GRAPES

TABLE TYPE :
CALIF : 580,000 620,000 530,000
WINE TYPE :
CALIF : 2,140,000 2,105,000 1,900,000
RAISIN TYPE 2/ 3/ :
CALIF : 2,487,000 2,045,000 2,100,000
ALL :
ARIZ 4/: 18,800 23,000 21,000
ARK 4/: 8000 6,000 5,000
CALIF : 5,207,000 4,770,000 4,530,000
GA af: 2,100 25000 23700
MICH : 51,000 32,000 55,000
MO 4/: 900 2,900 2,600
NY : 144,000 164,000 169,000
NC 4): 1,500 1,500 2,500
OHIO 4): 7,000 8,000 9,500
PA : 50,000 60,000 60,000
sc Ay: 600 500 700
WASH : 116,100 156,000 225,000
US : 5,606,700 5,225,900 5,083,000

1/_ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): U S 1985-
100; 1986-600. 2/ FRESH BASIS. 3/ EXCLUDES PRODUCTION FROM APPROXIMATELY
15,000 OF THOMPSON SEEDLESS VINEYARDS IN THE VOLUNTARY RAISIN DIVERSION
PROGRAM FOR 1987; 50,000 ACRES IN 1986; AND 30,000 ACRES IN 1985. 4/ ESTI-
MATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

PRODUCTION
CROP fetta n een e ee nn nnn new nnn enne mene nn ceeenenence
AND TOTAL 1/
STATE eee ene nnnnnnee nnn enen nnn neee IND
1985 1986 1987
TONS
PRUNES (DRIED BASIS) :
CALIF : 141,000 99,000 200,000
PRUNES AND PLUMS :
IDAHO : 4,500 5,000 6,000
MICH : 11,000 11,000 17,000
OREG : 26,000 22,000 21,000
WASH : 10,200, 9,100 9,600
TOTAL 51,700 47,100 53,600

1/ PRUNES AND PLUMS - INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): US OREG 1985~3,600; 1986-3,500.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-20 NASS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

STATE
: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
LARGE LIMA :
CALIF : 18.5 21.5 2,080 2,100 931 385 452
BABY LIMA
CALIF : 29.5 23.0 2,200 2,350 674 649 54)
OTHER :
CALIF : 107.0 121.5 1,720 1,730 1,958 1,840 2,102
ALL 3
CALIF : 155.0 166.0 1,854 1,864 3,563 2,874 3,095
COLO 3 185.0 180.0 1,460 1,450 2,665 2,701 2,610
IDAHO : 139.0 148.0 1,960 1,900 2,006 2,724 2,812
KANS 2s: 23.0 24.0 1,650 1,700 272 380 408
MICH 2 340.0 460.0 800 1,000 5,412 2,720 4,600
MINN 2 61.0 75.0 1,650 1,600 868 1,007 1,200
MONT = 2/3 4.5 5.6 2,160 1,750 57 97 98
NEBR : 205.0 205.0 2,100 1,800 2,794 4,305 3,690
N MEX 3/2 11.0 2,470 272
NY : 31.0 28.0 1,400 1,450 297 434 406
N DAK : 280.0 315.0 1,550 1,300 3,010 4,340 4,095
UTAH = 2/: 8.5 6.8 480 550 40 4) 37
WASH : 31.0 35.0 2,160 2,200 710 670 770
wyd : 32.0 31.0 1,890 1,890 481 605 586
us 1,495.0 1,690.4 1,532 1,460 22,175 22,898 24,679

1/__ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR
CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 3/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1987 CROP.

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION 1/

STATE
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
ALA : 219.0 218.0 2,260 2,500 590,000 494,940 545,000
FLA : 87.0 88.0 2,680 2,900 216,000 233,160 255,200
GA : 665.0 620.0 2,455 2,900 1,921,320 1,632,575 1,79&,000
N MEX 2/ : 12.7 13.0 2,260 2,600 31,992 28,700 33,800
NC : 143.0 148.0 3,080 2,650 451,990 440,440 392,200
OKLA 2 90.0 93.0 2,050 2,100 170,980 184,500 195,300
sc 3 11.5 14.0 2,220 2,500 34,200 25,530 35,000
TEX H 220.0 235.0 1,750 1,800 422,625 385,000 423,000
VA : 89.0 88.0 3,100 2,550 283,680 275,900 224,400
US : 1,537.2 1,517.0 2,407 2,572 4,122,787 3,700,745 3,901,900

1/__ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR
CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-14 NASS, USDA


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

Precipitation was bountiful from central Wyoming through the southern Great
Lakes to west central Pennsylvania. More than double the normal precipitation
accumulated from central Iowa through northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin.
This provided ample moisture for most of the western Corn Belt and the northern
Corn Belt. On the other hand very dry weather plagued most of Minnesota and
part of Wisconsin. The area from northeastern Missouri through the Ohio Valley
to eastern Maryland and Virginia, southwestward through the Appalachians, and
from Gkiahoma to Georgia, remained very dry. Average temperatures were rather
cool, most of the month, in the northern and central Great Plains but parts of
those areas experienced hot spells. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural
Weather Facility.)

AUGUST CROP DEVELOPMENT

At the beginning of August, cooler temperatures and precipitation relieved
“crop stress in the central Great Plains, Corn Belt, and Southeast. Soil
moisture remained short in most areas especially in the Delta and Southeast.
The lack of moisture caused wilt and plant death in some areas of the Delta.
The second week of August, inadequate, but much needed moisture eased crop
stress in the Delta and Southeast. Rain improved crops in the central Great
Plains and western Corn Belt. Crop development continued surging ahead of
normal in most areas of the Nation. Cooler temperatures continued easing
stress in the central Great Plains, Corn Belt, Delta, and the Southeast.
Inadequate moisture plagued the Delta and Southeast and hampered fruit develop-
ment. Near the end of August, rain promoted growth but cool temperatures
slowed crop development from Texas through the central Great Plains and the
Corn Belt. The rain mostly benefited soybeans and late-planted corn.

Corn ended the month in mostly good condition except in the Southeast where
condition was mostly fair to good. Corn was reaching maturity nearly 3 times
faster than normal, with 32 percent of the acreage mature on August 30th.
Maturity was ahead of normal in all major producing States, except North
Carolina and Texas. Harvest was 3 percent finished but was much further along
in the Delta and Southeast. Harvest moved into the Corn Belt, reaching as far
north as Illinois.

The cooler temperatures slowed soybean development, especially the latter
part of the month. This gave pods more time to fill. Inadequate moisture
plagued soybean growth and development during most of August in the Delta and
Southeast. At months' end, soybeans were setting pods on 93 percent of the
acreage, compared with 89 percent normally. Soybeans were shedding leaves on
12 percent of the acreage, 10 points above normal. Harvest was underway in
Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Texas.

Cotton was mostly good during August. However, condition ranged from fair
to good in the Southeast to good to excellent in the Southwestern States.
Bolls were open on 34 percent of the acreage, compared with the 21 percent
average. Cotton harvest reached 10 percent completion in Texas and was
underway in Arizona, Arkansas, and Louisiana.

Grain sorghum was 20 percent harvested, 2 points slower than in 1986 but
equaled the average on August 30th. Sixty-two percent turned color, 16 points
above normal. However, sorghum mature was only 3 points above the 25 percent
average. Heading was virtually finished, except in Oklahoma.

Winter wheat harvest neared completion in the Pacific Northwest at the end
of August. Seeding was underway in South Oakota, Nebraska, Wyoming,
Mississippi, Washington, New Mexico, and reached 32 and 36 percent completion
in Minnesota and Utah, respectively. Normally 15 percent would be seeded in
Minnesota and only 2 percent in Utah at the end of August. Spring wheat was
86 percent combined, 16 points above 1986 and 10 points above the average.
Harvest was ahead of normal in ali States except Montana, which lagged 12
points behind its 78 percent average. Harvest was finished in South Dakota at
mid-August.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-2 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP summit : tieLe

PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
MESTIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

INDICATED

CORN FOR GRAIN BU : 119.3 119.9 8,252,834 7,230,950 7,140,505

SORGHUM FoR GRAIN * : 67.7 72.0 941,634 758,313 756,678
aA nun " : 34.4 38.2 2,086,780 2,125,097 2,114,492
“ : 33.2 29.4 95,407 95,939 90,734
vores SPRING " : 32.3 34.7 472,230 462,124 456,724
CWT V/s 5,648 5,471 134,416 127,785 126,819
S0VSEmNS FOR :
BU: 33.8 34.0 2,007,033 2,000,349 1,956,859
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: 2,407 2,572 3,700,745 4,147,150 3,901,900
ALL COTTON BALE V/s 552 616 9,731.1 12,907.4 12,846.4
UPLAND "V/s 547 613 9,525.2 12,673.9 12,613.9
AMER-PIMA, « We 890 873 206.9 2335 232.5
COTTONSEED TO 3,801 5,051 5,044
ORY EQIBLE BEANS CHT ne 1,532 1,460 22,898 24,898 24,679
POTATOES :
SUMMER CWT os 220 231 20,927 23,175 22,913
TOTAL 2/ “ : 296 361,511
TOBACCO LB: 1,998 2,047 1,162,747 1,272,111) 1,231,416
SUGARBEETS TON : 21.2 21.7 25,224 27,045 27,048
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED " : 38.1 38.1 30,311 31,401 31,401
PASTURE AND 3
RANGE FEED 3/ PCT : 79 76
PEARS TON : 765.6 842.1 862.1
GRAPES " : 5,225.9 5,099.0 5,083.0
DRIED PRUNES :
(CALIF) “ : 99.0 4/ 180.0 200.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS 3
(EXCL CALIF) " : 47.1 55.6 53.6
PECANS LB: 272,700 278,100

PISTASCHIO NUTS
CALIF 74,900 30,000
180.0 230.0 260.0
V YIELD IN POUNDS. 7 2) 1986 REVISED. y PASTURE AND "RANGE “FEED CONDITION

AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1976-85 AVERAGE IS 73 PERCENT. 4/ JUL 1, 1987.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE : PROOUCTION

INDICATED
1987 1/

INDICATED
1987 V/

OATS BU : 56.0 53.9 384,546 392,843

BARLEY Bu: (50.8 51.2 610,497 518,423
WINTER WHEAT BU: 35.2 40.0 1,519,143 1,567,034
ALL HAY TON : 2249 2:50 155,271 150.798
ALFALFA “ 3.42 3.38 91,424 86,109
ALL OTHER Ca 1.80 1.86 63,847 64,689
POTATOES 3
WINTER CHT : © 243 234 2,991 2,788
SPRING "> 261 224 19,822 17,570
FALL 2/ “3 307 317,771
HOPS LB: 1,958 1,788 48,962 50,964
APPLES, COM'L LB: 7,891,000 9,690,500
PEACHES so 2,326,400 2,486,600
SWEET CHERRIES TON: 137.8 189.6
TART CHERRIES LB: 224,100 363,700
APRICOTS TON: 55.2 115.6
NECTARINES (CALIF) * 172.0 190.0
PLUMS (CALIF) eG 152.0 210.0
OLIVES (CALIF) “3 111.5 80.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB 250,000 600,000

Vv ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1986 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARO,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-5 NASS, USDA


INDEX

a]
>
fer
m

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ....... reer ere ere ere eee eee eee eee eee eee eee ey
COFFEE ..cseceeee
CORN FOR GRAIN

q
no

+
pay

PHBOORAYUYNOCHWONAN BON |COAWWONS

CROP MOISTUR
GRAPES ....ceeeeeee
CITRUS .
NUTS wecscseeceee

PAPAYAS-HAWAIL ..eccecceccscceeceees
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION ..
PEANUTS FOR NUTS .

PEARS ....eceeeee

PECANS ...
POTATOES ........

PRUNES AND PLUMS .......
RELIABILITY OF FORECASTS .
RICE .csccccesccccccecce
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN .
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
SUGARBEETS .....e005
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND” SEED o
TOBACCO BY STATES ......... a
US SUMMARY ....6
WHEAT, ALL ......
WHEAT, BY CLASSES .
WHEAT, OURUM ......
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING ....

Ce ee ee De 111
aos NHN PNN HD

Y

PPPP SPS Serr rrrErrrrrrrurrrryyp
soo

KIRKE RIE RIK KIER IR IIR IARI REIKI KIER III IAAI IRIE IRR IR REE IKE ERIK,

NOTICE

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports
should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room
5829-South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021)

This report and other statistical, economic, marketing and news reports
are available as soon as possible following release through USDA's EDI
SERVICE. For more information, call or write: Russell Forte, (202)
447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250.

ee
ee ee ee

The next issue of this report will be published October 8, 1987
KAKKKEKERKKRREKRE RRA AKER EKIRE REISER IERIE AAA IKI ARERR EERIE.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-13 NASS, USDA


WALNUTS

CALIF : 219,000 180,000 260,000
: 1,000 POUNDS
PISTACHIO NUTS : (IN-SHELL BASIS)
CALIF :
SOLD IN-SHELL 53,500 V/
SOLD SHELLED 21,400 V/
TOTAL 74,900 30,000

NONCITRUS FRUIT AND

T/__ PRODUCTION BY TYPE OF SALE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN THE
NUTS ANNUAL SUMMARY" TO BE RELEASED IN JANUARY 1988.

PECANS

1,000 POUNDS

IMPROVED :
ALA 2 9,600 9,600 15,750
ARK : 1,000 900 1,100
FLA : 1,600 3,100 35100
GA : 74,000 100,000 100/000
LA : 2,000 4,000 35000
MISS : 3,500 4,500 5,000
N MEX : 29,000 27,000 29,000
NC : 400 1,800 1,400
OKLA : 1,500 1,500 2,000
SC : 900 3,250 4,000
TEX : 29,000 27,000 20,000
US : 152,500 182,650 184,350
NATIVE & SEEDLING :
ALA 6,400 6,400 5,250
ARK : 700 300 500
FLA : 1,200 2,400 2,400
GA : 93000 20,000 20,000
LA : 13,000 26,000 17,000
MISS : 3,000 3,000 3,500
NC : 600 25200 1,600
OKLA : 8,500 13,500 10,000
sc : 500 3,250 3,500
TEX : 49,000 13,000 30,000
us : 97,900 90,050 93,750
ALL :
ALA : 16,000 16,000 21,000
ARK : 1,700 1,200 1,600
FLA : 2,800 5,500 5,500
GA 83,000 120,000 120,000
LA : 18,000 30,000 20,000
MISS : 6,500 7,500 8,500
NOMEX : 29,000" 27,000 29,000
NC : 1,000 4,00 3,000
OKLA 10,000 15,000 12,000
sc : 1,400 6,500 7,500
TEX : 78,000 40,000 50,000
244,400 272,700 278,100
ED, OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-21 NASS, USDA



At the end of August rice was virtually headed except in California.
Heading was ahead of normal in all major producing States. Harvest was 27
percent finished, 4 points behind 1986 but 3 points ahead of average. Harvest
was underway and ahead of normal in all States except California. Abnormally
low temperatures swept across California rice producing areas during the
critical time for grain formation causing some blank heads. Rice in Arkansas
and Texas experienced disease problems with blast and sheath blight.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.3 million metric

tons), down 2 percent from both the August 1 forecast and the 1986
production tevel. Yield, at 34.0 bushels per acre, is down 0.7 of a bushel
from August 17 and 0.1 of a bushel below the record high of 34.1 set in 1985.
If realized, this will be the second highest yield of record.

Area for harvest is forecast at 57.6 million acres (23.3 million hectares)
down fractionally from August 1 and 3 percent below last year.

Soybean growing conditions varied during August but heat and a lack of
moisture stressed the crop in the South and East. The eastern areas of the
Midwest were also affected by dry weather as timely but inadequate
precipitation limited yield potential. The Western and Northern areas of the
Midwest had favorable growing conditions during August.

Soybean yields declined in all Atlantic Coast States, except South Carolina
which remained unchanged from last month. Delaware and Virginia decreased 6
bushels per acre and Maryland fell 4 bushels per acre from August 1. Yield
forecasts were carried forward from August for Florida, Pennsylvania, and New
Jersey. In the South, Kentucky dropped 4 bushels per acre while Arkansas and
Mississippi declined 3 bushels per acre from the first 1987 forecast. Other
Southern States decreased 1 or 2 bushels per acre from August 1, except
Louisiana and Texas which were unchanged. The yield forecast for Oklahoma was
carried forward from August 1. In the Midwest, Indiana and Ohio declined 1
and 3 bushels per acre, respectively, from last month. Kansas, Michigan, and
Minnesota recorded 1 bushel per acre increases from August. All other
midwestern States were unchanged from last month.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

19781987
‘BILLION BUSHELS
3

26

as

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-5 NASS, USDA



CROP

CROP MOISTURE
«J (SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 6-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
AUG 29, 1987 NOSUED WEEKLY ABNORMALLY
BNORM
ONoR io
€ < > 2) ,
HT = GESSIVE ¥
sul
RY, IABNORMALL.
o = MOIST. ~ EXTREMELY
& - Zz DRY
EXCESSIVELY = = NC
AENORMAY WETS: 8
FAVORABLY [= roo’ aS
MOIST NORMALLY: )
v xo
~ y MO DRY;
Excl IVE: S Meet EXCESS! v Y, Es
DRY. BY, CESSIVELY
EXTREMAL a Yo DRY
EVERELY: EXTREMELY
ne EXT
WSTURE: brs
SBpkaMaaer rem tor 20 aso seventy
‘OR WrrmEs? arrocTInG AGitCuLTURS,
ouba RAPIDLY, Cay i
Teer, mo tea icaes womtal Compitions Af THE CESSIVELY
= me ABNORMALLY DRY.
OSES... -ADPLICARLE TH wxASURING THE suOKT TEDY, xCESSITELY Moist =
Soni ioceren, g7aroa OF betvnss 8 HERES
Hazon cn0va" kD FIELD OPELATION’- -
LIMITaSTONS. MAY BOT Bf APPLICABLE 70 GRUATHATING 9D
ROOTED CROPS WSICH aRE UNABLE TO EXTRACT DEEP ‘on st mn \, ters .
Tres ake AVERLGING BELOW ADOUT 38°F TT IR NOT GENERALE 1 real rica
be a | WOAM/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WeaTICR FACILITY tesedon egoen|
DROUGHT SEVERITY
) (LONG TERM, PALMER)
UG 29, 1987
A ISSUED TWIGE A MONTH
( = Ad
EXTREME: EXTREME
qa waste E ol.
N MODERATE
NY — ia ist
BEVER MODERATE fy ~ EXTREME
J X
LE fe 4
MODERATE
EXTREME Beve EXTREME
. ray
. =F
MODERATE
‘MOIST
Powe t, Sstras Vea tac Danncae' on terest MODERATE
REBPONDS SLONLI Cuuncbs LITTLE PHok HEEL, TO WERE; Moist
xp REPLsGTs Loc Tani SCISFURE LNG? .
44D DEEP PERCOLATION, 45 WELL aS EVAPGiRANSPLeATiON®
USES... APPLICABLE IN MEASURING DISRUPTIVE EFFECTS OF PROLON
rniis on WemnEss Ox vaten sensitive ecovouiEs nesicautiNe BIS-
ASTER AREAS OF DROUGHT OR WETNESS {AND REFLECTING THE GENERAL. LONG
TERM BTATUS OF WATER SwPLES IW AQUIFERS, RESEAVOIRS AND STREAMS. 5
futusrarsons. 15 Nov GEnenaay syDtcaTivE OF swonr Ten (Fre wets WOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY
FIELD OPERATIONS (THIS: ois ‘Tp cateD BY THE CROP MOISTURE INDEX) - = > Bosed 00 prolieninory reporte

PRODUCTION,
SEPTEMBER 1987

B-1

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NASS, USDA




PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE : 1986 1987 :: STATE : AVERAGE : 1986 : 1987
1976-85 : HH : 1976-85 :
PERCENT rt : PERCENT

ALA 76 49 68 NEV 82 70 69
ARIZ 76 89 81 NH 84 94 84
ARK 66 75 64 NJ : 75 82 75
CALIF 78 89 69 N MEX : 77 98 89
COLO 79 72 77 NY : 77 92 80
CONN : 80 95 58 :: NC H 74 62 52
DEL : 75 43 37) 3: N DAK : 65 86 85
FLA : 83 86 80 :: OHIO : 82 69 66
GA : 70 52 60 :: OKLA : 67 83 83
IDAHO: 84 78 67 :: OREG : 83 69 70
ILL : 74 83 75 ot: PA : 78 77 56
IND : 8) 75 7] i RT : 88 95 50
IOWA ': 74 91 90 :: $C H 69 51 60
KANS : 72 86 88 :: S DAK : 69 89 80
KY : 81 65 65 :: TENN : 76 72 69
LA : 75 88 83 o:: TEX : 59 71 74
MAINE: 82 96 67  :: UTAH: 79 88 84
MD : 76 48 48 3: VT : 80 92 83
MASS : 83 96 74 03: VA : 76 69 37
MICH : 76 85 76 o:: WASH : 79 76 72
MINN 3 73 92 78 WVA oo: 81 64 36
MISS 2 75 59 77 oz: WIS : 78 88 80

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64;
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-18 NASS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA If: 220 160 26.0» 33.0 =—:12, 800 5,720 5,280
ARIZ Vf: 96 94 90.5 90.8 9,804 8,688 8,537
ARK Ifo 780 825 41.0 43.0 = 18,240 «= 31,980 35,475
CALIF 1/: 675 537 76.3. 81.6 «= 68,860 51,525 43,815
colo iy: 2,955 2,560 32.6 39.7 139,302 96,430 101,700
DEL of: 34 43 45.0 46.0 2,064 1,530 1,978
FLA If: 100 60 37.0 28.0 4,290 35100 1,680
GA / 550 440 28.0 33.0 25,575 = 15,400 =: 14,520
IDAHO : 1,310 1,140 62.4 67.2 72,030 81,750 76,600
Ik of: 820 970 44.0 «59.0 36,750 += 36,080 = 57,230
IND 1/ 700 600 43.0 58.0 37,100 30,100 34,800
IOWA 1/ 60 25 28.0 = 40.0 5,376 1,680 1,000
KANS 1/ 10,200 9,800 33.0 38.0 433,200 336,600 372,400
KY of: 270 330 «33.0 43.0 = :10,540 8,910 14,190
LA st 210 175 35.0 © 30.0 73140 7,350 5,250
MD If: 145 155 47.0 = 52.0 63517 63815 83060
MICH V/ : 680 400 45.0 «50.0» 45,000 = 30,600» 20,000
MINN : 2,814 2,519 36.8 43.6 142,426 103,666 109,759
MISS 1/ 200 350 31.0 33-0 93300 6,200 11,550
MO 1/ 570 730 33.0 46.0 49,920 18,810 33,580
MONT : 4,760 4,500 29.1 32.1 50,240 138,520 144,500
NEBR I/ 23000 1,950 38:0 44.0 893700 76,000 85,800
NEV 1/ 22 21 78.20 76.7 13770 13720 13610
Ng Wo: 30 2743.0 48.0 1,924 1,290 1,296
N MEX 1/ 460 360 22.0 += 32.0» 20,520 = 10,120 11,520
NY fo: 155 75 49.0 47.0 8,410 7,595 3,525
NC yo: 460 440 31.0 41.0 «22,040 «= 14,260 =—-18,040
N DAK : 9,380 8,726 30.9 30.5 323,255 289,820 266,158
OHIO If): 1,050 800 46.0 57.0 58,900 48,300 45,600
OKLA 1/ : 5,200 4,800 29.0 27.0 165,000 150,800 129,600
OREG 1/ : 313025 810 57.0 65.1 56,040 58,405 52,740
PA ft 220 185 44.0 «= 45.0 ~—-10,080 9,680 8,325
$c Wyo: 300 275 «25.0 += 36.0 -_:12,470 7,500 9,900
S_DAK 3,840 3,505 28.3 31.2 111,215 108,660 109,445
TENN 1/ 325 350 33.0 42.0 8,000 10,725 14,700
TEX 1/3 4,800 3,800 25.0 28.0 187,200 120,000 106,400
UTAH 1/ 258 200 37.8 = 40.3 8.640 9,750 8,050
7 41.0 48.0 10,545 6,970 11,280

48.5 56.2 128,250 116,850 113,335

/ 44.0 40.0 344 396 400

/ 54.3 51.5 8,800 8,040 5,824

/ 30.5 32.8 5,528 8,445 9,040

34.4 38.2 2,425,105 2,086,780 2,114,492

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

WINTER

YEAR SOFT

1,000 BUSHELS

1985 +230,075 368,417 229,123 460,205 112,510 24,775 2,425,105
1986 017,831 290,095 211,217) 451,417 95,407 20,813 2,086,780
1987 2/:1,026,421 345,297 195,316 440,859 90,734 15,865 2,114,492

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT_5-YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. THE S-YEAR VARIETAL SURVEY
DATA ARE ADJUSTED ANNUALLY AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES AVAIL-
ABLE. 2/ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1987.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-10 NASS, USDA


PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 4.00 million pounds

{1810 metric tons) in September. Increases are anticipated for the 2
following months: October production is forecast at 5.40 million pounds (2450
metric tons) and 6.00 million pounds (2720 metric tons) is forecast for
November. Output in December is expected to decline to 5.60 million pounds
{2540 metric tons).

Fresh papaya utilization in August is estimated at 4.74 million pounds
(2150 metric tons), 1 percent higher than July and 38 percent more than last
August. Year-to-date fresh sales, at 33.7 million pounds (15.3 thousand
metric tons) are 3 percent higher than the same 8-month period a year ago.

August's crop area, down 1? percent from July, totaled 3940 acres (1590
hectares). This is a 1 percent decrease from the total crop area last August.
Harvested area of 2435 acres (990 hectares) is relatively unchanged from last
month but 8 percent higher than a year ago.

WALNUTS: The September 1 forecast for California walnuts is a record high 260

thousand tons (236 thousand metric tons), 44 percent above last year
and 19 percent above 1985. The 1987 California Engtish walnut crop is in
excellent condition with record yield and production expected. Set is
consistently high for all varieties this year. Inshell quality is at a record
high for many varieties. The usual problems that plague the walnut crop, such
as sunburn, insect damage, and blight, appear to be minimal at this time.
Harvest of early varieties has started. If good conditions prevail, growers
should reap an excellent crop.

PECANS: The first forecast for the U.S. all pecan crop is 278 million pounds
(126 thousand metric tons), in-shell basis, 2 percent higher than
last year's production and 14 percent above the 1985 crop.

The Georgia pecan forecast is 120 million pounds, the same as 1986
production. Field observations and grower reports indicate a good nut set but
insect levels are very high. Dry weather conditions have reduced the
potential nut size and weight but the dry conditions have also reduced the
incidence of scab. The Alabama forecast is 21.0 million pounds, 31 percent
above last year. Some areas have reported too much rain, which has increased
scab problems and reduced quality. However, many areas have experienced dry
conditions in July and August, which has lowered expected yields. Pecan trees
in southern Alabama have basically recovered from hurricane damage suffered in
1985. The Florida pecan estimate, at 5.50 million pounds, is the same as last
year. The pecan forecast for Louisiana is 20.0 million pounds, down one-third
from the 1986 crop. The Mississippi crop is forecast at 8.50 million pounds,
13 percent above last year. New Mexico pecans are forecast at 29.0 million
pounds, up 7 percent from Vast season. A Vate spring freeze did some damage
to the crop in several areas but the major production areas appear to be
largely unaffected. Oklahoma is expecting a crop of 12.0 million pounds, 20
percent below last year. Western Oklahoma pecans are in good condition with
average nut sets but overall the State's crop is in mostly fair condition,
with light to average crop yields expected. The Texas pecan crop forecast is
50.0 million pounds, up 25 percent from 1986 production but still below normal
levels. The pecan crop got off to a slow start, due to a late spring freeze
in many areas. However, most trees were able to rebound fairly well due to
good spring rains. July and August were hot and dry over many parts of the
State and larger than normal drop occurred. Irrigated, improved groves are in
good condition. Insect problems have been numerous in untreated groves.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-11 NASS, USDA



TOBACCO: All tobacco production is forecast at 1.23 billion pounds (559 thou-

sand metric tons), 6 percent above last year but 3 percent below the
August 1 forecast. Of the 16 producing States, prospective production
declined from August 1 in 7 and was unchanged in the remainder. Compared with
a year ago, the area to be harvested, at 602 thousand acres (243 thousand
hectares), is up 3 percent. The expected average yield of 2047 pounds per
acre compares with 1998 pounds in 1986,

North Carolina's flue-cured prospects declined during August as a result
of inadequate moisture and high temperatures. Flue-cured harvest was more
advanced than last year but behind average progress.

In Kentucky, burley cutting was more advanced than usual. The quality of
the early tobacco is better than later cuttings. Dry weather continues to
hurt the late crop.

Harvest was very active in South Carolina during August. Four weeks of
marketing were completed by the 28th and quality and grade continued to move
up.

Harvest in: Georgia trailed the usual progress and reflected slow trans-
planting in the spring, The Virginia crop deteriorated during August from
drought.

SUGARBEETS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 27.0 million tons (24.5 mil-

lion metric tons), up 7 percent from last year but virtually un-
changed from the August 1 forecast. Prospective production increased from the
August 1 forecast in 3 States, decreased in 1, and remained unchanged in the
remaining 9 producing States. Compared with a year ago, the larger production
is the combined result of increased acreage and higher yields. Expected area
to be harvested, at 1.25 million acres (505 thousand hectares), is 5 vercent
greater than 1986. Yields are expected to average 21.7 tons per acre, up 0.5
of a ton from the previous year.

In the Red River Valley area of Minnesota and North Dakota, the crop has
had very good growing conditions. Moisture supplies have been mostly adequate.
Harvest began September 1. California sugarbeets are in excellent condition
with no serious disease problems. Harvest is progressing normally. Idaho
beets continued good growth. Irrigation water supplies still remain
adequate. The Michigan crop was helped by consistent rains and cool nights in
August. Digging should begin in late September. In Nebraska, heavy hail
damage on August 3 resulted in total loss of many fields in the
Scottsbluff-Minatare area.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 31.4 mil-

lion tons (28.5 million metric tons), unchanged from the August 1
forecast but up 4 percent from the 1986 crop. The increase from a year ago
reflects an increase in the area to be harvested. Area for harvest, at 823
thousand acres (333 thousand hectares), is 3 percent above last year. Average
yield is forecast at 38.1 tons per acre, the same as a year ago.

Florida's sugarcane is in good condition. Weather was favorable for good
growth during August. Cutting for sugar is expected to start in October.

In Hawaii, weather continued to benefit cane growth and harvesting. Days
were sunny with temperatures in the low 90's. Rainfall was light and mainly
nocturnal. Juice quality is high as can be expected with high daytime

temperatures.

The Louisiana crop was reported in good condition, Planting was progress-
ing about 7 days ahead of average.

In Texas, irrigation was steady with hot, dry weather. The crop continued
to progress well.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-8 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

PINDICATED:
: 1987

1986

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 2 7.49 7.53 209,631,640 183,674,590 181,377,180
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 2 4.25 4:52 2339183610 193262,040 19,220,510
ALL WHEAT > 2031 2.57 56,792,840 57,835,660 57,547,040
DURUM : 2.23 1.98 2,596,550 2,611,030 2,469,370
OTHER SPRING 22.17 2.34 12,851,990 12,576,950 12,429,990
RICE > 6.33 6.13 6,097,010 5,796,230 5,752,410
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS =: 2.27 2.29 54,622,490 54,440,580 53,256,970
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2 2.70 2.88 13678,620 1,881,110 1,769,860
ALL COTTON > 0.62 0.69 2,118,690 2,810,240 2,796,960
UPLAND : 0.61 0.69 2,073,860 2,759,400 2,746,340
AMER-PIMA : 1.00 0.98 44,830 50,840 50,620
COTTONSEED : 3,448,210 4,582,190 4,575,840
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 2 1672 1.64 1,038,630 1,129,350 1,119,410
POTATOES :
SUMMER : 24.64 © 25.86 949,230 1,051,190 1,039,310
TOTAL 1/ > 33.22 16,397,780
TOBACCO : 2.24 2.29 527,410 577,020 558,560.
SUGARBEETS 47.46 48157 -22,882,830 24,534,810 24,537,530

SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED 85,34 85.50 27,497,680 28,486,510 28,486,510

PEARS : 694,540 763,940 782,080
GRAPES 2 4,740,860 4,625,730 4,611,220
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) : 89,810 2/ 163,290 181,440
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) 3 42,730 $0,440 48,630
PECANS z 123,690 126,140
PISTACHIO NUTS (CALIF): 33,970 13,610
WALNUTS (CALIF) 163,290 208,650

17,1986

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(weTRIC UNITS)

YIELD “PER HECTARE PRODUCTION

CROP INDICATED INDICATED
1986 1987 1/ 1987 1/
3 “METRIC TONS
OATS : 2.01 1.93 §,581,670 5,702,100
BARLEY : 2.74 2.75 13,292,000 11,287,330
WINTER WHEAT 3 2.37 2.69 41,344,300 42,647,680
ALL HAY : 5.59 5.62 140,859,480 136,801,640
ALFALFA : 7.66 7.87 82,938,460 78,116,770
ALL OTHER 3 4.03 4.18 57,921,020 58,684,870
POTATOES H
WINTER : 27.24 26.24 135,670 126,460
SPRING : 29.27 25.09 899,110 796,960
FALL 2/ : 34.37 14,413,770
HOPS 3 2.19 2.01 22,210 23,120
APPLES, COM'L z 3,579,280 4,395,510
PEACHES : 1,055,230 1,127,900
SWEET CHERRIES 3 125,010 172,000
TART CHERRIES : 101,650 164,970
APRICOTS : 50,080 104,870
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 156,040 172,370
PLUMS (CALIF) 3 137,890 190,510
OLIVES (CALIF) : 101,150 72,570
ALMONDS (CALIF) 13, 400 272,150

Vy ESTIMATES. CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ “7986 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

INDICATED
1987

CROP

CORN : 31,029,200 26,719,250 28,000,100 24,100,500

SORGHUM : 6,200,260 4,763,610 5,626,810 4,254,100
ALL WHEAT 3 29,151,030 26,370,810 24,559,830 22,414,150
DURUM : 1,211,640 1,277,200 1,164,290 1,248,870
OTHER SPRING : 6,114,460 5,458,050 5,925,070 5,320,860
RICE 3 971,660 948,590 963,160 938,070
SOYBEANS : 24,880,340 23,749,230 24,049,510 23,293,550
PEANUTS z 636,460 617,960 622,090 613,910
ALL COTTON 3 4,064,950 4,215,130 3,427,080 4,048,880
UPLAND H 4,019,830 4,162,920 3,382,120 3,997,160
AMER-PIMA 3 45,120 52,210 44,960 51,720
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 677,370 712,980 605,010 684,090
POTATOES 3
SUMMER 2 41,360 41,600 38,530 40,190
TOTAL 2/ i 508,780 527,150 493,560 516,470
TOBACCO : 235,490 243,460
SUGARBEETS 3 498,460 513,230 482,110 505,170
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED 3 322,210 333,180

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E£., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1986 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~ AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

SN 3 3 INDICATED
y 1987 1/ : 1986 3 1987 1/
HECTARES
OATS 3 5,952,180 7,268,230 2,780,220 2,950,190
BARLEY 3 5,284,850 4,460,490 4,859,110 4,998,700
WINTER WHEAT 3 21,824,930 19,635,560 17,470,470 15,844,420
RYE 3 964,780 996,750 273,980 273,570
FLAXSEED 3 297,380 196,270 276,400 188,590
SUNFLOWER 2 819,500 698,090 791,170 678,260
ALL HAY 3 25,201,670 24,363,550
ALFALFA 3 10,824,650 10,318,380
ALL OTHER 3 14,377,020 14,045,170
POTATOES Hi
WINTER : 5,060 4,900 4,980 4,820
SPRING : 31,320 33,100 30,720 31,770
FALL 2/ : 431,040 447,550 419,340 439,700
SWEETPOTATOES 39,300 39,090 37,800 37,880
HOPS 10,120 11,53

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1986 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-6 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION
TON EQUIVALENT

UTILIZED INDICATED

“7985-86 : 1986-87 : 1987-88

PRODUCTION
BOXES

UTILIZED INDICATED

1987-88 :

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES,EARLY MID
& NAVEL 3/:
ARIZ A 600 950 23 36
CALIF : 33,000 34,500 26,000 1,238 1,294 975
FLA : 64,200 65,800 2,889 2,961
TEX H 200 500 9 21
us : 98,000 101,750 4,159 4,312
ORANGES, VALENCIA
ARIZ t 1,700 2,200 64 83
CALIF : 20,900 24,000 784 900
FLA : 55,000 53,900 2,475 2,425
TEX : 110 375 5 16
US : 77,710 80,475 3,328 3,425
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ : 2,300 3,150 87 119
CALIF : 53,900 58,500 2,022 2,194
FLA : 119,200 119,700 5,364 5,386
TEX : 310 875 13 37
US : 175,710 182,225 7,487 7,736
TEMPLES :
FLA 3 2,950 3,400 133 153
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE H
SEEDLESS
25,600 26,900 1,088 1,143
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED:
SEEDLESS :
FLA 18,000 20,000 765 850
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 3,150 2,900 134 123
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ : 2,400 2,200 77 70
CALIF 4/ :
DESERT z 3,600 4,200 115 134
OTHER AREAS : 4,500 4,900 151 164
TOTAL : 8,100 9,100 266 298
FLA H 46,750 49,800 1,987 2,116
TEX : 220 1,925 9 77
us : 57,470 63,025 2,339 2,561
TANGERINES t
ARIZ : 700 700 26 26
CALIF 3 1,800 2,230 68 84
FLA z 1,150 1,300 55 62
vs : 3,650 4,230 149 172
LEMONS :
ARIZ 3 3,250 7,100 124 270
CALIF H
DESERT Hy 1,600 3,400 61 129
TOTAL 2 15,100 21,500 574 817
US 3 18,350 28,600 698 1,087
TANGELOS :
FLA : 2,950 4,000 133 180

1/__ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,
FLA-90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER~67, FLA-85,

TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND MID-
SEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES
IN TEXAS. 1 4/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT “OTHER AREAS" WILL BE
AS OF APR 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-19 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE: : IND: : IND: : : IND
> 1986 : 1987 : 1986 : 1987: 1985 : 1986 : 1987
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA W/o: 100 45 40.0 55.0 12,650 4,000 2,475
ARIZ 1/  : 12 9 87.0 92.0 1,296 1,044 828
ARK ; 660 405 62.0 72.0 66,240 40,920 29,160
CALIF 1/ : 26 20 85.0 85.0 2,988 2,210 1,700
COLO : 300 230 39.0 36.0 11,200 11,700 8,280
GA Vo: 82 90 33.0 50.0 6,624 2,706 4,500
ILL : 200 120 95.0 94.0 36,190 19,000 11,280
KANS > 4,150 3,700 75.0 78.0 296,700 311,250 288,600
KY Vo: 57 38 75.0 75.0 11,440 4,275 2,850
LA : 350 260 68.0 68.0 27,880 23,800 17,680
MISS : 240 145 60.0 65.0 39,680 14,400 9,425
MO : 1,140 770 81.0 83.0 117,030 92,340 63,910
NEBR : 1,570 1,220 89.0 90.0 154,400 139,730 109,800
N MEX : 230 160 45.0 48.0 13,920 10,350 7,680
NC W/o: 45 45 30.0 43.0 3,224 1,350 1,935
OKLA : 490 420 47.0 46.0 22,500 23,030 19,320
sc W/o: 32 25 32.0 47.0 2,209 1,024 1,175
S DAK : 305 280 46.0 46.0 15,000 14,030 12,880
TENN 2 165 80 65.0 80.0 37,200 10,725 6,400
TEX : 3,750 2,450 57.0 64.0 241,900 213,750 156,800
US : 13,904 10,512 67.7 72.0 1,120,271 941,634 756,678

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER A-9 NASS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 7.14 billion

bushels (181 million metric tons), down 13 percent from last
year's crop and down 1 percent from the August 1 forecast. Crop development
continued well ahead of normal. Rain from Texas through the Corn Belt and
cooler temperatures slowed maturity slightly, but were beneficial to late
planted fields. The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at a record high
119.9 bushels, up 0.6 from the previous record high set in 1986, but down 1.5
bushets from August 1. Yield forecasts are unchanged from August 1 in most
Corn Belt States except Nebraska and Ohio, which are down 2 and 8 bushels,
respectively. Yields in the Atlantic Coast States were aiso down from last
month,

Harvest is well underway in the Southern States and just getting started
in the Corn Belt. Silage harvest has also begun.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

1978-1987
BILLION BLSHELS
uw
ak
eh
ik
L
sh
sb
vb
3
n Bn @ a BR a ow 6 eo a
YEAR

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at 757 million bushels (19.2 million

metric tons), down 20 percent from 1986 and fractionally
below the August 1 forecast. Yields are expected to average a record high
72.0 bushels per acre, off 0.1 of a bushel from August 1 but 4.3 bushels per
acre more than the previous high yield set in 1986. Harvested area, at 10.5

million acres (4.25 million hectares), is unchanged from August 1 and 24
percent less than 1986.

By August 30, heading had reached 97 percent in the major producing
States, 8 points ahead of average. Percent mature was 28, average was 25
percent. Twenty percent of the crop had been harvested, lagging last year by
2 points but equaling the 5-year average. Growers in Arkansas, Colorado,
Louisiana, Missouri, and Oklahoma are now expecting lower average yields than
August 1. Yield prospects are up in Illinois, Kansas, and New Mexico. ATl
other States' yields are unchanged from August 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 8-3 NASS, USDA



C @ Agricultural United States
ro Statistics Department of
Board Agriculture
' National Agricultural Washington, D.C. 20250
ro u Cc 10 n Statistics Service

RELEASED: September 10, 1987
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 7.14 billion bushels (181 million
metric tons), down 1 percent from August 1 and down 13 percent from last
year. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast is
6.51 to 7.77 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 757 million bushels (19.2 million
metric tons), down 20 percent from 1986. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this forecast is 701 to 812 million bushels.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.3 million metric
tons), down 2 percent from both the August 1 forecast and the 1986
production level. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production
forecast is 1.80 to 2.11 billion bushels.

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.11 billion bushels (57.5 million metric
tons), up 1 percent from last year. The 90 percent confidence interval
for this production forecast is 2.07 to 2.16 billion bushels.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 12.8 million bales, down less than 1
percent from August 1 but 32 percent above the 1986 crop. The 90 percent
confidence interval for this production forecast is 11.4 to 14.3 million
bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.23 billion pounds (559 thousand metric
tons), 6 percent above last year but 3 percent below the August 1 forecast.

PEANUT production is forecast at 3.90 billion pounds (1.77 million metric
tons), down 6 percent from last month but up 5 percent from last year.

KR KIKIKI III REIKI KIKI IRIS IIS IA KIRK ISI ISI IAI IIASA III IIIS II III IAI SII IIIA.

* INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT *
* *
* o Nave? Oranges - California, Page A-19 *
* o Pistachio Nuts - California, Page A-21 *

KIKI II III III II IAI II SII III III III SII IIIS ISI III SIS SII SIEISI SIS ISS ISSIR IAI AIA,

CrPr 2-2 (9-87) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

YEAR: LONG GRAIN MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN : ALL
1,000 CWT

1985 : 100,367 28,464 6,082 134,913

1986 : 97,833 32,239 4,344 134,416

1987 1/ : 86,808 "35,502 4,509 126,819

1/__ INDICATED SEP 1, 1987, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

STATE IND IND 3 IND
1986 1987 1987 : 1985: 1986 1987
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 630 500 23.0 22.0 27,810 14,490 11,000
ARK z 3,300 3,350 21.0 23.0 98,050 69,300 77,050
DEL : 240 235 25.0 20.0 7,200 6,000 4,700
FLA V/ H 140 95 23.0 24.0 5,980 3,220 2,280
GA H 850 800 18.0 22.0 37,200 15,300 17,600
ILL 2 9,150 8,750 40.0 38.0 382,500 366,000 332,500
IND 3 4,250 4,350 38.0 41.0 185,090 161,500 178,350
IOWA : 8,750 8,050 41.5 41.0 309,700 363,125 330,050
KANS : 1,760 2,100 34.0 31.0 43,710 59,840 65,100
KY : 1,170 1,020 32.0 30.0 41,820 37,440 30,600
LA H 1,820 1,660 21.0 23.0 44,100 38,220 38,180
MD 3 390 410 28.0 26.0 12,800 10,920 10,660
MICH H 950 1,090 32.0 32.0 34,560 30,400 34,880
MINN 3 4,800 4,700 35.5 38.0 160,000 170,400 178,600
MISS : 2,450 2,450 18.0 23.0 70,740 44,100 §6,350
MO 3 5,300 4,900 33.5 32.0 180,435 177,550 156,800
NEBR 2 2,450 2,350 39.0 36.0 84,960 95,550 64,600
NJ V/ : 117 104 29.0 31.0 4,386 3,393 3,224
NC : 1,600 1,300 24.0 24.0 39,100 38,400 31,200
N DAK T/ : 470 510 35.5 36.0 12,740 16,685 18,360
OHIO : 3,670 4,080 41.0 40.0 160,605 150,470 163,200
OKLA 1/ 3 200 220 24.0 26.0 4,370 4,800 5,720
PA Vy z 160 165 35.0 35.0 5,950 5,600 5,775
Sc : 880 750 17.0 21.0 24,600 14,960 15,750
S_DAK : 1,330 1,340 31.0 32.0 40,640 41,230 42,880
TENN : 1,500 1,250 25.0 28.0 45,260 37,500 35,000
TEX : 190 150 23.0 27.0 7,250 4,370 4,050
VA : 590 560 25.0 20.0 17,375 14,750 11,200
WIS V/ 2 320 320 36.0 35.0 9,600 11,520 11,200
us 59,427 57,559 34.0 2,098,531 2,007,033 1,956,859

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-12 NASS, USDA



DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE : IND : IND

1986 : 1987 : 1985: 1986 1987

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ARIZ 1/ 87.0 83.0 3,864 4,176 3,735
CALIF 1/ 87.0 95.0 7,360 6,525 5,415
MINN 39.0 41.0 1,716 1,326 1,189
MONT 27.0 29.0 1,440 4,320 5,800
N DAK 31.0 27.0 95,495 77,500 71,550
S DAK 26.0 29.0 2,635 1,560 3,045
US 33.2 29.4 112,510 95,407 90,734

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
OTHER SPRING WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
COLO 1/ : 55 60 66.0 70.0 4,752 3,630 4,200
IDAHO 2 460 340 65.0 70.0 25,920 29,900 23,800
MINN : 2,650 2,400 37.0 44.0 130,350 98,050 105,600
MONT : 2,600 2,300 27.0 29.0 26,400 70,200 66,700
NEV V/ : 13 14 70.0 70.0 1,050 910 980
N DAK 3 6,400 5,900 31.0 32.0 212,010 198,400 188,800
OREG 1/ 7 95 60 47.0 54.0 4,200 4,465 3,240
S DAK : 1,980 1,800 25.0 28.0 64,500 49,500 50,400
UTAH 1/ : 33 30 50.0 53.0 1,600 1,650 1,590
WASH : 310 190 45.0 49.0 13,050 13,950 9,310
WIS) 1/ : 18 28 35.0 38.0 680 630 1,064
wyo y/ : 27 26 35.0 40.0 468 945 1,040
US : 14,641 13,148 32.3 34.7 484,980 472,230 456,724

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
ARK : 1,040.0 995.0 5,300 5,200 54,597 55,120 51,740
CALIF : 360.0 367.0 7,700 7,500 28,468 27,727 27,525
LA z 426.0 420.0 4,550 4,350 20,256 19,380 18,270
MISS 198.0 198.0 5,400 5,300 10,058 10,692 10,494
MO V/ 67.0 69.0 5,120 5,400 3,463 3,434 3,726
TEX 289.0 269.0 6,250 5,600 18,071 18,063 15,064
us : 2,380.0 2,318.0 5,648 5,471 134,913 134,416 126,819

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-11 NASS, USDA



California's production, at 4.53 million tons, is 5 percent below last
year. The California raisin variety grape forecast is 2.10 million tons, the
same as the August 1 forecast but 3 percent above the 1986 production. The
raisin grape harvest got off to a fast start in August. Maturity of the crop
was 1 to 2 weeks ahead of normal, as sugar levels rose rapidly. Picking of
Thompson Seedless got underway in mid-August with excellent quality being
reported. By the end of August, over 270,000 tons of raisin type grapes had
been harvested, slightly more than the amount crushed by that date last year.

The California wine variety grape forecast of 1.90 million tons is
unchanged from August 1 but 10 percent below the 1986 output. More than
820,000 tons of wine grapes had been crushed for wine by September 1, the same
amount crushed by that date last year. Harvesting began in early August and
made rapid progress through the month. Maturity of the crop ranged from 1 to
2 weeks ahead of normal with yield per acre being reported as down from the
1986 levels.

The California table variety grape forecast remains at 530 thousand tons,
15 percent below last year. Fresh market table grape harvest continued during
August, with very good quality grapes shipped from the San Joaquin Valley.
Harvesting of table varieties to be crushed for wine got underway in
mid-August. By the end of the month, 86,000 tons of table variety grapes had
been crushed for wine compared with 112,000 tons by September 1, 1986.

The Washington all grape forecast, at 225 thousand tons, is down 4 percent
from the August 1 forecast but 44 percent above 1986 production. This
forecast consists of 185 thousand tons of Concord grapes and 40.0 thousand
tons of wine varieties. The white grape and Niagara harvest started around
September 1 while the major Concord harvest is not expected to start until
September 14.

The New York grape forecast is 169 thousand tons, down 2 percent from the
August 1 forecast but 3 percent above the 1986 crop. Currently, the crop is
developing about 10 days ahead of normal. Some growers are experiencing
difficulty with mildew and black rot as high humidity has left the crop
susceptible to these problems.

Pennsylvania's forecast of 60.0 thousand tons of grapes is 5 percent below
the August 1 forecast but is the same as the 1986 finat production. The crop
appears in good condition but just a Tittle smaller than earlier anticipated.
Harvest is expected nearly 2 weeks ahead of normal. Some hail damage has been
reported but virtually no insect or disease problems. Michigan's grape
production of 55.0 thousand tons is unchanged from the August 1 forecast and
is expected to be 72 percent above last year's frost-damaged crop. Quality
should be outstanding. Niagara harvest is just getting underway. Concord
harvest will start in early September.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune production (dried basis) is forecast at

200 thousand tons (181 thousand metric tons), up 11 percent
from July 1, and more than double last year's crop. Harvest is well underway.
Although the crop is in good condition, the percentage of undersized fruit is
higher than normal because of the large crop. The dry away ratio is lower
than expected for a crop of this size.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington
is forecast at 53.6 thousand tons (48.6 thousand metric tons), down 4 percent
from August 1 but 14 percent more than 1986. Harvest is active in Idaho,
where insect and disease damage have been minimal. The Michigan crop is
virtually picked with fruit being of excellent size and quality. Harvest of
early varieties is almost complete in Washington and the harvest of late
varieties remains active.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-10 NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The September 1 pasture and range feed con-

dition is rated at 76 percent, 3 points be-
Tow September 7 a year ago, 2 points below August 1, but 3 points better than
the 1976-85 average for the date. Condition declined from August 1 in 32
States, improved in 14, and remained unchanged in 2.

Conditions declined from August 1 in most eastern and southern States,
with Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, and West Virginia in the severe drought
range. Arkansas, Connecticut, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode
Istand, and South Carolina were in the very poor range. The rest of the
States are in the good to excellent or poor to fair ranges.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Florida's citrus trees and fruit are in very good to excellent

condition. August was very hot, humid in many areas. Rain-
fall was irregular which required irrigation to prevent both wilt and reduced
fruit growth. There is an abundance of new growth on trees of all ages. Most
new crop fruit in well-cared-for groves has good size and is making good
growth. Some early bloom, young tree grapefruit are being tested for the
first harvest of the 1987-88 season. Some grapefruit should be harvested by
the middle of September for fresh use. Caretakers stayed very busy completing
summer fertilizer and spray programs. Growers are mowing, disking, and
chopping cover crops to eliminate competition for surface moisture.

CALIFORNIA NAVEL ORANGES: The first forecast for the 1987-88 California navel

orange crop is 26.0 million boxes, 25 percent lower
than last season and 21 percent below the 1985-86 crop. The 1987-88 California
navel orange crop is progressing normally. Individual fruit size is large
with fruit set very spotty. Quality is expected to be average.

PEARS: The final forecast for the U.S. pear crop is 862 thousand tons (782
thousand metric tons), up 2 percent from August 1 and 13 percent more
than the 1986 crop.

Picking in Michigan is almost complete. The crop is of good quality but
size is below normal. Harvest of New York Bartletts is near completion with
disappointing yields. Harvest of later varieties is expected to begin in
mid-September.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 543
thousand tons (493 thousand metric tons), up 4 percent from August 1 and up 17
percent from last year. Harvest is complete in California. The crop ripened
earlier and over a shorter time than normal. The fresh market crop was of
good quality. Oregon's harvest peaked jin mid-August. Growers were
disappointed with the smaller than normal fruit size. Picking is winding down
in Washington, with good quality fruit going to market or storage.

Other than Bartlett pears are forecast at 281 thousand tons (255 thousand
metric tons), unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 8 percent more than
Yast year's crop. California's other pear harvest is progressing normally.
Quality is excellent. Picking continues in Oregon. Quality has been good but
sizes have been slightly below normal. Harvest is about 10 days ahead of
normal in Washington.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 5.08 million tons (4.61 million

metric tons), down fractionally from the August 1 forecast and 3
percent below last year's production. Only the New York, Pennsylvania, and
Washington forecasts have been changed from August 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-9 NASS, USDA



CORN FOR GRAIN 1/

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

3 IND
1985 : 1987
BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 270 250 57.0 75.0 24,375 15,390 18,750
ARIZ W/ : 24 22 110.0 115.0 2,205 2,640 2,530
ARK VU : 80 50 106.0 110.0 7,884 8,480 5,500
CALIF : 250 190 152.0 150.0 46,400 38,000 28,500
COLO : 710 690 140.0 145.0 103,555 99,400 100,050
CONN 2/ 3
DEL : 169 155 83.0 74.0 19,075 14,027 11,470
FLA VY : 160 100 62.0 65.0 12,350 9,920 6,500
GA : 730 620 58.0 90.0 81,900 42,340 55,800
IDAHO 1/ : 60 50 130.0 135.0 10,000 7,800 6,750
ILL 3 10,400 9,200 135.0 132.0 1,534,950 1,404,000 1,214,400
IND : 5,700 4,750 122.0 135.0 756,450 695,400 641,250
IOWA : 12,050 10,050 135.0 133.0 1,707,300 1,626,750 1,336,650
KANS : 1,335 1,200 136.0 136.0 152,100 181,560 163,200
KY : 1,520 1,150 92.0 102.0 159,120 139,840 117,300
LA Vv : 385 175 116.0 116.0 23,370 44,660 20,300
MAINE 2/ :
MD : 580 465 73.0 83.0 70,400 42,340 38,595
MASS 2/ :
MICH : 2,450 1,950 105.0 95.0 286,650 257,250 185,250
MINN 3 §,800 5,000 122.0 122.0 724,500 707,600 610,000
MISS 1/ : 180 190 75.0 80.0 7,820 13,500 15,200
MO : 2,420 2,150 116.0 113.0 272,800 280,720 242,950
MONT 1/ : 13 10 115.0 115.0 1,045 1,495 1,150
NEBR : 7,000 6,200 128.0 128.0 953,600 896,000 793,600
NH 2/ Hy
NJ V/ : 104 95 107.0 110.0 12,540 11,128 10,450
N MEX 1/ : 55 45 150.0 155.0 10,075 8,250 6,975
NY : 650 500 99.0 103.0 68,400 64,350 51,500
NC : 1,360 1,220 69.0 70.0 128,375 93,840 85,400
N DAK : 530 460 93.0 87.0 40,320 49,290 40,020
OHTO : 3,720 3,000 128.0 127.0 513,810 476,160 381,000
OKLA 1/ : 45 50 116.0 120.0 6,148 5,220 6,000
OREG 1/ : 30 25 160.0 160.0 6,600 4,800 4,000
PA : 1,240 1,160 103.0 92.0 151,800 127,720 106,720
RI 2/ :
sc 2 460 385 46.0 80.0 45,760 21,160 30,800
S_DAK : 2,850 2,700 82.0 84.0 252,000 233,700 226,800
TENN : 770 600 74.0 93.0 79,380 56,980 55,800
TEX 3 1,330 1,250 112.0 112.0 156,450 148,960 140,000
UTAH 2 : 18 ral 125.0 125.0 1,840 2,250 2,625
VT
VA 2 400 375 54.0 62.0 54,450 21,600 23,250
WASH 1/ : 120 80 170.0 170.0 21,600 20,400
WVA T/ : 70 60 90.0 92.0 7,665 6,300
WIS 3,100 2,850 118.0 115.0 358,450 365,800
WYO Vv 51 60 114.0 110.0 5,194 5,814
US 3 69,189 59,553 119.3 119.9 8,876,706 8,252,834 7,14

1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ NOT
ESTIMATED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-8 NASS, USDA


COFFEE

PRODUCTION 1/

1985-86

BARTLETT 3
CALIF : 282,000 285,000 315,000
OREG : 75,000 $5,000 78,000
WASH 3 111,000 126,000 150,000
TOTAL : 468,000 466,000 543,000

EXCLUDING BARTLETT 3
CALIF 3 10,500 9,000 11,000
OREG i 118,000 112,000 120,000
WASH 3 114,000 140,000 150,000
TOTAL 3 242,500 261,000 281,000

ALL z
CALIF g 292,500 294,000 326,000
COLO 2/ $ 6,000 1,750 6,000
CONN 2/ : 1,550 1,600 1,500
MICH : 8,000 11,000 8,000
NY t 16,000 19,000 16,000
OREG 2 193,000 167,000 198,000
PA 2/ 3 2,300 3,000 3,000
UTAH 2/ 3 2,500 2,200 3,600
WASH : 225,000 266,000 300,000

765,550 862,100

V/ S UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED Sol (TONS): U
150, 1986-6,000. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
FORECAST.

E ARLIER

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

FRESH PRODUCTION

MONTH :
1986 1987 : FORECAST
1987
° ACRES st—<“i=—STMSTMSCS 1,000 POUNDS.
JUL 4,025 3,965 2,310 2,440 4,140 4,680
AUG 33975 33940 23250 2,435 «3.2425 42740
SEP 33970 23340 32120 4,000
oct 47050 23375 52805 5.400
NOV 42025 23265 42155 6,000
DEC 33930 23270 43440 53600
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-AUG 32,580 33,655
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

SEPTEMBER 1987 A~22 NASS, USDA


PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 3.90 billion pounds (1.77 million metric

tons), up 5 percent from last year but down 6 percent from the
August 1 forecast. Harvested area is estimated at 1.52 million acres (614
thousand hectares), down 1 percent from 1986. Yield is expected to average
2572 pounds per acre, up 165 pounds from 1986, but 238 pounds below 1985.

Production in the southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina) is expected to total 2.63 billion pounds, up 10 percent from
1986. Growers expect to harvest 940 thousand acres, 4 percent below last
year. Yield for the four State area is expected to average 2801 pounds per
acre, 372 pounds above last year. Overal?, hot and dry conditions have caused
significant yield reductions from previous expectations.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 617 million pounds, down
14 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 236
thousand, up 4 thousand acres from 1986. Above average temperatures and rain
shortages have stressed the crop in the two-State area resulting in lower
expected yields compared with August 1.

The Southwest crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total
652 million pounds, up 9 percent from 1986. Area harvested is expected to
reach 341 thousand acres, up 6 percent from last year. Growing conditions
thus far in 1987 have been favorable with recent rains helping yields in most
areas except Central Texas where conditions have been dry.

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 12.8 million bales, down less

than one percent from August 1 but 32 percent above the 1986 crop.
The Upland production forecast is 12.6 million bales and American-Pima
production is expected to total 233 thousand bales.

Area for harvest is estimated at 10.0 million acres (4.05 million
hectares), up 18 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 616
pounds per harvested acre.

In Texas and Oklahoma, Upland production is forecast at 3.88 million
bales, up 41 percent from last year and up 9 percent from August 1. Rainfal
during the month in the Plains of Texas and in Oklahoma helped the dryland
crop. Harvest was underway in Central Texas and was making good progress in
the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley. By August 30, about 10 percent was
harvested Statewide, which was about normal.

Growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri,
and Tennessee) expect to harvest 4.25 million bales, up 39 percent from last
year but down 4 percent from the August 1 forecast. Hot, dry weather caused
the condition of the crop to deteriorate in the lower Delta States, while
conditions in Missouri and Tennessee were still favorable.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.51 million bales of Upland cotton, 18 percent above last
year and virtually unchanged from August 1. Some hail damage occurred in
Arizona during the month. The crop continues to look good in California and

New Mexico.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina), production is forecast at 935 thousand bales, 32 percent above tast
year's production but down 17 percent from August 1. Hot, dry weather during
the month severely stressed the crop causing a decline in yields. Defoliation
was underway during the month in the region.

Bureau of the Census reports 428,562 running bales ginned prior to
September 1 compared with 624,376 to the same date last year and 681,101 bales
in 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-6 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

1986 : 1987 : 1986 2 1987

1,000 ACRES

CORN : 76,674 66,024 69,189 59,553

SORGHUM : 15,321 11,771 13,904 10,512
ALL WHEAT 2 72,033 65,163 60,688 55,386
DURUM 3 2,994 3,156 2,877 3,086
OTHER SPRING : 15,109 13,487 14,641 13,148
RICE : 2,401.0 2,344.0 2,380.0 2,318.0
SOYBEANS : 61,480 58,685 59,427 57,559
PEANUTS : 1,572.7 1,527.0 1,537.2 1,517.0
ALL COTTON 2 10,044.6 10,415.7 8,468.4 10,004.9
UPLAND : 9,933.1 10,286.7 8,357.3 9,877.1
AMER-PIMA : 111.5 129.0 V1.1 127.8
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 3 1,673.8 1,761.8 1,495.0 1,690.4
POTATOES t
SUMMER i 102.2 102.8 95.2 99.3
TOTAL 2/ 2 1,257.2 1,302.6 1,219.6 1,276.2
TOBACCO : 581.9 601.6

SUGARBEETS : 1,231.7 1,268.2 1,191.3 1,248.3
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1986 REVISED.

796.2

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
cROP : : : : INDICATED
H 1986 : 1987 1/ : 1986 : 1987 1/

1,000 ACRES
OATS : 14,708 17,960 6,870 7,290

BARLEY 2 13,059 11,022 12,007 10,128
WINTER WHEAT : 53,930 48,520 43,170 39,152
RYE : 2,384 2,463 677 676
FLAXSEED 3 720 485 683 466
SUNFLOWER : 2,025 1,725 1,955 1,676
ALL HAY . H 62,274 60,203
ALFALFA 2 26,748 25,497
ALL OTHER H 35,526 34,706
POTATOES 2
WINTER H 12.5 12.1 12.3 11.9
SPRING : 77.4 81.8 75.9 78.5
FALL 2/ : 1,065.1 1,105.9 1,036.2 1,086.5
SWEETPOTATOES : 97.1 96.6 93.4 93.6
HOPS 3 25.0 28.5

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1986 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-4 NASS, USDA


POTATOES

AREA HARVESTED

WINTER 1/
CALIF 3 8 290 285 1,404 1,479 1,368
FLA : 1 210 © 200 1,287 1,512 1,420
TOTAL : +9 2430234 2,691 2,991 2,788
SPRING 1/ :
ALA 145-125 848 682 613

ARIZ 3 220 © 250 1,450 1,298 1,225
CALIF : 390 375 10,588 7,605 7,988
FLA-HASTINGS == 280 = 170 6,370 6,860 45250
OTHER : 190 230 273 171 483
LA 70 65 42 35 26
Nc : 150-150 2,310 2,055 2,055
TEX : 180 150 1,105 1,116 930
TOTAL : 261 «224«= 22,986 =—-19,822_— «17,570
SUMMER 3
ALA 3 7.0 135 160 1,404 986 1,120
CALIF : 6.1 365 360 2,700 2,482 2,196
coLo 3 6.3 300 295 2,220 2,070 13859
DEL 8.0 190 225 14820 1,311 13800
TLL 2.8 270 260 855 783 728
IND : 272s 2s 266 2/ 2/
10WA 1.7 195 190 330 332 323
MD 1.9 170 200 320 272 380
MICH 9.8 230 190 3,036 1,679 1,862
MINN : 6.4 265 300 13788 1,643 1,920
NEBR 2.5 275 300 700 605 750
NJ 7.4 280 © 200 2,464 1,944 1,480
N MEX : 9.8 310 320 2,860 2,790 33136
Nec 1.9 110-110 265 209 209
OHIO 2702s 2/ 341 2; 27
TENN 3.0 90 115 375 234 345
TEX : 11.0 250 © 250 2,750 2,475 2,750
VA 13.7 80 150 33300 1,112 23055
TOTAL : 95.2 99.3 220 231 27,794 20,927 22,913
FALL 1/ 3/ :
CALIF : 17.0 19.0 405 8,385 6,885
colo : 57.0 59.0 330 173920 18,810
CONN : 29 15 235 350
IDAHO-10 SW CO: 17.0 18.0 360 10,875 6,120
-OTHER CO : 290.0 319.0 290 91,640 84,100
IND : 47.5.0 220 624
MAINE 3 : 84.0 255 28,215 21,930
MASS 2.9 2.9 230 825 66
MICH : 35.0 32:0 275 12,100 9,625
MINN : 70.0 70.0 195 14,145 13,650
MONT OT 7.6 290 13890 24233
NEBR 6.9 7.6 © 260 23106 13794
ev : 9.0 8.0 350 3,105 3,150
NY-LONG Is : 8.9 8.9 285 33870 2,537
~UPSTATE : 2215 26.0 235 63375 55288
N DAK : 120.0 125.0 180 23,630 21,600
OHIO : 9.7 4/7 9.8 © 260 2,465 23522
OREG-MALHEUR CO: 6.8 6.8 350 3,774 2,380
-OTHER CO: 45.2 48.2 460 23,114 20,792
PA 21.5 21.5 240 5,720 5,160
RI 1.6 1.5 240 700 384
S_DAK 12.0 11.0 210 2,100 2,520
UTAH 6.4 6.3 275 1,658 1,760
VT : a +0 200 47 20
WASH 118.0 124.0525 63,630 61,950
WIS 57.5 62.5 350 24,130 20,125
wyo 2.1 2.4 270 245 567
TOTAL 036.2 1,086.5 307 353,638 317,771
us 3/ 1219.6 1,276.2 296 407,109 361,511

1/ ESTIMATES FOR C' YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/_ COMBINED WITH ESTIMATES FOR 1987 YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR FALL
POTATOES WILL BE PUBLISHED IN CROP PRODUCTION TO BE RELEASED NOVEMBER 9, 1987.
3/ 1986 REVISED. 4/ INCLUDES AREAS PREVIOUSLY CLASSIFIED AS “SUMMER".

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-15 NASS, USDA


SUGARBEETS

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES 1,000 TONS
CALIF > 188.0 215.0 25.7 25.5 4,669 4,832 5,483
COLO : 37.2 36.8 23.9 23.0 46 889 846
IDAHO > 160.0 161.0 26.0 26.5 3,496 4,160 4,267
MICH : 110.0 140.0 20.8 20.0 2,325 2,288 2,800
MINN : 311.0 310.0 16.7 19.0 5,088 5,194 5,890
MONT : 47.0 49.2 21.7 22.0 811 1,020 1,082
NEBR > 59.0 56.6 23.5 22.0 1,229 1,387 1,245
N MEX : 2/ 5 2/ 22.0 2/ 2/ i
N DAK > 163.8 164.0 17.9 18.0 2,423 2,932 2,952
OHIO : 15.0 16.0 20.6 19.0 258 309 304
OREG 128 13.3 30.0 = 29.0 319 384 386
TEX : 37.0 32.0 22.4 22.0 833 829 704
WYO > 50.5 53.9 19.8 20.0 1,032 1,000 1,078
US : 1,191.3 1,248.3 21.2 «21.7 22,529 +. 25,224 +=. 27,048

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CALIF. 2/ NOT ESTIMATED.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : ~:~ ‘IND: ~:~ IND: : : IND
: 1986 : 1987 : 1986: 1987: 1985 : 1986 : 1987
rn 1,000 ACRES —~—~‘TONS ~ 1,000 TONS.
FLA : 405.0 415.0 33.2 34.5 13,117 13,446 14,317
HAW : 90.2 88.0 95.2 97.5 8,129 8,587 8,580
LA : 270.0 285.0 27.3 26.0 6,006 7,371 7,410
TEX : 31.0 35.3 29.3 31.0 961 907 1,094
US 796.2 823.3 38.1 38.1 28,213 30,311 ~~ 31,401
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

SEPTEMBER 1987 A-17 NASS, USDA



RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about September 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided
appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on
their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided smal]
plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These
Surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampting type errors that are common
to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured
currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing
the deviations between the September 1 production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1967-86 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 5.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out’
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7,141 million bushets will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 5.1 percent or approximately
364 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that fhe difference will not exceed 8.8 percent or approximately 628 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 253 million bushels,
ranging from 15 million to 660 million bushels. The September 1} forecast has
been below the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS
10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
ANO FINAL ESTIMATE
CROP AND pg LEVEL 0 tt ene eennenereeeee ees

UNIT QUANTITY :NO. OF YEARS

FEED GRAINS 1/
CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR
GRAIN
ALL WHEAT
DURUM B
OTHER SPRING
RICE
SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS
COTTON BALES
V corn FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS, IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-3 NASS, USDA


Soil moisture supplies rate mostly short to adequate in Arkansas. Illinois
growing conditions have been excellent. Adequate rainfall and near normal
temperatures maintained good growing conditions in Kansas. Crop development
is well ahead of average. Some webworm and corn earworm infestation have been
reported in south central and southeastern Kansas. Louisiana's harvest
progress, at 44 percent completion, lags average by 10 points. Harvest was
about 10 days ahead of average in Missouri, on August 30. About 30 percent of
the Bootheel has been harvested. Nebraska crop conditions improved during
August to 94 percent good to excellent. Cooler temperatures the last half of
the month pushed coloring two weeks ahead of normal. Oklahoma's crop is in
good condition, aided by late August precipitation. Harvest is just
starting. The Texas harvest is winding down in central and southern areas;
fields in the Plains are maturing rapidly. Some early harvest has started in
the Low Plains.

ALL WHEAT: Total 1987 wheat production is forecast at 2.11 billion bushels

(57.5 million metric tons), up 1 percent from 1986. Area for
grain is 55.4 mitlion acres (22.4 million hectares), 9 percent less than last
year. Yields are now expected to average 38.2 bushels per acre, down 0.2 from
Jast month, but stil] 3.8 bushels per acre more than in 1986,

DURUM WHEAT: Production is forecast at 90.7 million bushels (2.47 million

metric tons) as of September 1. This is down 5 percent from
both 1986 and the August 1 forecast. Harvested area remains at 3.09 million
acres (1.25 million hectares), up 7 percent from last year. Yield prospects
have dropped to 29.4 bushels per acre, 3.8 bushels less than 1986 and dawn 1.7
bushels per acre from the August 1 forecast.

Montana's harvest neared two-thirds completion by the end of August, a
little behind average progress. Cool, wet weather during August slowed
harvest progress in North Dakota. This promoted weed growth and sprout
damage. As of August 30, 71 percent of the durum crop was harvested, compared
with the 5-year average of 60 percent. South Dakota's harvest was complete by
mid~August.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production for 1987 is now forecast at 457 million bushels

(12.4 million metric tons), down 3 percent from 1986 and
1 percent less than the August 1 forecast. Yields are expected to average
34.7 bushels per acre, 2.4 bushels higher than last season, but 0.4 bushels
less than last month. Area for grain harvest remains at 13.1 million acres
(5.32 million hectares), off 10 percent from 72986.

As of August 30, harvest had progressed to 86 percent completion in the 5
major producing States. This compares with 70 percent last year and the 76
percent average. Harvests were ahead of average progress in all States but
Montana, where wet weather has slowed the pace. South Dakota's harvest was
complete; Minnesota's is nearly finished. Open weather during most of August
allowed the Washington harvest to reach 94 percent completion by September |.

RICE: The 1987 rice production is forecast at 127 million cwt (5.75 million

metric tons), ] percent below the August 1] forecast and 6 percent below
the 134 million cwt (6.10 million metric tons) produced in 1986. Except in
1983 when the PIK Program was in effect, this would be the smallest production
since 1977.

Yield per acre is expected to average 5477 pounds per acre, 177 pounds
less than in 1986 but still the second highest yield on record. Yield is down
25 pounds from the August 1 forecast as a result af the 300 pound decline in
yield in both California and Louisiana and a 100 pound drop in Texas. Yield
is up 200 pounds in Arkansas and unchanged in Mississippi.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-4 NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1977-87 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR: : : HAY 3: : : : :

: ALL 1/-: FEED : AND =: FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO :

H : GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : H
1977, : =«+100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 =: 102 108 106 93 101 76 106 105
1979: «113 116 108 108 94 102 80 129
1980 : 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981 : 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982: #117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983: 88 67 100 W7 93 55 75 91
1984 =: 111 116 107 129 95 91 90 106
1985 : 117 134 106 121 97 93 79 V7
1986 : 108 123 106 106 106 68 61 110
1987:

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS
OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

APPROVED: AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Richard 0. Allen, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,
Robert L. Addison, Michael A. Hunst,
Thomas R. Birkett, Clifton D. James,
James E. Brewster, Doyle C. Johnson,

Arvin R. Budge, Van 8. Johnson,

( Hugh E. Bynum, Donald L. Keating,
Sammye Crawford, Daniel C. Ledbury,
dames R. Davies, Darwin £. Ransom,
William N. Dowdy, Joseph E. Sestak,

S. Radley Edwards, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler,
Dennis S. Findley, Charles A. Van Lahr,

Craig M. Hayes, John H. Waldrop,
Mark J. Helmkamp, John D0. Witzig.

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-2 NASS, USDA


PISTACHIOS: The California pistachio production forecast of 30.0 million
pounds (in-shel] basis), (13.6 thousand metric tons), represents
a 60 percent decrease from last year's record high crop of 74.9 million pounds
(34.0 thousand metric tons) but an 11 percent increase over the 1985 production
level of 27.1 million pounds (12.3 thousand metric tons). The current lower
forecast level is primarily due to the alternate bearing characteristic of
pistachio trees. Bearing acreage is 40.0 thousand acres, up from 35.9
thousand bearing acres in 1986. This estimate will result in a yield of 750
pounds per bearing acre, 12 percent below 1985 which was the most recent low
yield year in the alternate bearing cycle prior to this year. The 1987
pistachio crop appears to be in very good condition. Nut size and quality are
expected to be normal to above normal. Epicarp lesion and mite problems were
minor. Nut blanking appears to be slightly higher than most years. The
number of nuts per cluster is lower than normal. These factors, plus being on
the low cycle of an alternate bearing crop, means that production will be
considerably below last year. Harvest will begin around September 8.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-12 NASS, USDA


COTTONSEED: Production for 1987, based on a three year average lint-seed

ratio, is forecast at 5.04 million tons (4.58 million metric
tons), 33 percent above the 1986 production of 3.80 million tons (3.45 million
metric tons).

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Dry bean production is forecast at 24.7 million cwt (1.12

million metric tons), up 8 percent from last year and 11
percent above 1985. Area for harvest is estimated at 1.69 million acres (684
thousand hectares), 13 percent above last year and 14 percent above two years
ago. The average yield is forecast at 1460 pounds per acre, down 5 percent
from last year and 2 percent below 1985.

In Nebraska, an early August hailstorm hammered the heart of the dry bean
growing area, destroying several thousand acres and causing lost yield
potential in many fields that will still be harvested. Neighboring Wyoming
and Colorado also received some scattered hail damage.

Crop maturity in most areas is ahead of normal and harvest iS underway
generally. In California, harvest is active in all areas and should continue
through September. Washington harvest is 50 percent completed under good
conditions. The Idaho crop is maturing early thanks to early planting and
warming summer weather. Colorado fields received severe heat stress in the
dryland areas. Total production should not be adversely affected though
because of the use of irrigation in larger areas.

Michigan harvest started in  Jate August and should be heavy by
mid-September. Late planted fields are expected to yield more than early
fields and farmers are hoping for a frost free month. The North Dakota season
has been good, but not ideal where moisture was excessive. Harvest started in
late August. Minnesota harvest, on the other hand, began early and farmers
were able to take advantage of better harvest weather.

POTATOES: Summer potato production is forecast at 22.9 million cwt (1.04 mil-

lion metric tons), up 9 percent from last year but 1 percent below
the August 1 forecast. Harvest area is set at 99.3 thousand acres (40.2
thousand hectares), up 4 percent from fast year but 13 percent below the large
. 1985 acreage. The average yield is projected at 231 cwt per acre, 117 cwt
above Tast year, but 13 cwt below 1985.

Potatoes in Michigan were hurt by hot, dry weather in July and again by
excessive rain in August. Set was poor and digging became difficult in wet
fields. Lower prices in California were blamed for some acreage abandonment.
Variable weather in I?}inois--too hot in one locality and too wet in another--
Jed to some bypassed acreage.

Potatoes in Alabama and the Central Atlantic States are mostly harvested.
Early fields yielded well but later acreages became dry. Texas harvest was
slowing down by the end of August. Yields remained good throughout the
season. New Mexico growers are nearly finished diqging on the High Plains,
and busy elsewhere. Colorado harvest is about one-third completed.

POTATOES - 1986 FINAL: The final estimate of fail potatoes turned up 2 percent

more potatoes than last December's forecast. Fall
potato production at 318 million cwt (14.4 million metric tons) in 1986, was
JO percent below the record large 1985 crop, but 1 percent above 1984 output.
Harvested area totaled 1.04 million acres (419 thousand hectares), down 10
percent from 1985 and 5 percent below 1984. The average yield at 307 cwt was
just 1 cwt short of the record set in 1985.

All potatoes (Winter, Spring, Summer, and Fall) produced in 1986 totaled
362 million cwt (16.4 million metric tons), down 11 percent from the previous
year and slightly below 1984. Harvested area was 1.22 million acres (494
thousand hectares), off 10 percent from 1985 and 6 percent below 1984. The
average yield came in at 296 cwt per acre, down 3 cwt from 1985, but 17 cwt
above 1984.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 B-7 NASS, USDA



COTTON

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION 1/
: IND : : IND IND
1986 : 1987 : 1986 : 1987 1986 1987
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
313.0 333.0 506 505 545.0 330.0 350.0
249.0 308.0 1,301 1,294 928.0 675.0 830.0
ARK H 480.0 640.0 602 660 703.0 602.0 880.0
CALIF : 990.0 1,120.0 1,088 1,114 3,114.0 2,245.0 2,600.0
FLA 3/ : 19.0 23.5 707 735 32.5 28.0 36.0
GA : 195.0 255.0 455 621 370.0 185.0 330.0
KANS 3/: 1.0 9 336 587 4 7 1.1
LA 3 570.0 600.0 567 720 742.0 673.0 900.0
MISS : 1,000.0 1,090.0 571 749 1,655.0 1,190.0 1,700.0
MO : 160.0 189.0 588 686 204.0 196.0 270.0
N MEX 3 50.0 62.0 595 619 71.0 62.0 80.0
NC : 81.0 94.0 646 562 117.0 109.0 110.0
OKLA : 350.0 390.0 288 345 285.0 210.0 280.0
sc : 113.0 125.0 370 557 180.0 87.0 145.0
TENN : 335.0 395.0 567 608 419.0 396.0 500.0
TEX 2 3,450.0 4,250.0 353 407 3,910.0 2,535.0 3,600.0
VA 3/ : 1.3 1.7 554 508 1.2 1.5 1.8
us 2 8,357.3 9,877.1 547 613 13,277.1 9,525.2 12,613.9
AMER-PIMA :
ARIZ 3 73.8 84.8 965 962 108.7 148.3 170.0
N MEX 3 V1.1 12.0 718 700 11.3 16.6 17.5
TEX 3 26.2 31.0 751 697 35.1 41.0 45.0
us 3 11.1 127.8 890 873 155.1 205.9 232.5
ALL :
ALA 7 313.0 333.0 506 505 545.0 330.0 350.0
ARIZ 3 322.8 392.8 1,224 1,222 1,036.7 823.3 1,000.0
ARK 3 480.0 640.0 602 660 703.0 602.0 880.0
CALIF : 990.0 1,120.0 1,088 1,114 3,114.0 2,245.0 2,600.0
FLA 3/ : 19.0 23.5 707 735 32.5 28.0 36.0
GA 255.0 455 621 370.0 185.0 330.0
9 336 587 4 7 1.1
600.0 567 720 742.0 673.0 900.0
1,090.0 571 749 1,655.0 1,190.0 1,700.0
189.0 588 686 204.0 196.0 270.0
74.0 617 632 82.3 78.6 97.5
94.0 646 562 117.0 109.0 110.0
390.0 288 345 285.0 210.0 280.0
125.0 370 557 180.0 87.0 145.0
395.0 567 608 419.0 396.0 500.0
4,281.0 356 409 3,945.1 2,576.0 3,645.0
1.7 554 508 1.2 1.5 1.8
10,004.9 552 616 13,432.2 9,73)

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED. 2/ ~LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION
STATE  : ----------- 22-2 -- 22 een enn ee ee nen nnn en ee ne eee eee
1986

1,000 TONS

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A~13 NASS, USDA



AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

WINTER 1/ 2 FALL 1/ 2/
CALIF 2 5.1 4.8 CALIF : 17.0 19.0
FLA : 7.4 7.3 COLO : 57.0 $9.5
: CONN : 9 5
TOTAL : 12.5 12.1 IDAHO-10 SW CO : 17.0 18.0
: -OTHER CO : 293.0 322.0
SPRING 1/ : IND : 4.9 5.4
ALA : 4.9 5.0 MAINE 87.0 85.0
ARIZ 3 6.1 4.9 MASS 2.9 2.9
CALIF : 19.5 21.3 MICH 42.0 34.0
FLA-HASTINGS : 25.0 27.0 MINN 72.0 72.0
~OTHER : 1.0 2.2 MONT 7.8 7.7
LA : 6 5 NEBR 7.1 7.8
NC 3 13.9 13.9 NEV 9.0 8.0
TEX 3 6.4 7.0 N Y-LONG IS 9.0 9.0
z ~UPSTATE 24.0 26.5
TOTAL 3 77.4 81.8 N OAK 3 128.0 130.0
OHIO : 10.2 10.3
SUMMER OREG~MALHEUR 7.0 7.0
ALA 7.5 2 OTHER CO 46.0 49.0
CALIF : 6.8 +3 PA 22.0 22.0
cOLo : 6.9 5 RI : 1.6 1.5
DEL 3 7.0 i) S_DAK : 13.0 12.0
TLL 7 3.0 1 UTAH : 6.4 6.3
IOWA : 1.7 7 VT : al
MD : 1.7 9 WASH : 119.0 124.0
MICH : 13.0 9 WIS : 59.0 64.0
MINN 3 6.3 5 WYO : 2.2 2.5
NEBR : 2.3 +6 3
Nog z 8.2 5 TOTAL : 1,065.7 1,105.9
N MEX : 9.2 +0 :
NC : 2.0 +0 US 2/ 1 1,257.2 1,302.6
TENN 2 2.6 i) :
TEX 3 10.0 5 :
VA : 14.0 i) :
: 2

ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ 1986 REVISED.

TOBACCO

AREA HARVESTED

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CONN : 1,990 1,800 1,539 1,568 3,315 3,062 2,822
FLA : 5,300 5,600 2,510 2,500 16,318 13,303 14,000
GA : 31,000 34,000 2,190 2,300 82,080 67,890 78,200
IND : 5,900 6,000 2,050 2,050 14,560 12,095 12,300
KY 1537300 1533700 2,054 2,160 428,409 314,940 331,992
MD : 16,000 15,000 1,320 1,225 26,600 21,120 18,375
MASS : 470 520 1,323 1,470 781 622 764
MO o1/ 2,100 2,000 2,090 2,150 5,450 4,389 4,300

23040
1,750
1,800
2,200
2,007
1,750
1,650
23037

2,047

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1987 A-16 NASS, USDA