COTTON

Fy ACREAGE LINT YIELD PER : PRODUCTION 2/
+___HARVESTED "FoR 2480-3 Hi
STATE : ¢ THARVEST : + INDI“? + INDI-
2 1971 ¢ 1972: 1973 1971 : 1972 +:_CATED : 1972 : CATED
3 t : 3 : 31973: : 21973
: 1,000 ACRE: POUNDS 7,000 BALES
: 175, 170 170 371 337 438 135 119 155
8. C. : 320 340 304 412 435 442 275 308 280
GA. : 385 430 395 466 395 437 374 354 360
TENN. 3 425 485 450 597 543 512 528 548 480
ALA. : 558 580 533 551 470 423 640 567 470
3 313 405 190 614 520 480 401 439 190
: 1,325 1,606 1,359 613 599 636 1,693 2,005 1,800
: 1,140 1,410 $80 522 488 519 1,240 1,435 1,060
: 500 665 530 576 509 539 600 705 595
: 396 510 510 215 313 339 177 332 360
: 4,700 5,000 5,500 263 408 415 2,579 4,246 = 4,750
: 130 131 135 493 581 498 133 158 140
: 241 271 280 928 1,067 926 466 603 540
: 741 863 935 723 982 945 1,117 1,765 1,840
: 4.2 2.5 4.2 247 265 300 2.2 1.4 2.6
: 9.3 11.3 10.0 602 572 576 11.7 13.5 12.0
: 8 Ll 0 242 256 v A 6 0
: 4.3 5.0 4 573 397 480 5.1 41 4
3 2.3 2.1 2.0 319 607 720 1.5 2.7 3.0
: 11,369.9 12,287.6 507 10, 378.9 13,038.0
: 12,888.0 438 509 13 606.3
AMER-PIMA :
TEXAS t 35.4 34.5 31.2 478 437 449 35.3 31.4 29.2
N. MEX. : 20.6 21.1 17.8 473 349 378 20.3 15.4 14.0
ARIZ. : 44d 39.9 34.0 456 587 593 42.1 48.8 42.0
CALIF. 1/ t “6 33 22 325 385 480 4 2 2
U. S, AMER-PIMA ; 101.0 95.8 83.2 466 480 493 98.1 95.8 85.4
U. $. ALL COTTON ; 11,470.9 12,370.8 507 10,477.0 13,123.4
: 12,983.8 438 509 13,702.1

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AVAILABLE WHEAT PASTURE
OCTOBER 1, 1972 AND OCTOBER 1, 1973

PERCENT OF SEEDED ACRES OF WHEAT

PASTURE REGION

: WHEAT WITH : PERCENT OF SEEDED : PASTURE REQUIRED
STATE : SUFFICIENT : WHEAT BEING : TO CARRY A 400
:_GROWIR TO PASTURE : PASTURED 3 POUND CALF
yOct. 1: Oct. 1 : Oct. 2 : Oct. 1 + Oct. 1 +: Oct. 1
: 1972: 1973: 1972 1973: 1972: 1973
3 PERCENT
WESTERN KANSAS : 3 2 6 8
WESTERN OKLAHOMA =: (2 5 3 5
TEXAS PANHANDLE : 10 4 2 5 6
AVERAGE FOR WHEAT : 3.8 3.2 6 2 4.9 6.7

Wheat Pasture

On October 1, approximately 3 percent of the fall seeded wheat in the three-State
region of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas had grown sufficiently for grazing. Only a small
amount of seeded wheat was being grazed on October 1, Presently, about 7 acres of wheat
pasture is required to support a 400 pound calf, Adequate soil moisture exists to pro-
mote good growth once seeding is finished,

Western Kansas

Wheat pasture feed supplies in the western two-thirds of Kansas are sharply below
last year, Supplies of available volunteer wheat are increasing, and some cattle and
sheep are grazing these pastures, Fall seedings have been delayed by rain, but this
moisture should promote good wheat growth,

On October 1, approximately 19 percent of the 1973 harvested wheat acreage in the
western two-thirds of Kansas had sufficient volunteer growth to provide wheat pasture,
This is down 8 points from last year. About 4 percent of the available volunteer wheat
acreage was being pastured, down 2 points from last year,

Western Oklahoma

On October 1, wheat pasture reports show about S percent of the intended acreage
with enough growth for grazing but less than one percent being utilized.

lWeavy rains stowed seeding, but given several days of drying weather, planting can
be finished and growth should accelerate rapidly. Prospects for wheat grazing are very
good in all areas. Panhandle ficlds are expected to yield good grazing in 2 to 4 weeks
while the balance of the State does not anticipate widespread pasturing for 6 to 8 weeks,

Texas: Northern High Plains and Southern Low Plains

Texas wheat pasture was in short supply October 1, Ileavy rains during the last part
of September left fields too wet to plant, Many fields that have been sown were seeded
too recently to show enough growth for grazing, but prospects appear good for the future,

Four percent of the seeded wheat has sufficent growth for pasture but only 2 percent is
being used,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 B-23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



In the Western States production is forecast at 146.0 million cwt., up 3 percent from last
year and 4 percent above 1971, The Idaho estimate, at 77.5 million cwt., is about the same as
the 77.3 million cwt, crop of last year. About onesthird of the acreage in the southwest counties
of Idaho had been dug by the first of October, Harvest in eastern Idaho got underway the last
week of September. In the San Luis Valley of Colorado an carly frost limited sizing in some
fields, llarvest has been active since Septeuter 10, Harvest of Norgolds in Washington was
nearly complete by the end of Septenber under favorable weather conditions. Russet harvest is
nearly 50 percent complete. In the KlamathBhasin of Oregon and California, peak harvest is ex-
pected in early Octover.

The 1974 winter crop acreage intentions in Florida and California are estimated at 13,600
acres, 3 percent less than the 14,000 acres planted in 1975. In Florida increased acreage in
the Everglades should more than offset the decline expected in Dade County. Little change is
expected in the southwest and Martin County areas. In California early plantings have emerged.

SWEETPOTATOES: Production of sweetpotatoes for 1973 is forecast at 12.3 million cwt, 2 percent

less than the September 1 forecast and 1 percent below the 1972 crop, Harvest
has started in New Jersey. About one-third of the crop is harvested in Maryland, Virginia, and
Mississippi under favorable weather conditions. Harvest in North Carolina is approaching the
half-way point. Dry weather in August and September reduced tuber size. Georgia harvest is
underway under varying moisture conditions. Heavy rain in Louisiana slowed harvest and losses
are occurring in some low areas. Harvest in southern parishes is almost over while other areas
are well underway. Peak harvest in Texas is expected in October. California supplies are begin-
ning to move to storage - smaller than normal sizes are expected.

FRESH MARKET VEGETABLES: Prospective total acreage of 14 fall fresh market vegetables for har-
vest during October, November, and December 1973 is placed at 250,300

acres, 4 percent more than the 239,710 acres harvested during the fall quarter of 1972. Potential

production for these 14 crops, based on average yields per acre for recent years, is projected

at 44,6 million cwt. This would be 6 percent more than last year's fall production 6f 41.9

million cwt.

CROP REPORTING BOARD

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 Acl4 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR TNDIT= INDI~
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 [ 1972 1973 1971} 1972} 1973 1971 1972 1973

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

MAINE 1/ 20 18 18 2060 2600 2425 52 36 41
NH V/ 20 18 18 2655 2630 2625 51 41 41
VT v/ 133 110 114 2635 2405 2610 313 226 239
MASS 1/ 31 28 28 2455 2625 2460 19 63 73
RI Vv 3 3 3 24630 2650 2430 7 8 7
CONN ls 25 22 22 2690 2420 2470 73 48 59
NY 2,055 960 960 2065 2030 2655 29796 29208 29448
NJ Vv 58 55 57 2690 2670 3410 168 149 177
PA 814 810 812 2665 2430 2470 29157 15863 20192
OHIO 550 530 510 2675 2070 2450 1513 19431 19275
IND 435 426 408 3400 2685 2490 15305 19214 19183
TLL 7is 700 680 3e25 3650 3430 29324 20450 29244
MICH 1,090 12065 19080 2610 2650 2460 29289 29663 29808
WISc 3017 2950 32090 2695 2085 2470 8900 8»408 89343
MINN 29240 25120 25210 3200 34615 3.00 6720 69678 69630
1OWA 15705 1%620 15750 310 3430 3430 39286 59346 5e775
MO 725 650 600 2665 2480 2480 1,921 15820 15680
N DAK 1,477 15492 15600 1680 14685 1430 29659 25760 29080
S DAK 25456 25382 29580 1655 1.695 1.35 39807 49645 39483
NEBR 15698 15650 15770 2070 2685 24660 49585 49703 49602
KANS 15180 19170 15210 2675 3605 3.15 39245 39569 39812
DEL ls 6 7 7 2085 2690 3.10 17 20 22
MD i 67 65 66 3415 2690 3,20 211 189 211i
VA Vv 87 80 55 2665 2670 2460 231 216 143
wWVA Vs 92 95 100 2020 2635 2.30 202 223 230
NC i 13 12 13 2060 2645 2665 34 29 34

GA ar 5 5 2040 2440 12 12
KY 198 168 192 350 3400 3430 693 564 634
TENN l/s 74 75 bo 2640 2640 24650 178 180 200

ALA af 4 4 2015 2410 9 8
MISS ls 13 15 14 2070 2660 2460 35 39 36
ARK lv 66 64 60 3435 2690 3.00 221 186 180
LA l/s 12 12 12 2650 2025 2655 30 27 31
OKLA 605 595 580 2260 2650 3.00 19573 15488 15740
TEXAS 212 270 220 330 4620 4230 700 19134 946
MONT 15160 15200 19220 2605 2015 1695 29378 29580 29379
IDAHO 1,078 12089 15110 3.10 3000 24.95 39342 39267 39275
WYO 458 460 470 2630 2030 2420 15053 12058 19034
COLO 750 735 760 2670 2660 2.80 29025 1,911 29128
N MEX 195 195 209 4050 4430 4460 878 839 961
ARIZ 201 215 221 5290 5490 6400 19186 19269 19326
UTAH 450 455 460 3005 2685 3410 19373 19297 19426
NEV 176 170 175 3440 3440 3440 598 578 595
WASH 528 535 530 335 3435 3400 15769 19792 19590
OREG 432 428 390 2295 3400 3.00 19274 15284 19170
CALIF 19210 15198 19190 570 64600 5470 69897 79188 69783
U.S. 279539 269946 275654 2680 2688 2676 775169 775707 765266

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

2/ SEPARATE ESTIMATES FOR ALFALFA DISCONTINUED AFTER 1972 AND INCLUDED
IN "ALL OTHER HAY".

CROP PRODUCTION» OCTOBER 1973

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTe

B-10

CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


PASTURE AND. RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
Y, October 1, 1973

Good to excetlent
Poor to fair

BRR very poor

{GBI Severe drought
MM Extreme drougnt

‘*AS REPORTED BY
‘CROP CORRESPONDENTS

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-tRRIGATED PASTURES AND RANGES RELA-

TIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS,
U8, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. 309-73(10) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
October 1, 1972

Good to excellent
Poor to fair

BES Very poor
HBB Severe drought

7

~S

‘4S REPORTED BY
‘CROP CORRESPONDENTS,

SR INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND RANGES RELA-
TIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS,

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 204-72 (10)

STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 ASS CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


IRISH POTATOES

t, ACREAGE. YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
SEASONAL GROUP’ :__ HARVESTED: FOR: F In. : = IND.

AND STATE : THARVEST : 1971 : 1972 : 973 197: 1972: oe

: : 1973: : : : : :

t T, OOO ACRES CHT. T,000 CHT.

FALL :

MAINE $145.0 © :128,0 137.0260 260° 215 33,280 29,455
N, HAMPSHIRE : .7 38 +6 270 220 200 176 120
VERMONT > 1,2 1a 1.0 220 190 130 209 130
MASSACHUSETTS, : 47 3.7 3.5 210 160 160 592 560
RHODE ISLAND t 5.2 4.9 4.3 240 185 210 907 903
CONECTICUT t+ 347 2.9 2.6 230 210 220 609 572
NEW YORK-LI, 1/ 3 34.5 27.0 25.0 230 207 215 5,585 5,375
UPSTATE + 34.5 25.5 29.0 230 195 215 4,973 6,235
PENNSYLVANIA + 35.5 30.0 31.0 220 170 220 5,100 6,820
8 EASTERN-FALL + 262.0 223.9 = 234.0245 230 214 51,431 $0,170
OHTO LS 9.5 9.5 218 21s 210 2,043 1,995
INDIANA 6.1 5.4 5.2 280 225 225 1,215 1,170
MICHIGAN 2 38.5 31.5 32.0 230 250 245 7,875 7,840
WISCONSIN 1/ + 51,5 45.5 47.0 256 253 240 11,530 11,280
MINNESOTA + 90.0 78.0 82.0 165 170 160 13,260 13,120
NORTH DAKOTA + 129.0 120.0 130.0 155 145 150 17,400 19,500
SOUTH DAKOTA 7.8 5.9 5.3 135 125 135 738 716
NEBRASKA 5.0 4.4 4.4 210 220 220 968 968
8 CENTRAL-FALL 336.4 300.2, 315.4 186 183 179 55,029 56,589
MONTANA 7.8 1S 6.8 180 220 210 1,650 1,428
IDAHO-10 S, W. CO. 31.0 27.0 36.0 310 335, 320 9,045 11,520
OTHER CO. 288.0 273.0 «287.0235 250 230 68,250 66,010
WYOMING 3.7 5.6 6.1 250 235 240 1,316 1,464
COLORADO 31.5 31,0 30.5 240 285 260° 7,560 7,905 = 7,930
UTAH 5.3 4,3 5.0 160 235 180 848 1,011 900
WASHINGTON 1/ 78.0 75.0 82.0 386 418 420 50,110 31,365 34,440
OREG.-MALHEUR CO. 18.5 12.0 14.0 295 330 350 5,458 3,960 4,900
OTHER CO. 29.0 28.7 29.5 285 365 375° 8,265 «10,476 ~=—-11,063
CALIFORNIA 29.0 23.5 20.0 280 315 315 8,120 7,403 6,300
8 WESTERN-FALL $21.8 487.6 516.9 268 292 282 139,980 142,381 145,955
TOTAL-FALL 1,120.2 1,011.7 1,066.3 238 246 237 266,686 248,84] 252,714
U.S. 2/ 1,391.3 1,253.8 1,302.7 230 236 228 319,354 295,955 297,506

SEASONAL GROUP : CROP OF 1971 CROP OF 1972 2/
AND STATE ACREAGE: YIELD PER: PRO- :___ ACREACE ?YYELD PER: PRO-
"PLANTED :HARVESTED: ACRE PLANTED :HARVESTED: ACRE: DUCTION
? 1,000 ACRES CHT. 1,000 CWT. 1,000 ACRES CWI, 1,000 CWT,
FALL :
N.Y, LI, (LSU) 8,9 8.9 230 2,047 8.5 200 1,700
-NeY. LI. (F) + 22.6 22.6 230 5,198 18.5 210 3,885
N.Y. LI. TOTAL 2 3S 31.5 230 7,245 27.0 207 5,585
WESC. (SU) 16.0 15.5 235 3,643 15.0 240 3,600
WISC, (F) + 36.5 36.0 265 9,540 30.5 260 7,930
WISC. TOTAL > 52.5 51.5 256 13,183 45.5 253 11,530
WASH, (Lsu) > 20,0 20.0 360 7,200 21,0 375 7,875
WASH, ) > 58.0 58.0 395 22,910 54.0 435 23,490
WASH, TOTAL : 78.0 78.0 386 30:10 75.0 418 31,365

1/ FOR 1973, THE ESTIMATES PROGRAM FOR POTATOES WAS MODIFIED, REDUCING THE NUMBER OF SEASONAL GROUPING
FROM 6 TO 4, SHOWN ARE HISTORIC ESTIMATES FOR FALL POTATOES CLASSIFIED FOR STATES OR AREAS WITHIN STATES
ACCORDING TO THE PREVIOUS SEASONAL CLASSES USED: LSU, LATE SUMMER; F, FALL. LATE SUMMER CROPS FOR

NEW YORK, LONG ISLAND, WISCONSIN AND WASHINGTON HAVE BEEN ADDED TO THE FALL CROP, 2/ INCLUDES WINTER,
SPRING AND SUMMER ESTIMATES - SEE PAGE A-4,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 Be21 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA ,


PEANUTS RARVESTED FOR NUTS

STATE t ACREAGE z YIELD PER ACRE £ PRODUCTION
2 HARVESTED : Bi B : : B
AND * ‘INDICATED INDICATED
wa oF nt Te RVEST aL: 1972 gg TL = 3972 4975
7 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
vA. 1 93 102 102 2,360 2,605 2,800 219,480 265,710 285,600
N.C. : 155 166 166 2,100 2,230 +=» 2,800 «325,500 370,180 464,800
TOTAL :
VA. -N. G.r 2468 268 268 2,198 «2,373 «2,800 © 544,980 635,890 750,400
s.c.1/ 1 15 15.5 16.4 2,000 2,050 «1,850 30,000 3,775 30,340
CA. : 510 512 512 2,490 2,620 «2,650 1,269,900 1,341,440 1,356,800
FLA. 1 54 54 34 2,590 2,550 +=«.2,550 «139,860 =: 137,700 137,700
ALA. z 194 197 200 2,070 1,870 = 2,000 © 401,580 368,390 = 400, 000
MISS. 1/ : (945 10 9,5 1,735 1,600 1,700 16,483 16,000 16,150
TOTAL :

S. EAST : 782.5 788.5 791.9 2,374 2,404 += 2,451.1, 857,823 1,895,305 1,940,990
OKLA. : 19 115 120 1,840 2,110 «2,200 218,960 242,650 = 264,000
TEXAS : 297 307 314 1,235 «1,565 = 1,700 366,795 480,455 $33,800
N. MEX.1/ : 8 9 7.8 2,070 2,590 2,300 16,560 20,461 17,940
TOTAL =:

S. WEST : 424 429.9 41,8 1,421 1,730 1,846 © 602,315 743,566 = 815, 740

U.S. :1,4546.5 1,486.4 1,501.7 2,066 2,203 2,335 3,005,118 3,274,761 3,507,130

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

FLAXSEED
ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVEST=D FOR INDI= INDI=
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 1972 1973 1971 [1972] 1973 1971 1972 1973
12000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

MINN 240 156 228 1465 1165 13.0 39480 19794 29964

IOWA = -2/ 1 18.0 18
N DAK 861 610 886 10.5 12.0 9.0 99041 79320 79974
S DAK 425 360 473 13.0 12.5 10.0 59525 49500 49730
TEXAS 10 15 8 760 11.0 10.0 70 165 80
MONT Vv 8 10 13 860 1340 120 64 130 156
Us Sy 25545 1915] 19608 1168 1261 969 18198 135909 159904

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 19726

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973

B-7

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA

Bel3

October 1973

CROP PRODUCTION,


ALL HAY

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PROOUCTION
STATE HARVESTED .| FOR TO {jINDI- INOI-
HARVEST | CATED CATED
1972 1972 1973 | 1971 | 1972 | 1973 1971 1972 1973
1:000 ACRES TONS 14000 TONS

MAINE 1/ 237 235 225 «1678 1454 1470 421 362 383
NH O1/ 94 92 92 1696 1677 1,82 184 163 167
VI ou 501 489 479-1498 1474 1,80 994 851 860
MASS 1/ 112 109 109 2415 1488 2416 241 205 235
RIM 9 9 9 1689 14689 1,89 17 17 17
CONN 1/ 91 88 87 2622 1470 2406 202 150 179
Y 25355 24310 293002629 1495 2414 55396 41503 49927
Ng1/ 129 122 126 2629 2618 2442 296 266 305
PA 24033 19955 28050 2014 1492 2.16 45351 39752 49420
OHIO 1,550 15476 15540 2007 2412 2.03 39213 39134 39129
IND 900 844 B50 2646 2031 2438 29212 19946 2023
TLL 19170 1915C 19140-2073 2693. 2478 39189 35373 39164
MICH 1,340 15310 15330 2600 2634 2443 29677 39067 39233
WISC 35987 35920 43070 2678 «2660 2456 111083 1¢9203 109401
MINN 34190 3,020 34210 2658 2470 2462 Br240 85163 84160
1OWA 25350 21250 25430 2484 3403 3.03 69673 63827 74373
Mo 3,050 29900 35100-1477 «14691 1.83 5»409 59533 59680
N DAK 35388 31384 35490 1643 1049 1014 49857 52030 39970
S_DAK 49716 4597 = 43760 01421 1654 1,410 59728 71082 59227
NEBR 4170 44150 4320-1466 1474 1,60 61933 7203 69897
KANS 20477 29370 25450 = 2012 2034 2042 59255 59549 55920
DEL 1/ 26 25 25 1696 2608 2412 51 52 53
MD 255 250 266 2627 2627 2437 578 568 631
VA 1,021 995 955 1664 1683 1475 15679 19817 19673
WoVA 608 600 610 1452 1664 1463 924 981 $95
nc 340 332 325-1659 1653 1.69 541 509 549
sc 222 220 240 2400 2400 2410 444 440 504
GA 440 444 466 2635 2605 2.40 19034 912 15118
FLA 1s 176 183 188 1495 1470 1,80 343 311 338
KY 15551 19487 19522-1697 1486 1499 31062 24772 31028
TENN 19174 19142 19180-1681 1656 1457 15773 1s781 19850
ALA 535 508 543° 1470 1660 1470 912 814 923
MISS 598 570 630 1687 1677 1.82 15117 12010 19145
ARK 706 672 680 1681 14672 1.91 15277 19159 14296
LA 355 300 323° 1687 2011 2412 665 632 684
OKLA 15790 11640 15709 14681 1677 2,07 39232 29899 39546
TEXAS 25220 15970 242601685 2609 2632 4e114 45109 59230
MONT 29355 21520 24450 1664 1673 1047 3872 4362 39609
TDAHO 15333 1,369 14400 2682 2471 2465 34763 39715 39710
wo 1165 15253 19170 1654 2655 1452 15795 19786 19769
coLo 15440 15410 15408 2603 1.98 2413 2922 29789 3003
N MEX 266 264 285 «3683 3453 3474 19020 932 14067
ARIZ 240 259 267 5430 5430 5436 19272 19372 19432
UTAH 578 586 5932674 2658 2.77 15584 19513 19645
NEV 471 435 443 2409 2400 2,07 982 870 917
WASH 910 910 886 2668 2671 2450 25438 29467 29213
OREG 1,050 1,050 990 2618 2617 2415 29294 29279 29130
CALIF 19731 15709-19725 4054 4477 4521 79861 8159 79773
U.S. 619405 59>783 614606 2620 2615 2610 1299119 1284389 1299502

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 8-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


POTATOES, IRISH 1973 CROP 1/

GRouP : 1972 : ACREAGE PLANTED
SiMe ‘ACREAGE YIELD PER: 573! INDICATED : 1974 AS PER-
PLANTED __:PLANTED ACRE : : 1974 2 CENT OF 1973
1,000 ACRES CHT. T,000 ACRES PERCENT
WINTER: :
FLORIDA > 10.4 13.1 9.1 9.3 102
CALIFORNIA : 5.7 17.0 4.9 4.3 88
TOTAL : 16,1 14.5 14.0 13.6 97.1
1/ INCLUDES ACREAGE PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.
SWEETPOTATOES
ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR IND- IND=
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 1972 1973, ti971_ | 1972 | 1973 1971 1g972_}| 1973
19000 ACRES CWT. 12000 ChT.
NJ 15 165 Le 115 105 110 173 158 154
MD 202 202 202 140 135 140 308 297 308
VA 7.0 668 704 138 124 145 966 843 14073
NC 23.0 24.0 2540 145 160 150 34335 39840 35750
$C 260 240 263 75 90 90 150 180 207
GA 768 840 765 85 80 85 663 640 638
TENN 203 203 204 100 105 100 230 242 240
ALA 560 408 405 85 85 85 425 408 383
MISS 10.0 10.0 965 95 85 95 950 850 903
ARK 106 165 165 80 85 85 128 128 128
La 3500 3340 3540 85 100 85 29975 39300 24975
TEXAS 1005 1245 965 15 65 70 788 813 665
CALIF 5eT 568 604 110 130 135 627 754 864
U.S. 11366 11404 11466 103 109 107 11,718 129453129288
HOPS
ACREAG YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR INDIT— TNDI-
HARVEST CATED | 1971 3/]| 1972 1/ | CATED
i971_|_1972 1973 |i971 | 1972 | 1973 1973 2/
12000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 POUNDS
IDAHO 304 348 4.0 19690 19710 19750 59746 69498 7,000
WASH 1869 1942 2066 12730 19810 1+770 325697 349752 362462
OREG Sel 502 503 11700 19470 19640 81670 75644 8692
CALIF 165 165 265 19700 19610 19490 25550 29415 29235
U.S. 28-9 2967 Ble4 15718 19728 19732 495663 519309 549389

ARVESTED PRODUCT IO! 1972 INCLUDES HOPS PLACED IN RESERVE UNDER FEDERAL
MARKET ORDER 991. .
2/ TOTAL PRODUCTION. QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED BY
REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991+

CROP PRODUCTION» OCTOBER 1973 B-22 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


SPRING WHEAT OTHER THAN DURUM

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOI INDT= INDI=
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 [1972 1973 1971 | 1972] 1973 1971 1972 1973
19000 ACRES BUSHELS 1000 BUSHELS
WISC Vv 13 9 12 30.0 29.0 29.0 390 261 348
MINN 15496 12440 1,930 38.0 33.0 40.0 569848 479520 779200
N DAK 65594 559143 64180 3165 29.0 28.0 2079711 1499147 1739040
S DAK 15492 15086 19440 28.0 24.0 23.0 419776 269064 335120
MONT 25327 1780 15820 23.0 26.0 22.0 53521 469280 40040
IDAHO 232 186 295 52.0 51,0 49.0 129064 99486 149455
wYo 1s 18 12 15 2500 30.0 28.0 450 360 420
COLO Vv 22 15 21 25.5 2540 28.0 561 375 568
UTAH wa 20 16 47 44, 44.0 45. 880 704 29115
NEV lv 5 5 6 3500 37.40 3540 175 185 210
WASH 160 212 340 31.0 34.0 19.0 42960 3808 69460
OREG is 72 51 70 34.5 3205 3220 29484 19658 29240
U.S, 124451 95855 129176 3007 29.0 28.8 3815820 2855848 3509236

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

DURUM WHEAT

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

STATE HARVESTED FOR TNOT= TNOT=
HARVEST CATED CATED

1971 1972 1973 1971} 1972) 1973 1971 1972 1973

12000 ACRES BUSHELS 12000 BUSHELS

MINN 47 32 58 40.0 31.40 35.0 19880 992 29030
N DAK 29525 29298 29620 3205 2845 29.0 822063 659493 759980
S DAK 122 87 lll 31.0 25.0 26,0 39782 29175 29886
MONT 160 134 16¢ 23.0 3145 2340 39680 4221 49140
CALIF 1s 10 4 2 4000 39,09 35.0 400 156 70
U.S. 21864 29555 29971 3201 2846 2846 925805 739037 859106

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

WHEAT: PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, FOR THE UNITED STATES
5 WINTER : ‘SPRING ? WHITE
YEAR + HARD ‘SOFT : HARD + DoRUM : (WINTER & TOTAL

: RED RED RED : :___ SPRING)

: 1,000 BUSHELS
1971 747,292 211,740 366,447 91,805 200,505 1,617,789
1972 > 764,044 226,782 274,168 73,037 206,744 1,544,775
1973 / : 970,311 162,477 330,373 85,106 178,538 1,726,805
‘T/_INDICATED OCTOBER 1, i973.

CROP PRODUCTION» OCTOBER 1973 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


WAY: Hay production is expected to reach 12,5 million tons, up 1 percent from 1972, 3 percent

above the midsummer forecast made on August 1 and slightlyabove the record high of 1971,
The bountiful crop resulted from increased acreage and gencrally good yields over much of the
ation, The all hay yield is expected to average 2,10 tons per acre harvested, down 0.05 ton
fron last year's record and equal to 1971.

‘This year's weather generally favored hay production all season over much of the Nation,
liowever, prospects outran expectations during August and Septenber as late sumor dry weather
favored harvest in the Nation's eastern.third, In contrast, inproved mvisture conditions and
a prolonged harvest season elsewhere, and especially in the Northwest, caused higher yields than
anticipated on August 1,

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixture hay production is now forecast at 76.3 million tons, 2 percent
below last year but nearly 2 percent above the midsummer forecast. The Nation's yield is expect-
ed to average 2.76 tons per acre, down 0,12 ton from last year and slightly below the 1971
averaye,

All other hay production, estimated at 53,2 million tons, will exceed last year by 5 per-
cent and the August 1 forecast by 4 percent. Yicld is expected to average 1,57 tons this year,
slightly above the past 2 years.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: The 1973 prospective production of dry edible beans decreased 5 percent from
last month and is 10 percent below the 1972 harvest.

In New York and Michigan hot, dry weather reduced yields, Hail storms damaged beans in north-
eastern Colorado and southwestern Nebraska,

Progr:
Western

of harvest is generally ahead of normal in the Northern States but is lagging in the
States due to excessive moisture,

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco is forecast at 1,770 million pounds, up 1 percent froma

year earlier. The larger output can be attributed to an ll-percent increase in both
flue-cured and Southern Maryland production, a 12~percent jump in cigar wrapper, and a 22-percent
upturn in cigar filler. Yield of all tobacco is indicated at 1,998 pounds per acre, down sharply
from a year earlier.

Differences between the October 1 forecast and final estimates for all tobacco during the
past decade averaged 62 million pounds~--ranging from 2 million to 149 million pounds.

Flue-cured production, estimated at 1,128 million pounds, is up 9.6 million pounds from
the previous month and exceeds the 1972 crop by 116 million pounds. A 10-percent increase in
harvested acreage is primarily responsible for the larger 1973 output. Marketing of types
11 and 12 continues active in North Carolina and Virginia, Yield per acre for all flue-cured
types is expected to average 2,004 pounds.

Burley production is forecast at 500 million pounds, 3 percent less than a month earlier
and 17 percent below the 1972 crop. The smaller 1973 crop reflects 2 percent less acreage and
a sharp drop in yfeld--2,168 pounds compared with 2,549 pounds last year.

Southern Maryland tobacco is expected to total 26.4 million pounds, unchanged from the
September forecast but 11 percent above the 1972 output of 23.8 million pounds. A higher yield
accounts for the 1973 increase in production.

Fire-cured producers expect the crop to total 40.3 million pounds in 1973, a drop of 5
percent from the previous year. The decline in production results largely from a 4-percent
decrease in acreage.

Dark air-cured production is forecast at 14,6 million pounds, down 10 percent from the
16.3 million pounds of leaf harvested in 1972, Both acreage and yield per acre are below a year
earlier.

All cigar tobacco is placed at 59.7? million pounds, up 12 percent from 1972. The larger

cigar output results from a 22-percent increase in cigar filler and a 12-percent gain in cigar
wrapper. Yield per acre for all cigar tobacco averaged 1,713 pounds, up 181 pounds from 1972.

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 A-10 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


PRUNES AND PLUMS

PRODUCTION
cROP
AND UTILIZED 1/ INDICATED
STATE i971 I 1972 1973
TONS
PRUNES AND PLUMS
MICHIGAN 20000 14+000 15000
IDAHO 125800 7080 . 9»000
WASHINGTON 159500 12400 16+000
OREGON 16+700 8400 33000
4 STATE TOTAL 652000 4145880 735000

1/ EXCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (TONS):

1971 - 235400; 1972 - 520.

TOTAL 4 STATES

NUTS
PRODUCTION
cROP
AND UTILIZED 27 INDICATED
STATE 1971 T 1972 1973
. TONS
FILBERTS
WASHINGTON Vv 550 500
OREGON 9600 112000
UNITED STATES 7150 115500

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST«

2/ PRODUCTION ALL UTILIZED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973

B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


APPLES» COMMERCIAL CROP 2/

PRODUCTION
AREA AND STATE MILLION POUNDS 42_ POUND EQUIVALENTS
UTILIZED 3/ [INDICATED UTILIZED 3/ JINDICATED
197l_| i972 1973 1971 I 1972 1973
1,000 UNITS

EASTERN STATES
NEW ENGLAND 35169 29408 25468 85378 72020 69067
NEW YORK 92540 770.0 720.0 229024 180333 179143
NEW JERSEY 110.0 8840 100.0 29619 29095 29381
PENNSYLVANIA 505.0 400.0 410.0 12024 99524 99762
DELAWARE ls 1240 11.0 12.0 286 262 286
MARYLAND. 6920 66.0 66.0 19643 15571 10571
VIRGINIA 480.0 42000 400.0 119429 10000 99524
WEST VIRGINIA 25060 215.0 210.0 59952 5119 52000
NORTH CAROLINA 185.0 24540 210.0 49405 59833 59000
SOUTH CAROLINA 1s 1540 20.0 15.0 357 476 357

TOTAL EASTERN STATES

CENTRAL STATES

OHIO

INDIANA

ILLINOIS

MICHIGAN

WISCONSIN

MINNESOTA l/
1OWA lv
MISSOURI

KANSAS ls
KENTUCKY l/
TENNESSEE 1/
ARKANSAS Vv

TOTAL CENTRAL STATES

WESTERN STATES
IDAHO
COLORADO
NEW MEXICO /
UTAH v
WASHINGTON
OREGON
CALIFORNIA
TOTAL WESTERN STATES

UNITED STATES

29902069 2952968 2939768 699117 609233 579091

150.0 135.0 100.0 39571 39214 29381
90.0 7500 63.0 29143 159786 19500
10360 100.0 85.0 29452 29381 29024
700.0 730.0 440.0 169667 175381 109476
6500 6520 50.0 19548 19548 15190
2365 26.0 2720 560 619 643
1026 1303 1064 252 317 248
5602 6060 51.0 19338 19429 19214
1560 1260 15.0 357 286 357
1904 14.1 1 462 336 238
964 902 4.0 224 219 95
906 B66 6.0 229 205 143

1925167 19248,2 86164 299803 299721 209509

90.0 50.0 125.0 29143 15190 29976
74.0 11.0 9140 15762 262 20167
12.0 220 40,0 286 48 952
2540 400 55.0 595 95 15310
1+20060 1537020 1800.0 285572 329619 429657
12520 105.0 145.0 29976 2500 39452
400.0 49060 510.0 99524 119667 129143
1992660 2032.0 2766.0 459858 485381 659857

62080.6 59810.0 69025,2 1445778 138*335 1439457

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT
2/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR

YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
MORE BEARING AGE TREES.

3/ EXCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (MILLION POUNDS): UNITED
STATES 1971» 290,55 1972,11.33 42 POUND EQUIVALENTS (1,000 ONITS) : 1971-6,917, 1972-269.

CROP PRODUCTIONs OCTOBER

1973 8-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


In Missouri and the eastern Corn Belt seeding of winter wheat was near the normal degree of
completion on October 1 but well ahead of a year earlier. As of October 1 about one-fourth of
the Illinois crop was in the ground, 40 percent in Ohio, and 80 percent in Michigan. Seeding
was delayed in Missouri by wet soils, However, in Indiana, Ohio, and Michigan soil moisture was
short at the end of September. Rains arrived in early October and were very beneficial. In
other wheat growing areas east of the Mississippi River seeding was active during late September
with soil moisture generally short.

Pasture and Range Conditions

Improved pasture and range feed conditions during September in the States located between
the Rocky Mountains and the Mississippi more than offset the decline shown in most States east
of the River. Large areas of poor to fair feed conditions appeared in the Southeast.

A large area of severe drought condition still-exists in the Pacific Northwest and the
Dakotas. Much of the Southwest remains poor to fair.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of com for grain is forecast at a record 5,763 million bushels
as of October 1. This is slightly less (5 million bushels) than the fore~
cast a month earlier, 4 percent more than last year, and 2 percent more than 1971,

The average yield. per acre is forecast at 93,7 bushels, second only to the record high
yield of 96.9 bushels in 1972.

Acreage for grain harvest, at 61,5 million acres, is unchanged from the September 1 es-
timate and 7 percent larger than last year.

Production prospects in the Corn Belt are down slightly from September 1 as a result of
lower yield expectations in Ohio. Lack af moisture during September reduced yield prospects
for late-planted corn in this State, Yield indications are unchanged from a month earlier
elsewhere in the main Corn Belt States. Record high production is expected in the Western
Com Belt States of Minnesota, Iowa, Nebraska, and Kansas.

In the Eastern Com Belt, maturity is slightly ahead of last year except in Illinois
where it was slightly behind as of October 7. Harvest started about mid-September but was
slowed by wet weather the last week of the month, Progress is a little ahead of last year
but slightly behind average.

Maturity is slightly behind average in Iowa, Missouri, Nebraska, and Kansas of the
Western Com Belt, Grain harvest is well behind average in this region, Wet weather over
most of the area has kept combines out of the fields the past 2 weeks. Harvest is most ad-
vanced in South Dakota at 12 percent complete, compared with the average of 16 percent as of
October 7, Iowa harvest was only 8 percent complete, compared with the average of 12.

In the South Atlantic States, harvest is past the midpoint, ahead of normal, Maturity
and harvesting in the South Central States is behind the normal pace and in the North Atlantic
region grain harvest is just starting.

Changes in production forecasts between October 1 and the final estimate have averaged
142 million bushels during the past decade--ranging from 10 to 337 million bushels, During
those 10 years the October 1 forecast was above the final estimate four times by an average
of 82 million bushels and below six times by an average of 182 million bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN: A record production of 999 million bushels of sorghum grain is forecast, up 2

percent from last month, 22 percent above 1972, and 14 percent above the previous
record crop of 1971. Good amounts of moisture over much of the major producing area contributed
to a 1.5 bushel per acre yield increase from prospects a month ago. The prospective yield, 63.0
bushels per acre, is a record.

Sorghum grain prospects improved during September in Oklahoma and in the Central and Northern
Plains. Substantial rainfall in the Plains aided filling of heads. However, sprouting of grain
in the head brought on by the dampness was causing some concern. Production prospects for
sorghum were unchanged in Texas and the same to lover in other southwestern States.

Sorghum grain harvest was virtually complete in the southern half of Texas. Statewide, 51
percent was combined compared with 48 percent a year earlier. Combining was just getting started
on the high plaina of Texas. Harvest was underway in New Mexico and Arizona, Maturity of
Nebraska and Kansas sorghum was about the same as a year ago at 60 percent and 40 percent,
respectively. Harvest in the Central and Northern Plaine States ranged from just getting
underway up to 7 percent complete in Missouri and South Dakota.

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 A-7 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA



SEPTEMBER WET--RAST HOT, WEST COOL

September precipitation was considerably above normal over most of the Plains States and
generally normal to below normal over the eastern third of the Nation, The abnormal wetness
slowed winter wheat seeding in the Great Plains, hampered early harvesting of corn and soybeans
in the western Corn Belt, and kept the Texas cotton harvest far behind schedule.

Temperatures averaged cooler than normal during September in the west, but warmer than nor-
mal over the eastern half of the United States, advancing the development and maturity of late
corn and soybean acreage in the Corn Belt. In the East an area averaging 3° above normal
occurred down through the Ohio River Valley, western Kentucky and Tennessee, and southeastward
through Georgia to the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts. Most Mountain and Plains States averaged 3° be-
low normal.

The month began with the continuation of a late August heat wave in the East. For the next
2 weeks much cooler than normal temperatures dominated the Nation, Frost occurred during the
third week in most of the northern tier of States, hurting some immature corn and soybeans in
northern parts of Wisconsin and Michigan. As the month ended the temperature pattern returned to
that of early September: hot in the East, cool in the West.

Above normal precipitation for September fell over most of the area from the Mississippi River
west to the Pacific Coast. The main exceptions were California and Arizona which received less
than half their normal amount. Rainfall exceeding 8 inches for the month (twice the normal
amount) fell on large areas of Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska,
and Iowa.

Much of this above normal precipitation was associated with Tropical Storm Delia, which
struck near Galveston, Texas on the 3rd and reduced yield prospects for the half-harvested rice
crops in Texas and Louisiana. The widespread good rains of early September benefited cotton and
soybeans in the South Central States.

Most significant rainfall during the remainder of the month was associated with thunderstorm
activity east of the Rockies. At midmonth heavy rains over the Gulf Coast and the Great Plains
caused delays in the Texas cotton harvest and winter wheat seeding in Kansas and Nebraska.

Rains finally fell on the drouth-plagued Northwest, providing moisture for small grain seeding
and boosting pastures.

Light harvesting of corn and soybeans started in several Corn Belt States about midmonth
and continued until slowed by monsoon-like rains on the Nation's midsection during the month's
final week. This wet weather also stopped the Texas cotton harvest and continued to delay wheat
seeding in the Great Plains.

Winter Wheat Seeding Delayed in Great Plains

Seeding of wheat for the 1974 crop advanced during September but unusually heavy rains in
the Great Plains delayed progress considerably. Soil moisture supplies in the Plains were
plentiful on October 1 and rapid progress is expected when soils are dry enough to work. Else-
where, seeding made good progress with generally favorable soil moisture except in some areas
in the eastern third of the Nation.

Winter wheat producers in the Great Plains were faced with the unusual problem of having
seeding operations delayed by too much rain during September. Kansas, which accounted for more
than one-fourth of the Nation's winter wheat crop in the past 3 years, had more than three times
normal precipitation during the month. As a result, only 35 percent of the intended acreage had
been seeded in that State by October 1, compared with 66 percent a year earlier and the normal
of 50 percent. Some reseeding of acreage damaged by heavy rains late in the month is expected
in Kansas and Nebraska. Oklahoma and Texas seeding was 40 and 55 percent, respectively, complete
compared with about two-thirds a year ago. About 70 to 80 percent of the Nebraska and Colorado
wheat had been seeded, also behind last year's pace. Heavy rains in Colorado in late September
crusted soils in newly seeded fields and necessitated reseeding of some acreage. South Dakota
seeding was virtually complete by the end of September.

Above normal September precipitation over much of Montana and the Pacific Northwest relieved
persistent drouth and gave a boost to winter wheat seedings. Even in portions of northern Idaho
and the western third of Montana where precipitation was below normal, timely showers germinated
early seedings.

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 A-6 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

STATE HARVESTED FOR INDI~ TNOT=
HARVEST CATED CATED

a971_| 1972 | 1973 1g7i}_1972] 1973 1971 1972 1973

19000 ACRES BUSHELS 1000 BUSHELS

NY Vv 7 8 11 22460 2240 22.0 154 168 242
NJ VV 55 58 67 2860 17.0 2640 19540 986 15742
PA vs 32 41 56 2940 25,0 2940 928 19025 19624
OHIO 21634 39010 39560 3065 2740 26.0 809337 815270 925560
IND 35377 39688 4270 3340 29.5 3340 1119441 1085796 1404910
TLL 79150 75475 99230 3340 3540 32.0 2359950 2619625 295360
MICH 500 524 675 2045 26,0 24.0 109250 139624 16200
WISC | a/ 128 145 236 2345 28.0 23.0 31008 45060 59428
MINN 25780 35325 49400 2340 28,0 29.0 639940 935100 127%600
TOWA 51500 61050 79850 3245 3660 3640 1789750 2179800 2824600
Mo 31605 35960 49750 2740 28,0 28.0 975335 1109880 133,000
N DAK 1/ 208 190 233° 1400 2045 1640 29912 31895 39728
S DAK 1/ 232 253 459 2140 29,0 23.0 49872 7337 109557
NEBR 609 746 19200 2540 33,0 30.0 155225 241618 36000
KANS a7l 875 19155 2065 28.0 25.0 179856 24500 285875
DEL vs 152 161 177 2860 25.0 2840 49256 41025 41956
MD a 220 253 274 30.0 2740 3040 6600 60831 8+220
VA Vv 353 350 413 24.0 2340 24.0 89472 8050 99912
Nc 990 15100 19460 24.0 25,0 26.0 235760 279560 352040
sc 25070 29225 19260 22465 1960 2060 235005 219375 254200
GA 600 * 670 925 25.5 15,0 20.0 159300 102050 185500
FLA Vv 207 232 254 2840 2140 24.0 59796 4872 61096
KY 705 924 19130 2740 2660 209798 245948 2945380
TENN 15219 19298 1560 2240 2440 319694 289556 379440
ALA 655 733 860 2140 23.0 179030 15393 199780
MISS 24632 29464 29750 2060 2240 569588 499280 603500
ARK 45300 4050 4620 20.0 22.0 929450 811000 101640
LA 15644 19667 19710 2340 23.0 399456 38341 394330
OKLA 1/ 163 170 203 21.0 2240 39505 39570 41466
TEXAS 1/ 103 210 425 2720 2640 2740 2781 59460 11,475
U.S. 42702 455755 560173 2705 2840 2843 191759989 152825935 155885361

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTe

CROP PRODUCTION» OCTOBER 1973 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


‘fexas and Oklahoma Upland cotton production is forecast at 5.1 niliion bales, 12 percent
nore than 1972. Rain delayed arvest in Last Texas with only one-half as much picked by
Uctober 1 as the sane date last year. Prospects retain bright in West Texas and Oklahoma,

In the Delta States--‘iississippi, Arl
bales of cotton are expected, down 1.0 mill
though later than usual.

sas, Louisiana, Tennessec, and "issouri--4.1 million
on bales fron 1972, Narvest is now underway, al-

California, Arizona, and
slightly from 197
dry cool weather
last year,

x: Mexico Upland cotton is forecast at 2.5 million bales, doun
fearly ideal weather during Septenber inproved the Arizona outlook, but
ropped prospects in California. llarvest yained monentum but remains behind

The Southeastern States--Alabana, Georgia, South Carolina, and North Garolina--expect a crop
of 1.3 million bales, 6 percent less than last year, fefolintion was very active near the end
of September and harvest is far behind 1972,

The aifference between the Octoher 1 all cotton forecast and final ginnings during the past
10 years has averaged 0,4 million bales--ranging from less than 0.1 million bales in 1972 to 1.1
million bales in 1966,

The Bureau of the Census reports
1,820,072 bates yinned by this date in 19

RICI

108 bales of cotton ginned by Netober }, compared with

Production of rice is forecast at 95.5 mijlion cwt, 12 percent above last year and if
realized would be the second largest of record. The current forecast is down 3 percent or
2.9 million cwt from the September 1 forecast.

Production in the Southern States 1s forecast at 72.7 million cwt ,9 percent above the 1972
output. Yield prospects declined during the month in Texas and Louisiana because of heavy rains
brought by tropical storm Delia. Second crop rice cuttings in Texas will be much below usual,

a result of late planting and harvest delays caused by unfavorable weather. Yields in Arkansas
were also turning out somewhat lower than expected.

California yield prospects remain unchanged from a month
field drying.

lier, A dry September aided

Harvest progress was running behind the 1972 pace throughout the Southern area. Comparison
of harvest progress with a year ago, by States shows Louisiana 80% complete, last year 100%,
Texas over 75%, last yeay 100%, Arkansas 25%, 50% last year and Mississippi at 30% compares with
55 percent a year earlier. In California a good share of the early varieties had been harvested
by the first of October.

*

During the past decade, changes in production from the October 1 forecasts to final
estimates have averaged 1.5 million ewt --- ranging from 0.2 to 3.5 million cwt, During those
10 years the October 1 forecast has been above the final estimate 4 times by an average of 1.5
million cwt and below 6 times by an average of 1.4 million ewt.

FLAXSEED: The production forecast for flaxseed stands unchanged from a month earlier, 15.9

million bushels. Expected production is 14 percent above last year but 13 percent
below the 1971 crop. Yield is expected to average 9.9 bushels per acre compared with 12.1
bushels in 1972, Earlier dry weather in the Dakotas contributed to the reduction in the 1973
yield,

Harvest of flax ie complete except in the northern tier of North Dakota counties and a
few scattered fields in other areas, A generally dry growing season matured flax early and
permitted combining of the crop well ahead of last year.

PEANUTS: The 1973 peanut crop is expected te be 3,507 million pounds, 3 percent above the

September 1 forecast and 7 percent above last year's record crop of 3,275 million
pounds, The expected yield of 2,335 pounds per acre is 78 pounds above last month's forecast
and 132 pounds more than last year's record high. Highest yields of record are expected in
North Carolina, Georgia, Oklahoma, and Texas.

The Virginie-North Carolina area expects to harvest 750 million pounds, 18 percent more
than 1972. On October 1 about 20 percent of the crop was combined in Virginia, and 40 percent
in North Carolina.

Production in the Southeast region is forecast at 1,941 million pounds, 3 percent above last
month and 2 percent above the 1972 crop. In Georgia, the Nation'a leading producer, digging
operations were about 85 percent complete on October 1, compared with 98 percent last year. Other
States in the Southeast are also experiencing some delay in harvesting because of wet conditions.

Im the Southwest production 1s now expected to reach 816 million pounds, 5 percent more than

forecast on September 1 and 10 percent more than 1972. Harvest in Texas was 40 percent complete
on October 1, slightly of last year. However, rain has delayed maturity and harvest in Oklahoms.

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 AD Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


ALL OTHER HAY

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

STATE HARVESTED FOR TNOI— TNOT=
HARVEST CATED CATED

t971_| 1972] 1973 1971 | 1972} 1973 1971 1972 1973

1s000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

MAINE 1/ 217 217 207 1470 24650 1465 369 326 342
NH Vv 74 T4 74 1480 1665 1470 133 122 126
VT vv 368 379 365 1.65 1470 681 625 621
MASS 1/ Bl 81 81 1.75 2200 162 142 162
RI vs 6 6 6 1.50 1470 10 9 10
CONN 1/ 66 66 65 1655 1485 129 102 120
NY 1,300 14350 19340 1.70 1485 24600 29295 29479
NJ Vv 72 67 69 1675 1485 128 117 128
PA 15219 19145 19238 1665 1480 29194 19889 29228
OHIO 1,000 946 19030 1.80 1.480 19700 1+703 19854
IND 465 418 442 1675 907 732 840
TLL 455 450 460 1490 2.05 865 923 920
MICH 250 245 250° 1455 1465 388 404 425
WISC 970 970 980 2625 1685 2410 29183 19795 2058
MINN 950 900 900 14660 1665 14670 19520 19485 19530
10WA 645 630 680 2625 2635 2035 15387 19481 15598
MO 25325 25250 25500 1450 1465 1460 39488 39713 42000
N DAK 15911 19892 19890 1415 1420 1.00 29198 29270 12890
S DAK 25260 2%215 2%180 1610 «80 15921 29437 19744
NEBR 29472 29500 25550 +95 1.00 490 29348 29500 29295
KANS 19297 15200 19240 14655 1465 1470 21010 19980 29108
DEL Vv 20 18 18 1670 14675 34 32 31
MO 188 185 200 1495 2405 367 379 420
VA 934 915 900 1455 1675 1470 19448 19601 19530
WoVA 516 505 510 1440 1450 1450 722 758 165
NC 327 320 312-1455 1650 1665 507 480 515
sc 222 220 240 2400 2.00 2610 444 440 504
GA 435 439 466 2435 2405 2440 19022 900 19118
FLA Vv 176 183 188 1495 1470 1480 343 3il 338
KY 15353 19299 19330 1675 14670 14680 29368 29208 29394
TENN 1,100 15067 19100 1645 1450 1450 19595 19601 19650
ALA 531 504 543° 1670 1660 1470 903 806 923
MISS 585 555 616 1675 1480 1082 971 19109
ARK 640 608 620 1460 1.80 19056 973 15116
LA 343 288 311 2.10 635 605 653
OKLA 15185 19045 19129 1635 1460 19659 Le41l 29806
TEXAS 21008 19700 29040 1470 1475 2410 B44 29975 49284
MONT 15195 15320 19230 1625 1435 1.00 19494 19782 15230
IDAHO 255 280 290 1465 1460 1450 421 448 435
WYO 707 693 700 1605 14605 1405 742 728 735
cOLo 690 675 648 1630 1630 1435 897 878 875
N MEX 1/ 71 69 76 2400 1435 14640 142 93 106
ARIZ 1s 39 44 46 2620 2435 2630 86 103 106
UTAH = 1/ 128 131 1330 14665 1665 1665 all 216 219
NEV 295 265 268 1630 24610 1420 384 292 322
WASH 382 375 356 14675 14680 1475 669 675 623
OREG 618 622 600 14665 14660 1460 15020 995 960
CALIF 521 511 535 14685 1.90 14685 964 971 990
Us. 339866 325837 339952 1453 14654 1657 512950 502682 539235

1/ ESTIMATES FOR

CROP PRODUCTION» OCTOBER 1973

CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

B-1l1

CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


crop production

October 12, 1973
3:00 P.M. EDT

(— CROP REPORT HIGHLIGHTS--As of October 1, 1973 \

CORN--A record large 5,763 million-bushel crop is forecast, slightly below (5
million bushels) last month but 4 percent (210 million bushels) above last
year's crop.

SORGHUM GRAIN-~Prospective production is a record high 999 million bushels, up 2
percent from a month earlier and 22 percent (178 million bushels) above last
year's crop. A record yield of 63.0 bushels is forecast.

FEED GRAINS--Production of corn, sorghum, oats, and barley combined is forecast at
a record 211 million tons, slightly above last month's forecast and 6 percent
above last year.

SOYBEANS--A record large 1,588 million-bushel crop is forecast, 1 percent (10 mil-
lion bushels) below last month but 24 percent (305 million bushels) above
last year's crop. A record yield of 28.3 bushels is forecast.

ALL COTTON-~Production is forecast at 13.1 million bales, 1 percent (0.2 million
bales) above last month but 4 percent less than 1972. Cottonseed production
is estimated at 5.3 million tons, 3 percent below last year.

OILSEEDS~-Production of soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts and flaxseed combined is put
at a record 55.1 million tons, down slightly (0.2 million tons) from last
month but 20 percent (9.2 million tons) above 1972.

ALL WHEAT--Forecast production of 1,727 million bushels is record high, up 12 per-
cent (182 million bushels) from 1972 but down slightly (0.7 million bushels)
from the September 1 forecast as other spring wheat declined slightly.

FOOD GRAINS--Output of wheat, rye, and rice collectively is expected te total 57.3
million tons, 11 percent over 1972 but slightly below the September 1 fore~
cast with rice accounting for nearly all the decline.

ALL TOBACCQ--Forecast of all tobacco, at 1,770 million pounds, is up 1 percent
from 1972. Flue-cured, at 1,128 million pounds, is up 11 percent; burley
production, at 500 million pounds, is down 17 percent.

ORANGES~-Production (excluding California Valencias) is. forecast at 192.6 million
boxes, 4 percent (8.3 million boxes) below last season.

FALL POTATOES--Production is forecast at 252.7 million cwt., up 2 percent from the

248.8 million cwt. harvested in 1972. (cee INDEX OF TABLES ON PAGE B-25.)
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
\ STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE CROP REPORTING BOARD

CxPr 2-2 (10-73) WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250 i,



Producers are harvesting actively in all States, All Concord grapes for juice will be in
by the middle of October. By September 25 laying of Thompson Seedless in California for raisins
was completed and over half of the raisins had been delivered to packers. Fresh market Thompson
Seedless harvest is complete, but shipments continue from cold storage holdings. Picking of
later variety table grapes in California is expected to continue through October, and some Emperors

are expected to be available in late November,

ORANGES: The first forecast of U.S. orange production for the new 1973-74 season, is put at

192.6 million boxes, down 4 percent from last season. These totals exclude the
California Valencia crop which will be forecast as of December 1 and was 22.9 million boxes
last season. Florida's total crop is estimated at 160.0 million boxes, 6 percent below last
season's record high. Texas production of all oranges is forecast at a record 8.0 million
boxes, up 8 percent from last year. Prospects in Arizona point to a total crop of 4.6 million
boxes-10 percent smaller than last season. California Navels, at 20.0 million boxes, are 7
percent above last year's freeze-damaged crop,

The early, midseason, and navel orange varieties are forecast at 114.2 million boxes, down 1
percent from a year ago. Florida's early and midseason oranges, at 88.0 million boxes, are 2
percent less than last season.

Total Valencia production for Florida, Texas, and Arizona, at 78.4 million boxes, is down 9
percent from last year. In Florida the prospective crop of 72.0 million boxes is 10 percent
below last season,

Florida's October orange forecasts have differed from actual production an average of 7.5
million boxes during the past 9 years ranging from 2.4 million to 25.7 million boxes. The large
difference occurred in 1970-71 when the January freeze reduced the expected crop.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The all orange season average frozen concentrated orange

juice yield for 1973-74 is projected at 1.28 gallons of 45-degree Brix concentrate per box. Final
yield from the 1972-73 crop was 1.33176 gallons per box.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects for the 1973-74 season point to a record crop of 66.1 million boxes of

grapefruit, up 5 percent from a year ago, This does not include California's
"other areas" which will be forecast on November 1 and was 2.4 million boxes last season, A
record Florida crop is forecast. The Texas and Arizona crops are both up 6 percent from last
season, but California desert valleys are down 7 percent from a year ago.

Florida production of pink and white seedless are both at record levels of 12.5 and 25.0
million boxes, respectively. Other (Seedy), grapefruit at 10.5 million boxes is up 3 percent
from a year ago. Some new crop grapefruit was shipped during September. Changes in the
Florida production forecast between October 1 and the final have averaged 2.3 million boxes
over the past 9 years, ranging from 0.4 million boxes to 6.1 million boxes. A January 1971
freeze caused the largest change (1970-71 season).

LEMONS: Arizona's lemon production is expected to total 3.6 million boxes, down 22 percent
from last year's record crop of 4.6 million boxes. The first forecast for California
lemons will be issued on November 9, 1973,

TANGELOS: Output of Florida tangelos at 4.8 million boxes is expected to be a record--37 per-
cent above last season,

TANGERINES: The U. S, tangerine crop forecast at 4.4 million boxes is 8 percent less than

last year, Florida and Arizona both expect smaller crops, while California crop
Prospects are the same as last season,

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 A-12 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


SUGARBE 2

Production of sugarbeets is forecist at 25,1 nillion tons, 12 percent less than the
1972 crop. Both acreage for harvest and yield per acre are less than last year,

Late September rains are expected to add tonnage to the Ohio and Michigan crops. Harvest
began early in Minnesota but was hampered by rain. Digging was underway in nearly all the pro-
ducing States by October 1, Rains slowed the start of harvest in Kansas, Idaho, Wyoming, and
Colorado, Showers the third week of Septenber had little effect on harvest operations in
Washington. Iarvest is making normal progress in California.

Changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate have averaged 0.6 million
tons for the past decade--ranging fron negligible to 1.2 million tons,

Sugarcane production for sugar and seed is expected to total 29.1 million tons, 2
percent above the 1972 crop, The forecast remains unchanged from September 1,
Acreage is up from last year in all producing States. llowever, yield prospects are lower than
1972 except in Hawaii.

SUGARCANE:

‘The crop progressed well during Septenber Vecause rains favored crop development. Murricane
Delia caused some lodging of the Louisiana crop in early September, Planting of the 1974 crop
is nearing completion.

Marvest nade good progress in Hawaii and volune to date is greater than last year.

HOPS: Production of hops is estimated at 54.4 million pounds, up 1 percent from September 1 and

6 percent above the 51.3 million pounds produced in 1972. Acreage for harvest at 31,400
acres compares with 29,700 acres harvested last year. The average yield at 1,732 pounds per acre
is up 4 pounds from 1972. ‘

The hop harvest was virtually over by October 1. Yields were up in Idaho and Oregon, but
down in Washington and California. Conditions favored the harvest until September 20 when mod~-
erate winds and rains halted it. Field losses during harvest were very low.

APPLES: Apple production is now estimated at 6.03 billion pounds, down nearly 1 percent from the
"august 1 forecast, but 4 percent more than the 1972 utilized crop, 5.81 billion pounds.

Prospects since August 1 declined in the Eastern and Central States, but improved in the Western

States.

Production in the East ig forecast at 2.40 billion pounds, off 3 percent from August 1 and
5S percent below 1972. August weather was generally favorable with the exception of the last week
when high temperatures caused some fruit drop. Scattered frosts in mid-September aided coloring
of fruit. Size is near normal, and overall quality good. Picking of McIntosh was along by
October 1 while the harvest of Delicious, Baldwins, Cortlands and other varieties was underway.
Because of the favorable market movement to storage is slow.

Central State prospects are for an 861-million-pound crop, down 8 percent from August 1,
and 31 percent below 1972. Damage from May freezes and poor pollination is higher than earlier
anticipated. Frequent rains in Michigan early in the summer made scab control difficult. Limited
rainfall during late August and early September resulted in reduced sizes.

Western production is forecast at 2.77 billion pounds, up 4 percent from August 1, and 36
percent more than the 1972 utilized crop. Favorable August and September weather improved
prospects. Excellent coloring and sizing are reported. The harvest of Washington's Golden

Delicious crop was widespread by mid-September and the picking of Red Delicious began a week
later.

GRAPES: U. S. grape production is forecast at 3.8 million tons, 2 percent more than September

~ and 49 percent above 1972's small, frost damaged crop. California production at 3.5

million tons is up 3 percent from prospects on September 1 and 55 percent more than last year.

Raisin grapes in California are yielding better than expected, but in New York and Pennsylvania
production is below last month's forecast.

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 AH Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION 1/

: ? INDICATED 3 : INDICATED
CROP AND STATE 17-72 | 1972-73 1973-74 ag7i-72_f1972-73, E9039)
ry 1,000 BOXES 2/ EQUIVALENT TONS
ORANGES: t
EARLY, MIDSEASON &
NAVEL VARIETIES: 3/
ARIZONA 900 1,060 750 33,800 39,800 28,100
CALIFORNIA : 22,300 18,700 20,000 836,000 701,000 750,000
FLORIDA : 68,800 90,000 88,000 3,096,000 4,050,000 3,960, 000
TEXAS : 3,800 5,000 5,400 171,000 225,000 243,000
TOTAL ABOVE VARIETIES : 95,800 114,760 114,150 4,136,800 5,015,800 4,981,100
VALENCIAS: :
‘ARIZONA : 4,000 4,000 3,800 150,000 150,000 143,000
CALIFORNIA : 21,100 22,900 4) 791,000 859,000 y
FLORIDA : 68,200 79,700 72,000 3,069,000 3,587,000 3,240,000
TEXAS : 2,000 2,400 2,600 90,000 + 108,000 117,000
‘TOTAL VALENCIAS : 95,300 109,000 4,100,000 4,704,000
ALL ORANGES: :
"ARIZONA : 4,900 5,060 4,550 183,800 189,800 171,100
CALIFORNIA : 43,400 41,600 1,627,000 1,560,000
FLORIDA + 137,000 169,700 160,000 6,165,000 7,637,000 += 7,200,000
TEXAS 3 5,800 7,400 8,000 261,000 333,000 360,000
U, S., ALL ORANGES : 191,100 223,760 8,236,800 9,719,800
GRAPEFRUIT: :
‘ARIZONA : 2,540 2,640 2,800 81,300 84,500 89,600
CALIFORNIA, ALL : 5,400 5,400 175,700 176,400
DESERT VALLEYS : 3,200 3,000 2,800 102,000 96,000 89,600
OTHER AREAS : 2,200 2,400 Af 73,700 80,400 4)
FLORIDA, ALL : 47,000 45,400 48,000 1,998,000 1,930,000 2,040,000
SEEDLESS : 36,100 35,200 37,500 1,535,000 1,496,000 1,594,000
PINK : 12,300 11,700 12,500 523,000 497,000 531,000
WHITE : 23,800 23,500 25,000 1,012,000 999,000 1,063,000
OTHER : 10,900 10,200 10,500 463,000 434,000 446 ,000
TEXAS : 9,200 11,800 12,500 368 ,000 472,000 500,000
U, S., ALL GRAPEFRUIT ' 64,140 65,240 2,623,000 —-2,662,900
LEMONS: :
"ARIZONA : 3,080 4,600 3,600 117,000 175,000 137,000
CALIFORNIA : 13,600 17,600 ¥ 517,000 669,000 4
U.S, LEMONS : 16,680 22,200 634,000 844,000
‘TANGELOS: ?
FLORIDA : 3,900 3,500 4,800 176,000 158,000 216 ,000
‘TANGERINES: :
"ARIZDNA : 570 530 470 21,400 19,900 17,600
CALIFORNIA z 1,260 1,200 1,200 47,300 45,000 45,000
FLORIDA : 3,200 3,000 2,700 152,000 143,000 128 000
TOTAL TANGERINES : 5,030 4,730 4,370 220,700 207,900 190,600
‘TEMPLES: :
“FLORIDA 5,300 5,100 5,300 239,000 230 ,000 239,000

1/ THE GROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOW AND ENDS WITH COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOW-
ING YEAR, 2/ NET CONTENT OF BOX VARIES. APPROXIMATE AVERAGES ARE AS FOLLOWS: ORANGES - CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA,
75 LBS.; FLORIDA AND OTHER STATES, 90 LBS.; GRAPEFRUIT - CALIFORNIA DESERT VALLEYS, AND ARIZONA, 64 LBS.; OTHER
CALIFORNIA AREAS, 67 LBS.; FLORIDA, 85 LBS.; AND TEXAS, 80 LBS,; LEMONS - 76 LBS.; TANGELOS - 90 LBS,; TANGERINES ~
CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA, 75 LBS.; FLORIDA, 95 LBS,; AND TEMPLES - 90 LBS. 3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN
CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGE-
RINES. 4/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIFORNIA LEMONS WILL BE AS OF NOVEMBER 1, AND FOR CALIFORNIA VALENCIA ORANGES
AND CALIFORNIA GRAPEFRUIT, "OTHER AREAS", DECEMBER 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 B-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



GRAPES

PRODUCTION.
UTILIZED 3/
STATE INDICATED
i971 1972 1973
TONS
NEW YORK 200+000 103000 126000
NEW JERSEY lv 15300 600 13250
PENNSYLVANIA 572000 37600 402000
OHIO Vv 19000 123000 15000
MICHIGAN 699000 53,000 23%000
MISSOURI Vv 3500 3600 19500
NORTH CAROLINA Vv 24800 25200 29600
SOUTH CAROLINA Vv 69300 5200 4»800
GEORGIA / 1220 14250 1+300
ARKANSAS. l/ 9200 95500 8000
ARIZONA lv 145000 13,600 11600
WASHINGTON 799400 625100 712000
CALIFORNIA» ALL 39534000 22662000 39520000
WINE VARIETIES 7695000 6302000 9002000
TABLE VARIETIES 448 5000 2743000 4209000
RAISIN VARIETIES 29317000 1362000 2200000
NOT DRIED 19439 9000 9261000
DRIED 2/ 191000 105000
UNITED STATES 399969720 295695650 3+826050
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ DRIED BASIS:1 TON RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4.60 TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR

1971 AND 4015 FOR 1972+
3/ PRODUCTION ALL UTILIZED.
CRANBERRIES
F PRODUCTION
STATE 1971 A 1972 1973
* TOTAL UTILIZED TOTAL UTILIZED INDICATED
: 1,000 BARRELS
MASSACHUSETTS : 1,072 737 819 819 835,
NEW JERSEY 237 178 196 196 200
WISCONSIN : 742 552 805 709 790
WASHINGTON : 145 104 154 148 135
OREGON : 69 69 104 104 100
UNITED STATES 2 2,265 1,640 2,078 1,976 2,060

CROP PRODUCTION,

OCTOBER 1973

B-17

CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS»

USDA


Changes from the October 1 forecast to the fina) estimate have
averaged 29 million bush
during the past decade--ranging from 2 to 59 million bushels. In 7 of th yeare, the October L

forecast was above the final by an average of 30
soccer oF a7 eataien eirer med ‘age of 30 million bushels and 3 times it was below by an

ALL WHEAT: Production of all wheat is forecast at a record 1,727 million bushels, 12 percent

above the 1972 output and 7 percent above the previous record in 1971, The in-
creased output was harvested from 53.7 million acres, 14 percent above the 1972 acreage.
Yield, at 32.1 bushels per acre, is below both last year's 32.7 bushels and the record high
1971 yield of 33.9.

The current forecast is 0.7 million bushels below a month earlier, The production of
other spring wheat declined slightly during September while durum prospects were unchanged.

Changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate have averaged 20 million
bushels--ranging from 3 million to 46 million bushels, In 8 of those years, the October 1
forecast was above the final by an average of 22 million bushels and in 2 years it was below
by an average of 12 million bushels,

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production of spring wheat other than durum was indicated at 350 million

bushels as of October 1, up 23 percent from 1972 but 8 percent below the
record large 1971 crop, Yield is expected to average 28.8 bushels per acre, compared with
29.0 bushels last year and the record high 30,7 bushels in 1971,

Combining in North Dakota made better than normal progress end was virtually complete by
September 25, Combining was nearly complete by mid-September in Montana and by late August
in South Dakota, High humidity and rain delayed the windup of harvest in northern counties
of Minnesota but combining was essentially complete by September 1 in other areas of the State,

DURUM WHEAT: Production of durum wheat is expected to total 85,1 million bushels, up 17 per-
cent from the 1972 crop, but 7 percent below the large 1971 crop. Expected
yield per acre, at 28.6 bushels, is the same as the 1972 yield.

On October 1 only a few late fields of durum remained to be harvested in northern counties
of North Dakota where showers delayed completion. Montana growets had completed combining by
mid-September, South Dakota harvest was virtually complete by the third week of August, well
ahead of normal.

SOYBEANS: Soybean production is forecast at a record high 1,588 million bushels, down 1 per-

cent from the September 1 forecast but 24 percent above the 1972 crop. The slight
decrease in expected production from a month earlier is the result of less favorable September
weather than anticipated while the sharp increase over last year is mainly due to expanded
acreage. Acreage for harvest is 23 percent above a year ago. Expected average yield for 1973,
at 28,3 bushels, exceeds the previous record high of 28,0 set last year.

Conditions in the soybean producing States during September varied considerably ranging
from too wet to too dry. In some areas the drier weather was beneficial as it accelerated
maturity and permitted harvest to get underway. However, where moisture was already short,
it lowered prospective yields, The wet weather also had varying effects, depending on earlier
moisture conditions, In some areas the additional moisture was needed to make the crop, but
it also delayed maturity and hampered harvest.

In the important North Central region, September conditions: were mixed, Ohio and Indiana
weather was ideally warm and dry so crop maturity and harvest progress was near normal by
October 1, Elsewhere in the region wet weather slowed maturity and hampered harvest, Never-
theless, soybeans in the leading State, Illinois, were near normal maturity by month's end
and combining was ahead of last year although later than normal. In Iowa, the No, 2 State,
about 50 percent of the crop was mature but wet weather had harvest at a standstill,

In the South Atlantic States generally dry September weather accelerated maturity but
harvest has been very limited in this area. In Kentucky late planted fields need 3 weeks of
frost-free weather while the Tennessee crop, although in good condition, was about 2 weeks
behind normal, In the South Central area September weather conditions were adequate to main—
tain yield expectations, Prospects are considered good with harvest underway on a limited scale.

Production changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate have averaged
21 million bushels during the past decade--ranging from 1 to 63 million bushels. During those
10 years the October 1 forecast has been above the final estimate five times by an average of
21 million bushels and below five times by an average of 22 million bushels,

goer Production of all cotton on Getober 1 is forecast at 13.1 million bales, up 1 percent
rom the September 1 forecast but down 4 percent from 1972. The decrease from last ri
counted for by a reduced acreage for harvest, eh year Ws ae

___ Expected production consists of 15,0 nillion bales of upland and 85,400 bales of American
Pina, Cottonseed production, based on a 3-year average lint-sced ratio, is.estimated at 5.3
million tons, 3 percent below last year,

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 Ae8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SR5, USDA


OCTOBER 1 PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITION AS PERCENT OF NORMAL, BY STATES:
3549, SEVERE DROUGHT; 50-64, VERY POOR; 65-79, POOR TO FAIR; 80 AND OVER, GOOD TO EXCELLENT

AVERAGE

AVERAGE,

STATE ; :
+ 4962-71 1972 1973 * 4962-71 1972 : 1973
z, PERCENT : PERCENT
MAINE 3 70 80 84 : 70 81 80
N. H. : 69 81 84 : 66 65 76
vr. : 73 79 82 : 69 61 78
MASS, : 62 80 81 : 76 74 80
R. I, : 69 85 81 :
CONN. : 62 76 78 : 75 77 79
N.Y. 69 85 76 3 71 83 79
Ned. $3 61 73 : 69 67 75
PA. 62 67 82 3 72 73 82
2 69 75 88
oHTO : 67 89 80 > 70 77 86
IND. z 70 89 85 : 71 73 90
ILL. t 72 89 86 : 68 77 87
MICH, : 70 93 77 :
WIS. 71 97 81 MONT. : 75 84 69
IDAHO: 76 82 79
MINN, : 70 88 86 > 74 86 90
TOWA 77 94 91 coLo, 3 7 69 84
MO. 70 82 87 N. MEX. -: 71 85 76
N. DAK, 69 78 70 ARIZ. 3 75 73 70
S. DAK. : 68 83 69 UTAH 2 74 66 91
NEBR. 73 88 88 NEV. : 75 77 88
KANS. 71 89 88 WASH, : (67 81 56
OREG. =: 71 7 72
DEL. 55 86 CALIF. 68 48 80
MD. : 57 65 ~ :!
VA. : 66 80 :
W.VA. 1 65 86 U.S. 70 80 82

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

-16
-12

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .
CITRUS FRUITS ....
CORN FOR GRAIN .
COTTON .........
CRANBERRIES .
FLAXSEED ..
GRAPES ....

- 1

PUTO DOO Ww
e
°

HAY, ALFALFA .
HAY, ALL .... . - 9
HAY, OTHER . -11
. ~22
. -19
- 8
- 7
. -20
7 B-19
B-21
. B-19
. B- 2
SORGHUM GRAIM . : B- 2
SOYBEANS .... . B- 5
SUGARBEETS . B-15
SUGARCANE ... . B-15
SWEETPOTATOES ......« . B-22
TOBACCO (by Classes) . B-13
TOBACCO (by States) . B-12
WHEAT, ALL .......... . B- 3
WHEAT (by Classes) . : B- 4
WHEAT, DURUM .... . . B- 4
WHEAT PASTURE . . oeee B-23
WHEAT, SPRING ....cecccseecceccncecesesecneeneneestenees B- 4

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 B-25 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA




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HARVESTED ACREAGE, YIELD AND PRODUCTION, UNITED STATES

> ACREAGE (IN THOUSANDS) = VIET PER ACHE PRODUCTION (IN THOUSANDS) 2/

7 7 : IARVESTED = FO : : i) cs TNNT-~

CROP AND UNIT oo; WARVEST : 1972 CATED": 1972 CATED

7: 1972: 197317: 1973 1/ 1973 1/
OATS BU. : 13,612 14,503 51.1 43,4 694,967 702,280
BARLEY " : 9,707 10,544 43.6 40,7 423,461 429,111
WINTER WHEAT BU, oo: 34,991 38,571 34.0 33.5 1,185,890 1,291,463
RYE mo 1,101 1,033 26.8 24.7 29,536 25,506
DRY EDIBLE CWT. 3/: 135,1 136.4 1,557 1,251 2,103 1,706

POTATOES

WINTER cl : 15.4 14.0 151 204 2,327 2,853
SPRING H 95.8 98.0 219 219 21,011 21,468
SUINIER "os 130.9 124.4 182 165 23,776 20,471
BROOMCORN TON a: 58.0 25.8 279 326 7.7 4.2
PEACHES LB. : 2,414.0 2,645.6
PEARS TON: 608 709
SWEET CHERRIES " 3 95 146
TART CHERRIES " Hy 155, 8s
APRICOTS woos 127 187
NECTARINES " t 86 85
DRIED PRUNES (CA) “ : 77 170
PLUMS (CA) " : 96 105
ALMONDS woo: 125 130
WALNUTS " : 117 141

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST, 2/ PEACHES IN NILLION POUNDS, 3/ YIELD IN POUNDS.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1964-73 (1967=100) 1/

: PRODUCTION
YEAR: TRY ? 7 7 rs

2 ALL : + FooD ? SUGAR : : omL

ta  ronnee {GRAINS } cRoPS : COTTON : TOBACCO: crops
1964 93 76 93 84 113 206 113 75
1965 1 98 89 97 87 100 202 94 90
1966 95 89 96 87 100 129 95 96
1967 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 200 100
1968 + 103 95 100 105 116 148 87 112
1969 : 104 99 100 97 120 135 91 115
1970 : 100 90 99 91 19 137 97 uy
1971 : a2 117 105 106 421 142 86 121
1972 3/  : 113 114 106 101 139 181 89 130
1973 4/ : 120 120 105 12 125 178 90 158

17 THE 1971 AND 1972 INDEXES REFLECT CENSUS REVISIONS. YEARS PRIOR TO 1971 ARE SUBJECT TO
CHANGE APTER REVISED DATA HAVE BEEN INCORPORATED.

2/ INCLUDES VECETABLES, FRUITS, NUTS, AND SOME OTHER CROPS NOT IN SEPARATE GROUPS SHOWN, AND
FARM GARDENS.

3/ PRELIMINARY.

4/ INDICATED.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR TNDI~ INDI
HARVEST, ICATED CATED
1971 | 1972 | 1973 1971 }1972 | 1973 1971 1972 1973

1000 ACRES BUSHELS 1000 BUSHELS

NY vs 349 270 340 8760 70.0 7840 309363 18900 269520
NJ Vv a3 52 73° 6500 7440 78.0 59395 39848 51694
PA 15036 900 19060 7540 72460 80.0 775700 641800 841800
OHIO 39545 31090 35050 91.0 92.0 83.0 3229595 2843280 2534150
IND 51509 45884 5200 10140 10440 107.0 5569409 507936 556400
ILL 10,070 95130 99580 10660 110.0 107.0 190679420 15004300 11025%060
MICH 15730 15722 15650 6940 83.0 80.0 1199370 142,926 1324000
WISC 25304 24143 29050 9840 9540 8640 2259792 2033585  176+300
MINN 5+725 4899 52450 8340 93.0 94.0 4759175 455607 5129300
IOWA 11,550 105450 119150 102.0 11640 110460 191789100 11212200 1226%500
MO 3092 23500 2600 6840 9140 9040 2729096 2279500 234000
N DAK 1/| 172 159 140 5840 6740 5340 99976 105653 79420
S DAK 25626 25388 25780 46.0 64.0 53.0 1209796 152832 1474340
NEBR 51300 59170 52840 8540 104.0 9740 4509500 5371680 566480
KANS 15311 19250 19440 9540 104.0 110.0 1249545 1309000 1584400
DEL 204 179 188 54.0 78.0 8240 119016 131962 159416
MD 516 443 510 7240 8040 8540 379152 359440 435350
VA 480 502 520 6840 83.0 85.0 329640 419666 445200
WVA 1s 59 53 65 6940 7540 7440 49071 39975 49810
NC 15565 15359 19380 5700 80,0 82.0 899205 108+000 1139160
SC v 507 375 445 54.0 6340 55.0 275378 239625 245475
GA 15672 15490 19670 54.0 52.0 50.0 90288 779480 835500
FLA 7, 314 307 340 4940 4640 48.0. 155386 149122 169320
KY 1,183 968 1200C 7740 86.0 85.0 915091 834248 854000
TENN 1/ 675 480 500 5740 6640 6240 389475 319680 312000
ALA Vv 626 545 610 454.0 45.0 43.0 289170 249525 269230
MISS 1/ 220 163 160 39.0 45.0 41.0 8 +580 75335 69560
ARK V/s 40 28 23° 3940 40.0 41.0 15560 19120 943
LA v/ 108 86 TL 4540 56460 4640 49860 45816 39266
OKLA 1 62 71 78 = 7740 8940 9840 49774 6319 71644
TEXAS 1/ 552 460 640 80.0 86.0 9540 449160 399560 609800
MONT 1/' 7 6 7 7660 78.0 78.0 532 468 546
IDAHO 1/ 29 25 31 8340 8740 85.0 29407 29175 29635
WYO iv 27 25 25° 7840 85.0 7540 29106 29125 15875
COLO 430 405 436 88.0 108.0 102.0 375840 439740 449472
N MEX 1/ 17 21 23 55.0 75.0 6540 935 19575 19495
ARIZ 1/| 16 15 9 3260 3540 3240 512 525 288
UTAH 1/| 15 8 10 78.0 9240 90.0 19170 736 900
WASH = 1/| 61 51 62 102.0 106.0 105.0 69222 59406 69510
OREG V4 10 11 13 8560 8140 76.0 850 891 988
CALIF 1/ 250 215 260 9440 10040 9340 23500 21500 249180
U.S. 644047 579289 619479 8Be1 9669 9347 596419112 595539061 597624927

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

CROP PRODUCTION» OCTOBER 1973

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

B-1

CROP REPORTING BOARD» S$

RS» USDA


ALL WHEAT

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

STATE HARVESTED FOR NDI= INDI=
HARVEST ATED CATED

1971 1972 1973] 1972 1972) 1973 1971 1972 1973

12000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

NY ii 140 140 38.0 3740 3840 49218 59180 59320
NJ al 35 38 47.0 38.0 36.0 19457 19330 15368
PA 261 269 264 3640 32.0 28.0 99396 85608 79392
OHIO 944 1029 720 44.0 45,0 3240 419536 469305 23040
IND 694 826 695 46.0 48.0 35.0 319924 399648 249325
TLL 12000 15200 19280 4640 45,0 3040 461000 542000 389400
MICH 495 535 570 3640 40.0 3640 179820 219400 20%520
WISC 35 29 30 3765 3161 3540 19314 901 19050
MINN 19574 15498 29021 3769 32.9 3967 599596 499292 809220
10WA 36 33 29 38.5 3765 39.0 19386 15238 15131
MO 175 925 850 40.0 3940 30.0 312000 369075 254500
N DAK 95179-75507 BsB71 3148 28.9 2864 2915574 2165818 2519576
S_DAK 20167 19878 29195 3062 2866 2601 659466 539619 579258
NEBR 25434 29556 25780 4260 3760 3640 1029228 949572 1009080
KANS 94061 99400 105300 34,5 3365 3760 312605 3149900  381+100
DEL 25 25 26 4300 3360 40.0 15075 825 19040
MD 108 110 116 40.0 3540 40.0 49320 39850 49640
VA 205 218 172 44.0 3740 38.0 99020 89066 69536
WoVA 13 14 12 35.0 35.0 3640 455 490 432
NC 245 225 165 43.0 3160 36.0 109535 69975 51960
sc 126 136 113° 38.0 2040 2540 45788 29720 29825
GA 195 140 133 3960 2060 29.0 79605 21800 39857
FLA 60 42 30 3000 15.0 24.0 1+800 630 720
KY 180 216 174 40.0 3245 3440 79200 79020 59916
TENN 234 240 144 3660 3240 3160 89424 75680 49464
ALA 120 108 9B 2900 1940 24.0 32480 29052 29352
MISS 125 160 100 2960 3140 2840 3625 49960 29800
ARK 257 296 250 3165 37.0 3020 81096 109952 7+500
LA 35 30 25 2340 2340 2240 805 690 550
OKLA 34600 35900 59290 2060 2340 30.5 729000 899700 1589295
TEXAS 15496 25000 39400 2140 22.0 2940 319416 4049000 98600
MONT 45314 39704 = 4080 2660 2667 2501 1129011 989831  102%420
IDAHO 974 958 12090 51e2 462 4342 499906 449226 475050
NYO 222 232 255 3264 3B4e7 2204 79182 8060 59700
COLO 25132 25146 = 29391 2840 2400 2600 599641 519519 629208
N MEX 160 170 332 24.0 2505 2840 39840 49335 99296
ARIZ 173 170 214 6840 6760 70.0 119764 115390 149980
UTAH 205 221 254 3065 2768 3043 69245 69137 79704
NEV 12 12 14° 5803 5962 6067 700 710 850
WASH 25325 25602 29570 4867" 4669 3348 1139210 1225083 869740
OREG 768 879 15010 4469 4169 3408 341500 369848 359140
CALIF 568 487 577 4609 4749 5149 269626 239340 299970
us. 47,674 479301 539718 3369 3247 3241 126179789 195449775 197269805
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 B~3 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


HARVESTED ACREAGE, YIELD AND PRODUCTION, UNITED STATES, AS OF OCTOBER 1, 1973

\CREAGE {IN THOUSANDS: ___ YIELD PER ACRE :___ PRODUCTION (IN THOUSANDS) 1/
HARVESTED : FOR : A TNDI- INDICATED

1972 : SEPT. 1, OT. 1,

CROP AND UNIT 1972 HARVEST ; 1972 : CATED
1973: 21973: 12973: 1973

CORN FOR GRAIN BU. 57,289 61,479 96.9 93.7 5,553,061 5,768,407 5,762,927
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " 13,546 15,863 60.7 63.0 821,798 975,051 999,380
ALL WHEAT BU. 47,301 $3,718 32.7 32.1 1,844,775 1,727,485 1,726,805
DURUM " 2,558 2,971 28.6 28.6 73,037 85,106 85,106
OTHER SPRING " 9,855 12,176 29.0 28.8 285,848 350,916 350,236
RICE cHr, 1,817.9 2,168.6 4,684 4,404 85,154 98,390 95,514
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU. 45,755 56,173 28.0 28.3 1,282,935 1,598,746 1,588,361
FLAXSEED " 1,151 1,608 12.1 9.9 13,909 15,904 15,904
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB. 1,486.4 1,501.7 2,203 2,335 «3,274,761 3,389,230 3,507,130
COTTON BALE 2/: 12,983.8 12,370.8 507 509 13,702.1  12,938.5 = 13,123.4
ALL HAY TON : $9,783 61,606 2.15 2.10 128,389 129,501
ALFALFA HAY : 26,946 27,654 2.88 2.76 77,707 76,266
ALL OTHER HAY " 32,837 33,952 1.54 2,57 50,682 53,235
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT. 2/: 1,385 1,372 1,301 1,185 18,015 16,779 16,255
POTATOES: :

FALL CHT. =: 1,011.7 1,066.3 246 237 248,841 252,714

TOTAL " + 1,253.8 1,302.7 236 228 295,955 297,506
SWEETPOTATOES " 7 1144 14.6 109 107 12,453 12,486 12,288
TOBACCO LB. 842.6 885.7 2,076 = 1,998 ~—-1,749,058 1,776,425 1,769,817
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR

AND SEED TON 703.2 757.7 40.4 38.4 28,397 29,087 29,087
SUGARBEETS " 1,330.5 1,239.7 21.3 20.2 28,406 24,771 25,062
HOPS LB. 29.7 31.4 1,728 1,732 51,309 53,803 54,389
PASTURE AND RANGE 3/ PCT. 80 82
APPLES COM'L . CROP LB, 5,810.0 6,025.2
GRAPES TON 2,570 3,738 3,826
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(MI, ID, WA, OR) " 42 18 73
CRANBERRIES BBL. : 2,078 2,165 2,060
PECANS LB. ot 183,100 262,600 276,100
FILBERTS TON: 10 12 12

1/ APPLES IN MILLION POUNDS.
2/ YIELD IN POUNDS. .
3/ PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1962-71 AVERAGE IS 70 PERCENT.

CROP PR ICTION, OCTOBER 197: , A-3 Crop ReportING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT - TOP GROWTH AVAILABLE FOR GRAZING*
October 1, 1973

NEBRASKA

Goop
By rar
Ey poor

“RELATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF TOP GROWTH: AS
REPORTED BY FARM AND RANCH OPERATORS

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 B-24 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 2/

7 ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION,
STATE [__BARVESTED FOR INDI~ INDI-
1 | HARVEST CATED CATED
197k 1972 1973 1971} 1972] 1973 | 1972 1972 |1973
11000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
NY 62 36 37 15280 880 15100 794 306 407
MICH 570 615 600 990 15190 960 51643 75319 5,760.
MINN | 14 38 37 15450 15100 15300 203 418 481
N DAK 33 63 70 15300 1200 1+100 429 756 770
NEBR 88 95 101 19850 12800 1600 19628 15710 11616
KANS Vv 7 10 1 15200 15100 1s100 84 110 121
MONT Vv ql ql 9 11600 1,700 15600 176 187 144
IDAHO 110 113 98 19840 15890 22009 21024 29136 14960
WYO 26 27 24 19800 14870 1780 468 505 427
coLo 200 180 193 910 860 840 15820 19548 14621
N_MEX 3a/ 2 2 750 12000 15 20
UTAH Vv 19 13 15 330 400 500 63 52 15
WASH 26 25 18 11650 15950 15900 429 488 342
CALIF
LARGE LIMA 25 26 31 19590 15810 1+750 398 471 543
BABY LIMA 22 18 20 15820 14760 15840 400 317 368
OTHER 101 113 108 19330 12480 15500 15343 19672 11620
TOTAL CALIF 148 157 159 19447 15567 15592 29141 29460 25531
U.S, 19316 15385 15372 15209 1,301 1,185 15,917 18015 16,255
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST«
2/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1972.
ALL TOBACCO
ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR INDI- TNDI-
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 1972 1973 | 1971| 1974 1972 1971 1972 1973
ACRES POUNDS 1+000 POUNDS
MASS 19610 19410 19420 1,788 15361 19477 2,879 15919 22098
CONN 4700 4200 59100 215619 19389 14526 79611 59835 79785
PA 15200 131000 14000 14610 1%400 15700 249472 185200 23800
OHTO 8+750 102000 94600 25003 27235 19885 179528 225351 184100
IND 5400 6100 6000 24235 25540 24300 12,069 159494 134800
WIS 10600 102800 9500 25125 19727 22000 225525 189650 19000
MO 1/ | 25100 25100 25300 2400 29300 2,400 52040 49830 59520
MD 279000 242000 249000 11040 990 1,100 285080 239760 261400
VA +] 674300 669800 739100 14759 319678 15875 1185365 1125074 1379065
WVAL/} 19400 15750 14700 14460 14895 1,900 29044 39316 39230
NC 3469000 339900 3739800 24102 29002 25101 7279145  680%362  785%220
SC |. 632000 62+000, 67000 2125 25115 2,000 1335245  131%130  134%000
GA 59630 571650 607530 19931 19999 15647 1155119 1154241 999700
FLA 135150 125500 132600 19949 15877 19743 259630 239468 239703
KY 1592200 1724250 1659600 29238 21593 25109 3565322 4469725 3494305
TENN 519760 572390 579690 22040 29172 2081 1055605 1249657 1203054
ALA 1/ 590 520 530 15754 1+781 1,651 14035 926 875
LA 1/ 200 200 180 850 600 900 170 120 162
U.S, 1837»590 8425570 8859650 2035 29076 17998 14704884 117490058 197692817
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTe
CROP PRODUCTION» OCTOBER 1973 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


CROP REPORT SUMMARY--As of October 1, 1973

Production expectations for the major fall harvested crops
are only slightly changed from a month ago, according to the Crop
Reporting Board. Prospects are up 3 percent for peanuts, 2 percent
for sorghum grain, and 1 percent for cotton, but down 3 percent for
rice and 1 percent for soybeans. Slight declines were registered
in corn, other spring wheat, and tobacco,

The "All Crops" production index (1967=100) remained unchanged
from a month earlier at 120. Gains in feed grains, cotton, hay and
forage, and sugar crops were offset by decreases in food grains,
vegetables, seed, fruit and nut crops.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates
with related information on selected agricultural commodities. These
data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which con-
sists of commodity statisticians from the Statistical Reporting
Service's field offices and Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
B. M. Graham, Chairman,
M. R. Stuckey, Acting Secretary,

J. W. Kirkbride, R. P. Small,
APPROVED: R. A. McGregor, R. C. Max,

E. L. Park, S. L. Guy,

H. M. Mayes, J. L. Aschwege,

F. S. Barrett, Jr., D.M. Bay,

. W. H. Briscoe, N. C. Cross,
Ce Cy L. A. Dell, D. J. Fedewa,
R. L. Freie, C. E. Gore,
W. G. Hamlin, G. D. Hasenmyer,
R. H. Hettinger, F, E. Hokana,

D. C. Ledford, A. L. Sandberg,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE A. M. Scott, R. L. Vossen.

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 A-2 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


PECANS

PRODUCTION
UTILIZED 2/
STATE - INDICATED
1971 1972 1973
1+000 POUNDS
IMPROVED VARIETIES 3/
NORTH CAROLINA vy 49300 380 2+500
SOUTH CAROLINA 82800 80 4000
GEORGIA 752000 402000 80000
FLORIDA 29100 32200 2+600
ALABAMA 292000 17000 30+000
MISSISSIPPI 69600 3+500 115000
ARKANSAS 1+600 630 1+800
LOUISIANA ~ 7000 2500 10000
OKLAHOMA 1%500 600 32000
TEXAS 3000 135000 6000
NEW MEXICO 4200 8100 . 11,000
UNITED STATES 143100 882990 161900
NATIVE AND SEEDLING PECANS

NORTH CAROLINA Vv 29200 120 1,000
SOUTH CAROLINA 2200 20 29000
GEORGIA 15000 8000 10000
FLORIDA 12900 3+200 29500
ALABAMA 8000 32000 52000
MISSISSIPPI 9400 39500 9000
ARKANSAS 52900 15170 5*700
LOUISIANA 212000 99500 25000
OKLAHOMA 179500 3600 37000
TEXAS 212000 622000 - 17000
NEW MEXICO

UNITED STATES 104100 949110 1149200

ALL PECANS

NORTH CAROLINA ls 69500 500 39500
SOUTH CAROLINA 112000 100 6000
GEORGIA 902000 482000 90000
FLORIDA 42000 69400 5100
ALABAMA 372000 20000 . 352000
MISSISSIPPI 16000 79000 202000
ARKANSAS 7500 12800 79509
LOUISIANA 28000 12000 35000
OKLAHOMA 199000 49200 402000.
TEXAS 242000 752000 232000
NEW MEXICO 49200 8100 11/000
UNITED STATES 2479200 1839100 2769100

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ PRODUCTION ALL UTILIZED.
3/ BUDDED» GRAFTED» OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 B-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA


SUGARBEETS
ACREAG YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR TND I= TNDI=
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 1972 1973 | 1971 | 19721 1973 | 1971 1972 1973
1+000 ACRES TONS 1:000 TONS
OHIO 4163 3206 3000 2147 1824 1540 896 601 450
MICH 8266 86.6 8760 1761 1849 18460 19415 19638 15566
MINN 11lle5 111.9 130. 1569 1460 1660 19774 15568 2080
N DAK 7367 7400 78.0 1663 1366 1660 19204 11008 15248
NEBR 717 8201 7500 1843 206 15425 15650 19425
KANS 3900 3507 3300 1769 1842 1840 697 650 594
TEXAS 2002 2342 2160 2245 2206 2340 454 523 483
MONT 4607 4502 4760 1966 1866 1965 916 842 916
IDAHO 16368 17267 14660 1945 2065 2060 3197 39543 29920
WYO 61-7 5742 5500 2000 2040 2060 14234 19145 15100
COLO 13869 13368 11660 1860 1904 1665 29501 29594 19914
ARIZ 2/ 10-7 1163 136 21e2 2201 2265 227 250 293
UTAH 2408 2260 1860 1867 1966 1765 463 431 315
WASH 7802 9106 9360 2543 2545 2560 19975 29337 29325
OREG 2062 2263 1940 2361 2447 24.5 464 551 466
CALIF 2/ 34808 32567 278.0 2366 2747 2560 8217 99029 69950
OTHER
STATESI/ 202 206 +7 1667 1767 2249 3669 4549 16
Us. 1934109 1933005 1223907 2002 2243 2042 2709549 28740549 25,062

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ RELATES TO YEAR OF HARVESTe

OVER TO BE HARVESTED THE FOLLOWING YEAR»

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

INCLUDES SOME SPRING PLANTED ACREAGE CARRIED

ACREAGE YTECS PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR INDI~ INDI-
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 1972 1973 1971 11972) 1973 1971 1972 1973
1,000 ACRES TONS 1%000 TONS
FLA 19906 251420 27340 3167 3861 3540 69329 99574 99555
LA 32600 33540 3420 2164 2567 2460 69973 89613 8+208
TEXAS 263 2507 4500 40-0 104 1,028
HAWAIT 12265 114.9 11740 88.7 88460 8840 109870 109106 109296
U.S. 648e1 70342 T5707 3703 4004 3804 249172 289397 29,087
CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973 Bel5S CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TEMPLES: Florida temples are estimated at 5.3 million boxes--equal to the record set in
1971-72. Prospects for the new crop are 4 percent above last season,

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Trees will yield an estimated 73,000 tons of prunes and plums in Michigan,

Idaho, Washington, and Oregon, This is 74 percent more than the light
crop in 1972, Most of the increasecomes from Oregon, where the crop is about 4 times larger
than the frost damaged one of 1972.

Michigan harvest is over in the southwest, but some fruit was moving from the northwest
at the end of September. Harvest was completed by mid-September in Idaho, Washington and
Oregon. Dryer capacity for Oregon's prunes was short, but growers managed to get most good
quality fruit dried, Over the last 3 years, the quantity of prunes dried in Oregon ranged
from one-fifth to one-third of the total utilized.

CRANBERRIES: Production of cranberries is now forecast at 2,06 million barrels, 5 percent
below the August 15 estimate and 1 percent less than 1972.

Conditions favor harvest, which is underway in all areas, Berry sizes are smaller than
normal and yields are down from earlier expectations, In Massachusetts and New Jersey extreme
heat and the lack of rainfall prevented berries from sizing during September and caused scal~-
ding. In Wisconsin, the northeastern region expects an excellent crop, but in the northwest
and central regions, early yields are down from last year. The quality of the crop is con-
sidered good. In Washington and Oregon mid-August freezing temperatures and dry weather hin-
dered berry development and yields are off from earlier estimates.

PECANS: The 1973 pecan crop is expected to be substantially larger than last year in all
States except Florida and Texas. Forecast production for October 1~~ 276 million
pounds-~is up 5 percent from September 1 because prospects improved materially in Georgia,
Mississippi, Louisiana, Oklahoma and New Mexico, This year‘s crop is expected to be up 5i
percent from the short 1972 crop and 12 percent larger than 1971. Texas alone has a sig-
nificantly smaller crop than last year. This decline is attributed to a late April freeze.

Improved varieties are expected to account for 59 percent of this year's crop compared
with 49 percent last year, Much of the increased production for 1973 isoccurring in States
that are heavy producers of improved varieties,

FILBERTS: Oregon and Washington filbert growers expect to harvest 11,500 tons of nuts this

year, 13 percent more than 1972. Most of the production, 11,000 tons, will come
from Oregon orchards. Filberts started to drop in September but rains slowed the drop rate
the latter part of the month. Harvest resumed early in October,

the first 1975 production forecast of fall potatoes, at 252.7 million cwt., is 2 per-
cent above the 248.8 million cwt. harvested in 1972 but 5 percent below the 1971 crop.
The 1973 acreage for harvest, 1.07 million acres, is 5 percent above the 1972 total of 1.01 mil-
lion acres but 5 percent below 1971. Yield per acre is forecast at 237 cwt., 9 cwt. below the
1972 average.

POTATOES

for the cight Eastern States production is forecast at 50.2 million cwt., 2 percent less
than the 1972 crop and 22 percent less than 1971, Reduced yield prospects in Maine account for
most of the decline in this region, Maine's yield, at 215 cwt, compares with 260 ewt. in both
1971 and 1972, Heavy rains in June and July and hot, dry weather in August reduced average tuber
size.

Production for both Upstate New York and Pennsylvania is up from last year when tropical
storm Agnes reduced both acreage and yield. Harvest in these areas is about 50 percent complete
under favorable weather conditions,

Fall production in the eight Central States is placed at 56,6 million cwt., 3 percent above
Jast year but 9 percent below the 197] crop. The North Dakota crop is placed at 19.5 million
cwt., up 12 percent from last year, Production in Wisconsin and Minnesota is down slightly
due to a lower prospective yield, Harvest is over 50 percent complete in Michigan, Wisconsin,
Minnesota, tlorth Dakota, and Nebraska. Temporary delays in harvest occurred in Wisconsin and
Minnesota as a result of intermittent rainfall, Harvest in Ohio and Indiana is progressing
rapidly with favorable weather and is nearing completion.

CROP PRODUCTION, October 1973 A-13 Crop Reporting Board, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM GRAIN

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION

STATE HARVESTED FOR INDI- INDT=
HARVEST CATED CATED
1971 | 1972 1973 1971} 1972] 1973 1971 1972 1973

1000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
IND Vv 63 38 34 80.0 69.0 64.0 52040 29622 29176
ILL Vv 130 78 80 7560 70,0 70.0 99750 59460 52600
IOWA Vv 100 51 33 87.0 80,0 80,0 8s700 42080 29640
MO 636 380 450 75.0 71.0 73,0 479700 269980 329850
S DAK 350 259 232 3500 48.0 41.0 12250 129432 99512
NEBR 2,057 15757 29100 60.0 72.0 77,0 1239420 1269504 161+700
KANS 49325 35500 35850 54.0 62.0 63.0 2335550 217000 2429550
VA / 32 17 16 48.0 42.0 47.0 1°536 714 752
NC Vv 120 68 78 52.0 5540 55,0 69240 35740 49290
sc Vv 23 13 15 3940 33.0 37,0 897 429 555
GA Vv 83 30 31 35.0 33.0 35.0 29905 990 1085
KY Vv 38 20 16 68.0 60.0 29470 19360 960
TENN Vv 76 29 35 5640 55.0 49256 19624 19925
ALA Vv 70 31 39 32.0 34.0 2590 992 15326
MISS Vv 150 33 38 43,0 43.0 59400 19419 19634
ARK 256 157 160 51.0 52.0 129032 8007 8»320
LA ls 92 41 30 35,0 39,0 3%220 19435 19170
OKLA 750 630 710 43,0 4640 272000 275090 32660
TEXAS 5827 52420 6800 59.0 62,0 3032004 3193780 4219600
COLO 300 319 321 3700 40.0 99600 11803 129840
N MEX 353 297 368 6520 60.0 209474 199305 222080
ARIZ 174 136 137 78,0 75. 125702 102608 109275
CALIF 296 242 290 72.0 72.0 219016 179424 20°880
Us Se 16,301 135546 15863 60.7 63.0 8759752 8215798 999+380

1/ ESTIMATES FOR

CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECASTs

RICE

ACREAGE YIELD PER ACRE PRODUCTION
STATE HARVESTED FOR INDI- INDI-
HARVEST| CATED CATED.
1971 1972 1973, Jig71 1 1972 | 1973 1971 1972 1973

11000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 CWT

Mo Vv 409 409 566 49800 4449 4500 235 218 252
MISS 51 51 61 42600 4559 43500 23346 «233252 745
ARK 441 441 528 59050 4,975 4900 229271 211939 254872
LA 522 522 623 39800 35825 35500 199836 195967 21805
TEXAS 468 468 551 $2100 4727 4000 239868 229122 224040
CALIF 331 331 400 $9200 5:614 5700 179212 189583 22800
U.S. 198179 1981769 2916866 49718 49684 49404 85768 859154 959514

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, OCTOBER 1973

CROP REPORTING BOARD» SRS» USDA