Cr Pr 2-2 (12-01)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released December 11, 2001, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. 

For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

All Cotton Production Down 1 Percent

All Orange Production Unchanged from October

All cotton production is forecast at 20.1 million 480-pound bales, down 1 percent from last month but up

17 percent from 2000. Yield is expected to average 691 pounds per harvested acre, up 6 pounds from last month. 

Survey and ginnings data indicated decreased production forecasts in Alabama, California, Mississippi, and

Texas, which more than offset increased production forecasts in Arkansas, Missouri, South Carolina, Tennessee,

and Virginia. The increase in yield resulted from a decrease in Texas harvested acreage. The harvested acreage

reduction was based on information from the Objective Yield Survey and administrative data.

 The U.S. all orange December 1 forecast for the 2001-02 crop is 12.5 million tons, unchanged from the

October 1 forecast but up 1 percent from last season’s final utilization. Florida's all orange forecast remains at

231 million boxes (10.4 million tons), 3 percent more than the previous season. Weather conditions this fall have

been dry with temperatures above average, affecting fruit sizing. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are

forecast at 131 million boxes (5.90 million tons), the same as the October forecast. If realized, this production

will be 2 percent higher than last season. Fruit size is expected to be slightly less than the 10-season mean. Loss

from droppage remains near average. Florida’s Valencia forecast is 100 million boxes (4.50 million tons),

unchanged from the previous forecast but 5 percent higher than last season’s final utilization. Fruit size is slightly

below the mean. Loss from droppage is greater than the past two seasons but remains below the average. 

Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from the October forecasts.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield projection is unchanged from October at 1.55 gallons

per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The final all orange yield for the 2000-01 season as reported by the Florida Citrus

Processors Association was 1.58 gallons per box. Projected juice yield for 2001-02 early-midseason and Valencia

varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume that the

processing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past several years.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on December 11, 2001.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

James R. Moseley

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Frederic A. Vogel
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 3 NASS, USDA

 Contents

Page

Beans, Dry Edible .......................................................................... 7

Citrus .................................................................................... 6

Coffee ................................................................................... 15

Cotton ................................................................................... 4

Cottonseed ................................................................................ 5

Crop Summary ............................................................................ 16

Crop Comments ........................................................................... 24

Information Contacts ....................................................................... 29

Papayas .................................................................................. 5

Pecans .................................................................................. 14

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ..................................................... 28

Sugarcane ................................................................................ 15

Tobacco, Burley ............................................................................ 5

Weather Maps ............................................................................ 22

Weather Summary ......................................................................... 23
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 4 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2000 and Forecasted December 1, 2001

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2000 2001 2000

2001

2000 2001

Nov 1 Dec 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

530.0

278.0

950.0

770.0

1,350.0

695.0

1,280.0

388.0

67.0

925.0

145.0

290.0

565.0

4,400.0

108.0

143.0

12,884.0

4.9

144.0

4.1

16.0

169.0

530.0

282.9

950.0

914.0

1,350.0

695.0

1,280.0

388.0

71.1

925.0

145.0

290.0

565.0

4,416.0

108.0

143.0

13,053.0

605.0

278.0

1,080.0

655.0

1,490.0

855.0

1,630.0

395.0

70.0

975.0

200.0

296.0

605.0

4,300.0

104.0

161.0

13,699.0

7.5

209.0

7.0

17.0

240.5

605.0

285.5

1,080.0

864.0

1,490.0

855.0

1,630.0

395.0

77.0

975.0

200.0

296.0

605.0

4,317.0

104.0

161.0

13,939.5

492

1,366

720

1,378

591

629

642

668

724

742

503

627

603

430

738

430

626

705

1,154

539

930

1,105

492

1,354

720

1,342

591

629

642

668

713

742

503

627

603

432

738

430

632

730

1,260

778

1,429

709

578

742

790

823

763

504

649

690

459

743

584

675

960

1,286

686

932

1,233

730

1,253

778

1,394

709

578

742

790

810

763

504

649

690

460

743

584

685

706

1,260

811

1,356

709

578

727

863

823

763

504

665

762

458

854

584

681

960

1,309

686

932

1,253

706

1,253

811

1,344

709

578

727

863

810

763

504

665

762

460

854

584

691

543.0

791.0

1,425.0

2,210.0

1,663.0

911.0

1,711.0

540.0

101.0

1,429.0

152.0

379.0

710.0

3,940.0

166.0

128.2

16,799.2

7.2

346.3

4.6

31.0

389.1

543.0

798.2

1,425.0

2,556.3

1,663.0

911.0

1,711.0

540.0

105.6

1,429.0

152.0

379.0

710.0

3,971.0

166.0

128.2

17,188.3

890.0

730.0

1,825.0

1,850.0

2,200.0

1,030.0

2,470.0

710.0

120.0

1,550.0

210.0

410.0

960.0

4,100.0

185.0

196.0

19,436.0

15.0

570.0

10.0

33.0

628.0

890.0

745.0

1,825.0

2,420.0

2,200.0

1,030.0

2,470.0

710.0

130.0

1,550.0

210.0

410.0

960.0

4,133.0

185.0

196.0

20,064.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3 Other States include FL and KS. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 5 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

1999-2000 and Forecasted December 1, 2001

State

Production

1999 2000 2001 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 6,353.5 6,435.6 7,532.2

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Burley Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State,

and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted December 1, 2001

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2000 2001 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Type 31

 IN

 KY

 MO 1

 NC

 OH

 TN

 VA

 WV 1

 US

3,800

120,000

1,400

7,400

7,500

37,000

7,000

1,300

185,400

4,200

105,000

1,400

6,800

6,100

34,000

8,000

1,300

166,800

2,100

2,025

2,120

1,600

1,760

1,920

1,600

1,200

1,957

2,250

2,200

2,200

1,850

1,970

2,000

2,000

1,400

2,122

11,700

380,100

4,635

12,480

17,052

103,950

23,108

2,160

555,185

7,980

243,000

2,968

11,840

13,200

71,040

11,200

1,560

362,788

9,450

231,000

3,080

12,580

12,017

68,000

16,000

1,820

353,947

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2000-2001

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2000 2001

2000 2001 2000 2001

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Oct

Nov

2,710

2,720

2,690

2,710

1,690

1,695

1,925

1,930

4,255

4,430

4,820

4,850

 1 Utilized fresh production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 6 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

1999-2000, 2000-2001 and Forecasted December 1, 2001 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 Valencia

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 5

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 Other 5

 FL

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 4 6

 CA 4 6

 FL

 US

Lemons 4

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

K-Early Citrus

 FL

600

40,000

134,000

1,460

176,060

500

24,000

99,000

200

123,700

1,100

64,000

233,000

1,660

299,760

1,950

20,900

31,900

600

450

7,200

53,400

5,930

66,980

850

2,500

7,000

10,350

3,100

19,000

22,100

2,200

110

480

36,000

128,000

2,000

166,480

420

23,000

95,300

235

118,955

900

59,000

223,300

2,235

285,435

1,250

18,700

27,300

250

6,500

46,000

7,200

59,950

650

2,100

5,600

8,350

3,600

22,700

26,300

2,100

40

400

32,000

131,000

2,000

165,400

350

22,000

100,000

200

122,550

750

54,000

231,000

2,200

287,950

1,400

19,000

28,000

200

6,000

47,000

7,800

61,000

600

2,500

6,400

9,500

3,100

23,000

26,100

2,300

30

22

1,500

6,030

62

7,614

19

900

4,455

9

5,383

41

2,400

10,485

71

12,997

88

888

1,356

25

15

241

2,269

237

2,762

32

94

332

458

118

722

840

99

5

18

1,350

5,760

85

7,213

16

862

4,289

10

5,177

34

2,212

10,049

95

12,390

56

795

1,160

8

218

1,955

288

2,469

24

79

266

369

137

863

1,000

95

2

15

1,200

5,895

85

7,195

13

825

4,500

9

5,347

28

2,025

10,395

94

12,542

63

808

1,190

7

201

1,998

312

2,518

23

94

304

421

118

874

992

104

1

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2

 Net lbs. per

box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3

 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason

varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5 Seedy

(Duncan) grapefruit estimates discontinued after 1999-00 crop. Included with White Seedless beginning with the 2000-01 crop. 

6

 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 7 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 1999-2001 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NM 2

NY

ND

OR

SD 3

TX

UT

WA

WI

WY

US

135.0

155.0

105.0

22.0

350.0

205.0

26.5

210.0

1.0

31.0

630.0

11.5

50.0

6.7

36.0

8.3

40.0

2,023.0

115.0

120.0

90.0

18.0

285.0

165.0

40.5

165.0

25.0

610.0

12.0

11.0

20.0

5.4

32.0

8.3

36.0

1,758.2

92.0

115.0

75.0

15.0

215.0

115.0

38.5

160.0

13.0

23.0

440.0

10.0

18.0

28.0

6.1

34.0

6.8

24.0

1,428.4

132.0

145.0

103.0

20.9

350.0

165.0

25.5

187.0

1.0

30.2

570.0

10.8

47.0

6.6

36.0

8.0

39.0

1,877.0

112.0

110.0

88.0

16.0

275.0

150.0

34.8

156.0

24.5

525.0

11.7

10.8

16.6

3.0

32.0

8.1

34.0

1,607.5

89.0

105.0

73.0

14.0

130.0

105.0

31.8

148.0

13.0

22.3

400.0

9.5

17.0

24.4

5.7

34.0

6.5

22.0

1,250.2

Yield per Acre 4 Production 4

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NM 2

NY

ND

OR

SD 3

TX

UT

WA

WI

WY

US

1,860

1,900

2,050

1,850

2,100

1,550

1,730

2,000

1,800

1,370

1,450

1,610

1,490

800

2,080

1,550

2,020

1,763

1,840

1,800

1,950

1,810

1,500

1,600

1,400

2,070

1,460

1,450

1,800

2,090

950

330

2,000

1,800

2,240

1,643

1,800

1,700

1,950

1,850

600

1,500

1,290

2,150

2,000

870

1,550

1,810

1,620

1,300

300

1,700

1,600

2,110

1,568

2,455

2,755

2,112

387

7,350

2,558

441

3,740

18

414

8,265

174

701

53

750

124

788

33,085

2,059

1,980

1,716

289

4,125

2,400

486

3,230

358

7,613

211

226

158

10

640

146

762

26,409

1,602

1,785

1,424

259

780

1,575

409

3,185

260

194

6,200

172

275

318

17

578

104

465

19,602

 1 Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2 Estimates discontinued in 2000, reinstated in 2001. 3 Estimates began in 2000. 4 Clean Basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 8 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1999-2001

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Large Lima

 CA

Baby Lima

 CA

Navy

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD 1

 WY

 Total

Great Northern

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 WA

 WY

 Total

Small White

 ID

 OR

 WA

 Total

25.0

27.0

5.1

150.0

80.0

7.0

195.0

1.2

2.0

440.3

6.6

2.8

115.0

1.1

8.0

133.5

2.9

0.6

1.8

5.3

20.5

24.5

7.3

125.0

66.0

4.0

138.0

0.7

3.2

2.0

346.2

7.2

2.6

104.5

6.5

1.1

7.0

128.9

1.4

0.6

0.9

2.9

12.8

12.2

3.0

65.0

48.0

95.0

1.3

1.0

213.3

4.2

8.0

1.1

84.0

8.0

1.2

2.0

108.5

0.9

0.5

0.4

1.8

24.0

26.0

5.0

150.0

64.0

6.2

175.0

1.2

1.9

403.3

6.5

2.5

104.0

1.1

7.7

121.8

2.9

0.6

1.8

5.3

19.5

23.5

7.1

120.0

60.0

3.5

111.0

0.6

3.1

1.8

307.1

7.0

2.3

100.0

5.5

1.1

6.8

122.7

1.4

0.6

0.9

2.9

12.5

11.5

2.9

30.0

44.0

85.0

1.0

0.9

163.8

4.1

3.5

0.9

79.0

7.5

1.2

1.2

97.4

0.9

0.5

0.4

1.8

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 9 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1999-2001 (continued)

Class

and

State

Yield per Acre 2 Production 2

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Large Lima

 CA

Baby Lima

 CA

Navy

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD 1

 WY

 Total

Great Northern

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 WA

 WY

 Total

Small White

 ID

 OR

 WA

 Total

1,800

2,380

2,160

2,300

1,560

1,950

1,460

1,920

2,050

1,809

2,110

1,600

2,030

2,450

2,000

2,027

2,100

2,000

2,170

2,113

2,240

2,310

2,250

1,500

1,650

2,200

1,460

1,170

2,480

2,200

1,554

2,090

1,520

2,040

1,510

2,180

2,370

2,029

2,070

2,670

2,110

2,207

2,480

2,100

2,170

570

1,620

1,560

2,400

2,000

1,413

2,150

570

1,440

2,230

1,710

2,250

2,170

2,118

2,110

2,200

2,000

2,111

433

620

108

3,450

998

121

2,555

23

39

7,294

137

40

2,111

27

154

2,469

61

12

39

112

437

542

160

1,800

990

77

1,620

7

77

40

4,771

146

35

2,040

83

24

161

2,489

29

16

19

64

310

241

63

170

713

1,327

24

18

2,315

88

20

13

1,761

128

27

26

2,063

19

11

8

38

 1 Estimates began in 2000. 2 Clean Basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 10 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1999-2001

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Pinto

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NM 1

 ND

 OR

 SD 2

 TX

 UT

 WA

 WY

 Total

Light Red

 Kidney

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 WA

 Total

Dark Red

 Kidney

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NY

 ND

 WI

 Total

Pink

 CA

 ID

 MN

 ND

 WA

 Total

125.0

31.2

16.5

9.0

38.0

13.9

60.0

1.0

363.0

2.4

1.5

6.7

9.0

28.0

705.2

8.0

15.0

0.8

17.0

11.0

19.0

17.7

2.0

90.5

3.5

1.1

9.0

38.0

2.0

5.0

8.3

66.9

2.0

19.2

14.0

11.0

4.5

50.7

100.0

29.0

17.3

21.0

39.0

14.5

39.0

411.0

2.5

2.3

1.0

5.4

10.5

26.0

718.5

11.0

12.0

1.6

19.0

10.0

13.0

15.0

1.4

83.0

6.0

1.1

12.0

32.0

1.9

4.0

8.3

65.3

0.7

3.3

6.0

4.0

4.2

18.2

94.0

22.2

13.5

7.0

13.0

11.5

53.5

13.0

286.0

2.1

2.0

1.0

6.1

4.2

20.0

549.1

6.2

13.0

0.6

18.0

8.2

11.5

13.3

1.0

71.8

2.5

1.9

9.0

31.0

1.2

5.0

6.8

57.4

4.9

6.6

4.0

4.5

20.0

118.5

30.6

15.8

9.0

24.0

13.2

54.0

1.0

332.0

2.3

1.4

6.6

9.0

27.5

644.9

8.0

12.5

0.8

17.0

10.5

14.8

17.5

2.0

83.1

3.5

1.1

9.0

36.0

2.0

4.7

8.0

64.3

2.0

18.7

10.2

10.0

4.5

45.4

92.0

28.2

15.5

20.0

34.0

13.8

36.0

363.0

2.4

2.3

1.0

3.0

10.5

24.5

646.2

11.0

11.0

1.6

19.0

9.6

12.3

14.6

1.4

80.5

6.0

1.1

12.0

30.0

1.8

3.5

8.1

62.5

0.7

3.3

5.8

3.5

4.2

17.5

85.0

21.5

12.6

4.5

12.0

10.3

47.5

13.0

261.0

1.9

2.0

0.9

5.7

4.2

19.0

501.1

6.2

12.5

0.6

11.0

7.7

11.0

13.1

1.0

63.1

2.5

1.8

7.0

29.0

1.2

4.7

6.5

52.7

4.8

5.6

3.8

4.5

18.7

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 11 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1999-2001 (continued)

Class

and

State

Yield per Acre 3 Production 3

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Pinto

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NM 1

 ND

 OR

 SD 2

 TX

 UT

 WA

 WY

 Total

Light Red

 Kidney

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 WA

 Total

Dark Red

 Kidney

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NY

 ND

 WI

 Total

Pink

 CA

 ID

 MN

 ND

 WA

 Total

1,890

2,170

1,850

1,890

1,430

2,240

2,030

1,800

1,460

1,520

860

800

2,300

2,030

1,681

1,510

1,760

2,130

1,800

1,700

1,790

1,290

2,150

1,655

1,310

2,000

1,700

1,660

1,350

1,510

1,550

1,617

1,150

2,200

1,400

1,450

2,040

1,795

1,820

2,270

1,800

1,450

1,450

2,400

2,080

1,460

2,420

2,480

800

330

2,300

2,210

1,651

1,480

1,750

1,690

1,500

1,850

2,200

1,430

1,860

1,680

1,370

1,910

1,520

1,700

1,280

1,430

1,800

1,622

860

2,120

1,470

1,570

2,480

1,829

1,720

2,440

1,860

510

1,300

1,980

2,190

2,000

1,550

2,420

2,600

1,670

300

2,240

2,110

1,711

1,370

1,640

1,670

770

1,490

1,900

850

2,000

1,333

1,920

1,890

430

1,500

830

1,450

1,600

1,383

2,230

1,050

1,550

2,200

1,733

2,235

664

292

170

343

296

1,096

18

4,860

35

12

53

207

558

10,839

121

220

17

306

178

265

225

43

1,375

46

22

153

597

27

71

124

1,040

23

412

143

145

92

815

1,675

641

279

290

494

331

749

5,294

58

57

8

10

242

542

10,670

163

193

27

285

178

271

209

26

1,352

82

21

182

510

23

50

146

1,014

6

70

85

55

104

320

1,460

524

234

23

156

204

1,040

260

4,050

46

52

15

17

94

401

8,576

85

205

10

85

115

209

112

20

841

48

34

30

435

10

68

104

729

107

59

59

99

324

 1 Estimates discontinued in 2000, reinstated in 2001. 2 Estimates began in 2000. 3 Clean Basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 12 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1999-2001

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Small Red

 ID

 MI

 WA

 Total

Cranberry

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 Total

Black

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 WA

 Total

Blackeye

 CA

 TX

 Total

Garbanzo

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD 1

 WA

 Total

Other

 CA

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 SD 1

 TX

 WA

 WY

 Total

19.6

15.0

8.0

42.6

2.5

1.3

31.0

2.6

37.4

1.0

1.2

4.8

108.0

10.6

7.0

9.5

41.0

3.2

186.3

39.5

33.0

72.5

16.5

11.8

12.1

10.0

2.7

5.4

58.5

10.0

13.8

0.6

5.5

11.0

8.0

0.5

2.0

1.8

5.0

4.6

15.5

1.0

2.0

81.3

7.2

8.0

2.2

17.4

3.5

1.4

26.0

0.8

31.7

1.0

1.1

55.0

4.9

0.8

5.2

25.0

1.2

94.2

15.3

7.5

22.8

24.5

28.6

25.3

15.0

5.8

4.0

9.5

112.7

8.0

8.0

0.8

0.7

19.0

3.7

0.7

3.7

2.9

6.5

2.4

1.5

11.5

1.0

1.0

71.4

3.8

12.0

3.0

18.8

1.5

2.6

26.0

0.6

30.7

0.6

63.0

2.0

1.1

6.7

19.0

2.0

94.4

12.0

18.0

30.0

36.0

28.8

26.5

6.3

19.0

5.0

12.2

17.0

150.8

8.8

8.0

1.5

1.5

7.0

4.5

0.5

3.6

1.8

4.0

2.4

2.5

9.0

0.7

1.0

56.8

19.1

15.0

8.0

42.1

2.5

1.2

31.0

2.4

37.1

1.0

1.0

4.8

108.0

9.8

6.4

9.0

37.0

3.2

180.2

38.5

31.0

69.5

16.5

11.7

11.8

8.0

2.4

5.4

55.8

10.0

13.0

0.6

5.1

11.0

5.6

0.5

1.6

1.7

3.3

4.3

14.6

1.0

1.9

74.2

7.0

8.0

2.2

17.2

3.5

1.4

25.0

0.5

30.4

1.0

1.1

53.0

4.3

0.8

5.2

22.0

1.2

88.6

15.3

5.8

21.1

23.5

28.0

20.5

11.0

5.8

3.9

9.5

102.2

8.0

7.0

0.8

0.5

18.0

3.5

0.5

3.4

2.9

5.5

2.3

1.5

9.8

1.0

0.9

65.6

3.7

6.5

3.0

13.2

1.5

2.6

12.0

0.5

16.6

0.6

52.0

1.3

0.8

6.3

18.0

2.0

81.0

12.0

15.5

27.5

34.0

28.0

21.0

6.2

16.5

4.7

11.5

17.0

138.9

8.8

7.5

1.5

1.4

3.5

4.0

0.5

3.5

1.7

3.5

2.4

2.5

8.0

0.7

0.9

50.4

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 13 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial

Class, State, and Total, 1999-2001 (continued)

Class

and

State

Yield per Acre 2 Production 2

1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Small Red

 ID

 MI

 WA

 Total

Cranberry

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 Total

Black

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 WA

 Total

Blackeye

 CA

 TX

 Total

Garbanzo

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD 1

 WA

 Total

Other

 CA

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 SD 1

 TX

 WA

 WY

 Total

2,120

2,070

2,310

2,138

960

1,920

1,600

1,420

1,555

1,000

2,000

2,150

2,090

1,530

1,800

1,570

1,340

2,380

1,871

2,010

1,700

1,873

1,730

1,260

1,130

1,100

920

1,110

1,317

1,180

2,150

2,170

1,860

1,860

1,340

2,400

2,000

1,240

1,520

1,910

1,110

2,100

1,950

1,621

2,100

1,410

2,410

1,820

1,060

1,790

1,520

1,400

1,477

500

2,180

1,580

1,330

2,250

1,500

1,280

2,670

1,508

2,160

900

1,810

1,460

1,460

730

1,320

1,330

1,670

1,240

1,280

1,430

1,600

2,000

2,000

1,310

1,260

1,000

2,210

1,660

1,530

2,300

1,800

1,000

2,200

2,110

1,466

2,240

420

2,070

1,303

2,330

1,540

580

1,400

916

2,170

640

1,230

2,250

940

1,600

2,500

962

2,330

1,500

1,865

1,260

1,470

950

1,400

1,400

1,340

1,250

1,200

1,274

1,990

1,600

2,070

1,790

570

1,530

1,000

2,000

760

1,400

2,080

2,200

880

2,000

2,220

1,548

405

310

185

900

24

23

496

34

577

10

20

103

2,260

150

115

141

496

76

3,371

775

527

1,302

285

147

133

88

22

60

735

118

280

13

95

205

75

12

32

21

50

82

162

21

37

1,203

147

113

53

313

37

25

380

7

449

5

24

840

57

18

78

282

32

1,336

330

52

382

343

410

150

145

77

65

118

1,308

114

112

16

10

235

44

5

75

48

84

53

27

98

22

19

962

83

27

62

172

35

40

70

7

152

13

335

16

18

59

288

50

779

280

233

513

428

412

200

87

231

63

144

204

1,769

175

120

31

25

20

61

5

70

13

49

52

55

70

14

20

780

 1 Estimates began in 2000. 2 Clean Basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 14 NASS, USDA

Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

1999-2000 and Forecasted December 1, 2001

Crop and State

Utilized Production

1999 2000 2001

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Improved Varieties 1

 AL

 AZ

 AR 2

 CA 2

 FL 2

 GA

 LA

 MS 2

 NM

 NC 2

 OK

 SC 2

 TX

 US

Native & Seedling

 AL

 AR 2

 FL 2

 GA

 KS 2

 LA

 MS 2

 NC 2

 OK

 SC 2

 TX

 US

All Pecans

 AL

 AZ

 AR 2

 CA 2

 FL 2

 GA

 KS 2

 LA

 MS 2

 NM

 NC 2

 OK

 SC 2

 TX

 US

7,000

22,800

1,500

1,900

1,100

85,000

4,000

3,500

52,000

800

3,000

1,800

35,000

219,400

6,000

2,300

2,600

35,000

5,000

18,000

1,500

400

60,000

900

55,000

186,700

13,000

22,800

3,800

1,900

3,700

120,000

5,000

22,000

5,000

52,000

1,200

63,000

2,700

90,000

406,100

10,000

14,500

650

3,400

1,200

65,000

3,500

2,500

35,000

1,400

200

1,200

22,000

160,550

5,000

250

2,100

15,000

550

14,500

1,000

200

2,300

400

8,000

49,300

15,000

14,500

900

3,400

3,300

80,000

550

18,000

3,500

35,000

1,600

2,500

1,600

30,000

209,850

10,000

21,000

1,400

3,100

2,800

80,000

4,000

4,000

60,000

2,500

2,000

2,500

45,000

238,300

5,000

1,400

2,500

15,000

2,600

12,000

2,000

500

13,000

1,000

25,000

80,000

15,000

21,000

2,800

3,100

5,300

95,000

2,600

16,000

6,000

60,000

3,000

15,000

3,500

70,000

318,300

 1 Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 2 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 15 NASS, USDA

Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

by Use, State, and United States, 1999-2001

Use

and

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2000 2001 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

For Sugar

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

For Seed

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

For Sugar

 and Seed

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

427.0

32.6

465.0

45.5

970.1

18.0

1.8

35.0

0.8

55.6

445.0

34.4

500.0

46.3

1,025.7

448.0

21.4

460.0

44.5

973.9

17.0

1.8

35.0

1.5

55.3

465.0

23.2

495.0

46.0

1,029.2

38.3

72.5

29.7

38.8

35.4

38.4

37.8

29.7

30.0

32.8

38.3

70.7

29.7

38.6

35.2

35.5

89.5

32.0

33.0

34.9

38.0

31.5

32.0

25.0

33.7

35.6

85.0

32.0

32.8

34.9

15,505

2,892

14,225

955

33,577

595

68

981

78

1,722

16,100

2,960

15,206

1,033

35,299

16,354

2,364

13,811

1,765

34,294

691

68

1,040

24

1,823

17,045

2,432

14,851

1,789

36,117

15,904

1,915

14,720

1,469

34,008

646

57

1,120

38

1,861

16,550

1,972

15,840

1,507

35,869

 1 Net tons.

Coffee: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

Hawaii 1999-2001

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02

Acres Acres Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

HI 6,400 6,800 6,300 1,560 1,280 1,210 10,000 8,700 7,600

 1 Parchment basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 16 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2000 2001 2000 2001

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,864.0

79,545.0

4,477.0

440.0

3,060.0

1,329.0

9,195.0

62,629.0

43,393.0

3,937.0

15,299.0

1,567.0

536.0

46.0

1,536.8

4.0

215.0

74,266.0

2,840.0

15,517.2

15,347.0

170.2

1,565.2

5.2

1,758.2

188.0

217.0

1,383.7

17.2

77.4

66.1

1,223.0

98.0

4,967.0

76,009.0

4,403.0

550.0

3,317.0

1,328.0

10,047.0

59,617.0

41,078.0

2,910.0

15,629.0

1,611.0

556.0

38.7

1,474.0

2.5

175.0

75,216.0

2,750.0

16,194.0

15,959.0

235.0

1,368.1

15.8

1,428.4

205.8

201.0

1,263.4

16.8

74.1

61.4

1,111.1

95.9

5,213.0

72,732.0

5,868.0

59,854.0

23,077.0

36,777.0

2,329.0

370.0

3,039.0

296.0

7,723.0

265.0

53,133.0

35,072.0

3,572.0

14,489.0

1,509.0

517.0

42.9

1,336.0

3.9

197.0

72,408.0

2,647.0

13,053.0

12,884.0

169.0

1,374.3

1,025.7

472.4

4.1

1,607.5

179.0

214.0

6.8

0.3

36.1

89.5

1,348.0

17.0

75.6

63.2

1,192.2

21.7

94.9

0.5

4,289.0

69,191.0

63,833.0

23,750.0

40,083.0

1,905.0

3,290.0

255.0

8,777.0

48,653.0

31,295.0

2,789.0

14,569.0

1,565.0

545.0

37.2

1,390.5

2.4

165.0

74,137.0

2,660.0

13,939.5

13,699.0

240.5

1,249.9

1,029.2

443.1

7.1

1,250.2

193.3

198.0

6.3

0.4

35.9

1,237.1

14.0

72.5

59.2

1,091.4

93.1

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2001 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 17 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2000 2001 2000 2001

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

61.1

137.1

16.8

2.54

3.48

1.95

64.2

19.8

6,281

28.3

60.9

10.8

42.0

44.7

30.7

38.4

1,337

20.8

852

2,444

1,474

1,434

38.1

1,339

632

626

1,105

23.6

35.2

2,229

1,780

1,643

1,955

1,415

1,280

50,000

1,871

77

381

292

290

304

392

101

145

58.2

138.0

2.54

3.44

2.01

61.3

6,374

27.3

61.2

40.2

43.5

30.0

35.2

1,434

2,990

39.4

1,318

691

681

1,253

20.7

34.9

2,355

1,338

1,568

1,966

1,480

1,210

45,000

1,845

357

294

269

296

367

318,728

9,968,358

98,538

152,183

80,347

71,836

149,545

7,320

190,872

8,386

470,070

2,863

2,232,460

1,566,023

109,805

556,632

2,016,951

6,435.6

10,730

36,570

3,265,505

5,750

282,545

2,757,810

3,544,428

17,188.3

16,799.2

389.1

32,436

36,117

1,052,998

73

26,409

3,499

3,029

680

8,700

13,500

67,577

6,926

513,621

4,960

21,921

19,236

467,504

2,199

13,794

7,000

249,590

9,545,513

162,303

81,628

80,675

116,856

209,709

6,971

536,755

1,957,643

1,361,479

83,556

512,608

2,243,520

7,532.2

4,157,400

2,922,914

3,506,180

20,064.0

19,436.0

628.0

25,899

35,869

1,043,642

95

19,602

3,800

2,930

7,600

16,200

66,217

441,848

4,115

19,500

17,503

400,730

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2001 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 18 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2000 2001 2002

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Non-Citrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lb

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,762

5

840

12,997

99

458

88

10,648.7

98.9

29,000.0

7,658.0

53.0

54,500.0

2,599.8

967.2

219.0

23.9

703,000

22.5

209,850

243,000

239.0

1,231

2,469

2

1,000

12,390

95

369

56

9,560.4

81.2

6,471.9

125.0

2,537.3

915.5

155.0

23.2

850,000

48.0

318,300

200,000

280.0

1,049

2,518

1

992

12,542

104

421

63

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 19 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2000 2001 2000 2001

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,373,100

32,191,070

1,811,800

178,060

1,238,350

537,830

3,721,120

25,345,330

17,560,710

1,593,260

6,191,350

634,150

216,910

18,620

621,930

1,620

87,010

30,054,710

1,149,320

6,279,660

6,210,780

68,880

633,420

2,100

711,530

76,080

87,820

559,970

6,960

31,320

26,750

494,940

39,660

2,010,100

30,760,080

1,781,850

222,580

1,342,360

537,430

4,065,920

24,126,400

16,623,860

1,177,650

6,324,900

651,960

225,010

15,660

596,510

1,010

70,820

30,439,160

1,112,900

6,553,550

6,458,450

95,100

553,660

6,390

578,060

83,290

81,340

511,290

6,800

29,990

24,850

449,650

38,810

2,109,650

29,433,910

2,374,720

24,222,320

9,339,030

14,883,280

942,520

149,740

1,229,850

119,790

3,125,420

107,240

21,502,390

14,193,290

1,445,550

5,863,550

610,680

209,220

17,360

540,670

1,580

79,720

29,302,790

1,071,210

5,282,420

5,214,030

68,390

556,170

415,090

191,190

1,660

650,540

72,440

86,600

2,750

110

14,620

36,220

545,520

6,880

30,590

25,580

482,470

8,780

38,410

190

1,735,720

28,000,910

25,832,580

9,611,390

16,221,190

770,930

1,331,430

103,200

3,551,960

19,689,380

12,664,770

1,128,680

5,895,930

633,340

220,560

15,050

562,720

970

66,770

30,002,500

1,076,480

5,641,180

5,543,850

97,330

505,820

416,510

179,330

2,870

505,940

78,230

80,130

2,550

150

14,520

500,640

5,670

29,340

23,960

441,680

37,680

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2001 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 20 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2000 2001 2000 2001

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.29

8.60

37.64

5.70

7.80

4.38

2.30

1.11

7.04

1.78

3.82

24.22

2.83

3.00

2.07

2.58

1.50

1.30

0.96

2.74

1.65

1.61

2.56

1.50

0.71

0.70

1.24

52.91

78.93

2.50

2.00

1.84

2.19

1.59

1.43

56.04

2.10

0.09

42.71

32.70

32.50

34.11

43.95

0.11

16.29

3.13

8.66

5.70

7.70

4.51

2.20

7.14

1.72

3.84

2.71

2.93

2.01

2.37

1.61

3.35

2.65

1.48

0.77

0.76

1.40

46.45

78.13

2.64

1.50

1.76

2.20

1.66

1.35

50.44

2.07

40.03

32.94

30.15

33.14

41.15

6,939,480

253,207,960

89,392,170

138,058,100

72,889,570

65,168,520

2,170,640

166,010

8,657,810

213,010

11,940,330

2,597,270

60,757,600

42,620,160

2,988,400

15,149,040

914,870

5,838,280

272,550

16,590

1,481,210

2,610

128,160

75,055,290

1,607,730

3,742,310

3,657,590

84,720

29,425,440

32,764,790

477,630

3,310

1,197,890

158,710

137,390

30,840

3,950

6,120

30,650

3,140

23,297,460

224,980

994,320

872,530

21,205,630

1,000

625,690

3,180

5,434,180

242,467,200

147,238,800

74,051,680

73,187,130

1,696,160

9,512,240

177,070

13,634,210

53,278,310

37,053,390

2,274,020

13,950,900

1,017,640

6,833,100

1,885,770

79,548,680

1,590,380

4,368,420

4,231,690

136,730

23,495,180

32,539,810

473,390

4,310

889,130

172,370

132,900

3,450

7,350

30,040

20,041,890

186,650

884,510

793,920

18,176,810

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2001 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 21 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2000 2001 2002

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Non-Citrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,505,640

4,540

762,040

11,790,680

89,810

415,490

79,830

4,830,170

89,720

13,150

6,947,190

48,080

24,720

1,179,250

877,380

198,670

21,680

318,880

20,410

95,190

110,220

216,820

6,150

2,239,840

1,810

907,180

11,240,020

86,180

334,750

50,800

4,336,520

73,660

5,871,210

113,400

1,150,900

830,530

140,610

21,050

385,550

43,540

144,380

90,720

254,010

5,240

2,284,290

910

899,930

11,377,910

94,350

381,920

57,150

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2 Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 22 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 23 NASS, USDA

November Weather Summary

Mid- to late-November storm systems erased autumn dryness across the southern Great Plains and upper Midwest,

but largely bypassed winter wheat areas in Montana and the east-central Great Plains, including portions of

Kansas and Oklahoma. Mostly dry weather also persisted in the East, hampering winter grain development and

contributing to wildfire activity. In contrast, heavy rain and strong thunderstorms struck areas from the western

Gulf Coast region to the lower Ohio River Valley, including the Mississippi Delta, flooding fields, halting

fieldwork, and causing localized wind damage. Meanwhile in the West, a series of storms boosted topsoil

moisture for winter grains and blanketed high-elevation areas with heavy snow. Although the precipitation eased

long-term drought across northern California, the Great Basin, and the Pacific Northwest, reservoir supplies

remained limited due to previously dry conditions dating to the spring of 2000. Cold weather was confined to the

western half of the nation toward month’s end, boosting November temperatures at least 10 degrees F above

normal in the upper Midwest. In fact, more than two dozen cities from the western Corn Belt to the northern midAtlantic region set November average-temperature records.

November Agricultural Summary

The end of the harvest season quickly approached, as dry weather aided progress across most of the Nation during

the first half of the month. Seeding of winter wheat and other winter crops also neared completion early in the

month, although abnormally dry soils hindered planting along the Atlantic Coastal Plains. Moisture shortages

increased across most of the Great Plains early in the month, but a midmonth storm provided beneficial moisture

for developing winter crops across much of the southern Great Plains. Scattered light precipitation periodically

boosted moisture supplies in parts of the Pacific Northwest and Southwest, and prevented winter wheat

deterioration on the central High Plains. However, moisture shortages increased crop stress in the southern High

Plains, the northern Great Plains, and along the Atlantic Coastal Plain. Warm weather and adequate topsoil

moisture supplies supported winter grain development in the Corn Belt. Warm weather stimulated root

development and growth of winter grains and forages where adequate moisture supplies were available. Rain

halted cotton harvest and other fieldwork in the Southeast late in the month, but the precipitation provided critical

moisture for germinating and establishing winter wheat along the Atlantic Coastal Plain.

Winter wheat seeding progressed about 1 week ahead of last year’s slow pace and slightly ahead of the 5-year

average. Seeding progressed with few rain interruptions, but dry soils limited planting in parts of the southern

Great Plains. Planting was also active in the lower Mississippi Valley, Atlantic Coastal Plains, and California. In

North Carolina, planting progressed ahead of normal despite topsoil moisture shortages. By November 11,

planting was virtually complete in the Great Plains and rapidly approached completion in the Corn Belt. 

Temperatures were favorable for development across most of the Nation during November, but emergence and

growth were spotty and uneven due to topsoil moisture shortages, especially in Kansas, North Carolina, and

Oklahoma. Ample moisture aided development across most of the Corn Belt. Occasional light showers

prevented serious crop deterioration on the central High Plains and in the Pacific Northwest. Heavy rain boosted

soil moisture reserves and promoted emergence and growth in the southern Great Plains near midmonth. 

However, the precipitation varied from light, soaking showers across most of Oklahoma and eastern Texas, to

persistent downpours that flooded streams and low-lying areas in central and northern Texas. Fields in California

and the interior Pacific Northwest received beneficial precipitation after midmonth, but moisture reserves

remained low in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington. Along the Atlantic Coastal Plains, fields received critical

moisture for germination and root development near the end of the month.

Dry weather supported the corn harvest across most of the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Growers in Iowa,

Minnesota, and Ohio picked about one-fourth of their crop during the week ended November 4. Harvest was also

very active in the Dakota’s early in the month. In the central Corn Belt and Great Lakes region, harvest

accelerated after excess moisture from late-October’s heavy rains drained from fields. However, progress

remained behind the 5-year average in Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin until midmonth. Growers in Kansas,

North Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas completed their harvest before midmonth. By November 18, harvest was

97 percent complete and was on pace with last year’s early finish. 

The soybean harvest was aided by warm, dry weather in the Corn Belt, lower Mississippi Valley, and Atlantic

Coastal Plain during the first half of the month. By November 11, harvest was 96 percent complete, compared

with 97 percent on the same date last year and the average of 95 percent. Harvest was most active along the Ohio

and Missouri River Valleys, where about one-fifth of the Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee acreage was reaped

during the week ended November 4. Harvest progressed behind normal in many parts of the Corn Belt, especially

around the Great Lakes. Progress lagged far behind normal in Michigan and well behind normal in Indiana and

Wisconsin. Meanwhile, harvest progressed far ahead of normal on the Atlantic Coastal Plain. Harvest neared

completion several days earlier than normal in Arkansas and Kentucky. The harvest season ended in Nebraska

and the Dakotas by November 11, and very few fields remained unharvested in Iowa, Kansas, and Minnesota.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 24 NASS, USDA

Cotton picking progressed slightly ahead of normal throughout the month, as picking steadily advanced in most

areas. However, widespread, persistent rain suspended progress in the southern Great Plains for several days near

midmonth. Elsewhere, dry weather aided harvest throughout the Southeast during most of the month. In Georgia,

North Carolina, and Virginia, harvest progressed well ahead of the 5-year average. South Carolina’s harvest

lagged behind normal at the beginning of the month, but exceeded the 5-year average by the end of the month. 

Meanwhile, harvest progressed behind normal in Alabama. In the lower Mississippi Valley, harvest was virtually

complete on November 25. In the Southwest, harvest was aided by dry weather most of the month, although rain

occasionally interrupted progress in California. Picking continued without interruption in Arizona. 

Sorghum harvest progressed with few rain delays in the Great Plains and Corn Belt. As the month began, harvest

was most active in Nebraska. Harvest neared completion well ahead of normal in Illinois and Kansas and

progressed far ahead of normal in Colorado and New Mexico. As midmonth approached, harvest neared

completion in the central and northern Great Plains but remained active on the High Plains, especially in New

Mexico and Oklahoma.

Warm, dry weather aided the peanut harvest in the southern Great Plains early in the month. However, heavy rain

slowed progress for several days near midmonth, especially in Texas. Along the Atlantic Coastal Plain, harvest

was virtually complete by November 11. In Alabama, digging lagged throughout the month.

The sugarbeet harvest neared completion early in the month, and was virtually complete by midmonth. In

Michigan, about one-third of the acreage was harvested during the week ended November 4, as digging rapidly

accelerated when warm, dry weather replaced October’s excessive wetness. Michigan’s dry weather pattern

continued through midmonth, aiding efforts to finish the harvest. Dry weather also supported harvest in Idaho

during the first half of the month. 

The sunflower harvest continued with only minor rain delays in the four major sunflower-producing States. 

Harvest was most active in Colorado, where growers reaped more than one-fourth of their crop during the week

ended November 4. Harvest was virtually complete in Kansas and the Dakota’s by midmonth. Harvest neared

completion well ahead of normal in North Dakota and slightly ahead of normal in South Dakota.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.7 million acres, is down 200,000 acres from the November

estimate but up 6 percent from last year. The reduction to harvested acreage in Texas was the result of acreage

information from the Objective Yield Survey and administrative data. American-Pima harvested acreage, at

240,500 acres, is unchanged from November but 42 percent above the 2000 crop season. 

Extremely dry conditions throughout the Southeastern States increased the efforts focused on harvesting cotton, as

many farmers delayed small grain planting due to the lack of moisture. By the time rains were received during

late November, the pace of cotton harvest had exceeded the 5-year average in all of the Southeastern States except

for Alabama. On November 1, harvest in Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina was behind normal due to a

slow developing crop; however, by December 1, only Alabama remained behind normal harvest pace but they

made considerable progress during the month. 

Despite a slow developing crop and rain delays during early harvest periods, the Delta States had virtually

completed harvest by the end of November. Producers in Missouri and Tennessee were pleasantly surprised by

record setting cotton yields. If the current yields are realized, Missouri cotton farmers will surpass the previous

record of 856 pounds per harvested acre, set in 1994, by 7 pounds. Tennessee producers, with a yield of

762 pounds per harvested acre, will surpass the previous record, established in 1994, by 36 pounds. Objective

yield data show boll weights in Arkansas rank as the third heaviest since 1992, increasing from November. 

Mississippi and Louisiana’s boll weights are the second and fourth heaviest, respectively, in the past 10 years.

Harvest in the Southwestern States continued on pace throughout November. In Texas, rains during the middle of

the month resulted in minor delays as producers had to wait for open bolls to dry out. A hard, killing frost

occurred during the week of November 20 and will aid in defoliating the remaining cotton. Data from the

Objective Yield Survey showed Texas’ weight per boll ranks sixth out of the past 10 years.

Harvest progress of upland cotton in California and Arizona continued with only brief rain delays during

November. Warm, dry weather allowed Arizona producers to remain on pace with the 5-year average. Harvest

activities were slowed in California due to wet field conditions, but the pace remained well ahead of average. 

Some growers struggled to achieve plow down compliance before rain saturated the ground. Data from the

Objective Yield Survey indicate California’s weight per boll is the second lightest since 1992.

American-Pima production is forecast at 628,000 bales, up 10,000 bales from the November forecast and up

61 percent from last year’s output. The U.S. yield is estimated at a record high 1,253 pounds per harvested acre. 

If realized, this would be 125 pounds above the previous record established in 1999. Rains in California during

late November and early December delayed harvest in some locations and resulted in some quality reductions. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 25 NASS, USDA

All cotton ginned totaled 15,498,450 running bales prior to December 1, compared with 13,619,100 running bales

ginned by the same date last year and 13,379,100 running bales ginned in 1999.

NOTE: Cotton acreage, yield, and production estimates for January will only be published in the Crop

Production - Annual report. The Crop Production - Annual report will be released on January 11, 2002. 

Previously these estimates were also published in the January Crop Production report. Cotton Ginnings will be

released simultaneously with the Crop Production - Annual report.

Tobacco: U.S. burley tobacco production for 2001 is forecast at 354 million pounds, down 5 percent from the

November 1 forecast and 2 percent lower than last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 166,800 acres, down

5 percent from last month and 10 percent below a year ago. Yields are expected to average 2,122 pounds per

acre, 11 pounds below the November forecast but up 165 pounds from 2000. Burley markets for contract sales

opened on November 1 and auction sales opened on November 13. The USDA Agricultural Marketing Service

reports that as of December 7, total burley tobacco sales for the season totaled 189 million pounds. Of this total, 

69 million pounds have gone through the auction markets, while the remaining 120 million pounds are attributed

to contract sales.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 4.85 million pounds for November, 1 percent higher

than last month and 9 percent more than November 2000. Area in crop totaled 2,710 acres, 1 percent more than

last month but down slightly from a year ago. Harvested area, at 1,930 acres, was virtually unchanged from

October but 14 percent more than a year ago.

Weather conditions during November were generally wet with occasional sunshine over major papaya producing

areas. A winter storm toward the end of the month brought heavy rains. Winds toppled some trees in exposed

areas. Papaya ringspot virus incidence was light in November. However, more Phytophthora disease was noticed

due to wetter conditions.

Dry Beans: Dry edible bean production is estimated at 19.6 million cwt for 2001, up 1 percent from the

October 1 forecast but 26 percent below a year ago. This is the lowest dry bean production since 1988, when

production was 19.3 million cwt. Area for harvest is estimated at 1.25 million acres, 5 percent below the previous

estimate and 22 percent below a year ago. The average yield is estimated at 1,568 pounds per acre, down

75 pounds from last year. Of the 18 dry bean States, 14 expect lower production than a year ago. Production is

down 81 percent in Michigan and off 46 percent in New York from a year ago. Minnesota’s farmers harvested

34 percent fewer beans than last year, while Wisconsin’s output fell 29 percent, and Wyoming’s production is cut

by 39 percent. Reductions from last year also came in California, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska,

North Dakota, Oregon, and Washington.

Dry summer weather and water shortages hurt dry bean growth in the North East, Midwest, parts of the Western

Plains, and the West. Drought conditions severely limited the Michigan dry bean crop with average yield

forecasts falling to their lowest level since 1936. Late August rains came too late to salvage the Michigan crop

and a killing frost in early October ended regrowth of late beans. Compared with a year ago yields per acre are

down 900 pounds in Michigan, off 590 pounds in New York, down 470 pounds in South Dakota, 200 pounds

lower in Wisconsin, and off 100 pounds in Minnesota. Yields are also lower in California, Colorado, Montana,

Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. Improved yields are noted in Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oregon, and

Texas. 

Production by class is down more than 50 percent from a year ago for navies, cranberries, and baby limas. Blacks

are down 42 percent, small reds are off 45 percent, small whites are down 41 percent, and light red kidneys fell

38 percent. Large limas are down 29 percent, dark red kidneys fell 28 percent, pintos tumbled 20 percent, and

great northern slipped 17 percent from a year ago. Production is up for blackeyed beans, garbanzos, and pinks.

Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2001-02 grapefruit crop for the United States is 2.52 million tons, down

2 percent from the October 1 forecast but 2 percent higher than the previous season. The Florida grapefruit

forecast is 47.0 million boxes (2.00 million tons), 2 percent less than the October 1 forecast but 2 percent above

last season. Dry conditions during the past two months and the persistent above average temperatures have

contributed to the reduction. The all white grapefruit forecast, which includes seedless and seedy varieties, is

reduced to 19.0 million boxes (808,000 tons). If realized, the crop size will be down 5 percent from the previous

forecast, but 2 percent above last season. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 28.0 million boxes

(1.19 million tons), unchanged from October but 3 percent more than the previous season. Forecasts for Arizona,

California, and Texas are carried forward from October.

Tangelos: Florida’s 2001-02 tangelo forecast is unchanged at 2.30 million boxes (104,000 tons). This would be

10 percent more than last season’s utilized production. Fruit size and loss from droppage are above average,

similar to the October 1 forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 26 NASS, USDA

Tangerines: The 2001-02 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 421,000 tons, down 6 percent from the October 1

forecast but 14 percent higher than last season’s utilization of 369,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine crop is reduced to

6.40 million boxes (304,000 tons), down 9 percent from the previous forecast but 14 percent higher than last

season. Dry weather in addition to above normal temperatures have been detrimental to crop condition. Average

fruit size in the early variety tangerines was near the 10-season average in September, but is now next to the

smallest as of the end of November. Loss from droppage has increased from what was expected in October. The

later season Honey tangerines are expected to be larger on average than in any of the previous 10 seasons. 

However, loss from droppage accelerated with the continued above average temperatures. Arizona and California

forecasts are carried forward from the October forecast.

Temples: Florida’s 2001-02 Temple forecast is 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons), unchanged from October. If

realized, it will be 12 percent higher than the 1.25 million boxes (56,000 tons) recorded last season but 28 percent

less than the 1999-2000 season. The very small size fruit has grown as expected and loss from droppage remains

slightly above average.

K-Early Citrus: The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast for 2001-02 is 30,000 boxes (1,350 tons), down 20,000 boxes

from the October forecast and 10,000 boxes fewer than last season. If realized, this will be the smallest crop of

record.

Florida Citrus: Most of Florida’s citrus belt during November was unseasonably warm and drier than normal. 

Most areas reported below average rainfall except in a few coastal counties. By the end of the month, there was

widespread irrigation in all areas. New growth has been limited to a few young tree groves in the southern part of

the State. The warm temperatures and sunny days have helped to mature the early and midseason fruit. Picking

crews were very active during early November moving fruit into the packinghouses for the Thanksgiving markets. 

By the end of the month, all of the processing plants were open and taking both field run fruit and packinghouse

eliminations. Caretakers have been very busy cutting cover crops prior to harvesting and for fire protection. 

Growers continue to remove and burn dead trees.

California Citrus: The navel orange harvest was slowed due to excessive moisture. Satsuma tangerines were

harvested. Lemon picking was active. Pummelo and Oro Blanco grapefruit were harvested in the San Joaquin

Valley.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Pruning, cultivating, and spraying continued in orchards and vineyards. 

Some older variety trees and vines were removed in preparation for planting replacements. Picking of grapes for

fresh market was delayed in the San Joaquin Valley due to rain. Plastic covering was used to protect vines still

bearing fruit. Pomegranate and persimmon harvesting continued. Pink Lady apples were also harvested.

Pecans: The December 1 forecast for 2001 pecan utilized production is 318 million pounds (in-shell basis), down

10 percent from the October 1 forecast but 52 percent above last year’s crop. Excellent early season growing

conditions in some locations combined with the alternate bearing cycle have contributed to a sharply larger crop

size. However, dry conditions in many pecan producing States during summer caused early nut drop, and

increased disease and insect problems. Low prices are limiting the harvest, reducing utilized production. 

Improved varieties are expected to make up 238 million pounds or three quarters of the total, while the Native and

seedling varieties make up the difference. 

The Georgia forecast, at 95.0 million pounds, is 10 percent below the October 1 forecast but 19 percent above last

year’s crop. Most of the increase is related to the alternate bearing cycle. Early, above normal rainfall had most

producers anticipating one of the best crops in years. However, dry conditions during August and September

dampened the prospect. The Texas production forecast is 70.0 million pounds, 7 percent below the previous

forecast but more than twice last year’s production. New Mexico’s forecast, at 60.0 million pounds, is

unchanged from the October forecast but up 71 percent from last year. Good to excellent growing conditions

have continued into late fall. Trees continue to hold many nuts despite some late November winds. 

Arizona forecasts a 21.0 million pound pecan crop, unchanged from October but 45 percent above last year. 

Harvest is delayed due to the mild weather experienced in late fall. Oklahoma’s forecast of 15.0 million pounds is

50 percent below the October forecast but 6 times the production of last year. Widespread dry conditions during

late summer and fall combined with low prices contributed to this significant reduction to utilized production. 

The Louisiana forecast of 16.0 million pounds is reduced 30 percent from the October forecast and down

11 percent from 2000. A large crop was anticipated due to above normal soil moisture. However, low prices

could keep many growers from harvesting their native pecans. Alabama pecan production, at 15.0 million

pounds, remains unchanged from both the previous forecast and crop year 2000.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed for 2001 is forecast at 35.9 million tons, 1 percent below

the record high of 36.1 million tons set last year and 1 percent below the November 1 forecast. Sugarcane
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 27 NASS, USDA

growers intend to harvest 1.03 million acres for sugar and seed during the 2001 crop year, slightly more than last

year’s harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 34.9 tons per acre, 0.3 ton below 2000.

Louisiana growers expect to harvest 495,000 acres for sugar and seed, down 1 percent from last year’s record

acreage. This is Louisiana’s first year-to-year acreage reduction since 1996. In Florida, acres for harvest are

expected to increase 4 percent from last year’s level. If realized, Florida’s harvested acreage would exceed the

previous record high of 460,000 acres set in 1999. 

Nearly ideal weather aided harvest in Florida. Rain halted harvest in Louisiana near the end of the month, but

progress exceeded last year and the average.

Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 7.60 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 2001-02 season,

down 13 percent from the previous crop year. Harvested acreage is estimated at 6,300 acres, down 7 percent from

the 2000-01 season. Some areas of Kona have higher than normal rainfall while other areas remain dry. The

rainfall was inconsistent in that heavy showers were followed by long periods of dry weather. Heavy pruning also

occurred in response to recent bumper harvests. The recent slump in global coffee prices has severely impacted

the Hawaii coffee trade, including some closures and sales of coffee companies in Hawaii. Overall, the weather,

heavy pruning, and low prices have resulted in a smaller crop and a shorter harvesting period.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 28 NASS, USDA

Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective Yield Surveys were conducted between November 25 and December 1 to gather

information on expected yields as of December 1. The Objective Yield Surveys for cotton were conducted in producing

States that usually account for approximately 75 percent of the U.S. production. At crop maturity, the fruit is harvested and

weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting

loss. 

The Objective Yield Survey for oranges for the December 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about

75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were

determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current

forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October,

January, April, and July.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield estimates for cotton and State level objective yield

estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. For cotton,

reports from cotton ginners in each State were also considered. For oranges, reports from growers and packers in Arizona,

California, and Texas were used for setting estimates. The December 1 orange production forecasts for these three States

are carried forward from October. Each cotton State Statistical Office and Florida, for oranges, submit their analyses of the

current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare

the published December 1 forecast. 

Revision Policy: The December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. For cotton, a new estimate will be made in

January followed by end-of-season revisions in May. Administrative records are reviewed and revisions are made, if data

relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made, if there is strong

evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate.

For oranges, the December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each month throughout

the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in September’s Citrus Fruits Summary. The production

estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders,

shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square

Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the December 1 production

forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage

deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean

Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the

final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing

recent years. 

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 cotton production forecast is 1.7 percent. This means that chances are

two out of three that the current cotton production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than

1.7 percent. Chances are nine out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.0 percent. The

"Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 orange production forecast is 12.4 percent. However, if you exclude the six

freeze seasons, the “Root Mean Square Error” is 4.5 percent. This means that chances are two out of three that the current

orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 12.4 percent or 4.5 percent, excluding

freeze seasons. Chances are nine out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 21.5 percent or

7.9 percent, excluding freeze seasons. 

Changes between the December 1 cotton forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged

206,000 bales, ranging from 26,000 to 479,000 bales. The December 1 forecast for cotton has been below the final estimate

10 times and above 10 times. Changes between the December 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past

20 years have averaged 692,000 tons (345,000 tons, excluding freezes), ranging from 4,000 tons to 2.39 million tons

(4,000 tons to 752,000 tons, excluding freezes). The December 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate

7 times and above 13 times (below 7 times and above 7 times, excluding freeze seasons). The difference does not imply that

the December 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

December 2001 29 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Rhonda Brandt - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234

Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops,

Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Nuts, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Fresh Vegetables, Mushrooms (202) 720-3250

Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries,

Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288

Jim Smith - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Peas (202) 720-2127

Darin Jantzi - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Betty Johnston - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on January 11, 2002.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of

race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or

family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative

means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA’s

TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or

TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:

INTERNET ACCESS

All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and

go to the NASS Home Page at: http:/www.usda.gov/nass/. Select “Today’s Reports” or Publications and then Reports by Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject.

E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION

There are two options for subscribing via e-mail. All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge

direct to your e-mail address. 1) Starting with the NASS Home Page at http:/www.usda.gov/nass/, click on

Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail

delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. 2) If you do NOT

have Internet access, send an e-mail message to: usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu. In the body of the

message type the word: list.

AUTOFAX ACCESS

NASSFax service is available for some reports from your fax machine. Please call 202-720-2000, using the

handset attached to your fax. Respond to the voice prompts. Document 0411 is a list of available reports.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS

CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada)

Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900

(Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services,

contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:

nass@nass.usda.gov.