Winter Wheat: Yield and Production, by State
and United States, 1991-93

AL 25.0 44.0 34.0 2,750 4,180 3,230
AZ 105.0 90.0 94.0 3,045 3.960 3,290
AR 22.0 46.0 40.0 20,460 39,100 40,000
CA 80.0 75.0 80.0 32,800 41,250 40.000
co 31.0 30.0 37.0 71,300 69,000 94.350
DE 53.0 58.0 57.0 3,551 4,060 3,591
FL 23.0 42.0 33.0 575 840 825
GA 33.0 46.0 38.0 14,025 16.100 13,680
ID 70.0 65.0 79.0 49,000 52.000 67,150
It 32.0 54.0 44.0 44 800 62,100 68,200
IN 40.0 50.0 52.0 28,800 22,500 34,840
IA 34.0 39.0 25.0 1,700 1,560 1,000
KS 33.0 34.0 35.0 363,000 363,800 388.500
ky 27.0 55.0 49.0 10,800 23,100 23,030
LA 20.0 36.0 25.0 3,800 6.120 2,375
MD 50.0 58.0 54.0 9,750 12,760 10,800
MI 43.0 56.0 41.0 24,080 35,280 22,140
MN 36.0 42.0 30.0 1,980 1,890 1,200
MS 18.0 42.0 33.0 4,500 10,500 6.930
MO : 32.0 48.0 38.0 48,000 64,800 53.200
MT : 40.0 29.0 42.0 72,000 60.900 102,900
NE : 32.0 30.0 35.0 67.200 55,500 73,500
NV : 90.0 85.0 100.0 360 425 400
NJ : 46.0 50.0 43.0 1,196 1.400 1,419
NM : 25.0 34.0 23.0 8.000 11,220 6,210
NY : 49.0 56.0 46.0 5,390 6.160 3.910
NC : 40.0 50.0 42.0 19,200 27.750 23,520
NO : 33.0 35.0 33.0 2.970 5.950 4,290
OH : 49.0 53.0 52.0 52,920 59.095 52,520
OK 28.0 29.0 30.0 140,000 171,100 162,000
OR 52.0 52.0 72.0 41,600 42,900 61,060
PA 44.0 55.0 45.0 7,700 10,175 7,425
Sc 31.0 47.0 38.0 8.525 12.925 9,880
so 35.0 28.0 39.0 45,500 33.600 56,550
TN 24.0 48.0 41.0 7,680 13,440 13,940
TX 30.0 34.0 32.0 84,000 129.200 118.400
UT 36.0 40.0 39.0 4,680 5.200 6,045
VA 49.0 57.0 53.0 12,250 15,105 13,515
WA 58.0 51.0 65.0 40,600 102.000 162,500
WV 45.0 49.0 43.0 450 539 473
WI 49.0 40.0 38.0 5,880 1.800 4,370
wy 29.0 25.0 30.0 5.800 5.250 6.150
US 34.8 38.3 40.3 1,372,617. 1.606.534 1,769,308
l/s Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-20 NASS, USDA


State

1D
OR

us

Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production,
by State and United States. 1991-93

- Pounds ---

1,100 1,600 132 88 160
1,500 1,000 7 11 5
1,138 1,571 139 99 165

Winter Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production,
by State and United States, 1992-93 1/

1,000 Acres

CA 5.3 5.6 5.3 5.2
FL 8.1 8.7 8.1 8.4
US 13.4 14.3 13.4 13.6
Yield Production

CA 260 200 1,378 1,040
FL 200 180 1,620 1,512
us 224 188 2.998 2,552
l/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-41 NASS, USDA


Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production
by State and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

Area Harvested Yield : Production

7. 7.

3. 3.

6. 6.

3. 4.

2. 2.

3. 3.
ID 910 970 3.70 4.50 3,914 3.367 4,365
IL 740 790 3.50 3.50 2,546 2,590 2,765
IN 330 300 3.70 4.00 1,125 1,221 1,200
IA 1,550 1,600 3.70 2.90 5,550 §,735 4,640
KS 850 800 4.20 3.60 2,480 3,570 2,880
KY 300 280 3.50 3.80 1,225 1,050 1,064
ME 1/ 21 20 2.20 2.10 42 46 42
MD 1/ 70 65 3.90 3.90 225 273 254
MA 1/ 30 26 2.60 2.50 75 78 65
MI 1,150 1,050 3.60 4.20 4,680 4,140 4,410
MN 1,500 1,600 3.50 3.30 6,290 5,250 5,280
MO 500 460 2.90 2.85 1,350 1,450 1,311
MT 1,400 1,500 2.35 2.70 3,750 3,290 4,050
NE 1,500 1,400 3.70 4.10 4,785 5.550 5.740
NV 230 235 3.80 4.40 858 874 1,034
NH 1/ 16 13 2.10 2.10 35 34 27
NJ l/ 29 28 3.90 2.90 87 113 81
NM 250 260 5.10 5.10 1,274 1,275 1,326
NY 800 750 2.35 2.90 1,900 1,880 2,175
NC L/ 30 20 2.80 2.50 120 84 50
ND 1,300 1,200 1.35 2.30 2,310 1,755 2,760
OH 700 650 4.00 4.00 1,680 2,800 2,600
OK 350 340 3.80 3.60 1,320 1.330 1,224
OR 400 410 4.00 4.50 1,785 1,600 1,845
PA : 800 780 3.40 3.00 2,028 2,720 2.340
RI 1/: 2 2 2.40 2.10 5 5 4
sD : 2,200 2,600 2.10 2.70 5.405 4,620 7,020
TN 1/ 70 60 3.60 2.70 280 252 162
1X 110 100 5.00 3.80 450 550 380
UT : 490 500 4.00 4.20 1,960 1,960 2,100
VT ls: 95 100 2.30 2.40 242 219 240
VA l/: 140 130 3.50 3.40 442 490 442
WA : 480 480 4.60 4.00 2,160 2,208 1,920
Wod/ : 40 40 3.00 3.20 125 120 128
WI 2,300 2,200 2.30 2.50 8,400 5.290 5,500
wy 590 630 2.40 3.00 1,650 1.416 1,890
us 24,159 24,291 3.30 3.46 83,795 79,652 83,990
1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-37 NASS, USDA


Sugarbeets:
and United States.

Area Harvested

Area Harvested,

- 1,000 Acres -

CA : 150.0 137.0
co : 39.9 40.0
ID : 200.0 204.0
MI : 175.0 185.0
MN : 370.0 376.0
MT : 55.8 54.1
NE : 77.6 80.8
ND : 194.7 190.0
OH : 20.5 18.1
OR : 18.6 15.7
TX : 39.9 39.4
wy : 69.1 65.0

Oth :

Sts 2/: 1.8 2.3
US : 1,412.8 1,407.4

1991 - 92

CONCH OBUIHOD

Yield and Production by State
and Forecasted October 1, 1993 1/

Production

eCoOeCOrKwOCOCOCaAM

4.029
965
5,070
2,573
6.171
1,312
1,578
3,568
296
525
671
1,368

3 77

7 28,203

----- 1,000 Tons -----
3,990 3,768
954 944
4,900 4,692
3,098 3.330
6,845 6,016
1,272 1,190
1,387 1,608
3.388 3,249
328 272
419 408
838 906
1,437 1,300
72 88
28.928 27,771

1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except

beets in CA.

2/ Includes NM and WA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed:

by State and United States.

Area Harvested,
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

for overwintered spring planted

Yield,

and Production

Production 1l/

Area Harvested

0 15,461
8 6.061
0 7,620
0 1,110

6 30,252

1992 1993
1,000 Tons ------
14,708 14,850
5,622 5.577
8,706 8.625
1,328 1,427
30,364 30.479

1992 1993
: -- 1,000 Acres --
FL: 443.0 ~~ 450.0
HI: 67.9 65.0
LA :—375.0 375.0
TM  : 39.3 44.6
US: 925.2 934.6
1/ Net tons.

Crop Production
October 1993

Yield 1/
1992 1993
---- Tons ----

33.2 33.
82.8 85.

23.2 23.

33.8 32.

32.8 32

A-46

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Oats: Yield and Production, by State
and United States. 1991-93

Production

1991 1992 L/ 1993
seeceeee 1,000 Bushels --------
AL 35.0 60.0 45.0 875 1,500 1,350
AR 56.0 80.0 68.0 1,680 1,600 1,360
CA 75.0 80.0 80.0 3,375 2,800 2,400
co 60.0 60.0 62.0 1,800 2,100 1,984
GA 50.0 67.0 60.0 3,000 3,685 3,000
ID 68.0 72.0 80.0 3,060 1,440 1,200
IL : 55.0 61.0 51.0 6,600 7.930 4,590
IN : 57.0 70.0 56.0 2,565 2,800 2,240
IA : 50.0 67.0 40.0 21,250 25,125 9.000
KS : 53.0 56.0 34.0 5,830 7,840 1,020
ME : 60.0 85.0 75.0 1,380 1,870 1,950
MD 35.0 66.0 53.0 420 594 424
MI 45.0 70.0 55.0 5.400 8.400 7,150
MN 40.0 70.0 50.0 22,800 35,000 23.750
MO 51.0 54.0 49.0 1,632 2.430 686
MT 65.0 56.0 66.0 6,050 3,920 3,960
NE 54.0 70.0 43.0 11,880 15,400 6,880
NY 50.0 70.0 62.0 5,000 7,700 6.510
NC 55.0 60.0 60.0 2,200 3,000 1,800
ND 50.0 68.0 70.0 32,500 37.400 38,500
OH 60.0 71.0 60.0 10,200 12,070 9,000
ok 38.0 42.0 35.0 1,292 2,100 875
OR : 105.0 94.0 100.0 4,725 4,230 4,000
PA : 40.0 67.0 50.0 8,400 13,735 10,000
SC : 55.0 63.0 50.0 2,200 2.205 1,500
So : 55.0 66.0 52.0 38,500 42,900 26,520
TTM : 40.0 44.0 53.0 7,200 5.720 7.420
UT : 77.0 70.0 78.0 616 1.050 1,014
WA : 65.0 60.0 68.0 2,600 1,800 2,040
wy : 45.0 60.0 48.0 225 360 240
wi : 50.0 62.0 46.0 26,500 34,410 24,150
WY : 53.0 55.0 65.0 1,696 1,650 1,625
us 50.7 65.6 54.6 243,451 294,764 208,138
1/ Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-14 NASS, USDA


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CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SO/L PROFILE)
orn. October 2, 1893
Drv
Wi
ee} +
Jasin —
— FAVORABLY eter
“7 \ ¢ = Moist “
/ ‘= jucmonas) PAVORABLY.
suiGHity ow) O MOIST
RY ‘po ~\ pe -
/ iS ABNORMALL}
= MOIST
f - ~ —~J
an } >
BNORMALLY on i)
ory / i t WET: emus?
7 —
(sua | acme 7” mm sent
ao ar" at (V0 ape ome
ni i rAVORABL t =)
- Fa A.) { MOIsy A Negvenen
“ABNORMALLY \ ay Ne } per
RY \ zs
~-=s "ARNORMALLY
Nay
feassi -
ony
sucimy
oR
NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on preliminary reports

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly. can change considerably week to week. and
indicates normai conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about
55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term
(months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought
severity index.

Crop Production
October 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

B-4 NASS., USDA


a full bushel less than 1992. Area harvested for grain, at 63.0 million acres.
was down 1 percent from September but up 1 percent from last year.

U.S. All Wheat Production
1984-1993

Billion Bushels

3.00 2.74
2.59 —JT
2.42 246 2.42

2.09 2.11 2.04
2.00 1.81

2.60

1.98

1.60

1.00

0.50

0.00
84 686 86 87 8& 88 90 921 92 9

Winter Wheat: The 1993 winter wheat production was estimated at 1.77 billion

bushels. off 1 percent from August 1 but up 10 percent from
1992. Yields averaged 40.3 bushels per acre, 0.2 bushels Jess than the last
forecast but 2.0 bushels per acre better than last year. Area harvested for
grain was placed at 43.9 million acres, down 1 percent from the August 1
forecast but up 5 percent from a year ago.

Harvest of this year’s crop trailed the average in many States. largely due to
weather related problems. Rains delayed harvest in the Central Plains: cool,
rainy weather slowed the crop maturation process in the northern Plains.
Montana, and the Pacific Northwest. As of September 5, Idaho and Montana
winter harvests had reached 61 and 54 percent, respectively. As of October 3,
Idaho was 98 percent complete and Montana, 94 percent. Most States in the
Plains and west had improved yields over 1992. Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and

Crop Production Ac “a Statistics Board
October 1993 B-2 NASS, USDA


last year’s record high. Area for grain is unchanged from last month at
9.75 million acres.

Development of the 1993 crop is ahead of last year but still trails the 5-year
average. As of October 3, acres in the 12 major producing States were

94 percent coloring and 65 percent mature. The 1992 numbers were 89 and

57 percent; average is 96 and 74 percent, respectively. Harvest progress had
reached 36 percent by October 3, 7 points behind average. Harvest south of the
Kansas-Oklahoma line was ahead of or close to average progress. Most of
Missouri's harvest has been in the Bootheel. Nebraska's sorghum is maturing
about 2 weeks later than average.

Rice: Production of all rice is forecast at 165 million cwt. 2 percent below
the September 1 forecast and 8 percent below the 1992 total. If
realized, this production would be the third highest on record. California's

yield increased from last month with good quality rice harvested to date.
Yields in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi are down from last month. The
ratoon crop in south Louisiana is headed out with some starting to ripen. The
second crop rice in Texas continued to lag behind normal.

Soybeans: Growers plan to harvest 56.0 million acres, down 160.000 acres from
the September estimate. North Dakota and Missouri were the only

flood States to reduce acreage. In Missouri, acreage was reduced by

100,000 acres due to additional flooding along tributaries. North Dakota

decreased its harvested area by 20,000 acres. Georgia and South Carolina

reduced their harvested acreage due to the drought conditions. Area to be

harvested in Georgia decreased by 30.000 acres and South Carolina by

10,000 acres.

For the October forecast period, Indiana, Illinois, and Missouri and Ohio had
the largest number of pods per 18 square feet of the last five years. Overall,
the pod count is the highest in the last five years for the 8 major producing
States.

The percent of soybeans dropping leaves lagged behind 1992 and the average.
Arkansas, Indiana, Nebraska, and Ohio were ahead of the average. Illinois.
Iowa, and Missouri were under one week behind the average. Minnesota was over
one week behind the average. Harvest. at 7 percent completed. continues to
Progress but is behind last year’s pace by 13 points and the average by

20 points.

Soybean Revisions - 1992: The 1992 soybean production was revised to

2.19 billion bushels, down fractionally from the
previous 1992 estimate. Yield is unchanged at 37.6 bushels per acre. Planted
area, at 59.1 million acres, and harvested area, at 58.2 million acres, are
down slightly from preliminary 1992 estimates. Revisions were made based upon
end of marketing year stocks estimates and disappearance data for exports and
crushings.

Sunflower: Production is forecast at 3.34 billion pounds in 1993, 28 percent
above 1992 but 8 percent below the 1991 crop. Harvested area, at
2.74 million acres, is up 32 percent from 1992.

In North Dakota, development lagged wel] behind normal all season due to cool

Crop Production Agricuitural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-8 NASS, USDA


the 1982-91 average for the date. Feed conditions were better than last year
in 17 States, below last year in 30 States, and unchanged in 1 State.

Georgia reported pasture and range feed conditions in the severe drought range.
Delaware, Massachusetts, and South Carolina reported conditions in the very
poor range. Pasture and range feed conditions were reported good to excellent
in 27 States.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1993 is forecast at 1.57 billion

pounds, up 2 percent from the September 1 forecast but 9 percent
below last year’s output. Area expected to be harvested totals 745,140 acres.
5 percent below a year ago.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 842 million pounds, 2 percent more
than the September 1 forecast but 7 percent below a year ago.

Auctions for flue-cured tobacco are winding down and are expected to end by the
end of October.

Burley production, at 634 million pounds. is 2 percent above September 1 but
shows a decrease of 12 percent from 1992. Burley harvest in Kentucky is
roughly 92 percent complete. Quality cf the crop is reported to be good.

Sugarbeets: The October 1 production forecast of 27.8 million tons is

1 percent below the September 1 forecast and 4 percent below last
year’s output. Yields are expected to average 19.7 tons per acre, down
0.8 tons from last year.

Production in the Red River Valley area of Minnesota and North Dakota is
expected to be 9 percent below a year ago.

Harvest began around mid-September in the Red River Valley area of Minnesota
and North Dakota. As of October 3, 15 percent of the crop had been harvested
in North Dakota with average yields.

Other major producing areas such as Idaho, California, and Michigan reported
average to above average yields with good sugar content.

Sugarcane: Production for October 1 is forecast at 30.5 million tons,

1 percent below the September 1 forecast and virtually unchanged
from a year ago. Area for harvest, at 934,600 acres, is down fractionally from
September 1 but up 1 percent from a year ago.

Louisiana's sugarcane is expected to be a short crop this year due to a late
frost and a hot, dry summer. Harvesting of the crop has just begun. Mills in
Florida are expected to open around the middle of October.

Grapes: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 5.61 million tons, down slightly
from September 1 and down 7 percent from last season. Harvest is in
progress or is already complete in all States.

California's grape production forecast is unchanged from last month at
5.00 million tons. Raisin type varieties are forecasted to produce

2.20 million tons, unchanged from }ast month but down 18 percent from last
year. Picking of Thompson Seedless grapes for fresh use, wine crush, and

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-12 NASS, USDA


Hazelnuts: Utilized Production by State and United States.
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

Tons (In-Shel? Basis)

OR : 25,300 27,500 38.700

WA L/ : 200 200 300
US : 25,500 27,700 39.000

l/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1992-93

Month
-- 1,000 Pounds --
Aug 2,590 2,575 4,015 4,815
Sep 2,755 2,265 3,835 5,170
Oct 2,640 5,475
Nov 2.655 5,235
Dec 2,745 5,075

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-52 NASS, USDA


Rye: Area Planted and Harvested. by State
and United States. 1991-93

Area Pianted l/ Area Harvested

1.000 Acres
co : 15 10 11 3 2 1
GA : 330 300 300 65 65 60
It : 60 45 AQ 6 8 7
IN : 25 25 25 4 6 §
KS : 70 50 70 5 5 2l
MD : 35 30 30 7 5 §
MI : 125 110 80 18 16 15
MN : 36 30 30 24 24 23
NE : 130 110 100 50 40 25
NJ : 42 50 32 6 7 7
NY : 50 52 Ad 8 9 8
NC 110 90 110 20 15 30
ND 40 45 35 32 34 30
OH : 40 40 45 5 5 5
OK : 110 130 110 35 38 30
PA : 45 70 40 11 20 10
SC 68 60 50 30 25 20
SO : 50 55 55 32 49 50
TX : 100 120 130 12 14 11
VA : 100 90 80 8 8 5

WI : 90 70 80 15 11 13

US

1/ Area planted in preceding fall.
2/ Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-24 NASS, USDA


Pasture and Range Feed: Condition by State and United States,
1992-93 and Average 1/
Average : t : Average : :
1982- 31 : 1992: 1993 State : 1982- 31 : 1992: 1993

Percent

1/ Good to excellent, 80 and over; poor to fair 65-79: very poor. 50-64;
severe drought, 35-49; extreme drought, under 35.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-42 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next “Crop Production” report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on
November 9, 1993.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the

National

Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202)

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy. Head (202)
Herb Eldridge - Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202)
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202)
David Mueller - Weekly Crop Weather (202)
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202)

Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202)

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202)
Jim Brewster - Fruits (202)

Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans. Onions (202)
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202)
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202)

Roger Latham - Cotton (202)
David Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202)

Crop Production Agricultural Statis

October 1993 B-21

720-2127

720-3843
720-7621
720-9526
720-2157
720-8068
720-7369

720-3843
720-7688
720-4285
720-8843
720-5412
720-5944
720-6054

tics Board
NASS, USDA



Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Planted,
United States, 1991-93
(Metric Units)

Crop tate een eee ee ene e ee nee ee ee eee eee eee eee eee eee ener
1991 1992 L/ 1993
Hectares
Oats : 3,502,190 3,221,740 3.214.860
Barley : 3.618.330 3,160,220 3,211,620
All Wheat : 28,296,330 29,244,520 29,177,340
Winter : 20.665,090 20,662,260 20,933,400
Durum : 1,316,460 1,014,560 882,630
Other Spring : 6,314,780 7,567,700 7,361,310
Rye : 676,240 640,220 604,200
L/ Revised.

Smal] Grains - Annual Summary: Area Harvested,
United States, 1991-93
(Metric Units)

Hectares

Oats : 1,944,940 1,817,870 1,543,080
Barley i 3,404,660 2,964,350 2,857,920
All Wheat : 23,351,830 25,257,110 25,488,190

Winter : 15,947,210 16,953,680 17,746,060

Durum : 1,293,790 991.090 841.760

Other Spring : 6,110,820 7,312,340 6.900.370
Rye : 160,260 164,300 154,190
i/ Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-5 NASS, USDA




Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1991-92
and Forecasted October 1, 1993

State :--------------- 2-2-2222 ene nee ee ee eee enn een ee
1991 1992 1993
1,000 Tons
US 6,925.5 6,230.1 6,615.2

U.S. All Cotton Production
1983 - 1993

Million Bales

17.61 17.01

=
®
io
S

15.41 16.61

16.00 fe joge 13-43 EEE crrers ARS SAY

Vi
MME
Ui

Vs
VD

10.00 777 NIN} IN N N NI
6.00 N NIN IN INN NIN

0.00

83 84 86 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93
Year

Agricultural Statistics Board

Crop Production
NASS. USDA

October 1993 A-35


Other Spring Wheat: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

10 470
MN 2,100
MT 2,600
NV 5
ND 7,000
OR 50
SD 1,800
UT 25
WA 1,500
wi 9
WY 7
US

co 75.0
ID 71.0
MN 31.0
MT 34.0
NV 75.0
NO 31.0
OR 50.0
sD 28.0
UT 49.0
WA 40.0
WI 34.0
WY 30.0
US 33.4
1/ Revised

Crop Production
October 1993

by State and United States. 1991-93

Area Planted Area Harvested

1992 l/ 1991 1992 1/ 1993
1,000 Acres

50 35 36 47 33
670 570 460 640 540
2,800 2,500 2,070 2,750 2,300
2,650 2,750 2,400 2,450 2.650
6 6 4 5 5
9,200 9,700 6,850 9,100 9.100
110 70 46 100 65
2.700 2,200 1,750 2,500 2,020
25 27 23 22 25
450 300 1,450 420 290
22 14 7 21 10

17 18 4 14 13

77.0 40.0 2,700 3,619 2,640
75.0 80.0 32,660 48.000 43,200
50.0 33.0 64.170 137,500 75,900
30.0 34.0 81,600 73,500 90.100
75.0 80.0 300 375 400
42.0 32.0 212,350 382,200 291,200
49.0 60.0 2,300 4,900 3,900
34.0 27.0 49,000 85,000 54,540
48.0 49.0 1,127 1.056 1,225
42.0 §2.0 58.000 17,640 15,080
40.0 29.0 238 840 290
42.0 45.0 120 588 585
41.8 34.0 504,565 755,218 579.060

Agricultural Statistics Board
A-21 NASS, USDA


U.S. Corn Production

1984 - 1993
so 280 e208 288 zane
soo| VIN NIN N N \\ N
VINAVNNMININ\
2001 Vi SIN NINININ N; Vi}

0.00
84 86 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 «693

Year

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board


Wheat Class Percentage Estimates

The following percentages are the basis for the U.S. wheat production by
class estimates each year. These estimates are based on the latest varietal
survey data available. The percentages used for the 1993 end-of-season
production by class estimates will be used during the 1994 forecast season.
However, if an unusual situation significantly distorts a State's typical
distribution, then updated percentages are used during the forecasts.

Wheat: Acreage Distribution, by Class, by States, 1992-93

Winter Oth Spr (excl Durum)
State : Hard Red Soft Red White
: 1992 : 1993 :

Percent
AL 100 100
AZ 100 100
AR : 100 100
CA : 90 90 10 10
co : 100 100 84 84 16 16
DE : 100 100
FL : 100 100
GA : 100 100
1D : 29 10 71 90 30 16 70 84
IL : 2 2 98 98
IN : 100 100
IA : 70 70 30 30
KS : 99 99 1 1
KY : 6 4 94 96
LA : 2 2 98 98
MD : 100 100
MI : 28 28 72 72
MN : 100 100 100 100
MS : 100 100
MO : 3 3 97 97
MT : 99 99 1 1 100 99 1
NE : 100 100
NV : 100 100 12 12 88 88
NJ : 100 100
NM : 100 100
NY : 1 1 2 2 97 97
NC : 100 100
ND : 100 100 100 100
OH : 100 100
OK : 99 99 1 1
OR : 1 1 99 99 15 10 85 90
PA : 100 100
Sc : 100 100
SD : 100 100 100 100
TN : 100 100
TX : 94 94 6 6
UT : 93 93 7 7 71 71 29 29
VA : 100 100
WA : 5 10 95 90 20 20 80 80
WV : 100 100
WI : 93 93 7 7 100 100
WY : 100 100 97 97 3 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-23 NASS, USDA


All Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States. 1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

-- 1,000 Acres --  --- Tons --- = ----- 1,000 Tons -------
AL : 710 730 2.10 1.80 1,638 1,491 1,314
AZ : 180 180 6.80 7.18 1,426 1,224 1,293
AR : 1,200 1,100 2.33 2.03 2,444 2,796 2,230
CA : 1,450 1,380 5.35 5.45 8,610 7.755 7,526
co : 1.420 1,450 2.79 2.94 4,062 3,961 4,260
CT : 88 96 2.20 2.06 175 194 198
OE : 20 17 2.60 2.58 §3 52 44
FL : 250 225 3.50 2.90 690 875 653
GA : 580 600 2.80 1.90 1,800 1,624 1.140
1D : 1,070 1,250 3.42 4.05 4,294 3,655 5,065
IL : 1,070 1,350 3.10 2.96 3,162 3,316 3.997
IN : 630 650 3.13 3.41 1,725 1,971 2,215
IA : 1,950 2,100 3.39 2.69 6.285 6.615 5.640
KS : 2,400 2,450 2.78 2.46 5,030 6,670 6.015
KY : 2,150 2,130 2.30 2.41 5.125 4,935 5.134
LA : 280 250 2.30 2.10 750 644 525
ME : 239 248 1.74 1.73 382 417 430
MD : 220 210 2.95 2.94 505 648 617
MA : 104 97 2.39 2.21 223 248 214
MI : 1,400 1,350 3.31 3.82 5,255 4,640 5,160
MN : 2,150 2,250 3.05 2.92 8,090 6,550 6.580
MS : 750 720 2.70 2.40 1,800 2,025 1,728
MO : 3,600 3,560 1.95 2.11 7,110 7,030 7,511
MT : 2,250 2,350 2.07 2.34 5,190 4,650 5.495
NE : 3,650 3.700 2.20 2.24 7,473 8.023 8.270
NV : 380 505 2.79 2.90 1,158 1,062 1,466
NH : 86 86 2,10 1.93 151 181 166
NJ : 117 117 2.85 1.91 250 333 223
NM : 320 320 4.38 4.50 1,400 1,401 1,440
NY : 1,700 1,900 2.11 2.23 4,102 3.590 4.245
NC : 530 470 2.33 1.93 1,176 1,234 905
ND : 2,900 2,800 1.21 1.84 4,780 3.515 5.160
OH : 1,400 1.350 3.25 3.33 3.150 4,550 4,490
OK : 2,250 2,090 2.20 2.01 4,360 4,940 4,199
OR : 925 1,000 2.64 3.03 2,955 2,440 3,025
PA : 1,890 1,880 2.59 2.41 4,026 4,900 4,540
RI : 8 11 2.25 2.00 16 18 22
Sc : 225 230 2.00 1.80 676 450 414
SD : 4,200 4,500 1.67 2.11 8,045 7,020 9,490
TN : 1,600 1,800 2.17 2.02 3,263 3.465 3.642
TTM : 3,810 3,800 2.57 2.05 9.700 9.800 7,780
UT : 630 650 3.56 3.74 2,275 2.240 2.430
VT : 375 383 2.23 2.18 708 835 834
VA : 1,190 1,200 2.44 2.33 2,260 2,905 2.796
WA : 770 770 3.85 3.44 2.970 2,962 2,645
WV : 540 540 1.98 2.00 877 1,070 1,078
WI : 2,800 2,900 2.18 2.38 9,060 6,090 6.900
WY : 1,140 1,250 1.87 2.31 2.670 2,131 2,882
US : 59,597 60,995 2,50 2.53 153,325 149,141 154,026
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-36 NASS, USDA


All Wheat: Yield and Production, by State
and United States, 1991-93

Yield Production

1991 1992 1/ 1993 1991 1992 1/ 1993

vee eeeeeee Bushels --------- --------- 1,000 Bushels ---------
AL 25.0 44.0 34.0 2,750 4,180 3,230
AZ 99.3 87.5 91.6 6.750 7,700 7,790
AR 22.0 46.0 40.0 20,460 39,100 40.000
CA 81.8 76.6 80.8 36,160 46,365 42,850
co 31.7 30.9 37.5 74,000 72,619 96.990
DE 53.0 58.0 57.0 3,551 4,060 3,591
FL 23.0 42.0 33.0 575 840 825
GA 33.0 46.0 38.0 14,025 16.100 13,680
1D 70.4 69.4 79.4 81,660 100,000 110,350
IL 32.0 54.0 44.0 44,800 62,100 68,200
IN 40.0 50.0 52.0 28,800 22,500 34,840
IA 34.0 39.0 25.0 1,700 1,560 1,000
KS 33.0 34.0 35.0 363,000 363.800 388.500
KY 27.0 55.0 49.0 10.800 23,100 23,030
LA 20.0 36.0 25.0 3,800 6,120 2,375
MD 50.0 58.0 54.0 9.750 12,760 10,800
MI 43.0 56.0 41.0 24,080 35,280 22,140
MN 31.1 49.9 32.9 67,110 139,860 77,340
MS 18.0 42.0 33.0 4,500 10,500 6,930
MO : 32.0 48.0 38.0 48,000 64,800 53,200
MT : 36.4 29.7 37.7 159,507 139,581 196,762
NE : 32.0 30.0 35.0 67,200 $5,500 73,500
NV : 82.5 80.0 88.9 660 800 800
NJ : 46.0 50.0 43.0 1,196 1,400 1,419
NM : 25.0 34.0 23.0 8,000 11,220 6,210
NY : 49.0 56.0 46.0 5.390 6.160 3,910
NC : 40.0 50.0 42.0 19,200 27,750 23,520
ND : 31.0 41.1 32.2 303,670 469,850 356,870
OH : 49.0 53.0 52.0 52,920 59,095 52,520
oK : 28.0 29.0 30.0 140,000 171,100 162,000
OR : $1.9 51.7 70.2 43,900 47,800 64,960
PA 44.0 55.0 45.0 7,700 10,175 7.425
sc 31.0 47.0 38.0 8,525 12,925 9,880
SD 30.9 32.0 32.0 96,175 119,590 111,522
TN 24.0 48.0 41.0 7,680 13,440 13,940
TX 30.0 34.0 32.0 84.000 129,200 118,400
UT 38.0 41.2 40.4 5,807 6,256 7,270
VA 49.0 57.0 53.0 12,250 15,105 13,515
WA 45.9 49.4 63.6 98,600 119,640 177.580
wv 45.0 49.0 43.0 450 539 473
WI 48.2 40.0 37.3 6,118 2,640 4,660
WY 29.0 26.1 30.9 5,920 5,838 6,735
US : 34.3 39.4 38.4 1,981,139 2,458,948 2,421,532
1/ Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-18 NASS, USDA


small bolls since 1983. Early boll weights are the second lowest during the
past 10 years.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
rated their cotton mostly in fair to good condition, but 36 percent of
Mississippi's crop and 32 percent of the Tennessee crop were rated in poor
condition. Boll opening progress slightly exceeded the average pace in the
region but virtually all bolls were open in Tennessee compared to the average
pace of 86 percent. Data from objective yield surveys show total fruit counts
rank ninth during the past 10 years in Louisiana and Mississippi but the
third highest in Arkansas. Bol] weights are the lowest since 1983 in
Mississippi and rank ninth in Arkansas and Louisiana.

Eighty-five percent of Arizona’s crop was in good to excellent condition and
28 percent of the crop was harvested on October 3, 12 points ahead of average.
All of California’s crop was in good to excellent condition on the same date.
Harvest was only 5 percent complete compared to the average of 10 percent.
October 1 cotton objective yield counts show Arizona's total fruit count as the
second lowest since 1983 and California’s crop ranks sixth in total fruit
count. Both States’ boll weights are the third lowest during the past

10 years.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina), the crop was mostly in poor to fair condition. Only 1 percent of
South Carolina's acreage was in good condition on October 3. Boll opening and
harvest progress exceeded the 5-year average development, except the Alabama
crop which rated 79 percent of the acreage as opened. 4 percent behind average,
and the harvest pace at 16 percent was 13 percent behind average.

American-Pima production is forecast at 396.000 bales, down 22 percent from
1992's output and down 3,500 bales from the September forecast. Yield is
indicated at 990 pounds per harvested acre. up 52 pounds from last year.
Arizona is the only State showing a higher yield than last year’s, which was
adversely effected by weather and whitefly. All States show decreased
Production from 1992. California’s crop is rated good to excellent but
remained at least one week behind normal due to cool. wet weather early in the
season which delayed plantings. Harvest of the Texas’ crop continued in the
Winter Garden area and was beginning in the Trans-Pecos.

All cotton ginnings totaled 1,838.900 running bales prior to October 1,
compared with 1,644,150 running bales ginned to the same date last year and
2,467,200 running bales in 1991,

All Hay: Production for the U.S. is expected to total 154 million tons,

2 percent above the August 1 forecast and 3 percent more than 1992.
Area for harvest at 61.0 million acres is 1 percent above the August 1 estimate
and represents an increase of 2 percent from a year ago. The average yield of
2.53 tons per acre is 0.03 ton above the average for 1992.

The increase in acreage was due to the opening of government acres for harvest
in the States affected by floods during the past summer.

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: The U.S. production is forecast at 84.0 million

tons, 5 percent above a year ago. The total
area cut and expected to be cut totaled 24.3 million acres, 1 percent above
1992.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-10 NASS, USDA


Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1993

Crop Summary:
1992 and Forecasted October 1,
(Metric Units)

Area Planted

Area Harvested 1/

Hectares

Corn 32,102,030 29,809,060 29,195,960 25,539,990
Sorghum 5,373,070 4,344,350 4,916,980 3,944,920
Rice 1,284,490 1,220,140 1,266,680 1,189,790
Soybeans 2/ 23,929,320 24,060,840 23.546.080 22,675,990
Peanuts 683,760 678,670 676.680 667.540
Sunflower 2/ 897,200 1,141,630 838,520 1,108,850
All Cotton 5,358,100 5,527,940 4,509,580 5,384,520

Upland 5,251,500 5.448, 220 4,404,280 5,306,820

Amer-Pima 106,600 79,720 105,300 77,700
All Hay 24,118,310 24,684,070

Alfalfa 9,776,910 9,830,320

All Other 14,341,400 14,853,740
Dry Edible Beans 653,010 738.400 605,780 656,370
Ory Edible Peas 2/ 64,350 58,680 62,730 57,470
Austrian Winter

Peas 2/ 4,530 5.260 3,520 4,250
Lentils 2/ 51,800 57,870 50,990 56,660
Tobacco 317,570 301,530
Sugarbeets 581,180 580,610 571,750 569,560
Sugarcane for

Sugar and Seed 374,420 378.220
1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop. ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.

2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested,
United States, 1992-93
(Metric Units)

Crop
Hectares

Flaxseed 69,200 81.750 66.770 78,510
Potatoes

Winter 2/ 5,420 5.790 5,420 5,500

Spring 34,520 35,170 33,590 33,910

Summer _ 35,980 37,350 34,800 35,450

Fall 466.080 480,160 458,350 473,280

Total 2/ 542,000 558,470 532,170 548,150
Sweetpotatoes 34.760 34,120 33,350 32,780
Hops 17,100 17,430

1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production
October 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Sunflower: Area Planted. by Varietal Type.
State, and United States, 1992

011 Non-041 All
1.000 Acres
co : 46 24 70
KS : 135 25 160
MN : 170 45 215
NE : 31 9 40
ND : 1,100 125 1,225
SD : 390 10 400
1X : 27 18 45
Oth Sts : 40 22 62
us 1,939 278 2.217

Peanuts for Nuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

Area Harvested Production 1/

1,000 Acres +--- 1,000 Pounds ---

AL : 236.

0 234.0 2,505 1,900 1,800 591,180 421,200
FL : 80.0 77.0 2,530 2,600 2,500 202,400 192,500
GA >: 673.0 665.0 2,705 2,100 1,900 1,820,465 1,263,500
NM : 21.1 23.0 2,760 2,750 2,800 58,236 64,400
NC : 153.0 152.0 2,660 2,000 1,800 406,980 273,600
OK : 98.0 98.0 2,410 2,500 2,500 236,180 245,000
sc : 13.6 13.5 2,500 1,700 1,600 32,500 21,600
TX 305.0 295.0 2,230 2,200 2,100 680.150 619,500
VA 93.0 92.0 2,755 1,800 1,700 256,215 156.400
us : 1,672.1 1,649.5 2,562 2,116 1,975 4,284,306 3,257,700

1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-33 NASS, USDA


than September 1992. Year-to-date fresh sales were 3 percent ahead of the same
nine-month period a year ago. September weather conditions were mixed. Warm
temperatures and light rainfall were predominant throughout the month.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,475 acres, 9 percent lower than
August and 4 percent lower than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling
2,265 acres, was 12 percent lower than last month and 18 percent lower than
last September.

California Fruits and Nuts: Harvesting mature stonefruit was active during

September. Almonds, pistachios, and walnut
harvests gathered momentum and ended the month in full swing. Orchard sweeping
and post-harvest weed control began by the end of month in almond orchards.
Raisin grape harvest was in all stages from just laid down to rolled and
binned. Harvest of wine and juice grapes progressed, Harvest and pack of
Asian pears continued along with Granny Smith, Fuji. and Gala apples. Worm
control was needed on some apples. Date harvest decreased during the month.
Prune harvest neared completion by mid-month. Olive harvest began in late
September and kiwifruit harvest increased. Harvest of Desert Jemons. avocados,
and “Other Area” grapefruit all continued throughout September. By month's
end, picking of Valencia oranges slowed and sunburn was evident in new crop
Navels. Cool nights in late September brought color to fall fruits.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-17 NASS, USDA



251 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 6.3 percent or approximately 439 million
bushels.

Also. shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of
the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using
corn again as an example. changes between the October 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 163 million bushels, ranging
from 5 million to 541 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply that the
October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts

: 10-Year Record of
Differences Between Forecast
and Final Estimate

:90% Confidence
Crop and : Level nt
Unit :Percent:--------------

: No. of Years

: :Below: Above
: Max.:Final: Final

:Percent: Quant

Feed Grains 1/ Mt:

3.2 5.5 1l:: 4 0 15 7 3
Corn for Grain Bu: 3.6 6.3 439:: 163 5 541 6 4
Sorghum for Grain Bu: 4.0 7.0 45:: 28 6 59 7 3
Rice Cwt: 2.9 5.1 8:: 3.00 12 5 5
Soybeans for : nt
Beans Bu: 4.0 6.9 130 64 2 119 § 5
Cotton Bales 2/: 5.0 8.7 1,480 464 31 1,424 6 4
Dry Edible :
Beans Cwt: 4.0 6.9 2 0 1.3 7 3

1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats. and barley.
2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-19 NASS, USDA



Index

Page

Table Narrative

B- 1
B-
B- 3

Barley - Annual
Oats - Annual

Rye - Annual ......
US Summary - Annual
Wheat, All - Annual ....
Wheat, By Class - Annual .
Wheat, Durum - Annual .......
Wheat, Other Spring - Annual . we
Wheat, Winter - Annual .............. ce ec eee eee

Ree
a

DOPE AVONA
o
an

rPrPrrrrrryp
PNYNYNE

o
mw

Beans, Dry Edible .
Citrus Fruit
Corn for Grain .
Cotton
Cottonseed
Crop Moisture Maps
Grapes
Hay, All
Hay. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay .
Hay, Other .0...... 0.0.00. a

Hazelnuts
Index Numbers.
Lentils
Papayas
Pasturé and Range Feed Condition
Peanuts for Nuts ........... :
Peas, Austrian Winter ..
Peas, Dry Edible .......
Pecans :
Potatoes
Prunes and Plums .......
Reliability Statement .
Rice
Sorghum for Grain .
Soybeans for Beans
Sugarbeets .............000.
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed
Sunflower .............0000.
Tobacco by Class and Type
Tobacco by States ...... .
US Summary ....... 0.0... eee cece ee

Bee
ONO

>

os

a
DOM aD

PREP NM PREP

PWRWWKWERNWNYUTWWWE
AGODBHHNDGHDNSAGEH

eR BREE
VRVANMMBUYDBDOEHAEEOPAHPORHOONA

PEOREWND

APNE ERRONOD
DOM TDWDDDDBWHWDMDBDBDNDBPBTBTBDTOOD

rPrrPrrrrrr FESS EPP YE PEP SY

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-20 NASS, USDA


Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production, by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

1,000 Acres --- Bushels . Bushels --

AL : 270 295 29.0 24.0 24.0 7,830 7,080
AR : 3,160 3,450 33.0 26.0 26.0 104,280 89,700
DE : 215 215 32.0 29.0 29.0 6,880 6,235
FL 2/ : 50 50 27.0 31.0 31.0 1,350 1,550
GA : 640 510 29.0 17.0 17.0 18,560 8,670
IL : 9,430 8.700 43.0 44.0 44.0 405,490 382,800
IN : 4,520 4,880 43.0 47.0 47.0 194,360 229,360
IA : 8,120 8,000 44.0 35.0 34.0 357,280 272,000
KS > 1,850 1,800 37.0 29.0 29.0 68.450 52.200
KY : 1,160 1,150 38.0 33.0 33.0 44,080 37,950
LA : 1,170 1,200 30.0 25.0 23.0 35,100 27,600
MD : 545 570 33.0 30.0 30.0 17,985 17,100
MI : 1,440 1.430 33.0 36.0 36.0 47,520 51,480
MN > 5,400 5,000 32.0 25.0 25.0 172,800 125,000
MS : 1,750 1,900 34.0 25.0 24,0 59,500 45.600
MO : 4,250 3,500 38.0 35.0 35.0 161,500 122,500
NE : 2,460 2.450 42.0 36.0 36.0 103,320 88,200
NJ 2/ : 128 138 33.0 31.0 31.0 4,224 4,278
NC : 1,350 1,200 27.0 24.0 24.0 36,450 28,800
ND : 690 500 25.0 19.0 19.0 17,250 9,500
OH : 3,630 4,170 40.0 39.0 39.0 145,200 162,630
OK 2/ : 220 280 27.0 23.0 23.0 5,940 6.440
PA 2/ 285 295 39.0 37.0 37.0 11,115 10,915
sc : 670 520 22.0 15.0 16.0 14,740 8.320
SD : 2,250 1,600 28.0 22.0 21.0 63,000 33,600
TMN : 950 1,000 35.0 28.0 28.0 33,250 28,000
TX : 390 190 33.0 20.0 20.0 12,870 3,800
VA t 500 460 31.0 21.0 20.0 15,500 9,200
WI : 690 580 32.0 35.0 35.0 22,080 20,300
US : 58,183 56,033 37.6 34.0 33.7 2,187,904 1,890,808
1/ Revised.

2/) Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-30 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

1992 and Forecasted October 1, 1993
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted and Harvested. United States,

Area Harvested 1/

Area Planted

Corn
Sorghum
Rice
Soybeans 2/
Peanuts
Sunflower 2/
All Cotton
Upland
Amer-Pima
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Ory Edible Beans
Ory Edible Peas 2/
Austrian Winter
Peas 2/
Lentils 2/
Tobacco
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed

13,305.3
13,113.3
192.0
60.995
24,291
36,704
1,621.9
142.0

10.5
140.0
745.1

1,407.4

1,000 Acres

79,325 73,659 72,144
13,277 10,735 12,150
3,174.0 3,015.0 3,130.0
59,130 59,455 58,183
1,689.6 1,677.0 1,672.1
2,217 2,821 2,072
13, 240.0 13,659.7 11,143.3
12.976.6 13,462.7 10,883.1
263.4 197.0 260.2
59,597
24,159
35,438
1,613.6 1,824.6 1,496.9
159.0 145.0 155.0
11.2 13.0 8.7
128.0 143.0 126.0
784.7
1,436.1 1,434.7 1,412.8
925.2

beans,

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie.. grain,

2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production
October 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Small Grains - Annual Summary: Yield,
United States, 1991-93
(Metric Units)

Yield
C00)»
1991 1992 1/ 1993
Metric Tons

Oats 1.82 2.35 1.96
Barley 2.97 3.36 3.17
All Wheat 2.31 2.65 2.59
Winter 2.34 2.58 2.71
Durum 2.19 2.67 2.37
Other Spring 2.25 2.81 2.28
Rye 1.55 1.85 1.70

1/ Revised.

Small Grains - Annual Summary: Production,
United States, 1991-93
(Metric Units)

Metric Tons

Oats : 3.533, 680 4,278,490 3,021,110

Barley : 10,109,510 9.969.810 9.052.170
All Wheat : 53,917,770 66,921,600 65,903,300
Winter : 37,356,510 43,722,690 48.152,670
Durum : 2,829,250 2,645,240 1,991,200
Other Spring : 13,732,010 20,553,670 15,759,430
Rye : 247,940 303,590 262,650

l/ Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-6 NASS. USDA


Winter Wheat: Area Planted and Harvested, by State
and United States, 1991-93

Area Planted 2/

State: -----------------------++---+-----

: 1992 2/
AL : 170 140 145 110 95 95
AZ : 30 45 40 29 44 35
AR : 1,100 950 1,100 930 850 1,000
CA : 450 600 550 410 550 500
co 2,600 2,650 2,800 2,300 2,300 2,550
DE 70 75 65 67 70 63
FL 50 45 40 25 20 25
GA 500 400 400 425 350 360
1D 870 870 920 700 800 850
IL 1,650 1,450 1,650 1,400 1,150 1,550
IN 850 800 720 720 450 670
TA : 75 70 60 50 40 40
KS : 11,800 12,000 12,100 11,000 10,700 11,100
ky 640 620 680 400 420 470
LA 300 200 130 190 170 95
MD 205 230 210 195 220 200
MI 570 650 580 560 630 540
MN 60 50 45 55 45 40
MS 350 300 250 250 250 210
MO 1,650 1,500 1,650 1,500 1.350 1,400
MT 2,350 2,600 2,650 1.800 2,100 2,450
NE 2,350 2,350 2,350 2,100 1,850 2,106
NV 6 6 5 4 5 4
NJ 35 36 43 26 28 33
NM 550 550 510 320 330 270
NY 115 120 95 110 110 85
NC 550 600 610 480 555 560
ND 100 200 150 90 170 130
OH 1,150 1,230 1,050 1,080 1,115 1,010
0K 7,400 7,400 7,200 5,000 5,900 5,400
OR 850 860 880 800 825 860
PA 180 190 170 175 185 165
SC 300 285 280 275 275 260
sD 1,500 1,650 1.600 1.300 1,200 1.450
TN 440 410 490 320 280 340
1X 6.200 5,900 6,100 2,800 3,800 3.700
UT 140 145 160 130 130 155
VA 280 290 280 250 265 255
WA 2,200 2,200 2,600 700 2,000 2,500
wy 13 15 14 10 11 ll
wi 140 145 135 120 45 115
WY 225 230 220 200 210 205
US 51,064 $1,057 51,727 39.406 41,893 43.851
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
2/ Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-19 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested,
United States. 1992-93
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

1993 L/

Flaxseed : 171 202 165 194
Potatoes :
Winter 2/ : 13.4 14.3 13.4 13.6
Spring : 85.3 86.9 83.0 83.8
Summer : 88.9 92.3 86.0 87.6
Fall i 1,151.7 1,186.5 1,132.6 1,169.5
Total 2/ > 1,339.3 1,380.0 1,315.0 1,354.5
Sweetpotatoes : 85.9 84.3 82.4 81.0
Hops : 42.3 43.1

l/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production,
United States, 1992-93
(Domestic Units)

Crop and Unit aaa ae

Potatoes :

winter 2/ Cwt : 224 188 2,998 2,552

Spring “oo: 259 234 21,535 19,569

Summer "oo: 248 232 21,309 20,291

Fall. . : 335 379,525

Total 2/ " : 323 425,367
Hops Lb: (1,759 1,699 74,336.7 73,172.0
Peaches . : 2,658,500 2,769,100
Pears Ton : 926.1 935.3
Sweet Cherries “3 208.4 164.9
Tart Cherries Lb: 335,100 328,700
Apricots Ton : 108.0 97.0
Nectarines (CA) "oy 236.0 220.0
Olives (CA) "o: 165.0 115.0
Plums (CA) “ : 250.0 220.0
Dried Prunes (CA) “oo: 184.0 135.0
Almonds (CA) lb : 548.000 470,000
Walnuts (CA) Ton : 203.0 250.0

1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-9 NASS, USDA


Rye: Yield and Production, by State
and United States, 1991-93

Production

1992 1/ : 1993

1,000 Bushels

co 26.0 25.0 25.0 78 50 25
GA 20.0 24.0 23.0 1,300 1,560 1,380
IL 27.0 35.0 32.0 162 280 224
IN 25.0 26.0 30.0 100 156 150
KS 23.0 26.0 33.0 115 130 693
MD 32.0 37.0 33.0 224 185 165
MI 20.0 31.0 28.0 360 496 420
MN 27.0 30.0 29.0 648 720 667
NE 20.0 26.0 20.0 1,000 1,040 500
NJ : 32.0 37.0 26.0 192 259 182
NY i 33.0 32.0 27.8 264 288 216
NC : 25.0 24.0 25.0 500 360 750
ND 31.0 44.0 35.0 992 1,496 1.050
OH 31.0 35.0 30.0 155 175 150
OK 19.0 21.0 22.0 665 798 660
PA 27.0 36.0 34.0 297 720 340
sc 21.0 27.0 19.0 630 675 380
SD 36.0 34.0 32.0 1,152 1,666 1,600
TTM 19.0 20.0 33.0 228 280 363
VA 33.0 36.0 33.0 264 288 165
WI 29.0 30.0 20.0 435 330 260
US 24.6 29.4 27.1 9,761 11,952 10,340
i/ Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-25 NASS, USDA


National

Crop Agricultural

Statistics

Production Service

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released October 12, 1993, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts
refer to October 1, 1993.

Corn Down 4 Percent

Corn production is forecast at 6.96 billion bushels, down 4 percent from the
September 1 forecast and 27 percent below the record high production of 1992.
Yields are expected to average 110.3 bushels per acre, down 2.8 bushels from
last month and 21.1 bushels below the record high yield of 131.4 bushels set
last year. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at 63.1 million acres,
down 800,000 acres from last month, due primarily to additional acreage being
destroyed to qualify for government programs. Yields are down as a result of a
late maturing crop dying prematurely, insects, and an Ohio drought.

Soybean production is forecast at 1.89 billion bushels as of October 1,
down 1 percent from the September 1 forecast and 14 percent below 1992. If
realized, this would be the lowest production since 1988. Yield is forecasted
at 33.7 bushels per acre. 0.3 bushel below September and 3.9 bushels below
1992. Area to be harvested, at 56.0 million acres. is down 160,000 acres from
the September estimate. Missouri and North Dakota reduced acreage from last
month due to wet weather. Acreage reductions in Georgia and South Carolina were
due to drought conditions.

(narrative continued on page A-2)

REIKI RK IIHR IR RIK ERIK

Scattered frost during the second half of September caused crop damage in the
Western Corn Belt and Northern half of the United States. The growing season
ended for much of the northern Great Plains, the western parts of Nebraska,
much of Wisconsin, and Minnesota between September 14 and October 2. This
season ending weather occurred at near normal time. The expected damage to an
unusually late maturing crop has been factored into forecasts throughout the
season.

Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For
information cal] (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (10-93)


Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop

State.

and United States,

1992-93 and Forecasted 1994 on October 1, 1993 1/

Utilized Production
Ton Equivalent

Utilized Production

Boxes

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/
AZ
CA
FL
TX
us
Valencia

Temples
FL
Grapefruit
White Seedless

FL
Colored Seediess

Other
FL
All
AZ
CA 5/
Desert
Other Areas
Total
FL
TX
us
Tangerines
A

Tangelos
FL

K-Early Citrus
FL

780
35,100
83.400

20
119,300

1,600
32,300
56,400
10
90,310
2,380
67,400
139,800
30
209.610

2,350

19,100
22,100
1,200
2,800
3.500
6,500

10,000
42,400

700
43,800
114,300
450
159,250

1,150
25,000
72,200

60
98,410

1,850
68.800
186.500
510
257,660

2,500

25,700
27,700
1,750
2,150

3,500
6,000
9,500
55,150
1,875
68.675

950
2.200
2,800
5,950

4,400
20,100
24,500

3.050

800
38,000
108,000
370
147,170

1,200
27,000
64,000

120
92.320

2,000
65,000
172,000
490
239,490

2,300

23,000
25,000
1,000
2,200
3,500

49,000
2,700

1,100
2,500
3.800
7,400

4,300
20,000
24,300

3,100

8,909
106

812
940
51

89
112
217
329
1,803
3
2,224
45

92
123
260
193
573
766

117

26
1,642
5.143
6,831

43

937
3.249
4,231
69
2.579
8,392
22
11,062

113

1,093
1,177
74

69
112
201
313
2,344
2,801
35

133
251

167
763
930

137

978
1,063
43

70
112
2,084
108
41

181
316

163
760
923

140

Crop Production
October 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Crop

Yield per Hectare and Production,
United States,
(Metric Units)

Yield per Hectare

1992-93

Production

Potatoes

Winter 2/

Spring

Summer

Fall

Total 2/
Hops
Peaches
Pears
Sweet Cherries
Tart Cherries
Apricots
Nectarines (CA)
Olives (CA)
Plums (CA)
Dried Prunes (CA)
Almonds (CA)
Walnuts (CA)

25.09
29.08
27.77
37.56
36.26

1.97

21.38
26.18
25.96

Metric Tons

135,990
976,810
966,560
17,214,970
19,294,330
33,720
1,205,880
840,140
189,060
152,000
97,980
214,100
149,690
226,800
166,920
248,570
184,160

117,570
887,630
920,380

33,190

256,040

848,490
149,590
149,100

87,950
199,580
104,330
199,580
122,470
213,190
226,800

1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast

2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production
October 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
1992 and Forecasted October 1, 1993
(Metric Units)

ield per Hectar Production
COT)»
Sep 1 Oct 1
1993 1992 1993 1993

Metric Tons

Corn for Grain 8.25 6.92 240,775,510 183,635,900 176,840,460
Sorghum for Grain 4.57 4.11 22,454,890 16,475,550 16,232,720
Rice >: 6.41 6.30 8,123,300 7,648,480 7,496,390
Soybeans for Beans 1/ : 2.53 2.27 59,544,990 51,959,580 51,459,360

Peanuts for Nuts 2.87 2.21 1,943,330 1,583,540 1,477,670
Sunflower 1/ 1.41 1.36 1,181,380 1,513,380 1,513,380
All Cotton 0.78 0.69 3,531,160 3,890,080 3,704,250

Upland 0.78 0.68 3,420,490 3,803,100 3,618,030

Amer -Pima > 1,05 1.11 110,670 86,980 86,220
Cottonseed : 5,651,850 6,301,310 6,001,210
All Hay : 5.61 5.66 135,298,440 136,788,040 139,730,040

Alfalfa 7.39 7.75 72,259,080 73,383,080 76,194,450

Al) Other 4.40 4.28 63,039,360 63,404,960 63,535,590
Dry Edible Beans 1.65 1.60 1,000,040 1,127,220 1,048,890
Dry Edible Peas L/ 1.83 2.45 114,990 141,070
Austrian Winter

Peas 1/ 1.28 1.76 4,490 7,480
Lentils 1/ 1.39 1.44 71,030 81,740
Tobacco 2 2.46 2.36 780,900 698,080 712,010
Sugarbeets : 45.90 44,23 26,243,040 25,324,970 25,193,430
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed > 73.57 73.11 27,545,760 27,988,460 27,650,080
Apples, Comm’1 2/ : 4,862,280 4,893,810 4,768,390
Grapes : 5,489,960 5,107,220 5,087,310
Prunes and Plums :

(Excl CA) : 34,560 24,490 27,220
Pecans : 75,300 165,110 171,680
Hazelnuts 3/ : 25,130 35,380 35,380
Citrus Fruits 4/ : 1992-93 1993-94 1993-94

Oranges : 10,035,280 9,320,420

Lemons : 843,680 837,330

1/ 1992 revised.

2/ September estimate carried forward from August 1.

3/ September 1 forecast carried forward from mid-August forecast published
in "Hazelnut Production” released August 24, 1993.

4/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-11 NASS, USDA


weather. As of October 3. the crop was in mostly fair to good condition.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.26 billion pounds, down 7 percent from

the September 1 forecast and down 24 percent from last year’s crop.
This production, if realized, is 1 percent below the drought-stricken crop of
1983 and the smallest crop since 1980. Continued dry but slightly cooler
September weather continued to reduce expectations in the Southeast and the
Virginia-North Carolina areas, while the Southwestern area declined due to
increasingly dry conditions in Texas. Harvested area remains unchanged at
1.65 million acres, 1 percent below last year. Yields are expected to average
1,975 pounds per harvested acre, down 141 pounds from last month and 587 pounds
below 1992.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia. and South
Carolina) is expected to total 1.90 billion pounds. This represents an

8 percent decrease from last month and a 28 percent decline from the 1992 crop.
Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 1.919 pounds per acre.

722 pounds less than last year. Continued dry weather and slightly coo)
conditions across much of the Southeast account for changes in crop
expectations. Early September rains were generally too late to benefit the
crop. As of the end of September, peanut harvest was one-third complete in
Alabama compared with over 50 percent normally. The Georgia crop was rated as
3 percent very poor, 44 percent poor, 48 percent fair. and only 5 percent good.
Harvest was in full swing but about one week behind normal. The South Carolina
harvest was slightly behind average at 27 percent complete. In Florida,
harvest was nearing 50 percent completion by the end of September.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 430 million pounds, down
8 percent from last month and down 35 percent from last year. Yield per
harvested acre, at 1.762 pounds. is 934 pounds per acre below last year’s
average. Effects of August dry weather were not eased by early September
rainfall. Wide variation in yields has been verified as producers began
digging. Harvest is slightly behind normal.

The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico. Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected
to total 929 million pounds, down 3 percent from last: month and down 5 percent
from 1992. Yields are expected to average 2,233 pounds per acre, 65 pounds
below last year’s level. Central Texas peanut crop prospects were reduced by
dry weather during September. By the end of September. harvest was 9 percent
complete Statewide, slightly behind normal for the date. In New Mexico and the
high plains of Texas prospects remain excellent with yie)ds comparable to those
of last year. Peanut harvest in Oklahoma was only 1 percent complete with over
90 percent of the crop rated in good or better condition.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.1 million acres, is up
20 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acreage, at
192,000 acres, is 26 percent below 1992.

In early October, 62 percent of Texas’ acreage was in good to excellent
condition and 31 percent was in fair condition. Boll opening was 69 percent
complete, 20 percent ahead of the 5-year average. Cotton objective yield data
indicate Texas’ crop has the highest large boll count but the lowest count of

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-9 NASS, USDA



Tobacco: Area Harvested. Yield, and Production by Class. Type
1992 and Forecasted October 1,

Area Harvested

State, and United States.

Class and Type

Class 1, Flue-Cured
Type 11. Old and
Middle Belts

VA

US
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt

NC
Type 13, NC Border &
SC belt

Type 14, GA-FL Belt

Total 11-14
Class 2, Fire-Cured
Type 21, VA Belt

Type 22, Eastern
District
kY

TMN

US
Type 23, Western
District

KY

TN

US
Total 21-23
Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3A. Light
Air-Cured
Type 31, Burley
IN

Type 32, Southern MD
Belt

MD

PA

US
Total 31-32

98,000
37,000

: 135/000

: 129,000

34,000
52,000
86.000

7,500
44,000
51,500

: 401,500

3,500

4,060
15,960

2,100
332,700

9,700
3,800
13,500

: 346/200

98,000
37,000
135,000

3,600
11,200

3,600

2,000
297,600

9,500
3,500
13,000
310,600

1993

2,050 215,110
2,000 81,585
2,036 296,695
2,150 302,505
2,150 73,950
2,100 112,320
2,120 186,270
2,500 19,575
2.100 100.980
2.161 120,555
2.106 906,025
1,400 2,567
2,500 7,776
2,300 15,960

364 23.736
2,600 9,170
2,350 1,316
2,564 10,486
2,340 36.789
2.100 18,900
2,225 498,400
1,900 3,298
2,000 18,308
1,950 21,840
1,900 128,000
2,000 27,183
1,750 3,623
2,131 719,552
1,350 11,931
1,900 7,030
1,498 18,961
2.105 738,513

Production

200,900
74,000
274,900

277,350

73,100
109,200
182,300

18,750
88,200
106,950
841,500

1,820

9,000
17,480
26.480

9,360
1,410
10,770
39,070

17,010
445,000
6,080
17,000
19,500
102,600
23,600
3,500
634,290

12,825
6,650
19,475
653,765

--continued

Crop Production
October 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Sunflower: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State,
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

Varietal: Production

Type & 1--- 2 nner een eee ener ee een nee nr errr rte reece
State : 1992 1992 : 1993

1,000 Acres -- Pounds -- 9 ------- 1.000 Pounds -------
Oil :
co : 44 53 1.350 33,250 59,400
KS : 129 131 1.380 87.000 178.020
MN : 165 395 1,500 382,950 247,500
NE : 30 41 1.400 23,200 42,000
ND : 41,020 1,040 1,140 1,903,500 1,162,800
SD : 380 620 1,360 538,750 516,800
TX : 27 8 1.360 15,000 36.720
Oth :
Sts : 34 31 1,370 44,100 46,580
US 1/ : 1,829 2,319 1,252 3,027,750 2,289,820
Non-oi]
co : 23 24 1.400 25.000 32,200
KS : 23 29 1,430 33,000 32,890
MN : 41 88 1.550 126,400 63,550
NE : 9 18 1,400 20,000 12,600
ND : 100 205 1.070 331,500 107,000
SD : 10 20 1.360 12,150 13,600
TM 4 18 18 1,459 16.680 26,100
Oth :
Sts: 19 19 1,408 20,550 26,745
US 1/ : 243 421 1,295 585, 280 314,685
All :
co : 67 77 1,367 1,230 58,250 91,600 94,710
KS : 182 160 1,388 1,550 120,000 210,910 248,000
MN : 206 483 1,510 1,100 509,350 311,050 531,300
NE : 39 59 1,400 1,200 43,200 54,600 70,800
ND : 1,220 1,245 1,134 1,150 2,235,000 1,269,800 1,431,750
So : 390 640 1,360 1,350 550,900 530,400 864,000
TX : 45 26 1,396 1,380 31,680 62,820 35,880
Oth

Sts : 53 50 1,383 1,200 64,650 73,325 60,000

l/ Estimates include all States except AK and HI.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-32 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes

The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

Net Ibs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85: grapefruit-CA
Desert & AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early
Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including smal] quantities of tangerines in TX,

TX estimated at 425 tons for 1991-92.

The first forecast for CA grapefruit “Other Areas" will be as of
April 1, 1994.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-49 NASS, USDA



State :

Soybeans:

Area Planted by State and United States, 1992 1/

1,000 Acres

Per oORo

e

290

200

220
55
650

500
550
150
900
180
220

555

450
500
800

1992 Area Planted

State :

1992 Area Planted

1,000 Acres

4,300
2,500
130
1,400
700
3,700
230
290
690
2,300
1,000
400
520
750

Revised.

L/

Crop Production

2.00

1.60}

1.00

0.60;

0.00

U.S. Soybean Production
1984 - 1993

° Billion Bushels

Cu

---1.86..

°o

WWI

1.94

J
=
©

1.93 1.99

DKRMRiK,

DCKUWrCrr

TA
MW WV

84

October 1993

A-

$
8

w&

©
°
©
=
o
LX)

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


weather has made for a quality crop. Fruit size is expected to be smaller than
normal, especially Goldens, Gala, and Granny Smith. The weather was ideal for
Red Delicious coloring and finish.

Pecans: The October 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 379 million
pounds (in-shell basis), up 4 percent from last month and up

128 percent from last year’s small crop. If realized, this year’s crop would

set a record high, eclipsing the 376 million pounds produced in 1963. Every

State is expecting more production than last year. State forecasts were

unchanged from last month except for increases in Alabama, Georgia. Louisiana,

and New Mexico, and a decrease in Mississippi.

The Georgia forecast increased 8 percent from last month to 130 million pounds.
Nut set is heavy but lack of rainfall has caused nut size to be less than
average in non-irrigated groves. Texas’ pecan production is forecasted to
reach 85.0 million pounds. Harvest has already begun in south and central
Texas. New Mexico’s pecan production is forecast at 34.0 million pounds,

3 percent more than tast month. Growers are reporting a heavy nut set.

Alabama growers expect to harvest 30.0 million pounds of pecans. 7 percent more
than last month. Many growers were concerned with moisture shortages, but
timely rains were received in the major producing areas of the State. The
Arkansas forecast remains unchanged at 2.00 million pounds. High humidity
conditions have caused growers to be concerned about disease problems this
year. California’s pecan forecast remains unchanged, at 3.50 million pounds,
and the crop is in excellent condition. The Florida forecast remains at

7.00 million pounds. The trees are carrying a heavy nut set and growing
conditions have been generally favorable.

The Louisiana forecast is 24.0 million pounds, 9 percent larger than last
month. Some growers are reporting “limb-breaking” crops, while others have had
some disease and insect problems. The Mississippi forecast has been reduced

6 percent to 8.00 million pounds. Non-irrigated trees still need rain to help
hold the nuts on the trees and fill the nuts adequately. The Oklahoma forecast
is unchanged at 25.0 million pounds. Reports of weevil infestations in the
major pecan growing areas of the State may limit total production. The South
Carolina forecast is unchanged at 4.50 million pounds. The crop is generally
in fair condition, but some nuts continue to drop because of the dry
conditions.

Hazelnuts: The 1993 hazelnut forecast in Oregon and Washington remained at a
record high 39.000 tons. If realized, production will be

41 percent above the previous record set last year. The crop is expected to

total 38,700 tons in Oregon and 300 tons in Washington.

Warm, dry weather during September allowed the crop to mature nicely and
provided growers with good conditions for pre-harvest activities. Harvest
started during the first week of October.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 5.17 million pounds
for September, 7 percent higher than August and 35 percent higher

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-16 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States.
1992 and Forecasted October 1, 1993
(Domestic Units)

: Yield per Acre Production
Crop and Unit eee eee eee eee een ee ee ee eee ee ee eee eee eee eee eee

Corn for Grain Bu: 131.4 110.3 9,478,914 7,229,427 6,961,902

Sorghum for Grain . : 72.8 65.6 884,010 648.614 639,054
Rice l/ Cwt : 5,722 5,621 179,088 168,620 165,267
Soybeans for Beans 2/Bu : 37.6 33.7 2,187,904 1,909,188 1,890,808
Peanuts for Nuts Lb : 2.562 1.975 4,284,306 3.491.100 3.257.700
Sunflower 2/ " : 1,257 1,218 2,604,505 3.336.440 3.336.440
All Cotton 1/ Bale: 699 614 16,218.5 17,867.0 17,013.5

Upland le": 693 608 15,710.2 17,467.5 16,617.5

Amer -Pima i": 938 990 508.3 399.5 396.0
Cottonseed Ton : 6,230.1 6,946.0 6,615.2
All Hay 3/ “2 2.50 2.53 149,141 150,783 154,026

Alfalfa 3/ " : 3.30 3.46 79,652 80,891 83.990

All Other 3/ “ : 1.96 1.91 69,489 69,892 70,036
Dry Edible Beans 1/ Cwt : 1,473 1,426 22,047 24,851 23,124
Dry Edible Peas 1/2/ “ : 1,635 2,190 2,535 3,110
Austrian Winter :

Peas 1/2/ ": 1,138 1,571 99 165
Lentils 1/2/ . : 1,243 1,287 1,566 1,802
Tobacco Lb : 2,194 2,107 1,721,598 1,539,012 1,569,717
Sugarbeets Ton : 20.5 19.7 28,928 27,916 27,771
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed "“: 32.8 32.6 30,364 30,852 30,479
Pasture and Range :

Feed 4/ Pet : 82 83
Apples. Comm'l 3/ tb: 10,719,500 10.789.000 10,512,500
Grapes Ton : 6.051.7 5,629.8 5,607.8
Prunes and Plums :

(Excl CA) "oy 38.1 27.0 30.0
Pecans tb: 166,000 364,000 378.500
Hazelnuts 5/ Ton : 27.7 39.0 39.0
Citrus Fruits 6/ t 1992-93 1993-94 1993-94

Oranges Ton : 11,062 10,274

Lemons “ot 930 923

1/ Yield in pounds.

2/ 1992 revised.

3/ September estimate carried forward from August 1.

4/ Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month. The 1982-91
average is 73 percent.

5/ September 1 forecast carried forward from mid-August forecast published
in “Hazelnut Production” released August 24, 1993.

6/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-8 NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production
by State and United States, 1991-93

Area Planted Area Harvested

AL: 40 45 55 39 44 50
cA: 33 87 31 32 55 30
WN: 30 10 10 30 10 8
MT: 180 160 115 179 157 114
ND 2,900 2.200 1,950 2.850 2.150 1,860
$D 70 35 20 67 33 18
US

AZ 95.0 85.0 90.0 3,705 3,740 4,500
CA: «105.0 93.0 95.0 3.360 5.115 2.850
MN: 32.0 47.0 30.0 960 470 240
MT: 33.0 33.0 33.0 5.907 5,181 3,762
ND 31.0 38.0 33.0 88.350 81.700 61.380
sD 25.0 30.0 24.0 1.675 990 432
Us: 32.5 39.7 35.2 103.957 97,196 73,164
Ll Revised. EEE

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1991-1993 1/

Winter Spring

: : : Hard Total
Red : Red : White : Red
1,000 Bushels
1991: 901.781 325.201 145.635 431,223 103.957 73.342 1,981,139

1992 2/: 966,078 427,139 213,317 702,108 97,196 63,110 2,458,948
1993 : 1,073,567 402.715 293.026 525,150 73,164 53.910 2,421,532
l/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available.
2/ Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-22 NASS. USDA


of the United States. The growing season ended for much of the northern Great
Plains, the western parts of Nebraska, much of Wisconsin, northern Michigan,
and Minnesota between September 14 and October 2. This season-ending weather
occurred at the normally expected time. The damage to an unusually late
maturing crop has been factored in throughout the season to the extent
possible.

Winter wheat planting tagged behind the previous year’s progress. Frequent
precipitation improved planting conditions in the Northwest early in September,
but later caused excessive soil moisture which resulted in delays. At times
during the month, growers in the South would wait for improved soil moisture
before planting. Spring wheat harvest was also behind the pace of a year ago
mainly due to late plantings and slow maturity.

Corn harvest began around mid-September with progress off to a good start.
Despite late maturity across the Corn Belt, by late in the month progress had
matched 1992's pace, but was still well behind average. Soybean harvest had
begun around the third week of the month, but lagged behind the previous year's
pace and average. Progress in the lower Mississippi and Ohio Valley was ahead
of normal. Cotton harvest by the end of September was ahead of last year’s
progress. Hot weather in the South and Southeast caused the crop to mature
ahead of normal. Bo1ls were prematurely opening in areas that had been hot and
dry. Sorghum crop development continued ahead of last year’s pace. Percentage
of acreage coloring and maturity were 10 to 14 days ahead of the previous year.
As September came to a close, harvesting progress equalled the progress of a
year ago. Rice harvest continued throughout the month of September but lagged
one to two weeks behind last year’s pace. Periods of scattered showers slowed
harvest in the upper coast region of Texas and other areas.

Corn for Grain: Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 63.1 million
acres, down 13 percent from last year. The acreage is down
1 percent from the 63.9 million acres estimated last month. Acreage to be
harvested for grain is down 500,000 acres in Minnesota, 100,000 acres in Iowa,
and down 50.000 acres each in Missouri, Nebraska, North Carolina, and South
Dakota. Extension of the 0/92 sign up date for the Feed Grain program allowed
growers, especially in Iowa, Minnesota. and South Dakota, to increase
Participation in that part of the program by plowing up or destroying late
maturing corn crops.

Objective Yield data continues to indicate a record high stalks per acre count
for the ten objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan.
Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). The October
ear counts per acre remain second only to last year’s record high count. The
October forecast weight of grain per ear remained below average and the lowest
since the 1988 drought reduced yields. The maturity of the 1993 crop as
measured by the objective yield survey is virtually the same as last year and
well behind all other recent years.

Sorghum for Grain: Production of sorghum for grain is forecast at 639 million
bushels, down 1 percent from September 1 and 28 percent

lower than 1992. U.S. yields are forecasted at 65.6 bushels per acre,

0.9 bushels Jess than September's forecast and down 7.2 bushels per acre from

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-7 NASS, USDA



begin soon. Texas’ production is forecast to reach 2.70 million boxes
(108,000 tons), up 44 percent from last season. The industry continues to
expand following the freezes of the 1980's.

Lemons: The 1993-94 U.S. lemon crop is forecast at 923,000 tons, down
1 percent from last season's large crop but 20 percent more than the
1991-92 crop.

The initial forecast for the California lemon crop is 20.0 million boxes
(760,000 tons). If realized, this year’s crop would be down slightly from last
season but 32 percent larger than the 1991-92 crop. Harvest has begun on a
limited scale in al] the growing areas of the State. Quality is expected to be
good even though hot weather has slowed fruit development in the desert area.

Arizona's lemon crop is expected to be 4.30 million boxes (163,000 tons), down
2 percent from last season. Fruit quality is rated good to excellent.
Approximately 7 percent of the lemon crop has been harvested.

Tangelos: The 1993-94 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 3.10 million boxes

(140,000 tons), 2 percent more than last season and 19 percent more
than the 1991-92 crop. Fruit set is heavy and sizes are smaller than last
season.

Temples: The 1993-94 forecast of Florida Temple production is 2.30 million
boxes (104,000 tons). down 8 percent from last season and down

2 percent from the 1991-92 season. Fruit set is down slightly from last season

but sizes are slightly larger.

Tangerines: The 1993-94 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 316,000 tons,

26 percent more than last season and 22 percent greater than
two years ago. If realized, it would be the third largest crop on record at
the U.S. level.

The Florida tangerine forecast is 3.80 million boxes (181,000 tons), 36 percent
larger than last year. The fruit set for Sunburst and Dancy varieties is up
substantially from last season but smaller fruit sizes are expected.

The initial forecast for California tangerines is 2.50 million boxes

(94,000 tons). up 14 percent from last season. Crop quality is reported to be
good. Arizona’s tangerine production is forecast at 1.10 million boxes
(41,000 tons), 16 percent greater than last year. The trees are in good
condition and fruit quality is expected to be good.

K-Early Citrus: The initial forecast of K-Early Citrus Fruit is 200,000 boxes

(9.000 tons). up 8 percent from last season's 185,000 boxes of
Production. Harvest has started on this early maturing variety which goes
mainly for fresh consumption.

Florida Citrus: Groves, trees, and new crop fruit remained in good to
excellent condition through September. Moisture was good with
only minimal irrigation needed during the month. Abundant moisture and warm
temperatures provided nearly ideal conditions for new foliage and fruit growth.
Some early fruit showed the first signs of on-tree color break. Early oranges,

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-14 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans:
and United States,

Area Harvested

State

Yield

Area Harvested, Yield, and
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993 1/

- 1,000 Acres -
110.0 107.
159.0 185.
88.0 123
19.0 25.
310.0 380.
97.0 100.

9.5 12.
153.0 145.
13.0 14,
29.0 35.
390.0 380.

5.9 7
32.0 27

5.7 5
35.0 42

8.8 9
32.0 25

--- Pounds --
2,160 2,200
1,640 1,550
1,800 1.750
1,400 1,700
1,250 1,600
1,460 950
1.900 1.900
1,650 1,500
1.950 1,800
1,050 1,400
1,200 850
2.050 2,100
1,320 1,400

700 400
1,840 1,950
1,800 1,500
1,850 1,630

2.376
2.608
1,584
266
3,875
1,416
181
2,525
254
305
4,680
121

Production, by State

1/ Excludes beans grown for garden

Crop Production
October 1993

seed.
2/ Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Lentils: Area Planted. Harvested, Yield, Production,
by State and United States, 1991-93 1/

State

1D : 50.0 55.0 49.0 53.0
WA : 78.0 88.0 77.0 87.0
us : 128.0 126.0 140.0

Yield Production

1D : 1,200 1,200 621 588 636
WA : 11270 1.340 1,050 978 1,166
us : 1,243 1,287 1,671 1,566 1,802

Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production,
by State and United States, 1991-93 1/ 2/

Area Harvested

1992 1993

— 1.000 Acres tS

1D 57.0 54.0 55.0 52.0
WA 102:0 91.0 100.0 90.0
us 159.0 145.0 188.0 142.0
eld Production

“199t 1992: 1993

935 1,040
1,600

2,535

2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-40 NASS, USDA


Washington equaled or set record highs. Nevada's yield was also a record.
Indiana was the only State east of Mississippi to have a higher yield than in
1992.

Other Spring Wheat: Production for the 1993 other spring wheat crop was
estimated at 579 million bushels. down 8 percent and

23 percent from the last forecast and last year. respectively. Area for grain

totaled 17.1 million acres, 3 percent less than the September 1 forecast and

down 6 percent from 1992. The U.S. yield was 34.0 bushels per acre. down

1.7 bushels from September 1.

Diseases in the Red River Valley area continue to push yields lower than
previously forecast. Reduced yields in Minnesota and the Dakotas more than
offset gains in the Pacific Northwest and Montana.

Durum Wheat: Durum production for 1993 was estimated at 73.2 million bushels.

down 5 percent from the September 1 forecast and 25 percent less
than the 1992 crop. Harvested area was 2.08 million acres, down 3 percent from
September 1 and 15 percent less than in 1992. Yields averaged 35.2 bushels per
acre, off 0.7 bushels from September 1.

The slow maturing crop has North Dakota’s harvest nearly 5 weeks behind
average. By September 12, just 25 percent of the durum was combined. Steady
progress since than has pushed the harvest to 82 percent completion as of
October 3. Montana's harvest also trails average progress; yields are turning
out better than originally expected.

Rye: The 1993 rye production was estimated at 10.3 million bushels. down

13 percent from last year. The U.S. average yield was 27.1 bushels per
acre, down 2.3 bushels per acre from 1992. Area harvested was 381,000 acres,
down 6 percent from the previous year. Planted acres were estimated to total
1.49 million, down 6 percent from a year ago. This is the smallest planted
area on record.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-3 NASS, USDA



Sorghum for Grain:
and United States,

State :

: 1992 1993

1,000 Acres

AL L/ 25 21
AR 410 230
co 190 190
GA 1/ 55 45
IL 260 210
KS 3.050 2,800
KY 1/ 19 13
LA 224 130
MS 150 60
MO 720 660
NE 1,530 1,250
NM 205 155
NC 1/ 20 15
OK 330 320
sc l/ 12 9
SD 380 300
TN 1/ 70 40
TX 4,500 3,300
US 12,150 9,748

Area Harvested,
1992 and Forecasted October 1,

Area Harvested :

Yield

Yield,

by State
93

oduction

38.0
63.0
43.0
38.0
100.0
70.0
75.0
65.0
70.0
80.0
80.0
55.0
50.0
50.0
14.0
56.0
78.0
59.0

and Production,
19
Pr
1993

vrreceeeeee 1992

Oct 1
38.0 1,250
60.0 31,160
43.0 7,030
38.0 2,640
100.0 26.780
70.0 244,000
75.0 1,900
65.0 15,232
68.0 10,500
80.0 69,840
73.0 143,820
55.0 12,300
50.0 1,000
50.0 17,490
14.0 408
56.0 14,060
78.0 5,600
59.0 279,000
65.6 884,010

- 1,000 Bushels --

798
13,800
8.170
1,710
21,000
196.000
975
8,450
4,080
52,800
91,250
8,525
750
16,000
126
16.800
3,120
194,700

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Product
October 1993

ion

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


September Weather Summary: Corn Belt farmers anxiously eyed Canadian airmasses

for the second consecutive September. hoping for
freeze-free weather for late-maturing crops. Corn and soybeans struggled
toward maturity under cool, wet conditions, except in the northwestern Corn
Belt. where it was cool and drier than normal. The western Corn Belt survived
a mid-September cold blast with only scattered frost, but the September 14
outbreak ended the growing season in Nebraska’s Panhandle, the western Dakotas,
and the northern High Plains. More than 2 weeks passed before the next major
cold episodes, which ended Wisconsin’s growing season on September 30. and
Minnesota’s on October 2.

Heavy rainfall in the middle Mississippi Valley caused rapid rises on the
Mississippi River and many tributaries. After falling below the 30-foot flood
stage at St. Louis, MO, for the first time in 80 days on September 13, the
Mississippi rose more than 9 feet in less than 2 weeks. in response to
torrential rains on saturated soils. Mississippi barge traffic, which resumed
in late August under restrictions to prevent further levee damage, was again
halted. Massive tributary flooding (of the Arkansas and lower Missouri Rivers)
occurred from northeastern Oklahoma into Missouri during the third full week of
September after a 2-week inundation. Part of the moisture was supplied by
remnants of the eastern Pacific Hurricane Lidia and the Atlantic Hurricane
Gert.

After a record-cool summer, the Northwest enjoyed its first above-normal
temperatures since May. However. dry weather accompanied the warmth across the
West, raising wildfire concerns. Farther east. long-term moisture deficits
continued to mount in many areas from southern Texas to the Middle Atlantic
region. Moisture supplies improved in the North Atlantic States.

Spring wheat harvest activities progressed under generally favorable (albeit
cool) conditions, except during a powerful mid-month storm. The storm was
driven by a huge temperature contrast that sent readings into the 90's as far
north as southern South Dakota on September 12, and brought a freeze to the
northern Plains 2 days later. In addition, more than 5 inches of snow fell in
Denver, CO. and Cheyenne. WY.

Winter Wheat Planting: Seeding of the 1994 winter wheat crop was underway in
several States by September 1. Planting trailed

slightly behind average most of the month in the major producing States,

reaching 55 percent completion by October 3. This trailed average by 3 points.

General Crop Comments: During the first half of September, rains fell over the

Gulf Coast and Eastern third of the U.S. bringing
relief to field crops. Rains came in the form of showers across the U.S.
throughout the month with heaviest amounts reported in the Mississippi Valley.
Flooding occurred in low lying fields causing crop damage. By the end of the
month, winter wheat plantings and the harvest of other field crops were behind
schedule.

Temperatures over most of the Nation averaged below normal causing slow crop
development in the Central Great Plains. Scattered frost during the second
half of September caused crop damage in the Western Corn Belt and Northern half

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-6 NASS, USDA


Navels, and red and white grapefruit were picked for fresh use. Caretakers
actively cut cover crops, sprayed, and fertilized.

Texas Citrus: Harvesting early oranges began by late September. Sizes are

better than last year, while sets are generally lighter. The
grapefruit crop is maturing well and harvest began on a limited basis. Trees
are in good condition.

Apples: The final forecast of the 1993 apple crop places production at
10.5 billion pounds, down 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and
2 percent less than last year’s production.

The Eastern States expect 2.83 billion pounds, down 6 percent from the August 1
forecast and 7 percent less than 1992. The dry summer reduced prospects in
most of the area, as fruit have not Sized. Recent rains have only partially
offset the effects of the drought. Cool weather has brought color to the New
England crop. About half the crop has been harvested. In New York, fruit are
on the trees but much will not be picked due to the smal) size. Hail damage in
several western New York locations will cause a considerable amount of fruit
intended for fresh market to be diverted to processors. Harvest is behind
normal in North Carolina where 55 percent of the crop has been picked compared
with the average of 71 percent. Pennsylvania's early varieties had small
fruit size but fall rains have improved fruit size for the late varieties.
Harvest is slightly late this year partially due to wet weather. There has
been some hail, insect, and disease damage. Cool nights and sunny days have
improved flavor and color of Virginia's crop.

Production in the Central States is forecast at 1.51 billion pounds, down

7 percent from the August 1 forecast and 2 percent less than last year. Apple
production in Indiana is reported to be good this year with frost having little
or no effect on the crop. Michigan harvest is about one week behind normal
because of cloudy, wet weather. Jonathan harvest is in full swing in the Grand
Rapids area. Harvest of Red and Golden Delicious and Empires is active in the
southwest. The color, size, and internal quality have been excellent. Picking
is late in Missouri. Wisconsin growers indicate that there is a lot of
variation within orchards as well as within apple varieties. Despite a late
season, growers expect a good crop. Scab has been a major problem with this
year's crop.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 6.17 billion pounds,
fractionally more than both the August 1 forecast and the 1992 crop.
California’s apples have excellent color due to cool spring and early summer
nights. However, the cool weather kept sizes down, especially in the Granny
Smith variety. There have been some sunburn problems in the southern San
Joaquin Valley. Granny Smith and Gala harvest has been steady. Fuji harvest
is increasing with good demand. Picking in Colorado is proceeding well;
however, it 7S a week to 10 days behind normal in most areas. Fruit size is
down in some of the varieties. but overall quality and size of this year’s
apples are excellent. Warm weather in late spring allowed fruit to size well.
Sporadic summer hail storms posed some problems. Harvest has begun in all
major producing areas of Oregon. Harvest is wel] underway in Washington,
although shipments remain below a year ago. A good packout is expected as

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-15 NASS, USDA



Small Grains - Annual Summary: Yield,

United States,

(Domestic Units)

Crop and Unit

Oats
Barley
All Wheat
Winter
Durum
Other Spring
Rye

l/ Revised.

1991-93
Yield
: 1992 1/ 1993
65.6 6
62.5 9
39.4 4
38.3 3
39.7 12
8 0
4 1

Small Grains - Annual Summary: Production

Crop and Unit

United States.

(Domestic Units)

Oats Bu
Barley
All Wheat .

Winter

Durum

Other Spring
Rye

1991-93
Production
1992 1/ 1993
1,000
294.764 208,138
457.910 415,763
2,458,948 2,421,532
1,606,534 1,769,308
97.196 73,164
755,218 579,060
11,952 10,340

1/ Revised.

Crop Production
October 1993

A-4

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Grapes:

Crop and State

Total Production by Crop. State, and United States.
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1,

1993

1992 1993
Tons
645,000 600,000
2,145,000 2,200,000
2,670,000 2,200,000
25,000 21.500
5,000 12,500
5,460,000 5,000,000
3,400 3,000
47,000 §3,000
1,850 2,700
180,000 120.000
1,300 2,000
10,300 8,500
12,300 14,000
78.000 65,000
500 550
227,000 305,000
6,051,650

Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Total Production by State and Total,

1993

1991
Grapes (Table Type)
CA 620.000
Grapes (Wine Type) :
CA : 2,195,000
Grapes (Raisin Type) 2/ :
CA : 2,165,000
All Grapes :
AZ 3/ 25,000
AR 3/ : 11,000
CA : 4,980,000
GA 3/ : 3,200
MI 46.000
MO 3/ 3.100
NY 192,000
NC 3/ 2,200
OH 3/ : 9,100
OR 3/ : 9,600
PA 78,000
SC 3/ 700
WA 196,000
us : 5,555,900
1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons):
1992-19. 450.
2/ Fresh basis.
a
Prunes and Plums:
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1.
State
1991
ID 3.000
MI 8,000
OR 4,000
WA 9,100
Total 24,100

1992 1993

Tons

4,600 7,000

8,000 6,000
16,000 8,000

9,500 9,000
38,100 30,000

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold(tons): 1991 - 300;

1992 - 200.

Crop Production
October 1993

A-47

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS. USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested. Yield. and Production by Class, Type, State,
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted October 1, 1993 (continued)
Production
Class and Type Potts steer t re tee reer tee ee eee eee eee eee

:o---- Acres ---- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds --
Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3B, Dark

Air-Cured
Type 35, One Sucker
Belt :
KY : 2,650 2,600 2,160 2,200 5,724 5.720
TN : 640 640 2,000 2,000 1,280 1,280
us : 3,290 3.240 2,129 2,160 7,004 7,000
Type 36. Green River :
Belt :
KY : 1,350 1,300 2,450 2.250 3.308 2.925
Type 37, VA Sun-Cured :
Belt :
VA : 100 100 «1,240 1,200 124 120

Total 35-37 : 4,740 4,640 2,202 2.165 10.436 10,045
Class 4, Cigar Filler :
Type 41, PA Seedleaf :

PA : 7,000 6,500 2,000 2,150 14,000 13,975
Class 5, Cigar Binder :
Class 5A, CT Valley

Binder

Type 51. CT Valley

Broadleaf :

CT : 650 650 1,790 1,730 1,164 1,125
MA : 170 170 1,880 1,830 320 311

US : 820 820 1.809 1.751 1,484 1,436
Class 5B. WI Binder :
Type 54, Southern WI

WI : 4,100 2.900 1.970 1,900 8,077 5,510
Type 55, Northern WI:

WI : 3,400 2,400 1,400 1,300 4,760 3,120
Total 54-55 : 7,500 5,300 1,712 1,628 12,837 8,630
Total 51-55 : 8,320 6.120 1.721 1,645 14,321 10,066

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper :
Type 61, CT Valley :
Shade-Grown :
CT : 800 810 1,445 1,200 1,156 972

MA : 200 270 «1,790 1,200 358 324
us >: 1,000 1,080 1,514 1,200 1,514 1,296
All Cigar Types roe
Total 41-61 : 16,320 13,700 1,828 1,849 29,835 25,337
All Tobacco : 784,720 745,140 2,194 2,107 1,721,598 1.569.717
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-45 NASS, USDA



Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted
between September 22 and October 1 to gather information
on expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat,
corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that
usually account for at least 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly
selected plots were re-visited to make current counts. The items counted
within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In
ali cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that
provide information to forecast the number of heads, ears, pods. or bolls and
their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to
develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is
subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until
crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator
has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year
harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 23,000 producers were
interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield.

Estimating Procedures: National, regional, and State level objective yield and
grower reported survey estimates were reviewed for
errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey
data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared
to previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits
their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics
Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey Gata and the State analyses to prepare
the published October 1 forecast.

Reviston Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised:

instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout
the growing season. At the end of the marketing year administrative records
and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports,
processing. feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data
relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a
production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended
harvested area has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1
production forecasts, the “Root Mean Square Error," a statistical
measure based on past performance, iS Computed. The deviation between the
October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a
percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations
for the 1973-1992 20-year period is computed, then the square root of the
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.“ Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

For example. the “Root Mean Square Error” for the October 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 3.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of

3 that the current production forecast of 6.96 billion bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 3.6 percent or approximately

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-18 NASS, USDA


Barley: Area Planted and Harvested, by State
and United States, 1991-93

Area Planted 1/

1,000
32
250
100
40
770
18
18
75
30
725
1,300
35

Area Harvested

1991 1992 2/
Acres

20 21 29
160 190 200
130 120 90
37 35 35
790 720 760
23 23 15
22 18 16
78 64 69
33 28 28
875 675 650
1,650 1,200 1,150
27 30 32
4 5 5
8 7 5
35 30 20
2,830 2,650 2,600
10 9 8
175 150 150
70 90 95
9 9 7
460 380 360
10 6 7
95 115 110
85 90 85
570 440 345
72 80 70
135 140 121
8,413 7,325 7,062

1991

AL: 22
CA: 240
co 140
DE 40
1D 800
KS 30
KY 25
MD 85
MI 35
MN 900
MT 1,800
NE 30
NV 8
NJ 11
NC 40
ND 2,900
OK 15
OR 190
PA 75
SC 10
SD 500
TX 30
UT 105
VA 105
WA 580
WI 85
wy 140
us 8,941
L

2/ Revised.

Crop Production
October 1993

/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
/

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)
EXTRE! October 2, 1993
i}
1) wos
monerite/ ‘| h) 4
SS ERE
jo1st &
© 7 ) C\ MoIsT A
if, > NS 4 9
/ \ \.. ma
_ ( ]ODERATE,
ys \ S)
7 Y ! Moist f
“a yon |
WM a a 0 A
\ { TH
Me TE J zz fAtES') % <,
-EXTREME 14
. {MOpERATE ~ Tp
+ iH
Kroon Wi
Googie ‘
MODERATE
NOANUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY _ Based on preliminary reports

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds Slowly: changes little from week to week: and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-5 NASS, USDA



All Other Hay: Production of all other hay is expected to total 70.0 million
tons, 1 percent above last year. Area harvest is expected to
total 36.7 million acres, 4 percent above 1992.

Ory Edible Beans: Production of dry beans this year is forecast at

23.1 million cwt, 7 percent below the September 1 forecast
but 5 percent above last year. Early freeze damage wiped out an estimated
31,000 acres of beans in Nebraska and Wyoming during September. leaving U. S.
harvest at 1.62 million acres, 8 percent above a year ago. Yields are down,
averaging 1.426 pounds per acre as of October 1. This is 77 pounds below the
September forecast and off 47 pounds from last year.

Harvest is active across the country but late in many areas because of a cool
growing season or wet harvest. Idaho's dry beans were 70 percent harvested as
of October 3 compared with 88 percent normally. This has been the coolest
Idaho growing season on record. Frost on the 13th of September damaged vast
areas of immature beans in the Nebraska Panhandle area and into Wyoming and
Colorado. September frosts also hit fields in North Dakota and Minnesota.
Michigan harvest iS approaching the half-way point with generally good yields
but more drying days are needed. New York is struggling through harvest at
about the 30 percent mark with lower yields than earlier anticipated.

Colorado harvest progress is about normal but yields are down because of the
frost damage. Beans in Washington appear to have caught up to normal after a
wet spring and cool summer. California weather has been excellent for growing
and harvesting beans.

Lentils: Production of lentils is estimated at 1.80 million cwt, up 15 percent

from last year and 8 percent above 1991. Harvested acreage, at
140.000 acres, was up 11 percent. The average yield of 1,287 pounds per acre
was up 44 pounds. The growing season was cool and late.

Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry peas is estimated at 3.11 million cwt. up
23 percent from a year ago but 16 percent less than 1991.

Harvested acreage is estimated at 142,000 acres. 8 percent below last year.

The average yield of 2,190 pounds per acre jumped 555 pounds. Yields this year

are up sharply in spite of the late growing season.

Austrian Winter Peas: The Austrian winter pea crop of 165,000 cwt, gained

67 percent from last year and 19 percent from 1991.
Acreage harvested, at 10,500 acres, was up 21 percent. The average yield per
acre, at 1.571 pounds, jumped 433 pounds.

Winter Potatoes, Revised: The final 1993 production of winter potatoes was
estimated at 2.55 million cwt, down 15 percent from

last year and 2 percent below 1991. Harvested acreage was 13,600 acres, up

1 percent from 1992. Average yields of 188 cwt per acre declined sharply from

a year earlier and were the lowest since 1972. Rain in California and

Hurricane Andrew in Florida were blamed for the poor crops.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on
October 1, 1993, for the 48 contiguous
States, was 83 percent. up 1 point from October 1, 1992, and 10 points above

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-11 NASS, USDA



All Wheat: Area Planted and Harvested, by State
and United States

AL : 170 140 145 110 95 95
AZ : 70 90 95 68 88 85
AR : 1,100 950 1,100 930 850 1,000
CA : 483 657 581 442 605 530
co 2,638 2,700 2,835 2,336 2,347 2,583
DE 70 75 65 67 70 63
FL 50 45 40 25 20 25
GA 500 400 400 425 350 360
1D : 1,340 1,540 1,490 1,160 1,440 1,390
IL : 1.650 1,450 1,650 1,400 1,150 1,550
IN : 850 800 720 720 450 670
TA : 75 70 60 50 40 40
KS > 11,800 12,000 12,100 11,000 10.700 11,100
kY : 640 620 680 400 420 470
LA : 300 200 130 190 170 95
MD : 205 230 210 195 220 200
MI : 570 650 580 560 630 540
MN : 2,190 2,860 2,555 2,155 2,805 2,348
MS : 350 300 250 250 250 210
MO : 1,650 1,500 1,650 1,500 1,350 1,400
MT 5.130 5,410 5,515 4,379 4,707 5,214
NE 2,350 2,350 2,350 2,100 1,850 2,100
NV : ll 12 11 8 10 9
NJ : 35 36 43 26 28 33
NM : 550 550 510 320 330 270
NY : 115 120 95 110 110 85
NC : 550 600 610 480 555 560
ND > 10,000 11,600 11,800 9,790 11,420 11,090
OH : 1,150 1,230 1,050 1,080 1,115 1,010
OK : 7,400 7,400 7,200 5.000 5,900 5.400
OR : 900 970 950 846 925 925
PA : 180 190 170 175 185 165
sc : 300 285 280 275 275 260
SD : 3,370 4,385 3,820 3,117 3,733 3.488
TN : 440 410 490 320 280 340
1X : 6,200 5,900 6,100 2.800 3,800 3.700
UT : 165 170 187 153 152 180
VA : 280 290 280 250 265 255
WA : 3.700 2,650 2.900 2,150 2,420 2.790
wy : 13 15 14 10 11 11
WI 149 167 149 127 66 125

wy : 232 247 238 204 224 218

1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
2/ Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-17 NASS, USDA


Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Planted,
United States, 1991-93
(Domestic Units)

1991 1992 1/ 1993
1,000 Acres

Oats : 8.654 7,961 7.944
Barley : 8.941 7,809 7,936
All Wheat : 69,921 72,264 72,098
Winter : 51,064 51,057 51,727
Durum : 3,253 2,507 2,181
Other Spring : 15,604 18,700 18,190
Rye : 1.671 1,582 1,493

1/ Revised.

Smal) Grains - Annual Summary: Area Harvested,
United States, 1991-93
(Domestic Units)

1,000 Acres

Oats : 4,806 4,492 3.813

Barley : 8.413 7,325 7.062
All Wheat : 57,703 62,411 62,982
Winter : 39,406 41.893 43,851
Durum : 3,197 2,449 2,080
Other Spring : 15,100 18,069 17,051
Rye : 396 406 381
l/ Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-3 NASS, USDA


All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield and Production by State
and United States. 1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993
_ Area Harvested Production
State :--------------- +--+ +e eee eee nnn rn eee ee nr re ree errr cree

AL : 710 730 2.10 1.80 1,638 1,491 1,314
AZ l/ : 30 35 4.30 4.20 117 129 147
AR : 1,170 1,070 2.30 2.00 2,354 2,691 2,140
CA 490 430 2.70 2.70 1.575 1,323 1,161
co 700 700 1.75 1.80 1,326 1,225 1,260
cT V/ 68 74 2.00 1.90 124 136 141
DE 1/ 14 12 2.20 2.20 32 31 26
FL 250 225 3.50 2.90 690 875 653
GA 580 600 2.80 1.90 1,800 1,624 1,140
1D 160 280 1.80 2.50 380 288 700
IL 330 560 2.20 2.20 616 726 1,232
IN 300 350 2.50 2.90 600 750 1,015
IA 400 500 2.20 2.00 735 880 1,000
KS 1,550 1,650 2.00 1.90 2,550 3.100 3,135
ky : 1,850 1,850 2.10 2.20 3,900 3,885 4,070
LA 2/ : 280 250 2.30 2.10 760 644 525
ME 1/ : 218 228 1.70 1.70 340 371 388
MD 1/: 150 145 2.50 2.50 280 375 363
MA l/s: 74 71 2.30 2.10 148 170 149
MI : 250 300 2.00 2.50 575 500 750
MN 650 650 2.00 2.00 1,800 1,300 1,300
MS 750 720 2.70 2.40 1,800 2,025 1,728
MO 3,100 3,100 1.80 2.00 5,760 5.580 6,200
MT : 850 850 1.60 1.70 1,440 1,360 1.445
NE : 2,150 2,300 1.15 1.10 2,688 2,473 2,530
NV 1/ : 150 270 1.25 1.60 300 188 432
NH I/ : 70 73 2.10 1.90 116 147 139
NJ d/ : 88 89 2.50 1.60 163 220 142
NM J/ : 70 60 1.80 1.90 126 126 114
NY 900 1,150 1.90 1.80 2,202 1.710 2.070
NC 500 450 2.30 1.90 1,056 1,150 855
ND 1,600 1,600 1.10 1.50 2,470 1,760 2,400
OH 700 700 2.50 2.70 1,470 1,750 1,890
OK 1,900 1,750 1.90 1.70 3,040 3,610 2,975
OR 525 590 1.60 2.00 1,170 840 1,180
PA : 1,090 1,100 2.00 2.00 1,998 2,180 2,200
RI l/: 6 9 2.20 2.00 11 13 18
sc : 225 230 2.00 1.80 676 450 414
SD 2,000 1,900 1.20 1.30 2,640 2,400 2,470
TN 1,530 1,740 2.10 2.00 2,983 3.213 3.480
TX 3.700 3,700 2.50 2.00 9,250 9,250 7,400
UT V/ 140 150 2.00 2.20 315 280 330
VI 280 283 2.20 2.10 466 616 594
VA 1,050 1,070 2.30 2.20 1,818 2,415 2,354
WA 290 290 2.60 2.50 810 754 725
WV 500 500 1.90 1.90 752 950 950
WI 500 700 1.60 2.00 660 800 1,400
WY 550 620 1.30 1.60 1,020 715 992
US 35,438 36,704 1.96 1.91 69,530 69,489 70.036
1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from eariler forcast.

2/ Includes alfalfa hay.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-38 NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

Area Harvested Production
State

992 1993 1992 1993

1,000 Acres --- 1,000 Bushels ---
AL 320 305 30,080 19,825
AZ V/ 11 11 1,870 1,870
AR I/ 95 100 12,350 12,500
CA 145 170 23,925 28,050
co 835 815 123,580 110,840
CT 2/
DE 161 157 19,159 12,560
FL L/ 110 100 8,250 5,800
GA 690 540 69,000 35,100
ID 1/ 33 50 4,290 6,000
IL 11.050 10.000 1,646,450 1,350,000
IN 5.970 §,450 877,590 724,850
IA 12,950 10,800 1,903,650 1,134,000
KS 1,730 1,800 259,500 243,000
KY 1,300 1,240 171,600 126,480
ta yy 309 250 37,080 27,500
MD 470 410 58,280 36,900
MA 2/
MI 2,300 2,200 241,500 242,000
MN 6,500 4,600 741,000 391,000
MS 1/ 300 200 27,000 16,000
MO 2,400 1,750 324,000 175,000
MT 1/ 25 21 2,750 2,415
Ne 2) 7,900 7,600 1,066,500 896,800
NJ 1/ 82 82 9,840 7,380
NM 1/ 71 75 11.360 12.375
NY 670 590 61,640 61,360
NC 1,040 850 98.800 51,000
ND 580 380 36.540 20,900
OH 3,550 3,100 507,650 350,300
OK 1/ 135 140 17,550 16,800
OR V/ 15 20 2,250 2,800
Rt a) 990 970 118,800 91,180
Sc 350 245 30,800 9,310
sD 3,300 2,550 277,200 165.750
TN 640 590 79.360 46,020
TX 1,620 1,900 202,500 218,500
UT 1/ 24 24 3.240 3,312
VT 2/
VA 345 275 40,020 16,500
WA 1/ 88 90 15,840 15,300
wy 1/ 50 45 5.400 4,500
WI 2.950 2,550 306,800 262,650
wy 1/ 40 65 3,920 7,475
US 72,144 63,110 9,478,914 6,961,902

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ Not estimated.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-26 NASS, USDA


All cotton production is forecast at 17.0 million bales, down 5 percent from
September 1 but 5 percent above 1992. Continued below average precipitation
coupled with insect problems in the Delta States combined to decrease U.S.
yields 31 pounds during the month to 614 pounds per harvested acre. The Delta
region’s yield, at 638 pounds, is 67 pounds below the previous month. Texas’
production was reduced 200.000 bales from September 1.

All orange production is forecast at 10.3 million tons, 7 percent below last
season. Florida's production is 172 million boxes (7.74 million tons), 8
percent below last season but 23 percent above two years ago. Early and mid-
season varieties are expected to produce 108 million boxes (4.86 million tons),
6 percent less than last year. The Valencia forecast is 64.0 million boxes
(2.88 million tons), 11 percent below a year ago. California’s all orange
production is forecast at 65.0 million boxes (2.44 million tons), 6 percent
less than last season. The Navel orange forecast remained unchanged at 38.0
million boxes (1.43 million tons), 13 percent less than last year. The
Valencia forecast is 27.0 million boxes (1.01 million tons), 8 percent more
than last year.

Florida frozen concentrated juice yield for the 1993-94 season is forecast at
1.55 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast is projected to
estimate the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors
Association. The final 1992-93 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was a record
high 1.58 gallons per box ar 42.0 degrees Brix.

This report was approved on October 12, 1993, by the Acting Secretary of
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service’s Agricultural
Statistics Board.

fet Ue

Agricultural Statistics Board

Acting Secretar.

Agriculture Chairperson
Richard €. Rominger Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-2 NASS, USDA


Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States.
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993 l/

State renner een ee ee eee eee en eee nnn eee eee nee ee eee eee eee
1991 1992 1993
Million Pounds

AZ 3/ : 57.0 90.0 63.0
AR 3/ : 10.0 8.0 11.0
CA : 800.0 840.0 850.0
co 75.0 90.0 92.0
CT 27.0 42.0 27.0
DE 3/ 25.0 20.0 20.0
GA 3/ + 32.0 25.0 35.0
ID : 120.0 75.0 170.0
Ik : 69.0 88.0 90.0
IN 60.0 70.0 80.0
JA 3/ 8.0 14.0 11.0
KS 3/ 7.5 6.0 10.0
KY 3/ 20.0 16.0 22.0
ME 68.0 83.0 67.0
MD 42.0 50.0 42.0
MA : 62.0 85.0 65.0
MI : 880.0 1,080.0 1,000.0
MN 3/ : 25.4 29.0 28.0
MO : 40.0 37.0 52.0
NH 40.0 54.0 41.0
NJ 92.0 55.0 75.0
NM 3/ 2.3 15.0 7.0
NY 1,050.0 1,170.0 950.0
NC 260.0 240.0 290.0
OH 120.0 115.0 135.0
OR 120.0 175.0 140.0
PA 470.0 500.0 550.0
RI : 5.5 6.5 5.0
SC 3/ : 40.0 60.0 60.0
TN 3/ : 13.0 13.0 16.5
UT 3/ : 55.0 60.0 52.0
VT : 53.0 50.0 43.0
VA 420.0 370.0 350.0
WA 4,300.0 4,800.9 4,800.0
Ww 200.0 225.0 205.0
WI 60.0 63.0 59.0
US 9,728.7 10.719.5 10,512.5

1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees.

2/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (million pounds):
U.S. 1991 - 69.9, 1992 - 105.2.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-50 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production, by Type, State
and United States, 1992 end Forecasted October 1, 1993

TYP@ enn nee nn re nee ne nee rrr terre etter reste eect rete etree

:-- 1,000 Acres -- ----- ---- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/

Upland :
AL : 408.0 430.0 731 553 530 621.0 475.0
AZ t 323.0 319.0 1,077 1,204 1,204 725.0 800.0
AR : 980.0 1,000.0 823 749 739 1,681.0 1,540.0
CA : 995.0 1,025.0 1,359 1,311 1,288 2,817.0 2,750.0
FL 3/ : 49.5 52.0 701 740 740 72.3 80.2
GA > 456.0 550.0 783 559 559 744.0 640.0
KS 3/ : 0.8 1.5 120 256 256 0.2 0.8
LA : 870.0 875.0 717 741 658 1,299.0 1,200.0
MS : 1,345.0 1,350.0 761 711 604 2,131.0 1,700.0
MO : 328.0 338.0 792 710 710 541.0 500.0
NM : 37.0 60.0 616 704 704 47.5 88.0
NC : 377.0 385.0 596 524 524 468.0 420.0
OK : 335.0 370.0 301 350 350 210.0 270.0
Sc : 192.0 195.0 565 431 431 226.0 175.0
TN : 615.0 640.0 651 570 488 834.0 650.0
TTM : 3,550.0 5,500.0 441 480 463 3,265.0 5,300.0
VA 3/ : 21.8 22.8 621 600 600 28.2 28.5
US 210,883.21 13,113.3 693 639 608 15.710.2 16,617.5

Amer-Pima :
AZ 102.0 58.0 649 894 894 138.0 108.0
CA 110.0 90.0 1,282 1,200 1,200 293.7 225.0
MS 4/ 0.4 480 0.4
NM 12.8 11.0 739 633 655 19.7 15.0
TTMX 35.0 33.0 775 756 698 56.5 48.0
US 260.2 192.0 938 999 990 508.3 396.0

Al}
AL 408.0 430.0 731 553 530 621.0 475.0
AZ 425.0 377.0 975 1,156 1,156 863.0 908.0
AR 980.0 1,000.0 823 749 739 1,681.0 1,540.0
CA 1,105.0 1,115.0 1,351 1,302 1.281 3,110.7 2,975.0
FL 3/ 49.5 52.0 701 740 740 72.3 80.2
GA 456.0 550.0 783 559 559 744.0 640.0
KS 3/ 0.8 1.5 120 256 256 0.2 0.8
LA 870.0 875.0 717 741 658 1,299.0 1,200.0
MS 1,345.4 1,350.0 760 711 604 2,131.4 1,700.0
M0 328.0 338.0 792 710 710 541.0 500.0
NM 49.8 71.0 648 693 696 67.2 103.0
NC 377.0 385.0 596 $24 524 468.0 420.0
OK 335.0 370.0 301 350 350 210.0 270.0
Sc 192.0 195.0 565 431 431 226.0 175.0
TN 615.0 640.0 651 570 488 834.0 650.0
TX 3,585.0 5,533.0 445 482 464 3,321.5 5,348.0
VA 3/ 21.8 22.8 621 600 600 28.2 28.5
US 211,143.3 13,305.3 699 645 614 16,218.5 17,013.5

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.

4/ Estimates discontinued in 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-34 NASS, USDA


Tobacco:
and United States,

Area Harvested. Yield, and Production by State
1991-1992 and Forecasted October 1,

1993

1992 1993

---- Acres ----
CT 1,450 1.460
FL 7,500 7,500
GA 44,000 42,000
IN 9,000 8,100
KY 234,700 211,100
MD 9,700 9,500
MA 370 440
MO 1.700 3.200
NC 270.200 269.500
OH 10,400 10,000
PA 10,800 10,000
sc 52,000 52,000
TN 72,200 62,840
VA 51,100 50.200
wy 2,100 2,000
WI 7,500 5.300
US 784,720 745,140

91 1992
seeee 1,000 pounds
831 2.320
312 19,575
600 100,980
920 18,900
794 524,378
900 11,931
830 678
825 3,298
655 609.873
776 21,840
765 21,030
. 180 112,320
524 146,556
849 111,459
420 3,623
191 12,837
372 1,721,598

Crop Production

October 1993

Yield

: 1992: 1993
--- Pounds --
1.600 1,436
2/610 2.500
2295 2.100
2/100 2.100
21234 2.236
1,230 1,350
1.831 1.443
1,940 1.900
2.257 2.109
2.100 1.950
1.947 2.063
2:160 2.100
2.030 1.954
2.181 1.983
1.725 1.750
1.712 1.628
2.194 2.107
A-43

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Rice: Area Harvested. Yield. and Production. by State

and United States, 1992 and Forecasted October 1.

Area Harvested

1993

Production

State

1992 1993 1992 1993

1,000 Acres ---- 1,000 Cwt ----
AR : 1,380 1,330 5.500 5,300 5,200 75,914 69,160
CA : 392 437 8,400 8,100 8.200 32,920 35,834
LA : 620 530 4,650 4,800 4,700 28,846 24,910
MS : 275 245 5.700 5,700 5,500 15,675 13,475
MO 1/ : 112 100 4,800 5,200 5,200 5.376 5,200
TTM : 351 298 5,800 5,600 5,600 20,357 16, 688
US : 3,130 2,940 5,722 5,677 5,621 179,088 165,267

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain
1,000 Cwt
1991 : 109,137 47,567 753
1992 : 128,079 50,387 622
1993 1/ : 116,423 48,042 802

All

157,457
179,088
165,267

1/ Indicated October 1, 1993, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year
average of yield differences by class and current acreage estimates.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-29

NASS, USDA


Oats: Area Planted and Harvested, by State
and United States, 1991-93

Area Planted 1/ Area Harvested

1,000 Acres
AL : 55 50 60 25 25 30
AR : 50 25 35 30 20 20
CA : 380 380 300 45 35 30
co : 88 90 87 30 35 32
GA : 95 80 75 60 55 50
1D : 80 60 70 45 20 15
IL : 450 400 550 120 130 90
IN : 100 100 130 45 40 40
IA : 800 850 950 425 375 225
KS : 160 200 70 110 140 30
ME : 32 25 33 23 22 26
MD : 16 13 10 12 9 8
MI : 150 140 150 120 120 130
MN : 750 700 850 570 500 475
MO : 65 90 35 32 45 14
MT : 200 165 140 110 70 60
NE : 340 330 270 220 220 160
NY : 130 140 135 100 110 105
NC : 85 90 60 40 50 30
ND : 950 780 800 650 550 550
OH : 200 220 200 170 170 150
OK : 80 110 80 34 50 25
OR : 80 65 65 45 45 40
PA : 250 230 220 210 205 200
Sc : 68 58 50 40 35 30
so : 950 900 750 700 650 510
TX : 1,100 700 800 180 130 140
UT : 50 45 50 8 15 13
WA : 85 65 65 40 30 30
WV : 10 10 9 5 6 5
WI 750 795 790 530 555 525
wy 55 55 55 32 30 25
us 8,654 7,961 7.944 4,806 4,492 3,813
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
2/ Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-13 NASS, USDA


raisin lay is active. Good quality is reported. The amount of Thompson
Seedless grapes being crushed for wine is down significantly from last year.
Wine type varieties are forecasted at 2.20 million tons, unchanged from last
month but up 3 percent from last year. Harvest is in full swing with good
quality reported. Table type varieties are forecasted to reach 600,000 tons,
unchanged from last month but down 7 percent from last year. Harvest is active
in the San Joaquin Valley with good quality reported. Flame Seedless, Ruby
Seed ies. Christmas Rose, and Red Globe are among the varieties currently being
picked.

The Washington grape forecast is unchanged from last month at a record high
305,000 tons. Harvest is well underway for Concord grapes and has just begun
for wine type varieties. Sugar levels have been low.

The New York forecast has been reduced 14 percent to 120.000 tons. If
realized, this year’s grape crop would be the smallest since 1977. Drought
conditions during the current growing season in the major producing areas
resulted in low yields. Berries were small with little juice content.

Pennsylvania's grape production is forecast at 65,000 tons, unchanged from last
month but down 17 percent from last year. The crop has generally been of good
quality but low yields have been reported.

The Michigan forecast at 53,000, tons is down 4 percent from last month but is
13 percent above last year. The Niagara variety harvest is complete. while the
Concord harvest is approximately 25 percent complete.

Prunes and Plums: Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon,
and Washington is forecast at 30,000 tons, up 11 percent
from September 1 but 21 percent Jess than 1992.

Idaho's harvest was completed by the end of September. The crop for Michigan
picked out somewhat heavier than originally anticipated, despite poor quality.
Harvest is winding up in Oregon on late varieties. Harvest is complete in
Washington. Demand has been light this year and some fruit has been dumped.

Grapefruit: The initial forecast of the 1993-94 U.S. grapefruit crop

(excluding California’s “Other Areas") is 2.37 million tons, down
9 percent from last season. Last year, California's “Other Areas" produced
201,000 tons (6.00 million boxes). The first forecast for that type of
grapefruit will be made as of April 1, 1994.

The October 1 forecast for Florida’s all grapefruit crop is 49.0 million boxes
(2.08 million tons), down 11 percent from last season but 16 percent above the
1991-92 crop. Fruit sizes of the seedless grapefruit are quite variable
because of the extended bloom period. The Florida white seedless grapefruit
forecast is 23.0 million boxes (978,000 tons), an 11 percent decrease from last
year. The colored seedless forecast is 25.0 million boxes (1.06 million tons),
10 percent less than last season. The seedy grapefruit crop is expected to
reach only 1.00 million boxes (43,000 tons), 43 percent less than the previous
season.

The first forecast for the California desert grapefruit crop is 3.50 million
boxes (112,000 tons), unchanged from both last season and the 1991-92 crop.
Exceptional fruit quality is reported and a few growers have started

harvesting. The 1993-94 Arizona grapefruit crop is forecast at 2.20 million
boxes (70,000 tons), up 2 percent over last season. Harvest is expected to

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-13 NASS, USDA



Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted October 1, 1993

1,000 Pounds
Pecans Improved 1/

AL : 7,000 2,000 16,000
AR : 1,500 100 1,200
CA : 2,300 2,600 3,500
FL : 2,000 1,700 5.000
GA : 77,000 26,000 105,000
LA : 2,500 200 4,500
MS : 5,000 500 6,000
NM : 29,000 30,000 34,000
NC 2/ : 3,000 1,000 2,200
OK : 1,000 500 1,500
SC : 3.000 200 3,500
1X i 30,000 40,000 50,000
US : 163,300 104,800 232,400
Pecans Native & Seedling :
AL : 11,000 2,000 14,000
AR : 1,500 1,200 800
FL : 1,500 800 2,000
GA i 23,000 4,000 25,000
KS 2/ 3/ : 2,500
LA : 24,500 800 19,500
MS : 2,500 200 2,000
NC 2/ : 2,500 1,500 1,300
OK : 16,000 8,500 23.500
SC : 2,500 100 1,000
TX : 30,000 22,000 35,000
us : 115,000 41,100 126,600
All Pecans :
AL : 18,000 4,000 30,000
AR : 3,000 1,300 2,000
CA : 2,300 2,600 3,500
FL : 3,500 2,500 7,000
GA : 100,000 30,000 130,000
KS 2/ 3/ : 2,500
LA : 27,000 1,000 24,000
MS : 7,500 700 8.000
NM : 29,000 30,000 34,000
NC 2/ : 5,500 2,500 3,500
OK t 17,000 9,000 25.000
sc : 5,500 300 4,500
TX : 60,000 62,000 85,000
Oth Sts 2/ 4/ : 20.700 20,100 19,500
US : 299.000 166,000 378,500

1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.

2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
3/ Estimates for Kansas are published separately beginning in 1993.

4/ AZ, KS, MO and TN in 1991 and 1992. No breakdown between varieties.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 A-51 NASS, USDA



Small Grain Annual Summary

The October 1 "Crop Production” report contains the end-of-season acreage,
yield, and production estimates for smali grains (wheat, oats, barley, and
rye). These estimates were based in part on a survey of approximately

70,000 farm operators conducted during the first two weeks of September. Post-
harvest objective yield surveys, earlier acreage surveys. and administrative
data are also considered in developing these estimates. Normally these
estimates are considered final and not subject to change until the following
year. The 1993 harvest season ran unusually late and harvesting operations
were far from complete at the time of the survey. Since post-harvest data were
not available on a sizable acreage in Idaho, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota,
Oregon, Washington, and Wyoming growers reporting unharvested grain will be
resurveyed and estimates will be updated, if necessary. Any changes to small
grain estimates will appear in the “Crop Production" Summary to be released
January 12, 1994.

Procedures to prepare the estimates in this publication and any post-harvest
updates are Similar to those used during the forecast season. National,
regional, and State level survey estimates are reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical data. The surveys are also
reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress throughout the growing
season compared to historical years. Each State Statistical Office submits
their analysis of individual crops to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published
estimates.

Oats: Production of oats in 1993 was estimated at 208 million bushels,

29 percent below last year’s crop of 295 million bushels, and the lowest
production since estimates were first made in 1866. Yields per harvested acre
for grain averaged 54.6 bushels, down 11.0 bushels from 1992. Area harvested
for grain, at 3.81 million acres, was down 15 percent from last year and is a
record low. Seeded area totaled 7.94 million acres, virtually the same as last
year.

Oat production declined 17 percent from the August 1 forecast. Acres for
harvested dropped 7 percent and yields were down 6.1 bushels per acre from
earlier expectations. Wet weather and rust were the major factors in the
declines.

Barley: Barley production in 1993 was estimated at 416 million bushels,

9 percent below last year's crop of 458 million bushels. Average
yield per acre, at 58.9 bushels, was down 3.6 bushels from the 1992 crop. The
area harvested for grain was estimated at 7.06 million acres, 4 percent less
than last year. This is the smallest harvested barley acreage since 1934.

Production was 5 percent below the September 1 forecast. A 6 percent decline
in harvested acreage more than offset a 1.1 bushel increase in yield.

All Wheat: All wheat production for 1993 totaled 2.42 billion bushels. down
3 percent from September 1 and down 2 percent from 1992. The U.S.
yield averaged 38.4 bushels per acre, off 0.6 bushel from the last forecast and

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
October 1993 B-1 NASS. USDA



Barley: Yield and Production. by State
and United States, 1991-93

AZ 120.0 105.0 100.0 2,400 2,205 2,900
CA 59.0 62.0 65.0 9.440 11,780 13,000
co 80.0 81.0 85.0 10,400 9,720 7,650
DE 68.0 74.0 65.0 2,516 2,590 2,275
1D 75.0 75.0 80.0 59,250 54,000 60,800
KS 33.0 40.0 46.0 759 920 690
KY 55.0 66.0 67.0 1,210 1,188 1.072
MD 64.0 73.0 69.0 4,992 4,672 4,761
MI 43.0 62.0 54.0 1,419 1,736 1,512
MN 50.0 75.0 58.0 43,750 50,625 37.700
MT 52.0 44.0 57.0 85.800 52,800 65,550
NE 38.0 50.0 38.0 1,026 1,500 1,216
NV : 90.0 110.0 100.0 360 550 500
Nd : 61.0 64.0 60.0 488 448 300
NC : 47.0 66.0 60.0 1,645 1,980 1,200
ND 49.0 65.0 50.0 138.670 172,250 130,000
OK 39.0 42.0 35.0 390 378 280
OR 72.0 63.0 71.0 12,600 9,450 10,650
PA 60.0 71.0 63.0 4,200 6,390 5,985
sc 31.0 62.0 38.0 279 558 266
sD 39.0 54.0 42.0 17,940 20,520 15,120
TX 32.0 45.0 44.0 320 270 308
UT 83.0 78.0 85.0 7,885 8,970 9,350
VA 67.0 79.0 67.0 5.695 7,110 5,695
WA 65.0 45.0 67.0 37,050 19,800 23,115
WI 46.0 52.0 46.0 3.312 4,160 3,220
WY 78.0 81.0 88.0 10,530 11,340 10,648
US : 55.2 62.5 58.9 464,326 457,910 415,763
1/ Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 1993 A-16 NASS, USDA