OURUM WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED ‘ YIELO PRODUCTION
: t ? THD F< 7 z z ND
: 1978 = 1979 3 1980 5 1979 ¢ 1978 3 1979 ¢ 1980
? 17000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
8
ARIZ n 70 145 70.0 75407540 6,370 5,250 10,875
CALIF 3 115 45 100 7520 = 80407840 8,625 3,600 7,800
MINN ot 98 7 129-3845 37.0 28.0 3,773 2,849 3roh2
WONT $ 290 325 400 3009 ALLO 10 8,700 6,825 4,499
N OAK 3 3,240 3,250 4,000 3145 26,085, 1024060 84,500 + 604000
3 0ax 190 165 225 20,0 22,0 17,0 3,800 3,630 3,825
us t  a,02a 3,932 49999, S3el BP 133,326 106,654 = 90512
OTHER SPRING WHEAT
STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELD PRODUCTION
? = TEND = 3 IND 7 q TAD
1978 3 1979 ¢ 1980 41978 3 1979 3 1980 2 1978 3 1979 2 1980
000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
coLo 33 a an 54.0 63.0 62.0 1,782 2,583 2,542
TDAH 480 620 fag 644020. 30,720 «38,440 = 40, 320
MINN 2,620 2,450 3,050 $345 35,0 32,0 874770 © BS47S0 97600
MONT 1,850 2,550 2,750 29.0 20,5 20,0 © 53,650 = 52,275 = 55, 000
NEV 45 ia 18 5540 59,0 $0.0 As 700 900
DAK b,210 64230 64300 29.0 © 2645 19.0 © 180,090 165,095 119,700
OREG 128 24s 170-3720 34,0 380 4,625 9,310 6.460
$_0aK 2,200 2,090 2e250 2000 = 220 1%. 94,000 45,980 34,250
UTAH 29 a0 2436.0 41a 1,004 1,640 984
WASH 310 780 410 36.0 5060 3840 11,160 23,400 $5,580
WIS 12 16 2a 3460 53608440 372 $28 7aa
Wyo. 49 ao 1S 24.0 2891.0 456 480 35
us 13,903 154096154692 5000 = 2822441 «416,898 = 426, 181-378, 395
Rave
STATE AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELO 4 PRODUCTION
t 7 = TRO = ? TD ¢ + t TNO
Ho 1978 1979 1980 t 1978 1979 3 1980 3 1978 2 1979 $ 1980
¥ 17000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
coro 5 5 5 21e? = 2000 25.0 105 100 125
DEL t rT 4a 3 24,0 © 26.0 100 9 78
GA 3 110 410 105 21.0 21.0 2,530 2,310 24205
TLL 3 16 at 16 23.0 23.0 368 391 368
IND t 9 8 8 26.0 26.0 225 206 208
TOWA : 5 $ 4 29.0 28.0 150 145 112
KANS ot 15 18 20 28.0 © 23.0 315 S04 460
KY 4a a 3 24,0 © 2640 108 96 78
"oO 9 9 a 29.0 © 30.0 270 261 240
MICH 2s 25 23 25.0 25.0 600 625 $75
MINN 98. col 73 25.0 23.0 2,352 2,275 1,679
Mo 7 8 5 23.0 © 20,0 175 184 120
NEBR 53 so 50 22.0 at.0 1,007 1,100 1,050
wd : it 10 9 25.0 ao 253 250 216
ny ’ 9 10 9 32.0 31.0 279 320 279
N : 20 20 20 23.0 © 23.0 460 460 460
” bon 3 205 185 19 2A.p 1700 6,355 5,180 14190
NB 6 7 30,0 3140 240 2a0 217
30 35 32 26.0 { 21.0 S70 910 672
7 7 6 24.0 26.0 175 168 156
16 17 13 27.0 © 32.0 512 459 416
38 31 29 21.0 © 23.0 836 6st 667
220 210 130 30.0 © 24,0 6,820 6,300 3,120
2 38
29 a7 26 19,0 1960 406 513 494
17 16 it 24,0 25.0 aas 38a 275
3 63
17 16 12 23.0 22.0 357 368 260
3 3 3 17.0 20.0 66 31 60
995 999 700 25.9 22.5 26,160 24,549 18,788
1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,
CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PRUNES AND PLUMS: California prune production is forecast at 160 thousand tons (145 thousand
— metric tons), unchanged from last month and 20 percent above last season.

Weather conditions have been nearly ideal for fruit development.

The plum crop in California is forecast at 170 thousand tons (154 thousand metric tons), down
6 percent from last month and 3 percent less than last year. Quality continues good with large
fruit sizes but fruit set is down.

ALMONDS: California almond production is forecast at 340 million pounds (154 thousand metric

tons). This is up 13 percent from the June 1 estimate but is 10 percent below last
year's record crop. Set is down from a year ago but kernel weights are the heaviest on record.
There has also been an increase in bearing acres and trees per acre.

WALNUTS: California walnut growers expect to harvest 215 thousand tons (195 thousand metric
tons), 3 percent above the 1979 crop and 34 percent greater than 1978. Weather condi-
tions have been nearly ideal and nuts are sizing well.

ORANGES: The final 1979-80 orange forecast is set at 273 million boxes (10.7 million metric

tons), up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and 30 percent above last season.
Valencia production is expected to total 120 million boxes (4.71 million metric tons), up 2
percent from last month and 28 percent above the 1978-79 crop. The Florida Valencia crop at
89.0 million boxes is 2 percent higher than forecast last month and 22 percent greater than the
1978-79 season crop. The California Valencia crop forecast at 27.0 million boxes is 65 percent
higher than the previous season.

Harvest of Valefcias in Florida was about 97 percent complete while California was about 38
percent harvested by July 1. Valencia harvest is complete in other States. The U.S. orange
crop was 93 percent harvested by July 1 compared with 94 percent om July 1 last season.

The July 1 U.S. forecast has deviated from actual production by an average of 1.62 million
boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 0.1 million boxes in 1978-79 to 4.6 million boxes
in 1976-77.

FLORIOA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The all orange juice yield in Florida for the 1979-80
crop is estimated at 1.33 gallons of 45 degree brix
concentrate per box. The yield from the 1978-79 crop was 1.34 gallons per box.

CITRUS CROP — HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO JULY 1

: 1978-79 3 1979-80

UTILIZATION sREMAINING

UTILIZATION

“THOUSAND BOXES

ORANGES 33,035 164,140 197,175 13,325 43,564 210,192 253,756 +19, 694
GRAPEFRUIT 27,323 38,215 65,538 = «1,482 26,659 «42,935 69,594 3,606
LEMONS 11,940 7,460 19,400. O 9,954 9,816 19,770 880

GRAPEFRUIT: The grapefruit production forecast of 73.2 million boxes (2.71 million metric tons)

is 500 thousand boxes more than forecast on June 1 and is 9 percent mare than last
season. Harvest is nearly 60 percent complete in California and is virtually over in all other
States.

Changes in the U.S. grapefruit production forecast between July 1 and final production have
averaged 517 thousand boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 40.0 thousana boxes in
1970-71 to 1.66 million boxes in the 1977-78 season.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona lemon crop is expected to total 20.7 million boxes (712 thou-

sand metric tons), 4 percent less than last month's forecast but 6 percent above the
1978-79 season, Harvest is nearing completion with about 5 percent of California's crop
remaining on tree on July 1.

CROP PROOUCTION, ILLY 1980 . ALG CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEARS

CROP AND STATE PRODUCTION 1/

t
z TOTAL A TOTAL 3 IND
2 1978 : 1979 : 1980
t TONS
PEARS BARTLETT :
CALIF : 261,000 355,000 360,000
ORES. : 55,500 85,000 784000
WASH : 132,000 153,000 155,000
us 3 468,500 593,000 593,000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
CALIF : 7,300 10,300 11,000
OREG 2 96,000 120,000 120,000
WASH 3 114,000 93,000 100,000
us : 217,300 223,300 231,000
ALL PEARS 2
CALIF t 288,300 365,300 371,000
coLo 2 1,950 47600 4,600
CONN : 1,900 1,600 14600
MICH : 13,000 13,000 13,000
ny : 18,500 18,000
ORES : 151,500 205,000
PA : 3,300 2,800
UTAH 2 2,600 5,000
WASH : 246,000 246,000 255,000
us z 727,050 861,500 869,800

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE,
(TONS) US 1979=500.

MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

CRUP AND STATE PRODUCTION

TOTAL $ TOTAL IND
1978 3 1979 1980
TONS

PLUMS :

CALIF 2 154,000 175,000 170,000
PRUNES (DRIED AASIS) 3

CALIF : 132,000 133,000 160,000
GRAPES TABLE TYPE 2

CALIF ' 393,000 417,000 465,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE :

CALIF : 14706,000 1,821,000 1,800,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE ORIEDL/2/3

CALIF ¥ : 226,500 302,300
GRAPES RAISIN NOT DRIED :

CALIF 2 912,000 944,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE ss

CALIF : 1,918,000 24320,000 2,150,000
ALL GRAPES si

CALIF : 4,017,000 4,558,000 4,415,000
APRICOTS 3 ~

CALIF : 123,000 140,000 120,000

UTAH : 600 2,000 1,700

WASH 3 2,700 2,500 2,600

us 2 126,300 144,500 124,300
NECTARINES 3

CALIF : 148,000 172,000 185,000
WALNUTS :

CALIF : 160,900 208,000 215,000

: 1,000 POUNDS

ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS) :

CALIF : 181,000 376,000 340,000

1/ URTED BASTS£1 TON OF RAISINS [S EQUIVALENT TO 4,40
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOK 1978 AND 4,55 TONS FOR 1979,

2/ 1978 DATA INCLUDES 56,300 TONS (246,000 TONS FRESH
EQUIVALENT) LAIO, BUT NOT HARVESTED DUE TO SEVERE
WEATHER DAMAGE,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PROSPECTS*

July 1, 1980

NEG. ESCS 253-80(7)

USDA

CROP PROSPECTS*
JULY 1,1979

NEG. ESCS 120-79(7)

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980

A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

AREA HARVESTED

1979

CLASS 1,FLUE-CURED
TYPE 1] OLD AND MIDDLE BELTS

NC : 155,000 129,000 144,000
VA : 56,000 52,000 55,000 >
: 211,000 181,000 199,000
TYPE 12 EASTERN N C BELT :
NC : 186,000 159,000 185,000
TYPE 13 NC BORDER & SC BELT :
NC : 49,000 39,000 44,000
sc : 71,000 57,000 ; 68,000
US : 120,000 96,000 » 312,000
TYPE 14 GEORGIA-FLORIDA BELT : ‘
ALA : : 520 500 510
FLA : = 10,500 10,000 10,500
GA : 61,000 53,000 55,000
us : 72,020 63,500 66,010
TOTAL 11-14 : 589,020 499, 500 562,010

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 1 FLUE-CURED :
TYPE 11 OLD AND MIDOLE BELTS : :
NC : 1,940 1,765 1,825 300,700 227,685 262,800
vA : 1,850 1,735 1,750 103,600 90,220 96,250
us : 1,96 1,756 1,804 404,300 317,905 359,050
TYPE 12 EASTERN NC BELT :
NC 2 2,255 1,900 2,125 419,430 302,100 393,125
TYPE 13 NC BORDER & SC BELT:
NC : 2,210 2,130 2,150 108,290 83,070 94,600
sc : 2,120 2,065 2,050 150,520 117,705 139,400
us : 2,157 2,091 2,089 258,810 200,775 234,000
TYPE 14 GEORGIA-FLORIDA BELT :
ALA > 1,870 1,650 1,700 972 825 867

FLA 2,100 22,050 22,400» 22,050
GA : 1,950 125,660 100,965 107,250
us : 1,972 | 148,682 124,190 — 130,167
TOTAL 11-14 1,231,222 944,970 1,116,342

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PUTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP AREA HARVESTED ‘ YIELO : PRODUCTION
AND : z IND = = tr IND: : TAD
STATE #1979 t 1980 ¢ 1978 § 1979 1980 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980
T,000 ACRES cw T,000 CWT
WINTER
TOTAL 12.9 11.9 11,5 203 200,205 2,621 2,383 2,363
SPRING
TOTAL 90.9 83,8 72,8 198 255 234 17,963 214345 17,012
SUMMER
ALA 4.0 9.0 9.5 150 170 130 1,200 1,530 1,235
CALIF 7.9 7.7 7.6 360 350 360 2e844 2,095 2, 786
coLo 664 6.9 5.8 255 275 285 1,734 17898 1,653
DEL 5.3 4.8 5.3 219 = 2a0 ain 1,113 1,056 1,113
Tut 1.8 1.9 1.8 200 235 190 360 aur Bua
Inn 2.0 1.8 1.5 170 160 160 Ban 288 240
Towa 1.5 rest 1.5 200 210 = 220 300 231 330
MD 1.5 1.5 1.5 159 165 175 225 24g 263
MICH A 844 R35 175180 185 1,453 1,548 44536
MINN T. 6.3 5.4 280 285 280 1,960 14796 1,512
NEAR 1.8 1.5 1.3 160 180 160 268 270 POR
NJ Be 8.5 8.2 255° 250 2a 2,091 2,125 1,968
N MEX 36° 4.4 3.6 205 278 = 250 179 1,210 900
nC cra 3. 368 125 120 110 soo 4668 ata
OHTO 1.6 1. 1.9 £90 © 210-200 304 294 280
TENN 4a 4, 461 90 90 on 396 BAT 369
TEX ? 11.9 oO. 7.4 210 240 225 2,310 2616 1,665
vA t 27,0 ae 16.4 110 130 105 2,970 3,185 1,932
2
TOTAL 2 111.9 96.4 189 205 194 21,167 22,292 18,700
FALL ast
CALIF 3 17.3 17.4 350 370 6,055 6,364
colo : 41,0 35.0 275 290 1,275 14,455
CONN : 1.9 1.8 230 © 220 437 418
TOAKO-10 SW CO ¢ 32.0 23.0 325 340 10,400 10,200
“OTHER CO 3 © 333.0 277.9 «279 260 89,910 78,000
IND 3 3.9 3.4 240255 936 1,071
MAINE t 118.0 107,09 220 © 250 25,960 28,750
MASS ? 3.6 3.4 225 220 810 748
SICH : 34,0 31.5 250 250 8,500 8, 000
MINN 2 71,0 62.0 240 190 14,910 12,920
MONT + 8,7 Tet 240 © 240 2,088 14800
NEBR t 7.2 6.5 250 260 1,800 1-482
NEV t 17.0 13.0 320 330 $440 4,950
N YeLONG IS 3 23.3 18.7 265 295 6,175 6431
UPSTATE ' 25.0 24,0 260 © ars 6,500 6, 463
N DAK : 128.0 107.0 175 160 22,400 18,240
OHIO : 10.3 9.7 215 240 2,215 2, 400
OREGeMALHEUR CO ¢ 10.8 10.0 350 370 3,780 4,810
sOTHER CO 56.8 37.0 435 410 24,708 20,500
PA : a5.0 22,0 250 250 6,250 6, 000
RI 2 441 3.8 240 © 230 984 897
8 DAK 3 cr) Tet 170 185 1,190 1,203
UTAH z 4,6 4.9 245 250 1,127 16300
vT z 8 26 220 210 176 447
WASH, t 109.0 89,0 465 475 50,685 48,925
WIS : 55.0 50.0 3150315. 17,325 17,010
wo ! 6.8 5.5 215 220 1,462 1,144
TOTAL Ws155.1 1,074.2 977.4 280 Bt 323,498 301,628
us 2st 1/370,8 1/278.9 1,158.1 266 272 365,249 347,648

1/ ESTINATE FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR 1980 TO BE RELEASED OCTOBER 10, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEACHES

: PRODUCTION 1 PROOUCTION
crop t POUNDS t 48 LB, EQUIVALENT
AND t TOTAL i/ Ss INDICATED: TOTAL s INDICATED
STATE z 1978 3 3979 ¢ 1980 : 1078 ¢ 4979 + 1960
t MILLION UNITS 1,000 UNITS
PEACHES FREESTONE 3
ALA : 15.0 14,0 14,0 33 292 292
ARK : 37.0 36.0 38,0 771 750 792
CALIF @FREESTONE : 394.0 468.0 450.0 8,208 9,750 9,375
couo : 7.2 14,0 14.5 150 292 385
CONN ays 6.3 5.0 131 104 125
DEL 2.3 1.5 48 31 50
GA 120.0 135.0 2,500 2,813 2,500
IDAHO 11,0 10,5 229 219 ama
TLL 16.0 15,0 333 313 Sai
IND 560 4,0 104 83 188
KANS 5.0 5.0 104 104 135
ky 11,0 15,0 | 229 313 323
LA 6.5 7.0 135 146 83
MD 24.0 21,0 500 436 Sai
mass 3.5 3.3 73 69 83
MICH 60.0 35.0 1,250 729 1,250
Miss 4.0 3.0 83 63 58
Mo 14,0 12.0 292 250 354
NJ 70.9 95.0 1,458 1,979 2,292
NY 16.0 6.7 333 140 amt
NC 45.0 50.0 938 1,042 938
OHIO 5.0 4.0 104 83 250
OKLA 8.5 12,0 177 250 208
OREG 13.0 16,0 27a 333 amt
PA 85.0 90.0 1,771 1,875 2,188
sc 315.0 350.0 6,563 7,292 5,938
TENN 8.4 aS 175 177 198
TEX 40.0 36,0 A33 750 208
UTAH 15.0 18,0 Bis 375 354
vA 40.0 32.0 833 667 750
WASH 38.0 31.0 192 646 729
wvA 25.0 24, $21 500 563
us 1,465.7 1,577.5 30/535 32,868 32,484
PEACHES CLINGSTONE
CALIF 1¢230.0 1/400,0 1,340.0 25,625 29,167 27,917
ALL PEACHES
us 2695.7 2/977,5 2899.2 56,160 62,035 60,401
1/ INCLUOES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION ANO EXCESS CULLAGE

(MILLION POUNDS) UNITED STATES,
ev
uy

1978-1920
ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE ANO

1979=16.0.

INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS)

1978=120.0, 1979*90,0.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

STATE ¢ AREA HARVESTED YIELD H PRODUCTION
' 2 = 7 ¥ INO ¢ 3 ? IND
1978 3 1979 1980: 1978 : 1979 $ 1980 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980
z 1/000 ACRES BUSHELS | 1,000 BISHELS
ALA 65 95 300 26.0 26.0 26.0 1,690 7,800
ARIZ 1348 125 210 7020 16, 75.0 94660 154750
ARK 300 420 820 37.0 35.0 39.0 12,100 31-980
CALE 115 825 1,150 6461 70.5 72.5 45,825 58,200 83,400
COLO 2,523 2,641 3.39% 25.4 26,6 29,4 59,052 70,183 99,692
EL 25 30 45 3540 5440 37,0 875 1,020 1,665
FLA 12 36.0 432
Ga 120 160 600 32.0 35.0 35.0 3,840 5,600 21-000
TOAHO 1,295 1,470 1,530 57.7 50.4 55.4 74,730 74,140 84, B20
TL 930 1,300 1,650 38.0 48,0 35,340 35900 794200
180 B15 945 1,100 3940 48.0 31,785 44,445 52, B00
TOW 45 Ta 95-3400 36.0 1,395 2,664 3,420
KANS 10,200 10,800 12,200 3000 34,0 306,000 410,400 414,800
Ky 195 290 350 3560 39.0 6,825 13,650
La iv a7 35 3640 28.0 612 980
MO 102 114 116 37.0 3,774 4,408
MICH 450 78S Ban 40.0 38,000 364960
MINN 24776 2,578 3,248 3366 3168 93,225 103,282
MISS 65 415 250 3160 31,0 2,015 14750
40 2 Aa0 1,600 2,076 34.0 43.0 28,560 70,400 89, 010
MONT : 4,840 5,425 5,350 3002 21.8 146,050 116,475 116,600
NEBR : 2,550 24590 3,100 32.0 37.0 81,600 — H6yTOG L140, 700
NEV 2 26 27 3200 5942 56.6 1,540 1,810
NJ : 33 aL 46 3640 38.0 1,168 1,768
N MEX 306 396 500 20,0 5,508 10/000
NY t 1S 360 150 49.0 2,625 6,000
nc t 180 210 300 36,0 5,940 10,800
N OAK 2 9,585 9,600 10,370 29.8 17,4 286,065 160,750
OHIO : 16125 1,320 1,350 59,9 46.0 43,875 62/100
OKLA 3 5,400 54700 6,500 27,0 30,0 © 145,800 195,000
OREG : 1,225 1,245 1,570 42,4 49,4 51,925 67,660
PA t 245 262 250 33,0 33,0 8,085 8,250
sc z 78 109 1865 3340 35.0 2,574 6,475
S UAK ft 3,090 2,805 3,575 2164 17.6 66,000 62,975
TENN : 220 295 450 35.0 37.0 7,700 16,650
TEX : 26700 4,600 5,400 2040 25.0 54,000 138,000 135,000
UTAH 223 250 20a 29.9 26.4 6,670 6,680 6,924
va 155 180 205 35,0 35.0 5,425 6,300 TANTS
WASH : 2,910 2980 3y110 44.9 45,8 130,760 118,000 142,480
wva z 9 10 10 33,0 54,0 297 340 340
als 3 a5 Sa 14a 3a,7 36.5 1,560 25162 4,164
wo : 294 287 310 25,9 22.9 7606 6,354 7,100
us : 56,942 62,600 72,921 31,6 31.8 14797,528 2,141,732 2,317,068

A/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CHOP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT: Ourum wheat production is forecast at 90.5 million bushels (2.46 million metric
tons), 15 percent less than produced in 1979, and nearly a third smaller than the

1978 crop. The decline from a year ago in expected production is the result of sharply lower

yields in most States. This more than offsets a 27 percent increase in acreage for harvest.

Yield is forecast at 18.1 bushels per acre, down 9.0 bushels from last year and down 15.0
bushels from 1978, This is the lowest yield since 1961.

Continued hot weather and dry winds have depleted scil moisture in North Dakota and heads
are not filling well in some fields. Crop development continues ahead of normal with 39 percent
heading by the end of June compared with a normal of 15 percent.

Hot, dry weather also hurt crop prospects in Montana, South Dakota and Minnesota. Durum
harvest is complete in California and virtually complete in Arizona. Yields and quality were
teportedly good.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production of spring wheat other than curum is forecast at 378 million

bushels (10.3 million metric tons), 11 percent less than the 1979 crop and 9
percent below 1978. The smaller production results mainly from sharply reduced yields in North
and South Dakota. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 15.7 million acres (6.35 million hectares)
compared with 15.1 million acres (6,11 million hectares) in 1979 and 13,9 million acres (5.63
million hectares) in 1978. The yield forecast of 24.1 bushels per acre compares with 28.2
bushels last year and 30.0 bushels in 1978.

Small grain stands in the northern Plains and parts of Montana are thin and uneven. Some
fields have been abandoned, then planted to row crops or summer fallowed. In North Dakota,
about 42 percent of the crop was heading at the end of June compared with 3 percent last year
and 24 percent normally. The crop in both North Dakota and South Dakota rated mostly poor to
fair. Spring wheat was 88 percent headed in South Dakota compared with 48 percent by July la
year ago. In Minnesota, heading reached 75 percent by the end of June. It was 7 percent headed
at this time last year. Conditions in Idaho and Washington remain good.

i
RYE: Production of rye in 1980 is forecast at 15.8 million bushels (401 thousand metric tons),
36 percent less than the 1979 crop. The decline in production from last year results from
a 26 percent reduction in acres for harvest combined with prospects for a 3.4 bushel decline in
yield. Area for harvest is estimated at 700 thousand acres (283 thousand hectares).

South Dakota remains the leading rye producing State despite an expected 50 percent reduction
from last year. The Minnesata rye praductian is down 26 percent from last year, In Minnesota,
the crop is ahead of last year with 99 percent headed and 23 percent turning ripe by the end of
June. This compares with 85 percent headed and 4 percent turning ripe at this time last year.
Rye production in North Dakota is down 77 percent from last year as the result of lower acreage
for harvest and continued dry conditions.

POTATOES: This season's U.S. potato crop (all seasonal groups) will be harvested from a record
low 1.16 million acres (469 thousand hectares), off 9 percent from last year and 16
percent below the 1978 total.

Growers of fall potatoes are expected to harvest 977 thousand acres (396 thousand hectares)
in 1980. This Is “9 percent short of last year, off 15 percent from 1978, and the smallest
acreage in 15 years. Fall crop plantings were trimmed to an estimated 1.00 million acres (405
thousand hectares), reflecting declines in every region and virtually every major producing
State.

Acreage of fall crop potatoes for harvest in the Eastern States is placed at a record low
181 thousand acres, down 7 percent from 1979 and 10 percent Iéss than the 1978 level. In Maine,
an estimated 107 thousand acres will be harvested, off 7 percent from last season, and in New
York, & 6 percent decline is expected statewide.

In the fall crop Central States, acreage for harvest is estimated at 277 thousand acres, a 6
percent reduction from last’ year and 12 percent below the 1978 total. North Dakota growers
expect to harvest 6 percent fewer acres than in 1979, Minnesota will trim 9 percent from last
season's level, and Michigan's decline is estimated at a moderate 2 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




SUNE_WEATHER SUMMARY

An intense, record-breaking heat wave developed over the southern and central Plains as
temperatures averaged 3 to 6 degrees above normal during June. Many records were shattered for
the highest temperature and duration of the heat. The 117 degrees at Wichita Falls, north
central Texas, on the 28th, was the highest since records began in 1891, and El Paso measured 21
consecutive days of 100-degree heat...its longest consecutive period since observations started
93 years ago, The drought in the northern Plains continued during the month, Rainfall ranged
near normal in the East except for a few dry areas in Missouri, Kentucky, Virginia and central
Arkansas.

‘

High pressure aloft over the Great Plains and the Southeast produced hot weather with temper-
atures averaging 3 to 6 degrees above normal during the first week of June. Cool fronts moving
through New England and the Northwest kept temperatures on the pleasant side, even down to 9 de-
grees below the usual in Oregon. Abundant rains averaging 1 to 3 inches fell from the Dakotas
to Iowa and into Pennsylvania, Some fields in the Corn Belt temporarily had standing water as
soils were already wet from rains in late May, Rains were mostly light in the Southeast and
soils dried. The drought in the northern Plains was relieved some by showers, but they came too
late to help much of the spring wheat.

The upper ridge of high pressure continued to send temperatures 3 to 7 degrees above normal
in most of the Plains and Desert Southwest during the second week of June, The heat wave
strengthened from southwestern Texas to Arizona. In contrast, temperatures averaged 3 to 6
degrees below the seasonal norm in the Sierra Nevadas and 6 to Il degrees below the usual in the
Northeast. Rains of 0.5 to 1.5 inches fell across the northern third of the Nation, Florida,
and parts of Texas. More than 2 inches fell in a few spots in the northern Plains and the Corn
Belt. Fair, hot weather depleted soil moisture in the South.

During the third week of the month, high pressure aloft held firmly from Montana to
southwestern Texas, producing temperatures 3 to 8 degrees above the norm over most of the West.
The heat wave intensified over the southern Plains and Desert Southwest...highs averaged 106
degrees at El Paso and 108 degrees at Yuma, southwestern Arizona. Unseasonably cool Canadian
air blanketed the Northeast and supported a broad rainy frontal zone from the central Plains to
the Southeast. Rains averaging 2 to 4 inches from Kansas to Georgia replenished soil moisture
which was short in some sections. ,

°

The heat wave strengthened in the Desert Southwest and southern Plains and expanded into the
central Plains as the high pressure aloft produced temperatures 4 to 11 degrees above normal
during the last week of June, Afternoon temperatures averaged 104 degrees at Wichita, Kansas,
and 112 degrees at Wichita Falls, Texas. Many high temperature and duration records were set.
The Northeast finally warmed, averaging 3 to 6 degrees above seasonal, while the Northwest
cooled by an equal amount. Rains were heavy over most of the East and light to moderate from
the Great Lakes to the Pacific Northwest. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather
Facility)

ROW CROP PROGRESS

Most corn acreage was planted by June 1 which was earlier than last year and the average.
Good stands were reported in nearly all areas. Growth generally exceeds that of a year ago and
normal. Tasseling was underway in southern areas as June began and in the extreme South,
silking had started. By month's end, silking had advanced northward into Virginia and some
southern fields reached the dough stage. Ory weather in parts of the southeast stressed the
crop, but rainfall before the end of June improved crop conditions. Corn generally rated good
throughout the Nation as June ended.

Soybean seeding advanced rapidly in early June with favorable weather in most production
areas. By the end of the month, most full season soybeans had been planted and farmers were
planting double-cropped soybeans after harvesting small grains. Corn Belt farmers finished
seeding activities shortly after mid-month. At the end of June, plant growth in the eastern
north central States ranged up to 9 inches, slightly behind last year and the average.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
ad July 1, 1980

LD Good to excellent : fex a mN
3 Poor to fair 5 : d

Very poor .
EXD Severe drought ‘AS REPORTED BY

GHEY Extreme drought ROR (CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. ESCS 254-80{7)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
ra JULY 1, 1979

2 Good to excellent
EEX Poor to fair

@Z Very poor

XM) Severe drought

‘AS REPORTED BY
GH Extreme drought

CROP CORRESPONDENTS
* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS,

USDA

NEG. ESCS 121-79(7)

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

STATE AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO t PRODUCTION
? ? IND ¢ z t IND ¢ 2 3 IND
1978 3 1979 ¢ 1980 3.1978 1979 : 1980 3 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1980
3,000 ACRES BUSHELS 17000 BUSRELS
ALA 6S 95 300 = 26,0 26.0 26.0 1,690 24470 7,800
ARIT a7 35 65 70,0 78.9 75.0 3,290 4,290 4,875
ARK 300 420 azo 37,0 35.0 39, 11,100 31,980
CALIF 600 780 1,050 62,0 70,0 72,0 374200 75,600
cota 2,890 2,600 34350 23,0 26.0 29,0 57,270 974550
bey 2s 30 a5 35,0 34,0 37.0 875 1,665
FLA 12 36.0 432
GA 120 160 600 32,0 35,0 3,840 21,000
IDAHO AIS 650 ago 54.0 © 42.0 46,010 44,500
TUL 930 1,300 1,650 38.0 43,0 35,340 79,200
IND ALS 905 1,100 39.0 47.0 31,785 52,800
TOwA 45 72 95 31.0 37.0 1,395 3,420
KANS 10,200 10,800 $2,200 30,0 © 38.0 306,000 414,600
KY 195 290 350 35.0 38.0 6,825 13,650
LA 17 27 35 36.0 28.0 612 980
40 102 114 116 37.0 37.0 3,774 4,408
MICH 450 78S B40 ano 30 18,000 36,960
MINN 58 51 69 29,0 35.0 1,682 2,070
MISS 65 185 250 31,00 32.0 20015 7,750
oo) 640 1,600 2,070 34,0 © 48.0 26,560 89,010
MONT : 2,700 2,250 2,200 31.0 25.5 83,700 57,200
NEBR : 2,550 2,550 3100 = 32,0 3440 83-600 864700 114,700
NEV z i a3 14 65,070.40 715 910
NJ : 33 a 46 36.0 = 3640 1,188 1,748
NMEX of 306 398 500 18,0 22,0 5,508 107000
NY : 15 160 150 35.0 1.0 26625 6,000
nc : 180 210 300 33.0 3660 10,800
N DAK 3 135 120 70 29,0 22.0 3,050
OHIO : 1,125 4,320 1,350 39,0 48,0 62,100
OKLA 3 5,400 5,700 6.500 = 27.0 38.0 216,600 195,000
OREG : 16100 1,000 1,200 43,0 48.0 48,000 = 61,200
PA 245 262 250 33,0 31.0 8,250
sc : 78 109 185 33.0 $3.0 66475
$ DAK t 700 550 1-100 26,0 19.0 18,200 10,450 20,900
TENN 3 220 295 450 35.0 34.0 7,700 10,030 16,650
TEX 3 2,700 4,600 54400 = 2040 30.0 54,000 138,000 135,000
UTAH 2 194 210 220 29,0 24.0 S.0ao 5,940
va 3 185 180 205 35.0 3540 64300 TALTs
WASH 3 2,600 2,200 2,700 46.0 43.0 98,600 126,900
weva : 9 10 10 33,0 5440 3440 340 340
wis 3 33 38 90 3650 935.0 38.0 19634 3,420
WYO : 275 267 298 26.0 22,0 23. 7,150 3,874 6,785
us t 39,015 43,572 $2,230 32.0 36,9 35.9 1,247,706 1,608,897 1,848,161

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1976 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-§

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

WINTER SPRING :
YEAR 3 HARD SOFT t HARD 3 TOTAL,
2 RED RED WHITE RED OURUM WHITE 3

1,000 AUSHELS

Fy
:
1977 z

1978 t 836,285 201,761 209,660 379,104 133,328 37,390 1,797,528
’

9920446 350/152 194,515 397,603 79,964 217638 2,036,318

1979 1,093,275 321,079 194,543 364,477 106,659 61,704 2,141,732
1980 1/ 1,173,569 426,120 246,472 324,520 90,512 53,675 2,317,068

Tint TED JUL corners

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Lack of precipitation in the northern Plains has reduced yield potentials in Minnesota,
Montana, Nerth Dakota, and South Dakota. Yields higher than last year are indicated for
California, Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, Washington, and Wyoming.

Harvest was well along in California on July 1 and had started in Oregon, Moisture supplies
were good in Idaho and Washington and harvest was expected to start in southern washington early
in July.

ALL WHEAT: A crop of 2.32 billion bushels (63.1 million metric tons) of all wheat is forecast
based on July 1 conditions. This is 8 percent more than last year's 2.14 billion

bushels (58.3 million metric tons). The increase results from a 16 percent increase in

harvested acres which more than offsets yield prospects, 2.4 bushels below last year's average.

Average yield for the U.S, is estimated at 31.8 bushels per harvested acre compared with
34.2 bushels in 1979. Farmers expect to harvest 72.9 million acres (29.5 million hectares).
This is 90.1 percent of the total acres seeded which compares with 87.5 percent last year.

WINTER WHEAT: July 1 winter wheat production is forecast at 1.85 billion bushels (50.3 million
— metric tons), 15 percent more than last year and 5 percent more than last month's
forecast. A larger acreage for harvest accounts for the increase over last month. in expected
production.

The expected yield of 35.4 bushels per harvested acre compares with last year's yield of
36.9 bushels per acre.

The crop rated fair to mostly good at the end of June except in the northern Plains and
parts of Montana, where conditions remained poor to fair due to lack of moisture. High tempera-
tures and dry winds during late June have aided wheat harvest and ripening of later maturing
varieties in major producing States.

Winter wheat harvest was underway throughout most southern States during early June.
Harvesting had progressed northward into Nebraska by the first week of July. Harvesting
progress in Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska was ahead of last year while progress in Oklahoma and
Texas was approximately the same as last year.

U.S. WHEAT - JULY 1

FORECAST AS PERCENT OF FINAL PROOUCTION
PERCENT OF FINAL

16

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Citrus FRUIT Vv

2 PROQUCTION 1 PRODUCTION
crop 1 Boxes 3 TON EWUIVALENT
ANO i UTILIZED TINDICATEDS. UTILIZED SINDICATED
STATE £ 1977078 2 197G79 & 1979080 2 197778 & 1978-79 % 1979°80
z 1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID & NAVEL 3/8 .
ARIZ art 820 700 5) 26 32
CALIF 4/ t 20,000 2o,A00 750 780 1,200
FLA + 88,300 91,000 3,974 4,095 5,306
TEX ar 3eA50 4,309 164 183 98
us 2 412,970 © 116,800 4,919 5,084 6,636
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
ARIZ 3 2,800 2,200 105 83 99
CALIF t 22,600 16,400 1000 Aaa 618 1,013
FLA 2 79,500 73,000 89,000 3,578 3,265 4,008
TEX ay 2,250 2,100 1,750 % 89 74
us 3 107,150 93,700 120,400 4,627 4,972 SAG
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ : 3,620 2,900 3,500 136 109 A3t
CALIF t 42,600 37,200 52,900 1,598 1,395 2,213
FLA 2 167,800 164,000 206,900 7,552 7,380 9,311
TEX ast 65100 64400 4,950 260 ate 172
us t 220,120 210,509 273,450 9,546 9,156 11,827
TEMPLES :
Fla z 9,900 4,700 6,900 221 212 270
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE SEEOLESS
FLA t 28,700 29,400 31,100 1,220 1,250 1,322
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEDLESS
FLA z 14,300 13,300 15,800 608 565 672
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT :
FLA 3 8,400 7,300 7,900 357 310 336
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ARIZ : 3,000 24250 3,000 oF 72 96
CALIF :
DESERT : 4,200 35270 4,200 134 10S 134
OTHER AREAS 3 4,160 2,500 3,300 139 84a int
TOTAL 3 A, 360 5,770 7,500 273 18° 245
FLA Fy 51,400 50,000 54,800 2,185 2.125 2,329
TEX ast 11,900 9,900 AT 360 316
us 74,660 67,020 3,930 2,746 2,986
TANGERINES :
ARIZ apt 600 23 17 28
CALIF ay 3 1,400 53 54 60
FLA : 34200 182 166 185
us : 5,200 226 237 273
Lemons 2
API? ast 5, P00 51506 34950 220 2ca tlo
CALIF 3 26,300 13,909 17,400 7 sea Aa
us 26,100 19,409 Bu, bse ag 737 Tos
TANGELOS 3
FIA t 4,400 4,200 $,400 2at 159 2uK

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN 4D ENDS WETH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED,

2/ NET LUS PER BOX ORANGES@CALIF & ARTZ975,FLASI0,
TEX=85; GRAPEFRUIT@CALIF MESERT & ARIZeh4, CALIF
OTHER@67, FLAeB5S¢ JEX*BO3 LEMONS@767 TANGELNS &
TEMPLES@907 TANGERINES» CALIF & ARI7Z©75, FLAR9S,

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEQUS VARIETIES Ih CALIFORNIA AND
ARI7QWA, EARLY AND MIOSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLIDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGFRINES IN
TEXAS,

G/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARWTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 8-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION

Released: July 11, 1980 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN production is forecast at 7.28 billion bushels (185 million metric tons), 6
percent below the record high 1979 crop. The 90 percent confidence interval
for this production is 6.2] to 8.35 billion bushels.

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 2.32 billion bushels (63.1 mil-
Vion metric tons), up 8 percent from the 1979 production. The 90 percent
confidence interval for this production is 2.18 to 2.45 billion bushels.

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 1.85 billion bushels (50.3
million metric tons), up 15 percent from the 1979 crop.

DURUM WHEAT production, forecast at 90.5 million bushels (2.46 million metric
tons), is 15 percent belaw last year's production.

SPRING WHEAT OTHER THAN DURUM is forecast at 378 million bushels (10.3 million
metric tons), down [Il percent from 1979.

OATS production is forecast at 450 million bushels (6.52 million metric tons), 16
percent below the 1979 production and the lowest since the late 1800's.

BARLEY production is forecast at 329 million bushels (7.15 million metric tons),
3 percent below the 1979 crop.

APPLE production is forecast at a record 8.22 billion pounds (3.73 million metric

~——“tons), 2 percent above last year's record production and 8 percent greater
than 1978,

POTATO acreage for harvest (all seasonal groups) is estimated at a record low
1.16 million acres (469 thousand hectares), down 9 percent from 1979 and 16
percent below 1978. The fall crop acreage for harvest is estimated at 977
thousand acres (396 thousand hectares), off 9 percent from 1979 and the
smallest in 15 years.

CrPr 2-2 (7-80) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127



PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: The July 1 pasture and range feed condition for the 48 contiguous States

was 78 percent, 8 points less than last year and 4 points below the
1969-78 average for the date. During the month of June, conditions deteriorated in 34 States,
improved in 11 States, and were unchanged in 3 States. Improved conditions were confined to
northern areas except for Oklahoma. Although pastures improved from last month in the northern
Plains, conditions range from drought to very poor.

In North Dakota, the pasture and range condition, at 35 percent of normal, is the lowest
July 1 condition on record for the State. South Dakota reports the second lowest condition on
record for July 1 at 58 percent of normal. Hot, dry weather in many regions of the Nation during
June caused pastures to deteriorate from a month ago. Farmers and ranchers have started supple-
mental feeding in some areas to compensate for the poor grazing conditions.

APPLES: The season's first forecast of the Nation's apple crop is a record 8.22 billion pounds

(3.73 million metric tons), 2 percent above the previous record crop produced last year
and 8 percent. greater than 1978. Increases in Great Lakes States and most Eastern States more
than offset decreases in California and some Central and Southern States.

New York's cro is forecast at 1.07 billion pounds, up 3 percent from last year but 1 percent
jess than in 1978. Set is variable but the crop is generally im good condition. A crop of 555
million pounds is forecast for Pennsylvania, up 4 percent from last year and 39 percent greater
than 1978. There was a good bloom and development to date has been good although additional
moisture is needed. The New England crop is forecast at 348 million pounds, compared with 338
million pounds last year and 345 million pounds in 1978. Virginia growers expect a crap of 420
million pounds, down 11 percent from 1979 and 18 percent below 1978. Crop prospects are poorer
than last year primarily as a result of some frost damage at bloom and dry conditions prevailing
through June. The crop in West Virginia is forecast at 260 million pounds, the same as last
year but 12 percent less than 1978. In North Carolina, a record crop of 370 million pounds is
forecast, 2 percent more than last year. Quality of the crop is good.

Michigan's crop is forecast at 850 million pounds, up 25 percent from last year but down 8
percent from 1978, A mild winter, heavy fruit set and adequate moisture contributed to the
larger crop this year. Ohio production is forecast at 160 million pounds, a 52 percent increase
over last year's short crop and 14 percent above 1978. Other Central States, including Illinois,
Indiana, Iowa, Kansas and Missouri, have smaller crops than last year but crops in Minnesota and
Wisconsin are better than 4 year aqo.

The crop in the Western States is forecast at 3.5] billion pounds, a 3 percent decrease from
last year but 16 percent above 1978. washington, the Nation's leader, expects 2.56 billion
pounds, the same as last year's record crop and 19 percent above 1978. Pollination weather was
very good and the effects of wlcanic ash are not expected to be serious. The California crop
is expected to totel 520 million pounds, 13 percent below 1979 but 4 percent above the 1978
crop. Gravenstein production is expected to be about 60 percent below last year but other varie-
ties are about normal. In Oregon, the crop is forecast at 170 million pounds, the same as last
year and 20 percent above 1978. The crop is advancing normally in most areas with gooa size and
quality expected.

BLUEBERRIES: The U.S. blueberry crop is forecast at 102 million pounds (46.1 thousand metric

tons), 10 percent greater than last year's production. The Maine crop forecast at
21.8 million pounds is 28 percent above last year's harvest. Michigan growers expect to harvest
a 41.0 million pound crop, 14 percent above last year and nearly double the 1978 harvest. The
increase is attributed to ideal weather conditions over the winter and spring. Limited early
harvest is underway. Harvest has begun in New Jersey where a 23.2 million pound crop is
expected. This is 1 percent less than last year. Winter damage, hail and disease have caused
problems. Prospects are excellent in Oregon with a 3,93 million pound crop forecast. The crop
had a heavy set and winter damage was light. The Washington crop is forecast at 4.64 million
pounds, 7 percent less than last season.

PEACHES: U.S. peach production is forecast at 2.90 billion pounds (1.32 million metric tons), up
1 percent from last month but 3 percent below last year. Excluding California's Cling-

stone crop which is utilized mostly for canning, peach production is expected to total 1.56

billion pounds, nearly the same as the June 1 farecast and lL percent less than the 1979 total.

CROP PROOUCTION, JULY 1980 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


The Western States’ fall acreage for harvest is placed at 519 thousand acres, down 11
Percent from last year, 19 percent below the 1978 total, and the smallest since 1973. Idaho's
total for harvest, estimated at 300 thousand acres, is off 9 percent from last season while
fashington and Oregon growers slashed 14 percent and 25 percent, respectively, from the 1979
evels.

The 1980 fall crop is in generally good condition across the country despite earlier slow
development in Maine, Idaho and North Dakota caused by adverse weather. Maine's dry weather
following planting left some fields with spotty stands, but recent rains should bring
improvement. New York's Long Island crop is making good progress with no serioys insect or
disease problems and some early digging should begin by the end of July. The Upstate crop
suffered some flooding in June, but the crop is currently making good growth. In North Dakota,
Planting finished early but dry soils have resulted in spotty stands and reduced plant
populations. The crop is in fair condition despite some mid-June hail damage and continued dry
weather. Wisconsin crop development is on schedule with sizing of early plantings a bit ahead
of normal. :

Idaho growers experienced planting delays with cool, wet weather which set in during
mid-May. Some seed decay resulted, but the crop has generally responded well to warmer June
temperatures. Planting in Washington was on schedule and growth has been excellent with a heavy
set and good top-growth. The ash fallout from the eruption of Mount St. Helens had negligible
effect on the potato crop. Digging of early Norgolds should begin in late July. In Oregon,
planting progress and subsequent crop development has been good in virtually all areas.
Emergence of the Colorado crop was slowed by cool temperatures, but growth is now very good.
California stands are mostly in good candition.

The first forecast of summer potato production for 1980 is placed at a record low 18.7
million cwt (848 thousand metric tons), 16 percent below the 22.3 million cwt (1.01 million
metric tons) produced in 1979, Acreage for harvest in 1980 is set at a record low 96.4 thousand
acres (39.0 thousand hectares), 12 percent below the 109 thousand acres (44.1 thousand hectares)
harvested in 1979. The average yield is forecast at 194 cwt per acre, second only to the record
high 205 ewt in 1979.

In Virginia, dry conditions in May and June have reduced yields. High temperatures in Texas ‘
have slowed development. In California, the crop is generally in good condition and harvest has
started in the southern area.

Harvest is underway in the Sand Mountain area of Alabama. A cool spring in Michigan delayed
potato development but condition of the crop is excellent.

The Colorado crop is later than normal because of a wet spring but is in good to very good
condition. Weather in New Mexico has been favorable for plant growth.

FLUE-CURED TOBACCO: Production of flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 1.12 billion pounds (506

thousand metric tons), up 18 percent from the 945 million pounds (429
thousand metric tons) produced in 1979. Acreage harvested is expected to total 562 thousand
acres (227 thousand hectares), up 13 percent from last year. The July 1 indicated yield of 1986
pounds compares with the 1979 yield of 1892 pounds per acre.

Prospects in the Old and Middle Gelts vary considerably. Slue mold has been present, but
damage has been minimal as spraying programs apparently have been effective. Rains in North
Carolina since mid-June have improved prospects.

Harvest is just underway in the Eastern North Carolina Belt and markets are scheduled to
open July 29.

North Carolina Border and South Carolina Gelt markets are expected to open July 28. Harvest
is underway, but running behind last year's pace. Glue mold damage is evident in both belts.

Harvest was also underway in the Georgia-Florida Belt, but later than last year and normal.
Auctions are scheduled to open July 21. .

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-l1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA






Cotton planting was almost completed by the beginning of June except in Texas and Oklahoma
where cotton is seeded later. In the Delta, some fields were replanted where the crop suffered
damage from heavy rains. In New Mexico, high winds and blowing sand damaged fields, and some
acreage was abandoned. Rains and high winds necessitated replanting some fields in Texas. Hot,
dry weather at the end of the month stressed the crop and young stands were having difficulty
getting established. Irrigation needs were very high. By the end of June, squaring had passed
the halfway mark and boll set was well advanced in the southeast and just getting started in the

Delta and West.

Grain sorghum seeding advanced on schedule through June and neared completion by July 1.
Most of the crop was emerged and growing well. The 1980 harvest started in southern Texas with
4 percent of the State's crop combined by July 1.

WINTER WHEAT HARVEST

Winter wheat harvest in the 15 major producing States, accounting for 90 percent of the 1979
crop, reached 24 percent complete by the end of June, 2 points ahead of last year but slightly
behind normal. Harvest was active in Kansas and just getting underway in Nebraska and Montana
by July 1. Winter wheat rated fair to mostly good except in the ndrthern Plains and parts of
Montana where conditions were poor to fair because of drought.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain in 1980 is forecast at 7.28 billion bushels (185

million metric tons), down 6 percent from the record 1979 crop of 7.76 billion
bushels (197 million metric tons), but up 3 percent from the 1978 crop. If tne July 1 forecast
is realized, this will be the second largest crop on record, exceeded only by the 1979 crop.

Yield per acre is forecast at 99.3 bushels, down from last year's record high of 109.4
bushels per acre and 1.5 bushels below the 1978 yield of 100.8 bushels. This would be the third

highest yield of record,

As of July 1, conditions were favorable and good stands were reported in most areas. Corn
growth in the eastern Carn Belt ranged from 17 inches in Michigan to 41 inches in Illinois -- up
to 11 inches more than last year and slightly ahead of normal. In the western Corn Belt, growth
was also running ahead of last year and average for July 1.

Silking was confined to the southern areas on July 1, extending northward into Virginia.
Some fields in te extreme south had reached the dough stage.

Since July 1, temperatures have been well above normal and moisture is needed in many areas
of the Corn Belt. Weather during July will be critical for corn. The current: proguction
estimate is based on conditions as of July 1 and does not reflect weather conditions since that
time.

OATS: Production of the 1980 oat crop is forecast at 450 million bushels (6.52 million metric

tons), 16 percent less than last year ant 25 percent below 1978, If realized, this would
be the smallest crop since 1681 because of reduced acreage and low yields in the major producing
States. Yield is forecast at 47.9 bushels per narvested acre, 6.5 bushels below 1979.

Crop development in the northern and central Plains States has been severely hampered by the
subnormal precipitation this spring. Some fields were turned under as a result of poor seed
germination and uneven stands, The hot, dry weather has hastened maturity and prevented normal
grain development, thus lowering expected yields. With poor range and pasture feed conditions,
some oat acreage will be diverted to hay as producers seek alternative feed sources for live~
stock. The acreage for harvest as grain published June 27 has been lowered because of abandon-
ment and diversion to hay since the June surveys. Scattered rains toward the end of June brought.
relief to some areas. Harvest has advanced northward to the central Plains.

BARLEY: Production of barley for 1980 is forecast at 329 million bushels (7.15 million metric

tons), down 13 percent from 1979 and 27 percent less than the 1978 crop. This would be
the smallest crop since 1974, Yield is forecast at 44.6 bushels per acre, down 6.0 bushels from
jast year and 4.0 bushels below 1978. The area for harvest at 7.36 million acres (2.98 million
hectares) is 3 percent below the estimate publisned June 27 because of acreage losses since
June 1 in the dry North Central areas. The acreage expected for harvest is now the smallest
since 1934. The extremely dry weather in the major barley producing areas of North Dakota and
Minnesota has resulted in larger than normal acreage being abandoned.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 AB CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


-

APPLES, COMMERCIAL Vv
t PRODUCTION : PRODUCTION

crop t POUNDS 2 42 18, EQUIVALENT

ANO t TOTAL _2/ INDICATED? TOTAL SINOICATED

STATE 4978 ¢ 1979 % 1980 : 1978 3 19579 1980

¥ WILTION UNITS 1,000 UNITS
ALL COMMERCIAL APPLES +

ARK : 13.0 24.0 20,0 310 STL 476
CALIF t 500.0 600.0 520.0 11,905 14,286 12,381
cove 2 41.0 100,0 70.0 976 2,381 1,667
CONN 3 50.0 45,0 45.0 1,190 1,071 1,071
OEL z 13.0 13.5 345 310 321
GA t 22.0 35,0 36.0 $24 833 857
IDAHO t 130.0 125.0 125.0 3,095 2,976 2,976
TLL : 89.0 110.0 106.0 2119 2,619 2,524
IND : 64.0 75.0 70.0 1,524 1,766 1,667
TOWA ‘ a9 12.1 11,5 288 274
KANS t 19.0 15. 14,0 357 333
Ky 3 15.0 21.0 19,0 500 ase
MAINE t 85,0 2,048 2,024
MD : 85,0 2,024 2,024
MASS t 100.0 21262 2,381
MICH z 850.0 16,191 20,238
MINN : 22,0 357 S24
Mo : 60.0 1,667 1,929
NH : 62,0 1,381 1,876
NJ 2 120.0 2,619 2,857
N MEX t 10,0 333 238
NY : 1,070.0 24,603 25,476
NC t 370.0 8,619 8,810
OHIO t 160.0 2,500 3,810
OREG 170.0 4,048 9,048
PA 555.0 12,738 13,214
RI 5.5 119 134
sc 33.0 833 786
TENN 9.0 238 aia
UTAH 35.0 51.0 52.0 1,214 1,238
VT : 49, 49, 50.0 1,167 1,190
vA 2 515.0 470.0 420.0 11,191 10,000
WASH 3 2,148.0 2,560.9 2,560.0 60,952 60,952
wova : 295.0 260.0 260.0 6,190 67190
wi 1 66.0 54.0 62,0 1,286 1,976
us 2 7,607.4 6,089.2 8, 220,5 192,598 195,725

1/ IN QRCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES,
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS)? UNITED STATES 1978=53,2,1979-25,6.

STATE TOTAL 1/
1,000 POUNDS

MAINE 17,000 21,800
MICH 36,000 41,000
NJ 23,400 23,200
NC 2/ 7,980 7,160
REC 2,900 3,930
WASH 5,005 4,640

35,890 36,470 2,558 2,789 92,285 101,730

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION ANO EXCESS CULLAGE (000 POUNDS): US - 490. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR
CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP 3 t SEASONAL GROUP ? 3
AND 1979 ts 1980 AND : 1979-1980
STATE H Hi STATE z 2
t 1,000 ACRES i 1,000 ACRES
7 :
WINTER : :
t MONT : 7.8 1.2
TOTAL we 13.0 1147 NEBR : 620 67
. : NEV : 15.0 1350
SPRING : N YeLONG 19 : 2220 1920
“UPSTATE : 25.5 26.0
TOTAL 68.9 15.7 N DAK z 121.0 M1.0
OHIO ' 10.4 to.o
SUMMER OREG*MALHEUR CO ft 13.5 10.5
: OTHER CO. ot $2.0 3745
TOTAL we 113.5 98.8 PA : 25.0 2320
: RT : 4.0 328
FALL : 8 DAK ' 13 723
CALIF : 17.4 17.4 UTAH : sis $20
caoLo : 40.0 35.5 vt t 7 ob
conw : 1.9 1.8 WASH t 10320 8920
TDAHQ~10' sw CO 30.0 23.0 wis : 87.0 52.5
OTHER CO ot 305.0 28220 Wyo : 505 S 3
IND 4,3 3.5 t
MAINE 116.0 10850 TOTAL $ 4,101.8 — 1,000.0
mAs. 3.5 3.4 :
MICH 33.0 32.5 8 2 4,317.2
MINN : 70.0 55.0 7 1,186.2
Hi 3 i
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 17

sts AVERAGE

: 1969-78 :

: :

: PERCENT
ALA : Be 65 97
ARIZ ot 90 93 92
ARK : 64 90 72
CALIF 66 1 66
cues ot 89 89 86
cow Ft 86 92 16
DEL 2 83 7A 35
FLA : 86 1 92
GA 3 63 89 a8
Tuan ot 85 aa 99
TUL : 49 1 86
TA t 90 92 95
Tura : 78 87 68
KANS ot Be 80 58
KY 3 as 1 79
LA 3 12 83 6 6S
WAINE 79 a3 94
my : 63 ae 89
waist 88 98 74
wICd  & 8S 73 92
MIN of 85 92 92
MISS 87 93 aa
mo t 87 80 Ba
MONT ot
NEBR OE

1/ GOON TO EXCELLENT, HO AND OVER } POOR TO FATR 650793
OMUNGHT, 35-493 EXTREME OROUUHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF QULY 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based on acreage Surveys conducted around

June 1 and yield surveys conducted around July 1. The acreage estimates published in the

June 27 Acreage Report and used in this report include acres already planted at the time of the
survey and acreage intended for planting later. Because of drought conditions in the Northern
Great Plains, adjustments in acreage for harvest for spring planted small grains have been made
for that area. The July 1 yield surveys include mailed reports from farmers for all crops and
actual field observations in wheat fields. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and
probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities. Objective yield
surveys provided small plot observaticns, counts and measurements in a probability sample of
wheat fields, These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are
common to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject ta change due to
future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect
final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report the
“Root Mean Square Error”, a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the July 1 production
forecast and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates ana averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the most recent twenty-year period; the square root of this average
becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made
concerning expected errors im the ,current forecasts relative to the final end-of-season
estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those
influencing recent years. for example, the “Root Mean Square Error” for the July 1 corn for
grain forecast is,8.5 percent. This means that chances are about 2 out af 3 that the current
production forecast of 7284 million bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by
more than 8.5 percent or approximately 619 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent
confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 14.7 percent or approximately 1071 million

bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between
the July 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the
July 1 forecasts and the final estimate for the previous 10 years in which July 1 corn forecasts
were made have averaged 412 million bushels, ranging from 3 million to 1101 million bushels.
During the 10 years, the July 1 forecast was below the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times.

RELIABILITY OF JULY 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS 1/

TEN YEAR RECORD OF OIFFERENCES BETWEEN
FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE

90% CONFIDENCE
LEVEL

CROP AND
UNIT

MILLION MILLION

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 2 8.5 14.7 3 1,101 5 5
OATS BU 2 7.5 12.9 21 89 4 6
BARLEY BU : 7.8 13.5 0 6l 6 4
ALL WHEAT BU + 34 5.9 3 143 4 6
WINTER Bu > 3.3 5.7 2 48 4 6
DURUM BU . 24.4 3 19 4 6
OTHER SPRING 8U 17.6 1 7 7 3

1/ ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR DERIVED FROM 1960-79 DATA EXCEPT CORN, 1956-70 AND 1975-79; TEN YEAR
DIFFERENCE IS BASED ON 1970-79 EXCEPT CORN, 1966-70 AND 1975-79.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE AREA HARVESTED 3 YIEUD t PRODUCTION
t ? IND = 7 aes CL t ? IND
1978 3979 ¢ 1980 t 1978 + 1979 : 1980 : 1978 3 1979 2 1980
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA, 544 502 470 50.0 61,0 52.9 27,200 30,622 = 24,040
ARIZ S50 as 46 115.0 118.0 105,0 $,750 SATS S,040
ARK 30 35 sa 38.0 60,0 60,0 1-740 2,100 3,440
CALIE 281 260 260 126.0 117.0 118.0 35,406 30,420 30,660
CoLo 675 725 750 110.0 227.9 «120,90 = 78,250 92,075 90,000
CONN .
DEL 175 167 177 96.9 102.0 96.0 16,600 17,034 16,992
FLA 379 360 350 52.0 53.0 48,0 19,240 19,080 16,800
GA 1,500 1,550 1,400 50.0 65,0 53.0 75,900 100,750 74,200
IDAHO 39 a3 36 87.0 ABLO 86,0 3,393 3,608 3,996
TLL 102730 10,610 14,130 11140 128,0 11840 1,191,030 1,358,080 1,313,340
INO 5,900 5,930 6,200 108.0 112.0 109.0 637,200 464,160 675, a00
TOWA 12,700 12,800 13,200 115.0 127.0 111.0 1,460,500 1,625,600 1,465,200
KANS 1,500 1,470 4,470 102.0 117.0 107.0 153,000 171-990 157,290
Ky 1,410 1,300 1,500 85,0 102.0 92,0 119,850 132,600 138,000
La aT 4. 32 $9.90 34,0 $7.0 2,773 20214 1,624
MAINE 17
MD 590 $95 640 97.0 99,0 95,0 57,230 $8,905 60,800
MASS
MICH 2,400 25500 2,550 81.0 95.0 84,0 194,400 237/500 214,200
MINN 6,190 6,060 6,300 104.0 100.0 90.0 643,760 606,000 567,000
MI9S 135 110 105 5640 $2.9 54,0 7,560 5-720 5,670
40 2,200 26220 2,300 87,0 103.9 82,0 191,400 228,660 188,600
MONT 5 5 6 72.0 7.0 75.0 3e0 58S 450
NEBR 6,550 6,900 7,150 113.0 115.0 106.0 749,150 793,500 757,900
NM
ng 95 2 100 9160 90.0 8a,0 8,645 7,380 8,800
N MEX 72 74 75 106.0 109.0 © 110.0 7,632 Ay 066 6,250
wy 600 656 670 79.0 8540 80.0 47,400 53,600
nC 1,690 19690 1,749 76.0 16.0 70.9 121,600 121,800
N DAK 253 290 300 79.0 Th.9 50,9 19,987 15,900
OHIO 3,610 3,630 3,900 105.0 115.0 108,46 379,050 421,200
OKLA 13 1S TS 650 11040 95.0 4,745 7125
OREG 13 at 12 95,0 © 100.0 95.0 1,235 1,440
PA 1,190 1,245 1,230 95,0 95.0 © 94,0113 ,050 115,620
er
sc 550 509 S15 55,0 80.0 50.0 30,250 40,720 25,750
3 DAK 2,560 2,850 2,500 67,0 74,9 171,520 210,900 135,900
TENN 660 620 680 bh,? 83,0 43,560 51,460 53,040
TEX 1,490 1,769 1,350 100,90 195.0 144,000 132,300 128,250
UTAH 16 16 17 90,0 94,0 1,440 1,504 1,581
vt
va 615 615 620 82.0 83,0 30,430 51,045 46,500
WASH 65 103 135 414,0 © 119.0 7,410 12,287 12,650
wiv 58 5° 60 77,0 77,0 4,466 1543 4,580
wig 2,750 2,980 34200 98.0 103.0 269,500 306,940 310,400
WYO 34 29 32 81,0 87,0 89.0 2,754 2,523 2,648
us 2 70,275 70,980 73,323 100.8 109.4 99.3 7,086,666 7,763,771 742844036

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED 1S FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-1 : CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


BARLEY

STATE AREA HARVESTED : yet z PRODUCTI
¥ ¢ Tho ¢ ? = (mos ? Ts
1976 3 1979 3 19H0 ¢ 1976 $ 1979 2 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 3 1980
1,000 aCnKFS BUSHECS Tedd RUSRECS
ARIZ 35 a3 oS 74.n 2,465 3,225 4,235
CALIF 459 790 720 ane 45,600 47,400 44,640
coLn aan evo 2en b4.0 15,360 20,910 16,200
EL 2a as 24 au. 1,054 1,125 1,176
TOAHO 930 450 ben Hoo 55,400 49,309 53,680
TL 7 7 6 Bho ase 329 2ee
KANS 60 oo SS aaa 2, han 2,700 2,990
KY 23 2s ek 43.0 aB9 1,250 1,488
“4D 4S BA ta 4b.d 3,910 312 4, UR
MICH hd 17 18 are Ags 799 wan
MINN 1,950 770 73000 49.5 D1e975 40,810 27,740
MONT. 1,375 1,640 1,080 G3.0 99,125 4c, S560 39,960
NERR 29 ee 2h BALD 14102 1,204 936
New 20 22 19 5.8 1,a00 1,326 1,140
NJ 20 16 17 4A 920 a14 67
N MEX 2s 2? 29 B7ee 1,425 1,566 1,624
NY 10 at it ro 420 528 49s
yc 59 62 SK 5460 3,009 Bein a, Rua
N DAK 2,450 1,650 1,600 4beo 112,700 75,900 43,200
OHTN 10 q 7 Pret) Asi 468 336
OKLA bo 55 55 3460 2,720 2,930 1,985
ORES vas 160 150 Suen 44250 4,900 1,650
PA 125 115 108 ATO S.A75 5,405 5,250
sc a4 23 23 UTC 1,128 1,104 9h
S$ DAK 565 suo 450 3740 20,405 20,000 13,950
TENN 1s 13 12 34,0 442 $98 Sua
TEX 40 30 40 27.9 1,080 21300 1,200
UTAH 135 131 134 S440 7,566 9,039 8, R40
vA 10t iaa 90 96.0 5,050 A 6eO
wast 3a 3158 430 61.0 23,180 24,510
wova 10 10 9 44,0 aaa 396
wi a7 2a 26 ayy 14323 1,326
wy 14) V4) 133 bse By FOF 2460 Pa379
us 9,247 7,468 7,364 anys 449,177 378,067 328,557
CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 8-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

PROOUCTION

INDICATED

: IND IND 3
: isso i980: 1979
HECTARES METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN : 28.726 510 29 673 O80 6.87 6.24 197 208 870 185 023 040
OATS: : 3.978 510 3 797 210 1.95 1.72 7 756 590 6 524 530
BARLEY : 3 022 220 2 978 920 2.72 2.40 8 231 440 7 153 480
ALL WHEAT : 25 333 590 «9629 510 410 2.30 2.14 58 288 400 63 060 250

WINTER : 17 633.150 21 :136 960 2.48 2.38 43 787 000 47 822 330 50 298 700

DURUM : 1 59) 240 2 023 050 1.82 1.22 2 902 650 2 463 330

OTHER SPRING : 6 109 200 6 350 400 1.90 1.62 11 598 750 lo 298 220
RYE : 384 050 283 280 1.62 1.42 623 570 400 930
POTATOES z .

‘SUMMER : 44 110 39 O10 22.92 21.74 1 O11 140 848 210

FALL 1/ : 434 720 395 540 31.47 13 681 540

TOTAL 1/ 2 517 560 468 670 30.47 15 768 970
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO t

TYPES 11-14 z 202 140 227 440 2.12 2.23 428 630 506 360
APPLES, COM'L : 3 669 130 3 728 740
BLUEBERRIES 3 14 530 14 770 2.88 3.12 Al 860 46 140
PEACHES 2/ ? 1 350 560 1 306 430 1 315 050
PEARS: z 781 540 789 070
SWEET CHERRIES 3/ : 165 560 159 760 isl 230
TART CHERRIES 3/ : 77 230 112 170 112 630
APRICOTS. : 13) 090 112 670 112 760
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 156 040 167 830 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) : 158 760 163 290 154 220
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) : 120 660 145 150 145 150
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 170 550 136 080 154 220
WALNUTS : 188 690 495 040
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ 1978-79 1979-80 1979-80

‘ORANGES 8 306 180 10647 630 10 729°270
GRAPEFRUIT 2 491 130 2 690 710 2 708 850
LEMONS 668 600 742 980 7l2 140

1/ YIELD ANO PRODUCTION FOR 1980 TO BE RELEASED OCT 10, 1980.. 2/ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR
CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES: AS FOLLOWS IN METRIC TONS: 1979 - 40 820. 3/ ESTIMATES IN JUN 1 COLUMN
INCLUDE FORECAST IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES AS OF JUN 15. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 a3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CHERRIES

PRODUCTION 2/

CROP AND
STATE

CHERRIES, SWEET
IF

CAL. 14,000 34,300 43,500
COLO 2/ 150
IDAHO 2,500 3,000 2,700
MICH 35,000 24,500 23,000
MONT 1,850 2,950 2,200
NY 3,500 4,200 5,400
OREG : 35,000 38,000 33,000
PA 3/ : 750 950 1,100
UTAH : 3,000 5,600 5,800
WASH : 59,300 69,000 50,000
us 155,050 182,500 166,700
MILLION POUNOS
CHERRIES, TART
1.0 3/ 1.3 2.8
MICH 3/ 128.0 175.0
NY 37 18.9 30.4
OHIO 2/ +2
OREG : 3.8 6.0
PA 3/ : 6.2 5.6
UTAH : 11.3 16.0
WIS 3/ : 1s 12.5
us : 181.2

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (TONS): US SWEET CHERRIES, 1979-150.
2 ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP. 3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER

FORECAST.

PAPAYAS - HAKALI

AREA + FRESH UTILIZATION

CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-JUN 17,925

, FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF ACREAGE PLANTED BY TYPE
OF POTATOES, 11 MAJOR STATES, 1980 CROP

la 33 53 100

11 STATE TOTAL 6 a 63 100

1/ PREDOMINANT TYPE SHOWN MAY INCLUDE SMALL PORTION OF OTHER TYPE(S) CONSTITUTING LESS THAN 5. PERCENT
‘OF STATE'S TOTAL.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED 7

PRODUCTION

INOICATED

CORN FOR GRAIN
OATS "
BARLEY "
ALL WHEAT "
WINTER "
DURUM "
OTHER SPRING "

TOTAL 1/ ”
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO

TYPES 11-14
PASTURE AND RANGE’ 2/
APPLES, COM'L
BLUEBERRIES "
PEACHES 3/ .
PEARS,
SWEET CHERRIES 4/ ”
TART CHERRIES 4/
APRICOTS
NECTARINES (CALIF) ®
PLUMS (CALIF) "
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
ALMONDS (CALIF)
WALNUTS
CITRUS FRUITS 5/
ORANGES

70,984 73,323
9,831 9,363
7,468 7,361
62,600 72,921
43,572 52,230
3,932 4,999
15,096 15,692
989 700
109.0 96.4
1,074.2 977.4
1,278.9 1,158.1
499.5 562.0
35.9 36.5

99.3
47.9
44,6
31.8
35.4
18.1
24.1
22.5

ig4

1,986
8

2,789

7,763,772
536, 386
378,067

2,141,732

1,608,897
106,654
426,181

24, 549

22,292
301,628
347,648

944,970

8,089, 100
92,285
2,977,500

861.5

182.5
170,400

104.5

172.0

175.0

1,757,170

1979-80
277,450
72,700

21,550 "~

7,284,036
449,504
328,557

2,327,068

1,848,161

90,512
378,395
15, 784

38,700

1,116,342

8,220,500
101,730
2,899,200

869.8

166.7
248,300

124.3

185.0

170.0

160.0

00

{215.0

(1979-80
73,200
20,650

1/ YIELO AND PRODUCTION FOR 1980 TO BE RELEASED OCT 10, 1980. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF
FIRST OF MONTH, THE 1969-78 AVERAGE IS 82PERCENT. 3/ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA
CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND: PQUNOS: 1979 - 90,000. 4/ ESTIMATES IN JUN 1 COLUMN INCLUDE
FORECAST IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES AS OF JUN 15, 5/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND
ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR,

The CROP PROOUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on selected
agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which con~ |
sists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters. ’

A
CROP REPORTING BOARD:
J. L. Qlson, Chairman,
APPROVED: P. A, Walsh, Secretary,
D. W. Barrowman, F.E. Rolf,
R. P. Small, R. L. Addison,
lo W. R, Blackson, D. J. Buckner,
L WE R, 0. Fenley, P. RH, Hardy,
: G. H. Howse, T. W. Jean,
bleed . D. €. Johnson, G. A. Nelson,
T. M. Knapp, N. V. Perkins,
C. A. Van Lahr, Jr., F. A. Vogel,
We W. Wilken,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



INDEX

PAGE
APPLES, COMMERCIAL ....ceccececcecccccccceeeeeeetereeeeeceeees cee BB
BARLEY ..cccscceeceesceeeeeeees ce ceneeceeceeeeeeeeeeterenseatenees B- 3
BLUEBERRIES ....... rere errr rrr err secceene eee eee eee nacncsteene B- 8
CHERRIES oo. ccceeccesceecceeseeeseccceeeeeuseees ve deeeeeeeeeees eee BAl2
CITRUS FRUIT oo. ecccceceeececceesceeceesteceeeesecussteeeeeeees wee Bell
CORN FOR GRAIN woe ccc vec cece cee n cence ane e nsec eee eee tec eesseeees B- 1
CROP PROSPECTS MAPS .......0006 Peeve me cee recerecesecetnececeseeee A- 5
MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS ......006 Lecce eee enaeeeeneeseeeeenens B+10
OATS ..... se eeeeeseneeees veeeeeee see eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee ceeeeeeees . BQ)
PAPAYAS, HAWAII ...cccceeccecceeccesceeseeeteeeeeeteeteeneeeeeees B-12
B-14
A- 6
8-9
PEARS .eccccccccescucceeeeesseestunseesseeeteeeeeestensteeteaeenee B-10
POTATOES .occccecccccececenceeseteeteceeaeeesereeseesestententeners B-13
FN B- 6
TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE ..ceecceseeeceeeeeees seteeeeteees seeeaee B- 7
US SUMMARY. A- 2
WHEAT, BY CLASSES .. ccc cece ec eee enn ccccerecscerveseeee Ode weeeeevece B- 5
WHEAT, DURUM .....eccceeeeeeeeee Lecce eee e cence seeee eee eneeeneneee B- 6
WHEAT, SPRING ....cceeceeseeeere de eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeesaecuceeeeeees a B- 6
WHEAT, WINTER 2... cece este e cece ence ec tee ene eee e eee ese cence rseereees B- 5

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Production of Clingstone peaches in California is expected to total 1.34 billion pounds, 4
percent less than last season's crop but 9 percent above the 1978 level. Fruit is sizing well
and early July rains are not expected to cause significant problems. The California Freestone
crop is forecast at 450 million pounds, the same as the June 1 forecast and 4 percent below last
year's crop. About one-third of the crop has been picked with good to excellent quality
reported.

Production in the nine Southern States is forecast at 529 million pounds, up 1 percent from
the June 1 forecast but 18 percent less than last year. The South Carolina crop is well below
last year as the result of a very dry spring. Harvest is in full swing with gooa quality re-
ported. Harvest in Georgia was active with 62 percent of the crop picked by July 1. March
freezes in Texas reduced the crop sharply from last year. Harvest of early varieties began in
Virginia late in June. Michigan production is expected to be well above the freeze damaged crop
of last year. In Pennsylvania, some hail damage is reported but a heavy crop is expected.

PEARS: The U.S. pear crop is forecast at 870 thousand tons (789 thousand metric tons), 1 percent
more than last year's crop and 20 percent above the 1978 crop.

Bartlett tonnage in California, Oregon and Washington is forecast at 593 thousand tons (538
thousand metric tons), unchanged from last year. In California, the Bartlett crop looks good
with sizes larger than last year. Harvest should begin by mid-July. In Washington and Oregon,
quality and size of fruit are good.

Production of pears other than Bartletts in the Pacific Coast States is forecast at 231
thousand tons (210 thousand metric tons), 3 percent above last year's production and 6 percent
more than was produced in 1978. Prospects are for a good quality crop.

In Michigan, recent warm weather and adequate rainfall should insure proper sizing. The New
York crop is sizing nicely and growing conditions are good. In Utah, prospects were reduced by
wet and windy weather during pollination.

GRAPES: The California grape crop is expected to total 4.42 million tons (4.01 million metric

tons), 3 percent below last year's record crop but 10 percent above the 1978 crop.
Coachella Valley table grape harvest began in late May with volume expected to be above last
year. Raisin variety grapes are developing well because of cool temperatures but bunch counts
are down. A large wine grape crop is expected with good bunch counts and sizes. Condition of
all grapes is excellent but warmer weather than experienced to date will be needed this summer
for normal maturity.

SWEET CHERRIES: The U.S. sweet cherry crop is forecast at 167 thousand tons (151 thousand metric

tons), 9 percent less than last year's crop but 7 percent more than 1978. The
three Pacific Coast States expect to harvest nearly 127 thousand tons compared with 141 thousand
tons last year. In California, the crop is excellent in quality, size and yield. Both Oregon
and Washington cherry crop estimates are lower than earlier forecasts because of. rain that
caused split fruit and some brown rot. In Michigan, prospects are down from a year ago because
of cool weather and poor pollination.

TART CHERRIES: Production of tart cherries in the U.S. is expected to total 248 million pounds

(113 thousand metric tons), 46 percent above last season and 37 percent greater
than the 1978 crop. The crop in the Great Lakes States at 224 million pounds is 51 percent
above a year ago.

APRICOTS: The U.S. apricot crop, forecast at 124 thousand tons (113 thousand metric tons), is

virtually unchanged from last month and is 14 percent smaller than last year's
production. The California crop is placed at 120 thousand tons, 14 percent below last year.
Rains in early July are causing some quality deterioration. The crop in Utah at 1700 tons is 15
percent less than last year. Washington's crop at 2600 tons is 4 percent above last season with
prospects for excellent size fruit.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine crop of 185 thousand tons (168 thousand metric tons) is un-
changed from last month and 8 percent above a year ago. Quality and size are very
good with harvest increasing.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


OATS,

STATE AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELO PRODUCTION
z 7 IND z + ¥ TAD
1978 3 1979 3 1960 31978 31979 1978 3 1979 2 1980

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA : 30 2s es 40,0 41,0 38,0 1,200 1,025 950
ARK : $5 32 51 73,0 65.0 70.0 4,015 2080 3,570
CALIF z 106 AS 70 49,0 55.0 54.0 5,088 4,675 3,780
coLo t ao 50 30 44,0 50,0 47,0 1,760 2-500 1410
GA z 65 59 55 St. 54.0 53.0 3,405 B86 2S
IpAHO 3 a9 aa 43 64,0 52.0 65.0 34136 2,288 2,795
TLL 3 285 270 240 $6.0 60.0 60.0 15,960 16,200 14,400
IND 3 165 145 125 S4.0 61.0 60.0 8,910 8,645 7,500
TOW : 1,050 1,000 960 58.0 63.0 55.0 60,900 63,000 52,600
HANS 3 105 8s ieo 39.0 44,0 34,0 4,095 3.740 4080
KY : 7 A 6 42.0 41.0 4a.0 294 328 264
MAINE 36 39 40 6.0 62.0 53.0 26376 2.418 26120
MD t es e2 22 54.0 55.0 56.0 14242 1e2to 1,232
MICH : 360 270 285 $7.0 6140 58.0 20,520 16,470 16,530
MINN 3 1,830 1,490 16535 54.00 S720 49.0 98,820 84,930 75.215
Mo 39 45 55 38.0 45,0 40.0 1,330 2,025 2,200
Mont 208 140 110 S1.0 39.0 36.0 10,608 5,460 3,960
NEBR 450 380 380 47.0 53.0 43.0 21,150 20,140 167340
uJ 8 a 7 48.0 50.0 48.0 384 400 336
ny 300 290 260, 59.0 62.0 61.0 17,700 17,980 17,080
nC ¥5 95 80 35.0 56.0 53.0 5,225 5,320 4,240
4 OAK 1220 Bao 699 54.0 44 28.0 65, BBO 36,960 19,320
ono : 400 3an 310 61.0 70.0 66.0 24,400 23, 800 20,460
OKLA : 95 95 105 3640 48.0 39.0 3,420 4,560 4,095
ORES : 70 65 60 65.0 64.0 64.0 4,550 44160 3,840
PA t 340 335 34G 53.0 55.0 53.0 18,020 18,425 18,020
sc 3 75 59 43 52.00 54,0 49.0 3,900 34186 2,107
S DAK 26210 1,970 1/750 46.5 50.0 38,0 102,765 98,500 66,500
TENN : 25 a7 15 45.0 © 41,0 44,0 1,125 1,107 660
TEX 3 430 400 390 32.0 42.0 35.0 13,760 16,800 13,650
UTAH + ie 12 1200 4A, 59.0 56.0 S76 708 696
vA z 36 35 25 45.0 49.0 46,0 1,620 1,715 1,150
WASH : 30 33 3358.0 53.0 59,0 1,740 1,749 1,947
wove t 12 12 12 42,0 51.0 51.0 so4 o12 612
WIS z 1120 960 1,930 56.0 57.0 59,0 62,720 55,860 60,770
wyo : 49 46 49 56.0 44,0 40,0 2,744 2,024 1,960
us 11,426 9,831 9,383 52.2 5a.4 47,9 595,882 534,366 449,504

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1980 B-2 .° CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA