TOBACCO

PRODUCTION

NI
1983 : 1984

POUNDS

1,000 POUNDS

1,781 1,620 4,210 3,456 2,867
2,260 2,400 20,972 17,628 18,000
2,190 2,200 105,595 96,360 85,800
1,610 2,370 20,210 (13,041 20,382

1,597 2,310 589,350 324,602 527,373
1,100 1,300 37,530 29,700 31,200

1,807 1,570 852 768 785
2,070 2,200 5,940 6,417 6,380
1,969 2,150 700,668 546,869 584,800
1,485 2,150 31,860 17,668 25,155

1,832 2,000 25,865 21,985 24,000
54,000 49,000 2,090 2,200 124,195 112,860 107,800

TENN : 72,910 75,500 1,621 2,180 178,117 118,197 164,590
VA : 54,190 54,400 1,828 2,170 125,384 99,052 118,048
wWVA t/ : 2,200 2,300 1,710 1,650 3,590 3,762 3,795

1,919 1,950 20,136 16,118 15,405
B1t 2,178 1,994,494 1,428,483 1,736,380

FOR CURRENT YE4R CARRIFD FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARBEETS t/

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
ARIZ 0 +0 0.0 0.0 298 0 0
CALIF 169.0 200.0 23.4 25.0 3,852 3,955 5,000
coLo 37.2 45.0 16.2 20.0 920 603 900
IDAHO 143.0 143.0 24.4 23.5 3,182 3,487 3,361
KANS 6.9 7.2 13.7 18.0 170 95 130
MICH 104.0 107.0 19.0 19.0 1,853 1,976 2,033
MINN 259.0 260.0 18.0 17.0 4,738 4,662 4,420
MONT 41.3 24.5 19.8 17.0 850 818 ayy
NEBR 65.3 72.0 18.9 21.5 926 1,233 1,548
N MEX 0 +0 0.0 0.0 12 0 oO
N DAK 142.2 142.0 16.9 16.5 2,476 2,404 2,343
OHIO 12.6 10.6 17.6 19.5 0 222 207
OREG 11.3 11.6 28.0 28.0 251 316 325
TEX 31.9 37.8 19.5 22.0 556 622 832
WYO 32.1 33.5 19.2 19.5 810 616 653
us 1,055.8 1,094.2 19.9 20.3 20,894 21,009 22,169

1/ RELATES
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

1983 : 1984

1,000 ACRES

FLA 367.9 384.0 31.4 33.0 12,613 11,552 12,672
HAW 99.3 94.0 92.2 98.0 8,997 9,159 9,212
LA 265.0 230.0 23.9 21.0 7,030 6,328 4,830
TEX 35.5 35.5 31.6 29.0 1,130 1,122 1,030
us 767.7 743.5 36.7 37.3 29,770 28,161 27,744

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-5 URUP KEPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Fresh production during October is estimated at 5.60 million pounds (2540
metric tons), 17 percent above production during the previous month and 44
percent greater than last October's output. Total area in crop during October
decreased to 3610 acres (1460 hectares), as abandoned acreage exceeded newly
planted acreage. At the same time, harvested area declined to 2610 acres
(1060 hectares).

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on
November 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
74 percent, 1 point above last year but 1 point below the 1973-82 average for
the date. During the month of October, conditions improved significantly in
35 States, 3 States were unchanged and 10 States declined. Drought conditions
continue to exist in central Texas and Oklahoma, but have moderated from the
“extreme” conditions of the previous months as a resuit of numerous showers
received during the month. Portions of northern Montana and western North
Dakota remain in extreme drought conditions. Montana's condition is 56
percent compared with 73 percent last year and the average of 79 percent. In
North Dakota, the current condition is 57 percent compared with 72 percent
last year and a 66 percent average. Pasture and range condition in northern
Florida and central Georgia deteriorated during the month and remain in severe
drought condition, despite scattered showers received late in the month.
Georgia's condition is 50 percent, compared with 67 percent last year and the
average of 64 percent.

PRUNES: The California prune crop (dried basis) is forecast at 140 thousand

tons (127 thousand metric tons), unchanged from September 1, but 3
percent less than the 1983 crop. Because of the hot summer harvest was
complete by mid-September, two weeks ahead of the normal schedule. The
quality of the crop is excellent and size is above normal. The sugar content
is higher than normal because of the hot summer. The dry-away ratio is
expected to be low this year.

FIUBERTS:

The forecast of production in Oregon and Washington continues at
14,0 thousand tons (12.7 thousand metric tons), 71 percent greater
than the smal} crop harvested last year, but 26 percent below 1982. Excessive
fall rains in the Willamette Valley have plagued an already late harvest
season. Muddy conditions have hampered harvest efforts and caused cleaning
problems. As of November 1, about 25 percent of the crop was still in the
orchards.

GRAPEFRUIT: The forecast for the 1984-85 grapefruit crop, excluding Texas and

the California “other areas" crops, is 51.8 million boxes (1.93
million metric tons), unchanged from the October 1 forecast, 12 percent more
than both last season and the 1982-83 crop.

There are no changes from Qctober 1 in the production forecasts for
California “desert areas" grapefruit at 3.80 million boxes and the Arizona
crop at 3.50 million boxes, The California “other areas" grapefruit
production, which will be forecast as of April 1, 1985, accounted for 3.10
million boxes harvested last season and 3.20 million boxes in 1982-83.

No forecast is issued on November 1 for the Florida grapefruit production.
The crop estimate issued Yast month at 44.5 milion boxes is carried forward
in this report. Supplies from Texas are still expected to be insignificant
for commercial channels and no crop forecast is being made due to the December
1983 freeze which severely damaged the trees.

LEMONS: The Arizona-California lemon crop (tree crop available for

“~~ harvest) totals 27.5 million boxes (948 thousand metric tons), 3
percent above the October 1 estimate and 29 percent greater than actual
utilized production during the 1983-84 season. In California, the crop is
expected to total 22.3 million boxes, 3 percent more than the October 1
forecast and 29 percent above last season. Light picking is underway in
southern coastal areas, but the main movement is from the desert area. The
Arizona forecast continues at 5.20 million boxes, 30 percent above last
season. Votume is moderate due to size being too sma?) at this time. Fruit
was sizing and developing normally.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN CROPPING PRACTICES

PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE AND ROW WIDTH

The Statistical Reporting Service collects objective information on corn
development during the production period. Counts and measurements are made by
trained enumerators during visits to random plots in a sctentific sampling of
fields in 10 States which account for approximately 82 percent of the 1984
corn production. Information in the following tables represents sample data
and averages from these counts. The data, which are subject to sampling
fluctuations, are mot official Crop Reporting Board estimates but do show
trends in corn cropping practices over a period of years.

In 1984, the plant population showed an increase from 1983 in six States,
a decrease in four States. Average row widths tended to decrease in 1984 with
eight States showing decreases, two States showing increases from last year.

CORN FOR GRAIN; PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE,
SELECTED STATES, 1980-84 1/

1982 1983

: NUMBER OF PLANTS

ILL : 21,200 20,700 22,200 22,000 21,900
IND > 21,100 19700 273700 20,900 213000
TOWA : 20,200 20,800 21,100 21,800 21,400
MICH : 18,800 20,700 19,200 20,600
MINN : 193500 20;700 203700 21,200
MO : 16,600 16,800 18,200 17,000
NEBR : 19,300 19,400 20, 100 20,300
OHIO : 20,800 21,700 20,800 21,500
S OAK : 13,300 14,800 15,000 14,500
WIS 20, 100 20,900 20,300 20,500

1/ BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED

HECTARES
CORN FOR GRAIN : 24 353 030 32 290 220 «20 818 470 = 28: 758 890
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 4 732 850 6 565 690 3 980 530 5 750 240
RICE : 886 270 1 153 770 877 770 1 139 610
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 25 830 720 27 589 740 25 303 240 ~©—.27 046 650
PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 571 020 630 100 555 840 618 370
ALL COTTON : 3 215 790 4471 700 2 981 550 4 206 380
UPLAND : 3 190 290 4 440 260 2 956 180 4174 900
AMER ~PIMA : 25 500 31 440 25 370 31 480
COTTONSEED :
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 476 220 592 470 460 010 572 640
TOBACCO : 319 300 322 700
SUGARBEETS : 437 230 452 650 427 270 242 810
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 310 680 300 890
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
FILBERTS
CITRUS FRUITS 2/

LEMONS

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-6.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1984 1/

INDICATED
1984 1/

OATS : 8 211 160 4948 950 3672 970 3: 273 130

BARLEY : 4 216 470 4 847 380 3.936 420 4 544 260

ALL WHEAT : 30926 000 32 183 380 24 843 920 26 788 050
WINTER : 25 133 270 25 830 960 19 256 770 20 642 830
DURUM : 1 038 030 1 328 190 1008 490 = 1-292 580
OTHER SPRING 4754 700 5 024 230 4578 660 4 852 640

RYE 1095 500 1196 260 362 600 385 670

FLAXSEED 244 840 232 700 234 720 224 600

SUNFLOWER 1 258 590 1 458 500 1 239 570 1 438 670

ALL HAY : 24 158 780 25 192 360
ALFALFA : 10 404 580 11 030 640
ALL OTHER : : 13.754 200 14 161 720

POTATOES :
WINTER : 4 650 5 340 4 570 5 260
SPRING z 33 230 34 920 32 210 34 280
SUMMER : 42 130 45 280 40 510 43 460
FALL : 434 800 452 560 425 530 441 070
TOTAL : 514 810 538 120 502 830 524 070

SWEETPOTATOES : 42 610 43 990 41 440 42 860

HOPS : 14 930 12 460

APPLES, COM'L

PEACHES

PEARS

GRAPES

SWEET CHERRIES

TART CHERRIES

APRICOTS

NECTARINES (CALIF)

PLUMS (CALIF)

OLIVES (CALIF) :

PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) :

PECANS :

ALMONDS (CALIF)

WALNUTS (CALIF)

CITRUS FRUITS 3/
ORANGES

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-6. (CONTINUED)

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 ALS CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



FILBERTS

PRODUCTION

OREG 18,400 8,000 13,700
WASH 400 200 300
us 18,800 8,200 14,000

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES

PRODUCTION

CALIF (ORIED BASIS) : 126,000

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

FRESH PRODUCTION

TOTAL

1,000 POUNDS

SEP 3,770 2,095 2,840 2,070 4,800
oct 3,610 2,220 2,610 3,897 5,600
NOV 2,195 6,124

DEC 23375 5,668

AN 3,675 4,660
FEB 3,660 4,700
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-OCT 34,508 54,860

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOAKL, SRS, USDA



SPECIAL FORECAST OF GEORGIA'S PECAN CROP: The Georgia pecan crop as of

November 1 is forecast at 115 mil-
lion pounds, 8 percent less than the October 1 forecast, 15 percent above the
1983 production but 8 percent below the 1982 crop.

A special telephone survey of about 350 producers was conducted during the
last week of October. The survey was prompted by extremely dry weather during
September and most of October that heightened producer concerns about the
extent of tree drop of immature nuts and meat yields of harvested nuts, The
November 1 survey was conducted in the same way as the October 1 survey.

PECANS

2 PRODUCTION

1,000 POUNDS

IMPROVED 1/
GA

105,000 85,000 105,000 95,000
us 168,200 167,250 181,100 171,100
NATIVE & SEEDLING
GA 20,000 15,000 20,000 20,000
us 46,900 102,750 69,300 69,300
ALL
GA 125,000 100,000 125,000 115,000
us 215,100 270,000 250,400 240,400

1/ BUDDED, GRAFTED, OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE STATE : AVERAGE
1973-82 =: : 1973-82

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVE POOR TO FAIR 65~=79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

1983 : 1984

3 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CwT

LARGE LIMA ¢

CALIF : 27.0 35.0 1,800 1,860 580 486 651
BABY LIMA :

CALIF : 24.0 24.0 2,020 2,060 530 485 494
OTHER :
a cht : 87.0 118.0 1,590 1,650 2,475 1,386 1,947
LL :

CALIF : 138.0 177.0 1,708 = 1,747 3,585 2,357

coLo : 150.0 170.0 1,120 1,200 2,128 1,680

IDAHO : 88.0 138.0 1,650 1,800 2,598 1,452

KANS 2/: 9.0 11.7 1,400 1,400 280 126

MICH : 350.0 390.0 1,300 1,100 7,975 4,550

MINN : 39.0 56.0 1,160 1,200 949 452

MONT 2/i 2.8 8.5 1,320 1,700 118 37

NEBR 2 131.0 150.0 3,286 2,188

NY 3 28.0 34.0

N_DAK : 160.0 200.0

UTAH 2/i 6.9 8.8

WASH : 16.0 34.0

i/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED,
z/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARL'ER FORECAST,

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 1,500 1,370 20.0 21.0 50,000 30,000 28,770
ARK : 3,800 4,000 18.5 24.0 105,600 70,300 96,000
DEL t/t 250 255 29.0 30.0 6,480 7,250 7,650
FLA Vv : 312 330 25.0 26.0 10,452 7,800 8,580
GA t 2,000 1,950 21.0 24.0 63,450 42,000 40,950
tLe z 9,050 9,220 29.5 32.0 354,200 266,975 295,040
IND 3 3,950 4,350 31.0 34.0 173,250 122,450 147,900
tOWA t 7,960 8,400 35.0 33.0 306,600 278,600 277,200
KANS : 1,520 1,690 16.0 18.0 46,280 24,320 30,420
KY : 1,440 1,440 17.0 29.0 51,345 24,480 41,760
LA : 2,620 2,330 26.0 27.0 75,400 68,120 62,910
MD : 385 430 26.0 28.0 12,035 10,010 12,040
MICH : 1,040 1,140 32.5 28.0 35,340 33,800 31,920
MINN : 4,600 5,750 33.0 34.0 169,050 151,800 195,500
MISS : 3,100 3,250 19.0 23.0 92,300 58,900 74,750
MO : 5,150 5,500 20.0 21.0 171,000 103,000 115,500
NEBR 2 2,070 2,550 28.5 27.0 78,750 58,995 68,850
NJ vs 3 133, 133 23.0 30.0 4,250 3,059 3,990
nc z 1,650 1,740 20.0 26.0 52,500 33,000 45,240
N DAK 1/0 ¢ 530 810 27.0 25.0 8,715 14,310 20,250
OHIO 2 3,280 3,770 32.0 36.0 133,200 104,960 135,720
OKLA 1/ : 230 220 17.0 15.0 5,040 3,910 3,300
PA oo: 145 170 24.0 31.0 4,185 3,480 5,270
sc : 1,430 1,470 16.5 19.0 39,600 23,595 27,930
S DAK : 985 1,160 26.5 26.0 24,400 26,103 30,160
TENN 3 1,970 1,600 16.0 25.0 60,950 31,520 45,000
TEX 2 420 400 22.5 28.0 23,000 9,450 11,200
VA : 29.0 19,285 9,760 21,315
wis v/ 2 35.0 13,640 13,825 16,450
us 28.5 2,190,297 1,635,772 1,901,565

1/ ESTIMATES

COOP PRODUCTION. NOVEMBER 1984 8-3 CROP REFORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

1975-1064
BIL BUSHELS

2]

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production forecast at 813 million bushels (20.7 million

metric tons), up 1 percent from October 1, 70 percent more
than a year ago, but 3 percent Tess than 1982. Average yield, at 57.3 bushels
per acre, is up 8.6 bushels fram 1983, but dawn 1.8 bushels from 1982. Yield
in Kansas, the Nation's leading sorghum producing State, is 12 bushels above a
year earlier. In Texas, the second Jargest sorghum State, yield is up 3
bushels from last year,

Expected yield per acre increased 4 bushels from October 1 in New Mexico
while Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas yields increased 1 bushel from October 1.
Sixty-two percent of the sorghum grain was harvested by October 28, 80 percent
by this date in 1983, 69 percent on the average. Rains during the month of
October held harvest progress behind normal in all 7 major producing States
except Oklahoma.

RICE: Production is forecast at 141 million hundredweight (6,40 million metric

tons), down slightly from the October | forecast but up 41 percent from
last year's production. Harvested acreage and yield were both above a year
earlier.

Nationally, yields are expected to average a record high 5008 pounds per
acre, 189 pounds per acre, greater than the previous record of 4819 pounds
produced in 1981 and 410 pounds more than the 1983 yield. Prospective yields
are above last year in all States, with Texas showing the largest increase.

Harvesting was finished in Louisiana and Texas, and nearing completion in
California and Mississippi by November 4. Persistent heavy October rains in
Arkansas delayed combining. Only 87 percent was harvested in that State, 11
points behind schedule.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at a record high 4.41 billion pounds (2.00

~" million metric tons), 34 percent above 1983 and 2 percent above the
October 1 forecast. Yield is expected to average a record high 2883 pounds
per acre, 484 pounds above 1983 and up 66 pounds from the October 1 forecast.
The previous record high yield of 26933 pounds was set in 1982. Both
production and yield are up from 1983 in all States, except Texas.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



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RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about November 1. The yield surveys included mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans and cotton. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and
probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities.
Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and
measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling
and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More
importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing
the deviations between the November 1 production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1964-83 twenty-year period; the square root of
this average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error” for the November 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 2.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7,527 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 2.6 percent or approximately
196 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence Jevel)
phat fhe difference will not exceed 4.5 percent or approximately 339 million
ushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 154 million bushels,
ranging from 21 million to 378 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 9 times and above 1 time. This does not imply
that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

10-YEAR RECORD OF ~~
we nenn-e---- DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

UNIT QUANTITY NO. OF YEARS

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT t) 10 8 2
CORN FOR GRAIN BU 154 21 378 9 T
SORGHUM FOR

GRAIN BU: 14 i) 29 6 4
RICE CWT 3 0 8 6 4
SOYBEANS FOR

BEANS BU: . 58 23 109 7 3
COTTON BALE 2/ 3.8 6.6 318 15 733 4

1/_ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY,
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES Ree SUMMARY (CONTINUED)

RIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTAR

INDICATED :
3: 1984 :

CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
RICE

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
PEANUTS FOR NUTS

ALL COTTON 692 020 2 889 600 =. 2-889 450
UPLAND 671 400 2 865 260 2 865 260
AMER~PIMA 20 620 24 340 24 190

COTTONSEED 2790 500 4 804 450 4 810 800

DRY EDIBLE BEANS 703 880 919 020 909 310

TOBACCO 647 950 788 190 787 600

SUGARBEETS
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
FILBERTS

CITRUS FRUITS 2/
LEMON.

\/ SEP ay ASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
ENDS wore THe *tamece ron OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED: : INDICATED
1984 1/ 1983 : 1984 1/

. 2.10 6
: 2.90 13
ALL WHEAT 2.65 2.61 65 856 820 69 952 100
WINTER 2.81 2.68 54 112 770 56 411 600
DURUM 1.97 2.22 1 986 160 2 868 600
OTHER SPRING 2.13 2.41 757 890 11 671 900
RYE 1.99 688 780 766 710
FLAXSEED 0.85 175 340 191 910
SUNFLOWER 1.16 1 450 810 1 663 500
ALL HAY 5.55 127 671 740 139 752 720
ALFALFA 7.62 74 581 470 84 005 310
ALL OTHER 3.98 53 090 270 55 747 410
POTATOES
WINTER 22.77 99 470 119 750
SPRING 30.76 831 790 7054 510
SUMMER 23.85 B48 260 1 036 450
FALL 31,88 13 366 340 14 063 470
TOTAL 31.05 15 145 870 16 274 170
SWEETPOTATOES 13.85 548 070 593 750
HOPS 2.08 30 890 25 870
APPLES, COM'L 3771 370 3 734 630
PEACHES : 811 790 1 154 840
PEARS : 702 800 623 690
GRAPES : 4 984 250 4 553 250
SWEET CHERRIES : 163 020 165 470
TART CHERRIES : 70 130 135 940
APRICOTS : 86 270 112 400
NECTARINES (CALIF) 168 740 154 220
PLUMS (CALIF) 143 340 190 510
OLIVES (CALIF) 50 800 95 250
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) 56 430 48 990
PECANS : 122 470 2/209 040
ALMONDS {carte : 108 860 235 870
WALNUTS (CALIF) : 180 530 204 120
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ : 1983-84 1984-85
ORANGES : 6 566 200 7 060 620

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST EXCEPT CHERRIES END-OF -
SEASON ESTIMATES. 2/ REVISED. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE SLOOM OF THE FIRST
YEAR SHOWN AND ENOS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 As6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP

1,000

AND
STATE
1984 1983 : 1984 :
1,000 ACRES POUNDS
UPLAND
ALA 215.0 298.0 409 660 460.0
ARIZ 284.0 477.0 1,225 1,208 1,095.0
ARK 310.0 430.0 500 614 534.0
CALIF 950.0 1,400.0 996 1,029 3,073.0
FLA 3/ 12.0 13.5 608 651 19.6
GA 115.0 180.0 467 720 235.0
KANS 3/ 4 +8 240 480 :
LA 410.0 645.0 623 729 870.0
MISS 675.0 1,040.0 640 762 1,760.0
Mo 93.0 160.0 377 525 204.0
NEV 3/ +0 . 0 0 9
N MEX 47.0 72.0 715 633 78.0
NC 59.0 94.0 350 536 102.0
OKLA 300.0 375.0 232 256 238.0
sc 69.0 105.0 369 731 155.0
TENN 215.0 325.0 337 510 339.0
TEX : 3,550.0 4,700.0 322 409 2,700.0
vA B/ it 4 1.0 360 480 34
us 1 7,304.8 10,316.35 504 612 11,864.0
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ : 29.3 49.5 768 735 65.9
N MEX : Wat 9.0 683 549 10.0
TEX : 22.3 19.3 689 622 22.8
us 2 62.7 77.8 725 685 98.7
5 409 660 460.0
3 1,183 1,163 1,160.9
0 500 614 534.0
0 996 1,029 3,073.0
2. 608 651 19.6
5 467 720 235.0
240 480 at
tC) 623 729 870.0
640 762 1,760.0
377 525 204.0
tO) ° 9
709 624 88.0
350 536 102.0
232 256 238.0
369 731 155.0
337 510 339.0
324 409 2,722.8
360 480 .
506 613 11,962.7

1/ PRODUCTION GINNEO AND TO BE GINNED.
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.

BALES 2/
183.0 410.0
725.0 1,200.0
323.0 550.0

1,971.0 3,000.0
15.2 18.3
112.0 270.0
+2 :
532.0 980.0
900.0 1,650.0
73.0 175.0

: +0
70.0 95.0
43.0 105.0
145.0 200.0
53.0 160.0
151.0 345.0
2,380.0 4,000.0
3 1.0
7,676.7 3,160.1
46.9 75.8
15.8 10.3
32.0 25.0
94.7 ad
183.0 410.0
771.9 1,275.8
323.0 550.0
1,971.0 3,000.0
15.2 18.3
112.0 270.0

22 +8
532.0 980.0
900.0 1,650.0

73.0 175.0

+0 +0

85.8 105.3
43.0 105.0
145.0 200.0
53.0 160.0
151.0 345.0
2,412.0 4,025.0
: 1.0
7,771.4 2

3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-4

CROP

REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Most of the Nation's precipitation was above normal. The East Coast
States, a small area in the central and southern Plains, the Southwest, and
the western portion of the northern Plains and Rockies were the driest areas.
Much of the Southeast from Florida to southern Virginia had less than half the
normal rainfall. Very heavy rain fell from southeastern Texas to the tower
Ohio Valley. Downpours in the upper Mississippi Delta damaged some crops.
Rain in the central and southern Plains benefited winter grain planting and
early growth, but delayed harvest in many other areas. Freezing temperatures
ended the growing season from the northern Plains to Nebraska and the western
Corn Belt. Temperatures averaged above normal east of the Plains, and below
normal in the West. Much of the East was 5-9 degrees warmer than normal, and
the West was 5-8 degrees colder than normal. (Prepared by the Joint USDA/NOAA
Agricultural Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT SEEDING

Ory conditions delayed seeding of the 1985 winter wheat crop in the
Southeast, but long-awaited rain allowed early-month planting in the
west-central Plains. Persistent heavy rain throughout October from eastern
Texas through the eastern Corn Belt delayed seeding and eroded some fields.
Planting was 86 percent complete by November 4, trailing last year's 91
percent and the 92 percent average. As the month ended, seeding was complete
in Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota, and was near completion in
Colorado and Washington. Seventy-one percent of the seeded acreage emerged,
compared with 79 percent for both last year and the average. Stands rated
mostly good, but excessive moisture caused some field yetlowing in the Texas
Blacklands and Delta States.

Kansas winter wheat seeding was 90 percent complete, equal to last year
but 7 points behind average. Soil moisture was adequate to surplus, and
stands rated mostly good to excellent. Planting was 80 percent finished in
Oklahoma, trailing the 90 percent average. However, previous dryness left
emergence at only 45 percent, 20 points slower than normal. Texas wheat
showed good growth with ample moisture statewide. Seeding operations were 88
percent complete, 5 points ahead of schedule. Sixty-six percent of the
acreage emerged, slightly ahead of normal. Wet weather delayed seeding in the
eastern Corn Belt. Progress was 44 points behind schedule in Illinois, 31
points behind in Missouri, and 24 points slower than normal in Indiana.
Montana planting was finished and 65 percent emerged, 25 points slower than
normal. Stands rated mostly fair, but were good in the west and southeast.
Seeding and emergence were virtually on schedule in Washington. Wet weather
delayed planting in Oregon, where 87 percent of the acreage was seeded, 6
points behind average.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 7.53 billion
— ~~~ bushels (191 miltion metric tons), up 81 percent from last
year's drought-stricken crop, but 9 percent below the record high crop of 1982.

The U.S. average yield per acre Ys now forecast at 105.9 bushels, up 0.4
bushel from October 1 and up 24.9 bushels from tast year's low yield of 81.0
bushels. The current forecast is below the record high yield of 113.2 bushels
set in 1982, In the major producing States, Ohio's yield is up 5 bushels,
Nebraska is up 3 bushels, and Indiana is up 1 bushel from Qctober 1. In
contrast, Wisconsin is off 2 bushels and Michigan is down 5 bushels from a
month earlier.

A killing frost occurred across the western Corn Belt in late September
but a killing frost did not occur in the eastern Corn Belt until the end of
October or the first part of November,

Harvesting of corn was 64 percent complete in the 17 major producing
States on November 4, This compares with 89 percent last year and the 72
Percent average. Combining was generally on schedule in the western Corn Belt
and southeast, but lagged normal in the eastern Corn Belt where wet weather
has hampered harvesting. Dry weather is needed to enable the growers to get
into the fields to get the remainder of the crop harvested.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



CORN FOR GRAIN: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION 8Y ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES 98. 4

36.6 -:38.6 40.6 &

YEAR 238.5 340.5 TeREATER WIOTH
NUMBER “PERCENT OF SAMPLES —

TLL 1982 : 222 39.2 9.9 9 15.8 25.7 7.7 9 33.9
1983: 210 38.6 9.0 5 18.1 28.6 5.2 i) 33.8
1984: 229 39.7 13.1 1.3 14.9 23.6 7.4 i) 33.6

IND 1982: 180 48.3 10.0 2 17. 18. 8 1. .
1983: 7 38.0 14.0 4:8 18:3 3} 5:8 3 #8
1984: 167 46.7 18.6 0 12.6 18.6 3.0 6 32.7

IA 1982: 214 24.8 8.4 2.3 8.9 39.7 13.7 2.8 35.3
1983): 193 28.5 8.3 5 11.9 37.3 11.9 1.6 34.9
1984: 195 37.4 9.2 1.0 8.7 32.8 10.3 5 34.1

MICH 1982 : 93 38.7 18.3 3.2 18.3 8.6 5.4 33.5
1983: 83 39.8 14.5 7.2 18.1 8.4 7.2 33.5
1984: 87 47.1 21.8 2.3 16.1 3.5 4.6 32.5

MINN 1982): 152 33.6 10.5 2.0 9.2 27.0 15.8 2.0 34.4
1983: 148 41.9 10.2 2.0 10.1 21.6 14.2 0 33.7

1984 2 4171 36.8 10.5 162 14.0 21.1 14.6 1.8 34.0

MO 1982: 125 30.4 17.6 1.6 13.6 26.4 10.4 0 34.1
1983: 113 38.9 14.2 9 6.2 27.4 11.5 9 33.8
1984: 122 28.7 14.8 8 13.9 27.1 5 3.3 34.5

NEBR 1982 : 164 28.7 6.1 0 28.1 20.7 14.0 2.4 34.8
1983: 193 32.1 7.3 1.6 20.7 23.3 11.4 3.6 34.5
1984: 195 28.2 9.7 5 29.2 23.6 8.2 35 34.4

OHIO 1982 : 157 47.1 17.2 3.2 11.5 10.8 8.3 1.9 32.7
1983): 156 43.6 16.0 1.9 12.8 18.0 5.8 1.9 32.9
1984: 156 48.7 18.6 1.9 9.6 16.7 4.5 0 32.3

S DAK 83 4.8 8.4 1.2 10.8 41.0 30.1 3.6 37.7
78 1.5 2.6 O 9.0 37.2 34.6 5.1 37.2

92 5.4 10.9 0 7.6 43.5 28.3 4.4 37.0

WIS 122 14.8 10.7 8 15.6 37.7 14.8 5.7 36.0
129 17.9 6.2 2.3 12.4 34.9 24.0 2.3 36.0

125 16.0 8.8 2.4 16.8 31.2 20.0 4.8 35.9

1/_ SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED “For OBJECTIVE
YIELD DETERMINATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


. cr United Stat
Crop Production (Qs BE

Statistical Reporting Washington, D.C. 20250
Service
RELEASED: November 9, 1984
3:00 P.M. ET
HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 7.53 billion bushels (191 million
metric tons), up fractionally from October ? and up 81 percent from last
year's drought-stricken crop. A crop of this size is 9 percent below the
record high crop of 1982. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
production forecast is 7.19 to 7.87 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 813 million bushels (20.7 million
metric tons), up one percent from October 1 and 70 percent from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is expected to
total 232 million metric tons, up 71 percent from last year but 7 percent
below the record high production in 1982.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.90 billion bushels (51.8 million metric
tons), 4 percent less than October 1, 13 percent below 1982 but 16 percent
above last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1984
production forecast is 1.80 to 2.01 billion bushels.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 13.3 million bales, 71? percent above last
year and 1] percent more than 1982 production. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this production forecast is 12.4 to 14.1 million bales.

PEANUT production is forecast at a record high 4.41 billion pounds (2.00 mil-
jon metric tons), 34 percent above 1983. Production is up 2 percent from
the October 1 forecast.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.74 billion pounds (788 thousand metric
tons), 22 percent above 1983, but down fractionally from the October 1
forecast.

FEISS III SO II III TOO IO TOT IOI IIIT II II TI III IOI I TIO I TI II IIS III I II ITT I IIA I

Soybean Varieties: The table providing information on soybean varieties *
normally pubTished in this report has been discontinued. With the in-
creasing numbers of private varieties in use, the objective yield sample
used to collect this data is no longer adequate to provide reliable
results.

*

kK Re

*
*
*
*
*
*
A special pecan survey was conducted in Georgia during the last week of *
October due to extremely dry weather in September and most of October. *
The results of this survey are shown on page B-12. *
*
*
*
*
*
*

RK KK

Requests for a subscription order form covering al] available reports
should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 -
South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021).

FEISS I SOTA SOTA IO TOI TOI IOI TIO I IASI IOI II IS IIT I I ITI SIA A.

Pe ee ee ee

CrPr 2-2 (11-84) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


COTTON: United States cotton production is expected to total 13.3 million

bales, 71 percent above 1983 production and virtually unchanged from
the October 1 forecast. Upland production is forecast at 13.2 million bales
up 71 percent from last year and American Pima, at 111 thousand bales, is 17
percent above last year.

Upland area for harvest is set at 10.3 million acres (4.17 million
hectares), up 41 percent from 1983. American Pima area for harvest at 77.8
thousand acres (31.5 thousand hectares) is up 24 percent from last year.

Production in the Southeastern States is forecast at 945 thousand bales,
almost two and one-half times more than 1983 and up 13 percent from the
October 1 forecast. Favorable harvest weather during October reduced harvest
loss and yields are turning out better than expected. Harvest was about 60
percent complete by November 1.

Delta growers expect to harvest 3.70 million bales, 87 percent above 1983
but down 9 percent from the October 1 forecast. Heavy October rains
throughout the Delta caused yield loss and reduced quality. Damage to open
cotton was widespread and was heaviest where cotton was fully open and the
rains were accompanied by wind. Harvest was in full swing when interrupted by
rains about mid-month. Pickers were able to return to fields the last week of
October and harvest was again active by November 1. Picking was about
one-third finished by November 1. Normally about three-fourths of the Delta
crop is harvested by this date.

The Texas and Oklahoma Upland crop is forecast at 4,20 million bales, 66
percent above last year and up 7 percent from October 1. The increase from
Tast month is the result of increased area for harvest in both States and
improved yield prospects in Texas. Crop development was slowed by rains and
coo) temperatures during the last half of October and harvest on the High
Plains has been limited mostly to spindle picked cotton. Stripper harvest
will become general following a freeze that defoliates plants.

Upland production in the Western States is set at 4.30 million bales, 55
percent above 1983 and unchanged from the October 1 forecast. Harvest was
about 60 percent complete by November 1, one week ahead of last year.

Bureau of the Census reports 4,324,271 running bales ginned prior to
November 1 compared with 3,348,053 bales ginned to the same date last year and
5,288,435 bales in 1982,

COTTONSEED: Production for 1984, based on a three year average lintseed ratio,
is forecast at 5.30 million tons (4.81 million metric tons), 72
Percent more than in 1983.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Ory bean production is forecast at 20.0 million hundred-

weight (909 thousand metric tons), down 1 percent from
October 1, but 29 percent above 1983. The expected yield per acre, at 1417
pounds, is down 1? percent from a month earlier but up 4 percent from a year
ago.

All dry bean producing States indicated yield levels equal to the October
1 forecast, except Michigan and Wyoming where harvested yields are off 50
pounds from a month ago in both States. Adverse weather conditions during
bean development in Michigan caused yields to be below normal. Harvest is
complete. Yields in California were limited by the hot, dry weather during
the summer. Early snowfall in Colorado during mid-October delayed harvest.
Growers almost managed to complete harvest by the first of November, as the
weather improved since mid-October.

Harvest was nearly complete in Nebraska by November 1, with crop quality
excellent. Only a few scattered fields are still awaiting combining.

TOBACCO: At] tobacco production is forecast at 1.74 billfon pounds (788
~~~" thousand metric tons), 22 percent above last year and virtually the
same as the October 1 forecast. Yield this year is expected to total 2178
Pounds per acre compared with 181) pounds per acre last year. Better yields
and a slight increase in acres for harvest account for the rise in production
from 1983.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Southeastern growers (Ala, Fla, Ga, SC) expect their production to total
3.09 billion pounds, 39 percent above the previous year. Production in this
area is up 2 percent from the October 1 estimate. Yield is expected to
average 3268 pounds per acre, 549 pounds above 1983 and 67 pounds above the
October 1 forecast. Production in Georgia is set at 2.16 billion pounds, 38
Percent above 1983 and 3 percent above the previous forecast. Yield is
expected to average 3400 pounds per acre compared with 2790 pounds per acre in
1983. Yield is up 100 pounds from October 1 in Georgia. Both yield and
Production would set a new record high for the State. Harvest was virtually

complete by November 1. Harvesting conditions were near ideal. Alabama's
crop is expected to total 643 million pounds, 41 percent above 1983 but
unchanged from October 1. Yield prospects are 425 pounds above 1983 but

unchanged from a month earlier forecast. Peanut harvest progressed well, with
a crop of good quality. Production is expected to set a new record high with
yield tying the record set in 1982. Florida's production, at a record high
243 million pounds, is up 46 percent from 1983. Yield is expected to average
3200 pounds per acre, 420 pounds greater than in 1983.

The Virginia-North Carotina crop is forecast at 728 million pounds, 41
percent above the previous year and 1 percent above October 1. Yield for the
area is set at 2900 pounds, 764 pounds above 1983. Production in North
Carolina and Virginia is up 40 and 42 percent, respectively. Peanut harvest
progressed rapidly in North Carolina during October, as ideal harvest weather
prevailed. As of November 4, about 97 percent of the crop had been threshed.

In Texas, Oklahoma, and New Mexico the crop is expected to total 592
million pounds, 5 percent above 1983 and 6 percent above a month earlier
forecast. Yield is forecast at 1778 pounds per acre compared with 1781 pounds
per acre in 1983. Yield is up 100 pounds in both Texas and Oklahoma from the
October I forecast.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.90 billion bushels (51.8 million metric
— tons), up 16 percent from last year. Yield forecast at 28.5
bushels per acre is 1.0 bushel below October 1, but 2.3 bushels above last
year. Yields in Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Minnesota, Missouri,
South Carolina, Tennessee and Virginia were down 1.0 bushel from October 1.
Alabama, Arkansas and Iowa showed a 2.0 bushel decline from the previous
forecast, while Mississippi dropped 3.0 bushels. Harvest was slowed in many
areas due to rains. As of November 1 combining was only 53 percent complete,
compared with 77 percent a year ago and the average of 78 percent.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

W194

AIL BEES
as

ab

ak

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
WASHINGTON, 0.C. 20250 OS OLPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE

AGA 1013
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PRICES & EXPENDITURES

FRUIT & VEGETABLE SERIES SERIES
Cherry Production June 1.25 1.75 O Agricultural Prices
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PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

November 1, 1984

8

1 Goo0d 10 excotent
[ZZ Peer to toe
3 very poor
ES) Severe drought
EBB Extreme crought

from existing stands under very favorable weather
USDA

‘thecates crvet supply of pasture teed for gracing on norgated pastures and ranges reatve to that exoected

November

[2 Good to excotent
77] Poor to tair
ES very poor
(EX) Severe drought
$EBR Extreme drought

from existing stands under very favorable
USDA

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

4, 1983

‘indicates cert sunt of pastre teed for grazing on non-vigted pasties and ranges rtave 1 that expected

*As reported by
Crop Correspondents

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984

A-8

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT iv,

PRODUCTION
TON EQUIVALENT

PRODUCTION

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID

A NAVEL 3/ 4/2

ARIZ 2 1,050 550 1,000 39 21 38
CALIF : 40,200 33,300 35,000 1,508 1,249 1,313
FLA : 70,200 69,700 59,000 3,159 3,136 2,655
TEX : 3,590 2,400 152 102
: 115,040 105,950 95,000 4,858 4,508 4,006
ORANGES, VALENCIA 4/2
2 2,750 1,250 1,700 103 47 64
CALIF : 35,900 15,000 27,000 1,346 563 1,013
FLA 3 69,400 47,000 60,000 3,123 2,115 2,700
TEX : 2,090 110 89 5
us 2 110,140 63,360 88,700 4,661 2,730 3,777
ALL ORANGES 4/:
ARIZ 1 3,800 1,800 2,700 142 68 102
CALIF : 76,100 48,300 62,000 2,854 1,812 2,326
FLA : 139,600 116,700 119,000 6,282 5,251 5,355
TEX : 5,680 2,510 241 107
us : 225,180 169,310 183,700 9,519 7,238 7,783
TEMPLES t
FLA Al: 4,700 2,900 3,700 2u 130 167
GRAPEFRUIT,WHITE =:
SEEDLESS 3
FLA 4/: 21,800 23,000 27,000 926 978 1,148
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK = =
SEEDLESS +
Als 12,800 13,400 14,000 544 569 595
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT +
4 4,800 4,500 3,500 204 191 149
ALL GRAPEFRUIT r .
ARIZ t 2,700 2,100 3,500 87 67 112
CALIF B/t
DESERT 2 4,100 3,340 3,800 131 107 122
OTHER AREAS t 3,100 107 104
TOTAL 2 6,440 238 211
FLA 4/: 40,900 44,500 1,674 1,738 1,892
TEX 6/: 3,200 448 128
US : 60,600 52,640 2,447 2,144
TANGERINES
ARIZ 1,100 950 750 41 35 26
CALIF 2,150 1,850 1,900 Bt 70 71
FLA 2,250 2,000 1,500 107 95 71
us 5,500 4,800 4,150 229 200 170
LEMONS
ARIZ 5,050 4,000 5,200 191 152 198
CALIF 20,300 17,250 22,300 772 655 B47
us 25,350 21,250 27,500 963 807 1,045
TANGELOS :
FLA 3,600 3,700 171 162 167

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST {S$ COMPLETED.
2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF
OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES~90; TANGERINES- CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA~95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS"
WILL BE AS OF APR 1.
6/ DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DECEMBER 1983 THE 1984-85 TEXAS CITRUS
CROPS ARE VERY LIMITED AND FORECASTS WILL NOT BE ISSUED THIS SEASON
UNLESS SUFFICIENT COMMERCIAL SUPPLIES BECOME AVAILABLE.

-wu- PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

BEANS, ORY EDIBLE ...ceeeeee ene eeeeeeseeeeeenne see eeee bee eeeeeeenee B- 3
CITRUS FRUIT coc cesse reve ce ter enter rere neneeer ee eeneeteene bene eeeee B- 7
CORN CROPPING PRACTICES .
CORN FOR GRAIN wc csscec cece cee er reer eeenneeer ence ene t eens eenneeens B- 1

CORN FOR GRAIN ROW WIDTH ........-- eee ee eee ee ee eee rey B-10
COTTON ......- Pere ere eee Te eee eee ere eee eee ee ee eee eee eee ee ee eee ee ees B- 4
COTTONSEED .. occ eee cece cere cee neenrecenneennsneceeeseeeseeene Be

NUTS .

PAPAYAS ....--00-e tee e eee neces eee rece eee eee eee eee eee eee ees B-
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION ....ceceseecreeeneceeneneeecnnneees 8-

PEANUTS FOR NUTS cocecscesccse eee seees ens estes nese een secs ssneenne B-
PRUNES

4
6
6
8

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS .....seeeeeceeceecereeeeecrers Ap 8
2
6
2

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN wo. cece eee ee eee n ce ecce reece ee eeneerneeeceeaerees B- 2

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS .evesvecseevecccecvectneesneetnsseresvenestnceens B- 3

SOYBEANS, ROW SPACING ..cccsccsse ccs ccnssre ees cee eeeeeneeseeearees B-11

SUGARBEETS ccs cee nec enecce cree nce nennereeeseeseseseeee

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED co.cc eee cece ence teen entre cee eer er ereee 8- 5
TOBACCO BY STATES ..ccee ese e ence screenees eset teen netnneneeeeee eee B- 5
US SUMMARY co ccc nsec ence cece cere e eect eet eee nea n eens et eeeeneees A- 3

4 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1984-460-937:492-SRS

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
DOWESTIC UNITS)

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 81.0 105.9 4,166,108 7,497,831 7,527,206
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN * =: 48.7 $7.3 °479,231 06,632 813,472
RICE CHT 1/: 4,598 5,008 99,720 141,196 141,039
SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS Bu 26.2 28.5 1,635,772 1,971,700 1,901,565
PEANUTS FOR NUTS, LB |: 2,399°° 2,883" 352985520 | 41308;550 | 4,409:000
ALL COTTON BALE Vt 50 613 7,771.4 13,271.9 13,271.62
UPLAND Ha 612 7,676.7 13,160.1 13, 160.1
AMER-PIMA . ‘on t 725 685 94.7 111.8 V1.1
COTTONSEED 3,076 5,296 5,303
DRY EDIGLE GEANS CMT'T/: 1,365 1,417 15,518 20,261 20,047
TOBACCO LB 1,811 2,178 1,428,483 1,737,668 1,736,380
SUGARBEETS TON: 19.9 20.3 21,009 22,183 22,169
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED" 9: 36,7 37.3 28,161 26,880 27,744
PASTURE AND
RANGE FEED 2/ PCT 73 74
DRIEO PRUNES
(CALIF) TON 145.0 3/140, 140.0
FILBERTS TON 8.2 14 1410
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ 1983-84 1984-85 1984-85
“TERONS “BY, 250 “2B, B00

Vf YIELD
MONTH,

RANGE FEED CON

2/_ PASTUI NI 10)
THE. 1973-82 AVERAGE I$ 75 PERCENT. 3/ SEP 1, 1984.

OF FIRST OF

SEASON BEGINS

A
WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST

THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(OONESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1984 1/

PRODUCTION

INDICATED
1984 1/7

OATS 58.4 477,133 472,460
BARLEY 53.9 508,344 605,700
ALL WHEAT 38.8 2,419,824 2,570,300

WINTER 39.9 1,988,304 2,036,028

33.0 72,979 105,403

orhen SPRING 35.8 358,541 428,869
RY 31.7 27,116 30,184
Flaxseeo 13.6 6,903 7,585
SUNFLOWER 1,032 3,198,500 3,667,400
ALL HAY 2.47 140,734 154,05)

ALFALFA 3.40 82,212 92,600

ALL OTHER 1.76 58,522 61,451
POTATOES

WENTER WT 194 203 2,193 2,640

SPRING ” 230 278 18,338 23,248

SUMMER . 187 213 18,701 22,850

FALL . 280 284 294,679 310,048

TOTAL . 269 277 333,911 358,786
SWEETPOTATOES, “ 118 124 12,083 13,090
Hops LB 1,846 1,852 68,117 57,044
APPLES, COM'L . 8,233,500
PEACHES LB 1,789,700 2,546,000
PEARS TON 774.7 687.5
GRAPES * 5,494.2
SWEET CHERRIES * 179.7
TART CHERRIES. LB 154,600
APRICOTS TON 95.1
NECTARINES {gALIF) * 186.0
PLUMS (CALIF) . 158.

OLIVES (CALIF) " 56.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS.

(EXCL CALIF) * 62.2 54.0
PECANS uB 270,000 2/240,400
ALMONDS (cALIE . : 240,000 520,000
WALNUTS (CALIF TON: 199.0 225.0
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1983-84 1984-85
“ORANGES 65,310

1], ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST EXCEPT CHERRIES END-OF -
SEASON ESTIMATES. 2/ REVISED. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST
YEAR SHOWN ANDO ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 And CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TANGERINE

The U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 4,15 mitlion boxes (154
thousand metric tons), 14 percent less than last season and 25
percent below 1982-83. The California forecast continues at 1.90 million
boxes and the Arizona crop estimate is unchanged at 750 thousand boxes. No
forecast is issued on November 1 for the Florida tangerine crop. The October
l estimate of 1.50 million boxes is carried forward in this report.

FLORIDA GENERAL CITRUS COMMENTS: Citrus groves in Florida were in good condi-

tion, but very dry during October. Care-
takers and growers were irrigating in all areas of the citrus belt to help
prevent wilt and fruit softening. New growth slowed during this past month
due generally to the lack of normal rain in most groves. There were several
cool nights in October that helped the early maturing fruit turn color on the
trees. Harvest of new crop fruit continued to be regulated because of citrus
canker concern, but volumes to date are still ahead of jast year. The active
harvest this season is due to slightly advanced maturity levels with better
than average demand for fresh fruit products. Both pink and white grapefruit
are being moved in large volumes at this time. Hamlin and Navel early oranges
are also moving in fairly large quantities for this time of year. Fresh fruit
packers are also shipping Nova tangelos, Robinson tangerines, and K-Early
citrus fruit out of Florida to wholesale markets.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED TION
STATE reece

PRODUC

1982 1983

t 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 1/ 65 150 40.0 44.0 2,924
ARIZ t 13 12 76.0 80.0 1,185
ARK ' 320 590 55.0 70.0 15,780
CALIF : 45 45 81.0 82.0 5,390
COLO : 240 300 29.0 35.0 10,230
GA yoo: 68 110 41.0 45.0 5,670
tLL oa 117 270 56.0 64.0 8,658
IND vA + 7 13 55.0 70.0 949
tOWA 1/ 5 6 60.0 70.0 885
KANS : 2,700 3,700 43.0 55.0 207,700
ky vy ai 105 47.0 70.0 2,660
LA vy 180 250 56.0 60.0 7,830
MISS 1/ 225 350 55.0 60.0 6,160
Mo 690 1,330 58.0 70.0 63,910
NEBR : 1,000 1,900 60.0 65.0 128,480
N MEX : 150 220 42.0 60.0 13,160
NC t/ o¢ 42 55 33.0 47.0 3,000
OKLA : 360 460 33.0 37.0 20,400
sc i/o: 36.0 45.0 1,610

: 47.0 48.0 17,250
53.0 65.0 5,525
50.0 53.0 305,250
35.0 47.0 477

48.7 57.3 835,083

1,000 ACRES POUNDS

ARK : 915.0 1,150.0 4,280 4,600 39,159 52,900
CALIF ' 328.0 455.0 7,040 23,089 33,215
LA : 385.0 528.0 3,820 14,693 22,176
MISS : 161.0 195.0 4,000 6,440 8,385
MO Vv : 62.0 70.0 4,090 2,534 3,045
TEX 3 318.0 418.0 4,340 13,805 21,318
us t 2,169.0 2,816.0 4,598 99,720 141,039

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED
STATE

1983 : 1984

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

ALA : 160.0 218.0 2,525 2,950 522,150 454,500 643,100
FLA 1 60.0 76.0 2,780 3,200 153,000 166,800 243,200
GA : 562.0 636.0 2,790 3,400 1,517,480 1,567,980 2,162,400
N MEX 2/ t 11.0 13.0 2,330 2500 25,220 25,630 32,500
nc z 147.0 154.0 2,165 2,900 417,200 446,600
OKLA t 91.0 95.0 1,940 2,100 174,580 199,500
sc : 12.5 14,0 2,000 2,600 30,000 36,400
TEX : 215.0 225.0 1,685 1,600 325,125 360,000
vA 95.0 97.0 2,090 2,900 275,500 281,300
us 1,373.5 1,528.0 2,399 2,883 4,405,000

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USOA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

1,000 ACRES
CORN FOR GRAIN BU > 60,177 79,790 51,443 71,064

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " 2 17,695 16,224 9,836 14,209
RICE : 2,190.0 2,851.0 2,169.0 2,816.9
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 63,779 68,175 62,525 66,833
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 1,411.0 1,557.0 1,373.5 1,528.0
ALL COTTON 7,946.3 11,049.7 7,367. 10,394.1
UPLAND 7,883.3 10,972.0 7,304.8 © 10,316.3
AMER-PIMA 63.0 77.7 62.7 77.8
COTTONSEED
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1,178.0 1,464.0 1,136.7 1,415.0
TOBACCO 789.0 797.4
SUGARBEETS 1,080.4 1,118.5 1,055.8 1,094.2

SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED
PASTURE AND RANGE
FEED 2/

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
FILBERTS

767.7 743.5

CITRUS FRUITS 4/
“~TENONS

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED.

INDICATED
1984 1/

INDICATED
1984 1/

1,000 ACRES

OATS 12,229 9,076 8,088
BARLEY “ 10,419 11,978 9,727 11,229
ALL WHEAT ” 76,419 79,526 61,390 66,194
WINTER “ 62,105 63,829 47,584 51,009
DURUM “ 2,565 3,282 2,492 3,194
OTHER SPRING “ 11,749 12,415 11,314 11,991
RYE “ 2,707 2,956 896 953
FLAXSEED . 605 575 580 555
SUNFLOWER Le 3,110 3,604 3,063 3,555
ALL HAY TON 59,697 62,251
ALFALFA " 25,710 27,257
ALL OTHER " 33,987 34,994
POTATOES
WINTER CWT 11,5 13.2 11.3 13.0
SPRING * 82,1 86.3 79.6 84.7
SUMMER " 104.1 171.9 100.1 107.4
FALL ” 1,074.4 1,118.3 1,051.5 1,089.9
TOTAL " 1,272.1 1,329.7 1,242.5 1,295.0
SWEETPOTATOES 108.7 102.4 105.9
Hops 36.9 30.8
APPLES, COM'L
PEACHES
PEARS
GRAPES

SWEET CHERRIES
TART CHERRIES
APRICOTS
NECTARINES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF)
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL. CALIF)
PECANS

ALMONDS (CALIF)
WALNUTS (CALIF)

CITRUS FRUITS 3/

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-4, (CONTINUED)

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 AL3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



SOYBEANS: ROW SPACING--1984

The Statistical Reporting Service conducted soybean objective yield
surveys in 15 States which accounted for about 88 percent of the 1984 U.S.
soybean production. Plots were randomly selected from a scientifically drawn
sample of soybean fields, which were visited monthly from about August 1
through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements.

Sample data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the
following tables are not official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board but
are intended to show trends in soybean production practices.

Average row space measurements in 1984, in the 10 States for which data
were available, decreased in all but 3 States. The Ohio average row spacing
continued narrower than other North Central States because of the higher
percentage of acreage which is drill planted.

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGES DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1982-84 1/

STATE NUMBER : AVERAGE
AND OF : WIDTH 2/
YEAR SAMPLES (INCHES)
33.8
3314
3219
TLL 1982: 165 27.9
1983: 167 26.8
1984: 167 27.0
IND 1982 104 29.3
1983: 112 28.0
1984; 112 28.5
IOWA 1982: 140 32.5
1983: 151 31.6
1984: 139 3122
KY 1982: NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
1983: NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
1984: NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA = NOT AVAILABLE. 1/ BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR
OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES. 2/ BROADCAST SOYBEANS INCLUDED AS 10.0 INCHES AND
LESS BUT EXCLUDED IN COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE WIOTH.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1974-84 (19777100)

PRODUCTION

HAY
tALL 1/: FEED AND :
GRAINS FORAGE 2 GRAINS

WU INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN,

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters,

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

R. R. Hancock, Chairperson,
L. D. Jewell, Secretary,
APPROVED: R. D. Allen, J. D. Witzig,
J. L. Olson, B. L. Bloyd,
W. T. Brannen, J. £. Brewster,
. T. J. Byram, J. R. Davies,
: W. N. Dowdy, R. H. Hettinger,
a Cc. 0. James, D. C. Johnson,
S. A. Kellogg, J. P. Nealon,
6. A. Nelson, Oo. E. Ransom,

L. S. Williams.

L ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA




Production of tobacco in Kentucky is expected to total 527 million pounds,
unchanged from October 1 but 62 percent above 1983. Stripping of burley is
active but is running behind average. The burley market is scheduled to open
November 19,

North Carolina production is estimated at 585 million pounds, 7 percent
above 1983 and unchanged from October 1. Yield per acre at 2150 pounds, also
unchanged from October 1, compares with 1969 pounds produced in 1983. Flue-
cured Border and Eastern Belt markets are closed; Old and Middle Belt markets
closing scheduled for November 8. Quality of the crop improved over last year.

Growers in Tennessee expect to harvest 165 million pounds of tobacco; last
year production totaled 118 million pounds. Yield expectation at 2180 pounds
is unchanged from a month ago but 559 pounds above last year's yield of 1621
pounds. Excess moisture conditions have caused some sweating of unstripped
burley and dark air-cured tobacco,

SUGARBEETS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 22.2 million tons (20.1 mil-
lion metric tons), virtually the same as the October 1 forecast
but 6 percent above last year's production. The increase from a year ago is
the combined result of increased acreage and higher yields. Average yield is
forecast at 20.3 tons per acre, the same as October 1 but up 0.4 ton from 1983.

Harvest conditions have been poor in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and
North Dakota. Warm temperatures delayed lifting the first 2 weeks of
October. Rain and slick fields made harvest difficult the following week.
Harvest is expected to be complete early this month.

With favorable weather, fall harvest in California continued through
October and is expected to continue as long as the weather permits.

In Michigan, wet weather hampered completion of harvest. Yield prospects
remain favorable and sugar content is expected to be above average.

The Nebraska harvest was nearing completion as of November 1. Quality of
the crop remains high, despite cold freezing temperature during harvest.

In Montana, harvest is complete. Early frost reduced yields.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed js forecast at 27.7

million tons (25.2 million metric tons), up 3 percent from the
October 1 forecast but down | percent from a year ago. The increase from last
month reflects the outlook for a larger crop in Florida. Nationally, a 0.6
ton per acre increase in the forecast average yield from last year is more
than offset by a 3 percent reduction in acreage.

In Florida, the growing season has been favorable with sufficient rainfall
and adequate amounts of sunshine. Cutting for sugar began in mid-October and
all mills are in full operation, Harvest is expected to increase through the
fall.

The forecast for Hawaii fs unchanged from October 1. Oahu and Kauai
benefited from heavy shower activity late in October. Mavi and Hawaii
remained dry. Most plantations are ahead of planned harvest schedules. Ory
weather this year has aided harvest and improved sugar yield but has forced
reduction in plantings and may impact the 1986 crop, if drought persists.

In Louisiana, planting was nearly complete by the end of October. Harvest
operations, scheduled to start slightly later than usual, were further delayed
by rain. As of October 28, only 3 percent was cut compared with 23 percent
last year and a 19 percent average.

Texas harvest began on schedule in mid-October, but showers in late October
stopped field operations. Sucrose content is below normal. Orier weather is
needed to insure good sugar yields.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production in November is forecast at 5.80

“million pounds (2630 metric tons), a 4 percent increase from the
previous month, but 5 percent below the ouput of last November. Fresh
production during December is expected to decrease to 5.00 million pounds
(2270 metric tons). Production should again total 5.00 million pounds (2270
metric tons) during January, then decline to 4.80 million pounds (2180 metric
tons) during February.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



CORN FOR GRAIN

+ AREA HARVESTED

ALA : 305
ARIZ 1/ 17
ARK 1/3 33
CALIF 1/ 260
coLo : 610
CONN 2/) :
CEL 3 145
FLA t/ 122
GA : 735
IDAHO 1/- = 65
tLe : 7,900
IND : 4,670
1OWA t 8,550
KANS : 880
ky : 960
LA yoo 56
MAINE 2/
MD : 545
MASS 2/° :
MICH 2 1,800
MINN : 4,370
Miss 1/ 55
MO : 1,430
MONT 1/0 13
NEBR : 4,850
NH 2/
Ns W/o: 90
NMEX 1/ 50
NY : 600
nc : 1,280
NDAK 1/ 435
OHIO : 2,800
OKLA t/t 37
33
1,050
275
1,970
480
1,080
14
340
110
60
2,300
68
51,443

FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
1S FOR SILAGE.

1/ ESTIMATES
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED

vROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1984

540
130

76
3,400
68
71,064

BUSHELS
59.0 65.0
136.0 140.0
80.0 90.0
128.0 140.0
122.0 130.0
75.0 110.0
67.0 62.0
75.0 85.0
119.0 122.0
79.0 113.0
73.0 115.0
87.0 113.0
93.0 110.0
48.0 97.0
90.0 105.0
68.0 114.0
92.0 85.0
64.0 107.0
64.0 60.0
51.0 78.0
105.0 100.0
96.0 112.0
68.0 105.0
140.0 145.0
90.0 95.0
60.0 90.0
67.0 73.0
60.0 115.0
112.0 105.0
162.0 164.0
69.0 106.0
62.0 74.0
53.0 72.0
48.0 90.0
97.0 100.0
110.0 120.0
48.0 102.0
160.0 160.0
78.0 98.0
97.0 104.0
104.0 110.0
81.0 105.9

25,080
2,376
2,700

42,900

101,910

18,054
13,860
69,275
1520
1,498,640
790,020
1,578,000
139,080
153,470
3,200

65,920

293,180
734,500
5,580
198,970
1,400
748,000

14,400
8,125
70,380
155,430
35,360

126,100
33,440

1,000 BUSHELS

17,995
2,312
2,640

33,280

74,420

10,875
8,174
55,125
7,735
624,100
340,910
743,850
81,840
46,080
5,040

37,060

165,600

465,600

6,120
7,000
54,000
76,800
29,145
224,000
A,1da
5,346
72,450

17,050
104,410
23,040
104,760
1,540

16,320
17,600
4,680
223,100
7,072
4,166,108

PRODUCTION

10,370
1,235,090
690,000
1,435,100
101,750
141,620
8,190

67,260

221,000

761,600

11,025
8,700
70,300
148,500
45,990
431,250
5,775
6,068
137,800

32,190
194,400
61,200
145,000
1,800

55,080
20,800
7,448
353,600
7,480
7,527,206

CROP REPORTING BOARD.

"RS,

USDA