Florida Citrus: Most of Florida's citrus groves are in good condition despite

the dry weather. Growers in all areas have been irrigating
for the past two months due to the absence of regular rainfall. The current
on-tree fruit condition is good with excellent color. Harvest of Early and Mid
oranges was active during December. All of the processing plants opened early
in December due to advanced maturity of most early crops. Movement of all
grapefruit for both fresh and processing continued strong throughout December.
Fresh shipments of grapefruit for export account for 45 percent of the total
crop, with the balance going domestic. Early tangerine harvest was virtually
complete by the end of December. Dancy tangerine and Orlando tangelo harvest
gained momentum as sales increased during the Christmas season.

Texas Citrus: Groves across the Valley are in good condition. December
rainfall was beneficial to new growth. Harvesting operations
are winding down for this season.

Hay Stocks On Farms: Hay stocks on farms totaled 112 million tons on

December 1, 1991. This is 6 percent more than the amount
on hand a year earlier and 10 percent above the holdings on December 1, 1989.
The increase in stocks reflects in part the larger 1991 hay crop.
Disappearance of hay during the May 1, 1991, to December 1, 1991, period
totaled 73.8 million tons, up 7 percent from the 69.2 million tons
disappearance during the same period a year earlier.

California Fruit and Nuts: Pruning of orchards was active during December as
well as irrigating and dormant tree spraying.

Kiwifruit picking neared completion, while date harvest in Riverside County

continued. Avocado picking was also active. Central Valley Navel orange

harvest increased during December yielding good quality fruit but with small
sizes. Growers had to run water and wind machines a few cold mornings to

protect fruit. Desert area citrus harvest progressed with good quality.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 B-6 NASS, USDA


Hay: Stocks On Farms, May 1 and December 1, by State
and United States, 1990-91

May 1 December 1
State 9 }-------~------- $$ nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn stan
1991 1/ 1990 1/ 1991
1,000 Tons

AL 124 934 1,392
AZ 71 213 171
AR 382 1,043 1,955
CA 332 1,911 2,841
co 457 2,207 2,437
CT 36 135 105
DE 8 51 40
FL 55 375 490
GA 148 855 1,206
1D 408 2,287 3,221
IL 502 2,511 1,992
IN 377 1,510 1,001
IA 1,419 5,250 4,400
KS 1,037 4,636 4,175
KY 873 3,927 4,203
LA 46 528 630
ME 80 288 241
MD 115 515 399
MA 40 142 134
MI 1,067 3,041 2,890
MN 1,312 4,461 5,339
MS 186 807 1,620
MO 1,442 5,904 5,830
MT 1,124 3,956 4,567
NE 1,441 5,260 5,381
NV 109 680 695
NH 30 27 94 95
NJ 41 49 128 133
NM 80 138 482 630
NY 998 1,007 3,502 2,666
NC 244 182 768 753
ND 634 861 3,371 4,541
OH 637 693 3,142 1,764
OK 1,381 982 3,219 4,068
OR 318 198 1,498 1,684
PA 848 849 3,350 2,577
RI 4 4 1 1
sc 130 68 228 345
sD 1,287 1,890 5,670 7,482
IN 840 651 2,767 2,839
1X 2,204 1,600 6,800 8,730
UT 238 297 1,274 1,593
VT 151 162 502 411
VA 693 780 2,340 1,989
WA 225 336 1,986 2,228
WV 228 251 1,028 754
WI 1,454 2,371 7,022 6,795
WY 266 436 2,263 2,136
US 27,089 27,023 104,873 111,578
l/ Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 A-14 NASS, USDA




Crop Summary:

All Cotton
Upland
Amer-Pima

Crop Summary:

All Cotton
Upland
Amer-Pima

Cottonseed

Citrus Fruits 1/

Oranges
Lemons

Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1990-91

(Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

Hectares

: 4,997,150 5,723,860 4,747,670 5,197,190
: 4,903,550 5,623,980 4,655,760 5,099,820
93,600 99,880 91,910 97,370

Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1990-92

(Metric Units)

: Yield per Hectare: Production
: : Decl, : Jani,
1991 : 1990: 1991 : 1992

Metric Tons

0.71 0.73 3,375,900 3,920,110 3,819,210
0.71 0.73 3,297,850 3,829,950 3,732,340
0.85 0.89 78,050 90,160 86,870

5,414,530 6,298,310 6,131,570

1990-91 1991-92 1991-92

7,115,050 7,667,530 7,668,400
654,990 624,140 624,100

1/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production
January 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board
A-5 NASS, USDA


Index

Page

Table Narrative

Citrus Fruits... 0.0... ccc cece cece eee e eee e ee ceeeeene A-12 B-4
COttON. .. 0... ccc c cece cece ee eee eee nett teen ete ee eeeeeeee A- 6 B-2
Cottonseed... .... cece cece eee cence tee e neces ensenes A- 8 B-3
Crop SUMMATY.... 0... cece cece ee eee eee eet e eee e ee eee eenes A- 2

Hay StockS...... cece cece e eee e eee e eee eneeeeee A-14 B-6
Oranges, REViSIONS........... ccc eee e cece cece eee e eee eeee A-10

Papayas....... cece eee c eee e cece cece eee eee teen eee teeee A- 9 B-3
U0) 60: -S a A- 9 B-3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 B-7 NASS, USDA


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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 9 NASS, USDA


Oranges: U.S production is forecast at 8.45 million tons, virtually unchanged
from the December 1 forecast but 8 percent above last season. The
forecast for all oranges in Florida is 136 million boxes, unchanged from
December 1 but 10 percent below last season's crop. The forecast for early and
mid-season varieties in Florida is 80.0 million boxes, unchanged from
December 1 but 9 percent less than last season. Harvest of Florida early and
mid-season oranges was about 60 percent complete as of January 1. The Valencia
forecast, at 56.0 million boxes, is also unchanged from December 1 but down 12
percent from last season. For all Florida oranges, fruit sets are unusually
low this season due to weather conditions. Fruit quality is good.

The California all orange forecast, at 60.0 million boxes, is unchanged from
December 1 and is 134 percent higher than last year's freeze-damaged crop. The
forecast for Navel oranges is 32.0 million boxes, unchanged from December and
103 percent more than last season. Harvest of the Navel crop as of

January 1 was approximately 19 percent complete. The California Valencia
forecast of 28.0 million boxes is unchanged from the December 1 forecast and
186 percent above last season's revised production estimate. For all
California oranges, sizes are smaller than normal with good quality reported.

Arizona's all orange forecast, at 2.12 million boxes, is up 1 percent from the
October 1 forecast and up 21 percent from last season. Fruit quality is good
with over 50 percent of the Navel orange crop already harvested. The Texas all
orange forecast is 60,000 boxes, down 25 percent from last month. Texas had no
commercial production last season due to the severe freeze of December 1989.
Harvest is nearing completion with less fruit being packed than expected.

Changes in U.S. production between the January 1 forecast and final production
have averaged 14.9 million boxes over the past 10 seasons ranging from a low of
680,000 boxes in 1982-83 to a high of 43.2 million boxes in 1981-82. The large
difference between the January 1, 1982 forecast and the final production for
the 1981-82 season was the result of the January 1982 Florida freeze.

Florida Frozen Concentrated Juice Yield: The 1991-92 forecast of all Frozen
Concentrated Orange Juice Yield

(FCOJ) for Florida is 1.50 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast

projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors

Association. The final 1990-91 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was

1.45 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix.

Grapefruit: Prospects as of January 1 for the 1991-92 season indicate a crop

of 1.98 million tons, 1 percent below the December 1 forecast and
12 percent below last season's production. This forecast includes California's
"Desert" grapefruit, but excludes California's "Other Areas" grapefruit. The
grapefruit crop from California's "Other Areas" accounted for 150,000 tons
(4.50 million boxes) last year. The first forecast for that area will be as of
April 1, 1992.

Florida's grapefruit forecast is 42.0 million boxes, 1 percent less than the
December 1 forecast and 7 percent less than the 1990-91 crop. The Florida
white seedless grapefruit forecast is 20.0 million boxes, unchanged from the
December 1 forecast but 8 percent less than the previous season; colored
seedless grapefruit is forecast at 20.5 million boxes, 2 percent less than

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 B-4 NASS, USDA


Oranges: Revised Valencia and Total Orange Estimates,
California and United States, 1990-9]

State, Crop : : Yield Utilization of Production
and : Bearing : per
Season : Acreage : Acre

Navel and Misc :
1990-91 : 109,000 145 9,200 6,600 15,800

Valencia :
1990-91* : 69,100 142 7,000 2,800 9,800
All :
1990-91* : 178,100 144 16,200 9,400 25,600
us :
Early, Midseason:
and Navel H
1990-91 : 339,000 306 15,653 88,197 103,850
Valencia :
1990-91* : 273,700 274 14,341 60,659 75,000
Total :
1990-91* : 612,700 292 29,994 148,856 178,850

Price Per Box 2/ 3/ Value of Production

CA :
Navel and Misc :
1990-91 : 17.28 -89 10.43 158,976 5,874 164,850
Valencia :
1990-91* : 30.27 1.37 22.01 211,890 3,836 215,726
Al :
1990-91* 2 22.89 1.03 14.87 370,866 9,710 380,576
US :
Early, Midseason:
and Navel :
1990-91 : 14.40 7.21 8.21 229,950 628,850 858,800
Valencia :
1990-91* : 20.53 8.52 10.66 306,578 513,233 819,811
Total :
1990-91* : 17.35 7.75 9.24 536,528 1,142,083 1,678,611

1/ Net pounds per box: CA - 75.

2/ Equivalent packinghouse-door returns.

3/ U.S. season average prices are derived by weight ing the state season
average prices per box by the respective box weights.

* Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 A-10 NASS, USDA


US : 602
Amer-Pima
AZ : 936
CA : 1,078
MS : 436
NM : 707
TX : 794
US : 893
All :
AL : 571
AZ 3/: 1,118
AR : 687
CA : 1,226
FL : 557
GA : 631
KS : 240
LA : 672
MS : 731
MO : 618
NM : 701
NC : 615
OK : 244
sc : 626
IN : 497
TX : 376
VA : 498
US 614

Cotton: Yield and Production, by State

751
1,080
591
609
682

758

476
1,022
692
1,201
640
555
280
715
728
641
706
631
496
452
461
479
562

ited States, 1989-91

558
463

796
626
1,122
1,238
6

383.
649.
851.
2,661.
29
342.
0

868.
1,555.
269.

14).
173.

476.
2,870.
2

w NOCD eCDDODOONDDO000

11,503.

oo
M OMonNnec

nm
a
©

DH NOSCCCOMUDOONDONDOS

15,146.

194.

°
wo oMarno © NDDDDDODOONDOOODS

NOOSCOMOMNONGOROOSO

1,000 Bales 2,

375.
811.
1,081.
2,734.
48
405.

1,177.
1,850.
314.

263.

382.

145.

495.

4,965.
6

535.

1,550.
2,500.

720.
1,410.
2,250.

423.

650.

250.

340.

4,750.
27.

17,142.

DW woeCDDDOOOONDOO0O000

nN
wo
Oo eCo0cO0

nN
ry
oa
x =

th wWwOSODDOOODONDOO000

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.

3/ 1990 revised.

Crop Production
January 1992

A-7

2/  480-Lb.

Net weight bales.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


State

Cotton:

and United States, 1989-91

Area Planted

Area Harvested

Area Planted and Harvested, by State

1990

1,000 Acres

1X 4,

us : 10,

650.
2
209.

245.
18.

30.
82.

376.

328.

NM NOSCCCOOCDOCOCOMDUCOOO

© BWHADO

5,500.
5
12,116.

125.
25.

19.
60.

231.

380.

Ww BWWHIS @O@ WOSCSOOTDDCOMODDOCOCSD

WADDSCOWOWOMNDONCOS

415.
360.
1,000.
970.
50.
430.
2.
875.
1,245.
332.
69.
460.
440.
211.
620.
6,400.
18.

13,897.
106.
60.

20.
60.

246.

oe FONT

&@ SO000000009000000

Oo SSRDODSCODCOCCOCOODDO

322.
239.
595.

1,040.

25.
260.
0.
620.

1,020.

209.

55.

110.

340.

118.

460.

3,750.
2

9,166.

244.
17.

30.
78.

371.

322.

NN ONrwon Oo HOTOCDODDDVOOHSOOCOCOSO

n
N NODDTONOCHOHLDOWOUD

378.
348.
750.
1,090.
36
350.

790

1,220.
235.

200.
370.
154.

515.
5,000.
5

11,504.

124.
25.

19.
57.

227.

378.

tw WOCOSTDDSDONDOODO0O

DWwuNe

a

5,300.

w
i
7

© BOSSDDDDCDCDOMODDCOSO

12,601.

103.

°
DH 2BMOO

_
nN
wo
°o

F BDBOCSOSCOBOMOMDODOCDS

Crop Production
January 1992

A-6

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


December 1 and 6 percent less than the 1990-91 crop; seeded grapefruit, at
1.50 million boxes, is unchanged from December 1 but 6 percent below last
season. Sizes are very good this season and harvest is 33 percent complete.

The California Desert grapefruit forecast remains at 3.50 million boxes,
unchanged from the October 1 forecast and last season's. Recent rains are
expected to be beneficial to the groves. Arizona's grapefruit crop forecast is
also unchanged from October 1 at 2.30 million boxes, 4 percent below last
season. Fruit quality is good. Quality remains good and harvest is 13 percent
complete. Texas production is forecast at 95,000 boxes, down 17 percent from
last month. Last year Texas had no commercial production due to the severe
December 1989 freeze. Harvest is nearing completion with less fruit being
packed than previously anticipated.

Lemons: The Arizona-California lemon crop is expected to total 688,000 tons,

unchanged from the October 1 forecast but 5 percent below last
season's utilized production. California's forecast of 13.5 million boxes is
also unchanged from the October 1 forecast, but is 9 percent less than the
1990-91 season's crop. The crop is light in the Central Valley due to the
December 1990 freeze. Fruit set is good in other parts of the State, but sizes
are small. Overall quality is good.

The Arizona forecast is 4.60 million boxes, unchanged from the

October 1 forecast and 12 percent more than last season's utilized crop.
Overall quality is good. Approximately 62 percent of the crop has been
harvested.

Tangelos: The Florida tangelo crop production forecast remains at 2.60 million
boxes, 2 percent below last season's production. Fruit sizes are
good and harvest is 78 percent complete.

Tangerines: The U.S. all tangerine forecast is 202,000 tons, up slightly from

December 1 and 23 percent above the 1990-91 crop. This forecast
includes the Dancy, Robinson, Honey, and Sunburst varieties of tangerines in
Florida, as well as production of California and Arizona tangerines.

The Florida forecast is 2.40 million boxes, down 4 percent from December 1 but
23 percent more than 1990-91. Harvest is finished on the early varieties and
is 50 percent complete on all Florida tangerines. Quality and sizes remain
good. The California crop forecast, at 1.50 million boxes, is unchanged from
the October 1 forecast and is up 15 percent from last season. Recent rains
have improved the condition of the trees. Harvest is underway with good fruit
quality reported. The Arizona crop forecast is 850,000 boxes, up 21 percent
from the October 1 forecast and up 42 percent from the 1990-91 utilized
production. As harvest progresses, more fruit is being packed than previously
anticipated. Harvest is 35 percent complete with good quality reported.

Temples: Florida's temple production forecast remains unchanged this month at
2.60 million boxes. If realized, this year's production would be

4 percent more than last season. Harvest has just begun and is 1 percent

complete.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 B-5 NASS, USDA


Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production,
by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1990-92

: Area : :

Seasonal aa a : Yield : Production

Group : Planted : Harvested :

and ore r tren nnn ne nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nner ne

State : 1991 : 1992 : 1991: 1992 : 1991 : 1992 : 1990 : 1991: 1992
Winter :

CA : 5.6 5.1 4.6 5.1 245 = 265 1,265 1,127 1,352

FL : 7.6 8.1 7.6 8.0 195 190 1,078 1,482 1,520

Total 113.2 13.2 12.2 13.1 214 219 2,343 2,609 2,872
Spring 1/ :

AL : 4.0 2.5 120 855 300

AZ : 6.0 6.0 295 1,794 1,770

CA > 21.8 21.8 380 8,438 8,284

FL :

Hastings : 27.5 27.0 190 6,888 5,130

Other : 8.6 8.4 175 1,826 1,470

LA :

NC 17.3 17.0 170 3,240 2,890

1X 5.0 4.8 165 1,122 792

Total 90.2 87.5 236 24,163 20,636
Revised.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, Hawaii, by Month, 1990-91

Area Fresh Production

Month : Total in Crop Harvested

-- 1,000 Pounds -~
Nov : 3,610 3,975 2,420 2,095 5,555 4,640

Dec : 3,400 4,010 2,285 1,910 4,645 4,400
Jan 3 3,315 2,225 4,720
Feb : 3,195 2,050 3,310
Mar : 3,330 2,030 3,280
Apr : 3,435 1,940 3,765
Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Dec: 58,000 46,570
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 A-9 NASS, USDA



Crop A Agricaltural
. Statistics
Production Service

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released January 10, 1992, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Estimates
refer to January 1, 1992.

Cotton Production Down 3 Percent

All Cotton production for 1991 is forecast at 17.5 million bales, down

3 percent from December 1 but 13 percent above 1990's production and is the
largest production since 1937. The October freeze in Texas caused more damage
than earlier expected, decreasing yields, quality, and causing producers to
abandon acreage. Louisiana expects a record high production and Georgia and
Mississippi expect record high yields.

Citrus production is forecast at 11.6 million tons, virtually the same as last
month but 2 percent higher than the 1990-91 season.

Orange production is forecast at 8.45 million tons, virtually unchanged from
December 1 and 8 percent above last season. The increase from last year is
primarily due to more production in California following last year's reduced
crop caused by the December 1990 freeze.

Grapefruit production, including California's Desert grapefruit but excluding
California's "Other Areas" crop, is 1.98 million tons. The January 1 forecast
is 1 percent less than last month and 12 percent less than last season. The
decrease is mainly due to reduced production in Florida.

Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For
information, call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

CrPr 2-2 (1-92)


Citrus Fruit:

Production, by State and United States, 1990-92 1/

Crop
and
State

Oranges, Early Mid
& Navel 3/

Oranges, Valencia
AZ
CA S/

All Oranges

FL
Grapefruit, White
Seedless
FL
Grapefruit, Colored
Seedless

FL
Other Grapefruit
FL
All Grapefruit
AZ
CA 6/
Desert

Other Areas
Total

Tangelos
FL

Production

Boxes

Utilized

390
44,300
68,100

1,050
113,840

1,220
27,100
42,100

155
70,575

1,610
71,400
110; 200
1,205
184,415

1,400

18,000

16,300
1,400
2,200

3,500
5,900
9,400
35,700
2,000
49,300

600
1,650
1,700
3,950

2,800
15,800
18,600

550
15,800
87,500

103,850
1,200
9,800

64,000
75,000
1,750
25,600
151,500
178,850

2,500

21,700

21,800
1,600
2,400

3,500
4,500
8,000
45,100

55,500

600
1,300
1,950
3,850

4,100
14,900
19,000

Production

Ton Equivalent

Utilized

720 14
32,000 1,661
80,000 3,064

40 44
112,760 4,783
1,400 45
28,000 1,016
56,000 1,894
20 7
85,420 2,962
2,120 59
60,000 2,677
136,000 4,958
60 51
198,180 7,745
2,600 63
20,000 765
20,500 693
1,500 60
2,300 70
3,500 112
198

310

42,000 1,518
95 80
1,978

850 22
1,500 62
23400 80
45750 164
4,600 106
133500 600
18,100 706
2,600 132

20
593
3,937
4,550
45
368
2,880
3,293
65
961
6,817
7,843

113

922

926
68
77

112
150
262
1,916

2,255

23
49
92
164

156
566
722

Ind

850

871
64
74

112

1,785
4

Crop Production
January 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


All Citrus: Revisions, California
and United States, 1990-91

: Bearing
: Acreage :

Acres
Total Citrus
CA :
1990-91* : 250,600 1,838 1,178 660 700,438
us :
1990-91* 850,300 11,280 3,156 8,124 2,501,092
* Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 A-11 NASS, USDA



Cottonseed: Production, by State
and United States, 1989-1991

Production
State  !---------2--- nnn nn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn nn nnn nnn nn nner nn=
1989 1990 1991
1,000 Tons
AL 140.0 139.0 195.0
AZ 1/ 423.0 380.0 412.0
AR 335.0 431.0 609.0
CA 1,040.0 1,079.0 1,023.0
FL 10.4 17.0 25.2
GA 123.0 144.0 256.0
KS al 3 6
LA 319.0 446.0 531.0
MS 601.0 732.0 879.0
MO 104.0 124.0 167.0
NM 39.0 48.0 35.5
NC 49.0 91.0 229.0
OK 74.0 150.0 100.0
sc 54.0 50.0 118.0
IN 176.0 192.0 271.0
1X 1,189.0 1,943.0 1,898.0
VA 0.9 2.2 9.6
US 4,677.4 5,968.5 9

1/ 1990 Revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 A-8 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next "Crop Production" report will be released on February 11, 1992, at

3:00 p.m. ET.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202) 720-2127
Field Crops Section
Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Martin Owens, Rice, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-2157
Vaughn Siegenthaler, Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068
Charles Van Lahr, Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369
Herb Vanderberry, Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-9526
Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section
Steve Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
Jim Brewster, Fruits, Fresh Vegetables (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge, Potatoes, Dry Beans, Processing Vegetables (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett, Peanuts (202) 720-3180
Kevin Hintzman, Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202) 720-5412
Roger Latham, Cotton (202) 720-5944
Darwin Ransom, Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202) 720-7621
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 B-8 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield,
and Production, United States, 1991-92
(Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested
Crop teen nnn nnnnnn enero nnn nnn nner non er ren nr nner ersesen
1991 1992 1991 1992
a Hectares
Winter Potatoes : 5,340 5,340 4,940
; re production
et) rs
eee Metric Toms
Winter Potatoes : 23.96 24.58 118,340 130,270

Crop Summary: Hay Stocks on Farms, United States, 1990-91
(Metric Units)

May 1 : 24,574,730 24,514,850

Dec 1 3 95,139,190 101,221,860
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 A-4 NASS, USDA


December Weather Summary: During the past two Decembers, severe freezes

highlighted monthly weather stories. In 1989, Texas
and Florida suffered. In 1990, California absorbed an arctic blow. But in
December 1991, arctic outbreaks were non-existent. Instead, severe flooding
battered eastern Texas, and late-month rains quelled drought concerns in
California.

Cold air covered the eastern Canadian Border States until the 5th, then receded
into Canada, not to return for the duration of the month. Especially mild
conditions prevailed in the northern Plains, where temperatures averaged up to
9° F above normal, leaving winter wheat fields free of protective snow cover.
Only northern Maine (clipped by cold airmasses) and mountain valleys in the
central Rockies (chilled by nighttime radiational cooling) had temperatures
more than 2° F below normal for December.

Two storms during the first 10 days of the month (December 1-3 and 8-9) dropped
heavy rain from eastern Texas to the mid-Atlantic region. Widespread minor
flooding occurred from eastern Texas to the Tennessee Valley. After the 10th,
storms aimed their fury farther west. As a result, monthly precipitation
exceeded twice the normal values from the Southwest to the central and southern
Plains.

The event of the month was an inundating 6-day rainfall in the southern Plains.
East-central Texas (from Dallas to San Antonio) endured more than 6 inches of
rain. The runoff caused massive flooding along the Trinity, Brazos, Colorado,
and Guadalupe Rivers, all of which drain south-eastward toward the Gulf of
Mexico, and their tributaries. Monthly rainfall records fell in several
cities, including Carlsbad and Roswell, NM, and Austin, Corpus Christi, San
Antonio, and Wichita Falls, TX. In addition, Austin achieved its all-time
wettest year (52.21 inches), topping the 51.30-inch total set in 1957.

A second, weaker storm aggravated flooding in southeastern Texas between the
25th and 27th. The storm strengthened as it moved eastward, dropping
beneficial moisture on the Southeast, drier than normal since late August.
However, Florida remained unusually dry for the third month in a row.
Elsewhere, the Pacific Northwest and the northern Plains had generally less
than half of the normal precipitation, as storms primarily passed to the south.

At month's end, two storms crossed California, providing much-needed moisture
to the State, especially in the south. Until the 27th, this year's rainy
season (most of the State's rain falls between October and April) had closely
matched last year's near-record autumn and early winter dryness.

December Fieldwork: The passage of several storm fronts during December

replenished supplies of soil moisture in most parts of the
Nation, but delayed the completion of late-season activities. Small grain
seeding was continuing in the Southeast, southern Great Plains, Delta, and
Southwest entering December. Fieldwork was suspended by rains in Texas and
Oklahoma during much of the month, while seeding was completed in the Southeast
and advanced to the latter stages in the Southwest. Well-above-normal
temperatures prevailed during the month, melting much of the snow cover in the
North Central and Rocky Mountain States. Fall-seeded grains were left
vulnerable to freeze, but grains were favored by the mild temperatures of the
month. At the end of the month, winter wheat condition remained mainly fair to
good.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 B-1 NASS, USDA


Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.47 million bales, up 1 percent from the previous month's
forecast but down 5 percent from 1990. Yields in this region are expected to
average 1,202 pounds per acre, 37 pounds above the 1990 yield.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and
South Carolina) totals 2.25 million bales, 2 percent above last month and

89 percent above 1990. Yields in this region are expected to average

717 pounds per acre, up from the 527 pounds per acre realized from last year's
drought affected crop.

Ginnings totaled 15,891,400 running bales ginned prior to January 1, compared
with 14,516,334 running bales for the same date last year and
11,547,775 running bales in 1989.

Cottonseed: Production for 1991, based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio, is
expected to total 6.76 million tons, up 13 percent from the 1990
production of 5.97 million tons.

Winter Potatoes: Production of winter potatoes in 1992 is forecast at

2.87 million cwt. This is up 10 percent from last year and
23 percent above 1990. Area for harvest is estimated at 13,100 acres, up
7 percent from last year but 1 percent below two years ago. The average yield
is projected at 219 cwt per acre, 5 cwt higher than last year.

The Florida crop is in good condition with favorable growing weather. Harvest
of early fields should start in late January. California growers have some
concerns about dry soil and the ongoing water shortage. Not withstanding,
production is forecast 20 percent above last year's frost damaged crop.

Spring Potatoes, 1991 Revised: The 1991 spring potato crop is finalized at

20.6 million cwt, up 1 percent from the
forecast in June, but 15 percent below the 1990 output. Final area harvested,
at 87,500 acres, and yields, averaging 236 cwt, were both slightly better than
forecast in June but below 1990 estimates.

Papayas: December fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 4.40 million
pounds, down 5 percent from the November 1991 and December 1990

totals. The December output brought fresh utilization for 1991 up to

46.6 million pounds compared with 58.0 million pounds during the previous year.

Weather during December was variable with mixed effects on papaya orchards.
Wet, windy conditions early in the month were unfavorable towards production
and some orchards lost older trees. Conditions were more favorable during the
middle of the month with periods of sunshine mixed with light showers in the
major producing areas. By month's end, the wet, windy weather returned
accompanied by cooler temperatures, causing some reduction in yields.

Total acreage planted to papayas was 4,010 acres, 18 percent more than December
1990 and 1 percent above November 1991. Harvested acreage was down 16 percent
from a year earlier to 1,910 acres. The December harvested acreage was

9 percent below the November total.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 B-3 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1990-91
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

Crop Sata
1990 1991 1990 1991
1,000 Acres
All Cotton : 12,348.1 14, 143.8 11,731.6 12,842.4
Upland > 12,116.8 13,897.0 11,504.5 12,601.8
Amer-Pima 231.3 246.8 227.1 240.6

Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1990-92
(Domestic Units)

Yield per Acre 1/: Production 2/

Crop
and
Unit
All Cotton Bale : 634 656 15,505.4 18,004.9 17,541.5
Upland " > 632 653 15§,146.9 17,590.8 17,142.5
Amer-Pima " 2 758 796 358.5 414.1 399.0
Cottonseed Ton 2 5,968.5 6,942.7 6,758.9
Citrus Fruits 3/ : 1990-91 1991-92 1991-92
Oranges Ton : 7,843 8,452 8,453
Lemons " 722 688 688
l/ Yield in pounds.
2/ Cotton production in 480-1b net weight bales.
3/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 A-3 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield,
and Production, United States, 1991-92
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested
Crop
Winter Potatoes : 13.2 13.2 12.2 13.1
Winter Potatoes : 214 219 2,609 2,872

Crop Summary: Hay Stocks on Farms, United States, 1990-91
(Domestic Units)

1,000 Tons

May 1 : 27,089 27,023
Dec 1 : 104,873 111,578

This report was approved on January 10, 1992, by the Secretary of Agriculture
and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics
Board.

Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Acting Chairperson
Edward R. Madigan Frederic A. Vogel
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 1992 A-2 NASS, USDA


1

Citrus Fruit Footnotes

The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

Net Ibs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-CA Desert &
AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos and Temples-90;
tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, TX had no commercial production
for the 1990-91 season.

1990-91 crop revised.

The first forecast for CA grapefruit "Other Areas" will be as of April 1.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 A-13 NASS, USDA


Late-season row crop harvests were also in the latter stages entering December.
Corn harvest was slowed by snow and mud in Iowa during early December, while
weather conditions permitted the harvest of late fields in New York and the
Pacific Northwest. Efforts to harvest remaining corn in Iowa were persistently
hampered by storms during the month, and it was feared that some fields might
remain unharvested until spring. By the end of the month, however, weather
conditions improved and harvest was virtually completed.

Soybean harvest was very near completion in the Atlantic and Gulf Coast States
in early December and predominately dry weather along the Atlantic Coast
allowed the completion of harvest before the holidays. Rains, meanwhile,
delayed the completion of harvest in Texas and the Delta. By the end of the
month, a few fields along Texas' Upper Coast and High Plains remained
unharvested.

Early in December, cotton harvest was progressing rapidly, as mostly dry
weather prevailed from California through western Oklahoma. Harvest was also
active, though well along, in the Southeast. Rain showers halted activities
during the second week of the month in Texas and Oklahoma, and frequent rains
through the end of the month hampered efforts to complete picking. Harvest was
completed under more favorable conditions in the Southeast and Southwest, and
stalk shredding and plowing for the control of boll worm was completed. Some
Texas and Oklahoma fields remained too wet for harvest at the end of the month,
and excess moisture was lowering yields and quality in unharvested fields.

Sorghum harvest was completed during the first half of the month, as progress
advanced rapidly in New Mexico and the Texas High Plains.

All Cotton: The January 1 forecast of all cotton production is estimated at
17.5 million bales, down 3 percent from December 1 but up

13 percent from last year. This is the largest production since 1937. Of the

total, Upland is expected to account for 17.1 million bales, while Pima

production will total 399,000 bales. Total area for harvest is estimated at

12.8 million acres, up 9 percent from 1990. Yield is expected to average

656 pounds per acre, up 22 pounds from last year.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 5.00 million
bales, down 10 percent from last month and down 6 percent from 1990. In Texas,
cotton harvest was 94 percent complete in early January, 1 percent ahead of
normal. A late October freeze in Texas caused more damage than expected
earlier, decreasing yield potential and forcing producers to abandon acreage.
Rainfall during December prevented harvest completion and slowed movement of
cotton modules to gins.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
expect to produce 6.33 million bales, up slightly from December 1 and

29 percent greater than 1990. Although the spring was extremely wet and
plantings were later than normal, the crop's development proceeded rapidly and
yields in this region were 766 pounds per acre, 94 pounds above 1990 yields.
Harvest was virtually complete in mid-December. Louisiana is expecting a
record high production and Mississippi is expecting a record high yield and the
largest production since 1948.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
January 1992 B-2 NASS, USDA