FILBERTS

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

AREA

TOTAL IN CROP HARVESTED

1983

1,000 POUNDS

SEP : 3,200 3,540 2,115 2,110 3,406 2,000
Oct : 3,235 3,575 2,130 2,225 3,877 + 4,000

NOV 2 3,315 2,140 3,654 4,500

DEC : 3,045 2,090 4,063 4,000
JAN : 3,010 2,030 3,640 4,000

FEB t 3,060 2,045 2,780 3,300
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-OCT 37,053 34,690

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FLORIDA GENERAL CITRUS COMMENTS: Most of Florida's citrus maintained excellent
condition during October with better than
average rainfall. Very little trrigation. In most areas, new foliage
continued to show on trees of ali ages. During October there was definite
improvement in natural fruit coloring. Harvesters started picking Navel and
Hamlin oranges first of October. Movement of new crop white and colored
seedless grapefruit very active during most of month. Also, some fresh
movement of K-earlys, Robinson tangerines, Novas. Maturity continues to lag
far behind last season, somewhat later than normal. Most of State's fresh
fruit packing packing houses open and running. Only a few processors are open
to receive packing eliminations. Very little grove run Fruit picked by end of
October.

GRAPEFRUIT: The 1983-84 grapefruit crop, excluding California “Other areas®
oo grapefruit, is 63.9 million boxes (2.38 million metric tons),
unchanged from October 1. Harvest gaining momentum all States. The first
forecast for the California “Other areas" crop will be made as of Apri? 1,
1984,

LEMONS: Arizona-Californta forecast (tree crop available for harvest) 26.8

million boxes (923 thousand metric tons}, 4 percent below October 1,
7 percent above 1982-83 utilized production. Harvest is underway in desert
areas with very good quality fruit reported. Volume expected to be light from
other areas this month, will increase in December.

TANGERINES: The 1983-84 crop expected to total 5.80 mitlion boxes (224
thousand metric tons), unchanged from October 1, 10 percent more
than last season. Harvest underway.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USOA


CORN FOR GRAIN: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIOTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1981-83

ROW WIDTH (INCHES) 1/

ILL

IND

1A

MICH

MINN

MO

NEBR 7
4

193 6 34.5

OHIO 139 1.4 32.6

157 1.9 3207

156 1.9 32.9

S DAK : 87 3.5 38.1

: 83 306 37.1

78 Bl) 37.2

WIS 1981 : 133 1.5 36.2

1982 122 5:7 36.0

1983 129 2.3 36.0

7_ SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE
TELO DETERMINATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 8-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED

AREA HARVESTED

croP INDICATED
1983

HECTARES

CORN FOR GRAIN 880 20 72) 750 2.21 5.05
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 5 765 620 4 102 340 3.7) 2.98
RICE : 1 316 050 900 840 5.32 5.20
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 28 255 860 24 847 160 2.15 1.68
PEANUTS FOR NUTS. : 516 140 554 830 3.02 2.53
ALL COTTON : 3.937 030 2 887 910 0.66 0.57
UPLAND 3908 500 2 862 290 0.66 0.56
AMER=PIMA 28 530 25 620 0.75 0.67
COTTONSEED t
DRY EDIBLE BEANS. : 714 040 450 820 1.57 1.57
TOBACCO : 367 380 321 000 2.45 1.96
SUGARBEETS : 417 150 423 870 © 46.23 45.08
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 4 307 320 312 100 87.88 89.28
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) :
FILBERTS

CHTRUS FRUITS 2/
TEMONS

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1983 1/

INDICATED
1983 1/

HECTARES METRIC TONS
OATS : 4 273 930 3 665 680 2.10 1.87
BARLEY : 3 687 940 4 008 450 3.08 2.89
ALL WHEAT 131 906 170 24 673 540 2.40 2.66
WINTER : 23 612 450 19 118 360 2.43 2.81
OURUN : 1 706 $80 995 $40 2.35 1.98
OTHER SPRING + 6 587 140 4 559 640 2.28 2.14
RYE : 289 350 347 220 1.83 1,88
FLAXSEED 329 820 238 770 0.90 0.79
SUNFLOWER 1 9}1 760 1 237 540 1.27 1.16
ALL HAY 24 556 180 24 440 850 5.63 5.29
ALFALFA : 10 743 710 10 223 280 7.64 7.23
ALL OTHER 113812 470 14 217 570 4.07 3.90
POTATOES :
WINTER 4450 4570 23.07 21.77
SPRING 31 570 30.510 29.54 25.99
SUMMER 39 340 37 800 24.76 20.97
FALL 440 180 426 500 31.69 34.13
TOTAL 515 530 499 390 30.96 29.96
SWEETPOTATOES 44 960 39 660 = 14.42 12.73
OPS 16 030 14 930 2.22 2.07

APPLES, COM'L
PEACHES |.
PEARS
GRAPES
SWEET CHERRIES
TART CHERRIES
APRICOTS
NECTARINES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF)
OLIVES (CALIF)
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL. CALIF)
PECANS
ALMONDS (CALIF)
WALNUTS (CALIF)

CITRUS FRUITS 2/
ORANGES

SEE FOOTNOTES OM PAGE A-6. (CONTINUED)

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



CITRUS FRUIT Vv

PRODUCTION z PRODUCTION
CROP BOXES 3 TON EQUIVALENT
AND “uriizes VINDICATED: UTILIZED INDICATED
STATE 981-82 : 1982-83 ; 1983-84 ; 1981-82 + 1982-63 : 1983-94
ee T7900 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS —

ORANGES,EARLY MID =
& NAVEL B/ 4/3

ARIZ : 900 1,050 900 34 39 34
CALIF + 26,500 40,200 27,000 994 1,508 1,012
FLA : 74,000 70,200 94,000 3,330 3,159 4,230
TEX : 3,610 3,590 3,500 153 152 149
us : 105,010 115,040 125,400 4,511 4,858 5,425
ORANGES, VALENCIA 4/:
ARIZ : 2,150 2,750 2,300 81 103 86
CALIF : 15,400 33,000 19,000 578 1,238 713
FLA + 51,800 69,300 74,000 2,331 3,118 3,330
TEX : 2,330 2,090 1,800 99 89 17
us 3: 71,680 107,140 97,100 3,089 4,548 4,206
ALL ORANGES 4/:
ARIZ : 3,050 3,800 3,200 115 142 120
CALIF : 41,900 73,200 46,000 1,572 2,746 1,725
FLA + 125,800 139,500 168,000 5,661 6,277 7,560
TEX : 5,940 5,680 5,300 252 241 226
us : 176,690 222,180 222,500 7,600 9,406 9,631
TEMPLES :
FLA 4/: 3,200 4,700 4,500 144 aut 203
GRAPEFRUIT,WHITE ==
SEEDLESS
FLA 4/: 27,300 21,800 26,000 1,160 926 1,105
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK =:
SEEDLESS
FLA 4/: 14,800 12,800 14,000 629 544 595
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT:
FLA 4/: 6,000 4,800 6,000 255 204 255
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 3 2,400 2,700 2,200 77 87 70
CALIF B/t
DESERT : 3,400 4,100 4,200 109 131 134
OTHER AREAS : 2,600 3,200 87 107
TOTAL + 6,000 7,300 196 238
FLA 4/: 48,100 39,400 46,000 2,044 1,674 1,955
TEX : 13,900 11,200 11,500 556 448 460
us : 70,400 60,600 2,873 2,447
TANGERINES
ARIZ 750 880 1,000 28 33 38
CALIF 1,730 2,120 1,900 65 80 "1
FLA 2,500 2,250 2,900 119 107 138
us 4,980 5,250 5,800 212 220 247
LEMONS
ARIZ 6,300 5,050 6,500 239 191 247
CALIF 18,500 19,900 20,250 703 156 770
us 24,800 24,950 26,750 942 947 1,017
TANGELOS

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST |S COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT~CALIF DESERT & AR!Z-64, CALIF
OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES~ CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS”
WILL BE AS QF APR 1,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE wi ccecce ene ceceecc eer eeer eset erete eee eeeeeeseeeene B- 3
CITRUS FRUIT cr ccceeecvccen eevee ene sccteesner reese sere eeeeennaeeees B- 7
CORN CROPPING PRACTICES .oceeeeescecccccesareceeereessseeesernneeees B- 9
CORN FOR GRAIN wee eeeeeeee reece reereces
CORN FOR GRAIN ROW WIDTH ..

bee eeee B-1

COTTONSEED weceececscecccserenscsvncrenceenseseeeesecresssesesssenes B-
NUTS co sccceeseceneeeeeeneeeeeeene eee ee eee eee ee eee eres Be

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS ...cccsecseeeeccrreeeeeereces Ae
PEANUTS FOR NUTS weccescccceecsccesscccesseeeeerneesteeesereereeaeee B-

RICE cavecccuscececcsceeeene

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN .

0
4
4
6
6
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION . bee ee eeeeees B- 8
8
2
6
2
2
3

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS .evvecscoevecevecsceccesseeesstncesereeeeeseecee B-

SOYBEANS, VARIETIES GROWN AND ROW SPACING ....eseeeeeceerererereceee 8-11
SUGARBEETS wo ccscesscececsccccsetnecnecee Pence ener cane enn e eer eeeee B- 5
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED oo... cscs ev eeer reece neesceeeesnseseene B- 5
TOBACCO BY STATES .

US SUMMARY vo cccecc een ecsen eee n nnn e ence e nese ete ne enn e eee eereeeees A- 3

* U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1983~420-929:SRS~1400

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN CROPPING PRACTICES

PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE AND ROW WIDTH

The Statistical Reporting Service collects objective information on corn
development during the production period. Counts and measurements are made by
trained enumerators during visits to random plots in a scientific sampling of
fields in 10 States which account for approximately 8] percent of the 1983
corn production. Information in the following tables represents sample data
and averages from these counts. The data, which are subject to sampling
fluctuations, are not official Crop Reporting Board estimates but do show
trends in corn cropping practices over a period of years.

In 1983, the plant population showed an increase from 1982 in four States,
a decrease in five States and was unchanged in one State. Average row widths
tended to decrease in 1983 with five States showing decreases, three States
showing increases and two States remaining the same as last year.

CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE,
SELECTED STATES, 1979-83 1/

NUMBER OF PLANTS

ILt 20,600 21,200 20,700 22,200 22,000
IND 20,000 21,100 19,700 21,700 20,900
IOWA 20, 300 20,200 20,800 21,100 21,800
MICH 19,000 19,300 18,800 20,700 19,200
MINN 20,200 19,600 19,500 20,700 20; 700
MO 15,400 16,000 16,600 16,800 18,200
NEBR > 18,400 19,800 19,300 19;.400 20,100
OHIO : 20,700 215400 20,800 213700 20,800
S DAK : 13,700 14,500 13,300 44) 800 153000
Wis t 19, 500 19,800 20,100 20,900 20,300

1/ BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COTTON

CROP
AND
STATE
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND
ALA 285.0 215.0 775 391 422.0 460.0 175.0
ARIZ 465.0 288.0 1,130 1,100 1,556.0 1,095.0 660.0
ARK 390.0 310.0 657 465 604.0 534.0 300.0
CALIF 1,370.0 965.0 1,077 1,020 3,535.0 3,073.0 2,050.0
FLA 3/ 15.0 9.5 627 621 21.3 19.6 12.3
GA : 158.0 115.0 714 438 159.0 235.0 105.0
LA t 595.0 410.0 702 574 742.0 870.0 490.0
MISS t 990.0 675.0 853 640 1,565.0 1,760.0 900.0
MO : 151.0 93.0 648 377 168.0 204.0 73.0
NEV B/ i: 7 +0 617 0 1.5 9 0
N MEX t 68.0 49.0 551 607 133.0 78.0 62.0
ne : 70.0 59.0 699 366 95.0 102.0 45.0
OKLA + 450.0 300.0 254 224 440.0 238.0 140.0
sc 2 95.0 69.0 783 383 164.0 155.0 55.0
TENN 3 255.0 215.0 638 335 315.0 339.0 150.0
TEX : 4,300.0 3,300.0 301 320 5,645.0 2,700.0 2,200.0
vA B/ 3 3 640 320 3 4 .
9,658.0 7,072.8 590 503° 15,566.1 11,863.9 7,417.5
41.6 29.5 760 716 53.7 65.9 44.0
9.4 11.0 511 480 7.9 10.0 11.0
19.5 22.8 561 505 18.0 22.8 24.0
70.5 63.3 672 599 79.6 98.7 79.0
285.0 215.0 775 391 422.0 460.0 175.0
506.6 317.5 1,100 1,064 1,609.7 1,160.9 704.0
390.0 310.0 657 465 604.0 534.0 300.0
1,370.0 965.0 1,077 1,020 3,535.0 3,073.0 2,050.0
15.0 9.5 627 621 21.3 19.6 12.3
158.0 115.0 4 438 159.0 235.0 105.0
595.0 410.0 702 574 742.0 870.0 490.0
990.0 675.0 853 640 1,565.0 1,760.0 900.0
151.0 93.0 648 377 168.0 204.0 73.0
a7 +0 617 o 145 9 +0
77.4 60.0 546 584 140.9 88.0 73.0
70.0 59.0 699 366 95.0 102.0 45.0
450.0 300.0 254 224 440.0 238.0 140.0
95.0 69.0 783 383 164.0 155.0 55.0
255.0 215.0 638 335 315.0 339.0 150.0
4,319.5 3,322.8 303 321 5,663.0 2,722. 8 2,224.0
3 3 640 320 3 +2
9,728.5 7,136.1 590 504 15,645.7 11, 98216 7,496.5

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED”

1,000 TONS
6,397 4,744 3,017

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

oe
vf

a:

a

a

if

it

a

a

i

;

* NOVEMBER FORECAST TER

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production forecast at 482 million bushels (12.2 million
metric tons), unchanged from October 1, 43 percent less
than a year ago. Average yield 47.5 bushels per acre, 11.5 less than a year
earlier but 1.2 bushels higher than the Tast drought year of 1980. Missouri
yield 27 bushels below 1982; yield in Kansas, the second largest sorghum
State, 19 bushels below a year earlier. In Texas, the Nation's leading
sorghum producing State, yield down 6 bushels per acre from 1982.
Bokty three percent of sorghum grain harvested by October 30, 59 percent by
this date in 1982, 74 percent on the average. Ouring the first week of
October, rain relieved summer drought stress in Texas and Oklahoma. After
mid-month remnants of Hurricane Tico produced heavy rain and locally severe
flooding in west Texas and Oklahoma and moderate rain in eastern Kansas and
Missouri. The moisture was very beneficial. Drying conditions late in
October allowed harvest to progress rapidly.

RICE: Production forecast at 103 million hundredweight (4.69 million metric

tons), 33 percent below last year, 43 percent below 1981. Nationally,
2.23 million acres (901 thousand hectares) for harvest, compared with 3.25
million acres (1.32 million hectares) for 1982.

Nationally, yields expected to average 4640 pounds per acre compared with
4610 pounds last month and 4742 pounds last year, Yield prospects are
slightly above 1982 in Arkansas and up 150 pounds in California. Elsewhere
yields were below a year earlier.

Rice harvesting 97 percent complete in 5 major producing States, 1 point
ahead of last year and average. Combining neared completion in southern
States and 90 percent complete in California. Texas producers began
harvesting second crop rice late in the month.

PEANUT: Production forecast at 3.11 billion pounds (1.41 million metric

tons), 10 percent below last year but up 6 percent from last month,
Yield is forecast at 2265 pounds, up 71 pounds from October 1 -- 431 pounds
below the record high set in 1982.

Southeast production (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina) at 2.10
billTon pounds, down 5 percent from last year but up 9 percent from last
month. Yield, at 2590 pounds, increased 96 pounds from last month. Last
year’s yield was 3122 pounds. Yields increased from last month in all four
States. Harvest is virtually complete in Alabama and Florida while Georgia
and South, Carolina had about 10 percent of the crop still in the ground on
November 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about November 1. The yield surveys included mailed reports
from farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for
corn, soybeans and cotton. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions and
probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their localities.
Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and
measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling
and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More
importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the “Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing
the deviations between the November 1 production forecasts and the final
estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1963-82 twenty year period; the square root of
this average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error". Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for
grain production forecast is 2.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out
of 3 that the current production forecast of 4,121 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 2.6 percent or approximate]
107 million bushels, Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level
that the difference will not exceed 4.5 percent or approximately 185 million
bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the November 1 forecast and the finat estimate. Using
corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 158 million bushels,
ranging from 7 million to 378 millfan bushels. The November 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 9 times and above 1 time. This does not imply
that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

OOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR

90% CONFIDENCE
t LEVEL

PERCENT: -+-------- —

10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

CROP ANO
UNIT

:PERCENT: QUANT

MIL
FEED GRAINS 1/ MT : 2.1 3.6 5
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 2.6 4.5 185
SORGHUM FOR :

GRAIN BU: 4.2 7.3 35
RICE CWT: 2.2 3.8 4
SOYBEANS FOR :

BEANS Bu: 2.7 4.7 72
COTTON BALE 2/ 3.8 6.6 490

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 213 302 110 108 193 950 104 677 790
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 21 364 390 12 243 160 12 243 160
RICE 6 995 120 4 654 900 4 685 200
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 60 676 670 41 286 490 41 817 190
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 1 $59 590 1 323 620 1 408 400
ALL COTTON 2 608 540 1 643 700 1 632 160
UPLAND 2 583 050 1 625 410 1 614 960
AMER=PIMA 21 490 18 290 17 200
COTTONSEED z 4 303 680 2 755 120 2 736 980
ORY EDIBLE BEANS : 1123 270 700 980 709 730
TOBACCO : 899 130, 625 070 627 660
SUGARBEETS : 19 286 750 19 231 410 19 108 030

SUGARCANE FOR 7
SUGAR AND SEE 27 006 890 27 468 650 27 864 180
DRIED PRUNES (tautF) 114 310 1/122 470 122 470
FILBERT! 7710 5 900
: 1983-84 1983-84

CITRUS FRUITS 2/
“TERONS

1/ SEP 1, 1983. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND
ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

METRIC TONS
OATS : 8 955 450 6 858 910

BARLEY + Vi 373 630 11 576 990
ALL WHEAT : 76 441 290 65 524 300
WINTER : 57 377 050 53 800 850
DURUM 4014 370 1 967 710
OTHER SPRING 15 049 870 9 755 740
RYE 528 780 652 760
FLAXSEED 295 540 188 300
SUNFLOWER 2 418 910 1 437 860
ALL HAY 138 276 720 129 413 540
ALFALFA : 82 112 010 73 900 180
ALL OTHER : 56 164 710 55 513 360
POTATOES. H
WINTER : 102 650 99 470
SPRING : 932 540 792 830
SUMMER : 974 040 792 560
FALL 13 949 070 13 276 400
TOTAL 15 958 290 14 961 260
SWEETPOTATOES 648 180 $04 710
HOPS 35 630 30 990
APPLES, COM'L 3 678 610 3756 410
PEACHES : 1 039 900 893 480
PEARS: : . _ 730 280 720 400
GRAPES : & 0OZ 120 4 473 690
SWEET CHERRIES : 141 250 163 020
TART CHERRIES : 141 020 70 810
APRICOTS : 102 420 94 800
NECTARINES (CALIF) 156 940 172 370
PLUMS (CALIF) 197 500 184 220
OLIVES (CALIF) 1327450 59 870
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL. CALIF) 53 980 53 070
PECANS 97 570 132 680
ALMONDS (CALIF : 157 400 113 400
WALNUTS (CALIF : 212 280 163 290
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1982-83 1983-84

Vf ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST EXCEPT CHERRIES END-OF-
SEASON ESTIMATES, 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN
AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 An6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO

IND = Fy
1983 : 1982 : 1983

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 PoUNoS

CONN 2,670 2,150 1,590 1,700 5,645 4,244 - 3,655
FLA 9,300 8,400 2,255 2,250 22,848 20,972 18,900
GA 50,000 45,000 2,110 2,100 121,000 105,500 94,500
IND 8,600 7,500 2,350 1,350 18,800 20,210 10,125
KY 239,100 202,200 2,414 1,490 509,576 577,100 301,278
LA Vs 45

MD 27,000 26,000 1,390 1,050 33,000 37,530 27,300
MASS 550 425 1,613 1,770 1,970 887 752
MO 2s 2,900 2,900 2,050 2,000 6,076 5,945 5,800
no 325,040 281,000 2,156 1,935 795,909 700,689 543,735
OHIO 14,400 12,000 2,213 1,400 22,854 31,860 16,800
PA 13,000 12,000 1,991 1,750 27,265 25,885 21,000
sc 59,000 55,000 2,105 2,050 149,580 124,195 112,750
TENN 82,610 72,450 2,156 1,540 161,463 178,117 191,573
VA 61,670 55,800 2,033 1,715 158,797 125,384 95,697
WYA 2/ 1,900 2,000 1,890 1,900 2,430 3,591 3,800
WIS 10,100 8,400 1,994 1,915 26,353 20,136 16,086
us 907,840 793,225 2, 3B3 13744 2,063,611 1,982,245 1,383,751

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1981 CROP.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARBEETS vy

PRODUCTION

1981 : 1982 : 1983
: 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

ARIZ ’ 12.8 23.3 300 298
CALIF 3 165.0 171.0 25.5 7,254 4,200 4,190
COLO : 46.0 35.0 20,0 1,733 920 595
IDAHO : 136.0 143.0 23.4 3,754 3,182 3,432
KANS 3 9.5 4.8 17.9 284 170 74
MICH t 101.0 19,2 2,030 1,853 1,869
MINN ’ 257.0 18.8 4,403 4,756 4,498
MONT 2 41.4 19.8 926 850 820
NEBR 63.6 20.4 1,889 926 1,260
N MEX 2/ 43 12
N DAK 144.0 WW 2,695 2,476 2,520
OHIO 12.7 274 229
OREG 10.8 24.4 300 251 302
TEX 32,0 18,9 575 556 640
WYO 1,078 810 634

27,538 21,260 21,0635

1/ RELATES TO INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

: 7,000 ACRES TONS

: 373.0 370.0 33.8 34.5 10,019 12,613 12,765

: 94.7 100.0 95.0 96.0 9,081 8,997 9,600

: 255.0 265.0 27.6 27.0 7,134 71030 7,155
36.7 36.2 30.8 33.0 1,174 »130 1,195

771.2 27,408

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

Continuing showers in the Southwest, early in the month, caused severe
flooding which damaged the cotton crop. Rain in Texas and OkJ}ahoma during the
first week was beneficial for seeding winter grains, and dry weather in the
western Corn Belt and the Southeast aided harvest and drying of corn and
soybeans. General rains from the eastern Plains to the east coast slowed
fieldwork in the second week. The remnants of Hurricane Tico triggered heavy
rain and severe flooding in western Texas and Oklahoma and moderate rain
northeastward after mid-month. The flooding washed out some newly seeded
winter wheat but the moisture was generally beneficial, Parts of the western
areas of the central Plains had little rain. The last week was mostly dry
except for the mid-Atlantic States and the Northeast. After some runoff and
drying, fieldwork was resumed in much of the eastern part of the Nation.
Average temperatures for the month were near or slightly above norma} over
most of the Nation. The upper Mississippi Valley was two degrees cooler than
normal while parts of the Plateau and west coast were four degrees warmer than
normal. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT SEEDING

Seeding of the 1984 winter wheat crop was 87 percent complete at the end
of October, trailing 89 percent last year and the average of 90 percent.
Planting was finished in Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota and hearing
completion in all other States except California, Missourt, Oregon, Oklahoma
and Texas. Plants had emerged on 72 percent of the acreage, compared with 71
percent a year earlier and the 78 percent average. Soil moisture was adequate
except in eastern Colorado and western Kansas.

Eastern Kansas had good field conditions for seeding during October.
However, dry conditions in western portions delayed planting and emergence.
Planting advanced to 90 percent completion by the months end, Stands were in
fair condition in western counties and good to excellent in the east.
Seventy-five percent of the acreage had emerged compared with the average of
90 percent. Lack of rain in early October hindered seeding in western
Oklahoma, but widespread heavy rains jate in the month substantially improved
crop conditions Statewide. Some washed out fields had to be reseeded in
southwestern and south central counties. Seeding was 85 percent finished,
trailing the average by 5 percentage points. Emergence reached 70 percent,
compared with 65 percent average. Short moisture supplies hampered seeding in
Texas until late October when heavy rains replenished soil moisture supplies.
Growers had seeded 74 percent of their acreage by the end of October, 7 points
behind average. Montana planting was finished and 90 percent of the acreage
had emerged. Soils were slightly dry but stands were generally good. Seeding
and emergence were slightly ahead of average in the Pacific Northwest. Open
weather permitted rapid land preparation for small grain planting in
California. Seeding was 20 percent complete, slightly behind the 23 percent
average. Planting was ahead of normal in the Corn Belt. Emerged stands were
generally in fair to good condition with adequate soil moisture.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Forecast at 4.12 billfon bushels (105 million metric tans)--
51 percent less than last year's record high and smallest

since 1965. Yield of 80.5 bushels expected -- lowest since 1974 and down 2.4
bushels from last month. Yields coming in lower than expected with light test
weights and small kernels. Minnesota yield declined 8 bushels from last
month, Indiana and Iowa each declined 4 bushels. Corn harvest 82 percent
complete October 30 -- last year §2, average 63 percent. Harvest conditions
mostly excellent with field losses at a minimum.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS: VARIETIES GROWN AND ROW SPACING~-1983

The Statistical Reporting Service conducted soybean objective yield
surveys in 15 States which accounted for about 88 percent of the 1983 U.S.
soybean production. Plots were randomly selected from a scientifically drawn
sample of soybean fields, which were visited monthly from about August 1
through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements.

Sample data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the
following tables are not official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board but
are intended to show trends in soybean production practices.

Williams, the leading soybean variety for the eighth consecutive year,
accounted for 12.3 percent of the acreage in the 15 States surveyed. This was
down from the 14.8 percent in 1982. Asgrow, at 8.8 percent of the acreage,
was in second place and Forrest, at 6.0 percent, was in third place.

Average row space measurements in 1983, in the 10 States for which data
were available, decreased in all but 3 States. The Ohio average row spacing
continued narrower than other North Central States because of the higher
Percentage of the acreage which is drill planted.

SOY8EANS: REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES,
PERCENT oF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1983 CROP 1/

VARIETY

WILLIAMS 5/
ASGROW 7/
FORREST 2
CENTENNIAL :
BRAGG

PIONEER 7/

COKER 7/ :
CORSOY 5/ :
NORTHRUP KING 7/
ESSEX

BEDFORD

DAVIS

CENTURY

LEE 5/

RANSOM

PETERSON 7/

AGRI PRO 7/
HODGSON

ALL OTHER 8/

ALL VARIETIES
1/ REPORTED FOR THE FIELDS USED IN OBTAINING OBJECTIVE YIELD DATA,

2/ INCLUDES ILL, IND, IOWA, MINN, MO, NEBR, AND OHIO. 3/ INCLUDES ALA, ARK,
LA, MISS, AND TENN. 7 4/ INCLUDES GA, N Cc; AND S C. 5/ INCLUDES VARIETIES
WITH ADDITIONAL NUMERIC IDENTIFICATION SUCH AS WILLIAMS "79", AMSOY "77"
PICKETT "71", ETC. 6/ LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF REGIONAL TOTAL, IWcLUDED IN ALL
OTHER. WW PRIVATE VARIETY. INCLUDES ALL NUMERICAL VARIETY DESIGNATIONS
MARKETED UNDER COMPANY NAME. 8/ INCLUDES UNKNOWN VARIETIES AND. VARIETIES
WITH LESS THAN 7 PERCENT OF THE 15 STATE TOTAL.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 8-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION = bE"

Statistical Reporting
Released: november 10, 1983 Service

3:00 P.M. ET

US. Department
of Agriculture
Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN FOR GRAIN production forecast at 4.12 billion bushels (105 million metric
tons), less than half of last year's record high and down 3 percent from
October 1. The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1983 production
forecast js 3.94 to 4.3) billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production forecast at 482 million bushets (12.2 million metric
tons), unchanged from last month but down 43 percent from last year.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) expected to
total 135 million metric tons, down 47 percent from last year.

SOYBEAN production forecast at 1.54 billion bushels (41.8 million metric tons),

percent more than October 1 but 31 percent below last year. The 90

percent confidence interval for the 1983 production forecast is 1.46 to
1.61 billion bushels.

QILSEED production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts, flaxseed and sunflower com-
bined) is expected to total 47.6 million metric tons, down 3] percent from
last year.

ALL COTTON production forecast at 7.50 million bales, 37 percent below 1982
production and 1 percent below a month earlier. The 90 percent confidence
interval for this forecast is 7.00 million to 7.99 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production forecast at 1.38 billion pounds (628 thousand metric
tons), 30 percent below last year, up fractionally from last month,
-smallest crop since 1941.

SUGAR CROPS: Sugarbeet production forecast at 21.1 million tons (19.1 million

metric tons), off 1 percent from both the October 1 forecast and
the 1982 crop. Sugarcane for sugar and seed forecast at record high 30.7
million tons (27.9 million metric tons), 1 percent above October 1 forecast, up
3 percent from year ago.

KIKI III II IR IAAI IE IAAI IIIA ISI IIIA II AI IKI IKI III AISA I IIIA IAI ISI AIK I IK.

* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
* should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 - *
* South Building, USOA, Washington, 0.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021). *

KERRI IIR ISI RII IK IIIS I SII AISI ISIS IK ISIS I III III SKIS IIS SII IIIS II II AAAI

CrPr 2-2 (11-83) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127



Texas and Oklahoma upland production forecast at 2.34 million bales, down
20 percent from 1982 and 3 percent less than last month. Better than expected
yields in Texas more than offset by lower acreage for harvest. Harvest well
ahead of last year and was about one-third finished by November 1.

The far west upland crop forecast at 2.77 million bales, down 35 percent
from 1982 but up 2 percent from October 1 forecast. Full assesment of flood
damage in Arizona revealed some grade and quality reduction but limited
acreage loss. Harvest was about 30 percent complete by November 1, about one
week behind last year's pace.

Bureau of the Census reports 3,348,142 running bales ginned prior to
November 1 compared with 5,288,435 bales ginned to the same date last year and
5,540,672 bales in 1981.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1983, based on a three year average lint-seed
ratio, forecast at 3.02 million tons (2.74 million metric tons),
36 percent less than in 1982.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Ory bean production is forecast at 15.6 million hundred-

~— weight (710 thousand metric tons), up 1 percent from last
month but down 37 percent from 1982. The expected yield per acre increased to
1405 pounds, up 1 percent from last month, virtually the same as last year.

Michigan, North Dakota, New York, and Wyoming indicated better yields than
on October 1. Harvest nearing completion. Michigan producers reporting very
good quality. Colorado, California, and Idaho indicate lower yields than last
month. Mold and virus problems lowered Colorado's yield. A wet spring and
fall hurt {daho's production. Nebraska producers experienced hot weather
during, growing season but disease damage Tight, resulting in better yields

an :

TOBACCO: Al? tobacco production forecast at 1.38 billion pounds (628 thousand

metric tons), 30 percent below last year, up fractionally from Tast
month, smallest crop since 1941. Yield prospects, at 1744 pounds per acre,
439 pounds below 1982, 7 pounds above last month's forecast. Growers expect
to harvest 793 thousand acres (321 thousand hectares), 13 percent less-than
1982.

Keritucky's production of all tobacco estimated at 301 million pounds, 48
percent below last year, 2 percent below October 1. Production decline from
last month caused by Jess acreage and lower yields. Stripping of burley
active. Producers of dark tobacco are firing to add finish. Burley market
expected to open November 21,

North Carolina production, at 544 million pounds, down 22 percent from
last year, 1 percent above October 1. Yield forecast, at 1935 pounds per
acre, 221 pounds below 1982, 20 pounds above last month. Flue-cured markets
closed in Border and Eastern Belts. Final sales for Old and Middle Belts
expected November 10.

Tennessee growers expect to harvest 112 million pouncs, 37 percent below
last year. Expected yields at 1540 pounds unchanged from last month, 616
pounds below 1982. Improved moisture conditions aided in firing of dark types
and stripping of burley.

Production of sugarbeets forecast at 21.1 million tons (19.1 mil-
lion metric tons), off 1 percent from both October 1 forecast and
1982 crop. Most of the reduction from October 1 resulted from cold weather in
northwest Minnesota, outlook also declined in Colorado, Kansas, Montana.
Partially offsetting were improved prospects in Michigan, Oregon.

SUGARBEET!

California fall harvest nearly complete in San Joaquin Valley, complete in
Sacramento Valley. Yields below last year due to shortened growing season.
About 40 percent overwintered for spring harvest.

Due to good weather Idaho harvest 70 percent complete as of October 31,
compared with usual 58 percent. North Dakota beets 99 percent lifted as of
October 30, compared with 96 last year. Michigan harvest nearly complete.
Beets smaller than usual but very uniform in size. Yields averaging 0.5 ton
per acre better than expected last month.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Virginia-North Carolina crop, at 472 million pounds, qgined ercent
(9.60 nt Ton pounds) trom last month but is still sharply ( % Tetcenth below
last year. Yield, at 1941 pounds, is up 40 pounds from last month but is
still 913 pounds below last year. Harvest in Virginia is three weeks late,
only 38 percent complete, as of November 1. In North Carolina, harvest
reached 50 percent by November 1, the slowest progress of record, Quality and
yields vary widely according to area.

Southwest area (New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas) production, at 530 million
pounds, 2 percent above last month and 1 percent above last year, All of the
increase from October 1 occurred in.Ok}ahoma. Harvest remained active except
when interrupted by rains.

SOYBEANS: Production forecast at 1.54 billion bushels (41.8 million metric

tons), down 31 percent from last year. Yield, at 25.0 bushels, 6.9
bushels below last year. Yields in Arkansas, Kentucky, Nebraska and Tennessee
dropped 1.0 bushel during October, while Alabama, Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana,
North Carolina, and Minnesota were up 1.0 bushel. Michigan yield up 3.0
bushels, a1] other States unchanged. Soybean combining 69 percent complete
November |] -- last year 69 percent, average 71 percent.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

BILLION BUSHELS wee tee
as

asp

2nb

" 8 ry n
* NOVEMBER FORECAST YER

COTTON: United States cotton production forecast at 7.50 million bales, 37
percent below 1982 and 1 percent less than last month's forecast.

Upland production set at 7.42 million bates, down 37 percent from last year.

Agen ican-pima production forecast at 79.0 thousand bales, 20 percent below

Upland area for harvest estimated at 7,07 million acres (2.86 million
hectares), down 27 percent from 1982. American-pima area for harvest--63.3
thousand acres (25.6 thousand hectares), 10 percent below last year.

Growers in Southeastern States expect to harvest 380 thousand bales, 60
percent less than last year and down 8 percent from October 1 forecast.
Harvest about 70 percent complete by November 1.

Production in the Delta States forecast at 1.9) million bales, 48 percent
less than last year and virtually unchanged from October 1. Slightly better
than expected yields offset by lower acreage for harvest in Mississippi.
Harvest moved rapidly during October and was over 80 percent finished by
November ),

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


1 coos escort
ZZ Poot tae
Swe
(ED) severe drougtn
HE cerome cout

Sates curert suey of

PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
November 1.1983,

"As eparted by.
crop Correspondents

in paste ted far orang on aon-engeted pastures and ranges relate to thal expected
‘wom exishng stands under very favorable weather conatons

EB) cwome orouott

SoA

soa ES
PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
Noventer i 882
eo
> 7s
 c000 to excotent i AN
oe fa oP
a ON
1) severe crave iy cr ConeeSonets

‘indicates current surely of pasture feed for grazing on non-engated pastures and ranges relaive to that expected
ror exsing stands Under very lavorabe weather condsons.

os _|

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983

A-8 CROP REPORTING

BOARD, SRS,

USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE

AVERAGE
1972-81

AVERAGE
1972-81

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO SEVERE

DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE
AGR 103

UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID :
FIRST CLASS omen

OFFICIAL BUSINESS
PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE, $300

To stop maning [7] or to change your
address [} senc this sheet with label
intact, showing new address, to Crop
Reporting Board Publications. SRS. U.S.
Dept of Agrcutture, Rm 5629 South
Building, 14th & Independence Ave. 5.W.,
Wash., 0.C. 20250.



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CROP AND UNIT

CORN FOR GRAIN

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN B41,
RICE 154,
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 2,229,
PEANUTS FOR NUTS. 3,438,
ALL COTTON VW,
UPLAND WW,
AMER-PIMA
COTTONSEED 4,
ORY EDIBLE BEANS 24a;
TOBACCO 1,982,
SUGARBEE TS 21,
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 29,
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)
FILBERTS
1982

CITRUS FRUITS 4/
“TENONS

Vv
MONTH. THE 9

BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

YIELD IN POU

NDS
1972-81 AVERAGE IS

8,397,

(CONTINUED)

334
079
216
486
330
962.6
863. 9
8.7
yaa
764
245
260

4,120,983
481,992
103,291

1,536,519

3,105,000

770

126.0
18.8

3

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED fonortton AS OF FIRST OF
75 PERCENT. 3/ SEP

SEASON

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

OATS

INDICATED
1983 1/

616,981

8 ,

BARLEY * 522,387 531,727
ALL WHEAT “ 2,808,737 2,407,606

WINTER " 2,108,246 1,976,843

OURUN ” 147,503 72,301

QTHER SPRING ” 552,988 358,462
RYE " 20,817 25,698
FLAXSEED a : 11,635 7,413
SUNFLOWER UB : 5,332,820 3,169,950
ALL HAY TON : 152,424 142,654

ALFALFA ” 90,513

ALL OTHER ” 61,917
POTATOES

WINTER CWT 2,263 2,193

SPRING “ 20,559 17,479

SUMMER “ 21,474 17,473

FALL ” 307,526 292,696

TOTAL " 351,822 329,841
SWEETPOTATOES " : 14,290 11,127
HOPS: LB : 78,558 68,147
APPLES, COML ~ B, 170,000 8,281,500
PEACHES * 2,292,600 1,969,800
PEARS TON 805.0 794.1
GRAPES * 6,616.2 4,931.4
SWEET CHERRIES " 155.7 179.7
TART CHERRIES LB 310,900 156,100
APRICOTS TON 112.9 104.5
NECTARINES (CALIF) ” 173.0 190.0
PLUMS (CALIF) ” 118.5 170.0
OLIVES (CALIF) . 146.0 66.0
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL. CALIF) * " 59.5 $8.5
PECANS tB 215,100 292,500
ALMONDS {cALTE . 347,000 250,000
WALNUTS (CALIF TOR 234.0 180.0
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ 1982-83 1983-84
“ORANGES: 222,500

Vv
SEASON ESTIMATES. 2/
ANO ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983

ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER cep
SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN

A-4

CHERRIE

ORECAS
THE FOLLOWING YEAR,
CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 450 300 66.0 50.0 += 34,100 29,700 = 15,000
ARIZ 1/ = 25 17 135.0 140.0 4,550 3,375 2,380
ARK 1/ ot 30 35 82.0 75.0 3,185 2,460 2,625
CALIF 1/ + 330 270 130.0 132.0 35,750 42,900 35,640
coLo : 830 585 133.0 125.0 108,230 110,390 73,125
CONN 2/°
DEL : 182 150 102.0 75.0 15,385 18,564 11,250
FLA W/o 245 134 62.0 66.0 = 17,985 15,190 8,844
GA : 815 770 85.0 68.0 69,000 69,275 52,360
IDAHO 1/ = 65 65 120.0 122.0 7,130 7,800 7,930
TLL : 11,380 7,800 134.0 80.0 1,454,080 1,524,920 624,000
IND : 6,320 4,600 129.0 70.0 654,000 815,280 322,000
1OWA : 13,150 8,400 121.0 85.0 1,758,950 1,591,150 714,000
KANS : 1,230 840 114.0 90.0 148,050 140,220 75,600
ky 3 1,490 970 106.0 48.0 149,000 157,940 46,560
LA t/t 40 45 78,0 80.0 2,409 3,120 3,600
MAINE 2/
MD : 660 550 107.0 65.0 72,450 70,620 35,750
MASS 2/0 =
MICH : 2,820 1,850 109.0 95,0 273,600 307,380 175,750
MINN : 6,500 4,370 113.0 85.0 744,700 734,500 371,450
MISS 1/ 90 80 62.0 56.0 6,440 5,580 4,480
Mo : 1,970 1,500 104.0 48.0 213,400 204,880 72,000
MONT 1/ 14 11 100.0 110.0 850 1,400 1,210
NER : 6,940 4,900 111.0 94.0 791,200 770,340 460,600
NH 2/0 3
NJ tf 112 105° 102.0 85.0 = 12,375 11,424 8,925
N MEX 1/00 ¢ 90 55 110.0 125.0 9,000 9,900 6,875
NY : 730 550 92.0 87,0 74,400 = 67,160 47, 850
NC : 1,630 1,350 101.0 53.0 140,910 164,630 71,550
N DAK 1/0 = 520 350 68.0 80.0 41,553 35,360 28,000
OHIO : 4,060 2,850 117.0 83.0 360,000 475,020 236,550
OKLA 1/ 60 45 100.0 90.0 3,850 6,000 4,050
OREG 1/ : 34 20 140.0 145.0 2,970 4,760 2,900
PA ot 1,300 1,150 97.0 65.0 134,400 126,100 74,750
Ril 2) o¢
sc : 340 290 90.0 60.0 33,060 = 30,600 =—:17, 400
S_DAK 2,640 1,700 73.0 65.0 180,600 192,720 116,500
TENN 650 520 94.0 48.0 55,040 61,100 24,960
TEX 1,140 1,150 105.0 98.0 127,530 119,700 112,700
UTAH 1/ 7 14 118.0 120.0 1,650 2,006 1,680
YT 2s
vA 595 375° 105.0 45.0 56,250 62,475 16,875
WASH 1/ 190 130 145.0 150.0 14,250 27,550 19,500
WA 1/ 69 62 100.0 92.0 6,256 6,900 5,704
WIS 3,350 2,200 108.0 95,0 378,000 361,800
WYO 1/ 49 46 105.0 110.0 5,060 5,145
us 114.8 80.5 8,201,598 8,397,334

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS /

AREA HARVESTED
IND

1983
1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 cwT
LARGE LIMA z
CALIF : 31.0 30.0 2,010 2,020 639 623 606
BABY LIMA :
CALIF t 27.0 26.0 2,150 2,250 661 581 585
OTHER t
CALIF 3 168.0 94.0 1,570 1,600 2,805 2,638 1,504
ALL 3
CALIF : 226.0 150.0 1,700 1,797 4,105 3,842 2,695
COLO t 170.0 107.0 1,210 15150 2,683 2,057 1,231
IDAHO : 141.0 98.0 1,840 1,700 4,277 2,594 1,666
KANS. 2/: 24.0 10.5 1,000 1,400 935 240 147
MICH z 550.0 340.0 1,350 15300 7,198 7,425 4,420
MINN Fy 73.0 51.0 1,300 1,250 1,277 949 638
MONT 2/3 8.4 3.0 1,650 1,600 218 139 48
NEBR 3 2t2.0 130.0 1,500 1,650 4,025 3,180 2,145
NY 3 49.0 28.0 1,200 1,100 578 588 308
N DAK t 240.0 157.0 1,050 1,050 4,565 2,520 1,649
UTAH 2/: 10.0 6.5 460 480 60 46 31
WASH Fy 32.0 15.0 2,070 2,180 662
t 29.0 18.0 1,800 1,900 522
1,764.4 1,114.0 1,404 1,405 24,764

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHEL S 1,000 BUSHELS
: 2,000 1,400 26.0 18,0 46,460 52,000 25,200
4,500 3,800 24,0 17.0 99,000 108,000 64,600
270 245° 24.0 © 25.0 7,020 6,480 6,125
491 410 26.0 «25.0 = 11,040 12,766 + ~=—10, 250
2,500 1,950 27,0 19.0 39,900 67,500 37,050
9,270 8,850 39.0 29.0 351,500 361,530 256,650
4,500 3,870 39.5 30.0 151,800 177,750 116,100
8,400 7,850 37.0 33.0 326,000 310,800 259,050
1,810 1,610 26.0 15.0 45,300 47,060 24,150
1,630 1,390 32.0 17.0 47,850 52,160 23,630
2,900 2,570 26.0 25.0 64,165 75,400 64,250
405 360 29.0 23.0 10,915 11,745 8,280
1,040 890 31.0 32.0 29,100 32,240 28,480
4,830 4,600 35.5 32.0 139,200 171,465 147,200
3,550 3,020 26.0 18.0 75,600 92,300 54,360
5,800 5,100 30.5 18.0 155,550 176,900 91,800
2,250 2,100 36.0 28.0 78,660 81,000 58,800
170 133 25.0 23.0 4,872 4,250 3,059
2,100 1,600 25.0 19.0 46,250 52,500 30,400
400 530 21.0 25.0 6,440 8,400 13,250
3,700 3,280 37.0 31.0 99,750 136,900 101,680
280 240 19.0 20.0 6,480 5,320 4,800
100 105 32.0 28.0 3,100 3,200 2,940
1,800 1,380 22.0 15.0 31,000 39,600 20,700
800 935 30.5 27.0 «22,330 = 24,400 25,245
2,300 1,850 27.0 15.0 61,100 62,100 27,750
920 340 25.5 27.0 += 10,560» 23,460 9,180
665 610 28.0 16.0 16,828 18,620 9,760
440 380 31.0 «31.0 12,375 13,640 11,780
69,821 61,398 31.9 25.0 2,000,145 2,229,486 1,536,519

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(OOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE

INOICATED
1983

1,000 ACRES

CORN FOR GRAIN $2 $1,204 114.8 80.5
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 47 10,137 59.0 475
52.0 2,226.0 4,742 4,640
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 21 61,398 31.9 +0
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 75.4 1,371.0 2,696 2,265
ALL COTTON 28.5 7,136.1 59
UPLAND 58.0 7,072.8 590 503
AMER=PIMA 70.5 63.3 672 599
COTTONSEED
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 16764.4 1,114.0 1,404 1,405
TOBACCO : 907.8 793.2 2,183 1,744
SUGARBEETS TOW: 1,030.8 1,047.4 20.6 20.)
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED . : 759.4 771.2 39.2 39.8
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT: 80 73

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) TON
FILBERTS .

CITRUS FRUITS 4/
EMORS

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-4,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1983 1/

CROP AND UNIT INDICATED

1983 1/

OATS

BARLEY

ALL WHEAT
WINTER

DURUM

OTHER SPRING
RYE
FLAXSEED
SUNFLOWER
ALL HAY

ALFALFA

ALL OTHER
POTATOES

WINTER

SPRING

SUMMER

FALL

TOTAL
SWEETPOTATOES
HOPS
APPLES, COM'L
PEACI HES “
PEARS TON
GRAPES .
SWEET CHERRIES ”
TART CHERRTES Le
APRICOT: TON
RECTARIRES (CALIF) - * z
PLUMS (CALIF) : :
OLIVES (CALIF) . :
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL. CALIF) .
PECANS LB
ALMONDS (CALIF ®
WALNUTS (CALIF TON

CITRUS FRUITS 2/

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-4. (CONTINDED) —

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 Aa3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS: DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES, OBJECTIVE YIELD STATES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1983 CROP 1/

NAME PERCENT

NAME

ALA : CENTENNIAL 18.1 : ESSEX RANSOM
ARK + FORREST 35.3 : BEDFORD CENTENNIAL
GA : BRAGG 41.2 : COKER 3/ WRIGHT
TLL : WILLIAMS 2/ 26.1 : ASGROW 3/ PIONEER 3/
IND : WILLIAMS 2/ 26.2 : CENTURY PIONEER 3/
IOWA: ASGROW 3/ 12.7 = NORTHRUP KING 3/ PIONEER 3/
LA : BRAGG 14.7 : COKER CENTENNIAL
MINN 2 CORSOY 2/ 18.8 : HODGSON EVANS
MISS : CENTENNIAL 34.9 : BRAGG DAVES

MO 1 WILLIAMS 2/ 42.8 : ASGROW 3/ FORREST
NEBR: ASGROW 3/ 31.5 : WILLIAMS 2/ CENTURY
Nc : BRAGG 18.7 : CENTENNIAL FORREST
OHIO WILLIAMS 2/ 18.5 ASGROW 3/
sc COKER 3/ 37.1 + BRAXTON
TENN ESSEX 23.0 ASGROW 3/

£D FOR OBTAT ELO +

2/ INCLUDES VARIETIES WITH ADDETSONAL NUMERTAL DESIGNATIONS SUCH AS WILLIAMS
"79", AMSOY "71", PICKETT “71", ETC. 3/ PRIVATE VARIETY. INCLUDES ALL
NUMERICAL VARIETY DESIGNATIONS MARKETED UNDER COMPANY NAME. .

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGES DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIOTH FOR SELECTEO STATES, 1981-83 1/

AVERAGE
WIDTH 2/

GREATER (INCHES)

ARK 1981 129 12.0 1.6 10.5 23.3 52.6 33.9
1982 136 11:8 1.5 12:1 25.0 49.6 33.8

1983 135 12.6 1.t 13.7 28.5 44.1 33.4

IkL 1987 162 17.6 3.4 6.5 44.4 28.1 27.8
1982 165 17.9 2.4 5.5 47.3 27.0 27.9

1983 167 V7.7 7.2 5.7 45.2 24.3 26.8

IND 1981 : 104 12.0 2.9 3.4 52.9 28.8 30.1
1982: (104 13.9 7.2 7.2 42.8 28.8 29.3

1983 W2 17.9 4.9 4.5 44.6 28.1 28.0
TOWA’ 1981 : 156 3.5 2.6 6.4 43.3 44.2 32.4
1982 : 140 2.5 2.5 4.3 46.8 43.9 32.5

1983 151 4.3 4.3 7.0 43.7 40.7 31.6

KY 1981: NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
1982 : NA NA NA NA NA NA WA

1983 : NA NA NA NA NA NA NAS

LA 1981 : 81 33.3 0 4.3 18.5 43.9 35.3
1982: 90 356 Ww? 728 (17.8 37:2 3315

1983 109 25.7 0 9:2 14.2 50.9 34.8

MINN 1981 9: 91 9.9 3.3 6.6 46.1 34.1 29.7
1982 : 92 17.4 10.9 7.1 38.0 26.6 26.6

1983 103 13.4 7.9 7.4 51.5 19.8 27.1

MISS 1981: 128 21.0 3.6 6.9 16.5 52.0 33.8
1982 Mt 23.9 3.6 7.21944 45.9 33.1

1983 106 14.2 6.1 9.9 22.6 47.2 31.5

Mo 1981 132 18.2 3.4 3.4 4st 29.2 28.8
1962 147 2211 5.8 a) 35.7 32.3 27:7

1983 153 26.5 8.5 4:9 38.6 21:6 26.1

OHIO 1981 V2 37.2 10.7 7d 37.9 7. 21.2
1982 110 35.0 Wa 3.2 36.8 13.6 22.1

1983 105 37.6 6.7 2.4 40.5 12.9 21.7

TENN 1981 79 41 11.4 10.8 3 30.0
0 14.0 12.7 3 28.3

7 +2 7.1 3 28.6

NA NOT AVAILABLE: 1/ BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR
QBIECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES. 2/ BROADCAST SOYBEANS INCLUDED AS 10.0 INCHES AND
LESS BUT EXCLUDED IN COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE WIDTH.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1973-83 (1977=100)

1973: 92 91 101 86 95 91 91 87
1974 3 84 74 96 91 89 82 104 7
1975: 93 91 100 108 114 58 114 86
1976 : 92 96 94 107 112 74 112 74
1977, : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 : 102 108 106 93 101 76 106 105
1979: 113 116 108 108 94 102 80 129
1980 : 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981: 116 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982 : 119 124 110 140 97 83 104 126
1983 87 66 104 116 98 52 72 86

WV INCLUDES SOME ISCELLANEOU. “CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN,

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington

headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
W. H. Walther, Chairperson,
G. L. Clampet, Secretary,

APPROVED: J. E. Cochrane, G6. Knight,
E. L. Park, R. L. Addison,
W. T. Brannen, J. E. Brewster,

J. S. Buche, T. J. Byram,

- M. EL Craig, J. K. Gueder,

Le a C.D. James, D. Johnson,
S.A. Kellogg, G. A. Nelson,

R. A. Petzoldt, D. E. Ransom,

L. 5. Williams.

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

Leaf. we eeeeeceenne we tee ene ene cece enna nen en aera seaeenen wee ene n een ee en ee eee ed

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Montana harvest moved quickly in eastern area, completed October 19. In
south central area, wet soils made harvest difficult, about 100 acres left to
dig.

Lower than normal sugar content noted in Nebraska, Colorado, Wyoming,
Montana.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed forecast at record high

30.7 million tons (27.9 million metric tons), 1 percent above
October 1 forecast, up 3 percent from year ago, Increase from last month
represents improved outlook in Florida but this was moderated by decline in
Louisiana, National average yield at 39.8 tons per acre is up 0,6 ton from
year earlier.

Florida harvest gaining momentum, all mills grinding. Harvest expected to
reach peak level by early winter. Yield prospects improved to 34.5 tons per
acre as of November 1.

Hawaii's harvest continues to make good progress. One mil) wil) close
down for 2 weeks in November as part of a cost savings move but should only
have slight effect on total production. October rains were beneficial, the
crop is developing well.

As of October 30, Louisiana planting was 97 percent complete compared with
99 percent year ago. Harvest, at 26 percent complete, compares with 27 last
year, 21 percent average. Weather has been excellent for harvest.

In Texas‘ Rio Grande Valley, harvest gaining momentum, about 10 percent
complete.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Condition on November 1, 73 percent of normal for 48

contiguous States-~-7 points below year ago, 2 points
below 1972-81 average for the date. During October, conditions improved in 36
States, were unchanged in 5, and worsened in 7. General rains fell in Texas,
Oklahoma, and from the eastern Plains to east coast. The rains, and
temperatures near or slightly above normal helped improve pasture and range
conditions during month. Missouri, Illinois, Ohio, and Kentucky improved 20
or more points. Severe drought still exists from west Texas in south western
Kansas. Another large area of severe drought occurred over the western
two-thirds of Arkansas. Pasture conditions in roughly the southeastern
two-thirds of the Nation ranged from fair to very poor with a few pockets of
severe drought in Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina. Montana also had a
pocket of severe drought in the Northeastern corner of the State which carried
over into northwestern North Dakota.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production forecast 4.50 million pounds (2040

metric tons) for November, up 13 percent from October, 23 percent
above level of one year ago. Production expected to reach 4.00 million pounds
(1810 metric tons) in both December and January, then decline to 3.30 million
Pounds (1500 metric tons) in February, October fresh production, estimated at
4.00 million pounds (1810 metric tons), was double the previous month's
production, 3 percent greater than a year ago.

Total area in crop increase. one percent from previous month to a record
high 3575 acres (1450 hectares). Harvested acreage rose to 2225 acres (900
hectares), a 5 percent increase from September.

PRUNES: California prune crop (dried basis) forecast at 135 thousand tons

(122 thousand metric tons), unchanged from September 1, 7 percent
more than 1982 crop. Harvest was Complete in September with good yields and
fruit quality reported, except in the Yuba-Sutter area.

FILBERTS: Production for Oregon and Washington placed at 6500 tons (5900
~~ metric tons), down 24 percent from October 1, 65 percent below 1982
crop. Packers report delivery of nuts nearly complete. Crop production much
lighter than eartier predicted even with excellent harvesting weather in
September, October, Crop is poorest in years due to lack of buds and poor
Pollination in spring, heavy brown stain incidence during the growth period.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA 1/ 65 55 40.0 36.0 2,146 2,600 1,980
ARIZ : 13 18 84.0 86.0 2,158 1,092 1,548
ARK : 263 310 60.0 49.0 16,986 15,780 15,190
CALIF : 130 70 77.0 78.0 8,880 10,010 5,460
Coto : 380 310 34.0 34.0 12,775 12,920 10,540
GA 1/ 135 80 «42,0 35.0 4,455 5,670 2,800
ILL t/t 82 75 80,0 60.0 5,544 6,560 4,500
ND 1, 13 7 73.0 50.0 720 949 350
IOWA 1/0 10 15 65.0 70.0 1,600 650 1,050
KANS 3,350 2,800 62.0 43.0 238,520 207,700 120,400
KY o1/ 38 38 074.0 65.0 2,250 2,812 2,470
tA 1/ 175 170 45.0 45.0 2,592 7,875 7,650
Miss 1/ 115, 270 © 60.0 54.0 3,872 6,900 14,580
Mo : 870 640 81.0 54.0 75,200 70,470 34,560
NEBR : 1,670 1,080 73.0 59,0 164,800 121,910 63,720
N MEX : 310 160 47.0 38.0 12,240 14,570 6,080
NC 1/  ¢ 70 50 53,0 40.0 4,134 3,710 2,000
OKLA 510 350 39.0 33.0 22,050 += 19, 890 11,550
sc fo: 35 28 46.0 35.0 536 1,810 980
S_DAK : 375 300 46.0 42,0 19,565 17,250 12,600
TENN 1/ 79 100 56.0 47.0 4,200 4,424 4,700
TEX : 5,550 3,200 55.0 49.0 273,420 305,250 156,800
VA If ot 9 "1 53.0 44.0 539 477 484

14,247 10,137 59.0 47.5 879,222 841,079 481,992

IND:
1983

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT

ARK : 1,330.0 915.0 4,290 4,300 69,610 57,037 39,345
CALIF t 535.0 337.0 50 7,000 40,924 36,651 23,590
LA 598.0 385.0 3,900 27,078 24,862 15,015
MISS : 235.0 155.0 4,100 14,792 9,870 6,355
MO 1/ 80.0 55.0 4,480 4,200 3,099 3,582 2,310
TEX : 474.0 379.0 27,239 22,214 «16,676

3,252.0 2,226.0 182,742 154,216 103,291

17 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

1982

: POUNDS ,000 POUNDS
ALA : 177.0 183.0 2,950 2,400 602,730 522,150 439,200
FLA : 51.0 56.0 3,000 2,800 178,200 153,000 156,800
GA : 472.0 560.0 3,215 2,650 1,655,450 1,517,480 1,484,000
MISS 1/ 12,730
N MEX 2/ 10.4 11.0 2,425 2,500 24,900 25,220 27,500
Nc : 147.0 147.0 2,825 2,000 555,560 415,275 294,000
OKLA : 86.0 90.0 2,030 2,000 189,280 174,580 180,000
sc : 12.0 13.0 2,500 1,800 39,000 (30,000 23,400
TEX : 225.0 Y.445 1,500 393,250 325,125 322,500
vA : 95.0 2,900 +850 330,750 275,500 177,600
us 1,275.4 2,696 2 265 5,981,850 5,438,550 3,105,000

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINDED AFTER 1981 CROP.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1983 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA