SURGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED

STATE Seeeeenennnennecnnnnn eevesee
: 3 IND 2 IND INO
: 1979 = 1980 1981 1979 = 1980 = 1981 3 1980 3 1981
: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
: 28 34 45 37.0 33.0 35.0 1,036 1,122 1,575
: 25 26 22 71.0 75.0 80.0 1,775 1,950 1,760
: 176 203 290 62.0 29,0 62,0 19,912 5,687
: 140 152 135 75,0 73.0 73.0 10,500 11,096
2 340 350 390 38,0 35.0 30,0 12,920 12,250
: 49 82 130 39,0 24,0 28.0 1,911 1,968
: 70 62 80 68.0 59.0 67.0 4,760 3,658
: wt B ree 50.0 52.0 45.0 550 416
t 19 gy 19 74,0 70.0 78.0 1,406 1,330
: 3,570 3,640 3,700 69.0 43.0 65.0 246,330 156,520
z 29 26 27 68.0 50.0 61,9 1,972 1,300
2 18 14 75 38,0 34,0 36.0 664 476
: 33 38 50 44,0 35.0 43.0 1,452 1,330
: 720 900 970 82,0 48.0 83.0 59,040 43,200
3 1,920 2,030 2,950 79,0 60.0 79,0 151,680 121,800
z 258 257 260 52.0 40,0 50.0 13,416 10/289
3 75 62 75 50.0 36.0 50.0 3,750 2,232
3 515 480 500 45.0 34,0 38.0 23,175 16,320 19,000

wt 75,0 $0.0 525 250
3 18 41.0 22.0 32.6 574 330 576
t 410 45.0 33.0 43.0 15,525 10,725 17,630
z 65 51.0 42,0 54.0 1,479 1,470 3,510
3 54,0 46.0 54.0 243,000 181,700 232,200
z 43.0 46.0 490 506
3 4 1 808,862 833,476

‘
1
1
’

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 19817 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
APPLES, COMMERCIAL ..ccseecceeccesceescterseeseecsteseeesetecesennens B-21
BARLEY ....seeeeees . B- 5
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE . B-15
CORN FOR GRAIN ... B- 2
COTTON .... B-11
FLAXSEED -

GRAPES ....
HAY, ALL scsscveccsccsevscceece secees
ALFALFA & ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY .
HAY, ALL OTHER .....ssceecesceene
HOPS ..ceeeeeees
MINT OIL ..

OATS ....
OLIVES ......00.
PAPAYAS-HAWAII .....eeeeceeeee
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION ......
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS .
PEACHES ....sccccccceccccctccneceeeee
PEANUTS FOR NUTS .
PEARS ..sceseeeeee
PEAS, ORY EDIBLE .
PLANTED ACREAGE ..
POTATOES, SUMMER .
PRUNES & PLUMS ...
RICE wo ceeeeeeee
RYE ...
SORGHUM FOR GRAI
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

va
NYN

verrrrnrad
Re =NmoNM

SUGARBEETS ..cscsceeececees -
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED ... -
SWEETPOTATOES .........- oe

TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE ...
TOBACCO, BY STATES .......

US SUMMARY .
WALNUTS .....066
WHEAT, BY CLASSES
WHEAT, ALL .....
WHEAT, DURUM ......
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING .
WHEAT, WINTER voc. cccceeceeccecceccceeeeeeseaeeeseteeeesseeueneeeeeee

1 ?
rer ee eer

OWYrWDBDDBD OD DDOTDBDDMVDUSDWBDOBDBDVBBDTOOD
a 1
iS]

NOBADNWOND OO OWODDONH“NWAINADGON SED BWNHWO

[eRe Boc Boa]
trre

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-24 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

1980 3

STATE 3 AVERAGE ¢
t 1970079

1980

1981

3% STATE 3 AVERAGE

1970=79

'
t
3

3
:

PERCENT
78 68 68 t 79
74 6s 68 ' 80
73 39 a9 : 7
T2 90 64 : 73
m4 74 76 : 79
7S 74 85 t 80
Te 67 62 ' To
84 78 m1 $ 83
7 ss s7 t 73
82 97 86 = 62
76 68 92 : 8a
83 76 89 : 79
5 68 86 : 74
5 as 87 z 75
86 73 92 : 81
“79 so 80 t 67
81 62 90 + 74
78 66 80 : 75
74 76 85 3 81
7 88 78 z 79
7 Ss? 85 : 85
81 10 a) 7 sm
68 28 94 : 64
60 63 90 z
76 52 69 : 76

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER # POOR TO FAIR 65=79% VERY POOR,
OROUGHT, 35=497 EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35,

PRUNES AND PLUMS

1981

PERCENT
95 62
86 93
56 m4
se 5
8e a5
17 79
29 64
91 87
ay 74
93 92
7 86
70 89
53 65
aa 64
60 89
35 61
86 77
81 91
69 89
mn 90
89 89
ma 82
v4 69
60 62

S0"64; SEVERE

: PROOUCTION
STATE femnecnceennnnnnenncecewnnnncnereeensneennceceneees
: TOTAL 3 TOTAL
: 1979 H 1980
t TONS
IOAHO 74500 8,000
MICH 14,000 12,500
ORES 26,000 33,000
WASH 14,700 23,100
TOTAL 62,200 76,600

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981

B-20

7,000 POUNDS

IND

5,900

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco for 1981 is forecast at 1.97 billion pounds (891 thousand

metric tons), up 10 percent from the 1980 crop. Burley accounts for most of the
increase. Yield of all tobacco is expected to reach 2051 pounds per acre compared with 1943
pounds in 1980.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 1.10 billion pounds (498 thousand metric tons),
up percent from the 1.09 billion pounds (493 thousand metric tons) produced in 1980. The
indicated yield of 2064 pounds compares with last year's yield of 1968 pounds.

Prospects improved in North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia and Georgia. Markets are
open in all states. Quality is much better than in 1980 and prices so far are at a record high.

Burley production is set at 711 million pounds (322 thousand metric tons), 27 percent larger
than Tast year's crop of 558 million pounds (253 thousand metric tons). If realized, this would
be the largest crop produced since 1963. Yield per acre is up 170 pounds from 1980. All States
show an increase in production except Indiana. North Carolina and Kentucky reported blue mold
in nearly the entire growing area but damage has been minimal. Ohio's crop continues to suffer
from wet weather.

Fire-cured output is expected to total 40.4 million pounds (18.3 thousand metric tons).
This represents an 11 percent increase over 1980. Acreage is up 4 percent and yield up 118
pounds per acre from last year.

Southern Maryland tobacco production is forecast at 39.9 million pounds (18.1 thousand
metric tons), up 52 percent from the revised 1980 production of 26.2 million pounds (11.9

thousand metric tons). The 1980 and 1981 estimates include Type 32 tobacco grown in North
Carolina and Virginia; 1981 estimates include South Carolina, also. Yield is forecast at 1169
pounds per acre.

Dark air-cured growers expect to harvest 17.7 million pounds (8040 metric tons), 7 percent
above 1980. The 6 percent increase in acreage accounts for most of the increase in production.

All cigar-type production is forecast at 59.2 million pounds (26.9 thousand metric tons), 1
percent. below Yast year. Cigar-filler production is up 4 percent, binder down 4 percent and
wrapper off 14 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 25.5 million tons (23.1 million metric

tons), 8 percent greater than the 1980 crop. The expected yield of 20.8 tons per
acre compares with 19.8 tons in 1980. Acreage for harvest at 1.22 million acres (495 thousand
hectares) is 3 percent above the 1980 harvested acreage.

California has had very favorable growing conditions and crop progress is ahead of normal
with no serious disease or insect infestations. Growers are weeding, fertilizing and irrigating
the crop.

Idaho sugarbeets have made good growth and development.

Frequent showers in North Dakota and Minnesota have benefitted most of the major sugarbeet
growing area. With adequate moisture, the outlook is good even for fields replanted after the
late spring frost.

A one to two inch rain on July 28 greatly improved yield prospects in Michigan. However,
more rain is needed in August for the crop to mature and reach expected yields.

Nebraska sugarbeets are further along than usual and yield prospects are bright although
reduced irrigation water supplies may limit growth later in the season.

Colorado growers completed thinning in mid-July. The crop is in good condition and water
supplies for irrigation have been adequate thus far.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 1981 is forecast at 28.0 million tons
(25.4 million metric tons), up 4 percent from the 27.0 million tons (24.5 million
metric tons) produced in 1980. Harvested acreage is expected to total 744 thousand acres (301
thousand hectares), 1 percent more than the 733 thousand acres (297 thousand hectares) harvested
last year. The average yield per acre is forecast at 37.7 tons compared with 36.8 tons in 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

PRODUCTION

STATE

QUSHELS

1,000 BUSHELS

ALA : 145 235 565 26,0 24,5 3,770 S758 24, 860
ARIZ : 95 60 43 78,0 804 4,290 4,800 34526
ARK 3 420 620 17650 35.0 3840 14,700 344160 = 67650
CALIF =o 755 14050 1,200 70.0 7440 75.0 52,850 77,700 90,000
coro : 2,600 3,350 3,050 26.0 32.0 27.0 67,600 107,200 62,350
OEL ost 21 a7 43 34,0 © 4060 4000 714 1,080 1,720
GA We 175 600 1,050 35.0 6,125 19,600 43,050
IDAHO 3 B50 910 900 42.0 35,700 51,670 52,200
ILL : 1,250 1,570 1,900 43,0 53,750 75,360 91,200
IND ? 94S 17100 1,350 «4740 42,415 53,900 62,100
IOWA 475 60 92 140-3740 2,220 3,496 4,180
KANS 2 10,800 12,000 12,200 38.0 410,400 420,000 305,000
xr 3 290 350 790 38.0 14,020 43,625 30,100
LA ie 26 67 275 28.0 728 1,876 127100

wv 97 137-3740 3,330 3,686

800 820 43,0 31,605 = 35,200

69 120 35.0 1,785 26346

250 600 32.0 34680 7,750

2,070 2,750 44.0 70,400 89,010

2,150 2,570 25.5 57,375 54,625

2950 3,050 34,0 66,700 112,100

12 130 70,0 770 780

43 Se 36.0 1,476 1, B49

500 S25 22.0 9,020 10,500

150 160 44,0 6,560 6,000

300 49S 56.9 T7569 10,500

70 120 22.0 2,640 41,050

14370 1,600 48,0 63,300 67,130

6,500 6,400 38,0 216,600 195,000

1,200 1,270 460 6040 ©6240 = 48 000 724000

250 270 3140 3740 3640 7,285 94250

192 380 33.0 = 3640 3440 3,300 6,912

950 1,030 19.0 a2, 25.0 10,450 20,900

350 850 34,0 © 38,0 4440 8,500 13,300

51200 6,550 30.0 25.0 28.0 138,000 130,000

2a2 240 24.0 32.0 3000 5,808 7,502

206 395 35403740 420 65300 10,562

2,759 2,900 43.0 52, 56.0 98,600 = 143,000

9 10 34,0 38,0 33.0 340 Bae

66 93 43,0 4445 44,0 1,634 3,652
295 275 22,00 28.02740 5,674 8,260 7,425

51,374 58¢525 56.9 36.6 35.3 1,601,234 1,891,251 2,064,845

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARKIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA




RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
August 1. The yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for al] crops and actual field
observations and measurements for corn, soybeans, cotton and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals
of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their locali-
ties. Objective yield surveys provided smail plot observations, counts and measurements in a
probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are
common to all surveys. More importantly, the forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect final
production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
“Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the August 1 production
forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1961-80 twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error”. Probability statements can be made concerning
expected differences in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates,
assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing
recent years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain forecast is 6.8
percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7735
million bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 6.8 percent or
approximately 526 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that
the difference will not exceed 11.8 percent or approximately 913 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between
the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between
the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 333 million
bushels, ranging from 2 million to 830 million bushels. During this 10-year period the August 1
forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 2 times.

RELIABILITY OF AUGUST ] CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR
tas FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE

: * 90% CONFIDENCE
CROP AND : : LEVEL
UNIT : PERCENT: -----------=--

FEED GRAIN 1/ 5.5 e
CORN FOR GRAIN 6.8
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 6.4
OATS 4.8
BARLEY 4.9
ALL WHEAT 1.9
WINTER 1.3
OURUM 8.1
OTHER SPRING 6.7
RICE 4.2
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 5.1
COTTON 8.7

1/_ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 AS CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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G3ANTINOD 3dAL ONY Ss¥19 AG OODvAaNL


: AREA H.
STATE tawennnnn,

$
: 1979 3 1960
z 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 @USHELS
3
MA Ast 28 30 35 43.6 42.9 43.0 4,204 1,260
ARK : 34 33 36 65.0 63.0 6
CALIF 75 70 60 55.0 62.0
COLO 173 50 33 27 53.0 51.0
GA wr 70 6S 80 54.0 53.0
IDAHO 1/¢ aa ab 46 52.0 65.0
ILL 5 260 230 215 60.0 61,0
IND z 105 90 80 61.0 65.0
Towa & 1,000 1,000 900 63.0 62.0
KANS. 3 85 120 175, 44.0
KY ass 8 6 7 G10
MAINE 17 a 42 43 62.0
MD vs 17 19 20 55.0
MICH 310 335 340 61.0
MINN 1,490 1,450 1,505 57.0
cv) 45 46 90 45.0
MONT 125 13 110 39.0
NEBR 400 370 410 53.0
nJow 7 5 5 5000
ny 290 280 280 62.0
we 9S 15 5 57.0
N OAK 840 aso 1,070 44.0
OHIO 290 290 270 7020
OKLA 95 100 105 4860
OREG 60 60 65 6740
PA 335 3a0 350 55.0
sc ow so 40 a 5640
§ DAK 1,888 1,500 1,700 50.0
TENN 17 16 12 16 4120
TEX 400 340 410 42.0
UTAH 173 15 1s 1a 60.0
vA 1s 28 20 17 4940
WASH 1/2 33 30 3L 53.0
WVA Ast 12 1 12 51.0
wis 980 963 987 57.0 58,743

2,288 2,295 2,392
526,551 457,593 $22,008

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FLAXSEED

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

3 :
1980 + 1981 ¢ 1979 1980 ¢

INO ¢
1981

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
153 125 95 14,5 12.5 14,5 20219 1,563 1,378
460 310 380 13.0 10.0 12.0 5,980 34100 4,560
265 165 14,5 13.0 13.0 3,770 3,485 26145

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP,

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

PRODUCTION

IND
1981

:
1979 3 1980

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
2,150 2,100 2,050 25,0 = 15,0 22.0 (53,750 31,500 45,100
5,150 4,350 4,350 2840 16.0 24,0 144,200 69,600 104,400
275 260 260 30.0 = 20,0 24,0 8,250 5,200 6,240
453 460 466 22.0 26.0 13,137 10,120 12,116
2,100 2,190 2,150 12,0 18,0 58,800 25,680 38,700
9,720 94250 94390 3365 3640 © 379,080 = 309,875 338,040
4,420 4,380 4,600 36,0 3640 32,0 159,120 157,680 147,200
8,170 8,270 8,150 37.5 39.0 40.0 306,375 322,530 326,000
1,560 1,450 1,560 26.5 16,5 25,0 41,340 23,925 39,000
1,660 1,600 1,700 32.5 2340 28.0 53,950 36,800 47,600
3,350 3,350 3,130 28.0 2140 26.0 93,800 70,350 61,380
405 390 360 30.0 2440 29.0 12,150 9,360 10,490
1,010 950 940 30,0 5260 30.0 30,300 «30,400 2B 200
5,080 4,760 4,430 32.0 +32,0 35,0 162,560 152,320 155,050
44100 3,850 3,700 16.0 23.0 118,900 61,600 85,100
51830 5,530 5,100 25.0 30,0 183,645 138,250 153,000
11610 1,770 2,100 30.0 35.0 54,740 53,100 73,500
203 194 168 16,0 24,0 3,492 4,032

25 19 24.0 456

1,950 1,930 1,850 18.5 22,0 35,705 40,700
206 200 220 17.5 28.0 3,500 6,160
4,060 3,760 3,500 36,0 30,0 135,360 105,000
360 300 260 10.0 21.0 3,000 5,460
968 103 100 24,5 31,0 2,524 3,100
1,660 1,600 1,580 14,0 22.0 22,400 = 34,760
685 770 770 26,0 ©2940 22,605 20,020 22,330
2,620 2,550 2,350 19.0 25.0 7 48,450 58,750
805 630 650 22.0 25.0 20/930 13,860 16,250
536 610 640 15.0 27.0 15,276 9,150 17,280
295 330 370 33.0 (34,0 10,030 10,890 42,580

70,566 67,456 66,6940

26.6 30,2 2,267,901 1,817,097 2,017,468

1/ ESTIMATE DISCONTINUED AFTER 1960 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



ALL WHEAT

3 AREA HARVESTED 3 “YIELD : PRODUCTION

STATE aan nena conten eneeneenen seer ene senneenernnenanenene: eee eweneeersweenneceneteeces
: : IND ¢ ’ IND : IND
1979 11980 ¢ 1961 1979 3 1960 1981 ¢ 1980 t 198.

3 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 4,000 BUSHELS
ALA 2 14s 235 S65 2640 24.5 44,0 3,770 5,758 24,860
ARIZ : 125 215 76.3 80.0 et.2 9,590 2177200 196564
ARK : 420 620 35,40 41,0 14,700 31,160 67,650
CALIF 800 1-150 7066 76.7 = 56,450 © 85,500 104,685
coLo 3 2,6a1 3,395 26.6 27,5 70,224 109,900 844710
DEL l/s ai a7 34.0 40,0 734 1,080 1.720
GA ost 175 600 3540 41.0 6,125 19,800 43,050
TOAHG t 17470 1,550 50.4 61.4 74,180 96,030 89,385
Tok z 1,250 1,570 43.0 48,0 53,750 += 75,360 = 98, 200
IND 3 945 14100 47.0 46,0 44,415 53,900 62 $00
TOWA 1/ 60 92 37.0 38.0 2,220 3,496 4,160
KANS 3 107800 12,000 38.0 25,0 410,490 420,000 305,000
ky 3 2390 350 38.0 43.0 = 41,020 33,825 30,100
tA at 26 67 28,0 44,0 7268 1,876 = 12,100
mo If t 90 7 37,0 40,0 3,330 3,686
MICH 735 400 43.0 47,0 31,605 35,200
MINN 3 2,578 3,169 35e1 37.0 90,384 + 102,556
MISS 1/3 11s 250 32,0 38,0 3,680 7,750 22,800
MO 3 1-600 24070 44.0 41,0 70,800 89,010 112,750
MONT ot 5,185 Se200 22.7 2%5 226,475 129,800 171,230
NEBR z 2,550 2,950 34,0 34,0 86,700 122,100 = 103,700
Nev 1st aq 29 5962 56.7 1,420 1,800
NO oss a 43 36.0 42.0 1,476 1,649
N MEX J/ ao S00 22,0 20.0 9,020 10,500
Ny We 160 150 41.0 43.0 6,560 6,000
Ne 1s? 210 300 3600 35.0 7,569 19,500
NOOAK ot 94600 97620 2643 28.8 252,235 179,650
OHTO 3 19320 16370 46,0 ©4940 43.0 63,360 = 67,130
OKLA 3 5,700 69500 38.0 © 5060 = 27,0 © 216,600 195,000
ORES + 1,245 1,350 96.0 57.3 59,9 57,310 77,400
PA : 235 280 31.0 37,0 36,0 7,285 9,250
se l/s 100 192 33.0 36.0 34,0 3,300 6,932
8 OAK : 2,805 3,245 21.4 19.2 2n.5 60,060 62,425
TENN t 250 350 34,0 38. 44,0 8,500 13,300
TEX 3 4,600 5.200 30.0 2540 © 28,0 © 138,000 130,000
UTAH 1st 262 ate 26,4 32.9 31.9 7,448 8,902
vA 3 180 286 3540 3740 42.0 6,300 10,582
WASH : 2,980 3,160 39.6 © 50,7 54.9 118,000 160,220
WA T/3 10 9 34.0 38,0 33,0 300 342
wIS U/3 54 ut 4000 = 39.310 2,162 4,365
wYo qt 267 309 221 2765 26,8 6,354 8,512 7,689
us 62,454 70e8S3 80,689 34,2 53,4 34,0 24134,060 2/369,666 24767,395

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 2987 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Topacca

HARVESTED :

PRODUCTION

ACRES

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

510 1,650 1,620 825 826
3,500 3,200 1,539 1,601 4,925 5,602 4,950
2

10,300 9,400 2,250 «1,975 23,175 20,343 7090

55,000 53,000 1,905 2,010 100,965 149,550 113,950
7,300 7,400 1,950 2,300 11,895 36,790 16,650

200,900 256,600 1,976 2,075 343,145 436,962 513,043
bo 30 700 700 56 56 45

23,000 23,000 1,130 1,100 22,035 25,320

1,180 1,140 1,500 1,582 1,485 1,867

2,500 2,400 2,405 2,105 6,013 3,263

379,700 367,600 1,840 2,008 621,426 762,497

11,200 12,800 1,435 88 14,063 20,020

13,000 13,600 1,500 417,696 24,700
65,000 = 68,000 2,065 117,705 125-350
64,760 75,200 1,745 104,829 111,931
65,380 69,660 1,630 109,603 106,875
1,500 1,500 1,275 1,658 2,250
12,600 12,700 1,942 25,050 25,316

917,610 956,050 1,845

2,051 1,526,549 1,762,618

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAk CARKIED FORWARD FROM EARLLER FORECAST.
2/ 1980 REVISED.

SUGARKEETS wv

IND
1981

1,000 TONS

ARIZ 1163 12.6 217 208 301
CALIF 215.0 260.0 5,719 5,882 7,020
cote 73.0 7540 1,358 1,729 1,403
IDAHO 125.9 144,0 2,820 3,296 3,312
KANS 12.0 14.5 213 200 261
MICH 88. 98.0 1,550 1,892 1,763
MIAN 244.0 257.0 3,782 3,621 4,098
MONT 43.4 aay 629
NEBR 7244 7640 1,462
N MEX 2.0 2e1 30
N DAK 14361 145.0 2,304
OxTO 1367 14.4 266
ORES 67 1140 178
TEX 1965 25.2 332
UTAH 165 0 30
wyo z 4802 44.8 906
us FA, 11967 1418865 1,223.47 21,996

1/ RELATES TO YEAR UF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
QVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS In CALIF,

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

3
1980 2 1981 = 1979 3 1980

1980 ¢ 1981

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

FLA 339,2 340.0 31.4 31.2 10,387 10,592 10,200
HAW 104,5 10640 90,4 97859 9,946 9,779
LA 254.0 23,3 5,403 5,927 6,890
TEX 35,40 28,5 883 998 Aei2d
us 732.7 3 26,532 26,963 27, 997

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1987 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, BY STATES, 1981; UNITED STATES, 1978-81

:DRY EDIBLE
BEANS

BARLEY RICE

STATE : CORN —: SOYBEANS : SORGHUM

COTTON

1,000 ACRES

ALA : 580 2,100 75 330.0

ARIZ 2 45 25 45 635.0

ARK : 65 *4,400 330 1,600.0 *650.0

CALIF : 460 150 760 585.0 *1,500.0 *245.0
COLO : 1,020 520 315 230.0
CONN 3 57

DEL : 196 265 33

FLA 3 451 475 13.0

GA : 1,600 2,300 200 170.0

HAW :

IDAHO : 147 1,100 246.0
ILL > 11,550 9,450 110

IND : 6,250 *4,650 19

TOWA > 14,300 8,200 30

KANS : 1,630 1,600 4,450 70 35.0
KY : 1,680 1,750 4i 37

LA 2 45 3,180 *100 *665.0 *700.0

MAINE : 44

MO : 775 365 97

MASS : 46

MICH 3 3,200 950 24 640.0
MINN : 7,700 4,500 1050 110.0
MISS : 190 3,800 80 340.0 *1,280.0

MO 2 *2,100 *5,180 *1,080 77.0 *240.0

MONT : 86 1,400 12.0
NEBR 3 7,500 2,150 2,250 28 225.0
NEV 3 33 1.1

NH 3 30

NJ 3 170 170 24

N MEX : 109 306 35 147.0

NY > 1,440 *51.0
NC : 2,000 1,920 10 7 79.0

N DAK 3 850 225 2,330 370.0
OHIO z 4,100 3,550

OKLA 3 115 280 700 60 670.0

OREG 3 48 210

PA : 1,870 105 86

RI : 5

sc : 645 1,600 35 30 120.0

S DAK : 3,300 780 600 580

TENN : 805 2,450 90 *350.0

TEX 3 1,300 700 4,800 75 590.0 *7,420.0

1,000 ACRES
1978 : 81,675 64,708 16,197 9,989 2,993.0 13,375.1 1,503.9

1979 : 81,393 71,632 15,277 8,110 2,890.0 13,977.5 1,423.0
1980 > 84,106 70,087 15,894 8,283 3,363.0 16.0

* CHANGED FROM PREVIOUS ESTIMATES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Winter wheat combining in the 15 major producing States reached 86 percent by August 2, 1981.
This was 2 points less than a year earlier. Combining was complete as far north as Kansas and
nearing completion in Nebraska. Heavy rains have delayed harvest in Missouri and 19 percent of
the acreage remained to be cut at the end of July. Most producers in the Corn Belt, however,
had completed harvest by early August and were plowing in preparation for seeding the 1982 crop.
Montana harvest is later than normal with only 15% of the combined compared to the normal 25%.

U.S. ALL WHEAT PRODUCTION - 1972-81

,

DURUM WHEAT: Durum wheat production is forecast at a record high 186 million bushels (5.07
million metric tons). This forecast is 3 percent less than a month ago but 72
percent more than the 1980 crop.

BILLION BUSHELS

an

2s

INTER WET

wy  |Y

Both increased acreage and higher yields are contributing to a larger crop this year.
Growers expect to harvest 5.65 million acres (2.29 million hectares), 17 percent more than
1980. The forecast yield of 33.0 bushels per harvested acre is 10.6 bushels more than in 1980
when drought curtailed yields.

North Dakota harvest had started by August 2, but was running slightly later than normal
because of frequent showers. Early yields have been disappointing because of poorly filled
heads. Both Montana and Minnesota are expecting good crops after timely summer rains. In South
Dakota, unusually hot weather forced early ripening. Recent rains have delayed harvest and have
caused some sprouting in the windrows.

QTHER SPRING WHEAT: The August 1 production forecast for spring wheat {other than durum ) is a

record high 496 million bushels (13.5 million metric tons), 34 percent more
than last year but 6 percent less than last month's forecast. Growers expect to harvest 16.5
million acres (6,68 million hectares), 13 percent more than last year.

Yield prospects of 30.0 bushels per acre compared with 25.3 bushels in 1980 and the July 1
forecast of 31.9 bushels.

By August 2, 29 percent of the Minnesota spring wheat was swathed and 8 percent was
combined. South Dakota spring wheat harvest was 44 percent complete compared with 77 percent in
1980 and the average of 48 percent. Four percent of the spring wheat in North Dakota was
combined on August 2 compared with 11 percent in 1980 and the average of 8 percent. Dry weather
is needed to complete harvest.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUMMER POTATOES

3 AREA HARVESTED

YIELD

PRODUCTION
3 IND
1979 3 1980 % 1981

1960 ¢

1,000 ACRES 1,000 CWT

965 1,530 475 1,456
7.6 2,695 2,774 2,920
5.8 1,898 1,595 1,870
Sel 1,188 969 1,144
1.8 470 aia 504
1.5 268 240 256
164 231 322 312
148 281 306 342
8.3 1,548 41689 4,494
5.4 14796 1,566 1,647
163 270 260 198
8.2 1,968 2,066
3,0 540 a20
3.7 407 460
1.3

2.8

7.5

14,0

2

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SWEETPOTATOES

PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES cwr 1,000 cwT
5.3 54 110 530 594
+6 75 36
8.4 6.9 170 1,512 1,558
45 5.4 115 450 621
25.0 26.0 95 29125 2,340
143 1.3 155 195 202
a6 5.2 95 aia a9a
2.4 265 115 276 288
37.0 39.0 120 4,255 5,070
2.5 3.5 110 238 385
2.0 2,3 105 160 eaz
6.5 Tee 130 520 744
eel 2.3 130 ane 334
102.2 9.6 117 10/953 12,869

1/ ESTIMATES OLSCONTINUEN AFTER 3980 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALFALFA ANO ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY

PROOUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

3 3 IND
1979 ¢ 1980 ¢ 1988

1,000
ARIZ 160 105 6.40 1,024 1155S
ARK : 73 78 2.50 183
CALIF = = 1,050 1,030 6.00 6-300 6,592
coo 790 760 3.10 2,449 2,340
CONN : 22 aa 2.65 56
OEL z 8 7 3.25 26
IDAHO $= 1,068 1,090 3.40 3,631 3,815
TLt 3 740 720 3.90 2,886 2,700
ND 3 390 380 3.20 1,248 1/273
TOWwA 3 1,810 1,760 4.10 7Te4eL 6,864
KANS = 1,000 1,000 3,50 3,500 2,850
ky 204 200 3.10 632
LA 13 13 2.35 31
MAINE 23 22 2,50 53
MD 2 15 To 3.20° 240
MASS a7 27 2.90 78
MICH = == 1,.090 1,020 3.10 3,224 3,264
MINN : 2,150 2,100 3,40 7,310 5,670
NO : 520 S20 2.75 1,430 1,170
MONT = 1,300 1,200 2.25 2,925 2,820
NEBR ot 1,650 1,650 3.25 5,363 5,033
NEV : ais 21s 3.40 731
NH t 19 20 2.60 49
NJ t 48 as 3.60 173
N MEX 3 205 2a0 4,50 1,103 1,032
NY % 1,090 17.030 2.75 2,860 2,987
nc : 25 25 2.35 59
N 1.85 3,700 1,159
3.05 1,769 1,674
3430 1,518 1,050
3.70 1,536 1,700
2.70 2,295 2,184
2.70 8 6
2.20 5,500 3,220
2,50 263
4,70 893 .
3,80 1,805 1,833
2,55 268
2.95 274
3.60 1811 1,869
1.75 149
3.30 10,230 10,675
2.40 1,308 1,118 1,199

26,165 3.19

88,314 79,865 80,644

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-13, CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OULY WEATHER SUMMARY

Excessive amounts of rain during the month were received over much of Missouri and southern
Illinois. Many low-lying areas were flooded, making winter wheat harvest difficult. Above
normal
rain in other parts of the Plains and the East were generally beneficial. A large portion of
southeastern United States had much less than normal rainfall) and moderate to severe drought
conditions continued. Near to slightly below normal temperatures throughout the Corn Belt were
good for the beginning of the important propagation period in corn but high temperatures early
in the month in the northern Plains were not good for the early flowering spring wheat.

FIRST WEEK...A heat wave continued in southwestern United States, extending northward into
Qregon and Montana. On the second day of the month, cooler air from Canada tempered the heat in
the Northwest and Montana but, by the fifth, Oregon temperatures again rose over the 1000
mark. New England was warm and the Southeast cool but the rest of the East was near normal.
Significant precipitation was confined to the Central Plains, southern Rockies, and eastward.
Heavy rain fell in parts of the Mississippi Delta and Ohio Valley and tropical Storm Brett
brought downpours to the mid-Atlantic States.

SECOND WEEK...Cool air settled in the Northwest and spread as far south as central
California. Average temperatures for the week were as much as 9 to 12° cooler than normal in
much of the area. The warmer air spread into the Plains and the East. Rain moved through the
Pacific Northwest and into the Plains and Mississippi River Valley. Moisture from the south
brought seasonal showers and thunderstorms to Arizona, New Mexico, and the central Rockies.
Some heavy rains fell in southern Texas but most of the East recorded only light showers.

THIRD WEEK...Hot weather dominated much of the East before a cold front brought cooler air
to the northern States after midweek. High temperatures rose to the mid-nineties through the
Corn Belt as corn was beginning its critical silking stage but dropped into the eighties after
the cold front passed. The heaviest rain fell in the middle Wissigstopt River Valley where most
areas already had adequate to excess moisture. Only light showers teased the very dry region in
the Southeast.

FOURTH WEEK...The cooler air was separated from summer's heat by a nearly straight line from
Virginia to northern California. High temperatures rose to 106° in Oklahoma and southern
Kansas while 100° readings were common throughout the South. Moderate to heavy rain from
thunderstorms centered in northern Missouri, northwestward into Montana and northeastward to
western New England. Some moderate to heavy showers fell in central Georgia and lighter amounts
spread over the dry area.

In the last five days of the month another spate of rain fell in southeastern United States
but much more is needed from central Alabama through Georgia and Florida. Severe thunderstorms
dumped heavy rain over wide areas from the Texas Panhandle to western Arkansas where the
moisture was needed but the heavy amounts from eastern Kansas to central Illinois fell in wet
areas. Rains in western lowa, Nebraska, and South Dakota were more welcome. Temperatures
through the Corn Belt were cooler than normal. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural
Weather Facility).

CROP DEVELOPMENT

Qn August 1, development of corn and soybeans continued to be later than average because of
the late planting season. Progress of the cotton crop, however, was ahead of normal. Only a
few areas of the Nation, notably parts of the Southeast, indicated any crop stress. Elsewhere
there was little or no abnormal stress from high temperatures or dry soils. During July, corn
was tasseling and silking, soybeans were blooming and began to set pods, cotton was setting
bolls, and grain sorghum was heading. Heavy rains and wet fields delayed smal] grain harvests
in parts of Missouri and reduced the intended acreage of double cropped soybeans.

At the beginning of August, corn was in fair to mostly good condition, except in Georgia
where it was poor to fair because of dry weather. Over three-quarters of the Nation's corn had
reached the silking stage by August 2 and 20 percent had progressed to the dough stage. Crop
development was considerably behind average in Indiana and Ohio as the result of late planting.
In the South, harvesting was active reaching 25 percent complete in Georgia and 14 percent
complete in Alabama.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 198) A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
one August 1, 1981

2 Good to excellent
EZ Poor to fair

Very poor

£EX) Severe drought

*4S REPORTED BY
GY Extreme drought

‘CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. SRS 333-81(8)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
ne August 1, 1980

CQ Good to excelient
E22 Poor to fair

Very poor

(XR Severe drought
GEA Extreme drought

‘#45 REPORTED BY
CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA

NEG. ESCS 256-80(8)

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

1961 3 1979

BUSHELS: 1,000 BUSHELS

1980 5

6140 36,0 55.0 30,622 14,580 28,600
115.0 100,0 130.0 S175 4,000 3,900
58. 28.0 65.0 2,030 1,036 2,730
117.0 135.0 © 130.0 30,420 36,450 35,750
127.0 11860 © 125.0 96,520 89,680 103,750

OEL 3 159 177 183 102.0 72,0 75.0 46,218 = 12,744 13,725
FLA 2 339 328 365 5340 47,0 45.0 17/967 157416 16,425
GA 3 1,550 1,300 1,450 42,0 50.0 100,750 54,600 72,500
TOAHO § 50 50 33 94,0 92.0 494400 4,700 4,876
TLL + 41,050 14,460 11,300 93.0 120.0 14424,400 1,065,780 1,356,000
IND : 6/030 6,280 6,000 96,0 94,0 675,360 602,880 564,000
IOWA 2 13,100 13,300 13,500 110.0 125.0 1,663,700 1,463,000 1,687,500
KANS 3 1,470 1,240 16300 94,0 115.0 171,990 116,560 149,500
ky : 1,300 4,480 1,530 70.0 92.0 132,600 103,600 140,760
LA 3 at 30 268 46.0 60.0 2,214 1/380 1,680
MAINE 1/3

MO : 595 640 660 72,0 96,0 = 58,905 46,080 63, 360
MASS 1/3

MICH : 2,500 2,600 2,800 95.0 95.0 237,500 247,000 266,000
MINN z 6,060 4290 66700 97.0 105.0 606,000 6107130 703,500
MISS 3 110 88 130 28.0 58.0 5,720 2,404 7,540
MO 3 2,330 2,070 1,950 $3.0 105.0 239,990 109,710 204,750
MONT : 10 8 9 74,0 75.0 770 592 675
NEBR t 7,150 7,100 6,900 85.0 110,0 822,250 603,500 759,000
NH ase

NJ : 95 103 125 75.0 86,0 8,550 74725 10,750
N MEX = ¢ 74 85 60 85,0 95.0 8,066 7,225 7,600
NY t 650 730 800 93.0 93.0 $9,800 67,890 74,400
nc : 1,690 41,730 1,830 60,0 73.0 128,440 103,800 133,590
N DAK ¢ 313 290 450 58.0 80.0 23,788 16,820 36,000
OHIO : 3,630 3,900 3,800 113.0 93,0 417,450 440,700 353,400
OKLA 3 1S 75 65 70.0 95,0 8,250 5,250 6,175
OREG 3 12 a 15 106.0 115.0 17260 1,166 1,725
PA 2 1,280 1,280 1,330 75.0 95.0 121,600 96,000 126,350
RI

sc 5 509 515 570 48.0 62.0 © 40,720 24,720 © 35, 340
S DAK 2,850 2,300 2,300 53.0 62.0 210,900 121,900 142,600
TENN A 620 640 660 45.0 85.0 52,700 28,800 56,100
TEX : 1,260 1,300 1,250 90.0 105.0 132,300 117,000 131,250
UTAH t 16 15 15 100.0 © 95.0 1,504 14500 1,425
vT we

va 5 61S 595 600 $5.0 85.0 = 51,045 = 324725 = 51,000
WASH z 97 94 100 120.0 115.0 11,931 11,280 11,500
WVA z 59 58 63 89,0 9040 5,251 57162 5,670
&Is z 3,080 3,350 3,500 104,0 103.0 317,240 348,400 360,500
WYO : 29 37 35 97,0 87,0 2,523 3,589 3,045

104.3 7,936,619 6,647,534 7,734,941

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1987 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production of grain sorghum is forecast at 833 million bushels (21.2 million

metric tons), up 42 percent from last year and 3 percent above 1979.
Acreage to be harvested for grain is forecast at 13.6 million acres (5.52 million hectares), 7
percent above last year and 6 percent greater than 1979. Yield per harvested acre is forecast
at 61.1 bushels compared with the drought reduced yield of 46.2 bushels last year and 62.7
bushels in 1979. Based on conditions as of August 1, yield prospects are better than a year ago
in all States except three -- one equaled last year's yield and two were lower. In the three
major States, yields are forecast 8 bushels higher in Texas, 19 bushels higher in Nebraska and
22 bushels higher than a year ago in Kansas.

In most States, conditions have been favorable and grain sorghum has made good progress.
Although some damage from chinch bugs and other insects has been reported, most losses have been
minimal. In Kansas, the crop is later than normal because of delayed planting caused by wet
fields. About 15 percent is headed compared with a normal of 25 percent. In Nebraska, growing
conditions have been excellent and yield prospects equal those of the previous record set in
1979, Timely rains in Texas have provided needed moisture for favorable crop prospects and
harvest activity is underway.

QATS: Production of oats is forecast at 522 million bushels (7.58 million metric tons), 14 per-

cent above last year but down 1 percent from 1979. The 1 percent decline in production
from July 1 was caused by less acreage for harvest as grain--now estimated at 9.65 million acres
(3.91 million hectares). Compared with a year earlier, harvested acreage is up 12 percent.
Yield is expected to average 54.1 bushels per acre the same as July 1 and 1.1 bushels above a
year earlier. Development of oats in the major producing States has been ahead of normal
because of early planting and hot weather during the growing season. However, above normal
temperatures during July caused poor filling of heads and limited yield potential . Harvest has
been slowed due to frequent showers, especially during the latter half of July. Dryer weather
is needed fora timely completion of harvest.

BARLEY: Barley production as of August 1, 1981 is forecast at 483 million bushels, (10.5

million metric tons) up 1 percent from the July 1 forecast and 35 percent above last
year's drought reduced crop. If the production forecast materializes, output will be 1 percent
greater than the previous record set in 1958. The most significant increase from last year is
in North Dakota where the crop is expected to be more than double 1980 production. Nationally,
acreage for harvest is 25 percent more than last year and average yield is up 3.7 bushels per
acre. Most western States suffered through some hot, dry weather this season, but yields were
not seriously reduced. -

Harvest had begun in atl States by August 1 and was complete in California. California
yields and test weights were below recent years because of hot weather. North Dakota expects a
yield of 47,0 bushels per acre, up 15.0 bushels from last year. Idaho yields were reduced
slightly by late spring frost. Minnesota is harvesting a very good crop with yields up sharply
from last season. Montana's yield is slightly better than a year ago, but was hurt by hot, dry
weather in early duly.

ALL WHEAT: U.S. producers expect to harvest a record high 2.75 billion bushels (74.8 million
metric tons) of all types of wheat in 1981, 16 percent more than the previous record
set last year and 2 percent less than last month's forecast. A sharp increase in acreage
harvest (14 percent) and a 2percent increase in average yield from last year resulted in the
record high production. Acreage and yield are both up sharply for durum and other spring

wheat. Winter wheat acreage was also up sharply but averace yield declined moderatly from a
year earlier.

Nationally, the average yield per harvested acre is expected to be 34.0 bushels compared
with 33.4 bushels last year, 34.2 bushels two years ago and 31.4 in 1978. About 80.7 million
acres (32.7 million hectares) will be harvested for grain, up 14 percent from: last year.
Harvested acreage is 91 percent of the acreage planted. Last year 88 percent of the planted
acreage was harvested for grain.

WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at a record high 2.06 billion bushels (56.2

million metric tons), 9 percent more than last year but 1 percent less than the
July 1, 1981 forecast. The increase in production from 1980 resulted from a greater acreage
harvested. Lower yields were partially offsetting.

The expected yield of 35.3 bushels per harvested acre is down 1.5 bushels from the 36.8

bushels in 1980. Yield was 36.9 bushels in 1979 and ranged from 31.5 to 31.8 bushels during the
1976-78 period. Growers expect to harvest 58.5 million acres (23.7 million hectares).

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

3 s IND

1980 1981 1979 1980 ¢ 1984

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

155 198 80,0 81.0 5/250 12,400 16,036
100 165 78,0 89.0 3,600 7,600 14,685
120 135 28,0 37,0 2,849 3,360 4,995
ry aqs 19.0 26,0 6,825 1,600

3,850 4,450 19,0 3 84,500 73,150
21s 225 19,0 ai. 3,630 9,085 2725

4,840 5,648 22.4 33,0 106,654 108,395 186,293

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

PRODUCTION

IND
1980 1980 1981

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ay 4s a0 64,0 60.0 59.9 2,624 2700 2,300
IOAHO 620 640 $55 62.0 69.0 67,0 38,440 94,160 37,185
MINN 2,450 2,980 3,300 35.0 32.5 37.0 85,750 96,850 122,300
MONT 2,550 2,550 2,750 20.5 22.5 26,0 $2,275 57,375 71,500
NEV 13 17 16 50.0 00.0 50,0 650 1,020 800
N DAK 26.5 18.5 28,0 165,095 105,450 201,600
OREG 38.0 36.0 38,0 9,310 5,400 4,370
S$ OAK 22.0 18.0 20,0 45,980 37,400 95,000
UTAH 41.0 48.0 47,0 1,640 1,440 1,410
WASH 30.0 42.0 40,0 23,400 17,220 8,800
wis 33.0 31.0 31,0 528 713 868
WYO 24.0 18.0 22,0 480 252 204

28.2 25.3 30.0 426,172 370,020 496,257

Aanewapngcnennwcrenecncennceneanecnces

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

SPRING

HARD SOFT HARD : TOTAL
RED RED RED DURUM WHITE $

YEAR

1,000 BUSHELS

1978 829,908 188,920 203,618 379,694 133,328 40,056 1,775,524
1979 1,088,918 316,698 195,618 362,891 106,654 63,261 2,154,060
1980 3 bp lB4, S11 427,939 278,910 311,226 108,395 564794 2,369,666
1981 ]/%  LelOLe675 658,336 304,834 451,590 186,293 44,067 2,747,395

T/ INDICATED AUG 1, 198).

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Board

Released: august 12, 1981 Statistical Reporting
3:00 P.M. ET Service

U.S. Department
of Agriculture

Weshington, D.C.
20250

CROP PRODUCTION _ [=~

HIGHLIGHTS

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 2.75 billion bushels (74.8
million metric tons), 2 percent less than the July 1 forecast but 16
percent more than last year. The 90 percent confidence interval for
this production forecast is 2.66 to 2.84 billion bushels. The winter
wheat crop is now forecast at 2.06 billion bushels (56.2 million
metric tons), down 1 percent from the July 1 forecast. The durum
wheat production forecast is down 3 percent and other spring wheat is
down 6 percent from a month earlier.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rye and rice) is expected to total 83.3 million
metric tons in 1981, up 16 percent from 1980.

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 7.73 billion bushels (196 million
metric tons) 9 percent above the July 1 forecast and 16 percent
greater than last year's crop. The 90 percent confidence interval
for this crop is 6.82 to 8.65 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 833 million bushel (21.2 million metric
tons), up 42 percent from last year's production.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is expected to
total 236 million metric tons, up 19 percent from last year's 198
million metric tons.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 2.02 billion bushels (54.9 million metric
tons), 1] percent larger than the 1980 crop. The 90 percent
confidence interval for this production is 1.84 to 2.20 billion
bushels.

HAY production is forecast at 138 million tons (125 million metric tons), a 5
percent increase from 1980. Pasture and range feed condition on
August 1 averaged 82 percent, 22 points above a year ago.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 14.8 million bales, 33 percent more than
in 1980. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production is
12.6 to 17.0 million bales.

Pianted Acreage estimates for 1981 for specified crops are shown on Page B-1.
Revisions have been made for some States and crops from estimates given in the
"Acreage" report, published June 29th, and "Crop Production" July 10, 1981.
Revisions are based on data from special and objective yield surveys.

Beginning with this report, apple and peach estimates will be published only in
million pound units. Equivalent Units Tables are discontinued. Equivalent
units can be derived by dividing million pound units by 42 for apples and 48
for peaches.

CrPr 2-2 (8-81) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


The Virginia-North Carolina area crop is forecast at 707 million pounds, 65 percent above
last year's 428 million pounds. The crop is in good condition in both States and the area is
expected to average 2580 pounds per acre, well above last year's 1602 pounds.

In the Southwest, the 1981 crop is expected to total nearly 702 million pounds, well above
last year's 456 million pounds. Weather conditions have been favorable for crop development to
date. Yield is forecast at 1699 pounds per acre, up from 1326 pounds last year.

COTTON: United States cotton production is expected to total 14.8 million bales, 33 percent more

than in 1980. Upland production is forecast at 14.7 million bales, up 33 percent from
Jast year and American-Pima is forecast at 94.9 thousand bales, down 9 percent from 1980.
Cottonseed production for 198], based on a three year average lint seed ratio, is forecast at
5.88 million tons (5.33 million metric tons), 32 percent above 1980.

Planted acreage is estimated at 14.3 million acres (5.79 million hectares), 2 percent below
1980 plantings. Growers expect to harvest 13.8 million acres (5.58 million hectares) in 1981
compared with 13.2 million acres (5.35 million hectares) harvested last year, an increase of 4
percent. Average yield per harvested acre is forecast at 515 pounds, 111 pounds above last
year's drought shortened crop.

Production in the Southeastern States -- Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina
-- is forecast at 603 thousand bales, 23 percent above 1980. The crop is suffering from drought
stress in parts of Georgia and Alabama. Frequent showers in South Carolina have caused rank
growth and heavy insect infestations.

The Delta -- Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee -- crop is forecast at
3.40 million bales, up 40 percent from last year. Cotton is generally in good condition in the
Delta. Some acreage in Missouri, Tennessee and Northeast Arkansas shows excessive plant growth
due to frequent rains. Some dry spots are evident in Mississippi and more than the normal
amount of acreage is under irrigation. Plants are well fruited and bolls are opening in early
planted fields.

Texas and Oklahoma production is forecast at 5.80 million bales, 64 percent above 1980.
Favorable planting and early season growing conditions got the crop off to a good start. In
South Texas, excessive rainfall during June produced excessive plant growth and retarded fruit
set. Warm, dry weather returned in duly and the crop resumed normal development. Harvest is
underway in the Rio Grande Valley.

Upland production in Arizona, California and New Mexico is expected to total 4.88 million
bales compared with 4.57 million bales last year. The crop is about one to two weeks ahead of
last year in California and two to three weeks more advanced than normal in Arizona. Prospects
are excellent in all three States. .

The Bureau of the Census reports 44,387 running bales ginned to August 1 compared with
199,606 bales ginned to the same date in 1980, and 72,294 bales ginned before August 1 in 1979.

HAY: All hay production in 1981 is forecast at 138 million tons (125 million metric tons), a 5

percent increase from 1980 but 7 percent below the record production of 1979. Acreage
intended for harvest is estimated at 59.4 million acres (24.1 million hectares), virtually
unchanged from a year earlier. All hay yield is forecast at 2.32 tons per acre compared with
2.21 tons in 1980 and 2.40 tons in 1979. Haymaking progressed slightly behind average, as
showers delayed the second cutting in most of the major producing States. Regrowth is expected
to be light in the southwest and southeast due to dry conditions.

Production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures is forecast at 80.6 million tons (73.2 million
metric tons), 1 pércent more than a year ago but 9 percent below the 1979 crop. Acreage for
harvest totals 26.2 million acres (10.6 million hectares), down fractionally from last year and
6 percent lower than 1979. Average yield is indicated at 3.08 tons per acre compared with 3.04
tons a year earlier and the record yield of 3.19 tons in 1979.

All_other hay production is forecast at 57.1 million tons (51.8 million metric tons), 12
percent above last year but 4 percent below 1979. Yield per acre is forecast at 1.72 tons per
acre compared with 1.54 tons in 1980 and 1.75 tons in 1979. Acreage for harvest is forecast at
33.3 million acres (13.5 million hectares), fractionally above 1980,

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Production of dry beans for 1981 is forecast at a record high 32.8 million

hundredweight (1.49 million metric tons), up 26 percent from last year.
Acreage for harvest, at 2.23 million acres (903 thousand hectares) is up 22 percent from last
year and is the highest since 1943. Average yield is forecast at 1471 pounds per acre, a gain
of 49 pounds over last year. Production is expected to be higher than last year in all States
except New York and Montana.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RICE: Rice production for 1981 is forecast at a record high 177 million hundredweight (8.05

million metric tons), 22 percent more than last year's production of 145 million
hundredweight (6.58 million metric tons). The larger production results from increased
harvested acreage and higher prospective yields.

Nationally, 3.82 million acres (1.55 million hectares) are expected to be harvested compared
with 3.30 million acres (1.33 million hectares) for 1980. Rice acreage for harvest has
increased from last year in all six rice producing States.

This year's yield forecast of 4645 pounds per acre is 242 pounds more than last year's
average. Rice heading reached 49 percent in the five major States as of August 2, 1981.
Heading was most advanced in Texas (98 percent) and Louisiana (79 percent).

RYE: Production of rye in 1981 is forecast at 17.1 million bushels (434 thousand metric tons),
5 percent more than last year and 2 percent above the July 1, 1981 forecast. Increased
yields more than offset the small harvested acreage decline from last year.

Growers have harvested or expect to harvest 661 thousand acres (268 thousand hectares) for
grain, fractionally below a year earlier. Harvested acres are 26 percent of the planted acres
the samie percentage, as last year. A yield of 25.8 bushels per acre is forecast, up 1.3 bushels
from 1980. Yield increases from last year were obtained or are expected in Georgia, Minnesota
and North Dakota while South Dakota indicated a decline from a year ago. South Dakota rye
harvest was 64 percent complete as of August 2, 1981 compared with 92 percent a year earlier and
the average of 77 percent. Harvest in North Dakota and Minnesota is also behind average due to
wet weather.

SOYBEANS: August 1 soybean production is forecast at 2.02 billion bushels (54.9 million metric

tons). This is 11 percent above last year's production but 11 percent less than the
record crop of 1979. A yield of 30.2 bushels per acre is forecast, 3.4 bushels more than last
year, but 1.9 bushels below 1979. Acreage for harvest at 66.9 million acres (27.1 million
hectares) is down 1 percent from last year, and 5 percent less than 1979.

The crop got off to a late start in the eastern Corn Belt, but growing conditions during
duly were very favorable in major producing areas. Expected yields are down from a year ago in
Indiana, Michigan and Ohio due to late planting. Indiana's yield of 32.0 bushels is down 4.0
bushels while Ohio's yield of 30.0 bushels is down 6.0 bushels. Yields increased from a year
ago in the remaining North Central States, ranging from 1.0 bushel in both Wisconsin and Iowa to
10.5 bushels in North Dakota. Itlinois is anticipating a 2.5 bushel increase to 36.0 bushels
per acre. Both the Iowa yield (40.0 bughels) and North Dakota yield (28.0 bushels) will be
State records if realized.

All South Central States are showing yield increases from a year ago. Mississippi's yield
of 23.0 bushels is up 7.0 bushels from last year, and Arkansas at 24.0 bushels is up 8.0 bushels.

All Atlantic Coast States are showing increases in yield from last year, ranging from 3.5
bushels in North Carolina to 12.0 bushels in Virginia.

FLAXSEED: Production this year is forecast at 8.08 million bushels (205 thousand metric tons),

down 1 percent from 1980 and 33 percent less than in 1979. Acreage for harvest at
640 thousand acres (259 thousand hectares) is down 9 percent from last year and 27 percent below
two years ago. The yield per harvested acre, forecast at 12.6 bushels, is up 1.0 bushel from
Vast year but down 1.1 bushels from 1979.

North Dakota, with 59 percent of the U.S, acreage for harvest; is expecting a yield of 12.0
bushels per acre, up 2.0 bushels from last year. Minnesota's anticipated yield, at 14.5
bushels, is also up 2.0 bushel from a year ago. South Dakota forecasts yield at 13.0 bushels,
the same as last year.

PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at 3.69 billion pounds (1.67 million metric tons) 60 per-

cent above last year's drought stricken crop of 2.31 billion pounds (1.05 million
metric tons}. This year’s crop is expected to yield 2406 pounds per acre, up 756 pounds from
the 1980 final yield. Acres for harvest are estimated at 1.53 million (621 thousand hectares),
10 percent above 1980.

Production in the Southeastern area is expected to total 2.28 billion pounds, 60 percent
above the 1980 crop of 1.42 billion pounds. Soil moisture was becoming short to very short over
much of the area by August 1, but the crop was rated as being in fair to good condition. Yield
for the 5 State area is expected to average 2695 pounds per acre, 887 pounds above last year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

POSTAGE AND FEES PAID
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF > a
AGRICULTURE
AGR 101
OFFICIAL BUSINESS FIRST CLASS

PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE, $300

To stop maiting {] or to change your
address [_] send this sheet with label
intact, showing new address, to Crop
Reporting Board Publications, SRS. U.S.
Dept. of Agriculture, Rm. 0008 South
Building, 14th & Independence Ave. S.W.,
Wash., D.C. 20250.



ORY EDIBLE BEANS wv

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED
CROP AND STATE

1980

POUNDS

1,000 ACRES
LARGE LIMA BEANS

CALIF 27,0 35.0 30,0 1,960 2,150 2,050 seo 753 ois
BABY LIMA BEANS 3

CALIF 3 29,0 20.0 2,260 2,250 2,200 656 450
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS z

CALIF z 151.0 165.0 1,600 1,690 1,690 2,015 2,706
ALL ORY EDIBLE BEANS 3

CALIF z 207.0 220.0 1,739 1,777 1,790 3,600 3,909
coLo 3 165.0 200.0 1,010 1,080 1,160 1,667 2/160
IOAHO 133.0 179.0 1,850 1,860 1,840 2,460 3,329
KANS 3 17,0 24,0 1,000 1,400 1,400 170 336
MICH : 960.0 560.0 1,400 1,330 1,350 2440 7,448
MINN t 36.0 84.0 7150 2,450 See 966
MONT 3 9.7 11.0 1,600 1,600 175, 176
NEBR : 135.0 150.0 1,600 1,720 1,700 2,160 2,580
NY : 40.0 51.0 1,150 1,300 1,200 460 663
N OAK 3 105,0 255.0 1,350 1,050 = 1,200 1,418 2,678
UTAH 1 8.0 11,0 400 380 450 32 42
WASH 2 40,0 54,0 2,000 2,000 1,950 800 1,080
WYO 3 28,0 37.0 1,900 1,980 2,000 532 733
us :

1,383.7 1,836.0 2,231.0 1,480 1,422 1,471 20,476 26,100 32,614

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FUR GARUEN SEED,

ORY EOTBLE PEAS wv

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION

$ INO

1979 1980 1961 $ 1979 $ 1980 $ 1981

1,000 ACRES POUNDS
51.0 63.0 52.0 1,380 2,300 1,900 704 1,449 988
85.0 72.0 60.0 1,570 2,550 2,000 1,335 1,836 1,200
136.0 135.0 112.0 1,499 2,433 1,954 2,039 3,285 2,186

1/ EXCLUDES BOTH WRINKLED SEED PEAS AND AUSTRIAN WINTER
PEAS,

MINT OTL

AREA HARVESTED FOR OIL

PRODUCTION

IND

CROP AND STATE

16000 POUNDS

PEPPERMINT

IDAHO 66 oa 502 56a ate
IND 36 36 302 333 331
ORES 60 65 2,754 2,700 2,340
wASH 69 70 540 800 581
WIS 30 29 315 216 232
us 57 57 ayT13 4,61 3,900
SPEARMINT

IDAHO 75 70 248 233 189
IND 31 35 186 143 447
MICH 29 3h 118 107 118
ORES 65 150
WASH 94 94 1,184 1,509 1,184
wis 39 35 165 152 137
us 68 65 4,921 2,139 1,925

1/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1981 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 8-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DEL 3 11
FLA t 269
GA : 450
IOAHQ = 300
pia 940
INO 425
1OWA $20

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981

VESTED

ALL OTHER

3
1979 3

8-14

HAY

1980

TONS

1.70
4,00
1.85
2.00
1.35
1.85
1470
2.20
1.80

PRODUCTION

1980
1,000 TONS

1,188 10031
69 105
1,591 1,096
995 1,104
1,125 936
122 414
at 19
619 ss2
1,170 736
495, S80
860 858
a7 935
1,326 1,173

51,205

IND
1981

1,122
100
17610
1,030
918
120
17
sso
855
540
892
est
1,225
2,074
2,030
185
345
320
200
540
1,548
1,254
5,328
41,350
2,050

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



Soybeans were in fair to mostly good condition except in parts of the Southeast. The crop
was poor to fair in Georgia due to dry weather. By the end of the month, blooming and podding
were underway in al] States with 64 percent of the fields blooming. Pod set was 29 percent
complete. In Indiana, podding was 30 points behind average. In Ohio, pod set lagged the
average by 40 points.

Cotton was generally in fair to good condition, although the Georgia crop rated only poor to
fair. Boll set was ahead of average in many areas, but lagged in Georgia and Oklahoma. In
Texas, boll set reached 66 percent complete, 9 points behind last year. By August 2, bolls had
set on 73 percent of the acreage. Bolls were beginning to open in parts of the Southeast.
Harvesting was underway in southern Texas.

Heading of grain sorghum reached 48 percent complete by the beginning of August.
Forty-three percent of the Texas crop had been harvested.

Winter wheat combining was 86 percent complete by August 2. Some acreage was yet to be
harvested in areas of Nebraska, Missouri and the Dakotas and the Pacific Northwest. In
Missouri, heavy rains delayed harvest to the extent that only 81 percent of the State's crop had
been combined by August 2. Normally, growers are finished by this date. Spring wheat harvest
reached 11 percent complete. Progress was behind normal in all States except Idaho. Ory
weather is needed for harvest operations. .

FEED GRAIN PRODUCTION UP SHARPLY

Production of the four feed grains (corn, sorghum, oats and barley) is expected to total 236
million metric tons, up 19 percent from last year’s drought reduced crop, but 1 percent less
than the record crop produced in 1979, The production forecast for corn, which normally
accounts for about four-fifths of the feed grain, increased 9 percent from July 1. Barley
production was up 1] percent from last month while the oats production forecast decreased }
percent. The first forecast for sorghum grain production is up 42 percent from last year.

FOOD GRAIN PRODUCTION RISES

Food grain production (wheat, rye and rice) in 1981 is forecast at 83.3 million metric tons,
16 percent more than last year. Winter wheat production, at 56.2 million metric tons, is up 9
percent, other spring wheat production, at 13.5 million metric tons, is up 34 percent and durum
wheat, at 5.07 million metric tons, is up 72 percent from 1980. Rice production of 8.05 million
metric tons is up 22 percent, while rye production at 434 thousand metric tons is 5 percent more
than a year earlier.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at 7.73 billion bushels (196 million

metric tons), 9 percent more than the July 1 forecast and 16 percent above last
year's crop. If realized, a crop of this size will be the second largest of record, exceeded
only by the 1979 crop.

Yield prospects improved in most areas during July. As of August 1, the U.S. average yield
is forecast at 104.3 bushels per acre, an increase of 8.4 bushels from July 1. Yield prospects
improved from July 1 in lowa ~- 18 bushels, Missouri ~- 15, Nebraska -~ 13, Indiana -- 12, Ohio
-- 8, and Illinois -- 7 bushels.

The area now expected to be harvested for grain is 74.1 million acres (30.0 million hec-
tares), down 50 thousand from last month but 73.08 miltion acres more than was harvested for grain
in 1980,

The planting season began under generally favorable conditions except in Indiana and Ohio
where plantings were delayed by excessive rain. In these two States, growers planted short-
season varieties into early July. Since planting, the Corn Belt has generally received adequate
to excessive moisture supplies, Weather conditions have been good during the critical
pollination period and yield prospects are very promising.

Harvest started in the Rio Grande Valley of Texas by mid-July and progressed northward to
the south central part of the State by month's end. Harvest also began in Georgia during the
month and, by August 2, about 25 percent of the crop had been harvested. In Georgia, the weather
has been dry and yields to date have been below expectations.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 198) A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


BARLEY

AREA HARVESTED YIELD Hy PRODUCTION

STATE

IND
1980 & 1981

1,000 BUSHELS

IND
1980 ¢ 1981 = 1979

1,000 ACRES

ARIZ a3 50 49-7540 90.0 3,225 3,950 3,600
CALIF 790 712 655 6040 56.0 47,400 48,194 36, 680
coo 275 24s 295 68.0 67.0 18,700 15,925 19,765
ORL ist 2s 25 25 45,0 49,0 4,125 1,225 1,225
IDAHO? 930 880 1,070 = 59,0 64.0 54,870 = $8,960 68, 480
TLL ast 7 6 47,0 329 ase
KANS 1/2 52 59 60 aa, 34.0 2,288 2,419 2,040
KY ist 25 29 32 5060 52.0 1,250 1,595 1,664
MD t 78 70 75 49,0 $5.0 3,822 3,640 4,125
MICH 1/3 20 ar 23 47.0 5000 940 4413 1,150
MINN 3 770 81s 990 53.0 56.0 40,810 34,638 = 55, 440
MONT 3 1,040 16050 1,300 39.0 49.0 40,560 44,100 57,200
NEBR 1/3 26 as 25 43,0 38.0 1,204 950 950
NEV o1/t 27 28 30 60,0 05.0 1,620 17960 16950
NJ tet 1a 15 130 51,0 53.0 71a 795 689
N MEX 1/3 27 35 30 58.0 55.0 1,566 1,995 17650
NY 2/3 an i 48.0 528 S17
NC ist 68 60 62 51.0 50.0 3,264 2,880 34200
NOOAK = 1,650 14500 2,260 46,0 47,0 75,900 48,000 106,220
OHIO 2/3 9 8 52.0 468 416
OKLA : ss 50 50 46.0 31.0 2,530 19650 1,550
ORES : 160 155 195 52.0 66,0 8,320 10,075 12,870
PA 3 as 15 a1 47.0 54.0 3,995 3,750 4,374
sc iss 23 23 e7 48,0 46,0 1,104 1,012 1,242
S$ DAK: 520 420 500 40.0 33.0 20,800 13,860 16,500
TENN 2/3 5 4 46.0 230 108
TEX 3 50 36 50 46.0 42,0 2,300 12080 2,100
145 148 150-7250 73,0 109440 10,800 10,950
100 90 97 52.0 61,0 5,200 4,590 5,917
315 420 760 54,0 68.0 17,010 31,500 = 51,680
10 9 1041. 45,0 410 396 450
24 26 31 49.0 . 51.0 1,176 1,534 4,581
145 133 134 60.0 65,0 61,0 8,700 8,645 8,174
7,522 1,233 99070 = 5069 = 4946 5343 © 5824798 «556,544 483, 316

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER.FORECASTs
2¢ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEACHES

PRODUCTION

a ee

TOTAL 3 TOTAL # INDICATED
t 1979 t 1960 ' 198L

CROP AND STATE

A $ MILLION POUNDS

PEACHES FREESTONE . F
ALA ase 20.0 20.0
ARK ay 3600 40.0
CALIF@FREESTONE ' 468.0 480.0
coLo t 14.0 20,0
CONN are 2.5 65
DEL eset 2.0 2.4
GA ess 135.0 135.0
TOAHO ert 1065 12.0
Tet ' 15.0 22,0
IND av 4.2 7.0
KANS: ess 5.0 520
KY ase 15.0 16.0
tA evs 7.0 7.0
MD 3 22.0 17,0
MASS art 168 28
MICH t 35.0 35.0
MISS avg 3.0 5.5
Mo erst 12.0 1720
NJ : 9569 90.9
NY 3 6.7 9.0
NC est 50.0 35.0
OHIO as 4.0 2.0
OKLA ast 11.0 9.0
OREG avs 16.0 12.0
PA 2 80.0 65.0
sc t 350.0 410.0
TENN ev: 8.5 964
TEX evs 2360 32.0
UTAH at 12.0 15.0
vA of 32.0 36.0
WASH 2 3160 18.0
WVA $ 24.0 17.0
TOTAL ABOVE t by55h62 17595.6

PEACHES CLINGSTONE Br
CALIF 3 12400.0 16495.0 1,320.0

ALL PEACHES z
UsSe t 2951.2 3,073.6 2,915.

4/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION ANO EXCESS CULLAGE (MILLION POUNDS)?
vyareo STATES, EXCLUDING CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1979014,5,
0-0.5.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR. CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS
AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS): 1979-90-0, 1980-113.0.

WALNUTS

TOTAL
1979 2 1960 1981

3 TONS
CALIF + 208,000 197,000 215,000

OLIVES

PRODUCTION

CALIF

62,000 111,000 44,000

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEARS

aren ewewwencoee. ee ee et ety

3 PRODUCTION 1/
CROP AND STATE
t TOTAL a7 TOTAL : INO)
3 1979 .. 1960 % 4981
meee enn nn ene name e ens e enw nen en pe enn enn eneweenen anew wes enennanenensenenmesnconseoees:
: TONS
PEARS BARTLETT :
CALIF : 355,000 387,000 360,000
OREG ' 85,000 80,000 90,000
WASH 3 153,000 143,000 135,000
TOTAL ' 593-000 610,000 585,000
PEARS EXCLUDING BARTLETT '
CALIF 3 9,800 10,700 11,000
ORES : 120,000 120,000 115,000
WASH z 932000 113,000 100,000
TOTAL : 222,800 243,700 226,000
ALL PEARS :
CALIF ' 368,800 397,700 371,000
COLO ess 1600 4,600 7,000
CONN eve 1,500 1,500 1,650
MICH 3 9,000 10,000 9,000
NY : 18,000 17/500 16,000
OREG = 205,000 200,000 205,000
PA art 00 3,800
UTAH ast 3,000 3,800
WASH : 246,000 256,000 235,000
us 854,700 893,800 852,250

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PROOUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE,
(TONS)? U S$ 1979-500,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

GRAPES

PROOUCTION 1/

TOTAL 3 INO
1980 1981

CROP AND STATE

TONS
GRAPES TABLE TYPE :
CALIF : 417,000 428,000 410,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE 3
CALIF : 1,821,000 2,004,000 1¢750,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE DRIED 2/2
CALIF 3 302,300 309,000
GRAPES RAISIN NOT ORIEO 3
CALIF : 944,000 1,080,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE Bre
CALIF : 2,320,000 2,692,000 1,900,000
ALL GRAPES 3
ARIZ 3 13,500 12,400 12,400
ARK 2 8,200 67600 8,100
CALIF : 4,558,000 57124000 4,060,900
MICH 3 58,500 49,500 50,000
40 : 4,500 4,200 3,200
NY 3 165,000 00 125,000
NC : 5,800 5,800 5,300
OHTO 3 12,000 12,000 10,000
PA : 55,500 $6,000
WASH z 102,800 153,000
OTHER STATES 3 3,200 5,900
us 4,989,000 4,488,400

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTEO PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
{TONS)2 US 1979-300, 1980"300,

2/ DRIED BASIS,1 TON OF RAISINS IS EQUIVALENT TO 4.55
TONS OF FRESH GRAPES FOR 1979 AND 5,22 TONS FOR 1980,

3/ FRESH EQIVALENT OF ORIED AND NOT ORIED,

a7 GA AND S C.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEANUTS FOR NUTS

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

3 ’
1979 = 1980 ¢

1,000 ACRES POUNDS
3

ALA : 210.0 200.0 210.0 2,785 1/325 2,100 584,850 265,000 441,000
FLA 3 55.0 55.0 60.0 3,270 2,600 3,150 179,850 143,000 189,000
GA : 527.0 514.0 555.0 3,235 1,935 2,900 1,704,845 994,590 1,609,500
MISS : 7.5 6.0 725 1,650 1,250 1,700 12,375 7,500 12,750
N MEX 3 9.2 8.8 969 2,750 2,540 2,400 25,300 22,352 23,760
nc : 166.0 166,0 170.0 2,280 1,755 2,400 378,480 291,330 408,000
OKLA z 120.0 105.0 116.0 2,200 1,335 24000 += 264,000 140,175 2364000
sc : 15.0 13.0 15.0 2,150 1,100 2,100 32,250 14,300 31,500
TEX z 309.0 230.0 265.0 1,725 1,275 1,550 533,025 293,250 441,750
vA t 101.0 101,0 104,0 2,510 1,350 2,675 253,510 136,350 299,000
us 1,398 1,534.4 2,611 $4650 = 2, 406 3,968,485 2,307,847

COTTON

PRUDUCTION 17

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

$05.0 321.0 326.0 S10 ay 430 292.0

575.0 569.0 599.0 1,069 1,103 1,162 1,450.0

530.0 645.0 600.0 549 330 500 625,0

CALIF 1,635.0 1,500.0 3,490.9 1,000 995 1,063 3,300.0
FLA 3.4 5.9 12,7 565 e10" 552 14.6
GA 150,0 160,0 165.0 486 258 349 120.0
La Seu.0 695.0 712 394 $53 800.0
MISS 1,125.0 1,260.0 657 488 590 1,437.0 1,550.0
Mo 241.0 190.0 550 353 aga 157.0 175.0
NEV a Lal 655 640 65S 1.5
N MEX 120.0 125.0 396 428 493 130.0
nc 65.0 76.0 455 381 aus 71.0
OKLA 565.0 655.0 432 174 289 395.0
sc : 120.0 118.0 510 309 488 120.0
TENN 2 275.0 320.0 357 349 375 250.0
TEX 3 6,650.0  74100.0 389 233 365 5,400.0
va : 3 3 320 320 480 3
us : 13/19341 13,733.61 547 402 Sia 14,530, 14,694,4
421 54.8 743 624 669 67,0 63.0

al 20 480 480 0 0

7.0 7.0 246 ava a73 6.9

22.5 1965 373 533 615 25.0

71,7 bi.d S31 698 743 94,9

321.0 326.0 510 aa 430 324.0 292.0

631.61 633.6 1,046 1,085 1,146 1,347.0 1,513.0

645.0 600.0 549 330 500 606.0 625.0

1,500.1 1,490.0 1,000 995 1,063 3,408, 3,300.0

369 12.7 565 610 552 4,0 14.6

100.0 165.0 486 258 3a9 152.0 120.0

465.0 Seo.0 695.0 712° 394 553 690.0 800.0

1,950.0 1,125.0 1,260.0 657 488 590 1,437.0 = 14143,0 1,550.0

1376 241.0 190.0 530 353 au2 177, 175.0

tel ) Vel 645 640 655 1.2 1.5

140.8 127.0 152.0 380 430 498 113.6 136.9

45,0 65,0 76,0 455 381 4an 52.0 71.0

560.0 565.0 655.9 ase 174 269 205.0 395.0

109.0 129.0 116.0 510 309 488 77, 120.0

230.0 275.0 320.0 357 349 375 171.0 200.0 250.0

6,630.9 6,672.5 7411965 369 234 366 © 5,539,0 34345,0 5,425.0

33 3 3 320 320 480 22 a2 3

12,830.9 13,214,8 13,794,4 547 40a 515 14,629,3 11,122,1 14,789,3

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE BIWNED,
2/ 4800L4. NET WEIGHT BALES,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

INDICATED :

METRIC TONS
CORN FOR GRAIN : 29 567 060 30 004 930 5.71 6.55 168 855 140 180 756 480 196 476 550
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 5 148 470 5 517 140 2 3.84 14 935 810 21 171 270
OATS. : 3.496 520 3 906 880 1 1.94 6 641 940 7 665 610 7 582 730
BARLEY : 2 927 120 3 670 540 2 2.87 7 806 370 10 416 740 10 522 960
ALL WHEAT : 28 673 500 32 654 030 2 2.29 64 491 740 76 478 440 74 771 830

WINTER : 20 790 540 23 684 480 2 2.37 51 471 420 56 953 740 56 195 870

DURUM : 1 958 700 2 285 690 1 2.22 2 950 030 5 203 420 5 070 060

OTHER SPRING : 5 924 260 6 683 860 1 2.02 10 070 290 = 14 321 280 13 505 900
RICE : 1 333 450 1 545 510 5.21 6 579 950 8 047 090
RYE : 268 710 267 500 1,62 413 150 425 290 433 930
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 27 460 640 27 071 330 2.03 49 453 280 54 906 480
FLAXSEED 3 284 500 259 000 0.79 206 460 205 320
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 566 080 620 960 2.70 1 046 820 1 674 770
ALL COTTON : 5 347 900 5 582 460 0.58 2 421 540 3 219 970

UPLAND : 5 318 880 5 557 650 0.58 2 398 850 3.199 310

AMER=PIMA : 29 020 24 810 0.83 22 690 20 660
ALL HAY : 24 053 560 24 056 390 5.19 118 904 700 124 968 330

ALFALFA : 10 630 800 10 588 710 6.91 72 452 310 73 159 010

ALL OTHER : 13 422 760 13 467 680 3.85 46 452 390 51 809 320
DRY EDIBLE BEANS: 743 010 902 860 1.65 1 183 870 1 488 410
ORY EDIBLE PEAS 2 54 630 45 330 2.19 149 000 99 250
SUMMER POTATOES : 36 420 38 200 23.59 770 060 900 780 901 280
SWEETPOTATOES : 41 360 44 350 13.16 496 820 583 720
TOBACCO : 371 340 387 730 2.30 808 580 891 410
SUGARBEETS. : 480 970 495 220 46.69 21 317 930 23 124 140
SUGARCANE FOR 3

SUGAR AND SEED: 296 520 300 930 84.40 24 460 420 25 398 450
HOPS: : 15 010 17 440 2.10 34 270 36 610
APPLES, COM'L 3 4 004 470 3 654 800 3 664 330
PEACHES 1/ 2 1 394 150 1 309 330 1 322 490
PEARS 3 810 840 773 190 773 190
GRAPES 3 5 075 790 4071 810
PRUNES AND PLUMS =:

(EXCL. CALIF) : 69 490 62 600
OLIVES (CALIF) 3 100 700 39 920
WALNUTS (CALIF) 2 178 720 195 040 195 040
PEPPERMINT OIL 32 900 27 520 0.06 0.06 2 090 1770
SPEARMINT OIL 12 670 11 940 970 870

/ CULL!
‘T980 - 51 260.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION

INDICATED =

INDICATED

1981 1/ > 1981 1/
HECTARES, METRIC TONS
POTATOES t
WINTER : 4 650 4 780 23.05 24.01 107 180 114 760
SPRING : 29 380 31-730 26.36 29.67 774 370 941 290
FALL : 397 080 421 970 30.22 12 001 720
SWEET CHERRIES : 155 760 121/110
TART CHERRIES : 98 930 65 270
APRICOTS 5 107 950 97 700
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 174 630 181 440
PLUMS (CALIF) 3 145 150 163 290
ORIED PRUNES :
(CALIF) 152 410 140 610
ALMONDS (CALIF) 146 060 204 120

U/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIE!

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 198] A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Weather was dry much of June and July in portions of Hawaii causing the crop in some fields
to show moisture stress. Dry weather has accelerated harvest during the first 7 months of
1981. A year ago, inclement weather affected harvest during the first quarter.

Florida sugarcane is in fair to good condition depending on the availability of moisture.
Cane grown on lighter soils is showing some stress from dry weather but an increase in shower
activity has been helpful.

Most parishes in Louisiana report a higher rate of growth this year than last. The sugarcane
smut disease has not developed into a major threat as was feared when the outbreak was first
discovered.

Sugarcane in the lower Rio Grand Valley of Texas has made favorable development but
irrigation has been necessary. Insect and disease damage has been minimal.

MINT OIL: The 1981 peppermint oi] crop is forecast at 3.90 million pounds (1770 metric tons),

15 percent Tess than in 1980. Acreage for harvest, at 68.0 thousand acres (27.5
thousand hectares), is down 16 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 57 pounds
per acre, the same as in 1980. Harvest is just underway in most States.

Spearmint production is forecast at 1.93 million pounds (870 metric tons), down 10 percent
from the previous year. Acreage for harvest is down 6 percent from 1980 and expected yields are
down 3 pounds per acre. The comparisons of both production and acreage include Oregon which was
not estimated in 1980. Growers in Washington, the major producing State, are nearly finished
with their first cutting.

HOPS: Production of hops in the U.S. is forecast at 80.7 million pounds (36.6 thousand metric

tons), 7 percent more than last year's crop and 47 percent more than 1979. Acreage for
harvest, at 43.1 thousand acres (17.4 thousand hectares), is 6000 acres more than last year.
Yield, forecast at 1873 pounds per acre, is off 164 pounds from last year.

Washington, which accounts for nearly three-fourths of the U.S. total production of hops is
expecting crop of 59.5 million pounds, a 6 percent increase over last year. This reflects a 16
percent increase in acreage which more than offsets a 9 percent decrease in yield. Development
of the crop was behind schedule most of the year but recent hot weather has been beneficial.
Some wind damage has been reported.

The Oregon crop, at 13.0 million pounds, is expected to be 7 percent greater than last
year. This is attributed to 1000 more acres for harvest which more than offsets the 160 pound
reduction in yield. Idaho has a 21 percent increase in acreage but expects to be off 8 percent
on yield, resulting in a 12 percent increase in production to 6.12 million pounds. Lower yields
from new acreages and mildew problems in old vines combined to reduce overall yield. California
acreage remained stable at 1200 acres but is the only State where increased yields are expected.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Pasture and range feed condition on August 1 averaged 82 percent of nor-

mal for the 48 contiguous States. This is 22 points above the record
low condition of last year and 6 points above the 1970-79 average for this date. During July,
condition decreased in 34 States, were unchanged in 2 States, and improved in 12 States. In the
Southeast, where dry weather continued to hinder growth of grasses, conditions ranged from very
poor to fair. Although some deterioration occurred during July, in the Pacific and Northern
Mountain regions, North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, pastures were still in good to
excellent condition on August 1. Generous rainfall in Kansas, Iowa, and Missouri encouraged
good growth during July and pastures were mostly in good to excellent condition on August 1.
However, condition was poor to fair in some areas of western and central Iowa and southern and
western Kansas. Good to excellent conditions were also reported in the eastern Corn Belt and
the Northeast. Texas ranges and pastures, deteriorated during July as grasses suffered from the
affects of insects and dry soils. Pastures in the southeastern half of the State were good to
excellent - while those in the northwestern half ranged from severe drought to fair. In parts
of the Southwest and the Central Mountain States, pastures and ranges were in very poor to fair
condition due to dry weather.

APPLES: The Nation's apple crop is forecast at 8.08 billion pounds (3.66 million metric tons),
a fractional increase from the July 1 forecast but 8 percent less than 1980 production.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


GRAPES: The first forecast of the Nation's grape crop is 4.49 million tons (4.07 million metric
tons), 20 percent less than last year and 10 percent below 1979.

Prospects in California declined 3 percent during July. The current crop is expected to be
21 percent smaller than in 1980. Table type grape prospects at 410 thousand tons are 2 percent
below last month and 4 percent less than last year. By the end of duly, harvest was active in
the southern San Joaquin Valley. The crop is maturing a week or two ahead of normal and quality
is reported good with bunch counts near normal. Berry size is smaller than normal but sugar
levels are high. The raisin type grape forecast at 1.90 million tons is 29 percent below last
year's production. Hot weather during the summer reduced bunch counts and berry size and pushed
maturity a week or two ahead of normal. Harvest for fresh market was in full swing by August 1
and laying of grapes for raisins was expected to begin about August 15. Wine type grape
Production is forecast at 1.75 million tons, a 13 percent decrease from the 1980 crop. Hot
weather advanced maturity by about two weeks and sugar levels are coming up early. The early
sugar level is often an indication of a good quality crop.

New York expects a 29 percent reduction in its grape crop to 125 thousand tons. This is
mostly the result of damage caused by severe winter weather. Washington State expects a 5
percent increase in grape production to 153 thousand tons. Vineyards came through the winter in
excellent shape and yields are expected to be higher than last year. The Michigan forecast of
50.0 thousand tons is 1 percent higher than 1980 production. Mildew and freeze damage reduced
Crop prospects in some areas but higher yields in other areas were more than offsetting.
Pennsylvania expects a 56.0 thousand ton crop, the same as last year. Conditions have been
favorable for grape production.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon and Washington is

forecast at 69.0 thousand tons (62.6 thousand metric tons). This is 10
percent less than last year's crop but 11 percent greater than the 1979 crop. The crop in
Oregon is expected to be 28.0 thousand tons, compared with 33.0 thousand tons a year ago. Set
was fair to good. Washington expects 15.0 thousand tons, down 35 percent from last season's
Production of 23.1 thousand tons. An April frost and poor pollination weather curtailed
Production in the lower Yakima Valley. A normal crop is expected in the Tri-City area where
harvest of early varieties has just started. Michigan expects a 44 percent increase in
production to 18.0 thousand tons. This is one of the best prune-plum crops that the State has
had in recent years, with excellent quality being reported. Idaho's estimate at 8000 tons is
the same as last year's production and 7 percent above the 1979 crop. The crop has made normal
progress and there has been no major problem with insects or disease.

OLIVES: The first forecast of olive production in California is a crop of 44.0 thousand tons
39.9 thousand metric tons), 60 percent less than last year's crop of 111 thousand tons

(101 thousand metric tons) and 29 percent below 1979. This is the off year for this alternate

bearing crop. The crop is progressing normally for an off year with good sizes in prospect.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 5.08 million pounds (2300 metric tons)

for August, down 5 percent from July but 45 percent more than August 1980. The second
yearly peak in papaya production is expected in September with 5.90 million pounds (2680 metric
tons) forecast. Fresh production is expected to decline to 5.70 million pounds (2590 metric
tons) in October and drop to 5.45 million pounds (2470 metric tons) in November.

July fresh papaya production is estimated at 5.37 million pounds (2440 metric tons), down 9
percent from June's record high total. However, harvested acreage for July was up 4 percent from
dune and total area in crop during July was up 2 percent from the previous month.

Cumulative fresh production, through the first seven months of this year, was 62 percent
more than the same period last year.

WALNUTS: The California walnut crop is forecast at 215 thousand tons (195 thousand metric tons),

unchanged from the July 1 forecast and 9 percent more than last year's crop. High
temperatures continued during July with some sunburn reported. Limb breakage is a problem in
some areas where the crop is very heavy. Generally the crop looks very good with excellent set
and nut sizes.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CROP ANO UNIT

> AUG 1,

INDICATED : : INDICATED:
1981 > 1980 : 1981 :

1,000 ACRES
CORN FOR GRAIN BU t 73,061 74,143 91.0 104.3 6,647,534 7,116,069 7,734,941

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN . > 12,722 13,633 46.2 61.1 587,997 833,476
OATS " > 8,640 9,654 53.0 54.1 457,593 528,118 522,408
BARLEY " : 7,233 9,070 49.6 53.3 358,544 478,437 483,316
ALL WHEAT " 70,853 80,689 33.4 34.0 2,369,666 2,810,102 2,747,395
WINTER " : 51,374 $8,525 36.8 35.3 1,891,251 2,092,692 2,064,845
DURUM " : 43840 5,648 22.4 33:0 "108,395 191,193 186,293
OTHER SPRING " > 14,639 16,516 25.3 30.0 370,020 526,217 496,257
RICE CWT 1/ 3,295.0 3,819.0 4,403 4,645 145,063 177,408
RYE Bu: 664 661 24.5 25.8 16,265 16,743 17,083
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS " 67,856 66,894 26.8 30.2 1,817,097 2,017,468
FLAXSEED " : 703 640 11.6 12.6 8,128 |, 083
PEANUTS FOR NUTS Le: 1,398.8 1,534.4 1,650 2,406 2,307,847 3,692,260
ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 13,214.8 —13,794.4 "404 515 11, 122.1 14,789.3

UPLAND wT + 133143821 13,733.1 402 514 11,017.9 14,694.4

AMER-PIMA "oT: : 13 698 743 104.2 94.
ALL HAY TON”: 59,437 59,444 2.21 2.32 131,070 137,754

ALFALFA, . Hy 26,269 26,165 3.04 3.08 79,865 80,644

ALL OTHER “ + 33,168 33,279 1.54 1,72 51,208 57,110
DRY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/: 1,836.0 2,231.0 1,422 1,471 26, 100 32,814
ORY EDIBLE PEAS “oy: 135.0 112.0 2,433 1,954 35.285 2,188
SUMMER POTATOES Cw 2 90.0 94.4 189 210 16,977 19,859 19,870
SWEETPOTATOES “ 3 102.2 109.6 107 7 10,953 12,869
TOBACCO LB: 917.6 958.1 1,943 2,051 ‘1,782,618 1,965,238
SUGARBEETS TON : 1,188.5 1,223.7 19.8. 20.8 23,499 25,490
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED “ : 732.7 743.6 36.8 37.7 26,963 27,997
HOPS: LB 2 37.1 43.1 2,037 1,873 75,560 80,710
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT: 60 82
APPLES, COM*L LB: 8,828,400 8,057,500 8,078,500
PEACHES 3/ * : 3,073,600 2,886,600 2,915,600
PEARS TON: 893.8 852.3 352.3
GRAPES “ : 5,595.1 4,488.4
PRUNES AND PLUMS :

(EXCL CALIF) " : 76.6 69.0
OLIVES (CALIF) “ : 1.0 44.0
WALNUTS (CALIF) " : 197.0 215.0 215.0
PEPPERMINT OIL LB 3 81.3 68.0 57 57 4,611 3,900
SPEARMINT OIL “ 31.3 29.5 68 65 2,139 1,925

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEEO CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1970-79 AVERAGE IS 76 PERCENT.
¥ INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS:
980-113,000,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED.

INDICATED
1981 1/

YIELO PER ACRE PRODUCTION

CROP AND UNIT

INDICATED
1981 1/

INDICATED
1981 7

POTATOES

WINTER CWT: M5 11.8 205 214 2,363

SPRING " : 72.6 78.4 235 265 17,072

FALL " : 981.2 1,042.7 270 264,594
SWEET CHERRIES TON: 171.7
TART CHERRIES 1B: 218,100
APRICOTS TON: 119.0
NECTARINES (CALIF) * : 192.5
PLUMS (CALIF) " : 160.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) . : 168.0
ALMONDS (CALIF ) UB 322,000

J/_ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/

: PRODUCTION 2/

STATE + TOTAL 3 TOTAL
1979

INDICATED

1980

MILLION POUNDS

t
ARK 34g 24.0 10.0
CALIF : 600.0 520.0
cOLo 3 100,0 70.0
CONN of 45.0 42.0
DEL 3st 13.0 13.5
GA Bee 35.0 36.0
IOAHO : 125.0 150.0
Tut 3 110.90 101.0
IND 3 70.0 7120
TOWA 3st 12.1 B64
KANS Bet 15.0 11.6
KY Bree 21.0 19.0
MAINE t 66,0 85.0
MD . 85.0 90.0
MASS % 95.0 100.0
MICH : 680.0 900.0
MING 3s 3 15.0 2360
MO 3 70.0 56.0
NH : 56.0 58.0
NJ : 110.0 110.0
N MEX Bes 14,0 12.0
NY 2 1,035.0 1,100.0
NC : 362.0 410.0
OHIO : 195.0 170.0
OREG : 170.0 195.0
PA z 535.0 570.0
RI 2 5.0 5.5
sc 34 35.0 32.0
TENN asi 10,0 6.0
UTAH art 51.0 52.0
vT : 49.0 50.0
VA : 470.0 420.0
WASH : 2,619.0 3,020.0
weVA 2 260.0 245.0
wis + 54.0 6540
us 3 8,143.1 8,828.4

'

1/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION ANO EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS)? UNITED STATES 1979-24,9,196018.0.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARKIED FORWARU FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

HOPS

YIELO : PRODUCTION 1/7

Ino ¢ z t  fwo : $ Inv
1981 2: 1979 1980 * 1981 % 1979 1980 2/ 3 1981

: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

14290 1,640 1,800 1,548 1,968
16710 19960 = 1,800 4,617 57488
16540 1,960 1,800 8,624 12,152
1,800 2,080 1,900 40,140 55,952
16727 2,037 1,873 54,929 75,560

1/ 1964 QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991,
2/ INCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS)&
OREG=89,000, WASH=799,000,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-21 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


AREA HARVESTED + YIELO PROOUCTION
STATE  Sewnwenanenen woe: weer nnn ee nnn n enw n nnn nensenne wenenaeenea-s
IND + 3 # OIND 3 INO
1980 3 1981 F 1979 3 1980 # 1983 1979 3 1980 ¢ 1981
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 cet
ARK 17020,0 45280.0 © 14580.0 4320 45110 4,400 = 44,064 = $2,615 69, S20
CALIF 522.0 548.0 580.0 6,520 6/440 6,700 34,042 35,301 38,860
LA 585.0 660.0 3,910 3,550 3,860 20,643 20,768 25,476
MIss 240.0 335.0 2,050 3,840 4,150 8,304 9,226 13,903
“Oo 56.0 77,0 3,810 4,180 4,200 1,333 2,34) 3,234
TEX 557.0 586.0 587.0 4220 4230 4,500 23,481 24,612 26, 415
us 2,869,0 3,295.0 3,819.0 4/599 4,403 4,605 131,947 145,063 177,408
RYE
AREA HARVESTED YIELO PROOUCTION
STATE towne rn nennnennwncenwenne nena. sereceense
: 2 Inv = IND : 3 IND
3 1979: 1980 3 1983 1979} 1980 5 198
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS
coLo 1/t s 6 5S 20.0 20.0 20,0 100 120 100
DEL = 1/3 3 3 3B 20,0 29,0 31,0 72 8? 93
GA V/s 110 95 100 24.0 21.0 26,0 2,310 1,995 2,600
Tub : 17 16 14 23.00 23,0 24,0 392 368 336
IND 3 8 7 8 26.0 26.0 25,0 208 182 200
IOWA 1/3 5 s S 29,0 30,0 30,0 145 150 ‘150
KANS z 18 10 9 28.0 21.0 20.0 504 210 180
ky ws 4 3 4 20,0 24,0 25,0 96 72 100
md z 7 8 8 29,0 27,0 = 30,0 203 216 240
MICH 5 25 a1 19° 25.0 24,0 26,0 62S 504 aga
MINN % 76 84 25,08 a5, 28,0 20275 1,900 2,352
MO ws 8 5 6 23,0 23.0 = 25,0 184 115 150
NEBR 3 35 26 a8 22.0 18.0 19,0 7709 468 532
Na 3 10 8 Ms 25,0 27.0 28,0 250 are 308
ny 3 10 9 9 32.0 32.0 33,0 320 268 297
nc : 20 20 200 23.0 18,0 460 400 360
N DAK 5 150 70 80 28.0 24.0 29,0 4,200 1/470 2.320
T 6 31.0 33.0 52,0 155 est 192
32. 26,0 © 24,0 20,0 910 816 640
6 24,0 25,0 26,0 144 150 156
wv 27,0 9 3h. 34,0 459 434 314
31 21.0 22.0 ato 609 616 651
105 30.0 3240 = 28.0 5,700 4,030 2,940
as 19.0 19.0 19.0 513 49a 47s
15 24,0 © 2560-290 364 325 435
17-2340 83,40 24,0 368 368 408
17.0 20, 34 40
663 25,8 24,5 25.8 22,389 16,265 17,083

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 198) B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USOA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1971-81 (197

1972 85 88 96 78 110 95 91 72
1973 91 90 101 85 97 90 91 86
1974 83 73 96 91 91 80 104 70
1975 93 30 100 107 113 58 114 86
1976 91 95 93 106 2 74 2 74
1977 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 102 108 106 93 100 75 106 105
1979 2 116 108 108 93 102 80 129
1980 101 97 98 120 97 77 93 100
1981 2 115 101 140 103 103 103 113

1/__ INCLUDES GRASS AND COVER CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN
SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information
on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Re-
porting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington
headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

D. W. Barrowman, Acting Chairman,
G. L. Clampet, Secretary,
APPROVED: R. L. Schulte, O. S. Findley,
G. R. Knight, W. N. Sherman
R. L. Addison, M. A. Anderson,
W. R. Blackson, W. T. Brannen,
J. €. Brewster, J. S. Buche,
. A. R. Budge, T. J. Byram,
BY) ‘ W. G. Hamlin, C. D. James,
0. C. Johnson, S. E. Keller,
S. R. Koyle, D. G. Loos,
R. W. Milton, G, A. Nelson,
DO. E. Ransom, C. 0. Spillmann,

F. A. Vogel.
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USD

5

a

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981




ALL HAY

AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION

INO z IND
3 1981 1979 = 1980 1981

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

Fy IND
1961 3

ALA 660 625 660 1.65 1.70 1,188 1,031 1,122
ARIZ 199 195 166 6.46 7.02 1,093 1,260 1,263
ARK 933 921 940 1.33 1,94 1,774 1,221 1,820
CALIF 1,560 1,550 1,565 4.99 9.68. 74295 7,736 7,330
coLo 1,540 1,500 1,440 2.18 2.22 3,574 3,276 3,198
CONN 86 86 a7 1.95 2,05 180 168
DEL 19 18 17 2.22 2429 a7 40
FLA 269 240 250 2.30 2.20 e19 552
GA aso 460 a7s 1.60 1.80 1,170 736
IDAHO 1,368 1,380 1,370 3418 3.20 4,126 4,395
TLL 1,180 1,160 1,150 3.07 3.20 3,766 3,558
IND 815 805 785 2.74 2,06 2,119 2,208
IOWA 24330 24270 2250 3.54 3.67 8,747 8,037
KANS 2-300 27200 27240 1.92 2.47 5,840 44230
KY 1,594 1,560 1,550 1.90 1.96 3,134 2,970
wy 385 355 370 1.72 2.21
MAINE 216 220 218 1.65 1.83
MD 246 235 234 2.40 2,58
MASS 119 119 120 217 2.28
MICH 1,330 1,310 1,250 2.93 2.78
MINN 2,950 2,950 2,860 2041 2.64
MISS 660 650 660 1,60 1,90
Mo 3,420 3,270 3,420 1.37 2,02
MONT 24380 21200 2250 1.90 1.91
NEBR 34700 3,700 3,700 1.91 1.80
NEV 495 500 480 2.19 2.11

NH 92 93 93 2.01 2.13
NJ 127 107 105 2.38 2.78
N MEX 319 310 320 3.69 4,23
NY 2,450 2,430 2,330 2.26 2.36 2.34
nc 378 362 36a 1,65 1.55 1.60
N DAK 3,500 2,620 3,000 0.89 1.40
OH10 1,446 14430 1,400 . 2.51 2.36
OKLA 1,909 1,570 1,630 2,09 1.47 4489
OREG 1,060 1,070 1,040 2.42 2.70 2.71
PA 1,960 1,950 1,920 2,14 2.23
RI Mn et il 1.64 1.91
sc 21s 208 215 1.70 1,95
S_DAK 4,300 41160 4,130 1.29 1.23
TENN 1,240 1,185 1,250 1.49 1,63
TEX 2,790 2,670 2,835 2.07 2.37
UTAH 598 595 600 3.46 3.31
vt 44s ass 450 1.95 2.06
vA 978 967 960 1.68 1.72
wASH 653 865 855 3,03 3.07
w ova 585 595 590 1.64 1.64
wis 4,050 3,900 3,600 3.22 3.12
nO 1,200 1,185 1,205 1.56 1.61
us 61,666 131,070

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Late July rains in Michigan provided adequate moisture for good pod development. North
Dakota farmers, expecting a 61 percent production increase over last year, report good or better
conditions for their beans and near normal moisture supplies. Some rust is reported in the Red
River Valley in both North Dakota and Minnesota as fields near maturity. In Nebraska and
Kansas, growing conditions are good to excellent even thought some fields have been damaged by
hail. More Colorado acreage is under irrigation this year and the acreage is now rated good to
very good. Dryland areas in Southwest Colorado are showing some signs of moisture stress.

Planting in California was completed by the end of July and fields are in good condition.
Cool, wet weather in Washington delayed planting and slowed early development of dry beans, but
provided a favorable bloom period. Wyoming fields are in mostly good condition with 60 percent
of the crop in bloom by the first of August, somewhat behind the 5 year average of 79 percent.
Idaho beans were just beginning to set by August first.

DRY EDIBLE PEAS: Ory edible pea production in Idaho and Washington for 1981 is forecast at 2.19

million hundredweight (99.3 thousand metric tons), down one-third from last
year, but 7 percent larger than the 1979 crop. Area for harvest in the two State production
area is estimated at 112 thousand acres (45.3 thousand hectares), down 17 percent. With harvest
in the early stages, average yield is forecast at 1954 pounds per acre. This is 20 percent less
than last year's record high yield but 30 percent above the 1979 level.

Warmer July weather has brought the Washington crop along well after wet, cool conditions
during much of May and dune. Harvest began in mid-July. A wide range of planting dates may
result in a longer than normal harvest season. In Idaho, early harvest has begun but wet spring
weather slowed development leading to harvest delays in some areas.

POTATOES: Summer potato production in the U.S. is forecast at 19.9 million cwt (901 thousand

metric tons), virtually unchanged from Jast month. Although this forecast is 17
percent above last year's record low output, the 198] crop will be the second smallest of
record. Yields are expected to average 210 cwt per acre, 21 cwt above 1980 but 1 cwt below
1979. Acreage intended for harvest at 94.4 thousand acres (38.2 thousand hectares) is 5 percent
above last year's record low, but 9 percent below 1979.

In Virginia, harvest is nearing completion after an ideal season. Expected production at
2.32 million cwt is 51 percent above last year with good quality reported. Alabama's crop at
1.46 million cwt is over 3 times as large as last year's crop which was reduced by drought. New
Jersey's production is forecast at 2.07 million cwt, 5 percent above 1980. Delaware's
production is forecast 18 percent above last year as harvest nears the halfway mark.

In Michigan and Minnesota, crop prospects declined 8 and 5 percent, repsectively since the
July 1 forecast. Michigan's production is now expected to be 125 thousand cwt less than 1980,
Prospects in Minnesota declined 92 thousand cwt from July 1, but the crop is 5 percent above the
1980 level. Harvest is ahead of schedule in Texas with both size and quality reported good.
Production is down fractionally from last year.

California's crop is forecast at 2.92 million cwt, 5 percent above 1980. Harvest continues
in Riverside County with good quality and yields. Harvest is just underway in the Stockton and
Santa Maria areas. The Colorado crop is in very good condition with harvest just beginning.
Production is forecast 17 percent greater than in 1980.

SWEETPOTATOES: The first forecast of sweetpotato production in the United States totals 12.9

million cwt (584 thousand metric tons), 17 percent above last year's record low
output but 4 percent below 1979. Production is expected to be above 1980 in every State. The
average yield at 117 cwt per acre is 10 cwt above last year but equal to 1979. Area intended
for harvest at 110 thousand acres (44.4 thousand hectares) is 7 percent above 1980 but 4 percent
below 1979.

Crop prospects in North Carolina are brighter than last year but have been dimmed somewhat.
by dry weather. With harvest expected to get underway within a few days production is forecast
at 5.07 million cwt, 19 percent above 1980. The Louisiana crop is generally in good condition
with harvest beginning in early July in the Breaux Bridge - Cecilia area. Production at 2.34
million cwt is expected to be 10 percent above last year.

Despite early wet conditions and current dry weather, Texas crop prospects are higher than a
year ago when drought took its toll. Production is forecast at 74] thousand cwt, 43 percent
above last year. Additional moisture is needed to complete development. Harvest is expected to
begin in mid-August. In California, above normal temperatures during June and July hastened
crop development and good yields are expected, California's production at 1.56 million cwt is 3
percent greater than the previous year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-13, CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Production in the Eastern States is forecast at 2.78 billion pounds, 17 percent below last
year. Despite some spring freeze damage and poor pollination, the New York crop is making good
progress and some spot picking has begun. Moisture was generally adequate in Pennsylvania with
sizing and color normal for this time of year. Conditions improved in Virginia as most areas,
except the Southwest, received normal or above normal rainfall during July. Prospects in North
Carolina are unchanged from July 1 with the crop in good condition.

The crop in the Central States is forecast at 1.17 billion pounds, 19 percent less than the
1980 crop. Prospects increased 3 percent from July 1 in Illinois and 13 percent in Missouri,
while decreasing 10 percent in Wisconsin. In Michigan, cool nights added color, but fire blight
is a wide spread problem. Picking of summer varieties is underway. The Ohio crop is making
uneven progress despite generally favorably moisture and temperature conditions.

The Western States expect a crop of 4.13 billion pounds, 3 percent more than production the
previous year. Washington expects a new record crop of 3.05 billion pounds, the same as last
month's forecast and 1 percent above the previous record set in 1980. July temperatures were
below normal in Washington. The crop continues to size well but size is expected to be smaller
than last year. Harvesting of summer varieties began in late July. The Oregon forecast
increased 1} percent from last months level to 195 million pounds, matching 1980 production.
Apples are sizing well under favorable conditions and some early varieties are being picked.
The California forecast of 620 million pounds is unchanged from July 1 and 19 percent above
1980. The Gravenstein harvest began in mid-July, and size and quality are excellent.

PEACHES: Peach production in the United States is forecast at 2.92 billion pounds (1.32 million

metric tons), up 1 percent from the July 1 forecast but 5 percent smaller than the
1980 crop. Excluding California Clingstone peaches, the crop is forecast at 1.60 billion
pounds, 1 percent more than last year.

The Clingstone crop in California at 1.32 billion pounds is 12 percent below 1980
production. California's Freestone crop at 480 million pounds is 2 percent larger than last
year and unchanged from last month. Fruit size is smaller than normal.

The South Carolina crop is forecast at 410 million pounds, up 5 percent from a month ago and
15 percent greater than last season's crop. Harvest was essentially complete for growers in the
Ridge area while Piedmont producers were completing picking of Blakes and moving to later
maturing varieties.

New Jersey expects to harvest 90.0 million pounds, up 10.0 million pounds from last months
forecast. Fruit is of excellent size and quality and size is partially offsetting the light
set. Harvest is progressing ahead of normal.

Pennsylvania peach production at 65.0 million pounds is 38 percent less than last year's
production, but unchanged from last month's forecast. Precipitation during July was adequate
for sizing. Harvest of early varieties started in late July.

In Michigan, harvest of the forecast 35.0 million pound crop is underway. Quality and color
are reported good.

PEARS: Production of pears in the U.S. is forecast at 852 thousand tons (773 thousand metric
tons), unchanged from the July 1 forecast and 5 percent less than last year.

The forecast of Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington at 585 thousand
tons (531 thousand metric tons) is unchanged from last month but 4 percent tess than last year.
Harvest began in early July in California with quality good and size about normal. Canners have
reduced purchases of fruit and fresh market demand has also been off. Washington expects
Bartlett harvest to start in mid-August. The Oregon crop looks good at this time.

Production of pears other than Bartlett in the Pacific Coast States, forecast at 226 thousand
tons (205 thousand metric tons) is unchanged from last month but 7 percent smaller than last
year. Washington Anjous had a heavy set but size is expected to be small. Harvest is expected
to begin in late August. California harvest should start in mid-August. In Oregon, pears were
sizing well, where thinning had taken place.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1981 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA