Hay: Farm Market ings Percent of Sales, by Month and State,
990-91 And 1991-92 1/

State and pot ft ft : root 3 : 203
Marketing > Apr:May:dun :Jul: Aug:Sep: Oct:Nov :Dec: Jan: Feb: Mar:Apr:May
ear : 3 : : : : 2 : i : 2 : :
Percent
AZ 1990-91 : 13 15 13 13 6 4 5 7 5 5 5 9
1991-92: 16 11 18 21 9 7 4 8 5 2 4 5
AR 1990-91: 7 14 #10 «#14 «67 7 7 10 7 7 7 3
1991-92 : 5 14 11 11 10 9 8 7 8 8 6 3
CA 1990-91 : 13,12 #13 #12 10 Jl 4 3 3 4 5 10
1991-92 : 11 12 «14 9 8 7 5 5 9 4 6 10
co 1990-91 : 4 6 18 ll 8 6 8 7 10 12 § 5
1991-92 : 4 6 9 10 9 12 12 12 #10 8 5 3
GA 1990-91: 4 10 8 7 8 8 1 6 12 W 6 2
1991-92 : § ll 6 7°11 #10 8 #21 #11 #11 6 3
1D 1990-91: 14°12 0«:10 «13 9 5 9 «13 5 5 3.2
1991-92 : io ll 1111 9 10 8 7 4 8 7 4
IL 1990-91 : i$ 12 10 8 4 7 8 ll 9 «8 4 4
1991-92: 7 8 6 4 3°11 8 13 12 15 7 6
IN 1990-91 : 9 8 6 7 7 6 8 11 14 11 9 4
1991-92: 11 10 8 7 6 6 7 11 12 10 7 5
TA 1990-91: 19 144 15 7 4 5 6 7 8 8 4 3
1991-92: 1% ll 9 il 4 4 7 il 9 10 5 3
KS 1990-91: 3 8 10 10 6 10 8 il 14 8 6 6
1991-92 3 8 11 10 7 9 8 11 13 8 6 6
KY 1990-91 § 12 15 5 7 6 5 10 11 16 6 2
1991-92 5 12 14 7 7 6 #7 9 10 12 8 3
MI 1990-91: 10 12 8 § 5 14 14 8 6 8 6 4
1991-92 : 144 #11 «#100 «3 6 9 ll ll 8 8 6 3
MN 1990-91 : 5 6 6 5 7 8 10 Ji 12 13 «12 ~=«5
1991-92: 11 (12 7 6 6 § 8 7 8 15 9 6
MO 1990-91 : 416 14 5 5 3°99 8 11 13° 9 3
1991-92 2 14 = #10 5 7 3.7 #10 #15 12 12 3
MT 1990-91: 10 8 10 10 ll 9 7 10 7 9 4 5
1991-92: 3 ll 13° 7 8 7 10 12 9 «68 6 6
--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-20 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next "Crop Production" report will be released on January 12, 1993, at
3:00 p.m. ET.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Herb Eldridge - Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202) 720-7621
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526
Dave Mueller - Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-2157
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068

Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Steve Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
Jim Brewster - Fruits (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202) 720-8843
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202) 720-5412
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944
Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-3843

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 B-11 NASS, USDA


The Florida tangerine forecast is 2.60 million boxes, unchanged from October 1
and last year but 33 percent larger than the 1990-91 crop. Harvest of early
varieties is almost complete with only 20 percent remaining. Harvest of all
tangerines is 25 percent complete. The California and Arizona forecasts were
carried forward from October 1

Temples: The December 1 forecast for the 1992-93 Florida Temple crop is
2.70 million boxes, unchanged from October 1 but up 15 percent from
Jast season. Fruit size is smal) and harvest has not yet begun.

K-Early Citrus: The December 1 forecast of the Florida K-Early Citrus crop is
175,000 boxes, down 12 percent from October 1 but 6 percent
more than last season. Harvest is nearly complete with small sizes reported.

Florida Citrus: Groves, trees, and fruit in all areas of the State are in
good to excellent condition. Rain was minimal during the
first two weeks of November; however, there was adequate rainfall in the last
part of the month. Mild days and cool nights early in the month greatly
slowed new growth. Most early maturing varieties have good natural color
break. Fruit drop is not excessive on a Statewide basis. Harvest of early
oranges for processing increased during November. More than three-fourths of
the State's processing plants were open and running by the end of the
November. Almost 6.50 million boxes of early oranges had been processed
through November. Approximately 93 percent of the early and mid oranges
remain to be picked. Movement of white and colored grapefruit for both fresh
and processed use was active through November. Utilization has been
600,000 to 800,000 boxes per week for the past several weeks. Almost
6.00 million boxes of grapefruit have been utilized as of the first of
December. Harvest of early tangerine varieties is almost complete with only
20 percent of the crop remaining. Movement of all tangelos is increasing.
Caretakers have been active cutting cover crops, spot spraying fresh use
crops, and placing heaters in cold areas.

Texas Citrus: Wet conditions hampered harvest activities during November.

Quality of fruit remained good. Grapefruit sizes continued to
be smaller than expected. Navel and other early oranges were showing good
sizes. Birds continued to cause problems in some groves.

California Fruit and Nuts: Orchard floor work and pruning were active during

the month. Late season apple, table grape,
kiwifruit, and persimmon packing continued in the San Joaquin Valley. Date
harvest in the Coachella Valley was active. Picking of the 1991-92 Valencia
orange crop neared completion, while harvest of the 1992-93 Navel orange crop
in the San Joaquin Valley continued. Avocado, grapefruit, lemon, and
tangerine harvests were active in Southern California.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at

30.8 million tons. This level is 2 percent more than last year
and virtually unchanged from the November 1 forecast. The increase from a
year earlier is due to a larger Louisiana crop.

This year's production of sugarcane for sugar, at 29.4 million tons, is
1 percent larger than a year ago. This is primarily due to a 9 percent
increase in harvested area in Louisiana.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-7 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit:

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/

Grapefruit
W ite Seedless

Colored Seedless
Other

FL
All

AZ 4/

CA 4/ 2/
Desert
Other Areas

_Total

1X 5/

US
Tangerines

Tangelos
Fi

K-Early Citrus
FL

15,
87,

103,
3:
64,

75,

1

21,
21,
1,
2,
3,

25,
151,

178,
2,

Utilized Production
Boxes

550
800
500

850
200
800
100
100
600
600
950

500

700
800
600
400
500

780
35,100
83; 400

20
119,300

1,600
31,000
56,400

10
89,010

19,100
22,100
1,200
2,800
3,500
63500
10;000
42,400
65
55,265

1,200

25,000
27,000
2,000
2,200
3,500

54,000
1,100

950
2,500
25600
63050

5,700
17,000
22;700

3,300

Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted December 1, 1992 1/

Utilized Production
Ton Equivalent

112

1,917
2,256

23
51

166
156
563
719

119

29
1,317
3,783
5,100
60
1,163
23538
3,761
89
2,480
6,291
1
8,861

106

812
940

26
1,575
5,130
6,748
45
975
3,240
2
4,262
71
2,550
83370
19

11,010

122

1,063
1,148
85

70
112

2,296
44

Crop Production
December 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


State and :

All Wheat:

Marketing ‘May: dun: ; dul:

Year

Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/

Aug: Sep: Oct: Nov: Dec:Jan: Feb: Mar: Apr:May: Jun

AZ

AR

CA

co

GA

ID

IL

IN

KS

MI

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

: 44

Crop Production

December 1992

30
29

70
63

37
22

42

10

ne

ue

en wN

aw

on

A-24

11 1 1 1
10
1 1 1 11
1 2
4 7 3 4 3
3°19 7 1 2
10 11 7 8 7 8 6
9613 § 5 3.92 2
1 1
1
9 20 7 8 8 6 5
14°13 7 9 4 2 5
2 4 3 4 4 2
2 1 1
2 2 2 2 11
1 2 2
7 10 7 7 5 3
5 6 2 3 11
6 7 6 5 5 4 4
5 6 3 1 1 1

--cont inued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


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Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1990-1991
and Forecasted December 1, 1992

Burley Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted December 1, 1992

Yield : Production
State :----------------------------------------------+------------------------
1991 : 1992 : 1990 : 1991 1992
--- Pounds ----
Type 31
IN : 8,800 9,000 2,150 2,100 15,050 18,920 18,900
KY : 213,000 220,000 2,150 2,200 419,950 457,950 484,000
MO 1/: 3,000 1,500 2,275 1,550 5,928 6,825 2,325
NC : 9,000 9,200 2,000 1,950 17,999 18,000 17,940
OH : 10,400 10,800 2,190 2,100 18,915 22,776 22,680
TN > 54,000 59,000 1,950 2,000 94,760 105,300 118,000

VA : 11,900 12,300 2,100 2,150 22,605 24,990 26,445
Wi od/: 1,900 2,000 1,800 1,800 2,720 3,420 3,600

US : 312,000 323,800 2,110 2,143 597,927 658,181 693,890

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, Hawaii, by Month, 1991-92

-- 1,000 Pounds --
Oct : 3,925 3,595 2,070 2,715 5,380 5,445

Nov : 33975 3.685 22060 2,690 47820 5,150

Dec : 4010 22115 5,675

dan : 3,955 2,120 5,135

Feb : 3,855 2;070 4,910

Mar : 3945 2; 160 3,970
Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Nov _ 42,475 51,075
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board -

December 1992 A-5 NASS, USDA


smallest since 1976. Many acres in the Southeast will not be harvested
because yields are too low. The wet weather during 1991, coupled with the
large crop, is generally thought to be the cause of this year's low yields.

The Texas forecast of 55.0 million pounds, is down 8 percent from October 1.
Volume on Improved varieties looks good but the Native crop is less than
expected with some quality problems reported. The Georgia forecast, at

40.0 million pounds, is 33 percent below the previous forecast. This year's
crop is the smallest expected since 1966. Quality of the few pecans that have
been harvested is good. The New Mexico forecast is unchanged at 29.0 million
pounds. Harvest is in full swing.

Alabama's forecast is unchanged from last month at 9.00 million pounds. The
Improved varieties forecast has been increased to 7.00 million pounds but the
Native forecast has been decreased to 2.00 million pounds. The Arkansas
forecast has been reduced 33 percent from last month to 1.00 million pounds.
The crop was adversely affected by freezes in the fall of 1991 and the spring
of 1992. California's forecast of 2.60 million pounds, is 10 percent less
than October. Harvest is nearly complete with good quality reported.

The Florida pecan forecast is 3.00 million pounds, down 14 percent from
October. Quality of the pecans already harvested is good. Louisiana's
forecast was reduced to 4.00 million pounds, 20 percent less than the October
forecast. The trees simply did not set many nuts following last year's large
crop. Mississippi's forecast dropped 50 percent from October to 1.00 million
pounds. Again, freezes in the fall of 1991 and the spring of 1992 reduced
crop volume. The Oklahoma forecast is off 18 percent, at 9.00 million pounds.
Rainfall during the bloom period in the spring hurt the crop and some areas
have had complete crop failures. South Carolina's forecast declined

40 percent to 300,000 pounds. South Carolina has experienced all the problems
that have affected the other southeastern States.

Oranges: The December 1 forecast of U.S. orange production is 11.0 million
tons, unchanged from last month but up 24 percent from last season.

The forecast for all Florida oranges is 186 million boxes, unchanged from
October 1 but 33 percent more than last season. Production of Florida early
and mid-season varieties is forecast at 114 million boxes, unchanged from
October 1 but up 37 percent from last year. Over 6.50 million boxes had been
processed through the end of November. Florida's Valencia production is
expected to total 72.0 million boxes, also unchanged from October 1 but

28 percent more than last season's crop. Fruit set is heavy this year but
sizes on all oranges are smaller than normal.

California's 1992-93 all orange forecast is 68.0 million boxes, unchanged from
October 1 but 3 percent more than last year. The Navel crop in California is
expected to total 42.0 million boxes, up 11 percent from October 1 and

20 percent more than last season. The crop has a large set and good fruit
size. Cool temperatures in November were beneficial for improving fruit
color. Harvest is over 10 percent complete. California's Valencia forecast
is 26.0 million boxes, down 13 percent from October 1 and down 16 percent from
last season's large crop. An objective measurement survey conducted in the
San Joaquin Valley and Southern California indicates that fruit set is down
significantly from last year but fruit size is expected to be good.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-5 NASS, USDA


Hay: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales, by Month and State,
1990-91 And 1991-92 1/ (continued)

State and: : : toot toot : tt : : : :
Marketing : Apr:May:Jun :Jul:Aug :Sep: Oct:Nov :Dec: Jan: Feb: Mar:Apr:May
ear : : : 2G : poof : : poo:

Percent
NE 1990-91 : 9 10 8 9 12 9 11 9 8 7 6 2
1991-92 ; 7 lo 9 9 12 11 12 ll 7 6 4 2
NV 1990-91: 3 3 I 13) 12 «+11 «#10 9 9 8 7 4
1991-92: 3 4 10 12 11 #10 10 9 9 10 8 4
NM 1990-91: 15 17 14 13° ~«#210 8 5 4 4 4 4 2
1991-92: 15 15 17 12 #21 9 4 4 4 3 4 2
NY 1990-91 : 10 14 10 4 5 6 9 9 10 10 7 6
1991-92: 11 14°«9 5 5 7 8 9 10 10 7 5
ND 1990-91 : 4 9 8 13 16 14 #210 8 3 5 9 1
1991-92: 5 8 4 9 8 14 8 14 6 10 10 4
OH 1990-91: 12 10 7 7 6 8 12 10 10 9 6 3
1991-92: 13° #11 «9 7 7 7 8 11 9 9 5 4
OK 1990-91: 5 11 20 8 9 9 6 ll 8 7 5 1
1991-92 : 9 7 13 10 9 7 8 10 9 8 6 4
OR 1990-91 : 16 #15 15 12 12 6 5 4 4 4 3 4
1991-92 : 21 20 16 15 5 4 6 4 3 2 1 3
PA 1990-91 : 9 10 6 6 6 7 8 LU WU 8 7
1991-92: 10 1067 6 6 8 8 10 11) 10 7 6
SD 1990-91 : 8 14 5 13 IW 7 5 7 4 8 8 4
1991-92: 9 13 7 #410 14 8 6 8 4 9 8 4
TX 1990-91: 910 1 8 8 97 WU g 9 7 2
1991-92 6 13 13 10 9 6 ll 6 7 12 5 2
UT 1990-91 2 9 12 20 = 13 9 6 10 7 5 4 3
1991-92 5 10 11 10 8 9 11 8 6 7 6 9
WA 1990-91: 12 11 #11~~«#10 9 8 6 8 6 5 6 8
1991-92 : 2 Ud ou 9 8 7 8 6 6 5 6
WI 1990-91: 11 615 200 13 5 3 6 5 5 3 6 8
1991-92 : 15 12 12 «#1 4 7 7 5 6 7 6 8
wy 1990-91: 3 10 8 12 13 16 9 9 7 7 4 2
1991-92: 3 9 9 10 11 15 LW 10 7 7 5 3
1/ Percents used to calculate marketing year average prices.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-21 NASS, USDA


Corn: Farm Market ings. Percent of Sales, by Month
1990-91 and 1991-92 1

Marketing zug Sep : :0ct :Nov :Dec ‘dan Feb iMar: Apr: May: Jun: Jul :Aug:Sep

Year
percent sts—~—CSs
CO 1990-91: 13°19 9 1 #4 4 6 5 6 8 B 6
1991-92: 139 #12 #18 +8 7 7 6 6 4 4 6
GA 1990-91 : 49 10 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 2 10
1991-92 :32 18 8 4 4 8 5 4 4 6 3 4
IL 1990-91: 3°13 13 8 18 10 8 8 4 5 5 5
1991-92: 4 #14 4 8 19 10 7 4 4 4 6 6
IN 1990-91: 3°13 2 #6 12 9 6 10 4 5 4 4
1991-92: 16 16 6 «67 «(20 6 2 3 4 6 5
IA 1990-9]: 5 12 12 6 12 7 8 9 5 6 9 9
1991-92: 9 14 9 7 12 7 9 4 5 6 9 9
KS 1990-91: 12 22 13 10 17 5 6 3 2 2 2 6
1991-92: 17 20 8 12 13 7 6 4 4 4 3 2
KY 1990-91 : 8 11 16 6 2 14 6 421 21 3 5
1991-92: 21 18 #7 5S 2 11 7 #3 2 2 21 3
MI 1990-91: 4 17 144 15 7 5 6 3 610 6 7
1991-92: 17 144 «#11 #15 10 6 5 4 7 5 3 3
MN 1990-91 : 8 6 3 6 4 4 9 8 10 13 #15 14
1991-92: 21 9 8 14 10 10 4 4 6 6 4 4
MO 1990-91: 1 16 9 5 12 6 5 6 3 3 611
1991-92: 19 17 5 8 14 6 6 3 4 4 6 8
NE 1990-91 : 1 11 #7 14 6 6 8 5 6 8 9 10
1991-92: 16 8 10 16 10 11 5 5 6 5 4 4
NC 1990-91 : 49 2 5 2 3 3 1 43 2 2 6
1991-92: 4417 4 #3 7 4 4&4 2 3 5 2 5
OH 1990-91: 4 14 2 #9 123 8 8 7 4 «5 5 3
1991-92 : 1121067 8 «144 6906lU8lUAllUSK UU
PA 1990-91: ll oi #9 8 8 7 9 6 9 5 5 5
1991-92 : 17 12 #8 8 8 10 8 8 5 7 7 2
$D 1990-91: 19 13 6 7 6 5 8 4 6 8 8 10
1991-92: 33 8 6 10 7 7 5 4 5 5 4 6
1X 1990-91 :16 13 23 9 7 10 2 3 4 1 #210
1991-92 :15 9 39 6 8 8 2 1 121 10
WI 1990-91: 8 2 9 15 5 5 7 4 87 5 4
1991-92: 11 22 12 137 #7 +46 64 4 4

i Beginning in 1991-92, sample survey reported marketings as percent of
total used for calculating marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-27 NASS, USDA


Oats: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales, by Month
and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/

State and : : : : toot : boot bt
Marketing May: :dun dul “Aug :Sep :Oct :Nov :Dec: Jan:Feb :Mar:Apr:May:Jun
ear : : : : pot : poof oot
“percent
CA 1990-91: 12 3 4 4 9 18 19 10 10 10 1
1991-92 : 13 8 14 14 14 27 9 1
IL 1990-91: 28 «35 6 3 2 2 3 3 6 3 4 5
1991-92: 18 4 6 1 3 2 15 10 12 14 7 8
IN 1990-91 : 42 19 3 2 1 3 3 8 3 7 3 6
1991-92: 44. 22 4 2 1 8 ll 5 2 1
TA 1990-91 : 28 «30 8 4 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 4
1991-92 46 «15 7 3 1 3 5 4 5 4 3 4
MI 1990-91: 5 30 14 4 3 2 7 6 § 9 10 §
1991-92: 21 20 9 5 2 4 6 9 6 7 5 6
MN 1990-91: 14 20 3 5 3 4 8 4 5 8 11 15
1991-92 : 24 «13 8 3 6 5 5 10 9 6 4 7
MT 1990-91 : 3 3 9 6 8 7 6 9 9 6 7 7
1991-92 15 10 7 10 3 7 ll 12 9 4 9 3
NE 1990-91 46 «16 5 2 2 2 3 3 397 4 *7T
1991-92 47 12 5 5 3 4 4 7 4 3 4 2
NY 1990-91: 5 17 13 6 1 4 14 16 6 4 8 6
1991-92 : 23. «(10 8 5 7 7 16 7 3 6 8
ND 1990-91 : 8 19 10 9 7 6 7 7 7 7° 7 «6
1991-92 : 11 260 «610 6 5 7 8 6 7° 3 4 7
OH 1990-91 : 28 «33 6 4 4 3 4 4 5 3 3 3
1991-92: 42 4 8 5 2 6 7 5 6 7 4 4
OR 1990-91: 8 14 12 16 12 9 13 6 5 2 2 1
1991-92 : 2 3 11 22 #15 10 14 10 6 3 1 3
PA 1990-91: 22 4 6 5 2 2 6 12 7 7 § 2
1991-92 : 30 7 8 4 2 4 5 ll 10 6 7 6
SD 1990-91 : 17 24 4 3 5 5 5 4 5 10 7 11
1991-92: 2914 4 3 2 7 12 7 7 6 4 5
TX 1990-91 : 40 33 12 2 2 2 1 4 1 1 11
1991-92 : 34 8 10 10 8 3 1 4 11 11
WI 1990-91: 8 32 5 4 4 5 5 5 7
1991-92 : 3 7 #10 10 8 4

1/ Beginning in -92, sample survey reported marketings as percent of
total used for calculating marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-23 NASS, USDA


The Arizona all orange crop is expected to total 1.90 million boxes, down

20 percent from last season. The Arizona forecast was carried forward from

October 1. The 1992-93 Texas all orange forecast is 450,000 boxes, unchanged
from last month, as trees continue to recover from the December 1989 freeze.
Last season's production was 30,000 boxes.

The December 1 U.S. all orange production forecast has deviated from the final
production by an average of 828,000 tons over the past 10 seasons, ranging
from a low of 3,000 tons in 1982-83 to a high of 2.39 million tons in 1983-84.
The large difference between the December 1, 1983, forecast and the final
production for the 1983-84 season was the result of the late December 1983
freeze losses to the Florida and Texas citrus crops.

Florida Frozen Concentrated Juice Yield: The 1992-93 forecast of all Frozen

Concentrated Orange Juice Yield
remains at 1.48 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast is
projected to estimate the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus
Processors Association. The final 1991-92 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ
was 1.55 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix.

Grapefruit: The 1992-93 U.S. grapefruit crop (excluding California Other

Areas) is forecast at 2.52 million tons, down slightly from last
month but up 26 percent over last year. Last year California's “Other Areas"
grapefruit crop totaled 217,000 tons (6.50 million boxes). The first forecast
for that type of grapefruit will be made on April 1, 1993.

The December 1 forecast for Florida's all grapefruit crop is 54.0 million
boxes, unchanged from October 1 but 27 percent more than last year. Almost
6.00 million boxes of grapefruit have been utilized as of December 1.

The Florida white seedless grapefruit forecast is 25.0 million boxes, also
unchanged from October 1 but up 31 percent from last season. The colored
seedless forecast is 27.0 million boxes, also unchanged from the previous
forecast but 22 percent more than the 1991-92 crop. The seedy grapefruit crop
is expected to reach 2.00 million boxes, a 67 percent increase over last
season.

The California Desert and Arizona forecasts of 3.50 million boxes and
2.20 million boxes, respectively, were carried forward from October 1.

The Texas grapefruit forecast was reduced 100,000 boxes from the November
forecast to 1.10 million boxes. Harvest of grapefruit is well underway but
sizes are smaller than expected, lowering yields. The citrus industry
continues to recover from devastating freezes during the 1980's.

Tangelos: The 1992-93 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 3.30 million boxes,

unchanged from October 1 but 27 percent more than the previous
season. Fruit are developing normally but size is below average. Harvest is
approximately 14 percent complete.

Tangerines: The 1992-93 U.S. tangerine crop forecast is 254,000 tons, down
2 percent from last season but up 53 percent from the 1990-91
season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-6 NASS, USDA


Field Crops:

Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug

Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar

pr
May
Jun

rere

NADMNNUHOWOR OR

Year : 100.

>

i
a

ne

wWNwoHOMONHNMaue

=

o

<
NNOUNR PUID PND
OC HOWE PE NNO

Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales, by Crop and Month,
United States, 1990-91 and 1991-92 f

°

are

NANNOMONMDO-OW

100.

Oats

eH

PONODUNEWEAWHAO
OS VHOXAOHROANDOH

WUWWOONAMUNNAW

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VPAENNYWONAANVNND
Oo HOBNNOOWONUE ND

100.

SO DNAWUNOENWYND

Crop Production
December 1992

1991-92
Percent
Flaxseed Peanuts
1.1
12.1 9 2.5
34.0 39.7 43.1
18.2 46.6 44.6
4.4 9.0 7.8
4.8 3.3 1.6
4.9 35 4
3.6
6.3
2.1
1,3
7.2
100.0 100.0 100.0
Wheat Barley
17.9 7.7 4.0
15.8 8.4 6.8
11.8 7.2 18.5
7.7 9.6 9.6
7.6 10.3 8.1
6.7 11.0 9.6
8.1 8.4 10.0
8.7 9.3 9.7
5.2 5.2 6.5
4.6 4.9 8.1
3.1 4.1 5.0
2.8 3.9 4.1
100.0 100.0 100.0
--continued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


1992

1991

1,000 Acres

Area Planted and Harvested, by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1990-92 (continued)

Dry Edible Beans:

Class
and
State

Smal] Red

26.0 31.0 17.0 25.0 30.0

18.0

MI
Black Turtle Soup:

Cranberry

NY
Total

conn
tO
xno m

ooo
On
+ +

ooo
OL
+ wl

ooo
wae
No

ooo
UA
+ Ww

e200
Dow
+

Blackeye

1 CO
minw

191
on

NN
ww

un 0
mmo

mw
mo

on
win

Garbanzo
OR
WA

CUNTMNOAMNDANMDO

SMNOCHOMOMMONNND
a cal wo

CONMOtTAMTOTOMMN

WAMONCDDOMNNIMS
oa) nN 5

CONCOHTAMMOFOTO

ONMA EHH OTOANMAY
aN o

SBMDOMMOOMMODOANM

AMMONMWTOMNBOND
= 4 ive]

SOADODOCWOMMONOMYO

WAMANOAMOMONR Ost
a n 6

COMTDOWOMMONOMNDA

ANIMA ANOTON TA
aN 7 4
=

--continued

NASS, USDA

Agricultural Statistics Board

A-10

Crop Production
December 1992


Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 3.63 million
bales, unchanged from November 1 but 27 percent below the 1991 production.
November rainfall caused minimal harvest delays in this region and by
December 6 in Texas 80 percent of the crop was harvested. In West Texas, boll
weights are the third highest since 1982.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
expect to produce 6.46 million bales, 1 percent above both the November 1
forecast and 1991 production. Regional yields, at 747 pounds per harvested
acre, are down 27 pounds from last year. Rainfall delayed some harvest
activity but by December 6, all of the Mississippi and Louisiana crop was
harvested and 99 percent was harvested in Arkansas. Missouri and Tennessee
were 97 percent harvested. Objective yield surveys indicate boll weights are
the second highest since 1982 for Louisiana, and are fourth and sixth highest
for Arkansas and Mississippi, respectively. Normally, boll weights in the
Delta change little from December 1 to final harvest.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.53 million bales, up 1 percent from November 1 and up
slightly from 1991. Yields in this region are expected to average

1,242 pounds per acre, 40 pounds above the 1991 yield and a new record high
yield for California. Harvest was 99 percent complete in both Arizona and
California. December 1 boll weight data indicate that the California crop has
the fourth highest weight of the last 10 years. Generally, minor weight
changes occur between December 1 and final harvest.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and
South Carolina) puts production at 2.04 million bales, a 2 percent decrease
from last month and 10 percent below 1991's production. Yields in this region
are expected to average 666 pounds per acre, 57 pounds below 1991. Harvest
was interrupted by rainfall during November, especially in Georgia, and caused
deterioration in crop condition. As of December 6, al] of these States were
behind the average harvesting pace - especially in North Carolina where

71 percent of the crop was harvested compared with 95 percent average.

American-Pima cotton production, at 501,000 bales, remains the second largest
on record, and is up 26 percent from the 1991 level. Arizona yields continue
to deteriorate due to weather and insect related problems.

Ginnings totaled 12,598,900 running bales ginned prior to December 1, compared
with 13,259,650 running bales for the same date last year and
12,428,045 running bales in 1990.

Cottonseed: Production for 1992, based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio,
is expected to total 6.26 million tons, down 10 percent from the
1991 production of 6.93 million tons.

Burley Tobacco: U.S. burley tobacco production is forecast at 694 million
pounds, 1 percent below November 1 but 5 percent above 1991.
Increased acreage and average yields from last year are the contributing
factors. Area harvested is up 4 percent from a year earlier. Yield is
expected to average 2,143 pounds per acre, 33 pounds more than in 199].

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-3 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/

State and : : : : : : : : : : : :
Marketing : Sep : Oct: Nov: Dec: Jan : Feb: Mar : Apr: May : Jun: Jul : Aug
ear : : : 2 : : : : : : : :

CA 1990-91
1991-92

CO 1990-91
1991-92

ID 1990-91
1991-92

MI 1990-91
1991-92

MN 1990-91
1991-92

NE 1990-91
1991-92

NY 1990-91
1991-92

ND 1990-91
1991-92

WA 1990-91
1991-92

WY 1990-91
1 2

=r
ee
are

_

a
are
a

-

_

ene Re wNL
COO ON OF AW WHO NY WU WO AH

eS ee
~ »

WMD AW AD OO DM WHO HO WO rH
ad
7

nmr

1
ON NE SR OM SN OW NO YE OM NF

“NM WO DW HO NU Se NO OM AN NO
WOW WW WH UD FR PE WW HH OF NO

1

HO FD BR OW NUM ON WY OO OH ND

He MM Be He BH MM He

ts reflect estimates of a
marketing year average prices.

Sunflower: Farm Market ings Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/

State and : : : : : : : : : : : :
Marketing : Sep :Oct : Nov :Dec : Jan :Feb : Mar :Apr : May :Jun : Jul : Aug
ear : : : : : : : : : : : :
as Percent = ts—=—<CSsSSSSSCSCstCS*S

KS 1990-91 12 39 8 28 7 1 3 1 1
1991-92 2 16 23. «19 3. 24 2 1 4 3 2 1
MN 1990-91 9 36 9 6 12 (14 3 2 2 5 1 1
1991-92 9 21 3 «ol 5 6 5 5 4 8 8 5
ND 1990-91 : 3 36 10 1) 8 9 5 3 2 7 4 2
1991-92 : 2 25 10 10 13 6 6 5 5 8 7 3
$D 1990-91 : 13 34 15 3 11 3 3 6 3 6 1 2
1991-92 : 14 26 12 10 8 6 4 4 3 7 3 3
1/ Be inning in 1991-92 sample survey reported marketings as percent of

total used for calculating marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-30 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production, by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1990-92 (continued)

Class : Yield Per Acre : Production
an {eon noon non -- +--+ - $$$ -- = += -- === ===
State : 1990 : 1991 : 1992 : 1990 1991 1992

Large Lima
CA

2,000 2,270 2,520 460 681 681
Baby Lima :
CA : 2,280 2,500 2,360 570 975 520
Navy :
co : 1,760 1,600 30 8
ID : 1,900 1,630 2,030 131 52 65
KS : 2,230 1,750 29 14
MI : 1,590 1,840 1,240 3,545 4,940 2,660
MN : 1,370 1,570 1,380 919 749 494
NE : 2,070 2,210 1,630 87 64 13
NM : 1,710 2,190 2,190 60 68 68
ND : 960 1,510 1,220 1,767 2,310 1,305
OR : 2,040 2,280 2,220 55 41 40
Total : 1,338 1,715 1,267 6,593 8,268 4,653
Great Northern
co : 1,830 2,250 42 27
ID 3 2,090 2,180 1,770 180 183 69
KS : 2,250 1,880 1,500 36 15 6
NE : 2,080 1,940 1,700 2,425 2,201 1,270
WA : 2,000 2,150 56 43
WY : 2,310 2,120 2,110 125 104 74
Total : 2,092 1,967 1,730 2,822 2,588 1,446
Small White
ID : 2,090 2,150 1,820 92 118 71
MI : 1,630 1,920 1,200 130 115 18
OR 2,000 2,000 2,230 22 26 29
WA 2,260 2,040 2,000 77 94 42
Total 1,899 2,029 1,818 321 353 160
--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-7 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1990-92

Class : Area Planted Area Harvested

1,000 Acres

Large Lima
CA

24.0 31.0 28.0 23.0 30.0 27.0
Baby Lima :
CA : 25.0 40.0 23.0 25.0 39.0 22.0
Navy
co 1.9 0.6 1.7 0.5
1D 7.0 3.3 3.5 6.9 3.2 3.2
Ks 1.4 1.0 1.3 0.8
MI 235.0 270.0 235.0 223.0 268.0 215.0
MN 69.0 50.3 38.0 67.0 47.7 35.8
NE 4.5 3.0 1.0 4.2 2.9 0.8
NM : 3.5 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.1 3.1
ND : 188.0 156.0 122.0 184.0 153.0 107.0
OR : 2.7 1.8 1.9 2.7 1.8 1.8
Total : $11.1 490.4 405.1 492.6 482.2 367.2
Great Northern
co 2.3 1.2 2.3 1.2
ID 8.7 8.4 4.0 8.6 8.4 3.9
KS 1.7 1.0 0.5 1.6 0.8 0.4
NE 119.0 115.3 82.4 116.5 113.2 74.6
WA 2.9 2.0 2.8 2.0
WY 5.5 5.0 4.0 5.4 4.9 3.5
Total 137.8 134.0 92.1 134.9 131.6 83.6
5.7 4.0 4.4 5 3.9
6.0 1.5 8.0 .0 1.5
1.3 1.4 1.1 3 1.3
4.6 2.2 3.4 6 2.1
17.6 9.1 16.9 4 8.8
--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-6 NASS, USDA


Field Crops:

Month

Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales
United States, 1990-91 and 1991-92

Crop Marketing Year

by Crop and Month,
/

f=)

a

o
Pr)

a
©

=
=
>

Aug : ol.
Year : 100.

iJ

6

a
en

o
i
WH PWWORNS
O YVAHHWHDFuULOMMOW

©

o
AAAI HOWH Oe
DWHNVEHOUNoOwow

Sorghum
10
20
8
12
10
100
Soybeans
1
2
1
0 100

Oo UNUM. RENUD

O VENWKHOURONKO

Cotton
5.3 4.5
5.5 6.9
18.3 13.2
22.4 15.2
18.2 16.5
15.0 16.1
5.2 10.6
2.7 7.3
2.4 4.7
1.9 1.6
1.9 2.2
1.2 1.2
100.0 100.0
Sunflower
5.3 5.2
35.2 25.2
11.7 11.2
8.7 10.4
9.3 10.9
8.4 6.0
4.5 5.4
3.4 4.7
1.9 4.0
6.5 7.9
3.3 6.1
1.8 3.0
100.0 100.0

1/ Revised for 1990-91.

Crop Production
December 1992

Percent
Corn
4,7 11.2
12.4 17.1
14.3 7.6
6.7 8.0
13.7 14.7
7.5 8.6
6.6 8.0
8.2 4.0
4.7 4.4
5.7 5.1
7.5 5.8
° 8.0° 5.5
100.0 100.0
Dry Edible Beans
23.5 19.5
14.1 14.0
8.7 7.5
6.5 8.7
10.7 8.5
4.7 7.4
5.5 6.9
6.4 6.7
7.8 5.1
3.2 7.3
2.7 4.0
6.2 4.4
100.0 100.0
A-19

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production, by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1990-92 (continued)

C1 ass : Yield Per Acre Production
an feercre nnn -2 ne -- 22-2 $2 22-22 = -- 2-2 - == $+ === --------
State : 1990 : 1991 > 1992 1990 : 1991 1992

co : 1,880 1,850 1,620 3,813 3,173 2,370

ID : 1,990 2,040 1,860 1,830 1,322 584
KS : 1,730 1,700 1,400 590 504 242
MI : 1,670 1,870 1,400 150 131 98
MN : 1,020 1,630 1,450 371 445 326
MT : 1,690 1,910 1,900 193 143 175
NE : 1,860 1,810 1,610 2,230 1,535 1,008
NM : 1,610 1,900 1,900 159 148 165
ND : 880 1,460 1,190 2,873 4,846 3,213
OR : 2,000 2,280 2,140 62 41 15
1TM : 1,310 1,290 1,420 170 258 284
UT : 330 480 700 13 26 40
WA : 2,010 2,040 2,010 356 375 135
wy : 1,930 1,930 1,870 840 696 534
Total : 1,476 1,676 1,443 13,650 13,643 9,189

Light Red

Kidney :
CA : 1,620 1,640 1,840 502 230 350
co : 2,220 2,100 60 153
ID : 1,170 1,750 1,630 7 14 13
MI : 1,600 1,910 1,400 160 143 112
MN : 2,400 1,680 1,700 12 99 119
NE : 2,000 2,030 1,590 230 191 175
NY : 1,680 1,360 970 336 266 155
Total > 1,694 1,677 1,559 1,247 1,003 1,077

Dark Red

Kidney
CA : 1,800 1,670 1,600 252 167 128
1D : 1,710 1,570 1,890 24 33 Vy
MI : 1,880 1,660 930 150 265 65
MN : 1,720 1,780 1,500 395 582 386
NY : 1,690 1,530 1,080 91 66 39
WI : 1,700 1,900 1,800 185 207 158
Total 1,752 1,737 1,469 1,097 1,320 793

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-9 NASS, USDA


All Wheat: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales,
Month and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/ (continued)

State and : : :

Marketing :May: Jun: Jul:

Year rs : :

Percent

MN 1990-91: 22. 4 § 5 5 6 5 5 10 15 17
1991-92: 8 17 9 7 9 24 9 7 3 2 3

MO 1990-91: 453 6 4 2 2 25 4 4 22
1991-92: 53 2 6 3 3 1 33 2 2 «21

NT 1990-91: 5 8 9 10 8 1015 10 11 6 4 4
1991-92: 4 7 10 10 11 9 12 10 13 6 5 3

NE 1990-91: 3 9 4 5 3 67 5 8 6 4 10
1991-92: 39 15 6 J 4 6 9 5 $8 3 1 1

ND 1990-91: 4 13 12 8 7 810 7 8 6 611
1991-92: 7 12 11 10 10 1111 6 6 6 4 6

OH 1990-91: 5316 #7 3 3 2 5 3 2 2 2 2
1991-92: 60 15 5 3 3 46 21 21 21 21

0K 1990-91: 2 25 15 6 5 5 5 8 13 6 3
1991-92: 4 30 20 12 6 7 3 5 6 2 2

OR 1990-91: 6 12 11 13 8 9 15 ll 7 3 3 2
1991-92: 322 10 15 ll 12 15 5 3 1 1

SD 1990-91: 7 20 7 6 5 67 6 7 9h 9
1991-92: 1615 9 9 9 127 «7 «4 4 3 3

1X 1990-91: 8 41 23 #4 #5 2 3 43 3 2 2
1991-92: 27 31 23 5 2 3 2 13 2 «O21

WA 1990-91: 3 11 WW 123 8 13 8 6 6 6 3
1991-92 4 15 15 13 13 12 10 7 4 2 2 3

1/ Beginning in 1991-92, sample survey reported marketings as percent of
total used for calculating marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-25 NASS, USDA



Crop ba gricitural
Production Service

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released December 10, 1992, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts
refer to December 1, 1992.

Cotton Production Up Slightly

All cotton production for 1992 is forecast at 16.3 million bales, slightly
higher than November's forecast but 8 percent below the 1991 output. Rainfall
in November slowed harvest in some areas, but producers harvested at a rapid
pace. Arkansas and California expect record high yields.

Orange production for the 1992-93 season is forecast to be 11.0 million tons,
unchanged from last month but up 24 percent from the 1991-92 crop.

Grapefruit production, including California's Desert grapefruit but excluding
California's "Other Areas," is 2.52 million tons, down slightly from the
November 1 forecast but up 26 percent from last season's production. The only
change from the previous forecast-is a slight reduction in the Texas crop.

Burley tobacco production is forecast at 694 million pounds, 1 percent below
November 1 but 5 percent above 1991.

Dry edible bean production is estimated at 22.1 million cwt, down 35 percent
from last year and 32 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest dropped
22 percent to 1.50 million acres this year, while yields returned to a more
usual average of 1,474 pounds per acre after record highs last year.

Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For
information call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (12-92)


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production,
by State and United States, 1990-92 1/ 2/

Area Planted Area Harvested

State nnn enn n nee enn no-no enn nn eee n nee nner nnn
1990 1991 1991 : 1992
1,000 Acres
CA 175.0 153. 115.0 166.0 150.0 110.0
co 245.0 190 164.0 225.0 180.0 159.0
ID 180.0 145. 90.0 178.0 143.0 88.0
KS 40.0 34. 20.0 38.0 32.0 19.0
MI 350.0 370. 335.0 330.0 365.0 310.0
MN 140.0 125. 100.0 136.0 120.0 97.0
MT 13.5 9. 10.2 13.0 8.3 9.5
NE 260.0 215. 165.0 254.0 211.0 153.0
NM 14.5 13. 13.0 14.0 12.0 13.0
NY 41.0 36. 35.0 39.5 35.0 29.0
ND 570.0 520. 440.0 550.0 510.0 390.0
OR 9.1 7. 6.1 9.0 7.0 5.9
1TMX 25.0 38. 35.0 21.0 33.0 32.0
UT 5.5 6. 6.0 4.0 5.5 5.7
WA 48.0 50. 36.0 47.0 50.0 35.0
WI 11.0 11. 9.3 10.9 10.9 8.8
WY 50.0 42 34.0 49.0 41.0 32.0
US 2,177.6 1,964. 1,613.6 2,084.4 1,913.7 1,496.9
Yield Per Production
1990 1991 1992
cA : 1,842 2,157 2,160 3,058 3,235 2,376
co : 1,900 1,850 1,640 4,275 3,330 2,608
ID : 2,000 2,050 1,800 3,560 2,932 1,584
KS : 1,750 1,700 1,400 665 544 266
MI : 1,650 1,850 1,250 5,445 6,753 3,875
MN : 1,300 1,650 1,460 1,768 1,980 1,416
MT : 1,690 1,900 1,900 220 158 181
NE : 1,970 1,900 1,650 5,004 4,009 2,525
NM : 1,650 2,000 2,000 231 240 260
NY : 1,700 1,380 1,050 672 483 305
ND : 910 1,480 1,200 5,005 7,548 4,680
OR : 2,000 2,100 2,050 180 147 121
1X : 1,050 1,130 1,320 221 373 422
UT : 330 480 700 13 26 40
WA : 1,940 2,000 1,840 912 1,000 644
WI : 1,700 1,900 1,800 185 207 158
WY : 1,970 1,950 1,900 965 800 608
US : 1,553 1,764 1,474 32,379 33,765 22,069

1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ 1991 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-12 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans:

Yield and Production, by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1990-92 (continued)

Yield Per Acre

Production

1991

Cranberry
MI

Black Turtle Soup:

Garbanzo

WA
Total

Crop Production
December 1992

1,800
1,760
1,800

1,970
600
1,840

2,080
1,880
2,250
2,140
2,086

2,130
23190
2,152

1,910

1,920
1,270
1,794

2,250
760
2,008

740
743

1,620
1,560
1,780
1,380
1,950
1,640
2,000
2,000
1,530
1,570
1,860
1,080
25000
1,606

1,710
2,040
1,856

1,200

1,440
1,350
1,260
1,340

2,190
1,030
1,941

1,460

750
882

1,720
1,430
1,630
1,250
1,470
1,520
1,550
2,000
1,030
1,250
2,250
1,290
2;100
1,481

A-11

370
648

330

920
172
1,092

906
936

447
751

478

642

741

923
984

301
581

360

13
540
631

525
592

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


57 hours during the month, breaking the record of 69 hours set in December
1971. The sun normally shines during nearly half of the 300 daylight hours in
Des Moines in November.

November Crop Progress: At the beginning of the month corn and sorghum

harvests were well behind normal. Soybean, cotton,
and winter wheat activities were at or just slightly behind normal. Corn
harvest progress, especially across the corn-belt, was hampered by high grain
moisture content. As producers waited for their crop to dry down, the
situation was further aggravated by rain, snow, and mud. Progress was
especially slow the first and last weeks, as snow the beginning of the month
and muddy fields the end of the month brought harvest to a crawl.

The soybean harvest progress was near normal as the month began. Although
rain and snow, especially in the Midwest, hampered activity, good progress was
made and by mid-month most of the crop was harvested. Progress in the
Southeast was delayed by wet weather the first part of the month and continued
to be delayed by wet field conditions at month's end.

The beginning of the month saw sorghum harvest progress behind normal.
Weather conditions allowed modest progress through the first part of the
month. A mid-month snow storm brought progress to a near stop in Kansas and
delayed progress elsewhere by the end of the month. At month's end, harvest
was almost a month behind normal.

The cotton harvest progress was near normal as the month began. A freeze in
Texas at the beginning of the month allowed cotton harvest to advance ahead of
normal for the period. Although rain hindered progress over the Gulf States,
dry conditions in California and Arizona allowed harvest progress to stay near
normal.

Winter wheat seeding was completed in most areas by the middle of the month.
Rain had delayed completion in the southeast. At month's end, the crop was in
generally good condition.

Winter Wheat Plantings: Progress reached 92 percent completion in the

19 major producing States as of November 8. This
trailed average progress by 2 points. Seeding was complete, or nearly so, in
the Central and Northern Plains and in the Pacific Northwest. By November 22,
emergence progressed to 89 percent in the 19 States, compared to the
92 percent average. As of November 29, seeding was continuing in Arizona,
California, the Southeast, and parts of central Texas. Additional snow cover
was needed in Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming.

All Cotton: The December 1 forecast of all cotton production is 16.3 million

bales, virtually unchanged from November 1 but down 8 percent
from last year's production. Of the total, Upland is expected to account for
15.8 million bales, while Pima production will be 501,000 bales. Total area
for harvest is estimated at 11.2 million acres, down 13 percent from 1991.
Yield is expected to average 696 pounds per acre, 2 pounds above November and
up 44 pounds from last year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-2 NASS, USDA


California Drought Update: Storms were deflected to the north and south of

California during November by persistent high
pressure systems over the eastern Pacific Ocean. As a result, monthly
precipitation was a meager 20 percent of normal statewide.

By the end of November, the cumulative contents of California's 155 largest
reservoirs stood at 55 percent of normal, according to the State's Drought
Information Center. On December 1, 1991, that figure was 59 percent of
normal, representing a l~-year loss of nearly 1 million acre feet (326 billion
gallons), or 7 percent, of the State's reservoir storage. Snowpack in the
Sierra Nevada mountains, which melts in the spring to feed many of these
reservoirs, was only about 30 percent of normal.

The 6-year California drought (October 1, 1986 to date) is part of a larger-
scale drought that is currently affecting the Northwestern United States,
including parts of Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Wyoming,
Nevada, and Utah. However, California is often the focus of drought concerns,
due to a burgeoning population of 30 million and its heavily agricultural and
irrigation-dependent Sacramento, San Joaquin, and Imperial Valleys.

November Weather Summary: A steady progression of storms kept most areas
_wetter than normal from the Rockies eastward. The
wettest areas were the central Rockies and separate strips from Oklahoma to
the Great Lakes and from the central Gulf coast to the Carolinas. Wet weather
hampered harvests that were already delayed by late-maturing crops. By
month's end, corn harvest was running more than 25 percent behind the 5-year
average in 7 of the 17 major corn-producing States (SD, NE, WI, MI, IN, OH,
and PA). The Michigan corn harvest was only one-quarter completed.
Similarly, wet weather in the Southeast held the cotton harvest 15 percentage
points or more behind the 5-year average in four States (AL, GA, SC, and NC).

Significant disturbances traversed the Rockies and evolved into major low
pressure centers in the southern Plains on November 1, 3, 11, 19, 21, and 24.
The first four storms were primarily rain-makers, with snowfall confined to
the Rockies and the North Central States. The fifth storm will be remembered
for its tornado-laced thunderstorms which swept across the Gulf Coast States
and lower Ohio Valley on November 21 and 22. More than two dozen deaths
resulted, according to press reports, most of which occurred in Mississippi
and Georgia. The sixth storm, which developed during the Thanksgiving travel
period, produced heavy snow in the central Rockies, and from northern Texas to
Wisconsin. The succession of storms gradually eroded an area of troublesome
short-term dryness in the southern Plains that had been adversely affecting
the winter wheat crop.

The storms pulled progressively colder air through the Rockies and into the
Plains States, especially as snow cover became established across the
Intermountain West. The harshest cold outbreak in the southern Plains trailed
the sixth major storm. On November 28, temperatures fell to the freezing mark
(32 degrees F) as far south as Mc Allen, TX, in the Tower Rio Grande Valley.
Cold air largely avoided the Southeast, although Tallahassee, FL, reported

28 degrees F readings on November 29 and 30.

The stormy, gloomy weather that’ much of the Nation experienced during November
was summed up by a record set in Des Moines, IA. The sun shined for only

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-1 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, by Commercial
Class, State, and Total, 1990-92 (continued)

Class : Area Planted Area Harvested

an fot e cron nn nn nn nnn enn nn nnn enn nn nn en nnn een
State : 1990 : 1991 1991 1992

Pinto
co 221.0 181.2 151.0 203.0 171.7 146.5
ID 93.0 65.9 32.0 92.1 64.8 31.4
KS 35.9 31.0 18.0 34.1 29.6 17.3
MI 10.0 7.0 7.0 9.0 7.0 7.0
MN 37.3 28.5 23.0 36.2 27.3 22.5
MT 11.9 8.0 9.8 11.4 7.5 9.2
NE 122.5 86.2 65.6 120.0 84.6 62.8
NM 10.4 8.8 8.7 9.9 7.8 8.7
ND 336.0 338.0 303.0 328.0 332.0 270.0
OR 3.1 1.8 0.7 3.1 1.8 0.7
TX 15.0 22.0 21.0 13.0 20.0 20.0
UT 5.5 6.0 6.0 4.0 5.5 5.7
WA 18.1 18.4 7.0 17.7 18.4 6.7
WY 44.5 37.0 30.0 43.6 36.1 28.5
Total 964.2 839.8 682.8 925.1 814.1 637.0

Light Red

Kidney
CA 33.0 14.0 20.0 31.0 14.0 19.0
co : 2.7 7.4 2.7 7.3
ID : 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.8
MI : 11.0 8.0 8.0 10.0 7.5 8.0
MN 0.5 5.9 7.0 0.5 5.9 7.0
NE 12.0 9.5 12.0 11.5 9.4 11.0
NY 21.0 20.0 19.5 20.0 19.5 16.0
Total 78.1 60.9 74.7 73.6 59.8 69.1

Dark Red

Kidney
CA 15.0 10.0 8.0 14.0 10.0 8.0
ID 1.4 2.2 1.0 1.4 2.1 0.9
MI 9.0 17.0 9.0 8.0 16.0 7.0
MN 23.6 33.7 26.0 22.9 32.7 25.7
NY 5.5 4.5 4.5 5.4 4.3 3.6
WI 11.0 11.0 9.3 10.9 10.9 8.8
Total 65.5 78.4 57.8 62.6 76.0 54.0

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-8 NASS, USDA


a
Marketing
Year

CA 1990-91

co

1D

MN

MT

ND

OR

SD

UT

WA

1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1

ginning
total used

Jun Jul :Aug :Sep 20ct :Nov :Dec :Jan :Feb :Mar :Apr iMay iJun

Crop Production

December 1992

in
for ca

a

Tcu

a

aT)

we
Ow BE MO NOH AU Wor w~NM OW

me w

=n

mw
He AR MW WW HO OO CGH NO UH OF OF

Percent.
5 6
9 #15

20 «15

21 «(16

12 5

12 (14

11 8

10 7

wW 13
9 9

12 9
9 10

11 5

10 7
3 6
6 7
5 3
5 oi

12 4

iW 8
1 3
2 2

A-22

ee
PW OHM MH OW BWW OM YM MOM HU On

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

ON AM AN MH Be

a

~
SH MOY TH COM WH aM

=

a
Pe ON NN MO ON WH OD NE ND

~

—

—
OH WW OF WW UF OW AU KE NUM

NY OMY BRD TW WW AW PO NU HH OF

=92, sample survey reported marketings as percent o
jating marketing year average prices.

a
ee WW DD ee ON WH NO We rH



production forecast of 16.3 million bales will not be above or below the final
estimate by more than 1.9 percent or approximately 309 million bales. Chances
are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not
exceed 3.3 percent or approximately 537 million bales.

Changes between the December 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past
10 years have averaged 243,000 bales, ranging from 61,000 to 479,000 bales.
The December 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 5 times and above

5 times. This difference does not imply that the December 1 cotton forecast
this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-9 NASS, USDA


Index

Page

Table Narrative

Beans, Dry Edible............ ccc cece c cee eee e ence ee eeee A-12 B- 4
Beans, by ClassS........ cece cece cece cece eee t et eeeeeneee A- 6

Citrus Fruit... ccc cece eee e ence eee nese eens A-14 B- 5
COLTON. cece cece etn eee e tence ete tent ee teen eentees A- 4 B- 2
Cottonseed... 0... ccc ccc cece cece eee tence eee ences A- 5 B- 3
Crop Marketing Seasons...........cccce sec eeceeeeeeeeeeeee A-17

Crop Summary.......... ccc ccc cece cece e cece eeeeees A- 2

Farm Marketings..........ccceee cee eee cece nce vesneeeeeees A-18

UN: A- 5 B- 4
PECANS... cece cece eee tener eee e tenes e een eteeee A-13 B- 4
Reliability Statement............ ccc cece eee cence neon eee B- 8
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed................ 0. eee eee eee A-16 B- 7
Tobacco, Burley.......... cece cece cece cette eee seeeeneeee A- 5 B- 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 B-10 NASS, USDA


State and :

Marketing : Sep

Year

AL

AR

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

1990-91
1991-92

“
OD NW HH Wk NH NO

on

a
wo oe

Soybeans:

Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/

wo an &H wr

en
PN

14
15

10
19

ar AN OM

-—
on

om

Percent

=
NO ON WW HO ON

me
WO AD OHO

oon nb

ww

AF ON WW AM wu

ND OM

won

Pw

Crop Production
December 1992

A-28

2 2 1 1 3
2 2 3 2 2
5 1 2 3 3
2 3 2 2 1
4 2 1 2 3
3 3 4 1 1
8 6 7 7 8
4 9 5 5 6
7 3 5 4 5
3 6 5 4 4
8 7 7 9 9
4 8 6 7 8
7 5 4 2 3
4 10 6 2 4
6 2 3 6 10
3 4 2 2 2
2 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1
5 3 4 4 3
3 5 6 2 2
9 12 «14 13 12

5 4 3 3

~-continued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Cotton:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by
and United States, 1991 an

dF

orecasted December 1,

Type, State
?P 1992

Yield : Production 1/

and
State 1991
Upland
AL 405.
AZ 359.
AR 980.
CA 977.
FL 3/ 49.
GA 427.
KS 3/ 1.
LA 820
MS 1,230
MO 327
NM 65.
NC 457.
OK 380.
sc 210.
TN 610
1X 5,400
VA 3/ 17.
US 212,715
Amer-Pima
AZ 103
CA 64
MS 0
NM 19
TX 57
US 244
All
AL 405
AZ 462
AR 980
CA 1,041
FL 3/ 49
GA 427
KS 3/ 1
LA 820
MS 1,230
MO 327
NM 84
NC 457
OK 380
sc 210
IN 610
TX 5,457
VA 3/ 17
US 212,959

o oBDOS
~
co

NODC ODOROMOMOODO000
-
w
>
on

1992

0
0
0
0
9
0
8
-0
-O 1,345.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
5

-5 11,217.

mM CBOODOOSCDCOMCOSOSOO

wm ooMoo

DODDDOOOMOUBZOO000

Area Harvested :

1991

404
784

655
1,125
772
1,242
719
812
347
828
888
630
466
672
303
786
552
419
765

673 673 553.0
3077 1,063 898.0
800 825 1,576.0
»303 1,327 2,548.0
780 780 73.4
770 744 722.0
250 250 3
709 709 1,414.0
785 767 2,275.0
700 763 429.0
652 651 63.0
644 619 640.0
320 320 240.0
560 560 344.0
619 627 701.0
460 460 4,710.0
650 650 28.2
689 691 17,215.9
715 692 184.5
189 1,178 146.2
480 480 0.7
600 600 19.0
733 733 48.0
897 889 398.4
673 673 553.0
989 972 1,082.5
800 825 1,576.0
1292 1,312 2,694.2
780 780 3.4
770 744 722.0
250 250 1.3
709 709 1,414.0
785 767 2,275.7
700 763 429.0
637 636 82.0
644 619 640.0
320 320 240.0
560 560 344.0
619 627 701.0
463 463 4,758.0
650 650 8.2
694 696 17,614.3

-- 1,000 Bales 2/ --

1992

610.
715.
1,650.
2,750.
81
710.

a
=
wo a

FS BDODOCOCSCOCOCOWOWSOODO

15,758.

150.

Nn
nn
o oOMMmGO

a
a
© a

FP RODSCOCOMOMOWOWOSCOO

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. .
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.

Crop Production

December 1992

A-4

2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruits Footnotes
The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.
Net lbs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-CA Desert
& AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, Temples and
K-Early Citrus- 90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, TX had no commercial production
for the 1990-91 season.

TX estimated at 425 tons for 1991-92.

The first forecast for CA grapefruit "Other Areas" will be as of
April 1, 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-15 NASS, USDA


United States:

Monthly Marketings - United States

U.S. monthly marketing percentages for wheat, oats, barley,
corn, sorghum, soybeans, flaxseed, sunflower, cotton, and
eanuts are based on the 12 months which are used for the
-S. marketing year. These months are consistent with the
data used to weight U.S. marketing year average prices.
Marketings are based on monthly probability surveys which
obtain quantities of the crop purchased from producers and
price information. Purchases are not identified by crop
production year, but represent the commodity sold during
the 12 months of the marketing year. Monthly marketings
for hay and dry edible beans are based on estimates
derived from State marketing years and thus may extend over
a period exceeding 12 months.

Crop Marketing Seasons of Specified Field Crops by State

Barley:

Corn for Grain:

Dry Edible Beans:
Flaxseed:
Hay:

Oats:

Sorghum for Grain:

Soybeans:

Sunflower:

heat:

Crop Production
December 1992

June 1 to May 31 for California; July 1 to June 30 for all
other monthly marketing estimating States.

August 1 to July 31 for Georgia and Texas; September 1 to
August 31 for Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky,
Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio; October ] to September
30 for all other monthly marketing estimating States.

September 1 to August 31 for all estimating States.
July 1 to June 30 for all estimating States.

April 1 to March 31 for Arizona; May 1 to April 30 for
Arkansas, California, Georgia, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri,
Nevada, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas, and Utah; June 1 to
May 31 for all other monthly marketing estimating States.

May 1 to April 30 for Texas; June 1 to May 31 for
California; July 1 to June 30 for all other monthly
marketing estimating States.

June 1 to May 31 for Texas; August 1 to July 31 for
Arkansas and Oklahoma; September 1 to August 31 for
Kansas, Missouri New Mexico, and South Dakota;

October 1 to September 30 for Colorado and Nebraska.

September 1 to August 31 for all estimating States.

september 1 to August 31 for Kansas, Minnesota, North
Dakota, and South Dakota.

May 1 to April_30 for Arizona, California, Georgia,
Oklahoma, and Texas; June 1 to May 31 for Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, and Missouri; July 1 to June 30
for all other monthly marketing estimating States.

Agricultural Statistics Board
A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States,
1991 and Forecasted December 1, 1992
(Domestic Units)

All Cotton 1/ Bale: 652 696 17,614.3 -16,204.5  16,259.4

Upland 1" : 650 691 17,215.9 15,708.5 15,758.4

Amer-Pima ij" : 784 889 398.4 496.0 501.0
Cottonseed Ton : 6,925.5 6,239.5 6,263.5
Dry Edible Beans 1/2/Cwt : 1,764 1,474 33,765 22,035 22,069
Burley Tobacco Lb : 2,110 2,143 658, 181 699,667 693,890
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed Ton: 33.7 32.7 30,254 30,710 30,755
Pecans 3/ lb : 299,000 207,000 175,000
Citrus Fruits 4/ : 1991-92 1992-93 1992-93

Oranges 3/ 8,861 11,010 11,010

Metric Tons

All Cotton : 0.73 0.78 3,835,060 3,528,110 3,540,070

Upland : 0.73 0.77 3,748,320 3,420,120 3,430,990

Amer-Pima > 0.88 1.00 86,740 107,990 109,080
Cottonseed : 6,282,710 5,660,380 5,682,150
Dry Edible Beans 2/ : 1.98 1.65 1,531,550 999,490 1,001,030
Burley Tobacco : 2.36 2.40 298,550 317,360 314,740
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed : 75.61 73.38 27,445,970 27,859,640 27,900,470
Pecans 3/ : 135,620 93,890 79,380
Citrus Fruits 4/ : 1991-92 1992-93 1992-93

Oranges 3/ : 8,038,560 9,988,100 9,988,100
1/ Yield in pounds.

2/ 1991 revised.
3/ November estimate carried forward from October 1.
4/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the

completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-3 NASS, USDA


Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted
between November 22 and December 2 to gather information
on expected yield as of December 1. The objective yield survey for cotton was
conducted in the major producing States that normally account for at least
80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected fields and plots within
fields are surveyed each month. The items counted within the selected plots
depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of
plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to
forecast the number of bolls and their weight. The counts are used with
similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The
five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The
plots are re-visited each month until crop maturity, when the fruit is
harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample
field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

Some States conduct a farm operator survey, primarily by telephone with some
of mail and personal interviews. These producers were asked questions about
probable or final yield on their acreage.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower

reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. In addition,
reports from cotton ginners in each State were considered. Each State
Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the
Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the
State analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The December 1 cotton production forecast wil] not be

revised; instead, a new forecast will be made in January
followed by end-of-season estimates. At the end of the marketing year,
administrative records are reviewed and revisions are made, if data
relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a
production forecast is made, if there is strong evidence that the intended
harvested area has changed since the last estimate. For cotton, adjustments
are usually made based on acreage data obtained from ASCS.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1

production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a
statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation
between the December 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed
as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage
deviations for the 20-year (1972-1991) period is computed; then the square
root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."
Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the
current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that
factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those
influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 cotton production forecast is
1.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-8 NASS, USDA


Flaxseed: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/

State and : 3 : : : : : : : : : :
Marketing : Jul :Aug : Sep :Oct : Nov :Dec : Jan :Feb : Mar :Apr : May :Jun
ear : : : : 3 : : : : : : :
eee Percett
MN 1990-91 : 1 27 34 «10 2 4 1 2 9 1

1991-92: 16 35 (16 5 10 1 3 5 7
ND 1990-91 : 3 7 45 19 6 2 3 2 2 2
1991-92 1 10 34 «19 5 2 6 4 7 8
SD 1990-91 6
1991-92 2

9 ing -92, ple survey reported tings as pi
total used for calculating marketing year average prices.

Sorghum: Farm Market ings s Percent of Sales,
by Month and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/

State and: : of: 3 ff gtk gs
Marketing :Jun: Jul: Aug: Sep: Oct :Nov:Dec:Jan:Feb:Mar:Apr:May:Jun:Jul :Aug: Sep
ear poof of 48 poof of bt root oft

AR 1990-91: 1 33 32 17 3 2 3 1 6 1 21
1991-92: 13 36 32 6 5 6 1 #1

CO 1990-91: 1417 9 2 2 5 9 4 3 5 3 4
1991-92: 22°16 12 10 9 9 3 8 7 3 #1

KS 1990-91 : 3 34 17 8 13 5 44 2 3 3 4
1991-92 : 11 29 10 13 12 6 6 2 4 3 2 2

MO 1990-91: 2229 16 4 7 4 4 4 3 «1 3 3
1991-92 : 18 30 13 8 14 4 4 1 2 «21 2 3

NE 1990-91: 23 12 8 13 4 6 7 2 2 6 7 10
1991-92 : 26 9 17 17 10 10 3 3 3 «#1 1

NM 1990-91: 18 42 21 7 #1 1 1 21 21 «7
1991-92: 10 16 39 1666 4 2 #7

OK 1990-91: 1 #111 27 37 9 3 1 3 2 3 «2
1991-92 : 1 4 8 14 21 15 8 10 6 8 2 3

SD 1990-91: 9 38 12 5 3 6 18 3 3 #1 2
1991-92 : 10 34 12 4 9 5 6 2 2 8 5 3

TX 1990-91 :10 21 17 3 17 11 4 4 3 2 4 4
1991-92 : 5 36 24 10 5 4 8 3 1 2 1 21

1/ Beginning in 1991-92, sample survey reported marketings as percent of

total used for calculating marketing year average prices.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-26 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1991 and Forecasted December 1, 1992
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

1,000 Acres
All Cotton 2 14,052.1 13, 434.0 12,959.5 11,217.0
Upland : 13,801.7 13,155.5 12,715.5 10,946.5
Amer-Pima 1/ H 250.4 278.5 244.0 270.5
Dry Edible Beans 2/ : 1,964.1 1,613.6 1,913.7 1,496.9
Burley Tobacco : 312.0 323.8
Sugarcane for :
Sugar and Seed 2 896.9 939.5

Area Planted Area Harvested

Crop fete rece n nee enn nnn nnn non nn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn ene
1991 : 1992 1991 1992
Hectares
All Cotton : 5,686,740 5,436,610 5,244,580 4,539,410
Upland : 5,585,410 5,323,900 5,145,840 4,429,940
Amer-Pima : 101,330 112,710 98,740 109,470
Dry Edible Beans 2/_ : 794,850 653,010 774,460 605,780
Burley Tobacco 3 126,260 131,040
Sugarcane for :
Sugar and Seed : 362,970 380,210

1/ 1992 planted for California were revised up by 5,000 acres or
2,030 hectares.
2/ 1991 revised.

- _ — - _—

This report was approved on December 10, 1992, by the Acting Secretary of
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural
Statistics Board.

Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Ann Veneman Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-2 NASS, USDA


Burley auction markets opened November 23. Gross pounds sold for the
first seven days totaled 239 million pounds, virtually the same as the
first seven days of the previous year.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 5.15 million pounds

for November, 5 percent Tower than October but 7 percent more than
November 1991. Year-to-date fresh sales were 20 percent higher than the same
11 month period of 1991.

Weather conditions during the first half of November were a mix of sunshine
and cloudy skies but were generally favorable toward papaya production. The
second half of the month brought heavy rains and outbreaks of phytophthora
disease due to the wet conditions.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,685 acres in November, 3 percent
higher than October but 7 percent lower than a year ago. Harvested area,
totaling 2,690 acres, was 1 percent lower than October but 31 percent more
than last November.

Dry Edible Beans: Production of dry edible beans is estimated at 22.1 million
cwt for 1992. That level is slightly above the November
forecast, 35 percent below a year earlier and 32 percent below two years ago.
The 1992 dry bean crop is the smallest since 1988. Area for harvest is
estimated at 1.50 million acres, down 22 percent from 1991 and 28 percent
below 1990. The average yield is 1,474 pounds per acre, only 5 pounds below
the average expected in November but down 290 pounds from last year and
79 pounds below two years ago. Production is down sharply in all major
States.

Yields returned to a more normal average, comparable to the crops in the late
1980's. Timely rains in the non-irrigated west resulted in the best yields in
years, but hail cut a swath through Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas, and Wyoming.
Drowning rains in New York just prior to harvest ruined much of their dry bean
crop.

Navy bean production fell 44 percent from a year earlier because of
substantial acreage cuts in Michigan, Minnesota, and North Dakota. Yields
were also below last year. Great Northern production was also off 44 percent
as acres and yields were down in all producing States. The baby lima crop
fell below last year but large limas held at the same level. Pinto output
dropped one-third from substantia) acreage and yield reductions in the major
producing States. Dark red kidney and blackeye bean crops were both off

40 percent; pink bean production dropped 35 percent. Black turtle soup beans
declined 15 percent from last year. Small red bean production slid 23 percent
and the cranberry crop dropped 25 percent. Small white beans took the biggest
drop of 55 percent. Light red kidneys, up 7 percent, and garbanzos, more than
double, were the only two classes of dry beans to record an increase from last
year.

Pecans: The December 1 forecast for the U.S. pecan crop is 175 million pounds
(in-shell basis), down 15 percent from the October 1 forecast and
down 41 percent from Tast year. If realized, this year's crop would be the

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 B-4 NASS, USDA




Soybeans: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales, by Month
and State, 1990-91 and 1991-92 1/ (continued)

State and : : : : : : : 3 : : : :
Marketing : Sep :Oct :Nov :Dec : Jan :Feb : Mar :Apr : May :Jun : Jul : Aug
ear : : : : : : : : : : : :

Percent
MS 1990-91 1 #12 #W = 13 24 7 5 7 2 2 3
1991-92 3. #15 #15 16 22 6 9 1 3 4 4 2
MO 1990-91 : 4 24 14 6 12 8 6 7 4 4 5 6
1991-92 : 5 24 8 9 17 7 8 3 7 5 3 4
NE 1990-91 : 7 23 6 7 ll 7 5 7 4 8 10
1991-92 : 12 21 10 8 14 7 3 7 4 4
Nc 1990-91 : 2 8 47 12 5 6 6 4 2 2 2 4
1991-92 : 1 16 33 15 7 6 8 2 3 7 1 1
OH 1990-91 : 6 36 12 4 7 6 6 7 3 5 4 4
1991-92 : 19 26 5 5 10 7 7 3 7 4 4 3
SC 1990-91 : 2 5 28 14 aa 9 7 5 5 3 4 7
1991-92 3 10 28 14 12 7 5 4 7 4 3 3
SD 1990-91 : 9 43 4 4 4 3 3 8 4 6 6 6
1991-92 : 20 34 8 4 6 5 7 3 3 3 3 4
TN 1990-91 : 1 20 36 7 ll 7 6 4 1 2 2 3
1991-92 : 2 23 31 9 11 6 6 3 5 2 1
TX 1990-91 : 5 20 19 15 15 6 5 4 2 2 4 3
1991-92 : 8 22 14 9 20 6 4 3 10

1/ Beginning in 1991-92, sample survey reported marketings as percent of
total used for calculating marketing year average prices.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-29 NASS, USDA


Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted December 1, 1992

1,000 Pounds
Pecans Improved 1/
AL

: 4,000 7,000 7,000
AR : 100 1,500 500
CA : 2,800 2,300 2,600
FL : 2,000 2,000 2,000
GA : 56,000 77,000 35,000
LA : 1,500 2,500 500
MS : 1,800 5,000 800
NM : 34,000 29,000 29,000
NC 2/ : 100 3,000 1,200
OK : 800 1,000 500
Sc : 400 3,000 200
1X : 40,000 30,000 40,000
US : 143,500 163,300 119,300

Pecans Native & Seedling :

AL : 1,000 11,000 2,000
AR : 150 1,500 500
FL : 1,600 1,500 1,000
GA : 9,000 23,000 5,000
LA : 4,500 24,500 3,500
MS : 400 2,500 200
NC 2/ : 300 2,500 800
OK : 4,200 16,000 8,500
sc : 100 2,500 100
TX H 20,000 30,000 15,000
US : 41,250 115,000 36,600
All Pecans :
AL : 5,000 18,000 9,000
AR : 250 3,000 1,000
CA : 2,800 2,300 2,600
FL : 3,600 3,500 3,000
GA : 65,000 100,000 40,000
LA : 6,000 27,000 4,000
MS : 2,200 7,500 1,000
NM : 34,000 29,000 29,000
NC 2/ : 400 5,500 2,000
OK : 5,000 17,000 9,000
Sc : 500 5,500 300
1X : 60,000 60,000 55,000
Oth Sts 3/ : 20,250 20,700 19,100
US : 205,000 299,000 175,000

1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.
2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
3/ AZ, KS, MO, and TN. No breakdown between varieties available.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
December 1992 A-13 NASS, USDA



Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,
by Use, State, and United States, 1990-92

State : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/
C0: aaa
Use 1991 1992 1991 1992: 1990 : 1991 : 1992
-- 1,000 Acres - ---- Tons ---- 0 ------- 1,000 Tons --------
For Sugar :
FL : 428.0 434.0 34.9 33.5 14,874 14,937 14,539
HI : 67.4 64.0 86.9 91.0 6,538 5,857 5,824
LA : 321.0 350.0 22.1 22.0 4,150 7,090 7,700
TX > 33.2 37.4 32.4 34.5 913 1,076 1,290
US : 849.6 885.4 34.1 33.2 26,475 28,960 29,353
For Seed
FL 15.0 16.0 34.9 33.5 533 524 536
HI 6.6 6.5 31.2 26.0 185 206 169
LA 24.0 30.0 22.1 22.0 906 530 660
TMX 1.7 1.6 20.0 23.0 37 34 37
US > 47.3 54.1 27.4 25.9 1,661 1,294 1,402
For Sugar
and Seed
FL
HI
LA
Tx
US
1/ Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 1992 A-16 NASS, USDA