Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group,
State, and United States, 1990-92

Seasonal : roduction

Group Jeter nner anne nen nen nnn nnn nooo oo oe oon nnn nnn n-ne
and : : :

State 1991 : 1992 : 1991 : 1992 1991 1992

- 1,000 Acres - ---- Cwt ---- — ------ 1,000 Cwt ------

Winter 1/
CA 4.6 5.1 245 220 1,265 1,127 1,122
FL : 7.6 8.0 195 200 1,078 1,482 1,600
Total > 12.2 13.1 214 208 2,343 2,609 2,722

Spring 1/
AL 2.5 3.5 120 155 855 300 543
AZ 6.0 6.1 295 295 1,794 1,770 1,800
ch 21.8 19.3 380 390 8,438 8,284 7,527
Hastings : 27.0 27.0 190 280 6,888 5,130 7,560
Other : 8.4 7.0 175 250 1,826 1,470 1,750
NC > 17.0 17.3 170 190 3,240 2,890 3,287
TMX 4.8 4.8 165 155 1,122 792 744
Total 87.5 85.0 236 273 24,163 = 20,636 = 23,211

Summer 2/
AL 6.8 7.0 140 170 1,088 952 1,190
CA 4.8 4.3 325 320 1,749 1,560 1,376
co 6.9 6.0 295 290 2,124 2,036 1,740
DE 7.7 6.8 175 230 2,009 1,348 1,564
IL 4.2 4.0 240 290 837 1,008 1,160
IA 1.3 1.6 160 210 160 208 336
MD 1.7 1.6 175 175 324 298 280
MI 11.5 12.0 250 260 2,875 2,875 3,120
MN 7.3 7.1 295 325 1,830 2,154 2,308
MO 6.3 7.2 210 250 957 1,323 1,800
NE 2.4 2.0 265 300 662 636 600
NJ 4.0 3.5 190 250 1,012 760 875
NM 3/ 10.0 3.5 345 275 3,400 3,450 963
NC : 1.4 1.4 110 110 140 54 154
TX : 10.0 7.0 240 245 1,950 2,400 1,715
VA > 11.0 11.0 135 180 1,980 1,485 1,980
Total 97.3 86.0 233 246 23,097 22,647 21,161

See footnotes at end of table. . --continued

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-20 NASS, USDA


Wyoming are slightly behind in their harvest schedule, although most beans are
in good condition. Hail damage showed up in some southeastern Wyoming fields.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.53 billion pounds, down 1 percent from

the August 1 forecast and down 8 percent from last year's record
high crop. Cool, wet conditions in August lowered expectations slightly.
Harvested area, estimated at 1.75 million acres, is 13 percent below last
year. Yields are expected to average 2,588 pounds per harvested acre, down
14 pounds from last month but up 144 pounds from 1991.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 2.83 billion pounds. This level represents a
1 percent increase from last month but is 11 percent below the 1991 crop.
Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 2,68] pounds per acre,

242 pounds more than last year. The low incidence of disease and insect
problems in Alabama points to improved yields indicated by 87 percent of the
crop being rated in good to excellent condition. Digging was just getting
underway in Alabama. In Georgia, the crop remains about 10 days to two weeks
behind normal. As of August 28, 79 percent of the crop in Georgia was rated
in good to excellent condition.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 711 million pounds, down

3 percent from last month and down 8 percent from last year. Yield per
harvested acre, at 2,800 pounds is 180 pounds per acre below last year's final
average. In North Carolina and Virginia, August moisture, excessive at times,
made disease control difficult. Disease pressure was reported across the
entire region and the crop remains about two weeks behind normal for
September 1.

The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected
to total 986 million pounds, down 3 percent from last month but 1 percent
above 1991. Yields are expected to average 2,241 pounds per acre, 87 pounds
above last year's level. Cool weather is cited as the primary reason for
lower expected production from last month in Texas and Oklahoma. The crop
remains later than normal with disease problems more widely reported in
Oklahoma than the other Southwestern States.

Summer Potatoes: The final forecast of summer potato production is

21.2 million cwt, down 7 percent from last year but
1 percent above last month. Harvested area is estimated at 86,000 acres.
Acreage fell 12 percent from last year. Harvest progress caught up to nearly
normal in August and yields are turning out an average of 13 cwt per acre
better than last year. The average yield is up 2 cwt per acre to 246 cwt from
the August 1 forecast.

Yields in most of the mid-west and Central States are better than last year.
Michigan farmers reported good harvest progress in August and excellent
yields. Missouri is completing harvest in the Northwest Counties with sharply
higher yields. Some isolated Nebraska fields sustained hail damage but cool,
wet weather helped sizing. Harvest of Illinois potatoes is half finished with
yields at record high levels. Along the Atlantic Coast, harvest has been good
after a-dry season last year. New Jersey potatoes are late; coo? weather
delayed the crop up to two weeks.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-10 NASS, USDA


Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 847 million bushels, up

2 percent from Jast month and up 46 percent from 1991.
The U.S. average yield is forecast at 68.7 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel
from August 1 and 9.7 bushels more than last year. Prospects for improved
yields in Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and South Dakota were only partially
offset by lowered Texas expectations. This U.S. yield is second only to the
69.4 bushel per acre average of 1987. Area for grain harvest is unchanged
from a month ago.

Development of this year's crop collectively trailed average progress as of
September 1, largely due to cold, wet weather. Delays of some kind were
reported in several States. Nebraska's crop lags normal development by over
2 weeks. The Texas harvest moved to 59 percent completed by September 1.
Arkansas and Mississippi harvests stood at 19 and 17 percent, respectively.

Barley: Total production is forecast at 429 million bushels, up 9 percent
from last month but 8 percent below the 1991 crop. The expected

yield per acre is forecast at 58.9 bushels compared with last month's

54.1 bushels and last season's average of 55.2 bushels. Area harvested and to

be harvested, at 7.29 million acres, is 13 percent below last year's

8.41 million acres.

Harvest in the major producing States is running behind normal. Yields in
Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming are running well above
previous expectations.

All Wheat: Production is forecast at 2.41 billion bushels, up 3 percent from
last month and 22 percent above 1991. Area for grain is

63.1 million acres, up 9 percent from last year. Average yield is forecast at

38.2 bushels per acre, up 1.2 and 3.9 bushels from August and 1991,

respectively.

Durum Wheat: Production for 1992 is forecast at 87.8 million bushels, up

9 percent from August 1 but down 16 percent from 1991. Yields
are now expected to average 36.3 bushels per acre, up 2.8 bushels per acre
from August and 3.8 bushels per acre above last year. Area for grain is
unchanged from last month.

North Dakota's durum condition remained favorable during August as cool
temperatures and above average moisture have improved yield prospects. Crop
development continues to lag average progress by substantial margins. As of
August 30, only 18 percent of the durum wheat was combined - average is

82 percent.

Other Spring Wheat: The final 1992 production forecast is a record high

719 million bushels.‘ This represents a 10 percent
increase from August 1 and is 42 percent higher than 1991. U.S. yields are
forecast at a record high 39.7 bushels per acre, eclipsing 1990’s previous
high mark by 3.0 bushels per acre. The September forecast is up 3.6 bushels
from last month and is 6.3 bushels per acre better than last year. Harvested
area remains unchanged at 18.1.million acres, up 20 percent from last season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-6 NASS, USDA


impacted the crop. Walnut development is about seven to ten days ahead of
normal and harvest is just beginning.

Pistachios: The 1992 California pistachio production is forecast at

110 million pounds (in-shell basis), up 43 percent from last
year. The increase in production is primarily due to the alternate bearing
cycle of pistachios.

Although the number of clusters is a record high this year, the amount of
blanks is higher than last year and the number of nuts per cluster is much
Tower than in the past. Crop maturity is ahead of normal and harvest is
expected to begin earlier than 1991.

Pecans: The September 1 forecast for the U.S. pecan crop is 205 million
pounds (in-shell basis), down 31 percent from last year's production
and equal to the 1990 production level.

Most of the southeastern States show reduced pecan crops in 1992. The Georgia
pecan forecast is 60.0 million pounds, down 40 percent from last year.
Excessive rains as well as disease and insect problems in 199] have been major
contributors to this year's reduced harvest. Trees in Alabama, stressed by
last season's large production along with disease and insect problems, are
forecast to produce only 8.00 million pounds, down 56 percent from last
season. The North Carolina forecast is 2.00 million pounds, down 64 percent
because of the large crop a year earlier. The South Carolina forecast is
1.00 million pounds, down 82 percent from last year's large crop. Rainy
weather during pollination along with a late spring freeze reduced this
State's crop prospects. The Florida crop, at 4.00 million pounds, is up

14 percent from last season and the only State in the region with a better
crop than a year ago.

The Texas crop is expected to total 60.0 million pounds, unchanged from last
season's production. Trees in the western half of the State are generally in
good condition, while trees in the eastern half have been hit by disease and
insect problems. The New Mexico pecan crop is forecast at 29.0 million
pounds, unchanged from last year. A wet spring caused some pollination
problems but the crop is generally in good condition. The Oklahoma pecan crop
is forecast at 9.00 million pounds, down 47 percent from last season. One
reason for the reduced crop was a hard freeze across the State in November
1991. California production is forecast at 2.90 million pounds, up 26 percent
from last year. This season's crop is two to three weeks ahead of normal.

Disease, insects, and Hurricane Andrew have hurt pecan production in the
Mississippi Delta States. The forecast for Louisiana is 5.00 million pounds,
down 81 percent from last year's large crop. Problems with disease and
insects had caused a small crop and Hurricane Andrew reduced prospects even
more. The Mississippi pecan forecast is 2.00 million pounds, down 73 percent
from last year. A hard freeze last fall before the trees were dormant had
already hurt this year's crop prospects. Reports also indicate heavy rains
and wind from Hurricane Andrew may have added up to 20 percent loss in some
areas. Arkansas is expected to produce 1.50 million pounds, down 50 percent
from last year. The crop was hurt by a spring freeze.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-15 NASS, USDA


Wheat: Production by Class, United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992 1/

Winter Spring
Year Hard Soft Hard Total
Red Red White Red Durum White

1,000 Bushels

1990 : 1,198,782 547,126 284,966 554,678 122,430 28,446 2,736,428
1991 : 901,346 325,201 145,635 431,223 103,957 73,342 1,980,704
1992 : 955,383 428,727 216,821 671,266 87,752 47,478 2,407,427
1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available
for all wheat producing states. Unless unusual situations dictate, the previous
end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season.
Washington class estimates have been changed to 23 percent Hard Red Spring and
77 percent White Spring.

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested Production

1991 : 1992 : 199] :------------------- > 1991 =: 1992

AR : 1,260 1,320 5,300 5,300 5,300 66,780 69,960

CA : 325 370 7,800 7,800 7,800 25,350 28,860
LA : 510 590 4,850 4,900 4,700 24,735 27,730
MS : 220 235 5,600 5,400 5,300 12,320 12,455
MOL/ : 92 105 5,100 5,200 5,200 4,692 5,460
1X 2 343 348 6,000 5,900 5,600 20,580 19,488
US : 2,750 2,968 5,617 5,607 5,524 154,457 163,953

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,
1990-1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

1,000 Cwt
1990 : 107,806 47,328 954 156,088
1991 : 109,049 44,589 820 154,457
1992 1/ : 116,899 46,398 656 163,953

1/ Indicated September 1, 1992 rice class forecasts are based on a five-year
average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data
become available through the growing season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-14 NASS, USDA


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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-21 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested Production

~- Acres ----- --- Pounds ---
cT > 1,750 1,390 1,618 1,614 3,007 2,831 2,243
FL : 6,600 7,600 2,320 2,675 19,044 15,312 20,330
GA : 40,000 43,000 2,015 2,200 103,845 80,600 94,600
IN : 8,800 9,000 2,150 2,150 15,050 18,920 19,350
KY : 223,100 231,000 2,151 2,272 442,253 479,794 524,775
MD : 8,600 10,000 1,500 1,400 9,656 12,900 14,000
MA : 480 490 1,615 1,588 805 775 7718
MO : 3,000 1,500 2,275 1,550 5,928 6,825 2,325
NC : 275,000 276,200 2,308 2,192 639,639 634,655 605,550
OH : 10,400 10,800 2,190 2,140 18,915 22,776 23,112
PA > 10,500 10,800 1,978 1,980 19,780 20,765 21,380
SC; 51,000 52,000 2,180 2,050 109,905 111,180 106,600
TN : 61,730 67,180 1,969 2,024 112,218 121,524 135,988
VA : 53,500 51,200 2,184 2,110 110,269 116,849 108,020
Wy : 1,900 2,000 1,800 1,800 2,720 3,420 3,600
WI : 7,400 7,400 1,938 1,941 13,346 14,338 14,360
US : 763,760 781,560 2,178 2,171 1,626,380 1,663,464 1,697,011
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-24 NASS, USDA


Hot weather in California dropped yields during the last half of harvest and
led to some acreage abandonment. Texas harvest is about complete but not
before early rains and hail inflicted their damage on the potato crop.
Improved weather in the plains helped produce a respectable crop. Yields are
higher than expected in New Mexico.

Fail Potatoes, 1991 Final: Production of 1991 fall potatoes is finalized at a

record high 372 million cwt, up 5 percent from
both 1990 and the previous record high production set in 1985. Harvested
acreage was 1.18 million acres, up 1 percent from a year earlier and 8 percent
above 1989. The average yield came in at 316 cwt per acre, up 14 cwt from
1990 and 17 cwt above 1989. Acreage, yield, and production in 1991 were all
record highs for fall potatoes.

All Potatoes, 1991 Final: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons
in 1991 totaled 418 million cwt, up 4 percent from

a year earlier and 13 percent larger than 1989. Area harvested was

1.37 million acres, up fractionally from 1990 and 7 percent above 1989. The

average yield per acre was 304 cwt per acre, up 11 cwt from 1990 and 15 cwt

above 1989. Yield and production were the highest ever produced jn the United

States, while acreage harvested was the highest since 1978.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1992 is forecast at 1.70 billion

pounds, compared with last year's production of 1.66 billion pounds.
Area expected to be harvested totals 781,560 acres, 2 percent more than a year
ago. An average yield of 2,171 pounds per acre is forecast compared with
2,178 pounds in 1991.

Flue-cured production is expected to reach 888 million pounds, down 3 percent
from a year ago. Despite a slight increase in harvested acres, production
will be cut because of the cool, wet weather in North Carolina.

Burley output is expected to total 711 million pounds, up 8 percent from a
year ago. The increased production level reflects a 4 percent increase in
harvested acres and the average yield showing an 86 pound improvement.

In Kentucky, cutting continued at an active pace with 51 percent of the
acreage cut. Labor shortage remains a problem.

In Tennessee, growing conditions improved during August. Fields dried out and
slowed the advancement of disease.

Sugarbeets: The September 1 sugarbeet production forecast of 29.3 million

tons is fractionally above the August 1 forecast and 4 percent
above last year's output. Yields are expected to average 20.7 tons per acre,
up 0.5 ton from last year.

Production in the Red River Valley area of Minnesota and North Dakota is
expected to be 4 percent above a year ago. Idaho growers, with 17 percent of
the U.S. total this year, are expected to see a 1 percent drop in production.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-11 NASS, USDA



Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1991-92

(Domestic Units)

Yield per Acre

Crop and Unit

Production

Oats
Winter Wheat
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Potatoes
Winter
Spring
Fall 2/
Hops
Apples, Comm']
Peaches
Sweet Cherries
Tart Cherries
Apricots
Nectarines (CA)
Olives (CA)
Plums (CA)
Almonds (CA)

1/ 1992 estimates ca
2/ 1991 revised.

Crop Production
September 1992

Bu: 50.6

" : 34.8
Ton : 2.45
" : 3.28
"oo: 1.88
cwt: 214
" 236
" : 316
Lb : 1,748
Lb :

Ton

Lb

Ton

Lb

rried forward fro

1

57.6
37.6
2.43
3.25
1.88

208
273

601

242,526 276,381

1,372, 182 1,600,931

153,485 146,748

83,795 78,351

69,690 68,397

2,609 2,722

20,636 23,211
371,730

69, 155.4 67,731.0

9,898, 700 10,158,000

+ 2,672,300 2,515,500

151.6 169.5

189,900 264,800

95.8 110.2

215.0 240.0

65.0 135.0

218.0 250.0

earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


The abnormal coolness of the growing season resulted in delayed corn progress
entering August, despite early seeding of the crop. Below-normal temperatures
continued to prevail across the Corn Belt during August, further inhibiting
development. On August 30, crop progress remained well behind normal
throughout the Corn Belt, with the most extreme delays in the northernmost
States. Seventy-one percent(%) of the crop was in the dough stage in the

17 major States, compared with 91% last year and 89% average. Only 30% of the
crop had dented, compared with 72% last year and 64% average. Harvest was
active between rains in the South during the month and was well past the
halfway point of completion in Texas.

Soybean bloom was well along by the beginning of August and pod setting was
advancing. Crop progress was behind normal in the northern producing States,
but was ahead of normal in the Delta. Soybean progress rebounded somewhat
during the month despite continued below-normal temperatures. Pods were
setting on 93% of the acreage by August 30, 2 points ahead of both last year
and the historic average. Leaves were dropping on 2% of the acreage, compared
with 13% last year and 8% average. Harvest was active in Texas.

Winter wheat harvest was active, though nearly complete, in the central Great
Plains and middle Mississippi Valley entering August, was in full swing in the
Pacific Northwest, and was gaining momentum in the northern Rocky Mountains
and Great Plains. Harvest progressed fairly well despite scattered rainfall
during August, and was nearing completion by the end of the month. Seeding
of 1993 crop winter wheat got underway in several States late in the month.

The spring wheat crop, delayed due to abnormally cool weather, was behind
schedule entering August with harvest still in the early stages. Harvest was
active throughout the month, but late ripening of the crop and scattered rains
checked progress. Spring wheat harvest was only 40% complete in the five
major producing States by August 30, 50 percentage points behind last year and
51 points behind the 5-year average. Harvest was nearing completion in Idaho,
but was very delayed in Montana, Minnesota, and the Dakotas. At the beginning
of August, cotton progress was well behind normal in the southern Plains and
was somewhat delayed in the Southeast. Squaring was well along, but progress
of boll setting was behind schedule. Harvest was beginning in the Rio Grande
Valley. Frequent rains in the Southeast during the month hurt crop condition,
while hot weather in the Southwest promoted crop development. By August 30,
cotton progress was near normal in the 14 major producing States. Bolls were
opening on 24% of the acreage, matching last year's progress and lagging the
historic average by just 2 points. Defoliation and picking were gaining
momentum in the Southwest.

Grain sorghum was heading entering August and coloring was advancing in the
Delta and middle Mississippi Valley. Progress was ahead of schedule in the
Delta, but behind schedule in the Great Plains and middle Mississippi Valley
due to cooler-than-normal weather. Harvest began in the Delta during the
month, but periodic rains limited progress. Harvest continued under more
favorable conditions in southern Texas. Below-normal temperatures in the High
Plains and Great Plains during the month kept sorghum development behind
schedule. By August 30, heading was 89% complete in the 12 major producing
States, 7 points behind both last year and the 5-year average. Coloring was
41% complete, compared with 57% last year and the 53% average. Harvest was
halted or slowed by rains in the Gulf Coast States toward the end of the
month.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-4 NASS, USDA


Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group,
State, and United States, 1990-92 nt inued)

Seasonal Area Harvested :
Group tee --------------------------,
and :
State 1991 : 1992

- 1,000 Acres

: 14.0 13.0 385 6,630 5,390
te : 68.0 66.0 350 22,750 23,800
10 SWCo : 22.0 22.0 410 8,000 9,020
Other Co : 371.0 356.0 305 111,070 113,155
IN : 4.1 3.5 220 858 902
ME 79.0 81.0 230 20,520 18,170
MA 3.0 3.0 195 650 585
MI 34.0 36.0 260 9,240 8,840
MN 71.5 69.0 240 14,280 17,160
MT 9.3 9.1 300 2,492 2,790
NE 8.8 8.9 280 2,837 2,464
NV 7.6 7.5 335 2,345 2,546
NM 3/ 5.1
Long Is 6.6 6.2 250 1,950 1,650
Upstate 22.9 20.8 230 5,940 5,267
ND 154.0 141.0 195 16,675 30,030
oH 7.7 6.9 185 1,911 1,425
Malheur 6.6 6.6 400 2,520 2,640
Other Co 43.4 37.4 450 20,930 19,530
PA 20.0 19.0 175 5,400 3,500
RI 1.3 1.3 185 270 241
sD 7.1 6.0 250 1,980 1,775
UT 6.0 5.7 270 15643 1,620
WA 141.0 125.0 §35 67/980 75,435
WI 66.5 64.0 350 237075 23,275
WY : 2.0 1.6 260 561 520
Total : 1,177.4 1,121.6 316 352,507 371,730
us 1,374.4 1,305.7 304 402,110 417,622
1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1991 revised.
3/ District I (NW Counties) for 1992 included in fall potatoes.
4/ Estimates for 1992 yield and production for fal] potatoes wil] be
published November 10, 1992.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-21 NASS, USDA


1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

2/ Net Ibs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL~90, TX-85; grapefruit-CA Desert &
AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos and Temples-90;
tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

4/ Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, TX had no commercial production
for the 1990-91 season.

5/ TX estimated at 425 tons for 1991-92.

Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Crop and State a a-------~------------------=-------+------

Grapes (Table Type) :
CA : 645,000 620,000 650,000
Grapes (Wine Type) :
CA

: 2,195,000 2,195,000 2,300,000

Grapes (Raisin Type) 2/ :
CA : 2,345,000 2,165,000 2,650,000

All Grapes :
AZ 3/ 3 26,000 25,000 20,000
AR 3/ : 5,100 11,000 5,000
cA : 5,185,000 4,980,000 5,600,000
GA 3/ : 2,900 3,200 3,400
MI : 46,000 46,000 40,000
MO 3/ : 1,300 3,100 1,500
NY : 144,000 192,000 160,000
NC 3/ : 1,500 2,200 2,100
OH 3/ t 7,700 9,100 9,000
OR 3/ : 7,000 9,600 12,500
PA : 53,000 78,000 70,000
sc 3/ : 400 700 500
WA : 180,000 196,000 216,000
US : 5,659,900 5,555,900 6,140,000

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (ton): 1990-120;
1991-630.

2/ Fresh basis.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-27 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Class, Type, State,
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992 (continued)

Production

Class and Type

Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3B, Dark
Air-cured
Type 35, One Sucker
Belt
KY
TN
US
Type 36, Green River
Belt
KY

Belt
VA
Total 35-37
Class 4, Cigar Filler
Type 41, PA Seedleaf
PA
Class 5, Cigar Binder
Class 5A, CT Valley
Binder
Type 51, CT Valley
Broadleaf
cT
MA
US
Class 5B, WI Binder
Type 54, Southern WI
WI
Type 55, Northern WI
WI
Total 54-55
Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper :

Type 61, CT Valley
Shade-grown
CT
MA
US
All Cigar Types
Total 41-61

All Tobacco

Type 37, VA Sun-cured :

1991

2,500
610
3,110

1,200

100
4,410

6,700

670
110
780

4,200
3,200

7,400
8,180

1,080
370
1,450

16,330

: 763,760

Area Harvested

1992

~-- Acres -----

2,700
630
3,330

1,300

100
4,730

7,000

700
150
850

4,200

3,200
7,400
8,250

690
340
1,030

16,280

Yield

: 1991:

1992 :

-- Pounds --

2,040
2,000
2,032

2,020

1,560
2,018

2,050

2,150
2,100
2,141

2,100

1,200
2,110

2,050

1,750
1,850
1,768

2,200
1,600

1,941
1,923

1,475
1,470
1,474
1,949

2,171

1991

5,100
1,220
6,320

2,424

156
8,900

13,735

1,173
205
1,378

9,282
5,056

14,338
15,716

1,658
570
2,228
31,679

1,663,464

1992

--- 1,000 Pounds ---

5,805
1,323
7,128

2,730

120
9,978

14,350

1,225
278
1,503

9,240
5,120

14,360
15,863

1,018
500
1,518
31,731

1,697,011

Crop Production
September 1992

A-23

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Development of the rice crop was ahead of schedule for the five major
producing States entering August, despite delayed crops in Texas. Rice was
over one-half headed in the five major States and harvest was underway in
Louisiana and Texas. Periodic rainfall during the month caused some
interruption to the Louisiana and Texas harvests, and Louisiana's harvest was
halted altogether at month's end by the heavy rains accompanying Hurricane
Andrew. On August 30, harvest was 22% complete in the five major States,
compared with 28% last year and 25% average. Harvest was over 50% complete in
Louisiana and Texas, beginning in Arkansas and Missouri, and had yet to begin
in California.

Corn for Grain: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 8.77 billion

bushels, up slightly from last month and 17 percent above the
1991 crop. The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 121.4 bushels, up
0.1 bushel from last month and 12.8 bushels above the 1991 yield.

The area harvested and to be harvested for grain, at 72.2 million acres, is
unchanged from August but is 5 percent above the 1991 harvested acreage.

Adequate rainfall in the Corn Belt during August continued to provide
excellent vegetative growth. Low temperatures and cloudy days continue to
slow development. Stalk counts from Objective Yield surveys are at near
record high levels. The projected ear counts from these surveys are at record
high levels.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION
1983 - 1992

° BILLION BUSHELS

4.00 |e 2 ~ er
a00|& ININ| \ INININININ N
200) J] VIVIAN INININ \

September 1992 B-5 NASS, USDA



Peanuts for Nuts:

and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State

Production 1/

Area Harveste
1991 : 1992

: - 1,000 Acres

AL : 277.0 239.
FL : 118.0 107.
GA : 895.0 695.
NM : 22.7 22.
NC : 162.0 161.
OK : 106.0 98.
Sc : 14.0 14,
TMX : 325.0 320.
VA : «696.0 93.
US 2,015.7 1,749

d

1991

--- 1,000 Pounds ----

638,485
279,660
2,288, 550

597,500
321,000
1,876,500
50,600
450,800
215,600

260,400
4,526,000

1/ Estimates comprised

Crop Production
September 1992

of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested : Production

1992

1991

: - 1,000 Acres -

--- 1,000 Bushels --
a) 2185.

0 51.0 51.0 1,265 1,071
AR : 270 380 57.0 72.0 75.0 15,390 28,500
co : 270 190 40.0 41.0 41.0 10,800 7,790
GAl/: 50 50 50.0 50.0 50.0 2,500 2,500
IL : (173 260 80.0 93.0 93.0 13,840 24,180
KS : 3,150 3,100 56.0 70.0 75.0 176,400 232,500
KY 1s: 28 18 73.0 86.0 86.0 2,044 1,548
LA > 184 215 55.0 65.0 65.0 10,120 13,975
MS : 70 145 62.0 68.0 68.0 4,340 9,860
MO > 520 750 72.0 83.0 88.0 37,440 66,000
NE : 1,300 1,500 66.0 82.0 82.0 85,800 123,000
NM : 170 180 60.0 60.0 60.0 10,200 10,800
NC 1/: 25 20 50.0 50.0 50.0 1,250 1,000
OK : 300 330 45.0 50.0 50.0 13,500 16,500
SCls: 12 10 38.0 40.0 40.0 456 400
sD : 310 380 42.0 58.0 64.0 13,020 24,320
INI/: 65 70 65.0 80.0 80.0 4,225 5,600
1X : 2,900 4,700 61.0 61.0 59.0 176,900 277,300
US 9,820 12,319 59.0 67.7 68.7 579,490 846,844

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-10 NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
Wr (LONG TERM, PALMER)
_
oa EE FE September 5, 1992 sort chart Sept 22, 1992
{37 sooena PANS swiss 7 A
EXTREME e > Gia g) = as
ree) ol
é Cy 7 Brae ad CF
~ GE Moist Cc
. ~~ 2. MOIST /, Gaveae
ve t
EXTREME — N , Ny
avenge O' Dg, [beer
ain ven AS
7 MOST ~ Te
( — _
\
ons
worst
mo
Most
~ Q
ast
WOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY sexedonpatnaoy Mon

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds sfowly; changes litt?e from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
jis indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production
September 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

B-2 NASS, USDA


Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992
Utilized Production
Crop and State Joon ncn e neni nn eon eo $52

1,000 Pounds

Pecans Improved 1/

AL : 4,000 7,000 6,000
AR : 100 1,500 1,000
cA 2 2,800 2,300 2,900
FL : 2,000 2,000 2,500
GA : 56,000 77,000 50,000
tA : 1,500 2,500 1,000
MS Hy 1,800 5,000 1,500
NM : 34,000 29,000 29,000
NC : 100 3,000 1,200
OK : 800 1,000 1,000
sc : 400 3,000 600
TX : 40,000 30,000 40,000
US : 143,500 163,300 136,700
Pecans Native & Seedling :
AL : 1,000 11,000 2,000
AR : 150 1,500 500
FL : 1,600 1,500 1,500
GA : 9,000 23,000 10,000
LA : 4,500 24,500 4,000
MS : 400 2,500 500
NC : 300 2,500 800
OK : 4,200 16,000 8,000
sc : 100 2,500 400
TMX : 20,000 30,000 20,000
US : 41,250 115,000 47,700
All Pecans 3
AL : 5,000 18,000 8,000
AR : 250 3,000 1,500
CA : 2,800 2,300 2,900
FL H 3,600 3,500 4,000
GA : 65,000 100,000 60,000
LA : 6,000 27,000 5,000
MS : 2,200 7,500 2,000
NY : 34,000 29,000 29,000
NC : 400 5,500 2,000
OK : 5,000 17,000 9,000
Sc : 500 5,500 1,000
TX : 60,000 60,000 60,000
Oth Sts 2/ : 20,250 20,700 20,600
US : 205,000 299,000 205,000

1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.
2/ AZ, KS, MO, and TN. No breakdown between improved varieties and native and
seedling varieties available.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-30 NASS, USDA



Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992
(Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/
Crop tenn ------------------------------ 22-2 een
1991 1992 1991 1992
Hectares

Corn : 30,736,610 32,106,080 27,859,670 29,227,930
Sorghum : 4,457,260 5,451,170 3,974,060 4,985,380
Barley : 3,618,330 3,149,300 3,404,660 2,951,810
All Wheat : 28,290,260 29,270,010 23,347,780 25,523,390

Durum : 1,316,460 1,000,390 1,293,790 977,730

Other Spring : 6,314,780 7,591,180 6,110,820 7,326,100
Rice : 1,156,200 1,224,190 1,112,900 1,201,120
Soybeans : 23,900,990 23,917,180 23,452,190 23,503,590
Peanuts : 825,240 719,340 815,730 707,800
All Cotton : 5,686,740 5,430,540 5,244,580 4,533,340

Upland : 5,585,410 5,323,900 5,145,840 4,429,940

Amer-Pima : 101,330 106,640 98,740 103,400
Dry Edible Beans : 772,590 640,540 753,820 613,110
Potatoes :

Summer : 40,830 35,860 39,380 34,800

Total 2/ : 569,600 537,100 556,210 528,400
Tobacco : 309,090 316,290
Sugarbeets : 577,650 582,830 561,790 572,310
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed : 362,970 384,860

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.
2/ 1991 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1991-92
(Metric Units)

Oats : 3,502,190 3,248,040 1,940,890 1,940,490

Winter Wheat : 20; 689, 020 20,678,440 15,943,170 17,219,560
Rye : 6,240 638,200 160,260 158,230
Sunflower : 1,110°060 859,560 1,080,520 834; 470
Flaxseed : 142,050 77,300 136,380 73,650
All Ha : 25,323,480 24,465,530
Alfalfa : 10,353,990 93742; 100
All Other : 143969,480 143723;430
Potatoes :
Winter : 5,340 5,340 4,940 5,300
Sprin : 36,500 35,530 35,410 34,400
Fall 2/ : 486,920 460,380 476,480 453,900
Sweetpotatoes : 32,860 33? 990 31,480 32,660
Hops : 16,010 17,120

1/ 1992 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1991 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-7 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,

(Metric Units)

1991-92

Crop

Yield per Hectare

Production

1992 1/

Oats
Winter Wheat
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Potatoes
Winter
Spring
Fall 2/
Hops
Apples, Comm'T
Peaches
Sweet Cherries
Tart Cherries
Apricots
Nectarines (CA)
Olives (CA)
Plums (CA)
Almonds (CA)

1991 1992 1/: 1991
Metric Tons

1.81 2.07 3,520,260
2.34 2.53 37,344,670
5.50 5.44 139,239,250
7.34 7.30 76,017,550
4.22 4.21 63,221,700
23.96 23.30 118,340
26.43 30.61 936,030
35.39 16,861,390
1.96 1.79 31,370
4,489,980
1,212,130
137,530
86,140
86,910
195,040
58,970
197,770
222,260

4,011,660
43,570,200
133,127,550
71,078,830
62,048,710

123,470
1,052,830

30,720
4,607,590
1,141,010

153,770
120,110

99,970
217,720
122,470
226,800
249,480

1/ 1992 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ 1991 revised.

Crop Production
September 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

A-6

NASS, USDA


Potatoes:

State and United States, 1991-92

Area Planted, by Seasonal Group,

Seasonal Group :
and : 1991

Winter 1/
CA 3
FL : 7.6
Total > 13.
Spring 1
Pre ig 1/
AZ
CA
FL-Hastings
-Other
Ic
TX

Total > 90.

ny

+ wn
GIOIA
NR CWAMNKHOD

°

Summer 2/
A

2
=
foo
ae
.

3 =
~< i
= =
HR ORPNV ON HH PUP

COUMHUURLONUMUMNSCDO

<
S
i
=

1992

w

-

& warunwan

BNE WWRNNNE EP POaOEN
ONAMAEIUNUAROONSN

N

a

Seasonal Group

Fall l/ 2/
CA

co
ID
10 SW Co
Other Co

1,407.

1991 1992
1,000 Acres
14.0 13.0
71.0 66.5
22.0 22.0
373.0 358.0

4.5 4.6
81.0 81.0
3.0 3.0
35.0 37.0
77.0 71.0
9.4 9.2
9.1 9.0
7.6 7.5
5.1

6.6 6.2
23.0 21.0
158.0 145.0
8.0 7.2
6.8 6.8
44.2 38.2
21.0 20.0
1.3 1.3
7.5 6.5
6.1 5.8
144.0 125.0
68.0 66.0
2.1 1.7

: 1,203.2 1,137.6
5 1,327.2

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ 1991 revised.

3/ District I (NW Counties) for 1992 included in fall potatoes.

Crop Production
September 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain:
id United

1991

210
5

80
115
840

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ Not estimated.

Crop Production
September 1992

1992

20000 S0000 200000000 C80000 0 DED0000000 G0000

A-9

BOC COD0D SOE000000 200000 & D200000005 G0000

20000 C0005 DEDO00D000 200000 G0 Se000D0000 G0000

16,800
850
8,000
18,400
128,520

17,914

990;600

8,470
9,900
64,680

1992

-- 1,000 Bushels ---

(Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
es, 1991 and Forecasted September 1,

24,190
1,760
9,450

19,375

120,350

1,716,100
232;900
147; 320

313350

49,500
252,000

1,011, 3200

8,960
10;725
81,000
85,000
48,750

454° 400
13,200
27100
106,950

28,635
273,900
66,340
159,500
2,970

33,600
15,840

352,000
6,325

8,769,865

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992 1/

Area Harvested Yield : Production

1991 =: 1992

State

- 1,000 Acres - ---- Tons ----

CA : 159.0 150.0 24.7 26.0 4,334 3,927 3,900
co : 40.2 40.0 24.0 23.4 944 965 936
ID : 195.0 200.0 26.0 25.0 4,836 5,070 5,000
MI : 166.0 174.0 15.5 18.5 3,266 2,573 3,219
MN : 363.0 371.0 17.0 18.0 5,387 6,171 6,678
MT : 56.3 55.8 23.3 23.0 1,240 1,312 1,283
NE : 78.6 77.8 20.0 18.6 1,491 1,572 1,447
NO H 193.9 193.0 18.4 18.0 2,782 3,568 3,474
OH : 18.5 20.7 16.0 15.5 355 296 321
OR : 18.6 21.5 28.2 25.5 488 525 548
TX : 30.5 39.1 22.0 25.0 1,017 671 978
WY : 66.4 69.5 20.6 21.0 1,308 1,365 1,460
Oth :

Sts 2/ : 2.2 1.8 35.0 34.4 65 77 62
US : 1,388.2 1,414.2 20.2 20.7 27,513 28,092 29,306

1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted
beets in CA. 2/ Included NM and WA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,
by State and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested Production 1/

State  3------ nnn nn nn nnn nn nnn nnn nn nn nnn nnn rents ceee
1990 =: «1991 1992
~1,000 Acres ---- Tons ---- === 1,000 Tons -------
FL : 443.0 450.0 34.9 33.5 15,407 15,461 15,075
HI : 74.0 72.0 81.9 87.0 6,723 6,063 6,264
tA >: 345.0 390.0 22.1 21.0 5,056 7,620 8,190
TX : 34.9 39.0 31.8 30.0 950 1,110 1,170
US > 896.9 951.0 33.7 32.3 28,136 30,254 30,699
1/ Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-25 NASS, USDA


Crop | ey eviculra

Statistics

Production Service
United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released September 10, 1992, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts
refer to September 1, 1992.

Corn and Soybean Production Up Slightly

Corn for grain production is forecast at 8.77 billion bushels, up slightly from
Tast month and 17 percent above the 1991 crop. The U.S. average yield per acre
is forecast at 121.4 bushels, up 0.1 bushel from last month and 12.8 bushels
above the 1991 average. For the week ending September 6, 11 percent of the
crop was mature, compared with 44 percent last year and an average of

35 percent.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.08 billion bushels as of September 1,
virtually unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 5 percent above 1991. Yield
is estimated at 35.9 bushels per acre, 0.1 bushel above August 1 and 1.6
bushels above 1991. Yields were up slightly in most of the Delta States.
Nebraska, Michigan, and Wisconsin yields decreased from last month.

Sorghum for grain production is forecast at 847 million bushels, up 2 percent
from Jast month and up 46 percent from the 1991 crop. The U.S. yield per acre
is expected to average 68.7 bushels, up 1.0 bushel from August 1 and

9.7 bushels above last year.

All wheat production is expected to total 2.41 billion bushels, up 3 percent
from August 1 and 22 percent higher than 1991. Yield forecast is 38.2 bushels
per acre, 1.2 bushels better than last month.

All cotton production for 1992 is forecast at 15.9 million bales, down

4 percent from August and 9 percent below last year's production. Cool, wet
weather during August continued to hamper bol] development, which lowered yield
expectations.

Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For
information call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (9-92)


Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted
between August 22 and September 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat,
corn, soybeans, rice, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States
that usually account for at least 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly
selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The items counted
within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop.
In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that
provide information to forecast the number of heads, ears, or bolls and their
weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop
a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is
subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until
crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm
operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain
current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 10,000 producers were
interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower
reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data
were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to
previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits
their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics
Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare
the published September 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised;

instead a new forecast will be made each month throughout
the growing Season. At the end of the marketing year, administrative records
and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports,
processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data
relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a
production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended
harvested area has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1

production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statis-
tical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between
the September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a
percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage
deviations for the 1972-1991 20-year period is computed then the square root
of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."
Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the
current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that
factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those
influencing recent years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-17 NASS, USDA



All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested Production
State : : :
1991 : 1992 : 1991 1991 : 1992

: - 1,000 Acres - --- 1,000 Bushels --
AL 1/ 110 95 25.0 45.0 45.0 2,750 4,275
AZ 1/ 68 88 97.1 87.5 87.5 6,605 7,700
AR 1/ 930 900 22.0 46.0 46.0 20,460 41,400
CA 1/ 442 605 81.8 81.4 81.4 36,160 49,225
co 1/ 2,336 2,345 31.7 29.0 29.0 74,000 68,000
DE 1/ 67 70 53.0 52.0 52.0 3,551 3,640
FL 1/ 25 25 23.0 40.0 40.0 §75 1,000
GA 1/ 425 350 33.0 44.0 44.0 14,025 15,400
ID 1,160 1,470 70.4 67.3 67.3 81,660 98,900
IL 1/ 1,400 1,100 32.0 57.0 57.0 44,800 62,700
IN 1/ 720 450 40.0 48.0 48.0 28,800 21,600
TAl/ : 50 40 34.0 37.0 37.0 1,700 1,480
KS 1/ : 11,000 10,900 33.0 33.0 33.0 363,000 359,700
KY 1/ : 400 420 27.0 54.0 54.0 10,800 22,680
LA 1/ 190 160 20.0 36.0 36.0 3,800 5,760
MD 1/ 195 220 50.0 54.0 54.0 9,750 11,880
MI 1/ : 560 630 43.0 50.0 50.0 24,080 31,500
MN : 2,155 2,805 31.1 43.9 47.9 67,110 134,250
MS 1/: 250 260 18.0 42.0 42.0 4,500 10,920
MO 1/ 1,500 1,350 32.0 48.0 48.0 48,000 64,800
MT 4,379 4,779 36.4 27.6 28.7 159,507 137,007
NE 1/ 2,100 1,950 32.0 31.0 31.0 67,200 60,450
NV 1/ 8 10 82.5 80.0 80.0 660 800
NJ 1/ 26 30 46.0 48.0 48.0 1,196 1,440
NM 1/ 320 340 25.0 30.0 30.0 8,000 10,200
NY 1/ 110 115 49.0 53.0 53.0 5,390 6,095
NC 1/ 480 555 40.0 50.0 50.0 19,200 27,750
ND 9,790 11,410 31.0 34.2 37.9 303,670 432,960
OH 1/ 1,080 1,140 49.0 53.0 53.0 52,920 60,420
OK 1/ 5,000 6,000 28.0 29.0 29.0 140,000 174,000
OR 1/ 846 950 51.9 48.8 48.8 43,900 46,350
PA 1/ 175 185 44.0 47.0 47.0 7,700 8,695
Sc 1/ 275 270 31.0 46.0 46.0 8,525 12,420
SD 3,117 3,778 30.9 27.1 30.5 96,175 115,130
TN 1/ 320 310 24.0 47.0 47.0 7,680 14,570
TX 1/ 2,800 3,800 30.0 34.0 34.0 84,000 129,200
UT 1/ 153 153 38.0 43.8 43.8 5,807 6,694
VA 1/ 250 260 49.0 51.0 51.0 12,250 13,260
WA 2,150 2,430 45.9 51.1 $1.1 98,600 124,060
WV 1/ 10 11 45.0 46.0 46.0 450 506
WI 1/ 127 90 48.2 34.0 34.0 6,118 3,060
WY 1/ 194 220 29.0 25.2 25.2 5,630 5,550
US : 57,693 63,069 34.3 37.0 38.2 1,980,704 2,407,427

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-12 NASS, USDA


Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested : Production

1991 : 1992

: - 1,000 Acres - --- 1,000 Bushels --
ALI: (20 22

2,400 2,200
CAl/ : 160 170 9,440 10,200
co : 130 120 10,400 9,840
DE1/ : 37 37 2,516 2,442
1D : 790 720 59,250 48,960
KS 1/ : 23 18 759 720
KY 1/  : 22 16 1,210 1,056
MD 1/ : 78 64 4,992 4,672
MI 1/ : 33 28 1,419 1,260
MN : 875 675 43,750 47,250
MT : 1,650 1,200 85,800 52,800
NE1/ : 27 32 1,215 1,216
NV 1/ 4 6 360 570
NJ 1/ 8 8 488 456
NC 1/ 35 30 1,645 2,040
ND 2,830 2,650 138,670 156,350
OK 1/ : 10 8 370 296
OR : 175 160 12,600 9,600
PAl/ : 70 85 4,200 5,865
scl/: 9 9 279 540
sD : 460 370 17,940 20,350
TX 1/ : 10 6 320 270
UT : 95 110 7,885 9,020
VAl/ : 85 90 5,695 6,570
WA : 570 440 37,050 19,800
WI : 72 80 3,312 4,160
WY : 135 140 10,530 10,920
US 8,413 7,294 464,495 429,423

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-11 NASS, USDA


California's production, at 5.60 million tons, is unchanged from last month
but 12 percent more than last year. The California raisin variety grape
forecast is 2.65 million tons, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but”

22 percent above last season. Mildew has not been as much of a problem as
earlier expected. Maturity is at least two weeks ahead of normal. The grapes
being dried are all laid and many have been rolled.

The California wine variety grape forecast of 2.30 million tons, is unchanged
from the August 1 but is 5 percent larger than both the 1991 and 1990 crops.
Harvest is well underway with good quality grapes being picked. Mildew is
Jess of a problem than earlier expected.

The California table grape forecast is 650,000 tons, unchanged from August 1
but 5 percent more than the 1991 crop. Harvest of late season varieties in
the San Joaquin Valley continues with good quality.

The Washington all grape forecast is unchanged at 216,000 tons, up
10 percent from last season. Harvest began with small berries and uneven
maturity and color reported as a result of early season hot temperatures.

The New York grape forecast js 160,000 tons, up 7 percent from August 1 but
down 17 percent from last year. Warm temperatures during August improved crop
prospects but development is stil] two to three weeks behind normal.

Michigan's forecast of 40,000 tons is unchanged from August 1 but 13 percent
below last year. Crop development is seven to ten days behind normal.
Concord grape harvest is expected to start about October 1.

Pennsylvania's grape crop is expected to total 70,000 tons, 6 percent more
than the August 1 forecast but 10 percent less than last year. The crop is
about one to two weeks behind normal due to cool, wet weather. Sugar content
of the grapes is expected to be low this year due to weather conditions during
the growing season.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on

September 1 for the 48 contiguous States
was 83 percent, up 11 points from September 1, 1991, and 10 points above the
1981-90 average for the date. Conditions were above last year in 35 States
and below last year in 13 States.

Nevada and Oregon were in the severe drought range. California, Idaho, and
Washington conditions were reported in the very poor range.

Adequate rainfall during the month of August resulted in good to excellent
pastures in most of the rest of the country, with only six States in the poor
to fair range.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.14 million pounds

in, August, 21 percent lower than July but 29 percent higher than a
year ago. Year-to-date fresh sales were 32 percent more than the same
January-August period of 1991. A passing tropical storm brought heavy rains
to some areas at mid-month slowing farm operations. Weather conditions at
other times in August were a mix of sunshine and rain.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-13 NASS, USDA



CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

era September 5, 1992 Lou

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WY fe>~ 48NORMALY
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ABNORMALLY FAVORABLY. cf
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Ai) WOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY sored on pretminory repent

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55
degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months,
years) drought or wet. spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-1 NASS, USDA



For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 4.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of

3 that the current production forecast of 8.77 billion bushels will not be
above or below the fina] estimate by more than 4.8 percent or approximately
421 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 8.2 percent or approximately 719 million
ushels.

Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of
the differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimates.
Using corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and
the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 191 million bushels,
ranging from 10 million to 467 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times, This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts
10-Year Record of
aati :: Differences Between Forecast
190% Confidence and Final Estimate
Crop and : : Level 9 3. :-------------------------------
Unit : Quantity : No. of Years

:Percent: :
: :Percent: Quant::

Above
Final

:Below:
arge:Final:

Feed Grains 1/ Mts

3.9 6.7 13°05 5
Corn for Grain Bu: 4.8 8.2 719: 467 5 5
Sorghum for Grain Bu: 4.3 7.5 64: 65 7 3
Barley Bu: 3.6 6.5 28 : 23. «4 6
All Wheat Bu: 1.0 1.7 41: 51 4 6

Durum Bu: 5.0 8.6 8: 12.65 5

Other Spring Bu: 2.1 3.7 27: 24.04 6
Rice Cwt: 3.4 5.9 10: 9 6 4
Soybeans for : :

Beans Bu: 5.1 8.9 186 :: 85 19 169 6 4
Cotton Bales 2/: 6.4 11.1 1,770 :: 597 5 1,914 4 6
Dry Edible : a

Beans Cwt: «5.5 9.5 2:: 1.0 al 2.8 4 6
1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley.

2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 B-18 NASS, USDA


Coffee: Utilized Production, Hawaii, 1990-91
and Forecasted September 1, 1992

State 0 3 ----------------~----------- == - ===
1989-1990 1990-1991 2/ : 1991-1992 3/
~ 1,000 Pounds ~ :
HI 3,200 2,800 2,300
1/ Parchment basis. ” : 7
2/ Revised.
3/ Excluding the island of Kauai.
Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992
Total Production 1/
Crop and State = :-------~----------------------~----------------------+--
1990 1991 1992
Tons
Bartlett
CA : 314,000 300,000 315,000
OR : 83,000 70,000 75,000
WA : 177,000 160,000 160,000
Total : 574,000 530,000 550,000
Excluding Bartlett :
CA : 18,000 17,000 20,000
OR : 150,000 150,000 155,000
WA : 195,000 176,000 180,000
Total : 363,000 343,000 355,000
All :
CA : 332,000 317,000 335,000
CO 2/ : 2,500 3,100 4,000
CT 2/ : 1,100 1,200 1,450
MI : 2,500 5,000 5,000
NY : 14,600 14,500 19,000
OR : 233,000 220,000 230,000
PA 2/ : 3,300 5,500 5,000
UT 2/ : 2,800 2,200 3,000
WA 3 372,000 336,000 340,000
US : 963,800 904,500 942,450
1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons):
U.S.; 1990 - 150, 199] - 150.
2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-31

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992
(Metric Units)

Metric Tons

Corn for Grain 6.81 7.62 189,860,540 222,566,580 222,764,830
Sorghum for Grain 3.70 4.31 14,719,720 21,173,750 21,510,830
Barley 2.97 3.17 10,113,180 8,598,110 9,349,580
All Wheat 2.31 2.57 53,905,930 63,564,180 65,519,430

Durum : 2.19 2.44 2,829,250 2,200,620 2,388,220

Other Spring 2 2.25 2.67 13,732,010 17,793,360 19,561,010
Rice : 6.30 6.19 7,006,050 7,548,320 7,436,780
Soybeans for Beans 2.30 2.41 54,038,200 56,594,360 56,731,530
Peanuts for Nuts 2.74 2.90 2,234,650 2,065,750 2,052,960
All Cotton 0.73 0.77 3,835,060 3,599,720 3,472,360

Upland 0.73 0.76 3,748,320 3,489,120 3,366,110

Amer-Pima : 0.88 1.03 86,740 110,600 106,250
Cottonseed : 6,282,710 5,772,870 5,568,750
Dry Edible Beans : 1.98 1.71 1,495,180 1,048,930 1,045,440
Potatoes :

Summer : 26.09 27.58 1,027,250 953,220 959,850

Total 1/ : 34.06 18,943,020
Tobacco 2 2.44 2.43 754,530 755,630 769,750
Sugarbeets : 45.36 46.45 25,484,630 26,527,900 26,585,960
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed : 75.61 72.36 27,445,970 29,645,890 27,849,660
Pears : 820,550 854,070 854,980
Grapes : 5,040,230 5,557,410 5,570,110
Dried Prunes (CA) 2/ : 169,640 181,440 181,440
Prunes and Plums :

(Excl CA) : 22,770 37,740 38,650
Pecans : 135,620 92,990
Pistachio Nuts (CA) : 34,930 49,900 49,900
Hazelnuts 3/ : 23,130 23,590 23,590
Walnuts (CA) 2/ : 234,960 199,580 5

1/ 1991 revised.
2/ August estimate carried forward from July 1.
3/ August estimate as of mid-August.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-8 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Class, Type
State, and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Class and Type

Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts

+ 104,000

VA : 39,000
US : 143,000
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt :
NC : 129,000
Type 13, NC Border &
SC Belt :
NC : 33,000
SC : 51,000
US : 84,000
Type 14, Ga-fl Belt
L : 6,600
GA : 40,000
US : 46,600
Total 11-14 : 402,600
Class 2, Fire-cured
Type 21, VA Belt
A 2,500
Type 22, Eastern
District :
KY : 3,250
TN : 6,600
US : 9,850
Type 23, Western
District :
KY : 3,150
TN : 520
US : 3,670
ota - : ;
Total 21-23 16,020
Class 3, Air-cured :
Class 3A, Light
Air-cured
Type 31, Burley
N 8,800
KY 213,000
MO 3,000
NC 9,000
OH 10,400
TN 54,000
VA 11,900
Ww 1,900
US 312,000
Type 32, Southern MD
Belt :
MD : 8,600
PA : 3,800
US : 12,400
Total 31-32 : 324,400

102,000
37,000
139,000

131,000

34,000
52,000
86,000

7,600
43,000
50,600

406,600

1,800

3,600
7,000
10,600

3,400
550
3,950
16;350

9,000
220,000
1,500
95200
10,800
59,000
12,300

2,000
323,800

10,000
33800
13,800
337,600

2,150 236,600
23150 88,140
23150 324;740

2,250 302,505

2,150 77,550
23050 111,180
23090 188,730

2,675 15,312
2,200 80,600
2,271 95,912
2,185 911,887

1,400 3,563

2,200 6,760
2,200 13,860

23200 20,620
2,300 7,560
2,300 1,144

2,150 18,920
2,275 457,950
6,825

2;000 18,000
23140 223776
2;000 105,300
23100 243990
1,800 35420
23196 658,181

1,400 12,900
1,850 7,030
1,524 19,930
2,169 678,111

219,300
797550
298/850

294,750

73,100
106,600
179; 700

20,330
94,600
114,930
888, 230

2,520

7,920
15,400
235320

7,820

19,350
500; 500

23325
18,400
233112
118,000
25,830

3,600
711,117

14,000
7030
21,030
732;147

--continued

Crop Production
September 1992

A-22

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Nebraska, Michigan, and Wisconsin yields decreased from last month. Cool
weather continues to slow crop development in Michigan and Wisconsin, with all
three States behind normal.

The average plant maturity, as wel] as the percent of soybeans dropping
leaves, is behind last year.

Cotton: All cotton production is forecast at 15.9 million bales, down

4 percent from the August forecast and 9 percent below last year's
production. Of the total, Upland is expected to account for 15.5 million
bales, while Pima production wil] total 488,000 bales.

Growers expect to harvest 11.2 million acres, down 14 percent from 1991 and
down 2 percent from August. Texas Upland cotton producers continue to abandon
acreage due to cool, wet weather. Currently, 3.55 million acres are estimated
to be harvested, down 200,000 acres from August and indicating that only

63 percent of the planted area will be harvested. Yields in the U.S. are
expected to average 683 pounds per harvested acre, 13 pounds below the August
forecast and 31 pounds above last year.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 3.25 million
bales, down 9 percent from last month and one-third less than 1991. Cotton
objective yield survey data show large boll counts in Texas as the seventh
lowest in the past 10 years. The count of small bolls is the fourth Towest
during that same period. In both States, crop development was slowed due to
cool temperatures. Bolls opening in Texas were 2 percent behind the 5-year
average at the end of August, and 30 percent of the acreage was rated in poor
to very poor condition. Harvest gained momentum in southern and central areas
of the State but rain delays have been a problem in Coastal Bend and South
Texas. Oklahoma experienced the coolest, wettest August in 70 years. At the
end of August, 35 percent of the crop was rated poor to very poor condition.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
expect to produce 6.57 million bales, down 2 percent from August but up

3 percent from 1991. Indicated large bolls from Arkansas and Mississippi
cotton objective yield data were the second and third highest, respectively,
during the previous 10-year period. Louisiana's large bol] count was ranked
seventh but smal? botls were the highest count since 1982. Cool temperatures
and rains caused the crop to remain behind average development. At the end of
August, boll opening was 30 percent behind normal in Missouri, 17 percent
behind in Mississippi, 14 percent behind in Tennessee, and 12 percent behind
in Arkansas. Virtually all of the crop in the region was rated fair to good.
Insect problems persisted as growers were unable to apply adequate controls
due to rainy periods.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.49 million bales, 3 percent below August and down slightly
from 1991. Yields in this region are expected to average 1,230 pounds per
harvested acre, up 28 pounds from 1991. Cotton objective yield data show
Arizona with the sixth lowest large boll count since 1982 and the ninth lowest
small boll total in the past 10 years. California's objective yield data had
the highest smal] bol] count since 1982. Arizona continued spraying for
whitefly infestations, which adversely affected maturity and caused some
producers to begin harvest earlier than anticipated. Aphids in California

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-8 NASS, USDA


fields were treated as well as lygus, mites, and worms. Harvest began in
California's desert areas. California boll opening was 25 percent ahead of
average, and Arizona's was 8 percent above average at the end of August. All
of California's crop was rated in good to excellent condition.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and
South Carolina) puts production at 2.04 million bales, down slightly from the
August forecast and 10 percent below the 1991 production. Regional yields, at
669 pounds per harvested acre, are 54 pounds less than 1991's excellent
yields. Alabama and Georgia experienced cool, wet periods during August,
causing lack of crop maturity. Boll rot was evident in some fields. South
Carolina's crop experienced a second growth due to abundant moisture.
Producers were deciding whether to spray and protect the young fruit, which
may not mature, or to defoliate early and pick open bolls before they rot.
Only 12 percent of South Carolina's crop was rated good at the end of August
but 96 percent of Alabama's was rated good to excellent.

American-Pima cotton production, at 488,000 bales, is 4 percent less than
August production but 22 percent above the 1991 level. If this production is
realized, it will be the second largest on record. Arizona's yield potential
decreased due to weather and whiteflies-the latter causing early termination
of the crop.

Ginnings totaled 451,200 running bales prior to September 1, compared with
699,000 running bales for the same date last year and 582,485 running bales in
1990.

Cottonseed: Praduction for 1992, based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio,
is expected to total 6.14 million tons, down 11 percent from the
1991 production of 6.93 million tons.

Dry Edible Beans: The 1992 crop of dry beans is forecast at 23.0 million
cwt, 30 percent below last year and slightly below the

August 1 forecast. Area for harvest, at 1.52 million acres, is down

19 percent from a year ago. Yields are projected at 1,521 pounds per acre,

down 249 pounds per acre from last year.

Early harvest is underway but beans in Eastern and Central States are behind
normal in development. In Michigan, dry beans remain two to three weeks
behind schedule. Harvest should be in full swing by late September. The
Nebraska crop is maturing about two weeks behind normal with some cool, wet
weather related diseases affecting yields. Cool weather has delayed beans in
North Dakota. By the end of August, only 13 percent of the crop was mature,
1 percent cut, and none combined. By comparison, last year 37 percent had
been combined, and the 5-year average is 14 percent. Minnesota dry beans are
about three weeks late. Excessive rainfall in western New York during August
flooded fields, reducing yields and possibly causing abandonment.

Western States are mostly ahead of schedule. Harvest of early classes is
active in California and moving ahead of normal. Washington's harvest was
about 20 percent completed by the end of August but yields are poor because of
summer heat damage. Idaho's harvest was one-third along by month's end.

Frost in the Magic Valley damaged most of the remaining crop. Colorado and

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-9 NASS, USDA



Pasture and Range Feed: Condition, by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Average 1/

State : Average 1991 : 1992 State : Average : 1991 : 1992
: 1981-90 : : 1981-90 : :
Percent

AL 71 84 101 : NV 74 64 38
AZ 81 65 103 : NH 87 77 83
AR 69 82 88 : NJ 79 80 95
CA 75 64 53 : NM 84 98 93
co 79 89 91 2 NY 77 42 89
CT 81 75 97 : NC 73 91 90
DE 70 80 96 : ND 63 65 68
FL 84 85 86 : OH 75 60 86
GA 68 91 88 : OK 74 67 103
ID 75 78 50 : OR 77 79 42
IL 72 62 80 : PA 73 34 87
IN 75 42 90 2 RI 87 10 88
IA 71 67 94 sc 68 88 76
KS 77 61 93 sD 69 80 93
ky 76 64 95 TN 74 81 89
LA 79 80 91 TX 61 82 80
ME 84 71 83 : UT 77 85 74
MD 69 55 96 : VT 84 72 81
MA 84 66 96 : VA 77 74 88
MI 78 70 85 : WA 78 80 58
MN 72 70 75 : WV 71 60 90
MS 73 87 95 : WI 76 66 67
MO 71 47 89 : WY 78 100 91
MT 70 84 78 :

NE 76 59 99 US 73 72 83

1/ Good to excellent, 80 and over; poor to fair 65-79; very poor, 50-64;
severe drought, 35-49; extreme drought, under 35.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, Hawaii, by Month, 1991-92

Area Fresh Production

Harvested

1991 =: 1992

-- 1,000 Pounds --
Jul : 3,405 3,700 1,950 2,465 3,290 5,250

Aug : 3,675 3,625 2,080 2,595 3,205 4,135
Sep : 3,840 2,095 4,460

Oct > 3,925 2,070 5,380

Nov : 3,975 2,060 4,820

Dec : 4,010 2,115 5,675

Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Aug: 27,815 36,595
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-28 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States,
1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992
(Domestic Units)

: Yield per Acre: Production

Crop and Unit Aug 1, : Sep 1,

1991 :

1992 1992
1,000 -
Corn for Grain Bu : 108.6 121.4 7,474,480 8,762,060 8,769,865
Sorghum for Grain " : 59.0 68.7 579,490 833,574 846,844
Barley "  : 55.2 58.9 464,495 394,908 429,423
Al] Wheat "34.3 38.2 1,980,704 2,335,584 2,407,427
Durum "32.5 36.3 103,957 80,859 87,752
Other Spring "9; 33.4 39.7 504,565 653,794 718,744
Rice 1/ Cwt : 5,617 5,524 154,457 166,412 163,953

Soybeans for Beans Bu : 34.3 35.9 1,985,564 2,079,487 2,084,527
Peanuts for Nuts Lb : 2,444 2,588 4,926,570 4,554,200 4,526,000

All Cotton 1/ Bale: 652 683 17,614.3  16,533.4 15,948.4
Upland 1/"  : 650 678 17,215.9 16,025.4 15, 460.4
Amer-Pima lj": 784 917 398.4 508.0 488.0

Cottonseed Ton : 6,925.5 6,363.5 6,138.5

Dry Edible Beans 1/ Cwt : 1,770 1,521 32,963 23,125 23,048

Potatoes :

Summer " > 233 246 22,647 21,015 21,161

Total 2/ "> 304 417,622
Tobacco Lb : 2,178 2,171 1,663,464 1,665,888 1,697,011
Sugarbeets Ton: 20.2 20.7 ~ 28,092 29,242 29,306
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed " : 33.7 32.3 30,254 32,679 30,699
Pasture and Range :

Feed 3/ Pct : 72 83
Pears Ton : 904.5 941.5 942.5
Grapes "ot 5,555.9 6,126.0 6,140.0
Dried Prunes (CA) 4/"_: 187.0 200.0 200.0
Prunes and Plums :

(Excl CA) "oy 25.1 41.6 42.6
Pecans wos 299,000 205,000
Pistachio Nuts (CA)5/"": 77,000 110,000 110,000
Hazelnuts 5/ Ton : 25.5 26.0 26.0
Walnuts (CA) 4/ “oy 259.0 220.0 210.0

1/ Yield in pounds.

2/ 1991 revised.

3/ Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month. The 1981-90
average is 73 percent.

4/ August estimate carried forward from July 1.

5/ August estimate as of mid-August.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-4 NASS, USDA


The "Other States" forecast of 20.6 million pounds is down slightly from last
year. Arizona, Kansas, Missouri, and Tennessee are included in this
production forecast.

Pears: The final forecast of the U.S. pear crop is 942,450 tons, up slightly
from the August 1 forecast and 4 percent more than 1991.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
550,000 tons, unchanged from last month's forecast but 4 percent more than
last year. California's harvest was earlier than normal and picking was
completed in late August with a good quality crop reported. Harvest is
virtually complete in all Oregon districts. Harvest is complete in Washington
where size and quality were good.

Production of pears other than Bartletts, in the Pacific Coast States, is
forecast at 355,000 tons, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 3 percent
more than 1991. Harvest of Asian pears, in California, is in full swing and
picking of other varieties wil] continue through the fal] months. Winter pear
picking started about August 12 in the Medford district of Oregon. By the end
of the month, all varieties, including Bosc, were being harvested. Anjou
harvest in Washington began in late August.

Harvest is complete in southwest Michigan and should be completed in northern
Michigan by mid-September. Quality has been good. On September 1, harvest
began in eastern New York. In the Lake Ontario region, harvest is expected to
begin during the first week of September. Bartlett's are expected to meet or
exceed normal levels of sugar content.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-16 NASS, USDA


Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,625 acres, 2 percent lower than
last month and 1 percent lower than Tast August. Harvested area, totaling

2,595 acres, was 5 percent higher than July and 25 percent higher than a year
ago.

Prunes and Plums: California's prune crop (dried basis) is forecast at
200,000 tons, unchanged from the July forecast but

7 percent above last year's production. Prune harvest started the first week

of August, about a week earlier than normal. As harvest nears completion, the

crop already picked has been characterized by good quality and large sized

ruit.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is
forecast at 42,600 tons, 2 percent more than the amount expected on August 1
and 70 percent more than last year. Harvest is about 75 percent complete in
Idaho where some fruit has been sunburned. Picking is complete in south-
western Michigan and in full swing in the west central area. Quality has been
fair to good. In Oregon, harvest is nearly finished on early varieties with
picking of late varieties set to get underway. Late variety fruit are now
being shipped from Washington where the harvest of early varieties is

inished.

California Fruits and Nuts: Throughout the hot, dry month of August, harvest

continued in California's orchards and vineyards.
By the end of the month, harvest of peaches, nectarines, plums, and Bartlett
pears was drawing to a close. Table grape harvest continued. Raisin grape
growers laid grapes on drying trays and turned them. Harvest of wine grapes
was in full swing. Prune harvest began early in August and was winding down
by month's end. Harvest of apples, walnuts, pomegranates, figs, and
persimmons began. Avocado, desert lemon, and summer grapefruit harvests
continued, while the picking of Valencia oranges proceeded at a slow pace.
Persistent hot weather may have slowed development of the new crop Navel
oranges.

Hazelnuts: The 1992 hazelnut production in Oregon and Washington is forecast
at a record high 26,000 tons. If realized, this production will

be 2 percent more than last year's previous record high crop and 20 percent

more than the 1990 production. Oregon's crop is projected to total

25,800 tons and Washington growers are expected to harvest 200 tons.

The mild winter of 1991-92 was followed by a record warm, dry spring in the
Willamette Valley. Hazelnuts matured up to three weeks earlier than average.
Nuts have sized nicely. Harvest is expected to start by mid-September.

Walnuts: The 1992 California walnut production is forecast at 210,000 tons,
down 19 percent from last year's record high of 259,000 tons. The
nut set per tree is down 30 percent this year but nut sizes are large.

While weather for most of the season has been favorable for walnut
development, recent high temperatures and the incidence of blight have

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-14 NASS, USDA


Soybeans for Beans:

Area Harvested :

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Production

1992

------- --- 1,000 Bushels --

Nd

State
1992
: - 1,000 Acres -
350 270
3,200 3,150
250 215
1/ 43 50
590 640
9,100 9,400
4,430 4,500
8,650 8,050
1,900 1,850
1,130 1,150
950 1,150
500 545
1,390 1,440
5,350 5,400
1,800 1,750
4,430 4,250
2,460 2,460
1/ 123 128
1,310 1,350
630 745
3,770 3,680
1/ 235 220
1/ 300 285
630 600
2,160 2,250
1,050 950
170 380
500 510
550 710
: 57,951 58,078

0 8,050
0 89,600
0 8,750
0 1,161
0 15,930
0 341,250
0 172,770
0 350,325
0 43,700
0 36,725
0 27,550
0 17,000
0 52,820
0 195,275
0 46,800
0 135,115
0 82,410
0 4,428
0 38,645
0 19,215
0 135,720
0 5,875
0 9,900
0 13,860
0 58,320
0 31,500
0 5,270
0 14,500
0 23,100
9

1,985,564

7,290
94,500
6,880
1,600
17,280
385,400
184,500
338,100
55,500
39,100
32,200
18,530
47,520
194,400
47,250
144,500
91,020
4,352
37,800
20,115
136,160
5,720
11,400
12,600
67,500
29,450
11,780
15,810
26,270

2,084,527

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production
September 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1990-1991
and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992 1/

Area Harvested Yield Production

.0 .0

7) 10

7) ‘0

m7) a)

‘0 20

‘0 ‘0

3 :0

‘0 to

20 20

‘0 ‘o

:0 :0

7.0 6.0

:0 ‘0
UT 5.5 5.5 480 500 13 26 28
WA 50.0 36.0 2,000 1,950 912 1,000 702
WI 10.9 815 13900 13850 185 207 157
WY 41.0 32.0 1,950 1,940 965 800 621
us 1,862.7 1,515.0 1,770 1,521 32,379 32,963 23,048

1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992
(Domestic Units)

Other Spring : 15,604 18,758 15,100 18,103
Rice : 2,857.0 3,025.0 2,750.0 2,968.0
Soybeans : 59,060 59,100 57,951 58,078
Peanuts : 2,039.2 1,777.5 2,015.7 1,749.0
All Cotton : 14,052. 13,419.0 12,959.5 11,202.0

Upland : 13,801.7 13,155.5 12,715.5 10,946.5

Amer-Pima : 250.4 263.5 244.0 255.5
Dry Edible Beans : 1,909.1 1,582.8 1,862.7 1,515.0
Potatoes :

Summer : 100.9 88.6 97.3 86.0

Total 2/ : 1,407.5 1,327.2 1,374.4 1,305.7
Tobacco : 763.8 781.6
Sugarbeets : 1,427.4 1,440.2 1,388.2 1,414.2
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed : 896.9 951.0

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.
2/ 1991 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1991-92
{Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

CYOp Steen nen nnn nnn nnn nnn -- 2-2-2 $e - =
1991 1992 1/ 1991 1992 1/
1,000 Acres
Oats : 8,654 8,026 4,796 4,795
Winter Wheat : 51,049 51,097 39,396 42,550
Rye : 1,671 1,577 396 391
Sunflower : 2,743 2,124 2,670 2,062
Flaxseed : 351 191 337 182
All_Ha : 62,575 60,455
Alfalfa : 25,585 24,073
All Other : 36,990 36,382
Potatoes :
Winter : 13.2 13.2 12.2 13.1
Spring : 90.2 87.8 87.5 85.0
Fall 2/ : 1,203.2 1,137.6 1,177.4 1,121.6
Sweetpotatoes : 81.2 84.0 77.8 80.7
Hops : 39.6 42.3
1/ 1992 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1991 revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-3 NASS, USDA


The major producing States are reporting record high average weights per head
coupled with above average head numbers. This points to yield increases in
these States. The North Dakota yield forecast is at a new high; South
Dakota's equals the record. Concern still exists about completing the
harvest. Minnesota's harvest is about 5 weeks behind schedule, while Montana
and North Dakota were half complete as of September 6.

Rice: Total rice production is forecast at 164 million cwt, 1 percent below

the August 1 forecast but 6 percent above the 1991 total. September 1
yield forecasts are lower than those of August 1 in Louisiana, Mississippi,
and Texas due to cool, damp weather and damage from Hurricane Andrew. Ratoon
crop prospects in the Gulf have diminished somewhat due to the relatively cool
weather and lateness of the crop.

Soybeans: Production is forecast at 2.08 billion bushels as of September 1,

virtually unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 5 percent above
1991. Yield is estimated at 35.9 bushels per acre, 0.1 bushel above August 1
and 1.6 bushels above 1991.

Yields were up slightly in the most of the Delta States. Hurricane Andrew
caused little damage to the Louisiana and Mississippi soybean crops.

Favorable weather and current progress of the crop should more than offset any
damage from the hurricane.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

1983 - 1992
9 BILLION BUSHELS
2.10 2.08
2.00 org 186. ZF es 194 1.92 | Za ;
1.65
MAA AG Zz. \AIANZ
1.00 Zr BAG —BAA IAI
AAAI AIAIAIAIK
0.00 Li
. 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92
YEAR
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 B-7 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit:

Utilized Production

State

Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted September 1, 1992 1/

Boxes

1991-92 :

1992-93

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

1990-91;

1991-92: 1992-93

Oranges

Early Mid &
Navel 3/
A

Temples
FL
Grapefruit
White Seedless

FL
Colored Seedless

Other
FL
All
AZ
CA
Desert
Other Areas
Total

US
FL

550
15,800
87,500

103,850
1,200
9,800

64,100
75,100
1,750
25,600
151,600
178,950

2,500

21,700
21,800
1,600
2,400

3,500
4,500
8,000

45,100

55,500

600
1,350
1,950
3,900

4,100
14;800
18,900

780
35,100
83,400

20

119,300

1,600
31,000
56,400

10
89,010

2,380
66,100
139,800
30
208,310

2,350

19,100
22,100
1,200
2,800

3,500
6,500
10,000
42,400
65
55,265

1,200
25400
2,600
6,200

5,100
15,100
20,200

20
593
3,937
4,550
45
368
2,885
3,298
65
961
6,822
7,848

113

38,000

922
927

29
1,317
3,753

1
5,100

60
1,163
2,538

3,761

89
2,480
6,291

1
8,861

106

1,425

812
940
51
89

Crop Production
September 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Production: Index Numbers
United States, 1983-92 (1977=100)

: AIL 1/: Feed
: : Grains :

87 67 100 116 93 54 75 91
110 115 107 129 95 90 90 106
116 133 106 121 97 93 79 117
107 123 107 106 106 68 61 107
106 106 101 107 111 103 62 108

91 73 88 98 105 107 72 89
106 108 100 107 105 85 71 106
113 112 101 136 108 108 85 107
lll 106 103 104 113 122 87 114
118 125 100 123 116 11 89 118

1/ Includes some miscellaneous crop production not included in separate groups
of crops shown.

This report was approved on September 10, 1992, by the Acting Secretary of
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural
Statistics Board.

RA Aly

Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Ann Veneman Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 A-2 NASS, USDA


Index

Page

Table Narrative

SE rr A-11 B- 6
Beans, Dry Edible. . A-17 B- 9
Citrus Fruits.... A-26 B-12
Coffee......... A-31

Corn for Grain. A- 9 B- 5
Cotton.... A-16 B- 8
Cottonseed......... A-17 B- 9
Crop Moisture Maps. B- 1

Crop Summary..... A- 3 B- 3
Grapes...... A-27 B-12
Nuts........ A-29 B-14
Papayas-Hawaii..... we A-28 B-13
Pasture & Range Feed Condition. A-28 B-13
Peanuts for Nuts............... A-18 B-10
Pears............ A-31 B-16
Pecans A-30 B-15
Potatoes...... A-19 B-10
Prunes & Plums.......... A-29 B-14
Reliability of Forecasts B-17
Rice............... A-14 B- 7
Sorghum for Grain. . A-10 B- 6
Soybeans for Beans. A-15 B- 7
Sugarbeets................ A-25 B-11
Sugarcane for Sugar & Seed.. A-25 B-12
Tobacco, by Class and Type.. A-22 B-11
Tobacco, by States........ A-24

Wheat, All......... A-12 B- 6
Wheat, by Class. A-14

Wheat, Durum....... . A-13 B- 6
Wheat, Other Spring............... 0 ccccccee eee eee eee A-13 B- 6
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 B-19 NASS, USDA


August Weather Summary: While major weather events such as Hurricane "Andrew"

and western wildfires grabbed the headlines, other
significant anomalies were buried. For instance, drier-than-normal weather
returned to much of the central Corn Belt during August. Central Illinois
received less than half an inch of rain, including Peoria (0.25 in.) which had
its driest August in 136 years.

August's weather pattern remained largely unchanged from the previous summer
months, with a steady progression of Canadian cold fronts more commonly
observed in spring or fall. Unlike July, however, cold fronts proceeded
deeper into the Southeast before stalling, resulting in the Midwest's drying
trend. The core of anomalous chill blanketed the Central States, where
temperatures averaged more than 6°F below normal. Dubuque, IA, with an
average temperature of 64°F, 6°F below normal, was one of many locations to
experience a record-cold August, toppling the standard set in 1915. Wide-
spread warmer-than-normal conditions were restricted to areas west of the
Continental Divide. Sacramento, CA, reached the 90°F mark on 39 consecutive
days ending August 20, breaking the record of 35 days set during the summer of
1 .

Aside from Hurricane "Andrew," which devastated southern Florida on August 24,
and battered parts of Louisiana and Mississippi with heavy rain and high winds
on August 26 and 27 (see special articles in the Weekly Weather and Crop
Bulletin, Vol. 79, No. 34 and 35), notable weather (or weather-related) events
included:

* an east coast storm (August 12 - 18)
* large wildfires (especially CA and ID)
* cold in the Northwest (August 24 - 26)

The east coast storm deposited as much as 14 inches of rain in eastern North
Carolina and entrained enough cold air to give an early freeze to Michigan's
Upper Peninsula (Ironwood reached 31°F on August 13). Meanwhile in the West,
Idaho's largest blaze grew to more than 230,000 acres (360 square miles) near
Boise, and California's largest blaze since 1987 spread to 64,000 acres in
Shasta County. But the arrival of cooler air after August 23 allowed for
nearly full containment of fires throughout the drought-ravaged Northwest by
month's end. The premature Canadian cold front brought a hard freeze to
western Montana, the northern and central Rockies, and the northern Great
Basin. Temperatures, which had been in the 90's only 3 days earlier, plunged
to 30°F in Great Falls, MT, and to 24°F in Burns, OR. In addition, the front
absorbed the remnants of the eastern Pacific Hurricane "Lester." Heavy rain
spread from Arizona to the western Great Lakes, and 6 inches of snow fell in
Helena, MT.

August Crop Progress: Intermittent rainfall throughout August from the

Great Plains eastward thwarted harvest activities, but
improved crop prospects. Dry, hot weather in the West aggravated already
short moisture supplies. Continuous below-normal temperatures in the Central
and Eastern States furthered concerns over late crop development. Hurricane
Andrew caused heavy damage to southern Louisiana sugarcane at the end of the
month, in addition to the destruction of most southern Florida limes and
avocados remaining for harvest.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-3 NASS, USDA



The condition of the crop is generally good; however, crazy root and curly top
infestation have been reported.

Sugarcane: Sugarcane production is forecast at 30.7 million tons, 6 percent
below the August 1 forecast but 1 percent above last year's
output. Area for harvest, at 951,000 acres, is virtually unchanged from last
month but 6 percent above a year ago. The forecasted yield, at 32.3 tons per
acre, is down 2.0 tons from August 1 and down 1.4 tons from a year earlier.

Hurricane Andrew affected virtually all the sugarcane in Louisiana. Saint
Mary Parish was hit the hardest with much of the cane broken. Losses could be
heavy. Elsewhere in the State, stalks were leaning and showing badly frayed
tops. Florida growers were more fortunate as they saw limited damage to their
crops. The winds of Andrew blew down stalks in scattered areas causing no
more damage than normal for this time of year. Planting of the new crop is
expected to begin around the middle of September, two weeks later than usual.

In Hawaii, rains during August were more frequent than earlier in the year.
This improved the condition in non-irrigated areas and replenished reservoir
levels.

California Navel Oranges: The initial forecast for the 1992-93 California

Navel orange crop is 38.0 million boxes, 8 percent
more than Jast season's production and over twice as large as the freeze
damaged crop of 1990-91. The crop is maturing wel) with a good set and large
fruit. Harvest is expected to start by mid-October.

Florida Citrus: Hurricane Andrew passed about fifty miles south of the

southernmost citrus producing counties of Collier and Hendry.
Because the storm was so compact and fast moving, no fruit loss or tree damage
was experienced. Rain associated with the storm passing over citrus areas was
not excessive and no flooding in groves was reported. Most trees are loaded
with new foliage. New crop fruit is progressing normally for late August.
Testing for fresh fruit packing continues but there is no harvest at this
time. Caretakers are cutting cover crops, spraying, fertilizing, and burning
dead trees.

Dade County tropical fruit crops were devastated by Hurricane Andrew. All
avocados on the trees were Jost and trees were heavily damaged. Many were
pushed out of the ground, others had major limb breakage. With major pruning
some young trees may have fruit next season. Only very young lime trees
survived the storm. Many older trees and fruit were completely destroyed as
trees were pushed out of the ground. There will be only limited amounts of
limes shipped in the next several months, principally from Collier County.

Grapes: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 6.14 million tons, up slightly

from the August 1 forecast and up 11 percent from last year. Only
California, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, and Washington had the
opportunity to change their August 1 forecast. The August 1 forecast was
carried forward for the remaining States.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 B-12 NASS, USDA


Prunes and Plums: Total Production by Crop and State,
1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Total Production 1/
Crop and State Jeeeeee----- +--+ +--+ +--+ +--+ ==

Prunes (Dried basis)
CA

147,000 187,000 200,000

Prunes and Plums
D 6,800 3,000 4,600
MI : 6,000 9,000 7,000
OR : 21,000 4,000 20,000
WA : 14,000 9,100 11,000
Total : 47,800 25,100 42,600

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold(tons): 1990 - 4,600;
1991 ~ 300.

Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop and State,
1990-91 and Forecasted September 1, 1992 1/

Crop and State

Tons (In-shell Basis)

Hazelnuts :
OR : 21,500 25,300 25,800
WA : 200 200 200
Total : 21,700 25,500 26,000
Walnuts :
CA : 227,000 259,000 210,000
: 1,000 Pounds
Pistachio Nuts : (In-Shel? Basis)
CA :
Marketable In-shel] 2/ : 94,600 59,000
Shelling Stock 2/ : 25,400 18,000
Total : 120,000 77,000 110,000

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ Production for 1992 by type of sale will be published in the "Non-Citrus
Fruit and Nuts Preliminary" to be released in January 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-29 NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested : Production
State : : :

1991 : 1992 : 1991 1991 1992
:- 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels --
AZ 1/ : 39 44 95.0 3,705 3,740
CAl/ : 32 55 105.0 3,360 5,225
MN : 30 10 32.0 960 450
MT : 179 129 33.0 5,907 4,257
ND : 2,850 2,150 31.0 88,350 73,100
SD 2 67 28 25.0 1,675 980
US : 3,197 2,416 32.5 103,957 87,752

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1, 1992

Area Harvested : Yield Production
State

1991 1992 1991 1992
: - 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels --
co 1/ : 36 45 75.0 80.0 80.0 2,700 3,600
ID : 460 670 71.0 70.0 70.0 32,660 46,900
MN : 2,070 2,750 31.0 44.0 48.0 64,170 132,000
MT : 2,400 2,400 34.0 28.0 30.0 81,600 72,000
Wi1/: 4 5 75.0 70.0 70.0 300 350
ND 6,850 9,100 31.0 35.0 39.0 212,350 354,900
OR1/ : 46 100 50.0 47.0 47.0 2,300 4,700
sD : 1,750 2,550 28.0 28.0 33.0 49,000 84,150
UTl/ : 23 23 49.0 48.0 48.0 1,127 1,104
WA : 1,450 430 40.0 42.0 42.0 58,000 18,060
WId/ so: 7 20 34.0 34.0 34.0 238 680
WY l/s: 4 10 30.0 30.0 30.0 120 300
us : 15,100 18,103 33.4 36.1 39.7 504,565 718,744

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-13 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next “Crop Production" report will be released on October 8, 1992, at
3:00 p.m. ET.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Herb Eldridge - Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202) 720-7621
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-9526
Martin Owens - Rice, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-2157
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068

Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Steve Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
Jim Brewster - Fruits (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202) 720-8843
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202) 720-5412
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944
Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 690-0907

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1992 B-20 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Types State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted September 1 1992

Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/

1991 : 1992 : 1991 1991 : 1992

-- 1,000 Bales 2/ --

Upland

aL : 405.0 435.0 655 673 673 553.0 610.0
AZ : 359.0 323.0 1,201 1,283 1,174 898.0 790.0
AR : 980.0 960.0 772 800 800 1,576.0 1,600.0
CA : 977.0 995.0 1,252 1,303 1,278 2,548.0 2,650.0
FL 3/ : 49.0 50.0 719 780 780 73.4 81.3
GA : 427.0 448.0 812 723 723 722.0 675.0
KS 3/ : 1.8 2.5 347 250 250 3 1.3
LA : 820.0 880.0 828 818 791 1,414.0 1,450.0
MS : 1,230.0 1,345.0 888 821 803 2,275.0 2,250.0
MO 327.0 343.0 630 700 700 429.0 500.0
NM 65.0 45.0 465 565 565 63.0 53.0
NC 457.0 385.0 672 648 648 640.0 520.0
OK 380.0 350.0 303 377 343 240.0 250.0
sc 210.0 193.0 786 597 572 344.0 230.0
IN 610.0 620.0 552 612 596 701.0 770.0
1X : 5,400.0 3,550.0 419 422 406 4,710.0 3,000.0
VA 3/ : 17.7 22.0 765 650 650 28.2 29.8
Us :12,715.5 10,946.5 650 690 678 17,215.9 15,460.4
Amer-Pima

AZ 103.0 104.0 860 916 854 184.5 185.0
CA 64.0 95.0 1,097 1,112 1,137 146.2 225.0
MS 0.6 0.5 560 480 480 0.7 0.5
NM 19.4 18.0 470 600 600 19.0 22.5
TX 57.0 38.0 404 695 695 48.0 55.0
US 244.0 255.5 784 932 917 398.4 488.0
All

AL 405.0 435.0 655 673 673 553.0 610.0
AZ 462.0 427.0 1,125 1,189 1,096 1,082.5 975.0
AR 980.0 960.0 772 800 800 1,576.0 ,600.0
CA 1,041.0 1,090.0 1,242 1,286 1,266 23694.2 2,875.0
FL 3/ 49.0 50.0 719 780 780 4 81.3
GA 427.0 448.0 812 723 723 722.0 675.0
KS 3/ 1.8 2.5 347 250 250 1.3 1.3
LA 820.0 880.0 828 818 791 1,414.0 1,450.0
MS 1,230.6 1,345.5 888 821 803 2,275.7 2,250.5
MO 327.0 343.0 630 700 700 429.0 500.0
NM 84.4 63.0 466 575 575 82.0 75.5
NC 457.0 385.0 672 648 648 640.0 520.0
OK 380.0 350.0 303 377 343 240.0 250.0
sc 210.0 193.0 786 597 572 344.0 230.0
IN 610.0 620.0 552 612 59 01.0 770.0
TX 5,457.0 3,588.0 419 425 409 4,758.0 3,055.0
VA 3/ 17.7 22.0 765 650 650 28.2 29.8
US 12,959.5 11,202.0 652 696 683 17,614.3 4

1/ Production ginned an be gin 2/4 net ght bales.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from’ previaus forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1992 A-16 NASS, USDA