Cr Pr 2-2 (8-04)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released August 12, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 8 Percent from 2003

Soybean Production Up 19 Percent from Last Year

Cotton Production Up 11 Percent from 2003

All Wheat Production Up 3 Percent from July

Corn production is forecast at 10.9 billion bushels, up 8 percent from last year and 22 percent above 2002. 

Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 148.9 bushels per acre, up 6.7 bushels

from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. The previous record for

both was set last year when production was estimated at 10.1 billion bushels and yield was 142.2 bushels per

acre. Yields are higher in most of the Corn Belt and Great Plains States as weather conditions have been

favorable during much of the growing season. Farmers expect to harvest 73.4 million acres of corn for grain,

virtually unchanged from June but up 3 percent from 2003.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.88 billion bushels, up 19 percent from 2003 and 4 percent from 2002. If

realized, this would be the second largest U.S. soybean production on record. Based on August 1 conditions,

yields are expected to average 39.1 bushels per acre, up 5.7 bushels from 2003. Yields are higher than 2003

throughout the Grain Plains and across the Corn Belt, but lower than the record high yields of 2003 in the

Southeast. Area for harvest, at 73.7 million acres, is unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2003

acreage.

All cotton production is forecast at 20.2 million 480-pound bales, up 11 percent from last year's 18.3 million

bales. The yield is expected to average 727 pounds per harvested acre, down 3 pounds from 2003. Upland

cotton production is forecast at 19.5 million 480-pound bales, 9 percent above 2003. American-Pima

production is forecast at 703,000 bales, up 63 percent from last year's output. Producers expect to harvest

13.3 million acres of all cotton, 11 percent above last year. Upland cotton harvested area, at 13.1 million

acres, is 1.24 million acres more than a year ago. American-Pima harvested area is expected to total

250,000 acres, 41 percent more than 2003. Arizona and Texas increased American-Pima planted area by

1,000 and 4,000 acres, respectively, resulting in a total U.S. American-Pima planted estimate of

252,000 acres.

All wheat production is placed at 2.12 billion bushels, up 3 percent from the July forecast but down 9 percent

from 2003. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 42.0 bushels per acre, up 1.4 bushels

from last month.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 2 NASS, USDA

The final Winter wheat production forecast is 1.49 billion bushels. This is up 1 percent from last month but

13 percent below 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 42.8 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from last month.

Hard Red Winter, at 853 million bushels, is up 2 percent from a month ago. Soft Red Winter is down

1 percent from the last forecast, at 380 million bushels. White Winter is up 3 percent from last month and

totals 256 million bushels. 

Durum wheat production is forecast at 89.0 million bushels, up less than 1 percent from last month but down

8 percent from 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 35.3 bushels per acre, 2.1 bushels more than last month. 

Planted area is estimated at 2.59 million acres, 150,000 acres less than last month and 11 percent below the

2003 total. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 2.52 million acres, also down 150,000 acres from last

month and 12 percent less than last year. Planted area and acres harvested for grain in North Dakota were

both reduced by 150,000 acres as farmers were not able to plant all originally intended Durum acres due to

persistent wet weather through the middle of June.

Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 545 million bushels, up 9 percent from last month and

2 percent above 2003. Acreage intended for harvest is unchanged from last month. The U.S. yield is forecast

at 41.2 bushels per acre, 3.3 bushels more than on July 1. Of the production total, 502 million is Hard Red

Spring wheat, up 9 percent from last month.

This report was approved on August 12, 2004.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

James R. Moseley

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Selected Crops ........................................................................ 4

Grains & Hay

Barley ............................................................................ 7

Corn for Grain ...................................................................... 5

Hay, Alfalfa ....................................................................... 12

Hay, Other ........................................................................ 13

Oats .............................................................................. 7

Rice ............................................................................. 11

 Rice by Class .................................................................... 11

Sorghum for Grain .................................................................. 6

Wheat, by Class ..................................................................... 9

Wheat, Durum ...................................................................... 9

Wheat, Other Spring ................................................................. 9

Wheat, Winter ...................................................................... 8

 Head Population .................................................................. 10

Oilseeds

Peanuts .......................................................................... 15

Soybeans ......................................................................... 14

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

Cotton ........................................................................... 16

Cottonseed ........................................................................ 17

Sugarbeets ........................................................................ 23

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ......................................................... 23

Tobacco .......................................................................... 20

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

Dry Edible Beans .................................................................. 17

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts 

Apples ........................................................................... 25

Grapes ........................................................................... 27

Olives ........................................................................... 27

Papayas .......................................................................... 26

Peaches .......................................................................... 24

Pears ............................................................................ 26

Prunes and Plums .................................................................. 24

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Coffee ........................................................................... 26

Ginger Root ....................................................................... 26

Hops ............................................................................ 27

Crop Comments ...................................................................... 38

Crop Summary ....................................................................... 28

Information Contacts .................................................................. 50

Reliability of Production Data in this Report .............................................. 48

Weather Maps ....................................................................... 34

Weather Summary .................................................................... 36
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 4 NASS, USDA

Selected Crops: Area Planted by State

and United States, 2004

State Durum

Wheat

Amer-Pima

Cotton

Upland

Cotton Sugarbeets Dry EdibleBeans

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

105

120

2

600

 *1,750

15

 *2,592

 *3.0

220.0

8.0

 *21.0

 *252.0

550.0

 *230.0

950.0

560.0

105.0

1,330.0

120.0

500.0

1,100.0

400.0

60.0

 *730.0

 *210.0

 *220.0

570.0

 *5,900.0

 *82.0

 *13,617.0

49.5

 *35.7

194.0

165.0

 *485.0

53.4

 *49.8

262.0

1.8

 *12.8

3.8

37.0

 *1,349.8

 *67.0

 *75.0

80.0

6.0

 *185.0

125.0

18.0

 *115.0

7.0

 *24.0

 *550.0

5.0

10.0

 *25.5

 *5.3

 *29.0

5.6

28.0

 *1,360.4

* Updated from the June 2004 "Acreage" report.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 5 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

190

350

170

890

162

285

11,050

5,390

12,000

2,500

1,080

500

410

2,090

6,650

530

2,800

7,700

61

48

440

680

1,170

3,070

190

890

215

3,850

630

1,650

330

70

2,850

248

71,139

240

300

190

930

155

280

11,550

5,300

12,200

2,900

1,140

445

440

1,950

7,100

450

2,900

7,900

72

49

450

760

1,600

3,000

175

900

265

3,950

630

1,600

330

100

2,850

276

73,377

122.0

140.0

160.0

135.0

123.0

129.0

164.0

146.0

157.0

120.0

137.0

134.0

123.0

126.0

146.0

135.0

108.0

146.0

113.0

180.0

121.0

106.0

112.0

156.0

125.0

115.0

105.0

111.0

131.0

118.0

115.0

195.0

129.0

134.8

142.2

120.0

140.0

160.0

126.0

126.0

125.0

168.0

156.0

162.0

145.0

142.0

125.0

141.0

124.0

151.0

140.0

144.0

155.0

120.0

180.0

116.0

110.0

110.0

154.0

150.0

123.0

94.0

118.0

138.0

130.0

137.0

195.0

130.0

138.3

148.9

15,840

34,170

25,500

108,000

14,028

31,900

1,471,500

631,620

1,931,550

301,600

111,280

65,340

31,450

234,000

1,051,900

63,600

283,500

940,800

4,270

8,575

44,620

56,440

113,430

264,330

24,700

57,120

12,220

308,750

65,270

202,270

22,100

13,300

391,500

30,314

8,966,787

23,180

49,000

27,200

120,150

19,926

36,765

1,812,200

786,940

1,884,000

300,000

147,960

67,000

50,430

263,340

970,900

71,550

302,400

1,124,200

6,893

8,640

53,240

72,080

131,040

478,920

23,750

102,350

22,575

427,350

82,530

194,700

37,950

13,650

367,650

33,428

10,113,887

28,800

42,000

30,400

117,180

19,530

35,000

1,940,400

826,800

1,976,400

420,500

161,880

55,625

62,040

241,800

1,072,100

63,000

417,600

1,224,500

8,640

8,820

52,200

83,600

176,000

462,000

26,250

110,700

24,910

466,100

86,940

208,000

45,210

19,500

370,500

38,174

10,923,099

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop

Production 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 6 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

Sts 1

US

210

160

105

2,900

165

210

500

62

250

150

2,850

236

7,798

90

200

95

2,800

95

150

420

90

270

160

2,400

146

6,916

82.0

27.0

82.0

45.0

85.0

77.0

62.0

27.0

37.0

45.0

54.0

75.5

52.7

80.0

40.0

93.0

72.0

70.0

100.0

85.0

35.0

46.0

56.0

61.0

74.4

67.2

17,710

1,800

6,308

135,000

13,365

16,150

16,000

2,450

13,500

3,060

122,400

12,970

360,713

17,220

4,320

8,610

130,500

14,025

16,170

31,000

1,674

9,250

6,750

153,900

17,818

411,237

7,200

8,000

8,835

201,600

6,650

15,000

35,700

3,150

12,420

8,960

146,400

10,867

464,782

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 7 NASS, USDA

Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

CA

ID

IL

IA

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NY

ND

OH

OR

PA

SD

TX

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

35

25

50

130

70

75

265

45

90

70

360

60

20

110

230

140

230

219

2,224

30

20

35

130

60

60

200

45

50

55

280

45

30

115

200

150

230

203

1,938

80.0

65.0

89.0

83.0

65.0

70.0

71.0

44.0

73.0

63.0

59.0

66.0

75.0

59.0

68.0

45.0

67.0

58.8

65.0

75.0

73.0

79.0

80.0

48.0

64.0

61.0

48.0

73.0

72.0

53.0

68.0

85.0

65.0

72.0

49.0

60.0

63.2

62.9

80.0

76.0

79.0

77.0

43.0

67.0

71.0

51.0

77.0

68.0

63.0

70.0

90.0

59.0

80.0

46.0

64.0

62.4

66.0

2,800

1,625

4,450

10,790

4,550

5,250

18,815

1,980

6,570

4,410

21,240

3,960

1,500

6,490

15,640

6,300

15,410

12,869

144,649

2,400

1,520

2,765

10,010

2,580

4,020

14,200

2,295

3,850

3,740

17,640

3,150

2,700

6,785

16,000

6,900

14,720

12,675

127,950

 1 Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in

the "Small Grains 2004 Summary".

Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

CO

DE

ID

MD

MN

MT

ND

OR

PA

SD

UT

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

30

58

82

21

720

38

170

810

1,980

60

65

55

35

45

310

75

134

4,688

30

80

76

24

740

34

90

780

1,580

62

60

50

40

40

280

70

116

4,152

118.0

64.0

109.0

59.0

66.0

57.0

75.0

39.0

60.0

64.0

61.0

53.0

80.0

62.0

47.0

95.0

58.4

58.9

120.0

63.0

115.0

81.0

78.0

75.0

58.0

51.0

57.0

74.0

60.0

59.0

78.0

70.0

65.0

93.0

61.0

63.5

120.0

63.0

110.0

84.0

84.0

75.0

65.0

51.0

60.0

74.0

60.0

61.0

78.0

70.0

65.0

89.0

61.0

65.7

3,540

3,712

8,938

1,239

47,520

2,166

12,750

31,590

118,800

3,840

3,965

2,915

2,800

2,790

14,570

7,125

7,827

276,087

3,600

5,040

8,360

2,016

62,160

2,550

5,850

39,780

94,800

4,588

3,600

3,050

3,120

2,800

18,200

6,230

7,080

272,824

 1 Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in

the "Small Grains 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 8 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

MD

MI

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

570

370

2,200

47

230

720

810

430

10,000

330

145

660

125

870

1,720

1,820

120

410

1,000

4,600

940

165

185

1,380

270

3,450

160

1,800

145

869

36,541

620

300

1,750

44

200

680

970

440

8,700

370

145

610

155

940

1,550

1,800

95

440

880

4,600

850

135

180

1,250

280

3,700

190

1,700

135

1,116

34,825

50.0

61.0

35.0

41.0

46.0

80.0

65.0

69.0

48.0

62.0

37.0

68.0

49.0

61.0

37.0

46.0

53.0

36.0

68.0

39.0

51.0

43.0

39.0

43.0

50.0

28.0

46.0

65.0

27.0

47.0

46.7

52.0

75.0

27.0

61.0

46.0

85.0

58.0

65.0

36.0

55.0

61.0

64.0

53.0

50.0

38.0

32.0

52.0

48.0

64.0

36.0

59.0

50.0

47.0

35.0

48.0

31.0

61.0

66.0

22.0

43.1

42.2

52.0

75.0

27.0

58.0

46.0

87.0

59.0

62.0

36.0

55.0

59.0

64.0

53.0

50.0

40.0

32.0

52.0

48.0

62.0

36.0

61.0

50.0

47.0

42.0

48.0

31.0

60.0

69.0

26.0

44.7

42.8

28,500

22,570

77,000

1,927

10,580

57,600

52,650

29,670

480,000

20,460

5,365

44,880

6,125

53,070

63,640

83,720

6,360

14,760

68,000

179,400

47,940

7,095

7,215

59,340

13,500

96,600

7,360

117,000

3,915

40,827

1,707,069

32,240

22,500

47,250

2,552

9,200

59,160

57,230

27,280

313,200

20,350

8,555

39,040

8,215

47,000

62,000

57,600

4,940

21,120

54,560

165,600

51,850

6,750

8,460

52,500

13,440

114,700

11,400

117,300

3,510

49,906

1,489,408

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 9 NASS, USDA

Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

MT

ND

Oth

 Sts 1

US

115

115

630

1,980

29

2,869

105

110

590

1,700

16

2,521

100.0

100.0

23.0

29.5

25.4

33.7

105.0

85.0

27.0

28.0

29.1

33.2

105.0

85.0

29.0

30.0

29.1

35.3

11,500

11,500

14,490

58,410

737

96,637

11,025

9,350

17,110

51,000

466

88,951

 1 Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary".

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003

2004

2003 2004

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

ID

MN

MT

ND

OR

SD

WA

Oth

 Sts 1

US

450

1,800

2,700

6,400

140

1,340

545

54

13,429

470

1,570

2,700

6,200

175

1,500

555

40

13,210

66.0

58.0

22.0

39.5

40.0

42.0

41.0

42.5

39.7

75.0

47.0

27.0

36.0

50.0

38.0

50.0

53.1

37.9

77.0

51.0

29.0

40.0

52.0

42.0

50.0

53.1

41.2

29,700

104,400

59,400

252,800

5,600

56,280

22,345

2,295

532,820

36,190

80,070

78,300

248,000

9,100

63,000

27,750

2,125

544,535

 1 Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004

Summary".

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2002-2003

and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1

Year

Winter Spring

Hard Total

Red

Soft

Red White HardRed White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

2002

2003

2004

620,328

1,062,889

853,081

320,968

379,196

380,231

195,705

264,984

256,096

351,439

499,926

502,490

37,478

32,894

42,045

79,960

96,637

88,951

1,605,878

2,336,526

2,122,894

 1 Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used

throughout the forecast season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 10 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Head Population

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 10 winter wheat

estimating States during 2004. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May

through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from

this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested.

Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot,

Selected States, 2000-2004

State Month 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 1

Number Number Number Number Number

CO

IL

KS

MO

MT

NE

OH

OK

TX

WA

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

48.0

47.7

47.7

55.0

55.0

55.0

46.5

46.5

46.5

49.9

49.9

49.9

41.3

40.3

40.3

57.5

58.3

58.3

59.5

59.5

59.5

40.2

40.2

40.2

31.4

31.5

31.6

40.6

40.0

40.1

34.2

33.7

33.9

53.1

52.0

52.0

39.7

39.7

39.7

47.7

47.7

47.7

25.6

25.2

25.2

46.6

46.8

46.8

52.0

51.7

51.7

32.5

32.5

32.5

33.4

33.4

33.4

37.3

36.7

36.8

35.9

35.6

35.6

59.4

59.5

59.5

41.7

41.7

41.7

54.8

54.8

54.8

36.3

34.3

34.3

52.4

52.8

52.8

58.5

57.8

57.8

40.2

40.2

40.2

34.2

34.2

34.2

37.8

37.6

37.8

38.9

38.4

38.4

56.5

56.6

56.6

50.4

50.6

50.6

51.3

51.3

51.3

44.5

42.9

42.9

59.5

59.6

59.6

53.1

53.3

53.3

46.8

46.8

46.8

36.3

35.9

36.3

37.2

36.5

36.6

32.8

32.1

51.0

51.0

41.2

41.4

51.8

51.8

40.2

40.4

43.0

43.2

52.1

52.1

40.5

40.5

31.7

31.7

36.4

36.7

 1 Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 11 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,455

507

450

234

171

180

2,997

1,530

613

545

233

185

212

3,318

6,590

7,620

5,870

6,800

6,130

6,600

6,645

6,650

7,900

5,600

6,700

6,250

6,500

6,680

96,752

42,989

29,400

16,192

11,011

14,616

210,960

95,860

38,624

26,397

15,912

10,484

11,880

199,157

101,745

48,427

30,520

15,611

11,563

13,780

221,646

 1 Sweet rice production included in 2003 and 2004 but not in previous years.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain 1 All

1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

2002

2003 2

2004 2

157,243

149,011

160,898

52,201

47,440

57,911

1,516

2,706

2,837

210,960

199,157

221,646

 1 Sweet rice production included with short grain in 2003 and 2004 but not in previous years. 2 The 2004 rice production by class estimates are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield

compared to the all rice yield.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 12 NASS, USDA

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AZ

CA

CO

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

MI

MN

MO

MT

NE

NV

NM

NY

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TX

UT

VA

WA

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

235

1,090

800

1,200

425

350

1,330

1,000

250

850

1,375

450

1,600

1,450

265

230

600

1,600

580

310

490

550

2,700

140

545

130

510

1,600

650

273

23,578

240

1,050

730

1,180

400

350

1,300

900

260

850

1,325

420

1,600

1,250

275

240

500

1,300

500

340

450

520

2,600

150

550

120

480

1,600

490

256

22,226

8.50

7.00

3.20

3.70

4.10

3.80

3.70

3.40

3.50

3.20

3.00

2.95

2.10

3.60

4.40

4.90

2.80

1.65

3.40

3.20

4.60

3.00

1.90

4.70

4.00

3.50

5.30

2.30

2.40

2.97

3.24

8.00

7.20

3.50

3.70

4.20

3.80

4.20

4.60

4.40

3.90

3.70

3.40

2.00

3.80

4.50

5.30

2.90

1.50

3.20

3.80

4.40

2.60

2.10

5.10

3.90

3.50

5.30

2.60

2.30

2.96

3.48

1,863

8,004

2,262

4,680

1,620

990

4,875

3,515

928

3,045

4,620

1,200

3,000

4,050

1,183

1,272

1,525

1,885

1,860

1,225

2,129

1,768

3,375

690

2,034

350

2,499

4,620

1,150

797

73,014

1,998

7,630

2,560

4,440

1,743

1,330

4,921

3,400

875

2,720

4,125

1,328

3,360

5,220

1,166

1,127

1,680

2,640

1,972

992

2,254

1,650

5,130

658

2,180

455

2,703

3,680

1,560

810

76,307

1,920

7,560

2,555

4,366

1,680

1,330

5,460

4,140

1,144

3,315

4,903

1,428

3,200

4,750

1,238

1,272

1,450

1,950

1,600

1,292

1,980

1,352

5,460

765

2,145

420

2,544

4,160

1,127

758

77,264

 1 Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 13 NASS, USDA

All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AR

CA

CO

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

780

1,320

480

700

600

300

350

300

270

2,250

2,200

380

200

700

750

3,800

850

1,700

1,250

760

1,350

770

2,500

625

1,100

1,600

2,000

5,100

1,150

300

500

500

550

1,779

39,764

850

1,460

490

730

580

300

350

290

300

2,200

2,000

360

250

650

720

3,900

950

1,550

1,150

700

1,300

720

2,500

655

1,200

1,500

1,950

4,800

1,250

310

520

500

500

1,878

39,363

2.60

2.20

3.50

1.50

3.00

1.70

2.80

2.60

2.20

1.60

2.50

2.90

2.00

1.60

2.50

1.80

1.50

1.40

1.60

2.60

1.45

2.60

1.60

2.20

2.20

1.30

2.30

2.30

2.60

3.00

1.90

1.40

1.40

2.22

2.03

2.60

2.20

3.20

1.90

2.60

1.80

2.50

2.80

2.50

1.90

2.60

2.30

2.20

1.80

2.60

2.20

1.60

1.50

1.50

2.20

1.40

2.20

1.90

2.50

2.30

1.20

2.50

2.50

2.60

3.00

1.90

1.60

1.50

2.24

2.15

1,815

3,243

1,770

715

1,560

608

683

630

770

3,450

4,200

1,050

506

1,190

1,875

7,123

1,540

1,700

2,090

1,314

2,035

1,540

4,760

1,364

1,680

1,440

4,095

12,720

2,125

837

936

720

450

3,919

76,453

2,028

2,904

1,680

1,050

1,800

510

980

780

594

3,600

5,500

1,102

400

1,120

1,875

6,840

1,275

2,380

2,000

1,976

1,958

2,002

4,000

1,375

2,420

2,080

4,600

11,730

2,990

900

950

700

770

3,947

80,816

2,210

3,212

1,568

1,387

1,508

540

875

812

750

4,180

5,200

828

550

1,170

1,872

8,580

1,520

2,325

1,725

1,540

1,820

1,584

4,750

1,638

2,760

1,800

4,875

12,000

3,250

930

988

800

750

4,202

84,499

 1 Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates

will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 14 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

160

2,890

178

180

10,250

5,350

10,550

2,480

1,240

740

430

1,990

7,400

1,430

4,940

4,490

88

138

1,400

3,030

4,280

245

375

420

4,190

1,120

180

480

1,650

27

72,321

195

3,050

207

240

9,850

5,430

10,350

2,550

1,270

950

490

1,990

7,300

1,630

4,940

4,700

96

168

1,400

3,630

4,420

290

395

450

4,140

1,140

225

490

1,640

29

73,655

36.0

38.0

36.0

33.0

36.5

38.0

32.0

23.0

43.0

34.0

37.0

27.0

31.0

39.0

29.0

40.0

34.0

35.0

30.0

29.0

38.0

26.0

41.0

28.0

27.0

41.0

28.0

34.0

28.0

36.1

33.4

33.0

36.0

38.0

29.0

44.0

45.0

42.0

34.0

41.0

30.0

38.0

33.0

40.0

34.0

36.0

46.0

36.0

36.0

30.0

31.0

40.0

27.0

42.0

25.0

33.0

37.0

31.0

36.0

36.0

39.2

39.1

3,720

96,480

4,625

3,220

453,650

239,455

499,200

58,420

42,570

21,120

10,810

78,540

308,850

43,840

170,000

176,330

2,328

4,608

30,960

86,790

151,040

6,760

10,140

7,055

126,790

34,720

5,740

10,580

66,880

926

2,756,147

5,760

109,820

6,408

5,940

374,125

203,300

337,600

57,040

53,320

25,160

15,910

53,730

229,400

55,770

143,260

179,600

2,992

4,830

42,000

87,870

162,640

6,370

15,375

11,760

113,130

45,920

5,040

16,320

46,200

975

2,417,565

6,435

109,800

7,866

6,960

433,400

244,350

434,700

86,700

52,070

28,500

18,620

65,670

292,000

55,420

177,840

216,200

3,456

6,048

42,000

112,530

176,800

7,830

16,590

11,250

136,620

42,180

6,975

17,640

59,040

1,137

2,876,627

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 15 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

185

115

540

17

100

35

17

270

33

1,312

195

120

575

16

105

28

28

250

34

1,351

2,750

3,000

3,450

2,700

3,200

2,800

3,400

3,000

2,900

3,159

2,900

3,100

3,300

3,000

3,200

3,000

3,100

3,300

3,100

3,198

379,800

197,800

1,313,000

54,000

210,000

159,600

19,140

868,000

119,700

3,321,040

508,750

345,000

1,863,000

45,900

320,000

98,000

57,800

810,000

95,700

4,144,150

565,500

372,000

1,897,500

48,000

336,000

84,000

86,800

825,000

105,400

4,320,200
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 16 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

510.0

213.0

945.0

545.0

92.0

1,290.0

80.0

510.0

1,090.0

390.0

38.0

770.0

170.0

218.0

530.0

4,350.0

85.0

11,826.0

2.4

149.0

6.0

20.0

177.4

510.0

215.4

945.0

694.0

92.0

1,290.0

80.0

510.0

1,090.0

390.0

44.0

770.0

170.0

218.0

530.0

4,370.0

85.0

12,003.4

545.0

228.0

930.0

557.0

103.0

1,300.0

100.0

490.0

1,080.0

390.0

60.0

725.0

195.0

218.0

565.0

5,500.0

81.0

13,067.0

3.0

219.0

8.0

20.0

250.0

545.0

231.0

930.0

776.0

103.0

1,300.0

100.0

490.0

1,080.0

390.0

68.0

725.0

195.0

218.0

565.0

5,520.0

81.0

13,317.0

772

1,239

916

1,317

610

785

537

967

934

862

884

646

616

718

806

478

674

723

920

1,194

1,056

1,056

1,170

772

1,236

916

1,290

610

785

537

967

934

862

908

646

616

718

806

480

674

730

749

1,284

877

1,422

597

738

768

637

800

849

960

728

645

731

833

550

877

716

960

1,403

840

1,032

1,350

749

1,280

877

1,416

597

738

768

637

800

849

946

728

645

731

833

552

877

727

570.0

613.0

1,669.0

1,460.0

96.0

1,578.0

76.3

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

85.0

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,040.0

95.0

16,530.3

17.3

603.3

15.4

42.3

678.3

570.0

630.3

1,669.0

2,063.3

96.0

1,578.0

76.3

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

100.4

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,082.3

95.0

17,208.6

820.0

550.0

1,804.0

1,495.0

117.0

2,110.0

89.5

1,027.0

2,120.0

700.0

70.0

1,037.0

218.0

326.0

890.0

4,330.0

119.4

17,822.9

4.6

370.5

13.2

44.0

432.3

820.0

554.6

1,804.0

1,865.5

117.0

2,110.0

89.5

1,027.0

2,120.0

700.0

83.2

1,037.0

218.0

326.0

890.0

4,374.0

119.4

18,255.2

850.0

610.0

1,700.0

1,650.0

128.0

2,000.0

160.0

650.0

1,800.0

690.0

120.0

1,100.0

262.0

332.0

980.0

6,300.0

148.0

19,480.0

6.0

640.0

14.0

43.0

703.0

850.0

616.0

1,700.0

2,290.0

128.0

2,000.0

160.0

650.0

1,800.0

690.0

134.0

1,100.0

262.0

332.0

980.0

6,343.0

148.0

20,183.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-lb net weight bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 17 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Production

2002 2003 2004 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 6,183.9 6,664.6 7,360.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1

State

Area Harvested Yield 2 Production 2

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NM

NY

ND

OR

SD

TX

UT

WA

WI

WY

US

75.0

73.0

73.0

11.0

165.0

110.0

12.8

148.0

10.0

24.0

520.0

6.0

7.5

44.0

5.2

27.5

5.9

29.0

1,346.9

65.0

67.0

78.0

5.5

175.0

120.0

17.0

110.0

7.0

23.5

530.0

4.0

10.0

22.4

5.2

29.0

5.5

27.0

1,301.1

1,870

1,600

2,050

2,100

1,500

1,700

1,820

2,130

1,860

1,860

1,500

1,650

1,770

1,170

310

1,910

2,100

2,220

1,672

2,000

1,750

2,150

1,900

1,700

1,600

2,000

1,750

2,000

1,500

1,450

1,700

1,800

850

500

1,900

2,200

2,200

1,639

1,762

1,519

1,907

280

4,903

2,666

367

3,465

153

333

10,626

146

261

315

5

830

150

624

30,312

1,403

1,168

1,497

231

2,475

1,870

233

3,151

186

446

7,800

99

133

513

16

525

124

645

22,515

1,300

1,173

1,677

105

2,975

1,920

340

1,925

140

353

7,685

68

180

190

26

551

121

594

21,323

 1 Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2 Clean Basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 18 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and

United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1

Class and State 2003 2004 Class and State 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Large Lima - CA

Baby Lima - CA

Navy

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WY

 Total

Great Northern

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 WA

 WY

 Total

Small White

 ID

 OR

 WA

 Total

Pinto

 CA

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NM

 ND

 OR

 SD

 TX

 UT

 WA

 WY

 Total

19.6

14.5

3.1

40.0

36.0

1.0

75.0

0.5

1.6

1.0

158.2

3.5

8.0

1.3

84.2

8.0

0.9

3.5

109.4

1.9

0.5

0.3

2.7

0.5

68.0

29.0

12.0

11.0

21.0

9.7

50.0

10.0

410.0

1.7

1.9

1.0

5.6

7.0

24.5

662.9

15.2

13.6

4.4

53.5

44.0

2.0

85.0

0.7

1.9

0.5

192.0

2.5

1.0

0.4

44.0

2.5

1.0

51.4

2.1

0.5

2.6

0.2

67.0

26.5

5.5

6.5

19.5

15.0

55.0

7.0

400.0

0.5

2.3

0.5

5.3

6.5

25.5

642.8

Light Red

 Kidney

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 WA

 Total

Dark Red

 Kidney

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NY

 ND

 WI

 Total

Pink

 CA

 ID

 MN

 ND

 WA

 Total

Small Red

 ID

 MI

 MN

 WA

 Total

Cranberry

 CA

 ID

 MI

 Total

5.0

8.0

1.0

16.0

10.0

14.0

14.1

68.1

0.9

0.9

9.0

27.0

1.1

5.0

6.0

49.9

0.9

10.6

8.5

8.5

4.3

32.8

9.0

19.0

1.5

3.7

33.2

1.5

1.9

12.0

15.4

4.7

5.0

1.8

15.0

8.0

9.0

12.3

55.8

1.3

1.6

6.5

32.0

1.7

5.0

5.6

53.7

0.5

10.7

6.5

7.0

5.0

29.7

8.0

16.0

1.6

3.5

29.1

2.2

1.9

9.0

13.1

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 19 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and

United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1 (continued)

Class and State 2003 2004 Class and State 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Black

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 WA

 Total

Blackeye

 CA

 TX

 Total

Small Chickpeas

(Garbanzo,

Smaller than

 20/64 in.)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

Large Chickpeas

(Garbanzo,

Larger than

 20/64 in.)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

0.4

1.3

45.0

4.9

1.0

8.2

22.0

1.5

84.3

16.5

34.0

50.5

1.6

2.1

1.0

1.0

0.3

6.0

9.7

9.4

1.1

2.2

4.0

2.4

0.8

7.9

37.5

1.0

3.1

73.0

8.0

2.6

9.0

41.0

3.0

140.7

10.3

15.7

26.0

3.0

0.6

1.0

1.8

0.2

6.6

7.0

12.0

2.0

0.8

2.5

1.1

1.8

7.8

35.0

Chickpeas, All

(Garbanzo)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

Other

 CA

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 SD

 TX

 WA

 WY

 Total

US

9.7

11.0

3.2

2.2

5.0

2.4

1.8

8.2

43.5

7.5

4.0

1.8

10.0

4.8

0.1

2.6

1.6

6.5

1.9

2.7

15.0

1.6

1.0

61.1

1,406.1

7.0

15.0

2.6

0.8

3.5

1.1

3.6

8.0

41.6

11.0

3.0

2.4

0.5

4.5

5.0

0.4

1.6

1.0

6.0

2.7

2.2

9.3

2.5

1.0

53.1

1,360.4

 1 Missing data are included in the "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 20 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT

FL

GA

IN

KY

MD

MA

MO

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV

WI

US

2,180

4,400

27,000

4,200

111,650

1,100

1,250

1,400

159,700

5,300

3,700

30,000

31,140

25,110

1,200

1,820

411,150

2,300

4,000

24,000

4,300

113,800

1,100

1,200

1,400

159,000

5,800

4,000

27,000

31,380

31,270

1,300

1,700

413,550

1,361

2,500

2,200

1,950

2,016

1,450

1,398

2,020

1,878

1,650

2,130

2,100

2,108

1,546

1,300

2,338

1,952

1,740

2,650

2,000

1,950

2,048

1,450

1,725

2,600

2,215

1,850

2,300

2,300

2,039

2,217

1,500

2,409

2,140

3,315

11,960

53,000

7,800

222,991

1,800

1,859

3,122

347,920

9,625

6,815

59,475

71,331

64,407

1,885

3,817

871,122

2,966

11,000

59,400

8,190

225,042

1,595

1,748

2,828

299,995

8,745

7,880

63,000

65,632

38,818

1,560

4,255

802,654

4,001

10,600

48,000

8,385

233,060

1,595

2,070

3,640

352,150

10,730

9,200

62,100

63,972

69,325

1,950

4,095

884,873
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 21 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

Class 2, Fire-cured

 Type 21, VA Belt

 VA

 Type 22, Eastern

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 23, Western

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Total 21-23

Class 3, Air-cured

 Class 3A, Light

 Air-cured

 Type 31, Burley

 IN

 KY

 MO

 NC

 OH

 TN

 VA

 WV

 US

 Type 32, Southern MD

 Belt

 MD

 PA

 US

 Total 31-32

40,000

18,000

58,000

94,000

20,000

30,000

50,000

4,400

27,000

31,400

233,400

550

2,600

5,200

7,800

2,500

400

2,900

11,250

4,200

103,000

1,400

5,700

5,300

25,000

6,500

1,200

152,300

1,100

1,300

2,400

154,700

40,000

23,000

63,000

93,000

20,000

27,000

47,000

4,000

24,000

28,000

231,000

700

2,700

5,400

8,100

2,500

420

2,920

11,720

4,300

105,000

1,400

6,000

5,800

25,000

7,500

1,300

156,300

1,100

2,200

3,300

159,600

1,770

1,690

1,745

1,955

1,915

2,100

2,026

2,500

2,200

2,242

1,957

1,525

3,080

2,980

3,013

3,530

3,350

3,505

3,067

1,950

1,925

2,020

1,250

1,650

1,900

1,150

1,300

1,850

1,450

2,000

1,748

1,848

2,200

2,350

2,255

2,250

2,250

2,300

2,279

2,650

2,000

2,093

2,238

1,850

3,200

3,000

3,067

3,600

3,400

3,571

3,120

1,950

1,950

2,600

1,650

1,850

1,800

1,850

1,500

1,908

1,450

2,300

2,017

1,910

70,800

30,420

101,220

183,770

38,300

63,000

101,300

11,000

59,400

70,400

456,690

839

8,008

15,496

23,504

8,825

1,340

10,165

34,508

8,190

198,275

2,828

7,125

8,745

47,500

7,475

1,560

281,698

1,595

2,600

4,195

285,893

88,000

54,050

142,050

209,250

45,000

62,100

107,100

10,600

48,000

58,600

517,000

1,295

8,640

16,200

24,840

9,000

1,428

10,428

36,563

8,385

204,750

3,640

9,900

10,730

45,000

13,875

1,950

298,230

1,595

5,060

6,655

304,885
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 22 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State,

and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 (continued)

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 3, Air-cured

Class 3B, Dark

 Air-cured

 Type 35, One Sucker

 Belt

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 36, Green River

 Belt

 KY

 Type 37, VA Sun-cured

 Belt

 VA

 Total 35-37

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 Type 41, PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

 Class 5A, CT Valley

 Binder

 Type 51, CT Valley

 Broadleaf

 CT

 MA

 US

 Class 5B, WI Binder

 Type 54, Southern WI

 WI

 Type 55, Northern WI

 WI

 Total 54-55

 Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 Type 61, CT Valley

 Shade-grown

 CT

 MA

 US

All Cigar Types

 Total 41-61

All Tobacco

2,300

540

2,840

1,250

60

4,150

2,400

1,400

970

2,370

1,400

420

1,820

4,190

780

280

1,060

7,650

411,150

2,300

560

2,860

1,300

70

4,230

1,800

1,450

900

2,350

1,300

400

1,700

4,050

850

300

1,150

7,000

413,550

2,830

2,400

2,748

2,740

1,400

2,726

2,200

1,400

1,470

1,429

2,480

1,865

2,338

1,824

1,290

1,150

1,253

1,863

1,952

3,000

2,400

2,883

2,900

1,500

2,865

2,300

1,850

1,800

1,831

2,550

1,950

2,409

2,074

1,550

1,500

1,537

2,044

2,140

6,509

1,296

7,805

3,425

84

11,314

5,280

1,960

1,426

3,386

3,472

783

4,255

7,641

1,006

322

1,328

14,249

802,654

6,900

1,344

8,244

3,770

105

12,119

4,140

2,683

1,620

4,303

3,315

780

4,095

8,398

1,318

450

1,768

14,306

884,873
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 23 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH

OR

WA

WY

US

50.2

27.4

207.0

178.0

487.0

51.5

42.4

255.0

1.9

9.8

4.0

33.7

1,347.9

49.0

33.4

192.0

163.0

479.0

53.0

47.5

256.0

1.6

12.5

3.8

35.5

1,326.3

36.5

23.5

29.2

19.1

20.6

25.4

20.3

20.4

24.2

30.7

40.3

22.3

22.7

37.3

23.1

26.6

18.0

19.6

21.0

20.2

19.5

21.5

28.9

37.6

21.0

21.4

1,960

794

5,103

3,204

8,854

1,096

760

4,799

37

301

140

659

27,707

1,832

644

6,044

3,400

10,032

1,308

861

5,202

46

301

161

752

30,583

1,828

772

5,107

2,934

9,388

1,113

960

4,992

34

361

143

746

28,378

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in

central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

438.0

21.3

490.0

45.1

994.4

420.0

24.1

485.0

42.5

971.6

39.3

97.7

26.2

37.8

34.0

37.0

94.0

27.0

36.0

33.4

17,653

2,159

14,009

1,732

35,553

17,231

2,082

12,838

1,706

33,857

15,540

2,265

13,095

1,530

32,430

 1 Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 24 NASS, USDA

Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Total Production

2002 2003 2004

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AL 1

AR 1

CA

 Freestone 1

CO 1

CT 1

GA 1

ID 1

IL 1

IN 1

KY 1

LA 1

MD 1

MA 1

MI

MO 1

NJ

NY 1

NC 1

OH 1

OK 1

OR 1

PA

SC

TN 1

TX 1

UT 1

VA 1

WA

WV 1

Total Above

CA

 Clingstone 1

US

22.5

6.1

796.0

19.0

1.3

90.0

13.0

17.2

3.1

1.2

1.5

7.0

2.3

14.0

8.0

62.0

10.0

10.0

9.4

4.0

7.9

60.0

160.0

4.0

12.0

6.5

7.0

46.0

10.0

1,411.0

1,124.0

2,535.0

9.0

8.9

826.0

21.0

1.5

110.0

13.0

20.5

3.4

1.8

1.6

8.5

3.0

47.0

10.0

70.0

13.0

6.0

11.3

3.0

4.5

73.0

100.0

3.5

7.0

9.0

10.0

39.0

12.5

1,447.0

1,072.0

2,519.0

31.0

10.0

780.0

22.0

1.3

110.0

14.0

22.0

2.4

1.6

1.1

8.8

1.8

41.0

11.0

65.0

11.0

9.0

7.4

3.3

7.7

52.0

140.0

3.5

25.0

9.5

10.0

35.0

12.0

1,448.4

1,150.0

2,598.4

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and 4-State Total,

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Total Production

2002 2003 2004

Tons Tons Tons

ID

MI

OR

WA

4-State Total

2,000

250

8,000

5,400

15,650

2,500

3,600

5,500

4,700

16,300

3,000

2,500

14,000

5,000

24,500
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 25 NASS, USDA

Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Total Production 1

2002 2003 2004

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MO

NH

NJ

NM 2

NY

NC

OH

OR

PA

RI

SC

TN

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

US

26.2

3.3

470.0

21.0

12.0

10.0

80.0

43.0

40.0

8.5

2.5

5.6

48.5

32.0

33.0

520.0

25.0

38.0

26.5

35.0

2.0

680.0

160.0

70.0

202.0

370.0

2.6

9.0

7.2

7.0

31.0

250.0

5,100.0

95.0

58.0

8,523.9

7.0

2.6

450.0

22.0

21.5

13.0

70.0

52.5

51.0

6.0

3.4

7.5

44.0

40.0

42.5

840.0

27.0

40.0

26.0

40.0

2.0

990.0

135.0

90.0

133.0

442.0

2.3

6.0

12.0

28.0

42.0

270.0

4,500.0

87.0

68.0

8,613.3

30.0

2.8

440.0

24.0

20.0

14.0

100.0

56.0

50.0

11.0

4.8

8.0

45.0

34.0

41.0

760.0

26.0

36.0

28.0

40.0

1,050.0

170.0

89.0

170.0

428.0

2.3

6.0

10.0

27.0

36.0

260.0

5,200.0

85.0

62.0

9,365.9

 1 In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2 End of season estimate only.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 26 NASS, USDA

Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

Crop and State

Total Production

2002 2003 2004

Tons Tons Tons

Bartlett

 CA

 OR

 WA

 Total

Other

 CA

 OR

 WA

 Total

All

 CA

 CO

 CT

 MI

 NY

 OR

 PA

 UT

 WA

 US

232,000

58,000

158,000

448,000

51,600

141,000

231,000

423,600

283,600

2,400

500

1,400

10,000

199,000

3,800

320

389,000

890,020

217,000

54,000

185,000

456,000

55,000

150,000

237,000

442,000

272,000

2,800

1,300

4,800

15,500

204,000

5,200

450

422,000

928,050

230,000

57,000

170,000

457,000

48,000

151,000

225,000

424,000

278,000

2,300

1,000

4,100

15,500

208,000

3,800

340

395,000

908,040

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2003-2004

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2003 2004

2003 2004 2003 2004

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Jun

Jul

2,170

2,175

2,000

1,995

1,575

1,565

1,055

1,060

3,030

3,425

2,745

2,810

 1 Utilized fresh production.

Coffee: Production, Hawaii, 2001-2003

State

Production 1

2001-02 2002-2003 2003-04

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

HI 8,000 7,500 8,300

 1 Parchment basis.

Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,

Hawaii, 2002-2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04

Acres Acres Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

HI 320 160 150 45,000 37,500 40,000 14,400 6,000 6,000
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 27 NASS, USDA

Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Total Production

2002 2003 2004

Tons Tons Tons

AZ

AR

CA

 All Types

 Wine

 Table 1

 Raisin 1 2

GA

MI

MO

NY

NC

OH

OR

PA

TX

VA

WA

 All Types

 Wine

 Juice

US

8,400

4,800

6,696,000

3,149,000

743,000

2,804,000

2,800

42,700

3,300

156,000

2,300

5,800

22,000

53,200

4,700

4,900

332,000

115,000

217,000

7,338,900

8,000

2,600

5,790,000

2,909,000

732,000

2,149,000

3,100

94,500

3,030

198,000

2,800

8,100

24,000

85,000

6,000

3,600

344,000

112,000

232,000

6,572,730

4,000

3,300

5,700,000

2,900,000

750,000

2,050,000

2,800

70,000

3,300

149,000

3,100

7,100

26,000

69,000

8,700

5,100

310,000

110,000

200,000

6,361,400

 1 Fresh basis. 2 The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) was not implemented in 2003 and 2004, but was implemented on the 2002 bearing

acres only. No production was realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are 27,000 for 2002.

Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004 2002 2003 2004

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

ID

OR

WA

US

3,429

5,748

19,492

28,669

3,505

5,107

19,407

28,019

1,536

1,626

2,050

1,903

1,630

1,700

2,120

1,982

5,519.6

9,438.0

43,379.0

58,336.6

5,266.3

9,347.6

39,951.2

54,565.1

5,713.2

8,681.9

41,142.8

55,537.9

Olives: Variety and Total Production, California

2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004

Variety

Total Production 1

2002 2003 2004

Tons Tons Tons

Manzanillo

Sevillano

All Other 2

Total

68,000

23,500

11,500

103,000

102,000

13,000

3,000

118,000

70,000

13,000

2,000

85,000

 1 Ascolano and Mission varieties are included in All Other. 2 Includes production for varieties that were or will be used for canned, oil, and other specialty products.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 28 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,299.0

78,736.0

4,601.0

730.0

3,022.0

1,368.0

9,420.0

61,700.0

44,945.0

2,915.0

13,840.0

1,082.0

595.0

110.0

1,344.0

1.3

221.0

73,404.0

2,344.0

13,479.6

13,301.0

178.6

1,365.4

21.1

1,406.1

337.5

246.0

1,274.5

14.6

88.6

63.7

1,107.6

95.8

4,666.0

80,968.0

4,220.0

720.0

3,346.0

1,330.0

8,099.0

59,719.0

43,450.0

2,592.0

13,677.0

946.0

629.0

68.5

1,386.0

11.8

142.0

74,809.0

1,882.0

13,869.0

13,617.0

252.0

1,349.8

25.5

1,360.4

480.0

300.0

1,184.3

14.2

73.5

58.8

1,037.8

99.1

4,688.0

71,139.0

6,528.0

63,342.0

23,578.0

39,764.0

2,224.0

620.0

2,997.0

339.0

7,798.0

343.0

52,839.0

36,541.0

2,869.0

13,429.0

1,068.0

583.0

107.0

1,312.0

1.2

212.0

72,321.0

2,197.0

12,003.4

11,826.0

177.4

1,347.9

994.4

411.2

15.6

1,346.9

328.5

237.0

5.9

0.2

28.7

78.2

1,250.0

14.3

84.7

59.0

1,092.0

15.8

92.6

0.4

4,152.0

73,377.0

61,589.0

22,226.0

39,363.0

1,938.0

3,318.0

343.0

6,916.0

50,556.0

34,825.0

2,521.0

13,210.0

919.0

608.0

65.9

1,351.0

11.4

133.0

73,655.0

1,801.0

13,317.0

13,067.0

250.0

1,326.3

971.6

413.6

16.6

1,301.1

454.0

293.0

0.2

28.0

1,165.6

14.0

71.7

57.1

1,022.8

96.3

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2004 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 29 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

58.9

142.2

16.2

2.48

3.24

2.03

65.0

18.5

6,645

27.3

52.7

10.4

44.2

46.7

33.7

39.7

1,416

17.9

723

3,159

949

1,286

33.4

1,213

730

723

1,170

22.7

34.0

1,952

1,115

1,672

1,584

1,030

1,407

37,500

1,903

89

367

282

288

322

377

113

172

65.7

148.9

2.63

3.48

2.15

66.0

6,680

67.2

42.0

42.8

35.3

41.2

3,198

39.1

727

716

1,350

21.4

33.4

2,140

1,639

40,000

1,982

250

266

327

276,087

10,113,887

105,864

157,123

76,307

80,816

144,649

11,450

199,157

9,254

411,237

3,552

2,336,526

1,707,069

96,637

532,820

1,512,250

6,664.6

10,426

77,372

4,144,150

1,139

272,555

2,417,565

2,665,226

18,255.2

17,822.9

432.3

30,583

33,857

802,654

174

22,515

5,202

2,442

673

8,300

6,000

54,565.1

6,924

458,854

4,027

24,433

19,008

411,386

1,778

15,891

5,000

272,824

10,923,099

161,763

77,264

84,499

127,950

221,646

464,782

2,122,894

1,489,408

88,951

544,535

7,360.0

4,320,200

2,876,627

20,183.0

19,480.0

703.0

28,378

32,430

884,873

21,323

6,000

55,537.9

3,500

19,077

18,656

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2004 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 30 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2002 2003 2004

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lbs

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,424

1

801

12,374

97

420

70

8,523.9

90.0

20,000.0

7,338.9

103.0

45,900.0

2,535.0

890.0

172.0

15.7

1,090,000

19.5

172,900

303,000

282.0

1,475

2,063

1,026

11,526

106

371

59

8,613.3

97.6

22,500.0

6,572.7

118.0

42,600.0

2,519.0

928.1

181.0

16.3

1,040,000

37.7

282,100

119,000

326.0

1,260

2,148

798

12,890

45

425

63

9,365.9

95.6

6,361.4

85.0

2,598.4

908.0

70.0

24.5

1,080,000

1,507

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 31 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2003 2004 2003 2004

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,144,450

31,863,670

1,861,980

295,420

1,222,970

553,620

3,812,180

24,969,370

18,188,790

1,179,670

5,600,910

437,870

240,790

44,520

543,900

530

89,440

29,705,860

948,590

5,455,060

5,382,780

72,280

552,560

8,540

569,030

136,580

99,550

515,780

5,910

35,860

25,780

448,230

38,770

1,888,280

32,766,940

1,707,790

291,380

1,354,090

538,240

3,277,580

24,167,680

17,583,780

1,048,960

5,534,950

382,840

254,550

27,720

560,900

4,780

57,470

30,274,450

761,630

5,612,650

5,510,660

101,980

546,250

10,320

550,540

194,250

121,410

479,270

5,750

29,740

23,800

419,990

40,100

1,897,190

28,789,240

2,641,820

25,633,870

9,541,780

16,092,090

900,030

250,910

1,212,860

137,190

3,155,770

138,810

21,383,410

14,787,780

1,161,060

5,434,580

432,210

235,930

43,300

530,950

490

85,790

29,267,590

889,100

4,857,660

4,785,860

71,790

545,480

402,420

166,390

6,310

545,080

132,940

95,910

2,390

60

11,600

31,650

505,860

5,790

34,280

23,880

441,920

6,390

37,470

170

1,680,270

29,694,940

24,924,450

8,994,640

15,929,810

784,290

1,342,760

138,810

2,798,840

20,459,510

14,093,330

1,020,220

5,345,950

371,910

246,050

26,670

546,740

4,610

53,820

29,807,440

728,850

5,389,260

5,288,080

101,170

536,740

393,200

167,360

6,720

526,540

183,730

118,570

60

11,340

471,710

5,670

29,020

23,110

413,920

38,970

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2004 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 32 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2003 2004 2003 2004

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.17

8.92

36.35

5.56

7.25

4.56

2.33

1.03

7.45

1.71

3.31

23.21

2.97

3.14

2.27

2.67

1.59

1.12

0.81

3.54

1.06

1.44

2.25

1.36

0.82

0.81

1.31

50.86

76.32

2.19

1.25

1.87

1.77

1.15

1.58

42.03

2.13

0.10

41.14

31.56

32.33

36.11

42.23

0.13

19.23

3.54

9.34

5.89

7.79

4.81

2.37

7.49

4.22

2.82

2.88

2.37

2.77

3.58

2.63

0.82

0.80

1.51

47.96

74.82

2.40

1.84

44.83

2.22

28.02

29.82

36.62

6,011,080

256,904,560

96,038,210

142,539,590

69,224,550

73,315,040

2,099,570

259,680

9,033,610

235,060

10,445,900

3,222,320

63,589,820

46,458,800

2,630,030

14,500,980

685,950

6,046,020

264,830

35,100

1,879,750

520

123,630

65,795,340

1,208,930

3,974,600

3,880,480

94,120

27,744,430

30,714,550

364,080

7,890

1,021,260

235,960

110,770

30,530

3,760

2,720

24,750

3,140

20,813,270

182,660

1,108,260

862,190

18,660,160

810

720,800

2,270

5,940,040

277,459,490

146,748,930

70,092,720

76,656,200

1,857,190

10,053,690

11,806,010

57,775,710

40,535,040

2,420,850

14,819,810

6,676,880

1,959,610

78,288,960

4,394,330

4,241,270

153,060

25,744,090

29,420,000

401,370

967,200

2,720

25,190

158,760

865,320

846,220

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2004 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 33 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2002 2003 2004

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,199,020

910

726,650

11,225,500

88,000

381,020

63,500

3,866,380

81,680

9,070

6,657,740

93,440

20,820

1,149,860

807,410

156,040

14,200

494,420

17,690

78,430

137,440

255,830

7,370

1,871,520

930,770

10,456,210

96,160

336,570

53,520

3,906,930

88,520

10,210

5,962,680

107,050

19,320

1,142,600

841,910

164,200

14,790

471,740

34,200

127,960

53,980

295,740

6,300

1,948,630

723,930

11,693,610

40,820

385,550

57,150

4,248,300

86,680

5,770,970

77,110

1,178,610

823,760

63,500

22,230

489,880

7,530

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 34 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 35 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 36 NASS, USDA

July Weather Summary

Favorably drier weather returned to the western and central Gulf Coast States in July, although there were

lingering crop-quality concerns related to late-spring and early-summer downpours. Meanwhile, pockets of

dryness redeveloped in the Southeast, particularly across central Georgia. Farther north, excessive rainfall in

the northern Mid-Atlantic States caused local flooding, slowed fieldwork, and increased crop disease

concerns. Much more favorable conditions prevailed in the Corn Belt, where occasional showers benefited

blooming to pod-setting soybeans and pollinating to filling corn. Frequent showers and thunderstorms

peppered the central and southern Plains, maintaining abundant soil moisture reserves for pastures and

summer crops, but causing local wind, hail, and flash flood damage. Meanwhile on the northern High Plains,

scattered showers locally improved topsoil moisture but provided only limited relief from long-term drought. 

Similar conditions existed across the Southwest and Intermountain West, where showers associated with the

monsoon (summer rainy season) aided rangelands and eased irrigation requirements, but barely dented multiyear precipitation deficits. Farther west, hot, mostly dry weather prevailed in the Pacific Coast States,

promoting fieldwork and small grain maturation but maintaining heavy irrigation demands and stressing

pastures and rangelands.

Despite cool July weather, crop development remained ahead of the normal pace across much of the Midwest,

in part due to a rapid planting pace prior to May 10. In the northwestern Corn Belt, however, where

persistently cool weather arrived in May, crop developmental delays became more pronounced, especially

with respect to late-planted corn and soybeans. On the northern Plains, cool weather slowed small grain

development, including winter wheat maturation. Monthly temperatures generally ranged from 3 to 5 degrees

F below normal across the central Plains and western Corn Belt. In fact, near-normal temperatures east of the

Rockies were confined to the northern High Plains, the Southeast, and areas along and near the Gulf Coast. 

In contrast, hot weather prevailed in most areas west of the Rockies. Monthly temperatures averaged at least

5 degrees F above normal at several locations in the Northwest.

July Crop Summary

In the Corn Belt, temperatures were below normal through most of the month, with near normal precipitation. 

Crop development fell behind the normal pace in the northern parts of the region. Elsewhere in the Corn

Belt, progress remained ahead of normal, mostly due to early planting and rapid development in previous

months. Below-normal temperatures also prevailed across the Great Plains. Moderate to heavy precipitation

caused some flooding in the central and southern Plains, while the Dakotas remained mostly dry. Crops

developed slowly, falling behind the normal pace in the northern and central areas of the region. Early in the

month, heavy rainfall hampered fieldwork and flooded fields in the Mississippi Delta, but drier weather

through month’s end helped to alleviate wet conditions. Temperatures were below normal for the month,

holding crop progress behind the normal pace. Temperatures were slightly above normal along the southern

Atlantic Coast, but below normal elsewhere in the Southeast. Precipitation was near normal in the Southeast,

with the heaviest rainfall in the first and last weeks of the month. Crops developed steadily and remained

ahead of normal. In the northern and central Atlantic Coast States, temperatures were near to below normal,

while periods of locally heavy rainfall soaked fields and pastures and delayed fieldwork in the Northeast. The

Rocky Mountains were mostly dry, though scattered showers brought relief to some areas. Temperatures

were below normal in the eastern and southern parts of the region but above normal elsewhere. Further west,

along the Pacific Coast, conditions were hot and dry, causing increased demands on irrigation supplies.

Corn silking began the month of July ahead of the normal pace, but fell behind normal during the month as

cool weather slowed crop development, particularly in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By

August 1, eighty-four percent of the crop was at the silking stage or beyond, 3 percentage points ahead of last

year but 2 points behind normal. The corn crops in North Dakota and Wisconsin were 35 and 28 points

behind their respective 5-year averages. Doughing, at 28 percent complete by month’s end, was 12 points

ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal. Progress was ahead of normal in the Corn Belt, except in

Minnesota and Wisconsin. At this same time, 7 percent of the crop had reached the dent stage, compared

with 4 percent last year and 5 percent for the 5-year average.

Winter wheat harvest fell slightly behind the normal pace during July, as rainfall in the Great Plains and Corn

Belt hindered fieldwork. On August 1, growers had harvested 88 percent of their acreage, 3 points behind

last year and 1 point behind normal. Harvest was complete in most States at that time, but was well behind

normal in Montana, where just 11 percent of the crop had been harvested, compared with the 5-year average
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 37 NASS, USDA

pace of 43 percent. Michigan growers harvested nearly two-thirds of their acreage during the last 2 weeks of

the month but remained 5 points behind normal.

The cotton crop advanced through the squaring stage at or ahead of the normal pace through most of July,

reaching 96 percent complete by month’s end, 3 points ahead of last year but even with the 5-year average. 

Squaring was complete in most States and nearing completion everywhere except the southern Great Plains. 

Boll setting also progressed ahead of the normal pace through most of the month but finished the month at the

normal pace. Virginia’s crop was 52 points ahead of the average at mid-month, while North Carolina’s crop

was 35 points ahead. In Texas, the crop began the month setting bolls at the normal pace, but fell to slightly

behind normal by month’s end.

As of August 1, soybean blooming was 84 percent complete, 6 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of

the 5-year average. Blooming progressed steadily early in the month in the central Corn Belt, advancing more

than 45 points in Illinois and Iowa during the first 2 weeks. Progress was ahead of the normal pace at

month’s end in the central Corn Belt, Delta, and Southeast, but behind normal in the northern Corn Belt and

adjacent areas of the Great Plains, where below normal temperatures hindered crop development. 

Forty-nine percent of the acreage had set pods by month’s end, 14 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead

of the 5-year average. As with the blooming stage, pod setting was ahead of normal in the central Corn Belt,

but behind the normal pace in the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt. With 36 percent of the crop

setting pods on August 1, North Dakota’s crop was 26 points behind the average.

The Nation’s sorghum crop was 95 percent planted on July 5, slightly behind the 5-year average. Heading

progressed behind the normal pace, ending the month at 53 percent complete, 1 point behind normal. At that

time, heading was nearly complete in the Delta and was ahead of normal in most States, particularly Illinois

where 81 percent of the acreage was headed, 23 points ahead of the average. However, progress lagged

behind normal in the central Great Plains, by 5 points in Kansas and 10 points in Nebraska. Coloring also

trailed the average pace, reaching 22 percent complete by August 1, three points behind normal. By month’s

end, turning color had begun in all States, except Nebraska and New Mexico. Both Kansas and Texas were

3 points behind the normal pace.

On July 11, eighteen percent of the rice crop was headed, 1 point ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year

average. At that time, heading had begun in all States, and was 19 points ahead of normal in California,

where warm, dry conditions prevailed throughout the month, but 13 points behind normal in Texas. Progress

slipped behind the average for 2 weeks, but had advanced ahead of the normal pace by month’s end. As of

August 1, heading was 56 percent complete, 3 points ahead of normal. Heading was most advanced in

Louisiana and Texas, at 85 and 80 percent, respectively, but both States were behind their average pace. 

Arkansas’s crop remained behind normal throughout the month but, with one-fourth of the acreage heading in

the final week, pulled to within 1 point of the 5-year average. Meanwhile, heading was over 20 points ahead

of normal in California and Missouri.

After trailing the 5-year average throughout most of July, spring wheat heading reached 98 percent complete

by month’s end, 1 point behind last year but the same as normal. Heading was complete in Idaho, South

Dakota, and Washington and nearly complete elsewhere. At that time, 5 percent of the crop had been

harvested in the 6 major-producing States, 6 points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. 

Growers had begun harvesting in all States, except Montana. Harvest progress was 13 points ahead of normal

in Washington, where warm, dry weather prevailed, and 1 point ahead in Idaho but behind the average pace

elsewhere.

Barley heading was 48 percent complete on July 5, ten points behind last year and 1 point behind normal, but

remained ahead of the normal pace thereafter. By July 26, ninety-seven percent of the acreage was headed,

the same as last year but 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. Heading was complete in Washington and

nearly complete elsewhere. By month’s end, producers had harvested 5 percent of the crop, 6 points behind

last year and 2 points behind normal. Harvest had begun in all States but was behind the average in

Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota.

By July 26, ninety-eight percent of the oat crop was headed, the same as last year and the 5-year average. 

Heading was complete in most States, but trailed slightly behind the normal pace in Minnesota and

Pennsylvania. Harvest was 5 percent complete on July 19, four points behind normal, and slipped further

behind through the end of the month. On August 1, growers had reaped 29 percent of their acreage, 7 points
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 38 NASS, USDA

behind last year and 8 points behind normal. Harvest had begun in all States, but was behind the normal

pace. Producers were 17 points behind the average in Ohio and South Dakota, but just 2 points behind in

Nebraska and North Dakota.

Peanut pegging was ahead of normal through most of July. By month’s end, 96 percent of the crop was at or

beyond the pegging stage, compared with 91 percent for last year and the 5-year average. At that time,

pegging was ahead of normal in all States. The peanut crops in Alabama and Virginia were 12 and 13 points

ahead of normal, respectively, while all other States were ahead by 5 points or less.

Corn for Grain: U.S. farmers expect to harvest 73.4 million acres of corn for grain, virtually unchanged

from June but up 3 percent from 2003. Planted area, at 81.0 million acres, is unchanged from June.

As of August 1, seventy-six percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, up 5 percentage points from last

month and 9 points above a year ago. In the Corn Belt, temperatures were below normal through most of July

with above normal precipitation. Below normal temperatures also prevailed across the Great Plains as

moderate to heavy precipitation caused some flooding in the central and southern parts of the region, while

the Dakotas remained mostly dry. Yields are higher in most of the Corn Belt and Great Plains States as

weather conditions have been favorable during much of the growing season.

The August 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest stalk and ear counts on record for the combined

10 Objective Yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South

Dakota, and Wisconsin). (In a program expansion, Objective Yield data are now being collected for Kansas,

Missouri, and South Dakota). Of the 23 non-Objective Yield States, 11 States are expecting higher yields

than 2003. The largest increases are expected in Maryland, Oklahoma, Texas, and Virginia.

Corn silking began the month ahead of the normal pace, but fell behind normal during the month as cool

weather slowed crop development, particularly in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By

August 1, eighty-four percent of the crop was at the silking stage or beyond, 3 percentage points ahead of last

year but 2 points behind normal. North Dakota’s and Wisconsin’s crops were 35 and 28 points behind their

respective 5-year averages. Doughing, at 28 percent complete by month’s end, was 12 points ahead of last

year and 4 points ahead of normal but lagged behind the average in several States. At this same time,

7 percent of the crop had reached the dent stage, compared with 4 percent last year and 5 percent for the

5-year average.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 465 million bushels, up 13 percent from 2003. Area harvested for grain

is forecast at 6.92 million acres, unchanged from June but down 11 percent from last year. Based on

August 1 conditions, the yield is forecast at 67.2 bushels per acre, up 14.5 bushels from last year. Yield

increases are expected in 9 of the top 11 producing States. Kansas, the leading sorghum producer, is

expecting a yield of 72 bushels per acre, up 27 bushels from last year. Texas, the second leading producer,

expects a yield of 61 bushels per acre, up 7 bushels from 2003. Yields are expected to decrease in the Delta

region, where excessive moisture has adversely affected the crop. 

Sorghum progressed near normal, with 53 percent headed on August 1, but well ahead of last year’s pace of

44 percent. Above normal precipitation throughout most of the Great Plains has aided development and

improved crop conditions considerably compared to last year. On August 1, seventy-two percent of the

sorghum crop was rated good to excellent, compared to 30 percent at this time last year.

Oats: Production is forecast at 128 million bushels, 5 percent above the July 1 forecast, but 12 percent below

last year’s 145 million bushels. Area for harvest is forecast at 1.94 million acres, unchanged from July but

down 13 percent from last year. The forecasted yield is 66.0 bushels per acre, 3.1 bushels above last month

and up 1.0 bushel from 2003. If realized, this would be a record high yield.

Crop development during July continued to lag behind normal across most of the Northern Great Plains and

Corn Belt region. In the northern Great Plains, moderate temperatures and adequate moisture provided

favorable growing conditions. In North Dakota, yield increased 10 bushels from last month, while in South

Dakota, yield increased 8 bushels. On August 1, twenty-nine percent of the acreage was harvested, compared

to 37 percent for the 5-year average, and 36 percent last year. The crop was most advanced in Iowa and

Nebraska, where 78 percent and 85 percent of the acreage was harvested, respectively. In North Dakota, the
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 39 NASS, USDA

largest producer of oats, 4 percent of the acreage was harvested, compared with 8 percent in 2003. 

Nationally, crop conditions were 65 percent good to excellent on August 1, identical to last year.

Barley: Production for 2004 is forecast at 273 million bushels, up 4 percent from the July forecast but

1 percent below 2003. Based on August 1 conditions, producers expect to harvest an average of 65.7 bushels

per acre, up 2.2 bushels from July and up 6.8 bushels from last year. If realized this would be a record high

yield. Area harvested, at 4.15 million acres, is unchanged from the July estimate but down 11 percent from

2003. Increases in yield and production from last month were concentrated in the Dakotas, Idaho, Minnesota,

and Delaware. Yield in Idaho is at a record high 84 bushels per acre with condition rated 90 percent good to

excellent. As of August 1, sixty-five percent of North Dakota’s crop was turning color or beyond, behind last

year’s 79 percent but near the 5-year average. Seventy-two percent of North Dakota’s crop was rated in good

to excellent condition. Only Colorado and Wyoming posted declines in yield since July.

Winter Wheat: Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 34.8 million, unchanged from last month but down

5 percent from last year. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing States had reached 88 percent complete

by August 1. This is 3 percentage points behind last year and 1 point behind the 5-year average. Hard Red

Winter (HRW) harvest was nearly complete in the central and southern Great Plains. Harvest was virtually

complete in most Soft Red Winter (SRW) States.

Forecasted HRW yields in the northern Great Plains are well above last month. Producers indicate better than

expected yields, due to favorable weather during the grain filling period. Slight yield changes are forecasted

this month in several States across the central portion of the SRW growing area. Yields in all other SRW

States are equal to a month ago. White Wheat yield forecasts are higher than a month ago in all 3 Pacific

Northwest States. In Idaho, excellent irrigated winter wheat yields, combined with good dryland yields, are

expected to result in the second highest winter wheat yield on record.

Durum Wheat: Planted area is estimated at 2.59 million acres, 150,000 acres less than last month and

11 percent below the 2003 total. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 2.52 million acres, also down

150,000 acres from last month and 12 percent less than last year. Planted area and acres harvested for grain

in North Dakota were both reduced by 150,000 acres as farmers were not able to plant originally intended

Durum acres due to persistent wet weather through the middle of June. As of August 1, fifty-five percent of

the Durum crop in North Dakota (which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. harvested acreage), was rated

good to excellent. This is slightly below both last month and last year. Yield prospects in Montana are better

than last month, due to favorable July weather.

Other Spring Wheat: Area harvested for grain is forecast at 13.2 million acres, unchanged from last month

but down 2 percent from last year. Acreage was 5 percent harvested as of August 1 in the 6 major producing

States, 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Harvest had begun in all 6 States, except Montana.

Crop development in Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota (which account for 79 percent of the harvested

acreage) was slowed by cool, wet weather during the early part of July. Despite more favorable weather near

the end of the month, crop development remains behind normal. Topsoil moisture in the northwest portion of

Minnesota, where most of their spring wheat is grown, has been adequate to surplus throughout the growing

season. Harvest is underway in the southern counties of North Dakota. The South Dakota forecasted yield is

equal to last year’s record high. Although the Montana crop developed rapidly during the latter half of July, it

is still well behind normal.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.32 billion pounds, up 4 percent from last year’s crop and up 30 percent

from 2002. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.35 million acres, unchanged from June but up 3 percent

from 2003. Yields are expected to average a record high 3,198 pounds per acre, 39 pounds per acre above

last year. Planted acres, at 1.39 million, are unchanged from the June estimate but 3 percent above 2003.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total

2.92 billion pounds, up 5 percent from last year’s level. Yields in the 4-State area are expected to average

3,183 pounds per acres, 55 pounds below 2003. Expected area for harvest, at 918,000 acres, is unchanged

from June but up 7 percent from the previous year. Planted acres, at 940,000, are also unchanged from June

but up 7 percent from 2003. As of August 1, peanuts pegging in Alabama, at 96 percent, exceeded the 5-year

average by 12 percentage points. Florida peanuts pegging, at 95 percent, were ahead of average by
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 40 NASS, USDA

5 percentage points. Georgia peanuts pegging, at 99 percent, exceeded the 5-year average by 4 percentage

points.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 441 million pounds, up 6 percent from 2003. Yield is

forecast at 3,176 pounds per acre, up 50 pounds per acre from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total

139,000 acres, unchanged from June but up 5 percent from the previous year. Planted acres, at 140,000, are

also unchanged from June but up 4 percent from 2003. As of August 1, the North Carolina peanut crop had

reached 100 percent pegging, 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Virginia peanuts pegging, at

94 percent, exceeded the 5-year average by 13 percentage points. 

The Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 957 million

pounds, up less than 1 percent from 2003. Yields are expected to average 3,255 pounds per acre for the

region, 293 pounds above the 2003 level. A record yield is forecast for Oklahoma. The region’s area for

harvest, at 294,000 acres, is unchanged from June but 9 percent below the 2003 level. Acres planted to

peanuts in the region, at 306,000, are also unchanged from June but 7 percent below 2003. Peanuts pegging

in Oklahoma, at 96 percent complete on August 1, were 4 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. 

Texas peanuts pegging, at 88 percent complete, exceeded the 5-year average by 2 percentage points.

Rice: Production is forecast at 222 million cwt, up 11 percent from last year and up 5 percent from 2002. 

Area for harvest is expected to total 3.32 million acres, unchanged from June but up 11 percent from last year. 

Rice plantings, at 3.35 million acres, were also unchanged from the June estimate. Yields are forecast at a

record high 6,680 pounds per acre, up 35 pounds from 2003. 

Arkansas and Missouri are forecast to set record high yields, at 6,650 pounds per acre and 6,250 pounds per

acre, respectively. As of August 1, the percent of the crop heading in California and Missouri was 21 and

23 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average, respectively. The percent of rice heading in Arkansas,

Louisiana, and Mississippi was within 2 percentage points of the 5-year average, and Texas lagged the 5-year

average by 14 percentage points. Rice harvest is underway in Louisiana and Texas. Crop condition was rated

68 percent good to excellent across the rice producing States.

Soybeans: Area planted, at 74.8 million acres, is unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2003. U.S.

farmers expect to harvest 73.7 million acres, unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2003 acreage. In

Indiana, area for harvest is down 20,000 acres due to flooding, which was offset by slight increases in

harvested acres for Arkansas and Georgia.

As of August 1, seventy percent of the U.S. soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 7 percentage points

more than the same week in 2003. During July, adequate moisture supplies and below normal temperatures

helped maintain good crop conditions. Development continued ahead to near-normal in most areas, but

lagged behind in the Great Lake States and the Dakotas. Yields are above last year’s level in all areas outside

the Delta and most of the Southeast, where yields are down from the record levels of 2003. The largest yield

increases are expected in Kansas and Iowa.

In the 7 major soybean producing States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio),

the average planting date was 6 days ahead of last year and 8 days ahead of 2002. By August 1, eightyfour percent of the crop was blooming, 6 percentage points ahead of last year and one point ahead of the

average. Forty-nine percent of the acreage was setting pods, compared to last year’s 35 percent and the 5-year

average of 46 percent.

Cotton: Upland cotton growers planted 13.6 million acres, down 78,000 from the June estimate, but up

2 percent from a year ago. Growers expect to harvest 13.1 million acres, 10 percent more than the previous

year. American-Pima cotton producers planted 252,000 acres, up 73,400 acres from last year. Expected

harvested area, at 250,000 acres, is up 41 percent from last year. 

Cotton farmers in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and

Virginia) rated the condition of the cotton as mostly fair to good. Development has been ahead of average,

especially in North Carolina and Virginia. Ideal weather conditions allowed growers to plant earlier than

normal. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 41 NASS, USDA

Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) planted the

crop on time despite scattered showers disrupting fieldwork activities. In Louisiana, excessive weed problems

arose due to the abundance of precipitation. The crop made good progress in late July under ideal growing

conditions, although development varied widely as a result of earlier weather conditions.

Upland cotton producers in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and New Mexico were able to plant their cotton at or

ahead of the 5-year average. Planting in the Rio Grande Valley began in late February and by late March

planting was complete. By late April, planting was underway in the Texas Panhandle and Oklahoma. By the

end of June, planting in Oklahoma, Kansas, and central Texas was virtually complete. Timely rains aided

germination. Dryland acreage on the High Plains also received some timely rains, allowing planting to

proceed. During late June, high winds and hail damaged some High Plains cotton. Despite cooler, wetter

conditions the crop was rated good to excellent.

Upland cotton planting conditions in California were warmer than normal early in the planting season. 

Despite the early warm weather, most growers delayed planting for more traditional planting dates due to

erratic spring weather in the prior years. The continued warm weather conditions in June and July promoted

crop development ahead of the 5-year average. Excellent weather conditions allowed the crop to develop

ahead of average in Arizona, where producers rated their crop good to excellent.

American-Pima production is forecast at 703,000 bales, up 63 percent from last year's output. The U.S. Pima

yield is forecast at 1,350 pounds per harvested acre, 180 pounds above the previous year. If realized, this will

be a record high U.S. yield. California growers expect yields to average 1,403 pounds per acre, up

209 pounds from last year and up 17 pounds from their previous record high established in 2002. The

weather conditions in California were unseasonably warm the first few weeks of March. Most fields were

planted by the first week in May. Weather conditions remained favorable, promoting rapid growth and

development. Unlike 2003, there has been no major insect pressure.

Ginnings totaled 48,350 running bales prior to August 1, compared with 28,500 running bales ginned prior to

the same date last year and 55,600 running bales in 2002.

Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 21.3 million cwt in 2004, down 5 percent from last

year and 30 percent below two years ago. 

Acreage adjustments since the June Acreage Report lowered planted acreage estimates 4 percent and reduced

harvested expectations by 2 percent. Planted area is now estimated at 1.36 million acres, 3 percent below last

year and down 30 percent from two years ago. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.30 million acres, down

3 percent from last year and 25 percent below 2002. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,639 pounds per

acre, a loss of 33 pounds from last year and 104 pounds less than two years ago. 

Production is expected to be below last year in 10 of the 18 producing States. These decreases are mostly the

result of lower acreage. North Dakota growers expect to decrease production 1 percent from 2003. 

Nebraska’s production forecast is down 39 percent from 2003, while California's prospects are 7 percent

below last year. Wyoming growers expect an 8 percent drop in production, while New York and Texas are

declining 21 percent and 63 percent, respectively. The production forecast in New Mexico has dropped

25 percent, Wisconsin’s is down 2 percent, and growers in Kansas and Oregon expect decreases of 55 percent

and 31 percent, respectively. Michigan’s growers expect to increase production 20 percent from last year and

Minnesota’s production is 3 percent above 2003. Producers in Idaho expect a 12 percent increase, while in 

Washington and Montana they expect a 5 percent and 46 percent increase, respectively. Production in South

Dakota is expected to increase 35 percent, Utah 63 percent, and less than 1 percent in Colorado. A cool, wet

spring and summer have delayed the crop in the northern mid west States. In North Dakota, as of August 1,

only 17 percent of the crop was podding, behind the 5-year average of 53 percent. Despite the late start, the

crop is rated as good to fair in most areas and yields are expected to be average. In New York, a wet spring

that continued through June and July resulted in dry bean planting being cut short. In Wyoming, dry bean

progress is about 10 days behind the 5-year average with 95 percent of the crop rated fair to good. In Idaho,

July temperatures were above normal but not as hot as the past 2 years. This should result in a better pod set. 

California growers have observed steady growth and development. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 42 NASS, USDA

U.S. planted area’s of black and navy beans are up 67 percent and 21 percent from last year, respectively. 

Great Northern acreage decreased 53 percent, blackeyes are down 49 percent, and cranberry beans are down

15 percent. Small reds, pinks, small whites, and pintos are down 12 percent, 9 percent, 4 percent, and

3 percent, respectively. Lima beans are down 22 percent for large and 6 percent for baby. Kidney beans are

down 18 percent for light but up 8 percent for dark. Chickpea (garbanzo) acreage has increased 10 percent

for smalls (smaller than 20/64 in.) but fallen 7 percent for large (larger than 20/64 in.). Pinto beans make up

47 percent of planted dry bean acreage this year; navies account for 14 percent; blacks have 10 percent;

kidney beans combine for 8 percent; great northern take 4 percent; and all chickpeas account for 3 percent. 

The remaining 14 percent are distributed among the other classes.

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 77.3 million tons, up 1 percent from last year. 

Yields are expected to average 3.48 tons per acre, 0.24 ton above last year. Harvested area is 22.2 million

acres, down 6 percent from 2003.

Yields throughout the Great Plains and Corn Belt increased from last year. Adequate rainfall and moderate

temperatures through July promoted early season hay growth and provided ideal growing conditions in many

areas. In much of the Rocky Mountains, yields are expected to decrease from last year. Extreme weather,

ranging from hot and dry conditions to monsoonal rains, have adversely impacted yields.

Other Hay: Production is forecast at 84.5 million tons, up 5 percent from 2003. Based on August 1

conditions, yields are expected to average 2.15 tons per acre. If realized, this would be a record high yield,

breaking last year’s previous record of 2.03 tons. Harvested area is 39.4 million acres, unchanged from the

June forecast but down 1 percent from last year.

Mild temperatures and adequate rainfall throughout July resulted in record yields in several Great Plains

States. Texas, the leading producer, expects a yield of 2.50 tons per acre, up 0.20 ton from 2003, while

Missouri, the second largest producer, expects a yield of 2.20 tons per acre, up 0.40 ton from last year. Yields

are expected to be down from last year in North Dakota and South Dakota, as wet and dry weather extremes

have had adverse effects.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 2004 is forecast at 885 million pounds, up 10 percent from

2003 and 2 percent above 2002. Area for harvest is forecast at 413,550 acres, 1 percent above 2003. Yields

for 2004 are expected to average 2,140 pounds per acre, 188 pounds higher than a year ago. Yields in North

Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are expected to be higher than last year by 337 pounds. 

Kentucky, the second leading State, expects yields to average 32 pounds above last year.

Flue-cured tobacco production is expected to total 517 million pounds, virtually unchanged from the previous

forecast but 13 percent higher than the 2003 crop. Growers plan to harvest 231,000 acres in 2004, down

1 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,238 pounds per acre, down 6 pounds from the July

1 forecast but 281 pounds higher than the previous year. Good weather in most of the flue-cured producing

areas has caused an increase in yield potential compared to last year. Most growers rate their crop good to

excellent.

Burley production is expected to total 298 million pounds, 6 percent above a year ago. Yields are expected to

average 1,908 pounds per acre, up 58 pounds from 2003. Burley growers plan to harvest 156,300 acres,

3 percent above a year ago. Kentucky’s acreage, at 105,000, is 2 percent above last year. Persistent wet

weather has adversely affected the State’s crop but yield prospects are still higher than last year. Blue mold is

active in the State but insect pressure appears to be minimal.

Fire-cured tobacco production is expected to total 36.6 million pounds, up 6 percent from 2003. Growers

plan to harvest 11,720 acres, 4 percent above a year ago. The expected average yield is 3,120 pounds per

acre, 53 pounds higher than the previous year.

Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production is expected to total 6.66 million pounds, up 59 percent from

2003. Average yields are expected to increase 269 pounds from last year. A total of 3,300 acres is expected

to be harvested, up 38 percent from 2003.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 43 NASS, USDA

Dark air-cured production is expected to total 12.1 million pounds, up 7 percent from 2003. Growers plan to

harvest 4,230 acres, 2 percent more than last year. Yields are expected to average 2,865 pounds per acre, up

139 pounds from last year.

All Cigar types production is expected to total 14.3 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from last year. 

Overall yield is expected to average 2,044 pounds per acre, up 181 pounds from 2003. Growers of Cigar type

tobacco plan to harvest 7,000 acres, 8 percent less than a year ago.

Sugarbeets: Production for 2004 is forecast at 28.4 million tons. If realized, this would be 7 percent below

last year's production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.33 million acres, up

1 percent from the June estimate but 2 percent below last year. The yield is forecast at 21.4 tons per acre,

1.3 tons below 2003. Only California’s yield is forecast higher than 2003. The condition of the sugarbeet

crop in both Minnesota and North Dakota was rated below this time last year. Idaho’s crop is progressing

well, especially since the availability of water in the eastern part of the State has improved during July.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2004 is forecast at 32.4 million tons, 4 percent

below last year. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 971,600 acres for sugar and seed during the 2004 crop

year, 2 percent less than last year's final harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 33.4 tons per acre, 0.6 ton below

the yield for 2003. Recent rainfall in Florida boosted crop growth. Louisiana’s August 1 crop condition was

rated 76 percent good to excellent.

Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 24,500 tons, up

50 percent from last year and 57 percent above 2002. The Oregon forecast, at 14,000 tons, is more than

double the weather reduced crop in 2003 and 75 percent above 2002. An early, warm spring, combined with

excellent weather conditions during bloom, contributed to the large crop. Growing conditions have been

excellent throughout the Willamette Valley. If realized, this would be Oregon’s largest crop since 1994. 

Washington’s forecast, at 5,000 tons, is up 6 percent from 2003 but 7 percent below 2002. Mild spring

conditions in the Yakima Valley were favorable for prune production. Warm weather pushed bloom ahead of

normal and provided good conditions for pollination. The Idaho forecast is 3,000 tons, 20 percent larger than

last year and 50 percent greater than 2002. Weather has been generally favorable for the crop. Michigan’s

production is forecast at 2,500 tons, 31 percent below 2003 but 10 times larger than the frost devastated crop

of 2002. A hard freeze during early May in the southwestern portion of the State has reduced the crop’s

potential for 2004.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.81 million pounds for July, up 2 percent from last

month but 18 percent lower than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 1,995 acres, down less than 1 percent from

last month and 8 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,060 acres, virtually unchanged from

last month but 32 percent below July 2003. Weather over the major producing areas was variable during July

with mostly sunny skies and periods of light showers providing good growing conditions.

Hops: Hop production in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 55.5 million pounds for 2004, up

2 percent from last year but 5 percent less than the 2002 crop. Area strung for harvest, at 28,019 acres, is

2 percent below 2003 and 4 percent below the acreage strung for harvest two years ago. Yield is estimated at

1,982 pounds per acre for the Pacific Northwest, 79 pounds more than 2003 but 8 pounds less than 2002.

Washington’s yield is forecast at 2,120 pounds per acre for the 2004 crop, 70 pounds more than last year. 

Oregon’s yield is forecast at 1,700 pounds per acre, up 74 pounds from 2003. In Idaho, yields are expected to

average 1,630 pounds per acre, 94 pounds higher than a year ago. Only Oregon is forecasting a decrease in

total production from the 2003 crop.

Throughout the Pacific Northwest, conditions have been extremely hot and dry this summer. This is good for

most super alpha varieties, but not as favorable for the Nuggets and aroma type varieties. However, water

availability has not been an issue and powdery mildew has been minimal to nonexistent. Harvest should

begin for some Oregon growers around mid-August, with the majority of other Pacific Northwest growers

starting closer to August 25.

Olives: The 2004 California olive crop is forecast at 85,000 tons, 28 percent below the previous year’s crop

of 118,000 tons. The decrease reflects the low year of an alternate bearing cycle. Also, hot weather during
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 44 NASS, USDA

bloom resulted in a poor fruit set, primarily in the Sevillano variety. The Manzanillo variety, however, has a

heavy fruit set with good quality. Many of the olives are in the tops of the trees, making their harvest

difficult. Manzanillo and Sevillano varieties are expected to account for 82 percent and 15 percent of total

production, respectively. “All Other” varieties account for the remainder.

Peaches: The U.S. peach production forecast is 2.60 billion pounds, 1 percent below the July forecast but

3 percent above 2003. Michigan’s crop expectations were lowered from 43.0 million pounds to 41.0 million

pounds. New Jersey’s forecast, at 65.0 million pounds, is 5.00 million pounds less than the July forecast. 

Pennsylvania’s forecast decreased from 54.0 million to 52.0 million pounds. Washington’s forecast

decreased from 40.0 million to 35.0 million pounds, while South Carolina, at 140 million pounds, remains

unchanged from July.

In Michigan, peaches are being harvested throughout the State. X disease has been reported in many blocks. 

Also, split pits, common in early varieties due to excess moisture, are continuing to show up. Overall, fruit

color and quality are very good. Producers in New Jersey began peach harvest earlier than usual. Fruit

quality and size were generally good. Frequent rainfall and scattered thunderstorms after mid-July not only

interrupted the harvest schedule but also caused fruit to crack.

Pennsylvania peach growers anticipate harvesting fewer peaches than reported in July. Consistent rainfall,

coupled with hail and high winds, caused reduction in both quantity and quality. Disease pressure has been

high due to the wet conditions. Brown rot has been common. The periodical cicada caused some damage,

especially in young orchards. Approximately 40 percent of the State’s 2004 peach crop was harvested as of

August 1. In South Carolina, weather conditions have been favorable for fruit development. Moisture was

short in the spring, but adequate for bloom. Precipitation was well above normal during June and July. In

Washington, springtime conditions were relatively mild across the State. Many areas received tree damage

from a hard freeze in October 2003 and sub-zero temperatures in January 2004. As harvest progressed during

July, early season expectations did not materialize as yields in many areas were lower than forecasted

previously. 

The U.S. Freestone crop is forecast at 1.45 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the July forecast but virtually

unchanged from 2003. The California Freestone crop is 780 million pounds, down 6 percent from last year

and 2 percent below 2002.

California’s Clingstone crop is 1.15 billion pounds, 7 percent above last year and 2 percent greater than the

2002 season.

Apples: The first production forecast for the 2004 crop year is 9.37 billion pounds, up 9 percent from last

year and 10 percent above 2002. Compared to 2003, production increases in the Eastern and Western States

more than offset a projected decrease in the Central States. 

The Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) production is forecast at 5.99 billion pounds, up

15 percent from last year and 1 percent above 2002. Washington, which makes up 56 percent of the U.S.

production, is forecasting 5.20 billion pounds of apples. Washington is up 16 percent from last year and

2 percent above 2002. The major apple producing areas in the State experienced a mild spring and excellent

weather conditions during bloom. This resulted in a good fruit set. Most growers initiated aggressive fruit

thinning this season. Wind and hail damage during May impacted only a small percentage of the crop. A

warm spring with few weather related problems contributed to a promising California crop, forecast at

440 million pounds, 2 percent below last season. The spring heat wave, however, contributed to smaller sized

fruit. Harvest began eight days earlier than normal for the Gala variety. Color and overall quality are

excellent. Oregon’s production is forecast at 170 million pounds, 26 percent above 2003. A warm spring and

excellent weather during pollination combined to increase expected production from last year. Crop

development is also ahead of schedule, with harvest likely to begin earlier than normal.

Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV) is

forecast at 2.26 billion pounds, up 3 percent from last year and 26 percent above 2002. New York’s crop is

forecast at 1.05 billion pounds, up 6 percent from last year’s crop and 54 percent above the weather reduced

crop of 2002. Across New York, growers were experiencing overall good fruit quality and fruit set. May

hailstorms caused damage in some orchards in the eastern part of the state. Pennsylvania’s forecast, at
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 45 NASS, USDA

428 million pounds, is a decrease of 3 percent from 2003 but 16 percent above 2002. The crop has sized

well due to ample rainfall and growers’ use of thinning agents. A crop of 260 million pounds is forecast for

Virginia, 4 percent less than last year but 4 percent above 2002. Some areas experienced losses due to late

frost and cold temperatures during April and May. However, conditions were favorable during bloom with a

good fruit set. Above average rainfall contributed to large fruit size but made it difficult to keep a regular

spray regiment. 

Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is forecast at

1.12 billion pounds, a decrease of 7 percent from 2003 but 36 percent above 2002. Michigan’s production

forecast is 760 million pounds, down 10 percent from last year’s crop but 46 percent above the weather

reduced crop of 2002. Michigan experienced severe frosts in May, and early summer hailstorms, which

lowered prospective production. The harvest of summer varieties has begun. Ohio’s forecast is 89.0 million

pounds, 1 percent below 2003 but 27 percent above 2002. Weather conditions have been wet and cool

through the spring and summer. Production in Wisconsin is forecast at 62.0 million pounds, down 9 percent

from 2003 but 7 percent above 2002. Cool and wet conditions during the spring contributed to the drop in

production.

Pears: U.S. pear production for 2004 is forecast at 908,040 tons, down 2 percent from last year but 2 percent

above 2002. Bartlett pear production for California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 457,000 tons,

1 percent above the June forecast but virtually unchanged from a year ago. Other pear production in the

Pacific Coast States is expected to total 424,000 tons, 4 percent below last year but virtually unchanged from

2002.

Bartlett production for California is forecast at 230,000 tons, up 7 percent from the June forecast and

6 percent above 2003. Harvesting of Bartlett pears in abundant quantities continues in the Central Valley,

with the transition to the Lake-Mendocino district currently underway. Harvest began early this season as the

crop matured quickly under ideal weather conditions. The favorable growing conditions also resulted in a

crop with high sugar content, large fruit sizes, and good external quality. Production in Oregon is forecast at

57,000 tons, down 8 percent from the previous forecast but 6 percent above 2003. Summer harvest of the

pear crop began in the lower Hood River Valley and in southern Oregon. Pears in the Willamette Valley

continue to size. Weather conditions have been good to excellent except for a passing hail storm which

caused some light bruising in the affected growing areas. In Washington, Bartlett production is forecast at

170,000 tons, down 3 percent from the June forecast and 8 percent below the previous season. Washington

growers experienced a very early spring, with warmer than normal temperatures beginning in late February

bringing fruit trees to full bloom 1 to 2 weeks ahead of schedule. Freezing temperatures at the end of April

caused minimal damage. Hail storms the last week of May caused some damage to the pear crop. This fruit

damage may cause more pears to be diverted to the processing market. Harvest is the early starting 1 to 2

weeks ahead of normal.

Other pear production in California is forecast at 48,000 tons, down 13 percent from 2003 and 7 percent

below two years ago. Non-Bartlett pears continue to be harvested in large quantities, with Red, Bosc, and

Asian pears among the varieties being picked. Overall, crop quality is reported to be very good as a result of

excellent growing conditions this season. In Oregon, the other pear production is forecast at 151,000 tons,

1 percent above last year and 7 percent above 2002. Other pears continue to size Statewide. Growing

conditions have been beneficial for fruit development. Production in Washington is forecast at 225,000 tons,

5 percent below a year ago and 3 percent below 2002. 

The pear crop in New York is forecast at 15,500 tons, unchanged from last year but 55 percent more than two

years ago. The State experienced a series of hail storms and heavy rainfall that caused only minor damage. 

Pennsylvania pear production is forecast at 3,800 tons, 27 percent below last year but unchanged from the

2002 crop. Growers report a poor fruit set due to poor weather during pollination. Hail has caused some

additional problems. The Michigan pear crop is forecast at 4,100 tons, down 15 percent from last year but

almost 3 times above the weather damaged 2002 crop. The State experienced frost damage in the southwest,

while heavy rainfall during pollination disrupted crop development in the west central and northwest.

Production in Connecticut is forecast at 1,000 tons, 23 percent below the previous year’s large crop. A warm

start to the season was favorable for pear development with full bloom reported by mid-May. Set was

reported as average with fruit size medium. In Colorado, production is forecast at 2,300 tons, 18 percent
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 46 NASS, USDA

below last year’s crop and 4 percent less than the 2002 crop. A few late frosts hurt small producers without

frost protection devices. Larger producers with such devices fared well this year. Adequate irrigation water is

expected throughout the growing season. Conditions have been normal in the major growing areas. Pear

production in Utah is forecast at 340 tons, down 24 percent from the previous season but 6 percent above the

2002 crop. Growers report insects, poor pollination, frost, and blight have caused damage to the pear crop.

Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 8.30 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 2003-04

season, up 11 percent from the previous crop year. Harvested area is estimated at 5,900 acres, unchanged

from the 2002-03 season. Increased production from the islands of Kauai, Maui, Molokai, and Oahu is

expected to more than offset lower production from the island of Hawaii. Improved cultural practices and

adequate irrigation are expected to boost production on these islands. Hawaii Island experienced dry weather

during the flowering and maturing stages, resulting in smaller-sized coffee beans compared to the

2002/03 season.

Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecast at 6.36 million tons, down 3 percent from 2003 and 13 percent

below the 2002 season. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 90 percent of the total. 

Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 5 percent and 2 percent, respectively. 

California’s all grape forecast, at 5.70 million tons, is unchanged from the July forecast but 2 percent below

2003. Washington expects to harvest 310,000 tons, down 10 percent from 2003. New York’s forecast, at

149,000 tons, is 25 percent below last year.

California’s wine type grape production is expected to total 2.90 million tons, 51 percent of California’s total

grape crop. The production forecast for wine type varieties is unchanged from July and less than 1 percent

below 2003. The wine grape harvest has started in some vineyards. California’s raisin type grape

production is forecast at 2.05 million tons, 36 percent of California’s total grape crop. Production of raisin

varieties is unchanged from the July forecast but down 5 percent from last year. Thompson Seedless variety

grapes are currently being picked for fresh use in the San Joaquin Valley. Production of table type grapes is

forecast at 750,000 tons, 13 percent of the total California crop. The table type production forecast is

unchanged from the July forecast but up 2 percent from last season. Harvest of table grapes is active with

many vineyards reporting they are 2-4 weeks ahead of normal. Flame Seedless, Red Globe, Black Seedless,

and Princess are some of the varieties being harvested.

Washington’s production is forecast at 310,000 tons, down 10 percent from 2003. Production of both juice

and wine varieties is expected to decrease. Wine grape production is forecast at 110,000 tons, 2 percent less

than last season. The juice type grape forecast, at 200,000 tons, is 14 percent below last year. In Benton

County, a major Concord producing area, significant berry drop was reported in early July.

Grape production for New York is forecast at 149,000 tons, down 25 percent from 2003. Growers in the

Finger Lakes region received sub-zero temperatures last winter that injured or killed a significant number of

vines. Long Island grape production is also expected to be low. Lake Erie growers are predicting an average

crop.

Michigan’s grape production is forecast at 70,000 tons, down 26 percent from 2003. A cool, damp spring in

the southwest and northwest regions of the State, combined with rain in the west central region and a heavy

frost in early May in the southwest region have all adversely affected this year’s grape crop.

Pennsylvania’s grape production is forecast at 69,000 tons, down 19 percent from 2003. Disease pressure has

been average to above average due to the wet weather. Consistent rains have made keeping cover sprays on

the crop difficult.

Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production for the 2003-04 season is estimated at 6.00 million pounds,

unchanged from the previous season. Harvested acreage, at 150 acres, declined 6 percent from 2003. The

average yield is 40,000 pounds per harvested acre for the 2003-04 crop year, an increase of 2,500 pounds

above the previous season. Farmers indicated soil-borne diseases such as bacterial wilt and nematodes

continued to keep ginger root yield below expected levels.

Florida Citrus: Rainfall during July was generally below average in most citrus growing areas with some

reporting stations recording only minimal amounts. Temperatures were generally at or above normal levels
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 47 NASS, USDA

with days in the mid to upper 90's and lows in the high 70's. The limited rains occurred in heavy

thunderstorms with severe lightning and sometimes high winds. West coast areas received the most

precipitation with some stations recording over nine inches for the month, but other areas reported only

minimal amounts all month. Many growers and caretakers used irrigation equipment to provide water and

maintain adequate soil moisture levels. Trees in the well cared for groves are reported in good condition

despite infrequent rains. Trees of all ages show a moderate summer flush of new growth. New crop fruit is

progressing well with below to average sizes reported. No abnormal disease or insect outbreaks are reported. 

Caretakers were very active during July mowing, chopping, and discing cover crops. Summer fertilizers were

being applied along with herbicides for weed control. Growers are cutting vines out of their trees. Hedging

and topping slowed during the month. Dead trees are being pushed out and burned. New resets are being

planted in larger groves with permanent irrigation. Planting of grapefruit trees in east coast areas has been

heavy all spring with a temporary shortage of trees reported.

California Citrus: Citrus groves were irrigated, fertilized, and treated for pests. The citrus crop was

developing normally, but intense heat in late July was expected to cause sunburn and some fruit drop. The

Valencia orange harvest remained slow with rind puff observed in some of the larger sized fruit. Picking of

lemons was active in Ventura County. Overall quality remained very good. Marsh Ruby, Marsh White, and

Star Ruby grapefruit varieties were picked in the southern coastal areas. Flavor was very good in the Marsh

Ruby variety.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included

weed control, fungicide applications, and irrigation of trees and vines. Picking and packing in stone fruit

orchards continued at a steady rate. Varieties picked included Elegant Lady, Summer Lady, Sweet Dream,

Zee Lady and Summer Sweet peaches; Arctic Queen and Summer Fire nectarines; Friar and Fortune plums;

and Flavor Grenade and Flavor Queen pluots. Picking of Clingstone peaches continued. Harvesting crews

remained busy throughout the month in table grape vineyards as more varieties reached maturity. Among the

grape varieties harvested were Flame Seedless, Thompson Seedless, and Princess. Wine grape harvesting

commenced in some vineyards in the San Joaquin Valley as fruit maturity reached satisfactory levels. Grape

harvesting for champagne began in parts of Northern California. Field work in raisin, wine, and table grape

vineyards included irrigation, cultivation, and fungicide applications. Harvesting of Gala apples and Asian

pears commenced in the San Joaquin Valley by the end of July. Bartlett pears were harvested, with good

quality reported. Persimmons and pomegranates continued to show good progress with fruit size increasing

steadily and some color showing on fruit. Blackberry and blueberry harvesting neared completion in Tulare

County by the middle of July. Strawberry harvesting continued along the central coast. Figs were harvested in

the San Joaquin Valley. Olive orchards were irrigated and treated to control fruit fly. The kiwifruit crop was

generally normal but with small fruit sizes. Almond harvesting commenced in the San Joaquin Valley by

month’s end. Insecticide treatments to control ants were made in some orchards. In other locations, almond

hull split continued, and growers prepared their orchards for harvest. Crop maturity progressed at a steady

rate in walnut, pecan, and pistachio orchards. Walnuts were treated for codling moth, husk fly, and San Jose

scale.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 48 NASS, USDA

Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective Yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between July 24 and

August 6 to gather information on expected yield as of August 1. The Objective Yield surveys for corn,

cotton, soybeans, and wheat were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about

75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage

data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the Objective Yield survey

(corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat). The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the

maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide

information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, pods, or heads and their weight. The counts are used with

similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is

subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is

harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to

obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal

interviewers. Approximately 27,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked

questions about probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to

provide indications of average yields.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering

weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical

Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB

uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published August 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of

the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings,

feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative

data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the

August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. 

Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each

year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of

September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted

acres will only be made when either special survey data or administrative data are available. Harvested acres

may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested

area has changed since the last forecast.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

August 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root

Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain production forecast is 6.0 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by

more than 6.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 10.4 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the

August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the August 1

forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 333 million bushels, ranging from

16 million bushels to 1.09 billion bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 12 times

and above 8 times. This does not imply that the August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or

overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 49 NASS, USDA

Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn For Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Oats

Barley

Durum Wheat

Other Spring

Winter Wheat

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Dry Edible Beans

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

Cwt

6.0

9.3

12.4

6.7

10.4

9.2

1.2

4.8

6.6

8.2

7.8

10.4

16.1

21.5

11.9

18.1

15.9

2.1

8.3

11.4

14.2

13.4

333

43

17

19

8

40

15

7

121

994

2

16

5

1

2

0

3

0

1

19

34

0

1,085

108

58

69

19

121

34

15

444

3,911

4

12

10

3

13

8

10

4

15

10

10

11

8

10

17

7

12

10

15

5

10

10

9

 1 Quantity is in thousands of units.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2004 50 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (202) 690-3234

Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops (202) 720-7621

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Jim Smith - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

 Tobacco (202) 720-2127

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
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USDA Data User’s Meeting October 18, 2004

Hampton Inn & Suites

Chicago, Illinois

(312) 832-0330

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for Data Users. 

The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural

Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will

also be included in the meeting.

For registration details or additional information for the Data Users’ Meeting, see the NASS homepage at

www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Karlyn McCutcheon (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov.

This Data User’s Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 19, 2004. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim

Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.