Cr Pr 2-2 (11-03)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released November 12, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. 

For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 1 Percent from October Forecast

Soybean Production Down 1 Percent 

Cotton Production Up 4 Percent

Corn production is forecast at 10.3 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month and 14 percent above 2002. Based on

conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel from October and up

13.2 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. Both previous records

were set in 1994. Of the major producing States, Illinois and Ohio are expecting record yields. Yields are also forecast at

record highs in 8 other States located mostly in the Southeast.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.45 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the October forecast and 11 percent below

2002. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1996. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are

expected to average 33.8 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushel from October and down 4.2 bushels from 2002. As harvest

progressed, producers realized yield decreases from last month in South Dakota, upper Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes,

and eastern Corn Belt. However, in Alabama, Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, the Tennessee Valley, and along the Atlantic

Coastal Plains, yield prospects increased from last month. Area for harvest is forecast at 72.5 million acres, unchanged

from last month but up fractionally from 2002.

All cotton production is forecast at 18.2 million 480-pound bales, up 4 percent from October and up 6 percent from last

year’s production. Yield is expected to average a record high 722 pounds per harvested acre, up 26 pounds from last

month. If realized, it will be 14 pounds above the previous record high yield established in 1994. Record high yields are

expected in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Harvested area, at 12.1 million acres, is unchanged from

October 1 but 3 percent below 2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on November 12, 2003.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Keith J. Collins

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 3 NASS, USDA

 Contents

Page

Corn for Grain ..................................................................................... 4

 Plant Population Per Acre .......................................................................... 20

 Number of Ears Per Acre .......................................................................... 21

 Percentage Distribution by Plant Population Per Acre .................................................... 22

 Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Width ............................................................ 23

 Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width ................................... 24

Cotton ............................................................................................ 9

 Cumulative Boll Counts ............................................................................ 27

Cottonseed ......................................................................................... 8

Crop Summary ..................................................................................... 14

Crop Comments .................................................................................... 31

Lentils ........................................................................................... 10

Information Contacts ............................................................................... 38

Papayas .......................................................................................... 12

Peanuts ............................................................................................ 8

Peas, Austrian Winter ............................................................................... 11

Peas, Dry Edible ................................................................................... 11

Potatoes .......................................................................................... 12

 Fall Percent of Major Varieties Planted ................................................................ 13

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ............................................................. 36

Rice, by State ...................................................................................... 6

 by Class .......................................................................................... 6

Sorghum for Grain ................................................................................... 5

Soybeans .......................................................................................... 7

 Pods with Bean Per 18 Square Feet ................................................................... 25

 Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width ................................... 26

Sugarbeets ........................................................................................ 10

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ......................................................................... 10

Weather Maps ..................................................................................... 28

Weather Summary ................................................................................. 30
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 4 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

180

260

150

720

167

290

11,000

5,220

11,900

2,500

1,040

560

425

2,020

6,700

530

2,700

7,350

70

49

450

700

995

2,870

190

870

260

3,200

620

1,820

305

70

2,900

232

69,313

210

350

130

940

160

310

11,050

5,450

12,000

2,650

1,090

500

400

2,050

6,650

530

2,800

7,750

67

40

460

640

1,250

3,150

200

900

250

4,100

650

1,600

275

80

2,850

233

71,765

88.0

134.0

170.0

156.0

83.0

115.0

136.0

121.0

165.0

116.0

102.0

122.0

76.0

115.0

157.0

125.0

105.0

128.0

58.0

180.0

97.0

83.0

115.0

88.0

130.0

68.0

46.0

95.0

107.0

113.0

66.0

190.0

135.0

133.7

130.0

112.0

140.0

170.0

148.0

138.0

135.0

169.0

148.0

156.0

123.0

140.0

135.0

131.0

129.0

143.0

130.0

109.0

143.0

110.0

170.0

112.0

110.0

100.0

154.0

125.0

120.0

112.0

105.0

132.0

111.0

130.0

195.0

134.0

141.1

142.2

115.0

140.0

170.0

148.0

131.0

135.0

169.0

150.0

159.0

123.0

140.0

135.0

131.0

129.0

143.0

130.0

109.0

145.0

110.0

170.0

118.0

110.0

104.0

156.0

125.0

120.0

115.0

105.0

134.0

111.0

125.0

195.0

132.0

140.5

143.2

15,840

34,840

25,500

112,320

13,861

33,350

1,496,000

631,620

1,963,500

290,000

106,080

68,320

32,300

232,300

1,051,900

66,250

283,500

940,800

4,060

8,820

43,650

58,100

114,425

252,560

24,700

59,160

11,960

304,000

66,340

205,660

20,130

13,300

391,500

31,013

9,007,659

24,150

49,000

22,100

139,120

20,960

41,850

1,867,450

817,500

1,908,000

325,950

152,600

67,500

52,400

264,450

950,950

68,900

305,200

1,123,750

7,370

6,800

54,280

70,400

130,000

491,400

25,000

108,000

28,750

430,500

87,100

177,600

34,375

15,600

376,200

32,727

10,277,932

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003

Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 5 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

 Sts 1

US

230

90

77

3,000

165

185

300

80

330

90

2,550

202

7,299

215

210

105

3,100

165

210

510

90

250

150

2,600

246

7,851

77.0

20.0

83.0

45.0

81.0

85.0

50.0

35.0

45.0

34.0

51.0

69.3

50.7

86.0

32.0

85.0

43.0

85.0

71.0

59.0

35.0

34.0

52.0

52.0

79.4

51.0

85.0

27.0

82.0

43.0

85.0

71.0

62.0

35.0

36.0

48.0

52.0

77.4

51.0

17,710

1,800

6,391

135,000

13,365

15,725

15,000

2,800

14,850

3,060

130,050

14,007

369,758

18,275

5,670

8,610

133,300

14,025

14,910

31,620

3,150

9,000

7,200

135,200

19,052

400,012

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be published in the

"Crop Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 6 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,503

528

535

253

182

206

3,207

1,454

495

445

233

170

181

2,978

6,440

8,140

5,500

6,400

6,050

7,100

6,578

6,550

7,900

5,800

6,500

6,100

6,400

6,624

6,600

7,900

5,800

6,600

6,100

6,400

6,656

96,752

42,989

29,400

16,192

11,011

14,616

210,960

95,964

39,105

25,810

15,378

10,370

11,584

198,211

 1 Sweet rice acreage and production included in 2003, but not previous year.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain 1 All

1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

2001

2002

2003 2

167,555

157,243

146,000

46,105

52,201

49,454

1,610

1,516

2,757

215,270

210,960

198,211

 1 Sweet rice production included with short grain in 2003, but not previous years. 2 The 2003 rice production by class estimates are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all

rice yield.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 7 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

155

2,880

185

140

10,550

5,770

10,400

2,540

1,260

660

470

2,040

7,100

1,370

5,000

4,580

97

144

1,290

2,630

4,720

250

390

415

4,090

1,120

205

440

1,520

26

72,437

155

2,850

175

180

10,350

5,350

10,550

2,500

1,250

730

420

1,990

7,400

1,410

4,950

4,500

88

142

1,390

3,100

4,280

255

365

410

4,200

1,150

180

480

1,710

28

72,538

24.0

33.5

25.0

21.0

43.0

41.5

48.0

23.0

33.0

32.0

23.0

38.5

43.5

32.0

34.0

38.5

23.0

32.0

24.0

33.0

31.0

26.0

26.0

17.0

31.0

31.0

28.0

23.0

44.0

35.6

38.0

31.0

35.0

36.0

33.0

37.0

40.0

34.0

22.0

40.0

34.0

36.0

32.0

32.0

36.0

28.0

39.0

30.0

37.0

30.0

28.0

41.0

25.0

40.0

24.0

30.0

38.0

26.0

34.0

30.0

34.9

34.0

34.0

37.0

38.0

33.0

37.0

38.0

34.0

23.0

43.0

34.0

37.0

27.0

31.0

36.0

29.0

39.0

33.0

37.0

31.0

28.0

40.0

25.0

40.0

27.0

29.0

40.0

26.0

34.0

28.0

34.9

33.8

3,720

96,480

4,625

2,940

453,650

239,455

499,200

58,420

41,580

21,120

10,810

78,540

308,850

43,840

170,000

176,330

2,231

4,608

30,960

86,790

146,320

6,500

10,140

7,055

126,790

34,720

5,740

10,120

66,880

926

2,749,340

5,270

105,450

6,650

5,940

382,950

203,300

358,700

57,500

53,750

24,820

15,540

53,730

229,400

50,760

143,550

175,500

2,904

5,254

43,090

86,800

171,200

6,375

14,600

11,070

121,800

46,000

4,680

16,320

47,880

976

2,451,759

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 8 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

185.0

86.0

505.0

18.0

100.0

57.0

8.7

280.0

57.0

1,296.7

189.0

107.0

535.0

17.0

100.0

38.0

18.0

240.0

33.0

1,277.0

2,050

2,300

2,600

3,000

2,100

2,800

2,200

3,100

2,100

2,561

2,900

2,900

3,200

2,900

2,800

2,900

3,200

3,300

2,800

3,095

2,900

3,000

3,400

2,900

3,000

2,800

3,400

3,300

2,900

3,205

379,250

197,800

1,313,000

54,000

210,000

159,600

19,140

868,000

119,700

3,320,490

548,100

321,000

1,819,000

49,300

300,000

106,400

61,200

792,000

95,700

4,092,700

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

State

Production

2001 2002 2003 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 7,452.2 6,183.9 6,689.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 9 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

540.0

213.0

920.0

477.0

1,360.0

495.0

1,150.0

368.0

50.0

920.0

180.0

200.0

530.0

4,500.0

98.0

183.0

12,184.0

8.2

209.0

7.1

18.3

242.6

540.0

221.2

920.0

686.0

1,360.0

495.0

1,150.0

368.0

57.1

920.0

180.0

200.0

530.0

4,518.3

98.0

183.0

12,426.6

510.0

208.0

940.0

555.0

1,290.0

520.0

1,100.0

390.0

42.0

770.0

170.0

217.0

535.0

4,400.0

85.0

207.0

11,939.0

3.9

139.0

6.0

19.5

168.4

510.0

211.9

940.0

694.0

1,290.0

520.0

1,100.0

390.0

48.0

770.0

170.0

217.0

535.0

4,419.5

85.0

207.0

12,107.4

507

1,381

871

1,469

557

717

808

796

816

421

557

314

741

538

465

452

651

1,013

1,386

1,041

1,110

1,342

507

1,368

871

1,444

557

717

808

796

844

421

557

314

741

540

465

452

665

753

1,292

837

1,384

763

877

916

738

857

623

480

719

763

436

678

645

688

1,108

1,312

960

985

1,257

753

1,289

837

1,369

763

877

916

738

870

623

480

719

763

439

678

645

696

772

1,292

909

1,341

800

895

916

825

857

686

565

730

772

458

734

645

715

1,108

1,312

1,040

985

1,260

772

1,289

909

1,335

800

895

916

825

880

686

565

730

772

461

734

645

722

570.0

613.0

1,669.0

1,460.0

1,578.0

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

85.0

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,040.0

95.0

172.3

16,530.3

17.3

603.3

15.4

42.3

678.3

570.0

630.3

1,669.0

2,063.3

1,578.0

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

100.4

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,082.3

95.0

172.3

17,208.6

820.0

560.0

1,780.0

1,550.0

2,150.0

970.0

2,100.0

670.0

75.0

1,100.0

200.0

330.0

860.0

4,200.0

130.0

278.0

17,773.0

9.0

380.0

13.0

40.0

442.0

820.0

569.0

1,780.0

1,930.0

2,150.0

970.0

2,100.0

670.0

88.0

1,100.0

200.0

330.0

860.0

4,240.0

130.0

278.0

18,215.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3 Other States include FL and KS. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 10 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH

OR

WA

WY

US

49.9

39.5

210.0

177.0

476.0

55.9

42.0

258.0

1.8

11.0

4.0

36.0

1,361.1

50.0

27.5

207.0

175.0

464.0

52.2

42.7

278.0

1.8

9.4

4.4

33.6

1,345.6

39.5

20.1

24.3

18.1

18.6

19.6

18.1

18.6

20.6

27.4

35.0

18.3

20.4

37.0

23.5

27.6

18.0

19.9

25.0

20.7

21.0

24.0

29.6

40.0

21.5

22.2

37.0

23.2

29.4

18.5

20.6

25.0

20.5

21.0

24.0

29.6

40.0

22.0

22.8

1,971

794

5,103

3,204

8,854

1,096

760

4,799

37

301

140

659

27,718

1,850

638

6,086

3,238

9,558

1,305

875

5,838

43

278

176

739

30,624

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to

year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted November 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

461.0

22.7

495.0

44.5

1,023.2

441.0

22.0

490.0

44.0

997.0

38.3

95.1

28.3

38.9

34.7

40.0

95.0

30.0

36.9

36.2

40.0

95.0

30.0

36.9

36.2

17,653

2,159

14,009

1,732

35,553

17,640

2,090

14,700

1,624

36,054

 1 Net tons.

Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2001-2003

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

WA

US

68.0

25.0

53.0

75.0

221.0

64.0

29.0

55.0

93.0

241.0

66.0

21.0

47.0

75.0

209.0

63.0

18.0

54.0

91.0

226.0

Yield Production

2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

MT

ND

WA

US

1,200

710

1,100

1,400

1,200

950

780

1,180

1,000

1,012

795

220

603

1,280

2,898

792

149

517

1,050

2,508

599

140

637

910

2,286
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 11 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2001-2003 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

OR

WA

US

41.0

32.0

155.0

4.7

70.0

302.7

50.0

32.0

160.0

5.0

83.0

330.0

40.0

27.0

138.0

4.7

70.0

279.7

49.0

30.0

155.0

5.0

82.0

321.0

Yield Production

2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

MT

ND

OR

WA

US

1,600

760

1,450

1,400

1,900

1,517

1,200

1,270

1,770

1,320

1,500

1,560

460

249

1,737

77

1,240

3,763

640

205

2,001

66

1,330

4,242

588

381

2,744

66

1,230

5,009

 1 Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas.

Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2001-2003

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

OR

US

11.0

9.5

1.0

21.5

10.0

9.5

1.2

20.7

7.5

3.5

0.6

11.6

8.0

3.0

0.6

11.6

Yield Production

2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

MT

OR

US

1,800

580

1,500

1,414

1,400

850

1,000

1,241

68

20

9

97

135

20

9

164

112

26

6

144
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 12 NASS, USDA

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2002 2003

2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Sep

Oct

2,170

2,155

2,365

2,370

1,500

1,500

1,565

1,570

3,585

4,035

2,820

3,340

 1 Utilized fresh production.

Potatoes: Area Planted, Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,

by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2002-2003

Seasonal Group

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter 1

 Total

Spring 1

 Total

Summer 1

 Total

Fall

 CA

 CO

 ID

 10 SW Co

 Other ID

 IN

 ME

 MA

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NV

 NM

 NY

 ND

 OH

 OR

 Malheur

 Other OR

 PA

 RI

 SD

 UT

 WA

 WI

 Total

US

15.8

87.8

62.2

8.2

71.6

375.0

27.0

348.0

2.9

64.0

3.3

46.5

61.0

10.5

22.0

7.6

4.0

22.5

118.0

4.3

50.0

8.0

42.0

15.0

0.5

1.1

0.8

165.0

85.0

1,138.8

1,304.6

14.6

85.1

64.6

8.4

66.3

360.0

25.0

335.0

3.0

66.0

3.0

46.0

60.0

10.7

23.5

8.3

4.0

22.2

117.0

4.5

42.8

5.8

37.0

14.5

0.5

1.0

1.0

165.0

82.0

1,109.7

1,274.0

15.7

86.1

59.1

8.2

71.5

373.0

27.0

346.0

2.8

64.0

3.2

45.5

55.0

10.4

21.8

7.6

4.0

22.0

102.0

4.2

49.8

8.0

41.8

14.0

0.5

1.1

0.8

165.0

83.0

1,109.4

1,270.3

14.3

82.9

60.5

8.4

65.7

358.0

25.0

333.0

2.7

65.5

2.8

45.0

58.0

10.6

23.0

8.0

4.0

21.7

112.0

4.3

42.6

5.8

36.8

14.0

0.5

1.0

1.0

165.0

81.0

1,094.8

1,252.5

268

271

304

520

390

358

455

350

260

265

255

305

340

310

395

350

400

250

230

215

501

400

520

185

235

300

305

560

375

373

362

282

269

320

410

360

344

465

335

250

260

275

325

385

320

400

420

390

300

240

300

493

415

505

295

270

340

335

580

420

378

367

4,206

23,294

17,985

4,264

27,885

133,385

12,285

121,100

728

16,960

816

13,878

18,700

3,224

8,611

2,660

1,600

5,500

23,460

903

24,936

3,200

21,736

2,590

118

330

244

92,400

31,125

414,317

459,802

4,027

22,305

19,360

3,444

23,652

123,180

11,625

111,555

675

17,030

770

14,625

22,330

3,392

9,200

3,360

1,560

6,510

26,880

1,290

20,991

2,407

18,584

4,130

135

340

335

95,700

34,020

413,549

459,241

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 13 NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted, 2003 Crop

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 States, accounting for 88 percent of the forecast

U. S. fall potato production. Colorado data are from a growers potato variety survey. The remaining 7 States conduct

objective yield surveys where all producing areas were sampled in proportion to planted acreage. Variety data shown

below are actual percentages from these surveys.

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted,

Selected States and 8 States Total, 2003 Crop

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

CO

 R Norkotah

 R Nugget

 Centennial R

 Yukon Gold

 Silverton R

 Durango

 Keystone R

 Sangre

 Chipeta

 Other

Total

ID

 R Burbank

 Ranger R

 R Norkotah

 Shepody

 R Alturas

 Other

Total

ME

 R Burbank

 Frito-Lay

 Shepody

 Ontario

 Superior

 R Norkotah

 Atlantic

 Katahdin

 Norwis

 Snowden

 Yukon Gold

 Norland

 Reba

 Goldrush

 Chieftain

 Other

Total

MN

 R Burbank

 Norland

 Pontiac

 Shepody

 NorValley

 Cascade

 R Alturas

 Sangre

60.7

9.0

6.6

4.1

2.0

1.2

1.0

0.8

0.7

13.9

100.0

69.2

12.9

10.1

1.3

1.2

5.3

100.0

33.2

11.9

9.7

8.3

6.1

4.4

3.5

2.5

2.4

2.2

2.0

1.9

1.7

1.6

1.4

7.2

100.0

50.7

21.8

3.2

3.0

2.7

2.4

2.3

1.9

 Dakota Rose

 Goldrush

 R Norkotah

 Dakota Pearl

 Other

Total

ND

 R Burbank

 Shepody

 Norland

 Frito-Lay

 Dakota Pearl

 Ranger R

 La Soda

 NorValley

 Pontiac

 Atlantic

 Ivory Crisp

 Snowden

 La Rouge

 R Alturas

 Other

Total

OR

 R Norkotah

 R Burbank

 Ranger R

 Shepody

 Frito-Lay

 R Alturas

 Atlantic

 Other

Total

WA

 R Burbank

 Ranger R

 R Norkotah

 Shepody

 Umatilla R

 Chieftain

 R Alturas

 Yukon Gold

 Cascade

 Rosara

 Other

Total

WI

 R Burbank

 Frito-Lay

1.5

1.5

1.3

1.0

6.7

100.0

42.4

13.4

8.6

6.7

4.9

4.1

3.3

3.0

2.4

2.0

1.7

1.6

1.4

1.3

3.2

100.0

25.6

22.3

15.4

13.3

10.7

5.0

4.1

3.6

100.0

34.9

22.1

11.1

9.3

8.2

4.0

1.5

1.4

1.1

1.0

5.4

100.0

20.7

19.1

 R Norkotah

 Goldrush

 Norland

 Snowden

 Silverton R

 Superior

 Atlantic

 Pike

 Ranger R

 Shepody

 Other

Total

TOTAL(8 States)

 R Burbank

 Ranger R

 R Norkotah

 Shepody

 Frito-Lay

 Norland

 Umatilla R

 R Alturas

 Snowden

 Goldrush

 Atlantic

 Chieftain

 Superior

 NorValley

 Dakota Pearl

 Ontario

 Yukon Gold

 La Soda

 Pontiac

 Silverton R

 Cascade

 Pike

 Nor Donna

 Gem

 Katahdin

 Ivory Crisp

 Norwis

 La Rouge

 Cal White

 Rosara

 Bannock

 Sangre

 Reba

 Dakota Rose

 Amisk

 Viking

 Other

Total

15.0

9.6

8.6

7.9

6.2

4.3

2.2

1.9

1.5

1.1

1.9

100.0

48.9

10.7

9.1

5.7

4.2

4.0

1.7

1.3

1.2

1.2

1.0

0.9

0.9

0.8

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

1.4

100.0
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 14 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,071.0

79,054.0

4,995.0

450.0

3,240.0

1,395.0

9,580.0

60,468.0

41,845.0

2,909.0

15,714.0

1,459.0

785.0

191.0

1,358.0

3.4

219.0

73,923.0

2,580.0

13,957.9

13,714.0

243.9

1,427.3

21.5

1,922.1

302.7

221.0

1,304.6

15.8

87.8

62.2

1,138.8

97.2

5,299.0

79,066.0

4,601.0

630.0

3,005.0

1,368.0

9,509.0

61,700.0

44,945.0

2,915.0

13,840.0

1,121.0

583.0

96.5

1,315.0

1.6

213.0

73,585.0

2,364.0

13,631.0

13,451.0

180.0

1,364.7

20.7

1,501.2

330.0

241.0

1,274.0

14.6

85.1

64.6

1,109.7

94.0

4,129.0

69,313.0

7,490.0

64,497.0

23,135.0

41,362.0

2,093.0

220.0

3,207.0

281.0

7,299.0

352.0

45,917.0

29,751.0

2,703.0

13,463.0

1,275.0

704.0

175.0

1,296.7

3.1

196.0

72,437.0

2,180.0

12,426.6

12,184.0

242.6

1,361.1

1,023.2

428.7

11.6

1,726.9

279.7

209.0

5.9

0.3

29.3

80.2

1,270.3

15.7

86.1

59.1

1,109.4

18.0

83.5

0.4

4,688.0

71,765.0

64,379.0

23,541.0

40,838.0

2,224.0

2,978.0

339.0

7,851.0

52,839.0

36,541.0

2,869.0

13,429.0

1,085.0

572.0

94.2

1,277.0

1.5

198.0

72,538.0

2,274.0

12,107.4

11,939.0

168.4

1,345.6

997.0

413.0

11.6

1,417.8

321.0

226.0

0.2

28.3

1,252.5

14.3

82.9

60.5

1,094.8

91.0

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop

year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 15 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

54.9

130.0

14.0

2.34

3.19

1.86

56.7

12.5

6,578

24.8

50.7

9.5

35.3

38.5

29.4

29.3

1,218

17.9

705

2,561

1,461

1,520

38.0

1,142

665

651

1,342

20.4

34.7

2,055

1,414

1,736

1,517

1,200

1,270

45,000

1,990

85

362

268

271

304

373

108

154

58.9

143.2

2.50

3.34

2.01

65.0

6,656

27.3

51.0

44.2

46.7

33.7

39.7

1,425

3,205

33.8

1,152

722

715

1,260

22.8

36.2

2,044

1,241

1,665

1,560

1,012

37,000

1,898

367

282

269

320

378

226,573

9,007,659

104,979

150,962

73,824

77,138

118,628

2,755

210,960

6,955

369,758

3,360

1,619,001

1,145,602

79,450

393,949

1,552,520

6,183.9

12,569

123,450

3,320,490

4,530

297,980

2,749,340

2,489,606

17,208.6

16,530.3

678.3

27,718

35,553

880,734

164

29,974

4,242

2,508

457

7,500

14,400

58,336.6

6,818

459,802

4,206

23,294

17,985

414,317

1,942

12,865

6,100

276,087

10,277,932

160,706

78,523

82,183

144,649

198,211

9,254

400,012

2,336,526

1,707,069

96,637

532,820

1,545,709

6,689.0

4,092,700

2,451,759

2,619,497

18,215.0

17,773.0

442.0

30,624

36,054

844,298

144

23,603

5,009

2,286

7,400

53,793.9

459,241

4,027

22,305

19,360

413,549

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop

year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 16 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2002 2003 2004

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lbs

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,424

1

801

12,374

97

420

70

8,555.6

90.0

19,500.0

7,364.0

103.0

45,900.0

2,575.4

868.5

171.0

15.7

1,090,000

19.5

172,900

303,000

282.0

1,393

2,063

1,026

11,545

106

371

59

9,351.6

90.4

6,752.4

115.0

2,618.1

933.3

190.0

14.7

1,000,000

35.0

281,900

180,000

315.0

1,239

2,185

988

13,636

59

431

63

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 17 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,052,180

31,992,360

2,021,430

182,110

1,311,200

564,540

3,876,930

24,470,790

16,934,250

1,177,240

6,359,300

590,440

317,680

77,300

549,570

1,380

88,630

29,915,900

1,044,100

5,648,620

5,549,920

98,700

577,610

8,700

777,850

122,500

89,440

527,960

6,390

35,530

25,170

460,860

39,340

2,144,450

31,997,220

1,861,980

254,950

1,216,090

553,620

3,848,200

24,969,370

18,188,790

1,179,670

5,600,910

453,660

235,930

39,050

532,170

650

86,200

29,779,110

956,690

5,516,330

5,443,490

72,840

552,280

8,380

607,520

133,550

97,530

515,580

5,910

34,440

26,140

449,080

38,040

1,670,970

28,050,280

3,031,130

26,101,290

9,362,500

16,738,790

847,020

89,030

1,297,840

113,720

2,953,830

142,450

18,582,150

12,039,930

1,093,880

5,448,340

515,980

284,900

70,820

524,760

1,250

79,320

29,314,530

882,220

5,028,920

4,930,740

98,180

550,820

414,080

173,470

4,690

698,860

113,190

84,580

2,390

130

11,860

32,460

514,080

6,350

34,840

23,920

448,960

7,280

33,790

170

1,897,190

29,042,580

26,053,540

9,526,810

16,526,730

900,030

1,205,170

137,190

3,177,220

21,383,410

14,787,780

1,161,060

5,434,580

439,090

231,480

38,120

516,790

610

80,130

29,355,400

920,270

4,899,740

4,831,590

68,150

544,550

403,480

167,140

4,690

573,770

129,910

91,460

80

11,470

506,870

5,790

33,550

24,480

443,050

36,830

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop

year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 18 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

2.95

8.16

31.42

5.25

7.15

4.18

2.03

0.70

7.37

1.55

3.18

21.40

2.37

2.59

1.98

1.97

1.36

1.12

0.79

2.87

1.64

1.70

2.55

1.28

0.75

0.73

1.50

45.65

77.89

2.30

1.58

1.95

1.70

1.35

1.42

50.44

2.23

0.10

40.57

30.03

30.32

34.11

41.86

0.12

17.27

3.17

8.99

5.60

7.48

4.51

2.33

7.46

1.71

3.20

2.97

3.14

2.27

2.67

1.60

3.59

2.27

1.29

0.81

0.80

1.41

51.02

81.06

2.29

1.39

1.87

1.75

1.13

41.47

2.13

41.10

31.56

30.16

35.87

42.34

4,933,040

228,805,080

95,235,350

136,950,420

66,972,010

69,978,420

1,721,880

62,480

9,568,990

176,670

9,392,290

3,048,140

44,061,990

31,178,180

2,162,270

10,721,530

704,210

5,609,940

319,270

56,000

1,506,150

2,050

135,160

74,824,770

1,129,270

3,746,730

3,599,050

147,680

25,145,350

32,253,140

399,490

7,440

1,359,600

192,410

113,760

20,730

3,400

6,530

26,460

3,090

20,856,270

190,780

1,056,600

815,790

18,793,100

880

583,550

2,770

6,011,080

261,071,500

145,790,030

71,234,870

74,555,160

2,099,570

8,990,700

235,060

10,160,770

63,589,820

46,458,800

2,630,030

14,500,980

701,120

6,068,160

1,856,420

66,725,950

1,188,180

3,965,850

3,869,610

96,230

27,781,630

32,707,640

382,970

6,530

1,070,610

227,200

103,690

3,360

24,400

20,830,820

182,660

1,011,740

878,150

18,758,270

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop

year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 19 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2002 2003 2004

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,199,020

910

726,650

11,225,500

88,000

381,020

63,500

3,880,760

81,680

8,850

6,680,510

93,440

20,820

1,168,180

787,840

155,130

14,200

494,420

17,690

78,430

137,440

255,830

6,960

1,871,520

930,770

10,473,450

96,160

336,570

53,520

4,241,810

82,010

6,125,670

104,330

1,187,550

846,630

172,370

13,340

453,590

31,750

127,870

81,650

285,760

6,190

1,982,200

896,300

12,370,370

53,520

391,000

57,150

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 20 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 7 corn producing States during 2003. 

Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts

and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey.

Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre,

Selected States, 1999-2003

State Month 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

25,750

25,700

25,650

25,650

25,250

25,100

25,100

25,100

25,850

25,900

25,900

25,900

26,750

26,800

26,800

26,800

23,200

23,100

23,100

23,100

26,350

26,250

26,200

26,200

19,000

18,900

18,900

18,900

25,000

25,050

25,000

25,000

26,050

26,150

26,200

26,200

25,800

25,800

25,800

25,800

25,050

25,150

25,150

25,150

26,500

26,200

26,300

26,300

27,500

27,250

27,150

27,150

23,700

23,400

23,400

23,450

27,300

27,000

27,000

27,050

18,500

18,200

18,200

18,200

25,200

24,900

24,800

24,900

26,550

26,150

26,200

26,200

26,750

26,700

26,650

26,650

26,100

25,900

25,950

25,950

26,500

26,550

26,450

26,450

28,050

28,000

28,000

28,000

22,750

22,650

22,750

22,750

26,250

26,100

26,100

26,050

18,550

18,450

18,700

18,700

26,150

26,100

26,050

26,050

26,800

26,950

27,000

27,000

26,400

26,350

26,350

26,350

25,350

25,350

25,300

25,300

26,850

26,700

26,700

26,700

26,950

26,850

26,800

26,800

23,250

23,250

23,350

23,350

26,400

26,450

26,450

26,450

19,450

19,450

19,650

19,650

24,850

24,450

24,400

24,400

26,550

26,400

26,650

26,650

27,150

27,050

27,050

26,050

25,900

25,900

27,400

27,250

27,250

28,700

28,800

28,800

23,800

23,700

23,700

26,900

26,700

26,650

19,800

19,800

19,800

25,900

25,900

25,900

27,300

27,000

27,100
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 21 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,

Selected States, 1999-2003

State Month 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

25,050

24,950

24,850

24,900

24,350

23,950

23,900

23,900

25,300

25,300

25,300

25,300

26,650

26,700

26,650

26,650

22,800

22,650

22,600

22,600

25,800

25,600

25,600

25,600

18,800

18,700

18,700

18,700

24,000

24,100

24,050

24,050

25,600

25,700

25,700

25,700

25,500

25,450

25,450

25,450

24,500

24,550

24,650

24,650

26,000

25,600

25,650

25,650

27,350

27,350

27,250

27,250

22,800

22,750

22,700

22,750

26,500

26,350

26,350

26,350

17,550

17,500

17,500

17,500

24,450

24,250

23,950

24,100

26,100

25,500

25,550

25,550

25,650

25,550

25,550

25,550

25,500

25,350

25,400

25,400

25,450

25,350

25,250

25,250

27,500

26,750

26,700

26,700

22,200

21,950

22,050

22,050

25,550

25,350

25,350

25,350

18,050

17,800

18,000

18,000

25,550

25,250

25,150

25,100

26,100

26,100

26,100

26,100

25,050

25,050

25,000

25,000

23,900

23,650

23,650

23,650

25,950

25,800

25,800

25,800

26,550

26,150

26,100

26,100

21,650

21,250

21,200

21,200

25,800

25,700

25,650

25,650

16,700

15,950

15,950

15,950

23,700

22,400

22,350

22,350

25,950

25,050

25,250

25,250

26,700

26,700

26,650

25,350

25,400

25,350

26,700

26,550

26,600

28,300

28,650

28,600

22,950

22,650

22,600

26,550

26,350

26,300

18,300

17,850

17,800

25,500

25,700

25,750

26,150

26,300

26,250
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 22 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Plant Population Per Acre

Selected States, 1999-2003

State Year

Plant Populations

Less than

20,000

20,001-

22,500

22,501-

25,000

25,001-

27,500

27,501-

30,000

More than

30,000

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

OH

WI

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

6.7

7.7

4.2

5.6

3.4

10.6

8.9

7.1

10.4

5.5

6.3

3.6

5.1

3.6

1.5

11.1

6.1

1.9

4.4

1.2

28.8

32.2

25.5

17.5

16.3

8.1

11.3

7.8

16.4

5.0

4.7

9.3

5.2

5.9

6.8

9.7

10.0

9.2

8.9

4.5

9.3

12.7

7.7

8.4

8.0

10.1

10.8

6.9

7.8

7.7

3.1

7.3

3.7

5.1

2.4

14.8

9.5

13.6

11.8

10.8

11.7

12.2

5.2

16.4

8.9

10.6

8.1

9.1

4.7

8.2

21.6

20.7

19.2

17.8

16.4

23.6

25.9

18.6

20.1

19.6

22.4

17.2

20.1

17.4

14.0

11.1

11.6

12.3

16.5

8.4

17.3

10.6

14.9

17.0

17.9

26.1

17.4

22.4

21.8

19.8

24.7

20.9

13.0

18.8

13.7

29.6

32.1

28.3

28.3

30.1

32.9

27.8

32.0

32.5

34.4

24.8

31.4

27.4

30.3

27.6

25.9

19.5

21.6

29.1

22.3

17.1

18.8

16.2

24.8

24.6

34.3

30.4

29.2

20.9

36.6

18.8

22.2

27.2

23.5

19.2

23.8

18.8

26.1

24.9

28.4

18.0

16.5

25.0

18.2

22.1

25.2

26.2

25.9

28.1

32.3

27.8

28.7

34.0

29.7

33.2

15.7

18.5

21.3

19.7

20.8

14.4

21.7

25.9

20.0

18.8

27.1

22.1

23.4

33.0

30.2

8.6

10.7

13.0

14.5

17.2

5.6

8.2

9.6

10.4

10.4

11.2

10.8

14.6

12.8

16.9

21.0

26.8

26.5

15.2

32.5

6.3

10.4

8.5

9.2

9.6

5.4

7.0

9.5

4.5

10.9

14.1

17.4

22.1

14.1

21.9
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 23 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths,

Selected States, 1999-2003

State Year

Row Width (inches)

Less than

30 30 36 38 More than38

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

OH

WI

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2

6

5

4

1

4

1

1

3

3

3

3

18

14

25

20

26

1

3

3

7

3

1

1

1

2

2

4

3

221

225

226

227

236

147

140

149

142

155

215

214

227

225

216

124

127

133

128

144

148

156

143

155

154

110

108

109

114

95

60

57

58

71

68

34

33

21

24

23

17

18

16

17

13

30

27

15

20

17

14

18

9

8

5

73

74

93

83

80

6

11

5

3

5

8

9

10

11

8

16

16

16

11

8

7

7

3

1

6

52

41

40

42

45

14

7

7

8

6

12

9

10

5

8

4

1

2

1

1

25

21

19

13

11

1

1

1

1

1

2

1

2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 24 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average

Row Width, Selected States, 1999-2003

State Year

Number

of

Samples

Row Width (inches) Average

Row

Width

20.5

or Less

20.6-

30.5

30.6-

34.5

34.6-

36.5

36.6-

38.5

38.6 &

Greater

Number Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Inches

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

OH

WI

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

269

273

261

269

268

161

158

156

154

163

286

279

274

281

272

162

164

162

158

166

227

224

235

229

240

111

116

116

110

101

85

86

77

85

73

0.4

1.5

0.7

0.7

1.9

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.4

0.7

2.4

2.5

1.9

4.2

0.4

0.4

0.9

1.3

0.8

0.9

2.3

1.3

1.2

63.6

65.6

67.1

74.4

75.8

62.7

67.7

67.3

69.5

71.1

53.6

56.3

63.2

62.2

62.7

63.5

62.3

66.7

69.5

77.7

43.3

52.3

43.8

46.3

52.6

65.8

70.7

74.1

78.2

54.4

40.0

38.4

57.1

60.0

46.6

18.6

16.8

18.0

11.9

12.3

23.0

14.6

21.2

17.5

16.6

17.1

18.6

17.2

15.3

16.5

19.8

20.1

22.2

19.0

13.3

19.8

15.6

15.3

17.0

13.3

28.8

19.0

20.7

17.3

38.6

21.2

25.6

11.7

18.8

31.5

7.4

10.3

7.7

8.2

6.7

5.0

7.0

6.4

10.4

8.0

9.8

6.8

2.9

5.7

5.1

4.3

6.1

3.1

3.2

1.8

23.3

22.3

26.4

23.6

25.0

1.8

5.2

1.8

2.0

9.4

8.1

7.8

5.9

4.1

9.3

6.2

4.6

3.7

4.1

6.8

8.2

5.1

2.6

3.1

12.9

15.8

13.1

9.6

11.0

9.3

7.3

4.3

5.1

1.8

11.0

9.4

12.3

11.8

7.9

3.6

4.3

2.6

0.9

5.0

20.0

16.3

14.3

8.2

9.6

0.7

1.1

1.1

1.1

0.4

2.5

0.6

0.6

6.6

1.8

2.9

6.8

4.0

3.1

1.8

1.2

1.3

1.2

2.2

1.3

0.4

0.8

2.6

0.9

9.4

9.3

7.8

5.9

8.2

31.4

31.3

30.9

30.8

30.7

31.3

31.0

31.0

31.0

30.9

32.5

31.9

31.6

31.8

31.7

30.6

30.5

29.5

30.0

29.1

32.6

32.1

32.7

32.3

32.2

30.6

30.9

30.7

30.3

30.9

33.1

32.6

32.2

31.3

31.7
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 25 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 7 soybean producing States during

2003. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific

counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,

Selected States, 1999-2003

State Month 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

MO

NE

OH

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

1,917

1,823

1,788

1,787

1,771

1,627

1,622

1,622

2,142

1,914

1,894

1,878

1,612

1,555

1,563

1,565

1,242

1,467

1,508

1,525

1,877

1,880

1,872

1,872

1,699

1,463

1,494

1,494

2,162

1,996

2,020

2,021

1,917

1,786

1,784

1,784

1,830

1,674

1,660

1,660

1,607

1,509

1,507

1,507

1,974

1,769

1,782

1,793

1,795

1,617

1,619

1,619

1,893

1,625

1,685

1,697

2,041

1,932

1,932

1,932

2,003

1,882

1,880

1,869

1,809

1,778

1,787

1,796

1,492

1,433

1,475

1,475

1,424

1,732

1,874

1,921

1,961

1,932

2,003

2,048

1,801

1,834

1,785

1,785

1,952

1,785

1,795

1,802

1,773

1,677

1,680

1,680

1,988

1,828

1,867

1,867

1,688

1,785

1,739

1,715

1,427

1,609

1,681

1,705

1,548

1,517

1,587

1,592

1,593

1,495

1,499

1,492

1,800

1,606

1,634

1,786

1,692

1,582

1,749

1,629

1,647

1,582

1,417

1,440

1,144

1,455

1,547

1,727

1,642

1,636

1,791

1,898

1,764
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 26 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width

and Average Width, Selected States, 1999-2003

State Year

Number

of

Samples

Row Width (inches) Average

Row

Width 1 10.0 &

Less 1

10.1-

18.5

18.6-

28.5

28.6-

34.5

34.6 &

Greater

Number Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Inches

IL

IN

IA

MN

MO

NE

OH

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

219

214

208

216

204

148

143

153

149

142

224

205

207

204

203

100

95

91

103

92

126

121

126

130

126

86

82

93

89

97

125

125

131

132

132

44.3

44.6

41.3

36.9

35.6

68.9

73.1

70.2

57.7

56.9

18.4

19.6

16.7

14.5

13.1

22.1

23.7

14.8

19.9

19.6

40.9

33.5

31.3

24.6

24.3

13.4

17.1

19.9

16.5

10.8

78.0

77.2

67.8

71.5

69.6

31.6

36.2

33.4

44.8

45.8

19.9

17.8

19.5

31.2

33.2

25.7

25.2

27.0

26.3

32.3

26.1

19.5

25.8

24.3

31.5

34.1

40.8

43.7

48.1

50.2

23.8

26.8

30.9

29.5

29.4

15.6

19.6

21.8

23.9

27.0

3.0

0.9

1.7

2.1

3.4

0.4

2.1

1.0

2.0

1.1

7.4

7.8

9.8

7.9

6.2

12.1

12.1

17.0

20.9

10.9

6.7

8.3

2.0

6.9

5.6

5.2

6.1

8.3

5.7

5.2

1.6

1.2

3.1

1.5

0.4

16.5

16.4

22.6

14.8

14.2

8.8

7.0

8.6

8.4

8.8

41.8

43.5

39.4

45.9

43.0

33.7

42.6

41.9

33.0

36.9

14.3

15.7

19.0

16.5

17.1

40.7

34.1

26.5

31.8

44.8

4.0

2.0

6.9

2.3

3.0

4.6

1.9

1.0

1.4

1.0

2.0

0.0

0.7

0.7

0.0

6.7

3.9

7.1

5.4

5.4

6.0

2.1

0.5

1.9

1.1

4.0

1.7

4.0

3.9

2.8

16.9

15.9

14.4

16.5

9.8

0.8

0.0

0.4

0.8

0.0

15.8

14.9

16.0

15.5

15.2

11.7

10.9

11.6

12.5

12.4

22.6

21.9

22.5

23.0

22.3

20.4

20.8

21.5

20.2

19.6

15.6

15.9

16.5

17.1

16.9

24.2

23.0

21.6

22.8

24.0

10.1

9.6

11.3

10.2

10.1

 1 Broadcast soybeans included as "10.0 inches and less" but excluded in computation of average width.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 27 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2003. 

Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and

measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, and Selected States, 1999-2003 1

State Month 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

720

700

693

689

689

921

805

779

777

776

596

582

621

636

632

722

743

728

728

728

761

803

767

766

766

623

646

619

621

622

465

446

447

455

456

874

767

755

755

755

760

790

801

800

800

597

631

621

629

629

722

692

674

674

674

657

665

652

650

650

670

724

743

747

747

408

388

397

404

448

747

780

816

756

756

939

902

921

918

918

590

677

651

664

664

625

592

582

588

588

754

696

680

679

679

719

722

696

705

705

441

435

439

445

445

840

763

784

772

772

945

1,041

1,009

1,011

1,011

569

604

591

600

608

663

756

749

742

742

802

783

768

767

767

636

629

560

567

564

536

511

520

497

497

798

755

744

973

945

893

559

646

643

681

778

775

837

824

811

628

630

632

465

431

429

 1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and

burrs, per 40 feet or row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 28 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 29 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 30 NASS, USDA

October Weather Summary

A fairly dramatic change in the weather pattern took place across the United States in late October. The change had

significant consequences in the West, where a high-pressure system settling across the Great Basin resulted in a prolonged

Santa Anna wind event and helped to spark devastating, late-month wildfires across southern California. By month’s end,

however, cool, showery weather overspread much of the West, aiding wildfire containment efforts and building earlyseason mountain snow packs, but slowing or halting Northwestern winter wheat development. Meanwhile on the northern

Plains, late-month rain and snow boosted topsoil moisture reserves, but frigid weather halted winter wheat germination

and growth. However, a shallow to moderate snow cover provided the northern Plains’ poorly established wheat with

some insulation. Warm, dry conditions persisted elsewhere on the Plains, promoting summer crop harvesting but leaving

much of the winter wheat crop with little moisture for autumn establishment. Farther east, Midwestern corn and soybean

harvesting advanced with few delays, although cool weather temporarily slowed winter wheat emergence in the Ohio

Valley and lower Great Lakes region. Elsewhere, cooler- and wetter-than-normal weather prevailed in the Northeast and

most of the southern Atlantic States, slowing summer crop maturation and harvesting in the latter region. Locally heavy

rains also fell in southern Texas, providing beneficial moisture for winter agricultural interests. Mostly dry weather across

the remainder of the South promoted fieldwork, including cotton, soybean, and peanut harvesting.

Despite the late-month cooling trend, Western temperatures averaged as much as 8 degrees F above normal. Much of the

warmth was driven by a record-setting, late-season heat wave that established at least 100 daily-record highs on 6

consecutive days from October 18-23. In contrast, a growing season-ending freeze struck the Midwest and Northeast on

October 2 and 3, arriving more than 2 weeks ahead of schedule in some southern Corn Belt locations, but having little

effect on maturing summer crops. Although record warmth overspread the East at month’s end, October temperatures

were mostly near to slightly below normal. The coolest weather, relative to normal, prevailed from the lower Great Lakes

region to the interior Northeast, where October temperatures averaged as much as 4 degrees F below normal.

October Crop Summary

Temperatures averaged above normal across most of the Nation, though the eastern Corn Belt and Atlantic Coast States

averaged slightly below normal. The beginning of the month brought freezes to the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. 

By mid-month, New England, the central Great Plains, and the northern and central Rocky Mountains had freezing

temperatures as well. By the end of the month, the Middle Atlantic Coast States, Ohio Valley, and Pacific Northwest

experienced their first freezes, and most of the northern Rocky Mountains and northern Great Plains had snow cover. 

Precipitation was heaviest on the Atlantic Coast, particularly in the Northeast. The Pacific Northwest also had some heavy

rainfall, but not in the crop-producing areas. Precipitation was light to moderate across the Corn Belt, Southeast, and

Mississippi Delta. The Great Plains was mostly dry throughout the month, as was the Rocky Mountains, though locally

heavy rains fell on some areas early in the month. The Southwest remained dry throughout the month, contributing to the

wildfires across southern California.

As of October 12, ninety-five percent of the corn crop was mature and 39 percent had been harvested. Maturation was

1 percentage point behind last year and 2 points behind the 5-year average. Harvest progress was 3 points ahead of last

year but 5 points behind normal. By November 2, eighty-five percent of the crop was harvested, 10 points ahead of last

year and 2 points ahead of the average. The crop matured rapidly early in the month, but throughout the Ohio Valley,

development remained 1 week behind normal. Harvest progress was slow early in the month, as most growers focused

their efforts on harvesting soybeans and planting winter wheat. By mid-month, growers in the Great Plains had switched

to harvesting corn, followed shortly by those in the western Corn Belt. Eastern Corn Belt and Ohio Valley producers made

little harvest progress until late in the month, and were 1 week or more behind normal as of November 2.

On October 5, ninety percent of the sorghum crop was coloring, 66 percent was mature, and 42 percent was harvested. All

progress stages were around 2 weeks behind normal. By October 19, coloring had reached 95 percent, but was over

3 weeks behind the normal pace. At that same time, maturation was at 78 percent and 52 percent of the crop had been

harvested, both over 2 weeks behind normal. By the end of the month, 91 percent of the crop was mature and harvest had

advanced to 72 percent, both still 2 weeks behind normal. Though most States were near their normal progress pace,

Kansas and Texas, which together have two-thirds of the Nation’s crop, remained well behind normal throughout the

month. The crop remained around 2 weeks behind normal in Kansas. In Texas, the crop started the month over 4 weeks

behind normal and dropped to 6 weeks behind by month’s end.

Eighty percent of the rice crop was harvested by October 5, compared with 81 percent at that time last year and 82 percent

for the 5-year average. In Texas and Louisiana, harvest was almost complete at mid-month, with Arkansas and

Mississippi close behind. By October 26, ninety-six percent had been harvested, the same as last year but 1 percentage

point behind normal. California and Missouri growers made good progress throughout the month. Harvest was at or near

completion in all States except California, where growers had harvested 85 percent of their crop, 6 points behind normal.

As of October 12, ninety-five percent of the soybean crop was dropping leaves, the same as a year ago but 1 percentage

point behind normal. At that same time, 60 percent of the crop was harvested, compared with 50 percent for last year and

58 percent for the 5-year average. By the end of the month, 91 percent of the crop was harvested, 4 points above last year

but the same as the 5-year average. Early in the month, freezing temperatures in the northern Great Plains, Corn Belt, and

Ohio Valley ended plant growth and promoted maturation. After the first week of the month, harvest progressed rapidly,

encouraged by mostly warm, dry weather. By the month’s end, harvest was complete in Iowa and the Dakotas, and was

nearing completion ahead of normal across the Corn Belt, while growers in Kansas, Missouri, and the Southeast were

behind the normal pace.

At the beginning of the month, 22 percent of the peanut crop was harvested, 2 percentage points ahead of last year but

2 points behind normal. Harvest progressed rapidly in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia, while growers in other States fell
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 31 NASS, USDA

behind. North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Virginia producers accelerated their harvest activities after mid-month, as Texas

producers fell to 3 weeks behind normal. By November 2, eighty-three percent of the crop had been harvested, 8 points

ahead of last year and 1 point above the 5-year average. Harvest was gaining momentum in Texas, but trailed the 5-year

average by almost 1 week, while all other States were at or ahead of normal.

On October 5, seventy-six percent of the cotton crop had open bolls, compared with 89 percent for last year and the 5-year

average. At that time, 21 percent of the crop was harvested, 2 percentage points behind a year ago and 10 points behind

normal. By November 2, ninety-seven percent of the crop had bolls opening, 1 point below last year and the average, and

55 percent of the crop had been harvested, 3 points ahead of a year ago but 10 points behind normal. Development

progressed slowly across the Nation and was around 2 weeks behind normal during most of the month. The crop was over

3 weeks behind in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. Harvest also progressed slowly and remained over 1 week behind

normal nationwide throughout the month. By the end of the month, only California, Louisiana, and Mississippi growers

were ahead of their normal pace, while producers in several States were over 2 weeks behind.

At the beginning of the month, winter wheat acreage planted was at 49 percent, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and

9 points ahead of normal. Twenty percent of the crop was emerged, compared with 21 percent last year and 17 percent for

the 5-year average. On October 19, eighty-two percent of the crop was planted and 61 percent had emerged, 3 and

6 percentage points ahead of normal, respectively. By the end of the month, seeding had advanced to 92 percent complete,

2 points above last year and 3 points above normal, while emergence progressed to 79 percent, the same as a year ago and

4 points ahead of normal. Early in the month, planting progressed rapidly in the Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and

Great Plains, encouraged by warm, dry weather. Toward the middle of the month, planting gained momentum in the Corn

Belt and Ohio Valley as harvest of summer crops advanced. By the end of the month, planting was nearing completion

across the Rocky Mountains and Great Plains, with growers in the Corn Belt close behind. Emergence progressed well in

the Corn Belt during the second half of the month after falling behind early. In the western half of the Nation, emergence

fell behind late in the month due to lack of moisture.

The first estimate of sugarbeet harvest progress, on October 5, was 40 percent, compared to 30 percent last year and

33 percent for the 5-year average. By October 19, harvest advanced to 75 percent complete, 6 percentage points ahead of a

year ago and 2 points ahead of normal. By month’s end, 97 percent of the crop was harvested, 5 points ahead of last year

and 4 points above the average. Growers in Minnesota and North Dakota began harvesting ahead of their normal pace and

were nearly finished by the end of the month. In Idaho and Michigan, growers gained momentum after temperatures fell

late in the month, and were well ahead of normal by the end of the month.

The sunflower crop was 17 percent harvested on October 5, seven points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. 

By the end of the month, harvest advanced to 93 percent complete, compared to 62 percent a year ago and 77 percent for

the 5-year average. Harvest progressed rapidly in Colorado and the Dakotas, and was well ahead of normal throughout the

month. However, Kansas growers made little progress until the end of the month, and progress fell 1 week behind their

normal pace.

Corn for grain: Area harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 71.8 million acres, unchanged from October

but up 4 percent from 2002. Corn objective yield data on November 1 indicate ear counts in the combined seven objective

yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin) are at a record high, 4 percent above the

previous high in 2000 and 6 percent above last year. Indicated ear counts are the highest on record in six of the seven

objective yield States. Nebraska’s ear count is the third highest on record, below 1999 and 2000.

Freezing temperatures during the first week of October ended crop growth in the Corn Belt and Ohio Valley, while warm

weather during the second week of October accelerated maturation. Harvest progressed rapidly during mid-October,

especially in Minnesota and North Dakota where farmers harvested more than 30 percent of their crop during one week. 

As of November 2, eighty-five percent of the corn acreage was harvested in the 18 major corn-producing States, compared

with 75 percent last year and 83 percent for the average. States in the Ohio Valley were behind the 5-year average due to

late planting.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 400 million bushels, virtually unchanged from the October forecast but up 8 percent

from last year. Based on November 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 51.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from last

month but up 0.3 bushel from 2002. Area for harvest as grain is forecast at 7.85 million acres, unchanged from last month

but 8 percent above last year.

As of November 2, harvest in the top 11 sorghum producing States was 72 percent complete, compared to 71 percent last

year and the 5-year average of 86 percent. The harvest was complete in Arkansas and Louisiana, but was behind in all of

the remaining States except Colorado and South Dakota. Farmers in Kansas, where harvest was 17 points behind the

5-year average, were waiting for the grain to dry down. In Texas, harvest is complete in the southern and central areas, but

continues to lag well behind normal in the Plains where late planting, and slow maturity, may extend the harvest into

December. Nationwide, the sorghum crop was 91 percent mature, trailing last year by 3 percentage points and the 5-year

average by 7 points.

Rice: Production is forecast at 198 million cwt, up fractionally from October but down 6 percent from 2002. Harvested

acres, at 2.98 million, are unchanged from October but down 7 percent from 2002. As of November 1, the U.S. all rice

yield is forecast at a record high 6,656 pounds per acre. This forecast yield is up 32 pounds from October and up

78 pounds from the previous record high yield set in 2002. Record high yields are forecast for Arkansas, Louisiana,

Mississippi, and Missouri. As of November 2, the U.S. rice harvest was complete or nearly complete in all estimating

States.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 32 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Growers expect to harvest 72.5 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from October, but up fractionally from

2002. The November objective yield pod counts are forecasted down slightly from last month and 7 percent below last

year. This is the lowest pod count since 1997 for the combined seven States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri,

Nebraska, and Ohio). Pod counts are considerably below last year in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and Missouri,

while counts are higher than 2002 in Nebraska and Ohio.

Freezing temperatures the first week of October in the northern Great Plains, Corn Belt, and Ohio Valley ended plant

growth and promoted maturation. As of November 2, ninety-one percent of the soybean acreage was harvested in the

18 major producing States. This compares with 87 percent last year and the 5-year average of 91 percent. Harvest across

most of the Nation progressed rapidly, promoted by warm, dry weather. By the end of October, harvest neared completion

in the western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Progress was nearly 1 week ahead of normal in Michigan and

Wisconsin, but was over 1 week behind in Kansas and Missouri.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.09 billion pounds, up 4 percent from last month and up 23 percent from 2002. Area

for harvest is expected to total 1.28 million acres, unchanged from the October estimate but down 2 percent from 2002. 

Yields are expected to average a record high 3,205 pounds per acre, 110 pounds above last month and up 644 pounds

from 2002. Record high yields are forecast for Georgia, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.75 billion

pounds, up 5 percent from last month and 44 percent above last year. Expected area for harvest, at 849,000 acres, is

unchanged from last month but up 8 percent from the previous year. Yield in the 4-State area is expected to average

3,238 pounds per acre, up 143 pounds from October and 805 pounds above 2002. As of November 2, peanut harvest in

Alabama stood at 94 percent complete, 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Florida harvest was 98 percent

complete and 2 percentage points ahead of average. Georgia harvest, at 92 percent complete, was 1 percentage point

ahead of the 5-year average.

The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 396 million pounds, up 6 percent from October and up 20 percent

from 2002. Area for harvest is expected to total 133,000 acres, unchanged from last month but down 15 percent from the

previous year. Yield is forecast at 2,975 pounds, up 175 pounds from October and up 875 pounds from last year. Peanut

harvest in North Carolina on November 2 stood at 88 percent complete, 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. 

Virginia harvest, at 96 percent complete, was equal to the 5-year average.

The Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 948 million pounds, down less

than 1 percent from October and down 12 percent from 2002. The region’s area for harvest, at 295,000 acres, is

unchanged from October but 17 percent below the 2002 level. Yield is forecast to average 3,213 pounds per acre for the

region, 12 pounds below last month but 166 pounds above 2002. Oklahoma peanut harvest on November 2 stood at

88 percent compete, 10 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Texas harvest, at 48 percent complete, lagged the

normal pace by 7 percentage points.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 11.9 million acres, is unchanged from the October estimate but 2 percent less

than last year. Harvest progress continues to lag well behind the 5-year average in most States. American-Pima harvested

area, at 168,400 acres, is unchanged from October but down 31 percent from 2002. 

In the Southeastern States, cool temperatures in early October slowed boll maturation and the effectiveness of defoliates. 

There were warm, sunny days later in October that aided maturity, but there were also intermittent showers throughout the

month that interrupted harvest activity. Objective yield data continue to show above average boll counts in Georgia. 

Average boll weight is the highest of the previous five years. North Carolina boll counts and weights are near average. 

Cotton producers in the lower Delta region had mostly excellent harvesting weather throughout October. Heavy rains near

the middle of the month halted the Louisiana harvest temporarily, but ideal conditions prevailed soon after. Interior Delta

growers were concerned about the cooler temperatures early in the month. The cooler weather slowed the effect of the

defoliation process. Bolls were slow to open and leaves were slow to drop. These concerns were virtually eliminated

toward the end of the month as above normal temperatures prevailed, aiding the boll opening process significantly. Boll

counts and average boll weights in Mississippi are the highest in the 15-year data series. Louisiana’s boll counts and

average boll weights are the highest since 1992 and 1996, respectively. Boll counts in Arkansas are slightly below the

15-year average and the lowest since 1999. However, Arkansas boll weights are the highest since 1994.

Clear weather early in October allowed growers south of the Lubbock, Texas area to advance harvesting operations

rapidly. Producers north of Lubbock held off harvesting, however, waiting for a killing freeze to defoliate their crop. 

Harvest activity was winding down in southern and coastal areas of Texas. Record high temperatures returned to the High

Plains region during the last half of the month. Growers were able to harvest their cotton under ideal conditions. 

Objective yield measurements show Texas boll counts are the fourth lowest in the last 15 years. Average boll weights are

the highest since 1996.

The cotton harvest began in the San Joaquin Valley in early October and expanded rapidly throughout the month under

ideal conditions. Arizona’s harvest was well underway by October 1 and made rapid progress with the excellent harvest

weather. Data from objective yield measurements show California boll counts are the third highest in the 15-year data

series, surpassed only by the previous two years. Boll weights are below the 15-year average, but the highest since 1998. 

American-Pima production is forecast at 442,000 bales, up slightly from the October forecast but down 35 percent from

last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,260 pounds per harvested acre, up 3 pounds from last month. California growers

are expecting a yield of 1,312 pounds per harvested acre, unchanged from the October 1 forecast. There was limited

harvesting early in October, but growers made considerable progress by the end of the month.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 33 NASS, USDA

All cotton ginned totaled 7,395,650 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 6,696,650 running bales ginned by

the same date last year and 8,806,350 running bales ginned in 2001.

Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at 30.6 million tons, 2 percent above the October forecast and 10 percent above last

year's production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.35 million acres. This is virtually

unchanged from October but 1 percent below last year. The yield is forecast at 22.8 tons per acre, 0.6 ton above last

month and 2.4 tons above 2002.

Near ideal weather conditions throughout most of the sugarbeet growing areas have allowed for timely harvest. As of

November 2, harvest was 97 percent complete in the four reporting States, compared to the 5-year average of 93 percent. 

The harvest in North Dakota, which had been suspended in early October due to possible storage losses caused by warm

weather, is now complete. Minnesota’s harvest was 99 percent complete, equal to the 5-year average. Warm days and

cool nights in the northern Rocky Mountain growing areas have been favorable for building high sucrose content. In

Michigan and Ohio, cooler weather after mid-month provided good storage conditions and allowed harvest to advance

rapidly.

Sugarcane: Production is forecast at 36.1 million tons, unchanged from the October forecast but 1 percent above last

year. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 997,000 acres for sugar and seed during the 2003 crop year, unchanged from

last month but 3 percent below last year's final harvested area. Yield is forecast at 36.2 tons per acre, unchanged from

October but 1.5 tons above 2002.

Dry weather conditions in Florida and Louisiana have been favorable for harvesting. The Louisiana harvest continues to

advance smoothly while Florida growers began harvesting around mid-October. Harvesting in Texas has been slowed by

heavy rain and wet field conditions. Weather in Hawaii remained relatively dry but has not yet had an influence on yields.

Lentils: Production of lentils is forecast at 2.29 million cwt, down 9 percent from last year. Area for harvest is forecast at

226,000 acres, up 8 percent from the previous year. Average yield is expected to be 1,011 pounds per acre, down

189 pounds per acre from 2002.

Production in Idaho, at 599,000 cwt, is down 24 percent from last year. Harvested area is down 5 percent from last

season, while average yield dropped 250 pounds per acre. Dry conditions and unseasonably high temperatures caused

poor development of the 2003 lentil crop. Yields were well off from normal and quality was affected by poor growing

conditions. Montana’s production is forecast at 140,000 cwt, a 6 percent decrease from 2002. Harvested area is down

14 percent from last season, while yields increased by 70 pounds per acre to 780. Heat and lack of rainfall prior to

planting and after emergence resulted in higher abandonment than the previous year. There was timely rainfall in May and

June, but extreme heat prevailed in July and August which reduced yield prospects. 

North Dakota’s production, at 637,000 cwt, is up 23 percent from 2002. Harvested area is up 15 percent from last year,

while average yield increased by 80 pounds per acre to 1,180. North Dakota experienced adequate moisture through

mid-July. After mid-July, conditions turned dry and harvest conditions were favorable from August through September. 

Washington’s production, at 910,000 cwt, is down 13 percent from 2002. Harvested area increased by 21 percent to

91,000 acres, while yields decreased by 400 pounds per acre from last year to 1,000. Washington’s lentil harvest was

completed during the last week of August. Producers in the principal growing areas experienced a hot, dry growing season

with precipitation levels well below average. These conditions lowered yield prospects. Earlier plantings seemed to fare

much better than later plantings. Crop quality is good with the majority of the crop graded as U.S. #1.

Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry edible peas is estimated at 5.01 million cwt, up 18 percent from the 2002 estimate. 

Area for harvest, at 321,000 acres, is 15 percent above a year ago. Average yield is forecast at 1,560 pounds per acre, up

43 pounds from last season.

North Dakota’s dry edible pea production is forecast at 2.74 million cwt, up 37 percent from last season. North Dakota’s

harvested acres, at 155,000, increased by 12 percent, while yields are up 320 pounds per acre from last season. Adequate

soil moisture in June helped boost yields from last year’s drought reduced level.

Production in Idaho is expected to be 588,000 cwt, down 8 percent from 2002. Idaho’s harvested acres increased

23 percent to 49,000. However, yield, at 1,200 pounds per acre, decreased 400 pounds from last year. Hot, dry conditions

affected the overall production of Idaho’s dry pea crop. Yields were down and quality suffered from heat and lack of

rainfall in the non-irrigated northern Idaho production area. 

Production in Montana, at 381,000 cwt, is up 86 percent from the 2002 estimate. Harvested acres increased by 11 percent

to 30,000, while yields increased by 510 pounds per acre to 1,270. Timely rainfall was received in May and June. 

Although extreme heat prevailed in July and August, yields improved considerably from last season’s drought reduced

crop.

 

Washington’s production forecast, at 1.23 million cwt, is 8 percent below last year. Acres for harvest increased 17 percent

from last season, while yield dropped by 400 pounds per acre to 1,500 pounds. Dry pea harvest in Washington was

completed during the last week of August. Producers in the principal growing areas experienced a hot, dry growing season

with precipitation levels in the Pullman area recording only 49 percent of normal. Crop quality was good with the

majority of the crop graded as U.S. #1.

Austrian Winter Peas: Production of Austrian winter peas for Idaho, Montana, and Oregon in 2003 is forecast at

144,000 cwt, down 12 percent from 2002. Area harvested is forecast at 11,600 acres, unchanged from last year. Average

yield is expected to be 1,241 pounds per acre, down 173 pounds per acre from last season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 34 NASS, USDA

The Idaho Austrian winter pea production forecast, at 112,000 cwt, is down 17 percent from last year. Conditions were

poor in the State’s northern non-irrigated production area. High summer temperatures, combined with little rainfall,

reduced production. Montana’s production forecast of 26,000 cwt is up 30 percent from last year’s drought devastated

crop. Although Montana continued to suffer drought conditions throughout the 2003 growing season, yields were up

270 pounds from last season’s poor yielding crop. Oregon’s production forecast, at 6,000 cwt, is 33 percent below the

2002 crop. Drought conditions in the growing areas of the State resulted in low yields and production.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.34 million pounds for October, 18 percent higher than last

month but 17 percent lower than last October. Area in crop totaled 2,370 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but

10 percent more than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,570 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but 5 percent

higher than October 2002. 

Weather conditions were variable during the month of October. Conditions were dry during the first week of October. 

Light rainfall during the middle of the month helped replenish soil moisture in non-irrigated orchards. Dry conditions

returned the last week which slowed progress of new plantings.

Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 2003 is forecast at 414 million cwt, virtually unchanged from last year but

5 percent greater than the 2001 crop. Area harvested, at 1.09 million acres, is virtually unchanged from the July estimate

but down 1 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 378 cwt per acre, 5 cwt above last year and 11 cwt

greater than the 2001 season. 

Production estimates are generally higher this year in the Central and Eastern States but lower in the West. Harvest is

progressing on schedule in nearly all of the Central and Western States, while Eastern States have been delayed by wet

weather. Most growers reported good growing conditions and high quality tubers this season.

Western States production is forecast at 276 million cwt, down 5 percent from last year but 4 percent above 2001. 

Acreage harvested, at 663,300 acres, decreased 4 percent from last year, and the average yield of 416 cwt per acre is down

5 cwt from 2002. California’s production is down 19 percent due to hot weather and poor seed quality which also reduced

yields. Colorado’s production decreased 15 percent as farmers reduced planted acreage to conserve underground water

supplies following drought conditions during the past two years. Idaho’s production decreased 8 percent from last year

due to above normal summer temperatures which adversely affected tuber development. Higher yields in Washington, due

to excellent growing conditions, increased production 4 percent from last season. Washington harvest was 100 percent

complete by the first week of November. Production in Nevada rose 26 percent from last year, while New Mexico went

down 2 percent. Production fell 16 percent in Oregon where drought conditions prevailed all summer, severely reducing

topsoil moisture and resulting in lower yields. Montana and Utah production went up 5 percent and 37 percent,

respectively, from last year. 

Central States production is forecast at 109 million cwt, up 12 percent from last year and 7 percent above 2001. Harvested

area, estimated at 327,000 acres, is up 4 percent and the average yield of 334 cwt per acre is up 24 cwt from a year ago. 

Indiana is the only State in the Central Region with decreased production and that by 7 percent. The other 7 States, when

compared with last season, increased production ranging from 3 percent in South Dakota to 43 percent in Ohio. 

Minnesota was up 19 percent, North Dakota increased 15 percent, Wisconsin rose 9 percent, Nebraska went up 7 percent,

and production in Michigan increased 5 percent.

Eastern States production is forecast at 28.6 million cwt, up 10 percent from last year and 8 percent above two years ago. 

Area for harvest totaled 104,500 acres, 1 percent above last year, and the average yield, at 273 cwt per acre, is up 22 cwt

from last season. Maine production is up less than 1 percent from last year, while Massachusetts is down 6 percent. 

Production in New York and Rhode Island rose 18 percent and 14 percent, respectively, from last year. Pennsylvania had

the largest percentage increase in production, at 59 percent, due to drought conditions in 2002 which made yields lower

than usual last year.

All Potatoes: Total U. S. potato production in 2003 from all four seasons is estimated at 459 million cwt, virtually

unchanged from last year. Harvested area, at 1.25 million acres, decreased 1 percent from a year ago. Yields, averaging

367 cwt per acre, are up 5 cwt from last year.

Florida Citrus: Florida rainfall totals for the month were near normal levels with most areas receiving light amounts

throughout the month. Cumulative amounts for the year are still above normal levels. Temperatures were cool early in the

month; however, temperatures turned warmer later in the month with highs in the upper 80's. Growers began to irrigate on

a regular basis during the last half of the month to maintain surface soil moisture levels. Drying winds at the end of the

month resulted in slight dehydration of trees.

Overall, citrus crops in all areas made excellent progress with no major problems reported. Good to excellent fruit sizes

were reported. Fresh fruit crops were sprayed regularly to control insect populations. Growers and caretakers conducted

routine cultural practices including weed and cover crop control and dead tree removal and replacement. Most fresh fruit

packinghouses opened to receive Navel, Ambersweet, and Hamlin oranges, white and colored grapefruit, and Fallglo and

Sunburst tangerines. By the end of the month, Fallglo tangerine shipments were mostly complete. Several processors

opened to receive packinghouse eliminations. By the end of the month, field run early oranges were delivered in volume

amounts. Harvest labor began to arrive for the large early-midseason crop.

California Citrus: Harvest of the 2002-03 Valencia orange crop continued to wind down. Much of the fruit was sent to

processors for juice. Warm temperatures throughout October delayed color development in new crop Navels. Lemons

were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Early variety Mandarins were harvested and pummelo picking increased. 

Grapefruit harvesting continued in the southern coastal areas of the State.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 35 NASS, USDA

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted cultural activities that included weed control, fungicide

applications, and irrigation of trees and vines. Raisin grape harvest continued throughout the month and was virtually

complete by month's end. Only a few vineyards had rolled trays waiting to be picked up. Mechanical harvesting of dried

on the vine raisins continued. Late variety grapes for fresh market use were harvested throughout October. Varieties

picked and packed included Crimson Seedless, Thompson Seedless, Red Globe, and Autumn Royal. Unharvested fruit

was covered with plastic for protection from potential rain damage. Wine and juice grape harvesting continued but was

nearing completion. Stone fruit harvest continued at a reduced pace throughout October. Varieties picked and packed

included Prima Gattie and Last Tango peaches, Autumn Jewel and Angeleno plums, and Arctic Mist nectarines. Fall

pruning commenced in many harvested stone fruit orchards. Harvest of Granny Smith and Pink Lady apple varieties

continued. Foothill and Wonderful pomegranates, Fuya and Hachiya persimmons, and Shinko Asian pears were

harvested. Strawberry plants continued to grow steadily in Fresno County and were being irrigated and weeded. Olive

harvest continued throughout the month but was winding down by month's end. Walnuts, almonds, and pistachios were

harvested, windrowed, and hauled to processors. Harvested almond orchards were irrigated and some early pruning was

underway.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 36 NASS, USDA

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 25 and November 5 to

gather information on expected yield as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were

conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly

selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the

maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to

forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to

develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are

revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested

the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. 

Approximately 13,400 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. 

These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season

progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather

patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their

analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published November 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each

month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing

season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. 

Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Harvested acres

may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has

changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square

Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the November 1 production

forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage

deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the “Root Mean

Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the

final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing

recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is

1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the

final estimate by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 2.8 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1

forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final

estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 80 million bushels, ranging from 1 million bushels to 258 million bushels. 

The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the

November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 37 NASS, USDA

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn For Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Fall Potatoes

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

Cwt

1.6

4.6

2.3

2.0

3.0

2.0

2.8

8.0

4.0

3.5

5.2

3.4

80

20

2

33

387

6

1

1

0

8

14

1

258

86

12

99

937

16

9

8

11

7

11

17

11

12

9

13

9

3

 1 Quantity is in thousands of units.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 2003 38 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact

for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats (202) 690-3234

Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum, Sugar Crops (202) 720-8843

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Brian Young - Crop Weather (202) 720-7621

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Jim Smith - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-2127

Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

 Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on December 11, 2003.

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