TANGELOS: The Florida tangelo crop, excluding K-early citrus fruit, is fore-
cast at 3.70 million boxes (152 thousand metric tons), 3 percent
more than the 1983-84 crop, but 3 percent below 1982-83 production.

TANGERINE

: The U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 4.15 million boxes (154

thousand metric tons), 14 percent less than last season, and 25
percent below 1982-83. The Florida forecast, at 1.50 million boxes, is for
that portion of crop expected to reach sizeof 210 fruit per 4/5 bushel carton
by December 1 for the variety Dancy, and; by November 1 for Robinson. (An
eens of utilized crop will be shown: in the February Crop Production
release). !

. 1

Prospects for California‘s tangerine crop, at 1.90 million boxes, are up 3
percent from last season's production. Arizona grower's expect to harvest 750
thousand boxes, 21 percent less than was harvested last season.

i

TEMPLES: Florida's temple forecast at 3.70 million boxes (152 thousand metric
tons), is 28 percent above last| season, but 21 percent below the

1982-83 crop.

|
FLORIDA GENERAL CITRUS COMMENTS: Florida's commercial citrus groves responded
favorably, to the fall-like temperatures
during the past two to three weeks. Nighttime temperatures have been in the
60's with daytime highs in the upper 80's and low 90's. Moisture Tevels
ranged from satisfactory to less than adequate for most of September. There
was the usual amount of irrigation on the |high sand hills with only limited
irrigation applied in other areas. New crop fruit is progressing very well
with advanced maturity on most crops. The|citrus canker concern has greatly
restricted travel of grove vehicles between blocks of citrus. Also, picking
crews are only harvesting blocks that have been certified free of citrus
canker. Only a minimum of early maturing| varieties are ready for harvest,
therefore there is no fruit being lost due to the lack of picking.

TEXAS GENERAL CITRUS COMMENTS: Texas producers and grove care companies

continue their hedging and clean up operations
in the Rio Grande Valley. The 1984-85) citrus crop will be virtually
non-existent due to the severe freeze last| December. Irrigation continues in
most groves that were saved. Heavy rains jin many areas helped to alleviate
irrigation needs. Many groves are showing sped growth and greening.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA





GRAPES

PropucT! ON

CROP AND STATE

TABLE TYPE t
CALIF : 612,000 497,000 430,000
WINE TYPE
CALIF 2,402,000 1,880,000 1,800,000
RAISIN TYPE DRIED
CALIF : 292,000 394,000
RAISIN NOT DRIED :
CALIF + 1,412,000 619,000
RAISIN TYPE t
CALIF 3/: 3,062,000 2,530,000 2,250,000
ALL :
ARIZ 4/s 15,100 14,600 13,600
ARK 4/: 10,500 10,000 10,000
CALIF + 6,076,000 4,907,000 4,480,000
2,900
48,000
4,100
195,000
6,000
12,000
60,000
2,500
185,000
5,019,100

vy INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): U S$ 1982-690,200, 1983-146,500.
2/ DRIED BASIS:1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 5.24
TONS OF FRESH BASIS FOR 1982 AND 4.48 TONS FOR 1983.
3/ FRESH EQUIVALENT OF DRIED AND NOT DRIED.
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

17 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): U S 1982-6,000, 1983-5,000.

FILBERTS

PRODUCTION

STATE

OREG : 18,400 8,000 13,700
400 0

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


U.S. COTTON PRODUCTION

oro 14
sh
we
ae
ak
ob
ob
oh
; FRY
1
cy ® a e ry
OCTOBER FORECAST -

ALL HAY: Production is forecast at a record ‘high 154 million tons (140 million

metric tons), up 9 percent from 1983 and 3 percent from 1982. Area
for harvest, estimated at 62.3 million acres {25.2 million hectares) is up 4
percent from both 1983 and 1982. Yield is expected to be 2.47 tons per acre
compared with 2.36 tons a year ago. Conditions were generally favorable
across the country for hay production, although the Northern and Southern
plains areas were affected by poor moisture conditions. Production is down 28
percent in Texas and 11 percent in Montana! Production is up 38 percent in
1] linois and 37 percent in both Iowa and South Carolina.

ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES: Production isiestimated at 92.6 million tons
"(84.0 million metric tons), 13 percent above
1983 and 5 percent above 79862. Area for harvest, at 27.3 million acres (12.0
million hectares) is up 6 percent from a year ago. Average yield, forecast at
3.40 tons per acre is up 6 percent from the 3.20 tons set in 1983.

ALL OTHER HAY: Production is forecast at 61/5 million tons (55,7 million
metric tons) up 5 percent firom 1983 and 1 percent from 1982.

Area for harvest, at 35.0 million acres '(14.2 million hectares) is up

percent from 1983. Yield at 1.76 tons per acre is above last year's 1.72 tons.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans in 1984 is forecast at 20.3

million hundredweight (919 thousand metric tons), 31
percent above a year ago and 1 percent above the September 1 forecast. The
expected average yield of 1432 pounds per acre compares with 1365 pounds in
1983, and 1413 pounds forecast a month ago. °

In Michigan, nearly two-thirds of the crop had been harvested by
October 1. Late planted beans were not yielding as well as hoped, but overall
crop quality was good. Extreme heat in California has caused a significant
decrease in dry bean yields. Harvest is underway in most areas,

In North Dakota, some drier areas are jreporting above normal splitting,
but quality is excellent. Colorado's crop iis virtually all cut and 75 percent
of the crop has been threshed by October 1° compared with the average of 58
percent. However, wet conditions on the west slope are keeping harvestors out
of the fields.

POTATOE:

Fall potato production is forecast at 310 mitlion cwt (14.1 million
metric tons) for 1984, up 5 percent from last year and fractionally
above the 1982 crop. Area for harvest is estimated at 1.09 million acres (441
thousand hectares), up 4 percent from last year and 1 percent above 1982. The
average yield, nationwide, at 284 cwt per acre, is up 4 cwt from last year but
falls short of the record 288 cwt set in 1982. Harvest progress is ahead of
last year, with 48 percent dug this year compared with 44 percent last year
and 42 percent two years ago. :

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

STATE meesee

1983

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ARIZ 1 90.0 86.0 7,031 4,950 6,880
CALIF 1/ 90.0 92.0 11,625 6,300 10,120
MINN 35.0 47.0 3,042 1,225 1,551
MONT 16.0 9,860 4,100 3,024
N DAK 30:0 110,825 54,325 80,700
S DAK 3410 3,480 2,079 3,128
us 3310 145,863 72,979 105,403

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
|

|
OTHER SPRING WHEAT

IND
1984 ; 1983

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS | 1,000 BUSHELS
colo 1/ 63 70 «81.0» 8010 3,504 5,103 5,600
IDAHO : 475 380 76.0 «7210 «41,760 «= 36,100» 27,360
MINN ' 2,030 2,160 37.0 48/0 120,800 75,110 103,680
MONT : 1,990 2,025 27.0 18.0 89,900 53,730 36,450
NEV tf 10 14 70.0 7010 © 840 700 980
N DAK : 5,000 5,340 27.0 3410 209,250 135,000 181,560
OREG t/t 85 75 42.0 © atlo 4,100 3,570 3,075
S DAK + 1,400 1,650 26.0 3410 58,750 36,400 56,100
UTAH 1/3 27 3651.0 5010 1,584 1,377 1,800
WASH : 190 200 53.0 «5510 13,440 = 10,070 11, 000
WIS 1/ 23 17 29.0 ©3210 896 667 544
WYO Vv ' 21 24 34.0 3010 720 714 720
us peste 149913147 3518 545,544 358,541 428,869

v/s ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD From EARLIER FORECAST.
|

AREA PLANTED, SOYBEANS Vv

1,000 ACRES Ty 000 ACRES
ALA : 1,550 : 5,300
ARK 2 3,900 : 2,100
DEL : 255 : 135
FLA : 327 : 1,750
GA : 2,050 540
ILL : 9,100 3,300
IND 3 4,000 : 250
TOWA : 8,000 : 152

1,600 1,480
1,000
2,020
460
650
400

63,779

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Crop

Reporting juty 1084
Board
. ; ORDER FORM
Statistica! Reporting USDA CROP REPORTING BOARD REPORTS
Subscription Fee Subscription Fee
Report Title Domestic Foreign Report Title Domestic Foreign
FIELD CROP SERIES {) Eggs, Chickens, & Turkeys
Monthly Issues plus $25.00 $31.25
[ } Crop Production single copies of:
{monthiy/annual) $30.00 $37.50 Hatchery Eee mad Annual
Plus singte copies of: : Layers & Egg Prod. Annual
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& Income
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‘One issue plus 6 copies of: 1 (monthly/annual) 20.00 25.00
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copy of:
FRUIT & VEGETABLE SERIES Milk Prod., Disposition,
& Income
[1 Celery (monthly) 16.00 20.00
{] Noncitrus Fruits & Nuts : OTHER REPORTS
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(] Vegotabie: 18.00 22.50 {] Agricultural Prices (monthly) 27.00 33.75
Eleven seasonal! Issues plus { ] Catfish (monthly) 16.00 20.00
(midyear & annual). | [1 Cold Storage (monthiy/annual) 23.00 28.75
LIVESTOCK SERIES | SPECIAL SINGLE COPY REPORTS
[ } Cattle 22.00 27.50 & Methods of the
Two Issues plus monthly Statistical Reporting Service
lsues of: ‘SN: 001-000.04389-2 5.00 8.25
on. ie oe isn 188) 10,00 12.50 a 1 SR oot 000.0440 paso” mes 13.00 16.25
098 & Pigs (4 Issues r |: r ;
[ ] Livestock Siaughter [ } Usual Planting ang Harvesting
{monthly/annual) 20.00 25.00 Dates for U.S. Field Crops 3.00 3.75

SN: 001-000-04418-8
POULTRY SERIES

11 oq Products (monthly) 18.00 20.00
Note: For your convenience In ordering, we have grouped several publications together in packages. For example, when you subscribe to the

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Acreage, anc Smail Grains, if you have any questions about ordering, please call (202) 447-4021.

ORDER FORM To: Superintendent of Documents, US. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402
Credit Card Orders Only
Enclosed is $ —__— 0 check, z
(0 money order, or charge to my | Ve" | Total charges $___ Fil in the boxes below.

frtrtt-o FS) Seah. CLIT ITT TIT)
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PLEASE PRINT OR TYPE |


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

CORN FOR GRAIN 2 24 353 030

32 290 220 20 818 470 © 28 758 890

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 4 732 850 6 565 690 3 980 530 5 750 240

ALL WHEAT : 30.926 000 32 183 380 ©=.24. 843 920 «26 788 050
OURUM : 1 038 030 1 328 190 1 008 490 1 292 580
OTHER SPRING : 4 754 700 5 024 230 4578 660 4 852 640

RICE : 886 270 1 153 770 877 770 1 139 610

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 1/ : 25 810 720 27 589 740 25 303 240 27 046 650

FLAXSEED : 244 840 232 700 234 720 224 600

PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 571 020 630 100 555 840 618 370

SUNFLOWER 1/ : 1 268 590 1 458 500 1 239 570 1 438 670

ALL COTTON : 3 215 790 4.471 700 2 98) 550 4 156 050
UPLAND : 3 190 290 4 440 260 2956 180 4124 320
AMER-PIMA : 25 500 31 440 25 370 31 730

COTTONSEED :

ALL HAY : 24 158 780 © 25 192 360
ALFALFA : 10 404 580 ~=—-'17:030 640
ALL OTHER : 13.754 200 «14 161 720

DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 476 720 592 470 460 010 572 640

POTATOES :

FALL : 434 800 452 560 425 530 441 070
TOTAL : 514 810 $38 120 502 830 524 070

SWEETPOTATOES 42 610 43 990 41 440 42 860

TOBACCO 319 300 322 660

SUGARBEETS 437 230 452 650 427 270 443 010

SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 310 680 294 820

HOPS : 14 930 12 460

APPLES, COM'L :

GRAPES :
SWEET CHERRIES 3/ :
TART CHARRIES 3/
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) Hy
PECANS

FILBERTS

CITRUS FRUITS 4/
LEMONS
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-6.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1984 1/

INDICATED
1984 1

: HECTARES

OATS : 8 211 160 4 948 950 3672 970 3-273 :130

BARLEY : 4 216 470 4 847 380 3936 420 4 544 260

WINTER WHEAT : 25 133 270 25 830 960 19 256 770 20 642 830

RYE : 1 095 500 1196 260 362 600 385 670

POTATOES :
WINTER 2/ 3 4 650 5 340 4 570 5 260
SPRING : 33 230 34 920 32 210 34 280
SUMMER : 42 130 45 280 40 510 43 460

PEACHES :

PEARS :

APRICOTS :

NECTARINES (CALIF)

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)

PLUMS (CALIF)

OLIVES (CALIF)

ALMONDS (CALIF)

WALNUTS (CALIF)

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-6. (CONTINUED)

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ciTRus FRUIT 1/

’ PRODUCTI On, t PRODUCTION
CROP BOXES 2 TON EQUIVALENT
AND lize TINDICATED: UTILIZED T INDICATED
STATE “1982 -83 “y983- 84 : 1984-85 : 1982 83 1983-84 t 1984-85

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS

ORANGES, EARLY MID ¢
& NAVEL 3/3
ARIZ : 1,050 550 1,000 39 21
CALIF : 40,200 33,300 © -35,000 1,508 1,249
FLA : 70,200 69,700 59,000 3,159 3,136
TEX 4/: 3,590 2,400 152 102
us 5/: 115,040 105,950 95,000 4,858 4,508
ORANGES, VALENCIA +
ARIZ 2 2,750 1,250 1,700 103 47
CALIF : 35,900 15,000 27,000 1,346 563
FLA : 69,400 47,000 60,000 3,123 2,115
TEX 4/: 2,090 110 89 5
us 5/: 110,140 63,360 88, 700 4,661 2,730
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ : 3,800 1,800 2,700 142 68
CALIF + 76,100 48,300 62,000 2,854 1,812
FLA : 139,600 116,700 119,000 6,282 5,251
TEX 4/: 5,680 2,510 241 107
us 5/: 225,180 169,310 183,700 9,519 7,238
TEMPLES :
4,700 2,900 3,700 21 130
ongperRuit, WHITE
SEEDLES :
FLA : 21,800 23,000 27,000 926 978
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK +
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 12,800 13,400 14,000 544 569
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT:
FLA : 4,800 4,500 3,500 204 191
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ARIZ > 2,700 2,100 3,500 87 67
CALIF 6/:
DESERT : 4,100 3,340 3,800 131 107
OTHER AREAS =: 3,200 3,100 107 104
TOTAL : 7,300 6,440 238 2it
FLA : 39,400 40,900 44,500 1,674 1,738
TEX 4/: 11,200 3,200 448 128
us : 60,600 52,640 2,447 2,144
TANGERINES :
ARIZ : 1,100 950 750 44 35
CALIF : 2,150 1,850 1,900 Bt 70
FLA : 2,250 2,000 1,500 107 95
us : 5,500 4,800 4,150 229 200
LEMONS :
ARIZ : 5,050 4,000 5,200 191 152
CALIF : 20,300 17,250 21,600 772 655
Us : 25,350 21,250 26,800 965 807
TANGELOS :
FLA

38
1,313
2,655

4,006
64
1,013
2,700
3,777
102
2,326
5,355
7,783

167

1,148

595
149
WZ
122

1,892

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST 1S COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA~90,
TEX~85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF
OTHER-67, FLA-85, JEX-80; LEMONS~76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES- CALIF & ARIZ~75, FLA-95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS,

4/ DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DECEMBER 1983 THE 1984-85
TEXAS CITRUS CROPS ARE VERY LIMITED AND FORECASTS WILL
NOT BE ISSUED THIS SEASON UNLESS SUFFICIENT COMMERCIAL
SUPPLIES BECOME AVAILABLE.

5/ EXCLUDES TEXAS FOR 1984-85.

6/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS"
WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD,

SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 2 305 380 59.0 69.0 25,080 17,995 26,220
ARIZ 1/ 17 26 «136.0 140.0 2,376 2,312 3,640
ARK t/t 33 49 80.0 90.0 2,700 2,640 4,410
CALIF 1/7: 260 370 128.0 140.0 42,900 33,280 51,800
coLo : 610 680 122.0 130.0 101,910 74,420 88,400
CONN 2/ :

DEL : 145 150 75.0 110.0 18,054 10,875 16,500
FLA tf: 122 210 67.0 62.0 13,860 8,174 13,020
GA : 735 930 75.0 85.0 69,275 55,125 79,050
IDAHO 1/ : 65 85 119.0 122.0 8,520 7,735 10,370
ran : 7,900 10,930 79.0 113.0 1,498,640 624,100 1,235,090
IND : 4,670 6,000 73.0 114.0 790,020 340,910 684,000
LOWA : 8,550. 12,700 87.0 113.0 1,578,000 743,850 1,435,100
KANS : 880 925 93.0 109.0 139,080 81,840 100,825
ky : 960 1,460 48,0 97.0 153,470 = 46,080» 141,620
LA yoo: 56 78 90.0 105.0 3,200 5,040 8,190
MAINE 2/0 . :

MD : 545 590 = 68.0 112.0 65,920 37,060 66,080
MASS 2/ :

MICH : 1,800 2,600 92.0 90.0 293,180 165,600 234,000
MINN : 4,370 6,380 84.0 107.0 734,500 367,080 682,660
MISS 1/) : 55 105 64.0 60.0 5,580 3,520 6,300
Mo : 1,430 1,780 51.0 78.0 198,970 72,930 136,840
MONT 1/ 13 15 105.0 100.0 1,400 1,365 1,500
NEBR : 4,850 6,800 96.0 109.0 748,000 465,600 741,200
NH 2/3

NJ If: 90 105 68.0 105.0 11,400 6,120 11,025
N MEX 1/ 50 60 140.0 145.0 8,125 7,000 8,700
NY : 600 740 90.0 95.0 70,380» 54,000 = 70,300
nec : 1,280 1,650 60.0 90.0 155,430 76,800 148,500
N DAK 1/ 435 630 67.0 73.0 35,360 29,145 45,990
OH10 : 2,800 3,750 80.0 110.0 456,000 224,000 412,500
OKLA 1/) : 37 55 112.0 105.0 4,500 4,144 5,775
OREG 1/ =: 33 37 162.0 164.0 6,240 5,346 6,068
PA : 1,050 1,300 69.0 106.0 126,100 72,450 7,800
Rt 2 oo:

sc : 275 435 62.0 74.0 33,440 17,050 32,190
S_DAK : 1,970 2,700 53.0 72.0 193,680 104,410 194,400
TENN : 480 680 48.0 90.0 56,700 23,040 61,200
TEX : 1,080 1,450 97,0 98.0 119,700 104,760 = $42,100
UTAH 1/ 14 15 110.0 120.0 2,006 1,540 1,800
YT 2) og

VA 3 340 540 48.0 101.0 62,620 16,320 54,540
WASH 1/ 110 130 160.0 24,000 17,600 20,800
WVA 17 60 76 98.0 7,840 4,680 7,448
Wis 2,300 3,400 106.0 361,800 223,100 360,400
wYo 1/ 68 68 110.0 5,145 7,072 7,480
us 51,443 71,064 105.5 6,255,101 4,166,108 7,497,831

wv ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COTTON

POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/

UPLAND

ALA 215.0 298.0 409 580 460.0 183.0 360.0
ARIZ 284.0 477.0 1,225 1,208 1,095.0 725.0 1,200.0
ARK 310.0 430.0 500 692 534.0 323.0 620.0
CALIF 950.0 1,400.0 996 1,029 3,073.0 1,971.0 3,000.0
FLA 3 12.0 13.5 608 651 "19.6 15.2 18.3
GA 115.0 185.0 467 564 235.0 112.0 225.0
KANS 3/ A 8 240 480 aT 2 8
LA 410.0 645.0 623 744 870.0 532.0 1,000.0
MISS 675.0 1,040.0 640 877 1,760.0 900.0 1,900.0
MO 93.0 160.0 377 510 204.0 73.0 170.0
NEV 3/ 0 0 tt) 0 9 0 0
N MEX 47.0 72.0 15 633 78.0 70.0 95.0
NC 59.0 94.0 350 536 102.0 43.0 105.0
OKLA 300.0 345.0 232 264 238.0 145.0 190.0
sc : 69.0 105.0 369 686 155.0 53.0 150.0
TENN 215.0 325.0 337 554 339.0 151.0 375.0
TEX 3,550.0 4,600.0 322 391 2,700.0 2,380.0 3,750.0
vA 3/ 4 1.0 360 480 14 3 1.0
us : 7,304.8 10,191.3 504 620 11,864.0 7,676.7 13,160.1

AMER-PIMA
ARIZ 29.3 49.5 768 735 65.9 46.9 75.8
N MEX 1.1 9.6 683 550 10.0 15.8 11.0
22.3 19.3 689 622 22.8 32.0 25.0
62.7 78.4 725 684 98.7 94.7 VA.8
215.0 298.0 409 580 460.0 183.0 360.0
313.3 526.5 1,183 1,163 1,160.9 T7119 1,275.8
310.0 430.0 500 692 534.0 323.0 620.0
950.0 1,400.0 996 1,029 3,073.0 1,971.0 3,000.0
12.0 13.5 608 651 19.6 15.2 18.3
115.0 185.0 467 584 235.0 1412.0 225.0
a4 +8 240 480 al +2 8
410.0 645.0 623 744 870.0 532.0 1,000.0
675.0 1,040.0 640 877 1,760.0 900.0 1,900.0
93.0 160.0 377 510 204.0 73.0 170.0
+0 0 0 1) 9 0 0
58.1 81.6 709 624 88.0 85.8 106.0
59.0 94.0 350 536 102.0 43.0 - 105.0
300.0 345.0 232 264 238.0 145.0 190.0
69.0 105.0 369 686 155.0 53.0 150.0
215.0 325.0 337 554 339.0 151.0 375.0
3,572.3 4,619.3 324 392 2,722.8 2,412.0 3,775.0
A 1.0 360 480 4 3 1.0
7, 367. 5 10, 269. 7 506 620 11, 962. 7 7,771.4 13,271.9

1/ PRODUCTION SINNED AND 0. BE GINNED,
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES,
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION

STATE

CROP PRODUCTION, QCTOBER 1984 8-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL WHEAT 1/

PRODUCTION

+ 1 000 ACRES BUSHELS 1, 000” BUSHELS
ALA + 460 380 33.0 34.0 23,200 15,180 12,920
ARIZ $ 119 142 93.2 87.3 12,407 11,094 12,398
ARK : 1,500 1,400 39.0 44.0 72,200 58,500 61,600
CALIF 3 680 800 68.5 78.2 77,175 46,560 62,560
cOoLo : 3,063 3,170 39.9 34.0 84,984 122,103 107,900
DEL : 54 49 39.0 40.0 2,320 2,106 1,960
GA 2 910 880 34.0 35.0 45,210 30,940 30,800
IDAHO 2 1,305 1,280 70.3 67.8 94,770 91,710 86,760
WoL t 1,400 1,600 46.0 44.0 67,500 64,400 70,400
IND t 970 1,050 51.0 47.0 43,260 49,470 49,350
1OWA : 50 100 38.0 36.0 3,000 1,900 3,600
KANS 2 10,800 11,000 41.5 39.0 458,500 448,200 429,000
KY ' 520 500 31.0 38.0 23,560 16,120 19,000
LA 4 250 3190 39.90 41.9 19,000 7,509 V2,T10
MD 2 131 135 41.0 42.0 5,712 5,371 5,670
MICH 2 730 800 49.0 54.0 22,960 35,770 43,200
MINN Fy 2,140 2,473 36.9 46.9 126,809 78,960 115,871
MISS : 600 640 34.0 38.0 36,100 20,400 24,320
MO t 1,850 2,050 38.0 42.0 74,800 70,300 86,100
MONT t 4,455 4,694 30.7 22.7 180,320 136,930 106,434
NEBR : 2,300 2,300 43.0 36.0 101,500 98,900 82,800
NEY t 18 22 70.0 70.0 1,890 1,260 1,540
NJ : 38 40 40.0 1,800 1,520 1,640
N MEX ' 470 460 29.0 12,750 13,630 11,960
NY : 160 170 46.0 46.0 5,438 7,360 7,820
nec : 470 600 34.0 40.0 23,400 15,980 24,000
N DAK 2 7,205 8,610 26.9 32.7 324,835 194,130 281,400
OHIO 2 1,200 1,100 49.0 44.0 51,600 58,800 48,400
OKLA 2 4,300 5,300 35.0 36.0 227,700 150,500 190,800
OREG : 1,085 1,125 60.4 61.5 63,500 65,570 69,225
PA z 200 220 38.0 38.0 8,208 7,600 8,360
sc : 375 380 28.0 37.0 19,800 10,500 14,060
S_DAK : 2,727 3,292 32.9 35.4 98,530 89,729 116,578
TENN 2 600 520 33.0 38.0 29,880 19,800 19,760
TEX rT 4,600 5,000 35.0 30.0 144,000 161,000 150,000
UTAK Fy 217 231 37.0 38.2 9,273 8,027 8,820
vA 3 340 300 42.0 45.0 13,300 14,280 13,500
WASH 1 2,690 2,590 64.2 61.5 138,880 172,570 159,180
WVA 2 9 10 42.0 38.0 315 378 380
Wis 2 128 177 45.4 49.2 5,596 5,812 8,704
WYO : 271 294 33.1 30.0 8,985 8,964 8,820
us 61, 390 66,194 39-4 38. 8 2,764,967 2,419,824 2,570,300

1/ INCLUDES WINTER WHEAT ESTIMATES FROM SEPTEMBER CROP
PRODUCTION REPORT.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

1,000 BUSHELS

1981 1,112,085 678,017 306,955 463,726 183,040 41,534 2,785,357
1982 1,243,598 588,869 241,093 492,673 145,863 52,871 2,764,967
1983 1,192,386 506,491 289,427 312,674 72,979 45,867 2,419,824
1984 Wt 1,201,697 541,750 292, 58! 389,088 105,403 39,781 2,570,300

1/ INDICATED OCTOBER 1, 1984.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/

INDICATED

1984
ILLION POUNDS

ARK 3/ : 10.0 22.0 24.0
CALIF : 480.0 460.0 490.0
COLO : 40.0 | 85.0 60.0
CONN : 55.0 44.0 48.0
DEL 3/ : 14.5 13.5 13.5
GA 3/ 2 15.0 20.0 45.0
DAKO 3 126.0 , 128.0 110.0
tek : 88.0 ' 90.0 90.0
IND : 77.0 | 56.0 66.0
1OWA 3/ : 11.5 | 12.0 6.0
KANS 3/ : 12.5 | 13.5 9.0
KY 3/ : 12.0 | 14.0 14.0
MAINE 2 89.0 Hl 84.0 78.0
MO : 80.0 | 70.0 75.0
MASS : 100.0 ° 97.0 98.0
MICH : 980.0 | 750.0 770.0
MINN 3/ : 25.0 | 22.0 19.0
MO : 45.0 45.0
NH : 57.0 54.0
NJ : 100.0 110.0
N MEX 3/ : : 6.0 1.5
NY : 1,130.0 | 1,100.0 1,060.0
NC : 170.0 | 415.0 360.0
oI 0 : 150.0 100.0 135.0
OREG : 150.0 155.0 135.0
PA : 525.0 | 500.0 530.0
R 1} 3 6.0 5.0 5.5
sc 3/ : 6.0 18.0 40.0
TENN 3/ 4,5 8.5 9.
UTAH 3/ 3 54.0 58.0 45.0
VT 3 50.0 46.0 44.0
vA : 500.0 455.0 500.0
WASH : 2,615.0 3,000.0 2,850.0

1/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES.
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTEO PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT soLD
(MILLION POUNDS): UNITED STATES 1982-13.8, 1983-21.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARDF ROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Production in the Western States is forecast at 3.70 billion pounds, 2
percent less than August | and 5 percent below 1983. Washington apples are 1
to 2 sizes below last year but color is good. Much of the red delicious crop
is going into storagé. Hot weather reduced California's crop, along with
freeze and hail damage in Kern and £1 Dorado counties. Idaho's crop continues
to show the results of poor pollination and hail damage. Much of the crop
seems fit only for processing.

GRAPES: The final forecast of the U.S. grape crop is 5.02 million tons (4.55
million metric tons), virtually unchanged from the September 1
estimate, but 9 percent below jast year's|crop. Prospects in California, at
4.48 million tons, are unchanged from a month earlier, but 9 percent below
last year. California's raisin variety grape forecast at 2.25 million tons,
is unchanged from September Fy u Ts 31 percent below 1983 production.
Harvest was nearing completion by the first of October. Growers had few
harvest problems.

California's wine variety grape forecast, at 1.80 million tons, is
unchanged from September T, But is 4 percent less than was produced in 1983.
Harvest should be completed by mid-October|. Excellent grape quality has been
reported for most varieties.

California's table variety grape forecast of 430 thousand tons is the same
as a month earlier forecast, but 13 percent below last year. Overall quality
of the crop has been very good. |

The Michigan forecast, at 48.0 thousand|tons, is 20 percent less than 1983.
New York's forecast of 195 thousand tons is unchanged from September 1, but 2
percent more than 1983. The forecast in Pennsylvania, at 60.0 thousand tons,
is 4 percent below last year.

The Washington forecast, at 185 thousand tons, is 5 percent below
September 1, 1984 and 19 percent tess than the 1983 crop.

|
|
PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production of prunes and|plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon,
and Washington is forecast at 54.0 thousand tons (49.0
thousand metric tons}. This last forecast \af the season is up 1? percent from
the September 1 forecast, but is 13 percent below last year's crop. Harvest
is in the final stages in Michigan with good plum size reported. Harvest was
complete in Washington in mid-September.

|
PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production in |lOctober is forecast at 4.80 million
oT pounds (2180 metric tons), 23 percent greater than production last
October, and unchanged from September 1984, Production should increase to
5.50 million pounds (2490 metric tons) during November, then hold to 5.00
million pounds (2270 metric tons) during Deceaber and January.

Fresh production in September is estimated at 4.80 million pounds (2180
metric tons), more than double the drought +depressed level of last September,
but a decrease of 26 percent from August 1984. Much of this decrease can be
attributed to the switch-over, effective September 1, from the EDB fumigation
method to the quarter-ripe, double-dip |method to control fruit flies.
Stricter standards regarding fruit maturity) resulted in a very high percentage
of fruit being culled during the first 2 |weeks. By the end of the month,
however, the cull rate approached previous| levels as farmers became familiar
with new standards. Total area in crop during September increased to 3770
acres (1530 hectares). Harvested area, meanwhile, increased to 2840 acres
(1150 hectares). Both figures establish new records for the industry.

PECANS: The U.S. forecast of 250 million pounds (114 thousand metric tons),
in-shell basis, is virtually unchanged from the September 1! forecast,
but 7 percent below last year's crop.

Georgia's forecast at 125 million pounds is 25 percent more than 1983.
Alabama's forecast of 18.0 million pounds is 25 percent below last year. The
Texas forecast at 25.0 million pounds compares with 70.0 million pounds in
1983, New Mexico's crop is forecast at 2710 million pounds, 7 percent below
1983. The crop in Louisiana is expected to total 10.0 miilion pounds, and

Oklahoma's crop is expected to reach 25.0 million pounds.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Corn was 87 percent mature by September 30, compared with the 83 percent
average. Maturity was 13 percentage points slower than normal in Kentucky and
trailed by 11 points in South Dakota. Harvesting advanced to 13 percent in
the 17 major producing States. The average for the date is 14 percent.
Combining was active in all States, with progress ranging from 3 percent
finished in Pennsylvania to 91 percent complete in Georgia.

Leaves had dropped on 66 percent of the soybean acreage by September 30,
equaling the average. Harvesting was 12 percent complete, trailing last
year's 17 percent and 14 percent average. Harvesting trailed the average in
half the major States. Combining had not| started in the Carolinas or
Tennessee. Progress ranged from 1 percent harvested in Arkansas to 30 percent
comptete in Iowa. |

Cotton was in fair to mostly good condition. By September 30, bolls
opened on 63 percent of the acreage, slightly| behind normal. Twelve percent
of the acreage was harvested, 2 points behind schedule. Harvesting was active
in all States except New Mexico. Progress ranged up to 16 percent finished in
Texas. Defoliant spraying became more widespread late in the month.

Sixty-four percent of the sorghum acreage was mature by the end of
September, slightly ahead of average. Harvesting was 37 percent finished, 3
points ahead of normal. Harvesting progress ranged from 6 percent finished in
South Dakota to 67 percent complete in Texas. |

. , Rice was 62 percent harvested by September 30, 2 points ahead of the
normal pace. ‘Progress ranged from 40 percent finished in California to
complete in Texas. |
: |

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain ils forecast at 7.50 billion
bushels (190 million metric |tons), up 80 percent from last
year's dought-stricken crop, but 9 percent below the record high crop of 1982,
The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 105.5 bushels, up from last
year's low yield of 81.0 bushels, but below |the record high yield of 113.2
bushels set in 1982. In the major producing States, Illinois‘ yield is down 3
bushels and Iowa's yield declined 2 bushels from September 1. In contrast,

Ohio's yield is up 2 bushels and Nebraska is showing a 7 bushel increase.

A killing frost occurred over much of the Corn Belt on September 24,
However, the crop was mature in most areas jand little damage is expected.
Harvest in the 17 major States was 13 percent|complete on September 30. This
compares with 22 percent last year and a 14 percent average. Yields are quite
variable throughout much of the country and even within States,

U.S, CORN PRODUCTION

mb

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CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-10 , CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION
STATE 90 tenennnnn pence ewww enn n+

1983 :

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CONN : 1,940 1,781 1,595 4,210 3,456 2,935
FLA t 7,800 2,260 2,400 20,972 17,628 18,000
GA ’ 44,000 2,190 2,250 103» 382 96,360 87,750
IND : 8,100 1,610 2,370 13,041 20,382
KY : 203,300 1,597 2,310 389, 340 324,602 527,373
MD : 27,000 1,100 1,380 37,530 29,700 33,120
MASS + 425 1,807 1,630 852 768 693
MO Vv t 3,100 2,070 2,200 5,940 6,417 6,380
nec + 277,700 1,969 2,150 700,668 546,869 584,800
OHIO ! 11,900 1,485 2,150 31,860 17,668 25,155
PA 12,000 1,832 2,000 25,685 85 24,000
sc 54,000 2,090 2,200 124,195 107,800
TENN : 72,910 1,621 2,180 178,117 164,590
vA t 54,190 1,826 2,125 125,364 115,685
MYA 1/ t 2,200 1,710 1,650 3,590 3,795
WIS 8,400 1,919 1,950 20,136 15,210
us 788,965 1,811 2, 179 1,994,494 1,428, 1483 1,737, 668

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARBEETS 1/

ARIZ : +0 +0 0.0 0.0 298 0 0
CALIF : 169.0 200.0 23.4 25.0 3,852 3,955 5,000
COLO : 37.2 45.0 16.2 20.0 920 603 900
'DAHO : 143.0 143.0 24.4 23.5 3,182 3,487 3,361
KANS z 6.9 7.2 13.7 18.0 170 95 130
MICH t 104.0 107.0 19.0 19.0 1,853 1,976 2,033
MINN A 259.0 260.0 18.0 17.0 4,738 4,662 4,420
MONT A 41.3 25.0 19.8 18.0 850 818 450
NEBR : 65.3 72.0 18.9 21.0 926 1,233 1,512
N MEX ’ +0 0 0.0 0.0 12

N DAK z 142.2 142.0 16.9 16.5 2,476 2,404 2,343
OHIO z 12.6 10.6 17.6 19.5 222 207
OREG : 11.3, 11.6 28.0 28.0 251 316 325
TEX 31.9 37.8 19.5 22.0 556 622 832
WYO 33.5 19,2 20.0 810 670

1,094.7 19.9

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

1,000 TONS

FLA : 367.9 369.0 32.0 12,613 11,552 11,808
HAW : 99.3 94.0 98.0 8,997 9,159 9,212
LA = 265.0 230.0 21.0 7,030 6,328 4,830
TEX : 35.5 35.5 29.0 1,130 1,122 1,030
us : 767.7 728.5 36.9 29,770 28,161 26,880

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY

AREA HARVESTED

IND

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

1,059 1,080
132 71
6,080 6,936

=z
5
SSN

°
>
=z
3

+

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD | FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about October 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports from
farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided
appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on
their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small
plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These
Surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common
to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured
currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the “Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing
the deviations between the October 1 production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1964-83 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For .exampte, the “Root Mean Square Error” for the October 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 3.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 7498 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 3.8 percent or approximately
285 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 6.6 percent or approximately 495 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn
again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 211 million bushels, ranging
from 16 million to 538 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply that the
October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS
10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT
CORN FOR GRAIN BU
SORGHUM FOR

GRAIN BU
ALL WHEAT BU
DURUM BU
OTHER SPRING BU
RICE cw
SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS BU

COTTON BALE 2/
FALL POTATOES CW

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONINUED)
(METRIC UNITS)

CORN FOR GRAIN 5.08 6.62 105 824 020 191 829 410 190 453 680
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 3.06 3.56 12 173 030 20 752 300 20 489 400
ALL WHEAT 2.65 2.61 65 856 820 69 972 790 69 952 100
DURUM 1.97 2.22 1 986 160 2 868 600 2 868 600
OTHER SPRING 2.13 2.41 9 757 890 11 692 590 11 671 900
RICE 5.15 5.62 4 523: 220 6 189 130 6 404 540
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 1 1.76 1.98 44 518) 420 55 181 280 53 660 880
FLAXSEED 0.75 0.85 175| 340 191 910 191 910
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2.69 3.16 1 494) 820 1 929 690 1 952 500
SUNFLOWER 1/ 1.17 1.16 1 450| 810 1 663 500
ALL COTTON 0.57 0.70 1 692| 020 2 890 580 2 889 600
UPLAND 0.57 0.69 1 671) 400 2 867 000 2 865 260
AMER-PIMA 0.81 0.77 20; 620 23 580 24 340
COTTONSEED 2 790: 500 4 809 890 4 804 450
ALL HAY 5.28 5.55 127 671,740 2/139 122 220 139 752 720
ALFALFA 7.17 7.62 74 §81/470 2/83 970 830 84 005 310
ALL OTHER 3.86 3.94 53 0901270 2/55 151 390 55 747 410
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1,53 1.60 703) 880 907 090 919 020
POTATOES
FALL 31.41 31.88 13 366) 340 14 063 470
TOTAL 30.12 31.05 15 145/870 16 274 170
SWEETPOTATOES 13.23) 13.85 5481 070 602 320 $93 750
TOBACCO 2.03 2.44 647| 950 787 490 788 190
SUGARBEETS 44.6) 45.43 19 059) 040 20 527 780 20 124 080
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 82.23 82.71 25 547/230 24 054 910 24 385 130
HOPS 2.07 2.08 30, 890 26 990 25 870
APPLES, COM'L 3771! 370 2/3 779 990 3734 630
GRAPES 4 984) 250 4 564 140 4 553 250
SWEET CHERRIES 3/ 163| 020 165 470
TART CHARRIES 3/ 70, 130 135 940
PRUNES AND PLUMS 1
(EXCL CALIF) 56.430 48 440 48 990
PECANS 122) 470 113 810 113 580
FILBERTS 7/440 12 700 12 700
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ 1983284 1984-85 1984-85
6 566; 200 7 U60 6Z0
LEMONS 732! 100 924 420

1/1983 REVISED. 2/ AUG 1, 1984. 3/ CARRIED FORWARD FROM CHERRY UTILIZA-
TION REPORT RELEASED OCT 4, 1984. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE
FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

CROP INDICATED
1984 1/ |

OATS 6 857 740
BARLEY 187 560
WINTER WHEAT 411 600
RYE 766 710
POTATOES

WINTER 2/ 119 750

SPRING 1054 510

SUMMER 1 036 450
PEACHES 1154 840
PEARS
APRICOTS

NECTARINES (CALIF)
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF)
ALMONDS (CALIF)
WALNUTS (CALIF)

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1984 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



FILBERTS: The forecast of production in Oregon and Washington, at 14.0 thou-
sand tons (12.7 thousand metric tons), is 71 percent greater than
last year. Harvest should be in full swing by early October.

ORANGES: The first forecast of U.S. production for the 1984-85 season, ex-

cluding Texas, totals 184 million boxes (7.06 million metric tons),
10 percent above jast season, but 16 percent below the 1982-83 season. The
forecast for all Florida oranges is 119 million boxes, 2 percent above last
season's crop, but 15 percent below 1982-83. Production of Florida early and
mid-season varieties, at 59.0 million boxes, is 15 percent less than last
season, and 16 percent below the 1982-83 crop. Florida Valencia production is
expected to total 60.0 million boxes, 28 percent more than last season's crop,
but 14 percent below the 1982-83 production.

California's 1984-85 orange crop is forecast at 62.0 million boxes, 28
percent more than last season, but 19 percent below the 1982-83 season. The
Navel crop in California is expected to total 35.0 million boxes, 5 percent
more than the 1983-84 crop, but 13 percent below 1982-83. California's
Valencia forecast, at 27.0 million boxes, is 80 percent more than last
season's crop, but 25 percent less than 1982-83. The Arizona all orange crop
is expected to total 2.70 million boxes, 50 percent more than last season, but
29 percent below the 1982-83 crop.

The 1984-85 Catifornia Navel orange crap is sizing wel? with some early
groves showing color. Growers are optimistic for a good quality crop.
Conditions are reported to be better than average. Harvest of the 1983-84
California Valencia crop is winding down. Prospects for the 1984-85 crop are
excellent.

Supplies from Texas are expected to be insignificant and are not being
forecast due to the December 1983 freeze which severely damaged trees. .

The October 1 U.S. all orange production forecast has deviated from the
final production by an average of 20.8 million boxes over the past 10 seasons,
ranging from 2.50 million boxes in 1977-78 to 53.2 million boxes in the
1983-84 season.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1984-85 projection of Frozen

Concentrate Orange Juice is 1.46
gallons per box at 42.0 degree Brix. This yield computation is projected to
the final amount reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association at the
end of the harvest season. The 1983-84 freeze-reduced final season average
yield was 1.28931 gallons per box, In 1982-83, the final was 1.48305 gallons
per box.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects for the 1984-85 season, excluding California “other

areas" and Texas grapefruit, indicate a crop of 51.8 million
boxes (1.93 million metric tons), 12 percent more than both last season and
the 1982-83 crop, The California “other areas" grapefruit production, which
will be forecast as of April 1, 1985, accounted for 3.10 million boxes
harvested last season, and 3.20 million boxes in 1982-83.

Florida's grapefruit forecast of 44.5 million boxes is 9 percent more than
last season's crop, and 13 percent more than the 1982-83 season. The
California "Desert areas" crop forecast, at 3.80 million boxes, is 14 percent
above the previous season, but 7 percent less than the 1982-83 crop. Supplies
from Texas are expected to be insignificant and are not being forecast due to
the December 1983 freeze which severely damaged the trees.

LEMONS: The Arizona-California lemon crop (tree crop available for harvest)

totals 26.8 million boxes (924 thousand metric tons), 26 percent more
than the crop harvested during the 1983-84 season, and 6 percent above the
1982-83 utilized production. In California, the crop is expected to total
21.6 million boxes, 25 percent greater than last season, and 6 percent above
1982-83. Maturity of the crop is slightly ahead of ‘normal. Quality and
sizing are good in all areas.

In Arizona, a crop of 5.20 million boxes is expected, 30 percent more than

the crop utilized last season and 3 percent more than the utilized production
in 1982-83. Harvest is underway.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



SEPTEMBER WEATHER SUMMARY

September was a dry month for most of the east coast, the High Plains from
Texas to Montana, and part of the western Corn Belt. It was especially dry
over the Southeast, including most of the Delta where soybeans were yet to
mature. Hurricane Diana and Tropical Storm Isidore moved northward along the
southeastern coast, pounding the coastline with heavy surf and rain, but did
not reach far enough inland to help. Showers produced above normal rain from
central Texas to the Great Lakes and brought much needed rain to southern
Illinois and Indiana. Hot weather plagued parts of the Plains but an outbreak
of very cold air near the month's end brought an end to the growing season in
the northern Plains and much of the central Plains. The cold air spread over
most of the Nation. Hotter-than-normal weather persisted over most of
California since April. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather
Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT SEEDING

Winter wheat seeding for the 1985 harvest reached 41 percent completion by
September 30, compared with 46 percent last year and the 51 percent average.
Progress was behind average in all States except California, Idaho, Indiana,
Nebraska, South Dakota, Texas, and Washington. Beneficial rains fell from
central Texas into the eastern Corn Belt at the beginning and end of the
month. However, persistent dryness across the western two-thirds of the
central and southern Plains delayed seedings and limited emergence. Late
month snow brought much-needed moisture for seedings across the northern

ains.

Late month rains provided moisture for newly-seeded wheat in extreme
eastern Kansas, but elsewhere in the State producers planted under very dry
conditions. Seeding was 35 percent complete by the end of September, 20
percentage points behind the normal pace. Only 10 percent of the seeded
acreage had emerged, compared with 15 percent for both last year and the
average.

Oklahoma producers dusted in wheat seed in the west, while late month rain
enhanced plantings in eastern areas. By September 30, planting reached 20
Percent, half the normal pace. Five percent of the seeded acreage had
emerged, one-third the average.

Showers at the end of September provided necessary moisture for recently
seeded fields across central and eastern Texas. However, many producers in
other areas of the State waited for additional rain before resuming sowing.
Many wheat fields had not emerged because of the lack of moisture. By the end
of the month 43 percent of the acreage was planted and 16 percent emerged,
both slightly ahead of normal.

Winter wheat germination was mostly fair in Montana. Late month snow
provided much-needed moisture to most areas. Seeding advanced slowly,
reaching 45 percent complete by September 30. Normally 60 percent is seeded
by this date.

In the Pacific Northwest, planting was slightly ahead of schedule except
in Oregon where limited moisture supplies delayed progress.

Seeding was generally behind schedule in much of the Corn Belt as showers
delayed activities in many areas. Emergence was only slightly behind normal.

SEPTEMBER ROW CROP DEVELOPMENT

Rain benefited late planted soybean sizing across the eastern Corn Belt in
early September; but the benefit to the corn crop was limited because of the
crop's advanced maturity. Persistent dryness stressed double-cropped soybeans
in the southeast, but allowed rapid harvesting of other row crops. Development
of crops in the western Corn Belt was ahead of usual, but lagged slightly in
eastern areas. A prolonged California heat wave until midmonth rapidly
advanced maturity of most crops. Am unusually hard freeze pushed southward at
month's end halting plant growth across the Rocky Mountains, northern and
central Plains, and most of the western Corn Belt. However, damaged was light
because of the advanced maturity of most crops.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
:

ALA + 1,500 1,370 20.0 23.0 50,000 30,000 31,510
ARK : 3,600 4,000 18.5 26.0 105,600 70,300 104,000
DEL 2/ 250 255 29.0 30.0 6,480 7,250 7,650
FLA 2/ 2 312 330 25.0 26.0 10,452 7,800 8,580
GA 2 2,000 1,950 21.0 21.0 63,450 42,000 40,950
HL : 9,050 9,220 29.5 33.0 354,200 266,975 304,260
IND t 3,950 4,350 31.0 35.0 173,250 122,450 152,250
1OWA : 7,960 8,400 35.0 35.0 306,600 278,600 294,000
KANS : 1,520 1,690 16.0 19.0 46,280 24,320 32,110
KY 2 1,440 1,440 17.0 29.0 51,345 24,480 41,760
LA : 2,620 2,330 26.0 28.0 75,400 68,120 65,240
MD : 385 430 26.0 28.0 12,035 10,010 1

MICH y 1,040 1,140 32.5 28.0 35,340 33,800

MINN : 4,600 5,750 33.0 35.0 169,050 151,800

MISS : 3,100 3,250 19.0 26.0 92,300 58,900

MO : 5,150 5,500 20.0 22.0 171,000 103,000

NEBR Fi 2,070 2,550 28.5 27.0 78,750 58,995

NJ 2/  ¢ 133 133 23.0 30.0 4,250 3,059

ne 2 1,650 1,740 20.0 26.0 52,500 33,000

N DAK 2/ : 530 810 27.0 25.0 8,715 14,310

OHIO : 3,280 3,770 32.0 36.0 133,200 104,960

OKLA 2/ ¢ 230 220 17.0 15.0 5,040 3,910

PA 2): 145 170 24,0 31.0 4,185 3,480

sc : 1,430 1,470 16.5 20.0 39,600 23,595

S DAK : 985 1,160 26.5 26.0 24,400 26,103

TENN : 1,970 1,800 16.0 26.0 60,950 31,520

TEX : 420 400 22.5 28.0 23,000 9,450

vA z 610 735 16.0 30.0 19,285 9,760

Wis 2/ t 395 470 35.0 35.0 13,640 13,825 16,450

us 62,525 66,833 26.2 29.5 2,190,297 1,635,772 1,971,700

1/ REVISED,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

AREA PLANTED, SUNFLOWER 1/

1,000 ACRES

240
2,230
449
35
us : 2,954
NON-OIL :
MINN : 10
N DAK : 145,
S_DAK : 1
TEX :
us : 156
ALL :
MINN 250
N DAK 2,375
S_DAK : 450
TEX 35
us

17 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


H FOP United States
Crop Production (Gee Department of
Board Agriculture
Statistical Reporting Washington, D.C. 20250
Service
RELEASED: October 11, 1984
3:00 P.M. ET
HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 7.50 billion bushels (190 million
metric tons), down 1 percent from September 1 but up 80 percent from last
year's drought-stricken crop. A crop of this size is 9 percent below the
record high crop of 1982. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
production forecast is 7.00 to 7.99 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production forecast at 807 million bushels (20.5 million metric
tons), down one percent from September 1 but up 68 percent from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is expected to
total 231 million metric tons, up 70 percent from 1983 but down 8 percent
from 1982.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.97 billion bushels (53.7 miilion metric
tons) 3 percent less than September 1, 21 percent above last year but 10
percent below 1982, The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1984
Production forecast is 1.84 to 2.10 billion bushels.

OILSEED production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts, flaxseed and sunflower
combined) is expected to total 62.3 million metric tons, up 23 percent
from last year.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rice and rye) now totals 77.1 million metric
tons for 1984, up 9 percent from last year.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 13.3 million bales, 71 percent above last
year and 11 percent more than 1982 production. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this production forecast is 12.0 to 14.5 million bales.

FALL POTATO production is forecast at 310 million cwt (14.1 million metric
tons), up 5 percent from last year and fractionally above 1982.

ORANGE production (excluding Texas) is forecast at nearly 184 million boxes
7.06 million metric tons), 10 percent above last season, but 16 percent
less than 1982-83.

PEANUT production is forecast at a record high 4.30 billion pounds (1.95
million metric tons), 31 percent above 1983 and 1 percent above the
September 1 forecast.

FESO IOI IIT III RIOT I IIT IS III II IIS IR III II IIIA IIS III ISA I IS III ISIAH.

* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
* should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 - *

* South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021). *
FESS OI OOS OCICS IIIS TOOT OO TIS TOC ICI TAI TOS TOO IO TORI TA TIS I III

CrPr 2-2 (10-84) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SOYBEAN REVISIONS - 1983 CROP: The revised 1983 soybean production is esti-
mated at 1,636 million bushels (44.5 million
metric tons), 4 percent above the previous estimate but still 25 percent below
1982 final production. This revision is based on end of marketing year stock
estimates, annual crushing and export data.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

aos
mum apes

as

asf

ae

use

oo

n ”

“OCTOBER FORECAST

FLAXSEED: Production of flaxseed is forecast jat 7.56 million bushels (192
— thousand metric tons), unchanged from the September 1 forecast, and
is up. 9 percent from 1983 but 26 percent |below 1982. Yield per acre is
forecast at 13.6 bushels, 1.7 bushels above a year ago. Yields remained
unchanged from the September 1 forecast. i

i
Harvest is nearing completion in Minnesota and North Dakota, while
virtually all the flaxseed in South Dakota has been harvested.
i

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at a record high 4.30 billion pounds (1.95
million metric tons}, 31 percent above 1983 and 1 percent above the
September 1 forecast. Yield is expected to average a record high 2817 pounds
per acre, 418 pounds above 1983 and 33 pounds| above last month's forecast. If
this yield is realized, it will surpass the lrecord high yield of 2693 pounds
per acre set in 1982. Both production and) yield are up from 1983 in all
States, except Texas.

Southeastern growers (Ala, Fla, Ga, S C)| expect their production to total
3.02 billion pounds, 36 percent above the previous year. Production in this
area is up 1 percent from the September 1 |forecast. Yield for the 4-State
area is expected to average 320] pounds per acre, 482 pounds above 1983.
Yield is up 43 pounds from September 1. Production in Georgia is set at 2.10
billion pounds, unchanged from September 1, but 34 percent above 1983. Yield
per acre at 3300 pounds compares wtih 2790| pounds in 1983. Both yield and
production, as currently forecast, are new records for the State. The crop is
in mostly good to fair condition with harvest slightly ahead of normal.
Alabama's production is forecast at 643 million pounds, 41 percent above last
year and 4 percent above the September 1| forecast. Yield prospects for
Alabama are up 100 pounds from a month earlier and 425 above one year ago.
Production is expected to set a new record |high with yield tying the record
high set in 1982. Harvest is about 13 percentage points ahead of normal.
Florida's production, a record high 243 milljion pounds, is up 8 percent from
September 1 and 46 percent above 1983. Yield is expected to average 3200
pounds per acre, up 250 pounds from September, 1 and 420 pounds greater than in
983.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at 807 million bushels (20.5 million
a metric tons), 68 percent more than last year but 3 percent
less than 1982. Yield forecast, at 56.8 bushels per acre, is up 8.1 bushels
from 1983, but down 2.3 bushels from 1982. Early frost in portions of Kansas,
Nebraska, and South Dakota will hold down yield potential in late planted
fields. Expected yield per acre increased 3 bushels from September 1 in both
Missouri and New Mexico. Yield prospects decreased 4 bushels from a month
earlier in Nebraska and 2 bushels in Kansas. Harvest was active in all 7 major
producing States. As of September 30 harvest progress ranged from 6 percent
finished in South Dakota to 67 percent complete in Texas.

ALL WHEA The final forecast of 1984 production is placed at 2.57 billion
bushels (70,0 million metric tons), up 6 percent from the 1983
total, but 7 percent less than in 1982. Area for harvest totals 66.2 million
acres (26.8 million hectares), 8 percent more than 1983, but 15 percent below
the 1982 acreage level. Yields average 38.8 bushels per acre, the second
highest of record, 0.6 bushel less than last year's record high of 39.4
bushels per acre.

QURUM WHEAT: Production is forecast at 105 million bushels (2.87 million

_ metric tons), 44 percent more than in 1983, but 28 percent less
than 1982, Harvested area is unchanged from the previous forecast and totals
3.19 million acres (1.29 million hectares), up 28 percent from Tast year.
Yields average 33.0 bushels per acre, 3.7 bushels more than a year ago, and
unchanged from the September 1 forecast.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production is forecast at 429 million bushels (11.7 mil-
lion metric tons), 20 percent above 1983, but 21 percent
below the record high 1982 crop. Harvested area is still placed at 12.0
million acres (4.85 million hectares), 6 percent more than last year, but down
26 percent from 1982. Yields average a record high 35.8 bushels per acre,
unchanged from September 1 forecast, and 4.1 bushels above the 1983 average.

RICE: Production of the 1984 crop is forecast at 141 million hundredweight

(6.40 million metric tons), up 3 percent from the September | forecast
and 42 percent above last year's production, but 8 percent below 1982. Both
harvested acreage and yield per acre are above a year ago.

Nationally, yields are expected to average a record high 5014 pounds, 195
pounds greater than the previous record of 4819 pounds obtained in 1981 and
416 pounds more than the 1983 yield. Yield prospects are above 1983 in all
States, with Texas showing the largest increase.

Harvesting was finished in Texas and was 92 percent complete in Louisiana
by September 30, virtually on schedule. Combining in Arkansas reached 45
percent completion, 5 points behind the average pace. The Mississippi crop
was 60 percent harvested, compared with the 56 percent average. Hot weather
in California caused rapid crop maturity. Combining was 40 percent complete
by the end of the month, well ahead of the 14 percent average.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.97 billion bushels (63.7 million metric

tons), down 3 percent from September 1 forecast, 21 percent above
last year but 10 percent below 1982. Yield, at 29.5 bushels per acre, is 0.8
bushel less than a month earlier but 3.3 bushels above 1983.

Soybeans showed signs of stress from a lack of moisture and cool
temperatures in the Southeast. Frost and freezing temperatures caused some
damage in a few areas, especially to late planted beans. Leaves had dropped
on 66 percent of the soybean acreage by September 30, equaling the average.
Harvest trailed the average in half the major States. In the North Central
States, yields decreased from September 1 as follows: 1.0 bushel in Indiana,
Towa, and Minnesota; 2.0 bushels in both Kansas and South Dakota; 4.0 bushels
in Nebraska. Other North Central States remained unchanged. In the South
Central States, Arkansas and Texas increased 1.0 and 2.0 bushels, respectively,
from September 1. Kentucky and Mississippi were both down 1.0 bushel, while
Alabama showed a 2.0 bushel decline. Other States remained unchanged.

In the Atlantic Coast States yields dropped from a month earlier; 6.0

bushels in Georgia, 4.0 bushels in Maryland, 2.0 bushels in South Carolina,
1.0 bushel in both North Carolina and Virginia.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF Se

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250
AGRICULTURE
AGA 101

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OFFICIAL BUSINESS
PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE, $300

Te stop mening [} oF to change your
wodrees () send this eneet with abe!
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Bulan. 14th 8 Indepensence Ave. 8.W.,
Wash. D.C. 20280



POTATOES

SEASONAL AREA HARVESTED + YIELD
GROUP es

AND IND

STATE 1984: 1983

WINTER :
'
TOTAL : 11,3 13.0 194 203 2,263 2,193 2,640
SPRING
TOTAL 79.6 84.7 230 0-274 20,964 18,338 23,248
SUMMER H
TOTAL 2/: 10041 107.4 187 213 22,770 18,701 22,850
# :
FALL z i
CALIF 2 19.0 19.6 410 | 410 7,585 7,790 8,036
coLo 46.5 51.5 300 | 310 12,825 13,950 15,965
CONN : 1.4 1,4 190 ' 190 369 266 266
IDAHO-10 Sw CO: 25.0 28,0 340 345 8,625 8,500 9,660
“OTHER CO: 287.0 299.0 270 . 255 83,160 17,490 76,245
IND : 3.0 3.5 200 ! 240 924 600 840
MAINE : 94.0 89.0 240 | 245 27,030 22,560 21,805
MASS : 3.4 2.8 190 | 190 179 646 532
MICH z 41.0 43.0 240 | 275 10,530 9,840 11,825
MINN : 62.5 68.6 165 190 11,520 10,313 13,034
MONT : 7.2 1.4 250 260 1,924 1,800 1,924
NEBR 1S 8.2 270 9315 2,332 2,025 2,583
NEV 12.0 10.0 310 ; 330 4,095 3,720 3,300
N Y-LONG 1S z 16.3 13,8 250 : 270 5,130 4,075 3,726
- UPSTATE + 24.5 25.0 230 ; 250 6,500 5,635 6,250
N DAK : 128.0 133.0 160 | 165 17,250 20,480 21,945
OHIO : 9.2 9.5 205 . 260 2,205 1,886 2,470
OREG-MALHEUR CO : 9.0 9,5 370 | 340 3,885 3,330 3,230
OTHER CO 39.5 45,5 440 ; 420 17,220 17,380 19,110
PA 21.5 21,5 200 | 230 4,935 4,300 4,945
RI 1 2.8 2.4 225 | 220 720 630 528
S_DAK : 15.4 14.0 150 ' 150 1,550 2,310 2,100
UTAH : 5.9 6.2 230 | 240 1,440 1,357 1,488
VT : A +3 220 | 200 92 88 60
WASH 1 104.0 113.0 520 ; 495 52,800 54,080 55,935
wis 62.0 61.0 305 | 350 22,575 18,910 21,350
WYO 3.5 312. 205 | 280 1,134 718 896
TOTAL 1,051.5 1,089.9 280 284 309,134 294,679 310,048

269 277° -355,131 333,911 358,786

1/ 1984 REVISED. jl
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

STATE 9 tneeeenn> wee nen e ne pec nince een cc nee enn nena nen nneennne
1984 1/1: 1983

CALIF

TOTAL

PRODUCTION

1984 1/

1,000 CWT
:
CALIF : 270 260 | 1,269 1,456
FLA 2 140 160 924 1,184
TOTAL : 194 203° 2,193 2,640
t

1/ REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

‘ 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 cwT
LARGE LIMA :
CALIF t 27.0 35.0 1,800 1,860 580 486 651

BABY LIMA
CALIF 24.0 24.0 2,020 2,060 530 485 494

OTHER
CALLE 3 87.0 116.0 1,590 1,650 2,475 1,386 1,947

ALL : .
CALIF : 138.0 177.0 1,708 1,747 3,585 2,357 3,092
COLO + 170.0 1,120 1,200 2,128 1,680 2,040
IDAHO 138.0 1,650 1,800 2,594 1,452 2,484
KANS 11,7 1,400 1,400 280 126 164
MICH 390.0 1,300 1,150 7,975 4,550 4,485
MINN 56.0 1,160 1,200 949 452 672
MONT 8.5 1,320 1,700 118 37 145
NEBR 150.0 1,670 1,950 3,286 2,188 2,925
NY 34.0 1,100 1,300 686 308 442
N_DAK 200.0 1,030 1,150 2,520 1,648 2,300
UTAH 8.8 600 520 46 ay 46
WASH 34.0 2,220 2,080 166 355 107
WYO 37.0 1,800 2,050 630 324 759
us 1,415.0 1,365 1,432 25,563 15,518 20,261

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SWEETPOTATOES

PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES

CALIF : 19.0

N Y-LONG 1S 14.0
coLo : 47.0 “UPSTATE 26.0
CONN : 14 NW ODAK 136.0
IDAHO-10 sw CO 25.0 OHIO 9.7
“OTHER CO 290.0 3 +! OREG-MALHEUR CO 10.0
IND 3.2 : “OTHER CO 46.0
MAINE : 95.0 tt PA 22.0
MASS : 3.4 ' 2.6
MICH : 43.0 1 15.0
MINN 2 70.5 6.3
MONT : 7.3 33
NEBR : 7.6 113.0
NEV : 12.0 1

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 Bell CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

2 600d to excevent
ZZ] Poor to tair
3 very poor
(iD) severe crountt
[EB Extreme drought

USDA

October 1, 1984

ee ory

i ie iY y

As reported by

| Crop Correspondents

|
‘ ;

‘tIndicates current supply of pasture feed for grazing on non-irrigated pastutes and ranges relative to that expected
from existing stands under very favorable weather conditions.

srs
|
|
PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
Cctober 1.1983 |
Wt
a
x o ,
& g Ae
> a
"3 ek
2000 10 exconene
ZZ Pro wo tale |
Ba ver pox
(EX) severe crougne As reported by
EB cove ono = | cr censocete
secon ar gn ps mh gu zen rs an © ec
from xing Slane und very favorable weuther f
‘USDA 1 ‘SRS
i
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

1,000 BUSHELS

ALA If 65 150
ARIZ : 13 12
ARK : 320 590
CALIF : 45 45
coLo : 240 300
GA If 68 110
tte tf Wi7 270
IND 1/3 7 13
IOWA 1/ 5 6
KANS : 2,700 3,700
KY Wyo: 41 105
LA 1/ 180 250
MISS 1/3 225 350
Mo : 630 4,330
NEBR : 1,000 1,900
N MEX : 150 220
NC 1/7 3 42 55
OKLA : 360 460
sc Wo: 25 32
S DAK : 290 450

1,000 ACRES

ARK 915.0 1,150.0
CALIF 7 328.0 455.0
LA : 385.0 528.0
MISS t 161.0 195.0
Ltd V/s t 62.0 70.0
TEX t 318.0 418.0
us 2 2,169. Q 2,816.0

BUSHELS
40.0 44.0
76.0 80.0
55.0 70.0
B1.0 82.0
29.0 35.0
41.0 45.0
56.0 64.0
55.0 70.0
60.0 70.0
43.0 55.0
AT.0 70.0
$6.0 60.0
55.0 60.0
58.9 70.0
60.0 64.0
42.0 56.0
33.0 47.0
33.0 36.0
36.0 45.0
47.0 48.0

2,924
1,185
15,780
5,390
10,230
5,670
8,658
949

ees
207,700
2,660
7,830
6,160
63,940
128,480
13,160
3,000
20,400
1,610
17,250
5,525
305,250

835, oa3

2,600
988
17,600
3,645
6,960
2,788
6,552
385
300
116,100
1,927
10,080
12,375
49,020
60,000
6,300
1,386
11,880
900
13,630
5,035
157,500
280
479,231

6,600
960
41,300
3,690
10,500
4,950
17,280
910

420
203,500
7,350
15,000
21,000
93,100
121,600
12,320
2,585
16,560
1,440
21,600
16,250
187,200

806, é32

v/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED Fomunno [ron EARLIER FORECAST.

39,159
23,089
14,693

6,440

2,534
13,805
99,720

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD From EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984

|

|
|
|
i
|
|

53,475
33,215
22,176
8,385
3,045
20,900
141,196

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


POTATOES: VARIETIES GROWN - 1984

The Crop Reporting Service conducts potato objective yield surveys in 11
major fall producing States. These 11 States accounted for 92 percent of the
1983 U.S. fall potato production. All producing areas of each State are
represented in the sample in proportion to planted acreage of potatoes.
variety information in the table below is derived from data reported for farms
in the objective yield sample. These data are intended to provide current
information on varieties and are not designated as official estimates of the
Crop Reporting Board.

FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF MAJOR VARIETIES PLANTED,
SELECTED STATES, 1984 CROP

SECOND

coLo : CENTENNIAL RUSSET 68.0 : RUSSET BURBANK 22.9
IDAHO : RUSSET BURBANK 95.9 : NORGOLD RUSSET 1.1
MAINE > RUSSET BURBANK 27.3 : ONTARIO 24.1
MICH > RUSSET BURBANK 3.) 3 MONONA 16.4
MINN : RUSSET BURBANK 31.7 : NORCHIP 21.6
NY :  KATAHDIN 29.8 : SUPERIOR 24.0
N DAK :  NORCHIP 52.5 :  NORLAND 12.2
OREG : RUSSET BURBANK g0.5 : NORGOLD RUSSET 8.7
PA : KATAHDIN 23.7 :  NORCHIP 21.9
WASH 1 RUSSET BURBANK 76.0 : NORGOLD RUSSET 15.8
WIS RUSSET BURBANK 44.8 SUPERIOR 13.1
: FOURTH
: VARIETY VARIETY
COLO : SANGRE 3.1 RED MCCLURE 1.6
IDAHO : BUTTE RUSSET aed LEMHI RUSSET +5
MAINE + SUPERTOR 16.4 KATAHOIN 12.1
MICH > ONAWAY 8.9 ATLANTIC 8.3
MINN : KENNEBEC 13.8 NORLAND 9.5
NY : NORCHIP 14.0 : CHIPPEWA 5.8
N DAK + PONTIAC 9.7 KENNEBEC 6.7
OREG : LEMHI RUSSET 3.0 BUTTE RUSSET 3.0
PA : MONONA 13.6 SUPERIOR 10.4
WASH : NORCHIP 2.5 KENNEBEC 1.5
WIS :  NORLAND 10.7 NORGOLD RUSSET 9.8

HARVESTED
TO OCT 1

HARVESTED
TO OCT 1

CALIF
COLO 2 35 45 50
CONN : 60 75 75
IDAHO 7 15 25 2h
IND : 70 66 65
MAINE : 60 70 70
MASS : 60 60 60
MICH : 67 50 55
MINN 7 55 60 74
MONT 2: 33 35 40
NEBR 7 45 65 50
NEV : 10 20 35
NY = LONG ISLAND 53 59 $8
UPSTATE : 67 56 57

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

APPLES ..

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .cceeeecesesecceeereerees eee eee eene eee er B-11
CITRUS FRUITS....... eee eee eee eee eee eee ee es B-15
CORN FOR GRAIN oe es eeeeeeeeaeee seeveeaecseebeeseeeeees ceeeeeeeeeaes . B- 1

COTTON ...

COTTONSEED .....
FILBERTS ee ecco B-17
FLAXSEED we cece cece ene ereeeeeeeeee Pena eeeeeee eee e enna nee een enone 8- 6
GRAPES sesceessccceeeescccce recente eee nee teen naer ees eeeeneaeeeteene B-17

HAY, ALL seeeeecceeeeee teen e reser teres neers tte a ness eeeteeeeteeeenee B- 8

HAY, ALFALFA & ALFALFA MIXTURES .

HAY, OTHER wes cece sceccceccee ree et nett eeeeeeecnre tease eeenneeeetens B- 9

HOPS cacccccecenccccecessncccscesevesces

PAPAYAS coceecccccccessccccseesrsccacecees

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION .

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS .osesieccee ees ere cece ecnereee A- 8
PEANUTS FOR NUTS veeeee cece cnet eee te crete cee e eet ete eee eters B- 6
PECANS .ceeeececeseuceuececeeeneeeeseeeuscaiaeeseeees ve eceeeeeeneeee 8-18
POTATOES ..eeeeeeee eee ee cennees tb beceenee aes eeenee Serer eee rr B-12

POTATOES, VARIETIES GROWN AND PERCENT HARVESTED .

PRUNES AND PLUMS ..ccesccseuscccerecceneeeneteeeeneee sence eeeeeeeee B-17
S 0ol See eer see eee B- 2
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ..ceeceeeeecceeeeeeee
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS ...e.eeeeeeeeeeeeeee

SUGARBEETS .

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .esesseseeeeedeeeeeeeereeteeeteeeetes . B-13
SUNFLOWER cess eee c eee e cece nent reece cere nee eee e enter ene e sete nens B- 6
SWEETPOTATOES .oceeeeeeeeeeeeeees eee ee needa ceeceeneees seen ee eeee . 8-11
TOBACCO BY STATES ceseesecccecseecc ene ce eee eee nee eeteenneeee tenes B-13
US SUMMARY .

3
WHEAT, ALL cvseceeceeeee reer eee e creer tent tenet eres tee reset eeeenies B- 3
WHEAT, BY CLASSES .eeecaveecreeeererene teeter eeee between wees peeee B- 3

4

WHEAT, DURUM ccc cc cers cece cece nese n eect enact eeene rence eenenetee B-

WHEAT, SPRING ...cceeeeecceceeeeeees stew ee daeeee bene e ences beeen eee B- 4

W y.S, GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1984-460-937:454-SRS

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL HAY

PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES

ALA 2 650 680 1.60 1.90 1,235 1,040 1,292
ARIZ : 170 175 6.81 6.69 1,241 1,157 1,170
ARK : 885 900 1.59 1.82 1,596 1,411 1,634
CALIF : 1,480 1,530 4.97 5.33 7,656 7,352 8,160
COLO : 1,470 1,445 2.28 2.31 3,176 3,357 3,332
CONN 1/ 86 89 2.28 2.30 202 196 205
DEL 1/ 20 21 2.50 2.52 50 50 53
FLA 1/ 255 280 2.70 2.80 N12 689 784
GA : 500 470 2.00 [2.90 1,200 1,000 1,363
!DAKO : 1,420 1,400 3.46 9 3.56 4,446 4,914 4,988
TLL : 1,120 1,220 2.45 B11 3,615 2,749 3,800
IND : 790 850 2.39 3.01 2,447 1,891 2,557
1OWA : 2,100 2,300 2.81 3.51 7,930 5,905 8,065
KANS : 2,330 2,520 2.10 2.25 6,013 4,890 5,664
ky : 1,525 1,750 1.72 '|1.97 3,432 2,620 3,449
LA : 362 340 2.11 [2.30 779 763 782
MAINE 1/0 = 230 230 1.85 (1.94 441 425 446
MD : 226 230 2.50 2.72 596 566 626
MASS 1/ 123 123 2.54 2.44 284 313 300
MICH : 1,400 1,700 3.19 3.34 4,347 4,470 5,670
MINN : 2,830 2,800 2.94  |3.03 8,264 8,316 8,484
MISS : 675 680 2.00 1.90 1,575 1,350 1,292
MO : 3,160 3,480 1.72 (1.84 6,139 5,440 6,420
MONT 3 2,170 2,300 1.86 1.57 4,915 4,041 3,610
NEBR 3 3,650 3,700 2.09 [2.08 7,855 7,635 7,695
NEV : 530 560 2.46 © [2.28 1,249 1,302 1,274
NH If ¢ 89 93 2.26 2.18 198 201 203
Ng tos 115 120 2.57 | 2.68 299 295 321
N MEX : 320 345 4.38 4.26 1,348 1,401 1,470
NY : 2,270 2,310 2.33 2.47 5,283 5,284 5,706
Nec : 390 410 1.46 |1.69 664 570 692
N DAK : 2,900 2,900 1.54 11.49 4,913 4,478 4,323
OHIO : 1,260 1,450 2.57 2.84 3,543 3,244 4,125
OKLA : 1,940 2,170 1.92 (1.77 3,516 3,716 3,847
ORES : 1,110 1,150 2.81 12.91 2,967 3,121 3,345
PA : 1,970 1,980 2.35 12,82 4,840 4,620 5,574
RI Vv : WW 10 2.27 12.20 23 25 22
sc 3 215 230 1.80 | 2.30 484 387 529
S_DAK : 4,040 4,110 1.88 1.91 7,610 7,592 7,838
TENN : 1,350 1,500 1.5100 [4674 2,190 2,044 2,568
TEX : 3,070 3,090 2.44 11.75 6,708 7,486 5,400
UTAH : 595 600 3.45 3.73 2,142 2,055 2,237
VT Vo: 445 450 2.08 2.17 934 926 977
vA : 1,040 1,070 1.49 | 1.73 1,677 1,546 1,852
WASH : 790 7700 3.34, 3444 2,622 2,635 2,647
WeVA t 640 630 1.35 (1.45 882 864 916
wis : 3,800 3,900 3.21 |3.62 12,753 12,200 14,105
wyo : 1,180 1,190 1.87 | 1.88 2,250 2,202 2,239
us 59,697 62,251 2.36 | 2.47 149,241 140,734 154,05

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE

“PRODUCTION

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 4,166,108 7,551,991 7,497,831

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN * 479,231 816,982 806,632

ALL WHEAT * 2,419,824 2,571,060 2,570,300
OvRUM " 72,979 105,403 105,403
OTHER SPRING =" 358,54) 429,629 428,869
ICE cw |99,720 136,447 141,196

SOYBEANS FOR

BEANS 2/ BU 1,635, are 2,027, 568 1,971 700

FLAXSEED .

PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB 3, 208! 330 4, 258) 280 4, 308) 33
“ 00

SUNFLOWER 2/ : 3319)
ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 62: i
UPLAND "as 504 620 :
AMER-PIMA “If: 725 684 i
COTTONSEED TON: , 2
ALL HAY “ 2.36 2.47 140,734 —-3/153,356 154,051
ALFALFA ” 3.20 3.40 © (82,212 3/92, 562 92,600
ALL OTHER 1.72 1.76 [58,522 3/60,794 61,451
DRY EOIBLE BEANS cut Ww: 1,365 1,432 ‘15,518 19,998 20,261
POTATOES : i
FALL CWT =: © 280 284 294,679 310,048
TOTAL “ 1 269 277 333,911 358,786
SWEETPOTATOES ” 2 118 124 [12,083 13,279 13,090
TOBACCO Leo: 1,811 2,179 1,428,483 1,736,120 1,737,668
SUGARBEETS TON 9 20.3 |21,009 22,628 22,183
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED = * 36.7 36.9 128,161 26,516 26,880
HOPS Le 1,846 1,852 68,121 59,513 57,044
PASTURE AND
RANGE FEED 4/ = PCT 66 66
APPLES, COM'L LB: 8,314,500 3/8,333,500 8,233,500
GRAPES TON: 5,494.2 5,031.1 5,019.1
SWEET CHERRIES 5/ * : [179.7 182.4
TART CHERRIES 5/ LB: 154,600 299,700
PRUNES AND PLUMS :
(EXCL CALIF) TON 62.2 53.4 54.0
PECANS LB 270,000 250,900 250,400
FILBERTS TON ! 8.2 14.0 14,0
CITRUS FRUITS 6/ : 1983-84 1984-85
ORANGES :

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/1983 REVISED. 3/ AUG 1, 1984. 4/ PASTURE AND
RANGE FEED CONOITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1973-82 AVERAGE IS 76 PERCENT.
5/ CARRIED FORWARD FROM CHERRY UTILIZATION REPORT RELEASED OCT 4, 1984.

6/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR,

UNITED STATES cRoP| SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

INDICATED
1984 1/

YIELO PER ACRE

INDICATED
1984) 1/

1,000
OATS Bu: (52.6 58.4 477,133 472,460
BARLEY sr 52.3 53.9 508,344 605,700
WINTER WHEAT "or 41.8 39.9 1,988,304 2,036,028
RYE " 30.3 31.7 27,116 30,184
POTATOES ;
WINTER 2/ CWT 194 203 | 2,193 2,640
SPRING " 230 274 | 18,338
SUMMER " 187 213: :
PEACHES LB 1,789,700 2,546,000
PEARS TON 774.7
APRICOTS " 95.1
NECTARINES (CALIF) TM 186.0
DRIED PRUNES ( CALIF)" 145.0
PLUMS (CALIF) . 158.0
OLIVES (CALIF) . : 56.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB i 240,000 520,000
WALNUTS (CALIF) TON 199.0 0

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1984 REVISED.
i

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 Ana CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


In the seven Eastern States, production is forecast at 38.1 million cwt,
fractionally below last year and 16 percent below 1982, Yield is above last
year's poor showing, but acreage for harvest jis down 5 percent. Maine
Production, at 21.8 million cwt, is off 3 percent from 1983. Acreage losses
early in the season more than offset slightly better yields this year. New
York's production is up 3 percent; the Upstate crop is 11 percent larger than
last year whtle sharp acreage reductions on Long Istand pulled production down
9 percent. Pennsylvania's production has rebounded 15 percent from last
year's poor crop and is fractionally above 1982 output.

Production in the eight Central States is forecast at 76.1 million cwt, a
jump of 15 percent from last year and percent above two years ago. 8oth
acreage for harvest and average yield are above last year. All of the Central
States except South Dakota are expecting a larger potato crop than last year.
Michigan growers expect to harvest 11.8 million cwt, 20 percent above last
year. The Minnesota crop of 13.0 million cwt is up 26 percent. Ory soils in
North Dakota allowed harvest to move more rapidly than usual with 87 percent
dug by the first of October. The North Dakota production forecast of 21.9
million cwt is up 7 percent from last year. Wisconsin's potato quality and
yields are good, especially on Russet Burbanks. Overall production is set at
21.4 million cwt, a gain of 13 percent.

The nine Western States are expecting a potato crop of 196 million cwt, up
3 percent from Tast year and 1 percent above 1982. Acreage for harvest is up
6 percent from last year, but yields average less than the last two years,
particularly on early harvested fields. Idaho production is forecast at 85.9
million cwt, virtually the same as last year but 6 percent below 1982. Early
harvest has been slow where farmers are waiting for more size and maturity.
Washington and Oregon acreages were up sharply this year, but smaller size
Potatoes have reduced yields. A Washington crop of 55.9 million cwt is
forecast, up 3 percent from last year; while Oregon's production of 22.3
million cwt is up 8 percent. Colorado farmers are rapidly harvesting their
crop. Potatoes show good size and quality. A production forecast of 16.0
million cwt is up 14 percent from last year and adequate storage may be a
problem.

ALL POTATO production in 1984 (four seasonal groups) is forecast at 359 million

cwt (16.3 million metric tons), a gain of 7 percent over last year
and 1 percent above 1982. Area for harvest, at 1.30 million acres (524
thousand hectares), is up 4 percent from last year and 2 percent above 1982.
The average yield of 277 cwt per acre is expected to be up 8 cwt from last
year, but 3 cwt short of the 1982 record.

REVISED 1984 WINTER POTATO production is set at 2.64 million cwt (120 thousand

metric tons), up 20 percent from 1983 and 17 percent
above 1982. Area for harvest, at 13.0 thousand acres (5260 hectares), gained
15 percent; while the average yield of 203 cwt per acre was up 9 cwt from 1983.

POTATO PRODUCTION

MUO on,
“
oer
208
we
yyy)
OCTOBER FORECAST re

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 26.9

million tons (24.4 million metric tons), 1 percent above the
September 1 level but 5 percent below the 1983 crop. The increase from
September 1 followed an improved outlook in Florida.

Florida's sugarcane crop progressed well during September. Cutting for
seed increased during the month. Harvest for sugar should begin by late
October. Weather has favored optimal growth.

Hawaii's sugarcane production forecast jis unchanged, but higher sugar
yields are expected. favorable growing conditions have continued throughout
the island chain. Persistent, dry conditions on Maui have curtailed planting.

In Louisiana, planting was 61 percent complete on OQctober 1. This
compares with 64 percent last year and the average of 69 percent for this date.

In Texas, the Rio Grande Valley had heavy September rains. Harvest is
expected to begin on schedule in mid-October. Some fields are still very
green.

HOPS: Production is estimated at 57.0 million pounds (25.9 thousand metric
tons), down 4 percent from September 1 and 16 percent from 1983.

Yields decreased from the September 7 forecast im ai? States, except
Idaho. The average estimated yield is 1852 pounds per acre, compared with
1846 pounds in 1983. The 30.8 thousand acres (12.5 thousand hectares) for
harvest is 2 percent below September 1 and 17 percent below 1983, Harvest was
complete by October 1. About 400 acres of hops in Washington will not be
harvested because of down yards and low prices.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on
October 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
66 percent, the same as October 1 last year but 10 points below the 1973-82
average for the date, During the month of September, conditions declined in
34 States, improved in 10 States and were unchanged in 4 States. Dry weather
during September greatly reduced pasture conditions in the eastern and
southern States. Extreme drought continues to exist in much of central Texas
and into Oklahoma. Texas' condition is 37 percent, compared with 56 percent
Jast year and a 69 percent average. Portions of northern Montana and northern
North Dakota also show extreme drought. Montana's condition is 53 percent
compared with 72 percent last year and the average of 78 percent. In North
Dakota, the current condition is 51 percent compared with 69 percent last year
and a 68 percent average. Missouri received some beneficial rain during the
month and condition improved from 40 percent on September 1 to 64 percent on
October 1. With the exception of Montana and eastern Colorado, conditions in
the western States continue in the good to excellent range.

APPLES: The final forecast of the 1984 U.S. apple crop places production at

8.23 billion pounds (3.73 million metric tons), down 1 percent from
the August 1 forecast of 8.33 billion pounds (3.78 million metric tons), and 1
percent less than last year's production.

Eastern States expect 3.30 billion pounds, up fractionally from August 1
and 2 percent above a year ago. Harvest is in full swing in New York where
good size and color are reported. There are reports of some blocks picking-out
ighter than expected. Pennsylvania's apples have sized fairly well and
disease problems have been minimal. Coloring is the best in several years.
About half of Virginia's apple crop was picked by October 1. Color is
excellent, size good and quality above average. Harvest is ahead of normal in
North Carolina, where apples sized well and color is good. Apples of good
color and quality are plentiful in New Jersey. Spraying was successful in
keeping scab and insect infestation under control.

Prospects in the Central States are forecast at 1.24 billion pounds, down
3 percent from August 1 but up 4 percent from 1983. Picking is active in
Michigan. The quality of the crop is good. Ory weather in the southwest
reduced the crop size but the northwest had abundant summer rainfall. Ohio
apple producers expect to harvest one of their better crops despite early
problems of frost and freeze damage, and dry weather. Color and quality are
good but there is some irregular and small sized fruit. Harvest is normal in
the southern part of the State but as much as three weeks late in the northern
portion. Apples have not sized well in Illinois. Last year's drought,
extreme winter temperatures and this year's dry summer all contributed to the
reduction.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

1,000 ACRES
CORN FOR GRAIN Bu : 60,177 79,790 $1,443 71,064

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " : 11,695 16,224 9,836 14,209
ALL WHEAT " : 76,419 79,526 61,390 66,194
DURUM “ : 2,565 3,282 2,492 3,194
OTHER SPRING ” 2 17,749 12,415 11,314 11,991

RICE CWT I/ : 2,190.0 2,851.0 2,169.0 2,816.0

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 2/ BU : 63,779 68,175 62,525 66,833

FLAXSEED . : 605 575 $80 $55

PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB : 1,471.0 1,557.0 1,373.5 1,528.0

SUNFLOWER 2/ " : 3,110 3,604 3,063 3,555

ALL COTTON BALE 1/ : 7,946.3 11,0497 7,367.5 10, 269.7
UPLAND " WV: 7,883.3 10,972.0 7,304.8 10,191.3
AMER~PIMA "of: 63.0 77.7 62.7 78.4

COTTONSEED TON :

ALL HAY " : 59,697 62,25)
ALFALFA " : 25,710 27,257
ALL OTHER " : 33,987 34,994

DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT / : 1,178.0 1,464.0 1,136.7 1,415.0

POTATOES :

FALL CWT : 1,074.4 1,118.3 1,051.5 1,089.9
TOTAL " : 1,272.1 1,329.7 1,242.5 1,295.0

SWEETPOTATOES " : 105.3 108.7 102.4 105.9

TOBACCO LB : 789.0 797.3

SUGARBEETS TON t 1,080.4 1,118.5 1,055.8 1,094.7

SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 767.7 728.5

HOPS LB : 36.9 30.8

PASTURE AND RANGE :

FEED 4/ PCT

APPLES, COM'L LB

GRAPES TON

SWEET CHERRIES 5/ " :

TART CHERRIES 5/ LB z

PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) TON :

PECANS LB 2

FILBERTS TON :

CITRUS FRUITS 6/ t
ORANGES 80x :

LEMONS "

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-~4.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

1,000 ACRE
OATS BU : 20,290 12,229 9,076 8,088
BARLEY . : 10,419 11,978 9,727 11,229
WINTER WHEAT . > 62,105 63,829 47,584 51,009
RYE . : 2,707 2,956 896 953
POTATOES :
WINTER 2/ CWT 1.5 13.2 11.3 13.0
SPRING " 82.1 86.3 79.6 84.7
SUMMER ” 104.1 111.9 100.1 107.4
PEACHES
PEARS
APRICOTS

NECTARINES (CALIF)
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF) °
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB
WALNUTS (CALIF)

ES

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PECANS

PRODUCTI ON

CROP AND STATE

vv 000 “POUNDS

IMPROVED
ALA 14,000 17,000 13,000
ARK 300: 1,750 1,400
FLA 2,000 | 1,500 2,200
GA 105,000 85,000 105,000
LA 2,500 3,000 2,000
Miss 3,000 5,500 3,500
N MEX 25,000 | 29,000 27,000
NC 900 | 500 1,700
OKLA 300 | 1,000 2,000
sc 1,200 | 1,000 3,300
TEX 14,000 | 22,000 20,000
us 168,200 167,250 181,100

NATIVE & SEEDLING
ALA 9,000 7,000 5,000
ARK 200 750 600
FLA 2,500 ; 1,900 2,800
GA 20,000 15,000 20,000
LA 7,500 | 19,000 8,000
MIss 1,000 | 2,500 1,500
Nc 1,000 | 1,100 1,200
OKLA 1,700 | 7,000 23,000
sc 1,000 | 500 2,200
TEX 3,000 | 48,000 5,000
us 46,900 | 102,750 69,300

ALL i
ALA 23,000 | 24,000 18,000
ARK 500 | 2,500 2,000
FLA 4,500 3,400 5,000
GA 125,000 | 100,000 125,000
LA 10,000 | 22,000 10,000
MISS 4,000 | 8,000 5,000
N MEX 25,000 | 29,000 27,000
nc 2/ 1,900 | 1,600 2,900
OKLA 2,000 | 8,000 25,000
sc 2,200 | 1,500 5,500
TEX 17,000 70,000 25,000
us 215,100

1/ BUDDED,GRAFTED,OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PAPAYAS -| HAWAII
FRESH PRODUCTION

TOTAL IN CROP HARVESTED

MONTH

2 FORECAST

1,000 POUNDS

AUG 5 3,435 3,650 2,095 3,447 6,500
SEP : 3,540 3,770 2,095 21840 2,070 4,800
ocT : 3, 2,220 | 3,897 4,800

3,625 2,195 j 6,124 5,500

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-18) CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUNFLOWER v/s

: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
It 1
RIN : 230 193 1,100 | 641,250 253,000
N DAK : 2,200 2,450 1,040 3,454,000 2,288,000
$_DAK : 445 591 1,010 656,140 449,450
TEX : 34 391,100 | 294,000 37,400
us : 2,909 3,273 1,041 | 5,045,390 3,027,850
NON-OIL |
MINN : 9 13 1,250 33,990 11,250
N DAK : 144 265 1,100 | 249,600 158,400
S$ DAK : 1 4 1,000 | 3,840 1,000
us : 154 282 «1,108 | 287,430 170,650
ALL
MINN : 239 206 1,106 1,200 675,240 264,250 247,200
N DAK : 2,344 2,715 1,044 |1,000 3,703,600 2,446,400 2,715,000
S$ DAK : 446 595 1,010 |1,100 659,980 450,450 654,500
TEX : 4 394,100 \,300 294,000 37,400 50 7798
:

7 REVISED. i

FLAXSEED

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
MINN : 75 45 12.5 | 15.0 1,650 938 675
N DAK : 400 410 11.5 | 13.0 5,873 4,600 5,330
S DAK : 105 100 13.0 15.5 2,755 1,365 1,550
us £ 580 555 11.9 | 13.6 10,278 6,903 7,555

PEANUTS FOR Nuts

POUNDS

218.0 2,525 (2,950 522,150 454,500 643,100
76.0 2,780 5,200 153,000 166,800 243,200
636.0 2,790 |3;300 1,517,480 1,567,980 2,098,800
13:0 2,330 |2,500 ° 25,220 ° 25,630 | 32,500
15410 2,165 [2,900 417,200 318,255 446,600
95.0 1,940 [2,000 174,580 176,540 190,000
14.0 2,000 2,600 30,000 25,000 36,400
225.0 1,685 (1,500 325,125 362,275 337,500
97.0 2,090 2,850 275,500 198,550 276,450
1,373. 3 1,528.0 2,399 2,817 3,440,255 3,295,530 4,304,550

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-! QUOTA PEANUTS,
2 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1974-84 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

VIN SOME
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and|Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
R..R. Hancock, Chairperson,
c. Gardner, Acting Secretary,

APPROVED: R. OD. ‘allen J. 0. Witzig,
R. A. |McGregor, R. P, Small,
R. Ls Addison, W. T. Brannen,
J. E. Brewster, A. R. Budge,
T. 0. /Byram, W. N. Dowdy,
> 0. G.|Flohr, C. 0. James,
Ie D. C.!Johnson, S. A. Kellogg,
D. E. jLutz, A. R. Midgett, Jr.,
6. A. (NeTson, L. H. Pope,
D. E.|Ransom, J. K. Sands,
L. A.| Shaw, Vv. L. Siegenthaler,
R, J.|Steele, L. S. Williams,

| D. J. Buckner.

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AREA HARVE.

STED

1,000 POUNDS
685 200

POUNDS

CALIF 1,370 2,000

IDAHO 1,740 1,740 6,264 5,394
OREG 1,590 '1,420 10,017 6,958
WASH : 1,930 | 160 51,145 44,492
us 2 1,846 68,111

1/ QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE ‘GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991.
2/ INCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS): 1982-WASH. 5,000,
1983-OREG. 1,000,000, WASH. 20,000.

i
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE

AVERAGE : 1983 : 1984
1973-82 ' :

1973-82

PERCENT

ALA : 74 67 102 96
ARIZ oo: 71 86 80 86
ARK : 74 40 48 69
CALIF 77 91 60 89
COLO : ral 82 72 84
CONN : 80 54 53 W
DEL 76 67 69 51
FLA 82 80 48 7
GA : 70 67 52 73 59 48
IDAHO =: 82 93 95 t 84 94 90
ILL : 79 43 70 : 80 54 82
IND 84 42 72 : 85 82 74
TOWA 2 80 60 64 Fy 69 55 58
KANS oo: 74 55 58 : 67 81 82
KY t 86 37 59 t 79 47 60
LA : 75 W7 75 : 69 56 37
MAINE ¢ 82 81 86 + 76 101 95
MD : 76 43 7 z 84 83 90
MASS): 81 71 78 81 53 79
MICH 2 80 76 75 : 78 93 81
MINN t 75 75 67 : 83 52 74
MISS 2 76 69 67 78 85 82
MO 2 74 43 64 81 1 87

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVE POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE

DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35. |

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 Ba14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Crop ORDER FORM
Reporting USDA CROP REPORTING BOARD PUBLICATIONS
Board

(Publications available only from Crop Reporting Board)

Subscription Fee

Issued Domestic Foreign

FIELD CROP SERIES POULTRY SERIES
=] Hop Stocks (2 issues) Mar. & Sept. $2.50 $3.50 O Turkey Hatchery
O Peanut Stocks & Processing Mar. & Sept. 2.50 3.50

+ PRICES & EXPENDITURES
FRUIT & VEGETABLE SERIES

SERIES

= Cherry Production June 1.25 1.75 0 Agricultural Prices
Cherry Utilization October 42500 1.78 ‘Annual

© Citrus Fruits September 1.50 2.00 Crop Values

OQ Cranberries , August 1

Expenditures (2 issues)
Minnesota-Wisconsin
Mitk Prices

ia}
25 1.75 O Farm Production
LIVESTOCK SERIES a

2 Meat Animals Production,

Disposition, & Income April 1.50 2,00 OTHER CROPS
© Sheep & Goats January 1.250 1,75
(Woo! & Mohair March 125 1.75 [© Commercial Fertilizer
© Farm Labor
1979-83 STATISTICAL BULLETINS O Mink
1 Mushrooms
Field Crops, 1978-83 dune 1984 5.00 6.25 «= Sugar Market

Stocks of Grains,

Oilseeds and Hay, 1978-83
Potatoes & Sweetpotatoes
Citrus Fruit, 1977/78-81/82
Hogs & Pigs, 1979-82

Statistics (4 issues)
June 1984 6.00 7.50
June 1984 2.00 2.50
Sept. 1984 150 2.00
Dec. 1984 2.00 2.50

Jo] oa

i Noncitrus Fruits & Nuts,

_ _ 1978-82 Jan. 1985 4.00
Sheep & Goats, 1980-83 Jan. 1985 1.25
Cattle. 1980-83 Jan. 1985 2.75

Chickens & Eggs, 1980-83

Milk Production, 1979-82

Vegetables, 1978-82

Meat Animals: Prod., Disp., &
Income 1979-82

Poultry: Prod., Disp., & Income

1980-83

Jan. 1985 3.75 :
Feb. 1985 275 3.75
June 1985 To Be Announced

5
5
a

April 1985 2.00 2.50

April 1985 1752.25

October 1984

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June 5.00 6.25
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June 1.2500 1.75
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ALL OTHER HAY

ALA + 650 680 1,60 1.90 1,235 1,040 1,292
ARIZ 1/ : 25 25 3.90 3.60 73 98 90
ARK t 825 865 1.55 1.80 1,476 1,279 1,557
CALIF : 530 510 2.40 2.40 1,224 1,272 1,224
COLO t 750 675 1.50 1.40 975 1,125 945
CONN 1/ t 64 66 2.15 2.15 139 138 142
DEL vA z 13 14 2.00 2.00 23 26 28
FLA Vv z 255 280 2.70 2.80 712 689 784
GA Fy 500 470 2.00 2.90 1,200 1,000 1,363
(IDAHO : 390 360 2.30 2.30 672 897 828
ALL : 470 420 1.70 2.00 924 799 840
IND : 400 420 1.90 2.30 984 760 966
1OWA t 550 500 2.00 2.45 1,300 1,100 1,225
KANS, x 4,400 1,600 1.50 4.90 2,363 2,100 2,720
KY : 1,300 1,520 1.60 1.80 2,622 2,080 2,736
LA : 350 328 2.10 2.30 748 735 754
MAINE 1/ + 203 203 1.75 1.85 376 355 376
MD : 150 150 2.10 2.20 326 315 330
MASS 1/ : 94 94 2,40 2.30 203 226 216
MICH t 300 300 1.70 2.10 672 510 630
MINN ' 930 840 2.20 2.40 2,024 2,046 2,016
MISS 3 675 680 2.00 1.90 1,575 1,350 1,292
MO : 2,680 3,000 1.60 1.70 4,573 4,288 5,100
MONT ’ 1,000 1,100 1.35 1.10 1,540 1,350 1,210
NEBR : 2,100 2,100 1.20 1.15 2,415 2,520 2,415
NEV 2 300 350 1.35 1.30 428 405 455
NH too: 70 72 2.05 2.05 149 144 148
NJ / + 70 75 1.90 2.00 124 133 150
N MEX 1/ 70 85 1.60 2.00 98 126 170
NY t 1,340 1,360 2.00 2.10 2,650 2,680 2,856
NC 3 360 370 1.40 1.60 576 504 592
N DAK t 1,350 1,350 1,25 1.25 1,813 1,688 1,688
OHIO : 800 800 2.10 2.15 1,828 1,680 1,720
OKLA Fy 1,600 1,800 1.60 1.50 2,295 2,560 2,700
OREG : 670 700 1.90 1.95 1,203 1,273 1,365
PA : 1,120 1,130 2.00 2.30 2,320 2,240 2,599
Rt v/ 2 8 7 2.00 2.00 15 16 14
sc 2 215 230 1.80 2.30 484 387 529
S_DAK 2 1,700 1,700 1.30 1.35 2,660 2,210 2,295
TENN z 1,210 1,360 1.40 1.60 1,800 1,694 2,176
TEX t 2,900 2,900 2.30 1.60 5,880 6,670 4,640
UTAH 1/ 140 135 2.00 2.10 262 280 284
VT V/ 2 340 340 1.95 2.00 637 663 680
VA : 950 970 1.40 1.60 1,373 1,330 1,552
WASH : 350 340 2.50 2.60 782 875 884
WYA : 540 530 1.10 1.20 648 594 636
wis : 600 550 2.20 2.50 1,620 1,320 1,375
WYO 3 680 640 1.40 1.35 837 952 864
us 2 33, 987 34,994 1.72 1.76 60,856 58,522 61,451

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 723 million pounds, 40
percent above 1983. Production is unchanged from last month. Yield for the
area is set at 2881 pounds per acre, 745 pounds greater than in 1983.
Production in Virginia and North Carolina is up from last year 39 and 40
percent, respectively. Harvest is ahead of normal in both States. Crop
condition is generally good for the area but a little moisture in Virginia
would aid digging.

In Texas, Oklahoma, and New Mexico the crop is expected to total 560
million pounds, 1 percent below last year. Production is up 2 percent from
the previous month. Yield is forecast at 1681 pounds per acre, 100 pounds
below 1983 but 28 pounds above September 1. Yield prospects were unchanged in
Texas but increased in Oktahoma.

SUNFLOWER: Production of all sunflower is forecast at 3.67 billion pounds
~~" (1,66 million metric tons) up 15 percent from 1983, but 31 percent
below 1982. The 1984 area for harvest, at 3.56 million acres (1.44 million
hectares), is up 16 percent from last year but 25 percent below 1982.
Prospective yield, at 1032 pounds per acre is down 12 pounds from 1983, and
off 97 pounds from 1982, Yields are forecast at 1200 pounds per acre in
Minnesota, 1000 in North Dakota, 1100 in South Dakota and 1300 pounds in
Texas. In North Gakota, the progress of the crop was hampered by prolonged
dry weather which existed most of the summer. The crop was 3 percent combined
by September 30 compared with the 5 percent average.

COTTON: All cotton production is expected to total 13.3 million bales, 71

percent above 1983 and virtually unchanged from September 1. Upland
is forecast at 13.2 million bales, 71 percent more than last year, and
American-Pima at 112 thousand bales is up 18 percent. Area for harvest is
estimated at 10.3 million acres (4.16 million hectares), up 39 percent from
1983. Average yield per acre, at a record high 620 pounds, is 114 pounds
above 1983 and surpasses by 30 pounds the previous record high yield set in
1982.

Production in the Southeastern States is forecast at 840 thousand bales,
more than double 1983 production and up 2 percent fram September 1. Yield
prospects are good. Harvest was about 12 percent complete by October 1.

Growers in the Delta States expect to harvest 4.07 million bales, more
than twice last year's production and 3 percent above the September 1]
forecast. Yield prospects improved during September, but below normal
temperatures slowed maturity. Fruit set is heavy and October 1 surveys

indicate above average boll weight, resulting in very good yields. A
reduction in acres for harvest in Mississippi was offset by improved yield
prospects. Harvest was gaining momentum and reached 10 percent complete by
October 1.

Texas and Oklahoma Upland production is forecast at 3.94 million bates, up
56 percent from last year and down fractionally from September 1, Harvest
moved into Central Texas and was about 16 percent complete for the State by
October 1. The High plains crop made good progress until cool temperatures
slowed development the last week of September. Many fields have been
chemically defoliated and harvest is beginning. Yield prospects are good.
Prospects in Oklahoma declined in September due to dry weather,

Western State's growers expect to harvest 4.30 million bales, 55 percent
above 1983 but down 3 percent from the month's earlier forecast. Fruit set is
heavy but bolls are lighter than average. High temperatures during August and
September pushed the crop to maturity and harvest got underway 1 to 2 weeks
earlier than normal.

Bureau of the Census reports 1,179,144 running bales ginned prior to
October 1, compared with 762,613 bales ginned to the same date last year and
1,529,044 bales in 1982.

COTTONSEED: Production based on the three year average lint-seed ratio, is
forecast at 5.30 million tons (4.80 million metric tons), up 72
percent from last year.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SWEETPOTATOES: Production of sweetpotatoes for 1984 is forecast at 13.1?

mittion cwt (594 thousand metric tons), up 8 percent from last
year but 12 percent short of the 1982 output. The average yield projection of
124 cwt per acre slipped down 1 cwt from the September 1 forecast but is 6 cwt
above last year. Area for harvest is set at 106 thousand acres (42.9 thousand
hectares), a gain of 3 percent from last year.

The North Carolina crop was hurt by hurricane "Diana" and excessive rains.
By the end of September, only 23 percent of the crop had been harvested. In
South Carolina, harvest was 29 percent complete by October 1, ahead of last
year but later than normal. New Jersey harvest is making steady progress but
recent rains may Cause some cracking.

Dry soils in Georgia have reduced yields and slowed harvest. In Louisiana,
harvest progress was 71 percent complete by October 1 compared with 66 percent
last year and average. The Texas crop shows good quality, but smaller sizes.
Irrigated yields look good but dryland yields are below average. California
prospects improved slightly during September, but stil] lag behind last year.

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco is forecast at 1.74 billion pounds (788

thousand metric tons), 22 percent above 1983 and virtually the same
as the September 1 forecast. Yield is expected to average 2179 pounds per
acre compared with 181? pounds per acre in 1983.

Kentucky's production of tobacco is estimated at 527 million pounds, 62
percent above the previous year. The forecas|t is unchanged from September 1.
Harvest is nearing completion with about 92 percent of the crop cut and housed
as of October 1. Most of the crop was harvested in good condition and
benefitted from good curing weather.

Production in North Carolina is expected! to total 585 million pounds, 7
percent above 1983. The September 1 production forecast was 583 million
pounds. Yield per acre is up 5 pounds from) a month earlier and 181 pounds
above 1983. Harvest of flue-cured tobacco was virtually complete by the end
of September. Cutting of pburley was 95 percent complete by October 1,
Slightly ahead of both last year and average.

Tennessee tobacco production is expected ito total 165 million pounds, 39
percent greater than in 1983. Production and yield both held steady from
September 1. Yield is set at 2180 pounds per acre, 559 pounds above 1983.
Harvest was nearing completion by October 1,| about ‘a week ahead of normal.
Overall curing conditions have been favorable. Burley growers will begin
stripping soon.

\

SUGARBEETS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 22.2 million tons (20.1

million metric tons), down 2 ipercent from the September 1
forecast but up 6 percent from last year's production. The increase from last
year is the’ combined result of increased acreage and higher yield. Average
yield is forecast at 20.3 tons per acre, 0.4; tons less than the September 1
forecast but 0.4 ton more than a year earlier. Prospects deteriorated in 6
States but improved in 2 States. i

Minnesota and North Dakota yields are below earlier expectations. Lack of
moisture was a contributing factor. However, ; quantity and quality of sugar
are excellent. North Dakota harvest was 13 ‘percent complete on October 1
compared with 16 percent last year and the average of 9 percent.

In California, harvest continued very active in the central valley and
coastal regions. €xcellent yields are reported in the coastal areas. There
has been some treatment for worms. j

In Idaho, earlier starting plant dates may result in some beets not
reaching full weight potential.

Yield prospects for Michigan continue flavorable with September rain
boosting tonnage. Sugar content increased with recent cool nights and sunny
days. Harvest started in late September.

Nebraska's harvest will begin in early October with excellent yield
Prospects. Below freezing temperatures in the major producing areas may lower
sugar content. |

1

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1984 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA