Cr Pr 2-2 (10-02)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released October 11, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 1 Percent from Last Month

Soybean Production Virtually Unchanged

Cotton Production Down Slightly

Orange Production Down 10 Percent from Last Season

Corn production is forecast at 8.97 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month but down 6 percent from

2001. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 127.2 bushels per acre, up

1.8 bushels from September but down 11.0 bushels from last year. If realized, production would be at the

lowest level since 1995. Yields are lower than last month in the eastern Corn Belt as farmers are starting to

record actual harvested yields and realizing the overall effect the late spring plantings and summer drought

conditions had on the crop. However, expected yields are up sharply in Iowa and Minnesota as conditions

have been ideal during the entire growing season.

Soybean production is forecast at 2.65 billion bushels, virtually unchanged from September but 8 percent

below 2001. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 37.0 bushels per acre, unchanged

from last month. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1999. Yield forecasts increased from

last month in the central Great Plains, upper and lower Mississippi Valley and the Tennessee Valley as

September weather provided beneficial showers. However, yields declined in the northern Great Plains and

eastern Corn Belt due to above normal temperatures. Acreage for harvest is forecast at 71.8 million acres,

unchanged from September and 2 percent below last year.

Revisions to 2001 soybean acres, yield, and production were published in the September 30, 2002 Grain

Stocks report.

All cotton production is forecast at 18.1 million 480-pound bales, down less than 1 percent from last month

and 11 percent below last year’s record high production. Yield is expected to average 674 pounds per acre,

down 1 pound from last month. The reduced production is due to further deterioration of the crop in

southeastern States, offset by favorable conditions in Texas and California. Harvested acreage, at

12.9 million acres, was decreased slightly in North Carolina based on administrative data. 

The Delta region experienced two significant weather systems in late September and early October. Tropical

Storm Isidore, which hit the Delta region during the last week of September, brought substantial amounts of

precipitation. Hurricane Lili made landfall also in the Delta region, but not until after October 1. Its impact is

not reflected in this report.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 2 NASS, USDA

The U.S. all orange initial forecast for the 2002-03 season is 11.3 million tons, down 10 percent from last

season’s utilization. Florida’s all orange forecast is 197 million boxes (8.87 million tons), 14 percent below

last season’s utilized production of 230 million boxes. Summer weather conditions led to accelerated

maturity, evident by fruit size being larger than recent seasons. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are

forecast at 113 million boxes (5.09 million tons), 12 percent below last season. Bearing trees continue to

decline and fruit per tree is lower than last year. However, fruit size is very large for this early in the season. 

Florida’s Valencia forecast is 84.0 million boxes (3.78 million tons), 18 percent below last season’s final

utilization. Fruit per tree is down from last season but fruit size is larger. 

California’s all orange production for the 2002-03 season is forecast at 63.0 million boxes, (2.36 million

tons), 13 percent more than the previous crop. The Navel orange forecast was carried forward from

September at 40.0 million boxes (1.50 million tons) and is 18 percent higher than the 2001-02 season. Fruit

size is expected to be normal. The initial California Valencia forecast for the 2002-03 crop is 23.0 million

boxes (863,000 tons), 5 percent above last year’s utilization. The crop is progressing normally with fruit set

above last season.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2002-03 season is forecast at 1.57 gallons

per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is lower than the 2001-02 season’s yield of 1.58 gallons per box as

reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. Final yield for the 2000-01 season was 1.58 gallons

per box. Projected yield for the 2002-03 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the

January Crop Production Report.

This report was approved on October 11, 2002.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Keith J. Collins

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Frederic A. Vogel
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Apples .............................................................................. 20

Beans, Dry Edible ..................................................................... 14

Citrus ............................................................................... 19

Canola ............................................................................... 9

Corn for Grain ......................................................................... 4

 Ears Per Acre ....................................................................... 29

Cotton .............................................................................. 10

 Cumulative Bolls Counts ............................................................... 31

Cottonseed ........................................................................... 11

Crop Summary ........................................................................ 23

Crop Comments ....................................................................... 36

Grapes .............................................................................. 22

Hay, Alfalfa .......................................................................... 12

 Other .............................................................................. 13

Information Contacts ................................................................... 47

Papayas ............................................................................. 22

Peanuts ............................................................................... 9

Pecans .............................................................................. 21

Potatoes, Winter ...................................................................... 14

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ................................................. 45

Rice, by State .......................................................................... 6

 By Class ............................................................................ 6

Sorghum for Grain ...................................................................... 5

Soybeans ............................................................................. 7

 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet ..................................................... 30

Sugarbeets ........................................................................... 18

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ............................................................ 18

Sunflowers ............................................................................ 8

 Acres by Variety ...................................................................... 9

Tobacco, by State ..................................................................... 15

 By Class and Type .................................................................... 16

Weather Maps ........................................................................ 32

Weather Summary ..................................................................... 34
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 4 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

150

185

160

1,070

162

220

10,850

5,670

11,400

3,050

1,100

307

410

1,900

6,200

385

2,600

7,750

66

46

540

625

705

3,170

210

990

240

3,400

620

1,420

330

55

2,600

222

68,808

200

315

140

730

171

280

11,300

5,270

11,900

2,600

1,060

480

425

2,090

6,800

525

2,700

7,600

75

38

450

660

1,030

2,890

180

950

290

3,500

620

1,800

350

80

2,800

242

70,541

107.0

145.0

170.0

140.0

146.0

134.0

152.0

156.0

146.0

127.0

142.0

148.0

136.0

105.0

130.0

130.0

133.0

147.0

112.0

180.0

105.0

125.0

115.0

138.0

125.0

98.0

108.0

109.0

132.0

118.0

123.0

190.0

127.0

139.2

138.2

84.0

140.0

175.0

143.0

81.0

130.0

140.0

119.0

149.0

105.0

104.0

130.0

78.0

115.0

145.0

125.0

102.0

119.0

74.0

180.0

98.0

72.0

110.0

110.0

130.0

72.0

35.0

97.0

106.0

108.0

73.0

190.0

130.0

141.2

125.4

87.0

140.0

175.0

143.0

81.0

125.0

138.0

117.0

159.0

110.0

101.0

130.0

78.0

112.0

152.0

125.0

102.0

120.0

74.0

180.0

95.0

74.0

108.0

104.0

130.0

72.0

35.0

95.0

107.0

110.0

73.0

190.0

130.0

140.0

127.2

16,050

26,825

27,200

149,800

23,652

29,480

1,649,200

884,520

1,664,400

387,350

156,200

45,436

55,760

199,500

806,000

50,050

345,800

1,139,250

7,392

8,280

56,700

78,125

81,075

437,460

26,250

97,020

25,920

370,600

81,840

167,560

40,590

10,450

330,200

30,905

9,506,840

17,400

44,100

24,500

104,390

13,851

35,000

1,559,400

616,590

1,892,100

286,000

107,060

62,400

33,150

234,080

1,033,600

65,625

275,400

912,000

5,550

6,840

42,750

48,840

111,240

300,560

23,400

68,400

10,150

332,500

66,340

198,000

25,550

15,200

364,000

33,870

8,969,836

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop

Production 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 5 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

 Sts 1

US

170

220

77

3,750

210

220

425

140

420

150

2,600

202

8,584

230

150

78

3,100

195

190

310

75

330

80

2,600

190

7,528

86.0

43.0

105.0

62.0

85.0

94.0

84.0

45.0

36.0

59.0

50.0

76.0

59.9

82.0

30.0

85.0

48.0

82.0

83.0

50.0

35.0

42.0

40.0

48.0

72.2

51.0

78.0

30.0

85.0

48.0

78.0

82.0

47.0

30.0

45.0

40.0

50.0

72.2

51.4

14,620

9,460

8,085

232,500

17,850

20,680

35,700

6,300

15,120

8,850

130,000

15,359

514,524

17,940

4,500

6,630

148,800

15,210

15,580

14,570

2,250

14,850

3,200

130,000

13,719

387,249

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 6 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,621

471

546

253

207

216

3,314

1,506

521

535

243

197

205

3,207

6,250

8,170

5,500

6,500

5,950

6,700

6,429

6,250

8,100

5,500

6,400

5,600

6,800

6,432

6,450

8,300

5,500

6,400

6,200

7,000

6,608

101,312

38,490

30,014

16,445

12,317

14,467

213,045

97,137

43,243

29,425

15,552

12,214

14,350

211,921

Rice: Production by Class, United States,

2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain All

1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

2000

2001

2002 1

128,756

165,330

157,440

59,514

46,105

52,566

2,602

1,610

1,915

190,872

213,045

211,921

 1 Indicated October 1, 2002, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 7 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

135

2,850

201

155

10,620

5,590

10,920

2,730

1,220

610

515

2,130

7,200

1,120

4,900

4,900

101

158

1,350

2,110

4,580

255

395

420

4,470

1,040

225

480

1,570

25

72,975

140

2,900

192

145

10,350

5,680

10,650

2,600

1,210

760

505

1,940

6,900

1,420

4,650

4,700

88

153

1,290

2,400

4,620

280

380

430

4,150

1,120

240

460

1,420

26

71,799

35.0

32.0

39.0

26.0

45.0

49.0

44.0

32.0

40.0

33.0

39.0

30.0

37.0

33.0

38.0

45.5

31.0

33.0

32.0

33.5

41.0

19.0

35.0

21.0

32.0

34.0

26.0

35.5

37.0

37.3

39.6

28.0

34.0

20.0

24.0

41.0

41.0

46.0

23.0

30.0

33.0

21.0

36.0

43.0

33.0

32.0

36.0

25.0

32.0

24.0

35.0

33.0

25.0

28.0

18.0

31.0

30.0

28.0

23.0

39.0

32.2

37.0

26.0

35.0

23.0

24.0

41.0

40.0

46.0

24.0

31.0

33.0

21.0

36.0

44.0

34.0

32.0

37.0

25.0

30.0

24.0

33.0

32.0

28.0

27.0

18.0

29.0

31.0

28.0

23.0

39.0

35.3

37.0

4,725

91,200

7,839

4,030

477,900

273,910

480,480

87,360

48,800

20,130

20,085

63,900

266,400

36,960

186,200

222,950

3,131

5,214

43,200

70,685

187,780

4,845

13,825

8,820

143,040

35,360

5,850

17,040

58,090

933

2,890,682

3,640

101,500

4,416

3,480

424,350

227,200

489,900

62,400

37,510

25,080

10,605

69,840

303,600

48,280

148,800

173,900

2,200

4,590

30,960

79,200

147,840

7,840

10,260

7,740

120,350

34,720

6,720

10,580

55,380

917

2,653,798

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 8 NASS, USDA

Sunflowers: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2000-2001 1 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

Varietal

Type &

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2 2000 2001 2002 2

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Oil

 CO

 KS

 MN

 NE

 ND

 SD

 TX

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

Non-Oil

 CO

 KS

 MN

 NE

 ND

 SD

 TX

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

All

 CO

 KS

 MN

 NE

 ND

 SD

 TX

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

120

290

28

50

835

661

33

43

2,060

62

33

28

29

215

44

70

14

495

182

323

56

79

1,050

705

103

57

2,555

80

225

35

51

1,070

450

19

35

1,965

30

14

25

14

190

35

38

9

355

110

239

60

65

1,260

485

57

44

2,320

1,140

1,200

1,400

1,000

1,440

1,410

1,100

1,372

1,361

1,150

1,330

1,250

1,150

1,260

1,450

1,200

915

1,243

1,143

1,213

1,325

1,055

1,403

1,412

1,168

1,260

1,338

620

1,000

1,500

740

1,250

950

1,000

1,243

1,118

118,750

252,000

76,800

42,140

1,360,650

1,003,200

7,800

48,504

2,909,844

53,900

19,000

57,350

22,630

378,000

58,500

27,200

18,004

634,584

172,650

271,000

134,150

64,770

1,738,650

1,061,700

35,000

66,508

3,544,428

136,800

348,000

39,200

50,000

1,202,400

932,010

36,300

58,994

2,803,704

71,300

43,890

35,000

33,350

270,900

63,800

84,000

12,815

615,055

208,100

391,890

74,200

83,350

1,473,300

995,810

120,300

71,809

3,418,759

68,200

239,000

90,000

48,100

1,575,000

460,750

57,000

54,703

2,592,753

 1 2001 Revised. 2 2002 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary". 3 Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 9 NASS, USDA

Sunflowers: Area Planted by Varietal Type,

State and United States, 2001 1

State Varietal Type

Oil Non-Oil All

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CO

KS

MN

NE

ND

SD

TX

Oth Sts 2

US

130

300

30

52

850

670

35

50

2,117

65

35

30

30

220

45

73

18

516

195

335

60

82

1,070

715

108

68

2,633

 1 Revised. 2 Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY.

Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

199.0

82.0

514.0

22.2

122.5

77.0

10.2

310.0

75.0

1,411.9

199.0

92.0

518.0

23.0

100.0

60.0

10.5

300.0

58.0

1,360.5

2,675

3,050

3,330

3,020

2,910

2,570

3,000

2,890

3,130

3,029

2,400

2,900

3,000

2,500

2,300

2,800

2,100

3,000

2,500

2,808

2,500

2,900

2,800

2,800

2,300

2,900

2,200

3,000

2,500

2,757

532,325

250,100

1,711,620

67,044

356,475

197,890

30,600

895,900

234,750

4,276,704

497,500

266,800

1,450,400

64,400

230,000

174,000

23,100

900,000

145,000

3,751,200

Canola: Area Harvested, Yield and Production by State

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

MN

ND

Oth Sts 1

US

75

1,285

95

1,455

65

1,250

63

1,378

1,180

1,400

1,169

1,374

1,080

1,150

1,242

1,151

88,500

1,799,000

111,015

1,998,515

70,200

1,437,500

78,225

1,585,925

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, ID, IN, KS, MI, MT, NY, OR, PA, SC, SD, and WA.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 10 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

605.0

290.0

1,065.0

625.0

1,480.0

855.0

1,600.0

400.0

65.0

965.0

185.0

296.0

615.0

4,250.0

104.0

159.5

13,559.5

7.5

239.0

5.2

16.5

268.2

605.0

297.5

1,065.0

864.0

1,480.0

855.0

1,600.0

400.0

70.2

965.0

185.0

296.0

615.0

4,266.5

104.0

159.5

13,827.7

585.0

232.0

930.0

477.0

1,430.0

500.0

1,170.0

385.0

56.0

945.0

190.0

286.0

560.0

4,600.0

100.0

174.0

12,620.0

7.4

209.0

7.0

18.0

241.4

585.0

239.4

930.0

686.0

1,430.0

500.0

1,170.0

385.0

63.0

945.0

190.0

286.0

560.0

4,618.0

100.0

174.0

12,861.4

730

1,142

826

1,359

720

580

719

834

916

832

511

686

763

481

929

566

694

928

1,283

969

1,059

1,254

730

1,137

826

1,338

720

580

719

834

920

832

511

686

763

483

929

566

705

665

1,241

841

1,358

688

672

759

798

857

665

480

503

660

501

576

676

664

908

1,286

960

1,093

1,251

665

1,231

841

1,336

688

672

759

798

869

665

480

503

660

503

576

676

675

640

1,241

841

1,439

621

749

821

798

857

559

429

369

660

522

576

676

663

908

1,309

960

987

1,263

640

1,231

841

1,399

621

749

821

798

869

559

429

369

660

524

576

676

674

920.0

690.0

1,833.0

1,770.0

2,220.0

1,034.0

2,396.0

695.0

124.0

1,673.0

197.0

423.0

978.0

4,260.0

201.3

188.1

19,602.4

14.5

639.0

10.5

36.4

700.4

920.0

704.5

1,833.0

2,409.0

2,220.0

1,034.0

2,396.0

695.0

134.5

1,673.0

197.0

423.0

978.0

4,296.4

201.3

188.1

20,302.8

780.0

600.0

1,630.0

1,430.0

1,850.0

780.0

2,000.0

640.0

100.0

1,100.0

170.0

220.0

770.0

5,000.0

120.0

245.0

17,435.0

14.0

570.0

14.0

37.0

635.0

780.0

614.0

1,630.0

2,000.0

1,850.0

780.0

2,000.0

640.0

114.0

1,100.0

170.0

220.0

770.0

5,037.0

120.0

245.0

18,070.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3 Other States include FL and KS. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 11 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Production

2000 2001 2002 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 6,435.6 7,452.2 6,736.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 12 NASS, USDA

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AZ

CA

CO

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

MI

MN

MO

MT

NE

NV

NM

NY

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TX

UT

VA

WA

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

215

1,010

950

1,120

500

330

1,250

900

250

900

1,450

450

1,450

1,450

265

270

560

1,600

570

340

460

670

3,000

130

550

110

470

1,700

580

312

23,812

225

1,160

900

1,250

500

300

1,250

1,000

250

900

1,600

460

1,700

1,450

275

260

520

1,450

590

310

475

600

2,900

140

560

120

490

1,600

580

319

24,134

8.00

7.20

3.80

3.90

3.90

4.00

3.70

4.60

3.70

3.60

3.50

3.05

2.10

3.55

4.50

5.00

2.80

2.10

3.50

2.60

4.30

2.50

2.20

4.90

4.00

3.10

4.80

2.50

2.20

2.86

3.37

8.20

7.10

3.40

3.90

3.70

3.00

3.60

3.50

3.00

3.40

3.70

2.60

2.00

2.90

4.30

5.10

2.60

1.30

2.70

3.60

4.30

2.40

1.20

6.00

3.90

2.60

5.00

2.50

2.20

2.75

3.09

1,702

7,140

3,330

4,746

1,900

1,763

4,875

3,690

975

3,700

5,580

1,457

2,520

4,185

1,219

1,508

1,008

3,240

2,280

1,089

1,638

2,015

5,433

480

2,200

480

2,350

5,400

1,426

1,018

80,347

1,720

7,272

3,610

4,368

1,950

1,320

4,625

4,140

925

3,240

5,075

1,373

3,045

5,148

1,193

1,350

1,568

3,360

1,995

884

1,978

1,675

6,600

637

2,200

341

2,256

4,250

1,276

892

80,266

1,845

8,236

3,060

4,875

1,850

900

4,500

3,500

750

3,060

5,920

1,196

3,400

4,205

1,183

1,326

1,352

1,885

1,593

1,116

2,043

1,440

3,480

840

2,184

312

2,450

4,000

1,276

878

74,655

 1 Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 13 NASS, USDA

All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AR

CA

CO

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

920

1,300

530

650

650

300

300

280

400

2,400

2,100

450

250

700

780

3,600

1,000

1,800

1,100

690

1,100

950

2,200

565

980

1,700

2,100

5,100

1,200

320

530

300

550

1,904

39,699

900

1,350

500

600

600

300

320

280

350

2,050

2,100

450

200

700

780

3,800

1,150

1,850

1,250

730

1,200

920

2,300

630

1,100

1,600

2,050

5,500

1,250

340

520

400

590

1,915

40,575

2.60

2.10

3.10

1.80

3.00

1.90

2.40

2.60

2.35

1.60

2.20

2.80

2.20

1.60

2.50

1.80

1.40

1.35

1.80

2.20

1.55

2.40

1.40

1.90

1.80

1.50

2.20

2.00

2.00

2.60

1.80

1.80

1.10

2.02

1.93

2.20

2.60

3.00

1.30

2.80

2.00

2.10

2.80

2.20

1.50

2.30

3.00

2.50

1.80

2.70

1.75

1.50

1.00

1.60

1.70

1.00

2.50

1.60

2.10

1.60

0.90

2.10

2.10

1.70

2.90

1.80

1.80

1.10

2.07

1.87

1,296

2,829

1,428

750

1,560

546

770

864

1,125

2,850

5,280

665

630

1,260

1,280

5,200

1,040

1,870

2,090

1,794

1,870

2,241

3,570

1,380

2,415

1,960

4,600

8,400

2,760

899

1,155

600

676

3,921

71,574

2,392

2,730

1,643

1,170

1,950

570

720

728

940

3,840

4,620

1,260

550

1,120

1,950

6,480

1,400

2,430

1,980

1,518

1,705

2,280

3,080

1,074

1,764

2,550

4,620

10,200

2,400

832

954

540

605

3,842

76,437

1,980

3,510

1,500

780

1,680

600

672

784

770

3,075

4,830

1,350

500

1,260

2,106

6,650

1,725

1,850

2,000

1,241

1,200

2,300

3,680

1,323

1,760

1,440

4,305

11,550

2,125

986

936

720

649

3,955

75,792

 1 Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates

will be published in the "Crop Production 2002 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 14 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002 1

State

Area Harvested Yield 2 Production 2

2001 2002 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT 3

NE

NM 3 4

NY

ND

OR 3

SD

TX

UT 3

WA

WI 3

WY

US

89.0

105.0

73.0

14.0

130.0

105.0

24.0

148.0

13.0

22.3

400.0

9.5

17.0

26.4

5.7

34.0

6.1

21.0

1,243.0

89.0

85.0

93.0

17.0

260.0

140.0

21.0

175.0

7.0

24.5

650.0

7.5

15.0

32.0

0.3

41.0

6.3

27.0

1,690.6

1,800

1,700

1,950

1,850

600

1,500

1,380

2,150

2,000

870

1,550

1,810

1,590

1,320

300

1,700

1,800

2,140

1,572

2,000

2,000

2,000

1,100

1,750

1,650

1,700

1,750

2,000

1,200

1,400

1,700

1,500

1,050

1,350

2,100

2,100

2,100

1,632

2,059

1,980

1,716

289

4,125

2,400

486

3,230

358

7,613

211

226

158

10

640

146

762

26,409

1,602

1,785

1,424

259

780

1,575

332

3,185

260

194

6,200

172

270

348

17

578

110

450

19,541

1,780

1,700

1,860

187

4,550

2,310

357

3,063

140

294

9,100

128

225

336

4

861

132

567

27,594

 1 Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2 Cleaned basis. 3 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 4 Estimates discontinued in 2000, reinstated in 2001.

Winter Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2001-2002 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CA

FL

US

9.0

7.8

16.8

9.0

6.8

15.8

9.0

5.0

14.0

9.0

6.7

15.7

Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

FL

US

310

265

294

270

265

268

2,790

1,325

4,115

2,430

1,776

4,206

 1 2002 revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 15 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT

FL

GA

IN

KY

MD

MA

MO 1

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV 1

WI

US

2,300

4,500

26,100

4,200

115,700

2,200

1,140

1,300

161,700

6,100

3,100

32,000

39,690

29,500

1,300

1,570

432,400

1,950

4,800

27,000

4,200

112,300

1,700

1,200

1,300

169,500

6,100

3,400

31,000

35,900

30,760

1,400

1,800

434,310

1,720

2,600

2,460

2,250

2,201

1,500

1,711

2,370

2,393

1,960

1,989

2,450

2,189

2,148

1,450

2,307

2,293

1,633

2,600

2,050

1,850

2,019

1,400

1,525

1,950

2,086

1,650

2,004

1,900

1,977

2,183

1,550

2,239

2,040

2,450

11,475

68,820

7,980

283,065

8,265

460

2,968

406,500

13,200

10,170

81,260

95,958

56,613

1,560

2,255

1,052,999

3,957

11,700

64,206

9,450

254,653

3,300

1,951

3,081

386,920

11,956

6,166

78,400

86,893

63,379

1,885

3,622

991,519

3,185

12,480

55,350

7,770

226,770

2,380

1,830

2,535

353,600

10,065

6,815

58,900

70,990

67,150

2,170

4,030

886,020

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 16 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

Class 2, Fire-cured

 Type 21, VA Belt

 VA

 Type 22, Eastern

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 23, Western

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Total 21-23

Class 3, Air-cured

 Class 3A, Light

 Air-cured

 Type 31, Burley

 IN

 KY

 MO 1

 NC

 OH

 TN

 VA

 WV 1

 US

 Type 32, Southern MD

 Belt

 MD

 PA

 US

 Total 31-32

42,000

20,500

62,500

93,000

20,000

32,000

52,000

4,500

26,100

30,600

238,100

1,200

3,300

6,500

9,800

3,100

520

3,620

14,620

4,200

105,000

1,300

6,700

6,100

32,000

7,700

1,300

164,300

2,200

1,100

3,300

167,600

44,000

22,000

66,000

95,000

24,000

31,000

55,000

4,800

27,000

31,800

247,800

700

2,500

5,000

7,500

2,400

400

2,800

11,000

4,200

104,000

1,300

6,500

6,100

30,000

8,000

1,400

161,500

1,700

1,300

3,000

164,500

2,500

2,370

2,457

2,400

2,400

2,450

2,431

2,600

2,460

2,481

2,432

1,805

3,400

3,000

3,135

3,460

3,175

3,419

3,096

2,250

2,100

2,370

1,600

1,960

2,000

1,620

1,450

2,033

1,500

1,860

1,620

2,025

2,150

2,300

2,200

2,100

2,100

1,900

1,987

2,600

2,050

2,133

2,106

1,800

2,900

2,900

2,900

3,300

3,100

3,271

2,925

1,850

1,950

1,950

1,400

1,650

1,800

1,900

1,550

1,880

1,400

1,850

1,595

1,875

105,000

48,585

153,585

223,200

48,000

78,400

126,400

11,700

64,206

75,906

579,091

2,166

11,220

19,500

30,720

10,726

1,651

12,377

45,263

9,450

220,500

3,081

10,720

11,956

64,000

12,474

1,885

334,066

3,300

2,046

5,346

339,412

94,600

50,600

145,200

199,500

50,400

58,900

109,300

12,480

55,350

67,830

521,830

1,260

7,250

14,500

21,750

7,920

1,240

9,160

32,170

7,770

202,800

2,535

9,100

10,065

54,000

15,200

2,170

303,640

2,380

2,405

4,785

308,425

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 17 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State,

and United States, 2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002 (continued)

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 3, Air-cured

Class 3B, Dark Air-cured

 Type 35, One Sucker

 Belt

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 36, Green River

 Belt

 KY

 Type 37, VA Sun-cured

 Belt

 VA

 Total 35-37

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 Type 41, PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

 Class 5A, CT Valley

 Binder

 Type 51, CT Valley

 Broadleaf

 CT

 MA

 US

 Class 5B, WI Binder

 Type 54, Southern WI

 WI

 Type 55, Northern WI

 WI

 Total 54-55

 Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 Type 61, CT Valley

 Shade-grown

 CT

 MA

 US

All Cigar Types

 Total 41-61

All Tobacco

2,750

670

3,420

1,550

100

5,070

2,000

1,300

840

2,140

1,250

320

1,570

3,710

1,000

300

1,300

7,010

432,400

2,200

500

2,700

1,200

60

3,960

2,100

1,300

900

2,200

1,400

400

1,800

4,000

650

300

950

7,050

434,310

2,875

2,600

2,821

2,775

1,540

2,782

2,060

1,790

1,780

1,786

2,435

1,805

2,307

2,006

1,630

1,520

1,605

1,947

2,293

2,800

2,500

2,744

2,200

1,500

2,561

2,100

1,750

1,750

1,750

2,350

1,850

2,239

1,970

1,400

850

1,226

1,909

2,040

7,906

1,742

9,648

4,301

154

14,103

4,120

2,327

1,495

3,822

3,044

578

3,622

7,444

1,630

456

2,086

13,650

991,519

6,160

1,250

7,410

2,640

90

10,140

4,410

2,275

1,575

3,850

3,290

740

4,030

7,880

910

255

1,165

13,455

886,020

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 18 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH

OR

WA

WY

US

44.7

36.8

179.0

166.0

426.0

53.5

41.4

237.0

0.6

10.0

7.0

41.6

1,243.6

48.0

40.6

210.0

175.0

459.0

57.0

43.1

284.0

1.7

10.9

4.0

37.5

1,370.8

36.2

22.4

25.9

19.4

18.3

21.5

20.3

18.1

20.0

29.1

36.1

20.6

20.7

38.8

20.1

25.6

19.0

18.7

21.0

19.5

18.5

20.0

29.7

38.3

19.5

20.8

38.8

20.2

25.6

18.5

19.2

21.0

19.0

18.5

19.0

29.7

38.3

19.5

20.9

1,618

824

4,636

3,220

7,796

1,150

840

4,290

12

291

253

857

25,787

1,862

820

5,376

3,238

8,813

1,197

819

5,254

32

324

153

731

28,619

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2001 2002 2001

2002

2001 2002

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

465.0

21.0

495.0

47.0

1,028.0

455.0

25.1

495.0

47.5

1,022.6

35.1

92.0

29.0

41.7

33.6

36.4

91.0

30.0

32.0

34.4

36.4

91.0

30.0

34.9

34.6

16,338

1,932

14,355

1,962

34,587

16,552

2,284

14,850

1,660

35,346

 1 Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 19 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2000-2001, 2001-2002 and Forecasted October 1, 2002 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ

 CA 4

 FL

 TX

 US

 Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 5

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 6

 CA 6

 FL 7

 US

Lemons

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

K-Early Citrus 8

 FL

480

35,500

128,000

2,000

165,980

420

19,000

95,300

235

114,955

900

54,500

223,300

2,235

280,935

1,250

18,700

27,300

250

6,300

46,000

7,200

59,750

650

2,200

5,600

8,450

3,600

22,600

26,200

2,100

40

270

34,000

128,000

1,530

163,800

250

22,000

102,000

210

124,460

520

56,000

230,000

1,740

288,260

1,550

18,900

27,800

160

6,000

46,700

5,900

58,760

620

2,200

6,600

9,420

2,800

19,000

21,800

2,150

30

200

40,000

113,000

1,400

154,600

250

23,000

84,000

180

107,430

450

63,000

197,000

1,580

262,030

1,400

17,000

25,000

100

6,200

42,000

5,600

53,900

450

2,300

5,200

7,950

2,800

21,000

23,800

2,400

18

1,331

5,760

85

7,194

16

713

4,288

10

5,027

34

2,044

10,048

95

12,221

56

795

1,160

8

211

1,955

288

2,462

24

83

266

373

137

859

996

95

2

10

1,275

5,760

65

7,110

9

825

4,590

9

5,433

19

2,100

10,350

74

12,543

70

803

1,182

5

201

1,985

236

2,427

23

83

314

420

106

722

828

97

1

8

1,500

5,085

60

6,653

9

863

3,780

8

4,660

17

2,363

8,865

68

11,313

63

723

1,063

3

208

1,786

224

2,221

17

86

247

350

106

798

904

108

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2

 Net

lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus &

Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and

midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Estimates for current year carried forward from previous

forecast. 5 Includes seedy. 6 Includes tangelos and tangors. 7 2000-01 through 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst,

Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 includes Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey varieties only. 8 Estimates discontinued as of the

2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 20 NASS, USDA

Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,

2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002 1

State

Total Production

2000 2001 2002

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AZ 2

AR 2

CA 2

CO 2

CT 2

GA 2

ID 2

IL 2

IN 2

IA 2

KS 2

KY 2

ME 2

MD 2

MA 2

MI

MN 2

MO 2

NH 2

NJ 2

NM 3

NY

NC

OH 2

OR 2

PA

RI 2

SC 2

TN 2

UT 2

VT 2

VA

WA

WV

WI 2

US

95.0

7.2

650.0

30.0

20.5

14.0

140.0

42.0

45.0

7.5

3.0

6.5

39.0

33.7

50.0

800.0

22.0

38.0

34.0

50.0

8.0

995.0

190.0

103.0

167.0

475.0

2.3

20.0

9.5

49.0

41.5

320.0

6,000.0

85.0

71.0

10,663.7

5.4

5.5

700.0

25.0

20.5

9.0

80.0

43.6

53.0

8.8

4.0

8.7

47.0

40.8

39.0

880.0

24.0

41.0

30.0

55.0

6.0

1,000.0

120.0

86.0

142.0

480.0

1.8

6.0

9.0

30.0

41.0

310.0

5,100.0

115.0

62.0

9,629.1

47.0

5.5

600.0

26.0

12.0

10.0

70.0

42.0

40.0

8.1

4.5

8.0

48.0

32.0

32.0

520.0

22.0

34.0

23.0

40.0

650.0

150.0

80.0

140.0

390.0

3.5

14.0

8.0

15.0

33.0

250.0

5,400.0

95.0

58.0

8,910.6

 1 In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3 No forecast made. Only end of year estimates made.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 21 NASS, USDA

Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

Crop and State

Utilized Production

2000 2001 2002

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Improved Varieties 1

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 LA

 MS

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TX

 US

Native & Seedling

 AL

 AR

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TX

 US

All Pecans

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TX

 US

10,000

14,500

650

3,400

1,200

65,000

3,500

2,500

35,000

1,400

200

1,200

22,000

160,550

5,000

250

2,100

15,000

550

14,500

1,000

200

2,300

400

8,000

49,300

15,000

14,500

900

3,400

3,300

80,000

550

18,000

3,500

35,000

1,600

2,500

1,600

30,000

209,850

10,000

21,000

1,950

3,700

1,200

85,000

3,500

3,000

60,000

2,700

2,000

2,500

50,000

246,550

5,000

650

2,100

25,000

2,200

10,500

1,500

500

18,000

1,500

25,000

91,950

15,000

21,000

2,600

3,700

3,300

110,000

2,200

14,000

4,500

60,000

3,200

20,000

4,000

75,000

338,500

9,000

15,000

1,200

2,800

900

45,000

2,500

2,200

36,000

1,700

2,000

800

33,000

152,100

1,000

500

600

5,000

1,700

6,500

800

300

16,000

200

17,000

49,600

10,000

15,000

1,700

2,800

1,500

50,000

1,700

9,000

3,000

36,000

2,000

18,000

1,000

50,000

201,700

 1 Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 22 NASS, USDA

Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2002

State

Total Production

2000 2001 2002

Tons Tons Tons

 AZ 1

 AR 1

 CA

 All Types

 Wine 1

 Table 1

 Raisin 2 3

 GA 1

 MI

 MO 1

 NY

 NC 1

 OH 1

 OR 1

 PA

 SC 4

 TX 1 5

 VA 1 5

 WA

 All Types

 Wine

 Juice

 US

20,000

4,200

7,059,000

3,364,000

774,000

2,921,000

3,500

87,200

2,950

154,000

2,300

7,700

18,600

63,000

520

265,000

90,000

175,000

7,687,970

15,500

2,700

5,962,000

3,053,000

710,000

2,199,000

3,200

28,900

2,300

149,000

2,000

6,000

22,800

61,500

9,500

4,120

283,000

100,000

183,000

6,552,520

8,400

5,100

6,670,000

3,200,000

770,000

2,700,000

3,600

30,000

3,000

145,000

2,700

5,000

23,300

42,000

6,700

4,500

320,000

115,000

205,000

7,269,300

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Fresh basis. 3 The Raisin Industry Division Program (RID) is implemented on the bearing acres only. No production will be realized from these

acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 41,000 for 2001 and 29,000 for 2002. 4 Estimates discontinued in 2001. 5 Estimates began in 2001.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2001-2002

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2001 2002

2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Aug

Sep

2,720

2,690

2,145

2,170

1,955

1,940

1,495

1,510

4,190

4,105

2,950

3,050

 1 Utilized fresh production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 23 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-2002

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

4,967.0

75,752.0

4,403.0

650.0

3,335.0

1,328.0

10,252.0

59,597.0

41,078.0

2,910.0

15,609.0

1,494.0

585.0

45.8

1,541.2

3.7

188.0

74,075.0

2,633.0

15,768.5

15,498.5

270.0

1,370.8

15.9

1,429.9

211.8

201.0

1,247.7

16.8

78.3

61.1

1,091.5

97.9

5,073.0

78,847.0

5,005.0

475.0

3,231.0

1,395.0

9,290.0

60,358.0

41,735.0

2,909.0

15,714.0

1,513.0

844.0

155.0

1,462.0

2.0

207.0

73,043.0

2,486.0

14,380.5

14,116.0

264.5

1,408.8

15.0

1,874.3

271.5

190.0

1,327.5

15.8

80.3

63.6

1,169.8

94.4

4,289.0

68,808.0

6,148.0

63,511.0

23,812.0

39,699.0

1,905.0

580.0

3,314.0

255.0

8,584.0

336.0

48,633.0

31,295.0

2,789.0

14,549.0

1,455.0

578.0

44.2

1,411.9

3.1

177.0

72,975.0

2,555.0

13,827.7

13,559.5

268.2

1,243.6

1,028.0

432.4

7.1

1,243.0

196.8

197.0

6.3

0.4

35.9

78.5

1,222.2

14.0

76.2

58.8

1,073.2

19.5

93.5

0.4

4,135.0

70,541.0

64,709.0

24,134.0

40,575.0

2,098.0

3,207.0

286.0

7,528.0

46,022.0

29,651.0

2,758.0

13,613.0

1,378.0

821.0

146.0

1,360.5

1.8

198.0

71,799.0

2,320.0

12,861.4

12,620.0

241.4

1,370.8

1,022.6

434.3

9.0

1,690.6

263.5

187.0

0.3

29.3

1,293.9

15.7

77.7

60.6

1,142.1

91.8

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 24 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

58.2

138.2

16.6

2.47

3.37

1.93

61.4

33.2

6,429

27.3

59.9

11.1

40.2

43.5

30.0

35.2

1,374

19.8

930

3,029

1,306

1,365

39.6

1,338

705

694

1,254

20.7

33.6

2,293

1,366

1,572

1,920

1,471

1,270

50,000

1,861

81

358

294

286

310

367

105

156

54.9

127.2

2.32

3.09

1.87

56.8

6,608

24.4

51.4

35.3

38.5

29.1

29.5

1,151

2,757

37.0

1,118

674

663

1,263

20.9

34.6

2,040

1,632

45,000

1,927

268

280

310

249,420

9,506,840

102,352

156,703

80,266

76,437

117,024

19,250

213,045

6,971

514,524

3,728

1,957,043

1,361,479

83,556

512,008

1,998,515

7,452.2

11,455

41,106

4,276,704

4,050

241,665

2,890,682

3,418,759

20,302.8

19,602.4

700.4

25,787

34,587

991,519

97

19,541

3,779

2,898

640

8,000

18,000

66,832.1

6,343

437,888

4,115

21,814

18,209

393,750

2,052

14,565

6,400

226,873

8,969,836

150,447

74,655

75,792

119,132

211,921

6,985

387,249

1,624,636

1,142,802

80,245

401,589

1,585,925

6,736.0

3,751,200

2,653,798

2,592,753

18,070.0

17,435.0

635.0

28,619

35,346

886,020

27,594

14,400

56,425.5

4,206

21,753

18,813

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 25 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2001 2002 2003

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lb

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,462

2

996

12,221

95

373

56

9,629.1

82.5

28,000.0

6,552.5

134.0

55,000.0

2,441.4

1,005.8

150.0

21.2

830,000

49.5

338,500

161,000

305.0

1,049

2,427

1

828

12,543

97

420

70

8,910.6

89.7

7,269.3

90.0

2,531.7

944.6

155.0

15.2

980,000

18.0

201,700

280,000

275.0

1,356

2,221

904

11,313

108

350

63

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 26 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-2002

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,010,100

30,656,080

1,781,850

263,050

1,349,640

537,430

4,148,880

24,118,310

16,623,860

1,177,650

6,316,810

604,610

236,740

18,530

623,710

1,500

76,080

29,977,410

1,065,550

6,381,350

6,272,090

109,270

554,750

6,430

578,670

85,710

81,340

504,930

6,800

31,690

24,730

441,720

39,620

2,052,990

31,908,590

2,025,470

192,230

1,307,550

564,540

3,759,570

24,426,280

16,889,740

1,177,240

6,359,300

612,300

341,560

62,730

591,660

810

83,770

29,559,770

1,006,060

5,819,640

5,712,600

107,040

570,130

6,070

758,510

109,870

76,890

537,230

6,390

32,500

25,740

473,410

38,200

1,735,720

27,845,910

2,488,030

25,702,270

9,636,480

16,065,790

770,930

234,720

1,341,140

103,200

3,473,860

135,980

19,681,290

12,664,770

1,128,680

5,887,830

588,820

233,910

17,890

571,380

1,250

71,630

29,532,250

1,033,980

5,595,930

5,487,390

108,540

503,270

416,020

174,990

2,870

503,030

79,640

79,720

2,550

150

14,530

31,770

494,610

5,670

30,840

23,800

434,310

7,890

37,840

180

1,673,390

28,547,240

26,187,090

9,766,790

16,420,300

849,040

1,297,840

115,740

3,046,510

18,624,640

11,999,460

1,116,140

5,509,040

557,660

332,250

59,080

550,580

730

80,130

29,056,340

938,880

5,204,880

5,107,190

97,690

554,750

413,840

175,760

3,640

684,170

106,640

75,680

130

11,850

523,630

6,350

31,440

24,520

462,200

37,150

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 27 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.13

8.67

37.32

5.53

7.56

4.32

2.20

1.86

7.21

1.72

3.76

24.87

2.71

2.93

2.01

2.37

1.54

1.24

1.04

3.40

1.46

1.53

2.66

1.50

0.79

0.78

1.40

46.48

75.42

2.57

1.53

1.76

2.15

1.65

1.42

56.04

2.09

0.09

40.16

32.94

32.09

34.71

41.12

0.12

17.46

2.95

7.98

5.21

6.93

4.19

2.04

7.41

1.53

3.23

2.37

2.59

1.96

1.98

3.09

2.49

1.25

0.76

0.74

1.42

46.80

77.48

2.29

1.83

50.44

2.16

30.03

31.38

34.80

5,430,480

241,484,860

92,852,170

142,158,570

72,816,090

69,342,480

1,698,600

436,580

9,663,560

177,070

13,069,510

3,381,980

53,261,980

37,053,390

2,274,020

13,934,570

906,510

6,760,520

290,970

18,650

1,939,880

1,840

109,620

78,671,470

1,550,720

4,420,410

4,267,920

152,490

23,393,570

31,376,800

449,750

4,400

886,360

171,410

131,450

29,030

3,630

8,160

30,310

2,880

19,862,270

186,650

989,470

825,950

17,860,200

930

660,660

2,900

4,939,580

227,844,330

136,483,220

67,725,880

68,757,350

1,729,200

9,612,580

177,430

9,836,580

44,215,350

31,101,970

2,183,910

10,929,460

719,360

6,110,800

1,701,520

72,224,550

1,176,050

3,934,280

3,796,020

138,250

25,962,720

32,065,350

401,890

1,251,640

6,530

25,590

190,780

986,700

853,340

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2002 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 28 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2001 2002 2003

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,233,490

1,810

903,560

11,086,700

86,180

338,380

50,800

4,367,690

74,810

12,700

5,944,350

121,560

24,950

1,107,400

912,460

136,080

19,230

376,480

44,910

153,540

73,030

276,690

5,240

2,201,740

910

751,150

11,378,820

88,000

381,020

63,500

4,041,780

81,370

6,594,600

81,650

1,148,360

856,880

140,610

13,790

444,520

16,330

91,490

127,010

249,480

6,780

2,014,860

820,100

10,262,980

97,980

317,510

57,150

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 29 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 7 corn producing States

during 2002. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through

harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from

this survey.

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,

Selected States, 1998-2002

State Month 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

24,450

24,300

24,300

24,300

23,400

23,450

23,350

23,350

24,550

24,250

24,300

24,400

27,750

27,550

27,550

27,550

22,800

22,500

22,500

22,500

25,850

25,500

25,450

25,450

18,100

17,850

17,850

17,850

24,650

24,800

25,000

24,950

26,050

24,950

24,850

24,850

25,050

24,950

24,850

24,900

24,350

23,950

23,900

23,900

25,300

25,300

25,300

25,300

26,650

26,700

26,650

26,650

22,800

22,650

22,600

22,600

25,800

25,600

25,600

25,600

18,800

18,700

18,700

18,700

24,000

24,100

24,050

24,050

25,600

25,700

25,700

25,700

25,500

25,450

25,450

25,450

24,500

24,550

24,650

24,650

26,000

25,600

25,650

25,650

27,350

27,350

27,250

27,250

22,800

22,750

22,700

22,750

26,500

26,350

26,350

26,350

17,550

17,500

17,500

17,500

24,450

24,250

23,950

24,100

26,100

25,500

25,550

25,550

25,650

25,550

25,550

25,550

25,500

25,350

25,400

25,400

25,450

25,350

25,250

25,250

27,500

26,750

26,700

26,700

22,200

21,950

22,050

22,050

25,550

25,350

25,350

25,350

18,050

17,800

18,000

18,000

25,550

25,250

25,150

25,100

26,100

26,100

26,100

26,100

25,050

25,050

23,900

23,650

25,950

25,800

26,550

26,150

21,650

21,250

25,800

25,700

16,700

15,950

23,700

22,400

25,950

25,050
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 30 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 7 soybean producing

States during 2002. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through

harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,

Selected States, 1998-2002

State Month 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

MN

MO

NE

OH

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

2,087

1,889

1,902

1,906

1,883

1,677

1,709

1,709

1,914

1,729

1,745

1,748

1,598

1,450

1,450

1,442

1,847

1,876

1,878

1,931

1,849

1,784

1,810

1,810

1,887

1,647

1,710

1,710

1,917

1,823

1,788

1,787

1,771

1,627

1,622

1,622

2,142

1,914

1,894

1,878

1,612

1,555

1,563

1,565

1,242

1,467

1,508

1,525

1,877

1,880

1,872

1,872

1,699

1,463

1,494

1,494

2,162

1,996

2,020

2,021

1,917

1,786

1,784

1,784

1,830

1,674

1,660

1,660

1,607

1,509

1,507

1,507

1,974

1,769

1,782

1,793

1,795

1,617

1,619

1,619

1,893

1,625

1,685

1,697

2,041

1,932

1,932

1,932

2,003

1,882

1,880

1,869

1,809

1,778

1,787

1,796

1,492

1,433

1,475

1,475

1,424

1,732

1,874

1,921

1,961

1,932

2,003

2,048

1,801

1,834

1,785

1,785

1,952

1,785

1,773

1,677

1,988

1,828

1,688

1,785

1,427

1,609

1,548

1,517

1,593

1,495
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 31 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 7 cotton producing

States during 2002. Randomly selected cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to

obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, and Selected States, 1998-2002 1

State Month 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

637

644

633

638

640

755

670

665

655

655

629

731

716

690

690

694

607

600

600

600

835

852

823

821

821

626

583

590

597

597

498

467

477

479

482

720

700

693

689

689

921

805

779

777

776

596

582

621

636

632

722

743

728

728

728

761

803

767

766

766

623

646

619

621

622

465

446

447

455

456

874

767

755

755

755

760

790

801

800

800

597

631

621

629

629

722

692

674

674

674

657

665

652

650

650

670

724

743

747

747

408

388

397

404

448

747

780

816

756

756

939

902

921

918

918

590

677

651

664

664

625

592

582

588

588

754

696

680

679

679

719

722

696

705

705

441

435

439

445

445

840

763

945

1,041

569

604

663

756

802

783

636

629

536

511

 1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially

opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet of row. In November and December, excludes small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 32 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 33 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 34 NASS, USDA

September Weather Summary

Tropical Storms Hanna and Isidore contributed to an overall wet weather pattern across the South and East,

easing long-term drought but adversely affecting some unharvested summer crops. The latter storm lodged

some sugarcane in southern Louisiana and unharvested rice in the Delta. Isidore also soaked and buffeted

unharvested cotton in the Delta with wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph, causing some discoloration of fiber and

droppage of bolls. Farther north, Midwestern corn and soybean harvests progressed with few interruptions for

much of September. Toward month’s end, the remnants of Isidore boosted soil moisture reserves for winter

wheat emergence in the drought-affected eastern Corn Belt, while cool, wet weather slowed fieldwork in the

upper Midwest. On the Plains, widespread showers caused minor fieldwork delays but provided muchneeded moisture for winter wheat development. Nevertheless, wheat in a broad area centered on the central

High Plains will need additional precipitation to ensure proper autumn establishment. In the West, September

precipitation eased long-term drought across the eastern half of the region. Dry weather farther west favored

fieldwork but left newly planted Northwestern winter wheat fields in need of moisture.

Monthly temperatures averaged generally 2 to 6 degrees F above normal from the Midwest into the Northeast,

and up to 4 degrees F above normal across the South. Readings averaged within 2 degrees F of normal across

the western half of the United States. From September 22-24, the season’s first widespread freezes arrived on

average a few days ahead of schedule across the northern Plains and upper Midwest, although summer crops

were mature or nearly so in the affected areas.

September Crop Summary

Above-normal temperatures promoted rapid maturation of the Nation’s crops during September, and the fall

harvest pace gradually gained momentum. In the Corn Belt, harvest was mostly confined to areas along the

Missouri and Ohio River Valleys until after midmonth. On the northern Great Plains, mostly dry weather

aided the spring small grain harvest and supported rapid seeding of the winter wheat crop. Dry weather also

permitted rapid winter wheat seeding on the central and southern Great Plains most of the month. Rain

delayed seeding near midmonth, but provided much-needed moisture for germinating seeds in planted fields. 

Near the end of the month, Tropical Storm Isidore delivered several inches of precipitation in a broad area

bordered by the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers on the west and north, and the Atlantic Coastal Plain to the east. 

The widespread rain halted harvest progress along the Gulf Coast and through much of the Appalachians, but

also eased moisture shortages in the Ohio River Valley.

On September 29, the Nation’s corn crop was 83 percent mature and 20 percent harvested, compared with the

5-year averages of 82 percent mature and 22 percent harvested by this date. Above-normal temperatures

promoted ripening of the crop during most of the month, but cooler-than-normal weather delayed maturation

of less advanced fields near the end of the month, especially across the Great Plains and eastern Corn Belt. 

Dry conditions supported rapid early-month harvest along the Missouri and Ohio River Valleys, where the

Kentucky and Missouri harvests were nearly one-half complete by midmonth. Harvest gained momentum

across the central Corn Belt near midmonth. However, rain limited progress in Iowa and Nebraska, where

fields matured ahead of normal, and at the end of the month, harvest progress was behind normal in Illinois,

Indiana, and Iowa. A few fields were harvested across the northern Great Plains, upper Mississippi Valley,

and Great Lakes States, but progress lagged in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and the Dakota’s. 

Above-normal temperatures promoted ripening of soybean fields in the Corn Belt, lower Mississippi Valley,

and northern Great Plains during most of the month. Progress continued ahead of normal across most of the

western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, and remained behind normal across much of the central and

eastern Corn Belt. Fields were shedding leaves up to 1 week later than normal in Illinois, Indiana, and

Kansas, but ripened well ahead of normal in Iowa and North Dakota. By September 29, 83 percent of the

acreage was dropping leaves, 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest accelerated across the

Corn Belt near the end of the month, as dry conditions prevailed in most areas except the Ohio River Valley. 

Harvest was active on the northern Great Plains, but lagged behind normal in Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, and

Ohio and well behind normal in Illinois and Indiana. Harvest reached 17 percent on September 29, but

trailed the 22 percent average for this date. 

The Nation’s cotton crop progressed at a near-normal pace during September, as above-normal temperatures

aided ripening across most of the South. Fields ripened ahead of normal in the Southeast and well ahead of

normal on the Atlantic Coastal Plain, but development remained slightly behind normal in the southern Great
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 35 NASS, USDA

Plains and much later than normal in the lower Mississippi Valley. On September 29, acreage with open

bolls, at 85 percent, slightly exceeded the 5-year average of 83 percent. Harvest was frequently interrupted by

rain in the Southeast and lower Mississippi Valley, especially after midmonth. In the southern Great Plains,

early-month rain delays were mostly confined to areas along the Gulf Coast and adjacent areas of central

Texas. On the Atlantic Coastal Plain, where rain delays were isolated and brief, harvest began early and

progressed ahead of normal. On September 29, picking was 17 percent complete, 5 percentage points behind

the 5-year average.

At the beginning of September, the barley and spring wheat harvests lagged more than 1 week behind last

year and a few days behind the 5-year average. But by September 22, the barley and spring wheat harvests, at

97 and 95 percent complete, respectively, were only slightly behind normal. Early-month progress lagged

about 2 weeks behind normal in Montana and 1 week behind normal in North Dakota, mainly due to late

ripening. As midmonth approached, hot weather accelerated ripening, with dry weather supporting harvest. 

In Montana, harvest remained active well past midmonth. In North Dakota, the harvest pace quickly declined

after midmonth, as harvest neared completion. Elsewhere, the barley and spring wheat harvests approached

completion ahead of normal in Idaho and Washington and near normal in Minnesota.

 

Winter wheat seeding progressed slightly ahead of normal throughout the month and was 50 percent complete

on September 29, compared with the 41-percent average for that date. Dry weather supported planting in the

Pacific Northwest and northern Great Plains throughout the month, although topsoil moisture shortages forced

delays in some areas. In the central and southern Great Plains, dry weather aided seeding at the beginning

and end of the month, while periods of wet weather delayed progress in most areas near midmonth. Seeding

gained momentum in the southern and eastern Corn Belt near the end of the month, but progress remained

widely scattered. Nationally, 23 percent was emerged on September 29, slightly more than the 19-percent

average for this date. Midmonth rains and warm weather aided germination and emergence of early-planted

fields across most of the central and southern Great Plains. However, topsoil moisture shortages persisted in

Colorado and South Dakota, and emergence remained behind normal.

The rice harvest progressed to 71 percent complete on September 29, slightly less than last year and the 5-year

average of 75 and 72 percent, respectively. Dry weather aided progress in the interior Mississippi Delta until

after midmonth, when several waves of tropical rain produced lengthy delays, especially in Mississippi, where

Isidore caused lengthy harvest delays. Isidore’s rain abruptly ended at the Mississippi River, sparing

Arkansas and Missouri producers from additional harvest delays. Elsewhere, harvest was nearly complete

along the western Gulf Coast by midmonth, but wet weather interfered with harvest of remaining fields after

midmonth. In California, hot, dry weather quickly ripened fields and aided harvest, which rapidly accelerated

during the final week of the month.

Sorghum development lagged behind normal at the beginning of the month and progressed as much as 1 week

behind normal during the month, even though above-normal temperatures promoted ripening in most areas. 

By September 29, ninety-one percent was turning color or beyond, 71 percent was mature, and 43 percent was

harvested. Normally, 97 percent would be turning color, 75 percent would be mature, and 45 percent would

be harvested by this date. Development was least advanced on the central and southern High Plains, where

only about one-half of the fields was turning color on September 15. In contrast, most fields in the lower

Mississippi Valley were mature and more than two-thirds was harvested by midmonth, as hot, dry weather

accelerated ripening and aided harvest. In the southern Great Plains, more than one-half of the crop was

mature before midmonth, but rain periodically interrupted harvest until late in the month, especially in Texas. 

Harvest gained momentum in the central and northern Great Plains and Corn Belt after midmonth, despite

rain delays in some areas.

The peanut harvest progressed slower than normal through most of the month and was only 20 percent

complete on September 29, well behind the 5-year average of 29 percent. Early-month progress was near

normal along the eastern Gulf Coast, but wet weather frequently delayed progress, especially after midmonth. 

Meanwhile, rain delays were less frequent and more isolated along the Atlantic Coastal Plain, where harvest

was slightly ahead of normal in North Carolina and Virginia at the end of the month. In the southern Great

Plains, rain delays hampered progress in Texas until late in the month, while delays in Oklahoma were mostly

limited to a short period near midmonth.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 36 NASS, USDA

Corn for grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 70.5 million acres, unchanged

from September but up 3 percent from 2001. The October 1 corn objective yield data indicate ear counts in

the combined seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and

Wisconsin) are down slightly from last month. If realized, ear counts from the Objective Yield survey will be

the highest on record in Iowa while the remaining States are down from 2001. 

As of September 29, eighty-three percent of the corn acreage was mature in the 18 major corn-producing

States. This compares with 79 percent last year and the average of 82 percent. Above-normal temperatures

allowed the crop to ripen earlier than normal, but cooler-than-normal weather near the end of the month

across the Great Plains and eastern Corn Belt delayed maturation.

Corn harvested for grain was progressing slightly ahead of last year as 20 percent of the crop had been

combined by September 29. This compares with 19 percent last year and 22 percent for the average. Harvest

along the Missouri and Ohio River Valleys progressed ahead of normal as conditions were dry early in the

month. However, harvest in almost all areas of the Corn Belt and Great Plains was behind the 5-year average

as rain limited the progress. As of September 29, forty-three percent of the crop was rated good to excellent,

two points above the first of September but 14 percentage points behind a year ago.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 387 million bushels, up 1 percent from last month, but down 25 percent

from last year. Based on October 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 51.4 bushels per acre, up

0.4 bushel from September, but down 8.5 bushels from last year. Yield increases from last month are

expected in 2 of the top 11 producing States; Oklahoma and Texas. Texas expects a yield of 50.0 bushels per

acre, 2.0 bushels above last month. The yield forecast for Kansas is unchanged from last month. The U.S.

area for harvest as grain is forecast at 7.53 million acres, which is the same as last month, but down

12 percent from 2001. 

As of September 29, harvest had begun in the top 11 States, except New Mexico. The continued drought

condition in New Mexico lowered sorghum conditions compared to last month. Tropical storm Isidore

slowed harvesting progress in the Delta. In Texas, harvest is complete in the southern and central areas, but

continues in the Plains. Oklahoma, Texas, and South Dakota experienced favorable weather conditions

during September. Fields turned color about 2 weeks behind normal in Kansas. United States sorghum

development trailed last year’s crop, and is also slightly behind the 5-year average. Sorghum progressed to

71 percent mature, compared to 78 percent last year and the 5-year average of 75 percent.

As of September 29, twenty-two percent of the crop was rated good to excellent. This is slightly above the

comparable week last month.

Rice: Production is forecast at 212 million cwt, up 3 percent from September, but down 1 percent from 2001. 

Harvested acres, at 3.21 million, are unchanged from September, but down 3 percent from 2001. As of

October 1, the U.S. all rice yield is forecast at a record high 6,608 pounds per acre. This is up 176 pounds

from the September forecast and up 179 pounds from the current record high yield in 2001. Record high

yields are forecast for Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, and Texas.

As of September 29, the U.S. rice harvest was 71 percent complete, 1 percentage point behind the 5-year

average. Harvest was nearly complete in Louisiana and Texas. Harvest was 70 percent complete in

Arkansas, 73 percent complete in Mississippi, and 51 percent complete in Missouri. All Delta States were

within 4 percentage points of the 5-year average harvest progress. California rice harvest, at 45 percent

complete, was 11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

Soybeans: Area for harvest is forecast at 71.8 million acres, unchanged from September, but 2 percent below

last year. The October objective yield pod count forecast is the lowest since 1999 for the combined seven

States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio).

As of September 29, eighty-three percent of the crop had dropped leaves. This is slightly ahead of the 5-year

average. Soybeans were most advanced in Iowa, Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota, where 93

percent or more of the crop had already dropped leaves.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 37 NASS, USDA

Soybean harvest was progressing behind normal as of September 29, with 17 percent of the acreage

harvested, 5 percentage points behind the average. However, harvest progress was ahead of normal in

Arkansas, Michigan, Missouri, and South Dakota. As of September 29, forty-three percent of the crop was

rated good to excellent, 12 percentage points below the same week in 2001 and 3 points lower than the

September 1 rating.

If realized, pod counts from the October Objective Yield survey will be the highest on record in Minnesota. 

In Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio, pod counts for October were lower than 2001, while Iowa

pod counts were more than last year.

Sunflowers: The first sunflower production forecast for 2002 is 2.59 billion pounds, down 24 percent from

2001 and 27 percent below 2000. Sunflower growers expect to harvest 2.32 million acres, down 235,000

from 2001. The October yield forecast, at 1,118 pounds, is 220 pounds lower than the final 2001 yield.

Lower yields are expected in 6 of the 7 major sunflower growing States. As of October 1, growers in

Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Texas are expecting lower yields this year. 

Minnesota is the only State expected to have a yield higher than the previous year.

In North Dakota, the yield is forecast at 1,250 pounds per acre, down 153 pounds from last year. Sunflower

harvest was just beginning in Colorado, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Kansas at the end of September.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.75 billion pounds, down 2 percent from last month and down 12 percent

from 2001. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.36 million acres, unchanged from the September estimate,

but down 4 percent from 2001. Yields are expected to average 2,757 pounds, 51 pounds below last month

and down 272 pounds from 2001.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total

2.24 billion pounds, down 4 percent from last month and 11 percent below last year. Expected area for

harvest, at 819,500 acres, is unchanged from last month, but up 2 percent from the previous year. Yields in

the four-State area are expected to average 2,731 pounds per acre, 101 pounds below September and

404 pounds lower than 2001. As of September 29, peanuts in Alabama were rated 73 percent fair to good. 

Florida peanuts were rated 80 percent fair to good, and Georgia peanuts were rated 72 percent fair to good. 

Alabama’s peanut harvest stood at 28 percent complete on September 29, fifteen percentage points behind the

5-year average. Florida’s harvest, at 35 percent complete, was 11 percentage points behind, and Georgia, at

24 percent complete, lagged behind the 5-year average by 12 percentage points.

The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 375 million pounds, unchanged from September, but

down 37 percent from 2001. Area for harvest is expected to total 158,000 acres, unchanged from last month,

but down 20 percent from the previous year. Yield is forecast at 2,373 pounds, unchanged from September,

but down 621 pounds from last year. As of September 29, peanuts were rated 61 percent fair to good in

Virginia and 91 percent fair to good in North Carolina. North Carolina’s peanut harvest was 13 percent

complete on September 29, five percentage points ahead of the 5-year average, while Virginia, at 23 percent

complete, was 1 point ahead of the 5-year average.

The Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.14 billion

pounds, up 1 percent from September, but down 2 percent from 2001. The region’s acreage for harvest, at

383,000 acres, is unchanged from September, but 6 percent below the 2001 level. Yields are forecast to

average 2,972 pounds for the region, 33 pounds above last month, and 135 pounds above 2001. Seventytwo percent of the Texas crop was rated in fair to good condition on September 29. Oklahoma peanuts were

rated 77 percent fair to good. Peanut harvest in Texas stood at 7 percent complete on September 29,

thirteen percentage points behind the 5-year average. Oklahoma’s harvest was 19 percent complete,

11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

Canola: The first canola production forecast for 2002 is 1.59 billion pounds, down 21 percent from 2001. 

Harvested area is forecast at 1.38 million acres, down 5 percent from a year ago. The October yield forecast,

at 1,151 pounds, is 223 pounds below the 2001 yield. North Dakota’s yield is forecast at 1,150 pounds per

acre, down 250 pounds from 2001. The Minnesota yield is forecast at 1,080 pounds per acre, 100 pounds

lower than last year.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 38 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 12.6 million acres, is down fractionally from the previous month

and 7 percent less than 2001. American-Pima harvested acreage, at 241,400 acres, is unchanged from last

month, but down 10 percent from a year ago. 

In the Southeastern States, above normal temperatures stimulated maturation, resulting in boll opening, and

allowing harvest to progress ahead of normal. Harvest was delayed, however, due to heavy rains, which

brought an abundance of precipitation, especially in the Carolinas, Georgia, and Alabama. Although the

moisture was welcome, it was too late to help the crop. The untimely rains resulted in some boll rot and seed

germination. Objective yield data show below average boll counts in both Georgia and North Carolina.

Tropical Storm Isidore dropped large quantities of rain throughout the Delta States. The already delayed

harvest due to the slow maturing crop was set back further by the storm. The percent of acreage with bolls

opened continued behind the 5-year average, which may limit the amount of lint loss from excess

precipitation. The excessive moisture promoted boll lock, boll rot, and decreased the effectiveness of

defoliant applications. Objective yield data show above average boll counts in Arkansas and Mississippi. 

Louisiana’s boll counts are the second highest since 1994. 

In Texas, harvest was wrapping up in southern areas of the State by mid-September and was nearly complete

in central locations by the end of the month. The cotton crop in the Plains area was fully matured by month’s

end and growers were defoliating and harvesting between rain showers. Cooler than normal temperatures

slowed the development of Oklahoma’s cotton crop which had previously been ahead of average maturity. 

Data from the Objective Yield survey show Texas boll counts are the highest of any of the previous fifteen

years. 

Upland cotton in California and Arizona continues to mature ahead of the 5-year average and the crop

continues to be rated in good to excellent condition. Rains in Arizona delayed harvest. Some growers had to

defoliate their crop a second time. Data from the objective yield plots indicate California's boll count is the

highest of the previous fifteen years.

American-Pima production is forecast at 635,000 bales, up 1 percent from September, but 9 percent less than

last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at a record high 1,263 pounds per acre, up 12 pounds from the September

forecast and, if realized, 9 pounds above the record high yield established in 2001. California growers have

experienced good to excellent growing conditions and light insect pressure for most of the season. They are

expecting a record high yield of 1,309 pounds per acre, up 23 pounds from last month. The California

harvest is just underway.

All cotton ginned totaled 1,647,850 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2,071,700 running bales

ginned prior to the same date last year and 3,285,750 running bales ginned in 2000.

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 74.7 million tons, virtually unchanged from August,

but down 7 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3.09 tons, which is the same as August,

but down 0.28 ton from last year. Harvested area is 24.1 million acres, unchanged from the August estimate,

but up 1 percent from 2001.

The yield, in all but 7 States, is below or at last year’s level. The dry weather conditions in the northern and

central parts of the country contributed to the lower yields. Minnesota and Washington are an exception to

the area, due to excellent conditions. The severe drought conditions in the northern and central Great Plains

and Rocky Mountains throughout the growing season continue to support a lower yield compared to last year. 

In the Ohio Valley and New York, the lack of rain following the first cutting led to lower yields. In Arkansas,

Oklahoma, and Texas, excellent growing conditions continue to support higher yields than last year, with the

Texas yield forecast at a record high 6.00 tons per acre.

Other Hay: Production is forecast at 75.8 million tons, 3 percent below the August forecast, and 1 percent

below last year. Yields are expected to average 1.87 tons per acre, down 0.05 ton from the August forecast

and 0.06 ton below 2001. Harvested acreage is estimated at 40.6 million, unchanged from the last forecast,

but up 2 percent from 2001.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 39 NASS, USDA

In the Southeast and Tennessee Valley, tropical storm Isidore brought relief to drought-stressed hay fields. 

The excellent growing conditions in the Delta and Southern Great Plains contributed to yields higher than last

year. Record yields are forecast for Arkansas and Louisiana. The abundant amount of rain in the Ohio Valley

contributed to higher yields than last year. South Dakota, Kansas, and Nebraska increased their forecast from

August as a result of rain in early August.

Dry Beans: Dry edible bean production is forecast at 27.6 million cwt in 2002, up 1 percent from the August

forecast and 41 percent above last year. This is the largest dry bean crop since 1999 when production was

33.1 million cwt. This production increase resulted from more acreage harvested due to high 2001 bean

prices and better growing conditions this year.

Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.69 million acres, the same as August, but up 36 percent from last year. The

average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,632 pounds per acre, a gain of 23 pounds from the August forecast and

60 pounds above last year. Since August, production forecasts have increased 5 percent in Idaho and

Wyoming, 6 percent in Minnesota, and 9 percent in Michigan and Nebraska. Lower yields are now forecast

in the Dakotas, Kansas, Texas, and New York than they were in August. Drought has been particularly hard

on non-irrigated fields in the Great Plains.

Production is expected to be above last year in 10 of the 18 producing States. These increases are mostly a

result of higher acreage, and better growing conditions in most of the major producing States. Michigan’s

production is up nearly six times from the weather devastated 2001 crop. North Dakota and Minnesota

prospects are up 47 percent. New York expects a 52 percent gain and Washington growers look for a

49 percent increase. Increases in other States are 31 percent in Idaho, 26 percent in Wyoming, and

11 percent in California. Drought hurt dry bean fields in the Rockys and the Plains States. Production is

down from last year in Texas, Nebraska, and Colorado by 3, 4, and 5 percent, respectively. Kansas output

dropped 28 percent and South Dakota fell 17 percent from a year ago. New Mexico, Oregon, and Utah are

also down sharply. Harvest is generally two-thirds complete in most States.

Winter Potatoes: Winter potato production for 2002 was revised to 4.21 million cwt, up 14 percent from the

April forecast and 2 percent above 2001. Harvested area of 15,700 acres was 16 percent above the April 1

forecast and 12 percent above 2001. The average yield of 268 cwt per acre was 4 cwt below the April

forecast and down 26 cwt from a year ago. California’s production rests at 2.43 million cwt, 13 percent

below last year. Florida’s production of 1.78 million cwt was 34 percent above a year ago. 

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 886 million pounds, less than 1 percent below the

September 1 forecast and down 11 percent from 2001. If realized, this will be the smallest crop since 1908.

Revised area for harvest in 2002 is forecast at 434,310 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but up

slightly from 2001. Yields for 2002 are expected to average 2,040 pounds per acre, 3 pounds higher than the

September forecast but 253 pounds below a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco

producing State, are expected to average 2,086 pounds per acre, unchanged from last month but 307 pounds

lower than last year. In Kentucky, the second leading State, yields are expected to average 2,019 pounds per

acre, 6 pounds higher than the September forecast but down 182 pounds from a year ago. Tobacco growers in

Georgia, Kentucky, Pennsylvania, and Virginia expect higher yields than a month ago. In Connecticut,

Florida, Indiana, Massachusetts, and Ohio, lower yields are expected. The remaining States are unchanged

from the September forecast.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 522 million pounds, virtually unchanged from last month but down

10 percent from 2001. Growers plan to harvest 247,800 acres in 2002, down less than 1 percent from the

September forecast but up 4 percent from 2001. Yields are forecast to average 2,106 pounds per acre,

8 pounds above the September forecast but 326 pounds less than the previous year. Higher yields in Georgia

more than offset lower yields in Florida. In North Carolina, harvest progress was slowed by rainfall

throughout the month. As of September 29, eight-five percent of North Carolina’s crop had been harvested,

behind both last year and the five-year average.

Burley production is expected to total 304 million pounds, down less than 1 percent from the September

forecast and 9 percent below last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 161,500 acres, down 2 percent from a

year ago. Yields are expected to average 1,880 pounds per acre, 8 pounds below the September forecast and

down 153 pounds from 2001. Kentucky, the largest burley producing State, forecasts production at
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 40 NASS, USDA

203 million pounds, unchanged from the September forecast but down 8 percent from last year. As of

September 29, ninety-four percent of Kentucky’s burley crop had been cut, with stripping just getting

underway. There is some concern that the disease problems that plagued the crop this season will affect its

quality and marketability. Houseburn and curing too quickly are also major concerns with the housed crop.

Fire-cured production is expected to total 32.2 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from the September

forecast but 29 percent below last year. Growers plan to harvest 11,000 acres in 2002, down 25 percent from

a year ago. The yield is expected to average 2,925 pounds per acre, 7 pounds above the September forecast

but 171 pounds lower than the previous year. Scattered showers and cooler temperatures during September

helped improve yield prospects in Virginia.

Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production is expected to total 4.79 million pounds, unchanged from the

September forecast but 10 percent below the previous year. A total of 3,000 acres is expected to be harvested

this year, down 9 percent from 2001. Average yields, at 1,595 pounds per acre, are unchanged the September

forecast but 25 pounds less than last year. 

Dark air-cured production is expected to total 10.1 million pounds, 7 percent above last month but down

28 percent from 2001. Growers plan to harvest 3,960 acres in 2002, down 22 percent from last year. Yields

are forecast to average 2,561 pounds per acre, 172 pounds above the September forecast but 221 pounds

below last year. 

All cigar production is forecast to total 13.5 million pounds, down 2 percent from the September forecast and

1 percent below last year. Growers of cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 7,050 acres, 2 percent below last

month’s forecast but 1 percent above a year ago. Overall yield is expected to average 1,909 pounds per acre,

5 pounds above the September forecast but 38 pounds below 2001.

Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at 28.6 million tons, up slightly from the September 1 forecast and

11 percent above last year’s production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest

1.37 million acres. This is unchanged from the September estimate, but 10 percent above last year. The yield

is forecast at 20.9 tons per acre, 0.1 ton above September and 0.2 ton above 2001.

The harvest season began slightly later than normal in the Red River Valley. On September 29, harvest in

Minnesota, at 9 percent, and in North Dakota, at 8 percent, trailed the 5-year averages of 13 and 14 percent,

respectively. In Michigan, hard soils hindered harvest progress and continuing moisture shortages reduced

yield potential. In contrast, timely precipitation and careful distribution of irrigation water supplies

maintained yield potential across much of the High Plains and Pacific Northwest. In California, nearly ideal

weather supported harvest of mature fields and promoted development of less advanced fields.

Sugarcane: Production is forecast at 35.3 million tons, fractionally above the September 1 forecast and

2 percent above last year’s 34.6 million tons. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 1.02 million acres for

sugar and seed during the 2002 crop year. This is slightly lower than the previous month’s forecast, and

1 percent below last year’s 1.03 million harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 34.6 tons per acre, up 0.2 ton

from the September 1 forecast and 3 percent above last year’s 33.6 ton yield.

Tropical Storm Isidore halted Louisiana’s early-season harvest for a few days. Also, severe lodging was

expected to result in a more tedious harvest pace. However, acreage and yield reductions were not expected. 

Warm weather and adequate precipitation supported normal development in Florida.

Grapefruit: The initial forecast for the 2002-03 U.S. grapefruit crop is 2.22 million tons, down 8 percent

from the previous season. Florida’s grapefruit forecast is 42.0 million boxes (1.79 million tons), 10 percent

lower than last season. If realized, this will be the lowest utilized production since the 1989-90 freeze

affected season. The all white grapefruit forecast is 17.0 million boxes (723,000 tons), 10 percent less than

last season. Average fruit per tree is down from last season while fruit drop is expected to be near normal. 

Fruit size is extremely large. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 25.0 million boxes (1.06 million

tons), down 10 percent from 2001-02. Fewer trees are available for harvest this season. Average fruit count

is down from last season and fruit drop is expected to be slightly higher than last season. Fruit size is very

large.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 41 NASS, USDA

Grapefruit production in Texas is forecast at 5.60 million boxes (224,000 tons), down 5 percent from the

2001-02 season and 22 percent below the 2000-01 season. Harvest has not yet begun. California’s October 1

forecast is 6.20 million boxes (208,000 tons), up 3 percent from last season’s utilization but down 2 percent

from two seasons ago. The crop appears to be in good condition. Initial fruit sizes are reported as very good. 

Arizona’s grapefruit forecast is 100,000 boxes (3,000 tons), a decrease of 60,000 boxes from last season and

150,000 boxes below two seasons ago. Good fruit size and excellent quality are expected.

Lemons: The initial forecast for the 2002-03 U.S. lemon crop is 904,000 tons, up 9 percent from last season. 

California production is forecast at 21.0 million boxes (798,000 tons), 11 percent above the 2001-02 season. 

Harvest is underway in all areas of the State. Fruit size is small but quality is good. The 2002-03 Arizonia

lemon forecast is 2.80 million boxes (106,000 tons), unchanged from the previous season. Harvest is just

underway. Quality is fair and sizes are reported as good.

Tangelos: Florida’s initial tangelo forecast is 2.40 million boxes (108,000 tons), 12 percent more than last

season’s utilized production and 14 percent higher than the 2000-01 season. Fruit per tree is 5 percent above

last season, while droppage is expected to be below the previous 10 seasons. Fruit sizes are projected to be

larger than the previous 10 seasons.

Temples: Florida Temples are initially forecast at 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons) for the 2002-03 season,

10 percent lower than last season but 12 percent higher than the record low crop in 2000-01. If realized, this

forecast would equal the freeze affected 1989-90 crop as the second smallest on record. Bearing trees are

down from last season. Fruit per tree is down but sizes are above average. Droppage is projected to be near

average at 10 percent.

Tangerines: The 2002-03 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 350,000 tons, down 17 percent from last

season’s utilized production of 420,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine crop is forecast at 5.20 million boxes

(247,000 tons), 21 percent lower than last season’s utilization. Early variety tree numbers and fruit per tree

are down from last season. Average fruit size is large and the droppage rate is expected to be below average. 

Late Honey variety tree numbers are down slightly from last season and average fruit per tree is slightly

higher. Fruit size is expected to be slightly smaller than last season’s relatively large size with droppage rates

near normal. The 2002-03 Florida tangerine forecast only includes the Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey

tangerines. It does not include the Robinson and Dancy varieties as in the previous seasons estimates. This

program change was implemented because of the declassification of Robinson and Dancy tangerines by the

Florida Citrus Commission.

California’s tangerine forecast is 2.30 million boxes (86,000 tons), 5 percent higher than last year’s crop. 

Acreage increased for the third year in response to higher returns for Mandarins. Arizona’s tangerine forecast

is 450,000 boxes (17,000 tons), down 27 percent from last season. Fruit size is expected to be average and

quality is expected to be fair.

K-Early Citrus: K-Early citrus has been dropped from the citrus estimation program. This fruit type has

been declassified by the Florida Citrus Commission and forecasts have ceased. Bearing acres had declined to

200 and production reached a record low of 30,000 boxes in the 2001-02 season.

Florida Citrus: Most of the Florida citrus belt received abundant rainfall during September. Abundant

moisture levels have produced new growth on trees of all ages. New crop fruit is making very good progress

with excellent sizes for the first of October. There are reports of some fruit splitting as a result of the rapid

moisture uptake. Fresh fruit packers started the 2002-03 season shipping Fallglo tangerines. Grapefruit,

navels, Ambersweet, and Hamlin oranges were being packed and shipped by mid-month. The early maturity

of the new crop is the result of a sufficient early bloom, plentiful summer rains, and warm tropical

temperatures. Caretakers have been very active cutting cover crops that have made abundent growth with the

help of the plentiful rainfall. Growers have been applying sprays to crops that will be going to fresh markets. 

Fall herbicide and fertilizer applications are continuing. Dead trees are being removed and burned with some

resets are being planted in the larger groves. 

Texas Citrus: Grapefruit harvest has not started but some early season oranges are being harvested. Citrus

fruit size is small and set is normal. Recent rains have improved the outlook for the 2002-03 season and the

crop would benefit from additional moisture. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 42 NASS, USDA

California Citrus: Harvest of 2001-02 Valencia oranges remained slow throughout the month. Some

unharvested Valencia orchards were treated with growth regulators to help fruit remain on the trees. The

Navel orange crop was in need of rain for better sizing. Picking of early season 2002-03 navel orange

varieties is expected to begin soon. Lemon harvesting continued in the south coast and desert areas. 

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted cultural activities that included weed

control, fungicide applications, pruning, and irrigation of trees and vines. Stone fruit harvest continued

throughout the month, but began winding down as the end of the season approached. Harvest of Granny

Smith and Fuji apple varieties continued. Early Foothill and Early Wonderful pomegranates, Hosui Asian

pears, pineapple quince, and figs were harvested. Strawberries were harvested in the central coast counties. 

Olive harvest began during the middle of September. Bartlett pear harvest was active in Lake County. 

Picking of table grapes continued in the San Joaquin Valley. The harvest of natural raisins neared completion

by month’s end in Fresno County. Nearly 100 percent of the raisin vineyards were picked and the grapes

were laid out on trays for drying. Raisin trays were rolled in approximately 60 percent of the harvest

vineyards, and about 40 percent of the trays had been picked up by the end of the month. Wine and juice

grape harvest remained active throughout the State. Postharvest irrigation and discing for weed control

continued in harvested vineyards. Almond harvest was winding down by the end of September. Pistachio

and walnut harvests began during September and were in full swing by month’s end.

Apples: The final production forecast for the 2002 crop year is 8.91 billion pounds, down 3 percent from the

August 1 forecast and 7 percent below 2001. Of the seven States making October 1 production forecasts, all

are lower except Virginia which is unchanged. The six States lowering their forecasts include Michigan, New

York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Washington, and West Virginia. All three apple producing regions are

forecasting decreases in production from the August 1 forecast. Compared to 2001, production decreases in

the Eastern and Central States more than offset projected increases in the Western States. 

The Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) production is forecast at 6.30 billion pounds, down

2 percent from the August 1 forecast but up 4 percent from 2001. Washington, which makes up 61 percent of

the U.S. forecast, is expecting 5.40 billion pounds of apples. Washington is down 2 percent from the

previous forecast but up 6 percent from last year. A windstorm hit North Central Washington in August

causing wind damage and crop loss. All of the other Western States are carried forward from the August 1

forecast. 

Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV) is

forecast at 1.78 billion pounds, down 8 percent from the August 1 forecast and 23 percent below last season. 

Production decreased 10, 17, 5, and 6 percent, respectively, for New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and

North Carolina, while Virginia was unchanged from the August 1 forecast. Dry conditions in the East have

reduced fruit size and caused fruit loss from droppage. All other Eastern States are carried forward from the

August 1 forecast. 

Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is forecast at

830 million pounds, down 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and 32 percent below 2001. Michigan’s

production is decreased by 5 percent from the August forecast and down 41 percent from 2001. Summer

drought has reduced Michigan’s production through smaller fruit sizing. All the other Central States were

carried forward from the August 1 forecast.

Pecans: The October 1 forecast for 2002 pecan utilized production is 202 million pounds (in-shell basis),

down 40 percent from last year’s crop and 4 percent below the 2000 crop year. The dry summer growing

conditions in some locations combined with the low year of the alternate bearing cycle have contributed to a

markedly smaller crop. These dry conditions caused early nut drop, especially in non-irrigated groves. 

Improved varieties are expected to make up 152 million pounds or three quarters of the total, while the Native

and seedling varieties, at 49.6 million pounds, make up the remaining crop. 

The Georgia forecast, at 50.0 million pounds, is 55 percent below last season and 37 percent less than the

2000 crop. The Texas production forecast is 50.0 million pounds, 33 percent below the previous year but

67 percent more than the 2000 crop. New Mexico’s forecast, at 36.0 million pounds, is 40 percent lower than

last year but up 3 percent from two years ago. For these States, most of the decrease is related to the alternate
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 43 NASS, USDA

bearing cycle. In Georgia, hot, dry summer weather caused a significant early nut drop further contribulting

to the reduction. 

The Arizona forecast, at 15.0 million pounds, is 29 percent lower than last year but 3 percent above 2000. 

Although this is the low year of the alternate bearing cycle, producers report that the crop looks good. 

Oklahoma’s forecast, at 18.0 million pounds, is 10 percent less than last year but more than 7 times the

production of the 2000 crop year. The Louisiana forecast, at 9.00 million pounds, is down 36 percent from

last season and half of the 2000 crop. This will be the lowest production for Louisiana since 1992 when

hurricane Andrew passed through. Alabama pecan production, at 10.0 million pounds, is down a third from

both the previous year and crop year 2000. Alabama’s Native and seedling production is curtailed due to

disease and storm activity along the coast.

Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecast at 7.27 million tons, up 2 percent from the August 1 forecast and

11 percent above 2001. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 92 percent of the total. 

Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 4 percent and 2 percent, respectively. 

California’s all grape forecast, at 6.67 million tons, is up 2 percent from the August forecast and 12 percent

above 2001. Washington expects to harvest 320,000 tons, 2 percent above the previous forecast and up

13 percent from 2001. New York’s forecast, at 145,000 tons, is up 7 percent from the previous forecast but

3 percent below last year.

California’s raisin type grape production is expected to total 2.70 million tons, 40 percent of California’s

total grape crop. Production of raisin varieties is up 6 percent from the August forecast and 23 percent above

last year. By the end of September, harvest of natural raisins neared completion in Fresno County. Raisin

trays were rolled in approximately 60 percent of the harvested vineyards, and about 40 percent of the trays

had been picked up. Harvest of raisins that were dried on the vine proceeded rapidly. Picking of Thompson

Seedless raisin type grapes for fresh and wine use was still active in late September. California’s wine type

grape production, at 3.20 million tons, is carried forward from the August 1 forecast. Wine type production

represents 48 percent of California’s total grape crop. Production of wine varieties is up 5 percent from 2001. 

Favorable weather conditions have allowed harvest to progress rapidly with good quality reported. 

Production of table type grapes, at 770,000 tons, is carried forward from the August 1 forecast. This level of

production represents 12 percent of the total California crop and is 8 percent above last year. Picking

continues in the San Joaquin Valley with Red Globe, Beauty Seedless, Flame, Crimson, Autumn Royal, and

Christmas Rose some of the major varieties being harvested. The crop is reported to have excellent quality

with high sugar content and good color.

Washington’s production is forecast at 320,000 tons, up 2 percent from the August 1 forecast and 13 percent

above 2001. The juice type grape forecast, at 205,000 tons, is 3 percent above the previous forecast and

12 percent above last season. Milder weather conditions during August helped berry size increase. Wine

grape production is forecast at a record high 115,000 tons, unchanged from the previous forecast but

15 percent greater than last year. This increase is due mainly to new acreage coming into production and

young bearing acreage becoming more productive.

Grape production for New York is forecast at 145,000 tons, up 7 percent from the August 1 forecast but down

3 percent from 2001. Good growing conditions during August and September improved crop expectations for

the spring freeze damaged crop. Beneficial rainfall throughout September helped increase fruit size. Concord

harvest began in late September, and by October 1 was at its peak with good Brix levels reported. Niagra

harvest was complete by mid-September with better than expected yields. On Long Island, the Chardonnay

harvest is underway, and the Merlot harvest is set to begin in mid-October.

Pennsylvania’s grape production is forecast at 42,000 tons, down 7 percent from the previous forecast and

32 percent below 2001. Freezing temperatures in late May did extensive damage to the grape crop in some

areas of Erie county. Many producers reported that they lost a majority of their grape crop. Dry weather

across the State caused smaller fruit to develop on the vines further reducing production.

Michigan’s grape production is forecast at 30,000 tons, up 50 percent from the previous forecast and

4 percent above 2001. Yield prospects for juice grapes have improved since the August 1 forecast due to

secondary buds suffering less freeze damage than originally expected. Wine grapes suffered less damage than
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 44 NASS, USDA

juice grapes since they begin growth later and are usually grown at higher elevations. Insect pressure from the

grape berry moth has been heavy.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.05 million pounds for September 2002, up

3 percent from last month but 26 percent below a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,170 acres, 1 percent above

August but 19 percent less than last September. Harvested area totaled 1,510 acres, up 1 percent from last

month but 22 percent less than September 2001. 

Weather conditions in September were variable with showers and sunshine over major papaya producing

areas. Soil moisture was adequate in non-irrigated orchards. Production has declined as producers planted

less in response to low prices.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 45 NASS, USDA

Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective Yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 25 and

October 4 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The Objective Yield surveys for corn,

cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent

of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made

within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are

recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or

pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected

biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each

month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the

sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal

interviewers. Approximately 15,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked

questions about probable yield. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide

indications of average yields as the season progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering

weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical

Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB

uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of

the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings,

feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative

data warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is

strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root

Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 3.5 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by

more than 3.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 6.1 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the

October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1

forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 180 million bushels, ranging from

4 million bushels to 624 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 10 times

and above 10 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or

overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 46 NASS, USDA

Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn for Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Dry Edible Beans

Oranges 1

Oranges 1 2

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

Cwt

Tons

Tons

3.5

5.8

2.9

3.0

4.1

2.8

11.4

5.3

6.1

10.1

5.0

5.1

7.2

4.8

19.8

9.4

180

25

4

48

528

1

675

452

4

1

1

2

31

1

18

624

105

13

119

1,424

1

2,387

887

10

11

10

7

13

15

8

7

10

9

10

13

7

5

12

8

 1 Quantity is in thousands of units. 2 Excluding freeze seasons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2002 47 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234

Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops,

 Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice, Barley (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

 Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on November 12, 2002.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of

race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or

family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative

means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA’s

TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten

Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). 

USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:

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All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go

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contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:

nass@nass.usda.gov.
USDA Data Users’ Forum

October 21, 2002

Holiday Inn Mart Plaza

Chicago, Illinois

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold a public forum for open exchange

between Federal agricultural statistics agencies and data users on October 21, 2002. Agency

representatives will provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information

programs and will seek comments from data users. The USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service,

Economic Research Service, Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board,

as well as the U.S. Census Bureau’s Foreign Trade Division, will also participate in the forum.

For registration details or additional information about the Data Users’ Forum, see the NASS

homepage at www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Karlyn McCutcheon of NASS at (202) 690-8141 or at

karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov.

This Data Users’ Forum precedes an Industry Outlook Meeting that will be held at the same

location on October 22, 2002. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various

commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook

meeting and to register for it, contact Terry Francl of the American Farm Bureau Federation at

(847) 685-8769 or at terry@fb.org.