Cr Pr 2-2 (8-03) a

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released August 12, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 12 Percent from 2002

Soybean Production Up 5 Percent from 2002

Cotton Production Down 1 Percent from Previous Year

All Wheat Production Down 1 Percent from July

Corn production is forecast at 10.1 billion bushels, up 12 percent from last year and 6 percent above 2001. 

Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 139.9 bushels per acre, up 9.9 bushels

from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. The previous record for

both was set in 1994 when production was estimated at slightly below the 10.1 billion bushels being forecast

for 2003 and yield was 138.6 bushels per acre. Yields are higher in all States east of the Mississippi River as

favorable precipitation and temperatures have been received since planting occurred. With the exception of

Iowa and Minnesota, forecasted yields in all the Corn Belt States are increasing from last year. However,

both States are forecasting lower yields from record 2002 estimates. Farmers expect to harvest 71.9 million

acres of corn for grain, down 70,000 acres from June but up 4 percent from 2002. 

Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 5 percent from 2002 but down 1 percent from

2001. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.4 bushels per acre, up 1.6 bushels

from 2002. Yields are higher than 2002 across much of the United States. However, the average yield in

Iowa, Minnesota, and Oklahoma is expected to be lower, while yields are expected to be the same in Illinois,

Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and North Dakota. Area for harvest, at 72.6 million acres is down

55,000 acres from June but up 1 percent from 2002 acreage.

All cotton production is forecast at 17.1 million 480-pound bales, down 1 percent from last year's

17.2 million bales. The yield is expected to average 667 pounds per harvested acre, up 2 pounds from 2002. 

Upland cotton production is forecast at 16.7 million 480-pound bales, 1 percent above 2002. American-Pima

production is forecast at 450,500 bales, down 34 percent from last year's output. Producers expect to harvest

12.3 million acres of all cotton, 1 percent below last year. Upland cotton harvested area, at 12.1 million acres,

is 60,000 acres less than a year ago. American-Pima harvested area is expected to total 178,400 acres,

26 percent less than 2002. Texas increased American-Pima planted area by 4,000 acres, resulting in a total

U.S. American-Pima planted estimate of 180,000 acres.

All wheat production is placed at 2.29 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the July forecast but up

42 percent from 2002. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 43.5 bushels per acre,

down 0.4 bushels from last month.

Update Alert 

 The corn narrative below indicated that the August corn production is up 2 

 percent from 2001. The actual change is up 6 percent. The narrative has been 

 updated. The correction only effects the narrative for corn on this page. 

 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 2 NASS, USDA

The final Winter wheat production forecast is 1.71 billion bushels. This is down slightly from last month but

50 percent above 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 46.9 bushels per acre, down 0.1 bushels from last month.

Hard Red Winter, at 1.09 billion bushels, is up fractionally from a month ago. Soft Red Winter is down

slightly from the last forecast, at 365 million bushels. White Winter is down 2 percent from last month and

totals 254 million bushels. 

Durum wheat production is forecast at 87.4 million bushels, down 7 percent from last month but up

10 percent from 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 31.9 bushels per acre, 2.2 bushels less than last month.

Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 492 million bushels, down 2 percent from last month but

25 percent above 2002. Acreage intended for harvest is unchanged from last month. The U.S. yield is

forecast at 36.6 bushels per acre, 0.7 bushels less than July 1. Of the production total, 460 million is Hard

Red Spring wheat, down 1 percent from last month.

This report was approved on August 12, 2003.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Bill Hawks

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Apples .............................................................................. 25

Barley ............................................................................... 7

Beans, Dry Edible ..................................................................... 17

Coffee ............................................................................... 26

Corn for Grain ......................................................................... 5

Cotton ............................................................................... 16

Cottonseed ........................................................................... 17

Crop Comments ....................................................................... 37

Crop Summary ........................................................................ 28

Ginger Root .......................................................................... 26

Grapes .............................................................................. 27

Hay, Alfalfa .......................................................................... 12

 Other ........................................................................... 13

Hops ................................................................................ 27

Information Contacts ................................................................... 50

Oats ................................................................................ 7

Olives ............................................................................... 27

Papayas .............................................................................. 26

Peaches .............................................................................. 24

Peanuts .............................................................................. 15

Pears ................................................................................ 26

Prunes and Plums ...................................................................... 24

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ................................................. 48

Rice ................................................................................ 11

Rice, by Class ......................................................................... 11

Selected Crops ......................................................................... 4

Sorghum for Grain ...................................................................... 6

Soybeans ............................................................................ 14

Sugarbeets ........................................................................... 23

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ............................................................ 23

Tobacco ............................................................................. 20

Weather Summary ..................................................................... 36

Weather Maps ........................................................................ 34

Wheat, Durum ......................................................................... 9

Wheat, by Class ........................................................................ 9

Wheat, Head Population ................................................................. 10

Wheat, Other Spring ..................................................................... 9

Wheat, Winter ......................................................................... 8
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 4 NASS, USDA

Selected Crops: Area Planted by State

and United States, 2003

State Corn Soybeans Peanuts Upland

Cotton Sorghum Sugarbeets Dry EdibleBeans

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

230

45

350

500

1,000

30

180

85

370

200

11,100

5,700

12,400

2,900

1,230

500

26

 *510

22

2,300

7,100

550

2,950

60

8,000

4

16

80

130

1,020

740

1,450

3,450

 *220

65

1,450

2

320

4,500

690

2,000

55

96

480

130

45

3,700

85

79,066

190

2,900

 *180

11

180

10,600

5,400

10,400

2,700

1,120

900

 *460

2,100

7,600

1,360

4,950

4,700

100

145

1,430

3,100

4,400

 *240

370

480

4,100

1,180

230

 *510

17

1,600

73,653

190

 *115

 *540

17

 *100

 *40

 *19

260

 *34

 *1,315

560

 *210

950

550

100

 *1,300

125

550

1,120

400

 *55

 *840

190

250

560

 *5,600

91

 *13,451

12.0

15.0

230.0

10.0

350.0

2.0

50.0

110.0

3,700.0

25.0

170.0

5.0

85.0

210.0

650.0

150.0

18.0

350.0

14.0

7.0

270.0

35.0

 *3,300.0

9.0

 *9,777.0

50

 *29

 *208

179

470

52

 *45

280

2

10

4

36

 *1,365

 *76.0

60.0

80.0

12.0

200.0

145.0

 *19.0

 *150.0

 *10.0

25.0

600.0

8.0

17.0

27.0

5.6

 *26.0

6.6

 *34.0

 *1,501.2

* Updated from the June 2003 "Acreage" report.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 5 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

180

260

150

720

167

290

11,000

5,220

11,900

2,500

1,040

560

425

2,020

6,700

530

2,700

7,350

70

49

450

700

995

2,870

190

870

260

3,200

620

1,820

305

70

2,900

232

69,313

210

340

110

850

170

330

10,950

5,500

12,100

2,700

1,130

480

430

2,050

6,550

530

2,850

7,650

67

40

430

640

1,250

3,200

190

900

300

4,100

630

1,750

275

80

2,900

233

71,915

88.0

134.0

170.0

156.0

83.0

115.0

136.0

121.0

165.0

116.0

102.0

122.0

76.0

115.0

157.0

125.0

105.0

128.0

58.0

180.0

97.0

83.0

115.0

88.0

130.0

68.0

46.0

95.0

107.0

113.0

66.0

190.0

135.0

133.7

130.0

104.0

135.0

170.0

143.0

138.0

140.0

154.0

144.0

158.0

124.0

130.0

125.0

131.0

130.0

156.0

130.0

110.0

135.0

106.0

170.0

110.0

110.0

115.0

142.0

130.0

115.0

105.0

110.0

120.0

112.0

125.0

195.0

138.0

141.6

139.9

16,050

26,825

27,200

149,800

23,652

29,480

1,649,200

884,520

1,664,400

387,350

156,200

45,436

55,760

199,500

806,000

50,050

345,800

1,139,250

7,392

8,280

56,700

78,125

81,075

437,460

26,250

97,020

25,920

370,600

81,840

167,560

40,590

10,450

330,200

30,905

9,506,840

15,840

34,840

25,500

112,320

13,861

33,350

1,496,000

631,620

1,963,500

290,000

106,080

68,320

32,300

232,300

1,051,900

66,250

283,500

940,800

4,060

8,820

43,650

58,100

114,425

252,560

24,700

59,160

11,960

304,000

66,340

205,660

20,130

13,300

391,500

31,013

9,007,659

21,840

45,900

18,700

121,550

23,460

46,200

1,686,300

792,000

1,911,800

334,800

146,900

60,000

56,330

266,500

1,021,800

68,900

313,500

1,032,750

7,102

6,800

47,300

70,400

143,750

454,400

24,700

103,500

31,500

451,000

75,600

196,000

34,375

15,600

400,200

32,995

10,064,452

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop

Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 6 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

Sts 1

US

230

90

77

3,000

165

185

300

80

330

90

2,550

202

7,299

215

250

105

3,400

165

205

510

100

270

150

2,650

221

8,241

77.0

20.0

83.0

45.0

81.0

85.0

50.0

35.0

45.0

34.0

51.0

69.3

50.7

82.0

30.0

85.0

49.0

82.0

90.0

61.0

35.0

45.0

57.0

54.0

78.7

54.4

14,620

9,460

8,085

232,500

17,850

20,680

35,700

6,300

15,120

8,850

130,000

15,359

514,524

17,710

1,800

6,391

135,000

13,365

15,725

15,000

2,800

14,850

3,060

130,050

14,007

369,758

17,630

7,500

8,925

166,600

13,530

18,450

31,110

3,500

12,150

8,550

143,100

17,393

448,438

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 7 NASS, USDA

Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

CA

ID

IL

IA

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NY

ND

OH

OR

PA

SD

TX

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

27

25

50

175

60

65

285

55

55

55

290

60

35

115

100

160

250

236

2,098

30

25

50

150

90

75

260

65

110

65

340

65

35

115

220

120

250

266

2,331

80.0

70.0

69.0

76.0

52.0

64.0

56.0

49.0

43.0

66.0

44.0

62.0

88.0

61.0

45.0

44.0

60.0

56.9

56.8

80.0

70.0

83.0

76.0

54.0

70.0

64.0

54.0

68.0

63.0

65.0

66.0

110.0

67.0

65.0

42.0

65.0

59.7

64.7

70.0

65.0

83.0

80.0

70.0

70.0

68.0

47.0

75.0

66.0

56.0

66.0

100.0

66.0

67.0

42.0

65.0

60.9

64.9

2,160

1,750

3,450

13,300

3,120

4,160

15,960

2,695

2,365

3,630

12,760

3,720

3,080

7,015

4,500

7,040

15,000

13,427

119,132

2,100

1,625

4,150

12,000

6,300

5,250

17,680

3,055

8,250

4,290

19,040

4,290

3,500

7,590

14,740

5,040

16,250

16,195

151,345

 1 Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published

in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".

Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

CO

DE

ID

MD

MN

MT

ND

OR

PA

SD

UT

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

40

75

72

23

710

41

165

950

1,240

74

60

45

45

40

340

70

145

4,135

19

58

72

22

740

40

150

950

2,050

60

65

75

28

45

300

80

145

4,899

110.0

68.0

100.0

84.0

76.0

82.0

39.0

42.0

46.0

50.0

74.0

41.0

64.0

77.0

54.0

70.0

57.5

54.9

117.0

68.0

107.0

65.0

74.0

61.0

62.0

51.0

55.0

60.0

64.0

53.0

80.0

67.0

53.0

85.0

60.9

59.5

117.0

68.0

107.0

58.0

72.0

61.0

64.0

44.0

55.0

57.0

60.0

53.0

74.0

63.0

49.0

84.0

60.9

57.5

4,400

5,100

7,200

1,932

53,960

3,362

6,435

39,900

57,040

3,700

4,440

1,845

2,880

3,080

18,360

4,900

8,339

226,873

2,223

3,944

7,704

1,276

53,280

2,440

9,600

41,800

112,750

3,420

3,900

3,975

2,072

2,835

14,700

6,720

8,836

281,475

 1 Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in

the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 8 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

MD

MI

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

840

300

1,650

58

200

690

650

330

8,100

340

180

490

205

760

750

1,520

128

480

810

3,500

710

185

190

625

300

2,700

170

1,750

120

920

29,651

580

400

2,200

47

230

720

780

420

9,700

300

150

660

125

780

1,750

1,700

119

420

960

4,700

950

160

200

1,520

270

3,600

165

1,800

165

920

36,491

46.0

75.0

22.0

70.0

41.0

79.0

49.0

53.0

33.0

53.0

66.0

67.0

44.0

45.0

28.0

32.0

58.0

42.0

62.0

28.0

41.0

54.0

37.0

29.0

46.0

29.0

63.0

59.0

19.0

41.3

38.5

50.0

65.0

35.0

52.0

44.0

82.0

62.0

65.0

49.0

59.0

56.0

66.0

48.0

58.0

37.0

47.0

60.0

37.0

66.0

41.0

53.0

50.0

38.0

41.0

52.0

29.0

53.0

64.0

29.0

45.2

47.0

50.0

65.0

35.0

40.0

44.0

82.0

63.0

66.0

49.0

62.0

36.0

68.0

48.0

61.0

37.0

49.0

55.0

36.0

66.0

41.0

48.0

42.0

38.0

42.0

52.0

28.0

50.0

64.0

29.0

45.5

46.9

38,640

22,500

36,300

4,060

8,200

54,510

31,850

17,490

267,300

18,020

11,880

32,830

9,020

34,200

21,000

48,640

7,424

20,160

50,220

98,000

29,110

9,990

7,030

18,125

13,800

78,300

10,710

103,250

2,280

37,963

1,142,802

29,000

26,000

77,000

1,880

10,120

59,040

49,140

27,720

475,300

18,600

5,400

44,880

6,000

47,580

64,750

83,300

6,545

15,120

63,360

192,700

45,600

6,720

7,600

63,840

14,040

100,800

8,250

115,200

4,785

41,880

1,712,150

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 9 NASS, USDA

Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

MT

ND

Oth

 Sts 1

US

89

90

565

1,950

9

2,703

106

115

640

1,850

27

2,738

95.0

100.0

23.0

25.0

27.8

29.4

91.0

95.0

29.0

29.0

26.4

34.1

91.0

95.0

25.0

27.0

30.9

31.9

8,455

9,000

12,995

48,750

250

79,450

9,646

10,925

16,000

49,950

834

87,355

 1 Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Jul 1 Aug 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

ID

MN

MT

ND

OR

SD

WA

Oth

 Sts 1

US

510

1,800

3,450

5,900

140

1,000

615

48

13,463

460

1,800

2,800

6,300

135

1,350

545

58

13,448

65.0

34.0

22.0

28.0

35.0

24.0

43.0

70.7

29.3

66.0

44.0

29.0

36.0

40.0

38.0

44.0

56.3

37.3

63.0

48.0

24.0

36.0

35.0

39.0

41.0

55.5

36.6

33,150

61,200

75,900

165,200

4,900

24,000

26,445

3,394

394,189

28,980

86,400

67,200

226,800

4,725

52,650

22,345

3,220

492,320

 1 Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003

Summary".

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002

and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1

Year

Winter Spring

Hard Total

Red

Soft

Red White HardRed White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

2001

2002

2003

766,795

609,243

1,092,946

399,670

332,275

365,224

195,014

201,284

253,980

475,515

356,597

459,931

36,493

37,592

32,389

83,556

79,450

87,355

1,957,043

1,616,441

2,291,825

 1 Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used

throughout the forecast season except in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, and Washington which have been updated with current

data.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 10 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Head Population

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat

estimating States during 2003. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May

through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from

this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested.

Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot,

Selected States, 1999-2003

State Month 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 1

Number Number Number Number Number

CO

IL

KS

MO

MT

NE

OH

OK

TX

WA

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

42.1

43.5

43.4

59.7

59.6

59.6

49.4

49.4

49.4

47.0

47.0

47.0

37.0

36.5

36.3

59.8

57.9

57.9

57.0

57.3

57.3

40.2

40.1

40.1

40.7

40.7

40.7

35.1

34.3

35.0

48.0

47.7

47.7

55.0

55.0

55.0

46.5

46.5

46.5

49.9

49.9

49.9

41.3

40.3

40.3

57.5

58.3

58.3

59.5

59.5

59.5

40.2

40.2

40.2

31.4

31.5

31.6

40.6

40.0

40.1

34.2

33.7

33.9

53.1

52.0

52.0

39.7

39.7

39.7

47.7

47.7

47.7

25.6

25.2

25.2

46.6

46.8

46.8

52.0

51.7

51.7

32.5

32.5

32.5

33.4

33.4

33.4

37.3

36.7

36.8

35.9

35.6

35.6

59.4

59.5

59.5

41.7

41.7

41.7

54.8

54.8

54.8

36.3

34.3

34.3

52.4

52.8

52.8

58.5

57.8

57.8

40.2

40.2

40.2

34.2

34.2

34.2

37.8

37.6

37.8

38.9

38.4

56.5

56.6

50.4

50.6

51.3

51.3

44.5

42.9

59.5

59.6

53.1

53.3

46.8

46.8

36.3

35.9

37.2

36.5

 1 Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 11 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,503

528

535

253

182

206

3,207

1,436

467

465

253

165

181

2,967

6,440

8,140

5,500

6,400

6,050

7,100

6,578

6,450

8,000

5,600

6,400

6,100

7,100

6,577

102,858

38,490

30,014

16,698

12,420

14,790

215,270

96,752

42,989

29,400

16,192

11,011

14,616

210,960

92,622

37,360

26,040

16,192

10,065

12,851

195,130

 1 Sweet rice acreage and production included in 2003, but not previous years.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain 1 All

1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

2001

2002

2003 2

167,555

157,243

144,728

46,105

52,201

48,874

1,610

1,516

1,528

215,270

210,960

195,130

 1 Sweet rice production included with short grain in 2003, but not previous years. 2 Indicated August 1, 2003, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 12 NASS, USDA

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AZ

CA

CO

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

MI

MN

MO

MT

NE

NV

NM

NY

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TX

UT

VA

WA

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

230

1,140

780

1,250

450

280

1,250

950

300

900

1,600

460

1,400

1,350

275

260

570

1,450

590

340

475

680

2,400

130

560

120

490

1,650

500

305

23,135

245

1,090

750

1,200

450

330

1,380

950

300

750

1,450

450

1,650

1,450

265

250

600

1,550

580

310

460

700

2,600

140

545

130

490

1,600

600

276

23,541

8.10

7.10

2.90

4.00

3.60

3.30

3.90

3.70

3.00

3.50

3.30

3.00

2.10

3.00

4.30

5.60

2.30

1.30

3.00

3.50

4.30

2.60

1.40

5.00

3.60

2.50

5.00

2.80

2.30

2.69

3.19

8.00

7.00

3.00

4.00

3.80

3.60

4.00

3.80

3.10

3.40

3.20

3.10

2.10

3.30

4.60

5.30

2.20

1.70

3.60

3.10

4.60

3.10

2.20

4.30

4.00

3.40

5.00

2.50

2.40

3.08

3.31

1,720

7,272

3,610

4,368

1,950

1,320

4,625

4,140

925

3,240

5,075

1,373

3,045

5,148

1,193

1,350

1,568

3,360

1,995

945

1,978

1,675

6,600

637

2,200

341

2,256

4,250

1,276

892

80,327

1,863

8,094

2,262

5,000

1,620

924

4,875

3,515

900

3,150

5,280

1,380

2,940

4,050

1,183

1,456

1,311

1,885

1,770

1,190

2,043

1,768

3,360

650

2,016

300

2,450

4,620

1,150

819

73,824

1,960

7,630

2,250

4,800

1,710

1,188

5,520

3,610

930

2,550

4,640

1,395

3,465

4,785

1,219

1,325

1,320

2,635

2,088

961

2,116

2,170

5,720

602

2,180

442

2,450

4,000

1,440

851

77,952

 1 Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 13 NASS, USDA

All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AR

CA

CO

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

800

1,350

500

570

650

320

350

320

350

2,300

2,100

450

250

700

750

3,800

1,200

1,900

1,150

730

1,850

900

2,400

620

1,120

1,600

2,000

5,500

1,250

320

520

400

450

1,892

41,362

780

1,320

470

850

630

300

350

320

320

2,150

2,200

400

250

750

750

3,950

1,000

1,850

1,000

760

1,400

770

2,300

590

1,200

1,900

1,950

5,400

1,150

310

540

450

580

1,898

40,838

2.20

2.60

3.00

1.30

2.60

1.90

2.10

2.10

2.20

1.50

2.20

2.50

2.20

1.90

2.50

1.70

1.40

1.00

2.10

1.50

1.10

2.20

1.60

2.20

1.60

0.90

2.20

2.40

1.40

2.80

1.80

1.80

1.00

2.03

1.86

2.20

2.40

3.20

1.70

3.00

1.80

2.50

2.50

2.50

1.70

2.40

2.90

2.20

2.00

2.50

1.80

1.30

1.35

1.80

2.80

1.25

2.50

1.80

2.20

1.90

1.30

2.50

2.10

2.40

2.90

2.00

1.70

1.30

2.18

2.01

2,392

2,730

1,643

1,170

1,950

570

720

728

940

3,840

4,620

1,260

550

1,120

1,950

6,480

1,400

2,430

1,980

1,518

1,705

2,280

3,080

1,074

1,764

2,550

4,620

10,200

2,400

832

954

540

605

3,842

76,437

1,760

3,510

1,500

741

1,690

608

735

672

770

3,450

4,620

1,125

550

1,330

1,875

6,460

1,680

1,900

2,415

1,095

2,035

1,980

3,840

1,364

1,792

1,440

4,400

13,200

1,750

896

936

720

450

3,849

77,138

1,716

3,168

1,504

1,445

1,890

540

875

800

800

3,655

5,280

1,160

550

1,500

1,875

7,110

1,300

2,498

1,800

2,128

1,750

1,925

4,140

1,298

2,280

2,470

4,875

11,340

2,760

899

1,080

765

754

4,136

82,066

 1 Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates

will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 14 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

155

2,880

185

140

10,460

5,750

10,310

2,540

1,260

650

470

2,030

7,100

1,370

5,000

4,580

97

138

1,280

2,630

4,710

250

350

415

4,090

1,120

215

440

1,520

25

72,160

175

2,850

175

170

10,550

5,300

10,350

2,600

1,100

870

450

2,090

7,500

1,310

4,900

4,650

98

142

1,360

3,050

4,380

225

365

460

4,050

1,150

210

490

1,580

26

72,626

24.0

33.5

25.0

21.0

43.0

41.0

48.0

23.0

32.5

32.0

23.0

38.5

43.5

32.0

34.0

38.5

23.0

32.0

23.5

33.0

30.0

28.0

26.0

17.0

31.0

31.0

28.0

23.0

44.0

35.1

37.8

28.0

34.0

30.0

33.0

43.0

43.0

46.0

26.0

36.0

32.0

31.0

39.0

43.0

32.0

34.0

41.0

33.0

38.0

28.0

33.0

42.0

27.0

40.0

24.0

36.0

33.0

29.0

30.0

45.0

34.0

39.4

4,725

91,200

7,839

4,030

477,900

273,910

480,480

87,360

48,800

20,130

20,085

63,900

266,400

36,960

186,200

222,950

3,131

5,214

43,200

70,685

187,780

4,845

13,825

8,820

143,040

35,360

5,850

17,040

58,090

933

2,890,682

3,720

96,480

4,625

2,940

449,780

235,750

494,880

58,420

40,950

20,800

10,810

78,155

308,850

43,840

170,000

176,330

2,231

4,416

30,080

86,790

141,300

7,000

9,100

7,055

126,790

34,720

6,020

10,120

66,880

877

2,729,709

4,900

96,900

5,250

5,610

453,650

227,900

476,100

67,600

39,600

27,840

13,950

81,510

322,500

41,920

166,600

190,650

3,234

5,396

38,080

100,650

183,960

6,075

14,600

11,040

145,800

37,950

6,090

14,700

71,100

884

2,862,039

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 15 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

185.0

86.0

505.0

18.0

100.0

57.0

8.7

280.0

57.0

1,296.7

189.0

107.0

535.0

17.0

100.0

38.0

18.0

240.0

33.0

1,277.0

2,050

2,300

2,600

3,000

2,100

2,800

2,200

3,100

2,100

2,561

2,900

2,700

3,200

2,900

2,900

2,900

3,200

3,400

2,700

3,102

532,325

250,100

1,711,620

67,044

356,475

197,890

30,600

895,900

234,750

4,276,704

379,250

197,800

1,313,000

54,000

210,000

159,600

19,140

868,000

119,700

3,320,490

548,100

288,900

1,712,000

49,300

290,000

110,200

57,600

816,000

89,100

3,961,200
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 16 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

540.0

213.0

920.0

477.0

115.0

1,360.0

68.0

495.0

1,150.0

368.0

50.0

920.0

180.0

200.0

530.0

4,500.0

98.0

12,184.0

8.2

209.0

7.1

18.3

242.6

540.0

221.2

920.0

686.0

115.0

1,360.0

68.0

495.0

1,150.0

368.0

57.1

920.0

180.0

200.0

530.0

4,518.3

98.0

12,426.6

545.0

208.0

915.0

545.0

99.0

1,290.0

113.0

540.0

1,100.0

390.0

42.0

800.0

170.0

245.0

535.0

4,500.0

87.0

12,124.0

3.9

149.0

6.0

19.5

178.4

545.0

211.9

915.0

694.0

99.0

1,290.0

113.0

540.0

1,100.0

390.0

48.0

800.0

170.0

245.0

535.0

4,519.5

87.0

12,302.4

507

1,381

871

1,469

401

557

539

717

808

796

816

421

557

314

741

538

465

651

1,013

1,386

1,041

1,110

1,342

507

1,368

871

1,444

401

557

539

717

808

796

844

421

557

314

741

540

465

665

652

1,315

787

1,277

621

744

637

667

807

726

857

630

452

725

664

469

717

659

1,169

1,256

880

985

1,212

652

1,313

787

1,273

621

744

637

667

807

726

860

630

452

725

664

472

717

667

920.0

690.0

1,833.0

1,770.0

158.0

2,220.0

30.1

1,034.0

2,396.0

695.0

124.0

1,673.0

197.0

423.0

978.0

4,260.0

201.3

19,602.4

14.5

639.0

10.5

36.4

700.4

920.0

704.5

1,833.0

2,409.0

158.0

2,220.0

30.1

1,034.0

2,396.0

695.0

134.5

1,673.0

197.0

423.0

978.0

4,296.4

201.3

20,302.8

570.0

613.0

1,669.0

1,460.0

96.0

1,578.0

76.3

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

85.0

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,040.0

95.0

16,530.3

17.3

603.3

15.4

42.3

678.3

570.0

630.3

1,669.0

2,063.3

96.0

1,578.0

76.3

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

100.4

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,082.3

95.0

17,208.6

740.0

570.0

1,500.0

1,450.0

128.0

2,000.0

150.0

750.0

1,850.0

590.0

75.0

1,050.0

160.0

370.0

740.0

4,400.0

130.0

16,653.0

9.5

390.0

11.0

40.0

450.5

740.0

579.5

1,500.0

1,840.0

128.0

2,000.0

150.0

750.0

1,850.0

590.0

86.0

1,050.0

160.0

370.0

740.0

4,440.0

130.0

17,103.5

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-lb net weight bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 17 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Production

2001 2002 2003 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 7,452.2 6,183.9 6,284.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1

State

Area Harvested Yield 2 Production 2

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NM

NY

ND

OR

SD

TX

UT

WA

WI

WY

US

89.0

70.0

93.0

14.5

265.0

150.0

23.0

165.0

8.0

24.5

690.0

9.1

16.0

32.5

0.3

41.0

7.0

29.0

1,726.9

74.0

55.0

78.0

11.0

190.0

130.0

17.0

140.0

10.0

24.5

570.0

7.8

16.0

25.0

5.0

26.0

6.5

32.0

1,417.8

1,980

2,170

2,050

1,100

1,850

1,650

1,570

2,100

1,800

1,360

1,540

1,730

1,630

970

1,670

2,000

1,960

2,150

1,736

2,100

2,100

2,050

1,700

1,600

1,600

1,920

2,100

1,900

1,630

1,550

1,500

1,700

1,200

300

1,700

2,000

2,380

1,717

1,496

1,785

1,424

259

780

1,575

376

3,185

300

194

6,200

172

270

348

17

578

110

514

19,583

1,762

1,519

1,907

160

4,903

2,475

361

3,465

144

333

10,626

157

261

315

5

820

137

624

29,974

1,554

1,155

1,599

187

3,040

2,080

326

2,940

190

400

8,835

117

272

300

15

442

130

762

24,344

 1 Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2 Clean Basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 18 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and

United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

Class and State 2002 2003 Class and State 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Large Lima - CA

Baby Lima - CA

Navy

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WY

 Total

Great Northern

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 ND

 WA

 WY

 Total

Small White

 ID

 OR

 WA

 Total

Pinto

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NM

 ND

 OR

 SD

 TX

 UT

 WA

 WY

 Total

19.0

21.5

5.4

85.0

67.0

2.9

180.0

4.0

1.0

345.3

3.1

3.0

1.2

77.8

5.8

0.9

2.0

93.8

2.0

0.5

0.8

3.3

76.0

35.8

9.5

25.0

13.5

80.7

8.0

515.0

1.3

3.2

5.5

1.8

11.0

27.0

813.3

19.6

14.5

2.6

50.0

47.0

0.5

86.0

0.5

3.1

1.0

190.7

4.2

9.0

2.0

81.5

8.0

0.9

2.5

108.1

1.9

0.4

0.7

3.0

49.0

33.7

11.0

11.0

28.0

13.0

48.5

10.0

450.0

1.5

2.8

0.5

5.6

7.2

29.0

700.8

Light Red

 Kidney

 CA

 CO

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 WA

 Total

Dark Red

 Kidney

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NY

 ND

 WI

 Total

Pink

 CA

 ID

 MN

 ND

 WA

 Total

Small Red

 ID

 MI

 MN

 WA

 Total

Cranberry

 CA

 ID

 MI

 Total

6.0

10.0

1.3

15.0

7.6

14.0

15.0

1.4

70.3

2.5

1.4

8.5

42.0

2.0

7.0

7.1

70.5

10.8

8.9

9.0

6.1

34.8

10.7

11.0

2.8

6.4

30.9

1.7

2.5

20.0

24.2

5.0

9.0

0.9

20.0

11.0

13.5

15.0

74.4

0.9

0.8

10.0

37.0

1.3

6.0

6.6

62.6

0.9

10.7

8.6

10.0

4.3

34.5

9.0

20.0

1.8

3.7

34.5

1.5

1.5

14.0

17.0

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 19 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and

United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 (continued)

Class and State 2002 2003 Class and State 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Black

 CA

 ID

 MI

 MN

 NE

 NY

 ND

 WA

 Total

Blackeye

 CA

 TX

 Total

Small Chickpeas 1

(Garbanzo,

Smaller than

 20/64 in.)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

Large Chickpeas 1

(Garbanzo,

Larger than

 20/64 in.)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

4.0

110.0

11.9

2.3

6.0

60.0

2.6

196.8

12.6

22.0

34.6

0.4

1.0

50.0

5.4

1.0

7.7

27.0

1.5

94.0

16.5

20.0

36.5

2.0

2.5

1.0

3.7

0.3

9.5

9.7

9.0

3.0

2.5

4.0

3.8

4.5

6.0

42.5

Chickpeas, All

(Garbanzo)

 CA

 ID

 MT

 NE

 ND

 OR

 SD

 WA

 Total

Other

 CA

 CO

 ID

 KS

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NY

 ND

 OR

 SD

 TX

 WA

 WY

 Total

US

18.5

17.0

12.7

8.6

4.0

10.3

11.0

82.1

10.2

6.0

1.0

18.0

8.0

3.6

0.7

7.3

2.0

4.6

4.0

3.5

10.0

0.8

2.0

81.7

1,922.1

9.7

11.0

5.5

2.5

5.0

3.8

8.2

6.3

52.0

7.0

2.0

2.7

1.0

16.0

4.2

0.5

2.5

1.0

8.0

1.8

2.9

6.5

1.4

1.5

59.0

1,501.2

 1 Estimates began in 2003.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 20 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT

FL

GA

IN

KY

MD

MA

MO

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV

WI

US

1,890

4,600

26,500

4,000

111,100

1,700

1,160

1,300

168,300

5,500

3,400

30,500

35,900

30,000

1,300

1,510

428,660

2,100

4,000

29,000

4,000

105,300

1,500

1,250

1,200

160,000

5,300

3,700

32,000

34,040

27,370

1,200

1,750

413,710

1,672

2,600

2,100

2,000

2,007

1,400

1,623

2,385

2,067

1,750

2,004

1,950

2,096

2,225

1,500

2,526

2,055

1,750

2,550

2,200

2,050

2,078

1,400

1,718

1,900

1,984

1,800

2,030

2,100

2,155

1,749

1,650

2,351

2,031

3,772

11,700

64,206

9,450

254,653

3,300

1,807

3,081

386,920

11,956

6,166

78,400

86,893

63,415

1,885

3,619

991,223

3,161

11,960

55,650

8,000

222,991

2,380

1,883

3,101

347,920

9,625

6,815

59,475

75,261

66,747

1,950

3,815

880,734

3,675

10,200

63,800

8,200

218,850

2,100

2,148

2,280

317,400

9,540

7,510

67,200

73,366

47,872

1,980

4,115

840,236
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 21 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

Class 2, Fire-cured

 Type 21, VA Belt

 VA

 Type 22, Eastern

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 23, Western

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Total 21-23

Class 3, Air-cured

 Class 3A, Light

 Air-cured

 Type 31, Burley

 IN

 KY

 MO

 NC

 OH

 TN

 VA

 WV

 US

 Type 32, Southern MD

 Belt

 MD

 PA

 US

 Total 31-32

43,000

22,000

65,000

98,000

21,000

30,500

51,500

4,600

26,500

31,100

245,600

730

2,450

5,000

7,450

2,400

390

2,790

10,970

4,000

103,000

1,300

6,300

5,500

30,000

7,200

1,300

158,600

1,700

1,300

3,000

161,600

40,000

20,000

60,000

94,000

20,000

32,000

52,000

4,000

29,000

33,000

239,000

800

2,500

5,100

7,600

2,400

400

2,800

11,200

4,000

97,000

1,200

6,000

5,300

28,000

6,500

1,200

149,200

1,500

1,300

2,800

152,000

2,225

2,340

2,264

2,020

2,135

1,950

2,025

2,600

2,100

2,174

2,105

2,015

3,160

3,110

3,126

3,650

3,550

3,636

3,182

2,000

1,915

2,385

1,500

1,750

1,900

1,900

1,500

1,892

1,400

1,850

1,595

1,886

2,000

1,800

1,933

2,000

2,050

2,100

2,081

2,550

2,200

2,242

2,034

1,700

3,100

2,900

2,966

3,400

3,200

3,371

2,977

2,050

2,000

1,900

1,400

1,800

2,000

1,600

1,650

1,949

1,400

1,900

1,632

1,943

95,675

51,480

147,155

197,960

44,835

59,475

104,310

11,960

55,650

67,610

517,035

1,471

7,742

15,550

23,292

8,760

1,385

10,145

34,908

8,000

197,245

3,101

9,450

9,625

57,000

13,680

1,950

300,051

2,380

2,405

4,785

304,836

80,000

36,000

116,000

188,000

41,000

67,200

108,200

10,200

63,800

74,000

486,200

1,360

7,750

14,790

22,540

8,160

1,280

9,440

33,340

8,200

194,000

2,280

8,400

9,540

56,000

10,400

1,980

290,800

2,100

2,470

4,570

295,370

--continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 22 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State,

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 (continued)

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 3, Air-cured

Class 3B, Dark

 Air-cured

 Type 35, One Sucker

 Belt

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 36, Green River

 Belt

 KY

 Type 37, VA Sun-cured

 Belt

 VA

 Total 35-37

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 Type 41, PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

 Class 5A, CT Valley

 Binder

 Type 51, CT Valley

 Broadleaf

 CT

 MA

 US

 Class 5B, WI Binder

 Type 54, Southern WI

 WI

 Type 55, Northern WI

 WI

 Total 54-55

 Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 Type 61, CT Valley

 Shade-grown

 CT

 MA

 US

All Cigar Types

 Total 41-61

All Tobacco

2,100

510

2,610

1,150

70

3,830

2,100

1,250

850

2,100

1,200

310

1,510

3,610

640

310

950

6,660

428,660

2,200

540

2,740

1,200

70

4,010

2,400

1,400

950

2,350

1,350

400

1,750

4,100

700

300

1,000

7,500

413,710

3,000

2,600

2,922

2,560

1,655

2,790

2,100

1,820

1,840

1,828

2,625

2,145

2,526

2,120

1,385

1,030

1,268

1,992

2,055

2,700

2,400

2,641

2,500

1,600

2,581

2,100

1,850

1,850

1,850

2,500

1,850

2,351

2,064

1,550

1,300

1,475

1,997

2,031

6,300

1,326

7,626

2,944

116

10,686

4,410

2,275

1,564

3,839

3,150

665

3,815

7,654

886

319

1,205

13,269

880,734

5,940

1,296

7,236

3,000

112

10,348

5,040

2,590

1,758

4,348

3,375

740

4,115

8,463

1,085

390

1,475

14,978

840,236
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 23 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH

OR

WA

WY

US

49.9

39.5

210.0

177.0

476.0

55.9

42.0

258.0

1.8

11.0

4.0

36.0

1,361.1

50.0

27.5

207.0

175.0

462.0

52.2

43.8

275.0

1.8

9.4

4.4

34.0

1,342.1

39.5

20.1

24.3

18.1

18.6

19.6

18.1

18.6

20.6

27.4

35.0

18.3

20.4

38.0

22.5

27.4

19.5

21.0

23.0

20.0

21.5

25.0

29.4

40.5

21.0

22.7

1,596

824

4,636

3,220

7,796

1,150

840

4,290

12

290

253

857

25,764

1,971

794

5,103

3,204

8,854

1,096

760

4,799

37

301

140

659

27,718

1,900

619

5,672

3,413

9,702

1,201

876

5,913

45

276

178

714

30,509

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in

central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

461.0

22.7

495.0

44.5

1,023.2

440.0

22.0

490.0

43.0

995.0

38.3

95.1

28.3

38.9

34.7

36.5

95.0

30.0

38.0

34.7

16,338

1,932

14,355

1,962

34,587

17,653

2,159

14,009

1,732

35,553

16,060

2,090

14,700

1,634

34,484

 1 Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 24 NASS, USDA

Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Total Production

2001 2002 2003

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AL 1

AR 1

CA 1

 All

 Clingstone

 Freestone

CO 1

CT 1

GA 1

ID 1

IL 1

IN 1

KY 1

LA 1

MD 1

MA 1

MI

MO 1

NJ

NY 1

NC 1

OH 1

OK 1

OR 1

PA

SC

TN 1

TX 1

UT 1

VA 1

WA

WV 1

US

23.0

12.0

1,727.0

952.0

775.0

18.0

1.9

140.0

13.0

17.8

3.0

1.8

1.4

8.8

2.2

42.0

9.0

75.0

12.5

3.5

11.2

12.0

6.5

75.0

100.0

3.7

30.0

9.0

8.0

55.0

11.0

2,433.3

21.0

10.0

1,920.0

1,124.0

796.0

19.0

1.3

100.0

13.0

17.2

3.1

1.2

1.5

7.0

2.3

14.0

13.0

62.0

10.0

10.0

9.4

7.0

7.9

60.0

160.0

4.0

12.0

6.5

7.0

66.0

10.0

2,575.4

11.0

18.0

1,920.0

1,150.0

770.0

20.0

2.0

125.0

13.0

18.7

3.4

2.0

2.5

10.5

2.3

52.0

9.5

75.0

12.5

9.0

10.2

9.0

8.0

70.0

110.0

3.5

10.0

10.0

8.0

60.0

13.0

2,618.1

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Total Production

2001 2002 2003

Tons Tons Tons

ID

MI

OR

WA

Total

3,000

3,600

9,000

5,600

21,200

2,000

250

8,000

5,400

15,650

3,000

3,000

3,700

5,000

14,700
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 25 NASS, USDA

Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Total Production 1

2001 2002 2003

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MO

NH

NJ

NM 2

NY

NC

OH

OR

PA

RI

SC

TN

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

US

5.4

5.5

520.0

23.0

20.5

9.0

80.0

43.6

53.0

8.8

4.0

8.3

47.0

40.8

39.0

930.0

24.0

41.0

30.0

55.0

6.0

1,000.0

112.0

86.0

142.0

480.0

1.8

6.0

9.0

30.0

41.0

310.0

5,050.0

105.0

62.0

9,428.7

26.2

4.5

470.0

21.0

12.0

10.0

80.0

43.0

40.0

8.5

3.7

5.6

48.5

32.0

33.0

500.0

25.0

38.0

26.5

35.0

2.0

680.0

160.0

70.0

202.0

370.0

2.6

9.0

6.5

7.0

31.0

250.0

5,150.0

95.0

58.0

8,555.6

2.6

5.5

510.0

21.0

21.5

11.0

85.0

42.0

51.0

9.7

4.1

8.4

46.0

37.0

46.0

970.0

26.0

34.0

34.0

45.0

1,020.0

140.0

86.0

120.0

440.0

3.3

6.0

9.0

30.0

38.5

300.0

4,900.0

95.0

69.0

9,266.6

 1 In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2 End of season estimate only.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 26 NASS, USDA

Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

Crop and State

Total Production

2001 2002 2003

Tons Tons Tons

Bartlett

 CA

 OR

 WA

 Total

Other

 CA

 OR

 WA

 Total

All

 CA

 CO

 CT

 MI

 NY

 OR

 PA

 UT

 WA

 US

275,000

70,000

201,000

546,000

30,000

160,000

242,000

432,000

305,000

1,900

480

4,600

11,000

230,000

5,500

300

443,000

1,001,780

232,000

58,000

158,000

448,000

30,000

141,000

231,000

402,000

262,000

2,400

500

1,400

10,000

199,000

3,800

350

389,000

868,450

220,000

65,000

185,000

470,000

30,000

155,000

250,000

435,000

250,000

2,800

1,150

4,800

15,000

220,000

4,100

400

435,000

933,250

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2002 2003

2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Jun

Jul

2,205

2,270

2,175

2,175

1,725

1,680

1,575

1,580

3,285

3,915

3,195

3,375

 1 Utilized fresh production.

Coffee: Production, Hawaii, 2000-2002

State

Production 1

2000-01 2001-2002 2002-03

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

HI 8,700 8,000 7,500

 1 Parchment basis.

Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,

Hawaii, 2001-2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03

Acres Acres Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

HI 360 320 200 50,000 45,000 37,000 18,000 14,400 7,400
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 27 NASS, USDA

Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Total Production

2001 2002 2003

Tons Tons Tons

AZ

AR

CA

 All Types

 Wine

 Table 1

 Raisin 1 2

GA

MI

MO

NY

NC

OH

OR

PA

TX

VA

WA

 All Types

 Wine

 Juice

US

15,500

2,700

5,979,000

3,051,000

713,000

2,215,000

3,200

28,900

2,300

149,000

2,000

6,000

22,800

61,500

9,500

4,200

283,000

100,000

183,000

6,569,600

8,400

5,600

6,721,000

3,149,000

739,000

2,833,000

2,800

42,700

2,900

156,000

2,300

5,800

22,000

53,200

4,700

4,600

332,000

115,000

217,000

7,364,000

8,500

3,900

6,290,000

3,050,000

740,000

2,500,000

3,200

80,000

3,000

205,000

2,800

7,600

25,000

70,000

8,500

4,900

345,000

125,000

220,000

7,057,400

 1 Fresh basis. 2 The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) was not implemented in 2003, but was implemented on the 2001 and 2002 bearing

acres only. No production was realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 41,000 for 2001 and 27,000 for 2002.

Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

ID

OR

WA

US

3,399

5,577

20,333

29,309

3,429

5,748

19,169

28,346

1,624

1,692

2,133

1,990

1,490

1,700

2,030

1,898

4,609.3

11,443.2

50,779.6

66,832.1

5,519.6

9,438.0

43,379.0

58,336.6

5,109.2

9,771.6

38,913.1

53,793.9

Olives: Variety and Total Production, California

2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003

Variety

Total Production

2001 2002 1 2003 1

Tons Tons Tons

Ascolano

Manzanillo

Mission

Servillano

All Other 2

Total

4,200

105,900

1,400

16,700

5,800

134,000

68,000

23,500

11,500

103,000

85,000

15,000

15,000

115,000

 1 Ascolano and Mission varieties are included in All Other. 2 Includes production for varieties that were or will be used for canned, oil, and other specialty products.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 28 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,073.0

79,054.0

5,005.0

450.0

3,240.0

1,395.0

9,580.0

60,358.0

41,735.0

2,909.0

15,714.0

1,459.0

785.0

191.0

1,358.0

3.4

219.0

73,758.0

2,585.0

13,957.9

13,714.0

243.9

1,427.3

21.5

1,922.1

302.7

221.0

1,310.0

15.8

87.8

62.2

1,144.2

97.2

5,461.0

79,066.0

4,676.0

630.0

2,992.0

1,373.0

9,777.0

60,940.0

44,349.0

2,804.0

13,787.0

1,201.0

583.0

96.5

1,315.0

1.6

213.0

73,653.0

2,324.0

13,631.0

13,451.0

180.0

1,364.7

21.2

1,501.2

356.0

246.0

1,279.6

15.0

85.1

65.1

1,114.4

94.0

4,135.0

69,313.0

7,490.0

64,497.0

23,135.0

41,362.0

2,098.0

220.0

3,207.0

286.0

7,299.0

352.0

45,817.0

29,651.0

2,703.0

13,463.0

1,275.0

704.0

175.0

1,296.7

3.1

196.0

72,160.0

2,205.0

12,426.6

12,184.0

242.6

1,361.1

1,023.2

428.7

11.6

1,726.9

279.7

209.0

5.9

0.3

29.3

80.2

1,275.7

15.7

86.1

59.1

1,114.8

18.0

83.5

0.4

4,899.0

71,915.0

64,379.0

23,541.0

40,838.0

2,331.0

2,967.0

302.0

8,241.0

52,677.0

36,491.0

2,738.0

13,448.0

1,163.0

572.0

94.2

1,277.0

1.5

198.0

72,626.0

2,255.0

12,302.4

12,124.0

178.4

1,342.1

995.0

413.7

10.6

1,417.8

334.0

240.0

0.2

28.3

1,254.2

14.8

82.9

63.1

1,093.4

91.0

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 29 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

54.9

130.0

14.0

2.34

3.19

1.86

56.8

12.5

6,578

24.4

50.7

9.5

35.3

38.5

29.4

29.3

1,218

17.9

705

2,561

1,461

1,520

37.8

1,133

665

651

1,342

20.4

34.7

2,055

1,414

1,736

1,517

1,200

1,270

45,000

1,990

85

363

268

271

304

374

108

154

57.5

139.9

2.49

3.31

2.01

64.9

6,577

54.4

43.5

46.9

31.9

36.6

3,102

39.4

667

659

1,212

22.7

34.7

2,031

1,717

37,000

1,898

281

269

310

226,873

9,007,659

104,979

150,962

73,824

77,138

119,132

2,755

210,960

6,985

369,758

3,360

1,616,441

1,142,802

79,450

394,189

1,552,520

6,184

12,569

123,450

3,320,490

4,530

297,980

2,729,709

2,497,236

17,208.6

16,530.3

678.3

27,718

35,553

880,734

164

29,974

4,242

2,508

457

7,500

14,400

58,336.6

6,818

462,713

4,206

23,294

17,985

417,228

1,942

12,865

6,100

281,475

10,064,452

160,018

77,952

82,066

151,345

195,130

448,438

2,291,825

1,712,150

87,355

492,320

6,284.0

3,961,200

2,862,039

17,103.5

16,653.0

450.5

30,509

34,484

840,236

24,344

7,400

53,793.9

4,153

22,305

19,585

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 30 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2001 2002 2003

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lbs

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,462

2

996

12,221

95

373

56

9,428.7

82.5

28,000.0

6,569.6

134.0

55,000.0

2,433.3

1,001.8

150.0

21.2

830,000

49.5

338,500

161,000

305.0

1,049

2,427

1

828

12,487

97

420

70

8,555.6

90.0

19,500.0

7,364.0

103.0

45,900.0

2,575.4

868.5

171.0

15.7

1,090,000

19.5

172,900

303,000

282.0

1,393

2,062

1,026

11,493

106

370

59

9,266.6

90.4

7,057.4

115.0

2,618.1

933.3

190.0

14.7

1,000,000

1,239

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 31 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,052,990

31,992,360

2,025,470

182,110

1,311,200

564,540

3,876,930

24,426,280

16,889,740

1,177,240

6,359,300

590,440

317,680

77,300

549,570

1,380

88,630

29,849,130

1,046,120

5,648,620

5,549,920

98,700

577,610

8,700

777,850

122,500

89,440

530,140

6,390

35,530

25,170

463,050

39,340

2,210,010

31,997,220

1,892,330

254,950

1,210,830

555,640

3,956,650

24,661,810

17,947,600

1,134,750

5,579,460

486,030

235,930

39,050

532,170

650

86,200

29,806,630

940,500

5,516,330

5,443,490

72,840

552,280

8,580

607,520

144,070

99,550

517,840

6,070

34,440

26,350

450,990

38,040

1,673,390

28,050,280

3,031,130

26,101,290

9,362,500

16,738,790

849,040

89,030

1,297,840

115,740

2,953,830

142,450

18,541,680

11,999,460

1,093,880

5,448,340

515,980

284,900

70,820

524,760

1,250

79,320

29,202,430

892,340

5,028,920

4,930,740

98,180

550,820

414,080

173,470

4,690

698,860

113,190

84,580

2,390

130

11,860

32,460

516,260

6,350

34,840

23,920

451,150

7,280

33,790

170

1,982,580

29,103,280

26,053,540

9,526,810

16,526,730

943,330

1,200,720

122,220

3,335,050

21,317,860

14,767,540

1,108,040

5,442,270

470,650

231,480

38,120

516,790

610

80,130

29,391,020

912,580

4,978,660

4,906,460

72,200

543,130

402,670

167,420

4,290

573,770

135,170

97,130

80

11,470

507,560

5,990

33,550

25,540

442,490

36,830

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 32 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

2.95

8.16

31.42

5.25

7.15

4.18

2.04

0.70

7.37

1.53

3.18

21.40

2.37

2.59

1.98

1.97

1.36

1.12

0.79

2.87

1.64

1.70

2.54

1.27

0.75

0.73

1.50

45.65

77.89

2.30

1.58

1.95

1.70

1.35

1.42

50.44

2.23

0.10

40.65

30.03

30.32

34.11

41.95

0.12

17.27

3.09

8.78

5.57

7.42

4.50

2.33

7.37

3.42

2.93

3.16

2.15

2.46

3.48

2.65

0.75

0.74

1.36

50.96

77.69

2.28

1.92

41.47

2.13

31.45

30.16

34.79

4,939,580

228,805,080

95,235,350

136,950,420

66,972,010

69,978,420

1,729,200

62,480

9,568,990

177,430

9,392,290

3,048,140

43,992,310

31,101,970

2,162,270

10,728,070

704,210

5,609,940

319,270

56,000

1,506,150

2,050

135,160

74,290,500

1,132,730

3,746,730

3,599,050

147,680

25,145,350

32,253,140

399,490

7,440

1,359,600

192,410

113,760

20,730

3,400

6,530

26,460

3,090

20,988,310

190,780

1,056,600

815,790

18,925,140

880

583,550

2,770

6,128,390

255,648,860

145,165,890

70,716,860

74,449,020

2,196,770

8,850,950

11,390,850

62,373,250

46,597,090

2,377,410

13,398,750

5,700,750

1,796,770

77,891,940

3,723,850

3,625,760

98,080

27,677,300

31,283,360

381,120

1,104,230

3,360

24,400

188,380

1,011,740

888,360

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 33 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2001 2002 2003

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,233,490

1,810

903,560

11,086,700

86,180

338,380

50,800

4,276,790

74,810

12,700

5,959,840

121,560

24,950

1,103,730

908,800

136,080

19,230

376,480

44,910

153,540

73,030

276,690

5,240

2,201,740

910

751,150

11,328,020

88,000

381,020

63,500

3,880,760

81,680

8,850

6,680,510

93,440

20,820

1,168,180

787,840

155,130

14,200

494,420

17,690

78,430

137,440

255,830

6,960

1,870,610

930,770

10,426,270

96,160

335,660

53,520

4,203,260

82,010

6,402,370

104,330

1,187,550

846,630

172,370

13,340

453,590

6,190

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 34 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 35 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 36 NASS, USDA

July Weather Summary

A remarkably constant weather pattern across the United States--featuring an amplified jet stream--led to

persistent conditions in any given location but dramatic regional variability. For example, near- to belownormal temperatures were observed across the eastern half of the Nation, while monthly readings averaged 2

to 8 degrees F above normal across the High Plains and much of the West. As a result, stress on Midwestern

summer crops due to heat and lack of soil moisture was largely restricted to areas along, west, and south of

the Missouri River. In fact, too much rain fell early in the month in parts of the eastern Corn Belt, including

northern and central Indiana, causing widespread flooding, winter wheat disease concerns, and crop

developmental delays. A markedly different scenario unfolded on the Plains, where favorable conditions for

reproductive to filling summer crops were mostly confined to the eastern Dakotas. Elsewhere on the Plains,

hot weather and an untimely dry spell placed pastures and summer crops under significant stress.

Across the South, heavy rain continued to soak areas from the central Gulf Coast to the middle and southern

Atlantic States, causing local flooding but maintaining generally favorable conditions for pastures and

summer crops. Tropical Storm Bill crossed the Southeast early in the month, contributing to the overall wet

pattern. Another tropical system, Hurricane Claudette, reached the middle Texas coast on July 15,

temporarily reversing a dry regime in the western Gulf Coast region. The remnants of Claudette were steered

westward and eventually drawn into the Southwest’s monsoon (summer rainy season) circulation by a strong

upper-level ridge of high pressure parked over the Four Corners region. The ridge was responsible for recordbreaking heat throughout the West, but helped to direct moisture into Arizona and parts of California and the

Great Basin. Following pre-monsoon heat and dryness, mid- to late-July showers aided Southwestern wildfire

containment efforts and temporarily eased demands on drought-reduced irrigation reserves. However, mostly

dry weather persisted through month’s end in the Northwest and portions of the Intermountain West,

maintaining stress on rangelands and dryland summer crops.

July Crop Summary

Hot, dry weather dominated the Western half of the Nation, while rain and below-normal temperatures

reigned in the East. Temperatures reached 100 degrees throughout the West. In the Pacific Northwest, very

little rain fell and temperatures were well above normal for most of the month. These hot, dry conditions

increased irrigation needs and stressed dryland crops, but aided maturation and harvest of small grains. 

Rainfall from Hurricane Claudette and scattered showers in the Southwest did little to provide widespread

drought relief. In the Rocky Mountains, above-normal temperatures and a lack of precipitation lowered crop

and pasture conditions. In the Great Plains, high temperatures and dry weather stressed crops but accelerated

progress. Temperatures were near- to below-normal for most of the month in the Corn Belt, with periods of

heavy rainfall alternating with periods of little to no rain, slowing progress for most crops but maintaining

conditions. In the Delta and Southeast, moderate to heavy precipitation and cooler than normal temperatures

slowed crop development but improved condition. Favorable early-month conditions in the Ohio Valley and

Atlantic Coast States gave way to heavy rainfall, with flooding in some areas.

As of July 27, the corn crop was 70 percent at or beyond the silking stage and 10 percent was at or beyond the

dough stage. Both stages were behind their 5-year averages of 78 and 16 percent, respectively. In the Corn

Belt, corn was slow to enter the silking stage but accelerated in the latter half of the month. In the Great

Plains, most areas finished the month with silking of the crop near normal. Doughing also started at a slow

pace in the Corn Belt as well as in the Atlantic Coast States and remained behind average at month’s end.

Twenty-seven percent of the soybean acreage was blooming and 3 percent was setting pods on July 13,

behind their respective 5-year averages by 12 and 4 percentage points. At mid-month, the acreage blooming

in the Corn Belt was almost a week behind normal. By July 27, acreage blooming was at 69 percent, just

7 points behind average. However, the acreage setting pods was at 21 percent, falling to 13 points behind

average. By month’s end, blooming was near normal in the northern Great Plains but stilled lagged well

behind average in the Corn Belt and the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Pod setting slowly gained momentum

during the last week of July due to warmer temperatures. Progress was well behind normal in all areas except

the interior Delta, where progress was normal. In the 18 States, 66 percent of the soybean crop was rated as

good to excellent on July 27, compared with only 45 percent last year at this time.

The Nation’s cotton acreage was 89 percent at the squaring stage or beyond on July 27, five points behind the

5-year average. On this same date, 54 percent of the crop was at the boll setting stage or beyond, 18 points
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 37 NASS, USDA

behind average. This compares to mid-month, when acreage squaring was 13 points behind average and

acreage setting bolls was 11 points behind average. By the end of the month, squaring was nearly complete in

the Delta and most of the Southeast, but was a week behind normal in South Carolina and Texas, and 3 weeks

behind normal in Arizona and Virginia. Boll setting progressed slowly in the Southeast and adjacent areas

due to below normal temperatures. Setting bolls was farthest behind in Virginia, where progress trailed the

5-year average by over 50 percentage points. In Texas, boll setting was 25 points behind average although

defoliation activities were well underway in the southern cotton-producing areas.

Eighty-eight percent of the winter wheat crop was harvested by July 27, slightly ahead of the 5-year average

of 87 percent. In the Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountains, harvest began around mid-month as hot and

dry weather accelerated maturation and aided harvest. Corn Belt farmers, who normally complete their winter

wheat harvest by the end of July, were not able to do so this year because of intermittent showers. In the

Great Plains, where hot, dry weather promoted maturation and fieldwork, farmers in Kansas, Oklahoma, and

Texas completed their winter wheat harvest on time, and Nebraska and South Dakota farmers harvested their

crop ahead of normal.

As of July 27, ninety-eight percent of the spring wheat crop and 99 percent of the barley crop had headed,

compared to 5-year averages of 96 percent for both crops. By the middle of the July, Washington’s barley

crop was 100 percent headed and both Washington’s and South Dakota’s spring wheat crop was 100 percent

headed. Idaho’s spring wheat and barley crops were both 100 percent headed by the end of the month. Both

crops were ahead of normal pace in Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota. Hot, dry conditions across most

of the barley and spring wheat areas promoted rapid development but caused some stress to the crops. Both

crops began the month with three-fourths of the acreage rated good or excellent, but ended the month with

only about 60 percent of the acreage rated good or excellent.

Heading of the oat crop was complete shortly after mid-month, ahead of the 5-year average. Pennsylvania,

where the oat crop was planted late, was the only State that was behind its 5-year average heading progress. 

By July 27, farmers had harvested 20 percent of the oat crop Nationwide, 8 percentage points behind the

5-year average. In Nebraska and South Dakota, where warm, dry weather prevailed, farmers were slightly

ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace. Elsewhere, harvest progress lagged behind the normal pace. In

Ohio and Pennsylvania, where heavy rains dominated the weather, farmers were about 30 percentage points

behind the average harvest pace.

The Nation’s rice crop was 45 percent headed on July 27, slightly ahead of the 5-year average of 42 percent. 

After slow progress during the first half of the month, development of the crop in Arkansas, California, and

Texas accelerated and ended the month at, or slightly ahead of normal. Mississippi and Missouri rice made

good progress throughout the month and ended the month a week ahead of their average heading pace. 

Despite delayed heading in Louisiana, 11 percent of the State’s rice crop had been harvested by July 27, as

had 5 percent of Texas’ crop.

On July 6, ninety-six percent of the Nation’s sorghum crop was planted, 2 percentage points behind the 5-year

average for this date. Heading progressed slower than normal due to delayed planting in most areas, and on

July 27, was 36 percent headed, 11 points behind average. However, the crop turned color at near normal

pace, and on July 27, acreage turning color was at 20 percent, 1 point behind the 5-year average. 

Development of the crop in the Corn Belt and Great Plains was behind the 5-year average, but the Delta

progressed ahead of the normal pace. 

The peanut crop progressed well during the month. Despite a slow start, 85 percent of the crop had reached

the pegging stage by July 27, one point behind the 5-year average. The southern Great Plains and Alabama

were ahead of their 5-year averages, while the Atlantic Coast States were generally behind average. 

Virginia’s peanut crop, which was planted late, was over 2 weeks behind the normal pegging pace.

Corn for grain: U.S. farmers expect to harvest 71.9 million acres of corn for grain, down slightly from June

but up 4 percent from 2002. Area to be harvested for grain was reduced in Indiana and North Carolina as

significant rainfall flooded out acres. In Indiana, flooding destroyed many river bottom acres along the

Wabash and White rivers and other smaller sections of fields in low lying areas. Planted area in Maryland

was reduced by 20,000 acres as farmers were not able to plant originally intended corn acres due to persistent

wet weather through the middle of June. Therefore, acres harvested for grain in Maryland were also reduced. 
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August 2003 38 NASS, USDA

The change in planted and harvested acres in Maryland is offset by increases of the same amount in

Oklahoma.

As of July 27, sixty-nine percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, a decrease of 6 percentage points

from the end of June but 27 percentage points above a year ago. Temperatures were below normal for most

of the central and eastern Corn Belt with good precipitation received. Large yield increases are expected in

Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio as all are rebounding from last year’s drought. Decreases from last year are

expected in Iowa and Minnesota. However, both States set a record yield in 2002 when favorable

temperatures and timely rainfall were received during most of the growing season. Hot temperatures and

mostly dry weather in the western Corn Belt and central Great Plains occurred during pollination. However,

most States in these areas are expecting yield increases from 2002 as conditions are less severe than last year. 

One exception is Colorado as yields are forecast to be down as more lower yielding non-irrigated acres are

expected to be harvested for grain compared to last year.

The August 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest stalk and ear counts on record for the combined

seven Objective Yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). Of the 26

non-Objective Yield States, yields in 20 States are expected to be higher than in 2002. Large increases are

expected in Kentucky, Maryland, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Virginia.

Corn planting began in early April with rapid progress made during the month in the Corn Belt and adjacent

areas of the Ohio Valley due to warm, dry early-spring weather. Planting progressed well ahead of normal in

the Corn Belt, excluding Nebraska, and the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. In early-May, scattered showers

delayed planting across most of the Corn Belt with most States falling behind average by mid-month. 

However, Ohio remained ahead of their average pace. Across the Atlantic Coast States, the combination of

frequent precipitation and below-normal temperatures hindered planting and development up until midspring. A rapid planting pace in late-May did not erase the progress deficit. Nationally, 95 percent of the

corn had been planted by June 1, one percentage point behind the 5-year average. Warm temperatures

accelerated germination and emergence in late-May in Michigan. Saturated fields prolonged emergence in

the Tennessee Valley.

As of July 27, the corn crop was 70 percent at or beyond the silking stage and 10 percent was at or beyond the

dough stage. Both stages were behind their 5-year averages of 78 and 16 percent, respectively. In the Corn

Belt, corn was slow to enter the silking stage but accelerated in the latter half of the month. In the Great

Plains, most areas finished the month with silking of the crop near normal.

Sorghum: The first production forecast for the 2003 crop year is 448 million bushels, up 21 percent from

2002. Based on August 1 conditions, the sorghum yield is forecast at 54.4 bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels

from last year. Current yields are expected to equal or exceed last year’s yields in every State. Sorghum

planted for all purposes in 2003 is estimated at 9.78 million acres, up 300,000 acres from the June estimate. 

Acreage was revised due to additional acreage being planted in Texas behind abandoned cotton. Acreage

expected to be harvested for grain, at 8.24 million acres, is up 1 percent from the June estimate and up

13 percent from the 2002 harvested acreage. Texas growers expect to harvest 2.65 million acres, up 150,000

from June. Kansas producers expect to harvest 3.40 million acres for grain, up 400,000 acres from 2002. 

Colorado producers expect to harvest 250,000 acres for grain, up 160,000 acres from a year ago. 

Most of the sorghum growing regions experienced favorable early summer growing conditions. However, in

the southern Great Plains, July became hot and dry. Sorghum development progressed behind normal during

July, with 36 percent at or beyond the heading stage, 11 points below the 5-year average, and 20 percent

turning color, 1 point behind the average, on July 27. Sorghum heading in both Kansas and Texas was

15 points behind the 5-year average, and Illinois was 20 points behind. As of July 27, sorghum was rated

40 percent good to excellent, down from 49 percent the previous week.

Oats: Production for 2003 is forecast at 151 million bushels, 2 percent above the July 1 forecast and

27 percent above last year’s 119 million bushels. Area for harvest is estimated at 2.33 million acres, 2 percent

more than July 1 and 11 percent more than last year. The forecasted yield is 64.9 bushels per acre,

0.2 bushels above the July 1 forecast and up 8.1 bushels from 2002.
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August 2003 39 NASS, USDA

Even though crop condition in the central Great Plains and Corn Belt, yield continued as expected or better

than expected. Record yields are expected in Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, and Michigan. Above-normal

temperatures during July hindered vegetative growth along the Pacific Coast and Intermountain Basin Region. 

In North Dakota, yield decreased 9 bushels from July, due to unusually hot, dry conditions deteriorating crop

conditions while promoting development during the month. Growers continued to overcome wet field

conditions in the Ohio Valley. The lack of precipitation lowered yield from last year in Texas.

Barley: Production for 2003 is forecast at 281 million bushels, down 3 percent from the July forecast but

24 percent above 2002. Based on August 1 conditions, producers expect to harvest an average of

57.5 bushels per acre, down 2.0 bushels from July but up 2.6 bushels from last year. Area harvested, at

4.90 million acres, is unchanged from the July estimate but up 18 percent from 2002. Declines in yield and

production from last month were concentrated in the Northwestern States of Montana, Idaho, Washington,

and Oregon. Delaware, Pennsylvania, and Virginia also posted declines. Yields in the Northwest have been

limited by hot, dry conditions while yields in the East have been diminished by excessive rainfall. The

remaining States have been experiencing good conditions. By July 27, crop development in all States was

ahead of the 5-year average. Fifty-nine percent of the crop was rated good to excellent.

Winter Wheat: Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 36.5 million, unchanged from last month but up

23 percent from last year. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing States had reached 88 percent

complete by July 27. This is 1 percentage point ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. Hard Red

Winter (HRW) harvest was nearly complete in the central and southern Great Plains. Harvest was virtually

complete in most Soft Red Winter (SRW) States.

Forecasted yields in most major HRW States continue well above last year, with record highs in Kansas,

Oklahoma, and Nebraska. Hot, dry weather across the Plains during July led to rapid crop ripening and

harvest progress. 

Yield forecasts are mixed again this month across the SRW States. Slight increases from last month are forecast

in most Corn Belt States, with record yields in Illinois and Missouri. Declines are recorded in the Atlantic Coast

States. Harvest revealed yields much lower than previously expected in Delaware, Maryland, and Pennsylvania,

due largely to excessive moisture during the flowering stage. 

In Idaho, excellent irrigated winter wheat yields are expected to offset poor dryland yields. Lack of moisture in

Oregon since the beginning of June has reduced yields, however they are still above last year.

Durum Wheat: Area harvested for grain is forecast at 2.74 million acres, unchanged from last month but up

1 percent from last year. In North Dakota (which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. harvested acreage),

67 percent of the Durum crop was rated good to excellent as of July 27. This is a decline of 19 percentage

points from one month earlier. The major Durum growing area of the State has received well below average

precipitation this season. In Montana, July brought record heat and very little rain. As a result, crop

development has been rapid but yield prospects have declined.

Other Spring Wheat: Area harvested for grain is forecast at 13.4 million acres, unchanged from last month

but down slightly from last year. Acreage was 13 percent harvested as of August 3 in the six major producing

States, 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest had begun in all six States.

Minnesota growers experienced warm, dry weather during the first part of July, ideal for crop development. 

Topsoil moisture in the northwest portion of the State, where most of the spring wheat is grown, has been

adequate to surplus throughout the growing season. North Dakota experienced mostly mild temperatures

during July; however, precipitation has been below average for all districts except the southeast and central. 

The South Dakota forecasted yield is a record high. During the month of July, Montana experienced very hot

conditions with temperatures routinely over 100 degrees and most days in the 90 degree range. Lack of

moisture in the Pacific Northwest (Idaho, Oregon, and Washington) is dampening yield prospects, especially

in dryland areas.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.96 billion pounds up 19 percent from last year’s crop but down

7 percent from 2001. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.28 million acres, 5 percent above the June

estimate but down 2 percent from 2002. Yields are expected to average a record high 3,102 pounds per acre,
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August 2003 40 NASS, USDA

544 pounds per acre above the 2002 level. Planted acres, at 1.32 million, are 5 percent above the June

estimate but 3 percent below 2002.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total

2.61 billion pounds, up 37 percent from last year’s level. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average

3,070 pounds per acres, 637 pounds above 2002. Expected acreage for harvest, at 849,000 acres, is up

6 percent from the June estimate and up 8 percent from the previous year. Planted acres, at 864,000, are up

6 percent from June and up 7 percent from 2002. As of July 27, peanuts pegging in Alabama, at 87 percent,

exceeded the 5-year average by 11 percentage points. Florida peanuts pegging, at 90 percent, were ahead of

average by 5 percentage points. Georgia peanuts pegging, at 88 percent, lagged the 5-year average by

4 percentage points.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 379 million pounds, up 15 percent from 2002. Yield is

forecast at 2,850 pounds per acre, up 750 pounds per acre from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total

133,000 acres, up 11 percent from June but down 15 percent from the previous year. Planted acres are up

12 percent from June but down 16 percent from 2002. As of July 27, the North Carolina peanut crop had

reached 85 percent pegging, 5 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Virginia peanuts pegging, at

50 percent, lagged the 5-year average by 32 percentage points. Heavy spring moisture with few drying days

during planting season delayed the Virginia peanut crop.

The Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 976 million

pounds, down 10 percent from 2002. Yields are expected to average 3,307 pounds per acre for the region,

260 pounds above the 2002 level. Record yields are forecast for Oklahoma and Texas as peanut acreage

continues to move out of dryland production, leaving a greater percent of higher yielding irrigated acres. The

region’s acreage for harvest, at 295,000 acres, is down 2 percent from June and 17 percent below the

2002 level. Acres planted to peanuts in the region are down 2 percent from June and 19 percent from 2002. 

Peanuts pegging in Oklahoma, at 96 percent complete on July 27, were 8 percentage points ahead of the

5-year average. Texas peanuts pegging, at 80 percent complete, exceeded the 5-year average by 1 percentage

point.

Rice: Production is forecast at 195 million cwt, down 8 percent from last year and down 9 percent

from 2001. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.97 million acres, unchanged from the June acreage estimate

but down 7 percent from last year. Rice plantings, at 2.99 million acres, were also unchanged from the June

estimate. Yields are forecast at 6,577 pounds per acre, down 1 pound from 2002. Record high yields are

forecast to be established or tied in Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, and Texas.

As of July 27, crop development was equal to or ahead of normal in all rice producing States, except

Louisiana which lagged the 5-year average by 6 percentage points. Forty-five percent of the rice was headed

compared with the 5-year average of 42 percent. Rice harvest is underway in Louisiana and Texas. Crop

condition was rated 68 percent good to excellent across the rice producing States.

Soybeans: Area planted, at 73.7 million acres, is unchanged from June, but down slightly from 2002. U.S.

farmers expect to harvest 72.6 million acres, down 55,000 acres from the June estimate but up 1 percent from

the 2002 acreage. Area for harvest was reduced in Indiana due to flooding and reduced in Delaware,

Maryland, and Virginia as persistent wet weather did not allow producers to plant all of their acreage.

As of July 27, sixty-six percent of the soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 21 percentage points more

than the same week in 2002. During July, adequate moisture supplies and below normal temperatures

improved crop condition, but limited crop development in the Corn Belt, Delta, and Southeast. Yields are at

or above last year’s level in all States except Iowa, Minnesota, and Oklahoma. The largest increases are

expected in Ohio, the Southeast, and along the Atlantic Coast as last year’s levels were reduced by drought

conditions. 

Ninety-six percent of the soybean crop had been planted by June 29, compared to 99 percent a year ago and

the average of 98 percent. Planting progress in the eastern Corn Belt and Delta States lagged behind normal

at the end of June. Elsewhere, Kentucky was almost 3 weeks behind the average pace, while North Carolina

was 1 week behind normal. In the seven major soybean producing States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota,

Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio), the average planting date was 2 days ahead last year. On July 27,
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August 2003 41 NASS, USDA

sixty-nine percent of the crop was blooming, 4 percentage points behind last year and 7 points behind the

average. Twenty-one percent of the acreage was setting pods, compared to last year’s 31 percent and the

5-year average of 34 percent.

Cotton: Upland cotton growers planted 13.5 million acres, down 2 percent from the June estimate and a year

ago. Growers are expected to harvest 12.1 million acres, 60,000 acres less than the previous year. 

American-Pima cotton producers planted 180,000 acres, down 63,900 acres from last year. Expected

harvested area, at 178,400 acres, is down 26 percent from last year. 

Cotton farmers in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and

Virginia) experienced wet weather throughout much of the planting season. Although much of the rain was

needed, some growers were concerned whether they would ever get their crop planted. Development in the

Carolinas and Virginia was slow, but has progressed rapidly throughout the last half of July. 

Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) had near

ideal planting conditions in late April and early May, except in the northern areas of Missouri and Tennessee,

where growers were faced with flooded fields and replanting. Cool nighttime temperatures toward the middle

of June slowed crop development. Excessive weed problems arose due to the abundance of spring rains. The

crop made good progress in July under ideal growing conditions, although development varied widely from

normal to three weeks behind average.

Upland cotton producers in the Rio Grande Valley began planting in early March and by early April good

stands were evident throughout the Valley. By early May, planting was underway in the Texas Panhandle and

in Oklahoma. By the end of May, planting in Oklahoma, Kansas, and central Texas was virtually complete. 

Timely rains aided germination. Dryland acreage on the High Plains also received some timely rains,

allowing planting to proceed. During the month of June, high winds and hail damaged some High Plains

cotton. The crop in this region was up to one month behind in development as the hot, dry weather did not

arrive until July. Hurricane Claudette hit the Texas coast, but damage to the cotton crop was limited. New

Mexico and west Texas growers were faced with strong winds and slow development throughout the spring,

but high temperatures in June and July stimulated growth.

Upland cotton planting in California was delayed by spring rains and cool temperatures. The crop was as

much as a month behind in development, but the extremely warm June and July weather allowed the crop to

catch up. Arizona upland cotton was stressed by record high temperatures in July, keeping irrigation

demands high.

American-Pima production is forecast at 450,500 bales, down 34 percent from last year's output. The

decrease in production is attributed to a decrease in acreage, a reaction to abundant supplies and weak prices. 

The U.S. Pima yield is forecast at 1,212 pounds per harvested acre, 130 pounds below the record high set the

previous year. California growers expect yields of 1,256 pounds per acre, down 130 pounds from their record

high established in 2002. The cool, wet spring in California delayed some of the planting and led to

substantial replanting. However, hot, July weather accelerated development of the late planted cotton,

allowing the Pima crop to catch up to normal maturity by the end of the month.

Ginnings totaled 28,500 running bales prior to August 1, compared with 55,600 running bales ginned prior to

the same date last year and 99,000 running bales in 2001.

Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 24.3 million cwt in 2003, down 19 percent from

last year but 24 percent above two years ago. 

Acreage adjustments since the June Acreage Report lowered planted acreage estimates 1 percent and reduced

harvested expectations by 2 percent. Planted area is now estimated at 1.50 million acres, 22 percent below

last year but 5 percent greater than two years ago. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.42 million acres, down

18 percent from last year but 14 percent above 2001. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,717 pounds per

acre, a loss of 19 pounds from last year but 148 pounds more than two years ago. 

Production is expected to be below last year in 12 of the 18 producing States. These decreases are mostly the

result of lower acreage. Michigan’s production forecast is down 38 percent from 2002, while North Dakota’s
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August 2003 42 NASS, USDA

prospects are 17 percent below last year. Nebraska and Minnesota are down 15 percent and 16 percent,

respectively. Colorado growers expect a 24 percent drop in production, while Idaho and California are

declining 16 percent and 12 percent, respectively. Decreases in other States range from 46 percent in

Washington to 5 percent in Texas and Wisconsin. Planting in Michigan was delayed by cool, wet weather in

early-June. By late-June, planting was complete. Growing conditions have been favorable and the crop was

rated 62 percent good to excellent at the beginning of August. North Dakota had cool, wet weather the first

three weeks of May which delayed planting. Conditions improved during late-May into early-June and

growers were able to finish planting by mid-June. Crop development is behind schedule due to the late start

and below normal temperatures. Nebraska’s crop condition is good to excellent and the crop is progressing

ahead of schedule. The Minnesota dry bean crop condition was rated as 57 percent good to excellent as of

August 1. Heavy rains and wet conditions have caused damage to the crop in some areas. Idaho weather has

been warmer than usual, with 17 days over 100 degrees, making it challenging for growers to keep up with

water demands. California growers report good overall growth. However, recent hot weather is stressing the

crop. Conditions in Colorado have been hot and dry during July which hastened crop development ahead of

schedule after a late start in June. The crop is currently in mostly good to excellent condition. Growing

conditions are also good in New York. Oregon’s weather has been warm and sunny with below normal

rainfall. Texas is having a normal year with the biggest concern being the drought in the panhandle region. 

In Utah, it has been extremely hot and dry during late-June and early-July. Recent rainfall should help the

crop. Washington’s crop condition is mostly good to excellent at this time. Wisconsin growers are

experiencing dry weather. The condition of Wyoming’s crop is good although irrigation supplies are short to

very short in over half the State.

U.S. planted area of black, navy, and pinto beans are down 52 percent, 45 percent, and 14 percent from last

year, respectively. Lima beans are up 3 percent for large but down 33 percent for baby. Kidney beans are up

6 percent for light but down 11 percent for dark. Pink bean acreage is down 1 percent but small red is up

12 percent while chickpea (garbanzo) acreage has fallen 37 percent. Small chickpea acreage is 9,500 acres

while large chickpea acreage is 42,500 acres. This is the first year for these estimates which were added

because of the 2002 Farm Bill. Great Northern acreage is up 15 percent, while cranberry and small white are

down 30 and 9 percent, respectively. Black eyes are up 5 percent. Pinto beans make up 47 percent of planted

dry bean acreage this year; navies account for 13 percent; blacks have 6 percent; kidney beans combine for

9 percent; and great northern take 7 percent. The remaining 18 percent are distributed among the other

classes.

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 78.0 million tons, up 6 percent from last year. 

Yields are expected to average 3.31, up 0.12 ton from last year. Harvested area is 23.5 million acres,

unchanged from the June estimate but up 2 percent from 2002.

The yield, in all but 9 States, is the same or above last year’s level with most areas receiving adequate

moisture. Growers in Minnesota and Wisconsin expect lower yields than last year due to a harsh winter and

dry July weather. New York’s wet condition resulted in more hay being cut for haylage. In the Southwest,

hot, dry weather during the growing season resulted in a lower yield forecast compared to last year. In the

Ohio Valley and along the central Atlantic Coast, abundant rain throughout the season led to higher yields.

Other Hay: Production is forecast at 82.1 million tons, up 6 percent from 2002. Based on August 1

conditions, yields are expected to average 2.01 tons, up 8 percent from last year and if realized would be at a

record high. Harvested acreage is estimated at 40.8 million, unchanged from the June estimate but down

1 percent from 2002.

Yields are the same or above last year’s level for all states except Arkansas, Idaho, Montana, New York,

Texas, and Wisconsin. Record yields are forecast for Georgia, Nebraska, Kentucky, Louisiana, North

Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia due to abundant rainfall during the growing

season. The abundant amount of rain in the Ohio Valley contributed to higher yields than last year. Yields in

Idaho and Montana decreased from last year as a result of above average temperatures and little rain during

July.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 2003 is forecast at 840 million pounds, down 5 percent from

2002 and 15 percent below 2001. If realized, this will be the smallest crop since 1908. Area for harvest is

forecast at 413,710 acres, down 3 percent from 2002. Yields for 2003 are expected to average 2,031 pounds
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 43 NASS, USDA

per acre, 24 pounds lower than a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are

expected to be lower than last year by 83 pounds. Kentucky, the second leading State, expects yields to

average 71 pounds above a year ago.

Flue-cured tobacco production is expected to total 486 million pounds, down 6 percent from both the

previous forecast and the 2002 crop. Growers plan to harvest 239,000 acres in 2003, down 3 percent from

last year. Yields are expected to average 2,034 pounds, down 136 pounds from the July 1 forecast and

71 pounds lower than the previous year. Persistent wet weather in most of the flue-cured producing areas has

caused an overall reduction in yield potential compared to the July forecast and last year. In North Carolina,

excessive rainfall has resulted in disease problems and reduced crop growth. In Virginia, the crop is

experiencing problems such as leaching of fertilizer, early blooming, and poor root development.

Burley production is expected to total 291 million pounds, 3 percent below a year ago. Yields are expected to

average 1,949 pounds per acre, up 57 pounds from 2002. Burley growers plan to harvest 149,200 acres,

6 percent below a year ago. Kentucky’s acreage, at 97,000, is 6 percent below last year. Abundant moisture

across much of the State has resulted in improved yield prospects over last year’s drought-stressed crop. Blue

mold has been reported in many areas but insect pressure is minimal.

Fire-cured tobacco production is expected to total 33.3 million pounds, down 4 percent from 2002. Growers

plan to harvest 11,200 acres, 2 percent above a year ago. The expected average yield is 2,977 pounds per

acre, 205 pounds lower than the previous year.

Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production is expected to total 4.57 million pounds, down 4 percent from

2002. Average yields are expected to increase 37 pounds from last year. A total of 2,800 acres is expected to

be harvested this year, down 7 percent from 2002.

Dark air-cured production is expected to total 10.3 million pounds, down 3 percent from 2002. Growers plan

to harvest 4,010 acres, 5 percent more than last year. Yields are expected to average 2,581 pounds per acre,

down 209 pounds from last year.

All Cigar types production is expected to total 15.0 million pounds, up 13 percent from last year. Overall

yield is expected to average 1,997 pounds per acre, up 5 pounds from 2002. Growers of Cigar type tobacco

plan to harvest 7,500 acres, 13 percent above a year ago.

Sugarbeets: Production for 2003 is forecast at 30.5 million tons. If realized, this would be 10 percent above

last year's production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.34 million acres, up

slightly from the June estimate but 1 percent below last year. The yield is forecast at 22.7 tons per acre,

2.3 tons above 2002 and, if realized, would be the second highest yield on record.

Favorable weather conditions prevailed over most of the sugarbeet areas with the exception of the northern

Rockies. Colorado, Idaho, and Montana growers relied heavily on irrigation to offset the effects of the July

heat which has set records in Montana.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2003 is forecast at 34.5 million tons, 3 percent

below last year. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 995,000 acres for sugar and seed during the 2003 crop

year, 3 percent less than last year's final harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 34.7 tons per acre, equal to 2002. 

Florida, Louisiana, and Texas report favorable rainfall for sugarcane production. Hawaii’s current dry spell

has not affected this year’s forecast.

Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 14,700 tons,

down 6 percent from last year and 31 percent below 2001. Washington’s forecast, at 5,000 tons, is down

7 percent from 2002 and 11 percent below 2001. A long, cool spring adversely impacted Washington’s prune

and plum crop. Isolated pockets of frost also reduced the crop size. The Oregon forecast, at 3,700 tons, is

down 54 percent from 2002 and 59 percent below 2001. Cold, wet weather conditions during pollination

reduced fruit set for the 2003 season. Michigan’s production is forecast at 3,000 tons, 12 times larger than

the frost devastated crop of 2002 but down 17 percent from the 2001 crop. Michigan prunes and plums

overwintered well and are expected to produce a good crop after last year’s frost devastated crop. Pollination

conditions were good and resulted in a heavy fruit set. The Idaho forecast is 3,000 tons, 50 percent larger
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 44 NASS, USDA

than last year’s frost reduced crop but equal to the production in 2001. During fruit set, the Idaho crop was

affected by cold, wet weather but not to the extent of the 2002 crop.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.38 million pounds for July 2003, up 6 percent

from last month but 14 percent below July 2002. Area in crop totaled 2,175 acres, unchanged from last

month but 4 percent less than July 2002. Harvested area totaled 1,580 acres, virtually unchanged from last

month but 6 percent lower than a year ago. 

Weather conditions were variable during July with adequate showers and sunshine over major papaya

producing areas. Non-irrigated orchards have adequate soil moisture.

Hops: Hop production in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 53.8 million pounds for 2003, down

8 percent from last year and 20 percent less than the 2001 crop. Acreage strung for harvest, at 28,346 acres,

is 3 percent below 2002 and 21 percent below the acreage strung for harvest two years ago. Yield is

estimated at 1,898 pounds per acre for the Pacific Northwest, 92 pounds less than 2002 but 37 pounds more

than 2001.

Washington’s yield is forecast at 2,030 pounds per acre for the 2003 crop, 103 pounds less than last year. 

Oregon’s yield is forecast at 1,700 pounds per acre, up 8 pounds from 2002. In Idaho, yields are expected to

average 1,490 pounds per acre, 134 pounds lower than a year ago. Only Oregon is forecasting an increase in

total production over the 2002 crop. 

In Washington, the hop crop looks mostly good to fair. Water availability has not been an issue this summer

and growers have kept powdery mildew under control throughout the season. Harvest is expected to be

underway by mid to late August. 

In Oregon, crop growth is behind this season due to cool spring temperatures. Vegetative growth has been a

bit light but is expected to improve through the end of the season. Idaho’s crop had a good set but there could

be some crop stress if the hot weather persists.

Olives: The 2003 California olive crop is forecast at 115,000 tons, 12 percent above the previous year’s crop

of 103,000 tons but 14 percent below the 2001 production. The increase reflects the high year of an alternate

bearing cycle. However, production in this high year is not as large as expected due to adverse weather. The

cool, wet spring delayed bloom in most locations. Temperatures then increased, resulting in an uneven bloom

and spotty fruit set. Manzanillo and Servillano varieties are expected to account for 74 percent and 13 percent

of total production, respectively. All Other varieties make up the remaining 13 percent.

Peaches: The August 2003 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.62 billion pounds, virtually unchanged

from the July forecast but 2 percent above 2002. Michigan’s crop expectations were increased from

42.0 million pounds to 52.0 million pounds. South Carolina’s production forecast decreased by 10.0 million

pounds to 110 million. New Jersey’s forecast decreased from 80.0 million to 75.0 million pounds, while

Pennsylvania and Washington were unchanged from July at 70.0 million and 60.0 million pounds,

respectively.

The peach crop in Michigan continues to size well. The crop is 7 to 10 days behind schedule due to a cool

spring. Early and mid-season varieties are being harvested. Skin color and fruit size have been good. 

Redhaven harvest began the first week of August in the southwest. During July, the New Jersey peach crop

experienced changing growing conditions. High temperatures during the day and cool temperatures during

the night did not benefit fruit sizing. Scattered thunderstorms around the State also caused some fruit

damage. Harvesting of peaches is 7 to 14 days behind schedule. Quality is reported to be fair to excellent. 

Harvest will continue through the end of September.

The Pennsylvania peach crop is reported in good condition with about a quarter of the crop harvested as of the

beginning of August. Quality is good and fruit size is larger than last year. A few orchards have been

quarantined because of the Plum Pox virus. In South Carolina, persistent precipitation hindered spring

pollination and has caused greater than average fruit drop and rot. In Washington, a combination of a long,

cool spring and frost reduced prospects for the peach crop. In July, almost no precipitation has been recorded;
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 45 NASS, USDA

however, mountain snowpack has been near normal so there has been little concern about the availability of

irrigation water.

The U.S. Freestone crop, as of August 1, is forecast at 1.47 billion pounds, up 1 percent from 2002 but

1 percent below 2001. The California Freestone crop stands at 770 million pounds, down 3 percent from last

year and 1 percent below 2001.

California’s Clingstone crop is 1.15 billion pounds, 2 percent above last year and 21 percent greater than the

2001 season.

Apples: The first production forecast for the 2003 crop year is 9.27 billion pounds, up 8 percent from last

year but 2 percent below 2001. Compared to 2002, production increases in the Eastern and Central States

more than offset a projected decrease in the Western States. 

The Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) production is forecast at 5.67 billion pounds, down

5 percent from last year and 3 percent below 2001. Washington, which makes up 53 percent of the U.S.

production, is forecasting 4.90 billion pounds of apples. Washington is down 5 percent from last year and

3 percent below 2001. While conditions have generally been favorable in Washington this season, some

scattered frost and hail damage were reported. Also, there are reports of spotty bloom and reports of lower

production in some of the new varieties due to the alternate bearing cycle. A mild spring with few weather

related problems paved the way for a promising California crop, forecast at 510 million pounds. Fruit is

sizing and developing well and harvest should yield a high percentage of clean, unmarked fruit. Oregon’s

production is forecast at 120 million pounds. Poor weather during pollination reduced Oregon’s production

from last year’s bumper crop. 

Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV) is

forecast at 2.28 billion pounds, up 27 percent from last year but 1 percent below 2001. New York’s crop is

forecast at 1.02 billion pounds, up 50 percent from last year’s weather reduced crop and 2 percent above

2001. Conditions were excellent in New York during bloom, and fruit set is in good condition. 

Pennsylvania’s forecast of 440 million pounds is an increase of 19 percent from 2002 but is 8 percent below

2001. Conditions have generally been good. A crop of 300 million pounds is forecast for Virginia,

20 percent greater than last year but 3 percent below 2001. Conditions were favorable during bloom and

above-average spring and summer rain contributed to large fruit size. 

Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is forecast at

1.31 billion pounds, an increase of 64 percent from 2002 and 3 percent above 2001. Michigan’s production

forecast is 970 million pounds, up 94 percent from last year’s weather reduced crop and 4 percent above

2001. Michigan experienced a heavy bloom set and recent rains have enhanced sizing. Some widely

scattered hail damage is reported. Ohio’s forecast is 86.0 million pounds, 23 percent above 2002 but equal to

2001. Conditions have been wetter than normal through the spring and summer. Production in Wisconsin is

forecast at 69.0 million pounds, up 19 percent from 2002 and 11 percent above 2001. Fruit quality is rated

better than last season, with adequate rainfall occurring early in the growing season.

Pears: U.S. pear production for 2003 is forecast at 933,250 tons, up 7 percent from last year but 7 percent

below 2001. Bartlett pear production for California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 470,000 tons,

4 percent below the June forecast but 5 percent higher than a year ago. Other pear production in the Pacific

Coast States is expected to total 435,000 tons, 8 percent above last year and up 1 percent from 2001.

Bartlett production for California is forecast at 220,000 tons, down 6 percent from the June forecast and

5 percent below 2002. Harvesting is underway in the River District and the Marysville/Yuba areas. Small

fruit sizes have been noted in the River District. In the Marysville/Yuba areas fruit quality is good, although

some hail damage has been reported. In the Mendocino area harvesting has not begun and is expected to be

behind schedule. Fruit size and volume appear to be below average. Harvesting is expected to begin in Lake

County around the middle of August. Crop development has been slow and volume is expected to be light. 

However, the overall quality of the crop is good with little hail damage. Production in Oregon is forecast at

65,000 tons, down 7 percent from the previous forecast but 12 percent above 2002. Cold and wet weather

during the spring season led to poor pollination and fruit set. Hot temperatures this summer caused sunburn

damage and affected fruit size. In Washington, Bartlett production is forecast at 185,000 tons, unchanged
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 46 NASS, USDA

from the June forecast but up 17 percent from the previous season. Irrigation supplies have been adequate

this season and growers are gearing up to harvest a large crop of Bartletts. Harvest is projected to start as

early as August 9th in the Yakima district and is expected to begin around the third week in August in the

Wenatchee district. Fruit quality is better than average with no frost marking problems reported. 

Other pear production in California is forecast at 30,000 tons, unchanged from both 2002 and 2001. 

Harvesting of Red and Seckel pears is underway. No significant problems with the crop have been reported. 

In Oregon, the other pear production is forecast at 155,000 tons, 10 percent above last year but 3 percent

below 2001. Production in Washington is forecast at 250,000 tons, 8 percent above a year ago and 3 percent

more than 2001. Irrigation supplies have remained adequate under abnormally hot conditions in the north

central Columbia Basin. Harvest is expected to start the first week of September. Fruit set is reported to be

excellent this year with the Anjou pears faring particularly well. Size and quality are both good.

The pear crop in New York is forecast at 15,000 tons, up 50 percent from last year and 36 percent more than

two years ago. Growing conditions have been very good this year. Pennsylvania pear production is forecast at

4,100 tons, 8 percent above last year but 25 percent below the 2001 crop. The Michigan pear crop is forecast

at 4,800 tons, over 3 times the weather damaged 2002 crop. Michigan pears overwintered well. Pollination

activity was good and resulted in a heavy fruit set. Growers report good quality fruit with little hail damage. 

Production in Connecticut is forecast at 1,150 tons, more than double the previous year. A wet, cool spring

caused bloom to be late but moderate. Set is reported as average with fruit size medium to large. In

Colorado, production is forecast at 2,800 tons, 17 percent above last year’s crop and 47 percent greater than

the 2001 crop. Producers with frost protection devices fared well this year. Pear production in Utah is

forecast at 400 tons, up 14 percent from the previous season and 33 percent above the 2001 crop.

Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is revised to 7.50 million pounds (parchment basis) for the

2002-03 season, down 12 percent from the December 2002 estimate and 6 percent below the previous crop

year. Smaller than expected harvest on Kauai, Molokai, Maui, and Oahu more than offset increased

production from the Kona districts. Production on Kauai was down because of the low year in the alternate

bearing cycle. Coffee operations on Molokai, Maui, and Oahu had some fields that received minimal care or

were totally neglected resulting in unharvested fields during 2002-03.

Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecast at 7.06 million tons, down 4 percent from 2002 but 7 percent

above 2001. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 89 percent of the total. Washington and New

York are the next largest producing States, with 5 percent and 3 percent, respectively. California’s all grape

forecast, at 6.29 million tons, is unchanged from the July forecast but 6 percent below 2002. Washington

expects to harvest 345,000 tons, up 4 percent from 2002. New York’s forecast, at 205,000 tons, is 31 percent

above last year.

California’s wine type grape production is expected to total 3.05 million tons, 48 percent of California’s total

grape crop. The production forecast for wine type varieties is unchanged from July but 3 percent below

2002. The wine grape harvest is expected to begin by mid-August in the San Joaquin Valley. Quality is

expected to be very good. California’s raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.50 million tons,

40 percent of California’s total grape crop. Production of raisin varieties is unchanged from the July forecast

but down 12 percent from last year. Thompson Seedless variety grapes are currently being picked for fresh

use in the San Joaquin Valley. Production of table type grapes is forecast at 740,000 tons, 12 percent of the

total California crop. The table type production forecast is unchanged from the July forecast but up less than

1 percent from last season. Harvest of table grapes is active in the San Joaquin Valley with good color and

maturity reported. Fruit cracking caused by high heat and humidity was reported in some vineyards. Flame

Seedless, Black Maroo, Black Emerald, and Princess are some of the varieties being harvested. 

Washington’s production is forecast at 345,000 tons, up 4 percent from 2002. Production of both juice and

wine varieties is expected to increase. Wine grape production is forecast at a record high 125,000 tons,

9 percent greater than last season. The larger crop is primarily due to an increase in bearing acres. The juice

type grape forecast, at 220,000 tons, is 1 percent above last year. In Benton County, a major Concord

producing area, bud break was reported to have occured about a week early. Irrigation water supplies are

reported to be adequate.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 47 NASS, USDA

Grape production for New York is forecast at 205,000 tons, up 31 percent from 2002. Generally favorable

spring and summer weather conditions have resulted in a more positive production outlook compared to last

year’s freeze-damaged crop. Cluster counts are reported to be heavy. However, some areas report heavy

disease pressure caused by wet weather.

Michigan’s grape production is forecast at 80,000 tons, up 87 percent from 2002. After two consecutive

years of freeze-damaged crops, juice grape growers are anticipating a good year. Berry counts and cluster

counts are both reported to be significantly above average. Some growers are thinning to increase the sugar

content before harvest. The wine grape growing region in northwestern Michigan experienced a hard frost in

early March. Many growers in that area of the State expect to harvest very little production in 2003. 

Pennsylvania’s grape production is forecast at 70,000 tons, up 32 percent from 2002. Weather conditions

were ideal during bloom and berry set. Large clusters have been observed, and fruit set is reported to be

heavy. However, crop development is about 10 days behind normal due to a late blooming date. In some

areas, producers are thinning in order to boost sugar levels.

Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production for the 2002-03 season is estimated at 7.40 million pounds,

down 49 percent from the previous season. Production for this season reached levels not seen since the mid

1990s. Harvested acreage, at 200 acres, declined 37 percent from 2002. Average yields decreased

8,000 pounds from the previous season to 37,000 pounds per harvested acre. The declines in area harvested,

yield, and production are attributed to disease and low prices.

Florida Citrus: Rainfall in July was above average in many citrus growing areas as a result of heavy bands

of thunderstorms moving north from the Gulf of Mexico. The northern interior areas received the most

rainfall with some areas recording over 9 inches for the month. Removal of excess water was a priority in

areas with heavier soils. Many growers and caretakers were able to discontinue use of irrigation equipment as

a result of the rains. Temperatures were near normal levels with highs in the middle 90s. Trees in well cared

for groves were in very good condition. A good summer flush of new growth was observed on trees of all

ages. New crop fruit progressed very well with good sizes reported. Caretakers were very active mowing,

chopping, and discing cover crops. Hedging and topping slowed during the month. Summer sprays and

fertilizers were applied. Dead trees were pushed out and burned. New resets were planted in larger groves

with permanent irrigation. Herbicides were applied to weeds and vines were cut out of trees where growing

out of control.

California Citrus: Citrus groves were irrigated, fertilized, and treated for pests. Valencia orange harvest

remained slow. Growers in the Central Valley reported good exterior quality and color with some

re-greening. Lemon harvest was active in Ventura County. Fruit quality declined as the season neared

completion. Marsh Ruby, Marsh Whites, and Star Ruby grapefruit varieties were harvested in the southern

coastal areas. Overall quality of the Marsh Ruby was reported as good with improved exterior color resulting

from warm weather. Marsh White exterior quality was reported as fair to good. Star Ruby exterior quality

was reported as good to excellent.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included

weed control, fungicide applications, and irrigation. Steady harvest of stone fruit varieties continued as hot

weather accelerated fruit maturity. Peaches, nectarines, pluots, and plums were picked and packed. Some

stone fruit orchards experienced heat and humidity related problems. Harvest of Clingstone peaches

continued. Table grape harvest was reported underway in most locations with fruit color and maturity

reported as generally good. Fruit cracking caused by high heat and humidity was noted in a number of

vineyards by month's end. Field work in raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards included cane cutting,

irrigation, cultivation, and pest control. Harvesting of Gala apples commenced in the San Joaquin Valley by

the end of July. Bartlett pears were harvested with good quality reported. Harvest of Asian pears began

mid-month in the Selma district. Pomegranates were irrigated and reported as sizing well. Harvest was

underway for Boysenberries, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and figs. Strawberry fields were prepared

for fall planting. Olive orchards were irrigated and treated for insects. Avocados were reported as developing

and sizing normally. Almonds were maturing steadily with hull split observed in most orchards. Orchard

floors were being prepared for harvest at the end of July. Rapid development of walnuts was observed. 

Walnut and pistachio orchards were being irrigated and treated for codling moths and red mite.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 48 NASS, USDA

Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective Yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between July 25 and

August 6 to gather information on expected yield as of August 1. The Objective Yield surveys for corn,

cotton, soybeans, and wheat were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about

75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage

data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the Objective Yield survey

(corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat). The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the

maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide

information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, pods, or heads and their weight. The counts are used with

similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is

subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is

harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to

obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal

interviewers. Approximately 25,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked

questions about probable yield. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide

indications of average yields as the season progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for

reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering

weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical

Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB

uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published August 1 forecasts. 

Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of

the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings,

feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative

data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision August 1 if

conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Harvested acres may be revised any time

a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since

the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

August 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root

Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain production forecast is 8.3 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by

more than 8.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 14.3 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the

August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the August 1

forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 384 million bushels, ranging from

16 million bushels to 1.09 billion bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 11 times

and above 9 times. This does not imply that the August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or

overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 49 NASS, USDA

Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn For Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Oats

Barley

Durum Wheat

Other Spring

Winter Wheat

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Dry Edible Beans

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

Cwt

8.3

9.6

10.3

6.9

10.5

9.0

1.1

5.1

5.9

8.1

7.5

14.3

16.7

17.8

11.9

18.2

15.5

1.9

8.7

10.1

13.9

13.0

384

44

17

21

8

38

16

6

108

939

1

16

5

1

1

0

3

0

1

19

34

0

1,085

108

58

69

19

121

34

15

233

3,911

4

11

10

17

7

6

9

5

14

10

9

10

9

10

3

13

14

11

14

6

10

11

10

 1 Quantity is in thousands of units.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 2003 50 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 690-3234

Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum, Sugar Crops (202) 690-8140

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Jim Smith - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-2127

Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

 Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on September 11, 2003.

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To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten

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USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

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ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services,

contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:

nass@nass.usda.gov.
USDA Data Users’ Forum

October 20, 2003

Holiday Inn Mart Plaza

Chicago, Illinois

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold a public forum for open exchange between

Federal agricultural statistics agencies and data users on October 20, 2003. Agency representatives will

provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and will seek

comments from data users. The USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service,

Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board, as well as the U.S. Census Bureau’s

Foreign Trade Division, will also participate in the forum.

For registration details or additional information about the Data Users’ Forum, see the NASS homepage at

www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Karlyn McCutcheon of NASS at (202) 690-8141 or at

karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov.

This Data Users’ Forum precedes an Industry Outlook Meeting that will be held at the same location on

October 21, 2003. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to

discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register for it, contact

the Livestock Marketing Information Center at (720) 544-2941 or (720) 544-2940.