CORN FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED = t YIELD 3 PROQUCTION
: : IND ¢ 2: IND ¢ 3 3 IND
1982 1983 ¢ 1982 ¢ 1983 3 1981 3 1982 3 1983

STATE

1.000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA aso 300 66.0 $5.0 34,100 29,700 16,500
ARIZ 1 as 17 135.0 © 140.0 4,550 3.375 2,380
ARK 470 30 35 82,0 7 3/185 2,460 2,625
CALIF 37 2 330 270 130.0 132. 35/750 42-900 35-640
coLo : 830 585 133.0 140.0 © 108,230 110,390 81,900
CONN 2y 3
DEL : 182 150 102,0 75.0 15,385 18,569 11,250
FLA os 245 134 62,0 66.0 17,985 15,190 8,808
GA AIS 770 85.0 19.0 69,000 69,275 $3900
IDAHO 140 65 65 «120,0 «122. 7,130 7,800 7,930
Tue 2 114380 7,600 134.0 78.0 te454,080 1.5244920 608.400
Ind t 6320 4,600 129,0 75.0 654,000 815,280 345,000
TOWA : 13,150 8,400 121.0 90.0 1,758,950 1,5914150 756,000
KANS 3 1,230 920 114.0 90.0 148,050 140,220 82,800
Ky : 1,490 970 © 106.0 50.0 149,000 157,940 48-500
La wos 40 a5 78.0 80.0 2,409 3-120 3-600
MAINE 2/0 3
Md t 660 sso 107.0 65.0 72,450 70,620 35,750
MASS 2/3
MICH 2,820 1,650 109,0 95.0 600 307,380 1755750
MINN 6.500 4,370 113.0 102.0 700 «734,500 445,740
“Iss 1/ 90 60 62.0 6,440 5,580 4,480
MO 1,970 1,500 104.0 213,400 200,880 82.500
MONT 1/7 14 tt 109,90 850 1,400 1,210
NEBR : 6.940 4,900 = 111.0 191,200 770,340 494,900
NH 2s
NJ ot 112 105 102.0 12,375 11,824 8,925
N MEX 1/7 90 35 10,0 9,000 94900 6.875
NY 730 550 92.0 74,400 67,160 47,850
NC 14630 1,350 101.0 140,910 164,630 67,500
N DAK 1/ 520 350 68,0 41,553 35,360 26,000
oHTO 4,060 2,650 = 117.0 360,000 475,020 270,780
OKLA 17 60 45 100.0 90.0 3,850 6,000 4,050
OREG 1/ 34 20 140.0 145.0 2,970 4,760 2,900
PA 1-300 10150 97.0 70.0 134,400 126,100 604500
RT a
sc 3a0 290 90.0 60.0 33,060 30,600 17,400
3 DAK 2,040 1,700 73.0 68, 180,600 192,720 115,600
TENN 650 600 94,9 48.0 55,090 61,100 28,800
TEX 1,240 1150 105.0 10040 © 1274530 1194700 = 115,000
UTAH 1 17 18° 118.0 © 120.0 1,650 2,006 1,680
vt oa
va 595 375 10540 56,250 62,475 18,750
WASH 1/ 190 130 145.0 14,250 27,550 19,500
WvA Is 69 62 100.0 65256 6,900 35.704
wis 3,350 2,400 108,09 378,000 361,800 240,000
WYO 4s a9 46 105.0 52060 S195 2 060
us s 73,152 $1,564 114.8 85.1 8,201,598 8.397,334 4,390,

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED I FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COFFEE

PRODUCTION

1982-83

1 “saa pauNeS

JUL : 3,080 3,300 2,070 2,100° 3,699 4,470
AUG 3,145 3,435 2,130 2,020 3,284 3,400
SEP 3,200 2,135 3,406 2,520
2,130
23140
2,090
6

CROP AND STATE

TOTAL 1s

Leermcerconcorecnccevensercooee! IND

3 198%

z 1983

PEARS BARTLETT

CALIF 366,000 314,000 270,000
OREG 85,000 70,000 76,000
WASH 144,500 141,300 150,000
TOTAL 595-500 525,300 496,000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT
CALIF 10,000 7,500 7,500
OREG 120-000 105,000 120,000
WASH 1304800 124,500 130,000
TOTAL 2604800 237,000 257,500
ALL PEARS
CALIF 376,000 321,500 2772500
coLo 7,000 2,700 5,300
CONN 1,600 1,550 1,580
MICH 9,000 12,000 8,900
17,000 19,000 19,000
205-000 175,000 196,006
3-000 4,600 3,600
3-100 2,800 3,100
275,300 265,800 280,000
8977000 Boa, 950 . 794,080

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLO
(TONS)3 US 1981~3,050, 1982-1,220,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 8-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



U.S. SCYBEAN PRODUCTION

al 4

ry
asf . oe
7 rf % |

YEAR

PEANUTS: Production forecast at 2.91 billion pounds (1.32 million metric
~~ tons), down 17 percent from last month, 15 percent below 1982. Yield
forecast at 2185 pounds, off 454 pounds from a month earlier, drought reduced
Prospects in all States except Oklahoma.

Production in southeast (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina}
estimated at 1.90 billion pounds, 15 percent below 1982 despite the 9 percent
acreage increase this year. Yield expected 2443 pounds, down 679 from a year
ago reflecting the hot, dry weather. Alabama yield prospects 2200 pounds, off
500 pounds from a month earlier, 750 pounds below 1982. Digging just
beginning, full swing by mid-September. Georgia yield forecast 2500 pounds,
down 600 pounds from August 1, 715 pounds less than last year. Drought
severely reduced crop on runners in non-irrigated fields. Digging 8 percent
complete, lagging last year and average. Florida yield, at 2850 pounds, down
50 pounds from last month. Digging beginning, but 10 days late.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop estimated at 481 millfon pounds, 30
percent below 1982. Yield prospects 1980 pounds compared with 2854 pounds
Yast year. North Carolina yields expected 2000 pounds, down 600 pounds from
month earlier, off 825 pounds from 1982 average. Crop condition declined
steadily during August's continued hot, dry weather. Digging expected late
September. Virginia yield, at 1950 pounds, dropped 800 pounds from August 1.
Spotty rains during August of little benefit when combined with high
temperatures. Spider mttes, corn ear worm problems persist.

The crop in New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas is estimated at 526 millton
pounds, fractionally above 1982's 525 million pounds. Yield prospects, at
1698 pounds, up 65 pounds from last year. All three States anticipate higher
average ytelds than in 1982. Texas yield forecast 1500 pounds off 100 from
August 1, 55 pounds above the 1982 average. Cron fair to good. Harvest
underway south Texas about two weeks behind normal. Some non-irrigated fields
beginning to show stress from excessive heat.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

2 AREA HARVESTED = YIELO : PRODUCTION

STATE a <= pone neen en nne: weeeenee
: 2 IND 3 IND ?
: 1982 ¢ 1983 = 1962 2 1983: 1981 ¢ 1982 =
: 1-000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

78

ALA ast 625 470 34.0 24,860 26,400 15,980

ARIZ 1/ : 143 117 88.1 2 12,407 10,310

ARK 4/0 tt 1,760 1.375 39.0 67,650 6

CALIF 1/ ' 0125 m5 63.8 107,085

colo 1/3 3,048 3,010 38.7 87,877 116,600
g ag 43 41.0 1,720 1,763
t 1,480 970 34.0 46,010 32,980
z 14500 16275 68.7 89,780 37,625
: 1,500 1350 48.0 92,500 64,800
2 1,080 970 51.0 62,100 49,970
: 100 50 38.0 4,875 1,900
3 13,200 10,800 92.0 305,000 962,900 953,600
3 675 580 32.0 28,560 26,325 18,560
: 500 250 25.0 115550 19,000 74250
: 136 120 42.0 5.617 65120 5,040
$ 00 100 50.0 41,500 24,600
: 3,18 2,208 36.9 194,025 126,809
% 14050 600 34.0 24,000 39,900
3 2,230 1,850 38.0 115,500 75-820 70,300
3 5.360 4345 31.0 172,830 183.560 $34,735
: 2,900 2,300 43.0 104,400 101,500 98,900
z 29 an 67.6 1,850 1,890
3 48 35 40.0 2,352 1,968
2 530 450 30.0 11,000 13,250
: 125 150 44.0 7-040 5,438
3 600 480 35.0 19,500 21,600
3 10,490 7,190 27.1 331,700 330,785 = 195.150
$ 1,250 1,150 52.0 72,600 55,000 59,800
3 64900 4,300 35.0 172,800 227,700 150,500
: 1,200 1,055 61.5 774380 64,500 64,935
ra 228 215 39.0 9,720 8,208 8,385,
2 550 400 29.0 14,350 19,800 11,600
: 3,595 2,677 32.9 88,970 99-630 86.033
2 935 630 34,0 37,400 33-660 212420
3 6,000 4,600 35.0 183,400 149,000 161,000
3 266 208 38.4 9,575 9,572 7,995
: 370 320 a1.0 17,160 14,060 13.120
3 2,840 2,620 63.7 168,350 136,880 167,000
t 9 9 37.0 360 3ea 333
z 122 126 46.4 5/518 5*596 5,940
3 309 233 31,1 8,430 8.628 7.244

78,841 60,969

39,5 267985738 248085737 2,408,221
3 TES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

Peecceene.
YEAR ¢ HARD
2 RED

4,000 BUSHELS

1980 435,347 278,910 311,408
1983 676,467 310,449
1982 ’ 609,815 243,042
1983 1/t 1,187,936 510,137 278,770

2,374,306
2,798,738

1¢ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1983,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELO PER HECTARE

crop : INOICATED
: 1982 1983

: HECTAI METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN : 29 603 880 20 867 440 7.21 §.34
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 5 765 620 4 102 340 3.71 2.97

4 273 930 3 665 680 2.10 1.87

BARLEY 3 3 687 940 4 008 450 3.08 2.89
ALL WHEAT : 31 906 170 24 673 540 2,40 2.66

WINTER : 23 612 450 19 118 360 2,43 2.61

DURUM : 1 706 580 995 540 2.35 1.99

OTHER SPRING t 6 587 140 4 559 640 2.28 2.14
RICE + 1 316 050 908 930 5.32 $.19
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 28 645 170 24 988 800 2.16 1.67
FLAXSEED : 329 820 238 770 0.90 0.83
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 3 516 140 538 240 3.02 2.45
ALL COTTON : 3 937 030 3 015 510 0.66 0.56

UPLAND : 3 908 500 2 990 580 0.66 0.56

AMER-PIMA : 28 530 24 930 0.75 0.71
COTTONSEED :

ORY EDIBLE BEANS 3 714 040 450 820 1.57 1.54
POTATOES 2

SUMMER : 39170 37 800 24.85 20.97

TOTAL 1/ : $15 370 499 270 30.96
SWEETPOTATOES i 44 960 39 660 14,42 12.0)
TOBACCO : 367 380 322 860 2.45 1.92
SUGARBEETS : 417 150 424 280 46.23 45.50
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 307 320 314 730 87.88 87.77
HOPS 3 16 030 15 050 2.22 2.16
PEARS :

GRAPES :

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) :

PRUNES AND PLUMS :
(EXCL CALIF)

cea Ts 3

FILBERT: 1

WALNUTS (CALIF) :

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE 4.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
{METRIC UNITS)

CROP INDICATED INDICATED
1982 1983 1/ 1983 We
HECTARES METRIC TONS
RYE : 289 350 347 220 1.83 1,88
ALL HAY : 24 §56 180 24 440 850 5.63 )
ALFALFA : 10 743 710 10 223 280 7.64 49
ALL OTHER : 13 812 470 14 217 570 4.07 3.91
POTATOES 3
WINTER 3 4 450 4 450 23,07 22.73
SPRING : 31 570 30 510 29.54 25.99
FALL 2/ : 440 180 426 500 31.69
APPLES, COM'L :
PEACHES. :

SWEET CHERRIES
TART CHERRIES :
APRICOTS :
NECTARINES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF) :
OLIVES (CALIF) :
ALMONDS (CALIF)

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE 4. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


GRAPES

PRODUCTION

CROP AND STATE Bewemwewennnneenensennencee:
TOTAL 1/

: TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE :
CALIF : 420,000 602,000 490,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE :
CALIF 3 14794,000 2,402,000 2,000,000
GRAPES RATSIN TYPE DRIED 2/3
CALIF . 256,000 288,000
GRAPES RAISIN NOT ORIED
CALIF 755-000 1,112,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE
CALIF 2 1.779,000 3,134,000 2300,000
ALL GRAPES :
ARIZ ast 12,400 15,100 13,500
ARK st 6.000 10,500 94500
CALIF 2 3,993,000 67138,000 4,740,000
GA 2,600 2.500
MICH 53,000 58,500 60,000
“Oo 2.200 2.500 3,400
NY 150,000 157,000 180,000
nec 5-100 4,500 5.000
OHIO 10,300 9,000 8,000
PA 61,000 47,000 60,000
sc 2,400 2,500
WASH 3 159,000 168,900 225,000
OTHER STATES svt 52600
us 4,457,600 646164200 5,309,400

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLO
(TONS) # US 1981-600, 1982-780,200,

2/ DRIED BASIS,1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4,00
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1981 AND 5.25 TONS FOR 1982,

3/ FRESH EQUIVALENT OF DRIED AND NOT DRIED.

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

5/ GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA FOR 1981.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

CROP AND STATE

PRUNES (DRIED BASIS)

CALIF ? 159,500 126,000 135,000
PRUNES AND PLUMS 3

IDAHO 3 7,500 7,000 7,200
MICH 3 164000 11,000 14,000
OREG : 38,000 30,000 26,000
WASH 2 14,600 11,500 15,000
TOTAL & STATES 76,100 59,500 62,200

AND PLUMS = INCLUDE:
AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS)? U 8 1981-2,500,
1982=7,000,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRATN

2 AREA HARVESTEO

STATE

1982 ¢ 1983 1982

1,000 ACRES RUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 1s 65 55 40,0 36,0 2,146 2,600
ARIZ 13 18 84,0 86.0 2,158 1,092
ARK 263 310 60,0 49,0 16,986 15,780
CALIF 130 70 77,0 76.0 6,880 10,010
coLo 380 310 34,0 34,0 12,775 12,920
GA vs 135 80 42,0 35.0 4,455 5,670
me oY 82 5 80,0 60.0 5,548 66560
IND wv 13 7 50.0 720 949
TOWA 17 10 15 70,0 1,600 650
KANS, 3,350 2,400 43,0 238,520 207,700
KY wv 3A 38 2,250 2.812
ta vs 175 170 2,992 7,875,
MISS 1/ 115 a7o 3,872 6,900

640 75,200 704470

62.0 164,800 121,910

38,0 12,240 14,870
49.0 4,134 3,710
33.0 22,050
35.0 576
40,0 19,565
47.0 4,200
49,0 273,420
44,0 539

47,4 879,222 841,979

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

PRADUCTION

IND

1,980
1,548
15,190
5,320
10,540
2,300
4,500
350
1,050
120,400
2,470
7,650
14,580
30,080
66,960
6,080
2,000
11,550
980
12,000
4-700
156,800
484
480,012



2 AREA HARVESTE!
state feereerecaweeererecen:
‘ ‘ Ind 3
’ 1982 8 1983 ¢
’ 1,900 ACRES
1
MINN ' t10 To
N OAK 8 475 415
’ 230 105
'

STATE

ALA

ARK

OEL vs
FLA Ms
GA

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983

815

AREA HARVESTED

1962

+
1982 2

BUSHELS

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

IND

1983

1,000 ACRES

2,050
4,550

270

$78
2.550
9.410
4,580
6,350
1,810
1,660
2,950

19400
34900
245
910
1,950

YIELD

3 IND

,1982 2

BUSHELS

B-8

1983 ¢

16.0
18.0
25.0
25.0
17,0
28.0
2A.0
33.0

t

1981

198t

46,460
99,000
7,020
11,080
39,900
351,500
151,800
326,000
45,300
47,850
64,165
10,915
29,100
139,200
752600
155,550
784660
4,872
46,250
6,440
99,750

Y
t

PRODUCTION

1,000 BUSHELS

PRODUCTION
IND
1983 3

t
1982

1000 BUSHELS

1,056
64050
34335

11,635

1962 ¢

$3,300
109,200
6,480
15,606
68,850
366,990
183,200
320,625
47,060

82,600
4,250
52,500
7,245
138,010

INO

1963

980
4,960

IND
198.

1,5
3

78
s

3

261.3

.
65e1
3,0!
29,3:
13,2
101,61

?
2260
25,2
32.6)
8,5

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS,

60
50

00
59
40
SO
80
00
a0
80
aS
40
00

USDA


@ARLEY

YIELU PRODUCTION

IND r IND of

1983 1982 W9As 2 1981

1,900 ACRES RUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ARI? 1s 63 35 105,09 106.0 8, 0A5 6,615 3.710
CALIF 1/ 500 62.9 = S720 © 40, 320 38,449 28,500
coo 210 74,00 7540 18,600 15,750
DEL os 47 ST7.0 55.0 1,300 2,585
TpAHO 1,000 69,0 73,0 63,130 73,000
KANS 1 AS a9 HALO 16664 4,080
Ky v 25 45,0 58.0 2,016 950
Ce 8959, SK.0 S.040 5,162
MICH 14 : 34 56,0 54,0 12352 1.836
MINN t 455 SAl4 52.9 57,680 44,460
MONT 3 49 44,0 54,760 AL,490
NEAR M7 of 4 45.0 975 2,475
NEV ts ot 75,0 1,650 2,325
wo: 57.0 1-037 1,026
woot 67.0 1/876 1,273
wo: Si. 3,410 3,060
: 44.0 105,600 118,800
yt 37.0 16550 1,258
t 67.0 114700 18,090
woe 56.0 4,104 3,920
tv : 40.0 teter 920
: 44,0 20,060 24,690
woe 55.0 2.400 2.475
: 73,0 11,088 12,012
wot 60,0 5,917 5.400
: 70.0 44,080 59,500
wot 50.0 550 450
yoo: 5e.0 1,550 2,030
t 70.0 8,978 10,640
53.7 479,333 5316727

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CUPRENT YEAR CAHRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


3 PRODUCTION

TOTAL

CROP AND STATE

3
FILBERTS z
OREG 3 14,000
WASH 3 300
vs : 14,700
WALNUTS, t
CALIF t 225,000

PECANS

: PRODUCTION

CROP AND STATE

1,000 POUNDS
PECANS IMPROVED

ALA 21,000 14,000 21,000
ARK 1,250 300 900
FLA 2-000 2,000 1,600
GA 96.000 105,000 90,000
wy 2,500 4,000
MISS 3.000 6,000
N MEX 25,000 24,000
ne 900 900
OKLA 300 1,500
sc 1,200 14100
TeX 14,000 20,000
us 174,550 168,200 171,200
PECANS NATIVE & SEEDLING
ALA 13,000 9,000 9,000
ARK 2 4,250 200 2,100
FLA 2 3,009 2,500 2-200
GA 2 24,000 20,000 20,000
LA z 19500 7,500 19,000
MISS 3 3,000 1,000 3,000
NC 3 2,200 1,000 1,100
OKLA : 44,500 1,700 13,500
sc : 4,100 1,000 900
TEX : 47,000 3,000 45,000
us 5 164,550 46,900 115,800
ALL PECANS :
ALA t 34,000 23,000 30,000
ARK : 54500 500 3,000
5,000 4,500 4,000
120,000 125,000 110,000
24,000 10,000 23,000
8.500 4,000 9,000
20/000 25,000 24,000
4,200 1,900 2,000
47,000 2,000 15,000
8,900 2,200 2,000
62,000 17,000 65,000
339,109 215,100 287,000

1/ RUDDED, GRAFTED. ED VARIETIES,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, Washington forecast 496 thousand tons
(450 thousand metric tons), down 6 percent from both August 1 forecast and
1982, California harvest complete. Early pears did not size well. Russeting
affected quality throughout State. Some pears harvested befare reaching full
size to accomodate buyers. Washington pears generally good size and quality.
Harvest should be complete mid-September. Harvest about half finished in
Oregon by September 1.

Production of Pacific Coast pears other than Bartlett forecast at 258
thousand tons (234 thousand metric tons), unchange: rom month earlier, 9
percent above last year's crop. Harvest continues in California, expected to
begin soon in Washington. Fruit developing nicely in Washington.

‘ Pear harvested started in southwest Michigan, size below normal, quality
mixed.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop forecast at 5.31 million tons (4.82 million metric
tons), 10 percent below last month's estimate, 20 percent less than
last year's record high crop.

California production, at 4.74 million tons, down 11 percent from August 1,
23 percent below last year. California raisin variety grape forecast at 2.30
miliion tons, down 36 percent from last month, percent less than 1982.
Damage from August rains and high humidity evident in many vineyards; yields
reduced. Shelf-life of fresh grapes shortened. Raisin lay reached 80-85
percent by September 5. California wine variety grape forecast at 2.00
million tons, 5 percent below last month, 17 percent less than Vast year.
Rains in southern San Joaquin Valley, coastal and southern areas caused some
bunch rot problems, especially for varieties with tightly-filled bunches.
Damage not severe; growers selectively picking to minimize losses. California
table variety grape forecast 440 thousand tons, 12 percent below last month,

percent less than 1982. Unseasonable rains, additional burn damage from
July heat wave and rot and mildew resulting from high humidity lowered crop
prospects.

Michigan grape production continues at 60.0 thousand tons, 3 percent above
1982. The New York grape crop forecast at 180 thousand tons, up 6 percent
from last month, and 15 percent more than 1982. Concord crop excellent.
Delaware, Aurora varieties good while Niagara, Catawba below normal.

The forecast in Pennsylvania, at 60.0 thousand tons, up 13 percent from
last month, 28 percent above a year ago. Quality, yields appear excellent.

The Washington grape crop forecast 225 thousand tons, up 2 percent from
August 1, 33 percent above last year. Excellent crop development with harvest
to begin week of September 12.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California prune production (dried basis) forecast at 135
thousand tons 22 thousand metric tons), unchanged from

duly 1 forecast, 7 percent above last year’s crop. Yields variable, quality

reduced somewhat due to brown rot problems. Harvest nearing completion.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, Washington
forecast at 62.2 thousand tons (56.4 thousand metric tons), up 2 percent from
August 1, 5 percent above last year. Harvest in full swing in Michigan with
good fruit quality and size. Picking underway in Oregon with some weather
related probiems.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh production forecast at 2.52 million pounds (1140 metric

tons) for September, down 26 percent from both previous month and
same month last year. Production expected to increase in the next two months
to a peak of 4.95 million pounds (2250 metric tons) in November before
dropping to 4.00 million pounds (1810 metric tons) in December.

August fresh production estimated at 3.40 million pounds (1540 metric
tons), down 24 percent from July, up 4 percent from a year ago. Total area in
crop increased 4 percent in August from previous month, but harvested area
dropped to 2020 acres (820 hectares).

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

A heat wave, centered in the central and northern Plains, persisted
throughout the month. Average temperatures for the month were 8-100 warmer
than normal in the central and northern Plains and 4-709 warmer in the
eastern end of the Corn Belt. The unusually warm temperatures and scarcity of
rain caused severe stress to crops through the Corn Belt and the central and
northern Plains. Much of the Corn Belt had less than half the expected rain,
The eastern end of the Corn Belt fared somewhat better than other areas but
showers were spotty. Some welcome showers fell in the Southeast during the
first week of the month but much more was needed and little rain fell until
the end of the month when shower activity increased. In the third week of the
month Hurricane Alicia crashed onto the southeast coast of Texas and then
spread rain northward into the Plains, (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint
Agricultural Weather Facility.)

AUGUST CROP DEVELOPMENT

Hot, dry weather persisted through August from the Rocky Mountains
eastward. Unseasonably hot weather advanced small grain maturity, promoting
rapid completion of combining in the northern Plains and Great Lakes region.
Limited precipitation and hot temperatures put row crops under increasing
moisture stress and caused rapid deterioration of pastures and ranges from the
southern and central Plains through the southern Corn Belt and Appalacians
into the Southeast. Hurricane ATicia damaged some crops in southeastern
Texas, but brought needed moisture northward into the central Plains vate in
the month. Widespread showers at the month's end aided soybean sizing in
portions of the Corn Belt and the Southeast, but the benefit to the corn crop
was limited due to the late stage of development in most areas.

At the beginning of September, corn was in mostly poor to fair condition,
except in the West, northern Plains, Great Lakes States, and the lower Delta
where fair to good conditions were reported. Farmers in the Midwest and
Southeast diverted their poorest grain acres to silage as conditions became
drier. In the 17 major producing States, 94% of the corn was in or past the
dough stage on September 4, compared with the 90% average. Sixty-four percent
had reached the dent stage, 5 percentage points ahead of normal. Harvesting
was underway as far north as Maryland and Missouri at the end of August.

Soybeans were in poor to fair condition in most producing areas on
September 1. Widely scattered showers in Tate August aided the filling of
pods in portions of the eastern Corn Belt and benefited late-planted soybeans
in the extreme Southeast. However, some blossoms and pods were lost due to
moisture stress and additional rain is needed in nearly all areas to prevent
further stress and promote good development. Growers across the northern
Plains increased insecticide applications to control large populations of
caterpillars and grasshoppers. In the 18 major States, 97% of the crop had
bloomed by September 4 and 90% had set pods. Normally, about 98% has bloomed
and 92% has set pods. As the month ended, fields began dropping leaves as far
north as the southern Corn Belt.

Cotton was in mostly fair condition, except in Missouri and the Southeast
where fair to poor conditions prevailed at the beginning of September.
Moisture stress caused some boll droppage in portions of Texas and the
Southeast. Boll set was virtually complete in all States by the end of
August. Bolls had opened on 18K of the acreage in the 14 major producing
States, compared with the 29% average. Harvesting had begun in Georgia and
was 10% finished in Texas at the end of the month. Spraying was active in
many areas.

Sorghum was in poor to fair condition, except in Colorado and Texas where
fair to good conditions were reported. Dryland fields were severly stressed
across the southern Plains due to dry conditions. In the seven major
producing States, heading was complete on 91% of the acreage and turning color
on 53% by September 4. This compares with the 96% average for heading and 59%
turning color. Harvesting moved northward into the Texas Blacklands and was
62% complete in that State, as the month ended.

“ Winter wheat combining was nearly complete at the end of August. Plowing
for the 1984 crop was active. However, seeding was delayed from the southern
Plains into the western Corn Belt by extremely dry soils. By September 4, the
Colorado crop was 6% seeded, the Nebraska crop was 3% seeded and Tess than 5%
was planted jin Montana. Spring wheat combining reached 95% completion in the
five major producing States, well ahead of the 74% average. Warm temperatures
caused rapid maturity and early combining in most areas. Idaho, with 53%
harvested by September 4, was the only State behind normal.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PRODUCTION 1/7 27

’ AREA. HARVESTED

STATE Secenverswonnnnecanewnnanes. pacer ena neeeeneenewenenn scene
t : IND : INO
t 1982 ¢ 1983 1982 3 1983 1982 3 1983
1,000 ACRES PounDs 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF +5 14700 1,650 1,660 850 825
IDAHO 3.6 16730 14720 51610 6.401 64192
OREG 6.3 16800 1,750 12,384 13,140 11,025
WASH 26.8 24070 2,000 59,470 58,167 53,600
vs 37.2 14984 «14926 = 79/140 78,558 = 71,642

3/ 1963 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991.

2/ INCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS): 1961-WASH. 90,000,
1982-WASH, 5,000,

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE

: AVERAGE
t 1972=81

2 1972~81 ¢

PERCENT

PERCENT
16 86 60 NEV 2 16 95 102
70 19 a7 NH t 83 82 73
69 89 ag NJ : 75 18 51
73 90 92 NW OMEX of 75 79 65
72 ag 87 ny t 79 7 m1
9 62 61 NC : 7 a7 a2
74 82 67 N DAK ¢ 67 78 69
OnIO 86 19 48
OKLA 70 17 59
ORFG 82 8a 98
PA : 79 7 St
RI 3 R2 82 86
sc 3 72 8a 36
S PAK ¢ 66 8s 80
TENN 19 88 ar
TEX : 66 58 61
UTAH ot 73 92 107
VT : 19 82 81
vA 80 94 as
WASH $ 19 80 oT
WVA of as a3 54
WIS : 7 82 74
#0 : a1 95 9a

63

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79) VERY POOR, 50-647 SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-493 EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP
AND

STATE 2
1983 ¢ 1982 1983 t 1981
cwr 1,000 Cw
WINTER 1/ 3
CALIF 7 4.7 2as 260 896 931 1,222
FLA 3 6.3 185 160 1,302 1,332 1,008
i
TOTAL 8 11.0 206 203 2,198 2,263 2,230
SPRING 1/7 +
ALA : 4a 170 125 720
ARIZ ' 4.9 305 290 1,456
CALIF : 24,5 37s 330 10,296
FLA@HASTINGS : 20.0 240 210 5,023
*OTHER : 1.2 210 155 240
LA 2 1.0 80 $0 128
NC : 13.8 160 140 22062
TEX : $2.9 190 185 840
TOTAL t 75.4 264 232 20,765
SunmER :
ALA : 93 150 us 1,365 14290
CALIF 3 8.0 365 320 22960 3,066
coLo t 5.9 260 265 1,904 1,664
OFL z 5.4 290 200 1,248 1,566
TLt 7 2.3 265 220 ses 5a3
IND t 1,5 220 125 272 aia
TOWA 2 1.6 205 126 270 308
MO a 1.6 205 ans 312 328
MICH ? 8.0 200 475 1,453 1,560
MINW 7 Sal 2Aas 270 1,647 VeS8L
NERR 3 Aal 160 210 220 160
ad : a0 260 190 25066 2,054
N MEX 4a 280 300 945 1,260
ne 3.9 115 11a ano 409
OHIO 1.2 250 210 228 300
TENN 2.5 9S AS 279 2s7
TEX 9.3 240 2a0 1,541 2,088
va 14,3 435 70 2,320 2.228
TOTAL 93.4 222 187 20,035 21,960
FALL ert
CALIF 3 18.5 410
coLo : 45.0 265
CONN 7 1.8 235
IDAHO#10 Sw Co ¢ 25.0 349
wOTHER CO ft 314,0 265
IND 3 323° 280
MAINE 2 106,0 ass .
MASS: 3 3.5 eto
MICH of 33.0 2as
MINN 3 64.0 180
MONT 3 7.4 260
NEBR : Bat 265
NEV 3 13.0 x15
N Y*LONG IS 1 18.5 270
UPSTATE z 27.0 260
N DAK 2 115.0 150
oHIN a5 24s
OREG*MALHEUR CO 10.5 370
@OTHER CO 2 42.0 410
z 23.5 2as
: 3.0 ao
: 10.0 155
: 5.8 225
26 215
2 110.9 ano 52,920
: 64.5 60.0 350 18,190
2 5.2 5.3 190 1,060
31,087.7 1,053.9 283 295,593 307,526
:
aft 1,273.5 1,233.7 276 338,591 351,808

1/ ESTIMATE FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ 1982 REVISED,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarity on yield
surveys taken about September }. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided
appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on
their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small
plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These
surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common
to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured
currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the “Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the September ] production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1963-82 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years,

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 5.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 4390 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 5.0 percent or approximately
220 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level}
that the difference will not exceed 8.7 percent or approximately 382 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September } forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 281 million bushels,
ranging from 79 million to 671 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 8 times and above 2 times. This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

ROOT MEAN Square ERROR

10- YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

QUANTITY :NO. OF YEARS

ELOW : ABOVE
INAL : FINAL

0% CONFIDENCE
LEVEL

CROP AND
UNIT

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT
CORN FOR GRAIN BU

SORGHUM FOR t
GRAIN BU:
OATS BU:
BARLEY BU:
ALL WHEAT BU :
DURUM BU :
OTHER SPRING BU :

RICE CWT:
SOYBEANS FOR :

BEANS BU:
COTTON BALES 2

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
(METRIC uNITS)

“PRODUCTION

AUG 1,

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 2 223 302 110 733 (014 700 14) 522 390
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 21 364 390 14 284 750 12 3192 870
OATS 8 955 450 7 318 460 6 858 910
BARLEY 11 373 630 12 068 780 11 576 990
ALL WHEAT 76 441 290 65 968 620 65 541 040
WINTER 57 377 050 $3 430 720 53 800 850°
DURUM 4 014 370 2 203 290 1 984 450
OTHER SPRING 1§ 049 870 10 334 610 9 755 740
RICE 995 120 4 856 480 4714 140
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 61 969 130 50 170 730 41775 010
FLAXSEED 295 540 210 700 197 400
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 1 559 590 1 591 780 1 318 000
ALL COTTON 2 604 540 1 700 310 1 692 910
UPLAND 2 §83 050 1 683 330 1 675 270
AMER-PIMA 21 490 16 980 17 640
COTTONSEED 4 303 680 2 839 490 2 833 140
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1 123 270 712 410 694 400
POTATOES
SUMMER 973 400 803 850 792 560
TOTAL 1/ z 15 957 660
SWEETPOTATOES 3 648 180 523 130 476 180
TOBACCO : 899 130 686 840 618 300
SUGARBEETS 3 19 286 750 19 352 970 19 306 710
SUGARCANE FOR 3
SUGAR AND SEED z 27 006 890 27 745 340 27 624 680
HOPS 3 35 630 32 500 32 500
PEARS : 730 280 747 160 720 400
GRAPES : 6 002 120 5 350 030 4 816 610
ORTED PRUNES (caLtF) 3 124 310 2/122 470 122 470
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

{EXCL CALIF) : 53 980 55 160 56 430
PECANS : 97 570 130 180
FILBERTS : 17 060 7 710
WALNUTS ( CALIF) : 212 280 190 510 163 290
V/ 1982 REVISED. 2/ JUL 1, 1983.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)
PRODUCTION
INDICATED
1983 1/

: METRIC TONS

RYE : 528 780 652 760
ALL HAY Hy 138 276 720 132 053 440

ALFALFA : 82 112 010 76 531 010

ALL OTHER : 56 164 710 58 522 430
POTATOES 2

WINTER z 102 650 101 150

SPRING 3 932 540 792 830

FALL 2/ : 13 949 070
APPLES, COM‘L : 3 678 610 3 801 540
PEACHES t 1 039 900 893 480
SWEET CHERRIES z 143 520 147 700
TART CHERRIES 2 141 020 64 360
APRICOTS 3 102 420 94 800
NECTARINES (CALIF) z 156 940 72 370
PLUMS (CALIF) : 107 500 154 220
OLIVES (CALIF) : 132 450 59 870
ALMONDS (CALIF) 157 400 113 400

\/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARG FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1982 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PECANS: The season's first forecast for 1983 U.S. pecan crop 1s 287 million
— pounds (130 thousand metric tons}, in-shell basis, 33 percent more
than Yast year’s crop, 15 percent below 1981. About 60 percent of crop
expected to be from improved varieties compared with 78 percent in 1982, 51
percent in 1981. Georgia crop forecast at 110 million pounds, 12 percent
below last year's crop, 8 percent less than 1981. Smaller crop because of
spring freezes and erratic summer weather conditions, Nut sets spotty; sizes
reported below average. Reduced yields partially affset by increased bearing
acreage.

The pecan crop in Atabama forecast at 30.0 million pounds, 30 percent
above last year, 12 percent below 1981. Lousisiana expects crop of 23.0
million pounds, 130 percent more than Jast year, 4 percent less than 1981,
Oklahoma production forecast 15.0 million pounds, compared with only 2.00
million pounds in 1982. The Texas crop forecast, at 65.0 million pounds,
nearly 4 times larger than last year, 5 percent above 1981 harvest. New
Mexico forecast at 24.0 million pounds, 4 percent below last year, 20 percent
above 1981 crop.

FILBERTS: Production of filberts in Oregon, Washington forecast at 8500 tons

(7710 metric tons), in-shel) basis, down 55 percent from last year's
production, 42 percent below 1981 crop. Heavy brown stain and a poor set
decreased crop prospects to the lowest level in several years. Preparing
orchards for harvest--expected one week earlier this year.

WALNUTS: September 1 California walnut crop forecast at 180 thousand tons (163

thousand metric tons), in-shell basis, down 34 percent from last
month's forecast, 23 percent less than last year's record high production.
Nut sets and sizes down this year. Fair quality anticipated.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED

: PRODUCTION

STATE
IND ¢ ' IND
1983 % 1982 1962 1983
2 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
:
ALA as 825 aro 32.0 34,0 24,860 26,400 15,980
ARIZ 1/0 64 62 84.0 90,0 3,569 5,376 5,580
ARK 1s 16760 10375 39.0 39.0 67,650 68,640 53,625
CALIF 170 1,000 650 70.0 62,0 92,400 70,000 40,300
coun 1st 3,000 2,950 28,0 38.0 83,875 84,000 112,100
Ok sk a9 a3 42.0 | 41.0 1,720
GA wot 1,480 970 33.0 34,0 46,010
IDAHO + 920 800 s 65.0 557680
TUL yt 1,500 1,350 48.0 92,500
IND vs 2 1,080 970 51.0 62,100
TOWA 1/2 100 50 36.0 4,875
KANS 3/7 3 13,200 10,800 42.0 305,000
KY v : 675 580 32.0 28,560
La oot 500 250 29.0 11-550
Mo wot 136 120 42.0 5617
MICH 1¢/ $ 600 700 50.0 41,500
MINN 1/7 86 80 36.0 9,625
MISS 1/ : 1,050 600 34,0 24,000
Mo woot 2,230 1,850 38.0 115,500
MONT : 2,120 2.280 35.0 89,250
NEBR 1/0 2,900 2,300 43.0 104,400
NEV is 15 11 70.0 1,050
NJ 4s 2 48 35 40.0 2,352
N MEX 17 : S30 450 30.0 11,000
NY wv : 125 150 44.0 7,040
NC af 8 600 480 35.0 19,500
N DAK 1/0 ¢ 140 170 33.0 3,510
OHIO 1/ : 1,250 1,150 52.0 72,600
OKLA 1/ 3 6,900 4,300 35.0 172,800
OREG t 1-100 970 63.0 73,200
PA wot 228 215 39.0 9,720
sc vw z $50 400 29.0 14,350
$ DAK 7 t 1,100 1,200 40.0 30,420
TENN 17 630 34.0 37,400
TEX wv : 4000 4,600 35.0 183,400
UTAH 1/ : 233 185, 37.0 8,225
vA yoo 370 320 41.0 17-160
WASH + 2,560 2,400 65.0 161,310
WVA Is ¢ 9 37.0 360
wis 1/0 3 9a 105 50.0 4,650
wo o1/ 0 ¢ 285 212 28.0 Bie 9 8, 7250
us t 58,347 47,202 Boel

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECA

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION }WE"

Statistical Reporting
Released: september 12, 1983 Service
3:00 P.M. ET

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production forecast at 4.39 billion bushels (112 million metric
tons), down 16 percent from August 1 forecast and 48 percent below last
year's record high. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production
is 4.01 to 4.77 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production forecast at 480 mittion bushels (722.2 million metric
tons), down 15 percent from last month and down 43 percent from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) expected to
total 142 million metric tons, down 44 percent from 1982.

SOYBEAN production forecast at 1.53 billion bushels (41.8 million metric tons),
33 percent smaller than record crop of 1982, 23 percent smaller than 1981.
The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast is 1.43 to
1.64 billion bushels.

ALL WHEAT production forecast at 2.4] billion bushels (65.5 million metric
tons), down 14 percent from 1982 record high. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this production forecast is 2.36 to 2.46 billion bushels.
Winter wheat forecast at 1.98 billion bushels (53.8 million metric tons), 6
percent less than 1982. Durum wheat production forecast at 72.9 million
bushels (1.98 million metric tons), down 51 percent from last year. Other
spring wheat production at 358 million bushels (9.76 million metric tons),
35 percent below last year's record high.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye and rice) expected to total 70.9 million
metric tons, down 16 percent from a year earlier.

ALL COTTON production forecast at 7.78 million bales, 35 percent below 1982
production. The 90 percent confidence interval for this forecast is 6.78
million bales to 8.77 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production expected to total 1.36 billion pounds (618 thousand
metric tons), 31 percent below the 1.98 billion pounds (899 thousand metric
tons) produced in 1982, 34 percent below the 1987 crop.

RIKKI IARI AIK IK IKI IK IAI IR IAAI ASIII IA IRIS AIA IAA IIESIAR IA IA IAEA IIIA
* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *

* should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 - *
* South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021). *

FERIA IRR IK II AAS RIKI III IAI IIIS ISI III SII IAI IIA III IAAI IARI I IIA III IIIA,

CrPr 2-2 (9-83) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production forecast at 480 million bushels (12.2 million

metric tons), 43 percent less than last year, 45 percent

less than 1981, Yield, forecast at 47.4 bushels per acre, 11.6 bushels less

than 1982 and 16.7 bushels less than record high 64.1] bushels per acre set in
81.

Hot, dry weather during August reduced crop prospects in al? major States
especially Central Plains. Eighty six percent of sorghum headed in 7 major
States on August 28, slightly behind average. Harvest lagging behind in Texas
where reduced plantings and poor prospects cut crop to one-half of year ago.
Kansas yield prospect dropped 17 bushels during August to 43 bushels, equal to
drought year of 1980, and one bushel below the 1976 yield. Many fields
showing small or blank heads, firing. Missouri yield, at 47 bushels, dropped
17 bushels during August, 34 bushels below Tast year. Both Nebraska and
Arkansas yields down 11 bushels from last year, South Dakota yield off 6
bushels.

OATS: Production forecast at 473 million bushe?s (6.86 million metric tons),
23 percent below last year, and second smallest crop since 1882. Area
for harvest unchanged from August 1, at 9.06 million acres (3.67 million
hectares), smallest since 1980. Yield at 52.2 bushels per acre, down 3.5
bushels from Yast month, 6.2 bushels below last year's record high, 1.9
bushels below 1981.

Production declined 6 percent from August 1 forecast due to hot, dry
conditions in Northern plains. Harvest near completion in north central major
producing States: South Dakota yield down 7 bushels from Tast month, and 12
bushels below 1982, Minnesota down 7 bushels from August 1 and 9 bushels below
last year, North Dakota down 2 bushels from August 1 and 4 bushels from 1982.

BARLEY: Production forecast at record high 532 million bushels (11.6 million
metric tons), up 2 percent from previous record set last year.

Average U.S. yield forecast at 53.7 bushels per acre, down from 57.3 in 1982.
Production forecast down 4 percent from August 1. Yield prospects down 6
bushels from last month in North Dakota and Minnesota; down 1 bushel in
Montana and South Dakota. Yields reduced by extremely high temperatures and
little or no rain in August. Harvest virtually complete in these States by
months end. Expecting record highs yields in Western States; Arizona,
Colorado, Idaho, New Mexico, Oregon, Wyoming. Barley remaining for harvest in
Northwest in good condition.

ALL WHEAT: Combined production of winter, other spring and durum wheat for:
1983 estimated at 2.41 billion bushels (65.5 million metric tons),
down 14 percent from 1982 record high.

Harvested area, at 61.0 million acres (24.7 million hectares), down 23
percent from last year.

Yield expected to average record high 39.5 bushels, 3.9 bushels above
previous record last year.

WINTER WHEAT: Production forecast at 1.98 billion bushels (53.8 million metric
tons), 6 percent below bath 1982 and 1981.

Harvested area, 47.2 million acres (19.1 million hectares), 19 percent
Jess than both 1982 and 1981.

Yield record high 41.8 bushels per acre, 5.7 bushels above last year, 4.9
bushels above previous record high set in 1979. Idaho yield up 2.0 bushels
from last month -- Washington yield up 5.0 bushels.

Harvest rapidly approaching comptetion northwest, well ahead of normal
except Idaho where 78 percent was harvested September 4, compared with 85
Percent last year, and average of 83 percent.

DURUM WHEAT: Production forecast at 72.9 million bushels (1.98 million metric
tons), down 10 percent from last month, 51 percent less than
1982, 61 percent below 1981 record high.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FOOD GRAINS DOWN 16 PERCENT FROM LAST YEAR

food grain production (wheat, rice and rye) expected to total 70.9 million
metric tons, 16 percent less than last year. September |} forecast down 1
percent from last month because of reduced prospects for wheat and rice.

FEED GRAIN PRODUCTION DOWN 44 PERCENT FROM LAST YEAR

Production of feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats and barley) expected to
total 142 million metric tons, down 44 percent from record high production in
1982. Corn production down 16 percent from August 1, sorghum down 15 percent,
oats, down 6 percent, and barley off 4 percent.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain forecast at 4.39 billion bushels
(112 million metric tons), down 16 percent from last month
and 48 percent less than a year ago.

Acreage for grain harvest now forecast at 51.6 million acres (20.9 million
hectares), down 850 thousand acres from last month. Some acreage diverted to
silage because of dry weather.

Corn continued to deteriorate during August as hot, dry conditions
persisted across Corn Belt and Southeast. Great Lakes States received some
moisture; crop conditions better although hot weather reduced Minnesota and
Wisconsin yield prospects. Conditfons in Western States have been good.

U.S. yfeald set at 85.1 bushels, down 14.8 bushels from last month and
lowest since 1974. Drought reduced yields substantially in major States.
Towa and Illinois, each show 24 bushel reductions from last month. B8ushels
per acre and declines from last month in the other major producing States:
Indiana, 75--17; Minnesota, 102--12; Nebraska, J01--12; Ohio, 95--15;
Wisconsin 100--3 bushels.

In Southeast, harvest underway as far as Virginia.

U.S. CORN PROOUCTION

SEPTENRER 1960
4 MULION oupeLs
eb
ab
et
sk
al
a [ >
2b <
iL ‘
.

TM 78 6 ”

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUGASBEETS v

PROOUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

STATE nee eewennnnnne=, oo werner enone nncnseeee
: IND : IND
+ 1982 2 1983 1982 5 1983
1,000 ACRE: . TONS 1,000 TONS

ARIZ 12.8 300 298

CALIF 165.0

coLo 46.0

TOAHO 136.0

KANS 965

MICH 96.5

MINN 253.0

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEEO

PY 2 IND ¢ 2 IND ¢ s . IND
cy 1962 ¢ 1983 : 1982 s 1983 8 1981 2 1982 & 1983

1,000 ACRES

1,000 Tons

377,0

32.0 10,019 12,613 12,064

9,081 8,997 9,700
7,134 74030 7,420
1,174 1,130 1,267

27,408 29,770 30,453

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


NAL GROUP

SEASO!
1962 t= 1983
:

1,000 ACRES

WINTER
CALIF CALIF 18.5 19.0
FLA colo 45.5 44.5
CONN 1.8 1.4
TOTAL TDAHO*10 SW CO 25.0 25.0
“OTHER CO 320.0 310.0
SPRING IND 3.4 3.2
ALR MAINE 107.0 95.0
ARIZ MASS: 3.5 Bal
CALIF MICH 35.0 35.0
FLASHASTING MINN 71,0 70.5
SOTHER MONT 7.5 7.3
LA NEBR 1 8.2 766
nec NEV : 13.0 12.0
Tex N YeLONG IS 3 18,8 16.5
UPSTATE z 2A.0 25.5
TOTAL N DAK : 122.0 424.0
onra : 10.0 9.5
SUMMER OREG@MALHEUR ot 10.7 9.2
BCR <DTHET CO R268 a0.0
CALIF PA : 24,0 22.0
cova 3 3.0 2.8
DEL 11.0 16.5
TLL 3 5.8 5.0
IND 2 +6 “6
Towa : 110.0 103.0
wo 3 66.0 63.0
“ICH : S.3 5.4
MINN :
NERR 2 Aykl7. 1,076.6
NJ :
NOMEX 3 1,307. 1,265.2
ne ’
oHTO 3
TENN A
TEX ’
va :
TOTAL t
a. 2,

1/ 1982 REVISED

ALL TOBACCO

AREA HARVESTED.

PRODUCTION

0
1982 $ 1983 3 1951

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

cann 24670 2,100 1,590 14693 52695 4,200 3,555
FLA 9,300 6,000 2,255 2,000 22,848 20.972 16,000
GA 50,000 45,000 2,110 2,000 121,000 105,500 90,000
IND 8,600 7,500 24350 1,150 18,800 20,210 8,625
KY 239,100 202,400 2,418 1,500 509,576 577,100 303,600
LA wv 45

MD 27,000 26,000 1,390 950 33,000 37,530 24,700
MASS : 550 400 16615 = 14600 1,970 Bs 720
mo ao: 2,900 2,900 2,050 9 2,000 6,076 5,945 5,800
nc 2 325,040 286,000 2,156 14690 795,909 700,669 540,540
OHIO z 14,400 12,000 1,500 22,854 31,460 18,000
PA : 13,000 12,000 14730 274265 25,885 20,760
sc z 59,000 54,000 2.025 1494580 1244195 109350
TENN : 82,610 72.450 1.540 61,463 1786117 111,573
vA t 61,670 55,800 1,600 158,797 125,384 89,280
WVA 2st 1,990 2,000 1,900 2,430 3,591 3,800
wis : 10,100 9200 1,829 26,353 20,136 16,827
us + 907,840 797,750 14709 2,063,611 1,982-245 1,363,130

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1981 CRUP.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FEED CROP PROSPECTS” ]
Seema

Q

LB
EP

“Relative concions of srospects fs ixicated by repos om crop cerespondert onal ceo
sn ss

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


STATE

INO
1962 + 1983

1962 t 1983 198% 2

1,000 ACRES RUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 17 40 40 52.0 46.0 2,360 2,060 1,840
ARK 7 33 $5 62.0 68.0 2,100 2,046 3,740
CALIF 3/ a0 40 62.0 64.0 32600 2,080 24560
coLo 17 50 so 56.0 56.0 1,750 2,800 2,800
GA wv 90 8S 61.0 58.0 4,500 5,490 4,930
IDAHO 1/ 46 aa 69,0 69.0 2,760 3,174 3,036
TLL os 200 180 59.0 61.0 13,530 11,800 10,980
IND 95 80 64.0 57.0 52525 6,080 4,560
TOWA 1,000 800 56,0 50.0 59,520 56,000 40,000
KANS 1/ 160 5 47.0 50.0 9,000 7,520 5,750
KY Vv 7 6 44.0 42.0 288 308 ase
MAINE 1/ 40 40 60,0 65.0 36010 2,400 2.600
“0 uv 19 16 58.0 56.0 14100 1,102 896
MICH 450 300 63,0 52.0 21,080 28,350 15,600
MINN 1,630 15250 66.0 57.0 90,090 107,580 71,250
Mo uv 78 54 41.0 46.0 4,590 3,198 2,480
Mont 150 Lae St. 45.0 4,809 7,650 6,759
NEBR 4s 300 5A.0 45.0 15,A00 24,650 13,500
Ngo oy 6 5 56.0 56.0 385 336 280
ny 260 195 65.9 53.0 17,920 18,200 10,335
nc oY a5 80 57.0 53.0 4,698 4,845 4,240
N DAK 16150 1,300 54.0 30.9 44,160 62,100 65,000
OHIO 340 240 70,0 64.0 17,010 23,800 15,360
OKLA 1/ 90 75 38,0 50,0 3,780 3,420 3,750
ORES 90 6S 75.0 77.0 44550 6,759 5,005
PA 335 300 59.0 54.0 20,010 19,765 16,200
sc ow 50 40 58.9 49.0 2,208 2,900 1,960.
$ DAK 22230 1,650 60.0 48.0 79,520 133,800 79,200
TENN 1/ 9 9 45.0 44.0 B16 405 396
TeX 1/ 290 500 37.0 ABO 18,860 104730 24,000
UTAH 1/ 15 13 64,0 63.0 798 960 619
va Vv 17 22 aa.o 50.0 9a 816 1,100
WASH 17 2s 33 60.0 62.0 1,600 1,500 2,046
WA Mf Wy 10 S2.0 S1.0 618 Sol S10
wis 930 850 $2.0 53.0 52,606 48, 360 45,050
Wyo Vv ss 66 35.9 S70 24295 3,025 3,762
us 10-561 2,058 58,4 52.2 509+ 167 6160981 aT2, 541

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIFO FORMARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


oo co

ao

co

SUBSCRIPTIONS:

Report Title

Agr'l Prices (12 Issues)
Agr'l Price Summaries (2 issues)
‘Agr'l Price Annual
Farm Prod. Expenditures
Cattlish (12 issues)
Cattle (14 issues)
Cattle on Feed (12)
Cattle (2)
Celery (12 issues}
Cold Storage (13 issues)
Monthly
Annual
Crop Production (16 Issues)
Monthly
Annual Summary
Acreage
Prospective Plantings
Smail Grains
Dairy Products (13 issues)
Monthly
Annual
Egg Products (12 issues)
Eggs, Chickens & Turkeys (16 issuea)
Monthly
Annual
Poultry: Production, Disposition,
and Income
Hatchery Prod. Annual
Turkeys:
Poultry: Production,
Disposition and Value
Hatchery Prod. Annual
Turkeys.

ORDER FORM
CROP REPORTING BOARD REPORTS
Subscription Fee
Domestic Foreign Report Title
bahes been © Grain Stocks (5 lasues)
” 2 Grain Stocks (4)
7 a ‘Soybean Stocks (1)
O Hogs and Pigs (4 issues)
He 7o08 Livestock Slaughter (13 leaves)
. Monthly
= 7 Annual
10.00 20.00 © Mitk Production (13 isaues)
23.00 28.78 monthly
Milk: Production, Disposition,
~ 7 and Income
_ D  Non-Citrus Fruits (2 Issues)
29.00 30.28 Mid-year supplement
~ ~ Annual
= UO  Potatoes & Sweetpotatoes (7 issues)
a Potato Stocks (6)
7 " Potatoes & Sweetpotatoes (1)
on 5, «U_~ Poultry Slaughter (12 issues)
20.00 25.00 2) Rice Stocks (4 issues)
= = C1 Vegetables (13 issues)
Seasonal
Byes ae 7s Annual
00 Mid-year Report
HOW TO ORDER

April 1983

Subscription Fee
Domestic Foreign
$9.50 $11.00
7.50 9.40
20.00 28.00
18.00 22.50
5.50 6.90
11.00 13.75
18.00 22.50
7.00 8.75
21,25

17.00

use “Foreign” price. Allow 6 weeks for processing.

Write check or money order payable to: Superintendent of Documents.

ial

Enctosed is $ check,

Cl money order, or charge to my prepaid
Superintendent of Documents Deposit
Account No.

Order No..

Credit Card Orders Only
Total charges $____Fill in the boxes below.
Credit

eee

ration Date
Meuvves CLIT)

Please send me the subscription(s) | have indicated above.

Company or persona! name

fiat ie

FOR OFFICE USE ONLY

QUANTITY

‘CHARGES!

Publications:

‘Subscriptions.

[Special charges .
JOPNA.....

|Special shipping charges ___|
[Internationet ancting.

are Piiiidiiitiiiiiits hy Ti se
PITPLLI VILLI tii tii ti ti iti —— sarc

PLEASE PRINT OR TYPE

|—_____ efung

Mail this entire page to: Sppecineandent of Documents
S$. Government Printing Office
Wathingtone D.C. 20402

Check the title of each subscription group you wish to order. Calculate the total charges and enter below with com-,
plete name and address information. If address is outside United States,


WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250
AGRICULTURE
AGA 101

UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF > a
FIRST CLASS Prxcrng

OFFICIAL BUSINESS
PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE, $300

To stop meting [7] oF to change your
addreas ([} sens thie eneet with tadel
intact, showing new eddress, to Crop.
Reporting Board Publications, $RS. U.S.
Dept. of Agricutture, fn 5829 South
Building. 14th & independence Ave. 8.W.,
Ween, D.C. 20280



PEANUTS FOR NUTS

sosens wdeeee Reeeeneecenne

: AREA HARVESTED ? . YIELO ' PRODUCTION

Hy
1983 ? 1982 3

: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS

ALA 3 177.0 163.0 26950 26200 602.730 522,150 402,600
FLA ’ 51.0 56.0 3,000 2,850 176,200 153,000 159,600
GA : 472.0 525.0 3,215 2,500 1,655,450 1,517,980 1,312,500
MIss ist 125730
NOMEX 270 10.8 11.0 2,500 24,900 25,220 27,500

c : 147.0 147, 2,000 555-560 415,275 294,000
ORLA : 86.0 84.0 2.100 189,280 174,580 176,400
s.c : 12.0 13,0 1,600 39,000 30,000 23,400
TEX 2 225.0 215.0 1,500 393,250 325,125 322,500
vA 3 96.0 1,950 330,750 275,500 187,200
us fs 1,330.0

2,185 3,981,850 3-438,330

2.905.700

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1981 CROP,
27 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

COTTON

PRODUCTION 1/7

“AND Powe ne ewes new nwe enn nent nen enn ewe n enna n ene ee enn en nn ee enew nn nnenenees
STATE * IND ¢ : : Ind
3 1982 1983 ¢ 1982 1982 1963
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
COTTON, UPLAND .
1) 285.0 195.0 175 505 460.0 205.0
ARIZ 3 465.0 290.0 14130 1-092 1,095.0 660,0
ARK ry 390.0 310.0 657 965 $34.0 300.0
CALIF 1 16370.0 1,077 995 3,073.0 2,000.0
FLA yt 1 627 a1 19.6 12,3
GA 2 714 461 235.0 120,0
tA 2 702 $62 870.0 480.0
MISS : 853 653 1.760.0 1,020.0
“oO 2 608 263 204.0 0
NEV yu t 617 o oF 9
Ww OMEX t Sst 598 78.0 6,0
nec 3 699 366 102.0 45.0
ORLA 2 254 219 238.0 160.0
sc ’ 783 487 155.0 70.0
TENN : 638 357 339.0 160,0
TEX 3 8,300.0 3,500.0 301 3ee 2,700.0 2,350.0
vA RTA : 3 3 640 320 3 hd 2
us $ 9,658.0 7,389.8 590 $00 15,566.1 11,863.9 7,694.5
30.8 760 764 53.7 65.9 49,0
11.0 S11 480079 10.0 411.0
19,8 561 509 18.0 22.8 21.0
61.6 672 O31 79.6 98.7 81.0
: 195.0 775 505 422.0 460.0 205.0
: 320.8 1,100 12061 1,160.9 709.0
: 657 465 $34.0 300.0
t 1,077 GIS 54$35,0 3,075.0 2,000.0
2 627 621 21.3 19.6 12.3
t 114 4o1 159.0 235.0 120,0
: 702 562 742.0 870.0 480,0
3 853 653 1,565.0 1,760.0 1,020.0
t 648 263 168.0 204.0 51.0
2 617 0 1,5 9 20
3 546 S76 140.9 88.0 72.0
: 699 366 95.0 102.0 95.0
s 254 219 440.0 238.0 160.0
: 783 487 164.0 155.0 70,0
3 638 357 315.0 339.0 160.0
+ 303 323° 5,663.0 2,722.8 2,371.0
va wo 3 3 640 320 3 4 .
us : 9,728.5 TAS 4 590 501 15,645,7 11,962,6 7,778.5

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED,
2/ 480~L8, NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-9 -CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN BU 8,397,334 5,236,558 4,390,443

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ” : 841,079 562,366 480,012
OATS " : 616,98) 504,207 472,547
BARLEY « : $22,387 $54,315 531,727
ALL WHEAT “ : 2,808,737 2,423,932 2,408,221
WINTER . : 2,108,246 1,963,243 1,976,843
DURUM “ : 147,503 80,957 72,916
OTHER SPRING * : 552,988 379,732 358,462
RICE CWT 1/ : 154,216 107,067 103,929
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU : 2,276,976 1,843,459 1,534,969
FLAXSEED : 8,295 7,535
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 3,509,300 2,905,700
ALL COTTON 7,809.5 7,775.5
UPLAND 7,730.5 7,694.5
AMER-PIMA 78.0 81.0
COTTONSEED 3,130 3,123
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 18,706 15,309
POTATOES
SUMMER 17,722 17,473
TOTAL 2/
SWEETPOTATOES 11,533 10,498
TOBACCO 1,514,220 1,363,130
SUGARBEETS 21,333 21,282
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 30,584 30,451
HOPS 71,642 77,642
PASTURE AND RANGE 3/
PEARS 823.6 794.7
GRAPES 5,897.4 5,309.4
ORTED PRUNES, LGGALIF) 4/135.0 135.0
PRUNES AND
(EXCL CALIF). 60.8 62.2
PECANS 287,000
FILBERTS 8.5
WALNUTS (CALIF) 210.0 180,0

V/ YIELD IN POUNDS. ay 1982 REVISED. 3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION
AS OF FIRST OF MONTH, THE 1972-81 AVERAGE IS 74 PERCENT. 4/ JUL 1, 1983.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

~~ RODUCTION
INDICATED
1983 1/

CROP AND UNIT

RYE BU >

ALL HAY TON 145,564
ALFALFA " 84,361
ALL OTHER . " 61,203

POTATOES
WINTER CHT 2,230
SPRING . 17,479
FALL 2/ "

APPLES, COM'L tB 8,381,000

PEACHES “

SWEET CHERRIES TON

TART CHERRIES LB

APRICOTS TON

NECTARINES (CALIF) *

PLUMS (CALIF) “

OLIVES (CALIF) "

ALMONDS (CALIF) LB

Vy ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM TEARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1982 REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COTTON: Production expected to total 7.78 miliion bales, down 35 percent from

1982, Tess than 1 percent below August 7 forecast. Upland forecast
at 7.69 million bates, 35 percent betow last year and American-Pima at 81.0
thousand bales, down 18 percent.

Area for harvest estimated at 7.45 million acres (3.02 million hectares),
down 23 percent from Jast year. Average yield forecast at 501 pounds, 89
pounds below last year's record high.

Southeastern States production forecast at 440 thousand bales, less than
half 1982 and 16 percent below August 1. Showers beneficial in Alabama and
Georgia. Extremely hot, dry conditions in North Carolina and South Carolina
caused fruit shedding and premature opening of bolls.

Production in Delta States forecast at 2.01 million bales, 46 percent
below last year, down 4 percent from August 1. Yield prospects declined
during August in Northern part of Delta under influence of presistant hot, dry
weather. Yield prospects remain fair to good in South Mississippi and parts
of Louisiana. Most cotton has cut out and bolls are opening.

Upland production in Oklahoma and Texas forecast at 2.51 million bales, 15
percent below 1982, up § percent from jast month. The crop developed rapidly
under hot, dry conditions but harvest remains behind tast year’s progress with
onty about 7 percent of the Texas crop harvested by September 1. Oryland
acreage suffered from heat and moisture stress but yield prospects good for
irrigated cotton.

Western States upland production forecast at 2.72 million bales, down 36
percent from last year, unchanged from August 1 forecast. Crop made good
Progress under favorable weather conditions but is about one week behind last
year. Showers and high humidity about mid-August caused some boll rot and
interrupted insect contro} measures in the Imperial Valley and Arizona.

Bureau of the Census reports 315,078 running bales ginned prior to
September 1 compared with 453,251 bales ginned to the same date last year and
426,516 bales ginned in 1981.

COTTONSEED: Production in 1983, based on a three year average limit-seed ratio
~~~ forecast at 3.12 million tons (2,83 million metric tons), 34
percent below last year.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production forecast at 15.3 million cwt (694 thousand metric
tons), 38 percent fess than last year, down 3 percent from
the August 1 forecast. Production expected to be lowest since 1967, due
primarily to smallest harvested acreage since 1921. Average expected yield of
1374 pounds down 2 percent from last year’s 1404 pound average and lowest
since 1978. Yield prospects down from last year in the northern border States
from Idaho east to New York, up from last year's other producing areas. Yield
expectations improved in irrigated areas of Nebraska, Wyoming and Washington.

Michigan's August weather favorable with prospects holding steady; crop 10
days behind norma). Warvest expected to become active mid-September.
California's crop progressing well, earlier planted fields being harvested in
southern areas of San Joaquin Valley. Harvest beginning in Idaho where late
Crop suffered severe hail damage during August in some areas- Hot, dry Avgust
weather reduced yield prospects in North Dakota, Minnesota. North Dakota's
crop over 80 percent podded, ahead of last year, behind normal of 87 percent.
Some beans windrowed in Wyoming first of month. Nebraska harvest underway and
expecting to be well along by mid-month.

POTATOES: Summer potatoes forecast 17.5 million cwt (793 thousand metric

ons}, | percent below last month, 19 percent less than last year.
Area for harvest estimated 93.4 thousand acres (37.8 thousand hectares), down
4 percent from last year. Five hundred additional acres lost during August in
Indfana and New Jersey where potatoes abandoned in field. U.S. average yield
dropped 2 cwt from August 1 to 187 cwt per acre, weit? below last year's
average of 222 cwt per acre.

Harvest of Virginia's Eastern Shore virtually complete by end of August.
Crop output Tess than half last year's total, devastated by hot, dry weather
duly and August. New Jersey harvest behind schedule with 60 percent
complete. North Carolina production down 4 percent from Jast month. Alabama
and Tennessee production both 17 percent below last year. Both States
registered lower forecasts than a month ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


California Imperial Valley harvest complete with below normal yields.
Harvest nearly complete in southern San Joaquin Valley. Fall harvest in
northern California will start after mid-September with below normal yields
expected due to late plantings.

Idaha outlook detertorated somewhat during month. North Dakota sugarbeets
mostly fair to good condition. Southern valley remained quite dry but
northern area received heavy rain Jate in month. Limited harvest scheduled to
begin after Labor Day.

Michigan weather in August favorable for putting on tonnage, Colorado
beets progressed normally. Nebraska conditions good but only moderate
prospects for late plantings. Montana beets grew rapidly in August with good
water supplies and hot weather. Harvest expected to start early, about
September 20. Around 2500 acres of beets in Wyoming's Big Horn Basin suffered
hail damage but have renewed top growth, look good, but about 2 weeks late.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at record

high 30.5 million tons (27.6 million metric tons), up 2 percent
from year ago, fractionally lower than August 1 forecast. Average yield is
forecast at 39.2 tons per acre, same as 1982. Higher production caused by 2

percent acreage increase.

Florida sugarcane in good condition, growing rapidly under near ideal
conditions. Cutting for sugar should begin in October.

Hawaii's harvest slightly ahead of normal. Favorable weather conditions
benefiting crop development and harvesting operations, Yields expected to
average a little above normal, Rainfall sufficient in non-irrigated areas.

Louisiana sugarcane condition good. Cane shorter than year ago due to a
cool spring and dry June and July. Excessive rain during August helped growth
but hampered efforts to begin planting.

Texas sugarcane continues to develop well under warm, sunny conditions.
Irrigation has been steady, wit! increase if hot, dry weather continues.
Insect problems minor.

HOPS: Production forecast 71.6 million pounds (32.5 thousand metric tons), un-
changed from August 1 forecast, 9 percent less than last year. Area

for harvest estimated at 37.2 thousand acres (15.1 thousand hectares),

unchanged from last month. Yield at 1926 pounds per acre, also unchanged.

Harvest has begun. Uneven development affected Idaho harvest. Crop
appears in good shape in Oregon despite earlier mildew problems, Growers in
Washington expect good yields.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Condition on September J, 63 percent of normal for 48

contiguous States--19 points below year ago, 11
points below 1972-81 average. During August, conditions worsened in 38
States, unchanged in 2, improved in 8. Continue hot, dry weather during
August further deteriorated conditions from west Texas north across midwest.
Conditions across South to portions of northeast continued to deteriorate
during August. Extreme drought extends from tip of Alabama to southern
Pennsylvania.

LEMONS: The first forecast for the Arizona 1983-84 lemon crop is 6.50 million
boxes, 29 percent above last season and 3 percent more than the
utilized crop harvested in 1981-82. The California Desert Area lemon forecast
is 3.70 million boxes, Compared with 2.55 million boxes utilized last season
and 2.80 million boxes in 1981-82. An estimate for the 1983-84 total

California lemon crop will be issued on October 12.

Harvest in Oistrict 3, Arizona-Oesert Valley, began in August with crop
making normal progress.

PEARS: Final forecast of U.S. pear crop 794 thousand tons (720 thousand metric

tons), 4 percent reduction from August 1, 1 percent less than 1982
crop. New York forecast increased 500 tons from Aug. 1, did not offset drop
in California Bartlett production.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP_SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELO PER ACRE

CROP AND UNIT

1,000 ACRES

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 73,152 51,564 85.1
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN “ 14,247 10,137 47.4
OATS " : 10,56? 9,058 52.2
BARLEY ” : 9,113 9,905 53.7
ALL WHEAT ” : 78,841 60,969 39.5

WINTER “ : 58,347 47,242 41.8
DURUM « : 4,217 2,460 29.6
OTHER SPRING " + 16,277 11,267 31.8

RICE CWT 1/: 3,252.0 2,246.0 4,627
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS Bu : 70,783 61,748 24.9
FLAXSEED “ : 815 590 12.8
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB 3 1,275.4 1,330.0 2,185
ALL COTTON BALE 2/: 2 7,45) 590 507

UPLAND “Use 238 500

AMER-PIMA "Os 631
COTTONSEED TON :

ORY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/: 1,114.0 1,404 1,374
POTATOES :

SUMMER CWT oo: 93.4 222 187
TOTAL 2/ “ : 1,233.7 276

SWEETPOTATOES ” : 98.0 129 107
TOBACCO LB : 979.8 2,183 1,709
SUGARBEETS TON: 1,048.4 20.6 20,3
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED ” 3 777.7 39.2 39.2
HOPS LB 2 37.2 1,984 1,926
PASTURE AND RANGE 3/ = PCT: 82 63
PEARS TON
GRAPES .

ORIED PRUNES (CALIF) “
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) "

PECANS 1B:

FILBERTS TON .
WALNUTS (CALIF) "

SEE FOOTNOTES oN PAGE Ana.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(OOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1983 1/

INDICATED
1983 1/

1,000 ACRES

RYE BU ! 715 858 29.1 30.0
ALL HAY TON + 60,679 60,394 2.51 2,47
ALFALFA ” > 26,548 25,262 3.41 3.34
ALL OTHER ” 3 34,131 35,132 1.81 1.74
POTATOES :
WINTER CWT 11.0 11.0 206 203
SPRING “ : 78.0 75.4 264 232
FALL 2/ . : 1,087.7 1,053.9 283
APPLES, COM'L LB
PEACHES .
SWEET CHERRIES
TART CHERRIES
APRICOTS
NECTARINES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF)
ALMONDS (CALIF)

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-4.

CROP AND UNIT

(CONTINUED)
CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

BARLEY wc ceccsccnscesecensencecene tener sseseeseeseneteeeneee 8- 4
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ....
COFFEE ..

CORN FOR GRAIN cece c eee nec ec eee cence nee neneseeeeeeteeeense B- 1
COTTON cose cece ect ene cee n reece n et eee e reese seceenateseeaee B- 9
COTTONSEED 22... cceevevenncnceencsesevennrece seen cece eseeeees B-T0
CROP PROSPECTS MAPS ...scecsscncectncenceseececteceesttensees A- 8
FLAXSEED ..... eee eee eee eee reer . B- 8

GRAPES ....0..,
HOPS cescsccccccr veneer escsescrenersteeteneeeenetesvattreeeee B-14
CITRUS wesc cece eee n erence were enn tener eter ee eteee eee seeaaes B-15
NUTS cecceennccctccen seen nearer e neste sees teen earennsetennenes B-17
OATS coc ceee cece renee eee n cscs eee etter eset eee e en eeee ese nenees Be 3 oii
PAPAYAS-HAWAIIL ws ecccccseuecceccecc ttre enseeeneeesen et eeeeees B-18
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION .. ccc eee cece ee nee er eee eees B-14
. A- 9

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS ..

PEANUTS FOR NUTS ..cccsveecsrccceccteeccstveceneeseeeresenees B- 9
PEARS cecccecccercnreecsee ene ee nest tee en bee eee senna nteeneees 8-18
PECANS ccccceccccrrcceeesceeerrenne eer eeaesseeeeeennereeener B-17
POTATOES .. cece see cece cence ence eres ee nee tenn eennsesseeeene B-11

eee eee rere eres B-16

PRUNES AND PLUMS .....eeseseeees

RICE .
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ..

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS ...cceeec cece cect reeersereeateeeesettenees B- 8
SUGARBEETS cc cccceccccecceccccreccacsreeseeseenseseeneseeeees B-13
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED 2... cc ceseeeccccnnceenccnteeneas 8-13
SWEETPOTATOES wo cece cc eee n cece eee n eset eeet teens teen estensees 8-10
TOBACCO BY STATES .e.cecceeeceeeceucteetectaeeeeeeeeaeneeeeee B-12

US SUMMARY .
WHEAT, BY CLASSES .. seeee 5
WHEAT, ALL seccceereccereecestveeceeetenentteeeacrensesseeree B- 5

7

WHEAT, DURUM oo. c eee ec cece ener cree eter eect eneeeeseeenseennes B-
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING ..cccsccccccevecscrceacneceeesrecesenrees B- 7
WHEAT, WINTER . oc rccccceccccetccecccceereestennetennscseeeees Be 6

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

‘*U.B. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1983-390-929:5RS-1315


OURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED

STATE

2 BUSHEL 1,000 BUSHELS
ARIZ 1/7 3 89,0 86.0 18,275 7,031 4,730
CALIF 1/0 93.0 82.0 14,685 11,625 5.330
MINN 2 39.0 36.0 5,400 3,042 1,368
MONT : 30.0 23.0 11,040 10,200 4,715
N DAK 2 32,5 130,790 12 125
8 DAK 3
us :

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

2 AREA HARVESTED ¢ YIELO PRODUCTION

IND ¢
1983 3 1962

z 1,000 ACRES 1,000 BUSHELS

:
colo 1/3 48 4,002 3,504 4,500
IDAHO t 580 34,100 41,760 35,625
MINN : 3,020 134,000 120,800 77,330
MONT 2 2.900 725540 92,800 $0,220
NEV t/t 14 800 840 650
N DAK 1 6,900 197,400 213,900 135,000
OREG 1/  ¢ 100 4,180 4,000 3.825
8 DAK 2 25350 $2,800 58,750 37,800
UTAH 1/0 3 33 1,350 1,650 1,150
WASH 3 280 7,040 13,440 11,000
WIS 1/0 3 28 BoB 896 690
wo tft 24 180 648 e72
us : 16,277 509-260 552,988 358,462

17 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

AREA HARVESTED
STATE ferwwenweeennsennee=
IND
1982 2 19B3 3

PRODUCTION

: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 cwT
ARK = 14330.0 935.0 4,299 4,250 69,610 57,037 39,738
CALIF t 535.0 337.0 6.A50 6,800 40,924 36,651 22,916
ua 3 598.0 385.0 4,160 4,000 27,078 24,862 15,400
MIss z 235.0 155.0 4,200 14,792 9.870 62510
“Oo wos 55.0 4,200 34099 3,582 22310
TEX 2 379, 4,500 27,239 22,214 17,055
us : 2246.0 4,627 182,742 154,216 103,929

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1973-83 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

Vv INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN,

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
Prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington
headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
W. H. Walther, Acting Chairperson,
G. L. Clampet, Secretary,

APPROVE D: O. W. Barrowman, R, L. Schulte,
J. L. Aschwege, C. R. Brantner,
R. L. Addison, M. A. Anderson,
W. T. Brannen, J. E. Brewster,
J. S$. Buche, A. R. Budge,
( BGL. T. J. Byram, 6. W. Danekas,
B. L. Ford, C. D. James,
0. C. Johnson, S. A. Kellogg,
G. A. Nelson, D. E. Ransom,
J. L. Rutz, A. J. Torvi,
W. W. Wilken, tL. S$. Williams.

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



CITRUS FRUIT Vv

: PRODUCTION PRODUCTION
cRoP : BoxES TON EQUIVALENT

AND UTILIZED INDICATED: UTILIZED
STATE 2 1981282 t 1962063 ¢ 1983064 2 1981-82 * 1982-83 ¢ 1983-84
1,000 UNITS 27 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES,EARLY MID
& NAVEL Bet
ARIZ 3 900 1,050 34 39
CALIF 3 26-6500 40,200 994 1,508
FLA 3 74,000 70,200 3,330 3,159
TEX 2 3,610 3,590 153 152
us 2 105,010 15,040 4,511 4,858
ORANGES, VALENCIA =
ARIZ : 2,150 2,750 61 103
CALIF z 15,400 33,000 578 1,238
FLA 3 51,800 69,300 2,331 3,118
TEX : 2-330 2,090 99 89
us 2 71,680 = 107,140 3,089 4,548
ALL ORANGES 3
ARIZ 3 3,050 3,800 115 142
CALIF 5 41,900 73,200 1,572 2,746
FLA 2 125,600 139,500 5661 6,277
TEX : 5,940 5,680 252 241
us $ 176,690 222,180 7,600 9,406
TEMPLES: '
FLA : 3,200 4,700 144 ait
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE =
SEEOLESS 3
FLA 3 27,300 21,600 1,160 926
GRAPEFRUIT. PINK = :
SEEDLESS :
FLA $14,800 12,800 629 544
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT =
FLA : 6,000 4,800 255 204
ALL GRAPEFRUIT +
ARIZ : 2,400 7 87
CALIF A
DESERT : 3,400 109 131
OTHER AREAS = 24600 87 107
TOTAL 2 6,000 196 238
FLA 3 48,100 2,004 1,674
TEX 3 13,900 556 448
us 2 70,400 2,873 2,447
TANGERINES 3
ARIZ : 750 28 33
CALIF : 1,730 65 80
FLA 2 2,500 119 107
us 3 4,980 212 220
LEMONS :
ARTZ ' 64300 6,500 239 191 2a7
CALIF t
DESERT 3 2,800 2/550 3700 106 7 141
TOTAL 3 18,500 19,900 703 756
us 24,800 24,950 942 947
LIMES
Fia 1,300 14700 52 68
TANGELOS
FLA 5-100 3,800 229 imi

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED,

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES@CALIF & ARTZ-75,FLA=90,
TEX#855 GRAPEFRUITCALIF DESERT & ARIZ*64, CALIF
OTHER@67, FLA-BS, TEX©803 LEMONS=763 TANGELOS &
TEMPLES#=903 TANGERINES= CALIF & ARIZ=75, FLA*95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY ANDO MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ORY EDIBLE BEANS wv

AREA HARVESTED

: IND ¢
1982 3 1983 = 1982

IND 2 : z
1983 + 1981 f 1982 t

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 cwr
LARGE LIMA BEANS 3
CALIF 7 31.0 30.0 2,010 2,020 639 623 606
BABY LIMA BEANS +
CALIF 27,0 26.0 2,150 2,300 661 581 598
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS 3
CALIF ' 168.0 94.0 1,570 1,600 2,638
ALL ORY EDIBLE BEANS t
CALIF t 226.0 150.0 1,700 1,805 3,842
COLO 170.0 107.0 1,210 1,310 2,057
TOAHO 141.0 98.0 1,840 1,780 2,599
KANS: 24,0 10,5 1,000 14400 240
MICH 550.0 340.0 1,350 1-150 7,425
MINN 73.0 51.0 1,300 14100 909
MONT 8.4 3.0 12650 1,600 139
NEBR 212.0 130.0 1,500 1,750 3,180
NY 49,0 28.0 1,200 1,150 568
N DAK 5 240.0 157.0 1,950 950 2,520
UTAH 10.0 6.5 460 480 46
WASH 32,0 15.0 2,070 2,180 662
WYO 29.0 1,900
us 1,764.8 1,114.0

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

COTTONSEED

- 000 TONS

4,744

SWEETPOTATOES

IND os s IND ¢ ’ 1
1963s 1992 8 1963 8 1981 ' 1982 6

: 4000 ACRES cnr 14000 CHT
1:

: 9 120 110 21 660
’ 8 190 180 1,607 1,748
: 8 130 100 648 619
‘ ry 100 90 2,600 2,500
1 1 195 165 228 254
’ 7 100 85 49a 500
t Ss 110 110 275 319
’ o 140 100

' s

’ 4

t 1

: 2

1

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Area for harvest, 2.46 million acres (996 thousand hectares)--smallest
area harvested since 1970~-unchanged from last month, down 42 percent from
last year.

Estimated yield of 29.6 bushels per acre, down 3,3 bushels from last
month, 5.4 bushels from last year. Harvest accelerated with continued hot
weather. North Dakota harvest 92 percent complete as of September 4, last
years 63 percent, 5-year average, 58 percent.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production forecast at 358 million bushels (9.76 million
metric tons), down 6 percent from last month, 35 percent
below record high jn 1982.

Area for harvest, 11.3 million acres (4.56 million hectares)--smallest
since 1972--31 percent less than 1982.

Average yield of 31.8 bushels down 1.9 bushels from last month, 2.2
bushels Tess than last year. Record high yields expected in Cotorado, Idaho,
Nevada, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington and Wyoming.

Harvesting 95 percent complete in five major producing States, well ahead
of 76 percent last year and 74 percent average.

RICE: Production forecast at 104 million hundredweight (4.71 million metric
~—<" tons), 33 percent less than last year, 43 percent below record high in
1981. Nationally, 2.25 million acres (909 thousand hectares) for harvest
compared with 3.25 million acres (1.32 miltion hectares) for 1982.

This year's yield forecast at 4627 pounds, 115 pounds less than last
year. Mississippi yield unchanged from 1982; al] other States report lower
yields, Cool, wet spring planting weather along with variable growing
conditions affected yields.

Rice generally in fair to good condition at end of August. Hurricane
Alicia left rice heavily lodged in Texas; cool nights slowing development in
California; rains delayed harvest in Louisiana. Harvest beginning in Arkansas
and Mississippi. Ninety-one percent of crop headed in 5 major producing
States as of September 4, 2 points behind both last year and normal. Harvest
is 26 percent complete, 6 percentage points behind normal,

FLAXSEED: Production forecast at 7.54 miltion bushels (191 thousand metric

tons), down 35 percent from 1982. Yield per acre, forecast at 12.8
bushels, down 1.3 bushels from last month and 1.5 bushels below a year ago.
During August, yields dropped 0.5 bushe) in Minnesota, 2.0 bushels in North
Dakota, South Dakota increased 1.0 bushels.

Harvest of flax ahead of normal in North Dakota, with condition fair to
good. In Minnesota, 49 percent of the crop combined compared with average of
14 percent. Development in South Dakota slightly behind normal, harvest--45
percent complete--about one week behind average.

SOYBEANS: Production forecast at 1.53 billion bushels (41.8 million metric
~~~ tons), 33 percent below Jast year's record high, 23 percent Jess
than 1981. Yield forecast 24.9 bushels, 7.3 bushels less than last year, 5.2
bushels below 1981. The 61.7 million acres (25.0 mittion hectares) for
harvest, down 13 percent from last year, 7 percent below 1981.

Soybeans began showing stress during August because of moisture shortage
and hot weather. Expected yields down from year ago in all North Central
States except North Dakota and Wisconsin. Decreases in remaining North
Central States ranged from 1.0 bushel in Michigan to 12.5 bushels in
Missouri. Yields in South Central States decreased from 1982, except for
OkJahoma, Mississippi's yield of 18.0 bushels, down 8.0 from last year and
Arkansas yield of 18.0 bushels, down 6.0.

All Atlantic Coast States except Delaware showed yield decreases from 1982.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Hot weather in July and August stressed potatoes across Mid-west, although
Michigan prospects improved by timely rains. In Minnesota, tubers not sizing
as well as normal. Harvest in Texas High Plains complete by end of August.
Some hail damage but losses minimal. New Mexico harvest essentially complete
except some fields northern part of State. In California, harvest continues
in Stockton, Perris-Hemet areas. Quality good, some early sizes small.

1982 REVISED: Production of 1982 potatoes (all four seasons) totaled 352 mil-

lion cwt (16.0 million metric tons), 4 percent above 1981 com-
bined output. Area harvested up 3 percent to 1.27 million acres (515 thousand
hectares). Average yield record high at 276 cwt per acre, 2 cwt above
Previous record set 1981.

Fall potato production 308 million cwt (13.9 million metric tons) in 1982,
4 percent above previous year. Area harvested 1.09 million acres (440
thousand hectares). Yield record high 283 cwt per acre.

SWEETPOTATOES: Production forecast 10.5 million cwt (476 thousand metric
tons), down 9 percent from August 1, 27 percent below year ago.
Area for harvest 98.0 thousand acres (39.7 thousand hectares), down 12 percent
from 1982. Yield forecast of 107 cwt per acre slipped 9 percent from August 1,
17 percent below record high last year.

North Carolina crop 3.50 million cwt, down 17 percent from last month, 39
Percent below last year. Harvest delayed, growers hoping for rain. Virginia
crop further deterforated, 9 percent below month ago, 62 percent under last
year. New Jersey sweetpotatoes helped by recent rains. Forecast up 5 percent
from August 1, 14 percent under last year. Harvest to start mid-September.

Louisiana harvest 22 percent complete. Forecast 1.98 million cwt, 2?
percent below last year. Yield down 5 cwt from August 1 forecast. Record
high temperatures hurt Georgia crop. Growers in most Southern States need
rain.

Texas harvest underway. Crop in good condition. Texas only State with
better sweetpotato crop than last year. Harvest of Jewel sweetpotatoes
underway in California's Merced and Fresno Counties. Production forecast 1.58
million cwt, holding Tast month's Jevel, 9 percent below last year.

TOBACCO: All tobacco production forecast at 1.36 billion pounds (618 thousand
~ metric tons), 10 percent below last month's forecast, 31 percent
below 1982, smallest crop since 1941. Yield prospects down from August 1 in
ten of sixteen estimating States. Yield per acre at 1709 pounds, 189 pounds
less than August 1 estimate -~ 474 pounds below last year.

Kentucky's production of all tobacco estimated at 304 million pounds, 47
percent below last year. Production forecast 22 percent below August 1. Hot,
dry weather continued to reduce yield prospects during August. Crop condition
rated mostly poor to fair. Burley and dark tobacco harvest underway, consider-
ably behind normal. Growth, development far behind normal, fields being
harvested to prevent further loss.

North Carolina production off last year's pace by 23 percent, 4 percent
below August 1 estimate, Less acreage, lower yields account for sharp decline
in production from 1982. Yield prospects continued to decline with extreme
heat of August. Flue-cured harvest about two weeks behind norma) at end of
gust.

Tennessee growers expect to harvest 112 million pounds, 37 percent betow
1982 -- 17 percent below August 1 estimate. Ory weather stressed crop
significantly, reduced yield prospects. Crop condition mostly poor to fair.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets forecast at 23.3 mittion tons (19.3
miltton metric tans), fractionally Tower than August 1 forecast
but virtually the same as last year's production. Average yield estimated at
20.3 tons per acre, same as last month, 0.3 tons below 1982. Area for harvest
at 1.05 million acres (424 thousand hectares), up 2 percent from year earlier.

Minnesota growers lost some acreage from drowning. First pull of beets
expected September 6 Red River Valley, September 19 in southern Minnesota.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1983 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA