Cr Pr 2-2 (11-99)a

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released November 10, 1999, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 1 Percent from October

Soybeans Down 1 percent

All Cotton Up 1 percent

Corn grain production is forecast at 9.54 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month but down 2 percent

from 1998. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 134.5 bushels per acre, up

1.0 bushel from last month and up 0.1 bushel from a year ago. If realized, this would be the third largest

production and the second highest yield on record. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 70.9 million acres,

unchanged from last month. Ideal weather conditions allowed rapid harvest progress and limited harvest

loss throughout the Corn Belt.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.67 billion bushels, down 1 percent from October 1 and down 2 percent

from last year’s record of 2.74 billion bushels. The yield forecast, at 36.7 bushels per acre, decreased

0.3 bushels from last month and is 2.2 bushels below the 1998 final yield. Acreage for harvest is estimated

at a record 72.8 million acres, is unchanged from October 1 but up 3 percent from 1998.

All cotton production is forecast at 16.5 million 480-pound bales, up 100,500 bales from last month, and up

19 percent from 1998. Yield is expected to average 592 pounds per harvested acre, down 33 pounds from

last year. Lower production forecasts of Upland cotton in Alabama, North Carolina, and South Carolina

were more than offset by increased production forecasts in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Louisiana,

Missouri, and Tennessee. On November 7, U.S. harvest was 72 percent complete, compared to the 5-year

average of 70 percent.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on November 10, 1999.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Richard E. Rominger

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Frederic A. Vogel
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Corn for Grain, Plant Population Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

Corn for Grain, Number of Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

Corn for Grain, Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

Corn for Grain, Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Widths and Average . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

Cotton, Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

Cottonseed ............................................................................9

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

Grapefruit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Hazelnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Lentils . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Peas, Austrian Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

Peas, Dry Edible . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

Potatoes, Fall, Percent of Major Varieties Planted . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44

Rice, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Selected Small Grains, Acres, Yield and Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

Selected Small Grains, Stocks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Soybeans, Pods with Beans Per 18 Square Feet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

Soybeans, Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Widths and Average . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31

Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Tobacco, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

Tobacco, by Class and Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

Wheat, Production by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 4 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998

1999

1998 1999

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AZ 1

AR 1

CA

CO

CT 2

DE

FL 1

GA

ID 1

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA 1

ME 2

MD

MA 2

MI

MN

MS 1

MO

MT 1

NE

NH 2

NJ 1

NM 1

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK 1

OR 1

PA

RI 2

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT 1

VT 2

VA

WA 1

WV 1

WI

WY 1

US

200

30

215

260

1,070

155

55

265

52

10,450

5,550

12,200

2,850

1,180

540

400

2,050

6,750

500

2,500

18

8,550

98

85

580

770

825

3,340

220

33

1,050

275

3,550

620

1,850

24

300

100

34

2,950

60

72,604

210

30

135

235

1,130

154

40

260

55

10,650

5,750

11,800

2,800

1,240

410

400

1,900

6,700

320

2,600

19

8,250

60

90

590

640

810

3,100

310

35

1,030

260

3,250

560

1,730

22

320

140

35

2,800

55

70,925

63.0

175.0

100.0

160.0

145.0

100.0

62.0

85.0

150.0

141.0

137.0

145.0

147.0

115.0

81.0

109.0

111.0

153.0

86.0

114.0

115.0

145.0

92.0

165.0

114.0

70.0

107.0

141.0

130.0

190.0

111.0

40.0

121.0

96.0

100.0

141.0

84.0

190.0

80.0

137.0

127.0

134.4

100.0

190.0

125.0

185.0

144.0

84.0

88.0

95.0

155.0

146.0

128.0

150.0

142.0

98.0

127.0

85.0

123.0

143.0

110.0

97.0

135.0

140.0

40.0

170.0

99.0

78.0

107.0

124.0

135.0

190.0

76.0

70.0

110.0

98.0

138.0

143.0

80.0

195.0

65.0

145.0

130.0

133.5

102.0

190.0

125.0

185.0

144.0

84.0

88.0

95.0

155.0

146.0

130.0

149.0

139.0

100.0

127.0

85.0

130.0

146.0

110.0

100.0

135.0

140.0

40.0

170.0

100.0

78.0

111.0

125.0

135.0

190.0

78.0

70.0

115.0

100.0

138.0

143.0

80.0

195.0

65.0

148.0

130.0

134.5

12,600

5,250

21,500

41,600

155,150

15,500

3,410

22,525

7,800

1,473,450

760,350

1,769,000

418,950

135,700

43,740

43,600

227,550

1,032,750

43,000

285,000

2,070

1,239,750

9,016

14,025

66,120

53,900

88,275

470,940

28,600

6,270

116,550

11,000

429,550

59,520

185,000

3,384

25,200

19,000

2,720

404,150

7,620

9,761,085

21,420

5,700

16,875

43,475

162,720

12,936

3,520

24,700

8,525

1,554,900

747,500

1,758,200

389,200

124,000

52,070

34,000

247,000

978,200

35,200

260,000

2,565

1,155,000

2,400

15,300

59,000

49,920

89,910

387,500

41,850

6,650

80,340

18,200

373,750

56,000

238,740

3,146

25,600

27,300

2,275

414,400

7,150

9,537,137 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 5 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998

1999

1998 1999

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL 1

AR

CO

GA 1

IL

KS

KY 1

LA

MS

MO

NE

NM

NC 1

OK

SC 1

SD

TN 1

TX

US

6

130

185

30

107

3,300

8

125

36

320

600

65

12

340

3

140

16

2,300

7,723

8

115

200

30

97

3,400

7

250

56

310

450

135

11

400

4

110

16

2,900

8,499

45.0

53.0

57.0

38.0

74.0

80.0

80.0

60.0

65.0

83.0

94.0

45.0

45.0

45.0

35.0

71.0

70.0

46.0

67.3

50.0

74.0

48.0

50.0

77.0

73.0

80.0

80.0

85.0

70.0

87.0

55.0

57.0

50.0

45.0

58.0

75.0

63.0

68.3

50.0

76.0

44.0

50.0

90.0

77.0

80.0

80.0

85.0

73.0

89.0

55.0

57.0

50.0

45.0

58.0

75.0

63.0

70.2

270

6,890

10,545

1,140

7,918

264,000

640

7,500

2,340

26,560

56,400

2,925

540

15,300

105

9,940

1,120

105,800

519,933

400

8,740

8,800

1,500

8,730

261,800

560

20,000

4,760

22,630

40,050

7,425

627

20,000

180

6,380

1,200

182,700

596,482 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 6 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998

1999

1998 1999

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO 1

TX

US

1,525

478

620

268

143

283

3,317

1,640

548

625

323

176

259

3,571

5,800

6,840

4,530

5,800

5,200

5,600

5,669

5,900

7,500

5,000

5,700

5,100

6,100

5,945

6,000

7,000

5,000

5,700

5,100

6,300

5,929

88,420

32,698

28,107

15,544

7,436

15,846

188,051

98,400

38,360

31,250

18,411

8,976

16,317

211,714 1 Estimates for the current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,

1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain All

1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

1997

1998

1999 1

124,485

141,624

152,008

57,091

44,453

55,945

1,416

1,974

3,761

182,992

188,051

211,714 1 Indicated November 1, 1999, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are

adjusted as data become available through the growing season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 7 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted, Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,

by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1998-99

Seasonal Group

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter 1

 Total

Spring 1

 Total

Summer 1

 Total

Fall

 CA

 CO

 ID

 10 SW Co

 Other ID

 IN

 ME

 MA

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NV

 NM

 NY

 ND

 OH

 OR

 Malheur

 Other OR

 PA

 RI

 SD

 UT

 WA

 WI

 WY

 Total

US

15.5

93.0

73.0

10.3

75.8

410.0

28.0

382.0

5.3

65.5

2.9

47.0

82.0

10.6

22.0

7.0

6.2

27.6

126.0

5.1

59.0

11.5

47.5

14.5

0.7

5.0

2.7

165.0

84.5

0.4

1,235.1

1,416.6

18.1

87.7

69.0

9.0

77.2

400.0

26.0

374.0

5.2

65.0

2.9

48.0

70.0

11.0

21.6

6.5

6.6

26.0

121.0

4.8

56.0

10.5

45.5

14.5

0.6

3.5

2.0

170.0

86.0

0.5

1,207.9

1,382.7

15.0

90.6

68.1

10.3

75.7

408.0

28.0

380.0

5.0

64.5

2.9

46.5

73.0

10.6

21.8

7.0

5.9

27.0

122.0

4.8

58.0

11.4

46.6

14.0

0.7

4.8

2.6

165.0

83.5

0.4

1,214.0

1,387.7

17.8

85.8

64.4

9.0

77.0

398.0

26.0

372.0

4.9

63.0

2.9

47.5

60.0

10.9

21.2

6.5

6.6

25.5

112.0

4.7

55.5

10.5

45.0

14.0

0.6

3.4

2.0

170.0

85.0

0.5

1,180.7

1,348.7

199

233

278

360

335

338

450

330

320

280

235

315

290

300

375

400

380

270

235

250

452

400

465

240

210

260

280

565

370

300

356

343

229

270

289

445

345

339

470

330

270

285

260

310

340

295

420

435

320

265

240

210

509

460

520

220

225

290

290

560

410

295

369

357

2,980

21,121

18,933

3,708

25,360

138,000

12,600

125,400

1,600

18,060

682

14,648

21,170

3,180

8,175

2,800

2,242

7,290

28,670

1,200

26,229

4,560

21,669

3,360

147

1,248

728

93,225

30,895

120

432,737

475,771

4,070

23,205

18,606

4,005

26,565

134,980

12,220

122,760

1,323

17,955

754

14,725

20,400

3,216

8,904

2,828

2,112

6,758

26,880

987

28,230

4,830

23,400

3,080

135

986

580

95,200

34,850

148

435,601

481,482 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 8 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998

1999

1998 1999

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

FL 1

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ 1

NY 1

NC

ND

OH

OK 1

PA 1

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

US

320

3,400

216

30

220

10,550

5,500

10,350

2,500

1,200

1,070

460

1,890

6,800

2,000

5,000

3,750

113

97

1,415

1,475

4,390

340

395

500

3,400

1,210

270

480

1,100

70,441

200

3,400

201

19

200

10,750

5,680

10,850

2,650

1,100

1,010

450

1,990

6,900

1,950

5,300

4,300

108

108

1,300

1,480

4,600

480

360

470

3,860

1,040

320

460

1,250

72,786

22.0

25.0

33.0

23.0

21.0

44.0

42.0

48.0

30.0

30.0

21.0

31.0

39.0

42.0

24.0

34.0

44.0

28.0

41.0

27.0

32.0

44.0

18.0

40.0

21.0

39.0

29.0

22.0

23.0

47.0

38.9

16.0

26.0

26.0

30.0

20.0

42.0

39.0

48.0

27.0

19.0

25.0

26.0

40.0

42.0

25.0

27.0

43.0

22.0

40.0

24.0

34.0

37.0

26.0

28.0

21.0

35.0

17.0

31.0

26.0

48.0

37.0

16.0

27.0

26.0

30.0

18.0

43.0

38.0

45.0

28.0

19.0

25.0

26.0

40.0

41.0

26.0

28.0

42.0

22.0

40.0

23.0

36.0

37.0

26.0

28.0

20.0

35.0

19.0

31.0

27.0

47.0

36.7

7,040

85,000

7,128

690

4,620

464,200

231,000

496,800

75,000

36,000

22,470

14,260

73,710

285,600

48,000

170,000

165,000

3,164

3,977

38,205

47,200

193,160

6,120

15,800

10,500

132,600

35,090

5,940

11,040

51,700

2,741,014

3,200

91,800

5,226

570

3,600

462,250

215,840

488,250

74,200

20,900

25,250

11,700

79,600

282,900

50,700

148,400

180,600

2,376

4,320

29,900

53,280

170,200

12,480

10,080

9,400

135,100

19,760

9,920

12,420

58,750

2,672,972 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 9 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

1998 1999 1998

1999

1998 1999

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

197.0

90.0

537.0

22.0

124.5

75.0

11.5

335.0

75.0

1,467.0

198.0

88.0

538.0

19.0

115.0

78.0

11.5

315.0

74.0

1,436.5

2,195

2,590

2,815

2,820

3,190

2,130

2,450

2,740

2,950

2,702

2,200

2,600

2,600

2,700

2,450

2,600

2,700

3,100

2,900

2,660

2,200

2,900

2,600

2,800

2,200

2,700

2,600

3,100

2,900

2,664

432,415

233,100

1,511,655

62,040

397,155

159,750

28,175

917,900

221,250

3,963,440

435,600

255,200

1,398,800

53,200

253,000

210,600

29,900

976,500

214,600

3,827,400 1 Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Production

1997 1998 1999 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 6,934.6 5,365.4 6,255.0

1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 10 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

1998 1999 1998

1999

1998 1999

Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL 3

 GA

 KS 3

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM 3

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA 3

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL 3

 GA

 KS 3

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA 3

 US

475.0

248.0

900.0

620.0

80.0

1,280.0

16.5

525.0

940.0

357.0

60.3

705.0

120.0

286.0

445.0

3,300.0

91.0

10,448.8

15.5

180.0

7.3

32.0

234.8

475.0

263.5

900.0

800.0

80.0

1,280.0

16.5

525.0

940.0

357.0

67.6

705.0

120.0

286.0

445.0

3,332.0

91.0

10,683.6

560.0

239.0

960.0

585.0

88.0

1,450.0

28.0

595.0

1,180.0

375.0

67.0

810.0

170.0

315.0

565.0

5,000.0

109.0

13,096.0

11.2

259.0

7.0

32.0

309.2

560.0

250.2

960.0

844.0

88.0

1,450.0

28.0

595.0

1,180.0

375.0

74.0

810.0

170.0

315.0

565.0

5,032.0

109.0

13,405.2

559

1,177

645

887

489

578

404

586

737

471

640

699

560

587

589

524

765

619

830

941

658

791

904

559

1,156

645

899

489

578

404

586

737

471

642

699

560

587

589

526

765

625

557

1,155

665

1,190

524

530

411

686

716

550

716

501

480

518

442

461

819

576

814

1,149

686

825

1,093

557

1,140

665

1,177

524

530

411

686

716

550

714

501

480

518

442

463

819

588

540

1,205

710

1,231

524

530

411

702

716

582

716

462

480

450

476

461

819

581

836

1,112

686

825

1,063

540

1,188

710

1,194

524

530

411

702

716

582

714

462

480

450

476

463

819

592

553.0

608.0

1,209.0

1,146.0

81.5

1,542.0

13.9

641.0

1,444.0

350.0

80.4

1,026.0

140.0

350.0

546.0

3,600.0

145.1

13,475.9

26.8

352.8

10.0

52.7

442.3

553.0

634.8

1,209.0

1,498.8

81.5

1,542.0

13.9

641.0

1,444.0

350.0

90.4

1,026.0

140.0

350.0

546.0

3,652.7

145.1

13,918.2

630.0

600.0

1,420.0

1,500.0

96.0

1,600.0

24.0

870.0

1,760.0

455.0

100.0

780.0

170.0

295.0

560.0

4,800.0

186.0

15,846.0

19.5

600.0

10.0

55.0

684.5

630.0

619.5

1,420.0

2,100.0

96.0

1,600.0

24.0

870.0

1,760.0

455.0

110.0

780.0

170.0

295.0

560.0

4,855.0

186.0

16,530.5 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3 Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 11 NASS, USDA

Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 1998-99

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1998 1999 1998 1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

WA

Oth Sts 1

US

58.0

62.0

42.0

162.0

61.0

75.0

46.0

182.0

56.0

62.0

40.5

158.5

60.0

75.0

39.5

174.5

Yield Production

1998 1999 1997 1998 1999

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

WA

Oth Sts 1

US

1,150

1,350

1,130

1,223

1,400

1,300

1,450

1,368

924

1,115

367

2,406

644

837

457

1,938

840

975

572

2,387 1 MT and ND.

Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 1998-99 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1998 1999 1998 1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

WA

Oth Sts 2

US

69.0

108.0

146.4

323.4

54.0

110.0

117.6

281.6

67.0

108.0

134.1

309.1

53.0

110.0

100.6

263.6

Yield Production

1998 1999 1997 1998 1999

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

WA

Oth Sts 2

US

1,700

2,170

1,830

1,920

1,900

2,020

1,790

1,908

1,554

2,621

1,577

5,752

1,139

2,344

2,451

5,934

1,007

2,222

1,801

5,030 1 Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. 2 MT, NV, ND, and OR.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 12 NASS, USDA

Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 1998-99

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1998 1999 1998 1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

OR

US

8.0

1.0

9.0

5.0

1.1

6.1

7.0

0.4

7.4

4.0

0.4

4.4

Yield Production

1998 1999 1997 1998 1999

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ID

OR

US

1,400

1,500

1,405

1,400

1,000

1,364

108

7

115

98

6

104

56

4

60
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 13 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998 1999 1997 1998 1999

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT

FL

GA

IN

KY

MD

MA

MO 1

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV 1

WI

US

2,815

6,800

41,000

8,500

226,260

6,500

1,265

2,700

251,100

9,800

7,800

45,000

59,415

45,000

1,600

2,100

717,655

2,980

6,000

33,000

6,500

226,350

6,500

1,220

2,300

208,400

9,800

6,200

39,000

59,270

38,600

1,700

1,320

649,140

1,519

2,515

2,200

2,000

1,961

1,400

1,413

2,130

2,197

1,830

2,015

2,050

1,870

2,131

1,350

1,687

2,061

1,660

2,550

1,900

1,850

1,777

1,400

1,725

1,950

2,144

1,720

1,802

2,150

1,812

2,221

1,300

2,114

1,956

4,128

19,053

89,225

18,690

497,928

12,000

1,913

7,035

731,199

22,230

17,020

126,360

114,292

117,576

3,060

5,690

1,787,399

4,276

17,102

90,200

17,000

443,628

9,100

1,788

5,751

551,730

17,934

15,720

92,250

111,100

95,898

2,160

3,542

1,479,179

4,946

15,300

62,700

12,025

402,313

9,100

2,104

4,485

446,810

16,856

11,170

83,850

107,381

85,735

2,210

2,790

1,269,775 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 14 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

Class 2, Fire-cured

 Type 21, VA Belt

 VA

 Type 22, Eastern

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 23, Western

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Total 21-23

Class 3, Air-cured

 Class 3A, Light

 Air-cured

 Type 31, Burley

 IN

 KY

 MO 1

 NC

 OH

 TN

 VA

 WV 1

 US

 Type 32, Southern MD

 Belt

 MD

 PA

 US

 Total 31-32

69,000

33,000

102,000

143,000

31,000

45,000

76,000

6,800

41,000

47,800

368,800

1,500

3,850

7,300

11,150

3,600

590

4,190

16,840

8,500

215,000

2,700

8,100

9,800

51,000

10,400

1,600

307,100

6,500

3,300

9,800

316,900

55,000

26,000

81,000

119,000

26,000

39,000

65,000

6,000

33,000

39,000

304,000

1,500

3,650

7,100

10,750

3,450

570

4,020

16,270

6,500

215,000

2,300

8,400

9,800

51,000

11,000

1,700

305,700

6,500

3,000

9,500

315,200

2,285

2,220

2,264

2,240

2,000

2,050

2,030

2,515

2,200

2,245

2,204

1,560

2,315

2,330

2,325

2,805

2,500

2,762

2,365

2,000

1,935

2,130

1,450

1,830

1,795

1,940

1,350

1,896

1,400

1,900

1,568

1,886

2,350

2,350

2,350

2,100

2,150

2,150

2,150

2,550

1,900

2,000

2,164

1,650

2,200

2,200

2,200

2,600

2,300

2,557

2,238

1,850

1,750

1,950

1,400

1,720

1,750

2,000

1,300

1,750

1,400

1,750

1,511

1,742

157,665

73,260

230,925

320,320

62,000

92,250

154,250

17,102

90,200

107,302

812,797

2,340

8,913

17,009

25,922

10,098

1,475

11,573

39,835

17,000

416,025

5,751

11,745

17,934

91,545

20,176

2,160

582,336

9,100

6,270

15,370

597,706

129,250

61,100

190,350

249,900

55,900

83,850

139,750

15,300

62,700

78,000

658,000

2,475

8,030

15,620

23,650

8,970

1,311

10,281

36,406

12,025

376,250

4,485

11,760

16,856

89,250

22,000

2,210

534,836

9,100

5,250

14,350

549,186

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 15 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State,

and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 (continued)

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 3, Air-cured

Class 3B, Dark

 Air-cured

 Type 35, One Sucker

 Belt

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 36, Green River

 Belt

 KY

 Type 37, VA Sun-cured

 Belt

 VA

 Total 35-37

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 Type 41, PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

 Class 5A, CT Valley

 Binder

 Type 51, CT Valley

 Broadleaf

 CT

 MA

 US

 Class 5B, WI Binder

 Type 54, Southern WI

 WI

 Type 55, Northern WI

 WI

 Total 54-55

 Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 Type 61, CT Valley

 Shade-grown

 CT

 MA

 US

All Cigar Types

 Total 41-61

All Tobacco

2,450

525

2,975

1,360

100

4,435

4,500

1,435

925

2,360

1,500

600

2,100

4,460

1,380

340

1,720

10,680

717,655

2,750

600

3,350

1,500

100

4,950

3,200

1,460

870

2,330

940

380

1,320

3,650

1,520

350

1,870

8,720

649,140

2,280

2,040

2,238

2,210

1,220

2,206

2,100

1,600

1,445

1,539

1,735

1,565

1,687

1,609

1,435

1,325

1,413

1,784

2,061

2,150

2,000

2,123

2,100

1,600

2,106

1,850

1,800

1,815

1,806

2,200

1,900

2,114

1,917

1,525

1,500

1,520

1,807

1,956

5,586

1,071

6,657

3,006

122

9,785

9,450

2,296

1,337

3,633

2,603

939

3,542

7,175

1,980

451

2,431

19,056

1,479,179

5,913

1,200

7,113

3,150

160

10,423

5,920

2,628

1,579

4,207

2,068

722

2,790

6,997

2,318

525

2,843

15,760

1,269,775 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 16 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

1998 1999 1998 1999 1997 1998 1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

NM 2

ND

OH

OR

TX 2

WA

WY

US

100.0

57.3

203.0

173.0

458.0

62.4

47.4

242.6

1.1

17.7

35.8

53.4

1,451.7

110.0

67.7

210.0

187.0

466.0

61.9

66.7

251.0

1.2

19.7

27.0

57.0

1,525.2

28.3

22.7

27.1

16.0

21.2

22.6

19.7

22.2

17.3

26.6

33.3

20.3

22.5

31.0

21.4

24.2

18.5

20.4

23.8

19.5

20.5

19.0

25.3

31.4

21.0

21.9

2,970

1,308

5,210

3,040

8,251

1,224

1,013

49

4,205

17

494

270

595

1,240

29,886

2,830

1,301

5,501

2,768

9,710

1,410

934

5,386

19

471

1,192

1,084

32,606

3,410

1,449

5,082

3,460

9,506

1,473

1,301

5,146

23

498

848

1,197

33,393 1 Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2 No acres planted in 1998 or 1999.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

1998 1999 1998 1999 1997 1998 1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

447.0

32.5

435.0

32.6

947.1

456.0

35.0

465.0

31.2

987.2

40.1

86.1

29.7

32.6

36.6

39.0

84.0

34.0

33.5

38.1

16,236

3,009

11,562

902

31,709

17,925

2,798

12,920

1,064

34,707

17,800

2,941

15,810

1,045

37,596 1 Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 17 NASS, USDA

Grapefruit: Utilized Production, Florida and United States,

1997-98, 1998-99, Forecasted October 1, and November 1, 1999 1

Crop

Utilized Production

Boxes Ton Equivalent

1997-98 1998-99

1999

1997-98 1998-99

1999

Oct 1 Nov 1 Oct 1 Nov 1

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

White

 Seedless 3

 FL

Colored

 Seedless 4

 FL

Other 5

 FL

All

 FL

US

18,300

30,600

650

49,550

63,150

17,800

28,700

550

47,050

61,400

20,500

29,000

500

50,000

64,150

18,500

27,000

500

46,000

60,150

777

1,301

28

2,106

2,593

757

1,220

23

2,000

2,520

871

1,233

21

2,125

2,635

786

1,148

21

1,955

2,465 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: FL-85. 3 Excludes White Seedless economic abandonment of 5,000,000 boxes in 1997-98. 4 Excludes Colored Seedless economic abandonment of 1,000,000 boxes in 1997-98. 5 November 1, 1999, Other (Seedy) grapefruit pulled forward from earlier forecast.

Hazelnuts: Utilized Production, In-shell Basis, by State and United States,

1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999

State

Utilized Production

1997 1998 1999

Tons Tons Tons

OR

WA 1

US

46,850

150

47,000

15,400

100

15,500

37,700

300

38,000 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1998-99

Month

Area Fresh Production

Total in Crop Harvested 1998 1999

1998 1999 1998 1999

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Sep

Oct

3,745

3,785

3,265

3,225

2,310

2,240

1,590

1,625

2,495

3,165

3,640

3,850
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 18 NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 major States, accounting for

88 percent of U. S. fall potato production. In the 7 Objective Survey States all producing areas of each State

are sampled in proportion to planted acreage. Colorado data are from a special Potato Variety Survey. 

Variety data shown below are rounded actual percentages from these surveys.

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted,

Selected States and 8 States Total, 1999 Crop

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

State

and

Varieties

Pct. of

Planted

Acres

CO

 R Norkotah

 R Nugget

 Centennial R

 Sangre

 Crestone R

 Yukon Gold

 Ranger R

ID

 R Burbank

 Ranger R

 R Norkotah

 Shepody

ME

 R Burbank

 Ontario

 Shepody

 Frito-Lay

 Superior

 Atlantic

 Snowden

 Katahdin

 Chieftain

 Norwis

 Yukon Gold

MN

 R Burbank

 Norland

 Pontiac

 Goldrush

 La Soda

42.0

29.0

7.6

2.5

1.4

1.4

1.2

74.4

9.1

8.3

4.2

26.1

17.5

15.0

9.5

7.8

4.7

3.3

3.3

2.3

1.7

1.8

49.3

19.2

5.3

4.1

3.1

MN (cont’d)

 Norvalley

 Norchip

 Shepody

 Frito-Lay

 Itasca

 Cascade

ND

 R Burbank

 Frito-Lay

 Norland

 Norvalley

 Shepody

 Goldrush

 Pontiac

 La Soda

 Snowden

OR

 R Burbank

 R Norkotah

 Ranger R

 Shepody

 Atlantic

 Yukon Gold

 Snowden

WA

 R Burbank

 Ranger R

 R Norkotah

 Shepody

 Umatilla

3.0

2.8

2.4

1.4

1.3

1.0

42.0

18.5

9.2

6.9

6.7

4.8

2.0

1.8

1.6

42.9

21.4

12.5

12.5

1.8

1.4

1.2

41.3

17.6

15.4

10.8

6.7

WI

 R Burbank

 R Norkotah

 Snowden

 Goldrush

 Norland

 Superior

 Atlantic

 Ranger R

US (8 States)

 R Burbank

 R Norkotah

 Ranger R

 Shepody

 Norland

 Frito-Lay

 R Nugget

 Goldrush

 Snowden

 Umatilla

 Ontario

 Norvalley

 Superior

 Atlantic

 Pontiac

 Centennial R

 La Soda

 Yukon Gold

 Katahdin

 Norchip

 Sangre

 Chieftain

 Norwis

27.4

20.2

13.6

10.6

10.0

5.2

3.9

1.1

49.5

12.3

7.2

5.7

3.2

2.8

2.1

1.7

1.5

1.1

1.1

1.0

0.9

0.7

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 19 NASS, USDA

Selected Small Grains: Area Planted, Selected States

and United States, 1999

Crop

Area Planted

Montana North Dakota United States

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

170

1,300

5,600

1,050

400

4,150

650

1,350

9,410

60

3,450

5,900

4,670

5,223

62,998

43,425

4,075

15,498

Selected Small Grains: Area Harvested, Selected States

and United States, 1999

Crop

Area Harvested

Montana North Dakota United States

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

70

1,150

5,360

970

390

4,000

 *330

 *1,240

 *8,657

57

 *3,000

5,600

 *2,455

 *4,758

 *54,069

35,542

 *3,609

14,918

* Updated from "Small Grains 1999 Summary" released September 30, 1999. 

Selected Small Grains: Yield, Selected States

and United States, 1999

Crop

Yield

Montana North Dakota United States

Bushels Bushels Bushels

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

 *46.0

50.0

 *29.0

38.0

 *27.0

27.0

 *51.0

 *48.0

 *28.0

37.0

 *24.0

30.0

 *59.7

 *59.2

 *42.7

47.8

 *27.8

34.1

* Updated from "Small Grains 1999 Summary" released September 30, 1999. 

Selected Small Grains: Production, Selected States

and United States, 1999

Crop

Production

Montana North Dakota United States

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

Oats

Barley

All Wheat

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

 *3,220

57,500

 *155,390

36,860

 *10,530

108,000

16,830

 *59,520

 *242,109

2,109

 *72,000

168,000

 *146,506

 *281,853

 *2,307,951

1,698,369

 *100,402

509,180

* Updated from "Small Grains 1999 Summary" released September 30, 1999. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 20 NASS, USDA

Selected Small Grains: Stocks by Position, Selected States

and United States, September 1, 1999 1

State On

Farms

Off

Farms 2

Total All

Positions

Oats

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

MT

ND

US

2,800

16,500

96,300

75

1,150

50,982

2,875

17,650

147,282

Barley

MT

ND

US

48,000

45,000

165,100

8,000

24,000

129,845

56,000

69,000

294,945

Durum Wheat 3

ND

Oth Sts

US

81,000

17,400

98,400

12,800

27,050

39,850

93,800

44,450

138,250

All Wheat

MT

ND

US

165,000

245,000

893,060

27,850

69,300

1,556,196

192,850

314,300

2,449,256 1 Updated from "Grains Stocks" released September 30, 1999. 2 Included stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors. 3 Included in all wheat.

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1997-99 1

Year

Winter Spring

Hard Total

Red

Soft

Red White Hard

Red White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

1997

1998

1999

1,098,303

1,179,452

1,054,996

471,987

442,677

451,801

275,238

258,604

191,572

491,324

486,370

453,978

56,831

42,099

55,202

87,783

138,119

100,402

2,481,466

2,547,321

2,307,951 1 Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 21 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

1998 1999 1998 1999

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

6,337.0

80,187.0

4,892.0

3,345.0

1,566.0

9,626.0

65,821.0

46,449.0

3,805.0

15,567.0

1,127.0

336.0

98.9

1,521.0

4.8

303.0

72,025.0

3,568.0

13,392.5

13,064.3

328.2

1,498.8

9.0

2,010.1

323.4

162.0

1,416.6

15.5

93.0

73.0

1,235.1

87.2

5,223.0

77,611.0

4,670.0

3,600.0

1,582.0

9,299.0

62,998.0

43,425.0

4,075.0

15,498.0

1,095.0

341.0

59.7

1,468.0

3.5

313.0

74,145.0

3,676.0

14,601.2

14,283.0

318.2

1,560.6

6.1

1,992.6

281.6

182.0

1,382.7

18.1

87.7

69.0

1,207.9

88.1

5,864.0

72,604.0

5,919.0

60,016.0

23,642.0

36,374.0

2,755.0

3,317.0

418.0

7,723.0

305.0

59,002.0

40,126.0

3,728.0

15,148.0

1,092.0

329.0

95.6

1,467.0

4.7

285.0

70,441.0

3,492.0

10,683.6

10,448.8

234.8

1,451.7

947.1

717.7

7.4

1,913.9

309.1

158.5

6.1

0.4

36.6

124.0

1,387.7

15.0

90.6

68.1

1,214.0

27.4

83.8

0.5

4,758.0

70,925.0

62,051.0

23,968.0

38,083.0

2,455.0

3,571.0

383.0

8,499.0

54,069.0

35,542.0

3,609.0

14,918.0

1,067.0

334.0

58.2

1,436.5

3.5

294.0

72,786.0

3,593.0

13,405.2

13,096.0

309.2

1,525.2

987.2

649.1

4.4

1,903.0

263.6

174.5

0.4

34.2

1,348.7

17.8

85.8

64.4

1,180.7

85.2

1

 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 1999 crop year. 2

 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Acreage is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 22 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

1998 1999 1998 1999

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

60.0

134.4

16.0

2.52

3.47

1.91

60.2

5,669

29.1

67.3

11.4

43.2

46.9

37.0

34.9

1,455

20.4

855

2,702

1,353

1,446

38.9

1,510

625

619

904

22.5

36.6

2,061

1,405

1,611

1,920

1,223

1,560

50,000

1,625

78

343

199

233

278

356

109

148

59.2

134.5

2.60

3.57

1.99

59.7

5,929

28.7

70.2

42.7

47.8

27.8

34.1

2,664

36.7

1,404

592

581

1,063

21.9

38.1

1,956

1,364

1,669

1,908

1,368

46,000

1,813

357

229

270

289

369

352,125

9,761,085

94,525

151,338

82,010

69,328

165,981

188,051

12,161

519,933

3,487

2,547,321

1,880,733

138,119

528,469

1,588,620

5,365

6,708

81,750

3,963,440

6,360

412,085

2,741,014

5,273,162

13,918.2

13,475.9

442.3

32,606

34,707

1,479,179

104

30,828

5,934

1,938

674

9,500

18,000

59,548

9,727

475,771

2,980

21,121

18,933

432,737

2,987

12,382

6,000

281,853

9,537,137

161,385

85,487

75,898

146,506

211,714

10,993

596,482

2,307,951

1,698,369

100,402

509,180

6,255

3,827,400

2,672,972

5,043,370

16,530.5

15,846.0

684.5

33,393

37,596

1,269,775

60

31,755

5,030

2,387

16,100

62,080

481,482

4,070

23,205

18,606

435,601

1

 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 1999 crop year. 2

 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 23 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-00

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

1998 1999 2000

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Non-Citrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lb

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,593

2

897

13,670

128

360

101

11,387.4

118.3

21,000.0

5,903.0

90.0

39,900.0

2,429.3

955.1

108.0

25.6

520,000

15.5

146,400

188,000

227.0

1,159

2,520

4

747

9,886

115

327

81

10,614.8

130.0

6,554.9

125.0

2,502.1

942.9

180.0

25.1

830,000

38.0

323,900

110,000

280.0

1,180

2,465

3

927

12,110

117

416

95

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 24 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

1998 1999 1998 1999

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,564,520

32,450,880

1,979,740

1,353,690

633,740

3,895,550

26,637,100

18,797,450

1,539,850

6,299,810

456,090

135,980

40,020

615,530

1,940

122,620

29,147,800

1,443,930

5,419,810

5,286,990

132,820

606,550

3,640

813,470

130,880

65,560

573,280

6,270

37,640

29,540

499,830

35,290

2,113,700

31,408,400

1,889,900

1,456,880

640,220

3,763,210

25,494,660

17,573,660

1,649,110

6,271,890

443,140

138,000

24,160

594,080

1,420

126,670

30,005,740

1,487,640

5,908,960

5,780,190

128,770

631,560

2,470

806,390

113,960

73,650

559,560

7,320

35,490

27,920

488,830

35,650

2,373,100

29,382,110

2,395,360

24,287,880

9,567,680

14,720,190

1,114,920

1,342,360

169,160

3,125,420

123,430

23,877,520

16,238,590

1,508,680

6,130,240

441,920

133,140

38,690

593,680

1,900

115,340

28,506,770

1,413,180

4,323,550

4,228,520

95,020

587,490

385,060

290,430

2,990

774,540

125,090

64,140

2,470

150

14,830

50,180

561,590

6,070

36,660

27,560

491,290

11,090

33,910

200

1,925,520

28,702,640

25,111,420

9,699,610

15,411,810

993,510

1,445,150

155,000

3,439,460

21,881,180

14,383,490

1,460,530

6,037,170

431,800

135,170

23,550

581,340

1,420

118,980

29,455,770

1,454,050

5,424,950

5,299,820

125,130

617,230

399,510

262,700

1,780

770,130

106,680

70,620

140

13,860

545,810

7,200

34,720

26,060

477,820

34,480

1

 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 1999 crop year. 2

 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not

harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 25 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

1998 1999 1998 1999

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.23

8.44

35.80

5.65

7.78

4.27

2.16

6.35

1.83

4.23

25.63

2.90

3.15

2.49

2.35

1.63

1.28

0.96

3.03

1.52

1.62

2.62

1.69

0.70

0.69

1.01

50.35

80.24

2.31

1.58

1.81

2.15

1.37

1.75

56.04

1.82

0.09

38.43

22.27

26.13

31.16

39.95

0.12

16.56

3.19

8.44

5.83

8.00

4.47

2.14

6.65

1.80

4.41

2.87

3.21

1.87

2.30

2.99

2.47

1.57

0.66

0.65

1.19

49.08

85.37

2.19

1.53

1.87

2.14

1.53

51.56

2.03

40.01

25.63

30.31

32.38

41.35

7,666,620

247,942,980

85,751,640

137,291,520

74,398,220

62,893,300

2,409,210

8,529,850

308,900

13,206,910

3,163,350

69,326,720

51,185,160

3,758,980

14,382,570

720,590

4,867,410

170,390

37,080

1,797,790

2,880

186,920

74,598,180

2,391,870

3,030,330

2,934,030

96,300

29,579,670

30,895,990

670,940

4,720

1,398,330

269,160

87,910

30,570

4,310

8,160

27,010

4,410

21,580,610

135,170

958,030

858,790

19,628,620

1,350

561,640

2,720

6,136,620

242,254,440

146,406,010

77,552,500

68,853,510

2,126,530

9,603,190

279,240

15,151,340

62,812,130

46,222,030

2,732,490

13,857,610

5,674,440

1,736,080

72,746,380

2,287,630

3,599,090

3,450,060

149,030

30,293,620

34,106,520

575,960

2,720

1,440,380

228,160

108,270

7,300

28,160

21,839,660

184,610

1,052,560

843,950

19,758,530

1

 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 1999 crop year. 2

 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 26 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-00

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

1998 1999 2000

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Non-Citrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,352,330

1,810

813,740

12,401,220

116,120

326,590

91,630

5,165,240

107,320

9,530

5,355,070

81,650

18,100

1,101,910

866,490

97,980

23,220

235,870

14,060

66,410

85,280

205,930

5,790

2,286,110

3,630

677,670

8,968,430

104,330

296,650

73,480

4,814,790

117,930

5,946,510

113,400

1,134,930

855,380

163,290

22,770

376,480

34,470

146,920

49,900

254,010

5,900

2,236,210

2,720

840,960

10,986,010

106,140

377,390

86,180

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 27 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 7 corn producing States

during 1999. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through

harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from

this survey.

Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre,

Selected States, 1995-99

State Month 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

OH

WI

Sep

Nov

Sep

Nov

Sep

Nov

Sep

Nov

Sep

Nov

Sep

Nov

Sep

Nov

24,000

23,650

23,900

24,000

24,800

24,650

26,400

26,350

22,600

22,500

23,400

23,300

24,600

24,000

24,350

24,200

23,550

23,500

25,000

24,950

26,500

26,600

22,750

22,700

23,100

22,750

24,800

24,900

25,000

24,900

23,700

23,800

25,700

25,500

26,300

26,600

22,850

22,850

23,450

23,500

24,750

24,800

25,550

25,400

24,350

24,300

25,700

25,600

27,750

27,650

23,350

23,050

25,350

25,450

26,600

25,850

25,750

25,650

25,250

25,100

25,850

25,900

26,750

26,800

23,200

23,100

25,000

25,000

26,050

26,200

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,

Selected States, 1995-99

State Month 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

OH

WI

Oct

Nov

Oct

Nov

Oct

Nov

Oct

Nov

Oct

Nov

Oct

Nov

Oct

Nov

22,900

22,850

23,000

22,950

24,050

24,000

25,750

25,700

21,800

21,700

22,650

22,500

23,600

23,250

23,700

23,600

22,750

22,700

24,350

24,250

26,400

26,450

22,600

22,550

22,300

22,000

24,250

24,650

23,500

23,400

22,150

22,150

24,600

24,550

26,150

25,900

21,900

21,900

22,500

22,300

24,350

24,300

24,300

24,300

23,450

23,350

24,250

24,300

27,550

27,550

22,500

22,500

24,800

25,000

24,950

24,850

24,950

24,850

23,950

23,900

25,300

25,300

26,700

26,650

22,650

22,600

24,100

24,050

25,700

25,700
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 28 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths,

Selected States, 1995-99

State Year

Row Width (inches)

Less than

30 30 36 38 More than

38

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

OH

WI

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1

1

3

2

3

2

1

2

1

2

1

9

3

10

9

18

1

1

1

1

1

2

1

1

2

3

203

198

223

215

221

148

119

149

143

147

178

183

200

208

215

114

121

126

127

124

98

116

135

140

148

121

84

99

104

110

59

45

50

58

60

39

29

36

35

34

28

23

25

19

17

30

24

32

24

30

16

22

21

26

14

79

91

92

84

73

7

9

10

6

6

13

17

14

8

8

24

25

20

26

16

8

4

5

8

7

79

69

59

54

52

22

18

16

13

14

16

20

18

8

12

7

5

7

8

4

44

19

36

26

25

1

1

1

2

1

1

1

2

1

1

2

1

1

2

2

1

2
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 29 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average

Row Width, Selected States, 1995-99

State Year

Number

of

Samples

Row Width (inches) Average

Row

Width 20.5

or less

20.6-

30.5 1

30.6-

34.5

34.6-

36.5

36.6-

38.5

38.6 &

Greater

Number Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Inches

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

OH

WI

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

268

257

270

267

269

175

146

169

168

161

288

281

281

275

286

163

165

167

169

162

205

234

230

224

227

132

101

113

116

111

110

84

91

83

85

0.4

1.2

0.7

0.4

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.4

0.9

0.9

1.2

1.1

1.2

56.7

63.4

61.4

64.5

63.6

59.4

60.3

67.4

57.7

62.7

45.2

47.3

48.8

53.1

53.6

64.4

60.6

58.6

62.0

63.5

36.1

38.0

37.4

41.1

43.3

56.1

64.4

62.8

73.3

65.8

36.4

33.3

28.5

49.4

40.0

19.4

14.4

17.8

14.6

18.6

21.8

21.2

16.6

25.0

23.0

14.6

19.2

19.2

19.6

17.1

12.2

13.9

17.4

17.2

19.8

15.6

11.6

17.0

17.9

19.8

30.3

17.8

18.6

15.5

28.8

15.4

23.8

16.5

14.5

21.2

10.5

10.9

11.9

9.7

7.4

11.4

8.9

9.5

9.5

5.0

7.6

7.5

8.2

8.0

9.8

6.8

13.9

10.2

10.1

4.3

28.3

35.0

30.4

27.2

23.3

2.3

5.9

8.0

1.7

1.8

8.2

6.0

13.2

4.8

9.4

12.3

9.3

7.4

10.5

9.3

6.3

7.5

4.7

5.4

6.8

21.9

19.6

19.9

13.8

12.9

14.1

7.9

11.4

7.7

9.3

16.1

12.8

13.5

12.1

11.0

8.3

9.9

4.4

5.2

3.6

23.6

23.8

28.6

24.1

20.0

1.1

2.0

1.5

0.7

0.7

1.1

2.1

1.8

1.2

2.5

10.7

6.4

3.2

5.1

6.6

2.5

3.7

1.8

2.4

3.1

3.9

2.6

1.7

1.3

2.2

3.0

2.0

5.3

3.4

16.4

11.9

12.1

6.0

9.4

31.9

31.7

31.6

31.5

31.4

31.4

31.5

31.3

31.2

31.3

33.3

32.7

32.5

32.1

32.5

31.3

31.8

31.4

31.1

30.6

33.6

33.4

33.1

32.8

32.6

31.5

31.4

31.5

30.9

30.6

34.0

33.5

34.0

32.5

33.1 1 For 1995 this column of data contains information for 30.5 or less.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 30 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 8 soybean producing

States during 1999. Randomly selected plots of soybeans fields are visited monthly from August through

harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,

Selected States, 1995-99

State Month 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

IL

IN

IA

MN

MO

NE

OH

Sep 1

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

1,755

1,609

1,816

1,764

1,764

1,755

1,677

1,677

1,739

1,611

1,616

1,613

1,501

1,501

895

1,462

1,469

1,404

1,420

1,420

1,790

1,647

1,650

1,521

1,481

1,505

1,573

1,581

1,416

1,470

1,457

1,654

1,463

1,463

1,543

1,487

1,487

1,491

1,688

1,655

1,715

1,514

1,514

1,452

1,378

1,383

2,098

1,956

1,828

1,708

1,708

1,622

1,532

1,532

1,894

1,458

1,461

1,585

1,506

1,506

1,539

1,591

1,650

1,716

1,345

1,342

1,711

1,485

1,467

1,640

1,613

2,087

1,902

1,906

1,883

1,709

1,709

1,914

1,745

1,748

1,598

1,450

1,442

1,847

1,878

1,931

1,849

1,810

1,810

1,887

1,710

1,710

1,483

1,917

1,788

1,771

1,622

2,142

1,894

1,612

1,563

1,242

1,508

1,877

1,872

1,699

1,494

1 Not available due to plant immaturity.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 31 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width

and Average Width, Selected States, 1995-99

State Year

Number

of

Samples

Row Width (inches) Average

Row

Width 1 10.0 &

less 1

10.1-

18.5

18.6-

28.5

28.6-

34.5

34.6 &

Greater

Number Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Inches

AR

IL

IN

IA

MN

M0

NE

OH

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

119

124

126

124

118

208

202

211

205

219

148

147

148

160

148

206

216

211

217

224

98

101

97

105

100

132

125

118

125

126

87

74

74

96

86

124

121

122

127

125

36.2

35.4

42.9

30.8

31.1

57.1

53.2

55.2

54.5

44.3

68.0

69.4

59.3

62.1

68.9

28.2

28.3

25.1

21.7

18.4

25.0

30.8

27.8

17.6

22.1

53.1

48.4

47.3

49.6

40.9

23.6

21.0

26.3

16.1

13.4

68.0

69.5

71.3

74.0

78.0

10.5

6.5

13.5

13.9

18.7

10.1

15.2

18.5

17.8

31.6

10.2

11.2

15.6

18.8

19.9

10.5

12.3

19.2

22.1

25.7

14.3

11.9

28.9

21.0

26.1

14.0

19.2

30.1

26.4

34.1

8.6

11.5

13.5

18.8

23.8

21.5

23.5

17.6

15.3

15.6

29.0

19.0

19.4

25.8

26.8

2.9

2.2

3.1

2.0

3.0

3.4

2.1

4.8

1.9

0.4

5.6

5.1

4.0

7.1

7.4

9.7

10.5

5.1

15.7

12.1

5.7

4.4

5.0

3.6

6.7

5.2

4.7

4.1

4.2

5.2

1.6

1.2

2.9

2.8

1.6

15.5

26.2

17.5

20.5

16.6

26.0

25.5

21.1

22.0

16.5

17.0

14.6

14.9

15.3

8.8

40.4

42.2

42.0

41.0

41.8

46.4

38.8

36.1

43.8

33.7

22.3

20.4

11.7

14.0

14.3

37.9

40.5

34.5

38.0

40.7

6.9

5.8

7.4

7.1

4.0

8.8

12.9

6.7

9.0

6.8

3.9

3.9

2.1

3.7

4.6

1.4

2.7

5.4

1.9

2.0

15.3

12.1

9.7

8.1

6.7

4.6

8.0

2.1

1.9

6.0

4.9

7.6

5.9

6.4

4.0

24.7

22.3

21.6

22.9

16.9

2.0

0.8

0.8

0.8

19.7

21.6

18.0

20.1

19.3

16.0

16.0

15.1

15.5

15.8

13.3

13.0

14.4

13.4

11.7

24.6

24.4

22.3

22.1

22.6

21.6

21.0

18.8

22.0

20.4

16.4

16.7

15.4

15.6

15.6

25.2

25.3

23.6

25.2

24.2

11.4

10.6

11.4

10.8

10.1 1 Broadcast soybeans included as "10.0 inches and less" but excluded in computation of average width.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 32 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 12 cotton producing

States during 1999. Randomly selected plots of cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest

to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey for

5 States which accounted for 60 percent of the 1998 U.S. Upland cotton production. The remaining 7 States

are new to the Objective Yield survey and do not have 3 years of historical counts available.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, September and November 1995-99,

and Final, 1995-98 1

State Month 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

LA

MS

TX

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

Sep

Nov

Final

850

689

689

751

682

680

679

615

615

682

607

607

423

409

415

857

741

741

707

748

744

665

607

607

816

731

729

383

498

498

975

810

811

701

697

697

639

643

643

908

835

833

500

468

458

637

633

640

755

665

655

694

600

600

835

823

821

498

477

482

720

693

921

779

722

728

761

767

465

447

1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially

opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet of row. In November, excludes small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 33 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 34 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 35 NASS, USDA

October Weather Summary

Dry weather reduced soil moisture on the Plains, causing spotty winter wheat emergence in a few areas and

hampering establishment. Meanwhile in the interior Northwest, a late-month storm system provided muchneeded moisture for dryland winter wheat and eased the 8-month drought. The same storm then dampened

northern Montana and the southeastern Plains (from northeastern Texas northward into southeastern Kansas),

boosting topsoil moisture and aiding wheat, before reaching the Delta at month’s end. In the Ohio Valley,

widespread early-month rainfall eased the 15-month drought and promoted winter wheat emergence, although

drier weather returned after mid-October. Occasional showers improved soil moisture in the Southeast. At

mid-month, Hurricane Irene crossed southeastern Florida, producing widespread flooding and strong winds

that adversely affected vegetables. Although Irene remained offshore thereafter, heavy rain in the eastern

Mid-Atlantic region disrupted flood-recovery efforts, a month after Floyd’s strike. Despite frequent

temperature fluctuations, monthly temperatures averaged within 3 degrees F of normal nationwide, except 3

to 5 degrees F below normal in northern New England and 3 to 5 degrees F above normal in parts of the

Southwest. The generally mild, often dry weather promoted rapid summer crop harvesting nearly nationwide,

especially in the Plains and Midwest.

General Crop Comments: Crops quickly ripened, as above-normal temperatures prevailed across most of

the country near mid-month and again late in the month. Below-normal precipitation promoted rapid harvest

in the Corn Belt, Great Plains, lower Mississippi Valley, and Southwest. In the Atlantic Coastal Plains,

periods of heavy precipitation hampered harvest efforts. Moisture shortages delayed winter wheat planting in

the Pacific Northwest and hindered emergence and growth in parts of the Corn Belt and Great Plains.

Ninety-four percent of the corn crop was mature by October 3, more than a week ahead of the 5-year average. 

Fields quickly ripened in the Great Plains and northern Corn Belt early in the month, especially in Colorado

where development lagged behind normal. In most other areas of the Corn Belt, nearly all of the corn acreage

was mature on October 3. By the end of the month, 89 percent of the corn was harvested, more than 1 week

ahead of normal due to nearly ideal harvest weather. Harvest proceeded far ahead of normal in the eastern

Corn Belt and advanced well ahead of normal average in the western Corn Belt. Slow crop development

hindered harvest progress in Colorado and Pennsylvania until late in the month, when the harvest pace

accelerated.

Eighty-eight percent of the soybean acreage was dropping leaves by October 3, slightly ahead of the 5-year

average. Soybeans ripened well ahead of normal along the Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys and slightly

ahead of normal in the central and western Corn Belt. Crop development lagged slightly behind the 5-year

average in the Great Plains. Ninety-three percent of the soybean crop was harvested by the end of the month,

7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. The harvest pace accelerated in most areas of the Corn Belt

early in the month, with only brief rain delays in northern Missouri, eastern Iowa, northern Illinois, and

scattered areas of Indiana and Michigan. Brief rain delays also interrupted harvest progress in the Mississippi

Delta early in the month. Precipitation from Hurricane Irene limited harvest activity in the Atlantic Coastal

Plains, but progress remained slightly ahead of the normal pace in North and South Carolina. Near the end of

the month, harvest was active in the southern Corn Belt, Mississippi Delta, and Southeast, as hot weather

quickly ripened double-cropped and late-planted soybeans.

Winter wheat seeding was 53 percent complete on October 3 and advanced to 89 percent complete by the end

of the month. Sowing was aided by dry conditions in most areas of the Great Plains and eastern Corn Belt,

but Oregon growers delayed planting due to dry soils. In the Corn Belt, growers planted soft red winter wheat

as soon as row crops were harvested and fields were prepared. Muddy fields and the slow harvest pace

delayed planting in North Carolina. Twenty-six percent of the acreage was emerged by October 3, slightly

ahead of the average. By October 31, 73 percent of the acreage was emerged, slightly behind normal. Dry

soils hindered emergence in parts of the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Precipitation, some in the form of snow,

provided much-needed moisture for germinating seeds in Kansas, Colorado, and the eastern Corn Belt early in

the month. By mid-month, stands were spotty and growth was uneven in some fields due to soil moisture

shortages in some areas of the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Abundant sunshine promoted crop development

where moisture was adequate, but below-normal temperatures limited growth for several days near

mid-month. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 36 NASS, USDA

Eighty-seven percent of the cotton acreage was at or beyond the boll opening stage on October 3, 1 week

ahead of the 5-year average. Bolls were open on virtually all of the acreage in the Mississippi Delta by

October 3. In the southern Great Plains, North Carolina, and California, warm daytime temperatures

accelerated ripening. However, development continued to lag slightly behind normal in California, even

though above-normal temperatures prevailed for most of the month. Harvest rapidly progressed in the lower

Mississippi Valley, as rain delays were isolated and brief. In the southern Great Plains, picking gradually

gained momentum early in the month, and was rapidly progressing by mid-month. Rainy weather and muddy

fields limited progress in the Atlantic Coastal Plains for most of the month.

Sorghum ripened at a normal pace, reaching 96 percent mature by October 24. Harvest progressed slightly

ahead of the 5-year average throughout the month, advancing from 40 percent complete on October 3 to 88

percent on October 31. In the lower Mississippi Valley, most of the crop was harvested by October 3. As the

month progressed, harvest accelerated in the central Great Plains and southern Corn Belt, well ahead of

normal in Illinois, and slightly ahead of normal in Kansas, Colorado, and Nebraska. Slow ripening limited

harvest progress in South Dakota, until after mid-month, when the harvest pace accelerated.

The peanut harvest progressed to 79 percent complete by the end of the month. Heavy rain periodically

slowed harvest progress in the Atlantic Coastal Plains throughout the month. On October 31, digging was 30

percentage points behind normal in North Carolina. Progress was slightly faster in South Carolina. Harvest

progress was at, or ahead of, the average in the eastern Gulf Coast and southern Great Plains

peanut-producing areas.

Corn for Grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 70.9 million acres, unchanged

from last month. The November 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level ear count for the

combined seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin).

The previous record ears per acre was set in 1998. As of October 31, 89 percent of the acreage was harvested

in the 17 major States. This compares with 81 percent last year and 72 percent for the 5-year average. 

Fields quickly ripened in the Great Plains and northern Corn Belt early in October. Harvest proceeded far

ahead of normal in the eastern Corn Belt and advanced well ahead of average in the western Corn Belt. Slow

crop development hindered harvest progress in Colorado and Pennsylvania until late in the month, when the

harvest pace accelerated.

In Iowa, forecasted ear counts are at a record level. Ninety-five percent of the crop was harvested, ahead of

the 84 percent last year and the average of 74 percent.

Illinois and Indiana ear counts from objective yield data indicate record high levels. In Illinois, ninety-four

percent of the crop was harvested as of October 31, compared with 81 percent in 1998 and the average of

80 percent. The corn crop was 94 percent harvested in Indiana, ahead of 80 percent one year ago and the

average of 66 percent. 

Forecasted ear counts in Nebraska and Wisconsin are also at a record level. Eighty-seven percent of the

Nebraska crop was harvested, compared with 82 percent last year and the average of 70 percent. In

Wisconsin, 84 percent of the corn was harvested, compared with 71 percent in 1998 and the average of

53 percent.

Forecasted ear counts in Ohio are the second highest on record and are the fourth highest on record in

Minnesota. The Ohio corn harvest was 81 percent complete, compared with 68 percent last year and the

average of 52 percent. Ninty-one percent of the Minnesota acreage was harvested, compared with 89 percent

for last year and the average of 76 percent.

Sorghum for Grain: The final production forecast for the 1999 crop is 596 million bushels, up from the

October forecast of 580 million bushels and 15 percent above the 1998 production of 520 million bushels. 

The U.S. yield is forecast at 70.2 bushels per acre, up from 68.3 last month, and 2.9 bushels above the 1998
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 37 NASS, USDA

yield. Area harvested and to be harvested was unchanged from October at 8.50 million acres, and up 10

percent from the previous year.

Four States are showing record yields due to favorable weather conditions. These are Arkansas, Georgia,

Louisiana, and Mississippi. Texas is matching its previous record. Yield estimate for Kansas was up 4

bushels from October because of a late frost which gave late planted sorghum additional time to mature. 

Illinios and Nebraska increased their yield forecast by 13 bushels and 2 bushels, respectively. 

Sorghum ripened at a normal pace, reaching 96 percent mature by October 24. Harvest progressed slightly

ahead of the 5-year average throughout the month, advancing from 40 percent complete on October 3 to 77

percent on October 31. In the lower Mississippi Valley, most of the crop was harvested by October 3. As

the month progressed, harvest accelerated in the central Great Plains and southern Corn Belt, well ahead of

normal in Illinois, and slightly ahead of normal in Kansas, Colorado, and Nebraska. Slow ripening limited

harvest progress in South Dakota until after mid month when the harvest pace accelerated.

Rice: Production is forecast at a record high 212 million cwt, down slightly from October 1 but 13

percent above 1998. The average yield is forecast at 5,929 pounds per acre, down 16 pounds from last

month but up 260 pounds from 1998. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.57 million acres

unchanged from October 1, but 8 percent above last year.

The rice production forecast in California declined from last month. Cool weather during pollination

and throughout the growing season reduced expected yields to near last year’s el nino affected crop. 

Yields in Arkansas and Texas increased from last month, while yields in Louisiana, Mississippi, and

Missouri remained unchanged from October1.

Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 1999 is forecast at 436 million cwt, up 1 percent from last

year and 3 percent above 1997. Area harvested, at 1.18 million acres, is down 3 percent from last year

and down less than 1 percent from two years ago. The average yield is forecast at 369 cwt per acre, a

jump of 13 cwt from last year and 12 cwt above two years ago. Bumper crops in Washington and

Wisconsin more than made up for a smaller crop in Idaho. Drought hurt potatoes in New York and

Pennsylvania and caused scattered damage in Ohio, Indiana and Michigan. Rain at harvest time in North

Dakota and Minnesota led to abandonment of several thousand acres.

All Potatoes: Production from all four seasons is forecast at 481 million cwt in 1999, up 1 percent from

last year and 3 percent above 1997. If realized, the production would be the second largest potato crop

on record, 4 percent below the record large crop of 1996.

Five Eastern States produced 28.7 million cwt of fall potatoes in 1999, down 3 percent from last year

and 6 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest totaled 106,000 acres, down 3 percent from last

year. The average yield of 271 cwt per acre was equal to last year and 7 cwt above 1997. Maine potato

growers had a nearly ideal season from early planting to harvest time. Then came persistent rains

delaying digging and causing considerable damage to tubers. Production in Maine dropped 1 percent

from last year. New York and Pennsylvania suffered extended drought through the summer cutting

yields and reducing size.

Eight Central States’ production is forecast at 109 million cwt this year, a gain of 1 percent from last

year and 11 percent above two years ago. Harvest was taken from 338,700 acres, a drop of 6 percent

from last year. The average yield of 322 cwt per acre represented a 24 cwt increase from a year ago. 

Dry summer weather hurt yields in Ohio and Indiana with production drops of 17 and 18 percent,

respectively. Michigan’s yields were not as high as expected, but higher acreage pushed production up

slightly. Heavy rains during harvest led to acreage abandonment in North Dakota and Minnesota. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 38 NASS, USDA

Production in Wisconsin jumped 13 percent with increased acreage and record high yields. Nebraska’s

production increased 9 percent, also with record high yields.

Ten Western States produced 298 million cwt in 1999, up 1 percent from each of the last two years. 

Acreage harvested, at 736,000 acres, decreased 1 percent from last year, while the average yield of

405 cwt per acre was up 7 cwt. Production in Idaho decreased 2 percent from last year and 4 percent

from two years ago. Washington gained 2 percent and Oregon 8 percent to more than make up for

Idaho’s smaller production. Colorado was up 5 percent and California increased 8 percent as yields rose

in both States. Montana and Nevada inched up 1 percent from a year ago. Production in Utah dropped

20 percent and New Mexico slid 6 percent.

Soybeans: Growers expect to harvest 72.8 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from the October

forecast but 3 percent above 1998 final harvested acreage. Harvest progress during October advanced at

a very fast pace as near ideal conditions prevailed in most areas of the Corn Belt, Great Plains and Delta

region. As of October 31, ninety three percent of the soybeans had been harvested, 5 percentage points

ahead of 1998 and 7 percentage points ahead of the average. 

Soybean harvest was nearing completion across the Corn Belt States. In Illinois, Indiana, Iowa,

Minnesota, and Nebraska, harvest was at or above 98 percent complete as of October 31 and was ahead

of last year and 5-year average. Harvest in Ohio was 95 percent complete and was lagging behind by 1

percentage point compared to last season. The Missouri harvest was 89 percent complete, 10 percentage

points ahead of 1998 harvest and 13 points ahead of normal. Harvest in Arkansas was 76 percent

complete and was progressing at same pace as 1998 and was ahead of normal.

Harvest in Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern States was not as advanced and was running behind the

previous year’s pace. Wet conditions during October slowed crop maturity and harvest progress in these

states.

In the seventeen non-objective yield States that make yield forecasts in November, four States reduced

yields from October while five States had increases. Yields were decreased 2 bushels in Georgia and

1 bushel in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Wisconsin. Yields were increased 2 bushels in North

Dakota and Tennessee and 1 bushel in Kansas, Mississippi, and Virginia. 

If realized, pod counts from the October Objective Yield survey will be the highest on record in Iowa

and Nebraska. All other objective yield States, except for Minnesota, were showing fewer pods than last

November and 1998 final counts.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.83 billion pounds, up slightly from the October 1 forecast, but down

3 percent from last year’s crop. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.44 million acres, unchanged from

October 1 but down 2 percent from 1998. Yields are expected to average 2,664 pounds, up 4 pounds

from last month but down 38 pounds from last year.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total

2.12 billion pounds, up 1 percent from last month but down 4 percent from last year’s level. Yield in the

four-State area are expected to average 2,537 pounds per acre, up 30 pounds from October 1 but

103 pounds below 1998. Harvest was ahead the five year average in Alabama and Florida while harvest

in Georgia and South Carolina lagged behind the average. 

The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 468 million pounds, down 6 percent from last

month and down 24 percent from 1998. Yield is forecast at 2,474 pounds, 152 pounds down from last

month and down 626 pounds from last year. In Virginia, harvest was winding down as of October 31,
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 39 NASS, USDA

slightly behind the average. Harvest was 50 percent complete in North Carolina, 30 percent behind the

average.

Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.24 billion

pounds, up 1 percent from last month and up 9 percent from 1998. Yields are expected to average

3,010 pounds, 372 pounds above 1998. On October 31, harvest was 51 percent complete in Texas, 3

percent behind the average.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.1 million acres, is unchanged from the October forecast

and up 25 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acreage, at 309,200 acres is also unchanged

from October and 32 percent above 1998. As of November 7, U.S. harvest was 72 percent complete,

4 percentage points behind 1998, but 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. 

The development of cotton was slowed early in October on the Texas Plains due to cool temperatures

and widely scattered showers. However, harvest was able to begin on some early planted fields. 

Harvest continued to expand throughout October as some growers sprayed to aid in harvest activities

rather than waiting for a hard freeze. Brief harvest delays were experienced in some areas of the High

Plains due to showers and light snow. These showers should have alleviated any potential stickiness

problems. On October 31, forty-six percent of the cotton acreage was harvested. This was 2 percentage

points behind the 5-year average. Objective yield data indicate Texas’ large boll counts are ranked ninth

in the past ten years and boll weights are ranked eighth. In Oklahoma, harvest made great strides during

the second half of October. On October 31, sixty-four percent of the acreage was harvested,

25 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) experienced excellent

weather throughout the month of October. The weather has resulted in harvest progressing well ahead of

average. As of October 31, all five States were well above 90 percent harvested. Arkansas was

15 percent ahead of average at 94 percent harvested. Louisiana reported 99 percent harvested, 7 points

ahead of the 5-year average. Mississippi, at 97 percent harvested, was 10 percentage points ahead of

average. Missouri and Tennessee both reported 96 percent of their cotton acreage harvested on October

31, twenty-one and 20 points ahead of the 5-year average, respectively. Data from objective yield

surveys show large boll counts for Arkansas ranked seventh, and Mississippi’s ranked fourth, since

1990. Louisiana’s number of large bolls are ranked fifth during this time period. Boll weights in

Arkansas and Mississippi were the lowest in the last 10 years, while Louisiana’s weight was ranked as

the ninth lowest out of the last ten years.

Due to the unusually cool growing season, cotton progress lagged behind normal during most of the

season in California and Arizona. The delay in progress resulted in a slow start for harvest. Warm, dry

weather throughout October allowed both States to harvest throughout the month. While Arizona has

been harvesting for several weeks, they are still behind the 5-year average. On October 31, forty-two

percent of their acreage was harvested, 16 percent behind average. After a slow start, California has

virtually completed applying defoliants and picking has rapidly advanced. During the third week of

October, California producers harvested nearly 30 percent of their cotton acreage to advance past the 5-

year average. On October 31, sixty percent of the cotton acres in California were harvested, compared to

47 percent on average. November 1 cotton objective yield counts show California large boll numbers

ranked sixth and boll weights ranked last since 1990. 

Rainy weather and muddy fields resulted in some harvest delays in the Southeastern States (Alabama,

Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), especially in North Carolina. As of October 31, North

Carolina reported only 24 percent of their cotton acreage harvested. This compared to 55 percent for the

5-year average. Conversely, Alabama managed to remain 11 percent ahead of average at 77 percent

harvested. Georgia and South Carolina both remained near average, with Georgia four points ahead of
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 40 NASS, USDA

their 5-year average at 57 percent harvested and South Carolina four points behind their 5-year average

at 51 percent harvested. 

American-Pima production is forecast at 684,500 bales, up 55 percent from last year’s output, but down

19,500 bales from October. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,063 pounds per harvested acre, up

159 pounds from last year. California’s production is down 20,000 bales from the October forecast,

while Arizona’s production is up 500 bales. New Mexico and Texas forecasts are unchanged from the

previous month. Harvest began in California during early October and progressed well throughout the

month. New Mexico harvest is ahead of last year and the overall condition of the crop appears to be

good.

Ginnings totaled 8,237,700 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 7,358,850 running bales

ginned prior to the same date last year and 7,930,100 running bales in 1997. 

Lentils: Production of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at

2.39 million cwt, up 23 percent from the 1998 crop. Planted and harvested acreage are above last year in

both Idaho and Washington. Harvested area is estimated at 174,500 acres, 16,000 acres more than in

1998. Average yield per acre, at 1,368 pounds, is 145 pounds above last year.

Production in Idaho at 840,000 cwt, is up 30 percent from 1998. Average yields in Idaho increased

250 pounds from last season to 1,400 pounds per acre. Harvested acreage in Idaho rose to 60,000 acres,

up 7 percent from 1998. In Washington, production is up 16 percent from last year, at 975,000 cwt;

however, yields dipped 50 pounds to 1,300 pounds per acre from 75,000 harvested acres.

Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry peas in Idaho, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon, and

Washington in 1999 is estimated at 5.03 million cwt, down 15 percent from 1998 and down 13 percent

from two years ago. Harvested acres were equal to or less than 1998 harvested acres for every state

except Washington, which increased 2,000. 

Overall, planted area in the U. S. reached 281,600 acres, 41,800 acres fewer than a year ago. Harvested

acres stood at 263,600 acres compared with 309,100 acres last year. Average yields fell 12 pounds to

1,908 pounds per acre. Growers in Washington saw their average yields decrease by 150 pounds per

acre from last year to 2,020 pounds; however, in Idaho average yields increased 200 pounds per acre to

1,900 pounds. 

Austrian Winter Peas: The Austrian winter pea crop of 60,000 cwt for 1999 in Idaho and Oregon is

down 42 percent from 1998 and down 48 percent from two years ago. This is the lowest since 1994,

when production was a record low 51,000 cwt. Area harvested, at 4,400 acres, is down 3,000 acres from

last year, while the average yield decreased 41 pounds in 1999 to 1,364 pounds per acre. 

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1999 is forecast at 1.27 billion pounds, down 14 percent from

1998 and down 29 percent from 1997. Harvested acres are expected to total 649,140, down less than

1 percent from the previous forecast and down 10 percent from 1998. Yields for 1999 are expected to

average 1,956 pounds per acre, 105 pounds below a year ago. Harvested acres for North Carolina

remained unchanged from the previous forecast but are down 17 percent from last year. North Carolina

yields increased slightly from the previous forecast but were down 2 percent from 1998. Kentucky’s

acreage, at 226,350, remained unchanged from a month ago and is slightly more than last year. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 41 NASS, USDA

Kentucky tobacco yields averaged 1,777 pounds per acre, 2 pounds more than last month but declined

184 pounds from last year. 

Flue-cured production is expected to total 658 million pounds, down less than 1 percent from a month

ago and down 19 percent from 1998. Growers plan to harvest 304,000 acres in 1999, down 1 percent

from last month and 18 percent less than last year. Yield is expected to average 2,164 pounds per acre,

up 11 pounds from last month but down 40 pounds from a year ago. 

Fire-cured production is expected to total 36.4 million pounds, up 3 percent from last month but down

9 percent from 1998. Growers plan to harvest 16,270 acres in 1999, up 1 percent from last month but

down 3 percent from last year. Yield is expected to average 2,238 pounds per acre, up 48 pounds per

acre from last month but down 127 pounds from 1998. 

Burley production overall is expected to total 535 million pounds, virtually unchanged from last month

but down 8 percent from a year ago. Yield is expected to average 1,750 pounds per acre, an increase of

3 pounds from the previous forecast but down 146 pounds from 1998. Burley tobacco growers plan to

harvest 305,700 acres, unchanged from the previous forecast and slightly below a year ago. 

Dark Air-cured production is expected to total 10.4 million pounds, down 1 percent from last month but

up 7 percent from 1998. Growers plan to harvest 4,950 acres in 1999, unchanged from last month but

up 12 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,106 pounds per acre, a decline of

18 pounds from last month and 100 pounds from last year. 

Cigar Type tobacco production is expected to total 15.8 million pounds, a decrease of less than 1 percent

from the previous forecast and down 17 percent from a year ago. Yields increased 2 pounds per acre

from the previous forecast and increased 23 pounds above last year.

Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at a record high 33.4 million tons, 2 percent above the previous

record in 1998. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1,525,200 acres,

5 percent more than last year and the highest since 1,540,500 acres were harvested in 1969. The yield is

forecast at 21.9 tons per acre, below the 1998 yield of 22.5 tons.

Compared with the previous forecast, increased abandonment in Minnesota and North Dakota was offset

by less than expected abandonment in California. In addition to the reduction in acres harvested,

Minnesota and North Dakota yields were also reduced. Due to the decreases in harvested acres and

yields, combined production in the 2 largest beet-producing states dropped 4 percent from the October

forecast.

Favorable harvest weather prevailed across the northern Great Plains. In North Dakota, harvest was

complete by mid-month, a record pace. Harvest was complete by the end of the month in Minnesota,

well ahead of normal. Harvest also progressed ahead of normal in Idaho, Montana, and Nebraska, and

approached completion as the month ended. Mild, dry weather also aided harvest efforts in California,

but progress was delayed in Colorado, where temperatures were too warm for stockpiling. The

Michigan beet harvest began near mid-month and was nearly complete by the end of the month.

Sugarcane: Production is forecast at a record high 37.6 million tons, 8 percent above the previous

record of 34.7 million tons set last year. U.S. sugarcane growers intend to harvest a record high 987,500

acres for sugar and seed during the 1999 crop year, 4 percent more than last year’s final harvested acres. 

The record high acreage is due to a 30,000 acre expansion in Louisiana and a 9,000 acre increase in

Florida. Yield is forecast at 38.1 tons per acre, 1.5 tons above 1998.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 42 NASS, USDA

In Florida, Hurricane Irene’s strong winds blew some cane over and its heavy rains halted harvest long

enough to stop grinding at some mills. Harvest proceeded rapidly in Louisiana, where a record high

yield is expected due to ideal growing conditions, expanded acreage of a high yielding hybrid, and

increased utilization of a more efficient harvester. In Hawaii, harvest was delayed by mid-month rains,

but most of the crop had already been harvested.

Hazelnuts: The November 1 hazelnut production forecast for Oregon and Washington remains at

38,000 tons for 1999. This would be almost two and one-half times the size of last year’s crop but

19 percent less than the 1997 record production. Oregon is expected to account for 37,700 tons and

Washington the remaining 300 tons.

Harvest is nearly completed as weather conditions during October were excellent. The only concern is

that the lateness of crop maturity might mean the last of the crop could get left in the field due to

expected rainy, winter weather.

Papayas: October fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.85 million pounds, 6 percent more than

September and 22 percent above October 1998. Area devoted to papaya totaled 3,225 acres, down

slightly from the previous month. Harvested area, however, increased 2 percent to 1,625 acres. Total

papaya acreage was 15 percent less than a year ago, reflecting the abandonment of low yielding acreage

devastated by the papaya ringspot virus.

October weather was favorable in the major growing areas. Production increased both seasonally and

because of increased bearing acreage of the disease resistant Rainbow variety. The increase in supplies

was putting downward pressure on prices.

Grapefruit: The special November 1 forecast of the 1999-00 grapefruit crop for United States is

2.47 million tons, down 6 percent from October and down 2 percent from the 1998-99 season. The

Florida grapefruit forecast is reduced 8 percent to 46.0 million boxes (1.96 million tons). The white

seedless forecast, at 18.5 million boxes (786,000 tons), is down 10 percent from October but 4 percent

above the previous season’s utilization. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 27.0 million boxes

(1.15 million tons), 7 percent less than a month ago and 6 percent lower than the 1998-99 season. The

seedy grapefruit crop is carried forward from October at 500,000 boxes (21,000 tons), 9 percent less

than the previous season. Texas, California, and Arizona forecasts were carried forward from their

October levels.

The Florida grapefruit reduction is a result of fruit blown off the trees and a slightly increased droppage

rate for fruit remaining on the trees. Most of the reduction is in the Indian River area where Hurricane

Irene passed on October 15 and 16. Although the loss from the winds is of the larger more mature fruit,

some increased sizing is expected on fruit remaining on the trees. Additional loss may occur from

increased droppage due to high water levels in some groves and increased incidence of disease because

of the excessive water.

Florida Citrus: October was a wet month in Florida's citrus belt. During the first week of the month,

many areas received up to 5 inches of rain associated with a tropical system that covered the southern

part of the state. Later in October, Hurricane Irene soaked all of the citrus growing areas again. Winds

gusted 65 to 75 miles per hour, causing some grapefruit and a much smaller portion of the early oranges

to be blown off the trees along the east coast and parts of the lower interior. New crop harvests during

October were slowed due to numerous rains. Fresh fruit shippers packed Navels, Ambersweet oranges,
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 43 NASS, USDA

white and colored grapefruit, a few early tangerines and some K-Early Citrus. Only a few processors

were open to receive small quantities of packinghouse eliminations and very limited amounts of grove

run fruit. Caretakers stayed very active during the month cutting cover crops, spraying, and moving

water out of the groves.

Texas Citrus: Early movement of citrus is ahead of last year’s pace due to the hurricanes in Florida this

year and the California freeze last December. The fruit is sweeter than normal and the quality is

excellent. Citrus growers in Texas are feeling very optimistic at this time.

California Citrus: Picking of early season variety navel oranges began in late October in Kern County. 

Harvest of the 1998-99 Valencia orange crop was winding down in southern California. Picking of

lemons and grapefruit was active in the desert.

California Fruits and Nuts: Grape harvesting was active throughout October. Grapes for fresh use

were picked in the San Joaquin Valley. Major varieties included Red Globe, Ruby Seedless, Crimson

Seedless, and Thompson Seedless. Harvest of grapes for raisins was completed with all the raisins

picked up by the third week of October. Picking of grapes for wine was also active. The fig harvest

continued, but picking of late season variety stone fruits wound down. Apple and olive harvests were in

full swing. Asian pear and pomegranate harvests were also active in the San Joaquin Valley. Harvests

of almonds, pistachios, and walnuts declined as the season neared the end.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 44 NASS, USDA

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 25 and November 5

to gather information on expected yields as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans, and cotton

were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. 

Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts within each sample plot depend on the crop

and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide

information to forecast the number of ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from

previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield.

The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator

has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. 

Approximately 13,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yields. 

These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season

progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather

patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their

analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published November 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each

month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing

season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. 

Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Harvested acres

may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has

changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square

Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation between

the November 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the

squared percentage deviations for the 1979-1998 20-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the

"Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast

relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from

those influencing recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is 2.0 percent. This

means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 9.54 billion bushels will not be above or below

the final estimate by more than 2.0 percent or approximately 191 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent

confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.4 percent or approximately 324 million bushels.

Also shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1

forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final

estimates during the last 20 years have averaged 100 million bushels, ranging from 1 million bushels to 342 million

bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 11 times and above 9 times. This does not imply

that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn For Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

2.0

4.6

2.7

2.5

2.8

3.4

8.0

4.6

4.3

4.9

100

20

3

38

327

1

0

0

6

14

342

86

12

109

937

11

9

12

8

12

9

10

8

12

8 1 Quantity is in thousands of bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

November 1999 45 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics

Service to contact for additional information.

C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Brad Parks, Head (202) 720-3843

Rhonda Brandt - Corn (202) 720-9526

Herman Ellison - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234

Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621

Jerry Ramirez - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-3843

Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4488

Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas,

Mushrooms (202) 690-0270

Keith Lacy - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Harry Nishimoto - Hops (360) 902-1940

Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on December 10, 1999.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the

basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and

marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who

require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.)

should contact the USDA’s TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten

Building, 14th and Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice

or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:

INTERNET ACCESS

All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet

and go to the NASS Home Page at: http://www.usda.gov/nass/. Select “Today’s Reports” or Publications

and then Reports by Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject.

E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION

There are two options for subscribing via e-mail. All NASS reports are available by subscription free of

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e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. 2) If

you do NOT have Internet access, send an e-mail message to: usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu. In the body of the message type the word: list.

AUTOFAX ACCESS

NASSFax service is available for some reports from your fax machine. Please call 202-720-2000, using the

handset attached to your fax. Respond to the voice prompts. Document 0411 is a list of available reports.

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For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or

services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:

nass@nass.usda.gov.
USDA ANNOUNCES AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FORUM 2000

USDA will hold Agricultural Outlook Forum 2000 on Feb. 24 and 25,

2000. The meeting will take place at the Crystal Gateway Marriott

Hotel located at 1700 Jefferson Davis Highway, Arlington, Va.

USDA holds a forum each year to provide timely forecasts of farm

prospects and insight on developments affecting the farm economy. 

Speakers include top officials, government and industry analysts,

farmers, and experts from business, government, and universities. A

new set of 10-year USDA commodity projections will be released at

the meeting.

The public and press are invited to attend the event, which attracted

nearly 1,200 participants in February 1999. To be notified, send postal

and e-mail addresses to agforum@oce.usda.gov, call 202-720-3050, or

write to Outlook Forum 2000, Room 5143 South Building, USDA,

Washington, DC 20250-3812. Conference details will be posted on

the World Wide Web at www.usda.gov/oce. For hotel reservations,

call the Crystal Gateway Marriott Hotel at (703) 920-3230.