OaTS

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD 4 PRODUCTION
t + t IND ¢ 7 ¥ IND ¢ t ¥ TND
t 1975 4 1976 5 1977 ¢ 1975 ¢ 1976 t 1977 ¢ 1975 ¢ 1976 1977
! 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
t
ALA 1st 33 30 30 34.0 3640 3200 19122 15080 960
ARK 1/1 60 70 65 5000 7640 6940 39000 59320 45485
CALIF 1/1 113 15s 120 53404940 8940 51989 $635 5,880
cola 1/1 42 50 40 $700 4700 4000 1,976 2,350 1,920
FLA ost 12 12 12 4140 5000 6000 492 600 460
oA vt 90 100 100 $540 = S100 4500 45050 5,100 44800
IDAHO 1/3 64 57 65 54,0 5640 S268 39456 3,192 35380
TL 1st 490 410 360 54.0 = 5840 5760 = 26y460 = 234780 = 20 520
IND ! 250 220 250 52402 4860 4842 = 137000 104560 7200
TOWA 1 19500 16475 19450 53,0 © 5940 = 5640 «= 793500 = 874025 = 814 200
KANS 1/1 150 240 250 $040 4240 4340 69000 10,080 104250
KY 4t to lo 9 41.0 © 3560 410 350 378
La wv 8 10 9 3360 4860 264 480 432
MAINE 1/1 42 37 44 5400 5240 24268 1,926 24332
MD /t 2 25 25 = 8540 5440 14320 16350 19200
MICH ' 370 385 360 5650 0 5100 209720 = 294635 194080
MINN ’ 29000 25060 20610 $055 4500 1019000 = 929700 = 1515830
MISS I/t 27 23 23 40.0 16080 966 10035
MO ost 100 170 165-3940 39900 69800 6,580
MONT 1‘ 250 230 260 ©4340 10+750 106810 9+880
NEBR ‘ 590 640 650-4940 28,910 26880 = 364 400
NEV o/s 3 3 3 55.0 165
Ns oust T 8 6 4360 302
NY ] 350 315 310 «87,0 19,950
NC lst 80 60 75 50,0 49000
N Oak ot 14370 19160 19750 41.0 569176
OHIO ot 500 500 410 61,0 309500
OKLA 1st 120 132 150-3340 39960
ORES 1 80 80 90 8040 4,000
Pa t 375 365 35000 5140 299125
sc oust 3 70 65 44,0 39212
S Oak 3 29230 19420 29590 44,0 985120
TENN 1/1 30 32 29 40,0 19200
TEX 4st 650 390 60D 39,0 19500
UTAH 1/1 13 12 120 56,0 728
VA st 40 42 4342.0 42.0 14660
WASH t 45 45 45 52.0 4760 24340
WVA 1st 18 16 16 4340 6260 174
wts ' 19350 19280 1,200 55.0 63,0 749250
WYO Uva, So 53 ST 4060 42.0 29000
us t 130609120392 496004863 S2.7__ 6577640

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 8-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

z
>
®
raat

B

BARLEY... cece ccc cece ence teen eee eee eee e seen sere ee ee neeee esse eee
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE. .

CORN FOR GRAIN.
COTTON.......4-
CRANBERRIES......+
CROP PROSPECTS MAP
FLAXSEED. ......04.

vid
WRONAWGCOHIWNAYVO“OOf

OATS
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION..
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAP.
PEANUTS FOR NUTS. ....-e seer eee eeeeee

PPPPPRPFEPTPPTL?
vt

i

POTATOES.......-
PRUNES AND PLUMS
RICE.......-------
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN..
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS.
SUGARBEETS...++eeseeeeeees
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SE
SWEETPOTATOES.....+++-eeee-
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE.
TOBACCO - PRICE AND VALUE.
TOBACCO BY STATES........-
US SUMMARY......--
WHEAT, BY CLASSES
WHEAT, DURUM..
WHEAT, SPRING. .
WHEAT, WINTER... ss seeeeeeeeeeneeteeetees see eeeeeee eens B-

pare

AAADNWFWOAANNANOO

xu

m

o

zB

=

a
PPQVVVV>S

DWDDWDWDBIWD
TYTrredre

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 B-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ORY EDIBLE PEAS: Dry edible pea production in Idaho and Washington is forecast at 975 thousand

cwt., unchanged from last month, but 55 percent below 1976. The two States are
expected to harvest 165,000 acres, 32 percent above last year's harvested total. However, yield
per acre is forecast at a record low 591 pounds, down 1,129 pounds from 1976. The previous low
yield of 825 pounds was established in 1949. Serious drought conditions this year greatly reduced
the dry pea crop in both States. Peas in the irrigated area of south Idaho show lower yields,
primarily due to disease and insect prablems.

POTATOES: The final forecast of the 1977 summer potato crop is placed at 22.2 million cwt., down
slightly from August 1 and 2 percent below the 22.7 million cwt. produced during 1976.
Harvested area is set at 116,500 acres, down slightly from August 1 and 3 percent below last year.

Harvest is more than 50 percent complete in New Jersey. Digging is complete in Virginia with
with only a few exceptions. In Michigan, harvest is progressing at a slow rate because of wet
fields. Oigging is ahead of last year in Minnesota. Moisture has been adequate during the grow-
ing season. Potato harvest continues to move at a slow pace in Ohio because of wet fields.

Harvest on the High Plains of Texas will continue through October. Quality remains good
with only scattered hail damage in some areas. In New Mexico, digging is in progress in Curry
and Roosevelt Counties and is expected to start in Torrance and Santa Fe Counties around
September 15. Growing conditions in Colorado have been good throughout most of the season as
irrigation water has been sufficient. Harvest is wel] underway with the quality of the red vari-
eties below normal while the Russets are of good quality. Digging is complete in the Arkansas
Valley and about one-third complete in the northern areas. California's summer potato crop
development is about two weeks behind. Rains from Hurricane Doreen combined with hot temperatures
in southern California resulted in above normal cullage for that area. Some growers have com-
pleted digging while others have just begun. Yields in the San Joaquin and Centra] Coast areas
appear to be near normal.

SWEETPOTATOES: Production of sweetpotatoes for 1977 is estimated at 12.3 million cwt., 1 percent

above the August 1 forecast but 1] percent less than last year. The crop is ex-
pected to be harvested from 115,600 acres, 3 percent less than last year. Yield per acre is
placed at 106 cwt. compared with 115 in 1976 and 114 cwt. in 1975,

The sweetpotato crop has been making good growth in New Jersey. Irrigation has been used in
areas where rainfall has been below normal. Digging is underway in Virginia. South Carolina's
August weather was generally favorable for growth and development of the sweetpotato crop. How-
ever, the crop has not fully recovered from the extremely dry conditions during June and July.
Harvest is just getting underway and should continue through October. Heavy rains in the central
and south central areas of Louisiana in late August caused scattered souring of mature potatoes
in low fields. However, the rains were beneficial to the Tate crop which was transplanted in
Jate June and early July, About one quarter of the acreage was dug by September 1 with good
grades reported. The California sweetpotato crop continues to make generally good progress.
Rains from Hurricane Doreen caused some quality loss in fields that were ready for harvest in
southern California. Fields that were growing herefited from the rains. In the central San
Joaquin Valley, a shortage of water has reduced yields in some areas.

TOBACCO: Production of al] tobacco is forecast at 1,939 million pounds, down 14 percent from the

1976 crop. The major decline in production is in the flue-cured types, with an expected
drop of 21 percent or 272 million pounds. A decline in Burley of 6 percent or 40 million pounds
is also expected. Partially offsetting these declines are increases in fire-cured and dark air-
cured production.

Flue~cured production is forecast at 1,044 million pounds, 21 percent below a year ago. All types
show acreage declines and lower yield prospects from a year earlier. The average yield per acre
of 1,760 pounds compares with 1,974 pounds last year. Rains during August improved prospects in
some areas of North Carolina, However, they were too late to be of substantial benefit to much of
the acreage that burned and wilted during July. South Carolina's tobacco harvest was virtually
complete as of September 1,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FLAXSEED

STATE i AREA NARVESTED ' YIELD 1 PRODUCTION
' . 1 ' Ind? ’ ' TND t + fy IND
i jors 1976 1 1977 t 1975 1 1976 1 1997 5 1975 3 1976 3 1977
2 14000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
:
MINN ‘ 230 195 225 11.5 1000 38. 20675 1,950 36375
MONT 1/1 146 12 16 8.0 1000 28 112 120 128
N OAK £ r?¢ 462 665 95 Bet RS 79325 34696 8228
$ DAK 3 446 230 350 95 5.0 22.0 49237 19150 49200
TEX ist 40 55 9 12.0 B00 2008 480 440 90
us t 15820 954 19465 9.9 7 1009 15,019 1,386 169011

i/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

stave i AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD t PRODUCTION

' t t IND t ? ? IND? ? t ~ IND

: 1975 1 1976 1 1977 11975 | 1976 | 1977 3 1975 1 1976 1 1977

1 19000 ACRES BUSHELS T+000 BUSHELS

1
ALA t 19310 1,220 16675 2445 2400 29.0 324095 294280 31,825
ARK ’ 49700 49320 49600 24.5 22.0 1154150 779760 1019200
DEL lst 204 182 205 25.0 23.0 59100 45368 eT
Fea sa 295 265 340 2400 23.6 77080 65890 73620
Ga t 19260 940 29150 25.5 15.0 329130 22-090 17250
TLL 1 85220 7,560 8y850 36.0 37,0 2959920 241,920 3279450
IND 1 34630 39280 39870 33.5 33.0 1219605 1089260 12749710
Towa ! 69970 6590 79200 34.0 34.0 2369960 2044290 © 2444800
KANS f 14080 865 990 23.0 26.0 229680 12,975 25,740
KY t 10200 1.070 19360 27,0 27.0 329400 28,355 369720
La ' 19920 20120 29550 24.5 2400 $7040 550120 615200
MO t 318 285 315 28.0 25.0 81904 79125 76875
MICH 1 lo 865 720 26.0 25.0 159860 129583 181000
MINN ' 34680 34020 30810 26.5 38.0 96,725 634420 1144300
MISS : 39120 39250 39050 22.5 22.0 709200 71,500 849700
MO ! 49470 44200 49780 2640 28.0 1169220 842000 = 1334840
NEBR 1 1,200 19030 19280 27.0 3260 324400 204600 39,680
NJ lst 19 102 132 26.0 24.0 29056 20448 39168
NY ls 10 12 16 24.0 22.0 240 268 352
ne : 1,420 14200 14350 23.5 200 339370 23,650 27,000
N DAK 1/1 149 147 2.0 19.5 20.0 26906 19838 49200
OHIO : 35100 2880 34380 33.0 32.0 1029300 934600 1064160
OKLA I/t 237 240 265 23.0 2266 5e451 54280 54830
PA va 43 42 50 28.0 27.0 19204 19218 15350
sc 1 19380 19190 19310 22.0 15.0 305360 219420 199650
S Dak 1/1 342 a7 305 25.0 24.0 84550 40607 74320
TENN t 19650 1,600 29220 2500 «= 2245 8360 4B BBG 400500 = 524060
TEX ’ 370 347 750 2560 2640 26.0 99250 99022 199500
vA 1 433 398 415 25.0 20.5 1760 109625 84159 74085
WIS) lst 191 152 19002545 2240 2520 49871 39304 45750
us t 535761 499443 589138 28.8 2546 28.3 195460120 142649890 146444220

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

FROM EARLIER Fol

RECAST.

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts’ in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
September 1. Some adjustments have been made in harvested acreages published previously. The
September 1 yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field observations
and measurements for wheat, corn, soybeans, cotton and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided ap-
praisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their local-
ities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability
sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys.
More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future weather and other factors
that directly affect final production but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the “Root Mean
Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for selected crops. This
is computed by expressing the deviations between the September 1 production forecasts and the final esti-
mates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1957-76
twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error.”
Probability statements can be made concerning expected errors in the current forecasts relative to the
final end of season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different
from those influencing recent year forecasts.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain forecast is 4.7 percent.
This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 6,229 million bushels will
not be above or below the final estimate by more than 4.7 percent or approximately 293 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level} that the difference will not exceed 8.1 percent or approx-
imately 505 mi}lion bushels.

Also shown in the table is a record for the last 10 years (1967-76) for selected crops of the dif-
ferences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example,
changes between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 269
million bushels, ranging from 110 million to 449 million bushels. Ouring this 10-year period the
September 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE

CROP AND

+ 90% CONFIDENCE 7
UNIT : : 7 7 : 7
{PERCENT : er ; AVERAGE :SMALLEST } LARGEST | peru : ae
3 MILLION MILLION MILLION MILLION

FEED GRAINS 1/ TON 2/ ; 3.8 6.6 13 6.9 1.9 9.8 6 4
CORN ~ Bu : 4.7 8.1 505 268.8 110.0 449.0 6 4
SORGHUM BU 7 5.5 9.5 75 27.6 4 $9.6 1 9
OATS BU : 35 6.0 46 21.8 2.0 39.0 3 7
BARLEY BU : 2.8 4.8 19 8.4 0.3 22.1 7 3
ALL WHEAT BU 2145 2.6 53 15.4 1.0 40.0 2 8
DURUM BU : 5.1 8.8 7 3.2 0.1 6.7 6 4
OTHER SPRING BU : 37 6.4 27 4.8 0 3.0 7 3
RICE CWT =: 3.8 6.6 7 2.7 0 6.8 4 6
SOYBEANS BU : 3.8 6.6 109 42.9 6.0 104.0 3 7
COTTON BALES 3/: 7.8 13.5 1,780 618.4 36.0 1,660.0 3 7

T7 CORN, SORGHUM, OATS TNT BARLEY,
2/ UNIT OF PRODUCTION IS IN METRIC TONS.
3/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PECANS

CROP AND STATE

PRODUCTION 1/

TOTAL t TOTAL TNO
1975 t 1976 1977
Tv000 POUNDS
PECANS IMPROVED
ALA 119400 41000
ARK 500 700
FLA 25600 15000
GA 609000 435000
La 54000 700
MISS 19000
N MEX 1 00
Nec 15900
OKLS 800
sc 19700
TEX 13,000 119000
us 1109700 774300
PECANS NATIVE & SEEOLING
ALA 8600 1,000
ARK 39000 300
Fla 34900 15500
GA 154000
La 27,000
MISS 49000
NC 15200
OKLA 185500
sc 19400
TEX $5000 94000
us 1372600 259800
ALL PECANS
ALA 209000 $000 33.000
ARK 39500 19000 4000
Fla + 69500 24500 52000
GA : 524000 609000
La : 24000 2
MIss t 15500 14,000
N MFX ' 129500 135000
NC : 25800 20400
OKLA : 25300 24,000
sc : 24500 34000
TEX ' 205000 55,000
us t 248,300 1034100 2384400

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS
CULLSGE (009 LBSe) US 1975~145004
2/ RUDDED, GRAFTED» OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

8-18

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


BARLEY

STATE AREA HARVESTED ‘ YEELO ' PRODUCTION

f ~ t T THD + 7 T IND # t 7 TND

4 __ 3975 3 1976 4 1977 § 1975 | 3976 + 1997 + 197s 4 1976 4 1977

t 19060 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

1!
ARIZ 271 iis 100 100-7860 Thed The Beb25 Toooo Trbo0
CALIF 17; 15060 1s0t0 930 57.0 S640 609420 © 56560 «S14 150
coo : 230 265 240 © $340 = $540 124190 130475124960
DEL lst 23 22 21 4100 4000 943 880 186
CAs 8 10 11-3860 4340 304 450 473
IDAHO of 755 800 915 5000 = 8440 370750 434200 = 404260
The It 14 13 13 42.0 4000 Sea $20 $33
IND 1/1 19 9 BBD BD 420 378 382
KANS 17t 55 7% 90-3840 16928 25584 34060
ky ost 34 30 28 ©3740 19258 19110 14232
Mo olss 100 ry 90 4300 49300 45230 39780
MICH 174 22 ry 22 4860 990
MINN ! 850 660 980 3765 464060
MO ot 1] 10 10 3600 390
MONT t 19300 19170 10430-3960 51.480
NEBR 1/t 33 38 SL 3660 1,240
NEV 1/1 le 16 16 $0.0 aa0
Nu ft le 20 17 48.0 765
NOMEX 1/1 28 20 25 S800 19450
NY lst le 12 13 4240 520
NC lst 87 60 57 4540 25396
N Dak 4 29100 2r140 2500 © 3840 924500
OHIO 171 12 lz 13 4760 611
OKLA 1/8 93 65 140 30.0 4,900
ORES t iv? 160 180 = 8040 74920
PR OAs 18s 147 145 $000 64960
se oi 23 23 22 38.0 858
S Dak of s32 350 640 3140 25,600
TENN 2/1 16 ts 14 32,0 560
TEX 1/8 to 52 8s 3440 35400
UTAH ! 135 126 125 6060 7,000
va wv 104 103 100 47,0 44300
MASH ’ 400 390 alo 53-0 129300
WA Ast 10 9 9 4620 4200 3a?
WIS) 1st 33 32 28 4340 4000 1,366
Wo : 136 138 142 8760 6000 7,982
us 1 85743 8417 94600 43.9 4408 3832920 377264 4045917

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST»

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

3-4

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP 1 AREA HARVESTED 4 YIELO { PRODUCTION
AND ! ' 1 TNO Tf ' T INO 7 T 1 TWD
STATE 11975 _ | 1976 1 1977_(1:1975 1 1976 | 1977 | 2975 2 1976 | 4977
t Te000 ACRES CHT 19000 CWT

t

WINTER 1

I
TOTAL ivi 1403 14,4 13.6 202 207 162 20867 24986 = 2 469

'

SPRING '

\
TOTAL wv 8405 9960 9103 237 «250 245 19999K be 779 224347

1

SUMMER '
ALA ' 900 8.2 7.5 150 145 110 1,350 19189 625
CALIF ' Be 8.1 8.4 370 360 360 39108 = 29916-34024
coLo 4 Te2 7.5 6.9 260 260 260 19872 19950 19794
OEL ! 5.7 5.8 5.3 165 200 210 941 19160 14113
ToL ' 200 2.7 264 190 199 © 210 380 S13 504
IND 4 8 162 1e2 = 180 185 175 144 222 210
Towa 1 361 2.9 2e1 200 185 215 620 537 452
Mo t 168 1,8 166 170 179 150 306 306 240
MICH ! Tes 766 7.8 190 170 180 14406 19292 14606
MINN t Bel 8.0 765 260 250 275 25106 = 29000 = 24083
NEAR ' 205 2.2 2.1 160 160 170 400 382 357
Nu | 7.0 766 769 195 260 = 260 19368 10976-20084
Mw OMEX t 3.5 362 2.9 200 180 200 700 S76 $80
Ne ' 400 400 4.0 © 120 135 120 480 540 480
0H10 ' 209 2.9 2.8 165 200 «175 479 580 490
TENN ' 5.0 Se? 500 85 95 98 425 a7 475
TEX 1 866 946 9.6 250 245 255 20150 = 2035229448
va ‘ 25.0 28,5 27.7 8996 123 425 20400 «= 3506 039663
WV ' 367 346 36872 76 70 266 276 266

'
TOTAL UI 11S a7 120,1 116.5 181 189 191 209098 = 220688 220242

1/ ESTIMATE FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SWEETPOTATOES

STATE + AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELD : PRODUCTION

: ? TND tT ¥ IND? ? rT

11975 3 1976 1977 31975 t 1976 2 1977 3 1975 3 1976 ¢ 1977

' 19000 ACRES CWT 15900 Cwr

:
ALA ' 568 563 90 a 85 S22 495 451
ARK 1 165 106 BO Te 80 124 117 128
CALIF ot 703 7.8 140 155 150 14022 14178 14179
6a 1 75 7.5 100 95 85 750 713 638
La + 3000 2760 BS 95 95 26950 25755 2,565
MD ' Pal 169 155 14e 1460 326 266 265
MISS t 965 969 97 90 90 922 alo 819
NJ t Peo 203 110 us lio 2en 253 253
NC : Blea 3360 145 140 120 41495 49620 3,969
sc ' Pad 203 87 86 75 209 215 173
TENN : 300 PoP 105 105 loo 315 305 280
TEX t 1009 905 115 195 90 1,150 19103 855
VA ' 655 5.6 150 145 135 975 943 756
us ‘ 11865 11566 lie 11s 106 139567 13,773 124305

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 8-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED view ot PRODUCTION. -

1 ? t

1975 11976 5___«1977

t 1975 1 1976 1 19771 1975 t 1976 1 1977

t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

‘ 23.925 64480
ARTZ N/2s at) 28 0 borEsD«=««N¥09S= G00 By LD
CALIF 2/1 15 se ze} 29:5 0 3%eo 25828 2746 34034
MINN 87 33 fe Bee : : 109125 8555 4,510
MONT ot 375 295 205 2740-2940 2848 , 14190 320
N MEX 1/24 V7 4 . .
N Dan | ay960 320 29530 28s5 2549 BAe Vogrgag — 9Gvgag 68728

K 243 160 1 . . ” ;
gO ft genp 49886 99072264 20 Bak 123936Z_ _ 1340S 808932
T/ INCLUDED IN WINTER WHEAT PRIOR TO 1976.
ay eee tNaTes FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SPRING WHEAT OTHER THAN OURUM

State 4 AREA HARVESTEO ' YIELO A PRODUCTION

y ' + thot t t INO + ’ fy rNO

4 3975 t _ 976 vSTT + 97S t Le7!] t 97s 1987S sb 97H tL __ 4977,

+ 19000 ACRES SUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

t
colo ist 20 23 3027.5 30002940 $50 690 870
ToAHO + 470 540 360 «51,0 ©5440 «= 5040 «239970 29160 18000
MINN ts 700 35600 39120 31.0 32,5 4400 © 830700 123,500 1274920
MONT = ts 14600 21040 1:980 2545-2965 2249 404800 «= 609180 43560
NEV 1st 45.0 39603848 405 312 266
N Oak ff 63130 73900 79000 24.5 24.@ 1569315 1935550 168,000
OREG 1/1 105 113 65 37.0 «37,0 49200 45181 25405
SOAK tf 149952 1,860 24200 1160 24,0 = 359136 204460 © 524800
UTAH A/t 44 42 24 3160 38.8 19452 14302 936
wasH ot 320 as 190 3660 2540 = 10488011340 44780
WIS t/t 21 29 19 3000 © 2960 saa ata 551
wYo 1/8 23 35 22 25.0 © 21.0 552 875 462
us § £39394 165705 154017 2667 2840 358+548 44640420 420.520

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

RICE
STATE APEA HARVESTED t yeu : PRODUCTION
7 $ Ta 7 TO + 7 7 THD
1975 4 1976 t 1977 t 1975 | 1976 1977 ¢ 1975 2 1976 + 1977
Ts090 ACRES BNUNUS 1000 CHT
ARK BaP. 79760 HyBSO —-y77D 47D 404053 4436237 59
CALIF $25.9 342.0 «59800 54570 Sy 400 300436 = 234388 189468
La 65860 47RL0 3,810 34910 34700 = 254068 224203 176686
MISS 7160 10669 34900 4200 44350 69655 64948 495246
MO 1a. 1329 4210 44200 44400 758 SBR 572
TEX 54a, SERN 44560 4810 4600 249TH 2430214528
us 2420260 4567 KTS S552. :1274972_ 117,019 1004237

Vs ESTIMATES FXG

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

8-6

SUAGENT YEAR CARHJED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


NUTS

CROP AND STATE i PRODUCTION 1/
1 TOTAL t TOYAL ’ IND
1 1975 t 1976 ’ 1977
1 TONS
FILBERTS '
OREO ' 119800 69950 10700
WASH ' 320 220 300
TOTAL ' 129120 79170 115000
WALNUTS '
CALIF ‘ 198000 1834000 2104000
ORES art 00 700 800
TOTAL ‘ 1999500 183,700 210.800

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS) | TOTAL WALNUTS 19752004
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECASTe

MINT FOR OIL

STATE t AREA HARVESTED ' YIELUY t PRODUCTION

t $ A TND t ? IND = t ? Tab

2 1975 3 1976 + 1977 + 1975 $+ 1976 & 1977 ¢ 1975 + 1976 3 1977

t 1e090 ACRES LBS OF OIL 16990 POUNDS
PFPPEQMINT
IDAHO ‘ 08 Ae 49 52 Sl 284 27s 423
IND t 40 35 27 280 238 216
OREG t 56 55 55 2s240 20310 26695
WASH ' B2 5B 66 697 534 739
WIS : 4A 37 39 33 252 343 238
us ' 6861 3s 51 52 39753 34700 @e31k
SPEARMINT
IDAHO t 45 47 ss 14" 174 319
IND + 37 34 30 211 187 165
MICH t 305 33 28 25 119 95 as
WASH t Lies a1 82 86 19219 19123 15496
wIs ' el 41 an 33 86 14 79
us ' 2709 64 SB 62 19775 1,683 2y14e

COFFEE
; PRODUCTION
state

: 1974-75 1975-76 1976-77

: T,000 POUNDS
HAW : 1,540 1,860 2,120
CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE

t AREA NARVESTED 2 YIELD 2 PRODUCTION

! + 1 IND # 7 7 IRO t 7 IND
3 1975 1 1976 1977 + 1978 | 1976 t 1977" 1975.4 1976 4 1977
1 Ty000 ACRES BUSHELS t7000 BUSHELS

196 TIS S300 6200 Te 340980 494352199305

28 BO 3360 6000 6000 396 12680 39000

45 44 5000 5640 854 16900 29520 15980

290 250 10900 = 12000 = 12000 279686 315900 27,500

600 620 93.0 10400 = 1004 485825 629400 624000

0 0 060 060 Q e °

215 205 9), BE2d 60, 179290 185275 126300

504 $00 4540 6060 ©2040) 174730 © 3092K0 = 1004000

29160 19100 5500 «= 6200 © 220 = :1030400 1330920 24 9200

29 26 85.0 8B 6B 29075 26465 20210

119690 109900 10700 11140 192539960 152501830 14209900

69300 64200 11000 100.0 5519740 6934000 — 6205000

129750 9000 8 192079000 191470500 140492200

90 9560 1379760 170.050 = 165,000

19360 10200 879780 1389720 1334000

6860 39120 5,916 34600

000 ° ° °

91.0 $0s050 57,330 484360

000 ) 0 )

6900 1529800 1414450 1649000

5940 4079400 330400 © $424800

4700 59945 8,084 6480

6160 1709100 =:173,850 216,000

75 730 825 864

83.0 5036200 8144600 6354000

000 ° 0 ry

000 0 6 Q

B6e0 69723 8,600 By736

10540 79000 94260 94500

7700 399610 37,884 = 43990

8060 1067530 1509400 = 879 450

N DAK A/t 132 40.0 69732 74200 94500

OHIO t 39490 101.0 321,080 3954920 3604000

OKLA 1/4 a5 95.0 69800 8,645 74310

OREG 1/3 li 9060 938 990 935

Pa 1 19080 9060 88560 1039500 1014200
RI 1 C) 000 ° 0

$C ive 550 7000 340650 464890 = 18 810

S$ DAK 3 25250 29900 31.0 83,250 37,200 © 1144000

TENN 1/1 615 750 7920 364900 56485 = 514000

TEX 1 t,t00 19600 120600 1230399 2800000 = 1764000

UTAH 1/t 45 12 9020 15650 14350 14200

VT t 0 0 060 0 ry 0

vA ' 565 580 7660 48,590 469740 31,900

WASH 144 34 45 10540 39536 40620 45770

wvA 1/5 68 59 88.0 5,525 55368 4,486

WIS : 2,390 29500 6860 1989370 1485240 © 240,000

WYO lst 18 9 20 8700 19640 19653 14600

us t 674222 719085 697653 B74 Sy7972048 692169032 652299084

i/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

Be]

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OATS: Oats production is forecast at 759 million bushels, virtually unchanged from the August 1

forecast but 35 percent higher than last year's production. This is the largest crop since
1971 when production was 881 million bushels. Yield per harvested acre at 52.7 bushels is up 7.3
bushels from 1976 and 4.4 bushels from 1975.

Harvest was complete or nearly complete by September 1 for the six major oat producing
States with Minnesota and North Dakota still having small acreages to harvest

Yields are unchanged from August 1 in five of the six major producing States, with North
Dakota showing a two bushel per acre decrease.

BARLEY; Production of barley is forecast at 405 million bushels, practically unchanged from

August 1 but 7 percent above the 1976 crop. This is the largest crop since 1973. The
expected average yield per acre of 42.2 bushels is 2.6 bushels below the 1976 yield and 1.7
bushels below the 1975 yield. Of the 5 major producing States making a September 1 forecast,
yield prospects were down 2 bushels in Idaho, 1 bushel in North Dakota, up 2 bushels in Montana
and unchanged in Minnesota and South Dakota

As of September 1,harvest was complete or nearing completion in all States, ahead of the
normal pace. Minnesota harvest was virtually complete by the end of August with above average
yields. In North Dakota, the major producing State, harvest was slowed during August by coo}
damp weather but was still a week ahead of normal by month's end. As of the first of September
growers needed one more good week to finish. The South Dakota harvest was completed in early
August.

ALL WHEAT: Production of all wheat is forecast at 2,030 million bushels, 5 percent Tess than
last year's record high 2,147 million bushels. It is also 5 percent less than the

1975 crop but will be the third highest of record. The smaller production resulted from fewer

acres harvested as the average yield of 30.5 bushels per acre is slightly higher than a year ago.

WINTER WHEAT: The 1977 winter wheat production is forecast at 1,529 million bushels compared

with 1,566 million last year and the record high 1975 crop of 1,653 million
bushels. This is 2 percent less than 1976 and 8 percent less than 1975. This year's smaller
crop is due mainly to fewer acres harvested.

Average yield per harvested acre at 31.5 bushels is slightly less than last year's 31.6
bushels and compares with 32.1 busheTls in 1975. Growers cut an estimated 48.6 million acres for
grain, 2 percent less than last year and 6 percent less than 2 years ago.

The winter wheat forecasting period extends to September 1 in Idaho, Montana, Oregon and
Washington. Forecasts for all other States were carried forward from previous reports. Har-
vesting in the Pacific Northwest was well underway by early August and continued at anaccelerated

rate. Washington harvest was complete by September 1 with Idaho, Montana and Oregon nearing
completion.

DURUM WHEAT: Production of durum wheat is forecast at 80 million bushels compared with 135
million bushels last year. This is 40 percent less than 1976 and 35 percent under
1975. The lower production is the result of lower yields and sharply reduced acres for harvest

Slightly lower yields in North Dakota caused a 3 percent decrease in production from August 1
prospects. Nationally, the yield is expected to average 26.2 bushels per harvested acre compared
h 29.4 bushels a year ago and 26.4 bushels in 1975.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEARS

CROP AND STATE 1 PRODUCTION 17
! TOTAL ' TOTAL v TNO
1 1975 =" 3976 1 1977
- 1 TONS
PEARS BARTLETT '
CALIF + 2975000 365,000 3204000
ORES ' 794000 82,000 764000
WASH ’ 1339500 1407000 1305000
TOTAL ' 509500 587,000 $26,000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT ‘
CALIF. ’ 69350 89500 8000
OREG : 942000 1255000 1000000
WASH + 855500 95.000 755000
TOTAL ’ 1859850 228,500 183,000
ALL PEARS '
CALIF ' 303,350 3734500 328000
coLo ast 6,000 69480 74400
CONN art 19900 700 14900
TOAHO an 14650 24000 19800
MICH t 15,000 62000 12,000
NY : 20.000 84000 164000
OREG ' 1739000 2075000 1764000
Pa are 39400 24800
UTAH ast 41900 $5300
WASH ' 219,000 2352000
us t 7485200 846,700 7555900

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS) t US 1975=693000 1976020,000¢
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

| AVERAGE | : : . ANERAGE | ‘
STATE > Jg66-75 ¢ 1976 : 1977 : STATE 2 7966-75 ° 1976 : 1977
PERCENT 3 : PERCENT

ALA 83 68 63 80 69 69
ARIZ 77 64 73 79 92 78
ARK 7 56 72 73 67 87
CALIF 76 47 39 78 65 81
coLo 76 65 72 81 88 78
CONN 74 85 78 85 64 61
DEL 74 71 55 72 48 49
FLA 86 82 75 83 85 88
GA : 83 72 55 75 56 80
IDAHO. 81 87 69 75 92 59
ILL 81 61 87 77 84 85
IND 84 78 90 7S 96 80
TOWA 79 56 76 81 67 52
KANS, 74 49 90 66 31 71
ky 89 83 92 82 69 76
LA 82 66 an 4 rca 65 58
MAINE 80 90 79 : 79 67 61
MD 75 77 74 : 80 89 64
MASS: 76 84 78 : 89 46 54
MICH 78 55 74 : 74 90 55

DROUGHT, UNDER 35

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 B-16 CROP REPORTING 80ARD, SRS, USDA


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PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
é September 1, 1977

© Good to excellent
2D Poor to far

2 very poor

ED Severe drought
GHD Exireme drought

AS REPORTED BY
(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

U.S, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 78-7719) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
; September 1, 1976

TI Good to excellent
EB Poor to tair

3 Very poor

ERY Severe drought
BEB Extreme drought

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANOS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS,

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 407-70 (9) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


) Good to excellent
© Fair

Poor

RD Very poor

GHD Near failure

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
September 1, 1977

NEG. SRS 73-7719)

‘RELATIVE CONDITIONS OR
PROSPECTS AS INDICATED BY
REPORTS FROM CROP CORRE~
‘SPONDENTS ON “ALL CROPS"

STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
September 1, 1976

TS Good to excellent
3 Fair

[2d Poor

EBD very poor

WED Near failure

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

NEG. SRS 406-76 (9)

‘RELATIVE CONDITIONS OR
PROSPECTS AS INDICATED BY

‘REPORTS FROM CROP CORRE.
‘SPONDENTS ON "ALL CPOPS”

STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

A-6

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE t AREA HARVESTED i YIELO t PRODUCTION

Y 3 ? TNO t t 71ND 7 T TND

A 1975 3 1976 4 1977 31975 3 3976 2 1977 + 1975 $ 1976 3 1977

: 19900 ACRES BUSHELS 15000 BUSHELS

t
ALA 1st 40 40 40 3360 26.0 314360 16320 1,040
ARIZ ' 165 125 110 7340 76.0 114220 99125 8,360
ARK t 200 320 250 50.0 53.0 91800 15+500 13.250
CALIF oof P07 2io 130 Ted 7360 145906 14-910 9,490
COL t 299 259 P8O 28.0 32.0 71540 7282 8,960
Ga ve 47 45 43 25,0 14692 1-710 1,075
mh ol¢t 40 59 82 64.0 44080 35481 3,328
IND Ist 18 al 14 69,0 15152 1,407 966
Iowa 1/t 26 26 27 14612 14690 14620
KaNS r 35430 39950 4020 144,060 169,850 233,160
KY ise 24 28 32 15365 19740 1,824
la Vst 28 37 26 920 14332 910
MISS I/t 3A 45 35 14330 1,665 1,225
MO : 490 600 R00 76.0 26.460 364000 605806
NEBR t 14990 25106 29930 65.0 104.500 1199700 1385456
NMEX of 310 199 175 6000 159500 110940 10,500
NC lst 85 30 10 $0.0 49335 41590 2.800
OKLA : 560 730 680 42.0 25,080 21,900 284560
sc ois 17 15 12 27.0 595 $10 324
S Oak: 247 152 300 45.0 69422 354696 134500
TENN 1/t 26 23 20 52.0 19248 19265 15040
TEX t 79200 5,800 4sR00 51.0 3749400 = 2924900 2444800
Va Vat 16 12 vy 3060 499 396 339
us t 153519 145877 149057 55 7605069 7235679 7865312

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EQRLIER FORECAST«

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 cROP

REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AUGUST WEATHER IMPROVES FEED GRAIN PROSPECTS

Production of the four feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) is expected to total
198 million metric tons, up 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and from last year. Prospects
for oats and barley remained virtually unchanged from the August ? forecast, Probable 1977
corn production improved 2 percent during August as timely showers fell over much of the
Corn Belt. Late maturing corn was especially helped by the showers. If the current forecast is
realized farmers will harvest a record corn crop for the third consecutive year. Sorghum pro~
duction prospects improved sharply during August as the major producing areas received liberal
amounts of rain.

FOOD GRAIN PRODUCTION THIRD HIGHEST OF RECORD

Food grain production is expected to total 60 million metric tons, 6 percent below both
Vast year and the record 1975 crop. It would be the third largest of record. Indicated
production declined less than 1 percent from August 1, primarily due to lower spring wheat
prospects in the major northern States. Rice production also declined slightly from last month.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record 6,229 million bushels (158

million metric tons), 2 percent above the August 1 forecast and slightly above
the previous record 1976 crop. Crop prospects as of September 1 indicate an average yield pen
acre of 89.7 bushels, up 2.4 bushels from August 1 and up 2.3 bushels from 1976. Yield prospects
improved from August 1 in al? major corn producing States. Illinois and Lowa were up one bushel;
Indiana, Minnesota and Kansas were up 2 bushels; Wisconsin up 3 bushels; Missouri up 4 bushels;
Nebraska up 5 bushels; and South Dakota up 11 bushels.

Acreage intended for grain harvest is estimated at 69.5 million acres, down 350 thousand
acres from August 1 and down 2 percent from last year. Georgia and North Carolina farmers
intend to harvest fewer acres for grain than expected earlier due to severe drought throughout.

_the South Atlantic States. Wisconsin producers plan to narvest more acres for grain as a result
Of good hay and silage yields.

Timely showers and below normal temperatures over most of the Corn Belt have been beneficial
to late maturing fields. As of September 1 harvest extended throughout the South and reached
into Missouri and across to Tidewater Virginia. Some exceptionally early fields were harvested
in northern areas,

In the eastern Corn Belt, most of the crop was maturing rapidly by September 1, ranging
from approximately two-thirds dented in Ohio to mostly mature in Illinois. About one-third of
the Indiana crop was mature, I1linois farmers have harvested some corn.

In the western north central States crop maturity ranged from wel} ahead of normal in
Missouri to slightly behind in South Dakota. In Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska and Iowa approximately
one-half of the crop was mature while about one-third of the crop had matured in South Dakota and
Minnesota. | Harvest was about one-tenth complete in Kansas and Missouri, about two weeks earlier
than normal.

SORGHUM: Sorghum grain production is forecast at 786 million bushels, 8 percent more than the

August 1 forecast and 9 percent more than last year's crop. Improved yield prospects in
most major States, notably 8 bushels per acre in Kansas and 10 bushels in Nebraska. caused the in-
crease from the orevious month. Most of the sorghum production areas received liberal amounts of
rain during August.

Three States will produce almost 80 percent of the grain sorghum; Texas - 31 percent,
Kansas - 30 percent and Nebraska - 18 percent. Texas harvest ran well ahead of normal and on
September 1 was complete from the Blacklands southward. Soil moisture was adequate in the High
Plains and parts of the Low Plains. Kansas soil moisture was excellent following a wet August
sorghum developed ahead of normal and some fields were harvested. Widespread rain in Nebraska
during August relieved drought conditions in most sorghum growing areas; secondary growth may
cause some harvesting problems. Oklahoma rains improved sorghum and cut down Panhandle irrigation
needs. All of the crop was headed.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

STATE ot AREA HARVESTED L YIELD t PRODUCTION

t 7 + TNO + 7 ¥ IND? + T TNO

t 1975 4 19761 1977_: 1975 t 1976 2 1977 1 1975 1 1976 t 1977

' 19609 ACRES POUNDS 19900 POUNDS
ALA t 206.0 214.0 2e600 24400 29300 535-600 «513,600 = 4B 600
FLA : 556 35230 34000 3,100 1774650 165,000 1709500
GA t 526.0 3,295 29300 197269580 195549330 141999300
MISS l/t 865 19550 15600 139485 125325 11200
N MEX 17 9.5 29290 29200 205152 214660 214120
NC + 16606 20265 29500 3735725 460,730 415,000
oKLa t 12040 24020 24020 232,300 246,000 2405380
sc ve 16465 15900 19550 299450 249645 235250
TEX 1 304et 30260 29525 29500 463,600 863,600 = 4534000
va Fy 10340 10340 24790 25750 284,580 309,000 2834250
us 1 15504.0 1,521.5 14509.6 29565 29188 398579122 3s7505890 343039600

J/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. .

COTTON
STATE 7 AREA HARVESTED i YIELO 4 PRODUCTION 17
t t t Tao t {NO © t ‘ INO
t 1975 + 1976 4 1977_t_1975 t 1976 t 1977 & 1975 t 1976 1 1977
+ ¥¥000 ACRES POUNDS: 1000 =BALES 27
ALA t 370.0 4200 4060 405 399 384 312.0 349.0 320.0
ARIZ 1 268.0 34000 468.0 15027 15178 14228 573.0 834.0
ARK , 68000 _ 95000 1900000 485 392 480 687.0 776.0
CALIF , 87500 1912000 1534000 1,072 19064 19039 = 19954.0 9 2948200
FLA 3/8 307 Tol 5.5 346 514 384 27 76
GA 1 16000 24000 24000 443 398 240 146.0 19960
ML Bvt 00 0 oo 8 ° 9 oo) «0
Ky 3/8 6 103 8 257 258 480 33 7
La ' 31000 56000 54000 535 474 439 34600 553.0
MISS 11910000 «1847000 = 1042040 454 376 490° -14040,0 = 1515140
MO ! 21000 26000 25000 449 305 432 19600 16540
NEV 3/3 Led lel 13 Tal 738 702 165 le?
N MEX ot 85.0 6400 118.0 382 523 S29 68.0 7060
Nc 1 5300 7100 8000 412 489 390 4600 72.0
OKLA t 295.0 335.0 47000 277 ash 357 17000 175.0 3500
sc ! 10340 15940 17060 454 438 328 9860 145.0 115.0
TENN 1 31500 37000 33000 339 295 400 22260 228.0 275.0
TEX 1 3990000 4950000 $290000 293 353 366 © 2438200 = 340307,.0 = 4950000
vA we 8 «6 . 344 480 360 +6 06 *
us £ 857301 108691 L2y73404 453 464 496 By267 4) 10952666 13910767
COTTON» AMERePIMA
ARIZ ’ 2508 3000 4800 612 804 650 3860 5003 6520
CALIF 3/1 al al al 480 640 490 el el ol
N MEX ft 1205 603 Bo? 195 476 425 Sel 6.2 Te?
TEX + 23.5 8.0 2265 231 pres 448 2203 7.4 21.0
us + 6509 aed 7943 397 692 5 54.5 64.0 9368
COTTON, ALL
us 4 8e79650 10991345 12581367 453 465 495 630106 109580,6 13,201.65

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED,
2/ 480~L8, NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST»

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

B-8

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Released: September 12, 1977 isti i
2 Statistical Reportit
3:00 P.M. ET Service ne

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Corn production is forecast at a record 6,229 million bushels based on con-
ditions as of September 1, up 2 percent (137 million bushels) from the
August 1 forecast and fractionally above 1976.

Sorghum Grain production is forecast at 786 million bushels, up 8 percent (62
million bushels) from August 7 and 9 percent above Jast year.

Feed Grain production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is forecast at
198 million metric tons, 3 percent more than a year ago.

Soybean production, forecast at 1,644 million bushels, is up 3 percent (42 mil-
jon bushels) from a month earlier and 30 percent above last year.

Oilseed production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts and flaxseed combined) is fore-
*cast at 51 million metric tons, 28 percent more than last year.

All Wheat production is indicated at 2,030 million bushels, 5 percent less than
ast year's crop.

Food Grain output (wheat, rye, and rice combined) is expected to total 60 million
metric tons, 6 percent less than last year.

All Cotton production is forecast at 13.2 million bales, 25 percent (2.6 million
bales) above last year but 2 percent below the August 1 forecast.

All Tobacco production forecast at 1,839 million pounds is 14 percent below 1976
but 2 percent above last month. Flue-cured types are down 21 percent from
last year and burley down 6 percent.

Sugar Crops: Sugarbeet prospects at 24.4 million tons are 17 percent below last
year. Sugarcane is forecast at 27.6 million tons, down 4 percent from 1976.

Reliability of Production Forecasts

Statements on reliability of forecasts which were previously provided
in individual commodity comments have been consolidated on page A-5
of this report for easy reference. The measures of reliability are
explained and their use is illustrated by an example. A data table
also shows the measure of reliability based on the past 20 years, a-
jong with a 10-year record of differences between September 1 fore-
casts and final estimates.

CrPr 2-2 (9-77) For information call: (202) 447-2127


PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at 3,304 million pounds (net weight), up 6 percent from

the August 1 forecast but 12 percent below the 3,751 million pounds produced last year.
The indicated yield per acre of 2,188 pounds is up 119 pounds from last month, but down 277
pounds from tast year. Acreage to be harvested for peanuts this year is 1.5 million acres, 1
percent less than was harvested in 1976.

The Virginia-North Carolina area is expected to produce 698 million pounds, down 7? percent
from 1976. Acreage is unchanged from the previous year, Indicated yield at 2,596 pounds is
down 191 pounds from a year earlier. Timely rains the last half of August did much to check
a downturn in crop condition that occurred the first half of the month. The crop is now in fair
to good condition, but worm infestations are requiring increased spraying. There is a heavy
late bloom and final yields will depend on the length of the growing season,

In the Southeast, 1,891 million pounds are expected, 17 percent less than last year's
production. Acreage for harvest is 810,000, down 9,000 from a year ago. Indicated yield is
2,334 pounds, 138 pounds less than last year. Rains caused a marked improvement in the Georgia
crop the first week jn August. The crop then slipped back to fair condition, mainly because of
armyworm infestations. Conditions improved considerably in Alabama and Florida because of late
season rains. Harvest is underway but running later than normal

The Southwest area peanut crop is expected to total 715 million pounds, 2 percent less than
the 1976 crop. Acreage for harvest is down 1 percent. Indicated yield for the area at 1,659
pounds is 2B pounds below last year's yield. The late crop in South Texas and most dryland
fields in other areas need rain. Texas’ peanut harvest is 7 percent complete. In Oklahoma,
August rains were scattered, but did help dryland peanuts recover some from the dry July weather.

U.S. ALL COTTON
MIL. BALES
PRODUCTION
4
L
POUNDS
500 7
450 4
400 [as es a eS SS OS SS OS HO
MIL. ACRES
15 ACREAGE HARVESTED
_
10 Ne 4
5 [a eS Ss DS SS OS HO
1965 ‘66 ‘67 ‘68 ‘69 ‘70 ‘71 '72 '73 '74 ‘75 ‘76 '77*'78 ‘79
+ SePr. 1 6ORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Harvesting made good progress in the northern areas during early August. However, cool damp
weather has persisted since mid-August, causing delays in combining. Some sprouting in windrowed
grain has been reported. By September 1, North Dakota growers had harvested over 60 percent of
the crop, behind last year but much ahead of normal. Minnesota harvest was about 90 percent com-
plete, two weeks ahead of average. Harvest in Montana is still ahead of normal although plagued
by coo? damp weather.

QTHER SPRING WHEAT: Praductian of spring wheat other than durum is forecast at 421 millian

bushels, 6 percent tess than last year but 17 percent above 1975 production.
This year's crop is being harvested from 10 percent fewer acres than last year but yields are
expected to be slightly higher.

The forecast is 3 percent less than the August 1 report as a result of yields declining in
the major northern States. Average yield for the U.S. is expected to be 28.0 bushels per har-
vested acre compared with 26.7 bushels last year and 26.8 bushels in 1975,

Cool damp weather across the northern States has caused delays in harvesting. Minnesota
harvesters were 90 percent complete by September 1, about two weeks ahead of normal. Farmers in
North Dakota were more than three-fourths complete or about one week earlier than average.
Washington harvest was near completion by mid-August.

RICE: Production of rice in 1977 is forecast at 100 million hundredweight, 14 percent Tess than

Tast year's 117 million hundredweight crop and 22 percent below the record high 1975 crop.
The September 1 forecast is slightly less than the August 1 forecast as yield reductions in
Louisiana more than offset increases in California. The smaller 1977 crop results from fewer
acres for harvest than in the past two years.

Nationally, the average yield of 4,552 pounds per harvested acre is 127 pounds less than
last year but nearly the same as the 1975 crop

Texas harvesting was over 90 percent complete by September 1 ahead of last year and normal.
Louisiana rice was in fair to good condition with some lodging and sprouting of downed grain
Rice in Mississippi was 88 percent headed and 10 percent mature, Arkansas rice had minor Jodging

and was 5 percent harvested. California rice maturity has progressed to the dough stage.

SOYBEANS: | Soybean production is forecast at a record large 1,644 million bushe}s, up 3 percent

from the August 1 forecast, 30 percent above a year ago and 6 percent above the 1975
crop. Yield prospects are set at 28.3 bushels per acre, up 2.7 bushels from last year, but 0.5
bushel below the record large yield of 1975.

Yield prospects in the North Central area improved from August 1, as seven States recorded
increases ranging from 1 to 5 bushels per acre. I1linois and Minnesota are expected to have
record high yields while Indiana and Missouri look to equal their previous records.

The South Central States expect no change from last month except in Tennessee where the
yield prospects decreased | bushel per acre

Increases of 1 bushel per acre in Georgia, Maryland, and North Carolina reflect improved
conditions in the Atlantic Coast areas. However, severe insect infestations in South Carolina
have lowered yield expectations there by 0 bushel.

FLAXSEED: Flaxseed production is forecast at 16.0 million bushels, up 4 percent from a month ago
and more than twice the size of the small 1976 output

Yield prospects increased in Minnesota to 15.0 bushels per acre, equal to the record high
yield set in 1969. North Dakota growers also expect higher yields while South Dakota remains
unchanged from a month earlier, Frequent showers and cool, damp weather have slowed harvesting,
but progress is ahead of normal in the three-State area

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUGARBEETS

STATE AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD 4 PRODUCTION
’ 1 TNO t 1 7 INO 1 t ’ IND
1975 t+ 1976 4 1977 21975 1 1976 t 1997 + 1978 4 1976 3 1977
19000 ACRES TONS 19000 = TONS
ARIZ 1/ 170 1760 1209 21.5 2300 22.3 366 391 275
CaLIF 1 326.3 23000 «= 27.3 28.5 26.0 8,892 8,892 69440
COLO 154.9 7200 17.2 19.0 1960 29661 29303 1,368
IDAHO 18843 10600 18.6 2007 19.8 20942 22879 20106
KANS H $300 2520 15,5 1947 1968 667 749 475
MAINE 2/ +0 1002 0.8 56 0
MICH 914 8600 19,2 1668 19.0 10755 19540 19636
MINN 19690 26060 14.2 12.2 1669 29783 39026 3,876
MONT 48.5 4604 Wel 2140 1905 829 968 658
NEBR 9600 7000 18,5 2060 2000 10776 19690 11400
N MEX 3/ fr) 12 16.7 = 2202 2408 15 20 2
N DAK 13009 18700 1 1365 Thed 1,820 2,022 25198
OH10 3902 2400 1609 19.8 777 617 456
ORES 1709 BeT 2301 23.8 426 364 207
TEX 33.7 23. aol 21.8 2260 440 $03 398
UTAM 2205 1860 908 15,7 1766 1? 353 7 173
WASH - 8204 7605 6140 26.0 Zoos 25.0 20142 1,862 1,525
Wyo ST? 5604 4963 18.4 2007 19.6 15060 15167 937
us 1951606 1947809 1923904 1966 1949 1966 299704 294366 24,353
J/ RELATES TO YEAR OF HARVEST,
2/ ESTIMATE NOT MADE IN ALL YEARS.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
v
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

stave AREA HARVESTED 4 YIELD 1 PRODUCTION

t i ' ' IND t 7 IND t 7 TNO

! 1975 3 1976 1 1977 t 1975 1 1976 ¢ (1977 1 1975 4 1976 ¢ 1977

? T+000 ACRES TONS T+000 TONS

'
FLA ! 29860 30660 303.0 35.9 33.5 3060 104698 109251 9,090
Haw 1 12168 10601 10765 8667 88.1 9368 99666 95365 109084
La t 329.0 31520 31560 21.0 25.6 2326 61909 8.068 7,248
TEX 1 38.5 29.8 3460 35.2 3701 35.3 1,250 19106 1,200
us t TT4d 75609 75905 3669 38.0 3.¢ 289523285767 27,619

HOPS

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED ‘ YIELD ' . PRODUCTION 1/

4 1 1 IND 3 t 1 IND ——F TNO

Hl 1975 1 1976 1 1977.1 1975 t 1976 4 1977 3 1975 1 1976 3 1977

1 15000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 POUNDS

1
CALIF of 165 26S 165 18700 14660-19700 29550 29490 2,550
IDAHO 4 3e7 340 269 19660 19720 = 19650 69142 59160 45785
OREO 1 Bb 5e4 SoS 18700 14660 14600 99520 8,964 8,800
Wash 1 2163 2100 2007 14770 19960 19800 = 379701 419160 37,260
us 1 3261 3009 3006 19742 1987039745 557913 57774 534395

1/7 1977 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL 8€ GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

8-15

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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AUGUST RAINFALL AMPLE OVER MOST OF NATION

August brought much needed rain to key agricultural areas. Most States in the Corn Belt and
Plains received much more rain than usual for the time of year. The East and West Coasts experi-
enced above normal temperatures, while along the northern tier, from Montana to New York, readings
dipped 2 to 8° below normal.

Typical August weather with many series of thunderstorms marked the first week. The first
day of the month brought heavy rains to the eastern States; Tallahassee, Fla, and Columbia, S.C.
recorded 2 inches while Philadelphia, Pa., was drenched by 4 inches. The remainder of the week
brought record-tying temperatures, low and high. Palm Springs, Calif., notched 117° and 32° was
recorded in northeastern Minnesota. One day was highlighted by five tornadoes--three in Illinois
and one each in Missouri and Florida, At week's end, Atwater, Ohio, was inundated by 8 inches of
rain.

The second week of August brought ample-precipitation in the Corn Belt and parched north-
western Virginia. Central Iowa experienced 3 to 7 inches on the 8th. More than 2 inches of rain
hit various sections throughout the Nation including southern Florida, western New York, the
Central Kansas/Oklahoma border, northern I}linois and adjacent parts of lowa, most of Kentucky
and West Virginia, Nearly the entire West Coast remained dry as did West Texas and central
Georgia. The Pacific Northwest was under the spell of a heat wave when the northern Plains were
near freezing, showing 9 to 13° below normal.

The month's third week carried the new season's first Hurricane, Doreen, and her heavy pre-
cipitation into southern California and parts of the Southwest. Portions of the Corn Belt, re-
ceived heavy rain; 6 to 8 inches fel] on some Iowa points. Sections along the Gulf and middle
Atlantic Coasts, middle Mississippi Valley, and central Plains were soaked. Temperatures ran be-
Jow norma) in most of the country except west of the Rockies and the isolated locales of West
Texas, southern Florida, the upper South, and Louisiana Delta.

In August's fourth week the Pacific Northwest received relief from the heat that had reached
into the 100's for several days. A winterlike cold front produced large amounts of rain well
ahead of the traditional rainy season. The central Plains and, again, lowa were awash with heavy
rain. Other areas of heavy precipitation included the southern parts of Illinois, Indiana, and
Louisiana; central Georgia to the South Carolina coast; and parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin,

Several stations set precipitation records for the month--Baton Rouge, Des Moines, and
Buffalo among them.

The month closed with e-innus threats from Hurricanes Anita and Babe, but little damage re-
sulted.

CROP_DEVELOPMENT

Much above normal August rains improved soil moisture supplies, particularly in the
Great Plains and Corn Belt. Most of the West and South remained dry. Soybeans were the chief
beneficiary of late summer rains but corn, sorghum and pastures also benefited. Crop maturity is
far advanced as 1977 crop development continues to be the earliest ever.

In the North Central States almost half the soybean crop was turning yellow and 10 to 20
percent shedding leaves. In the South Centra] States leaves yellowed on a quarter of the crop
and leaf drop was only beginning. Soybeans need moisture in some southern States. Carn develop-
ed quickly and early. Harvest was underway throughout the South and extended northward into
L)linois, Missouri and Kansas. Almost half of the corn in the North Central States was mature,
ranging from a high of 90 percent in Illinois to @ low of 35 percent in Indiana. Maturity ranged
from 7 to 46 points ahead of 1976.

Cotton bolls opened rapidly and much earlier than last year and normal. Boll opening on
September 1 ranged mostly from 23 to 44 percent. Limited cotton harvest began throughout most of
the South although picking centered in Texas where 14 percent of the crop was harvested. Near
the end of August, rains disrupted smal] grain harvest along the U.S./Canadian border but
because of earlier progress remained as much as 10 days early. Grain sorghum harvest advanced
into Missouri and Kansas.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 197/ A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WHEAT:

PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, FOR THE UNITED STATES

YEAR WINTER SPRING ( WHITE TOTAL
— WINTER &
HARD SOFT HARD
RED RED RED oURUM SPRING)
1,000 SHELS
1975 1,052,837 342,496 226,432 123,362 289,706 2,334,833
1976 967,688 348,602 410,175 134,914 286,029 2,147,408
1977 1/ 997,432 341,188 400,281 80,332 210,463 2,029,696
T7 INDICATED SEPTEMBER T, TO77.
WINTER WHEAT

STATE i AREA HARVESTED £ YIELD t PRODUCTION

7] . ' + IND t 7 t IND: 1 , TNO

1 1975 1 1976 t 1977 + 1975 + 1976 t 197715 1975 t 1976 4 1977

1 T0900 ACRES BUSHELS 1000 BUSHELS

t
ALA ast 138 128 120 2740 2668 35373 39120
ARIZ 1/1 320 112 63 7500 72.0 Br400 49536
ARK Ist 520 710 700 3940 35.0 274690 244500
CALIF vt 986 860 650 6200 bed 534320 417600
COLO 1/1 29260 29200 29360 21.5 23.0 479300 54280
DEL lst 31 29 35.0 33.08 1,085 987
FLA Ast 22 21 3000 660 567
6A we 118 v2 31.0 3565 30472
IDAHO 3 890 830 4400 369080 399160 325370
ILL vt 15850 19600 39.0 729150 684800
IND Ist 19600 19265 3640 57,600 54,395
Towa 1/1 85 65 35.0 25978 2,210
KANS 17% 119300 129300 3000 3509900 339,000 3504550
ky it 330 270 31.0 119968 109230 949990
ta ve 38 40 3300 400 29155 14200
MD vs 138 123 3840 59304 5 e244 45162
MICH Ist 990 930 38.0 389760 379620 379200
MINN 1/1 163 105 26.0 19840 49238 2960
MIss i¢¢ 180 125 2940 4eheo 54220 3,875
MO Vw 12650 19550 3360 489510 549450 609450
MONT 1 34080 2800 3260 105,000 98,560 78,400
NEBR 1/?t 21950 39050 32.0 980260 940400 1069750
NEV It n 8 6520 770 75 S20
NJ we 85 42 4200 19944 2e310 19638
N MEX 1/2 213 349 2340 100062 44899 8,376
NY Ist 165 170 3600 To410 59940 69630
NC lst 240 198 2940 89525 6,960 5850
N DAK 1/1 135 128 2820 39137 3,780 2,688
OHIO lst 15650 15540 4000 749340 66,000 725380
OKLA 1st 64300 69500 2400 1609600 «15149200 =—1 759500
OREO t 1,220 19080 4600 539280 56,120 415040
Pa it m5 260 3000 119385 94450 8580
sc¢ wi 145 105 2500 49185 3,625 34048
$ O4K 1/6 970 680 2800 230200 175460 289360
TENN 1/3 335 260 3760 99610 125395 109080
TEX st 49700 49700 2200 1319100 1039400 = 117500
UTAH 1/1 222 180 23.5 $9712 8,217 4140
vA ive 240 215 3200 99052 77680 67450
WASH : 29885 20700 4600 34.0 1349260 = 1320710 91800
WA ist 7 14 ay . 3200 33.0 Bae 448 363
Wis) vt 12 64 60 31.0 37.0 36.6 20232 25368 29280
wyo ive 880 240 240 25.0 2520 = BR 69250 69000 59280
us 1 519867 499535 489551 32.1 3106 32,8 156529923 195660074 1465281844

I/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA






TOBACCO

STATE t AREA HARVESTED ul YIELD Ul PRODUCTION

i ¥ ¥ "TNS 7 T T IND? ’ 1 IND

+ 1975 ¢ 1976 ¢ 1977 1 1975 | 1976 § 1977 & 1975 1 1976 2 1977

T —KCRES POUNDS Tro00 POUNDS

1 -
ala l/ 4 700 640 14800 19196 1,152 633
CONN t 49450 45550 14889 65387 79189 69076
FLA 1 149490149350 20148 2979595 90828 = 254219
GA 1 755130 68/000 1,820 1509978 1239760 3179250
IND 1 75500 79500 25420 165950 184150 17,000
Ky 1 2009700 207,000 20403 4560654 4970401 4634678
ta ot 150 140 700 60 98 120
MD 1 239000 = 23,000 14300 214850 = 294900 «294900
Mass 5 1,420 1210 16525 1,980 19865» 1,870
MO 1/ 28700 26400 29190 69129 50256 59750
nec 1 4799500 448,000 29015 956,995 9025930 684,650
OHIO) = ts 119300119200 20115 231698 = 234688 = 249 625,
PA 1 129000 139800 19750 19,800 239625 «234660
sc 1 901000 = - 754000 29045 1899000 1534375 1344550
TENN : 460030 685450 27040 1349569 139668 140,905
va 1 86530 864780 19773 1420056 © 153+878 1360856
wa / 1 19750 19600 19790 39115 39222 35026
wis 4 129000 119100 19821 29002 «209801 209209 220 B10

t

us G69350 190465620 9655135 24008 25045 OS 2s18ly775 251360174 1y838y 772
7 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAS

TOBACCO - PRICE AND VALUE

SERS AVERAGE PRICE VALUE OF
STATE PER POUND PRODUCTION
: THE : TOE H (mre
TENTS 7,000 DOLLARS
ALA : 91.5 108.0 1,089 1,210
CONN: 4960.4 406.5 29,408 29,222
FLA 313.0 114.9 335438 35,436
101.5 110.8 153,170 136,755
IND 194.0 143-0 17,628 20,510
Ky 106.7 115-8 484,716 576,005
LA : 148.0 150.0 87
NO : 109.0 2 23,817 33,339
mass: $61.9 468.6 10,957 8,645
i) : 98.0 106.0 5,008 1
NC : 99.8 110.7 955,515 999,437
OHIO: YI.) 105.9 23,953 25,075
PA : 58.0 60.0 11,484 18,175
sc : 99.5 n2.0 188,055 173,780
TENN 102.9 nn 138,472 163,529
vA : 99.5 107.2 141,392 164,900
WA : 102.5 108.5 3,193 3,496
WIS: + 78.1 74.9 15,622 15,344
us : 102.6 112.6 2,238,002 2,404,376
T7 REVISED. 27 EVACUATED AT TTT. 5 CENTS PER POUND, THE AVERAGE OF AUCTION SHLES THROUGH MAY.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 8-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
METRIC UNITS,

HARVESTE! TYTELD PER HECTAI
CROP : t INDICATED
1976 INDICATED: yg76 ; INDICATE! 1976 13 ;
: 1977 2 1977 1977 1977
HECTARES METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 2 28,767,390 28,106,930 §.49 5.63 157,894,490 154,745,300 158,226,020
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN + 6,020,570 5,688,730 3.05 3.51 18,382,290 18,410,440 19,973,240
OATS 5,074,920 5,827,540 1.63 1.89 8,163,970 10,996,370 11,012,050
BARLEY : 3,406,280 3,885,020 2.41 2.27 8,213,950 8,834,750 8,816,030
ALL WHEAT + 28,661,770 26,968,130 2.04 2.05 $8,442,870 55,536,190 55,239,280
WINTER + 20,046,320 19,648,100 2.13 2.12 += 42,621,550 41,532,110 41,608,320
OURUM : 1,855,100 1,242,800 1.98 1.76 3,671,760 2,255,130 2,186,280
OTHER SPRING 6,760,350 6,077,230 1.80 1.88 12,149,560 11,748,950 11,444,680
RICE : 1,012,130 891,130 5.24 5.10 5,307,890 4,563,680 4,546,670
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS + 20,009,090 23,527,870 1.72 1.90  34,424°660 43,601,060 44,748,340
FLAXSEED 386,070 592,870 148 -69 186,850 392,850 406,700
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 615,740 610,920 2.76 2.45 1,701,370 1,417,020 1,498,480
COTTON 4,416,580 5,185,580 52 =58 2,303,640 2,946,840 2,874,270
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 601,090 "525,410 1.30 1.47 780,900 790,650 773,420
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 50,590 66,770 1.93 66 97,520 44,230 44,230
POTATOES

SUMMER 48,600 47,180 21.17 21.40 1,029,100 1,017,860 1,008,870
SWEETPOTATOES 48,400 46,780 12.91 11.93 624,730 549,930 $58,140
TOBACCO 422,740 390,570 2.29 2.14 968,950 814,690 834,050
SUGARBEETS 598,500 501,570 44.51 44.05 26,640,390 22,001,040 22,092,670
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED 306,310 307,360 85.20 81.52 26,096,980 24,843,250 25,055,540
PEPPERMINT FOR OIL 29,220 33,870.06 206 1,680 1,880 1,960
SPEARMINT FOR OIL 13,700 13,960.06 07 760 960 970
HOPS 12,500 12,380 2.10 ~=—-1.96 26,210 24,750 24,220
PEARS 768,110 703,880 ‘685,740
GRAPES 3,904,890 4,026,720 3,809,900
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 131,540 1/137,890 ‘137,890
PRUNES AND PLUMS ~

(IDAHO, MICH, OREG, WASH) 65 860 58,970 58,970
CRANBERRIES 109,190 2/98,610
PECANS 46,770 108,140
FILBERTS : 6,530 9,980
WALNUTS : 166,650 __—*182,160_—*191,230
7 SUYT, 1977. 27 AS OF AUGUST 30, 1977.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
METRIC TONS
cho 5 Ru YIELD PI A A ‘ON
P : : : TNDICATED =: DICK
2 1976 i977 y s__1976 w77y _ 1978 1977 1/
FECTARES METRIC TONS

RYE : 325,370 317,680 1.30 1,46 423,360 463,370
ALL HAY 2 24,651,690 24,952,780 4.45 4.52 109,656,860 112,833,820
ALFALFA HAY : 10,746,950 11,192,920 5.90 6.23 63,422,190 69,695,370
ALL OTHER HAY : 13,904,740 13,759,860 3.33 3.04 496,234,670 43, 138,450
POTATOES 3

WINTER 5,830 5,500 23.22 20,36 135,350 111,990
SPRING 40,060 36,950 28.06 27.43 1,123,950 1,013,640
APPLES COM'L 2,901,070 3,122,510
PEACHES 1,369,030 1,311,330
SWEET CHERRIES 153,310 119,200
TART CHERRIES 65,770 96 300
APRICOTS 140,430 131,270
NECTARINES (CALIF) 120,660 177,930
PLUMS (CALIF) 104,330 127,010
ALMONDS (CALIF 211,370 231,330
CROP PRODUCTION. SEPTEMBER 1977 And CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Fire-cured growers expect to harvest a crop totaling 48.5 million pounds, 26 percent more than a
year earlier. The increase in production results from a 15 percent increase in acreage and high-
er yields.

Burley output is forecast at 639 million pounds, down 6 percent from 1976. A reduction in acreage
‘and Tower yields in major producing States caused the decline. Timely rains during August in
Kentucky kept the crop growing well.

Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at 29.9 million pounds, the same as the 1976
production.

Dark _air-cured prospects indicate a 19.8 million pound crop, 25 percent more than a year earlier
roductton increases are due to better yield prospects as well as acreage increases.

All cigar type production is forecast at 57.6 million pounds compared with 56.6 million pounds in
O76. Production of cigar-filler types is down slightly from a year earlier, cigar-binder types
up 13 percent and cigar-wrapper types down 25 percent

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets in 1977 is forecast at 24.4 million tons, slightly above
the August 1 forecast but 17 percent below the 1976 crop of 29.4 million tons.
Acres for harvest is down 16 percent from 1976 and the forecast yield per acre is off 0.3 tons.

Harvest of fal] planted beets in California's San Joaquin Valley is in full swing and is
just starting in the Sacramento Valley. The crop is in good condition but a few fields are
showing stress from extreme heat and a lack of sufficient water, In Colorado, the crop re-
sponded favorably to seasonally high temperatures and adequate irrigation.

Recent rains in North Dakota are expected to improve the sugar content if cool sunny days
prevail in the next few weeks. Minnesota's crop continues to look good but dry weather in
August lowered projected yields in the Red River Valley. Limited lifting is expected to begin
tn early September but full scale harvest will not begin until cooler temperatures permit stock-
piling.

Heavy August rains improved yield prospects throughout Michigan. Some hail damage was re-
ported in Nebraska during August, and powdery mildew is causing concern in some areas. The
Washington crop is in good condition and recent cool weather has been beneficial.

SUGARCANE: Production of Sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.6 million tons, down 4

percent from the record 28.8 million tons produced in 1976. Acreage for harvest at
759,500 acres is up slightly from the 756,900 acres harvested in 1976. Average yield per acre is
estimated at 36.4 tons compared with 38.0 tons in 1976.

Sugarcane growth has been good in Florida but many fields show signs of last winter's cold
damage. Cutting of seedcane is underway and should increase during the next few weeks. Rains
during August improved sugarcane growth in Louisiana; however, some planting was delayed due to
wetness. Hurricane Babe which hit the southeast sugarcane area on September 5 caused considerable
lodging. Surveys were completed prior to this storm and no measure of loss, if any, is available
as of this date, Weather in Hawaii was generally favorable for sugarcane growth. Adequate rain
fell during August along the Hamakua coast of Hawaii where the bulk of the acreage is located
Fields in other growing areas of the State were under normal irrigation. Sugarcane harvest made
satisfactory progress during August.

MINT FOR OIL: The peppermint for oi1 crop is forecast at 4.3 million pounds, up 4 percent from

the previous month's forecast and 17 percent above production in 1976. Favorable
weather conditions accelerated growth and maturity of plants in Idaho and Washington while rains
during August decreased yields in Indiana. Wisconsin yields are also lower than last month while
prospects in Oregon, the leading State, are unchanged from a month earlier

The Spearmint for oil crop is forecast at 2.1 million pounds, 27 percent higher than in 1976.

Idano ytelds are Slightly higher than last month, while Indiana, Michigan, Wasington and Wisconsin
prospects remain unchanged.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



PRUNES AND PLUMS: The 1977 California prune crop is forecast at 152,000 tons (dried basis).

This is unchanged from the July 1 estimate but is 5 percent ahead of Tast
season's total and 2 percent above 1975, Harvest is underway throughout the State and the crop
is in generally good condition despite heavy winds in some areas.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon and Washington is expected to total
65,000 tons, unchanged from a month ago, but 10 percent less than during the last two seasons.
Harvest of Oregon's 28,000 ton crop is complete in the Milton-Freewater area and is expected to
be underway in the Willamette Valley by mid-September. Early August heat reduced fruit sizing
and coloring, and late August rains have raised concerns about brown rot damage. Picking of
Washington's short crop was winding down for late varieties; quality and fruit sizes are good.

CRANBERRIES: Cranberry production in the United States this year is forecast at 2.2 million

barrels, 10 percent less than last year's large crop, but 5 percent above the 1975
total. Reductions are forecast in the East while Washington and Oregon expect production
increases from last year’s poor crops.

In Massachusetts, the 1977 crop is forecast at 920,000 barrels, 2 percent below a year ago,
but 17 percent higher than in 1975, Despite some winter injury and hot, dry summer weather,
berries are sizing well following an average to heavy bloom and an average fruit set. The Wis-
consin crop, at 790,000 barrels, will be off 21 percent from the 1976 total. Even though berry
set was good in many bogs, some were plagued by winter damage and drought conditions.

New Jersey's output is forecast at 220,000 barrels, 20 percent under last year's total.
Berry sizes vary considerably due to a combination of winter injury, spring frost damage, and hot,
dry July weather.

In Washington, crop expectations tota) 149,000 barrels, compared with 103,000 last year.
Mild winter and spring weather resulted in early, heavy bloom and excellent fruit set. Berries
are sizing rapidly in most bogs. Qregon's crop, at 95,000 barrels, is 6 percent above last year's
frost-damaged crop. Despite an above average bloom and set, earlier frost-damage and drought are
continuing concerns.

PECANS: The 1977 pecan crop is initially forecast at 238.4 million pounds compared with

103.1 million pounds last year and 248.3 million pounds in 1975. All States
except North Carolina expect larger crops than last year. In Georgia, the largest pecan
producing State, sizes will be smaller than normal because of early summer dry weather
Pecan weevil is a problem but other insects are less numerous this year. In Texas, the
hot, dry weather helped alleviate some insect problems but stressed trees causing excessive
nut drop. Pecan weevil control measures began in mid-August. In Louisiana, dry weather in
the late spring and early summer reduced prospects; however, currently the crop is in fair
condition. A good nut set in Oklahoma indicated an above average crop, but insect damage
following early August rains has been quite heavy. Pecan weevil and shuckwork have not
been controlled well by spraying, thus reducing prospects.

FILBERTS: Oregon and Washington filbert production is forecast at 11,000 tons, 53 percent

above last year but 9 percent below the 1975 crop. Dry, hot weather caused leaf
and nut sunburn damage. Nut meats should not be affected significantly. Nut sizes are
Jarge with limited amounts of brown stain and worm damage reported.

WALNUTS: Production of walnuts in California and Oregon is forecast at 210,800 tons, 5

. percent above the August 1 forecast and 15 percent above last season. In Cali-
fornia, water supplies appear to be adequate for this year's crop. The crop developed
normally with less sunburn and insect damage than normal. Harvest of early varieties should
begin about mid-September.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USOA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC _UNITS)

*_AREA HARVESTED: YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
: INOI-—: TN 7
CROP ANO UNIT 1976 : CATED : 1976 1976
: 1977 1977 1977
T, 000 ACRES T,000

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 71,085 69,453 87.4 «89.7 6,216,032 6,092,054 6,229,084
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " 14,877 14,057 48.6 «= 55.9 723,679 724,787 «= 786,312
OATS « 12,392 14,400 45.4 52.7 562,452 757,589 758,669
BARLEY " 8,417 9,600 44.8 «= 42.2 377,264 «405,777 404,917
ALL WHEAT " 70,824 66,639 30.3. 30.5 2,147,408 2,040,606 2,029,696

WINTER ” 49,535 48,551 37.6 31.5 1,566,074 1,526,044 1,528,844

DURUM " 4,584 3,071 29.4 26.2 += 134,914 82,862 80,332

OTHER SPRING " 16,705 15,017 26.7 28.0 446,420 431,700 += 420,520
RICE 2,501.0 2,202.0 4,679 4,552 117,019 100,612 100,237
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 49,443 58,138 25.6 28.3 1,264,890 1,602,065 1,644,220
FLAXSEED : 954 1,465 7.7 10.9 7,356 5,466 16,011
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: 1,521.5 1,509.6 2,465 2,188 3,750,890 3,124,020 3,303,600
COTTON BALE 1/:10,913.5 12,813.7 465 495 10,580.6 13,534.8 — 13,201.5
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT T/: 1,4 1,298.3. 1,159 1,313 17,216 ~=——*17,431 17,051
ORY EDIBLE PEAS oT: 165.0 1,720 591 2,150 975 975
POTATOES

SUMMER CHT 116.5 189 191 22,688 += 22,440 22,242
SWEETPOTATOES, " 115.6 115 106 13,773 12,124 12,305
TOBACCO LB 965.1 2,045 1,905 2,136,174 1,796,103 1,838,772
‘SUGARBEETS. TON 1,239.4 19.9 19.6 29,366 24,252 24,353
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR

AND SEED TON 759.5 38.0 36.4 28,767 27,385 27,619
PEPPERMINT FOR OIL LB 83.7 5] 52 3,700 4,352 4,311
SPEARMINT FOR OIL " 34.5 58 62 1,683 2,127 2,144
HOPS. " 30.6 1,870 1,745 = 57,774 «54,575 53,395
PASTURE AND RANGE PCT 2/ 61 n
PEARS TON 846.7 775.9 755.9
GRAPES " 4,304.4 4,438.7 4,199.7
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) " 145.0  3/152.0 152.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS (IDAHO, =

MICH, OREG, WASH) " 72.6 65.0 65.0
CRANBERRIES BBL 2,407.3 4/2,174.0
PECANS LB 103,100 ~ 238,400
FILBERTS TON 7.2 n.0
WALNUTS " 183.7 200.8 210.8

T7_YIEUD IN POUNDS. 27 PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITION AS-OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1966-75 AVERAGE 1s 77

PERCENT. 3/ JULY 1, 1977. 4/ AS OF AUGUST 30, 1977.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

3___AREA HARVESTED. YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
ul : T INDICA’ A : : :
CROP AND UNIT 2 1976 977: 1976 77 ys 1976 1977 1/
: 7,000 ACRES 7,000
RYE BU 804 785 20.7 23.2 16,667 18,242
ALL HAY TON 60,915 61,659 1.98 2.02 120,876 124,378
ALFALFA HAY " 26,556 27,658 2.63 2:78 69,911 76,826
ALL OTHER HAY " 34,359 34,001 1.48 1.40 50,965 47,552
POTATOES.
WINTER cur 14.4 13.6 207 182 2,984 2,469
SPRING " 99.0 93 250 245 243779 22,347
APPLES COM'L LB 6,395,800 6,884,000
PEACHES " 3,018,200 2,891,000
SWEET CHERRIES TON 169.0 131.4
TART CHERRIES LB 145 ,000 212,300
APRICOTS TON 154.8 144.7
NECTARINES (CALIF) “ 133.0 130.0
PLUMS (CALIF) " 115.0 140.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) . 233.0 255.0

U/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-3

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

SRS, USDA




DRY EDIBLE BEANS Vv

CROP AND STATE. 3 AREA HARVESTED 4 YIELO 1 PRODUCTION
f T T THOT + T—IRD-T 1 T TRO
41975 2 19%] 21977 F-19759 1976 E1977 8 1975 1 1976 21977
T T;050 ACRES BOUNDS 1,000 CHT
LARGE LIMA BEANS 1
CALIF ’ 24.0 35.0 1s700 19490-14850 408 822z ou
BABY LIMA BEANS '
Caurr ‘ 20,0 2ho 20080 «14800 24000 416 378 380
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS '
CALIF 1 12000 123.0 1y610 19545 1,688 1,782 19900 1,978
ORY EDIGLE BEANS :
CALIF 154.0 19564 19726 25606 29800 20969
coo £ 200.0 900 850 14800 19665 19190
IDAHO 2 1hd60 26670 16800 26380 21655 21196
ANS, an 313.0 345200 15200 152 150 180
MICH $20.0 930 © 14150 45680 49883 51923
MINN art 48,0 867 14300 3e4 366 403
WONT an 1140 19700 14500 176 153 90
NEBR 120.0 19650 14650 19920 14980 19650
ny ’ 4740 34970 19200 $3) 428 480
N DAK 1 12260 750 14183 19083 19158
UTAH ant 1540 390 83 $1 rf
wash s 3640 14750 102 455 382
Wyo ' 28.0 14730 465 4ae 396
OTHER 2s3ft 1202 7 . 19346 180 105 96
vs 31946701 1998523 1298.3 1,159 379422179216 17205)

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ ILLINOIS AND INDIANA.

DRY EDIBLE PEAS. Vv

state fg AREA HARVESTED : YTECO H PRODUCTION
t t 7 Tt ¥ 7 IND 7 7 TH
t 1975.1 __1976 2 977: 1975 11976 t 1977 : 3975 3 1976: 2977
t 14990 ACRES POUNDS 19000 cr

Toa ¢ 6900 4800 6720 14390 14720 650 959 826 436

OREG Arr 14409 36

waSH ot 117a0 Tee 9960 15685 14720 $50 1,737 14926 539

us 1 18965 125.0 16540 1946914720 591 2731 24150 97s

1/ FXCLUDFS ROTH WRINKLED SFED PEAS AND AUSTRIAN WINTE

Pras,
2/ DISCONTINUED AFTER 1975.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 8-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP_REPORT SUMMARY

The "all crops" production index (1967=100) is 125, up 3 points from 1976, ac-
cording to the Crop Reporting Board.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1967-76 (1967=100)

7 PRODUCTION
: : HAY =: : : : :
ver At : oRaaws : AND: chars | epak : COTTON : TOBACCO : OIL CROPS
Vo: : FORAGE: : : : :
1967: 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1968 =: 103 95 99 106 113 148 87 4
1969: 104 99 100 98 115 137 91 116
1970: (101 89 99 91 4 139 97 17
1971: «112 n6 105° 107 16 145 86 121
1972: «113 2 104 102 127 187 38 131
1973: 120 115 109 13 112 175 88 155
1974: 109 93 104 122 104 158 101 127
1975: 121 14 108 142 131 12 no 153
1976: 122 119 102 140 131 342 108 130
1977: 125 122 104 131 116 177 3 163

q/ TNCLUDES HAY SEEDS, PASTURE SEEDS ANDO COVER-CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS
TROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related
information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and
adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from
the Statistical Reporting Service's field offices and Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

B. M. Graham, Chairman,
M. L. Koehn, Secretary,
APPROVED: J. W. Kirkbride, F. E. Rolf,
W. G. Lee, DO. C. Tucker,
P. A. Walsh, Jr., R. D. Allen,
QO, J. Buckner, A. R, Davis, Jr.,
H. Jd. DeLong, W. N. Dowdy,
J. R. Garrett, J. R. Gibson,
D. E. Hamilton, Cc. M. Hayes,
C. J. Koines, R. F. Kriesel,
L. K, Roberson, R. L. Schulte,
J. 0. Shaw, J. L. Smith,
C. DO. Spillmann, 4H. J. Tippett,
J. R. Unger, W. J. Walker,
SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE W. W. Wilken.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



GRAPES

CROP AND STATE

PRODUCTION. 1/7
TOT!

n
1 TOTAL ' aL 7 IND
: 1975 H 2076 1 1977
+ TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE '
CALIF 1 434,000 4069000 4505000
GRAPES WINE TYPE 1
1 143225000 163559000 145001000
ones! RAISIN TYPE DRIED 2/1
1 284,000 258-080
one? thaisin TYPE NOT DRIED +
' 955,400 9895000
ORAPES RAISIN TYPE :
CALIF ' 212059000 261299000 199504000
ALL GRAPES +
ARIZ ast 129300 114000
ARK vay 104500 6 105300
CALIF ' 349612000 348909000 349004000
MICH ' 36000 149500 269000
wo as 24750 24750 39000
Ny a 1s200 900
NY ' 153+000 1039000
NC Bsa Seed 4,620
onro Bit 149600 62000
Pa + 480000 30+000
WASH 4 1109200 1004000
OTHER STATES 3/44 45800 41900
us t 443789750 413060440 411994720

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE

{TONS)1 US 1975=1+280s 19762999380

(287+000 TONS

FRESH EQUIVALENT RAISIN TYPE IN CALIF LaIOs BUT NOT
HARVESTED DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGE).
2/ ORTED BASISe 1 TON RAISINS 1S EQUIVALENT TO 4,40 TONS
OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1975 AND 4.42 FOR 197
a/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

47 GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

PRUNES ANO PLUME

CROP AND STATE

PRODUCTION 1/

t
¥ TOTAL 1 Tora ¥ TNO
1 1975. 4 2976 b 1977
1 TONS
PRUNES (ORTEO BASIS) 1
CALIF. ' 1495000 1529000
PRUNES AND PLUMS ’
IDAHO 1 74000
MICH + 154000
ORES. Hy 30000 284000
WASH ' 20600 Es 155000
us ' 724600 724600 654000

1/7 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS EULLAGE

(TONS) T

TOTAL 1975=35000+ 1976=3,500.

CRANBERRIES

PRODUCTION
STATE 1975 : 1976 1977

TOTAL; urmunzeo =} ToT; UTILIZED INDICATED

T, 000 BARRET:
MASS 785.0 785.0 935.0 935.0 920.0
NQ 221.0 221.0 276.0 276.0 220.0
OREG 97.1 97.1 89.3 89.3 95.0
WASH 135.0 135.0 103.0 103:0 149:0
WIS 837.0 837-0 1,004.0 1,004;0 790.0
us 2,075. 7 2,075.1 2,407.3 2,407.3 2,174.0

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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B-12

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977


COTTON: All] cotton production is forecast at 13.2 million bates, 25 percent above the 1976

crop but 2 percent below the August 1 forecast. Expected production consists of 13.1
million bales of Upland and 93,800 bales of American-Pima. Cottonseed production in 1977,
based on a three year average lint-seed ratio, is forecast at 5.2 million tons, 24 percent more
than in 1976.

Growers expect to harvest 12.8 million acres of all cotton this year, 17 percent above
1976, and virtually unchanged from the August 1 estimate. Average lint yield per harvested
acre is forecast at 495 pounds, 30 pounds above 1976.

Texas and Oklahoma Upland cotton production is forecast at 4.9 million bales for 1977, an
increase of 39 percent from last year. Harvesting has moved northward and into the Blackland
area of Texas well ahead of normal schedule and with virtually no delays other than backlogs at
gins. A few early fields have been harvested in the Plains area where prospects remain
excellent. Rains benefitted the Oklahoma crop which is also early. Open bolls are beginning
to appear. Insect damage has been light.

In the Delta States - Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Missouri - the
cotton crop is expected to produce 3.5 million bales, 22 percent above 1976. Harvest is rapid-
ly approaching. Some defoliants are being applied as many bolls are opening. Picking has
started and will gradually increase, considerably ahead of normal, Control measures for insects
are tapering off. A good to excellent crop is forecast.

Production in the Southeastern States - Georgia, Alabama, South Carolina and North Carolina
- is expected to total 620,000 bales, down 19 percent from 1976. Dry weather hurt the crop and
Prospects are rated only fair to good. Damage from worms is widespread even though control
measures continue. Considerable cotton is open and first bales have been picked.

The California, Arizona and New Mexico Upland grop is forecast at 4.1 million bales, up 22
percent from last year. The crop continues to make narmal progress with bolls opening. Limited
damage is evident from heavy rains and wind which hit southern California and parts of Arizona,

The Bureau of the Census reports 694,249 bales ginned to September 1 compared with 373,104
bales ginned to the same date in 1976 and 168,6C3 bales in 1975,

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Prospects for dry beans declined 2 percent during August and production is now

forecast at 17.1 million cwt--stightly less than the 1976 crop of 17.2 million
cwt. Acreage for harvest at 1.3 million acres is 13 percent less than last year while this year's
expected yield at 1,313 pounds is up 13 percent.

Cool weather in Michigan during August was favorable for a good set of pods on Tater planted
beans while late August rains delayed harvest of early maturing fields. In California, dry beans
range from just filling rows to full pod development with harvest of blackeyes in progress. The
Idaho crop matured earlier than normal with swathing and combing of a good quality crop well
underway by September 1. A few Nebraska fields were harvested in August with main harvest ex-
pected to get underway in early September. Early beans were damaged by hot weather and hail
while late beans are expected to be better quality although they need another two weeks without
frost. In North Dakota, cool, damp weather in late August delayed maturity and caused some weath-
ering of beans. Another two weeks of frost free weather is also needed ‘n that State. Harvest
in washington started in late August but was halted by rain.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


HOPS: Production of hops in the U. $. this year is now expected to total 53.4 million pounds

off 2 percent from a month earlier and 8 percent below the 1976 crop. Acreage for harvest,
at 30,600 acres, is unchanged from last month but yield prospects in Washington and Idaho deterto-
rated slightly during August

In Washington, the Nation's leading producer, hot weather during much of August reduced
growth and rains late in the month hampered early harvest operations. California harvest is pro-
gressing we}l and should be complete by early September. Picking of hops was nearly complete in
Oregon by month's end and was proceeding on schedule in Idaho.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: September 1 pasture and range feed conditions averaged 71 percent for
the 48 contiguous States. This is 10 points above 1976 but 6 points
below the 1966-75 average for this date.

Pasture conditions improved during August in much of the Nation, Only a few States show
declines with the more serious declines in Oregon and Nevada. Very poor conditions stil) pre-
vail in many southeastern States.

PEARS: The final forecast of the Nation's 1977 pear crop places production at 755,900 tons.

This is 3 percent below last month and 11 percent less than the record 1976 total. Re-
duced prospects from a month earlier in California and Washington more than offset increases re~
flected in New York and Oregon,

In the Pacific Coast States, Bartlett pear output is now forecast at 526,000 tons, down 4
percent from a month ago and 10 percent under the 1976 total. Harvest of Washington's crop was
active during August and was virtually complete by the end of the month. Pear psylla damage was
reported in some lots, Picking in Oregon wil} be wrapped up by mid~September. Sizing improved
during August at Hood River, but slowed or stopped in the Medford area. California harvest is
winding down rapidly with sizes reported smaller because of continued drought conditions.

Production of pears other than Bartlett in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
183,000 tons, slightly above Yast month, but off 20 percent from the 1976 total. Harvest of a

good quality crop is underway in California. Sizes are below normal because of the drought and
hot weather, but the late crop is sizing well. Picking of Oregon's crop was underway in early
September. The Washington harvest began in late August and became very active in early September
Quality of the crop is good and fruit sizes are adequate.

GRAPES: This year's U.S. grape crop is now forecast at 4.2 million tons, 5 percent less than the
record output estimated just a month ago and 2 percent below the 1976 total.

Prospects in California, which will produce about 93 percent of the Nation‘s 1977 crop, were
reduced during August to 3.9 million tons as a result of continued drought conditions, This is
still slightly above last year's total, but lags the 1975 crop by 2 percent. Production of wine
variety grapes is forecast at 1.5 million tons in California, off 6 percent from August 1 but
11 percent above the 1976 total. The crop is ripening rapidly and harvest of early vineyards is
underway. Output of raisin varieties is now expected to tota} 1,950,000 tons, 7 percent above
the August ] forecast and 8 percent under the 1976 rain-damaged total, This estimate is based
on a special survey conducted in California August 20-24 during which actual counts and weights
were made of bunches in sample vineyards. Laying of grapes for raisins began in Tate August and
harvest continues active. California's table grapes, at 450,000 tons, are expected to surpass
the previous two seasons. Harvest in the Coachella Valley is complete and picking of Tokays is
becoming active, although total table grape harvest is later than last year. New York's crop is
now expected to total 103,000 tons, a 12 percent improvement since August 1, but 44 percent below
last year's output. Harvest of early varieties is underway. Pennsylvania grapes remained in
variable condition because of excessive August moisture. Harvest of Washington's light crop
should be well underway by mid-September.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1977 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA