Cottonseed: Production and Farm Disposition,
by State and United States. 1993-94 1/

: pote c tre eee essere cere errr cere ee : Used for
State : Production : Sales to : Planting

: : Oil Mills Other 2/ : 3

1993 1994 1993 1994 1993 1994 1994 1995
1,000 Tons

AL 175.0 271.0 60.0 115.0 115.0 156.0 5.3 6.9
AZ 338.0 324.0 195.0 174.0 143.0 150.0 3.2 3.5
AR 455.0 712.0 403.0 618.0 52.0 94.0 9.3 10.3
CA : 1,142.0 1,063.0 185.0 360.0 957.0 703.0 11.8 10.8
FL A/ : 27.0 33.0 11.0 16.0 16.0 17.0 0.8 0.8
GA : 258.0 516.0 26.0 124.0 232.0 392.0 10.6 16.8
KS 4/ : 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0
LA : 408.0 549.0 297.0 379.8 2211.0 170.0 8.2 9.1
MS 631.0 842.0 583.0 795.0 48.0 47.0 12.8 15.0
MO 152.0 238.0 117.0 169.0 35.0 69.0 3.7 5.0
NM 41.0 36.4 12.4 13.7 28.6 22.7 1.1 1.0
NC 153.0 295.0 32.0 68.0 121.0 227.0 4.4 6.3
OK 114.0 101.0 105.0 88.0 9.0 13.0 4.5 4.1
sc 75.0 134.0 41.0 74.0 34.0 60.0 1.6 2.0
TN 216.0 348.0 174.0 283.0 42.0 65.0 6.2 6.9
TX 2,147.0 2,111.0 1,686.0 1,735.0 461.0 376.0 84.9 96.5
VA 11.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 30.0 0.4 0.9
US : 6,343.2 7,603.9 3,927.4 5,012.2 2,415.8 2,591.7 168.7 195.9

1/ 1993 crop revised, 1994 crop preliminary.

2/ Includes planting seed. feed. exports, inter-farm sales, shrinkage, losses,
and other uses.

3/ Included in “other” farm disposition. Planting seed from previous
years’ crops.

4/ FL seed for planting includes KS. KS estimate of cottonseed used for
planting is 20 tons for 1994 and 1995.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-20 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next "Crop Production” report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
June 12, 1995.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National

Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

C. Ray Halley, Chief (202)

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202)
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202)
Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202)
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye. Sorghum, Wheat (202)
Charles Van Lahr - Barley. Corn, Oats (202)

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202)
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202)
Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay (202)
Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202)
Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202)
Blair Smith - Citrus. Tropical Fruits (202)
Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits. Peanuts (202)

Changes in Summer and Fall Potato Estimates

Acreage. yield, and production estimates of “summer” and “fall” potatoes
combined into the “fall" season for Michigan and Minnesota beginning in
Eliminating “summer” potatoes in these two States will shift about 20,00
from the “summer“ season to the “fall” season estimates. The first est
of summer acreage, published in the "Acreage” report issued June 30. wil
exclude these two States. Stocks reports, starting in December 1995, wi
include potatoes from these former “summer” areas. Additionally, potato

720-2127

720-3843
720-9526
720-7621
720-8068
720-7369

720-3843
720-4285
720-5944
720-4215
720-2157
720-5412
720-7688

will be
1995.

0 acres
imates

1

Y

estimates for Long Island and Upstate New York will be combined in an “All" New

York estimate. The first estimate of fall potato acreage is included in
July "Crop Production” report. These changes will provide estimates tha
accurately reflect current marketing and production patterns

Crop Production Agricultural Statisti

the
t more

cs Board

May 1995 B-13 NASS. USDA


Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type.

State, and United States.

1993-94 1/

Value of
Production

Price per

Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts
NC
VA

US
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt

NC : 1.

Type 13, NC Border &
SC Belt

un
oO
eee

Type 14, GA-FL Belt

Pee

Total 11-14
Class 2, Fire-cured
Type 21, VA Belt

VA : 1.

Type 22, Eastern
dustry ct

TM

US

Type 23, Western
istrict

KY

TN

US
Total 21-23
Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3A, Light
Air-cured
Type 31, Burley

US
Type 32, Southern MD
Belt

MD
PA

US
Total 31-32

ee

NKN

Newn

(=)
=
Ree Re RERE

693

676
- 662
- 668

638
653
651
681

719

.709

1.690

be

Ree

INN

NNKN

Bee eee

-690
- 690

-650
654
-653
698

.612

---- 1,000 Dollars ---

350.727 371,017
124,395 140,370
475,122 511,387
507,773 501,557
134,197 119,906
184,083 182.689
318, 280 302,595
30,586 27,349
159,217 133,412
189.803 160,761
1,490,978 1,476,300
3.218 3,874
18,668 23,110
40,619 43,508
59,287 66,618
22.979 25,815
3.384 3.671
26.363 29,486
88, 868 99,978
31.695 28,271
777,998 774,480
8.454 14,667
36.505 31,955
34,455 33.672
212.463 199,085
42,928 38,994
6,480 6.461

1,150,978 1,127,585

See footnote at end of table.

Crop Production
May 1995

20,110 20,846
7,600 8.424
7.710 29.270
1,178,688 1,156,855
--continued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales by Class.
Month, and State, 1994 Marketing Year

1994

Percent
5 100
6 100
21 100
16 100
32 1 100
Fire-cured :
VA : 21 72 7 100
KY : 44 43 13 100
TN : 40 47 13 100
Air-cured :
IN : 26 37 36 1 100
KY : 30 46 23 1 100
MD : 77 23 100
MO : 38 32 30 100
NC : 33 46 21 100
OH 25 39 36 100
PA 1/
TN 32 50 18 100
VA 39 47 14 100
Wy 31 33 36 100
1/ Sales by month are not available.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 A-24 NASS, USDA


Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted May 1, 1995
: Area Harvested : :
State: --- ttre ttre rere eee eee eee ee ee eee ee eee eee eee
1994 1995 1994 1995 1994

1,000 Acres +-- Bushels ---
AL : 95 95 48.0 38.0 3.230 4,560 3.610
AZ : 28 23 94.0 95.0 3,290 2,632 2,185
AR : 880 1,000 46.0 45.0 41,600 40,480 45,000
CA : 510 440 76.0 70.0 38.500 38,760 30,800
co : 2,550 2,500 30.0 34.0 94,350 76,500 85,000
DE : 70 60 54.0 55.0 3,591 3,780 3,300
FL : 15 17 42.0 42.0 825 630 714
GA : 400 340 51.0 38.0 13,680 20.400 12,920
10 : 790 770 72.0 69.0 67,150 56.880 53,130
IL : 900 1,400 56.0 - 57.0 68,200 50,400 79,800
IN : 630 660 61.0 63.0 34,840 38,430 41,580
TA : 45 45 47.0 45.0 625 2,115 2,025
KS : 11.400 10.700 38.0 35.0 388,500 433.200 374,500
KY : 420 460 60.0 54.0 20,090 25.200 24,840
LA : 70 80 37.0 40.0 2,375 2,590 3,200
MD : 220 210 55.0 57.0 10,800 12.100 11,970
MI : 580 600 53.0 55.0 22.140 30,740 33,000
MN : 37 33 29.0 35.0 1,200 1,073 1,155
MS : 160 175 40.0 40.0 6.930 6,400 7.000
MO : 1,100 1,200 45.0 45.0 53,200 49,500. 64.000
MT : 1,850 1,600 35.0 35.0 102.900 64,750 56.000
NE t 2,100 2,000 34.0 38.0 73,500 71.400 76,000
NV : 5 4 90.0 100.0 400 450 400
NJ : 32 26 42.0 43.0 1,419 1,344 1,118
NM : 230 200 24.0 27.0 6,210 5,520 5,400
NY : 115 115 53.0 53.0 3,910 6.095 6,095
NC : 620 680 49.0 43.0 23,520 30,380 29,240
ND : 38 38 33.0 33.0 4,290 1,254 1,254
OH : 1,180 1,210 58.0 57.0 52,520 68,440 68,970
OK : 5,300 5,200 27.0 31.0 156,600 143,100 161,200
OR : 870 800 64.0 63.0 61.060 55,680 50,400
PA : 165 185 48.0 52.0 7,425 7,920 9,620
sc : 360 290 50.0 35.0 9,880 18,000 10,150
SD : 1,350 1,400 32.0 35.0 56,550 43,200 49,000
TN : 300 330 50.0 42.0 13,940 15,000 13,860
TTM : 2,900 3,000 26.0 28.0 118,400 75,400 84,000
UT : 150 135 40.0 39.0 6,045 6,000 5,265
VA : 250 275 56.0 55.0 13,515 14,000 16,125
WA : 2,300 2.100 54.0 54.0 162,500 124,200 113,400
WV : 10 12 55.0 50.0 473 550 600
WI : 130 135 59.0 51.0 4,370 7,670 6,885
WY : 180 180 24.0 25.0 5,600 4.320 4,500
US : 41,335 40.723 40.2 40.2 1,760,143 1,661,043 1,638,211

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-5 NASS, USDA


The “Root Mean Square Error” for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is
5.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production
forecast of 1.64 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate
by more than 5.5 percent or approximately 90.1 million bushels. Chances are

9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed
9.6 percent or approximately 157 million bushels. Differences between the

May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past
10 years have averaged 58 million bushels. ranging from 3 million to 147 million
bushels. The May 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 3 times and above
7 times. This does not imply that the May 1 winter wheat forecast this year is
likely to understate or overstate final production.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-11 NASS, USDA



Cottonseed: Marketing Year Average Price, Value of Production, and Value
of Sales to Oi] Mills, by State and United States, 1993-94 1/

Price per : Value of : Value of Sales
Ton : Production : to Oi] Mills

---- Dollars ---- -- 1,000 Dollars -  --- 1,000 Dollars --
AL : 95.50 84.00 16,713 22,764 5,730 9,660
AZ : 119.00 129.00 40,222 41,796 23,205 22,446
AR : 98.50 94.00 44,818 66.928 39,696 58.092
CA > 132.00 143.00 150,744 152.009 24,420 51.480
FL : 101.00 80.00 2,727 2.640 1,111 1,280
GA : 90.00 68.00 23,220 35,088 2,340 8,432
KS : 130.00 91.00 26 46 46
LA : 106.00 92.00 43,248 50,508 31,482 34,868
MS : 95.50 93.00 60,261 78.306 55.677 73.935
MO + 99.00 91.00 15,048 21,658 11,583 18.379
NM : 130.00 118.00 5,330 4,295 1,612 1,617
NC : 100.00 89.00 15,300 26,255 3,200 6,052
OK : 107.00 91.00 12,198 9,191 11,235 8,008
sc : 97.50 78.50 7,313 10,519 3,998 5,809
TN : 95.50 90.00 20,628 31,320 16,617 25,470
TX > 119.00 101.00 255,493 213,211 200,634 175,235
VA : 100.00 89.00 1,100 2,670
US 113.00 101.00 714,389 769,204 432.540 497,809

1/ 1993 crop revised, 1994 crop preliminary.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-21 NASS, USDA


April Weather Summary: The first few days of the month featured a sharp but

short-lived arctic outbreak across the North-Central and
Northeastern States. The first in a seemingly endless series of storms entered
the Pacific Northwest on April 7. plunging southeastward into the Plains before
lifting through the Great Lakes States 5 days later. The system not only
delivered freeze damage to winter wheat on April 11 (from west-central Kansas to
the northern Panhandle of Texas), but was a harbinger of the track and strength
of storms to come as well. The persistent pattern left the northern Plains too
cool and/or wet for spring wheat planting, the Midwest too cool and wet for
fieldwork, and the Mississippi Delta drenched. Outside the perimeter of the
storms’ influence, dryness worsened in much of the East, particularly in the
Carolinas, and in the southern High Plains.

Due to the steady procession of storms drawing cold air southward, temperatures
remained below typical seasonal levels in most areas. One exception was the
Southeast, which frequently found itself in the storms’ warm sectors. The
Nation's average temperature rose only 5.9 degrees F from the observed March
value of 44.3 degrees F, compared to a normal 9.3 degrees F rise. Particularly
hard-hit were the North Central States, where monthly temperatures ranged from
4 to 8 degrees F below norma).

The severe early-month cold snap dropped temperatures below 0 degree F in
northern Minnesota. Farther east. Burlington. VT, recorded a monthly maximum
temperature of 64 degrees F, allowing the high of 66 degrees F on January 15 to
remain as their warmest of the year to date. But in terms of the impacts of
specific readings on agriculture, namely winter wheat, monthly extreme minima of
20 degrees F in Amarillo, TX, and 21 degrees F in Dodge City. KS, on

April 11 were representative.

In the central Guif Coast States, most of the month's rain fell on a few days.
most notably April 10 and 20-22, causing widespread flash flooding and moderate
river flooding. Natchitoches. LA. recorded a monthly total of 19.98 inches.
Farther north and west, precipitation totals were the among the highest April
values on record in locations such as Columbia. MO (7.19 inches, ninth wettest),
Pendleton, OR (2.28 inches. seventh wettest), and Sioux Falls. SD (5.83 inches.
fifth wettest). Some of the precipitation fel) in the form of snow. as
evidenced by the monthly total of 23.4 inches in Huron, SO. Other impressive
April snowfall totals included 28.3 inches in Lander, WY, 21.4 inches in
Colorado Springs, CO, and 9.6 inches in North Platte, NE. In Glasgow, MT, a
24-hour snowfall record (for any month) was broken when 12.2 inches fell on
April 8-9.

Farther east, dryness was pervasive from Maine to Georgia. Wilmington, NC,
marked its driest April on record (0.16 inches). April passed without
significant snowfall in the East, concluding one of the region's least-snowy
seasons. The seasonal total of 43.5 inches in Elkins, WV, was their lowest
since 1958-59, while the total of 0.8 inches in Atlantic City. NJ, was their
second lowest on record, ahead of only 1972-73.

General Crop Comments: The month began with a widespread storm system, combined

with Arctic temperatures. limiting field preparation in
the Midwest, Winter returned to the Northern States as temperatures dropped and
removed hope of early-spring planting. Fields remained too wet for planting in

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-3 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Cumulative Large Bolls and Harvesting Loss
by State. 1985-94 (continued)

Mississippi

Year : : Harvest : : Harvest
Large Bolls : Loss : Large Bolls : Loss
Vv : Per Acre : Vv : Per Acre

Pounds Number Pounds
1985: 662 91 423 40
1986: 611 95 391 36
1987 : 777 81 473 34
1988: 726 86 463 34
1989: 710 90 369 32
1990: 693 93 489 39
1991 : 726 90 430 41
1992 : 708 84 489 $3
1993: 608 76 489 36
1994 760 99 486 41

1/ Total large bolls in 40 feet of row.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-23 NASS, USDA


Index

Page
Table Narrative

AIMONdS 0... cette ete teen eee A- 8 B- 5
AVOCADOS... cece neetet eet ene eetes A- 8 B- 6
Bananas... eect eee ee tenets A- 9

Citrus Fruits... ee A-10 B- 7
COLTON. oe eee eee te nents A-17 B- 8
Cottonseed... cece eee A-20 B- 9
Crop Moisture Maps........ 2... eee eee eee B- 1

Crop Summary... 6... ce eee cece ce teen e eens A- 3

Farm Marketings - TobaCco.......... cece ee ee eee A-24

Hay StOckS... 0.6... eect ee teen A- 7 B- 5
Papayas..... eee ete teen ee eee eee A- 9 B- 6
Potatoes, Spring......-... eee cece eee eee A-11 B- 8
Reliability Statement.............0 0... ce ee eee B-10
0 A- 9

Tobacco by Class and Type... 2... . cee eee eee A-12 B- 8
Tobacco by States..... 6... eee eee A-16

Wheat, by Class........ cee eee ee eee A- 6

Wheat. Winter. 0.0... ccc cee cece eee A- 5 B- 4
Wheat, Durum... 6... 0... eee cee eee eee A- 6 B- 5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-12 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Production and Bales Ginned by Type.
State. and United States, 1993-94
: Lint- : Bales Ginned in
seed : 480-1lb Net Weight
Ratio 2/ : Bales 3/

1993 1994 1993

seeceeee Bales -------
.0 0 456.600 708,500
0 0 751,950 764,400
0 0 1,113,500 1,799,200
0 0 2.955.050 2,735,500
6 1 100,350
8 9 726,050 1,551,950
. 0 0 1,126,350 1,534,100
550.0 0 1,543,800 2,132,700
MO 376.0 615.0 340.200 564,600
NM 78.0 75.0 61,550 55.100
NC 429.0 829.0 426,300 831,100
OK 270.0 247.0 265.600 239.050
Sc 204.0 393.0 202,150 381.600
TN 545.0 885.0 536.100 878.900
TX 5,095.0 4,915.0 5.109.800 4,938,800
VA 5/ 30.1 82.0
us 15,764.3 19,324.3 15,747,250 19,313,750
Amer-Pima :
AZ : 87.0 80.4 87,250 80.700
CA : 214.6 184.8 214,100 184,550
NM : 18.7 19.5 13,200 14,500
1X : 49.0 53.0 54,100 57,850
Oth Sts 5/: 280
US : 369.3 337.7 368,930 337,600
All
AL 469.0 726.0 456,600 708,500
AZ 877.0 862.4 0.385 0.385 839,200 845,100
AR 1,094.0 1,772.0 0.364 0.374 1,113,500 1,799,200
CA : 3,132.6 2,901.8 0.389 0.396 3,169,150 2,920,050
FL 5/ : 77.6 104.1 100,350
GA : 733.0 1,537.0 726,050 1.551.950
KS 5/ 6/: 0.6 1.2
tA >: 2,105.0 1,512.0 0.393 0.395 1,226,350 1,534,100
MS 1,550.0 2,132.0 0.378 0.376 1,543,800 2,132,700
MO 376.0 615.0 340,200 564,600
NM 96.7 94.5 74,750 69.600
NC 429.0 829.0 426,300 831.100
OK 270.0 247.0 265,600 239,050
Sc 204.0 393.0 202,150 381,600
TN 545.0 885.0 536,100 878.900
TTMX 5,144.0 4,968.0 0.371 0.366 5,163,900 4,996,650
VA 5/ 30.1 82.0
US 16,133.6 19,662.0 16,116,180 19.651,350

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. Upland includes smal] amounts of
American-Pima in minor producing States in 1994. 2/ Estimates available
only for the six States shown. Three-year average. 3/ Equivalent
480-1b net weight bales ginned, not adjusted for cross-State movement.

4/ 1994 revised. 5/ Bales withheld to avoid disclosure of individual gins.
but are included in U.S. totals. 6/ No gin operated in 1994 crop year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-18 NASS. USDA


Citrus Fruit:

Utilized
Boxes

roduction

1995 1/

Utilized Production by Crop, State. and United States
93-94 and Forecasted May 1

Utilized Production
Ton Equivalent

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/
AZ 4/
CA 4s
FL
TX
US
Valencia
AZ 4/
CA 4/
FL
TMX
us
All
AZ 4/
CA 4/

Temples
FL
Grapefruit
White Seedless
FL
Colored Seedless
FL

Other
FL
All
AZ 4/
CA 4/
Desert
Other Areas
Total
FL
TX
US
Tangerines
AZ 4/
CA 4/
FL
Us
Lemons 4/

Tangelos
F

L
K-Early Citrus
FL

159, 250

1,150
23,000
72,300

60
96.510

1,850
66,800
186,600
$10
255.760

2,500

25.700
27,700
1.750
2,150

3.500
5.700
9,200
55,150
1,875
68,375

950
2,100
2,800
5,850

4,400
20,400
24,800

3,050

700
36.600
107,300
480
145,080

1.200
26.000
66.900

70
94.170

1,900
62,600
174,200
550
239,250

2,250

24,500
25,500
1.050
1,750

3,300
5.800
9,100
51,050
3,000
64,900

1,000
2,300
4,100
7,400

5.200
20,700
25.900

3.350

500
37,000
119.700
950
158,150

800
27,000
85.000

100

112,900

1.300
64,000
204,700
1,050
271,050

2,550

26,000
28,500
1.300
1,400

3,300
6,000
9,300
55,800
4,400
70,900

650
2,300
3.550
6,500

4,000
20,500
24.500

3.150

112
191
303
2,344

2,791

sn

26

372
829

248

45
975

010
3
033

71

347
839

10,

281
102

042
084

lll

655

on

11

19

388
387

834

30

013
825

4
872

49

401
212

706

115

lil

906

Crop Production
May 1995

Agricultural Statistics

Board

NASS, USDA


The area planted to all cotton totaled 13.7 million acres, up 2 percent from
1993. Harvested area, at 13.3 million acres, increased 4 percent from the
previous year. Abandonment during 1994 amounted to 3 percent compared with
5 percent in 1993. Yields for the U.S. averaged a record high 708 pounds per
acre. Eight States had record high yields.

The 1994 crop in the Delta States recovered from the 1993 drought, extreme high
temperatures, and insect infestations. Plantings were delayed but eventually
equalled the 5-year average pace. Boll development was rapid. with high counts
and weights. Region yields averaged 818 pounds. up 271 pounds from a year
earlier, Production for the region totaled 6.92 million bales, 48 percent above
1993. Arkansas had a record high yield of 877 pounds per harvested acre and
Louisiana had their largest production on record. Missouri and Tennessee
harvested record high yields of 856 and 726 pounds. respectively, along with
record productions.

Production in the Southeast increased 90 percent from the previous year's
drought affected crop, to 3.49 million bales. Harvested acreage was up

26 percent from 1993. Regional yields. at 821 pounds, were 275 pounds higher
than a year earlier. Record high yields were recorded in Florida. Georgia,
Virginia, and the Carolina’s. Florida and Virginia also produced their largest
crops.

The Western States Upland cotton production decreased 6 percent from 1993 to
3.57 million bales. Although harvested acreage increased 3 percent from the
year before. yields decreased 113 pounds from 1993. California's yield declined
149 pounds from 1993, as early season rainfall delayed plantings. Also, the
number and weight of bolls were some of the lowest during the previous 10 years.

The Texas-Oklahoma Upland production, at 5.16 million bales, fell 4 percent from
1993 due to dry conditions in West Texas and Oklahoma Texas producers
harvested 94 percent of their acreage. compared with only 91 percent the
previous year. Yields averaged 458 pounds per harvested acre in Texas, a

26 pound decrease from 1993.

Ginnings totaled 19,651,350 equivalent 480-pound net weight bales during the
1994 season. This level compares with 16,116.180 equivalent 480-pound bales
ginned in 1993.

The preliminary 1994 marketing year average price received by farmers for lint
was 72.6 cents per pound, up 14.2 cents from 1993. The value of lint for the
1994 crop totaled $6.80 billion, up 50 percent from a year earlier.

Cottonseed: Cottonseed production in 1994 totaled 7.60 million tons, the

third largest crop on record and up 20 percent from 1993. The
preliminary 1994 marketing year price received was $101.00 per ton compared with
$113.00 in 1993. Value of cottonseed for the 1994 crop totaled $498 million, up
15 percent from the previous year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-9 NASS, USDA


Avocados: Florida's avocado production for the 1994-95 season totaled

20.000 tons, about four and one-half times the level produced the
previous season. Trees that survived Hurricane Andrew in 1992 made a remarkable
comeback and produced an abundant crop under favorable growing conditions.

The 1994-95 Hawaii avocado crop totaled 250 tons, unchanged from last season.
Bearing acres harvested, at 220 acres, fell 12 percent from the 1993-94 season.
while average yields improved 14 percent to 1.14 tons per acre. Ory conditions
affected many of the marginal orchards and the reduced acreage harvested came
Mostly from them. Remaining orchards were generally better managed and grew
higher yielding varieties.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.04 million pounds for
April, 30 percent lower than March 1995 and 25 percent lower than
April 1994.

Weather over major papaya growing areas was variable with a mix of sunshine and
showers throughout the month. Papaya ringspot virus, which lowers yields,
continues to spread into previously uninfected areas.

Area devoted to papaya production is estimated at 3,740 acres, 1 percent higher
than March and 13 percent higher than a year ago. Harvested area, at

2,535 acres, was 2 percent more than last month and 12 percent more than last
year.

Grapefruit: The May 1 forecast of the 1994-95 U.S. grapefruit crop is
2.91 million tons. up 9 percent from last season and 2 percent
above last month.

Florida’s grapefruit forecast totaled 55.8 million boxes (2.37 million tons). up
9 percent from 1993-94 and up 2 percent from April. The change came from an
increase in the white seedless variety from 25.0 million boxes last month to
26.0 miltion boxes (1.11 million tons). The colored seedless variety remained at
28.5 million boxes (1.21 million tons). The seedy variety remained at

1.30 millton boxes (55.000 tons). Movement of all seedless grapefruit through
the month totaled nearly 52 million boxes.

The Texas grapefruit forecast is 4.40 million boxes (176,000 tons), up 2 percent
from last month and 47 percent more than last season. Harvest neared completion
in the Valley by the end of April. Set for next season looks good. The Arizona
and California grapefruit forecasts were carried forward at 1.40 mifTion boxes
(47,000 tons) and 9.30 million boxes (312,000 tons), respectively.

Tangerines: The 1994-95 tangerine crop is forecast at 279,000 tons, unchanged
from April but 12 percent less than last season. The Florida

tangerine forecast is 3.55 million boxes (169,000 tons), unchanged from last

month but down 13 percent from last year. Harvest of all varieties, including

Honey tangerines, was complete. The California and Arizona forecasts were

carried forward from Apri} at 2.30 million boxes (86,000 tons) and

650,000 boxes (24,000 tons), respectively.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-6 NASS, USDA


Hay: Stocks on Farms. by State and United States.
Dec 1 1

AL 1,252 1,181 1,580 134 274 284
AZ 269 124 133 37 25 27
AR 2,265 1,769 2,055 419 430 426
CA 2,869 1,670 1,636 155 152 328
co 2,575 2,430 2,030 396 294 447
CT 107 90 105 23 10 32
DE 36 16 12 5 8 10
FL : 520 400 490 140 79 132
GA : 1,007 684 1,170 244 114 371
10 : 2,193 2,955 2,263 292 678 222
IL : 1,757 1,725 1,562 365 616 540
IN : 1,380 1,164 1,097 177 205 148
1A : 4,300 3,410 4,274 1,058 720 751
KS : 4,700 4,180 5,080 800 1,093 796
kY : 4.047 4.362 5.292 790 600 648
LA : 502 396 512 97 42 97
ME : 259 239 244 54 36 61
MD : 428 374 347 52 33 20
MA : 161 94 141 32 17 28
MI : 2,320 3,185 3,020 510 753 1,074
MN : 3,537 3,881 3,660 1.114 716 753
MS : 1,823 1,382 1,688 162 173 206
MO : 5,835 6,160 5.755 703 1,466 1,016
MT : 3,602 4,325 3,950 897 1,153 772
NE : §,777 5.492 5.413 1,364 1.391 1,112
NV : 499 651 630 32 166 A2
NH : 110 98 90 24 17 26
NJ : 140 129 205 43 7 60
NM : 616 590 525 70 90 50
NY : 2.334 1,983 2.377 503 361 594
NC : 728 436 807 148 36 131
ND : 3,796 5,194 4,285 844 1,160 857
OH : 2,275 1,950 2,410 364 $62 307
OK : 4,495 3.696 3.500 1,188 750 700
OR : 1,537 1,686 1,761 73 521 85
PA + 2,989 2.481 2.717 833 653 724
RI : 11 8 9 2 2 3
sc : 234 70 332 41 44 130
SO : 7,020 9,464 7.477 2,176 2,293 1,759
TMN : 2,945 2,226 3.340 485 417 721
TM > 8,918 6.005 7,610 2.058 826 1,606
UT : 1,344 1,518 1.452 246 323 245
VT : 484 425 389 142 137 136
VA t 2,382 1,694 2,108 494 374 445
WA : 1,777 992 1.198 148 312 139
WV : 942 932 955 118 95 100
WI : 4,446 4,507 5.000 853 1,377 1,441
WY : 1,747 2,530 1.720 197 495 184
US : 105,290 100.953 104,406 21,102 22.096 20,786
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 A-7 NASS, USDA


Ourum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted May 1, 1995 1/

1994 1995 1994 1995
1.000 Acres --- Bushels -- :
AZ : 94 98 91.0 90.0 4,500 8,554 8,820
CA : 59 68 95.0 97.0 3.800 5,605 6,596
MN : 35 25.0 240 875
MT : 178 30.0 3,534 5,340
ND : 2,350 32.5 57,970 76.375
SD : 23 26.0 432 598
US : 2.739 35.5 70.476 97,347

1/ Area harvested for U.S. and northern States wil] be published in “Acreage”
released June 30, 1995. Yield and production will be published in "Crop
Production” released July 12, 1995.

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1993-94
and Forecasted May 1, 1995 1/

Winter Spring
Year Hard Soft Hard Total
Red Red White Red Ourum White

1,000 Bushels

1993): 1.065.941 401.326 292,876 511,814 70.476 $4,007 2,396,440

1994: 971,134 433,335 256,574 515.392 97,347 46.828 2,320.610

1995: 940,686 459.113 238,412

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data
available for wheat producing States. Unless unusual situations dictate.
the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the
forecast season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-6 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Price and Value of Production by Type.
State, and United States, 1993-94

: Price per : Value of
Type : Pound : Production
an fee eee ee eee ee ee eee eens
State 1993 1994 1/ 1993 1994
sereee Dollars------ ------ 1,000 Dollars -----
Upland
AL 0.571 0.686 128,544 239,057
AZ 0.581 0.718 220,315 269,508
AR 0.572 0.672 300,369 571,576
CA 0.657 0.802 920.220 1,045,936
FL 0.555 0.722 20,673 36,077
GA 0.599 0.732 210.752 540,040
KS 2/ 0.520 150
LA 0.577 0.689 306,041 500,049
MS 0.575 0.727 427,800 743,983
MO 0.532 0.661 96.015 195,127
NM 0.609 0.721 22,801 25,956
NC 0.577 0.727 118,816 289, 288
OK 0.497 0.680 64.411 80.621
Sc 0.607 0.723 59,437 136,387
TM 0.587 0.698 153.559 296,510
1TM 0.535 0.695 1,308,396 1,639,644
VA 2/ 0.570 0.727 8,235 29.018
US 0.581 0.721 4,366,534 6,638,777
Amer-Pima
AZ 0.916 1.010 38,252 38.978
CA 0.840 1.010 86,527 89,591
NM 0.910 0.993 8,168 9,294
TX 0.911 1.000 21,427 25,440
us Q.870 1.007 154,374 163,303
ALL
AL 0.571 0.686 128.544 239.057
AZ 0.614 0.745 258.567 308,486
AR 0.572 0.672 300.369 571,576
CA 0.670 0.815 1,006,747 1.135.527
FL 0.555 0.722 20,673 36.077
GA 0.599 0.732 210.752 540,040
KS 2/ 0.521 150
LA 0.577 0.689 306.041 500,049
MS 0.575 0.727 427,800 743,983
MO 0.532 0.661 96.015 195,127
NM 0.667 0.777 30,969 35,250
NC 0.577 0.727 118.816 289, 288
OK 0.497 0.680 64,411 80,621
sc 0.607 0.723 59.437 136.387
IN 0.587 0.698 153,559 296,510
TX 0.539 0.698 1.329.823 1,665,084
VA 2/ 0.570 0.727 8,235 29,018
us 0.584 0.726 4.520.908 6,802,080

1/ Average to April 1, 1995
2/ KS and VA price and value combined to avoid disclosure of individual
operation in KS. VA data includes KS.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-19 NASS, USDA


Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95

Month : Total in Crop

we eee eee ee eee eee ee eee eee eee eee 1994 1995
1994 1995
weeeeee o- --- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds --
Mar : 3,300 3,715 2,350 2,485 3.780 4,325
Apr > 3,305 3,740 2,260 2,535 4,050 3,035

Bananas, Papayas, and Taro: Area Harvested, Yield,
and Production, Hawaii, 1993-94 1/

Item
Bananas :
Papayas 2/ :
Taro 3/ :
1.000 Pounds
Bananas: 11,700 13,700 11,700 13,700
Papayas 2/ : N/A N/A 63,700 62.000
Taro 3/ : 6,000 6.100 6.000 6,100

1/ 1994 revised.

2/ Papaya yield not calculated because only utilized production is estimated.
3/ Area harvested is average during the year.

N/A = Not available.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-9 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

April 29, 1995

UPDATED WEEKLY

NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on predminery reports

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly. can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about

55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months,
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-1 NASS, USDA


National

Crop Agricultural

Statistics

Production Service

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Release May 11, 1995, at 8:30 a.m. by the Agricultural Statistics Board.
Forecasts refer to May 1, 1995.

Winter Wheat Down

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.64 billion bushels. This is down

1 percent from 1994. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is expected to
average 40.2 bushels per acre. unchanged from a year ago. Harvested area is
placed at 40.7 million acres. down 1 percent from last year.

The April 10-11 freeze affected portions of southwestern Kansas, southeastern
Colorado, the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles and parts of northeastern New
Mexico. Damage estimates range from moderate to severe depending on moisture
and maturity at the time. The remaining wheat is generally in good condition.
allowing yield projections to be up from last year’s final.

Most Soft Red Winter yields are down from last year’s highs. Hard Red Winter
yields are higher than last year in most States. The Pacific Northwest State
yields are lower than a year ago or unchanged.

All cotton production for 1994 reached a record high 19.7 million bales,

22 percent greater than the previous year. Yields averaged 708 pounds per acre,
also the largest on record for the U.S. Eight States registered record high
yields during 1994. Georgia more than doubled it’s production to become the
fifth largest producing State.

Index is located at the end of this report. For information call (202)
720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (5-95)


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class,
Type. State, and United States, 1993-94 i/

Area Harvested Yield : Production

Class and Type

Acres Pounds 1,000 Pounds
Class 1, Flue-Cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts

: 99,000 89,000 2,100 2,445 207,900 217,605
VA > 36,000 34,000 2,035 2,420 73,260 82,280
: 135,000 123,000 2.083 2,438 281,160 299,885

us
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt

NC
Type 13, NC Border &
ett

SC B
NC 34,000 30.000 2,355 2.365 80,070 70,950
Sc 52,000 47.000 2,130 2,300 110,760 108.100
US 86,000 77,000 2,219 2,325 190,830 179,050
Type 14, GA-FL Belt
L 7,100 6.500 2,630 2,550 18,673 16,575
GA : 43.000 37,000 2,240 2,180 96.320 80,660
US > $0,100 43,500 2,295 2,235 114,993 97,235
Total 11-14 : 400,100 359.500 2,217 2,419 886.908 869,650

Class 2, Fire-Cured
Type 21, VA Belt

Type 22, Eastern
District

KY : 3,500 4,100 2,430 660 8,505 10.906
TN : 7,700 8,100 2.400 2.570 18,480 20,817
US : 11,200 12,2008 2,409 2,600 26,985 31,723
Type 23, Western
District :
KY : 3,650 3.900 2,880 3.190 10,512 12,441
TM : 600 630 2,580 2,800 1,548 1,764
US : 4,250 4.530 2,838 3.136 12,060 14,205
Total 21-23 : 16.650 18.080 2.457 2,673 40.917 48331
Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3A, Light
Air-Cured
Type 31, Burley
IN 8.100 7,100 2,150 2,150 17,415 15,265
KY 196,000 175.000 2.175 2.400 426.300 420.000
MO 2,800 3,500 1,700 2,290 4,760 8,015
NC 9.000 8,200 2.280 2.140 20,520 17,548
OH 9.000 8.500 2.100 2,160 18,900 18,360
TTMN 61.000 51,000 1,935 2,125 118,035 108,375
VA 11,800 11.000 2.060 1,935 24,308 21.285
WV : 2,000 2,000 1,800 1,775 3,600 3.550
US : 299.700 266,300 2,115 2,300 633.838 612.398
Type 32, Southern MD
Belt 2/ :
MD : 9,500 8,500 1.400 1,500 13,300 12,750
PA : 3,200 3,600 1,900 1,950 6,080 7,020
US : 12.700 12.100 1.526 1,634 19,380 19,770
Total 31-32 : 312.400 278,400 2.091 2,271 653,218 632,168
See footnotes at end of table. >-continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 A-12 NASS. USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes

1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

2/ > Net Ibs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85: grapefruit-CA
Desert & AZ-64 in 1992-93 and earlier, 67-starting in 1993-94.
CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76: tangelos, K-Early Citrus &
Temples-90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

3/ > Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Spring Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted May 1, 1995

Production

State
AL : 2.5 2.5 175 160 419 438 400
AZ : 6.3 6.3 265 275 1,485 1,670 1,733
CA : 20.5 17.8 380 375 7,508 7.790 6,675
FL : 38.6 38.0 222 245 6,068 8,588 9,300
Hastings : 29.0 28.0 220 250 4,680 6,380 7,000
Other FL : 9.6 10.0 230 230 1,388 2,208 2,300
NC : 17.0 17.2 180 195 3,114 3,060 3,354
1X §.5 5.0 200 185 1,060 1,100 925
Total 90.4 86.8 251 258 19,654 22,646 22,387
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 A-11 NASS, USDA


Spring Potatoes: Production is forecast at 22.4 million cwt. down 1 percent

from both last month and last year but 14 percent above 1993.
Area for harvest is estimated at 86,800 acres, down 4 percent from a year ago
but 4 percent above two years ago. The average yield, forecast at 258 cwt per
acre, is up 7 cwt from last year and 23 cwt above 1993.

Adverse weather in California took a bigger toll on potatoes than thought
earlier. With harvest just starting in Kern County, production estimates were
trimmed 7 percent from a month ago. Digging in Arizona began with shipments
available from Western and Central growing areas. Alabama yields were reduced
by weather and blight damage. Harvest in the Hastings, Florida, area began in
late April. Low prices and slow development because of frost in early February
succeeded in delaying the harvest. Other Florida growers have been digging
throughout April.

Tobacco: U.S. tobacco production totaled 1.58 billion pounds in 1994, down

2 percent from 1993. The decrease in production was primarily the
result of harvested acres. U.S. growers harvested 671,260 acres, 10 percent
below last year. Yield per acre averaged 2,358 pounds, compared to 2,163 pounds
in 1993. Most tobacco types showed a decrease from 1993 for harvested acres but
overall, yields were up from 1993.

Flue-cured production totaled 870 million pounds, 2 percent less than a year
ago. Growers harvested 359,500 acres, down 10 percent from last year. Every
State showed a decline in acres harvested for flue-cured. Flue-cured tobacco
represented 54 percent of this year’s all tobacco acreage. Yield per acre
averaged 2.419 pounds, 202 pounds above 1993.

Burley production totaled 612 million pounds, 3 percent below a year ago. The
change mainly reflects a decrease in harvested acres. Growers harvested
266.300 acres, 11 percent betow last year. Average yield for the crop was
2,300 pounds, 185 pounds above the previous year. Kentucky, with 69 percent of
the 1994 burley production, was 1 percent below last year. Burley yield for
Kentucky, at 2,400 pounds, was 225 pounds above last year.

Dark fire-cured production, at 48.3 million pounds, was 18 percent above last
year. The average yield per acre of 2,673 pounds was 216 pounds above last
year. Harvested acres, at 18,080, were up 9 percent from a year ago.

Production of dark air-cured tobacco was up 5 percent from last year. Harvested
acres, at 4,690, were down 4 percent from last year. The average yield per acre
of 2,515 pounds was 219 pounds above 1993.

All cigar-type production of 20.6 million pounds was 7 percent below the
previous year. Compared with last year, filler production was 7 percent
smaller. Binder production was down 9 percent Production of wrapper was
6 percent above a year ago.

Cotton, 1994 Final: All cotton production in the United States totaled a record

high 19.7 million bales in 1994, 22 percent above 1993.
Upland cotton production reached 19.3 million bales, 23 percent greater than the
previous year. American-Pima production declined 9 percent from a year earlier
to total 337,700 bales.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-8 NASS, USDA


Tangelos: The Florida tangelo forecast is 3.15 million boxes (142,000 tons),
unchanged from last month but down 6 percent from last year. Harvest
is finished for the season.

Temples: The May 1 forecast for the 1994-95 Florida temple production is
2.55 million boxes (115,000 tons), unchanged from April but 13 percent
above last season’s production. Harvest was complete for the 1994-95 crop.

Florida Citrus: Groves, trees, current crop fruit, and new crop fruit are all

in very good condition in spite of the increasing need for
rain. Several counties had normal rainfall this year; however, many interior
counties are below average. Most growers are irrigating to maintain good tree
condition during this important time of fruit set. Bloom was complete by the
first part of April in al] areas. New crop fruit is setting as trees adjust to
the size crop they can carry for the coming season. Weather was nearly ideal
for picking crews. Harvest of Valencia oranges was very active during April as
almost 60 million boxes moved through the end of the month. Most late oranges
are going to processors. Movement of seedless grapefruit through the month
totaled 52 million boxes but slowed as supplies dwindled. Honey tangerine
harvest was completed during the month.

Californta Fruits and Nuts: Growers continued cleaning up damage from March

storms. Almond growers in the northern Sacramento
Valley area who were hit hard by the storms were cutting fallen trees. Some
growers were pulling entire orchards which were heavily damaged. Fruit and nut
growers treated orchards with fungicides. sprayed for weeds and blight, pruned,
and thinned stone fruit. Pollination in Central and Southern walnut areas was
fair to poor, depending on variety and time of bloom. Stone fruit trees
suffered from the winter storms. Problems include drowned roots. brown rot, and
mildew. Some crown rot was noted in peaches and almonds. A light. below
average set was reported in many areas. Scattered showers during the month
increased the risk of disease. Fruit trees in higher elevations suffered some
frost damage. Apple bloom began. Cherries were sizing well but growth cracks
from the showers adversely affected fruit. Grapes were sprayed for powdery
mildew, weeds were disced, soil treated for nematodes and weed control. suckers
trimmed, and some irrigation began. Grape shoots grew fast with the recent warm
weather. Vineyards at higher elevations in the Sierra foothills suffered some
frost damage. Desert avocado harvest was active. More strawberry acreage was
lost in the Watsonville area due to the March storms. Harvest was delayed for
several weeks in other areas. Early planted strawberries recovered as the month
progressed and some new fruit sets were noted. Soil underwent fumigation for
new strawberry plantings.

California Citrus: Good weather during the first part of April accelerated

Navel orange harvest. Some Navel rind deterioration and
poor fruit quality was reported as that harvest ended. New crop citrus bloomed
well but growers were concerned about orange worms and citrus thrips. Desert
Valencia orange picking gathered momentum and quality is good. Desert
grapefruit and jemon harvests were also active in the southern part of the
State.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-7 NASS, USDA



Almonds (shelled basis): Utilized Production,
California, 1993-94 and Forecasted May 1, 1995

1,000 Pounds

CA : 490.000 730,000 430.000

1/ Revised.

Avocados: Bearing Acreage, Yield. Production, Price,
and Value, Florida and Hawaii, 1993-95

: Bearing Production Utilization
Year : Acreage

: l/

- Acres-
FL :
1993-94 : 5,800 0.76 4,400 4,400 4,400 --
1994-95 : 5.700 3.51 20.000 20.000 20.000 --
HI :
1993-94 : 250 1,00 250 250 250 --

1994-95 : 220 1.14 250 250 250 --

FL :
1993-94 : 820 -- 820 3,608 -- 3,608
1994-95 : 616 -- 616 12,320 -- 12,320
HI :
1993-94 : 880 -- 880 220 -- 220
1994-95 : 1,000 - 1,000 250 -- 250

1/ Bearing acreage estimates are based on periodic orchard inventory surveys.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-8 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Cumulative Large Bolls and Harvesting Loss

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted cotton objective yield
surveys in 6 States which accounted for 72 percent of the 1994 U.S. Upland
cotton production. Plots were randomly selected from a scientific sample of
cotton fields. Two sample plots per field were visited monthly from about
August 1 through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. The “large
bolls" are total bolls counted from August through harvest. This count includes
only bolls greater than one inch in diameter and burrs.

Cotton: Cumulative Large Bolls and Harvesting Loss
by State, 1985-1994

Arizona Arkansas

Harvest : : Harvest
Loss : Large Bolls : Loss

Per Acre i 1 i Per Acre

Number Pounds Number Pounds
1985: 1,275 113 637 94
1986 : 1,249 120 587 126
1987): 1,293 179 603 77
1988: 1,176 108 717 63
1989 : 1,232 102 578 57
1990 : 1.162 135 669 74
1991 : 1.083 91 782 89
1992 : 1,013 107 817 73
1993 : 1,082 110 753 105
1994: 1,221 98 812 83

California Louisiana
1985: 847 145 595 65
1986 : 807 113 705 77
1987 : 821 128 719 89
1988 : 797 137 710 73
1989 : 802 125 708 83
1990: 843 131 888 78
1991 : 814 110 770 68
1992: 819 116 875 60
1993 : 839 122 661 65
1994 : 806 133 748 75
1/ Total large bolls in 40 feet of row. -- continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 A-22 NASS. USDA




the Dakotas and the Great Lakes. In early April, producers delayed spring
planting in the Delta region because of wet conditions and in the Southeastern
States because of dry conditions. In Kansas, warm weather helped wheat to
develop ahead of normal for early April.

A freeze on April 11 damaged wheat from Kansas to the Texas High Plains. April
showers caused flooding in the Delta that washed away rice levees. Dry
conditions in the Atlantic States and the Tennessee Valley continued to hamper
spring planting and restrict germination. Heavy rains in the Gulf Coast and
Ohio Valley were welcomed, but stalled planting. In the Midwest, fieldwork was
delayed by cool, cloudy, and wet weather that left soil temperatures too low to
plant corn. Corn planted in Kentucky, Missouri, and North Carolina was aided by
dry soil conditions, but some producers were concerned with germination rates.

The middle of April failed to provide sunny weather needed to warm soil
temperatures in the Midwest enough for corn planting to begin. Producers in the
Great Lakes region continued to wait for warmer and drier weather to begin
Planting. Heavy rains in the Mississippi Delta curtailed planting progress and
flooded low-lying fields. Cold weather returned to western Kansas and further
threatened the winter wheat crop. In the Texas High Plains, light rain failed
to revitalize the dryland wheat. Northern small grain producers were prevented
from planting by extremely wet fields and considered switching to later-season
row crops. California’s cotton planting was delayed by late April rains.
Towards the end of April, cool weather and wet fields slowed fieldwork over the
central Great Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. Small grain planting was
delayed in the Northern States by wet soils. Cooler-than-normal weather and
surplus soil moisture in the Midwest delayed corn planting. Saturated fields
combined with cold weather for late April left fieldwork behind schedule for the
Midwest and Northern States. Cool. wet weather in the Ohio and Tennessee
Valleys slowed fieldwork, but brought favorable moisture for corn germination.
Heavy rainfall in Arkansas required some cotton fields to be replanted. Field
activities in California slowly resumed as fields dried. Some cotton fields in
California were replanted because low soil temperatures caused poor germination.

By the end of April. scattered rains in the Southeastern States brought much-
needed moisture. but some dry areas remained. Wheat progress in Kansas was wel}
ahead of normal. Northern Kansas experienced freezing temperatures on

April 27 with potential damage to winter wheat. Low temperatures in the Texas
High Plains may have caused additional damage to the already weakened wheat
crop. Scattered rainfall came too late to provide much benefit for some Texas
wheat fields, where windy conditions caused soil drying. Cold, wet soil
continued to leave the Corn Belt States behind the average for percent of corn
acres planted. In Louisiana, rains compacted the soi) in some areas to the
extent that cotton cannot emerge. Most cotton cropland preparation has been
completed in the Texas Plains. Rice planting was winding down in Texas. where
producers continued to flush emerged fields.

Winter Wheat: Harvested area for 1995 is forecast at 40.7 million acres. down

1 percent from 1994. Nearly all the States east of the Great
Plains are expecting harvested acreage increases this year. South Dakota and
Texas are the only States in the Plains and West expecting an increase in area.
Hard Red Winter Wheat grain acres are down 4 percent. Soft Red Winter is up
10 percent. White Winter is down 6 percent.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-4 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1994 and Forecasted May 1, 1995
(Metric Units)

Hectares
Winter Wheat : 19,929,770 19,931,790 16,727,860 16,480,190
Spring Potatoes : 37,070 35,860 36,580 35,130

Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production. United States.
1994 and Forecasted May 1, 1995
(Metric Units)

:Yield per Hectare: Production
Crop : : : Apr 1, : May 1
1994 ; 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995

Metric Tons

Winter Wheat : 2.70 2.71 45,206,180 44,584,800

Spring Potatoes : 28.08 28.91 1,027,210 1,029,700 1,015,460
Hay Stocks on Farms 1/: 20,045,150 18,856.740
Almonds (CA) : 331,120 195,040
Citrus Fruits 2/ 1993-94 1994-95 1994-95
Oranges : 9.326.770 10,580,500 10,619,500
Grapefruit : 2.408.580 2,594,550 2,636,280

1/ December 1, 1994 hay stocks were 94,715,530 metric tons.
2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-4 NASS, USDA


Tobacco:

Price and Value by Class, Type, State.

and United States, 1993-94 1/ (continued)

Value of
Production

Class and Type

Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3B. Dark
Air-cured
Type 35. One Sucker
Belt
KY
TN
US
Type 36, Green River
Belt
KY

Belt
VA
Total 35-37
Class 4, Cigar Filter
Type 41. PA Seedleaf
PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder
Class 5A, CT Valley
Binder
Type 51, CT Valley
Broadleaf
CT
MA
US
Class 5B. WI Binder
Type 54, Southern Wi
WI
Type 55, Northern WI
WI
Total 54-55
Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper :

Type 61, CT Valley
Shade-grown
cT
MA
us
All Cigar Types
Total 41-61

All Tobacco

Type 37, VA Sun-cured :

fan

www

o

17.
17.
17.

---- Dollars

745
761
-748

-638

521
-713

-950

-000
000
000

450
-390

432
-761

Price per
Pound

-

wwe

- 669
-614
-660

736

476
683

000

-050
100
060

-450

450
-450
.811

-800
800
800

ll

19,

ll,

166
£395
13,

561

,510

158
229

571

900
182
082

801
715

516
598

961
848

10,762
2,151
12,913

6.757

183
19,853

11,340

3.977
1,240
5.217

6.090
2,480

8.570
13,787

22,677

6,978
29,655
54,782

2,807,768

1/ 1994 revised.

Crop Production
May 1995

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Planted and Harvested and Yield
by Type, State, and United States, 1993-94 1/
a “area a Area
Type : Planted : Harvested

vores Pounds ----

L : 443.0 463.0 430.0 455.0 524 766
Az : 316.0 313.0 315.0 312.0 1,204 1,203
AR : 990.0 980.0 970.0 970.0 541 877
CA : 1,050.0 1,100.0 1,045.0 1,095.0 1,340 1,191
FL : 54.0 69.0 53.5 68.0 696 735
GA t 615.0 885.0 600.0 875.0 586 843
KS : 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 206 480
LA : 890.0 900.0 875.0 890.0 606 815
MS : 1,330.0 1,280.0 1,300.0 1,270.0 572 806
MO : 345.0 352.0 335.0 345.0 539 856
NM : 53.5 55.0 48.7 50.0 769 720
NC : 390.0 486.0 385.0 485.0 $35 820
OK 370.0 360.0 350.0 340.0 370 349
Sc 202.0 225.0 198.0 223.0 495 846
TN 625.0 590.0 615.0 585.0 425 726
TX 5,550.0 5,450.0 5,050.0 5,150.0 484 458
VA 23.2 42.2 22.8 41.7 634 944
US : 13,248.3 13,551.6 12.594.4 13,155.9 601 705
Amer-Pima:
AZ : 57.0 48.0 56.9 47.9 734 806
CA : 91.0 81.0 91.0 80.8 1.132 1,098
NM : 11.0 11.0 11.0 10.7 816 875
TTM : 31.0 28.5 30.0 27.0 784 942
US : 190.0 168.5 188.9 166.4 938 974
All :
AL : 443.0 463.0 430.0 455.0 524 766
AZ : 373.0 361.0 371.9 359.9 1,132 1,150
AR : 990.0 980.0 970.0 970.0 541 877
CA : 1,141.0 1,181.0 1,136.0 1,175.8 1,324 1,185
FL : 54.0 69.0 53.5 68.0 696 735
GA : 615.0 885.0 600.0 875.0 586 843
KS : 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 206 480
LA : 890.0 900.0 875.0 890.0 606 815
MS : 1,330.0 1,280.0 1,300.0 1,270.0 572 806
MO : 345.0 352.0 335.0 345.0 539 856
NM : 64.5 66.0 59.7 60.7 777 747
NC : 390.0 486.0 385.0 485.0 535 820
OK : 370.0 360.0 350.0 340.0 370 349
Sc : 202.0 225.0 198.0 223.0 495 846
TMN : 625.0 590.0 615.0 585.0 425 726
TM : 5,581.0 5,478.5 5,080.0 5,177.0 486 461
VA : 23.2 42.2 22.8 41.7 634 944
US :  13,438.3 13.720.1 12,783.3 13,322.3 606 708
1/ 1994 revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested. United States,
1994 and Forecasted May 1, 1995
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

Ce) = ee
1994 1995 1994 1995
1.000 Acres
Winter Wheat : AQ 247 49,252 41,335 40.723
Spring Potatoes : 91.6 88.6 90.4 86.8

Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production. United States.
1994 and Forecasted May 1, 1995
(Domestic Units)

Yield per Acre

Crop and Unit

Winter Wheat Bu: 40.2 40.2 1,661,043 1,638,211

Spring Potatoes Cwt: 251 258 22,646 22,701 22,387
Hay Stocks on Farms 1/Ton: 22,096 20,786
Almonds (CA) Lb : 730,000 430,000
Citrus Fruits 2/ : 1993-94 1994-95 1994-95
Oranges Ton: 10,281 11,663 11,706
Grapefruit ": 2,655 2,860 2,906

1/ December 1, 1994 hay stocks were 104,406,000 tons.
2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-3 NASS, USDA


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To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C..
20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal
employment opportunity employer.

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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-14 NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER) ~

April 29, 1995

UPDATED BI-WEEKLY

t NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACRITY _ Basad on preliminay reports

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds stowly; changes Titt?e from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers. reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-2 NASS. USDA


Orange production rose slightly from the previous month to 11.7 million tons and
was 14 percent above last season. Production of early, mid-season, and Navel
Oranges was unchanged from last month but the Valencia forecast increased. The
Florida Valencia forecast. at 85.0 million boxes (3.83 million tons), increased
1 percent from April and 27 percent from last season. Early and mid-season
Production remained at 120 million boxes (5.39 million tons), 12 percent above
last year. Harvest of early, mid, and Navel varieties ended in March.
California's all orange production is carried forward from last month. It
remains at 64.0 million boxes (2.40 million tons), 2 percent above last season.
Early. mid. and Navel varieties are expected to produce 37.0 million boxes
(1.39 million tons), up 1 percent from last year. Valencia production is
expected to total 27.0 million boxes (1.01 million tons). up 4 percent from a
year ago.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice yield for the 1994-95 season is
forecast at 1.50 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This forecast is
unchanged from last month but down from last seasons'’s final yield of

1.57 galions per box. The final yield for early and mid-season varieties is
1.44 gallons per box. down from 1.52 gallons per box last season. The Valencia
crop is expected to yield 1.59 gallons per box. up from 1.58 last month but down
from 1.66 gallons per box a year ago. The forecast projects the final yield
reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association.

This report was approved on Hay 11, 1995, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture
and the National Agricultura) Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics
Board.

Keith oth (LA. (ble

Acting Recretary of , Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Keith J. Collins Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 2 NASS. USDA


Reliability of May 1 Winter Wheat Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted
between April 22 and May 3 to gather information on expected
yield as of May 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in three States
(Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas) where winter wheat is normally mature enough to
make meaningful counts. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously
reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in
selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended
upon the crop’s maturity. In early fields. counts such as number of stalks,
heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number
of heads that would be harvested. A 5-year historical) average head weight is
used until the crop matures to the point that heads can be clipped. threshed,
and weighed. The number of heads times the weight of the heads in a sample plot
can then be combined to an estimate of yield per acre. The 5-year average
harvesting loss is Subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited
each month until the crop reaches maturity and are harvested on the final visit.

The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 10,000 winter wheat
producers representing all major production areas. These producers were
selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable winter
wheat acres for harvest and yield on their operation. These growers will be
surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields
as the season progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower
reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and
consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed
considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and
previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the
current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the
survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecasts.

Revision Policy: The May 1 production forecast will not be revised: instead. a

new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing
season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the
marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks.
production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then
made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant
changes.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 winter
wheat production forecast, the “Root Mean Square Error,” a
Statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by
expressing the deviation between the May 1 production forecast and the final
estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1975-1994 20-year period; the square root of the
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year’s forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-10 NASS, USDA


A hard freeze April 10-11 covered parts of west central and southwest Kansas,
southeast Colorado, the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles, and extended into
northeast New Mexico. Damage assessments range from moderate to extreme
depending on moisture and maturity at the time. For the most part, wheat
elsewhere in these States is in good condition. Nebraska reports heavy
tillering, excess moisture is becoming a problem in South Dakota. Flooding took
some of California's wheat. Wyoming's fair crop needs rain.

Southeastern States yields are generally down from last year’s highs. Florida
and Louisiana should start harvests in mid-May. Alabama's crop is maturing
ahead of normal. Early season wetness allowed shallow root systems to develop
in Georgia: recent dry weather and diseases are problems. Indiana’s wheat crop
is rated 87 percent good to excellent and developing ahead of average. No
disease problems reported yet in Arkansas and Ohio.

Oregon's early, spring cool weather slowed crop development. Washington reports
localized disease and cheatgrass problems. Although Idaho's annual
precipitation is running above normal. dryland conditions are down from last
year. Michigan's crop wintered well, suffering minimal damage from early April
freezes. New York's eastern white crop is in good condition but needs moisture.

Durum Wheat: Arizona and California's 1995 durum production is forecast at

8.82 and 6.60 million bushels, respectively. Both levels are
above 1994 levels. largely due to increased acres for grain. Arizona’s durum
crop was rated in fair to good condition: heading is at 98 percent. Harvest of
California's durum started the last week of April: early yields are reported
better than last year.

Hay Stocks on Farms: Stocks of all hay on farms totaled 20.8 million tons on
May 1, 1995, down 6 percent from the previous year.

Disappearance of hay from December 1, 1994 - May 1, 1995, period totaled

83.6 million tons, 6 percent higher than the 1993 crop disappearance of

78.9 million tons for the same period one year earlier.

Stocks were down in the northwest. the Dakotas, the Plains States. and parts of
the Midwest. The drop resulted from lower 1994 production and extensive feeding
in some of these States. The remainder of the Nation's winter was much less
harsh than the 1993 winter, resulting in higher levels of hay stocks compared
with May 1993.

Almonds: The first forecast of 1995 California almond production is 430 million

pounds, shelled basis. Production is down 41 percent from the 1994
record high level of 730 million pounds. Bearing acreage totaled 405,000 acres.
up slightly from 1994. A warm winter led to an early bloom. Heavy rain and
winds during the bloom period resulted in bloom loss and pollination problems.
Tree conditions and nut sets vary within orchards, while nut sizes range from
normal to large. All producing areas suffered extensive tree losses with the
Sacramento Valley especially hard hit.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 B-5 NASS, USDA



Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by Class,
Type. State. and United States, 1993-94 1/ (continued)

Area Harvested

Class and Type

Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 38, Dark

Air-Cured
Type 35, One Sucker
Belt :
KY : 2,700 2,600 2,370 2.480 6,399 6.448
TTMN : 640 620 2,125 2,150 1,360 1,333
US : 3,340 3.220 2,323 2,416 7,759 7,781
Type 36, Green River :
Belt :
KY > 1,450 1.400 2,320 2,780 3.364 3,892
Type 37, VA Sun-Cured :
Belt :
VA 1 100 70 «1,049 1,779 104 124
Total 35-37 : 4,890 4,690 2,296 2,515 11,227 11.797

Class 4. Cigar Filler :
Type 41, PA Seedleaf :
PA 5.800 5.400 2.100 2.100 12,180 11,340

Class 5, Cigar Binder :
Class 5A. CT Valley :

Binder

Type 51, CT Valley

Broadleaf :
CT : 695 690 1,870 1,890 1,300 1,304
MA 4 199 210 2,075 1,905 394 400

US : 885 900 1.914 1.893 1,694 1,704

Class 5B. WI Binder
Type 54, Southern WI

WI 2,800 2,000 1.675 2.100 4,690 4,200
Type 55, Northern WI
wi

: 1,800 1,000 1,085 1,710 1,953 1,710
Total 54-55 : 4,600 3,000 1,444 1,970 6,643 5,910
Total 51-55 : 5,485 3.900 1,520 1,952 8.337 7,614
Class 6, Cigar Wrapper:
Type 61, CT Valley :
Shade-Grown
cT : 850 910 1.450 1.400 1,233 1,274
MA : 230 280 1.495 1.400 344 392
US >. 1,080 1,190 1,460 1,400 1.577 1,666

All Cigar Types

Total 41-61 : 12,365 10,490 1,966 22,094 20,620

2,358 1,614,364 1,582,566

All Tobacco : 746,405 671,160

revised.
2/ Estimates carried forward from “Crop Production” Annual Summary released
January 12, 1995,

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1995 A-13 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested. Yield, Production, Price. and Value
by State and United States, 1993-94 1/

Acres Pounds 1,000 Pounds
cT : 1,545 1,600 1,639 1,611 2,533 2,578
FL : 7,100 6,500 2,630 2,550 18.673 16,575
GA : 43,000 37.000 2,240 2,180 96,320 80,660
IN : 8.100 7,100 2,150 2,150 17,415 15,265
KY : 207,300 187,000 2,195 2,426 455,080 453,687
MD : 9.500 8,500 1,400 1,500 13,300 12.750
MA : 420 490 1,757 1,616 738 792
MO : 2,800 3,500 1,700 2.290 4,760 8,015
NC : 271,000 243,200 2.245 2,465 608,415 599,583
OH : 9,000 8,500 2,100 2,160 18,900 18,360
PA : 9,000 9,000 2,029 2,040 18.260 18,360
sc : 52,000 47,000 2,130 2,300 110.760 108.100
TMN : 69.940 60.350 1,993 2,192 139,423 132,289
VA : 49,100 46.420 2,027 2,285 99,544 106,092
WV : 2,000 2,000 1,800 1,775 3,600 3,550
Ww : 4,600 3,000 1,444 1,976 6,643 5,910
US : 746,405 671.160 2,163 2,358 1,614,364 1,582,566

Price per : Value of
Pound : Production
1993 1994 1993 1994

---- Dollars ---- ---- 1,000 Dollars ----
cT 9.810 10.300 24,861 26,654
FL 1.638 1.650 30,586 27,349
GA 1.653 1.654 159,217 133,412
IN 1.820 1.852 31,695 28,271
KY 1.838 1.854 836,321 840,924
MD 1.512 1.635 20,110 20,846
MA : 9.530 10.400 7,030 8,218
MO : 1.776 1.830 8.454 14,667
NC : 1.692 1.709 1,029,202 1,024,435
OH 1,823 1.834 34.455 33,672
PA 1.050 1.076 19,171 19,764
sc 1,662 1.690 184,083 182.689
TM 1.857 1.878 258,861 248,415
VA 1.715 1.729 170.699 183,421
we: 1.800 1.820 6,480 6,461
WI 1.432 1.450 9,516 8.570
US 1.753 1.774 2,830,741 2,807,768
1/ 1994 revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1995 A-16 NASS, USDA