Cotton: Production and Bales Ginned by Type,
State, and United States, 1992-9

: Production in : Lint- : Bales Ginned in
Type : 480-1b : seed : Q-
itt : Net Weight Bales 1/ : Ratio 2/ : Net Weight Bales 3/
ALO lena een r ene eee een ne nnn eens

1992 1993 4/
--- 1,000 Bales --- | wen nn ene

0 469.0 619,450 456,600
0 790.0 687.300 751,950
‘0 -1,09470 1.673.900 1,113/500
[0 2/9180 2'853'800 2/955/050
3 77.6 80.450 100; 350
Q 733-0 749.000 726.050
‘01,1050 1,319,500 1,126,350
[0 1555070 2:122'800  1,543°800
a) 376.0 535.200 340: 200
‘5 78.0 45/900 61.550
‘0 4290 472.600 426: 300
7) 270.0 210/300 265,600
a) 204.0 217500 202.150
‘0 545.0 826/000 536,100
[0 5,095.0 3,260,400 5,109/800
8.2 30/1 24° 650
2 18,764°3 15,698.750 15,747,250
0 87.0 137,900 87,250
7 225.9 293" 600 225.400
4 400 0
7 18.7 13,250 13,200
5 49:0 63.150 54/100
950 2
3 380.6 509,250 380, 230
AL 621.0 469.0 619,900 456.600
AZ 863.0 877.0 0.386 0.385 825! 200 839,200
AR 1,681.0 1,094.0 0.368 0.364 1,674,150 1.113.500
CA 3110.7 351439 0.384 0.389 35147/400 3180.45
FL 72.3 77.6 80/700 100350
GA 744.0 733.0 749‘ 000 726.050
KS 5/6/ 0.2 0.6
LA 1,299.0 1,105.0 0.391 0.393 1,319,500 1,126.350
MS 113114 11550:0 0.381 0:378 © 2123200 1543800
MO 541.0 376.0 535.200 340! 200
NM 67.2 96:7 59/150 74.750
NC 468.0 429.0 472.600 426,300
OK 210.0 270.0 210: 300 265,600
sc 226.0 204.0 217500 202.150
N 834.0 545.0 826.000 536.100
x : 3.32115 5.14470 0.377 0.371 3,323°550 5.163900
VA 5/ 28.2 30/1 24° 650
is : 16.2185 16,144:9 16,208,000 16,127,480

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. Upland includes small amounts of __
American-Pima in minor producing States. 2/ Estimates available only for six
States shown. Three-year average. 3/ Equivalent 480-1b net weight bales
ginned, not adjusted for cross-State movement. Upland includes small amounts of
American-Pima to avoid disclosing individual gins, 4/ 1993 revised. 5/ Bales
withheld in 1993 to avoid disclosure of individual gins. but are included in

US igggtels- 6/ No gin operated in 1992 crop year. 7/ Estimates discontinued
in :

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-20 NASS, USDA


this year’s forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The “Root Mean Square Error” for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is
6.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
production forecast of 1.66 billion bushels will not be above or below the
final estimate by more than 6.7 percent or approximately 111 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will
not exceed 11.6 percent or approximately 192 million bushels. Differences
between the May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate
during the past 10 years have averaged 64 million bushels, ranging from

11 million to 147 million bushels. The May 1 forecast has been below the final
estimate 3 times and above 7 times. This does not imply that the May 1 winter
wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-11 NASS, USDA


Tobacco:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class,

Type. State. and United States. 1992-93 1/

1992 :

2,175
2,160
2,166

2,610
2,295
2.341
2,257

NREPNRNOKEENND

PNNROHoOONE

AVE SOORNG
o

1993

Pounds ---

~ 1,000 Pounds --

1992 1993
: ---- Acres ----
Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts
NC 98,000 99,000
VA : 37,000 36,000
US : 135,000 135,000
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt :
NC : 129,000 129,000
Type 13, NC Border &
SC Belt :
NC : 34,000 34,000
Sc : 52,000 52,000
US 86,000 86.000
Type 14, GA-FL Belt
FL 7,500 7,100
GA 44,000 43,000
US >: 61,500 50,100
Total 11-14 : 401,500 400,100
Class 2, Fire-cured
Type 21, VA Belt
VA 1.700 1,200
Type 22, Eastern
District :
KY : $3,200 3,500
TN : _7,000 7,700
US 10,200 11,200
Type 23, Western
District
KY 3.500 3,650
TTMN 560 600
US 4,060 4,250
Total 21-23 15.960 16,650
Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3A, Light
Air-cured 1
Type 31, Burley
tN 9,000 8.100
ky 224,000 196,000
MQ 1,700 2,800
NC 9,200 9,000
OH 10,400 9.000
TMN 64,000 61,000
VA 12,300 11,800
WV 2,100 2,000
US 332.700 299,700
Type 32. Southern MD
Belt :
MD : 9,700 9,500
PA 2/ : 3,800 3,500
US 13,500 13,000
Total 31-32 346,200 312,700
See footnote at end of table.
Crop Production
May 1994 A-14

2,100 215,110 207,900
2,035 81,585 73,260
2.083 296,695 281,160
2.325 302.505 299,925
2,355 73,950 80.070
2,130 112,320 110.760
2,219 186,270 190.830
2,630 19.575 18,673
2,240 100,980 96.320
2,295 120,555 114,993
2,217 906,025 886,908
1,560 2,567 1,872
2,430 7,776 8,505
2,400 15,960 18,480
2,409 23.736 26,985
2,880 9,170 10,512
2,580 1,316 1,548
2,838 10.486 12,060
2,457 36,789 40,917
2,150 18,900 17,415
2.175 498.400 426.300
1,700 - 3,298 4,760
2,035 18,308 18,315
2,100 21,840 18,900
1,935 128,000 118,035
2,060 27,183 24,308
1,800 3,623 3.600
2,108 719,552 631.633
1,290 11.931 12,255
1,900 6.840 6.650
1,454 18,771 18,905
2,080 738,323 650.538

-- continued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Cotton: Cumulative Large Bolls and Harvesting Loss

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted cotton objective yield
surveys in 6 States which accounted for 80 percent of the 1993 U.S. Upland
cotton production. Plots were randomly selected from a scientific sample of
cotton fields. Two sample plots per field were visited monthly from about
August 1 through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. The “large
bolls" are total bolls counted from August through harvest. This count includes
only bolls greater than one inch in diameter and burrs.

Cotton: Cumulative Large Bolls and Harvesting Loss
by State, 1985-1993

Arizona Arkansas
Year: : Harvest : : Harvest
Large Bolls : Loss : Large Bolls : Loss
l/ : Per Acre : L/ : Per Acre
Number Pounds Number Pounds
1985: 1.275 113 637 94
1986 : 1,249 120 587 126
1987 : 1,293 179 603 77
1988: 1,176 108 717 63
1989 : 1,232 102 578 §7
1990: 1,162 135 669 74
1991: 1,083 91 782 89
1992 : 1,013 107 817 73
1993: 1,082 110 753 105
California Louisiana
1985 847 145 595 65
1986 807 113 705 77
1987 821 128 719 89
1988 797 137 710 73
1989 802 125 708 83
1990 843 131 888 78
1991 814 110 770 68
1992 819 116 875 60
1993 839 122 661 65
1/ Total large bolls in 40 feet of row. : -- continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-24 NASS, USDA


Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted May 1, 1994

Area Harvested Production

1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- -
AL : 95 95 34.0 36.0 4,180 3,230 3.420
AZ : 35 39 94.0 95.0 3,960 3,290 3.705
AR : 1,000 950 40.0 40.0 39,100 40,000 38,000
CA : 500 540 80.0 79.0 41,250 40,000 42,660
co : 2,550 2,600 37.0 35.0 69,000 94,350 91.000
DE : 63 70 57.0 45.0 4,060 3,591 3,150
FL : 25 30 33.0 42.0 840 825 1,260
GA : 360 390 38.0 43.0 16,100 13,680 16,770
ID : 850 840 79.0 75.0 52,000 67,150 63,000
IL : 1,550 950 44.0 49.0 62,100 68,200 46,550
IN : 670 680 52.0 51.0 22,500 34,840 34,680
IA : 40 40 25.0 45.0 1,560 1,000 1,800
KS : 11,100 11,400 35.0 36.0 363,800 388,500 410,400
ky : 470 450 49.0 47.0 23.100 23,030 21,150
LA t 95 80 25.0 35.0 6,120 2,375 2,800
MD L 200 220 54.0 46.0 12,760 10,800 10,120
MI : 540 570 41.0 48.0 35,280 22,140 27,360
MN : 40 38 30.0 38.0 1,890 1,200 1,444
MS : 210 180 33.0 40.0 10,500 6,930 7,200
MO : 1,400 1,100 38.0 42.0 64,800 §3,200 46,200
MT : 2,450 2,050 42.0 38.0 60,900 102,900 77.900
NE : 2,100 1,950 35.0 35.0 55.500 73,500 68.250
NV : 4 6 100.0 90.0 425 400 540
NJ : 33 40 43.0 47.0 1,400 1,419 1,880
NM : 270 250 23.0 21.0 11,220 6,210 5,250
NY t 85 110 46.0 51.0 6,160 3,910 5,610
NC : 560 650 42.0 43.0 27,750 23,520 27,950
NO : 130 35 33.0 35.0 5,950 4,290 1,225
OH : 1,010 1,110 62.0 54.0 59,095 52,520 59,940
OK : 5,400 5.300 30.0 29.0 171,100 162,000 153,700
OR : 860 870 71.0 58.0 42,900 61,060 50,460
PA : 165 195 45.0 45.0 10,175 7,425 8.775
SC : 260 350 38.0 40.0 12,925 9,880 14,000
so + 1,450 1,500 39.0 33.0 33,600 56,550 49,500
TN : 340 320 41.0 42.0 13,440 13,940 13,440
TX : 3,700 3,000 32.0 29.0 129,200 118,400 87,000
UT : 155 150 39.0 44.0 5,200 6,045 6,600
VA : 255 270 53.0 52.0 15,105 13,515 14,040
WA : 2,500 2,400 65.0 53.0 102,000 162,500 127,200
WV : 11 11 43.0 44.0 539 473 484
WI t 115 135 38.0 47.0 1,800 4,370 6,345
WY : 200 185 30.0 28.0 5,250 6,000 5,180
US : 43,846 42,149 40.3 39.3 1,606,534 1,769,158 1,657,938

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-5 NASS. USDA


Texas-Oklahoma production, at 5.37 million bales, jumped 54 percent from 1992.
That climb came from Texas harvesting 91 percent of its acreage, compared with
only 65 percent in 1992. Yields averaged 477 pounds per harvested acre, a

48 pound increase from the previous year.

Ginnings totaled 16.1 million equivalent 480-pound net weight bales during the
1993 season. This total compares with 16.2 million equivalent 480-pound bales
ginned in 1992.

The preliminary 1993 marketing year average price received by farmers for lint
is 58.0 cents per pound, up 3.1 cents from 1992. The value of lint for the
1993 crop totaled $4.49 billion, up 5 percent from 1992,

Cottonseed: Cottonseed production in 1993 totaled 6.35 million tons, up

2 percent from 1992. The preliminary 1993 marketing year price
received is $113 per ton compared with $97.50 in 1992. Value of cottonseed for
the 1993 crop totaled $715 million, up 17 percent from the previous year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-9 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Price and Value of Production by Type.
State, and United States, 1992-93

Price per : Value of
Type : Pound : Production
and poet t tcc ect ere eee eee ee eee eee ee nnn eee eee ee eee creer eee
State 1992 1993 1/ 1992 1993

AL 0.562 0.565 167,521 127,193
AZ 0.530 0.601 184,440 227,899
AR 0.557 0.571 449,432 299,844
CA 0.606 0.646 819,409 904,813
FL 0.561 0.570 19,469 21,231
GA 0.557 0.595 198,916 209,345
KS 0.500 0.520 48 150
LA 0.526 0.571 327,972 302,858
MS 0.526 0.568 538,035 422,592
MO 0.526 0.532 136,592 96,015
NM 0.587 0.600 13,384 22,464
NC 0.574 Q.577 128,943 118,816
OK 0.465 0.497 46,872 64,411
sc 0.563 0.607 61,074 59,437
N 0.531 0.587 212,570 153,559
TX 0.491 0.533 769,495 1,303,505
VA 0.553 0.570 7,485 8,235
US 0.537 0.574 4,081,657 4,342,367
Amer-Pima:

AZ : 0.776 0.886 51,402 36,999
CA 0.787 0.800 110,948 86,746
MS 2/ 0.650 125

NM 0.843 0.870 7,971 7,809
TX 0.805 0.840 21,832 19,757
us 0.788 0.828 192,278 151,311

ALL

AL 0.562 0.565 167,521 127,193
AZ 0.569 0.629 235,842 264,898
AR 0.557 0.572 449,432 299,844
CA 0.623 0.657 930,357 991,559
FL 0.561 0.570 19,469 21,231
GA 0.557 0.595 198,916 209,345
KS 0.500 0.520 48 150
LA 0.526 0.571 327,972 302,858
MS 0.526 0.568 538.160 422,592
le] 0.526 0.532 136,592 96.015
NM 0.662 0.652 21,355 30,273
NC 0.574 0.577 128,943 118,816
OK 0.465 0.497 46.872 64,411
sc 0.563 0.607 61,074 59,437
TN 0.531 0.587 212,570 153,559
TX 0.496 0.536 791,327 1,323,262
VA 0.553 0.570 7,485 8,235
US 0.549 0.580 4,273,935 4,493,678

1/ Average to April 1, 1994
2/ American-Pima estimates discontinued in 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-21 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
April 30, 1994
) SLIGHTLY i\
rd DRY UPDATED WEEKLY vwoers,
7
FAVORABLY a
Mi 4
f “SLIGHTLY, ADNORMALLY
ld DRY worst *
if 4 “ABNORMAL
ff + —, MOIST,
\ ‘o) (EnORMALLY —-FAVORABLY
MOIST
‘ABNORMALLY! a
rv 8 FAVORABLY
MOIST
| Pewer,
eX
\ DRY f] ‘SLIGHTL'
\ SLIGHTLY DRY
} -_ DRY
t -
‘ABNORMALLY }} na
DRY,
FAVORABLY
r
‘ Most ADNORMALLY)
| Mors
i
NOAALISDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on preliminary reports

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations. a

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about
55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term
(months, years) draught or wet spells which are depicted by the drought
severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-1 NASS, USDA


Cottonseed:

Price and Value of Production,

to Oi] Mills, by State and United States

Value of Sales
to 017 Mills

Price per

Value of
Production

and Value of Sales
1992-93 1/

-- 1,000 Dollars --

: 82

: 107.
: 81.
> 120.
: 91.

: 89.
: 100.

84.

82.
, 86.
: 125.
2 92,
: 105.
> B9.
: 86.
: 108.

92.

50
00
50
00
00
50
00
00
00
ag
00
00
00
50
00
00
00

96.00
119.00
98.00
132.00
101.00
90.00
130.00
106.00
95.50
93.00
130.00
100.00
107.00
97.50
95.50
119.00
100.00

-- 1,000 Dollars --

18,480
35,845
53,220
137.760
2,275
23,360
10
40,656
68,388
18,662
3,125
15,732
8,925
7,160
28,552
145,368
920

608, 438

16
40

44,
151,

2

23,

43,
60,
45,

5

15,
12,

7,
20,

255
1

800
222
590
272
727
220

26
248
261
048
330
300
198
313
628
493
100

6,023
17,227
45,722
20,880

0
5.907
10
27,720
63,632
17.544
13

5,244

8.400

4,475
25,456

117,936
0

366.189

5.760
23.205
39,494
24,420

1,111

2,340

0
31,482
55,677
11,583

1,612

3,200
11,235

3,998
16,617

200,634

0

432,368

1/ 1992 crop revised. 1993 crop

Crop Production

May 1994

preliminary.

A-23

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Reliability of May 1 Winter Wheat Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted

between April 22 and May 3 to gather information on
expected yield as of May 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in three
States (Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas) where winter wheat is normally mature
enough to make meaningful counts. Farm operators were interviewed to update
Previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two
sample ptots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each
sample plot depended upon the crop‘s maturity. In early fields, counts such as
number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to
Predict the number of heads that would be harvested. A 5-year historical
average head weight is used until the crop matures to the point that heads can
be clipped, threshed, and weighed. The number of heads times the weight of
the heads in a sample plot can then be combined to an estimate of yield per
acre. The 5-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield.
The plots are revisited each month until the crop reaches maturity and or
harvested on the final visit.

The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 10,000 winter wheat
producers representing all major production areas. These producers were
selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable
winter wheat acres for harvest and yield on their operation. These growers
will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of
average yields as the season progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower
reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and
consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed
considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and
Previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the
current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the
survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published May 1 forecasts.

Revision Policy: The May 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead.

a new forecast will be made each month throughout the
growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of
the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks,
production, exports. millings, feeding. and ending stocks. Revisions are then
made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant
changes.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1
winter wheat production forecast, the “Root Mean Square Error,~
a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by
expressing the deviation between the May 1 production forecast and the final
estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1974-1993 20-year period: the square root of the
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-10 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield. Production, Price, and Value
by State and United States, 1992-93 1/

Production

Area Harvested

--- 1,000 Pounds ----

CT 1.450 1,500 1,600 1,609 2,320 2,413
FL 7,500 7,100 2,610 2,630 19,575 18,673
GA 44,000 43,000 2,295 2,240 100,980 96,320
IN : 9,000 8,100 2.100 2,150 18,900 17,415
KY 234,700 207,300 2,234 2,195 524,378 455,080
MD 9,700 9,500 1,230 1.290 11,931 12,255
MA : 370 400 1,832 1,735 678 694
MO : 1.700 2,800 1,940 1,700 3,298 4,760
NC : 270,200 271.000 2,257 2,237 609,873 606,210
OH i 10,400 9,000 2,100 2,100 21,840 18,900
PA : 10,800 10,000 1,930 2,030 20,840 20,300
sc : 52,000 52,000 2,160 2,130 112,320 110,760
TN : 72,200 69.940 2,030 1,993 146.556 139,423
VA : 51,100 49,100 2,181 2,027 111,459 99,544
WV : 2,100 2,000 1,725 1,800 3,623 3,600
WI : 7.200 4,800 1,819 1,509 13,100 7,244
US : 784,420 747,540 2,195 2,159 1,721,671 1,613,591

Price per : Value of

Pound : Production

CT 9.875 9.927 22.911 23,955
FL 1.628 1.638 31,868 30,586
GA 1.692 1.653 170,858 159.217
IN 1.822 1.820 34,436 31,695
kY 1.830 1.838 959,722 836,321
MD 1.676 1.512 19,996 18,530
MA : 10.300 9.939 6,982 6,898
MO : 1.772 1.776 5,844 8,454
NC : 1.736 1.691 1,058,495 1,025,279
OH 1.819 1.823 39,727 34,455
PA 1.137 1.048 23,692 21,281
sc 1.699 1.662 190,832 184,083
TN 1.848 1.857 270,869 258, 861
VA 1.767 1.715 196,999 170,699
WV 1.802 1.800 6,529 6,480
wi 1.487 1.429 19,486 10,351
US : 1.777 1.752 3,059,246 2,827,145
1/ 1993 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-18 NASS. USDA


Citrus Fruit:

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/
AZ 4/
CA 4/
FL
TTMX
us
Valencia
AZ A/
CA 4/

Grapefruit
White Seedless
FL
Colored Seedless

Other
FL
All
AZ 4/
CA 4/
Desert
Other Areas
Total

Tangerines
AZ 4/
CA 4/
FL
US
Lemons 4/

Tangelos
FL

K-Early Citrus
FL

Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1992-93 and Forecasted May 1, 1994 1/

Utilized Production

20
119,300
1,600
32,300
56.400
10
90,310
2,380
67,400
139,800
30
209,610

2,350

19.100
22,100
1,200
2,800
3.500
6,500

10,000
42,400

700
43,800
114,300
450
159,250

1,150
23,000
72,200
60
96,410
1,850
66,800
186,500
510
255, 660

2,500

25,700
27,700
1,750
2,150
3,500

700
36,000
107,300
480
144,480

1,100
28,000
67,000
70
96,170
1,800
64,000
174,300
550
240,650

2,250

25.000
25.000
1,050
2,000
3,300

1,100
2,500
4,100
7,700

5,100
21,000
26,100

3,350

Utilized Production

812
940
§1

89
112
217
329
1,803
2,224
45

92
123
260
193
573
766

117

Ton Equivalent

26
1,642
5,143
6,831

43

863
3,249
2
4,157

69
2,505
8,392

10,988

113

1,093
1,177
7A

69
112
191
303
2,344
2,791
35

83
133
251
167
763
930

137

1,063

45
67

111
178
289
2,171
114
2,641

4

195
330

194
798
992

151

Crop Production
May 1994

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Harvest in the Hastings, Florida, area was well underway by the end of April
but mostly on contract fields. Open market potato prices fell quickly as
supplies increased. Early yields started high but are expected to drop as the
season progresses and blight gains a foothold. Central Florida harvest is well
along. North Carolina potatoes are developing on a normal, healthy schedule.
Alabama growers expect a good crop but are concerned about recent price drops.

An active harvest in the Texas Rio Grande Valley has early whites and reds
moving to market. California’s harvest started about the first of May. Growth
during the spring was good and the crop is in excellent condition. In Arizona,
digging began with little affect from insects, weather, or disease.

Almonds: The first forecast of the 1994 California almond production is

610 million pounds, shelled basis. Production jumped 24 percent from
the 1993 level of 490 million pounds. Bearing acres total 410,000, 2 percent
more than the 1993 acreage. A good bloom and large set have caused smaller nut
size. Nut droppage, considering the large crop, appears normal. Nut set in
the Nonpareil variety may be down relative to other varieties. Most observers
agree nut quality wil} be excellent.

Avocados: Florida’s avocado production for the 1993-94 season totaled

4,400 tons. down 39 percent from last season. Production was
greatly reduced because of Hurricane Andrew on August 24, 1992. Remaining
trees appear to be in good condition.

The 1993-94 Hawaii avocado crop totaled only 250 tons. 29 percent less than
last season. Dry conditions in the Kona area on the island of Hawaii were
responsible for most of the decline. ©

Papayas: Hawaii produced 4.38 million pounds of fresh papayas in April. This

. output was 6 percent higher than March and 23 percent more than April
1993. Year-to-date fresh sales declined 2 percent from the same four-month
period a year ago. Sunshine, mixed with light rainfall, kept conditions
generally favorable for orchard development.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3.320 acres, relatively unchanged
from March but 10 percent lower than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling
2,285 acres, decreased 3 percent from last month and 15 percent from last
April.

Tobacco, 1993 Revised: U.S. tobacco production totaled 1.61 billion pounds in

1993. This represents a 6 percent decrease from 1992.
The decrease in production was primarily the result of a decrease in yield and
harvested acres for Kentucky. U.S. growers harvested 747,540 acres, 5 percent
below last year. Yield per acre averaged 2,159 pounds, compared to 2,195 pounds
in 1992. Most tobacco types showed decreases from 1993.

Flue-cured production totaled 887 million pounds, 2 percent less than a year
ago. Growers harvested 400,100 acres. slightly below last year. Every State
was unchanged or showed a decline in acres harvested except North Carolina.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-7 NASS, USDA


Nation’s cotton crop by May 1. Alabama, Missouri, New Mexico, and Tennessee
were behind schedule due to earlier rains.

Rice planting, Tike corn and cotton, remained ahead of normal and reached
63% complete by month's end for the 5 major producing States. Planting of
grain sorghum progressed at a pace closer to normal, reaching 26% complete by
May 1, 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

Snow in the upper Great Plains hindered the seeding of spring wheat. Unlike
the row crops, seeding of spring wheat fell 15 points behind the 5-year
average, reaching 34% complete by the end of April.

Soybean planting began early this year, pushed in part by the rapid pace of
corn planting, Despite the threat of cool weather, producers planted soybeans
wherever possible. Soybean planting was 2 points ahead of schedule at

4% complete at the beginning of May.

Winter Wheat: The 1994 winter wheat acres for grain is forecast at

42.1 million acres, down 4 percent from 1993. Hard Red Winter
wheat area is down 3 percent, Soft Red is down 7 percent, and White Winter is
down 2 percent.

Cool, wet weather has delayed growth in the South Dakota Hard Red crop:
winterkill was above normal in some central counties. Late April snow and low
temperatures slowed development in Montana; cutworm problems have been reported
in the north central counties. Winter wheat in southeast Wyoming rated mostly
fair: precipitation has been below normal. Lack of moisture has stunted
western Nebraska wheat. Colorado's wheat is in mostly good condition with
adequate soil moisture in most areas. There has been little visible damage to
the Colorado or Kansas crop from the late April freeze. Extreme dryness has
prompted heavier pasturing than normal in Oklahoma. Freezes coupled with
dryness have hurt dryland fields in the Texas High Plains. A warm spring and
periodic rains have Utah growers expecting a good crop.

Idaho's mild winter led to less abandonment than normal. Precipitation levels
are near normal in most of the State. Drought conditions and spotty stands are
concerns for Oregon growers. Carriers of wheat streak mosaic are threatening
acreage in Adams, Grant, and Lincoln counties in Washington State. Ample snow
cover allowed Michigan's crop to Survive the winter fairly well. Early spring
weather was favorable for fertilizer application.

Flooding along the Missouri River and poor stands with excessive moisture
elsewhere have caused further reductions to Missouri's Soft Red Winter area. A
cold January and rainy April hurt a shaky Illinois crop even more. Cool, wet
conditions have slowed wheat in Indiana. Some flooding occurred in Arkansas;
armyworm infestations cover a large area. Excessive moisture has caused
problems in Alabama, Mississippi, and Kentucky.

Harvest should start soon in Louisiana and Florida. A warm, dry April has
pushed Georgia's crop ahead of last year. April growing conditions were nearly
ideal for Virginia's wheat. South Carolina’s crop is maturing faster than
normal due to a Sunny spring. Minimal disease and insect problems are reported

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-4 NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State

and United States. 1992-93 and Forecasted May 1, 1994 l/

State: ------------------- +--+ + 222+ - 2-2-2 ee eee ee eee eee eee eee eee eee ee
1993 1994 1993 1992 1993
1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- -

AZ 50 78 90.0 90.0 3,740 4,500

CA 40 59 95.0 95.0 5,115 3,800

MN 8 30.0 470 240

MT 114 31.0 5,181 3,534

ND 1,820 31.0 81,700 56,420

So 18 24.0 990 432

us 2.050 33.6 97,196 68,926

1/ Area harvested for U.S. and northern States will be published in "Acreage"

released June 30, 1994.

Yield and production will be published in

Production” released July 12, 1994.

"Crop

Total

458,948
402,055

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1992-93
and Forecasted May 1, 1994 1/
Winter Spring
Year Hard Soft Hard
Red Red White Red Durum White
1,000 Bushels

1992: 966.078 427,139 213,317 702,108 97.196 53,110 2
1993 : 1,073,417 402,715 293,026 509.982 68.926 53,989 2
1994 : 1,011,506 393,665 252.767

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data
available. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used through

the forecast season,

Crop Production
May 1994

unless otherwise noted.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


U.S. Winter Wheat Production

1985-1994
Billion Bushels
2.50
2.03
2.00 | |1.83 1.77
1.52 1-57 1.56 1.61 1.66
1.46 1.37

1.50 w|
1.00
0.50

2 Z Z I \\} 2 Z IW)

.00
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-6 NASS. USDA


Cotton: Area Planted and Harvested and Yield
by Type. State, and United States, 1992-93 1/
: Area : Area :
Type: Planted : Harvested : Yield

AL 415.0 443.0 408.0 430.0 731 524
AZ 325.0 316.0 323.0 315.0 1.077 1,204
AR 1,000.0 990.0 980.0 970.0 823 541
CA 1,000.0 1,050.0 995.0 1,045.0 1,359 1,340
FL 50.0 54.0 49.5 53.5 701 696
GA 460.0 615.0 456.0 600.0 783 586
KS 2.5 1.6 0.8 1.4 120 206
LA 890.0 890.0 870.0 875.0 717 606
MS 1,350.0 1,330.0 1,345.0 1,300.0 761 572
MO 335.0 345.0 328.0 335.0 792 539
NM 55.0 53.5 37.0 48.7 616 769
NC 380.0 390.0 377.0 385.0 596 535
OK 370.0 370.0 335.0 350.0 301 370
sc 197.0 202.0 192.0 198.0 565 495
TN 625.0 625.0 615.0 615.0 651 425
TX 5,500.0 5,550.0 3,550.0 5,050.0 441 484
VA 22.1 23.2 21.8 22.8 621 634
US 12,976.6 13,248.3 10,883.1 12,594.4 693 601
Amer-Pima:
AZ : 103.0 57.0 102.0 56.9 649 734
CA 110.0 91.0 110.0 91.0 1,282 1,192
MS 2/ 0.4 0.4 480
NM 13.0 11.0 12.8 11.0 739 816
1TM 37.0 31.0 35.0 30.0 775 784
US 263.4 190.0 260.2 188.9 938 967
All
AL 415.0 443.0 408.0 430.0 731 524
AZ 428.0 373.0 425.0 371.9 975 1,132
AR 1,000.0 990.0 980.0 970.0 823 541
CA 1,110.0 1,141.0 1,105.0 1,136.0 1,351 1,328
FL 50.0 54.0 49.5 53.5 701 696
GA 460.0 615.0 456.0 600.0 783 586
KS 2.5 1.6 0.8 1.4 120 206
LA 890.0 890.0 870.0 875.0 717 606
MS 1,350.4 1.330.0 1,345.4 1,300.0 760 572
MO 335.0 345.0 328.0 335.0 792 539
NM 68.0 64.5 49.8 59.7 648 777
NC 380.0 390.0 377.0 385.0 596 535
OK 370.0 370.0 335.0 350.0 301 370
Sc 197.0 202.0 192.0 198.0 565 495
TN 625.0 625.0 615.0 615.0 651 425
TX §,537.0 5,581.0 3,585.0 5,080.0 445 A486
VA 22.1 23.2 21.8 22.8 621 634
US :  13,240.0 13,438.3 11,143.3 12,783.3 699 606
1/ 1993 revised. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 1993.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-19 NASS, USDA


Pasture and Range Feed: Condition by State and United States,
1993-94 and Average 1/

:: State :

State : Average 1994 1993 1994

Average

: 1983-92 : 1983-92
Percent nt : Percent

AL : 75 84 88 74 77 79
AZ : 83 90 78 89 90 85
AR : 83 85 82 86 70 65
CA : 76 98 71 72 77 53
co : 78 81 80 85 79 96
CT : 87 80 90 84 91 90
DE : 88 97 99 67 79 93
FL : 74 79 80 86 88 86
GA : 75 84 88 80 96 90
1D : 82 90 90 84 96 86
IL : 84 90 95 81 70 76
IN : 85 89 91 88 80 90
IA : 79 79 86 77 78 76
KS : 79 85 80 73 86 85
ky : 85 92 93 84 85 85
LA : 81 92 94 67 75 62
ME : 86 75 85 78 94 97
MD : 87 100 98 86 80 75
MA : 86 90 90 85 85 82
MI : 86 75 75 85 89 74
MN : 76 85 88 78 92 90
MS : 82 90 85 73 67 79
MO : 80 85 93 82 93 98
MT : 77 84 95

NE : 77 97 97 77 84 83

1/ Good to excellent, 80 and over: poor to fair 65-79; very poor, 50-64;
severe drought. 35-49; extreme drought, under 35.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-9 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Cumulative Large Bolls and Harvesting Loss
by State, 1985-93 (continued)

Mississippi

Year Harvest : : Harvest
Large Bolls Loss : Large Bolls Loss
l/ Per Acre : l/ Per Acre
Number Pounds Number Pounds
1985: 662 91 423 40
1986: 611 95 391 36
1987 : 777 81 473 34
1988: 726 86 463 34
1989: 710 90 369 32
1990: 693 93 489 39
1991 : 726 90 431 41
1992): 708 84 489 53
1993: 608 76 489 37
1/ Total large bolls in 40 feet of row.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-25 NASS, USDA


National

Crop Agricultural

Statistics
Production Service
United States

Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released May 10, 1994, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts refer to
May 1, 1994,

Winter Wheat Production Down 6 Percent

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.66 billion bushels, down 6 percent from
1993. Based on May 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.3 bushels
Per acre, down 1.0 bushel from last year. Area for grain harvest is 42.1
million acres, down 4 percent from last season.

All orange production for May is forecast at 10.3 million tons, virtually
unchanged from April but 6 percent below last season. Florida production is 174
million boxes (7.84 million tons), unchanged from last month but 7 percent below
last season. Harvesting of early and mid-season varieties is complete. The
forecast, at 107 million boxes (4.83 million tons), is unchanged from April but
6 percent Tess than last season. The Florida Valencia forecast is

67.0 million boxes (3.02 million tons), also the same as April but 7 percent
below a year ago. California's all orange production is carried forward from
last month, at 64.0 million boxes (2.40 million tons). off 4 percent from last
season. The Navel orange forecast is 36.0 million boxes (1.35 million tons),

18 percent less than last year. The Valencia forecast is 28.0 million boxes
(1.05 million tons), 22 percent above last year.

Index is located at the end of this report. For information call
(202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (5-94)


Almonds (shelled basis): Utilized Production,
California. 1992-93 and Forecasted May 1, 1994

Utilized Production

State St ee enn een ne eee ene eee nnn eee wees
1992 1993 4/ 1994
1.000 Pounds
CA : 548,000 490,000 610,000
i/ Revised

Avocados: Bearing Acreage, Yield, Production, Price,
and Value, Florida and Hawaii. 1992-93
: Bearing : Yield Production Utilization
Year : Acreage : Per
: : Acre

FL :

1992-93 : 8.400

1993-94 ; 5,800

HI :

1992-93 : 220 1.59 350 350 350 --
1993-94 : 250 1.00 250 250 250 ed
FL :

1992-93 : 583 -- 583 4,198 -- 4,198
1993-94 : 820 +? 820 3,608 -- 3,608
HI :

1992-93 : 920 -- 920 322 -- 322
1993-94 : 880 -- 880 220 -- 220

1/ Bearing acreage estimates are based on periodic orchard inventory surveys.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-12 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes

1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

2/ Net Ibs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-CA
Desert & AZ-64 in 1991-92 and 1992-93, 67-starting in January 1994.
CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80: lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus &
Temples-90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

4/ Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

5/ TX estimated at 425 tons for 1991-92.

Spring Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted May 1, 1994

Area Harvested Production
State panna ene een een nee eee enn ene ee ener rte ener reece
1993 1993
-- 1,000 Acres 1,000 Cwt -----
AL : 2.7 2.5 155 175 543 419 438
AZ : 5.5 6.3 270 280 1,800 1,485 1,764
CA : 19.5 20.5 385 380 7,238 7,508 7,790
FL :
Hastings : 26.0 29.0 180 220 6,000 4,680 6,380
Other FL : 7.5 9.6 185 200 1,750 1,388 1,920
NC : 17.3 17.0 180 190 3,460 3,114 3,230
TX : 5.3 5.5 200 200 744 1,060 1,100
Total : 83.8 90.4 235 250 21,535 19,654 22,622
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-11 NASS, USDA


Tangerines: The 1993-94 tangerine crop forecast increased to 330,000 tons. up
2 percent from April and 31 percent above last season. The

Florida tangerine forecast is 4.10 million boxes (195,000 tons). up 3 percent

from last month. The harvest is virtually complete for a)) varieties.

Arizona and California forecasts were carried forward from April at

1.10 million boxes (41,000 tons) and 2.50 million boxes (94,000 tons),

respectively.

Tangelos: The Florida tangelo forecast was unchanged from April at
3.35 million boxes (151,000 tons) but was 10 percent larger than
last year. Harvest is finished for the season.

Temples: The Florida Temple forecast increased 2 percent from April to
2.25 million boxes (101,000 tons) but is 10 percent less than last
season’s production, Harvest is complete for the 1993-94 crop.

Florida Citrus: Groves in the citrus belt remained generally dry during April.

Irrigation was needed throughout the month to maintain good
tree condition during the current fruit set period. A few significant showers
occurred in the last week of April to greatly improve the condition of mature
fruit. Harvesting of Valencia oranges was active during April. Movement of
grapefruit was also active but slowed in the last week as supplies finally ran
low. Caretakers were active cutting cover crops. hedging and topping trees,
and applying post-bloom nutritional sprays.

California Fruits and Nuts: Orchard management remained active during April.

Fungicide treatments. weed control, and irrigation
were common. Grape growers were ajso suckering and bunch thinning in addition
to Spraying for mildew. The cherry crop progressed and a large Set is
reported. Stone fruit growers thinned heavily laden trees to increase fruit
size. Picking of Freestone peaches began in the Desert area. Walnuts were
leafing out and trees were treated for blight and coddling moth. Strawberry
harvest was active in the San Joaquin Valley, Central Coast, and southern
California areas. Late rains damaged some ripe berries.

California Citrus: Navel orange harvest tapered off by the end of April with

approximately 95 percent of the crop picked. Quality
deteriorated in late season Navels. Growth in Valencia oranges was well above
average. About 5 percent of the crop has been picked. Lemon harvest was
active in the South Coast.

Spring Potatoes: Production of the spring crop is forecast at 22.6 million

cwt, down 2 percent from last month but 15 percent above last
year. Blight on late fields reduced yields from Jast month in the Hastings,
Florida, area. Area for harvest is 90.400 acres, up 8 percent from a year ago
and 9 percent above two years ago. The average yield. projected at 250 cwt per
acre, is up 15 cwt from last year but 9 cwt below 1992.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-6 NASS, USDA


in Tennessee. Pennsylvania growers have experienced some snow mold problems.
Excessive rain has drowned out some New Jersey acreage.

Durum Wheat: The 1994 Arizona-California durum production is forecast at

7.02 and 5.61 million bushels, respectively. Both productions
are up sharply from 1993 due to increased harvested area. Yields for both
States are unchanged from last year. Arizona’s crop is rated in good to
excellent condition with 67 percent turning color as of May 1. California’s
desert durum harvest should start in mid-May.

Hay Stocks on Farm: Hay stocks on farms totaled 22.7 million tons on
May 1, 1994. This is up 8 percent from the stocks level
of May 1, 1993.

Disappearance of hay during the December 1, 1993 - May 1, 1994, period totaled
79.2 million tons. This compares with 84.5 million tons during the same period
a year earlier.

The prolonged harsh winter and snow cover made range and pastures inaccessible
and resulted in increased feeding to livestock. Dry weather in the Pacific
coast and Southern States lowered hay production and hay quality.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on

May 1, 1994, for the 48 contiguous States
was 83 percent, down 1 point from May 1, 1993, but 6 points above the 1983-92
average for May 1. Conditions were above last year in 22 States, below last
year in 21 States, and the same as last year in 5 States.

Only two States. New Mexico and Texas, reported conditions in the very poor
range. Supplemental feeding of livestock has been reported in some areas of
both States. Pastures were reported poor to fair in the Lake States of
Michigan and Wisconsin. The Western States of Arizona, California, and Nevada
also reported pastures and ranges in the poor to fair ranges.

Grapefruit: The forecast of the 1993-94 U.S grapefruit crop is 2.64 million
tons, down 5 percent from last season but 19 percent more than the
1991-92 season.

Florida’s production of all three types of grapefruit totals 51.1 million boxes
(2.17 million tons). 4 percent larger than last month. Those forecasts are
white seedless, 25.0 million boxes (1.06 million tons): colored seedless,

25.0 million boxes (1.06 million tons); and seedy grapefruit, 1.05 million
boxes (45,000 tons). Harvest is over 90 percent complete on all three types
and supplies are running low.

The Texas grapefruit forecast increased 2 percent to 2.85 million boxes
(114,000 tons), 52 percent larger than last season. There may be a few loads
left in packing sheds. The Arizona and California grapefruit forecasts were
carried forward at 2.00 million boxes (67,000 tons) and 8.60 million boxes
(289,000 tons), respectively.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-5 NASS, USDA


Hay: Stocks on Farms by State and United States,
Dec 1 and May 1, 1991-94

Dec 1 May 1
State  :------- +222 eee eer en nen en nee rene nn ee ene ten renee cee ee
1991 1992 1993 1992 1993 1994
1,000 Tons

AL : 1,392 1,252 1,181 229 134 274
AZ : 171 269 124 71 37 25
AR > 1,955 2,265 1,769 489 419 430
CA : 2,841 2,869 1,670 775 155 152
co : 2,437 2.575 2,480 528 396 300
cT : 105 107 90 14 23 10
DE : 40 36 16 10 5 8
FL : 490 753 403 4l 140 79
GA : 1,206 1,007 684 324 244 114
1D : 3,221 2,193 2,955 644 292 678
IL >: 1,992 1,757 1,725 348 365 616
IN : 1,001 1,380 1,164 138 177 205
IA : 4,400 4,300 3.410 817 1,058 720
KS : 4,175 4,669 4,180 755 800 1,093
KY > 4,203 4,047 4,362 923 790 600
LA : 630 502 396 105 97 42
ME : 241 259 239 38 54 36
MD : 399 428 374 §1 §2 33
MA : 134 161 93 20 32 17
MI : 2,890 2,320 3,185 1,051 510 753
MN : 5,339 3,537 3,881 1,618 1,114 1,113
MS : 1,620 1,823 1,382 288 162 173
MO : 5,830 5,835 6,160 1,280 703 1,466
MT : 4,567 4,012 4,706 1,349 897 1,255
NE : 5,381 5,777 5,680 1,569 1,364 1,439
NV : 695 499 651 162 32 166
NH : 95 110 98 15 24 17
NJ : 133 140 129 28 43 7
NM : 630 616 588 140 70 90
NY 2 2,666 2,334 1,983 615 503 361
NC : 753 728 436 212 148 45
ND > 4,541 3,796 5,194 1,195 844 1,160
OH : 1.764 2,275 1,910 252 364 562
OK : 3,924 4,323 3,696 1,134 1,180 750
OR : 1,684 1,537 1,686 384 73 621
PA : 2,577 2,989 2,837 604 833 709
RI : 10 11 8 2 2 2
SC : 345 234 70 108 41 44
so : 7,482 7,020 9,464 3.218 2,176 2,293
TN 2 2,839 2,945 2,226 653 485 417
1X : 8.730 8,918 6.005 2,522 2.058 826
UT : 1,593 1,344 1,518 319 246 323
VT : 411 484 425 78 142 137
VA t 1,989 2,382 1,694 610 494 374
WA : 2.228 1,777 992 327 148 312
WV : 754 942 932 61 118 95
WI : 6,765 4,446 4,507 2,084 853 1,377
wy : 2,136 1,618 2.530 401 197 495
us : 111,404 105.601 101.888 28,599 21,102 22,714
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-8 NASS, USDA


Cottonseed: Production and Farm Disposition,
by State and United States, 1992-93 /

Production
1992 1993 1992
224.0 175.0 73
335.0 338.0 161
: 653.0 455.0 561
: 1,148.0 1,146.0 174
25.0 27.0 0
261.0 258.0 66
0.1 0.2 0
484.0 408.0 330
834.0 631.0 776
217.0 152.0 204
25.0 41.0 0
171.0 153.0 57
85.0 114.0 80
80.0 75.0 50
332.0 216.0 296
1,346.0 2,147.0 1,092
10.0 11.0 0
6,230.1 6,347.2 3.920

1992

4/ FL includes KS.

crop

revised, 1993 crop

20 tons for 1993 and 1994.

Crop Production

May 1994

0.

5.

Sales to
O11 Mills

1993 199

1,000 Tons
0 60.0 151.
0 195.0 174,
0 403.0 92.
0 185.0 974,
0 11.0 25.
0 26.0 195.
1 0.0
0 297.0 154.
0 583.0 58.
0 117.0 13.
al 12.4 24,
0 32.0 114.
0 105.0
.0 41.0 30.
0 174.0 36.
-0 1,686.0 254.
-0 0.0 10.

-2 3,927.4 2,309.

1/ preliminary.

2/ Includes planting seed. feed, exports. inter-farm sales, shrinkage. losses,
and other uses.

3/ Included in “other" farm disposition.
years’ crops.

Plantin

Used for
Planting

Other 2/ 3/

2 1993 1993 : 1994
0 115.0 5.1 5.3
0 143.0 3.4 3.1
0 52.0 9.4 9.0
0 961.0 13.1 12.2
0 16.0 0.6 0.8
0 232.0 7.4 9.6
0 0.2
Q 111.0 8.0 8.3
0 48.0 13.3 12.5
0 35.0 3.6 3.5
9 28.6 1.2 1.2
0 121.0 3.5 4.3
0 9.0 4.6 4.9
0 34.0 1.4 1.4
0 42.0 6.6 6.1
0 461.0 86.5 89.0
0 11.0 0.2 0.3

g seed from previous

KS estimate of cottonseed used for planting is

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next “Crop Production” report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
June 9, 1994,

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the

National

Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202)

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202)
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202)
Greg Preston - Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202)

- Weekly Crop Weather (202)
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202)

Charles Van Lahr - Barley. Corn. Gats, Pasture Condition (202)

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202)
Jim Brewster - Fruits (202)
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans. Onions (202)
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202)
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202)
Roger Latham - Cotton (202)
David Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202)

Crop Production Agricultural Statis

May 1994 B-13

720-2127

720-3843
720-9526
720-7621
720-2157
720-8068
720-7369

720-3843
720-7688
720-4285
720-8843
720-5412
720-5944
720-6054

tics Board
NASS, USDA


The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in
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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-14 NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)
} April 30, 1994
f - } UPDATED BI-WEEKLY
/ Ae ]
/ TEL \
.: MOIST MOIST (@)
MODERATE £4 Ny 4
fa N oO
\ y
S 1
‘\ SEVERE
‘SEVERE y J} MorsT
1 \ MOIST MOIST
/ 7)
yn mN ~~.
Qe LS) “MoBERATE:
MODERATE ~~
MOIST
MOtsT MOIST
MODERATE"
NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on preliminary reports

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness: responds sTtowly; changes Tittle from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge. and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies: designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-2 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested. United States.
1993 and Forecasted May 1, 1994
(Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested
10 Ae)»
1993 1994 1993 1994
Hectares
Winter Wheat : 20,933,400 20,569,180 17,744,040 17,057,280
Spring Potatoes : 35,170 37,070 33,910 36,580

Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States.
1993 and Forecasted May 1, 1994
(Metric Units)

jeld per Hectar Production
Crop : : : Apr 1, : May 1
1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1994

Metric Tons

Winter Wheat : 2.71 2.65 48,148,590 45,121,680

Spring Potatoes : 26.29 28.05 891,490 1,052,430 1,026,120
Hay Stocks on Farms }/: 19,143,410 20,605,790
Almonds (CA) : 222,260 276,690
Citrus Fruits 2/ : 1992-93 1993-94 1993-94
Oranges : 9,968,150 9,376,660 9.374, 850
Grapefruit 2,531,950 2,315,140 2,395,870

1/ Decembér 1, 1993 hay stocks were 92,431,240 metric tons.
2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-4 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by Class,
Type, State, and United States, 1992-93 1/ (continued)

Yield Production
1992: 1993 : 1992: 1993 : 1992 : 1993
-- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds --

Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3B, Dark
Air-cured
Type 35, One Sucker

Belt :

KY : 2,650 2,700 2,160 2,370 6,724 6,399

TMN : 640 640 2,000 2,125 1,280 1,360

US : 3,290 3,340 2,129 2,323 7,004 7,759
Type 36. Green River :

Belt :

KY : 1,350 1,450 2,450 2,320 3,308 3.364
Type 37, VA Sun-cured :

Belt :

VA : 100 100 1,240 1,040 124 104

Total 35-37 > 4,740 4,890 2,202 2.296 10,436 11,227
Class 4, Cigar Filler :
Type 41, PA Seedleaf :

PA : 7,000 6,500 2,000 2,100 14,000 13,650
Class 5, Cigar Binder :
Class 5A, CT Valley

Binder

Type 51. CT Valley

Broadleaf :
CT : 650 650 1,790 1,875 1,164 1,219
MA : 170 170 =1,880 2,060 320 350

US : 820 820 1,810 1,913 1,484 1,569
Class 5B, WI Binder :

Type 54, Southern WI
WI 4,000 2,900 2.115 1,620 8,460 4,698
Type 55, Northern WI

> 3,200 1,900 1,450 1,340 4,640 2,846

Total 54-55 : 7,200 4,800 1,819 1,509 13,100 7,244
Total 51-55 : 8,020 5,620 1,818 1,568 14,584 8,813
Class 6, Cigar Wrapper :
Type 61, CT Valley :

Shade-grown

CT

: 800 850 1,445 1,405 1,156 1,194

MA : 200 230 «1,790 1,495 358 344

us : 1,000 1,080 1,514 1,424 1,514 1,538
All Cigar Types :

Total 41-61 : 16,020 13,200 1,879 1,818 30,098 24,001

All Tobacco : 784,420 747,540 2,195 2,159 1,721,671 1,613,591

L/ 1993 revised
2/ Estimates carried forward from "Crop Production” Annual Summary released
January 12, 1994.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-15 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State,
and United States, 1992-93 1/ (continued)

Price per t Value of
: Pound : Production
Class and Type Doc tt ccc eter cee ec cece err ne en eee eee eee ee ee eee
: 1992 1993 1992 1993
---- Dollars ---- ---- 1,000 Dollars ----
Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3B, Dark
Air-cured
Type 35. One Sucker
Belt :
KY : 1.726 1.745 9,880 11,166
TMN : 1,666 1.761 2,132 2,395
US : 1.715 1.748 12,012 13,561
Type 36, Green River : .
Belt :
KY : 1.648 1.638 5,452 5,510
Type 37. VA Sun-cured :
Belt :
VA : 1.380 1.521 171 158

Total 35-37 : 1.690 1.713 17,635 19,229
Class 4, Cigar Filler :
Type 41, PA Seedleaf :

PA : 1.150 0.950 16,100 12,968
Class 5, Cigar Binder :
Class 5A, CT Valley

Binder
Type 51, CT Valley

Broadleaf

cT 2.800 3.000 3,259 3,657

MA 2.800 3.000 896 1,050

us 2.800 3.000 4,155 4,707
Class 5B, WI Binder
Type 54, Southern WI:

WI : 1.530 1.450 12,944 6,812
Type 55, Northern WI:

WI 1.410 1.390 6,542 3.539
Total 54-55 : 1.487 1.429 19,486 10,351
Total 51-55 : 1.621 1.709 23,641 15,058
Class 6. Cigar Wrapper :

Type 61, CT Valley :

Shade-grown :

CT : 17.000 17.000 19,652 20,298

MA : 17.000 17.000 6,086 5,848

us : 17.000 17.000 25,738 26,146
All Cigar Types :

Total 41-61 : 2.176 2.257 65.479 54,172

All Tobacco : 1.777 1.752 3,059,246 2,827,145

1/ 1993 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,

1993 and Forecasted May 1,
(Domestic Units)

1994

00 oe) ee
1993 1994 1993 1994
1,000 Acres
Winter Wheat : 51.727 50.827 43.846 42,149
Spring Potatoes : 86.9 91.6 83.8 90.4
Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States,
1993 and Forecasted May 1, 1994
(Domestic Units)
Yield per Acr. Production
Crop and Unit Apr 1 May 1

Winter Wheat Bu: 40.3 39.3 1,769,158 1,657,938

Spring Potatoes Cwt : 235 250 19,654 23,202 22,622

Pasture and Range :

Feed 1/ Pet : 84 83

Hay Stocks on Farms2/Ton : 21,102 22,714

Almonds (CA) Lb: 490,000 610,000

Citrus Fruits 3/ : 1992-93 1993-94 1993-94
Oranges Ton : 10,988 10,336 10.334
Grapefruit “oot 2,791 2,552 2,641

1/ Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month. The 1983-92

average is 77 percent.

2/ December 1, 1993 hay stocks were 101,888,000 tons.

3/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the

completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production
May 1994 A-3

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Index

Page
Table Narrative

AIMONdS. 0... eect eee eee een eee eee A-12 B- 7
AVOCADOS. 1 eee eect eet ete A-12 B- 7
Bananas... . eee ee cee eee eee eee e ee eaee A-13

Cherries... 0. ccc eee eee cee een enn eee A-12

Citrus Fruit. 0... eee eee eee eee A-10 B- 5
COLTON... cee eee e ete t eee e eens A-19 B- 8
Cottonseed... eee cee eee te eee eee : A-22 B- 9
Crop Moisture MapS.......... cece ee eee eee eee B- 1
Crop Summary... 6... cece cece eee eee teen een A- 3 B- 3
Farm Marketings - Cotton and Tobacco..............-005 A-26

Hay Stocks... 2. eee cece ene e eee e eee A- 8 B- 5
PAPaYaS. 0. cnet cette ete eee A-13 8- 7
Pasture and Range Feed Condition Table................ A- 9 B- 5
Potatoes. Spring.......... cece eee cee eee ee A-11 B- 6
Reliability Statement............. 0. e cee cece eee eee B-10
Tar. cee eee eee teen eens A-13

Tobacco by Class and Type.......... cc cece ee eee eee eee A-14 B- 7
Tobacco by States....... eee eee eee A-18 B- 7
Wheat, by Class. 2... . icc cee etn A- 7

Wheat. Winter... 0... cece cece e cet eee eee eens A- 5 B- 4
Wheat, Durum... 6... 6 cece cee eee eee tee A- 7 B- 5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 B-12 NASS,

USDA


Tobacco:

Flue-cured :
FL : 14
GA : 12
NC : 3
sc 2 4
VA :

Fire-cured :
VA
KY
TTMN

Air-cured

Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales by Class

Month, and State, 1993 Marketing Year

35
32
31
30
30

1993

35
35
35
36
33

16
21
28
30
31

100

100

100

100

100

5 100
28 59 13 100
28 49 23 100
34 5 100
22 4 100
100 100

37 100
23 100
35 100
19 100
16 100
30 5 100

1/ Sales by month are not available.

Crop Production
May 1994

Nov
Percent

3

6

15 80
24 37
26 48
27 36
27 50
22 43
28 53
32 52
16 49
A-26

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Florida frozen orange concentrate yield for the 1993-94 season is projected at
1.57 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, unchanged from last month. The final
yield for the Early and Mid-season crop is 1.52073 gallons per box. This yield
is the second highest and close to the record of 1.52480 gallons last season.
The Valencia crop is now projected to yield 1.67 gallons per box, unchanged from
last month. This forecast projects the final yield as reported by the Florida
Citrus Processors Association.

ae eee a _ —— al

This report was approved on May 10, 1994, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture
and the National Agricultural Statistics Service’s Agricultural Statistics
Board.

Zinger vce feat GLb.

Adting Secretary of Acting Secretary of
Agriculture Agriculture
Eugene Moos Keith J. Collins

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson
Rich Allen

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-2 NASS, USDA


Flue-cured tobacco represented 54 percent of this year’s all tobacco acreage.
Yield per acre averaged 2,217 pounds, 40 pounds below the average yield for the
1992 crop.

Burley production totaled 632 million pounds, 12 percent below a year ago. The
change reflects a decrease in harvested acres and yield. Growers harvested
299.700 acres, 10 percent below last year. Average yield for the crop was
2,108 pounds, 55 pounds below the previous year. Kentucky. with:67 percent of
the 1993 burley production, was 14 percent below a year ago.

Dark fire-cured production, at 40.9 million pounds, was 11 percent above last
year. The average yield per acre of 2,457 pounds was 152 pounds above last
year. Harvested acres, at 16,650, were up 4 percent from a year ago.

Production of dark air-cured tobacco was up 8 percent from last year.
Harvested acres, at 4,890, were 3 percent above last year. The average yield
per acre of 2,296 pounds was 94 pounds above the average yield in 1992.

All cigar-type production of 24.0 million pounds was 20 percent below the
Previous year. Compared with last year, filler production was 2 percent
smaller. Binder production was down 40 percent. Production of wrapper was
2 percent above a year ago.

Cotton, 1993 Revised: All cotton production in the United States totaled

16.1 million bales in 1993, down 73.600 bales from 1992.
Upland cotton production, at 15.8 million bales, was 54,100 bales less than the
previous year, and American-Pima production totaled 380,600 bales, down one-
fourth from 1992.

The area planted to cotton totaled 13.4 million acres, up 1 percent from 1992.
Harvested area, at 12.8 million acres, climbed 15 percent from the previous
year. Abandonment during 1993 amounted to 5 percent compared with 16 percent
in 1992, Yields for the U.S. averaged 606 pounds per acre, 93 pounds below
1992 yields.

The Delta States suffered from drought. extreme high temperatures, and insect
infestations during 1993. Plantings were delayed but eventually equalled the
5-year average pace. Boll development suffered and yields declined from the
potentially high yields indicated early in the season. Regional yields
averaged 547 pounds, down 205 pounds from a year earlier. Production totaled
4.67 million bales, down 28 percent from 1992.

Production in the Southeast decreased 11 percent from the previous year to
1.84 million bales. Although harvested acreage was up 13 percent from 1992,
regional yields, at 546 pounds, were down 144 pounds.

Western States production increased 5 percent from 1992 to 3.79 million bales.
The increase resulted from 4 percent more harvested acreage and yields
averaging 1,290 pounds per acre, up 18 pounds from the previous year.
California yields declined 19 pounds from the 1992 record high. Early season
rainfall in California delayed plantings in 1993 but development was better
than anticipated and yields exceeded early expectations.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-8 NASS, USDA


April Weather Summary: Two exceptionally stormy periods--April 9-13 and

24-30--pushed monthly precipitation above normal for
much of the Nation, After a 7-month lull, extreme wetness returned to the
middle Mississippi Valley. where Missouri notched its second wettest April this
century. Columbia, MO. with 11.69 inches, logged its wettest April and eighth
wettest month on record. Monthly rainfall exceeded 8 inches in the Tennessee
Valley. and from northern Oklahoma to central Indiana. Late-month snow and
rain drove monthly totals above 4 inches in the upper Mississippi Valley. In
contrast, dryness developed in the Southeastern States. except in peninsular
Florida. Less than 1 inch of rain fell in a strip from southeastern Virginia
to eastern Georgia. A driest-April record was established in Columbia, SC
(0.29 inches). Farther west, precipitation alleviated topsoil dryness in the
central Plains and west-central Texas, but effects of autumn and winter dryness
lingered: Lubbock. TX. reported 23 hours and 39 minutes of blowing dust during
the month, including a dust storm that reduced the visibility to one-quarter
mile on April 25.

Record warmth between the two major periods of storminess fueled well-above-
normal monthly temperatures across most of the United States. Warmth in
Virginia and Maryland attained April-record levels. In the Northwest.
Washington recorded its eighth warmest April in the past 100 years. Only a
narrow Strip along the primary storm track, from the central Rockies to the
western Great Lakes States, measured below-normal temperatures. However,
during storm passages, especially late in the month, weather from the central
Plains to the western Corn Beit was decidedly winter-like. On April 27, highs
reached only 27 degrees F in Colorado Springs, CO, and 30 degrees F in
Scottsbluff, NE. Farther south, daily record lows included 30 degrees F in
Amarillo, TX, and 21 degrees F in Tribune, KS. Two days later, snow depths
included 9 inches in Sioux Falls, SD, and 7 inches in St. Cloud, MN. On
April 6, the other major cold outbreak of the month dropped temperatures into
the teens as far south as northern Texas. That outbreak also accompanied
significant snow, with depths reaching 5 inches in Russell. KS, on April 6 and
6 inches in Fort Wayne. IN, a day later.

General Crop Comments: Spring storms in the early part of April hit the

central Plains and brought much needed moisture.
Spring planting was hampered early in the month by saturated fields in the
middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Although the rains threatened to limit
planting progress in the Corn Belt. producers planted whenever possible. Snow,
late in the month in the upper Great Plains and Great Lake States, hindered
fieldwork and kept soil temperatures below desired levels for corn planting.
Cool temperatures in the Great Plains late in the month hindered crop
development but not planting progress. Thunderstorms late in the month in the
middle Mississippi Valley held corn planting to average levels. Ory conditions
in the Southeast and the Pacific Coast continued.

Corn planting by month's end was 42% complete, and was ahead of schedule in the
major producing States. The threat of a cool. wet spring prompted producers to
plant early to avoid a repeat of last year’s difficulties. Cool weather and
wet field conditions could require some fields to be replanted.

Ory weather in the southern United States allowed cotton planting to continue
ahead of normal. Cotton producers in the 14 major States planted 42% of the

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 B-3 NASS, USDA


Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1993-94

Fresh Production

Month

cone eee eee eee eee eee : 1993 1994

-- 1,000 Pounds --

Mar 2,355 5,255 4,125
Apr 2,285 3,570 4,380
May 3,165
dun 4,630
Jul 5,210
Aug 5,045
Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Apr 18,700 18,350
Bananas, Papayas, and Taro: Area Harvested, Yield,
and Production, Hawaii, 1992-93 1/
Ttem pw 2 n-ne nee ee ene enn en nr ere nee ence eee eee
1992 1993
Pounds
Bananas 870 880 13,800 13,300
Papayas 2,415 2,555 N/A N/A
Taro §50 $10 12,500 11,800
1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds
Bananas 12,000 11,700 12,000 11,700
Papayas N/A N/A 71,300 63.700
Taro 6.900 6,000 6.900 6.000

1/ 1993 revised.
2/ Area harvested is average during the year.
N/A = Not available.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
May 1994 A-13 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type.
State, and United States, 1992-93 1/
Price per : Value of
Pound : Production

---- Dollars ---- ~--- 1,000 Dollars ---
Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts
NC 1.753 1.687 377,088 350.727
VA 1.764 1.698 143,916 124,395
US 1.756 1.690 521.004 475,122
Type 12. Eastern NC
Belt :
NC : 1.731 1.693 523,636 507,773
Type 13. NC Border &
SC Belt
NC 1.698 1.676 125,567 134,197
Sc 1.699 1.662 190,832 184, 083
US 1.699 1.668 316,399 318,280
Type 14, GA-FL Belt
L 1.628 1.638 31,868 30,586
GA 1.692 1.653 170,858 159,217
US 1.682 1.651 202,726 189,803
Total 11-14 1.726 1.681 1,563,765 1,490,978
Class 2, Fire-cured
Type 21, VA Belt
VA 1.615 1.719 4,146 3,218
Type 22, Eastern
District
KY 2.187 2.195 17,006 18,668
i 2.176 2.198 34,729 40,619
2.180 2.197 51,735 59,287
ME 23, Western
ystrict
2.159 2.186 19,798 22,979
N 2.158 2.186 2,840 3.384
US 2.159 2.186 22,638 26,363
Total 21-23 2.134 2.172 78,519 88,868
Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3A. Light
Air-cured
Type 31, Burley
IN 1.822 1.820 34,436 31,695
KY 1.821 1.825 907,586 777,998
MO 1.772 1.776 5,844 8,454
NC 1.759 1.779 32,204 32,582
OH 1.819 1.823 39,727 34,455
TN 1.806 1.800 231,168 212.463
VA 1.794 1.766 48.766 42,928
wy 1.802 1.800 529 480
US 1.815 1.816 1,306,260 1,147,055
Type 32. Southern MD
e
MD 1.676 1.512 19,996 18,530
PA 1,110 1.250 7,592 8,313
US 1.470 1.420 27,588 26,843
Total 31-32 1.807 1.805 1,333,848 1,173,898
See footnote at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 1994 A-16 NASS, USDA