SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE 3, AREA HARVESTED t YIELO t PRODUCTION
‘ ' IND t t IND ¢ t IND
1 1977 1976 ¢ 1979 t 1977 | 1978 t 1979 ¢ 1977 3 1976 8 1979
1 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
t
ALA ist 27 34 30 27.0 3700 39.0 729 19258 19170
ARIZ 90 73 73 80.0 78.0 79.0 50694 59767
ARK 252 200 170 52.0 60.0 55.0 129000 SO
CALIF 132 185 160 73.0 Med 7100 139135 2 60
COLO ' 263 300 280 31.0 31.0 38.0 99300 109660
GA we 24 43 47 28.0 2900 37,0 18267 19739
TLL let 64 68 70 64,0 68.0 64.0 49626 49480
INO lst 1s 1s 15 78.0 66.0 65.0 975 975
rowaA lst 32 24 20 74.0 75.0 78.0 . 19800 19560
KANS ' 4050 49020 39870 60.0 5200 68.0 2099040 2634160
KY lst 2 23 30 57.0 6200 6800 19426 20060
LA ia 20 17 17 3360 34.0 34.0 578 578
MISS 1/1 24 21 25 3260 38.0 4060 798
MO 1 930 850 720 73.0 80.0 82.0 685000
NEBR 1 20070 19830 19830 71.0 7520 7500 1379250
N MEX 3 245 267 250 48.0 46.0 53.0 129282 1
NC ss 72 86 60 37.0 5200 55.0 40472 49600
OKLA ’ S65 485 500 38.0 3600 43.0 170460 219500
Pa art t) 6 020 6260 372
sc lst 12 15 15 16.0 32.0 36.0 192 480 540
$ Dak ¢ 343 340 310 49.0 50.0 51.0 160807 17000 155810
TENN 12/1 20 2 26 51.0 S120 52.0 19020 19226 19352
TEX ot 49800 49650 40400 48.0 4920 56.0 2309400 2279850 2469400
va vs 10 li v 43.0 4700 48.0 430 S17 526
us ’ 149092 139581 129955 56.3 5561 62.9 7925983 7489410 814-261

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1979 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


NUTS

CROP AND STATE ' PRODUCTION
t YOTAL t TOTAL t IND
' 1977 t 1978 t 1979
7 TONS
FILAERTS :
OREG ' 119400 13,700 10+200
WASH ' 350 350 300
us ' 119750 14,050 10.500
WALNUTS :
CaLiF. ' 192.000 1605000 2204000
OREG yw S00
us 1 1926500 1605000 220000
1/4 ESTIMATES DISCOUNTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.
MINT OIL
stave 3 AREA HARVESTED FOR OIL + YIELD : PRODUCTION
t ? - IND? ? IND S ? 7 IND
' 1977 3 19783 1979 + 1977 41 1978 | 1979 t 1977 1978 + 1979
1 19000 acRES LBS 1000 POUNDS
PEPPERMINT
IDaMo ot 1063 865 45 65 60 356 670 510
IND 1 ToT Bs 27 45 36 216 347 302
OREG 1 5760 5500 $s se 52 24805 34306 25860
WASH t 1608 1366 62 eT 60 194 14126 816
wis ' 900 33 34 cL) 238 279 324
us t 86.9 94.5 $1 ST Sr 49409 52728 45812
SPEARMINT
IDAHO + 5B Hed 47 56 60 273 403 260
IND ' 5.5 30 38 3 165 194 186
MICH ' 303 24 29 30 19 104 120
WASH 1 1966 er 91 68 19705 2402 19136
wis : 37 37 48 107 141 211
us 1 63 TO Se 25329 35244 1,893
COFFEE
PRODUCTION
STATE 1976-77 1977-78 1978-79
T, 000 POUNDS
HAW 2,120 2,270 1,680
CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


3 1 forecast of the season for the 1979 summer potato crop is placed at 22.1
POTATOES: Mitton ewe. (1,00 million metric tons). This is 2 percent above the August 1 fore-
cast and 5 percent higher than the 1978 output. Yields are expected to average 206 cwt. per acre
compared with 202 cwt. per acre forecast a month ago and 189 cwt. per acre last season. ne
acreage for harvest is estimated slightly below the August 1 level and off 4 percent from
1978 total.

i + is virtually complete on the Eastern Shore. Although forecast produc-
tion is yep anged from last month, quality of the crop was below average and grade-out was heavy:
California's crop prospects slipped 4 percent from August 1, Moderate harvest of good qual y
potatoes is underway in the Stockton, Riverside and Santa Maria areas. Digging of the Texas crop
was nearly finished by September 1} with good sizes and yields.

t in New Jersey has slowed and is now behind schedule. Production prospects improved
in wentven and Hinnesote. during August. Digging is well underway, although slowed in Michigan
by wet weather. The Colorado crop is in good condition and about one-fourth harvested. In Ala-
bama over one-half of the crop has been dug. Above normal rainfall in the Central States has
delayed harvest operations and reduced quality of the crops.

SWEETPOTATOES: Production of sweetpotatoes in the United States is expected to total 14.8 million

cwt. (671 thousand metric tons), up 2 percent from the forecast a month ago and 4
percent more than the 1978 crop. The average yield is forecast at 121 cwt. per acre compared with
119 cwt. per acre last year, The acreage for harvest, at 122 thousand acres (49.5 thousand hec-
tares), is unchanged from the August 1 estimate and is 1 percent above the 1978 figure,

Crop prospects in North Carolina improved 4 percent as a result of favorable growing condi-
tions. Digging of the crop is about 10 percent complete and on schedule. Harvest in Louisiana is
proceeding normally with nearly one-third of the crop harvested by September 1. Growing conditions
in Alabama and Arkansas have been excellent, Prospects in Georgia are variable, with wet soils
delaying harvest.

The California crop is developing well under ideal weather conditions. Limited harvest has
started in the San Joaquin Valley, In Texas, digging of good quality sweetpotatoes is underway.
Light harvest activity was started in late August in Virginia,

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco is forecast at 1.73 billion pounds (785 thousand metric tons)

down 15 percent from the 1978 production of 2.02 billion pounds (918 thousand metric
tons}. The decrease in prospective production is caused primarily by a 16. percent decrease in
flue-cured and a 14 percent decrease in burley. Yield of all tobacco is indicated at 2001 pounds
per acre, compared with 2135 pounds last year.

Flue-cured production is forecast at 1.04 billion pounds (471 thousand metric tons), 16 per-
cent Tess than in 1978. Yield is indicated at 1978 pounds per acre, down 112 pounds from a year
ago. North Carolina is the only flue-cured producing State showing a decline from the August 1
forecast. Harvest of flue-cured tobacco in North Carolina during August continued to run ahead
of both last year's progress and the five-year average. About 84 percent of the State's crop had
been harvested by September 1. Harvest was nearly complete by early September in Florida, Geor-
gia and South Carolina. Quality continued to improve on the South Carolina markets. Continued
hot weather and recent rains have provided good maturing and harvesting conditions in Virginia
where about 55 percent of the crop has been harvested.

Fire-cured growers expect to harvest a crop totaling 46.9 million pounds (21.3 thousand met-
ric tons), 20 percent less than a year earlier. A 17 percent decline in acreage and a 60 pound
drop in yield account for the lower production. Yield per acre is indicated at 1695 pounds.

Burley production is expected to total 540 million pounds (245 thousand metric tons), 14
percent Tess than a year earlier. Yield is indicated at 2185 pounds, 214 pounds below last year.
Excessive rains during late July and August reduced yield prospects and aided in the spread of
Blue mold across the belt. In Kentucky, many fields have been harvested early to reduce losses.
Houseburn has been reported in some barns as a result of unfavorable curing conditions. About
50 percent of the Tennessee crop has been harvested, about the same pace as last year

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

STATE ' AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD t PRODUCTION

' + _ ' IND ¢ to IND ' ' INO

: 1977 t 19781 1979 $ 1977 t 4978 t 1979 + 1977 3 1978 + 1979

t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

'
ALA lst 90 65 95 286.0 2600 2700 29S20 19690 20565
ARIZ lst ss 47 5a 72.0 7000 75.0 39960 39290 49350
ARK Vt 660 300 430 39.0 3720 34.0 259740 119100 149620
CALIF Ls 650 600 780 64.0 6260 72.0 419600 379200 564160
coLO lst 20550 29400 29550 22.0 2320 2720 56100 550200 68.850
OEL wv 35 28 30 30.0 3600 37.0 12050 19008 19110
FLA ert 13 12 29.0 3600 377 432
GA vt 100 120 160 3320 3260 35.0 39300 39840
TOAHO ’ 830 815 870 39.0 5400 40.0 320370 440010
TLL set 19570 930 19300 43.0 3800 42.0 679510 355360 549600
IND ise 19240 815 945 45.0 39.0 47.0 55800 316785 440415
1OWwA L/t 109 7 5S » 72 37,0 31.0 35.0 43033 10705 26520
KANS 1/3 129100 109200 109600 28.5 30.0 38.0 3449850 3060000 4029800
KY wi 274 195 290 37.0 3500 39.0 100138 65825 116310
La se es 17 25 34.0 3600 28.0 850 612 700
MD wv 120 108 134 36.0 3740 3720 49320 39996 49218
MICH 1/1 625 450 770 40.0 4000 4140 339000 18000 315570
MINN 1/8 105 58 54 3320 2900 31.0 35465 19682 14674.
MISS \/t 105 65 115 3 3120 32.0 39570 20015 32680
MO Ve 19760 B40 19600 . 4.0 45.0 684640 28+566 120900
MONT ' 206800 29700 29350 29.0 31.0 2520 819200 834700 58,750
NEBR 1/0 20950 29550 29600 3200 33-0 1034250 815600 85,800
NEV ve 16 ll 13 6560 70.0 960 1S 910
NJ we 42 33 39 36.0 41.0 15302 10188 19599
N MEX 1/8 42) 298 367 1940 2920 8yB4) $9662 109643
NY we 475, 75 162 3540 40.0 60825 29625 62480
NC vt 200 180 205 3320 3520 64000 50940 17S
N DAK Y/9 1046 335 10s 2960 26.0 20392 30915 20520
OHIO 1/8 19560 19125 19320 3940 46.0 729380 430875 609720
OKLA l/t 63500 59400 50700 2700 38.0 1759500 1459800 2169600
OREG _¢ 19160 19100 970 43.0 45.0 450240 479300 434650
Pa. wi 270 2465 262 3340 31.0 85910 8.085 8.122
sc Ve 35 78 100 3360 33.0 2e755 20574 3300
S DAK \st 680 700 600 ° 2640 19.0 179000 189200 115600
TENN 1/t 280 220 295 366 3500 3400 109080 79700 109030
TEX wt 4700 20700 45600 25.0 20.0 3000 117-500 54000 1385000
UTAH 1/t 180 167 167 23.0 2920 28.0 49140 49843 40676
vA se 205 185 185 3120 3540 3600 69355 59425 67660
WASH ot 25800 29600 20270 34.0 4700 41.0 959200 1229200 939070
WVA st lo 9 10 31.0 330 3460 310 297 349
WIS we 60 33 38 43.0 3600 38.0 29580 19188 10464
Wyo iss 260 275 280 20.0 2600 22.0 50200 79150 60160
us ' 481664 389909 434496 31.6 3201 3667 195379113 192489272 195959591

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about Septem-
ber 1. Some adjustments have been made in harvested acreages published previously. The yield surveys
included mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided appraisals of crop condi-~
tions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities. Objective yield
surveys provided smal] plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys
are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly,
the forecasts are subject to change due to weather during the remainder of the season and other factors
that directly affect final production but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the “Root Mean
Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for selected crops. This
is computed by expressing the deviations between the September 1 production forecasts and the final esti-
mates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1959-78
twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error".
Probability statements can be made concerning expected errors in the current forecasts relative to the
final end of season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different
from those influencing recent years' forecasts.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain forecast is 4.6 per-
cent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7268 million bush~
els will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 4.6 percent or approximately 334 million
bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 7.9
percent or approximately 574 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the Sep-
tember 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the Septem-
ber 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 285 milion bushels, ranging from
98 million to 455 million bushels. During this 10-year period the September 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS
TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

cROP ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
AND :
UNIT
MILLION *MILLTON MILLION MILLION
FEED GRAINS 1/ MT 137 6.4 wi? 2 wo 67 3
CORN FOR GRAIN BU + 4.6 7.9 574 ° 285 98 455 7 3
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU > 47 8.1 66 ‘ 27 4 53 3 7
OATS Bu > 3.9 6.7 36: 26 6 4% 3 7
BARLEY BU : 3.1 5.3 9? 4 27 6 4
ALL WHEAT BU : 13 2.2 47+ 10 3 7 3 7
DURUM BU > 5.2 9.0 wi 4 Q 7 6 4
OTHER SPRING Bu : 34 5.9 ot 4 0 ls 6 4
ue ee di gb om bf
YBEANS FOR BEANS BU > 4.0 6.9 :
corToN BALES 2/ : 7.1 12.2 1,740? 665 36 1,660 4 6

T7 CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
Z/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


GRAPES

CROP AND STATE % PRODUCTION 1/
1 TOTAL t TOTAL 7 IND
1 1977 t 1978 : 1979
a
GRAPES TABLE TYPE 4 Fons
CauiF 1 4884000 3939000 380.000
GRAPES WINE TYPE ’
CALIF 1 14563+000 197069000 198005000
Grapes RAISIN TYPE OWIEO ees
LIF 2481300 228+500
ones RAISIN TYPE NOT bared!
CALIF 8034000 912000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE 4
CALIF ’ 199359000 199185000 292004000
ALL GRAPES ’
ARIZ get 119000 145300 13,500
ARK aes 99600 89200 81000
CALIF t 3+986+000 490179000 493809000
MICH ' 339000 679500 629000
40 343 39850 30300 44000
NJ 4/5 19100
NY t 101000 1869000 183,000
NC 348 49650 64800 89500
OHIO 3a 145000
Pa : 574000
WASH 1 950000
OTHER STATES 3/ S/t 69800
us t 492979750 445669700 498319800
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS) $ US 1977=195509 19782485900 (2485000 TONS
FRESH EQUIVALENT RAISIN TYPE IN CALIF LAID, BUT NOT
HARVESTED DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGE).
2/ DRIED BASISel TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4,56
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1977 AND 4.40 TONS FOR 1978.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
4/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.
S/ GA AND S C.
PRUNES AND PLUMS
CROP AND STATE t PROOUCTION 17
i) TOTAL ? TOTAL + IND
_ : 1977 t 1978 t 1979
’ TONS
PRUNES (ORIED BASIS) t
CALIF 1 1594000 1314000 130000
PRUNES AND PLUMS '
IDAHO 1 79000 79500 69500
MICH + 194000
OREG ' 264000
WASH : 174000
TOTAL 4 STATES a 617000 69+800 68500
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(TONS) 1 TOTAL % STATES» 1977*34000+ 1978-600.
CRANBERRIES 1/
PRODUCTION
STATE : oral IND
1977 1978 1979
T,000 BARRELS
MASS 875.0 1,180.0 1,080.0
no 157.0 223.0 240.0
OREG 80.2 94.5 308.5
WASH 136.0 139.0 147.0
WIS 854.0 822.0 910.0
us 2,102.2 2,458.5 2,485.5

7 ESTIMATE CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

8-17

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


OATS

STATE s AREA HARVESTEO t YIELD t PRODUCTION

’ -. F t IND ¢ : 8 IND t ' t IND

' 1977 3 1978 t 1979 + 1977 t 1978 1 1979 8 1977 + 1978 3 1979

t 1000 ACRES BUSHELS 10000 BUSHELS

'
ALA we 2 30 25 41.0 40,0 39.0 1,025 19200 975
ARK we 50 ss 4s 70.0 7300 60.0 35500 49015 29700
CALIF Ust 104 106 65 51.0 48.0 S00 503046 50088 45250
COLO l/s cD} 40 3 4600 44,0 46.0 10426 19760 19584
FLA 2/8 12 45.0 540
oa ye 8S 65 so 50.0 53.0 56.0 20750 30645 30186
TOAHO 1/1 45 49 44 57.0 Ss 20565 39136 29464
ub we 340 275 21s 61.0 204740 154400 129470
IND ' _ 150 _ 165 145 $3.0 74950 Bs910 6.555
TOWA ot 19350 19150 1050 61.0 624350 660700 639000
KANS i/t 210 120 112 45.0 99450 41680 50376
KY wt 9 7 7 35.0 315 296 287
La art 7 54.0 378 .
MAINE 1/t 30 36 3s $0.0 19500 29376 19855
MO. we 22 23 22 54.0 19188 19242 19432
MICH ’ . 340 360 _ 290 55.0 164700 209520 179400
MINN 1 20380 19830 1941S 68.0 161640 98-820 809655
MISS 2/t 13 45.0 585
MO 2) 145 35 “sy 5000 79250 19330 19980
MONT ' 140 208 200 = 4040 $2600 100606 7400
NEBR ’ 700 450 400 58.0 409600 219150 209800
NEV 2/3 4 5520 220
NJ st _ 9 6 8 43.0 387 384 384
NY ' 290 300 280 53.0 159370 179700 179080
NOG 148 75 95 90 42.0 30150 Se225 40950
N DAK 1 19500 19220 930 40.0 602000 655880 394990
O10 t 420 400 350 59.0 249780 240400 230450
OKLA I/t 130 95 95 46.0 55980 34420 49560
OREG s 80 70 6s 65.0 59200 49200 39640
PA it 350 340 335° 53.0 189550 184020 189625
sc mst . 58 15 634600 20530-39900 39276
$ OAK ft 20450 20210 24000 54.0 1320300 1029765 984000
TENN 1/3 2s 25 20 4320 1607S 10125 920
TEX lve 600 430 400 4000 249000 134760 169800
UTAH Y/t 10 12 12 55.0 48.0 550 S76 672
va Vt cr 36 35 He 4500 19496 19620 19680
WASH 1/t 35 30 28 43.0 62.0 19505 19860 10484
WVA dst 12 . 12 12 41.0 4200 492 504 ss2
wis _t 1,170 19120 1000 6520 56.0 76050 629720 572000
wo ist . 45 49 . 50 3820 5600 19710 20744 20200
us t 139452 119531 109002 55.8 S202 7500901 6010477 5310232

]/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

state ot AREA HARVESTED. t YEELD 1 PRODUCTION

- t ? IND? t tT INOT 7 t TNO

1 1977 1978 4 1979 11977 t_ 1978 + 1979 1 1977 2 1978 1979

t Ts000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 POUNDS

:
ALA ' 215.0 214.0 21360 29740 29630 29700 = $894100 © 5620820 © 5754100
Fla + 5560 54.0 55.0 34100 30380 © 39400 = 1709500 = 1829520 1874000
Ga ’ 52660 52600 52720 29850 39300 © 39400 194990100 197350800 167914800
MISS i/t 720 8.0 To8 12650 2900019750 115550 169000 134650
N MEX 1/8 Fe 964 966 29700 1560 20400 254380 249064 234040
NC ' 16660 16640 16640 20675 29825 29600 4440050 © 4684950 431600
OKLA ' 12000 11540 12060 29230 14800 ©2050 2679600 © 2074000 © 2464000
sc is 1560 1562 1562 20080 = 20350-29200 325200 350720 339440
TEX ' 300.0 301.0 30960 = 19315 15450 19600 © 3949500 4369450 4944400
vA ' 10340 103.0 10260 29845 34100-20950 2939035 3199300 3000900
us $ 1951606 = 19S1106 1952406 = 29457 2639-20687 397269015 399881624 440960930

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTON
CROP 3 AREA HARVESTEU 1 YIELO t PRODUCTION 1/
AND. t 7 + TOF T ce 7 T TRO
STATE + 1977 + 1978 4 197931977 §_ 1978 3 1979 ¢ 1977 3 1978 1979
7 14000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 BALES 27
COTTON» UPLAND
9540 31540 337 443 473 27760 29160 32000
ARIZ of S156 538.0 997 953 19056 1070460 = 1406840 = 1935060
ARK $ 93060 760.0 534 41? 504 1403540 66040 63060
CALIF 1939060 964 640 943 2479000 1494060 3425060
FLA av 62 425 506 512 504 368 302
GA ' 170.0 232 463 $29 8260 11140 13040
KY ast 8 420 0 0 oT 0 0
La t $4060 $83 450 532 65660 478.0 51560
MISS 14.36060 $81 575 559 1464540 = 1937860 © :120060
Mo 1 258.0 437 496 429 23540 188.0 12540
NEV 3/8 1.3 598 542 560 166 15 104
NMEX € 12860 603 443 480 isl.o 10140 120.0
NC 1 8340 305 515 480 53.0 45.0 4640
OKLA =F 52000 402 292 455 43600 35560 $5060
$c + 35360 342 562 514 20960 11540 22060
TENN 30040 407 490 376 25540 235.0 18000
TEX 3 6945000 407 294 390 5946500 = 3979200 = 59 60040
vA Bt “7 a 194 480 480 3 a 3
us 413920069 12929660 124940.5 $19 420 S25 14927760 10476204 16414009
COTTON» AMER=PIMA
ART 7 4203 3402 4208 738 754 639 6540 53.7 5760
CALIF 3/¢ 3 269 486 480 +2 ol ot
N MEX 963 621 454 420 12.0 13.0 16.0
TEX 1 22.5 147 456 480 35.0 26.6 33.0
us 4 Thed 726 590 S46 11242 9304 10461
COTTON, ALL
MAT 395.0 337 443 473 27700 29100 320.0
ARIZ t 55703 978 941 19027 913500 1912167 1440740
ARK 1 93060 534 al? 504 1403540 660.0 63000
CALIF 4 1939003 963 640 943 2079002 1094001 3925001
FLA o3/t 601 425 507 512 544 368 362
GA t 17000 232 463 529 8240 111.0 33040
KY o3vt +8 420 +7
La 1 54060 $83 450 $32 65660 47840 515.0
MISS ft 1438000 58) 575 559 1464540 1497840 1420000
ot) 1 258.0 437 496 429 23540 188.0 125.0
NEV 3/t 103 $91 554 S60 1.6 15 16
NMEX ot 137.3 605 446 473 173.0 11660 13460
c ' 8360 307 514 480 53.0 45.0 46.0
OKLA tS 2060 402 291 455 43660 35500 550.0
sc t 15340 342 563 S14 10940 11540 120.0
TENN = & 30000 408 490 376 255.0 235.0 180.0
TEX 1 6047265 408 294 390 5,500.0 3981846 5463340
VA 3/k 7 . . 206 480 480 3 al 03
us 113927563 12937060 130032,4 520 421 S25 14938942 10985568 14524540

17 PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED,
27 480-8, NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 8-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

STATE ' AREA HARVESTED t YIELO ' PRODUCTION

' ’ t IND ft t t IND T t TRO

4 1977 + 1978 3 1979 t 1977 + 1978 3 1979 ¢ 1977 3 1978 ¢ 1979

’ 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

'
ALA 14s 90 6s 95 28.0 26.0 2720 29520 15690 20565
ARIZ 1/3 140 138 12) 7200 7020 7500 10,080 91660 90075
ARK wv 660 300 430 3900 370 3400 259740 115100 149620
CALIF! 1/8 678 nS 825 6 646) 7202 439700 459825 599535
coro 1st 2eS75 20444 29600 2304 2764 579225 579268 719350
OEL wv 35 28 30 3600 3740 19050 1,008 lello
FLA 2/8 13 12 3600 377 432
GA Ww 100 120 160 3200 3540 34300 3*840 59600
IDAHO 3 19190 19295 19490 S77 47S 509730 749730 709760
TLL: ws 19570 930 19300 38.0 42.0 679510 359340 549600
IND vet 19240 815 945 39.0 47.0 559800 319785 449415
Towa 1/8 109 55 72 32.0 3540 49033 19705 29520
KANS 1/8 129100 109200 109600 3020 38.0 344,850 3063000 4029800
KY we 274. 195 290 3540 39.0 109138 69625 11s3l0
LA i 25 v7 es 36.0 28.0 850 612 700
MO - 176 120 108 ils 3760 37.0 49320 39996 40218
MICH 1/3 82s 450 770 40.0 41.0 339000 185000 319570
MINN ' 39327 20776 29521 3306 3509 1312894 930225 909563
MISS 1/3 105 6S 1s 3160 320 39570 29015 39680
Lid vs 19760 840 19600 34.0 45.0 684640 289560 729000
MONT ‘ 59060 49840 59160 3002 2202 1309920 1469050 1149690
NEBR 1/8 20950 29550 29600 3260 33.0 1039250 819600 854800
NEV ws 28 26 26 5902 60.0 19560 19540 19560
N J. ist 42 33 39 3660 41.0 19302 19168 19599
N MEX 1/8 425 298 367 19.0 2940 99137 $9662 100643
NY “4 175 ce) 162 3520 40.0 69825 20625 69480
Lo wet 200 180 205 3300 3500 62000 52940 TelTS
N OAK ‘ 99254 9958S 99555 29.8 27.0 2299907 2869065 2579670
OHIO 1/1 19540 49125 19320 3900 4600 729380 439875 600720
OKLA 1/3 69500 59400 50700 2720 38.0 3755500 145800 2169600
OREG t 19230 19225 19220 42ee 43.0 479620 510925 S29400
PA Ve 270 245: 262 3320 31.0 89910 6085 8122
sc 143 9S 78 100 33.0 3340 29755 29574 35300
S DAK ‘ 39016 39090 29720 214 2006 7199646 669000 569090
TENN 3/1 280 220 295 35.0 34.0 109080 79700 109030
TEX ist 49700 29700 41600 2020 30.0 1175500 54000 136.000
UTAH 1/3 204 188 197 29.8 29.5 4e716 50599 59816
vA st 205 15s 185, 3540 36.0 69385 59425. 69660
WASH ’ 25985 29910 39050 46.0 3867 1019305 1339980 1185030
wVA st 10 9 10" 33.0 34.0 310 297 340
WIS. ss 7s 45 54 3467 35.6 39075 19560 13924
WYO wi 281 294. 297 2509 2260 59620 7606 69534
us t 669461 569839 629227 3166 34el 290369318 1e798e712 201230174

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES» UNITED STaTES

oF WINTER ? SPRING t

YEAR ’ HARD SOFT '

: RED REO WHITE + TOTAL

' 14000 BUSHELS

'
1976 2 9759840 3360555 2479528 4129127 1349924 364398 241429362
1977 t 9920446 3509152 1949515 3974603 794964 214638 290360318
1978 + 8344252 2029119 2114901 3799390 1339328 379722 1979B+712

1979 1/7 3 190949600 3159920 1859071 3649125 1079379 569079 281239174
1/ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1979.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 8-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PECANS

‘ PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE ' TOTAL 7 TOTAL T IND
t 1977 t 1978 t 1979
t 1.000 “POUNDS
PECANS IMPROVED l/s
ALA t 254600 13,000
ARK 1 900 14000
FLA : 29300 19600
Ga ' 684000 1059000
La : 35500 29500
MISS ' 69500 64000
N MEX , 15-000 154000
nec ' 19100 29800
OKLA + 19500 24000
sc ' 19500 34600
TEX t 12,000 125000
us ' 1374900 1644500 1045500
PECANS NATIVE & SEEDLING t
ALA ' 69400 9,000 64400
ARK 3 29100 3,000 35100
FLA 1 39800 24600 0.0
GA t 202000 304000 15,000
La ' 2749500 63500 254000
MISS ’ & e500 41000 29000
NC t 900 1.200 900
OKLA ' 12,000 13,500 175000
sc t 16500 29400 10500
TEX : 20,000 144000 804000
us ’ 984700 860200 1524200
ALL PECANS t
ALA t 32,000 224000 169000
ARK t 35000 40000 49500
FLA ' 69100 46200 29200
GA t 88.000 3359900 65000
La + 31-000 92000 299000
MISS t 11000 105000 49000
N MEX t 15.000 15,000 154000
NC ' 25000 49000 3000
OKLA + 134500 154500
sc 1 34000 64000
TEX t 32000 269000 9 00
us ’ 2369600 250+700 2565700
17 BUDDEDsGRAFTEDs,OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.
PAPAYAS - HAWAII
AREA UTILIZED PRODUCTION
MONTH Ce a Oo. (1978 1979; FORECA
: ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
OUL 3,300 2,180 2,375 6,664 2,940
AUG 3,330 2,185 2,415 6,279 3,050
SEP 2,145 6,083 2,800
OCT 2,205 6,825 3,000
Nov 2,135 5,312 3,300
DEC 2,145 4,048 3,300
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION JAN-AUG | aT, 732 22,830
CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 B-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




SORGHUM: Production of grain sorghum is forecast at 814 million bushels (20.7 million metric
tons), up 9 percent from ast year and 3 percent above 1977. A record high yield per
acre is forecast, pushing production upward from last year despite a decline in acreage to be

harvested for grain.

Yield per acre harvested for grain is forecast at 62.9 bushels compared with last year's
yield of 55.1 bushels and the previous record high of 60.7 bushels set in 1972, The August 1
1979 forecast was 60.) bushels per acre. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 13.0
million acres (5.24 million hectares), 5 percent below last year and 8 percent lower than the 1977
crop.

Three States will produce almost 80 percent of the grain sorghum: Kansas - 32 percent,
Texas - 30 percent and Nebraska - 17 percent. Soil moisture supplies in Kansas were adequate as
most major producing areas continued to receive rainfall during August, but crop development was
slightly behind average. Harvest in Texas was complete in the Southern areas and nearing comp1e-
tion in the North and Central areas. Soil moisture was adequate in most areas. Nearly 30 percent
of the sorghum acreage in Nebraska was turning color, slightly behind the average for September 1.
Soil moisture was adequate throughout the growing areas

OATS: Oats production in 1979 is forecast at 53] million bushels (7.71 million metric tons), 12
percent below last year and 29 percent below 1977. An average yield of 53.1 bushels per
acre is expected and compares with 52.2 a year ago and 55.8 in 1977.

Acreage for harvest is estimated at 10.0 million acres (4.05 million hectares), 13 percent
below 1978 and 26 percent below 1977. Acreage for harvest in South Dakota is down 10 percent
from 1978, while the Minnesota acreage is down 23 percent.

By September 1, oats harvest was 65 percent complete, short of the 95 percent completed last
year and the average. Wet, humid weather delayed harvest in many Northern areas.

BARLEY: Production of barley in 1979 is forecast at 364 million bushels (7.93 million metric

tons), down 19 percent from last year but up 2 percent from the August 1 forecast. Yield
per acre is forecast at a record high 48.9 bushels per acre, 0.5 bushel above the previous record
set last year. The 1979 harvested acreage is placed at 7.45 million acres (3.01 million hectares),
19 percent below last year and 22 percent below 1977,

Yields improved or remained unchanged from August 1 in all major producing States. Forecasts
were increased 1 bushel in Idaho, Montana and North Dakota, and 3 bushels in South Oakota,

Harvest was lagging normal progress as of September 1 as cool, damp weather slowed development
and delayed harvest. Only 40 percent of the Montana acreage was combined while Minnesota and North
Dakota had reached 70 percent. The area is about 15 percent behind normal progress for the date,

ALL WHEAT: Production of all wheat in 1979 is forecast at 2.12 billion bushels (57.8 million
metric tons), 18 percent more than last year and the second largest production of
record. An increase in harvested acreage and improved yield have both contributed to the larger
production. Nationally, the yield per harvested acre is expected to average a record high 34.1
bushels compared with 31.6 bushels in 1978, and the previous record high of 33.9 bushels set in

WINTER WHEAT: Production of the 1979 winter wheat crop is placed at 1.60 billion bushels (43.4

5 million metric tons), 28 percent more than last yeai
for grain this year and the yield was a record high, years More acres were harvested

Growers realized an average yield of 36.7 bushels
i . per acre, up 4.6 bushels from
and 1.3 bushels more than the previous record high set in 1971, Acres harvested at ase mtaston
acres (17.6 million hectares) totaled 12 percent more than last year,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUGARBEETS Vv
STATE ' AREA HARVESTEO t YIELO PRODUCTION
v % v IND ft Ez t IND ¢ t t INO
1 1977 + 1978 3 1979 t 1977 t 1978 t 1979 3 19774 1978 t 1979
t 1:000 ACRES. TONS T9000 TONS
1
ARIZ ‘ 1268 1500 11ed 22.3 2005 2000 285 308 228
CALIF ' 21700 19500 206.0 2601 24.5 2600 51664 GeT78 59356
COLO ' 7200 B40 7300 19.5 183 1920 194046 19538 19387
IDAHO t 1074 13461 128.0 19.5 2003 20.0 20096 29722 25560
KANS 1 26.0 12.0 1607 1720 18.0 401 462 216
MICH s 9105: 9105 21.0 19.3 18.5 19796 19770 19693
MINN ‘ 263.0 189 1605 49732 4971 40026
MONT ' abeT 1908 1940 896 885 Ba5
NEBR 1 T6009 1860 1940 19354 19368 19425
N MEX 2/2 2.8 2006 1960 23 37 40
N DAK. ¢ 15502 1907 16.5 29769 39054. 29360
OHIO t 2363 1609 1920 457 394 276
OREG ' B09 22.3 26.0 206 198 174
TEX ' 2306 17S 18.0 309 414. 364
UTAH , 1206 165 1709 16.0 173 225 e7
WASH 375 6865 2565 12495 19747
wYo 1 48.8 4920 1869 2060 949 922 980
Us 8 1921602 1927200 1yl2103 2003 19.6 259007 259773 219937
14. RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST FOR ALL STATES
INCLUDING ARIZ AND CALIF.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTe
3/ NONE: PLANTED IN 1979.
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED
STATE ' AREA HARVESTED s YIELD ' PRODUCTION
' t t INO ft t + IND t t ’ IND
2 1977 1 1978 3 1979 3 1977 $1978 3 1979 19773 1978 3 1979
t ~ 18000 ACRES TONS T0008 TONS
) :
Fla : 30000 32060 2909 3009 3060 8970 90610 99600
Haw 1 103.5 10900 08.7 8 94.0 99176 61 109246
La 1 3220 27000 23.9 2220 7.695 9875 50940
TEX 1 33.9 3203 2902 2903 30.0 989 960 969
us 1 T5904 73163 35.3 350) 3666 26830 254906 269755
HORS
STATE t AREA HARVESTED ‘ YIELD s PRODUCTION 1/7
t t t TRO TG t t IND T T r TNO
1 1977 3 1978 t 1979 11977 + 1978 3 1979 3 1977 3 1978 3 1979
' 19000 ACRES POUNDS: 9000 POUNDS
’
CALIF 3 165 1.5 162 19630-19360 49400 29645 20040 1,680
IDAHO 3 209 207 2e7 «19770 19790 = 18800 59133 49833 44860
OREG ’ 5.5 5 5.7 12690 19510 19550 99295 Br 156 8,835
WASH 4 2006 21.3 22.3 19840 19880 19770 3709046 409044 399471
us ' 3065 3009 31.9 19796 19782 1s719 549777 559071 54.846

44 1979 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

CROP REPORTING

BOARD, ESCS, USDA


TOBACCO

STATE ‘ AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO t PRODUCTION

' ’ t IND 3 t IND 3 t t IND

t 1977 + 1978 3 1979 t 1977 t 1978 § 1979 3 1977 3 1978 1979

' ACRES POUNDS: 19000 POUNDS

:
ALA 1/8 S50 520 525 10900 19870 19045 972 971
CONN t 39500 39200 39100 19606 19547 59620 49950 49683
FLA : 11+840 102500 102500 22094 29100 249798 225050 215000
Ga t 654000 612000 539000 29075 29060 1349875 1259660 1039350
IND , 69900 69600 69500 29600 29350 169560 159510 149950
KY § 1969750 1949500 1799700 20297 20415 4520024 4699658 3954070
La ve 140 130 80 850 900 119 117 56
TMD ' 239000 229000 229000 19310 19390 309130 309584. 284600
MASS: : 29160 10030 19030 19643 19416 19906 19458 19532
MO wet 24600 29400 25300 29385 29280 69201 S472 50290
nC $ 3929600 3989700 3539500 19896 29131 19979 7449525 8499431 6999650
OHTO ' 109200 99900 99200 29162 29258 2903} 229053 189685
PA ' 139500 135000 139000 19940 19940 19750 269190 229750
sc 1 689000 719000 615000 29040 20120 20125 138720 1295625
TENN a 689460 669850 639950 19997 29126 29002 1369746 1429099 1285055
VA ‘ 790700 739130 709560 19794 19848 19811 1425985 1359157 1275783
WVA 1/8 15600 19500 19500 29020 19800 10750 39232 29700 29625
Wis t 122000 129100 130100 29032 19702 19912 249385 209600 25050
us t 957.500 9482060 8645545 18997 2s135 SQL LsWSsll 290249508 197299725

lf ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
é SEPTEMBER 1, 1979

T Good to excellent
{3 Poor to fair

£2] very poor

EB Severe drought

#43 ntpontep 2
BEE Extreme droughe TED By

(CROP CORRESPONDEMTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG, ESCS 140.79(91

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
September 1, 1978

2 Good to excellent
a Poor to fair

TD Very poor

GH Severe drought

As nEpORTED BY
(HED Extreme drought AS anes

(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. ESCS 78-78(9)’

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
SEPTEMBER 1, 1979

USDA, NEG. ESCS 141-7919)

FEED CROP PROSPECTS*
September 1, 1978

2) Good to excellent
(3 Fair

EQ Poor

BD Very poor

GH) Near failure

USDA NEG. ESCS 77-7819)

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED ' YIELD t PRODUCTION: _
1 t t IND ¢ ? % IND"? 7 a TNO
t 1977 3 1976 t 1979 +) 1977 8 =1978 § 1979 1 1977 3 1978 3 1979
' 19000 ACRES BUSHELS T+000 BUSHELS
:
ALA se 375 544 530 29.0 5000 6006 109875 279200 31.800
ARIZ 1/8 so so 4s 100.0 115.0 11500 $000 59750 Sel75
ARK st 43 30 35 53.0 58.0 58.0 20279 19740 24030
CALIF 1/3 247 281 285 116.0 1260 12200 285652 359406 349770
COLO ’ 695 720 B20 11640 = 11060 = 22000 80.620 799200 984400
CONN 2/8
DEL s 185 47S, 167 S660 9600 10000 104360 169800 164700
FLA ost 299 370 370 35.0 5200 55.0 109465 195240 204350
Ga t 19000 19500 19550 2400 5060 6520 243000 75.000 100.750
TOAHO 1/8 28 39 35 86.0 8700 89.0 29408 349393 3115
TLL i] 119080 109730 109500 105.0 121.0 11800 191639400 191919030 19239,000
IND 1 69210 59900 5850 102.0 108.0 11420 6339420 6375200 6665900
Towa ’ 129700 129500 129600 86.0 T1760 12700 140929200 194629500 194745200
KANS ’ 19680 19500 19450 9660 10200 11260 1610280 1532000 1624400
KY ' 19470 19410 19290 9000 85.0 10440 1329300 119,650 1345160
La ws 65 47 42 5200 59.0 6640 39380 29773 29772.
MAINE 2/8
MO t 600 590 sao 72.0 9700 96.0 439200 579230 56,840
MASS 2/4 .
MICH 1 29320 29250 29200 85.0 8160 8540 1979200 1629250 187,000
MINN 1 65000 69190 59900 100.0 104.0 9420 600,000 6435760 554,600
MISS 1/3 160 135 115 3640 5600 5000 5760 79560 5y750
MO t 29650 29200 29250 7620 8760 95.0 2015400 1915400 213,750
MONT 1/3 Ml 5 7 68.0 7200 72.0 748 360 504
NEBR 1 69550 69550 69700 99.0 113.0 113.0 6485450 7400150 7574100
NEV 2st
NH 2/1
NJ ve 9S 95 62 7000 9160 89.0 69650 89645
N MEX 1/8 114 72 70 9000 10540 110.0 109260 79560
NY lst 640 600 640 8040 7900 81.0 519200 4744600
NC ’ 19740 19600 19700 51.0 7600 7720 884740 1219600
N DAK 1/3 237 253 260 7340 7900 7600 179301 199987
OHIO ‘ 39620 39610 39630 305.0 105¢0 117.0 3809100 379,050
OKLA 1/8 95 73 60 62.0 65.0 95.0 79790 4s745'
OREG 1/8 12 13 li 95.0 95.0 95.0 19140 10235 14045
Pa 2 i) 19160 19190 19190 92.0 9500 9500 1069720 123,050 113,050
RI a
sc vs 690 550 S00 3660 5500 7600 249860 305250 38,000
S DAK ’ 20150 29560 29500 59.0 6720 69.0 1264850 171520 172,500
TENN 1/8 730 660 590 65.0 6600 80.0 479450 439560 474200
TEX ' 19650 14440 19300 98.0 10060 105.0 1619700 1449000 136,500
UTAH a 43 16 16 89.0 9000 9250 19157 19440 1,472
VT nt -
vA t 560 615 600 55.0 8260 86.0 309800 509430 511600
WASH 1/3 64 65 65 319.0 121.0 123.0 79616 79865 74995
WVA 1/t 54 58 61 7420 7700 7920 39996 41466 40819
Wis ' 29600 29750 20850 104.0 98.0 96.0 2910200 2699500 273,600
wyO 1st 30 36 30 85.0 81.0 84.0 29590 29756 2,520
us ' 709872 699970 699496 90.7 10Le2 104.6 694259457 790814849 792689175

if ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


At the end of August, virtually all the soybean acreage in the north central States was pod-
ding; about 10 to 20 percent of the acreage was yellowing. In the south central States pod set
ranged from 74 percent in Arkansas to near 90 percent in the other Delta States. Acreage yellow-
ing ranged up to 11 percent in Alabama and Mississippi and 15 percent in Kentucky. The crop was
in good condition in all major production areas.

Cotton rated fair to good. Early in August, dry soils stressed the southeastern crop but
late month rains improved growing conditions. Bolls opened later than last year and average in
most areas. Texas and Arizona growers were picking cotton by September 1.

Grain sorghum colored slightly later than normal throughout the Great Plains. Harvest re-
mained centered in Texas but mature acreage extended into Oklahoma. In Oklahoma, 10 percent of
the crop was mature, 15 points less than normal.

Rice harvest along the Gulf Coast was 98 percent complete in Texas and 74 percent in
Louisiana. Harvest began in the Delta in late August.

Winter wheat seeding was just getting underway at the end of August. South Dakota growers
planted 2 percent and Montana and Texas growers seeded 5 percent.

FOOD GRAINS UP FROM LAST YEAR

Food grain production is expected to total 64.5 million metric tons, 16 percent more than last

year. Forecast production as of September 1 declined 1 percent from h
lower prospective wheat and rice production. , # month earlier as a result of

RECORD FEED GRAIN PROSPECTS

Production of the four feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) is expected to total a
record 221 million metric tons, up 2 percent from August 1 and the previous record set last year.
Prospects for corn were up 2 percent fram Tast month, sorghum up 5 percent, barley up 2 percent,
and oats virtually unchanged. .

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record high 7.27 billion bushels
(185 million metric tans), 2 percent above the August 1? forecast and 3 percent
more than the 1978 crop. Corn prospects as of September 1 indicate a record high average yield

of 104.6 bushels per acre, up 2.5 bushels from last month's forecast and 3.4 bushels above the
previous record set last year

Acreage intended for grain harvest is estimated at 69.5 million acres (28.1 million hec-
tares), down slightly from Tast month and 1 percent Jess than in 1978,

Cool wet conditions prevailed over most of the Corn Belt during August and delayed crop pro~
gress slightly. Some stands in the northern belt will need a late frost to mature fully.

On September 1, dough stage in the eastern Corn Belt ranged from 50 percent in Wisconsin to
95 percent in Indiana. Dent stage ranged from an extremely low 10 to 20 percent in Wisconsin and
Michigan to a more normal 60 percent in Illinois.

In the western Corn Belt, dough stage ranged from an unusually low 36 percent in Minnesota
to 85 percent in Iowa and Nebraska and 94 percent in Missouri. Normally, more than 90 percent of
Minnesota's crop would be in the dough stage by September 1. Denting ranged from 24 percent in
South Dakota to 67 percent in Missouri, Maturity of the crop in all States except Missouri lag-
ged far behind normal.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


OURUM WHEAT

STATE t AREA HARVESTED 4 YIELD ' PRODUCTION
i + + IND ¢ t tT _IND ¢ T 7 TND
3 1977 2 1978 3 1979 t 1977 § 1978 3 1979 ¢ 1977 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979
' 19000 ACRES BUSHELS . Ts0p0 BUSHELS
'
ARIZ 1/8 8s 91 63 72.0 7000 75.0 69120 69370 49725
CALIF 1st 28 115 4s 7500 75.0 750 25100 8625 30375
MINN i) 82 98 7 34,5 38.5 3720 29829 39773 29849
MONT t 220 290 260 2200 3000 190 49840 8+700 49940
N MEX 2/3 4 0 74.0 0.0 296 0
N DAK ’ 29470 39240 39250 24.5 Res 2760 600515 1029060 875750
S OAK 1 136 199 170 24.0 2000 2200 64 39800 4D
us ‘ 39025 42024 39865 2604 3301 27.8 799966 1339328 1076379
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ BEGINNING IN 1978 INCLUDED IN WINTER WHEAT.
. \
OTHER SPRING WHEAT
STATE ¢ AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD PRODUCTION
t eat t IND ¥ t 7 TD ¢ T ? IND
t 1977 1978 $ 1979 § 1977 t #1978 3 1979 8 1977 3 1976 3 1979
v 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
'
cOLO lst es 4 50 45.0 4720 50.0 1.125 20068 29500
TDAHO ' 360 480 620 51.0 6400 58.0 185360 309720 350960
MINN , 39140 29620 29390 40.0 3365 3600 1259600 87770 861040
MONT ‘ 29040 19850 29550 22.0 2940 2020 449880 539650 $1000
NEV 1/8 12 15 13 5000 5540 5000 600 825 650
N DaK t 69680 69210 62200 2520 29.0 27.0 1672000 1800090 1672400
OREG 1/t 70 125 250 34.0 37.0 3520 29380 4625 89750
S Dak ' 29200 29200 19950 23.5 2000 2160 519700 445000 409950
UTAK 1st 24 21 30 24.0 3600 38.0 576 756 19140
WASH ' 185 310 780 33.0 3800 320 60105 219780 244960
wis vet 15 12 16 33.0 3120 3000 495 372 480
wyoo1/t aie 19 1? 2040 2440 2220 420 456 37%
us ’ 160772 135906 149866 2864 3020 2863 4199241 GITs112 4209204
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
RICE
STATE ' AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELD PRODUCTION
t t ? IND ¢ 7 ? INO t ? TND
1 1977 3 1978 3 1979 4 1977: 1978 2 1979 2977 ¢ 1978 ¢ 1979
' 1s000 ACRES POUNDS 15000 cut
‘ .
ARK ' 837.0 1009020 1919000 49230 49450 49450 355396 48+505 520955
CALIF t 308.0 49900 534.0 $9810 50260 59550 179913 266248 299637
La 1 47560 587.0 533.0 32670 32820 34900 179665 = -220625' 200787
MISS ' 11260. 215.0 20520 4000 45250 42200 4e6o0 90138 8s610
“0 lee 1720 30.0 35.0 39700 40330 49150 629 10298 10453
TeX t 50100 558.0 52000 49670 49700 49200 239600 269226 2108460
Us t 292469.0 2997920 3001720 4412 49493 40484 99223 1339860 135.282

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION

Released: September 12, 1979 Ecoriomics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture
Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN production is forecast at a record high 7.27 billion bushels (185 million
metric tons), 2 percent above the August 1 forecast and 3 percent more than
the previous record set last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for
this 1979 production forecast is from 6.69 to 7.84 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 814 million bushels (20.7 million metric
tons), up 9 percent from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is forecast at a
record 221 million metric tons, 2 percent more than last year.

ALL WHEAT production is placed at 2.12 billion bushels (57.8 million metric, tons),
percent more than last year and the second Jargest crop of record, Durum
production is down 19 percent, other spring up 1 percent and winter wheat pro-
duction up 28 percent from last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for
this all wheat production forecast is from 2.08 to 2.17 billion bushels,

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye, and rice combined) is expected to total 64,5
million metric tons, 16 percent above 1978.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at a record high 2.17 billion bushels (59.2 million
metric tons), 18 percent larger than the 1978 crop. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this 1979 production forecast is 2.02 to 2.32 billion bushels.

QILSEED production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts and flaxseed combined) is fore-
Cast at 66.4 million metric tons compared with 56.1 million metric tons last
year.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 14.2 million bales, 31 percent more than “1978,
The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1979 production forecast is 12.5
to 16.0 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.73 billion pounds (785 thousand metric tons),
lown 75 percent from the 7978 production.

SUGAR CROPS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 21.9 million tons (19.9 million
metric tons), 15 percent less than last year. Sugarcane production is expected
to total 26.8 million tons (24.3 million metric tons), 3 percent above the
1978 output.

ACCESSING CROP REPORTING BOARD REPORTS VIA COMPUTER NETWORK

This report and other major reports issued by the Crop Reporting Board
are available via a computer network shortly after 3:00 P.M, on the
day of release. There is a minimal charge. For more details contact
the Secretary, Crop Reporting Board, Room 0233, USDA, Washington, N.C,
20250.

CrPr 2-2 (9-79) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


U.S. Soybeans

Mil. acres or bu./acre Bil. bu.
42.0
60/-
; Harvested acres _- yy 15
go beens
Production to
mvenenetn, ty name .
20f- vb
. 40.5
Fe a
1967 1970 1973 1976 1979
2 Sot recast
— Nop ESCO TOBY

FLAXSEED: Flaxseed production is forecast at 12.5 million bushels (318 thousand metric tons), up
6 percent from last month's forecast and 14 percent above last year's crop.

Yield prospects in South Dakota remained unchanged from a month earlier, However, both
North Dakota and Minnesota are showing a 1.0 bushel per acre increase from last month.

The late season along with recent cool, damp weather has delayed both crop development and
harvesting progress.

PEANUTS: Peanut production as of September 1 is forecast at a record high 4.10 billion pounds net

weight (1.86 million metric tons), up 1 percent from the August 1 forecast and 3 percent
more than the 3.99 billion pounds (1.81 million metric tons) produced in 1978, The indicated
yield per acre of 2687 pounds is 28 pounds above last month's forecast and 48 pounds greater than
last year. Acreage expected to be harvested for peanuts this year is 1.52 million acres (617
tygasand hectares}. one percent above the 1,51 million acres (612 thousand hectares) harvested in
1978,

The Virginia-North Carolina area expects to produce 733 million pounds, down 7 percent from
1978. The indicated yield of 2733 pounds is down 197 pounds from a year ago. North Carolina
growers were busy during August applying insecticides for control of spider mites and corn ear-
worms, Generally, thé crop made good progress in Virginia.

In the Southeastern area, 2.60 billion pounds are expected, 3 percent above last year's pro-
duction of 2,53 billion pounds, Acreage for harvest at 818 thousand acres compares with 817
thousand acres harvested last year. Indicated yield of 3180 pounds is up 81 pounds from the pre-
vious year. Favorable conditions during the season have resulted in prospective record yields in
both Georgia and Florida, Harvest has been delayed in Florida by wet soils and was slightly be~
hind average in Georgia.

The crop in the Southwest area is expected to total 763 million pounds, 14 percent above last
year. Harvested acreage increased to 439 thousand acres compared with 425 thousand acres last
year, Indicated yield for the area at 1741 pounds is 172 pounds above a year ago. In Oklahoma
the crop is in good condition with growth and development progressing smoothly. By September 1,
harvest in the Texas area at 18 percent complete was 2 percentage points above a year ago. The
majority of early planted fields in South Texas have been harvested.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


The winter wheat forecasting period extends to September 1 in Idaho, Montana, Oregon and
Washington. Forecasts for all other States were carried forward from previous reports. Harvest
was 85 percent complete in Idaho by September 1, exceeding recent years. In Montana, scattered
showers slowed harvest but 95 percent of the winter wheat had been harvested by the first of
September. Harvest was nearly over in Oregon except for some late maturing areas and a few fields
where combining was delayed by the recent rains. Washington had excellent weather for harvest and
combining was nearly complete by September 1.

OURUM WHEAT: Producers expect to harvest 107 million bushels (2.92 million metric tons) of
durum wheat in 1979, 19 percent less than last year and virtually unchanged from

the August 1 forecast. Yields are expected to average 27.8 bushels per acre compared with 33.1
bushels last year.

Development of the crop in North Dakota continued to be Tate with little relief from dry
conditions in the Northwest and North Central. However, shower activity slowed harvesting in
some localities. Combining lags far behind normal and last year in Minnesota as rain fet
throughout the month. Montana producers were a little behind the norma] harvesting program.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Growers expect to harvest 420 million bushels (11.4 million metric tons) of
spring wheat other than durum compared with 417 million bushels (11.4 mil-
lion metric tons) last year. The September 1 forecast is 1 percent less than last month's fore-

cast but 1 percent more than last year's crop. Yields are expected to average 28.3 bushels per
acre compared with 30.0 bushels a year ago.

Harvest of the crop in North Dakota was delayed by showers and humid conditions. Some
sprouting has occurred in swaths left down for extended periods. In Washington, harvest progres~
sed rapidly with excellent weather conditions except for a few showers during late August.

RICE: Production of the 1979 crop is forecast at 135 million hundredweight (6.14 million metric
tons), 1 percent less than last month but 1 percent more than last year. Slightly im-

proved yield prospects in Mississippi were more than offset by production losses in Texas caused
by Tropical Storm Claudette.

Nationally, yields are expected to average 4484 pounds per acre compared with 4493 pounds

last year. California yield prospects are up 290 pounds from 1978 while Texas yields are down
§00 pounds.

The Arkansas rice crop was over 8&0 percent headed by the end af August and harvest was get~
ting underway. In Louisiana, harvesters were active during the month and about 75 percent com-
pleted by the end of August. Rice condition was good in Mississippi with maturity near normal.
Texas rice growers have nearly completed the first. cutting after delays caused by wet conditions

and lodged straw. California rice continues to show good maturity with almost a third turning
color.

SOYBEANS: As of September 1, soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.17 billion
bushels (59.2 million metric tons), up 2 percent from the August 1 forecast, 18 percent
more than a year ago and 23 percent above the 1977 crop. Yield prospects, at a record high 30.9

bushels per acre, are up 1.7 bushels from last year. Development of the crop is later than normal
‘in most areas.

Yield prospects in the North Central area improved from August 1 in all States except Indiana
and Nebraska where expectations were unchanged. The yield in Illinois at 37.0 bushels is up 2.0
bushels from last month and the Iowa yield at 38.0 bushels is up 1.0 bushel.

In the South Central States, yield prospects remained unchanged from a month earlier except
in Texas and Arkansas where each increased 1.0 bushel.

Yields in North Carolina and Georgia declined from a month earlier while yields in Maryland
were up. Other South Atlantic States showed no change.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


“OIHO NI NMOUD S3dAL SUIQNTG YWIID S3IGNTOXI = /Z

*ASVIZNOd HITIUVA WONS CUVMYOS OFLYYVD YVFA ANSYUAD NOs SBAVWIASD = /L

“ez! *y20t2 HITt2tett 10042 SEL*Z 26641 SeS*e98 O90G¥6 0SteGS
S2*ozi't e0sty A 1/2 oo0vE0d Tv
:
out oo 006 ose o8 Oet oor wb "7
as au om 3nOlwad YNVISINOT 22 3daL
t 093v80L 31183n00 *2SIN *2 SS¥ID
'
. “sg “1 2eett «16e*t «= ezett = (OB FOE OEL* OE Ooette ot 29-1o TWios
SL2z*SS —920"SS = GAES TO et : saaag att ayte
t
‘ ‘ . vert «268*T  cestt = 00442 otsre o2yee ’ 29°19 Wwiol
faene oo . as . . Cy) Oeott ® ovt : va
1 NMOND=20VHS ¥IZ=-¥0 29 3dAL
e1ete vers 9908S veytt «26E4T « veStT = 00gt2 otatz ogee ‘ sf
detet atte a9S¢t OOHT OST dd9*T O58 os a6 : SSW
€99%2 Ss9°2 969° OSy*t «sevtt ozstt = ose*t eset ooete 1 NNOD
* a NMQUO=2GVHS ABTA NNOD 19 Beal
' WaddvUM YVOID *9 SSVID
:
aeers2 sezte2 svargz « Seett 90LtT 40082 OE SF ot Gzs*et «= Owe tet SS°1s Wiol
oso*s2z o09soz = SREt¥Z «= eaTe*t «= 204tt «ze0t2 = OOT ET Oore2t ooorat st SS-¥s WidL
sueret 0996 T9etIt Sie*t 009*t sore 0099 006% 008s 1 ‘SIM
ooze ’ NISNOOSIM NY3HLYON ss oad
‘ . . . goett 02042 905+9 00249 269 : r
suster oot sester osert t NISNOISIN NYBHLNOS 9G BdaL
1 W3ONIG NISNOISIA ‘8S SS¥I9
evet2 segt2 eget] BEST «ved ST «= vBetT (ENT ozs*t oeete : @s-ts WoL
ave Ove eet 006*T oo0'e Ogeet et ort oet ' SSH
1 33S YNYAVH AZ TIVA NNO 2s adal
ooore s6z2 vate O09*t ooLtt «onde = osast ose*t ooze ! NOD
: AV TQvONE ABTIVA _NNOD 1g 3dAa
1 4ZQNI@ A3TIVA NNOD ¢¥S SS¥19
: USONIE YVEID *s SSVID
7
Ototez oz0tez2 —oettez «=» «ESAT «HET «HHT = ODL FET 00949 oootst verte WoL
ogatt oogt2 o00¢€ OOg*T avot2 o00%2 004 09*T o0get ' oI
: S3dAL AZTVWA IWVIW OLHO #¥ez4 BqAL
oset2z oaz*sz = De T492 = OGL FT «= OvOTT «= OwEtT «= OOOFET oootet ooster 1 ve
1 4¥37033S VINVATASNNAd Te adab
: aaTIL4 uvelo *% Ss¥79
'
SQNNOg 000¢T sgnnod Sayov ’
elet 3 BL6t + atet 1 eet + @l6t 1 Let + Glet + Beet + Lzet t
ont H t + ONI + t & ONT t t '
NoTLonaoNd t “OTaIK t OS1SaAGVH Wau¥ 4 Add ony SSVID

GAANTANOD 3dAL ANY SS¥ID AB 099801

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

8-14

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979


‘pl-@ 39vd NO S3LONLOOS 335,

veovez = oBTetz = ent ERECT akLtT (OBE TT osett ft ZE-SE WAOL
989 oe 28 Sty soz*T acoeT 09g 008 1 vA
4 2738 Q7UND=NNS VA Ae Bean
ontts *Se's = Seats o69*t 0eztt Coase see ot au
' 1738 W3ATY N3avO 9 adAL
doeor = taster oo0'z = v¥att = 0988 Coot, sa
oo9re eeete 00042 © aTetT = 008+T doer ot WHaL,
oogezt = cet ett ooorz = seer adzeg oors ot aM
1 2738 wavoNS 3NO Se adAL
4 QRUNI-YIV MUVE “BE SSVTO
Ayptaso — OTesL99 2EtZ O2L*Z ODE GHZ = ODBFEGZ D094 RBZ zeete Wida
vestoe = ee tro Oee'l Ofte adeeze ecorez —oaoree = on
1 2738 GNVTAUYH NUBHLNOS 2e aad
S9etows = cezt9z9 §— ageett9 e6ct2 aeztz O0gezez BON T9z 1 sa
seoez Sore =e coast az0s2 = 008+ ut van
aoorte = gvgtez Ste'2 ogee 008801 t vA
oostzor —doneort oo2t2 ss0t2 —o09e0s 1 \ wna
sevtit —Osst6t ooct2 = o6tt2 1 oro
Sussot = Teor tz siete osete ' oN
oez's = ayes oeet2  geetz wt ow
O0oro9e = Sutteze Sivt2 09€¢2 — 900¢091 + AM
Otsest Ost*z 00942 00449 ' ONT
5 4738 Aatene Ve Beak
1 QduNI=uIV AHOTy *¥E SS¥ID
' aauno-uly *¢ SBYID
1
Sietoy = osztas = 9etes sSetl gestt Osgeuz = eatee = ometas e212 Wwaon
HOTT = e9Ste 1O8tT sagt osees astts esses ot sa
pry oocet ozvet otgtt Os ose oon ' wna
6696 990°8 ocet anett —OOg ee aess ote ot an
' 29741510 NB31S3R 62 Baad
asctoy 920° 06LT OORtLT «= agFOZ = ON BZ st sn
zeteae — ezteve OLesT 0ogeT —OOgeTT ‘ WNL
Ses‘ot  oezvet = zggett oge*t = oxetT © ORS 1 Aw
a 101w1STO NuaLSta zz 3dAL
osuts zeerg ooze. Ostet ozt*t o0otr oages. 1 vA
' 4736 VINIOUIA Tz adAb
+ dauNI-3uts 42 SSVID
‘
gecrweort 2zzetezst otereztst O1est 06042 TEtt —szo+seS ‘ vtert Wien
Tzets2t 2a9taet —eavsogT «sett = y9042  aL0tz S28t 89 + sa
Oscteot —o9geszt aso2 sz0tz © ogees 1 ve
oort2 © asoree Ootez o0geoT ! wa
6 ze S90 OLe*T §—0064T Sze wt vw
+ 1736 ¥1QuOT4-V1eH08 vt BdAk
eoorize otesesz —sevtoez ASt82 22042 000490 Cooter t sa
seetezt ozstost ezz*eet ozt'z ovot2 —000¢T9 900: 1 28
Sic*ts —O62*BOT aL Te o1et2 ooorey oootee ot an
‘ 273u 9ST uRONDKR DN ET 9eAL
OSzOEe OLHtETY §— SEOONE sS2*2 Sse" 0094591 oootaet ot aH
4 4936 9 -N NugLSVa 2t Beak
Ooervor — Sa9tzee STO*T  LLut  OOOez6r oooreze + sn
Oogrcot § —See+eor osert Seztt  o0ess opores vA
Osetese on,%00e —d0a*cez ave*t ozs*t = 900¢zET ooofest 1 26
‘ $1726 BOOTH Gn¥ G10 1 Beh
' oaund-ant4 *t SS¥I9
’
SQNMOg 000+ SQNNOe *__saua¥ t
eiet t @26t ¢ idol + fet t giet a diet i oaet ¢ geet « diet +
OnE t t 2 ONT + 2 3 ony t 3 '
NOTLONOOwa ¥ oak 7 ‘ORLSIAGVH VIR + 2dAL ONY SS¥T9

3441 ONY SSVID AB 0D29¥80L

4
3
a
z
Fs
5
2
8

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

August was a month of many contrasts. Some areas reported both record high and low temper-
atures. The season's first frosts occurred in northern areas from North Dakota to New England
Some of the heaviest precipitation of the month fell in northern Iowa and in Ohio where as much
as three times the normal amount was recorded

A typical summer rainfall pattern prevailed from July 30 to August 5 as warm, moist air from
the Gulf of Mexico flowed northward and caused showers and thunderstorms in nearly all areas east
of the Rockies. Seasonal showers edged westward into southern New Mexico and Arizona. Temper-
atures were cooler than normal in the northern and southern Plains but most of the Nation was
near or above normal.

August showers began in earnest in the Southwest, the Plateau, and central Rockies during
the week of August 6-12. The showers extended northward into southern Idaho where numerous fires
were burning in the dry forests. East of the Rockies the influx of warm air continued in the
early part of the week but cooler air from Canada covered the area by the end of the week
Record high temperatures early in the week were followed by record low temperatures. Frost was
reported in northern Minnesota and Michigan.

The cool air enveloped nearly all of the Nation early in the week of August 13-19 and frost
was reported along the Canadian border from North Dakota eastward through New England. Showers
and thunderstorms were moderate to heavy throughout the Southwest, the Plateau and northward into
the State of Washington. Fire danger was lowered in the West. Heavy showers also extended into
the central Rockies and eastward into the upper Midwest. Flooding resulted in northern Nebraska,
Iowa and Illinois. Moderate to heavy rain fel] along the Gulf Coast.

The week of August 20-26 was one of very heavy rain in some areas. Six to eight inches con-
tinued the flooding in parts of Iowa and Minnesota. The lower Mississippi Valley, northern Ala-
bama and Georgia also reported heavy rain. Isolated heavy thunderstorms occurred throughout the
week from northern Texas through the Plains. A succession of cool air surges into the central
portion of the Nation was responsible for triggering the heavy downpours. Storm systems formed
in central U.S. and moved eastward. Most of the cold air remained in Canada where some light
frost was reported near the North Dakota border. Average temperatures for the week were 3 to 6°
colder than normal in the central Rockies and on the eastern slopes and about 3° warmer than
normal east of the Appalachians and on the West Coast.

Frequent rains fell from the eastern Great Plains to the Atlantic Coast during the period
from August 27 to the end of the month. Heavy amounts fell in eastern Kansas, western Missouri
and eastern Oklahoma where thunderstorms were most frequent at midweek. Early in the week, a
tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico dumped 5 or more inches of rain on Texas’ southern tip. The
storm stalled off the Mexican Coast and slowly dissipated but still caused moderate rain all a-
long the Texas Gulf Coast. At the end of the month another tropical storm was moving toward the
Texas Coast and Hurricane David was moving northwesterly toward the east coastal areas. Most of
the Nation was warmer than normal during the last week of August. The area from Nebraska east-
ward through Ohio was 3 to 6° cooler than normal.

CROP DEVELOPMENT

August precipitation provided enough moisture in major row crop production regions to support
good plant growth except in the Southeast where rainfall was short early in the month. Subnormal
témperatures slowed plant growth in the extreme northern Corn Belt where development was already
Tate because of the delayed planting season. As of September 1, extreme northern areas needed a
month of frost-free weather for row crops to mature.

Corn rated good throughout most major production areas. In the eastern Corn Belt, most of
the'crop advanced into the dough stage or beyond but by September 2 denting ranged from an extreme-
ly low 10 to 20 percent in Wisconsin and Michigan respectively to 60 percent in Illinois which was
also below normal. In Indiana and I1linois, 5 to 15 percent of the corn was mature by the begin-
ning of September, 5 to 10 points Tess than normal. In the western Corn Belt, dough stage ranged
from a very low 36 percent in Minnesota--slightly over a third of normal--to almost complete in
other States. Denting ranged from 24 percent in South Dakota to 67 percent in Missouri, lagging
far behind normal in all States except Missouri. Only 5 percent of the corn was mature in South
dakota, 14 percent in Missouri, and 20 percent in Kansas, 10 points below normal in each of these

ates.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


BARLEY

STATE 4 AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO PRODUCTION

t ? 7 IND + tT + IND ¢ 7 ’ INO

4 19774 1978 3 1979 | 1977 1 1978 $ 1979 3 i977 3 1978 3 1979

t 1000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

‘
ARIZ 1/8 55 36 45 7600 7100 82.0 49180 29485 39690
CALIF 178 950 950 780 560 48.0 5640 530200 459600 39680
coLo 1 20 240 a7 59.0 44.0 Thad 13,570 159360 19980
DEL “4s 22 24 24 44.0 4420 4600 968 19056 19104
GA are 7 3760 259
TOAHO 940 930 850 4740 6000 58.0 449180 559800 499300
TLL 148 9 7 8 4200 3640 4000 378 252 320
IND art 8 4000 320
KANS 1/3 78 60 55 3600 4420 4700 29808 29640 2558S
KY et 2s 23 23 4620 4300 5220 19150 989 19196
MO ve 70 85 83 4 4500 48.0 39430 39825 39984
MICH 1/t 19 19 V7 4700 4700 988 893 799
MINN ' 12080 19050 760 4905 50.0 55,080 519975 385000
MO est 8 296
MONT ' 19630 19375 19050 41.0 3600 529195 569375 375800
NEBR 1/t 43 29 27 3820 43.0 19935 19102 15161
NEV ve 19 20 22 6000 60.0 19235 19200 14320
NJ 141 17 20 17 4600 4900 816 920 833
N MEX 1/8 26 25 28 3760 B70 19326 19425 15596
NY we lo 10 li 4200 4500 449 420 495
NC ve SS 39 62 51.0 29200 39009 39162
NOAK 4 29530 29450 19650 4500 989670 1129700 149250
OHIO 1/8 1 10 9 5400 56) 480 486
OKLA 1/8 120 80 70 46.0 49200 29720 39220
OREG ' 190 185 170 4840 84930 99250 89160
PA wt 125 12s 100 4800 69250 Se87S 49800
sc ve 2l a4 23 48.0 840 1128 19104
SOAK ¢ 640 565 525 3900 264880 205905 204475
TENN 1/8 13 13 13 3900 507 442 $07
TEX we 85 40 50 4600 39400 19080 29300
UTAH ’ 1s 131 431 40.0 69210 749336 79860
va iss 92 101 95 50.0 41048 59050 49750
Wash + 350 380 310 5000 99450 249700 155500
wva ist 9 10 10 4720 378 440 479
wIS 4/3 29 27 24 4600 19566 19323 19106
WYO t 133 131 133 6200 79315 89253 89246
us ' 99564 99233 79445 4869 4209159 4470008 = = 3644237

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA






DRY EDIBLE BEANS va

CROP AND STATE ' AREA HARVESTEO a YIELD + PRODUCTION
r 7 7 THOT T 71ND + + 7 IND
#1977 t__1978.1__—«1979 +1977 +1978 1979's 1977 t__—ig97B 1979
1 T+000 ACRES POUNDS T+000 CHT
LARGE LIMA BEANS a
CALIF : 3.0 29.0 26.0 1676014500 14692 540 436 440
Y LIMA BEANS '
CALIF ' 22.0 25.0 27.0 24160 15960 24037 475 489 $50
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS +
caL #11660 15660 14.0 19610 1y516 19872 24268 22180
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1
CALIF 4 16940 210.0 11609 21887 30188 30170
€oLo + 15060 19265 14530 16663
IDAHO + 19800 29265 21494 24322
ANS ant 11240 162 192 126
MICH 1 14200 51664 61440 59680
MINN are 19350 396 ‘592 392
MONT are 14700 104 126 155
NEBR + 14650 10767 19967 ane
NY : 14120 352 428 468
N OAK 1 14150 16103 16263 1-208
UTAH : 1 350 2 26 26
wash : 14850 333 486 68s
wyo : 19740 380 427 470
OTHER ayn 5.9 | 50 -
us #1927969 e68Q.e Le 38M 1s348 160610 L@eilT 189657

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
37 TLL AND IND¥ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

ORY EDIBLE PEAS “v
STATE AREA WARVESTEO ' YIELD ‘ PRODUCTION
' 7 7 TAO + 7 1 IND t 7 TNO
21977 1978 1979 11977 | 1978. 11979 t 1997 1978 1979
H 00 AC Tr
toamo ot a2.0 55.0 B60 14830 16350 $63 24501 Tes
ase 4 120.0 460 14750 14600 460 24100 14360
us ' 202.0 1404 6131478319502 14023 34601 24103

17 EXCLUDES BOTH WRINKLED SEED PEAS ANO AUSTRIAN WINTER
EAS,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 8-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

7 AREA HARVESTED :VIELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
: : : t INDI- + 7 TNOYCATED
CROP > 1978 INDICATED ¢ 1978: CATED: 1978 : :
: 11979 11979 ¢ z 1979: __1979
: HECTARES METRIC. TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN : 28 316 160 28 124 340 6,35 6.56179 887 250 180 575 3 184 620 150
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 5496 090 5 202 760 3.46 3.95 19010 490 19 792 110 20 683 180
OATS : 4 666 480 4047 710 1.87 1.90 8730410 7 706 960 7 710 810
BARLEY : 3736500 3012920 2.60 2.63 9732450 7 761 680 7 930 320
ALL WHEAT : 23.002 170 25 182 650 2.13 2.29 48-952 920 58 051 860 57 783 330
WINTER : 15 746 080 17 602 400 2,16 2.47 33.972 400 43 623 820 43 424 870
DURUM : 1628 470 1564 130 © 2.23 1.87 3 628 590 2926 920 2 922 380
OTHER SPRING : 5627620 6016 120 2.02 1.90 11 351 930 11 501 120 11 436 080
RICE : 1205570 1 220950 5.04 5.03 6 070 880 6 202 420 6 136 290
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 25 496 680 28 449 300 1.97 2:08 +50 148 630 57 948 800 59 171 460
FLAXSEED : 348.030 «408 3300.80 (0.78 277 410 ~=—-300 930-317 540
PEANUTS FOR NUTS. : 611730 616. 9902.96 ~= 3.011: 809 200-1: 840 110-1 858 330
ALL COTTON + 5006 020 5 274080 0.47 0.59 2 363 560 2984 980 3 101 460
UPLAND : 4975 260 5 236890 0.47 0.59 2343 220 2962 320 3 078 800

AMER-PIMA : 30 760 37 190 0.66 = 0.61 20 340 22 660 22 660
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 604.770 560 1301.43 1.51 867 130 829 340 © 846 260
DRY EDIBLE PEAS : 81 750 56 660 2.00 1.68 163 340 94 750 95 390
POTATOES :

SUMMER : 45 280 43.590 21.20 23.05 960.110 987 280-1 «004 570

TOTAL : 854.750 523 30029186 16 567 330
SWEETPOTATOES : 48 810 49 450 13.29 13,58 648 680 «660 020 671 490
TOBACCO : 383690 = 349 8502.39 22d 918 300 801 880 784 590
SUGARBEETS : 514770 453 780 45.42 43.86 23-380 870 19 766 650 19 900 910
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 298 940 295 950 78.62 82.01 23 501 530 24 852 330 24 271 730
PEPPERMINT OIL : 40 470 38 240 «0.06 += 0.06 2 600 2 210 2 180
SPEARMINT OIL : 18 660 13 760 0.08 = 0.06 1 470 850 860
HOPS : 12 500 12910 © 2.00 1.93 24 980 25 480 24 880
PEARS : 659 340 «= 712 230» 728 560
GRAPES : 4142 840 4 383 340 © 4 383 340
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) : 118 840 1/113 400 117 930
PRUNES AND PLUMS : ~

(EXCL CALIF) : 63 320 62 140 62 140
CRANBERRIES 111 520 2/112 740
PECANS 113 720 “116 440
FILBERTS : 12 790 9 530,
WALNUTS (CALIF) : 145 150____190 510 199 580
T7” SULT, 1975.27 RELEASED AUG 21, 1975,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)
ch AREA HARVESTED 2 VEELO PER HECTARE : PRODUCTION
oP > INDICATED: > INDICATED —: > INDICATED
1978s is ys 1978 iggy: 978 S979)
HECTARES METRIC TONS
RYE 402 670 378 790 1.65 1.59 664 490 602 920
ALL HAY 24 886 420 24 629 430 5.19 5.16 129.059 730 127 199 100

ALFALFA 11 212 750 11-031 440 7.02 6.95 78 693 740 76 636 250

ALL OTHER 13 673 670 13 597 990 3.68 3.72 50 365 990 50 562 850
POTATOES

WINTER 5 220 5 340 22.78 23.13 118 890 123 510

SPRING : 36 790 36 180 22.15 28.91 814 780 1-045 980

FALL : 467 460 438 200 31.39 14 673 580
APPLES, COM'L : 3 462 430 3 490 600
PEACHES : 1 225 150 1-326 430
SWEET CHERRIES : 140 520 160 390
TART CHERRIES : 82 190 75 840
APRICOTS : 114 580 131 270
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 134 260 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) : 139 710 163 290°
OLIVES (CALIF) : 114 310 47-170
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 82 100 158 760
T7 ESTIMATES CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 a4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at 28.6 million pounds (13.0 thousand met-
ric tons), down 6 percent from 1978. Yield per acre is indicated at 1300 pounds, down 90 pounds
from last year.

Dark air-cured prospects indicate a 20.2 million pound crop (9140 metric tons), a decrease
of 12 percent from the 1978 production. Both acres for harvest and yield per acre are down from
ast year.

All_cigar type production is forecast at 55.3 million pounds (25,] thousand metric tons), up
less than one percent from last year. Production forecasts of cigar-filler types are down 14
percent, cigar-binder types up 18 percent, and cigar-wrapper types up 3 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 21.9 million tons (19.9 million metric tons), 15

percent below the 1978 crop of 25.8 million tons (23.4 million metric tons). A
lower yield per acre than last year is indicated--19.6 tons per acre compared with 20.3 tons a year
earlier, Area for harvest at 1.12 million acres (454 thousand hectares) is 12 percent below the
1978 harvested acres.

Sugarbeets are developing well in California. Harvest has begun in the San Joaquin Valley
and is expected to begin in mid-September in the Scramento Valley and the Central Coast areas.
Beets are in good to very good condition in Colorado. Hot weather during September is needed to
speed up the maturity of the crop.

The crop is generally in good condition in Minnesota and North Dakota. Limited lifting of
the beets should begin in mid-September and harvest should increase as the month progresses.

The beet crop in Idaho, Oregon and Wyoming made good growth during August. Irrigation water
supplies were adequate, Moisture is needed for the crop in Michigan.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 26.8 million tons (24.3

million metric tons), down 2 percent from the August 1 forecast but 3 percent above
the 1978 production. Average yield per acre is estimated at 36.6 tons compared with 35.1 tons ta
1978.

Yield prospects in Florida are down from a month earlier. Harvesting of sugarcane for seed
was well underway when Hurricane David passed offshore. Strong winds from the hurricane blew
cane over but early checks showed little breakage. Losses appear to be light but the extent of
damage has not been fully determined.

The Louisiana crop is making good growth with growers preparing seedbeds and beginning to
plant. Growing conditions have been favorable in the Rio Grande Valley of Texas. Timely rains
during late August wil] benefit the crop significantly. Harvest is expected to begin in mid-
October.

Hot and humid weather continued throughout August in Hawaii. Rains were reported during the
week ending August 19 in the Puna district and along the eastern coast regions of the Island of
Hawaii. Elsewhere in the State, weather was dry most of the month with only light showers. Fre-~
quent irrigation was necessary in certain areas, especially the Kekaha-Waimea districts of Kauai
and the Wailuku area of Maui.

MINT OIL: The peppermint oi? crop is forecast at 4.87 million pounds (2780 metric tons}, 16 per~

cent Tess than the 1978 crop. Rains during the harvest period reduced yields in
Indiana and Wisconsin, Prospective yields in all other producing States are unchanged from last
month.

The spearmint oj] crop is forecast at 1.89 million pounds (860 metric tons), down 42 percent

from 1978. Yields increased from the August 1 forecasts in Idaho and Wisconsin, are unchanged in
Michigan and Washington, and lower in Indiana.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PAPAYAS: Hawaii papaya production during September is forecast at 2.80 million pounds (1270 metric
tons), 8 percent less than last month, Excellent weather conditions contributed to a
larger than expected harvest in August of 3.05 million pounds (1380 metric tons), Effects of the
adverse weather earlier this year are still evident as last month's production is tess than half
of that achieved during August 1978. The outlook for the final quarter of this year calls for
improved production levels. A 7 percent increase is forecast for October, followed by a 10 per-

Cent boost in November. Production is expected to hold at 3.30 million pounds (1500 metric tons)
in December.

Area in crop during August totaled 3330 acres (1350 hectares), up one percent from July. Of
the total area in crop last month, 73 percent or 2415 acres (980 hectares) were harvested,

CRANBERRIES: The first forecast of 1979 U.S. cranberry production is for a record 2.49 million

barrels (113 thousand metric tons), one percent above last year's crop and 18 per-
cent larger than the 1977 production. Based on early August conditions, al} States except Massa-
chusetts expect increases from a year earlier.

The Massachusetts crop is forecast at 1.08 million barrels, down 8 percent from last year's
record Crop, but 23 percent above 1977. There was little frost damage in bogs and late rains have
resulted in medium to large berries.

New Jersey expects a crop of 240 thousand barrels, an increase of 8 percent over last year
and 53 percent above the short 1977 crop. Bloom was heavy, but set and size of berries are only
average.

Production in Wisconsin is forecast at 910 thousand barrels, 11 percent over, the crop of
1978, and 7 percent higher than in 1977, Although the season is one to two weeks Tater than nor-
mal, growing conditions have been favorable and there is a good set of berries,

Oregon expects a record crop of 109 thousand barrels, 15 percent above 1978 and 35 percent
larger than the 1977 crop. Growing conditions have been excellent thus far.

The Washington crop is forecast at 147 thousand barrels, 6 percent and 8 percent over the
previous two years, respectively. Winter damage was minor in North Beach and Grayland areas but
damage was significant in the Long Beach area. Bloom was good, pollination weather excellent,
and set and berry size are better than average.

PECANS: The 1979 pecan crop is initially forecast at 257 million pounds (116 thousand metric

tons), 2 percent more than last season and 8 percent above the 1977 crop. The native
and seedling crop is 7? percent above last season while the improved varieties are 36 percent
below last season. In Alabama, damp growing conditions have caused scab problems in many
orchards. In Georgia, nut set is generally lighter this year, but varieties vary widely between
locations, Stuarts have a very light crop potential in some areas, but good in others. The
seedling crop is more uniform. Spray programs have been expanded and include many additional
groves this season. Reflecting the high moisture this season, scab is the most significant prob-
Jem. The storm on September 4 broke many limbs and caused crop damage in the Southeastern sec-
tion of Georgia. Louisiana growers report the best set in recent years; however, considerable
droppage occurred in August as a result of insect punctures and heavy sets. Disease control is
average to good. Mites and aphids are building up in some areas. A late Apri) freeze in New
Mexico caused some damage. However, generally heavy sets in major producing areas should compen-
sate. The Oklahoma pecan crop is in good condition with insignificant insect and disease prob-
lems. Spring and summer rains in Texas were very beneficial to this year's pecan crop, and there
is a heavy nut set. Casebearer and weevil infestations are heavy in some areas of central Texas
but are light elsewhere. High temperatures and humidity have increased scab and powdery mildew
in central and south Texas.

FILBERTS: Filbert production in Oregon and Washington is forecast at 10.5 thousand tons (9530

metric tons), 25 percent less than last year's crop and 1] percent below 1977, The
cold winter and unfavorable weather conditions during pollination have lowered yields. Nut size
is normal and harvest should begin in late September.

WALNUTS: California walnut prospects continued to improve, with the crop now forecast at 220
thousand tons (200 thousand metric tons), 38 percent more than last season's crop and
15 percent above the 1977 harvest. August weather was favorable for good walnut growth.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS) _

7__AREA HARVESTED: YIELD PER ACRE: PRODUCTION
CROP AND UNIT F yg7—_ {INDICATED} J7q INDICATED? yo7q THDTCATED
: 2 1979 : 1979 : 3979 :_(1979
T,000 ACRES T,000

CORN FOR GRAIN Bu : 69,970 69,496 101.2, “104.6 7,081,849 7,108,938 7,268,175
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN = * > 13,581 12,985 55.1 62.9 748,410 "779,181 = °814,261
GATS ” : 11,531 10,002 52.2 53.1 601,477 $30,967 531,232
BARLEY " : 9,233 7,445 48.4 48.9 _ 447,008 + 356,491 364.237
ALL WHEAT : $6,839 62,227 31.6 34:1 1,798,712 2,133,041 2,123,174

WINTER : 38,909 43,496 32.1 36,7 1,248;272 136021901 1,595,591
DURUM . : 4,024 32.865 33.1 27,8 133,328 «107,546 = 197,379
OTHER SPRING " : 13,906 14,866 30.0 28,3 © 417,112 422,594 420,204

RICE CHT 1/ : 2,979.0 3,017.0 4,493 «4,484 == 133,840 136,740 «135,282
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU : 63,003 70,299 29.2 30,9 1,842,647 2,129,254 2,174,179
FLAXSEED " 3 860 1,009 12.7 12.4 10,921 11,847 12,501
PEANUTS FOR NUTS iB : 1,517.6 1,524.6 2,639 2,687 3,988,624 4,056,780 4,096,930
ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 12,370.0 13,032.4 421 525  10,855.8 13,710.0 14,245.0

UPLAND "V7 2 12,294.0 12,9805 420 525 10,762.4 13,605.9 14,140.9
AMER-PIMA "TY: 76.0 91.9 590 544 93.4 104.1 104.1

ORY EDIBLE BEANS CuT 1/7: 1,494.4 1,38421 1,279 1,348 19,117 18,284 18,657
ORY EDIBLE PEAS "Vo: 202.0 140.0 1,783 1,502 3,601 2,089 2,103
POTATOES :

SUMMER wT : 119 107.7 189 206 21,167 21,766 22,147
TOTAL " > 1,370.8 1,29311 266 365,249
SWEETPOTATOES “ : 120.6 122.2 119 123 14,301 14,55) 14,804
TOBACCO LB 2 948.1 8645 2,135 2,001 2,024,508 1,767,852 1,729,725
SUGARBEETS TON =: 1,272.0 1,121.3 20.3 19.6 25,773 ° 21,789 21,937
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED " : 738.7 731.3 35.1 26.6 25,906 27,395 26,755
PEPPERMINT OIL 100.0 94.5 57 oT 5,728 4,872 4,812
SPEARMINT OIL 46.1 34.0 70 56 3,244 1,874 1,893
HOPS : 30.9 31.9 1,782 1,719 55,071 56,175 54,846
PASTURE AND RANGE PCT 2/ : 6 86
PEARS TON: 726.8 785.1 803.1
GRAPES " : 4,566.7 4,831.8 4,831.8
DRIED PRUNES ( CALIF) : 131.0 3/125.0 130.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS 3 : ~

(EXCL CALIF) " : 69.8 68.5 68.5
CRANBERRIES BBL: 2,458.5 4/2,485.5
PECANS LB : 250,700 ~ 256,700
FILBERTS TON: 14 10.5
WALNUTS (CALIF ” : 160.0 210.0 220.0
V Nl . - GE T

75 PERCENT. 3/ JUL TY, 1979. 4/ RELEASED AUG 21, 1979.

UNIYED STATES CROP SUMMARY
{DOMESTIC UNITS}

BREA HARVESTED YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCTION
CROP AND UNIT : :
1978 1975 yo: 1978s qg79 ys 1978s t979 17
T,000 ACRES T, 000
RYE BU: 995 936 26.3 25.4 26,160 23,736
ALL HAY TON: 61,495 60,860 2.31 2.30 142;264 140,213
ALFALFA “: 27,707 27,259 3.13 3.10 86,745 84,477
ALL OTHER » 5 33,788 33,602 1.64 1,66 55,519 55,736
POTATOES :
WINTER CWT: = (12,9 13.2 203 206 2,621 2,723
SPRING "r  90.9 39.4 198 258 17,963 23,060
FALL sy 1,155.1 1,082.8 280 323,498
APPLES, COM'L LB: 7,633,400 7,695,500
PEACHES “ 23701,000 2,924,300
SHEET’ CHERRIES TON: 154.9 176.8
TART CHERRIES LB: 181,200 167,200
APRICOTS TON: 126.3 144,7
NECTARINES (CALIF) =" : 148.0 185.0
PLUMS (CALIF) “3 154.0 180.0
OLIVES (CALIF) wy 126.0 52.0
ALMONDS (CALIF LB: 181,000 ___ 350,000
A

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
BARLEY 2 ww we ee ee ee ee B- 4
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE B-10
COFFEE 2. we ee es B-19
CORN FOR GRAIN. 2. ee ee ee ee te B- 1
COTTON © ww ee ee ee ee ee B- 9
CRANBERRIES «2 1 we eee ee ee ee ee ee B-17
CROP PROSPECTS MAP. 2 1. ee ee ee ee ee te ee A- 6
FLAXSEED © ww we ee ee et ee B- 8
GRAPES 2 6 ee ee B-17
HOPS 2. we ee ee B-15
MINT OIL 2 ww ee ee B-19
NUTS © ee ee B-19
OATS ©. ee ee B- 3
PAPAYAS «6 1 ee ee ee ee ee et B-18
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION. . 1... 2... +224. . B-16
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAP A- 7
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2. 2. we ee ee ee ee ee B- 9
PEARS www ee ee ee B-16
PEAS, DRY EDIBLE... 1 ee ee et ee te ee B-10
PECANS 6 6 ww ee ee B-18
POTATOES © 2 ww ee ee ee ee B-11
PRUNES AND PLUMS B-17
RICE. . we ee ee B- 7
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN B- 2
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS . 2. 1. ee ee ee ee ee ee ee B- 8
SUGARBEETS © 2. ee eee B-15
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED... 2-1 ee ee eee ee B-15
SWEETPOTATOES «2 ww ee ee ee et ee ee ee ee B-11
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE .. 2... ee eee eee eee B-13
TOBACCO BY STATES 2 1 1 1 ee ee ee ee ee B-12
US SUMMARY 6. ee ee ee A- 3
WHEAT, BY CLASSES 2... 1. ee ee ee ee ee B- 5
WHEAT, ALL. 1 we eee ee ee B- 5
WHEAT, DURUM. 2. 1. ee ee B- 7
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING ........ re rs B- 7
WHEAT, WINTER 2 1 ww ee ee ee ee ee eee B- 6

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 B-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


FLAXSEED

STATE 8 AREA HARVESTED s YIELD Ui PRODUCTION

' INDY 7 + ENO ft t 3 IND

% 1977 t 1978 ‘ 1979 $ 1977 § 1978 t 1979 # 1977 + 1978 ¢ 1979

1 1+000 ACRES BUSHELS Yo000 BUSHELS

t . ae
MINN _ 220 142 154 1465 1505 14,0 30190 20202 29156
Noone 4 a8 410 500 1260 115 rs00 49920 5750

. .
3 ban ' 330 288 350 12.5 13.0 49290 39600 4550
TEX 9/3 9 20 5 10.0 9.0 90 200 45
us ' 19324 860 1,009 12.7 12.4 156105 100921 12.501
1/ DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

STaTE ¢ AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD U PRODUCTION

‘ ¥ Tso 7 IND t t ’ IND

t 1977 3 1978 ¢ 1979 $1977 t 1978 t 1979 3 1977 1 1978 4 1979

t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS T+000 BUSHELS

‘
ALA $ 19600 15950 29250 21.0 22.0 24.0 334600 429900 54,000
ARK ' 49600 49700 5e150 23,0 2460 250 1059800 1129800 1284750
OEL wv 225 245 265 24.0 2800 2960 59400 69860 70685
FLA lve 327 400 450 25.0 2420 2640 89175 99600 116700
Ga ' 19090 14680 2050 2 23.0 219800 299400 4745150
TUL ‘ 8850 99190 99700 37,0 3365300 3038270 = 3584900
IND ' 39900 49130 49400 3640 1449300 1409420 = 1584400
TOwA ' 72080 79550 89150 380 2519340 2869900 3094700
KANS t 990 14450 19540 2940 285215 269100 441660
ky ' 19320 19410 19650 32.0 404920 429300 52,800
La ' 29680 29840 39200 27.0 624980 712000 864400
TMD ' 32s 345 38s 33-0 8977S 119040 125705
MICH s 720 800 970 28.0 215600 199200 274160
MINN t 39770 42060 S260 3340 1339835 1429100 173,580
MISS 1 39650 39800 40125 2200 789475 819700 905750
MO t 49650 59440 59930 32.9 = 1489800 = 1559040 = 1834830
NEBR ' 10130 19250 19600 34.0 409680 429500 54400
NJ ve 177 206 2ll 29.0 49268 69180 60119
NY we 9 22 23 25.0 437 506 575
NC + 19320 49550 19450 23.0 299060 379200 4629550
N OAK 1/1 175 173 205 2540 39500 49758 59125
OHIO ’ 39380 39750 49020 36.0 1199990 1239750 1445720
OKLA 14t 340 315 330 23.0 79820 59355 79590
Pa lee 67 62 80 3140 2,077 20953 29480
sc ' 19300 19470 19660 2200 269650 329340 365520
$ OAK 178 315 390 $90 2960 99608 110895 170110
TENN 4 20220 29620 2600 2400 28170 560870 629600
TEX ‘ 760 74S 850 27.0 2091460 199370 225950
vA 1 440 445 495 28.0 85360 129460 134860
WIs lve 192 215 310 31.0 69720 69880
us 1 579612 639003 109299 3009 197619755 198024607 aviTesi79

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979

8-8

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP_REPORT SUMMARY

The "all crop" production index (1967=100) at a record 140 is 9 points above the previous
record set last year, according to the Crop Reporting Board. Feed grains and oil crops have
reached new record highs and food grains equal the record high of 1975. The cotton index is
45 points above 1978 while the tobacco index is off 14 points and sugar crops down 10 points
from 1978.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1969-79 (1967=100)

: PRODUCTTON
: ? HAY : : : :

YeR : ara : FEED 2 iy FOOD ; SUGAR: COTTON : TOBACCO : OIL CROPS
: = GRAINS ; oRAGe ; GRAINS ; CROPS : :
1969: (104 99 100 98 115 137 91 n6
1970 =: ~— 100 89 100 91 na 139 97 7
71:2 116 105 107 116 145 86 121
197200; 13 2 104 102 127 187 88 131
1973: ~—«119 115 109 na 12 175 88 155
1974: 110 93 104 120 104 158 101 127
1975: (121 14 108 42-130 2 No 183
19760: «121 120 102 141 128 142 108 132
1977: «130 126 107 132 116 191 98 175
1978 =: (131 135 115 124 ne 146 102 180

1979 : 140 137 114 142 108 191 88 222

S, AND SOME CELLANEOUS CRI
‘SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on
selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting
Board which consists of commodity statisticians from Washington headquarters and the State
Statistical Offices.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

J. W. Kirkbride, Acting Chairman,
C. A. Hudson, Acting Secretary,
APPROVED: 0. W. Barrowman, te M. Skow,
F. E. Rolf, . Blackson,
R. A. Blood, i . Buckner,
T. J. Byram, H. J. DeLong,
. ¥ : W. N. Dowdy, S. R. Edwards,
ZZ, Vy R. D. Fenley, T. W. Feurer,
J. R. Gibson, D. E. Hamilton,
M. L. Holko, S. R. Koyle,
T. E. McNair, M.A. Miller,
D. A. Rockwell, L. E. Snipes,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE R. L. Schulte

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PEARS

CROP AND STATE ‘ PRODUCTION 1/
‘ ToTau ' TOTAL 1 INO
4 1977 1 1978 & 1979
? TONS
PEARS BARTLETT t
CALIF 1 3265000 2814000 3455000
OREG ry 809000 550500 779000
WASH ' 1389000 1329000 140+000
TOTAL t 5445000 4689500 5620000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT t
CALIF ' 8600 79300 105000
OREG t 1005000 964000 1054000
WASH t 865000 1149000 802000
TOTAL 1 1949600 2179300 195000
ALL PEARS '
CALIF ' 3349600 2885300 3555000
COLO eve 69900 39700 5500
CONN ray 19600 19900 19500
TOAHO at 19800
MICH t 12,000 135000 124000
NY ’ 16,000 18500 189000
OREG ’ 1805000 1519500 1629000
PA est 49700 39300 49100
UTAH ray 57900 29600 5000
WASH ' 2244000 2469000 220000
Us ' 7869600 7269800 8039100

1/4 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGEs

(TONS) US 1977"29100.
2¢ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP,

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE AVERAGE 8 1978 t 1979 tt STATE & AVERAGE £ 1978 3 1979
t :

1968-77 + 1 ut 1968-77 $

'

ala ' 79 al 88 at NEV t 17 86 8
ARIZ t 1% 67 ad ttoNH ' 79 846 8s
ARK +073 se ct) waoNS + 16 86 86
CALIF t 69 92 88 tt NMEX ft 16 70 88
colo ot 73 61 8A ONY ry 81 I 72
CONN t 76 88 72 moNC ‘ 80 87 82
OEL $14 a8 95 st N OAK 68 a7 72
FLA t 84 a8 as tt OHIO) 8 65 a4 97
Ga 1 78 78 a2 tt OKLA ot 73 $3 87
1OAHO + 8) 85 72 tt OREG t 7 97 7s
TL 5 80 73 ag rt PA ' 81 82 85
ND 1 85 86 96 tt RI t 78 9% 92
IOWA ot) (77 82 89 mS 1 76 ao ° 76
KANS of 73 59 88 1 S$ DAK ¢ 63 89 88
KY 1 88 a9 96 11 TENN 5 78 81 93
La + 80 70 87 at TEX ’ 70 44 85
MAINE $ 80 56 86 tt UTAH 4 76 68 7S
“oD + 78 85 92 tt VT ' 78 77 7
mMasS 1 76 86 85 ts VA ' 83 94 93
MICH of = (76 75 a9 th WASH 3 75 92 70
MINN o£ 68 87 92 ts WVA ot as 92 9%
MISS ot 79 75 91 th) WIS 1 70 90 £2
“0 t 67 75 84 ts WYO ' 80 92 19
MONT 1 79 97 69 t :

NEBR ot 69 80 87 tr US : 75 75 86

1/7 GOOD TO EXCELLENT» 80 AND OVER | ®00R TO FAIR 65-794 VERY POOR» S6-64% SEVERE
DROUGHT» 35°49% EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL
GROUP ¢ AREA HARVESTED U YIELO t PRODUCTION
AND t ¥ TNO ¥ 7 + IND? T t TND
STATE 1977 8 1978 t 1979 + 1977 $1978 ¢ 1979 1977 + 1978 1 1979
t 16000 ACRES Cwr T,000 CWT
SUMMER t
ALA ' 7.5 8.0 8.3 100 150 180 750 16200 14494
CALIF ’ 84 709 77 360 360 350 31024 298446 29695
COLO ' 608 608 69 265 255 275 19802 19734: 1.898
DEL: 1 503 5.3 48 210 210 205 10313 1eld3 984
TLL 1 2e3 1.6 169 200 200 210 460 360 399
IND ' 201 2.0 175 170 360 368 340 288
rows ' 2e1 1S 225 200 210 473 300 231
MD ' 166 1.5 150 150 150 240 225 2e5
MICH : 7.8 Be 185 175 190 19443 19453 19634
MINN : 760 275 280 270 21063 16960 16701
NEBR ' 168 150 160 150 315 288 225
NJ t Bel Bee 265 255 235 20147 2.091 19904
N MEX ’ 209 3.8 190 20s 300 551 779 19320
NC ' 4.0 4.0 Sel 125 125 125 S00 S00 513
OHIO 1 108 166 104 190 190 210 3462 304 296
TENN 1’ 4.5 aed 4.3 90 90 95 405 396 409
TEX ’ 10.3 11.0 10.5 230 210 250 29369 29310 29625
vA 3 2707 2760 2405 128 110 135 39463 29970 39308
WVA lst 204 64 154
TOTAL 4 11562 111.9 10767 191 189 206 214982 219167 229147
1/4 ESTIMATES DISCOUNTINUED AFTER 1977 CROP.
SWEETPOTATOES
Stave 1 AREA HARVESTED ' YIELD ! PRODUCTION
t t 1 IND + 1 + IND? t t INO
1 1977 ¢ 1978 + 1979 : 1977 + 1978 3 1979 t jov7t 1978 3 1979
' 10000 ACRES CWT 19000 CWT
ALA 1 503 5.5 5.7 85 100 115 451 550 656
ARK 1 166 166 166 76 79 90 122 126 144
CALIF 1, 7.8 87 - 905 150 160 160 19170 19392 13520
GA ' 5.5 6.0 5.9 90 110 110 495 660 649
La ' 2720 28.0 2720 90 9s 5 24430 29660 26565
MD % 166 16 264 155 160 165 248 224 231
MISS ' 8.0 900 868 8s 68 90 680 792 792
NJ % 206 266 207 105 110 110 2s2 286 297
nec 1 3340 3740 3960 135 140 140 49455 5180 51460
sc ' 203 204 2.5 91 105 95 209 252 238
TENN : 208 208 208 100 100 * «190 280 280 280
TEX t 9.5 905 94 95 110 125 903 16045 19175
va 1 566 bel 5.9 125 140 135 700 854 197
us ' 11206 12006 12262 110 119 121 129395 169301 149804

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


COTTON: Al) cotton production this year is expected to total 14.2 million bales, 313 percent

above 1978 and 4 percent above the August 1 forecast. Upland production is forecast at
14,1 million bales, up 31 percent from last year, The American-Pima forecast at 104 thousand
bales is 11 percent above the 1978 production. Cottonseed production for 1979, based on a three
year average lint-seed ratio, is forecast at 5.55 million tons (5.04 million metric tons), 30
percent above 1978.

Acres of all cotton for harvest is estimated at 13.0 million acres (5.27 million hectares),
5 percent more than last year but 2 percent less than the August 1 forecast. Average yield of
lint per harvested acre is forecast at 525 pounds compared with 421 pounds last year.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 6.15 million bales, 48 percent
above last year and 9 percent more than expected on August I. Severe hail storms destroyed or
damaged a significant acreage on the High Plains of Texas during late August. However, generally
favorable August growing weather in both Texas and Oklahoma improved yield prospects. Harvest is
in the final stages in South Texas and gaining momentum in the Austin area

In the Delta States--Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Mississippi and Tennessee--the crop is
expected to total 2.65 million bates, down 10 percent from last year but up 6 percent from the
August 1 forecast. Condition of the crop ranged from poor to good on September 1, but prospects
for much of the acreage improved during August. Bolts are beginning to open throughout the Del-
ta, about two weeks later than normal. Insect infestations continued light and under control.
Production in the Southeastern States--Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina--is
forecast at 616 thousand bales, up 10 percent from 1978 but unchanged from last month. Late
August rains slowed maturity and beginning of harvest.

The Upland crop in Arizona, California and New Mexico is placed at 4.72 million bales, 52
percent above last year but 2 percent below the August 1 forecast. Small acreages were lost to
hail in Arizona and New Mexico. Plants are heavily fruited and bol] opening is increasing. Some
fields have been defoliated and harvest is getting underway.

The Bureau of the Census reports 538,971 running bales ginned prior to September 1 compared
with 671,847 bales ginned to the same date in 1978 and 693,627 bales in 1977.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 18.7 million cwt, (846 thousand

metric tons), 2 percent smaller than the 1978 crop but 12 percent greater than in
1977, Acreage for harvest at 1,38 million acres (560 thousand hectares) is 7 percent less than a
year earlier. Average yield is estimated at 1348 pounds per acre compared with 1279 pounds last
year.

The California dry bean crop continues to show favorable growth. Some fields are being
treated for lygus and mites. Harvest of blackeyes continues to accelerate as fields dry. Har-
vest of garbanzos has begun in the Sacramento Valley. Lima and kidney beans are in bloom and
green pod stages. Michigan's overall dry bean yields are good despite dry conditions in Huron
County, Reduced production compared with a year earlier is a result of a drop in planted acreage,
Harvest got off to a good start in early September, Weather in Idaho has been favorable for bean
development except for some hail damage in the major producing area during early August. Dry edi-
ble bean harvest began around September 1 in the Panhandle of Nebraska. Growing conditions have
been difficult during most of the season, Blight and mildew increased as the cool, wet August
weather slowed pod filling and general development.

DRY EDIBLE PEAS: Ory edible pea production in Idaho and Washington is forecast at 2.10 million

cwt. (95.4 thousand metric tons}. Production is down 42 percent from a year
ago. Estimated acreage for harvest at 140 thousand acres (56.7 thousand hectares) is 31 percent
less than in 1978. Average yield for the two-State area is expected to be 1502 pounds, down 281
pounds from a year earlier.

Ory weather during planting and unseasonably high temperatures during the growing season
lowered yields in Idaho, Harvest was nearly complete in Washington by the-end of August. Yields
varied from area to area because of mid-July weather that hurt the late planted crop. The
quality of this year's crop is good.

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


i i i ii ds (24.9 thousand metric
+ Production of hops in the U.S, is forecast at 54.8 million pouns
ws tons), 2 percent. below the August 1 forecast and just slightly below last year. Acreage
for harvest estimated at 31.9 thousand acres (12.9 thousand hectares) is unchanged from last
month but expected yields declined to 1719 pounds per acre,

i i i in Washington but it
vest became active in all areas in late August. Rain slowed harvest in |
should be complete by mid-September. Oregon's crop is yielding better than last year despite ad-

verse growing weather.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Pasture and range feed condition on September 1 averaged 86 percent for
the 48 contiguous States. This is 1] points above both last year and
the 1968-77 average for the date, and is the highest September 1 condition since 1961.

Most of the Nation reported good to excellent pasture and range conditions, The exceptions
were South Carolina, parts of the Northeast, an area from North Dakota and Wyoming westward, and
Utah and Arizona. Rains during August improved conditions in many of those areas but pastures
still rated only poor to fair.

PEARS: The final forecast of the U.S. pear crop for 1979 is 803 thousand tons (729 thousand met-
ric tons), a 2 percent improvement from August ) and a 10 percent larger crop than in
1978. Improved prospects for Pacific Coast Bartletts more than offset lower prospects for Wash-

‘ington's winter pears.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 562 thousand tons
(510 thousand metric tons), up 4 percent from the August 1 forecast and 20 percent above 1978.
Picking of a good quality crop was nearly complete in all three States by the beginning of Sep-
tember.

Production of Pacific Coast pears other than Bartletts is forecast at 195 thousand tons
(177 thousand metric tons), down 2 percent from a month earlier and 10 percent below last year's
crop. The California crop appears to be better quality than last year. Fruit size and quality
are good for pears picked thus far in the Jackson County and Hood River areas of Oregon.
Although growing conditions in Washington were good during August, a 30 percent smaller crop than
Jast year is expected because of lighter set.

The Michigan crop is being harvested and has good size and quality. Harvest of a good
quality Bartlett crop has begun in New York.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at a record 4.83 million tons (4.38 million metric tons),

6 percent above last year's crop and 12 percent larger than in 1977. Prospects in Cali-
fornia, unchanged from August 1, are for 4.38 million tons, 9 percent more than last year. Good
quality and high yields were reported for Cardinal and Perlette varieties of table grapes. The
Tokay crop is about ready for harvest with good quality but below average yields are expected.
Crushing af a record crop of wine grapes started at the end of August, with sugar levets reported
high and the crop in good condition, Laying of a very good quality raisin grape crop started in
early August with good drying weather.

The Michigan crop is showing good size with harvest expected to begin in late September. Wet,
humid August weather caused above average amounts of mildew in Pennsylvania vineyards and dry,
sunny weather is needed to finish coloring and boost sugar content, Prospects in New York im-
proved during August to 183 thousand tons, up 2 percent from a month ago. Harvest of both Auroras
and Concords is underway. Although quality is generally good, powdery mildew is a problem in some
vineyards. The Washington crop made good progress during August and is maturing ahead of last
year. Picking of early varieties was expected to start September 10 with Concord harvest expected
the week of September 17.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California prune production (dried basis) is forecast at 130 thousand tons (118

thousand metric tons), 4 percent above the July ? forecast, but 7? percent below
last year's crop. Harvest is in full swing and should be complete by mid-September. Fruit are
good size and quality,

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 68.5
thousand tons (62.1 thousand metric tons), unchanged from a month earlier but 2 percent less than
last year, Picking of late Italian prunes was ending in Washington by September 1. Harvest is
active in Oregon. Growers are concerned about brown rot and splitting in late varieties, Idaho's
harvest is over three-fourths complete with fruit of medium size. The Michigan harvest ts in full
swing despite late August rains,

CROP PRODUCTION, SEPTEMBER 1979 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA