TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

CLASS AND TYPE

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND

MIDDLE BELTS
NC : 98,000 106,000 1,945 2,100 190,610 222,600
VA : 37,000 40,000 1,935 2,100 71,595 84,000
Us : 135,000 146,000 1,942 2,100 -262,205 306,600
TYPEL12, EASTERN NC:

NC : 127,000 135,000 2,090 2,300 265,430 310,500
TYPE 13, NC BORDER & :

SC BELT :

NC : 34,000 36,000 2,120 2,200 72,080 79,200

sc : 48,000 51,000 2,160 2,150 103,680 109,650

US : 82,000 87,000 2,143 2,171 175,760 188,850
Type 14, GA-FL BELT

6,700 7,000 2,650 2,700 17,755 18,900

GA : 40,000 43,000 2,180 2,335 - 87,200 100,405
us : 46,700 50,000 2,247 2,386 104,955 119,305
TOTAL 11-14 : 390,700 418,000 2,069 25214 808,350 925,255

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYRE 2i, VA BELT

TPE 22, EASTERN
DISTRICT
KY 3,100 3,500 1,930 2,200 5,983 7,700

TN : 6,500 6,900 1,920 2,100 12,480 14,490
Us : 9,600 10,400 1,923 2,134 18} 463 22,190
TYPE 23, WESTERN
DISTRICT

2,000 2,200 1,240 1,300 2,480 2,860

3,000 3,200 2,290 2,300 6,870 7,360

1N : 500 $20 2,220 2/300 1,110 1,196
US : 3,500 3,720 2,280 2,300 7,980 8,556
TOTAL 21-23 : 15,100 16,320 1,915 2,059 28,923 33,606

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AIR-CURED

wee 31, BURLEY

: _ 6,100 6,400 2,170 2,100 13,237 13,440
KY : 169,000 185,000 2,060 2,275 348,140 420,875
MO V/ : 2,500 2,500 2,180 2,150 , ,
NC : 7,700 8,500 1,680 2,200 12,936 18,700
OH : _9,100 9,100 1,750 1,950 15,925 17,745
TN : 38,000 39,000 1,720 2,200 65,360 85,800
VA : 10,500 11,000 1,870 2,000 19,635 22,000
WV V/ : 1,450 1,800 1,300 1,600 1,885 2,880

: 244,350 263, 3300 1,975 2,229 482; 568 586,815

MD : 7,300 7,100 8,103 9,017
PA : 4,000 3,700 7,200
US 10,800 15,303

» 497,871

ER FORECAST.-
CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-20 NASS, USDA



SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 25.3
million tons, 2 percent less than the October 1 forecast and 14
percent below last year's output. Nationally, acreage at 717 thousand acres
is down 16 percent from a year ago. The yield forecast, at 35.3 tons per
acre, is 0.8 of a ton higher than last year. Compared with a year ago,
expected production is down 62 percent in Louisiana and 4 percent in Hawaii,
but is up 7 percent in Texas and 8 percent in Florida.

Harvesting and planting are active in Florida with favorable weather.
All mills are open.

In Hawaii, hot sunny days the first half of October promoted growth and
aided harvesting operations. Rainfall increased in the second half and was
heavy in some areas.

In Louisiana, due to the short crop ard resulting abbreviated grinding
season, growers have held off harvest to allow sucrose content to increase.
The planting season was extended longer than usual as a much larger acreage
than normal was planted to offset the acreage lost to last winter's freeze.

Texas harvest began in October. Progress has been good.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of the State's groves and trees remained in good condi-

tion through October. Rainfall continues below the seasonal
average. However, the majority of groves are being irrigated which provides
adequate surface moisture. The current fruit crop is in good condition with
the early fruit well matured. Harvest of Hamlins, Navels, white and colored
grapefruit, early tangerines, K-early citrus fruit and, tangelos was active
through October. Almost half of this State's citrus processing plants were
open by the end of the month.

TEXAS GRAPEFRUIT: Due to the severe freeze in December 1989, the 1990-91

Texas Citrus crops were virtually eliminated and forecasts
will not be issued this season unless sufficient commercial supplies become
available. The freeze reduced acreage by about a third of the pre-1989 level.
Remaining citrus acreage continued to show good progress toward recovery.
Milder temperatures, with some moisture, helped this process. Growers were
staying on top of insect problems by spraying. Dead trees continued to be
pushed out.

HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS): Oregon and Washington hazelnut (filbert) production is

forecast at 21.8 thousand tons (in-shell), 4 percent
above the October 1 forecast and 68 percent greater than last year's short
crop. Harvest is 7 to 10 days ahead of normal and nearly complete. Nut size
is larger than normal but more blanks than usual are being encountered by
handlers.

PRUNES: California's production, on a dried basis, is forecast at 150 thou-

sand tons, unchanged from the September 1 forecast but 34 percent
less than 1989. Harvest is complete. Fruit size was not as large as
expected. Cracking was a problem this year.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii's fresh papaya production is estimated at 5.21 million pounds
for October, 9 percent greater than September but 15 percent below
October a year ago. Cumulative fresh sales for January-October trail the same

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-9 NASS, USDA


Drought in North Dakota and Minnesota cut into production potential for
the third straight year. Maine farmers were hit by heavy October rains
followed by hard freezes late in the month that virtually shut down harvest
operations. Extremely variable temperatures in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington
are blamed for lower yields this year. Cool spring weather, including frost
damage in Idaho slowed early growth. Searing hot periods during the summer
again slowed growth, although irrigation water supplies were generally
adequate. Colorado yields improved a little over last year in spite of some
unusual summer hail in the San Inis Valley and hot weather during sizing just
before harvest.

Most Central and Northeastern States fared better than a year ago.
Wisconsin harvest was virtually finished by November first with average yields
and good size. Timely rains and moderate temperatures throughout the season
in Michigan and New York provided ideal growing conditions.

The five EASTERN STATES produced 34.6 million cwt of potatoes this year,
up 1 percent from last year and 3 percent above two years ago. Harvest
acreage of 131 thousand acres was 2 percent below last year , while the
average yield of 265 cwt per acre was up 3 percent.

Eight CENTRAL STATES produced 71.0 million cwt of potatoes this fall, up
7 percent from last year and 15 percent above 1988. Harvested acreage is
estimated at 341 thousand acres, up 13 percent from last year, and the
average yield of 208 cwt per acre is up 3 percent.

WESTERN STATES potato production is estimated at 237 million cwt, up 6
percent from last year and 8 percent above 1988. Acreage for harvest is
estimated at 679 thousand acres, a gain of 9 percent, while the average yield
of 349 cwt per acre is down 3 percent from a year ago.

ALL POTATO production totaled 393 million cwt, up 6 percent from last
year and 10 percent above 1988. Harvest acreage came to 1.36 million acres,
up 6 percent from 1989 and 8 percent above 1988. The average yield came in at
289 cwt per acre, the same as last year but 2 percent above 1988.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 32.5 million
cewt, up one-third from last year and just short of the
record high production in 1981. The current production estimate is up 1
percent from a month ago as harvest winds down. Area for harvest is estimated
at 2.13 million acres, up 26 percent from last year and 57 percent above two
years ago. The average yield is now forecast at 1,525 pounds per acre, up 19
pounds from last month and 85 pounds above last year. A good finish in
Michigan, Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming boosted the average yield.

California weather was nearly ideal during October and harvest was almost
finished by the end of October. Harvest in Washington fell behind normal late
in the season but was finished by the end of the month. Yields were below
last year in both Washington and Idaho. Drought again hurt dry beans in North
Dakota and parts of Minnesota for the third straight year. Harvest was
finished ahead of time but some early beans had cracked coats because of heat.
Michigan and New York growers produced record high yields although some fields
in Michigan were drowned out by October rains.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-5 NASS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL : AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
GROUP a eae
AND : : : : : : :
STATE : 1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1990: 1988: 1989 : 1990
1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CWT
WINTER 1/ : :
CA : 5.5 5.5 240 230 1,196 1,320 1,265
FL : 7.6 7.7 190 140 1,420 1,444 1,078
TOTAL : 13.1 13.2 211 177 2,616 2,764 2,343
SPRING 1/
AL : 5.4 5.7 240 150 662 1,296 855
AZ : 5.8 6.2 315 290 1,246 1,827 1,798
CA : 21.0 22.5 375 375 7,546 7,875 8,438
FL :
HASTINGS: 28.0 28.7 195 240 6,228 5,460 6,888
OTHER : 7.0 8.3 200 220 525 1,400 1,826
LA : 3 2/ 90 2/ 20 27 2/
NC : 15.6 16.2 140 180 2,736 2,184 2,916
1X : 5.8 6.8 135 165 1,147 783 1,122
TOTAL : 88.9 94.4 235 253 20,110 20,852 23,843
SUMMER 1/
AL 7.5 6.8 170 160 693 1,275 1,088
CA 6.1 5.6 360 330 1,918 2,196 1,848
co 6.7 6.9 320 280 1,861 2,144 1,932
DE : 7.2 8.2 160 245 1,806 1,152 2,009
IL : 3.3 3.2 260 270 736 858 864
IA : 1.5 1.2 175 140 289 263
MD : 1.8 1.8 175 180° 460 315
MI : 10.0 11.5 230 250 1,620 2,300
MN : 6.3 6.1 300 300 1,482 1,890
MO 3/ : 5.8 165
NE : 2.3 2.3 260 280 690 598
NJ : 4.8 4.4 185 230 1,014 888
NM : 11.5 12.5 350 350 3,060 4,025
NC : 1.4 1.4 90 100 168 126
TN : 6 2/ 100 2/ -  §9 -60
TX : 10.5 11.5 250 220 2,250 2,625
VA : 12.0 11.0 120 175 2,048 1,440
TOTAL : 93.5 100.2 237 245 20,154 22,155
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-14 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION 3 PRODUCTION
: BOXES : TON EQUIVALENT
CROP Brrr r rms cr natn n nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nas anna ncnsanennacnn
AND 3 UTILIZED UTILIZED
STATE rorrrrerrcc eran -2 IND t---------------
: 1988-89 : 1989-90 : 1990-91 : 1988-89
1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID .
& NAVEL 3/ 4/:
AZ : 550 380 550 21 14 21
CA : 34,000 44,100 40,000 1,275 1,654 1,500
FL : 855300 68,100 95,000 37839 33064 42275
1X 5/: 12200 1,050 51 44
US : 121,050 113,630 135,550 5,186 4,776 5,796
ORANGES, VALENCIA 4/:
AZ : 1,150 1,190 1,200 43 44 45
cA : 24,900 29,000 24,000 934 1,087 900
FL : 61,300 42,100 += 70,000» 2,758 = 1,895 3,150
1X 5/: 650 155 : 28 7
US : 88,000 72,445 95,200 3,763 3,033 4,095
ALL ORANGES 4/:
AZ : 1,700 1,570 1,750 64 58 66
cA > 58,900 73,100 64,000 2,209 2,741 2,400
FL : 146,600 110,200 165,000 6,597 4,959 7,425
TX 5/: 1,850 1,205 79 51
US : 209,050 186,075 230,750 8,949 7,809 9,891
TEMPLES :
FL 4/: 3,750 1,400 3,100 169 63 140
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE :
SEEDLESS 3
FL 4/: 27,700 18,000 25,000 1,177 765 1,063
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED
SEEDLESS
FL 23,700 16,300 24,000 1,007 693 1,020
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FL 3,350 1,400 1,500 142 60 64
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
AZ 4/: 1,950 2,200 2,200 63 70 70
CA 4/ 6/:
DESERT : 3,500 3,700 3,900 112 118 125
OTHER AREAS : 4,500 5,000 151 167
TOTAL 3 8,000 8,700 263 285
FL 4/: 543750 35,700 50,500 2,326 1,518 2,147
TX S/: 4,800 2,000 192 80
US : 69,500 48,600 2,844 1,953
TANGERINES 4/ 7/:
AZ : 650 600 650 25 22 24
CA : 2,040 1,600 2,000 76 61 75
FL : 2,900 1,700 2,100 138 81 100
US : 5,590 3,900 4,750 239 164 199
LEMONS 4/:
AZ : 3,800 2,900 3,100 144 110 118
CA : 16,200 15,700 17,000 615 596 646

US : 20,000 18,600 20,100 759 706 764

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-24 NASS, USDA


10 month period of 1989 by 7 percent. Major papaya producing areas experi-
enced a mixture of rain and sunshine during October. Mid~month was generally
wet while the beginning and latter parts of October were sunny with scattered
light showers.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,545 acres, 1 percent helow
September and 13 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 2,250
acres, was 5 percent greater than the previous month but 14 percent less than
October 1989.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: ‘The pasture and range feed condition on

November 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
oa percent of normal, up 2 points from November 1, 1989 but 4 points below the
1979-88 average for the date. Conditions were better than last year in 21
States, below last year in 24 States, and unchanged in 3 States.

California pasture condition remained in the extreme drought range and
North Dakota conditions remained in the severe drought range. In the
Southeast, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi were in the
very poor range. In the West, Idaho, Nevada, South Dakota, and Utah were in
the very poor range.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: The harvesting of Granny Smith and Fuji apples

continued. Fall avocado and Deglet Noor dates
were harvested in Riverside County. Picking of figs and stone fruit concluded
in October. Nearly all the raisin crop was picked up and boxed by month's
end. Late season table grapes continued to be packed. Wine grape harvest was
virtually completed in October. Harvesting.of pomegranates, Hachiya and Fuyu
persinmons, kiwifruit, and olives was active. Almond and pistachio harvest
was wrapping up while pecan growers were preparing for harvest. Walnut
harvest was near completion by month's end. Old crop Valencia orange harvest
neared completion. New crop Navel orange harvest started with color and
maturity developing slowly. Grapefruit, lemon, and tangerine harvest contin-
ued in the Desert.

HARKIK IKKE ER EIR EIR IKE KERRIER ERE AKER ERERREEERERERE KERR
* NOTICE

*

* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available
* reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608,

* Rockville, MD. 20849-1608 or call 800-999-6779.

The. next issue of this report will be published December 11,
1990 and will include:

Indicated area harvested, yield, and production of burley
tobacco, cotton, and dry edible beans; also planted acreage
and production by commerical classes for dry edible beans.
Indicated production of cottonseed and pecans and 1990-91
citrus fruits; papaya acreage and production. Monthly market-
ings of corn, sorghum, barley, oats, wheat, cotton, soybeans,
flaxseed, hay, peanuts, and dry. edible beans.

+ OO Oe

* Revised acreage, yield, production, and production by commer-
* cial classes of dry edible beans for 1989.
HRKEREKERERERERAEE EERE EREREREREREREREEERERERE REE ERE REE ERE

ce 2

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-10 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CORN 74,474 64,781 66,691
SORGHUM 10,685 11,153 95260
RICE : 27865 23687 23808
SOYBEANS : 60,820 57,725 59,538 56,493
PEANUTS. 2/ > 1,665.2 1,818.0 1,644.7 1,772.5
ALL COTTON >  10,586.6 123309.2 93537.7 11;494.8

UPLAND :  10;209.7 123072.5 93 166.0 115 266.8

ANER-PIMA : 376.9 236.7 371.7 228.0
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1,857.6 2,219.0 1,689.9 2,127.9
POTATOES :

FALL : 1,102.4 1,171.3 1,086.0 1,150.8

TOTAL : 1,305.0 1384.6 13281.5 133586
TOBACCO : 678.4 727.4
SUGARBEETS : 1,324.2 1,397.1 1,294.7 1,369.2
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED: 851.9 717.2

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
1989 1990 3/ 1989 : IND 1990 3/
1,000 ACRES
OATS : 12,085 10,423 6,882 5,955
BARLEY : 93125 8,246 87313 7,594
ALL WHEAT : 76,615 77,286 62;189 69,353

WINTER : 55,091 56,998 41,509 49,976

DURUM : 33791 33565 33673 35502

OTHER SPRING : 173733 16,723 17}007 15,875
RYE : 23014 1,625 484 373
FLAXSEED : 210 240 177 232
SUNFLOWER : 1,840 1,930 1,786 1,864
ALL HAY : 63,395 61,734

ALFALFA : 257939 245925

ALL OTHER : 37,456 36,809
DRY EDIBLE PEAS =: 175.0 166.0 174.0 159.0
AUSTRIAN WINTER —:

PEAS : 12.2 13.5 10.2 11.5
LENTILS : 94:0 108.0 92.0 104.0
POTATOES :

WINTER : 13.1 13.5 13.1 13.2

SPRING : 92.3 95.5 88.9 94.4

SUMMER : 97.2 104.3 93.5 100.2
SWEETPOTATOES : 89.5 94.5 86.0 91.7
HOPS : 34.5 35.6

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1390 PLANTED ACRES REVISED FOR THE FOLLOWING: AL 253, 600; GA 780, 000; AND

96 ,000
3/ ESTIMATES” CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-5 NASS, USDA


The corn harvest, made good progress during October and was 64 percent
complete by the 28th, only slightly behind normal. Many growers continue to
report yields lower than previously anticipated. Ears in late planted fields
in Indiana and Iowa did not fill out. Corn borers also did considerable
damage in Illinois.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990

BILLION BUSHELS

10.00 8.88

8412 8.24

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00 "
81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90

YEAR

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Grain sorghum production is forecast at 560 million bus-

hels, down slightly fran October 1 and 9 percent less than
1989. U.S. yields are expected to average 60.5 bushels per-acre, off 0.2 of
a bushel fram last month, but 5.1 bushels per acre above last year.

Expected yields declined from last month in Nebraska and Oklahoma but
improved in Illinois and Missouri. The Nebraska harvest had reached 90
percent completion by October 28. Dryness and chinch bugs hurt yields in the
southeast. As of October 28, harvest had progressed to 79 percent complete in
the 11 major producing States. This compares to 70 percent last year and the
average of 67 percent.

RICE: The 1990 U.S. rice production is forecast at 154 million cwt, 2 percent
below last month and down slightly from last year. Yield is expected

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-3 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT
KY
TN
us :
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER :
BELT :
KY :
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED:
BELT :
VA
TOTAL 35-37

CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER :
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF :
PA : :

CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER :
CLASS 5A, CT VALLEY :
BINDER
TYPE 51, CT VALLEY
BROADLEAF
CT
MA
US

CLASS 5B, WI BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WI :
WI :
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WI :
WI :

TOTAL 54-55

TOTAL 51-55

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER:
TYPE 61, CT VALLEY
SHADE-GROWN
CT
MA
US
ALL CIGAR TYPES
TOTAL 41-61

ALL TOBACCO

YIELD PRODUCTION

IND IND

1989 1990 1989 1990

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
1,850 2,100 3,608 4,410
1,740 2,000 870 1,040
1,828 2,080 4,478 5,450
1,950 2,100 1,950 2,100
1,155 1,100 104 88
1,845 2,064 6,532 7,638
1,950 2,000 10,725 12,600
1,700 1,725 1,071 983
1,850 1,930 185 174
1,721 1,753 1,256 1,157
2,155 2,150 7,758 8,815
1,730 1,700 3,633 4,420
1,998 1,975 11,391 13,235
1,967 1,955 12,647 14,392
1,565 1,625 1,722 2,031
1,475 1,500 561 570
1,543 1,596 2,283 2,601
1,913 1,935 25,655 29,593
2,016 2,198 1,367,331 1,598,769

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1990

IND
1989 : 1990
ACRES
1,950 2,100
500 520
2,450 2,620
1,000 ‘1,000
90 80
3,540 3,700
5,500 6,300
630 570
100 90
730 660
3,600 4,100
2,100 2,600
5,700 6,700
6.430 7,360
1,100 1,250
380 380
1,480 1,630
13,410 15,290
: 678,400 727,410
A-21

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE : AVERAGE

PERCENT

: 1979-88
AL : 67
AZ : 81
AR : 70
CA : 81
co : 80
CT : 82
DE : 69
FL : 74
GA : 60
ID : 78
IL : 78
IN : 79
IA : 81
KS : 75
KY : 77
LA : 72
ME : 86
MD : 72
MA 83
MI 85
MN 77
MS 73
MO 76
MT 69

1989

75
55
69
72
71
91
90
81
70
73
78
85
69
78
92
65
91
90
92
83
52
80
80
84

1990

STATE : AVERAGE

1989
: 1979-88
PERCENT
82 ral
87 93
75 96
86 60
82 73
73 85
64 39
77 86
72 85
79 77
74 75
91 99
62 80
70 52
1 97
66 46
84 54
87 87
75 90
78 79
2B 90
79 65
79 63

1990

63
88
94
77
81
74

95
73
69
85
90
72
63
79
69
57
91
87
84
87
83
86

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64;
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1990

A-27

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


SUGARBEETS 1/

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION

IND: : IND: : : IND

1990: 1989 +: 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990

1,000 ACRES "TONS 1,000 TONS

CA: (169.0. 165.0 27.3 27.0 5,300 4,614 4,455
co: 40.0 40.0 22.8 23.0 880 912 920
1D: 177.0 187.0 22.8 25.0 4,084 4,038 4,675
MI: 150.0. 157.0171 20.0 21393 2,565 3,140
MN 6: = «341.0 = 362.0 -—-16.0 14.5 4,743 5,456 5,249
MT oo: 51.9 55.0 19.9 22.0 15032 1,033 —«1,210
NE: 62.4 7.6 18.7 20.5 15319 1,167 «1,468
NM: 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 9 2/ 2/
ND: 180.1 . 190.0 15.7 15.0 2,580 2,828 2,850
oH: od9 19.0 16.7 20.0 234 199 380
OR oo: (15.2 16.0 25.7 27.0 376 391 432
TX  : 35.3 41.0 21.0 23.0 723 743 943
Woo: (59.3 63.4 19.2 19.7 1,137. 1,139 «1,249
OTHER 3/: 1.6 2.2 27.5 25.9 44 57
US : 1,294.7 1,369.2 19.4 19.7 24,810 25,129 27,028

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CA.

2/ INCLUDED IN OTHER TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.

3/ INCLUDES NM AND WA. ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED: YIELD 1/ PRODUCTION 1/
STATE IND: : IND: : : IND
1989 1990. : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
1,000 ACRES “TONS 1,000 TONS
FL: 420.0 «= 433.0. «31.4~=—S«33.0 «13,304 ~=—:13,188 14,289
HI: B14 78.0 89.4 89.7 7'304 = 73277~—«6, 97
LA: 315.0 170.0 «25.7 18.0 7,708 87083 ~=—«3,060
TX. $3555 36.227 26.0 1088 878 941
US : 851.9. 717.2 34.5 35.3 29,904 + -29,426 +25, 287
1/_ NET TONS. ~
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1990 A-23 NASS, USDA


to average 5,499 pounds per acre, down 130 pounds from last month and down 250
pounds from last year. Area for harvest in the U.S. is expected to total 2.81
million acres, up 5 percent from last year.

The Arkansas yield was down 350 pounds per acre from October 1.° The late
crop did not yield as well as earlier expected. Producers found that the wet
weather at pollination time resulted in some blanking. California producers
also experienced a yield drop in their late crop, resulting in a 100 pound
decrease in yield from October 1. The reductions in Arkansas and California
were partially offset by 100 pound yield increases in Louisiana and Texas.
These higher yields were due to increased second cropping. By the end of
October, harvest was over 90 percent complete in the major producing States,
slightly behind average.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 3.45 billion pounds, up 3 percent from

October 1 but down 13 percent from last year. Harvested area,
estimated at 1.77 million acres, is the largest acreage for harvest since 1951
and is up 8 percent from 1989. Yield is expected to average 1,949 pounds per
harvested acre, 32 pounds above last month's expectations but down 477 pounds
from 1989. Prolonged dry weather throughout the season in the Southeastern
States continued to keep yield prospects below the previous year.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina) is expected to total 1.92 billion pounds, up 3 percent from
last month but down 27 percent from last year. Yields for the 4~State area
are expected to average 1,719 pounds per acre, 855 pounds less than last year.
The low rainfall and high temperatures in Georgia, as well as infestations of
spider mites, corn earworms, cornstalk borers, and armyworms, reduced the
State average yield 1,000 pounds from 1989. At-the beginning of November in
Georgia, digging was 99 percent complete and 98 percent was combined. Alabama
had the same weather conditions, and the yields there are expected to average
750 pounds below last year. Digging and threshing activities exceeded the
average pace in this region.

The Virginia-North Carolina peanut production is forecast at 743 million
pounds, up 5 percent from October and up 21 percent from 1989. Yield per
harvested acre, at 2,869 pounds, is 333 pounds above last year. This region's
crop experienced good growing conditions during the year, but harvesting was
slowed the last week of October in Virginia due to heavy rains. Virginia's
harvest was virtually complete as of November 4.

The Southwestern crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to
total 795 million pounds, unchanged from the October forecast but up 8 percent
from 1989's production. Yields are expected to average 1,996 pounds per acre,
42 pounds above last year's yield. Harvest in Texas began in the Cross
Timbers and Hill Country in early October, and continued in the Blacklands.
Fair to good yields were reported. In late October, harvest was underway in
the central area but cool weather slowed maturity in the South.

POTATOES: Fall potato production is forecast at 342 million cwt this season,

up 5 percent from last year and 9 percent above two years ago.
Acreage for harvest is estimated at 1.15 million acres, up 6 percent from last
year and 7 percent above 1988. The average yield is forecast at 298 cwt per
acre, down 1 cwt from last year but 6 cwt above two years ago.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-4 NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND: : IND : IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 1989 1990
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AL : 570 450 21.0 16.0 14,250 11,970 7,200
AR : 3,200 3,050 23.5 26.0 83,200 75,200 79,300
DE : 250 195 29.0 32.0 6,075 7,250 6,240
FL 1/: 120 75 22.0 25.0 3,335 2,640 1,875
GA : 1,100 800 26.0 13.0 22,500 28,600 10,400
IL : 8,850 9,100 40.0 39.0 234,900 354,000 354,900
IN : 4,550 4,250 36.5 41.0 115,500 166,075 174,250
IA : 8,280 7,900 39.0 41.0 251,100 322,920 323,900
KS : 1,850 1,950 27.0 24.0 46,000 49,950 46,800
KY =: 1,170 1,210 31.5 31.0 24,115 36,855 37,510
LA : 1,750 1,700 22.0 24.0 56,550 38,500 40,800
MD : 550 495 30.0 33.0 14,105 16,500 16,335
MI : 1,080 1,140 36.0 37.0 35,090 38,880 42,180
“MN : 5,000 4,500 37.0 39.0 124,800 185,000 175,500
MS : 2,000 2,000 20.0 20.0 49,500 40,000 40,000
MO : 4,350 4,100 28.0 30.0 112,095 121,800 123,000
NE : 2,560 2,350 32.0 34.0 70,800 81,920 79,900
NJ 1/: 113 108 32.0 34.0 2,781 3,616 3,672
NC : 1,550 1,350 27.0 23.0 35,370 41,850 31,050
ND : 630 445 22.0 25.0 12,420 13,860 11,125
OH : 3,980 3,680 31.5 39.0 99,900 125,370 143,520
OK l/s: 285 230 24.0 20.0 4,860 6,840 4,600
PA 1/: 305 275 34.0 35.0 7,840 10,370 9,625
SC : 960 790 21.0 18.0 18,565 20,160 14,220
sD : 1,880 1,920 26.0 28.0 41,520 48,880 53,760
TN : 1,240 1,250 24.0 26.0 31,980 29,760 32,500
TX : 415 230 30.0 28.0 6,300 12,450 6,440
VA : 540 530 32.0 31.0 14,420 17,280 16,430
0 40.0 8,970 15,170 16,800

WI : 410 420 37.
Us: 59,538 56,493 32.3 33.7 1,548,841 1,923,666 1,903,832

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-18 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION
CROP : : INDICATED : : INDICATED
: 1989 : 19901/ : 1989 : 1990 1/
METRIC TONS
OATS 1.95 2.16 5,422,600 5,200,540
BARLEY 2.62 2.97 8,800, 480 9,120,930
ALL WHEAT 2.20 2.66 55,427,660 74,669,220

WINTER 2.36 2.74 39, 588,870 55,412,450

DURUM 1.69 2.34 2,510,060 3,312,160

OTHER SPRING 1.94 2.48 13,328,730 15,944,610
RYE 1.77 1.70 346,650 256,500
SUNFLOWER 1.10 1.27 798,210 957,080
ALL HAY 5.14 5.50 131,945,490 137,399,480

ALFALFA 6.67 7.68 70,041,920 77,420,960

ALL OTHER 4.08 4.03 61,903,570 59,978,520
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 2.50 1.67 176,130 107,590
AUSTRIAN WINTER

PEAS : 1.82 1.22 7,530 5,670
LENTILS > 141 94 52,660 39,690
POTATOES :

WINTER : 23.65 19.90 125,370 106, 280

SPRING | : 26.29 28.31 945, 830 1,081,500

SUMMER : 26.56 27.43 1,004,930 1,112,250
HOPS > 1.92 1.91 26,910 27,470
APPLES, COMM?L : 4,520,320 4,296,430
PEACHES : 1,058,370 962,210
PEARS : 831,890 851,390
GRAPES : 5,380,380 4,953,680
SWEET CHERRIES : 176, 450 110,770
TART CHERRIES : 124,600 101,970
APRICOTS : 106,140 110,860
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 181,440 185,970
PLUMS (CALIF) : 193,230 190,510
OLIVES (CALIF) : 111,580 86,180
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) : 39,920 38,370
PISTACHIO NUTS (CALIF): 17,690 52, 160
PECANS : 113,620 107,550
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 222,260 297,100
WALNUTS (CALIF) : 207,750 204,120
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1989-90 1990-91

ORANGES : 7,084,210 8,972,960

LEMONS : 640,470 693,090

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COM-
PLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-10 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE

(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

October, 27 1990 RE
LAST CHART FOR THIS SEASON Fey

DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)

October, 27 1990

SES, APPLICABLE IN, MEASURING, DISRUPT]
ia oh Me ot peut Peay ie GENERAL OM
‘STATUS OF WATER SUPPLIES IN AQUIFERS, RESERVOIRS AND ST
nate <IS NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORT TERN (FEW WEE
BASUUAT ON GETRESS uttrAO*PAYGUPREEY AEEEETS.CAbbs
RATIONS. (THIS 18° IRDECATED BY THE CROP ADLSTURE® IKDEX)

HED

/
(4 saves,
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DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX. (PALMER): DEPICTS PRO- Lt} { \ bad ys wooenate
Bap ta act Mee VN
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expe,

LAST CHART FOR THIS SEASON

NOMJUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL. MEATHER FACILITY 0... pstainery rape

CROP PRODUCTION

NOVEMBER 1990 B-1

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS: ROW SPACING - 1990

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted soybean objective
yield surveys in 11 States which account for approximately 85 percent of the
1990 U.S. soybean production. Plots were randomly selected from a scientifi-
cally drawn sample of soybean fields, which were visited monthly from about
August 1 through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements. Sample
data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the following
table are not Agricultural Statistics Board official estimates but are intend-
ed to show trends in soybean production practices.

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1988-90 1/

STATE :NUMBER

AND : OF :10.0& : 10.2- : 18.6- : 28.6- :34.6& : ROW
YEAR :SAMPLES: LESS 2/ : 18.5 : 28.5 : 34.5  :GREATER : WIDTH 2/
: NUMBER PERCENT OF PLOTS INCHES
AR 1988: 131 11.1 2.7 18.3 19.8 48.1 31.9
1989: 125 14.1 2.0 22.1 25.7 36.1 30.4
1990: 133 28.1 307 24.7 22.9 20.6 25.8
IL 1988: 185 16.8 4.9 2.7 56.2 19.4 27.2
1989: 178 18.8 5.9 37 48.6 23.0 26.6
1990: 175 25.4 6.0 4.0 46.9 7 25.5
IN 1988: 117 16.3 8.1 4.3 58.4 12.9 26.9
1989: 108 19.5 9.8 2.3 53.5 14.9 26.4
1990: 96 25.3 17 41 54.1 8.8 24.5
IA 1988: 155 4.8 4.2 12.0 52.9 26.1 30.1
1989: 148 4 4.8 6.8 55.4 28.9 30.3
1990: 139 4.3 5.7 3.9 61.6 24.5 30.5
KS 1988: 3/
1989:  3/

1990: 90 14.0 | 12 7.8 67.0 10.1 28.8

LA 1988: 109 21.1 6 .0 6 7 31.1
1989: 85 15.9 8.2 18.8 14.7 42.4 28.4

3 4 8 3 2 28.1

8 5.4 14.3 26.8 34.7 28.7
1989: 91 17.6 12.6 14.3 14.3 41.2 27.9
1990: 100 18.5 11.5 9.5 21.0 39.5 28.6
(CONTINUED)
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1990 A-30 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
CROP peee eee n enna enna nnn nnn nn nnn nnn enna ene
AND : : INDICATED : INDICATED
UNIT : 1989 : 19901/ : 1989 1990 1/

1,000

OATS BU: (54.3 60.2 373,587 358,288

BARLEY "2 48.6 55.2 404,203 418,921

ALL WHEAT "3207 39.6 2,036,618 2,743,624

WINTER “5 35.0 40.7 1,454,642 2,036,059

DURUM "oy 25.1 34.8 92,229 121,701

OTHER SPRING “> 28.8 36.9 489,747 585,864
RYE 28.2 27.1 13,647 10,098
SUNFLOWER iB: 985 1,132 1,759,760 2,110,000
ALL HAY TON :  2.29° 2.45 145,445 151,457

ALFALFA "  : 2,98 3.42 77,208 85,342

ALL OTHER “1.82 1.80 68,237 66,115
DRY EDIBLE PEAS CWT 2/: 2,232 1,492 3,883 2,372
AUSTRIAN WINTER : ;

PEAS " 2/: 1,627 1,087 166 125
LENTILS “27: 1,262 841 1,161 875
POTATOES :

WINTER CWT: 21 178 2,764 2,343

SPRING oy 235 253 20,852 23,843

SUMMER oo 237 245 22,155 24,521
HOPS LB Hy 1,717 1,701 59,326.4 60,560.0
APPLES, COMM’L oy 9,965,600 9,472,000
PEACHES nr 2,333,300 2,121,300
PEARS TON: 917.0 938.5
GRAPES mY 5,930.9 5,460.5
SWEET CHERRIES oo; 194.5 122.1
TART CHERRIES Bo: 274,700 224,800
APRICOTS TON: 117.0 122.2
NECTARINES (CALIF) " — : 200.0 205.0
PLUMS (CALIF) oo: 213.0 210.0
OLIVES (CALIF) mo; ~ 123.0 95.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) moo; 44.0 42.3
PISTACHIO NUTS :

(CALIF) iB: 39,000 115,000
PECANS wy 250,500 237,100
ALMONDS (CALIF) "oo: 490,000 655,000
WALNUTS (CALIF) ° TON : 229.0 225.0
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ : 1989-90 1990-91

ORANGES BOX: 186,075 230,750

LEMONS wy 18,600 20,100

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ YIELD IN POUNDS.
3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CROP
AND
UNIT

CORN FOR GRAIN BU
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN “

RICE CWT 1/:
SOYBEANS FOR :
BEANS BU
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB:
ALL COTTON BALE 1/:
UPLAND "oY:
AMER~PIMA "OU:
COTTONSEED TON:
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/:
POTATOES :
FALL CHT
TOTAL "
TOBACCO LB
SUGARBEETS TON

SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED “
PASTURE AND

RANGE FEED 2/ PCT
ORIED PRUNES

(CALIF) TON
HAZELNUTS(FILBERTS) “

116.2
55.4
5,749

32.3
2,426
614
602
893

1,440
299
289

2,016

19.4
34.5

69

YIELD PER ACRE

7,527,152
617,860
154,487

1,923,666
3,989,995
12,195.6
11, 503.9
691.7
4,676.9
24,333

324,673
370,444
1,367,331
25,129

29,426

PRODUCTION

INDICATED 1990

8,021,697 7,934,892
561,905 559,835
158,074 154,412

1,823,462 1,903,832

3,359,300 3,454,950

14,549.8  14,904.8
14,127.9  14,507.9
421.9 396.9
5,666.3 5,804.3
32,036 32,450
342,497

393,204

1,575,808 1,598,769
27,105 27,028
25,734 25,287
3/150.0 150.0
21.0 21.8

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS.
2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH.

IS 75 PERCENT.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1990

3/ SEP 1, 1990.

THE 1979-88 AVERAGE

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


AREA HARVESTED

COTTON

PRODUCTION 1

/

STATE

3/
3/

ay

IND

1989 1990

1,000 ACRES
322.0 398.0
239.0 344.0
595.0 740.0
1,040.0 1,040.0
25.0 29.5
260.0 340.0
0.4 1.3
620.0 770.0
1,020.0 1,180.0
209.0 235.0
55.0 50.0
110.0 200.0
340.0 355.0
118.0 154.0
460.0 525.0
3,750.0 4,900.0
2.6 5.0
9,166.0 11,266.8
244.5 123.5
17.9 25.5
1.1 1.0
30.2 20.0
78.0 58.0
371.7 228.0
322.0 398.0
483.5 467.5
595.0 740.0
1,057.9 1,065.5
25.0 29.5
260.0 340.0
0.4 1.3
620.0 770.0
1,021.) 1,181.0
209.0 235.0
85.2 70.0
110.0 200.0
340.0 355.0
118.0 154.0
460.0 525.0
3,828.0 4,958.0
2.6 5.0
9,537.7 11,494.8

YIELD
>: IND:
1989 : 1990 :
POUNDS
571 458
1,303 1,158
687 681
1,228 1,223
557 750
63] 494
240 406
672 748
732 732
618 572
698 768
615 624
244 460
626 452
497 448
367 451
498 547
602 618
936 816
1,078 1,050
436 528
707 720
794 828
893 836
571 458
1,118 1,068
687 681
1,226 1,219
557 750
631 494
240 406
672 748
731 732
618 $72
701 754
615 624
244 460
626 452
497 448
376 455
498 547
614 622

23.
66.

334.

380.

Ww RODCODODODOONONDOOO

nN aM NO

we
PUSCCOCOUDSCONONNOSCO

1,000 BALES 2/

_
on
on
a

OW NOCODDDDDONDOCASDOCO

=
>
M OMoNe

~
wo
a
i) f-2)
NODODCOMOSCONOONGODS

380.
830.
1,050.
2,650.

uo
© NoDoDDD CO OHOHLO000

wo DOKLmMe

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.

2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.

3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.
4/ ESTIMATES BEGAN IN 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1990

A-19

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION

: : : INDICATED 1990
1989: INDICATED: 1989; --------------------------
: 1990: :

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 7.29 7.47 191,198,470 203,760,490 201,555,540
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 3.48 3.79 15,694,370 14,273,040 14,220,460
RICE 6.44 6.16 7,007,410 7,170,120 7,004,010
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 2.17 2.27 52,353,610 49,626,500 51,813,820
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2.72 2.18 1,809,830 1,523,750 1,567,140
ALL COTTON : 69 :70 2,655,280 3,167,850 3,245,130

UPLAND : 68 .69 2,504,680 3,075,990 3,158,720

AMER-PIMA : 1.00 £94 150,600 91,860 86,410
COTTONSEED : 4,242,810 5,140,380 5,265,570
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1.61 1.71 1,103,730 1,453,130 1,471,910
POTATOES :

FALL . : 33.51 33.36 14,726,920 15,535,400

TOTAL : 32.40 32.44 16,803,050 17,835,430
TOBACCO > 2.26 2.46 620,210 714,770 725,190
SUGARBEETS : 43.51 44.25 22,796,650 24,589,240 24,519,390
SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED : 77.43 79.04 26,694,820 23,345,490 22,939,980
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF): 205,020 1/136,080 136,080
HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS) : 11,790 19,050 19,780
1/ SEP 1, 1990.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1990 A-9 NASS, USDA


1/

2/

3/
4/
5/

6/
7/

US GRAPEFRUIT PRODUCTION
1982 through 1991 —

Milllon Tons
6

8.0}--2.8.-.--.

T T T T T r f en t
1982 1988 1984 1986 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
UP 81% FROM 1089-00 SEASON

0.0

CITRUS FRUITS - FOOTNOTES
THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.
NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX~85; GRAPEFRUIT-CA DESERT &
AZ-64, CA OTHER-67, FL-85, TX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TAN-
GERINES-CA & AZ-75, FL-95.

NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CA AND AZ. EARLY AND MID~SEASON
VARIETIES IN FL AND TX, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN TX.

ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

OUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DEC 1989, THE 1990-91 TX CITRUS CROPS ARE
VIRTUALLY ELIMINATED AND FORECASTS WILL NOT BE ISSUED THIS SEASON UNLESS
SUFFICIENT COMMERCIAL SUPPLIES BECOME AVAILABLE. .

THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CA GRAPEFRUIT “OTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

FL “ALL TANGERINES" INCLUDE SUNBURST TANGERINES BEGINNING WITH THE 1989-90
SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-25 NASS, USDA


National United States
rop < Agricultural Department of

. Statistics Agriculture
Production srvice Agricultural
Statistics
oar

Washington, D.C.

—

RELEASED: November 8, 1990
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN producticn, as of November 1, is forecast at 7.93 billion

bushels, down 1 percent from last month but 5 percent above the 1989
production. The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 119.0 bushels,
down 1.3 bushels from last month but 2.8 bushels above the 1989 yield. Corn
harvest made good progress during the month and was 64 percent complete by
October 28, slightly behind normal.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN is forecast at 560 million bushels, down slightly from

October 1 and down 9 percent from last year. Yields are expected to
average 60.5 bushels per acre, down fractionally from October 1 but up 5.1
bushels from 1989. As of October 28, harvest had progressed to 79 percent
completion in the 11 major producing States, well ahead of last year and
average.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.90 billion bushels, up 4 percent from the

October 1, 1990 estimate but 1 percent below 1989. Average yield is
estimated at 33.7 bushels per acre, 1.4 bushels above both last month and last
year. Nearly ideal harvest conditions coupled with later than normal frost
dates allowed the late developing crop in the Corn Belt to reach its yield
potential. As of October 28, 1990 harvest was 72 percent complete, slightly
ahead of normal.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 14.9 million bales, up 2 percent from
October and up 22 percent from 1989. Beneficial weather prevailed during
the month, aiding crop development. Louisiana expects a record production.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.60 billion pounds, 1 percent above the
forecast a month ago and a 17 percent increase from last year.

FALL POTATO production is forecast at 342 million cwt, up 5 percent from last

year and 9 percent above two years ago. Harvested acreage of 1.15 mil-
lion acres is up 6 percent, while the average yield is down slightly from last
year. Heat in western States, drought in North Central States, and freeze
damage in Maine contributed to the lower average yield.

Cr Pr 2-2 (11-90) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE : : IND : > IND IND

: 1989 =: 1990 +: 1989 : 1990 1989 1990

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL 1/: 30 25 50.0 45.0 1,025 1,500 1,125
AZ : 3 2/ 80.0 2/ 400 240 2/
AR : 340 270 62.0 62.0 21,080 21,080 16,740
CA: 9 2/ 90.0 2/ 1, 200° 810 2/
co : 325 230 35.0 42.0 8,280 11,375 9,660
GA l/: 50 40 40.0 36.0 1,400 2,000 1,440
IL : 140 130 83.0 83.0 6,000 11,620 10,790
KS : 3,750 2,800 53.0 66.0 204,600 198,750 184,800
KY 1/ : 9 30 80.0 78.0 550 720 2,340
LA : 95 85 65.0 70.0 5,850 6,175 5,950
MS : 85 75 53.0 65.0 8,680 4,505 4,875
MO : 570 520 79.0 82.0 38,070 45,030 42,640
NE : 1,650 1,400 62.0 77.0 103,360 102,300 107,800
NM : 250 100 50.0 60.0 8,700 12,500 6,000
NC 1/: 60 40 54.0 50.0 2,310 3,240 2,000
OK : 360 350 49.0 42.0 16,200 17,640 14,700
SC l/: 10 15 45.0 35.0 256 450 525
SD : 290 300 40.0 53.0 11,000 11,600 15,900
TN 1/°: 27 50 75.0 75.0 2,275 2,025 3,750
TX : 3,100 2,800 53.0 46.0 135,450 164,300 128,800
US : 11,153 9,260 55.4 60.5 576,686 617,860 559,835

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

RICE
AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND: : IND: : : IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1999: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
AR : 1,140.0 1,200.0 5,600 5,000 64,735 63,840 60,000
CA: 410.0 385.0 7,900 77600 29,840 32,390 297260
(A: «485.0» 565.0 45430 47900 «24080 217488 27,685
MS: 235.0 235.0 5.700 5,600 «13.780 13,395 13,160
MO1/: 79.0 65.0 5,200 47900 47182 47108 37185
TX: 338.0 358.0 5,700 5,900 23,280 19/266 21,122

159,897

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-12. . NASS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED YIELD

STATE : : _IND IND

: 1989 1990 1990

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS

AL 180 210 81.0 60.0
AZ 1/ 13 10 145.0 155.0
AR 1/ 58 73° 122.0 =105.0
CA 170 169 160.0 160.0
co : 930 840 145.0 150.0
CT 2/:
DE : 133 172 «100.0 104.0
FL /: 80 75 74.0 71.0
GA : 550 585 95.0 62.0
ID 1/ : 50 40 125.0 120.0
IL : 10,750 10,400 123.0 127.0
IN : 5,200 5,450 133.0 130.0
IA : 12,250 12,300 118.0 129.0
KS : 1,240 1,450 125.0 130.0
KY : 1,180 1,200 116.0 97.0
LA 1/: 132 220 95.0 110.0
ME 2/ :
MD : 400 450 110.0 110.0
MA 2/ :
MI : 1,970 2,050 113.0 115.0
MN : 5,600 6,100 125.0 125.0
MS 1/ : 140 140 70.0 75.0
Mo : 2,290 1,950 96.0 103.0
MT 1/: 4 80.0 93.0
NE : 7,100 7,300 120.0 130.0
NH 2/ :
NJ 1/ : 71 75 102.0 107.0
NM 1/ : 63 65 155.0 140.0
NY : 570 610 93.0 101.0
NC : 950 1,070 93.0 63.0
ND : 465 600 75.0 75.0
OH > 2,900 3,400 118.0 123.0
OK 1/ : 78 75 118.0 100.0
OR 1/ : 22 22 160.0 155.0
PA : 960 980 103.0 108.0
RI 2/ : .
Sc : 340 345 91.0 50.0
sD : 2,650 2,800 72.0 78.0
IN : 530 500 107.0 82.0
TX > 1,400 1,500 106.0 95.0
UT 1/: 20 18 132.0 137.0
VT 2/ :
VA : 365 375 110.0 95.0
WA 1/ : 90 80 175.0 175.0
Wiod/ : 46 95.0 95.0
WI : 2,800 2,900 111.0 116.0
WY 1/: 45 95.0 110.0
URS 64,781 66,691 116.2

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR C.
2/ NOT ESTIMATED.

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1990 A-11

7,480
23015
6,000
273115
128,000

27,300

112,000
347,800
95.000
1535520
23200
818,400

5,530
83525
45,900
81,480
22,040
255,000

19,430
132;000
38,690
129; 600

23728

23,305
13,600
2,320
130,650
6,466

1,000 BUSHELS

14,580
1,885
7,076

27;200

134;850

13,300

44,000

222,610
700,000
9,800
219,840
320

235,750
762,500
10,500
200,850
558
949,000

67,410
45,000
418,200
7,500
33410
105,840

17,250

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA




POTATOES: VARIETIES GROWN ~ 1990

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts potato objective
yield surveys in 11 major fall producing States. These 11 States accounted for
94 percent of the 1989 U. S. fall production. All producing areas of each State
are represented in the sample in proportion to planted acreage of potatoes.
Variety information in the table below is derived from data reported. These
data are intended to provide current information on varieties and are not
designated as official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board.

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF MAJOR VARIETIES PLANTED,
SELECTED STATES, 1990 CROP

: FIRST SECOND
STATE twennnnnnn ne rnn nn nn naw enn n nnn ne rn nn nn nn nme nn non en anne won en nsner rrr
VARIETY PERCENT VARIETY : PERCENT
COLO : CENTENNIAL RUSSET 61.2 : NORKOTAH 14.0
IDAHO =: RUSSET BURBANK 91.6 : NORKOTAH 2.7
MAINE  : RUSSET BURBANK 21.4 : SUPERIOR 19.6
MICH : RUSSET BURBANK 16.4 : ATLANTIC 14.8
MINN : RUSSET BURBANK 24.3 : NORCHIP 24.0
NY : SUPERIOR 19.0 > FRITO LAY VARIETIES 18.2
N DAK : NORCHIP 46.8 : RUSSET BURBANK 15.1
OREG : RUSSET BURBANK 73.8 : SHEPODY 10.9
PA : ATLANTIC 22.6 : KATAHDIN 21.2
WASH : RUSSET BURBANK 72.7 : SHEPODY 6.8
WIS : RUSSET BURBANK 46.9 : NORKOTAH 14.4
THIRD FOURTH
COLO : SANGRE 7.6 : RUSSET BURBANK 7.1
IDAHO =: SHEPODY 2.1 : NORKING 1.7
MAINE : ONTARIO 13.4 : SHEPODY 11.4
MICH : ONOWAY 11.5 : NORKOTAH 9.2
MINN : NORLAND 13.9 : RED PONTIAC 9.2
NY : MONONA 17.0 : KATAHDIN 10.8
N DAK —: NORLAND 7.1 : NORKOTAH 5.6
OREG : NORKOTAH 7.3 : ATLANTIC 1.6
PA : SUPERIOR 14.2 : NORWIS 12.4
WASH : NORKOTAH 6.3 : NORCHIP 2.6
WIS : NORLAND 9.7 : ATLANTIC 8.6
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1990 A-32 NASS, USDA


MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1988-90 1/ (CONT’D)

ROW WIDTH GROUPS (INCHES)

STATE :NUMBER :----------------~-----2 on on eneneneee ! AVERAGE
AND : OF :10.0& : 10.1- : 18.6- : 28.6- :34.6& : ROW
YEAR  :SAMPLES: LESS 2/ : 18.5 28.5 : 34.5 GREATER : WIDTH 2/
:NUMBER PERCENT OF PLOTS ° INCHES

NN 1988: 109 17.0 13.3 8.7 52.7 8.3 24.0
1989: 110 20.7 8.1 5.4 53.2 12.6 24.7
1990: 106 = 11.7 8.4 8.9 60.3 10.7 26.5

MO 1988: 146 19,7 14 8.8 45.8 18.3 25.1
1989: 145 23.8 5.9 7.3 42.9 20.1 25.7
1990: 141 26.8 6.1 7.8 42.5 16.8 24.9

NE 1988: 82 8.5 1.2 3.1 37.8 31.7
1989: 85 11.8 2.9 2.3 35.3 31.6
1990: 84 14.3 3.0 0.6 30.3 30.7

: 9 18.

5 19.

2 16

1/ BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD
SAMPLES.

2/ BROADCAST SOYBEANS INCLUDED AS 10.0 INCHES AND LESS BUT EXCLUDED IN COM-
PUTATION OF AVERAGE WIDTH.

3/ REINSTATED IN 1990.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-31 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP penne ec cen nnn n en seen nn nn nen nn nen n nen e nnn n nec nen nn eneee
: 1989 1990 1989 IND 1990 1/
HECTARES
CORN : 29,257,470 30, 138,880 26,216,220 26,989,180
SORGHUM : 5,116,090 4,324,110 4,513,510 3,747,430
RICE : 1,105,210 1,159,440 1,087,400 1,136,370
SOYBEANS : 24,613,250 23,360,730 24,094,430 22,862, 150
PEANUTS 2/ : 673,890 735,730 665,590 717,310
ALL COTTON : 4,284,290 4,981,410 3,859,810 4,651,830
UPLAND : 4,131,760 4,885,620 3,709,390 4,559,560
AMER-PIMA : 152,530 95,790 150,420 92,270
DRY EDIBLE BEANS: 751,750 898,010 683,890 861,140
POTATOES :
FALL : 446,130 474,010 439,490 465,720
TOTAL : 528,120 560,330 518,610 549,810
TOBACCO . : 274,540 294,380
SUGARBEETS : 535,890 565,390 523,950 554,100
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 344,760 290,240
AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
1989 1990 3/ 1989 IND 1990 3/
HECTARES
OATS : 4,890,680 4,218,080 2,785,080 2,409,930
BARLEY : 3,692,800 3,337,070 35364, 190 3,073,220
ALL WHEAT : 31,005,330 31,276,870 25,167,270 28,066,460
WINTER : 22,294,780 23,066,520 16,798,280 20,224,790
DURUM : 1,534,180 1,442,720 1,486, 430 1,417,220
OTHER SPRING : 7,176,370 6,767,630 6,882,560 6,424,450
RYE : 815,050 657,620 195,870 150,950
FLAXSEED : 84,980 97,130 71,630 93,890
SUNFLOWER : 744,630 781,050 722,780 754,340
ALL HAY : 25,655,320 24,983,130
ALFALFA. : 10,497,250 10,086,900
ALL OTHER : 15,158,070 14,896,230
ORY EDIBLE BEANS: 70,820 67,180 70,420 64,350
AUSTRIAN WINTER —: :
PEAS : 4,940 5,460 4,130 4,650
LENTILS . : 38,040 43,710 37,230 42,090
POTATOES :
WINTER : 5,300 5,460 5,300 5,340
SPRING : 37,350 38,650 35,980 38,200
SUMMER : 39,340 42,210 37,840 40,550
SWEETPOTATOES : 36,220 38,240 34,800 37,110
HOPS : 13,980 14,410

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1990 PLANTED REVISED. 3/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-8 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY STATES

AREA HARVESTED YIELD

STATE : : IND: : IND: IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 1990
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

cT : 1,730 1,820 1,614 1,656 2,971 2,793 3,014
FL: 6,700 7,000 2,650 2.700 17,152 177755 18,900
GA : 405000 43,000 2,180 2,335 85,880 87/200 100,405
IN: 6,100 6,400 2,170 2,100 10,945 13,237 13,440
KY: 1785050 194,800 2,059 2.271 355,024 366,551 442,445
MD: 7,300 7,100 1,110 1,270 11,970 8,103 9017
MA: 480 470 1,554 1,583 767 746 744
MO1/: 2,500 2,800 2,180 2,150 4,422 5,450 5,375
NC : 266,700 285,500 2,029 2.210 552,627 841,056 631,000
OH 6: =: 95100 «~=—«9,100«:1,750 1,950 14,497 15,925 17,745
PA: «9,500 ~—«:10,000 1.887 1,945 18,175 17,925 197445
SC: 48;000 51,000 2,160 27150 100,125 103,680 —«:109,650
IN: 455500 46,940 1,754 2°184 93,142 79°820 102,526
VA: 49590 53,280 1,892 2,045 92,177 93,814 108,948
We1/: 15450 1,800 1,300 1,600 2,720 1,885 2,880
WI: 55700» 6,700 -:1,998 1,975 6,906 11,391 13,235
US +: 678,400 727,410 2,016 2,198 1,369,500 1,367,331 1,598,769
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1990 A-22 USDA, NASS


Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 4.94
million bales, 3 percent above last month and 62 percent above last year.
Although the past month's weather was quite beneficial in Texas, the Trans
Pecos crop received heavy rainfall causing some damage and slowing maturity
and harvest. A freeze in mid-October aided plant defoliation. Harvest
rapidly followed in the northern portions. Texas was 10 percent ahead of the
average harvesting pace and Oklahoma was 15 points ahead of the average as of
November 4.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and
Tennessee) expect to produce 4.82 million bales, up 4 percent from October and
up 20 percent from 1989. Although October's weather was beneficial for cotton
development, many areas in the Delta received heavy rains during early and
mid-October delaying harvest. However, by November 4, harvest was ahead of
the average pace by 7 percent and 6 percent in Mississippi and Louisiana,
respectively, but Tennessee, with 86 percent harvested, was equal the five
year average. The current production level for Louisiana represents a record
production.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.56 million bales, up 5 percent from 1989. The yields in
this region are expected to average 1,192 pounds per acre, 28 pounds below the
1989 yield. Heavy rains and hail in southwestern Arizona delayed harvest in
early October, but by mid-month, harvest was active in all areas of the State.
Insect infestations were reported as moderate in Arizona and pink bollworm
controls were applied in both Arizona and California. By November 4, 74
percent of the Arizona crop was harvested, 18 percent ahead of the average,
and 70 percent of the California crop was harvested by that date.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North
Carolina, and South Carolina) puts production at 1.14 million bales, 7 percent
above the October 1 forecast and 11 percent above the 1989 production. Cotton
harvest continued in these States at a rapid pace, and Georgia was 84 percent
harvested, while 95 percent of the Alabama crop was harvested.

Bureau of Census reports 7,958,604 running bales ginned prior to November
1 compared with 5,806,266 running bales for the same date last year and
6,888,334 running bales in 1988.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1990, based on a three year average lintseed
ratio, is expected to total 5.80 million tons, up 24 percent from
the 1989 production of 4.68 million tons.

TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 1.60 billion pounds, 1

percent above the forecast a month ago and a 17 percent increase
from last year. Since October 1, production prospects increased in 7 of the
16 producing States and decreased in 3. The higher production this year
results from a 7 percent acreage increase from last year, and higher yields.
Yield is up from a year earlier in 12 of the 16 tobacco producing States and
is expected to average 2,198 pounds per acre, nationally, compared with 2,016
pounds last year.

Flue-cured production is now forcast at 925 million pounds, 2 percent
above last month's forecast and up 14 percent from a year ago. Yield per
acre, at 2,214 pounds, is 145 pounds greater than last year's average yield.
Acres for harvest are up 7 percent from 1989. Markets are now closed for
types 12, 13, and 14.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-7 NASS, USDA



Burley output is now expected to total 587 million pounds for the year,
1 percent above the forecast of a month earlier and a 22 percent increase fram
a year ago. The change from last year reflects an 8 percent acreage increase
and higher yields. The expected average yield increased 18 pounds per acre
from a month earlier and is now expected to be up 254 pounds from 1989.

As of October 28, the Kentucky crop was 20 percent stripped and ready for
market. This amount compares with 17 percent a year ago. Markets are
expected to open November 19.

In Tennessee, 45 percent of the burley was stripped as of October 28,
above normal for this time of year. Typical fall weather and moisture from
weekly showers was favorable to bring tobacco in order.

The dark fire-cured crop is forecast at 33.6 million pounds, off frac-
tionally from expectations a month ago but up 16 percent from last year. The
increase from a year ago results from an 8 percent larger acreage and a 144
pound per acre higher yield.

Southern Maryland type tobacco is expected to total 15.9 million pounds,
off 3 percent from the forecast a month ago but up 4 percent from 1989. With
the area for harvest off 4 percent from a year ago, the larger production is
coming from a yield that is expected to be 115 pounds per acre above the 1989
average.

The dark air-cured tobacco crop of 7.64 million pounds is up 17 percent
from 1989. Both acreage and yield are higher.

All cigar-type production is expected to total 29.6 million pounds, 15
percent more than in 1989. Filler production is up 17 percent. Both binder
and wrapper output shows an increase of 14 percent.

SUGARBEETS: The sugarbeet production forecast of 27.0 million tons is down

fractionally from the October 1 forecast but 8 percent above last
year's harvest. The increase from a year ago is the combination of higher
yields and a 6 percent increase in acreage. Yields are expected to average
19.7 tons per acre, nationally, compared with 19.4 tons in 1989. Production
is expected to be up in all States except California and Minnesota.

Lifting of beets in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota
progressed ahead of average despite temporary halts due to freezing and
unseasonably warm temperatures.

The Idaho harvest was over three-fourths completed by October 28,
slightly ahead of average.

In California, fall harvest is finished in the Sacramento Valley.
Harvest in the Manteca area was expected to be completed by November 1 and the
Southern San Joaquin Valley harvest is expected to end November 15.

Michigan harvest is nearing completion. Yields remain above average and
sugar content improved sharply during late October.

The Nebraska harvest was nearing completion as of November 1. A
mid-October snow slowed harvest but also supplied soil moisture to aid later
harvest. The crop was essentially unaffected by October freezes.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-8 NASS, USDA


In 1990, the plant population increased from 1989 in 7 State and declined
in 3 States. Average row widths continued to decrease with all States having
narrower rows than last year.

CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE,
SELECTED STATES, 1986-90 1/

STATE : 1986 : 1987 : 1988 1989 : 1990
NUMBER OF PLANTS

IL : 22,200 23,700 21,900 21,900 22,300
IN : 21,500 21,900 20,700 21,500 21,900
IA : 21,600 21,800 22,100 ° 21,600 22,400
MI : 21,000 21,400 20,500 21,100 20,900
MN : 22,800 22,700 23,600 24;100 23,100
MO : 17,500 18,600 17,800 17,900 18,000
NE : 21,100 21,900 21,900 20,700 21,400
OH : 22,600 22,700 21,000 21,400 22,500
sD : 15,700 15,900 16,200 16,400 16,100
WI : 21,400 22,700 20,400 21,000 21,800

1/ BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-28 NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

CROP AND
UNIT

FEED GRAINS 1/
CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRA
RICE

SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS

COTTON BALES 2/:

FALL ‘POTATOES

DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT:

2/ QUANTITY IS

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1990

ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR

290% CONFIDENCE
: LEVEL

: PERCENT: :
: : PERCENT: QUANT

MT:
BU:
IN BU:
CWT:

BU:
CWT:

IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

10-YEAR RECORD OF
OLFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

NON WUHwWW

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

A-4

NASS, USDA


POTATOES - CONTINUED

SEASONAL
GROUP
AND

1989

1990

ID
10 SW CO
OTHER CO
IN
ME
MA
MI
MN
MT
NE
NV
NY
LONG IS
UPSTATE
ND
OH
OR
MALHEUR
OTHER CO
PA
RI
sD
UT
WA
WI
WY

16.
61.

17.
336.
4.
80.
2.
30.
66.
8.
7.
8.

7.
2).
137.
7.

5.
44.

wu

SHOOK ONUMOND

WONW DoOKCOMUDZCOSD

WNOOWONUND® WOON
n
Oo
S
n
g
S$

1988
CWT
4 400 380 6,105
0 335 340 19,040
/ 210 2/ 135
.0 395 395 7,200
.0 285 280 95,410
al 240 225 756
0 275 270 22,000
6 240 250 572
-0 245 280 7,820
.0 210 210 = 12,075
9 275 290 2,156
3 320 315 2,128
0 325 335 2,480

260 280 1,992
220 270 4,800
110 115 15,525
185 245 1,697

390 360 2,400
475 455 18,335
3,690
250 245 300
220 220 1,600
245 275 1,617
545 515 63,250
340 355 20,000
275 270 475
299 298 313,558

-6 289 289 = 356,438

PRODUCTION
1989 1990
1,000 CWT

6,440 6,232
20,603 22,100
63 2/
6,715 7,900
95,760 104,440
960 923
22,000 20,520
600 650
7,350 9,240
13,860 14,280
2,228 2,581
2,528 2,930
2,600 25345
1,898 1,820
4,730 5,940
15,070 16,675
1,462 1,911
2,028 2,448
21,280 20,566
4,715 5,400
300 294
1,980 1,980
1,495 1,733
64,310 65,920
23,120 23,075
578 594
324,673 342,497
370,444 393,204

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.
3/ ESTIMATES BEGUN IN 1990.

CROP PRODUCTION

NOVEMBER 1990

CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


1,000 ACRES

LARGE LIMA:
CA > 32.
BABY LIMA :
CA : 35.
OTHER :
CA : 7.
ALL :
CA > 184,
co > 185.
1D : 168.
KS ay: 21.
MI : 300.
MN : 70.
MT 2/: 5
NE : 208.
NM ap: 14
NY : 31.
ND > 410.
OR 2/ 3/:
TX -2/ 3/
UT 2/ 5
WA 43
WY 45
us

1/ LUDES BEANS
2/ ESTIMATES CARRIED

CROP PRODUCTION
NOVEMBER 1990

eC0ocewoD0000

0

oo

eoo

25.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA HARVESTED

25.0

115.

165.
220.
178.

38.
340.
130.

14.
245.

°

© SCORBOWVOSDSDDDSDOCCOCOCS

19

1,
2,
1,

1,
1,
2,
1,
1,
1,
2,
1,
2,
i,

2,
1,

1,

YIELD

IND:

89 1990 : 1988
POUNDS

910 1,840 574
120 2,200 673
780 1,840 1,638
867 1,895 2,885
680 1,730 2,558
050 ©=2,000 2,249
550 1,750 310
500 1,650 2,142
300 1,300 480
200 2,300 76
680 1,950 3,764
000 ~©=—-2,000 319
450 1,700 325
600 900 2,701

2,200

1,400
300 400 26
160 2,000 742
890 1,930 676
440

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ ESTIMATES BEGUN IN 1990.

PRODUCTION

1989
1,000 CWT
611 460
742 550

2,083 2,116

3,436 3,126
3,108 3,806

3,444 3,560
326 665
4,500 5,610
910 1,690
130 322
3,494 4,778
280 280
450 595
2,460 5,490
218

322

15 24
929 980
851 984

24,333 32,450

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA



RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about November 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, and cotton. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions
and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their local-
ities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and
measurements from a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling
and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More important-
ly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future weather
effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly
affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical measure based on
past performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between.the November 1 production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1970-89 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current fore-
casts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year’s forecast are not different from those influencing
recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 2.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7,935 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 2.5 percent or approximately
198 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference wil] not. exceed 4.3 percent or approximately 341 million
bushels.

Also shown in the. table is.a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the. November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 101 million bushels,
ranging from 3 million to 258 million, bushels. The November 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate.7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply
that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or over-
state final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-3 NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.90 billion bushels, 4.percent above the

October 1 estimate but 1 percent below 1989. Harvested area, at 56.5
million acres, is slightly less than last month and 5 percent below 1989.
Average yield is estimated at 33.7 bushels per acre, 1.4 bushels above both last
month and last year. Higher yields than last month are expected in 13 States,
lower yields in 3 States, and 9 States remain unchanged.

Nearly ideal harvest conditions, coupled with later than normal frost
dates, allowed the late developing crop in the Corn Belt to reach its yield
potential. Growers were pleasantly surprised to find better than expected
yields as fields were harvested. The Southeast did mot fare as well. October
brought tropical storms and flooding to Geargia and South Carolina. Alabama
also experienced continued yield loss due to a dry October. Six States are
forecasting record yields this year, including Michigan, Wisconsin, Maryland,
Pennsylvania, Delaware, and New Jersey.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990

BILLION BUSHELS

2.50

2.19 2.10

1.99 ;
1.94. 1.94 1.92
2.00 1.86 |. 1.90

1.64

1.55
1.50

1.00 m_ F

0.50

0.00
81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90

YEAR

ALL COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 14.9 million bales, up 2 per-

cent from the October 1 forecast and up 22 percent from last year's
production. Of the total, Upland is expected to account for 14.5 million bales,
while Pima production will total 397 thousand bales. Total area for harvest is
estimated at 11.5 million acres, up 21 percent fran 1989. Yield is expected to
average 622 pounds per acre, 13 pounds above last month and 8 pounds above last
year's yield.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-6 NASS, USDA


TONS (IN-SHELL BASIS)

oR : 16,300 12,800 21,500:
WA Wi: 200 200 300
US : 16,500 13,000 21,800

1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES

PRODUCTION

STATE AND CROP

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

AREA FRESH PRODUCTION
MONTH TOTAL IN CROP : HARVESTED : : :
jeooea no ea ee == ----- += 2 =~ += 8 === === ~~ : 1989  : 1990 : FORECAST
: 1989 : 1990. : 1989 : 1990 : : : 1990-91
ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
SEP: 4,035 3,580 2,550 2,145 5,165 4,780
OCT : 4,070 3,545 2,625 2,250 6,130 5,210
NOV: 4,060 2,735 6,270 1/
DEC : 4,100 2,745 5,530 1/
JAN. : 4,120 2,810 5,080 1/
FEB: 4,005 2,660 4,530 1/
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-OCT 52,200 48,710

1/ FOUR MONTH FORECAST TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-26 NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1981-90 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR: : HAY : : :

: ALL 1/ : FEED : AND : FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO: OIL

: : GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : : : CROPS
1981 : 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982; WZ 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983: 87 67 100 116 93 54 75 91
1984: 110 115 107 129 95 90 90 106
1985 =: 116 133 106 121 95 93 79 117
1986 =: 107 123 107 106 106 68 61 107
1987: = 106 106 101 107 3et 103 62 108
1988: 91 73 88 98 105 107 72 89
1989: = 106 108 100 107 105 85 71 106
1990 : 112 112 102 137 102 104 84 106

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

III RIAA IIIS III I IIA IIIB II III NISSAN IS ISAS AISAS SIA IA IA IAI SSS ASAI SI AISSE,

* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with *
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data *

* were prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which *
* consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington *
* headquarters. *
* *
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* Rich Allen, Chairperson, *
* L. Duane Jewell, Secretary, *
* *
* David S. Abbe, Stephen Pavlasek, Jr. *
* APPROVED: Thomas R. Birkett, Darwin £. Ransom, *
* James E. Brewster, Stephen C. Ropel, *
* Arvin R. Budge, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, *
* William N. Dowdy, James L. Smith, *
* Giller — Ralph W. Gann, Carrol D. Spencer, *
* Richard S. Geesey, Charles A. Van Lahr, *
* Van B. Johnson, Herbert L. Vanderberry, *
* Benjamin F. Klugh, Frederic A. Vogel, *
* Roger D. Latham, John D. Witzig. *

*

* ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

FRI TIT IA IIIA III AIR IIS II IIIA IES IAI SII ISI IAI III II SIS ISS ASSIS SASS SAIS ISAS SSIA ISAS AS.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-2 NASS, USDA


OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Showers and thunderstorms formed along a series of slow moving frontal
systems and spread moderate to heavy rain from the Rio Grande Valley to the
Great Lakes and Atlantic coast. At the start of October, the first system,
fueled with moisture from the remains of the Pacific's Tropical Storm Rachel,
caused soaking rains and flash floods in the Southwest. Intense thunderstorms
developed along the second frontal system and dumped torrential rains across
Arkansas and drenching rains over the eastern Corn Belt. The front stalled
along the Atlantic seaboard and combined with the remnants of Tropical Storm
Marco and Hurricane Klaus to bring torrents of rain (8-14 inches) and
widespread flooding to Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia. The third
system, in mid~ October, brought severe weather across the Mississippi Valley
to the Atlantic coast, with tornadoes touching down in Virginia and North
Carolina. The fourth frontal system, during the latter part of the month,
brought amounts of more than 4 inches of rain and additional flooding to the
middle and southern Atlantic Coast States. Toward the end of the month, a
strong low pressure system formed of the Atlantic coast and caused high wind,
mountain snows, and more heavy rain in the Carolinas.

Pacific storms battered the Northwest with heavy rain and brought heavy
snow into the northern and central Rockies. Dry weather continued to prevail
over the northern Plains and parts of the central Plains, western Corn Belt.
Southeast, and the West.

WINTER WHEAT PLANTINGS

Weather was nearly ideal for winter wheat seedings early in October and
favorable for growing wheat later in the month. Dry weather was prevalent
early in the month, with favorable moisture later in the month. At the
beginning of October, wheat planting was 60 percent (%) complete, 2 points
below the 5-year average. Wheat emerged was 35%, 3 points below normal. Dry
soil conditions in portions of the Plains slowed germination. By mid-October,
planting progressed and was 71% complete, 1 point behind normal. Fifty-one
percent of the crop was emerged, the same as average. eeting Was over 20%
complete in Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, South Dakota, and
High winds in western Nebraska caused erosion in some planted wheat fields.

By month's end, wheat was in mostly good condition, with 91% of the crop
planted, 1 point ahead of normal. Seventy-nine percent of the crop was
emerged, 1 point ahead of normal. Planting was 100% complete in Colorado,
Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota. Some Kansas acreage was planted dry but
received sufficient rain and was 95% emerged, 10 points above normal.
Planting in the eastern Corn Belt was delayed throughout the month due to wet
conditions.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn is forecast to be 7.93 billion bushels,

down 1 percent from last month but 5 percent above the 1989
production. The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 119.0 bushels,
down 1.3 bushels from last month but 2.8 bushels above the 1989 average yield.
Yields in the leading States and bushel changes from last month are: Iowa
129, down 4; Illinois 127, down 3; Nebraska 130, no change; Indiana 130, down
2; Ohio 123, no change; Wisconsin 116, up 2; Michigan 115, no change; South
Dakota 78, no change; and Missouri 103, no change.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 B-2 NASS, USDA


INDEX

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ......-..seseeseeee oder ceeecccecece ee eceeee err B-17
CITRUS FRUIT 20... cece cece cece nee e rete n ence ener ee ec eter eeseeeeeenees B-24
CORN CROPPING PRACTICIES 20... cc ecssssceecscennccereccccescsscsesenes A-28
Seem eee e rece esc cncccac seers doce vce c reece resccsccces A-11

Dee e ee reenee Cec cence eee w renee eeeeceeeeee A-29

A-19

Peete ence eee c een eteee eee eee A-18

Bl

A-26

A-26

A-27
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 20... + csseseeceesccceeseeeeeeeceneceee eee eee eeees A-13
A-14
A-16

A-32

A-26

RICE 2. cece cree cece nner tence cence scenes ene e ewan eee e tessa reeeesenees A-12

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ......... eee eee ee eee ee eee eee bce eeeceeee A-12

A-18

SOYBEANS, ROW SPACING 2.22.52. cee c ec eee eee cee ee eee e eee e ee eneeeny A-30
SUGARBEETS 2.2... sc eeecccecccereccrensr cence reece seeescces se ee en eeeee A-23
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .........--- ween eee eee errr rere rs oe A-23
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE ............ bee e eee eeeceee emcee eeeeeee B-20
TOBACCO BY STATES 2.0... 00. cece cece cece tence reece enn cet eneeeneecntece B-22
U S SUMMARY 20... cece c cece cece ecw e ete n eer cnercsnseune sees eeessaees B- 5
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NOVEMBER 1990 B-11 NASS, USDA

1.S.GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1990-261-051:20322/NASS


CORN FOR GRAIN:
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1988-90

PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTIONS BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE

STATE : NUMBER :-~

AND
YEAR

OF

: : 30.5 : 30.6-: 32.6-: 34.6-: 36.6-: 38.6-: 40.6 &:
: SAMPLES:OR LESS: 32.5 : 34.5 : 36.5 : 38.5 : 40.5 :GREATER: WIDTH

ROW WIDTH (INCHES) 1/

: AVERAGE

ROW

INCHES

IN

IA

MI

MO

NE

OH

sD

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989;
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

1988:
1989:
1990:

231
230
236

178
170
168

213
210
209

79
79
84

158
177
170

102
113
116

202
189
196

151
145
154

86
87
98

89
124
114

52.
53.
49.

52.
58.
57.

37.
41.
40.

55.
59.
59.

53.
54.
61.

28.
44,
40.

34.
36.
34,

59.
58.
61.

17.
19.
18.

20.
13.
20.

NOM FRW MOD ANH NWN NWO NWWO

Aan

Hien

ROW BHO AWO

Con wo bYD

hwon

ean

ern

yeNn
Pun

wen

wee
POD

oow

UPOoO COD

ouo

een

oue

wen

PERCENT

12.
13.
14.

10.
10.
8.

9.
9.
12.

6.
9.

14,
9.
9.

17.
11.
7.

22.
24.
22.

4.
5.
3.

10.
10.
15.

14,
ll.
16.

WUD WWO BMI POD NOW Oe OTH

come

14,
17.
17.

16.
10.
9.

27.
29.
23.

8.
12.
6.

13.
14.
11.

25.
16.
24.

19.
22.
20.

9.
7.
9.

48.
48.
46.

38.
39.
36.

HON OHFOD CNW WON UMH CN

WWE NHW WNW

-

WN AMM DoH
NPRM WHEH WNW DOH ONO OTS

eee
Woo

-
on

19.

Nao Noo

Pwo
oe now

Nwe

ne

en

32.
32.
32.

32.
31.
31.

34.
33.
33.

31.
31.
31.

32.
32.
31.

34.
33.
33.

33.
33.
33.

31.
31.
31.

36.
36.
35.

35.
35.
34.

aauw

NOU CHW BHO NOM WHW DKW MIM WHO SOM

1/ SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE.
YIELD TERMINATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION

NOVEMBER 1990

A-29

AGRICULTURAL STATIS

TICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

YEAR : LONG GRAIN : MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN ALL

1988 : 119,364 159,897
1989 : 109,541 154,487
1990 : 154,412

1/ INDICATED NOVEMBER 1, 1990, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : : IND: : IND: : : IND
: 1989 1990 1989 1990 1988 1989 1990
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
AL: 239.0 250.0 2,250 1,500 561,680 537,750 375,000
FL): 87.0 92.0 2,470 2,400 228,600 214,890 220,800
GA: 685.0 760.0 2,700 1,700 1,801,550 1,849,500 1,292,000
NM: 18.2 20.0 2,400 2,600 30,552 43,680 52,000
NC  : 152.0 163.0 2,435 2,850 419,985 370,120 464,550
OK : 98.0 108.0 2,150 -2,250 225,040 210,700 —- 243,000
sc: 12.5 13.5 2,600 2,200 32,110 32,500 29,700
TX : 262.0 270.0 1,850 1,850 417,500 484,700 499,500
VA: 91.0 96.0 2,705 2,900 263,900 246,155 —«-278,400
US : 1,644.7 5 2,426

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-13 USDA, NASS


AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP : : :: SEASONAL GROUP
AND : 1989 : 1990) :: AND : 1989 1990
STATE : : STATE
1,000 ACRES a 2 1,000 ACRES
WINTER 1/ : :: FALL :
CA : 5.5 5.5 z: CA : 16.1 16.4
FL : 7.6 8.0 :: CO : 62.0 65.5
: r: CT : 4 /
TOTAL : 13.1 13.5 :: ID-10 SW CO : 17.0 20.0
: i -OTHER CO": 338.0 375.0
SPRING 1/ : rt IN : 4.4 4.4
AL : §.5 5.8 zt ME : 81.0 81.0
AZ : 5.8 6.2 MA : 2.6 2.6
CA : 21.0 22.5 MI : 33.0 34.0
FL-HASTINGS : 28.5 29.0 MN : 67.0 69.0
~OTHER 3 7.5 8.5 MT : 8.2 9.0
LA : 4 2/ NE : 8.0 9.4
NC : 16.2 16.5 NV : 8.0 7.0
TX : 7.4 7.0 NY-LONG IS : 7.5 6.5
: -UPSTATE : 22.5 22.5
TOTAL 2 92.3 95.5 ND : 140.0 150.0
: z: OH : 8.5 8.0
SUMMER 1/ : tt OR-MALHEUR 4 5.4 7.0
AL : 7.7 7.0 a -OTHER CO : 45.6 46.0
CA 6.1 5.6 PA : 21.0 23.0
co 6.8 7.0 RI : 1.2 1.2
DE 7.7 8.2 SD : 10.0 9.0
IL 3.4 3.6 UT : 6.3 6.5
IA 1.5 1.7 WA : 118.0 129.0
MD 2.1 1.8 WI : 68.5 67.0
MI 10.5 12.0 WY : 2.2 2.3
MN 6.4 6.2 :
MO 3/ 6.8 TOTAL : 1,102.4 = 1,171.3
NE 2.4 2.4 :
Nd 4.9 4.5 US : 1,305.0 1,384.6
NM 11.6 13.0 :
NC 1.5 1.5
TN : -6 2/
TX : 11.0 12.0
VA : 13.0 11.0
TOTAL : 97.2 104.3
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.
3/ ESTIMATES BEGUN IN 1990.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICUTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NOVEMBER 1990 A-16 NASS, USDA