CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE AREA HARVESTED. + YIELO ' PRODUCTION
' 7 INOD'¢ + IND + t t “IND
H 1977 ¢ 1978 3 1979 $1977 11978 § 1979 t 1977 14978 + 1979
t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHEL:
’
ALA ' 375 Sau $30 2940 5040 ©6060 © -100875 Ss 27¥200 ©3800
ARIZ ’ 50 50 45 10040 11500 11560 5+750 $9175
ARK ' 43 30 35 58.0 19740 29030
CALIF ft 247 2a1 285 32240 359406 © 349770
coo 695 720 820 11500 799200 944300
CONN 1/1
OEL 1 185 17s 167 9940 109360 = 169800 = 169533.
FLA 1 299 370 370 55.0 100465 = 199240 209.350
Ga ‘ 1,000 14500 19550 62.0 249000 = 754000 = 964100
TOAHO tt 28 39 35 8900 21608 34393 3ei1S
TLL 4 119080 109730109530 11260 191639400 191919030 191799360
IND 1 69210 55900 59850 112.0 6339420 6379200 6554200
Towa 1 129700 = 128500128600 114.0 150929200 194629500 194361400
KANS st 14680 16500 19450 11260 1619280 © 1539000 = 1620400
KY ‘ 19470 19610 19290 102.0 1329300 91190850 139580
ta t 6 47 42 66.0 34380 20773 20772
MAINE us
MD 600 $90 S80 97.0 439200 579230 «= 564260
MASS wi
MICH =f 24320 29250 29300 83.0 1974200 1829250 1905900
MINN 2 64000 69190 52900 9420 6009000 6439760 554600
MISS 160 135 115 50.0 60 79560 50750
MO ' 29650 29200 29250 93.0 2019400 1919400 2099250
MONT 1 1 5 72.0 THe 36
NEBR 16550. 69550 64700 10960 6489450 7409150 7300300
NEV 1/4
NH lst
NJ 1 95 95 82 7040 8940 81645 79298
NMEX 116 v2 70 9040 11000 79560 79700
NY 1 640 600 640 80.0 8160 479600 519840
NC ’ 19740 19600 19700 $140 8000 1219600 1365000
N DAK 237 253 260-7340 7640 199987 199760
OHIO 8 39620 34610 39630 105-40 10560 11340 3799050 4104190
OKLA ot 95 73 80 = 8240 65400 9540 41745 79600
OREG st 12 13 11-9540 9540 9540 19235 14045
Pa Z 1y160 19290 19190-9260 9540 = 9540 = 1064720 2130080 113050
it
sc 1 690 550 500 36.0 © 5500 = 7640 «= 249840 ©=— 308250 38000
$ DAK § 24150 29560 29500 5940 6740 6940 1719520 1725500
TENN 730 660 590 65.0 6640 8040 439560 470200
TEX ‘ 14650 19440 19300 984010000 = 10540 11s700 1449000 1369500
utan 1 ' 13 16 16-8940 9000 9200 1,157 1460 19472
v “t
vA 1 560 61S 600 5540 240 BoD 307800 509430 © 80400
WASH ot 64 65 65 119.0 12160 © 12300 24616 79865 79995
wvA ot 34 58 61 7440-7700 7940 36996 49466 42819
wis 1 — 2+800 29750 29850 10640 = 9840 9600 291200 2694500 2734600
Wyo 2 30 34 30 8540 8240 B40 550 754 520
us $ 700872 699970690626 90407 = 102 102d os2etas? 70011609 751080938
T/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED [5 FOR SILAGE.
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 8-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA


PEACHES

: PRODUCTION 1 PRODUCTION
cRoP ‘ POUNDS : #8 LB. EQUIVALENT
AND. ‘ TOTAL _/ INDICATED TOTAL VINDICATED
STATE A 1978 t 1979 «Ot «977 tt 978 1979
t TION UNITS T9000 UNITS
PEACHES FREESTONE :
ALA ae 1060 15.0 146.0 208 313 292
ARK are 4060 3760 4000 833 aa) 833
CALIF *FREESTONE t 46800 40040 480.0 94750 85333 109000
COLO 3 1860 565 15.0 375 115 313
CONN art bed 603 125 131 79
OEL art 204 263 eo) 48 38
Ga ast 9040 12060 19875 29500 29813
0aH0 evs 1265 11.0 260 229 29
TL ' 900 1600 188 333 313
1ND av 160 5.0 2) 104 a3
KANS av 900 5.0 ea 106 104
KY are al 11d 2 229 313
La art 605 605 135 135 135
MO : 21.0 2400 438 * S00 500
Mass ave 365 345 13 73 73
MICH 3 5540 606 19146 19250 129
MISS at 400 400 83 83 83
Mo ar 1160 1460 229 292 356
NJ 4 11060 7000 2s292 1458 25396
NY ’ 1360 1640 an 333 140
NC en 3540 45.0 729 938 14000
OHIO are 360 500 63 106 83
OKLA at 1060 865 208 177 208
OREG ae 1800 1360 375 271 333
Pa : 9540 8540 19979 16771 19875
sc t 27540 31560 55729 69563 79292
TENN ae 8.0 864 167 175 77
TEX ae 4840 4000 1.000 833 750
uTaN as 1860 1560 375 313 396
va : 19.0 4000 396 833 667
wasH : 4160 38.0 8546. 792 771
weva : 1540 2540 313 521 479
TOTAL 11947560 1967000 1962403 300730 300625 330841
PEACHES CLINGSTONE wa
caLiF 11950800 1923140 1930060 = 310417 = 250666 27083
ALL PEACHES : .
us 1 2998300 2070140 2,924.3 629147 —SHe271_—60, 924

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS) 1 UNITED STATES: 1977-154891978+1940.

@/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

3/ CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND
INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS
¥1977911540019789121 006

WALNUTS
STATE 4 PRODUCTION .
1 TOTAL ¢ TOTAL v IND
s 1977 ' 1978 t 1979
~ 7 TONS
+
CALIF 1 1924000 1604000 2100000
OREG wi 500
us 1 192500 _ 160.000 210-000
17 ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER i977 CROP,
OLIVES
STATE + PRODUCTION
’ TOTAL + TOTAL ' INO
1 1977 1978 1 1979
1 ” TONS
t
CALIF t 435000 1264606 $2000
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 8-23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979


ORY EDIBLE PEAS: Dry edible pea production in Idaho and Washington is forecast at 2.09 million

cwt. (94.8 thousand metric tons). This year's production is down 42 percent from
a year ago. Estimated acreage for harvest this year at 140 thousand acres (56.7 thousand hectares)
is down 33 percent from 1978. Average yield for the two-State area is expected to be 1492 pounds
down 291 pounds from a year earlier.

Dry weather and unseasonably high temperatures since mid-July caused some damage to late
planted peas. Some powdery mildew occurred in several locations of Idaho.

POTATOES: The Nation's summer potato crop for 1979 is forecast at 21.8 million cwt. (987 thou-
. sand metric tons). This is a 2 percent improvement from a month ago and 3 percent
higher than the 1978 output. Yields are expected to average 202 cwt. per acre, up 5 cwt. from

the July 1 forecast and well above yields for the last two seasons,

Virginia's crop, at 3.31 million cwt., is 2 percent above Tast month‘s forecast and 11] per-
cent higher than the 1978 crop. Potatoes sized well with abundant rainfall during the growing
season. Rains hampered harvest operations, but digging is now nearing completion, about on
schedule. In California, yield prospects improved during July as harvest of a good quality crop
became more active. Texas harvest activity picked up after mid-month on the High Plains and
supplies will remain abundant through August.

Digging in New Jersey is progressing at a moderate rate; high temperatures and smaller sizes
have reduced prospects from a month ago. The Colorado crop has made rapid development in the past
month and limited digging of early varieties has begun. Harvest of the Michigan crop is underway
and harvest will begin by mid-August in Minnesota. In Alabama, yield prospects now surpass the
previous record high, although rains and wet fields hampered harvest

SWEETPOTATOES: The 1979 U.S. sweetpotato crop is expected to total 4.6 million cwt. (660 thousand
metric tons). This is 2 percent above 1978 and the largest crop since

1965. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 122 thousand acres (49.5 thousand hectares), 1 percent

above last season. The average yield this year is forecast at 119 cwt. per acre, the same as last

year but well above the 1977 level.

In North Carolina, the Nation's leading producing State, production is placed at 5.27 million
cwt., up 2 percent from 1978, Early growth was hampered by cool weather, but the crop is currently
jn good condition with adequate soil moisture. Harvest should be underway by early September. As
a result of reduced acreage this year, the Louisiana crop will be off 4 percent. Plants are in
good condition despite earlier soil moisture shortages. Recent rains have enhanced growth but
hampered cultivating activities. Alabama sweetpotatoes benefited from excellent growing conditions
during the season and harvest should begin in mid-August. South Carolina fields are showing ex-
cellent growth although rains have caused some fertilizer leaching and disease problems.

In California, acreage continues to trend upward leading to record high crop expectations.
Some fields are late because of replanting following wind damage. Harvest has begun in the
earliest fields. Vine development of the Texas crop was good during July. Limited digging will
be started in early August but is not expected to become active until early September. In
Virginia, abundant rainfall on the Eastern Shore resulted in good plant growth,

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco is forecast at 1.77 billion pounds (802 thousand metric tons),

down 13 percent from the 1978 production. The decrease in prospective production is due
mainly to a 15 percent decrease in flue-cured and a 10 percent decrease in burley. Cigar type pro-
duction is expected to increase 6 percent. Yield per acre of all tobacco is indicated at 2043
pounds, compared with the 1978 yield of 2135 pounds.

Flue-cured production is forecast at 1.04 billion pounds (473 thousand metric tons), down 15
percent from the 1.23 billion pounds (558 thousand metric tons) produced in 1978. Prospects in
the Middle and Eastern Belts were unchanged from last month. Conditions declined in the Border
Belt and the indicated yield of 1986 pounds per acre compares with 2090 pounds a year earlier.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



ALL WHEAT

STATE y AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO ' PROOUCTION

1 ¥ ¥ TNO 7 T IND Ft 7 T IND

1 1977 4978 8 4979 1 3977 1 1978 § 1979 4 1977 4 1978 4 1979

t 19000 ACRES GUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

'
aA l/ t 90 65 98 28,0 26.0 2760 20520 19690 2,565
ARIZ ' 140 138 122 72.0 7000 7520 109080 99660 99075
ARK iy 660 300 430 39,0 3700 3460 259740 119100 145620
CALIF ' 678 m5 82s 64,5 O41 Tee 434700 459825 599535
COLO a 29875 20466 27600 22.2 23.4 2766 57225 570268 724350
DEL i/ t 35 28 30 30.0 3600 3760 19050 19008 1sild
FLA 2/ t 13 12 3660 377 432
Ga ot 100 120 160 32.0 3520 39300 39840 52600
1D0AHO 1 19190 19295 19490 S77 4502 509730 749730 734370
TLt , S70 930 19300 3860 4220 679510 359340 542600
IND t 1240 eis 945, 3920 47.0 55800 319785 469415
Towa 1/ 3 109 5! 72 3160 3560 49033 19705 2,520
KANS ' 12100 109200 109600 30.0 3840 3449850 306+000 402,800
«KY a 276 295 290 3560 3900 109138 69825 129310
ta Wt 25 vv es 3600 260 aso 700
“Oo wet 120 108 1146 3760 3720 49320 49218
MICH ' e25 450 170 40.0 4160 330000 319570
MINN ‘ 39327 20776 2sS2l 3366 3669 1319694 934030
MISS 1/ % 10s 65 11s 3160 32.0 39570 39680
MO ' 16760 840 19600 34.0 45.0 6896460 269560 724000
MONT ' 59060 49860 59160 3002 2302 1300920 = 1469050 =—:1199650
NEBR ' 29950 29550 29600 3200 33.0 1034250 814600 857800
NEV I/ t 28 26 2 5902 60.0 19560 19540 19560
Nv l/ 6 42 33 39 3640 41,0 19302 49168 19599
N MEX 1/8 425 298 367 1960 2900 99137 52662 10643
NY vt 7s 7S 162 3500 40.0 61625 20625 65480
nc ve 200 1680 20s 3300 3500 69000 59940 THATS
N OAK 4 99254 99585 99585 2968 27.0 2290907 2864065 = 257,670
OHIO 1 19540 19125 39320 3900 460 72380 439875 605720
OKLA 1 69500 59400 $2700 2720 3840 1759500 1459800 216%600
OREG ' 19230 1s225 19220 4204 4360 479620 510925 529400
PA 1 270 245 262 3340 31.0 84910 8.122
gsc ye 95 73 100 3360 3360 20755 35300
S$ Oak y 39016 34090 29720 2164 2006 719964 55-920
TENN 1 280 220 295 3560 34.0 100080 199030
TEX 1 40700 2700 41600 200 3000 1174500 138.000
UTAH 1/8 204 2188 197 2968 29.5 40716 50816
vA ut 205 185 185 35.0 3600 60355 67660
WASH ' 20965 20910 3050 4640 3867 1014305 1189030
wva it 10 9 190 33.0 34.0 310 340
WIS 1/8 15 45 Sa 3ae7 35.6 30075 15926
wro 1/8 28) 296 297 2509 22.0 59620 79606 60534
us ' 66946) 561839 629227 316 3403 250369318 -19798e712 29133904)

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 8-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PEARS

CROP AND STATE. L PRODUCTION 1/
ry TOTAL ' TOTAL Fy TNO
t 1977 + 1978 4 1979
’
PEARS BARTLETT t TONS
CALIF ' 3264000 2814000 3305000
OREG ' 80000 55,500 749000
bev ' 1329000 135000
4689500 539900
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT ‘ , “000
CALIF : 79300 10,000
OREG t 969000 105,000
waSH ' 1144000 854000
TOTAL ' 1949600 2179300 200-000
ALL PEARS a
CALIF ' 3349600 288300 3409000
COLO eet 69900 19700 S500
CONN ert 19600 14900 19500
IDAHO Ve 19600
MICH : 129000 135000 124000
NY ' 169000 189500 189000
OREG t 1804000 1515500 1794000
Pa ei 49700 35300 49100
UTAH evs 52000 29600 59000
waSH 1 2249000 2464000 2209000
us ' 786600 7269800 7859100
17 INCLUOES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGEs

(TONS) 4 U-S 1977"201006

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO

FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,
GRaPES
CROP AND STATE ' PRODUCTION 1¢
' TOTAL TOTAL ? TNO
‘ 1977 t 1978 ‘ 1979
t TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE '
CALIF ' 4884000 3934000 380+000
GRAPES WINE TYPE '
call ' 19563+000 197069000 19600%000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE DRIED 2/1
caLlF 1 2485300 2284500
GRAPES RAISIN NOT DRIED 4
CALIF ' 803.000 9125000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE '
CALIF ‘ 199350000 199189000 29200+000
ALL GRAPES )
ARIZ ' 114000 146300 13-500
ARK 1 96600 84200 6,000
CALIF 1 399869000 400179000 493802000
MICH t 339000 679500 629000
“Oo t SO 36300 41000
NJ ae #100
NY 1 1019000 188000 180,000
nc ' 41650 64800 84500
OnTO : 79100 12000 144000
Pa 4 304000 570500 542000
WASH 1 105,600 1872000 1039000
OTHER STATES ast 49850 50100 69800
us 1 492978750 495665700 416319800
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE

(TONS) § US 1977"195509 1978=2489900. (2489000 TONS
FRESH EQUIVALENT RAISIN TYPE IN CALIF LAID» BUT NOT
HARVESTEO OUE TO SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGE) .
2/ ORIED BASIS, 1TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4,56
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1977 AND 4.40 TONS FOR 1978.
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.

4/ GEORGIA ANO SOUTH CAROLINA,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979

B-24

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crap production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
August 1. The yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field
observations and measurements for corn, soybeans, cotton and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals
of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their locali-
ties. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and measurements in a
probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are
common to all surveys. More importantly, the forecasts are subject to change due to weather dur-
ing the remainder of the season and other factors that directly affect final production but can-
not be measured currently,

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the August 1 production
forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1959-78 twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes
statistically the “Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning
expected errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming
that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years’
forecasts.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain forecast is 6.2
percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7109 mil-
tion bushels will nat be above or below the final estimate by more than 6.2 percent or approxi-
mately 441 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the dif-
ference will not exceed 10.7 percent or approximately 761 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between
the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between
the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 314 million bushels,
ranging from 9 million to 632 million bushels. During this 10-year period the August 1 forecast
has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times.

RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

: TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
1 ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
POOR COWFTOENTE QUANTITY oN

> BELOW: ABOVE
‘peRCENY = GOR Y:: AVERAGE :SMALLEST:LARGEST : FINAL : FINAL

CROP AND UNIT

FEED GRAINS 1/ TON 2/: 5.1 8.8 19 1 16 6 4
CORN FOR GRAIN BU ~ : 6.2 10.7 761 9 632 7 3
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU 8.0 13.8 108 2 69 4 6
OATS Bu 4.3 7.4 39 2 56 1 9
BARLEY BU 4.4 7.6 27 0 35 6 4
ALL WHEAT BU 1.8 3.1 66 3 58 3 7

WINTER BU 1.7 2.9 46 0 20 3 7

DURUM BU 8.1 14.0 15 0 6 5 5

OTHER SPRING BU 6.8 (11.7 49 4 36 5 5
RICE CHT 4.2 7.2 10 0 7 5 5
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU : 4.7 8.1 172 1 160 7 3
COTTON BALES 3/: 7.9 13.6 1,860 150 1,795 3 7

17 CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRATN, OATS, AND BARLEY;
2/ UNIT OF PRODUCTION IS IN METRIC TONS.
3/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SWEETPOTATOES

STATE ' AREA HARVESTEO YIELD PRODUCTION

’ 7 t 7 TNO ¢ t 7 INO

1 1977 3 1978 4 4979 1 1977 § 1978 t 1979 3 1977 + 1978 1979

’ VedOT ACRES cwr 9000 CwT

a
ALA , Se3 8s 100 115 451 $50 656
ARK , To 9 9? 122 126 126
CALIF : 150 160 160 19170 19392 19520
GA ‘ 90 110 110 495 660 649
ta ‘ 90 95 9S 29430 29660 29565
"OD ' 155 160 165 248 226 231
MISS ' 8s 88 90 660 7192 792
NJ 1 105 110 llo 2s2 286 297
nC ' 135 140 135 49455 59180 5265
sc ' 91 105 105 209 252 263
TENN ’ 100 100 100 280 280 280
TEX ' 95 110 115 903 19065 39081
VA ‘ 12s 140 140 700 854 626
us 1 110 ret) 119 124395 149301 14,551
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED % YIELO _—PROOUCTION
1 t 1 IND t IND t v + IND
1 4977 4 1978 4 1979 + 1977 1 1978 s 1979 ¢ 1977 4 1978 4 1979
1 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
1
ALA ‘ e7 34 30 27.0 3740 39.0 729 19258 19170
ARIZ t 90 73 73 80.0 7860 79.0 79200 59696 5.767
ARK 1 252 200 170 52.0 60.0 55.0 135106 129000 99350
CALIF 1 132 185 160 7340 71.0 99636 139135 115360
COLO t 263 300 280 31.0 37.0 85153 99300 109360
GA a 24 43 47 28.0 37.0 672 19247 19739
TUL ' 66 68 70 640 64.0 41096 1626 41480
IND ' as is 1s 78.0 65.0 19170 975,
OWA ‘ 32 24 20 14.0 78.0 25368 15800
KANS 1 49050 49020 39870 6040 62.0 2439000 2099040
KY : 32 23 30 57.0 68.0 19826 19426
La ' 20 a7 v7 33.0 34.0 660 $78
MISS t 24 a. 25 3200 40.0 768 798
TMO fy 930 aso 720 73.0 8200 679890 689000
NEBR 1 29070 19830 19830 7120 7060 1469970 = 1379250
N MEX ' 2465 267 250 48.0 53.0 119760 120262
nc ' 72 86 80-~ 37.0 55.0 21664 4472
OKLA 1 S565 485 500 38.0 4000 219470 174460
Pa we 6 62.0
sc ' 12 is is 16.0 3200 3640 192 480
S DAK ' 343 340 310 4900 5000 48.0 169807 479000
TENN ‘ 20 ry 26 S160 S160 32.0 19020 L226
TEX ' 49800 49650 49400 48.0 4940 56.0 2300400 2276850 2469400
vA ' 10 al ll 43.0 4700 48.0 430 S17 528
us t 142092 139581 12,955 5603 SSe1 6001 7920983 7489410 7799181
1/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1979 CROP,
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RICE

PRODUCTION

state 4 AREA HARVESTED A viewo P z -_
1 ry t Two t + +
1 gorz a 978M gyorg a977 1 FV 5 go7a se n977 t BV 4979
7 Te000 ACRES POUNDS 1000 wT
'

K $ @3Te0 1909040 1919060 4929040450 49450 354396 489505 = S24 98S
cairo 49940 53440 54810 54260 17+913 260248 «© -294637
ua 1 $870 $33.0 34670 34820 17,445 220425 206787
MISS 215.0 20560 44000 44250 4044099138 «8¥508
40 ’ 30.0 35.0 34700 44330 e150 62914298 1453
Tex 1 558,0 «S2040GybTO 44700 44500 239G002E¥AZE 23400
vs 2924900 2697940 3901760 Gohl2 444994 y532__—*99H2ZI_—:1330840 1364740
17 REVISED

RYE,

state 1 AREA HARVESTED : YIELD 1 PRODUCTION

f — ft IND? ? 3 TNO? 1 ‘ IND

ul 1977 t 1978 ¢ 1979 ¢ 19773 1978 § 1979 3 1977.1 1978 3 1979

a T9000 ACRES BUSHELS 19060 BUSHELS

‘
COLO a 5 S 2060 21.0 2360 so 105 11s
OL “ é 4 25.0 2550-2500 100 100 100
GA 95 10 122160 23402140 19995 205302352
te 15 16 17-2210 2340 B00 330 368 408
INO 10 9 10-2640 2540-2700 260 225 270
Towa re 5 5 29.0 3060-2940 116 150 145
ANS 40 15 WS 3860 2160) 280 180 315 20
KY 4 ‘ 27.0 27602520 108 108 100
49 8 3 4 29.0 300 ©3000 232 270 270
MICH 19 25 25 245024002540 456 600 625
MINN 84 36 91 2950 = Bud 2700 26636 2035224457
MO 6 7 10 2760-2560 2540 162 175 250
NESR $0 53 50 2400-1920 22.0 14050 19007 1,300
Ny 9 n 10-200 2350 28.0 261 253 280
NY 9 9 1034203100 3200 279 279 320
NC a. 20 2 19802302380 399 460 460
N Oak 80 205 wo 3160 26.0 24080 69355. 4680
OHIO a 8 8 3 30.0 31.0 248 240 248
OKLA 34 30 #0 19:0 ©1940-2640 646 570 19040
OREG 5 7 7 25.0 2540-2400 125 175 168
Pa 12 16 16 310032603000 372 512 420
sc 32 38 3e 200022602220 640 836 192
S$ 0aK t 120 220 195 290034002810 3480 BRO S980
TENN 2/4 2 2 2300 1940 46 38
TEX t 25 29 27 1600 Lao 1940 400 406 513
Va : 16 17 13.0 25202500250 350 425 325
WASH 2v4 3 3 2000 © 2160 60 63
WIS t v4 7 16-2620 2160 22 366 357 352
wv 1st 3 3 3 190 22.0 2.0 5? 66 66
vs on 06 995 936 2406 2603 Se TDA _—2OHOD —-23¥738

Lf ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. |
@/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


BARLEY

STATE 8 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD t PRODUCTION

t T t THOT t t TNO F t ry TNO

t 1977 4 1976 1 1979 1° 1977 | _1978 3 1979 & 1977 8 1976 1 1979

t 1000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSRELS

'
ARIZ ' ss 36 45 76.0 7100 82.0 e180 20485 31690
CaLiF t 950 950 780 56.0 4800 S600 539200 455600 431680
colo ' 230 240 270 59.0 6400 68.0 139570 159360 189360
OEL ve 22 24 24 4400 4400 4600 19056 1106
GA avr 7 37.0
IDAHO ft 940 930 850 67.0 6000 57.0 559800 489450
We 4h 9 7 8 G20 3600 4000 252 320
IND 2/8 8 40.0
KANS 1/% 78 60 ss x bee 4700 29640 29585
Ky we 25 23 23 300 52.0 989 19196
MD ' 70 85 a3 4500 48.0 39825 31984
MICH 1/1 Ww 19 7 4700 4700 893 199
MINN ' 12080 19050 760 4905 50.0 519975 38.000
MO an 8
MONT ' 19430 29375 19050 4100 35.0 529195 $60375 369750
NEBR 1/1 43 29 27 3800 4360 19102 19161
NEV 1/3 < 20 22 6000 6060 19200 19320
NJ 14) iv 20 7 4600 4900 920 633
N MEX I/t 26 25 ee 5760 S720 10425 19596
NY 1/1 10 10 ML 4200 4500 420 495
NC lst 5s 39 62 5100 S1e0 39009 39162
® ODAK ‘ 29530 29050 19650 4Ge0 heed 1129700 725600
OHIO 148 pS} 10 4800 S420 $61 480 486
OKLA a 120 80 70 3400 4620 49200 20720 39220
OREG 1 190 1865 170 5000 4600 84930 99250 79820
Pa ' 125 125 100 4700 48.0 69250 59875 41800
sc aa 21 26 23 4700 4860 B40 19128 19106
S DAK ' 640 565 525 3700 3600 269880 209905 18900
TENN 1/3 43 13 13 3400 3960 S07 462 507
TEX 1 85 40 so 2700 4640 39400 19080 24300
UTAH 1 1s 131 131 56.0 58.0 69210 70336 79598
vA ' 92 10) 95 5000 5060 4068 5050 41750
WASH 1 350 380 310 65.0 5000 244700 154500
wva lft 9 10 10 Ghd 4760 440 470
wis) 1st 29 at 24 4960 46.0 29323 19104.
wyo ' 133 43 133 6340 5940 8e253 79847
us 1 99564 99233 T9GGS 486% 47.9 4200159 4479008 — 356,491

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED aFTER 1977 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979


GRAPES: The first forecast of the Nation's grape crop is for a record 4.83 million tons (4.38
million metric tons), 6 percent more than last year's crop and 12 percent larger than in

1977. Prospects declined 3 percent in California during July to 4.38 million tons, but remain 9

percent above last year’s crop. Prospects for table types declined to 380 thousand tons, 3 percent

below 1978. Quality is good but bunch counts are down. The wine grape prospects also declined

3 percent but the 1.80 million ton forecast is still a record high. Weather has been conducive

to good growth and bunches are sizing normally, The raisin varieties crop forecast, at 2.20 mil-

lion tons, is unchanged from last month and is 15 percent above the 1978 crop. Sugar content is

above average. Harvest is expected to begin at the end of August.

Forecasts for the New York, Pennsylvania, and Michigan crops are down from last year, but
growing conditions are favorable and good quality crops are expected. Washington's crop is fore-
cast at 101 thousand tons, down 46 percent from last year's record crop. Vineyards suffered ex-
tensive winter damage and hot July weather has further reduced prospects.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production of prunes and piums is forecast at 68.5 thousand tons (62.1 thousand

metric tons) in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon and Washington, down 2 percent from
last year, but 12 percent above the 1977 crop. Washington expects 17.0 thousand tons, one-fifth
less than in 1978 due to winter damage and heavy drop. Oregon's crop is expected to return to
about the normal level, over 50 percent above last year's weather. and disease-reduced crop. A
full crop of Italian prunes is expected but fruit will be smaller than normal due to a heavy set.
The Michigan crop is generally in good condition, although production is expected to decline mod-
erately from last year. Idaho expects a 13 percent smaller crop than last year.

OLIVES: The first forecast of olive production in California places the crop at 52.0 thousand
tons (47.2 thousand metric tons), 59 percent less than last year's record crop. A
number of orchards reportedly do not have sufficient set to warrant harvesting.

PAPAYAS: July production of Hawaiian papayas is placed at 2.94 million pounds (1330 metric tons),

Il percent Tess than was forecast a month earlier due to sharply reduced output during
the last half of July. Production during August is forecast at 2.80 million pounds (1270 metric
tons), 5 percent less than was harvested in July and 55 percent less than was harvested in August
last year. September production is expected to equal August, but October should increase to 3.00
million pounds (1360 metric tons). November production is expected to increase to 3.30 million
pounds (1500 metric tons).

Area harvested during July totaled 2410 acres (980 hectares), up 2 percent from June and 117
percent more than was harvested in July last year.

Cumulative production (January through July) at 19.8 million pounds (8970 metric tons) is
44 percent Jess than for the same period in 1978. Unfavorable weather conditions have caused the
production decline.

WALNUTS: The 1979 California walnut crop is forecast at 210 thousand tons (191 thousand metric

tons), unchanged from the July 1 forecast but 31 percent above the 1978 crop. Nut size
is smaller in varieties with heavy sets and there has been some yellowing caused by heat. Blight
has caused heavy nut drop in earlier varieties.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


BARLEY: Production of barley in 1979 is forecast at 356 million bushels (7.76 million metric
tons), an increase of 3 percent from the July 1 forecast. The August 1 forecast is 20

percent below the 1978 crop, 15 percent less than in 1977 and the smallest crop since 1974. Yield

per acre is forecast at 47.9 bushels per acre, down 4; bushel from the 1978 record, but 4 bushels

above 1977.

Favorable July weather maintained or improved prospects in most barley producing States.
However, a dry July in Montana lowered the outlook by 3 bushels per acre, and prospects also
slipped in California and Pennsylvania by 2 bushels per acre.

The crop is later than usual in the northern Plains and Mountain States. Swathing was just
starting by August 1 in North Dakota compared with normal progress of 19 percent. The Montana
crop was just beginning to ripen, while normally 10 percent is ripe. About one-fourth of the
Colorado acreage was harvested compared with a normal of 64 percent. Harvest was 90
percent completed in California and progressed rapidly during July in Washington and Oregon.

ALL WHEAT: U.S. producers expect to harvest 2.13 billion bushels (58.1 million metric tons) of
all types of wheat in 1979, 19 percent more than last year and the second highest of record.
Increased acreage and improved winter wheat yields account for the larger production.

Nationally, the average yield per harvested acre is expected to reach a record high 34,3
bushels compared with 31.6 bushels last year. About 62.2 million acres (25.2 million hectares)
will be harvested for grain. This is 87.4 percent of the planted acres. Last year 86.0 percent
of the planted acres was harvested for grain.

WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at 1.60 billion bushels (43.6 million metric
tons), 28 percent more than last year and 3 percent more than last month's forecast.

Both increased acres and better yields have boosted the production above last year.

The expected yield of 36.9 bushels per harvested acre is a record high, up 4.8 bushels from
1978 and up 1.0 bushel from last month. Growers have harvested or expect to harvest 43.5 million
acres (17.6 million hectares), up slightly from last month's expectations. The expected yields
in California, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas are at record highs.

The Kansas wheat crop was a record 403 million bushels, despite slow crop development, hail
and heavy rains which destroyed some acreage and delayed harvest. There was some quality loss with
some sprout damage in the head in late harvested fields. July rains in South Dakota came too late
to be of much help and only served to hamper harvest. Montana growers report rapid crop development
and harvest underway. Oregon harvest is progressing rapidly with excellent harvest weather.

DURUM WHEAT: Ourum wheat production is forecast at 108 million bushels (2.93 million metric

tons), 3 percent below the July 1 forecast, 19 percent below last year, but 34 per-
cent above the 1977 production. The decrease from last year results from a reduced acreage for
harvest and lower expected yields.

Area for harvest is estimated at 3.87 million acres (1.56 million hectares), compared with
4.02 million acres (1.63 million hectares) in 1978 and 3.03 million acres (1.22 million hectares)
in 1977, A small increase from last year in North Dakota was more than offset by decreases in
the other durum States.

An average yield of 27.8 bushels per harvested acre is expected, 1.0 bush hi
forecast and 5,3 bushels below last year. ° shel under the July 7

Durum development continues late in North Dakota with only 3 percent ripe as of July 29
compared with 21 percent normally ripe by that date. Other northern durum States also are later
than normal. North central and northwestern North Dakota and the adjacent area of Montana, a major
durum area of the Nation, was drier than normal during July, pushing development of the crop toward
maturity more rapidly than usual, but reducing the yield potential.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


DRY EDIGLE BEANS Vv

CROP AND STATE + AREA HARVESTED t YIELO + PROOUCTION
’ 1 IND ¢ T Tt 7 T IND
+ 4977 + 4978 1 1979 + 1977 1 4978 1 1979 2 jer 4978 + 3979
¢ T000 ACRES FOUNOS T0005 GwT
LARGE LIMA BEANS ‘
CALIF ' 2.0 2960 26.0 LeTHO = oSOD bE nm ao
BABY LIMA BEANS '
CAL J 2260 2560 2760 260 499600 29037 eo 550
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS '
CALLE ' 11660 15660 1400 10610 19450 beS1e 20180
ALL ORY EDIBLE BEANS ‘
CALIF ' 169.0 22060 19760 Assle 30170
cOLo ' 15060 17060 175.0 900 19663
IDAHO ’ 13260 15340 129.0 19630 20387
KANS ‘ 4265 10.0 19200 126
MICH 1’ 48060 49000 19150 Be390
MINN ' 3000 dele 392
MONT 4 6.5 19500 iss
NEBR ’ 0 19650 201k?
NY + 0 19020
N DAK ' 14100 40260
UTAM 1 200 28
WASH ' 19800 oes
“Yo ' 19580 470
OTHER ei Seo oF
us F 1 ehFGee = 14 3Bbe 10279 189284
1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
27 ILL AND IND} ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROPS
DRY EOIBLE PEAS w
STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED 4 YIELD n PROOVETION
t t t ca 7 ee (ca T 715
1 1977 § 1978 1 1979 t 4977 s_ 1978 3 1979 1 2977 1 jee t 1979
' T0000 ACRES POUNDS: Te000 Cw
'
TOAHO ' 6720 8260 55.0 6401830 19680 563 1950) eile
WASH ' 10060 12060 6 460 19750 11500 460 20100 127s
us t 16760 20240 140.0 LZ 1e783 14 e92 16023 30601 24089
wv Excyuoes BOTH WRINKLED SEED PEAS ANDO AUSTRIAN WINTER
ASe
MINT OTL
STATE 1__ AREA HARVESTED FOR OIL t yreLo 4 PaooucTION
r ay T NOT T ¥ IND F T + IND
' 1977 4 1976 + 1979 $1977. § 1976 + 1979 ¢ A977 + 1979 ¢ 1979
+ T9000 ACRES Tes
PEPPERMINT
ADand + “8 6S 60 356 70
INO 7 a7 ed 42 216 wer
OREG $s 38 52 2805 3386
WASH 4 62 ‘7 60 794116
ce HOR OR 38
2 50728
SPEARMINT 2
WoaHo ft “7 56 35 272
IND ' 30 38 40 168
MICK 4 2 2 30 7e
WASH ot ar a 68 19708
Wis t 7 7 46 aor
us ot 63 70 SS 26229
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 8-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL HAY

STATE AREA HARVESTED x YIELD + PRODUCTION
' t t TNO 7 rt IND ¢ t t TNO
’ 1977 4 1978 1979 3 1977 § 1978 4 1979 + 1977 4 1978 4 1979
' Te000 ACRES TONS 19000 TONS
1
ALA : 630 650 630 1,60 1670 1.75 19008 isos
ARIZ : 250 244 248 5,84 5.66 6623 10661 19382
ARK 1 778 795 800 1,80 1.67300 1479 11406 19375
CALIF 19670 19610 19560 4463 4092 HF 76729 69985
cOLo 19350 19370 19380 2.06 2.20 2.29 ates 39013
CONN 1 83 87 86 1.94 20231077 161 194
OEL ' 23 22 22 2404 = 2B 236 “7 48
Fla t 226 235 225 2.00 2.00 2400 452 470
GA 1 470 475 465 1.60 2.50 752 950
TOAMO , 14366 19379 19368 3.26 3.20 49459 49708
TLL a 19230 19220 19150-3601 3608 39708 39671
IND 1 895 875 B50 2.66 2668 293846 29300
TOWA 1 29340 29300 29160 3617 3646 79423 80301
KANS 1 20290 20310 2633 2.50 $9296 42676
KY ' 19568 19612 1,97 2,08 39093 39162
La ‘ 375 375 1.91 2,06 78 724
MAINE ' ale 22) 1.59 1.53 340 465
MO ’ 243 2467 2.18 2.56 530 631
Mass ry 117 us 1.99 1493 233 262
MICH ' 14300 19340 2,20 2666 20855 35683
MINN 2 39240 39000 2,59 2.92 89136 89932
MISS ' 662 665 «1477 1.90 19172 19193
TMO ’ 39455 39620 1.65 1.77 S700 59980
MONT ' 20240 29380 1.7% 1.75 39907 49576
NEBR s 39900 39750 1.93 2.02 79530 79538
NEV ' 420 455 2.09 2.07 879 963
NH ‘ 389 90 2408 2.07 185 161
NJ 1 120 1200 2,55 2.78 306 320
N MEX 1 301 308 3.73 3.70 1924 19054
NY 1 25350 29400 1,97 2019 49639 59297
nc ’ 350 355 1,49 17h 52) 012
NODAK 4 39140 39520 1,03 1639. 3229 69453
OHIO 1 19550 19450 2.30 2052 39558 399346
OKLA t 19775 19750 1,98 2018 39520 30222
OREG ‘ 19030 19050-2437 2029 24437 29607
PA 1 19935 10960-2403 2024 39889 49323
RI 1 6 8 1.88 2.00 15 iv
sc 1 220 218 1,80 2.10 396 46
$ Oak § 49500 49500 1440 1648 69292 8625
TENN 1 1,225 19250 1.49 1,58 19820 19912
TEX ' 29250 24360 2,08 « 2.33 41676 49368
UTAH 1 584 594 «3415 3418 302} 19842 19886
vT ’ 443 438 1.63 2.00 1.91 72) 685
vA ' 932 970 1.16 01473 1.79 19083 14640
WASH 1 876 873° 2,78 29S Bo TH 29432 29582
wea 1 580 1663 1467 830 970
wis 1 44040 49000 2.91 2.98 129002 119635
Wyo ' 19145 19200 1.73 1.57 19639 29050
us 1 609658 619495 2.31 2.30 1319313 1429264 1409213

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


JULY WEATHER SUMMARY

duly rainfall in the United States was extensive. Some areas in the normally dry Southwest
and Plateau region received up to two inches. Two tropical systems, Bob and Claudette, dominated
the rain patterns in the East. Both storms, occurring a week apart, followed similar tracks from
southeast Texas to the Ohio Valley and the middle Atlantic States. Flooding occurred in Texas
and Indiana. Temperatures in the Pacific Northwest averaged above normal. During parts of the
month high readings were above 100° in the State of Washington. New Mexico and New England also
averaged well above normal for the month.

A cool high pressure system was poised over Hudson Bay in Canada as the month of July began.
During the first week, the cool air moved southward and encompassed all of the central and eastern
U.S. Precipitation fel] all along the front as it moved southward. Light amounts were recorded
in the very dry central Illinois area. The heaviest rains occurred in the eastern portion of the
southern Plains and in the central Gulf Coast States where severe weather was reported, including
heavy downpours and tornadoes. Other tornado areas were in the eastern Great Plains. Many
record low temperatures chilled the Midwest and Eastern Seaboard. Only the Rocky Mountains and
Florida showed warmer than normal temperatures.

The cool air moved eastward out of the U.S, during the early part of the second week of duly
(the 9th to the 15th). Light showers moved through the eastern part of the Midwest as the cooler
air departed. At midweek, Hurricane Bob moved onto the Louisiana Coast and proceeded to the Ohio
Valley and the middle Atlantic States. Heavy downpours fell along the track of the storm. Five
to eight inches were measured in Mississippi, Alabama and southern Indiana. Another area of
thunderstorms moved into the northern Plains tn the Tatter half of the week. Temperatures were
warmer than normal throughout the Southwest, the Plains and through the Great Lakes to New England.

Early in the third week of the month (the 16th to the 22nd) showers and thunderstorms occur-
red in the central and northern Plains and moisture from the Gulf of Mexico began to flow toward
southwestern U.S. Above normal amounts of rain fell in showers in the Southwest and the Plateau
region. Heavy showers also fell in central and west Texas, the Squtheast and throughout the area
east of the Appalachians. The Pacific Northwest averaged 9 to 10 warmer than normal with some
daytime temperatures exceeding 100° as far north as the State of Washington. The centra} Plains
cooled to an average 6 below normal.

In the beginning of the last period of the month (July 23-31) tropical storm Claudette
approached the southeast coast of Texas. The storm was downgraded to a low pressure system as it
moved slowly to northeast Texas. A circulation pattern was set up that moved large amounts of
moisture into the area from southeast Texas to the Midwest. Rain in excess of twelve inches
flooded portions of the Texas Coast. Five or more inches fell on already wet southern Indiana
and flooded large acreages there. By the 29th the remnants of the storm moved out of the U.S.
through the middle Atlantic States. The last two days of the momth produced thunderstorms from
the central Plains to the upper Mississippi Valley. Hot weather continued in the West and from
the mid-Atlantic Coast through New England.

CROP_DEVELOPMENT

Crop development lagged the usual progress expected by August 1 because of the late planting
season. Only a few areas of the Nation, notably parts of the Great Lakes States and the Pacific
Northwest, indicated any crop stress. Elsewhere, crops experienced no abnormal stress from high
temperatures or dry soils as corn moved through the tasseling stage, soybeans bloomed, cotton set
bolls, and grain sorghum headed. Heavy rains near the end of July damaged rice along the Gulf
Coast just as combining began and flooded some corn and soybean fields in the eastern Corn Belt.

After a late start, corn developed rapidly during July. Most of the crop in the Corn Belt
was tasseled by August 1 with a significant part of the acreage in the dough stage. Harvest grad-
ually spread throughout the Gulf Coast States in late July. Tasseling ranged from 55 to 92 per-
cent complete in the eastern north central States at the beginning of August; Indiana reported 25
percent and Illinois 35 percent of the corn in the dough stage. In the western north central
States, tasseling ranged from 85 to 97 percent; Kansas reported 25 percent of the corn in the

dough stage. Corn harvest ranged from 5 percent complete in Alabama to 8 percent in Texas and 1}
percent in Georgia.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


D RANGE FEED CONDITIONS
AUGUST 1,1979

J Good to excellent
Poor to fair

(ZZ) very poor
Severe drought
BBY Extreme crought

AS REPORTED BY
(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

usDA NEG. ESCS 128-79(8)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
< August 1, 1978

C2 Good to excellent
{ Poor to fair

©Q very poor

§BD severe drought
GH} Extreme drought

‘AS REPORTED BY
‘CROP CORRESPONDENTS.

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. ESCs 72-78(8)

CROP PROQUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, 1979; UNITED STATES, 1976-78

SPRING WHEAT

DURUM

STATE : CORN SOYBEANS : SORGHUM OTHER THAN WHEAT COTTON =: RICE
i DURUM 4
: T,000 ACRES
ALA : 570 2,300 58 335.0
ARIZ: 60 80 65 668.0
ARK : 50 5,200 200 670.0 1,200.0
CALIF: 430 180 47 1,680.1 535.0
colo: ~—s1, 100 470 7
CONN 53
DEL : 180 270
FLA : 426 460 31
6A : 1,670 2,150 85 120.0
HAW :
IDAHO 122 635
TLL 10,850 9,800 90
IND 6,150 4,500 26
IOWA 13,500 8,200 30
KANS 1,750 13580 4,550
KY 1,440 1,690 46
LA 57 3,250 30 470.0 535.0
MAINE 50
MD 690 390
MASS 43
MICH 2,750 980
MINN 6,900 5,300 2,550 80
MISS: 190 4,200 70 1,050.0 210.0
M0 : 2,450 6,000 800 170.0 35.0
WONT 85 2,650 275
NEBR =: 7,350 1,630 2,000
NEV : 15 1.2
NH : 28
NJ : 124 215
NMEX 0: 90 309 156.0
NY : 1,300 24
NC : 1,850 1,900 120 48.0
NDAK 590 210 6,400 3,330
QHIO =: 3,850 4,050
OKLA: 125 350 700 600.0
OREG Ss: 46 270
PA : 1,640 85 10
RI : 4
SC : 570 1,700 28 115.0
S DAK : 3,440 600 425 2,100 185
TENN 750 2,700 45 250.0
TEX > 1,400 900 5,000 7,734.0 530.0
UTAH. =: 92 35
VT : 116
VA : 810 500 22 0.3
WASH 125 800
WVA 98
WIS : 3,900 320 W
WYO 87 2
us 79,951 71,454 15,374 15,550 3,982 14,070.7 3,045.0
YEAR UNITED _STATE
T,000 ACRE
1978 79,719 64,044 16,483 14,254 4,110 13, 360.1 3,000.0
1977 83,568 58,760 16,993 15,641 3,183 13, 694.5 2}261.0
1976 84,374 50,226 18,402 17,786 4,748 11,655.5 2,489.0
AREA PLANTED, RICE, 1978 REVISED

T, 000 ACRES
ARK 1,100.0 “oO 30.0
CALIF 500.0 TEX 560.0
LA 590.0
MISS 220.0 us 3,000.0

B-1

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record 7.11 billion bushels (181
million metric tons), 7 percent above the July 1 forecast and slightly above the
previous record set last year

Prospects as of August 1 indicate an average yield per acre of 102.1 bushels, an increase of
6.3 bushels from July 1 and 0.9 bushel above the previous record set in 1978,

Acreage for grain is estimated at 69.6 million acres (28.2 million hectares), up 100 thousand
acres from the July 1 estimate but 344 thousand acres less than in 1978. Area for harvest was re-
duced by 100 thousand acres in Indiana because of heavy rains and flooding but this was offset by
an upward revision in acres for harvest as grain in Missouri and Texas.

All major States posted an increase in prospective yield from July 1. Missouri showed the
largest increase, up 13 bushels, followed by Nebraska, up 10 bushels, Iowa and Ohio each up 8
bushels, Minnesota up 6 bushels, Indiana up 5 bushels and Illinois up 2 bushels. Most Southern
States also showed higher yields than a month earlier.

Corn developed rapidly during July throughout the major producing areas. Soil moisture sup-
plies have been generally adequate throughout the month and no extremely high temperatures have
been reported. By the end of the month maturity of the crop was slightly ahead of last year in
the eastern belt and slightly later than a year earlier in the western Corn Belt. In the eastern
north central States, tasseling ranged from about one-half to nine-tenths complete. Approximately
one-fourth of the Indiana crop and one-third of the Illinois crop was in the dough stage.

In the western north central States, over 80 percent of the crop was tasseling by August 7.
Over 90 percent of the Iowa crop was tasseling and about one-fourth of the Kansas crop had reached
the dough stage. In the South, corn harvest was in progress from Texas to Georgia.

SORGHUM: "Production of grain sorghum is forecast at 779 million bushels (19.8 million metric tons),
up 4 percent from last year but 2 percent less than the 1977 crop.

Sorghum acreage planted for all purposes is estimated at 15.4 million acres (6.22 million
hectares), 7 percent below last year and 10 percent less than the acreage planted in 1977. Acreage
to be harvested for grain is estimated at 13.0 million acres (5.24 million hectares), 5 percent
below last year and 8 percent lower than the 1977 crop

Yield per acre harvested for grain is forecast at 60.1 bushels compared with last year's yield
of 55,1 bushels and the record high of 60.7 bushels set in 1972,

With moisture supplies generally adequate, Kansas and Texas producers are expecting an excellent
sorghum grain crop in 1979. Based on August 1 conditions, Kansas and Texas yield prospects are 10
and 7 bushels above last year, respectively. Prospects in Nebraska are 5 bushels below last year's
record yield of 75.0 bushels.

Texas grain sorghum harvest was 30 percent complete on July 29 compared with 53 percent last
year and the 5 year average of 38 percent. In Kansas and Nebraska, about 15 percent of the crop
was headed by July 29.

OATS: The 1979 oat production is forecast at 531 million bushels (7.71 million metric

tons), 12 percent below last year and 29 percent below 1977, A decrease in acreage intended
for grain more than offsets higher expected yield and results in the lower production forecast.
Yield is expected to average 52.9 bushels per acre compared with 52.2 bushels per acre a year ago.
Acreage intended for harvest as grain at 10.0 million acres (4.06 million hectares) is down 13 per-
cent from the 1978 harvested acreage.

Development of this year's crop was later than normal due to a cool, wet spring and late
plantings. Crop conditions have been good in nearly al] areas except North Dakota and the North-
west where dry conditions persist and have hindered development. Harvest was generally progressing
later than normal and also lagging last year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD 4 PRODUCTION
r + t TRO 7 1 Ind 7 7 TD
t 1977 t 1978 + 1979 + 1977 t 1978 t 1979 § 1977 ¢ 1978 + 1979
t T.000 ACRES BUSHELS 1+000 GUSHELS
‘
ALA Ist 90 65 95 2840 2600 2700 29520 19690 29565
ARIZ 7 $s 47 $8 7220 7040 75.0 35960 39290 49350
ARK s 660 300 430-3900 ©3700) 3440 255740 = 119100 149620
CALIF ot 650 600 780 6440 6240 7240 = 410800 379200 564160
coLo ' 25550 21400 29550 2200 2366 27.0 $6106 $59200 686850
DEL ist 35 26 30 300 37.0 10080 1,008 dello
FLA ast 3 12 29.0 377 432
Ga wi 100 120 160 3300 3500 34300 39840 5600
TOAHO 1 830 615 870 3940 4320 320370 469010 3794610
TUL 1 146570 930 15300 4340 42.0 67,920 359360 = $4600
IND ' 19240 B15 945 4500 4760 55,800 319785 GGG
1OwA 1st 109 55 4 3760 3560 4033 19705 20520
KANS , 129100 2109200 109600 2665 36.0 = 3449850 3069000 402600
KY ' 27% 195 290 3700 39.0 105138 65825 116310
La wi 25 17 25 36.0 28.0 aso 612 700
“DO iss 120 108 114 3609 3740 49320 39996 4218
MICH ' 825 450 770-4000 41.0 339000 18000 = 319570
MINN 1/1 105 5e 54 3340 31.0 31665 19682 19674
MISS l/t 105 65 115 Bee 32.0 39570 29015 39680
“0 t 19760 840 11600 3960 45.0 680640 = 289560 = 72000
MONT t 29800 24700 29350 290 27.0 839200 = 83970063 9450
NEGR t 29950 29550 29600 35.0 3358 103,256 811600 85,800
NEV se 16 eB) 13 6000 70.0 960 1s 910
NJ we 42 33 3° Bled 41.0 19302 19188 19599
N MEX 1/8 421 298 367 2120 29.0 8984) 59662 109663
NY wi 175 1s 162 3900 4000 69825 20625 69480
NC ast 200 180 205 3000 3540 69000 51960 WelTS
N DAK 1/8 104 135 105 2360 2400 29992 30915 2,520
OHIO ' 19540 19l2S 15320 4700 46.0 729380 439875 609720
OKLA a 69500 59400 Be700 = 2700 38.0 178,500 «3459800 = 2160600
OREG 1 19160 1100 970 3900 45.0 450240 474300 43,650
PA ' 270 245 262 3360 31.0 89910 89085 Bel2z
sc wv 9S 78 100 2940 3360 20755 abt
S DAK 1 680 700 600 ©2540 19.0 17,000 = 184200
TENN ' 260 220 295 3660 34.0 100080 T+700
TEX ‘ 49700 29700 41600 2540 3060 1179500 542000
UTAn ist 180 167 167-2360 28.0 41480 41843
va lee 205 iss 185 310d 3640 6035S 5425
WASH ' 24800 24600 2270 © 3400 41e0 954200 © 1220200
wa lst 1o 9 10 31ed 3400 310 297
WIS 1/8 60 33 386 4300 38.0 29580 19188 Leen
wro 1st 260 275 280 = 2000 22.0 59200 79150 6160
us t 481664 385909 439496 31e6 3669 LeS3TsLL3 202480272 126025901

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEU FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION

Released: — August 10, 1979 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.13 billion, bushels (58.1 million metric tons),
19 percent more than last year and the second largest crop of record.
Winter wheat prospects improved 3 percent from July 1 while Other Spring
and Durum wheat declined 2 percent and 3 percent, respectively. The 90
percent confidence interval for this production is 2.07 to 2.20 billion
bushels.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye and rice) is expected to total 64.9 million metric
tons in 1979. This is 16 percent more than last year.

CORN production is forecast at a record 7.11 billion bushels (181 million metric
tons), 7 percent above the July 1 forecast and slightly above the pre-
vious record set last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
production is 6.35 to 7.87 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 779 million bushels (19.8 million metric
ons), up 4 percent from last year, but 2 percent less than the 1977 crop.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is expected to total
216 million metric tons, down 1 percent from the record 1978 production of
217 million metric tons.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at a record high 2.13 billion bushels (57.9 million
metric tons), 16 percent larger than the 1978 crop. The 90 percent confi-
dence interval for this production is 1.96 to 2.30 billion bushels.

_HAY production is forecast at 140 million tons (127 million metric tons), a 1 percent
decline from the 1978 crop. Pasture and range feed condition on August 1
averaged 84 percent, 7 points above a year ago and 8 points above the
1968-77 average for this date.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 13.7 million bales, 26 percent above 1978. The
90 percent confidence interval for this production is 11.8 to 15.6 million
bales.

PLANTED ACREAGE estimates for specified 1979 crops are shown on page B-1. Re-
visions have been made for some States and crops from estimates published
dune 28, 1979 in the ACREAGE report. Revisions are based on data from speciat
surveys, objective yield surveys and ASCS data. A special follow-up survey to
the June Acreage survey was made in Arkansas and Tennessee to measure any
change in intentions for late plantings. A table on B-9 shows revisions in
1978 rice acreage and production. A special July 1, 1979 rice stocks survev
enabled the Board to re-evaluate the 1978 production. Revisions in 1978 fall

potato acrea jeld and production will be published on August 24, 1979
in POTATOES AND SWEETPOTATOES.

CrPr 2-2 (8-79) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


The crop was generally rated in good to excellent condition as of August 1. In the eastern
Corn Belt, bloom advanced to 85 percent, slightly ahead of recent years. Pod set by States
ranged from 15 to 55 percent, close to recent years' development. In the western Corn Belt
States, bloom ranged from 60 to 91 percent, and pod set ranged from 26 to 61 percent, slightly be-
hind last year's average. In the South Central States, bloom ranged from an unusually low 26 per~
cent in Arkansas to a near-normal 64 percent in Mississippi. Pod set varied by States from 13 to
35 percent. Both bloom and pod set tended to lag recent years in the Delta.

FLAXSEED: Flaxseed production this year is forecast at 11.8 million bushels (301 thousand metric

tons), up 8 percent from 1978 but 22 percent below 1977. Acreage for harvest at 1.01
million acres (408 thousand hectares} jis up 17 percent from last year but 23 percent below 1977.
The yield per harvested acre forecast of 11.7 bushels is down 1.0 bushel from 1978 but 0.2 bushel
above the 1977 yield.

North Dakota, with nearly 50 percent of the total acres for harvest, expects a yield of 10.5
bushels per acre, down 1.5 bushels from 1978. Based on August 1 conditions, South Dakota growers
expect to harvest 13.0 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from 1978. The Minnesota yield is forecast
at 13.0 bushels, down 2.5 bushels from last year. Harvest of the Texas crop was complete by
August 1.

PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at a record 4.06 billion pounds (1.84 million metric tons),

up 2 percent from the 3.99 billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) produced in 1978.
Yield per acre is forecast at 2659 pounds, up 20 pounds from a year earlier. Estimated acreage
for harvest in 1979 totals 1.53 million acres (617 thousand hectares), an increase of 1 percent
from 1978.

The Virginia-North Carolina area expects to produce 725 million pounds, down 8 percent from
1978. Indicated yield of 2696 pounds per acre is down 234 pounds from a year ago. The Virginia-
North Carolina crop is in fairly good condition. Blooming is at peak but excessive rainfall has
resulted in poor root systems.

In the Southeast, production is forecast at 2.57 billion pounds, up 2 percent from a year
earlier. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 818 thousand acres, about the same as in 1978.
Expected yield of 3147 pounds per acre is up 48 pounds from last year. Peanut condition is good
in Alabama. A good to excellent crop is expected in Georgia and Florida. Rainfall has been ample
and virtually all the crop has reached the pegging stage. Spraying operations have been active
for the control of both diseases and insects. Daily showers in South Carolina during late July
resulted in some disease buildup.

The Southwest crop is forecast at 757 million pounds, up 13 percent from 1978. Estimated
acreage for harvest totals 439 thousand acres, an increase of 3 percent from 1978. Yield is ex~
pected to average 1727 pounds per acre, up 158 pounds from the previous year. Recent rains have
benefited late planted fields in Texas. Harvest has begun in some South Texas fields.

COTTON: A11 cotton Production is forecast at 13.7 million bales, 26 percent above 1978. The

; Upland cotton crop is expected to total 13.6 million bales, up 26 percent. American-
Pama PreauctFon asf onecast at 104 thousand bales, 11 percent above last year. Cottonseed
production for » based on a three year average lint seed ratio, is fo i
tons (4.86 million metric tons), 25 percent above 1978. recast af $.38 million

Cotton acreage planted in 1979 is estimated at 14.1 million acres (5.69 million h t
up 1 percent from the June Acreage Report. ( on hectares),

Growers expect to harvest 13.3 million acres (5.36 million hectares) of cotton in 1979

compared with 12.4 million acres (5.01 million hectares) last year, an incre
(S. > ase of 7 percent.
Average yield per harvested acre is forecast at 497 Pounds, 76 pounds above Jast year's yield.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


OTHER SPRING WHEAT: The forecast production of spring wheat other than durum in 1979 is 423

mitlion bushels (11.5 million metric tons), 1 percent more than last year
but 2 percent less than last month's forecast. An increase in harvested acres from last year
accounts for the larger production. Growers expect to harvest 14.9 million acres (6.02 million
hectares) or 7 percent more than last year. Yield prospects of 28.4 bushels per acre compare
with 30.0 bushels in 1978.

North Dakota spring wheat development is behind normal. Cooler temperatures and showers
near the end of July relieved the hot, dry conditions in many areas. Overall, the crop is good
except for western areas which need more precipitation. Montana wheat is turning color with
development a little behind normal. A very hot, dry summer is taking its toll of the crop in
Montana. Harvest has started in the lower dryland areas of Washington, but irrigated fields in
the Columbia basin area are still green.

RICE: Rice production for 1979 is forecast at a record high 137 million hundredweight (6.20 mil~

lion metric tons). This is 2 percent above last year’s revised production of 134 million
hundredweight (6.07 million metric tons). The combination of increases in both harvested acreage
and yield result in this year's potential record crop.

Nationally, 3.02 million acres (1.22 million hectares) are. expected to be harvested compared
with 1978's revised acreage of 2.98 million acres (1.21 million hectares). Increases in Arkansas,
California and Missouri are partially offset by decreases in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi.

This year's yield forecast of 4532 pounds is 39 pounds above last year's average. Harvest |
is underway in Texas and Louisiana but lagging behind last year. Heavy rains in the Mississipp
Delta and Texas Gulf Coast halted combining and damaged some of the Texas crop.

RYE: Production of rye in 1979 is forecast at 23.7 million bushels (603 thousand metric tons), 9

percent less than last year but 37 percent more than two years ago and up slightly from the
duly 1, 1979 forecast. Both reduced acreage and poorer yield contributed to the decline from last
year.

Growers have harvested or expect to harvest 936 thousand acres (379 thousand hectares) for
grain, 6 percent less than a year ago. This is 30 percent of the planted acres which compared
with 33 percent harvested for grain last year. A yield of 25.4 bushels per acre is forecast, down
0.9 bushel from last year. Yield prospects are lower than last year in North and South Dakota and
Georgia, but greater than a year ago in Minnesota, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. The Minnesota crop
is late maturing and harvesting had just begun in late July. North Dakota growers have started
swathing but are much later than normal. Nebraska reports favorable moisture supplies;
however, harvest is later than normal.

SOYBEANS: Soybean production as of August 1 is forecast at a record high 2.13 billion bushels

(57.9 million metric tons). This is 16 percent above last year's production and 2)
percent more than the 1977 crop. Yield is forecast at 30.3 bushels per acre, up 1.7 bushels from
1978 but 0.3 bushel below the record high yield of two years ago.

Planted acreage at 71.5 million acres (28.9 million hectares) and acreage for harvest at
70.3 million acres (28.5 million hectares) are both record highs, up 12 percent from last year
and 22 percent above 1977. Expected yields in the East North Central States are up 2.0 bushels
from a year ago in Ohio, Indiana, Illinois and Michigan but down 1.0 bushel in Wisconsin. In the
West North Central States, yield changes from a year ago range from a drop of 3.0 bushels in
Minnesota to a 10.0 bushel increase in Kansas. Prospects in Iowa indicate a 1.0 bushel decline
from last year's record high yield.

_In all South Central States, yields are expected to be equal to or above last year and pro-
duction forecasts are above a year ago.

All of the Atlantic Coast States, except New Jersey and Pennsylvania, indicate yields at the
same or higher level than last year. Production increases are forecast in all the Atlantic States
except New Jersey.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL OTHER HAY
STATE AREA MARVESTED ’ YIELO 3 PRODUCTION
f T t IND ¢ 7 TND ¢ ' ’ IND
4 1977 4 1976.4 1979 1 1977 + 1978 § 1979 8 1977 + 1978 3 1979
1 1+600 ACRES TONS . 19000 TONS
‘
ALA cy 630 650 630 1.60 1.70 1.75 19008 19205 19103
ARIZ ' 40 38 40 2440-2020 20.30 96 84 92
ARK ' Tlo 725 730 1.70 1665 1.70 10207 10196 2924)
CALIF 1 530 520 510 2,00 1,95 1.90 1060 15014
COLO ry 640 660 680 1.30 1.40 1645 832 896
CONN 1 63 66 66 2.10 1.60 3 139
DEL ' 16 15 le 1.70 1.85 26 26
FLA ' 226 23s 225 2.00 200 452 470
GA ' 470 47S 4O5 1.60 2.00 2.50 782 950
IDAHO 5 296 299 300 2420 1.95 607 658
TL ' 460 460 410 1.95 1.95 897 897
IND a 475 455 4460 2020 2.10 998 956
Towa ' 590 580 550 2045 2.40 19298 Lesel
KANS ‘ 19280 16240 14280 1640 1670 2ehle 10736
Ky ’ 19360 19410 19410 1.80 1.90 21448 29538
La ' 362 367 362 2.00 = 2405 688 694
MAINE iy 192 200 200 2.05 1.45 288 410
MO ' 175 180 178 2.20 © 220 333 396
MaSS ' 92 90 69 2.15 1.60 i75, 196
MICH ' 300 290 300 1,90 1.85 40S SS
MINN: ' 940 920 900 1.80 1.80 19326 19656
MISS ' 650 645 645 1685 1490 19138 16193
MO ' 20880 27900 2900 1.55 1,60 49176 4495
MONT ' 19070 49170 19120 1440 1.30 1939) 19638
NEBR 1 29200 29150 29100 1.05 1.00 24090 29258
NEV 1 240 260 275 1.25 1620 276 325
NH ’ 70 ac 7 1.85 1.90 133 133
NJ ' 6s 64 66 2.00 2010 124 128
NMEX ot 70 70 72 1.20 1460 84 84
NY ' 19360 19450 19400 1.85 1490 20312 29683
nc 1 334 343 338 1.65 1.65 484 S66
N OAK of 15540 19530 19500 1.50 1.05 19309 29295
OHIO t 950 930 890 2.20 2.10 19758 25046
OKLA 1 39375 19230 19230 1.50 1.70 29200 19845
OREG 1 61s 630 645 1.60 984 1,071
PA ’ 19090 19095 19hl0 1685 19746 19971
RI 1 Ss 5 5 1.70 8 9
sc ' 220 222 ale 2610 396 444
S$ Oak 6 29060 2e100 2e100 1.00 20266 20625
TENN 1 ao125 19145 19t4s 1.50 19575 14660
TEX ’ 29070 29150 29150 2010 39830 39548
UTAH ’ lg 126 124 1.75 214 a7
vt n 345 350 343 1.80 535 648
vA ' 650 870 eas 1.65 935 10392
WASH 1 373 373 380 1.75 e7) 671
wva 1 500 505 510 1.58 650 758
wis ‘ 940 900 940 2.25 19927 29025 20115
WYO , 620 670 660 1,10 589 806 726
us ' 339583 33+788 339601 1.66 500910 $S+519 550736

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR Hay

STATE AREA HARVESTED t YIELD ' PRODUCTION

i ? 7 TKD # 7 + INO ft t 7 IND

t 1977 1978 + 1979 t_ 1977 1 1978 t_1979 $ 1977 + 1978 + 1979

? Ts000 ACRES TONS 19000 TONS

:
ARIZ 1 210 206 205 6650 6.30 7.00 10365 19298 19435
ARK ’ 68 70 70 2.90 2.55 2.75 197 179 193
CALIF ot 19140 19090 19050 50855445 5490 69669 5e941 69195
coLo ' 710 730 700 2e7S 2490 3410 19953 29170
CONN ' 20 al 20 2640 2.60 2630 4e 46
OEL : 7 7 6 3400 3.20 3.20 2. 26
TOAHO ' 19080 15068 3460 3.75 3.55 39652 39791
TLL ' 760 740-3665 3465 0 2981) 2664
INO 1 420 410 3-30 3.20 10386 19353
Towa t 19720 19610 3.50 4.00 69125 6s11ée
KANS 1, 19050 19030 3.15 2.80 30162 39605
KY t 208 202 3610 3400 645 667
La ‘ 13 13 2005 2.30 e7 29
MAINE = ar al 2435 2.60 52 48
“0 ‘ 69 69 2490 34040 197 235
MASS 1 26 26 2430 2660 $8 62
MICH 1 19080 19040245 2-290 29450 30016
MINN 1 29140 27100 3.10 3440 69820 ToGo
MISS 1/8 12 2.85 34
MO 1 575 850 520 2665 2470 19526 14430
MONT ’ 1el70 19250 19260 2615 2.35 29516 20709
NEBR 1 19700 19650 19650 3.20 3.20 59440 56445
NEV 1 160 185 180 3.35 3645, 603 612
NK 1 19 19 19 2.75 2.55 52 5.
NJ 1 $5 ss Sa 3.30 3430 162 194
N MEX 4 231 231 236 4.50 420 19040 19038
NY 1 990 10025 19000 2635 2.55 20327 20600
NC ‘ 16 17 A? 2430 2670 7 48
N DAK ’ 15600 19980 22020 1.20 2010 16920 39333
OHIO 1 600 590 560 3400 = 3420 19800 19792
OKLA : 400 Slo 520 3430 2670 19320 1s716
OREG 1 415 41s 405 3650 3670 19453 19377
Pa t e2s 840 85024602480 2145 29338
Rt ' 3 3 3 2430 02650 7
S$ DAK t 29440 20500 29400 1,65 2640 41026 41560
TENN ' 100 105 105 2645 2640 245 2s7
TEX 1 180 205 210 = 47000 846 987
UTAH fy 465 470 470 3450 3.55 16628 19692
VT ’ 98 93 9S 1690 2.55 186 219
va 4 82 80 85 1680 3410 148 272
WASH 1 503 503 493° 3,50 = 3.80 1e70k 19726
WeVA ' 60 90 85 2625 2.35 180 200
wis ' 39100 39100 39100 3625 310 10,075 99920
wyo ' 525 530 540 2.00 2.35 50 1slel
us . 270075, 279707 279259 2697 3.13 801403 B49G7T

1/ BEGINNING 1978 INCLUDEO IN "ALL OTHER",

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



Soybeans rated good to excellent although rains damaged some stands in the central States at
the end of July and early August. In the eastern Corn Belt, bloom advanced to 85 percent by the
beginning of August, slightly ahead of recent years. Pod set ranged from 15 to 55 percent, close
to recent years' development. In the western Corn Belt, bloom ranged from 60 to 91 percent, and
pod set ranged from 26 to 61 percent, slightly later than last year. In the south central
States, bloom ranged from an unusually low 26 percent in Arkansas to a near-normal 64 percent in
Hississ ips pod set spanned 13 to 35 percent. Both bloom and pod set tended to lag recent years
in the Delta.

Rainy weather promoted the growth of insect populations and increased the incidence of di-
sease in cotton across the South. Boll set was well advanced in the Southeast, ranging from 59
to 97 percent in the Delta, 55 percent in Texas, and 62 percent in California. Texas cotton har-
vest reached 3 percent complete and centered in the lower Rio Grande Valley.

Grain sorghum heading ranged from 71 percent in Texas to 30 percent in South Dakota; develop-
ment lagged the usual pace but surpassed last year. Grain sorghum harvest was active only in
Texas. The Texas harvest was 36 percent complete by August 5, lagging last year’s 57 percent and
the 43 percent average because of frequent rains.

Winter wheat combining advanced to 87 percent complete by August 5. Acreage yet to be har-
vested extended from the Dakotas to the Pacific Northwest. Spring wheat combining was just get-
ting started at the end of July, slightly behind last year and well behind average. Qats combin-
ing reached 28 percent and barley harvest 9 percent in early August, a third to a half of last
year and average. Rains lodged some small grains in the western north central States at the end
of July.

FEED GRAIN PRODUCTION DROPS

Production of the four feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats, barley) is expected to total 216
million metric tons, down 7 percent from the record 1978 production of 217 million metric tons.
Prospects for corn, barley, and oats improved during July. The first forecast of sorghum for
grain production is @ percent above tast year.

FOOD GRAIN PRODUCTION UP SHARPLY

Food grain production (wheat, rye and rice) in 1979 is forecast at 64.9 million metric tons,
16 percent more than last year. Winter wheat production at 43.6 million metric tons is up 28 per-
cent while durum wheat is down 19 percent to 2.93 million metric tons. Spring wheat other than
durum is forecast at 11.5 million metric tons, | percent above a year ago. Rye production at 603
thousand metric tons is down 9 percent, while rice production of 6.20 million metric tons is up
2 percent from a year ago.

U.S. FEED GRAINS PRODUCTION

IL, METRIC TORS
ae

C7 7" n 7 B m B B n n Es] @

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


oats:

STATE t AREA HARVESTED t YIELD t PRODUCTION
i t 7 NOT ¥ IND + 7 t ND
1 1977 3 1978 3 1979.3 1977.1 2978 2 1979 3 1977 2 1978 2 1979
fy 1¥000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
1
ALA 1st 2s 30 25 le 40003980 19025 19200 975
ARK ' 50 55 5 7000 7340 6000 39500 49015 25700
CALIF 4 104 106 B85 — S1e0 = 4800) 5000 59304 59068 49250
COLO 1st 31 40 36 46.040 4 19426 19760 19586
FLA aft 12 4500 540
Ga we ss 65 se 5020 5360 54.0 20750 39445, 30186
TOaHO 174 os 49 44 S70 6 5600 29565 39136 20464
Tt 1 340 275. - 2s 6340 56. 5860 209740 159400 129670
No ' 150 165 165 5340 S400 5940 74950 81910 8655S
Towa ' 19350 19150 19050 6100 $8.0 6000 829350 669700 630000
KANS a 210 120 lle 4500 3960 4800 97450 4680 59376
KY lst 9 7 7 35.0 42.0 41.0 ns 294 287
La ars 7 54.0 378
MAINE i¢t 30 36 35 50.0 6620 S300 19500 20376 19855
Mo Olek 22 23 22 5420 Se 5640 19388 M9262 19232
MICH 1 340 360 290 5500 Ss S600 184700 209520 169260
MINN t 20380 19830 19450 68.0 She 5900 1617640 989820 859550
MISS 2/3 13 45.0 ses
40 + 145 35 44 5040 3840 4540 79250 19330 19980
MONT , 140 206 200 40.0 51-0 37.0 59600 109608 79400
NEBR ' 700 450 400 5820-4720 5200 = 40600 219150 = 209800
NEV 2/8 ry 5500 220
NJ let 9 8 8 43.0 4800 48.0 387 364 386
NY ? 290 300 280 53-0 59-0 6200 159370 178700
NC a 75 95 90 42.0 $5460 S540 39150 Se22s
NDAK 3 19500 19220 930 4000 = SHe0 4300 © 600000 = 65 B80
OHIO ' 420 400 350 5900 6100 6760 249760 249400
OKLA 1 130 95 9S 440 300 B00 S980 39420
ORES ' 80 70 65 6540 6000 56.0 Se200 49200
Pa 1 350 340 335 53.0 53.0 55.0 186550 185020
sc vt ss 7s 63 46.0 5200 5200 29530 39900
$OaK ot 29450 20210 2000 = 5440 = 4GeS 740 1329300 © 1028765
TENN 1/9 2s 2s 20 43.0 4500 46.0 1,075 19125
TEX Hy 600 430 400 40.03, 42.0 244000 = 8.39760
uTaH ist io 12 12 $500 4860 $6.0 sso S76
VA ost 34 36 35 44.0 4500 4800 15696 19620
waSH 1/3 35 30 28 43.0 6200 5300 16505 1,860
wa ist 12 le 12 41.0 4200 46.0 aoe 504
wis 1 19170 istz0 39000 6540 5600 = S740 = 760050 = 6 2 720
wyo wv 4s “9 So 38,0 5600 4600 1e7l0 20744 24200
us iy 139452 119531 4109037 55668 S202 52.9 750990} 6019477 530,967

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 17

STATE AVERAGE 1978 1979 STATE AVERAGE 1978 1979
1968-77 1968-77
PERCENT PERCENT

ALA 77 1 89 79 86 83
ARIZ 7s 7 7 82 76 7%
ARK 13 6s 89 76 80 a6
CALIF 70 92 86 73 73 86
cOLo 1% 69 66 83 68 68
CONN 78 9 sB 81 62 90
OEL % 84 ty 75 99 7s
FLA 84 84 85 85 84 92

ry 7 6T 88 mT! 66 68
10AHO 84 68 6s 80 % 7S
Th 78 83 1% 83 85 87
IND 8s 86 88 80 65 1
10wa 7s 93 88 5 64 90
KANS 75 n 90 7 95 83
KY 86 83 bad % 7” 9S
LA 78 7 86 69 38 83
MAINE 846 67 79 77 n ay
“oO 7 7 as 78 v2 1
mass 75 15 Te 80 a 93
MICH 80 80 79 80 90 65
MINN 7 co 92 83 £25 93
MISS 719 78 1 76 92 8s
0 68 82 82 83 92 Ss
MONT 80 100 67
NEBR 75 82 89 76 7? 84

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENTs 80 AND OVERS POOR TO FAIR+ 65-79% VERY POOR, S0"643 SEVERE

OROUGHT+ 35-494 EXTREME DROUGHT» UNDER 35.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

STATE 1 PRODUCTION 44
t TOTAL + TOTAL IND
1 1977 t 1978 ' 1979
H TONS
TOAHO 3 7000 79500 69500
MICH 1 149000 249000 192000
OREG + 289000 179000 269000
WASH fy 124000 219300 17,000
us 1 614000 694800 684500

17 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION ANU EACESS CULLAGE

(TONS) 4 TOTAL & STATESs 1977390001 1978-6006

PAPAYAS - HAWALL

5 AREA UTILIZED PRODUCTION
MONTH = ‘TOTAL_IN CROP z HARVESTED 7978 :~SC«979~~«::« FORECAST
1978 97 i i 1979
ACRES ¥,600 POUNDS

JUN 3,165 3,285 2,155 2,370 6,896 3,700
JUL : 35160 3,300 2,180 2,410 6,664 2,940
AUS : 3,160 23185 6,279 2,800
SEP : 3,190 25145 6, 083 2,800
ocr : 3,250 2,205 6,825 3,000
nov : 3,205 23135 5,312 3,300
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION JAN-JUL 35,453 19,780
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 8-21

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA


HOPS

STATE ot AREA HARVESTED ' YIELD 1 PRODUCTION 17
' 7 t TNO t t Ind t t 1 TNO
1 1977 4 197@ 11979 11977 +1978 §_1979 5 1977.1__1978 1 1979
7 Te000 ACRES POUNDS 7 19000 POUNDS
‘

CALIF ot 165 165 142 19630-14360 20445 24040

TDAHO 8 209 207 10770 19790 50133 49833

OREG ot 505 Sea 15690 14510 94295 89156

wash ot 20.6 21.3 2203 19860 19880 371906 = 400064

us ‘ 3045 3069 31.9 19796 19782 19761 SHe777 559071

17 1979 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS [SSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,

APPLESs COMMERCIAL Vv
‘ PRODUCTION t PRODUCTION

CROP ’ POUNI t cy EQUIVALENT

ANO 1 TOTAL _2/ tINDICATEO? TOTAL S INDICATED

STATE 1 1977 _—t 1978 4 1979 ¢ 19774 1978 8 4979

7 MILLION UNITS 19000 UNITS
ALL COMMERCIAL APPLES 1

ARK vi 24.0 13.0 20.0 571 310 476
CALIF iy 480.0 500.0 525.0 119429 219905 129500
COLO ' 7540 4540 10 19786 19072 29381
CONN 4 46.0 50.0 14095 19190 29163
OEL vi 13.5 1465 321 345 310
Ga wee 22.0 22.0 526 S26 786
10aHo 1 65.0 130.0 25026 39095 25738
TLL ' 10860 89.0 29571 20119 29476
INO 1 S200 6400 19238 19524 19905
Towa we 10.7 8.9 255 212 262
KANS vi 16.0 10.0 381 238 357
KY vet 2200 15.0 S2e 357 S00
MAINE. 1 92.0 7540 20190 19786 1857
Mo 1 7000 B5eu 19667 26024 14976
Mass ‘ 9500 105.0 20262 29500 25361
MICH a 570.0 92000 139571 219905 179143
MINN ae 1969 284.0 47% 667 452
“oO ' SB.0 40.0 15381 952 16452
NK cy 58.0 60.0 1536) 19429 19333
NJ 1 330.0 9000 3095 201463 20857
N MEX we 25.0 1760 595 405 405
NY ' 90040 1908040 210429 259714 234810
NC ' 27000 324.0 66429 T7714 60333
OHTO t 6540 140.0 19568 30333 29857
OREG ' 167.0 14240 39500 39381 39333
PA ' 460.0 40040 109952 99526 129026
RI ' 565 640 432 143 131
sc we 250 2200 595 524 690
TENN Mer 1000 860 238 190 238
UTA we 4700 35.0 10119 a33 19286
vt ! 4700 4920 isle 19167 1ehl?
va ' 29060 485.0 69905 119548 119429
waSH $ 2008360 © 2917040 694595 519667 S49 762
weya ' 19560 325.0 41663 T9738 69190
WIS 1 56.0 66.0 14333 19571 19333
us 3 6967266 7963304 7969565 158,871 1819748 1839225

17 IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OW MORE BEARING AGE TREES,
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTEO PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNUS) 4 UNITED STATES 1977=29.601978°5202
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979

STATE 4 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD t PRODUCTION
i t Lm Oe en SD CO a rs C1.
‘ 1977 ¢ 1978 6 1979 t 1977 t 1978 t 1979 ¢ 1977 t 1976 t 1979
7 T¥000 ACRES BUSHELS T9000 BUSHELS
‘
ALA ' 14600 14950 20250 2140 2200 2 339600 424900 549000
ARK 2 4600 40700 $0150 2360 Bue = Se © 1054400 © :1124800 1234600
OL : 225 245 265 2440 28402940 Se400 60860 7968S
FLA ' 327 400 4So 25,0 24.0 2600 80175 99600 11-700
GA 1 14090 19660 20050 =. 2040 1765 2540 210800294400 519250
Tut ' Br85u 99190 90750 38.0 3360 3560 3364300 3039270 = 3419250
IND ' 39900 49130 49400 3740 3 3660 1449300 = 1409420 = 1586400
Towa : 74080 79850 8150 3545 Be 3760 2514340 2864900 = 3014550
KANS ' 990 16450 19540 28.5 18.0 2840 28215 269100 = 439120
ky : 14320 19410 19650-3160 30.0 3240 409920 = 429300 © 520800
tA ' 29680 24840 39200 23.5 27.0 «= 629980 71s000 86400
TMD ry 325 345 385 27.0 32.0 8775 119040 129320
MICH ¢ 720 860 30.0 26.0 21600 199200 © 250220
MINN iy 30770 49060 35.5 3260 133,835 1424100 168,320
MISS 1 34650 39800 2165 2260 = 789475 = 824700904750
MO iy 40650 S140 32.0 3000 1485600 1559040 1779900
NEBR ’ 10130 16250 3640 3400 404680 = 422500 54 400
NJ ' 177 206 24.0 2960 49248 69180 Geld
NY ' 19 22 23.0 25.9 437 506 575
NC , 19320 19550 22.0 2460 294040 37200 440400
N DAK iy 175 173 20.0 2540 39500 49758 Sel25
OHIO 1 39380 39750 35.5 3560 1199990 1230750 1406700
OKLA t 340 315 23.0 23.0 79820 59355 79890
PA 1 67 62 31.0 3160 20077 19953 29480
sc : 14300 19470 20.5 22.0 264650 329340 364520
SOAK 4 315 390 3065 2960 99608 = 119895 17eL10
TENN 1 29220 29620 23.5 24.0 529170 569870 629400
TEX t 760 745 2665 26.0 200140 «= 199370 = 229100
va 1 440 445 19.0 28.0 84360 129460 134860
WIS t 192 21s 35.0 32.0 65720 62880 99610
us 1 S762 639003 30.6 3063 Ly761Le75S 198620667 241299256
FLAXSEED
STATE t AREA HARVESTED _ 1 YIELD : PRODUCTION
t 7 t IND T ? t TNO ¢ 1 7 IND
1 1977 1978 + 1979 t 1977 1 1978 $ 1979 2 1977 + 1978 + 1979
! 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
MINN ' 220 142 154 14.5 1865 1360 3919
mY st 2 oss #199 2201 2,002
N OAK of 750 410 500 10.0 1240 - 10.5 79500 4920 Ss250
S OAK t 330 268 350 13.0 1265 I 41290 39600 9550
TEX : 9 20 S 1060 10.0 . 90 200 45
US of 1s3he 860 18009 115 12.7 11.7 150205 d0e92l 145647
1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1927 CROP.
8-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
_(METRIC_UNITS)

7 AREA FARVESTED > YIELD PER HECTARE = PRODUCTION
: : ? : 7 TNDICATED
CROP : v97g: INDICATED | tog: INDICATED; 178: 7: AUG
: : 2 A : 11979: (1979
HECTARES METRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN : 28 316 160 28 176 950 6.35 6.43 179 887 250 169 239 890 180 575 340
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 5 496 090 5 242 760 3.46 3.78 19 010 490 19 792 110
OATS 4 666 480 4 Ost 870 1.87 1.90 8730410 7 399 1607 706 960
BARLEY 3 736 500 3 012 920 2.60 2.58 9 732 450 7 513.990 7 761 680
ALL WHEAT 23 002 170 25 182 650 2.13 2.31 48 952 920 57 184 670 58 051 860
WINTER 15 746 080 17 602 400 2.16 2.48 33.972 400 42 477 140 43 623 820
DURUM 1 628 470 1 564 130 2.23 1.87 3 628 590 3.025 690 2 926 920
OTHER SPRING 5 627 620 6 O16 120 2.02 1.91 11 35193011 681 840 11 501 120
RICE 1/ 1205570 1 220950 © 5.04 5.08 6 070 880 6 202 420
RYE 402 670 378 790 1.65 1.59 664 490 600 430 602 920
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 25 496 680 28 469 540 1.97 2.04 50 148 630 57 948 800
FLAXSEED 348 030 © 408 3300.80 0.74 277 410 300 930
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 611 730 617 400 2.96 2.98 1 809 200 1 840 110
ALL COTTON 5 006 020 5 363110 0.47 0.56 2 363 560 2 984 980
UPLAND 4975 260 § 325920 0.47 0.56 2 343 220 2 962 320
AMER-P IMA 30 760 37 190 0.66 0.61 20 340 22 660
ALL HAY 24 886 420 24 629 430 5.19 5.16 129 059 730 V27 199 100
ALFALFA 11 222 750 22 031 440 7.02 6.95 78 693 740 76 636 250
ALL OTHER 13 673 670 13 597 990 3.68 3.72 50 365 990 50 562 850
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 604 770 560 130 1.43 1.48 867 130 829 340
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 8) 750 56 660 2.00 1.67 163 340 94 750
SUMMER POTATOES 45 280 43.710 21.20 22.59 960 110 969 550 987 280
SWEETPOTATOES. 48 810 49 450 13.29 13.35 648 680 660 020
TOBACCO 383 690 350 1402.39 2.29 918 300 80} 880
SUGARBEETS 514 770 454 180 «45.42 43.52 23 380 870 19 766 650
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 298 940 295 950 78.62 83.97 23 50] 530 24 852 330
HOPS : 12 00 12 910 2.00 1.97 24 980 25 480
APPLES, COM'L : 3 462 430 3: 503 760 3 490 600
PEACHES 2/ : 1 225 150 1 322 350 «1 326 430
PEARS : 659 340 712 230 712 230
GRAPES : 4142 B40 4 383 340
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) : 63 320 62 140
OLIVES (CALIF) : 114 310 47 170
WALNUTS (CALIF) : 145 150 190 510 190 510
PEPPERMINT CIL : 40 470 38 240 0.06 0.06 2 600 2 210
SPEARMINT OIL : 18 660 13 760 0.08 0.06 1 470 850

Af 1978 REVISEO. a] INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS
IN METRIC TONS: 1978 - 54 880.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
cROP : : : :
1978 : 979: (1978 : 1979: «1978 11979
HECTARES METRIC TONS
POTATOES :
WINTER : 8, 220 5 340 22.78 23.13 118 890 123 510
SPRING : 36 790 36 180 22.15 28.91 814 780 1-045 980
FALL : 466 360 438 200 31.00 14 456 000
SWEET CHERRIES : 140 520 160 390
TART CHERRIES : 82 190 75 840
APRICOTS : 114 580 131 270
NECTARINES (CALIF): 134 260 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) 3 139 710 163 290
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF): 178 840 113 400
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 82 100 158 760
A RTE IRWARD RUT FORECAST.

A-4


Auction markets in Georgia and Florida opened July 18th with lower quality offerings and
lower prices, but quality and prices have improved since the first of August. In the Border Belt.
harvest was well along by the end of July and making good progress. Some acreage in the Belt has
been destroyed as a result of the use of fertilizer that had been mixed with a herbicide. Harvest
is well underway in the Middle Belt.

Fire-cured growers expect to harvest 49.6 million pounds (22.5 thousand metric tons), 15 per-
cent Tess than a year earlier. A 15 percent decline in acreage accounts for the lower production.
Yield per acre is indicated at 1763 pounds, up 8 pounds from last year.

Burley production is expected to total 566 million pounds (257 thousand metric tons), 10 per-
cent below the 1978 crop of 626 million pounds (284 thousand metric tons). Heavy rains in
Kentucky and Ohio caused considerable damage to some fields the last week of July. Blue mold
damage has appeared in many fields in Tennessee, North Carolina and Virginia. Yield per acre is
forecast at 2289 pounds and compares with 2399 pounds in 1978.

Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at 29.7 million pounds (13.5 thousand metric
tons), down 3 percent from the revised 1978 production of 30.6 million pounds (13.9 thousand metric

tons).

Dark_air-cured growers expect to harvest 21.7 million pounds (9830 metric tons), a decrease
of 6 percent from the 1978 crop of 23.0 million pounds (10.5 thousand metric tons). Acreage for
harvest and yield per acre are below last year.

All cigar type production is forecast at 58.1? million pounds {26.4 thousand metric tons), up
6 percent from a year eartier. Production of cigar-filler types is down 4 percent, but cigar-
binder types are up 18 percent and cigar-wrapper types are up 3 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 21.8 million tons (19.8 million metric tons),

15 percent below the 1978 crop of 25.8 million tons (23.4 million metric tons). A
lower yield per acre than last year is indicated--19.4 tons per acre compared with 20.3 tons.
Acreage for harvest at 1.12 million acres (454 thousand hectares) is 12 percent below the 1978
harvested acreage.

The crop is making excellent progress in California. Growth has been good in Colorado,
Oregon and Idaho and irrigation water has been ample.

Michigan's sugarbeets look good in most growing regions, but the western and northern fringes
are experiencing dry conditions. The Minnesota crop is generally in good condition with adequate
moisture supplies.

The Montana crop is developing well after a late start. Irrigation water is adequate, Most
of the sugarbeet acreage in Nebraska is making good growth. Some growing areas were hit by hail
but the beets are recovering rapidly.

Generally favorable conditions have prevailed in the beet areas of North Dakota and moisture
has been mostly adequate. July weather in Ohio has been excellent for crop development. Texas
sugarbeets on the High Plains are making good progress.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.4 million tons (24.9 mil-
; lion metric tons), up 6 percent from the 25.9 million tons (23.5 million metric tons)

produced in 1978. Harvested acreage in 1979 is expected to total 73] thousand acres (296 thousand

hectares), 1 percent below the 739 thousand acres (299 thousand hectares) harvested last year.

The average yield of sugarcane per acre is forecaat at 37.5 tons compared with 35.1 tons in 1978.

___In Hawaii, all mills are now operating normally. However, harvesting on some plantations
still lags behind schedule due to long periods of rain early in the year which interrupted field
activity. Weather was warm and humid during duly. Rainfall on the island of Hawaii has generally
been adequate to maintain good growth. Elsewhere in the Hawaiian Chain, showers were light and
most fields required normal irrigation to maintain good crop growth.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



The crop in the Central States is forecast at 1.24 billion pounds, unchanged from July 1 and
12 percent below last year’s Targe crop. Conditions in Michigan point to a crop of 720 million
pounds with good size and quality. Ohio's crop, forecast at 120 million pounds, made good pro-
gress during July, although fire blight has been common.

The Western States expect a crop of 3.25 billion pounds, off slightly from July 1 but 7 per-
cent above Tast year. Washington's crop, at 2.30 billion pounds, made good growth during July.
Little sunburn has occurred despite hot weather. Oregon production is forecast at 140 million
pounds, down from last year caused mainly by early July wind damage in the Milton-Freewater area
California's crop, forecast at 525 million pounds, has experienced little or no insect or disease
damage. Set is heavy in Colorado and irrigation water is ample for the final weeks of sizing.
Sizing has been slowed in Idaho due to extremely hot weather, but the production lost from lack
of size is partially offset by a heavy set.

PEACHES: United States peach production is now forecast at 2.92 billion pounds (1.33 million

metric tons), slightly above the July 1 forecast and 8 percent more than the 1978 crop.
Excluding California Clingstone peaches, the crop is forecast at 1.62 billion pounds, 10 percent
above last year.

The Clingstone crop in California, at 1.30 billion pounds, is 6 percent above last year's
small crop, but is 14 percent below 1977 production. Rains in the San Joaquin Valley during the
last week of July did not seem to cause any problems with brown rot. Extra early varieties were
small in size. Late varieties look good. Harvested fruit has been of excellent quality. Most off
grade fruit is undersize rather than defective and is being diverted to fruit cocktail and
pickles, California's Freestone crop at 480 million pounds is 20 percent above last year. Har-
vest continued active with major varieties being picked.

The South Carolina crop improved 3 percent during the month to 350 million pounds. This is
11 percent above last season's crop. Harvest is now mostly confined to the Piedmont area and
shipments are declining seasonally. Soil moisture has been adequate. In New Jersey, harvest of
the 115 million pound crop is increasing in volume. Hail damage has been reported in some areas.
Moisture is needed to add size to late varieties. Michigan growers were hurt by winterkil] and
spring frost and expect to harvest a 35.0 million pound crop, 42 percent less than last year.
Quality of Michigan peaches is good. Pennsylvania peach production, at 90.0 million pounds, is 6
percent above last season. Early varieties had light sets but mid-season varieties should be ex-
cellent in both quality and quantity. Moisture has been abundant and peach size is above average.
There was some heavy hail damage in Berks County.

PEARS: Production of pears in the U.S. is forecast at 785 thousand tons (712 thousand metric tons),
unchanged from the July 1 forecast and 8 percent above last year's crop,

The Barlett pear production forecast for California, Oregon, and Washington remains unchanged
from last month at 539 thousand tons (489 thousand metric tons), up 15 percent 1978. Harvest in
California's Delta area is complete but is just beginning in Mendocino and Lake Counties. The

crop appears to be of good quality in Oregon and Washington and harvest is expected to begin about
mid-August,

Production of pears other than Bartletts in the Pacific Coast States, forecast at 200 thou-
sand tons (181 thousand metric tons), also remains unchanged from last month and is 8 percent
below last year. California's crop continues to look good and harvest will begin soon. Oregon's
crop is forecast at 105 thousand tons, up 5 percent from last month, while Washington expects an
offsetting decline in tonnnage,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED

YIECO PER ACRE

PRODUCTION
AND STNOICATED: "INDICATED! 1
: : Hy - : : :
UNIT 1978 eM ya7g | 978 gg7g 1978s ‘S,
T,000 ACRES T, 000

CORN FOR GRAIN BU : 69,970 69,626 101.2 102.1 7,081,849 6,662,681 7,108,938
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN "13,581 12,955 55.1 60.1 748,410 779,181
OATS "or 11,537 10,037 52.2 52.9 601,477 509,761 530,967
BARLEY " 9,233 7,445 48.4 47,9 447,008 345,115 356,491
ALL WHEAT " $6,833 62,227 31.6 34.3 1,798,712 2,101,177 2,133,041

WINTER " 38,909 43,496 32.1 36.9 1,248,272 1,560,768 1,602,901

OURUM " : 4,024 33865 33.1 27.8 133,328 111,175 107,546

OTHER SPRING "5 13,906 14,866 30.0 28.4 417,112 429,234 «422,594
RICE 1/ CHT 2/: 2,979.0 3,017.0 4,493 4,532 133,840 136,740
RYE Bu: 995 936 26.3 25.4 26,160 23,638 23,736
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS ": 63,003 70,349 29.2 30.3 1,842,647 2,129,254
FLAXSEED mg 860 100.9 12.7 7 10,921 11,847
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: (1,511.6 1,525.6 2,639 2,659 3,988,624 4,056,780
ALL COTTON BALE 2/: 12,370.0 13,252.4 421 497 10,855.8 }3,710.0

UPLAND © B: 12,294.0 13,160.5 420 496 10, 762.4 13,.605.9

AMER-P1MA » Bh: 76.0 91.9 590 544 93.4 104.1
ALL HAY TOW: 61,495 60,860 2.31 2.30 142,264 140,213

ALFALFA ": 27,707 27,259 3.13 3.10 86, 745 84,477

ALL OTHER "> 33,788 33,601 1,64 1.66 55,519 55,736
DRY EDIBLE BEANS > 1,494.4 1,384.1 1,279 1,321 19,117 18,284
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 02.0 1400 + +—«1,783 1,492 3,601 2,089
SUMMER POTATOES 1.9 108.0 189 202 21,167 21,375 21,766
SWEETPOTATOES " 120.6 122.2 9 ng 34,301 14,551
TOBACCO L8 : 948.1 865.2 2,135 2,043 2,024,508 1,767,852
SUGARBEETS TON: 1,272.0 1,122.3 20.3 19.4 25,773 21,789
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED "oy 738.7 731.3 35.1 37.5 25,906 27,395
HOPS iB: 30.9 31.9 1,782 1,761 55,071 56,175
PASTURE ANO RANGE 3/ PCT : 7 84
APPLES, COM'L lp: 7,633,400 7,724,500 7,695,500
PEACHES 4/ "of: 2,701,000 2,915,300 2,924,300
PEARS TON : 726.8 785.1 785.1
GRAPES wy 4,566.7 4,831.8
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) " 69.8 68.5
OLIVES (CALIF) mo 126.0 52.0
WALNUTS (CALIF) uo: 160.0 210.0 210.0
PEPPERMINT OIL iB: 100.0 94.5 57 52 5,728 4,872
SPEARMINT OIL "3 46.1 34.0 70 55 3,244 1,874

REVISED.

VT

f
1968-77 AVERAGE 1S 76 percent.

i] PASTU Ri Fl OW .
4/ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE

PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS:

1978 - 121,000.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CROP REA TARUESTED i YTELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
AND + INDICA TROLCATET © TNOTCATED
UNIT 1978s 1979 1978 1979 J 1978: 1979
TOOT ACRE: 7,000
POTATOES
WINTER 12.9 13.2 203 206 2,621 2,723
SPRING 90.9 29.4 198 258 173963 23,060
FALL 1,152:4 108218 7 318,702
SWEET CHERRIES 154.9 176.8
TART CHERRIES 181,200 167,200
APRICOTS 136.3 144.7
NECTARINES (CALIF) " 148.0 185.0
PLUMS (CALIF) " 154.0 180.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) no 131.0 125.0
ALMONDS. (CALIF) LB: 187,000 350,000

T/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER” FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-3

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


TOBACCO

STATE

AREA HARVESTED ' YIELD 1 PRODUCTION
t 7 TNO t ? TNO ¢ v t TND
1977 t 1978 4 1979 § 1977 1 (1978 t 1979 4 1977 197e _t 1979
~~~" ACRES POUNDS 19000 POUNDS

S50 $20 S25 12900 19870 14850 15065 972 97
39500 39200 39100 19606 16547 3s521 5s620 49950 GeTle
119840 100500 109500 21094 29100 29000 269798 220050 214000
659000 619000 532000 20075 = 20080 39900 1345875 12! 60 1009700
64900 69600 9500 20400 29350 29400 160560 159510 154600
1961750 1940500 1799700 «28297 «= 2015-24300 © 4820024 = 4699658 = 4139390
140 130 80 900 700 19 un? 56
234000 229000 229000 19390 19350 309130 3095846 294700
6 15030 19030 1416 194696 19906 19458 19541
29400 29300 20280 29300 6920) 59472 $0290
3989700 3539500 2913) 29006 7649525 = 8499432 709e17S.
99900 99200 29258 8629189 229053 229350 200135
13000 139000 19960 19950 264190 250220 254350
710000 615000 29120 20l2s5 1369720 1500520 1299625
669850 639950 20126 = 291046 1360746 1420099 = 134+540
739130 716200 19848 19803 1429985 = 1359157 1284390
19500 19500 19800 19750 39232 29700 29625
129100 139100 19702 19912 249385 209600 259050
9469060 8659185 2913S 20043 1ePl2shl& 290249508 1e767e8S2

VJ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTS. 2

1978 REVISED.

SUGARBEETS

STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED 4 YIELD : PRODUCTION

i 7 + TNO 7 + IND? 7 7 TNO

1 1977 1 1978 ¢ 1979 ¢ 1977 § 1978 t 1979 & 1977 3 1978 3 1979

' 16000 ACRES TONS Ts000 TONS

'
ARIZ ' 1268 15.0 lle4 2203 2005 2000 265 308 228
CALIF o¢ 21700 195.0 206.0 2661 26.5 2006 51664 49778 55356
coLo 1 7200 8400 7200 19.5 16.3 1940 19404 19538 19368
TOAHO 1 10706 13461 1280 2003 20.0 200946 e722 25560
KANS ' 2400 1240 1740 1840 401 aa2 216
MICH ! 8565 9165 1963 18.0 19796 19770 19647
MINN 1 26000 244.0 16.9 16.5 49732 4971 44026
MONT 1 45.0 4304 19.8 18.5 896 88s 803
NEBR 1 6767 7540 18.0 19.0 19354 15368 19425
NMEX 3 1.2 2ol 20.6 19.0 23 37 40
N DAK ' 15562 145.0 19.7 16,0 20769 3054 25320
OHIO 1 2265 14,5 1669 18.0 457 394 261
OREG ' Be2 6eT7 2203 2560 206 198 166
TEX ' 1709 20.2 1765 18.0 309 ae 364
UTAH ' 908 165 1769 18.0 173 22s 27
WASH 2/1 61e6 ' 2565 19495 19747
wro ’ 4B oe 48. 4900 1869 2040 949 922 980
us 1921602 1927260 1912203 20.3 19.4 252007 250773 219789

1/7 RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST FOR ALL STATES
INCLUDING ARIZ AND CALIF.
2/ NONE PLANTED IN 19794
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEEO

STATE 2 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO A PRODUCTION

1 t i TAO + 7 7 IND? 7 TND

1 1977 4 1978 3 1979 11977 §_ 1978 + 1979 1977 8 1978 t 1979

t 19000 ACRES TONS 1000 TONS:

'
FLA 1 30000 31160 32000 2949 3069 3240 84970 99610 100260
Haw ' 10365 105.9 10960 88e7 = B93 944 99176 99461 109246
La ' 32200 28940 270.0 2369 2003 2240 79695 50875 52940
TEX 1 3369 3208 32.30 2 29.3 3060 989 960 969
us ' 759 eu 738. 731.3 3501 3765 260830 259906 274395

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


OURUM WHEAT

State ot AREA _HARVESTEO 1 YIELO ‘ PRODUCTION
r 7 ? TNO + t 7 IND 7 7 “IND
i 1977 4 1978 + 1979 + 1977 3 1978 41979 3 1977 3 1976 t 1979
¥ T9000 ACRES” BUSHELS Ty000 BUSHELS
t
ARIZ 1/8 a5 a 63-7240 = 7000-7540 60120 40725
CALIF i7t 28 125 45-7540 75007500 2000 31375
MINN ft 82 98 77 34.5 38S 380 29829 20926
MONT ’ 220 290 260 22,0 30602040 49860 55200
N MEX 2/8 4 74.0 296
N OAK § 29470 39240 39250 2445 3105 = 2740 © 600515 1020060 = 874750
Soaxk ft 136 190 170 24.0 20.0 21,0 39264 39800 36570
us t 39025 49024 30865 26,4 Bek 2708 799964 «399328 107546

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ BEGINNING IN 1978 INCLUDEO IN WINTER WHEAT,

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

STATE AKEA HARVESTED 1 YIELO t PRODUCTION
r 3 t IND t t 7 IND + t TIN
' 19773 1978 1979 +1977 5 1976 3 1979 3 ig77 a 1976 3 1979
iy T+000 ACRES ~ BUSHELS T:000 BUSHELS
1
COLO lst 2s bod 50 45.0 47.0 50.0 19125 29068 29500
10Am0 ' 360 480 620 $1.0 64.0 56.0 189360 300720 355960
MINN : 39140 29620 24390 4060 ©3365 3740 1259600 = 879770 BB 9430
MONT ’ 20040 19850 25550 22,0 2900 ©2040 © 4880 = 53650 = 514000
WEY we 12 15 13 50.0 55.0 50.0 600 625 650
NoaK of 61680 69210 69200 2540-2940 ©2740 © 1674000 = 1809090 1674400
OREG 1/3 70 125 250 34.0 37.0 35.0 29380 4625 89750
S DAK y 22200 29200 16950 23.5 2160 5 00 445000 404950
UTAH 1st 24 21 30 26,0 38.0 $76 756 19160
WASH ' 165 310 780 3340 32.0 69105 119760 244960
WIS) At 15 2 16 3360 30.0 495 37 480
Wyo lst al io 17 20,0 2200 420 456 374
us B  lae772 134906 149866 2864 28.4 4190241 4179122 422594
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURKENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
WHEAT PRODUCTION By CLASSES» UNITED STATES
1 WINTER 1 SPRING a
HARD SOFT + HARD ’ TOTAL
ED REO WHITE $= RED = (OURUM = WHITE ¢
‘ 19000 BUSHELS
1
1976 1 9750840 3369555 2679528 Gliel27 1349916 360398 291420362
1977 iy 9920446 3509152 1949515 39 03 799964 219638 290369316
1978 1 8349252 2020119 1330328 «379722 107980712
1979: 009135 315+ 1079546 =—S69079

1/ INDICATED AUGUST 1, 1979,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



CROP_ REPORT SUMMARY

The "all crops" production index (1967=100) at a record 137 is 6 points above
the previous record set last year, according to the Crop Reporting Board. Food grains
and oi] crops reached new record highs while cotton advanced 38 points from 1978. ' Feed
grains and hay and forage show 1 point declines, tobacco is off 12 points and sugar

crops off 10 points from last year.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1969-79 (1967=100)

7 z PRODUCTION

3 : : HAY: A : 3 :
YEAR TALL I/ = gpping | AND gpaQ@. : SheQR : coTTON ; TOBACCO : OIL CROPS

B : : FORAGE : H L H A
1969 : 104 99 100 98 115 137 91 116
1970 : 100 89 100 91 114 139 97 7
1971 2 12 116 105 107 116 145 86 121
1972: 113 112 104 102 127 187 88 131
19730: 199 15 109 4 He 175 88 155
1974: 110 93 104 120 104 158 101 127
W975: (12t 114 108 142 130 112 110 153
1976 =: 121 120 102 141 128 142 108 132
1977: (130 126 107 132 116 191 98 175
1978: (137 135 115 124 118 146 102 180
1979: (137 134 114 143 108 184 90 207

T/ INCLUDES HAY SEEDS, PASTURE SEEDS AND COVER-CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS
CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related
information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and
adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from
Washington headquarters and the State Statistical Offices.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

Jd. W. Kirkbride, Acting Chairman,
M. L. Koehn, Secretary,
D. W. Barrowman, F. E. Rolf,
APPROVED: J. R. Kendall, J. R. Price,
D. H. Von Steen, L. P. Garrett,
. K, M. Barr, W. R. Blackson,
DELL D. J. Buckner, T. J. Byram,
H. J. DeLong, W. N. Dowdy,
T. W. Feurer, S. R. Koyle,
D. E. Hamilton, A. J. Olson,
Cc. P. Miles, Jr., R. L. Schulte,
J. M. Peele, C. A. Van Lahr, dr.,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE L. E. Snipes, W. W. Wilken.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP | AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO ( PRODUCTION
AND ( T TINO T TINO T T TINO
STATE 11977 ¢t 1978 | 1979 | 1977 | 1978 | 1979 | 31977 1} 1978 | _1979
t Ty000 ACRES” Cw —Tv000 CwT
t
‘
WINTER (
'
Tora, 1/ 1 1304 12.9 13.2 199 203 206 20660 29621 29783.
4
SPRING '
{
yoraL 1/ 4 Dew 90.9 89.6 250 198 258 224870 175963 239060
'
SUMMER '
ALA t eS 8.0 8.3 100 150 = 180 750-1200 19494
CALIF ' Bou 769 77 3600360 365 30024 = 29844 298]
€oLo 1 668 668 69 265 255 270 19802-12734 19863
OEL ' 8.3 563 48 210 210 220 ¥olh3 19213-19056
TLL 1 2.3 168 169 200 200-200 460 360 380
IND 1 aul 2.0 168 1750-170 165 368 340 297
1OWA ) Qed 1.5 14 225° 200 230 473 300 322
40 ' 1.6 1S 165 150 «150150 240 22s 225
MICH 1 708 8.3 8.6 185 175 180 19443 1045319548
MINN ' IS 7.0 663 275 «280. 260 20063 19960 19638
NEBR ' 21 168 165 150 160 160 315 288 240
Nu { Bel 6.2 8.1 265 255 230 20147 = 2909119863
N MEX ‘ 2g 3.8 4a 190-205 200 551 779 880
Nc ’ 460 4.0 Sol 125° «125128 500 500 513
OH10 1 1.8 1.6 1e4 = 190 190 210 342 304 294
TENN 1 405 be 4.390 90 95 405 396 409
TEX ! 1063 11.0 1005 230 210-20 29369 29320 28S
va ! 27.7 2740 2665 125 110 135 39463 29970 = 39308
WVA 27 { 204 64 154
i
TOTAL ) 41562 14269 10840192 189 20214982 «219167 = 21 PHO
FALL
TOTAL 1/ 3/ | 1,138.7 1,252.4 1,082.8 270 9 277 307,064 318,702
us 3 ‘| 1,358.7 1,368.1 1,293.4 261 = 263 354,576 360,453

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.

3/ 1978 REVISION FOR ACREAGE, YIELD, AND PRODUCTION TO BE SHOWN IN "POTATOES AND SWEET-
POTATOES", RELEASED AUGUST 24, 1979. YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR 1979 TO BE RELEASED
OCTOBER 12, 1979.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
ALFALFA & ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY .......-eecceeeseeeeeee B-13
APPLES, COMMERCIAL ........--.eseeee ++ B-22
BARLEY ....+...04. B- 5
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE B-15
CORN FOR GRAIN ... «es B+ 2
COTTON ........ se B-T1
FLAXSEED . +.» B-10
GRAPES ... B-24
HAY, ALL .. B-12
HAY, OTHER .. -»  B-14
HOPS ...... +. B22
MINT OIL . -1
OATS ..... -
OLIVES ........ -

PAPAYAS-HAWAIT .....-+0--eeeeee
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION .....
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION MAP .
PEACHES .......--- .

PEANUTS FOR NUTS
PEARS .....-20-00e
PEAS, DRY EDIBLE .......
PLANTED ACREAGE OF CROPS
POTATOES ......seeeeeeee
PRUNES & PLUMS
RICE ......4-.
RYE Lecce ee eee eee

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ..
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS .
SUGARBEETS .........--0-e
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED
SWEETPOTATOES ..........04
TOBACCO BY CLASS & TYPE
TOBACCO BY STATES
US SUMMARY .....
WALNUTS ..........
WHEAT, BY CLASSES
WHEAT, ALL .......
WHEAT, DURUM ..
WHEAT, SPRING . oe
WHEAT, WINTER ........ Peete eee eee e ede eeeeeeeeenee

1
MND

1
no

1
NOOWNMDWWODNDSDCOWOODFHAINBBWODSIOEH

Terrat
i)

RODVVVERHVDODTVOVVVDODIDVDEVRDODD

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-25 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

STATE 1 AREA HARVESTED YIELD 1 PRODUCTION
t Tr 1 + tro? ’ 1 Txd
: 1977 6 1978 41-1979 t_ 1977 4 1978 51979 t 1977.4 1974 4 1979
1 19000 ACRES POUNDS ¥9000 POUNDS
'
ALA 1 21500 21460 21300 25740 29630 29600 5899100 5629620 553,800
FLA 1 5500 5400 5500 39100 39380 939300 = 1709500 = 182x520 1814500
GA t 52600 52600 52760 2,850 39300 39400 194999100 197359800 197912800
MISS ' 740 8.0 15650 29000 = 14750 116550 164000 134650
N MEX ot 964 cry 29700 25560 2400 = 254380 249064 = 230040
Nec ' 16640 16660 29675 2825 29600 4444050 4684950 4314600
OKLA 1 12060 11500 20230 19800 29000 267600 © 2071000 2404000
sc ' 15.0 1562 22080 8920350 25200 319200 35720 330440
TEX : 30060 301.0 19315 19450 19600 © 3944500 © 4369450 4949400
VA ' 10340 103.0 103.0 24845 39100 20650 = 2934035 3199300 = 2935550
us 1951604 LsS11e6 1052506 20457 = 20639 = 29659 397260015 399882626 490564780
COTTON
crop 4 AREA HARVESTED : YRELO ‘ PROOUCTION 17
AND t : 1 IND ¢ t 1 IND 7 7 TNO
STATE 4 1977 1976 + 1979 § 1977 § 1978 t 1979 4 1977 1978 t 1979
fy Ts000 ACRES ~ POUNDS T6000 BALES 27
GOTTON» UPLAND
aL t 39500 B50 32500 337 443 433 as 291.0 32000
ARIZ : 51500 $38.0 620.0 997 953 19045 1007060 0
ARK : 93060 760.0 60060 $34 617 440 1003560
CALIF 1939060 1945560 1465560 964 640 972 2979000
FLA ’ bel 340 625 506 512 Sau
GA 1 17060 11860 232 463 529 8240
KY 2 8 20 420 0 0 7
LA ' $4060 46560 $83 450 495 65660
MISS t 1936000 19030,0 981 $75 545 1164560
mo : 258.0 145.0 a2? 496 397 23560
NEV ' 1a3 Le? 998 S42 560 166
NMEX oF 12860 13060 603 443 480 16160 101.0 13000
NC ' B300 4600 305 sis 4380 53.0 45.0 4600
OKLA ' 52000 $8060 o02 292 372 43600 355.0 45060
sc v 15300 112.0 342 562 Sle 10940 11560 12060
TENN ' 30000 23060 407 490 386 255.0 235.0 185.0
TEX $ 6945060 7,100.0 ao7 29% 352 5946500 3979240 5420000
va ' aT aa 194 480 480 a al a
us 13920009 3,160.5 519 420 496 14927700 10876204 13960569
COTTON» AMER=PIMA
a p 4203 4268 738 754 639 6540 S700
CALIF y 3 ol 269 480 480 02 ol
N MEX ' 93 16.0 e2l O56 420 1260 146.0
TEX 1 2265 3300 147 456 430 3560 3340
us 1 Thee Wed 124 590 S44 W202 10401
COTTON, ALL
MAY 39560 32500 337 443 473 277.0 32060
ARIZ 5 55763 66268 978 941 190191413500 1440760
ARK ' 93000 60060 534 417 440 1903560 55060
CALIF ft 1939003 1965501 963 640 972 2479062 3035001
FLA 1 Geol 360 425 507 S12 504 ae
GA iy 170.0 118.0 232 463 Seo 82.0 130.0
KY t . 0 420 .
LA y 54000 465.0 583 450 495, 65600 48000
MISS + 1936000 1003040 $a) 575 545 1964540 14617000
MO x 25860 14500 437 496 397 235.0 120.0
NEV ' 103 102 591 554 560 1.6 164
NMEX 13763 14660 605 446 473 173.0 14460
NC 1 8360 4600 307 514 480 53.0 46.0
oKLa 1 52060 $80.0 402 291 372 43660 45000
sc : 153.0 112.0 342 563 514 109.0 12060
TENN y 30060 239.0 408 490 386 255.0 185.0
TEX $ 6947265 7,133.0 408 294 352 $9500.0 59233.0
va : “7 a 206 480 480 33 al 3
us 413927503 12037060 13,252.4 520 ray 497 14038942 10985548 13672040

14 PROQUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNEO.
2/ 4809LH. NET WEIGHT BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Texas and Oklahoma Upland production is forecast at 5.65 million bales, an increase of 36
percent from last year. Harvest is well underway in the Lower Rio Grande Valley and beginning
jin the Coastal Bend. The crop is later than normal in other areas of Texas but is showing good
progress under favorable moisture and weather conditions.

The Delta States - Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Missouri - expect to harvest 2.51
million bales in 1979 compared to 2.94 million bales last year. The crop is about two weeks
ater than normal and some stands are thin, Plants are blooming heavily and setting bolls.
Moisture is adequate and recent hot weather has enhanced development of the crop

In the Southeastern States - Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina :
production is forecast at 616 thousand bales, up 10 percent from 1978. Growing conditions have
been favorable and fruit set has been heavy. Insect infestations remain at a low level

Upland production in Arizona, California and New Mexico is expected to total 4.83 million
bales compared with 3.11 million bales in 1978. Growing conditions in western Arizona and
California have been near ideal and crop development has been good to excellent. Cool
temperatures slowed plant growth in New Mexico.

The Bureau of the Census reports 72,197 running bales ginned to August 1 compared with
143,791 bales ginned to the same date in 1978, and 85,466 bales ginned before August 1 in 1977.

HAY: All _hay production in 1979 is forecast at 140 million tons (127 million metric tons), a 1
percent decrease from the record high 1978 production, but a 7 percent increase from the

1977 crop. If realized, this will be the second largest hay crop of record, Acreage intended

for harvest totals 60.9 million acres (24.6 million hectares), down 1 percent from a year earlier.

Ait pay yield is forecast at 2.30 tons per acre compared with 2.31 tons in 1978 and 2.16 tons in

(Production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures is forecast at 84.5 million tons (76.6 million
metric tons), 3 percent below 1978 but 5 percent above the 1977 crop, Acreage for harvest totals
27.3 million acres (11.0 million hectares). down 2 percent from last year but up 1 percent from

1977, Average yield is indicated at 3.10 tons per acre compared with last year's record high 3.13
tons and 2.97 tons two years ago.

All other hay production is forecast at 55.7 million tons (50.6 million metric tons), up less
than T percent from last year and up 9 percent from 1977. Yield per acre is forecast at 1.66 tons
compared with 1.64 in 1978 and 1.52 in 1977. Acreage for harvest is forecast at 33.6 million
acres (13.6 million hectares}, down 1 percent from 1978.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 18.3 million cwt. (829 thousand

metric tons), 4 percent below the 1978 crop but 10 percent above the 1977 crop.
Acreage for harvest is estimated at 1.38 million acres (560 thousand hectares), down 7 percent
from 1978. Yield is expected to average 1321 pounds per acre compared with 1279 last year.

Michigan dry bean fields are in peak bloom with pockets of dry conditions. Many acres were
replanted after flooding earlier in the season. Planting of the California crop is complete.
Fusarium wilt damage is reported in some areas. Warm weather has favored the Idaho crop and a
good crop is expected. Some hail damage occurred in Nebraska and Kansas and some acreage has
been replanted. Good growing weather and a late frost will be needed for these replanted fields.
Plant development in Colorado and North Dakota is about one week behind schedule but with no seri-

ous moisture problems. Above normal mold problems occurred in the Washington crop because of
heavy water usage.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Florida sugarcane is in good to excellent condition and has made very good growth during the
season, There was no appreciable freeze damage during the winter months.

The Louisiana sugarcane crop got off to a slow start due to the cold winter and cool spring.
Dry weather persisted through dune and early July. Since the second week of July there has been
ample moisture and warm temperatures have the crop growing well, The crop was in good condition
as of August 1.

In the lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas the crop is in good condition although cane borer
population has recently increased.

MINT OIL: The 1979 peppermint oil crop is forecast at 4.87 million pounds (2210 metric tons), 15

percent below a year earlier. Acreage harvested for oi] at 94.5 thousand acres (38.2
thousand hectares) is 5 percent below last year. Yield per acre at 52 pounds of oi] is 5 pounds
below the previous year. Harvest should be underway in most States by mid-August.

The spearmint oi? crop is forecast at 1.87 million pounds (850 metric tons}, down 42 percent
from 1978. Acreage harvested for oi] is 26 percent below last year. Oi] yield decreased 15
pounds per acre from a year earlier

HOPS: Production of hops in the U.S. is forecast at 56.2 million pounds (25.5 thousand metric

tons), 2 percent more than last year's crop and 3 percent larger than the 1977 crop.
Acreage for harvest, at 31.9 thousand acres (12.9 thousand hectares), is 1000 acres above last
year. Yield, forecast at 1761 pounds per acre, is down 2] pounds from last year

Washington, which accounts for over two-thirds of the U.S. production, is expected to have
about the same production as last year. Acreage increased but yield prospects are down. Harvest
is expected to get underway around August 20.

Idaho expects greater production this year than last as a result of higher yields. Acreage
js unchanged. The crop is in good condition and harvest should begin around August 20. Oregon's
production is expected to be up 12 percent, because of both higher acreage and yield. Hops
have made good growth, and pest problems are very limited.

California production is forecast 6 percent lower than last year because of a decline in
acreage.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Pasture and range feed condition on August 1 averaged 84 percent for the
48 contiguous States. This is 7 points above August 1, 1978, 8 points
above the 1968-77 average for the date, and is equal to the record high attained in 1967

Most of the Nation reported good to excellent pasture conditions. The major exceptions were
the Northeastern States and from North Oakota westward. These areas generally had high tempera-
tures and below normal rainfall during July which caused pasture and range conditions to decline.

APPLES: The Nation's apple crop is forecast at 7,70 billion pounds (3.49 million metric tons), @
slight decline from last month's forecast but one percent above the 1978 crop. Prospects

declined slightly during July in the West and one percent in the East, but were unchanged in the
Central areas.

Production in the Eastern States is forecast at 3.21 billion pounds, down one percent from
last month, but slightly above Tast year's crop. Prospects in New England declined mainly as a
result of the shortage of moisture in July. New York's crop is developing well, and harvest of
early varieties is underway. Pennsylvania prospects declined two percent. The Virginia and West
Virginia crops grew well during July, although disease and insect contro] have been difficult
because of high humidity.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1979 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA