RICE

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

LONG GRAIN
ARK 892.0 1,044.0 883.0 1,035.0
CALIF 30.0 50.0 30.0 50.0
LA 265.0 365.0 262.0 362.0
MISS 200.0 275.0 198.0 270.0
MO 64.0 74.0 63.0 73.0
TEX 264.0 388.0 263.0 386.0
us 1,715.0 2,196.0 1,699.0 2,176.0

MEDIUM GRAIN
ARK 125.0 135.0 124.0 134.0
CALIF 290.0 330.0 287.0 325.0
LA 160.0 160.0 158.0 159.0
MO 3.0 4.0 3.0 4.0
TEX 6.0 12.0 6.0 12.0
us 584.0 641.0 578.0 634.0

SHORT GRAIN
ARK 3.0 1.0 3.0 1.0
CALIF 50.0 45.0 50.0 45.0
us 53.0 46.0 53.0 46.0

ALL

ARK 1,020.0 1,180.0 1,010.0 1,170.0
CALIF 370.0 425.0 367.0 420.0
LA 425.0 525.0 420.0 521.0
MISS 200.0 275.0 198.0 270.0
MO 67.0 78.0 66.0 77.0
TEX 270.0 400.0 269.0 398.0
us 2,352.0 2,883.0 2,330.0 2,856.0

1,000 ACRES

ALA 221.0 240.0 220.0 238.0
FLA 91.0 95.0 83.0 87.0
GA 635.0 695.0 630.0 690.0
N MEX 12.4 13.0 12.4 13.0
NC 150.0 155.0 148.0 153.0
OKLA 100.0 110.0 98.0 105.0
sc 13.0 14.0 13.0 14.0
TEX 254.0 260.0 252.0 250.0
VA 91.0 98.0 90.0 98.0
us 1,567.4 1,680.0 1,546.4 1,648.0

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-20 NASS, USDA


Inadequate moisture and disease plagued winter wheat in the central and
northern Great Plains during May. Crop condition was mostly good to fair in
the Corn Belt and Southeast. Despite significant precipitation at the end of
May, wheat remained mostly fair in the central and northern Great Plains. The
crop was 74 percent headed, 4 points ahead of normal. Wheat began turning
color in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains. Harvest was underway in
Oklahoma and Texas and gained momentum in the Delta and Southeast.

The percentage of major U.S. crop acreages planted by June 1 are shown
below:

ACREAGE PLANTED BY JUNE 1, U.S., 1984-88

CORN 3 86 98 94 100 100
SORGHUM 46 65 61 60 65
SOYBEANS 44 74 56 76 79
COTTON 76 87 76 72 82
SPRING WHEAT 98 100 95 100 100

CROPS CONTINUED UNDER STRESS DURING JUNE

June began with extremely dry conditions in the northern Rocky Mountain
States and most of the eastern half of the Nation. As the month progressed,
crop condition worsened especially from Montana through the northern Great
Plains into the Corn Belt. Near midmonth, precipitation across the northern
Great Plains did very little to ease the drought and improve crop condition.
The lack of moisture combined with high temperatures continued stressing crops
and limiting growth throughout most of the eastern half of the Nation. Plants
wilted in some areas as moisture supplies shorten. The third week of June,
triple-digit temperatures further aggravated the drought. Corn, cotton,
soybean, sorghum, and spring wheat condition continued declining. Precipita-
tion and lower temperatures eased drought stress in the Great Plains, Delta,
and western Corn Belt. The lower temperatures eased stress in the central and
eastern Corn Belt, and Appalachian States, but inadequate moisture plagued
crop development and growth, despite the precipitation, crops showed very
little improvement.

Corn began the month mostly good to fair but condition declined to mostly
fair by month's end. Inadequate moisture hindered growth and development in
most areas during June. By July 3, 6 percent of the acreage was silking,
compared with 17 percent in 1987 and 8 percent normally. Silking was underway
in all major producing States except Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsyl-
vania, South Dakota, and Wisconsin, Corn reached the dent stage in Alabama,
Georgia, and Texas.

Soybeans were virtually all planted in the Corn Belt and central Great
Plains by the end of June. Dryness nearly curtailed planting in the Delta,
Southeast, and Appalachian States until the end of the month. Precipitation
allowed planting to resume in the Delta and Southeast where more than 10
percent of the acreage remained to be planted in most States. Soybeans were
blooming in all major producing States except Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio,
and South Carolina by the end of June. Seventeen percent of the acreage was
blooming, nearly doubling the average. Soybeans were in mostly fair condition.

By mid-June, cotton was finished planted except in Oklahoma and Texas. On
July 3, planting was near completion in these States. In the 14 major pro-
ducing States, squaring was 10 points ahead of the 50 percent average and
slightly ahead of 1987. Eleven percent of the acreage had set bolls, compared
with 18 percent in 1987 and 14 percent normally. At the end of June, dryness
left cotton mostly fair to poor except in the southern Great Plains and
Southwest where condition was mostly good to fair.

Sorghum was virtually planted by the end of June but a few acres remained
to be planted in Oklahoma and Texas. Sorghum was heading in Arkansas, Okla-
homa, Texas, and Louisiana. In Texas, harvest started in the Rio Grande
Valley, Coastal Bend, and along the Upper Coast.

Rice was 7 percent headed, 2 points below average on July 3rd. Heading
was limited to Louisiana and Mississippi.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL

STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-5 USDA



CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

JULY 2, 1988 FAVORABLY
MOIST
Tf a
PABNOAMAL|
MOIS EXTREMELY. = ig
OR : Pd
LS AN = FAN °
EXCESSIVELY 7, 5 id
= ae = “ABNORMALLY ex CESSIVELY
re WaeeeTM
R S GESSIVEL'
u + _—— RY’ =
ABNORMALLY, . y ABNORMAL : = aieeey
“Y SEVERELY Z oy
FAV! YI 2 .
VORABLY SEVEN
XTREMELY. ‘ORY
‘ABNOBMALLY OR ==
CROP MOISTURE: hy = \ EXCESSIVELY
Supiors suoRt Teme (9? To asomr wrens} f—< 2
SaRCRaL. DRYIESS on
TERE, ayo TOLcHixS onan CONDITIONS. Af THE REGIS SEVERELY,
HING'aND EXD OF THE GROWING SEASON. Bek FLY. DRY. y ABNORMALLY
0989. .aPPLICABLE IH WAStarNG THE SHORT TERY,
SEex-i6-arit, STATUS OF DAYNEGS OR FETNESS a, vow SY
SEASON CHOPS" AND FIELD OPERATIONS

Liurrarions.. AAT SOT Og apPLIcasL.z To GERMINATING 4ND SEALLO¥ WET
ROOTED CROPS WHICH ARE UNABLE TO EXTRACT THE DEEP OB SUBSOIL MoIsTORE
Frow'a Seroot PROFILE. OR TOR COOL SEASON CROPS CROING THEN TPAPELAS-
TURES ARE AVERAGING BELOW ABOUT SS°P. If [9 HOT GENERALLY IMptcaTivE OF
NES.

TEE LONG TER (0 YEARS) DROUGHT OR TET SPELLS WHICH ARE OEPICTED WOMV/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY

‘SEVERITY INDEX, ed on preliminary reports

DROUGHT SEVERITY

5 (LONG TERM, PALMER)
Moist JULY 2, 1988 SEVERE
2 SPECIAL
‘ CR EXTREME, 3
. Te —
MODERATE
MODERATE =
r: :. N EXTREME
EXTREME’
JF
S q >
ony SEVERE |
SEVERE a oak
.* \NHH =}
EXTREME Jil extreme
om:
DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX (PALMER) : DEPICTS, Pao) “a oS
LONGED (WONTHS YEARS) AB?
RESPONDS. SLOELY; CHANGES
JAD REFLECTS LONG TERM MOISTURE RUNOFF, 7
D DEEP PERCOLATION, AS HELL AS, EVAPOTRANSPERATI
Lee ee aceite ae Se wove
RYNESS OR WETNESS ON WATER SENSETIVE ECONOMIES: DESIONATING DIB
‘ASTER AREAS OF DROUGHT OR WETNESS; ING THE GENERAL, LOW MODERATE
TERN STATUS OF WATER SUPPLIES IM AQUIFERS, RESERVOIRS ,AND STREAMS ——

LIMITATIONS, 18 NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORT TERM (YER WEEKS:

ITATUS OF DROUGHT OR WETNESS SUCH AS FREQUENTLY AFFECTS CROPS AND NOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY
FIELD OPERATIONS (THIS 1S INDICATED BY THE CROP MOISTURE INDEX).

Boxed on pretminary report

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-1 NASS, USDA



All other hay acreage is expected to total 38.9 million acres, up 10
percent from the 1987 crop. States with the largest acreages are Missouri,
3.45 million acres, up 11 percent; Texas, 3.10 million acres, unchanged from
1987; Nebraska, 2.05 million acres, a 17 percent increase; Kentucky up 5
percent to reach 2.00 million acres, and Oklahoma increased 3 percent to total
1.85 million acres.

COTTON: United States planted area of all cotton is expected to total 12.2

million acres, up 17 percent from 1987 plantings and 5 percent above
March 1 prospective plantings. Upland area is estimated at 12.0 million acres
and American-Pima at 198 thousand acres. This represents the highest
American-Pima acreage on record. By the week ending June 5, 87 percent of the
intended acreage was planted.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, South
Carolina), growers planted and intended to plant an estimated 940 thousand
acres, up 17 percent from 1987. As of the week ending dune 5, plantings were
ahead of Jast year in Alabama and North Carolina and slightly behind in
Georgia and South Carolina where plantings where nearing completion. The crop
was rated in mostly fair to good condition in this region.

Area planted to cotton in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana,
Mississippi, Missouri, Tennessee) is estimated at 3.38 million acres, up 20
percent from a year ago. Plantings were completed in the region by the first
week of June, except for Louisiana where lack of moisture caused above normal
replanting. Condition of the crop in the region was rated mostly fair to poor.

Plantings in the Texas and Oklahoma area are expected to total 5.84
million acres--an increase of 14 percent from 1987. Plantings on the Texas
plains have progressed ahead of normal, except for isolated areas where
seeding has been delayed because of dry conditions. Crop development is
slightly ahead of last year. In Oklahoma, plantings have progressed well
ahead of normal and the crop was rated in fair to good condition.

Upland growers in the Western States (Arizona, California, New Mexico)
expect to plant a total of 1.76 million acres, up 17 percent from last year.
As of the first week in June, plantings were complete in Arizona and
California and were 98 percent completed in New Mexico. Growth of the crop
has been behind normal throughout the western region due to cool weather.
Condition of the crop was rated as mostly good to excellent in the region.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Planted area of dry edible beans is estimated at 1.57

million acres, down 13 percent from last year and 6 percent
below two years ago. Area for harvest is forecast at 1.51 million acres,
down 12 percent from last year but 1 percent above the 1986 crop. Rising
prices have pushed planted acreage well above March intentions although dry
weather limited late planting in some areas.

Acreage increases over last year are noted in North Dakota, Colorado,
Wyoming, Montana, and Washington. fewer acres are planted in the remaining 9
States with Michigan and Idaho dropping the most.

North Dakota planting was completed ahead of normal and early growth is
good to fair. Ory weather has limited disease problems but could hurt crop
development. Growers in Michigan and Minnesota shifted some dry bean acreage
to soybeans hopfng for higher returns. Dry soils delayed planting in Michigan
and may result in even fewer acres being planted. Some farmers are “listing”
their seed (planting in furrows to place seed in more moist soil) to enhance
germination.

In the Western States, where irrigation is used for most dry bean acreage,
crop development is good. Colorado and Utah also have adequate moisture for
"dryland" beans in the 4 Corners area. Nebraska seeding was completed about
June 20 with only minimal reseeding necessary. The use of irrigation should
limit drought damage. In California, planting progressed normally, drawing to
a close about the end of June. Crop conditions are good.

POTATOES: U.S. potato growers have planted a total of 1.27 million acres of

potatoes this year in all four seasonal groups. This is down 2
percent from last year, but is 1 percent above the 1986 planted acreage. Area
for harvest is estimated at 1.24 million acres, down 3 percent from last year,
but 2 percent above two years ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-10 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED FOR GRAIN

AVERAGE AVERAGE
1977-86 1977-86

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-14 NASS, USDA


INDEX

ACREAGES, 10 YEARS ......
ALASKA ..... eeetTT
APPLES, COMMERCIA
AREA PLANTED, BY ST.
BARLEY oo... eee eee e neers
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ..

CHERRIES .,.....
CITRUS FRUIT
CORN ......46
COTTON .....-.44.
CROP MOISTURE MAPS
FLAXSEED .
HAY ..
MISCEL
NUTS ..
OATS wee
PAPAYAS-HAWAII ..... sees
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION TABLE .
PEACHES ..
PEANUTS
PEARS ...
POTATOES ,
RELIABILIT
RICE .
RYE ..
SORGHUM .....
SOYBEANS ....
SUGARBEETS ..
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED .
SUNFLOWER .....
SWEETPOTATOES .
TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYP
TOBACCO, BY STATES
US SUMMARY .
WHEAT, ALL ..
WHEAT, BY CLASSES .
WHEAT, DURUM ......
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING .
WHEAT, WINTER

FIO AI IOI IOI RIOR IOI IOI IIIT IR TOIT IIIT IS II AOS ASAI AI.

NOTICE

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are available electronically as soon as possible following release
through USDA's EDI SERVICE. For more information, call or write:
Russell Forte, (202) 447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250.

The next issue of this report will be published August 11, 1988

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FO ICICI I III II III I TOI I I IIR III ITI IAAI IIIS IIIS SSI ASIII SSI AIA

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CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 B-18 NASS, USDA


FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATE JUICE YIELD: The 1987-88 yield projection of Frozen

Concentrated Orange Juice is a record
1.55 gallons per box at 42.0 degree Brix, the same as the June 1 projection.
The previous record FCOJ yield for all oranges in Florida was set in the
1986-87 season, when 1.50827 gallons per box was recorded.

GRAPEFRUIT: The final forecast for the 1987-88 U.S. grapefruit crop is 68.2
million boxes, 1 percent below the June 1 forecast but 8 percent
above 1986-87. Harvest is complete in all States except California.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona crop is expected to total 21.0 million
boxes, down 7 percent from the April 1 forecast and 27 percent below

the 1986-87 season. Harvest is 93 percent complete.

WHEAT ESTIMATES - A HISTORY

Wheat is the chief food grain grown in this country. Wheat flour is used
to make bread products, pasta, and pastries. The milling byproducts (bran,
shorts, and middlings) are used in animal feeds. Five major classes are
produced by U.S. farmers: Hard Red Winter, Hard Red Spring, Soft Red Winter,
White, and Durum wheat. Each class has unique end-use qualities and each is
marketed and priced separately. The Hard Red wheats are used primarily to
produce bread flour. Soft Red winter produces cake and pastry flour. Ourum
wheat is used to make pasta products. White wheat is used mainly for pastry
flour, and shredded and puffed breakfast foods.

The National Agricultural Statistics Service estimates of wheat acreage
and production date from 1866. Most of the wheat harvested that year was
located east of the Mississippi River with the heaviest concentrations in
Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin.

Introduction of a Hard Red Winter variety by Russian Mennonites settling
Kansas in 1873-74 triggered the expansion of wheat west of the Mississippi.
This wheat, known as Turkey Red, proved superior to previously grown
varieties. By 1890, it had spread across the Great Plains.

Area for grain averaged 36.3 million acres during the 1880's and 44.0
million a decade later. The trend continued through World War I, peaking at
73.7 million acres in 1919. That level was not exceeded, nor even approached,
yard! after World War II when harvested area reached. 75.9 million acres in

The NASS estimating series through 1908 consisted solely of total wheat
acres for harvest, yield, and production, with no breakout by type. Winter
and all Spring wheat estimates ran from 1909-1918. Then in 1919 separate
estimates were added for Durum and other spring wheat acres, yield, and
production. The production by class series also started with the 1919 crop.

Planted acreage estimates started in 1909, but were limited to winter
wheat through 1918. The introduction of spring planted estimates in 1919
allowed for all wheat planted estimates to begin. The spring planted series
was Separated into durum and other spring planted acres estimates starting in
926.

Prior to 1940, wheat production rose and fell in concert with fluctuations
in harvested acreage. Harvest practices had evolved from the horse-drawn
binder and stationary thresher era to that of increasing mechanization.
Nearly half the wheat was harvested and threshed by pull-type combines by 1940.

Overproduction in the fifties was an after-effect of World War IT.
Wartime demand had exceeded production by substantial margins. Farmers
reacted by increasing acreages, seeding improved varieties, and using
commerical fertilizers. Rising yields and high support prices made wheat the
most profitable crop for many growers. By 1950, a huge production capacity
existed. Production continued at wartime levels despite declines in domestic
demand. Surpluses began to mount.

The Agricultural Act of 1954 limited the national wheat allotment to 55
million acres, but increasing yields kept pushing up production levels.
Although other programs removed cropland from production, ending stocks
continued to rise, reaching 1.4 billion bushels in 1960.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-16 NASS, USDA


HAY

ALL : ALFALFA AND : ALL
HAY : ALFALFA MIXTURES : OTHER
AREA HARVESTED AREA HARVESTED : AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

700 700 700
180 160 160 30 20
950 35 25 950 925
1,680 1,150 1,100 520 580
1,650 830 780 670 870
83 21 19 67 64

25 9 8 14 7
270 275 270
600 600 600
1,180 1,020 960 250 220
1,500 570 570 430 930
1,150 380 400 350 750
3,200 1,450 1,400 650 1,800
2,400 850 850 1,550 1,550
2,270 260 270 1,900 2,000
365 12 10 348 355
207 24 22 192 185
225 85 80 150 145
128 30 30 97 98
1,950 1,180 1,300 320 650
2,520 1,700 1,600 925 920
575 570 575
3,800 420 350 3,100 3,450
1,950 1,300 1,050 900 900
3,300 1,250 1,250 1,750 2,050
510 245 250 270 260
87 22 20 63 67
108 40 39 72 69
280 240 220 65 60
2,160 930 880 1,300 1,280
450 25 30 410 420
2,550 1,600 1,400 1,350 1,150
1,650 725 700 725 950
2,260 410 410 1,800 1,850
1,065 430 415 690 650
2,020 850 840 1,180 1,180
8 3 2 5 6

240 225 240
3,800 2,350 2,300 1,600 1,500
1,600 120 100 1,450 7,500
3,250 140 150 3,100 3,100
625 465 480 160 145
395 120 115 290 280
1,300 124 120 1,200 1,180
800 460 490 300 310
620 80 70 550 550
3,550 2,800 2,650 520 900
1,210 570 560 630 650
63,396 25,485 24,475 35,263 38,921

1/ INCLUDES SET ASIDE AND CONSERVATION RESERVE ACRES THAT WERE RELEASED FOR
HAYING AND EXPECTED TO BE HARVESTED FOR HAY.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JULY 1988 A-24 NASS, USDA


The dry weather proved to be benificial for the winter wheat harvest, At
the beginning of June, only 3 percent of the acreage was harvested in the 20
major producing States. Six of the 20 major producing were combining wheat
but al? were behind normal. Near midmonth harvest reached 23 percent comple-
tion 6 points ahead of normal. From midmonth on combines roared through the
central Great Plains and by July 3, 64 percent of the acreage was harvested,
This was 6 points ahead of 1987 and 20 points above the 5-year average. Wheat
harvest was virtually finished in Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Illinois,
Arkansas and Georgia. Spring wheat was 87 percent headed, 30 points ahead of
normal by Juty 3. Heading was finished in South Dakota and neared completion
in Minnesota. Inadequate moisture plagued crop development and growth in the
Northern Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States the entire month. Crop con-
dition was mostly poor except in Idaho where condition was mostly good.

CORN: Corn planted for all purposes is estimated at 67.5 million acres, up 3

percent from last year and 1 percent above the March 1 intentions. The
major producing North Central region shows a 5 percent increase in planted
acres. This region accounts for 82 percent of total corn planted acres. The
largest acreage increases were: Iowa - 1.00 million; Illinois - 650 thousand;
Indiana and Nebraska - 400 thousand each.

In the southern States, plantings are expected to decline 7 percent from
last year. In North Carolina, a 250 thousand acre decline is shown while
Louisiana is down 85 thousand and Georgia is down 80 thousand.

In the Northeast, Pennsylvania is expecting a 70 thousand acre decline and
New York's planted acres are down 20 thousand. In the West, Colorado's
planted acres are up 130 thousand, while California is off 25 thousand acres.

Growers expect to harvest 59.7 million acres for grain, up 1 percent from
last year. This is about 88 percent of the planted acreage.

Planting of the corn crop got off to a good start and progress was well
ahead of normal By mid-May, planting equaled the fast pace set in 1987 at 88%
completed. At that time, seeding was 22 points ahead of normal. By the first
of July, corn has reached the silking stage in the Corn Belt. Siiking was 6
Percent complete, 2 points behind normal. The wide spread lack of soil
moisture has hurt the crop in many areas, and the crop is in very poor to fair
condition in the major producing States.

CORN IRRIGATED: Growers intend to irrigate 8.7 million acres of corn during

1988 based on results from the area frame survey conducted
the first two weeks of June, This compares with 8.5 million acres last year
and 8.6 million in 1986. These indications do not represent official
estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but provide raw data as
obtained from survey respondents.

SORGHUM: Area planted for all purpose is estimated at 10.4 million acres,

down 12 percent from 1987. Sorghum for grain is estimated at 9.00
million acres, 15 percent less than in 1987. Both planted and harvested
acreages are the lowest since 1930.

Planted acreage is up from last year in Nebraska, North Carolina, Oklahoma,
and South Dakota. Of these four States, the first three are also expecting
higher area for grain than a year ago. Acreage levels in all other estimating
States are below 1987.

Ory weather has persisted since May 1 over Arkansas' sorghum area. Some
acreage has been replanted. Planting started in early May in Kansas. Moisture
was generally adequate; dry weather aided progress. By June 1, soil moisture
shortages were a concern. Planting has continued where moisture is available.
Early crop growth has been good, but surface moisture is depleted.

Nebraska's crop is in fair to good condition. Many stands are uneven due
to heat and short moisture. Planting continues in the Texas Plains where
early fields are up to good stands. Fields are turning in the Blacklands and
central Texas. Harvest is underway along the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande
Valley.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-6 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION

(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CROP
AND

UNIT

BARLEY

WINTER WHEAT

SUMMER POTATOES

FLUE-CURED TOBACCO
TYPES 11-14

PASTURE AND RANGE
FEED 1/

APPLES, COM'L

PEACHES

PEARS

SWEET CHERRIES 2/

TART CHERRIES 2/

APRICOTS

NECTARINES (CALIF)

PLUMS (CALIF)

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)" :

ALMONDS (CALIF)
WALNUTS (CALIF)

CITRUS FRUITS 3/

ORANGES
GRAPEFRUIT

: YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
: : : : INDICATED
2 s INDICATED: feeene-------------------
: 1987 : 1988 1987: JUN 1, JUL 1,
: : 1988 1988
1,000
BU: 52.6 39.0 527,010 290,700
" 39.8 39:5 1,562,896 1,570,417 ‘1,568,052
CHT: 228° 212 22,797 19.779
LB: 2,129 2,073 690,914 734,215
PCT: 82 46
LB: 10,542,600 8,066,100
wy 2,428,800 2,630,500 2,577,800
TON: 940.3 801.1
a 210.8 175.4 168.8
LB: 358, 500 210,500 206,500
TON: 115.0 110.9 100.8
oy 191.0 195.0 195.0
oy 245.0 260.0 250.0
228.0 160.0
LB: 660.0 580.0
TON: 247.0 210.0
: 1986-87 1987-88 1987-88
BOX: 182,225 201,030 198,730
wo: 63,025 68,650 68,150
" 28,600 21,000

LEMONS

1/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH.
IS 82 PERCENT.
LAKES STATES AS OF MID-JUNE.
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION,
JULY 1988

3/ SEASON BEGINS

THE 1977-86 AVERAGE

2/ ESTIMATES IN JUNE 1 COLUMN INCLUDE FORECASTS IN THE GREAT

WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
NASS, USDA


POTATOES

AREA HARVESTED YIELO RODUCTION

SEASONAL GROUP

AND IND IND
STATE 1987 1987 : 1988
1000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CHT
WINTER
TOTAL Ve: 11.7 12.3 214 230 2,991 2,501 2,824
SPRING
TOTAL Vs 80.7 79.0 220 251 19,822 17,724 «19,831
SUMMER
ALA : 7.0 6.5 155 100 986 = 1,085 650
CALIF : 6.4 5.9 345 335 2,482, 2,208 ~=—«1,977
COLO : 6.3 5.8 295 295 2,070 = 1,859 1,711
DEL : 8.0 8.2 210 205 13311 1,680 1,681
TLL 2.8 3.0 260 160 783 728 480
IOWA 2.0 1.8 180 175 332 360 315
MD : 2.5 2.3. 200 195 272 500 449
MICH 9.8 10.0 200 150 1,679 1,960 1,500
MINN : 6.4 5.7 300 280 1,643 1,920 1,596
NEBR 2.6 2.3 310 270 605 806 621
Nog 7.4 6.9 190 190 891,944 «1,406 ~—1,311
N NEX : 10.0 9.4 350 300 2,790 + «=3,500 2,820
NC 1.9 1.4 130 110 209 247 154
TENN : 1.8 1.4 80 70 234 144 98
TEX 11.0 9.4 220 240 «2,475 «= 2,420 2,256
VA 14.1 13.5 140 160 =-1,112-«14974 = 2, 160
TOTAL : 100.0 93.5 228 212 20,927 22,797 19,779
FALL as:
CALIF : 19.0 400 6,885 (7,600
coLo : 60.0 325 183810 19,500
CONN 25 220 212 110
IDAHO-10 SW CO 18.0 400 6,120 7,200
-OTHER CO 319.0 290 84,100 92,510
IND : 5.0 250 990 1,250
MAINE > 86.0 285 21,930 24,510
MASS : 2.8 235 667 658
MICH 33.0 270 9,625 8,910
MINN : 71.0 230 13,650 16,330
MONT : 7.9 300 2,233 © 2,370
NEBR : 7.5 280 1,794 2,100
NEV : 8.0 340 3,150 2,720
N Y-LONG IS : 8.9 250 2,537 2,225
-UP STATE : 23.5 250 5,288 5,875
N DAK 125.0 185 21,600 23,125
OHO : 9.8 230 2,522 2,254
OREG-MALHEUR CO : 6.8 410 2,380 2,788
-OTHER CO: 48.2 480 20,792 23,136
PA 21.5 220 5,160 4,730
RI : 1.5 175 384 263
S_DAK 11.0 210 2,520 2,310
UTAH 6.6 240 1,760 1,584
VT : 3/ 3/ 20 3/
WASH 2 124.0 540 61,950 66,960
WIS 63.5 335 20,125 21,273
Wyo : 2.3 210 567 483
TOTAL : 1,090.3 314 317,771 342,774
us : 1,282.7 1,243.4 307 361,511 385,796

1/ ESTIMATE FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ YIELO AND PROOUCTION FOR 1988 TO BE RELEASED NOVEMBER 9, 1988.
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-35 NASS, USDA



SOYBEANS

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
STATE
1,000 ACRES
ALA : 500 580 480 550
ARK : 3,200 3,250 3,150 3,200
DEL H 240 230 235 225
FLA : 95 110 93 105
GA 3 830 850 780 800
ILL 3 8,600 8,800 8,500 8,700
IND : 4,300 4,400 4,250 4,300
IOWA : 7,950 7,350 7,900 7,850
KANS : 2,150 2,000 2,110 1,900
KY i 990 980 960 940
LA : 1,650 1,800 1,600 1,670
MD : 420 465 410 455
MICH : 1,100 1,300 1,090 1,270
MINN 3 4,700 4,900 4,650 4,800
MISS : 2,550 2,400 2,450 2,300
MO : 4,900 4,300 4,830 4,200
NEBR H 2,350 2,350 2,300 2,300
NJ 2 100 105 99 104
NC : 1,400 1,400 1,340 1,350
N DAK : 480 700 475 690
OHIO i 4,000 3,900 3,980 3,850
OKLA : 240 350 230 330
PA : 170 210 165 205
sc : 750 750 730 720
S DAK : 1,400 1,800 1,390 1,750
TENN : 1,300 1,400 1,250 1,340
TEX : 170 240 150 210
VA : 550 570 520 550
WIS 3 330 430 320 400
us 3 57,415 58,520 56,437 57,064

PERCENT OF SOYBEAN ACREAGE PLANTED
FOLLOWING ANOTHER CROP, SELECTED STATES 1/

1/ DATA AS OBTAINED FROM AREA FRAME SAMPLES. THESE DATA DO NOT REPRESENT
OFFICIAL ESTIMATES OF THE AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD BUT PROVIDE RAW DATA
AS OBTAINED FROM SURVEY RESPONDENTS. THE PURPOSE OF THESE DATA IS TO PORTRAY
TRENDS IN SOYBEAN PRODUCTION PRACTICES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-2) NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

PRODUCTION

CLASS AND TYPE

3 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED :
CLASS 3B, DARK 3
AIR-CURED :
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER :

BELT :

ky : 1,900 2,000 1,940 3,686

TENN : 480 480 2,000 960

US : 2,380 2,480 1,952 4,646
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER :

BELT :

KY : 1,100 3,200 2,000 2,200
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :

BELT :

VA 2 130 130 1,000 130
TOTAL 35-37 3: 3,610 3,810 1,932 6,976

CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER :
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF :

PA : 7,000 6,500 1,900 13,300
TYPE 42-44 OHIO-MIAMI :

VALLEY TYPES :

OHIO Vo: 50 20 1,440 72
TOTAL 41-44 / : 7,050 6,520 1,897 13,372
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER :

CLASS SA, CONN VALLEY :

BINDER 3
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY :

BROADLEAF H

CONN H 930 900 1,700 1,581

MASS 3 110 100 1,800 198

US : 1,040 1,000 1,711 1,779
CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER :

TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :

WIS 3: 2,700 2,000 2,100 5,670
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS :

WIS : 1,500 1,100 1,800 2,700
TOTAL 54-55 : 4,200 3,100 1,993 8,370
TOTAL 51-55 : 5,240 4,100 1,937 10,149

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY :

SHADE-GROWN :

CONN 3 870 960 1,305 1,135

MASS : 410 420 1,110 455

US : 1,280 1,380 1,242 1,590

ALL CIGAR TYPES :
TOTAL 41-61 : 13,570 12,000 1,850 25,111
ALL TOBACCO : 590,440 623,770 2,026 1,196,086

1/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPES GROWN IN OHIO.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-27 NASS, USDA


COTTON

AND : : 3 : IND
STATE : 1987 1988 1987 1988 1/
1,000 ACRES

UPLAND :
ALA H 335.0 380.0 333.0
ARIZ : 290.0 340.0 289.0
ARK : 555.0 680.0 550.0
CALIF : 1,150.0 1,350.0 1,140.0
FLA : 29.5 32.0 29.0
GA : 250.0 300.0 245.0
KANS : 1.0 1.0 9
LA : 605.0 700.0 600.0
MISS : 1,020.0 1,230.0 1,010.0
MO : 190.0 220.0 189.0
N MEX : 66.0 70.0 62.0
NC : 96.0 115.0 95.0
OKLA : 420.0 440.0 400.0
$c : 120.0 145.0 119.0
TENN : 440.0 550.0 435.0
TEX : 4,700.0 5,400.0 4,400.0
VA 3 1.8 3.0 1.8
US : 10,269.3 11,956.0 9,898.7
AMER-PIMA :
ARIZ : 91.0 140.0 90.8
CALIF : a) 1.8 9
N MEX : 14.0 16.0 13.9
TEX : 32.0 40.0 31.0
US : 137.9 197.8 136.6
ALL :
ALA : 335.0 380.0 333.0
ARIZ : 381.0 480.0 379.8
ARK H 555.0 680.0 550.0
CALIF : 1,150.9 1,351.8 1,140.9
FLA : 29.5 32.0 29.0
GA : 250.0 300.0 245.0
KANS 3 1.0 1.0 9
LA : 605.0 700.0 600.0
MISS : 1,020.0 1,230.0 1,010.0
MO 3 190.0 220.0 189.0
N MEX : 80.0 86.0 75.9
NC 2 96.0 115.0 95.0
OKLA : 420.0 440.0 400.0
sc : 120.0 145.0 119.0
TENN : 440.0 550.0 435.0
TEX : 4,732.0 5,440.0 4,431.0
VA : 1.8 3.0 1.8
US 10,407.2 12,153.8 10,035.3

1/ ESTIMATES TO BE RELEASED AUGUST 11, 1988.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 A-23 NASS, USDA


FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF ACREAGE PLANTED BY TYPE OF POTATOES,
11 MAJOR STATES, 1988 CROP

COLO : 9 2 89 100
IDAHO 100 100
MAINE 80 20 100
MICH 3 1 79 20 100
MINN : 28 42 30 100
NY 2 100 100
N_ DAK : 19 63 18 100
OREG 100 100
PA : 100 100
WASH 100 100
WIS H 14 23 63 100
11 STATE TOTAL: 6 27 67 100

1/ PREDOMINANT TYPE SHOWN MAY INCLUDE SMALL PORTION OF OTHER TYPE(S)
CONSTITUTING LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF STATE'S TOTAL.

FALL POTATOES: ACRES PLANTED FOR CERTIFIED SEED POTATOES, BY STATES 1/

3 1987 CROP 1988 CROP
STATE : ENTERED FOR : : PERCENT : ENTERED FOR
: CERTIFICATION : CERTIFIED H CERTIFIED : CERTIFICATION
_ PERCENT ACRES
1,198 67 1,250
10,413 80 11,000
40,423 98 45,500
25,539 98 24,057
3,709 81 : 4,173
22,577 103 20, 309
7,557 105 7,300
5,890 84 4,254
1,636 100 1,758
30,769 98 29,697
3,957 114 3,900
311 82 284
1,672 129 1,550
130 52 0
1,850 99 1,800
9,706 95 10,000
194 97 300
167,531 97
1/ DATA SUPPLIED BY STATE SEED CERTIFICATION OFFICIALS.
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 A-36 NASS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

MO : 900 1,650 770 1,550
MONT : 4,895 4,730 4,690 35820
NEBR : 2,200 2,300 1,950 2,000
NEV : 24 22 2 19
NJ : 30 30 27 26
N MEX 660 520 340 320
NY : 90 95 80 90
NC : 490 510 440 480
N DAK : 9,300 9,450 9,135 6,590
OHIO 1,000 800 920
OKLA : 7,200 7,000 4,800 4,800
OREG : 845 800 810 755
PA : 190 175 185 170
sc : 290 320 275 300
S_DAK : 3,660 3,750 3,528 2,730
TENN : 0 530 350 430
TEX : 6,800 6,300 3,600 3,100
UTAH : 212 184 175
VA : 275 230 215 210
WASH 2,100 2,170 2,015 2,060
WVA 3 13 un

WIS : 115 148 88 130
WYO : 329 271 288 244
us

1/ INCLUDES AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.
DURUM WHEAT

3 AREA PLANTED

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-18 A SDA


AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED, UNITED STATES

1979-88 - CONTINUED

SWEETPOTATOES
PLANTED HARVESTED
eT O00 ACRES sti(“‘Cé‘;S;*;*é*;é~‘~;*~*~*~TMS
1979 1,295.4 1,258.3 117.9 114.2
1980 1,175.4 13147:8 107.8 102.2
1981 13255.3 1323204 113.2 109.8
1982 1302.8 13266.9 118.7 115.4
1983 1,272.1 1,242.5 105.3 102.4
1984 13336.9 1330120 106.4 103.5
1985 13409. 13361.1 110.2 105.3
1986 1325712 13219:6 97.1 93.4
1987 133053 15282.1 96.7 93.3
1988 1,272.9 13243.4 93.9 90:6
:SUGARCANE FOR: PRINCIPAL
TOBACCO :SUGAR & SEED : CROPS
: HARVESTED : PLANTED : HARVEST HARVESTED 4
: 1,000 ACRES

1979: 827.7 1,160.7 1,119.7 732.7 345,803 336,736
1980 : 921.0 1,231.3 «1218915 732.7 355,677 340,103
1981 : 976.6 1,251.6 1,228.1 755.4 363,167 354,295
1982 : 912.7  12084:2 1026.8 741.7 358,708 349,644
1983 : 789.2 1,081.4 1,055.8 767.7 3093536 293944
1984: 791.7 1,123.6 1096.3 747.3 345,110 334,723
1985 : 688.0 1,124.5 1,102.5 770.0 3425224 —-330, 083
1986 : 581.6 1,231.5 1219.2 796.2 3272930 311.151
1987 : 590.4 1,265.7 1,251.4 823.6 304,185 288,716
1988 : 623.8 1,320.0 1,296.0 841.2 305,238 —-288,253

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, OATS, BARLEY, AND SORGHUM FOR GRAIN. 2/ WHEAT, RYE, AND
RICE. 3/ MINN, N DAK, S DAK, AND TEX. 4/ CROP ACREAGES ARE PLANTED FOR:
CORN SORGHUM, OATS, BARLEY, DURUM, OTHER SPRING WHEAT, RICE, SOYBEANS, FLAX-
SEED, PEANUTS, SUNFLOWER, COTTON, DRY EDIBLE BEANS, POTATOES, SWEETPOTATOES,
AND SUGARBEETS; HARVESTED ACREAGE FOR: WINTER WHEAT, RYE, ALL HAY, TOBACCO,
AND SUGARCANE. 5/ CROP ACREAGES INCLUDED ARE: CORN (FOR GRAIN AND SILAGE;
FOR AL CORN PRIOR TO 1984), SORGHUM (FOR GRAIN AND SILAGE; FOR ALL SORGHUM
PRIOR TO 1984), OATS, BARLEY, WHEAT, RICE, RYE, SOYBEANS, FLAXSEED, PEANUTS,
SUNFLOWER COTTON, (CURRENT YEAR DERIVED BY SUBTRACTING AVERAGE ABANDONMENT
FROM PLANTED ACREAGE), ALL HAY, DRY EDIBLE BEANS, POTATOES, SWEETPOTATOES,
TOBACCO, SUGARCANE, AND SUGARBEETS.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-10 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/
PRODUCTION “PRODUCTION ~~
TON EQUIVALENT

1987-88

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID:
& NAVEL 3/:
ARIZ 4: 600 950 600 23 36 23
CALIF : 33,000 34,500 31,500 1,238 1,294 1,181
FLA : 64,200 65,800 78,500 2,889 2,961 3,533
TEX 4/: 200 500 940 9 22 40
US : 98,000 101,750 111,540 4,159 4,313 4,777
ORANGES, VALENCIA
ARIZ : 1,700 2,200 1,200 64 83 45
CALIF : 20,900 24,000 25,000 784 900 938
FLA : 55,000 53,900 60,500 2,475 2,425 2,723
TEX 4/: 110 375 490 5 16 21
us : 77,710 80,475 87,190 3,328 3,424 3,727
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ : 2,300 3,150 1,800 87 119 68
CALIF : 53,900 58,500 56,500 2,022 2,194 2,119
FLA : 119,200 1193700 139,000 5,364 5,386 6,256
TEX 4/: 310 875 1,430 14 38 61
us : 175,710 182,225 198,730 7,487 7,737 8,504
TEMPLES :
FLA : 2,950 3,400 3,550 133 153 160
GRAPEFRUIT,WHITE =:
SEEDLESS
FLA : 25,600 26,900 29,200 1,088 1,143 1,24
GRAPEFRUIT ,COLORED :
SEEDLESS :
FLA 18,000 20,000 22,000 765 850 935
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 3,150 2,900 2,750 134 123 WwW
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ : 2,400 2,200 1,500 77 70 48
CALIF
DESERT 4/: 3,600 4,200 4,200 115 134 134
OTHER AREAS: 4,500 45900 45700 151 164 157
TOTAL : 8,100 9,100 8,900 266 298 29
FLA : 46,750 49,800 53,950 1,987 2,116 2,293
TEX 4a: 220 1,925 3,800 9 77 152
US : 57,470 63,025 68,150 2,339 2,561 2,784
TANGERINES :
ARIZ 4: 700 700 450 26 26 7
CALIF af: 1,800 2,230 1,500 68 83 56
FLA S/: 1,950 2,340 2,450 93 m 116
RS : 4,450 54270 4,400 187 220 189
LEMONS :
ARIZ 4/: 3,250 7,100 4,000 123 270 152
CALIF : 15,100 21,500 17,000 574 817 646
US : 18,350 28,600 21,000 697 1,087 798
TANGELOS :
FLA : 2,950 4,000 4,200 133 180 189

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,
FLA-90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER-67, FLA-85,
TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND
MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF
TANGERINES IN TEXAS. 4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST. 5/ PER PROGRAM MODIFICATION, FLA “ALL TANGERINES" INCLUDE
HONEY TANGERINES BEGINNING WITH 1987-88 SEASON. ESTIMATES FOR PREVIOUS SEASONS
ARE REVISED TO INCLUDE THE HONEY VARIETY.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-33 NASS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/

PRODUCTION

TOTAL 2/

INDICATED

1988
ARK : 10.0 4.0 10.0
CALIF 515.0 650.0 550.0
COLO 18.0 125.0 60.0
CONN 47.0 45.0 38.0
DEL : 27.0 26.0 25.0
GA 3 30.0 50.0 30.0
IDAHO : 94.0 149.0 130.0
ILL 90.0 103.0 90.0
IND 37.0 72.0 60.0
TOWA 5.5 10.0 12.0
KANS Hy 3.0 12.0 11.0
KY 2 4.0 21.0 13.0
MAINE 3 88.0 75.0 86.0
MD 87.0 40.0 50.0
MASS Hy 95.0 96.0 96.0
MICH 700.0 1,050.0 750.0
MINN 19.0 26.0 15.0
MO 37.0 53.0 55.0
NH 3 50.0 50.0 53.0
Nd 100.0 80.0 80.0
N MEX 3 6.0 12.6 12.6
N.Y 900.0 880.0 790.0
NC H 120.0 390.0 310.0
OHIO : 90.0 150.0 105.0
OREG 3 105.0 210.0 135.0
PA 3 620.0 460.0 470.0
RI 2 §.5 5.0 5.5
sc 3 30.0 45.0 36.0
TENN : 9.0 15.0 13.0
UTAH : 34.0 68.0 42.0
VT : 49.0 44.0 40.0
VA : 460.0 481.0 430.0
WASH 2 3,160.0 4,800.0 3,200.0
WVA : 230.0 180.0 210.0
WIS : 58.0 65.0 53.0
US 3 7,933.0 10,542.6 8,066.1

1/__IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES. 2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED
PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS): UNITED STATES 1986 - 25.7;
1987 - 300.8.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-30 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION

INDICATED

988

METRIC TONS
BARLEY 2 2.83 2.10 31,474,290 6,329,250
WINTER WHEAT 2 2.67 2.66 42,535,060 42,739,750 42,675,380
SUMMER POTATOES 2 25.55 23.70 1,034,070 897,160
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO ;

TYPES 11-14 2 2.39 2.32 313,390 333,030
APPLES, COM'L : 4,782,020 3,658,700
PEACHES : 1,101,680 1,193,170 1,169,260
PEARS 3 853,030 726,750
SWEET CHERRIES 1/ : 191,230 189,120 153, 130
TART CHERRIES 1/ : 162,610 95,480 93,670
APRICOTS : 104,330 100,610 91,440
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 173,270 176,900 176,900
PLUMS (CALIF) 3 222,260 235,870 226,800
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF): 206,840 145,150 145,150
ALMONDS (eALTe 3 299,370 263,080 263,080
WALNUTS (CALIF : 224,070 190,510
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ $ 1986-87 1987-88 1987-88

ORANGES : 7,018,890 7,803,600 7,714,700

GRAPEFRUIT H 2,323,300 2,541,020 2,525,600

LEMONS : 986,110 723,930

1/ ESTIMATES IN JUNE 1 COLUMN INCLUDE FORECASTS IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES AS
OF MID-JUNE. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS
WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)
AREA PLANTED H
FOR ALL PURPOSES : AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP eee n nen neem een n neem neem nen neem neces nen neneneensenne
: : : : INDICATED
: 1987: 1988: 1987: 1988
HECTARES

CORN : 26,590,560 27,324,260 23,944,290 24,155,540
SORGHUM : 4,776,960 4,189, 760 4,291,330 3,642,610
OATS : 7,267,830 5,655,950 2,802,480 2,298,640
BARLEY : 4,470,210 3,921,850 4,057,830 3,015,350
ALL WHEAT : 26,630,220 26,675,950 22,634,320 21,162,450

WINTER : 19,741,180 19,821,720 15,911,200 16,063,360

DURUM : 1,352,070 1,430, 980 1,326,980 1,052,190

OTHER SPRING : 5,536,970 5,423,250 5,396,140 4,046,900
RICE : 951,830 1,166,720 942,930 1,155,790
RYE : 1,010,920 1,002,820 276,400 243,220
SOYBEANS : 23,235,280 23,682,460 22,839,490 23,093,230
FLAXSEED : 190,200 117,360 187,370 96,320
PEANUTS : 629,410 679,880 620,110 666,930
SUNFLOWER : 730,470 738,560 718,320 710,640
ALL COTTON : 4,211,690 4,918,520 4,061,190

UPLAND : 4,155,880 4,838,470 4,005,900

AMER-PIMA : 55,810 80,050 55,280
ALL HAY : 24,584,100 25,655,730

ALFALFA : 10,313,520 9,904,790

ALL OTHER : 14,270,580 15,750,940
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 728,680 634,720 691,370 609,060
POTATOES :

SUMMER : 41,640 39,170 40,470 33,840

FALL : 448,400 438,480 441,230 428,400

TOTAL : 528,240 515,130 519,100 503,190
SWEETPOTATOES : 39,130 38,000 37,760 36,660
ALL TOBACCO : 238,930 252,450

FLUE-CURED :

TYPES 11-14 : 131,360 143,340
SUGARBEETS : 512,220 534,190 506,430 524,480
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 333,300 340,430

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-6 NASS, USDA


RYE

AREA PLANTED 1/ AREA HARVESTED

STATE
1987 1988 1987
1,000 ACRES
coLo 18 22 3 5
DEL 20 18 3 4
GA 380 350 70 80
ILL 65 60 6 5
IND 40 50 im] 10
IOWA 25 30 4 5
KANS 35 40 10 10
KY 50 45 2 4
MD 55 58 8 10
MICH 115 135 20 23
MINN 75 75 40 40
MO 1§ 25 2 4
NEBR 200 290 50 45
NJ 55 60 8 10
NY 90 100 10 12
NC 150 160 30 35
N DAK 175 120 165 90
OHTO 50 40 5 5
OKLA 175 150 20 30
OREG H 20 15 4 3
PA 85 90 18 19
sc 90 75 24 20
S_DAK 150 130 140 100
TEX 3 140 150 10 10
VA 200 160 15 7
wIs 3 25 30 5 5
us 2,498 2,478 683 601
1/ AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.
OTHER SPRING WHEAT
AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
STATE tonne nnn nn nnn nnn nn nn nn nn ee nn ne ne ee ne ne een nn eee ee ene ee
IND
1987 1988 1987 1988
1,000 ACRES
COLO 3 60 54 55 51
IDAHO : 350 400 340 380
MINN 3 2,450 2,400 2,400 2,000
MONT 3 2,400 2,000 2,300 1,500
NEV 3 16 14 14 12
N DAK 3 6,200 6,200 6,100 4,300
OREG 3 65 100 60 95
S_DAK 2 1,850 1,850 1,800 1,300
UTAH 3 32 24 29 23
WASH 200 320 190 310
WIS 30 18 28 10
WYO 29 21 18 19
US 13,682 13,401 13,334 10,000
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 A-19 | NASS,USDA


YEAR

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED, UNITED STATES, 1979-88 - CONTINUED

RICE RYE FOOD GRAINS SOYBEANS

: : : : : HARVESTED
: PLANTED : HARVESTED : HARVESTED : HARVESTED 2/ : PLANTED : FOR BEANS
: 1,000 ACRES

: 2,890.0 2,869.0 850 66,173 71,411 70,343

: 33380.0 3,312.0 650 75,087 69,930 67.813

: 32827.0  33792.0 685 85,119 67,543 66,163
:37295.0 3262.0 677 81.876 70:884 69.442

: 27190.0 2769.0 896 64.455 63,779 62,525

: 228300 2,802.0 981 70,711 67.755 66,113

: 27512.0 2492.0 7 67,943 63,130 61,584

+ 22381.0 2,360.0 677 63,760 60.385  §8,292

: 22362.0 2330.0 683 58,943 57,415 56,437

: 23883.0 2856.0 601 55.750 587520 572064

FLAXSEED PEANUTS. SUNFLOWER 3/

1979
1980
198)
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1,545

1,521.
1,514,
1,311,
ali.
1,562.
1,490.
1,572.
1,567.

: HARVESTED

1,000 A
9

CERNEDOLOFS

CRES

DO pow Wb wor
Ch ROUBUON

PEWAWNINDO
DBAYNOIWNOWw

5,555
3,910
3,865
4,815
3,110
3,754
3,055
2,025
1,805
1,825

5,410
3,683
3,811
4,724
3,063
3,692
2,844
1,955
1,775
1,756

1,000 ACRES

13,977.
14,533.
14,330.
11,345.

7,926.
11,145,
10,684.
10,044.
10,407.
12,153.

5 12,830.9
8 13,214.8
13,841.2
95733.9
75347 .5
10, 379.1
10,229.0
8,468.4
10,035.3

OBNYARDRW—

61,279
58,870
59,599
59,812
59,717
61,445
60,423
62,419
60,748
63,396

SEE FOOTNOTES ON

CROP PRODUCTION,
JULY 1988

PAGE A-10.

A-9

CONTINUED

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED °
CROP AND :+e------- ere c nner nen eee tenn ee enn nee eee n nen ere n nn eeee
STATE : :

1,000 ACRES
LARGE LIMA

CALIF : 22.0 18.0 21.0 18.0

BABY LIMA :
CALIF 2 22.0 24.0 21.0 24.0

OTHER
CALIF

nN
oO
°
o
o
°
nN
a
°
°
©
°

ALL +
CALIF :
COLO :
IDAHO :
KANS :
MICH :
MINN :
MONT
NEBR
N MEX
NY

N DAK
UTAH
WASH
wyo

ny
© AoONDoN

AARWNGOMNLOOHHAG

So SOMDBDOMDDSD0000

0

BP GOVOCDOUNDO00900

2
DANO NEVBOA
TAH SO IIHR ONDOD

On

w >
SNH NUWAwOD

AROGFTOMNMIANAN

w
w

SBOODTOMOD0000

w

ww

w
nN
°
w
a
o
So ww

1,800.6 1,568.4 1,7

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.

o

TOBACCO

AREA HARVESTED

STATE
CONN 3 1,990 1,800 1,860
FLA H 5,300 5,600 6,200
GA : 31,000 32,000 35,000
IND H §,900 5,400 5,600
KY : 153,300 148,300 153,600
MD 3 16,000 15,000 13,000
MASS : 470 520 520
MO 2 2,100 1,700 2,100
NC 3 214,600 224,900 245,500
OHTO 2 7,420 7,350 8,220
PA : 11,000 11,000 10,000
sc + 37,000 42,000 44,000
TENN : 49,240 49,440 49,440
VA : 38,430 39,430 43,730
WeVA Hy 1,600 1,800 1,900
WIS i 6,200 4,200 3,100
US : 581,550 590,440 623,770
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 A-25 NASS, USDA


Crop | soa
Production —

Washington, D.C.

RELEASED: July 12, 1988
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at 1.57 billion bushels, up slightly from
1987 but down slightly from June 1, 1988.

CORN planted for all purposes is estimated at 67.5 million acres, up 3 percent
from last year and 1 percent above the March Prospective Plantings.
Growers expect to harvest 59.7 million acres for grain, up 1 percent
from last year. This is 88 percent of the planted acreage and compares
to 90 percent in 1987.

SOYBEAN area planted is estimated at 58.5 million acres, up 2 percent from
1987. This acreage, if realized, would be 1 percent above the March
Prospective Plantings.

COTTON area planted is estimated at 12.2 million acres, up 17 percent from 1987
and 5 percent above March Prospective Plantings.

POTATOES: U.S; potato growers have planted 1.27 million acres of potatoes
this year in all four seasonal groups, down 2 percent from last year but
1 percent above 1986 planted acreage,

FALL POTATOES are planted on 1.08 million acres this year, down 2 percent from
last year but 2 percent above 1986 acreage.

PASTURE AND RANGE condition on July 1 was 46 percent of normal, 36 points below
duly 1, 1987 and the lowest condition since records were started in 1921.

APPLE production is forecast at 8.07 billion pounds, down 23 percent from 1987
but 2 percent more than 1986.

PEACH production is estimated at 2.56 billion pounds, down 3 percent from
dune 1 but 5 percent more than 1987.

PEAR production is forecast at 801 thousand tons, a decrease of 15 percent from
1987 but 5 percent more than 1986.

CrPr 2-2 (7-88) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


Planting was on schedule in the Altantic Coast States, but drying soils
have stressed plants. North Carolina planting was completed ahead of normal.
The crop is rated good to fair but soils are drying. South Carolina's crop
was showing moisture stress by the end of June. New Jersey sweetpotatoes are
ahead of schedule.

TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco area for harvest in 1988 is expected to total 624

thousand acres, up 6 percent from 1987. The area in both flue-cured
and burley is higher than a year earlier. The total of all other types is
lower than in 1987.

Flue-cured area for harvest at 354 thousand acres, is 9 percent above last
year. North Carolina, with two-thirds of the acreage, is up 9 percent from
1987. South Carolina, Georgia, Virginia, and Florida are up 5, 9, 14, and 11
percent, respectively.

Production of flue-cured tobacco is expected to total 734 million pounds,
6 percent more than in 1987. Production increased from a year earlier in 4 of
the 5 producing states. North Carolina production, with about two-thirds of
the acreage, is expected to be 8 percent above 1987. Georgia, Virginia, and
Florida are up 4, 18 and 10 percent, respectively. South Carolina production
is estimated to be off 6 percent.

The North Carolina crop was set out a few days earlier this year and got
off to a good start with generally adequate moisture. Cool weather and lack
of moisture the past month hampered development. In South Carolina, early
topping resulted from premature flowering. The crop has held up surprisingly
well in spite of the hot, dry weather. In Georgia, high winds and blowing
sand damaged young transplanted tobacco in mid-April. Drought during dune put
a strain on dryland tobacco.

Burley area for harvest increased 4 percent to reach 224 thousand acres.
Kentucky, with nearly two-thirds of the acreage, is up 4 percent from a year
ago. Tennessee, the next ranking State, is unchanged from 1987. In Kentucky,
the crop is extremely variable. Early planted acreage is in mostly fair to
good condition while later planted fields are spotty. Some fields were reset
for the third time. Some growers have irrigated but many farmers do not have
water or the equipment.

Acreage of the dark-fired types grown in Kentucky, Tennessee and Virginia
is off 1 percent from a year ago. Maryland type grown in Maryland and
Pennsylvania declined 13 percent. Dark-air cured types grown in Kentucky,
Tennessee, and Virginia are up 6 percent. The total of all cigar types is
down 12 percent from a year earlier.

SUGARBEETS Area of sugarbeets planted in 1988 is estimated at 1.32 million

acres, up 4 percent from 1987. Acreage is up in 11 of the 13
producing States and down in 2 States. Minnesota's planted area, at 332
thousand acres, increased 7 percent from a year ago. California's 215
thousand acres is off 1 percent from last year. Area planted in North Dakota,
at 175 thousand acres, is 7 percent above 1987. Idaho's 168 thousand acres
represents a 3 percent increase.

Sugarbeet planting in the Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota
was completed the first week of May. However, as the result of wind erosion
and extremely dry conditions, at least one-third of the crop was replanted.
Idaho planting was completed by mid-April which was ahead of average.
Thinning was completed by late June. Planting in Michigan was completed on
schedule and good stands established in most fields despite dry conditions.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED: Growers intend to harvest a record high 841

thousand acres of sugarcane for sugar and seed
in 1988. If realized, this acreage will exceed by 2 percent the previous
record high of 824 thousand acres set in 1987. Acreage is up in Florida,
Hawaii, and Louisiana by 1, 2 and 5 percent, respectively. A decline of §
percent is expected in Texas.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-12 NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, 1987 AND 1988

GA : 550 550
IDAHO 3 860 820
ILL 2 1,100 1,300
IND : 750 840
IOWA : 90 70
KANS 2 10,700 10,200
KY : 500 550
LA H 240 300
MD 3 175 180
MICH 3 450 650
MINN : 100 75
MISS : 400 550
MO 3 900 1,650
MONT : 2,300 2,450
NEBR : 2,200 2,300
NEV : 8 8
Nd 30 30
N MEX 3 660 520
NY H 90 95
NC 2 490 510
N DAK H 200 250
OHIO 3 850 1,000
OKLA : 7,200 7,000
OREG 780 700
PA : 190 175
sc H 290 320
S_DAK : 1,700 1,800
TENN 440 530
TEX : 6,800 6,300
UTAH 180 160
VA 3 275 230
WASH 1,900 1,850
W VA H 13 ap
WIS : 85 130
Wyo : 300 250
US H 48,781 48,980

1/ AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-12 NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, PRINCIPAL CROPS BY STATES, 1988 WITH COMPARISONS* 1/

AREA PLANTED

STATE
1,000 ACRES
ALA : 2,664 2,350
ARIZ : 688 734
ARK : 7,498 7,112
CALIF : 5,487 5,409
colo : 6,345 5,883
CONN : 146 145
DEL : 548 542
FLA : +267 1,140
GA : 43437 3,728
HAW : 90 87
IDAHO : 4,671 4,090
TLL : 23,210 22,059
IND : 12,051 11,052
IOWA : 25,766 24,586
KANS : 21,165 20,267
ky : 5,219 5,002
LA : 43462 3,931
MAINE : 400 382
MD : 1,607 1,527
MASS : 173 170
MICH : 7,305 6,383
MINN : 20,413 19,305
MISS : 5,066 5,065
Mo : 13,611 12,601
MONT : 9,855 9,673
NEBR : 18,189 16,502
NEV : 589 582
NH : 115 110
No : 455 398
N MEX : 1,218 1,008
NY : 3,929 3,642
NC : 4,876 4,350
N DAK : 21,428 20,163
OHIO : 10,358 93839
OKLA : 83845 8,515
OREG : 25766 2,404
PA : 4,461 4,341
RI : 18 3
Sc : 2,415 1,989
S_DAK : 16,818 15,167
TENN : 4,658 4,532
TEX : 20,343 17,650
UTAH : 1,164 1,090
VT : 542 508
VA : 2,908 2,937
WASH : 4,561 3,800
WeVA : 693 741
WIS : 9,426 8,774

WYO : 2,015 1,911
: 304,185

. ED
FOR: CORN, SORGHUM, OATS, BARLEY, DURUM AND OTHER SPRING WHEAT, RICE, SOYBEANS,
FLAXSEED, PEANUTS, SUNFLOWER, COTTON, DRY EDIBLE BEANS, POTATOES, AND SUGAR-
BEETS; HARVESTED ACREAGE FOR: WINTER WHEAT, RYE, ALL HAY, TOBACCO, AND
SUGARCANE.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-11 NASS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT: Planted area for 1988, is estimated at 3.54 million acres, 6 per
Cent more than in 198h. Acres for’ grain 4s expected te Eotal

2.60 miltion acres, down 21 percent from last year. The decline is largely
due to the 25 percent drop in North Dakota's harvested area.

Planting in North Dakota progressed ahead of average this season. Crop
development has been abnormally fast because of the drought. The area remain-
ing for harvest is rated poor to very poor. Some intended durum acreage in
South Dakota did not get seeded. Condition of Montana's durum is poor to very
poor. Harvest in California was well underway by June 1.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Acres planted for 1988 are estimated at 13.4 million

acres, down 2 percent from 1987. Area for grain is placed
at 10.0 million acres as of July 1, 1988, down 25 percent from 1987. This is
the lowest area for grain since 1972,

By July 3, heading had advanced to 87 percent completion in the 5 major
producing States (Idaho, Minnesota, Montana, North and South Dakota). This
was 10 points ahead of last year and 30 points ahead of the 5-year average.
Crop condition is rated good to excellent in Idaho and poor to very poor in
the other 4 States.

RICE: Plantings totaled 2.88 million acres in 1988, 23 percent above the 2.35

million acres planted in 1987. This is the largest acreage planted
since 1982 and reverses the downward trend in planted acreage since 1984.
Farmers plan to harvest 2.86 million acres compared with 2.33 million acres
harvested in 1987. Area planted increased in all States as follows-~-Texas,
48 percent; Louisiana, 24 percent; Mississippi, 38 percent; Arkansas, 16
percent; Missouri, 16 percent; and California, 15 percent.

Long grain seeding is up 28 percent from 1987. Medium grain acreage
climbed 10 percentage points ahead of the previous year, while short grain
acreage declined 13 percent.

At the beginning of June rice planting was virtually finished. A few
acres remained to be planted in Arkansas, Louisiana, and California.
Eighty-four percent of the acreage was emerged, 4 points ahead of normal. By
mid-June rice was heading in Louisiana and Texas.

RYE: Seeded area is estimated at 2.48 million acres, down | percent from 1987,

Area for grain is estimated at 601 thousand acres, 12 percent less than
last year. Acres for grain are lower than 1987 in the Dakotas and Nebraska.
Harvested area is up in Georgia and unchanged in Minnesota. North Dakota’s
crop is developing ahead of normal due to heat and moisture stress. Condition
of South Dakota rye ranged from poor to good; crop development is near normal.

SOYBEANS: The area planted to soybeans is estimated at 58.5 million acres, up

2 percent from 1987 but 3 percent below 1986. June plantings
increased 1 percent from the March ? prospective plantings. The North Central
States accounted for 42.8 million acres, 1 percent more than last year. South
Dakota and North Dakota had the largest increases in planted area, up 400 and
220 thousand acres, respectively. Illinofs and Minnesota increased plantings
by 200 thousand acres from 1987 while Indiana and Wisconsin planted 100
thousand more acres than a year ago. lTowa's and Nebraska's planted acreage
remained unchanged from 1987 while acreage declines were recorded in Missouri,
Kansas, and Ohio. In the Atlantic region, plantings totaled 4.69 million
acres, up 3 percent from 1987. Maryland and Pennsylvania increased plantings
45 and 40 thousand acres, respectively. Increases in planted area were also
recorded in Florida, Georgia, New Jersey, and Virginia. North Carolina's and
South Carolina's pianted acreages remained unchanged from last year while
Delaware's dropped 10 thousand acres.

The area planted to soybeans in the South Central area is estimated at
11.0 million acres, an increase of 4 percent from last year. Louisiana,
Okiahoma, and Tennessee had planted area increases of 150, 110, and 100
thousand acres, respectively. Alabama increased its planted area by 80
thousand acres, Texas, 70 thousand acres, and Arkansas, 50 thousand acres.
Acreage reductions were recorded in Mississippi and Kentucky.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-8 NASS, USDA


PEARS

PRODUCTION

TOTAL 1/

BARTLETT :

CALIF : 285,000 325,000 295,000
OREG : 55,000 78,000 70,000
WASH : 126,000 171,000 140,000
TOTAL : 466,000 574,000 505,000
EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
CALIF : 9,000 12,000 10,000
OREG : 112,000 150,000 110,000
WASH : 140,000 165,000 140,000
TOTAL : 261,000 327,000 260,000
ALL :
CALIF : 294,000 337,000 305,000
coLo : 1,750 8,000 3,500
CONN 3 13600 1,450 15600
MICH : 11,000 8,000 9,000
NY : 19;000 15,000 17,300
OREG : 167,000 228,000 180,000
PA : 35800 3,200 2,500
UTAH : 23200 33600 23200
WASH : 266,000 336,000 280,000
us 766,350 940,250 801,100

1/__ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND
6,000; 1987-2,650.

MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

CALIF : 162,000 245,000 250,000

PRUNES (ORIED BASIS) :

CALIF 99,000 228,000 160,000
GRAPES TABLE TYPE

CALIF 620,000 510,000 600,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE

CALIF 2,105,000 1,950,000 1,950,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE 2/

CALIF 2,045,000 2,200,000 2,150,000
ALL GRAPES

CALIF : 4,770,000 4,660,000 4,700,000
APRICOTS :

CALIF : 50,000 110,000 95,000

UTAH : 900 1,100 1,200

WASH : 4,300 3,900 4,600

US : 55,200 115,000 100,800
NECTARINES :

CALIF : 172,000 191,000 195,000
WALNUTS

CALIF 180,000 247,000 210,000

1,000 POUNDS

ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS)
CALIF 660,000

VE (TONS):
APRICOTS - 1986-100; 1987-10,200. 2/ FRESH BASIS.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-32 NASS, USDA


Drought conditions are not a problem in the sugarcane area in Florida.
The crop is in good to excellent condition and making rapid growth. Hawaii's
weather has been favorable and harvest has progressed more rapidly than last
year. Louisiana sugarcane has remained in good condition throughout the
season. Producers have been plowing fallow fields for planting later in the
year. The Texas crop has been irrigated heavily because of dry conditions but
is making good progress.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition was a

record low 46 percent for duly 1, 36 points
below both July 1, 1987 and the 1977-86 average for the date. During June,
pasture and range conditions declined in 44 States, were unchanged in ] State
and improved in 3 States. Fourteen States set new record lows for July 1.
Extreme drought as indicated by pasture and range conditions existed in a wide
area streching from North Dakota to Michigan and all the way south to
Mississippi and Georgia.

APPLES: The Nation's apple crop, forecast at 8.07 billion pounds, is 23 per-

cent than last year's record crop but 2 percent more than the 1986
crop. All regions expect decreased production as the effects of adverse
weather are apparent.

The forecast for the Eastern States, at 2.75 billion pounds, is down 7
percent from last year. Winter damage and poor pollination reduced prospects
in the Lake Ontario region of New York. Many growers in the region did not
thin chemically. The crop is sizing well in the Hudson Valley. Conditions in
Pennsylvania have been generally good with no major disease problems, West
Virginia received timely rains in May but soil moisture has become very short.

The Central States forecast, at 1.19 billion pounds, is down 25 percent
from 1987. Michigan's crop is expected to be smaller than last year because
of spring freezes in the southwest portion of the State and the continuing
drought. In Ohio, insect, disease, and hail damage have been limited, so far,
this year. Growers are apprehensive about prospects but should the extremely
high temperatures and lack of rain continue.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 4.13 billion pounds, down
31 percent from last year. Although Washington's orchards wintered well, the
stress from last year's record crop combined with a varied bloom and set to
reduce this year's prospects. Stress has also reduced California’s crop
potential. Gravenstein harvest is expected to start in mid-July. A light set
and over. thinning in the Hood River area of Oregon has reduced prospects in
that State.

PEACHES: U.S. peach production is forecast at 2.56 billion pounds, down 3 per-

cent from June 1 but up 5 percent from last year. The Freestone
crop, which excludes California Clingstone peaches that are mostly canned, is
expected to total 1.62 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the June 1 forecast,
but 10 percent more than last year.

Production in the nine Southern States is forecast at 630 million pounds,
down 2 percent from the June 1 forecast but 26 percent more than last year's
crop. Production decreased significantly from last month in Alabama and North
Carolina as the drought reduced fruit size. A slight production decline also
occurred in South Carolina.

Production of California Clingstone peaches is expected to total 940
million pounds, down 6 percent from the June 1 forecast and down 2 percent
from the 1987 level.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 6.00 million pounds for
duly, 25 percent higher than July 1987. Output is anticipated to

increase in August to 6.50 million pounds, then peak in September at 7.00

million pounds. October production js expected to total 6.50 million pounds.

dune fresh utilization, estimated at 4.77 million pounds, was 7 percent
higher than May and 5 percent more than last June. Year-to-date fresh
production trails the same 1987 January-June total by 2 percent. Weather
conditions during June were favorable for fruit development. Days were a
mixture of light rains and sunshine over the major producing orchards.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 8-13 NASS, USDA



PEACHES

PRODUCTION

CROP
AND 3 :
STATE aaa alata ate tetera : INDICATED
1987 : 1988

MILLION POUNDS

ALA
ARK 3
CALIF-FREESTONE : 49

6 10.0 19.0
9
5
COLO : 6
: 2
2
5
1
1

-
ny
Oo
°o

oo

17.0

CONN 2/

DEL 2/ :

GA : 10:
IDAHO 2/ : 1
ILL : 2

yo
wNnNO=—S nyw~

yop

IND 2/ 4

KANS 2/ 5

KY 2/ 2

LA 2/ :

MD : 20

MASS 2/ : 1.
0
2
5
4

~
—

MICH : 5
MISS 2/ :

MO 2/ :

NJ : 1
NY H

NC

OHIO 2/

OKLA 2/

OREG 2/

PA : 1
sc : 2
TENN 2/ :

TEX H 1
UTAH 2/ : 1
VA 3 2
WASH 3 40.
WVA : 23.0

TOTAL ABOVE : 1,395.4 1,471.

pS

yom

NWNOANGAMHONSOW On

B® DOONODDSOOOOWOONZOODONNOWOOUSS +
woo

a

w
nom

w
a= Bwor
CNSOVBOSOMND AD ANEEHTAIUUNSASTOWN

o S900005050500 MOOOOH O50 ONO wDOUA

—pANo
Pw

1,617.

CLINGSTONE 3/ :
CALIF : 933.0 957.0 940.0

2,428.8 2,557.8

1/__ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS):
UNITED STATES, EXCLUDING CALIF CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1986-29.0; 1987-72.6.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

3/ CALIF CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY
DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS): 1986-59.5; 1987-55.0.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-31 NASS, USDA .


AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED, UNITED STATES, 1979-88

: : HARVESTED
Poorer rene ener necnccnere : FOR : FOR
PLANTED HARVESTED : GRAIN GRAIN
1,000 ACRES
1979 : 81,394 80,777 72,400 15,277 14,876 12,901
1980 : 84,043 82,844 72,961 15,639 14,659 12,513
1981 : 84,097 83,192 74,524 15,930 15,487 13,677
1982 : 81,857 81,278 72,719 16,028 15,654 14,137
1983 : 60,217 59,597 51,483 11,880 11,387 10,001
1984 : 80,543 71,915 17,254 15,355
1985 : 83,448 75,224 18,285 16,782
1986 : 76,674 69,159 15,336 13,859
1987 : 65,706 59,167 11,804 10,604
1988 : 67,519 59,689 10,353 9,001
OATS BARLEY FEED GRAINS 1/
PLANTED HARVESTED : PLANTED HARVESTED HARVESTED 1/
1,000 ACRES
1979: 13,960 9,682 8,116 7,527 102,510
1980 : 13,381 8,657 8,320 7,260 101,391
1981 : 13,632 9,407 9,618 9,038 106,646
1982 : 13,951 10,258 9,549 9,013 106,127
1983: 20,289 9,072 10,422 9,731 80,287
1984 : 12,414 8,163 11,957 11,231 106,664
1985 : 13,255 8,177 13, 156 11,603 111,786
1986 : 14,691 6,860 13,059 12,007 101,885
1987 : 17,959 6,925 11,046 10,027 86,723
1988 : 13,976 5,680 9,691 7,451 81,821
WHEAT
ALL WINTER OTHER SPRING
: HARVESTED : HARVESTED : PLANTED HARVESTED PLANTED HARVESTED
1,000 ACRES
1979: 62,454 43,427 4,042 3,932 15,595 15,095
1980 : 71,125 51,635 5,525 4,840 17,492 14,650
1981 : 80,642 58,476 5,776 5,655 16,928 16,511
1982 : 77,937 57,633 4,290 4,177 16,426 1 127
1983: 61,390 47,584 2,565 2,492 11,749 11,314
1984 : 66,928 51,513 3,277 3,219 12,517 12,196
1985 : 64,734 47,953 3,207 3,094 14,616 13,687
1986 =: 60,723 43,205 2,994 2,877 15,109 14,641
1987 : 55,930 39,317 3,341 3,279 13,682 13,334
1988 : 52,293 39,693 3,536 2,600 13,401 10,000
“SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-10.=Sts—<“‘i‘<CSC*é*‘<=;CS:*W CONTINUED
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 A-8 NASS, USDA


SUNFLOWERS

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

STATE AND:
VARIETAL TYPE

1,000 ACRES

OIL :
MINN : 80 45 79 44
N DAK : 1,200 1,250 1,180 1,200
S_DAK : 295 256 293 251
TeX : 12 10 i 9
us : (1,587 1,561 1,563 1,504
NON-OTL :
MINN : 10 10 9 9
N DAK : 200 240 195 230
S DAK : 5 4 5 4
TEX : 3 10 3 9
Us : 218 264 212 252
ALL :
MINN : 90 55 88 53
N DAK > 1,400 1,490 1,375 1,430

MINN 15 15 14 14

N DAK 400 250 395 200

S DAK 55 25 54 24

us 470 290 463 238
ALASKA 1/

AREA PLANTED

ALL OATS
ALL BARLEY
MIXED GRAIN CROPS

GRAIN HAY OR SILAGE 2/ 3/ 5,600 3,400
GRASS HAY OR SILAGE 3/ 16,700 17,100
POTATOES 850 950

1/__ ESTIMATES ARE PROVIDED TO MEET SPECIAL NEEDS OF USERS FOR CROPS AND LIVE-
STOCK PRODUCTION STATISTICS. ESTIMATES ARE EXCLUDED FROM COMMODITY DATA
TABLES. 2/ INCLUDED IN THE ABOVE GRAIN CROP ESTIMATES. 3/ AREA HARVESTED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-22 NASS, USDA


1988 SPRING CROP PROGRESS

Winter wheat was mostly good to fair during January. Above-normal tempera-
tures melted most snow cover in the central and northern Great Plains leaving
winter wheat vulnerable to freeze damage during most of the month. However,
snow protection was available during most periods of extreme low temperatures.
The melting snow provided much needed moisture, especially in South Dakota.
Snow and low temperatures slowed winter wheat growth from Texas through the
Delta and Southeast during the first half of January. The cold temperatures
continued plaguing wheat in Texas until near the end of the month. By the end
of January, Oklahoma's wheat began growing. In California, winter wheat
seeding continued until the third week of January. Planting ended in Georgia
around midmonth. Cool temperatures slowed emergence and growth early in the
month in California. As the month drew to a close, wheat approached the
jointing stage in Arizona. Oklahoma's cotton harvest stretched into January
but was only 95 percent finished as the month ended. New Mexico's harvest was
virtually finished Statewide. Soil preparation for the 1988 crop was active
in western and south-central Arizona and California.

Oklahoma's cotton harvest extended into February but neared completion the
first week of the month. Cotton land preparation progressed rapidly in
California and Arizona. By the end of the month cotton planting was underway
in Arizona. Snow followed by a quick melt-down restricted fieldwork in the
eastern half of the Nation during the first half of February. Rain continued
hampering fieldwork most of the month in the Southeast and Delta. The last
week of the month, warm, windy weather dried soils, opening the door for
spring field activity to begin in the eastern half of the Nation. By midmonth
corn planting was underway in California and Texas. Seeding reached 7 percent
completion in Texas as the month drew to a close. Sorghum planting was
underway in the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley areas of Texas. Fieldwork
was limited mostly to spreading fertilizer in the Corn Belt during February.
Winter wheat was mostly good to fair during February. However, crop condition
was mostly fair to good in the northern and central Great Plains and Rocky
Mountain States during most of the month. Qutbursts of extremely cold
temperatures surged across the eastern half of the Nation the first half of
the month, but adequate snow cover protection kept damage at a minimum. Snow
cover vanished the second half of the month but temperatures were warm enough
to prevent serious damage. The cold weather stifled growth until midmonth but
by month's end wheat broke dormancy as far north as Missouri. The warm
temperatures promoted growth from Oklahoma southward. During February,
dryness plagued wheat development in the northern Great Plains, especially in
South Dakota. In Arizona, wheat reached the heading stage in western areas.
Wheat grew well in California but began showing signs of moisture stress in
dryland areas. Topdressing was active in the Southeast, Pacific Northwest,
Corn Belt, northern and central Great Plains and Delta as the month ended.

Rain and snow limited fieldwork to mostly spreading fertilizer in the
central and northern Great Plains, Rocky Mountain, and Corn Belt States during
most of March, Rain periodically slowed fieldwork in the Delta and Southéast.
Dry soils accelerated land preparation and seeding in Arizona and California.
Cotton planting was underway at the beginning of March in Arizona and Texas.
Planting progressed rapidly, ending the month 35 percent finished in Arizona.
Texas seedings were 10 percent finished compared with 7 percent normally.
Planting began in California around midmonth and progressed well the rest of
March, March started with corn planting underway in Arizona, Georgia,
Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas. Planting was just beginning in Georgia,
Louisiana, and Mississippi but was 22 finished in Texas. By the end of the
month planting had moved as far north as Kansas and Missouri. Planting spread
across the Southeast as the month progressed but lagged behind normal in most
States. North Carolina's acreage was 17 percent seeded on April 3, compared
with 22 percent normally. Georgia's seeding trailed 9 points behind normal at
34 percent completion. Seeding was 12 points ahead of normal in Alabama.
Sorghum seeding was restricted mostly to Texas with 49 percent of the acreage
planted, Planting started in Alabama as the month drew to a close. Wet
weather slowed rice planting in Louisiana and Texas. By the end of March,
seeding was 15 points behind normal in Louisiana and 4 points behind normal in
Texas. Tobacco transplanting was underway by midmonth in Georgia and
Florida. Tobacco bed preparation and seeding was active from Virginia to
Tennessee. Winter wheat was mostly good to fair during March except in the
northern and central Great Plains where condition ranged from poor to good.
Temperatures were mostly above normal during March but intermittent periods of
snow and cold temperatures kept wheat from getting off to a fast start
throughout the eastern half of the Nation. The snow provided much needed
moisture but wheat suffered from inadequate moisture in some areas of the
northern and central Great Plains. By midmonth, greening was underway as far
north as Montana. Jointing was underway in Oklahoma, Arizona, and California.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-3 NASS, USDA



Wheat began heading in California and Arizona shortly after midmonth. Before
the month ended, wheat heading was underway in Alabama, South Carolina,
Louisiana, and Texas. Kansas' wheat suffered disease and insect problems
during the month.

Rain, sometimes snow, and unseasonably cold temperatures interrupted
seeding and land preparation in the central and southern Great Plains and Corn
Belt during May. With the exception of snow, much the same was true for the
Delta and Southeast. Above-normal temperatures and dry weather dominated the
northern Great Plains during most of the month as evidenced by the rapid
seeding of spring small grains. Intermittent precipitation gave some relief,
but for the most part, the lack of moisture hampered winter small grain growth
and development. Corn planting was limited to the southern half of the Nation
at the beginning of April. By the second week of May, planting moved as far
north as Nebraska. Planting progressed normally until the last week of the
month, when 21 percent of the acreage was seeded in the 17 major producing
States. The month ended with 36 percent of the corn acreage planted compared
with 43 percent in 1987 and 24 percent average. At month's end, cotton
seeding was 33 percent finished, 3 points below 1987 but 2 points above
normal. Planting lagged behind normal in the Delta and Southeast as a result
of wetness and low soil temperatures. Planting was behind normal in 8 of the
14 major producing States and by as much as 25 points in North Carolina and 30
points in South Carolina. Rain, coal weather, and crusting soils caused some
replanting in Arizona and California. Sorghum seeding reached 19 percent
completion by the beginning of May, Seeding was slightly behind normal.
Planting was underway in all major producing States except Kansas and South
Dakota. Rice was 54 percent seeded and 20 percent emerged on May 1. Seeding
was 5 points ahead of normal but emergence trailed 17 points behind the
average. Rice planting lagged behind normal until the last week of the
month. Soybean planting was just getting underway as the month ended.
Planting reached 2 percent completion just slightly ahead of normal. Spring
wheat planting advanced rapidly during the month. On April 17, 32 percent of
the acreage was seeded, four times greater than normal. Seeding continued
ahead of normal reaching 78 percent completion by month's end. Planting
neared completion in South Dakota. Spring wheat emergence was at 19 percent
compared with 17 percent normally. Winter wheat development lagged behind
normal in most major producing areas during April. Inadequate moisture,
disease and insects plagued growth and development in the northern and central
Great Plains and some Rocky Mountain States. Wheat was 10 percent headed on
May, compared with 18 percent in 1987 and 17 percent normally. Heading had
not begun in most Corn Belt States, the central and northern Great Plains,
Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountain States as the month ended. Wheat turned
color in central and southern Texas and harvest was underway at Coastal Bend.
Early planted wheat began turning color in Arizona around midmonth.

Dryness characterized most of the month of May. Precipitation at key
periods during the month kept the dry conditions from becoming severe in most
areas. Planting ceased momentary in some areas of the Corn Belt, Delta,
Southeast, and central Great Plains until soil moisture improved. The dryness
Caused some reseeding in most areas of the Nation. Corn began the-month 36
percent seeded, 7 points behind 1987 but 12 points above normal. By midmonth
planting equaled the fast pace set in 1987 at 88% completion. At this point
seeding was 22 points ahead of normal. At the end of the third week of May,
planting was finished or neared completion except in Pennsylvania and South
Dakota. Corn reached the silking stage in some Southeast and Delta States and
the dough stage in Texas by the end of May. Cotton planting progressed
normally to slightly ahead of normal during May. The month ended with 78
percent of the cotton acreage planted, 2 points above normal. Cotton planting
was mostly finished except in Oklahoma and Texas. Poor germination caused
above-normal replanting in the western States and Delta. 8y month's end
cotton was squaring and seting bolls in Arizona and Texas. Soybeans were 74
percent seeded on May 29 surpassing the sizzling seeding pace accomplished in
1987. Planting was 21 points above the S-year average. Seeding approached
completion in the Corn Belt and was more than 50 finished in the central Great
Plains. Dryness plagued seeding in the Southeast and Delta during most of the
month. Sorghum was 58 percent seeded by the end of May. This compares with
54 percent seeded in 1987 and 47 percent normally. Dryness hampered seeding
in Oklahoma until near the end of month when seeding jumped 40 points.
Planting accelerated in the central Great Plains the last week of May.
Sorghum was heading and turning color in Texas. Rice was virtually seeded by
the end of May. Only 5 percent remained to be planted in California and 2
percent each in Arkansas and LoutSiana. Dry weather caused uneven emergence
in Arkansas. Spring wheat was virtually planted by midmonth with the
exception of Idaho and North Dakota, Spring wheat was mostly fair to good as
the month drew to a close. The lack of moisture began taking its toll at the
end of May, especially in Montana. Jointing was underway in Idaho and Montana.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-4 NASS, USDA




PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

3 AREA FRESH PRODUCTION

MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP : — HARVESTED

1988 FORECAST
1988

SHEETPOTATOES
: AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
STATE: : : IND
: 1987 1988 1987 1988
_ oO “75000 ACRES .
ALA : 6.8 7.0 6.7 6.8
CALIF 6.6 6.9 6.6 6.9
GA : 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.2
LA : 20.0 18.0 19.0 17.0
MD 13 2 ‘8 7
MISS 5.0 4.5 4.5 412
Nd 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
NC : 36.0 36.0 35.0 35.0
$¢ : 45 4.0 4.5 4.0
TENN : 8 ‘8 8 8
TEX : 77 7.5 7:3 7
VA 1:0 1:0 9 ‘9
us 96.7 93.9 90.6
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

JULY 1988 A-28 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
: AREA PLANTED
3 FOR ALL PURPOSES

AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP
: : : : INDICATED
3 1987 : 1988 Hy 1987 3 1988
1,000 ACRES
CORN : 65,706 67,519 59,167 59,689
SORGHUM : 11,804 10,353 10,604 9,001
OATS : 17,959 13,976 6,925 5,680
BARLEY : 11,046 9,691 10,027 7,451
ALL WHEAT : > 65,804 65,917 55,930 52,293
WINTER H 48,781 48,980 39,317 39,693
DURUM H 3,341 3,536 3,279 2,600
OTHER SPRING 2 13,682 13,401 13,334 10,000
RICE : 2,352.0 2,883.0 2,330.0 2,856.0
RYE : 2,498 2,478 683 601
SOYBEANS : 57,415 58,520 56,437 57,064
FLAXSEED 3 470 290 463 238
PEANUTS : 1,567.4 1,680.0 1,546.4 1,648.0
SUNFLOWER : 1,805 1,825 1,775 1,756
ALL COTTON : 10,407.2 12, 153.8 10,035.3
UPLAND : 10,269.3 11,956.0 9,898.7
AMER-PIMA : 137.9 197.8 136.6
ALL HAY : 60,748 63,396
ALFALFA : 25,485 24,475
ALL OTHER : 35,263 38,921
DRY EBIBLE BEANS : 1,800.6 1,568.4 1,708.4 1,505.0
POTATOES :
SUMMER : 102.9 96.8 100.0 93.5
FALL : 1,108.0 1,083.5 1,090.3 1,058.6
TOTAL 3 1,305.3 1,272.9 1,282.7 1,243.4
SWEETPOTATOES : 96.7 93.9 93.3 90.6
ALL TOBACCO : 590.4 623.8
FLUE-CURED :
TYPES 11-14 : 324.6 354.2

SUGARBEETS : 1,265.7 1,320.0 1,251.4 1,296.0
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.£, GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-4 NASS, USDA


FALL POTATOES: Planted acreage of fall potatoes is estimated at 1.08 million

acres, down 2 percent from last year, but 2 percent above
1986. Acreage for harvest, at 1.06 million acres, is 3 percent below last
year but 2 percent above 1986.

The SIX EASTERN STATES expect to harvest 141 thousand acres of fall
potatoes this year, down 3 percent from last year and 2 percent below 1986.
Each of the States reports acreage at or below last year. Maine acreage is
estimated at 85.0 thousand, down 1 percent from the last two years. New York,
at 30.5 thousand acres, is off 6 percent with Long Island down 10 percent and
Upstate off 4 percent. Pennsylvania acreage is down 2 percent.

The EIGHT CENTRAL STATES expect to harvest 309 thousand acres of fall
potatoes in 1988, a drop of 5 percent from last year and 2 percent below
1986. Nebraska acreage is up slightly, but the other seven States are looking
for reductions. Hot, dry weather in June has hurt development of potatoes
across the region, reducing stands and stressing potato plants. North Dakota
plans to harvest 124 thousand acres, down 1 percent from last year. Minnesota
acreage is off 10 percent and Wisconsin is down 4 percent. Michigan growers
have dropped fall potato acreage 9 percent.

NINE WESTERN STATES plan to harvest 608 thousand acres of potatoes in
1988. This is down 2 percent from Jast year, but 6 percent above 1986. Idaho
and Utah expect increases of three percent each, Nevada acreage is the same as
Jast year, but the other six States have cut acreage, some substantially.
Oregon potato acreage has dropped 16 percent and California's fall crop is off
13 percent. Washington growers look to harvest 7 percent fewer acres than
last year. Planting started early in the larger producing States and was
completed essentially on time, although with some late stragglers. Hot
weather has not hurt most western potatoes because of the use of irrigation.
Water supplies, although low in some areas, should be adequate to meet this
seasons needs.

SUMMER POTATOES: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 19.8 million

cwt, 13 percent less than last year and 5 percent below two
years ago. Acreage for harvest is set at 93.5 thousand acres, off 6 percent
from last year and 2 percent below 1986. The average yield is forecast at 212
cwt per acre, down 7 percent from last year and 4 percent below two years ago.

Drought conditions and hot weather have severely reduced yield prospects
in the North Central States and across the South. Irrigation has been used
where available but high temperatures have reduced potato setting and slowed
growth. Some acreage has been lost in Michigan along with reports of light
stands.

Harvest is underway in Alabama with digging completed in some areas. Ory
soils have made harvest difficult. Dry, hot weather has also hurt potatoes in
North Carolina and Tennessee.

The Eastern Shore areas of Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware have had good
early growing weather and adequate moisture to produce a good crop.
Irrigation has been used to help maintain good growth.

In the Southwest, prospects are fair to good. Harvest is expected in the
Texas High Plains in mid-July. New Mexico growers anticipate a good harvest
in most locations. Rainfall has been abundant in the high plains of both New
Mexico and Texas. Colorado development is ahead of normal with excellent
prospects. In California, harvest was active the last of June and will be
general by mid-July. Variable weather has produced slow growth,

SWEETPOTATOES: Growers have planted 93.9 thousand acres of sweetpotatoes for

1988, down 3 percent from last year and the year before. Area
for harvest is forecast at 90.6 thousand acres, also off 3 percent from the
last two years. Acreage planted is higher in California and Alabama and is at
or below the previous year in the remaining 10 producing States. Planted area
is 4 percent below March plans because of dry soils and delayed planting.

A firm market encouraged an acreage increase in California, but development
was slowed by cool weather. In Texas, dry soils slowed planting and early
developement. Irrigation, where available, is steady. Louisiana growers
could mot plant al? of their intended acres because of dry soils, and have cut
acreage 10 percent from last year. Planting delays in Alabama could cause
harvest problems.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 8-11 NASS, USDA



Soybean plantings in 1988 started and stayed ahead of normal in most areas
of the Nation through the middle of June. Planting progress slowed in June
because of dry soil conditions and fell behind schedute in the South and
Southeast. As of July 3, 96 percent of the area had been planted compared to
the five year acreage of 97 percent. The condition of the soybean crop on
July 3, 1988 was mostly fair to poor compared to mostly good to fair
conditions in 1987.

FLAXSEED: Planted area totaled 290 thousand acres, down 38 percent from 1987

and 60 percent below the 1986 planted acres. This is the lowest
acreage planted since estimates were started in 1889. Harvested area,
estimated at 238 thousand acres, declined 49 and 65 percent from 1987 and
1986, respectively.

North Dakota showed the largest decline in planted area with a decrease of
150 thousand acres. South Dakota was down 30 thousand acres while Minnesota,
at 15 thousand acres, remained unchanged from 1987.

On July 3, the condition of flax was mostly poor to fair.

PEANUTS: Peanut planted area is estimated at 1.68 miltion acres, up 7 percent
from the 1.57 million acres planted in 1987. This is the highest
planted acreage since 1958, when plantings totaled 1.73 million acres.

Area for harvest is estimated at 1.65 million acres, 7 percent above
1987. Planting progress by the week ending June 5 was near normal in the
Southeast and Virginia-Carolina areas, and slightly above average in the
Southwest.

Southeastern growers planted 1.04 million acres in 1988, 9 percent above
1987. Planting progress by June 5 in Alabama was almost complete, slightly
ahead of normal. Planting started slow in Georgia and South Carolina, but by
the beginning of June was virtually complete, about equal to normal progress.

Plantings in North Carolina and Virginia totaled 253 thousand acres, 5
percent above the 241 thousand acres planted in 1987. In North Carolina, 97
percent of the acreage was planted by June 5, compared with an average of 96
percent. Planting in Virginia was mostly complete by June 5.

In the Southwest, plantings are expected to total 383 thousand acres, up 5
percent from 1987. Dry weather slowed early plantings in Texas, but rain in
late May allowed farmers to make good progress. By June 5, planting was 39
percent complete, slightly ahead of normal progress. In Oklahoma, planting
was 70 percent complete by June 5, compared with normal progress of 60 percent.

SUNFLOWER: Planted area of sunflower for all purposes in the 4-State area of

North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, and Texas is estimated at
1.83 million acres, up one percent from the 1.81 million acres planted in
1987. Oil varieties are expected to total 1.56 million acres, down 2 percent
from a year ago. Sunflower for of] represents 86 percent of the total
sunflower acreage planted in 1988.

In North Dakota, planted area for oil and non-oil varieties increased in
1988. Oil varieties, at 1.25 million acres, were up 50 thousand acres from a
year ago. Non-oil varieties increased 40 thousand acres from 1987. South
Dakota's all sunflower acreage dropped 40 thousand acres from last year and
totals 260 thousand acres.

Sunflower plantings generally progressed ahead of normal in 1988. On July
3, the crop was in mostly fair condition.

HAY: Growers are expected to harvest 63.4 million acres of hay during 1988.
This is 4 percent more than the 60.7 million acres harvested last year.

The area of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures is expected to total 24.5 million
acres 4 percent lower than the 25.5 million acres cut in 1987. Of the
principal States, Wisconsin declined 5 percent to 2.65 million acres; South
Dakota was off 2 percent to total 2.30 million acres; Minnesota was down 6
percent with 1.60 million acres; Iowa was down 3 percent with 1.40 million
acres; and North Dakota was off 12 percent to total 1.40 million acres.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-9 NASS, USDA



BARLEY

1,000 ACRES

ALA 3 45 35 25 20

ARIZ 3 25 7
ARK 2 22 40 18 35

CALIF H 380 365 40 - 36 400 360
COLO $ 100 110 50 60 230 200
DEL H 55 35
GA : 55 80 30 45

IDAHO : 65 70 36 40 840 880
TLL : 2,100 1,400 190 190

IND 2 600 350 95 90

IOWA s 4,200 2,100 650 500

KANS : 240 225 155 180 140 100
KY : 27 30 7 8 15 16
MAINE 2 42 42 38 38

MD 2 21 20 19 W7 100 80
MICH : 350 300 300 250 55 50
MINN : 2,100 1,700 800 450 1,200 1,250
MO : 180 120 90 48

MONT : 235 210 110 120 2,300 1,800
NEBR : 810 650 360 330 90 70
NEV : 36 34
NJ : 6 6 5 4 20 16
N MEX : aT) 14
NY H 250 180 200 140

NC H 105 100 60 §5 46 43
N DAK : 1,050 1,100 700 500 3,000 2,600
OHIO H 350 300 250 200

OKLA : 160 140 60 65 35 25
OREG H 90 95 65 60 250 225
PA : 290 290 260 260 65 60
sc 3 60 85 33 48 15 W7
S_ DAK : 1,400 1,400 1,150 900 870 700
TEX : 1,100 1,100 220 270 65 35
UTAH : 28 32 14 15 182 139
VA : 35 35 7 14 100 95
WASH 3 75 80 35 37 660 580
WVA : 13 9 8 6

WIS : 1,300 1,100 800 600 110 100

WYO : | 75 77 45 50 157 150
: 17,959
PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

13,976

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-15 NASS, USDA



WINTER WHEAT

PRODUCTION

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA : 170 220 31.0 38.0 5,720 5,270 8,360
ARIZ : 44 35 95.0 100.0 4,512 43180 3,500
ARK : 840 1,050 41.0 51.0 335415 345440 53,550
CALIF: 480 440 76.0 83.0 45,000 36,480 36,520
coLo : 2,500 2,350 37.5 35.0 92,800 93,750 82,250
DEL : 48 60 42.0 45.0 1,530 2,016 2,700
FLA : 60 55 30.0 33.0 3,100 1,800 14815
GA : 460 475 31.0 43.0 15,400 143260 20,425
IDAHO: 800 790 75.0 68.0 51,850 60,000 53,720
ILL : 950 1,220 59.0 55.0 36,080 56,050 67,100
IND : 600 700 «58.0 © 48.0 30,100 34,800 33,600
TOWA : 30 35 38.0 © 30.0 1,680 1,140 1,050
KANS : 9,900 9,400 37.0 35.0 336,600 366,300 329,000
KY : 330 380 49.0 49.0 83910 16,170 183620
LA : 170 270 «31.0 = 43.0 7,350 5,270 11,070
MO : 165 170 49.0 51.0 6,815 8,085 8,670
MICH : 400 610 48.0 40.0 30,600 19; 200 24,400
MINN : 90 44 33.0 21.0 4,290 2,970 924
MISS : 350 480 36.0 45.0 6,200 12,600 21,600
MO : 770 1,550 46.0 50.0 18,810 35,420 773500
MONT : 2,200 2,100 36.0 20.0 64,000 79,200 42,000
NEBR : 1,950 2,000 44.0 40.0 76,000 85,800 80,000
NEV : 90.0 90.0 810 630 630,
Noo : 27 26 «45.0 = 45.0 1,290 1,215 1,170
NOMEX oo: 340 320. 32.0 = 25.0 10,120 10,880 8,000
NY : 80 90 47.0 47.0 75595 33760 4,230
NC : 440 480 41.0 = 47.0 15,180 18,040 22,560
NDAK OO: 185 140 32.0 17.0 13,920 5,920 2,380
OHIO : 800 920 58.0 48.0 48, 300 46,400 44,160
OKLA : 4,800 4,800 27.0 ° 36.0 150,800 129,600 172,800
OREG : 750 660 66.0 68.0 53,940 495500 44,880
PA : 185 170 43.0 44.0 93680 75955 7,480
sc : 275 300 38.0 = 45.0 73500 10,450 13,500
S$ DAK =: 1,620 1,350 34.0 © 22.0 57,600 55,080 29,700
TENN : 350 430 41.0 = 49.0 10,725 14; 350 21,070
TEX : 3,600 3,100 28.0 28.0 120,000 100,800 86,800
UTAH 3 170 152 43.0 37.0 8,100 7,310 5,624
VA : 215 210 © 45.0 = 50.0 6,970 91675 10,500
WASH : 1,825 1,750 57.0 59.0 102,900 104,025 103,250
W VA : rl 9 45.0 46.0 396 495 414
WIS : 60 120 39.0 7,410 3,240 4,680
Wyo 270 225 26.0 7,500 8,370 5,850
us 39,317 39,693 39.5 1,521,498 1,562,896 1,568,052

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1

1,000 BUSHELS

1986 ,017,831 292,450 211,217 451,417 97,907 20,813 2,091,635
1987 :018,561 347,742 196,593 430,578 92,617 19,109 2,105,200
1988 2/: 916,890 457,807 193,385

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE-BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT 5-YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. THE 5-YEAR VARIETAL
SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
2/ INDICATED JULY 1, 1988.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-17 NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF JULY 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECAST

Crop production forecasts in this report are based on acreage surveys con-
ducted the first two weeks of June and yield surveys conducted around July 1.
The acreage estimates in this report include acres planted and intended to be
planted at the time of the survey, and acres intended for harvest later. The
duly 1 yield surveys include mailed reports from farmers and actual field
observations. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and probable
yield information for wheat on their farms and for their localities.
Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and
measurements in a probability sample of wheat fields. These surveys are
subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all
surveys. More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due
to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently
but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the winter wheat produc-
tion forecasts in this report, the “Root Mean Square Error", a statistical
measure based on past performance, is provided below. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the July 1 production forecast and the final
estimate and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1968-87
twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the
"Root Mean Square Error“. Probability statements can be made concerning
expected difference in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season
estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not
different from those influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production fore-
cast is 2.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
production forecast of 1.57 billion bushels will not be above or below the
final estimate by more than 2.3 percent or approximately 36.1 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will
not exceed 3.9 percent or approximately 61.2 million bushels. Differences
between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate
during the past 10 years have averaged 36 million bushels, ranging from 4
million to 55 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final
estimate 5 times and above 5 times. This does not imply that the July 1
winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-3 NASS, USDA


SPRING WEATHER REVIEW
(MARCH - MAY 1988)

HIGHLIGHTS: Much of the Nation experienced a warm, dry spring. The prolonged
drought continued across the northern Plains. High temperatures exacerbated
conditions. Most of the Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee Valleys,
eastern Texas, and the Southeast received well-below-normal rainfall. Spring
rains brought relief to prolonged dryness in western Washington and Oregon.

MARCH...Most of the Nation experienced above-normal temperatures. The northern
Plains had the largest positive temperature anomalies, all the more remarkable
because the winter of 1987-88 (December through February) was the third in a
row with such anomalies in this region. The deep South had near-normal or
slightly below-normal temperatures.. The dryness in the West continued, but was
more extreme in the Southwest. The most significant areas of wetness were in
Pk lahoma, east Texas, southern Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, and northern
orida.

APRIL...The western half of the Nation experienced mostly above-normal tempera-
tures and above-normal precipitation. However, the northern Plains were very
dry. Above-normal precipitation in the Pacific Northwest and parts of the
Southeast helped to alleviate the drought in those areas. The southern Plains
and the Atlantic coastal regions had generally below-normal tempera- tures.

MAY...Dry and unseasonably warm weather prevailed over much of the northern
Plains and Corn Belt. The dryness extended through the Mississippi Valley and
much of the Southeast. The northern and central Pacific Coast, western Plains,
and middle Atlantic Coast States received above-normal precipitation.

JUNE WEATHER SUMMARY

This June was the hottest in more than 50 years in the northern Plains and
one of the driest Junes ever in much of the eastern half of the country.
Monthly temperatures were above normal across more than two-thirds of the
country, with only the eastern seaboard, Gulf States, and some areas in the
West measuring below-normal readings. Moderate-to-heavy rainfall eased
drought conditions in the Plains States, but hot, dry weather worsened drought
conditions in the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Above-normal rainfall was
mainly limited to Texas, New Mexico, Florida, the West Coast, and scattered
areas along the Gulf and East coasts. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agri-
cultural Weather Facility.)

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-2 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND
MIDDLE BELTS
NC : 80,000 90,000 1,970 1,925 157,600 173,250
VA 28,000 32,000 2,085 2,150 58,380 68,800

us 108,000 122,000 2,000 3,984 215,980 242,050
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC
BELT

NC 107,000 116,000 2,170 2,150 232,190 249,400
TYPE 13, N C BORDER & :
SC BELT 3
NC 30,000 31,000 2,090 2,075 62,700 64,325
sc 42,000 44,000 2,240 2,000 94,080 88,000
US 72,000 75,000 2,178 2,031 156,780 152,325
TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT
FLA 5,600 6,200 2,465 2,450 13,804 15,190
GA 32,000 35,000 2,255 2,150 72,160 75,250
US 37,600 41,200 2,286 2,195 85,964 90,440
TOTAL 11-14 : 324,600 354,200 2,129 2,073 690,914 734,215

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT

VA 2,600 2,400 1,000 2,600
TYPE 22, EASTERN
DISTRICT
KY 2,700 2,800 2,070 5,589
TENN 5,500 5,500 2,170 31,935
8,200 8,300 2,137 17,524

US
TYPE 23, WESTERN

DISTRICT
KY 2,600 2,600 2,450 6,370
TENN 460 460 2,350 1,081
US 3,060 3,060 2,435 7,451
TOTAL 21-23 13,860 13,760 1,990 27,575
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AIR-CURED
TYPE 31, BURLEY
IND 5,400 5,600 2,050 11,070
KY 140,000 145,000 2,050 287,000
MO 1,700 2,100 2,070 3,519
NC 7,900 8,500 1,785 14,102
ORIO 7,300 8,200 1,640 11,972
TENN 43,000 43,000 1,705 73,315
vA : 8,700 9,200 1,875 15,790
WoVA H 1,800 1,900 1,440 2,592
US : 215,800 223,500 1,943 419,360
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD :
BELT t
MD 15,000 13,000 1,250 18,750
PA 4,000 3,500 1,850 7,400
US 19,000 16,500 1,376 26,150
TOTAL 31-32 234,800 240,000 1,897 445,510
CONTINUED
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 A-26 NASS, USDA


ACREAGE DATA SOURCES AND RELIABILITY

The planted and harvested acreages in this report are based primarily on
Surveys conducted the first two weeks of June. The small grains harvested
acreage indications were supplemented in Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and
South Dakota by a special survey conducted the last week of June. Acreage cut
for hay includes set aside and conservation reserve acres that were released
for haying. Harvested acreage of row crops such as corn and soybeans could
not be accurately surveyed for drought related losses on July 1, as many
producers were still undecided on their final utilization for these crops.

A special acreage update survey will be conducted in 28 States the last
week of July. This survey has been designed to measure abandonment of crops
already planted and changes in planted acres for those crops where intentions
were still part of the acreage estimate. This survey will be the primary
basis for new acreage estimates that will appear in the August 1 Crop
Production report to be released August 11

The surveys conducted the first two weeks of June used a probability area
frame survey with a sample of over 15,000 land segments and a probability list
sample of about 70,000 growers. These surveys are subject to sampling and
non-sampling type errors that are common to al} surveys. Sampling variability
is present because crop acreages are obtained from only a sample of producers
Non-sampling errors cannot be measured directly but may occur due to mistakes
in reporting and recording, data omissions, or duplications, errors in
Processing, and other reasons. To minimize non-sampling errors, rigorous
quality controls are used in the data collection process, and all reported and
summary data are carefully reviewed for consistency and reasonableness.

Sampling errors were calculated for the probability area frame survey.
Relative standard errors are presented in the table below for some of the
major crop acreages at the U.S. level. Used aS a measure of survey
reliability, a relative standard error of 2 percent means chances are about 2
out of 3 that the survey estimate will be within 2 percent of the complete
coverage value if the same procedures were used to survey all producers, or 9
chances in 10 that the estimate will be within 3.3 percent of the complete
coverage value. These sampling errors provide some guidance as to the
reliability of the data, but cannot be applied directly to the acreages
published in this report since the Agricultural Statistics Board estimates
represent a composite of information from more than a single survey source.

RELATIVE SAMPLING ERRORS FOR U.S. PLANTED ACREAGES
NASS AREA FRAME SURVEY
JUNE 1988

crop SAMPLING ERROR-PERCENT

BARLEY
CORN ..
COTTON (UPLAND)

HAY, ALL (FOR HARVEST)
oats ..

WHEAT ~ WINTER ..
OTHER SPRING”
DURU

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultura] Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

APPROVE D: AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Rich D. Allen, Chairperson,
L. Ouane Jewell, Secretary,

Robert L. Addison, Clifton D. James,
Jack L. Aschwege, Hugh M. McWilliams,
David J. Aune, Jerry 4 Midden,
Debra K. Batts, Joel 0. Moore,
We Oonald M. Bay, Archie J. Olson,

7 a Of Robert P. Bellinghausen, Darwin E. Ransom,
James £. Brewster, Melvin D. Rogers,
Arvin R. Budge, Nancy J. Say
Richard W. Coulter, Vaughn L. Siggenthaler,
William N. Dowdy, James L. Smith,
S. Radley Edwards, Eldon J. Thiessen,
William C. Erwin, H. James Tippett,
Cecil W. Foss, Charles A. Van Lahr,
Craig M. Hayes, John 0. Witzig,

Mickey B. Yost.

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
Y 1988 A-2 NASS, USDA


Crop area in June totaled 4,445 acres, 3 percent higher than May and 14
Percent above last June. Area harvested totaled 2,405 acres, up 3 percent
from the previous month and 5 percent more than a year ago.

PEARS: The Nation's pear forecast is for 801 thousand tons, down 15 percent
from last year but 5 percent more than 1986.

BARTLETT tonnage in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 505
thousand tons, down 12 percent from 1987. Harvest has begun in California
where the crop is in good condition, and quality and size are about normal.
Oregon crop prospects remained good. In Washington, small fruit size and fire
blight have combined to reduce the crop.

Production of OTHER THAN BARTLETT pears in the Pacific Coast States is
forecast at 260 thousand tons, 20 percent less than last year. Harvest is
expected to start on a good crop in California in early August. Cool spring
and early summer weather has reduced fruit size in Oregon and Washington.
Fire blight, especially in the Bosc variety, has been a problem in Washington,

Frost in late May damaged the Colorado crop. However, remaining fruit is
in good condition. In New York, the Bosc set was about normal while the
Bartlett set was light in the Lake Ontario region, fruits are sizing well in
the Hudson Valley. The Pennsylvania crop needs rain soon.

GRAPES: The California all grape crop is expected to total 4.70 million tons,
1 percent above 1987 but 1 percent less than the 1986 crop.

California is experiencing the second drought year in a row. Some growers
have had their water allocations scaled back and a number have switched to
very costly pumping of well water. Reservoirs were holding low levels of
water going into this growing season which has contributed to the tight
supplies.

Raisin type grape production in California is initially forecast at 2.15
million tons, 2 percent below last year but 5 percent more than 1986. The
forecast is based on 245,700 acres which excludes approximately 25,000 acres
in the Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID). The expected yield of 8.75
tons per acre this year is up 3 percent from the final 1987 yield. Harvesting
of Thompson Seedless grapes for fresh market was far advanced in the Coachella
Valley by duly 1.

During May, very hot temperatures in Coachella badly burned the Thompson
crop, significantly cutting the yield. The San Joaquin Valley crop is in very
good condition in most areas; however, a few vineyards are showing signs of
drought stress. Bunches appear to be maturing slightly ahead of normal.
Bunch counts reported by growers are smaller than normal. There are
approximatley 50,000 tons (dried basis) of Thompson Seedless grapes enrolled
in the 1988 RID program.

The California wine type grape forecast is 1.95 million tons, the same as
1987 but 7 percent below two years ago. Bearing acreage is estimated at
298,900 acres, 2 percent less than a year ago. The 1988 expected yield, at
6.52 tons per acre, is up 2 percent from last year. Wine grapes are maturing
slightly ahead of normal. Drought conditions have had few effects on the crop
up to this time; however, some acreages are expected to undergo major stress
as irrigation supplies run dry.

The first forecast for table type grapes in California is 600 thousand
tons, 18 percent above 1987 but 3 percent less than 1986. The forecast
bearing acreage, at 84,100 acres, is up 1,300 acres from 1987. Expected yield
this season, at 7.13 tons per acre, is up 16 percent from 1987. California
table grape harvest began during mid-May in the Coachella Valley. Superior
Seedless and Perlette were the first varieties harvested followed by the Flame
Seedless variety. Heavy yields were reported. Bearing acreage and production
continue to increase for Flame Seedless. Harvest was beginning in the San
Joaquin Valley by July 1. Tight water supplies have not affected table grape
production up to this point.

SWEET CHERRIES: The U.S. forecast of 169 thousand tons is 20 percent less than
1987 but 23 percent more than 1986. Rain in Montana, Washing~

ton, and Oregon caused some splitting. Michigan’s harvest began in late

June. In New York, harvest in the Lake Ontario region began around July 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-14 NASS, USDA


CHERRIES

PRODUCTION

CROP AND
STATE 0 few een nee nne neon eee e eee e ee ennnn nen e ee
SWEET
CALIF
IDAHO
MICH
MONT
NY
OREG
PA 2/
UTAH 23160 1,800 1,800
WASH 62,500 74,000 60,000
TOTAL 137,710 210,800 168,800
MILLION POUNDS
TART
COLO 2/ 9 2.5 1.0
MICH 2/ 170.0 265.0 150.0
NY 2/ 13.0 35.0 23.0
OREG 6.0 8.0 4.0
PA 2/ 12.0 5.0 7.5
UTAH 18.5 29.0 12.0
WIS 2/ 317 14.0 9.0
TOTAL 224.1 358.5 206.5

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOL U S SWEET CHERRIES
JQNS) 1986-950,1987-1,980, U S TART CHERRIES (MILLION POUNDS) 3 1986-5.7
987-72.9. ay ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER
FORECAST.

AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

WINTER 1/
16.5
TOTAL : 11.9 12.5 60.0
: ‘ONN 5
SPRING 1/ : IDAHO-10 SW CO 18.0
: OTHER CO 332.0
TOTAL : 82.5 4.9
: 86.0
SUMMER 3 2.8
ALA 3 7.2 32.0
CALIF : 6.6 70.0
COLO 3 6.5 7.8
DEL : 8.0 8.1
TLL : 3.1 8.0
TOWA : 2.0 N Y-LONG IS 8.0
MD 3 2.5 ~UPSTATE 23.5
MICH : 10.0 N DAK 130.0
MINN : 6.5 OHIO 8.9
NEBR 2.7 OREG-MALHEUR 6.8
NJ 2 7.5 -OTHER CO 40.2
N MEX : 10.5 21.5
nc 2 2.0 1.2
TENN : 1.8 11.0
TEX : 11.5 6.8
VA A 14.5 115.0
2 62.0
TOTAL : 102.9 2.0

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-34 NASS, USDA


OATS: Oats planted last fall and this spring totaled 14.0 million acres, down

22 percent from 1987. lowa has the largest planted acreage with 2.10
million acres, a sharp decrease from last year. During 1987, considerable
acreage put in the Conservation Reserve Program was seeded to oats. Minnesota
acreage, at 1.70 million acres, is down 400 thousand. Illinois with 1.40
million acres is down 700 thousand. Other major States with large declines
include Indiana, Nebraska, and Ohio.

Area to be harvested for grain is expected to total 5.68 million acres.
This is 18 percent below 1987 and the lowest oats acreage for harvest since
estimates started in 1866.

Qat plantings got an early start in most States, but the hot, dry weather
has hurt the crop in many areas.

BARLEY: Production is forecast at 291 million bushels as of July 1, 1988.

This is 45 percent below the 1987 production and the lowest
production since 1953. Yields are expected to average 39.0 bushels per acre,
13.6 bushels less than last year. Seedings of barley last fall and this
spring totaled 9.69 million acres, a decrease of 12 percent from last year.
North Dakota leads all States with 2.60 million acres planted, down 400
thousand from a year ago. Montana planted acreage is down 500 thousand and
South Dakota is down 170 thousand acres.

The area to be harvested for grain is expected to total 7.45 million
acres, 26 percent below last year.

Lack of moisture has put considerable stress on the crop in the Dakota's,
Minnesota, and Montana. The crop has developed well ahead of normal in the
major producing States due to unseasonably hot and dry conditions in May and
dune.

ALL WHEAT: Total area seeded last fall and this spring for the 1988 crop is

estimated at 65.9 million acres, up slightly from 1987. Area for
grain is expected to total 52.3 million acres, down 7 percent from last year.
This would be the lowest harvested area since 1972.

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 1.57 billion bushels as of July 1,

1988. This is slightly higher than the 1987 production, but
down fractionally from the June 1 forecast. A modest decline in area for
grain caused the drop from June 1 as yield prospects actually improved
slightly. Yields are now expected to average 39.5 bushels per acre, down 0.3
bushels from last year, but up 0.1 bushel from June 1.

Acreage for grain is estimated at 39.7 million acres, up 1 percent from
last season. Seeded area is estimated at 49.0 million acres, slightly higher
than in 1987.

As of July 3, nearly two-thirds of the winter wheat across the country was
harvested. In the Plains States, about 78 percent of the intended area for
grain has been harvested as combines have moved into South Dakota. Yields
declined from last month in the northern Plains. The Kansas and Oklahoma
harvests were 99 percent complete, well ahead of average. Showers slowed
harvest activity in the Texas plains, but Statewide, progress equals average
at 84 percent complete.

Harvests from Arkansas across the Southeast are over 90 percent complete.
The Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi harvests are complete. Alabama,
Arkansas, Georgia, South Carolina, and Tennessee harvests are all near
completion. Average yield for the region is above last month, with State
averages ranging from no change to 10 bushel increases.

Harvest progress in the soft red winter States of Illinois, Indiana,
Missouri, and Ohio collectively stands at 79 percent completion. All 4 States
are well ahead of average pace. Missouri yields improved while Indiana now
expect a lower average.

Yield prospects have improved in Oregon and Washington, and declined in
Idaho. Michigan, the other major white wheat State, has been hurt by the
extreme dry conditions; harvest was just getting underway as of July 3.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-7 NASS, USDA


SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED

STATE : H IND

1,000 ACRES

FLA 417.0 420.0
HAW 86.5 88.0
LA : 285.0 300.0
TEX 35.1 33.2
US 823.6 841.2

SUGARBEETS 1/

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

STATE IND

3 1987 1988 1987 1988

: 1,000 ACRES
CALIF : 218.0 215.0 215.0 212.0
COLO 3 37.4 39.1 37.0 38.5
IDAHO : 163.0 168.0 162.0 167.0
MICH : 144.0 153.0 142.0 150.0
MINN 3 311.0 332.0 310.0 327.0
MONT : 49.2 49.6 48.9 49.0
NEBR : 61.6 65.8 60.2 63.8
N MEX 3 «6 4 +2 4
N DAK : 163.3 175.0 161.3 170.0
OHIO 2 16.8 17.4 16.2 15.0
OREG : 13.9 14.2 13.7 14.0
TEX : 32.8 34.0 31.5 33.0
WYO : 54.1 56.5 53.4 56.3
US : 1,265.7 1,320.0 1,251.4 1,296.0

1/__RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CALIF.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JULY 1988 A-29 NASS, USDA


CORN

1,000 ACRES
ALA : 300 250 250 200
ARIZ : 29 24 20 7
ARK : 70 65 65 55
CALIF : 425 400 190 160
cOLo : 800 930 690 820
CONN : 55 54 Vv VV
DEL : 165 150 148 140
FLA : 130 100 105 60
GA : 680 600 610 500
IDAHO : 110 110 50 60
ILL : 9,250 9,900 9,100 9,700
IND : 4,800 55200 4,680 4,800
IOWA : 10,300 11,300 10,050 11,000
KANS : 1,300 1,250 1,180 1,150
KY : 1,300 1,300 1,140 1,100
LA : 225 140 213 110
MAINE 37 35 V/ Vv
MD 560 520 460 430
MASS 40 4 Vv V
MICH 2,300 2,100 1,950 1,600
MINN 5,500 5,700 5,000 5,100
MISS 210 225 185 90
MO 2,250 2,200 2,150 2,050
MONT 80 90 15 7
NEBR 6,500 6,900 6,200 6,600
NH 25 23 v7] v7
NJ 115 100 95 a5
N MEX 68 70 49 51
NY 1,010 990 510 500
NC 1,300 1,050 1,150 930
N DAK 770 750 500 450
OHIO 3,200 3,300 3,020 3,050
OKLA : 80 75 56 65
OREG 55 50 24 15
PA : 1,550 1,480 1,060 990
RI 3 3 Vv Vv
sc 420 380 375 340
S_DAK 3,100 3,150 2,750 2,650
TENN 730 680 580 520
TEX 1,300 1,400 1,250 1,300
UTAH 70 65 20 22
\T 98 94 Vv /
vA 550 530 300 390
WASH 120 120 80 80
W VA 85 85 50 51
WIS 3,550 3,450 2,800 2,300
wyo : 91 90 47 4
US 65,706 67,519 59,167 59,689

1/ NOT ESTIMATED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 A-13 NASS, USDA


The Pacific Coast States expect 142 thousand tons compared with 177
thousand tons in 1987. Harvest is underway in the Dalles and Hood River
Oregon areas, with early fruit of below average quality due to rain
splitting. Later cherries in these areas are reportedly of excellent
quality. Willamette Valley harvest is about to start. Washington harvest was
active in June in the Yakima Valley. Shippers are removing rain damaged
cherries before shipment. Harvest is just becoming active in the Wenatchee
area with minimum localized rain damaged fruit. Quality is good but fruit
size is smaller than normal as June weather was cooler than normal.

TART CHERIES: The U.S. forecast totals 207 million pounds, down 42 percent

from 1987 and down 8 percent from 1986. The Great Lakes States
expect to harvest 190 million pounds, 41 percent less than the 1987 crop and 5
percent less than the 1986 crop. Harvest has begun in Utah.

APRICOTS: The final forecast for U.S. apricots is 101 thousand tons, 9

percent below last month's forecast and 12 percent less than 1987
production. California's crop forecast is 95.0 thousand tons, 10 percent
below Jast month's forecast and 14 percent below last year's production. The
1988 California apricot crop is in good condition with good quality and larger
than normal fruit size being reported. No major insect problems have been
reported. Harvest is expected to be complete by early July. The production
estimates for Utah and Washington are 1.20 and 4.60 thousand tons,
respectively.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine forecast continues at 195 thousand tons,
2 percent more than last year and 13 percent above 1986. Harvest
is nearly half complete with excellent quality reported.

DRIED PRUNES: The Califonia crop is forecast at 160 thousand tons, unchanged
from June 1 but 30 percent less than the 1987 crop. Some scab
problems and cracked fruit have been reported.

PLUMS: Califonia's production is forecast at 250 thousand tons, 4 percent

less than the June 1 forecast but 2 percent more than last year.
Harvest was about a third complete on July 1. Fruit size is smaller than
desirable but quality is excellent.

ALMONDS: The final forecast for the 1988 California almond crop is 580

million pounds shelled basis, unchanged from last month's forecast
but 12 percent below last year's record crop of 660 million pounds. The 1988
crop forecast is based on 406,000 bearing acres. The crop is progressing
quite well and appears to be slightly ahead of normal. Condition and quality
are good. Nut size is normal with no insect problems reported.

WALNUTS: The initial 1988 forecast for California walnuts is 210 thousand

tons, 15 percent below last year's production but 17 percent higher
than 1986. Crop is progressing well. All varieties appear to be in good
condition, Some frost damage occurred in the Lake County area during early
May. Very little blight has shown up,

ORANGES: The final forecast for U.S. all oranges is 199 million boxes, 1 per-

cent below the June 1! forecast but 9 percent more than last season.
The Florida all orange forecast is 139 million boxes, down 1 percent from
dune 1 but 16 percent more than last season. The final Florida Valencia
forecast is 60.5 million boxes, 2 percent below last month's forecast but 12
percent above last season. Valencia harvest was about 98 percent complete by
the end of June. California's Valencia forecast remained unchanged at 25.0
million boxes, but is 4 percent above last season's crop. Harvest is 37
percent complete.

The July 1 U.S. all orange forecast has deviated from actual production by
an average of 2.54 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from a low
of 100 thousand boxes in the 1986-87 season to a high of 5.88 million boxes in
the 1980-81 season.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 B-18 NASS, USDA



Growing export demand finally aided the acreage controls in reversing the
stocks build-up. Carryovers were sharply reduced by 1966. But then the
continued heavy overseas demand raised concerns about the ability to meet
domestic needs and still maintain export market shares. Allotted acres were
increased. Producers quickly responded, spurring another round of
overproduction. Seeded acreage for 1967 was the highest in 14 years. Both
the 1967 and 1968 crops set production records, each topping 1.5 billion
bushels. The rapid over-correction set stocks on an upward spiral. Harvested
area was cut to 47 million acres in 1969, 14 percent less than 1968. Acreage
remained below 48 million through 1972. Production levels stabilized once
again.

Adverse weather in many countries during 1972 caused worldwide wheat
shortages in 1973. U.S. wheat prices doubled. Farmers planted more land when
acreage allotments were lifted. This, along with improving yields, pushed
production above 2 billion bushels by 1975. When the world weather conditions
improved, reduced demand had stocks climbing once again.

Yields were a relatively constant 12-16 bushels per acre prior to 1941.
They have trended steadily higher since then through use of commercial
fertilizers and constantly improving varietal selection. The 1956 crop was
the first to average over 20 bushels per acre. Yield averages have dipped
below 30 bushels only once since 1969. Recent averages have hovered in the
mid- to upper- 30- bushel range.

Production practices have evolved from pull-type combines to the self-
propelled machinery used on Jarge, modern farms. Wheat production now runs
three to four times the 1900 level and twice that of 1944. Total production
has been less than 2 billion bushets only once since 1975.

In 1981, the winter wheat crop was 2.097 billion bushels and all wheat
production reacked 2.785 billion bushels, both records that still stand. The
1981 season's harvested area is also the record for winter and all wheat at
58.476 and 80.642 million acres, respectively.

The record production for other spring wheat is 546 million bushels in
1982. The 183-million bushel crop of 1981 is the Durum production high.
Harvested area records are 19.612 million acres of other spring wheat in 1919
and 6.775 million acres of Durum wheat in 1928.

Winter and all wheat record yields occurred in 1983. The winter crop
averaged 41.8 bushels per acre helping the all wheat average reach 39.4
bushels. Spring wheat high yields are from the 1985 crop when Durum averaged
36.4 bushels per acre and other spring 35.4 bushels.

Currently, there are forty-two States in the wheat estimating program.

(Based on the "U.S. Wheat Industry,” Agricultural Economic Report 432, by
Walter G. Heid, Jr., April 1980.)

US ALL WHEAT

1866-1987
HARVESTED ACRES —— PRODUCTION
MILLION AG MILLION BU
00 3000
. hy 2600
ACRES.

2000

50 1600

1000

nearer 600
PRODUCTION °
° utp
1866 «= 1886-1808 1926 = 1948S 1986, 1986
YEAR
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JULY 1988 B-17 NASS, USDA


BARLEY

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ARIZ : 22 14 99.0 110.0 2,900 2,178 1,540
CALIF : 300 280 51.0 65.0 23,600 15,300 18,200
COLO : 220 190 66.0 66.0 21,000 14,520 12,540
DEL : 52 30 62.0 62.0 3,050 3,224 1,860
IDAHO : 820 850 75.0 65.0 72,150 61,500 55,250
KANS : 120 85 40.0 32.0 10,440 4,800 2,720
KY H iW 14 67.0 63.0 $27 737 882
MD : 89 72 67.0 64.0 4,920 5,963 4,608
MICH : 50 45 $5.0 40.0 3,245 2,750 1,800
MINN H 870 710 57.0 25.0 55,000 49,590 17,750
MONT : 2,100 1,450 45.0 24.0 85,020 94,500 34,800
NEBR H 75 60 36.0 34.0 5,400 2,700 2,040
NEV 3 33 31 90.0 90.0 2,970 2,970 2,790
NJ 2 15 9 60.0 62.0 1,240 900 §58
N MEX : 11 Y 70.0 55.0 1,040 770 605
Nc : 40 38 62.0 65.0 1,620 2,480 2,470
N DAK : 2,900 1,750 48.0 23.0 175,950 139,200 40,250
OKLA : 25 20 30.0 41.0 1,260 750 820
OREG 3 220 200 70.0 70.0 20,805 15,400 14,000
PA 3 60 55 57.0 61.0 3,900 3,420 3,355
sc 3 13 18 49.0 52.0 588 637 780
S_DAK 3 850 500 40.0 22.0 35,910 34,000 11,000
TEX 3 30 18 40.0 30.0 1,750 1,200 540
UTAH H 142 128 83.0 76.0 11,552 11,786 9,728
VA : 78 82 66.0 67.0 3,960 5,148 5,494
WASH : 645 560 55.0 56.0 45,000 35,475 31,360
WIS 3 88 90 54.0 40.0 4,845 4,752 3,600
WYO 3 148 144 70.0 65.0 10,880 10,360 9,360
US : 10,027 7,451 52.6 39.0 610,522 527,010 290,700

1/ ESTIMATES NOT MADE IN ALL YEARS.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JULY 1988 A-16 NASS, USDA