Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, an@ Production by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

1995 1996 1995 1996 1994 1995 1996

1,000 Acres -- Bushels - - 1,000 Bushels
AL : 225 315 24.0 28.0 9,145 5,400 8,820
AR : 3,400 3,600 25.5 30.0 115,600 86,700 108,000
DE : 233 215 20.0 30.0 8,030 4,660 6,450
FL : 28 33 26.0 30.0 1,302 728 990
GA : 310 390 27.0 26.0 15,500 8,370 10,140
IL : 9,700 9,850 38.5 38.0 429,065 373,450 374,300
IN : 4,980 5,360 39.0 35.0 215,260 194,220 187,600
IA > 9,260 9,450 43.0 45.0 442,885 398,180 425,250
KS : 2,050 2,000 25.0 30.0 73,500 51,250 60,000
KY : 1,150 1,180 36.0 36.0 42,375 41,400 42,480
LA : 1,040 1,050 25.0 31.0 31,920 26,000 32,550
MD : 510 480 23.0 33.0 19,525 11,730 15,840
MI : 1,490 1,640 40.0 34.0 56,980 59,600 55,760
MN : 5,800 5,900 40.0 38.0 224,000 232,000 224,200
MS : 1,800 1,750 21.0 27.0 57,035 37,800 47,250
MO : 4,500 4,050 29.0 34.0 173,280 130,500 137,700
NE : 3,060 3,010 32.5 42.0 134,420 99,450 126,420
No : 138 127 22.0 35.0 5,072 3,036 4,445
NC : 1,070 1,200 25.0 31.0 41,850 26,750 37,200
ND : 640 820 29.0 30.0 18,910 18,560 24,600
OH : 4,030 4,490 38.0 35.0 173,565 153,140 157,150
OK : 275 285 20.0 24.0 9,280 5,500 6,840
PA : 315 285 30.0 44.0 13,230 9,450 12,540
sc : 530 540 24.0 25.0 15,660 12,720 13,500
sD : 2,500 2,650 30.0 32.0 91,200 75,000 84,800
TN : 1,080 1,150 32.0 32.0 38,325 34,560 36,800
TX t 240 270 25.0 26.0 7,035 6,000 7,020
VA : 470 480 24.0 32.0 16,640 11,280 15,360
wi 2 800 870 43.0 41.0 36,105 34,400 35,670
US : 61,624 63,440 34.9 36.2 2,516,694 2,151,834 2,299,675
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 A-20 NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM PALMER)
August 3, 1996 UPDATED BIWEEKLY
4,
Wg \ 7
iv q
] i MODERATE
r4 \ M
c
- 7
rN
1G
Vvonerare
i
Q
_ NOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on predininary reports

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-2 NASS, USDA


Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996
Total Production
Crop and State Brrr rr rn rrr nnn nnn een n en nnn nn ncn cceceece

Bartlett Hy
cA : 333,000 247,000 270,000
OR : 83,000 70,000 45,000
WA : 174,000 180,000 95,000
Total : 590,000 497,000 410,000

Excluding Bartlett
CA : 30,000 20,000 30,000
OR : 175,000 160,000 140,000
WA : 218,000 240,000 175,000
Total : 423,000 420,000 345,000

All :
cA : 363,000 267,000 300,000
co : 4,200 2,900 1,000
cT : 1,250 950 1,000
MI : 4,500 5,500 6,000
NY : 16,000 14,500 14,700
OR : 258,000 230,000 185,000
PA : 6, 000 6, 300 4,500
Ur : 1,200 1,100 1,200
WA : 392,000 420,000 270,000
us : 1,046,150 948,250 783,400

Coffee: Utilized Production, Hawaii, 1993-95

Utilized Production 1/

State
1993-1994 1994-1995 1995-1996
1,000 Pounds
HI 2,900 4,300 5,400

1/ Parchment basis.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-37 NASS, USDA


Forecasted weights are above average in Colorado, Kansas, Montana, and Nebraska.
Colorado's is the highest since 1985 while the Montana forecast is second only
to last year.

Idaho and Oregon growers are still expecting record yields. ' Forecasted head
counts and head weights from Washington’s Objective Yield survey are about the
same as last month. Both are above average. Michigan growers are experiencing
the lowest yields since 1976. Test weights are low as head scab has ravaged
many fields; vomitoxin levels vary widely.

The Missouri harvest is complete and Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio harvests are
nearly so. Disease problems have hurt the Indiana and Ohio crops. A dry July
allowed North Carolina growers to finish harvest on schedule. Objective Yield
head counts were basically unchanged from last month in Illinois and Missouri,
but up slightly in Ohio. Forecasted weight per head is down to the lowest
average since 1986 in Ohio and average or better in the other two.

Durum Wheat: North Dakota’s crop is developing ahead of last year, but still
trails average. High populations of Orange Blossom Wheat Midge
have been reported in the northeastern part of the State. Condition ratings
dipped somewhat during July, but remain mostly good. Objective Yield head
counts are at average levels while forecasted gross weight per head is a little
below average. Lack of substantial rains since mid-June has hurt Montana‘s
yield prospects. South Dakota’s durum is rated in mostly good condition.

Other Spring Wheat: Hot, dry July conditions were hard on spring sown grains
in Washington and northern Idaho. Dry soils are
restricting root development in Washington. Northern Idaho spring wheat problems
were nearly offset by the southern crop that remains in good to excellent
condition. Harvest was just starting by the end of July. Spring wheat is
developing late in South Dakota. Only 13 percent is ripe; the average is
38 percent. Head scab is present in some of North Dakota’s spring wheat;
spraying appears to have controlled Wheat Midge problems.

Objective Yield survey data are forecasting below average head populations in
Minnesota and Montana and near average for North Dakota. Forecasted gross weight
per head is below average in both Minnesota and North Dakota, although
Minnesota’s forecast is up from last year. Forecasted weight per head is well
above average in Montana.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.35 billion pounds, down 3 percent from

last year's crop and 21 percent below the 1994 crop. Acreage for
harvest is down slightly from the June report, at 1.42 million acres, and down
7 percent from 1995. The acreage change resulted from reductions in North
Carolina and Virginia. Peanut plantings, at 1.43 million acres, were reduced
from the June 1 forecast by 12,000 acres. Yields are expected to average
2,364 pounds per acre, 82 pounds above last year but 260 pounds below the 1994
level.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 2.02 billion pounds, down 5 percent from last
year's level. Expected acreage for harvest in the Southeast, at 835,000 acres,
is 7 percent below previous year. Yields in the four-State area are expected
to average 2,423 pounds per acre, 54 pounds above the 1995 level. Yield
potential varied widely in Georgia and Alabama. Scattered rain patterns brought
some fields adequate and timely moisture while others remained critically dry.
The peanut crop in Florida is making good progress. Harvest is expected to
begin slightly ahead of normal. South Carolina's crop also made good progress
during the latter part of July as scattered showers provided adequate moisture.

The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 553 million pounds, down
fractionally from 1995's reduced crop. Acreage for harvest is down 6 percent
from the June report, at 202 million acres, and down 13 percent from the
previous year. Yield is forecast at 2,738 pounds, up 360 pounds from last year
but 458 below 1994. Excessive moisture in the Virginia-North Carolina region
has prompted some disease problems,

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-7 NASS, USDA


Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

1,000 Acres Bushels - -- 1,000 Bushels --
AZ 1/ : 21 49 90.0 105.0 105.0 1,890 5,145
CA z 200 220 70.0 65.0 65.0 14,000 14,300
co : 100 90 100.0 105.0 100.0 10,000 9,000
DE 1/ 2 37 23 80.0 70.0 70.0 2,960 1,610
ID 3 760 730 80.0 77.0 77.0 60,800 56,210
KS 2 9 10 35.0 30.0 30.0 315 300
Ky 1/ : 15 20 70.0 70.0 70.0 1,050 1,400
MD 62 49 81.0 60.0 65.0 5,022 3,185
MI 1/ 23 25 50.0 46.0 46.0 1,150 1,150
MN 580 525 50.0 53.0 55.0 29,000 28,875
MT 1,200 1,250 52.0 52.0 43.0 62,400 53,750
NE 1/ 6 18 37.0 43.0 43.0 222 774
NV 1/ 4 5 80.0 100.0 100.0 320 500
NJ 1/ 5 3 65.0 68.0 68.0 325 204
Nc 1/ 30 20 60.0 65.0 65.0 1,800 1,300
ND 2,250 2,550 45.0 50.0 52.0 101,250 132,600
OK 1/ 3 3 30.0 25.0 25.0 90 75
OR 95 130 76.0 74.0 71.0 7,220 9,230
PA 75 75 69.0 65.0 65.0 5,175 4,875
sc 1/ 5 4 42.0 55.0 55.0 210 220
sD 160 140 38.0 44.0 47.0 6,080 6,580
TX 1/ 7 7 46.0 32.0 32.0 322 224
UT 93 100 90.0 83.0 85.0 8,370 8,500
VA 80 80 84.0 69.0 67.0 6,720 5,360
WA 290 440 72.0 66.0 64.0 20,880 28,160
wi 72 75 48.0 50.0 55.0 3,456 4,125
wy 95 120 85.0 85.0 85.0 8,075 10,200
us 6,277 6,761 57.2 58.2 57.4 359,102 387,852

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-14 NASS, USDA


Index

Page
Table Narrative

Acreage changes, Special Summary......... B-39 A-39
Apples, Commercial..... oe ee eaeees B-36 B-12
Area Planted, By States B- 8
Barley..........4-5 . B-14 B- 6
Beans, Dry Edible. A-23 B- 9
Coffee. .- B-37 B-13
Corn for Grain.... . . A-10 B- 5

. . . . B-22 B- 8
Cottonseed. : A-21
Crop Moisture Map. . B- 1
Crop Summary...... . B- 3
Drought Severity Map. . B- 2
Ginger Root... oe . B-38 B-14
Brapess iesress +: . A-38 B-13
Hay, All. A-26 B-10
Hay, Alfalfa. and Alfalfa Mixtures. . B-27 B-10
Hay, All Other . R-28 B-10
Hops.......--- A-34 B-12
Oats oe os A-13 B- 6
Olives... B-34 B-12
Papayas-Hawaii A-33 B-11
Peaches A-35 B-12
Peanuts For Nuts. B-18 B- 7
Pears B-37 B-13
Prunes & Plums A-33 B-11
Reliability... B-15
Rice o. B-19 B- 8
Rice, By A-19
Sorghum For Grain. B-12 B- 6
Soybeans For Beans A-20 B- 8
Sugarbeets........ A-32 B-11
Sugarcane For Sugar & B-32 B-11
Tobacco, By Class and A-29 B-10
Tobacco, By States A-31
Wheat, All........ . A-15
Wheat, by Class....... A-18
Wheat, Durum.........- A-17 B- 7
Wheat, Other Spring... A-17 B- 7
Wheat, Winter A-16 B- 6
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-17 NASS, USDA


Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted

between July 24 and August 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of August 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn,
soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually
account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production, Farm operators were
interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and to seek permission to
randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields (corn, cotton, and
soybeans). The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and
the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along
with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of
heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar
data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year
average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-
visited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed.
After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled
to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 30,000 producers were interviewed
during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield and in the
case of late planted crops, acreage questions were asked to measure changes in
intentions since the mid-year survey.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower

reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were
also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to
previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published
August 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead

a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing
season. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a balance
sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing,
feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships
warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are
subject to revision August 1 if conditions altered the planting intentions since
the mid-year survey. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production
forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area
has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1

production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the
August 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage
of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the
1976-1995 20-year period is computed then the square root of the average becomes
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made
concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final
end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are
not different from those influencing recent years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-15 NASS, USDA


Joaquin Valley. Increased production is expected in Arizona, Idaho, Oregon and
Utah. For the second year in a row, the Idaho apple crop was reduced by late
freezes.

The Central States expect 1.18 billion pounds of apple production, down

29 percent from last year. Weather conditions were particularly harsh this
season. Poor pollination, spotty fruit set, heavy rains; hard freezes, and hail
damage tell the story across much of the Central region. Many producers
expressed concern over the lack of bees for pollination. Production levels are
expected to drop below 1995 in all 12 Central states. Michigan will fall short
of last year's record crop with production levels dropping to 32 percent below
1995. Poor pollination during an unusually cool, rainy spring reduced
prospects. Crop progress is about a week behind normal. Coloring and fruit
size are good.

In the Eastern States, production is placed at 2.47 billion pounds, down

15 percent from 1995. Apple production is expected to be below last year's mark
in 14 out of 16 Eastern states. Apples are sizing nicely in the Northeast.
Excessive moisture has prompted some disease problems. Lack of bees for
pollination has dampened expectations. In the Southeast, production was limited
by late freezes and hail storms. The largest decreases in production are
projected for: North Carolina, a drop of 33 percent; South Carolina, down

33 percent; and West Virginia, down 31 percent.

Pears: All pear production is forecast at 783,400 tons, down 17 percent from
the 1995 crop and 25 percent below the 1994 record high.

Bartlett production is forecast at 410,000 tons in California, Oregon, and
Washington, off 2,000 tons from the June forecast and down 18 percent from last
year. California and Oregon were unchanged at 270,000 tons and 45,000 tons,
respectively. Washington accounted for the 2,000 ton decline. At 95,000 tons,
Washington will have the smallest crop since 1969. About one-third of
California Bartletts were picked by August 1, with good quality reported. in
Washington, the crop is putting on size but development is slow.

All other pear production in the three Pacific Coast States is expected to total
345,000 tons. That output is 18 percent below the 1995 total. The California
total of 30,000 tons is 50 percent above last year and equal to two years ago.
Asian pear picking is underway with good quality reported. The Oregon total is
140,000 tons, down 12 percent from a year ago and down 20 percent .from 1994.

The Washington total is 175,000 tons, compared with 240,000 tons in 1995 and
218,000 in 1994. This year’s output is 27 percent below the record high in 1995

and will be the smallest crop since 1992.

The Colorado pear crop was severely hurt by a series of freezes in early May.
This year’s forecast of 1,000 tons is about one-third of what they harvested a
year ago. Connecticut pear output is 5 percent above 1995, but still below
average. The bloom was good, but a frost hit during the peak. The Michigan
crop looks very good with a 9 percent increase over last year. The New York
crop is 1 percent above previous year. Fruit are sizing well. There were
Scattered areas of frost damage and reports of a lack of bees for pollination.
Pennsylvania pear production is down 29 percent due to poor pollination weather
and frost damage in May. Utah expects an average crop, 9 percent higher than
1995 but equal to 1994.

Coffee: Hawaii coffee production for the 1995-1996 season is estimated at
5.40 million pounds parchment basis, up 26 percent from the previous
crop year and the largest harvest since the 1968 crop of 5.70 million pounds.
Production was higher in all growing areas. Hawaii island (which includes the
district of Kona) accounted for nearly half the production. Production from

Hawaii island showed an increase for the third consecutive season due mainly to
the continued maturity of intensively cultivated orchards.

Grapes: U.S. production is forecast at 5.95 million tons, less than 1 percent
above 1995. Larger crops are forecast in California, New York, and
Pennsylvania, while Michigan and Washington expect smaller crops.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-13 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted, by Commercial Class, State,
and United States, 1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996 (continued)

Class and State

1,000 Acres ae 3 1,000 Acres
Black Other
CA 2.0 1. CA 9.0 10.0
co 1.0 co 5.2 0.3
ID 2.9 3.6 ID 1.2 0.4
MI 89.0 60.0 KS 1.8 1.0
MN 6.5 3.0 MI 11.0 9.0
NE 1.0 1.0 MN 2.1 1.0
NY 8.0 8.0 NE 6.0 2.0
ND 18.0 14.5 NM 0.4
WA 2.5 NY 3.0 4.0
Total 130.9 91.1 ND 6.0 8.4
OR 3.2 1.8
Blackeye : TX 11.5 3.9
CA 3 44.5 27.0 WA 2.1 1.7
TX 2 11.21 8.3 wy 1.0 1.0
Total : 55.6 35.3 Total 63.5 44.5
Garbanzo : 2,069.3 1,818.0
CA 3 19.0 25.0
ID : 3.6 7.5
OR 1.3 2.8
WA 6.7 8.6
Total 30.6 43.9
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 A-24 NASS, USDA


July Weather Summary: Timely rainfall and cool weather aided later-than-normal
Midwestern crops, although a few dry pockets lingered at
month's end across the western Corn Belt. Monthly temperatures averaged 2 to
5 degrees F below normal from the northern and central Plains to New England,
including some record-low July readings in the Midwest. The jet-stream
configuration responsible for the Midwestern-to-Northeastern chill--a highly
amplified Western ridge and Eastern trough--also helped to focus heavy rainfall
in an arc from the East and Southeast westward into Oklahoma and western Kansas.
Hurricane Bertha made landfall in North Carolina on July 12 and tracked
northeastward, boosting monthly totals along the northern Atlantic Seaboard.
Monsoonal rains tempered an otherwise hot pattern in the Southwest, but the 10-
month @rought continued to intensify across the southern two-thirds of Texas.
Temperatures departures ranged from +2 to +5 degrees F across much of the West,
heightening the wildfire danger.

In Indiana, South Bend's monthly average temperature of 68.5 degrees F broke a
July record that had stood since 1947 (69.0 degrees F). South Bend's highest
temperature during the month was 89 degrees F (on July 7), marking the first
time since 1971 that any of their July maxima failed to attain the 90-degree
mark. On the Ohio River, Cincinnati's average temperature of 72.0 degrees F
also set a July record, while Pittsburgh's (69.6 degrees F) was their fourth
lowest on record. Pittsburgh's monthly maximum of 86 degrees F broke their
record, last set in 1985 (87 degrees F). Averages of 69.9 degrees F in Chicago,
IL and 68.2 degrees F in Grand Rapids, MI went into the books as the second
lowest July readings of the century, behind 1992. In Iowa, Des Moines' July
temperatures averaged 3.9 degrees F below normal, their fifth consecutive month
with below-normal readings.

In contrast, heat-related July records were established in Oregon at Medford
(average temperature of 76.7 degrees F) and Portland (12 days of 90-degree
heat). Wildfires flared under the hot, dry, breezy regime, pushing the Nation's
(including Alaska) year-to-date charred land to 3.19 million acres (nearly

5,000 square miles) by month's end, 231 percent of the 5-year average. Farther
south, hot weather continued, broken by occasional monsoonal rains. In Tucson,
AZ, the monthly rainfall of 1.88 inches was their highest July total since 1990,
but an average temperature of 88.6 degrees F was their fifth highest on record.
Rainfall on July 3 ended Tucson's 110-day dry spell, 4 days shy of their 1950
record. Five days later, a severe thunderstorm produced an Arizona State-record
wind gust to 94 mph at Davis-Monthan Air Force Base.

Farther east, several July-record totals were measured along the axis of heavy
rain. Monthly rainfall reached 11.90 inches in Oklahoma City (9.35 inches in
1950), 12.03 inches in Elkins, WV (11.10 inches in 1907), and 9.57 inches in
Memphis, TN (8.84 inches in 1959). On Michigan's Upper Peninsula, Sault Ste.
Marie, MI also notched a July-record rainfall (7.23 inches), eclipsing their
record of 6.04 inches set in 1956. Across the Corn Belt, widespread rain on
July 16-20 ended a 3-week dry spell, but also resulted in localized flooding.
On July 16-17, up to a foot of rain pelted western Iowa. The next night (July
17-18), a 24-hour State-record 16.91 inches inundated Aurora, IL. Finally,
western Pennsylvania and the central Appalachians absorbed the brunt of round
three on July 19-20, an 8- to 11-inch deluge in some locations.

Hurricane Bertha struck the North Carolina coast near Wrightsville Beach on the
afternoon of July 12, exiting the New England coast as a tropical storm less
than 36 hours later. At landfall, Bertha packed 105 mph sustained winds and a
storm surge of up to 8 feet. Offshore, at Frying Pan Shoals, seas built to

29 feet and wind gusts were clocked to 115 mph. A 108-mph gust was reported
inland at Jacksonville, NC. Storm-total rainfall topped 4 inches in eastern
North Carolina, and ranged from 2 to 5 inches along Bertha's northern Atlantic
Seaboard track.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-3 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996
(Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/
Crop Breen nnn nnn rrr ren nnn nn nn enn nnn nnn nnn nner nnn nee ennnn
1995 1996 1995 1996
Hectares
Corn : 28,832,140 32,195,110 26,302,830 29,651,230

Sorghum : 3,825,940 5,375,900 3,350,020 4,857,900
Oats : 2,564,120 1,864,810 1,197,480 1,081,740
Barley : 2,706,970 2,887,060 2,540,240 2,736,110
All Wheat : 27,995,240 30,604,280 24,674,350 25,543,220

Winter : 19,718,920 21,065,330 16,589,460 16,226,850

Durum 2 1,390,510 1,442,720 1,358,140 1,398,610
Other Spring : 6,885,800 8,096,230 6,726,760 7,917,760
Rice H 1,263,040 1,177,650 1,251,710 1,165,100

Soybeans : 25,323,480 26,027,640 24,938,620 25,673,530
Peanuts : 622,210 579,920 613,910 572,840
All Cotton : 6,851,970 5,764,000 6,477,750 5,258,780

Upland : 6,765,120 5,657,160 6,392,320 5,152,800

Amer-Pima : 86,850 106,840 85,430 105,990
All Hay : 24,191,960 24,523,810

Alfalfa : 9,942,830 9,816,160

All Other : 14,249,130 14,707,650
Dry Edible Beans 3 837,430 735,730 768,630 692,260
Tobacco 2/ 3 268,350 297,520
Sugarbeets 3 584,620 560,130 573,490 540,020
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed 8 377,290 351,680
Hops : 17,480 17,860
Coffee 2/ : 2,190
Ginger Root (HI) 2/ : 50 80

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc.
2/ 1995 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested,
United States, 1995-96 (Metric Units)

Area Planted

Crop Pee nce e een nnn nanan enn nn enn nnn en nen nnn en eee ene
1995 1996 1/ 1995 1996 1/
Hectares

Rye 3 652,360 607,840 152,970 148,520

Sunflower 2 1,407,510 1,127,870 1,363,000 1,086,590

Flaxseed : 66,770 45,330 59,490 42,900
Potatoes :

Winter 3 5,380 5,500 4,820 5,460

Spring : . 35,730 37,190 34,120 36,100

Summer 2 29,300 32,210 28,570 31,080

Fall 3 494,980 510,400 487,450 503,680

Total + : 565,390 585,300 554,950 576,320

Sweet Potatoes 3 35,370 36,180 33,830 34,880

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-5 NASS, USDA


Peaches: Total Production by Type, State and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted August i, 1996

Total Production

Million Pounds

AL 1/ : 17.

le) 22.0 1.0
AR 1/ 3 8.0 20.0 1.2
CA - Freestone 1/: 634.0 502.0 620.0
co 1/ : 20.0 17.0 17.0
cT i/ 3 2.2 2.1 3.4
DE 1/ : 2.6 2.0 2.6
GA 1/ 3 175.0 160.0 6.0
ID 1/ 2 4.0 4.0 7.0
In 1/ : 4.8 13.0 2.0
IN 1/ 2/ 2 5.0 2.0
KS 1/ 3 0.5 1.0 0.4
KY 1/ 2/ : 6.0 1.5
LA 1/ : 4.0 5.0 0.7
MD 1/ 2.8 12.0 9.0
MA 1/ 1.0 1.2 1.7
MI 15.0 60.0 45.0
MO 1/ 5.0 9.0 3.5
NO 75.0 70.0 80.0
Ny 1/ 3 7.0 11.5 11.5
Nc 1/ 3 33.0 35.0 1.0
OH 1/ 2/ : 5.8 7.0
OK 3/ 3 25.0 30.0
OR 1/ : 15.5 9.0 11.0
PA 2/ ? 90.0 85.0
sc 250.0 215.0 20.0
TN 1/ 3 1.7 10.4 0.4
Tm 1/ : 20.0 24.0 6.0
UT 1/ 3 7.4 6.3 6.5
VA 1/ 2 12.0 26.0 16.0
WA : 41.0 44.0 10.0
WV 1/ 2/ 2 18.0 15.0
Total Above : 1,383.5 1,436.3 993.4
CA :
Clingstone 1/ : 1,130.0 865.0 1,000.0

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from July 1 forecast.
2/ No significant production in 1994 due to freeze damage.
3/ No significant production in 1996 due to freeze damage.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-35 NASS, USDA


U.S. Soybean Production
1987 - 1996

Billion Bushels
2.80

2.60
2.40 |
2.20
2.00 f-
1.80 |

1.60

0 ! i l i
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Year

Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1994-95
and Forecasted August 1, 1996

1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-21 NASS, USDA


Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures:
by State and United States,

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested

Production

AZ 165
AR 25
cA 1,000
co 850
cr 15
DE 4
ID 1,100
IL 620
IN 320
IA 1,350
KS 850
KY 300
ME 15
MD 55
MA 20
MI 1,050
MN 1,425
MO 450
MT 1,600
NE 1,350
Nv 240
NH 13
NO 30
NM 250
NY 650
NC 20
ND 1,400
OH 700
OK 380
OR 450
PA 780
RI 2
sD 2,600
TN 50
TX 160
ur 545
vt 95
VA 140
WA 500
w 40
WI 2,300
wy 660
us 24,569

175
25
1,060
860
17

7
1,000
670
375
1,200
850
300
13

60

17
1,000
1,475
480
1,700
1,400
240
14

30
255
690
15
1,300
700
400
460
770

3
2,500
45
150
545
95
130
470
40
2,100
620

NVNWOUNBWWNYNNAWUWNWNUYNBWNYNWANANWUYUARRUNWAN TD

-80
-50
+90
-60
.10
-75
-10
-00
-00
-60
-80
+90
00
+30
-40
.10
+50
-80
.50
+50
+50
.10
+50
30
-60
.10
+20
-80
-80
30
90
-00
-50
60
-60
30
-10
-30
10
-00
-60
90

Tons ---

-50
50
+00
.70
.10
-80
+00
+70
+70
-80
-00
+20
-50
-00
-50
-50
+10
+85
+30
-50
-50
+20
-50
+20
50
-80
-50
-50
-50
~40
10
-00
-30
00
+20
+20
-20
+40
+70
20
-40
50

VNWAWNAWWNHNWARWUYENNUWNBWNNWWHUEWARWWU RDN WIN

1,200 1,287 1,488
85 63 63
6,650 6,900 7,420
3,276 3,060 3,182
70 32 36

26 15 34
3,978 4,510 4,000
2,275 2,480 2,479
1,330 1,280 1,388
4,625 4,860 4,560
3,120 3,230 3,400
1,110 1,170 960
35 30 20
276 237 300
65 48 43
4,095 4,305 3,500
5,920 4,988 4,573
1,260 1,260 1,368
3,565 4,000 3,910
5,040 4,725 4,900
1,032 1,080 1,080
40 27 31
111 105 105
1,300 1,325 1,326
1,829 1,690 1,725
60 62 42
2,755 3,080 1,950
2,772 2,660 2,450
1,190 1,444 1,400
1,640 1,935 2,024
2,400 2,262 2,387
5 4 6
5,250 6,500 5,750
165 180 135
405 576 480
2,205 2,344 2,289
220 200 209
434 462 442
2,209 2,550 2,209
160 120 128
5,750 5,980 5,040
1,403 1,914 1,550
81,336 84,980 80,382

Crop Production
August 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans:
and United States,

1996

1,000 Acres

Large Lima - CA
Baby Lima - CA

Navy
co
ID
KS
MI
MN
NE
NM
ND
OR
wy
Total

Great Northern
co
ID
KS
MN
NE
WA
wy
Total

Small White

21.

23.

Rb wv
a aN)

i
oo

b Bb
w b
SAPOAN YS

ONERW

INVNBDEBAAROHEAS
ROCOWOUONWOH

wuUdtoK

COOWRTDDOODOWOOKONU

i)

0

BRONSOHOWO

22.

24.

i
we
cn

b
N

139.

RB
°
ORRPTRPNUR

w

WOHNDSOUN Nowocc00

Now

RONOMRONDOUDOOYO

Area Planted by Commercial Class,
1995 and Forecasted August 1,

State,
1996

Class and State

Light Red
Kidney
CA

co

ID

MI

Total

Dark Red

WA
Total

Small Red

13.
14.

12.
17.

19.
83.

wococonued

RWOOWOWN

NOON

ou3SsWwo

BUDHNWO

w
©
MWOCDBUd USS00MI0

NwwoRwo
UPRWOSo

woow

iN)
a
NOONG

Crop Production
August 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Apples, ‘Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Total Production 1/

Million Pounds

AZ : 64.0 1.

9 100.0
AR : 8.0 10.0 7.0
CA : 1,050.0 850.0 950.0
co : 85.0 55.0 30.0
cT 3 25.0 20.5 22.0
DE 8 20.0 11.0 20.0
GA : 26.0 30.0 22.0
ID : 165.0 75.0 170.0
In : 47.0 80.0 70.0
IN 3 50.0 75.0 48.0
IA 3 12.0 10.0 8.0
KS 3 5.0 6.5 4.0
KY 7.0 17.0 14.0
ME 54.0 65.0 58.0
MD : 35.0 35.0 30.0
MA : 62.5 65.0 62.0
MI 3 1,020.0 1,220.0 825.0
MN : 23.2 22.0 20.0
MO 3 33.0 38.0 34.0
NH HB 41.0 44.0 41.0
No : 70.0 75.0 55.0
NM 2/ mo 8.0 3.0
NY 3 1,100.0 1,110.0 1050.0
NC 3 250.0 270.0 180.0
OH 3 90.0 120.0 90.0
OR : 200.0 140.0 185.0
PA z 400.0 500.0 400.0
RI 3 4.8 4.5 4.5
sc 3 60.0 60.0 40.0
TM 2 10.0 16.0 11.0
UT 3 48.0 20.0 50.0
vT 42.0 45.0 44.0
VA 305.0 400.0 320.0
WA 5,850.0 5,000.0 5,600.0
we 150.0 175.0 120.0
wi 80.0 57.5 49.0
US 11,500.5 10,736.0 10,733.5
1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees.
2/ Forecast discontinued.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 A-36 NASS, USDA


Wheat:

Production by Class, United States,
and Forecasted August 1,

1996 1/

1994-1995

1994 971,161
1995 824,492
1996 766,293

434,208
449,616
426,906

256,574
273,203
301,517

515,315
475,328
570,666

1,000 Bushels

96,747
102,280
119, 652

46,976
60,620
64,328

2,320,981
2,185,539
2,249,362

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available
for all wheat producing States,
previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast

season,

Unless unusual situations dictate, the

2/ Based on Washington's 1996 Wheat Variety survey, the percent of white wheat
has shifted from 95 percent White Winter in 1995 to 90 percent. White
Spring changed from 75 precent to 67 percent.

Peanuts:
and United States,

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

1994-95 and Forecasted August 1,

1996 1/

AL : 212.0
FL : 81.0
GA : 592.0
NM 20.0
NC 144.0
OK 98.0
sc 11.0
TX 270.0
VA 89.0
US

Area Harvested

1,000 Acres

209.0
78.0
538.0
19.5
126.0
84.0
10.0
275.0
76.0

1,517.0 1,415.5

Pounds
2,280 2,100
2,390 2,400
2,390 2,550
2,150 2,400
2,410 2,700
2,060 2,400
2,800 2,500
2,000 1,900
2,325 2,800
2,282 2,364

446,220
207,480
1,862,630
51,660
485,465
261,000
36,250
605,570
291,180

4,247,455

Production

- 1,000 Pounds

483,360
193,590
1,414,880
43,000
347,040
201,880
30,800
540,000
206,925

3,461,475

438,900
187,200
1,371,900
46,800
340,200
201,600
25,000
522,500
212,800

3,346,900

1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Crop Production
August 1996

A-18

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production

1,000 Acres Bushels ---

1,000 Bushels ~
AL : 220 270 75.0 80.0 24,960 16,500 21,600
AZ : 22 35 170.0 175.0 2,550 3,740 6,125
AR : 85 190 115.0 95.0 10,800 9,775 18,050
CA : 150 220 160.0 175.0 30,600 24,000 38,500
co 3 830 940 111.0 145.0 133,500 92,130 136,300
cT 1/
DE 139 150 105.0 115.0 18,750 14,595 17,250
FL 60 100 90.0 80.0 6,800 5,400 8,000
GA 350 540 90.0 90.0 57,240 31,500 48,600
ID 35 40 140.0 125.0 4,900 4,900 5,000
IL 10,000 10,800 113.0 125.0 1,786,200 1,130,000 1,350,000
IN 5,300 5,450 113.0 118.0 858,240 598,900 643,100
IA 11,400 12,400 123.0 129.0 1,930,400 1,402,200 1,599,600
KS 1,970 2,350 124.0 145.0 304,590 244,280 340,750
KY 1,140 1,200 108.0 120.0 156,160 123,120 144,000
LA 221 535 105.0 110.0 35,190 23,205 58,850
ME 1/
MD 400 465 105.0 120.0 46,020 42,000 55,800
MA 1/
MI 2,170 2,350 115.0 99.0 260,910 249,550 232,650
MN 6,150 7,000 119.0 115.0 915,900 731,850 805,000
MS 275 610 95.0 93.0 26,500 26,125 56,730
MO 1,470 2,600 102.0 119.0 273,700 149,940 309,400
MT 16 20 120.0 130.0 2,700 1,920 2,600
NE 7,700 8,250 111.0 134.0 1,153,700 854,700 1,105,500
NH 1/
No 78 94 93.0 107.0 9,639 7,254 10,058
NM 73 80 160.0 165.0 12,750 11,680 13,200
NY : 610 700 105.0 108.0 68,440 64,050 75,600
Nc : 700 930 107.0 96.0 81,900 74,900 89,280
ND 3 510 700 79.0 80.0 54,000 40,290 56,000
OH 3,100 2,750 121.0 111.0 486,500 375,100 305,250
OK 130 180 125.0 105.0 17,655 16,250 18,900
OR 21 28 160.0 180.0 3,400 3,360 5,040
PA 980 1,050 96.0 120.0 123,600 94,080 126,000
RI 1/ :
sc : 265 380 91.0 75.0 29,325 24,115 28,500
sD : 2,450 3,650 79.0 84.0 367,200 193,550 306,600
‘TN : 540 680 118.0 105.0 66,120 63,720 71,400
TX : 1,900 1,800 114.0 90.0 238,680 216,600 162,000
UT : 20 22 100.0 135.0 2,860 2,000 2,970
vt l/ 3
VA : 275 300 111.0 114.0 34,300 30,525 34,200
WA : 102 115 190.0 180.0 19,425 19,380 20,700
wy : 40 40 100.0 100.0 3,675 4,000 4,000
Wr : 3,050 3,200 114.0 111.0 437,100 347,700 355,200
wy 2 48 55 104.0 115.0 5,856 4,992 6,325
us : 64,995 73,269 113.5 118.7 10,102,735 7,373,876 8,694,628
1/ Not estimated.
Crop Production . Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 A-10 NASS, USDA


Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Production
Stat€ Seren n rm mmr nner erence nnn nese nn rns cnn cnaer nn nsncsene
1994 1995 1996
Tons

ID : 4,500 3,000 5,500
MI 2 6,000 8,000 3,500
OR : 19,000 5,500 5,000
WA : 8,600 6,500 5,000
Total 38,100 23,000 19,000

Fresh Production

-- 1,000 Pounds --

June 3,780 3,790 2,630 2,425 3,825 3,160
July 3,785 3,790 2,380 2,635 3,415 2,925
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 A-33 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested,

and United States,

Yield, and Production by Class, Type,
1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996 (continued)

State,

Production

Class and Type

Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3B, Dark
Air-cured
Type 35, One Sucker
Belt

KY

TN

US

Type 36, Green River :

Belt
KY

Type 37, VA Sun-cured:

Belt
VA
Total 35-37

Class 4, Cigar Filler :

Type 41, PA Seedleaf
PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

Class 5A, CT Valley
Binder
Type 51, CT Valley
Broadleaf
cT
MA
us
Class 5B, WI Binder

Type 54, Southern WI:

wr

Type 55, Northern WI:

wi
Total 54-55
Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper:

Type 61, CT Valley
Shade-grown
cT
MA
us
All Cigar Types
Total 41-61

All Tobacco

2,300
510
2,810

1,300

70
4,180

4,500

1,000
240
1,240

1,900
860

2,760
4,000

990
260
1,250
9,750

663,110

Area Harvested

2,100
460
2,560

1,200

70
3,830

4,300

1,080
320
1,400

1,800
750

2,550
3,950

1,020

390
1,410
9,660

735,180

--- Pounds --
2,060 2,400
2,000 2,100
2,049 2,346
2,100 2,700
1,125 1,700
2,050 2,445
2,050 2,100
1,980 1,840
1,920 1,840
1,969 1,840
2,370 2,200
1,975 1,660
2,247 2,041
2,161 1,970
1,560 1,450
1,655 1,452
1,580 1,450
2,035 1,952
1,913 2,170

--- 1,000 Pounds ---

4,738
1,020
5,758

2,730

79
8,567

9,225

1,980
461
2,441

4,503
1,699

6,202
8,643

1,544
431
1,975
19,843

1,268,494

5,

6,

3,

9,

9,

1,

2,

3,
1,

5,
7,

1,

2,

18,
1,595,

040
966
006

240

119
365

030

987
589
576

960
245

205
781

479
566
045
856

624

Crop Production
August 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS,

USDA


Crop Summary:
United States,

Crop and Unit

Potatoes
Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
Total

Sweet Cherries

Tart Cherries

Apricots

Dried Prunes (CA)

Almonds (CA)

Walnuts (CA)

(Domestic Units)

Cwt : 208
. z 240
. 3 253
. : 334
. 3 323
Ton :
Lb :
Ton :
Lb :
Ton :

215
238
246

Yield per Acre and Production,
1995-96

Production

2,473
20,193
17,855
401,879
442,400
165.3
384,000
58.5
181.0
370,000

234.0

1996 1/

2,907
21,197
18,876

133.2
247,900
73.3
200.0
530,000
235.0

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Crop

Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production,

United States,

(Metric Units)

1995-96

Crop

Yield per Hectare

Production

Potatoes
Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
Total

Sweet Cherries

Tart Cherries

Apricots

Dried Prunes (CA)

Almonds (CA)

Walnuts (CA)

23.27
26.84
28.35
37.40
36.16

Metric Tons

24.15
26.63
27.55

112,170
915,940
809,890
18,228,930
20,066,930
149,910
174,180
53,070
164,200
167,830
212,280

131,860
961,480 -~
856,200

120,840
112,450

66,500
181,440
240,400
213,190

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Crop Production
August 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

crop

Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,

1995 and Forecasted August 1,

(Metric Units)

Yield per Hectari

1996

Production

Aug 1,
1996

Corn for Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Oats
Barley
All Wheat

Winter

Durum

Other Spring
Rice
Soybeans for Beans
Peanuts
All Cotton

Upland

Amer-Pima
Cottonseed
All Hay

Alfalfa

All Other
Dry Edible Beans
Tobacco 1/
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed
Hops
Coffee 1/
Ginger Root (HI) 1/
Apples, Comm'i
Peaches
Pears
Grapes
Olives
Prunes
(Excl

(CA)
and Plums
CA)

-

es)
ne

ow
wo

BPOONNANNNNUNWA

Wuearn

Metric

187,305,080
11,694,010
2,349,200
7,818,520
59,480,620
42,110,900
2,783,610
14,586,110
7,886,660
58,563,320
1,570,100
3,897,230
3,817,190
80,040
6,213,040
140,419,500
77,092,560
63,326,940
1,407,590
575,380
25,424,760

27,937,660
35,770
2,450
2,630
4,869,770
1,043,850
860,240
5,385,320
70,310

20,870

Tons

2,249,350
8,569,450
61,596,030
40,410,610
3,359,810
17,825,610

220,853,720
18,636,510
2,288,040
8,444,480
61,217,590
40,679,500
3,256,390
17,281,700
7,655,910
62,586,900
1,518,130
4,044,690
3,919,280
125,410
6,442,280
134,730,540
72,921,320
61,809,220
1,247,920
723,760
23,642,140

25,061,890
35,780

4,260
4,868,630
904,190
710,690
5,401,380
127,010

17,240

1/ 1995 revised.

Crop Production
August 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production

-- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds ---
AR > 1,340 1,240 5,450 5,500 80,940 73,020 68,200
CA 2 465 518 7,600 7,900 41,224 35,352 40,922
LA : 570 500 4,600 5,000 29,448 26,209 25,000
MS : 288 218 5,400 5,700 18,467 15,552 12,426
MO 2 112 105 5,300 5,000 6,448 5,936 5,250
TX 318 298 5,600 5,700 21,252 17,802 16,986
us 3,093 2,879 5,621 5,863 197,779 173,871 168,784

Rice: Production by Class, United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain

121,730 51,241 900 173,871
110,858 56,762 1,164 168,784

1/ Indicated August 1, 1996, rice class estimates are based on a five-year
average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data
become available through the growing season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-19 NASS, USDA


Selected Crops: Area Planted by State 1996,
and United States, 1994-96

Dry Peanuts

Beans

Sugar-
beets

* Updated from "Acreage" released June 28, 1996.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-9 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996 1/

Area Harvested Production

State

~ 1,000 Acres - --- Pounds ---
CA 2 137.0 130.0 2,160 2,100 2,771 2,960 2,730
co : 165.0 135.0 1,550 1,750 3,140 2,558 2,363
ID : 108.0 93.0 2,000 2,000 2,691 2,160 1,860
KS 2 31.0 29.0 1,550 1,800 560 481 522
MI 3 385.0 310.0 1,800 1,400 4,680 6,930 4,340
MN 3 150.0 120.0 1,370 1,600 2,079 2,055 1,920
MT 3 10.8 10.3 1,900 2,200 220 205 227
NE : 205.0 190.0 1,750 1,850 3,572 3,588 3,515
NM 3 12.5 12.0 2,010 2,000 283 251 240
NY : 33.0 29.5 1,630 1,600 585 538 472
ND 3 540.0 550.0 1,330 1,340 6,110 7,182 7,370
OR : 10.0 10.1 2,080 1,980 197 208 200
TX : 23.0 12.0 980 900 218 225 108
UT 3 7.0 0.6 460 600 24 32 4
WA 41.0 36.0 2,200 2,250 840 902 810
wr 9.0 8.1 1,300 1,700 237 117 138
wy 32.0 35.0 2,000 1,980 821 640 693
US > 1,899.3 1,710.6 1,634 1,608 29,028 31,032 27,512

1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-25 NASS, USDA


NVNctsy National

Crop Oise”

Service

Production United States

Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released August 12, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For
information on “Crop Production” call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m.
to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics,
information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information
Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASSGNASS.USDA.GOV. The “Crop Production”
U.S. Summary is available on AutoFax, (202) 720-2000, report 1150. See

Page B-20. Index and report features are located at the end of this report.

Corn Production Up 18 Percent

Corn production is forecast at 8.69 billion bushels, up 18 percent from last
year but down 14 percent from the record high production of 1994. Based on
August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 118.7 bushels per acre, up
5.2 bushels from a year ago. Acreage to be harvested, at 73.3 million acres, is
down 1 percent from June but up 13 percent from 1995. Corn rated in the fair to
good condition range totaled 74 percent compared to 79 percent for a year ago.

All cotton production is forecast at 18.6 million bales, up 4 percent from 1995:
Yield is expected to average 686 pounds per acre, up 149 pounds from last year.
Producers planted 14.2 million acres this year, 16 percent less than one year
ago. They intend to harvest 13.0 million acres, down 19 percent. Texas is
expected to produce 3.65 million bales from 4.10 million harvested acres,
leaving abandonment of 1.10 million acres. Weather conditions early in the
season adversely affected Texas acreage causing the high abandonment. Recent
showers in the Plains have improved the conditions. California crop development
was at least one week ahead of normal, as growing conditions during June and
July were virtually ideal.

Soybeans: The first production forecast of the 1996 crop is 2.30 billion
bushels, up 7 percent from 1995 but 9 percent below the record high production
in 1994. Yield is forecast at 36.2 bushels per acre, 1.3 bushel above last year
but 5.2 bushel below 1994. Area for harvest is estimated at 63.4 million acres,
a 3 percent increase over the previous year. Planted acres, at 64.3 million, is
up 420,000 acres from the June 1 forecast and 3 percent above 1995.

Special Note

The National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) intensified survey efforts
in 9 States (IL, IN, IA, KS, OH, SD, NE, MO, & WI) to verify planting and
harvesting intentions that were reported during the June survey period. A
summary of the revised estimated acres planted and to be harvested are included
on page A-39 of this report.

Cr Pr 2-2 (8-96)


The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
rated their cotton mostly in good to excellent condition, with 23 percent of
Louisiana’s crop in excellent condition and 22 percent of Tennessee's crop in
excellent condition, as of early August. Boll development in the region was
above average, and boli set is complete in ail States. Arkansas completed boll
set in late July and Tennessee boll set was completed by August 4, both ahead of
usual development. Cotton objective yield data show large boll counts for
Arkansas and Mississippi are the highest in the past 10 years, and the second
highest for Louisiana. Arkansas’ count of small bolls was the highest in ten
yeas, while Louisiana and Mississippi small boll counts rank second highest.

During the first week of August, 91 percent of Arizona's crop was in good to
excellent condition. Early planting approval was granted in Arizona to lessen
effects of whitefly, and the crop also benefitted from good weather and
successful insect control. Boll set was 99 percent complete on August 4,

9 points ahead of last year and 2 points above average. All of California's
crop was in good to excellent condition and boll set was complete. Planting was
behind average due to low soil temperatures and rainfall in April and May, which
also caused some acreage to be replanted. Data from objective yield plots
indicate California’s count of large bolls and squares rank seventh since 1986.
However, the number of small bolls are the second highest in the past 10 years.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina), boll set was slightly ahead of normal, although in South Carolina,
boll set was 8 percent ahead of average on August 4. The majority of the
region's crop was rated in good to excellent condition in early August. Thirty-
one percent of Georgia’s crop was in fair condition, with 17 percent rated poor
to very poor. Producers are applying chemicals as insect pressure increases.
Damage from hurricane Bertha appeared minimal and crop development was generally
ahead of last year and the 5 year average.

American-Pima production is forecast at 576,000 bales, up 57 percent from 1995's
output. Yield is indicated at 1,056 pounds per harvested acre, up 220 pounds
from last year. All States show an increase in yields from last year. Arizona
and California yields are up 122 pounds and 270 pounds, respectively, from
1995's crop, which was adversely affected by a cool, wet spring. The California
crop has experienced nearly ideal growing conditions this year, with development
one to two weeks ahead of normal. The Texas crop has also progressed well with
irrigation and favorable weather conditions.

Ginnings totaled 48,150 running bales prior to August 1, compared with
16,650 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 112,900 running bales
in 1994.

Dry Edible Beans: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 27.5 million
ewt for 1996, down 11 percent from a year earlier and

5 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest is estimated at 1.71 million

acres, down 10 percent from 1995 and 7 percent below 1994. The average yield is

forecast at 1,608 pounds per acre, off 26 pounds from last year but 26 pounds

above two years ago.

Warm weather in July helped dry beans in most States catch up on a season that
started late. Development in some areas is now ahead of normal. Beans are
blooming and setting pods. The best progress is evident in the Plains and North
Central States where beans are in good to excellent condition. Colorado,
Nebraska, North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin each expect per-acre yields to
be above a year ago. Michigan and New York are working on very late seasons
where a frost free September will be required for full crop production. Drought
has practically wiped out nonirrigated fields in Utah, Colorado, and Texas.

Planted area for dry beans is estimated at 1.82 million acres, down 12 percent
from last year. There was virtually no change in the U. S. total planted acres

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-9 NASS, USDA


Sorghum for Grain:
and United States,

1995

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

1,000 Acres

8

185
165
30
170
3,100
22

8,278

10
215
220

40
230

4,600

19
155

72
650

1,000
225

10

480

5

160
13
3,900

12,004

~~ Bushels --

mM So0000000000000000

©
ES
bh CB0000000000000000

900
18,375
7,140
2,000
17,820
231,000

2,640

1,000 Bushels -

320
13,135
4,620
1,110
11,730
173,600
1,848
5,880
2,665
35,770
56,840
3,380
650
12,800
320
4,800
1,305
129,600

460,373

450
15,050
7,700
1,600
17,020
308,200
1,748
11,625

183,300
733,687

Crop Produc
August 1996

tion

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


U.S. Corn Production
1987 - 1996

Billion Bushels
11.00

10.10

10.00

9.00

8.00

7.00

6.00

5.00

| ! | i l
89 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Year

4.00
1987 1988 19

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-1l NASS, USDA


Continued cool weather in the Corn Belt slowed crop growth toward months end.
Row crop development remained 1 to 2 weeks behind normal. Heavy rains at
month’s end flooded parts of the northern Corn Belt. Producers remained
concerned about uneven corn and soybean stands as insect activity increased. In
the Great Lakes region, dry soil conditions curled corn and yellowed soybean
leaves. In the Southeast, beneficial rains slowed fieldwork and reports of
increased insect counts caused cotton producers to spray earlier than usual.

The end of July brought continued het, dry weather in the Mountain and Pacific
Coast States that stressed late-seeded crops, but provided ideal conditions for
small grain harvesting.

With the exception of Missouri, corn silking in the Corn Belt ended the month
from 17 to 52 points behind the average. Indiana's corn silking was
approximately 12 days behind normal, Widespread rains and cool weather in the
Midwest slowed crop development but eased dry conditions that had previously
Stressed corn. Spraying for insects was reported in the Great Lakes region,
where corn height varied from a few inches to a few feet. Rainfall at month’s
end improved dryland cotton fields in Texas, where increased insect populations
required control measures. Cotton was threatened by bollworms and bollweevils
in the Delta and across the Southeast. July ended with soybeans blooming in
Indiana and Ohio 40 points behind the average, while in Illinois and Michigan,
blooming was over 30 points behind normal. Insects were prevalent in Indiana,
where soybeans blooming was 16 days behind normal. Worm infestations were
reported in the Delta, where soybean fields were sprayed for Aerial blight.
July ended with extremely dry conditions over the southern Great Plains and
Western States, but surplus soil moisture in the Central States.

Corn: Acreage planted to corn is estimated at 79.6 million acres, down

1 percent from the June estimate but up 12 percent from 1995. Reductions
in Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, and Wisconsin, since June, were due to adverse
weather conditions at planting time and account for a reduction of
800,000 acres. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 73.3 million acres, down
1 percent from June, but up 13 percent from 1995. Reductions in harvested
acreage followed decreases in planted acreage.

The August 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level stalk count for
the seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska,
Ohio, and Wisconsin). The forecasted ears per acre for this same area is second
only to 1995. As of August 4, 72 percent of the acreage was reported silking in
the 17 major States. This compares with 74 percent last year and

80 percent for the five~year average. Corn rated in the fair to good condition
totaled 74 percent compared to 79 percent for a year ago.

In Iowa, both the stalk and ear populations are second only to 1995. Seventy-
seven percent of the corn was silking as of August 4, compared to 78 in 1995 and
the average. Corn condition was 71 percent good to excellent.

Stalk counts for Illinois, Minnesota, and Nebraska from objective yield data
indicate record high levels. In Illinois and Minnesota, ear counts are
forecasted at record high levels. The forecasted ear population for Nebraska is
below last year but above the five year average. The percent silking in
Minnesota and Nebraska, as of August 4, was ahead of last year and the average.

Crop development remained behind normal in Indiana, Ohio, and Wisconsin.
Silking in all three States lagged about two weeks behind normal. Forecasted
stalk and ear counts in Indiana and Ohio were lower than last year and the
average of the last five years. In Wisconsin, the forecasted stalk count and
ear population were lower than last year but slightly above the average of the
last five years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-5 NASS, USDA


Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996 1/

Area Harvested Production

1,000 Tons -

28.0 28.0 3,948 3,220 2,632
17.4 21.8 946 715 1,138
24.0 24.5 5,608 4,728 4,508
15.8 14.0 3,029 2,970 1,820
17.7 17.0 8,467 7,363 7,480
21.5 22.5 1,307 1,193 1,289
16.4 18.9 1,504 1,186 960
26.7 24
19.2 17.3 4,272 3,929 3,831
15.0 16.4 264 230 69
22.9 25.5 456 408 418
18.2 22.0 497 351 288
36.5 474
20.3 20.0 1,103 1,249 1,130
34.3 452 484
19.8 19.5 31,853 28,026 26,061

1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted

beets in CA.
2/ NM and WA were combined prior to 1996.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production
by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Production 1/

Area Harvested

1,000 Acres ---- Tons ---- 0 -H------ 1,000 Tons --------
FL 437.0 437.0 34.6 34.0 14,937 15,122 14,858
HI 3 53.0 43.0 76.8 78.0 5,364 4,070 3,354
LA : 400.0 350.0 25.6 24.0 9,272 10,240 8,400
TX : 42.3 39.0 32.2 26.0 1,356 1,364 1,014
us 932.3 869.0 33.0 31.8 30,929 30,796 27,626

1/ Net tons.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-32 NASS, USDA


since the June Acreage Report. Michigan, New York, and Idaho are down but
California, Washington, Utah, Nebraska, and Wisconsin are up from their June
estimates. Nearly all classes show fewer planted acres this year. Navys and
pinks are off 15 percent each, great northerns are down 13, pintos slipped

5 percent. Light red kidneys fell 21 percent, darks are off 10 percent, while
blacks plummeted 30 percent and blackeyes slid 37 percent. On the up side,
Garbanzos jumped 43 percent and limas (baby and large) climbed 4 and 5 percent,
respectively.

All Hay: Production for 1996 is forecast at 149 million tons, down 4 percent
from 1995. All hay yields are forecast, at 2.45 tons per acre, down

5 percent from the previous year. Acreage for harvest of alfalfa and alfalfa

mixtures and other hay is unchanged from June at 60.6 million acres, up

1 percent from 1995. Production decreases were widespread across the U.S.,

mainly as a result of drought conditions in the southwest and excessive moisture

and cool weather in the northeast.

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: U.S. production is forecast at 80.4 million tons,

down 5 percent from a year ago. This decrease is
a result of both fewer areas harvested and lower yields. Yields are expected to
average 3.31 tons per acre, down 0.15 tons from last year. Harvested acres, at
24.3 million acres, are down 1 percent from 1995. A wet spring in the northern
half of the U.S. promoted growth, but delayed first cuttings and adversely
affected quality. Dry conditions and insects have limitea@ second cuttings. .
Weather conditions in California have been warm and dry, with yields in the
Imperial Valley reported as being exceptionally good.

All Other Hay: The forecast for 1996 production is 68.1 million tons, 2 percent
below a year earlier. Yields are expected to average
1.87 tons per acre, down 0.11 tons from 1995. Harvested area is estimated at
36.3 million acres, up 3 percent from last year. Texas‘ other hay production is
estimated at 6.4 million tons, down 15 percent from a year ago. Dry conditions
in Texas during the winter and continuing into late summer, limited the number
of cuttings and affected quality. Decreases are also expected in Kentucky,
Tennessee, California, and Alabama.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1996 is forecast at 1.60 billion

pounds, up 26 percent from 1995. Harvested acres are expected to be
735,180 acres, up 11 percent from last year. Yields for 1996 are estimated to
average 2,170 pounds per acre, 257 pounds above the average for 1995.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 891 million pounds, up 19 percent
from a year ago. Flue-cured growers plan to harvest 411,300 acres, 6 percent
above last year. Flue-cured tobacco production accounts for 56 percent of this
year’s total tobacco acreage.

Burley production is expected to total 615 million pounds, 41 percent above the
1995 production. Yield is expected to average 2,162 pounds per acre, 299 pounds
above the average for 1995. Burley tobacco growers expect to harvest

282,100 acres, 20 percent above last year. Kentucky, with 71 percent of the
1996 buriey production, is 45 percent above a year ago.

Hot, dry weather during July in Florida and Georgia forced producers to control
the amount of water for irrigated tobacco. The delay in spring planting was
offset by the hot weather that accelerated the crop’s development. Humid, damp
conditions in Virginia provided ideal conditions for the spread of blue mold
disease in burley tobacco, but the wet conditions aided flue-cured tobacco.

Hurricane Bertha brought heavy downpours to North Carolina, toppling tobacco
plants and forcing producers to hand harvest as much as possible. The
Hurricane’s heavy rains and high winds damaged roots and forced some producers
to attempt to prop up plants. Harvest progress was limited by labor and storage

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-10 NASS, USDA


Tobacco:
and United States,

Area Harvested

poscacaoH Acres -~---
cr : 1,990 2,100
FL : 7,200 7,300
GA : 42,000 46,000
IN : 6,700 7,600
KY : 166,200 205,900
MD : 8,500 8,000
MA : 500 710
MO : 2,700 2,900
NC : 261,100 281,300
OH : 7,700 8,300
PA 2 7,900 7,800
sc : 50,000 50,000
TN : 51,690 56,550
VA : 44,170 46,170
wv : 2,000 2,000
wi : 2,760 2,550
US : 663,110 735,180

Crop Production
August 1996

Area Harvested,

Yield, and Production by State

1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

---- Pounds

1,771
2,455
2,000
2,030
1,977
1,350
1,784
2,025
1,856
1,950
1,985
2,100
1,797
1,840
1,300
2,247

1,650
2,480
2,250
2,100
2,269
1,600
1,627
2,200
2,132
1,950
2,010
2,200
2,060
2,168
1,850
2,041

2,682
16,575
80,660
15,265
453,687
12,750
792
8,015
599,853
18,360
18,360
108,100
132,289
106,092
3,550

5,866

Production

1995

- 1,000 Pounds ----

3,524
17,676
84,000
13,601
328,582
11,475
892
5,468
484,599
15,015
15,685
105,000
92,907
81,269
2,600

6,202

1,582,896 1,268,494

1996

3,466
18,104
103,500
15,960
467,160
12,800
1,155
6,380
599,730
16,185
15,680
110,000
116,500
100,099
3,700
5,205

1,595,624

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Selected Crops: Area Planted by State 1996,
and United States, 1994-96

Soybeans Sorghum Upland

1,000 Acres

330 14 560
325
3,650 230 1,000
1,000
250
220
35 *101
400 70 1,380
9,900 *250
*5,400
9,500
2,050 4,800 2
1,200 22
1,100 160 950
490
1,650
5,950
1,800 75 1,050
*4,100 700 410
3,050 1,250
130
250 58
1,250 16 750
850
*4,500
300 520 290
290
560 10 270
2,700 250
1,200 17 530
*290 *4,400 *5,200
500 *103
*920

1994 79,175 61,670 9,827 13,551.6
1995 272,245 62,575 9,454 16,716.8
1996 2 79,555 64,315 13,284 13,979.0

* Updated from "Acreage" released June 28, 1996.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-8 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Production 1/

-- 1,000 Acres --- Pounds 1,000 Bales 2/

Upland

AL : 578.0 556.0 409 600 726.0 492.0 695.0
AZ : 364.0 324.0 1,046 1,230 782.0 793.0 830.0
AR : 1,110.0 990.0 635 824 1,772.0 1,468.0 1,700.0
CA : 1,165.0 995.0 953 1,327 2,717.0 2,312.0 2,750.0
FL : 109.0 100.0 472 672 104.1 107.2 140.0
GA : 1,490.0 1,375.0 625 698 1,537.0 1,941.0 2,000.0
KS : 2.6 1.7 185 311 1.2 1.0 1.1
LA : 1,075.0 940.0 614 766 1,512.0 1,375.0 1,500.0
MS : 1,420.0 1,030.0 622 792 2,132.0 1,841.0 1,700.0
MO : 453.0 405.0 544 640 615.0 513.0 540.0
NM : 56.0 54.0 609 667 75.0 71.0 75.0
NC : 800.0 735.0 479 679 829.0 798.0 1,040.0
OK 2 315.0 240.0 187 340 247.0 123.0 170.0
sc 3 342.0 265.0 528 743 393.0 376.0 410.0
TN : 660.0 520.0 527 600 885.0 724.0 650.0
Tx : 5,750.0 4,100.0 372 427 4,915.0 4,460.0 3,650.0
VA : 106.0 102.0 620 706 82.0 137.0 150.0
us : 15,795.6 12,732.7 533 679 19,324.33 17,532.2 18,001.1
Am-Pima

AZ 3 48.1 39.9 720 842 80.4 72.2 70.0
CA 3 115.0 165.0 937 1,207 184.8 224.5 415.0
NM : 15.0 17.0 605 678 19.5 18.9 24.0
TX 3 33.0 40.0 756 804 53.0 52.0 67.0
us : 211.2 261.9 836 1,056 337.7 367.6 576.0
All

AL : 578.0 556.0 409 600 726.0 492.0 695.0
AZ : 412.1 363.9 1,008 1,187 862.4 865.2 900.0
AR : 1,110.0 990.0 635 824 1,772.0 1,468.0 1,700.0
CA : 1,280.0 1,160.0 951 1,310 2,901.8 2,536.5 3,165.0
FL : 109.0 100.0 472 672 104.1 107.2 140.0
GA : 1,490.0 1,375.0 625 698 1,537.0 1,941.0 2,000.0
KS 3 2.6 1.7 185 311 1.2 1.0 1.1
LA : 1,075.0 940.0 614 766 1,512.0 1,375.0 1,500.0
MS : 1,420.0 1,030.0 622 792 2,132.0 1,841.0 1,700.0
MO t 453.0 405.0 544 640 615.0 513.0 540.0
NM 3 71.0 71.0 608 669 94.5 89.9 99.0
NC 3 800.0 735.0 479 679 829.0 798.0 1,040.0
OK : 315.0 240.0 187 340 247.0 123.0 170.0
sc 3 342.0 265.0 528 743 393.0 376.0 410.0
TN : 660.0 520.0 527 600 885.0 724.0 650.0
Tx : 5,783.0 4,140.0 375 431 4,968.0 4,512.0 3,717.0
VA : 106.0 102.0 620 706 82.0 137.0 150.0
us 16,006.7 12,994.6 537 686 19,662.0 17,899.8 18,577.14

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-ib net weight bales.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-22 NASS, USDA




Special Nine State Acreage Update

Growers were experiencing planting delays during the period May 29 to June 12,
1996, when NASS conducted the major 1996 acreage surveys. The surveys indicated
that 9 percent of the estimated 80.4 million acres of corn had not been planted
at the time of the interview and 47 percent of the estimated 63.9 million acres
of soybeans had not been planted. Most of these unplanted acres were in

9 States which were subsequently targeted for an acreage update survey conducted
in late July and early August.

In the 9 States, all farms that had reported planting intentions for corn,
soybeans, and sorghum in the area frame survey were recontacted to determine
what was actually planted. In addition, the Objective measurement surveys for
corn and soybeans and the monthly Agricultural yield surveys, conducted between
July 25 and August 4 were augmented to provide additional measures of planted
and harvested acreages.

The table below also shows the significant increase in Texas sorghum acreage.

Special Summa:

Acreage Planted

of Acreage Changes

1,000 Acres

Acreage Harvested

Corn
11,200 11,000 11,000 10,800
5,800 5,600 5,650 5,450
12,700 12,700 12,400 12,400
2,500 2,500 2,350 2,350
2,750 2,750 2,600 2,600
8,500 8,500 8,250 8,250
3,150 2,900 2,950 2,750
4,000 4,000 3,650 3,650
4,050 3,900 3,450 3,200
54,650 53,850 52,300 51,450
Soybeans
9,900 9,900 9,850 9,850
5,000 5,400 4,980 5,360
9,500 9,500 9,450 9,450
2,050 2,050 2,000 2,000
4,200 4,100 4,150 4,050
3,050 3,050 3,010 3,010
4,400 4,500 4,390 4,490
2,700 2,700 2,650 2,650
930 920 880 870
41,730 42,120 41,360 41,730
Sorghum

Crop Production
August 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA



1
CROP MOISTURE |
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE) |
August 3, 1996 i
f] UPDATED WEEKLY savonanty, H
1 ePORAM ie !
UGC) Rexam NEN} Ses are i
h Dey DRY iH . BAVORABLY j
i AmORWALLY . i |
} ‘\ on ,) SNORMALLY (=) ye Ht
Wy suas \ q yr suamr ro FAVORABLY \
Soe) NA oe ~ ;
~N -ABNORMALLY ) q
ASNORMALLY Der fa i
one \ PavRABLY co i
} j :

4, +) vom ABNOR wer
Sa WY “PARE j at) por |
. f a Hoe ASSORALLY i
{aN a (aS Ae i

fen = —e
“SNS? gan i
. \ EAN i
SS NS"
G s i
SLIGHTLY :
pry’ il
4
ExEsOvEY
De
NOAAUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY pase on

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing’when temperatures are averaging below about

55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months,
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-1 NASS, USDA


For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 9.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that
the current production forecast of 8.69 billion bushels will not be above or
below the final estimate by more than 9.0 percent or approximately 783 million
bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 15.5 percent or approximately 1.35 billion bushels.

Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn
again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 439 million bushels, ranging
from 56 million to 1,079 million bushels, The August 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 4 times and above 6 times. This does not imply that the
August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts

10-year Record of
Differences Between Forecast
290% Confidence: and Final Estimate
3 Level Sa haeateiaiaie iatetetel
Percent: lo. of Years
jelow: Above
inal:Final

Corn For Grain 9.0 15.5 439 56 1,079 4 6
Sorghum For Grain 8.5 14.7 4s 6 108 5 5
Oats 7.9 13.7 29 14 56 2 8
Barley 6.9 12.4 32 7 84 5 5
All Wheat 2.6 4.5 58 7 160 2 8

Winter 1.1 1.9 11 0 30 2 8

Durum 10.1 17.5 9 1 19 3 7

Other Spring 8.3 14.4 47 3 121 3 7
Rice 4.7 8.2 7 2 14 7 3
Soybeans For

Beans 6.1 10.5 87 19 235 6 4
Cotton Bales 1 8.6 14.9 141 34 3,911 5 5
Dry Edible

Beans 8.2 14.2 1.8 1 4.1 3 7

1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-16 NASS, USDA



All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production

AL : 720 730 2.10 2.00 1,971 1,512 1,460
AZ : 30 20 3.50 4.00 126 105 80
AR : 1,025 1,125 1.90 2.20 2,420 1,948 2,475
cA : 600 580 3.50 3.00 1,560 2,100 1,740
co : 510 $20 1.80 1.60 784 918 832
cT : 58 70 1.90 2.00 121 110 140
DE : 7 8 2.30 3.80 35 16 30
FL : 230 250 2.50 2.50 744 575 625
GA : 600 600 2.50 2.80 1,950 1,500 1,680
ID : 300 280 1.90 1.70 460 570 476
IL : 430 330 2.60 2.20 900 1,118 726
IN : 400 300 2.80 2.20 780 1,120 660
IA : 350 350 2.30 2.60 1,150 805 910
KS : 1,750 1,850 1.90 1.90 2,805 3,325 3,515
KY Hy 2,100 2,050 2.20 2.00 4,290 4,620 4,100
LA : 310 310 2.40 2.10 812 744 651
ME : 210 185 1.85 1.50 370 389 278
MD : 150 160 2.10 3.00 392 315 480
MA : 80 85 1.80 2.00 148 144 170
MI : 300 300 2.40 2.30 770 720 690
MN : 850 750 2.30 2.50 1,610 1,955 1,875
MS : 725 800 2.30 2.50 1,875 1,668 2,000
MO : 2,850 3,200 1.95 1.85 5,510 5,558 5,920
MT : 800 850 1.70 1.60 975 1,360 1,360
NE : 1,800 1,900 1.25 1.25 2,375 2,250 2,375
NV z 250 250 1.70 1.80 368 425 450
NH : 55 60 2.00 2.00 123 110 120
No : 100 90 1.80 2.00 162 180 180
NM : 100 75 1.90 2.00 147 190 150
NY z 950 860 1.85 1.90 2,132 1,758 1,634
NC : 510 525 2.40 2.50 1,127 1,224 1,313
ND : 1,300 1,100 1.55 1.40 1,755 2,015 1,540
OH : 550 450 2.50 2.30 1,612 1,375 1,035
OK - : 1,820 2,100 1.50 1.30 3,008 2,730 2,730
OR : 650 610 2.10 2.00 1,200 1,365 1,220
PA : 1,130 1,130 1.90 2.00 2,128 2,147 2,260
RI 2 5 5 2.00 1.90 13 10 10
sc : 300 280 2.40 2.40 650 720 672
sD : 1,700 2,000 1.50 1.60 2,080 2,550 3,200
TN : 1,700 1,750 2.20 1.80 3,630 3,740 3,150
TX 3,600 4,000 2.10 1.60 8,050 7,560 6,400
UT 150 160 2.00 2.10 320 300 336
vt 205 235 1.75 1.90 428 359 447
VA 1,110 1,120 1.90 2.20 1,908 2,109 2,464
WA 260 310 2.80 2.70 576 728 837
wy 520 530 1.80 1.90 950 936 1,007
WI 400 500 2.10 1.90 800 840 950
WY 660 600 1.50 1.30 624 990 780
us 35,210 36,343 1.98 1.87 68,724 69, 806 68,133

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-28 NASS, USDA


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employment opportunity employer.

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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-19 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Corn for Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Oats
Barley
All Wheat
Winter
Durum
Other Spring
Rice 1/
Soybeans for Beans
Peanuts
All Cotton 1/
Upland 1/
Amer-Pima 1/
Cottonseed
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Dry Edible Beans 1/
Tobacco 2/
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed
Hops
Coffee 2/
Ginger Root (HI) 2/
Apples, Comm'l
Peaches
Pears
Grapes
Olives (CA)
Prunes and Plums
(Excl CA)

Yield per Acre and Production, United States,
1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996
(Domestic Units)

: Yield

per Acre:

: 113.
55.
54.
57.
35.
37.
30.
: 32.
: 5,621
1 34.9
2 2,282
537
533
836

NUVONIAU

2.59
3.46
1.98
1,634
1,913
19.8

: 33.0
: 1,826
: 1,000
3,000

47,000

7,373,876
460,373
161,847
359,102

2,185,539

1,547,311
102,280
535,948
173,871

2,151,834

3,461,475

17,899.8
17,532.2
367.6
6,848.7
154,786
84,980
69,806
31,032
1,268,494
28,026

30,796
78,852.4
5,400
5,800

10,736,000

2,301,300
948.3
5,936.3
77.5

Jul 1,
1996

1,000

154,968
393,592
2,263,267
1,484,836
123,452
654,979

Aug 1,
1996

8,694,628
733,687
157,633
387,852

2,249,362

1,494,716
119,652
634,994
168,784

2,299,675

3,346,900

18,577.1
18,001.1
576.0
7,101.4
148,515
80,382
68,133
27,512
1,595,624
26,061

27,626
78,884.0

9,400
10,733,500
1,993,400
783.4
5,954.0
140.0

1/ Yield in pounds.

2/ 1995 revised.

Crop Production
August 1996

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


The Southwest production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total
771 million pounds, down 2 percent from last year's 785 million pounds. The
region's acreage for harvest, at 378,500 acres, is 2 percent below the 1995
level. Yields are expected to average 2,037 pounds, 14 pounds per acre above
1995. Above-average rainfall during July provided favorable growing conditions
n Oklahoma. Crop development in New Mexico was reported as excellent. Yield
potential in Texas was reduced by drought, especially non-irrigated fields in
South Texas.

Rice: Rice production is estimated at 169 million cwt, a decline of 3 percent

from 1995 and 15 percent below 1994 production. Expected production in
California is up from last year while the other five states are down. Rice
plantings are down 7 percent from last year while the expected yield per acre is
above last year in five of the six major rice producing states. Yield per acre
is forecast at 5,863 pounds, 242 pounds above 1995, but down 101 pounds from
1994,

The percent of rice headed was above 1995 and 1994 in all states, except
Louisiana. The percent of rice headed in Arkansas was 10 percent above 1995 and
15 percent ahead of the five year average. Rice headed in Mississippi was

6 percent ahead of last year and 24 percent ahead of the average. Rice growth
improved with recent rains over the Delta and the Southeast. The condition of
the crop was mostly fair to good across the major producing states.

Soybeans: Acres planted to soybeans, at 64.3 million, are up 420,000 acres

from the June 1 estimate and 3 percent above 1995. The increase in
Indiana and Ohio reflects a late planting season as the wet spring forced
growers to plant soybeans in fields intended for corn. Indiana accounted for
most of the increase, up 400,000 acres from June. The overall increase was
offset slightly by a 100,000 acre decline in Missouri. Acres to be harvested is
up 390,000 acres from June as a result of the increase in planted acres.

The planting date is slightly behind last year and well behind average. Plant
Maturity is about the same as last year despite the late plantings and cool wet
weather across the Midwest states. Average number of lateral branches is up
from last year with Missouri showing the only decrease, There were large
increases in lateral branch count in both Indiana and Minnesota. The forecasted
average number of pods is down from 1995.

As of August 4, the percent of soybeans blooming was slightly behind last year
and far short of the five year average. At 69 percent, blooming is 2 percent
behind last year and 8 percent short of normal. In Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio,
blooming was behind normal by nearly 40 points. Growers were monitoring
increased insect activity. Soybeans were rated in fair to good condition in the
major producing states.

Cotton: Upland cotton plantings, at 14.0 million acres, are down 16 percent
from the previous year and harvested acreage decreased 19 percent to

12.7 million acres. American-Pima planted acreage increased by 23 percent from

last year to 264,000 acres, and harvested acreage increased from 1995 by

24 percent to 261,900 acres.

Texas’ irrigated fields continued showing good progress this season, while
scattered showers have given some relief to the dryland acreage. Early in the
season, some acreage was replanted as high winds and hail caused damage. In
early August, 72 percent of Texas’ acreage was setting bolls, 12 percent higher
than the 5 year average. One-fourth of the crop was rated in poor to very poor
condition, and 43 percent was in good to excellent condition, on August 4.
Harvest has begun in the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley. Data from
objective yield surveys show Texas’ large boll counts as the sixth highest since
1986, but small bolls and squares are the third highest. The Oklahoma crop
progressed ahead of normal due to adequate moisture. Some acreage was replanted
and some abandonment occurred from high winds. Boll weevil pressures are
relatively light, but bollworm infestations are a concern.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-8 NASS, USDA


Sorghum for Grain: The first production forecast for the 1996 crop is

734 million bushels, up 59 percent from 1995 and the largest
production since 1992. Area for grain is forecast at 12.0 million acres, up
45 percent from last year. The planted and harvested acreages changed from the
June “Acreage" report due to acreage shifts from cotton to sorghum in Texas,
because of drought conditions. Texas harvested area increased 600 thousand
acres from June to 3.9 million. The U.S. all planted acres is now 13.3 million
acres, up 41 percent from a year ago. This is the largest planted area since
1986. Based on August i conditions, yields are forecast at 61.1 bushels per
acre, up 5.5 bushels from 1995.

This year's sorghum crop was rated in mostly good to fair condition as of the
week ending August 4. Development is ahead of average in most States, however,
Illinois and New Mexico are well behind normal. Harvest is underway in Texas
and almost completed in the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley. Dry conditions
during the growing season have resulted in reduced yields and an increase in
abandonment and in uses other than for grain. Harvest has just begun in
Oklahoma with good yields being reported. Recent rains have improved the
condition of the non-irrigated crop in New Mexico. Development is on a normal
pace in South Dakota with conditions well ahead of this time last year.

Oats: Oat production for 1996 is forecast at 158 million bushels, up 2 percent

from the July “Crop Production” report but down 3 percent from last year.
The forecasted yield, at 59.0 bushels per acre, is up 1 bushel from July and up
4.3 bushels from the previous year. Area for harvest, at 2.67 million acres, is
unchanged from July, but is down 10 percent from the 2.96 million acres
harvested in 1995. This acreage is the lowest oats acreage intended for harvest
since records were first kept in 1866.

The planting season in the Northern States started cool and wet, while the
growing season was hot and dry with soil moisture supplies declining.

Forecasted yields in Minnesota and Wisconsin remained unchanged from July, while
yields declined in North Dakota and Montana from last month. Adequate soil
moisture in the central States during July improved crop conditions, with
yields increasing in Iowa and South Dakota from the previous month. Oats
harvested for the 9 major producing States was 26 percent complete by August 1,
12 points behind the five year average.

Barley: Total barley production is forecast at 388 million bushels, down

1 percent from July, but 8 percent above the 1995 production of
359 million bushels. Yields are expected to average 57.4 bushels per acre, down
0.8 bushels from July but up 0.2 bushels from 1995,

Area harvested and to be harvested, at 6.8 million acres, is 8 percent above the
6.3 million acres harvested a year earlier.

Declines in forecasted yields from July for Colorado, Montana, Oregon, and
Washington more than offset yield increases in Minnesota, North Dakota, and
South Dakota.

Winter Wheat: The Hard Red Winter wheat harvest is complete in Kansas,
Oklahoma, and Texas and is nearing completion in Colorado and
Nebraska. Salvage of hail damaged fields in Nebraska has some reported yields in
the 10.0 bushels per acre range. Objective Yield Survey head counts show little
or no change from last month in all States. Forecasted head weights are
unchanged from last month in Oklahoma and Texas, but well below average.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-6 NASS, USDA


IA 1/ A
KS 21
LAl/ :
MD 1/

MS 1/

ND pl

All Wheat:

and United States,

1995

1996

1,000 Acres

80
122
1,000
493
2,738
68

12
300
1,330
1,390
660

35
1,000
460
80
225
620
2,245
165
1,230
5,435

2,100
10

32
150
125
640
1,114
1,210
5,200
939
185
280
2,752
340
2,800
166

80
177
1,240

2,442

220
1,300
6,375

2,150
19

38
125
150
590
12,455
1,350
4,900
975
190
270
3,874
430
2,900
173
280

© IROWDDWODODOMODDDD0O9DO DSODDCODDODCOCONCOCOR BOWS

Area Harvested,

Yield,

and Production by State

1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested

w
p
W BPCORGODOROOUDCOSOSONGD HODDDODOCOCOONCOOHKAOWS

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from

Crop Produc!
August 1996

tion

0
3
.0
-8
1
.0
0
-0
3
0
0
.0
.0
+0
.0
0
.0
.0
0
0
5
-0
+6
+0
-0
+0
-0
+8
+0
+0
+7
0
-0
4
.0
0
+0
+0
“5
+0
a)
a1

6

2,880
10,354
47,000
32,725

105,260
4,352
384
11,400
103,320
68,110

195,750

86,100
850
1,824
3,300
6,875
28,160
300,078
73,810
109,200
63,678
10,175
8,960
90,736
15,980
75,600
8,950
17,600
153,770
624

earlier forecast.

--- 1,000 Bushels ---

Production

3,600
16,689
64,480
53,700
76,060

4,446

380
16,450
119,800
42,900

194,225

73,100
1,645
1,900
4,125
7,800

26,550

370,695

55,350

93,100

67,950

10,450

12,960

121,672

18,920

69,600
7,620

15,400

182,670
572
6,600
6,849

249,362

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Report Features

The release date for the 1996 "Hazelnut Production" report has been changed to
August 27, 1996.

The California Agricultural Statistics Service will issue “1996 California
Pistachio Objective Measurement Survey Results” at 12:00 p.m. PT on

August 30, 1996. No pistachio production forecast will be released as a result
of this survey. The first estimate of production will be in the “Noncitrus
Fruits and Nuts Preliminary Summary” released in January 1997.

The “Walnut Production” report for 1996 will be released as scheduled on
August 30, 1996.

The initial forecast for the 1996-97 California Navel orange crop will be in
the September "Crop Production" report.

The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
September 11, 1996.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

c. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Kevin Barnes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369
Dan Kerestes - Barley (202) 720-9526
Roger Latham - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944
Joel Moore - Barley, Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234
Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather, Oats (202) 720-7621
Barbara Rater - Peanuts, Rice, Tobacco (202) 720-7688
Vaughn Siegenthaler -~- Rye, Wheat (202) 720-8068

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285
Howard Hill - Cherries, Berries, Prunes, Plums

Cranberries, Grapes, Maple Syrup (202) 720-7235

Linda McMillan - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215

David Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions (202) 720-2157
Linda Simpson - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas,

Mushrooms, Hops (202) 720-3578

Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 B-18 NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production

1,000 Acres - 1,000 Bushels

AZ 1/ : 99 159 86. 8,514 15,105
CA 1/ : 68 138 100. 6,800 13,800
MN : 12 10 30. 360 350
MT : 265 225 30. 7,950 5,625
ND : 2,880 2,900 27. 77,760 84,100
SD : 32 24 28. 896 672
us : 3,356 3,456 30.5 35.9 34.6 102,280 119,652

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Staté
and United States, 1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production

1,000 Acres Bushels - ~- 1,000 Bushels --
co 1/ 3 38 68 70.0 70.0 70.0 2,660 4,760
ID : 560 700 80.0 75.0 74.0 44,800 51,800
MN : 2,200 2,400 32.0 33.0 34.0 70,400 81,600
MT : 3,800 4,100 35.0 33.0 28.0 133,000 114,800
NV 1/ 3 6 10 75.0 70.0 70.0 450 700
ND : 8,200 9,500 27.0 30.0 30.0 221,400 285,000
OR 1/ : 114 125 52.0 54.0 54.0 5,928 6,750
sD : 1,200 2,200 28.0 31.0 31.0 33,600 68,200
uT 1/ z 26 28 75.0 65.0 65.0 1,950 1,820
WA : 445 395 46.0 49.0 46.0 20,470 18,170
WI 1/ : 8 10 30.0 35.0 35.0 240 350
wy 1/ + 25 29 42.0 36.0 36.0 1,050 1,044
US : 16,622 19,565 32.2 33.5 32.5 535,948 634,994

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/
Crop bene n nnn nnn nnn nnn nn niin nnn enn nnn nrc eee ne n-ne n= ----
1995 1996 1995 1996
1,000 Acres

Corn 3 71,245 79,555 64,995 73,269
Sorghum 2. 9,454 13,284 8,278 12,004
Oats 3 6,336 4,608 2,959 2,673
Barley 2 6,689 7,134 6,277 ° 6,761
All Wheat : 69,177 75,624 60,971 63,118
Winter : 48,726 52,053 40,993 40,097
Durum : 3,436 3,565 3,356 3,456
Other Spring 3 17,015 20,006 16,622 19,565
Rice : 3,121.0 2,910.0 3,093.0 2,879.0
Soybeans 3 62,575 64,315 61,624 63,440
Peanuts : 1,537.5 1,433.0 1,517.0 1,415.5
All Cotton > 16,931.4 14,243.0 16,006.7 12,994.6
Upland : 16,716.8 13,979.0 15,795.6 12,732.7

Amer-Pima 3 214.6 264.0 211.1 261.9
All Hay 3 59,779 60,599

Alfalfa 3 24,569 24,256

All Other 3 35,210 36,343
Dry Edible Beans 3 2,069.3 1,818.0 1,899.3 1,710.6
Tobacco 2/ 2 663.1 735.2
Sugarbeets : 1,444.6 1,384.1 1,417.1 1,334.4
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed : 932.3 869.0
Hops 3 43.2 44.1
Coffee 2/ 3 5.4
Ginger Root (HI) 2/ 3 0.1 0.2

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc.
2/ 1995 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested,
United States, 1995-96 (Domestic Units)

Area Planted

Crop
1,000 Acres

Rye : 1,612 1,502 378 367
Sunflower : 3,478 2,787 3,368 2,685
Flaxseed 3 165 112 147 106
Potatoes 3

Winter : 13.3 13.6 11.9 13.5

Spring 3 88.3 91.9 84.3 89.2

Summer 3 72.4 79.6 70.6 76.8

Fall 3 1,223.1 1,261.2 1,204.5 1,244.6

Total 3 1,397.1 1,446.3 1,371.3 1,424.1
Sweet Potatoes : 87.4 89.4 83.6 86.2

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-3 NASS, USDA


Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Total Production

Grapes (Table Type)

CA 602,000 718,000 720,000
Grapes (Wine Type)
CA 2,265,000 2,275,000 2,300,000
Grapes (Raisin Type) 1/
CA 2,389,000 2,255,000 2,400,000
All Grapes
AZ 26,000 26,000 25,000
AR 6,000 8,000 9,000
cA 5,256,000 5,248,000 5,420,000
GA 3,200 3,200 3,500
MI 65,000 70,000 62,000
MO : 2,600 2,300 1,800
NY : 190,000 165,000 185,000
NC 3 1,500 1,300 1,200
OH : 7,000 9,200 7,900
OR 3 10,800 14,000 15,000
PA 3 80,000 63,000 67,000
sc 3 500 300 600
WA : 225,000 326,000 156,000
US : 5,873,600 5,936,300 5,954,000

1/ Fresh basis.

Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,
Hawaii 1994-96

150 135 200 40,000 43,000 47,000 6,000 5,800 9,400

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-38 NASS, USDA


All Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested : Yield Production

1,000 Acres iene
AL H 720 730 2.10 2.00 1,971 1,512 1,460
AZ : 195 195 7.14 8.04 1,326 1,392 1,568
AR : 1,050 1,150 1.92 2.21 2,505 2,011 2,538
CA : 1,600 1,640 5.63 5.59 8,210 9,000 9,160
co : 1,360 1,380 2.93 2,91 4,060 3,978 4,014
cT 3 73 87 1.95 2.02 191 142 176
DE 3 11 15 2.82 4.27 61 31 64
FL : 230 250 2.50 2.50 744 575 625
GA 2 600 600 2.50 2.80 1,950 1,500 1,680
ID : 1,400 1,280 3.63 3.50 4,438 5,080 4,476
IL : 1,050 1,000 3.43 3.21 3,175 3,598 3,205
IN : 720 675 3.33 3.03 2,110 2,400 2,048
IA : 1,700 1,550 3.33 3.53 5,775 5,665 5,470
KS : 2,600 2,700 2.52 2.56 5,925 6,555 6,915
KY : 2,400 2,350 2.41 2.15 5,400 5,790 5,060
LA : 310 310 2.40 2.10 812 744 651
ME : 225 198 1.86 1.51 405 419 298
MD : 205 220 2.69 3.55 668 552 780
MA 100 102 1,92 2.09 213 192 213
MI 1,350 1,300 3.72 3.22 4,865 5,025 4,190
MN 2,275 2,225 3.05 2.90 7,530 6,943 6,448
MS 725 800 2.30 2.50 1,875 1,668 2,000
MO 3,300 3,680 2.07 1.98 6,770 6,818 7,288
MT 2,400 2,550 2.23 2.07 4,540 5,360 5,270
NE 3,150 3,300 2.21 2.20 7,415 6,975 7,275
NV 490 490 3.07 3.12 1,400 1,505 1,530
NH 68 74 2.01 2.04 163 137 151
Nd 130 120 2.19 2.38 273 285 285
NM 350 330 4.33 4.47 1,447 1,515 1,476
NY 1,600 1,550 2.16 2.17 3,961 3,448 3,359
NC 530 540 2.43 2.51 1,187 1,286 1,355
ND 2,700 2,400 1.89 1.45 4,510 5,095 3,490
OH 1,250 1,150 3.23 3.03 4,384 4,035 3,485
OK 2,200 2,500 1.90 1.65 4,198 4,174 4,130
OR 1,100 1,070 3.00 3.03 2,840 3,300 3,244
PA 1,910 1,900 2.31 2.45 4,528 4,409 4,647
RI 7 8 2.00 2.00 18 14 16
sc 300 280 2.40 2.40 650 720 672
sD 4,300 4,500 2.10 1.99 7,330 9,050 8,950
TN 1,750 1,795 2.24 1.83 3,795 3,920 3,285
TX 3,760 4,150 2.16 1.66 8,455 8,136 6,880
UT 695 705 3.80 3.72 2,525 2,644 2,625
vt 300 330 1.86 1.99 648 559 656
VA 1,250 1,250 2.06 2.32 2,342 2,571 2,906
WA 760 780 4.31 3.91 2,785 3,278 3,046
wv 560 570 1.89 1.99 1,110 1,056 1,135
wi 2,700 2,600 2.53 2.30 6,550 6,820 5,990
wy 1,320 1,220 2.20 1.91 2,027 2,904 2,330
us : 59,779 60,599 2.59 2.45 150,060 154,786 148,515
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 A-26 NASS, USDA


All wheat: Production for 1996 is forecast at 2.25 billion bushels, down

1 percent from July 1 but up 3 percent from 1995. U.S. yields are
now expected to average 35.6 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushels per acre from
last month.

Winter wheat: Production is forecast at 1.49 billion bushels. This is up

1 percent from July 1, but down 3 percent from 1995. The U.S.
yield is forecast at 37.3 bushels per acre, up 0.3 bushels per acre from the
last forecast. Grain area was unchanged.

Total Hard Red production is up from last month. Increased Kansas and Nebraska
yields are the primary reasons. Soft Red production is down; yield declines in
Illinois, Indiana and Ohio were the cause. A Washington yield increase lead to a
slightly higher White Winter production.

Durum wheat: Production is forecast at 120 million bushels, down 3 pecent from

last month, but up 17 percent from 1995. Based on August 1
conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 34.6 bushels per acre, 1.1 bushels per
acre less than a month ago. Area for grain is unchanged from the last forecast
at 3.46 million acres.

Other spring wheat: Production is forecast at 635 million bushels, down

3 percent from the July forecast, but up 18 percent from
1995. This production would still be the second highest on record. Based on
August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 32.5 bushels per acre, down a
bushel from last month. Grain area totals 19.6 million acres, up 18 percent from
last season. Declines in Washington and northern Idaho expected yields have
lowered White Spring production. Hard Red Spring wheat production is down from
last month due to a reduced Montana yield.

This report was approved on August 12, 1996, by the Secretary of Agriculture and
the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board.

VL Ok Meher

skcretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Dan Glickman Rich Allen

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1996 A-2 NASS, USDA


shortages, since much of the crop needed to be harvested at the same time.
Prolonged power outages resulting from Hurricane Bertha soured tobacco in drying
barns. One third of South Carolina’s flue cured tobacco was harvested by August
1, slightly behind schedule.

In Kentucky, one-quarter of the burley tobacco was topped with tobacco condition
mostly good to fair. Adequate rainfall in Tennessee benefitted the crop with
little disease problems reported.

: Production for the U.S. is expected to total 26.1 million tons, a

decrease of 7 percent from 1995. Area for harvest, at 1.33 million
acres, is down 2 percent from the June "Acreage" report and down 6 percent from
last year. The average yield, at 19.5 tons per acre, is 0.3 tons below last
year's yield,

Sugarbeet.

Cool, wet spring weather caused planting to be later than normal in the Dakota's
and Great Lakes region. The cool, damp spring weather was followed by favorable
weather conditions that advanced sugarbeet development to near normal levels in
the northern Great Plains and Red River valley. In Michigan and Ohio, wet
fields and flooding required many fields to be replanted with some acreage
shifted to row crops. Late plantings, followed by dry summer weather, in the
Great Lakes region caused sugarbeet condition to decline. Some sugarbeet fields
in Colorado and Idaho that did not survive freeze, wind, or hail damage were
replanted to small grains. Hot July weather in the Mountain States advanced
sugarbeet development and helped make up for late spring plantings.

Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for sugar and seed is expected to total

27.6 million tons, a decrease of 10 percent from 1995. The area for
harvest, at 869,000 acres, is unchanged from the June "Acreage" report but
7 percent below last year. Forecasted yield, at 31.8 tons per acre, is 1.2 tons
below last year's yield.

Favorable weather and timely rains in Louisiana helped offset the effect of
winter freeze damage to dormant stubble. The freeze lowered yield expectations
in the hardest hit areas of the Northern Parishes, but cane borer pressure was
lighter than normal since the freeze killed much of the overwintering larvae.
The condition of Louisiana's sugarcane crop going into August was mostly good to
excellent. Florida's hot, dry weather early in the month stressed sugarcane on
sandy fields, but rain later in July improved the crop's condition. Persistent
hot, dry weather in Texas and the likelihood of shortages of irrigation water
has reduced expected yield to the lowest level in 6 years,

Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is

forecast at 19,000 tons, 17 percent less than last year's
crop and 50 percent below 1994. If realized, this level will be the smallest
production on record.

The Michigan forecast of 3,500 tons is down 56 percent from 1995 and 42 percent
below 1994, A decline in tree numbers and poor pollination combined to reduce
the crop. Oregon production is forecast at 5,000 tons, down 9 percent from 1995
and 74 percent below two years ago. Poor pollination was the main reason for
lower crop prospects. Washington's forecast, at 5,000 tons, is down 23 percent
from 1995. Fruit drop was a problem for some growers this year. Idaho expects
5,500 tons, an increase of 83 percent from last year’s record low production.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 2.93 million pounds
for July, 7 percent lower than June and 14 percent lower than July
a year ago.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-11 NASS, USDA


Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production

Pounds ---~
1D 3,927 4,000 1,520 1,560 6,164.6 5,969.0 6,240.0
OR 8,641 8,486 1,595 1,550 13,720.0 13,782.4 13,153.0
WA 2: 30,621 31,644 1,930 1,880 54,675.0 59,101.0 59,491.0
6

Olives: Total Production, California,
1994-95 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-34 NASS, USDA


Normal to slightly above-normal temperatures prevailed in both Alaska and
Hawaii. While Hawaiian rainfall ranged from near- to below-normal, above-
normal totals were observed in much of Alaska. A notable exception included the
Alexander Archipelago, where Juneau's total of 3.16 inches was 76 percent of
normal.

General Crop Comments: Late-planted fields in the Corn Belt were aided by

unusually cool July weather that allowed crops to
complete the pollination stage without stress from high temperatures. A
prolonged heat wave and extremely dry soil conditions stressed crops in the
southern Great Plains and Western States. July started with deficient soil
moisture conditions except for the Great Lakes region. Row crop development
started July behind the average, while cotton development was accelerated by
hot, dry weather. Wheat harvest activity started July ahead of normal due to
dry weather. Hot, dry weather in the western Corn Belt produced reports of some
row-crop fields beginning to show signs of heat stress early in the month. Dry
soil conditions in early July slowed germination of late-planted soybeans in the
central Corn Belt and caused shallow root development. Uncontrolled weed growth
and uneven corn stands remained in some Midwestern fields from the wet spring
conditions. Scattered showers over the Southwest eased drought and improved
pasture conditions early in the month. Cotton development was accelerated across
the Southern States by the hot weather, but dry soil conditions lowered
condition ratings. In Texas, some marginal dryland cotton fields were plowed
under and replanted to alternative crops.

As dry weather continued in early July, crop conditions started to decline
slightly in the Midwest, but cooler weather and scattered showers slowed the
rate of decline. Heavy rains and high winds from Hurricane Bertha damaged crops
along North Carolina's coast, but brought rain to the Southeast, restoring soil
moisture and reviving drought-stricken crops. Rain in the south-central Great
Plains slowed wheat combines as producers approached the end of the harvest
season. Cooler, rainy weather in the central Great Plains lessened dry
conditions that had stressed row crops. In the northern Great Plains, weeds and
insect problems increased by mid-month. In the western Corn Belt, sunny weather
spurred corn growth so much that many fields could not be cultivated due to tall
plants. Cool weather over the Midwest boosted soybean condition, but slowed
crop growth, leaving many States 1 to 2 weeks behind normal. Some late-planted
soybeans in the Corn Belt experienced slow germination and emergence problems
due to stress from the continued dry weather.

Mid-July brought rain over most of the Corn Belt that arrived just as
pollination was beginning. The precipitation accelerated crop development, but
row crops in the Corn Belt remained significantly behind normal due to late
spring plantings. The heavy rains restored soil moisture supplies, but crop
conditions for row crops in the Midwest remained unchanged. The heavy rains
caused some localized ponding and flooding in the central Corn Belt.
Thunderstorms over the middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys improved soil
moisture ratings, but more precipitation was needed.

In the Southeast, beneficial rains improved row-crop conditions, but hot weather
increased moisture needs and some dry pockets remained. In the central great
Plains, damp conditions in Nebraska resulted in excessive weed growth, while
farther south, row crops were stressed by hot weather and dry conditions.

Rains in the Central States slowed wheat harvest activity. Warmer weather
hastened the maturity of small grains in the Dakotas. Harvest activity in the
Pacific Northwest was slowed by rainy weather. Dry conditions caused corn
leaves to curl in the Great Lakes region, where producers sprayed for corn borer
infestations. In addition, some fields had weed problems due to the wet
conditions, limiting cultivation. Summer heat across the South accelerated
cotton development and increased problems with cotton boll worms. The middle of
July found row crops in mostly good to fair condition, despite continued dry

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-4 NASS, USDA


Tobacco:
State,

and United States,

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,
1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Class and Type

Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old Belts
NC : 68,
VA : 34,
us : 102,
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt 3
NC : 151,
Type 13, NC Border & :
sc Belt 3
NC 2 34,
sc : 50,
us > 84,
Type 14, GA-FL Belt :
FL : 7,
GA 2 42,
us 2 49,
Total 11-14 2 386,
Class 2, Fire-cured
Type 21, VA Belt 2
VA a
Type 22, Eastern Fy
District :
KY 3 3,
TN : 7,
us : 11,
Type 23, Western 3
District 3
KY 3 3,
TN
US : 4,
Total 21-23 16,
Class 3, Air-cured z
Class 3A, Light
Air-cured
Type 31, Burley 2
IN : 6,
KY : 155,
MO 3 2,
NC 7 8,
OH Hy 7,
TMN : 43,
VA : 3,
WV : 2,
us : 234,
Type 32, Southern MD :
Belt :
MD : 8,
PA : 3,
us : 1l,
Total 31-32 : 246,

Area Harvested

000
000
000

000

000
000
000

200
000
200
200

100

900
600
500

700
580
280
880

700
000
700
100
700
000
000
000
200

500
400
900
100

72,000
35,000
107,000

165,000

36,000
50,000
86,000

7,300
46,000
53,300

411,300

1,100

3,900
7,500
11,400

3,700
590
4,290
16,790

7,600
195,000
2,900
8,300
8,300
48,000
10,000
2,000
282,100

8,000
3,500
11,500
293,600

--- Pounds

1,920
1,935
1,925

1,860

1,845
2,100
1,997

2,455
2,000
2,067
1,933

1,400

2,370
2,285
2,314

2,600
2,450
2,580
2,322

Production

-- 1,000 Pounds --

Crop Production
August 1996

2,200 130,560 158,400
2,200 65,790 77,000
2,200 196,350 235,400
2,100 280,860 346,500
2,150 62,730 77,400
2,200 105,000 110,000
2,179 167,730 187,400
2,480 17,676 18,104
2,250 84,000 103,500
2,282 101,676 121,604
2,166 746,616 890,904
1,800 1,540 1,980
2,600 9,243 10,140
2,400 17,366 18,000
2,468 26,609 28,140
2,700 9,620 9,990
2,600 1,421 1,534
2,686 11,041 11,524
2,480 39,190 41,644
2,100 13,601 15,960
2,250 302,250 438,750
2,200 5,468 6,380
2,100 10,449 17,430
1,950 15,015 16,185
2,000 73,100 96,000
2,100 13,860 21,000
1,850 2,600 3,700
2,162 436,343 615,405
1,600 11,475 12,800
1,900 6,460 6,650
1,691 17,935 19,450
2,162 454,278 634,855
--continued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested : Yield Production

1995 1996

-- 1,000 Bushels --~

.0 50.0 805 850
.0 70.0 1,530 1,750
0 80.0 2,550 2,400
0 55.0 2,046 1,650
0 62.0 1,750 2,170
-0 85.0 1,600 2,550
0 71.0 5,360 4,970
-0 59.0 2,040 1,475
0 66.0 14,625 14,850
0 55.0 3,760 4,400
0 75.0 1,440 2,100
.0 56.0 366 392
-0 56.0 5,130 3,360
-0 60.0 18,000 16,200
0 51.0 1,363 1,479
-0 52.0 2,600
-0 64.0 5,760
.0 60.0 4,500
0 64.0 1,280
.0 56.0 18,480
-0 59.0 5,900
0 30.0 600
-0 101.0 3,535
-0 57.0 7,980
0 58.0 1,740
-0 60.0 19,800
-0 30.0 3,600
0 72.0 720
0 80.0 1,440
0 48.0 192
0 55.0 17,050
-0 62.0 1,860
le) te} 157,633

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-13 NASS, USDA


Weather conditions during July were generally favorable for orchards in the
major papaya producing areas. Soil moisture toward month's end was adequate.
Papaya ringspot virus continued to be a serious problem in infected orchards.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,790 acres, unchanged from June.
Harvested area totaled 2,635 acres, 9 percent higher than June and 11 percent
more than last July.

Hops: Hop production in 1996 is forecast at 78.9 million pounds, up
fractionally from last year and up 6 percent from 1994, If realized,

this would be the second highest production, behind the record high of

79.1 million pounds set in 1981. Acreage strung for harvest, at 44,130 acres,

is up 2 percent from a year ago. Acreage for harvest increased in Idaho and

Washington, while Oregon expects a 2 percent decline from last year. Yield is

expected to average 1,788 pounds per acre, down 38 pounds from 1995 but

16 pounds above the five year average. Hops in the 3-state area are reported in

good condition.

Olives: The 1996 California olive crop forecast is 140,000 tons, up 81 percent

from last year’s production of 77,500 tons and the third largest crop
on record. The significant increase in olive production from last year is the
result of ideal weather conditions during bloom. Growers indicated the
Manzanillo variety production, which generally accounts for two-thirds of total
production, would be more than double last year’s crop. The Sevillano and
Ascolano varieties are expected to be up 52 and 8 percent, respectively, while
the Mission variety is expected to be down 21 percent.

Peaches: The 1996 peach crop increased slightly from the July 1 forecast to

1.99 billion pounds, down 13 percent from 1995 and 21 percent below
1994, If realized, this production level will be the lowest since 1983 when
1.86 billion pounds were produced. Excluding California Clingstone peaches, the
U.S. crop is forecast at 993 million pounds, down 31 percent from last year and
down 28 percent from 1994. A devastating freeze during February, and again in
March, severely limited fruit set and reduced crop potential in the Southeast
and Central growing areas.

Michigan is the only State to adjust its production from the July report,
increasing their expectations to 45 million pounds. That level still leaves
them 25 percent below the 1995 crop. About 25 percent of their crop is
harvested, still behind normal. Michigan peaches should benefit from recent hot
weather. New Jersey, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Washington remained at
their July forecast levels. The New Jersey crop is in good condition with
average sizing. The Pennsylvania crop looks good despite poor pollination and
the late May frost. Some growers indicate trees had to be thinned. There were
also scattered reports of hail damage.

Apples: The nation's apple production is forecast at 10.7 billion pounds, down
fractionally from the 1995 crop and 7 percent below 1994's record high
crop.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 7.09 billion pounds, up

15 percent from 1995. Washington and California are the major contributors to
the increase with a rise of 12 percent in both States from last year's crop. In
Washington, harvest is expected to start later than normal due to an
unseasonably cool spring. Average to below average sizing was reported. In
California, favorable weather and mild temperatures have resulted in good fruit
size and quality. Gala harvest has been active since mid-July in the San

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-12 NASS, USDA


California’s all grape production is forecast at 5.42 million tons, 3 percent
above production for the previous two years. Raisin type varieties, at

2.40 million tons, are up 7 percent from last month and up 6 percent from last
year. Compared with last year, the objective measurement survey indicated higher
bunch counts, but smaller in width, thickness, and length. Thompson seedless
varieties are currently being picked in the San Joaquin Valley, and maturity is
slightly ahead of schedule. Picking for wine and raisins will begin later in
the month.

Table type grape production is forecast at 720,000 tons, less than 1 percent
above 1995 and 20 percent more than 1994. Picking is complete in the Coachella
Valley while harvest of Perlette and Flamed seedless is progressing in the San
Joaquin Valley. Good quality is reported.

Wine type varieties are expected to produce 2.30 million tons, an increase of
1 percent over last year. The crop is maturing well with growers reporting
good quality. Harvest is expected to begin in the Central Valley by mid-August.

Grape production in New York is forecast at 185,000 tons, up 12 percent from
last year. Vine growth is good and fruit is maturing on schedule, but excessive
rains are increasing disease pressures. Washington’s production forecast, at
156,000 tons, is down 52 percent from last year. Freeze and frost damage has
reduced the crop to its lowest level since 1986. Some acreage is being pulled
while other producers are replanting red varieties. The crop in Michigan is
forecast at 62,000 tons, down 11 percent. Pennsylvania’s forecast, at

67,000 tons, is up 6 percent from 1995.

Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production is estimated at 9.40 million pounds

for the 1995-1996 season, up 62 percent from the previous season.
Increased harvested acreage and improved cultural practices were responsible for
the increased production. Harvested acreage totaled 200, up from last season’s
ten year low of 135 acres. The availability of new land, formerly in sugarcane,
helped the acreage expansion. Bacterial wilt was a major problem in the 1992-
1993 season when yields dropped to an all-time low. Since then, farmers have
adopted strict sanitary measures in the field, used disease-free seed, and
expanded to virgin lands. These factors, along with generally favorable
weather, ensured an improved harvest.

Florida Citrus: Groves were very hot and dry the last half of July. There was
a lot of irrigation in all areas of the citrus belt during this
dry period. The first part of the month received normal rainfall with high
humidity, high temperatures, and afternoon storms. There was an abundance of
new growth on trees of all ages. New crop fruit development made good progress
with average sizes. Harvesting Valencia oranges and grapefruit for this season
was completed in early July. Caretakers were very active cutting cover crops
and applying mid-summer herbicides. Summer fertilizations were about complete.
Most growers who grow for the fresh markets put on summer oil sprays. Dead tree
removal and burning was active in all areas. Larger groves replanted new trees.

California Fruits and Nuts: Normal cultural practices continued in vineyards

and orchards. Table grape harvest continued in the
Central Valley. Perlette, Flame Seedless, and Superior Seedless were the
primary varieties harvested. Apples were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley.
Bartlett pear picking was active in the Sacramento Valley. Nectarine, plum,
freestone, and cling peach harvest continued throughout the month. Walnut
orchards were treated for codling moth and blight.

California Citrus: Grapefruit picking outside the desert area continued during

July. Lemon harvest in the south coast area neared
completion. Valencia orange harvest slowed due to competition from stonefruits
in the marketplace. Nearly 60 percent of the Valencia crop was picked. The new
navel orange crop was maturing well.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 B-14 ¢ NASS, USDA



Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1995 and Forecasted August 1, 1996

Area Harvested Production

--- 1,000 Bushels ---

AL 1/ 80 80 36.0 45.0 45.0 2,880 3,600
AZ 1/ 23 18 80.0 88.0 88.0 1,840 1,584
AR 1/ 1,000 1,240 47.0 52.0 52.0 47,000 64,480
CA 1/ 425 570 61.0 70.0 70.0 25,925 39,900
co 2,700 2,300 38.0 31.0 31.0 102,600 71,300
DE 1/ 68 78 64.0 57.0 57.0 4,352 4,446
FL 1/ 12 10 32.0 38.0 38.0 384 380
GA 1/ 300 350 38.0 47.0 47.0 11,400 16,450
ID 770 850 76.0 80.0 80.0 58,520 68,000
IL 1,390 1,100 49.0 41.0 39.0 68,110 42,900
IN 660 720 60.0 42.0 36.0 39,600 25,920
IA 1/ 35 55 35.0 40.0 40.0 1,225 2,200
KS 11,000 8,800 26.0 27.0 29.0 286,000 255,200
KY 460 530 53.0 53.0 53.0 24,380 28,090
LA 1/ 80 130 36.0 43.0 43.0 2,880 5,590
MD 1/ 225 231 64.0 54.0 54.0 14,400 12,474
MI 620 650 60.0 43.0 40.0 37,200 26,000
MN 1/ 33 32 33.0 35.0 35.0 1,089 1,120
MS 1/ 165 220 38.0 48.0 48.0 6,270 10,560
MO 1,230 1,300 39.0 39.0 40.0 47,970 52,000
MT 1,370 2,050 40.0 40.0 36.0 54,800 73,800
NE 2,100 2,150 41.0 31.0 34.0 86,100 73,100
NV 1/ 4 9 100.0 105.0 105.0 400 945
NJ 1/ 32 38 57.0 50.0 50.0 1,824 1,900
NM 1/ 150 125 22.0 33.0 33.0 3,300 4,125
Ny 1/ 125 150 55.0 52.0 52.0 6,875 7,800
NC 640 590 44.0 45.0 45.0 28,160 26,550
ND 1/ 34 55 27.0 29.0 29.0 918 1,595
OR : 1,210 1,350 61.0 44.0 41.0 73,810 55,350
OK : 5,200 4,900 21.0 19.0 19.0 109,200 93,100
OR t 825 850 70.0 72.0 72.0 57,750 61,200
PA 1/ : 185 190 55.0 55.0 55.0 10,175 10,450
sc 1/ z 280 270 32.0 48.0 48.0 8,960 12,960
sD > 1,520 1,650 37.0 32.0 32.0 56,240 52,800
TN 1/ 2 340 430 47.0 44.0 44.0 15,980 18,920
TX z 2,800 2,900 27.0 23.0 24.0 75,600 69,600
UT 1/ : 140 145 50.0 40.0 40.0 7,000 5,800
VA 1/ : 275 280 64.0 55.0 55.0 17,600 15,400
WA : 2,150 2,350 62.0 69.0 70.0 133,300 164,500
wy 1/ : 12 11 52.0 52.0 52.0 624 572
WI 1/ 3 135 125 58.0 50.0 50.0 7,830 6,250
wy 1/ : 190 215 36.0 27.0 27.0 6,840 5,805
us 40,993 40,097 37.7 37.0 37.3 1,547,311 1,494,716

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1996 A-16 NASS, USDA