PRODUCTION Vv

Hy NI
1985 : 1986

1986 : 1984 : 1985 :

: POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF 27°: 200

IDAHO : 1,630 1,710 5,425 5,053 4,275
OREG 13650 © «6,958 «= 8,195.8 415
WASH 1,850 43,584 36,465 «32,190

1,795 56,167 49,713 44,880

1984-WASH 10,000; 1985~40,000.
2/ 1985 AND 1986 DATA COMBINED WITH WASHINGTON TO AVOID DISCLOSURE
OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

2 AVERAGE 1985

STATE AVERAGE : 1985 1986
: ts : 1975-84 :

1975-84

Hy PERCENT

ALA 2 75 90 49 zt) NEV 84
ARIZ 3 75 72 89 a2 NH : 85
ARK : 67 76 75 tt Nd z 75
CALIF : 78 76 89 t N MEX ¢ 76
2 83 : NY
: nc
N

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-793; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-20 NASS, USDA


U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250
September 16,. 1986
ERRATA

CROP PRODUCTION: CrPr 2-2 (9-86) released September 11, 1986 should be
changed as follows:

PAGE A-4: Should be changed as follows:

Domestic Units

From To
Area Planted Area Harvested Area Planted Area Harvested
1,000 Acres
Potatoes 1985
Total 1,406.1 1,358.6 1,409.1 1,361.1
Potatoes 1985
Fall 1,183.3 1,144.5 1,186.3 1,147.0
PAGE A-5:
From To
Yield Per Acre Production Yield Per Acre Production
Cwt 1,000 Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt
Potatoes 1985
Total 298 404,329 299 _ 407,109
Potatoes 1985
Fall 307 350,858 308 353,638
PAGE A-6:
Metric Units
From To
Area Planted Area Harvested Area Planted Area Harvested
Hectares
Potatoes 1985
Total 569,030 549,810 570,250 550,820
Potatoes 1985
Fall 478,870 - 463,170 480,080 464,180
PAGE A-7:
From To
Yield Per Hectare Production Yield Per Hectare Production

Metric Tons

Potatoes 1985
Total 33.36 18,339,960 33.52 18,466,060

Potatoes 1985 .
Fall 34.36 15,914,570 34.56 16,040,670



The southeastern States have been plaqued by the drought all year but
finally got some much needed rainfall and conditions improved dramatically.
Even with the improvement, most States in this area are in the very poor range
and Alabama, Delaware, and Maryland are actually in the severe drought range.
Throughout most of the rest of the country, rainfall has been ample and most
States are in the good to excellent, or poor to fair, range.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of Florida's citrus groves continued in very good to
excellent condition during August. Moisture is mostly ade-

quate with a few locations reporting a little less than normal rainfall.
There is an abundance of new growth showing on trees of all ages as a result
of almost ideal growing conditions. New crop fruit is making very good to
excellent progress. Some young tree grapefruit are being tested for September
harvest. The 1986-87 orange harvest is still several weeks away. Caretakers
have been very active controlling cover crops that have made excellent growth
this summer. Growers are completing their summer sprays and fertilizations in
most areas.

CALIFORNIA NAVEL ORANGES: The first forecast for the 1986-87 California Navel

orange crop is 40.0 million boxes, 20 percent higher
than production last season and 53 percent above the small crop harvested in
1984-85. The forecast is fractionally below the record high crop harvested
during the 1982-83 season. The 1986-87 California Navel orange crop is
Progressing normally with good quality expected. The fruit set is large with
individual fruit size average.

PEARS: The final forecast for the U.S. pear crop is 710.5 thousand tons (645

thousand metric tons), down 2 percent from August 1? and § percent less
than the 1985 crop. The decrease from the August 1 forecast reflects lower
prospects for California and Washington Bartlett pears.

Michigan's summer weather has been excellent for pear growth. Quality is
excellent and timely rains helped fruit size. Harvest is active. Harvest of
Bartlett's is drawing to a close in New York.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 450
thousand tons (408 thousand metric tons), down 3 percent from August 1 and 4
percent from last year. Harvest is complete in California. Quality was good
throughout the season. In Oregon, harvest is drawing to a close with the
Medford area complete and the Hood River Valley nearing completion. Harvest
is active in Washington and is expected to be complete in mid-September.

Other than Bartlett pears are forecast at 220 thousand tons (200 thousand
metric tons), unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 9 percent less than
last year's crop. Harvest is complete in California except for the Winter
Nellis Variety. Harvest is underway in Oregon and quality has been good.
Picking of winter pears has just begun in Washington.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 4.92 million tons (4.46 million

metric tons), down fractionally from the August 1 forecast and 12
percent below last year's production. Only the New York and Washington
forecasts have been changed from August 1.

California's production, at 4.45 million tons, is 14 percent below last
year. The California raisin variety grape forecast remains at 1.90 million
tons, 23 percent below 1985. Nearly 275 thousand tons of raisin type grapes
had been crushed for wine by September 1 compared with the three-year average
of 81.0 thousand tons by that date. The raisin harvest was in full swing
during the last week of August and first week of September. By September 5,
approximately 90 percent of the raisin crop had been placed on trays. Fresh
shipments of raisin grapes peaked in Yate August. Powdery mildew damage
required more selective picking than normal.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-10 NASS, USDA


RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

YEAR LONG GRAIN MEDIUM GRAIN : SHORT GRAIN ALL
1,000 CWT
96,029 35,304 7,477 138,610
100,938 28,680 6,424 136,042
93,358 29,766 4,337 127,461

1/__ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1986, RICE CLASS FORECASTS | ARE BASED ON A FIVE YE
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
1,030 630 27.0 19.0 28,770 27,810 11,970
3,700 3,450 26.5 18.0 101,400 98,050 62,100
240 230 30.0» .27.0 6,000 7,200 6,210
230 170 26.0 23.0 7,800 5,980 3,910
1,550 850 = 24.0 16.0 40,000 37,200 13,600
9,000 8,950 42.5 42.0 284,130 382,500 375,900
4,460 4,250 41.5 39.0 150,075 185,090 165,750
8,150 8,600 38.0 40.0 264,600 309,700 344,000
1,410 1,760 31.0 31.0 27,825 43,710 54,560
1,230 1,070 34.0 28.0 42,340 41,620 29,960
2,100 1,900 21.0 23.0 66,825 44,100 43,700
400 380 32.0 26.0 12,325 12,800 9,880
1,080 980 32.0 33.0 32,130 34,560 32,340
5,000 4,850 32.0 36.0 172,920 160,000 174,600
2,620 2,500 27.0 17.0 76,800 70,740 42,500
5,230 5,600 34.5 34.0 108,650 180,435 190,400
2,360 2,450 36.0 37.0 66,300 84,960 90,650
129 118 34.0 = 26.0 4,123 4,386 3,068
1,700 1,600 23.0 23.0 46,540 39,100 36,800
490 490 26.0 29.0 17,020 12,740 14,210
3,870 3,650 41.5 39.0 137,605 160,605 142,350
190 230 23.0 21.0 4,180 4,370 4,830
170 180 35.0 30.0 5,950 5,950 5,400
1,230 900 20.0 16.0 29,800 24,600 14,400
1,270 1,340 32.0 31.0 31,280 40,640 41,540
1,460 1,500 31.0 24.0 48,100 45,260 36,000
290 210 25.0 = 25.0 11,890 7,250 5,250
695 635 25.0 21.0 © 21,535 17,375 13,335
300 320 32.0 33.0 13,950 9,600 10,560
61,584 59,793 34.1 33.1 1,860,863 2,098,551 1,979,773

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-14 NASS, USDA


COFFEE

1,000 POUNDS
HAW 2,800 1,750 1,850

* PRODUCTION
CROP peeeeeee Beene ene ne nee eee eee
AND TOTAL 1/

z TONS

2

BARTLETT :
CALIF t 302,000 282,000 285,000
OREG : 44,000 75,000 55,000
WASH : 101,000 111,000 110,000
TOTAL : 447,000 468,000 450,000

EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
CALIF 2 10,000 10,500 10,000
OREG 2 106,000 118,000 105,000
WASH : 103,000 114,000 105,000
TOTAL t 219,000 242,500 220,000

ALL z
CALIF : 312,000 292,500 295,000
COLO 2/ : 4,600 6,000 1,500
CONN 2/ : 1,450 1,550 1,550
MICK z 11,000 8,000 11,000
NY : 20,000 16,000 24,500
OREG : 150,000 193,000 160,000
PA 2/ t 3,300 2,300 3,000
UTAR 2/ : 3,200 2,500 1,900
WASH t 204,000 225,000 215,000
us 3 709,550 746,850 710,450

v/s INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): US
1984-12,800, 1985-150.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

1,000 POUNDS

JUL : 3,725 4,025

2,380 5,134 4,080
AUG : 3,660 33975 25340 3,989 3,430

SEP > 35555 3,722 2,800
oct > 3,515 4,594 3,200
NOV : 3,615 3,383 3,800
DEC 3,690 35358 5,300

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL VTATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-24 NASS, USDA


PAGE A-17:

Fall Potatoes: 1985
Acres Harvested Yield Production
1,000 acres Cwt 1,000 Cwt
From To From To From To
Wis 61.0 63.5 350 380 21,350 24,130
Fal} Total 1,144.5 1,147.0 307 308 350,858 353,638
U.S. 1,358.6 1,361.1 298 299 404,329 407,109
PAGE A-18:

Fall Potatoes: 1985 Area Planted
1,000 Acres

From To
Wis 62.0 65.0
Total Fall 1,183.3 1,186.3
U.S. 1,406.1 1,409.1
PAGE 8-8: Potatoes - 1985 final should be changed as follows:
Text, Paragraph 1 From To
Line 1 404 million cwt 407 million cwt
Line 2 (18.3 million metric tons) (18.5 million metric tons)
Line 3 (550 thousand hectares) (551 thousand hectares)
Line 4 4 percent 5 percent
4 298 cwt 299 cwt

Line

Paragraph 2

Line 1 351 million cwt 354 million cwt

(15.9 million metric tons) (16.0 million metric tons)
Line 2 12 percent 13 percent

19 percent 20 percent
Line 3 1.14 million acres 1.15 million acres

(463 thousand hectares) (464 thousand hectares)
Line 4 high at 307 cwt high at 308 cwt
Line 5 21 cwt 22 cwt

27 cwt 28 cwt



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

P INDICATED:

CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 118.0 119.7 8,865,006 8,316,156 8,268,141
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN “ 3 66.7 64.7 1,112,571 860,034 873,374
OATS : 63.6 54.8 518,626 443,183 413,025
BARLEY . : 51.0 50.3 589,183 650,046 625, 3971
ALL WHEAT . 2 37.5 34.8 2,424,765 2,164,738 2,120,538
DURUM TM : 36.4 34.2 112,510 101,774 96,384
OTHER SPRING " 35.4 33.1 485,060 530,438 491,628
RICE CWT Vi 5,437 5,463 136,042 125,247 127,461
SOYBEANS FOR :
BEANS Bu: 34.1 33.1 2,098,531 1,979,468 1,979,773
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB : 2,810 2,331 4,122,787 3,552,750 3,466,350
ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 630 565 13,432.2 10,676.4 10,506.4
UPLAND "Vf: 628 561 13,277.1 10,477.4 10,312.4
AMER~PIMA . yl 891 928 155.1 199.0 194.0
COTTONSEED : $,279 4,205 4,152
DRY EDIBLE BEANS cw 1s: 1,498 1,566 22,268 25,950 25,697
POTATOES
SUMMER CWT: 244 218 27,798 21,811 21,972
TOTAL 2/ " 3 298 404,329
TOBACCO LB: 2,196 1,982 1,511,220 1,195,119 1,218,156
SUGARBEETS TON : 20.5 20.7 22,636 25,032 25,438

SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED = * 36.6 37.8 28,213 29,850 30,255
HOPS LB: 1,769 = 1,795 49,713 45,245 44,880
PASTURE AND
RANGE FEED 3/ PCT =: = 75 79
PEARS TON : 746.9 723.5 710.5
GRAPES so: 5,604.7 4,935.5 4,915.5
DRIED PRUNES :

(CALIF) moog 139.0 4/100.0 95.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) ao: 50.7 46.5 46.5
PECANS LB: 244,400 209,300
PISTASCHTO NUTS :

(CALIF) LB: 27,100 70,000
WALNUTS (caLIF) TON 219.0 195.0 190.0

1/ YIELD IN, POUNDS - 2/ 1985 REVISED. 3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION
AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1975-84 AVERAGE 1S 73 PERCENT. 4/ JUL 1, 1986.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE

INDICATE
1986 1/

WINTER WHEAT 35.4 1,827,195 1,532,526
ALL HAY 2.46 2.52 148,959 153,408
ALFALFA 3.32 3.52 85,291 92,243
ALL OTHER 1.83 1.76 63,668 61,165
POTATOES
WINTER 231 2,691 2,843
SPRING 261 22,986 19,763
FALL 2/ 350,858
APPLES, COM'L 7,949,000 7,845,000
PEACHES 2,148,300 2,277,400
SWEET CHERRIES 132.9 128.5
TART CHERRIES 286,200 186,000
APRICOTS 131.5 69.1
NECTARINES (CALIF) 211.0 195.0

PLUMS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF)
ALMONDS (CALIF)

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1985 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-5 NASS, USDA


POTATOES: Summer potato production is forecast at 22.0 million cwt (997

thousand metric tons), up one percent from the August 1 forecast
but 21 percent below last year. Harvested area is set at 101 thousand acres
(40.7 thousand hectares), down 12 percent from last year; while the average
yield is 218 cwt per acre, off 11 percent.

Drought conditions across the southeastern U.S. did considerable damage to
potato fields. Virginia harvest ended in late July with only one-third of
last year's crop. Rain in Tennessee came only at harvest time to dampen an
otherwise dismal season. North Carolina's output was down 35 percent; while
Delaware and Maryland lost 28 and 15 percent from last year's production
level, respectively. Yields in New Jersey turned out better than earlier
expected, thanks to extensive irrigation. Harvest was about 50 percent
complete by September 1. Alabama growers are making normal harvest progress,
but quality and sizes are Tower than average.

Most of Michigan had excellent weather for summer potatoes. Yields have
been high and quality excellent. Minnesota growers indicate lower yields than
on August 1, although weather has been generally favorable. Hail damaged some
fields in Nebraska, but Colorado potatoes escaped serious harm with fields
nearing maturity. New Mexico yields gained 35 cwt from last year, pushing
total production above last year, California harvest will continue to
mid-September. Quality is good to excellent.

POTATOES - 1985 FINAL: The 1985 potato crop produced a record high 404 mil-

lion cwt (18.3 million metric tons), 12 percent above
1984, Area for harvest, at 1.36 million acres (550 thousand hectares), gained
4 percent over 1984 white the average yield was record high at 298 cwt per
acre,

Fall potato production in 1985 totaled 351 million cwt (15.9 million
metric tons), up 12 percent from 1984 and 19 percent from 1983. Final
harvested area was 1.14 million acres (463 thousand hectares), up 5 percent
from 1984 and 9 percent from 1983. The average yield was record high at 307
cwt per acre, 21 cwt above 1984 and up 27 cwt. from 1983. Fall potatoes
accounted for 87 percent of the 1985 U.S. all potato production.

TOBACCO: All tobacco production is forecast at 1.22 billion pounds (553 thou-

sand metric tons), 19 percent below JTast year but 2 percent above
the August 1 forecast. Of the 16 producing States, prospective production
increased from August 1 in 7 States, decreased in 4, and was unchanged in 5.
The largest changes were in North Carolina,--up 10.7 million pounds, and
Tennessee,--up 10.0 million pounds. Compared with a year ago, area expected
to be harvested, at 615 thousand acres (249 thousand hectares), is off 11
percent. The expected average yield of 1982 pounds per acre compares with
2196 pounds in 1985.

North Carolina tobacco in the earlier drought-stricken areas responded to
August rains. fFlue-cured harvest is slightly behind last year and well behind
average.

Burley cutting in Kentucky was 45 percent complete by September 1,
slightly behind Tast year but wet? ahead of norma?. Much of the tate tobacco
has not been topped, so harvest will continue well into fall. Dark tobacco
harvest is well ahead of both last year and average.

Tennessee prospects jmproved during the month. An average yield of 1715
pounds per acre is expected compared with 1530 pounds as of August 1. However,
this yield is well below last year's 2065 pound average.

South Carolina's harvest was very active in August. It was 85 percent
complete by month's end, slightly behind the 5 year average of 90 percent.
Quality and grade continued to move up during the month.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-8 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

ORANGES, EARLY MID
& NAVEL
ARIZ
CALIF
FLA
TEX

us
ORANGES, VALENCIA
ARIZ

CALIF
FLA
TEX
us
ALL ORANGES
ARIZ
CALIF
FLA
TEX

us
TEMPLES

FLA
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE Fy
SEEDLESS
FLA
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORE
SEEDLESS

OTHER GRAPEFRUIT

FLA

ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ :
CALIF
DESERT
OTHER AREAS
TOTAL
FLA
TEX

us
TANGERINES
ARIZ
CALIF
FLA :
us 3
LEMONS
ARIZ
CALIF
DESERT
TOTAL
us
TANGELOS
FLA

BOXES

1985-86 +

1,000 UNITS 2/

650 600
26,200 33,300
55,000 64,200

0 200
81,850 98,300
1,800 1,700
26,200 21,500
48,900 54,800
0 110
76,900 78,110
2,450 2,300
52,400 54,800
103,900 119,000
0 310
158,750 176,410
3,250 2,950
24,800 25,600
16,300 18,000
2,900 3,150
3,000 2,400
3,800 3,600
5,000 4,800
8,800 8,400
44,000 46,750
0 220
55,800 57,770
700 700
1,680 1,800
1,050 1,150
3,430 3,650
6,000 3,250
2,550 1,600
19,800 15,100
25,800 18,350
3,600 2,950

UTILI

1986-87

25
40,000 982
2,475

Cy

3,482

68

983

2,201

)

3,252

93

1,965

4,676

0

6,734

146
1,054

693

PRODUCTION
TON EQUIVALENT

23
1,289
2,889

9
4,170
64
807
2,466
5
3,342
87
2,056
5,355
14
7,512
133

1,088

765
134

1,500

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR

SHOWN AND ENOS WITH YEAR HARVEST

1s COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF

OTHER-67, FLA-85,

TEX-80; LEMONS~76;

TANGELOS &

TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES- CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES

IN CALIFORNIA AND

ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN

TEXAS.

4/ DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DECEMBER 1983,

NO COMMERCIAL

SUPPLIES WERE HARVESTED FOR THE 1984-85 TEXAS CITRUS CROP

SEASON,

CROP PRODUCTION,
SEPTEMBER 1986

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


1985 SEEDING RATES: QUANTITY OF SEED USED PER ACRE FOR SPECIFIED CROPS,
BY STATES -- CONTINUED

WHEAT,

SOYBEANS SUNFLOWER WHEAT, OTHER : WHEAT,
4/ : DURUM : SPRING 3 WINTER

BUSHELS SEEDS BUSHELS BUSHELS BUSHELS
ALA H 80 1.8
ARIZ : 2.3 2.3
ARK : +80 1.9
CALIF: 2.3 2.1
COLO 1.6
CONN : 65
DEL : 1.00 1.9
FLA : 85 1.6
GA : «80 2.0
IDAHO : 1.6 1.3
ILL : 1.00 1.7
IND : 1.00 1.8
IOWA 3 95 1.6
KANS : +90 1.0
KY 7 90 1.8
LA : 295 1.6
MAINE 3
MD H 1.00 1.9
MASS :
MICH : 1.00 . 2.3
MINN 3 1.00 23,200 1.7 1.7 1.5
MISS : +80 1.7
MO : +95 1.7
MONT : 1.7 1.0 295
NEBR : 95 1.1
NEV : 1.9 1.6
NH 3
NJ : 1.30 2.0
N MEX : -70
NY : 2.3
NC $ +95 1.8
N DAK H 1.20 20,700 1.6 1.4 1.1
OHIO 3 1.20 2.1
OKLA : 80 1.2
OREG 1.6 1.3
PA 1.40 2.2
RI
sc 70 1.8
S_DAK 95 19,000 1.6 1.4 1.1
TENN ~80 2.1
TEX 90 22,000 1.1
UTAH 1.5 1.2
VT :
VA : 1.10 1.9
WASH : 1.4 1.1
W VA 1.9
WIS 1.30 1.8 1.8
Wyo 1.2 -80
us 96 20,654 1.60 1.38 1.22

1/ APPROXIMATELY 1,650 KERNELS PER POUND. 2/ FUZZY, NON-DELINTED EQUIVALENT
BASIS. 3/ SHELLED BASIS (MULTIPLY BY 1.33 TO OBTAIN UNSHELLED BASIS.)
4/ APPROXIMATELY 5,600 SEEDS PER POUND.

CROP PROOUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-27 NASS, USDA


WALNUTS
CALIF

PISTACHIO NUTS
CALIF
SOLD IN-SHELL
SOLD SHELLED
TOTAL

: 213,000

1/__ PRODUCTION BY TYPE OF SALE WILL BE
NUTS ANNUAL SUMMARY" TO BE RELEASED IN JANUARY 1987.

'MPROVED
ALA
ARK
FLA

PECAN.

1,830
2,000
3,600

20,000

169,230

4,000
400
2,800
20,000
3,500
1,500
1,070
23,000
1,900
5,000
63,170

: 13,000
1,500
5,000
120,000
5,000
5,500
24,000
2,900
25,000
5,500
25,000

232,400

219,000

1,000 POUNDS
(IN-SHELL BASIS)

PUBLISHED IN THE "NONCITRUS FRUIT AND

s

1,000 POUNDS

9,600
1,000
1,600
74,000
2,000
3,500
29,000
400
1,500
900
29,000
152,500

6,400
700
1,200
9,000
13,000
3,000
600
8,500
500
49,000
91,900

16,000
1,700
2,800
83,000
15,000
6,500
29,000
1,000
10,000
1,400
78,000

244,400

1/ BUDDED, GRAFTED, OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.

CROP PRODUCTION,
SEPTEMBER 1986

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
USDA

NASS,

190,000

Vy
Vv
70,000

10,400
1,100
3,000

72,000
2,500
5,000

24,000
1,800
2,000
1,800

28,000

151,600

2,600
700
2,000
13,000
12,500
2,500
1,200
10,000
1,200
12,000
57,700

13,000
1,800
5,000
85,000
15,000
7,500
24,000
3,000
12,000
3,000
40,000

209,300


Virginia's harvest has lagged behind the usual progress for all types.
Late transplanting, and now rain, has delayed harvest. The burley crop is
particularly late.

In Georgia, August was a complete reversal in weather. High temperatures
and severe drought changed to very cool and damp weather. On September 1, the
crop was 87 percent harvested, slightly below average.

SUGARBEETS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 25.4 million tons (23.1 mil-
lion metric tons), up 12 percent from last year and 2 percent

above the August 1 forecast. Prospective production increased from the
August 1 forecast in 5 States, decreased in 1 and remained unchanged in the
remaining 6 producing States. Compared with a year ago, the lYarge production
is primarily the result of more acreage but yields are also higher. Expected
area to be harvested is up 11 percent. Yields are expected to average 20.7
tons per acre compared with 20.5 in 1985.

Beets were planted late in the Red River growing area of North Dakota and
Minnesota due to rains. The growing season has been good with adequate
sunshine and moisture. The California crop has progressed well after a late
start due to a wet spring. Harvest will be on schedule in most areas.
sugarbeets made good growth during August. Irrigation supplies are adequate
with no major disease or weather problems reported. Michigan beets had timely
rains and cool nights in August. Sucrose content should be high. Harvest is
expected to start about September 25. The Nebraska crop is in good to
excellent condition but Cercospora Leafspot and Powdery Mildew are causing
some concern.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 30.3
million tons (27.4 million metric tons), up 1 percent from the
August 1 forecast and 7 percent from the 1985 crop. Average yield is forecast
at 37.8 tons per acre compared with 36.6 tons a year ago. Area for harvest,
at 801 thousand acres (324 thousand hectares), is up 4 percent from last year.

The Florida crop made excellent progress during the summer months after a
slow start. Cutting for sugar should get underway in October.

In Hawaii, weather conditions were generally favorable for crop development
during August. Mostly sunny skies prevailed over crop growth areas with light
to moderate showers at higher elevations.

Louisiana sugarcane is in good condition. Due to dry conditions, planting
this fall is ahead of normal. In Texas, the crop is making good progress in
the Rio Grande Valley. Rains throughout the summer alleviated irrigation
needs. Harvest is expected to begin on schedule in mid-October.

HOPS: Production is forecast at 44.9 million pounds (20.4 thousand metric

tons), down 1 percent from August 1 and 10 percent from 1985. Area for
harvest is estimated at 25.0 thousand acres (10.1 thousand hectares), unchanged
from the August 1 forecast. Yield, at 1795 pounds per acre, decreased 15
pounds from the August 1 forecast.

Decreased production prospects in Washington more than offset increases in
Idaho and Oregon. Alternating hot and cool spells and moisture shortages have
reduced production in Washington. In addition, there has been more than usual
disease and insect problems.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The September 17 pasture and range feed con-

dition is rated at 79 percent, 4 points
better than September 1 a year ago, 3 points above August 1, and 6 points
better than the 1975-84 average for the date. Condition improved from August 1
in 30 States, declined in 16, and remained unchanged in 2.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-9 NASS, USDA



AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP
AND

1 000 ACRES

WINTER 1/ : ALL 1/ 3/
CALIF : 5.4 CALIF 21.7 18.0
FLA : 7.8 cOLo 56.5 52.5
CONN 1.4 1.0
TOTAL 13.2 IDAHO-10 SW CO 30.0 17.0
-OTHER CO 325.0 293.0
SPRING 1/ INO 2. 4/ 4.9
ALA 5.4 MAINE 100.0 85.0
ARIZ 5.8 MASS 3.3 2.9
CALIF 30.5 MICH 46.0 42.0
FLA~HASTINGS 26.5 MINN 78.5 74.0
~OTHER 1.4 MONT 7.9 7.6
LA a7 NEBR 8.5 7.1
NC 15.0 NEV 9.0 8.0
TEX 6.7 N Y-LONG IS 13.0 9.0
UPSTATE 26.0 24.0
TOTAL 92.0 76.7 N DAK 145.0 128.0
OHIO 9.5 4/ 10.2
SUMMER OREG-MALHEUR 11.0 7.0
ALA : 8.0 7.5 ~OTHER CO 51.0 45.0
CALIF : 7.5 6.6 22.5 22.0
coLo 7.6 7.4 2.5 1.6
DEL 6.5 7.0 14.0 13.0
ILL 3.2 3.0 6.6 6.4
IND 2.1 2/ 4 al
IOWA 1.6 1.7 127.0 117.0
MD 1.6 1.7 62.0 58.0
MICH 14.0 13.0 2.4 2.2
MINN 6.7 6.3
NEBR 2.6 2.3 1,183.3 1,056.5
NJ 9.0 8.2
N MEX 10.5 9.6 1,406.1 1,247.8
NC 2.5 2.0
OHIO 1.2 2/
TENN 2.5 2.0
TEX 13.5 10.0
VA 17.0 14.0
7

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ COMBINED WITH "FALL".

3/ 1985 REVISED.
4/ INCLUDES AREAS PREVIOUSLY CLASSIFIED AS “SUMMER”.

TOBACCO

YIELD PRODUCTION

POUNDS

1,000 POUNDS

CONN 1,658 1,590 2,824 3,315 3,148
FLA 2,675 2,500 17,920 16,318 14,500
GA 2,280 2,150 85,500 82,080 70,950
IND 2,240 2,150 18,792 14,560 13,115
Ky 2,300 2,025 530,088 428,409 322,178
MD 1,330 1,280 30,360 26,600 23,040
MASS 1,594 1,535 785 7381 737
Mo 2,180 2,150 5,844 5,450 4,945
NC 23220 2,040 590,026 556,522 465,120
ORTO 23140 1,900 26,507 16,946 13,870
PA 1,904 1,880 22,370 21,900 20,680
sc 2,300 2,100 105,515 98,900 84,000
TENN 23065 1,715 154,646 127,403 92,610
VA 23108 1,825 115,897 91,092 71,175
WA 1,880 1,860 4,488 3,384 35348
WIS 8,200 6,700 2,141 2,200 16,400 17,560 14,740
us 688,020 614,560 2,196 1,982 1,727,962 1,511,220 1,218,156

vy ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-18 NASS, USDA


1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 1/ os 35 30 41.0 33.0 1,440 1,435 990
ARK o1/ 17 34 65.0 66.0 1,960 1,105 2,244
CALIF 1/ 45 50 67.0 63.0 3/450 3,015 3,150
Colo 1/ 55 40 53.0 52.0 2,750 2,915 2,080
GA V/ Hy 45 40 45.0 37.0 3,300 2,025 1,480
IDAHO 1/ 40 30 53.0 67.0 2,992 2,120 2,010
tlh 1/7 160 200 78.0 75.0 11,385 12,480 15,000
IND t 110 90 69.0 69.0 4,960 7,590 6,210
1OWA : 760 630 76.0 58.0 47,360 57,760 36,540
KANS 1/  ¢ 200 240 56.0 54.0 6,360 11,200 12,960
KY 7 3 9 12 45.0 39.0 252 405 468
MAINE 1/ 46 43 73.0 65.0 2,240 3,358 2,795
MD Vo: 15 17 60.0 53.0 855 900 901
MICH : 390 320 67.0 65.0 21,700 26,130 20,800
MINN 1,100 850 70.0 49.0 78,000 77,000 41,650
MO 1/ 105 110 55.0 48.0 1,584 5,775 5,280
MONT : 70 163 33.0 50.0 3,885 2,310 8,150
NEBR : 380 360 60.0 59.0 15,680 22,800 21,240
NJ 1/7 5 5 63.0 50.0 336 315 250
NY : 230 190 77.0 72.0 10,620 17,710 13,680
NC 1/ o: 62 55 42.0 40.0 3,944 2,604 2,200
N DAK : 840 900 53.0 56.0 49,980 44,520 50,400
OHIO : 310 160 85.0 76.0 13,860 26,350 12,160
OKLA 1/ : 65 90 43.0 45.0 3,680 2,795 4,050
OREG : 100 95 92.0 90.0 6,600 9,200 8,550
PA : 300 270 70.0 62.0 15,960 21,000 16,740
sc VV 3 42 32 38.0 33.0 2,320 1,596 1,056
S DAK : 1,420 1,200 56.0 40.0 86,800 79,520 48,000
TENN 2/ 3 235

TEX 1/ 300 250 50.0 35.0 8,750 15,000 8,750
UTAH 1/ 13 12 69.0 70.0 871 897 840
VA / 14 14 47.0 45.0 564 658 630
WASH 1/ 33 33 65.0 65.0 2,040 2,145 2,145
WVYA 1/ 8 10 61.0 54.0 408 488 540
wis 780 900 66.0 62.0 53,320 51,480 55,800
Wyo 1/ 2,025 3,286
us 518,626 413,025

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-10 NASS, USDA


U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTIGN

197-1986
SILLION BUSHEL
a8

ab

28

aS fF

ae

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 3.47 billion pounds (1.57 million metric

tons), 16 percent less than last year and 21 percent below the record
large harvest of 1984. The area for harvest totals 1.49 million acres (602
thousand hectares), up 1 percent from last year, but down 3 percent from
1984. This year's yield is expected to average 2331 pounds per acre, a 479
pound drop from last year and 547 pounds below the record high yield of 2878
pounds set in 1984.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 2.23 billion pounds, a 19 percent decline from
a year ago. However, harvested area of 960 thousand acres represents a 9
percent increase from the 1985 crop. Yields in the 4-State region are
expected to average 2326 pounds, down 823 pounds from a year ago--reflecting
the devastating effects of this year's drought. Harvesting of early planted
peanuts is underway.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is set at 671 million pounds, off 9
percent from a year ago. The 230 thousand acres expected for harvest is 8
percent lower than last year's crop. Yield for the area is expected to
average 2919 pounds, improved from the August 1 forecast, but 24 pounds less
than the 1985 yield. Conditions improved greatly with the occurrence of
timely rains during the critical growth stage in early August.

The Southwest crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas) is forecast at 562
million pounds, 10 percent less than produced in 1985. The area for harvest
in the 3-State region is set at 297 thousand acres, down 13 percent from
1985. Yield is expected to average 1892 pounds, up 54 pounds from last year.
August rains were beneficial, but some disease problems were reported as a
result. Some harvesting is underway in Texas.

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 10.5 million bales, a decrease

of 2 percent from August 1 and 22 percent below the 1985 crop. Ex-
cluding the 1983 PIK year, this year's crop is the lowest since 1975, The
Upland production forecast for 1986 is 10.3 million bates and American-Pima
production is expected to total 194 thousand bales.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-6 NASS, USDA



Winter wheat harvest neared completion in the Pacific Northwest at the end
of August. Plowing for seeding the 1987 crop was active during most of August.
Winter wheat seeding was underway in Kansas, Oklahoma, Minnesota, and Texas on
August 31. Spring wheat harvest Jagged behind normal in al) States except
Idaho. Harvest was 72 percent finished compared with the 80 percent average.
Last year, only 68 percent was harvested by this time. Wetness and cool
temperatures slowed maturity and hampered harvest in most States during August.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 8.27 billion

bushels (210 million metric tons), down 7 percent from last
year's record high crop and down less than 1 percent from the August 1
forecast. The temperatures averaged 2 to 4 degrees below normal in the Corn
Belt during the month, slowing crop development. However, the crop is 1 to 2
weeks ahead of normal. Crop development in parts of Illinois and Indiana has
been hindered by dry weather and their yields are down 4 bushels and 3
bushels, respectively, from the August 1 forecast. Rain brought much needed
relief to the southeastern States but too late in most areas to affect the
yields. The rains provided some relief to the crop in Virginia, Maryland, and
Delaware and their yields are up substantially from August 1? but are well
below last year's high yields. The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at
a record high 119.7 bushels, up 1.7 bushels from the previous record high set
in 1985 but down 0.7 of a bushel from August 1.

Harvest is underway in the southern States and seed corn is being
harvested in the Corn Belt, A light frost was received in some northern
States but most of the corn in these areas goes for silage. With crop
development well ahead of normal this year, most corn for grain is now safe
from a frost.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

1977-1986
BILLION BUSHELS
6
ok
at
ak
Co
sb
ak
3
n ma n a a 2 cy a 6 6
YER
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

SEPTEMBER 1986 B-3 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
{METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED:

1986

CORN FOR GRAIN
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN
OATS

7.41 7,51 225,181,520 231,240,090 210,020,460
4.19 28,260,610 21,845,870 22,184,720

2.28 7,527,840 6,432,780 5,995,040
BARLEY 2.74 12,827,950 14,153,080 13,628,910
ALL WHEAT 2.52 65,991,290 58,914,510 57,711,580

DURUM 2.45 3,062,020 2,769,830 2,623,140

OTHER SPRING 2.38 13,201,170 14,436,160 13,379,920
RICE 6.09 6,170,760 5,681,110 5,781,530
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 2.29 57,112,650 53,872,290 53,880,590
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 3.15 1,870,050 1,611,490 1,572,300
ALL COTTON 0.71 2,924,500 2,324,500 2,287,490

UPLAND 0.70 2,890,730 2,281,170 2,245,250

AMER-PIMA 1.00 33,770 43,330 425240
COTTONSEED 4,789,030 3,814,710 3,766,630
DRY EDIBLE BEANS > 1,68 1,010,050 1,177,070 1,165,590
POTATOES :

SUMMER 27.35 1,260,710 989,330 996,630

TOTAL 1/ 33.36 18,339,960
TOBACCO 2.46 685,470 542,090 552,540
SUGARBEETS 46.03 20,535,030 22,708,650 23,076,970
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 82.14 25,594,400 27,079,460 27,446,870
HOPS 1.98 22,550 20,520 20,360
PEARS 677,580 656,350 644,550
GRAPES : 5,084,500 4,477,410 4,459,270
ORTED PRUNES (CALIF) : 126,100 27 90,720 86,180
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) : 45,990 42,180 42,180
PECANS 110,860 94,940
PISTACHIO NUTS (CALIF 123290 31,750
WALNUTS (CALIF) 198,670 176,900 172,370

1/ 1985 REVISED. 2/ JUL 1, 1986.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE

CROP : INDICATED : : INDICATED
1985 > 1986 1/ 1985 : 1986 1/
METRIC TONS
WINTER WHEAT : 2.56 2.38 49,728,100 41,708,520
ALL HAY : 5.51 5.65 135,133,330 139,169,390
ALFALFA 3 7.45 7.90 77,374,690 83,681,440
ALL OTHER : 4.09 3.95 57,758,640 55,487,950
POTATOES :
WINTER : 22.86 25.90 122,060 128,960
SPRING : 29.61 29.30 1,042,620 896,430
FALL 2/ : 34.36 15,914,570
APPLES, COM'L : 3,605,590 3,558,410
PEACHES 3 974,450 1,033,010
SWEET CHERRIES 120,560 116,570
TART CHERRIES 129,820 84,370
APRICOTS 119,290 62,690
NECTARINES (CALIF) 191,420 176,900
PLUMS (CALIF) 151,050 117,930
OLIVES (CALIF) 87,090 90,720
ALMONDS (CALIF) 210,920 120,200

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1985 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP : INDICATED
: 1985 1986: 1985: 1986
HECTARES
CORN : 33,730,100 31,017,870 30,405,980 —-27, 952,340
SORGHUM : 7,399,760 6,059,420 6,746,990 5,464,930
OATS : 5,370,240 = 5,984,150 «3,297,820 3,050, 150
BARLEY : 5,303,870 5,361,330 4,675,380 5,040,410
ALL WHEAT : 30,584,450 29,140,510 26,197,200 24,646, 830
DURUM : 1,297,840 —«'1,, 166, 320 1,252,110 1,141,630
OTHER SPRING : 5,914,950 6, 149, 260 5,538,990 6,004,790
RICE : 1,020,630 950,210 1,012,530 944, 140
SOYBEANS : 25,548,080 25,024,010 24,922,430 24,197,630
PEANUTS : 603, 150 609,060 593,840 601,770
ALL COTTON : 4,323,950 3,881,220. 4,139,570 3,609,510
UPLAND : 4,289,960 3,840,350 4,105,740 3,568,920
AMER-PIMA : 33,990 40,870 33,830 40,590
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 637,750 688, 380 601,530 663,890
POTATOES :
SUMMER : 47,590 41,400 46,090 40,710
TOTAL 2/ : 569,030 504,970 549,810 495,340
TOBACCO : 2783430 248,720
SUGARBEETS : 455,070 501,010 446,170 496,270
SUGARCANE FOR : .
SUGAR AND SEED : 311,610 324,320
HOPS : 11,370 10,120

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, 1.&., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1985 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

cROP : : : : INDICATED
: 1986 1/

WINTER WHEAT 23,371,660 21,824,930 19,406, 100 17,500,410

RYE z 1,037,220 956,690 290,160 275,590
FLAXSEED : 250,910 281,260 236,340 270,740
SUNFLOWER : 1,236,330 766,890 1,150,940 749,490
ALL HAY : 245505,200 24,638,340
ALFALFA : 10,389,610 10,596,810
ALL OTHER : 14,115,590 14,041,530
POTATOES :
WINTER : 5,340 4,980 5,340 4,980
SPRING : 37,230 31,040 35,210 30,590
FALL 2/ : 478,870 4272550 463.170 419,060
SWEETPOTATOES : 44,600 39,780 42,610 38,490

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1985 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-6 NASS, USDA


SUGARBEETS v/

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

CALIF : 203.0 197.0 23.5 25.0 5,088
COLO 8 2.5 36.9 18.5 21.0 964
IDAHO 2 152.0 160.0 23.0 24.0 3,312
KANS : 0 -0 0.0 0.0 122
MICH : 118.0 136.0 19.7 21.0 2,117
MINN : 276.0 313.0 18.4 17.5 4,340
MONT 2 42.7 47.1 19.0 20.5 416
NEBR : 53.2 59.0 23.1 23.0 1,480
N DAK 3 144.2 162.0 16.8 17.0 2,309
OHIO : 12.7 15.0 20.3 20.0 201
OREG 2 11.8 12.8 27.0 27.5 307
TEX : 37.0 37.0 22.5 23.0 824
WYO : 654
us : 22,134

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

STATE

Fy 1,000 ACRES 1,000 TONS
FLA : 398.7 405.0 32.9 33.0 12,617 13,117 13,365
HAW : 89.4 90.0 90.9 94.0 8,684 8,129 8,460
LA 2 250.0 275.0 24.0 27.0 5,060 6,006 7,425
TEX ry 31.9 31.4 30.1 32.0 979 961 1,005

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-19 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED YIELD
STATE pemcecss Slate ala atetatetatatataietatatal tata bahatetatatatad
t ? {ND : > IND
1985 : 1986 : 1985 : 1986
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 1/ : 230 90 55.0 45.0 9,000 32,650 4,050
ARIZ 1/ : 16 10 81.0 87.0 1,360 1,296 870
ARK : 920 595 72.0 60.0 42,480 66,240 35,700
CALIF 1/ : 36 26 83.0 65.0 3,936 2,988 2,210
COLO : 320 280 35.0 33.0 15,910 11,200 9,240
GA \/ : 138 65 48.0 30.0 4,746 6,624 1,950
SLL : 470 200 77.0 85.0 19,665 36,190 17,000
IND 2/ : 845

lOWA  2/ : 660

KANS : 4,200 4,000 69.0 69.0 216,750 289,800 276,000
KY VV : 143 65 80.0 75.0 9,200 11,440 4,875
LA : 410 360 68.0 70.0 17,485 27,880 25,200
MISS : 620 240 64.0 63.0 23,680 39,680 15,120
Mo : 1,410 1,100 83.0 81.0 91,770 117,030 89,100
NEBR + 1,920 1,500 80.0 6t.0 121,600 153,600 121,500
N MEX : 290 220 48.0 46.0 15,400 13,920 10,120
NC / : 62 50 52.0 28.0 3,025 3,224 1,400
OKLA 2 500 450 45.0 45.0 18,000 22,500 20,250
sc / z 47 1,564 2,209 1,064
S DAK t 375 18,565 15,000 16,100
TENN : 465 20,800 37,200 10,725
TEX : 4,100 209,350 241,900 210,900
VA 2/ : 450

us 16,672 866,241 1,112,571 873,374

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARR(EO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-9 NASS, USDA


1985 SEEDING RATES: QUANTITY OF SEED USED PER ACRE FOR SPECIFIED CROPS,
BY STATES

STATE : BARLEY : CORN FLAXSEED OATS
: : Vy
KERNELS POUNDS POUNDS POUNDS BUSHELS

ALA 3 19,100 23 2.9
ARIZ : 2.8 29,100 18
ARK 3 27,300 19 2.9
CALIF 3 2.0 30,000 23 63 3.0
COLO 3 1.5 29,000 44 2.0
CONN : 26,000
DEL : 2.2 21,200
FLA : 19,100 22
GA : 21,900 24 3.1
IDAHO : 1.9 29,500 92 2.6
TLL : 24,100 2.5
IND : 23,800 2.3
IOWA : 23,300 2.9
KANS : 1.3 23,600 20 54 2.1
KY 3 2.0 22,000 2.1
LA : 26,300 18
MAINE 3 26,000 2.9
MD : 2.3 23,200 2.6
MASS H 26,000
MICH : 2.1 23,200 48 2.6
MINN H 1.8 25,000 60 45.0 2.9
MISS : 19,800 20
MO : 20,900 21 2.3
MONT : 1.2 29,000 60 1.8
NEBR : 1.5 22,800 54 2.5
NEV : 2.3
NH H 26,000
NJ H 2.4 23,500 2.6
N MEX Hy 1.8 28,900 32
NY : 25,200 83 2.8
NC 3 2.1 22,600 18 2.7
N DAK 1.6 20,800 52 45.0 2.0
OHIO 25,500 2.6
OKLA 1.3 23,500 25 2.3
OREG 1.7 30,000 2.9
PA : 2.3 22,700 2.8
RI H 26,000
sc : 2.7 21,100 14 2.9
S DAK : 1.7 17,800 50.0 2.6
TENN 3 21,500 21
TEX : 1.0 24,000 31 2.5
UTAH 2.2 30,000 15 3.0
VT 26,000
VA 2.2 23,000 18 2.4
WASH 1.6 31,000 83 2.7
W VA 23,400 2.5
WIS 2.0 23,600 2.9
WYO 2.0 29,700 70 2.2
us 1.64 23,500 26 56 45.8 2.61
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-27,.
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

SEPTEMBER 1986 A-25 NASS, USDA


C
p

: ‘Agricultural United States
r mi Statistics Department ot
Board Agriculture
H National Agricultural Washington, D.C. 20250
ro u Cc | Oo n Statistics Service

RELEASED: September 11, 1986

3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 8.27 billion bushels (210 million

metric tons), down 7 percent from last year's record crop and down less
than 1 percent from August 1. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
production forecast is 7.54 to 9.00 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 873 million bushels (22.2 million

metric tons), down 21 percent from last year's record production.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) is expected to total

252 million metric tons, down 8 percent from last year.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.98 billion bushels (53.9 million metric

tons), virtually unchanged from the August 1 forecast but down 6 percent
from 1985. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production
forecast is 1.82 to 2.14 billion bushels.

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.12 billion bushels (57.7 million metric

ALL

All

tons). This is the lowest level since 1978 and down 13 percent from 1985.
The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast is 2.08 to
2.16 billion bushels.

COTTON production is forecast at 10.5 million bales, a decrease of 2 per-
cent from August 1 and 22 percent below the 1985 crop. The 90 percent

confidence interval for this production forecast is 9.2 to 11.8 million
bales.

TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.22 billion pounds (553 thousand metric
tons), 19 percent beTow last year and the smallest crop since 1936.

PEANUT production is forecast at 3.47 billion pounds (1.57 million metric

tons), 16 percent less than last year and 21 percent below the record
large harvest of 1984.

RIKI KIKI IRI I IRIS III IAI IIIS IIIA ISI IIA III ISA IIA I SII IIIA III ISIS IIIA III.

INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT

o Seeding Rates - Selected Crops, by States and U.S., Page A-25.
o Navel Oranges - California, Page A-21.

o Pistachio Nuts - California, Page A-23.
KAAKIKIRRIKERIR IKI IRI RIKI IAEA AAR AAAI ERE RIK REE RARER KERRIER RIERA.

ob Ok
ee

CrPr 2-2 (9-86) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


ALL WHEAT

PRODUCTION

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA / 400 220 32.0 14,820 12,800 5,500
ARIZ 1/ 112 99 87.5 12,780 9,804 8,949
ARK / 570 815 32.0 61,600 18,240 34,230
CALIF 1/ 830 675 83.0 61,840 68,860 51,750
coLo 1/ 3,522 2,955 39.6 34.6 415,020 139,302 102,120
DEL V7 43 34 48.0 36.0 2,009 2,064 1,224
FLA VW 130 100 33.0 31.0 4,290 3,100
GA Vv 825 550 31.0 26.0 31,150 25,575 14,300
IDAHO 1,350 1,310 53.4 58.9 81,400 72,030 77,220
TLL V/ 750 820 49.0 44.0 70,400 36,750 36,080
{ND VW 700 700 53.0 42.0 48,300 37,100 29,400
OWA 1/ 112 60 48.0 38.0 3,600 5,376 2,280
KANS 1/ 11,400 10,200 38.0 32.0 431,200 433,200 326,400
KY VU 310 270 34.0 34.0 19,000 10,540 9,180
LA Vv 210 210 34.0 35.0 13,120 7,140 7,350
MD / 133 140 49.0 42.0 6,020 6,517 5,880
MICH 1/ 750 700 60.0 48.0 45,600 45,000 33,600
MUNN 2,683 2,964 53.1 39.1 120,711 142,426 115,794
MISS 1/ 300 200 31.0 31.0 25,080 9,300 6,200
MO Vv 1,280 590 39.0 32.0 84,050 49,920 18,880
MONT 3,960 4,887 12.7 29.8 104,655 50,240 145,655
NEBR 1/ 2,300 2,000 39.0 39.0 81,000 89,700 78,000
NEV Vv 24 23 73.8 75.9 1,840 1,770 1,745
NJ 1/ 37 34 52.0 40.0 1,677 1,924 1,360
N MEX 1/ 570 500 36.0 22.0 11,960 20,520 11,000
NY vA 145 155 58.0 52.0 7,820 8,410 8,060
NC vA 760 460 29.0 30.0 26,660 22,040 13,800
N DAK 8,870 9,130 36.4 32.4 284,190 323,255 296,000
OHIO 1/ 950 1,050 62.0 46.0 48,400 58,900 48,300
OKLA 1/ 5,500 5,200 30.0 29.0 190,800 165,000 150,800
OREG 1/ 1,065 1,015 52.6 56.4 68,945 56,040 57,260
PA VV 210 220 48.0 44.0 8,360 10,080

sc vA 430 300 29.0 27.0 14,440 12,470

S DAK 3,755 3,894 29.6 31.1 126,038 111,215

TENN 1/ 250 325 32.0 34.0 21,400 8,000

TEX Vv 5,850 4,800 32.0 24.0 150,000 187,200

UTAH 1/ 260 263 33.5 33.2 8,055 8,720

YA 7 285 180 37.0 38.0 12,375 10,545

WASH 2,690 2,420 47.7 49.9 160,350 128,250

WVA 1/ 8 9 43.0 35.0 400 344

Wis VV 157 148 53.4 55.1 9,640 8,380

WYO Vv 248 278 22.3 33.2 8,072 5,528

us 64,734 60,903 37.5 34.8 2,594,777 2,424,765 2,120,538

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

WINTER 3 SPRING

1,000 BUSHELS

1,250,597 531,370 278,299 408,801 103,439 22,271 2,594,777
1,230,075 368,026 229,094 460,262 "2, 510 24,798 2,424,765
1,028, 586 289 214,646 464,293 _2Ts 335 120,538

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT 5~YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES, THE 5~YEAR VARIETAL
SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED ANNUALLY AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

2/ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-12 NASS, USDA


BARLEY

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

62 34 97.0 100.0 5,353 6,014 3,100

420 400 59.0 57.0 28,980 24,780 22,800

340 370 64.0 63.0 20,150 21,760 23,310

57 50 58.0 61.0 2,750 3,306 3,050

1,240 1,110 58.0 61.0 88,440 71,920 67,710

170 290 44.0 38.0 6,665 7,480 11,020

26 20 35.0 31.0 1,110 910 620

96 82 57.0 63.0 5,510 5,472 5,166

38 48 68.0 63.0 2,040 2,584 3,024

1,075 1,000 66.0 55.0 61,750 70,950 55,000

1,500 2,300 20.0 40.0 59,080 30,000 92,000

/ 120 170 32.0 41.0 2,652 3,840 6,970

/ 37 37 80.0 80.0 3,330 2,960 2,960

7 17 16 63.0 58.0 825 1,071 928

/ 15 18 70.0 75.0 1,500 1,050 1,350

/ 66 47 40.0 34.0 4,032 2,640 1,598

N DAK 3 3,350 3,650 55.0 52.0 153,700 184,250 189,800

OKLA 1/ : 50 50 38.0 36.0 2,050 1,900 1,800

OREG : 350 365 55.0 55.0 17,360 19,250 20,075

PA 1/ 2 70 65 62.0 60.0 3,640 4,340 3,900

sc / 32 21 38.0 30.0 1,560 1,216 630

S$ DAK 720 870 45.0 40.0 30,345 32,400 34,800

TEX 1/ 50 50 45.0 42.0 2,000 2,250 2,100

UTAH 159 155 74.0 74.0 11,607 11,766 11,470

VA / 100 75 48.0 50.0 5,760 4,800 3,750

WASH 1,180 920 48.0 45.0 63,700 56,640 41,400
WVA 2/ 265

WIS / 53 85 58.0 56.0 2,650 3,074 4,760

WYO 160 160 66.0 68.0 10,400 10,560 10,880

us 11,553 12,455 51.0 50.3 599,204 589,183 625,971

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-11 NASS, USDA


Harvest is nearing completion in Montana's durum area; grasshopper damage
is reported. As of August 31, 54 percent of North Dakota's crop had been
harvested, ahead of 1985 progress but trailing average. Pre-harvest optimism
on yields has faded as the harvest progressed. Test weights are lower this
year; protein is somewhat higher. Wet weather has provided favorable
conditions for diseases. Rust and tan spot have been reported; scab has been
developing in northern and eastern fields.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: The 1986 production is forecast at 492 million bushels

(13.4 million metric tons), 1 percent more than the 1985
production but 7 percent below the August 1 forecast. Disease problems that
manifested during August in Minnesota and the Dakota's reduced yields a
collective average of 3.8 bushels per acre and led to the overall production
decline. The U.S. yield is expected to average 33.1 bushels per acre, 2.3
bushels less than the record high yield set in 1985. Area for grain, at 14.8
million acres (6.00 million hectares), is unchanged from August 1. As of
August 3), harvest had progressed to 72 percent completion in the five major
producing States, compared with 68 percent last year and the average of 80
percent.

RICE: The 1986 rice production is ferecast at 127 million cwt (5.78 million

metric tons), up 2 percent from the August 1 forecast but down 6
percent from 1985. Production is 8 percent below 1984. This would be the
second smallest production since 1977.

Yield per acre is expected to average a record high 5463 pounds per acre,
surpassing the previous record of 5437 pounds set in 1985. Yield is up 95
pounds from August 1. Yield is up 100 pounds from August 1 in Arkansas,
Louisiana, and Mississippi. In Texas, a 200 pound yield increase was
registered. Record yields are anticipated in California, Louisiana, and Texas.

At the end of August, rice development was well ahead of normal. Heading
was complete or neared completion in all States except California. At the end
of the month, harvest was 33 percent finished, 10 points ahead of 1985 and 8
points above the average. In Mississippi, harvest was 40 percent finished, 2
times faster than last year and 5 times greater than the average. Louisiana's
harvest was 12 points above normal, Harvest was not underway in California.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.98 billion bushels (53.9 million metric
tons), virtually unchanged from the August 1 forecast and 6 percent
below the 1985 production level. Yield, at 33.1 bushels per acre, is up 0.2
of a bushel from August 1 but is 1.0 bushel below the record high of 34.1
bushels per acre set in 1985. If realized, this will be the second highest
yield of record, Area for harvest is forecast at 59.8 million acres (24.2
million hectares) down 1 percent from August 1 and 3 percent below last year.

Soybean growing conditions generally improved jin the drought stricken
Southeast. As cooler temperatures and above normal rainfall improved yields.
Dry weather in Illinois, Indiana and parts of Michigan resulted in reduced
yield expectations. Crop progress continues to be ahead of normal with 5
percent of the soybeans dropping leaves by the end of the month compared with
2 percent both last year and average.

Soybean yields increased in 11 States from August 1. In the South, all
States have increased yields except Arkansas, and Kentucky where yields are
unchanged, and Mississippi where yield is 4 bushels below the August 1
forecast. Kansas, Maryland, Minnesota, and Missouri yields increased from
August but were offset by declines in Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and South
Dakota.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-5 NASS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at 873 million bushels (22.2 million

metric tons), 21 percent below the record high 1.117 billion
bushels (28.3 million metric tons) produced a year ago. Area for grain harvest
is estimated at 13.5 million acres (5.46 million hectares), down 19 percent
from 1985.

Yield per acre is forecast at 64.7 bushels, 2.0 bushels below the record
high 66.7 bushel set in 1985. Nearly ideal growing conditions were experienced
in Kansas as yield prospects remained unchanged during the month. Some early
harvested fields were reported in the southern portions of the State but gener-
ally harvest is several weeks away. In Nebraska, crop progress was well ahead
of average; yield is up a bushel from the August 1 forecast. Beneficial rains
were received in the High Plains of Texas pushing the average yield for the
State two bushels higher than the August 1 forecast. Elsewhere in the State,
harvest continued its northward push. As a result of much needed rain, the
crop also improved from August 1 in Illinois, Arkansas, and Tennessee. In
Mississippi, rains were too late to help as nearly 50 percent of the crop was
harvested by September 1.

OATS: Production is forecast at 413 million bushels (6.00 million metric tons)

down 20 percent from last year and 13 percent below two years ago. The
September 1 forecast, if realized, would be the smallest production since
1876, Area harvested for grain, at 7.54 million acres (3.05 million
hectares), is 8 percent below both of the last two years and is the smallest
of record. The average yield forecast, at 54.8 bushels per acre, is down 8.8
bushels from the record high set in 1985.

Production decreased 7 percent from the August 1 forecast with the largest
decreases in Minnesota and South Dakota. Rust adversely affected yields in
these two States and was the main cause for reduced yields. Harvest progress
was generally running ahead of normal in all States except North Dakota and
Wisconsin, where frequent showers were hampering progress.

BARLEY: Barley production is forecast at a record high 626 million bushels,

(13.6 million metric tons), up 6 percent from last year and 4 percent
above the previous record high set in 1984. Average yield, at 50.3 bushels
per acre, is 0.7 of a bushel below 1985 and 6.9 bushels below the record high
yield set in 1982, Colorado is showing a 3 bushel yield increase from August
1, but North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, Oregon, and Utah are all
registering decreases.

Harvest is nearing completion in most States. Hot weather at filling time
hurt the Minnesota crop. Rains delayed ripening and harvest in North Dakota
while some excess moisture conditions adversely affected the crop in South
Dakota. Considerable grasshopper damage was reported to the Montana crop. In
Colorado the irrigated crop was producing better than expected. The spring
barley crop in Oregon was not yielding as well as anticipated and yields in
Idaho reflected the effects of hot, dry conditions.

ALL WHEAT: Total 1986 wheat production is forecast at 2.12 billion bushels

(57.7 million metric tons), down 13 percent from 1985. This is
the lowest production level since 1978. Area for grain is 60.9 million acres
(24.6 million hectares), down 6 percent from last year. Yields are expected
to average 34,8 bushels per acre, 2.7 bushels less than 1985 and 0.7 of a
bushel below the August 7 forecast.

DURUM WHEAT: Production is forecast at 96.4 million bushels (2.62 million

metric tons), 14 percent less than a year ago and 5 percent below
August 1. Harvest area remains at 2,82 million acres (1.14 million hectares)
down 9 percent from 1985. Yield prospects have dropped to 34.2 bushels per
acre, down 1.9 bushels from August 1 and 2.2 bushels below last year's record
high yield.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-4 NASS, USDA



CORN FOR GRAIN

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA 325 300 75.0 55.0 25,025 24,375 16,500
ARIZ 1/ 21 17 105.0 115.0 3,250 2,205 1,955
ARK t/ 13 85 108.0 112.0 4,655 7,884 9,520
CALIF 320 270 145.0 145.0 51,000 46,400 39,150
COLO 745 675 139.0 133.0 91,120 103,555 89,775
CONN 2/

DEL 175 170 109.0 75.0 16,950 19,075 12,750
FLA 1/ 190 180 65.0 60.0 13,650 12,350 10,800
GA : 975 730 84.0 60.0 80,770 81,900 43,800
1OAHO 1/ 80 55 125.0 130.0 8,850 10,000 7,150
ILL : 11,370 10,300 135.0 138.0 1,247,160 1,534,950 1,421,400
UND : 6,150 5,850 123.0 129.0 705,510 756,450 754,650
1OWA 13,550 12,000 126.0 135.0 1,444,800 1,707,300 1,620,000
KANS : 1,080 1,250 130.0 132.0 119,375 140,400 165,000
KY : 1,560 1,570 102.0 88.0 146,000 159,120 138,160
LA oo: 205 430 114.0 120.0 9,430 23,370 51,600
MAINE 2/—

MD : 640 610 110.0 70.0 69,620 70,400 42,700
MASS 2/° :

MICH : 2,730 2,500 105.0 108.0 220,080 286,650 270,000
MINN : 6,300 5,700 115.0 122.0 689,080 724,500 695,400
MISS 1/° : 115 170 68.0 78.0 4,900 7,820 13,260
Mo z 2,480 2,400 110.0 115.0 154,400 272,800 276,000
MONT 1/  ¢ WW 10 95.0 105.0 1,380 1,045 1,050
NEBR : 7,450 6,850 128.0 130.0 806,200 953,600 890,500
NH 2/

NJ t/ o: 114 105 110.0 95.0 11,663 12,540 9,975
N MEX 1/ 65 50 155.0 155.0 9,450 10,075 7,750
NY : 720 640 95.0 98.0 60,970 68,400 62,720
NC : 1,625 1,360 79.0 62.0 145,800 128,375 84,320
N DAK : 560 600 72.0 80.0 41,580 40,320 48,000
OHIO : 4,030 3,700 127.0 128.0 460,200 511,810 473,600
OKLA 1/° : 58 50 106.0 110.0 5,250 6,148 5,500
OREG 1/ : 40 35 165.0 175.0 6,678 6,600 6,125
PA : 1,380 1,340 110.0 104.0 148,500 151,800 139,360
Rilo 2/3:

sc 2 520 480 88.0 45.0 34,866 45,760 21,600
$ DAK : 3,000 2,700 84.0 86.0 186,260 252,000 232,200
TENN : 810 770 98.0 80.0 65,550 79,380 61,600
TEX : 1,490 1,250 105.0 107.0 144,150 156,450 133,750
UTAH 1/0 16 16 115.0 115.0 1,888 1,840 1,840
VT 2/

vA : 550 510 99.0 50.0 56,160 54,450 25,500
WASH 1/ 135 120 160.0 150.0 23,250 21,600 18,000
WVA 1/  ¢ 73 75 105.0 95.0 8,100 7,665 7,125
Wis : 3,350 3,100 107.0 114.0 344,500 358,450 353,400
WYO V/ 2 53 48 98.0 97.0 6,000 5,194 4,656
us : 75,134 69,071 118.0 119.7 7,674,020 8,865,006 8, 268,141

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/7 ALL ACREAGE IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-8 NASS, USDA


GRAPES

t PRODUCTION 1/

CROP AND STATE

TABLE TYPE
CALIF 475,000 580,000 550,000
WINE TYPE
CALIF 1,900,000 2,140,000 2,000,000
RAISIN TYPE
CALIF 2,295,000 2,483,000 1,900,000
ALL
ARIZ 14,000 18,500 24,000
ARK : 9,000 8,000 6,000
CALIF : 4,670,000 5,203,000 4,450,000
GA al: 23700 2,100 2,000
MICH : 49,000 51,000 35,000
MO 3,100 900 2,300
NY 198,000 146,000 175,000
nc 5,900 1,500 2,500
OHIO 11,200 7,000 10,000
PA 60,000 50,000 58,000
$c 2,500 600 700
WASH : 168,500 116,100 150,000
us + 5,193,900 5,604,700 4,915,500

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): U S$ 1984-25,500; 1985-100.

2/ FRESH BASIS.

3/ EXCLUDES PRODUCTION FROM APPROXIMATELY 50,000 OF THOMPSON SEEDLESS VINEYARDS
IN THE VOLUNTARY RAISIN DIVERSION PROGRAM FOR 1986.

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

PRODUCTION

CROP AND STATE

TOTAL 1/

PRUNES (ORIEO BASIS) :

CALIF : 148,000 139,000 95,000
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

IDAHO : 7,000 4,500 5,000

MICH 3 12,000 11,000 11,000

OREG : 15,000 25,000 22,000

WASH : 18,000 10,200 8,500

TOTAL : 52,000 50,700 46,500

1/ PRUNES AND PLUMS ~ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION
AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): OREG 1984-1,000;
1985-4,000.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A~22 NASS, USDA


WALNUTS: The forecast for California walnuts is 190 thousand tons (172 thou-
sand metric tons), down 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and 13
percent below last year's production.

The 1986 California walnut crop is generally in fair condition. The yield
varies greatly by variety, with the early varieties (Ashleys and Paynes)
having very low set and the later varieties (Hartleys and Franquettes) having
a good set. Quality is described as fair by most industry sources. Sunburn
damage is about normal. Insect damage is greater this year because there were
fewer walnuts for the insects to attack so the actual percentage of damaged
walnuts will be higher. Blight also is more of a problem this year since many
growers didn't spray because of the reduced set. Oilless nuts will not be a
problem this year, but mold may affect the crop. The current hot weather may
cause mold to begin in nuts while they are still on trees. Harvest of the
walnut crop started about the same as normal but early volume will be much
higher due to the early maturity of the crop.

PISTACHIOS: The 1986 California pistachio crop is forecast at a record high
70.0 mitlion pounds (31.8 thousand metric tons), in-shell basis,
more than two and one-half times last year's small production and 11 percent
higher than the previous record high crop harvested in 1984. This is the
first-ever forecast for California pistachio production and will be the only
forecast made this season. This forecast is based on the results of the
objective measurement survey (QMS) and a September 1 pistachio grower
inquiry. The OMS for pistachios was conducted in April to obtain fruit bud
counts and in August to collect nut counts from developed clusters, nut sizes,
and information on blanks. With harvest now ready to get underway, the crop
appears to be of good quality with nut sizes slightly larger than in the past.

PECANS: The first forecast for the U.S. all pecan crop is 209 million pounds
(94.9 thousand metric tons), in-shel] basis, 14 percent lower than
last year's production and 10 percent below 1984.

The Georgia pecan forecast is 85.0 million pounds, up 2 percent from last
year's crop, which was substantially reduced by hurricane losses. The record
ate winter through August drought has seriously affected dryland pecans this
year. Of the approximate 150 thousand acres of commercial groves in Georgia,
about one-third are irrigated. Many of the irrigated groves have an excellent
crop but shedding has been, and could continue to be, a problem with the sudden
cool and damp weather. In dryland groves, especially in the major producing
pecan area where rain was not received until late August, the nuts are very
small and are shedding after rains. Pecan specialists say that the nut count
usually averages about 52 nuts per pound, but counts from many dryland groves
will be much higher this year. One positive note as a result of the prolonged
drought is that scab problems are minimal.

The Alabama forecast ¥s 13.0 million pounds, down 19 percent from last
year. Pecan groves in Alabama have likewise experienced extremely dry condi-
tions throughout the spring and summer. Trees are also still recovering from
hurricanes which inflicted serious damage last year. Louisiana expects a crop
of 15.0 million pounds, equal to last year. The crop in Oklahoma is forecast
at 12.0 million pounds compared with 10.0 million pounds harvested in 1985.
Texas pecan production is forecast at 40.0 million pounds, off 49 percent from
last year. Southern Oklahoma and Texas have experienced hot, dry weather with
insect and disease problems as well as nut droppage higher than normal. New
Mexico's forecast, at 24.0 million pounds, is down 17 percent from 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-12 NASS, USDA


INDEX

BARLEY .ccecacccccccccccccccccecesnccccctacssetecesssseeesseneesseees
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE
COFFEE ...ceeeeeee
CORN FOR GRAIN .
COTTON ...eeeeee
COTTONSEED .......
CROP MOISTURE MAPS” .
GRAPES ...eeeeeeeee
HOPS ..
CITRUS
NUTS ....
OATS «see
PAPAYAS~HAWAII .....+--
PASTURE AND RANGE FEEO .
PEANUTS FOR NUTS ....sceeeeeceee
PEARS ..eeeeeeee

PECANS ....
POTATOES .......
PRUNES AND PLUMS .
RICE .osseeeee
SEEDING RATES ..
SORGHUM FOR GRAI
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS ...
SUGARBEETS ..cseceecescseceees
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .
TOBACCO BY STATES .....-+eeeee
US SUMMARY
WHEAT, ALL .
WHEAT, BY CLA
WHEAT, DURUM ..... . see eeeeees
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING ree eee eee eee ee eee eee eee Ty te eeeeeeees

a 1
N=M—Ny

WWNYNADOKDRONWNYNOS

PESEE Eye eereeprp>

HRIKKIKK III II IIIA IIA IIA IIASA I III III IAI SII SII III III ISI SI ISI SII III IAI IAAI

5829-South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-
4021).

SERVICE. For more information, call or write: Russell Forte, (202)
447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250.

oF hk OO

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room *

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This report and other statistical, economic, marketing and news reports*
are available as soon as possible following release through USDA‘s EDI *

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HK KKIK IK III IIIS IIIT IR III IK III IAAI IK IR IAI II III III IAI IIIA IIIA IR,

@U,S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFF ICE :1985- 490-916 140594/NASS

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

SEPTEMBER 1986 B-13 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE

(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 6-FT. SOtt. PROFILE)
AUGUST 30, 1986
ISSUED WEEKLY

NORMALLY
ABNORM

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NING’ AND EXD OF THE GROWING \-

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LIMITATIONS... MAY NOT RE APPLICABLE TO GEzUt suLLo¥

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SEASON CROPS.
AVERAGING BELOW ABOUT 55°F. IT 19 NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE
re a pert) DROUGHT OR WET SPELLS WHICR AAK DEPICTED WOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY posed on preliminary raporn|

MoIsT DROUGHT SEVERITY
SEVERE (LONG TERM, PALMER)

AUGUST 30, 1986

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aS tin axe

1
DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX (PALMER): DEPICTS. PRO— \
LONGED (MONTHS, YEARS) ABNORMAL DRYNESS OR WETNESS: As
RESPONDS SLOWLY; CHANGES LITTLE FROM WEEK TO WEEK;

JAND REFLECTS LONG TERM MOISTURE RUNOFF, RECHARGE. - SEVE!

JA#D DEEP PERCOLATION, AS WELL AS EVAPOTRANSPIRATION.. RE
USES. . APPLICABLE IN MEASURING DISRUPTIVE EFFECTS OF PROLONGED 4
DRYNESS OR WETNESS ON WATER SENSETIVE ECONOMIES ;DESTONATING DIS—

ASTER AREAS OF DROUGHT OR SETNESS; AND REFLECTING THE GENERAL, LONG

TERM STATUS OF WATER SUPPLIES IN AQUIFERS RESERVOIRS , AND STREAMS.

LiwitAaTrons 38 NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORT TERM (PE¥ WEEKS
STATUS OF DROUGHT OR WETNESS SUCH AS FREQUENTLY AFFECTS CROPS AND je
ELELD OPERATIONS (THIS IS INDICATED BY THE CROP MOISTURE INDEX). NOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY sased on prolimisory reports

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-1 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP : : : : INDICATED
: 1985 : 1986 : 1985 : 1986
1,000 ACRES
CORN : 83,348 76,646 75,134 69,071
SORGHUM 2 18,285 14,973 16,672 13,504
OATS : 13,270 14,787 8,149 7,537
BARLEY 13,106 13,248 11,553 12,455
ALL WHEAT 75,575 72,007 64,734 60,903
DURUM 3,207 2,882 3,094 2,821
OTHER SPRING 14,616 15,195 13,687 14,838
RICE 2,522.0 2,348.0 2,502.0 2,333.0
SOYBEANS 63,130 61,835 61,584 59,793
PEANUTS : 1,490.4 1,505.0 1,467.4 1,487.0
ALL COTTON :  10,684.6 9,590.6 10,229.0 8,919.2
UPLAND :  10,600.6 9,489.6 10, 145.4 8,818.9
AMER-PIMA : 84.0 101.0 83.6 100.3
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1,575.9 1,701.0 1,486.4 1,640.5
POTATOES
SUMMER 117.6 102.3 113.9 100.6
TOTAL 2/ 1,406.1 1,247.8 1,358.6 1,224.0
TOBACCO 688.0 614.6
SUGARBEETS : 1,124.5 1,238.0 1,102.5 1,226.3
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 770.0 801.4
HOPS 28.1 25.0

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.
2/ 1985 REVISED,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
{DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

H : : INDICATED
1985 : 1986 1/ 3 1985 > 1986 1/

1,000 ACRES

WINTER WHEAT : 57,752 53,930 47,953 43,244
RYE : 2,563 2,364 717 681
FLAXSEED 3 620 695 584 669
SUNFLOWER : 3,055 1,895 2,844 1,852
ALL HAY : 60,553 60,882
ALFALFA : 25,673 26,185
ALL OTHER : 34,880 34,697
POTATOES :
WINTER 2 13.2 12.3 13.2 12.3
SPRING : 92.0 76.7 87.0 75.6
FALL 2/ : 1,183.3 1,056.5 1,144.5 1,035.5
SWEETPOTATOES : 110.2 98.3 105.3 95.1

1/_ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1985 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-4 NASS, USDA


COTTON

PRODUCTION 1/

CROP
AND :

STATE : 1985 1986 : 1965 1986 1984 : 1985 : 1986

1,000 ACRES “PounDs 1,000 BALES 2/

UPLAND
ALA 3 329.0 347.0 795 498 447.0 545.0 360.0
ARIZ : 359.0 259.0 1,241 1,297 1,097.0 928.0 700.0
ARK 3 440.0 440.0 7167 622 612.0 703.0 570.0
CALIF : 1,320.0 1,010.0 1,132 1,046 2,913.0 3,114.0 2,200.0
FLA 3B/ = 22.5 21.5 693 670 30.0 32.5 30.0
GA 2 245.0 210.0 725 434 281.0 370. $ 190.0
KANS 3/ : 6 1.0 320 576 3 1.2
LA : 630.0 570.0 565 674 1,056.0 742. ‘6 800.0
MISS 2 1,040.0 1,025.0 764 609 1,650.0 1,655.0 1,300.0
MO : 150.0 160.0 653 525 187.0 204.0 175.0
N MEX 3 54.0 42.0 631 686 87.0 71.0 60.0
NC : 87.0 79.0 646 456 120.0 117.0 75.0
OKLA : 360.0 350.0 380 398 183.0 285.0 290.0
sc z 122.0 113.0 708 319 170.0 180.0 75.0
TENN : 335.0 290.0 600 472 337.0 419.0 285.0
TEX : 4,650.0 3,900.0 404 394 3,680.0 3,910.0 3,200.0
vA 3/ 1.3 1.4 443 4ii 1.1 1.2 1.2
us 2 10,145.4 8,818.9 628 561 12,851.4 13,277.1 10,312.4

AMER~PIMA
ARIZ : 56.3 72.5 927 993 88.1 108.7 150.0
N MEX : 7.9 10.0 687 720 12.4 14.3 15.0
TEX 3 19.4 17.8 868 782 29.9 35.1 29.0
us : 83.6 100.3 891 928 130.4 155.1 194.0

ALL
ALA : 329.0 347.0 795 498 447.0 545.0 360.0
ARIZ : 4U5.3 331.5 1,198 1,231 1,185.1 1,036.7 850.0
ARK 3 440.0 440.0 767 622 612.0 703.0 570.0
CALIF : 1,320.0 1,010.0 1,132 1,046 2,913.0 3,114.0 2,200.0
FLA 3/ ¢ 22.5 21.5 693 670 30.0 32.5 30.0
GA : 245. H 210.0 725 434 281. $ 370.0 190.0
KANS 3/ : 1.0 320 576 4 1.2
LA : 630. 0 570.0 565 674 1, 056. 7 742.0 800.0
MISS 3 1,040.0 1,025.0 764 609 1,650.0 1,655.0 1,300.0
MO : 150.0 160.0 653 525 187.0 204.0 175.0
N MEX : 61.9 52.0 638 692 99.4 82.3 75.0
noc s 87.0 79.0 646 456 120.0 117.0 75.0
OKLA : 360.0 350.0 380 398 183.0 285.0 290.0
sc z 122.0 113.0 708 319 170.0 180.0 75.0
TENN : 335.0 290.0 600 472 337.0 419.0 285.0
TEX : 4,669.4 3,917.8 406 396 3,709.9 3,945.1 3,229.0
VA 3/ oe 1.3 1.4 443 411 1.4 1.2 1.2
us : 10,229.0 8,919.2 630 565 12, 981. 8 13,432.2 10,506.4

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES,
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

“PRODUCTION

STATE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-15 NASS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP
AND

IND o
1986 : 1985 1986

STATE
1,000 ac 1,000 CHT
WINTER 1/
CALIF 5.4 5.1 260 275 1,456 1,404 1,403
FLA 7.8 7.2 165 200 1,184 13287, 1,440
TOTAL 13.2 12.3 204 231 2,640 2,691 2,843
SPRING 1/
ALA 5.3 4.7 160 145 644 848 682
ARIZ 5.8 6.1 250 300 1,647 1,450 1,830
CALIF 27.5 19.5 385 380 11,115 10,588 7,410
FLA-HASTINGS 26.0 24.5 245 270 6,500 6,370 6,615
-OTHER 1.3 19-210 =—-190 240 273 in
LA 6 26 70 65 60 42 39
NC 14.0 13.1 1650145 2,352 2,310 1,900
TEX 6.5 6.2 170 180 1,240 1,105 1,116
TOTAL 87.0 78.6 264 261 23,798 22,986 19,763
SUMMER
ALA 7.8 180 135 955 1,404 986
CALIF : 7.2 375 360 2,916 2,700 = 2,376
COLO ; TA 300-290 1,988 2,220 2,088
DEL 6.5 280 © 190 1,265 1,820 1,31
TLL 3.0 285 250 636 855 725
IND 1.9 140 2/ 216 266 2s
TOWA 1.6 206 = 190 210 330 323
MD 1.6 200-170 296 320 272
MICH 13.8 220228 2,560 3,036 2,880
MINN 6.5 275265 1,680 1,788 = 1,643
NEBR 2.5 280 = 260 572 700 572
No 8.8 280 © 240 1,828 2,464 3,944
N MEX 10.4 275 310 2,639 2,860 = 2,914
NC 2.3 V5 90 348
OHIO 3 1.1 310 2s 342 341 ay
TENN : 2.5 150 90 270 375 180
TEX : 12.5 220 © 250 2,825 2,750 2,475
vA 16.5 200 80 1,540 3,300 01,112
TOTAL 113.9 244 218 23,086 27,794 = 21,972
FALL 1/ 3/
CALIF 21.5 390 7,280 8,385
coLo 56.0 320 17,225 17,920
CONN 1.4 250 315 350
TDAHO-10 SW CO 29.0 375 9,380 10,875
OTHER CO 316.0 290 77,220 91,640
IND 2.6 240 750 624
MAINE 99.0 285 21,360 28,215
MASS 3.3 250 580 825,
MICH 44.0 275 12,540 12,100
MINN 69.0 205 13,775 143145
MONT 7.0 270 1,924 1,890
NEBR 7.8 270 2,480 2,106
NEV 9.0 345 3,300 3,105
NY-LONG IS 12.9 300 3,577 33870
-UP STATE 25.5 250 6,630 6,375
N DAK 139.0 170 20,615 23,630
OHIO 9.3 265 2,418 2,465
OREG-MALHEUR CO 10.2 370 3,960 3,774
~OTHER CO 50.8 455 19,565 = 23,114
PA 22.0 260 5,160 5,720
RI 2.5 280 598 700
S_DAK 12.0 175 1,820 2,100
UTAH 6.5 255 1,728 1,658
vt 22 236 63 47
WASH 126.0 505 56,925 63,630
WIS 61.0 350 21,350 21,350
wo 1.0 245 550 245
TOTAL 1,144.5 1,035.5 307 313,088 350,858
us 3 1,358.6 1,224.0 298 362,612 404,329

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ COMBINED WITH "FALL" ESTIMATES FOR 1986 YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR FALL
POTATOES WILL BE PUBLISHED IN CROP PRODUCTION TO BE RELEASED NOV. 10, 1986.

3/ 1985 REVISED.

4/ INCLUDES AREAS PREVIOUSLY CLASSIFIED AS "SUMMER".

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-17 NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about September 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans, cotton, wheat, and some fruit and nut crops. Farmers provided
appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on
their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys provided smal?
plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability sample. These
surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common
to all surveys, More importantly, the production forecasts are subject to
change due to future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured
currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressin
the deviations between the September 1 production forecasts and the fina
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1966-85 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 5.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 8268 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 5.1 percent or approximately
422 million bushels. Chances are 9 gut of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 8.8 percent or approximately 728 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 290 million bushels,
ranging from 84 million to 660 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 8 times and above 2 times. This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production, For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS
10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE
CROP AND LEVEL —«—-_ sb bee nnn nee e n-ne ee eee eee
UNIT QUANTITY NO. OF YEARS

FEED GRAINS 1/ 2 2
CORN FOR GRAIN 4 2
SORGHUM FOR

GRAIN 18 0 49°07 3
OATS 9 0 2404 6
BARLEY 14 0 28 5
ALL WHEAT 22 10 er) 2

DURUM 4 i) 12 4 6

OTHER SPRING 7 0 24=«7 3
RICE 1 5 5
SOYBEANS FOR

BEANS 6 4
COTTON BALES 5 5

7 CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, A
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

ND BARLEY.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-3 NASS, USDA


The California wine variety grape forecast remains at 2.00 million tons, 7
percent less than a year ago. More than 800 thousand tons of wine grapes had
been crushed for wine by September 1, making the 1986 season one of the
earliest of record. Normally about 250 thousand tons have been crushed by
September 1. Labor strikes at several major wineries have had little effect
on harvest progress. Harvest temperatures have been higher than normal
keeping grape maturity at a record pace.

The California table variety grape forecast remains at 550 thousand tons,
5 percent below last year. Over 112 thousand tons of table variety grapes had
been crushed for wine by September 1 compared with 32.0 thousand tons normally
crushed by this date. Powdery mildew has required more treatment than normal
this season,

The New York grape forecast is 175 thousand tons, down 5 percent from the
August 13 forecast but 20 percent above the 1985 crop. The crop has been
plaqued by mildew and black rot caused primarily by excessive moisture and
high humidity during the growing season. Some berry splitting has also been
noted, especially on Concords, most of which are utilized for juice. Harvest
of Concords in eastern counties has begun on a limited scale.

The Washington forecast, at 150 thousand tons, is down 6 percent from the
August 1 forecast but is 29 percent above 1985. Wine grape harvest started
the first of September and will be active during the month. Concord harvest
is expected to start mid-September, with anticipated yields Tower than earlier
expectations. The winter and spring frosts, some 2-4D drift, and especially
the hot weather during bloom, have lowered crop prospects.

The Pennsylvania forecast continues at 58.0 thousand tons, up 16 percent
from a year ago. The forecast in Michigan, at 35.0 thousand tons, is down 31
percent from 1985.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune production (dried basis) is forecast at

95.0 thousand tons (86.2 thousand metric tons), down 5 per-
cent from July 1 and 32 percent less than last year's crop. Harvest is about
98 percent complete. Quality has been very good to excellent. Sugar levels
have been extremely high.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington
is forecast at 46.5 thousand tons (42.2 thousand metric tons), unchanged from
August 1 but 8 percent less than last year. The increase in production
prospects in Michigan was cancelled out by the decrease in Idaho. Warm days,
coot nights, and timely rains have combined to color and size fruit in
Michigan. Harvest is active and quality is excellent. Harvest is underway in
Idaho and effects of the adverse spring weather during pollination are more
apparent. Prune harvest is complete in Oregon and harvest of Empress plums is
starting. Picking of early prunes is complete in Washington and late varieties
Should be harvested by mid-September

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 2.80 million pounds

(1270 metric tons) in September. An increase to 3.20 million pounds
{1450 metric tons) #5 expected in October, followed by another increase to
3.80 million pounds (1720 metric tons) in November. Output in December is
anticipated to jump 39 percent from November this year to 5.30 million pounds
(2400 metric tons).

Fresh utilization is estimated at 3.43 million pounds (1560 metric tons)
in August, 16 percent less than the previous month and 14 percent below August
a year ago, Cumulative fresh production is 7 percent less than the level over
the same period a year ago. Area devoted to papaya production in August
totaled 3975 acres (1610 hectares), 1 percent below the previous month but 9
percent above a year ago. Harvested area totaled 2340 acres (950 hectares), 2
percent below July and 11 percent less than August a year ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-11 NASS, USDA


1985 SEEDING RATES: QUANTITY OF SEED USED PER ACRE FOR SPECIFIED CROPS,
BY STATES -~ CONTINUED

STATE : PEANUTS : POTATOES, : POTATOES, : RICE : RYE
: IRISH : SWEET : :

POUNDS CWT CWT POUNDS BUSHELS POUNDS

ALA 98

an
ou
°

ARK , 125.0 6.8
5.0 155.0 16.0
65 420

°

BROAN NuCw
C0900 COONwW
yn

NNW

7.7

a
al
>
©
o
sen KNEAD

one
POW

10.0 130.0
6.6 2.

=

>

av

a
Sonn
DOOR0
ANCSSO

=
so
ny
°
°
2 on oO
an
eo

z
m
oe
nD

yao
~~
a
°

ONVNONCO MON OCHNRODOD OM

N
N MEX 92
N
N

c 105 13.0

~<
saaoNse
OCABWH® OHO

OKLA 83

Noosa oN
= bonne oO

2
>
eed

sc 86

© Ne
ANH©
Noo

TEX 74 105.0

VA 105

NESBNOG ON

<
3S
NoNMNMooH

=
<
o

© on

2 oo

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-2

N

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-26 NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1976-86 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION
YEAR : : HAY : : : : H
:ALL 1/: FEED : AND : FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO :OIL CROPS

: GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : H H
1976 : 92 96 94 107 W2 74 112 74
1977 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 : 102 108 106 93 101 76 106 105
1979 : 113 116 108 108 94 102 80 129
1980 : 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981 : 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982 : 117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983 : 88 67 100 W7 93 55 75 91
1984 2111 116 107 129 95 91 90 106
1985 : 116 133 106 121 97 93 79 W7
1986 : 109 123 108 107 107 73 64 109

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Raymond R. Hancock, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,

APPROVED: Rich 0. Allen, John D. Witzig,
Robert L. Addison, David J. Aune,
Dougtas C. Bond, James E&. Brewster,
Arvin R. Budge, Phillip L. Doctor,
William N. Dowdy, S. Radley Edwards,

( ’ William G. Hamlin, Phillip R. H. Hardy,

Craig M. Hayes, G. Douglas Hicks,
Clifton D0. James, Doyle C. Johnson,
Clemence R. Lies, Keith R. Miller,
Bergen A. Nelson, Gary A. Nelson,
Darwin E. Ransom, Homer K. Rowley,

Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, Carrol D. Spencer,

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-2 NASS, USDA


Area for harvest is estimated at 8.92 million acres (3.61 million
hectares), down 13 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 565
pounds per harvested acre.

In Texas and Qklahoma, Upland production is forecast at 3.49 million
bales, down 17 percent from last year but up 10 percent from the August 17
forecast. In Texas, harvest was delayed in the Blacklands and Central Texas
by rain, but the dry land crop in the Plains benefited from the additiona
moisture. By August 31, harvest was 12 percent complete in Texas. In
Oklahoma, crop conditions have improved drastically during the month
resulting in the crop being rated 85 percent good or better on August 31
compared with 50 percent on August 3.

Producers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missour
and Tennessee) expect to harvest 3.13 million bales, 16 percent below last
year and 10 percent below the August 1 forecast. Extended dry conditions have
resulted in rapid maturity and low survival rate of small bolls and blooms in
the region.

Growers in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) expect
to harvest 2.96 million bales of Upland cotton, 28 percent betow last year and
down 4 percent from August 1. In California, heavy losses of smal? bolls and
blooms as well as boll? rot and pest damage are taking their toll on expected
yields.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina
and South Carolina) is forecast at 700 thousand bales, down 42 percent from
last year's production but unchanged from August 1. Despite some relief from
rains during the month, the region is still suffering from the extended
drought.

Bureau of the Census reports 624,425 running bales ginned prior to
September 1 compared with 681,101 to the same date last year and 634,437 bales
in 1984,

COTTONSEED: Production for 1986, based on a three year average lint-seed

ratio, is forecast at 4.15 million tons (3.77 million metric
tons), 21 percent below the 1985 production of 5.28 million tons (4.79 million
metric tons).

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production is forecast at 25.7 million cwt (1.17 million

metric tons), up 15 percent from last year and 22 percent
above 1984. Area for harvest is set at 1.64 million acres (664 thousand
hectares), up 10 percent from last year and 12 percent from 1984. With
harvest now in progress, the average yield is forecast at 1566 pounds per
acre, down slightly from August 1 but 68 pounds above a year ago.

California harvest is well along and should peak at the end of September.
Yield prospects are favorable in most areas. In Idaho, hot August weather
pushed maturity at a rapid pace. Harvest is underway in most areas, with good
yields reported so far. Washington's harvest is 35 percent complete. Quality
is excellent. Colorado, Wyoming and Nebraska farmers are getting into harvest
a little ahead of normal. Hail storms damaged some fields in Weld County,
Colorado; while dry weather hurt the crop in southwest growing areas.

Michigan harvest started on a limited basis in August, but should be
active in September. Rains at the end of August relieved a dry spell earlier
in the month. Minnesota fields are being swathed for drying, but rain damage
may become a concern. The North Dakota crop has Tooked good from the start.
Harvest is just starting. Condition of New York beans is average to above
average. Harvest should start about mid September.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-7 NASS, USDA


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

The month began with hot, dry weather across the South and through the
Southeast. However, scattered thundershowers began in the drought areas of
the Southeast and before the month was over most of the dry areas were
relieved of stress. However, much of the Mississippi Delta and central
Alabama was still dry. At midmonth Tropical Storm Charlie developed off the
South Carolina coast. After remaining stationary for two days, the storm
intensified and became a hurricane as it moved northward along the coast,
dropping heavy rain from North Carolina to New Jersey. As the storm weakened
it veered sharply and moved eastward south of Long Island, New York. Thunder-
storms were frequent from the Rockies and Great Basin to the Atlantic Ocean.
Surges of cool air began to push into the East early in the month. In the
last week, the coldest air of the season spread southward and eastward from
the eastern Great Plains through the Mississippi Valley to the Atlantic Coast
and into porthern Florida. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather
Facility.

AUGUST CROP DEVELOPMENT

The extreme heat and dryness in the Southeast and in the Delta continued
during the first half of August. At midmonth, rain and cooler temperatures
eased crop stress across the Oelta and in the Sautheast. The cooler
temperatures slowed crop development across the eastern half of the Nation
which benefited late planted soybeans and peanuts. Above-normal temperatures
returned to the Delta and the Southeast causing stress. The last week of
August, rain and cool temperatures blanketed most of the eastern half of the
Nation and again slowed crop development. Crops ended the month mostly good
to excellent in the Corn Belt and in the northern and central Great Plains.
During August, crop condition was mostly fair to poor in the Delta and in the
Southeast but began improving near the end of the month. Soil moisture was
mostly adequate except in the Delta, the Southeast, and in some western States
where moisture was short.

Corn ended the month in mostly good to excellent condition. On August 31,
93 percent of the acreage reached the dough stage and 66 percent reached
dent. Corn maturity was 10 points ahead of last year and average with 19
percent of the acreage ready for harvest. Harvest was underway as far north
as I}linois but was confined mostly to the Delta, the Southeast, and the
Applachian States.

At month's end, soybeans were setting pods on 92 percent of the acreage
compared with 89 percent normally. Pod setting was ahead of or equal to
normal in al? States except Alabama, Arkansas, Michigan, Mississippi, South
Carolina, and South Dakota. Soybeans were shedding leaves on 5 percent of the
acreage, 3 points ahead of normal. Soybeans were shedding leaves in 14 of the
19 major producing States. The lack of moisture restricted growth and
development in the Delta and in the Southeast during most of August.

Overall, cotton was mostly fair to good during August. However, condition
was mostly poor in the Southeast. Dryness limited growth throughout the Delta
and Southeast nearly the entire month. At the end of August, rain induced
growth causing cotton to bloom at the same time bolls were opening in some
Delta States. Bolls were open on 30 percent of the acreage, equaling 1985 but
8 points ahead of the average. At month's end, harvest was underway in
Arizona, Louisiana, and in Texas.

Sorghum was 23 percent harvested, exceeding both 1985 and the average by 3
points. Harvest advanced rapidly across the Delta and equaled or exceeded the
average in all major producing States except Texas. Sorghum turning color,
at 61 percent completion, was 15 points above average. Maturity slowed and
grain sorghum mature ended the month only 3 points ahead of normal. Heading
was virtually finished in at] States except Oklahoma.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 B-2 NASS, USDA



DURUK WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED “YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE «—«—-—__ pawn nme ween nnn ne ee nn nnn nnn ene een en enn ween ene
: IND oo: 3 IND
1985: 1986: 1985 1985 : 1986
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ARIZ 1/ 46 51 84.0 87.0 7,200 3,864 4,437
CALIF 1/7 3 80 75 92.0 90.0 9,400 7,360 6,750
MINN 33 34 «52.0 41..0 1,551 1,716 1,394
MONT 160 147 9.0 25.0 3,570 1,440 3,675
N DAK 2,690 2,450 35.5 32.0 78,590 95,495 78,400
S$ DAK 85 64 31.0 27.0 3,128 2,635 1,728
3,094 2,821 36.4 34.2 103,439 112,510 96,384
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
OTHER SPRING WHEAT
AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

1985 : 1986 1984 : 1985 :

BUSHELS 000 BUSHELS
COLO 1/ : 72 55 66.0 64.0 4,620 4,752 3,520
1DAHO 3 480 460 54.0 57.0 24,700 25,920 26,220
MINN : 2,370 2,800 55.0 39.0 103,680 130,350 109,200
MONT 2 2,400 2,740 11.0 27.0 34,125 26,400 73,980
NEV 4/ : 15 14 70.0 70.0 1,200 1,050 980
N DAK 2 5,730 6,200 37.0 32.0 183,600 212,010 498,400
OREG 1/ 3 105 115 40.0 44.0 2,795 4,200 5,060
S DAK 3 2,150 2,050 30.0 27.0 61,710 64,500 55,350
UTAK 1/7 : 40 38 42.0 40.0 1,620 1,680 1,520
WASH : 290 320 45.0 49.0 11,550 13,050 15,680
WIS) o1/ z 17 18 40.0 41.0 680 680 738
wyo Vv : 18 28 26.0 35.0 792 468 980

us 13,687 14,838 35.4 33.1 431,072 485,060 491,628

AREA HARVESTED

POUNDS

1,000 CWT
1,050.0 1,040.0 5,200 5,100 52,900 54,600 53,040

400.0 340.0 7,400 7,500 32,060 29,594 25,500
463.0 418.0 4,370 4,550 21,932 20,256 19,019
188.0 178.0 5,350 5,300 8,265 10,058 9,434
72.0 68.0 4,810 4,600 3,493 3,463 3,128
329.0 289.0 3437 6,000 ett 18,071 17,340

2,333.0 5,463 136,042

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-13 NASS, USDA



DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

: AREA HARVESTED: YIELD : PRODUCTION
CROP | ill latateta tata tatetalaiatatetatatal emer reer n sen n ee ne rene mn nn nnn een n en nnnn
AND : IND &
STATE 1985 : 1986 : 1985:
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
LARGE LIMA:
CALIF : 43.0 17.0 2,120 2,200 648 912 374
BABY LIMA :
CALIF : 26.0 30.0 2,460 2,400 546 640 720
OTHER :
CALIF : 104.0 108.0 1,840 1,860 2,024 1,914 2,009
ALL :
CALIF : 173.0 155.0 2,003 2,002 3,218 3,466 3,103
cove : 220.0 220.0 1,340 1,260 2,394 2,948 2,772
'DAHO : 118.0 133.0 1,700 1,800 2,470 2,006 2,394
KANS 2/: 16.0 20.0 1,700 1,650 204 272 330
MICH : 410.0 470.0 1,320 1,500 4,290 5,412 7,050
MINN : 62.0 61.0 1,400 1,500 700 868 915
MONT 2/3 3.0 2.7 1,900 1,900 152 57 51
NEBR : 146.0 205.0 1,850 1,900 3,230 2,701 3,895
NY 3 33.0 30.0 goo =, 150 372 297 B45
N DAK : 237.0 275.0 1,270 1,300 2,520 3,010 3,575
UTAH 2/: 8.4 8.8 480 550 54 40 48
WASH : 33.0 28.0 2,150 2,250 707 710 630
WYO : 27.0 32.0 1,780 1,840 759 481 589
us : 1,486.4 1,640.5 7498 1, 566 21,070 22,268 25,697

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
ALA : 200.0 218.0 2,950 2,000 648,550 590,000 436,000
FLA : 72.0 70.0 3,000 2,700 246,400 216,000 189,000
GA 3 593.0 660.0 3,240 2,400 2,160,000 1,921,320 1,584,000
N MEX 2/ 3 12.4 12.0 2,580 2,500 32,190 31,992 30,000
nc : 154.0 143.0 2,935 2,900 449,500 451,990 414,700
OKLA z 83.0 95.0 2,060 2,000 189,000 170,980 190,000
sc : 12.0 12.0 2,850 2,000 39,150 34,200 24,000
TEX t 245.0 190.0 1,725 1,800 371,295 422,625 342,000
VA : 96,0 87.0 2,955 2,950 269,660 283,680 256,650
us : 1,467.4 1,487. 8 2,810 2,331 4,405,745 4,122,787 3,466,350

1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
SEPTEMBER 1986 A-16 NASS, USDA