COTTON: PRODUCTION, BALES GINNED, SEASON AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS,
AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION 1980 AND 1981

VALUE

OF
3 PRODUCTION

1,000 BALES 1, 000 DOLLARS

Lt : 275 422 272,984 420,814 79.2 57.0 104,544 115,459
ARIZ 2 1,354 1,556 1,338,736 1,538,557 74.2 55.7 482,241 416,012
ARK 3 444 604 445,586 614,404 76.7 57.0 163,463 165,254
CALIF : 3,109 3,535 3,123,267 3,549,998 77.8 63.4 1,161,025 1,075,771
FLA : 7.5 21,3 4/7,959 4/18,158 85.0 57.0 3,060 5,828
GA : 86 159 “86,205 ~ 162,292 77.9 55.7 32,157 42,510
LA : 460 742 458,403 737,161 77.8 55.4 171,782 197,313
MISS 2 1,143 1,565 1,146,711 1,565,520 76.4 57.0 419,161 428,184
MO : 7 168 174,642 159,768 72.7 56.0 61,766 45,158
NEV : 1.2 1.5 4/ 4/ 80.0 63.0 461 454
N MEK : 107 133 102, 187 VWW8,964 81.0 58.0 44,602 37,027
NC : 52 95 54,465 99,640 79.5 58.0 19,843 26,448
OKLA : 205 440 202,937 434,715 76.6 41.9 75,374 88,493
sc : 77 164 74,560 159,560 79.6 57.9 29,420 45,579
TENN : 200 315 197,844 311,220 78.3 54.3 75,168 82, 102
TEX : 3,320 5,645 3,326,613 5,656,632 68.5 48.0 1,091,616 1,300,608
VA : 2 3 4/ 4/° 79.5 58.0 76 84
US : 11,017.9 15,566.71 11,013,099 15,547,397 74.4 54.5 3,932,759 4,072,284
COTTON, AMER-PIMA =:
ar 72.3 53.7 72,238 53,581 108.0 94.0 37,480 24,229
CALIF : al 0 0 0 108.0 52
N MEX : 6.8 7.9 2,436 2,462 105.0 101.0 3,427 3,830
TEX 2 25.0 18,0 29,356 23,261 108.0 101.0 12,960 8,726
US : 104.2 79.6 104,030 79,304 108.0 96.3 53,919 36,785
COTTON, ALL :
Lt : 275 422 272,984 420,814 79.2 57.0 104,544 115,459
ARIZ : 1,426.3 1,609.7 1,410,974 1,592,132 75.9 57.0 519,721 440,241
ARK : 4a4 604 445,586 614,404 76.7 57.0 163,463 165,254
CALIF : 3,109.1 3,535.0 3,123,267 3,549,998 77.8 63.4 1,161,077 1,075,771
FLA : 7.5 21.3 4/7,959 -4/18,158 85.0 57.0 3,060 5,828
GA : 86 159 86,205 162,292 77.9 55.7 32,157 42,510
LA : 460 742 458,403 737,161 77.8 55.4 171,782 197,313
MISS : 1,143 1,565 1,146,711 1,565,520 76.4 57.0 419,161 428,184
MO 2 W7 168 174,642 159, 768 72.7 56.0 61,766 45,158
NEV : 1.2 1.5 4/ 80.0 63.0 461 454
N MEX : 113.8 140.9 104,623 121, a 82.4 60.4 45,029 40,857
NC : 52 95 54,465 99,640 79.5 58.0 19,843 26,448
OKLA : 205 440 202,937 434;715 76.6 41.9 75,374 88,493
sc : 77 164 74,560 159,560 79.6 87. 3 29, 429 45,579
TENN : 200 315 197,844 311,220 78.3 82,102
TEX 2 3,345 5,663.0 3,355,969 5,679,893 68.7 a8 3 1 108 oH 1,309,334
84

VA : 2 3 4/ 4/ 79.4 58.0

11,122.1  15,645.7 11,117,129 15,626,701 74.7 54.7 3,986,678 4, 109,069
/ EQUIVALENT 480-LB NET WEIGHT BALE GINNED, NOT ADJUSTED FOR CROSS-STATE MOVEMENT. 2/ INCLUDES
ALLOWANCE FOR UNREDEEMED LOANS. 3/ AVERAGE TO APR 1, 1982 WITH NO ALLOWANCE FOR UNREDEEMED LOANS.
4/ FLA, NEV AND VA COMBINED.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Vv

7 PROOUCTION 2 PRODUCTION
CROP ne BOXES 8 TON EQUIVALENT
AND iy ‘UTILIZED sINDICATEDS UTILIZED Ss INDICATED.

Pemmcwecewconeceecent Jewmmeemmnenooccowent

3 1979980 & 1980681 & 4961-82-% 1979-60 3 1980081 & 1981-82:

1,000 UNITS 1,000 UNITS
ORANGEG,EARLY MID & NAVEL:.3/%
ARIZ ast 850 900 950 32 134 36.
CALIF! 2 32,600 38,750 28,000 1,223 1,453 1,050
FLA 4/ t 117,900 105,600 74,000 5,306 4,752 3,330
TEX art 25300 24600 3,700 7 110 157
us 2 153,650 187,850 106,650 6,658 6,349 4,573
ORANGES; VALENCIA : .
ARIZ: : 2,650 1,700 2,000 99 oa 15
CALIF 3 26,800 27,500 21,000 1,005 1,031 788
FLA 2 86,800 66,800 56,000 3,996 3,006 2,520
TEX : 1,730 1,730 2,200 74 74 9a
us 2 119,980 97,730 81,200 $,174 4175 :3,477
ALLi ORANGES 3
ARIZ 2 3,500 2,600 2,950 131 98 411
CALIF 2 59,400 66,250 99,000 2,228 2,484 1,838
FLA 2 206,700 172,400 130,000 9,302 7,758 5,650
TEX z 4,030 4,330 54900 171 184 251
us 2 273,630 245,580 187,850 11,832 10,524 8,050
TEMPLES z
FLA ast 6,000 3,600 3,200 270 162 144
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE SEEDLESS 3
FLA z 31,100 28,400 28,000 1,322 1,207 1,190
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEQLESS
FLA t 15,800 14,600 15,000 e71 oat 638
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT :
FLA z 7,900 7,300 6,000 336 310 255
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ARIZ : 3,000 2,800 2,800 96 90 90
CALIF’ 3
DESERT : 4,200 4,260 4,000 134 136 128
OTHER AREAS : 3,300 3,800 3,900 111 127 131
TOTAL: 2 7,500 8,060 7,900 245 263 259
FLA t 54,800 50,300 49,000 2,329 2,138 2,083
TEX : 7,900 64700 13,000 316 268 S20
us 2 73,200 67,860 72,700 2,986 2,759 2,952
TANGERINES: 3 :
ARIZ” ast 750 700 850 28 26 32
CALIF: ast 1,650 1,860 1,700 62 70 64
FLA ast 3,900 3,000 2,500 185 143 119
us : 6,300 5,560 5,050 275 239 215
LEMONS : :
ARIZ : 3,050 7,000 6,600 116 266 251
CALIF: 2 17,700 24,800 19,000 673 9a2 722
us 2 20,750 31,800 25,600 789 1,208 973
TANGELOS :
FLA. ars 6,400 4,900 5,100 268 221 230

1/ THE. CROP: YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF: THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN: ANO: ENOS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED,

2/ NET LBS PER BOX! ORANGES@CALIF & ARIZ=75,FLA=90,
TEX@853 GRAPEFRUIT=CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF
OTHER=67, FLAW85, TEX=603 LEMONS=763 TANGELOS &
TEMPLES=907 TANGERINES~ CALIF 8 ARIZ©75, FLA=95.

3/ NAVEL. AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIOSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS,

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIE R FORECAST

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
ALMONDS ..ccscsccceeesvecssceectscsccssecnseessseseesareneseueenees 13
BANANAS .......606 seeeeseeeees Se beeeeneeeeeeaeceseeenes se eceeeeeees 13
CHERRIES ...... se beeeeeeeeeenee veeeeeeeeeeees seeeeeeeteees seeeenee 15
CITRUS FRUIT «2.0000 14
COTTON ....eeesee wees 19
HAY STOCKS ..ssseeseescsceeeeeeenees ce ecececeeeceeeseeteeenenseeees 12
PAPAYAS ....ccesceeecsceeeceees ce ececeeeceenceeneeeeees se eeeeeee wee 13
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS ........2.0+ Le eeeeneeeaeeeeee 3
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION TABLE ..... sec eaeeeeeeeeeeneeeess 12
PEACHES ....ececeeeeeeeeeeeeees be ececeedeeeeeeeeeaeeeeraeeeoeaes tee 15
POTATOES, SPRING 15
TARO .ececececeeeecececececeeectseecenececesececereceetteseeeseeees 13
TOBACCO BY STATES .......cscecececceceeececeeseeeeees seeeeeee seeeee 16
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE .....04.4. seeeeeeeeeens sabe eaeeeeueenens 7
US SUMMARY ....cececeeeceeeeeee cee cetececececesecececeaeseceseores 2
WHEAT, BY CLASSES ........2ee00 Lend ecececeeeceeeeeeeeeeeseeeeeeees u
WINTER WHEAT ....cscecsecceceeeececececececterceseseees seeeeeee see i

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 24 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Cotton planting advanced to 27% complete by May 2, well behind last year's rapid pace of 45%
finished. California planting was 90% finished and Arizona was 80% complete. Planting was
underway in all States except Oklahoma where producers normally begin planting at a later date.
Progress lagged the average in all major States due to the late, wet spring. Early planted
cotton in the Lower Valley of Texas was starting to square.

Spring wheat was 30% seeded by May 2, 19 points behind average and 45 points later than last
year's rapid pace. Planting was behind schedule in all States except Idaho because of the late
spring and wet field conditions.

Grain sorghum planting moved northward into Missouri and Oklahoma, although most activity
centered in southern areas. Planting in Texas was 66% finished by May 2, 4 points behind
average.

Rice seeding reached 38% completion, 29 points slower than a year earlier. Progress was
behind normal in all areas. Arkansas producers lagged the average for the State by 35 points.
Mississippi growers were 24 points behind that State's average. Heavy rains and wet fields
delayed activities in these areas and progress fel] behind schedule. Rice had emerged on 27% of
the acreage by May 2, compared with 42% last year.

Soybean seeding was just getting underway at the end of April. Georgia producers had seeded
4% of the acreage by May 2.

U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION

a

Bi
SS

us

T

oo

WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at 2.06 billion bushels (56.2 million

metric tons) based on conditions as of May 1. This is-down 3 percent from the
December 1, 1981 forecast and 2 percent less than last year's record high production of 2.10
billion bushels (57.1 million metric tons). Production prospects are tess than last year
because of fewer acres for harvest and a slight decrease in yield.

Yield per harvested acre is forecast at 35.7 bushels. This compares with 35.8 bushels per
acre last year and 36.8 bushels in 1980.

Producers expect to harvest 57.7 million acres (23.4 million hectares) for grain, 1 percent
less than last year, but 12 percent more than the acreage harvested in 1980. Indicated acreage
for harvest is 87 percent of planted area. Last year, farmers harvested 89 percent of the
planted acres.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COTTONSEED: PRODUCTION AND FARM DISPOSITION, 1980 AND 1981 1/

2,438 1,222 2,175
1 J J

6,396.9 3,957.2 5,582.5 $13.3

COTTONSEED: SEASON AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED BY FARMERS, VALUE OF PRODUCTION, AND
VALUE OF SALES TO OIL MILLS, 1980 AND 1981 CROPS 1/

PRICE PER TON

ALA : 11,092

ARIZ 121.00 5/ 70,543 54,329 5/
ARK 128.00 88.00 23,168 21,888 19,624
CALIF 143.00 90.50 181,610 130,773 158,015 105,885
FLA 125.00 80.00 363 656 338 632
GA 125.00 98.50 3,750 6,107 3,125 3,940
LA 125.00 75.50 22,000 21,669 21,000 20,612
MISS 132.00 81.50 57,948 49,063 55,440 46,618
MO 124.00 79.00 8,680 5,372 8,060 4,977
NEV 128.00 95.00 64 57 51 48
N MEX 124.00 87.00 5,580 5,742 4,960 4,959
NC 117.00 83.00 2,223 2,822 1,989 2,407
OKLA 125.00 84.50 10,250 15,464 9,250 14,788
sc 120.00 88.50 3,600 5,487 3,360 5,222
TENN 128.00 78.50 10,496 9,970 9,728 9,263
TEX 119.00 89.50 161,959 218,201 145,418 194,663
vA 117.00 83.00 12 8 12 8
us 128.00 87.50 573,928 6/559, 346 508,055 6/487,243

Y/__ 1981 CROP PRELIMINARY. 2/ INCLUDES PLANTING SEED, EXPORTS, INTER-FARM ‘SALES, SHRINKAGE,
TOSSES AND OTHER USES. 3/ INCLUDED IN TM OTHER” FARM DISPOSITION. PLANTING SEED FROM PREVIOUS
YEARS' CROP. 4/ VA AND NEV COMBINED. 5/ NOT AVAILABLE BECAUSE PRICES FOR A SUBSTANTIAL PORTION
OF PRODUCTION REMAINS UNSETTLED. 6/ U S AVERAGE PRICE USED FOR ARIZ TO DETERMINE U S VALUES.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 2v CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


* * & IMPORTANT NOTICE * *-*

Effective June 1, 1982, the Statistical Reporting Service wit] discontinue
free distribution of this report. and other “reports issued through ‘the’ Crop
Reporting Board. Individual copies and annual subscriptions of all reports
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If you wish to continue receiving the monthly and annual "Crop Production"
report after June 1, 1982, please complete the subscription order form below and
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to the Superintendent of Documents:

Any questions or requests for an order form covering all available reports
should be directed to the Secretary, Crop Reporting Board, Room, 5809-South
Butlding, USDA, Washington, D.C., (Phone (202) 447-7017).

CROP PRODUCTION
SUBSCRIPTION ORDER FORM

Please enter my subscription to CROP PRODUCTION for
one year at $29.00 Domestic; and $36.25 Foreign.

Ree
ORDER FORM To: Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D. . 20402
Enclosed is $ Cl check, Credit Card Orders Only
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Prepaid Superintendent of Documents Total . Fill n the boxes below.
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U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE; 1982-360-929:525-633


FARM MARKETINGS OF TOBACCO, BY STATES, 1981 CROP YEAR, PERCENT BY MONTHS

CLASS - FIRE - CURE
ky

35 55 10
TENN 7 72 n
vA 16 48 29 ?

CLASS - AIR-CURED
IND 23 43 32 2
KY 24 46 29 1
“OV
Wo 33 36 31
NC 35 49 16
OHIO 20 31 46 3

TENN

A/ MO SALES ARE NOT COMPLETE FOR THE 1987 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

18

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982


Southern Maryland Type 32 growers produced 44.3 million pounds of tobacco (20.1 thousand
metric tons), Co percent above 1980. More acreage harvested, better average yield and the
addition of some acreage in South Carolina accounted for the larger production. The 1981
production is the second greatest of record. Average yield was a record high, 1294 pounds per
acre. The previous record high of 1275 pounds per acre was established in 1978. Growers
harvested 34.2 thousand acres (13.9 thousand hectares) in 1981 compared with 24.0 thousand acres
(9710 hectares) one year earlier.

Oark-Air Cured output totaled 16.3 million pounds (7410 metric tons), 2 percent less than in
1980. Area harvested increased 5 percent from last year but average yield was down 117 pounds
per acre.

All cigar-t production is placed at 63.4 million pounds (28.8 thousand metric tons), §
percent more thor in 1980. Cigar filler and binder production are up 10 and 3 percent,
respectively, while cigar wrapper production fell 9 percent.

COTTON, 1981 REVISED: Cotton production in the U.S. totaled 15.6 million bales in 1981, 41

percent more than in 1980 and 7 percent above 1979 production. Upland
cotton accounted for slightly less than 15.6 million bales and American-Pima 79.6 thousand bales
of the 1981 production. The increase from 1980 in a1] cotton production resulted from 5 percent
more harvested acreage and an average yield per acre of 543 pounds, just 4 pounds less than the
record high yield set in 1979. Growing conditions were generally favorable throughout the
producing belt with the exception of the northern part of the Delta where excessive rainfal)
resulted in planting delays and high acreage abandonment. The abnormally low abandonment--3.4
percent for the U.S.--reflects both favorable growing conditions and excellent harvesting
weather.

The 1981 planted acreage was 14.3 million acres (5.80 million hectares), 1 percent below 1980
plantings. Harvested acreage totaled 13.8 million acres (5.60 million hectares), 5 percent more
than the previous year. Average yield per harvested acre for Upland cotton was 542 pounds, 140
pounds above 1980 but 5 pounds below the record high yield established in 1979. American-Pima
average yield per acre, at 659 pounds, was down 39 pounds from the previous year.

The Bureau of Census reported 15,149,546 running bale$ ginned during the 1981 season, 40
percent above 1980. Ginnings totaled 15,626,701 equivalent 480-pound net weight bales.

The preliminary 1981 season average price for lint is 54.7 cents per pound, down 20.0 cents
from 1980. Value of lint and seed for the 1981 crop totaled $4.67 billion, 2 percent above the
previous year.

COTTONSEED: The 1981 cottonseed production, at 6.40 million tons (5.80 million metric tons),
exceeded 1980 production by 43 percent. Preliminary season average price is $87.50
per ton compared with $128.00 in 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Changes in U.S. orange production between the May 1 forecast and final production have
averaged 4.52 million boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 1.21 million boxes in 1973-74
to 11.6 million boxes in 1976-77.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1981-82 crop projection for Florida FCOJ yield is
1.27 gallons per box at 42.0 degree brix equivalent,
down slightly from the April 1 projection of 1.28 gallons per box. The final yield for the
1980-81 crop was 1.21 gallons per box at 43.4 degrees equivalent.

CHYRUS HARVEST AND UTILIZATION: By May 1, there were 139 million boxes, or 74 percent, of the
orange crop harvested compared with 71 percent on May 1, 1981.
Processors had used 76 percent of the oranges harvested by May 1 this year, compared with 82
percent a year ago.

Grapefruit harvest was 85 percent complete by May 1 compared with 90 percent on the same
date last year. Processors had used 61 percent of the total crop harvested to May 1, the same
at this time Jast year.

Lemon harvest was 75 percent complete on May 1, the same a year earlier. Processors had
used 61 percent of the crop harvested by May 1 this year, compared with 67 percent as of the
same date last year.

CITRUS CROP - HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO MAY 1

1981-82

cROP

:PROCESSED ; TOTAL

THOUSAND BOXES

ES 31,553 143,129 174,682 70,898 33,860 105,027 138,887 48,963
GRAPEFRUIT: 23,932 36,984 60,916 6,944 24,022 37,621 61,643 11,057
LEMONS 7,895 15,805 23,700 8,100 7,476 11,846 19,322 6,278

GRAPEFRUIT: U.S. grapefruit production forecast continues at 72.7 million boxes (2.68 million
metric tons), up 7 percent from last season.

The Florida forecast is 49.0 million boxes, unchanged from April 1 but 3 percent less than
the 1980-81 crop. As of May 1, harvest was 93 percent complete compared with 96 percent a year
ago.

The Texas crop remains at 13.0 million boxes, nearly double the harvested production for
last season. Harvest was 95 percent complete by May 1 compared with 80 percent a year ago.

California prospects, at 7.90 million boxes, are unchanged from April 1 but 2 percent below
last season. Harvest of Desert Valley grapefruit is slow, only 38 percent complete, while
Picking of the “other Areas" crop is expected to begin in late May. Harvest has been delayed in
al? areas but quatity of fruit on trees remains most?y good. The Arizona crop forecast
continues at 2.80 million boxes, the same as harvested in 1980-81. Harvest was 73 percent
complete as of May 1.

Changes in U.S. grapefruit production between the May 1 forecast and final production have
averaged 1.25 million boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 260 thousand boxes in 1980-81
to 2.10 million boxes in 1976-77.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona lemon crop is expected to total 25.6 million boxes (883
thousand metric tons), down 3 percent from April 1 and 19 percent less than last
season's record high output. The production forecast for California is now 19.0 million boxes,
down 3 percent from the April 1 forecast and 23 percent Tess than last season's record high
Production. Picking is active in southern coastal areas and the San Joaquin Valley, and is now
complete in the desert areas. The May 1 Arizona crop forecast is 6.60 million boxes, 6 percent
below both April 1 and the 1980-81 crop. Arizona harvest is virtually complete.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Winter wheat was rated fair to good in the major producting areas. However, crop
development was generally later than normal. As of May 2, winter wheat was 13 percent headed in
the 15 major producing States, compared with 35 percent last year. In Kansas, stands are heavy
with virtually no insect or disease problems, although the western and southwestern areas, in
particular, need rain. Rain in late April improved crop prospects in Oklahoma and Texas where
conditions were deteriorating because of lack of moisture. In Texas, 42 percent of winter wheat
was headed as of May 2, the same as last year. Wheat was in generally good condition in Montana
with adequate to excellent soil moisture in most areas of the State. Winterkili was limited in
Nebraska, but conditions in the Southwestern Panhandle are extremely dry. Varying amounts of
winterkill in South Dakota resulted in reseeding of some fields. Major winter wheat areas in
South Dakota could use additional precipitation. In Washington and Oregon, warm temperatures in
late April combined with adequate moisture to produce generally favorable conditions.

RELIABILITY OF MAY 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECAST

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based on mail and objective yield
surveys conducted just prior to May 1. The mail surveys provided information on abandonment to
date and condition of the crop which was used to estimate acres for harvest. Yield estimates are
based on counts and measurements in a probability sample of wheat fields and on the condition of
the crop as reported by farmers. Both surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling errors
common to all surveys. This production forecast is also subject to change due to growing
conditions that may affect the crop after May 1.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 winter wheat production forecast,
the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This
is done by expressing the deviation between the May 1 production forecast and the final estimate
as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1962-1981 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean
Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the
current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The “Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is 6.7 percent.
This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 2.06 billion
bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 6.7 percent or approximately
138 million bushels. Chances are 9 out 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference
will not exceed 11.6 percent or approximately 239 million bushels. Differences between the May
1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged
94.6 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 237 million bushels. The May 1 forecast was
below the final estimate in 7 years and above in 3 years. This does not imply that the May 1
winter wheat forecast in a particular year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

ORANGES: The Nation's orange crop is forecast at 188 million boxes (7.30 million metric tons),
down 1 percent from last month's forecast and 24 percent less than the 1980-81 season.

Production in Florida is placed at 130 million boxes, unchanged from the April 1 forecast
but 25 percent below last season's total. With harvest of Florida's early and mid-season
varieties complete, the production estimate is 74.0 million boxes, 30 percent below the 1980-81
crop. The Valencia crop forecast continues unchanged at 56.0 million boxes, 16 percent below
the 1980-81 production. Harvest of Valencias was 5] percent complete by May 1.

Crop prospects for all oranges in California, at 49.0 million boxes, are 2 percent below
last month's forecast and 26 percent less than last season. The Navel orange crop forecast at
28.0 million boxes, is unchanged from April 1 but 28 percent below the record high crop
harvested in the 1980-81 season. Harvest of California's Navel crop is nearly complete.
California's Valencia crop forecast is now 21.0 million boxes, down 1 million from last month.
Harvest is 9 percent complete.

Texas orange production, forecast at 5.90 million boxes, is down 3 percent from April 1 but
36 percent above the 1980-81 season. Harvest is 96 percent complete. The Arizona all orange
forecast is 2.95 million boxes, 4 percent above the April 1 forecast and 13 percent more than
last season's production. Arizona's orange harvest is 86 percent complete.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

19

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982



The forecast for the Hastings area of Florida is 5.38 million cwt, 2 percent less than last
month's forecast but 7 percent above the 1981 output. Harvest in the Hastings area increased in
Yate April and should be at a peak during most of May. Quality and size from early fields have
been good. However, early yields have been lower than expected and heavy rains during late
April could cause additional problems,

North Carolina's production is estimated at 2.21 million cwt, 3 percent above last month and
7 percent more than the 1981 production. Although the crop is later than normal, adequate soil
moisture and recent warm temperatures have improved crop prospects. The Texas spring potato
crop is forecast at 1.14 million cwt, the same as last month but 36 percent above the short 1981
crop. In the Rio Grande Valley, the crop has developed well under mild temperatures and harvest
is underway. Stands in the Winter Garden area are in good condition. In the Knox-Haskell area
potatoes are developing well and harvest is expected to begin in mid-June. Alabama's production
forecast is up 280 thousand cwt from April 1, due to an increase in both the forecast harvested

acres and yield.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: The May 1 pasture and range feed condition for the 48 contiguous States

was 79 percent, the same as a year ago and the 1971-80 average.
Conditions were less favorable than a year ago in 26 States, better in 20, and equal to last
year in 2 States. The Great Plain's States reported dry conditions despite some showers late in
the month. Cool temperatures limited forage growth from North Dakota to Oklahoma. During April
conditions in Colorado took a turn for the worse east of the Divide. Lack of any appreciable
spring moisture on the eastern Plains caused the State average to drop to 62 percent compared
with 73 percent a year earlier. Strong winds, and lack of precipitation in western Texas and
New Mexico left grazing land in poor condition. All States west of the Rocky Mountains reported
good to excellent conditions. However, grass growth was slowed by cool temperatures, although
abundant soil moisture was available in most areas. East of the Mississippi, only Florida, Ohio
and West Virginia showed pasture conditions less than good to excellent. Conditions in these
three States were rated poor to fair.

HAY STOCKS ON FARMS: May 1 hay stocks on farms totaled 25.2 million tons (22.8 million metric
tons), 1 percent Jess than 198] and 25 percent below the record high

May 1, 1980 stocks. Disappearance during the January through April period totaled 74.8 million

tons (67.8 million metric tons). This compares with 66.6 million tons (60.4 million metric tons)

during the comparable period last year and the record high disappearance of 74.9 million tons

(67.9 million metric tons) in 1980.

The large 1982 disappearance resulted from a severe winter and a rather late spring requiring
heavier than normal supplemental feeding.

TOBACCO 1981 REVISED: Production of ai] tobacco in the U.S. in 1981 totaled 2.06 billion pounds

(935 thousand metric tons), 15 percent above 1980's 1.79 billion pounds
(810 thousand metric tons). Most of the increase in production came from Varger burley and
flue-cured crops. Area harvested, at 974 thousand acres (394 thousand hectares), rose 53
thousand from the 921 thousand acres (373 thousand hectares) harvested in 1980. Yield averaged
2116 pounds per acre, 176 pounds above 1980. The 1981 average yield is 6 pounds below the
record high in 1970 and the second highest yield of record.

Flue-cured production, at 1.17 billion pounds (530 thousand metric tons), was 8 percent
above the 1.09 billion pounds (493 thousand metric tons) produced in 1980. Acreage was down 3
percent from 1980 but average yield rose 10 percent. Average yields were up in all producing
states. Production changes by types follow: type 11, 13, and 14 up 30, 10 and 9 percent,
respectively; type 12, down 12 percent.

Burley production is placed at 730 million pounds (331 thousand metric tons), nearly
one-third higher than 1980's crop, and the second highest of record. Increased acres harvested
in all states, and improvements in average yield from 1980 for all but two states, resulted in
the larger production. Acreage harvested ‘totaled 331 thousand acres (134 thousand hectares), 20
Percent above the previous year. Yield average 2203 pounds per acre compared with 2027 pounds
per acre in 1980.

Fire-cured production rose 4 percent from the previous year to 37.6 million pounds (17.0
thousand metric tons). Production gains from 1980 in types 21 and 23 more than offset decline
in production of type 22. Average yield per acre, at 1524 pounds, dropped 35 pounds below
1980. Acreage harvested was up 6 percent from the previous year.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USOA




CROP PRODUCTION (Q»

May 10, 1982 Statistical Reporting
3:00 P.M. ET Service

U.S. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at 2.06 billion bushels (56.2 million
metric tons), as of May 1, 2 percent less than last year's record high
production of 2.10 billion bushels (57.1 million metric tons). The 90
percent confidence interval for this production forecast is 1.82 to 2.30
billion bushels.

CITRUS production is forecast at 12.6 million tons (11.4 million metric tons),
T percent less than last month's forecast and 17 percent less than last
season.

ORANGE production is forecast at 188 million boxes (7.30 million metric tons),
flown 1 percent from last month's. forecast and 24 percent less than the
1980-81 season. As of May 1, 74 percent of the U.S. orange crop had been
harvested.

GRAPEFRUIT production continues to be forecast at 72.7 million boxes (2.68 mil-
Tfon metric tons), up 7 percent from Jast season. By May 1, 85 percent of
the crop had been picked.

LEMON production for California and Arizona is expected to total 25.6 million
Boxes (883 thousand metric tons), down 3 percent from last month's estimate
and 19 percent less than last season's record high output. Lemon harvest
was 75 percent complete on May 1.

PEACH production in the nine Southern States is forecast at 340 million pounds
(154 thousand metric tons), 53 percent less than last year.

CrPr 2-2 (5-82) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


HAY STOCKS ON FARMS - MAY 1

1981 1981

1,000 TONS
164 105
43 32
31 22
114 13
1,389 791
89 108
479 809
502 347
440 694
745 289
795 590
4 4
46 4]
2,036 1,620
335 520
993 1,601
453 328
248 175
325 246
578 508
172 156 106
3,767 2,760 2,211
489 592 341
33,346 25,429 25,151

PASTURE AND KANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

3 AVEWAGE STATE AVERAGE & 1981 % 1982
3 1971es0  f 3 1971-80 3 :
3 PERCENT
ALA NEV : 60 1 90
ARLZ NH : 68 oT 67
Ang Nod 3 83 83 8s
CALIF N MEX 8 70 60 72
coLo uy : hy Bo 80
usa uC 3 86 a1 84
VEL : N OAK 3 68 47 71
FLA 3 OHIU ¢ 66 92 79
BA : GKLA 2 78 74 75
Tua 82 92 as tr UREG 3 83 94 85
fut 2 8h $9 81 r3 PA z 84 a7 82
Tou z 37 93 ol R : 90 95 98
Tuva 3 ol os To : 79 m1 84
Kaun 2 BB 72 7a : 75 5e 74
KY 3 SB Se we : 86 89 85
LA > 00 Te 84 : 68 79 73
MAINE 3 ag oT oT 2 7 86 80
“D : BR a4 82 : 88 7 7
MASS. 3 87 9S 94 : B84 as 83
“iCa fe 92 86 3 a1 87 86
oli : ot ou Te $ 77 8S T2
J 3 3s 63 BS 3 83 86 80

3 33 7 74 3 82 m1 75

3 78 03 60 3
Ete 3 be bs 4 19 79 79

L/ eORD Tu ExCEebktT, 80 AW GVER # PU FAIR 659793 VERY POOR, 50-643 SEVERE
DROUGHT, 350497 EXTREME URVUGHT, UNDER 35,

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


STATE

ferrocene

AREA HARVESTED

WINTER WHEAT

IND 3
1982 ¢

1960 ¢

YIELO

~ 1ND t ey “—

1963 3 1962 &

OHIO
OKLA
OREG
PA
sc
8 DAK
TENN
TEX
UTAH
vA
WASH
weva
wIs
WYO
vs V/

250
192
950
450
5,200
242
286
2,750
9

88
295
51,490

25.5
80.0
36.0
74,0
32.0
40.0
33.0
57.0
46.0
49.0
38.0
35.0
39.5
28,0
38.0
44.0
34,0
31.0
43.0
25.5
36,0
65.0

BUSHELS

44.0
83.0
4

30.0
83.0
40,0
73,0
22.0
39.0
34,0
50.0
42.0
44,0
38,0
35.0
37.0
45.0
39,0
43.0
36.0
32,0
40.0
33.0
34.0
70.0
41.0
21.0
38,0
35.0
28.0
42.0
32,0
57.0
34,0
34,0
24.0
40,0
25.0
31,0
40.0
55.0
35.0
47.0
22,0

PRODUCTION

1980 ¢

6,630
4,800
32,870
77,700
107,200
1,080
19,600
51,870
60

13,825
1,876
3,686

35,200
a6

7300
69,010
54,825
108,300
780
1,849
10/500

6,260

1,000 BUSHELS

1983

24,860
3,569
67,650
92,400
83,875
1,720
46,010
55,680
92,500
62,100
4,485
305,000
28,560
11,550
5,617
41,500
4,625
2

6,250

IND
1982

22,800
4,980
76,000
78,110
60,500
1,716
44,200
47,000
63,840
48,400
3,990
4$5,000
24,050
13,950
5,811
27,520
3,096
28,800
90,800
74,580

35.7 1,895,383 2,098,719 2,063,336

1/ REVISED 1982 PLANTEO AREA IN THOUSAND ACRES?
CALIF 1,150 AND U. Se 66,125.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

: WINTER SPRING :
YEAR : HARD SOFT 1 HARD : TOTAL

: RED RED = WHITE = REO DURUM = WHITE ¢

:

t 1,000 BUSHELS

:
1979 tT 1,086,918 316,698 195,618 362,891 106,654 63,283 2,134,060
1980 3 2,181,126 435,347 278,910 311,498 108,395 59,080 2,374,306
1981 3 1,115,465 673,316 309,938 467,566 185,940 41,211 2,793,436
1982 1/ 192100945 589,702 262,649

AY 1, ED [ARIETY
THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA BECOME AVAILABLE.
OCCUR BEGINNING WITH THE JUNE REPORT.

SOME ADJUSTMENTS MAY

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 nv CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production in May is forecast at 4.50 million pounds (2040 metric
tons), up 20 percent from Apri? but down 9 percent from a year ago. Fresh production

will continue increasing into June and is expected to peak in July at 5.15 million pounds (2340

metric tons). The output for August is expected to decrease 11 percent from the July forecast.

Fresh papaya production in April is estimated at 3.76 million pounds (1710 metric tons),
down 15 percent from March and 28 percent below April a year ago. The cold, wet winter is
mainly responsible for lower yields this year and will have a negative effect on production for
the remainder of the year. Total area in crop fell 3 percent in April from the previous month,
while area harvested fell by 4 percent to 2180 acres (880 hectares).

Weather conditions began to improve in April allowing farmers on to contain the phytophthora
blight. Tree losses, however, have already been heavy. Overall, Kauai’s total acreage has been
decreased a minimum of 28 percent since the first of the year.

Despite the improving weather, further tree losses are ‘anticipated. Phytophthora has also
shown up on fields on Hawaii island, the State's major growing area. Tree losses there have
been relatively light and with the advent of good weather the problem is expected to be brought
under control.

PEACHES: The first forecast of peach production in the nine Southern States for 1982 is placed

at 340 million pounds (154 thousand metric tons), 53 percent below last year's
production and 42 percent less than the 1980 crop. The peach crop in these States is sold
predominantly for fresh market and normally accounts for well over one-third of the U.S. peach
production which is utilized fresh.

Smaller crops are expected in all nine Southern States except Mississippi. South Carolina,
at 170 million pounds, is 60 percent below last year. A late March freeze severly damaged most
orchards in the Peidmont and northeast areas of the state. Georgia prospects are also poor,
with the crop forecast at 95.0 million pounds, 32 percent below last year. Record high
temperatures in early spring caused the trees to bud and bloom early. This was followed by a
series of freezes which destroyed much of the crop in the northern part of the State. Hail and
frost reduced the prospects fn Texas and Alabama. Freezing weather reduced the prospects in
Arkansas, Louisiana, North Carolina and Oklahoma.

SWEET CHERRIES: The first forecast of California sweet cherry production is placed at 12.0
thousand tons (10.9 thousand metric tons), down 63 percent from 1981 and 73

percent from 1980.

Rains during bloom resulted in a light set and reduced production prospects. Harvest of the
early varieties should begin in mid-May.

ALMONDS: The first forecast for the 1982 California almond crop is 360 million pounds (163

thousand metric tons) shelled basis, 12 percent below last year's record high
production but 12 percent above the 1980 crop. Damage due to inclement weather, including rain,
wind and some hat], caused nut set to be variable throughout the Sacramento and San Joaquin
Valleys. Prospective yields generally improve progressively from north to south in the Central
Valley but are spotty and inconsistent between varieties. Bud failure resulting from heat
stress in 198] has also had some adverse effect on this year's crop.

POTATOES: Spring potato production in the U.S. is forecast at 20.9 million cwt (948 thousand

metric tons), 1 percent more than both April 1 forecast and 1981 production.
Improved prospects in Alabama and North Carolina were only partially offset by decreases
projected for California and Florida. Yield is expected to average a record high 268 cwt per
acre. This is 2 cwt above the previous record high set last year, but 1 cwt less than the April
1 forecast. Acreage intended for harvest is estimated at 78.0 thousand acres (31.6 thousand
hectares), up 1 percent from last month and equal to the 1981 harvested acreage.

Production in California is estimated at 9.82 million cwt, 1 percent less than the April 1
forecast and 5 percent below last year. Digging of California's early spring crop began the
first week of May. Yields in early fields have been reduced slightly by dry weather and plant
damage from sand abrasion resulting from recent warm winds. Later planted fields do not appear
to have been affected. The majority of the crop is making excellent progress and harvest is
expected to continue on a normal schedule.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PERCENT

ALA : 0 3 18 27 26 YW 3 4 3 2 1 1 99
ARIZ : 0 1 3 18 10 4 a0] 3 5 5 4 5 89
ARK : 0 6 31 33 12 6 3 2 2 1 1 1 98
CALIF : 0 0 7 27 16 8 6 4 6 5 5 5 89
GA 2 (0 2 19 18 22 8 8 7 5 5 3 1 98
LA : 0 1 230039 7 13 2 1 2 1 0 0 99
MISS 0 0 35 35 13 8 2 1 1 2 1 1 99
MO 0 a2] 46 = 33 4 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 99
OKLA 0 0 4 39 26 15 5 2 1 1 1 1 95
sc 0 9 #4 5 12 16 3 1 3 3 2 1 99
TENN 0 1% 42 25 9 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 99
TEX 10 5 4 W 16 4 ral 7 2 2 2 1 95
us 3/ 3 3 13 23 15 W 10 4 3 3 3 3 94

COTTON: ESTIMATED PERCENT PRODUCTION SOLD EACH MONTH OF THE MARKETING YEAR 1981 CROP-
PRELIMINARY 1/

THROUGH
4

ALA : 0 2 2 19 8 5 3 1 50
ARIZ : 9 1 8 4 Ww 18 10 at} 86
ARK : 0 2 W W 8 3 4 3 42
CALIF 3 0 0 12 22 13 12 8 3 70
: 0 2 8 8 7 4 3 2 34
LA 3 0 1 15 20 19 9 2 2 68
MISS tt) 4 18 4 4 8 4 3 65
M0 5/ :
OKLA . Q 8 2 2 WwW Ay % Ww 56
SC 5/ 3
TENN 3 0 4 20 25 YW 3 1 1 65
TEX 3 6 5 6 4 15 9 3 61
us 3/ 1 3 9 13 4 2 8 5 65

V/ PERCENTS OF FOUR-TENTHS OR LESS SHOWN AS "0.

2/ EXCLUDES UNREDEENED LOANS ON AUG 1, 1981.

3/ A SMALL PERCENT FOR JUL IS INCLUDED IN AUG.

J/ EXCLUDES UNREDEEMED LOANS AND COTTON STILL IN PRODUCER'S HANDS ON APR 1, 1982.
By DISCONTINUED IN 1987.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250 U.S. OZPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE

AGA 101

FIRST CLASS

UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE pOSTAQE AND FEES PAID

OFFICIAL BUCINESS
PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE, $300

To stop meting [CJ or to change your
address ([) send this sheet witn label
intact, showing new address, to Crop
Meporting Board Pubsications, SRS, U.8.
Dept. of Agricutture, Rm 5829 South
Building, 14th & Independence Ave. 8.W.,
Wash. D.C. 20260.



APRIL WEATHER SUMMARY

Nearly all of the Nation was cooler than normal. Average temperatures for April were 4 to 6
degrees cooler than normal through the central and upper Mississippi Valley, the Tennessee
Valley, the Ohio Valley, the western Great Lakes region, and parts of the Pacific Northwest.
Cool weather slowed crop development in southern areas and delayed early planting elsewhere.
Precipitation in the Southeast was well above normal delaying fieldwork and crop development.
Ory weather in parts of western Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and eastern Colorado stressed winter

wheat.

The first three days of April were dominated by an intense low pressure system that deepened
in the central Plains and moved east-northeastward. Record low pressures were measured as the
storm moved through the western Great Lakes region. Severe weather, including tornadoes, hail,
and heavy rain accompanied the trailing cold front as it moved through the East.

FIRST WEEK...Another late winter storm moved from the central Plains through the Northeast.
Severe weather was not so widespread as with the previous storm but moderate rain spread through
the Ohio Valley and the northeast. Unseasonably cold weather plunged southward behind the storm
and carried freezing temperatures deep into the Southeast threatening fruit trees from Virginia
to Georgia and Alabama. Late in the week moderate to heavy rain accompanied thunderstorms in

the Southeast.

SECOND WEEK...Storm centers stayed wel) to the north allowing a general warming trend over
much of the Nation. Early in the week showers and thunderstorms were accompanied by high wind
in northern California where heavy rain caused Tocal flooding. Severe weather was frequent
through the Mississippi Valley and a few thunderstorms were reported in the Northeast. At the
end of the week, a cold outbreak pushed over the Plains and freezing temperatures reached the

Texas Panhandle.

THIRD WEEK...Cool weather over the Pacific Northwest gradually spread over the Plateau to
the southern Plains. Freezing temperatures reached the coast of the Pacific Northwest but
damage to blooming fruit trees was minor. Moist air flow from the Gulf of Mexico triggered
showers and thunderstorms from central Texas through the Southeast. Some heavy downpours caused
local flooding from central Texas to Alabama and in southern Florida. Persistant rain in the

South delayed fieldwork.

FOURTH WEEK...A complex frontal system moved slowly eastward from the Plains and spread
precipitation from the Mississippi River Valley to. the east coast. Thunderstorms across the
South poured heavy rain and some hail from Arkansas to Georgia. Only light rain occurred
through the midwest and the northern Plains. Spring planting and other fieldwork advanced
rapidly. Late in the week, a series of weather systems moving through the southern Rockies
triggered showers over the high Plains from western Texas to Wyoming. Rainshowers were mixed
with snow in parts of Colorado and Wyoming. The precipitation was timely in the very dry
portions a winter wheat growing areas. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather
Facility.

APRIL FIELDWORK

Untimely rains and wet fields slowed land preparation and spring planting during most of
April. Clear weather throughout the Corn Belt during the last week of the month allowed fields
to dry further and permitted farmers to make up for time lost in previous weeks, However, in
the Southeast continued wet conditions kept fieldwork in check, wiping out some of the earlier
leads in planting progress and promoting plant diseases. Much-needed rain fell in the central
and southern Plains at the end of April providing moisture for winter wheat which was in the

peak water-use stage.

Corn planting was active in the South at the beginning of April and got underway in the Corn
Belt during the last week of the month--slightly Tater than norma}. Although planting in the
Corn Belt got off to a slow start because of wet conditions, farmers were able to make rapid
Progress during the last week of April. By May 2, 20% of the acreage had been seeded in the 17
major producing States, only 2 points behind both last year and average. Planting was underway
in all States except Michigan and South Dakota.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEACHES

14.0 22.0 13.0
28.0 37.0 26.0
120.0 140.0 95.0
4.0 6.0 5.0
2.5 3.0 3.0
45.0 40.0 2.0
8.0 13.0 7.0
355.0 430.0 170.0
12.5 34.0 19.0
589.0 725.0 340.0

V4 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION PI

1981-33.1.

SPRING POTATOES

ANVESTED

4 YIELD ’ PRODUCTION
STATE i a oe. —_
3 : t Ino 4 8 + INOS : 3 IND
2 1980 «= 1981 $= 198A S 1980 4981s 19828 1980 2 = 198E E1982
’ 1000 ACHES cer 1,000 cur .
1
ma : 5.0 4.0 ae 125 a0 180 eas T20
ARIZ 3 4.4 5.2 4,7 290 260 205 1,276 1,436
CALLE t 22.5 26.4 25.5 590 390 365 8,775 10,296
FLA ~ HASTINGS 1660 20.5 2165 195 285 250 39510 5-023
5 pTner % 8 1.0 162 170 240 220 136 240
ta s 1.7 1.6 Aad 70 80 80 219 128
ac ’ 13,0 1363 13.8 140 155 160 1,820 2,062
TEX ’ 6.2 660 6.0 330 140 190 Bue ga0
ws ’ 1166 76.0 78.0 238 206 208 © 17,067 — 200765 207898

“17 REVISED 1982 PLANTED ACREAGE IN THOUSAND ACRES? ~
4.3 ALABAMA ANO 79.2 U. Sy
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SWEET CHERRIES

PRODUCTION

AUG TOTAL —
1981

STATE

CALIF

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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VW

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982


PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

May 1, 1982
le
Lh
~
v3 ==ZNZ-

iN
2) e000 to exceitent

Poor to fir
EB very poor _

drought "As reported

Zh seme crop Corospondents

EER exveme croughe

‘sindicates current supply of pasture feed for grazing on nor-irigated pastures and ranges relative to that expected
‘from existing stands under very favorable weather conditions,

USOA ‘SRS

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*

May 1, 1981
Ze
~ — —
"y

2 co00 to excetent q
Poor to far 4
3 very poor 4
LAD) severe drought “As reported by
P=] de Crop Correspondents.
‘indicates current supply of feed for grazr
macate ‘supply — grazing on non-irrigated pastures and ranges relative to that expected
USDA srs

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 3

CROP REPORTING

BOARD, SRS, USDA




UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
{DOMESTIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

INDICATED

CROP AND UNIT

WINTER WHEAT BU : 58,589 57,720 35.8 35.7 2,098,719 2,063, 336
SPRING POTATOES CWT: 78.0 78.0 266 268 20,765 20,781 20,895
PEACHES 1/ 1B o: 725,000 340,000
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB: 407,000 360,000
HAY STOCKS ON FARMS TON : 25,429 25,151
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT : a 79
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 3 1980-81 1981-82 1981-82
BOX : 2 5 TET 850
GRAPEFRUIT “oy 67,860 72,700 72,700
LEMONS “ 31,800 26,500 25,600

1/ 9 SOUTHERN STATES. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1971-80 AVERAGE
IS 79 PERCENT. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

HECTARES. METRIC TONS
WINTER WHEAT 23.710 380 «23 358 710 «2.41 2.40 57 117 770 56 154 800
SPRING POTATOES 33 570 31570 29.83 30.02 941 880 942 610 947 780
PEACHES 1/ 328 850 184 220
ALMONDS (CALIF) 184 610 163 290
HAY STOCKS ON FARMS 23 068 800 22 816 600

CITRUS FRUITS 2/

GRAPEFRUIT
LEMONS

1980-81 1981-82 1981-82
9547 210 «= 7340-030 T 302 BX

0
2 502 920 2 678 010 2 678 010
1 095 880 913 540 882 690

1/ 9 SOUTHERN STATES. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION
OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information on

selected agricultural commodities.

These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting

Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

APPROVED:
Lo Zs o

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
W.-H. Walther, Chatrman,
G. L. Clampet, Secretary,

. W. Barrowman, R. L. Schulte,
» P. Small, M. A. Anderson,
. R. Blackson, J. S. Buche,

. D. Fenley, D. C. Johnson,
. W. Milton, 6. A. Nelson,

A. J. Olson.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS)

eee seen answer nnn nnn seen nnn nesee ene enesernne: om: oe oe

f) PRODUCTION
STATE 1 wecene: aoe wasene:
: TOTAL i] TOTAL t IND
' 1980 ’ 1981 4 1982
' 1,000 POUNDS
'
CALIF ' 322,000 4079000 360,000

PAPAYAS - HAWAII 1/

1982

: FORECAST
1982

1,000 POUNDS

4,920 4,440
5,210 3,760
4,950 4,500
5,961 5,100
5,348 5,150

HAWAIT

: 1,000 POUNDS
BANANAS i 630 ‘560 650 648 7.9 9.2 5.550 4,600 6,000

PAPAYAS 1/2/? 2,210 1,950 2,110 18.6 25.1 44,5 41,015 48,916 94,000
TARO 400 320 340 16.6 20.0 17,9 6,640 6,400 6,100

1/ YIELD FOR 1981 IS BASEO ON TOTAL PRODUCTION WHICH INCLUDES UNUTILIZED QUANTITIES WHILE YIELD FOR
PREVIOUS YEARS IS BASED ON UTILIZED PRODUCTION. THE UTILIZED YIELD FOR 1981 IS 30.1. THOUSAND POUNDS.

2/  UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD OF 30,400 THOUSAND POUNDS IS INCLUDED IN THE 1981
PRODUCTION.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

ALA V/ : 510 1,620 826

CONN A 3,300 3,200 1,595 1,764 5,262 5,645
FLA : 9,600 9,600 2,130 2,380 20,448 22,848
GA : 55,000 §5,000 2,010 2,200 110,550 121,000
IND : 7,300 8,300 2,300 2,265 16,790 18,800
ky : 200,900 234,600 2,094 2,172 420,662 509,576
LA : 80 50 700 900 56 45
MD : 23,000 23,000 1,100 1,300 25,300 29,900
MASS : 1,190 1,140 1,586 1,728 1,887 1,970
MO : 2,500 2,800 2,105 2,170 5,263 6,076
nc : 383,700 373,700 1,987 2,132 762,407 796,840
OHIO : 11,200 13,100 1,788 1,745 20,020 22,854
PA H 13,000 13,300 1,900 2,050 24,700 27,265
sc : 65,000 69,000 1,930 2,168 125,450 149,580
TENN : 64,760 78,650 1,728 2,053 111,931 161,463
VA : 65,380 73,340 1,635 2,153 106,875 157,873
W VA : 1,800 2,430
WIS 25,965 26,071

US 1,786,192 2,060, 236

SEASON AVERAGE PRICE PER
POUND RECEIVED BY FARMERS

1,000 DOLLARS

ALA 1/ : 135.8 1,122

CONN” : 661.0 580.3 34,781 32,758
FLA : 145.0 167.2 29,650 38,202
GA H 139.5 162.5 184,217 196,625
IND : 166.0 180.7 27,871 33,972
ky H 163.7 179.1 688,622 912,721
LA : 200.0 235.0 112 106
MD : 168.7 2/ 42,681 $2,355
MASS : 755.1 739.0 14,248 14,953
MO : 162.0 179.2 8,526 10,888
NC Hy 146.8 166.9 1,119,010 1,330, 201
OHIO 3 159.0 171.3 31,829 39,138
PA 3 87.0 80.0 21,489 21,812
sc t 139.5 164.9 175,003 246,602
TENN : 161.0 177.6 180,221 286,789
VA : 145.8 167.2 155,835 264,017
W VA : 165.5 178.0 2,979 4,325
WIS : 125.0 110.4 32,456 28,795

2,720,652 3,514,259

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP. 2/ EVALUATED AT 175.1 CENTS PER POUND, THE AVERAGE
SALES THROUGH MAY 4, 1982.

CROP PRODUCTION, MAY 1982 16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA