RYE: YIELD AND PRODUCTION

2 YTELD : PRODUCTION
STATE :

: 1988 z: 1989 2/ : 1990: 1988 =: «(1989 2/ : 1990

H BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
co : 25.0 20.0 28.0 150 80 84
DE : 31.0 35.0 3/ 124 70 3/
CA: 27.0 23.0 22.0 1,890 1,610 1,320
IL : 28.0 39.0 33.0 140 312 165
IN: 30.0 34.0 31.0 210 204 124
TA 3 30.0 37.0 3/ 150 185 3/
Ks : 26.0 16.0 26.0 130 80 130
RY : 26.0 32.0 3/ 104 64 3/
MD : 29.0 27.0 30.0 290 216 210
MI 3 26.0 33.0 29.0 650 825 580
MN : 23.0 34.0 31.6 920 1,088 868
MO : 32.0 30.0 3/ 256 90 3/
NE : 25.0 20.0 25.0 1,375 600 750
NT: 31.0 26.0 24.0 310 182 144
NY : 33.0 32.0 26.0 396 480 260
NC: 26.0 21.0 23.0 780 525 345
ND : 15.0 28.0 30.0 1,350 1,064 780
OH: 37.0 31.0 35.0 185 155 175
OK OO: 24.0 19.0 19.0 720 532 342
o 25.0 25.0 3/ 75 7S 3/
PA 3 36.0 32.0 31.0 684 576 496
sco: 24.0 23.0 22.0 720 644 594
sD: 25.0 36.0 34.0 2,250 3,240 1,870
TM 3 15.0 18.0 14.0 150 126 140
VA: 35.0 33.0 32.0 560 264 256
WI $ 20.0 30.0 31.0 120 360 465
US : 24.7 28.2 27.1 14,689 13,647 10,098
1/ AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.
2/ REVISED.
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-20 NASS, USDA


: PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE : TOTAL :
: : IND
: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE :
cA : 770,000 630,000 610,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE :
cA \ : 2,180,000 2,190,000 2,100,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE yo:
cA ¢ 2,570,000 2,570,000 2,250,000
ALL GRAPES :
AZ 2/-: 25,500 26,500 29,000
AR ayo: 7,000. 6,500 6,300
oN : 5,520,000 5,390,000 4,960,000
GA ayo: 2,500 2,800 3,000
MI : 53,000 43,000 53,000
yo 2s: 3,250 3,600 1,750
NY : 157,000 152,000 145,000
Ne a: 3,300 1,700 3,000
oH 2/ 8,900 8,000 9,000
oR 2/3 7,750 7,450 10,000
PA : 63,000 60,000 47,000
sc 2s: 500 300 400
WA : 182,000 229,000 193,000
us : 6,033,700 5,930,850 5,460,450

1/ FRESH BASIS. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

: PRODUCTION
STATE AND CROP 3 TOTAL :
3 3 IND
3 1988 3 1989 3 1990
3 TONS
iD 3 6,500 6,500 6,800
MI 3 11,000 13,000 7,000
OR z 21,000 11,000 16,000
WA 2 13,500 13,500 12,500
TOTAL : 52,000 44,000 42,300
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A-41 NASS, USDA


YIELD 2 PRODUCTION

: AREA HARVESTED
CLASS AND TYPE 3
3 : IND ;: : IND : : IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1990: 1989 3 1990
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK

ATR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER

BELT

KY - 1,950 2,100 1,850 2,100 3,608 4,410
1 500 500 1,740 2,000 870 1,000
Us 2,450 2,600 1,828 2,081 4,478 5,410
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER

BELT

KY 1,000 1,000 1,950 2,100 1,950 2,100
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED

BELT

VA 90 80 1,155 1,100 104 88
TOTAL 35-37 3,540 3,680 1,845 2,065 6,532 7,598

CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF

PA 5,500 6,300 1,950 2,000 10,725 12,600
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER
CLASS 5A, CTI VALLEY

BINDER
TYPE 51, CT VALLEY

BROADLEAF

cr 630 570 1,700. 1,700 1,071 969
MA 100 90 1,850 1,850 185 167
us 730 660 1,721 1,721 1,256 1,136

CLASS 5B, WI BINDER
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WI

WI 3,600 4,100 2,155 2,150 7,758 8,815
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WI

we 2,100 2,600 1,736 1,700 3,633 4,420
TOTAL 54-55 5,700 6,700 1,998 1,975 11,391 13,235
TOTAL 51-55 6,430 7,360 1,967 1,953 12,647 14,371

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER
TYPE 61, CT VALLEY

te 8 08 ae oe ce oe 08 08 00 08 On oe oF 0 00 oe 8 OF 46 08 He Oe oe on OF OF Oe oe 08 40 oe ce te ne oe OF EF OF oe 08 OF 08 oe oe 08 08 8

SHADE-GROWN

cr 1,100 1,250 1,565 1,625 1,722 2,031
MA 380 380 1,475 1,500 561 570
us 1,480 1,630 1,543 1,596 2,283 2,601

ALL CIGAR TYPES
TOTAL 41-61 13,410 15,290 1,913 1,934 25,655 29,572
ALL TOBACCO 678,400 727,520 2,016 2,166 1,367,331 1,575,808
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 B-37 NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is estimated at 2.04 billion
bushels, up 40 percent from 1989, but off 1 percent from the
August 1, 1990 forecast. Growers averaged 40.7 bushels per acre, a 5.7
bushels per acre increase from the 1989 estimate but down 0.3 of a bushel from
August 1. This is the second highest average yield on record. Area for
harvest is estimated at 50.0 million acres, up 20 percent from last year.

Final harvest of the 1990 crop was nearly complete by September 13.
Hard Red Winter producing States averaged much better yields than last year's
@rought reduced crop. Yields in the major White wheat States were also better
than a year ago. However, except in Ohio, Soft Red Winter yield averages were
generally lower than in 1989, due to this year's excessive moisture.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production of other spring wheat for 1990 is estimated at

a record high 586 million bushels, up 20 percent fran
1989 and 1 percent higher than the September 1 forecast. The U.S. average
yield is also estimated at a record high 36.9 bushels per acre, 1.5 bushels
per acre more than the previous record set in 1985 and 8.1 bushels per acre
above 1989. Higher yields in most of the major States more than offset
harvested acreage decreases in Montana and North Dakota, resulting in a 1
percent production increase since the last forecast.

As of September 23, the Idaho and Montana spring wheat harvests were
virtually complete. Colorado still had about 18 percent of the acreage to
cut, mainly in the San wis Valley. Minnesota and Washington growers had all
but finished harvesting by September 9. North Dakota's harvest wrapped up in
mid-September, about 2 weeks ahead of average.

DURUM WHEAT: ‘The 1990 durum wheat production is estimated at 122 million
bushels, up 32 percent from 1989 and 1 percent above the
September 1 forecast. This is the largest durum production since 1982. The
average yield was 34.8 bushels per acre, 9.7 bushels per acre better than last
year, and 0.4 of a bushel higher than the last forecast. Farmers cut 3.50
million acres for grain this year, down 5 percent from last season and
essentially unchanged from September 1.

Harvest of the 1990 crop ended by mid-September in North Dakota.
Average yields were above a year ago in all States, except in Montana where
continued dryness in the main producing area held yields below 1989.

RYE: The 1990 rye production is estimated at 10.1 million bushels, down 26

percent from 1989 to a new record low. Area for grain is 373 thousand
acres, off 23 percent from last year. Seeded area is estimated at a total of
1.63 million acres, down 19 percent from 1989. Both acreage levels are new
record lows. The U.S. average yield is 27.1 bushels per acre, dowm 1.1
bushels per acre from last season.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-2 NASS, USDA


ALL WHEAT: YIELD AND PRODUCTION

: YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE :

: 1988 : 19891/ : 1999 +: 1988 : 19891/ : 1990

: BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AL =: 43.0 30.0 35.0 8,600 6,600 6,650
AZ: 90.9 90.9 94.6 7,730 10,722 9,266
AR: 53.0 44.0 35.0 56,710 52,800 49,000
CA: 84.3 77.9 78.0 46,275 52,605 47,906
© : 33.8 27.4 33.6 79,540 62,100 86,950
DE : 52.0 42.0 51.0 3,276 3,108 3,060
FL: 36.0 29.0 33.0 2,520 1,885 1,815
GA: 43.0 32.0 35.0 21,500 22,400 20,650
ID: 65.7 66.7 74.2 75,520 91,420 101,460
im : 54.0 59.0 48.0 67,500 105,020 91,200
IN: 50.0 59.0 52.0 35,000 52,920 50,440
TA: 35.0 47.0 45.0 1,225 3,290 3,375
KS: 34.0 24.0 40.0 323,000 213,600 472,000
KY : 54.0 50.0 40.0 20,520 22,500 20,000
IA: 41.0 31.0 33.0 11,070 10,850 12,870
MD =: 53.0 40.0 52.0 9,010 8,600 9,880
MI: = 42.0 53.0 55.0 26,040 33,920 41,250
MN: 23.0 38.0 48.4 51,730 102,504 138,620
MS  : 46.0 34.0 30.0 20,700 15,300 15,600
MO : 49.0 47.0 38.0 75,950 86,950 76,000
Mr :)s(15.7 27.7 28.5 59,970 145,030 147,845
NE: 36.0 27.0 38.0 72,000 55,350 85,500
NV: (70.5 80.0 70.0 1,340 1,200 980
NI: 45.0 39.0 43.0 1,395 1,365 1,247
NM: 24.0 20.0 25.0 6,960 4,000 8,125
NY =: 55.0 45.0 49.0 4,950 5,850 7,105
NC: 50.0 34.0 41.0 24,000 21,420 22,550
ND: 14.3 23.5 35.3 103,390 242,320 385,220
OH =: 50.0 51.0 59.0 46,000 62,730 79,650
OK : 36.0 27.0 32.0 172,800 153,900 201,600
OR 3: 68.6 58.5 59.6 51,800 53,835 57,674
PA: 53.0 37.0 50. 9,010 7,955 10,500
sc: 46.0 41.0 38.0 14,030 17,835 14,440
SD: 14.4 23.6 33.8 38,006 83,080 128,004
TM : 50.0 42.0 36.0 21,500 18,900 17,640
TM +: 28.0 20.0 31.0 89,600 60,000 130,200
Ur: (38.2 33.6 40.7 6,768 5,950 7,170
VA: 52.0 46.0 47.0 10,400 12,650 12,220
WA: 60.5 48.7 61.0 124,620 110,610 151,200
Ww oo: 46.0 43.0 46.0 414 516 552
Wl: (38.7 51.8 52.5 5,152 9,320 10,085
Wo: (22.5 23.1 29.0 4,680 4,708 6,125
US : 34.1 32.7 39.6 1,812,201 2,036,618 2,743,624
1/ REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A-14 NASS, USDA


Burley tobacco in Tennessee was 94 percent in the barn by the end of
September. In the east, the crop is said to be the best in many years. In
the middle of the State, tobacco suffered some drought damage. Overall, a
good crop has been harvested. Some was harvested early to reduce damage from

, ary weather.

The dark fire-cured crop is forecast at 33.7 million pomds, off 2
. percent from expectations a month ago, but up 17 percent from last year. The
increase from a year ago is resulting from a 9 percent larger acreage and a
134 pound per acre higher yield.

Southern Maryland type tobacco is expected to total 16.3 million pounds,
off 1 percent from the forecast a month ago but up 6 percent from 1989. With
the area for harvest off 4 percent from a year ago, the larger production is
coming from a yield that is expected to be 154 pounds per acre above the 1989
average.

The dark air-cured tobacco crop of 7.60 million pounds is up 16 percent
fran 1989 and up 3 percent from a month ago.

All cigar-type production is expected to total 29.6 million pounds, 15
percent more than in 1989 and 1 percent above last month's expectations.
Compared with last year, filler is 17 percent higher, binder is up 14 percent,
and wrapper shows a 14 percent increase.

SUGARBEETS: The 27.1 million ton sugarbeet production forecast is down 1

percent from the September 1 forecast but 8 percent above last
year's harvest. The change from last month's forecast reflects a reduced
yield outlook in North Dakota. The increase from a year ago is the combined
result of higher yields and a 6 percent increase in acreage. Yields are
expected to average 19.8 tons per acre nationally, compared with 19.4 tons in
1989. Production is expected to be up in all states except California and
Colorado.

The Red River Valley of Minnesota and North Dakota is dry in most areas.
Sugarbeet pre-haul began the middle of September. With warm soils,
limited digging to preserve storability. In North Dakota, 10 percent of the
crop was lifted at month’s end, compared to the five year average of 16
percent.

The Idaho harvest is nearly 25 percent complete.

In California, harvesting of the spring-planted crop was in full swing,
Progressing normally with mostly open weather.

Initial yields for Michigan sugarbeets are above average and development
of the crop is ahead of normal.

Wyoming harvest got underway in mid-September. Early harvested beets
are showing lower sugar content than usual. The crop was 10 percent harvested
by October 1, compared with 20 percent last year and the average of 15
percent.

SUGARCANE: Sugarcane production is forecast at 25.7 million tons, the lowest
since the 1974 harvest. The forecast is 4 percent ahove the fore-

cast of September 1 but 13 percent below last year's output. Nationally,
acreage, at 720 thousand acres, is down 15 percent from a year ago.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-12 - NASS, USDA


ALL HAY: The production of all hay is forecast at 151 million tons, 2 percent

more than expected on August 1 and 4 percent above the quantity
produced a year ago. Area harvested is expected to total 61.7 million acres,
a decrease of 3 percent from 1989. Average yield is forecast at 2.45 tons per
acre compared with last year's yield of 2.29 tons per acre.

ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES: The alfalfa production forecast of 85.3 million
tons, is 4 percent greater than the quantity
expected August 1 and 11 percent above the 1989 total. The larger crop is
caning fram 4 percent fewer acres than last year's crop. Average yield is
forecast at 3.42 tons per acre, 0.44 of a ton higher than the 1989 yield.

ALL OTHER HAY: Production of all other hay is forecast at 66.1 million tons,

nearly the same as August 1 expectations but 3 percent less
than the 1989 output. Area for harvest is off 2 percent from a year earlier.
Yield is expected to average 1.80 tons per acre, down 0.02 of a ton fram the
previous year.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry beans is forecast at 32.0 million cwt, up

2 percent from last month and 32 percent above a year ago.
Area for harvest is estimated at 2.13 million acres, up 26 percent from last
year. The average yield is forecast at 1,506 pounds per acre, up 5 percent
from last year and 6 percent above 1988. Record high yields are expected in
Michigan and New York.

Improved yield prospects, compared to a month ago, are shown in
Michigan, Minnesota, and Colorado. Michigan yields, with harvest 75 percent
complete, are expected to be record high. New York growers are also looking
at record high yields. Harvest is approaching completion in the Plains States
of Minnesota, North Dakota, Nebraska, and Wyoming. Idaho harvest is 90
percent complete, but heat has been a critical factor this season. Warm
weather helped drying and harvest in Colorado where beans are about two thirds
combined. Washington dry beans are late because of cool weather in the early
season. The crop is about half harvested. Cutting is in full swing in
California. Early yields were disappointing, but second crop beans are doing
better.

LENTILS: Production of lentils is estimated at 875 thousand cwt, down 25 per-

cent from last year and 2 percent below two years ago. Harvested
area of 104 thousand acres was up 13 percent. The average yield dropped to
841 pounds per acre, down one third from 2989.

DRY EDIBLE PEAS: Growers in Washington and Idaho produced 2.37 million cwt of

dry peas this year, down 39 percent from each of the last
two years. - Area harvested is estimated at 159 thousand acres, down 9 percent
from 1989. The average yield came in at 1492 pounds per acre, off 33 percent
from last year.

AUSTRIAN WINTER PEAS: Production of Austrian winter peas is estimated at 125

thousand cwt, down 25 percent from last year and 6
percent below 1988. Harvested acres of 11.5 thousand gained 13 percent from
a year ago. Sharply lower yields, averaging 1,087 pounds per acre, caused the
smaller crop.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-10 NASS, USDA


The Eastern States expect 2.52 billion pounds, 1 percent from August
1 and 6 percent more than 1989. Harvest. is in full owing in New York. Uneven
and rapid ripening has disrupted the harvesting sequence in the eastern part
of the State. In the western part of the State, the lack of sufficient color
has caused some fruit to be diverted from fresh market to processing. In
Pennsylvania, fruit size is smaller than normal. Quality is also down due to
scab and cracking. North Carolina's harvest is ahead of nommal with almost
three-fourths of the crop picked. Although conditions improved in New Jersey,
the crop production estimate is below normal, reflecting the April frost and
July hail damage. West Virginia is harvesting a good quality crop. Cool
weather and sunny days have been beneficial for color. In New England, fruit
size is medium to large with color being fair to good. Scab has caused
quality problems in Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire.

Production in the Central States is forecast at 145 billion pounds,
down 5 percent from the August 1 forecast and 20 percent less than last year.
The Michigan crop continues to pick out below earlier expectations. Fruit
size and color have been good. Harvest should continue through October.
Adverse spring weather and hail have taken their toll on the Wisconsin crop.
Hot, dry weather in August and early September reduced prospects in Missouri.
Indiana's harvest is in full swing. Quality is good but size is dow
somewhat.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 5.80 billion pounds,
down 3 percent from August 1 and 6 percent less than a year ago.
Golden Delicious crop is nearly harvested, while harvest of the Red Delicious
crop has just started. Abnormally hot summer weather slowed the Red Delicious
harvest and fruit size is expected to be one or two sizes below normal.
However, the fruit continues to increase in size. A substantial portion of
the California crop is picked. Granny Smith production is expected to be down
slightly because of the drop caused by a July heat wave. Quality is
excellent, however. Picking continues in Oregon. Hail has caused more apples
than normal to go to processing in Idaho.

HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS): Oregon and Washington hazelnut (filbert) growers are

to harvest a 21.0 thousand ton (in-shell)
crop in 1990. This total is unchanged from the late August forecast but 62
percent above last season. Harvest began the third week in September. “A
storm on October 3 aided nut drop. Most processors report a good quality crop
coming into the driers, despite a few more blanks than normal and same
unexpected kernel shrinkage.

PECANS: The October 1 forecast for the U.S. Pecan crop is 237 million pounds
(in-shell basis), 7 percent above last month but 5 percent below 1989
production.

The Georgia forecast is 90.0 million pounds, up 13 percent from the
September forecast and 6 percent greater than last season's production. Nut
quality: from irrigated orchards, is expected to be good. However, -nut size

is expected to be small because of dry conditions. Harvest began in late
September. Alabama's forecast is 8.00 million pounds, 20 percent below last
month's forecast and 64 percent under the previous year's harvest. The lack
of significant rainfall during September, combined with the previous drought
conditions, continued to affect the pecan crop. California's forecast of 3.00
million pounds, i is unchanged from last month but 50 percent above last year.
Limb breakage has occurred due to the heavy crop. Florida's crop is forecast
at 3.60 million pounds, the same as last month, but 49 percent below last
year. The crop has been hurt by the dry weather this year. Louisiana's
forecast is 5.00 million pounds, unchanged from last month, but 64 percent
below the previous year. Mississippi expects 4.00 million pounds, the same as
last month's forecast, but 53 percent below last season. A late April freeze
combined with drought conditions during August and September caused this
production decrease. New Mexico pecans are forecast at 31.0 million pounds,
3 percent above last month and 7 percent higher than last season. The crop

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-16 NASS, USDA


PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 3.36 billion pounds, down 6 percent fron

the September 1 forecast and down 16 percent from last year. This
production level is the smallest crop since the 1983 crop of 3.30 billion
pounds. Harvested area, at 1.75 million acres, is the largest acreage for
harvest since 1951, and is up 7 percent from last year. Yield, at 1,917
pounds per harvested acre, the lowest since 1980, is down 126 pounds from last
month and down 509 pounds from 1989,

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina) is expected to total 1.86 billion pounds, 9 percent less than
last month and down 30 percent from 1989. Yield for the 4-State area is
expected to average 1,694 pounds per acre, 880 pounds less than last year.
Dry conditions continued during September in this region, eliminating any hope
of improved yields. Harvest proceeded but, in some areas, the dry soil became
so hard that digging stopped. As of September 30, Geargia's diggings were 77
percent complete with 64 percent combined, compared with five year averages of
66 percent dug and 52 percent combined. The Alabama crop was 86 percent dug,
32 points ahead of the five year average.

The Virginia-North Carolina area production is forecast at 709 million
pounds, unchanged from the September 1 forecast but up 15 percent from last
year. Yield per harvested acre, at 2,737 pounds, is 201 pounds above last
year's yield. North Carolina's prospects remain fair to mostly good, although
harvest was being delayed as a result of excessively dry weather during
September. Virginia's crop condition was 25 percent poor, 50 percent fair,
and 25 percent good.

The Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is
expected to total 795 million pounds, down 2 percent from September 1, but up
8 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 1,996 pounds per
acre, 42 pounds above last year's yield. During September, some Texas dryland
fields wilted from the extreme heat and dryness. Harvest began in the
Blacklands and Cross Timbers, but in South Central Texas some dug fields may
have been damaged from rainfall.

ALL COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 14.5 million bales, down 1

percent from September 1, but up 19 percent from last year. Of
the total, Upland is expected to account for 14.1 million bales, while Pima
production accounts for the rest at 422 thousand bales. Total area for
harvest is estimated at 11.5 million acres, up 20 percent from 1989. Yield is
expected to average 609 pounds per acre, 7 pounds below the September 1
forecast and 5 pounds below last year.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 4.80
million bales, unchanged from the September forecast but 58 percent above
1989. In Texas, September weather conditions were generally favorable for
cotton development. Some rain, along with generally mild conditions, promoted
maturity. Plains producers prepared for harvest, while harvest in the
Blacklands and Central Texas neared completion.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and
Tennessee) expect to produce 4.63 million bales, down 4 percent fram September
1 but 15 percent above last year. Defoliants were applied during September.
Louisiana's cotten shoved slight improvement during the month. The limited

rainfall received in Mississippi did not aid the crop, but only delayed
harvest and perhaps deteriorated the quality.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 B-8 NASS, USDA


: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE ; : IND 2: s IND 3: 3 : IND

3 1989: 1990 : 1989 : 1999 : 1988 : 1989: 1990

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AL 1/: 30 25 50.0 45.0 1,025 1,500 1,125
AZ 2 3 2/ 80.0 2/ 400 240 2/
AR: 340 270 = 62.0 62.0 21,080 21,080 16,740
CA: 9 2/ 90.0 2/ 1,200 810 2/
foe) 3 325 230 35.0 42.0 8,280 11,375 9,660
GA l/: 50 40 40. 36.0 1,400 2,000 1,440
IL 3 140 130 83.0 80.0 6,000 11,620 10,400
KS : 3,750 2,800 53.0 66.0 204,600 198,750 184,800
KY 1/ : 9 30 80.0 78.0 550 720 2,340
IA Hy 95 85 65.0 70.0 5,850 6,175 5,950
MS 3 85 75 53.0 65.0 8,680 4,505 4,875
MO Hy 570 520 79.0 80.0 38,070 45,030 41,600
NE 3 1,650 1,400 62.0 79.0 103,360 102,300 110,600
NM 3 250 100 50.0 60.0 8,700 12,500 6,000
NC l/: 60 40 54.0 50.0 2,310 3,240 2,000
OK 3 360 350 49.0 44.0 16,200 17,640 15,400
scl/: 10 15 45.0 35.0 256 450 525
sD 3 290 300 40.0 53.0 11,000 11,600 15,900
TM1/: 27 50 75.0 75.0 2,275 2,025 3,750
TM 3 3,100 2,800 53.0 46.0 135,450 164,300 128,800
US : 11,153 9,260 55.4 60.7 576,686 617,860 561,905

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

A-24

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/

3 PRODUCTION
STATE z TOTAL 2/ 3

: 3 IND

2 1988 3 1989 2 1990

: MILLION POUNDS
AZ 3/ 4/ 3: 24.8 40.0
AR 4/3 10.0 9.0 11.0
CA : 630.0 675.0 650.0
co : 65.0 70.0 35.0
cr : 41.0 36.0 42.0
DE 4/3: 19.0 15.0 19.5
GA 4/3: 33.0 25.0 25.0
ID 3 135.0 158.0 165.0
IL : 85.0 91.0 65.0
IN : 56.0 64.0 57.0
TA 4/3: 9.5 11.5 11.5
KS 4/3 12.0 13.0 8.0
KY 4]: 11.0 16.0 8.0
ME 3 94.0 69.0 85.0
MD 3 54.0 37.0 38.0
MA 2 88.0 78.0 85.0
MI 3 830.0 950.0 750.0
MN 4/3 14.0 31.0 22.0
MD 3 56.0 55.0 41.0
NH : 57.0 41.0 47.0
NT : 65.0 48.0 55.0
NM 4/ : 10.0 5.3 11.5
NY 3 910.0 960.0 990.0
Nc 3 350.0 220.0 230.0
OH Hy 95.0 125.0 126.0
OR : 155.0 160.0 175.0
PA 2 520.0 320.0 470.0
RI 3 6.0 5.5 5.5
sc 4/: 38.0 35.0 30.0
tN 4/3 12.5 11.5 9.0
ur Af: 40.0 56.0 . 26.0
vt : 45.0 45.0 45.0
VA : 425.0 325.0 210.0
WA 3 3,900.0 5,000.0 4,700.0
Wwe i 215.0 115.0 145.0
Wi 3 45.0 65.0 45.0
us : 9,131.0 9,965.6 9,472.0

1/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES.
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS) :

UNITED STATES 1988-49.6, 1989-45.4.
3/ ESTIMATES BEGAN WITH 1989 CROP.

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

A-42


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIEID PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

: YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCTION
CROP :
AND 2 3 3 Hy INDICATED 1990
WIT : vINDICATED: :

2 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : SEP 1 : oc i

1,000

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 116.2 120.3 7,527,152 8,118,117 8,021,697

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN"  : 55.4 60.7 617,860 572,405 561,905
RICE cwr 1/: 5,749 5,629 154,487 158,967 158,074
SOYBEANS FOR :

BEANS 2/ BU : 32.3 32.3 1,923,666 1,834,602 1,823,462
PEANUTS FOR NUTS IB : 2,426 1,917 3,989,995 3,557,500 3,359,300
SUNFLOWER 2/ ms 985 1,132 1,759,760 2,110,000
ALL COTTON BAIE 1/: 614 609-12, 195.6 14,722.4 14,549.8

UPLAND "4/: 602 603 11,503.9 14,297.9  14,127.9

AMER~PIMA "4/3 893 888 691.7. 424.5 421.9
COTTONSEED TON: 4,676.9 5,733.2 5,666.3
ALL HAY "3 2.29 2.45 145,445  3/148,462 151,457

ALFALFA ~ " os 2,98 3.42 77,208 3/82,167 85,342

ALL OTHER " : 1.82 1.80 68,237 3/66,295 66,115
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWI 1/: 1,440 1,506 24,333 31,446 32,036
DRY EDIBLE PEAS "1/2/: 2,232 1,492 3,883 2,372
AUSTRIAN WINTER :

PEAS "1/2/: 1,627 1,087 166 125
LENTILS "1/2/: 1,262 841 1,161 875
TOBACCO IB: 2,016 2,166 1,367,331 1,547,348 1,575,808
SUGARBEETS TON =: 19.4 19.8 25,129 27,295 27,105
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED " : 34.5 35.7 29,426 24,738 25,734
PASTURE AND :

RANGE FEED 4/ PCT : 74 70 ;

APPLES, COMM'L IB: 9,965,600 3/9,703,000 9,472,000
GRAPES TON: 5,930.9 5,478.5 5,460.5
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) =o": 44.0 45.3 42.3
PECANS 1B : 250,500 221,000 237,100
HAZELNUTS :

(FILBERTS) TON: 13.0 5/21.0 21.0

: 1989-90 1990-91 1990-91

CITRUS FRUITS 6/ : ;
ORANGES BOX =: 186,075 230,750
LEMONS woos 18,600 20,100

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ 1989 REVISHD. 3/ AUG 1, 1990. 4/ PASTURE AND
RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1979-88 AVERAGE IS 74 PERCENT.
5/  MID-AUGUST FORECAST PUBLISHED IN “HAZELNUT (FILBERT) PRODUCTION" RELEASED
AUGUST 24, 1990. 6/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND
ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-5 NASS, USDA


WINTER POTATOES

: AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
STATE :
: 1989 :  i901/ : 1989 : 1990 1/
: 1,000 ACRES
cA: 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
FL: 7:6 8.0 76 77
TOTAL : 13.1 13.5 13.1 13.2
: YIELD : PRODUCTION
: 1989 : 1990 1/ : 1989 : 1990 1/
a cur 1,000 CHE
«A: 240 230 1,320 1,265
FL : 190 140 1,444 1,078
TOTAL : 211 177 2,764 2,343
1/ REVISED.
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/
STATE : AVERAGE : 1989 : 1990 : AVERAGE : 1989 : 1990
: 1979-88 : : : 1979-88 : :
: PERCENT : PERCENT
AL: 69 76 40 Wwio:o79 63 61
AZ: 80 55 81 NH: 88 98 838
AR: 66 85 59 NI: 72 96 93
A: 81 61 33 NM =: 85 62 77
@ : 79 7h 5 Wo: 81 72 81
Tr: 76 93 91 NO: (72 90 62
DE 65 89 86 ND: 65 48 45
FL 81 85 72 OH: (76 86 100
GA 65 81 45 OK : 70 94 68
DD 77 7 61 OR : 81 82 67
IL 74 82 79 PA Hy 72 80 91
IN 74 91 92 RI: 84 95 90
TA 77 72 82 sco: 65 83 65
KS 74 84 71 Ss : 72 50 59
KY 74 94 87 IN oo: 7 95 64
IA 74 81 23 TM : 63 56 70
ME 85 90 86 Ur: 82 48 51
yD 69 84 80 VE: (86 91 87
MA 82 94 89 VA: 78 96 83
MI 82 88 96 Wo: 75 a2 88
MN 78 65 5 wi: 2B 92 85
MS 72 33 55 WEoO:~sB2 72 85
Mo: 72 87 72 wo: 2B 63 38
ur 3 67 89 72 :
NE: 77 55 65 us : 74 4 70

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64;
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION

OCTOBER 1990

A-35

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
USDA

NASS,


RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about October 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports from
farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, cotton, and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions
and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their local-
ities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and
measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling
and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More important-
ly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future weather
effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly
affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on
past performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the October 1 production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1970-89 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current fore-
casts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing
recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 3.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 8,022 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 3.8 percent or approximately
305 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 6.6 percent or approximately 529 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn
again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 129 million bushels, ranging
from 6 million to 376 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply that the
October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or over-state final
production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-21 NASS, USDA


AREA HARVESTED :

STATE : YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
AND 3
VARIETAL: : IND : : IND : 3 3 IND
TYPES : 1989 1/ : 1990 : 1989 1/ : 1990: 1988 : 1989 1/ : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
orL :
KS 3 97 76 940 207,000 91,180
MN : 44 69 1,400 47,250 61,600
ND: 960 950 970 1,029,600 931,200
SD 3 240 284 980 201,720 235,200
TM : 32 13 1,160 15,600 37,120
US : 1,373 1,392 988 1,501,170 1,356,300
NON-OIL :
KS z 28 19 970 33,000 27,160
MN 3 24 69 1,400 16,800 33,600
ND H 330 370 920 228,000 303,600
sD : 7 9 1,300 3,200 9,100
TX 2 24 5 1,250 9,800 30,000
US : 413 472 977 290,800 403,460
ALL 3
KS 3 125 95 947 1,200 240,000 118,340 114,000
MN : 68 138 1,400 1,450 64,050 95,200 200,100
ND: 1,290 1,320 957. 1,100 1,257,600 1,234,800 1,452,000
sD : 247 293 989 1,100 204,920 244,300 322,300
TM 3: 56 18 1,199 1,200 25,400 67,120 21,600
Us : 1,786 1,864 985 1,132 1,791,970 1,759,760 2,110,000
1/ REVISED.
AREA PLANTED, SUNFLOWER 1989 1/
: VARIETAL TYPE
STATE HS
3 oIL 3 NON-OIL 3 ALL
: 1,000 ACRES
KS 3 100 30 130
MN 2 45 25 70
ND 3 980 340 1,320
SD z 253 7 260
TX : 33 27 60
US 3 1,411 429 1,840
1/ REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
A-27 NASS, USDA


PRODUCTION

STATE : IND : 3 3 : IND
3 1989 2: 1990 3 1989 : 1990 : 1988 3 1989 : 1990
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
180 210 81.0 60.0 7,480 14,580 12,600
v/ 13 10 145.0 155.0 2,015 1,885 1,550
1/ 58 73 122.0 105.0 6,000 7,076 7,665
170 160 160.0 160.0 27,115 27,200 25,600
930 840 145.0 150.0 128,000 134,850 126,000
2s:
3 133 172 100.0 104.0 9,800 13,300 17,888
ws: 80 75 74.0 71.0 3,770 5,920 5,325
: 550 585 95.0 62.0 31,000 52,250 36,270
ye: 50 40 125.0 120.0 6,500 6,250 4,800

10,750 10,400 123.0 130.0 700,800 1,322,250 1,352,000
5,200 5,450 133.0 132.0 415,000 691,600 719,400
12,250 12,300 118.0 133.0 898,800 1,445,500 1,635,900
1,240 1,450 125.0 130.0 143,750 155,000 188,500

AL

AZ

AR

CA

foe]

cT

DE

FL

GA

pie)

IL

IN

IA

KS

ry 1,180 1,200 116.0 97.0 80,300 136,880 116,400
Ay 132 220 95.0 110.0 11,875 12,540 24,200
ME 2.

uD / 400 450 110.0 110.0 27,300 44,000 49,500
MA 2/ .

pig 1,970 2,050 113.0 115.0 112,000 222,610 235,750
TMN 5,600 6,100 125.0 125.0 347,800 700,000 762,500
MS 1/ 140 140 70.0 75.0 9,000 9,800 10,500
yo 2,290 1,950 96.0 103.0 153,520 219,840 200,850
ur il/ 4 6 80.0 93.0 2,200 320 558
NE 7,100 7,300 120.0 130.0 818,400 852,000 949,000
NH 2/

NO 1/ 71 75 102.0 107.0 5,530 7,242 8,025
NM 1/ 63 65 155.0 140.0 8,525 9,765 9,100
NY 570 610 93.0 103.0 45,900 53,010 62,830
NC 950 1,070 93.0 63.0 81,480 88,350 67,410
ND 465 600 75.0 75.0 22,040 34,875 45,000
OH 2,900 3,400 118.0 123.0 255,000 342,200 418,200
KK 1/ 78 75 118.0 100.0 6,840 9,204 . 7,500
OR 1/: 22 22 160.0 155.0 3,002 3,520 3,410
PA : 960 980 103.0 110.0 59,150 98,880 107,800
RI 2/ :

sc H 340 345 91.0 50.0 19,430 30,940 17,250
sD 2: 2,650 2,800 72.0 78.0 132,000 190,800 218,400
IN : 530 500 107.0 82.0 38,690 56,710 41,000
TM 3 1,400 1,500 106.0 95.0 129,600 148,400 142,500
UT 1/: 20 18 132.0 137.0 2,728 2,640 2,466
VT 2/:

VA 3 365 375 110.0 90.0 23,305 40,150 33,750
WAl/: 90 80 175.0 175.0 13,600 15,750 14,000
wis: 46 50 95.0 95.0 2,320 4,370 4,750
WI : 2,800 2,900 111.0 114.0 130,650 310,800 330,600
Wii: 41 45 95.0 110.0 6,466 3,895 4,950
us 3: 64,781 66,691 116.2 120.3 4,928,681 7,527,152 8,021,697

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ No? ESTIMATED,

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-23 NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

CLASS AND TYPE 2
3 : IND : : IND: > IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990: 1989 3 1990
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND

MIDDLE BELTS
NC 98,000 106,000 1,945 2,100 190,610 222,600
VA 37,000 40,000 1,935 2,000 71,595 80,000
us 135,000 146,000 1,942 2,073 262,205 302,600

TYPE 12, EASTERN NC

ai

127,000 135,000 2,090 2,250 265,430 303,750
TYPE 13, NC BORDER &
SC BELT

Nc 34,000 36,000 2,120 2,150 72,080 77,400
sc 48,000 51,000 2,160 2,050 103,680 104,550
US 82,000 87,000 2,143 2,091 175,760 181,950

TYPE 14, GA-FL BELT

FL 6,700 7,000 2,650 2,750 17,755 19,250
GA 40,000 43,000 2,180 2,300 87,200 98,900
US 46,700 50,000 2,247 2,363 104,955 118,150
TOTAL 11-14 390,700 418,000 2,069 2,169 808,350 906,450

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT
VA 2,000 2,200 1,240 1,300 2,480 2,860

DISTRICT :
KY 3,100 3,500 1,930 2,150 5,983 7,525
1N 6,500 7,000 1,920 2,100 12,480 14,700
US 9,600 10,500 1,923 2,117 18,463 22,225

TYPE 23, WESTERN

DISTRICT
KY 3,000 3,200 2,290 2,300 6,870 7,360
TM 500 550 2,220 2,300 1,110 1,265
Us 3,500 3,750 2,280 2,300 7,980 8,625

TOLAL 21-23 15,100 16,450 1,915 2,049 28,923 33,710

IN 6,100 6,400 2,170 2,100 13,237 13,440
KY 269,000 185,000 2,060 2,250 348,140 416,250
yo y 2,500 2,500 2,180 2,150 5,450 ‘5,375
Ne 7,700 8,500 1,680 2,200 12,936 18,700
CH 9,100 9,100 1,750 1,950 15,925 17,745
N 38,000 39,000 1,720 2,200 65,360 985,800
VA 10,500 11,000 1,870 2,000 19,635 22,000
w y 1,450 1,800 1,300 1,600 1,885 2,880
us 244,350 263,300 1,975 2,211 482,568 582,190

TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD

BELT
yD 7,300 7,100 1,110 1,330 . 8,103 9,443
PA 4,000 3,700 1,800 1,850 7,200 6,845
Us 11,300 10,800 1,354 1,508 15,303 16,288

TOTAL 31-32 255,650 274,100 1,947 2,183 497,871 598,478

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
. (CONTINUED)

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-36 NASS, USDA


: AREA PLANTED H AREA HARVESTED
STATE :
: 1988 Hy 1989 1990 3 1988 z 1989 : 1990
: 2,000 ACRES :
AZ : 51 85 45 50 84 44
CA 3 60 106 55 59 105 54
MN 2 45 30 30 40 29 30
bai : 280 340 245 230 335 235
ND : 2,800 3,100 3,100 2,400 3,000 3,050
SD : 100 130 90 68 120 89
US 3: 3,336 3,791 3,565 2,847 3,673 3,502
3 YTELD : PRODUCTION
3 1988 : 1989 1990 : 1988 : 1989 3 1990
3 BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AZ 2 §686.0 90.0 94.0 4,300 7,560 4,136
cA : 95.0 83.0 99.0 5,605 8,715 5,346
MN : 21.0 36.0 44.0 840 1,044 1,320
ur 3 9.0 18.0 17.0 2,070 6,030 3,995
ND : 13.0 22.0 34.0 31,200 66,000 103,700
sD 3 12.0 24.0 36.0 816 2,880 3,204
US 3 15.7 25.1 34.8 44,831 92,229 121,701
WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/
3 WINTER 3 SPRING 3
YEAR : HARD : SOFT : : HARD : 3 : TOTAL
3: RED : RED : WHITE : RED : DURUM : WHITE :
: 1,000 BUSHELS
1988 + 881,883 472,662 207,365 181,202 44,831 24,258 1,812,201
1989 +: 711,910 548,049 194,683 433,455 92,229 56,292 2,036,618
1990 21,210,998 542,695 282,366 556,181 121,701 29,683 2,743,624

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON THE LATEST VARIETAL ACREAGE SURVEY DATA
AVAILABLE. UNLESS UNUSUAL SITUATIONS DICTATED, THE PREVIOUS END~OF-SEASON
CLASS PERCENTAGES WERE USED DURING THE 1990 FORECAST SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

A-18

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


INDEX

ia
®

i
uN
ao

PAPAYAS ....-esesesscceccscvece A-44
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION A-35

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-18 NASS, USDA

90.S.GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1990~281-051:20307/NASS


OATS: YIFID AMD AAKCTION

YIELD

> 1988 : 19891/ :

: BUSHELS
AL +: 55.0 55.0 50.0 1,100 1,375 1,250
AR: 90.0 73.0 60.0 3,150 4,380 2,700
CA: 78.0 75.0 75.0 2,730 3,375 3,000
© : 50.0 55.0 50.0 3,000 3,025 2,250
CA: 63.0 59.0 56.0 2,835 4,130 2,240
ID : 68.0 68.0 66.0 3,060 4,080 1,980
TMm : 51.0 80.0 68.0 9,180 16,000 11,560
IN: 40.0 72.0 69.0 3,000 6,840 4,830
JA: 50.0 72.0 68.0 25,000 54,000 40,800
KS : 39.0 45.0 55.0 5,850 9,000 6,600
KY : 50.0 60.0 / 400 480 2/
ME  : 75.0 70.0 70.0 2,925 2,590 2,310
MD  : 52.0 55.0 58.0 884 1,320 986
MI: 30.0 67.0 58.0 6,000 20,100 13,050
MN: (33.0 55.0 66.0 24,750 46,750 48,180
MO  : 38.0 60.0 53.0 1,520 3,600 2,226
Mrs) 32.0 46.0 45.0 2,790 6,670 3,600
NE: 38.0 36.0 48.0 12,160 8,640 13,440
NJ: 50.0 44.0 2/ 200 264 2/
NY : 52.0 59.0 61.0 7,540 9,145 8,235
NC: = 70.0 57.0 61.0 3,850 3,135 2,440
ND  : 18.0 31.0 51.0 7,200 20,150 30,600
OH =: 45.0 63.0 70.0 9,000 15,750 16,100
OK : 42.0 34.0 38.0 2,730 2,040 2,280
OR =: 100.0 98.0 100.0 6,500 6,860 4,500
PA: 50.0 54.0 66.0 13,000 13,770 15,840
sc: 63.0 59.0 57.0 3,024 2,360 1,824
SD: 25.0 40.0 56.0 20,000 44,000 53,200
TM : 45.0 33.0 41.0 9,000 6,600 9,225
Ur: 72.0 74.0 68.0 1,008 1,258 1,020
VA: 53.0 55.0 2/ 636 495 2/
WA: ~~ 67.0 63.0 66.0 2,345 2,835 2,640
WwW oo: 48.0 50.0 57.0 288 300 342
WI: = 34.0 66.0 67.0 19,720 46,860 47,570
Wo: 35.0 47.0 42.0 1,225 1,410 1,470
US : 39.3 54.3 60.2 217,600 373,587 358,288
1/ REVISED.
2. ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A-10 NASS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 cwr .
LARGE LIMA: . .
CA 2 32.0 25.0 1,910 1,840 574 611 .460. .
BABY LIMA :
CA : 35.0 25.0 2,120 2,200 673 742 550 :
OTHER : .
cA : 117.0 115.0 1,780 1,840 1,638 2,083 2,136
ALL : .
cA : 184.0 165.0 1,867 1,895 2,885 3,436 3,126
(oe) : 185.0 220.0 1,680 1,650 ° 2,558 3,108. 3,630
iD : 168.0 178.0 2,050 2,000 .°.2,249 3,444 3,560
KS 2/3 22.0 38.0 1,550 1,750 | 310 326 665
MI : 300.0 350.0 1,500 1,600 ‘2,142 (4,500 5,600 ,
MN : 70.0 130.0 1,300 1,300 . 480 {910+ 1,690
Mr 2s: 5.9 14.0 2,200 2,300 76 |.’ 130 322
NE : 208.0 245.0 1,680 1,900 3,764 3,494 4,655
NM 2/: 14.0 14.0 2,000 2,000 319 280 280"
NY : 31.0 35.0 1,450 1,700 + 325 450 595
ND : 410.0 600.0 600 900 2,701 2,460 5,400
OR 2/ 3/: 9.9 2,200 ‘ 218
TM 2/3/: 23.0 1,400 322
ur 2/: 5.0 6.0 300 400 26 15 24.
WA : 43.0 49.0 2,160 2,000 . 742 929 980
wy : 45.0 51.0 1,890 1,900 676 851. 969

cq
n

1,689.9 2,127.9 1,440 1,506 19,253 24,333 32,036

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED. 2/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST. 3/ ESTIMATES BHGAN IN 1990.

LENTILS
: AREA PLANTED : _ AREA HARVESTED
STATE : : IND 3 2 IND
: 1989 1/: 1990 > 1989 1/ 1990
: 1,000 ACRES
1D : 39.0 43.0 38.0 40.0
WA : 55.0 65.0 _ 54:0 64.0
Us : 94.0 108.0 92.0 104.0
: YIELD : PRODUCTION
: : IND 3 . :
: 19891/ : 1999 +: 1988 .: ‘19891/ : 1990
: POUNDS 1,000 CWE .
ID : 1,350 700 299 "513° 280
WA : 1,200 930 595 648 595
US : 1,262 841 go4 1,161 875°
1/ REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD.
OCTOBER 1990  A33 : -NASS, USDA


ALL HAY

3 AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : : 3 IND

3 1989 3 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 3 1989 3 1990

3 1,000 ACRES Tas 1,000 TONS
AL 3 700 750 2.20 1.50 1,500 1,540 1,125
AZ : 185 200 6.92 6.98 1,325 1,280 1,396
AR : 1,000 975 2.23 1.92 1,671 2,228 1,868
cA : 1,670 1,600 5.10 5.32 8,652 8,524 8,506
co 3 1,500 1,450 2.30 2.52 3,957 3,450 3,657
cT 1/: 83 75 2.06 2.39 188 171 179
DE 1/ : 25 23 2.92 2.96 68 73 68
FL 3 260 280 2.30 2.30 648 598 644
GA : 600 570 2.70 2.00 1,254 1,620 1,140
ID : 1,120 1,170 3.61 3.56 3,881 4,043 4,164
IL 2 1,100 900 3.21 3.67 3,310 3,526 3,300
IN 3 770 750 3.07 3.10 1,868 2,365 2,325
TA 3: 2,400 1,800 2.77 3.52 6,760 6,650 6,330
KS : 2,450 2,500 2.29 2.31 5,175 5,620 5,780
KY 3 2,330 2,200 2.36 2.23 3,811 5,501 4,912
IA : 300 320 2.60 2.10 891 781 672
ME 1/ : 220 220 1.91 1.99 386 420 438
MD 1/: 240 225 2.62 2.71 663 629 609
MAl/: 103 103 2.30 2.54 257 237 262
MI 3 1,550 1,500 3.36 3.90 4,220 5,205 5,850
MN : 2,600 2,400 2.46 2.87 6,960 6,400 6,880
MS 3 650 575 2.40 2.20 1,300 1,560 1,265
ive} : 3,730 3,680 1.81 1.99 5,088 6,764 7,312
Mr : 2,350 2,500 1.90 2.08 2,790 4,470 5,200
NE H 3,300 3,700 1.76 1.96 6,510 5,800 7,260
NV : §20 505 2.81 2.41 1,336 1,463 1,217
NH 1/: 76 72 2.20 2.26 179 167 163
NO1/: 111 110 2.17 2.35 256 241 259
NM : 295 300 4.27 4.29 1,275 1,260 1,286
NY 3 2,080 2,110 2.18 2.50 4,697 4,538 5,265
Nc 2 515 490 2.25 2.00 797 1,161 . 981
ND : 3,400 3,000 0.89 1.04 1,940 3,020 3,130
OH : 1,625 1,500 2.80 3.45 3,543 4,553 5,180
OK H 2,400 2,230 2.09 1.97 3,931 5,025 4,385
OR 3 1,050 1,000 2.75 2.70 2,652 2,890 2,700
PA 3 1,930 1,900 2.44 2.66 4,564 4,709 5,049
RI 1/: 7 6 2.43 2.50 20 17 15
sc 3 235 240 2.40 1.80 504 564 432
sp : 4,100 4,200 1.05 1.44 3,910 4,290 6,040
TN : 1,700 1,550 2.06 2.07 2,331 3,499 3,212
TTM : 3,910 3,940 2.45 1.97 5,350 9,582 7,752
ur 3 600 610 3.31 3.27 2,177 1,986 1,996
VWi/: 365 375 2.07 2.12 715 754 794
VA : 1,200 1,190 2.14 2.03 2,252 2,565 2,422
WA 3 780 790 3.61 3.75 2,833 2,814 2,962
Ww Hy 560 560 1.85 2.00 785 1,036 1,118
WI : 3,600 3,350 2.24 3.52 4,952 8,080 11,795
wy 3 1,100 1,240 1.61 1.75 1,878 1,776 2,172
US : 63,395 61,734 2.29 2.45 126,010 145,445 151,457
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 B-30 USDA, NASS


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

(METRIC UNITS)
: AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
cROP 3 -
: 1989 : iss901/ 1989": IND 1990 1/
: HECTARES
FLAXSEED : 84,980 97,130 71,630 93,890
POTATOES z
WINTER 2/ : 5,300 5,460 5,300 5,340
SPRING : 37,350 38,650 35,980 38,200
SUMMER : 39,340 42,210 37,840 40,550
FALL : 446,130 471,870 439,490 466,120
TOTAL 2/ : 528,120 558,190 518,610 550,210
SWEETPOTATOES : 36,220 38,240 34,800 37,110
HOPS : 13,980 14,410

1/ ESTIMATES CARRTED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1990 REVISED.
UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

SUGAR AND SEED

77.43 80.10 26,694,820 22,441,940 23,345,490
APPLES, COMM'L
GRAPES

4,520,320 2/4,401,210 4,296,430

(METRIC UNITS)
:YIELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
CROP 3 3 3 : INDICATED 1990
: : IND : 3
: 1989 ; 1990: 1989 3 1 : oT 1
: METRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN 2 7.29 7.55 191,198,470 206,209,670 203,760,490
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ? 3.48 3.81 15,694,370 14,539,760 14,273,040
RICE 2 6.44 6.31 7,007,410 7,210,620 7,170,120
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 1/: 2.17 2.17 52,353,610 49,929,680 49,626,500
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2 2.72 2.15 1,809,820 1,613,650 1,523,740
SUNFLOWER 1/ z= 1.10 1.27 798,210 957,070
ALL COTTON 3 69 68 2,655,270 3,205,400 3,167,830
UPLAND 3 68 63 2,504,670 3,112,980 3,075,970
AMER-PDMA 3: 1.00 1.00 150,600 92,420 91,860
COTTONSEED 3 4,242,810 5,201,070 5,140,380
ALL HAY : 5.14 §.50 131,945,480 2/134,682,460 137,399,480
ALFALFA : 6.67 7.68 70,041,920 2/74,540,650 77,420,960
ALL OTHER 2 4.08 4.03 61,903,560 2/60,141,810 59,978,520
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 3 1.61 1.69 1,103,730 1,426,370 1,453,130
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 1/ : 2.50 1.67 176,130 107,590
PEAS 1/ : 1.82 1.22 7,530 5,670
LENTILS 1/ : 1.41 +94 52,660 39,690
TOBACCO 2 2.26 2.43 620,210 701,870 714,770
SUGARBEETS 2 43.51 44.38 22,796,640 24,761,610 24,589,240
: 5,380,380 4,969,970 4,953,640
PRUNES AND PLUMS :
(EXCL CALIF) 3 39,920 41,100 38,370
3 113,620 100,240 107,550
HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS) : 11,790 3/19,050 19,050
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ : 1989-90 1990-91 1990-91
ORANGES: : 7,084,210 8,972,960
LEMONS : 640,470 693,090

1/ (1989 REVISED. 2/ AUG 1, 1990. 3/ MID-AUGUST FORECAST PUBLISHED IN
"HAZELNUT (FILBERT) PRODUCTION" RELEASED AUGUST 24, 1990. 4/ SEASON BEGINS
WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST
THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 aA-7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

ae 3 YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCTION
UNIT 3 1989 : IND 1990 1/ : 1989 : IND 1990 1/
= 3 1,000

WINTER 2/ cur : 211 178 2,764 2,343
SPRING “os 235 253 20,852 23,843
SUMMER ” : 237 245 22,155 24,521

FALL woo; 299 324,673

TOTAL woos 289 370,444
HOPS IB: 1,717 1,701 59,326.4 60,560.0
PEACHES " : 2,333,300 2,121,300
SWEET CHERRIES TON : 194.5 122.1
TART CHERRIES IB : 274,700 224,800
PEARS TON : 917.0 938.5
APRICOTS " 3 117.0 122.2
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 200.0 205.0
PLUMS (CALIF) " : 213.0 210.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) " : 226.0 150.0
OLIVES (CALIF) “ 2 123.0 95.0
PISTACHIO (CALIF) IB : 39,000. 115,000
ALMONDS (CALIF) 3 490,000 655,000
WALNUTS TON : 229.0 225.0

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1990 REVISED.
UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

(METRIC UNITS)
3 AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED 1/
CROP 3
: 1989 3 1990 : 1989 : IND 1990
: HECTARES
CORN : 29,257,470 30,138,880 26,216,220 26,989,180
SORGHUM : 5,116,090 4,324,110 4,513,510 3,747,430
RICE : 1,105,210 1,159,440 1,087,400 1,136,370
SOYBEANS 2/ : 24,613,250 23,360,730 24,094,430 22,874,290
PEANUTS : 673,890 716,300 665,590 709,220
SUNFLOWER 2/ : 744,630 781,050 722,780 754,340
ALL COTTON : 4,284,290 4,981,410 3,859,810 4,643,740
UPLAND : 4,131,760 4,885,620 3,709,390 4,551,470
AMER~PIMA : 152,530 95,790 150,420 92,270
ALL HAY 3 25,655,320 24,983,130
ALFALFA : 10,497,250 10,086,900
ALL OTHER 3 15,158,070 14,896,230
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 751,750 898,010 683,890 861,140
DRY EDIBLE PEAS : 70,820 67,180 70,420 64,350
AUSTRIAN WINTER PEAS 2/ : 4,940 5,460 4,130 4,650
LENTILS 2/ : 38,040 43,710 37,230 42,090
TOBACOD 3 274,540 294,420
SUGARBEETS : 535,890 565,390 523,950 554,100
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED 3 344,760 291,460

HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, EIC.
Ey 1989 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-6 NASS, USDA


RYE: ACREAGE

3 AREA PLANTED 1/ : AREA HARVESTED
STATE :

: 1988 : 1989 2/ : 1990: 1988 =: 1989 2/ : 1990

3 1,000 ACRES
foe) : 18 25 15 6 4 3
DE 2 18 17 3/ 4 2 3/
GA 3 350 320 300 70 70 60
IL 3 60 50 45 5 8 5
IN 3 50 45 30 7 6 4
TA 3 30 25 3/ 5 5 3/
KS 3 40 45 35 5 5 5
KY : 45 50 3/ 4 2 3/
MD : 58 40 45 10 8 7
MI : 135 120 135 25 25 20
MN 2 78 60 5S 40 32 28
ye) : 25 25 3/ 8 3 3/
NE H 250 160 110 55 30 30
NJ 3 60 47 50 10 7 6
NY 3 100 80 60 12 15 10
Nc 3 140 150 100 30 25 15
ND 3 130 45 35 90 38 26
OH : 40 40 40 5 bs) 5
OK 3 130 100 95 30 28 18
OR Hy 15 20 3f/ 3 3 3/
PA : 70 70 60 19 18 16
sc : 75 80 60 30 28 27
SD : 120 100 60 90 90 55
TM : 150 90 100 10 7 10
VA z 150 140 110 16 8 8
WI Hy 40 70 85 6 12 15
US : 2,374 2,014 1,625 595 484 373

SEE FOOINOTES ON PAGE A-20.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990 A-19


OATS: ACREAGE

3 AREA PLANTED 1/ 3 AREA HARVESTED
STATE :

3 1988 3 1989 2/ : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 2/ 3: 1990

: 1,000 ACRES
AL : 35 45 45 20 25 25
AR : 40 65 55 35 60 45
cA : 365 400 380 35 45 40
toe) : 110 95 90 60 55 45
GA : 80 90 65 45 70 40
ID 3 70 90 60 45 60 30
IL : 1,400 700 600 180 200 170
IN : 350 200 140 75 95 70
TA : 2,100 1,550 1,300 500 750 600
KS 2 225 280 160 150 200 120
KY: 30 24 3/ 8 8 3/
ME Hy 42 40 36 39 37 33
MD 3 20 28 22 17 24 7
MI : 300 330 250 200 300 225
N 3 1,700 1,250 1,100 750 850 730
bye) 3 110 110 60 40 60 42
ur 3 210 250 160 90 145 80
NE 3 650 500 450 320 240 280
NI: 6 8 3/ 4 6 3/
NY : 180 180 160 145 155 135
NC 3 100 100 80 55 55 40
ND : 1,100 1,150 1,000 400 650 600
OH 3 300 300 270 200 250 230
OK : 140 130 100 65 60 60
OR : 95 105 70 65 70 45
PA 3 290 280 270 260 255 240
sc 3 85 70 60 48 40 32
sD: 1,400 1,450 1,250 800 1,100 950
TM : 1,100 1,100 1,100 200 200 225
ur : 32 36 40 14 17 15
VA: 35 27 3/ 12 9 3/
WA 3 80 85 80 35 45 40
w H 10 10 10 6 6 6
WI 3 1,050 940 900 580 710 710
w 3 70 67 60 35 30 35
US 3 13,910 12,085 10,423 5,533 6,882 5,955

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 a-9 NASS, USDA


RICE
3 AREA HARVESTED : YIELD H PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : 3 : IND
2 1989 : 1990 31989 : 1990 : 1988 Hy 1989 Fy 1990
3 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 Cwr
AR : 1,140.0 1,200.0 5,600 5,350 64,735 63,840 64,200
CA 3 410.0 385.0 7,900 7,700 29,840 32,390 29,645
TA Hy 485.0 565.0 4,430 4,800 24,080 21,488 27,120
MS 3 235.0 235.0 5,700 5,600 13,780 13,395 13,160
Mil/: 79.0 65.0 5,200 4,900 4,182 4,108 3,185
TM : 338.0 358.0 5,700 5,800 23,280 19,266 20,764
US : 2,687.0 2,808.0 5,749 5,629 159,897 154,487 158,074
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES.
YEAR : LONG GRAIN : MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN : ALL
3 1,000 CHT
1988 3 119,364 36,891 3,642 159,897
1989 3 109,541 41,126 3,820 154,487
1990 1/ : 108,840 47,954 1,280 158,074

1/ INDICATED OCTOBER 1, 1990, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-25 NASS, USDA


National United states
Crop ee oon
Production ee
— =
‘Washing, DC.

RELEASED: October 11, 1990
3:00 P.M. ET

CORN for grain production, as of October 1, is forecast at, 8.02, billion

boshels, dom 1 percent fron last month bit 7 Percent above ‘the 1989
crop. ‘The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at a record high 120.3
bushels, down 1.4 bushels fran the 1 forecast, but 4.1 bushels above
the 1989 yield. As of October 1, 75 percent of the crop was mature and 14
percent had been harvested.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.82 billion bushels, down 5 percent from
1989 and 1 percent below September 1. Yield is estimated at 32. 3 bushels

ALL WHEAT production is estimated at 2.74 billion bushels, up 35 percent from
1989, but down slightly from September 1 Yields averaged a record high 39.6
bushels per acre, up 6.9 bushels per acre from a year age. Area harvested, at
69.4 million acres, is up 12 percent from last season

SORGHIM for grain production is forecast at 562 million bushels, down 2
percent September 1 and down 9 percent from 1989. The U.S. average
eee eee er re ae of acd tushels from last

5.3 bushels above last year. By of September, 28 percent
of the crop had been harvested slightly ahead of last year and average.

ALL Crenbers Data is forecast at 14.5 million bales, down 1 percent from

, but up 19 percent from 1989. The Delta crop potential de-
clined during the month. Mississippi's production had the largest decline of
any State.

ALL ORANGE production is forecast at 231 million boxes, 24 percent. above last

season and 10 percent greater than the 1988-89 crop. increase is
due mostly te Florida's 80 poreane inmrease from last eoncon's freste cnagua
crop.

RARRRARAARARRARARRARRARRREARARREREREARRRRENEARRRRARARERERERARALEAR
* NOTICE *

* «
: Small Grains revised 1989 and preliminary 1990 Annual Summary. *
*

* Revised acreage, yield, and production for soybeans, sunflower,*
‘ ary edible peas, Austrian winter peas, and lentils for 1989. "«

*
* Revised acreage, yield, and production for winter potatoes for *
* 1990. *
RURREAERREARARRALAAEREAREARARAATRERAEERAREARARARARRARARAARARARRARA

Cr Pr 2-2 (10-90) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SEPTEMBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Warm, Gry conditions prevailed over much of the Southeast, Corn Belt,
northern and central Plains, and Northwest throughout the month. Charleston,
8C had its driest September on record with 0.18 of an inch of rain and their

’ sixth consecutive month of below-normal rainfall. The contimuing dry weather
worsened long~term drought conditions along the southern Atlantic coast. The
northern and middle Atlantic coast also experienced dry but cooler weather.
Thunderstorms drenched much of the Great Lakes, upper Ohio Valley, southern
Plains, and Southwest with needed rain, but torrential amounts produced local
flooding.

" WINTER WHEAT PLANTINGS

s Winter wheat: planting was slowed due to lack of moisture in the plains
.. States early in September. By mid-month planting progress. was behind normal
‘, in 12 of the 19 major producing states. During the last half of the month
moisture was adequate and planting progressed in most areas. By the end of
the month, planting was’ 45% complete, 3 points behind normal. Nineteen
percent of the crop was emerged, 5 points behind normal.

. By the end of September, planting in Oregon was 50% complete, 30 points
above average.. In Colorado, Nebraska, and South Dakota, planting was over 80%
‘* complete.’ However, Colorado and Nebraska crop emergence was at least 12
. points behind average. During the last week of September, producers planted
21% of their crop. In South Dakota, planting was 89% complete, 1 point ahead
of normal. Kansas planting was 55% complete, the same as average. Crop
emergence was above average in Indiana, Mississippi, Montana, and Oregon.

SEPTEMBER CROP DEVELOPMENT

Early in September, moisture was very short to short in mst of the
Southeast and western Corn Belt, causing deteriorating crop conditions.
Insect problems increased in the Southeast. Soil moisture was adequate in
the Northeast and the central and northern Corn Belt. Temperatures were above
normal in most areas, except the Northeast. By mid-September, general rains
in the South Central, Central Plains, East Central, and the Northeast States
slowed harvest but were beneficial to growing crops. The Southeast States
continued to be dry, causing deteriorating crop conditions. By the end of the
month, dry, warm weather in the Plains improved crop development. Soil
moisture was short in the Rocky Mountain, Northwest, Central Plains, and the
Southeast States.

corn was in mostly good to fair condition. Early in September, lack of
moisture in the western Corn Belt caused deteriorating crop conditions. Crop
conditions lagged furthest behind in Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri. By mid-
September, dry weather accelerated the crop maturity in most Southeastern
States. Rain slqwed corn harvest in the Texas Panhandle, but yields were
favorable. By September 30, the U.S. harvest was 14% complete, 7 points
behind normal” Crop maturity and harvest lagged behind normal in most of the
* major producing States.

Soybeans were in good to fair condition. Podding was 96% complete, equal
to the average. Soybean condition continued to decline in the Southeast,
Delta, and central Great’ Plains in early September. Louisiana and Georgia
reported increased pressure from insects.

crop pRopuction AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 oy B-4 NASS, USDA


BARLEY: YIELD AND PRODUCTION

: YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE :

: 1988 =: 19891/ : 1990 : 1988 +: 19891/ : 1990

: BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AZo: 104.0 103.0 105.0 1,352 1,236 1,575
CA: 61.0 58.0 50.0 17,080 14,500 10,000
mo : 67.0 76.0 75.0 11,725 12,160 11,250
DE : 72.0 55.0 70.0 2,160 2,200 1,890
ID : 60.0 70.0 72.0 51,000 59,500 56,160
KS: 35.0 32.0 44.0 2,975 576 924
KY: 77.0 67.0 60.0 1,078 1,139 1,020
Mw: 69.0 50.0 68.0 4,761 4,000 4,284
Mo: 32.0 58.0 60.0 1,216 2,320 2,580
wN Oo: 32.0 55.0 63.0 27,200 44,000 50,400
Mr: 24.0 43.0 39.0 30,000 68,800 55,770
NE: 32.0 26.0 40.0 1,920 650 880
NW of: 80.0 90.0 75.0 960 990 675
NI: 67.0 59.0 62.0 603 472 372
Mo: 65.0 75.0 / 390 375 2/
NC: 68.0 48.0 53.0 2,856 2,064 1,590
ND: 21.0 37.0 53.0 45,150 98,050 132,500
OK: 48.0 40.0 41.0 768 800 697
OR: 74.0 67.0 70.0 14,800 12,060 8,750
PA: 66.0 59.0 69.0 3,630 5,015 4,140
sco: 60.0 56.0 52.0 840 560 676
sD: 18.0 35.0 49.0 8,100 19,250 24,500
TM : 30.0 32.0 38.0 540 480 608
ur: 77.0 79.0 82.0 9,625 9,006 8,610
VA: 71.0 65.0 66.0 5,325 4,875 5,280
WA: 62.0 58.0 56.0 34,720 28,420 21,840
wl: 34.0 57.0 54.0 2,550 3,705 2,700
woof: 58.0 70.0 74.0 6,670 7,000 9,250
us : 38.0 48.6 55.2 289,994 404,203 418,921
1/ REVISED.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.
CROP PRODUCTION . AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A-12 USDA, NASS


BARLEY: ACREAGE

3 AREA PLANTED 1/ : AREA HARVESTED

1988 : 1989 2/ : 1990 3 1988 : 1989 2/ : 1990

: 1,000 ACRES

AZ: 15 15 17 BO 12 15
CA: 360 320 280 280 250 200
foe) 3 185° 190 155 175 160 150
DE : 35 50 30 30 40 27
ID : 880 870 790 850 850 780
KS: 100 60 25 85 18 21
KY: 16 20 19 14 17 17
MD: 80 90 70 69 80 63
MI: 50 45 45 38 40 43
MN: ~—s«1,250 925 850 850 800 800
wr (1,800 1,700 1,600 1,256 1,600 1,430
NE: 70 35 25 60 25 22
Wwf: 14 12 12 12 11 9
NO: 16 12 8 9 8 6
mf: 1 10 3/ 6 5 3/
NC: 48 50 35 42 43 30
ND: 2,800 2,800 2,650 2,150 2,650 2,500
OK : 20 25 20 16 20 17
OR: 225 200 135 200 180 125
PA: 60 90 65 55 85 60
sco: 17 12 15 14 10 13
sD: 700 650 550 450 550 500
TM : 35 25 30 18 15 16
ur: 139 134 120 125 114 105
VA: 95 95 100 75 5 80
WA: 580 500 400 560 490 390
wl: 100 80 70 75 65 50
Wi oo: 130 110 130 115 100 125
US : 9,831 9,125 8,246 7,636 8,313 7,594

1/ INCLUDES AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.
2/ REVISED.
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-11 USDA, NASS


in good condition. Oklahoma's crop is forecast at 6.50 million pounds,
30 pecsont ‘fron the Septenber forecast, ‘but 28 percent below last year's
production. Jexas is forecasting 65.0 million pounds, up 8 percent from last

month and 18 percent above Season. Harvest was underway by late
September in south Texas. The inprovel crop looks good this year, while a
varied native crop is reported. The "Other States" forecast of 17.9 million
pounds remains unchanged from last month, but 10 percent higher than last

season. Arizona, Kansas, Missouri, and Tennessee are included in this
production forecast.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii's fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.78 million pounds
for September, 22 percent lower than August and 7 percent below
September a year ago. Comilative fresh sales for January-Septetber trait the
same Sopteuloe waren period of 1989 by 6 percent. Weather conditions Guring
were mostly favorable over major Papaya producing areas with the
empeption OF heavy showers during the third week.

Area, devoted to papaya Production totaled 3,580 acres, 4 Percent below
August and 11 percent less than September a year Harvested
totaling 2, 145 cores, was 10 percent below last manth ana i6 percent less than
September 1989.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: Apple harvest gained momentum with the picking of

Granny Smith, Red and Golden Delicious, and Fuji
varieties. Bagging of dates was steady throughout the month. Laying of
raisin type grapes was virtually complete by month's end, while the wine and
table grape harvests progressed. Picking of late variety stone fruits
continued as the season neared completion. ‘The prune harvest was completed,
while packing of As: pears pomegrana’ advanced. Harvesting of
persimmons and olives began. Almond shaking continued, while the pistachio
and walnut harvests started during the month. Picking of summer grapefruit
and Valencia oranges wound down, while the Desert lemon harvest gained
intensity.

RRKKARIERRIARIRE RARER RERREIRER ERE ERIE REREERREERERREREREREREERERERER
* NOTICE

*

* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available
* reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608,

* Rockville, MD. 20849-1608 or call 800-999-6779.

The next issue of this report will be published November 8,
1990 and will include:

Indicated area harvested, yield, and production as of November
1 for corn for grain, cotton, rice, sorghum for grain, ary
edible beans, soybean for beans, peamts for mits, ‘tobacco (ky
types and classes), sugarbeets, sugarcane or sugar
seed, and indicated cottonseed production. Planted acres,
indicated area harvested, yield, and production of fall
potatoes. Percent of 1990 fall potatoes planted by variety.

Indicated production of rice by classes (U.S.); production of
prunes (California), hazelnuts (filberts), and 1990-91 citrus
fruits; papaya acreage and production. Index of production by *
groups of crops for United States and condition of pastures and*
ranges.

Pe ee ee ee eee

ee)

ing ictice data for selected States; corn plant popu-
* lation, corn and soybean row width.
Jedd dddedeoodeddidoeedddbodivadidedeiciicideiocoidiichineisctt:

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-17 NASS, USDA


HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS)

:
:
i

1988 : 1989 1990

OR : 16,300 12,800 20,700
WA wy: 200 200 300
US : 16,500 13,000 21,000

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PAPAYAS ~ HAWAII

AREA 3 FRESH PRODUCTION

TOTAL IN CROP: HARVESTED

1989

1990 : FORECAST
: 1990-91

1989 =: 1990 : 1989 : 1990

1,000 POUNDS

AUG =: 4,025 3,745 2,505 2,395 5,290 6,140
SEP : 4,035 3,580 2,550 2,145 5,165 4,780
ocr: 4,070 2,625 6,130 y
Nov: 4,060 2,735 6,270 y
DEC =: 4,100 2,745 5,530 y
JAN: 4,120 2,810 5,080 Yy
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-SEP 46,070 43,500

1/ FOUR-MONTH FORECAST TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-44 NASS, USDA


ALL OTHER HAY

: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
_ STATE : : IND : : IND : 3 : IND

> 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 +: 1989 : 1990

: 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
AL 3 700 750 2.20 1.50 1,500 1,540 1,125
AZ 1/: 35 35 4.00 4.50 100 140 158
AR: 965 950 2.20 1.90 1,590 2,123 1,805
cA : 650 540 2.60 2.60 1,392 1,690 1,404
foe) : 750 670 1.40 1.50 1,305 1,050 1,005
cT ij: 66 60 1.90 2.30 135 125 138
DE 1/: 16 15 2.25 2.30 34 36 35
FL : 260 . 280 2.30 2.30 648 598 644
GA : 600 570 2.70 2.00 1,254 1,620 1,140
iD 2 190 190 1.70 1.80 385 323 342
m 3 320 300 2.00 2.40 935 640 720
IN 3 370 350 2.50 2.30 672 925 805
TA : 500 400 1.90 2.35 1,120 950 940
KS: 1,600 1,650 1.60 1.70 2,700 2,560 2,805
kY : 1,950 1,880 2.10 2.00 2,775 4,095 3,760
IA : 295 320 2.60 2.10 863 767 672
ME 1/: 200 200 1.90 1.95 333 380 390
MD 1/: 155 160 2.00 2.30 363 310 368
MAl/: 72 74 2.15 2.40 171 155 178
MI : 250 250 2.10 2.40 840 525 600
MN: 900 800 2.20 2.00 2,400 1,980 1,600
MS : 650 575 2.40 2.20 1,300 1,560 1,265
MO > 3,200 3,200 1.65 1.85 4,080 5,280 5,920
ut : 1,000 1,050 1.50 1.50 700 1,500 1,575
NE: 2,000 2,250 0.95 1.10 2,460 1,900 2,475
NV 1/: 275 260 1.40 1.10 286 385 286
NH 1/ 60 56 2.10 2.10 137 126 118
N1/: 77 84 1.90 2.00 135 146 168
NM 1/: 60 65 1.80 1.70 99 108 111
NY 3 1,240 1,220 2.00 2.20 2,321 2,480 2,684
Nc : 480 460 2.20 1.95 714 1,056 897
ND : 1,900 1,700 0.80 1.00 1,190 1,520 1,700
OH : 900 800 2.40 2.80 1,440 2,160 2,240
OK : 1,950 1,800 1.70 1.60 2,660 3,315 2,880
OR 2 650 600 1.80 1.70 1,073 1,170 1,020
PA: 1,110 1,110 2.10 2.20 2,128 2,331 2,442
RI 1/: 5 5 2.30 2.30 14 12 12
sc 3 235 240 2.40 1.80 504 564 432
sD 2,200 0.90 1.20 1,600 1,890 2,640
IN 1,470 2.00 2.00 2,100 3,220 2,940
1x 3,800 2.40 1.90 4,960 9,120 7,220
ur 1/ 125 1.90 2.00 266 247 250
vr if 265 1.95 2.00 495 507 530
VA 1,040 1.90 1.80 1,836 1,995 1,872
WA 320 2.50 2.50 775 750 800
Ww 500 1.70 1.90 624 833 950
wi 500 1.90 2.50 612 950 1,250
wy 670 1.00 1.20 682 580 804
US : 37,456 36,809 1.82 1.80 56,706 68,237 66,115

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-32 USDA, NASS


In mid-September, the crop continued to be below normal in maturity with 41%
cropping leaves, 16 points behind normal. Conditions continued to decline in

the Southeast due to dry conditions. the end of the month, harvest in
major States was 10% complete, 8 points normal. Sixty-three percent of
the crop was dropping leaves, 1o points below normal. Percentage dropping
leaves lagged over 20 Points behind normal in Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky.
Illinois had 11% harvested, 23 points below normal.

Cotton was mostly good to fair. In early September, lack of moisture in

Missouri and the Texas plains hindered crop development. Harvest continued in

south Texas, the Delta, and south-western Arizona. California had harvest
i in Riverside County and defoliation underway in the San Joaquin

Louisiana had the most harvested at 45%, 18 points ahead of normal. BY
September 30, boll openings were 74%, 6 points above average for the 14 major
States. Harvest was 21% complete, 2 points ahead of normal. Rains in
Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas helped later bolls fill out.

Sarginm condition was fair to good. At the beginning of September, 32%
of the U. crop was mature, 2 points below normal. Texas had rapid drying
and some “Sry ‘Inna Fields wiited: By mid-September, 23% of the U.S. crop was
harvested, © points behind normal. Nebraska reported same lodging in the east
and southeast due to chinch bugs and heat stress. At the end of September,
total harvest was 28% complete, 4 points behind normal.

Early in September; U.S. winter wheat seeding was 7% complete, 2 points

ind normal. Lack of moisture slowed seeding in Nebraska and Colorado.
Seeding continued in areas with adequate moisture. At the middle of the
month, pve i he or ee reer 9 points behind normal.
Oregon seeding progressed idly to take advantage of favorable soil
moisture. at the er of Septarber,, winter wheat seeding for the U.S. was 45%
complete, 3 points behind average. Nineteen percent. of the crop was emerged,
5 points below normal. In Colorado, Nebraska, and South Dakota,
over 80% complete; however, emergence was at least 12 points behind normal

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn is farecast to be 8.02 billion bushels,
down 1 percent fram last month but 7 percent above the 1989

crop.
U.S. CORN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990
BILLION BUSHELS
10.00
a.t2 8.24
8.00 =
6.00
air
4.00
2.00
cool st e283 84 85 86
YEAR
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 B-5 NASS, USDA


STATE : IND : : IND: : :
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1999 : 1988 : 1989 :
: 1,000 ACRES ‘TONS 1,000 ‘TONS
AZo: 150 165 7.60 7.50 1,225 1,140
AR 1/: 35 25 3.00 2.50 81 105
CA :—«:1,020 1,060 6.70 6.70 7,260 6,834
oO :;: 750 780 3.20 3.40 2,652 2,400
cri: 17 15 2.70 2.70 53 46
DE 1/: 9 8 4.10 4.10 34 37
ID : 930 980 4.00 3.90 3,496 3,720
IL: 780 600 3.70 4.30 2,375 2,886
IN : 400 400 3.60 3.80 1,196 1,440
TA :~—-1,900 1,400 3.00 3.85 5,640 5,700
KS: 850 850 3.60 3.50: 2,475 3,060
Kyo: 380 320. 3.70 3.60 1,036 1,406
IA: 5 2/ 2.80 2/ 28 4
ME 1/: 20 20. 2.00 2.40 53 40
MD 1/: 85 65 3.75 3.70 300 319
MA 1/: 31 292.65 2.90 86 82
MI: = 1,300 1,250 3.60 4.20 3,380 4,680
MN: 1,700 1,600 2.60 3.30 4,560 4,420
yw: 530 480 2.80 2.90 1,008 1,484
mr: 1,350 1,450 2.20 2.50 2,090 2,970
NE : 1,300 1,450 3.00 3.30 4,050 3,900
NY: 245 245 4.40 3.80 1,050 1,078
NH 1/: 16 16 2.55 2.80 42 41
NI 1/: 34 26 2.80 3.50 121 95
MO: 235 235 4,90 5.00 1,176 1,152
NW: 840 890 2.45 2.90 2,376 2,058
NC 1/: 35 30 3.00 2.80 83 105
ND: 1,500 1,300 1.00 1.10 750 1,500
OH: 725 700 3.30 4.20 2,103 2,393
OK : 450 430 3.80 3.50 1,271 1,710
OR: 400 400 4.30 4.20 1,579 1,720
PA: 820 790 2.90 3.30 2,436 2,378
RI 1/: 2 1 2.65 2.90 6 5
sD: 2,000 2,000 1.20 1.70 2,310 2,400
IN 1/: 90 80 3.10 3.40 231 279
TM : 120 140 4.20 3.80 390 462
ur: 470 485 3.70 3.60 1,912 1,739
wi: 105 1102.35 2.40 220 247
VA 1/: 150 150 3.80 3.60 416 570
WA: 480 470 4.30 4.60 2,058 2,064
wis: 70 60 2.90 2.80 161 203
WI: = (3,100 2,850 2.30 3.70 4,340 7,130
WwoO+: 520 570 2.30 2.40 1,196 1,196
US : 25,939 24,925 2.98 3.42 69,304 77,208



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

(METRIC UNITS)
: YIELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
CROP :
: : INDICATED : : INDICATED
: 1989 : 19901/ : 1989 : 1990 1/
: METRIC TONS
POTATOES :
WINTER 2/ : 23.65 19.90 125,370 106,280
SPRING : 26.29 28.31 945,830 1,081,500
SUMMER 2 26.56 27.43 1,004,930 1,112,250
FALL : 33.51 14,726,920
TOTAL : 32.40 16,803,050
HOPS : 1.92 1.91 26,910 27,470
PEACHES : 1,058,370 962,210
SWEET CHERRIES : 176,450 110,770
TART CHERRIES : 124,600 101,970
PEARS : 831,890 851,390
APRICOTS : 106,140 110,860
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 181,440 185,970
PLUMS (CALIF) : 193,230 190,510
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) : 205,020 136,080
OLIVES (CALIF) : 111,580 86,180
PISTACHIO NUTS (CALIF) : 17,690 52,160
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 222,260 297,100
WALNUTS (CALIF) : 207,750 204,120

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

2/ 1990 REVISED.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF OCTOBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BEIWEEN FORECAST

CROP AND H
UNIT 3 3 QUANTITY :NO. OF YEARS
3:PERCENT:
: 3 3 : BELOW: ABOVE
: 3 33 AVG: MIN.: MAX.: FINAL: FINAL
: ii MIL ———
FEED GRAINS 1/ MI: 43.1 0 13°¢«7 3
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 3.8 6 376 #7 3
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU: 4.4 1 s9 5 5
RICE CWT: 2.5 1 4 6 4
SOYBEANS FOR :
BEANS 3 3.7 1 lig 4 6
COTTON BALES 2/: 4.9 170 1,424 6 4
DRY EDIBLE 3
BEANS, CWI: 3.6 2:2: 0.7 0.1 2.4 8 2
1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.
INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1981-90 (1977=100)
3 PRODUCTION
YEAR : 3 : HAY ; 3 : 3 2
3: ALL 1/ : FEED : AND : FOOD : SUGAR: COTTON : TOBAGO: OIL
3 3 GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : : + CROPS
1981: 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982 3 117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983 3 87 67 100 116 93 54 75 91
1984 +: 110 115 107 129 95 90 90 106
1985 3 116 133 106 121 95 93 79 117
1986 =: 107 123 107 106 106 68 61 107
1987: 106 106 101 107 111 103 62 108
1988 3 91 73 88 98 105 107 72 89
1989 3 106 108 100 107 105 85 71 106
1990 : 112 113 102 137 103 101 82 102

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS
OF CROPS SHOWN.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-22 NASS, USDA


TEXAS CITRUS: Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, the 1990-91 Texas

citrus crops are very limited and forecasts will not be issued
this season unless sufficient commercial supplies became available. ‘The
freeze reduced acreage by about a third of the pre-1989 level. Heavy pruning
and hedging was necessary in surviving groves. The highest rate of survival
was in trees between two and seven years old. Hot, dry conditions hampered
regrowth, placing heavy demands on irrigation. Regrowth, however, lockedt good
in most groves by October 1.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 5.46 million tons, down slightly
fron the Septenber 1 forecast and 8 percent below last year's produc

tion. Only California, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, and

the opportunity to change their September 1 forecast. Te nage | beeecoct

was carried forward for the remaining States.

California's production, at 4.96 million tons, is unchanged from last
month but 8 percent below last year. The California raisin variety grape
forecast is 2.25 million tons, unchanged from last month but 12 percent below
the 1989 output. Harvest of raisin grapes is nearly complete. Quality is
reported good with high sugar levels. The California wine variety forecast of
2.10 million tons is unchanged from September 1 but 4 percent below last
season. Harvest continues and is making good progress. Good quality is
reported. The California table variety grape forecast is 610 thousand tons,
unchanged from last month but 3 percent below the 1989 crop. Harvest is
nearing completion with excellent quality reported.

Washington's all grape forecast, at 193 thousand tons, is down 3 percent

from September 1 and 16 percent below the 1989 production. Concord and wine
grape harvests are active, but yields are running below earlier expectations
because of small berry size.

The New York grape forecast is 145 thousand tons, the same as September
1 but 5 percent below last year. A poor fruit set is the main cause for this
lower production.

Pennsylvania's forecast of 47.0 thousand tons, is 11 percent below last

month amd 22 percent less than the 1989 production. Producers reported low
Brix levels because of cold rains. Rain is also slowing harvest.

The Michigan forecast is 53.0 thousand tons, down 9 percent from last
month but 23 percent higher than last year. The grape crop is picking out
lighter than expected. Concord harvest is expected to be over by mid-October.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon,
and Washington is forecast at 42.3 thousand tons, down 7
percent from the September 1 forecast and 4 percent less than last year.

The Michigan crop picked out slightly better than expected. Harvest is
virtually complete. Harvest is complete in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington.

APPLES: ‘The final forecast of the 1990 apple crop places production at 9.47
billion pounds, down 2 percent from the August 1 forecast and 5 per-
cent less than last year's production.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-15 NASS, USDA


: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
STATE : Hy : 3 : 3 :
2 1989 2 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
3 1,000 ACRES Tas 1,000 TONS
CA : 169.0 165.0 27.3 27.0 5,300 4,614 4,455
Cc 3 - 40.0 40.0 22.8 22.0 880 912 880
ID 2: 177.0 187.0 22.8 24.5 4,084 4,038 4,582
MI 3 150.0 157.0 17.1 20.0 2,393 2,565 3,140
MN z 341.0 362.0 16.0 15.5 4,743 5,456 5,611
wr 3 51.9 55.0 19.9 20.5 1,032 1,033 1,128
NE  : 62.4 71.6 18.7 20.5 1,319 1,167 1,468
NM 2/: 3/ 3/ 3/ 3/ 9 3/ 3/
ND: 180.1 190.0 15.7 15.0 2,580 2,828 2,850
ai H 11.9 19.0 16.7 20.0 234 199 380
oR : 15.2 16.0 25.7 26.0 376 391 416
TM : 35.3 41.0 21.0 22.0 723 743 902
WY : 59.3 63.4 19.2 19.5 1,137 1,139 1,236
OTHER 4/: 1.6 2.2 27.5 25.9 44 57
US 3.1,294.7 1,369.2 19.4 19.8. 24,810 25,129 27,105

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CA. 2/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 3/ ‘INCIUDED
IN OTHER TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS. 4/ ‘INCLUDES NM AND WA.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

|
:

PRODUCTION 1/

STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND
: 1ise9 > 1999 +: 1989 > 1990 + 1988 > «1989 3 «1990
3 1,000 ACRES . TONS 1,000 TONS
FL : 420.0 433.0 31.4 33.0 13,304 13,188 14,289
HI : 81.4 81.0 89.4 91.9 7,804 7,277 7,444
IA 3: 315.0 170.0 25.7 18.0 7,708 8,083 3,060
TX 3 «635.5 36.2 24.7 26.0 1,088 878 941
us : 851.9 720.2 34.5 35.7 29,904 29,426 25,734
1/ NET TONS.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A-39 NASS, USDA


CTERUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION z PRODUCTION
BOXES : ‘TON EQUIVALENT
CROP
AND UTILIZED : 3 UTILIZED :
STATE 3 IND : : IND
1988-89 : 1989-90 : 1990-91 : 1988-89: 1989-90:1990-91
: 1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID :
& NAVEL 3/:
AZ 2 550 380 550 21 14 21
CA 3: 34,000 44,100 40,000 1,275 1,654 1,500
FL : =©85,300 68,100 95,000 3,839 3,064 4,275
TM 4/: 1,200 1,050 51 44
us 2: 121,050 113,630 135,550 5,186 4,776 5,796
ORANGES, VALENCIA 3
AZ : 1,150 1,190 1,200 43 44 45
CA 2 24,900 29,000 24,000 934 1,087 900
FL 2 61,300 42,100 70,000 2,758 1,895 3,150
TM 4/: 650 155 28 7
Us : 88,000 72,445 95,200 3,763 3,033 4,095
‘ALL ORANGES: Hy
AZ 3 1,700 1,570 1,750 64 58 66
aA 2: 58,900 73,100 64,000 2,209 2,741 2,400
FL : 146,600 110,200 165,000 6,597 4,959 7,425
TM 4/3 1,850 1,205 79 51
US 3: 209,050 186,075 230,750 8,949 7,809 9,891
3 3,750 1,400 3,100 169 63 140
2 27,700 18,000 25,000 1,177 765 1,063
: 23,700 16,300 24,000 1,007 693 1,020
% 3,350 1,400 1,500 142 60 64
: 1,950 2,200 2,200 63 70 70
: 3,500 3,700 3,900 112 118 125
: 4,500 5,000 151 167
2 8,000 8,700 263 285
3 54,750 35,700 50,500 2,326 1,518 2,147
3 4,800 2,000 192 80
3 69,500 48,600 2,844 1,953
3 650 600 650 25 22 24
: 2,040 1,600 2,000 76 61 75
3 2,900 1,700 2,100 1338 81 100
2 5,590 3,900 4,750 239 164 199
: 3,800 2,900 3,100 144 10 118
: 16,200 15,700 17,000 615 596 646
us 2 20,000 18,600 20,100 759 706 764
'TANGELOS :
FL 3 3,800 2,950 3,100 171 132 140

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH

YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS. PER BOX: ORANGES-CA & AZ2-75, FL-90,

TX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CA DESERT & AZ-64, CA OTHER-67, FL-85, TX-80; LEMONS-76;

'TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CA & AZ-75, FL-95. 3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLAN~
MID-SEASON VARIETIES

“OTHER
AS OF APRIL 1, 1991. 6/ FL "ALL TANGERINES” INCLUDE SUNBURST TANGERINES BEGIN~
NING WITH THE 1989-90 CROP YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-40 NASS, USDA


WINTER POTATOES, REVISED: Final production of 1990 winter potatoes is esti-

mated at 2.34 million cwt, down 15 percent fram
1989 and 10 percent below 1988. Harvested area of 13.2 thousand acres was up
1 percent. The average yield of 178 cwt per acre was down 16 percent from the
previous year.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on

October 1, for the 48 contiguous States,
was 70 percent of normal, down 4 points from October 1, 1989 and 4 points
below the 1979-88 average for the date. Conditions were better than last year
in 17 States and below last year in 31 States. California fell in the extreme
Grought range. Alabama, Georgia, and North Dakota were in the severe drought
range.

TOBACCO: All tobacco production in the U.S. for 1990 is forecast at 1.58
billion pounds, 2 percent above last month's forecast and 15 percent
above 1989. Since September 1, the yield forecast improved in 6 of the 16
producing states and deteriorated in 1 state. The increase in production fram
last year results from 7 percent more acres for harvest and higher yields.
Yield is up from a year earlier in 12 of the 16 tobacco producing States and
is expected to average 2,166 pounds per acre, compared with 2,016 last year.

Flue-cured production is expected to reach 906 million pounds, 2 percent
above last month's forecast and up 12 percent from a year ago. Yield per
acre, at 2,169 pounds, is up 100 pounds from last year's average yield. Acres
for harvest are up 7 percent from 1989.

Harvest of the North Carolina crop was 93 percent completed by October
1, compared with 95 percent a year earlier and the average of 90 percent.
Sales through September are ahead of a year earlier in all belts.

South Carolina's growers actively harvested their crop during September
and were virtually done at month's end. Harvest began considerably earlier
than usual, but rain during July and early August slowed maturity so harvest
ended at about the usual time.

Georgia's harvest was virtually complete by the end of the third week of
September.

Virginia's harvest reached 86 percent completion by October 1, about the
same as last year but 10 percent ahead of average. Lack of barn space slowed
harvest somewhat.

The last market day in Florida is scheduled for October 11.

Burley output is now expected to total 582 million pounds for the year,
2 percent above the forecast on September 1 and 21 percent above a year ago.
The change from last year reflects an 8 percent acreage increase and higher
yields. ‘he average yield is now expected to be 236 pounds per acre greater
than in 1989 and up 53 pounds from the forecast on September 1.

The majority of the Kentucky crop was cut and housed by October 1.
Growers report that it is curing well with good color and quality and
experiencing little houseburn. Late developing tobacco benefitted fram late

rain and put on additional weight. Some stripping had begun by the
first of the month.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 Bll NASS, USDA


: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND
: 1989 :; 1990 : 1989 : 1999: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
AL: 239.0 250.0 2,250 1,500 561,680 537,750 375,000
FL: 87.0 92.0 2,470 2,100 228,600 214,890 193,200
GA: 685.0 740.0 2,700 1,700 1,801,550 1,849,500 1,258,000
NM: 18,2 20.0 2,400 2,600 30,552 43,680 52,000
NC: 152.0 163.0 2,435 2,700 419,985 370,120 440,100
OK : 98.0 108.0 2,150 2,250 225,040 210,700 243,000
sco: 12,5 13.5 2,600 2,200 32,110 32,500 29,700
TM +: 262.0 270.0 1,850 1,850 417,500 484,700 499,500
VA: 91.0 96.0 2,705 2,800 263,900 246,155 268,800
US : 1,644.7 1,752.5 2,426 1,917 3,980,917 3,989,995 3,359,300
1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.
COTTONSEED
: PRODUCTION
STATE :
: 1988 : 1989 : IND 1990
: 1,000 TONS
us : 6,061.8 4,676.9 5,666.3
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-28 NASS, USDA


GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects as of October 1 tur the 1990-91 season indicate a crop

of 56.6 million boxes, 30 percent above the previous season's
freeze damaged crop, but 13 percent below the 1988-89 production. This
forecast includes California's "Desert" grapefruit but excludes California's
“other Areas" and Texas grapefruit. The California's "Other Areas" grapefruit
crop accounted for 5.00 million boxes harvested last season and 4.50 million
boxes in 1988-89. The first forecast for that area will be on April 1, 1991.
Also, due to the severe freeze of December 1989, the 1990-91 Texas grapefruit
crop is limited and forecasts will not be issued this season unless sufficient
commercial supplies become available.

Florida's grapefruit forecast is 50.5 million boxes, 41 percent above
last season's reduced crop, but 8 percent below the 1988-89 production. The
Florida white seedless grapefruit forecast is 25.0 million boxes, up 39
percent from last season; colored seedless is 24.0 million boxes, up 47
percent; and seeded varieties grapefruit, at 1.50 million boxes, is 7 percent
more than 1989-90.

The California Desert grapefruit forecast is 3.90 million boxes, up 5
percent from last season. Arizona's grapefruit crop is forecast at 2.20
million boxes, unchanged from the 1989~90 season.

LEMONS: The Arizona - California lemon crop is expected to total 20.1 million

boxes, 8 percent above last season and 1 percent greater than the
crop utilized in 1988-89. California expects a crop of 17.0 million boxes, 8
percent more than last season. The Arizona crop is forecast at 3.10 million
boxes, 7 percent greater than 1989-90. The lemon crop appears to be in good
condition. Movement to date is ahead of the 1989-90 season.

TANGELOS: The initial Florida tangelo crop forecast. is 3.10 million boxes, up
5 percent from last season but 18 percent less than the 1988-89
production.
TEMPLES: Florida's October 1 temple forecast is 3.10 million boxes, 121
percent above last season's freeze-damaged crop.

TANGERINES: The U.S. all tangerine forecast is 4.75 million boxes, up 22

percent fram last season. This forecast includes the Dancy,
Robinson, Honey, and Sunburst varieties of tangerines in Florida, as well as
production of California and Arizona tangerines. Florida Sunburst tangerines
are included in the State and U.S. totals beginning with the 1989-90 season.
Production estimates shown for previous seasons do not include this new
variety tangerine.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of this State's citrus groves experienced hot and dry

weather during September. Considerable irrigation was
applied in all areas except the lower east coast counties which received
normal rainfall. Considerable new growth occurred recently from rains in
August and early September. New crop fruit continued to make good progress
through the month. Record volumes of early bloom Navels, Hamlins, white and
colored grapefruit, K-Early citrus fruit, and Robinson tangerines have been
moved to date due to the rapid start of this year's harvest. Caretakers have
been cutting cover crops to reduce competition for moisture. Spraying and
fertilizing were reduced during September.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-14 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

i AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED 1/
CROP : 3 : : INDICATED
: 1989 H 1990 3 1989 : 1990
3 1,000 ACRES
CORN : 72,296 74,474 64,781 66,691
SORGHUM 3 12,642 10,685 11,153 9,260
RICE : 2,731 2,865 2,687 2,808
SOYBEANS 2/ 3 60,820 57,725 59,538 56,523
PEANUTS : 1,665.2 1,770.0 1,644.7 1,752.5
SUNFLOWER 2/ : 1,840 1,930 1,786 1,864
ALL COTTON : 10,586.6 12,309.2 9,537.7 11,474.8
UPLAND 3: 10,209.7 12,072.5 9,166.0 11,246.8
AMER-PIMA 3 376.9 236.7 371.7 228.0
ALL HAY : 63,395 61,734
ALFALFA 2 25,939 24,925
ALL 3 37,456 36,809
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 3 1,857.6 2,219.0 1,689.9 2,127.9
DRY EDIBLE PEAS 2/ H 175.0 166.0 174.0 159.0
AUSTRIAN WINTER PEAS 2/ : 12.2 13.5 10.2 11.5
LENTILS 2/ 3 94.0 108.0 92.0 104.0
TOBACCO 3 678.4 727.5
SUGARBEETS : 1,324.2 1,397.1 1,294.7 1,369.2
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 851.9 720.2

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, EIC.
2/ 1989 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

3 AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
CROP : : 2 : INDICATED
3 1989 3 1990 1/ 3 1989 3: 1990 1/
3 1,000 ACRES
FLAXSEED : 210 240 177 232
POTATOES :
WINTER 2/ 3 13.1 13.5 13.1 13.2
SPRING 3 92.3 95.5 88.9 94.4
SUMMER : 97.2 104.3 93.5 100.2
FALL 3 1,102.4 1,166.0 1,086.0 1,151.8
TOTAL 2/ 3 1,305.0 1,379.3 1,281.5 1,359.6
SWEETPOTATOES 3 89.5 94.5 86.0 91.7
HOPS 3 34.5 35.6

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1990 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A~4 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE INDEX
(SHORT TERM, GROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

September 29, 1990

a

BNORMAI
Daye’) N

r V4 &

/ \ ORY

’ ) FAVORABLY x
‘Doane Carey co fase
N
ABNOAMALLY U7 {\
4

\VORABL'
Fa MOTs’

CHOP MOISTURE: |
DEvtCTS SeORT Tem (OP To Ae0ur &

ARAORMAL OOTHESS Om VETWES? AFYECTING SCRICTLTURL
[ssvomns aaproUr, CaN CLLAGR CORSIDERARLY WEEE 10.
HYEEE, 430 TWDICATEA MOEMAl, CONDITIONS AT

[e1w0" AND KD OF Te GROW THO SEARO.

7
\eses...ayrcicasee te wauscateo Tax secer exe,

DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)

(OF “September 29, 1990 Ss
.. Next Chart Oct 1¢
wovenare =. § io bab
\ eS) “scram
7 vy!
i zd MOIST
er
MOOERATS — oN [east
HE ( Morey,
moist Oo
a \ savent ¢ bran ~~
—
oO 7 4 Seen, ra
yy) ZS (i me f \ * wopanat
y
‘exTaaue iy NT aa «4, sme
Ny
: =—_h PRR ae
omnmN 7 1
'

ea (ON ory avEne.
ehottatiae As A (sree a)
PREM ee. |
Wiebe RIN eA?

CROP PRODUCTION

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-3

NASS, USDA


OATS: Production of oats in 1990 is estimated at 358 million bushels,‘ 4 per-

cent below the 1989 crop. The yield for grain averaged 60.2 bushels
per acre, up 5.9 bushels from last year. The area harvested at 5.96 million
acres is down 13 percent from last year. Seeded area totaled 10.4 million
acres in 1990, down 14 percent from 1989.

U.S. oat production declined 2 percent from the August 1 forecast. A
1.2 bushel increase in U.S. yield per acre was more than offset by lower area
harvested for grain in North and South Dakota.

Yields in the top two producing States, South Dakota and Minnesota, were
up 16 and 11 bushels, respectively, from last year. In Wisconsin, yields
averaged 1 bushel above 1989, while yields were down 4 bushels per acre in
Towa.

BARLEY: Barley production in 1990 is estimated at 419 million bushels, 4 per-

cent above last year's crop of 404 million bushels. Average yield
per acre at 55.2 bushels, was up 6.6 bushels from the 1989 yield. ‘The area
harvested for grain is.estimated at 7.59 million acres, 9 percent less than
last year.

Increased harvested acreage in Washington and better than expected
yields in Minnesota, Montana, and South Dakota resulted in U.S. barley
production that is 2 percent higher than the September 1, 1990 forecast.
ALL WHEAT: Production of 1990 all wheat is estimated at 2.74 billion bushels,

up 35 percent from 1989, but down slightly from September 1.
Yields averaged a record high 39.6 bushels per acre, up 6.9 bushels per acre

from a year ago. Area harvested, at 69.4 million acres, was up 12 percent
from last season.

U.S. ALL WHEAT PRODUCTION
1981-1990

BILLION BUSHELS

3.50

3.00|| 2-78 2.76 2.74
2.60
2.42 2.43

2.50
209 2M 2.04

2.00 1.81

1.50

1.00

0.50

0.00
81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90

YEAR

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-1 NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT: ACREAGE

: AREA PLANTED 1/ : AREA HARVESTED
STATE :

: 1988 : 19892/ : 1999 : 1988 : 19892/ : 1990

: 1,000
AL: 270 300 280 200 220 190
AZ: 36 35 55 35 34 54
AR: 1,120 1,300 1,500 1,070 1,200 1,400
A: 530 625 620 490 570 560
©  : 2,500 2,700 2,700 2,300 2,200 2,550
DE: 65 80 65 63 74 60
FL: 75 80 65 70 65 55
A: 575 800 650 500 700 590
D : 820 880 960 770 810 920
Tm : 1,300 1,850 2,100 1,250 1,780 1,900
IN: 840 940 1,050 700 880 970
TA: 60 80 80 35 70 75
KS : 10,200 12,400 400 9,500 8,900 11,800
ky: 550 630 700 380 450 500
IA: 300 390 440 270 350 390
MD : 180 230 200 170 215 190
MF: 650 660 770 620 640 750
Mw: 75 135 130 60 120 85
MS: 500 525 600 450 450 520
Mm =: = 1,650 1,970 2,150 1,550 1,850 2,000
MPo:)—2,450 2,500 2,700 2,100 1,500 2,500
NE  : — 2,300 2,550 2,450 2,000 2,050 2,250
Woof: 8 7 7 7 6 6
NI: 35 43 36 31 35 29
MO: 520 550 520 290 200 325
NY: 95 135 150 90 130 145
NC: 510 680 600 480 630 550
ND: 250 100 250 130 80 160
CH =: = 1,000 1,260 1,400 920 1,230 1,350
OK : 7,000 7,300 7,500 4,800 5,700 6,300
OR : 700 840 950 660 815 910
PA: 175 220 215 170 215 210
sco: 320 460 400 305 435 380
sD: 1,700 1,600 1,850 1,270 1,350 1,600
TM : 530 540 580 430 450 490
TM : 6,300 6,700 6,700 3,200 3,000 4,200
ur: 160 165 155 155 155 150
VA: 230 300 290 200 275 260
WA: 1,850 2,100 2,300 1,750 1,300 2,200
woof: 11 16 15 9 12 12
wooté#: 140 200 195 125 170 185
woof: 220 215 220 195 193 205
US : 48,800 55,091 56,998 39,800 41,509 49,976
1/ ‘INCLUDES AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.
2/ REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A~-15 NASS, USDA


The yield forecast, at 35.7 tons per acre, is 1.2 tons higher than last year.
Louisiana expects sharply lower output than a year earlier. This is partially
offset with larger crops expected in Florida, Hawaii, and Texas.

Florida sugarcane looks good. The first mill is scheduled to open in
mid-October. Cutting for seed and planting were active during September.

In Hawaii, most areas experienced sunny days with light to moderate
passing showers throughout the month. Sugar operations on the windward side
of Hawaii island were slowed during the third week of September by heavy rains
associated with Tropical Depression Marie's passage south of the island.

Planting operations in Louisiana progressed steadily with recent showers
improving soil moisture. .

The Texas harvest is expected to start in early October. Most fields
lock good across the lower valley.

ORANGES: The initial production forecast of U.S. all oranges for the 1990-91

season, is 231 million boxes, 24 percent above last season and 10
percent greater than the 1988-89 crop. The forecast for all Florida oranges
is 165 million boxes, 50 percent greater than last season's freeze damaged
crop and 13 percent above 1988-89. Production of Florida early and mid-season
varieties, at 95.0 million boxes, is 40 percent above last season and 11
percent greater than the 1988-89 crop. Florida Valencia production is
expected to total 70.0 million boxes, up 66 percent from last season's reduced
crop and 14 percent above 1988-89 production.

California's 1990-91 all orange crop forecast, at 64.0 million boxes, is
12 percent below last season, but 9 percent above the 1988-89 production.
The Navel crop for California is expected to total 40.0 million boxes,
unchanged from last month but 9 percent below the 1989-90 record high crop.
California's Valencia forecast, at 24.0 million boxes, is 17 percent less than”
last season and 4 percent below the crop harvested in 1988-89.

The Arizona all orange crop is expected to total 1.75 million boxes, 11
percent greater than last season and 3 percent above the 1988-89 crop.

Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, the 1990-91 Texas orange crop
is virtually eliminated and forecasts will not be issued this season unless
sufficient commercial supplies become available.

The October 1 U.S. all orange production forecast has deviated from the
final production by an average of 22.5 million boxes over the past 10 seasons,
ranging from a low of 8.00 million boxes in 1988-89 to a high of 53.1 million.
boxes in the 1983-84 season. The large difference between the October 1, 1983
forecast. and the final production for the 1983-84 season was the result of the
late December 1983 freeze losses to the Florida and Texas citrus crops.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: ‘The 1990-91 forecast of all Frozen

Concentrated Orange Juice for
Florida is 1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast is
projected to estimate the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus
Processors Association. The freeze damaged 1989-90 yield for all fruit used
in Florida Frozen Concentrated Juice was 1.23 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees
Brix.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-13 NASS, USDA


PEEELELEEC CCE

: AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
STATE :
: 1988 : 1989 : 1999 +: 1988 : 1989 +: 1990
: 1,000 ACRES
: 54 75 42 52 70 40
: 400 580 460 380 560 450
: 2,400 2,600 2,800 2,150 2,550 2,750
: 2,000 3,500 2,800 1,500 3,400 2,450
: 14 rt 9 2 9 8
: 6,200 7,600 8,000 4,700 7,250 7,700
: 100 110 60 95 105 58
: 1,850 2,200 2,200 1,300 2,050 2,100
: 24 25 30 22 22 26
: 320 1,000 300 310 970 280
: 10 12 10 8 10 7
: 21 20 2 1B res 6
US : 13,393 17,733 16,723 10,542 17,007 15,875
: YIELD : PRODUCTION
: 1988 : 1989 +: 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
© : 70.0 70.0 70.0 3,640 4,900 2,800,
TD : 65.0 62.0 66.0 24,700 34,720 29,700
MN: (23.0 38.0 49.0 49,450 96,900 134,750
MP: «(12.0 25.0 23.0 18,000 85,000 56,350
NV: (65.0 80.0 70.0 780 720 560
ND: 15.0 24. 36. 70,500. 174,000 —-277,200
oR: «52.0 47.0 53.0 4,940 4,935 3,074
SD : 12.0 22. 32. 15,600 45,100 67,200
Ur: (54.0 45.0. 45.0 1,188 990 1,170
WA: 52.0 43.0 45.0 16,120 41,710 12,600
WE: ~=«(19.0 31.0 40.0 152 310 280
WwW : 30.0 42.0 30.0 390 462 180
US : 19.5 28.8 36.9 205,460 489,747 «585, B64
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 b-17 NASS, USDA


SMALL GRAINS ~ ANNUAL SUMMARY
AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED, UNITED STATES

(METRIC UNITS)
: AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
CROP:

: 1988 : 19891/: 1990 : 1988 +: 19891/: 1990

: HECTARES
OATS : 5,629,240 4,890,680 4,218,080 2,239,150 2,785,080 2,409,930
BARLEY : 3,978,510 3,692,800 3,337,070 3,090,210 3,364,190 3,073,220
ALL WHEAT : 26,518,930 31,005,330 31,276,870 21,525,050 25,167,270 28,066,460
WINTER =::_:19, 748,870 22,294,780 23,066,520 16,106,660 16,798,280 20,224,790
DURUM : 1,350,050 1,534,180 1,442,720 1,152,150 1,486,430 1,417,220
OTH SPRING: 5,420,010 7,176,370 6,767,630 4,266,240 6,882,560 6,424,450
RYE : 960,730 815,050 657,620 240,790 195,870 150,950
1/ REVISED.

YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION, UNITED STATES
(METRIC UNITS)
: YIELD PER HECTARE : PRODUCTION
CROP:

: 1988 :19891/: 1999 : 1988 +: 19891/ : 1990

: METRIC TONS
OATS : 1642 1.95 2.16 3,158,460 5,422,600 5,200,540
BARLEY : 2.04 2.62 2.97 6,313,870 8,800,480 9,120,930
ALL WHEAT =: = 2.29 2.20 2.66 49,320,020 55,427,660 74,669,220
WINTER =: 2.64 2.36 2.74 42,508,220 39,588,870 55,412,450
DURUM : 1.06 1.69 2.34 1,220,100 2,510,060 3,312,160
OTH SPRING: 1.32 1.94 2.48 5,591,700 13,328,730 15,944,610
RYE 2 (1.55 1.77 1.70 373,120 346,650 256,500
1/ REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A-3 NASS, USDA


: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
>: IND : : IND : 3 : IND

3 1989 =: 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 3 1989 5 1990

: ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
cr : 1,730 1,820 1,614 1,648 2,971 2,793 3,000
FL : 6,700 7,000 2,650 2,750 17,152 17,755 19,250
GA : 40,000 43,000 2,180 2,300 85,880 87,200 98,900
IN: 6,100 6,400 2,170 2,100 10,945 13,237 13,440
KY :. 178,050 194,800 2,059 2,247 355,024 366,551 437,645
MD : 7,300 7,100 1,110 1,330 11,970 8,103 9,443
MA H 480 470 1,554 1,568 767 ' 746 737
mM il/: 2,500 2,500 2,180 2,150 4,422 5,450 5,375
NC 3 266,700 285,500 2,029 2,180 552,627 541,056 622,450
OH : 9,100 9,100 1,750 1,950 14,497 15,925 17,745
PA : 9,500 10,000 1,887 1,945 18,175 17,925 19,445
sc : 48,000 51,000 2,160 2,050 100,125 103,680 104,550
IN : 45,500 47,050 1,754 2,184 93,142 79,820 102,765
VA : 49,590 $3,280 1,892 1,970 92,177 93,814 104,948
Ww oi/: 1,450 1,800 1,300 1,600 2,720 1,885 2,880
WI 3 5,700 6,700 1,998 1,975 6,906 11,391 13,235
US : 678,400 727,520 2,016 2,166 1,369,500 1,367,331 1,575,808

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-38 USDA, NASS


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD

: PRODUCTION
: IND : : IND : : : IND
31989 1/ : 1990 : 1989 1/: 1990 : 1988 : 1989 1/ : 1990
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUBHELS
AL $70 450 21.0 17.0 14,250 11,970 7,650
AR 3,200 3,050 23.5 23.0 83,200 75,200 70,150
DE 250 195 29.0 32.0 6,075 7,250 6,240
FL 2/ 120 75 22.0 25.0 3,335 2,640 1,875
A 1,100 830 26.0 15.0 22,500 28,600 12,450
IL 8,850 9,100 40.0 38.0 234,900 354,000 345,800
IN 4,550 4,250 36.5 39.0 115,500 166,075 165,750
TA 8,280 7,900 39.0 39.0 251,100 322,920 308,100
KS 1,850 1,950 27.0 24.0 46,000 49,950 46,800
4 1,170 1,210 31.5 30.0 24,115 36,855 36,300
TA 1,750 1,700 22.0 24.0 56,550 38,500 40,800
yD 550 495 30.0 33.0 14,105 16,500 16,335
MI 1,080 1,140 36.0 37.0 35,090 38,880 42,180
MN 5,000 4,500 37.0 36.0 124,800 185,000 162,000
MS 2,000 2,000 20.0 20.0 49,500 40,000 40,000
» 4,350 4,100 28.0 28.0 112,095 121,800 114,800
NE 2,560 2,350 32.0 33.0 70,800 81,920 77,550
NJ 2/: 113 108 32.0 34.0 2,781 3,616 3,672
nc : 1,550 1,350 27.0 23.0 35,370 41,850 31,050
ND 5 630 445 22.0 23.0 12,420 13,860 10,235
CH : 3,980 3,680 31.5 37.0 99,900 125,370 136,160
OK 2/: 285 230 24.0 20.0 4,860 6,840 4,600
PA 2/ : 305 275 34.0 35.0 7,840 10,370 9,625
sc 960 790 21.0 19.0 18,565 20,160 15,010
sD : 1,880 1,920 26.0 26.0 41,520 48,880 49,920
IN 2: 1,240 1,250 24.0 24.0 31,980 29,760 30,000
TX : 415 230 30.0 28.0 6,300 12,450 6,440
VA 540 530 32.0 31.0 14,420 17,280 16,430
wi 410 420 37.0 37.0 8,970 15,170 15,540

fo}
a

59,538 56,523 32.3 32.3 1,548,841 1,923,666 1,823,462
1/ REVISED. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORE-
CAST.

AREA PLANTED, SOYBEANS, 1/

STATE : 1989 : 1989

: 1,000 ACRES : 1,000 ACRES
AL 3 600 8) : 4,400
AR 3 3,300 NE : 2,600
DE 3 255 No 3 115
FL : 130 Ne 3 1,600
CA z 1,150 ND 3 640
m 2 8,900 OH : 4,000
IN 3 4,600 OK : 300
TA z 8,300 PA : 310
KS 3 1,900 sc 3 980
KY 3 1,200 sD : 1,900
IA 3 1,950 IN : 1,300
MD 2 570 TM 3 500
MI 3 1,100 VA 3 550
MN 3 5,050 WI : 420
MS 2 2,200 :

: us 2 60,820
1/ REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-26 NASS, USDA


cROP :
: 1988 :19891/: 1990 19s8 : 1989 1/ : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES
oars : 13,910 12,085 10,423 5,533 6,882 5,955
BARLEY 2 9,831 9,125 8,246 7,636 8,313 7,594
ALL WHEAT : 65,529 76,615 77,286 53,189 62,189 69,353
WINTER : 48,800 55,091 56,998 39,800 41,509 49,976
DURUM : 3,336 3,791 3,565 2,847 3,673 3,502
OTH SPRING : 13,393 17,733 16,723 10,542 17,007 15,875
RYE : 2,374 2,014 1,625 595 484 373
YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION, UNITED STATES
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
: YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCTION
CROP AND UNIT:
: 1988: 1989 1/: 1990 : 1988 +: 19891/: 1990
BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
oars BU : 39.3 54.3 60.2 217,600 373,587 358,288
BARLEY " 38.0 48.6 55.2. 289,994 404,203 418,921
ALL WHEAT " 34.1 32.7 39.6 1,812,201 2,036,618 2,743,624
‘WINTER " 39.2 35.0 40.7 1,561,910 1,454,642 2,036,059
DURUM " 15.7 25.1 34.8 44,832 92,229 121,701
OTH SPRING " 19.5 28.8 36.9 205,460 489,747 585,864
RYE " 24.7 28.2 27.21 14,689 13,647 10,098
1/ REVISED.

FE IIIT IIR IIIT IRIS IIIT I IOI NTIS AIT IS IIIA IAAI AISI IIIS IAI
* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with *

* related information on selected agricultural commodities.

These data

*
* were prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which *
* consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington *
* headquarters. *
* *
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* Rich Allen, " *
* L. Duane Jewell, Secretary, *
* *
* David S. Abbe, Roger D. Lathan, *
* Marvin A. Anderson, Daniel C. Ledbury, *
* Thomas R. Birkett, Archie J. Olson, *
* APPROVED: James E. Brewster, Darwin E. Ranson, *
* Arvin R. Budge, Cc. Ropel, *
* William N. Dowly, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, *
* David L. Emslie, James L. Smith, *
* daw fF Ypudee Robert i. Freie, Charles A. Van’Lahr, *
* Carol c. House, Herbert L. Vanderberry, *
* Van B. Johnson, Frederic A. Vogel, *
* John D. Witzig. *
* i *
HREKRREREREERERREEEEEAREEERRRERERES KARE REREERERERIRRAERERERREREEREEAREREREAE

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

A-2

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


The U.S. average yield per acre im forecast. at. a resurd high 120.3 bushels,
down 1.4 bushels from tho {xqAsmber 1 forecast but 4.1 bushels above the 1989

average yield.

Yields in the leading States and bushel changes fram last month are:
ears 133, down 2; Illinois 130, down 4; Nebraska 130, down 2; Minnesota 125,
change; Indiana 132, no change; Ohio 123, down 2; Wisconsin 114, down 1;
Michigan 115, no change; South Dakota 78, down 3; and Missouri 103, no

As of October 1, gorn was in mostly good condition with 75 percent of
the crop mature, 12 points behind normal. Harvest was 14 percent complete, 7
points behind normal. Corn borer infestation has been quite severe in
Illinois and yields in early harvested fields have been lower than previously
anticipated. Dry weather in Iowa during September caused premature drying
which resulted in lower than expected test weights.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production of grain sorghum is forecast at 562 million
bushels, dom 2 percent f rom September 1 and off 9 percent

from 1989. The U.S. average yield is forecast at 60.7 bushels per acre, a

decline of 1.1 bushels since last month, but 5.3 bushels above last year.

Yield prospects were below month earlier levels in Kansas, Nebraska, and

. Harvest of the Kansas sorghum crop started the third week of
September and reached 10 percent: completion by month's end. The condition of
Nebraska's crop declined during the month. Harvest is underway and lodging
caused by insect and heat damage has been reported. Warm temperatures allowed
Colorado's late developing crop to catch up to average maturity by the end of
September.

RICE: The 1990 U.S. rice Production is forecast at 158 million cwt. tha is
percent below last month 2 percent above last year.
to average 5,629 pounds per acre, down 12 pounds from last month
down 120 pounds from last year. Yield decreased 100 pounds from last month in
Texas due to decreased second crop cuttings. Area for harvest in the U.S. is
expected to total 2.81 million acres, down slightly from last month but up 5
percent fram last year.

As of October 1, rice harvest was 53 percent complete, 10 points behind
last year and 17 points behind the five-year average. Harvest was complete in
Texas and 94 percent complete in Louisiana.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.82 billion bushels, down 5 percent from

1989 and 1 percent below the September 1, 1990 forecast. Yield is
estimated at 32.3 bushels per acre, unchanged from last year but 0.1 of a
bushel below September 1, 1990. Area for harvest, at 56.5 million acres, is
5 percent below last year and less than 1 percent below the September 1, 1990
forecast.

i

Yield increases from September 1 are forecast in 3 states, while
decreases are forecast in 8 states. Eighteen states indicated no change or
the yield forecast was carried forward from September 1. Yields were mixed in
the Corn Belt and Plains States. Dry conditions continued during September in
the western Corn Belt and Plains States, while above normal temperatures in
the eastern Corn Belt prompted rapid development.

Yields in the Southeast were mostly unchanged or down fram September 1
In Georgia, ary weather and insect problens have deteriorated yield prospects
and caused some early abandorment of fields.

As of October 1, 10 percent of the soybean crop had been harvested with
progress well behind normal in most states.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-6 NASS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE PEAS 1/

3 AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
STATE 3 3 IND 3 3 IND

2 1989 2/ 2 1990 3 1989 2/ t 1990

3 1,000 ACRES
par) Hy 60.0 58.0 60.0 55.0
WA 3 115.0 108.0 114.0 104.0
US : 175.0 166.0 174.0 159.0

: YIELD : PRODUCTION

: 2: IND : : :

Hy 1989 2/ : 1990 H 1988 3 1989 2/ 3 1990

: POUNDS 1,000 Cwr
ID 3 2,330 1,400 1,386 1,398 770
WA : 2,180 1,540 2,482 2,485 1,602
US : 2,232 1,492 3,868 3,883 2,372

1/ EXCLUDES BOTH WRINKLED SEED PEAS AND AUSTRIAN WINTER PEAS. 2/ REVISED.

AUSTRIAN WINTER PEAS

Hy AREA PLANTED H AREA HARVESTED
STATE 3 z IND : : IND
<3 1989 1/ 3 1990 2 1989 1/ 3 1990
: 1,000 ACRES
ID 3 9.7 12.0 8.7 11.0
OR 3 2.5 1.5 1.5 0.5
US : 12.2 13.5 10.2 11.5
3 YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
: : IND : : : IND
2 1989 1/ : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 1/ : 1990
3 POUNDS 1,000 CWI
ID : 1,700 1,100 91 148 121
oR 3 1,200 800 42 18 4
us 3 1,627 1,087 133 166 125
1/ REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
A-34 NASS, USDA


PECANS

: PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE : UTILIZED :
: 3 IND
: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: 1,000 POUNDS
PECANS IMPROVED yo:
AL : 6,000 13,000 5,000
AR : 1,900 100 50
CA : 2,200 2,000 3,000
FL : 3,400 4,000 2,100
GA : 95,000 69,000 74,000
IA : 4,500 2,500 1,500
MS : 6,500 5,500 2,500
NM : 26,000 29,000 31,000
Nc 2/3 3,500 300 700
OK : 2,500 1,000 1,000
sc 3 4,000 600 B00
TM : 30,000 34,000 45,000
us : 185,500 161,000 . 166,650
PECANS NATIVE & SEEDLING :
AL : 4,000 9,000 3,000
AR : 1,100 900 350
FL : 2,600 3,000 1,500
GA : 15,000 * 16,000 16,000
IA : 17,500 11,500 3,500
MS : 3,500 3,000 1,500
Nc ayo: 2,000 400 800
OK 3 44,500 8,000 5,500
sc : 2,500 400 400
TM : 30,000 21,000 20,000
us : 122,700 73,200 52,550
ALL PECANS :
AL : 10,000 22,000 8,000
AR : 3,000 1,000 400
cA : 2,200 2,000 3,000
FL : 6,000 7,000 3,600
GA : 110,000 85,000 90,000
IA : 22,000 14,000 5,000
MS : 10,000 8,500 4,000
NM : 26,000 29,000 31,000
NC 2): 5,500 700 1,500
OK : 47,000 9,000 6,500
sc : 6,500 1,000 1,200
1TM : 60,000 55,000 65,000
OTH STS 2/:3/ 16,300 17,900
us : 308,200 250,500 237,100

3/ AZ, KS, MD, AND TN BEGINNING WITH 1989 CROP. NO BREAKDOWN BETWEEN VARIETIES
‘AVAILABLE.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

B-43

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


3: AREA HARVESTED 3 YTELD 3 PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : : IND : : IND : 3 + IND
Hy 1989 3 1990 : 1989 : 1990: 1988 3 1989 3 1990
: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND :
AL 2 322.0 398.0 571 458 380.0 383.0 380.0
AZ 3 239.0 344.0 1,303 1,256 865.0 649.0 900.0
AR : 595.0 740.0 687 681 1,044.0 851.0 1,050.0
cA 3 1,040.0 1,040.0 1,228 1,200 2,824.0 2,661.0 2,600.0
FL 3/ : 25.0 29.5 557 750 34.2 29.0 46.1
aA 3 260.0 320.0 631 450 370.0 342.0 300.0
KS 3/ : 0.4 1.3 240 406 0.7 0.2 11
IA : 620.0 770.0 672 686 948.0 868.0 1,100.0
MS : 1,020.0 1,180.0 732 692 1,825.0 1,555.0 1,700.0
$8) : 209.0 235.0 618 572 306.0 269.0 280.0
NM z 55.0 50.0 698 768 102.0 80.0 80.0
Nc 3 120.0 200.0 615 576 133.0 141.0 240.0
OK : 340.0 355.0 244 406 303.0 173.0 300.0
sc : 118.0 154.0 626 452 140.0 154.0 145.0
IN 3 460.0 525.0 497 457 584.0 476.0 500.0
TX : 3,750.0 4,900.0 367 441 5,215.0 2,870.0 4,500.0
WA 3/ 3 2.6 5.0 498 547 3.4 2.7 5.7
US : 9,166.0 11,246.8 602 603 15,077.3 11,503.9 14,127.9
AMER-PIMA:
AZ z 244.5 123.5 936 913 241.0 477.9 235.0
CA : 17.9 25.5 1,078 1,050 3.2 40.2 55.8
MS 4/3: 1.1 1.0 436 528 1.0 1.1
NM 3 30.2 20.0 707 720 23.5 44.5 30.0
TM Hy 78.0 58.0 794 828 66.5 129.0 100.0
US 3 371.7 228.0 893 888 334.2 691.7 421.9
ALL :
AL : 322.0 398.0 571 458 380.0 383.0 380.0
AZ 3 483.5 467.5 1,118 1,165 1,106.0 1,126.0 1,135.0
AR : 595.0 740.0 687 681 1,044.0 851.0 1,050.0
CA : 1,057.9 1,065.5 1,226 1,196 2,827.2 2,701.2 2,655.8
FL 3 25.0 29.5 557 750 34.2 29.0 46.1
CA 3 260.0 320.0 631 450 370.0 342.0 300.0
KS : 0.4 1.3 240 406 0.7 0.2 1.1
1A : 620.0 770.0 672 686 948.0 868.0 1,100.0
MS 3 1,021.1 1,181.0 731 691 1,825.0 1,556.0 1,701.1
by 8) : 209.0 235.0 618 572 306.0 269.0 280.0
NM : 85.2 70.0 701 754 125.5 124.5 110.0
NC 3 110.0 200.0 615 576 133.0 141.0 240.0
OK 3 340.0 355.0 244 406 303.0 173.0 300.0
sc 3 118.0 154.0 626 452 140.0 154.0 145.0
IN 3 460.0 525.0 497 457 584.0 476.0 500.0
TTM : 3,828.0 4,958.0 376 445 5,281.5 2,999.0 4,600.0
VA 3 2.6 5.0 498 547 3.4 2.7 5.7
US : 9,537.7 11,474.8 614 609 15,411.5 12,195.6 14,549.8

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.

4/ ESTIMATES BEGAN IN 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION
OCTOBER 1990

B-29

2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


ALL WHEAT: ACREAGE

: AREA PLANTED 1/ : AREA HARVESTED
STATE :

: 1988 : 19892/ : 1999 : 1988 : 19892/ ; 1990

: 1,000 ACRES
AL: 270 300 280 200 220 190
AZo: 87 120 100 85 118 98
AR: 1,120 1,300 1,500 1,070 1,200 1,400
CA: 590 731 675 549 675 614
co : 2,554 2,775 2,742 2,352 2,270 2,590
DE : 65 80 65 63 74 60
FL: 75 80 65 70 65 55
CA: 575 800 650 500 700 590
ID: 1,220 1,460 1,420 1,150 1,370 1,370
m : 1,300 1,850 2,100 1,250 1,780 1,900
IN: 840 940 1,050 700 880 970
Ao: 60 80 80 35 70 75
KS: 10,200 12,400 12,400 9,500 8,900 11,800
kyo: 550 630 700 380 450 500
TA ot 300 390 A40 270 350 390
mw : 180 230 200 170 215 190
Mo: 650 660 770 620 640 750
MN: 2,520 2,765 2,960 2,250 2,699 2,865
MS; 500 525 600 450 450 520
mM : 1,650 1,970 2,150 1,550 1,850 2,000
ME: 4,730 6,340 5,745 3,830 5,235 5,185
NE : 2,300 2,550 2,450 2,000 2,050 2,250
NY: 22 18 16 19 15 4
NI: 35 43 36 31 35 29
MMO: 520 550 520 290 200 325
NY: 95 135 150 90 130 145
neo: 510 680 600 480 630 550
ND: 9,250 10,800 11,350 7,230 10,330 10,910
OH =: = 1,000 1,260 1,400 920 1,230 1,350
OK : 7,000 7,300 7,500 4,800 5,700 6,300
OR: 800 950 1,010 755 920 968
PA: 175 220 215 170 215 210
sco: 320 460 400 305 435 380
SD  : 3,650 3,930 4,140 2,638 3,520 3,789
TM : 530 540 580 430 450 490
TM : 6,300 6,700 6,700 3,200 3,000 4,200
ur: 184 190 185 177 177 176
VA: 230 300 290 200 275 260
WA: (2,170 3,100 2,600 2,060 2,270 2,480°
wi: uw 16 15 9 12 12
Woof: 150 212 205 133 180 192
woof: 241 235 232 208 204 211
US : 65,529 76,615 77,286 53,189 62,189 69,353
1/ ‘INCUUDES AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.
2/ REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

OCTOBER 1990 A-13 NASS, USDA


SOYBEAN REVISIONS-1989: Production in 1989 was revised to 1.92 billion bus-

hels, less than 1 percent below the previous estimate
of 1.93 billion bushels. “Average yield was revised from 32.4 bushels per acre
to 32.3 bushels per acre. Area for harvest was revised up less than 1 percent
to 59.5 million acres.

These revisions were based upon availability of additional data in some
States, end of marketing year stock estimates, and disappearance data for
exports and crushings.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990

BILLION BUSHELS

2.50

2.19 2.10

1.99 194 194 1.92
2.00 1.86 1.82

1.64 155

1.50

1.00

0.50

0.00
81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90

YEAR

SUNFLOWER: All sunflower production in the five estimating States is forecast

at 2.11 billion pounds this year, 20 percent above 1989 and 18

percent higher than 1988, prea for barvest, at 1.86 million acres, is 4
above + Yield is expected average 1,132 pounds per acre

1990, 147 pounds higher than the 1989 average. All five States are fore-

higher yields in 1990 thari in 1989. North Dakota, at 1,100 pounds per

eounis; “Rirnesdeas at South Dakota, at 1,100 pounds per acre, is up 112

Minnesota, at 1,450 pounds, is up 50 pounds; Kansas, at 1,200

pounds, is up 253 pounds; and Texas, at 1,200 pounds, is up 1 pound per acre.

a ahr se mee Bg gc tt ple diate peveer Seorx pale
and 1989, have been hampered by dry weather, disease, and pest problems. For
the week ending September 30, Condition was mostly fair to good with harvest
progress at 2 percent. complete. Harvest was 8 percent complete in South

slightly ahead of normal. In the eastern Red River Valley of
Mirnestta, Yield prospects were favorable. By the end of September, 11
percent of the acreage had been harvested.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-7 NASS, USDA


On September 30, Arkansas was 18 points behind its average harvesting pace,
while Louisiana was 9 points ahead of average.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico)
is expected to total 3.58 million bales, 1 percent greater than last month and
6 percent above last year. Yields in this region are expected to average
1,198 pounds per acre, 22 pounds below last year's average. Harvest was
active in southern California and in early stages in the central portion.
Crop stress was evident in parts of the State due to lack of water. Arizona's
crop was rated as 18 percent fair and 82 percent good as of September 30. A
month earlier those rates were 25 and 75 percent, respectively.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North
Carolina, and South Carolina) puts production at 1.07 million bales, 1 percent
above last month and 4 percent above last year's production. The dry
conditions during September aided harvest and helped alleviate boll rot.
Harvest proceeded faster than the 5-year average in all States in this region,
with Alabama's harvest 27 percent ahead of average by the end of September.

Bureau of Census reports 2,619,562 running bales ginned prior to October
with 980,529 running bales for the same date last year and
2 ‘278 ,874 running bales in 1988.
COTTONSEED: Production for 1990, based on a three year average lint-seed

ratio, is expected to total 5.67 million tons, up 21 percent fran
the 1989 production of 4.68 million tons.

U.S. ALL COTTON PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990:

MILLION BALES

18.00
16.00

16.65

14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00

0.00

YEAR

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 B-9 NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT: YIELD AND PRODUCTION

: YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE :

2 ©1988 : 1989 1/ : 1990 2 ©1988 : 1989 1/ : 1990

: 1,000 BUSHELS
AL =: 43.0 30.0 35.0 8,600 6,600 6,650
AZ : 98.0 93.0 95.0 3,430 3,162 5,130
AR: (53.0 44.0 35.0 56,710 ° 52,800 49,000
CA : 83.0 77.0 76.0 40,670 43,890 42,560
© : 33.0 26.0 33.0 75,900 57,200 84,150
DE : 52.0 42.0 51.0 3,276 3,108 3,060
FL: (36.0 29.0 33.0 2,520 1,885 1,815
GA t 43.0 32.0 35.0 21,500 22,400 20,650
ID : 66.0 70.0 78.0 50,820 56,700 71,760
IL: 54.0 59.0 48.0 67,500 105,020 91,200
IN : 50.0 59.0 52.0 35,000 51,920 50,440
TA: (35.0 47.0 45.0 1,225 3,290 3,375
KS : 34.0 24.0 40.0 323,000 213,600 472,000
KY > «54.0 50.0 40.0 20,520 22,500 20,000
IA : 641.0 31.0 33.0 11,070 10,850 12,870
MD : 53.0 40.0 52.0 9,010 8,600 9,880
MI 42.0 53.0 55.0 26,040 33,920 41,250
MN : 24.0 38.0 30.0 1,440 4,560 2,550
MS : 46.0 34.0 30.0 20,700 15,300 15,600
MO: 49.0 47.0 38.0 75,950 86,950 76,000
ur : 19.0 36.0 35.0 39,900 54,000 87,500
NE : 36.0 27.0 38.0 72,000 55,350 85,500
NV: 80.0 80.0 70.0 560 480 420
NO : 45.0 39.0 43.0 1,395 1,365 1,247
NM  : 24.0 20.0 25.0 6,960 4,000 8,125
NY : 58.0 45.0 49.0 4,950 5,850 7,105
NC : 50.0 34.0 41.0 24,000 * 21,420 22,550
ND : 13.0 29.0 27.0 1,690 2,320 4,320
CH =: 50.0 51.0 59.0 46,000 62,730 79,650
OK : 36.0 27.0 32.0 172,800 153,900 201,600
OR  : 71.0 60.0 60.0 46,860 48,900 54,600
PA : 53.0 37.0 50.0 9,010 7,955 10,500
sc : 46.0 41.0 38.0 14,030 17,835 14,440
sD: 17.0 26.0 36.0 21,590 35,100 57,600
TM =: 50.0 42.0 36.0 21,500 18,900 17,640
TM 2 ©28.0 20.0 31.0 89,600 60,000 130,200
ur : 36.0 32.0 40.0 5,580 4,960 6,000
VA: 52.0 46.0 47.0 10,400 12,650 12,220
WA: 62.0 53.0 63.0 108,500 68,900 138,600
w 46.0 43.0 46.0 414 516 552
WI : 40.0 53.0 53.0 5,000 9,010 9,805
wy : 22.0 22.0 29.0 4,290 4,246 5,945
US : 39.2 35.0 40.7 1,561,910 1,454,642 2,036,059
1/ REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
OCTOBER 1990 A-16 NASS, USDA