Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class. Type.
State and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Production
Class and Type Docs errr cst t ttt r etter reer cect rte

1992 1993 1992 1993
roc--- Acres ----- -- Pounds --- - 1,000 Pounds -

Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and

Middle Belts

NC : 98,000 98,000 2,195 2,150 215,110 210.700

VA : 37,000 37,000 2,205 2,000 81,585 74,000

US : 135,000 135,000 2,198 2,109 296,695 284,700
Type 12. Eastern NC :

Belt :

NC : 129.000 129,000 2,345 2,250 302,505 290,250
Type 13, NC Border & :

SC Belt :

NC : 34,000 34,000 2,175 2,150 73,950 73,100

sc : 52,000 52,000 2,160 2,130 112,320 110,760

US > 86,000 86,000 2,166 2,138 186.270 183.860
Type 14, GA-FL Belt : .

FL : 7,500 7,500 2,610 2.500 19,575 18,750

GA : 44,000 42,000 2,295 2.250 100,980 94,500

US : 51,500 49.500 2,341 2,288 120.555 113,250
Total 11-14 : 401,500 399,500 2,257 2,183 906.025 872,060

Class 2, Fire-cured
Type 21, VA Belt

VA 1,700 1,300 1,510 1,450 2,567 1,885
Type 22, Eastern

District :
KY : 3,200 3,600 2,430 2,500 7,776 9,000
TN >: 7,000 7,600 2,280 2,350 15,960 17,860
US : 10.200 11,200 2,327 2.398 23,736 26.860
Type 23, Western
District :
KY : 3.500 3.600 2,620 2,600 9.170 9,360
TN : 560 600 2,350 2,400 1,316 1,440
US : 4,060 4,200 2,583 2,571 10,486 10,800
Total 21-23 : 15,960 16,700 2,305 2,368 36,789 39,545

Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3A, Light
Air-Cured
Type 31, Burley :

IN : 9,000 8,100 2,100 2,100 18,900 17,010
ky : 224,000 200,000 2,225 2,225 498,400 445,000

MO iV : 1.700 3,200 1,940 1,900 3,298 6,080
NC : 9,200 8,500 1,990 2,000 18,308 17,000
OH : 10,400 10.000 2,100 2,050 21,840 20.500
TN : 64.000 54,000 2.000 1,950 128,000 105,300
VA : 12,300 11,800 2,210 2,100 27,183 24,780
WV L/ : 2,100 2,000 1,725 1,750 3,623 3,500
us : $32,700 297,600 2,163 2,148 719,552 639,170
Type 32, Southern MD :
Belt :
MD : 9.700 9,500 1,230 1,350 11,931 12,825

PA : 3,800 3,500 1,850 1.900 7,030 6.650
US : 13,500 13,000 1,405 1,498 18,961 19,475
Total 31-32 : 346.200 310,600 2,133 2,121 738,513 658,645

l/s Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
--continued

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-20 NASS, USDA


Area devoted to papaya production is estimated at 3,435 acres in October, 1
percent lower than September and 4 percent lower than a October 1992.
Harvested area, totaling 2.520 acres. was 11 percent higher than September but
5 percent lower than last October.

California Fruit and Nuts: October weather conditions included many instances

of scattered rain across the State. Table grape
harvest was active along with rolling and binning of raisins. Both harvests
decreased as the month drew to a close. Harvest of walnuts. almonds, and
pistachios continued. By month's end, almond harvest was virtually complete.
Fuji and Granny Smith apples and Asian pears were picked and packed. Date,
pomegranate, persimmon, and olive harvest continued. Kiwifruit harvest began
in mid-October. Valencia orange harvest was virtually complete by month's end,
while harvest of Navel oranges, tangerines, and grapefruit began to gather
momentum. Fall pruning and orchard floor work was active.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-10 NASS, USDA


Soybeans: Growers plan to harvest 56.0 million acres, down 10,000 acres from
the October estimate. Georgia reduced their harvested acres due to
the drought conditions that have existed for most of the growing season.

For the November forecast period. Illinois. Indiana, and Missouri had the
largest number of pods per 18 square feet counted in the last five years. Pods
per 18 square feet in Iowa were the second lowest and in Minnesota the lowest
in the last five years. Overall. the pod count is the second highest.
However, pod weight is the lowest. Pod weight in Illinois and Nebraska is the
second lowest of the last five years. Indiana, lowa, Minnesota, Missouri, and
Ohio have the lowest pod weights recorded in the same period.

Harvest, at 80 percent complete, is behind last year and the average by

3 points. Ohio is ahead of their average and Indiana is equal to their average.
Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, and Nebraska al] are behind their average
harvest pace.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.25 billion pounds, down fractionally from
the October 1 forecast and 24 percent below the 1992 crop. Late

maturity in the Southwest and disappointing yields in the Virginia-Carolina

area reduced prospects. Harvested area, at 1.65 million acres, dropped

1,000 acres from October 1 and is 1 percent below the 1992 level. Yields are

expected to average 1.973 pounds per acre, 2 pounds below last month and

589 pounds below last year.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida. Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 1.92 billion pounds. up 1 percent from October 1
but 27 percent below the 1992 crop. Yields for the 4-State area averaged

1,944 pounds per acre, 697 pounds below last year’s level. Slightly better
yields were realized in Alabama as harvest progressed. In Georgia, mid-October
rains slowed harvest but allowed harvest to remain ahead of normal through much
of the month, Harvest was over 90 percent complete by the end of October in
Alabama, Florida, and Georgia. The South Carolina harvest reached 74 percent
completed by November 1.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 410 million pounds, down

5 percent from last month and 38 percent below last year. Yields of

1,688 pounds are 1,008 pounds below last year’s average. Yields have been
lower than anticipated in some cases. Harvest in Virginia was 80 percent
complete by the end of October. 11 points behind normal. The North Carolina
harvest, at 68 percent complete, was about 1 week behind normal for the date.

The Southwest peanut crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma. and Texas) is forecast at

919 million pounds, down 1 percent from last month and 6 percent below last
year. Yields are expected to average 2,209 pounds per acre, down from last
year’s average of 2,298. October weather did not favor late-season development
or a timely harvest. The New Mexico harvest was near normal at 75 percent
complete. Harvest in Oklahoma was only 40 percent complete, about 10 days
behind normal by the end of October. Rainfall during the latter half of
October slowed harvesting in Texas.

Cotton: Harvested Upland acreage in Texas was reduced 150.000 acres to
5.35 million acres as a result of drought earlier in the season.

Upland acreage now totals 13.0 million acres, up 19 percent from last year.

American-Pima harvested acreage, at 192,000 acres, is 26 percent below 1992.

In Texas, mid-October rains delayed harvest and freezing temperatures late in
the month stopped crop development. Fifty-seven percent of the acreage was in
good to excellent condition, and 32 percent was in fair condition at that time.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-6 NASS, USDA


WY Want to subscribe? vf Time to renew? _

Subscribe to Crop Production today! {f you already subscribe to this timely periodical, note that expiration
information about your subscription appears on the top line of your mailing label. Expiration information will
appear in one of two formats: 1-PCP-2 (this means you have TWO issues remaining in your subscription) or
APR94 (expiration date is April 1994). Disregard this notice if no renewal information appears.

Need it fast? Subscribe to Crop Production via CALL-ERS/NASS, an electronic Bulletin Board Service
that supports 1200/2400/9600 baud communications. Reports may be accessed by 9 a.m. ET the day
following release. An electronic subscription costs the same as paper!

Call toll free, 1-800-999-6779, and tell us whether you want to subscribe or renew, or return this form to:
ERS-NASS, 341 Victory Drive, Herndon, VA 22070.

Crop Production 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years
Q Yes! | want to start my subscription. Domestic Q $45.00 $88.00 Q $131.00
Q Yes! | want to renew my subscription. Foreign 0 $56.25 © $110.00 Q $163.75

Check one: 0 Paper
Q Electronic (1-year subscriptions only)
Q Both (rate is double the listed price)

New subscribers: Renewals:
Name:
Address:
. . ATTACH MAILING LABEL HERE
City, State, Zip:
Daytime phone: (. )
Payment method: Use purchase orders, checks drawn on U.S. banks, cashier's checks, or

international money orders. Make able to ERS-NASS.
Q Billme. O Enclosed is $, ¥ pay

croc carsoumoor: [TTT TT TT TT TT TT TT) emeeeeationaates (TT

Month/Year

For fastest service, call our toll-free order desk 1-800-999-6779,
in the U.S. and Canada; other areas please call 703-834-0125,
or FAX this page to 703-834-0110.



Soybeans for Beans:
and United States.

Area Harvested

Yield

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
1992 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Production

: - 1,000 Acres -
AL : 270 295
AR > 3,160 3.450
DE : 215 215
FLI/ ss: 50 50
GA : 640 500
IL : 9,430 8,700
IN : 4,520 4,880
IA : 8,120 8.000
KS > 1,850 1,800
KY : 1,160 1,150
LA : 1,170 1,200
MO : 545 570
MI : 1,440 1,430
MN : 5,400 5,000
MS : 1,750 1.900
MO : 4,250 3,500
NE > 2,460 2.450
NJ 1/ : 128 138
NC > 1,350 1,200
ND : 690 500
OH : 3,630 4,170
OKs: 220 280
PA U/ : 285 295
Sc : 670 520
sb > 2,250 1,600
TM : 950 1,000
TX : 390 190
VA : 500 460
wi : 690 580
US : 58,183 56.023

Crop Production
November 1993

------- Bushels --

29.
33.
32.
27.
29.
43,
43.
44,
37.
38.
30.
33.
33.
32.
34.
38.
42.
33.
27.
25.
40.
27.
39.
22.
28.
35.
33.
31.
32.

SSSCTSCTGDSDSCCOSCOCDOCOOCO OOOO OBCOoOoo

24,
26.
29.
31.
17.
44.
47.
34,
29.
33.
23.
30.
36.
25.
24.
35.
36.
31.
24.
19.
39.
23.
37.
16.
21.
28.
20.
20.
35.

SCOOTDSCTDDD®CDTODOCOCOOCO OOO ODOC OO OOOO

24.0 7,830
26.0 104, 280
27.0 6,880
31.0 1,350
15.0 18,560
44.0 405,490
45.0 194,360
31.0 357,280
29.0 68,450
33.0 44,080
22.0 35,100
30.0 17,985
36.0 47,520
23.0 172,800
24.0 59,500
35.0 161,500
36.0 103,320
31.0 4,224
24.0 36.450
17.0 17,250
37.0 145.200
23.0 5,940
37.0 11,115
15.0 14,740
20.0 63,000
29.0 33,250
20.0 12,870
20.0 15,500
35.0 22,080

-- 1,000 Bushets ---

7,080
89,700
5,805
1,550
7,500
382,800
219,600
248,000
52,200
37,950
26,400
17,100
51,480
115,000
45,600
122,500
88,200
4,278
28,800
8,500
154,290
6.440
10.915
7,800
32,000
29,000
3,800
9,200
20,300

32.7 2.187.904 1.833.788

L/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit:

1992-93 and Forecasted 1994 on November 1

Utilized Production
Boxes

Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/ 4/

Temples 4/
FL

Grapefruit
White Seedless
FL 4/
Colored Seedless

Other Areas
Total
FL 4/
TX
US
Tangerines 4/

CA
FL

US
Lemons 4/

Tangelos 4/
FL

K-Early Citrus 4/
FL

209,610
2,350

19,100
22.100
1,200
2,800

3,500
6,500
10,000
42,400
65
55,265

1,200
2,440
2,600
6,240

5,100
15,100
20,200

2,600

700
43,800
114,300
450
159,250

1,150
25,000
72,200

60
98,410

1,850
68,800
186,500
510
257,660

2,500

26,700
27,700
1,750
2,150

3,500
6,000
9.500
55,150
1,875
68,675

950
2,200
2,800
5,950

4,400
20,100
24,500

3,050

800 29
38,000 1,317
108,000 3,753
370 1
147,170 5,100
1,200 60
27,000 1,211
64,000 2,538
120
92,320 3,809
2,000 89
65,000 2,528
172,000 6,291
490 1
239,490 8,909
2,300 106
23,000 812
25,000 940
1,000 51
2,200 89
3,500 112
217
329
49,000 1,803
2,700 3
2,224
1,100 45
2,500 92
3,800 123
7,400 260
4,300 193
20.000 573
24,300 766
3,100 117
200 7

26
1,642
5.143

6,831

1,093
1,177
74

69
112
201
313
2,344

2,801

978
1,063
43

70
112

2,084
108

Crop Production
November 1993

A-24

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted

between October 22 and November 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn,
soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually
account for at least 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected
fields and plots within fields are surveyed each month. The items counted
within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In
a1] cases. number of plants are recorded along with other measure-ments that
provide information to forecast the number of pods, ears, or bolls and their
weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a
projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is
subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until
crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator
has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year
harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 20,000 producers were inter-
viewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower
reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data
were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to
previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits
their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics
Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analysis to prepare
the published November 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised;

instead it will be followed by an end-of-season estimate. At
the end of the marketing year, administrative records and a balance sheet are
utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and
ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships warrant Changes.
Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there
is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last
estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1
production forecasts. the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the
November 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a
percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations
for the 1973-1992 20-year period is computed: then the square root of the
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year’s forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

For example. the “Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 2.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of

3 that the current production forecast of 6.50 billion bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 2.4 percent or approximately

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-11 NASS. USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested.
United States, 1992-93
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/

10)» ee
1992 1993 2/ 1992 1993 2/
1,000 Acres
Oats : 7,961 7,944 4,492 3,813
Barley : 7,809 7,936 7,325 7.062
All Wheat : 72,264 72,098 62,411 62,982

Winter : 51,057 51,727 41,893 43,851

Ourum : 2,507 2,181 2,449 2,080

Other Spring : 18.700 18,190 18,069 17,051
Rye : 1,582 1,493 A406 381
Sunflower : 2,217 2,821 2,072 2,740
Flaxseed : 171 202 165 194
All Hay : 59,597 60,995

Alfalfa : 24,159 24,291

All Other : 35.438 36,704
Dry Edible Peas : 169.0 145.0 155.0 142.0
Austrian Winter :

Peas : 11.2 13.0 8.7 10.5
Lentils : 128.0 143.0 126.0 140.0
Potatoes :

Winter : 13.4 14.3 13.4 13.6

Spring : 85.3 86.9 83.0 83.8

Summer : 88.9 92.3 86.0 87.6
Sweetpotatoes : 85.9 84.3 82.4 81.0
Hops : 42.3 43.1

(Hectares)
Oats 3,221,740 3,214,860 1,817.870 1,543,080
Barley : 3,160.220 3,211,620 2,964,350 2,857,920
All Wheat : 29,244,520 29,177,340 25,257,110 25,488,190

Winter : 20,662,260 20,933,400 16,953,680 17.746.060

Durum 1,014,560 882,630 991.090 841,760

Other Spring : 7,567,700 7,361,310 7,312,340 6,900,370
Rye : 640,220 604,200 164,300 154,190
Sunflower : 897,200 1,141,630 838.520 1,108,850
Flaxseed : 69,200 81,750 66,770 78,510
All Hay : 24,118,310 24,684,070

Alfalfa t 9,776,910 9,830,320

All Other : 14,341,400 14,853,740
Ory Edible Peas : 64,350 58.680 62,730 57,470
Austrian Winter :

Peas : 4,530 5,260 3,520 4,250
Lentils : 51,800 57,870 50,990 56.660
Potatoes :

Winter : 5,420 5,790 5,420 5,500

Spring : 34,520 35.170 33,590 33,910

Summer : 35,980 37,350 34,800 35,450
Sweetpotatoes : 34,760 34,120 33,350

Hops

p ip. ie., grain, , nuts, etc.
2/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1993 A-5 NASS, USDA


harvest in early October was ahead of normal due to a fast maturing crop. By
mid-month, the harvests in Arizona and Texas experienced some rain delays, but
conditions in other areas allowed the harvest to advance. Harvest progress at
the end of October remained ahead of last year and average. Cold temperatures
and rain slowed progress in Texas and the harvest in the Mississippi Delta was
behind average.

In earty October, progress of the sorghum harvest was near last year’s pace but
behind average. Wet conditions and a slow maturing crop caused progress to
fall even further behind normal by the end of October. Progress of the rice
harvest was behind last year and average at the beginning of October. The
harvest was finished by the end of October, with no unusual weather delays
encountered. During the first half of October, harvest of the late planted
and slow maturing spring wheat crop was completed.

Planting of the 1994 winter wheat crop was active and on time at the beginning
of October. Rain delayed some plantings in the northern Great Plains during
the first half of the month. Excessive dryness caused some delays in the
Southeast during the middle of the month. By the end of October, producers had
made up for the delays and planting progress was equal to last year and
average. Winter wheat emergence was slightly ahead of last year and equal to
average. At the end of October, nearly three-quarters of the crop was rated
good to excellent.

Winter Wheat Planting: Seeding of the 1994 crop equaled average progress early
in October; excessive moisture held Idaho and Montana’s
progress several days behind average. At mid-month, seeding progress slipped a
point behind average. Cool, dry weather allowed for rapid planting from
Illinois through Ohio. Extreme dryness delayed seeding in the Southeast. At
month's end, seeding had reached 90 percent in the major States compared to
91 percent average. Emergence equaled average at 77 percent. Seeding trailed
average in the mid and lower Mississippi Valley, Texas, Idaho, and Montana.
Over 70 percent of the emerged wheat was rated in good to excellent condition.

Corn for Grain: Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 63.1 million

acres, virtually the same as last month. Acreage to be
harvested for grain is down 15,000 acres in Virginia, the only State with a
change from October.

Objective yield data continues to indicate an ear count per acre for the

ten objective yield States (I]linois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota,
Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin) second only to last
year’s record high count. Illinois and Indiana harvested ear weights were
slightly below average but in Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska harvested ear
weights were well below normal and at or below the 1983 and 1988 drought years.

The late planted crop was hindered by excessive rains and cool temperatures
during most of the growing season. Poor weather conditions during September
and October as compared with 1992 also reduced prospects. Early frosts in many
areas also reduced actual yields.

Sorghum for Grain: The final 1993 production forecast is 620 million bushels,

down 3 percent from October 1 and 30 percent lower than the
1992 crop. U.S. yields are forecast at 63.6 bushels per acre, 2.0 bushels less
than a month ago. Area for grain is unchanged from last month at 9.75 million
acres.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-4 NASS, USDA



Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by Class, Type, State,

and United States,

1991-92 and Forecasted November 1,

1993 (continued)

Area Harvested

Class and Type

Class 3. Air-Cured
Class 3B. Dark
Air-Cured
Type 35, One Sucker
Belt
ky
TMN
us
Type 36, Green River
Belt
KY

Belt
VA
Total 35-37
Class 4, Cigar Filler
Type 41, PA Seedleaf
PA
Class 5, Cigar Binder
Class 5A, CT Valley
Binder
Type 51. CT Valley
Broadleaf
cT
MA
US
Class 58, WI Binder
Type 54, Southern WI
WI
Type 55. Northern WI
WI
Total 54-55
Total 51-55

Class 6. Cigar Wrapper :

Type 61, CT Valley
Shade-Grown
CT
MA
us
All Cigar Types
Total 41-61

All Tobacco

Crop Production
November 1993

Type 37, VA Sun-cured :

2,650
640
3,290

1,350

100
4,740

7,000

650
170
820

4,100
3,400

7,500
8.320

800
200
1,000

16,320

+ 784,720

2,600
640
3,240

1,300

100
4.640

6,500

650
170
820
2.900
2,400

5,300
6,120

810
270
1,080
13,700

745,140

A-21

2,160
2,000
2,129

2,450

1,240
2,202

2,000

1,790
1,880
1,809

1,970
1,400

1,712
1,721

2,200
2,050
2,170

2,250

1,200
2,172

2,100

1,730
1,830
1,751

1,900
1,300

1,628
1,645

1,200
1,200
1,200

1,826

Production
1992 1993
1,000 Pounds -
5,724 5.720
1,280 1,312
7.004 7,032
3,308 2,925
124 120
10,436 10,077
14,000 13,650
1,164 1,125
320 311
1,484 1,436
8,077 5,510
4,760 3,120
12,837 8,630
14,321 10,066
1,156 972
358 324
1,514 1,296
29,835 25,012

2,154 1,721,598 1,605,339

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Corn: Plant Populations. Ear Counts, and Row Spacing

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted corn objective yield
surveys in 10 States during 1993. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain
fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific
counts and measurements. Data in the following tables were obtained from this
survey and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but
are intended to show trends in corn production practices.

Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre,
Selected States, 1989-93 1/

State 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
Number of Plants

IL : 21,900 22,300 23,700 23,100 23,300
IN : 21,500 21,900 22,400 23.200 23,200
IA : 21,600 22,400 22,800 23,300 23,500
MI : 21,100 20,800 21,800 21.700 22.900
MN : 24,100 23,100 23,900 24,600 25,100
MO : 17,900 18,000 19,900 18,800 19,200
NE : 20,700 21,500 22.200 21.900 22,200
OH : 21,400 22,500 23,200 23,300 23,300
so : 16,400 16,100 17,500 17,800 17,700
WI : 21,000 21,900 23,400 22,600 23,500

1/ Based on stalk counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,
Selected States, 1989-93 1/

Number of Ears

TL : 21,000 21,900 21,800 23,000 22,600

IN : 20,900 21,700 20,300 22,700 22,200
IA : 21,000 22,500 21,600 24,000 22,500
MI > 21,500 21.200 21,800 25,000 22,400
MN : 23,800 24,100 24,000 27,000 25,000
MO : 17,400 18,000 18,800 19,400 18.500
NE : 20,300 21,500 21,900 22,100 21,200
OH : 20,900 22.200 20,800 23,200 21,700
so > 16,900 17,300 18,000 20,600 18,000
WI : 20,800 22,000 22,600 23,300 22,900

1/ Based on ear counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-27 NASS, USDA


Pasture and Range Feed:

State : Average : 1992

Condition by State and United States.
1992-93 and Average 1/

1993

it State :

Average : 1992

1993

: 1982-91

Percent
AL : 65 94
AZ : 80 88
AR : 71 83
CA : 72 58
co : 79 80
CT : 86 87
DE : 73 97
FL : 73 77
GA : 59 83
1D : 74 45
It : 78 85
IN : 78 88
IA : 79 90
KS : 75 86
KY : 79 89
LA : 73 87
ME : 86 83
MD : 76 98
MA : 87 93
MI : 85 80
MN : 74 84
MS : 73 92
MO : 78 85
MT i 72 79
NE : 74 96

: 1982-91

Percent
77 41
86 86
80 90
84 78
79 96
72 87
60 60
77 86
75 96
73 56
72 80
92 86
65 72
71 79
79 91
64 58
80 74
86 87
75 81
77 68
72 81
76 71
80 78
73 78

1/ Good to excellent. 80 and over: poor to fair 65-79: very poor.

severe drought, 35-49; extreme drought, under 35.

Crop Production
November 1993

A-23

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS. USDA


Harvest of the 1993 crop is ahead of last year but still trails the 5-year
average. As of October 31. progress had reached 72 percent in the major
States. 9 points behind average progress. Early freezes on a late crop have
Nebraska and South Dakota growers expecting much lower yields than a month ago.
Test weights have been light in Nebraska.

Rice: U.S. rice production is forecast at 162 million cwt. 2 percent below the
October 1 forecast and 10 percent below the 1992 total. If realized,
this production would still be the third highest on record. National yield is
forecast at 5,511 pounds per acre, down 110 pounds from October and down
211 pounds from last year. California's rice yield increased from last month
with the harvest nearly complete by November 1. Almost ideal harvest condi-
tions existed in California, with only a minor interruption from rain. In
Louisiana and Texas, the first crop rice harvest was complete by the end of
October and the management and harvesting of second crop rice continued.

Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 1993 is forecast at 372 million
cwt, down 2 percent from last year and slightly larger than

1991. This level ranks as the second largest fall crop produced. The

1.13 million acres for harvest is 1 percent below 1992 and 4 percent below

two years ago. Yields averaged 330 cwt per acre, down 5 cwt from a year

earlier but 14 cwt above two years ago. Colorado and Washington recorded new

highs in acreage and production. Yields were also record highs in Washington

and Michigan.

Five Eastern States produced 34.1 million cwt of fall potatoes in 1993, down
11 percent from last year but 16 percent above 1991. Area for harvest rose
1 percent to 132,000 acres. The average yield of 258 cwt per acre is off
33 cwt. The Maine crop fell 13 percent from a year ago, New York dropped

4 percent, and Pennsylvania decreased 7 percent.

Eight Central States produced 72.5 million cwt this year, down 16 percent from
the last two years. Wet weather and flooding dropped harvested acreage by

12 percent from last year. leaving an estimated 297,900 acres for harvest. The
average yield of 243 cwt per acre is down 13 cwt from last year. Summer rains
and flooding were disastrous to potatoes in North Dakota and Minnesota. About
50,000 acres were abandoned and yields dropped sharply from Wisconsin to South
Dakota. Michigan and Indiana were the only States in the region to produce
higher yields than last year. Nebraska's production was up with few problems
encountered at harvest.

Ten Western States produced an estimated 266 million cwt in 1993, up 4 percent
from the last two years. Acreage for harvest. at 697,000 acres, is up

5 percent, but the average yield of 381 cwt per acre is down 3 cwt from a year
ago. Idaho's production of 121 million cwt was down 4 percent from last year
and 1 percent below two years ago. Cool spring and summer weather kept
development behind schedule the entire season. Some areas were hit by an early
fall frost which limited yields significantly. A longer growing season in
Washington allowed farmers to produce their largest crop ever, with record high
acreage and yields. Harvest is about 90 percent complete, a little ahead of
last year. Oregon yields equalled the record high crop of 1987. Malheur
County and North Central areas had good crops but yields in the Klamath Basin
were down slightly. Colorado fall potato production was record high.

13 percent above last year. Montana, Wyoming, and New Mexico had better crops
than last year. by 10, 6, and 7 percent, respectively. Acreage in California
was down leading to a 14 percent smaller potato crop than last year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-5 NASS, USDA


Ory Edible Beans: Area Harvested. Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted November 1, 1993 1/

Area Harvested Yield Produ
State t+ -- +2 ee eee eee nnn rer ere tere
1992 1993 1992 1993 1991 1992 1993
- 1,000 Acres - --- Pounds ---  —------ 1.000 Cwt -----
CA : 110.0 107.0 2,160 2,200 3,235 2,376 2.354
co : 159.0 185.0 1,640 1,530 3.330 2,608 2,831
ID : 88.0 123.0 1,800 1,750 2,932 1,584 2,153
KS 2/ : 19.0 25.0 1,400 1,700 544 266 425
MI : 310.0 380.0 1,250 1,600 6,753 3,875 6,080
MN : 97.0 85.0 1,460 950 1,980 1,416 808
MT 2/ 9.5 12.0 1,900 1,900 158 181 228
NE 153.0 130.0 1.650 1.400 4,009 2,525 1,820
NM 2/ 13.0 14.0 1,950 1,800 240 254 252
NY 29.0 35.0 1.050 1,400 483 305 490
ND 390.0 380.0 1,200 800 7,548 4,680 3,040
OR 2/ 5.9 7.0 2.050 2,100 147 121 147
TK 2/ 32.9 27.0 1,320 1,400 373 422 378
UT 2/ 5.7 5.2 700 400 26 40 21
WA 35.0 42.0 1.840 1,950 1,000 644 819
WI 2/ 8.8 9.7 1,800 1.500 207 158 146
wy 32.0 25.0 1,850 1,570 800 592 393
US 1,496.9 1,591.9 1,473 1,406 33.765 22,047 22,385

1/ = Excludes beans grown for garden seed.
2/ Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-18 NASS. USDA


U.S. Corn Production
1984 - 1993

3WZZZ
qa
Wa
: . WL.
ZYfvv

eee 83.

—
: SWI:
WL
§ULili MMA

as 6 © © ¥ A CO

84 8686 oe 37 88 89 90 91 92 «93

Year


DROUGHT SEVERITY
{LONG TERM, PALMER)

October 30, 1993

LAST CHART FOR THIS SEASON

NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY __ Based on pratiminary reports

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds slowly: changes little from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge. and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies: designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-2 NASS, USDA



IL

IW

IA

MN

MO

NE

Measured Row Spacing of Soybeans:
Average Width for Selected States, 1991-93 1/

State ‘Number :
: 10.0 & :
Year :Samples: Less 2/

and : of
:Number
1991: 114
1992: 134
1993: 125
1991: 196
1992: 176
1993: 179
1991: 142
1992: 151
1993: 149
1991: 210
1992: 208
1993: 208
1991: 109
1992: 103
1993: 103
1991: 133
1992: 140
1993: 114
1991: 81
1992: 81
1993: 71
1991: 125
1992: 123
1993: 127

26.
19.
24,

23.
33.
38.

32.
35.
56.

7
18.
23.

23.
24.
29.

32.
38.
41.

11.
13.
18.

48.
54.
63.

10.1-

18.

12.
15.
14.

12.
4.
7

al.
18.
16.

hwo

4
2
6

5

DARD wow

ont

Percentage Distribution and

18.6-
28.

4
5
8

Pop
cr

PAA aon
CRO WoO

Pon

5

www

DWH

28.
34,

25.
28.
26.

48.
41.
40.

44,
38
23

58.
52.
50.

50.
42
49.

35.
38.
23.

39.
49.
44.

23.
21.
16.

6- : 34.6 & : Row
5 =: Greater :Width 2/
Inches
2 19.5 25.1
0 19.9 27.3
8 13.7 23.8
7 15.2 24.6
1 11.7 22.0
8 10.6 21.2
5 5.7 22.0
7 7.3 20.4
2 3.4 15.6
8 26.4 30.5
7 19.5 28.0
0 15.2 26.3
9 6.9 23.5
4 12.2 22.5
0 4.9 21.3
2 14.2 22.2
6 5.7 19.9
8 21.6 22.1
5 42.0 31.3
6 31.1 29.4
4 30.3 28.5
6 4.8 16.7
3 8 14.6
1 1.6 13.3

Based on row measurements in sample plots selected

Crop
Novel

samples.

for objective yield

Broadcast soybeans included as 10.0 inches and less but excluded in com-

putation of average width.

Production
mber 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Corn for Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Rice
Soybeans for Beans
Peanuts for Nuts
All Cotton

Upland

Amer -Pima
Cottonseed
Ory Edible Beans
Potatoes

Fall

Total
Tobacco
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for

Sugar and Seed
Hazelnuts

Yield per Hectare and Production, United States.
1993

1992 and Forecasted November 1,

1992

.25
57
Al
53
.87
78
78
05

65
56
26
-46
90

.57

(Metric Units)

Production

1993

47
99
18
20
21
67
66
-10

58

Metric Tons

2.

40,775,510
22,454,890
8,123,300
59,544,990
1,943,330
3,531,160
3,420.490
110,670
5,651,850
1,000,040

17,214,970
19,294,330

780,900
26,243,040

27,545,760
25,130

176,

16,
»496,390
51,
.477,670
3,
3.

7

1

6,
1,

25,
27,

840,460
232,720

459.360

704,250
618,030

86,220
001,210
048.890

712,010
193,430

650.080
35,380

165.
15,

7

49,

1

3.
3,

5,
1

16,
18,

24

27.

189,830
758,860
349,290
907,530
475,420
548,150
462.800

85,350
739,940
015,370

891,740
815,510
728,170
199,150

605,630
34,470

Crop Production
November 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production,
United States, 1992-93
(Domestic Units)

Production
Crop and Unit «— warn nee nee ee ee ene nee ee ne ne ee eee een ee eee eee
1992 1993 1/
cetenee 1,000 -------
Oats Bu 65.6 54.6 294,764 208,138
Barley . 62.5 58.9 457,910 415,763
Al) Wheat . 39.4 38.4 2,458,948 2,421,532

Winter " 38.3 40.3 1,606,534 1,769,308

Durum * 39.7 35.2 97,196 73,164

Other Spring . 41.8 34.0 755,218 579,060
Rye . 29.4 27.1 11,952 10,340
Sunflower Lb 1,257 1,218 2,604,505 3,336,440
All Hay Ton 2.50 2.53 149,141 154,026

Alfalfa " 3.30 3.46 79,652 83,990

All Other "oo 1.96 1.91 69,489 70,036
Ory Edible Peas 2/ Cwt : 1,635 2,190 2,535 3,110
Austrian Winter :

Peas 2" t 1,138 1,571 99 165
Lentils 2/"  : 1,243 1,287 1,566 1,802
Potatoes :

Winter Cwt : 224 188 2,998 2,552

Spring “oy 259 234 21,535 19,569

Summer " 248 232 21,309 20,291
Hops Lb: 1.759 1,699 74,336.7 73,172.09
Apples, Comm’ "o: 10,719,500 10,512,500
Peaches "oy 2,658,500 2,769,100
Pears Ton : 926.1 935.3
Grapes " : 6,051.7 5,607.8
Sweet Cherries “ : 208.4 164.9
Tart Cherries lb: 335,100 328,700
Apricots Ton : 108.0 97.0
Nectarines (CA) “ot 236.0 220.0
Olives (CA) “oo: 165.0 115.0
Plums (CA) " 250.0 220.0
Dried Prunes (CA) “oo: 184.0 135.0
Prunes and Plums :

(Excl CA) "o: 38.1 30.0
Almonds (CA) Lb : 548,000 470,000
Pecans "oy 166,000 378,500
Walnuts (CA) Ton : 203.0 250.0
Citrus Fruits 3/ : 1992-93 1993-94

Oranges Ton : 11,062 10,274

Lemons . 930 923

1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ Yield in pounds.

3/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-6 NASS. USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted November 1. 1993

: Area Harvested Yield Production

State :-------------------------- +--+ +--+ eee ee eee ener rere eee eee errr eee

1992 1993 1992 1993 1992 1993

vecee Acres ----- --- Pounds -- ---------- 1,000 Pounds ---------
CT : 1,450 1.460 1.600 1,436 2,831 2.320 2,097
FL : 7,500 7,500 2,610 2,500 15,312 19,575 18,750
GA : 44,000 42,000 2,295 2,250 80,600 100,980 94,500
IN : 9.000 8,100 2,100 2,100 18,920 18,900 17,010
KY : 234,700 211,100 2,234 2,236 479,794 524,378 472,005
MD : 9,700 9,500 1,230 1,350 12,900 11,931 12,825
MA : 370 440 1,831 1,443 830 678 635
MO J/ : 1,700 3,200 1,940 1,900 6,825 3,298 6.080
NC : 270,200 269,500 2,257 2,193 634,655 609,873 591,050
OH : 10,400 10,000 2,100 2,050 22,776 21,840 20,500
PA : 10,800 10,000 1,947 2,030 20,765 21,030 20,300
sc : 52.000 $2,000 2,160 2,130 111,180 112,320 110.760
TN : 72,200 62,840 2,030 2,004 121,524 146,556 125,912
VA : 51,100 50,200 2,181 2,008 116,849 111,459 100,785
WV 2/ 2,100 2,000 1,725 1,750 3.420 3,623 3,500
WI 7,500 5,300 1,712 1.628 15,191 12,837 8,630

784.720 745,140 2.194 2,154 1,664,372 1.721.598 1,605,339

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-19 NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Area Harvested Yield Production
: ee 1993
1992: 1993 : 1992 :------------------- :
: : Oct 1 Nov 1

1992: = 1993

Bushels --- 1,000 Bushels --

0 65.0 30,080 19,825

0 170.0 1,870 1,870

0 125.0 12,350 12,500

0 165.0 23,925 28.900

0 136.0 123,580 101,875

0 80.0 19,159 12,560

0 58.0 8,250 5,800

0 65.0 69,000 35,100

0 120.0 4,290 6.000

0 135.0 1.646.450 1,290,000

0 133.0 877,590 697,600

0 105.0 1,903,650 918,000

0 135.0 259,500 234,000

. . 0 102.0 171,600 128,960

ba u 309 250 120.0 110.0 37,080 27,500

wo 2 : 470 410 124.0 90.0 58, 280 34,850

MI : 2,300 2,200 105.0 110.0 241,500 242,000

MN > 6,500 4,600 114.0 85.0 741,000 368,000

MS 1/ : 300 200 90.0 80.0 27,000 16,000

MO : 2,400 1,750 135.0 100.0 324,000 162,750

MT d/ : 25 21 110.0 115.0 2.750 2.415

NE 2 : 7,900 7,600 135.0 118.0 1,066,500 820,800

NO ]/: 82 82 120.0 90.0 9,840 7,380

NM I/ 71 75 160.0 165.0 11,360 12,375

NY : 670 590 92.0 104.0 61,640 60,180

NC : 1,040 850 95.0 60.0 98,800 $1,000

ND : 580 380 63.0 55.0 36,540 19.000

OH : 3,550 3,100 143.0 113.0 507,650 347,200

OK 1/ : 135 140 130.0 120.0 17,550 16,800

OR l/ : 15 20 150.0 140.0 2,250 2.800

ra 2 : 990 970 120.0 94.0 118,800 91,180

Sc : 350 245 88.0 38.0 30,800 9,310

So : 3.300 2,550 84.0 65.0 277,200 160,650

TN : 640 590 124.0 78.0 79.360 46,020

TX : 1,620 1,900 125.0 115.0 202,500 218,500

UT V : 24 24 135.0 138.0 3,240 3,312
VT 2/ :

VA : 345 260 116.0 60.0 40,020 15,600

WA 1/ : 88 90 180.0 170.0 15.840 15,300

Wiss: 50 45 108.0 100.0 5,400 4,500

WI > 2,950 2,550 104.0 103.0 306,800 247.350

weiss: 40 65 98.0 115.0 3,920 7,475

us : 72,144 = 63,095 131.4 110.3 9,478,914 6,503,237

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ Not estimated.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-9 NASS, USDA



Citrus Fruit Footnotes
The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.
Net lbs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85: grapefruit-CA
Desert & AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early
Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75. FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

Forecast carried forward from previous month.
TX estimated at 425 tons for 1991-92.

The first forecast for CA grapefruit “Other Areas“ will be as of
April 1, 1994.

U.S Grapefruit Production
1985-1993 and forecasted 1994

Million Tons

27
2.6 2.6
2.6 ec eceeteeneesecseey oa a cocsutusiesestitevsesesiesveetess gg}
2.2
241 24
2.0

20+; _ RSS... RX SS9 eo _ SS

1.8 N
1.5

T T r T T T TM r T T
1986 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

Ex. CA "Other Areas”

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-25 NASS, USDA


National

Crop Agricultural

Statistics

Production Service

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released November 9, 1993, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts
refer to November 1, 1993.

Corn Down 7 Percent
Soybeans Down 3 Percent

Corn production is forecast at 6.50 billion bushels, down 7 percent from the
October 1 forecast and 31 percent below the record high production of 1992.
Yields are expected to average 103.1 bushels per acre, down 7.2 bushels from
last month and 28.3 bushels below the record high yield of 131.4 bushels set
last year. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at 63.1 million acres,
down 15.000 acres from last month. Yields are down sharply from last month in
the Western Corn Belt as the late maturing crop was hit hard by an early
October frost. Low grain weights per ear and low test weights resulted in much
lower yields than previously expected.

Soybean production is forecast at 1.83 billion bushels as of November 1, down
3 percent from the October 1 forecast and 16 percent below 1992. If realized,
this would be the lowest production since 1988. Yield is forecast at

32.7 bushels per acre, 1.0 bushel below October 1 and 4.9 bushels below 1992.
Area to be harvested, at 56.0 million acres, is down 10,000 acres from the
October 1 estimate. Harvest, at 80 percent complete. continues to progress but
is behind last year and the average by 3 points.

Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For
information call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (11-93)


Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States. 1992 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Area Harvested Yield Production

State :

1992 : 1993

1,000 Acres
AR : 1,380 1,330 5.500 5,200 5.000 75,914 66.500
CA : 392 437 8,400 8,200 8,300 32,920 36,271
LA : 620 530 4,650 4,700 4,600 28,846 24,380
MS : 275 245 5,700 5.500 5,300 15,675 12,985
MO 1/ : 112 100 4,800 5.200 5,200 5,376 5,200
1X : 351 298 5,800 5,600 5,600 20,357 16, 688
US : 3.130 92.940 5,722 5,621 §.511 179.088 162,024

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Year Long Grain All
1991 : 109,137 157.457
1992 128.079 179.088
1993 1/ 162.024

1/ Indicated November 1, 1993, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year
average of yield differences by class and current acreage estimates.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-12 NASS, USDA


Sorghum for Grain:

and United States,

1993

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
1992 and Forecasted November 1,

19

92

Area Harvested

1993

1,000 Acres
AL 1/ 25 21
AR 410 230
co 190 190
GA l/ 55 45
I 260 210
KS 3,050 2,800
KY 1/ 19 13
LA 224 130
MS 150 60
MO 720 660
NE 1.530 1,250
NM 205 155
NC 1/ 20 15
OK 330 320
sc l/ 12 9
SD 380 300
TN 1/ : 70 40
TX : 4,500 3,300
US 12,150 9.748

L/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Producti
November 1993

on

50.
76.
37.
48.
103.
80.
100.
68.
70.
97.
94.
60.
50.
53.
34.
37.
80.
62.

SeeoCoOBeOC COBO OOD OCCOOD

38.
60.
43.
38.
100.
70.
75.
65.
68.
80.
73.
55.
50.
50.
14.
56.
78.
59.

38.0
59.0 31,
41.0
38.0
90.0 26,
70.0 244
75.0
65.0 15
65.0 10,
77.0 69,
64.0 143,
50.0 12,
50.0
52.0 17,
14.0
48.0 14,
78.0
59.0 279,
63.6 884,

1992

1,

7,
2,

1,

5,

250
160
030
640
780

000
1,
232

900

500
840
820
300
000
490
408
060
600

000 -

010

Production

1993

798
13,570
7,790
1,710
18,900
196.000
975
8,450
3,900
50,820
80,000
7,750
750
16,640
126
14,400
3,120
194,700

620,399

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Index

Page
Table Narrative

Beans, Dry Edible... eee eee A-18 B- 7
Citrus Fruit... cece ee eee nee ees A-24 B- 9
Corn Cropping Practices ........... eee cece e eee eee A-27

Corn for Grain ..... eee ee teen eee neces A- 9 B- 4
Corn for Grain Row Width .......... 0. ccc e cece A-28

COLTON 2. cee eet e eee e nee A-17 B- 6
Cottonseed ..... cece eects A-16 B- 6
Crop Moisture MapS .......... ccc cece ce eet eee eee eee B- 1
Crop Summary 2.0... cette eee ee A- 3

HaZEINUtS 0... cece eee eee eee A-26 B- 9
PapayaS 6... eee eect teen een eee ees A-26 B- 9
Pasture and Range Feed Condition ..................... A-23 B- 8
Peanuts for Nuts 0.00.0... cee cece eee eee eee A-16 B- 6
Potatoes A-13 B- 5
Potatoes, A-31 B- 5
Reliability Statement ........... 2... cece cece eee eee B-11
1 ok <a A-12 B- 5
Sorghum for Grain... 0. eee eee eee A-11 B- 4
Soybeans for Beans ......... 0... ec cece cece eee ees A-14 B- 6
Soybeans, Row Spacing ........... 0. eee eee eee A-29

Sugarbeets 20.0... cece eet eee eee A-22 B- 8
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ..............-.. eee eee A-22 B- 8
Tobacco by Class and Type ............ 0. eee eee eee A-20 B- 8
Tobacco by States ....... eee cee eee A-19 B- 8
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1993 8-13 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

October 30, 1993

LAST CHART FOR THIS SEASON

NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY _ Based on preliminary reports

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture. responds rapidly. can change considerably week to week. and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about
55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term
(months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought
severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-1 NASS. USDA



Fall Potatoes: Major Varieties as Percent of Planted Acres,
Selected States and United States. 1993 Crop 1/

State : Percent State : Percent State Percent
and : Of Plo:: and >: Of Plot: and : of Pl
Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres
co : MN : PA

Centennial R : 38.3 :: R Burbank : 31.0 :: Norwis : 22.3
R Norkotah : 23.5: Norchip : 22.8 Atlantic : 21.5
R Nugget : 13.7: Norland : 12.7 Snowden : 10.7
Sangre : 7.5: Goldrush : 6.0 Katahdin : 10.1
R Burbank : 6.7: Kennebec : 3.7 Superior : 6.9
Century R : 3.2 Pontiac : 3.6 Norchip 6.7
Frontier R 2.3 Frito-Lay : 3.2 Somerset : 6.1
: :: Monona : 2.8 Kanona : 4.4

ID : :: La Soda 2.3 Monona : 3.8
R Burbank : 88.3 :: Kanona 1.4 Kennebec 3.0
Shepody : 7.0 : Nordand 2.0
R Norkotah 1.6 : :

Ranger R 1.0 Norwis : 33.9 :
: tt Monona : 12.1 R Burbank : 69.6

ME : :: Superior : 9.9 R Norkotah : 7.8
Superior : 24.1 :: Atlantic 7.4 Shepody : 7.8
R Burbank : 17.6 Norchip 7.3 Ranger R : 4.8
Shepody : 10.7 Sunrise : 5.8: Norchip 2.2
Atlantic : 9.1: Chieftain: 4.3:

Norwis : 7.7: Allegany : 4.2: :
Ontario 6.7: Snowden 3.1 R Burbank: 32.2
Frito-Lay 6.8 Kanona 2.2 R Norkotah : 24.3
Katahdin : 4.0 Norland 1.7 Snowden : 10.8
Snowden : 3.0 : Norland : 8.5
Allegany 2.4 : : Superior 7.3
Goldrush 1.3 Norchip : 44.4: Atlantic 6.8
Monona 1.2 R Burbank: 15.4 Frito-Lay 1.2
R Norkotah 1.0 Norland : 10.2

: ht Frito-Lay : 5.8: :

MI : :: Kennebec : 3: R Burbank: $1.1
Snowden : 34.7 ::  Shepody : 4.2: Norchip : 7.8
R Burbank : 16.8 Snowden : 3.9 Shepody 5.6
Atlantic : 9.6 La Soda : 3.7 R Norkotah 5.2
Onoway : 7.3 Monona 2.0 Snowden 3.0
R Norkotah 6.6 :: 2 it Superior 2.8
Superior 6.2 :: OR : :: Norland : 2.8
Goldrush : 4.0 ::  R Burbank : 63.7 :: Centennial R: 2.5
Frito-Lay 2.8 Shepody : 18.1 Atlantic 2.0
Yukon Gold 1.7 Frontier R_ : 5.4 Norwis 1.9
Sebago 1.5 R Norkotah : 5.2 Frito-Lay 1.6
Katahdin 1.4 Snowden 8 Kennebec 1.0

1/ NASS conducts potato objective yield surveys in 11 major fall States.
accounting for about 94 percent of U.S. fall production. Producing areas
of each State are represented in the sample in proportion to planted acres.
The table above is derived from reported data intended to provide current
information on varieties but is not designated as an official estimate.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-31 NASS, USDA



Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production,
United States, 1992-93
(Metric Units)

Yield per Hectare Production

Metric Tons

Oats 2.35 1.96 4,278,490 3,021,110
Barley 3.36 3.17 9,969,810 9,052,170
All Wheat 2.65 2.59 66,921,600 65,903,300

Winter 2.58 2.71 43,722,690 48,152,670

Durum 2.67 2.37 2,645,240 1,991,200

Other Spring 2.81 2.28 20,553,670 15,759,430
Rye 1.85 1.70 303,590 262,650
Sunflower 1.41 1.36 1,181,380 1,513,380
Al) Hay 5.61 5.66 135, 298.440 139,730,040

Alfalfa 7.39 7.75 72,259,080 76,194,450

All Other 4.40 4.28 63.039.360 63,535,590
Ory Edible Peas 1.83 2.45 114,990 141,070
Austrian Winter

Peas : 1.28 1.76 4,490 7,480
Lentils : 1.39 1.44 71,030 81,740
Potatoes :

Winter : 25.09 21.05 135.990 115,760

Spring > 29.08 26.18 976,810 887,630

Summer : 27.77 25.96 966.560 920,380
Hops > «1.97 1.90 33,720 33,190
Apples. Comm'] : 4,862,280 4,768,390
Peaches : : 1,205,880 1,256,040
Pears t 840,140 848,490
Grapes : 5,489,960 5,087,310
Sweet Cherries : 189,060 149,590
Tart Cherries : 152,000 149,100
Apricots : 97,980 87,950
Nectarines (CA) : 214,100 199,580
Olives (CA) : 149,690 104,330
Plums (CA) : 226,800 199,580
Dried Prunes (CA) : 166,920 122,470
Prunes and Plums :

(Excl CA) : 34,560 27,220
Almonds (CA) : 248,570 213,190
Pecans : 75,300 171,680
Walnuts (CA) : 184,160 226,800
Citrus Fruits 2/ : 1992-93 1993-94

Oranges : 10,035,280 9,320,420

Lemons : 843, 680 837,330

1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-8 : NASS, USDA


Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted November 1, 1993 1/

Area Harvested Yield Production
State : : : :

1992: «1993 : 1992: 1993 1992: 1993

: -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Tons ---- 1,000 Tons -------

CA : 150.0 137.0 26.6 27.0 4,029 3,990 3,699
co : 39.9 40.0 23.9 23.6 965 954 944
ID : 200.0 204.0 24.5 23.0 6,070 4,900 4,692
MI : 175.0 185.0 17.7 17.5 2,573 3.098 3,238
MN : 370.0 377.0 18.5 14,3 6,171 6,845 §,391
MT : 55.8 54.1 22.8 20.5 1,312 1,272 1,109
NE : 77.5 80.5 17.9 19.9 1,578 1,387 1,602
ND : 194.7 190.0 17.4 16.3 3,568 3,388 3.097
OH : 20.5 18.1 16.0 13.0 296 328 235
OR : 18.6 15.6 22.5 26.0 525 419 406
TX : 39.9 39.4 21.0 23.0 671 838 906
wy : 69.1 65.0 20.8 19.5 1,368 1,437 1,268
Oth :
Sts 2/: 1.8 2.3 40.0 38.3 77 72 88
US : 1,412.8 1,408.0 20.5 18.9 28,203 28,928 26,675

1/ Relates to year of intended harvest. except for overwintered spring planted

beets in CA.
2/ Includes NM and WA. Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested. Yield, and Production
by State and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Production J/

: -- 1,000 Acres -

FL: 443.0 450.

0 33.2 33.0 18.461 14,708 14,850

HI : 67.9 65.0 82.8 85.8 6,061 5,622 5,577

LA : 375.0 375.0 23.2 23.0 7,620 8,706 8,625

TX : 39.3 44.6 33.8 30.9 1,110 1,328 1,378

US 925.2 934.6 32.8 32.6 30,252 30,364 30,430
1/ Net tons.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1993 A-22 NASS, USDA


Harvest is virtually complete in most States, although as much as two weeks
Tate. A hard September freeze hurt Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming. Colorado
growers completed harvest by October 25th as cool weather and hail damage hurt
yields. Nebraska's production dropped 40 percent from the forecast in August.
Harvest is complete in Nebraska but production is down more than a fourth from
last year. In Wyoming, late season hail and an early killing frost transformed
their bean crop into a near disaster. Wet, cool weather also cut production in
Minnesota and North Dakota. North Dakota was wet the entire season resulting
in a small crop and late harvest. New York beans were 90 percent harvested by
October 25 with cutting slowed by rainfall. Michigan's harvest went well with
an excellent quality crop. The Idaho dry bean crop is Targer than last year
with increased acreage but poorer yields. Harvest in California made excellent
Progress during October under ideal weather and is winding down.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1993 is forecast at 1.61 billion

pounds, 2 percent above the October 1 forecast but 7 percent below a
year ago. Area expected to be harvested totals 745,140 acres. 5 percent below
a year ago.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 872 million pounds, 4 percent above
the October 1 forecast but 4 percent below 1992's production. Auctions were
complete by the end of October.

Burley production, at 639 million pounds, is 1 percent above the October 1
forecast but 11 percent below 1992. Leaf stripping has gotten off to a good
start in Kentucky and Tennessee.

Sugarbeets: The November 1 production forecast of 26.7 million tons is

4 percent below the October 1 forecast and 8 below last year's
output. Yields are expected to average 18.9 tons per acre, down 1.6 tons from
last year.

Production in the Red River Valley area of Minnesota and North Dakota is
expected to be 17 percent below a year ago. Minnesota yields averaged
significantly less than what was forecasted for October 1. Excessive moisture
during the summer caused lower yields.

Harvest was nearly complete over most areas.

Sugarcane: The November 1 production forecast, at 30.4 million tons, was

virtually unchanged from both October 1 and a year ago. Area for
harvest, at 934,600 acres, is unchanged from October 1 but 1 percent above a
year ago.

Harvest in all producing areas got off to a good start with some delays
reported. All mills in Florida were reported as open by November 1.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on
November 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
82 percent. up 4 points from November 1, 1992, and 9 points above the 1982-91

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-8 NASS. USDA



average for the date. Conditions were above last year in 21 States. below last
year in 25 States, and unchanged in 2 States.

Rhode Island and Georgia reported conditions in the severe drought range.
Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, and South Carolina reported conditions in
the very poor range. Pasture and range feed conditions were reported good to
excellent in 29 States.

Florida Citrus: Citrus groves. trees, and fruit remained in good condition.

Moisture was adequate in all areas as rainfal) during October
was generally above normal. New growth slowed as the hours of daylight
decreased. Fruit coloring increased for most early types of fruit. Harvest
during October gained momentum on early types of citrus. Movement of early
oranges. primarily Hamlins and Navels, increased during the month as many crops
passed the necessary maturity tests for fresh shipments. Harvest of white and
colored grapefruit from the lower East Coast for both domestic and export use
was active during October. Early tangerine and K-Early Citrus harvest started
the first of October and harvested volumes increased each week. Caretakers
actively cut cover crops, sprayed, and fertilized during October.

Texas Grapefruit: The forecast of the 1993-94 Texas grapefruit crop remains
unchanged at 2.70 million boxes (108.000 tons), up
44 percent from last season. Fruit appearance and sizes are good.

Texas Citrus: Harvest progressed in the Rio Grande Valley during October.

Fruit size and appearance are good. Insect and disease
pressures were light. Cool temperatures near the end of the month caused no
major problems,

Hazelnuts: The 1993 record high hazelnut forecast in Oregon and Washington
has been reduced to 38.000 tons, down 3 percent from last month

but still 37 percent larger than the previous record high set last year. The

crop is expected to total 37.700 tons in Oregon and 300 tons in Washington.

Harvest was 90 percent complete by November 1. Weather during harvest was warm
and dry. The crop was delivered to handlers in clean condition with few leaves
and husks. Nut quality is good.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.98 million pounds

for October, 4 percent lower than September and 9 percent lower than
October 1992. Year-to-date fresh sales were 1 percent more than the same
ten-month period a year ago.

October weather conditions were variable. Light showers and sunshine dominated
the month, while heavy rains were common the last week. Adequate soil moisture
was available in papaya orchards. Papaya ringspot virus concerns farmers in
previously unaffected areas of the Puna district of the island of Hawaii. This
area of the Big Island produces greater than 90 percent of papayas grown. The
virus has appeared sporadically in previously unaffected fields and farmers
were advised to destroy infected plants.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-9 NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain: Percentage Distributions by Row Width and Average
Row Width for Selected States, 1991-93
: Row Width (Inches) 1/
State : Number :-------------------- +--+ +20 +--+ -- 2-2 +--+ ---- 2-2 ---- :Average
and: of : 30.5 : 30. : 34.6-: 36.6-: 38.6- : 40.6 &: Row
Year : Samples:or less: 32 36.5 : 38.5 : 40.5 :Greater: Width

IL 1991: 235 84.

9 15.7 9 11.5 13.2 3.8 0 32.2

1992: 233 57.9 12.0 1.3 14.2 13.7 9 0 32.0
1993: 244 50.8 16.0 1.2 13.1 15.2 3.7 0 32.4

IN 1991: 171 60.3 17.5 6 12.3 6.4 2.9 0 31.6
1992: 163 67.5 14.7 1,2 8.6 4.3 3.1 6 31.2
1993: 166 63.3 19.3 3.0 6.0 8.4 0 0 31.2

IA 1991: 228 35.1 13.6 1.3 8.8 30.3 9.6 1.3 34.0
1992: 242 43.0 16.9 1.7 10.7. 18.2 8.3 1.2 33.1
1993: 259 47.4 14.7 8 6.6 22.0 7.0 1.5 33.1

MI 1991: 69 55.1 33.3 2.9 5.8 2.9 0 0 30.7
1992: 86 52.3 25.6 3.5 3.5 12.8 2.3 0 31.6
1993: 79 59.5 21.5 2.5 2.5 11.4 1.3 1.3 31.5

MN 1991: 187 56.2 11.8 5 12.3 13.9 4.8 5 32.2
1992: 188 59.5 12.8 0 9.0 14.4 3.2 ll 31.9
1993: 158 62.0 12.0 1.9 §.1 12.7 5.7 6 32.0

MO 1991: 109 40.4 22.9 2.8 12.8 16.5 3.7 9 32.7
1992: 123 35.0 28.5 8 13.8 15.4 6.5 0 32.9
1993: 86 36.0 29.1 2.3 9.3 16.3 5.8 1.2 32.8

NE 1991: 213 34.3 16.0 1.4 22.5 19.7 5.6 5 33.7
1992: 216 28.7 16.7 3.2 27.8 17.1 6.0 5 33.7
1993: 206 34.5 17.0 1.9 22.3 18.9 4.4 1.0 33.4

OH 1991: 181 66.2 15.9 7 4.6 8.6 3.3 7 31.2
1992: 142 62.7 13.4 2.1 6.3 8.5 4.2 2.8 31.9
1993: 133 66.1 15.8 3.7 2.3 6.0 3.8 2.3 31.6

SD 1991: 79 20.2 §.1 -0 16.5 44.3 13.9 0 35.7
1992: 100 30.0 5.0 0 12.0 40.0 12.0 1.0 35.1
1993: 98 21.4 12.3 1.0 6.1 42.9 15.3 1.0 35.4

WI 1991: 106 33.0 13.2 1.9 7.6 29.2 13.2 1.9 34.2
1992; 123 26.0 16.3 3.3 10.6 26.8 16.2 8 34.4
1993: 112 25.9 17.9 5.4 16.0 22.3 10.7 1.8 34.0

1/ Spacings based on row measurements in sample plots selected for objective
yield terminations.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-28 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States.
1992 and Forecasted November 1, 1993
(Domestic Units)

Production

Crop and Unit

Corn for Grain Bu : 131.4 103.1 9.478.914 6,961,902 6,503,237
Sorghum for Grain . : 72.8 63.6 884,010 639,054 620.399
Rice 1/ Cwt : §,722 5,511 179,088 165,267 162,024

Soybeans for Beans Bu : 37.6 32.7 2,187,904 1,890,808 1,833,788
Peanuts for Nuts lb : 2,562 1,973 4,284,306 3,257.700 3,252,750

All Cotton V/s Bale: 699 594 16,218.5 17,013.5 16,296.5
Upland ve": 693 588 15,710.2 16,617.5 15,904.5
Amer -Pima le" : 938 980 508.3 396.0 392.0

Cottonseed Ton : 6,230.1 6,615.2 6,327.2

Dry Edible Beans 1/ Cwt : 1,473 1,406 22,047 23,124 22,385

Potatoes :

Fall . : 335 330 379,525 372,399
Total . : 323 316 425,367 414,811

Tobacco Lb : 2,194 2,154 1,721,598 1,569,717 1,605,339

Sugarbeets Ton : 20.5 18.9 28,928 27,771 26.675

Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed "> 32.8 32.6 30,364 30,479 30,430

Pasture and Range :

Feed 2/ Pet : 78 82

Hazelnuts Ton : 27.7 39.0 38.0

1/ Yield in pounds.
2/ Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month. The 1982-91
average is 73 percent.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-4 NASS, USDA




Report Features

The next "Crop Production” report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on
December 9, 1993.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Herb Eldridge - Sugar. Tobacco, Hay (202) 720-7621
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526
David Mueller - Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-2157
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, wheat (202) 720-8068

Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
Jim Brewster - Fruits (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge - Potatoes. Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202) 720-8843
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus. Nuts (202) 720-5412
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944
David Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-6054

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1993 B-14 NASS, USDA



U.S. Soybean Production
1984 - 1993

Billion Busheis
50

2.00;

1.60 |

1,00}

0.60

0.00

2.1

-1.86..

194 1.94

GG
CG...

CO
MW. G

BC6O$§#OBO WV
WG
NK

November 1

84 86 86 87 88 88 90 91 92 8693
Year

Agricultural Statistics Board


Cotton: Area Harvested. Yield, and Production, by Type, State,
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Area Harvested Yield Production 1/

1992 1993

1993: leseeeceeteesecseees > 1992

: - 1,000 Acres - ~~ -------- Pounds ------- -- 1,000 Bales 2/ --
Upland
AL 408.0 430.0 731 530 $25 621.0 470.0
AZ 323.0 318.0 1,077 1,204 1,195 725.0 792.0
AR 980.0 1,000.0 823 739 624 1,681.0 1,300.0
CA 995.0 1,025.0 1,359 - 1,288 1,288 2,817.0 2,750.0
FL 3/ 49.5 52.0 70 740 740 72.3 80.2
GA 456.0 570.0 783 559 564 744.0 670.0
KS 3/ 0.8 1.5 120 256 256 0.2 0.8
LA 870.0 875.0 717 658 603 1,299.0 1,100.0
MS 1,345.0 1,350.0 761 604 569 2,131.0 1,600.0
MO 328.0 338.0 792 710 525 541.0 370.0
NM 37.0 60.0 616 704 704 47.5 88.0
NC 377.0 385.0 596 §24 $36 468.0 430.0
OK 335.0 370.0 301 350 350 210.0 270.0
sc 192.0 195.0 565 431 431 226.0 175.0
TN : 615.0 640.0 651 488 435 834.0 580.0
1X : 3,550.0 5,350.0 441 463 467 3,265.0 5,200.0
VA 3/ : 21.8 22.8 621 600 600 28.2 28.5
Us :10,883.1 12,982.3 693 608 588 15,710.2 15,904.5
Amer -Pima
AZ 102.0 58.0 649 894 869 138.0 105.0
cA 110.0 90.0 1,282 1,200 1,200 293.7 225.0
MS 4/ 0.4 480 0.4
NM 12.8 11.0 739 655 655 19.7 18.0
TTM 35.0 33.0 775 698 684 56.5 47.0
US 260.2 192.0 938 990 980 508.3 392.0
All
AL 408.0 430.0 731 530 525 621.0 470.0
AZ 425.0 376.0 975 1,156 1,145 863.0 897.0
AR 980.0 1,000.0 823 739 624 1,681.0 1,300.0
CA 1,105.0 1,115.0 1,351 1,281 1,281 3,110.7 2,975.0
FL 3/ 49.5 52.0 701 740 740 72.3 80.2
A 456.0 570.0 783 559 564 744.0 670.0
KS 3/ 0.8 1.5 120 256 256 0.2 0.8
LA : 870.0 875.0 717 658 603 1,299.0 1,100.0
MS : 1,345.4 1,350.0 760 604 569 2,132.4 1,600.0
MO : 328.0 338.0 792 710 525 541.0 370.0
NM 49.8 71.0 648 696 696 67.2 103.0
NC 377.0 385.0 596 524 536 468.0 430.0
OK 335.0 370.0 301 350 350 210.0 270.0
sc 192.0 195.0 565 431 431 226.0 175.0
TN 615.0 640.0 651 488 435 834.0 580.0
TX : 3,585.0 5,383.0 445 464 468 3,321.5 5,247.0
VA 3/ : 21.8 22.8 621 600 600 28.2 28.5
US :11,143.3 13,174.3 699 614 594 16.218.5 16,296.5

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-1b. net weight bales.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.
4/ Estimates discontinued in 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1992 and Forecasted November 1, 1993
(Domestic Units)

1,000 Acres

Corn : 79,325 73,659 72,144 63,095
Sorghum L 13,277 10,735 12,150 9,748
Rice : 3,174.0 3,015.0 3,130.0 2,940.0
Soybeans : 59.130 59.455 58,183 56.023
Peanuts : 1,689.6 1,677.0 1,672.1 1,648.5
All Cotton : 13,240.0 13,659.7 11,143.3 13,174.3

Upland : 12,976.6 13,462.7 10, 883.1 12,982.3

Amer-Pima : 263.4 197.0 260.2 192.0
Dry Edible Beans > 1,613.6 1,824.6 1,496.9 1,591.9
Potatoes : '

Fall : 1,161.7 1,186.5 1,132.6 1,126.9

Total : 1,339.3 1,380.0 1,315.0 1,311.9
Tobacco : 784.7 745.1
Sugarbeets : 1,436.1 1,434.7 1,412.8 1,408.0
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed : 925.2 934.6

l/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1992 and Forecasted November 1, 1993
. (Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/

CT oo)»
1992 1993 1992 1993
Hectares

Corn : 32,102,030 29,809,060 29.195.960 25,533,920
Sorghum : §,373,070 4,344,350 4,916,980 3,944,920
Rice : 1,284,490 1,220,140 1,266, 680 1,189,790
Soybeans > 23,929,320 24,060,840 23,546,080 22,671,950
Peanuts : 683.760 678,670 676,680 667.130
All Cotton i 5,358, 100 5,527,940 4,509,580 5,331,510

Upland : 5,251,500 5,448,220 4,404,280 5,253,810

Amer -Pima : 106.600 79,720 105,300 77,700
Dry Edible Beans : 653,010 738,400 605,780 644,230
Potatoes :

Fall : 466.080 480,160 458.350 456.050

Total : 542,000 558,470 532,170 530.910
Tobacco : 317,570 301,550
Sugarbeets : 581,180 580.610 571,750 569,800
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed 374.420 378,220

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans. nuts, etc.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-3 NASS, USDA

ce MSE . =


Harvest progress around November 1, at 54 percent, was 21 percent ahead of the
5-year average pace. Objective yield counts indicate that Texas has the
second highest large boll count, but the lowest boll weight since 1983.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana. Mississippi, Missouri. and Tennessee)
rated their cotton mostly in fair to good condition, but 30 percent of
Mississippi's crop and 35 percent of the Tennessee crop was rated in poor
condition in mid-October. Tennessee producers harvested 80 percent of the
acreage, 8 points ahead of normal, while Arkansas. Louisiana, and Mississippi
were slightly behind the normal harvest pace. MisSsouri’s bolls didn’t open to
the extent expected. Continued adverse weather caused conditions to
deteriorate during the month. Twenty percent of Missouri’s crop was in poor
condition in mid-October. Objective yield surveys show large bolls are third
highest in Arkansas since 1983, but are next to the lowest count in Louisiana
and Mississippi during that same period. Arkansas plant population ranks
third highest since 1983 and boll weights during the past 10 years are the
second lowest.

Eighty-five percent of Arizona's crop was in good to excellent condition in
mid-October and in early November, harvest progress was almost 20 percent ahead
of normal. November 1 cotton objective yield counts show Arizona’s plant
population at its lowest level and the second lowest large boll count since
1983. Boll weights are also second lowest during this same period. All of
California's crop was in good to excellent condition. Harvest was three-
fourths complete, only 2 points behind the average. California recorded the
third highest boll count, but the sixth lowest weight during the previous

10 years.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina), the crop was mostly in fair condition in mid-October. Sixty percent
of South Carolina's acreage was in very poor to poor condition. Although
Alabama's harvest progress was 5 points less than the 5-year average, other
States’ exceeded the average harvest pace.

American-Pima production is forecast at 392,000 bales, down 23 percent from
1992's output and down 4.000 bales from the October 1 forecast. Yield is
indicated at 980 pounds per harvested acre. up 42 pounds from last year.
Arizona is the only State showing a higher yield than last year, which was
adversely affected by weather and whitefly. All States show decreased
production from 1992. Texas’ harvest was complete in the Winter Garden area
and continued in the Trans-Pecos.

All cotton ginnings totaled 8,029,000 running bales prior to November 1,
compared with 7,583,650 running bales ginned to the same date last year and
8,350,850 running bales in 1991.

Dry Edible Beans: The 1993 crop of dry beans is forecast at 22.4 million cwt,
3 percent below the October 1 forecast but 2 percent above

last year. Area for harvest, estimated at 1.59 million acres, continued to

diminish as 30,000 acres were lost during October in Nebraska and Minnesota.

Acreage is now up 6 percent from a year earlier on a crop that saw planted

acres increase 13 percent. Yields fell to 1,406 pounds per acre, down

67 pounds from last year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-7 NASS, USDA


Hazelnuts: Utilized Production by State and United States.
1991-92 and Forecasted November 1, 1993

1991

Tons (In-shell basis)

OR : 25,300 27,500 37.700
WA L/ : 200 200 300
us : 25.500 27.700 38.000

1/ Forecast for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

strc r cece cece ee Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds --
Sep : 3,625 3,475 2.755 2,265 3,835 5.170
Oct : 3.595 3,435 2,640 2,520 5.475 4,975
Nov : 3,685 2,655 5,235
Dec : 3,645 2,745 5,075
Jan : 3,605 2,725 5,130
Feb : 3,675 2,775 4,760
Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Oct 45,490 46,130
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1993 A-26 NASS, USDA


All cotton production, at 16.3 million bales, decreased 4 percent from the
October 1 forecast but was 78.000 bales above the 1992 output. Yield decreased
20 pounds from the previous month. to an average of 594 pounds, the result of
adverse weather during the growing season. Arkansas’ production was off
240,000 bales from October and Texas’ production was 100.000 bales lower than
last month.

This report was approved on November 9, 1993, by the Acting Secretary of
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service’s Agricultural
Statistics Board.

E-Onw~ eh Men

Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Bob J. Nash Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1993 A-2 NASS, USDA


October Crop Progress: The driest weather since October 1992 covered the

upper and middie Mississippi Valley, while the axis
of heaviest rain shifted southeastward across the Gulf Coast States.
Northeastern Texas was inundated with as much as a foot of rain in 4 days
between October 17 and 20, while the Florida Peninsula’s 6- to 12-inch totals
were amassed incrementally.

Amplified, meridional air flow kept the West warm and dry, but left the Plains
and Midwest vulnerable to increasingly strong cold frontal passages.
Temperatures averaged as much as 4 degrees F above normal in the Pacific
Northwest, but ranged up to 6 degrees F below normal in Oklahoma.

The series of fronts systematically closed out the growing season from
northwest to southeast across the primary Corn and Soybean Belt. The first
cold front of the month delivered a killing freeze to eastern North Dakota,
Minnesota, and northern Iowa on October 2, only 2 days after a freeze in
Wisconsin. The remainder of the Corn Belt garnered another week of mild,
generally dry weather before a strong storm brought heavy rain on October 8 and
9. Sub-freezing temperatures overspread all but the southern Corn Belt on the
morning of October 10. Temperatures also dropped below 32 degrees F as far
south as southeastern Colorado, central Kansas, and southern Missouri.

In the central Plains. the progression of successively cooler frontal passages
allowed the newly-planted winter wheat to emerge and adapt under favorable

conditions. However, typical transitional weather abruptly yielded to winter
at month's end, as a record-setting blast dropped temperatures to the freezing
mark as far south as coastal Texas, southern Louisiana, and northern Florida.

In contrast, areas west of the Rockies spent much of the month under a ridge of
high pressure, keeping temperatures above normal and precipitation scarce.
Southern California paid a harsh price for the warm, dry weather which, in
combination with a recent 5-year drought (1986-87 to 1990-91) and last year’s
wet winter, left the area prone to wildfires when gusty, easterly Santa Ana
winds swept out of the mountains on October 27. Within 5 days, more than

250 square miles of land and more than 700 buildings had been consumed by
flames.

General Crop Comments: Cold weather in early October ended the growing season

across the upper Midwest. By mid-month. killing frost
had occurred over the central Plains and the middle Mississippi Valley. An
Arctic air mass at the end of the month brought freezing temperatures as far
south as Southern Texas and the Mississippi Delta. The frost in early October
damaged late-planted corn in the upper Midwest. Harvest across the Corn Belt
advanced slowly the first part of the month as producers waited for the corn to
dry down and field conditions to improve. Cooler and drier conditions by the
end of the month allowed the corn harvest to make good gains across the Corn
Belt. Harvest progress was ahead of last year but behind average. In the
South and Southeast. the summer's hot and dry conditions allowed producers to
harvest the corn crop ahead of last year and average.

The soybean harvest had just started in early October. Producers across the
country took advantage of favorable harvesting conditions whenever possible and
removed almost three-quarters of the Nation's crop. Progress of the cotton

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 B-3 NASS, USDA


156 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 4.1 percent or approximately 267 million
bushels.

Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of
the differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using
corn again as an example. changes between the November 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 88 million bushels, ranging
from 1 million to 258 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply that the
November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops. the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

Reliability of November 1] Crop Production Forecasts
:Root Mean Square Error:: 10-Year Record of
: :: Differences Between Forecast
and Final Estimate

:90% Confidence:
Crop and : Level
Unit :Percent:-------+-----

Quantity No. of Years

:Below: Above
Max.: Final: Final

:Percent: Quant

Feed Grains 1/ Mt:

1.9 3.4 7: 3 0 7 7 3
Corn for Grain Bu: 2.4 4.1 267 :: 88 1 258 6 4
Sorghum for Grain Bu: 3.1 5.3 33: 19 6 53 7 3
Rice Cwt: 2.7 4.7 8: 3 0 11 6 4
Soybeans for : :
Beans Bu: 2.9 5.0 92 3: 13 99 5 5
Cotton Bales 2/: 3.6 6.3 1,027 :: 14 824 6 4
Dry Edible :
Beans Cwt : 3.5 6.0 1 0 1.0 6 4
1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley.
2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1993 B-12 NASS, USDA



Soybeans: Pod Counts and Row Spacing

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted soybean objective yield
surveys in 8 States in 1993. Plots were randomly selected from a
scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields. which were visited monthly from
about August 1 through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements.
Sample data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the
following table are not Agricultural Statistics Board official estimates but
are intended to show trends in soybean production practices.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet
Selected States, 1989-93 1/

State 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
Number of Pods

AR : 1,208 1,588 1,337 1,713 1,399
IL : 1,385 1,460 1,450 1,503 1,712
IN : 1,301 1,396 1,508 1,543 1,703
IA : 1,316 1,330 1,451 1.464 1,340
MN : 1,373 1.454 1,478 1,367 1,106
MO : 1,298 1,318 1,416 1,607 1,727
NE i 1,279 1,320 1,423 1,504 1,414
OH : 1,115 1,298 1,313 1,394 1,361

1/ Based on pod counts in plots selected for objective yield samples.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-29 NASS, USDA



Crop Production
November 1993

State, and United States,

Potatoes:
Seasonal
Group
and
State
- 1,000 Acres
Winter 1/ : 13.4 13.
Spring 1/ : 83.0 83.
Summer 1/ : 86.0 87.
Fall :
CA : 14.0 12.
co : 66.0 72.
ID I
10 SW Co: 22.0 24,
Other ID 356.0 364.
IN : 4.3 4,
ME : 81.0 79.
MA : 3.0 3.
MI : 36.0 38.
MN : 67.0 55.
MT : 8.5 9
NE 8.3 9
NV 7.5 7
NM 2/ 5.1 5
NY :
tong Is: 6.2 6
Upstate: 20.8 22
ND >: 142.0 lll
OH 6.0 5
OR :
Malheur: 7.5 8
Other OR : 37.5 40
PA a 19.0 20
RI 1.3 1
SO 6.0 5
UT 6.0 6
WA 132.0 145
WI 68.0 69
WY 1.6 1
Total 1,132.6 1,126
us : 1,315.0 1,311

NOSCW MWYRODTOCDOUNHGOO

WNATSOHONNOYWN

6 248

400
335

NO

435
330
230
300
275
300
240
290
325
390
450

320
280
195
240

410
480
260
290
250
275

carrted forward from earlier forecast.

232

400
345

435
305
250
265
205
310
220
300
305
380
425

270
265
180
190

430
480
230
200
205
265
560
325
280
330

2,609
20,636
22.647

5,390
23,800

9,020
113,155
902
18,170
585
8.840
17,160
2,790
2,464
2,546

1,650
5,267
30,030
1,425

2,640
19,530
3,500
241
1,775
1,620
75,435
23,275
520
371.730

1992

1,000 Cwt

Area Harvested, Yield. and Production, by Seasonal Group,
1991-93

1993

2,998 2,552
21,535 19,569
21,309 20,291

5,600 4,800
22,110 24.909

9.570 10,440

117,480 111.020
989 1,025
24,300 21,068
825 615
10,800 11,780
16,080 12,100

2,465 2,700

2,698 2,867

2,925 2,926

2,295 2,465

1,984 1,701

5,824 5,830
27,690 19,980

1,440 1,083

3,075 3,741
18.000 19,536

4,940 4,600

377 240

1,500 1,066

1,650 1,643
69,300 81,200
25,160 22,588

448 476
379,525 372,399
414,811

316 417,622 425,367

l/ Estimates for current year
2/ District I (NW Counties) not included in 1991 fall potatoes.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Peanuts for Nuts: Area Harvested. Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted November 1

1992: 1993 : 1992 :--------e2ee ee eee : 1992: «1993

- ---- 1,000 Pounds ---

1,000 Acres

AL 1 236.

0 234.0 2,505 1,800 1,900 591,180 444,600
FL : 80.0 77.0 2,530 2,500 2,500 202,400 192,500
GA : 673.0 665.0 2,705 1,900 1,900 1,820,465 1,263,500
NM : 21.1 23.0 2,760 2,800 2,800 58.236 64,400
NC : 153.0 152.0 2,660 1,800 1,800 406.980 273,600
OK : 98.0 98.0 2.410 2,500 2,400 236,180 235,200
sc : 13.0 13.5 2,500 1,600 1,700 32,500 22,950
1X > 305.0 295.0 2.230 2,100 2,100 680,150 619,500
VA : 93.0 91.0 2,755 1,700 1,500 256,215 136,500
us : 1,672.1 1,648.5 2,562 1,975 1,973 4,284,306 3,252,750

1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Cottonseed: Production, United States. 1991-92
and Forecasted November 1, 1993

Production

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
November 1993 A-16 NASS, USDA