SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE AREA HARVESTED at YIELD 2 PRODUCTION

i . 3 IND 3 7 * IND ¢ 7 T IND

i 1978 ¢ 1979 1980 t 1978 t 1979 t 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 $ 1980

z 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 17000 BUSHELS

:
ALA wa Ly 26 32 37,0 37.0 35.0 1,258 1,036 16120
ARIZ : 13 72 72 78,0 71.0 5,694 5,112 5,112
ARK 2 200 176 160 60,0 30,0 12,000 10,912 4,800
CALIF 2 185 160 140 71,0 74,0 13,135 12,000 10,360
coLo : 280 280 270 31.0 33.0 1 a0 BeI10
GA wt 43 a9 76 29,0 35.0 1,911 2y660
me 4/8 68 78 62 68,0 55.0 5,100 3,410
rnd wi a5 is i3 65.0 32.0 825 676
TOWA 175 24 19 20 75,0 64.0 14339 1,280
KANS : 4,020 3/720 3,600 = 52,0 40.0 256,600 144,000
ky ist 23 34 e7 62,0 58.0 2,312 1,566
a 1st 17 18 18 34,0 34,0 aa o12
MISS 1/3 ai 33 35 38.0 40.0 1,452 4,490
MO z 850 720 820 80,0 a2.0 68,000 59,040 34,440
NEBR g 1,830 1,830 1,930 75,0 58,0 137,250 144,570 111,990
N MEX 267 258 210 46,0 50.0 12,282 13,416 10,500
NC 4/8 86 83 7S 52.0 49.0 4,472 4,399 3,675
OKLA : 485 Si5 500 36,0 32.0 17,460 23,175 16,000
PA ast 7 5 55.0 525 275
sc ist 15 14 16 32,0 25.0 460 532 400
S$ OAK 7 3a0 ‘302 230 30,0 32.0 17,000 13,590 7,360
TENN 1/8 2a 29 25 51.0 50.0 1,224 1,479 1/250
TEX £ 4,650 4,500 3,800 = 49,0 46.0 227/850 243,000 174,800
vA wet i 12 ist 47.0 44.0 S17 568 484
us t 13,561 12,949 12,147 $5.1 85.0 747,799 814,308 507,930
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1979 CROP,

ALL RICE

STATE 3. AREA HARVESTED YIELD a PRODUCTION

z ters igs ut Two ? IND t 7 THD

3 Ul ‘9 3 1980 1978 $1979 1/ * 1980 1978 ¢ 2 980

B 1,000 ACRES Poanes it ar
ARK 3 1,090.0 1,020.0 17290.0 4,450 4,320 4,050 48,505 S2,24
CALIF 490.0 522.0 565.0 5,220 6,450 6,150 25,578 333009 3as7an
La 3 587.0 528.0 607.0 35,820 3,910 3,500 22,425 20,643 21,245
“Iss : 215.0 207.0 250.0 4,250 4,059 3,700 9,138 8,388 9,259
MO 243 30.0 35.0 45,0 4,330 3,810 43,000 1,298 2333 1,600
TEX : 358.0 557.0 588.0 4,700 4,220 4,000 = 26,226 23, 481 23,520
us 5 2,970.0 2,869.0 3434540 4,484 4,586 4,269 133,170 131,574 142,808
1/_ REVISED.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
*

WHEAT PRODUCTION By CLASSES, UNITED STATES

WINTER cy
HARD SOFT HARD
RED RED WHITE ¢ RED
1,000 BUSHELS
992,046 350,152 194,515 397,603
836,265 201,761 209,660 379,104
19093,275 321,079 194,543 364,477
1,177,826 433,295 267,550 314,876
CATED OCT 1, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980. B-2

SPRING ’
OuURUM WHITE

79,964 21,636 2,036,318

133,326 37,390 1,797,528

10h,654 61,704 2,141,732

106,635 61,437 2,361,621

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


GRAPES

CROP AND STATE 2 PRODUCTION 1/
Py TOTAL : TOTAL ? IND
2 1978 2 1979 3 1980
z TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE 3
CALIF + 393,000 417,000 460,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE z
CALIF z 1,706,000 1,821,000 1,750,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE DRIED 2/%
CALIF : 228,500 302,300
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE NOT ORTED:
CALIF : 912,000 944,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE Ta
CALIF : 12918/000 243207000 2,400,000
ALL GRAPES 3
ARIZ ase 14,300 13,500 12,400
ARK ars 8,200 8,200 6,300
CALIF 2 4,017,000 4,558,000 4,610,000
MICH 3 67,500 58,500 50,000
MO ans By 300 4,500 5,200
NY : 188,000 165,000 175,000
Nc ast 6/800 5,800 64000
oHTO are 12,000 12,000
PA 3 57/500 55,500
WASH 3 187,000 102,800
OTHER a/S/3 5,100 5,200
us z 4, 566/700 4,989,000 5,073,200
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS) US 1978-208/900 (248,000 TONS FRESH
EQUIVALENT RAISIN TYPE IN CALIF LATO, BUT NOT
HARVESTED DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGE), 1979300,
2/ ORIEO BASIS,1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4,40
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1978 AND 4,55 TONS FOR 1979,
3/ FRESH EQUIVALENT OF ORIED AND NOT DRIED.
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
5/ GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA,
PRUNES AND PLUMS
STATE PRODUCTION 1/
TOTAL z TOTAL TNO
1978 £ 1979 1980
TONS
IDAHO 71500 7,500 8,000
MICH 24,000 14,000 12,000
OREG 17,000 26,000 35,000
WASH 217300 15,000 22,000
TOTAL 4 STATES 69/800 62,500 77,009
v1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS) TOTAL @ STATES, 19782600,
FILBERTS
STATE * t PRODUCTION
t TOTAL 1 TOTAL TNO
1 1978 4 1979 1980
1 TONS
‘
OREG ' 130700 12,700 134600
WASH ut 350 300 400
us t 149050 135900 144000

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980

B-19

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


Fire-cured producers expected to harvest a crop totaling 36.6 million pounds (16.6 thousand
metric tons), 19 percent less than the crop harvested in 1979. Yield at 1446 pounds is down 228
pounds from last. year. Dry weather reduced yields below 1979 in all States and caused further
decreases during September in Virginia and Tennessee.

Burley production is forecast at 555 million pounds. (252 thousand metric tons), up 24 percent
froma year earlier. Virtually all of the crop was housed by October 1. Low humidity minimized
the effect of blue mold,

Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at.22.0 million pounds (9980 metric tons),
the Same as Tast year.

Dark: air-cured prospects indicate a crop.of. 15.1 million pounds (6860 metric tons), a 10 per-
cent decTine from 1979,

All cigar-type production is expected to total 58.2 million pounds (26.4 thousand metric
tons), 12 percent more than 1979. Production of cigar-filler types and cigar-wrapper types is
up 30 percent and 19 percent, respectively, from last year while production of cigar-binder
types is down 2 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 23.2 million tons (21.1 million metric

— tons}, up 2 percent from the September 1 forecast and 5 percent greater than 1979
production. Average yield per acre is estimated at 19.8 tons compared with 19.6 tons in 1979,
The increase in production from a year earlier results from an increase in harvested acreage as
well as higher yields.

Harvest is active in the Central Valley and Central Coast of California. Planting of the
1981 crop is underway in the Imperial Valley area. The weather during September in Colorado was
generally warm and favorable for beet development. Mid-month showers reduced pressure on
irrigation water. Crop prospects are very good and harvest should begin during the second week
of October.

Harvest is underway in Idaho. Temperatures have been relatively warm. This may have some
effect on sugar content. Conditions have been ideal for harvest. Rain and mild weather during
September in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota was almost ideal for adding on
tonnage. Harvest has started with the lift in the southern parts of the Valley beginning on
September 24 and on October 1 in the northern part of the Valley. Beginning sugar content is a
bit below normal but prospects for average quality and quantity are good. Limited harvest has
begun in Michigan. Full scale processing will start in mid-October. Receiving stations opened
in Nebraska on September 29, Weather has been ideal with warm days and cool nights.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.5 million tons (24.9

million metric tons), up 1 percent from the September 1 forecast and 4 percent
greater than 1979 production, The increase from the September 1 forecast is the result of more
acreage expected for harvest in Florida.

Florida's cane crop made excellent progress during September and yield prospects continue to
be good. Cutting of cane for seed increased during the month and cutting for sugar should begin
before the end of October.

Condition of Louisiana's crop improved during the month and was generally fair to good by
the end of September. Planting of the 1981 crop was 58 percent complete at month's end compared
with 66 percent a year ago and 58 percent average.

Texas sugarcane fields are recovering well from the effects of last month's hurricane. Many
stalks which suffered wind damage have now straightened and those with broken tops are forming
new ones. Recent rains have alleviated dry conditions and harvest is expected to begin about on
schedule in mid-October,

Hawaii's crop made good progress in September with generally favorable weather in most
areas. However, heavy rains pelted the eastern coast of Hawaii on September 20th and 21st
temporarily interrupting field operations. More than an inch an hour fell at its peak according
to the National Weather Service but no serious damage occurred as rains were quick to subside.
Eisewhere, moisture levels were generally adequate with irrigation necessary in some of the drier
areas along the western part of Kauai, the Ka'u district of Hawaii and most sections of Maui,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


SUNFLOWERS

STATE AND, AREA HARVESTED $ YIELD PRODUCTION
VARLETAL ? : TRD ? 7 ? IND
TYPES 1978 = 1979 1/t 1980 1978 $1979 17% 1980 3 1978 1979 1/3 1980
T 1,000 ACRES POUNDS r 1,000 POUNDS
OIL VARIETIES
MINN 640 1,290 1,540 1,390 985,600 1/793,100
N DAK 1,731 3,220 1,360 1,360 2,354,160 4,379,200
S DAK Of 159 612 1,120 14230 178,080 752,760
TEX : 29 69 700 1,210 20,300 83,490
us 2 24359 S191 1383 4,350 3,538,140 7,008,550
NON-OTL VARIETIES
MINN 38 57 12490 86,420 77,520
N OAK 179 158 1,260 225,540 205,400
SOAK Of 1 3 940 940 3,540
TEX : 1 1 1,500 1,500 1,100
us z 239 219 16315 314,400 287,560
TOTAL «ot
WINN 3 698 1,347 790 1,536 1,200 1,072,020 1,870,620 948,000
NODAK 3 1/920 3,378 2,335 1/351 14120 265794700 47584,600 2,615,200
$ DAK of 160 615 $00 1,219 1,230 1,080 179,020 756,300 540,000
TEX z 30 70 60 727 4,208 1,000 21,800 84,590 60,000
us : 2,798 5,410 3,685 1,377 14349 1,130 3,852,540 7,296,110 4,163,200
1/ REVISED.
FLAXSEEN
STATE 4 AREA HARVESTED ' YIELO t PRODUCTION
1 ' + TNA t IND 1 ' t IND
‘ 1978 4 1979 4 1980 1 1978 | 1979 1 1080 1 197A 1 1979 t 1980
Y e608 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 RUSHELS
1
MINN 1 1462 183 120-1565 ha 1265 22201 2,239 39500
N DAK 3 410 510 360 1165 1265 665 49715 60375 39060
Soak 4 263 380 280 12.8 1660-1200 3,268 4,900 39360
TEX tt 20 5 3 10.0 940 O65 200 45 20
us 4 a36 1sata 763-125 1343 10 10.404 139539 70940

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

STATE ot AREA HARVESTED ' YIFLD ' PRODUCTION
¢ t t TNO t t THO + t v IN
1 1978 t 1979 4 1geo 4 1978 t 1979 1 1980 1 19768 1 1979 4 1980
t 1000 ACRES PQUNOS 19600 POUNDS
1

ALA 1 214.0 213.0 20060 24630 24795 14375 5624820 5954335 2754000

FLA ' 54.0 5500 55.0 39980 24950 1826520 1790850 «1629250

oA ' 527.0 48060 39300 24000 147359800 147069845

MISS 1/8 8.3 7.3 24000 1.700 © 169000 = :154.355

N MEX 1/1 962 8.9 = 25560 24500 263064 = 254300

NC ' 166.0 166.0 © 2,25 1,950 4685950 378,480

OKLA ' 115.0 120.0 110.0 24800 1,800 207,000 2644000

sc 1st 1562 15.0 15.0 29350 15900 = 359720294250

TEX 4 301.0 30940 300.0 19450 14300 4364650 5334028

vA ‘ 10300 19260 10340 © 39100 15260 3299300 255000

us t 1511, 1952465 9 19645.2 29639 14730 31988624 349809440 245005860

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980

B-6

~

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
October 1. Some adjustments have been made in harvested acreages published previously. . The
yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field observations
and measurements for corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmérs pro-
vided appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms
and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and
Measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling
type errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error”, a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the October 1 production
forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1960-79 twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes
Statistically the "Root Mean Square Error”. Probability statements can be made concerning ex-
pected errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming
that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years' forecasts,

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production fore-
cast is 3.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast
of 6466 million bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.4 percent
or approximately 220 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that
the difference will not exceed 5.9 percent or approximately 382 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between
the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between
the October 1 forecast and the fina] estimate during the 10 years have averaged 196 million bu-
shels, ranging from 16 million to 401 million bushels. During this 10-year period the October 1
forecast has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times.

RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

“ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR

TEN YEAR RECORD OF OIFFERENCES BETWEEN
FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
90% CONFIDENCE ::-----------------+------------------------
CROP AND :
UNIT : PERCENT! --+---+---------1 !----------------- 0-22 -- eee nee nee ee
: BELOW : ABOVE
FINAL FINAL

FEED GRAINS 1/
CORN FOR GRATN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
ALL WHEAT

OURUM

OTHER SPRING
RICE
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS &
COTTON
FALL POTATOES

ORAnNAGwIAL
HBO RAw sO YWH

y CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Vv

PRODUCTION PRODUCTION
crore BOXES TON EQUIVALENT
AND D NDICATED? UTILIZED SINDICATEO
STATE 1978-79 % 1979-80 2 1980981 2 1978=79 2 1979-80 $ 1980981
1,000 UNITS 27 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MIG & NAVEL 3.
ARIZ 700 50 Ao 26 32 30
CALIF 20,800 324600 38, 000 780 1,223 1,425
FLA 91,000 117,900 115,900 4,095 5,306 5,175
TEX 4,300 2,300 3,500 183 98 149
us 116,800 153,650 157,300 5,084 6,659 6,779
ORANGES, VALENCIA
ARIZ 2,200 2,650 2,000 83 99 78
CALIF 16,500 27,000 27,000 619 1,012 1,013
FLA 73,000 86,800 88,000 3,285 3,996 3,960
TEX 3 2,100 19730 27200 89 73 89
us = 93,800 120/180 119,100 4,076 5,180 5,137
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ 2 2,900 3,500 2,800 109 134 108
CALIF 2 37,300 59,600 65,000 1,399 2,235 2,438
FLA # 164,000 206,700 203,000 7,380 9,302 9,135
TEX t 6,400 4,030 5,600 272 171 238
us = 210,600 273,830 276,400 9,160 11,839 11,916
TEMPLES
FLA 4,700 6,000 5,700 212 270 2s7
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE SEEDLESS
FLA t 29,400 31,100 30,000 1,250 1,322 16278
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEDLESS
FLA 3 13,300 15,800 15,000 565 oT 638
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 74300 7,900 8,000 310 336 340
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 2,250 3,000 2,900 72 96 93
CALIF a
OESERT 3,260 4,200 3,800 104 134 lee
OTHER AREAS 2,870 3,300 96 tit
TOTAL 3 6,130 74500 200 245
FLA 50,000 54,800 53,000 2,125 2,329 2,253
TEX = 9,000 74900 9,000 360 316 360
us 67,380 73,200 2,757 2,966
TANGERINES
ARIZ : 450 750 700 17 2a 26
CALIF : 1,450 1/650 1,650 S4 62 62
FLA 2 3,500 3,900 3,900 166 185 185
us t 5,400 64300 6,250 237 275 273
LEMONS t
ARIZ t 5,500 3,050 5,900 209 116 224
CALIF $ 14,100 74700 204000 536 673 760
us 2 197600 = 20,750 254900 745 789 980
TANGELOS z
FLA t 4,200 64400 5,200 189 288 23a

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN ANO ENOS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED,

2/ NET LBS PER BOX? ORANGES@CALIF & ARIZ=75/FLA=90,
TEX*85; GRAPEFRUIT@CALIF OESERT & ARIZ@64, CALIF
OTHER@67, FLA-85, TEX=807 LEMONS@763 TANGELOS &
TEMPLES@903 TANGERINES= CALIF & ARIZ=75y FLA=9S.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS,

a/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT “OTHER AREAS®*
WILL BE AS OF DEC 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


ALL WHEAT Vv
STATE t AREA HARVESTEO % YIELO : PRODUCTION
? 3 IND ¥ ¥ IND = ? ¥ TNO

t 1978 3 1979 3 1980 ? 1976 3 1979 t 1980 3 1978 2 1979 3 1980

z 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

+
ALA : 65 95 300 26.0 26.0 26.0 1,690 2,470 7,800
ARIZ z 138 125 210 70.0 76.3 75.0 9,660 9,540 15,750
ARK 3 300 420 820 37.0 35.0 39.0 11,100 14,700 31,960
CALIF ' ms 825 1,150 6a,t 70.5 74,3 45,825 5A,200 65,509
coLo z 2,523 2,641 3,391 23, 26.6 31.4 59,052 70,183 106,392
DEL t 25 30 4S 35.0 34.0 37.0 875, 1,020 17665
FLA ast te 36,0 432
GA g 120 160 600 32,0 35,0 35,0 3,840 5,600 21,000
IOAHO 1,295 1,470 1,530 57,7 50.4 68.9 74,730 74,140
Lt 2 930 1,300 1,650 38. . 48.0 35,340 55,900
IND : ats 94s, 1,100 39,0 47,0 49.0 31,785 9 44,415
OWs ? 4s 72 95 31,0 37.0 36,0 1/395 2,664
KANS 3 £0,200 10,800 12,200 38.0 34,0 306,000 410,400
ky : 195 290 350 38.0 39.0 6,825 11/020
tA : 17 27 38 28.0 28.0 612 756
MD ' 102 414 116 3740 38,0 3,778 4,218
MICH t 450 785 840 43.0 44,0 18,000 33,755
MINN 3 25776 26578 34169 351 33.8 93,225 90, 384
MIss t 65 115 250 32,0 31.0 2,015 3,680
MO t 840 12600 2,070 44,0 43.0 28,560 70,400
MONT : 4,840 5,125 5,130 22,7 22,8 146,050 116,475 117,210
nese ' 2,550 20550 3,f00 54,0 37,0 = 81,600 = 86,700 = 114700
NEV : 26 27 32 59.6 56.6 1,540 1,610 1,810
Nd 2 33 at ae 36.0 38,0 1,188 1,476 1/748
N MEX 306 398 500 22.0 20,0 5,508 8,756 10,000
NY : 15 160 41.0 40,0 27625 6/560 67000
nc t 180 210 36.0 356.0 50940 7,560 10,600
N DAK 3 9,585 9,600 26.3 19,0 286,065 252,235 185,350
OHIO : 1,125 14320 48,0 48,0 43,875 63,360 64,800
OKLA : 5,400 5,700 38.0 30,0 145,800 216,600 195,000
OREG ' 1,225 1,205 46.0 9 Stat 516925 57,3140 70,060
PA 1 245 202 31.0 38,0 81065 8,122 9,500
sc 18 109 33.0 © 35.0 2,574 3,597 6,475
3 DAK 3,090 2,805 at, 17.8 66,000 60,060 60,060
TENN z 220 295 34,0 38.0 7,700 10,030 17,100
TEX 3 2,700 4,600 30.0 25.0 54,000 138,900 130,000
UTAH : 223 250 26.7 28,4 6,670 6,680 6,924
vA : 155 180 35.0 35.0 5,425 6,300 Ty175
WASH + 2,910 2,980 4976 49,8 130,760 $18,000 154,920
WeVA ¢ 9 10 3490 34.0 297 340 340
wis t 4s 54 40.0 36.5 1,560 2,162 4p 164
Wyo 294 287 22.1 22.9 74606 6,354 7/100
us $6,942 62,600 71,627 34.2 33,0 14797,528 2,141,732 2,361,621

1/ INCLUDES WINTER WHEAT ESTIMATES FROM SEPTEMBER CROP
PRODUCTION REPORT.

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980

CROP. REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY

STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO H PROOUCTION
A 3 IND = 3 + IND: ? 3 IND
1978 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1978 t 1979 = 3980 2 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980

17000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

ARIZ 206 205 210 6.30 6.40 6.50 1,298 1,312 1,365
ARK 70 73 70° 2.55 2450 2.00 179 183 140
CALIF 1,090 1,050 1,080 5.45 6400 6.00 5,941 6,300 6,480
coLo 680 660 630 2,90 3.10 3410 1,972 2,046 3,953
CONN a1 20 a 2,60 2400 ss 53 $5
OL 7 8 8 = 3.20 3.05 22 26 2a
IDAHO 1/080 1,068 1,090 3.75 3.80 4,050 3,631 4,142
TLL 760 740 735 3.65 3.90 3.80 2,774 2,886 2,793
IND 420 390 385 3,20 3.20 3.10 1,344 1,248 14194
TOWwA 1,720 1,700 1,670 4.00 4410 4,00 6,880 6,970 6,680
KANS 1,050 1,030 1,030 2.80 3.40 2,60 26940 3,502 2,678
ky 208 208 205 3,00 3.10 3.00 624 632 615
LA 13 13 13 2230 2.35 2,10 30 34 e7
MAINE at a1 at 2.60 2.50 2.30 55 53 48
MD 69 69 10 3.40 3.20 3.10 235 2at 217
“Ass 26 26 26 2,60 2.90 2.60 68 15 68
MICH 1,080 1,040 1,020 2,90 = 3420 3.20 3,132 3,224 3,264
MINN 25140 26150 24100 3.40 3.40 2.70 74276 7,319 $,670
Mo 550 520 52a 2.70 2.75 2.25 1,485 1,430 14170
MONT 14250 1,260 1,250 2.35 2.25 2.20 2,938 2,835 2,750
NegR 1,650 1,650 1,650 5.20 3.25 2.65 54280 5,363 4,373
NEV 185 185 185 3,45 3,40 3.45 638 629 638
NK 19 19 19 2.55 2.60 2.50 48 ag a8
Ng 55 54 4a 3.30 3.60 3.00 182 194 144
N MEX ast 236 240 4,20 4.50 4.30 970 1,062 1,032
NY 1,025 1,040 1,000 2.55 2.75 2,70 2,614 2,860 2,700
ne 17 17 17 2.70 2.80 2.70 46 48 46
N DAK 1,980 2,070 1,750 2,10 1.85 1,00 4,158 3,830 1,750
OHIO 390 530 520 3.20 BelS 3.10 1,888 1,670 1,612
OKLA 510 500 490 2,70 3.30 2.30 1377 1,650 1,127
OREG ais 405 41s 3,70 3.40 3,90 1,536 1,377 17619
PA 840 850 B40 2.80 2470 2.40 2,352 2,295 2,016
RI 3 3 3 2,50 2.70 2.60 8 a 8
8 _DAK 2,500 2,500 2,380 = 2,40 2.20 1.35 6,000 5,500 3,213
TENN 105 108 110 2.40 2.50 2.39 252 263 253
TEX 205 210 205° 4,00 4470 = 400 a2q 987 820
UTAH ao 475, 470 3.55 3.80 3.70 1,669 * 1,805 1,739
vT 93 100 100 2.55 2.55 2.50 237 255 250
vA 80 90 87 3.10 3.00 ©2440 24a 270 209
WASH 503 $03 500 3,80 3.60 3.70 1,911 1,811 1,850
Wova 90 85 90 2.35 1.75 2.20 212 149 198
wis : 3,100 3,100 3,050 3.10 3.30 3.10 9,610 10,230 9,955
wo 3 530 545 5452.35 240230 1,246 1,308 1,254
us t 27,657 27,519 26,868 +1300 «3.18 2,89 86,600 87,581 77,687

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR SEANS

AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELD 2 PRODUCTION
3 z IND ? ? ENO = ? ? IND
1978 3 1979 1/3 1980 3 1978 $1979 1/2 1980 : 1978 21979 1/3 1980
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
1,950 2,250 2,050 25,0 18,0 ine? $38 56,250 36,900
5,150 4,450 28.0 15.0 144,200 66,750
265 260 30.0 27,0 7,020
453 965 29,0 © aa. 11,160
2,100 1,950 28.0 13,0 25,350
94720 9,250 38,5 32,0 296,000
4,420 4,350 36.0 34,0 147,900
Bri70 8,250 38,0 37,0 305,250
1,560 1,200 26.5 15,0 18,000
1,660 1,600 32.5 23,0 36,800
3,200 3,350 26,0 Qo 70,350
385 375 30,0 9,000
970 950 29.5 28,500
5,080 44700 3260 1454700
4,100 3,850 29.0 69,300
5/930 5,500 31.5 121,000
1,610 1,780 34,0 49,800
213 206 30,0 5,562
23 19 26.0 456
1,950 1,980 23.5 39,600
206 200 27.0 3-600
4,080 3,760 36.0 131,600
330 330 23,0 5,610
98 97 32.0 2619
1,660 1,600 24,0 22,400
68S 725 33.0 17,900
2,620 2,500 27.0 47,500
805, 585 26,0 15,210
536 64s 28.5 9,675
215 295 330 34,0 14,220

3
63,343 70,524 67,307 32.2 26. 1 1/8704 181 2.26 #589 1,757,272

1/ REVISED,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

AREA PLANTED, SUNFLOWERS 1/

OUL_VARIETIES
MINN : 1,340
N DAK : 3,300
S DAK 3 617
TEX 74

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL Vv
‘ PRODUCTION 2 PRODUCTION
CROP t POUNDS £ 42 LB, EQUIVALENT
AND L TOTAL 2/ INDICATED? TOTAL SINOICATED
STATE 3 1978 3 1979 _ & 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 1980
3 MILLION UNITS 1,000 UNITS
ALL COMMERCIAL APPLES 3
ARK Bet 13.0 24,0 20.0 310 S71 a6
CALIF 3 500.0 600.0 520.0 11,905 14,286 12,381
cOoLo : 41.0 100,0 70,0 976 2,381 1,667
CONN : $0.0 45.0. 42,0 1,190 1,071 1,000
oEL Bee 14.5 13.0 43.5 gas B10 321
GA Bs 22.0 35.0 36,0 524 833 857
IDAHO : 130.0 125.0 130.0 3,095 2,976 3,095
Tut : 89.0 110.0 101.0 2,119 2,619 2,405
INO 64.0 75.0 69,0 1,524 1,786 39643
IOWA 8.9 12.1 14,5 212 288 27a
KANS. 10.0 15,0 14.0 238 357 333
Ky 15.0 21.0 19,0 357 500 452
MAINE 75,0 86.0 85,0 1,786 2,048 2,020
“Oo 85.0 85.0 87,0 2,024 2,024 2,071
MASS 105.0 95.0 100,0 2,500 2,262 2,381
MICH 920.0 680.0 900.0 21,908 16,191 21,429
MINN 28.0 15.0 22.0 667 357 sea
MO 40.0 70.0 63.0 952 19667 1,500
NH 60.0 $6.0 62,0 1,429 U) 381 19476
Nd 90.0 110.0 110.0 2,143 2,619 2,619
N MEX 17.0 14,0 10,0 aos 333 236
ny 14080.0 1,035.0 1,070.0 25.714 24,643 25,4076
nC 324.0 362.0 375.0 7,714 81619 8,929
OHIO 140,0 105.0 170.0 3,333 2,500 9,086
OREG 142.0 170.0 180.0 3,361 4,048 4,286
PA 400.0 535.0 570.0 9,524 12,738 13,571
RI 6.0 5.0 5.5 143 119 131
sc 22.0 35.0 33.0 524 833 786
TENN Bet 8.0 10,0 9.0 190 238 214
UTAH wee 35.0 51.0 52.0 833 1,214 1,238
vt 2 49.0 49,0 55.0 1,167 1,167 1,310
vA 515.0 470.0 390.0 12,262 11,191 9,286
WASH 24148,0 2,560.0 2600.0 51,143 60,952 61,905
wovaA 295.0 260.0 260.0 7,024 61190 67190
wis 6640 54.0 65.0 1,571 1,286 1,548
us 2 7,607e4 8,089.1 8,319.5 181,129 192,598 198,084
1s IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES,
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION ANO EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS)? UNITED STATES 1976-53,2,1979025,6,
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CRANBERRIES

1,000 BARRELS
MASS 1,180.0 1,080.0
Nd 23:0 253.0
OREG Hy 94.5 94.5
WASH 2 139.0 147.0
WIS : 822.0 9010
us t 2,458.5 2,475.5

2,556.0

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980

B-18

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


TANGERINES: The U.S, tangerine crop is forecast at 6.25 million boxes (248 thousand metric

tons), | percent less than last season, The Florida forecast at 3.90 million boxes
is for that portion of the crop expected to reach a size of 210 fruit per 4/5 bushel carton by
December 1. (An estimate of utilized crop will be shown in the February 1981 Crop Production
release).

Prospects for California's tangerine crop at 1.65 million boxes are the same as last season's
production. fruit quality is generally good but some sunburned fruit resulted from extremely
high temperatures in late September and early October. Arizona growers expect to harvest 700
thousand boxes, 7 percent less than was harvested last season.

TEMPLES: Florida temples are forecast at 5.70 million boxes (233 thousand metric tons), 5 per-
cent below last season.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


RICE: Growers expect to harvest 143 million hundredweight (6.48 million metric tons) of rice
this year, 9 percent more than last year's revised production of 132 million
hundredweight (5.97 million metric tons). The 2 percent increase over last month's forecast
results from improved yield prospects in Arkansas and California. Nationally, yields are
expected to average 4269 pounds per acre compared with 4586 pounds last year.

Harvest in Arkansas was 45 percent complete at the end of September compared with 26 percent
last year and a normal of 41 percent. The California harvest is later than last year. Harvest
in other rice States is generally earlier than a year ago.

Revisions for 1979 rice harvested acreage, yield and production are published in this
report, Planted acreage and length of grain revisions for 1979 will be published in the 1980
Small Grain Annual Summary in December 1980.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.76 billion bushels (47.8 million metric tons), down 4 per-

cent from last month's forecast, 23 percent less than last year's record crop and 6
percent below 1978. Yield per acre is indicated at 26.1 bushels, 6.1 bushels less than last
year's record and 3.4 bushels below 1978,

Yield prospects in the North Central States declined or were unchanged from a month earlier
in all States except Missouri which showed a 2.0 bushel increase. Prospective yields were down
3 bushels in Illinois and 1 bushel in both Kansas and Minnesota but were unchanged in Nebraska,
lowa, Michigan, Indiana and Ohio.

In the South Central States, yield prospects remain unchanged from last month in Tennessee,
Louisiana, and Texas. Kentucky and Arkansas are showing a 1.0 bushel decline while Alabama and
tlississippi are off 2.0 bushels per acre.

In the Atlantic area, prospective yields in all States are down from Jast month. North
Carolina and Maryland are off 2.0 bushels, Virginia and South Carolina off 4.0 bushels and
Georgia is showing a 5.0 bushel decline from the September 1 forecast.

Harvest progress in most major production areas is running well ahead of last year and
average.

FLAXSEED: Production of flaxseed is forecast at 7.94 million bushels (202 thousand metric tons),
up 3 percent from the September 1 forecast but 41 percent below 1979 production.

Wet conditions delayed harvest and only 55 percent of the Minnesota crop and 46 percent of
the North Dakota crop was harvested by October 1. Normally 79 percent has been harvested in
Minnesota and 72 percent in North Dakota by that date. Despite the delays, yields were turning
out somewhat higher than forecast a month earlier.

PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at 2.50 billion pounds (1.13 million metric tons) net

weight, down 20 percent from the September 1 forecast and 37 percent less than the
3.98 billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) produced last year. This is the lowest production
since 1967. Yields are expected to average 1730 pounds per acre, down 370 pounds from last
month's forecast and 881 pounds less than last year. Acreage for harvest at 1.45 million acres
(585 thousand hectares) is down 50.0 thousand acres from September 1.

Southeastern production is expected to total 1.44 billion pounds, down 43 percent from Jast
year, This drop in expected production is caused by a 7 percent decrease in acreage for harvest
and a 38 percent decline in expected yields. Dry weather in Georgia and Alabama continued
through most of September reducing yields drastically. Acreage for harvest is expected to total
200 thousand in Alabama and 480 thousand in Georgia, down 10 afd 40 thousand acres, respectively,
from September 1. About a third of the Alabama acreage and over half of the Georgia acreage had
been threshed by October 5. Continued dry weather in Florida during September greatly reduced
yields, resulting in the smallest expected production since 1973. Harvest was active during the
month and should be complete by the end of October.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


TOBACCO

STATE AREA HARVESTED H YIELD & PRODUCTION
3 3 IND ¢ z 3 IND = : Hi TNO
1978 ¢ 1979 2 1980 2 1976: 1979 : 1980 3 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980

t ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS —

ALA Ast S20 son 510 17870 «16650 = 1,700 972 825 867
CONN : 3,200 3,200 3,200 1,547 4,539 1,622 4,950 4,925 5,190
FLA = 10,500 10,000 10,500 2,100 2,249 «2,025 22,050 22,400 21,263
GA + 61,000 53,000 55,000 2,060 1,905 1,950 125,660 100,965 107,250
IND : 6,600 67100 6,700 24350 «1,950 2,100 15,510 11,895 14,070
ky $194,500 173,700 201,200 2,415 1,976 2,055 469,658 343,145 413,515
LA we 130 80 80 900 700 700 117 56 56
MD 2 22,000 22,000 22,000 «1,390 1,000 1,000 30,580 22,000 22,000
MASS : 1,030 1,210 1,320 15416 1,564 1,661 1,458 1,892 2192
MO vay 2,400 2,500 2,500 2,405 1,300 5,472 6,013 3,250
nc 3 398,700 334,500 382,000 1/858 2,017 899,431 621,368 770,650
OHIO 2 10,100 9,800 24,300 1,435 1,800 22,510 14,063 20,390
PA ' 13,000 11-200 13,000 1,580 16750 25,220 17,696 22,750
sc $ 714000 57,000 68,000 21065 14900 1506520 117-705 129,200
TENN t 66,850 60,090 64,000 1.748 1,743 142,099 104,629 112,250
vA : 73,430 67,240 70,000 1,630 1,649 135,157 109,603 116,080
WA I/F 1,300 1,500 1,275 1,700 2,700 1,658 2,550
wis : . 127900 13,200 1,988 14920 20,305 25,644 25,350
us t 948,260 826,320 926,610 1,848 1,930 2,024,369 1,526,682 1,788,823

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST,

SUGARREETS v

STATE AREA HARVESTED i YIELO ! PRODUCTION

i ' 1 IND t 7 1 IND et t 7 TND

‘ 1976 + 1979 1 19eo + 978 t 1979 1 1980 8 1978 t 1979 3 1980

1 T9000 ACRES TONS 19600 TONS

'
ARIZ ' 1560 11.3 20.5 1962 2269 308 217 206
CALIF o& 194.0 219.0 2455 26.5 2700 40745 5.796 54913
colo) ot 84.0 7340 18.30 1866 1845 10538 19358 19684
TOAHO 1 13263 125.9 20.9 = 22a 2245 29765 24820 39105
KANS ot 2640 1260 1720 17081700 462 233 255
MICH ot 9165 88.0 1963-1746 2000 19770 14850 19880
MINN & 26300 244.0 1869 = 1565 1541 40971 3,782 39654
MONT 8 $407 4304 1968 01 19.5 eas 829 844
NEBR ot 7600 7204 18.0 2040 143468 1.462 19640
N MEX 2/1 168 260 2066 2040 37 30 32
N OAK ot 15562 143.1 1947 15.0 39056 29306 25160
OHIO 8 23.3 1307 1669 2040 396 266 356
oReEG ot 869 607 22.8 26.5 203 178 19)
TEX ' 2366 1945 17.5 1740 ae 332 418
UTAH ot 1206 165 179 1940 225 30 15
WASH ot 6865 +0 25.5 040 19747 ° 0
Wyo 1 46.8 48,2 18.9 2060 922 906 890
us {1026902 1912347 20.3 19.8 259788 224073239245

A/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIFe
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO 4 PRODUCTION
t 1 + INO € t + IND ¢ T t TNO
t 1978 4 1979 4 1980 t 1978 | 1979 1 1980 1978 1 1979 4 1980
1 19000 ACRES TONS: 1,000 TONS
'
FLA ' 316.0 330.8 33760 Ble 33.0 9e701 10,387 Y1e121
HAW 1 10 107.9 106.3 crerd 9449 99461 59 100278
LA 1 289, 262.0 255.0 2066 20.0 S675 9403 59100
TEX 1 32.8 32.0 35.6 2766 28.0 960 683 997
us 1 163.7 73207 735.9 2602 37.4 25,997 265832 275896

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA



POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP AREA HARVESTED A YIELO 1 PRODUCTION
AND z % + IND OF 7 + IND 3 t + 180
STATE 21978 = 1979 3% 1980 3 1978 1979 t 1960 t 1978 + 1979 + 1960
H Tr000 ACRES cwr 1,000 CWT
t
WINTER 3
:
TOTAL las 12.9 1169 1165-203 200 205 2,621 23683 2,363
SPRING +
:
TOTAL, 20s 90,9 83.8 72,8 196 255 238 17,963 214385 17,012
:
SUMMER 3
3
TOTAL 27h 11869 109.0 95,7 189 205 176 21,167 22,292 16,827
:
FALL 3/ :
CALIF 2 17,0 350 «370365 6,055 6,351
coo. 3 35.0 275 «290 285) 8,275 9,975
CONN : 1.8 230 «2200230 41a
TDAHO=10 SW CO ft 23.0 325335340 7,820
*OTHER CO 277.0 «2700-250 SS 70,635
ND 3 3.3 240 «255200 660
MAINE z 104.0 220 245 240 24,960
MASS ' Ba 22300220230 782
MICH ' 31.5 250 250 220 6,930
MINN a 63.0 210 90 50 9,450
MONT 2 Tel 2800 240230 17633
NEBR 8 6.5 250 260 ats 15788
NEV : 13.0 320 «3300350 4,550
N YeLONG I9 3 18,7 265 295 = 230
SUPSTATE 3 24,0 260 275 250
N OAK ' 409,00 «175° 160145
OHTO a 9.7 215 200 = 190
OREG-MALHEUR CO ¢ 10,0 350 «370 365
“OTHER CO ot 37.0 4350410420
PA 1 25.0 24.0 22.0 © «250 250 180
RT 2 at 3.9 3.8 240 ©6230 230
3 DAK : 6.5 6.7 170 «185460
UTAH z 5.2 4.7 245 © 250240
vt : 8 at o6 22000 210285
WASH 2 109.0 = 102.0 89.0 4657585 43,165
nIS 2 $5.0 5@.0 50.0 315 315 320 17,010 16,000
wo : 6.8 5.2 $35 218 220 © 230 1,462 14144 1/265
:
TOTAL 21,255.1 1,071.2 976.7 280 277 267 323,498 296,938 260,686
2
vs # 1370.8 \e275.9 1,156.7 266 269 257 365,249 342,958 296,888

1/ 1980 REVISED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
3/ 1979 REVISIONS CARRIED FORWARD FROM "POTATOES AND SWEETPOTATOES® RELEASEO SEPTEMBER 25, 1980.

WINTER POTATOES

AREA HARVESTED.

AREA PLANTED 1/

1,000 ACRES

PRODUCTION

CALIF : 240 235 792 705
FLA : 185 195 1,591 1,658
TOTAL 200 205 2,383 2,363
1/” INCLUDES ACREAGE PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

By REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 Biz CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


SEPTEMBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Excessively wet weather in the northern Corn Belt finally ended in the fourth week of the
month and allowed the drying process to start. Tropical Storm Danielle spread torrential rains
early in the month from southern Louisiana to western Texas. More than 10 inches flooded some
areas in north central Texas. As the month progressed, incursions of cold air became more
frequent and moved further south, displacing the hot, muggy air which had persisted throughout
the summer. As cold air moved slowly through the South during the last 10 days of the month,
torrents of heavy rain were unleashed from southwestern Texas to the Carolinas. On the last day
of September the heat wave of 1980 ended.

FIRST WEEK...As a high pressure system moved off the east coast, warm, moist air from the
Gulf of Mexico flowed northward and intensified the heat wave from the central Plains eastward,
A cold front, trailing southward into the Plains, first brought light showers to the northern
Plains and then, as it encountered the moist air, triggered heavy showers and thunderstorms in
the northern Mississippi Valley. More than 5 inches of rain deluged parts of Wisconsin. Late
in the week, Tropical Storm Danielle formed in the Gulf of Mexico and spread heavy rain from
southern Louisiana to the central Texas coast and inland to the Austin~San Antonio area.

SECOND WEEK...The cold front moved through the Great Lakes and New England touching off
light showers east of the Lakes. Very warm air rapidly displaced the cool air in the northern
Plains, and temperatures rose to 100° as far north as South Dakota. The remnants of Tropical
Storm Danielle carried torrential rain to west central Texas and New Mexico. Downpours of more
than 10 inches flooded parts of this normally dry area. The moisture was helpful to some of the
potential winter grain areas, but some crops were washed out. Elsewhere, another cold front
moved through the northern Plains and on through New England. Showers were heavy from parts of
North Dakota through Wisconsin.

THIRD WEEK...Invasions of cool air moved into the northern Plains with great frequency as
this first month of fall progressed. A new cold front pushed through the Plains to central
Texas and significantly lowered temperatures behind it. The rain pattern was wide along and
ahead of this front, and it wet most of eastern United States. Moderate rain again fell in
Wisconsin and was substantial from Michigan to southeastern Texas. The heat wave held over most
of the week from Oklahoma to Georgia and to the mid-Atlantic States.

FOURTH WEEK...A much cooler mass of air moved southward and eastward early in the week
followed by still another surge at midweek. However, the rain was relatively light in the Great
Lakes area, allowing Wisconsin to begin drying out. Cold air brought autumn to the northern
States, but the hot, muggy air of the South dug in for a final stand from southwestern Texas to
the Carolinas. Torrents of rain resulted from this battle of cold against hot, but by the end
of the week, the cold air was moving relentlessly southward,

The rain continued from Texas to the Carolinas through the end of the month. The cold air
Managed to push all the way to the guif coast and northern Florida. The great heat wave of
1980, which began in mid-June, ended on the last day of the month, (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint
Agricultural Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT SEEDING

Winter wheat seeding for 198] harvest reached 45 percent complete by the end of September,
lagging last year and the average. Although planting in the northern Great Plains neared
completion--exceeding the pace set in recent years--seeding in the southern Great Plains is
being delayed because of dry soils. Rainfall during September was very sparse in most areas of
the Great Plains. South Dakota, Nebraska, and most of Kansas received less than half the normal
rainfall; Oklahoma received from 25 to 100 percent of normal. Only Texas received significant
precipitation during the month, but many areas in the State were still dry. Most of the Great
Plains needed additional moisture for good germination and growth.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*

October 1, 1980

AS AEPORTED.

(CROP CORRESPONDENTS.

‘INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG, E95 26081110)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
f OCTOBER 1, 1979

AS REPORTED By
(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

‘INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS,

Usa NEG. Escs 168-79(10)

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD 2 PRODUCTION

: 3 IND ¢ 7 + IND ¢ : ? IND
1978 2 1979 3 1980 ? 1978 3 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1978 + 1979 3 1980

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
s4q 502 420 50.0 6140 = 40,027,200 © 30, 622 16,800
so 45 48 115.0 115.0 105.0 5,750 Se17S 5,040
30 35 3B 58.0 60.0 35.0 4,740 2,100 2,030
281 260 260 «126.0 «117.0 tb. 35,406 = 30,420 30,680
67s 725 750 1190,0 127.0 112.0 74,250 92,075 64,000
17S, 167 177 96.0 102.0 = 64.0 16,800 17,034 11,328
370 360 350-5260 45,0 19,240 19,080 15,750
1,500 1,550 14200 = 5040 40.0 75,000 100,750 48,000
39 a 36 87,0 87,0 3,393 3,608 3,132
104730 100610 110050 11440 94,0 14191,030 1,358,080 1,038,700
5,900 5,930 6,200 108.0 96.0 637,200 664,160 595,200
12,700 12,800 13,200 115.0 109.0 1,460,500 1,625,600 1,438,800
1,500 1,470 1,200 102.0 86,0 153,000 171,990 103,200
1,410 1,300 1,500 85.0 68,0 119,850 132,600 102,000
ar at 32-5940 49,0 2,773 2,214 1,568
590 595 640 9740 70,0 57,230 $8,905 = 44, 800
2,400 2,500 2,450 8160 99.0 194,400 237,500 242,550
6,190 6,060 5,900 10440 95,0 643,760 606,000 566,400
135 110 105 5660 36.0 7,560 5r720 3,780
2,200 2,220 2,000 B40 49,0 191,400 228,660 88,000
5 Ss 6 72.0 75,0 3eo 3a5 450
6,550 6,900 65600 11320 90,0 740,150 793,500 612,000
95 82 100 9120 75.0 8,645 7,380 7,500
T2 74 75 10640 95.0 7,632 8,066 7,125
600 650 e70 79.0 87,0 47,400 55,250 58,290
1,600 1,690 1,740 76.0 60,0 121,600 128,440 104,400
2es3 290 300 79.0 50.0 19,987 22,040 15,000
3,610 3,630 3,850 10540 115.0 379,050 417,850 442,750
73 15 75 65.0 55.0 4,745 8,250 4,125
13 ii 42 9540 9540 16235 tefoo 1,140
4,190 1,215 1,230 9540 79,0 113,050 115,425 97,170
S50 509 $15 55.0 47,0 30,250 40,720 24,205
2,560 2,850 2,200 67.0 48,0 171,520 240,900 105,600
660 620 650 66.0 55.0 43,560 $1,460 35,750
16490 1,260 31,350 100.0 80,0 144,000 132,300 108,000
1e 16 17 90.0 93.0 1,940 1,504 1,561
e1s 615 620 82.0 60.0 50,430 51,045 37,200
65 103 us 114,0 110.0 7410 12,257 12,650
56 59 60 77,0 78,0 4,006 4,543 4,680
2,750 27980 3,200 98,0 107.0 269,500 306,940 342,000
34 29 3200 Bi, 89.0 2,754 2,523 2,848
us ' 70,275 70,984 71,193 100,8 90 .8:77 066,666 7,763,771 6,466,622

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


U.S. GRAIN SORGHUM PRODUCTION

MILLION BUSHELS

8
T

a
T

# €@ 8 @ 8
T

2 n 72 B mTM eis 6 7 al

*OCTOBER FORECAST YEAR

ALL WHEAT: Winter, other spring and durum wheat production combined is estimated at a record

high 2.36 billion bushels (64.3 million metric tons), up 10 percent from last year.
The increase in harvested acreage in 1980 more than offset lower yield prospects. Nationally,
yields are expected to average 33.0 bushels per harvested acre compared with a record high 34,2
bushels in 1979, Area for harvest is up 14 percent from last year.

DURUM WHEAT: Production of durum wheat is forecast at 107 million bushels (2.90 million metric

tons), virtually the same as last year but up 4 percent from the September 1, 1980
forecast. Yields are expected to average 22.0 bushels per acre compared with 27.1 bushels in
1979 and 33.1 bushels in 1978,

Continued cool, damp weather delayed harvest during September in North Dakota. In some
north central areas of the State, nearly 50 percent of the durum is unharvested. Durum wheat
harvest for North Dakota was 80 percent complete by the end of September which is 10 percent
Jater than last year and normal.

OTHER: SPRING WHEAT: Growers expect to harvest 376 million bushels (10.2 million metric tons) of

spring wheat other than durum, 12 percent less than last year's 426 million
bushels (11.6 million metric tons). The October 1 forecast is 1 percent more than last month's
forecast. Yields are expected to average 25.5 bushels per harvested acre compared with 28.2
bushels a year ago.

In North Dakota, continued cool damp weather has delayed small grain harvest. Combining was
90 percent complete at the end of September compared with 96 percent for last year and the
normal. In Montana, harvesting was 90 percent complete which is 5 percent behind last year.
The Idaho harvest was 96 percent complete by the end of September compared with 99 percent last
year and a normal of 89 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


corTon

CROP
iy 1 AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO 2 PRODUCTION 17
STATE ? t z ? ¥ IND = ? Th
: 1978: 1979 ¢ 1976 3 1979 $ 1980 3 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980
¢ 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 27
COTTON, UPLAND
ALA : 315.0 31040 314.0 403 502 397 291.9 324.0 260.0
ARIZ 536.0 575.0 608.0 953 1,069 1,042 1,068.0 1,280.0 1,320.0
ARK 760.0 530.0 750.0 a7 549 320 660,0 606.0 500.0
CALIF 2 1,455.0 1,635.0 1458540 640 1,000 969 1,940.0 3,408.0 3,200.0
FLA 3/3 3,4 3.7 506 565 S14 3.8 4.0 at
GA t 150.0 155.0 463 486 asa 111.0 152.0 82,0
KY 2 @ 0 0 ° 0 0 9 0
uA : 465.0 560.0 450 712 403 478,0 690.0 470,0
Miss : 1,030.0 1411060 S75 670 497 14378,0 1,437.0 1,150.0
MO : 137.0 245.0 496 550. «353 188.0 187.0 180.0
NEV 3/3 1.1 1.0 542 655 624 1.5 1.5 1,3
N MEX ¢ 126.0 130.0 aa3 396 450 101.0 104.0 122.0
45,0 63.0 515 455 41g 45,9 43.0 55.0
580.0 595.0 292 432 a3a 355,0 $22.0 290.0
109,0 123.0 502 519 332 115.0 116.0 85.0
230,0 270.0 490 357 302 235.0 171.0 170.0
$1200.90 6,800.0 6 700.0 294 38g 258 «3,792,0 5,515,0 3,600.0
at 3 2 480 320 480 a 2 2
us 3 12,294,0 12,726,8 13,219.9 420 548 41? 10,762,4 14,5307 11,491,6
COTTON, AMER@PIMA
ARIZ ? 3a.2 43,3 2363 75a yas 754 $3.7 67.0
al 0 4B0 480 0 al a
14,8 7.3 asa 246 375, 13,0 7.5
30.9 21.0 456 373 sao 26.6 24,0
89.1 71.6 590 531 655 93.4 98.6
z 310.0 314.0 a3 so2 397 291.0 324.0
: 618.3 651.3 94) 1,046 1,023 1,121.7 1434740
: 530.0 750.0 a7 549 320 660.0 606.0
z 1,635.1  16585.0 640 1,000 969 1,980.1 3,408.1
: 3.0 5.7 506 565 Siq 348 4.0
: 150.0 155.0 463 486 254 111.0 152.0
3 0 0 0 t) 0 0 0
t 465.0 560.0 450 712 403 478.0 690.0
t 1,030.0 1611020 575 670 497 143780 1,437.0
: 137.0 245.0 496 550 353 186.0 157.0
z iat 1.0 542 655 624 1.5 1.5
z 140.8 137.3 a46 380 446 114.0 111.5
3 45,0 63.0 515 455 a9 45.0 43.0
: 560.0 595.0 292 ase 234 355.0 322.0
3 109.0 123.0 562 510 332 115.0 116.0
TENN 3 230.0 230,0 270.0 490 357 302 235.0 171.0
TEX 3 6,228.0 6,830,9 6,721.0 294 389 259 3,818.6 5,539.0
VA 3s2 . 3 2 480 320 980 a a2
us #12,370.0 12,/815.9 13+286.5 ai 5468 419 10,855.8 14,629.3

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED,
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES,
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


Crop
Reporting
Board

October 10, 1980 Economics and
3:00 P.M. ET Statistics Service

U.S. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

CROP PRODUCTION

Released:

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN production is forecast at 6.47 billion bushels (164 million metric tons), down
1 percent from the September 1 forecast and 17 percent below the record crop
Produced a year ago. The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1980 produc-
tion forecast is 6.09 to 6.85 billion bushels.

SORGHUM -GRAIN production is forecast at 547 million bushels (13.9 million metric
tons), down 33 percent from the 1979 crop:

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley combined) is expected to total
million metric tons, down 18 percent from last year's record high 234 mij-
lion metric tons.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.76 billion bushels (47.8 million metric tons),

, down 4 percent from last month and 23 percent less than last year's record crop.
The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1980 production forecast is 1.66 to
1,86 billion bushels.

QILSEED production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts, flaxseed and sunflowers combined)
ts expected to total 55.2 miliion metric tons, down 24 percent from last year.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye, and rice combined) is forecast at 71.2 million
metric tons, 10 percent above 1979.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 11.6 million bales, 21 percent less than 1979
ani percent below the September 1 forecast. The 90 percent confidence inter-
val for this 1980 production forecast is 10.5 to 12.6 million bales.

SUGAR CROPS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 23.2 million tons (21.1 million
metric tons), 5 percent above last year's crop. Sugarcane production is fore-
Cast at 27.5 million tons (24.9 million metric tons), up 4 percent from 1979.

FALL POTATO production is forecast at 261 million cwt (11.8 million metric tons),
percent below 1979 and the smallest crop since 1973.

ORANGE production is forecast at a record high 276 million boxes (10.8 million metric
tons), 1 percent more than last season.

CrPr 2-2 (10-80) For Information Cal]: (202) 447-212,


U.S. COTTON FORECAST

MILLION BALES

a
es

i) n
*OCTOBER FORECAST

HAY: Ali hay production in 1980 is forecast at 126 million tons (115 million metric tons), up 2
—~ ‘percent from the August 1 forecast, but 13 percent less than last year's record high and
11 percent below the 1978 crop. The al) hay yield is expected to average 2.11 tons per acre
compared with the 1979 record high yield of 2.39 tons and 2.3] tons in 1978.

. Production of alfaifa and alfalfa mixtures is forecast at 77.7 million tons (70.5 million
metric tons), up 2 percent from the August T forecast but down 11 percent from last year's
record high production and 10 percent below 1978. Yield is forecast at 2.89 tons per acre, down
from the record high yield of 3.18 tons in 1979 and the 1978 average of 3.13 tons.

Ali other hay production is forecast at 48.7 million tons (44.2 million metric tons), up 1
percent From the August 1 forecast but down 16 percent from a year ago and 12 percent below 1978.

DRY EDIBLE-BEANS: Dry bean production is forecast at a record 24.2.million cwt (1.10 million

metric tons), 17 percent more than last year and 1 percent greater than last
month's forecast. Estimated acreage for harvest is unchanged at 1.79 million acres (723 thousand
hectares), 26 percent above last year. Average yield prospects gained 16 pounds during September
to 1353 pounds per acre, but are 104 pounds under last year's yield of 1457 pounds per acre.

Michigan harvest was aided by dry weather in late September. A few navy and black turtle
soup, beans remain to be pulled. Threshing is about three-fourths complete. Harvest in New York
is progressing well. In North Dakota, dry bean harvest has been delayed by wet weather.
Nebraska threshing was nearing completion as September ended. Quality of beans has been excel-
lent. Harvest in Wyoming and Washington, now winding down, was performed under nearly ideal con-
ditions. Colorado dry bean harvest was at its peak at the end of September but was two weeks be-
hind schedule.

General harvest of dry beans in California is underway in major producing areas. Fields
continue to mature with good conditions prevailing, Idaho harvest is running 2-3 weeks late
where rain slowed.drying of windrowed beans,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


The Virginia-North Carolina area expects a production of 452 million pounds, down 29 percent
from last year. Continued drought during September caused further reductions in expected yields.
Acreage for harvest is about the same as last year but expected yields and production are down
29 percent. About 28 percent of the North Carolina acreage had been threshed by October 5.
Digging started in Virginia after the middle of September.

Production in the three-State Southwest area is expected to total 610 million pounds, 26
percent less than last year. Expected yields are down 22 percent from last year reflecting the
damage caused by dry weather. Digging had just begun in Oklahoma by October 1 and was 22 percent
complete in Texas on September 28.

SUNFLOWERS: Production of a1] sunflowers is forecast at 4.16 billion pounds (1.89 million metric

tons), down 43 percent from 1979 but 8 percent more than 1978, The 1980 acreage for
harvest at 3.69 million acres (1.49 million hectares) is down nearly a third from last year, and
the prospective yield at 1130 pounds per acre is off 219 pounds from the 1979 average. Yields
are forecast at 1200 pounds per acre in Minnesota, 1120 pounds in North Dakota, 1080 pounds in
South Dakota and 1000 pounds in Texas.

COTTON: Based on October 1 conditions, cotton production in the United States is forecast at

11.6 million bales (480 pound net weight), 21 percent less than 1979 production and down
1 percent from the September 1 forecast. Expected production consists of 71.5 million bales of
Upland and 97.7 thousand bales of American-Pima. Cottonseed production, based on a three year
average lint-seed ratio, is forecast at 4.54 million tons (4.12 million metric tons), 21 percent
less than 1979,

Growers expect to harvest 13.3 million acres (5.38 million hectares) of cotton in 1980, 4
percent more than last year. Average yield of lint per harvested acre is forecast at 419
pounds, 129 pounds below last year's record high yield.

Production in the Southeastern States--Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina--
is forecast at 482 thousand bales, down 24 percent from 1979 but about the same as a month ago.
Dry weather continued in September. The crop matured earlier than normal and harvest is well
underway.

In the Delta States--Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee--the crop is
expected to total 2.47 million bales, down 19 percent from last year and 6 percent below the
September 1 forecast. Rains in most parts of the Delta in late September came too late to
benefit the crop. Bolls are opening rapidly and harvest is in full swing.

Texas and Oklahoma upland production is forecast at 3.89 million bales, 36 percent less than
‘in 1979 and unchanged from September 1. Irrigated acreage made good progress during September
but rains in northwest Texas came too late to benefit the dryland crop. Some acreage was
destroyed by flooding and second growth resulting from excessive moisture and warm temperatures
is requiring many growers to defoliate before harvesting. Some low yielding acreage that will
not support the extra expense of defoliating is being abandoned. Harvest is nearing completion
in central Texas and underway in the Plains.

Upland production in Arizona, California and New Mexico is forecast at 4.64 million bales, 3
percent less than last year but 1 percent above the September 1 forecast. Favorable growing
conditions continued through September promoting development of late set fruit. Growers
continued to irrigate later in the season than normal where water was available. Harvest is
underway in western Arizona and the San Joaquin Valley of California.

The Bureau of the Census reports 1,311,138 running bales ginned prior to October 1 compared
with 916,370 bales ginned to the same date in 1979 and 1,490,383 bales in 1978,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


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B-13

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980


In Kansas, winter wheat seeding reached the halfway mark, equal to a year earlier but
slightly ahead of the 45 percent average. Fields were seeded under very dry conditions | and
needed moisture to germinate. Some stands are spotty and may be replanted if rain is received.
Planting in Oklahoma reached 25 percent complete, lagging the 35 percent for last year and
average. Seeding in Texas advanced to 36 percent complete, lagging last year's 48 percent and
the 43 percent average. Dry weather delayed land preparation and planting activities. However,
rainfall during the month benefitted earlier planted fields, and planting should now make rapid
progress. In Colorado, needed rain fell during the month providing growers with more favorable
seedbed conditions, which enabled ptanting to reach 85 percent complete by month's end. Planting
in Nebraska was 90 percent complete, equal to last year but ahead of the 75 percent average. Dry
conditions limited growth of the young crop. Montana seedings reached 70 percent, equal to last
year but later than the 75 percent average. Planting in South Dakota neared completion, slightly
ahead of schedule.

Adequate soil moisture in Washington aided emergence of the new wheat crop although mid-month
rains caused some crusting and a small amount of reseeding was necessary.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is now forecast at 6.47 billion bushels (164 mil-
lion metric tons), down 1 percent from the September 1 forecast and 17 percent
Tess than last year's record crop.

Acreage for grain at 71.2 million acres (28.8 million hectares) is unchanged from last month
but fractionally above last year's harvested acreage.

Yield per acre harvested for grain is forecast at 90.8 bushels compared with last year's
record yield of 109.4 bushels and the 1978 yield of 100.8 bushels. Yields are at record levels
in Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio where adequate moisture was received throughout most of the
growing season. Yields in IlJinois were off 6 bushels from last month. Nebraska was off 4
bushels while Iowa was up 1 bushel.

By October 1, most corn was safe from a killing frost with the exception of some late
planted fields in the northern Corn Belt that could use more time to mature fully. Corn in the
mature stage ranged from 55 percent in Michigan to 99 percent in Illinois; harvesting ranged from
J percent in Wisconsin to 20 percent in Illinois. To the west, the mature stage ranged from 84
percent in South Dakota to 95 percent in Iowa, Harvesting varied from 39 percent complete in
Minnesota to 46 percent in Missouri. In Georgia, 100 percent of the crop was mature and 87
percent harvested. In the 17 major producing States, 89 percent of the crop had matured and 18
percent was harvested, both ahead of last year and the average.

SORGHUM: Grain sorghum production is forecast at 547 million bushels (13.9 million metric tons),
virtually the same as last month's forecast, but down 33 percent from last year's crop
and 27 percent below the 1978 production level. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated
at 12.1 million acres (4.92 million hectares), 6 percent less than last year and 10 percent Jess
than 1978. Yields are expected to average 45.0 bushels per acre harvested for grain, 17.9 bu-
shels below last year's record high average yield of 62.9 bushels and 10.1 bushels below 1978.

Three States will produce over three-fourths of the 1980 grain sorghum crop: Texas - 32 per-
cent, Kansas - 26 percent, and Nebraska - 20 percent. Approximately 79 percent of the sorghum
was mature and half the acreage had been harvested by October 5, Harvest was active in all major
producing States and ranged from 4 percent complete in Colorado to 78 percent in Texas.

Texas sorghum harvest was complete from central Texas southward and gaining momentum on the
High Plains. The September rains came too late to benefit many dryland fields and those with
poor head development are being grazed out or baled. In Kansas, September rainfall was light and
many dryland stands continue to show poor grain prospects. Chinch bug damage has been severe
and the corn earworm has also taken a tol}. Crop maturity is well ahead of normal in Nebraska
resulting in 50 percent of the crop harvested by October 5 compared with a normal of 25 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED A YIELD 2 PRODUCTION

2 = z INO 3 $ 3 IND 3 3 Ind

z 1978 ¢ 1979 = 1980 = 1978 ¢ 1979 2 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 ¢ 1980

Hy 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 17000 BUSHELS
ARIZ 1/8 31 70 1495 70.0 75.0 75,0 67370 5,250 10,875
CALIF 1/2 115 a5 100 75,0 © 80,0 78,0 8,625 3,600 7,800
MINN 2 98 7 120 38,5 37,0 39,0 3,773 2,889 3,600
MONT t 290 325 380 30,0 = 21,0 17,0 8,700 6,825 6,460
NOAK 3,240 3,250 3,990 31.5 26,0 102,060 84,500 += 74, 100
sOAK ? 190 165 200 20.0 22,0 3,800 3,630 3,800
us 3 4,024 3,932 4,845 33,1 27,1 133,328 106,654 106,635
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED A YIELO PRODUCTION

? 2 3 THD: 7 t = TNO

3 1978 2 1979 3 1980 3 197 1979 ¢ 1978 3 1979 3 1980

t 1,000 ACRFS BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
colo ist 33 at at 54,0 63.0 62,0 14782 2,583 2,542
IDAHO 480 520 640 = 640207340 «= 304720 = 38, 440 =a, 720
MINN 2 2,620 27450 2,980 33,5 35.0 34,0 87,770 = 85,750 101, 320
MONT t 1,850 27550 2,550 29,0 = 20.5 21,0 53,650 = 52,275 = 53, 950
NEV 1/2 1s 14 18 55,0 50.0 5040 R25 709 300
N DAK? 6,210 64230 SeA00 29,00 by 19,0 180,090 165,095 110,200
ORES 172 125 245 170 37,0 36,0 38.0 4,625 9,319 6,460
S$ DAK 2,200 25090 2,080 20,0 22.0 17.0 44,000 45, 980 35,360
UTAH 1/2 29 ao 24 36.0 4160 41.0 1,044 1,649 964
WASH 2 310 780 410 36.0 30.0 42.0 41,160 23,400 17,220
wIS 1st 12 16 2a 31.0 33.0 31.0 372 $28 744
WYO 173 19 20 15 am,0 ay 21.0 ase 480 315
us 2 13,903 15-096 140752 3040 28,2 25.65 41h, 494 426,181 574,515

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD

y

REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980

1,000 ACRES

AREA PLANTED,

2,300
5,200
270
460

B-4

FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

1,000 ACRES

6,000
1,630
215
24
2,000

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


POTATOES: - - VARIETIES GROWN =" 1980

The Crop Reporting Service conducts potato objective yield surveys in 11 major fall producing
States. These 11 States accounted for 92 percent of the 1979 U.S. fall potato production. AI1l produc-
ing areas of each State are represented in the sample in proportion to planted acreage of potatoes.
Variety information in the table below is derived from data reported for farms in the objective yield
sample. These data are intended to provide current information on varieties and are not designated as
official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board,

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF MAJOR VARIETIES PLANTED,
SELECTED STATES, 1980 CROP 1/

VARIETY

sRUSSET BURBANK
sRUSSET BURBANK

RED McCLURE

KATAHDIN

MALNE USSET BURBANK

MICH USSET BURBANK :MONONA
MINN (ORCHIP TKENNEBEC
NY ATAHDIN + :NORCHIP.
N DAK IORCHIP 37.0 :KENNEBEC 23.1 :NORLAND
OREG sRUSSET BURBANK 82.1 :NORGOLD RUSSET 91.3 :

PA :NORCHIP 31,9 :KATAHDIN 29.2 :KENNEBEC
WASH :RUSSET BURBANK :NORGOLD RUSSET 3:

Wis USSET BURBANK

‘U/ REPORTED BY FARMS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLING.

FALL POTATOES - PERCENT HARVESTED TO OCTOBER 1, 1980

HARVESTED

HARVESTED
STATE To OCT 1 TO OCT 1
: PERCENT PERCENT
CALIF : 5 45
COLO H 50 4S
CONN 3 90 20
TDAHO 3 20 75
IND t 60 90
MAINE : 40 95
MASS 75 30
MICH 60 90
MINN 50 35
MONT : a 75
NEBR : 60 80
NEV : 10
NY - LONG ISLAND : 55 40
~ UPSTATE : 65

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-2) CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


INDEX

APPLES 2... ccceeeeceeeceneeeees bene rece eeeeeeeeeeeree tee eereeceees
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .
CITRUS FRUITS...
CORN FOR GRAIN ......
COTTON
CRANBERRIES
FILBERTS ..
FLAXSEED .,
GRAPES ....
HAY, ALL ....scecrees .
HAY, ALFALFA & ALFALFA . seeeee
HAY, OTHER ..ccccecececccceneees .
HOPS ......
PAPAYAS ..ccavecccrcccectssecees

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION ........
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS .
PEANUTS FOR NUTS .... .
PECANS ...ccececeeeees
POTATOES .....scsececcecece
POTATOES, VARIETIES GROWN .
PRUNES AND PLUMS ..... tee
RICE .......eeeee
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN .
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

SUGARBEETS ....eceveeeeceees
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .
SUNFLOWERS ...ceceeeeeeeeee teeee
SWEETPOTATOES ...seeeeecseee vee

TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE ......
TOBACCO BY STATES ...-.eeeee

US SUMMARY ....
WHEAT, ALL .......
WHEAT, BY CLASSES an
WHEAT, DURUM ....eeeeeeseee +. eee
WHEAT, SPRING ceccccccevcccccacenccncscesscsscsnseeeensesserecrcseer

t
ao

PRMD DDHID
aa
PPMWWUW HANAN ND

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USOA


ALL OTHER HAY

STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELD 2 PRODUCTION
? IND = ? * IND t 7 IND
1978 3 1979 1980 2 1978 $1979 ¢ 1980 1978 3 1979 1980
1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
ALA 650 630 62s 1,70 1.80 1.65 1,105 1,134 1,031
ARIZ 38 37 3802.20 2.30 230 84 85 87
ARK 725 740 760 1,65 1.85 1.00 14196 1,369 760
CALIF s20 510 S10 1.95 1.95 1.95 1,014 995 995
cote 725 780 785 1,40 1.50 1.65 1,015 1,170 1,295
CONN 66 64 65 2.40 1.90 139 tee 124
DEL 15 14 14 1.70 1.85 26 26 23
FLA 235 235 240 2,00 2.10 aTo 49a 480
GA 47s ago 450 2,00 2,60 950 1,170 765
IDAHO 299 300 290 2.201665 658 995 638
TUL 445 440 435 1.95 2,00 868 880 870
IND 45s 4a0 430 2.10 2,05 956 902 860
TOWA 580 S10 500 2.45 2455 1,424 1,200
KANS 1,240 1,230 1/230 1.40 1.80 1,736 1,476
KY 1,410 1,390 1,390 1,80 1.80 2,538 2,433
LA 347 362 350 2.00 2.20 69a
MAINE 200 195 200 2.05 1.70 410
MD 180 AM 170 2.20 2.25 396
MASS 90 90 900 2415225 194
MICH 290 290 290 1.90 2410 Ssi
MINN 920 660 830 1.80 2.00 16656
Miss 645 660 630 1,85 1.95 1,193
MO 2,900 2,900 2,780 1.55 1.60 4,495
MONT 1170 1,120 1,900 1,40 1.30 1/638
NEBR 2,150 2050 2.050 1,05 1.10 2,258
NEV 260 280 295 1.25 1.25 325
NH 72 13 73 1.85 1.90 133
NJ 64 66 65 2,00 = 2.20 128
N MEX 10 i) 18 1.20 1.30 ba
NY 1,450 1,410 1,360 1,85 1490 2,683
No : 343 338 345 1.65 1.60 566
N OAK 1,530 1,500 1,500 1,50 1.30 2,295
OHTO 3 930 880 880 2.20 2.20 2,046
OKLA : 1,230 1,400 1,25 1.50 1670 1,845
ORES : 630 645 64 1.70 1,60 1,071
Pa 2 1,095 1,110 1,110 1.60 1.80 1,974
RI ist 5 6 6 1.80 1.70 9
sc : 222 21s 205° 2,00 = 2.10 aaa
SOAK 2,100 2,100 2,020 1.25 1615 2,625
TENN 3 14145 14135 44140 1,45 1.55 1,660
TEX 3 2,150 26150 2,130 1.65 9 2.40 3,548
UTAH 1st 124 123 125 1.75 1.80 217
vT ist 350 350 350 1,85 1.70 648
vA 3 870 Bas 890 4.60 14670 16392
WASH : 373 350 355 1.80 1.85 671
woVA : 505 500 505 1.50 1.20 758
WIS z 900 930 850 2.25 2.50 2,025
Wyo + 670 655 66s 1.20 1.25 80a
us : 33,858 33,643 32,994 1,64 1.73 55,609

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEND FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 8-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

INDICATED

: INDICATED : INDICATED 1979
1980 1980 .

HECTARES ~ METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN : 28.726 510 28 811 100 6.87 5.70 197 208 870 165 980 640 164 259 760
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 4995 770 3.95 3 20 684 380 13 895 960 13 895 200
ALL WHEAT 28 986 730 2.30 58 288 400 64 055 620 64 272 800
DuRUM 1960 720 1.82 2 902 650 2 800 8902 902 130
oi SPRING. 5 969 9901.90 V1 $98 750 «10-125 680-10 241 620
RICE 1 353 690 5.14 5 968 100 6 358 230 6 477 660
SovBeRNs FOR BEANS 1/ 27 238 470 2.16 61 713 660 49 836 330 47 825 110
FLAXSEEO 308 780 0,83 343 910 195 $90 201 690
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 584 860 2.93 1805 490 ©1423: 980 1-134 370
SUNFLOWERS 1/ 1491 2801.57 3-309 440 1 888 390
ALL COTTON ~ 5 376 920 0.61 3185140 2.545.030 2 523 260
UPLAND 5 347 940 0.61 3163 670 © 2 523.320» 2 501 990
AMER-PIMA 28 980 0.60 470 av 70 21 270
ALL HAY 24 225 560 §.35 132 338 300 2/112 900 950 114 659 990
ALFALEA 10 873 210 7.13 79 452 150 ~2/69 057 620 70 476 460
13-352 3403.88 2 886 160 2/43 843 330 44 183 530
ony zotale BEANS 722 980 1.63 937 340 ~ 1083810 1 096 690
POTATOES
FALL 395 260 31.07 13 468 810 11 828 460
TOTAL 468 100 30.13 15 556 230 13 466 540
SWEETPOTATOES. 45.810 12.94 682 720 544 630 543 040
TOBACCO 375 070 2.07 692 490 811 080 81) 390
SUGARBEETS 475 070 44.03 20024 290 © 20 710 120 21 087 510
‘SUGARCANE FOR 2
ue ‘AND SEED : 296 520 297 810 81.17 24 069 430 24 649 120 24 943 950
: 12 870 15 010 1,94 24 920 3 390 ¥ 270
Mrs, COM L, 3 3 669 130 2/3 792 240 3-773 640
GRA H 4525 940! 4 426 340 © 4 602 330
Seer CHERRIES 3/ 186 560 149 050
TART CHERRIES 3~ 7 102 560
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) 56 700 680 69 850
CRANBERRIES: 12 290 ante 260 5 940
PECANS 95 530 87 090 89 180
FILBERTS V1 790 12 700 12 700
CITRUS FRUITS 5/ : 1979-80 1980-81 1980-81
ORANGES Fy 10 “10° BO OTO
LEMONS 18 770 892 670

1/1979 REVISED. 2/ AUGUST 1, 1980, 3/ CARRIED FORWARD FROM CHERRY UTILIZATION REPORT RELEASED
‘OCTOBER 3, 1980. 4/° MID-AUGUST. 5/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
THE COMPLETION OF FARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE
INDICATED.

PRODUCTION
INDICATED

AREA HARVESTED

THOT CATED
1980 1/ : 1979

HECTARES

oars 3978 510 3 585 960 1.95 1.82 7 756 5% 6 541 310
BARLEY 3022 220 2 987 350 2.72 2.57 8 231 440 7 654 470
WINTER WHEAT 17 633 150 21 056 020 2.48 2.43 43 787 000 BT 129 050
RYE 384 050 283 280 1.62 1.45 623 570 ant 220
ORY EDIBLE PEAS : 55 040 53 010 1.68 2.39 92 490 126 600
POTATOES ‘

WINTER 2/ ! 4 820 4 650 22.43 23.05 108 090 107 180

SPRING ~ 33:90 29 460 28.55 26.19 968 190 77) 650

SUMMER 2 44110 38 730 22.92 19.71 1011 149 763 260
PEPPERMINT OIL 3-36 790 32 380 0.06 0.06 2140 1 960
SPEARMENT O1L : 13 400 12 260 0.06 0.07 870 850
PEACHES : 1 350 560 1 318 680
PEARS 781 540 805 400
APRICOTS 431 090 V2 760
NECTARINES (CALIF) 156 040 167 830
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 120 660 149 690
PLUMS (CALIF) 158 760 154 220
OLIVES (CALIF) 53 520 96 160
ALMONDS (cave) 170 550 154 220
WALNUTS (CALIF: 188 690 199 580

A/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FRON EARLIER FORECAST. 2/1980 REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 Rea CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


HOPS: Production of hops is estimated at a record 75.6 million pounds (34.3 thousand metric
tons), 9 percent more than last month's forecast and 38 percent larger than the 54.9
million pounds (24.9 thousand metric tons) produced in 1979.

Yield prospects improved in all hop producing States except California. An average yield of
2036 pounds per acre is estimated compared with 1727 pounds a year ago. The 37.1 thousand acres
(15.0 thousand hectares) harvested is 17 percent more than the 1979 acreage. September weather
was favorable for harvest and harvest is nearly complete.

PASTURE “AND -RANGE “FEED: October 1 pasture and range feed condition averaged 63 percent for the
48 contiguous States. This is 18 points below a year ago and 14 points
below the 1969-78 average for this date.

Although recent rains and cooler temperatures have improved conditions throughout much of
the Southeast and westward across Texas, Oklahoma and Missouri, forage conditions remain
droughty. Range and hay production continues to be poor in most of the Northern and Central
Plains States.

Ample rainfall throughout the Corn Belt and northward across the Lakes States has resulted
in good to excellent forage and hay production for this time of year. Most States from the
Rocky Mountains westward were also experiencing very good range and pasture conditions on
October 1,

APPLES: The final forecast of the 1980 U.S. apple crop places production at a record high 8.32

billion pounds (3.77 million metric tons), down fractionally from the August 1 forecast
of 8,36 billion pounds (3.79 million metric tons) but up 3 percent from the previous record high
set last year.

The Eastern States expect a crop of 3.29 billion pounds, a 1 percent decline since August 1
but fractionally above last year, Outlook declined from August 1 in Virginia, North Carolina,
and New Jersey. Dry weather has limited sizing of the crop. Harvest of the Virginia crop
started late and about a third was picked by October 1 compared with the usual one-half.

In the €entral States, prospects are for a crop of 1.46 billion pounds, about the same as on
August 1 but 23 percent above last year's production. Michigan apple growers expect to harvest
the second largest crop of this century. Plentiful moisture allowed excellent sizing of all
varieties except Red Delicious and Jonathan. Red Delicious and Jonathan varieties did not fully
size because of an unusual combination of delayed maturity and warm nights and cloudy weather
Jate in the season. Harvest was about half complete on October 1. Ohio's excellent crop is
maturing later than usual. Earlier high temperatures delayed coloring but cooler temperatures
late in September improved coloring.

Prospects in the Western States improved slightly from August 1, but the 3.56 billion pounds
expected is still 2 percent below the 1979 harvest. Washington's 2.60 bi}lion pound crop has
excellent quality, color and size. Harvest of summer apples was active during August. Golden
Delicious harvest began the first week of September and picking of Red Delicious began in the
Yakima Valley the week of September 8. In California, picking was active or complete for most
varieties by October 1, In Oregon, picking was near the mid-point in the Milton-Freewater area
on October I and was well underway in the Hood River area. Good harvest conditions prevailed.

GRAPES: The final forecast of the U. S. grape crop places production at a record high 5.07
million tons (4.60 million metric tons), 4 percent more than last month's forecast and
2 percent greater than the 1979 crop.

California now expects 4.61 million tons, 5 percent more than forecast last month and up 1
percent from 1979, The increase from last month was in the raisin type. Virtually all raisin
grapes are laid with most raisins already rolled. With unusually good growing conditions
related to cool temperatures, the berries continued to grow later in the season than usual.
This resulted in increased tonnage, later maturity, lower sugar and a high dry away ratio.
Table grape quality remains good. Picking of Emperors, Calmeria and Ribiers has begun. Sugar
levels of the wine grape crop are improving but are below levels at this time last year.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


ORANGES: The first forecast for oranges for the 1980-81 season points to a record crop of 276

million boxes (10.8 million metric tons), 1 percent more than last season's crop and 31
percent greater than the 1978-79 harvest. The forecast for production of all oranges in Florida
is set at 203 million boxes, 2 percent below last season's record crop. Production of early and
mid-season varieties in Florida at 115 million boxes is 2 percent less than last season but 26
percent more than the 1978-79 crop. Valencia production in Florida is expected to total 88.0
million boxes, 1 percent less than last season. The California orange crop is forecast at 65.0
million boxes, 9 percent more than last season and 74 percent above the 1978-79 season. The
Navel crop in California is placed at 38.0 million boxes, 17 percent above the record crop of
last season. The Valencia forecast for California is 27.0 million boxes, the same as last
season and 64 percent more than the 1978-79 season. The Arizona orange crop is expected to
total 2,80 million boxes, 20 percent Tess than last season. Orange production in Texas is
forecast at 5.60 million boxes, 39 percent above the 1979-80 crop.

Most of Florida's citrus groves were in very good to excellent condition during September in
spite of the hot, dry weather. Many caretakers on the central ridge irrigated several times to
maintain adequate moisture levels. Most new growth started hardening off because of the lack of
rain. Harvest of the 1980-81 crop started near the end of September, There will be increased
shipments of all early maturing varieties during October.

In Texas, citrus trees recovered well from the summer's heat stress. Irrigation kept
adequate moisture on trees to insure good crops. Hurricane Allen brought needed rains which
reduced irrigation needs but caused some fruit droppage. Fruit is sizing well and condition is
good. Harvest of early oranges began in late September.

FLORIDA: FROZEN: CONCENTRATED: JUICE- YIELD: The forecast of the 1980-81 Florida Concentrated Orange
Juice yield is 1.37 gallons per box of 43.4 degree
brix equivalent. The reported 43.4 degree level will become effective at the start of the new
marketing season on December 1, 1980 for all Florida FCOJ sold in the U.S. in retail and
institutional size containers. The yield level previously reported has been for 45.0 degree
brix equivalent. The conversion ratio from 45.0 degrees to 43.4 degrees is 1.0442029. Yield
for the 1979-80 crop was 1.34 gallons per box at 45.0 degrees brix equivalent.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects, on October 1, for the 1980-81 season excluding California "Other areas"
“~~~ grafefruit, indicate a grapefruit crop of 68.7 million boxes (2.57 million metric
tons), 2 percent less than last season but 6 percent more than the 1978-79 crop. The California
“Other areas" grapefruit production, which will be forecast as of December 1, accounted for 3.30
million boxes last season,

Florida's grapefruit crop forecast of 53.0 million boxes is 3 percent less than last
season's crop. The Texas crop at 9.00 million boxes is 14 percent more than the 1979-80
production. Arizona growers expect to harvest 2.90 million boxes, 3 percent less than last
season, The crop in California desert areas is forecast at 3.80 million boxes, 10 percent below
the 1979-80 crop. Limited harvest has begun in al? four States.

LEMONS: The Arizona-California lemon crop is forecast at 25.9 million boxes (893 thousand metric

tons), 25 percent more than was harvested during the 1979-80 season and 32 percent
greater than the 1978-79 crop. In California, the crop is expected to total 20.0 million boxes,
13 percent more than last season. Picking will begin mid-October in the Central Valley where
fruit set is heavy and quality good. Picking is light in southern coastal areas but active in
desert areas where quality is excellent. In Arizona, a crop of 5,90 million boxes is expected,
93 percent greater than the small crop of 3.05 million boxes harvested last season and 7 percent
above the 1978-79 crop.

TANGELOS: The Florida tangelo crop, excluding K-Early citrus fruit, is forecast at 5.20 million

boxes (212 thousand metric tons), 19 percent less than the 1979-80 crop but 24 percent
more than 1978-79 production,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
{DOMESTIC UNITS)

"AREA HARVESTED

YIELD PER ACRE
INDICATED

INDICATED INDICATED
1980: 1980

1,000 ACRES 1,000
CORN FOR GRAIN 70,984 72,293 109.4 9.8 7,763,771 6,534,370 6,466,622

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 12,949 12,147 62.9 45.0 "814,308 547,060 _°547,030
ALL WHEAT 62,600 715 Sa 34.2 33.0 2,141,732 2,353,641 2,361,621

‘DURUM 3,932 27.1 22.0 "106, 654 102,915 "406, 635

OTHER SPRING 15,096 28.2 25.5 426,181 372,055 376,315

RICE 2/ 2,869.0 4,986 4,269 131,574 140,175 142,808
‘SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 2/ 70, 524 32.2 26.1 2,267,589 1,831,172 1,757,272
FLAXSEED 1018 13.3 10.4 13,539 La 940
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 1,524.5 2,677 1,730 3,980,440 «3,139,360 2,500, 860
SUNFLOWERS 2/ 5,410 14,349 1,130 7,296,110 4,163, 200
ALL COTTON 12,815.9 548 419 14,629.3 17,689,311, 589.3

‘UPLAND 12,726.8 548 a7 19,530.7 13,589.6 —-11,491.6

AMER-PIMA 89. $83) 655 98.6 99.7 97.7
ALL HAY 61, 162 2.39 2.11 145,878 3/124,452 126,397

‘ALFALFA 27,519 3.18 2.89 87,581 ~ 3/76,123 77,687

ALL OTHER 33,643 173 V.a8 58,297 3748, 329 48, 704
ORY EOIBLE BEANS 1,418.7 1,457 1,353 20,665 23,894 24,178
POTATOES

faut 1,071.2 277 267 296,938 260,686
3,295.9 269 257 342, 958 296, 888
sagereoraroes 124.7 us 106 14,390 12,007 11,972
TOBACCO 826.3 1,848 1,930 1,526,662 1,788,140 1,788,823
‘SUGARBEETS 1,123.7 19.6 19.8 22,073 22,829 23,245
SUGARCANE FOR
at AKO SEEO 732.7 36.2 37.4 26,532 27,170 27,496
31.8 1,727 2,036 54,929 69,210 75,554

PASTURE AND RANGE 4/ ay 63
APPLES, COM 8,089,100 3/8, 360,500 8,319,500
GRAPES 4,989.0 ° 4,879.2 5,073.2
SWEET CHERRIES 5/ 183.6 164.3
TART CHERRIES 57 170, 490) 226, 100
PRUNES AND PLUMS.

(EXCL CALIF) 62.5 73.5 77.0
CRANBERRIES 2,475.5 6/2,475.0 2,556.0
PECANS 210,600 92,000 196, 600
FILBERTS 13, 14.0 14.0
CITRUS FRUITS 7/ 1979-80 1980-81

ORANGES” ~~ 5,

LEMONS 20,750

17 YHELD_ IN POUNDS. 2/” 1979 REVISED. _3/ AUG 1, 1980, _4/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH.
THE 1969-78 AVERAGE IS 77 PERCENT. 5/ CARRIED FORWARD FROM CHERRY UTILIZATION REPORT RELEASED OCT 3, 1980. 6/ MID~
AB 7/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING
YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED

“eto PER ACRE PRODUCTION

INDICATED
1980 Vf

CROP AND UNIT INDICATED

INDICATED

oats 8,851 54.4 50.9
BARLEY 7,367 50.6 427
MINTER WHEAT 52,030 36.9 36.1
700 25.9 23.)
ony EDIBLE PEAS 131.0 1,499 2,131
POTATOES
WINTER 3/ Ws 200 205
‘SPRING — 72.8 255 234
SUMMER 95.7 205 176
PEPPERMINT OTL. 80.0 52 54
SPEARNINT OTL 30.3 58 62
PEACHES
PEARS
APRICOTS

NECTARINES (CALIF)
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) ="

PLUMS (CALIF) 3
OLIVES (CALIF) . :
ALMONDS (CALIF) Bo:
WALNUTS (CALIF) Tow:

17 ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. Z/ YTELO EN POUNGS. 3/1980 REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 Ax3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


PECANS

‘
CROP AND STATE L PRODUCTION
' TOTAL t TOTAL t IND
4 1978 1 1979 ’ 1980
’ Ts000 POUNDS
PECANS IMPROVED wt
ALA ' 139000 2800 125000
ARK t 29000 400 240
FLA ' 14600 19100 24600
GA 1 1059006 52000 750000
La ' 29500 21500 3000
MISS 1 69000 19500 42500
N MEX 1 159000 169700 169000
ne CTA 20800 909 15700
OKLA ' 2000 1,000 24000
sc ' 39600 19200 1300
TEX 1 12,000 211000 12,000
Us t 1645500 994100 1294340
PECANS NATIVE & SEEOLING !
ALA ' 92000 19200 8000
ARK t 30000 19100 660
FLA 4 25600 19500 14800
GA ' 309000 139000 25,000
LA 1 69500 139500 11,000
MISS 1 49000 15000 22000
ne ast 1,200 400 900
OKLA : 94000 49000
sc t 800 900
TEX ' 705000 139000
us t 111,500 675260
ALL PECANS '
ALA ' 224000 4000 204000
ARK 1 49000 19500 900
FLA ' 49200 25600 40600
GA ' 1359000 65,000 100,000
LA ' 92000 165900 14,000
MISS ' 10000 29500 64500
N MEX 1 150000 149700 169000
ne arn 4000 19300 2600
OKLA ‘ 103000 52000
sc 1 24000 24200
TEX 1 914000 25,000
us ‘ 2205600 2960600

1/ BUDDEDsGRAFTED,OR TOPWORKED VARIETIESs
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWAPD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

FRESH UTILIZATION

1980-81

1,000 POUNDS

AUG > 3,218 3,000 2,265 1,935 2,876 3,530
SEP > 3,205 3,040 2,205 1,930 2,762 4,940
oct : 2,975 1,910 3,931 4,700
Nov : 2,930 1,885 3,884" 4,300
: 4
4

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


STATE AREA HARVESTED 3 PROOUCTLON

z Fy 3 THD ¢ H 3 TN

A 1978 1979 2 1980 3 1978 ¢ 1979 ¢ 1980

z 17000 ACRES 4,000 TONS

Py
ALA : 650 630 625 1.70 1.80 1.105 1,134 1,031
ARIZ 3 24a 2a2 248 = 5,06 05477 1,362 1,397 1,452
ARK 3 795 813 1.73 1.91 1,375 1,552 900
CALLE 3 1,610 17560 4.32 4.68 6,955 7,295 7,475
coLo : 1,905 14480 2.13 2.23 2,987 3,216 3,24
CONN 173 87 aa 2,23 2.08 194 175 179
veL ast 22 22 2.18 2,36 48 52 a7
FLA ty? 235 235 2.00 2.10 470 aga 480
GA z ams 450 2.00 2.60 950 1,170 705
IDAHO ¢ 1,379 1,368 3.41 3.02 4,708 4,126 4,780
TLL : 1,205 1,180 3.02 3.19 3,642 3,766 3,663
IND t 875 830 2.63 2.59 2,300 2,150 2,058
TOWA t 2,300 2r210 3.61 3.74 84301 8,271 7,880
KANS + 2,290 21260 2.04 2.53 4,676 5,716 a, 15a
KY : 1,618 1,594 1.95 1,97 3,162 3,134 3,048
LA : 360 375 2.01 2.21 724 827 657
MAINE 1/2 221 216 2.10 1.78 465 385 388
MO wf 249 240 2.53 2.53 631 606 608
mass ist 116 116 2.26 2.40 262 257
MICH 3 1,370 17330 2.69 = 2.88 3,683 3,844
MINN : 3,060 Be010 2,92 3.00 8,932 6,749
MISS : 605 660 1.85 1.95 1,193 1,103
“a 3 3,450 34420 1.73 1.77 5,980 4,784
MONT t 2,420 2,380 1.89 1.80 4,576 4,100
NEBR : 3,800 3,700 1.98 2,06 7,538 6,218
NEV 3 445 465 2.16 9 2.11 963 1,007
NH Iss a 92 1,992.04 161 179
NJ 443 119 120 2.61 2.83 310 261
N MEX 3 301 Bio 3.50 3474 1,054 1,318
ny 3 2,a75 26850 2,360 2,14 226 5,297 5,352
nc : 360 355 362 1.70 1.66 612 361
N OAK 3,510 3,570 3,250 1.84 1.62 6,953 2,950
oHxIO : 1,520 1,410 1,400 2.59 2.56 3,934 3,372
OKLA z 1,740 1,900 1,740 1.85 2012 3,222 2,627
OREG : 1,045 1,050 1,060 2.49 2429 2,607 26748
Pa z 1,935 1,960 1,950 2.23 2.19 4,323 3,959
R113 a 9 9 2.13 2600 7 19
sc : 222 ais 205 2,002.10 aga 390
8 OAK Lt 4,600 4,600 41400 4.88 1.72 8,625 4,829
TENN : 1,250 1,240 1,250 1,53 1.63 1,912 1,792
TEX : 2,355 2,360 22335 1.85 2460 4,368 4,228
UTAH : 594 598 595 3,18 5.39 1,886 1,964
vt ist 443 450 450 2,00 1.89 885 880
vA z 950 975 977 1673 1.82 1,640 1,500
Wash : 876 853 a55 2,952 BB 2,582 2,469
wa ’ 595 $85 395 1.63 1628 970 905,
WIS : 4,000 4,030 3,900 2.01 3.12 11,635 12,555 11,325
wo z 1,200 1,200 1,210 1.71 4077 2,050 2,127 2,052
us $ 61,515 61,162 $9,862 = 2.31 2.39 142,209 145,878 = 126,391

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1970-80 (1967=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR HAY oo: 3
FEED AND : FOOD : SUGAR COTTON TOBACCO : QIL CROPS
GRAINS. FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS
89 100 31 4 139 7 WwW
116 105 107 116 146 86 V2
: 112 104 102 127 187 88 131
1973: «#4119 115 109 14 112 176 88 155
1974 =: 110 93 104 120 104 158 101 127
1975: (M2) 4 108 142 130 12 10 153
76s 2 Vea 2 a Vee 142 108 432
1977: 129 126 107 132 116 191 98 175
1978 (131 135 113 125 116 145 102 182
1979: (144 145 W7 143 110 200 79 219
1980 129 V9 0 156 112 156 9 167

1/__ INCLUDES GRASS AND COVER CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN
SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on
selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting
Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington
headquarters.

APPROVED: CROP REPORTING BOARD:
. L. Olson, Chairman,
. A, Walsh, Secretary,

BD. W. Barrowman, F.£. Rolf,

R. A. McGregor, R. P. Small,
R. L. Addison, W. R. Blackson,
C. R. Brantner, A. R. Budge,
T. J. Byram, E. F. Dorman,
M. S. Farrar, R. D. Fenley,
d. R. Gibson, G. H. Howse,

C. D. James, T. W. Jean,

D. C. Johnson, S. R. Koyle,
0. A. Martin, R. W. Milton,
&. A. Nelson, D. E. Ransom,
R. L. Schulte, J. E. Stepanich,

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


HOPS

STATE A YIELD $ PRODUCTION 1/
IND ¢ = IND ? IND
1978 3 1979 1980 31978 1979 § 1980 $ 1978 1979 1980
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF 1.5 1.2 1,300 1,290 1,630 2,040 1,548 1,956
TOAHO 2.7 2.7 1,790 1,710 1,940 4,833 4,617 5,432
UREG 3 5.4 5.6 1,510 1,540 1,970 8,154 8,624 42,214
WASH : 21.3 22.3 1,880 2,080 40,140 55,952
us : 30.9 31.8 1,782 2,036 54,929 75,554

1/ 1980 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/7

AVERAGE
1969678

AVERAGE
1969-78

PERCENT PERCENT

73 aa 78 9S

74 66 8a

To 8 64 3

wa 85 84 64

70 83 8a a3

82 BO 90 62

80 93 65 56

82 as

74 a 3 3

1 68 84 93
89 38
94 S2
85 a2
19 52
93 St
7 49
70 8s
81 ag
o7 66
tw 87
93 92
86 94
7 72
aL 63

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 40 ANU OVER 3 POOR TO FAIR 65-793 VERY POUR, Soe VER
DROUGHT, 35-49% EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35, 7 Sorear SEVERE

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


ORY EDIALE BEANS is
CROP AND STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED A YIELO A PROOUCTION
t 7 1 IND 7 FIND -= t 7 INO
51978 1 _s979 t 1980 t 1978 _ 1979: 1980 2 4978: 1979 : 1980
7 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 TRY
LARGE LIMA SEANS +
CALIF : 29.0 2760 33.0 1,580 1,930 1,820 458 520 600
BABY LIMA BEANS :
caLtF + 29.0 18.0 2,050 2,240 2/110 siz 650 380
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS :
CALIF : 1090 158.0 1,450 1,580 1,610 2,353 2,350 2,580
ALL ORY EDIBLE BEANS '
CALIF : 1,720 1,690 31323 5,520 3/530
coLo : 910950 1,530 1,593 1,995
TDAHO : 1,850 1,700 24498 2,460 3,083
ANS ave 1,000 1,160 192 170 218
MICH ' 4,400 1,300 210, 880 7,280
MINN arn 1,560 1,150 592 S62 136
MONT aut 1,800 1,500 126 175 195
NEBR t 1,600 1,750 4,997 26160 2,625
wy r 1,200 1,150 420 480 587
N_DAK : 1,380 1,000 1,243 1,018 24400
uraH ent 00 350 2a 32 35
WASH 1 4,900 1,850 soa 703 907
nyo : 28.0 3,900 1,900 427 532 ba?
us 2 4,081,4  1,418,7 1,786.5 1,487 1,353 19/080 20,665 2a, 178
17 EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SHEETPOTATOES
STATE AREA HARVESTED B YIELD : PRODUCTION
t t Tw t 7 ee lars $
1978} 4979: 1980: 1978 £1979} 1980 § 1978 = 1979
1,000 ACRES CHT 1,000
ALA 5.5 100 110 9 550 627
ARK 1.3 9 15 60 126 120
CALIF 900 160 170 160 1,392 1,632
ce 218 110 415 100 60 690
LA 25.0 95 95 85 a, 660 2,565
“0 133 160 155 155 224 217
arss 4.5 88 90 90 7192 192
nd 217 110 41S 100 286 Bit
Ne 38.0 140 120 120 5-180 4,920
sc 205 105 100 90 22 280
TENN 2.7 100 405 go 280 294
TEX Lo 110 125 80 1,085 1AATS
va 309 140 130 115 350 167 409
vs t 113.2 419 115 106 44,301 14,390 41,972

SondoNOwodooes

U/ REVISIONS CARRIED FORWARD FROM “POTATOES AND SWEETPOTATOES" RELEASED

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980

1,000 ACRES
12.4 ur
35 = UPSTATE
23.0 OHIO.
282.0 OREG = MALHEUR CO
3.5 > OTHER CO
08,0
3.4
32.5
65.0
22
6.7
13.0
TOTAL

B11

2 RUoOMOLBENUOOOO

SEPT. 25, 1980,

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


POTATOES: Fall potato production in the United States is forecast at 261 million cwt (11.8 mil-

jon metric tons), 12 percent Tess than the 297 million cwt (13.5 million metric tons)
produced. in 1979 and 19 percent below the.1978 record high crop of 323 million cwt (14.7 million
metric tons). This is the smallest crop since 1973. Area for harvest is estimated at 977
thousand acres (395 thousand hectares), 9 percent less than last year and 19 percent smaller
aoe in 1978, Estimated yield at 267 cwt per acre is 10 cwt less than 1979 and 13 cwt below

In the seven Eastern: States, production is forecast at 42.4 million cwt, down 15 percent
from last year and down 12 percent from 1978. Yield at 232 cwt per acre is down 22 cwt from 1979
while acreage for harvest at 178 thousand acres is down 7 percent from 1979. Cold, wet weather
has delayed the harvest in Maine and by October 1, only 40 percent of the crop had been harvested
compared with 75 percent last year. In New York, both Long Island and Upstate harvest is running
ahead of last year but yields have been well below 1979, especially on Long Island where esti-
mated yield is 65 cwt below last year. Dry weather also reduced yields in Pennsylvania where
estimated yield is 70 cwt below 1979.

Production in the eight Central States is expected to total 53.5 million cwt, 14 percent
below 1979 and 23 percent below 1978. Estimated yield at 191 cwt per acre is down 21 cwt from
last year while harvested acreage at 280 thousand acres is down 5 percent. Yields are down in
all States except Wisconsin and Nebraska. Yields are particularly low in the Red River Valley
area of North Dakota and Minnesota where rainfall for July and early August was well below
Normal, Harvest is later than usual in North Dakota with only 45 percent of the crop harvested
by October 1. Minnesota and Wisconsin harvest is about on schedule.

In the Western States, production is forecast at 166 million cwt, 11 percent below 1979 and
20 percent Below T978. Average yield at 319 cwt is J cwt above last year but acreage for harvest
at 519 thousand acres is down 11 percent. Harvest in Idaho is running at a normal pace with 20
percent of the crop dug by October 1. . In Washington, harvest is 35 percent complete, about even
with last year. Generally, quality of this year's crop in the Western States is good.

Revised production for the 1980. Winter: Crop is placed at 2.36 million cwt (107 thousand
Metric tons), down 1 percent from 1979-and down 10 percent from 1978. Harvested acreage at 11.5
thousand acres. (4650 hectares) is 3. percent below 1979 and 11 percent below 1978. Yields
averaged 205 cwt per acre compared with 200 cwt in 1979 and 203 cwt in 1978,

SWEETPOTATOES: The 1980 sweetpotato crop in the United States is forecast at 12.0 million cwt
(543 thousand metric. tons), down 17 percent from last year and 16 percent less
than 1978. This production forecast is the lowest since 1971. Harvested acreage is expected to
total 113 thousand acres (45.8 thousand hectares), 9 percent below 1979 and 6 percent less than
1978, Estimated yield at 106 cwt per. acre is down 9 cwt from 1979 and down 13 cwt from 1978,

Dry weather during the growing season greatly reduced yields and atl but 3 of the 13 major
producing States show a decline in yield from last year. Production is down in all States. In
North Carolina, the major producing State, harvest was about one-third complete on October 1
compared with the average of one-half complete for that date. In Louisiana, harvest is running
near normal at two-thirds complete on October 1.

Generally, size and quality of this year's crop are below average. Extremely dry conditions
caused considerable cracking which lowered quality, especially in the southern areas. Rain in
late September was too late to help the early crops in these southern States but late crops may
benefit. Because of the dry weather, acreage abandoned this year is expected to be greater than
normal.

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco in 1980 is expected to total 1.79 billion pounds (811 thou~
sand metric tons), 17 percent more than the 1.53 billion pounds (692 thousand metric
tons) produced in 1979,

Fiue-cured production is forecast at 1.10 billion pounds (500 thousand metric tons), up 17
percent from the previous year.

The hot, dry weather which continued in September further reduced yield prospects of Type 11
in Virginia and Type 13 in South Carolina.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA


New York: harvest is a week later than usual and berry size is smaller than usual because of
dry weather during late August and early September. Quality is good and sugar content high.
September weather in Washington was favorable for sugar development and harvest. Concord
harvest began in late September. Prospects improved in Pennsylvania where the crop has good
color and sugar content but some mildew exists. Michigan's harvest started late and cool wet
weather late in August and September limited sizing and sugar content.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is

forecast at 77.0 thousand tons (69.9 thousand metric tons). This last
forecast of the season is up 5 percent from the previous month, and is 23 percent larger than
production last year. Harvest is nearly complete except in the Willamette Valley in Oregon.
Prospects improved during September in Idaho and Oregon. Compared with a year ago, Idaho,
Oregon, and Washington expect larger crops but a smaller crop is expected in Michigan.

CRANBERRIES: Production of the Nation's cranberry crop is forecast at a record 2.56 million
barrels (116 thousand metric tons), a 3 percent increase since mid-August and 3
percent larger than the 1979 crop.

Prospects in Wisconsin improved 9 percent during the period to a record 1.01 million
barrels, Harvest is underway and berry size is excellent. Partially offsetting were slightly
lower prospects in Washington where cool weather was a limiting factor. Prospects in other
States were unchanged.

About a third of Massachusetts’ record crop was harvested by October 1. There has been no
frost but water is short for harvesting and frost protection. Quality is excellent but berries
vary in size from small to medium. New Jersey harvest is underway. Rain is needed to improve
water reservoir levels. Oregon growers experienced some insect loss. Water for harvest should
be adequate.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production for October is forecast at 4.70 million pounds (2130

metric tons), a decrease of 5 percent from the year high of 4.94 million pounds (2240
metric tons) in September, This decline is expected to continue into November with fresh output
forecast at 4.30 million pounds (1950 metric tons). An upturn of 2 percent in fresh production
is expected to occur in December and continue into January, rising to 4.68 million pounds (2120
metric tons). The upward revisions in the forecasts for October, November, and December are
based on an expected increase in acreage for harvest as well as an increase in the amount of the
crop going for fresh utilization.

Fresh production in September was up 40 percent from August and was 79 percent more than
September a year ago. The September acreage for harvest, at 1930 acres (780 hectares), is the
same as the August harvested acres, while the total area in crop increased to 3040 acres (1230
hectares).

The cumulative fresh production total for danuary-September this year is 20 percent more
than the same period last year.

PECANS: U.S. pecan production is forecast at nearly 197 million pounds (89.2 thousand metric

tons), 2 percent more than the September 1 forecast but 7 percent less than last year's
production, Increases in production forecasts from last month for Georgia, Louisiana and
Mississippi more than offset declines for Florida, Oklahoma and South Carolina,

In Georgia, hot, dry weather continued into late September but production prospects are much
improved from last year as a result of better nut sets. Moisture shortages have resulted in
smal} sizes. Prospects in Louisiana vary considerably. Nuts continued falling prematurely
through September mainly because of dry conditions. Also, filling of the nuts has been
adversely affected in some orchards, In Texas, the drought contributed to light sets and
undersized kernels. Earlier dry conditions resulted in a heavy drop but recent rains which came
while nuts were in the soft dough stage helped fill nuts.

Production from improved varieties in the U.S. is expected to account for 66 percent of this
year's crop compared with 47 percent last year and 66 percent in 1978.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1980 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESS, USDA