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CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978


PRUNES: The 1978 California prune crop (dried basis) is now placed at 133 thousand tons (121

thousand metric tons). This is a4 percent decline from the previous forecast as of |
September 1 and is 15 percent less than last season's output. Harvest is complete with a drying
ratio equal to last year's despite hot August weather. The crop suffered earlier from above
average green rot and abnormal growth patterns as a result of moisture stress.

CRANBERRIES: Production of cranberries in the U.S. is forecast at a record 2.49 million barrels
(113 thousand metric tons), a 4 percent improvement from a month ago and 19 percent
above the 1977 total.

Harvest of the record Massachusetts crop is winding down. Aside from eartier flooding in
some bogs, harvest weather was good and berry size and quality are excellent. Cold nights and
occasional showers aided coloring of Early Blacks. Harvest of the New Jersey crop is nearly com-
plete. Excessive rot and earlier frost damage led to production declines, In Wisconsin, poor
growing conditions resulted in reduced production from earlier expectations. Harvest is virtual~
ly complete and quality has been very good. Oregon's harvest is nearing completion with idea
weather conditions. This year's crop ripened unevenly and suffered some berry rot as a result of
hot weather in late July and early August followed by a period of very wet weather. Harvest of
the Washington crop is complete. Wet fall weather reduced berry quality and sizes were small in
some bogs, although color was good.

FILBERTS: Production prospects at 12.4 thousand tons (11.2 thousand metric tons) are up 5 per-
cent from last month and last year, Harvest conditions were ideal and harvest was
virtually complete by November 1.

ORANGES: U.S. orange production for 1978-79 is forecast at 215 million boxes (8.48 million
metric tons), 2 percent below last season and 11 percent below the 1976-77 crop.

The Florida October 1 forecast of 167 million boxes is carried forward for this report since

no forecasts are made for Florida on November 1. The November 1 total orange production fore-

cast in California at 38.0 million boxes is the same as last month but is down 10 percent from

last year. Arizona production at 3.50 million boxes is down 1 percent from last month and is 6

percent below last year. Texas production is forecast at 6.60 million boxes, 5 percent above

Yast month and 8 percent greater than the 1977-78 crop.

Harvest of early varieties is underway in all States. Maturity of the Navel crop in
California is 1-2 weeks behind normal because of warm nights. Movement will be stow until mid-
November. Groves are generally in good condition in all States

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects for the 1978-79 season point to a crop of 68.4 million boxes (2.56 million

metric tons), the same as last month's forecast but 3 percent less than last season.
This total does not include California “other areas", for which the first forecast wil? be pub-
lished December 8, Production in the “other areas" was 3.20 million boxes last season, The
Florida October 1 forecast of 51.0 million boxes is carried forward for this report. Texas pro~
duction is forecast at 11.5 million boxes, 5 percent above last month's forecast but 3 percent
below last season, The Arizona crop of 2.40 million boxes is down 200 thousand boxes from last
month and is 17 percent below the 1977-78 season. In California, growers in the Desert Valley
expect to pick 3.50 million boxes, 300 thousand boxes less than was forecast last month and 19
percent less than last season. Harvest volume is gaining in all States.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona production forecast at 26.0 million boxes (896 thousand metric
tons) is unchanged from fast month and is virtually the same as last year. Harvest is
underway with good quality fruit.

TANGERINES: The 1978-79 tangerine crop is expected to total 6.15 million boxes (244 thousand

metric tons), unchanged from October's forecast and 14 percent above last season.
The Florida forecast of 3.80 million boxes (210 size and larger by December 1) is carried forward
from October 1. California at 1.70 million boxes is 13 percent above last season. The Arizona
crop forecast at 650 thousand boxes is 7 percent Jess than was picked in 1977-78.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Vv

' PRODUCTION t PRODUCTION
cROP iy BOXES t TON EQUIVALENT
AND t UTILTZED TINDICATED? UTILIZED SINOICATED
STATE v1976=77 § 197778 ¢ 1978~79 § 197677 + 1977=78 1 1978-79
t T+s000 GNITS 27 1:000 UNITS
ORANGES EARLY MID & NAVEL 3/3
ARIZ 1 800 820 800 30 31 30
CALIF ' 254600 204000 215000 960 750 788
FLA 4/% 11Ss000 885300 959000 Sel7s 39974 4275
TEX ‘ 49350 39850 41200 185 164 179
us t 1659750 1125970 1215000 69350 49919 Se272
ORANGES + VALENCIA '
ARIZ i 39150 2900 29700 118 109 101
CALIF 4/3 199700 229000 739 825 638
FLA ays 714800 799500 39231 30878 312460
TEX 1 29550 29250 108 96 102
us , 979200 106650 949100 49196 49608 4081
ALL ORANGES t
ARIZ ' 35950 39720 39500 148 140 131
CALIF ' 455300 424000 389000 19699 1sS75 1,426
FLA 4/% 186,800 1675800 1675000 8406 79552 7515
TEX ’ 65900 69100 61600 293 260 2a.
us $ 2425950 2190620 =—2155100 109546 90527 9,353
TEMPLES ,
FLA asi 39800 45900 45800 wm 2a. 216
GRAPEFRUIT,» WHITE SEEDLESS :
FLA ast 295900 289700 282000 1271 1s220 19190
GRAPEFRUIT,PINK SEEOLESS '
FLA ast 12,500 149300 135000 $31 608 $83
GRAPEFRUIT ,OTHER '
FLA ast 9e100 84400 10-000 387 357 425
ALL GRAPEFRUIT t
ARIZ t 3,000 25900 29400 96 93 7
CALIF Sst
DESERT t 4.500 49300 39500 144 138 1l2
OTHER AREAS : 39200 39200 107 107
TOTAL 79700 79500 251 245
FLA 4st $1,500 519400 512000 29189 20185 29168
TEX iy 125400 115900 119500 496 476 460
us 74,600 739700 39032 20999
TANGERINES :
ARIZ ' 650 700 650 24 26 24
CALIF t 14820 19500 19700 68 S6 64
FLA ast 3300 39200 39800 187 152 18)
us : 5s770 5400 69150 249 234 269
LEMONS '
ARIZ : 5000 59700 190 217 266
CALIF ' 21.000 209400 798 775 722
vs ‘ 265000 265100 988 992 988
TANGELOS a]
FLA ast 4800 41900 39600 216 221 162

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE @LOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED,

2/ NET LBS PER BOX? ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ~759FLAIOs
TEX=85§ GRAPEFRUIT=CALIF OESERT & ARIZ=646, CALIF
OTHER=67» FLA@85y TEX-80$ LEMONS=763 TANGELOS &
TEMPLES=90) TANGERINES= CALIF & ARIZ-75» FLA~95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIOA ANO
TEXAS» INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS,

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

S/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT?

MOTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS OF DEC. le

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
November 1. Some adjustments have been made in harvested acreages published previously. The
yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for al} crops and actual field observations
and measurements for corn, soybeans, cotton, potatoes and cranberries. Farmers provided apprai-
gals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farm and for their loca-
lities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and measurements in a
probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are
common to all surveys. More importantly, the forecasts are subject to change due to weather dur-
ing the remainder of the season and other factors that directly affect final production but can-
not be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for se-
lected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the November 1 production
forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1958-77 twenty-year period; the square root of this average becomes
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expect-
ed errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that
factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years’
forecasts.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain forecast is 2.3
percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 6890
million bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2,3 percent or approxi-
mately 158 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the dif-
ference will not exceed 4.0 percent or approximately 276 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a summary of the 10-year (1968-77) record for selected crops of
the differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an
example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have
averaged 89 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 243 million bushels. During this 10-year
period the November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 1 time.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

: TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
CROP AND ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
me Sseceny 1 Oe CONFIDENCE: QUANTITY _ HUBER OF TERS
: i IW
: ERE etamTTTT: AVERAGE “SMALLEST ¢ Largest : BELOW + ABOVE
: ~ MILLTON : MICLYON” MILLION MILLION =
FEED GRAINS 1/ TON 27: 1,7 2.9 6 : 2 0 6 7 3
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 2,300 4100 78:8 4 243 9 1
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU : 4.8 8.3 58: 29 nN 94 2 8
RICE CWT 3: 2300 a0 6: 2 ° 4 8 a
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU: 2.5 4:3 1: 35 2 80 5 5
COTTON BALES 3/: 3.9 6.7 700: 39°15 73300: 3 7
FALL POTATOES CHT : 38 1 21 10 0

6.0 Wo: 9

T7— CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUN FOR GRAIN, OATS “AND BARLEY. :
2/ UNIT OF PRODUCTION 1S IN METRIC TONS.

3/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


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CORN CROPPING PRACTICES
PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE ROW WIDTHS

The Statistics Unit of ESCS collects objective information on corn development
during the production forecast period. Counts and measurements are made by trained
enumerators during visits to random plots in a scientific sampling of fields in States
which accounted for 95 percent of the 1978 corn production. Information in the follow-
ing tables represents sample data and averages from these counts about October 1. The
data, which are subject to some sampling fluctuation, are not official Crop Reporting
Board estimates but do show trends in corn cropping practices over a period of years.

The trend in plant population per acre cantinued upward in 1978. Ten States
showed increases, one no change, and seven declined, but the increases far outweighed
the decreases. Average row widths tended to decrease with only 3 States showing an
increase and one State showing no change.

Statistical Reporting Service Bulletin SRS-17 shows similar data for earlier years
beginning in 1964.

CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE, SELECTED STATES, 1974-1978 1/

STATE : 1974 : 1975 : 197% : 1977 : 1978

NUMBER OF PLANTS
COLO : 21,000 20,500 21,400 22,900 23,300

GA > 113600 11,500 12,900 14100 143100
TLL > 18,600 18,400 20,100 20,100 19,600
IND : 18,700 18,000 195500 19,100 19,300
IOWA : 18,600 18,500 18,800 18,800 19,800
KANS : 18,000 17,500 18,700 20,800 20,600
KY : 15,400 15,000 16,100 15,800 17,000
MICH : 16,900 17,300 16,200 18,300 18,600
MINN : 18,200 18,200 18,000 19,100 20,000
0) : 15,500 14,500 14,500 15,600 15,100
NEBR : 16,400 15,400 16,700 173600 19,000
NC : 16,900 15,200 17,000 17,900 17,300
OHIO : 18,900 18,200 18,600 20,200 19,900
PA : 16,500 16,500 17,300 18,000 18,500
S_ DAK : 12,800 12, 800 12,600 11,700 13.300
TEX : NA NA 20,700 20,600 20,100
VA : 16,400 16,400 17,500 17,800 16,700
WIS : 18,500 17,900 18,200 193700 20,100
T7 BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CRANBERRIES

PRODUCTION
STATE TOTAL ; TOTAL THD
1976 H 1977 1978
7,000 BARRELS
MASS 935.0 875.0 1,175.0
NJ 276.0 157.0 220.0
OREG 89.3 80.2 91.0
WASH 103.0 136.0 138.0
WIS 1,004.0 854.0 870.0
US 2,407.3 2,102.2 2,494.0
PRUNES
STATE 1 PROUUCTLON
t TOTAL 3 TOTAL : INO
i 1976 t 1977 ! 1978
: TONS
:
CALIF (DRIED BASIS) : 1439000 157,000 1335000
FILBERTS
STATE t PRODUCTION
i “TOTAL t TOTAL 3 TNO
s 1976 t 1977 z 1978
: TONS
t
OREG 3 69950 llewvo 129000
WASH lt 220 350 350
us t Ts170 114750 12350
1/ ESTIMATES FOK CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FURWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
PAPAYAS - HAWAIT
AREA “UTILIZED PRODUCTION
MONTH TOTAL _IN CROP HARVESTED 1977? 1978 FORECAST
1977 B 1978 A 1977 A 1978 : :__ 1978-79
ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
SEP 3,065 3,190 2,265 2,145 5,502 5,350
ocT 3,105 3,200 2,260 2,230 6,461 6, 100
NOV 3,095 2,360 6,690 5,900
DEC 3, 140 2,395 5,625 5,000
JAN 3,095 2,280 4,253 4,400
FEB 3 3,080 2,220 3,804 4,000
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION JAN-OCT 57, 233 50,805
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


COTTON

AREA HARVESTED ' YIELO 1 PRODUCTION 1¢
7 ¥

330.0 34940
538.0 19178 997 959 334.0
780.0 392 534 400 77640
19655.0 19064 964 759 2eaBaed
2.6 514 425 467 166
115.0 398 232 480 199.0
0 258 420 Q 7
505.0 474 583 470 559.0
1615060 376 58) 363
+0 305 431 493
a 738 598 202
110.0 523 603 436
41.0 429 305 sou
560.0 251 soe ai?
100.0 438 342 506
° 240.0 298 407 440
4150000 645069 6410040 353 407 dea ay307s0 Seaseto  3e800c0
7 a 480 196 480 6 3 1
us ’ 10,8690 13420469 1292090 466 519 428 10152606 Les27760 10989545
COTTON, AMERSPIWA :
ARIZ “13060 42.3 32 804 738 46 65.0 S 4660
CALIF 3/1 a 3 al 040 269 480 22
NMEX 3 663 93 1365 476 621 3a 12.0 1s
TEX + 8.0 22.5 2860 404 147 480 3560 2860
us 3 rors Thee 75.8 692 Te 339 ze 85.1
COTTON, ALL
us $ 10991305 13927943 1228448 408 S20 42910958006 14438942 10098006
1/ PRODUCTION GINNED ANO TO BE GINNED, 2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FURWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
DRY EDIBLE YEANS v7
CROP AND STATE + AREA NARVESTEO ‘ YIELO 1 PROUUC TION
f t T TOT t TINO F T 7 Tar
11976 11977 -t_AYTH t_197] 11977 41978 tase tv t__97R
7 Te00T ACRES POUNDS T0080 Cat
LARGE LIMA BEANS 4
1 35.0 3160 29.0 14490 1969019700 ee 323 293
eer toma BEANS :
: 21.0 2200 2540 19800 29090 Ly SU 378 460 463
@EANS OTHER THAN LIMAS 4
CALIF $123.0 113.0 15660 19545 BTID 19549 19943 Beant
ORY EOIGLE BEANS 4
CALIF 117940 16640 210.0 19564 20926 34363
ovo + 18540 17040 00 19245 14530
TOAHO 3 189.0 15300 49670 2r10o ey001
KANS arn 12.5 1565 14200 dee 18s
MICH 4 54540 545.0 19000 $450 S520 55995
MINN ert 4240 40.00 867 364 396 AO
MONT ant 900 760 14700 153 106 2
NEBR 4 32060 11000 165 214980 19590 16766
NY + 3760 4360 14070 396 352 473
N DAK r 139.0 113.0 00 ayhie 19103 19263
uTan ens 13.0 8.0 390 51 @ 25
WASH ' 2600 27.0 19750 655 333 486
wro : 2540 29.0 14800 450 380 499
OTHER at 748 569 14366 105 50
vs $ 1049903 1026269 2947005 14186. 17,786 16e2AS_—_ RGAE

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GHOwN FOR GAKDEN SEED,
2/ ESTIMATES FOK CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FKOM EANLIEN FORECAST.
3/ ILL AND IND; ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Yields decreased in California and Texas and increased in Louisiana from that expected a
month earlier. Rice harvest progressed rapidly in Arkansas during October with little delay
from rain and virtually al] the crop was combined by November 1. California rice harvest was
more than 80 percent complete on November 1, but yields were mostly lower than in recent years.
The second cutting of Texas rice began in early October and proceeded at a steady pace as good
harvest conditions prevailed.

SOYBEANS: Soybean production is now forecast at a record 1.81 billion bushels (49.3 million met-

ric tons), up 1 percent from last month, and 3 percent above the previous record high
set last year. The production is 41 percent above the 1976 output. Yield per acre is indicated
at 28.6 bushels, down 2.0 bushels from tast year but 2.5 bushels above 1976.

Yield prospects in the North Central area decreased by 1 bushel from a month ago in Illinois,
Kansas and Michigan. However, prospects increased by 3 bushels in Minnesota and by 1 bushel in
Iowa and Missouri. Ohio, Indiana and Nebraska remained unchanged from last month. As of November
1, harvesting progress in the North Central States, at about 87 percent, was ahead of last year
and the average.

Yield changes from a month ago in the South Central region are also mixed. An increase of 2
bushels is indicated in Kentucky and 1 bushel increases are indicated in both Texas and Arkansas.
The Alabama yield is off } bushel while other States remain unchanged from a month ago. Harvest
Progress at about 63 percent in this region was well ahead of the previous year and the average.

PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at a record high 3.98 billion pounds (1.8% million metric

tons) net weight, up 1 percent from the October 1 forecast and 7 percent above the 3.73
billion pounds (1.69 million metric tons) produced last year. The expected yield of 2626 pounds
per acre is up 18 pounds from last month and up 169 pounds from last year. Acres for harvest re~
main at 3.52 million acres (673 thousand hectares).

The Virginia-North Carolina area is expecting production of 762 million pounds, 3 percent
more than 1977. Acres for harvest is unchanged from last year. Indicated yield at 2834 pounds
is up 94 pounds from a year earlier. Virginia's harvest neared completion by November 1. AT-
though the growing season ended on a dry note, there was sufficient moisture to complete maturity,
and the meat percentage is relatively high. Harvest in North Carolina is nearing completion.
The dry weather during September apparently affected yields less than growers anticipated around

October 1,

Southeastern production is expected to totat 2.54 billion pounds, 10 percent more than last
year, The average yield of 3116 pounds compares with 2814 pounds last year. Georgia's harvest
was virtually complete by November 1. Harvesting loss should be minimal this year because of the
extended dry period during harvest. The peanut harvest in Florida progressed very rapidly under
near perfect harvesting conditions through the month of October. Yields have been at record lev-
els. Harvest will continue into November.

Production in the southwest area is expected to tota) 675 million pounds, down 2 percent
from the 1977 crop. Acreage for harvest is up fractionally. Indicated yields average 1566
pounds per acre, down 35 pounds from last year, The south Texas harvest continues behind sched-
ule, Recent rains in the Cross-Timbers area of Texas were beneficial to the crop

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 11.0 million bales (480 Ibs, net weight) as of
November 1, 24 percent below 1977 production but 1 percent above the October 1 forecast.
Expected production consists of 10.9 million bales of Upland cotton and 85.1 thousand bales of
American-Pima. Cottonseed production in 1978, based on a three year average lintseed ratio, is
forecast at 4.25 million tons (3.86 million metric tons), 23 percent below 1977, .

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



SOYBEANS: VARIETIES GROWN AND ROW SPACING--1978

The Statistics Unit of ESCS conducted soybean objective yield surveys in 17 States which
accounted for about 94 percent of the 1978 U.S. soybean production. Plots were randomly selected
from a scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields which were visited monthly from about August
1 through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements.

Sample data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the following tables
are not official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board but are intended to show trends in soybean
production practices.

Williams, the leading soybean variety for the third consecutive year, accounted for 14.2 per-
cent of the acreage in the 17 States surveyed, This was up from 12.4 percent in 1977. Williams
is grown primarily in the North Central Region, but its popularity has moved into the South Cen-
tral States. Bragg, in second place with 8.4 percent of the total acreage covered by the survey,
was planted in the South Central and South Atlantic States. Corsoy, in third place with 7,3 per-
cent of the acreage, was planted in the North Central States. Forrest at 7.2 percent remained
the fourth most important variety in the 17 States, and was planted in all regions. Average row
space measurements in 1978 increased from 1977 in Arkansas and I}linois and decreased in the re-
maining States. The Ohio row spacing continued narrower than other North Central States because
of the higher percent of the acreage which js drill planted.

Statistical Reporting Service Bulletin SRS-17 includes similar data for earlier years.

SOYBEANS: REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1978 CROP 1/

VARIETY : NORTH : SOUTH : SOUTH : W7

CENTRAL 2/ | CENTRAL 3/ | ATLANTIC 47 STATES
WILLIAMS : 21.8 3.1 14.2
BRAGG : 15.7 42.3 8.4
CORSOY : 1.8 7.3
FORREST : 2.0 18.7 2.4 7.2
DAVIS : 6/ 10.2 6.0 3.9
LEE 5/ : 11.2 2.2 3.7
AMSOY 5/ : 5.9 3.6
WAYNE : 5.5 3.4
PICKETT 5/ : 9.8 $ 3.3
RANSOM : 3.3 24.9 2.9
ESSEX 3 o/ 7.2 6 2.4
CALLAND 3.8 2.3
WOODWORTH : 3.2 2,0
MITCHELL : 2.7 1.2 1.9
WELLS : 3.1 1.9
BEESON : 3.0 1.9
HODGSON : 3.0 6/ 1.9
MACK : 1,4 3.0 ~ 1.8
PETERSON 5/ : 2.8 1.8
YORK : 6/ 3.8 1.4 1.7
CUTLER 5/ : 2.0 1.0 1.5
DARE : 6/ 3.0 Ww
ALL OTHER 7/ : 28.0 8.8 20.8 19.9
ALL VARIETIES: 300.0 190.0 100.0 100.0

T7 REPORTED FOR THE FIELDS USED IN OBTAINING OBJECTIVE YIELO DATA INCLUDES ILL,
IND, IOWA, KANS, MINN, MO, NEBR AND OHIO. 3/ INCLUDES ALA, ARK; ky,1 LA, MISS AND
TENN. 4/ INCLUDES GA, NC AND SC, 5/ INCLUDES VARIETIES WITH ADDITIONAL NUMERIC
IDENTIFICATION SUCH AS AMSOY 71, PICKETT 71, ETC. 6/ LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF REGIONAL
TOTAL, INCLUDED IN ALL OTHER. 7/ INCLUDES UNKNOWN VARIETIES AND VARIETIES WITH LESS

THAN 1 PERCENT OF THE 17 STATE TOTAL.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CONDITIONS.
USDA

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
é November 1, 1978

# INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATEO PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER

NEG. ESCS 3170-78(11)

DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
i November 1, 1977

yan _ LOY, Z, Y

Sit

AS REPORTED BY
‘CROP CORRESPONDENTS.

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER

NEG. SAS 7.771011) STATISTICAL RE! PORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978

A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD

» ESCS, USDA


YIELD PER ACRE OF ALL CROPS*
As Percentage of ‘‘Normal’’, 1978

2 Good to excellent
3 Fair
EZ Poor
GAY Very poor ‘As nEPORTED BY
CROP CORRESPONDENTS:

USDA NEG. ESCS 3169-78(11)

YIELD PER ACRE OF ALL CROPS*

As Percentage of ‘‘Normai”’, 1977

‘AS REPORTED BY
(CROP RESPONDENTS

U.S, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 6-711) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP | AREA HARVESTED 4 YIELD 1 PRODUCTION
AND t TT TiN tT TINO 1 t 1 _IND
STATE {1976 1 _1y77_} 1978) 1976 1 1977 | 1978 | 1976 1 19 1 8
ER ee er
'
WINTER |
4
TOTAL wi aed 13.4 12.9 207 199203 29984 = 246602621
1
SPRING !
TOTAL at 9844 9106 90.7 251 250 199 269722 229870 18,026
1
SUMMER '
‘
TOTAL vw 118.7 11502 112.2 190 191 187 229541 219982 214013
FALL i}
CALIF ‘ 18.5 17.0 17.3 350-350 350 69475 54950 69055
coLo t 36.3 36.5 37.5 255 260 260 95257 94490 9,750
CONN ' 1.9 109 1.9 260 265 225 494 466 42k
IDAHO=10 Sw co | 3560 300 32.0 325 = 300 325) 128375 = 99000) 104400
wOTHER CO $ 32860 = 33060 © 33340 235) 240) 255777080) 794200 = 844915,
IND t 600 4? 309 255 240 = 240 19530 19128 936
MAINE 1 11200-12800 11960 245 260-220. 279440 = 284320) 264180
MASS \ 365 307 365 220 240 225 770 age 768
MICH 1 34.0 3200 34.0 265 275 255 85330 8800 = By 670
MINN ' 6760 72.0 69.0 165 180 210 119055 129960 14490
MONT 1 864 Bed 8.7 215 260 250 19806 = 29016 20175
NEBR ' 409 620 64 260 240 = 240 19274 19440 1,536
NEV t 14.0 14.0 17600-3800 340 310 59320 4e 7605270
NH 2s 4 o& 3 260 235 104 7
N Y*LONG IS | 23.9 22.8 23.3 310 «315280 79409 79182 64524
“UPSTATE \ 24.9 2006 26.5 265 260 250 69101-59356 6125
N DAK 4 121.0 13540 140 160 175 169940 219600 = 229400
OWI ' 12.5 1te2 255 245 285 29933-20744 24205
OREG=MALHEUR CO | 1160 1000 370-355-350 49070 = 35550 39 780
*OTHER CO | 5406 5000 455 440 440 249843224000 © 254608
PA ' 28.0 25.5 255 250 250 7e840 0 60375 69375
RI 1 4o2 Gel 250 230 230 15050 943 966
S OAK ! 4G 59 6S 180 185 286 1,062 19332
UTAH ' 5.2 569 24a 24G 250 12468 19416 1950
VT ' qe) 160 205 «235s 20 226 235 168
WASH 1 124.0 11060 450 460-465 554800 = 504600 48825
wis 1 53.0 55.5 290° 325 31S 15437018038 174325
wyo ! 603 607 270 «220 240 1970) 10474 = 19632
TOTAL \ Lelh3e0 1913807 19146.9 269 270 = 276 = 3070427 3077064 316,008
us 401937405 1535867 1,362.7 260 261 262 3575674 354,576 357,670

+
17 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CRUP.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Texas wheat seeding continued at a rapid pace; farmers rushed to take advantage of existing
soil moisture. Growth of early seedings was excellent with some fail grazing available. A few
dry areas remained where stands were difficult to establish. Oklahoma seeding was complete and
81 percent up to stand by the beginning of November; a small amount of pasture was available.

Winter wheat seeding on the northern Great Plains was virtually finished in early October.
The crop was generally in good condition but stands were spotty where farmers seeded in dry
soils.

In the Pacific Northwest early seeded winter wheat emerged to good stands while late seedings
struggled to emerge from dry soils. By the end of October farmers were delaying planting to wait
for a good rain.

In the North Central States seeding progress ran slightly ahead of recent years, The early
Yow Crop harvests gave farmers the opportunity to accelerate fall planting. Mild temperatures
at the end of October along with adequate soil moisture speeded germination and boosted growth.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record 6.89 billion bushels (175
million metric tons). This is 1 percent above the October 1 forecast and 8 per-
cent above the previous record set last year

Average yield is forecast at a record 101.2 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from last
month's forecast and up 10.2 bushels from last year. The previous record yield of 97,0 bushels
per acre was set in 1972. Yield changes from last month in the major States included a 4 bushel
increase in Minnesota and Nebraska, a 3 bushel increase in Missouri and a 2 bushel increase in
Iowa. These increases were only partially offset by a two bushel drop in Illinois and one bushel
decline in Indiana and Ohio.

Acreage for grain at 68.1 million acres (27.5 million hectares) is 3 percent below last year
but up 300 thousand acres from October 1 as acreage in South Dakota intended for harvest as
silage is being harvested for grain.

The corn harvest continued to progress rapidly as farmers took advantage of the open fall]
weather. By the erid of October almost three-fourths of the crop had been harvested, ahead of
last year and the average. In the eastern Corn Belt, a little over 60 percent of the crop was
in, with Illinois farmers having only about 20 percent remaining. Approximately 45 percent of
the Ohio and Indiana crops remained to be harvested.

In the western Corn Belt about 80 percent of the crop had been harvested, also ahead of last
year and normal.

In the South, harvest was almost finished, ranging from near 80 percent to over 90 percent.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: The Nation's production of grain sorghum is expected to total 704 million

bushels (17.9 million metric tons), down 11 percent from last year. Compared
with last month, prospective production advanced almost 1 percent as increases in Texas, Missouri,
and California were only partially offset by declines in Oklahoma and New Mexico.

At the beginning of November, 88 percent of the crop had been harvested in the 7 major pro-
ducing States, ahead of last year's 86 percent and the 79 percent average. Texas harvest lagged
Jast year and the average; damp weather and high moisture content of the grain slowed harvest
The southern Great Plains need a freeze to speed harvest.

RICE: Production of rice is forecast at a record high 138 million hundredweight (6.25 million
metric tons), 39 percent larger than last year's 99.2 million hundredweight (4.50 million
metric tons). The November 1 forecast is less than 1 percent lower than the October 1 forecast.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE ANU RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

State AVERAGE 1977 1978 STATE AVERAGE, 1977 1978
1967276 1967-76
PERCENT PERCENT

ALA 75 v2 96 NEV al 75 90
ARIZ % Tv 66 NH 84 82 18
ARK 77 75 62 Nv 76 89 78
CALIF 1% 38 as N MEX 7 73 70
coLo 7S 64 Ss? NY 86 86 35
CONN 83 81 85 NC 6l 73 68
OEL 80 7% 77 N DAK 69 66 83
FLA 79 72 70 On10 86 1 8s
Ga n so 39 OKLA 19 7s 45
ToaHo 84 69 86 OREG 80 17 97
Tut 83 521 76 Pa 83 87 83
Ind 85 91 83 RI 84 93 90
Towa 80 88 84 sc 72 57 47
KANS 7 6a 61 S vaK 66 80 82
Ky 88 90 84 TENN 81 83 65
A 73 1% 67 TEX 78 se $5
MAINE 83 82 61 UTAH 80 65 70
MO 79 72 70 \T 83 19 18
Mass: 83 8S 8s VA 63 76 rn
MICH 82 87 a7 WASH 9 66 88
MINN 70 84 88 WeVA 82 76 B2
MISS 7 % 53 wis 1s 7 90
4o 80 7 n wo 83 70 89
MONT 81 69 96

NEBR 72 88 7% us 78 7S 73

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT» 80 AND OVERS POOR TO FAlRs 65°79) VERY POORs 50-60) SEVERE
DROUGHT» 35-49% EXTREME DROUGHT» UNUER 356

AVAILABLE WHEAT PASTURE - NOVEMBER 1, 1977-78

+ ACRES OF WHEAT PASTURE

| PERCENT OF SEEDED WHEAT : REQUIRED TO CARRY A

3
WITH SUFFICIENT GROWTH ‘BEING PASTURED

STATE : TO, PASTURE 400 POUND CALF

POT vOvT NOV NOV ROT OT
1977, 1977; 1978s 1977 Ys «1978
PERCENT ACRE:

WESTERN KANSAS : 24 1 5 * 6 9

WESTERN OKLAHOMA =: 1? 6 3 1 8 8

TEXAS PANHANDLE =: «12 23 3 7 8 6

AVERAGE FOR WHEAT:

PASTURE REGION 19.5 wy 4.0 18 6.0 8.0

¥— TESS THAN 0-5 PERCENT, 17 REVISED.

WHEAT PASTURE: Only 7 percent of the fall seeded wheat in the three-State area of Kansas, Oklahoma and
Texas had sufficient growth to support grazing on November 1. This is down sharply from
last year when nearly 20 percent of the acreage could have been grazed, but more in line with November 1,
1975 and 1976. Less than 2 percent of the seeded acreage was being pastured on November 1 compared with
4 percent a year ago. Wheat forage supplies were rated mostly poor.

KANSAS (WESTERN): About 98 percent of the winter wheat was seeded by November 1, compared with 95 per-

cent a year ago. Only 1 percent of the acreage has developed adequate growth to sup-
port grazing as most areas remain dry, Last year nearly a fourth of the acreage coutd have been pastured
by November 1, Less than 1 percent of the acreage is being grazed with available forage rated poor.
OKLAHOMA (WESTERN): Virtually all of the wheat was planted by November 1 but dry weather has plagued

the crop since seeding. Only 6 percent of the acreage would provide grazing com-

pared with 17 percent last year but this year is Comparable with 1975 and 1976. Cattle were grazing on
1 percent of the acreage this November 1. Forage supplies are rated poor with rain needed to develop °
good rooting,
TEXAS (PANHANOLE AND LOW PLAINS}: About 94 percent of the wheat was seeded dy November 1 compared with
86 percent a year ago. Most areas need more rain to promote growth
and root development. Nearly a fourth of the acreage would support grazing, up sharply from last year's
12 percent. About 7 percent of the acreage was being grazed, more than double last year's 3 percent.
Forage supplies rated mostly fair with some poor to good.
8-11

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



CROP PRODUCTION (Qin

Released: November 9, 1978 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Corn production is forecast at a record 6.89 billion bushels (175 million metric
tons), up 1 percent from the October 1 forecast and 8 percent above the pre-
vious record set last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1978
production forecast is 6.61 to 7.17 billion bushels.

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 704 million bushels (17.9 million metric
tons), up 1 percent from last month, but 11 percent Jess than last year.

Feed grain production (corns sorghum, oats and barley combined) is forecast at a
record high 211 million metric tons, 5 percent more than a year ago.

Soybean production, forecast at a record 1.81 billion bushels {49.3 million met-
Yic tons), is up 1 percent from a month ago and 3 percent above the 1977

crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1978 production forecast
is 1.73 to 1.89 billion bushels.

All_ cotton production is forecast at 11.0 million bales, 24 percent below 1977 but
percent above the October ] forecast. The 90 percent confidence interval
for this production forecast is 10.2 to 11.7 million bales.

Oilseed production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts, flaxseed and sunflower) is
forecast at 56.8 million metric tons, up 1 percent from last year.

All tobacco production is forecast at 2.01 billion pounds (911 thousand metric
tons), 5 percent above 1977 but virtually unchanged from October 1. Flue-
cured production is up 8 percent and burley production is up 1 percent from
last year.

Fall_ potato production is forecast at a record 316 million cwt. (14.3 million met-
ric tons), 3 percent above the 1977 crop.

Qrange production forecast at 215 million boxes (8.48 million metric tons), is
lown 2 percent from Tast season.

CrPr 2-2 (11-78) For Information Cal?: (202) 447-2127


Harvest of the California crop continued as ideal weather prevailed during October. Thresh-
ing will continue for several more weeks. Yields are lower than earlier expectations due to hot
temperatures during the summer. In Michigan, harvest is virtually complete. Good weather during
October aided final combining. Growers realized slightly better yields than earlier expected.
Colorado's harvest of the dry bean crop was completed on schedule in mid-October. Yields from
irrigated acreage were better than earlier anticipated, but non-irrigated acreage did not re-
ceive enough precipitation and yields were poor. The Idaho dry bean harvest was near completion
by November 1. Quality of the crop was generally very good.

POTATOES: Production of fall potatoes for the U.S. is forecast at a record 316 million cwt.
(14,3 million metric tons), 1 percent above the October 1 forecast and 3 percent above
the 307 million cwt. (13.9 million metric tons) produced in 1977. Area for harvest is estimated
at 1.15 million acres (464 thousand hectares), } percent greater than last year. Yields nation-
ally are forecast at 276 cwt., up 6 cwt. per acre from last year and 7 cwt. per acre above 1976.

Production in the seven Eastern States is estimated at 47.6 million cwt., 5 percent below
the 49.8 million cwt. harvested in ~ the average yield is placed at 235 cwt. per acre, down
significantly from the 252 cwt. per acre average in 1977.

Digging was virtually complete in Maine by October 7 under ideal harvesting conditions.
Favorable weather also prevailed on Long Island and Upstate New York where growers are reporting
good quality potatoes on hand.

In the eight Central States, production is forecast at 68.9 million cwt., 2 percent above
the 67.8 million cwt. produced Tast year. Yield per acre is placed at 220 cwt. per acre, 10 cwt
above 1977, Record high yields are forecast in Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota.

Michigan's patato harvest was over 95 percent complete by November 1. Good weather during
October allowed same acreage to be harvested which was originally feared lost. Harvest progressed
ahead of schedule in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota because of excellent wea-
ther conditions. By October 17 only a few scattered fields remained to be harvested. Storages
filled rapidly as better than expected yields were realized. Harvest was essentially completed
in Wisconsin by November ] without any Joss from frost.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 200 million cwt., 5 percent more than the
189 million cwt. produced during 1977. Harvested area is placed at 63] thousand acres compared
with 619 thousand acres harvested last year. The average yield at 317 cwt. per acre is 117 cwt.
above last year.

Digging is virtually complete in Idaho with favorable conditions prevailing during most of
the harvest season. The crop is expected to grade a higher percentage of number one potatoes
than in previous years. Harvest was abaut 95 percent complete in Oregon on November 1, with good
weather prevailing during most of October. Ideal October harvest weather also prevailed in Wash-
ington and growers responded by rapidly moving potatoes into storages. By month's end, only a
few fields were left to be dug. Quality of the crop is good this year.

TOBACCO: The Nation's tobacco production is forecast at 2.01 billion pounds (911 thousand metric
tons), down Tess than T percent from October 1, but up 5 percent from the 1977 crop.

Flue-cured production is up 8 percent and burley production is up 1 percent from last year

Yield per acre for all tobacco is forecast at 2118 pdunds compared with 1997 pounds in 1977.

Flue-cured output is estimated at 1.22 billion pounds (553 thousand metric tons), 8 percent above
1977. The higher production is due to an increase in yields. Yield per acre is forecast at 207
pounds compared with 1917 a year earlier. Sales of flue-cured tobacco were about complete in
North Carolina and Virginia, and were completed earlier fn South Carolina, Georgia and Florida.

Fire-cured tobacco is expected to total 56.5 million pounds (25.6 thousand metric tons), 8 per-
cent above a year earlier. Acreage and yield are both above 1977.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



Growers expect to harvest 12.3 million acres (4.97 million hectares) of all cotton this year,
7 percent below 1977 and virtually unchanged from the October 1 estimate. Average lint yield per
harvested acre is forecast at 429 pounds, 91 pounds below 1977,

Texas and Oklahoma Upland cotton production is forecast at 3.97 million bales for 1978, a
decrease of 33 percent from last year but 3 percent above the October 1 forecast. Favorable
weather has promoted crop maturity in west Texas and Oklahoma and harvesting is underway. Many
growers are waiting for a killing freeze but some have defoliated their crop.

In the Delta States--Mississipp{, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Missouri--the cotton
crop is expected to produce 2,90 million bales, 24 percent below 1977 but 5 percent above the
October 1 forecast. Harvesting activity has progressed rapidly, aided by excellent weather.
Most States are at least three-quarters complete.

Production in the Southeastern States--Georgia, Alabama, South Carolina, and North Carol ina--
is expected to total 545 thousand bales, up 5 percent from 1977 and 3 percent above the October 1
forecast, Harvest has advanced at a fast pace with minor delays and is approaching the final
stages,

The California, Arizona, and New Mexico Upland crop is forecast at 3.48 million bales, 14
percent below last year and 5 percent below the October } forecast. Harvest is off to a slow
start in California and was delayed by rain in Arizona and New Mexico.

The Bureau of the Census reports 4,667,013 running bales ginned to November 1 compared with
7,493,396 bales ginned to the same date in 1977 and 3,703,226 bales in 1976,

U.S, FEED GRAINS PRODUCTION

‘MIL. METRIC TONS:

200 Total feed grains

150 & SORGHUM
100
50 CORN
0
1969 1972 1975 1978
304

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Dry bean production for 1978 is forecast at 18.9 million owt. (855 thousand

metric tons), 1 percent above last month's forecast and 16 percent more than
Jast year. Acreage for harvest, at 1.47 million acres (595 thousand hectares), is 16 percent
above last year. Yield prospects increased 19 pounds during October and are now forecast at 1282
Pounds per acre. This compares with the 1977 yield of 1290 pounds.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



CONTENTS

PAGE
ALL CROPS MAP ......000 a eeeee Dene e eee eee e eee enaceetenserewnes A~ 6
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE . . B- 4
CITRUS FRUIT ....eeeeeee B-10
CORN CROPPING PRACTICES . B-13
CORN FOR GRAIN .......-.- . B- 1
CORN FOR GRAIN ROW WIDTH . . B-14
COTTON ...... cece eee sees . . B- 4
CRANBERRIES .cccccccccccncsccvcccecectesccetscccenceuse . B- 9
NUTS 2s... . Be 9
PAPAYAS . oo... sce eeeeeeeeeees B- 9
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION . B-11
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION MA A- 7
PEANUTS FOR NUTS ....ceccevecceeece . . B- 3
POTATOES ....... . - B- 5
PRUNES .. . B- 9
RICE ...ceeeeee . B- 2
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN . . B- 2
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS . B- 3
SOYBEANS, VARIETIES GROWN & ROW SPACING . B-16
SUGARBEETS ...sceseeveeeee . B- 8
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED . . B- 8
TOBACCO, BY STATES ......- . seeeee B- 8
TOBACCO BY CLASS & TYPE . tees B- 6
US SUMMARY ...csceeeeeeceee A- 3
WHEAT PASTURE .. . B-11
WINTER WHEAT MAP . oe. ccc ecccec cece teen e eee eneteteeneeseesseseeee B-12

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SOYBEANS: DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES, OBJECTIVE YIELD STATES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1978 CROP 1/

STATE Hy LEADING VARIETIES BY PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED
FIRST SECOND 3 THTRO
TAFE PERCENT TARE PERCENT = WARE PERCENT
ALA + Bragg 28.9 : Ransom 19.0: lee 2 12.7
ARK : Pickett 2/ 27.6: Forrest 23.8: Lee 3 15.4
GA : Bragg 73.9: Davis 8.2: Ransom 4.5
TLL > WiTams 31.1:  Corsoy 7.8: Wayne 7.5
INO : Williams 27.5: Calland 11,5:  Amsoy af 10.2
TOWA : Corsoy 27.0: Wells 8.2: Williams 71
KANS : Williams 20.0: Clark 2 17.0: Columbus 9.0
KY 1 Essex 31.3: Williams 26.9 York 11.9
LA : Davis 26.8: Bragg 26.8: Forrest 24.2
MINN :  Corsoy 36.8 : Hodgson 25.8: Swift 9.3
MISS : Bragg 24.0: Lee A 20.3 Davis 12.2
3 > Wiliams 44.2: Forrest’ 10.6: Mack 8.4
NEBR : Amsoy — 2/ 21.9: Williams 14.8 : Woodworth 8.6
NC : Ransom 53.5: Bragg 18.3: Forrest 7.0
OHIO :  Calland 19.6: Williams 16.5 : Wayne 10.7
sc : Bragg 36.6: Ransom 15.5 ; Bossier 10.6
TENN : Forrest 41.8: Essex 17.6: York 15.3

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGES DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1976-1978 1/

STATE 7 _NUNEER = “ROW WIDTH GROUP: Tt
‘AND : : aa ue TRUE. ; AVERAGE

OF a ? ? .
YEAR i SAMPLES: LESS 2/ 34.5 1 GREATER: wrth
: PERCENT OF SAMPLES
ARK 1976 : 156 4.5 18.1 77.4 35.7
1977 : 150 6.8 23.6 69,6 34:7
1978 : 143 5.6 21.3 73.1 35.4
Itt 1976 : 151 13.0 38.0 49.0 32.5
1977 : 163 9.2 $4.3 46.5 32.7
1978 : 166 7.5 44.9 47.6 33.3
IND 1976 : 3 7.5 30.1 62.4 33.5
1977 : jog 12:5 46.3 41.2 32.1
1978 t 112 13.4 42.0 44.6 31.9
TOWA 1976 : 139 6.1 36.0 57.9 34.4
1977 3 155 5.8 34.2 60.0 34.4
1978 z 141 9.6 41.1 49.3 33.3
MINN 1976 : w0 8.1 35.0 59.9 344
1977 : 93 7.0 42.5 50.5 33.2
1978 : 90 12.8 47.8 39.4 31.9
MISS 1976 : 125 9.6 10.8 79.6 35.8
1977 : 124 14.6 8.5 76.8 34.8
1978 : 121 15.3 1.2 73.5 34.3
“0 1976 : 141 7.6 30.6 61.9 34.3
1977 : 139 5.9 3714 56.7 . 34.1
1978 : 134 75 45.1 47.4 3312
OHIO 1976 : 104 36.1 38.0 26.0 26.2
1977 103 40.3 38.8 20.9 25.7
1978 104 38.9 ana 1917 2515
y INCLUDES SOYBEANS PLANTED WITH A GRAIN DRILL.
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-17

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Early in the month of October a blast of cool air from Canada spread snow throughout the
Rockies. The accumulation was well above normal in the central portion. Later a trough of low
pressure brought moisture northward and spread showers, some very heavy, from southern California
and Nevada eastward to west Texas. Most of the winter wheat area of Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas
had only light rain during the month. The southeastern U.S. continued very dry. Temperatures
averaged generally coo] in the East and warm in the West.

Unseasonably cool air from Canada moved into the northern Plains during the first week of
October and spread into the Rockies and to the east. Only southern Florida was spared the coo)
spell. Freezing temperatures reached into the centra] Plains and the western portion of the Corn
Belt. Average temperatures for the week dropped as much as 9 degrees below normal in Alabama.
The West held above normal~-6 to 9 degrees warmer in central California. Significant rain was
confined to the area east of the Rockies. Heavy rain deluged parts of Texas's Rio Grande Valley
causing unusual flooding. The Southeast, except for southern Florida, again recorded little or
no rain,

The second week of October was warm and dry from southern Louisiana to western Montana and
westward. Exceptions included the far Northwest and an area in southwest Texas where heavy rains
occurred, Warm temperatures in the West persisted with weekly averages as much as 12 degrees
above normal in California. Heading eastward, rain fell in the southern Corn Belt from southern
Missouri to the upper Ohio Valley. Some very welcome rain fell in the southeastern U.S., but
many of these dry areas recorded very little rain, The East remained cool as the freeze line
dipped into North Carolina.

A change in the general weather pattern occurred during the week of October 16-22. In-
cursions of cool air from the north failed to move very far southward, and by the end of the
week, chilled only the northern tier of States. A trough of low pressure began carrying moisture
into the southwestern U.S. Showers fell throughout the Southwest and spread slowly eastward into
the Rockies. Snow fell in the Rockies, and rain extended into the central Plains. Light amounts
of precipitation fell from the Great Lakes through New England. Southern and eastern Florida
noted some heavy showers. The West's warm weather moved eastward through the Plains leaving only
south Texas and the area east of the Mississippi River cooler than normal,

Ouring the period October 23-31, Tow pressure in the Southwest edged northeastward and
triggered another outbreak of cool air from the north which moved rapidly southward and eastward.
Showers continued in the Southwest and heavy showers accumulated over two inches in southwest
Texas. Moderate to heavy rain fell from central Texas through New England. Moderate showers
covered Florida and light rain extended northward along the East Coast. Another low pressure
system formed in the Southwest. Cool air invaded the Pacific Northwest, but the area from
California through the northern Plains remained slightly warmer than normal. A new outbreak
of cool air brought the freezing line al] the way into Oklahoma and Tennessee; however, the
Southeast and East Coast averaged warmer than normal

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

Open weather during most of October gave farmers ample time to plant 1979 winter wheat. By
November } planting had advanced to 97 percent complete compared with 92 percent in 1977 and the
96 percent average. Because of mostly clear weather in the Great Plains, soils became relatively
dry. Farmers had tended to delay planting in anticipation of rain, but as October progressed with
little or no rain, they seeded in dry soils. Some southeastern U.S. growers curtailed plantings
because of the drought conditions persisting in that region. Dryland stands on the Great Plains
grew slowly.

The 1979 Kansas wheat crop was 98 percent seeded by October 29, 3 points ahead of last year
and the average, Dry soils persisted through October, slowing dryland wheat growth and limiting
ground cover. Some blowing occurred late in the month. Rains are needed before winter to pro-
mote development and limit winterkill. Nebraska winter wheat rated fair to good. Late month
rains temporarily improved conditions but many areas needed more soil moisture before the onset
of subfreezing temperatures. Rains around October 21st in Colorado improved stands, root growth,
and emergence of late plantings.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



TOBACCO

STATE ry AREA HARVESTEO 4 YIELO t PRODUCTION
r y t INO ¢ t ' IND = ry t IND
i 1976 ¢ A977 3 1978 + 1976 + 1977 % 1978 ¢ 1976 ¢ 1977 = 1978
t ACRES POUNDS: T9900 “POUNDS —
:
ALA 1 ' 640 550 S20 15800 13900 19800 19t52 19045 936
CONN ' 49550 39500 39510 15580 15606 19546 79189 5620 59427
FLA : 149350 110840 114000 29145 29094 29050 309828 249798 226550
Ga t 689000 659000 615060 1,620 20075 29050 1239760 1349875 t 050
INO ' 7500 64900 64600 24620 25400 29450 189150 164560 1os170
KY t 2079000 1969750 1894450 29403 29297 2,395 4979401 4529024 453,788
La ly 3 140 140 1460 700 850 800 98 119 112
MO : 235000 23000 234000 14300 1s310 1+350 299900 309130 314050
MASS t e210 19160 990 29525 19643 19473 19845, 19906 19458
MO 1/ : 29400 29500 29400 29190 29340 29250 59256 $9850 $9400
NC 3 4481000 3925600 = 3984500 24015 19896 2,095 929930 T44e525 © 834,663
OHIO t 119100 109400 109100 2eh03 29143 29287 239343 220283 235095
PA t 134500 13500 139500 14750 19940 14880 239625 269190 255380
sc ' 759000 685000 703000 21045 21040 29150 1539375 1389720 1504500
TENN fy 684450 689460 705350 22040 19997 2si2e5 1395668 1369746 1499465
VA 1 B6+780 799700 73,250 1,773 19794 19685 1539678 1429985 1365041
wvA /t 1.600 11600 10500 14790 29020 19700 30222 39232 29550
wis ' 119100 12,050 12,100 1,82) 29059 19837 209209 249809 229223
us 2240449520 957s650 9475910 29045 15997 2,118 242359829 Ls912e427 2,007,858
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SUGARBEETS
STATE : AREA HARVESTED : YIELD PRODUCTION
’ ? ? IND t z iy INO + ? t IND
3 1976 + 19772 1978 : 1976 t 1977 31978 ¢ 1976 3 1977 3 1978
' 15000 ACRES TONS 19000 TONS:
:
ARIZ lst 17.0 1268 15.5 2340 2203 20.4 391 265 316
CALIF ist 31260 21700 20000 28.6 2600 2660 bs64e 99200
COLO : 121.0 7200 84.0 19.0 1965 18S 19404 19556
IDAHO t 139.4 10764 128.0 20.7 1965 20.0 29094 22560
KANS : 36.0 2400 2640 1967 1607 16.0 401 468
MAINE 2/t 5.5 10.2
MICH ’ M4 85.5 90.0 16.8 2lev 19.0 19540 16796 19710
MINN : 248.0 260.0 261.0 l2e2 1862 1960 39026 49732 49959
MONT : 4601 4500 45.2 21.0 1969 20.0 968 896 904
NEBR ‘ 66.5 6767 7400 2060 20.0 1900 11690 15354 14406
N MEX 3/1 oo) 12 201 22.2 1962 20.0 20 23 42
N DAK : 149.8 15562 157.0 13.5 1768 1965 2.022 29769 39062
OHIO : 36.5 22.5 23.3 16.9 2003 1607 617 457 389
OREG iy 14.5 8.2 8.8 2501 2561 2540 364 206 220
TEX : 2363 17.9 24.0 21.6 1763 1365 $o3 309 44a
UTAH + 18.0 908 12.6 17.6 1762 v7 173 ay
WASH t 76.5 6146 70.0 24.4 24.3 2600 16862 19495 19820
wo ' 56.4 4864 4769 20.7 19.6 20.0 19167 949 954
us &  10478.8 Le2l6s2 1926964 139.9 20.5 2007 299386 245985 2645229
1/ RELATES TO YEAR UF HARVEST.
2/ NONE PLANTED IN 1977 OR 1976.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORMARD FROM EAKLIER FORECAST.
SUGARCANE FUR SUGAR AND SEEO
STATE cy AREA HARVESTED t YIELO PRODUCTION
r t ? TAD T ? TRO 7 7 IND
3 1976 3 19772 1978! 1976! 1977 + 1978 ¢ 1976 3 1977 3 1978
+ 19000 ACRES TONS Ty000 TONS:
t
FLA ' 298.0 300.0 310.0 3266 29.9 3060 99715 84970 94300
nAW 7 106.7 10365 108.3 B7e7 ABeT 9302 90362 99176 100083
La : 31500 322.0 300.0 2566 23.9 21.65 69065 79695 69450
TEX : 27.3 3369 34.3 35.8 2962 3100 978 989 14063
us : 747.0 759.6 152.6 37.6 35.3 3567 2Hel20 260830 2o989h
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1976-78

__ROW WIDTH [INCHES) 17

STATE | NUMBER i—ay-x —: . : . : * AVERAGE
AND} OF op 30.6- } 32.6 ' 34.6- 3 36.6- } 38.6- $40.68 : ROW

YEAR SAMPLES ; yecg =: 32.5; 34.5 | 36.5 | 38.5 | 40.5 | GREATER : WIOTH

> NUMBER PERCENT OF SAMPLES INCHES

colo 1976 «=: «(124 64.5 17.8 2 4.0 4.9 4.0 1.6 31.4
1977, 123 69.1 19.5 3.3 4a 8 3.2 30.8
1978: (109 73.4 16.5 1.8 3 2.8 2.8 18 31.1

GA 1976: 95 1.0 5.3 30.5 45.3 15.8 2.1 37.0
1977: 7B 1.4 38.4 34.2 20.5 5.5 37.2

1978 =: 83 3.6 7.2 1.2 33.7 39.8 10.9 3:6 36.6

IL 1976: 225 24.9 8.9 x) 9.8 38.2 16.9 4 35.1
1977: 200 23.5 6.5 5 14.5 37.0 17.0 1.0 35.4

1978 =: 221 29.9 8.1 9 13.6 32.1 14:9 3 34.7

IND 1976: 184 28.3 8.1 1.6 4 38.6 12.0 34.8
19770: (175 28.6 10.3 WW? 9.7 34.9 13.7 Ww 34.8

1978 6: (174 34.5 1424 Ww 10.9 27.0 10:3 re 33.9

IOWA 1976 : 186 16.7 6.4 1.6 8.6 47.8 16.7 2.2 36.1
1977: (207 15.0 5.8 ‘5 8.7 43.5 20.7 5.8 36.6

1978 =: «(197 73 15.2 6.1 34.5 24.4 2.5 35.7

KANS 1976: 150 54.7 20.0 2,0 9.4 7.3 5.3 1.3 32.0
: 19277: 143 55.2 22.4 7 2.7 6.3 7.0 7 31.9
1978: «(147 50.3 28.6 2.0 6.8 6 4.8 14 31.8

KY 1976128 18.0 9.8 2.5 8.2 33.6 20.5 7.4 36.1
1977: (106 12.3 7.5 4.7 13.2 34.9 18.9 8.5 36.4

1978 =: 1 13.5 4 4.5 10.8 29.8 18.9 8.1 35.9

MICH 1976: 101 26.7 10.9 2.0 10.9 21.8 20.8 6.9 38.1
1977: 95 33.7 16.8 3.2 24 17.9 18.9 2.1 33.9
1978: 93 43.0 15.1 5.4 6.4 12:9 14:0 312 33.2

SEE FOOTNOTES ATEN OF TABLE.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
__{METRIC UNITS) |

AREA HARVESTED _ > _ YIELD FER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
3 3 ? ? A INDICATED
CROP : 1977 monte? 1977 x INDICATED, 1977 : :

2 i 2 i 1978 i 4978

: HECTARES TETRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN H 2g 330 730 27 544 820 6.35 el 821 300 173 330 470 175 O21 940
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 2 1 960 5 44) 460 3.29 0 083 360 17 754 350 17 885 830
RICE : 0 180 1 237 540 5.05 4 500 680 6 250 410 6 247 100
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 1 23 315 000 25 603 930 1.92 47 947 110 48 771990 49 270 710
PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 613 670 613 350 2.94 1 690 080 1 792 850 1 805 120
COTTON : 5 374.000 4 971 540 0.48 3132 860 2 367 220 2 390 730
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 3 511 080 $95 100 1.44 738 810 842 540 855 150
POTATOES, :

FALL : 460 820 464 140 30.88 13 928 120 14 152 820 14 333 810
TOTAL : 549 850 553 470 29.42 16 083 210 16 042 570 16 223 550

TOBACCO : 387 570 383 610 2.37 867 450 912 140 910 740
SUGARBEETS H 492 180 613 710 46.32 22 666 O10 23 663 910 23 794 550
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR:
ANO SEED : 307 320 304 570 80.11 24 339 770 24 535 720 24 399 640
ORIED PRUNES (CALIF) = 142 430 aes 190 120 660
CRANBERRIES : 95 350 108 680 193-130
FILBERTS : 10 700 10 700 11 250
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ H 1977-78 1978-79 1978-79
‘RANGES : Be 750 «BAT 920 8 85-900
LEMONS : 899 930 896 300 896 300

7 SEP 978. 27 SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION
OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

a BREA FARVESTED + YIELD PER HECTARE ——7 PRODUCTION
OP. t : 2 : :
1977. yg ys 1977s gore ys 19771978 1
HECTARES METRIC TORS
OATS : $441 870 4 836 450 1.99 1.79 10 855 940 8 649 160
BARLEY : 3840 510 3 685 110 2136 2159 9 053 040 © 9-545 660
ALL WHEAT + 26 796 960 22 877 940 2.06 2.12 55 133 050 48 399 030

WINTER 2 19 594 690 15 720 590 212 2.18 41 550 320 33 847 560

DURUM : 1224380 1-609 050 1.78 2.13 2176 260 3 420 040

OTHER SPRING : 5978 080  § 548 300 191 2101 17-406 470 © 11:137 430
RYE + 280 850 433 020 1.54 1:68 431 770 725 640
FLAXSEED : 572 230 374 740 on 0.79 409 090 297 320
SUNFLOWER : 892 340 ©1079 310 1:40 1142 1252 120 1 537 850
ALL HAY + 24 480 910 24 788 880 4.86 5.09 118 892 910 126 242 920

ALFALFA : 10 961 030 11 152 850 6.66 6.89 72 964 870 76 883 910

ALL OTHER =): 13.519 80-13 636 030 3.40 3162 45 928.020 49 359 O10
ORY EDIBLE PEAS : 67 580 79 720 0.69 196 46 400 156 400
POTATOES :

WINTER : 5 420 5220 22.26 22.78 120 650 118 890

SPRING : 36 990 36 710 © 28.04 22:28 1 037 360 817 730

SUMPER : 46 620 45.490 21.39 20.99 997 080 953 130
SHEE TPOTATOES > 45 490 47.960 12.36, 13.01 562 220 623 730
PEPPERMINT FOR OIL: 35-170 42 250 0.06 0.06 2 000 2 680
SPEARMINT FOR OIL : 15 O10 19 140 0.07 0.08 1 060 1 440
Hops : 12.340 12 500 2:01 2:00 24 850 25 000
APPLES, COM'L : 3018 910 3 349 080
PEACHES : 1 356 690 1-183 230
PEARS : 713 590 633 850
GRAPES : 3898 900 3-916 770
SWEET CHERRIES : 134 080 131 270
TART CHERRIES. : 95 660 79 020
APRICOTS : 133 720 107 230
NECTARINES (CALIF) 736 080 131 540
PLUMS (CALIF) : 142 430 117 930
PRUNES AND PLUMS =:

(EXCL CALIF) : 55 340 58 970
PECANS : 107 320 96 300
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 225 890 154 220
WALNUTS : 174 630 145 150

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE ¢ AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO : PRODUCTION

i 7 7 “IND +t 7 IND 7 ~IND

4 1976 3 1977 4 1978s 1976 + 1977 $1978 3 1976 3 4977 4 1978

' 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS”

'
ALA lst 800 375 S40 6000-2940 50.0 484000 100a7S = -272000
ARIZ 1/3 28 50 45 6000 6000 = 10040 39000 49500
ARK 1/3 45 43 30 S600 5340 5000 29279 19500
CALIF Ist 290 247 240 11060 11640 © 1200 289652 289800
COLO ’ 630 695 600 10260 11660 110.0 809620 664000
CONN 2/8
DEL ! 195 165 180 88.0 5640 96.0 179160 109360 179280
FLA At 480 299 370 60,0 «©3540 5800 284800 20465 = 212460
GA ! 29160 17000 19490 6260 2440 $0.0 1339920 240000 704000
IOAHO 1/1 35 2a 31 85.0 8640 86.0 29975 24408 21666
TLL 119590 104980 104700 10740 = 10540 = 11200 192400130 191520900 141982400
IND ' 69300 69210 $e900 =110,0 102.0 109.0 6939000 6339420 6434100
Towa + 129900 129400 129100 9140 884011760 190919200 19415700
KANS ' 14790 19680 1+500 96.0 9640 9900 1619280 1485500
KY ' 19360 19410 19340 102.0 9000 8600 1269900 1 40
La Ve TL 6s 50 66.0 «52.0 5840 39380 25900
MAINE 2/1
MD ’ 630 600 $80 92.0 72.0 9600 579960 439200 555680
MASS 2/8 0 ) 0 040 0.0 000 0 0 0
MICH t 29230 20250 29150 69,0 8540 82.0 15396870 1919250 1765300
MINN t $2600 69000 6y100 5940 10000 103.0 © 3309400 = 6000000 = 628 300
MISS 1/8 172 160 135 4740 3640 4300 89084 59760 5805
Mo : 25850 29700 29200 6160 7600 9060 1739850 2059200 1984000
MONT 1/8 i 1) a 75.0 68.0 7000 625 748 770
NEBR ' 69100 69350 69300 = 8540 = 9940 12260 © 5184500 6284650 += 705600
NEV 2/8
NH 2/8
Nj wt 103 95 90 86.0 7040 84.0 8,858 69650 74560
N MEX 178 96 114 63° 105.0 90.0 = 11000 10080 109260 69930
NY oft 573 640 620 7640 = 8000 7760 439548 = 519200 474740
NC ' 19880 19690 195460 B00 Sled 77.0 1509400 869190 1189580
N OAK 1/8 191 237 240 40.0 = 6840 7000 79640 169116 169800
OHIO ’ 39320 39620 39570 10300 10540 = 10440 © 3930460 = 3804100» 3714280
OKLA 1/8 106 95 70-9540 8200 7940 10+070 79790 54530
OREG 1/3 10 12 10 9000 9500 9500 900 19160 950
an ae LelS0 19160 Ywl20 9000 9200 Bie =: 1039S00 = 1HHe720 4015920

t
sc ust 667 620 515 74.0 3660 5500 = 499358 = 229320 284 325
$ OAK 8 19200 20150 29500 3120 5940 = 6640 375200 1269850 = 1654000
TENN 1/8 715 730 650 7920 6500 7500 56485 479450 «= 484 750
TEX 1 49950 19650 19350 12060 = 9Be0 = 9800) 1BGHDN0 ©=— 1612700 = 1324300
utan yt 15 13 146 9060 = 8900 68.0 19350 19157 19232

'
vA ry 610 560 580 78,0 S50 8560 = 474580 305800 = 494300
WASH 1st 44 48 45 10760 = 10640 = 10840 49708 5-086 49860
WA LAI 61 54 58 8860 T4e0 8500 68 39996 49930
WIS : 20220 29750 29500 «6840-10440 = 9760 = 1509960 2864000 = 2420500
wyO lst 22 0 27 = 8740 = 8500 B60 19914 29550 21322
us § 7v300 700006 680064 A769 LoD 1012 642668359 693709624 698900310

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

STATE ¢ AREA HARVESTED a YIELD ' PRODUCTION

f T INDE tT T~IND ? t ~ IND

t 1976 ¢ 1977 1978 + 1976 t 1977 $ 1978 t 1976 1 1977 _¢ 1978

' T+000 ACRES BUSHELS 000 BUSHELS

i
ALA : 19170 19600 19950 2400 2120 21.0 285080 331600 400950
ARK 1 49320 41600 41800 19.0 2340 2360 824080 1059800 1100600
OEL vi 20S 225 235 2400 2460 2760 49920 59400 6934S
FLA we 253 327 400 26.0 25.0 2660 69578 89175 109400
GA + 870 19990 1s700 23.5 2000 1860 2044S, 217800 307600
ILL ' 79560 89850 00 3360 38.0 3340 2499480 3369300 3034600
IND t 39280 39900 34.0 3720 3320 1119520 1359300
Towa 1 69450 74080 31.0 35.5 1999950 2774500
KANS: + 86S 990 19430 15.0 2805 129975 260215 249319
KY ’ 19070 19320 15450 27.0 3160 289890 409920 405600
ta ' 29250 21680 25950 26.0 2365 632000 629980 709800
“Oo ' 295 325 345 2500 27.0 79375 89775 11040
MICH t S65 720 810 20.5 3000 149583 215600 169630
MINN ' 39020 30770 4,000 22.0 3565 669440 1339835 1400000
MISS ' 39250 39650 39900 22.0 21-5 719500 7189475 810900
MO 4 49200 49650 5.500 20.0 32-0 849000 1485800 1599500
NEBR ’ 980 19130 19270 2000 3640 199600 409680 439180
NJ Ve 138 v7 ies 2420 2400 39312 48248 4rB10
NY se 12 19 16 26.0 2360 a2 437 368
ne ’ 19120 19320 15600 2260 2200 249640 299040 389400
N DAK 1/% 147 175 185 12.5 200 19838 39500 39885
OHIO ' 21880 39380 39720 3340 3505 959040 1199990 1199040
OKLA 1/8 250 340 3s 22.0 2360 $9500 79820 b615
PA ve 50 67 67 29.0 31-0 19450 29077 19876
sc ' 19190 14300 15460 18.0 2005 219420 269650 299200
S OAK l/t 27 3s 360 1760 3005 41607 92608 90720
TENN 1 19800 20220 20420 2265 23.5 409500 529170 551660
TER + 347 Teo 750 26.0 26-5 99022 209140 189000
vA ' 398 440 440 2005 19.0 89159 89360 119680
wIS 1st 152 192 210 2260 3560 2600 39344 69720 59880
us t 490358 57.612 634268 26e1 3026 2426 142870560 Le 76le7SS 106100389

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

STATE

t AREA HARVESTED t YIELD ! PROOUCTION
i 7 7 TNO ¥ t Ind t 7 TND
t 1976 4 1977 § lg7a_: 1976 t 1977: 1978 + 1976 8 1977 $ 1978
: 19000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 POUNDS
ALA : 214.0 215.0 215e0 29400 2740 29700 = $139600 5894100 = $8050
FLA + 55.0 5560 5320 39000 37100 39500 1654000 1709500 1854500
GA t $26.0 $2600 24955 29850-39300 195549330 194999100
MISS 1st 85 6.8 19450 19650 19550 129325 119550
N MEX 1/4 905 966 29280 24700 29300 = 219660254380
nc t 16640 166.0 29655 29675 20700 4409730 © 4442050
OKLA : 12060 12060 29050 24230 148600 2464000 267600
$c ist 15.5 USe2 19590 24080-29600 249645 319200 © 3 GOO
TEX t 30460 30160 19525 14315 19450 © 4639600 © 3949500 9 4364450
va 1 103.0 10360 103.0 39000 24845 34050 3099000 2939035 304,150
us $ 1652165 1551604 1951546 29465 24457 2,626 347504890 307260015 3,979,620

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FURWARU FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978

B-3

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
DOMESTIC UNITS.
Rt ES i

CROP AND UNIT > 1977: INDICATED! 1977: INDICATED; 1977
1,000 -F

CORN FOR GRAIN BU = 70,006 68,064 91.0 101.2 6,370,624 6,823,720 6,890,310
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN "314,065 13,446 56.2 52.4 790,647 698,958 704,134
RICE CWT 1/: 2,249.0 3,058.0 4,412 4,504 99,223 137,798 137,725
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 8U — : 57,612 63,268 30.6 28.6 1,761,755 1,792,064 1,810,389
PEANUTS FOR NUTS = LB): 1,516.4 1,515.6 2,457 2,626 3,726,015 3,952,570 3,979,620
COTTON BALE 1/:13,279.3  12,284.8 620 429 14.389.2  10,872.6 + 10,980.6
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1,470.5 1,290 1,282 16,288 18,575 18,853
POTATOES

FALL 138.7 1,146.9 270 276 307,064 312,018 316,008

TOTAL 358.7 1,362.7 261 262 354,576 353,680 357,670
TOBACCO L8 0: (987.7 947.9 1,997 2,118 1,912,417 2,030,925 2,007,858
SUGARBEETS 21,216.2 1,269.4 20.5 20.7 24,985 26,085 26,229
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR :

AND SEED nt 759.4 752.6 35,3 35.7 26 ,830 27,046 26.896
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/° PCT =: 75 73
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) TON: 157.0 3/ 138.0 133.0
CRANBERRIES BBL: 2,102.2 2,396.0 2,494.0
FILBERTS TON: 11,8 11.8 12.4
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ : 1977-78 1978-79 -1978-79
ORANGES Box: 29,620 © 214,850 215,100
LEMONS " 26,100 26,000 26,000
T7 YIELD IN POUNDS. 27 PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1967-70 AVERAGE IS

& PERCENT. 3/ SEP 1, 1978. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENOS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

[AREA HARVESTED, WIELD FER TERE PROTO
CROP AND UNIT t ; INDICATED = + INDICATED : + INOTCATED
2 1977s ig 1977 gays 977978
T,000 ACRES T,000
OATS BU 213,447 71,951 55.6 49.9 747,914 595,879
BARLEY . 2 9,490 9,106 43.8 48,1 415,803 438,429
ALL WHEAT » 266,216 56,532 30.6 35 2,025,793 1,778,360

WINTER “ 148,419 38,846 31.5 32.0 1,526,713 1,243,685

DURUM “ 2 3,025 3,976 26.4 31.6 79,964 125,665

OTHER SPRING . 14,772 13,710 28.4 29,8 419,116 409,010
RYE “ > 694 1,070 24.5 26,7 16,998 28,567
FLAXSEED “ 2 1,414 926 11.4 12.6 16,105 11,705
SUNFLOWER LB 2,205 2,667 1,252 1,271 2,760,470 3,390,400
ALL HAY TON 360,493 61,254 2017 2.27 131,057 "139,159

ALFALFA 127,085 27,599 2.97 3,08 80,430 84,750

ALL OTHER ” 333,408 33,695 1,52 1.61 50,627 54,409
DRY EDIBLE PEAS CWT 2/: 167.0 197.0 613 1.750 1,023 3.448
POTATOES :

WINTER CWT + 13,4 12.9 199 203 2,660 2,621

SPRING "914 90.7 250 19 223870 18,028

SUMMER - Use viziz 193 187 21,982 21,013
SWEETPOTATOES « 2 W2.4 18,5 Vo n6 12,395 13,751
PEPPERMINT FOR OIL L6 : 86.9 10474 51 57 4,409 5,919
SPEARMINT FOR OIL “37,4 47.3 63 67 2,329 3,185
HOPS “2 3015 30.9 1,796 1,788 54,777 55,125
APPLES, COM'L oy " 6,655,600 7,383,500
PEACHES “ : 2,991,000 2,608,600
PEARS TON: 736.6 698.7
GRAPES oy 4,297.8 4,317.5
SWEET CHERRIES . : 147.8 144,7
TART CHERRIES LB : 210,900 174,200
APRICOTS TON : 147.4 118.2
NECTARINES (CALIF)  " : 150.0 145.0
PLUMS (CALIF) og 157.0 130.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) st 61.0 65.0
PECANS LB 3 236,600 232,300
ALMONDS (CALIF) TON 249.0 170.0
WALNUTS ” 192,> 160.0

i) (0 FROM EARLTER FORECAS’ (CEPT CHERRIES ENT TIA:

0
2 YIELD IN POUNDS.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



WINTER WHEAT—TOP GROWTH AVAILABLE FOR GRAZING
November 1, 1978

NEBRASKA

OKLAHOMA

coop
FAIR
El voor

*RELATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF TOP GROWTH AS
REPORTED BY FARM AND RANCH OPERAIORS

UsoA NEG. ESCS 3171-78 (11)

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP_REPORT SUMMARY

The "All Crops" production index (1967=100) at 128 is one point below the record
set in 1977, according to the Crop Reporting Board. Feed grains, hay and forage and
oilseeds are at record high levels.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1968-78 (1967=100)

: PRODUCTION
: A > HAY: : : 2 z
YeaR? ALL: FEED : *Foop = SUGAR : 7 on
> ay orarns : ANP = crains ? crops : COTTON : TOBACCO : crops
Ve: FORAGE: : : : :
1968 : 103 95 99 106 13 148 87 14
1969 =: 104 99 100 98 115 137 97 116
1970 : 100 39 100 91 14 139 97 17
1977: 112 6 105 107 16 145 86 123
1972: 113 12 104 102 127 187 88 131
1973: 119 15 109 na 12 175 88 155
1974: 110 93 104 120 104 158 101 127
1975: (121 14 108 142 130 12 no 153
1976: 121 120 102 141 128 142 108 132
1977: (129 124 108 131 17 195 98 i
1978: 128 131 n3 123 119 148 102 178

1/ INCLUDES HAY SEEDS, PASTURE SEEDS AND COVER-CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS
TROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related
information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and
adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from
Washington headquarters and the State Statistical Offices.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

B. M. Graham, Chairman,
M. L. Koehn, Secretary,
APPROVED: Jd. W. Kirkbride, F. E. Rolf,
H. L. Carter, R. M, Foster,
D. J. Buckner, H. J. Delong,
W. N. Dowdy, C. Drain,
_ R. L. Freie, J. R. Garrett,
Caf tek a er J. R. Gibson, M. D. Humphrey, dr.,
C. J. Koines, S. R. Koyle,
N. V. Perkins, R. L. Schulte,
L. E. Snipes, C. D. Spillmann,
C. A. Van Lahr, dr., W. W. Wilken.

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



CORN FOR GRAIN: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1976-78 CONTINUED

ROW WIDTH (INCHES) 17

STATE | NUMBER :—aq-g— - : + AVERAGE
AND} OF De 30.6- ; 32.6- | 34.6- 2 36,6- } 38,6- [40.68 | ROW

YEAR t SAMPLES LESS t 32.5 : 34.5 t 36.5 : 38.5 : 40.5 t GREATER : WIDTH

7 NUREER PERCENT OF SANPLES TNCHES
MINN = 1976 : 133 16.5 9.8 7 12.8 42.1 15.8 2.3 35.8
1977: «157 20.4 10.2 ‘6 14036-3186 V9 38.5
1978: «(1598.2 12.6 "6 4536518. ag 35.4
wo 1976 «=: 133° «18.8 =~ 10.8 1.5 6.0 34.6 4.1 45 35.7
1977 : 153 17.6 8.5 6 10.5 37.9 21.6 3.3 35.9
1978: 1151714 9.6 ‘9 43 426 (226 216 36.1
NEBR 1976. : 160 16.3 3.8 18.1 30.0 28.7 3.1 36.4
W77 Oo: 164 17.7 6.7 15.2 28.1 25.6 6.7 36.3
1978: (167 18.6 9:6 6 21045233 214357
NC 1976 : 127 6.3 1.6 1600 (198.7 5B
1977: 104 3.8 1) 10 (18.3375 50134379
1978: 101 1.0 2.0 3.0 25.7 37.6 23.8 6.9 37.6
OHIO §=1976 : 146 4.3 10.3 2.7 11.6 23.3 13.0 4.8 34.3
19773 15 30018328. 8.3 3034.2

1978 : 147 36.7 11.6 2.0 12.9 19.7 17.0 7 33.9
PA 1976 : 121 11.6 9.1 9.1 14.1 32.2 16.5 7.4 36.1
1977: 12812) 733 3:20«187 2B 74 615 36.5
1978: (115131 6. 8.7 23.5 (22.6 $12 35.3

S DAK 1976 : 57 5.3 7 5.3 26.3421 19.3 38.5
1977: BI 49 317 12 4 28.4 51.9 9:9 38.3

1978 : 82 1.2 6.1 1.2 49 36.6 36.6 13.4 38.3

TEX 1976: 164 11.0 3.0 24 116 48.8 23.2 38.5
1977: (156 16.9 78 1.3 12:3 48.7 13.0 37.3
1978 : 155 29.0 5.8 1.9 3.9 8.4 40.7 10.3 36.2
vA 197% «107,103 4.7 28.9 15.9 (18.7 10.3 36.5
1977 : Ww 16.2 19.8 7.2 26.2 16.2 7.2 7.2 34.9

1978 N7 12.8 (12.8 413 (248 2212163 6.8 © 35.9
WIS 1976 : 107 10.3 6.5 1.9 9.4 36.4 32.7 2.8 36.9
1977: 18 7:8 315 2.6 «1418 = 43.5 20.9 6.9 37.1
1978 127 8.7 5.5 3.9 94 40.2 (26.0 6.3 36.9

VY SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD DETERMINATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Burley production is forecast at 623 million pounds (282 thousand metric tons), virtually the
same as October 1, but 1 percent above the 1977 crop. Weather conditions during September and
October were favorable for housing and curing in most States. Stripping has been delayed by dry
weather across the Belt. Markets are scheduled to open November 20.

Southern Maryland output is forecast at 31.7 million pounds (14.1 thousand metric tons), up 3
percent from Tast year.

ODark-air cured prospects indicate a 21.6 million pound crop (9780 metric tons), 2 percent above
the 1977 crop.

Al) Cigar Type production is forecast at 57.6 million pounds (26.1 thousand metric tons), 7 per-
cent below a year earlier. Production of cigar-filler types is down 3 percent, cigar-binder
types down 9 percent and cigar-wrapper types down 19 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 26.2 million tons (23.8 million metric tons),

up 1 percent from the October 1 forecast and 5 percent above the 1977 crop. The
higher production this year resulted mostly from a 4 percent increase in acres for harvest, The
average yield is forecast at 20.7 tons per acre--up Slightly from a year ago. Improved yield
prospects from a month earlier in Michigan, Minnesota, North Dakota, Utah and Wyoming more than
offset declines in California, Colorado and Ohio.

Harvest was active in October in mast praducing areas. Oigging was nearly complete by the
end of the month in most central and northern States as weather continued ideal for harvest. In
California, digging is well underway in the central valleys. Harvest was well along in Oregon
and Washington by November 1 and was proceeding rapidly in Idaho and Colorado under excellent
weather conditions. .

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 26.9 million tons (24.4

million metric tons), down almost 1 percent from the October 1 forecast and practi-
cally the same as the 1977 production. The decrease from last month resutted from a decline
in yield prospects in Louisiana due to a shortage of moisture,

Harvest in Louisiana was underway by mid-October and made good progress with 24 percent of
the crop cut by November 1. In Florida and the Rio Grande Valley of Texas, cutting cane for
sugar will be underway in early November. Harvest in Hawaii was slow on some plantations during
October due to muddy fields.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEEQ: The condition of pasture and range feed on November 1 for the 48 con-
tiguous States was 73 percent. This is 2 points below November 1, 1977
and 5 points below the 1967-76 average for this date

Good to excellent pasture conditions continued in the Far West and much of the northern half
of the Nation. Very poor to fair conditions were reported in the southern half from Arizona to
the Atlantic Coast. Ory conditions continued to plague portions of Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma,
Texas and Georgia.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii papaya production during November is forecast at 5.90 million pounds (2680 metric

tons), a decrease of 3 percent from October's production of 6.10 million pounds (2770
metric tons). This downturn in production is expected to continue through December, as well as
danuary and February of next year with forecast levels of 5.00, 4.40, and 4.00 million pounds
(2270, 2000, and 1810 metric tons), respectively. October's estimated production of 6.10 million
pounds (2770 metric tons) is 14 percent more than September but down 6 percent from October 1977.
Forecasts for the remaining two months of this year also indicate lower production levels com-
pared with the same month a year earlier.

October's total area in crop at 3200 acres (1300 hectares) represents an increase of less

than 1 percent from September. However, the area for harvest increased by 4 percent during the
same period accounting in part for the increased production experienced last month.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED t YIELO 4 PRODUCTION
t t 7 TNO ¥ TD + 7 IND
$ 1976 1977 1978 t 1976 3 2977 t 1978 ¢ 1976 ¢ 1977 2 1978
t To000 ACRES BUSHELS T¥000 BUSHELS
t
ALA 148 31 27 28 35.0 270 35.0 15085 729 980
ARIZ ! 91 90 70-7340 8060 7840 69643 79200 51460
ARK t 310 252 20G 5000 «= S520 550 = 250 500 239104 1ty200
CALIF 3 210 132 190-7140 7360-7340 149910 99636 139870
colo 259 273 275 28.0 3100 3040 7252 89463 89250
GA a 45 26 4S 4300 2860-3760 19935 672 19665
TLL Ve 67 64 65 59.0 6660 6340 39983 49096 4095
IND ft at 15 16 67607800 = 6900 19407 19176 19104
IOWA 1/8 26 32 30 6540 7440 8000 14690 29368 24400
KANS 39950 49050 49000 = 43006000 ©4940) 1690850 © 2439000 = 1964000
KY 4s 29 32 22 6060 S740 S500 14740 17826 29220
LA st 28 20 16 35.0 33203160 980 660 496
MISS 1/48 41 a 20 3760 3 3 1517 768 700
Lt) t 660 840 800 6060 7620 399600 © 619320 6.04800
NEBR 4 29200 29130 1,900 5760 74.0 1199700 = 1519230 = 1404600
N MEX 3 199 238 238 = 6060 4720 119940 110424 11986
NC ws 90 72 79° Shed 49590 21664 49108
OKLA + 565 565 500 30.0 169950 219470 16,000
sc wt 15 12 14 34.0 510 192 420
SOAK ot 152 343 300-2340 39496 169807 149700
TENN 1/8 23 20 26 «200 19196 14020 19326
TEX 1 $9800 4800 4600 = 5065 2929900 2309400 2079000
VA set lk 10 12 4360 473 430 564
us #149723 149065 39446 4809 7190817 7909647 7049136
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
RICE
STATE 4 AREA HARVESTED t YIELO t PRODUCTION
t + t IND t TND + ' INO
t 19% 2 1977 3 1978 + 1976 3 1977 + 1978 1 1976 + 1977 3 1978
1 19000 ACRES POUNDS T9000 cut
7
ARK : 84740 837.0 1917060 48770 49230 49500 © 404362 «= 354396 = 27650
CALIF 3 399.0 30860 50860 59520 5810 59300 = 224017 179913 260924
. ta t 56820 47500 58300 39920 39670 3800 225203 = 179445 229154
Miss ' 14400 111.0 21560 4200 49000 = 4200 69048 444 99030
MO (8 14.0 17.0 24.0 49200 39700 49250 566 629 19020
TEX ’ 508-0 50160 558.0 4810 4670 4650 249430 239400 259947
us 3 2448000 2924940 3405810 49663 4412 49504 1159648 = 9992231379725

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1978

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA