Cr Pr 2-2 (9-07)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released September 12, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 2 Percent from August Forecast

Soybean Production Down Slightly

Cotton Production Up 3 Percent

Corn production is forecast at 13.3 billion bushels, up 2 percent from last month and 26 percent above 2006. Based

on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 155.8 bushels per acre, up 3.0 bushels from August

and 6.7 bushels above last year. If realized, this would be the second highest yield on record, behind the

160.4 bushel yield in 2004. Production would be the largest on record as growers expect to harvest the most corn

acres for grain since 1933. Expected yields are higher than last month across the northern and central Great Plains

and Corn Belt where heavy rainfall during the month provided much-needed moisture for the crop. Yield forecasts

in the southern Great Plains and Delta are also higher than last month as early harvest results are better than

anticipated. Yields are unchanged or lower than August across much of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.62 billion bushels, down slightly from the August forecast and down 18 percent

from last year’s record high. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.4 bushels per

acre, down 0.1 bushel from last month and down 1.3 bushels from last year. Compared with last month, yields are

forecast lower across the central Corn Belt, the Tennessee Valley, and the Southeast. Hot, dry conditions

contributed to most of the decline, especially in Kentucky and Tennessee, down 8 bushels and 9 bushels from last

month, respectively. However, yields increased from the August 1 forecast in the northern Great Plains and

northwestern Corn Belt, as beneficial rains fell during the month of August.

All Cotton production is forecast at 17.8 million 480-pound bales, up 3 percent from last month but down

17 percent from last year’s 21.6 million bales. Yield is expected to average 811 pounds per harvested acre, up

28 pounds from last month but down 3 pounds from 2006. Harvested area is expected to total 10.5 million acres of

all cotton, down 1 percent from last month and down 17 percent from last year. Upland cotton production is

forecast at 17.0 million 480-pound bales, up 3 percent from last month but down 18 percent from last year. 

Compared with last month, lower upland production forecasts in the Delta and Southeast were offset by the

15 percent increase in Texas production to 7.00 million 480-pound bales. American-Pima production is forecast at

793,000 bales, down 2 percent from last month but up 4 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested area is

expected to total 289,000 acres, down 1 percent from last month and down 11 percent from 2006.

California navel orange production for the 2007-08 season is forecast at 43.0 million boxes (1.61 million tons), up

26 percent from last season’s revised production of 34.0 million boxes (1.28 million tons). This initial forecast is

based on an objective measurement survey conducted in the California Central Valley between July 25 and

August 30. Based on this survey, average fruit per tree is nearly 100 oranges higher than was measured in last

season’s survey but average fruit size is slightly smaller.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on September 12, 2007.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Mark Keenum

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Carol C. House
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Grains & Hay

Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

 Plant Population Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26

 Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Oilseeds

Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

 Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

Hazelnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

Walnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

Citrus Fruits 

Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 4 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

165

180

110

860

161

225

11,150

5,380

12,350

3,000

1,040

290

425

1,960

6,850

325

2,630

7,750

64

45

480

740

1,400

2,960

220

960

290

3,220

500

1,450

345

75

2,800

248

70,648

240

530

190

1,050

175

480

13,000

6,450

13,950

3,400

1,340

730

470

2,230

7,650

950

3,380

8,700

84

45

540

1,030

2,200

3,780

250

1,000

370

4,450

780

1,850

400

130

3,300

294

85,418

72.0

146.0

165.0

156.0

145.0

112.0

163.0

157.0

166.0

115.0

146.0

140.0

142.0

147.0

161.0

110.0

138.0

152.0

129.0

185.0

129.0

132.0

111.0

159.0

105.0

122.0

110.0

97.0

125.0

121.0

120.0

210.0

143.0

145.2

149.1

65.0

153.0

170.0

150.0

80.0

115.0

178.0

157.0

180.0

132.0

120.0

150.0

90.0

111.0

156.0

125.0

137.0

168.0

112.0

185.0

123.0

94.0

125.0

143.0

135.0

110.0

100.0

117.0

95.0

142.0

80.0

210.0

145.0

142.9

152.8

65.0

155.0

175.0

150.0

80.0

120.0

180.0

160.0

182.0

135.0

120.0

160.0

85.0

113.0

158.0

130.0

140.0

174.0

105.0

185.0

123.0

89.0

127.0

150.0

138.0

110.0

100.0

124.0

100.0

144.0

80.0

210.0

148.0

143.6

155.8

11,880

26,280

18,150

134,160

23,345

25,200

1,817,450

844,660

2,050,100

345,000

151,840

40,600

60,350

288,120

1,102,850

35,750

362,940

1,178,000

8,256

8,325

61,920

97,680

155,400

470,640

23,100

117,120

31,900

312,340

62,500

175,450

41,400

15,750

400,400

36,012

10,534,868

15,600

82,150

33,250

157,500

14,000

57,600

2,340,000

1,032,000

2,538,900

459,000

160,800

116,800

39,950

251,990

1,208,700

123,500

473,200

1,513,800

8,820

8,325

66,420

91,670

279,400

567,000

34,500

110,000

37,000

551,800

78,000

266,400

32,000

27,300

488,400

42,224

13,307,999

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop

Production 2007 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 5 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

 Sts 1

US

60

130

72

2,500

87

95

240

60

200

80

1,300

113

4,937

210

160

78

2,600

205

95

150

70

210

180

2,500

240

6,698

85.0

26.0

89.0

58.0

96.0

85.0

80.0

35.0

34.0

36.0

48.0

69.4

56.2

87.0

42.0

90.0

74.0

93.0

98.0

95.0

45.0

57.0

42.0

67.0

73.9

70.9

87.0

44.0

90.0

79.0

96.0

98.0

98.0

37.0

53.0

50.0

69.0

75.5

73.9

5,100

3,380

6,408

145,000

8,352

8,075

19,200

2,100

6,800

2,880

62,400

7,843

277,538

18,270

7,040

7,020

205,400

19,680

9,310

14,700

2,590

11,130

9,000

172,500

18,110

494,750

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, KY, MS, NC, PA, SC, and TN. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop

Production 2007 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 6 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Planted and Harvested by Class, State, and

United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2007 2 2005 2006 2007 2

Long Grain

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,540.0

9.0

520.0

265.0

215.0

202.0

2,751.0

1,300.0

6.0

340.0

190.0

215.0

149.0

2,200.0

1,185.0

9.0

355.0

190.0

179.0

143.0

2,061.0

1,533.0

9.0

515.0

263.0

213.0

201.0

2,734.0

1,295.0

5.0

335.0

189.0

213.0

149.0

2,186.0

1,180.0

9.0

350.0

189.0

177.0

143.0

2,048.0

Medium Grain

AR

CA

LA

MO

TX

US

102.0

465.0

10.0

1.0

0.0

578.0

105.0

460.0

10.0

1.0

1.0

577.0

145.0

445.0

23.0

1.0

3.0

617.0

101.0

463.0

10.0

1.0

0.0

575.0

104.0

458.0

10.0

1.0

1.0

574.0

144.0

442.0

23.0

1.0

3.0

613.0

Short Grain

AR

CA

US

1.0

54.0

55.0

1.0

60.0

61.0

1.0

69.0

70.0

1.0

54.0

55.0

1.0

60.0

61.0

1.0

69.0

70.0

All

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,643.0

528.0

530.0

265.0

216.0

202.0

3,384.0

1,406.0

526.0

350.0

190.0

216.0

150.0

2,838.0

1,331.0

523.0

378.0

190.0

180.0

146.0

2,748.0

1,635.0

526.0

525.0

263.0

214.0

201.0

3,364.0

1,400.0

523.0

345.0

189.0

214.0

150.0

2,821.0

1,325.0

520.0

373.0

189.0

178.0

146.0

2,731.0

 1 Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain. 2 Updated from “Acreage” released June 29, 2007.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 7 NASS, USDA

Rice: Yield and Production by Class, State, and

United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1

Class

and

State

Yield Production

2005 2006

2007

2005 2006 2007 2

Aug 1 Sep 1

Long Grain

Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

6,650

7,100

5,900

6,400

6,600

6,800

6,493

6,860

5,800

5,820

7,000

6,400

7,200

6,689

101,945

639

30,385

16,832

14,058

13,668

177,527

88,837

290

19,497

13,230

13,632

10,728

146,214 138,240

Medium Grain

AR

CA

LA

MO

TX

US

6,720

7,550

5,980

6,600

0

7,375

6,750

7,880

5,960

6,400

3,200

7,631

6,787

34,957

598

66

0

42,408

7,020

36,090

596

64

32

43,802 49,144

Short Grain

AR

CA

US

6,000

6,000

6,000

6,000

6,100

6,098

60

3,240

3,300

60

3,660

3,720 4,445

All

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

6,650

7,380

5,900

6,400

6,600

6,800

6,636

6,850

7,660

5,820

7,000

6,400

7,170

6,868

6,950

8,000

5,900

7,100

6,700

6,800

6,984

6,950

8,200

6,000

7,100

6,800

6,300

7,024

108,792

38,836

30,983

16,832

14,124

13,668

223,235

95,917

40,040

20,093

13,230

13,696

10,760

193,736

92,088

42,640

22,380

13,419

12,104

9,198

191,829

 1 Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain. 2 Indicated September 1, 2007, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted

as data become available through the growing season. State estimates by class will be published in the “Crop Production 2007

Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 8 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

150

3,070

177

140

10,050

5,680

10,100

3,080

1,370

840

465

1,990

7,250

1,650

5,110

5,010

86

198

1,360

3,870

4,620

215

425

390

3,850

1,130

155

510

1,640

21

74,602

170

2,750

155

205

8,300

4,580

8,770

2,300

1,140

580

420

1,790

6,200

1,440

4,450

3,950

78

213

1,370

3,050

3,980

250

435

410

3,250

1,050

75

490

1,390

24

63,265

20.0

35.0

31.0

25.0

48.0

50.0

50.5

32.0

44.0

35.0

34.0

45.0

44.0

26.0

38.0

50.0

35.0

46.0

32.0

31.0

47.0

17.0

40.0

29.0

34.0

39.0

24.0

31.0

44.0

38.4

42.7

26.0

38.0

24.0

30.0

47.0

47.0

50.0

34.0

38.0

37.0

25.0

33.0

40.0

39.0

37.0

50.0

27.0

37.0

27.0

34.0

44.0

24.0

39.0

26.0

35.0

33.0

32.0

25.0

43.0

35.9

41.5

20.0

38.0

24.0

29.0

46.0

43.0

51.0

34.0

30.0

39.0

25.0

33.0

42.0

39.0

37.0

52.0

27.0

37.0

22.0

35.0

44.0

24.0

39.0

22.0

40.0

24.0

32.0

27.0

42.0

34.5

41.4

3,000

107,450

5,487

3,500

482,400

284,000

510,050

98,560

60,280

29,400

15,810

89,550

319,000

42,900

194,180

250,500

3,010

9,108

43,520

119,970

217,140

3,655

17,000

11,310

130,900

44,070

3,720

15,810

72,160

807

3,188,247

3,400

104,500

3,720

5,945

381,800

196,940

447,270

78,200

34,200

22,620

10,500

59,070

260,400

56,160

164,650

205,400

2,106

7,881

30,140

106,750

175,120

6,000

16,965

9,020

130,000

25,200

2,400

13,230

58,380

829

2,618,796

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop Production 2007 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 9 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield and Production by State and

United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

FL

GA

MS

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

225.0

160.0

755.0

15.0

19.0

97.0

35.0

63.0

265.0

23.0

1,657.0

165.0

130.0

580.0

17.0

12.0

85.0

23.0

59.0

155.0

17.0

1,243.0

160.0

125.0

530.0

19.0

10.0

93.0

17.0

59.0

190.0

22.0

1,225.0

223.0

152.0

750.0

14.0

19.0

96.0

33.0

60.0

260.0

22.0

1,629.0

163.0

120.0

575.0

16.0

12.0

84.0

22.0

56.0

145.0

16.0

1,209.0

157.0

115.0

520.0

18.0

10.0

92.0

16.0

56.0

185.0

21.0

1,190.0

State

Yield Production

2005 2006

2007

2005 2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

MS

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

2,750

2,700

2,840

3,200

3,500

3,000

3,270

2,800

3,750

3,000

2,989

2,500

2,500

2,750

3,000

3,600

3,200

3,000

3,100

3,700

3,100

2,874

2,300

2,800

2,800

3,100

3,500

3,000

3,100

3,100

3,600

2,800

2,909

2,200

2,700

2,900

3,100

3,500

2,300

3,200

2,800

3,300

2,400

2,803

613,250

410,400

2,130,000

44,800

66,500

288,000

107,910

168,000

975,000

66,000

4,869,860

407,500

300,000

1,581,250

48,000

43,200

268,800

66,000

173,600

536,500

49,600

3,474,450

345,400

310,500

1,508,000

55,800

35,000

211,600

51,200

156,800

610,500

50,400

3,335,200

 1 Updated from “Crop Production” released August 10, 2007.

Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State,

and United States, 2006-2007

State Upland Amer-Pima All

2006 2007 1 2006 2007 1 2006 2007 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

575.0

190.0

1,170.0

285.0

103.0

1,400.0

115.0

635.0

1,230.0

500.0

50.0

870.0

320.0

300.0

700.0

6,400.0

105.0

14,948.0

400.0

180.0

860.0

195.0

84.0

1,040.0

50.0

330.0

660.0

390.0

50.0

500.0

175.0

180.0

500.0

4,900.0

60.0

10,554.0

7.0

275.0

13.0

31.0

326.0

3.0

260.0

5.0

25.0

293.0

575.0

197.0

1,170.0

560.0

103.0

1,400.0

115.0

635.0

1,230.0

500.0

63.0

870.0

320.0

300.0

700.0

6,431.0

105.0

15,274.0

400.0

183.0

860.0

455.0

84.0

1,040.0

50.0

330.0

660.0

390.0

55.0

500.0

175.0

180.0

500.0

4,925.0

60.0

10,847.0

 1 Updated from “Acreage” released June 29, 2007.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 10 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

560.0

188.0

1,160.0

283.0

101.0

1,370.0

110.0

630.0

1,220.0

496.0

48.0

865.0

180.0

298.0

695.0

4,100.0

104.0

12,408.0

7.0

274.0

12.5

30.0

323.5

560.0

195.0

1,160.0

557.0

101.0

1,370.0

110.0

630.0

1,220.0

496.0

60.5

865.0

180.0

298.0

695.0

4,130.0

104.0

12,731.5

390.0

178.0

850.0

194.0

82.0

1,010.0

45.0

325.0

655.0

389.0

44.0

495.0

165.0

178.0

495.0

4,700.0

59.0

10,254.0

3.0

257.0

5.0

24.0

289.0

390.0

181.0

850.0

451.0

82.0

1,010.0

45.0

325.0

655.0

389.0

49.0

495.0

165.0

178.0

495.0

4,724.0

59.0

10,543.0

579

1,420

1,045

1,321

789

818

511

946

829

953

930

713

541

697

945

679

717

806

919

1,204

768

720

1,136

579

1,402

1,045

1,263

789

818

511

946

829

953

897

713

541

697

945

679

717

814

652

1,375

1,083

1,383

785

792

576

946

960

941

1,042

682

700

650

869

623

600

767

900

1,379

747

935

1,325

652

1,365

1,083

1,381

785

792

576

946

960

941

994

682

700

650

869

624

600

783

578

1,375

1,045

1,410

644

808

480

960

953

925

1,113

611

698

485

815

715

586

797

880

1,382

720

800

1,317

578

1,367

1,045

1,394

644

808

480

960

953

925

1,073

611

698

485

815

715

586

811

675.0

556.0

2,525.0

779.0

166.0

2,334.0

117.0

1,241.0

2,107.0

985.0

93.0

1,285.0

203.0

433.0

1,368.0

5,800.0

155.4

20,822.4

13.4

687.0

20.0

45.0

765.4

675.0

569.4

2,525.0

1,466.0

166.0

2,334.0

117.0

1,241.0

2,107.0

985.0

113.0

1,285.0

203.0

433.0

1,368.0

5,845.0

155.4

21,587.8

470.0

510.0

1,850.0

570.0

110.0

1,700.0

45.0

650.0

1,300.0

750.0

102.0

630.0

240.0

180.0

840.0

7,000.0

72.0

17,019.0

5.5

740.0

7.5

40.0

793.0

470.0

515.5

1,850.0

1,310.0

110.0

1,700.0

45.0

650.0

1,300.0

750.0

109.5

630.0

240.0

180.0

840.0

7,040.0

72.0

17,812.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-lb. net weight bale.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 11 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

State

Production

2005 2006 2007 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 8,172.1 7,347.9 6,163.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

400.0

22.4

435.0

40.7

898.1

396.0

22.5

420.0

45.0

883.5

35.9

75.0

27.3

41.2

32.9

39.0

79.0

29.0

41.0

35.3

36.9

79.0

29.0

40.9

34.4

14,346

1,681

11,876

1,677

29,580

14,612

1,778

12,180

1,841

30,411

 1 Net tons.

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States,

2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OR

WA

WY

US

43.1

38.0

187.0

154.0

477.0

48.5

57.8

243.0

13.1

2.0

40.1

1,303.6

39.1

29.3

167.0

149.0

475.0

47.0

44.5

247.0

11.0

2.0

30.5

1,241.4

36.1

23.4

31.7

23.2

24.9

27.0

23.3

26.0

30.1

37.0

19.9

26.1

35.4

24.0

29.8

21.0

22.6

25.0

21.5

23.2

28.4

38.0

21.0

24.0

35.4

25.4

30.5

21.5

22.4

26.0

23.3

23.0

30.6

38.0

22.0

24.2

1,556

889

5,928

3,573

11,877

1,310

1,347

6,318

394

74

798

34,064

1,384

744

5,094

3,204

10,640

1,222

1,037

5,681

337

76

671

30,090

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central

CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 12 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006

2007

2006 2007

Aug 1 Sep 1

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT 1

FL 2

GA

KY

MA 1

MO 1

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

US

2,500

1,100

17,000

83,000

1,150

1,500

158,800

3,500

7,900

23,000

19,800

19,650

338,900

2,800

20,000

87,500

1,220

1,700

169,000

3,300

7,900

22,000

19,050

20,600

355,070

1,597

2,600

1,770

2,250

1,583

2,250

2,081

2,000

2,056

2,100

2,482

2,374

2,144

1,775

2,100

2,141

1,746

2,100

2,190

1,800

2,161

2,250

2,416

2,351

2,189

1,775

2,100

2,018

1,746

2,100

1,991

1,800

2,166

2,250

2,056

1,989

2,023

3,992

2,860

30,090

186,780

1,820

3,375

330,410

7,000

16,240

48,300

49,135

46,642

726,644

4,970

42,000

176,600

2,130

3,570

336,400

5,940

17,110

49,500

39,175

40,980

718,375

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Estimates discontinued in 2007.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 13 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 FL 1

 GA

 NC

 SC

 VA

 US

Class 2, Fire-cured

 KY

 TN

 VA

 US

Class 3, Air-cured

 Light Air-cured

 Burley

 KY

 MO 2

 NC

 OH

 PA

 TN

 VA

 US

 Southern MD Belt

 PA

 Total Light Air-cured

 Dark Air-cured

 KY

 TN

 US

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Filler

 CT Valley Binder

 CT 2

 MA 2

 US 2

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 CT Valley Shade-grown

 CT 2

 MA 2

 US 2

All Cigar Types

All Tobacco

1,100

17,000

155,000

23,000

17,000

213,100

6,200

5,300

350

11,850

73,000

1,500

3,800

3,500

5,500

14,000

2,300

103,600

1,100

104,700

3,800

500

4,300

1,300

1,650

950

2,600

850

200

1,050

4,950

338,900

20,000

165,000

22,000

18,000

225,000

6,500

6,400

400

13,300

77,000

1,700

4,000

3,300

5,000

12,000

2,200

105,200

1,100

106,300

4,000

650

4,650

1,800

1,800

1,000

2,800

1,000

220

1,220

5,820

355,070

2,600

1,770

2,090

2,100

2,430

2,095

3,500

3,200

2,090

3,324

2,100

2,250

1,700

2,000

2,100

2,200

2,000

2,095

1,900

2,093

3,100

2,750

3,059

2,000

1,760

1,610

1,705

1,280

1,450

1,312

1,699

2,144

2,100

2,000

2,250

2,000

2,033

3,000

2,700

2,000

2,826

1,900

2,100

1,600

1,800

2,150

1,700

1,900

1,878

2,100

1,880

2,700

2,300

2,644

2,250

1,900

1,800

1,864

1,550

1,500

1,541

1,916

2,023

2,860

30,090

323,950

48,300

41,310

446,510

21,700

16,960

732

39,392

153,300

3,375

6,460

7,000

11,550

30,800

4,600

217,085

2,090

219,175

11,780

1,375

13,155

2,600

2,904

1,530

4,434

1,088

290

1,378

8,412

726,644

42,000

330,000

49,500

36,000

457,500

19,500

17,280

800

37,580

146,300

3,570

6,400

5,940

10,750

20,400

4,180

197,540

2,310

199,850

10,800

1,495

12,295

4,050

3,420

1,800

5,220

1,550

330

1,880

11,150

718,375

 1 Estimates discontinued in 2007. 2 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 14 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2006-2007

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter 1

 CA

 FL 2

 Total

Spring 1

 AZ

 CA

 FL 2

 Hastings

 Other FL

 NC

 TX

 Total

Summer

 AL

 CA

 CO 3

 DE

 IL

 KS

 MD

 MO

 NJ

 TX

 VA

 Total 3

12.0

5.7

17.7

3.9

15.3

23.1

17.0

6.1

17.7

10.7

70.7

1.7

6.3

3.7

3.0

6.5

6.0

4.0

7.8

2.5

10.5

6.0

58.0

11.5

11.5

4.0

15.5

27.8

16.5

11.3

16.0

9.7

73.0

1.5

7.0

3.0

2.0

6.3

4.5

3.0

7.0

2.3

11.2

6.0

53.8

12.0

5.5

17.5

3.9

15.3

22.6

16.6

6.0

15.5

10.2

67.5

1.6

6.3

3.6

2.1

6.3

5.7

2.9

7.6

2.5

9.7

5.6

53.9

11.5

11.5

4.0

15.5

27.2

16.2

11.0

14.5

9.2

70.4

1.3

7.0

2.8

2.0

6.1

4.4

3.0

6.7

2.3

8.9

5.8

50.3

260

250

257

300

395

285

285

285

210

280

293

150

335

360

240

395

320

320

315

240

440

270

337

215

215

280

395

284

280

290

190

320

294

120

360

360

260

400

345

300

305

255

420

185

328

3,120

1,375

4,495

1,170

6,044

6,441

4,731

1,710

3,255

2,856

19,766

240

2,111

1,296

504

2,489

1,824

928

2,394

600

4,268

1,512

18,166

2,473

2,473

1,120

6,123

7,726

4,536

3,190

2,755

2,944

20,668

156

2,520

1,008

520

2,440

1,518

900

2,044

587

3,738

1,073

16,504

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 15 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2006-2007 (continued)

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Fall 3 4

 CA

 CO

 ID

 10 SW Co

 Other ID

 ME

 MA

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NV

 NM

 NY

 ND

 OH

 OR

 Malheur

 Other OR

 PA

 RI

 WA

 WI

 Total

US

8.6

59.9

335.0

21.0

314.0

58.5

3.1

43.5

51.0

10.6

19.5

6.6

5.0

20.6

100.0

3.3

35.0

3.5

31.5

11.0

0.5

156.0

66.0

993.7

1,140.1

7.5

59.2

350.0

24.0

326.0

57.5

2.7

42.5

50.0

10.8

20.5

7.5

5.5

20.0

95.0

2.9

36.5

3.5

33.0

10.5

0.6

165.0

65.0

1,009.2

1,147.5

8.6

59.7

334.0

21.0

313.0

58.0

3.1

43.0

48.0

10.5

19.4

6.6

5.0

19.0

98.0

3.1

35.0

3.5

31.5

10.5

0.5

155.0

66.0

983.0

1,121.9

7.5

59.0

348.0

24.0

324.0

57.0

2.7

42.0

47.0

10.7

20.2

7.5

5.5

19.3

90.0

2.7

36.5

3.5

33.0

10.0

0.6

165.0

65.0

996.2

1,128.4

450

380

386

475

380

310

240

330

425

335

450

445

420

300

260

325

530

435

540

260

260

580

445

406

393

3,870

22,686

128,915

9,975

118,940

17,980

744

14,190

20,400

3,518

8,730

2,937

2,100

5,700

25,480

1,008

18,533

1,523

17,010

2,730

130

89,900

29,370

398,921

441,348

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2 Winter potatoes combined with spring potatoes in 2007. 3 2006 crop revised. 4 The forecast of fall potato production will be published in “Crop Production” on November 9, 2007.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 16 NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted, 2007 Crop

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 States, accounting for 87 percent of the

2007 U.S. fall potato planted acres. Colorado data are from a growers potato variety survey. The remaining

7 States conduct objective yield surveys where all producing areas are sampled in proportion to planted acreage. 

Variety data shown below are actual percentages from these surveys.

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted,

Selected States and 8 State Total, 2007 Crop 1

State Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

CO

ID

ME

R Norkotah

Centennial R

Rio Grande R

R Nugget

Yukon Gold

Sangre

Cherry Red

Latonia

Durango Red

Colorado Rose

Purple Majesty

Chipeta

Atlantic

Other

Total

R Burbank

Ranger R

R Norkotah

Western R

Alturas

Umatilla R

Shepody

Frito-Lay

Norland

Other

Total

R Burbank

Frito-Lay

Superior

Shepody

Snowden

Yukon Gold

Goldrush

Katahdin

R Norkotah

Norland

Ontario

Atlantic

Monona

Norwis

Reba

Other

Total

50.0

9.0

8.0

5.6

3.8

0.9

0.8

0.8

0.5

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.1

19.7

100.0

62.1

14.9

10.0

2.8

1.7

1.6

1.3

1.1

1.0

3.5

100.0

39.4

18.3

4.8

4.7

3.7

3.4

2.9

2.8

2.7

2.6

2.0

2.0

2.0

1.8

1.4

5.5

100.0

MN

ND

OR

R Burbank

Norland

Umatilla R

Sangre

Cascade

NorValley

Dakota Rose

Red Pontiac

Ranger R

Snowden

Goldrush

Other

Total

R Burbank

Norland

Shepody

Ranger R

Umatilla R

Frito-Lay

Sangre

Dakota Pearl

Red LaSoda

NorValley

Goldrush

Other

Total

R Burbank

R Norkotah

Ranger R

Shepody

Umatilla R

Alturas

Frito-Lay

Yukon Gold

NorValley

Other

Total

55.3

21.8

4.0

2.8

2.2

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.2

1.1

1.0

5.8

100.0

46.8

13.4

10.1

6.3

4.6

4.0

3.1

3.1

1.9

1.8

1.4

3.5

100.0

24.9

20.2

18.1

14.0

6.2

5.1

4.2

1.4

1.4

4.5

100.0

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 17 NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted,

Selected States and 8 State Total, 2007 Crop 1

 (continued)

State Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

WA

WI

R Burbank

Ranger R

Umatilla R

R Norkotah

Shepody

Alturas

Chieftain

Frito-Lay

Pike

Other

Total

R Burbank

R Norkotah

Frito-Lay

Goldrush

Norland

Silverton R

Superior

Snowden

Ranger R

Atlantic

Shepody

Other

Total

38.5

16.9

11.7

9.6

6.9

3.6

2.1

1.8

1.2

7.7

100.0

23.0

16.9

16.6

11.2

9.3

6.1

3.5

3.5

1.5

1.5

1.3

5.6

100.0

TOTAL

(8 Sts)

R Burbank

R Norkotah

Ranger R

Norland

Shepody

Umatilla R

Frito-Lay

Alturas

Goldrush

Western R

Yukon Gold

Centennial R

Snowden

Superior

Sangre

Rio Grande R

Chieftain

Dakota Pearl

Silverton R

NorValley

R Nugget

Atlantic

Pike

Red LaSoda

Cascade

Ivory Crisp

CalWhite

Bannock

Katahdin

Klondike Rose

Klondike Gold Dust

Ontario

Red Pontiac

Monona

Norwis

Premier R

Chipeta

NorDonna

GemStar

Summit

Dakota Rose

Reba

Viking

Freedom

Highland R

Dakota Crisp

Defender

Wallowa

Cherry Red

Latonia

Other

Total

45.5

11.4

10.7

4.0

3.9

3.9

3.8

1.6

1.2

1.1

0.9

0.7

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

2.6

100.0

 1 Preliminary. Final Percent of Major Varieties Planted for selected States will be published in “Crop Production” on

November 9, 2007.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 18 NASS, USDA

Oranges: Utilized Production by State and United States,

2005-06, 2006-07 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1 2 3

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Early Mid &

 Navel 4

 AZ

 CA

 FL 5

 TX

 US

Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

All

 AZ

 CA

 FL 5

 TX

 US

250

47,000

75,000

1,400

123,650

200

14,000

72,700

200

87,100

450

61,000

147,700

1,600

210,750

200

34,000

65,600

1,600

101,400

100

11,000

63,400

380

74,880

300

45,000

129,000

1,980

176,280

43,000

9

1,763

3,375

60

5,207

8

525

3,272

9

3,814

17

2,288

6,647

69

9,021

8

1,275

2,952

68

4,303

4

413

2,853

16

3,286

12

1,688

5,805

84

7,589

1,613

 1 2005-06 and 2006-07 revised. Revised grapefruit and other citrus fruit totals will be published in “Citrus Fruits 2007 Summary” on

September 20, 2007. 2 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 3 Net lbs. per box: AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85. 4 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of

tangerines in TX. 5 Temples included in early, midseason, and navel varieties beginning with 2006-07 season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 19 NASS, USDA

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2006-2007

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested 2006 2007

2006 2007 2006 2007

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Jul

Aug

1,755

2,160

1,735

2,135

1,510

1,330

810

1,395

1,705

2,215

2,385

2,405

 1 Utilized fresh production.

Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop and State,

2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007

Crop and State

Utilized Production

2005 2006 2007

Tons Tons Tons

Hazelnuts

 OR

Walnuts

 CA

27,600

355,000

43,000

346,000

33,000

320,000
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 20 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

3,452.0

78,327.0

4,168.0

580.0

2,838.0

1,396.0

6,522.0

57,344.0

40,575.0

1,870.0

14,899.0

1,044.0

813.0

40.5

1,243.0

1.4

189.0

75,522.0

1,950.0

15,274.0

14,948.0

326.0

1,366.2

46.0

1,629.8

925.5

429.0

1,140.1

17.7

70.7

58.0

993.7

95.2

4,044.0

92,888.0

3,860.0

610.0

2,748.0

1,354.0

7,765.0

60,505.0

45,136.0

2,225.0

13,144.0

1,165.0

465.0

57.5

1,225.0

1.4

170.0

64,081.0

1,864.0

10,847.0

10,554.0

293.0

1,266.0

27.0

1,504.8

880.5

305.0

1,147.5

11.5

73.0

53.8

1,009.2

96.5

2,951.0

70,648.0

6,477.0

60,807.0

21,384.0

39,423.0

1,576.0

475.0

2,821.0

274.0

4,937.0

347.0

46,810.0

31,117.0

1,815.0

13,878.0

1,021.0

767.0

39.2

1,209.0

1.0

179.0

74,602.0

1,770.0

12,731.5

12,408.0

323.5

1,303.6

898.1

338.9

22.5

1,537.6

884.1

407.0

6.3

0.1

29.4

79.2

1,121.9

17.5

67.5

53.9

983.0

18.5

86.8

0.4

3,542.0

85,418.0

61,789.0

21,451.0

40,338.0

1,612.0

2,731.0

306.0

6,698.0

52,084.0

37,188.0

2,163.0

12,733.0

1,124.0

453.0

54.8

1,190.0

1.2

162.5

63,265.0

1,765.0

10,543.0

10,254.0

289.0

1,241.4

883.5

355.1

17.0

1,439.8

834.3

293.0

0.1

31.0

1,128.4

11.5

70.4

50.3

996.2

93.2

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Acreage is not estimated. 4 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 21 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

“

Tons

“

“

“

Bu

“

Cwt

Bu

“

Tons

Bu

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Bu

Lbs

“

“

“

Bu

Lbs

Bales

“

“

Tons

“

Lbs

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

“

“

“

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

Cwt

Lbs

61.0

149.1

16.2

2.33

3.35

1.78

59.5

21.5

6,868

26.3

56.2

13.4

38.7

41.7

29.5

33.2

1,366

14.4

720

2,874

1,100

1,069

42.7

1,211

814

806

1,136

26.1

32.9

2,144

1,151

1,577

1,493

797

1,170

43,000

1,964

92

393

257

293

337

406

110

187

63.1

155.8

2.35

3.26

1.87

61.0

7,024

73.9

40.6

41.3

35.5

39.3

2,803

41.4

811

797

1,317

24.2

34.4

2,023

1,649

35,000

1,952

215

294

328

180,051

10,534,868

104,849

141,666

71,666

70,000

93,764

10,195

193,736

7,193

277,538

4,642

1,812,036

1,298,081

53,475

460,480

1,394,332

7,347.9

11,019

28,220

3,474,450

1,100

191,405

3,188,247

2,143,613

21,587.8

20,822.4

765.4

34,064

29,580

726,644

259

24,247

13,203

3,244

590

7,400

4,300

57,671.8

7,248

441,348

4,495

19,766

18,166

398,921

2,038

16,248

4,500

223,478

13,307,999

145,251

69,904

75,347

98,341

191,829

494,750

2,114,024

1,537,262

76,689

500,073

6,163.0

3,335,200

2,618,796

17,812.0

17,019.0

793.0

30,090

30,411

718,375

23,741

2,800

60,570.7

2,473

20,668

16,504

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 22 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Production

2005 2006 2007

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2 3

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 4

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 4

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)

 Pecans (in-shell)

 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)

 Maple Syrup

Tons

“

“

“

“

“

1,000 Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

“

Lbs

Tons

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

Gals

1,018

870

9,252

70

335

29

9,704.9

81.7

20,900.0

7,813.7

142.0

32,900.0

1,184.6

823.3

97.0

9.1

915,000

27.6

280,250

355.0

1,242

1,232

942

9,021

63

417

32

9,931.7

44.5

20,000.0

6,417.2

23.5

28,700.0

1,010.1

842.0

180.0

21.5

1,115,000

43.0

206,300

346.0

1,449

1,596

722

7,589

56

328

9,284.7

86.6

6,988.5

110.0

1,026.9

878.1

95.0

13.7

1,330,000

33.0

320.0

1,258

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2 Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3 Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be published in “Citrus Fruits 2007 Summary” on

September 20, 2007. 4 Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 23 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2006 2007 2006 2007

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 4

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 5

1,396,990

31,698,150

1,686,750

234,720

1,148,510

564,950

2,639,390

23,206,540

16,420,300

756,770

6,029,480

422,500

329,010

16,390

503,030

570

76,490

30,563,000

789,150

6,181,240

6,049,310

131,930

552,890

18,620

659,560

374,540

173,610

461,390

7,160

28,610

23,470

402,140

38,530

1,636,570

37,590,840

1,562,100

246,860

1,112,090

547,950

3,142,420

24,485,770

18,266,090

900,440

5,319,250

471,460

188,180

23,270

495,750

570

68,800

25,932,940

754,340

4,389,670

4,271,100

118,570

512,340

10,930

608,980

356,330

123,430

464,380

4,650

29,540

21,770

408,410

39,050

1,194,240

28,590,540

2,621,180

24,607,980

8,653,890

15,954,090

637,790

192,230

1,141,630

110,890

1,997,950

140,430

18,943,540

12,592,740

734,510

5,616,290

413,190

310,400

15,860

489,270

400

72,440

30,190,680

716,300

5,152,310

5,021,390

130,920

527,550

363,450

137,150

9,110

622,250

357,790

164,710

2,550

40

11,880

32,050

454,020

7,080

27,320

21,810

397,810

7,490

35,130

150

1,433,410

34,567,810

25,005,390

8,681,010

16,324,390

652,360

1,105,210

123,840

2,710,610

21,077,870

15,049,610

875,340

5,152,920

454,870

183,320

22,180

481,580

490

65,760

25,602,710

714,280

4,266,650

4,149,690

116,960

502,380

357,540

143,690

6,880

582,670

337,630

118,570

30

12,560

456,650

4,650

28,490

20,360

403,150

37,720

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Acreage is not estimated. 5 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 24 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2006 2007 2006 2007

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.28

9.36

36.29

5.22

7.51

3.98

2.13

1.20

7.70

1.65

3.53

29.99

2.60

2.81

1.98

2.23

1.53

0.90

0.81

3.22

1.23

1.20

2.87

1.36

0.91

0.90

1.27

58.58

73.83

2.40

1.29

1.77

1.67

0.89

1.32

48.20

2.20

0.10

44.09

28.79

32.82

37.78

45.49

0.12

20.98

3.39

9.78

5.27

7.31

4.19

2.19

7.87

4.64

2.73

2.78

2.38

2.64

3.14

2.78

0.91

0.89

1.48

54.34

77.16

2.27

1.85

39.23

2.19

24.10

32.91

36.78

3,920,150

267,597,970

95,117,410

128,517,230

65,014,300

63,502,930

1,360,980

231,220

8,787,720

182,710

7,049,790

4,211,150

49,315,540

35,327,980

1,455,350

12,532,210

632,460

6,665,900

279,900

12,800

1,575,980

500

86,820

86,769,860

972,330

4,700,190

4,533,540

166,650

30,902,340

26,834,520

329,600

11,750

1,099,830

598,880

147,150

26,760

3,360

1,950

26,160

3,290

20,019,210

203,890

896,570

824,000

18,094,750

920

737,000

2,040

4,865,660

338,038,740

131,769,490

63,415,840

68,353,650

1,427,420

8,701,220

12,567,230

57,534,300

41,837,420

2,087,130

13,609,760

5,590,980

1,512,820

71,271,950

3,878,110

3,705,450

172,660

27,297,190

27,588,400

325,850

1,076,870

1,270

27,470

112,170

937,480

748,610

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 25 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2005 2006 2007

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2 3

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 4

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 4

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)

 Pecans (in-shell)

 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)

 Maple Syrup

923,510

789,250

8,393,270

63,500

303,910

26,310

4,402,070

74,070

9,480

7,088,470

128,820

14,920

1,074,610

746,900

88,000

8,260

415,040

25,040

127,120

322,050

6,210

1,117,650

854,570

8,183,710

57,150

378,300

29,030

4,504,940

40,350

9,070

5,821,540

21,320

13,020

916,370

763,880

163,290

19,500

505,760

39,010

93,580

313,890

7,240

1,447,870

654,990

6,884,620

50,800

297,560

4,211,470

78,530

6,339,820

99,790

931,630

796,550

86,180

12,430

603,280

29,940

290,300

6,290

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2 Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3 Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be published in “Citrus Fruits 2007 Summary” on

September 20, 2007. 4 Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 26 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States

during 2007. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to

obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey.

Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre,

Selected States, 2003-2007

State Month 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

SD 2

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

27,150

27,050

27,050

27,050

26,050

25,900

25,900

25,900

27,400

27,250

27,250

27,250

28,700

28,800

28,800

28,800

23,800

23,700

23,700

23,700

26,900

26,700

26,650

26,650

19,800

19,800

19,800

19,800

25,900

25,900

25,900

25,900

27,300

27,000

27,100

27,100

27,750

27,750

27,700

27,700

26,650

26,500

26,500

26,500

28,000

27,950

27,850

27,850

22,000

21,900

21,900

21,900

29,300

29,200

29,250

29,300

24,350

24,350

24,350

24,350

24,100

24,100

24,050

24,050

26,900

26,900

26,900

26,900

19,700

19,750

19,750

19,700

26,950

26,550

26,650

26,650

21,800

21,800

21,850

21,850

27,700

27,550

27,550

27,550

28,000

28,050

28,000

28,000

25,300

25,200

25,200

25,200

28,050

27,950

28,000

28,000

21,600

21,500

21,400

21,400

28,400

28,300

28,400

28,450

24,100

24,050

24,050

24,050

23,900

23,700

23,700

23,700

26,700

26,650

26,650

26,650

20,400

20,000

20,000

20,000

25,650

25,600

25,600

25,600

23,450

23,650

23,700

23,700

27,400

27,100

27,050

27,050

28,050

28,000

28,000

28,000

26,450

26,350

26,350

26,350

28,600

28,600

28,600

28,600

21,800

21,750

21,750

21,750

28,850

28,900

28,900

28,900

24,350

24,350

24,350

24,350

24,750

24,550

24,600

24,450

27,400

27,200

27,200

27,200

20,650

20,450

20,550

20,250

26,250

26,250

26,200

26,200

23,900

24,000

24,000

24,000

27,250

27,100

27,450

27,450

28,000

27,350

29,100

20,600

29,850

24,200

25,000

27,250

21,350

26,900

23,400

28,800

 1 Field counts began in 2004. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 27 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,

Selected States, 2003-2007

State Month 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

SD 2

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

26,700

26,700

26,650

26,650

25,350

25,400

25,350

25,350

26,700

26,550

26,600

26,600

28,300

28,650

28,600

28,600

22,950

22,650

22,600

22,600

26,550

26,350

26,300

26,300

18,300

17,850

17,800

17,800

25,500

25,700

25,750

25,750

26,150

26,300

26,250

26,250

27,350

27,400

27,400

27,400

26,200

25,950

26,050

26,050

27,350

27,550

27,500

27,500

22,100

22,150

22,150

22,150

29,000

29,250

29,150

29,200

24,400

24,250

24,250

24,250

23,650

24,000

24,050

24,050

26,550

26,700

26,650

26,650

19,100

19,800

20,000

20,000

25,950

26,000

26,000

26,050

21,950

22,700

22,700

22,700

25,600

27,150

26,800

26,800

26,950

26,850

26,850

26,850

24,850

24,600

24,650

24,650

27,150

27,100

27,100

27,100

21,100

21,000

20,900

20,900

28,000

27,900

28,050

28,050

22,550

22,600

22,600

22,600

23,250

22,800

22,800

22,800

26,250

25,900

25,900

25,900

19,550

18,950

18,900

18,900

24,800

24,700

24,650

24,650

23,150

23,100

23,050

23,050

26,550

26,350

26,350

26,350

27,600

27,450

27,400

27,400

25,850

25,750

25,700

25,750

27,350

27,350

27,350

27,350

20,850

20,750

20,750

20,750

28,050

28,250

28,250

28,250

23,850

23,800

23,800

23,800

23,850

23,700

23,700

23,550

26,750

26,600

26,600

26,650

19,400

19,150

19,200

18,800

25,200

25,350

25,450

25,450

22,050

21,900

21,700

21,700

26,750

26,850

27,200

27,200

27,750

26,950

28,500

20,900

28,850

23,950

24,850

27,200

21,100

26,350

23,250

27,800

 1 Field counts began in 2004. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 28 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing States

during 2007. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain

specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,

Selected States, 2003-2007

State Month 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Number Number Number Number Number

AR 1 2

IL

IN

IA

KS 3

MN

MO

NE

ND 3

OH

SD 3

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

1,800

1,606

1,634

1,634

1,786

1,692

1,582

1,582

1,749

1,629

1,647

1,647

1,582

1,417

1,440

1,440

1,144

1,455

1,547

1,523

1,727

1,642

1,636

1,636

1,791

1,898

1,764

1,752

2,446

2,483

2,511

2,070

1,923

1,943

1,947

1,909

1,866

1,917

1,917

1,772

1,731

1,737

1,741

1,482

1,588

1,639

1,636

1,487

1,406

1,446

1,435

1,798

1,943

1,998

2,038

1,835

1,836

1,895

1,895

1,114

1,148

1,243

1,242

1,808

1,873

1,840

1,837

1,248

1,332

1,302

1,308

1,796

1,823

1,824

1,973

1,820

1,858

1,858

1,855

1,790

1,899

1,899

1,969

1,935

1,968

1,970

1,490

1,431

1,547

1,546

1,684

1,598

1,640

1,640

1,458

1,585

1,679

1,652

1,862

1,903

1,920

1,920

1,526

1,471

1,496

1,496

2,040

1,890

1,974

1,981

1,634

1,617

1,605

1,556

1,645

1,655

1,667

2,035

1,890

1,923

1,923

1,927

1,893

1,909

1,909

1,846

1,758

1,760

1,760

1,564

1,509

1,581

1,581

1,612

1,586

1,568

1,568

1,631

1,746

1,738

1,735

1,740

1,801

1,784

1,766

1,169

1,241

1,260

1,260

1,857

1,895

1,835

1,866

1,318

1,345

1,316

1,312

1,923

1,725

1,935

1,727

1,676

1,521

1,950

1,352

1,900

1,554

 1 September data not available due to plant immaturity. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3 Field counts began in 2004.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 29 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during

2007. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific

counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2002-2006 1

State Month 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

798

755

744

744

744

973

945

893

893

893

559

646

643

665

665

681

778

775

775

775

837

824

811

808

808

628

630

632

632

632

465

431

429

435

435

864

771

753

754

754

954

952

945

948

948

646

690

686

687

687

635

707

691

691

691

808

789

780

780

780

758

719

732

733

733

639

672

593

624

624

811

728

733

733

733

993

926

1,002

1,011

1,011

667

689

767

767

767

746

768

775

775

775

818

729

724

722

722

799

693

721

721

721

620

516

586

585

585

859

814

849

824

824

911

869

926

933

933

648

675

774

790

790

760

781

786

785

785

700

699

695

695

695

637

641

671

671

671

530

477

533

544

544

790

1,084

616

796

819

527

602

 1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened

bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 30 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 31 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 32 NASS, USDA

August Weather Summary

The Southeast baked under mostly dry weather and relentless heat, withering crops that had begun to recover during

a relatively cool, showery regime in July. Scattered, late-month showers were too late for most Southeastern

summer crops, but locally replenished topsoil moisture. Hot, dry conditions reached as far north as the lower Ohio

and middle Mississippi Valleys, but heavy rain fell across the remainder of the Corn Belt. Midwestern rain

generally aided soybeans and late-planted corn, but also caused significant lowland flooding. Across the nation's

mid-section, conditions ranged from hot, mostly dry weather on the central Plains to relatively cool, wet conditions

farther south. In fact, excessive soil moisture in parts of the south-central U.S. slowed winter wheat planting

preparations and other fieldwork. In contrast, moisture was needed for the upcoming wheat establishment season in

Montana, where a dry August followed July's record-setting heat. Elsewhere, late-summer heat in much of the West

promoted crop maturation. Western precipitation varied widely, with some of the heaviest rain from the Southwest

to the central Rockies.

An impressive ribbon of August heat stretched all the way from the Intermountain West into the Southeast, with

monthly average temperatures as much as 8 degrees F above normal in the latter region. Pockets of near- to

below-normal readings were confined to a few small areas, including the Northeast and Northwest, along with the

north-central and south-central U.S.

August Agricultural Summary

Across the northern Rockies and Great Basin August remained hot and dry, with temperatures averaging near

normal to slightly below in the Pacific Northwest. Elsewhere in the West mostly dry conditions, along with warmer

than average temperatures, led to high irrigation demands. In central regions of the country, temperatures ranged

from cooler than average in central and southern Texas and the northern Great Plains to much warmer than average

through the central Great Plains. Six inches or more of rain fell across areas of the northern Corn Belt and

Mid-Atlantic States with some areas of southwest Wisconsin, southeast Minnesota, and Iowa receiving up to

16 inches of rain during August. Rainfall totals of six inches or more were also recorded in parts of Florida,

Georgia, Oklahoma, and Texas. Elsewhere, in the southern Corn Belt and Tennessee Valley, rainfall was scattered

and light with temperatures ranging 6 to 8 degrees above normal.

Nationwide, by August 5, ninety-six percent of the corn crop had reached the silking stage, 4 points ahead of

normal. Nearly half of the corn acres reached the dough stage early in the month and continued to progress rapidly,

ahead of the normal pace. By the end of the month, 96 percent of the crop had progressed to the dough stage,

4 points ahead of the 5-year average pace but in line with last year. Under mostly favorable conditions, corn

developed well ahead of the normal pace with 79 percent of the crop at or beyond the dent stage by September 2,

twelve points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-five percent of the crop had reached maturity by the same date,

6 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of normal. The crop progressed well ahead of schedule in the

southern Corn Belt and Tennessee Valley, with Illinois, Kentucky, and Tennessee reporting nearly a quarter of the

crop mature by month’s end.

By August 26, ninety-four percent of the sorghum acreage had headed, compared with 88 percent last year and

85 percent for the 5-year average. All States were at or ahead of the normal pace, except Missouri and New Mexico

where heading trailed the 5-year average by 6 and 19 points, respectively. Coloring was behind normal in most

States early in the month, but by month’s end, only Missouri and Oklahoma were behind normal. Nationwide, on

September 2, seventy percent of the sorghum had begun coloring, 9 points ahead of last year’s pace and 13 points

ahead of normal. Harvest activity during the month was limited to the Delta and southern Great Plains with over

50 percent of the crop harvested in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas by the end of August.

Over half of the oat crop was harvested nationwide at the beginning of the month, with harvest nearly complete in

the central and southern Great Plains, Iowa, and Ohio. In Pennsylvania, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin,

producers made rapid harvest progress during August, well ahead of the normal pace. By August 26,

ninety-six percent of the crop was harvested, 1 point behind last year but 5 points ahead of normal.

During the month, barley harvest remained well ahead of the 5-year average in all States. By the end of August,

96 percent of the crop was harvested, 4 points ahead of the previous year’s pace and 13 points ahead of the 5-year

average. As harvest neared completion, all States were at least 10 points ahead of normal, with the exception of

Washington where harvest was just slightly ahead of the 5-year average.

Harvest of the 2007 winter wheat crop had progressed to 94 percent complete by the first week of August, 3 points

ahead of normal after lagging behind schedule during most of July. In Texas, harvest continued into the middle of

August and was still 3 points behind the 5-year average at 97 percent complete. Most of the August harvest activity

occurred in the Pacific Northwest where growers progressed well ahead of their normal pace.

Ninety-six percent of spring wheat was harvested by month’s end, the same pace as the previous year but 16 points

ahead of the 5-year average. Although favorable weather allowed harvest to be completed ahead of normal in most

of the major spring wheat producing States, the pace in South Dakota and Washington was near normal. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 33 NASS, USDA

On August 5, sixty-six percent of the rice acreage was at or beyond the heading stage, 3 points ahead of the 5-year

average. The crop steadily advanced and ended the month at 97 percent headed, still 3 points ahead of normal. 

Excessive moisture in south central Louisiana and Texas delayed harvest early in the month keeping progress

behind the normal pace by 6 points in Louisiana and 26 points in Texas. Despite these early delays, harvest

progressed rapidly in both States, advancing 35 and 43 percent, respectively, during the week ending August 20. 

Nationally, by the end of the month, nearly a quarter of the acreage had been harvested by producers, surpassing last

year’s pace by 2 points and the 5-year average by 4 points.

The majority of soybean acreage had bloomed by mid-month, 1 point ahead of the 5-year average. By month’s end,

96 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the pod setting stage, 2 points ahead of normal. Crop development

progressed ahead of the 5-year average in nearly all States during August and by month’s end only Kansas,

Nebraska, South Dakota, and Tennessee lagged the normal pace, trailing by 4 points or less. By the end of August,

14 percent of the crop was dropping leaves or beyond, 3 points ahead of the average pace. In Louisiana and

Tennessee, the percent of soybean acres dropping leaves was 19 and 29 points ahead of normal, respectively.

During the week ending August 5, peanut pegging reached 86 percent compared with 88 percent last year and

94 percent for the 5-year average. All States except North Carolina and Virginia lagged the normal pace. By

mid-month, 95 percent of the crop had reached the pegging stage, 3 points behind the 5-year average. In Florida

and Texas, progress was 8 points or more behind normal.

Ninety-five percent of the cotton crop was at or beyond the squaring stage by the week ending August 5, behind last

year and normal by 1 point. Favorable conditions allowed the crop in Kansas to develop significantly ahead of

normal, but due to wet, cooler than average conditions in Oklahoma, progress trailed the normal pace by 13 points. 

The acreage setting bolls progressed at a slower than normal pace during August, mainly due to slow development

in the Southeast and southern Great Plains. On August 5, seventy percent of the crop was at or beyond the boll

setting stage, 9 points behind the 5-year average. By mid-month, progress was still 6 points behind normal, at

86 percent. On September 2, boll setting finally pulled even with the 5-year average as 98 percent of the crop was

at or beyond this stage.

Corn for grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 85.4 million acres, unchanged from

August but up 21 percent from 2006. If realized, this would be the most corn acres harvested for grain since 1933.

The September 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest plant population on record for the combined

10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and

Wisconsin). The September objective yield forecasted ears per acre were also a record high, surpassing the previous

record set in 2004. Record high stalk and ear counts were recorded in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Nebraska, Ohio,

South Dakota, and Wisconsin. Minnesota had a record high number of plants per acre while the indicated ears per

acre were the highest since 2004.

As of September 2, fifty-nine percent of the corn crop was rated in good to excellent condition, up 1 percentage

point from last month but unchanged from last year. Regionally, crop conditions improved from last month across

the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains where heavy rainfall during the month provided muchneeded moisture for the crop. However, the abundant showers caused some lowland flooding, particularly across

the upper Midwest. Crop conditions declined from last month across the southern tier of the Corn Belt and into the

Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic States where extremely hot, dry weather stressed the crop. Condition ratings

also declined slightly in the southern Great Plains as rainfall from the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin and other

thunderstorms added to already abundant soil moisture.

Under warmer than normal conditions, fields progressed rapidly through the dough stage and into the dent and

mature stages during the month. On September 2, ninety-six percent of the crop had reached the dough stage or

beyond, 4 points ahead of normal, while 79 percent of the crop was dented and beyond, 12 points ahead of normal. 

Twenty-five percent of the acreage had reached maturity, 8 points ahead of the average pace with all States at or

ahead of normal, except Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, and South Dakota.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 495 million bushels, up 4 percent from last month and up 78 percent from last

year. Based on September 1 conditions, the yield is forecast at 73.9 bushels per acre, up 3.0 bushels from August

and up 17.7 bushels from last year. If realized, this would be the highest yield on record. Area for harvest as grain

is forecast at 6.70 million acres, unchanged from August but up 36 percent from last year.

As of September 2, sorghum had progressed to 28 percent mature, compared with 30 percent last year and the

5-year average of 27 percent. Sorghum condition was rated 63 percent good to excellent, compared with 30 percent

at the same time last year. Yield forecasts were at or above last month’s level in all of the major sorghum producing

States except New Mexico and Oklahoma. Kansas received beneficial rainfall during August in the central and

northern parts of the State where most of the sorghum is produced. The yield in Kansas is expected to be

79.0 bushels per acre, up 5.0 bushels from last month and up 21.0 bushels from 2006. Texas, the second largest

sorghum producing State, expects a yield of 69.0 bushels per acre, up 2.0 bushels from last month and up
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 34 NASS, USDA

21.0 bushels from last year due to favorable growing conditions. Record high yields are forecast in Nebraska,

Arkansas, and Texas.

Rice: Production is forecast at 192 million cwt, up 1 percent from the August forecast but down 1 percent from last

year. Based on administrative data, planted area is revised to 2.75 million acres, up slightly from the June estimate

but down 3 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.73 million acres, up slightly from last

month but down 3 percent from 2006. As of September 1, the U.S. yield is forecast at a record high 7,024 pounds

per acre, up 40 pounds per acre from last month and up 156 pounds from last year. If realized, this will surpass the

previous record high yield of 6,988 pounds per acre set in 2004. Record high yields are expected in Louisiana,

Mississippi, and Missouri.

As of September 2, rice harvest was behind normal in Texas and Louisiana at 79 and 75 percent complete,

respectively. In Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri, producers are harvesting their crop ahead of the normal pace. 

In California, harvest was just beginning at 1 percent complete. Nationwide, the crop was rated in mostly fair to

good condition.

Soybeans: Area for harvest is forecast at 63.3 million acres, a decrease of 20,000 acres from August and down

15 percent from last year’s record high. The September objective yield pod counts are down slightly from the final

2006 survey results, despite pod counts being higher or unchanged in 5 of the 7 major soybean producing States. 

Hot, dry weather across southern Illinois and Missouri hindered pod setting and development in those two States. 

By the end of August, 96 percent of the U.S. crop was at or beyond the pod setting stage, equal to last year but

2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. As of September 2, fourteen percent of the acreage was dropping

leaves or beyond, 2 points ahead of 2006 and 3 points ahead of normal.

As of September 2, fifty-six percent of the U.S. soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 2 percentage points

below the rating at the end of July and 3 points below the same week in 2006. Crop conditions declined during

August across most of Southeast, southern Corn Belt, Delta, and Tennessee Valley as hot temperatures for much of

the month stressed the soybean crop. The largest decline in condition from last month was seen in Kentucky, where

only 16 percent of the crop was rated as good to excellent, a decline of 53 points from the end of July. In contrast,

crop conditions did improve slightly during August across the northern Great Plains, the northern Corn Belt, and

Ohio as needed rain fell in those areas. However, these areas also experienced some flooding from heavy rain at

times. Despite the slight improvement, conditions in Ohio and the Great Lakes States were still worse than 2006,

with the crop condition rating in Michigan down 34 points from 2006. Record high yields are forecast in Louisiana,

Nebraska, and South Dakota, along with a record tying yield in Mississippi.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.34 billion pounds, down 1 percent from last month and down 4 percent from

last year’s crop. Based on administrative data, planted area is revised to 1.23 million acres, up 3 percent from the

June 1 estimate but down 1 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.19 million acres, up

3 percent from August but down 2 percent from 2006. Yields are expected to average 2,803 pounds per acre, down

106 pounds from last month and down 71 pounds from last year. 

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina) is expected to total

2.38 billion pounds, up 5 percent from August but down 5 percent from last year’s level. Planted area, at

893,000 acres, is up 5 percent from June but down 6 percent from 2006. Expected area for harvest, at

866,000 acres, is up 4 percent from August but down 7 percent from 2006. Yields in the region are expected to

average 2,744 pounds per acre, up 8 pounds from last month and 45 pounds above last year. Yields are higher than

last year in all Southeast States except Alabama and South Carolina. Yields in Alabama and South Carolina are

expected to be down 300 pounds per acre from 2006, as hot, dry conditions continue to plague the area. As of

September 2, the percent of crop rated poor to very poor in the area ranged from 16 percent in Georgia to 40 percent

in Alabama.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 262 million pounds, down 24 percent from August and down

18 percent from last year’s crop. Planted acres, at 115,000, are down 3 percent from August but up 13 percent from

2006. Expected acreage for harvest, at 113,000, is down 3 percent from June but up 13 percent from last year. 

Yield is forecast at 2,319 pounds per acre, down 642 pounds from last month and down 865 pounds from the

previous year, as drought conditions in the area have greatly reduced the yield potential of the 2007 crop. As of

September 2, the crop condition ratings in North Carolina and Virginia were 26 percent and 23 percent poor to very

poor, respectively. 

Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 697 million pounds, down

7 percent from August 1 but up 8 percent from 2006. Planted acres, at 217,000, are unchanged from June but up

14 percent from 2006. Expected acreage for harvest, at 211,000, is unchanged from last month but up 18 percent

from last year. Yields are expected to average 3,302 pounds per acre for the region, down 259 pounds from last

month and down 305 pounds from the previous year. On September 2, the percentage of the crop rated good to

excellent in Oklahoma and Texas was 70 and 77 percent, respectively.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 35 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 10.3 million acres, is down 1 percent from last month and down

17 percent from last year. Based on administrative data, planted area is revised to 10.6 million acres, down

2 percent from the June estimate and down 29 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total

10.5 million acres, down 1 percent from last month and down 17 percent from 2006. Upland producers plan to

harvest 10.3 million acres, down 1 percent from last month and down 17 percent from last year. American-Pima

harvested area, at 289,000 acres, is down 4,000 acres from last month and down 11 percent from last year. 

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), producers

battled intense heat and lack of moisture during the month of August. Some producers expressed concern about

plants wilting, shedding squares, and dropping bolls due to the drought conditions. However, the crop developed

ahead of normal under the hot weather conditions. During the latter part of the month, the region did receive some

scattered showers but not enough to offer any relief to the stressed crop. As of September 2, crop condition ratings

were mostly fair to poor except in Alabama where the crop was rated mostly poor to very poor. 

The cotton crop in the Delta States matured rapidly due to continual hot, dry weather during August. The crop was

reported to be in mostly fair to good condition. By late August, defoliation was underway with harvest beginning

throughout the region. In Mississippi, data from objective yield survey show the bolls per acre slightly below the 5-

year average. In Louisiana and Arkansas, boll counts were above the 5-year averages. 

The High Plains of Texas finally received the high temperatures during August needed to promote crop growth and

development at a normal pace. As of September 2, eighteen percent of the crop had bolls opening, still lagging

normal due to the late start of the crop. The crop condition was rated mostly fair to good. By mid-August, harvest

in the Rio Grande Valley was underway later than normal, due to the cool temperatures and rain received during

July. Data from the objective yield survey indicate that the Texas boll weight is the third heaviest in the last five

years. In Oklahoma and Kansas, the crop was progressing behind normal but was rated in mostly good condition. 

California upland cotton producers experienced ideal weather which helped promote cotton development. The crop

was rated in mostly good to excellent condition. In Arizona, harvest began during the latter part of August. 

Objective yield measurements in California show the bolls per acre to be the highest in the last five years while boll

weight is the lowest in the last five years. 

American-Pima production is forecast at a record high 793,000 bales, down 2 percent from August but up 4 percent

from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,317 pounds per harvested acre, down 8 pounds from the August

forecast but up 181 pounds from 2006. California growers are expected to harvest a record high production at

740,000 bales, down 1 percent from last month but up 8 percent from last year.

Ginnings totaled 182,250 running bales prior to September 1, compared with 405,500 running bales ginned prior to

the same date last year and 592,050 running bales in 2005.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 718 million pounds, 7 percent below the August 1 forecast and

down 1 percent from 2006. Area for harvest is forecast at 355,070 acres, virtually unchanged from the previous

forecast but 5 percent above last year. Yields for 2007 are expected to average 2,023 pounds per acre, 166 pounds

lower than the August forecast and 121 pounds below a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco

producing State, are expected to average 1,991 pounds per acre, 199 pounds less than a month ago and 90 pounds

below 2006. In Kentucky, the second leading tobacco producing State, yields are expected to average 2,018 pounds

per acre, down 123 pounds from the August forecast and 232 pounds less than last year. Yields are also expected to

decrease from the previous forecast in Tennessee and Virginia. Growers in Pennsylvania expect slightly higher

yields than a month ago. Yields in all of the other tobacco States remain unchanged from the August forecast.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 458 million pounds, 8 percent below last month but up 2 percent from

2006. Growers plan to harvest 225,000 acres in 2007, up less than 1 percent from the August forecast and

6 percent above a year ago. Yields are forecast to average 2,033 pounds per acre, 179 pounds below the last

forecast and 62 pounds less than the previous year. Yields in North Carolina are expected to average 2,000 pounds

per acre, down 200 pounds from the August forecast and 90 pounds below 2006. Growers in Virginia expect yields

400 pounds per acre lower than a month ago while yields in the two other flue-cured States remained unchanged. 

Flue-cured tobacco is suffering, particularly in North Carolina and Virginia, due to hot, dry conditions hindering

plant growth and leaf weight. However, the dry conditions have helped keep disease pressure low in Georgia,

where Tomato Spotted Wilt Virus has been a problem for growers in previous years.

Burley production is expected to total 198 million pounds, down 6 percent from the August forecast and 9 percent

below last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 105,200 acres, unchanged from last month’s forecast but up

2 percent from 2006. Yields are expected to average 1,878 pounds per acre, 128 pounds below the August forecast

and down 217 pounds from a year ago. The production forecast for Kentucky, the largest burley producing State, at

146 million pounds, is 5 percent below the previous forecast and 2006. Area for harvest in Kentucky is forecast at

77,000 acres, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 5 percent above last year. Growers in Kentucky expect

yields to average 1,900 pounds per acre, down 100 pounds from last month’s forecast and 200 pounds below a year

ago. Yields also decreased in North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia while yields in all other burley States
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 36 NASS, USDA

remained unchanged from the previous forecast. The weather continued to be hot and dry in August, limiting

tobacco growth in the majority of the burley States.

Fire-cured production is expected to total 37.6 million pounds, down 11 percent from the August forecast and

5 percent below last year. Growers plan to harvest 13,300 acres in 2007, unchanged from last month but 12 percent

above 2006. The yield is expected to average 2,826 pounds per acre, 342 pounds below last month and down

498 pounds from 2006.

Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production in Pennsylvania is expected to total 2.31 million pounds, down

2 percent from last month’s forecast but 11 percent above last year. A total of 1,100 acres is expected to be

harvested this year, unchanged from both last month and last year. The average yield, at 2,100 pounds, is down

50 pounds from the August forecast but 200 pounds above a year ago.

Dark air-cured tobacco is expected to total 12.3 million pounds, down 4 percent from last month and 7 percent

below 2006. Growers plan to harvest 4,650 acres in 2007, unchanged from the August forecast but 8 percent above

last year. The yield is expected to average 2,644 pounds per acre, 114 pounds below last month’s forecast and

down 415 pounds from a year ago.

All cigar production is forecast to total 11.2 million pounds, 1 percent above the August forecast and up 33 percent

from 2006. Growers of cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 5,820 acres, unchanged from last month but 18 percent

above a year ago. Overall, yield is expected to average 1,916 pounds per acre, 16 pounds above the last forecast

and 217 pounds above last year.

Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 16.5 million cwt in 2007, down 1 percent from the

July 1 forecast and 9 percent below the 2006 final estimate. Harvested area is estimated at 50,300 acres, down

7 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 328 cwt per acre, 17 cwt above the July forecast but 9 cwt

below last year. 

In Texas, record high rainfall led to increased abandonment from the previous forecast, however the average yield is

up 90 cwt from July 1. In Alabama, dry conditions adversely affected the quality of the crop. Colorado growers

started harvest later than usual due to delays in planting. Hail and hot temperatures contributed to lower yields. In

Virginia, hot and dry weather reduced yields from the July forecast. Yields also declined in Maryland due to dry

and hot weather. In New Jersey, crop conditions were rated mostly good to excellent with harvest expected to be

completed by the end of October. Harvest began on time in California with growers reporting an increase in yields

from the previous forecast. 

Fall Potatoes, 2006 Final: Production of 2006 fall potatoes is finalized at 399 million cwt, 4 percent above the

2005 crop but 3 percent below 2004. Area harvested, at 983,000 acres, was 4 percent above the previous year but

down 4 percent from two years earlier. The average yield was 406 cwt per acre, up 3 cwt from 2005 and 5 cwt

above 2004. 

When compared with the annual estimates made last January, fall production was up 2 percent. Increases in

California, Idaho, Nebraska, and Ohio more than offset declines in Maine and Massachusetts.

All Potatoes, 2006: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in 2006 totaled 441 million cwt, up

4 percent from 2005 but 3 percent below 2004. Area harvested is estimated at 1.12 million acres, up 3 percent from

a year earlier but 4 percent below 2004. The yield, averaging 393 cwt per acre, increased 3 cwt from 2005 and was

up 2 cwt from 2004. Winter production in 2006 declined 8 percent from 2005. Spring and summer production

increased 6 percent and 3 percent, respectively, from a year earlier. Fall potatoes were up 4 percent from the

previous year.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2007 is forecast at 30.4 million tons, down 4 percent

from the August forecast but up 3 percent from 2006. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 883,500 acres for sugar

and seed during the 2007 crop year, down 9,500 acres from the August forecast and 14,600 acres less than last year. 

Yield is forecast at 34.4 tons per acre, down 0.9 ton from last month but up 1.5 tons from last year. Production is

down in Florida and Louisiana from the August forecast due to lower expected yields in Florida and lower expected

harvested acres in Louisiana.

Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at 30.1 million tons, 1 percent above the August forecast but 12 percent below

last year’s production of 34.1 million tons. Growers expect to harvest 1.24 million acres, unchanged from the

August forecast but down 5 percent from last year. The yield is forecast at 24.2 tons per acre, up 0.2 ton from last

month but down 1.9 tons from the 2006 record high yield. Yields are at or below last year’s level in all States

except Colorado, Oregon, Washington, and Wyoming.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.41 million pounds for August 2007, up 1 percent from

last month and 9 percent higher than the comparable month a year ago. Total area in crop for August is estimated at

2,135 acres, 23 percent higher than July 2007 but 1 percent less than August 2006. Harvested area totaled
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 37 NASS, USDA

1,395 acres, 72 percent higher than July of this year and up 5 percent from the same month last year. August

weather was characterized as mostly sunny combined with occasional showers which benefitted orchard growth and

development. Irrigation was stepped up to replenish soil moisture levels. In preparation for Hurricane Flosse,

growers trimmed leaves from mature trees to prevent uprooting. Fortunately, Flosse was downgraded to a tropical

storm and passed with no damage to orchards. Newly planted acreage made favorable progress.

Florida Citrus: High temperatures reached the mid 90s on several days during the month in all citrus producing

areas. Occasional, but localized, afternoon rainstorms were reported throughout the month. Recorded rainfall in

Sebring and Ft. Pierce was less than half the average rainfall for the month. Yearly rainfall totals in all citrus

growing areas were still below average. Growers were continuing to irrigate to maintain adequate moisture levels. 

In spite of the dry, hot weather, well cared for groves have a healthy appearance, and trees generally have good fruit

sets. 

Fruit sizes on early and midseason oranges were reported to be as large as baseballs and grapefruit were reported as

being between baseball and softball size. Scouting for greening and removing affected trees have been major issues

for the citrus industry. Other grove activities included spraying, mowing, and pulling vines from trees in

preparation for harvest. Overall, trees continued to make good progress. New crop fruit are sizing well across the

State and growers have a positive outlook for this season’s crop.

California Citrus: Current season Valencia orange harvest continued at a slow pace as growers continued to work

around freeze damaged fruit. The upcoming season’s navel orange crop was progressing well, although some

reports of smaller than normal fruit sizes were received. Citrus growers treated groves to control fungus, insects,

and weeds. Other activities included irrigating, topping trees, and applying nutrients.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape growers across the State applied fertilizer, irrigated, cultivated, and

sprayed to control weeds, diseases, and insect pests. Raisin grape growers were breaking canes on

dried-on-the-vine varieties or laying grapes on trays to dry. Table grape harvest progressed in August for Autumn

Royal, Crimson, Christmas Rose, Flame Seedless, Black Emerald, Champagne, Kyoho, Muscat Seedless, Niabell,

Princess, Red Globe, Summer Royal, Sweet Scarlet, Thompson Seedless, and Zante Currant varieties. Wine grape

and juice harvests were underway. Stone fruit cultural activities continued throughout the month with irrigation,

fertilization, pruning, and treatments to control weeds and insects. Fig harvest continued. O'Henry, Prima 27,

Prima Gattie, Ryan Sun, September Sun, Snow Gem, Snow Giant, Summer Flame 34, Summer Lady, Sweet Blaze,

Sweet Dream, and Trazee peaches were harvested. Arctic Pride, Arctic Snow, August Fire, August Pearl, August

Red, Autumn Fire, Honeydew, Mango, Prima Diamond, Red Jim, Regal Red, Royal Giant, Royal Snow, September

Red, September Bright, and Summer Flare nectarine harvests continued. Plum harvest advanced for Angeleno,

Catalina, Emerald Beaut, Bette Anne, Fortune, Friar, Grand Rosa, Golden, Howard Sun, and Joanne Red varieties. 

Black Kat, Dapple Dandy, Dinosaur Egg, Flavorich, and Sierra Sweet pluot harvests continued. Pomegranates were

showing more color. Apple and quince orchards were harvested. Prune harvest continued in some areas. Pear

harvest was nearing completion with good crop conditions reported. Strawberry fields were being prepared for the

fall crop. Olive fruit continued to size while some orchards were sprayed for olive fruit fly. Almond orchards

continued to be harvested and were being treated for insects and weeds. Pistachios continued to size throughout the

month. Pesticides for codling moths and husk flies were being applied in walnut groves. Nut orchard cultural

activities such as fertilization and irrigation remained underway during the month of August.

Hazelnuts: Production in Oregon is forecast at 33,000 tons, 23 percent less than last year’s crop of 43,000 tons, but

20 percent more than 2005. From 1992 to 2003, Oregon hazelnut production exhibited a biennial bearing pattern. 

Production in those years fluctuated greatly from year to year, sometimes more than 200 percent. The 2004 crop

deviated from this pattern with a reduction in production of just one percent from the previous year. The pattern in

2005 differed when the crop was not only down for a second year in a row, but there was a small ‘crop swing’ of

only 26 percent from the previous year. The 2006 crop showed a return to the alternate pattern with increased

production, but again, there was not a large ‘crop swing’ as there had been prior to 2003. The 2007 production

forecast, down only 23 percent, once again is a smaller change than would be expected of the long-term biennial

bearing pattern.

The September forecast is based on the hazelnut objective yield survey conducted annually in Oregon. The survey,

this year, found an average of 222 nuts picked per tree compared with 380 in 2006. The percentage of good nuts

analyzed in the laboratory, at 86.6 percent, is 1.4 percentage points higher than last year and the highest since 2003. 

The average dry weight per good nut sampled was 3.09 grams compared with 2.96 grams last year. Bad nuts due to

brown stain totaled 0.3 percent of all nuts, the same as in 2006.

Walnuts: California production is forecast at 320,000 tons, down 8 percent from last year’s 346,000 tons. Bearing

acreage remains the same as in 2006. The September forecast is based on the walnut objective measurement survey

conducted August 1 through August 25, 2007.

Survey data indicated an average nut set of 1,357 per tree, down 7 percent from last year’s average of 1,458 nuts. 

Of the varieties with the largest planted acreage, Hartley nut set was down 8 percent from 2006; Chandler was down

23 percent; Serr was up 46 percent; and Vina was down 7 percent. The percentage of sound kernels in-shell was
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 38 NASS, USDA

98.4 percent Statewide, compared with 98.0 percent last year. In-shell weight per nut was 20.3 grams, while the

average in-shell suture measurement was 31.9 millimeters. The average length in-shell is 37.6 millimeters. These

compare with last year’s measurements of 22.7 grams in-shell weight per nut, 31.4 millimeters average in-shell

suture measurement, and 39.5 millimeters average length in-shell.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 39 NASS, USDA

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between August 24 and

September 7 to gather information on expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for corn,

cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the

U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission

to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the objective yield survey (corn, cotton, and soybeans). 

The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of

plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or

pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological

yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop

maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another

plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal

interviewer. Approximately 14,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about

probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of

average yields.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather

patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each Field Office submits an analysis

of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published September 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the

marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and

ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant

changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production

report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for

cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and

oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the

October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or

administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is

strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean

Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain production forecast is 5.5 percent. This means that chances are 2

out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.5 percent. 

Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 9.6 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the September 1

forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the

final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 366 million bushels, ranging from 10 million bushels to

891 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 13 times and above 7 times. This

does not imply that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 40 NASS, USDA

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn For Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

5.5

7.8

3.6

5.3

6.6

9.6

13.5

6.3

9.2

11.4

366

30

5

119

993

10

1

0

19

84

891

115

16

288

2,366

13

8

14

12

13

7

12

6

8

7

 1 Quantity is in thousands of bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2007 41 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information.

Jeff Geuder, Chief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5944

Todd Ballard - Wheat, Rye .................................................. (202) 720-8068

Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed ....................................... (202) 720-9526

Greg Thessen - Peanuts, Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7369

King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 690-3234

Dawn Keen - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7621

Fruits, Vegetables & Special Crops Section

Lance Honig, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco .......................... (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2157

Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5412

Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Tree Nuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4215

Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils,

Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

Wrinkled Seed Peas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-3250

Faye Propsom- Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

Plums, Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (360) 902-1940

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4285
ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:

INTERNET ACCESS

All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the

NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 

E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION

All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home

Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on National or State. Follow the

instructions on the screen. 

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PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS

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ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis

of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental

status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or a part of an

individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.)

Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large

print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). 

To file a complaint of discrimination write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue,

S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410 or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or

(202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.
USDA Data Users’ Meeting

October 29, 2007

Crowne Plaza Chicago O’Hare

Rosemont, Illinois

(847) 671-6350

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The

purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs

and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the

Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and

World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be

included in the meeting.

For registration details or additional information for the Data Users’ Meeting, see the NASS homepage at

www.nass.usda.gov/forum/ or contact Marjorie Taylor (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at 

marjorie_taylor@nass.usda.gov.

This Data Users’ Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on

October 30, 2007. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to

discuss the outlook situation. For registration details or additional information for the Industry Outlook

Meeting see the Livestock and Marketing Information Center (LMIC) homepage at www.lmic.info or 

contact Jim Robb at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.