 3

3 2 1 1 2

4 2 2 1 1

3 1 2 2 2

4 5 4 3 3 1
2 1 1 1 1 «6
1 1 2 1

1 1

1/ Sample survey reported marketings as percent of total used for calculating
marketing year average prices.

Crop Production
December 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS,

USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production, by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1994-96 (continued)

Class Yield Per Acre Production

co : 1,600 1,530 1,780 2,912 2,158 2,225

ID : 1,970 2,010 2,170 1,414 971 963
KS : 1,750 1,550 1,900 508 410 370
MI : 1,200 1,750 1,500 60 70 120
MN : 1,200 1,240 1,200 295 433 336
MT : 2,200 1,900 2,280 220 205 235
NE : 1,800 1,750 1,850 1,719 1,414 1,560
NM : 2,180 2,000 2,180 155 140 146
ND 3 1,270 1,300 1,270 4,280 4,704 5,102
OR : 1,900 2,110 2,000 76 40 40
TX : 1,160 1,000 890 121 23 8
UT 2 380 460 1,600 - 24 32 10
WA : 2,330 2,500 2,390 273 250 311
Wy : 1,900 2,080 2,180 684 499 544
Total 2 1,535 1,493 1,555 12,741 11,349 11,970
Light Red
Kidney 3
cA 3 1,950 1,740 1,850 263 209 185
co : 1,810 1,950 1,390 154 263 114
ID : 1,830 1,640 2,130 11 18 17
MI 2 1,310 1,670 1,400 170 200 140
MN 3 2,180 1,520 1,910 205 100 141
NE 3 1,700 1,670 2,050 241 234 199
NY 2 1,480 1,620 1,250 303 292 200
Total : 1,690 1,705 1,604 1,347 1,316 996
Dark Red
Kidney :
CA : 1,790 1,600 1,700 125 72 85
ID : 1,570 1,820 2,000 11 20 10
MI : 1,280 1,400 1,200 230 210 120
MN : 2,000 1,450 1,700 692 399 493
NY : 1,460 1,600 1,200 73 64 36
ND 3 1,790 1,430 1,660 93 43 48
wi 3 2,100 1,300 1,800 237 117 144
Total : 1,786 1,443 1,603 1,461 925 936
Pink :
CA : 2,160 1,630 1,500 151 98 120

Ip : 1,990 2,060 2,220 462 301 171

--continued

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1996 A-13 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruits:

Utilized Production by Crop,
1995-96 and Forecasted 1997 on December 1,

State,

and United States,
1996 1/

Utilized Production

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/
AZ 4/
CA 4/
FL
TX
us
Valencia
AZ 4/
CA 4/
FL
TX
US
All
AZ 4/
CA 4/

Temples
FL
Grapefruit
White Seedless
FL
Colored Seedless

AZ 4/

CA 4/ 5/
Desert
Other Areas
Total

Tangerines
AZ 4/
CA 4/

us
Lemons 4/

Tangelos
FL
K-Early Citrus

1994-95

400
35,000
119,700
950
156,050

650
21,000
85,800

105

: 107,555

1,050
56,000

: 205,500

1,055

: 263,605

2,550

25,700
28,700
1,300
1,400

3,300
6,000
9,300
55,700
4,650
71,050

650
2,500
3,550
6,700

3,600
20,000
23,600

3,150

Boxes

1995~96

1996-97

1,000 Boxes 2/ -----

Utilized Production
Ton Equivalent

1994-95

lteteteieted 1,000 Tons

1995-96

1996-97

Crop Production
December 1996

700 650
38,000 37,000
121,200 130,000
830 1,300
160,730 168,950
950 850
28,000 26,000
82,000 90,000
110 150
111,060 117,000
1,650 1,500
66,000 63,000
203,200 220,000
940 1,450
271,790 285,950
2,150 2,500
23,200 26,500
28,100 31,500
1,050 1,000
1,200 1,100
8,100 8,000
52,350 59,000
4,550 5,700
66,200 73,800
1,000 850
2,600 2,600
4,500 6,000
8,100 9,450
5,100 4,700
21,000 22,000
26,100 26,700
2,450 3,800
160 150
A-16

15 27 24
1,313 1,426 1,388
5,387 5,454 5,850

40 35 55
6,755 6,942 7,317

24 36 32

788 1,051 975
3,861 3,690 4,050
4 6

4,677 4,781 5,063

39 63 56
2,101 2,477 2,363
9,248 9,144 9,900

44 39 61

11,432 11,723 12,380
114 97 113
1,092 986 1,126
1,220 1,194 1,339
55 4s 43
47 40 37
i111
201
312 271 268
2,367 2,225 2,508
186 182 228
2,912 2,718 3,041
25 38 32
94 97 98
168 213 285
287 348 415
137 194 179
760 798 836
897 992 1,015
142 110 171
5 7 7
Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA