COTTONSEE PRODUCTION AND FARM DISPOSITION 1/
FARM DISPOSITION USED FOR
PRODUCTION «= tenn wenn nr enn nn nn nnn nnn nnn e nmi PLANTING
SALES TO OIL MILLS OTHER 2/ 3/
1985 > 1984 1985 1986
1,000 TONS

189.0 124.0 149.0 34.0 40.0 4.5 4.3
389.0 311.1 319.0 153.4 70.0 4.2 3.3
264.0 210.0 257.0 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.5
1,300.0 854.0 1,009.0 357.0 291.0 17.6 17.4
11.7 10.1 11.1 4/.6 36 47.3 4/.4
128.0 93.0 95.0 8.0 33.0 2.9 2.8
<2 at ol 4/ al 4/ 4/
264.0 344.0 224.0 38.0 40.0 6.7 6.1
616.0 587.0 573.0 33.0 43.0 11.6 11.0
80.0 67.0 75.0 5.0 5.0 2.3 2.3
31.3 32.0 23.2 8.0 8.1 1.1 1.1
44.0 39.0 20.0 1.0 24.0 +7 7
106.0 69.0 97.0 6.0 9.0 4.0 3.9
61.0 43.0 40.0 18.0 21.0 1.2 1.0
160.0 124.0 155.0 9.0 5.0 4.6 3.5
1,634.5 1,383.5 1,425.6 179.5 208.9 76.8 70.7
5 6 4 4/ al 4/ 4/
us : 5,148.9 5,279.2 4,291.4 4,473.4 857.5 805.8 145.0 135.0

COTTONSEED: SEASON AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS, VALUE OF PRODUCTION,
AND VALUE OF SALES TO OIL MILLS 1/

PRICE PER VALUE OF VALUE OF SALES
TON PRODUCTION TO OIL MILLS
DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS
ALA : 94.50 56.00 14,931 10,584 11,718 8,344
ARIZ z: 101.00 69.00 46,915 26,841 31,421 22,011
ARK : 81.50 55.50 17,686 14,652 17,115 14,264
CALIF : 119.00 85.00 144,109 110,500 101,626 85,765
FLA Hy 75.00 35.00 803 410 758 389
GA : 93.50 57.00 9,444 7,296 8,696 5,415
KANS : 103.00 59.50 10 12 10 6
LA : 79.00 48.50 30,178 12,804 27,176 10,864
MISS Hi 81.00 51.50 50,220 31,724 47,547 29,510
MO : 86.50 52.00 6,228 4,160 5,796 3,900
N MEX : 102.00 60.50 4,080 1,894 3,264 1,404
NC : 93.00 45.00 3,720 1,980 3,627 900
OKLA : 103.00 59.50 7,725 6,307 7,107 5,772
sc 3 97.50 50.00 5,948 3,050 4,193 2,000
TENN 3 90.50 53.00 12,037 8,480 11,222 8,215
TEX > 101.00 62.50 157,863 102,156 139,734 89,100
VA : 93.00 45.00 56 23 56 18
us 99.50 65.00 511,953 342,873 421,066 287,877

1/1985 CROP PRELIMINARY. 2/ INCLUDES PLANTING SEED, EXPORTS, INTER-FARM
SALES, SHRINKAGE, LOSSES AND OTHER USES. 3/ INCLUDED IN "OTHER" FARM
DISPOSITON. PLANTING SEED FROM PREVIOUS YEARS' CROP. 4/ KS, FL, VA COMBINED.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-20 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

PRODUCTION

CLASS AND TYPE peeeee

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK 3
AtR-CURED 3

TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER :

BELT :

kY : 4,800 4,100 2,155 2,050 10,344 8,405

TENN 3 1,300 1,100 2,135 2,090 2,776 2,299

us 3 6,100 5,200 2,151 2,058 13,120 10,704
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER :

BELT 3

KY 3 2,700 2,300 2,170 1,950 5,859 4,485
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :

BELT :

VA : 440 200 1,340 1,150 590 230
TOTAL 35-37 : 9,240 7,700 2,118 2,002 19,569 15,419
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER :

TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF

PA 7,700 8,000 1,900 1,950 14,630 15,600
TYPE 42-44 OHIO-MIAMI :

VALLEY TYPES

OHIO 3/ = 1,100 820 2,000 2,050 2,200 1,681
TOTAL 41-44 3/ : 8,800 8,820 1,913 1,959 16,830 17,281
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER :

CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY :

BINDER :
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY :

BROADLEAF :

CONN : 900 1,000 1,765 1,800 1,589 1,800
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY :

HAVANA SEED :

MASS : 150 130 1,965 1,960 295 255
TOTAL 51-52 z 1,050 1,130 1,794 1,819 1,884 2,055
CLASS 58, WIS BINDER :

TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :

Wis : 3,900 3,900 2,105 2,435 8,210 9,497
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS :

wis : 4,200 4,300 1,950 1,875 8,190 8,063
TOTAL 54-55 : 8,100 8,200 2,025 2,141 16,400 17,560
TOTAL 51-55 : 9,150 9,330 1,998 2,102 18,284 19,615
CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :

TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY +:

SHADE-GROWN :

CONN 3 870 1,000 1,420 1,515 1,235 1,515

MASS : 350 360 1,400 1,460 490 526

us : 1,220 1,360 1,414 1,501 1,725 2,041
ALL CIGAR TYPES :

TOTAL 41-61 : 19,170 19,510 1,922 1,996 36,839 38,937
ALL TOBACCO 791,700 689,020 2,183 2,196 1,727,962 1,512,970
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-16. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-14 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION

1977-1975
BILLION BUSHELS

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WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at 1.60 billion busheis (43.6 million

metric tons) as of May 1, 1986 the lowest level since 1979. The
forecasted production is down 12 percent from 1985's production, due primarily
to a sharp decline in harvested acreage. Growers expect to harvest 42.8
million acres (17.3 million hectares) for grain, I] percent Tess than Tast
year. Acres for harvest are 79 percent of the seeded total. Producers
harvested 83 percent of the 1985 planted acres for grain. Yields are expected
to average 37.4 bushels per acre, down 0.7 of a bushel from last year.

Conditions around the first of May saw the crop rated in mostly good
condition, except in the Southeast where it was rated mostly fair to poor due
to lack of soil moisture. Cool temperatures have slowed development in the
northern Plains and Rocky Mountain States. Warm weather has advanced the
southern Plains crops ahead of average. Colorado's crop needs moisture. The
Kansas crop has progressed ahead of average, but rains are needed, especially
in western areas of the State. Cool temperatures and rains are needed in
Qklahoma; disease problems are prevalent. Ory weather for most of April has
diminished Texas wheat prospects.

ORANGES: Al? oranges are forecast at 179 million boxes (6.93 million metric

tons) for 1985-86, 1 percent higher than the April 1 forecast and 13
percent above the 1984-85 season. The Florida crop is 123 million boxes, down
200 thousand boxes from April 1, but 19 percent more than last season.
Production of early and mid-season oranges this season in Florida was 64,2
million boxes, Harvest was completed during April. The Florida Valencia
forecast, at 59.0 million boxes, is unchanged from April 1, but 21 percent
higher than 1984-85. Harvest is 45 percent complete. The California Navel
forecast is 33.0 million boxes, up 3 percent from April 1 and 27 percent more
than the 1984-85 crop. As of May 1, 94 percent of California's Navel crop was
harvested. California's Valencias forecast is 20.0 million boxes, up 5
percent from the April 1? forecast, but 23 percent below last season.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-3 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

HECTARES
WINTER WHEAT : 23,371,660 21,850,020 19,406,100 17,337,730
SPRING POTATOES : 37 ,230 31,040 35,210 30,590

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

:YIELD PER HECTAR PRODUCTION

: : INDICATED

CROP : : INDICATED: Penne nee e ene n ee ee nee -----

: 1985: 1986 : 1985 : APR1, : MAY 1,

: : 1986 1986

METRIC TONS

WINTER WHEAT 2.56 2.52 49,728,100 43,629,970
SPRING POTATOES : 29.61 28.95 1,042,620 890,080 885,540
PEACHES 1/ : ‘ 170,320 220,170
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 210;920 113,400
HAY STOCKS ON FARMS : 24,360,630 2/87,831,810 24,628,250
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ : 1984-85 1985-86 1985-86
ORANGES : 6,095,370 6,871,020 6,930,890
GRAPEFRUIT : 2,068,380 2,108,300 2,129,160
LEMONS : 889,040 723,930 708,510

1/ 9 SOUTHERN STATES. 2/ JAN 1. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST
YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-5 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


FARM MARKETINGS OF COTTON, BY STATES, 1984 CROP YEAR, PERCENT BY MONTHS

STATE : AUG : SEP : OCT : NOV: DEC : JAN:

ALA 2 +5 17.2 24.5 24.4 18.9 4.8
ARIZ : 2.7 19.4 30.6 19.8 14.7 5.1
ARK -9 17.0 34.1 33.6 9.6 1.9
CALIF el 1.0 19.0 31.7 13.4 6.8 5.0
GA 1.8 2.3 11.5 135.8 20.5 18.3 4.1
LA 2 +2 16.8 26.8 35.0 14.7 2.0
MISS 8 -5 12.4 23.4 37.8 16.9 2.5
OKLA 1.2 4.6 23.3 22.9 34.3
TENN +8 18.3 33.8 36.2 7.0 8
TEX 20.5 10.3 5.6 5.8 10.2 19.7 14.6
us 4.8 3.1 14.2 23.4 22.2 13.8 6.3

FARM MARKETINGS OF TOBACCO, BY STATES, 1985 CROP YEAR, PERCENT BY MONTHS

MAR

CLASS ~ FLUE-CURED :

FLA : 15 48 37

GA > 13 49 38

NC 3 2 26 43 29

sc 4 39 41 16

VA 8 11 38 41 2
CLASS - FIRE-CURED :

KY 2 31 53 16

TENN : 28 46 26

VA 3 14 32 25 29
CLASS - AIR-CURED

IND : 7 55 10 18

KY H 18 62 8 12

MD 1/ :

MO : 30 43 13 14

NC 3 24 65 9 2

OHTO : 16 49 13 22

PA I/ :

TENN 3 26 67 5 2

VA : 26 66 8

1/ SALES ARE NOT COMPLETE FOR THE 1985 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986. A-21 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production for may is expected to total 4,50

million pounds (2040 metric tons). A 2 percent increase to 4.60
million pounds (2090 metric tons) is expected in June. Production is expected
to fall to 3.50 million pounds (1590 metric tons) in July. A further drop to
2.60 million pounds (1180 metric tons) is anticipated in August. Heavy rains
during the beginning of April were responsible for lower fruit setting in many
Puna orchards. Field operations were disrupted and some washouts of recently
planted fields occurred. Disease incidence was expected to increase, but has
been minimized by intensified spray schedules.

Fresh papaya utilization in April is estimated at 4.16 million pounds
(1890 metric tons), a 1 percent increase from March and 2 percent above April
a year ago. Year-to-date output is 10 percent behind the level of this time a
year ago. Total crop area decreased 2 percent from March to 3910 acres (1580
hectares). This crop area percent more than last year. Area harvested during
April totaled 2450 acres (990 hectares), 3 percent below the previous month
and 13 percent less than the same time a year ago. Harvested area in April
represented 63 percent of the total in crop compared with 73 percent during
April of last year.

PEACHES: The first forecast in the nine Southern States for 1986 is 485

million pounds (220 thousand metric tons}, up 29 percent from last
year but down 36 percent from 1984. Spring freezes again reduced the peach
crop with damage ranging from severe to slight. Some growers in South
Carolina will have no peaches while others will need to thin the crop. The
freeze in South Carolina does not appear to be as severe as in 1985. The
freeze in Georgia damaged early blooming varieties. The big concern now is
the tack of rain. Freeze damage in North Carolina varied from orchard to
orchard and within orchards. The drought is also causing concern. A poor
bloom, freeze damage, and high winds combined to reduce the Texas crop.

SWEET CHERRIES: The first forecast of California sweet cherries is 7500 tons

{6800 metric tons), down 68 percent from last year and 80
percent less than 1984. Heavy rains during the bloom period resulted in poor
pollination. Although the crop is the smallest for California in many years,
quality and size are excellent.

ALMONDS: The first forecast of the 1986 California almond crop is 250 million

pounds {113 thousand metric tons) shelled basis, 46 percent below
last year and 57 percent less than the record high 587 million pounds (266
thousand metric tons) set in 1984. Rain received in major almond production
areas during the critical bloom period may place the 1986 crop yield as one of
the worst ever. Although most varieties and areas were affected, some
apparently received more damage than others, especially the Sacramento Valley.
Also, the set variation from tree to tree, within the same orchard, is
noticeably inconsistent.

POTATOES: Spring potatoes are forecast at 19.5 million cwt (886 thousand

metric tons), 15 percent below last year and 18 percent below
1984. Area for harvest is set at 75.6 thousand acres (30.6 thousand
hectares), down 13 percent from both of the last two years. The average yield
is forecast at 258 cwt per acre, down 6 cwt from last year and 17 cwt below
984,

California's estimated production dropped to 7.61 million cwt, 28 percent
below last year, and 2 percent below the April 1 forecast. Crop progress is
about two weeks earlier than normal. Quality is very good, as harvest picks
up. Arizona harvest started in mid-April in central areas and has spread to
western areas,

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-6 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


APRIL WEATHER SUMMARY

Precipitation was adequate to excessive through most of the Great Plains.
However, parts of the southern Plains from southeastern Texas to western Texas
and north through western Kansas were far too dry. Persistent rain in the
northern Plains slowed planting progress. Dry weather continued throughout
the Southeast. The area from the lower Mississippi Valley to the Ohio River
and southeastward had less than half the normal rain. A Tate-season cold
outbreak pushed into the upper Mississippi Valley late in the month and spread
southeastward. Temperatures dropped to the low twenties from the upper
Mississippi Valley to the upper, Ohio Valley and into Kentucky. Unusually warm
weather followed the cold outbreak. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural
Weather Facility.)

APRIL FIELDWORK

Wetness delayed land preparation and seeding in the Corn Belt, central and
northern Great Plains, and Rockies during most of April. Winter-like
temperature slowed growth and germination during the month across the Rockies
and northern Plains. The fourth week of April, freezing temperatures slowed
crop growth, prevented germination and damaged fruit crops in the Pacific
Northwest, the central and northern Great Plains, the Corn Belt, and from the
Northeast as far south as north Georgia. Fruit crops were damaged severely in
some areas, but damage to smal] grains was not expected to be heavy. Land
preparation progressed welt in the Southeast but dryness slowed small grain
planting and development. The lack of moisture plagued the Southeast and
Texas most of April.

Corn planting, at the beginning of April, was limited mostly to the
southern States but was underway as far north as Kansas. On April 27 planting
neared completion in the Southeast. Nationally, 16 percent of the acreage was
seeded, 5 points ahead of normal. Seeding was underway in all major producing
States except South Dakota and Wisconsin.

Near the end of April, cotton was 28 percent seeded in the 14 major
producing States, a Tittle behind 1985, but 1 point in front of normal.
Planting was ahead of, or equaled, the norm in all States except California,
Georgia, and South Carolina. Oryness caused seeding delays in Georgia and
South Carolina.

The 11 major sorghum producing States seeded one-fourth of their acreage
by the end of April. Normally 22 percent would have been seeded... Seeding was
limited mostly to the South, but a few acres had been seeded in Missouri and
Oklahoma.

Rice seeding progressed rapidly throughout the Delta and in Texas during
the month. On April 27, seeding was 56 percent finished, 18 points ahead of
normal. Seeding was almost finished in Mississippi and Texas but was just
beginning in California.

Soybeans were planted as far north as Pennsylvania on April 27. Seedin
was just beginning in Georgia, Missippi, Ohio, and Virginia. Missouri's
soybean acreage was 3 percent seeded compared with 2 percent normally.

Wetness delayed spring wheat seeding during most of April, especially in
Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota. Twenty-two percent of the acreage
was seeded, 13 points behind normal. Planting lagged 13, 26, and 35 points
behind normal in North Dakota, Minnesota, and South Dakota, respectively.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-2 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


COTTON: PRODUCTION AND BALES GINNED

3 PRODUCTION IN 2 BALES GINNED AS
CROP 2 480-LB : REPORTED BY CENSUS 2/
AND : NET WEIGHT BALES 1/ 3 (480-LB NET WEIGHT)

1,000 BALES

UPLAND
ALA : 447.0 545.0 443,077 542,969
ARIZ : 1,097.0 928.0 1,063,418 888,255
ARK : 612.0 703.0 612,155 701,601
CALIF 3 2,913.0 3,114.0 2,947,650 3,153,680
FLA 2 30.0 32.5 3/25,176 3/23,250
GA 3 281.0 370.0 285,832 377,465
KANS : +3 4 3/ 3/
LA 2 1,056.0 742.0 1,051,222 746,394
MISS : 1,650.0 1,655.0 1,652,196 1,654,749
MO : 187.0 204.0 187,926 203,498
N MEX : 87.0 71.0 79,923 64,615
NC : 120.0 117.0 122,661 119,535
OKLA + 183.0 285.0 179,326 280,408
sc : 170.0 180.0 165,424 177,291
TENN : 337.0 419.0 335,932 415,480
TEX : 3,680.0 3,910.0 3,680,236 3,913,212
VA : 1.1 1.2 3/ 3/
us : 12,851.4 13,277.17 12,832,154 13,262,402

AMER-PIMA
ARIZ 3 88.1 108.7 88,011 108,823
N MEX : 12.4 11.3 6,264 5,532
TEX H 29.9 35.1 35,874 40,815

: )

US : 130.4 155.1 130,149 155,170

ALL
ALA : 447.0 545.0 443,077 542,969
ARIZ : 1,185.1 1,036.7 1,151,429 997,078
ARK : 612.0 703.0 612,155 701,601
CALIF H 2,913.0 3,114.0 2,947,650 3,153,680
FLA 3 30.0 32.5 3/25,176 3/23,250
GA : 281.0 370.0 285,832 377,465
KANS 3 3 4 3/ 3/
LA A 1,056.0 742.0 1,051,222 746,394
MISS : 1,650.0 1,655.0 1,652,196 1,654,749
MO 3 187.0 204.0 187,926 203,498
N MEX : 99.4 82.3 86,187 70,147
NC : 120.0 117.0 122,661 119,535
OKLA H 183.0 285.0 179,326 280,408
sc 2 170.0 180.0 1653424 177,291
TENN 3 337.0 419.0 335,932 415,480
TEX H 3,709.9 3,945.1 3,716,110 3,954,027
VA : 1.1 1.2 3/ 3/
us : 12,981.8 13,432.2 12,962,303 13,417,572

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.

2/ EQUIVALENT 480-LB NET WEIGHT BALES GINNED, NOT ADJUSTED FOR CROSS-STATE
MOVEMENT.

3/ FLA, KANS, AND VA COMBINED.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-18 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


PEACHES

PRODUCTION

STATE : TOTAL 1/ :

Jeeecneceeeneenetneceeeeeneeeneeee! INDICATED
1984 1985 : 1986

ee re MILLION POUNDS
ALA : 22.0 1.5 6.0
ARK 23.0 5.0 7:0
GA 150.0 90.0 110.0
LA 7.0 6.5 q
NISS 5.0 2.5 3
NC 43.0 2.0 20.0
OKLA 9.0 8.0 7.0
SC : 480.0 230.0 320.0
TEX : 23.0 30.0 15.0
9 SOUTHERN STATES : 762.0 375.5 485.4

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS): 9
SOUTHERN STATES, 1984-108.0, 1985-22.0.

SWEET CHERRIES

PRODUCTION
STATE: TOTAL :
Jen eene een n nnn n nee nee eee eee e eee nee : INDICATED
1984 1986
CALIF 37,200 7,500

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 ‘A-10 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250

May 14, 1986
ERRATA

CROP. PRODUCTION: CrPr 2-2 (5-86) released May 9, 1986 should be changed as
follows:

PAGE A-4: United States Crop Summary- Yield Per Acre and Production (Domestic

Units)
FROM TO
1,000 TONS
Hay Stocks on Farms

May 1, 1986 27,148 26,775

PAGE A-5: United States Crop Summary- Yield Per Hectare and Production
(Metric Units)

METRIC TONS
Hay Stocks on Farms

May 1, 1986 24,628,250 24,289,870

PAGE A-7: HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

May 1, 1986 1,000 TONS
New Mexico 603 230
United States 27,148 26,775

PAGE B-7: HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

Line 1 27.1 million tons 26.8 million tons
Line 1 24.6 million 24.3 million
metric tons metric tons
Line 2 up 1 percent down fractionally
Line 3 69.7 million tons 70.0 million tons
Line 3 63.2 million 63.5 million
metric tons metric tons
Line 6 18.2 percent 18.0 percent

kK KKK


ON FARM GRAIN STORAGE CAPACITY

The National Agricultural Statistics Service collected grain storage
capacity on farms for 27 States as part of the Agency's January 1, 1986
agricultural survey. The data, which are subject to sampling fluctuations,
are not official Agricultural Statistics Board estimates but provide an
indication of farm storage capacity within a range indicated by the sample
variability. A measure of this variability is expressed as a percent of the
survey indication (coefficient of variation).

Nearly 45,000 reports. from farmers and ranchers were included in the
survey. The 27 States covered account for about 95 percent of the U.S. grain
stocks stored on farms. At the 27-State level, the storage capacity survey
indication of 12.9 billion bushels has a sampling error of 1.5 percent. This
means that chances are 2 out of 3 that similar storage capacity measurements
would be within plus or minus 1.5 percent of the indicated level. Chances are
9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference would not exceed
plus or minus 2.5 percent. Larger confidence bands surround individual State
indications, with the highest appearing in States having smaller proportions
of farmers or ranchers reporting storage facilities.

ON FARM GRAIN STORAGE CAPACITY
JANUARY 1, 1986 1/

: COEFFICIENT OF
CAPACITY 3 VARIATION

STATE
1,000 BUSHELS PERCENT
ARIZ : 8,000 6.2
ARK : 120,43) 6.8
CALIF : 92,929 28.2
coLo : 227,918 6.8
GA : 115,910 6.1
IDAHO : 187,497 12.5
ILL : 1,333,309 6.1
IND 2 721,414 4.3
IOWA : 1,975,922 4.3
KANS : §12,122 6.0
kY : 182,425 4.7
LA : 70,867 27.9
MICH : 276,972 6.0
MINN : 1,630,759 6.0
MISS 3 78,063 10.3
Mo : 366,309 4.2
MONT : 459,930 8.8
NEBR : 1,213,598 4.0
NC 3 131,861 8.5
N DAK : 919,677 3.5
OHIO : 485,061 5.5
OKLA : 149,142 17.3
S DAK : 571,693 3.4
TENN : 98,114 8.0
TEX : 244,869 13.2
WASH : 135,374 9.7
WIS : 557,042 5.8
27-STATE TOTAL : 12,867,208 1.5

1/ CAPACITY DATA ARE SURVEY INDICATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-9 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

JAN 1

STATE

000 TONS
ALA : 718 925 1,078 73 150 262
ARIZ : 116 1 177 12 66 55
ARK : 776 1,013 1,401 85 171 382
CALIF : 1,323 13414 13598 368 314 400
coLo : 2,048 15953 2,186 436 563 765
CONN : 122 136 120 35 32 37
DEL 3 25 28 40 4 17 10
FLA : 400 341 337 52 49 75
GA : 640 871 780 70 198 186
IDAHO > 2,850 3,036 2,162 393 522 245
ILL : 1,787 3,026 2,728 302 737 814
IND : 1,135 1,617 1,764 189 469 497
IOWA : 3,602 5,338 4,850 768 1,727 1,284
KANS > 3,198 3,834 53179 640 1,121 1,540
KY : 1,913 2,376 3,403 262 402 943
A : 389 473 400 23 106 156
MAINE >| 281 287 278 72 78 84
MD : 306 399 452 74 133 146
MASS : 188 198 172 56 48 44
MICH : 2,503 2,854 3,195 626 634 742
MINN : 43906 5,908 4,802 1,497 1,435 1,280
MISS : 999 840 910 135 110 286
MO > 4,026 4,817 5,341 326 1,268 1,433
MONT : 3,839 3,100 23125 768 567 331
NEBR > 43886 55156 45931 1,145 1,770 1,419
NEV : 78) 808 846 195 135 130
NH : 123 133 129 32 30 31
Nod : 156 181 193 18 35 47
N MEX : 350 432 603 70 119 603
NY : 2,959 3,005 3,267 740 966 1,001
NC : 376 469 522 103 125 127
N DAK > 3,672 3,887 2,675 1,164 983 641
OHTO > 2,076 2,429 2,944 422 569 920
OKLA : 2,527 2,383 3,305 520 605 1,629
OREG > 2,185 2,023 15495 281 218 179
PA > 2,818 3,456 33552 554 966 1,113
RI : 15 15 14 5 4 4
Sc : 259 360 349 29 53 69
S_DAK : 7,288 8,245 5,168 2,505 3,557 1,546
TENN > 14431 13901 23115 368 482 537
TEX : 43,117 3,357 5,641 1,273 1,191 2,698
UTAH > 1,089 13231 1,146 206 238 271
vT : 574 610 665 157 169 152
VA : 1,098 1,471 1,397 186 418 312
WASH : 1,528 1,490 1,246 237 158 182
WVA : 657 790 800 190 192 172
WIS > 8,662 10,216 7,228 2,196 2,426 1,112

WYO : 1,563 1,646 1,109 286 527 256
: 89,280 100,589 96,818 20,148 26,853 27,148

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-7 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 2 400 350 32.0 20.0 14,820 12,8600 7,000
ARIZ 3 66 53 90.0 96.0 5,580 5,940 5,088
ARK : 570 600 32.0 36.0 61,600 16,240 21,600
CALIF : 750 680 82.0 83.0 52,440 61,500 56,440
COLO z 3,450 2,900 39.0 38.0 110,400 134,550 110,200
DEL z 43 33 48.0 47.0 2,009 2,064 1,551
FLA We 130 100 33.0 30.0 4,290 3,000
GA 2 825 550 31.0 28.0 31,150 25,575 15,400
IDAHO z 870 800 53.0 67.0 56,700 46,110 53,600
TLL t 750 800 49.0 44.0 70,400 36,750 35,200
IND 3 700 800 53.0 49.0 48,300 37,100 39,200
|OWA t 112 75 48.0 38.0 3,600 5,376 2,850
KANS : 11,400 10,000 38.0 33.0 431,200 433,200 330,000
ky + 310 320 34.0 34.0 19,000 10,540 10,880
LA t 210 210 34.0 37.0 13,120 7,140 7,770
“D : 133 140 49.0 47.0 6,020 6,517 6,580
MICH 2 750 700 60.0 55.0 45,600 45,000 38,500
MINN 3 280 175 37.0 41.0 15,480 10,360 7,75
MISS t 300 200 31.0 31.0 25,080 9,300 6,200
MO z 1,280 520 39.0 36.0 84,050 49,920 20
MONT 2 1,400 2,000 16.0 32.0 66,960 22,400 00
NEBR z 2, 300 2,000 39.0 41.0 81,000 89,700 8 2000
NEV : 9 80.0 80.0 640 720 720
NJ : 3 33 52.0 50.0 1,677 1,924 1,650
N MEX t 570 500 36.0 30.0 11,960 20,520 15,000
NY 2 145 150 58.0 54.0 7,820 8,410 8,100
NC 3 760 540 29.0 30.0 26,660 22,040 16,200
N DAK 3 450 480 35.0 40.0 22,000 15,750 19,200
OHIO : 950 1,020 62.0 52.0 48,400 58,900 53,040
OKLA ? 5,500 5,200 30.0 28.0 190,800 165,000 145,600
OREG 2 960 930 54.0 62.0 66,150 51,840 57,660
PA t 210 220 48.0 45.0 8,360 10,080 9,900
sc : 430 265 29.0 27.0 14,440 12,470 7,155
S DAK t 1,520 1,690 29.0 36.0 61,200 44,080 60,840
TENN t 250 300 32.0 35.0 21,400 8,000 10,500
TEX 3 35,850 4,600 32.0 26.0 150,000 187,200 119,600
UTAH 3 220 210 32.0 35.0 6,435 7,040 7,350
vA t 285 250 37.0 38.0 12,375 10,545 9,500
WASH 3 2,400 2,050 48.0 60.0 148,800 115,200 123,000
WA z 8 9 43.0 42.0 400 344 378
Wis 3 140 “130 55.0 56.0 8,960 7,700 7,280
WYO : 230 250 22.0 30.0 7,280 5,060 7,500
us 47,953 42,842 38.1 37.4 2,060,266 1, 827, 195 1, 603, 127

1/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

WINTER SPRING

SOFT

1,000 BUSHELS

1,250,597 531,370 278,299 408,801 103,439 22,271 2,594,777
1,230,075 368,026 229,094 460,262 112,510 24,798 2,424,765
1,060,517 301,217 241,393

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT 5-YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. THE 5-YEAR VARIETAL
SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE,
2/ INDICATED MAY 1, 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-6 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


COTTON: SEASON AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS,
AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION

: PRICE VALUE
CROP : PER : OF
AND : POUND : PRODUCTION
STATE 9 beeen n nnn nn nee nn nn eee nnn nn nen nn nnn nn ene nee eee ee ee
1984 1/ 1985 2/ 1984 1/ 1985 2/
CENTS 1,000 DOLLARS
UPLAND
ALA : 55.3 53.8 118,652 140,741
ARIZ : 59.8 53.9 314,883 240,092
ARK : 55.6 54.9 163,331 185,255
CALIF : 66.8 58.5 9345024 8743411
FLA : 57.9 52.0 8,338 8,112
GA : 58.4 54.1 78,770 96,082
KANS : 48.3 47.9 70 92
LA : 54.3 54.6 275,236 194,463
MISS : 54.2 54.7 429,264 434,537
MO : 57.9 55.0 51,971 53,856
N MEX : 59.8 57.0 24,972 195426
NC : 61.8 55.0 35,597 30,888
OKLA : 48.3 47.6 42,427 65,117
sc : 61.0 57.0 49,776 49,248
TENN : 56.2 53.2 90,909 106,996
TEX : 52.5 51.4 927,360 964,675
VA : 63.0 55.0 333 317
us : 57.5 54.4 3,545,913 3,464,308
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ : 91.7 85.3 38,778 44,506
N MEX : 98.6 98.8 5,869 5,359
TEX : 89.7 97.1 123874 165359
us : 91.9 89.0 57,521 66,224
ALL
ALA : 55.3 53.8 118,652 140,741
ARIZ : 62.2 57.2 353,661 284,598
ARK : 55.6 54.9 163,331 185,255
CALIF : 66.8 58.5 9345024 8745411
FLA : 57.9 52.0 8,338 8,112
GA : 58.4 54.1 78,770 96,082
KANS : 48.3 47.9 70 92
LA : 54.3 54.6 275,236 194,463
MISS : 54.2 54.7 429,264 434,537
MO : 57.9 55.0 51,971 53,856
N MEX : 64.6 62.7 30,841 24,785
NC : 61.8 55.0 35,597 30,888
OKLA : 48.3 47.6 42,427 65,117
SC : 61.0 57.0 49,776 49,248
TENN : 56.2 53.2 90,909 106,996
TEX : 52.8 51.8 940,234 981,034
VA : 63.0 55.0 333 317
us : 57.8 54.8 3,603,434 3,530,532

1/ INCLUDES ALLOWANCE FOR UNREDEEMED LOANS. 2/ AVERAGE TO APR 1, 1986 WITH
NO ALLOWANCE FOR UNREDEEMED LOANS. i

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-19 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION
BOXES

PRODUCTION

TON EQUIVALENT
CROP

AND

1983-84

1965-86

: 1,000 UNITS 27 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID:
& NAVEL B/s
ARIZ : 550 650 600 21 25 23
CALIF : 33,700 26,000 33,000 1,264 975 1,238
FLA : 69,700 55,000 64,200 3,136 2,475 2,889
TEX 4/5/+ 2,400 0 200 102 0 9
us + 106,350 81,650 98,000 4,523 3,475 4,159
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
RIZ : 1,250 1,800 1,900 ay 68 nN
CALIF : 14,800 26,000 20,000 556 975 750
FLA : 47,000 48,900 59,000 2,115 2,201 2,655
TEX 4/5/% 110 0 110 5 0 5
us : 63,160 76,700 81,010 2,723 3,244 3,481
ALL ORANGES t
ARIZ : 1,800 2,450 2,500 68 93 94
CALIF : 48,500 52,000 53,000 1,820 1,950 1,988
FLA : 116,700 103,900 123,200 5,251 4,676 5,544
TEX 4/5/3 2,510 0) 310 107 0 14
Us : 169,510 158,350 179,010 7,246 6,719 7,640
TEMPLES :
FLA : 2,900 3,250 3,000 130 146 135
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 23,000 24,800 25,700 978 1,054 1,092
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK =:
SEEDLESS
: 13,400 16,300 17,800 569 693 757
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT =:
FLA z 4,500 2,900 3,150 191 123 134
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ARIZ : 2,270 3,700 2,900 72 118 93
CALIF :
DESERT : 3,340 3,900 4,000 107 124 128
OTHER AREAS: 3,900 5,000 4,000 131 168 134
TOTAL : 7,240 8,900 8,000 238 292 262
FLA : 40,900 44,000 46,650 1,738 1,870 1,983
TEX 4/5/: 3,200 0 220 128 C) 9
us : 53,610 56,600 57,770 2,176 2,280 2,347
TANGERINES :
ARIZ 4a): 1,150 700 700 43 26 26
CALIF 4): 1,850 1,680 1,800 70 63 68
FLA als 2,000 1,050 1,150 95 50 55
us 4}: 5,000 3,430 3,650 208 139 149
LEMONS :
ARIZ 3 4,000 8 goo 3,050 152 228 116
CALIF : 17,250 17,500 655 752 665
Us : 21,250 23 800 20,550 807 980 781
TANGELOS t
FLA 3,600 3,600 2,950 162 162 133

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST 1S COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF

OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-8 LEMONS-76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95,
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
5/ DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DECEMBER 1983, NO COMMERCIAL SUPPLIES
WERE HARVESTED FOR THE 1984-85 TEXAS CITRUS CROPS.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-9 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



Arizona's all orange crop estimate is 2.50 million boxes, unchanged from
the April 1 forecast, but 2 percent higher than last season. The Arizona all
orange harvest is 81 percent complete. The Texas crop estimate remains at 310
thousand boxes. Harvest was completed early this season in Texas due to light
volume.

Changes in U.S. orange production between the May 7 forecast and final
production averaged 3.68 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ran ing from
a low of 300 thousand boxes in the 1977-78 season to a high of 7°68 million
boxes in the 1976-77 season.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1985-86 yield projection of

Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice is
1.38 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This yield computation is projected
to the final amount reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association at
the end of the harvest season. The 1984-85 freeze-reduced final season
average yield was 1.37582 gallons per box. In 1983-84, the FCOJ final yield
was 1.28931 gallons per box which was also affected by freezing weather.

CITRUS HARVEST AND UTILIZATION: By May 1, 127 million boxes of oranges had

been harvested, 71 percent of U.S. crop com-
pared with 117 million boxes, or 74 percent, on May 1, 1985. Processors had
used 71 percent of the oranges harvested by May 1, 1986, compared with 73
percent by May 1 a year earlier.

Grapefruit harvest was 88 percent complete by May 1 compared with 86
percent on the same date last year. Processors had used 56 percent of the
total crop harvested by May 1, compared with 62 percent a year earlier.

Lemon harvest at the first of the month was 60 percent complete and
compares with 76 percent on the same date Tast season. Processors have
utilized 37 percent of the crop compared with 57 percent by May 1 last year.

CITRUS CROP - HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO MAY 1

UTILIZATION 1/ UTILIZATION
CROP Pee en enn een ne ne nn nee nn nnn nee

EMAINING
FOR

HARVEST

THOUSAND BOXES

ORANGES : 31,874 85,150 117,024 41,326 37;316 89,314 126,630 52,380
GRAPEFRUIT: 18,739 30,026 48,765 7,835 22,498 28,367 50,865 6,905
LEMONS : 8,519 11,190 19,709 6,091 7,670 4,580 12,250 8,300

1/ REVISED FOR GRAPEFRUIT.

GRAPEFRUIT: The 1985-86 U.S. crop forecast of 57.8 million boxes (2.13 million

metric tons) is up 1 percent from April 1 and 2 percent above
last season. Florida's forecast, at nearly 46.7 million boxes, is up 1 percent
from April 1? and 6 percent above last season. The California “Desert Valley"
forecast, at 4.00 million boxes, is unchanged fom April 1 but 3 percent more
than the 1984-85 crop. The California "Qther Areas" crop forecast of 4.00
million boxes is the same as April 1 but 20 percent less than last season.
Arizona's forecast continues at 2.90 million boxes, down 22 percent from
1984-85, The Texas crop estimate is 220 thousand boxes.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-4 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


Agricultural United States
Statistics Department of

Crop si Reger
p r re) d u Cc t i re) n National Agricultural Washington, D.C. 20250

RELEASED: May 9, 1986
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast as of May 1 at 1.60 billion bushels (43.6
million metric tons), 12 percent less than the 1985 production. The 90
percent confidence interval for this production forecast is 1.42 billion
to 1.79 billion bushels.

CITRUS production is forecast at 11.2 million tons (10.1 million metric tons),
7 percent higher than last season.

ORANGE production is forecast at 179 million boxes (6.93 million metric tons),
13 percent higher than last season. As of May 1, 71 percent of the crop
was harvested.

GRAPEFRUIT production is forecast at 57.8 million boxes (2.13 million metric
tons), 2 percent above last season. Fighty-eight percent of the crop was
harvested by May 1.

LEMON production, at 20.6 million boxes (709 thousand metric tons), #s 20 per-
cent below last season. As of May 1, 60 percent of the crop was harvested.

SPRING POTATOES are forecast at 19.5 million cwt (886 thousand metric tons),
15 percent below last year and 18 percent below 1984.

PEACH production in the nine Southern States is forecast at 485 million pounds
(220 thousand metric tons), 29 percent more than last year's crop. The
crop was reduced by spring freezes but the damage appears less severe in
Georgia and South Carolina than after the 1985 freeze.

ALMOND production is forecast at 250 million pounds (113 thousand metric
tons), shelled basis, 46 percent below last year.

ektk Het ae Te tk ke tek:

SPECIAL IN THIS REPORT

Recently announced program changes to the crops estimating program
-- page 2. On farm grain storage capacity -- page B-9.

AGENCY NAME CHANGE

HO EO RO

The Statistical Reporting Service staff has been active during the past
3 years examining virtually every aspect of its work. One phase dealt
with the Agency's identity within the agricultural and statistical com-
munities. As a result of this study, the name of the Statistical Re-
porting Service has been changed to National Agricultural Statistics
* Service. This name more accurately reflects the purpose of the Agency,
* its broad agricultural focus, and the service aspect of its responsibi-
* lity. In line with this change, the Agency's Crop Reporting Board has
* been renamed the Agricultural Statistics Board to better describe the

* scope of its output.
KRKKKKERERERERERE KRKAKE KEKE: REKKKEKRK: to RK

OF

*
Ce ee ee ed

CrPr 2-2 (5-86) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


TOBACCO BY STATES

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

STATE we nnn nnn n nee n nen n nnn nena nn nn nn nnn nnn nnn ene n nnn nnn n enon ne

1984 =: «41985: : 1984 =: 1985

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CONN : 1,770 2,000 1,595 1,658 2,824 3,315
FLA : 7,000 6,100 2,560 2,675 17,920 16,318
GA : 38,000 36,000 2,250 2,280 85,500 82,080
IND : 8,100 6,500 25320 2,240 18,792 14,560
KY : 228,500 186,300 2,320 2,300 530,088 428,409
MD : 23,000 21,000 1,320 1,350 30, 360 28,350
MASS : 500 490 1,570 1,594 785 781
MO : 2,900 2,500 2,015 2,180 5,844 5,450
NC : 271,600 250,700 2,172 2,220 590,026 556,522
OHIO : 12,000 7,920 2,209 2,140 26,507 16,946
PA : 12,000 11,500 1,864 1,904 22,370 21,900
Sc : 47,000 43,000 2,245 2,300 105,515 98,900
TENN : 74,990 61,710 2,062 2,065 154,646 127,403
VA : 53,840 43,300 2,153 2,104 115,897 91,092
W VA : 2,400 1,800 1,870 1,880 4,488 3,384
WIS : 8,100 8,200 2,025 2,141 16,400 17,560
US : 791,700 689,020 2,183 2,196 1,727,962 1,512,970

SEASON AVERAGE PRICE PER: VALUE OF

POUND RECEIVED BY FARMERS: PRODUCTION

1984 1985 1984 1985
CENTS 1,000 DOLLARS

CONN : 642.3 675.9 18,139 22,405
FLA : 180.4 170.9 32,328 27,887
GA : 182.6 1.1 156,123 140,439
IND : 186.5 157.6 35,047 22,947
KY : 185.2 158.2 981,549 677,735
MD : 139.9 VY 42,474 38,471
MASS : 838.5 904.2 6,582 7,062
MO : 185.7 158.0 10,852 8,611
NC : 180.9 170:9 1,067; 128 951,214
OHIO : 180.8 151.9 47,920 25,733
PA : 93.8 83.7 20,984 18,321
SC : 181.3 172.7 191,299 170,800
TENN : 179.2 157.1 277,133 200,189
VA : 178.7 169.3 207,092 154,206
W VA : 180.0 155.5 8,078 5,262
WIS : 110.5 103.0 18,122 18,087
US 180.6 164.5 3,120,850 2,489,369

Vv EVALUATED AT 135.7 CENTS PER POUND, THE AVERAGE SALES THROUGH APRIL 29,
986.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-12 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS)

PRODUCTION

TOTAL

1,000 POUNDS

CALIF : 587,000 465,000 250,000

1/ REVISED.

PAPAYAS - HAWAII 1/

FRESH PRODUCTION

1985

1986 : FORECAST

1986

1,000 POUNDS

4,791 4,100
4,079 4,155
3,914 4,500
3,619 4,600
5,134 3,500
3,989 2,600
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-APR 17,537 18,845

1/1985 REVISED.

HAWAII

: ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
BANANAS : 870 840 10,200 9,700 8,900 8,160
PAPAYAS 1/ 2/ : 2,590 2,650 46,300 35,800 120,000 95,000
TARO 3/ : 370 400 17,100 17,200 6,310 6,860

1/ YIELD 1S BASED ON TOTAL PRODUCTION WHICH INCLUDES UNUTILIZED QUANTITIES,
2/__UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD OF 39,500 THOUSAND POUNDS IS

INCLUDED IN 1984 PRODUCTION AND 34,600 THOUSAND POUNDS IN THE 1985 PRODUCTION.
3/ AREA HARVESTED 1S AVERAGE DURING THE YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-11 “AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA




INDEX

PAGE
ALMONDS .ccceesseeeeeercnees oe ceevecee sence eee eereeene eer errrrerry A-11
BANANAS ....- See eceseenecrcevessceeees Peer ee ee eee eee eee ee eee eee A-11
CHERRIES .cccveccercccceeeee teeeeee errr ere ree ere rere reer ee ee eee ee A-10
CITRUS FRUIT .ccecscccsccccecssaccctccesscscecacesssnsnssssesesesnes A- 9
COTTON .ecccccececccccnncccccncccncnsssseseseces o veemeccnsceersccuce A-17
CROP MOISTURE MAPS ....cecececececercccsccescesassencessscesessesees B- 1
HAY STOCKS ......0-00- oe vcccccceces eee Teer ee eee reese ee ree aeseces A- 7
PAPAYAS .ccceeccccsccceccsccncteececences seeeeee teeeee eee eeeeececees A-11
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION TABLE ...-...ceeceececceecnecetcees A- 8
PEACHES ..csceceeececccecccsccevece seeeees beeen ecences senceeescseee A-10
POTATOES, SPRING ..ccsceecceceeceecee OPT ere Serer ere rer rere er eer ey) A- 8
TARO .occececcccceccscucerecceececes eect eee e rere en tense eeencetecees A-11
TOBACCO BY STATES ...ccceccecceeeecs se eeees seeeee seeeeee sevens oeeeee A-12
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE ..ccceccccccscccccececstecnccetereceserens A-13
US SUMMARY ...cececcccccececscececscses se eeeeee a eee cece ee neeereenes A- 4
WHEAT, BY CLASSES ....ccesceceveececcees errr eee rere ee ee ere se ees A- 6
WHEAT, WINTER ..sccecececececsereees te ceeeccececetceesces seeeees sete A- 6

°

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-10 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA

*U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1986-490-916140309/NASS


PERCENT

=
9
x
o
u

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79;
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

ALA

ARIZ

CALIF

FLA
HASTINGS
OTHER

AVERAGE :
1975-84 :

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE ¢

76
89
92
83
83
90
60
77
61
88
91
91
88
90
87
82
87
73
87
92
87

1985

SPRING POTATOES

PRODUCTION

AVERAGE
1975-84

: 1985

1986

VERY POOR,

PERCENT
85
90
76
88
87
72
69
88
87
81
85
88
55
80
84
79
96
87
71
78
83
92
79

50-64; S$

EVERE

250 290
385 390
245 250
210 180
70 65
165 160
170 180
264 258

1,647
11,415

6,500
240
60
2,352

1,450
10,588

6,370
273

42
2,310
1,105
22,986

2,096
1,116
19,523

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM

CROP PRODUCTION,

MAY 1986

A-8

AGRICULTURAL

EARLIER FORECAST.

STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS,

USDA


excegayELY CROP MOISTURE
Too wey (SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

MAY 3, 1986

SLIGHTLY,
ISSUED WEEKLY DRY

— “AVORABL
<— /\ Moist

ICROP MOISTURE:
lozpicts snot TERM (uP TO ABOUT 4 WEEKS)
JABNORMAL DRYAESS OR WETNESS AFFECTING AGRICUL1
RESPONDS RAPIDLY, CAN CHANGE CONSIDERABLY WEEK TO
}WEEX, AND INDICATES NORMAL CONDITIONS AT THE BEGIN=
}NING' AND END OF THE GROWING SEASON.

USES ... APPLICABLE IN MEASURING TRE SHOF
MEER-70-vEEK, STATUS OF DRYNESS ON WETNESS AFFECTING WaMt
[SEASON CROPS” AND PIELD OPERATIONS.

luiurtaTIONS ... MAY NOT KE APPLICABLE TO GERMINATING AND SHALLOW
jRooTED cr

‘ABNORMALLY.
DRY

. Ated on probninary reports

SEVERE DROUGHT SEVERITY
. MODERATE (LONG TERM, PALMER)
APRIL 26, 1086 MODERATE

MODERATE
: MOIST. ISSUED TWICE A MONTH

MODERATE

Moist

SEVERE

MOIST

— (=) MODERATE

SEVERE Moist G ?

‘ ‘ EXTREME
MODERATE = iL
a Hy
Se,

<<. BEVERE

[DROUGHT ‘SEVERITY INDEX (PALMER): Buses ‘On wens
ae ST EU =
sill ats nytt te gat taal — MODERATE
Sorina tert eee
iS Sar ect Pann, aE

uses, APPLICABLE. 18 uBASURING DISRUPTIVE ETFECTS, OF ROLANG MODERATE 4
VE" ECONO

JTERW STATUS OF WATER SUPPLIES IN AQUIFERS, RESERVOIRS AND STREA

LiMn TATIONS. ..18 NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORT TERM (FEW WEEKS,
ISTATUS OF DROUGHT OR WETNESS SUCH AS FREQUENTLY AFFECTS CROPS AND
FIELD OPERATIONS (THIS IS INDICATED BY TAE CROP MOISTURE INDEX). osed on prtiminary eports

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-] AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


In Florida, harvest started in the Hastings area by late April. Quality
is good but sizes are smaller than normal. Harvest is virtually complete in
"Other Areas". Growers reported reduced yields caused by adverse weather
during the growing season. In Alabama, growing conditions have been less than
ideal. Freezes in February and March have now given way to dry weather.
Irrigation is being used where available. Harvest should start about mid-May.

Dry weather in North Carolina during the past month has growers concerned,
however, the crop remains in fair to good condition.

Texas harvest is underway in the Rio Grande Valley and yields are good
Irrigation is being used steadily in the Knox-Haskell area, where crop
progress is ahead of normal.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEEO CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on

May 1 for the 48 contiguous States was 76
percent, 7 points below May 1 last year and 2 points below the 1975-84 average
for the date. Conditions were more favorable than last year in 18 States,
less in 27, and were equal in three States. The temperatures during April
were generally above normal throughout the country. Precipitation was
generally below normal in the eastern and southern portion of the U.S. but
above normal in the central and western part of the country except in
Washington, Oregon, and California where precipitation was below normal.
Pasture conditions in the southeastern States are in the very poor range and
Georgia is in the Severe drought range with a condition of 41 percent compared
with 61 percent last year and an average of 80 percent. With the warmer
weather, rainfall is needed to promote the pasture and range growth.

Conditions are considerably better in Missouri, Nebraska, and North
Dakota, and in the western States this year compared with last year. Montana
suffered from a drought the past two years but the abundant rainfall has been
beneficial for pasture and range development and their condition is 80 percent
(good to excellent) this year compared with 68 percent (poor to fair) at this
time last year. All other western States except Arizona, Colorado, and New
Mexico are expecting better pasture and range conditions this year and most of
the western States are in the good to excellent range.

HAY STOCKS ON-FARMS: May 1 stocks on-farms totaled 27.1 million tons (24.6

million metric tons}, up 1 percent from May 1, 1985.
Indicated disappearance January through April totaled 69.7 million tons (63.2
million metric tons) compared with 73.7 million tons (66.9 million metric
tons) during the comparable period last year. May 1, 1986 stocks represent
18.2 percent of 1985 hay production; May 1, 1985 stocks are 17.8 percent of
the 1984 production,

TOBACCO 1985 REVISED Production of all tobacco totaled 1.51 billion pounds (686

thousand metric tons) for 1985, 12 percent below 1984.
Yield, at 2196 pounds per acre, is 13 pounds above 1984. Area harvested, at
689 thousand acres (279 thousand hectares), is down 13 percent from last
year. Production of all non-cigar types declined.

FLUE-CURED production of 800 million pounds (363 thousand metric tons) is
7 percent below 1984. Growers harvested 357 thousand acres (145 thousand
hectares), 9 percent fewer than last year. The average yield of 2241 pounds
per acre is 35 pounds more than a year earlier. Percentage declines in
production by types were: type 11, 15 percent; type 12, 1 percent; type 13, 6
percent; and type 14, 5 percent.

Output of BURLEY tobacco totaled 573 million pounds (260 thousand metric
tons), 20 percent below the 1984 production. Area harvested, at 255 thousand
acres (103 thousand hectares), is 19 percent below 1984. Yield averaged 2247
pounds per acre compared with 2256 pounds a year ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-7 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED : : INDICATED
1986 3 1985 3 1986

1,000 ACRES

WINTER WHEAT 57,752 53,992 47,953 42,842
SPRING POTATOES 92.0 76.7 87.0 75.6

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
z 3 3 INDICATED
CROP AND UNIT : s INDICATED: w- ----
: 1985 : 1986 : 1985 : APR1, : MAY 1,
: : : 1986 : 1986

1,000
WINTER WHEAT BU : 38.1 37.4 1,827,195 1,603,127
SPRING POTATOES CWT: = =264 258 22,986 19,623 19,523
PEACHES 1/ LB: 375,500 485,400
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB: 465,000 250,000
HAY STOCKS ON FARMS TON : 26,853 2/96,818 27,148
PASTURE AND :
RANGE FEED 3/ PCT : 83 76
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ : 1984-85 1985-86 1985-86
ORANGES BOX : 158,350 177,210 179,010
GRAPEFRUIT "3 56,600 57,220 57,770
LEMONS "oy 25,800 21,000 20,550

1/9 SOUTHERN STATES. 2/ JAN 1. 3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF
FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1975-84 AVERAGE IS 78 PERCENT. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH
BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE
FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-4 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

:SEASON AVERAGE PRICE PER VALUE OF
LB RECEIVED BY FARMERS PRODUCTION

CLASS AND TYPE

1,000 DOLLARS

CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND
MIDDLE BELTS

NC 3 180.3 172.7 394,713 335,530
VA H 181.9 176.5 157,598 114,902
US 180.8 173.7 $52,311 450,432
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC
BELT
NC : 181.0 170.4 500,501 467,399
TYPE 13, N C BORDER & :
SC BELT :
NC 181.0 171.8 133,234 119,023
sc 181.3 172.7 191,299 170,800
US 181.2 172.3 324,533 289,823
TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT
FLA : 180.4 170.9 32,328 27,887
GA 3 182.6 71.1 156,123 140,439
US i 182.2 71.1 188,451 168,326
TOTAL 11-14 3 181.1 171.9 1,565,796 1,375,980
CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT
VA 3 117.8 124.0 7,180 5,558
TYPE 22, EASTERN $
DISTRICT :
KY 3 157.1 146.0 18,088 15,526
TENN : 154.0 152.2 40,160 36,327
US 2 154.9 150.3 58,248 51,853
TYPE 23, WESTERN
OISTRICT :
KY : 155.7 146.0 17,082 14,067
TENN 3 163.5 145.0 3,208 2,561
us 2 156.9 145.8 20,290 16,628
TOTAL 21-23 : 151.4 146.9 85,718 74,039
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT :
AIR-CURED :
TYPE 31, BURLEY
IND : 186.5 157.6 35,047 22,947
KY H 188.4 159.9 925,798 632,005
MO z 185.7 158.0 10,852 8,611
NC 3 184.4 156.8 38,680 29,262
OHIO : 189.0 159.0 45,940 24,271
TENN 3 185.8 159.1 230,076 158,257
VA 3 185.0 157.5 41,758 33,516
WVA : 180.0 165.5 8,078 5,262
US : 187.6 159.4 1,336,229 914,131
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD
BELT 3
MD 3 139.9 2/ 42,474 38,471
PA : 101.0 115.0 7,817 7,245
us 3 132.0 131.9 50,291 45,716
TOTAL 31-32 184.8 157.9 1,386,520 959,847
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-16. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-15 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


COTTON: ACREAGE AND YIELD

AREA AREA
PLANTED HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES POUNDS
UPLAND :
ALA 309.0 330.0 307.0 329.0 699 795
ARIZ 430.0 360.0 429.0 359.0 1,227 1,241
ARK 470.0 465.0 465.0 440.0 632 767
CALIF 1,410.0 1,330.0 1,400.0 1,320.0 999 1,132
FLA 17.5 24.5 17.0 22.5 847 693
GA 175.0 255.0 - 172.0 245.0 784 725
KANS 8 8 5 6 288 320
LA 650.0 640.0 645.0 630.0 786 565
MISS 1,045.0 1,050.0 1,032.0 1,040.0 767 764
MO 164.0 152.0 162.0 150.0 554 653
N MEX 77.0 70.0 69.0 54.0 605 631
nce 97.0 88.0 - 96.0 87.0 600 646
OKLA 425.0 370.0 375.0 360.0 234 380
sc 104.0 124.0 104.0 122.0 785 708
TENN 340.0 340.0 325.0 335.0 498 600
TEX 5,350.0 3,000.0 4,700.0 4,650.0 376 404
VA 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.3 528 443
us 11,065.3 10,600.6 10,299.5 10,145.4 599 628
AMER-PIMA :
ARIZ 50.5 56.5 50.3 56.3 841 927
N MEX 10.0 8.0 10.0 7.9 595 687
TEX 19.6 19.5 19.3 19.4 744 868
us 80.1 84.0 79.6 83.6 786 891
ALL
ALA Fo 309.0 330.0 307.0 329.0 699 795
ARIZ g 480.5 416.5 479.3 415.3 1,187 1,198
ARK 3 470.0 465.0 465.0 440.0 632 767
CALIF 1,410.0 1,330.0 1,400.0 1,320.0 999 1,132
FLA 17.5 24.5 17.0 22.5 847 693
GA 175.0 255.0 172.0 245.0 784 725
KANS 8 8 5 6 288 320
LA 650.0 640.0 645.0 -630.0 786 565
MISS 1,045.0 1,050.0 1,032.0 1,040.0 767 764
MO 164.0 152.0 162.0 150.0 554 653
N MEX 87.0 78.0 79.0 61.9 604 638
NC 97.0 88.0 96.0 87.0 600 646
OKLA 425.0 370.0 375.0 360.0 234 360
sc 104.0 124.0 104.0 122.0 785 708
TENN 340.0 340.0 325.0 335.0 498 600
TEX 5,369.6 5,019.5 4,719.3 4,669.4 377 406
VA 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.3 528 443
us 11,145.4 10,684.6 10,3791 10,229.0 600 630

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-17 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF MAY 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECAST

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based on mail and
objective yield surveys conducted just prior to May 1. The mail surveys
provided information on abandonment to date and condition of the crop which
was used to estimate acres for harvest. Yield estimates are based on counts
and measurements in a probability sample of wheat fields and on the condition
of the crop as reported by farmers. Both surveys are subject to sampling and
non-sampling errors common to all surveys. This production forecast is also
subject to change due to growing conditions that may affect the crop after
May 1.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 winter wheat
production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based
on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation
between the May 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage
of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1966-1985 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error”. Probability statements can be
made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the
final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's
forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production
forecast is 6.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the
current production forecast of 1.60 billion bushels will not be above or below
the final estimate by more than 6.7 percent or approximately 107 million
bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 11.6 percent or approximately 186 million bushels.
Differences between the May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 98.4 million bushels, ranging
from 10 million to 210 million bushels. The May 1? forecast has been below the
final estimate 8 times and above 2 times. This does not imply that the May 1
winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-3 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


Picking of Florida grapefruit is 97 percent complete, the same as on May 1
a year ago. California's harvest is 41 percent complete compared with 28
percent on May 1, 1985. Arizona harvest is 78 percent complete compared with
100 percent complete on May 1 last year. Harvest in Texas is complete.

Changes in U.S. grapefruit production between the May 1 forecast and final
production averaged 764 thousand boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from
a low of 200 thousand boxes in the 1982-83 season to a high of 2.15 million
boxes in the 1981-82 season.

TANGELOS: The Florida forecast, excluding K-early citrus fruit, is 2.95 mil-
lion boxes (121 thousand metric tons), 18 percent less than last
season. Harvest is virtually complete.

TEMPLES: Florida's Temple forecast continues at 3.00 million boxes (122
thousand metric tons), 8 percent below last season's crop. Harvest
is 96 percent complete.

LEMONS: The forecast in Arizona and California totals 20.6 million boxes (709

thousand metric tons), down 2 percent from the April 1 forecast and
20 percent below the utilized production last season. California's forecast,
at 17.5 million boxes, is down 2 percent from Aprit 1 and 12 percent from the
1984-85 utilized production. Arizona's forecast is 3.05 million boxes, down
50.0 thousand boxes from April 1 and 49 percent below the utilized production
last season. Harvest is 53 percent complete in California while harvest in
Arizona was completed during the month of April.

TEXAS CITRUS: Most citrus groves in the Rio Grande Valley are in good condi-
tion. April was another relatively dry month, so irrigation

was steady. Fruit set was good in both orange and grapefruit groves. Norman

insect control was underway during April.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of Florida's citrus groves were in fair condition through

April. Rainfall was less than desired by the majority of
growers and caretakers. There is general widespread irrigation in all areas
with all types of water disbursing equipment. New crop bloom was completed
the first of April. By the end of the month, a lot of the smail green fruit
had started to fall, as trees began to shed fruit that could not be carried
for the coming season. Harvest of early and mid-season oranges ended by
mid-April and by month's end Valencia movement had increased to the 5 million
boxes per week level. Grapefruit harvest slowed during April as supplies were
running low. Most of the remaining grapefruit are Jocated on the lower east
coast. Temple movement was down to the late bloom fruit by the end of the
month.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: April temperatures were near normal with precipi~

tation generally light. Apples were sprayed for
the codling moth. Early varieties of cherries were harvested in some areas.
Gibberallic applications began in table grapes. Coachella Valley table grapes
development was well ahead of normal. Early reports indicated a light harvest
of the Perlette and Superior Seedtess table varieties. Kiwifruit, olives and
pomegranates bloomed. Reports on the size of the prune crop varied by area.
Early varieties of stone fruit were thinned. Lemon harvest neared completion
in the Central Valley but continued in the southern coastal area. Navel
oranges set a heavy bloom. Harvest slowed with heavy cullage, especially in
larger sizes due to rind problems. Valencia picking progressed with quality
variable. Reports indicate a variable and light almond set.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-5 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CROPS ESTIMATING PROGRAM CHANGES

The following program adjustments were necessary because of reduced funding
in fiscal year 1986 and other program updates.

o Pasture and range condition table and map and crop prospects map were
discontinued in the April CROP PRODUCTION report. For later months
(May-November), the pasture and range condition table is retained but
the pasture and range condition maps and crop prospects maps are
discontinued. The maps are replaced by two crop moisture maps
(short-term and long-term) prepared by the *NOAAYUSDA Joint Agricultural
Weather Facility.

o September 1 winter wheat production forecast is discontinued.
o October 1 spring wheat production forecast is discontinued.

o All rye and flaxseed production forecasts are discontinued. Acreage
estimates and the end-of-year yield and production estimates are
retained.

o July 1 barley and oats production forecasts are discontinued. Acreage
estimates, the August 1 and September 1 forecasts, and the end-of-year
yield and production estimates are retained. The September 1 production
forecasts will be discontinued after 1986.

o End-of-year estimates of corn and sorghum for forage are discontinued.

o Sweetpotato production forecasts and estimates of disposition are
discontinued. Acreage estimates and end-of-year yield and production
estimates are retained. Revisions of the previous year's acreage,
yield, and production will continue to be published in the June CROP
PRODUCTION report.

o A preliminary small grains end-of-season estimate of acreage, yield,
and production will be published in the October CROP PRODUCTION
report. The revised end-of-season estimates for 1986 small grains will
be published in January 1987.

o All fertilizer production and consumption statistics collected and
published by NASS, including the annual COMMERCIAL FERTILIZER report
are discontinued, .

o The 1987 PROSPECTIVE PLANTINGS report will be published in late March
with a March 1 reference date.

o End-of-year estimates of white wheat production will be reinstated in
Idaho, Oregon, and Washington starting with the 1986 crop. Data for
1986 will be published in these States' annual summaries, to be
released in early 1987. State data will not be carried in the national
CROP PRODUCTION ANNUAL SUMMARY.

o End-of-season estimates of dry peas, lentils, wrinkled seed peas, and
Austrian winter peas will be reinstated, starting with the 1986 crops.
Acreage, yield, and production data for dry peas, lentils, and Austrian
winter peas will be published in the CROP PRODUCTION report to be
released Qctober 10. Wrinkled seed pea data will be collected later
and published in the CROP PRODUCTION ANNUAL SUMMARY in January 1987.
Prices received and value of production will be published in CROP
VALUES to be released in January 1987.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities, These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Raymond R. Hancock, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,

APPROVED: Rich D. Allen, John D. Witzi
William N. Dowdy, Robert L. Addison,
Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, Alan D. Atkinson,
db e © ~=—- Doyle C. Johnson, Maurice E. Johnson,
. William G. Hamlin, Ray S. Crickenberger,
James E. Brewster, James L. Olson.

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-2 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA




FIRE-CURED production in 1985, at 50.4 million pounds (22.9 thousand
metric tons), fell 11 percent from a year earlier. Yield per acre, at 2007
pounds, is 6 pounds above Tast year.

DARK AIR-CURED output reached 15.4 million pounds (6990 metric tons), 21
percent below the 1984 total. Yield, at 2002 pounds per acre, is down 116
pounds from 1984 and acres harvested are off 17 percent.

All CIGAR-TYPE production totaled 38.9 million pounds (17.7 thousand
metric tons), up 6 percent from a year eartier. Filler production increased 3
percent; the binder types are up 7 percent; and the wrapper total is 18
percent above 1984,

COTTON 1985 REVISED: United States cotton production totaled 13.4 million

bales in 1985, up 3 percent from 1984 and 73 percent
above 1983, This is the largest crop since 1981 when 15.6 million bales were
produced and compares with the record high crop of 18.9 million bales produced
in 1937. Upland accounted for 13,3 million bales of the total 1985 crop and
American-Pima, 155 thousand bales.

This is the largest American-Pima crop since 1963 when a record high 164
thousand bales were produced.

Planted area, at 10.7 million acres (4.32 million hectares), is 4 percent
below 1984. Harvested area, at 10.2 million acres (4.14 million hectares), is
down 1 percent from 1984. Abandonment in 1985 was 4.3 percent of the planted
area compared with 6.9 percent in 1984. Yield per acre is a record high 630
pounds, 30 pounds above the previous record of 600 pounds set in 1984.

Planting of the 1985 crop progressed ahead of normal and by early June was
complete in all States, except Oklahoma and Texas. Hot, humid weather
provided near ideal growing conditions during July. By the end of the month,
bolls were opening in Arizona and Georgia and 2 percent of the Texas crop was
harvested. Harvest got off to an early start in Louisiana in August, while
Tow moisture slowed development in other portions of the Delta and Texas,

Hurricanes and tropical storms slowed harvest in the Delta and Southeast
during September and October and cold weather dipped into the Texas Panhandle
in early October causing natural defoliation and speeding up harvest. Harvest
was again delayed by rain in November in the Southeast, but was ahead of, or
equaled, normal in most other States. Wet conditions in December caused
further deterioration of remaining cotton in some areas. As December ended,
only a few fiélds remained to be harvested in the western States as well as
Texas and Oklahoma.

The Bureau of the Census reported 12,987,834 running bales ginned
(13,417,572 equivalent 480-pound net weight bales), during the 1985 season
compared with 12,544,866 running bales ginned in 1984,

The preliminary 1985 season average price for “lint is 54,8 cents per
pound, down 39.9 cents from 1984, Value of lint and seed for the 1985 crop
totaled $3.53 billion, 3 percent below the previous year.

COTTONSEED: The 1985 cottonseed production, at 5.28 million tons (4.79 million
metric tons), is 3 percent above 1984 production. Preliminary
season average price is $65.00 per ton compared with $99.50 in 1984.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 B-8 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

PRODUCTION
€LASS AND TYPE

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 1, FLUE~CURED 8
TYPE 11, OLD AND ¢
MIDDLE BELTS :

CLASS 2, F1RE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT
VA

NC + 104,000 91,000 2,105 2,135 218,920 194,285
VA : 38,000 30,000 2,280 2,170 86,640 65,100
us + 142,000 121,000 2,152 2,144 305,560 259,385
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC :
BELT :
NC 2 124,000 119,000 2,230 2,305 276,520 274,295
TYPE 13, N C BORDER & :
S C BELT H
NC : 34,000 32,000 2,165 2,165 73,610 69,280
sc : 47,000 43,000 2,245 2,300 105,515 98,900
us : 81,000 75,000 2,211 2,242 179,125 168,180
TYPE 14, GA=FLA BELT +:
FLA 3 7,000 6,100 2,560 2,675 17,920 16,318
GA : 38,000 36,000 2,250 2,280 85,500 82,080
Us : 45,000 42,100 2,298 2,337 103,420 98,398
TOTAL 11-14 + 392,000 357,100 2,206 2,241 864,625 800,258
$ 4,600 3,600 1,325 1,245 6,095 4,482
TYPE 22, EASTERN t
DISTRICT 2
KY 2 5,700 5,200 2,020 2,045 11,514 10,634
TENN + 11,800 10,8600 2,210 2,210 26,078 23,868
us : 17,500 16,000 2,148 2,156 37,592 34,502
TYPE 23, WESTERN t
DISTRICT +
KY : 5,300 4,700 2,070 2,050 10,971 9,635
TENN 2 890 810 2,205 2,180 1,962 1,766
us t 6,190 5,510 2,089 2,069 12,933 11,401
TOTAL 21-23 3s 28,290 25,110 2,001 2,007 56,620 50,385
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED A
CLASS 3A, LIGHT 5
AIR-CURED :
TYPE 31,° BURLEY 2
IND A 8,100 6,500 2,320 2,240 18,792 14,560
KY : 210,000 170,000 2,340 2,325 491,400 395,250
MO 5 2,900 2,500 2,015 2,180 5,844 5,450
NC 2 9,600 8,700 2,185 2,145 20,976 18,662
OHIO s 10,900 7,100 2,230 2,150 24,307 15,265
TENN : 61,000 49,000 2,030 2,030 123,830 99,470
VA : 10,800 9,500 2,090, 2,240 22,572 21,280
W VA 2 2,400 1,800 1,870 1,880 4,488 3,384
us : 315,700 255,100 2,256 2,247 742,209 573,321
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD :
BELT 1/ 2
MD : 23,000 21,000 1,320 1,350 30,360 28,350
PA : 4,300 3,500 1,800 1,800 7,740 6,300
us 3: 27,300 24,500 1,396 1,414 38,100 34,650
TOTAL 31-32 : 343,000 279,600 750,309 607,971

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-16. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-13 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

: SEASON AVERAGE PRICE PER: VALUE OF
: LB RECEIVED BY FARMERS : PRODUCTION
1984 1985 1984 1985
CENTS 1,000 DOLLARS
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT
KY 3 130.6 128.5 13,509 10,800
TENN 2 132.9 132.4 3,689 3,044
US 3 131.1 129.3 17,198 13,844
TYPE 36,GREEN RIVER
BELT :
KY : 120.7 119.0 7,072 5,337
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :
BELT
VA : 94.3 100.0 556 230
TOTAL 35-37 : 126.9 125.9 24,826 19,471

CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF :

PA : 90.0 71.0 13,167 11,076
TYPE 42-44 OHIO MIAMI :

VALLEY TYPES 3

OHIO 3/ : 90.0 87.0 1,980 1,462
TOTAL 41-44 3/ : 90.0 72.6 15,147 12,538

CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER :
CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY =

BINDER 3
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY

BROADLEAF 7

CONN : 170.0 180.0 2,701 3,240
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY :

HAVANA SEED 3

MASS : 155.0

160.0 457 408
TOTAL 51-52 : 167.6 177.5 3,158 3,648
CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :

WIS 3 111.0 103.0 9,113 9,782
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS :

WIS 2 110.0 103.0 9,009 8,305
TOTAL 54-55 ' ‘ 110.5 103.0 18,122 18,087
TOTAL 51-55 3 116.4 110.8 21,280 21,735

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY :

SHADE-GROWN 3

CONN : 1,250.0 1,265.0 15,438 19,165

MASS H 1,250.0 1,265.0 6,125 6,654

us 3 1,250.0 1,265.0 21,563 25,819

ALL CIGAR TYPES 2
TOTAL 41-61 3 157.4 154.3 57,990 60,092
ALL TOBACCO 180.6 164.5 3,120,850 2,489,369

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM CROP PRODUCTION ANNUAL SUMMARY, RELEASED
FEBRUARY 10, 1986. 2/ EVALUATED AT 135.7 CENTS PER POUND,THE AVERAGE OF
AucirIon SALES THROUGH APRIL 29, 1986. 3/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPES GROWN IN
OHIO.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1986 A-16 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA