Cr Pr 2-2 (12-07)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released December 11, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

All Cotton Production Up 1 Percent from November

All Orange Production Unchanged from October

All Cotton production is forecast at 19.0 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from last month but down

12 percent from last year’s 21.6 million bales. Yield is expected to average 864 pounds per harvested acre, up

5 pounds from last month and up 50 pounds from 2006. If realized, the yield will be the largest on record

surpassing the previous record of 855 pounds per acre set in 2004. Harvested area of all cotton is expected to

total 10.5 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 17 percent from last year. Upland cotton

production is forecast at 18.2 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from last month but down 13 percent

from last year. A record high yield of 850 pounds per acre is forecast for upland cotton. Record yields are

expected in Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. American-Pima production is forecast at a record

high 831,500 bales, up 2 percent from last month and up 9 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested

area is expected to total 289,000 acres, unchanged from last month but down 11 percent from 2006.

The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2007-08 season is 9.83 million tons, unchanged from the October 1

forecast but 29 percent higher than the 2006-07 final utilization of 7.59 million tons. Florida’s all orange

forecast, at 168 million boxes (7.56 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 30 percent

higher than last season’s final utilization of 129 million boxes. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in

Florida are forecast at 81.0 million boxes (3.65 million tons), unchanged from October 1 but 23 percent above

last season. Florida’s Valencia forecast, at 87.0 million boxes (3.92 million tons), remains the same as the

October 1 forecast but is 37 percent higher than 2006-07. Average early and midseason fruit sizes were the

smallest ever measured in the month of November and are projected to be the smallest on record. Navel

oranges are being harvested for gift fruit and fundraiser programs for the holidays. Arizona, California, and

Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from October.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2007-08 season remains at

1.60 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, 3 percent lower than last season’s final yield of 1.65 gallons per

box. Projected yield from the 2007-08 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the

January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will

be similar to those of the past several seasons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on December 11, 2007.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Keith J. Collins

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Carol C. House
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

Cotton .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 4

 Cumulative Boll Counts .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 24

Cottonseed .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . 5

Sugarcane .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 17

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

Dry Edible Beans .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 7

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts

Papayas .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 5

Pecans .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 16

Citrus Fruits

Grapefruit .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . 6

Lemons .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 6

Oranges .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 6

Tangelos .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . 6

Tangerines .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . 6

Temples .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 6

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Coffee .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 17

Crop Comments .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . 27

Crop Summary .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 18

Information Contacts .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . 33

Reliability of Production Data in this Report .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 31

Weather Maps .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 25

Weather Summary .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 26
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 4 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2006 and Forecasted December 1, 2007

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Nov 1 Dec 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 1,000 Bales 2 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

560.0

188.0

1,160.0

283.0

101.0

1,370.0

110.0

630.0

1,220.0

496.0

48.0

865.0

180.0

298.0

695.0

4,100.0

104.0

12,408.0

7.0

274.0

12.5

30.0

323.5

560.0

195.0

1,160.0

557.0

101.0

1,370.0

110.0

630.0

1,220.0

496.0

60.5

865.0

180.0

298.0

695.0

4,130.0

104.0

12,731.5

390.0

178.0

850.0

194.0

82.0

1,010.0

45.0

325.0

655.0

389.0

44.0

495.0

165.0

178.0

495.0

4,700.0

59.0

10,254.0

3.0

257.0

5.0

24.0

289.0

390.0

181.0

850.0

451.0

82.0

1,010.0

45.0

325.0

655.0

389.0

49.0

495.0

165.0

178.0

495.0

4,724.0

59.0

10,543.0

579

1,420

1,045

1,321

789

818

511

946

829

953

930

713

541

697

945

679

717

806

919

1,204

768

720

1,136

579

1,402

1,045

1,263

789

818

511

946

829

953

897

713

541

697

945

679

717

814

492

1,429

1,056

1,485

585

784

533

1,034

975

950

1,124

684

844

378

601

827

748

845

880

1,401

1,056

900

1,348

492

1,420

1,056

1,437

585

784

533

1,034

975

950

1,117

684

844

378

601

828

748

859

492

1,429

1,062

1,534

644

784

533

1,034

975

950

1,124

718

873

418

596

827

830

850

880

1,438

1,056

900

1,381

492

1,420

1,062

1,479

644

784

533

1,034

975

950

1,117

718

873

418

596

828

830

864

675.0

556.0

2,525.0

779.0

166.0

2,334.0

117.0

1,241.0

2,107.0

985.0

93.0

1,285.0

203.0

433.0

1,368.0

5,800.0

155.4

20,822.4

13.4

687.0

20.0

45.0

765.4

675.0

569.4

2,525.0

1,466.0

166.0

2,334.0

117.0

1,241.0

2,107.0

985.0

113.0

1,285.0

203.0

433.0

1,368.0

5,845.0

155.4

21,587.8

400.0

530.0

1,880.0

620.0

110.0

1,650.0

50.0

700.0

1,330.0

770.0

103.0

740.0

300.0

155.0

615.0

8,100.0

102.0

18,155.0

5.5

770.0

11.0

45.0

831.5

400.0

535.5

1,880.0

1,390.0

110.0

1,650.0

50.0

700.0

1,330.0

770.0

114.0

740.0

300.0

155.0

615.0

8,145.0

102.0

18,986.5

Production ginned and to be ginned. 1

480-lb. net weight bale. 2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 5 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2005-2006 and Forecasted December 1, 2007

State

Production

2005 2006 2007 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 8,172.1 7,347.9 6,581.0

Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. 1

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2006-2007

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2006 2007

2006 2007 2006 2007

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Sep

Oct

2,140

2,140

2,105

2,105

1,325

1,320

1,375

1,535

2,615

2,185

2,765

3,340

Utilized fresh production. 1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 6 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2005-06, 2006-07 and Forecasted December 1, 2007 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 2 2 2

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL 5

 TX 4

 US

 Valencia

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Temples 5

 FL

Grapefruit

 White

 FL

 Colored

 FL

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 4 6

 CA 4 6

 FL

 US

Lemons 4

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

250

47,000

75,000

1,400

123,650

200

14,000

72,700

200

87,100

450

61,000

147,700

1,600

210,750

700

6,500

12,800

100

6,000

19,300

5,200

30,600

550

3,600

5,500

9,650

3,800

22,000

25,800

1,400

200

34,000

65,600

1,600

101,400

100

11,000

63,400

380

74,880

300

45,000

129,000

1,980

176,280

9,300

17,900

100

4,000

27,200

7,100

38,400

300

2,900

4,600

7,800

2,500

16,000

18,500

1,250

200

43,000

81,000

1,450

125,650

100

15,000

87,000

350

102,450

300

58,000

168,000

1,800

228,100

8,000

17,000

200

4,500

25,000

6,800

36,500

400

4,700

4,800

9,900

1,500

16,500

18,000

1,300

9

1,763

3,375

60

5,207

8

525

3,272

9

3,814

17

2,288

6,647

69

9,021

32

276

544

3

201

820

208

1,232

21

135

261

417

144

836

980

63

8

1,275

2,952

68

4,303

4

413

2,853

16

3,286

12

1,688

5,805

84

7,589

395

761

3

134

1,156

284

1,577

11

109

219

339

95

608

703

56

8

1,613

3,645

62

5,328

4

563

3,915

15

4,497

12

2,176

7,560

77

9,825

340

723

7

151

1,063

272

1,493

15

176

228

419

57

627

684

59

The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 1

Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90; 2

Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

 3

quantities of tangerines in TX.

Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.

 4

Temples included in early and midseason orange varieties beginning with 2006-07 season. 5

Includes tangelos and tangors. 6
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 7 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2005-2007 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NM

NY

ND

OR

SD

TX

UT

WA

WI

WY

US

66.0

90.0

100.0

13.0

235.0

145.0

18.0

175.0

6.3

25.0

620.0

9.0

17.5

17.0

4.5

49.0

5.7

34.0

1,630.0

67.0

70.0

105.0

11.0

225.0

145.0

19.5

140.0

8.2

19.0

670.0

10.0

21.5

20.0

3.0

61.0

5.6

29.0

1,629.8

59.0

48.0

90.0

6.5

200.0

150.0

18.5

110.0

7.5

17.0

690.0

8.0

12.5

16.0

1.4

60.0

6.1

25.0

1,525.5

65.0

80.0

98.0

12.5

230.0

135.0

14.1

172.0

6.3

23.0

565.0

8.8

17.4

15.3

4.5

48.0

5.7

33.0

1,533.6

65.0

60.0

103.0

10.0

215.0

135.0

18.6

124.0

8.2

18.0

640.0

9.8

19.0

18.0

0.5

60.5

5.5

27.5

1,537.6

58.0

44.0

89.0

6.0

195.0

145.0

17.8

107.0

7.5

16.5

665.0

7.9

12.2

15.4

1.3

60.0

6.0

24.0

1,477.6

Yield per Acre Production 2 2

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NM

NY

ND

OR

SD

TX

UT

WA

WI

WY

US

2,130

1,650

1,900

2,200

1,700

1,800

2,000

2,250

2,200

1,230

1,520

2,000

1,730

1,520

500

1,650

2,250

2,350

1,746

1,860

1,900

1,850

2,100

1,900

1,650

1,640

2,200

2,400

1,330

1,200

1,940

1,180

1,320

350

1,600

1,960

2,150

1,577

2,160

1,600

1,800

2,100

1,550

1,800

1,750

2,280

2,400

930

1,590

1,850

1,750

1,500

300

1,700

1,530

2,300

1,708

1,385

1,320

1,862

275

3,910

2,430

282

3,870

139

282

8,588

176

301

233

23

792

128

776

26,772

1,209

1,140

1,906

210

4,085

2,228

305

2,728

197

239

7,680

190

224

238

2

968

108

590

24,247

1,253

704

1,602

126

3,023

2,610

311

2,440

180

153

10,574

146

214

231

4

1,020

92

552

25,235

Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 1

Clean Basis. 2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 8 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Large Lima - CA

Baby Lima - CA

Navy

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 WY

 Total

Great Northern

 ID

 MI

 NE

 ND

 WA

 WY

 Total

Small White

 ID

 OR

 WA

 Total

Pinto

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NM

 ND

 OR

 SD

 UT

 WA

 WY

 Total

15.1

16.7

5.7

75.5

53.0

4.2

90.0

0.6

5.5

0.9

1.0

236.4

2.1

2.0

62.0

4.2

0.7

1.8

72.8

1.1

0.5

0.6

2.2

77.0

29.5

13.0

18.0

23.0

12.0

85.0

6.3

475.0

1.1

3.0

4.5

8.4

29.0

784.8

12.9

13.5

5.2

80.0

62.0

3.1

120.0

0.8

7.5

0.6

1.5

280.7

2.7

0.5

58.0

7.5

1.0

69.7

1.2

0.4

0.5

2.1

59.0

26.0

11.0

5.0

16.0

10.7

64.3

8.2

453.0

1.0

2.4

3.0

6.3

25.0

690.9

13.9

16.0

3.3

61.0

56.0

96.0

0.6

3.9

1.0

221.8

2.0

48.0

8.0

1.0

59.0

0.4

0.4

37.0

25.0

6.5

4.0

22.0

8.5

48.0

7.5

502.0

0.4

1.9

1.4

8.3

22.0

694.5

15.0

16.4

5.5

74.5

49.6

3.9

82.0

0.6

5.4

0.9

1.0

223.4

2.1

1.8

60.9

4.0

0.7

1.7

71.2

1.1

0.5

0.6

2.2

69.0

29.0

12.5

17.5

21.1

10.0

83.6

6.3

432.0

1.0

3.0

4.5

8.3

28.3

726.1

12.5

13.0

5.1

77.5

56.4

2.7

113.0

0.8

6.4

0.6

1.4

263.9

2.6

0.5

49.0

6.5

0.7

59.3

1.2

0.4

0.5

2.1

50.0

25.5

10.0

4.9

15.3

10.5

59.5

8.2

435.0

0.9

2.1

0.5

6.2

24.0

652.6

13.8

15.6

3.3

59.5

54.0

89.0

0.6

3.8

0.9

211.1

2.0

45.9

7.7

0.9

56.5

0.4

0.4

34.0

24.7

6.0

3.9

21.0

8.4

47.4

7.5

487.0

0.4

1.9

1.3

8.3

21.3

673.1

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 9 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Yield per Acre Production 2 2

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Large Lima - CA

Baby Lima - CA

Navy

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 WY

 Total

Great Northern

 ID

 MI

 NE

 ND

 WA

 WY

 Total

Small White

 ID

 OR

 WA

 Total

Pinto

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NM

 ND

 OR

 SD

 UT

 WA

 WY

 Total

2,390

2,350

2,470

1,760

1,950

2,000

1,620

2,300

2,200

2,050

2,300

1,788

2,430

1,660

2,270

1,750

2,200

2,180

2,226

2,180

1,800

2,300

2,136

1,650

2,270

2,200

1,600

1,550

2,390

2,370

2,200

1,510

2,000

2,150

500

3,000

2,380

1,735

1,910

2,340

2,470

1,960

1,650

2,000

1,400

1,650

1,200

2,170

2,500

1,649

2,420

2,000

2,100

1,080

2,430

2,007

2,330

1,990

2,000

2,190

1,900

2,500

2,100

1,900

1,500

2,230

2,290

2,400

1,150

2,250

1,900

350

2,310

2,130

1,474

2,320

2,290

2,670

1,590

1,850

1,810

2,200

2,400

2,400

1,786

2,450

2,160

1,470

2,200

2,080

2,500

2,500

1,560

2,510

2,100

1,490

1,800

2,450

2,430

2,400

1,560

2,500

2,700

300

2,770

2,300

1,730

359

385

136

1,310

967

78

1,330

14

119

18

23

3,995

51

30

1,382

70

15

37

1,585

24

9

14

47

1,140

658

275

280

327

239

1,982

139

6,530

20

65

23

249

674

12,601

239

304

126

1,520

930

54

1,585

13

77

13

35

4,353

63

10

1,030

70

17

1,190

28

8

10

46

950

638

210

93

230

234

1,363

197

4,988

20

40

2

143

510

9,618

320

357

88

946

1,000

1,611

13

91

22

3,771

49

993

113

20

1,175

10

10

530

620

126

58

379

206

1,152

180

7,606

10

51

4

230

490

11,642

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1

Clean Basis. 2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 10 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Light Red

 Kidney

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 OR

 WA

 Total

Dark Red

 Kidney

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NY

 ND

 OR

 WA

 WI 2

 Total

Pink

 CA

 ID

 MN

 ND

 OR

 WA

 Total

Small Red

 ID

 MI

 MN

 ND

 WA

 Total

Cranberry

 CA

 ID

 MI

 Total

3.5

7.0

2.0

17.0

10.3

17.0

13.0

0.5

1.1

71.4

1.2

1.8

8.0

36.5

1.5

4.0

0.7

1.3

5.7

60.7

0.3

12.8

8.5

12.0

0.3

4.0

37.9

8.2

31.0

2.7

5.5

3.5

50.9

1.1

0.8

10.5

12.4

1.9

4.0

1.6

11.3

9.0

8.6

7.0

43.4

0.4

1.8

4.0

31.0

2.0

2.0

0.5

1.5

5.6

48.8

0.2

10.4

10.5

20.0

4.2

45.3

3.8

20.0

2.5

6.0

3.2

35.5

0.8

1.0

8.0

9.8

1.5

6.0

1.3

8.6

11.0

11.5

7.5

47.4

0.5

0.9

2.3

27.0

1.5

1.5

0.4

6.1

40.2

6.1

8.8

13.0

0.5

2.4

30.8

4.5

16.0

1.7

5.5

2.9

30.6

0.6

0.9

6.9

8.4

3.5

6.0

2.0

16.8

9.9

16.9

12.2

0.5

1.0

68.8

1.2

1.8

7.7

34.7

1.2

3.8

0.7

1.2

5.7

58.0

0.3

12.5

8.0

10.8

0.3

3.9

35.8

8.0

30.5

2.4

5.2

3.4

49.5

1.1

0.7

9.5

11.3

1.9

3.6

1.6

10.3

8.5

7.3

6.6

39.8

0.4

1.8

3.6

29.3

1.9

1.9

0.5

1.5

5.5

46.4

0.2

10.2

9.7

19.4

3.9

43.4

3.7

19.5

2.4

5.7

3.1

34.4

0.8

1.0

7.9

9.7

1.5

5.8

1.3

8.4

10.5

11.2

7.3

46.0

0.5

0.9

2.0

26.5

1.4

1.4

0.4

6.0

39.1

6.1

8.4

12.5

0.5

2.4

29.9

4.4

15.5

1.6

5.3

2.9

29.7

0.6

0.9

6.8

8.3

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1

Includes some Light Red Kidney to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 11 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Yield per Acre Production 2 2

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Light Red

 Kidney

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 OR

 WA

 Total

Dark Red

 Kidney

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NY

 ND

 OR

 WA

 WI 3

 Total

Pink

 CA

 ID

 MN

 ND

 OR

 WA

 Total

Small Red

 ID

 MI

 MN

 ND

 WA

 Total

Cranberry

 CA

 ID

 MI

 Total

1,630

1,830

2,250

1,430

1,800

1,800

1,100

2,200

2,350

1,603

1,830

2,000

1,430

1,900

830

1,240

1,860

1,850

2,250

1,805

1,000

2,240

1,600

1,510

2,500

2,050

1,849

2,410

1,770

1,210

1,210

2,300

1,824

1,180

1,290

1,470

1,434

1,470

1,750

1,880

1,700

2,150

2,400

1,330

1,864

2,250

1,940

1,170

1,850

780

1,630

2,200

2,000

1,960

1,774

1,500

2,400

1,200

1,430

2,310

1,684

2,460

2,000

1,330

1,190

2,190

1,887

1,880

1,900

1,460

1,536

1,270

2,190

2,150

1,200

1,750

2,170

800

1,652

1,000

1,780

900

1,800

1,000

1,790

2,030

1,530

1,678

2,430

1,560

1,870

2,230

2,210

1,930

2,360

1,660

1,880

1,400

2,590

1,818

2,330

2,000

1,150

1,325

57

110

45

240

178

304

134

11

24

1,103

22

36

110

659

10

47

13

22

128

1,047

3

280

128

163

8

80

662

193

540

29

63

78

903

13

9

140

162

28

63

30

175

183

175

88

742

9

35

42

542

15

31

11

30

108

823

3

245

116

277

90

731

91

390

32

68

68

649

15

19

115

149

19

127

28

101

184

243

58

760

5

16

18

478

14

25

8

92

656

148

131

234

11

53

577

104

257

30

74

75

540

14

18

78

110

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1

Clean Basis. 2

Includes some Light Red Kidney to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 12 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Black

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 WA

 Total

Blackeye

 CA

 TX

 Total

Small Chickpeas

(Garbanzo, Smaller

 than 20/64 in.)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

 Large Chickpeas

(Garbanzo, Larger

 than 20/64 in)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

0.4

2.5

65.0

9.4

2.5

9.0

21.0

0.5

1.3

111.6

9.0

14.0

23.0

3.0

1.4

4.0

0.5

1.6

10.5

10.0

28.0

4.6

1.1

2.1

2.6

6.4

24.5

79.3

0.6

2.8

91.6

12.3

2.9

9.0

46.0

2.2

167.4

12.6

18.8

31.4

4.0

2.4

7.5

3.5

17.4

16.0

40.0

6.4

1.1

5.5

3.5

9.4

37.5

119.4

0.4

2.4

96.5

22.0

7.0

45.0

0.5

1.9

175.7

12.5

14.4

26.9

3.5

1.0

4.5

1.5

10.5

6.5

38.0

9.0

12.5

3.5

5.5

40.0

115.0

0.4

2.4

64.0

8.0

2.5

8.5

19.5

0.5

1.3

107.1

8.9

12.6

21.5

2.9

1.3

3.7

0.5

1.5

9.9

9.7

27.6

2.8

1.1

2.0

2.5

6.4

24.3

76.4

0.6

2.8

86.6

11.8

2.7

8.6

44.0

2.2

159.3

12.5

16.9

29.4

3.9

1.9

7.0

3.5

16.3

15.3

39.3

6.2

1.0

5.2

3.5

8.6

37.5

116.6

0.4

2.3

94.5

21.6

6.9

43.5

0.5

1.9

171.6

12.5

13.9

26.4

3.4

0.9

4.4

1.5

10.2

6.0

37.6

8.5

12.4

3.5

5.3

40.0

113.3

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 13 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Yield per Acre Production 2 2

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Black

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 WA

 Total

Blackeye

 CA

 TX

 Total

Small Chickpeas

(Garbanzo, Smaller

 than 20/64 in.)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

Large Chickpeas

(Garbanzo, Larger

 than 20/64 in)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

1,750

2,080

1,770

1,500

2,400

1,510

1,300

2,400

2,850

1,679

2,210

1,660

1,888

1,240

1,150

1,700

1,800

1,750

1,505

2,270

1,060

1,000

700

2,000

1,840

1,100

850

1,194

1,670

2,320

1,930

1,400

2,110

1,470

1,180

2,180

1,670

2,420

1,360

1,813

1,130

800

690

1,200

914

1,290

1,100

900

900

1,210

1,830

850

1,320

1,192

2,000

2,220

1,600

1,750

1,000

1,460

2,320

2,790

1,583

2,240

1,560

1,883

970

900

1,390

1,330

1,196

2,000

1,060

1,140

1,500

1,370

850

1,300

1,249

7

50

1,130

120

60

128

254

12

37

1,798

197

209

406

36

15

63

9

26

149

220

293

28

8

40

46

70

207

912

10

65

1,670

165

57

126

520

48

2,661

303

230

533

44

15

48

42

149

198

432

56

9

63

64

73

495

1,390

8

51

1,510

379

69

635

12

53

2,717

280

217

497

33

8

61

20

122

120

399

97

186

48

45

520

1,415

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1

Clean Basis. 2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 14 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

 Chickpeas, All

 (Garbanzo)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

 Other

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 SD

 TX

 WA

 WY

 Total

10.0

31.0

6.0

1.1

6.1

3.1

6.4

26.1

89.8

8.7

6.0

2.5

8.0

1.6

3.2

1.5

2.2

1.7

2.6

3.0

1.1

2.2

44.3

16.0

44.0

8.8

1.1

13.0

3.5

9.4

41.0

136.8

8.1

7.0

4.5

4.6

1.7

2.0

1.0

2.5

3.8

2.2

1.2

1.5

1.5

41.6

6.5

41.5

10.0

17.0

3.5

5.5

41.5

125.5

7.1

5.0

1.7

4.7

1.5

2.5

1.0

2.0

2.1

1.2

1.6

3.0

1.0

34.4

9.7

30.5

4.1

1.1

5.7

3.0

6.4

25.8

86.3

8.5

5.0

2.4

7.7

1.3

3.1

1.1

2.0

1.7

2.6

2.7

0.9

2.0

41.0

15.3

43.2

8.1

1.0

12.2

3.5

8.6

41.0

132.9

7.8

6.4

4.3

4.2

1.6

1.8

0.9

2.3

3.7

1.9

1.1

1.5

1.4

38.9

6.0

41.0

9.4

16.8

3.5

5.3

41.5

123.5

7.1

4.2

1.7

4.4

1.4

2.5

0.9

1.8

2.0

1.2

1.5

3.0

0.9

32.6

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 15 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 2005-2007 1

Class

and

State

Yield per Acre Production 2 2

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

 Chickpeas, All

 (Garbanzo)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

 Other

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 SD

 TX

 WA

 WY

 Total

2,270

1,080

1,050

700

1,810

1,830

1,100

900

1,229

1,440

1,400

2,130

1,690

1,690

1,800

910

1,400

2,000

1,810

900

2,440

2,100

1,605

1,290

1,100

880

900

910

1,830

850

1,310

1,158

1,280

1,980

2,090

1,670

1,880

2,220

1,100

1,300

2,000

1,800

690

1,935

2,000

1,722

2,000

1,050

1,120

1,470

1,370

850

1,300

1,245

1,830

1,120

2,240

1,250

2,070

2,080

1,330

1,610

2,200

2,250

930

2,300

2,200

1,736

220

329

43

8

103

55

70

233

1,061

122

70

51

130

22

56

10

28

34

47

24

22

42

658

198

476

71

9

111

64

73

537

1,539

100

127

90

70

30

40

10

30

74

34

8

29

28

670

120

432

105

247

48

45

540

1,537

130

47

38

55

29

52

12

29

44

27

14

69

20

566

Missing data are included in “Other” class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 1

Clean Basis. 2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 16 NASS, USDA

Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2005-2006 and Forecasted December 1, 2007

Crop and State

Utilized Production

2005 2006 2007

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Improved Varieties 1

 AL

 AZ

 AR 2

 CA 2

 FL 2

 GA

 LA

 MS 2

 MO 2

 NM

 NC 2

 OK

 SC 2

 TX

 US

Native & Seedling

 AL

 AR 2

 FL 2

 GA

 KS 2

 LA

 MS 2

 MO 2

 NC 2

 OK

 SC 2

 TX

 US

All Pecans

 AL

 AZ

 AR 2

 CA 2

 FL 2

 GA

 KS 2

 LA

 MS 2

 MO 2

 NM

 NC 2

 OK

 SC 2

 TX

 US

3,200

22,000

1,100

3,950

300

72,000

1,000

800

200

65,000

1,650

6,000

1,500

50,000

228,700

800

1,200

700

8,000

3,200

4,000

200

2,400

350

15,000

700

15,000

51,550

4,000

22,000

2,300

3,950

1,000

80,000

3,200

5,000

1,000

2,600

65,000

2,000

21,000

2,200

65,000

280,250

5,400

14,000

1,150

3,400

200

36,000

3,500

2,000

160

46,000

420

5,000

900

33,000

151,130

600

1,050

300

6,000

2,000

17,500

500

940

80

12,000

200

14,000

55,170

6,000

14,000

2,200

3,400

500

42,000

2,000

21,000

2,500

1,100

46,000

500

17,000

1,100

47,000

206,300

13,000

23,000

850

4,200

900

100,000

3,000

2,400

1

71,000

510

6,000

1,500

44,000

270,361

2,000

750

100

10,000

200

9,000

600

4

90

14,000

500

26,000

63,244

15,000

23,000

1,600

4,200

1,000

110,000

200

12,000

3,000

5

71,000

600

20,000

2,000

70,000

333,605

Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 1

Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

 2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 17 NASS, USDA

Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use,

State, and United States, 2006 and Forecasted December 1, 2007

Use

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1 1

2006 2007 2006 2 2 20072006 2007 2

Nov 1 Dec 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

For Sugar

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

For Seed

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

For Sugar

 and Seed

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

382.0

20.4

405.0

39.2

846.6

18.0

1.6

30.0

1.5

51.1

400.0

22.0

435.0

40.7

897.7

378.0

20.2

390.0

43.5

831.7

18.0

2.3

30.0

1.5

51.8

396.0

22.5

420.0

45.0

883.5

35.8

79.1

27.3

41.2

33.0

37.2

32.0

27.3

41.0

31.4

35.9

75.7

27.3

41.2

32.9

36.9

79.0

29.0

40.9

34.4

36.8

84.5

29.0

41.0

34.5

39.2

30.7

29.0

37.0

32.9

36.9

79.0

29.0

40.9

34.4

13,676

1,614

11,057

1,615

27,962

670

51

819

62

1,602

14,346

1,665

11,876

1,677

29,564

13,910

1,707

11,310

1,784

28,711

706

71

870

56

1,703

14,616

1,778

12,180

1,840

30,414

Net tons. 1

Revised. 2

Coffee: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

Hawaii and Puerto Rico, 2005-2007

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

Acres Acres Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

HI

PR

6,100

42,000

6,300

40,000

6,400

40,000

1,340

465

1,170

450

1,170

450

8,200

19,500

7,400

18,000

7,500

18,000

Parchment basis. 1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 18 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

3,452.0

78,327.0

4,168.0

580.0

2,838.0

1,396.0

6,522.0

57,344.0

40,575.0

1,870.0

14,899.0

1,044.0

813.0

40.5

1,243.0

1.4

189.0

75,522.0

1,950.0

15,274.0

14,948.0

326.0

1,366.2

46.0

1,629.8

925.5

429.0

1,140.1

17.7

70.7

58.0

993.7

95.2

4,020.0

93,616.0

3,760.0

610.0

2,748.0

1,376.0

7,704.0

60,433.0

44,987.0

2,149.0

13,297.0

1,183.0

465.0

57.5

1,225.0

1.4

170.0

63,669.0

2,075.0

10,847.0

10,554.0

293.0

1,266.0

29.0

1,525.5

842.5

303.0

1,149.1

11.5

73.0

53.8

1,010.8

96.5

2,951.0

70,648.0

6,477.0

60,807.0

21,384.0

39,423.0

1,566.0

475.0

2,821.0

274.0

4,937.0

347.0

46,810.0

31,117.0

1,815.0

13,878.0

1,021.0

767.0

39.2

1,210.0

1.0

179.0

74,602.0

1,770.0

12,731.5

12,408.0

323.5

1,303.6

897.7

338.9

22.5

1,537.6

884.1

407.0

6.3

0.1

29.4

79.2

1,121.9

17.5

67.5

53.9

983.0

18.5

86.8

0.4

3,508.0

86,071.0

61,789.0

21,451.0

40,338.0

1,505.0

2,731.0

289.0

6,702.0

51,011.0

35,952.0

2,112.0

12,947.0

1,144.0

453.0

54.8

1,190.0

1.2

162.5

62,818.0

1,970.0

10,543.0

10,254.0

289.0

1,241.4

883.5

355.1

14.0

1,477.6

809.3

296.0

6.4

0.1

31.0

1,130.0

11.5

70.4

50.3

997.8

93.2

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2007 crop year.

Area planted for all purposes. 2

Acreage is not estimated. 3

Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. 4
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 19 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

“

Tons

“

“

“

Bu

“

Cwt

Bu

“

Tons

Bu

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Bu

Lbs

“

“

“

Bu

Lbs

Bales

“

“

Tons

“

Lbs

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

“

“

“

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

Cwt

Lbs

61.1

149.1

16.2

2.33

3.35

1.78

59.8

21.5

6,868

26.3

56.2

13.4

38.7

41.7

29.5

33.2

1,366

14.4

720

2,863

1,100

1,069

42.7

1,211

814

806

1,136

26.1

32.9

2,144

1,151

1,577

1,493

797

1,170

43,000

1,964

92

393

257

293

337

406

110

187

60.4

153.0

2.39

3.37

1.87

60.9

7,247

27.4

76.8

40.5

42.2

33.9

37.0

1,312

2,913

41.3

1,468

864

850

1,381

25.4

34.4

2,000

1,071

1,708

1,931

1,179

1,170

35,000

1,952

396

215

294

328

409

180,165

10,534,868

104,849

141,666

71,666

70,000

93,638

10,195

193,736

7,193

277,538

4,642

1,812,036

1,298,081

53,475

460,480

1,394,332

7,347.9

11,019

28,220

3,464,250

1,100

191,405

3,188,247

2,143,613

21,587.8

20,822.4

765.4

34,064

29,564

726,644

259

24,247

13,203

3,244

590

7,400

4,300

57,671.8

7,248

441,348

4,495

19,766

18,166

398,921

2,038

16,248

4,500

211,825

13,167,741

147,964

72,347

75,617

91,599

197,911

7,914

514,681

2,066,722

1,515,989

71,686

479,047

1,501,341

6,581.0

3,466,400

2,594,275

2,891,985

18,986.5

18,155.0

831.5

31,560

30,414

709,965

150

25,235

15,625

3,490

7,500

2,800

60,570.7

447,970

2,473

20,668

16,504

408,325

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2007 crop year.

Yield in pounds. 2

Yield is not estimated. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 20 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2006-2008

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Production

2006 2007 2008

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)

 Pecans (in-shell)

 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)

 Maple Syrup

Tons

“

“

“

“

“

1,000 Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

“

Lbs

Tons

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

Gals

1,232

980

9,021

63

417

32

9,931.7

44.5

20,000.0

6,417.2

23.5

28,700.0

1,010.1

842.0

180.0

21.5

1,115,000

43.0

206,300

346.0

1,449

1,577

703

7,589

56

339

9,254.7

86.6

6,990.5

110.0

1,026.9

878.1

90.0

13.7

1,330,000

33.0

333,605

320.0

1,258

1,493

684

9,825

59

419

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2007-08 season.

Production years are 2005-06, 2006-07, and 2007-08. 2

Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 21 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2006 2007 2006 2007

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 4

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 5

1,396,990

31,698,150

1,686,750

234,720

1,148,510

564,950

2,639,390

23,206,540

16,420,300

756,770

6,029,480

422,500

329,010

16,390

503,030

570

76,490

30,563,000

789,150

6,181,240

6,049,310

131,930

552,890

18,620

659,560

374,540

173,610

461,390

7,160

28,610

23,470

402,140

38,530

1,626,850

37,885,460

1,521,630

246,860

1,112,090

556,850

3,117,730

24,456,630

18,205,790

869,680

5,381,160

478,750

188,180

23,270

495,750

570

68,800

25,766,210

839,730

4,389,670

4,271,100

118,570

512,340

11,740

617,350

340,950

122,620

465,030

4,650

29,540

21,770

409,060

39,050

1,194,240

28,590,540

2,621,180

24,607,980

8,653,890

15,954,090

633,740

192,230

1,141,630

110,890

1,997,950

140,430

18,943,540

12,592,740

734,510

5,616,290

413,190

310,400

15,860

489,670

400

72,440

30,190,680

716,300

5,152,310

5,021,390

130,920

527,550

363,290

137,150

9,110

622,250

357,790

164,710

2,550

40

11,880

32,050

454,020

7,080

27,320

21,810

397,810

7,490

35,130

150

1,419,650

34,832,070

25,005,390

8,681,010

16,324,390

609,060

1,105,210

116,960

2,712,230

20,643,640

14,549,410

854,710

5,239,520

462,970

183,320

22,180

481,580

490

65,760

25,421,820

797,240

4,266,650

4,149,690

116,960

502,380

357,540

143,690

5,670

597,970

327,520

119,790

2,590

30

12,560

457,300

4,650

28,490

20,360

403,800

37,720

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2007 crop year.

Area planted for all purposes. 2

Total may not add due to rounding. 3

Acreage is not estimated. 4

Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. 5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 22 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.28

9.36

36.29

5.22

7.51

3.98

2.14

1.20

7.70

1.65

3.53

29.99

2.60

2.81

1.98

2.23

1.53

0.90

0.81

3.21

1.23

1.20

2.87

1.36

0.91

0.90

1.27

58.58

73.83

2.40

1.29

1.77

1.67

0.89

1.32

48.20

2.20

0.10

44.09

28.79

32.82

37.78

45.49

0.12

20.98

3.25

9.60

5.37

7.56

4.20

2.18

8.12

1.72

4.82

2.72

2.84

2.28

2.49

1.47

3.26

2.78

1.65

0.97

0.95

1.55

56.99

77.17

2.24

1.20

1.91

2.16

1.32

1.31

39.23

2.19

44.43

24.10

32.91

36.78

45.87

3,922,630

267,597,970

95,117,410

128,517,230

65,014,300

63,502,930

1,359,150

231,220

8,787,720

182,710

7,049,790

4,211,150

49,315,540

35,327,980

1,455,350

12,532,210

632,460

6,665,900

279,900

12,800

1,571,360

500

86,820

86,769,860

972,330

4,700,190

4,533,540

166,650

30,902,610

26,820,010

329,600

11,750

1,099,830

598,880

147,150

26,760

3,360

1,950

26,160

3,290

20,019,210

203,890

896,570

824,000

18,094,750

920

737,000

2,040

4,611,940

334,476,030

134,230,680

65,632,090

68,598,590

1,329,560

8,977,090

201,020

13,073,500

56,246,960

41,258,460

1,950,970

13,037,520

681,000

5,970,180

1,572,330

70,604,600

1,311,780

4,133,820

3,952,790

181,040

28,630,750

27,591,120

322,030

6,800

1,144,640

708,740

158,300

3,400

1,270

27,470

20,319,580

112,170

937,480

748,610

18,521,310

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2007 crop year.

Production may not add due to rounding. 2

Yield is not estimated. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 23 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2006-2008

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2006 2007 2008

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)

 Pecans (in-shell)

 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)

 Maple Syrup

1,117,650

889,040

8,183,710

57,150

378,300

29,030

4,504,940

40,350

9,070

5,821,540

21,320

13,020

916,370

763,880

163,290

19,500

505,760

39,010

93,580

313,890

7,240

1,430,630

637,750

6,884,620

50,800

307,540

4,197,860

78,530

6,341,630

99,790

931,630

796,550

81,650

12,430

603,280

29,940

151,320

290,300

6,290

1,354,430

620,510

8,913,090

53,520

380,110

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2007-08 season.

Production years are 2005-06, 2006-07, and 2007-08. 2

Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 24 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States

during 2007. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to

obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2003-2007 1

State Month 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

798

755

744

744

744

973

945

893

893

893

559

646

643

665

665

681

778

775

775

775

837

824

811

808

808

628

630

632

632

632

465

431

429

435

435

864

771

753

754

754

954

952

945

948

948

646

690

686

687

687

635

707

691

691

691

808

789

780

780

780

758

719

732

733

733

639

672

593

624

624

811

728

733

733

733

993

926

1,002

1,011

1,011

667

689

767

767

767

746

768

775

775

775

818

729

724

722

722

799

693

721

721

721

620

516

586

585

585

859

814

849

824

824

911

869

926

933

933

648

675

774

790

790

760

781

786

785

785

700

699

695

695

695

637

641

671

671

671

530

477

533

544

544

790

839

849

849

1,084

1,115

1,139

1,144

616

570

707

708

796

808

841

841

819

745

747

747

527

601

625

625

602

538

631

632

Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially 1

opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.
Crop Product

ionAgricultural Statistics Board

December 200725 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 26 NASS, USDA

November Weather Summary

Dry weather across the nation’s mid-section hampered winter wheat emergence and establishment,

particularly on the central and southern High Plains. Among the Plains’ wheat areas, significant precipitation

was confined to Montana, where snow insulated the crop from periodically cold weather.

For most of November, Western precipitation was confined to areas from Oregon and southern Washington to

the northern Rockies. Northwestern winter grains benefitted from the boost in topsoil moisture. The

remainder of the West experienced warm, dry weather until month’s end, when heavy precipitation

overspread southern California and the Southwest.

Farther east, Midwestern producers completed harvest and other autumn fieldwork under mostly favorable

conditions. Rain arrived across the southeastern Corn Belt too late to disrupt fieldwork but in time to foster

winter wheat establishment.

Elsewhere, wet weather across the interior Northeast and parts of the Tennessee Valley contrasted with drierthan-normal conditions in much of the Southeast. In fact, drought worsened during November in the southern

Atlantic States, hampering the development of winter grains but favoring late-season harvest activities and

other fieldwork.

Monthly temperatures averaged as much as 3 degrees F below normal in the East and the Pacific Northwest,

but were at least 5 degrees F above normal at many locations across California, the Plains, and the Southwest.

November Agricultural Summary

In the Pacific Northwest, heavy precipitation (up to 12 inches in some areas) fell west of the Cascade

Mountains, while other areas west of the Rocky Mountains experienced light to moderate precipitation. 

Throughout the Great Plains, the northwestern Corn Belt, and along the Atlantic Coastal Plains, precipitation

during the month was extremely light and scattered. In the southern and eastern areas of the Corn Belt,

moderate precipitation was evident while from east Texas stretching north and east into New England,

moderate to heavy rainfall was experienced during the month. Temperatures ranged within

4 degrees Fahrenheit of normal for most of the Nation during November. Overall, temperatures averaged

from normal to below normal east of the Mississippi River and averaged from normal to above normal in most

areas west of the Mississippi River. The exception was in some parts of the Pacific Northwest where the

average temperatures were slightly below normal. 

Corn harvest continued to progress ahead of the normal pace. By November 18, growers had harvested

97 percent of their acreage, 4 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. Harvest was at or ahead

of normal in all States but lagged slightly behind last year’s pace in the Dakotas. Harvest was complete or

nearly complete in all States except Michigan, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and Wisconsin.

The sorghum harvest remained 10 or more points ahead of last year’s pace and normal during the month of

November. By November 18, ninety-seven percent of the crop had been reaped, compared with 87 percent

last year and 86 percent for the 5-year average. Early in the month, acreage was completely harvested in

Arkansas and Louisiana. By November 18, harvest in Illinois and South Dakotas had also been completed

while in all other States except Oklahoma, harvest was nearly complete.

Winter wheat planting was nearly complete by November 11, one point behind last year’s pace but the same

as the 5-year average. Planting was complete or nearly complete everywhere except Arkansas, California,

Missouri, North Carolina, and Texas. Emergence of the crop remained behind the pace of last year and

normal throughout the month. By November 25, eighty-nine percent of the acreage had emerged, 4 points

behind both last year and normal. Development lagged behind normal by 12 or more points in Oklahoma and

Texas, where producers were late getting fall seedings in the ground and rainfall has been light.

 

The Nations’s soybean crop was 97 percent harvested by November 11, ahead of last year and the

5-year average by 3 percent. Growers had completed harvest in Louisiana, Minnesota, the Dakotas, and Ohio. 

Elsewhere, all remaining soybean States were nearing harvest completion with no more than 11 percent of

their crop remaining in the fields, except in North Carolina, where producers only had 39 percent of their

acreage reaped on November 11, ahead of their normal pace of 31 percent. As harvest was winding down,

producers in Kentucky and Tennessee were well ahead of their normal harvest pace.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 27 NASS, USDA

Sunflower harvest remained 4 points ahead of normal during the month with harvest at 96 percent complete

by November 18. Activity was winding down 4 points ahead of normal but slightly behind last year. The

crop was being harvested ahead of normal in all States except South Dakota. Producers had completed

harvest in Kansas and were near completion elsewhere except in South Dakota.

Peanut harvest continued to trail behind the normal harvest pace during the month of November. By

November 18, harvest, at 91 percent, was the same as last year but 3 points behind normal. Harvest was

complete in the Carolinas as well as in Virginia and was near complete elsewhere, except in Atlanta and in

Georgia where progress was well behind normal. By November 25, producers in Georgia had advanced to a

near normal pace but growers in Alabama still lagged 7 points behind normal.

Cotton harvest remained ahead of the normal pace nationally through the month of November. On November

11, seventy-four percent of acreage had been harvested, 4 and 7 points ahead of last year and normal,

respectively. Harvest was complete in Missouri and nearly complete in the Delta. By November 18, the

acreage in Tennessee and Virginia was also almost completely harvested. At this time, all States were ahead

of the normal harvest pace, except Georgia, where harvest was 7 points behind normal. By November 25,

harvest was 86 percent complete Nationwide, 3 points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal, with

progress well ahead of normal in Kansas and along the Atlantic Coastal Plains. However, harvest was still

slightly behind normal in Georgia and fell behind normal in Oklahoma by the end of the month.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 10.3 million acres, is unchanged from last month but down

17 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested area, at 289,000 acres, is also unchanged from

November but down 11 percent from 2006.

In the Southeastern region, the continual drought conditions allowed producers in Alabama, North Carolina,

and Virginia to make rapid harvest progress, well ahead of normal and last year. In Georgia, harvest was

behind normal due to the later developing crop. Objective yield measurements in Georgia show boll counts to

be the third largest in the last 5 years. 

In the Delta, good weather conditions throughout the Fall allowed for excellent harvest conditions with all

States progressing ahead of normal. In Missouri, Mississippi, and Louisiana harvest was complete by early

November while in Arkansas and Tennessee producers finished harvest by the middle of month. The

objective yield survey indicates Louisiana and Arkansas boll counts to be the highest on record. In

Mississippi, boll counts and boll weights are slightly lower than the 5-year average. 

Ideal weather in the Texas Plains allowed harvest to advance rapidly during the first part of the month. 

Harvest was ahead of normal even though the crop was planted later than normal and development lagged

behind the 5-year average. During the middle of November, freezing rain and snow slowed harvest but by the

end of the month 69 percent of the crop had been harvested. Objective yield measurements in Texas show

boll counts and boll weights to be the largest on record. In Kansas, ideal weather allowed harvest to advance

ahead of normal. In Oklahoma, producers were slightly behind normal at month’s end. 

In California, cotton harvest was complete in the San Joaquin Valley by the end of November. Ideal weather

in Arizona allowed cotton producers to harvest their crop at a normal pace. Data from the objective yield

survey show California boll weights to be largest on record. 

American-Pima cotton production is forecast at 831,500 bales, up 2 percent from the November forecast and

up 9 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,381 pounds per harvested acre, up 33 pounds from

last month and up 245 pounds from last year. California producers are expecting a record high production of

770,000 bales. Ideal weather throughout November allowed California producers to complete harvest by the

end of the month.

All cotton ginned prior to December 1 totaled 12,606,700 running bales, compared with 15,139,050 running

bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 15,991,200 running bales ginned prior to December 1, 2005. 

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.34 million pounds for October 2007, up 21 percent

from September and 53 percent higher than the comparable month a year ago. Total area in crop for October

is estimated at 2,105 acres, unchanged from last month but 2 percent less than October 2006. Harvested area

totaled 1,535 acres, 12 percent higher than September of this year and up 16 percent from the same month last
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 28 NASS, USDA

year. Growing conditions were generally favorable for orchards in October. Mature trees had full fruit

columns and harvesting was active. Newly planted fields had good seed germination and young orchards

were making favorable progress.

Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 25.2 million cwt for 2007, virtually unchanged

from the October forecast but 4 percent above the 2006 production. Harvested acreage is forecast at

1.48 million acres, 1 percent above the last forecast but 4 percent below the previous year’s acreage. The

average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,708 pounds per acre, a decrease of 19 pounds from the October forecast but

131 pounds above the 2006 yield. Production is up from a year ago for large lima, baby lima, pinto, light red

kidney, black, and large chickpeas. Production decreased from last year for navy, great northern, small white,

dark red kidney, pink, small red, cranberry, blackeye, and small chickpeas. 

Production in North Dakota is forecast at 10.6 million cwt, 38 percent above 2006. Harvested acres increased

4 percent, while the average yield, at 1,590 pounds per acre, is up 390 pounds from last year. Harvest was

essentially complete by the end of October, slightly behind last year and the 5-year average. In Minnesota,

production is forecast at 2.61 million cwt, 17 percent above last year. The average yield, at 1,800 pounds per

acre, is up 150 pounds from 2006. Minnesota dry bean growers experienced good growing conditions

throughout the season. Growers in California produced 1.25 million cwt of dry beans, 4 percent more than the

previous year. The average yield, at 2,160 pounds per acre, is up 300 pounds from last season. The increase

in yield more than offset the decrease in harvested acres. Production in Washington is forecast at 1.02 million

cwt, up 5 percent from 2006. The average yield, at 1,700 pounds per acre, is 100 pounds above the previous

year. Growers experienced good growing conditions throughout the season. In Michigan, production is

forecast at 3.02 million cwt, 26 percent below last year. Harvested area, at 195,000 acres, is 9 percent below

2006, while the yield of 1,550 pounds per acre is 350 pounds below last season. Dry conditions from midJune to the beginning of August reduced yields. Nebraska growers produced 2.44 million cwt of dry beans,

11 percent less than last year. Harvested acres decreased 14 percent from 2006. The average yield, at

2,280 pounds per acre, is up 80 pounds from the previous year. Production in Idaho is forecast at 1.60 million

cwt, 16 percent below lat year. The average yield, at 1,800 pounds per acre, is down 50 cwt from last season. 

Dry conditions in northern Idaho reduced the yields of the chickpeas while conditions in southern Idaho were

similar to last year.

Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2007-08 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.49 million tons, unchanged from the

October 1 forecast but 5 percent lower than 2006-07 final utilization of 1.58 million tons. Florida's grapefruit

production is forecast at 25.0 million boxes (1.06 million tons), unchanged from the October forecast but

8 percent below last season. With the exception of the hurricane-reduced 2004-05 and 2005-06 seasons, this

grapefruit crop is forecast to be the lowest since the 1949-50 season’s 24.2 million boxes.

The Florida all white grapefruit forecast is 8.00 million boxes (340,000 tons), down 11 percent from the

October 1 forecast and 14 percent below last season’s final utilization. The rate of fruit growth of white

grapefruit has slowed since October and droppage has increased, indicating a reduced crop. Average fruit size

is projected to be the smallest on record dating back to the 1968-69 season. The Florida colored grapefruit

forecast, at 17.0 million boxes (723,000 tons), is 6 percent higher than the October forecast but 5 percent

below the 2006-07 final utilization. If the fruit growth continues at the projected rate, fruit sizes will be the

smallest on record. Harvest for all grapefruit is slower than normal because of later maturing fruit and small

sizes. Most of the white grapefruit is being exported and colored varieties are being shipped to domestic and

export markets. Arizona, California, and Texas grapefruit production forecasts are carried over from the

October forecast.

Tangelos: Florida’s tangelo forecast is 1.30 million boxes (59,000 tons), unchanged from the October 1

forecast but 4 percent above 2006-07 final utilized production. Fruit sizes remain small but droppage is low. 

Harvest of Orlando variety has started for the holidays.

Tangerines: The U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 419,000 tons, down 3 percent from the October 1 forecast

but up 24 percent from the final utilization in 2006-07. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 4.80 million

boxes (228,000 tons), 6 percent lower than October’s forecast but 4 percent higher than the 2006-07

utilization of 4.60 million boxes. Of the early varieties, harvest of Fallglo is nearly complete and Sunburst

tangerine harvest is expected to continue strong through the holiday season. For these varieties, fruit sizes

appear to be the smallest on record. The rate of fruit growth has slowed for the later maturing Honey

tangerines and droppage has increased, leading to a reduction in production from October. Harvest of Honey
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 29 NASS, USDA

tangerines may be delayed due to lagging maturity and small fruit sizes. Arizona and California tangerine

production forecasts are carried forward from October.

Florida Citrus: Temperatures were warm in citrus producing areas, reaching the low to mid 80s on several

days throughout November. During this typically dry time of the year, rainfall was below average in all areas. 

Ft. Pierce reported the only significant rainfall with about one and one-half inches for the month. Regular

irrigation and maintenance kept trees and groves in good condition. Overall fruit quality was good with fruit

sets above average on all varieties. Fruit sizes at the beginning of the season started out very small, but

oranges showed notable growth over the past month. Some of the recent growth caused splitting, especially

on later maturing varieties of oranges. All major packinghouses were open and running fruit. Fundraising

programs started in early November, but were not in full swing until after Thanksgiving. About two-thirds of

the processing plants opened in the first half of the month, while the rest opened during the last week. Fallglo

tangerine harvest declined as Sunburst tangerine harvest increased for the upcoming holidays. Navel orange

and grapefruit harvests were expected to increase while other early orange varieties and tangelo harvests

continued. Grove activities included mowing, spraying, fertilizing, and tending to young trees. Crews were

hired to spot citrus greening and remove affected trees.

California Citrus: Harvest of Navel oranges increased with early Beck, Bonanza, and Fukumoto varieties

being picked. Valencia oranges from the previous season were being picked for juice production. Mandarins,

pummelos, and lemons were also being harvested. Cultural practices in citrus groves included spraying for

fungus, insects, and weeds, irrigating, topping trees, and fertilizing.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape growers were still harvesting the last of the late varieties

including Autumn Royal, Crimson Seedless, Christmas Rose, and Red Globe table grapes. Wine and juice

grape harvests were winding down with Alicante Bouchet, Grenache, Merlot, Muscat, and Zinfandel varieties

still being picked. Stone fruit cultural practices such as irrigation, fall pruning, and treatments to control

weeds and insects continued throughout the month. Pears, apples, jujubes, and figs were still being harvested. 

Kiwifruit harvest was nearing completion in some areas with good quality fruit being picked. Hachiya and

Fuyu persimmons were being harvested, while pomegranate and quince harvests have slowed. Assessments

of wind and fire damage to the avocado crop were being made earlier in the month. Strawberries continued to

grow well and were being harvested during the month. Blueberry plants were shipped to Tulare County for

fall planting. Olive harvest was almost complete and late variety almond harvest was slow. Nut groves were

pruned and treated for insects and weeds. Walnut, pecan, and pistachio harvests were mostly completed by

the middle of the month with sporadic picking taking place thereafter.

Pecans: Production is forecast at 334 million pounds utilized (in-shell basis), up 4 percent from the October 1

forecast and 62 percent more than last year’s crop. Only Georgia and Alabama have changed total production

expectations since October, increasing their forecasts by 10.0 million and 4.00 million pounds, respectively. 

Nationally, improved varieties are expected to produce 270 million pounds or 81 percent of the total, while

native and seedling varieties, at 63.2 million pounds, make up the remaining 19 percent of production. The

2007 crop is expected to be larger than last year’s mainly due to the alternate bearing pattern typical of pecans. 

Exceptions to the up-cycle are in Arkansas, Kansas, and Missouri where a severe Easter freeze limited

production, and Louisiana which is in a down-cycle production season.

As harvest in Georgia passed the half way mark, it was evident that the 2007 crop will be larger than earlier

expected. Production is now expected to total 110 million pounds, 10 percent more than October 1 and

162 percent more than last year. The 10.0 million pound increase from October 1 accounts for 71 percent of

the U.S. increase. Trees put on a large nut set after the light crop in 2006 and the major growing area of

southwest Georgia escaped most freeze damage in early April. Dry weather has limited disease and insect

problems and nut quality has been very good.

New Mexico’s forecast of 71.0 million pounds is unchanged from October 1. The forecast is up 54 percent

from last year and 9 percent from 2005. Nut quality is mostly good to excellent. The Texas total production

forecast, at 70.0 million pounds, is the same as the October forecast but up 49 percent from the 2006 crop. 

This latest forecast lowers production from improved orchards by 4.00 million pounds and increases

expectations from native and seedling varieties by that same amount. There have been numerous reports of

limbs breaking from the large nut load on the trees.

The Arizona forecast is 23.0 million pounds, unchanged from the prior forecast but 64 percent more than last

year. Rain across the State over the last weekend in November slowed harvest. Oklahoma’s forecast, at
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 30 NASS, USDA

20.0 million pounds, is the same as the October forecast but up 18 percent from 2006. The southern portion

of the State has a very good crop which constitutes nearly the entire pecan production for this year, as

northern portions were hit extremely hard by the early April freeze.

The Alabama crop is expected to total 15.0 million pounds, up 36 percent from October and is 2.5 times larger

than 2006 production. The 4.00 million pound increase from October 1 accounts for 29 percent of the U.S.

increase. Weather has been favorable for harvest, although price reductions slowed enthusiasm for aggressive

harvesting. Quality of nuts varies, with both excellent and poorly filled nuts often found in the same orchard. 

Production in Louisiana is forecast at 12.0 million pounds, unchanged from October but 43 percent less than

the 2006 crop. Extremely dry weather in August and September caused nut filling problems in some locations

and varieties. Harvest was 85 percent complete by December 2, five points ahead of the 5-year average.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2007 is forecast at 30.4 million tons, of which

28.7 million tons is expected to be for sugar and 1.70 million tons for seed. Total production for sugar and

seed is up fractionally from the November forecast and 3 percent above the revised 2006 production. 

Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 883,500 acres for sugar and seed during the 2007 crop year, unchanged

from November but 2 percent less than last year. If realized, this will be the lowest area harvested for sugar

and seed since 1990. Yield is forecast at 34.4 tons per acre, the same as last month but up 1.5 tons from last

year. 

Expected harvested area is down in all States except Texas but yields are up in all States compared with last

year. By December 2, sugarcane growers in Louisiana had harvested 71 percent of their acreage compared

with 66 percent for the five-year average. In Florida, the weather remained mostly dry allowing the harvest of

the sugarcane crop to progress normally during November.

Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 7.50 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 2007-08

season, up 1 percent from the previous season. Harvested area is estimated at 6,400 acres, up 2 percent from

the 2006-07 season. Coffee production from Maui, Honolulu, and Kauai Counties is up from the previous

season, which accounts for the overall increase in production for Hawaii. In Kona, the primary growing area

on the island of Hawaii, coffee harvest for the 2007/08 season is down. Although bean quality was reported

as good, erratic weather conditions, heavy pruning, insect infestation, and labor problems led to the expected

smaller crop. 

Puerto Rico coffee production for the 2007-08 season is estimated at 18.0 million pounds (parchment basis),

unchanged from the previous season. Overall growing conditions for the 2007-08 coffee crop were reported

as favorable. Heavy rains in October combined with high winds delayed crop harvest. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 31 NASS, USDA

Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecast

Cotton Survey Procedures: Objective yield surveys were conducted between November 24 and December 1

to gather information on expected yields as of December 1. The objective yield survey for cotton was

conducted in producing States that usually account for approximately 75 percent of the U.S. production. At

crop maturity, the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field,

another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the December 1 forecast was conducted

in Florida, which produces about 73 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at

the start of the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review

based on administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per

tree is determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys

are conducted, which combined with the previous components are used to develop the current forecast of

production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in

October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for

navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges.

Cotton Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield estimates for cotton were reviewed

for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. For cotton, reports from cotton ginners

in each State were also considered. Each cotton State Field Office submits its analysis of the current situation

to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare

the published December 1 forecast.

Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for

errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida Field Office submits its analysis

of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and

their analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona,

California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The December 1 orange production forecasts for

these three States are carried forward from October. 

Revision Policy: The December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. For cotton, a new estimate will

be made in January followed by end-of-season revisions in May. Administrative records are reviewed and

revisions are made, if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a

production forecast is made, if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the

last estimate.

For oranges, the December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each

month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits

Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the

marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. 

Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1 production forecasts, the "Root

Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

December 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. 

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 cotton production forecast is 1.5 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current cotton production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate

by more than 1.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 2.6 percent. 

Changes between the December 1 cotton forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have

averaged 213,000 bales, ranging from 26,000 to 479,000 bales. The December 1 forecast for cotton has been

below the final estimate 13 times and above 7 times. The difference does not imply that the December 1

forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 32 NASS, USDA

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 orange production forecast is 7.6 percent. However, if

you exclude the six abnormal production years (three freeze seasons and two hurricane seasons), the “Root

Mean Square Error” is 3.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production

forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 7.6 percent, or 3.7 percent excluding

abnormal seasons. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed

13.2 percent, or 6.5 percent excluding abnormal seasons. 

Changes between the December 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have

averaged 517,000 tons (368,000 tons excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 17,000 tons

to 2.01 million tons (17,000 tons to 764,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons). The December 1 forecast for

oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times (below 7 times and above 8 times,

excluding abnormal seasons). The difference does not imply that the December 1 forecasts this year are likely

to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2007 33 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics

Service to contact for additional information.

Jeff Geuder, Chief... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . (202) 720-2127

Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5944

Todd Ballard - Wheat, Rye .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... (202) 720-8068

Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-9526

Anthony Prillaman - Peanuts, Rice .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-7688

Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7369

King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... (202) 690-3234

Dawn Keen - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7621

Fruits, Vegetables & Special Crops Section

Lance Honig, Head .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... (202) 720-2157

Faye Propsom - Citrus, Tropical Fruits .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... (202) 720-4288

Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Tree Nuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4215

Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils,

Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

Wrinkled Seed Peas .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-3250

Faye Propsom - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

Plums, Prunes .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . (360) 902-1940

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4285
 

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