CITRUS FRUIT 1/

2 PRODUCTION : PRODUCTION

BOXES TON EQUIVALENT

UTILIZED

: 1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS

ORANGES, EARLY MID:
& NAVEL 3/:
ARIZ : 650 600 850 25 23 32
CALIF : 26,200 33,300 36,500 982 1,249 1,369
FLA : 55,000 64,200 72,000 2,475 2,889 3,240
TEX al: 0 200 500 0 9 21
US : 81,850 98,300 109,850 3,482 4,170 4,662
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
ARIZ + 1,800 1,700 1,500 68 64 56
CALIF : 26,200 21,500 28,000 983 807 1,050
FLA : 48,900 54,800 57,000 2,201 2,466 2,565
TEX 4/: 0 110 350 0 5 15
us : 76,900 78,110 86,850 3,252 3,342 3,686
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ : 2,450 2,300 2,350 93 87 88
CALIF : 52,400 54,800 64,500 1,965 2,056 2,419
FLA : 103,900 119,000 129,000 4,676 5,355 5,805
TEX 4/: t) 310 850 0 14 36
u's : 158,750 176,410 196,700 6,734 7,512 8,348
TEMPLES 3
FLA : 3,250 2,950 3,600 146 133 162
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE =:
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 24,800 25,600 27,000 1,054 1,088 1,148
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED:
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 16,300 18,000 19,500 693 765 829
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT =:
FLA : 2,900 3,150 3,500 123 134 149
ALL GRAPEFRUIT 2
ARIZ : 3,000 2,400 1,800 96 77 58
CALIF 5/:
DESERT : 3,800 3,600 3,600 121 115 115
OTHER AREAS: 5,000 4,800 168 161
TOTAL : 8,800 8,400 289 276
FLA : 44,000 46,750 50,000 1,870 1,987 2,126
TEX 4: 0 220 2,100 0 9 84
us : 55,800 57,770 2,255 2,349
TANGERINES :
ARIZ : 700 700 700 26 26 26
CALIF : 1,680 1,800 1,900 63 68 ra
FLA : 1,050 1,150 1,400 50 55 67
us : 3,430 3,650 4,000 139 149 164
LEMONS :
ARIZ : 6,000 3,250 5,500 228 123 209
CALIF : 19,800 15,100 18,500 752 574 703
us + 25,800 18,350 24,000 980 697 912
TANGELOS :
FLA 3,600 2,950 4,000 162 133 180

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF
OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-80; LEMONS~76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES- CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES 1N FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.

4/ DUE TO SEVERE FREEZE OF DECEMBER 1983, NO
COMMERCIAL SUPPLIES WERE HARVESTED FOR THE 1984-85
TEXAS CITRUS CROPS.

5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS"
WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1987 5 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


TEMPLES: The Florida forecast continues at 3.60 million boxes (147 thousand
metric tons), unchanged from January 1 but 22 percent more than last
season. Harvest as of February 1 was 18 percent complete.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of January was wet, windy, and cool. On several mornings,

predicted upper 20 degree temperatures failed to materialize
due to cloud cover or a change in wind direction. A few mornings had varying
amounts of frost that melted rapidly at sunrise, with virtually no damage.
The net result of the cold weather has been to bring most trees into a near
dormant condition with almost no new growth. Harvest of early midseason
oranges for processing has been very active during January. Movement of both
white and colored grapefruit has been almost equally divided between fresh and
processed usage. Tangelo harvest has been very active this month with good
movement expected well into February. Picking of temples for the fresh
markets increased during January. Caretakers have been busy working on cold
protection and hedging previously harvested groves.

PAPAYA: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is forecast at 4.00 million pounds

(1810 metric tons) in February. A decrease to 3.70 million pounds
(1680 metric tons) is anticipated in March, followed by increases in April and
May and production is forecast at 4.70 and 4.80 million pounds (2130 and 2180
metric tons), respectively. The February and March forecasts were revised
downward from last month's forecast due to weather related factors (cool
temperatures and wind damage).

January's fresh utilization is estimated at 4.40 million pounds (2000
metric tons), down 5 percent from December 1986 but 12 percent above last
January. Fresh output was less than anticipated as cool temperatures (slowing
fruit ripening), wind damage and disease problems combined to lower earlier
expectations. Crop area in January totaled 3905 acres (1580 hectares), 1
percent less than December 1986 and 2 percent more than last year. Harvested
area of 2420 acres (980 hectares) remained virtually unchanged from the
previous month and from last January.

POTATOES: Winter potato production is forecast at 2.76 million cwt (125 thou-

sand metric tons), down 8 percent from last year but 3 percent above
two years ago. Area for harvest is estimated at 11.9 thousand acres (4820
hectares), down 3 percent from a year ago. The average yield is forecast at
232 cwt per acre, 5 percent below last year and 3 percent below the January 1
forecast.

Most growers have begun to harvest jin California with some nearing the
half way point. California yield expectations are down a little from January
1, but size and quality of the crop are good.

Florida harvest is just getting underway. Weather conditions have favored

potato growth and development this season. A good volume should be harvested
by late February.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1987 8 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


PAPAYAS - HAWAII 1/

AREA FRESH PRODUCTION

MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP HARVESTED

DEC : 3,930 2,410 4,630

JAN : 3,810 3,905 2,430 2,420 3,925 4,400

FEB : 3,890 2,485 3,970 4,000
MAR : 3,985 2,405 4,285 3,700
APR : 3,910 2,390 4,350 4,700
MAY : 3,890 2,380 4,945 4,800

1/ 1986 REVISED.

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

STATE: : IND
1986 1987 1986

1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CWT
CALIF 5.1 4.8 290 280 1,404 1,479 1,344
FLA 7.2 7.1 210 200 1,287 1,512 1,420
US 12.3 11.9 243 232 2,691 2,991 2,764

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1987 4 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


JANUARY WEATHER SUMMARY

It was a stormy month along the east coast. A series of storms moved
through the Southeast and up the east coast triggering moderate to heavy
precipitation along the coast. Early in the month, moderate rain was
accompanied by unusually high tides which resulted in beach erosion and
flooding. Later, with the advent of colder weather, heavy snow fell through
the Appalachians and from Virginia and Maryland northward. Another storm
track during the month was from northwestern Texas and Oklahoma through the
eastern Great Lakes, The heaviest precipitation from these storms was from
Texas to Missouri where precipitation was well above normal. dust after
midmonth, an arctic outbreak pushed through the West and brought well below
freezing temperatures to the usually balmy areas in southern California and
the Southwest. Severely cold weather pushed through the Great Lakes near the
end of the month and covered most of the East. Average temperatures were
unusually mild jin the northern Great Plains. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint
Agricultural Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT

Winter wheat was mostly good to fair during January. Above-normal
temperatures melted snow cover in the central and northern Great Plains and
northern Rockies, leaving winter wheat vulnerable to freeze damage during most
of the month. Towards the end of the month, snow cover protection vanished in
the western and southernmost Corn Belt. Despite the above-normal temperatures
wheat remained dormant. Low moisture restricted growth in some areas. Freeze
damage has been light but increased somewhat at months' end. However,
temperatures fell to single digits several times during the month causing
concern about freeze damage. Cold, wet weather slowed growth in the southern
Great Plains during most of the month. Wheat began greening in Texas at
months' end. Seeding continued in the Southeast and Southwest most of the
month, Wetness hampered seeding in the Southeast while dryness curtailed
seeding in California. Cool, dry weather slowed growth in California the
second half of the month,

ORANGES: The U.S. all orange crop is forecast at 197 million boxes (7.57 mil-

lion metric tons) for the 1986-87 season, fractionally lower than
the January 1 forecast but 12 percent higher than the 1985-86 season.
Florida's all orange crop is estimated at 129 million boxes, unchanged from
the January 1 estimate but 8 percent more than last season's crop. Production
prospects for early and mid-season oranges in Florida is 72.0 million boxes,
the same as the January 1 forecast but 12 percent above 1985-86. The Valencia
crop in Florida is forecast at 57.0 miltion boxes, unchanged from January 1
but 4 percent more than the 1985-86 season.

Harvest of atl U.S. oranges as of February 1 was about 33 percent complete,
compared with 34 percent a year earlier. Harvest of Florida early mid-season
varieties is 69 percent complete, while the Valencia crop harvest is not yet
underway.

The California all orange forecast, at 64.5 million boxes, is down 2
percent from the January 1 forecast but 18 percent higher than last season's
production. The Navel orange output forecast continues at 36.5 million boxes,
10 percent more than the 1985-86 harvest. As of February 1, 36 percent of
California's Navel crop had been harvested. The California Valencia orange
crop, forecast at 28.0 million boxes, is down 3 percent from January 17 but is
30 percent above last season's crop. Harvest has not yet begun. The all
orange forecast for Arizona is expected to total 2.35 million boxes, up 7
percent from the January 1 estimate and 2 percent higher than last season's
production. The Texas all orange forecast is 850 thousand boxes, the same as
January 1 and compares with 310 thousand boxes harvested last season.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1987 6 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


@ Agricultural United States
( ro Statistics Department of
Board Agriculture
H National Agricultural Washington, D.C. 20250
ro u | (e) n Statistics Service

RELEASED: February 9, 1987
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CITRUS production is forecast at 12.2 million tons (11.0 million metric tons),
down 1 percent from January 1 but 12 percent higher than last season.

ORANGE production is forecast at 197 million boxes (7.57 million metric tons),
fractionally lower than January 1 but 12 percent higher than last
season.

GRAPEFRUIT production, excluding California "other areas" crop, is forecast at
57.5 million boxes (2.16 million metric tons), fractionally lower than
January 1 but 9 percent above last season.

LEMON production is forecast at 24.0 million boxes (827 thousand metric tons),
down 5 percent from the January 1 forecast but 31 percent higher than
the 1985-86 season.

WINTER POTATO production is forecast at 2.76 million cwt (125 thousand metric
tons), 8 percent below last year but 3 percent above two years ago.

HRKRIK KIKI KIER EKER II IKARIA IRI IRI ARIK IIR ERIK IIIB I AIK IKI SKI III III IARI

* NOTICE *
* *
* The next issue of this report will be published March 9, 1987 *
* *
* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
* should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room *
* 5829-South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021) .*
*

* This report and other statistical, economic, marketing and news reports *
* are available as soon as possible following release through USDA's EDI *
* SERVICE. For more information, call or write: Russell Forte, (202) *
* 447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250. *

KIKKIKEKIIAIIHKIR IIR IRIR IIA IIR RII IIR IIAREN III IIIT I SII IRI IA IIIA III IIA.

CrPr 2-2 (2-87) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


Changes in U.S. production between the February 1 forecast and final
production averaged 5.97 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from
a low of 270 thousand boxes in 1980-81 to a high of 17.1 million boxes in
1981-82,

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1986-87 yield projection of

Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice is
1.46 gallons per box at 42.0 degree Brix, unchanged from the January 1 pro-
jection. This all orange yield computation is projected to the final amount
reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association at the end of the
harvest season. The 1985-86 final season average yield was 1.37834 gallons
per box. In 1984-85, the FCOJ final yield was 1.37582 gallons per box which
was affected by freezing weather.

GRAPEFRUIT: The February 1 forecast, excluding California's “other areas"

grapefruit, is 57.5 million boxes (2.16 million metric tons),
fractionally lower than the January 1 forecast but 9 percent above last
season. Production for the California “other areas" crop, which will be
forecast as of April 1, accounted for 4.80 million boxes during the 1985-86
season. The California “Desert Valley" crop forecast continues at 3.60
million boxes, the same as last season. Harvest of California Desert
grapefruit is 42 percent complete. The Florida all grapefruit forecast
remains at 50.0 million boxes, unchanged from the January 1 forecast but up 7
percent from last season. Harvest in Florida is 41 percent complete.

The forecast for Arizona is 1-80 million boxes, down 5 percent from
January 1 and 25 percent from last season. Harvest is 47 percent complete.
The Texas forecast remains at 2.10 million boxes and harvest is about 51
Percent complete.

LEMONS: Production in Arizona and California is expected to total 24.0 million

boxes (827 thousand metric tons), down 5 percent from January 1 but
31 percent above last season's utilized production. The California forecast
is 18.5 million boxes, down 3 percent from the January 1 forecast but 23
percent above last season. Picking in California is 41 percent complete. The
forecast for production expected to be utilized in Arizona is 5.50 million
boxes, 69 percent higher than last season's small utilized crop. Harvest is
90 percent complete.

TANGELOS: The Florida crop, excluding K-early citrus fruits, at 4.00 million

boxes (163 thousand metric tons), is unchanged from January 1 but
36 percent higher than last season. Harvest was active during January and was
90 percent finished by the end of the month.

TANGERINES: The U.S. production forecast is 4.00 million boxes (149 thousand

metric tons), down 4 percent from the January 1 forecast but 10
percent above last season. The Florida crop estimate is 1.40 million boxes,
down 7 percent from January 1 but 22 percent higher than the 1985-86 season.
Harvest is 91 percent complete. The California crop forecast continues at
1.90 million boxes, up 6 percent from last season. The Arizona crop forecast,
at 700 thousand boxes, is 7 percent below January 1 but the same as the
utilized production in 1985-86.

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1987 7 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY

(DOMESTIC UNITS
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION 1/

cROP 1985-86 0 pane nnn nnn nnn nena nnn nnn n nen nee
JAN 1 FEB 1
1,000 BOXES sti‘; ;7;«=S
ORANGES =: 176,410 197,550 196,700
LEMONS : 18,350 25,300 243000

1/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
: INDICATED =: : INDICATED
1986 : 1987 : 1986 : 1987

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board, which consists
of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington head-
quarters.

APPROVED: AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Charles E. Caudill, Chairperson,

L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,
O Rich D. Allen, John D. Witzig,
Robert L. Addison, Arvin R. Budge,
Robert L. Freie, Clifton D. James,

Doyle C. Johnson, Thomas £. McNair.
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE |

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1987 2 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION 1/

CROP V9B5-86 fawn eee n enn nnn wane nen nee n nnn n nnn nnn nne ne
JAN 1 FEB 1
a aa METRIC TONS ~~ ~SsSttCS
ORANGES —: 6,814,770 7,602,210 7,573,180
LEMONS : 632,310 871,800 827,350

1/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

: INDICATED pe : INDICATED
1986 : 1987 : 1986 : 1987

27.24 26.01 135,670 129,730 125,370

CROP PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 1987 3 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA