Cr Pr 2-2 (9-06)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released September 12, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 1 Percent from August Forecast

Soybean Production Up 6 Percent

Cotton Production Down Slightly

Corn production is forecast at 11.1 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month and fractionally above 2005. 

Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 154.7 bushels per acre, up 2.5 bushels from

August and 6.8 bushels from last year. If realized, yield and production would be the second largest on record,

behind 2004. Forecast yields are higher than August across the northern Great Plains and western Corn Belt as

moderate to heavy precipitation during the month improved soil moisture levels and crop conditions. Expected

yields across the eastern Corn Belt are unchanged from last month. Farmers expect to harvest 71.8 million acres of

corn for grain, down 250,000 acres from August and down 4 percent from 2005.

Soybean production is forecast at 3.09 billion bushels, up 6 percent from the August forecast and up slightly from

the 2005 crop. If realized, this would be the second highest production on record. Based on September 1

conditions, yields are expected to average 41.8 bushels per acre, up 2.2 bushels from August but down 1.5 bushels

from last year’s record high yield. Compared with last month, yields are forecast higher across the Corn Belt and

most of the northern and central Great Plains. Near or above normal moisture in those areas during August

improved crop conditions. In contrast, yields are down or unchanged from the August 1 forecast across the Gulf

Coast States and Atlantic Coast States, with the exception of South Carolina.

All Cotton production is forecast at 20.3 million 480-pound bales, down slightly from last month and down

15 percent from last year’s record high production. Yield is expected to average 762 pounds per acre, down 

3 pounds from last month and down 69 pounds from last year. The September harvested area is expected to total

12.8 million acres, virtually unchanged from last month but down 7 percent from last year. Lower production

forecasts from last month in the Southeast and California were partially offset by higher production in the

Southwest and Texas.

California navel orange production for the 2006-07 season is forecast at 33.0 million boxes (1.24 million tons),

down 27 percent from last season’s revised production of 45.5 million boxes (1.71 million tons). This initial

forecast is based on an objective measurement survey conducted in the California Central Valley between July 24

and August 18. This year’s long and wet spring has contributed to the lowest fruit set since the 2001-02 season. 

Fruit sizes are generally small but are reported to have begun increasing in the last month.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on September 12, 2006.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Charles F. Conner

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Carol C. House
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Grains & Hay

Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

 Plant Populations Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

 Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25

Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Oilseeds

Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

 Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Hazelnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Walnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Citrus Fruits 

Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31

Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 4 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

200

230

110

950

154

230

11,950

5,770

12,500

3,450

1,180

330

400

2,020

6,850

365

2,970

8,250

62

55

460

700

1,200

3,250

250

960

285

3,950

595

1,850

360

80

2,900

241

75,107

210

165

100

840

155

240

11,450

5,350

12,400

3,150

1,110

290

400

1,940

6,800

285

2,650

7,950

62

50

450

660

1,510

3,050

260

940

270

3,600

540

1,450

370

70

2,800

274

71,841

119.0

131.0

172.0

148.0

143.0

129.0

143.0

154.0

173.0

135.0

132.0

136.0

135.0

143.0

174.0

129.0

111.0

154.0

122.0

175.0

124.0

120.0

129.0

143.0

115.0

122.0

116.0

119.0

130.0

114.0

118.0

205.0

148.0

147.3

147.9

55.0

128.0

175.0

154.0

145.0

102.0

172.0

167.0

173.0

125.0

150.0

130.0

142.0

147.0

160.0

100.0

136.0

153.0

122.0

180.0

122.0

130.0

102.0

160.0

110.0

135.0

99.0

100.0

120.0

108.0

130.0

210.0

149.0

146.4

152.2

60.0

134.0

175.0

152.0

145.0

104.0

174.0

167.0

174.0

125.0

152.0

131.0

142.0

151.0

164.0

100.0

142.0

157.0

133.0

180.0

120.0

135.0

105.0

160.0

105.0

135.0

106.0

105.0

120.0

116.0

125.0

210.0

151.0

147.0

154.7

23,800

30,130

18,920

140,600

22,022

29,670

1,708,850

888,580

2,162,500

465,750

155,760

44,880

54,000

288,860

1,191,900

47,085

329,670

1,270,500

7,564

9,625

57,040

84,000

154,800

464,750

28,750

117,120

33,060

470,050

77,350

210,900

42,480

16,400

429,200

35,506

11,112,072

12,600

22,110

17,500

127,680

22,475

24,960

1,992,300

893,450

2,157,600

393,750

168,720

37,990

56,800

292,940

1,115,200

28,500

376,300

1,248,150

8,246

9,000

54,000

89,100

158,550

488,000

27,300

126,900

28,620

378,000

64,800

168,200

46,250

14,700

422,800

40,275

11,113,766

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop

Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 5 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

 Sts 1

US

62

110

83

2,600

88

130

250

97

240

85

1,850

141

5,736

56

120

87

2,300

78

125

300

85

230

110

1,700

126

5,317

80.0

31.0

92.0

75.0

99.0

76.0

87.0

45.0

52.0

52.0

60.0

72.9

68.7

82.0

30.0

109.0

57.0

96.0

86.0

73.0

35.0

43.0

40.0

48.0

68.8

55.8

84.0

32.0

107.0

60.0

96.0

83.0

80.0

35.0

40.0

40.0

48.0

69.4

57.3

4,960

3,410

7,636

195,000

8,712

9,880

21,750

4,365

12,480

4,420

111,000

10,280

393,893

4,704

3,840

9,309

138,000

7,488

10,375

24,000

2,975

9,200

4,400

81,600

8,744

304,635

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, KY, MS, NC, PA, SC, and TN. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop

Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 6 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Planted and Harvested by Class, State, and

United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006 1

Class

and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2004 2005 2006 2 2004 2005 2006 2

Long Grain

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,405.0

7.0

525.0

235.0

195.0

220.0

2,587.0

1,540.0

9.0

520.0

265.0

215.0

202.0

2,751.0

1,300.0

7.0

340.0

190.0

215.0

149.0

2,201.0

1,400.0

7.0

520.0

234.0

194.0

216.0

2,571.0

1,533.0

9.0

515.0

263.0

213.0

201.0

2,734.0

1,295.0

7.0

335.0

189.0

213.0

148.0

2,187.0

Medium Grain

AR

CA

LA

MO

TX

US

155.0

540.0

13.0

1.0

2.0

711.0

102.0

465.0

10.0

1.0

0.0

578.0

105.0

465.0

10.0

1.0

1.0

582.0

154.0

535.0

13.0

1.0

2.0

705.0

101.0

463.0

10.0

1.0

0.0

575.0

104.0

462.0

10.0

1.0

1.0

578.0

Short Grain

AR

CA

US

1.0

48.0

49.0

1.0

54.0

55.0

1.0

57.0

58.0

1.0

48.0

49.0

1.0

54.0

55.0

1.0

57.0

58.0

All

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,561.0

595.0

538.0

235.0

196.0

222.0

3,347.0

1,643.0

528.0

530.0

265.0

216.0

202.0

3,384.0

1,406.0

529.0

350.0

190.0

216.0

150.0

2,841.0

1,555.0

590.0

533.0

234.0

195.0

218.0

3,325.0

1,635.0

526.0

525.0

263.0

214.0

201.0

3,364.0

1,400.0

526.0

345.0

189.0

214.0

149.0

2,823.0

 1 Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain. 2 Updated from “Acreage” released June 30, 2006.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 7 NASS, USDA

Rice: Yield and Production by Class, State, and

United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006 1

Class

and

State

Yield Production

2004 2005

2006

2004 2005 2006 2

Aug 1 Sep 1

Long Grain

Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

6,980

7,300

5,400

6,900

6,800

6,850

6,630

6,650

7,100

5,900

6,400

6,600

6,800

6,493

97,720

511

28,080

16,146

13,192

14,796

170,445

101,945

639

30,385

16,832

14,058

13,668

177,527 143,645

Medium Grain

AR

CA

LA

MO

TX

US

7,000

8,800

5,000

6,900

5,500

8,325

6,720

7,550

5,980

6,600

0

7,375

10,780

47,080

650

69

110

58,689

6,787

34,957

598

66

0

42,408 45,960

Short Grain

AR

CA

US

6,000

6,600

6,588

6,000

6,000

6,000

60

3,168

3,228

60

3,240

3,300 3,648

All

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

6,980

8,600

5,390

6,900

6,800

6,840

6,988

6,650

7,380

5,900

6,400

6,600

6,800

6,636

6,700

7,700

5,850

6,800

6,900

7,000

6,813

6,720

7,700

5,750

6,900

6,900

7,400

6,846

108,560

50,759

28,730

16,146

13,261

14,906

232,362

108,792

38,836

30,983

16,832

14,124

13,668

223,235

94,080

40,502

19,838

13,041

14,766

11,026

193,253

 1 Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain. 2 Indicated September 1, 2006, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted

as data become available through the growing season. State estimates by class will be published in the “Crop Production 2006

Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 8 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

145

3,000

182

175

9,450

5,380

10,050

2,850

1,250

850

470

1,990

6,800

1,590

4,960

4,660

91

188

1,460

2,900

4,480

305

420

420

3,850

1,100

230

510

1,580

25

71,361

150

3,100

178

150

10,050

5,680

10,050

3,000

1,380

780

440

1,980

7,200

1,770

5,150

4,800

92

188

1,390

3,700

4,380

250

450

435

3,750

1,090

200

510

1,620

22

73,935

33.0

34.0

26.0

26.0

47.0

49.0

53.0

37.0

43.0

34.0

34.0

39.0

45.0

37.0

37.0

50.5

28.0

42.0

27.0

37.0

45.0

26.0

41.0

20.5

36.0

38.0

26.0

30.0

44.0

34.0

43.3

18.0

35.0

38.0

25.0

45.0

49.0

45.0

31.0

45.0

33.0

41.0

40.0

37.0

29.0

37.0

45.0

33.0

42.0

30.0

27.0

45.0

23.0

42.0

24.0

29.0

36.0

20.0

33.0

41.0

35.4

39.6

17.0

36.0

28.0

24.0

48.0

50.0

49.0

31.0

46.0

32.0

33.0

40.0

40.0

26.0

41.0

50.0

31.0

42.0

30.0

29.0

46.0

18.0

40.0

26.0

34.0

38.0

20.0

28.0

42.0

35.4

41.8

4,785

102,000

4,732

4,550

444,150

263,620

532,650

105,450

53,750

28,900

15,980

77,610

306,000

58,830

183,520

235,330

2,548

7,896

39,420

107,300

201,600

7,930

17,220

8,610

138,600

41,800

5,980

15,300

69,520

851

3,086,432

2,550

111,600

4,984

3,600

482,400

284,000

492,450

93,000

63,480

24,960

14,520

79,200

288,000

46,020

211,150

240,000

2,852

7,896

41,700

107,300

201,480

4,500

18,000

11,310

127,500

41,420

4,000

14,280

68,040

778

3,092,970

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 9 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield and Production by State and

United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2004 2005 2006 1 2004 2005 2006 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

FL

GA

MS 2

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

200.0

145.0

620.0

17.0

105.0

35.0

35.0

240.0

33.0

1,430.0

225.0

160.0

755.0

15.0

19.0

97.0

35.0

63.0

265.0

23.0

1,657.0

160.0

130.0

580.0

16.0

16.0

85.0

23.0

60.0

155.0

17.0

1,242.0

199.0

130.0

610.0

17.0

105.0

33.0

33.0

235.0

32.0

1,394.0

223.0

152.0

750.0

14.0

19.0

96.0

33.0

60.0

260.0

22.0

1,629.0

158.0

120.0

575.0

15.0

16.0

85.0

22.0

56.0

150.0

16.0

1,213.0

State

Yield Production

2004 2005

2006

2004 2005 2006

Aug 1 Sep 1

Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

MS 2

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

2,800

2,800

2,980

3,500

3,500

3,100

3,400

3,420

3,250

3,076

2,750

2,700

2,870

3,200

3,300

3,000

3,200

2,800

3,500

3,000

2,960

1,900

2,300

2,500

3,000

3,400

3,300

3,000

3,100

3,500

3,100

2,645

1,900

2,300

2,500

3,000

3,500

3,300

2,800

3,100

3,500

2,950

2,640

557,200

364,000

1,817,800

59,500

367,500

102,300

112,200

803,700

104,000

4,288,200

613,250

410,400

2,152,500

44,800

62,700

288,000

105,600

168,000

910,000

66,000

4,821,250

300,200

276,000

1,437,500

45,000

56,000

280,500

61,600

173,600

525,000

47,200

3,202,600

 1 Updated from “Crop Production” released August 11, 2006. 2 Estimates began in 2005.

Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State,

and United States, 2005-2006

State Upland Amer-Pima All

2005 2006 1 2005 2006 1 2005 2006 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

550.0

230.0

1,050.0

430.0

86.0

1,220.0

74.0

610.0

1,210.0

440.0

56.0

815.0

255.0

266.0

640.0

5,950.0

93.0

13,975.0

575.0

210.0

1,170.0

285.0

105.0

1,400.0

115.0

630.0

1,220.0

505.0

50.0

870.0

315.0

300.0

700.0

6,400.0

105.0

14,955.0

4.1

230.0

11.5

24.8

270.4

7.0

275.0

13.0

31.0

326.0

550.0

234.1

1,050.0

660.0

86.0

1,220.0

74.0

610.0

1,210.0

440.0

67.5

815.0

255.0

266.0

640.0

5,974.8

93.0

14,245.4

575.0

217.0

1,170.0

560.0

105.0

1,400.0

115.0

630.0

1,220.0

505.0

63.0

870.0

315.0

300.0

700.0

6,431.0

105.0

15,281.0

 1 Updated from the June 2006 “Acreage” report.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 10 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

545.0

229.0

1,040.0

428.0

85.0

1,210.0

66.0

600.0

1,200.0

438.0

51.0

810.0

240.0

265.0

635.0

5,600.0

92.0

13,534.0

4.1

229.0

11.5

24.0

268.6

545.0

233.1

1,040.0

657.0

85.0

1,210.0

66.0

600.0

1,200.0

438.0

62.5

810.0

240.0

265.0

635.0

5,624.0

92.0

13,802.6

535.0

208.0

1,160.0

283.0

104.0

1,330.0

110.0

620.0

1,210.0

500.0

50.0

865.0

220.0

298.0

695.0

4,200.0

104.0

12,492.0

7.0

274.0

13.0

30.0

324.0

535.0

215.0

1,160.0

557.0

104.0

1,330.0

110.0

620.0

1,210.0

500.0

63.0

865.0

220.0

298.0

695.0

4,230.0

104.0

12,816.0

747

1,289

1,016

1,194

762

849

638

878

859

947

1,016

852

716

743

848

723

955

825

820

1,170

918

870

1,127

747

1,281

1,016

1,186

762

849

638

878

859

947

998

852

716

743

848

724

955

831

430

1,321

1,032

1,294

531

632

581

886

840

1,030

950

867

571

660

863

583

892

751

891

1,317

886

1,267

1,287

430

1,308

1,032

1,305

531

632

581

886

840

1,030

937

867

571

660

863

587

892

765

449

1,338

1,034

1,272

462

614

567

890

793

1,032

1,008

832

415

693

863

617

738

750

891

1,270

997

960

1,222

449

1,324

1,034

1,271

462

614

567

890

793

1,032

1,006

832

415

693

863

620

738

762

848.0

615.0

2,202.0

1,065.0

135.0

2,140.0

87.7

1,098.0

2,147.0

864.0

108.0

1,437.0

358.0

410.0

1,122.0

8,440.0

183.0

23,259.7

7.0

558.0

22.0

43.5

630.5

848.0

622.0

2,202.0

1,623.0

135.0

2,140.0

87.7

1,098.0

2,147.0

864.0

130.0

1,437.0

358.0

410.0

1,122.0

8,483.5

183.0

23,890.2

500.0

580.0

2,500.0

750.0

100.0

1,700.0

130.0

1,150.0

2,000.0

1,075.0

105.0

1,500.0

190.0

430.0

1,250.0

5,400.0

160.0

19,520.0

13.0

725.0

27.0

60.0

825.0

500.0

593.0

2,500.0

1,475.0

100.0

1,700.0

130.0

1,150.0

2,000.0

1,075.0

132.0

1,500.0

190.0

430.0

1,250.0

5,460.0

160.0

20,345.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-lb. net weight bale.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 11 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2004-2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

State

Production

2004 2005 2006 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 8,198.1 8,172.1 7,149.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT 1

FL

GA

IN 2

KY

MD 2

MA 1

MO 1

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV 3

WI 2

US

2,450

2,500

16,000

79,700

1,190

1,350

126,000

3,400

5,000

20,000

22,950

17,140

400

298,080

2,400

1,100

18,000

83,000

1,200

1,600

154,000

3,100

7,900

22,000

20,000

19,850

334,150

1,656

2,200

1,735

2,186

1,570

2,075

2,213

1,980

2,140

2,100

2,251

2,354

1,700

2,171

1,733

2,400

1,950

2,340

1,642

2,300

2,192

2,000

2,139

2,100

2,394

2,343

2,224

3,667

9,800

46,690

8,610

235,003

1,870

1,917

3,335

350,560

10,976

8,100

63,450

65,381

67,285

1,690

3,541

881,875

4,056

5,500

27,760

174,260

1,868

2,801

278,900

6,732

10,700

42,000

51,670

40,351

680

647,278

4,160

2,640

35,100

194,250

1,970

3,680

337,600

6,200

16,900

46,200

47,880

46,518

743,098

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Estimates discontinued in 2005. 3 Estimates discontinued in 2006.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 12 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 FL

 GA

 NC

 SC

 VA

 US

Class 2, Fire-cured

 KY

 TN

 VA

 US

Class 3, Air-cured

 Light Air-cured

 Burley

 KY

 MO 1

 NC

 OH

 PA 2

 TN

 VA

 WV 3

 US

 Southern MD Belt

 PA

 Total Light Air-cured

2,500

16,000

123,000

20,000

14,000

175,500

6,000

5,500

340

11,840

70,000

1,350

3,000

3,400

2,200

17,000

2,800

400

100,150

1,500

101,650

1,100

18,000

150,000

22,000

17,000

208,100

5,300

5,600

350

11,250

73,000

1,600

4,000

3,100

5,500

14,000

2,500

103,700

1,100

104,800

2,200

1,735

2,227

2,100

2,410

2,182

3,400

3,000

2,150

3,178

2,050

2,075

1,650

1,980

2,200

2,000

2,100

1,700

2,031

2,000

2,030

2,400

1,950

2,200

2,100

2,400

2,185

3,600

3,100

2,050

3,303

2,200

2,300

1,900

2,000

2,200

2,100

2,000

2,166

2,000

2,164

5,500

27,760

273,950

42,000

33,740

382,950

20,400

16,500

731

37,631

143,500

2,801

4,950

6,732

4,840

34,000

5,880

680

203,383

3,000

206,383

2,640

35,100

330,000

46,200

40,800

454,740

19,080

17,360

718

37,158

160,600

3,680

7,600

6,200

12,100

29,400

5,000

224,580

2,200

226,780

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 13 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type

State, and United States, 2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006 (continued)

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 3, Air-cured

 Dark Air-cured

 KY

 TN

 VA 4

 US

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

 CT Valley Binder

 CT 1

 MA 1

 US

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 CT Valley Shade-grown

 CT 1

 MA 1

 US

All Cigar Types

All Tobacco

3,700

450

4,150

1,300

1,520

900

2,420

930

290

1,220

4,940

298,080

4,700

400

5,100

1,300

1,600

1,000

2,600

800

200

1,000

4,900

334,150

2,800

2,600

2,778

2,200

1,720

1,670

1,701

1,550

1,260

1,481

1,778

2,171

3,100

2,800

3,076

2,000

1,800

1,750

1,781

1,600

1,100

1,500

1,782

2,224

10,360

1,170

11,530

2,860

2,614

1,503

4,117

1,442

365

1,807

8,784

647,278

14,570

1,120

15,690

2,600

2,880

1,750

4,630

1,280

220

1,500

8,730

743,098

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Estimates began in 2005. 3 Estimates discontinued in 2006. 4 No Sun-cured tobacco was harvested in 2005 or is expected to be harvested in 2006.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 14 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2005-2006

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter 1

 CA

 FL

 Total

Spring 1

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 Hastings

 Other FL

 NC

 TX

 Total

Summer

 AL

 CA

 CO

 DE

 IL

 KS

 MD

 MO

 NJ

 TX

 VA

 Total

14.0

6.0

20.0

4.3

15.1

23.6

17.3

6.3

15.5

9.5

68.0

1.6

6.2

5.0

3.3

5.7

5.1

3.5

6.5

2.1

9.4

5.0

53.4

12.0

5.7

17.7

3.9

14.9

24.1

18.0

6.1

17.5

10.7

71.1

1.7

6.3

4.1

3.0

6.5

7.0

4.0

7.9

2.4

10.5

6.0

59.4

14.0

5.8

19.8

4.3

15.1

23.2

17.0

6.2

15.0

9.1

66.7

1.3

6.2

4.9

3.1

5.5

5.0

3.4

6.3

2.1

8.7

4.9

51.4

12.0

5.5

17.5

3.9

14.9

23.7

17.7

6.0

17.0

10.2

69.7

1.5

6.3

4.0

2.1

6.3

6.6

2.8

7.5

2.4

9.7

5.6

54.8

250

240

247

275

405

281

280

285

190

225

281

150

355

375

260

380

360

260

340

255

465

210

342

270

250

264

300

420

294

295

290

200

280

296

170

350

370

240

410

320

320

280

270

440

300

342

3,500

1,392

4,892

1,183

6,116

6,527

4,760

1,767

2,850

2,048

18,724

195

2,201

1,838

806

2,090

1,800

884

2,142

536

4,046

1,029

17,567

3,240

1,375

4,615

1,170

6,258

6,962

5,222

1,740

3,400

2,856

20,646

255

2,205

1,480

504

2,583

2,112

896

2,100

648

4,268

1,680

18,731

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 15 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2005-2006 (continued)

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Fall 2 3

 CA

 CO

 ID

 10 SW Co

 Other ID

 ME

 MA

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NV

 NM

 NY

 ND

 OH

 OR

 Malheur

 Other OR

 PA

 RI

 WA

 WI

 Total

US

7.6

58.2

325.0

21.0

304.0

57.5

2.5

43.0

46.0

10.7

19.5

5.5

4.7

20.5

92.0

3.7

37.3

3.8

33.5

11.5

0.5

154.0

68.0

967.7

1,109.1

7.8

59.9

330.0

19.0

311.0

59.0

2.9

44.0

52.0

10.5

19.5

6.5

5.0

20.6

100.0

3.3

35.0

3.0

32.0

11.0

0.5

156.0

67.0

990.5

1,138.7

7.6

58.0

323.0

21.0

302.0

56.2

2.4

42.8

43.0

10.6

19.4

5.5

4.2

20.1

82.0

3.6

37.1

3.8

33.3

11.0

0.5

154.0

68.0

949.0

1,086.9

7.8

59.7

328.0

19.0

309.0

56.0

2.8

43.5

49.0

10.4

19.2

6.5

5.0

20.1

95.0

3.1

35.0

3.0

32.0

10.8

0.5

156.0

66.0

974.4

1,116.4

435

395

366

470

359

275

260

325

410

325

425

425

420

260

250

240

594

450

610

250

210

620

410

403

390

3,306

22,910

118,288

9,870

108,418

15,455

624

13,910

17,630

3,445

8,245

2,338

1,764

5,226

20,500

864

22,023

1,710

20,313

2,750

105

95,480

27,880

382,743

423,926

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2 2005 crop revised. 3 The forecast of fall potato production will be published in the November “Crop Production.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 16 NASS, USDA

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

401.0

24.2

455.0

42.4

922.6

407.0

22.3

435.0

46.5

910.8

31.8

75.0

22.9

38.3

28.8

34.2

79.0

24.0

38.9

30.6

35.4

79.0

24.0

38.9

31.2

12,746

1,814

10,420

1,624

26,604

14,408

1,762

10,440

1,809

28,419

 1 Net tons.

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States,

2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Aug 1 Sep 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH 2

OR

WA

WY

US

44.1

34.3

167.0

152.0

460.0

49.9

45.3

243.0

9.7

1.7

35.9

1,242.9

43.0

38.3

187.0

152.0

496.0

53.5

58.2

259.0

13.1

2.0

41.5

1,343.6

38.9

24.3

27.1

21.3

20.4

22.9

20.4

18.9

32.1

40.6

22.3

22.2

35.9

23.0

26.8

21.0

22.7

26.5

20.5

23.0

27.5

35.5

22.5

23.7

36.0

23.0

27.0

21.0

23.0

27.3

22.0

24.0

28.4

35.0

22.0

24.1

1,715

833

4,526

3,238

9,384

1,143

924

4,593

311

69

801

27,537

1,548

881

5,049

3,192

11,408

1,461

1,280

6,216

372

70

913

32,390

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central

CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2 No acreage reported for 2005 and 2006.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 17 NASS, USDA

Oranges: Utilized Production by State and United States,

2004-05, 2005-06 and Forecasted September 1, 2006 1 2 3

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07

1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Early Mid &

 Navel 4

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

240

44,000

79,100

1,500

124,840

190

20,500

70,700

270

91,660

430

64,500

149,800

1,770

216,500

250

45,500

75,000

1,400

122,150

200

12,000

72,900

200

85,300

450

57,500

147,900

1,600

207,450

33,000

9

1,650

3,560

64

5,283

7

769

3,182

11

3,969

16

2,419

6,742

75

9,252

9

1,706

3,375

60

5,150

8

450

3,281

9

3,748

17

2,156

6,656

69

8,898

1,238

 1 2004-05 and 2005-06 revised. Revised grapefruit and other citrus fruit totals will be released September 21, 2006, in “Citrus Fruits

2006 Summary.” 2 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 3 Net lbs. per box: AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85. 4 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of

tangerines in TX.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2005-2006

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested 2005 2006

2005 2006 2005 2006

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Jul

Aug

2,585

2,350

1,755

2,160

1,570

1,435

1,510

1,335

2,745

2,360

1,810

2,105

 1 Utilized fresh production.

Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop, State,

and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted September 1, 2006

Crop and State

Utilized Production

2004 2005 2006

Tons Tons Tons

Hazelnuts

 OR

Walnuts

 CA

37,500

325,000

27,600

355,000

41,000

350,000
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 18 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

3,875.0

81,759.0

4,246.0

565.0

3,384.0

1,433.0

6,454.0

57,229.0

40,433.0

2,760.0

14,036.0

1,159.0

983.0

49.0

1,657.0

2.4

165.0

72,142.0

2,709.0

14,245.4

13,975.0

270.4

1,299.8

42.5

1,665.0

808.0

450.0

1,109.1

20.0

68.0

53.4

967.7

91.0

3,496.0

79,366.0

4,312.0

575.0

2,841.0

1,378.0

6,282.0

57,873.0

41,393.0

1,885.0

14,595.0

1,018.0

718.0

42.5

1,242.0

1.8

221.0

74,930.0

1,900.0

15,281.0

14,955.0

326.0

1,362.8

41.0

1,607.3

895.0

420.0

1,138.7

17.7

71.1

59.4

990.5

96.0

3,269.0

75,107.0

5,920.0

61,649.0

22,389.0

39,260.0

1,823.0

515.0

3,364.0

279.0

5,736.0

311.0

50,119.0

33,794.0

2,716.0

13,609.0

1,114.0

955.0

44.6

1,629.0

2.0

160.0

71,361.0

2,610.0

13,802.6

13,534.0

268.6

1,242.9

922.6

298.1

24.5

1,568.6

765.9

439.0

6.1

0.1

29.5

76.0

1,086.9

19.8

66.7

51.4

949.0

17.7

88.4

0.4

2,990.0

71,841.0

62,697.0

22,407.0

40,290.0

1,907.0

2,823.0

259.0

5,317.0

47,084.0

31,108.0

1,822.0

14,154.0

974.7

704.0

40.5

1,213.0

1.6

212.0

73,935.0

1,797.0

12,816.0

12,492.0

324.0

1,343.6

910.8

334.2

24.5

1,519.0

856.6

402.0

0.1

28.9

1,116.4

17.5

69.7

54.8

974.4

93.4

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2006 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Acreage is not estimated. 4 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 19 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

“

Tons

“

“

“

Bu

“

Cwt

Bu

“

Tons

Bu

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Bu

Lbs

“

“

“

Bu

Lbs

Bales

“

“

Tons

“

Lbs

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

“

“

“

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

Cwt

Lbs

64.8

147.9

18.0

2.44

3.38

1.91

63.0

26.3

6,636

27.0

68.7

13.6

42.0

44.4

37.2

37.1

1,419

20.6

787

2,960

1,500

1,203

43.3

1,540

831

825

1,127

22.2

28.8

2,171

1,253

1,744

1,828

1,176

1,340

42,500

1,796

92

390

247

281

342

403

109

178

61.2

154.7

2.27

3.18

1.77

56.3

6,846

57.3

38.3

41.2

30.0

32.7

2,640

41.8

762

750

1,222

24.1

31.2

2,224

1,534

43,000

1,965

264

296

342

211,896

11,112,072

106,311

150,590

75,771

74,819

114,878

13,545

223,235

7,537

393,893

4,218

2,104,690

1,499,129

101,105

504,456

1,580,985

8,172.1

19,695

35,114

4,821,250

3,000

192,545

3,086,432

4,018,355

23,890.2

23,259.7

630.5

27,537

26,604

647,278

307

27,350

14,003

5,163

755

8,200

5,100

52,914.5

6,980

423,926

4,892

18,724

17,567

382,743

1,933

15,730

4,300

182,972

11,113,766

142,326

71,205

71,121

107,423

193,253

304,635

1,801,355

1,283,134

54,710

463,511

7,149.0

3,202,600

3,092,970

20,345.0

19,520.0

825.0

32,390

28,419

743,098

23,301

4,300

56,836.4

4,615

20,646

18,731

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2006 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 20 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Production

2004 2005 2006

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Tons

“

“

“

“

“

1,000 Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

“

Lbs

Tons

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

Gals

2,165

798

12,872

45

417

63

10,440.6

101.1

16,500.0

6,240.0

107.5

35,800.0

1,307.1

878.3

49.0

25.0

1,005,000

37.5

185,800

325.0

1,507

1,008

813

9,252

70

331

29

9,864.9

81.7

20,900.0

7,828.7

142.0

32,900.0

1,184.6

825.3

90.0

9.1

915,000

27.6

280,200

355.0

1,242

1,232

866

8,898

63

432

32

9,619.7

44.5

6,717.0

50.0

1,053.8

835.3

145.0

24.0

1,050,000

41.0

350.0

1,449

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2 Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. 3 Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be released on September 21, 2006 in “Citrus Fruits 2006

Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 21 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 4

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 5

1,568,170

33,087,050

1,718,310

228,650

1,369,470

579,920

2,611,870

23,160,000

16,362,830

1,116,940

5,680,230

469,040

397,810

19,830

670,570

970

66,770

29,195,150

1,096,310

5,764,970

5,655,540

109,430

526,020

17,200

673,810

326,990

182,110

448,840

8,090

27,520

21,610

391,620

36,830

1,414,800

32,118,630

1,745,020

232,700

1,149,720

557,660

2,542,260

23,420,620

16,751,330

762,840

5,906,450

411,970

290,570

17,200

502,620

730

89,440

30,323,420

768,910

6,184,070

6,052,140

131,930

551,510

16,590

650,460

362,200

169,970

460,820

7,160

28,770

24,040

400,850

38,850

1,322,930

30,395,050

2,395,760

24,948,730

9,060,600

15,888,130

737,750

208,420

1,361,380

112,910

2,321,300

125,860

20,282,660

13,676,090

1,099,140

5,507,430

450,820

386,480

18,050

659,240

810

64,750

28,879,080

1,056,240

5,585,770

5,477,070

108,700

502,990

373,370

120,630

9,910

634,800

309,950

177,660

2,470

50

11,920

30,760

439,860

8,010

26,990

20,800

384,050

7,160

35,770

150

1,210,020

29,073,330

25,372,850

9,067,890

16,304,960

771,740

1,142,440

104,810

2,151,740

19,054,420

12,589,100

737,350

5,727,980

394,450

284,900

16,390

490,890

650

85,790

29,920,760

727,230

5,186,510

5,055,390

131,120

543,740

368,590

135,230

9,910

614,720

346,660

162,690

40

11,710

451,800

7,080

28,210

22,180

394,330

37,800

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2006 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Acreage is not estimated. 5 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 22 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.49

9.29

40.26

5.48

7.59

4.27

2.26

1.47

7.44

1.70

4.31

30.40

2.82

2.98

2.50

2.49

1.59

1.29

0.88

3.32

1.68

1.35

2.91

1.73

0.93

0.92

1.26

49.67

64.64

2.43

1.40

1.95

2.05

1.32

1.51

47.64

2.01

0.10

43.72

27.69

31.46

38.31

45.20

0.12

19.94

3.29

9.71

5.09

7.12

3.96

2.02

7.67

3.60

2.57

2.77

2.02

2.20

2.96

2.81

0.85

0.84

1.37

54.04

69.95

2.49

1.72

48.20

2.20

29.56

33.20

38.31

4,613,490

282,259,630

96,443,720

136,612,950

68,738,290

67,874,660

1,667,450

307,200

10,125,770

191,450

10,005,340

3,826,510

57,280,270

40,799,610

2,751,630

13,729,040

717,120

7,413,600

500,280

15,930

2,186,880

1,360

87,340

83,998,910

1,822,700

5,201,480

5,064,200

137,280

24,981,150

24,134,740

293,600

13,930

1,240,580

635,170

234,190

34,250

3,720

2,310

24,000

3,170

19,228,960

221,900

849,310

796,830

17,360,930

880

713,500

1,950

3,983,750

282,302,660

129,115,980

64,596,090

64,519,890

1,559,240

8,765,810

7,738,090

49,024,850

34,921,180

1,488,960

12,614,700

6,485,460

1,452,680

84,176,850

4,429,600

4,249,980

179,620

29,383,710

25,781,280

337,060

1,056,920

1,950

25,780

209,330

936,490

849,620

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2006 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 23 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2004 2005 2006

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

1,964,050

723,930

11,677,280

40,820

378,300

57,150

4,735,780

91,740

7,480

5,660,860

97,520

16,240

1,185,790

796,740

44,450

22,680

455,860

34,020

84,280

294,840

7,530

914,440

737,540

8,393,270

63,500

300,280

26,310

4,474,640

74,070

9,480

7,102,080

128,820

14,920

1,074,610

748,720

81,650

8,260

415,040

25,040

127,100

322,050

6,210

1,117,650

785,620

8,072,130

57,150

391,900

29,030

4,363,420

40,370

6,093,560

45,360

955,990

757,780

131,540

21,770

476,270

37,190

317,510

7,240

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2 Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. 3 Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be released on September 21, 2006 in “Citrus Fruits 2006

Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 24 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States

during 2006. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to

obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey.

Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre,

Selected States, 2002-2006

State Month 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

SD 2

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

26,400

26,350

26,350

26,350

25,350

25,350

25,300

25,300

26,850

26,700

26,700

26,700

26,950

26,850

26,800

26,800

23,250

23,250

23,350

23,350

26,400

26,450

26,450

26,450

19,450

19,450

19,650

19,650

24,850

24,450

24,400

24,400

26,550

26,400

26,650

26,650

27,150

27,050

27,050

27,050

26,050

25,900

25,900

25,900

27,400

27,250

27,250

27,250

28,700

28,800

28,800

28,800

23,800

23,700

23,700

23,700

26,900

26,700

26,650

26,650

19,800

19,800

19,800

19,800

25,900

25,900

25,900

25,900

27,300

27,000

27,100

27,100

27,750

27,750

27,700

27,700

26,650

26,500

26,500

26,500

28,000

27,950

27,850

27,850

22,000

21,900

21,900

21,900

29,300

29,200

29,250

29,300

24,350

24,350

24,350

24,350

24,100

24,100

24,050

24,050

26,900

26,900

26,900

26,900

19,700

19,750

19,750

19,700

26,950

26,550

26,650

26,650

21,800

21,800

21,850

21,850

27,700

27,550

27,550

27,550

28,000

28,050

28,000

28,000

25,300

25,200

25,200

25,200

28,050

27,950

28,000

28,000

21,600

21,500

21,400

21,400

28,400

28,300

28,400

28,450

24,100

24,050

24,050

24,050

23,900

23,700

23,700

23,700

26,700

26,650

26,650

26,650

20,400

20,000

20,000

20,000

25,650

25,600

25,600

25,600

23,450

23,650

23,700

23,700

27,400

27,100

27,050

27,050

28,050

26,450

28,600

21,800

28,850

24,350

24,750

27,400

20,650

26,250

23,900

27,250

 1 Field counts began in 2004. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 25 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,

Selected States, 2002-2006

State Month 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

SD 2

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

25,050

25,050

25,000

25,000

23,900

23,650

23,650

23,650

25,950

25,800

25,800

25,800

26,550

26,150

26,100

26,100

21,650

21,250

21,200

21,200

25,800

25,700

25,650

25,650

16,700

15,950

15,950

15,950

23,700

22,400

22,350

22,350

25,950

25,050

25,250

25,250

26,700

26,700

26,650

26,650

25,350

25,400

25,350

25,350

26,700

26,550

26,600

26,600

28,300

28,650

28,600

28,600

22,950

22,650

22,600

22,600

26,550

26,350

26,300

26,300

18,300

17,850

17,800

17,800

25,500

25,700

25,750

25,750

26,150

26,300

26,250

26,250

27,350

27,400

27,400

27,400

26,200

25,950

26,050

26,050

27,350

27,550

27,500

27,500

22,100

22,150

22,150

22,150

29,000

29,250

29,150

29,200

24,400

24,250

24,250

24,250

23,650

24,000

24,050

24,050

26,550

26,700

26,650

26,650

19,100

19,800

20,000

20,000

25,950

26,000

26,000

26,050

21,950

22,700

22,700

22,700

25,600

27,150

26,800

26,800

26,950

26,850

26,850

26,850

24,850

24,600

24,650

24,650

27,150

27,100

27,100

27,100

21,100

21,000

20,900

20,900

28,000

27,900

28,050

28,050

22,550

22,600

22,600

22,600

23,250

22,800

22,800

22,800

26,250

25,900

25,900

25,900

19,550

18,950

18,900

18,900

24,800

24,700

24,650

24,650

23,150

23,100

23,050

23,050

26,550

26,350

26,350

26,350

27,600

25,850

27,350

20,850

28,050

23,850

23,850

26,750

19,400

25,200

22,050

26,750

 1 Field counts began in 2004. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 26 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing States

during 2006. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain

specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,

Selected States, 2002-2006

State Month 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number Number Number Number Number

AR 1 2

IL

IN

IA

KS 3

MN

MO

NE

ND 3

OH

SD 3

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

1,952

1,785

1,795

1,802

1,773

1,677

1,680

1,680

1,988

1,828

1,867

1,867

1,688

1,785

1,739

1,715

1,427

1,609

1,681

1,705

1,548

1,517

1,587

1,592

1,593

1,495

1,499

1,492

1,800

1,606

1,634

1,634

1,786

1,692

1,582

1,582

1,749

1,629

1,647

1,647

1,582

1,417

1,440

1,440

1,144

1,455

1,547

1,523

1,727

1,642

1,636

1,636

1,791

1,898

1,764

1,752

2,446

2,483

2,511

2,070

1,923

1,943

1,947

1,909

1,866

1,917

1,917

1,772

1,731

1,737

1,741

1,482

1,588

1,639

1,636

1,487

1,406

1,446

1,435

1,798

1,943

1,998

2,038

1,835

1,836

1,895

1,895

1,114

1,148

1,243

1,242

1,808

1,873

1,840

1,837

1,248

1,332

1,302

1,308

1,796

1,823

1,824

1,973

1,820

1,858

1,858

1,855

1,790

1,899

1,899

1,969

1,935

1,968

1,970

1,490

1,431

1,547

1,546

1,684

1,598

1,640

1,640

1,458

1,585

1,679

1,652

1,862

1,903

1,920

1,920

1,526

1,471

1,496

1,496

2,040

1,890

1,974

1,981

1,634

1,617

1,605

1,556

2,035

1,927

1,846

1,564

1,612

1,631

1,740

1,169

1,857

1,318

 1 September data not available due to plant immaturity. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3 Field counts began in 2004.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 27 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States

during 2006. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain

specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2002-2006 1

State Month 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

840

763

784

772

772

945

1,041

1,009

1,011

1,011

569

604

591

600

600

663

756

749

742

742

802

783

768

767

767

636

629

560

567

567

536

511

520

497

497

798

755

744

744

744

973

945

893

893

893

559

646

643

665

665

681

778

775

775

775

837

824

811

808

808

628

630

632

632

632

465

431

429

435

435

864

771

753

754

754

954

952

945

948

948

646

690

686

687

687

635

707

691

691

691

808

789

780

780

780

758

719

732

733

733

639

672

593

624

624

811

728

733

733

733

993

926

1,002

1,011

1,011

667

689

767

767

767

746

768

775

775

775

818

729

724

722

722

799

693

721

721

721

620

516

586

585

585

859

911

648

760

700

637

530

 1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened

bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 28 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 29 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 30 NASS, USDA

August Weather Summary

August rains arrived too late to help many summer crops across the Plains and South. On the Plains, excluding

Montana, late-summer showers began to revive drought-stressed pastures and conditioned soils in preparation for

winter wheat planting. Showers were not as widespread across the South, at least until Tropical Storm Ernesto’s

arrival in southern Florida on August 29-30. Elsewhere in the middle and southern Atlantic States, a long period

without significant rain ended with Ernesto, which made a second U.S. landfall along the North Carolina coast near

Cape Fear on August 31, just minutes before the month ended. Meanwhile in the Midwest, temperatures and soil

moisture levels remained mostly favorable for corn and soybean development. Significant August rains were

especially beneficial for soybeans in the western Corn Belt, which had experienced unfavorable dryness earlier in

the summer. Farther west, record-setting monsoon showers in the Four Corners States contrasted with hot, mostly

dry conditions elsewhere west of the Rockies. Southwestern showers caused flash flooding but eased drought,

reduced irrigation demands, and curbed the wildfire threat; Northwestern dryness hampered wildfire containment

efforts but promoted fieldwork and small grain maturation.

August was another hot month, especially from the southeastern Plains to the middle and southern Atlantic States. 

Monthly temperatures averaged 4 to 6 degrees F above normal across the southeastern Plains but were near to

slightly below normal in New England and much of the West.

August Agricultural Summary

Temperatures were mostly below normal across the western third of the Nation, while above-normal temperatures

prevailed from the Great Plains eastward. Conditions were dry along the Pacific Coast, causing the condition of

cotton and rice in California to decline. Above-normal precipitation in the Great Plains allowed crop conditions to

improve in most areas. Crop conditions also improved across the central Corn Belt with near-normal precipitation

levels. The weather was mostly dry across the Ohio River Valley and central and southern Atlantic Coast States

through most of the month, but heavy rainfall from tropical storm Ernesto at the end of the month boosted

precipitation to near or above normal for the month.

The Nation’s corn continued to develop ahead of normal during the month. On August 6, ninety-seven percent of

the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, the same as last year but 5 percentage points ahead of normal. 

Doughing also progressed ahead of normal, reaching 97 percent by month’s end, compared with 96 percent last year

and 92 percent for the 5-year average. Progress through the dough stage was at or ahead of normal in all States. 

Meanwhile, denting was underway in all States by mid-month and had advanced to 81 percent by September 3, four

points ahead of last year and 14 points ahead of normal. Acreage denting was at or ahead of the normal pace in all

States, but was furthest ahead in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Twenty percent of the crop was

at or beyond maturity by month’s end, 1 point ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Maturation was underway

in all States but was most advanced in North Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas, at 84, 77, and 72 percent,

respectively. Condition of the crop improved during the month, particularly in the Corn Belt. On September 3,

fifty-nine percent of the crop was rated good or excellent, compared with 51 percent last year.

Sorghum heading progressed ahead of normal through the month, reaching 94 percent by month’s end, 1 point

behind last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Acreage in the heading stage or beyond was at or ahead of normal in

all States, except New Mexico, where below-normal temperatures limited development. Coloring also progressed

ahead of normal, until the final week of August, when coloring slipped behind normal in Kansas due to excessive

rainfall. On September 3, sixty-two percent of the crop had turned color, 2 points ahead of last year but the same as

the 5-year average. With the exception of Kansas, all States were at or ahead of their normal coloring pace. 

Meanwhile, 31 percent of the crop was mature or beyond by month’s end, 7 points ahead of last year and 1 point

ahead of normal. Maturation was underway in all States but trailed behind normal in Kansas, Louisiana, and

Oklahoma. By September 3, growers had harvested 24 percent of their acreage, compared with 19 percent last year

and 22 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was well underway in Texas and the Delta but producers in other

States had harvested 5 percent or less of their acres.

The oat harvest continued to progress rapidly. By August 20, ninety-six percent of the crop had been reaped,

5 points ahead of last year and 12 points ahead of normal. Progress met or exceeded the normal pace in all States

and harvest was complete or nearly complete except in North Dakota.

Barley growers harvested their acreage well ahead of normal, exceeding the 5-year average pace by as much as

22 points early in the month. By month’s end, 93 percent of the crop had been harvested, 6 points ahead of last year

and 10 points ahead of normal. Progress was well ahead of normal in Minnesota and North Dakota. The Pacific

Northwest trailed behind normal early in the month as maturation was delayed due to late planting of the crop. By

month’s end, maturation caught up to normal in Idaho, and growers surpassed the normal harvest pace. However,

Washington growers remained slightly behind normal.

Harvest of the 2006 winter wheat crop progressed ahead of normal. By mid-month, 97 percent of the acreage had

been reaped, 1 point ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of normal. Harvest was complete in all areas, except the

Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains. Only Oregon producers trailed behind the normal harvest pace.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 31 NASS, USDA

Harvest of the spring wheat crop, like that of the other small grains, progressed ahead of normal. By month’s end,

growers had reaped 97 percent of their acreage, compared with 88 percent last year and 80 percent for the 5-year

average. Harvest was complete in Minnesota and South Dakota and progress was ahead of normal in all States

except Washington, where crop development and maturation were late due to the persistent rainfall that delayed

planting early in the season.

Rice acreage at or beyond the heading stage progressed ahead of normal early in the month but slipped to normal

after mid-month. On August 27, ninety-six percent of the acreage had reached the heading stage, the same as last

year and the 5-year average. Heading progress was at or ahead of normal in the Delta but trailed behind the normal

pace in California and Texas. Meanwhile, harvest progress was slightly behind normal early in the month but

accelerated to slightly ahead of normal by month’s end. On September 3, growers had harvested 26 percent of their

acreage, 4 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of normal. Harvest was most advanced in Texas and

Louisiana, at 92 and 79 percent complete, respectively. Elsewhere, however, less than 20 percent of the acreage had

been harvested, and harvest had not yet begun in California.

The Nation’s soybean crop continued to progress ahead of normal during the month. At mid-month, 97 percent of

the acreage was at or beyond the blooming stage, the same as last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Blooming was

ahead of normal in most States and trailed behind normal only in Kentucky. Similarly, acreage setting pods or

beyond had advanced to 96 percent by August 27, compared with 97 percent last year and 94 percent for the 5-year

average. Progress was ahead of normal in all States, except Indiana and North Carolina. By month’s end,

13 percent of the acreage had entered the leaf-dropping stage, the same as last year but 1 point ahead of normal. 

Though behind the normal pace in most areas of the Corn Belt and Great Plains, progress was 25 points or more

ahead of normal in Louisiana, Mississippi, and North Dakota. Condition of the crop improved during the month in

most States, declining only in Kansas and Missouri. On September 3, fifty-nine percent of the crop was rated as

good or excellent, compared with 54 percent last year.

Peanut pegging remained behind the normal pace. On August 20, ninety-six percent of the acreage was at or

beyond the pegging stage. This was 2 points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. Though

progress was at or near the normal pace in most States, pegging was slightly behind normal in Florida and over

3 weeks behind normal in Alabama, where dry conditions hampered development.

The cotton crop developed ahead of normal during August. On August 20, ninety-six percent of the acreage was

setting bolls or beyond, 5 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. Progress was at or ahead of

normal in all States, except Alabama, which trailed 2 weeks behind normal due to dry conditions. By month’s end,

42 percent of the acreage had open bolls, compared with 29 percent last year and 35 percent for the 5-year average. 

Progress through the stage was behind normal in several States but well ahead of normal in the Delta. Eighty-three

percent of Louisiana’s crop and 88 percent of Mississippi’s crop had open bolls, 25 and 33 points ahead of normal,

respectively.

Corn for Grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 71.8 million acres, down

250,000 acres from August and down 4 percent from 2005. Area harvested for grain was reduced by 250,000 acres

in South Dakota where hot, dry conditions during the growing season caused producers to either abandon acreage or

harvest additional acreage for silage.

The September 1 corn objective yield data indicates the highest stalk count and the second highest ear count on

record, behind 2004, for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota,

Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). The indicated number of ears per acre is higher than last

year in all objective yield States, except Kansas and South Dakota. In Illinois, the indicated ear count is the highest

on record.

As of September 3, fifty-nine percent of the crop was rated in good to excellent condition in the 18 major corn

producing States, up 3 percentage points from last month and 8 points above a year ago. Moderate to heavy

precipitation across the northern and central Great Plains and western Corn Belt during the month improved soil

moisture levels and crop conditions. Mostly dry conditions across the eastern Corn Belt and middle Atlantic States

caused crop conditions to decline from last month. Compared to last year, crop conditions were generally better in

the eastern Corn Belt and Ohio Valley and worse in the western Corn Belt and Great Plains.

Ninety-seven percent of the acreage was at or beyond the dough stage on September 3, compared with 96 percent

last year and 92 percent for the 5-year average. Doughing progress was at or ahead of the normal pace in all States. 

Acreage in the dent stage advanced to 81 percent, 4 percentage points ahead of last year and 14 points ahead of

normal. Denting was farthest ahead in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, with Michigan leading the

normal pace by 33 points, Minnesota by 31 points, and North Dakota by 27 points.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 305 million bushels, 3 percent above last month but down 23 percent from last

year. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1956. Based on September 1 conditions, the sorghum

yield forecast is 57.3 bushels per acre, up 1.5 bushels from August but down 11.4 bushels from last year. The yield

in Kansas, the largest producing State, is expected to be 60.0 bushels, up 3.0 bushels from last month but down
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 32 NASS, USDA

15.0 bushels from 2005. Texas, the second largest sorghum producing State, expects a yield of 48.0 bushels per

acre, unchanged from last month but down 12.0 bushels from last year. Area for harvest as grain is forecast at

5.32 million acres, unchanged from August but 7 percent below last year. 

As of September 3, ninety-four percent of the sorghum crop was at or beyond the heading stage, compared with

95 percent last year and the 5-year average of 92 percent. The crop’s maturity had also progressed to 31 percent,

compared with the normal pace of 30 percent. Sorghum condition was rated as 30 percent good to excellent, down

from 47 percent at the same time last year. Yield forecasts were at or above last month’s level in all of the major

sorghum producing States, except for Illinois, Missouri, and Oklahoma. Varied amounts of rainfall were reported in

States in the central and southern Great Plains throughout the month of August. However, the yield potential for

these States with the exception of Colorado continues to be down from last year due to hot and dry weather during

much of the growing season. In Kansas, light and scattered rains occurred throughout most of August with the

primary growing area receiving moderate to heavy amounts of rain during the third week of the month. Crop

progress in the State was behind the normal pace the first part of the month but advanced ahead of the normal pace

the last half of the month due to hot weather. Producers in Nebraska are expecting yields to be 7 bushels higher

than last month mostly due to above normal rainfall during August and minimum disease and insect pressure

throughout the growing season. Harvesting in Texas was 63 percent complete by September 3 with most progress

occurring in the irrigated areas of the High Plains and along the Coastal Bend.

Rice: Production is forecast at 193 million cwt, down 2 percent from the August forecast and down 13 percent

from last year. Based on administrative data, planted area was revised to 2.84 million acres, down 2 percent from

the June estimate and down 16 percent from 2005. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.82 million acres, down

2 percent from last month and down 16 percent from 2005. As of September 1, the U.S. yield is forecast at

6,846 pounds per acre, up 33 pounds per acre from last month and up 210 pounds from last year. Record high

yields are expected in Missouri and Texas.

As of September 3, the rice harvest in Louisiana and Texas was 79 percent and 92 percent complete, respectively. 

Louisiana equaled their 5-year average while Texas exceeded the 5-year average by 7 percentage points. Arkansas,

Mississippi, and Missouri are at or slightly ahead of their respective 5-year averages. In California, heading and

maturation continued to lag behind normal due to the early Spring planting delays. As a result, harvest was not yet

underway.

Soybeans: Area for harvest is forecast at 73.9 million acres, unchanged from August but up 4 percent from last

year. The September 1 objective yield data for the combined 7 major soybean producing States (Illinois, Indiana,

Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio) indicate only slightly lower pod counts from last year’s record

high pod counts. Illinois and Indiana pod counts are up from last year, while in Nebraska and Iowa fewer pods are

indicated this year compared with last year’s record or near record high pod counts. As of September 3, thirteen

percent of the acreage was dropping leaves or beyond, equal to 2005 but 1 point ahead of the 5-year average. 

As of September 3, fifty-nine percent of the soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 6 percentage points above the

rating at the beginning of August and 5 points above the same week in 2005. With the exception of Kansas and

Missouri, crop conditions improved or were unchanged for the month of August in the Corn Belt, the central and

northern Great Plains, and the Delta States. The eastern part of Kansas did receive some needed rain during the

month but much of it was too late to improve the soybean crop. Drought conditions continued in Alabama,

Georgia, and Mississippi, where harvest is well underway. A record high yield is forecast in Kentucky, along with

record tying yields in Michigan and New York.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.20 billion pounds, down 34 percent from last year’s crop and down 2 percent

from last month. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1980. Planted area was revised to

1.24 million acres, down 2 percent from the August estimate and down 25 percent from last year. Based on

administrative information, Alabama, North Carolina, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas planted fewer acres than

previously estimated, while Mississippi, South Carolina, and Virginia planted more acreage. Area for harvest is

expected to total 1.21 million acres, down 2 percent from August and down 26 percent from last year. Yields are

expected to average 2,640 pounds per acre, down 5 pounds from last month and down 320 pounds from 2005.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina) is expected to total

2.23 billion pounds, down 1 percent from August and down 34 percent from last year’s level. Planted area, at

946,000 acres, is down 1 percent from last month and down 22 percent from 2005. Expected acreage for harvest, at

924,000, is down 1 percent from August and down 23 percent from 2005. Yields in the region are expected to

average 2,416 pounds per acre, 6 pounds above last month but 410 pounds below 2005. Lack of precipitation and

above normal temperatures in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia have caused crop condition to drop sharply from last

year. Peanuts in some areas of the Southeast have shown poor pod maturity, burnt pegs, and some insect damage as

a result of the hot, dry weather. As of September 3, the percent of crop rated very poor to poor was 35 percent in

Alabama, 55 percent in Florida, and 30 percent in Georgia, compared with 7 percent or less for the same time period

last year. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 33 NASS, USDA

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 328 million pounds, down 2 percent from August and down

7 percent from 2005. Planted acres, at 102,000, are down 1 percent from August and down 15 percent from 2005. 

Expected acreage for harvest, at 101,000, is down 1 percent from August and down 14 percent from last year. Yield

is forecast at 3,245 pounds per acre, down 24 pounds from last month but up 245 pounds from 2005. As of

September 3, the crop condition ratings in Virginia and North Carolina were 53 percent and 71 percent good to

excellent, respectively.

Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 643 million pounds, down

5 percent from last month and down 40 percent from 2005. Planted acres, at 194,000, are down 5 percent from

August and 39 percent below last year. The expected acreage for harvest in the region totals 188,000, down

5 percent from August and down 40 percent from 2005. Yields are expected to average 3,418 pounds per acre for

the region, down 12 pounds from August and 38 pounds below last year’s level. Despite yields in Texas that are

expected to equal last year’s record high of 3,500 pounds per acre, production would be the lowest since 1989. On

September 3, peanuts rated good to excellent in Oklahoma and Texas were 42 percent and 44 percent, respectively.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 12.5 million acres, is virtually unchanged from last month but down

8 percent from 2005. Based on administrative information, Alabama, Arkansas, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi,

Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Virginia have more acres to be harvested compared with a month ago. 

Expected harvested acreage decreased in Arizona and California from the previous month. American-Pima

harvested area, at 324,000 acres, is down 9,000 acres from last month but up 21 percent from last year.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), maturation of

the crop was ahead of normal. The crop is rated in mostly good to excellent condition except in Alabama and

Georgia where the crop is in mostly fair to poor condition. In the early part of August, beneficial rains brought

some relief to parts of Alabama, Georgia, and Florida but dry conditions continued throughout the region. During

the last week of August, Tropical Storm Ernesto made landfall along the North Carolina coast and continued into

southern Virginia bringing with it heavy rains and strong winds. Data from objective yield measurements in

Georgia show the second largest number of bolls in the past five years.

The cotton crop in the Delta States advanced ahead of normal due to the hot, dry weather during August. In

Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee, the crop is rated in good to excellent condition while in Mississippi and

Louisiana the crop is in mostly fair to good condition. In mid-August, typical summer showers and cooler

temperatures brought relief to the crop in the Northern Delta, while defoliation of the crop got underway in the

Southern Delta. By late August, harvest was underway in Mississippi and Louisiana. In Mississippi, objective

yield measurements show the second lowest bolls per acre in the last five years while in Arkansas the bolls per acre

and boll weight are the highest in the last five years.

Cotton producers in the High Plains of Texas were plagued with continual hot, dry weather in early August. 

Scattered showers and cooler temperatures toward the end of the month brought relief to the heat stressed crop. 

Harvest was in full swing in the South Texas area. The crop in Texas is rated as mostly fair to poor. Data from the

objective yield survey show Texas boll counts are down from last year but above the average of the last five years. 

In Oklahoma, the crop is developing slightly behind the 5-year average and the crop is rated in fair to poor

condition. The crop in Kansas is developing ahead of average and is rated in mostly good condition. 

California upland cotton producers faced intense summer heat causing some boll shedding. The crop is maturing

ahead of last year but virtually the same as the 5-year average. By late August, harvest was underway in the Desert

Southwest. Objective yield survey data indicates California’s boll counts are the lowest in the last five years. 

American-Pima production is forecast at 825,000 bales, down 8 percent from August but up 31 percent from last

year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,222 pounds per harvested acre, down 65 pounds from the August forecast but

up 95 pounds from 2005. California production is forecast at a record high 725,000 bales. 

Ginnings totaled 406,450 runnings bales prior to September 1, compared with 592,050 running bales ginned prior to

the same date last year and 563,300 running bales in 2004.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 743 million pounds, less than 1 percent below the August 1

forecast but up 15 percent from 2005 when the tobacco buyout decreased tobacco production significantly. 

Production is expected to be 16 percent below 2004, the last year tobacco quotas were still in place. Area for

harvest is forecast at 334,150 acres, virtually unchanged from the previous forecast but 12 percent above last year. 

Yields for 2006 are expected to average 2,224 pounds per acre, 4 pounds lower than the August forecast but

53 pounds above a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are expected to average

2,192 pounds per acre, 29 pounds less than last month and 21 pounds lower than 2005. In Kentucky, the second

leading tobacco producing State, yields are expected to average 2,340 pounds per acre, up 105 pounds from the

August forecast and 154 pounds greater than last year. Tobacco growers in Florida, Georgia, Pennsylvania, South

Carolina, and Virginia expect lower yields than a month ago while growers in Tennessee expect yields slightly

higher than a month ago. Yields in the remaining States are unchanged since the August forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 34 NASS, USDA

Flue-cured production is expected to total 455 million pounds, 2 percent below last month but up 19 percent from

2005. Growers plan to harvest 208,100 acres in 2006, unchanged from the August forecast but 19 percent above a

year ago. Yields are forecast to average 2,185 pounds per acre, 46 pounds below the last forecast but 3 pounds

greater than the previous year. In North Carolina, the leading flue-cured tobacco producing State, production is

forecast at 330 million pounds, 1 percent below the August 1 forecast but up 20 percent from last year. Growers in

North Carolina expect to harvest 150,000 acres, unchanged since last month but up 22 percent from a year ago. 

Yields in North Carolina are expected to average 2,200 pounds per acre, down 30 pounds from the August forecast

and 27 pounds below 2005. Growers in all flue-cured tobacco producing States except Virginia expect lower yields

than a month ago. Tobacco is suffering in the southern States due to the extremely dry, hot weather for most of the

season. However, heavy rains from tropical storm Ernesto had adverse affects especially in South Carolina. The

rain there caused late maturing tobacco to ripen quickly. This left some growers unable to harvest this tobacco in a

timely manner and left them struggling to make barn space to cure it.

Burley production is expected to total 225 million pounds, up 3 percent from the August forecast and 10 percent

above last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 103,700 acres, less than 1 percent below last month’s forecast but

up 4 percent from 2005. Yields are expected to average 2,166 pounds per acre, 67 pounds above the August

forecast and up 135 pounds from a year ago. In Kentucky, the largest burley producing State, production is forecast

at 161 million pounds, 5 percent above the previous forecast and up 12 percent from 2005. Area for harvest in

Kentucky is forecast at 73,000 acres, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 4 percent above last year. Growers

in Kentucky expect yields to average 2,200 pounds per acre, up 100 pounds from last month’s forecast and

150 pounds above a year ago. Moisture conditions in Kentucky have been favorable for tobacco. Growers are

expecting an excellent crop with most of the tobacco rated good to excellent. Favorable curing conditions have also

been reported.

Fire-cured production is expected to total 37.2 million pounds, up 1 percent from the August forecast but 1 percent

below last year. Growers plan to harvest 11,250 acres in 2006, down less than 1 percent from last month and

5 percent below 2005. The yield is expected to average 3,303 pounds per acre, 50 pounds above last month and up

125 pounds from 2005.

Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production in Pennsylvania is expected to total 2.20 million pounds, down

5 percent since last month’s forecast and 27 percent below last year. A total of 1,100 acres is expected to be

harvested this year, unchanged from last month but 27 percent below 2005. Average yields, at 2,000 pounds are

down 100 pounds from the August forecast but unchanged from a year ago.

Dark air-cured tobacco is expected to total 15.7 million pounds, up 7 percent from last month and 36 percent above

2005. Growers plan to harvest 5,100 acres in 2006, unchanged from the August forecast but 23 percent above last

year. The yield is expected to average 3,076 pounds per acre, 192 pounds above last month’s forecast and up

298 pounds from a year ago.

All cigar production is forecast to total 8.73 million pounds, 2 percent below the August forecast and down

1 percent from 2005. Growers of cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 4,900 acres, unchanged since last month but

1 percent below a year ago. Overall, yield is expected to average 1,782 pounds per acre, 39 pounds below the last

forecast but 4 pounds above last year.

Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 18.7 million cwt in 2006, unchanged from the

July 1 forecast but 7 percent above the 2005 final estimate. Harvested area is estimated at 54,800 acres, up

7 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 342 cwt per acre, 12 cwt above the July forecast but

unchanged from last year. 

In Texas, continuing drought conditions caused an increased use of irrigation with yields remaining unchanged from

the previous forecast. In Alabama, harvest is complete and yields came in higher than previously forecasted. Hot

temperatures and hail lowered yields in Kansas. Hot July temperatures in California have resulted in lower yields. 

In Colorado, normal conditions in July and August resulted in average yields. Dry weather early in the season

followed by late heavy rains reduced yields in New Jersey. In Delaware and Maryland, harvested acreage is down

30 percent due to flooding caused by late June storms. 

Fall Potatoes, 2005 Final: Production of 2005 fall potatoes is finalized at 383 million cwt, 7 percent below both

the 2004 and 2003 crops. Area harvested, at 949,000 acres, was 7 percent below the previous year and down

13 percent from two years ago. The average yield was 403 cwt per acre, up 2 cwt from 2004 and 27 cwt above

2003. 

When compared with the annual estimates made last January, fall production was up less than 1 percent. Larger

crops in California, Colorado, Idaho, and Montana more than offset smaller crops in Maine and Michigan.

All Potatoes, 2005: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in 2005 totaled 424 million cwt, down

7 percent from both 2004 and 2003. Area harvested is estimated at 1.09 million acres, down 7 percent from a year

earlier and 13 percent below 2003. The yield, averaging 390 cwt per acre, decreased 1 cwt from 2004 but is up
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 35 NASS, USDA

23 cwt from 2003. Winter production in 2005 increased 2 percent from 2004. Spring and summer production

decreased 17 percent and 4 percent, respectively, from a year earlier. Fall potatoes were down 7 percent from the

previous year.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2006 is forecast at 28.4 million tons, 1 percent above the

August forecast and 7 percent above 2005. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 910,800 acres for sugar and seed

during the 2006 crop year, down 1 percent from the August forecast and last year's final harvested area. Yield is

forecast at 31.2 tons per acre, 0.6 ton above the previous forecast and 2.4 tons above the 2005 yield. Due to an

increase in yield over last year’s hurricane-damaged crop, Louisiana’s production is up slightly, despite a

20,000-acre reduction in harvested area. Both acreage and yield are expected to increase in Florida, where

hurricanes also took their toll last year, for a 13-percent increase in production.

Sugarbeets: Production for 2006 is forecast at 32.4 million tons, 2 percent above the August forecast and

18 percent above last year's production. Growers in the 11 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest

1.34 million acres, down fractionally from last month but 8 percent above last year. The yield is forecast at

24.1 tons per acre, up 0.4 ton from August and 1.9 tons above 2005. Production forecasts are up from last year for

all States, except California and Michigan. The largest increases are in the Red River Valley, where Minnesota and

North Dakota growers expect to produce 22 and 35 percent more than in 2005, respectively.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.11 million pounds for August, up 16 percent from last

month but down 11 percent from a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,160 acres, up 23 percent from last month but

down 8 percent from August 2005. Harvested area totaled 1,335 acres, down 12 percent from August and 7 percent

lower than the same month last year. Favorable weather conditions encouraged flowering and fruit set in mature

orchards while younger orchards continued to make good progress. Additional plantings were made in the Puna

District of Hawaii Island.

Florida Citrus: High temperatures reached the low to mid 90s on several days in all citrus producing areas. Trees

were showing stress due to the hot, dry weather during the first half of the month but most citrus areas received

much needed rain during the last half. The appearance of many groves improved and fruit quality was enhanced. 

Despite the rainfall during the last half of the month, most citrus producing counties have received below average

rainfall amounts for the year.

Fruit sizes continue to be variable, with early and midseason oranges reported as large as baseballs while grapefruit

are as large as softballs. Many smaller sizes are also being found on healthy trees. Scouting for canker and

greening by growers, owners, and caretakers continues. Activity in the groves included applications of summer

oils, cleaning ditches, fertilizing, mowing, irrigation, and the planting of available resets.

California Citrus: Valencia orange harvest progressed at a slow pace throughout the month of August. Some

groves continued to be irrigated and treated for weeds and insects. Temperatures have moderated to the point that

citrus fruit drop is no longer a concern to most growers. Lemon packing continued and new navel orange groves

were planted.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: California stone fruit were harvested during August. Among the varieties

harvested during the month were: Summer Lady, August Flame, September Flame, O’ Henry, Snow King, Summer

Zee, and Trazee peaches; Yummy, October Sun, Sugarosa, Wickson, and Sierra Rose plums; Prima Diamond,

Summer Fire, August Fire, and August Pearl nectarines; and Flavor Grenade, Dinosaur Egg, and Dapple Fire pluots. 

Pomegranates continued to size and show color. Fig harvest continued at a slow pace. Red Globe, Black Seedless,

Black Corinth, Autumn Royal, Zante Currents, and Thompson Seedless table grapes were being harvested in San

Joaquin Valley districts. Thompson Seedless grapes were being harvested for juice in Fresno County. Routine

cultural practices for table grapes continued with thinning and training of canes to trellises, cultivation, irrigation,

and the application of pesticides. Pear harvest continued in some areas throughout the month. At mid-month,

strawberries were in various stages of pre-plant fumigation, irrigation, and fertilization in Tulare County. 

Blackberry harvest was winding down at the beginning of the month. Almond and pistachio nuts continued to size

with hull splitting occurring in many almond orchards. By month’s end, early variety walnuts had experienced

some limb damage due to a large nut set. Cultural practices in nut orchards included irrigation, pesticide

application, mowing, and cultivation.

Hazelnuts: Production in Oregon is forecast at 41,000 tons, 49 percent above last year’s crop of 27,600 tons and up

9 percent from 2004. The 2004 hazelnut crop deviated from the biennial bearing pattern of the previous 12 years

with a reduction in production of just 1 percent from the previous year. When the 2005 crop was down 26 percent,

it marked a reset of the historical alternate year bearing cycle. With the current forecast, 2006 will be an “up” year.

The September forecast is based on the hazelnut objective yield survey released August 22, 2006. The survey, this

year, found an average of 380 nuts picked per tree compared to 271 in 2005. This is the highest average since

574 nuts picked per tree in 2001. The percentage of good nuts analyzed in the laboratory, at 85.2 percent, is

5.7 percentage points higher than last year. The average dry weight per good nut sampled was 2.96 grams
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 36 NASS, USDA

compared to 3.34 grams last year. Lighter nuts are to be expected with the larger crop. Bad nuts due to brown stain

totaled 0.3 percent of all nuts sampled this year, which is lower than last year, but higher than 2004 and 2003.

Walnuts: California production is forecast at 350,000 tons, down 1 percent from last year’s record high production

of 355,000 tons. Bearing acreage remains the same as in 2005. The September forecast is based on the walnut

objective measurement survey conducted August 1 through August 24, 2006.

Survey data indicate average nut set of 1,458 per tree, down 7 percent from last year’s average of 1,575 nuts. Of the

varieties with the largest planted acreage, Hartley nut set was up 9 percent from 2005; Chandler was down

22 percent; Serr was down 18 percent; and Franquette was up 58 percent. The percentage of sound kernels in-shell

was 98.0 percent Statewide, compared to 97.5 percent last year. In-shell weight per nut was 22.7 grams, while the

average in-shell suture measurement was 31.4 millimeters. The average length in-shell is 39.5 millimeters. These

compare with last year’s measurements of 20.0 grams in-shell weight per nut, 31.7 millimeters average in-shell

suture measurement, and 38.6 millimeters average length in-shell.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 37 NASS, USDA

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between August 24 and

September 7 to gather information on expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for corn,

cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the

U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission

to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the objective yield survey (corn, cotton, and soybeans). 

The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of

plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or

pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological

yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop

maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another

plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal

interviewer. Approximately 14,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about

probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of

average yields.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather

patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each Field Office submits an analysis

of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published September 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the

marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and

ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant

changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production

report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for

cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and

oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the

October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or

administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is

strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean

Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain production forecast is 5.4 percent. This means that chances are 2

out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.4 percent. 

Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 9.3 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the September 1

forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the

final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 339 million bushels, ranging from 10 million bushels to

891 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 13 times and above 7 times. This

does not imply that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 38 NASS, USDA

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn For Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

5.4

7.7

3.8

5.4

6.6

9.3

13.3

6.5

9.3

11.5

339

32

5

117

944

10

1

0

19

84

891

115

16

288

2,366

13

9

14

11

12

7

11

6

9

8

 1 Quantity is in thousands of bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 2006 39 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information.

Jeff Geuder, Chief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5944

Scott Cox - Wheat, Rye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-8068

Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed ....................................... (202) 720-9526

Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice ................................................ (202) 720-7688

Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7369

Travis Thorson - Hay, Oats, Sorghum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 690-3234

Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops ............................... (202) 720-7621

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco .......................... (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2157

Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5412

Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4215

Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils,

Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

Wrinkled Seed Peas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-3250

Jim Smith - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

Plums, Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Kim Ritchie - Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (360) 902-1940

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4285
ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

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ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.

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provider and employer.
USDA Data Users’ Meeting

October 16, 2006

Doubletree Chicago O’Hare Airport - Rosemont

Chicago, Illinois

(847) 292-9100

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The

purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs

and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the

Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and

World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be

included in the meeting.

For registration details or additional information for the Data Users’ Meeting, see the NASS homepage at

www.nass.usda.gov/forum/ or contact Amy Jenkins (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at 

amy_jenkins@nass.usda.gov.

This Data Users’ Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on

October 17, 2006. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to

discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim

Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.