ALL HAY

AREA HARVESTED: YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE : : IND: : IND: : 2 IND

: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989: 1990

: 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
AL : 700 750 2.20 2.00 1,500 1,540 1,500
AZ : 185 200 6.92 6.98 1,325 1,280 1,395
AR : 1,000 975 2.23 1,92 1,671 2,228 1,868
CA : 1,670 1,600 5.10 5.18 8,652 8,524 8,292
co 3 1,500 1,450 2.30 2.52 3,957 3,450 3,657
CT : 83 2.06 2.38 188 171 179
DE : 25 23 2.92 2.96 68 73 68
FL 260 280 92.30 2.30 648 598 644
GA 600 570 2.70 2.30 1,254 1,620 1,311
1D 1,120 1,170 3.61 3.56 3,881 4,043 4,164
IL 1,100 900 3.21 3.23 3,310 3,526 2,910
IN 7710 750 3.07 3.19 1,868 2,365 2,395
IA 2,400 1,800 2.77 3.59 6,760 6,650 6,
KS 2,450 2,500 2.29 2.21 5,175 5,620 5,530
KY 2,330 2,200 2.36 2.20 3,811 5,50] 4,848
LA 300 320 2.60 2.70 891 781 864
ME 220 220 «1.91 1.99 386 420 438
MD 240 225 = 2.62 2.71 663 629 609
MA 103 1032.30 2.54 257 237 262
MI 1,550 1,500 3.36 3.87 4,220 §,205 5,800
MN 2,600 2,400 2.46 3.13 6,960 6,400 7,520
MS 650 575 2.40 2.40 1,300 1,560 1,380
MO 3,730 3,680 1.81 2.01 5,088 6,764 7,408
MT 2,350 2,500 1.90 1.75 2,790 4,470 4,370
NE 3,300 3,700 1.76 2.02 6,510 5,800 7,485
NV 520 505 2.81 2.51 1,336 1,463 1,266
NH 76 72 2.20 2.26 179 167 162
Nd 1ll 1102.17 2.35 256 241 259
NM 295 300 4.27 4.13 1,275 1,260 1,239
NY 2,080 2,110 2.18 2.41 4,697 4,538 5,082
NC 515 490 2.25 2.00 797 1,161 981
ND 3,400 3,000 0.89 0.99 1,940 3,020 2,960
OH 1,625 1,500 2.80 3.15 3,543 4,553 4,730
OK 2,400 2,230 2.09 1.71 3,931 5,025 3,810
OR 1,050 1,000 2.75 2.66 2,652 2,890 2,660
PA 1,930 1,900 2.44 2.57 4,564 4,709 4,891
RI 7 2.43 2.40 20 17 1
sc 235 240 2.40 1.90 504 564 456
Sd 4,100 4,200 1.05 1.64 3,910 4,290 6,900
IN 1,700 1,550 2.06 2.17 2,331 3,499 3,359
TX 3,910 3,940 2.45 1.87 5,350 9,582 7,372
UT 600 610 3.31 3.43 2,177 1,986 2,093
VT 2 365 375 2.07 2.12 715 754 794
VA 1,200 1,190 2.14 1.94 2,252 2,565 2,308
WA 780 790 3.61 3.71 2,833 2,814 2,930
Wy : 560 560 1.85 1.91 785 1,036 1,068
WI : 3,600 3,350 2.24 2.87 4,952 8,080 9,600
WY : 1,100 1,240 1.61 1.75 1,878 1,776 2,172
US 63,395 61,734 2 2.40 145,445 148, 462

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-20 USDA, NASS


The yield forecast of 35.1 tons per acre is 0.6 of a ton above a.year earlier.

Florida's sugarcane has progressed well with a good growing season thus
far. Production is projected to be up 1 percent from a year ago.

In Hawaii, sugar companies are gradually catching up from harvesting
delays caused by wet weather earlier this year. Total production for the year

is expected to be up 2 percent from last year.

Last December's hard freeze in Louisiana caused considerable acreage
loss and reduced stands on acreage that was not plowed out. Stand losses are
quite variable from area to area and even field to field. Production is
expected to be down 60 percent from 1989.

The Texas crop is being irrigated at a steady pace. Most fields look
good despite high temperatures. The production forecast is 7 percent above
last year's output.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: ‘The pasture and range feed condition on

August 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
73 percent, 3 points below July 1. This condition was equal to the August 1,
1989 level, but 1 point below the 1979-88 average for August 1. Conditions
were better than last month in 14 States, below last month in 33 States, and
unchanged in 1 State. Only four States, California, Georgia, New Mexico, and
South Carolina, were in the severe drought range and none were in the extreme
drought range.

Conditions were better than August 1, 1989 in 21 States, below 1989 in
26 States, and unchanged in 1 State. Conditions were sharply below the high
levels of last year in the Southeastern States. Oklahoma, California, and
Montana also had conditions well below last year.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is
expected to total 45.3 thousand tons, up 3 percent from the
1989 crop but down 13 percent from 1988.

Idaho expects a crop of 6,800 tons, 5 percent more than last year. Hail
damage has been widespread, but there have been few other problems.

Michigan's crop, at 6,000 tons, is expected to be less than half of last
year's crop. Poor pollination weather, following last year's good crop,
caused the reduced production. The crop is sizing well; however, much fruit
has been damaged by wind.

The Oregon crop of 20.0 thousand tons is almost double last year's 11.0
Some fruit was lost due to high winds in the Milton-Freewater area, but
production should still be near the 5-year average. Harvest of early
varieties began in late July.

Washington's forecast, at 12.5 thousand tons, is 7 percent less than
last year. Harvest of early varieties began in late July.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-11 NASS, USDA


Yield is expected to average 32.5 bushels per acre, up 0.1 of a bushel from
1989. Planted acreage is now estimated at 57.7 million acres, 1 percent below
the June acreage estimate and 5 percent below 1989. Area for harvest, at 56.6
million acres, is 1 percent below the June acreage and 5 percent lower than
last year. Planted area adjustments were made in Missouri, Arkansas,
Mississippi, and Georgia to reflect earlier intentions that did not get
planted. Many fields in Iowa suffered fram flooding and will not be
harvested.

The 1990 crop year for soybeans started with late plantings in the Corn
Belt and crop development has been significantly later than normal during the
bloaming and pod setting stages, and likely will lag during the pod filling
stage. Condition on August 1 for the 19 major States was good to fair,
similar to conditions a year earlier,

Yield increases in 1990 are expected in 14 States, while 10 States
expect a yield decrease, and 5 States expect no change. Six States expect to
equal or set new yield records this year, including Michigan, Virginia,
Maryland, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. Major States with yield
increases include Ohio, up 4 bushels; Nebraska, up 3 bushels; Mississippi,
up 4 bushels; Louisiana, up 6 bushels; Tennessee, up 3 bushels; amd
Michigan, up 1 bushel. Yield decreases are expected in Illinois, down 4
bushels; Iowa, down 1 bushel; Indiana, down 1 bushel; Missouri, down 0.5 of
a bushel; and Kentucky, down 1.5 bushels. Minnesota, Arkansas, Delaware,
Texas, and Kansas project no change in yields from 1989.

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 14.9 million bales, up 22

percent from last year's production, but 4 percent below the 1988
crop. Of the total, Upland is expected to account for 14.4 million bales
while Pima production will total 440 thousand bales, well below last year's
record high Pima production.

Planted area, at 12.3 million acres, is up 16 percent from last year.
Growers expect to harvest 11.5 million acres, up 20 percent from 1989. Yield
is expected to average 622 pounds per acre, 8 pounds above last year.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 4.46
million bales, 47 percent above 1989. ‘The Texas crop has been under stress
due to dry conditions; the eastern and southern areas have been stressed for
most of the growing season. A large amount of the High Plains crop was
Planted under dry conditions and didn't emerge. Recent July rains have
improved crop development.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and
Tennessee) expect to produce 5.04 million bales, up 25 percent from last year.
Arkansas producers were unable to plant all of the intended acreage because of
heavy June rainfall. Seedling disease affected some of the Arkansas acreage,
causing some spot replanting. As of August 5, this region's crop was rated in
mostly good condition. Louisiana and Tennessee were the only States in this
region with bolls opening as of August 5, at 6 percent and 4 percent,
respectively.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico)
is expected to total 3.61 million bales, up 6 percent from 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B7 NASS, USDA


INDEX

PRIA RI RII R IIIT IIIT IIIT RIAA IIR IRI AIT IITRI IIIT IIR ISS S IH IIIS IA.
* NOTICE

*

* REVISIONS HAVE BEEN MADE IN THE 1990 PLANTED ACREAGE ESTIMATES
* FOR CORN, COTTON, DRY EDIBLE BEANS, SOYBEANS AND SORGHUM

* SHOWN ON PAGE A-9.

*

* THE FIRST FORECAST OF THE 1990 U.S. HAZELNUT CROP WILL BE

* PUBLISHED IN HAZELNUT PRODUCTION TO BE RELEASED AUGUST 24, 1990.
PIR RI IRIIIII III IRI IRI III IIIT III III IIIS ISSIR IAI IIIS IIIS SIO III IISA.

+ OF

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B16 NASS, USDA

©U.S.GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1990-261-409:20247/NASS


ALL WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND: H 3 IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990: 1988: 1989: 1990
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL I/: 220 200 30.0 30.0 8,600 6,600 6,000
AZ 1/: 118 98 90.9 94.0 7,730 10,722 9,178
AR : 1,200 1,300 44.0 36.0 56,710 52,800 46,800
CA : 675 607 77.9 80.0 46,275 52,605 48,315
co : 2,270 2,590 27.4 34.0 79,540 62,100 86,950
DE I/: 74 60 42.0 51.0 3,276 3,108 3,060
FL I/: 65 60 29.0 34.0 2,520 1,885 2,040
GA l/: 700 590 32.0 36.0 21,500 22,400 21,240
ID : 1,370 1,370 66.7 74.0 75,520 91,420 101,010
IL : 1,780 1,950 59.0 47.0 67,500 105,020 91,650
IN : 880 970 59.0 52.0 35,000 51,920 50,440
IA 1/: 70 70 47.0 47.0 1,225 3,290 3,290
KS : 8,900 11,800 24.0 40.0 323,000 213,600 472,000
KY : 450 500 50.0 37.0 20,520 22,500 18,500
lA 1/: 350 390 31.0 33.0 11,070 10,850 12,870
MD 1/: 215 196 40.0 53.0 9,010 8,600 10,070
MI : 640 750 53.0 56.0 26,040 33,920 42,000
MN : 2,699 2,854 38.0 44.0 51,730 102,504 124,531
MS : 450 520 34.0 30.0 20,700 15,300 15,600
MO : 1,850 2,000 47.0 38.0 75,950 86,950 76,000
MT : 5,235 5,535 27.7 = 27.0 59,970 145,030 148,290
NE : 2,050 2,250 27.0 38.0 72,000 55,350 85,500
NW If: 15 14 80.0 66.0 1,340 1,200 930
NO I/: 35 29 39.0 43.0 1,395 1,365 1,247
NM o1/: 160 300 20.0 30.0 6,960 3,200 9,000
NY I/: 130 145 45.0 49.0 4,950 5,850 7,105
NC : 630 550 34.0 41.0 24,000 21,420 22,550
ND : 10,330 11,070 23.5 31.0 103,390 242,320 347,630
OH : 1,230 1,350 51.0 59.0 46,000 62,730 79,650
OK : 5,700 6,300 27.0 33.0 172,800 153,900 207,900
OR : 920 972 58.5 60.0 51,800 53,835 58,010
PA T/: 215 210 37.0 48.0 9,010 7,955 10,080
sc V/: 435 385 41.0 38.0 14,030 17,835 14,630
SD : 3,520 3,885 23.6 34.0 38,006 83,080 130,635
TN 2 450 490 42.0 34.0 21,500 18,900 16,660
TX : 3,000 4,200 20.0 31.0 89,600 60,000 130,200
UT I/: 177 178 33.6 40.0 6,768 5,950 7,100
VA I/: 275 260 46.0 49.0 10,400 12,650 12,740
WA : 2,270 2,480 48.7 63.0 124,620 110,610 157,000
WoO/ : 12 13 43.0 45.0 414 516 585
WIo1/: 180 192 51.8 55.0 5,152 9,320 10,612
WY o1/: 204 209 23.1 29.0 4,680 4,708 5,960
US : 62,149 69,886 32.8 38.7 1,812,201 2,035,818 2,705,558

1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-14 NASS, USDA


CLASS AND TYPE : ween ene nee e nee ee nee connec nent eeeneee

ND: : IND: : IND
1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1990 : 1989 : 1990
ee ACRES ~—~—~POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND

MIDOLE BELTS
NC : 98,000 104,000 1,945 2,050 190,610 213,200
VA : 37,000 39,000 1,935 1,950 71,595 76,050
URS : 135,000 143,000 1,942 2,023 262,205 289,250
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC:

NC : 127,000 137,000 2,090 2,150 265,430 294,550
TYPE 13, NC BORDER &
SC BELT 2
NC : 34,000 36,000 2,120 2,050 72,080 73,800
sc : 48,000 51,000 2,160 2,000 103,680 102,000
US : 82,000 87,000 2,143 2,021 175,760 175,800
TYPE 14, GA-FL BELT
FL : 6,700 7,000 2,650 2,800 17,755 19,600
GA : 40,000 423000 23180 2,200 87,200 92,400

US 46,700 49,000 2,247 2,286 104,955 112,000
TOTAL 11-14 1 390, 700 416,000 2,069 2,095 808,350 871,600

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT
VA 2,000 2,200 1,240 1,200 2,480 2,640

TYPE 22, EASTERN :
DISTRICT :
KY > 3,100 3,500 1,930 2,100 5,983  —_7,350
TN : 6,500 7,000 13920 2,200 12,480 15,400
: 93600 10,500 1,923 2,167 18,463 22,750

US
TYPE 23, WESTERN
DISTRICT

KY : 3,000 3,200 2,290 2,200 6,870 7,040
IN : 500 550 92,220 2,300 1,110 1,265
US : 3,500 3,750 2,280 2,215 7,980 8,305
TOTAL 21-23 : 15,100 16,450 1,915 2,048 28,923 33,695

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AIR-CURED
Tyre 31, BURLEY

: 6,100 6,400 2,170 2,200 13,237 14,080
KY : 169,000 185,000 2,060 2,200 348,140 407,000
MO : 2,500 2,500 2,180 2,150 > >
NC : 7,700 8,500 1,680 2,100 12,936 17,850
OH : 9,100 9,100 1,750 1,850 15,925 16,835
TN : 38,000 39,000 1,720 2,100 65,360 81,900
VA : 10,500 11,000 13870 1,900 19,635 20,900
WV 1,450 1,800 1,300 1,600 1,885 2,880
1,975 2,153 482,568 566,820

Us : : 24a? +350 263,300
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD :
BELT 1/

: 7,300 7,100 1,110 1,330 8,103 9,443

PA : 42000 33700 1800 15900 77200 «=——77030
Us : 113300 107800 17354 © 12525 «187303167473
TOTAL 31-32 : 255,650 2747100 17947 27128 4977871 5837293
1/1989 REVISED. CONTINUED
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

AUGUST 1990 A-24 NASS, USDA


PAPAYAS: Hawaii's fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.30 million pounds

for July, 27 percent: lower than June and 36 percent lower than July
1989. Cumulative fresh sales for the January-July period trails the same 7-
month period of 1989 by 9 percent. July weather conditions were a mixture of
sunshine and showers. The first half of the month was mostly sunny while the
second half experienced frequent showers and cloudy skies.

Production area totaled 3,875 acres, 1 percent more than June but 11
percent less than last July. Harvested area, totaling 2,420 acres, was 1
percent higher than last month but 3 percent lower than a year ago.

The forecast of fresh-market papaya production has been temporarily sus-
pended. This action is being taken because of the recent inconsistent perfor-
mance of the forecast model. A review of current procedures and further re-
search will be conducted to determine if the results and predictability of the
model can be improved. The estimate of actual fresh-market utilization will
be continued. This decision was reached jointly among representatives of the
papaya industry, the Agricultural Statistics Board, and the Hawaiian Agricul-
Enrat Statistics Service.

APPLES: The nation's apple forecast, at 9.70 billion pounds, is 1 percent
less than the July 1 forecast and 3 percent less than the 1989 crop.

Production in the Eastern States is forecast at 2.49 billion pounds, up
fractionally from the July 1 forecast and 5 percent more than a year ago.

Declining prospects from last month in Maine and New Hampshire were offset by
increases in Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, and West Virginia. In New
York, the crop in the Hudson and Champlain Valleys is developing well with
fruit being above average size. Humid weather has caused some russetting. A
late June hail storm damaged fruit in the Lake Ontario region and the effects
are becoming more evident. Virginia's harvest is expected to start about 7 to
10 days ahead of normal. Most areas received rain during the month except for
the southwestern portion. Picking has started on some of the early varieties
in Maryland. Scab infestation and June drop were varied in New England. Scab
infestation was greater than normal in New Hampshire but light in Massachu-
setts where the spray program has been more effective. June drop was heavy in
Maine and moderate to heavy in New Hampshire and Rhode Island. The drop was
moderate in the other New England States.

The crop in the Central States, forecast at 1.21 billion pounds, is 4
percent less than last month's forecast and 16 percent less than last year's
crop. Harvest is underway in Michigan where a heavy and prolonged drop
continues to reduce prospects.

Above normal rainfall has been beneficial to fruit size in Indiana but
warm weather is needed to finish the crop. Wet weather has caused more than
usual disease problems for Missouri's crop. Scab has been a problem in
Wisconsin.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 6.00 billion pounds, 2
percent less than both the July 1 forecast and the 1989 crop. Washington's
crop is not sizing as expected. Fruit are smaller than normal, as hot periods
during July slowed growth. Sunburn has been more of a problem than normal.
The California crop is in good condition. Harvest has started on Graven-
steins. The Granny Smith crop is expected to be of excellent quality with
harvest starting in late August. The quality of the Colorado crop is not as
good as usual. A higher than normal percentage is expected to be processed.

HOPS: ‘The production forecast of 60.6 million pounds is 2 percent more than
last year and 11 percent more than 1988.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-12 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
{DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

CROP AND UNIT INDICATED:

990 1989

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 116.2. 147.7 7,527,152 7,850, 164
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN * 55.4 59.1 ,860 546,835
OATS " 3 54.4 §9.0 373,778 374,547 365,337
BARLEY "os 48.6 $2.0 403,443 414,350 402,513
ALL WHEAT "3 32.8 38.7 2,035,818 2,698,192 2,705,558

WINTER “3 35.1 41.0 1,453, 862 2,035,087 2,054,287

DURUM "3 25.1 30.9 92,2 114,293 108,019

OTHER SPRING "3 28.8 33.4 489, ay 548,812 543,252
RICE WT 1/: 5,749  5,6]1 154; 487 158,120
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU : 32.4 32.5 1,926,806 1,836,017
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: 2,426 «2,449 3,989,995 43177,500
ALL COTTON BALE ui 614 622 12,195.6 14;864.4

UPLAND 602 616 11,503.9 14, 424.9

AMER- PIMA . ah 893 900 691.7 439.5
COTTONSEED TON 4,676.9 5,775.4
ALL HAY "oy 2.29 2.40 145,445 148,462

ALFALEA "3 2.98 3.30 77,208 82,167

THER : 1.82 1.80 68,237 66,295
ont EDIBLE BEANS cut \V: 1,440 1,576 24,333 33,541
SUMMER POTATOES CwT 237 250 22,155 24,952 25,308
TOBACCO 2/ (B  : 2,016 2,102 1,367,331 1,524,273
SUGARBEETS TON : 19.4 20.4 25,129 28,107
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED "3 34.5 35.1 29,426 24,908
HOPS t8 : 1,717. 1,701 59,326.4 60,560.0
PASTURE AND :

RANGE FEED 3/ PCT : 73 73
APPLES, COMM’L LB: 9,965,600 9,841,000 9,703,000
PEACHES "3 2,333,300 2,119,300 2,121,300
PEARS TON: 917.0 938.0 938.0
GRAPES "3 5,930.9 5,503. 3
PRUNES A PLUMS

re LIF . 44.0 45.3
aL ves (CALIF . 123.0 95.0

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ 1989 REVISED. PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS

3
OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1979-88 AVERAGE ts 74 PERCENT.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

: INDICATED
1989 : 1990 1/

INDICATED
1990 1/

POTATOES
WINTER CWT: = ul 180
SPRING "> 235 253
FALL “> 239
SWEET CHERRIES TON :
TART CHERRIES 1B:
RECTARINES CALIF) * :
PLUMS (CALIE) oy
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) *
ALMONDS 3
MACNUTS. (CALLE TON :
1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. == =
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

AUGUST 1990 A-5 NASS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT: Production is now forecast at 108 million bushels, up 17 percent

fram 1989 but down 7 percent from the July 1 forecast. Yields
are now expected to average 30.9 bushels per acre, down 1.8 bushels per acre
from July 1. ‘The lower average yield from the July 1 forecast was the result
of a 6 bushel decrease in Minnesota and a 2 bushel decrease in North Dakota.

The durum crop deteriorated during the month due to a lack of moisture.
Below normal temperatures over mich of the durum producing areas during the
month slowed maturity. At month's end, approximately 20 percent of the South
Dakota crop had been harvested. Harvest was just getting started in the other
durum States.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production for 1990 is now forecast at 543 million
bushels, down 1 percent from July 1 but up 11 percent
from 1989. Area for grain is forecast at 16.3 million acres, down 4 percent
from last year and off 1 percent from July 1. Yields are expected to average
33.4 bushels per acre, down a tenth fram July 1 but up 4.6 bushels per acre
from last season. Hot, dry conditions during July in Idaho and Washington
reduced yield prospects, leading to the slight U.S. yield decline.

As of July 29, about 5 percent of the spring wheat was harvested in the
Major producing states. Harvest had begun in all major states, with only
Idaho ahead of average progress. The crop is rated in fair to good condition.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 4.18 billion pounds, up 5 percent from

both last year and 1988. Harvested area, estimated at 1.71 million
acres, is up 4 percent from last year, and is the largest acreage for harvest
since 1951 when 1.98 million acres were harvested. Yield is expected to
average 2,449 pounds per harvested acre, 23 pounds above 1989 and 4 pounds
higher than 1988.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina) is expected to total 2.66 billion pounds, up 1 percent from
1989. Sea ee ne tee aren i petted te Cranage eee oonta ae

earlier dry conditions. As of August 5, 57 percent of Alabama's crop was in
good condition and 30 percent was rated as excellent. Only 25 percent of
Georgia's crop was in good condition and 36 percent was rated as poor.

The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 706 million
pounds, up 15 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total
258 thousand acres, 6 percent greater than the 1989 harvested area. Yield per
harvested acre, at 2,737 pounds, is 201 pounds above last year's yield. North
Carolina's crop was planted with good moisture conditions available, but
development slowed due to lack of rainfall in June. Virginia's crop has
extensive vine growth which causes concern for disease. Also, spider mite

The Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is
expected to total 809 million pounds, up 10 percent from last year. Area for
harvest, up 5 percent from last year, is estimated at 398 thousand acres.
Yields are expected to average 2,034 pounds per acre, an 80 pound increase
from the 1989 yield.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-5 NASS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE 3 --------------------- 2-2-2 ooo nn en een nee enn nn nen ee eee n eee ee
IND: : IND: : : IND
1989 1990 1989 1990: 1988 1989 1990
1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

AZ : 150 165 7.60 7.50 1,225 1,140 1,238
AR : 35 25 = 3.00 2.50 81 105 63
CA : 1,020 1,060 6.70 6.60 7,260 6,834 6,996
co : 750 780 = 3.20 3.40 2,652 2,400 2,652
CT : 17 15 2.70 2.70 53 46 41
DE : 9 8 4.10 4.10 34 37 33
ID : 930 980 = 4.00 3.90 3,496 3,720 3,822
IL : 780 600 3.70 3.70 2,375 2,886 2,220
IN : 400 400 3.60 3.80 1,196 1,440 1,520
IA : 1,900 1,400 3.00 3.90 5,640 5,700 5,460
KS : 850 850 3.60 3.40 2,475 3,060 2,890
KY : 380 320 3.70 3.40 1,036 1,406 1,088
LA 1/: 5 2/ 2.80 2/ 28 14 2/
ME : 20 20 2.00 2.40 53 40 48
MO : 85 65 3.75 3.70 300 319 241
MA : 31 29 2.65 2.90 86 82 84
MI : 1,300 1,250 3.60 4.20 3,380 4,680 5,250
MN : 1,700 1,600 2.60 3.50 4,560 4,420 5,600
MO : 530 480 2.80 3.10 1,008 1,484 1,488
MT : 1,350 1,450 2.20 2.00 2,090 2,970 2,900
NE : 1,300 1,450 3.00 3.30 4,050 3,900 4,785
NV : 245 245 4.40 4.00 1,050 1,078 980
NH : 16 16 2.55 2.80 42 41 45
Nd : 34 26 2.80 3.50 121 95 91
NM : 235 235 4.90 4.80 1,176 1,152 1,128
NY : 840 890 2.45 2.90 2,376 2,058 2,581
NC : 35 30 = 3.00 2.80 83 105 84
ND : 1,500 1,300 1.00 1.10 750 1,500 1,430
OH : 725 700 3.30 3.90 2,103 2,393 2,730
OK : 450 430 3.80 3.00 1,271 1,710 1,290
OR : 400 400 4.30 4.10 1,579 1,720 1,640
PA : 820° 790 2.90 3.10 2,436 2,378 2,449
RI : 2 1 2.65 2.90 6 5 3
sD : 2,000 2,000 1.20 1.80 2,310 2,400 3,600
TN : 90 80 = 3.10 3.40 231 279 272
Tx : 110 140 4.20 3.80 390 462 532
UT : 470 485 3.70 3.80 1,911 1,739 1,843
VT : 105 110 2.35 2.40 220 247 264
VA : 150 150 3.80 3.60 416 570 540
WA : 480 470 4.30 4.60 2,058 2,064 2,162
Ww : 70 60 2.90 2.80 161 + 203 168
WI : 3,100 2,850 2.30 3.00 4,340 7,130 8,550
wy : 520 570 2.30 2.40 1,196 1,196 1,368
US : 25,939 24,925 2.98 3.30 69,304 77,208 82,167

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ INCLUDED IN OTHER HAY.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-21 USDA, NASS


PASTURE AND RANGE FI

AVERAGE

: AVERAGE 1989
: 1979-:

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-7:
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

V/ Teo a asp RESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): 1988-3,900;

PAPAYAS - HAWAII

AREA FRESH PRODUCTION

HARVESTED

1989 : 1990 : FORECAST
: 1990

1/ FOUR MONTH FORECAST TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED. SEE PAPAYA COMMENTS ON PAGE B- 12
FOR MORE DETAILS.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-27 NASS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE : IND: : IND : : IND
1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 1988 : 1989 : 1990
. 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT

LARGE LIMA
CA 32.0 25.0 1,910 1,840 574 611 460

BABY LIMA
CA 35.0 25.0 2,120 2,200 673 742 550

OTHER

ace 117.0 115.0 1,780 1,840 1,638 2,083 2,116
CA > (184.0 165.0 1,867 1,895 2,885 3,436 3,126
co 185.0 220.0 1,680 1,730 2,558 3,108 3,806
1D 168.0 178.0 2,050 2,000 2,249 3,444 3,560
KS 21.0 38.0 1,550 1,750 310 326 665
MI 300.0 350.0 1,500 1,500 2,142 4,500 5,250
MN 70.0 130.0 1,300 1,500 480 910 1,950
MT 5.9 14.0 2,200 2,300 76 130 322
NE 208.0 245.0 1,680 2,000 3,764 3,494 4,900
NM 14.0 14.0 2,000 2,000 319 280 280
NY 31.0 35.0 1,450 1,550 325 450 543
ND 410.0 600.0 600 1,100 2,701 2,460 6,600
OR 2/ 9.9 2,200 218
1X 2/ 23.0 1,400 322
UT 5.0 6.0 300 400 26 15 24
WA 43.0 49.0 2,160 2,000 742 929 980
WY 45.0 51.0 1,890 1,950 676 851 995
us : 1,689.9 2,127.9 1,440 1,576 19,253 24,333 33,541

1/_ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED. 2/ ESTIMATES BEGAN IN 1990.
SUMMER POTATOES

1989 1990
1,000 ACRES

1988

AL 7.5 6.8 170 160 693

CA 6.1 5.6 360 345 1,918

co 6.7 6.9 320 310 1,861

OE 7.2 8.2 160 275 1,806

IL 1/ 3.3 3.2 260 250 736

IA 1/ 1.5 1.6 175 200 289

MD 1/ 1.8 1.8 175 180 460

MI 10.0 11.5 230 240 1,620

MN 6.3 6.1 300 305 1,482

MO 2/ 5.9 165

NE I/ 2.3 2.3 260 265 690

NJ 4.8 4.4 185 250 1,014

NM 11.5 13.0 350 350 3,060

NC 1.4 1.4 90 100 168

TN 3/ 0.6 100 $9

1x 10.5 11.5 250 220 2,250 2,625 2,530
VA 12.0 11.0 120 175 2,048 1,440 1,925
Us 93.5 101.2 237 250 20,154 22,155 25,308

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGAN IN 1990. 3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-23 NASS, USDA


Growing conditions are varied in Texas as the Cross Timbers and southern crops
are stressed for moisture, but the irrigated fields show gocd development.
The planting rate was less than average until early July rains aided the pace.
Planting was complete by July 17, slightly ahead of average. In Oklahoma,
late July rains and cool temperatures improved the crop's development. On
August 1, the crop was ahead of average in pegging and setting pods.

RICE: The 1990 rice production is forecast at 158 million cwt, 2 percent
above 1989 but 1 percent below 1988. The increase in production from
last year is due to an increase in harvested acres.

Area for harvest is expected to total 2.82 million acres, 5 percent more
than the 2.69 million acres harvested in 1989. Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas
recorded acreage increases. California and Missouri showed decreases, and
Mississippi remained unchanged from last year.

Yield is expected to average 5,611 pounds per acre, 138 pounds below the
5,749 pounds estimated in 1989. Yield prospects are below last year in all
states except Louisiana and Texas where the yields are up 220 pounds and 200
pounds, respectively. Yield expectations, compared with last year, are:
Arkansas down 250 pounds, California down 200 pounds, Mississippi down 100
pounds, and Missouri down 300 pounds.

Excessive moisture delayed planting in Arkansas and Missouri and
development contimes well behind normal in these two States. Harvest
activity was increasing in Louisiana and Texas at month's end.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.84 billion bushels, 5 percent below
last year but 19 percent above 1988.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990

BILLION BUSHELS

2.60 2.19
. 2.10

1.99 94 ’
200 . - 186 194 1.94 194 1 34

1.64

1.55
1.50

1.00

0.50

0.00
81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90

YEAR

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B6 NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

PRODUCTION

IND

1,000 ACRES

STATE

AL :

AR : 3,
DE 3

FL 3

GA : 1,
IL : 8,
IN : 4,
IA: 8,
KS : ol,
KY : 1,
LA 2 od,
MD 3

MI : 1,
MN : 5,
MS : 2,
MO 2 4,
NE : 2,
NJ 3

NC > od,
ND 3

OH : 3,
OK i

PA

SC :

sD : 1,
TMN : 1,
TX

VA

WI

US : 59,

570
200
250
120
100
850
550
280
850
170
600
550
080
000
000
350
560
113
550
630
980
285
305
960
880
240
415
540
410

388

450
3,050
195
75
860
9,100
4,250
7,900
1,950
1,210
1,700
495
1,140
4,500
2,000
4,100
2,350
108
1,350
445
3,680
230
275
790
1,920
1,250
230
530
420

14,250
83,200
6,075
3,335
22,500
234,900
115,500
251,100
46,000
24,115
56,550
14,105
35,090
124,800
49,500
112,095
70,800
2,781
35,370
12,420
99,900
4,860
7,840
18,565
41,520
31,980
6,300
14,420
8,970

11,970
76,800
7,250
2,640
28,600
354,000
168,350
322,920
49,950
36,855
33,600
16,500
38,880
185,000
40,000
123,975
81,920
3,616
41,850
13,860
127,360
6,840
10,370
20,160
48,880
29,760
12,450
17,280
15,170

1,006 BUSHELS

42,180
166,500
48,000
114,800
82,250
3,672
35,100
12,905
132,480
4,600
9,625
14,220
55,680
33,750
6,900
15,370
15,960

1,836,017

CROP PRODUCTION

AUGUST 1990

YIELD
: IND
: 1989 1990
BUSHELS
21.0 25.0
24.0 24.0
29.0 29.0
22.0 25.0
26.0 21.0
40.0 36.0
37.0 36.0
39.0 38.0
27.0 27.0
31.5 30.0
21.0 27.0
30.0 33.0
36.0 37.0
37.0 37.0
20.0 24.0
28.5 28.0
32.0 35.0
32.0 34.0
27.0 26.0
22.0 29.0
32.0 36.0
24.0 20.0
34.0 35.0
21.0 18.0
26.0 29.0
24.0 27.0
30.0 30.0
32.0 29.0
37.0 38.0
32.4 32.5
A-18

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE: IND: ID: OU IND
1989 1990 : 1989 : 1990 1988 1989 1990
: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL =: 180 210 81.0 65.0 7,480 14,580 13,650
AD: 13 10 14510 153.0 27015 12885 13550
ARO: 58 73 1220 108.0 6,000 7°076 7.665
CA: (170 160 160.0 160.0 27,115 277200 25,600
GO: 930 840 14510 1550 128,000 1343850 ©—»«-130,200
DE (133 172 100.0 90.0 9,800 13,300 15,480
FL 80 75 74.0 (71.0 33770 53920 5,325
GA 850 600 95:0 65.0 315000 52/250 39,000
1D 50 40 125.0 120.0 6,500 6,25 4;800
IL 10,750 10,400 123.0 128.0 700,800 1,322,250 1,331,200
IN 5,200 5,450 133.0 128.0 415,000 691,600 97,600
IA 123250 123300 «118.0 128.0 898,800 1,4455500 —1,574;400
KS 1,240 1,450 125.0 130.0 1435750 "155,000 188,500
KY =: 1,180 13200 116.0 95.0 80,300 1367880 —«:114,000
tA, 182 220 95.0 110.0 11;875 12,540 24; 200
"0 : 400 450 110.0 100.0 27,300 44,000 45,000
MI’ : 1,970 2,050 113.0 110.0 112,000 +—«-222,610 +228, 500
MN 5,600 6,100 125.0 120.0 3477800 700,000 —«732;000
MS 140 140 70:0 78.0 9000 97800 10;500
MO 2,290 1,950 96.0 97.0 153,520 2193840 «189,150
MT: 4 80:0 93.0 2:20 320 558
NE 7,100 7,300 (120:0 1300 818,400 852,000 —«-949, 000
NJ: a 75 102.0 107.0 5,530 7,242 8,025
NM 63 65 155.0 140.0 8,525 93765 9; 100
NY 870 610 93.0 102.0 45,900 537010 62,220
NC 950 1,070 93.0 65.0 81,480 88,350 69,550
ND 465 600 75.0 85.0 227040 34°875 51,000
OH 2,900 3,400 118.0 120.0 255,000 342,200 += 408, 000
OK 78 75 118.0 100.0 7340 *204 7,500
oR: 22 22 160.0 155.0 33002 3,520 33410
PA 960 980 103.0 101.0 59,150 98,880 98,980
Sc’: — 340 345 91.0 48.0 19,430 30,940 16,560
SD 2,650 2,800 72.0 0.0 132,000 190,800 224,000
1N 530 500 107.0 80.0 38,690 56,710 40;000
1X : 1,400 1,500 1060 98:0 1297600 1487400 ©=—-147000
ut: 20 18 132-0 137.0 3728 2,640 2,466
VA: 365 375 110.0 85.0 23,305 40,150 31,875
WA 90 80 175.0 175.0 133600 153750 143000
Ww 4 50 95.0 95.0 23320 45370 4,750
WI 2,800 2,900 111.0 111.0 1303650 310,800 «321,900
wy 41 45 95.0 110.0 466 33895 43950
us 64,781 66,706 116.2 117.7 4,928,681 7,527,152 7,850,164
1/__ NOT ESTIMATED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-10 NASS, USDA


In early July, winter wheat harvest was nearly complete in the southern
Great Plains. Harvest advanced rapidly in the central Great Plains but lagged
behind normal in the Corn Belt. About mid-July, rain slowed harvest in the
Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. In the Pacific Northwest, crop condition
was good to fair and harvest was underway by mid-July. By the end of the
month, harvest was nearly camplete in most of the Corn Belt. As of July 29,
harvest was 89% complete, equal to the average. Spring wheat was in mostly
good to fair condition in July. By the end of the mth, harvest was underway
in all five major producing states.

CORN FOR GRAIN: ‘The first forecast of the 1990 corn for grain crop is 7.85

billion bushels, 4 percent above last year's crop and 59
percent above the drought reduced production of 1988. The U.S. average yield
per acre is forecast at 117.7 bushels per acre, up 1.5 bushels from last
year's yield and 33.1 bushels above the 1988 yield. Yields in the major
Producing states and bushel changes from last year are: Iowa 128, up 10;
Illinois 128, up 5; Nebraska 130, up 10; Minnesota 120, down 5; Indiana
128, down 5; Qhio 120, up 2; and Wisconsin 111, no change.

The area to be harvested for grain, at 66.7 million acres, is up 3
percent fram 1989 but down 1 percent fram the June acreage estimate.

Dry conditions in the Southeastern States have reduced yields in most
areas from the record levels of 1989. Late plantings in the Corn Belt have
been offset by excellent growing conditions during July.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990

BILLION BUSHELS

8.12 8.24
ae’ |-—

YEAR

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULIURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-3 NASS, USDA



PEARS

; PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE TOTAL 1/ ho
1988 1989 1990
eee : — TONS
BARTLETT :
CA : 291,000 298,000 310,000
OR : 68,000 67,000 75,000
WA : 147,000 157,000 165,000
TOTAL : 506,000 522,000 550,000
EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
cA : 11,000 17,000 18,000
OR : 145,000 148,000 149000
WA : 163,000 192,000 200,000
TOTAL : 319,000 357,000 358,000
ALL :
cA : 302,000 315,000 328,000
co ey: 3,800 43.000 27500
CT yo: 1,650 13400 1,300
MI : 6,000 8,000 5,000
NY 17}300 16,500 15,000
OR : 213,000 215,000 215,000
PA wy: 5,100 53500 43000
uT y: 2,000 2;600 23200
WA : 310,000 349,000 365,000
us 860,850 917,000 938,000
1/ INCLUDES, UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLO. (TONS
160; 1989. 300, a) ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT: YEAR CARRIED FORWARD’ FROM ZARLIER
FORECAST.
GRAPES
PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE TOTAL 1/ 1
“1988 1989 1990
TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE
cA : 770,000 630,000 610,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE :
cA : 2,180,000 2,190,000 2,100,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE 2/ :
cA : 2,570,000 2,570,000 2,250,000
ALL_GRAPES :
AZ : 25,500 26,500 29,000
AR : 7/000 6,500 62300
cA : 8,820,000 5,390,000 4,960,000
GA : $500 2,800 33000
MI : $000 43,000 58,000
MO : 3;250 3;600 1,750
NY : 187,000 152,000 150;000
NC : $300 13700 3,000
OH : 8; 900 8;000 9;000
OR : 7.750 7,450 10,000
PA : 63,000 60,000 53000
sc 0 300 400
WA : 182,000 229,000 220,000
us 6,033,700 5,930,850 5,503,450

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED BRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): 1988-1,600;
1989-800. 2/ FRESH BASIS

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-30 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTCRE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

sYIELO PER HECTAR' PRODUCTION

: : INDICATED 1990
CROP : SINDICATED: 9 ewe e een n nee e eee n nena ene eee
: 1989: 1990 : 1989 JUL 1 AUG 1
: METRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN : 7.29 7.39 191,198,470 199, 403,350
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 3.48 3.71 15,694,370 13,890,250
OATS : 1.95 2.12 5,425,370 5,436,530 5,302,850
BARLEY : 2.61 2.80 8,783,930 _ 9,021,410 8,763,690
ALL WHEAT : 2.20 2.60 1405,890 73,432,750 73,633,230

WINTER : 2.36 2.76 39,567,100 58, 385,990 55,908,530

OURUM : 1.69 2.08 23510,060 3,110,550 23939, 800

OTHER SPRING : 1.98 2.24 13}328,730 143936;210 14,784,900
RICE : 6.44 6.29 007,410 73172; 200
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 2.18 2.18 52,439,070 49;968, 190
PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 2.72 2.75 1,809,830 1,894,880
ALL COTTON > 69 110 2,655,280 3,236,340

UPLAND : 68 69 2,504,680 3,140,650

AMER- PIMA : 1.00 1.01 150,600 953690
COTTONSEED : 4,242,810 5,239,350
ALL HAY : 5.14 5.39 131,945,490 134,682,460

ALFALFA : 6.67 7.39 70,041,920 74,540,650

ALL OTHER : 4.08 = 4.04 61,903,570 60,141,810
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1.61 1.77 1,103,730 1,521,390
SUMMER POTATOES  : 26.56 28.03 1,004,930 1,131,800 1,147,950
TOBACCO Ru : 2.26 2.36 620,210 691,400
SUGARBEETS : 43.51 45.75 22,796,650 25,498, 240
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 77.43 78.73 26,694, 320 22,596,160
HOPS : 1.92 1.91 26,910 27,470
APPLES, COMM?L : 4,520,320 4,463,800 4,401,210
PEACHES : 13058, 370 961,300 962,210
PEARS : 831,890 850,940 850,940
GRAPES 3 5,380, "380 4,992,650
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

EXCL CALIF : 39,920 41,100
OLIVES (CALIF: : 111,580 86,180

1/ 1989 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTCRE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

METRIC TONS

POTATOES
WINTER 23.65 20.14 125,370 107,550
SPRING 26.29. 28.31 945,830 1,081,500
FALL : 33.50 14, 729, 320
SWEET CHERRIES Hy 76,450 110,770
TART CHERRIES : 1347600 101,970
APRICOTS 3 106,140 110,860
NECTARINES (CALIF) z 181,440 185,970
PLUMS (CALIF) : 193,230 190,510
DRIED RUNES § (CALIF) : 205,020 145,150
ALMON! : 222,260 297,100
WALNUTS CALIF 207,750 199,580

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

: INDICATED INDICATED
1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1990
HECTARES
CORN : 29,257,470 30,138,880 26,216,220 26,995,250
SORGHUM : 5,116,090 4,324,110 4,513,510 3,747,430
OATS : 4,888,660 4,216,870 2,781,840 2,503,820
BARLEY : 3,713,030 3,349,620 3,360,140 3,134,730
ALL WHEAT : 31,005,330 31,293,050 25,151,080 28,282,170
WINTER : 22,294,780 23,078,660 16,782,090 20,275,780
DURUM : 1,534,180 1,444,740 1,486,430 1,416,420
OTHER SPRING : 7,176,370 6,769,650 6,882,560 6,589,970
RICE : 1,105,210 1,159,440 1,087,400 1,140,420
SOYBEANS : 24,552,540 23,360,730 24,033,730 22,886,430
PEANUTS Hy 673,896 701,730 665,590 690,200
ALL COTTON : 4,284,290 4,981,410 3,859,810 4,642,320
UPLAND : 4,131,760 4,885,620 3,709,390 4,547,420
AMER-PIMA : 152,530 95,790 150,420 94,900
ALL HAY : 25,655,320 24,983,130
ALFALFA : 10,497,250 10,086,900
ALL OTHER : 15,158,070 14,896,230
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 751,750 898,010 683,890 861,140
SUMMER POTATOES : 39,340 42,820 37,840 40,950
TOBACCO 2/ : 274,540 293,480
SUGARBEETS : 535,890 565,390 $23,950 557,340
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 344,760 287,010
HOPS : 13,980 14,410

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1989 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
CROP : z : : INDICATED
1988 =: «19891/  : 1988 =: 1989 1/
— HECTARES
RYE : 815,050 683,930 193,850 175,230
FLAXSEED > 84,980 97,130 71,630 93,890
POTATOES :

WINTER : 5,300 5,460 5,300 5,340
SPRING : 373350 38,650 35,980 38,200
FALL : 4451890 «= «471870 439,660 466,120
SUNFLOWER : 760,820 781,050 738,960 754,340
SWEETPOTATOES : 36,220 38,240 347800 37,110

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-6 NASS, USDA


COTTON

AREA HARVESTED: YIELD PRODUCTION 1/

STATE : IND : : 3
1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1989: 1990
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND:
AL 322.0 398.0 $71 630 380.0 383.0 522.0
AZ : 339.0 1,303 1,317 865.0 649.0 930.0
AR 720.0 687 733 1,044.0 851.0 1,100.0
CA 1,040.0 1,228 1,200 2,824.0 2,661.0 2,600.0
FL 5 $57 750 34.2 29.0 46.1
GA 320.0 631 525 370.0 342.0 350.0
KS 1.3 240 406 0.7 0.2 1.1
LA 770.0 672 748 948.0 868.0 1,200.0
MS 1,180.0 732 732 1,825.0 1,555.0 1,800.0
MO tO) 618 592 306.0 0 290.0
NM 50.0 698 720 102.0 80.0 75.0
NC 200.0 615 552 133.0 141.0 230.0
OK 365.0 244 342 303.0 1 260.0
sc 159.0 626 513 140.0 154.0 170.0
TMN 525.0 497 590 584.0 476.0 645.0
1X 4,900.0 367 411 5,215.0 2,870.0 4,200.0
VA : 498 547 3. 7
US > 9,166.0 11,236.8 602 616 15,077.3 11,503.9 14,424.9
AMER-PIMA:
AZ 3 244.5 130.0 936 960 241.0 477.0 260.0
CA : 17.9 25.5 1,078 1,099 3.2 40.2 58.4
MS 3/ 1.1 1.0 436 528 1.0 1.1
NM 30.2 20.0 707 720 23.5 44.5 30.0
TX 78.0 58.0 794 745 66.5 129.0 90.0
us 71.7 234.5 893 900 334.2 691.7 439.5
ALL
AL 398.0 §71 630 380. 383.0 §22.
AZ 469.0 1,118 1,218 1,1 1,126.0 1,190.
AR 720.0 687 733 1,0. 851. 1,100.
CA 1,065.5 1,226 1,198 2,8; 2,701.2 2,658.
5 57 750 29.0 : .
0
0
9

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
3/ ESTIMATES BEGAN IN 1989.

COTTONSEED
eee PRODUCTION =sS—~—<CS~s~s—SSCS
ge i999 =: ~~SCIND 1990S
ee 1000 TNS ttCiCiCi“‘—=~*~*~*~TM
4,676.9 5,775.4
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

AUGUST 1990 A-19 NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, BY STATES, 1990, UNITED STATES, 1988-90

1,000 ACRES
AL : 400.

0
AZ : 340.0 130.0
AR : *760.0
CA : *1,050.0 25.7 *170.0
co : 230.0
FL : 30.0
GA : 340.0
ID : 180.0
KS z 1.5 40.0
LA : 780.0
MI 3 *360.0
MN : 140.0
MS : 1,200.0 1.0
MO : *240.0
MT : 14.5
NE : 260.0
NM : 55.0 20.0 14.0
NY : *37.0
NC : *201.0
ND z 630.0
OK : 380.0
OR : 10.0
SC : 160.0
TN 530.0
Tx *5,600.0 60.0 25.0
UT 6.5
VA 5.0
WA 50.0
Wy 52.0

YEAR UNITED STATES

1988 12,325.2 189.6 1,485.4
1989 10,209.7 376.9 1,857.6
1990 12,072.5 236.7 2,219.0
* UPDATED FROM "ACREAGE" RELEASED JUNE 28, 1990.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

AUGUST 1990 A-9 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

IND

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT
KY
TN
US
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT
KY

BELT
VA
TOTAL 35-37

CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF
PA

CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER
CLASS 5A, CT VALLEY
BINDER
TYPE 51, CT VALLEY
BROADLEAF
CT
MA
US

CLASS 5B, WI BINDER
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WI
WI

TYPE 55, NORTHERN WI
WI

TOTAL 54-55

TOTAL 51-55

TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :

1,950
500
2,450

1,000

90
3,540

5,500

630
100
730

3,600

2,100
5,700
6,430

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :

TYPE 61, CT VALLEY
SHADE-GROWN
cT
MA
US
ALL CIGAR TYPES
TOTAL 41-61

ALL TOBACCO

CROP PRODUCTION
AUGUST 1990

1,100
380
1,480
13,410

: 678,400

1
72

2,100
500
2,600

1,000

90
3,690

6,300

630
90
720

3,700
2,600

6,300
7,020

1,250

380
1,630
4,950

5,190

Pl

1,850
1,740
1,828

1,950

1,155
1,845

1,950

1,700
1,850
1,721

2,155

1,730
1,998
1,967

'OUNDS

2,000
2,000
2,000

2,000

1,000
1,976

1,950

1,750
1,800
1,757

2,150

1,700
1,964
1,943

1,550
1,400
1,515

1,899

1,000

3,608
870
4,478

1,950

104
6,532

10,725

1,071
185
1,256

7,758

3,633
11,391
12,647

1,722
561
2,283

25,655

POUNDS

4,200
1,000
5,200

2,000

90
7,290

12,285

1,103
162
1,265

7,955

4,420
12,375
13,640

1,938
532
2,470

28,395

2,102 1,367,331 1,524,273

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


Crop RS ies merce oe
Production a
ce
a

RELEASED: August 9, 1990
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production, as of August 1, is forecast at 7.85 billion

bushels, 4 percent above last year. The yield per acre is expected to
average 117.7 bushels per acre, up 1.5 bushels from last year. Area to be
harvested for grain, at 66.7 million acres, is up 3 percent from 1989. Late
plantings in the Corn Belt have been offset by excellent growing conditions
during July.

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.71 billion bushels, up 33 percent from
1989 and up fractionally from July 1. Average yield is 38.7 bushels per

acre, 0.1 of a bushel higher than July 1 and 5.9 bushels more than last year.

Harvested area is 69.9 million acres, up 12 percent from last season.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.84 billion bushels, 5 percent below last

year. Yield is expected to average 32.5 bushels per acre, up 0.1 of a
bushel from 1989. Area for harvest, at 56.6 million acres, is 5 percent lower
than last year. Soybean plantings got off to a late start and progress
continues behind normal.

ALL COTTON production for the 1990 season is forecast at 14.9 million bales,

up 22 percent from last year, but 4 percent below the 1988 crop. . Crop
develapment was generally ahead af average, but hot, dry weather in most of
the Southeast caused lower yield potentials. California expects a yield
reduction of 28 pounds from 1989.

PEANUT production for 1990 is forecast at 4.18 billion pounds, up 5 percent

from both last year and 1988. £ach of the three growing regions expect
higher’ production this year, although Georgia’s yield is 200 pounds less than
ast year.

ALL HAY production, at 148 million tons, is up 2 percent from 1989. Higher
yields, partly offset by lower acreage, are resulting in the larger hay
crop.

ALL TOBACCO production for 1990 is forecast at 1.52 billion pounds, 11 percent
above 1989. The higher production from a year ago is the result of a7
percent larger acreage and an 86 pound per acre higher yield.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 547 million bushels, down 11 per-

cent from 1989. Area for harvest as grain, at 9.26 million acres, is
down 17 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 59.1 bushels
per acre, up 3.7 bushels from last season.

CrPr 2-2 (8-90) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


STATE : : IND: + IND : : IND

1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1999 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL /: 25 25 55.0 50.0 1,100 1,375 1,250
AR 1/ : 52 3773.0 62.0 3,150 3,796 2,294
CA: 45 40 70.0 65.0 2,730 3,150 2,600
co: 55 50 55.0 53.0 3,000 3,025 2,650
GA 1/: 70 40 59.0 60.0 2,835 4,130 2,400
ID: 60 30 68.0 66.0 3,060 4,080 1,980
IL: 200 160 85.0 71.0 9,180 17,000 11,360
IN: 95 70 72.0 67.0 3,000 6,840 4,690
IA: 750 500 72.0 68.0 25,000 54,000 34,000
KS: 200 120 45.0 53.0 5,850 9,000 6,360
KY: 8 2/ 60.0 2 400 480 2/
ME: 37 33. 70.0 75.0 2,925 2,590 2,475
MD 1/: 24 21 «55.0 56.0 884 1,320 1,176
MI: 300 230 «67.0 63.0 6,000 20,100 14,490
MN: 850 730 55.0 65.0 24,750 46,750 47,450
MO: 60 35 «60.0 ~=—-52.0 1,520 3,600 1,820
MT: 145 105 46.0 = 40.0 2,790 6,670 4,200
NE: 240 300 36.0 48.0 12,160 8,640 14,400
NJ: 6 2/ 44.0 2/ 200 264 2/
NY: 155 125 59.0 67.0 7,540 9,145 8,375
NC: 55 45 57.0 58.0 3,850 3,135 2,610
ND: 650 800 31.0 48.0 7,200 20,150 38,400
OH: 250 230 63.0 73.0 9,000 15,750 16,790
OK oo: 60 60 34.0 38.0 2,730 2,040 2,280
OR: 70 45 98.0 100.0 6,500 6,860 4,500
PA: 255 240 «54.0 66.0 13,000 13,770 15,840
SC l/: 40 35 59.0 57.0 3,024 2,360 1,995
so: ~—-1,100 1,000 40.0 52.0 20,000 44,000 52,000
HX : 200 250 33.0 45.0 9,000 6,600 11,250
UT 1/: 7 15 74.0 74.0 1,008 1,258 1,110
VA: 9 2/ «55.0 2/ 636 495 2/
WA: 45 40 63.0 66.0 2,345 2,835 2,640
WoW/: 6 6 50.0 52.0 288 300 312
Wi: 710 730 66.0 68.0 19,720 46,860 49,640
Woof: 30 40 47.0 50.0 1,225 1,410 2,000
US : 6,874 6,187 54.4 59.0 217,600 373,778 365,337

1/ CURRENT ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. 2/ ESTIMATES
DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-12 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

PRODUCTION

: 1989

1,000 BUSHELS

1,000 ACRES
AL: 30 25

AZ : 3 Vy
AR 2 340 270
CA H 9 l/
co : 325 230
GA : 50 40
IL : 140 130
KS : 3,750 2,800
KY : 9 30
LA : 95 85
MS : 85 75
MO : 570 520
NE : 1,650 1,400
NM : 250 100
NC : 60 40
OK : 360 350
Sc : 10 15
so : 290 300
TN : 27 50

TX =: 3,100 2,800
: 12,153 9,260

1,025
400
21,080
1,200
8,280
1,400
6,000
204,600
550
5,850
8,680
38,070
103,360
8,700
2,310
16,200
256
11,000
2,275
135,450

576, 686

1,500
240
21,080
810
11,375
2,000
11,620
198,750
720
6,175
4,505
45,030
102,300
12,500
3,240
17,640
450
11,600
2,025
164,300

617,860

134,400
546,835

1/_ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION
AUGUST 1990

1990
BUSHELS
50.0 45.0
80.0 V
62.0 64.0
90.0 Y/
35.0 45.0
40.0 36.0
83.0 80.0
53.0 61.0
80.0 78.0
65.0 69.0
53.0 60.0
79.0 78.0
62.0 75.0
50.0 45.0
54.0 50.0
49.0 46.0
45.0 35.0
40.0 53.0
75.0 75.0
53.0 48.0
55.4 59.1
A-11

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


The California all grape forecast is 4.96 million tons, 8 percent below the
1989 season and 10 percent less than the 1988 production. The California
raisin type forecast as of August 1, based on the findings of the grape objec-
tive measurement survey, is 2.25 million tons, unchanged from the July fore-
cast, but 12 percent below 1989. The Thampson Seedless crop is in good
condition with excellent maturity. The average cluster count is down from
last year, but clusters are full and berry size large. There is no Raisin
Industry Diversion Program (RID) for 1990. There was no RID Program for 1989
either, but 25,000 acres were enrolled in the program during 1988.

The August 1 forecast for California's wine type grapes is 2.10 million
tons, 2 percent below the July forecast and 4 percent less than a year ago.
Wine grape harvest is expected to begin by mid-August. The French Colarbard
variety looks very good throughout California. Memorial Day weekend rains in
the Napa, Sonoma, and Mendocino areas may have hurt black wine grapes but
white wine varieties are doing fine. The crop condition in other major areas
and for other varieties is similar to last year.

California's table type grape production is forecast at 610 thousand
tons, down 3 percent from both last month's forecast and last year's
production. The harvest of table grapes for fresh market was active in the
San Joaquin Valley during July. Excellent quality was reported for most
varieties. Cluster counts are down slightly from last year.

The Michigan grape crop is forecast at 58.0 thousand tons, 35 percent
above last year. Good pollinating weather and excellent growing conditions
are reflected in the large Michigan grape crop. Harvest of early wine varie-
ties is expected to begin by late August, while Concord harvest should begin
about the third week in September. The New York all grape forecast is at 150
thousand tons, a 1 percent decline from last season. Early season crop poten-
tial appeared to be very good. However, at this time, many growers are disap-
pointed with crop size on some varieties. In general, Concords have the poor-
est set. French hybrids tend to look better, and viniferas look quite good.
The Concord crop appears to be poorest in western New York, where more than
three-fourths of the crop is produced. Pennsylvania production is forecast at
53.0 thousand tons, 12 percent below last year. Bunch sizes are reported
small, but berry size is above normal. There are no disease or insect prob-
lems at this time. The Washington forecast for all grapes is 220 thousand
tons, 4 percent below 1989 production. The forecast consists of 177 thousand
tons of Concord grapes and 43.0 thousand tons of wine varieties. Concord
grapes had an extended bloom period this spring which lowered yield potential.
Cluster counts are down while berry counts are higher. Wine grape berry set
was light, but August weather will be a factor in berry development.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most groves and trees are in very good condition in spite of

the hot July temperatures and continuing below average rain-
fall. Virtually every reporting area in this State's citrus belt needs rain
to help replenish sub-surface moisture. Lakes, ponds, and streams are all
lower than normal for midsummer. As a result of continuing irrigation, there
is an abundance of new foliage forming on trees of all ages in all areas of
the State. Most new crop fruit is making very good progress. Fruit sizes are
much larger than normal for the first of August. Several fresh fruit houses
are starting to test early bloom fruit for early harvest. Caretakers have
been busy cutting cover crops, applying summer fertilizers, and spraying be-
tween rains and thunderstorms.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-14 NASS, USDA


JULY WEATHER SUMMARY

Thunderstorms continued to bring severe weather, abundant rain, and
local flooding to the Corn Belt and parts of the Great Plains and Atlantic
Coast States throughout July. An active Southwest monsoon caused widespread
showers, flash floods, and contributed to the above-normal rainfall over much
of the western third of the Nation. In mid-July, thunderstorms raked southern
Texas with torrential rain. ‘The storms deluged El Dorado with 12.5 inches,
San Antonio with 10 inches, and Beeville with 10.64 inches. Dry conditions
remained over parts of the Southeast.

Unseasonably cool air prevailed in the Plains and Mississippi Valley,
while the West remained hot. Above-normal temperatures continued along the
Atlantic seaboard.

JULY CROP DEVELOPMENT

Early in July, het, dry weather stressed crops in the central and
southern Great Plains, Delta, and southeast. Soil moisture was mostly short
in the Delta and Southeast. Rain improved crop conditions late in the month,
but additional rain was needed, especially in the Southeast. Soil moisture
was mostly adequate in the Corn Belt and adequate to short in the northemn
Great Plains. Crop development lagged behind normal in the Corn Belt. Soil
moisture was short to adequate in most of the West.

Corn was in mostly good to fair condition during July. Crop development
lagged behind normal during the month, especially in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa,
and Missouri. By July 29, in the 17 major producing states, 56 percent (%) of
the acreage was in the silking stage or beyond, 26 percentage points behind
the 5-year average. Hot, dry weather during July stressed the crop in the
Southeast. Near the end of the month, rain improved crop condition, but it
was still mostly fair to poor in Georgia and North Carolina. Corn was in good
condition in the Corn Belt. Harvest began in Texas early in the month and was
underway in Georgia by mid-July.

Soybeans were mostly in good to fair condition during July. Crop
development lagged behind normal in the central and western Corn Belt during
the month. By July 29, 16% of the acreage was setting pods, 19 points behind
normal. Lack of moisture stressed the crop in the Delta and Southeast during
the month. Near the end of the month, rain improved crop condition, but
additional moisture was needed. In the Com Belt, soybeans were in good to
fair condition.

Sorghum was in fair to good condition during July. Lack of misture
stressed the crop in the central and southern Great Plains. Crop development
lagged behind normal in Missouri, Nebraska, and Oklahama. Near the end of the
month, rain improved condition in most of the Great Plains and Delta. By July
29, 32% of the acreage was headed, 10 points behind normal. Harvest was
active in Texas.

Cotton was in good to fair condition during July. Crop development
lagged behind normal in Missouri and Tennessee but was near or ahead of normal
in the other major producing states. Lack of moisture stressed the crop in
portions of the Delta and Southeast. Rain improved condition in the Delta and
Southeast near the end of the month, but additional moisture was needed for
this crop as well. By July 29, 70% of the crop was setting bolls, 5 points
ahead of normal.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 E-2 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

AUGUST 4, 1990 On
— J q
} ©

DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)
AUGUST 4, 1990

Sees oi cement ts ol er ree NOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY eden pruteisery myers,
,
))
3

c Next Chart August 21
{_Xuooarate Z J
J TBE EXTREM yy vi +
o fa Sa
f 3
eT
S (77 187,
HEME! y
a
ey et
tem ~
=, ~~ ~ = © 5
rand — ;
7 \
+) SS s 7 wee 7
N
+ N uy
1 4 fooenaye / A
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PEM status OF NATER SUPPLIES ia Aauietas 8s 7
HEROES ST a POAA/USA JOU AGRICULTURAL VETER ACTLTY ean
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

AUGUST 1990 8-1 NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, BY STATES, 1990, UNITED STATES, 1988-90

CORN : SORGHUM SOYBEANS
AL 470
AZ
AR *3,100
CA
co
CT
DE 200

80
GA *900
IL : 10,700 150 9,200
IN : 5,600 4,300
IA : 12,800 8,000
KS : 1,600 3,100 2,000
kY : 1,350 35 1,250
LA : 240 100 1,800
ME : 40
MD 550 505
MA 36
MI : 2,400 1,150
MN : 6,700 4,600
MS : 190 80 *2,100
MO : *2,100 550 *4,200
MT : 65
NE : 7,700 1,600 2,400
NH : 17
Nd. : . 100 110
NM : 90 *150
NY : 1,240
NC : 1,250 65 1,400
ND : 870 450
OH : 3,700 3,700
OK : 90 420 250
OR : 50
PA 1,380 280
RI : 2
sc : 390 40 800
sD : 3,400 500 1,950
IN : 620 60 1,300
1X : 1,750 3,150 250
UT : 65
VT 86
VA 530 540
WA 120
Ww 90
WI 3,700 440
WY 90
YEAR UNITED STATES

1988 67,717 10,343 58,840
1989 72,296 12,642 60,670
1990 74,474 10,685 57,725
* UPDATED FROM "ACREAGE" RELEASED JUNE 28, 1990.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

AUGUST 1990 A-8 NASS, USDA


ALL OTHER HAY

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE 3 --------n-- non nnn nnn nnn nn errr nnn nner ner een enn nn ner nen n nnn neee
IND : : IND : : : IND
1989 1990 : 1989 1990 : 1988: 1989: 1990
1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
AL : 700 750 2.20 2.00 1,500 1,540 1,500
AZ : 35 35 4.00 4.50 100 140 158
AR : 965 950 2.20 1.90 1,590 2,123 1,805
CA : 650 540 2.60 2.40 1,392 1,690 1,296
co : 750 670 1.40 1.50 1,305 1,050 1,005
CT : 66 60 1.90 2.30 135 125 138
DE : 16 15 2.25 2.30 34 36 35
FL : 260 280 2.30 2.30 648 598 644
GA : 600 570 2.70 2.30 1,254 1,620 1,311
ID 190 190 1.70 1,80 385 323 342
IL 320 300 2.00 2.30 935 640 690
IN 370 350 2.50 2.50 672 925 875
IA 500 400 1.90 2.50 1,120 950 1,000
KS 1,600 1,650 1.60 1.60 2,700 2,560 2,640
KY 1,950 1,880 2.10 2.00 2,775 4,095 3,760
LA 295 320 2.60 2.70 863 767 864
ME 200 200 1.90 1.95 333 380 390
MD 155 160 2.00 2.30 363 310 368
MA 72 74 2.15 2.40 171 155 178
MI 250 250 2.10 2.20 840 525 550
MN 900 800 2.20 2.40 2,400 1,980 1,920
MS 650 575 2.40 2.40 1,300 1,560 1,380
MO : 3,200 3,200 1.65 1.85 4,080 5,280 5,920
MT 1,000 1,050 1.50 1.40 700 1,500 1,470
NE 2,000 2,250 0.95 1.20 2,460 1,900 2,700
NV 275 260 1.40 1.10 286 385 286
NH 60 56 2.10 2.10 137 126 118
NJ 77 84 1.90 2.00 135 146 168
NM 60 65 1.80 1.70 99 108
NY 1,240 1,220 2.00 2.05 2,321 2,480 2,501
NC 480 460 2.20 1.95 714 1,056 897
ND 1,900 1,700 0.80 0.90 1,190 1,520 1,530
OH 900 800 2.40 2.50 1,440 2,160 2,000
OK 1,950 1,800 1.70 1.40 2,660 3,315 2,520
OR 650 600 1.80 1.70 1,073 1,170 1,020
PA 1,110 1,110 2.10 2.20 2,128 2,331 2,442
RI 5 2.30 2.30 1 12 1
sc 235 240 2.40 1.90 504 564 456
sD 2,100 2,200 0.90 1.50 1,600 1,890 3,300
IN 1,610 1,470 2.00 2.10 2,100 3,220 3,087
1X 3,800 3,800 2.40 1.80 4,960 9,120 6,840
UT 130 125 1.90 2.00 266 247 250
VT 260 265 1.95 2.00 495 507 530
VA 1,050 1,040 1.90 1.70 1,836 1,995 1,768
WA : 300 320 2.50 2.40 775 750 768
wy : 490 500 1.70 1,80 624 833 900
WI : 500 500 1.90 2.10 612 950 1,050
WY : 580 670 1.00 1.20 682 580 804
US : 37,456 36,809 1.82 1.80 56,706 68,237 66,295
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

AUGUST 1990 A-22 USDA, NASS


The Northwest States of Idaho, Washington, and Oregon complain that recent hot
weather has hurt bloom and stressed plants. California harvest is underway
with relatively low yields on early fields.

SUMMER POTATOES: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 25.3 million

cwt, up 14 percent from last year and 26 percent above 1988.
Area for harvest, at 101 thousand acres, is up 8 percent from 1989 and 10
percent above two years ago.

The average yield is forecast at 250 cwt per acre, up 3 cwt from a month ago
and 13 cwt above last year.

The Atlantic Coast States of New Jersey, Delaware, and Virginia report
the greatest improvement over last year as growers bounced back from a poor
production year. At the end of July, harvest was nearing completion in
Virginia and was about 30 percent finished in Delaware. Hot weather in the
mid-section of the country reduced prospects from the July 1 forecast in
Minnesota, Missouri, Colorado, and Texas. Excessive rain reduced sizing in
Minnesota. In Michigan, excellent growing conditions pushed potatoes to above
average yields, as harvest continues. Farmers in Colorado may slow harvest
progress to allow more sizing. The New Mexico crop is holding well with a 13
percent increase in both acreage and production from a year ago. Harvest is
active in California, but sizes were limited by hot weather during the growing
season.

TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco production for 1990 is forecast at 1.52 billion

pounds, 11 percent above 1989. The higher production is a result of
both increased acreage and higher yields. Yields are expected to average
2,102 pounds per acre, compared with 2,016 last year. Area for harvest is up
7 percent from last year.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 872 million pounds, 8 percent
more than a year ago and 2 percent above the forecast a month ago. Yield per
acre, at 2,095 pounds, is 26 pounds more than last year's average yield. Area
for harvest is 6 percent greater than in 1989.

In North Carolina, the flue-cured crop has received spotty rain since
early June. Some areas are very dry but mid-July showers were beneficial.
South Carolina's harvest started earlier than usual and was in full swing by
mid-July. By month's end, harvest was 40 percent complete, compared with 28
percent last year. More rain is needed for the top leaves to fill cut.
Georgia's harvest progress at month's end was slightly ahead of average.
Irrigation maintained tobacco in a favorable condition despite the drought.
In Virginia, topping as well as insect and sucker control was active during
duly.

Burley output is expected to total 567 million pounds in 1990, up 17
percent from 1989. ‘The larger production is attributed to both increased
acreage and higher yields. Yield is forecast to average 2,153 pounds per
acre, 178 pounds more than last year's. Growers expect to harvest 263 thou-
sand acres, an increase of 8 percent from the area harvested a year earlier.

In Kentucky, burley tobacco suffered from a dry July and some fields are
bloaming at only knee height. By July 29, 42 percent had bloomed compared
with 63 percent last year.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 BS NASS, USDA



In Tennessee, the crop has grown well and stands are mostly uniform. Topping
is on schedule. Currently, growers are trying to control an umusually large
aphid population.

Dark fire-cured production is forecast at 33.7 million pounds, up 16
percent from a year earlier. Acreage is up 9 percent. Yield is expected to
average 2,048 pounds per acre compared with 1,915 pounds the previous year.

Southern Maryland type 32 production, at 16.5 million pounds, is up 8
percent from 1989. Yield per acre of 1,525 pounds compares with 1,354 pounds
last year. This higher yield was partly offset by a 4 percent reduction in
acreage.

Growers of dark air-cured tobacco expect to produce 7.29 million pounds,
a 12 percent increase from 1989. Area for harvest, at 3,690 acres, is up 4
percent fram last year.

All cigar-type production is expected to total 28.4 million pounds, 11
percent more than in 1989. Cigar filler production is expected to increase 15
percent. Binder and wrapper production are both forecast to be 8 percent
above last year.

SUGARBEETS: The sugarbeet production forecast, at 28.1 million tons, is 12

above last year's output. The larger production is the
combined result of increased acreage and higher yields compared with year ago.
Production is expected to be up in all the producing States.

Expected area for harvest, at 1.38 million acres, is up 6 percent fron
last year. Average yield is forecast at 20.4 tons per acre, 1.0 ton greater
than a year earlier.

In the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota, planting was
completed about a week earlier than usual. Limited precipitation during July
lowered both the top and subsoil moisture supply. The production forecast is
up from a year ago by 12 percent for Minnesota and 14 percent for North
Dakota

California growers began harvest of the spring planted crop in mid-July
with warmer than normal temperatures. Projected production is up 2 percent
from 1989.

The Idaho crop is forecast at 4.58 million tons, up 14 percent from the
4.04 million tons a year earlier.

Michigan sugarbeets have received timely rains and soil moisture is
adequate. Stands are uniform and beets have sized well for this date.

SUGARCANE: Sugarcane production for sugar and seed in 1990 is forecast at

24.9 million tons, down 15 percent from last year. The decrease
reflects a sharp reduction in output expected in Louisiana, but is partially
offset with small increases in output expected in Florida, Hawaii, and Texas.
Nationally, the acreage is below 1989, but the average yield is above last
year. With the Louisiana acreage off because of last winter's freeze, a
national harvested acreage of 709 thousand acres is expected. This represents
a 17 percent decline from 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-10 NASS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/

PRODUCTION

TOTAL 2/

: IND
1988 1989 1990
MILLION POUNDS

AL 3/ 4/ 24.8 40.0
AR 4/ 10.0 9:0 11:0
CA 630.0 675.0 650.0
co : 65.0 70.0 40.0
cI : 41:0 36.0 39:0
DE 4: 19:0 15.0 19:5
6A yo: 33:0 25.0 25.0
10 : 135.0 158.0 165.0
IL : 85.0 91-0 65.0
IN i 56.0 64.0 57.0
IA 4): 9:5 11:5 11/5
KS ay: 12:0 1320 8.0
KY yo: 11:0 16.0 8.0
ME : 94:0 69:0 81:0
MO : 54.0 37:0 33:0
MA : 88:0 78.0 88:0
MI : 830.0 950.0 800.0
MN 4: 14:0 31:0 22:0
MO : 56.0 55.0 46.0
NH : 57.0 41.0 45.0
Nd : 65.0 48.0 50.0
NM 4): 10:0 5:3 11:5
NY i 910.0 960.0 990.0
NC : 350-0 220:0 230.0
OH : 95.0 125.0 120.0
OR : 155.0 160.0 170:0
PA : 520.0 320.0 470.0
RI : 6.0 5.5 5.5
sc ay: 38.0 35:0 30.0
N a7: 12:5 11:5 9:0
UT af: 40:0 56.0 26.0
VT : 45.0 45:0 45.0
VA : 425:0 325.0 210:0
WA : 3,900.0 5,000.0 4,900.0
w : 215.0 115.0 130:0
WI : 45.0 65.0 52.
US : 9,131.0 9,965.6 9,703.0

1/__IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES. ue INCLUDES UNHARVESTED
PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS): UNITED STATES 1988-49.6,
1989-45.4. 3/ ESTIMATES BEGAN WITH 1989 CROP. 4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR
CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

HOPS

PRODUCTION

1,000 POUNDS

4,091 4,050
11,859 11,360
43,376 45,150
59,326

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 28 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

1,000 ACRES
CORN : 72,296 74,474 64,781 66,706
SORGHUM > 12,642 10,685 11,153 9,260
OATS : 12,080 10,420 6,874 6,187
BARLEY : 9,175 8,277 8,303 7,746
ALL WHEAT : 76,615 77,326 62,149 69,886
WINTER : 55,091 57,028 41,469 50,102
DURUM : 3,791 3,570 3,673 3,500
OTHER SPRING : 17,733 16,728 17,007 16,284
RICE : 2,731.0 2,865.0 2,687.0 2,818.0
SOYBEANS : 60,670 57,725 59,388 56,553
PEANUTS > 1,665.2 1,734.0 1,644.7 1,705.5
ALL COTTON : 10,586.6 12,309.2 9,537.7 11,471.3
UPLAND : 10,209.7 12,072.5 9,166.0 11,236.8
AMER-PIMA : 376.9 236.7 371.7 234.5
ALL HAY : 63,395 61,734
ALFALFA : 25,939 24,925
ALL OTHER : 37,456 36,809
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1,857.6 2,219.0 1,689.9 2,127.9
SUMMER POTATOES : 97.2 105.8 93.5 101.2
TOBACCO 2/ : 678.4 725.2
SUGARBEETS > 1,324.2 1,397.1 1,294.7 1,377.2
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED Hy 851.9 709.2
HOPS : 34.5 35.6

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.£., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1989 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED

CROP : : : : INDICATED
1989 : 1990 1/_ : 1989 : 1990 1/

1,000 ACRES
RYE > 2,014 1,690 479 433

FLAXSEED : 210 240 177 232
POTATOES :
WINTER : 13.1 13.5 13.1 13.2
SPRING : 92.3 95.5 88.9 94.4
FALL : 1,101.8 1,166.0 1,086.4 1,151.8
SUNFLOWER > =1,880 1,930 1,826 1,864
SWEETPOTATOES : 89.5 94.5 86.0 91.7

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-4 NASS, USDA




Major pruning, topping, 3; and hedging have all been reported during July in most
central and northern counties.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: California growers were active in July harvesting

fruit and spraying for pests. The harvesting of
Gravenstein apples began in Sonoma County late in the month, while the bagging
of dates commenced in Riverside County. The apricot harvest was completed by
late July. The picking of figs progressed. Grape vineyards continued to be
irrigated and treated for pests and mildew. The Desert Valley table grape
harvest ended, while picking of Central Valley table grapes gained momentum.
Approximately 70 percent of the Freestone peaches and plums have been harves-
ted. Nearly 60 percent of the nectarines were packed by month's end. Har-
vesting of Clingstone peaches began in the Sacramento Valley. Packing of
Bartlett pears commenced in the Sacramento River district followed by the
harvesting of Asian pears. Picking of avocados was slow but steady throughout
the month. Sunmer grapefruit harvest progressed while the packing of Valencia
oranges was slow. Almonds received final irrigations with hullsplit beginning
at month's end.

RAKKEAEEEEERARERRERREREREEE ERE IARI RIERA IAAI RAEI ARERR
* NOTICE

*

* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available
* reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608,

* Rockville, MD. 20849-1608 or call 800-999-6779.

*

* The next issue of this report will be published September 12,
* 1990 and will include:

*

* Indicated area harvested, yield, and production as of September*
* 1 for corm for grain, all wheat, durum and other spring wheat, *
barley, cotton, rice, sorghum for grain, dry edible beans,
soybeans for beans, peanuts for nuts, summer potatoes, tobacco
(by types and classes), sugarbeets, sugarcane for sugar and
seed; indicated cottonseed production; 1990-91 production
for California Navel oranges.

+ ee OO

+e te ee ee

Indicated production of wheat and rice by classes (U.S.),
pears, grapes, prunes and plums (Idaho, Michigan, Oregon,

* Washington), hazelnuts (filberts), prunes (California),

* walnuts, pecans, and pistachio nuts; papaya acreage and prod-
* duction; condition of pastures and ranges. Index of produc-
* tion by groups of crops for United States.

*

* Revised production of 1989-90 coffee. Revised area planted
* and harvested, yield, and production of 1989 fall potatoes.
* Revised production for 1989-90 citrus and final for 1988-89
* le

REREREEEREREEEEEEREREERERERERREKEREEREREEEREREREREREEEERREEEREREREREE

ee ee ee eS

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-15 NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : IND: : : IND
: 1989 : 1990 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL W/ : 220 200 30.0 30.0 8,600 6,600 6,000
AZ Y/ : 34 54 93.0 95.0 3,430 3,162 5,130
AR : 1,200 1,300 44.0 36.0 56,710 52,800 46,800
CA : 570 550 77.0 78.0 40,670 43,890 42,900
co : 2,200 2,550 26.0 33.0 75,900 57,200 84,150
DE 1/ : 14 60 = 42.0 51.0 3,276 3,108 3,060
FL 1/ : 65 60 29.0 34.0 2,520 1,885 2,040
GA 1/ : 700 590 32.0 36.0 21,500 22,400 21,240
1D : 810 920 70.0 78.0 50,820 56,700 71,760
IL : 1,780 1,950 59.0 47.0 67,500 105,020 91,650
IN : 880 970 59.0 52.0 35,000 51,920 50,440
IA If : 70 70 47.0 47.0 1,225 3,290 3,290
KS : 8,900 11,800 24.0 40.0 323,000 213,600 472,000
KY : 450 500 50.0 37.0 20,520 22,500 18,500
LA 1/ : 350 390 31.0 33.0 11,070 10,850 12,870
MD I/ : 215 190 40.0 53.0 9,010 8,600 10,070
MI : 640 750 53.0 56.0 26,040 33,920 42,000
MN 1/ : 120 75 38.0 32.0 1,440 4,560 2,400
Ms : 450 520 34.0 30.0 20,700 15,300 15,600
Mo : 1,850 2,000 47.0 38.0 75,950 86,950 76 ,000
MT > 1,500 2,600 36.0 35.0 39,900 54,000 91,000
NE : 2,050 2,250 27.0 38.0 72,000 55,350 85,500
NV 1/ : 6 6 80.0 75.0 560 480 450
NO 1/: 35 29 39.0 43.0 1,395 1,365 1,247
NM OW/ : 160 300 20.0 30.0 6,960 3,200 9,000
NY I/: 130 145 45.0 49.0 4,950 5,850 7,105
NC : 630 550 34.0 41.0 24,000 21,420 22,550
ND I/ : 80 170 29.0 29.0 1,690 2,320 4,930
OH : 1,230 1,350 51.0 59.0 46,000 62,730 79,650
ok : 5,700 6,300 27.0 33.0 172,800 153,900 207,900
OR : 815 910 60.0 60.0 46,860 48,900 54,600
PA If: 215 210 37.0 48.0 9,010 7,955 10,080
soy: 435 385 41.0 38.0 14,030 17,835 14,630
SD : 1,350 1,700 26.0 37.0 21,590 35,100 62,900
TN : 450 490 42.0 34.0 21,500 18,900 16,660
1X : 3,000 4,200 20.0 31.0 89,600 60,000 130,200
uly: 155 150 32.0 38.0 5,580 4,960 5,700
VA 1/ : 275 260 46.0 49.0 10,400 12,650 12,740
WA : 1,300 2,200 53.0 65.0 108,500 68,900 143,000
WoW: 12 13 43.0 45.0 414 516 585
WEY: 170 185 53.0 56.0 5,000 9,010 10,360
WoW: 193 200 22.0 28.0 4,290 4,246 5,600
US : 41,469 50,102 35.1 41.0 1,561,910 1,453,842 2,054,287

1/_ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-15 NASS, USDA


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : : IND: : IND : : IND
: 1989 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988: 1989 : 1990
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
AL : 239.0 239.0 2,250 2,600 561,680 537,750 . 621,400
FL: 87.0 92:0 23470 2,700 228,600 214,890 ° 248,400
GA: 685.0 705.0 2,700 23500 1,801,550 1,849,500 1,762,500
NM: (18:2 20:0 27400 2,400 30,552 43,680 ” 48.000
NC: 152:0 163.0 2,435 2,700 419,985 370,120 440, 100
OK : 98:0 108:0 27150 2300 225,040 «2103700 ©. 248;.400
sc: (12.5 13.5 2,600 2,200 32,110 323500 29,700
1X: 262:0 2700 13850 13900 417,500 + 4847700 513000
VA: 91.0 95:0 22705 2,800 263,900 246,155 266,000
US : 1,644.7 1,705.5 2,426 2,449 3,980,917 3,989,995 4,177,500
1/_ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS
RICE
AREA HARVESTED : YIELD PRODUCTION
“TUIND os, : IND: IND
1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1990: 1988 1989 1990
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
AR: 1,140.0 1,210.0 5,600 5,350 64,735 63,840 64,735
CA: 410.0 "385.0 73900 7;700 293840 327390 29645
tA: 485.0 «565.0 4,430 4,650 247080 21,488 26,273
MS: 235.0 235.0 §;700 5,600 ‘13,780 137395 13,160
MO: = 79:0 65.0 55200 4,900 4) 182 47108 33185
TX : 3380 358.0 5/700 5,900 23/280 193266 21,122
US : 2,687.0 2,818.0 5,749 5,611 159,897 154,487 158,120

YEAR LONG GRAIN : MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN ALL
ee loo cwro | 00tt—<“Ss=CSsSCSTMS
1988 : 119,364 36,891 3,642 159,897
1989 : 109,541 41,126 3,820 154,487
1990 1/ : 109,209 47,630 1,280 158,120

1/ INDICATED AUGUST 1, 1990, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-17 NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about August 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports from
farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, cotton, and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions
and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their local-
ities. Objective yield surveys provided smal? plot observations, counts and
measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling
and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More important-
ly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future weather
effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly
affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by express-
ing the deviations between the August | production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared per-
centage deviations for the 1970-89 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the ‘Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current fore-
casts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year’s forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 8.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current production forecast of 7,850 mi]lion bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 8.5 percent or approximate]
667 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level
that the difference will not exceed 14.6 percent or approximately 1,14
million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn
again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final esti-
mate during the past 10 years have averaged 298 million bushels, ranging from
7 million to 1,063 million bushels. The August ] forecast has been below the
final estimate 4 times and above 6 times. is does not imply that the August
1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final produc-
tion. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or
above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERRO! 10-YEAR RECORD OF
Boweer ees scersreesr ces : DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
290% CONFIDENCE: AND FINAL ESTIMATE

: PERCENT: -----=

CROP AND
UNIT

FEED GRAINS 1
CORN FOR GRAI!
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
OATS

BARLEY

ALL WHEAT
WINTER
DURUM
OTHER SPRING

RICE

SOYBEANS FOR :
BEANS BU:

BALES 2/:

CWT:

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-3 NASS, USDA

COTTON
ORY EDIBLE
BEANS


Growers expect to harvest 1.43 million acres, up 7 percent fram last year.
The Arizona and California crops are in good to excellent condition.
Arizona's yield is slightly higher than last year, while California's yield is
expected to average 28 pounds less than 1989.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North
Carolina, and South Carolina) puts production at 1.27 million bales, 25
percent greater than last year's production. Crop development in Alabama and
Georgia was delayed early in the season, due to hot, dry conditions, but
recent rains improved development. North Carolina's cotten development has
been slightly ahead of average. In South Carolina, the hot, dry weather
caused the crop to develop shorter stalks, but fruit heavily.

Bureau of the Census reports 119,793 running bales ginmed prior to
1, compared with 90,154 rumning bales to the same date last year and
136,063 running bales in 1988.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1990, based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio,
is expected to total 5.78 million tons, up 23 percent from the
1989 production of 4.68 million tons.

ALL HAY: Production is forecast at 148 million tons, an increase of 2 percent

from last year. Higher yields, partly offset by lower acreage, are
resulting in the larger hay crop. Area for harvest, totaling 61.7 million
acres, is down 3 percent from 1989. The forecasted average yield of 2.40 tons
per acre compares with last year's average of 2.29 tons per acre.

ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES: U.S. production is forecast at 82.2 million

tons, 6 percent above last year. The total
area cut and to be aut, at 24.9 million acres, falls short of last year's area
harvested for alfalfa hay by 4 percent. Yield is expected to average 3.30
tons per acre, up 0.32 of a ton from the 1989 average yield.

ALL OTHER HAY: Production of all other hay is expected to total 66.3 million

tons, 3 percent less than a year earlier. Area harvested is
expected to total 36.8 million acres, 2 percent below last year. Yield per
acre is expected to average 1.80 tons per acre, compared with 1.82 tons per
acre in 1989.
DRY EDIBLE BEANS: The 1990 crop of dry beans is forecast at a record high
33.5 million cwt, up 38 percent fram last year and 74
percent above 1988. Area for harvest is estimated at 2.13 million acres, up
26 percent from last year and 57 percent above two years ago. The average
yield is forecast at 1576 pounds of clean beans per acre, 9 percent above last
year and 11 percent above 1988.

A good to excellent crop is in the making. Development in Northern and
Central States has been good. New York forecasts a record high yield as a
result of excellent growing corditions. ‘The Michigan crop is being compared
with the best-ever 1986 crop that was later ruined by rain. Nebraska has an
excellent crop, although northern counties are developing late. North Dakota
and Minnesota are holding on, despite declining soil moisture. In Colorado,
increased use of irrigation has pushed yield expectations to record highs.
Hot, dry weather has hurt fields in Utah and Texas.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 Bs NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY STATES

2,880
12,375
524,273

3 1,450 1,800 1,300 1,600 2,720 1,
WI 3 5,700 6,300 1,998 1,964 6,906 11,391
US : 678,400 725,190 2,016 2,102 1,369,500 1,367,331 1,
SUGARBEETS 1/
AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

3 1,000 ACRES TONS
cA : 169.0 175.0 27.3 27.0
co 3 40.0 40.0 22.8 23.0
1D 2 177.0 187.0 22.8 24.5
MI : 150.0 157.0 17.1 19.0
MN : 341.0 360.0 16.0 17.0
aT : 51.9 55.0 19.9 20.0
Ne : 82,4 738 187 20,6
NO : 180.1 190.0 54 17.0
OH t 11.9 19.0 16.7 18.5
OR : 15.2 16.0 25.7 27.0
TX 3 35.3 41.0 21.0 22.0
WY H 59.3 63.4 19.2 19.5
OTHER 3/: 1.6 2.2 27.5 25.9

1,000 TONS
5,300 4,614
880 912

4,084 4,038
2,393 2,565
4,743 5,456
1,032 1,033
1,313 1,167

/

2,580 2,828
34 199
376 391
723 743
1,137 1,139
44

1
aeers IN CA.
3/ INCLUDES WA.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED

1989
1,000 TONS
13,304 13,188
7,804 7,277
7,708 8,083
1,088 878
29,904 29,426

ED
2/ INCLUDED IN OTHER TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.

1990

13,293
7,444

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

31.5
31:9
1
26:0
35.1
YoNETTONS. SSS
CROP PRODUCTION
AUGUST 1996 A-26

NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1981-90 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR: : : HAY: : : : :

: ALL 1/: FEED : AND : FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON :TOBACCO: OIL

: : GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : : : CROPS
1981: 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982): #117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983: 87 67 100 116 93 54 75 91
1984 =: 110 115 107 129 95 90 90 106
1985 : 116 133 106 121 95 93 79 117
1986 : 107 123 107 106 106 68 61 107
1987 : 106 106 101 107 ill 103 62 108
1988: 91 73 88 98 105 107 72 89
1989: = 106 108 100 107 105 85 71 106
1990 : ll 111 102 136 104 103 80 103

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

HIIII IIR AIR IIIS IRIE IR IA IIIS IIIAI IOAN IIIS seit: tek

* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with*
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data

* were prepared and adopted by the Agriculural Statistics Board which con-
* sists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington
* headquarters.

John D. Witzig.

* ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

IK IKIRRIR III IIIA III SII IIA IA ISIS IISA SSSI SAIS IIASA IAI SSSI AISI IAIS ISAS I AIAIN

*

*

*

*
* *
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* APPROVED: Rich Allen, Chairperson, *
* L. Duane Jewell, Secretary, *
* *
* Fred S. Barrett, Thomas E. Kurtz, *
* Thomas R. Birkett, Roger D. Latham, *
* James E. Brewster, Darwin E. Ransom, *
* Arvin R. Budge, Stephen C. Ropel, *
a a William N. Dowdy, dames K. Sands, *
* Herbert H. Eldridge, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, *
* Ralph W. Gann, dames L. Smith, *
* Thomas L. Gregory, Charles D. Spilimann, *
* Robert H. Hettinger, Charles A. Van Lahr, *
* Van B. Johnson, Herbert L. Vanderberry, *
* George R. Knight, Frederic A. Vogel, *
* *

*

*

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1996 A-2 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: The first production forecast of sorgmum for grain for
1990 is 547 million bushels, down 11 percent fram 1989.
Area for harvest as grain is 9.26 million acres, down 17 percent from last
year and down 2 percent fram the 1990 mid-year acreage estimate. The acreage
decreases from the mid-year estimates are in New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas.
Yields are expected to average 59.1 bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels from last
season. Yields are up in the Northern Plains States and the Delta, which more
than offset decreases in the Southern Plains, the Carolinas, and Georgia.

At month's end, sorghum grain was 32 percent headed in the 12 major
producing states. Arkansas, Illinois, Missouri, Nebraska, and South Dakota
were well behind normal progress. Delayed planting due to wet weather has
resulted in a late maturing crop.

GATS: Production of oats is forecast at 365 million bushels, down 2 percent

from both last month and the 1989 crop. The expected yield per acre is
forecast at 59.0 bushels, compared with last season's average of 54.4 bushels.
Area harvested and to be harvested, at 6.19 million acres, is down 10 percent
fram last year's 6.87 million acres.

Prospective yields in Mimesota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin are up from
last year, while Iowa's is down 4 bushels.

Oat harvest started the last week of July in Wisconsin, well behind
normal. ‘The harvest is making near normal progress in South Dakota.

BARLEY: Total production is forecast at 403 million bushels, down 3 percent

from last month, but virtually unchanged fran the 1989 crop. The
expected yield per acre is forecast at 52.0 bushels, compared with last
season's 48.6 bushels. Area harvested and to be harvested, at 7.75 million
acres, is 7 percent below last year's 8.30 million acres.

Yields in Minnesota and North Dakota are up 5 and 11 bushels, respec-
tively, from last year. Montana yields are expected to be down 8 bushels fron
a year earlier.

ALL WHEAT: Total production is forecast at 2.71 billion bushels, up 33

percent from 1989 and up fractionally from July 1. Average yield
is 38.7 bushels per acre, 0.1 of a bushel higher than July 1 and 5.9 bushels
more than last year. Harvested area is 69.9 million acres, up 12 percent from
last season but down slightly from July 1.

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 2.05 billion bushels, up 41 percent

from 1989 and up 1 percent from July 1. Yields are forecast at
41.0 bushels per acre, up 5.9 bushels from last year and up 0.4 of a bushel
from July 1. Area for grain is 50.1 million acres, unchanged from July 1 but
up 21 percent from 1989.

___ As of July 29, 89 percent of the winter wheat was harvested in the 19
major producing states. This equals the average progress and is a point ahead
of 1989. Nationally, about 86 percent of the acreage was harvested. Most of
the unharvested area was in the Pacific Northwest, Montana, and South Dakota.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B-4 NASS, USDA


Cool spring weather, in Washington, hampered hop development. The re-
cent warm weather has been favorable for growth.

PEACHES: ‘The production forecast for all peaches is 2.12 billion pounds, up

fractionally from the July 1 forecast but 9 percent less than last
year. Excluding California Clingstone peaches, the U.S. crop is forecast at
1.12 billion pounds, slightly above the July 1 forecast but 16 percent below
1989.

California's Clingstone crop, at 1.00 billion pounds, is unchanged from
last month's forecast but reflects a 1 percent increase from 1989. One-fourth
of the California crop has been harvested. Fruit size and color are
considered good. Some split-pit problems, caused by late May rains, were
apparent in early varieties.

California Freestone crop forecast of 530 million pounds is unchanged
fran last month and is 1 percent more than last year's crop. Harvest is about
three-fourths complete. Fruit quality is good, while size is reported to be
average.

South Carolina's forecast of 90 million pounds is also unchanged from
the previous forecast, but significantly below the 270 million pounds produced
during 1989. Extensive freeze damage during the spring caused the reduction.
The harvest of the short crop was winding down as August began.

Harvest of Michigan's peach crop has begun. The crop is light, but
fruit size is good. The harvest of early varieties in New York is underway,
with the crop showing excellent fruit size and development.

OLIVES: The August 1 forecast for California olives is 95.0 thousand tons,
down 23 percent from last year's crop but 9 percent greater than

1988. Harvest is expected to begin by late August or early September in

California's southern growing region. Fruit quality and size are average.

PEARS: Total U.S. pear production is placed at 938 thousand tons, 2 percent
above last year and 9 percent more than 1988.

Bartlett pear production in California, Oregon, and Washington is
forecast at 550 thousand tons, up 1 percent from last month and 5 percent
above last year. The California crop continues to be in good condition.
Harvest is nearing completion in the Sacramento River District but just
starting in Lake County. Fruit size is reported as being near normal.
Quality appears to be excellent. In Washington State, harvest of a good,
clean crop is underway.

Pears other than Bartlett, in the Pacific Coast States, are forecast at
358 thousand tons, 1 percent below the previous forecast and virtually un-
changed from last year's production. Harvest is in full swing in California.
Quantity is good and fruit sizes are considered normal. Washington's harvest
is expected to start in early September. The crop is in good condition.

Harvest of Michigan pears should begin by the second week in August. In
New York, frost injury is now apparent in many orchards in the Hudson Valley
Region.
GRAPES: The production for all grapes in the United States is 5.50 million

tons, 7 percent below last season and 9 percent less than the 1988
crop.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 B13 NASS, USDA



PEACHES

PRODUCTION
STATE : TOTAL 1/
frece een e een ee een ew en et nee reenesceenaeee IND
1988 1989 1990
MILLION POUNDS
AL a: 24.0 15.0 12.0
AR YY: 20:0 2:5 18:0
CA - FREESTONE| : 523.0 524.0 530.0
co : 16.0 V 17:0
CT 2/ 3:0 3.3 2:7
DE ry 311 0:4 0:3
GA 2/ 140.0 125.0 130:0
1D 2 11:8 7:2 8:0
IL 20:0 13:0 0.5
IN 2/ 3.0 4:0 0.8
KS 2/ 4:5 2:5 0.1
KY 6.0 2:0 4/
LA 2/ 6.0 1.4 4.5
MD 12:8 7:6 2.2
MA 2/ 2:2 2:1 1:7
MI 45.0 55.0 45.0
MS 4:0 1:0 5/
MO 2/ 11:0 415 1.5
Nd 85:0 70:0 45.0
NY 14.1 12:5 13:5
NC 2/ 36:0 12:0 10:0
OH 2/ 6.0 8:0 5.0
OK 2 26.0 25.0 8.0
OR 2 14:0 14:0 15.0
PA 80:0 65.0 70:0
SC 340-0 270:0 90:0
N 2/ 11:0 1:3 1:5
1X 2 18:0 1410 24:0
UT 2 12:5 11:0 7.5
VA 29:0 15:0 2:5
WA 50:0 440 50.0
w : 20:0 9:0 5:0
TOTAL ABOVE : 1,597.0 1,341.3 1,121.3
CLINGSTONE 3/

ash 1,017.0 992.0 1,000.6
U 2,614.0 2,333.3 2,121.3

1/ _ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS:
UNITED STATES, EXCLUDING CA CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1988-91.5, 1989-57.9. 2/ ESTI-
MATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 3/ CA CLINGSTONE
TS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION
POUNDS} : 1988-74.0; 1989-65.0. 4/ NO SIGNIFICANT PRODUCTION DUE TO FROST.

5/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

OLIVES

PRODUCTION

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 29 NASS, USDA


BARLEY

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

IND
1990

1,000 ACRES

STATE

1989
AZ 1/ 12
CA 240
co : 160
DE 1/: 40
ID : 850
KS : 18
KY 1/: 17
MD : 80
MI 1/: 40
MN : 800
MT : 1,600
NE 1/: 25
NV I/: 11
NJ 1/: 8
NM : 5
NC 1/ : 43
ND : 2,650
OK 1/: 20
OR : 180
PA : 85
SC 1/: 10
SD : 550
TX: 15
UT : 114
VA 75
WA 490
WI 65
WY 100
US 8,303

15
200
150

27
780

21

13

63

43
800

1,500

22

1

5

2/
35
2,550

18
125

60

13
580

10
105

85
340

50
125

YIELD
: : IND
: 1989 : 1990
BUSHELS
103.0 99.0
56.0 52.0
76.0 75.0
55.0 50.0
70.0 72.0
32.0 42.0
67.0 52.0
50.0 68.0
58.0 60.0
§5.0 60.0
43.0 35.0
26.0 35.0
90.0 75.0
59.0 60.0
75.0 2/
48.0 51.0
37.0 48.0
45.0 38.0
67.0 70.0
59.0 68.0
56.0 54.0
35.0 45.0
32.0 42.0
79.0 79.0
65.0 66.0
58.0 60.0
57.0 54.0
72.0 73.0
48.6 52.0

1,352
17,080
11,725

2,160
51,000

2,975

1,078

43761

1,216
27,200
30,000

1,920

960
603
390

2,856

45, 150

768
14,800
3,630
840
8,100
540

9,625

5,325
34,720

2,550

6,670

289,994

1,000 BUSHELS

1,236
13,440
12,160

2,200
59,500

576

1,139

4,000

2,320
44,000
68,800

650
990
472
375

2,064

98,050

900
12,060
5,015
560
19,250
480

9,006

4,875
28,420

3,705

7,200

403,443

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION

AUGUST 1990

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

USDA, NASS


DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : IND: : IND: : : IND
1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AL 1: 84 44 90.0 92.0 4,300 7,560 4,048
CA 1/: 105 57 83.0 95.0 5,605 8,715 5,415
MN : 29 29 36.0 39.0 840 1,044 1,131
MT : 335 235 18.0 14.0 2,070 6,030 3,290
ND : 3,000 3,050 22.0 30.0 31,200 66,000 91,500
so : 120 85 24.0 31.0 816 2,880 2,635
US > 3,673 3,500 25.1 30.9 44,831 92,229 108,019

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORCAST.
OTHER SPRING WHEAT

PRODUCTION

IND: :
1990 : 1988 : 1989

1,000 ACRES 1,000 BUSHELS
co WV: 70 40 70.0 3,640 4,900 2,800
ID > 560 450 65.0 245700 34,720 29,250
MN : 2,550 2,750 44:0 49,450 96,900 1213000
MT : 35400 23700 20:0 18,000 85,000 54,000
WOW: 9 8 60.0 780 720 480
ND : 7,250 7,850 32.0 70,500 174,000 251,200
OR 1/: 105 62 55.0 4,940 4,935 33410
SD : 2,050 2,100 31.0 15,600 45,100 65,100
UT 1/: 22 28 50.0 1, 188 990 1,400
WA : 970 280 50.0 16,120 41,710 14,000
Wooo: 10 7 36.0 152 310 252
weo17: 11 9 40.0 390 462 360
US : 17,007 16,284 28.8 33.4 205,460 489,747 543,252

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

WINTER SPRING
YEAR : HARD SOFT : : HARD : : : TOTAL
: RED RED : WHITE : RED : DURUM: WHITE :
1,000 BUSHELS
1988 : 881,883 472,662 207,365 181,202 44,831 24,258 1,812,201
1989 : 711,110 548,049 194,683 433,455 92,229 56,292 2,035,818

1990 2/ : 1,227,417 539,888 286,982 512,479 108,019 30,773 2,705,558
1/_ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETAL ACREAGE SURVEY DATA AVAILABLE
FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. UNLESS UNUSUAL SITUATIONS DICTATE, THE PREVIOUS
END-OF-SEASON CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE USED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST SEASON.

2/ INDICATED AUGUST 1, 1990.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
AUGUST 1990 A-16 NASS, USDA