SEASONAL GROUP 1 AREA HARVESTED i __ YIELD fl PRODUCTION
AND ' i TNO 1 TNO 1 v 1 IND
STATE 11975 1976 1977__1 1975 {1976 | 1977 |_1975_1 1976 1 1977
' 19000 ACRES Cwr Ty000 CwT
l
WINTER ‘
1
TOTAL it 1463 14.6 13.4 202 207 179 29887 = 2498424393
{
SPRING |
t
TOTAL vz Rass 9940 9143 237 250 265 394994 244779 224347
'
SUMMER 1
(
TOTAL Wt 15a? 12001 1le.5 181 189-191 208898 22v6BB_BAvAwE
\
Fate ‘
CALIF ‘ 1960 1865 17.0 3350350350 61365 60475 54950
coLo ' 32.5 3643 36.5 265 255 260 Br613 94257 = 94490
CONN 1 204 230 260230 552 494 437
IDAHO=10 SW CO 3360 315325300 104395 119375 94000
SOTHER CO 1 = 28940 230 235,240 664470 774080) 794200
IND ' 640 240 255 240 19530 19128
MAINE 1 122.0 220 265 245 270440 299155
mass 1 365 205 2202240 7046 816
MICH { 29.0 2300 2450275 8+330 © 8800
MINN 1 57.0 170 165 170 114055 124260
MONT ! 766 23000215035 19806 146974
NEBR 1 540 245 260 250 19274 19350
NEV ’ 12.5 330-380-350 5320 54250
NH 1 4 230 «260 = 230 104 69
N YeLONG IS 1 23.3 260 310 = 280 71609 p40.
“UPSTATE H 24.0 255 245 = 260 6101 52980
N DAK 1 11060 160 140 185 169940 204150
OHIO 1 942 220 «255 240 26499 29304
OREG=MALHEUR CO | 1062 350 370 360 4070 35026
OTHER CO | 45.3 460485455 240843 224659
PA ' 2940 235 285250 7140 6+750
RE 1 4.2 235° 2500240 19050 984
S_DAK 1 562 11S 65 150 286 B85
UTAH 1 5.8 260 240 240 19248 19296
vt 1 0 235 «2050235 205 ale
WASH t 108.0 460 450 460 484300 © 554800 © 484 300
WIS 1 4965 300290325 144850154370 184038
WYO ' 668 240 270235 19632 29702 19551
1
TOTAL 11004763 1614069 1912968 264 269 «269 276-055 3064906 3034432
us J \s26148 1937404 1535160 253 260 2593190834 3570357 3500414

T
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977

B-5

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Flue-cured output is forecast at 1,119 million pounds, 2 percent above that indicated on
October 1, but 15 percent below the 1976 production. The lower production this year is due to an
11 percent decrease tn harvested acres and a lower yield. Yield per acre is forecast at 1,887
pounds compared with 1974 a year earlier, Sales of flue-cured tobacco are about complete in
North Carolina and Virginia, and were completed earlier in South Carolina, Georgia and Florida.

Fire-cured tobacco is expected to tota? 49.0 million pounds, 27 percent above a year earlier.
Acreage ‘and yield are both above a year earlier

Burley production is estimated at 642 million pounds, 3 million pounds more than the October
1 forecast, but 5 percent below the 1976 production. Weather during September and early October
in Kentucky was unfavorable for curing, and widespread houseburn occurred. Weather during the
Tast two weeks of October was favorable for stripping and making preparations for marketing the
crop. About one-fourth of the crop had been stripped by November 1. Markets are scheduled to
open November 21.

Southern Maryland output is forecast at 29.9 million pounds, the same as the 1976 production.

Dark air-cured prospects indicate a 19.9 million pound crop, up slightly from last month, but
25 percent more than a year earlier.

All cigar type production is forecast at 58.2 million pounds, up 2 percent from a month
earlier and 3 percent above last year's output. Production of cigar-filler is down slightly from

a year earlier, cigar binder types up 15 percent and cigar wrapper types down 23 percent.

SUGARBEETS: Production of sugarbeets is forecast at 25.6 million tons as of November 1, an

increase of 2 percent from a month earlier but 13 percent below the 1976 crop. The
lower production this year results from a 16 percent decline in acreage. The average yield is
forecast at 20.6 tons per acre--up 0.7 tons from a year ago. The yield increase of 0.4 ton from
last month reflects improved prospects in Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota,
Montana, North Dakota, and Wyoming, which more than offset declines in California, Texas and
Utah.

Harvest was active in practically all producting areas during October. Digging was nearing
completion in most of the northern States and a number of receiving stations had closed by early
November. Harvest was progressing well in Central areas where weather conditions were ideal for
digging. In California digging continues in the Central Valleys. Volume is reported as
moderate, while sugar content is variable. In Minnesota virtually all sugarbeets had been lifted
by the end of October. Yields are at a record high but sucrose levels are below a year ago.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 27.2

million tons-~down 1 percent from October 1 and 5 percent below
the record of 28.8 tons produced in 1976. The decline in production from a month ago resulted
from a drop in acres for harvest and a decline in yield in Florida

Harvest in Louisiana moved into full swing the second week of October and was slightly ahead
of normal by month's end when 20 percent of the crop had been cut. Harvest began in the lower
Rio Grand Valley of Texas near mid-October and approximately 10 percent had been cut by
November 1, In Florida cutting cane for sugar will be getting underway in early November and
mills should be grinding by the end of November. Hawaii had favorable weather for crop growth
during October.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEEO: The condition of pasture and range feed on November 1 was 75 percent
for the 48 contiguous States. This is 9 points above 1976 but 4
points below the 1966-75 average for this date.

Conditions in the North Central and North Atlantic States continue good to excellent.
Conditions in other areas are mostly poor to fair, except California and Texas with large drought
areas.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CRANBERRIES
PRODUCTION
76

state. 1375 i Y +4977
t TOTAL ; «UTILIZED : TOTAL 4 UTILIZED : INDICATED
7,000 BARRELS
MASS : 785.0 785.0 935.0 935.0 865.0
NJ : 221.0 221.0 276.0 276.0 175.0
OREG : 97.1 97.1 89.3 89.3 95.0
WASH : 135.0 135.0 103.0 103.0 133.0
WIS 837.0 837.0 1,004.0 1,004.0 870.0
US 2,075.1 2,075.1 2,407.3 2,407.3 2,138.0
PRUNES.
STATE Ey PRODUCTION
r TOTAL : TOTAL t IND
t 1975 3 1976 z 1977
: TONS.
t
CALIF (DRIED BASIS) z 1499000 1459000 157,000
FILBERTS
STATE $ PRODUCTION
t TOTAL , TOTAL ' INO
& 1975 t 1976 8 1977
2 TONS
:
OREG : 119800 69950 109700
WASH vs 320 220 300
us t 129120 7170 119000

J/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
November 1, The yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for all crops and actual
field observations and measurements for corn, soybeans, cotton and cranberries, Farmers provided
appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for
their localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts and measure-
ments in a probability sample, These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type
errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the forecasts are subject to change due
to weather during the remainder of the season and other factors that directly affect final pro-
duction but cannot’ be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
“Root Mean Square Error”, a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the November 1 production
forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1957-76 twenty year period; the square root of this average becomes
Statistically the "Root Mean Square Error", Probability statements can be made concerning expect-
ed errors in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that
factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent year fore-
casts.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain forecast is 2.2
percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 6,367
million bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.2 percent or approx-
‘imately 140 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 3.8 percent or approximately 242 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a record for the last 10 years (1967-76) for selected crops of
the differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an
example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have
averaged 96 million bushels, ranging from 6.5 million to 243 million bushels, During this 10
year period the November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 2 times.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

P PERCENT ; QUANTITY } AVERAGE } SMALLEST ; LARGEST ? Piet : th

MILLTON MILLION” “MILLION MILLION

ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR; FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
CROP AND UNIT 90% CONFIDENCE QUANTITY ;veaRs
: PERCENT ;

FEED GRAINS 1/ TONS 2/ 1.8 3.1 6 2.2 0.1 6.1 7 3
CORN "BU 2.2 3.8 242 96.0 6.5 242.9 8 2
SORGHUM BU 1 4.9 8.5 66 27.3 7.0 86.3 1 9
RICE CWT > 2.4 4.1 4 2.0 0.0 4.6 5 5
SOYBEANS BU 2.2 3.8 64 28.2 7.1 79.9 4 6
COTTON BALES 3f : 4.1 7.1 982 345.4 V7 732.7 2 8

17 CORN, SORGHUM, OATS AND BARLEY. 27 UNIT OF PRODUCTION IS IN METRIC TONS. 37 QUANTITIES ARE IN
THOUSANDS OF BALES. ~

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA




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CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

B-6

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977


WINTER WHEAT - TOP GROWTH AVAILABLE FOR GRAZING*
November 1, 1977

NEBRASKA

[6000

A ran
BBB voor

“RELATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF TOP GROWTH AS
NEG. sn 8.77011) REPORTED BY FARM AND RANCH OPERATORS

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ToBacco

STATE 3. AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO 2 PRODUCTION
’ ' + IND t T ¥ IND? + 7 IND
n 1975 | _1974 3 A977 _t_ 1975 t 1976 t 1977 8 1975 t 1976 2 1977
t ‘ACRES POUNDS 19000 POUNDS”
'
ALA 1/8 700 640 57S 19700 19800 = 1103 19190 19152 633
CONN = = 49450 49550 30740 19435 19580 919619 69387 79189 69056
FLA 4 140490 449350139640 20062 29148 «19848 = 299595 309828 25 ¥213
GA % 755130 689000 © 670000 20010-19820 15950 = 1505978 + 1239760 130650
INO ’ 79500 79500 69800 20260 29420 24500 189150 174000
KY 1 2008700 20790001 29275 29403 20337 4970601 4649178
LA oft 150 140 400 700 800 98 120
i) 2 239000 = - 239000 950 19300 = 10300 299900 294900
MASS ’ 19420 19210 19373) 19525 15654 19845 19919
MO 1/8 24700 20400 29270 29190 = 2300 $0256 59750
NC 1 4799500 4489000 15996 29015 = 14890 9029930 7399975
OHIO = § 419300110200 29097 29115 = 20224 245910
PA t 322000 =: 139500 19650 15750 19810 239530
sc 1 909000 = 759000 29100 29025 1399725
TENN  f 669030 © 689450 700320 29038 29044 1349569 1439767
vA # B49530 © 864780 = 79485019681 19734 1429056 1539878 = -1389472
Wa ise 19750 19800 12700-19780 19780 3e11S° 30222 39026
wIS ’ 129000 119100 110700 = 19891 19821 29002 209801 200209 239625
us 110830660 190449620 9650435 20008 20045 10987 201819775 291360174 1991802467
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.
SUGARBEETS
STaTE AREA HARVESTED : YLELO 1 PRODUCTION
t F + IND # ¥ + IND ¢ 7 t IND
$ 1975 ¢ 1976 3 1977 t 1975 3 1976 t 1977 + 1975 § 1976 4 1977
t 19000 ACRES TONS 1000 ‘TONS
ARIZ 1/8 179 17.0 1269 2105-23460 2200 366 398 284
CALIF l/s 32663 31260 23060 = 273 28S 2640 8,892 89892 59980
COLO : 15409 121.0 72.0 1762 19.5 24661 29303 19406
IDAHO t 158.3 139.4 1080 18.6 2000 29942 29879 29160
KANS 4340 38.0 25.0 15.5 18.5 667 7H9 463
MAINE 2/3 5.5 060 56 0
MICH : 9164 ers 8660 1962 21.0 1575S 19540 1,806
MINN : 19640 24860 26060 = 1402 18.0 25783 39026 45680
MONT 1 4865 4601 Wel 1965 829 968 905
NEBR : 9660 8465 185 2000 18776 11690 14400
NMEA 3/5 3 o 1667 2400 15 20 29
N OAK ot 13069 149.8 1369 1765 11820 20022 29748
OHIO t 3902 3665 1968 2000 177 617 480
OREG : 1769 14.5 863-2368 24.3 426 364 202
TEX 1 3307 2364 1861 1361 1969 440 503 360
UTA : 2205 18.0 908 = S67 17.5 353 317 172
WASH t B204 76.5 6160 2660 25.0 25142 19862 19525
wYO : 5767 5604 4903 1804 1965 15060 19167 961
us 41651606 1947869 1923940 196 1969 2006 290704 299366 254559
1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF HARVEST.
2/ ESTIMATES NOT MADE IN ALL YEARS.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED
STATE _AREA HARVESTED 2 YIELO 1 PRODUCTION
' + ? IND t t 7 INO F 7 7 IND
t 1975 + 1976 3 1977 t_ 1975 § 1976 1 197711 1975 3 1976 4 1977
¥ T1000 ACRES TONS Tr000 TONS
'
FLA + 29860 306.0 30000 © 3549305 2940 100698 = 109251 8y700
HAW ' 11165 10661 10705 8607 = Be 9308 99666 95345 = 100084
LA t 329.0 315.0 315.0 2420 2546 2300 69909 8906S 79245
TEX : 3565 29.8 34.0 3502 3761 3503 19250 19106 14200
us ' T7400 75609 7565 36.9 3 3o00 284523280767 274229
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA




SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

STaTE 1 AREA HARVESTED t YIELO i PRODUCTION

i + 3 IND ¢ ¥ YIN ¢ 3 7 IND

$ 1975 4 1976 1 1977 ¢ 1975 3 1976 1 1977 1975 3 1976 1977

t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS

1
ALA 1 19310 1+220 16675 26.5 24.0 21.0 324095 299280 359175
ARK 1 49700 49320 4600 24.5 18.0 22.0 1154150 778760 1014200
DEL avd 204 182 205 25.0 24.0 23,0 S100 49368 Gs71S
FLA lst 295 265 340 24.0 26.0 74080 69890 79820
GA : 19260 940 19150 25.5 2365 329130 225090 200700
Te 1 8220 71560 89850 3640 3260 2954920 2419920 318+600
INO ' 31630 39280 39870 3305 3360 1219605 10892460 = 1354450
Towa t 69970 69590 7200 34.0 31.0 2361980 2044290 = 2444800
KANS. 1 19080 865 990 21.0 15.0 229680 120975 275720
ky ' 19200 11070 19360 27.0 26.5 329400 284355 394440
La 1 19920 20120 29550 24,5 26.0 475040 559120 615200
MD ' 318 285 Ss 28.0 25.0 84904 W125 89190
MICH t 610 ses 720 26.0 20.5 159860 119583 199440
MINN : 37650 39020 39810 2665 2160 960725 639620 1214920
MISS t 39120 39250 32850 22.5 22.0 704200 719500 80,850
MO t 43470 4200 49780 26.0 2060 1169220 849000 1384620
NEBR : 19200 19030 19280 2760 2060 324400 209600 435520
NJ Mss 79 102 132 2640 24.0 22056 2448 39168
NY 1st 10 12 16 24.0 24.0 240 288 352
NC t 194620 15100 19350 2365 2165 339370 23650 294700
N DAK 1/t 1469 147 210 19.5 12.5 2906 19838 49200
OHIO ' 39100 24880 39380 33.0 32.5 1029300 939600 1144920
OKLA 1/8 237 240 265 23.0 22.0 59451 $9280 50830
PA Wt 43 42 50 28.0 2940 19204 19218 12350
sc 1 14380 19190 19310 22.0 18.0 309360 210420 249890
S Dak l/h 342 27 305 25.0 17.0 86550 49607 70320
TENN t 19850 1+600 29220 2520 2265 469250 409500 517060
TEX + 370 347 750 25.0 26.0 99250 90022 184750
vA ' 433 398 41s 25.0 205 109825 89159 74055
WIS ve 19. 182 190 25.5 22.0 4871 39346 4s750
us t _ 535761 499442 $9138 28.8 25.6 28.9 195469120 142649890 146824705

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

STaTE AREA HARVESTED t YIELO i PRODUCTION

' t t IND + ¥ t IND ¢ 7 1 TNO

£ 1975 +. 1976 _¢ 1977 + 21975 $1976 1977 1975 3 1976 ¢ 1977

1 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1000 POUNDS

t “«
ALA 1 20640 214.0 21260 29600 24400 29750 5351600 $13»600 5830000
FLA t 55.0 55.0 550 39230 © 34000 © 39100 = 177650 = 1654000 =—:1 704500
GA t 524.0 52640 S2le0 39295 29955 2800 197264580 145560330 144584800
MISS 1/t 8.7 8.5 7.0 19550 19450 9600 135485 129325 119200
N MEX 173 8.8 965 926 © 29290 29200 20+152 219660 219120
NC 1 165.0 166.0 16600 29265 29655 29550 93739725 © 4400730 © 4234300
OKLA a 11540 12040 121940 24020 © 24050 14980 = 2324300 © 2460000 © 2354820
sc we 1865 15.5 15.0 19900 19590 19550 299450 249645 23250
TEX a 30460 30440 30240 19525 19525 19250 4637600 4639600 3774500
VA 1 102.0 103.0 103.0 29790 39000 24750 2849580 3099000 =. 2834250
us 41550460 1552165 19509,6 29565 24465 29376 398579122 397509890 395879540

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 8-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


REPORT OF MIDWEST AFLATOXIN CORN ANALYSIS

Aflatoxin was detected in only 6 of 909 corn samples from eight mid-western States examined
this fall by the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Northern Regional Research Center in
Peoria, I1]., and only 3 of the samples from two States violated Food and Drug Administration
guidelines.

Aflatoxin, produced by Aspergillus flavus mold, is a cancer-causing agent in humans which
can develop in corn if the kernel is first subjected to unusual stresses from drought, quick
drying, insect infestation, or other conditions and is then infested with the mold.

None of the samples taken from the 1977 corn crop from Illinois, Indiana, Nebraska, Ohio
and Wisconsin had detectable aflatoxin, according to USDA's Agricultural Research Service which
operates the Peoria Center where the samples were tested.

Only 1.6 percent of the Iowa and Kansas samples had it, and 6.5 percent of those from
Missouri. Guideline limits (exceeding 20 parts per billion) were violated in 4.3 percent of the
Missouri samples, and 1.5 percent from Kansas, but none of the samples from the other six States.
Weighting the States by corn acreages represented in the samples would indicate an incidence of
one-half of 1 percent and a violative level of one-tenth of | percent.

Unshelled mature ears were selected as samples from fields in the eight States between
September 22 and October 27 by enumerators from the Statistical Reporting Service conducting
regular corn objective yield plant counts and measurements. Sample ears for analysis were not
obtained from early maturing fields harvested before September 22.

The samples were examined at the Northern Regional Research Center for mold and insect damage
and stress-factors that might be correlated with the presence of aflatoxin and other mycotoxins.
The examination techniques were those approved by the Association of Official Analytical
Chemists and the American Association of Cereal Chemists.

MIDWEST AFLATOXIN CORN ANALYSIS - 1977

% OF STATE CORN

NUMBER OF NUMBER OF SAMPLES. HARVESTED ACREAGE

SAMPLES POSITIVE OVER REPRESENTED BY
STATE ASSAYED SAMPLES. 20 P.P.B. SAMPLES
ILL 154 0 0 77
IND 145 0 0 83
IOWA 130 2 g 63
KANS 67 1 1 47
MO 46 3 2 30
NEBR 139 0 0 85
OHIO 122 0 o 90
ts 106, 0 0 2
8-STATE TOTAL 909 6 3 73

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CONTENTS

PAGE
ALL CROPS MAP oo... cceeccescceeceeeeeetessenteeneeenees A-
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE . B-
CITRUS FRUIT ...... B-]
CORN CROPPING PRACTICES B-1
CORN FOR GRAIN ........00. B-
CORN FOR GRAIN ROW WIDTH . B-1
COTTON ......ccceeeeeeeeee B-
CRANBERRIES . B-
NUTS vo ccc ceeecececeeetseeesenees B-
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION ...... B-1

PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION MAP
PEANUTS FOR NUTS ......-esseeeeee .
POTATOES .......4.-

PRUNES .
RICE ...
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN .

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS ........ceeeecueeres
SOYBEANS, VARIETIES GROWN & ROW SPACING .
SUGARBEETS .....ceccssccecece cece eeereeee
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED .
TOBACCO, BY STATES .........
TOBACCO BY CLASS & TYPE
US SUMMARY ..........-
WHEAT PASTURE ..... see
WINTER WHEAT MAP oo... ccc ccc cece eee e sees cates eeeen essen

DPWDDWIMOMy
vrrria4

1
NHWHMODDDHWNNONWUAOHOPRAWOED

BROrwnwnDw
1

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 B-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1975-77 CONTINUED

ROW WIDTH (INCHES) 17

STATE NUMBER i—yy-g— ; : : } AVERAGE
AND | OF: “og”; -30.6- | 32.6- | 34.6- | 36.6- : 38.6- 240.68: ROW
YEAR SAMPLES. LESS : 32.5 : 34.5 : 36.5 : 38.5 : 40.5 GREATER. WIOTH
NUMBER PERCENT OF SAMPLES INCHES
MINN 1975; 143 23.8 10.5 7 9.1 37.0 15.4 3.5 35.4
1976; 133 16.5 9.8 7 128 42.1 15.8 2:3 38.8
1977; 187 20.4 10.2 6 4.0 36.3 16.6 1.9 35.5
Mo 1975; 145 15.9 9.7 1.4 8.3 39.9 18.6 6.2 36.3
1976; 133 18.8 10.5 15 6.0 34.6 24.1 45 35.7
1977; 183 17.7, B.S 7 10.5 37.9 21.6 313 36.9
NEBR 1975; 1582-17. 3.9 17.8 27.5 2.3 9.2 36.5
1976: 160 16.3 3.8 18.1 30:0 28:7 3:1 36.4
1977; 1640 «17.7.7 15.2 28.1 25.6 6.7 36.3
ne 1975; 132 3.02.3 2.3 15.9 38.7 18.9 18.9 38.6
1976; 127 6.3 (16 1.6 19.7 35.4 21.2 14.2 37.8
1977 ; 104 3.91.0 10 18.3 37.5 25.0 13:5 37.9
OHIO «= «1975: 180 22,7, 11.3 3300113 39.4 10.7 1.3 35.
1976: 146 © 34.3 10.3 2:7 16 3.3 13.0 41g 343
1977; 135319147 310 13.3 25.9 819 3:0 3422
PA 1975; 110 8.2 8.2 5.5 20.9 36.3 13.6 7.3. 36.3
1976: 12) 116 09.1 9 14] 32.2 16.5 74 36.1
1977: 124 12.1 7.3 3.200 RT 29.8 ara 6.5 36.5
soak 1975; 71 5.6 2.8 2.8 26.8 49.3 12.7 38.5
1976; 57 5.300 (1.7 5.3 26.30 42.1 19.3 38.5
1977 ; 81 4.9 3.7 1.2 28.4 51.9 9.9 38.3
TEX 1975 ; NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
1976; 164 11.0 3.0 2.4 11.6 48.8 23.2 38.5
1977; 154 16.9 7.8 1.3 12.3 48.7 13:0 37.3
vA 1975; 119 84 7.6 5.9 25.2 24.4 17.6 10.9 36.9
1976: 107 10.3 1112 4.7 28.9 15.9 18:7 10.3 36.5
1977: 111 16.2 19.8 72 26.1 16.2 7:2 7.2 34.9
WIS 1975: 117 2700 OT 2.6 12.8 33.3 26.5 9.4 37.0
1976: 107 10.3 6.5 1.9 9.4 36.4 32.7 2.8 36.9
1977: 115 7283.5 2:6 14.8 43.8 20:9 7037.

7 SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD DETERMI-
NATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 B-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS®*
November 1, 1976

(WB Extreme drought SAS REPORTED BY
(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

‘* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE _NEG. $RS 29-76 (11) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVI CE

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
November 1, 1977

WY SKEESAT R
2) ee

[El Poor to fair
EZA very poor
EX) Severe drought
EA Extreme drought

#45 ngpORTID BY
(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEEO FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 7-701) STATISTICAL REPOR’

TING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


YIELD PER ACRE OF ALL CROPS*
As Percentage of Normal”, 1976

AS REPORTED BY
CROP RESPONDENTS

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SAS 18-76 (11) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

YIELD PER ACRE OF ALL CROPS*
As Percentage of ‘‘Normal’’, 1977

CAOP RESPONDENTS

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SRS 6-770) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


COTTON

STATE AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO 1 PRODUCTION 14
Y IND + 7 7 Tio
1__1975 i sove t_ 1377 | 1975 t 1976 | 1977 | 97s | a976 SNF
T9000 ACRES” POUNDS 19000 BALES 2,
COTTON. TOM YOLANS
ALA 37000 4206040040 405399 7B 34960 31060
ARIZ | 2680034000560 e027 AslTe 979
ARK 1 680.0 = 950.0 970.0 was 520
CALIF $ 875401912000 1390.0 10072 350
FLA * S386 386
Ga 443 177
Tu 0 °
KY 257 480
ta $35 560
MIss 456 879
rr) 449 436
Ney yal 702
N MEX 3e2 $18
NC siz 360
277 41s
456 330
339 403
4150000 6+300.0 293 281 3e30700 500000
6 18 344 360 6 +6
10,869,213, 71854 453 503 MOrStes6 13, 747-7
3060 415 612804836 5063 35.0
a a 4e0 640480 a
6.3 195476413. 6.2
8.0 2310 44s crs
oes 13y 397692550 $6.9
10091345 13,191,845 4655038930146 10958006 13,831.8
14 PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED,
2/ 480-48, NET WEIGHT BAL!
3 ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
ORY EDIBLE GEANS uv
CROP AND STATE ‘ AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO PRODUCTION
1 t —No T 7 IND
976 t 1 976 11977 4 9153 64 977
19000 ACRES POUNDS 19000 CuT
LARGE LIMA BEANS. °
Cat 2440 35.0 19700 1949014650 08 see ST
SAB LIMA BEANS
CALIF 20.0 2140 29080 19800 26000 aie 378 440
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMaS
CAL. 110.0 123.0 e610 14545 e705 TOR 11900 19893
DRY EDIBLE BEANS
CALIF 154.0 17940 19692 19564 19773-29606 2800 29907
coo 195.0 900 900 820 19148
1DAHO 15940 19830 1967019610 14966
KANS 12.5 1917019200 14200 150
MICH 52540 900 930 14050 54250
MINN 4200 800 867 14300 403
MONT 900 29600 19700 14500 90
NEBR 12040 14600 1465014650 14650
NY 4040 15130 19070 14140 368
DAK + 13960 970 75014000 1100
UTAH ane 13.0 420 390 120 1
WASH ‘ 26.0 16950 15750 14800 32
wYo ‘ 28.0 19660 14730 14650 396
OTHER 2 348 201 768 1968819346 14655 105 96
us 1 UseS7et__ 1448553 Aisee 159 i33s2 arstee. anette asseee

14 EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ ILL AND IND.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 8-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Texas small grain seedings lagged because of earlier hot, dry weather. Farmers planted in
dry soils during August and September, and few nonirrigated fields emerged to good stands.
Scattered rains toward the end of October encouraged farmers to resume planting and reseeding
poorly germinated stands. Most of Texas needs additional moisture to assure good growth. By
November 3 Texas growers had seeded 79 percent of the intended acreage, short of 1976's 84
percent and the 89 percent average. Oklahoma wheat rated fair to good with 82 percent up to
stand by November 1, ahead of 1976 and the average. Most of the acreage was planted much
earlier than normal. Grazing of new growth was limited,

Seeding in Montana and the Dakotas was finished early in October. Winter wheat rated good
as winter closed in. Soil moisture was adequate, allowing development of even stands, in sharp
contrast to last year's moisture-short spotty growth.

In the Pacific Northwest short soil moisture supplies prevailed except in coastal areas.
Seedings in eastern regions germinated slowly because of the dry soils. Early seedings were
sprayed for aphid and disease control.

In the North Central States rains and soggy soils delayed progress but the moisture and
late-month high temperatures provided good growing conditions. In Ohio, early planted fields
showed good stands. About 85 percent was planted by November 1. Indiana's seeding progress was
unusally slow and was two weeks behind normal with only 65 percent in the ground by November 1
compared with 90 percent last year. Stands rated fair to good with 35 percent already emerged
compared with 65 percent in 1976. Illinois seeding was 80 percent complete by the end of
October, lagging 92 percent last year and average.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: The Nation's production of sorghum grain is expected to total 779 million

__. bushels, up 8 percent from last year. Compared with last month, prospective
production is up 1 percent with increases in Nebraska and Colorado partially offset by decline in
Texas and California.

At the end of October, 80 percent of the crop had been harvested, short of last year's 83
Percent but ahead of the 69 percent average. Only Texas and Colorado harvests were ahead of the
976 pace. Rains and wet fields contributed to the delay in other States.

CORN FOR GRAIN: production of corn far grain if sretcig at a record 6,367 million bushels.
is is 1 percen' million bushels) above the October 1 forecast and =
cent above the previous record established last year. and 2 per

Average yield is forecast at 91.5 bushels per acre, up .7 bushels from last month and up 4.1
bushels from Jast year. Increases in yield from last month in Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, wichigan, .
winnesota and Wisconsin were only partially offset by decreases in Illinois, Kentucky and

ssouri.

Acreage for grain at 69.6 million acres is up 100,000 e:
low last year, iP 's acres from October 1 but 2 percent be-

Frequent rains throughout the Corn Belt slowed harvesting Progress during October. As of
November 1, the Nation's corn harvest reached 70 percent complete, 4 points less than November 1
last year but 11 points higher than average. By the beginning of the month, western Corn Belt
farmers had harvested 73 percent of their crop, well behind the pace set last year. Harvest in
the eastern Corn Belt reached 62 percent, slightly behind last year but considerably ahead of

Harvest across the South was nearly complete.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Ta
: PRODUCTION PRODUCTION
cROP : BOXES t TON EQUIVALENT
AND 1 UTILIZED, TINDICATEDE UTTLTZEO TINOICATED
STATE 1975-76 t 1976-77 + 1977-78 ! 1975-76 t 1976=77_t 1977-78
i 19000 UNITS 27 1000 UNITS
ORANGES *EARLY MID & NAVEL 3/3
ARIZ : 730 800 820 27 30 2
CALIF t 286300 © 25600 © 214000 14061 960 788
FLA 4/% 980800 1154000 884000 49466 59175 34960
TEX t 34700 41600 39900 157 187 166
us 31310530 145800 1134720 51691 66352 49965
ORANGES + VALENCIA :
ARIZ + 14950 34150 34300 3 118 laa
CALIF aft 24e50021e000 = 25 en 00 crt) 788 938
FLA 4/4 829400 719800 = 764000 34708 39231 30420
TEX t 29400 24500 24400 loz 106 102
us to lile2so | 91 1064700 41802 49243 40584
ALL ORANGES '
ARIZ + 29680 4120 100 148 155
CALIF 1 524800 464000 19980 19748 1.726
FLA 4/4 1814200 1644000 841546 84406 74380
TEX t 6100 66300 259 293 268
vs 3 2420780 2444250 2200420 100493104595 9,529
TEMPLES 1
Fu 471 54500 34800 5200 248 171 234
GRAPEFRUIT WHITE SEEOLESS”
FLA 4/4 284300 294900314000 19203 1.271 16318
GRAPEFRUIT »PINK SEEDLESS = t
LA 4/7 4 139000 129500154000 553 531 638
GRAPEFRUIT sOTHER '
FLA act 2800 Galaga 8,000 332 387 349
ALL GRAPEFRUIT t
ARIZ + 3,080 31000 30100 99 96 99
CALIF st
DESERT t 4100 41500 49400 131 144 14)
OTHER AREAS | + 3sh00 34100 104 104
TOTAL t 7200 7600 235 26a
FLA 4/4 695100 514500 © S4.000 20088 26189 21296
TEX 1 109700 120400 © -119000 428 496 440
vs 2 704080 29850 39029
TANGERINES 1
ARIZ : 660 650 700 25 24 26
CALIF + 16300 14820 14800 49 68 68
FLA 47} 34400 34300 34400 162 157 162
u's t 54360 5770 5900 236 249 256
LEMONS ‘
ARIZ + 29420 51300 92 190 201
CALIF t  1Ss200 204900 578 783 760
us t 17,620 gsteo0 254300 670 973 961
TANGELOS '
FLA 4/4 51500 44800 41800 248 216 216

1/ THE CRUP YEAK BEGINS WITH

SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR

2/ NET LAS PER BOX! ORANGES@CALIF & ARIZ=759FLA-90y
TEX-B5) GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ~64y CALIF
OTHER=679 FLASSSs TEASBD} LEMONS=76) TANGELOS &
TEMPLES@90 TANGERINES@ CALIF & ARIZ=75+ FLA9S.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA ANO
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIOSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXASs INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN

TEXAS,

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIEN FORECAST,
5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT»
“OTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS UF DEC. 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977

B-10

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION (Qi

Board
Released: November 10, 1977 Statistical Reporting
3:00 P.M. ET Service
US. Department

of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Corn production is forecast at a record 6,367 million bushels based on conditions
as of November 1, up 1 percent (64 million bushels) from the October 1 fore-
cast and 2 percent above 1976,

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 779 million bushels, up 1 percent (8
fon bushels) from October 1 and 8 percent above last year.

Feed grain production (corn, sorghum, oats and barley combined) is forecast at a
record high 201 million metric tons, 5 percent more than a year ago.

Soybean production, forecast at a record 1,683 million bushels, is up 2 percent
(35 million bushels) from a month earlier and 33 percent above last year.

All cotton production is forecast at 13.8 million bales, up 4 percent from the
ctober 1 forecast and 31 percent above last year.

Oilseed production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts and flaxseed combined) is fore-
cast at 53 million metric tons, 32 percent more than last year.

All tobacco production is forecast at 1,918 million pounds, up 26 million pounds
rom October 1, but 218 million pounds or 10 percent below the 1976 crop.
{lue-cured production is down 15 percent and burley down 5 percent from
ast year.

Sugar _crops-sugar beet production is forecast at 25.6 million tons, 2 percent
above a month ago, but 13 percent below the 1976 crop. Sugarcane is fore-
cast at 27.2 million tons, about 7 percent below October 1 and 5 percent be-
low last year's crop.

Orange production, forecast at 220 million boxes, is down 1 percent from last
month and 10 percent below last season.

CrPr 2-2 (11-77) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 13.8 million bales as of November 1, 31 percent

above the 1976 crop and 4 percent above the October 1? forecast. Expected production
consists of 13.7 million bales of Upland Cotton and 84,100 bales of American-Pima. Cottonseed
production in 1977, based on a three year average lint-seed ratio, is forecast at 5.4 million
tons, 30 percent more than in 1976.

Growers expect to harvest 13.2 million acres of all cotton for 1977, 21 percent above 1976
and 3 percent more than estimated on October 1. Average lint yield per harvested acre is
forecast at 503 pounds, 38 pounds above 1976,

Texas and Oklahoma Upland production is forecast at 5.4 million bales for 1977, an increase
of 56 percent from last year's crop and 5 percent above last month's forecast. Harvest is
progressing well ahead of normal, having benefitted from favorable weather conditions and an
early maturing crop. Considerable cotton in West Texas is stored in modules awaiting ginning.

In the Delta States--Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Missouri--the cotton
crop is expected to produce 3.8 million bales, 33 percent above 1976 and 6 percent above the
October 1 forecast. Harvest is reaching the final stages with most gins clearing yards of full
trailers,

Production in the Southeastern States--Georgia, Alabama, South Carolina, and North Carolina-
is expected to total 550,000 bales, 28 percent below last year and 3 percent below the October 1
forecast. Harvesting of a generally disappointing crop ranges from about half to three-quarters
complete and is ahead of normal,

The California, Arizona, and New Mexico Upland crop is forecast at 3.9 million bales, 16
percent above 1976 and ] percent above the October } forecast. Harvesting continues
uninterrupted in California and western Arizona; however, scattered showers slowed progress in
central Arizona and southern New Mexico. Harvest progress ranged from about a third to half
completed,

The Bureau of the Census reports 7,502,044 bales of all cotton ginned to November 1]
compared with 3,703,226 bales ginned to the same date in 1976 and 2,766,663 bales in 1975,

U.S. COTTON AND TOBACCO

November 1 Forecast as Percent of Final Production
PERCENT OF FINAL

110

A

90
80 as tj 1 oe oe ee
1965 1970 1975 1980
US OEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. SAS 477 (10) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RICE: Production of rice is forecast at 99 mitlion cwt., 15 percent less than last year and 23
percent less than two years ago. The November forecast is up slightly from October 1.

Expected yields increased in California and Texas and declined in Arkansas and Mississippi
from October 1. Rice harvesting was nearing completion by November 1. Mississippi growers were
95 percent complete, Arkansas 99 percent and Louisiana completed. Arkansas harvest was hampered
by downed grain. Texas growers made rapid progress on second cuttings until the last week of
October when rains slowed field activity. California harvest peaked about mid-month and was
nearly finished by the end of the month.

SOYBEANS: Soybean production is now forecast at a record 1,683 million bushels, up 2 percent
from last month and 9 percent above the previous record 1973 crop. The forecast pro-
duction is up 33 percent above the 1976 output. Yield per acre is indicated at a record high

28.9 bushels, up 3.3 bushels from last year and 0.1] bushel above the previous record high 1975
yield.

All North Central States except Illinois indicate an increase in yield per acre from the
previous month with Illinois showing no change, Indiana, Kansas, and Ohio expect an additiona
two bushels per acre compared with a month eartier and Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri and
Nebraska yields are up 1 bushel per acre, As of November 1, harvest progress at about 79 percent
still lagged the previous year and the average.

Yield prospects in the South Central Region are mostly unchanged from a month earlier. Ex-
ceptions are a 1 bushel per acre increase in Kentucky and a 1 bushel decrease in Mississippi.
Harvest progress at about 49 percent in this area was ahead of the previous year and the average
for November 1. Some delay occurred while waiting for late varieties to mature.

Yields in Georgia and South Carolina are up 2 bushels and 1 bushel, respectively, from

October 1. All other Atlantic States expect no Change in yield per acre from the previous
month. :

PEANUTS: Peanut production is forecast at 3,583 million pounds {net weight), up 6 percent from

the October 1] forecast but 4 percent below the 3,751 million pounds produced last year.
The expected yield of 2,376 pounds per acre is up 138 pounds from last month but 89 pounds below
last year. Acreage for harvest remains at 1.5 million acres, 1 percent less than in 1976.

The Virginia-North Carolina area expects a production of 707 million pounds, down 6 percent
from 1976. Acreage is unchanged from last year. Indicated yield at 2,627 pounds is down 160
pounds from a year earlier. Virginia harvest neared completion with 96 percent of the crop dug,
but recent wet weather has hampered harvest. North Carolina harvest was being completed ahead
of the usual schedule.

Production for the Southeast area is expected to total 2,247 million pounds, 13 percent
above last month but one percent less than last year. The average yield of 2,774 pounds is
two pounds more than last year's average. Late summer rains revived the drouth-stricken Georgia
crop, promoting peg set and increasing yields over earlier forecasts. Most peanuts were dug by
November 1. Florida's harvest will be completed in November with overall yields being good
The Alabama crop was also much better than expected, and a record high yield is now forecast.

Production in the Southwest area is expected to total 634 million pounds, 13 percent less
than the 1976 crop. Indicated yields averaged 1,473 pounds per acre, 214 pounds below last year.
Ory weather in Texas has lowered yields while some dry areas experienced further digging losses

because of hard, dry soils. Oklahoma's peanut yield is forecast lower than last year. Harvest
is about 70 percent complete.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-V] CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS: DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES, OBJECTIVE YIELD STATES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1977 CROP 1/

LEADING VARIETIES BY PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED

STATE 2

a i THIRD

: ME PERCENT PERCENT : NAME PERCENT
ALA + BRAGG 35.8 15.5 : ESSEX 12.2
ARK 3 FORREST 23.5 21.5 > BRAGG W.1
GA BRAGG 57,6 7.6 : RANSOM 3/ 7.6
ILL : WILLIAMS 26.9 14.4 : AMSOY 27 12.9
IND : AMSOY 2/ 19.7 17.9 : CUTLER’ 2, 11.0
IOWA CORSOY” 34.6 13.5 > AMSOY : 2; 8.3
KANS WILLIAMS 20,2 7.0 2 COL 12,8
KY > WILLIAMS 31.9 19.6 : YORK 15.2
LA ; BRAGG 25.8 22,1 : DAVIS 12,1
MINN + CORSOY 48.9 16.3 + SWIFT 13.7
MISS BRAGG 28.0 25.6 + LEE 2/ 13.6
Ly : WILLIAMS 31.4 FORREST 3/ 12.8 CLARK 3/ 12.8
NEBR WAYNE 15.6 : AMSOY 2/7 14.1 : BEESON” 13.3
nC : RANSOM 35,7 + BRAGG 29,3 3 FORREST 9.3
OHIO : WILLIAMS 25.0 [AYNE. 13.2 + HAROSOY 2/ 1.4
sc BRAGG 26.4 OKER 2/ 15.3 3 RANSOM 14.6
TENN : FORREST 37,3 > YORK 22,3 3 ESSEX 18.1

T7 REPORTED FOR SAMPLE FIELDS USED FOR OBTAINING OBJECTIVE YIELO DATA EXCEPT IN MISSOURI WHERE ESTIMATES
OF PLANTED ACREAGE WERE DEVELOPED FROM SUPPLEMENTAL DATA IN OTHER SURVEYS. .

2/ INCLUDES VARIETIES WITH ADDITIONAL NUMERICAL DESIGNATIONS SUCH AS AMSDY "7)", CLARK "63", ETC.

3/ TIED FOR SECOND PLACE.

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1975-1977 1/

7 z A

AND : OF: BSE TE: SEBE—: AVERAGE
YEAR : SAMPLES LESS 2/ = 34.5 H GREATER
Fi PERCENT OF SAMPLES
ARK 1975 : 155 2.9 14.5 82.6 36.4
1976 : 156 45 18.1 7.4 35.7
1977 : 150 6.8 23.6 69.6 34.7
ILL 1975 : 143 14.1 31,7 54.2 33.0
1976 : 151 13.0 38.0 49.0 32.5
1977 2 163 9.2 44.3 46.5 32.7
IND 1975 : 124 5.6 35.5 58.9 33.9
1976 : n3 75 30.1 62.4 33.5
1977 : 108 12.5 46.3 41.2 32.1
TOWA "4975 : 143 3. 28.5 72.4 35.8
1976 : 139 6.1 36.0 57.9 3404
1977 155 5.8 34.2 60.0 34.4
MINN 1975 : 13 3.6 47.3 49.1 34.0
1976 : 110 5.1 35.0 59.9 3414
1977 : 93 7.0 42.5 50.5 33.2
MISS 1975 : 129 5.1 8.2 86.7 37.0
1976 : 125 9.6 10:8 79.6 35.8
197 : 124 14.6 8.5 76.8 3418
or) 1975 : 139 2.5 31.8 65.7 35.0
1976 : 141 76 30:6 61.9 34.3
1977 : 139 5.9 3714 56.7 34
oHtO 1975 : 106 28.8 35,4 35.8 29.8
1976 : 104 36.1 38.0 26.0 26.2
1977 103 40.3 38.8 20.9 25.7

BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN PLOTS
INCLUDES SOYBEANS PLANTED WITH A GRAIN ORILI

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS: VARIETIES GROWN AND ROW SPACING--1977

The Statistical Reporting Service conducted soybean objective yield surveys in 17 States
which represented 94 percent of the 1977 U. S. soybean production. Plots were randomly selected
from a scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields which were visited monthly from about
August 1 through harvest, Plant and fruit counts, ‘including pod weights at maturity, indicate
crop development and yield prospects as the season advances.

Sample data and the derived percentages from the objective yield surveys presented in the
following tables are not official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board but are intended to show
trends in soybean production practices.

Williams, the leading soybean variety for the second year, accounted for 12.4 percent of the
acreage in the 17 States surveyed. This 1s up from 8.5 percent in 1976 when it was the top
variety for the first time. Williams is grown primarily in the North Central Region, but it's
popularity has moved into the South Central States. Corsoy, in second place with 9.0 percent
of the total acreage covered by the survey, was planted in the North Central States. Braga was
the leading variety in the South Atlantic area and second largest in the South Central Region. It
dropped to third overall with 8.7 percent of the reported acreage. Forrest the leading variety
in the South Central Region, dropped from third to fourth place overall and Wayne remained
unchanged in the fifth position. Row space measurements in Arkansas and Mississippi averaged
1.0 inch less than in 1976, The Ohio row spacing continued narrower than other North Central
States due to the higher percent of the acreage which is drill] planted.

Statistical Reporting Service Bulletin SRS-17 includes similar data for early years.

SOYBEANS: REGJONAL DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1977 CROP 1/

~ NORTH : SOUTH : SOUTH : 7
CENTRAL 2/ 3 CENTRAL 3/ + ATLANTIC 4/ i STATES
PERCENT

VARIETY

t
WILLIAMS 2.
cORSOY 9
BRAGG 8.
FORREST 1 7
WAYNE : 9%. 6
AMSOY 5, :
DAVIS v : 8 8 H
PICKETT 5/ : 9 3
LEE 5, 3 8 2.
WELL! : 4.1 2.
CUTLER 5/ 2 3.4 6/ 2
2
2
1
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

et ~ : oe)

(ORK : §,

ESSEX : ¥ B38 "7

CALLAND : 2 :

BEESON : 2.

WOODWORTH : 2.

DARE :

CLARK 5, 2
2

OULANWwL de® aooOUaRoaNNNOaALod

HODGSOT :
MACK :
PETERSON 5/ 3 i)
MITCHELL H 1
SRF 5/ : 1.
CLEMMENS, 3 1

ALL OTHER 7/ : 21.2 12.0 28.5 16.1
ALL VARIETIES : 100.0 100.0 100.0 + 100.0

17 REPORTED FOR THE FIELDS USED IN OBTAINING OBJECTIVE YIELD DATA. 2) INCLUDES TLLINOIS, IND

. > INDIANA,
TOWA, KANSAS, MINNESOTA, MISSOURI, NEBRASKA AND OHIO. 3/ INCLUDES ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, KENTUCKY,
LOUISIANA, MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE. 4/ INCLUDES GEORGIA, NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
S/ INCLUDES VARIETIES WITH ADDITIONAL NUMERIC IDENTIFICATION SUCH AS AMSOY 71, CLARK 63, ETC.

6/ LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF REGIONAL TOTAL
Sheteries WITH LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF THE 1 state Torte OTHER. Z/ INCLUDES UNKNOWN VARIETIES AND

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 8-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY.

Rainfall during October was well above normal from southern Mississippi through New England.
Southern Georgia and Florida missed these rains and received much less than the expected amounts
for October. Parts of the Midwest and northern Plains also experienced excessive amounts of rain
which hampered harvest activity. The southern parts of Arizona, New Mexico and Texas had above
normal rain but the winter wheat areas of those States and Colorado had too little rain. Temper-
atures were generally moderate over the Nation with the area west of the Rockies above normal and
east of the Rockies below normal.

The month of October began with a cold front moving off the East Coast and causing heavy
rain in parts of the Appalachians and New England. After the frontal passage, a large high pres-
sure system dominated the area east of the Rockies and allowed a few days of drying in the Corn
Belt so that harvest could progress. The respite was short lived as rain returned to central
U.S. by the middle of the first week of the month and spread eastward. Some rain fell in this
first week of the month in nearly all of the Country except parts of the western areas. With the
entrance of two cool air masses into the U.S. during the first week, temperatures in most of the
Nation were cooler than normal.

During the second week of October, a trough of low pressure in the upper air moved from the
Rocky Mountains to the East Coast. Light to moderate rain accompanied the trough from centra
U.S. eastward. In southern Texas and the Mississippi Delta, heavy thunderstorms were triggered
and rains in excess of two inches fell in some places. Clearing dry weather followed the trough
eastward but a surface low formed off Cape Hatteras at the end of the week and caused very wel-
come moderate rain in the dry areas of the mid-eastern States. Temperatures continued cooler
than -normal over most of the Nation but the western U.S. experienced a warm spell with some parts
of northern California rising to an average temperature of 10 to 12° above normal.

The surface low off the East Coast moved northward during the third week (Oct. 17-23) and
most of southeastern U.S. remained rainless but New England recorded moderate to heavy amounts.
Late in the week heavy rain fell from south central Texas into Iowa. Some moderate rain fell
along the extreme northwestern Coast but most of the area from the western Plains westward had
little or no precipitation. The warm air in the West moved eastward and most of the areas west
of the Mississippi River were warmer than normal, East of the River temperatures ranged 6 to 7°
below normal.

The last week of October was a rainy week with the most significant amounts falling from
southern Mississippi northeastward to Virginia and Maryland. Some local flooding occurred in
central Mississippi and Alabama and rain was generally heavy in the rest of the area. In con-
trast, the western Plains remained dry as did southern California and Nevada. Significant and
welcome rain fell in the Pacific Northwest and the rain reached as far south as central California.
An unusual circumstance existed in that the entire U.S. was warmer than normal. Parts of the
Rockies were 9 to 10° above norma] and much of the East was 6 to 7° warmer than normal.

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

Adverse planting conditions during October delayed seeding of the 1978 winter wheat crop.
At the beginning of October 60 percent of the crop was in the ground, which compares with 49
percent last year and the average of 58 percent. Rainy weather and wet soils in the north
central States, along with dry soils in parts of Texas and the Pacific Northwest, slowed
progress in these areas. Seeding in the central and northern Plains moved rapidly, equalling or
exceeding the pace set last year and the average. By the end of October planting progress stood
at 91 percent, short of the 94 percent last year and the 96 percent average.

The 1978 Kansas winter wheat crop was 95 percent seeded by November 1, the same as last
year and the average. October precipitation enabled fall seeded wheat to get off to a good
start, however, wet fields delayed planting in the eastern third of the State. Nebraska winter
wheat was planted on schedule with minimal replanting. Wind erosion was not severe or wide-
spread, and the crop rated good. Colorado producers finished seeding by mid-October. Plants
energed quickly during early October but by the latter half of the month dry soils slowed
germination.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BORRD, SRS, USDA

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977


CORN CROPPING PRACTICES: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE AND ROW WIDTHS

The Statistical Reporting Service collects objective information monthly during the forecast
period on corn development and yields for the crop production estimates program. Counts and
measurements are made by trained enumerators during visits to the random plots in a scientific
sampling of fields in selected States. Information in the following tables represents sample data
and averages obtained from these counts about October 1. The resulting data which are subject to
some sampling fluctuation, are not official Crop Reporting Board estimates but do show trends in
corn cropping practices over a period of years.

The trend in recent years has been upward in plant population per acre. In 1977, plant pop-
ulation turned up as all but five responding States in the objective yield program showed in-
creases.

Statistical Reporting Service Bulletin SRS-17 shows similar data for earlier years beginning
in 1964.

CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE, SELECTED STATES, 1973-77 1/

STATE: 1973 : 1974 : 1975 : 1976 : 1977

NUMBER OF PLANTS —
coLo : 20,800 21,000 20,500 21,400 22,913

GA : 11,800 11,600 11,500 12,900 14,142
TLL : 19,100 18,600 18,400 20,100 20,110
IND : 17,900 18,700 18,000 19,500 19,105
IOWA : 18,900 18,600 18,500 18,800 18,777
KANS : 17,500 18,000 17,500 18,700 20,803
KY : 15,300 15,400 15,000 16,100 15,79
MICH : 16,900 16,900 17,300 16,200 18,270
MINN : 18,300 18,200 18,200 18,000 19,071
MO : 15,300 15,500 14,500 14,500 15,62
NEBR : 15,400 16,400 15,400 16,700 17,623
NC vt 15,300 16,900 15,200 17,000 17,909
OHIO : 18,200 18,900 18,200 18,600 20,221
PA : 16,100 16,500 16,500 17,300 18,009
S_DAK : 12,600 12,800 12,800 12,600 11,672
TEX : NA NA NA 20,700 20,649
VA : 15,900 16,400 16,400 17,500 17,805
WIS : 18,300 18,500 17,900 18,200 19,67

I7 BASED OW STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC _UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED — :¥TELD_PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
crop 1976; INDICATED ! y97g INDICATED? 197g pep HOLTER
: 1977 : 1977 1977 197
HECTARES “METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 28 767 390 28 147 400 5.49 5.75 157 894 490 160 104 440 16) 725 790
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 020 570 5 688 730 3.05 3:88:18 382 290 19 589 690 19 796 200
RICE 1012 130 891 130 5.24 © 5.04 «5 307 890 4 480 450 4 494 190
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 20 009 090 23 527 870 1172 2.95 34 424 660 44 832 570 45 795 730
PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 615740 610920 2:76 2.66 = '1:701: 370.««-1:532 340 1 627 270
COTTON :4 416 580 5 338590 0.52 0.56 2 303 640 2.899 310 3 011 500
ORY EDIBLE BEANS : 601.090 512. B60.«-1:30 ‘1.40 780 900 728 330 «© 719 480
POTATOES :

FALL + 461 710 487 220 30.15 30.1013 920 950 13.771 260 13 763 370

TOTAL : 556 200 546 760 29:14 29.0716 209 350 15 902 310 15 894 420
TOBACCO : 422740 390 690 2.292123, 968 950 858 230 870 100
SUGARBEETS : 598 500 501 410 44.81 46.24 26 640 390 22 667 830 23 186 730
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR :

AND SEED : 306 310 306 150 85.20 80.69 26 096 980 25 055 540 28 701 730
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) : : 131 540 “1/137 890142: 430
CRANBERRIES : 109 190 ~~ 97980 96 980
FILBERTS : 6 530 9 980 9 980
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1976-77, 1977-78 1977-78
ORANGES : 9 BIT 620 8 0
LEMONS : 82 690 «871 800-871 B00
PLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
METRIC UNITS
5 RVESTE! : ER HECTA
crop P + INDICATED + INDICATED > INDICATED
2: 1976s i977 1976: i977 7 1976 1977
; HECTARES HETRTC TONS
OATS : 5014920 § 837540 ‘1.63 1.89 8 163 970 11 012 050

BARLEY 3406°280 3.885020 2.41 2:27 8 213.950 8 816 030
ALL. WHEAT 28 661 770 26.968 130 2.04 2105 $8 442 870 $5 174 500

WINTER 320. 19648100 2.13, 2:12 42. 621 550 41 608 320
OuRUM : 1895 100 [ 242 800 t9e go 3 671 760-2 237 440
OTHER SPRING 6 760 350 6077 230 «©1180 1188 12. 149 560-111-328 740
RYE 325 370 317 6801.30 1246 423 360 463 370
FLAXSEED : 386070 — 592870 0.48 0.70 186 850 412 740
ALL HAY 1 24 651 690 24.952 780 4.45 4167 109 656 860 116 446 230
ALFALFA HAY +10 746 950 11192920 5.90 6.34 63 422 190 70 982 670
ALL OTHER HAY : 13 904 740 13 759 860 3.33 3:30 45 234 670 45 463 560
DRY EDIBLE PEAS : 50 590 66770 1.93 0166 97 520 44 230
POTATOES :

WINTER : 5 830 5420 23,22 20,03 135 350 108 540

SPRING 40 060 36.950 28.06 27:43 «1:123 950 1:03 640

SUMMER 48 600 471500 -21.17 21.40 1.029 1001-008 870
SWEETPOTATOES 48 400 46780 12.91 12.30 624 730 575 330
PEPPERMINT FOR OIL 29 220 33.870 (0.06 0.06 1 680 1 960
SPEARMINT FOR OTL 11 700 13.960 0.06. 0:07 760 970
HOPS 12 500 12340 = 2.10 2:00 26 210 24 640
APPLES, COM'L : 2.901070 3:12 150
PEACHES : 7 369 030 © 1: 317 330
PEARS : 768 110 685 740
GRAPES 3904 890 3. 805 370
SWEET CHERRIES 156 850 133 450
TART. CHERRIES 66 500 96 660
APRICOTS 140 430 131 270
NECTARINES (CALIF) 120 660 117 930
PLUMS (CALIF) 104 330 127 010
PRUNES AND PLUMS (EXCL CALF 65 860 58 970
PECANS 46 770 114 940
ALMONDS (CALIF) 211 370 231 330
WALNUTS 166 650 191 230

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PRUNES: This year's prune crop in California is now estimated at 157,000 tons (dried basis).

This is 8 percent above last season's total and 3 percent above the previous forecast
as of September 1. Harvest and drying operations were complete during October. The crop suffered
from heat during the season, resulting in low solid and sugar levels.

CRANBERRIES: The final forecast of the Nation's cranberry crop places production at 2.1 milTion
barrels. This is slightly below last month and lags the 1976 crop by 11 percent.
Declines from a month ago were registered in every State except Oregon and Wisconsin.

Adverse weather conditions in Massachusetts continued to hamper harvest activities, now ex-
pected to be completed by mid-November. Reductions in both quantity and quality of the crop were
reported. The New Jersey harvest is nearly complete; berry size is smaller than normal due to
hot, dry weather through the season. The Wisconsin crop improved somewhat during October as
harvest progressed. Berry color and quality are excellent, In Oregon, harvest conditions are
good, following September and October rains which provided adequate water supplies for harvest
operations. The Washington crop is virtually all harvested with good color but small berry size.

FILBERTS: Production prospects at 11,000 tons are unchanged from last month but are 53 percent

greater than last season's short crop. Favorable weather in Oregon allowed growers to
harvest the crop with few problems. Quality varied by areas with some growers reporting a consid-
able amount of sunburned shells and an excessive number of blanks.

ORANGES: U.S. grange production for 1977-78 4s forecast at 220.4 million boxes, 10 percent be-

low last season and 9 percent below the 1975-76 crop. The Florida October 1 forecast
of 164.0 million boxes is carried forward for this report since no forecasts are madé for Florida
on November 1. The November 1 total orange production forecast in California at 46.0 million
boxes is down from last month and is down 1 percent from last year. Arizona production at 4.12
million boxes, is unchanged from last month but is 4 percent above last season. Texas production
is forecast at 6.3 million boxes, 3 percent less than last month and 9 percent below the 1976-77
crop.

Harvest is lagging in Florida and is progressing on a limited scale in Arizona, California
and Texas.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects for the 1977-78 season point to a record production of 72.5 million boxes,
1 percent less than was expected last month but 2 percent above last season, This
total does not include California's “other areas" for which the first forecast will be published
December 9. Production in the "other areas" was 3.1 million boxes last season. The Florida
October 1 forecast of 54.0 million boxes is carried forward for this report. Texas production is
forecast at 11.0 million boxes, 4 percent less than was expected last month and 11 percent below

last season, The Arizona crop’of 3.1 million boxes is unchanged from last month, but is 3 per-
cent above last season.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona production forecast at 25.3 million boxes is unchanged from
last month but is 1 percent below last season, Harvest is in full volume in the western

area of Arizona and is gaining momentum in the Salt River Valley, Harvest is increasing in the
California desert,

TANGERINES: The 1977-78 tangerine crop is expected to tota? 5.9 million boxes, down 2 percent
from last month but 2 percent above last season's output. The Florida forecast of

3.4 million boxes of 210 size and larger is carried forward from October 1. California at 1.8

million boxes fs down 5 percent from Tast month and fs 1 percent below last season. The Arizona

crop forecast at 0.7 million boxes is down 3 percent from last month but is 8 percent above last
season,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

STATE AREA HARVESTED : YIELD t PRODUCTION _

+ + 1 Ino t ? t IND + : t IND

4 1975 $1976 4 1977 31975 § 1976 + 3977 4 1975 t 1976 t 1977

t 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 17000 BUSHELS

'
ALA 1st 40 40 40 340033602640 14360 14320 14040
ARIZ 165 125 U0 He = 7340 764A 99125 85360
ARK t 200 310 250 4940-5040 5340 94800 158500 = 134250
CALIF ot 207 210 130 7200-7100 7240144904 = 149910 99360
colo 290 259 280 2660 ©2860 3140 79540 79252 8+680
GA ost 47 45 43-3600 3840 2540 14692 19710 19075
Wk 1st 60 59 52 6840 6400 44080 3948) 3328
IND 1/8 18 21 16 6400 6940 19152 15407 966
IOWA 1/8 26 26 27 6200 6040 19612 19690 14620
KANS tf 39630 31950 49020 © 4200 57.0 1449060 1694850 2294140
KY ost 2) 29 32 6560 5740 19365 19740 19826
Last 28 37 26-3340 3540 924 14332 910
MISS 1/4 38 45 35-3540 3560 14330 19665 19225
a) ’ 490 600 800 5440 76.0 264460 © 364000 © 604800
NEBR 544900 29100 29130-5560 71.0 1049500 1199700 1515230
NMEX 1 310 199 1755060 6060 159500 114940 104500
NC Wt 85 90 70 5140 4000 49590 2+800
OKLA ot 660 730 680 ©3840 3840 212900 254840
sc we 17 15 12-3540 27,90 510 326
SOAK 4 267 152 300 2640 51.0 31496 159300
TENN 1/3 26 23 20 48.0 5240 19265 14040
TEX ' 79200 59800 4800 = S240 4840 2929900 2304400
VA ost 16 12 11 3500 3060 396 330
us $ 159519 140877349057 4900 55e4 7600069 7239679794342
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

RICE

stale AREA HARVESTED YLELO t PROOUCTLON

: t 7 TNO ? ¢ + INO + ¢ T IND

$1975 1 1976 3 1977 1 1975 | 1976 1 1977 1975 t 1976 ¢ 1977

' T¥000 ACRES POUNOS ~ 19000 CwT —

:
ARK $ — 8BZ20 847.0 797.0 4540 41400 400053 404362 «354068
CALIF + 52500 42060 342,0 59800 59700 300436 «= 239388394494
La 1 65860 568.0 478.0 34810 39700 = 254064 = 224203179686
MISS : 17160 144.0 104.0 39900 49100 64665 69048 492646
MO 1st 1840 1460 13.0 © 4210 49400 758 588 572
TEX t $4860 508.0 468.0 49560 49700 24996 = 240430214996
us {2802.0 2550140 29202.0 4567 4»500 1279972117019 994080

A/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEGR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977

B-2

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
DOMESTIC UNITS

CROP AND UNIT 3976 INDICATED } y97g INDICATED : gy, ots
: 2 1977: 2 977 11977: 197
1,000 ACRES 7,000

CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 71,085 «= «69,553 87.4 91.5 6,216,032 6,303,034 6,366,864
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 14,057 48.6 55.4 723,679 °771,212 779,342
RICE 2,202.0 4,679 4,500 117,019 98,777 99,080
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS $8,138 25.6 28.9 1,264,890 1,647,315 1,682,705
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 1,509.6 2,465, 2,376 3,750,890 3,378,240 3,587,540
COTTON 13,191.8 465 503 10,580.6 13,316.5 13,831.8
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1,267.3 1,159 1,252 17,216 16,057 15,862
POTATOES

FALL 1,129.8 269 269 306,906 303,606 303,432

TOTAL 1,351.0 260 259 357,357 350,588 350,414
TOBACCO 965.4 2,045 1,987 2,136,174 1,892,080 1,918,247
SUGARBEETS 1,239.0 19,9 20.6 29,366 ° 24,987 25,559
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR

AND SEED 756.5 38.0 36.0 28,767 27,619 27,229
PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ PCT : 66 5
ORTED PRUNES (CALIF) TON : : 145.0 © 3/152.0 ‘157.0
CRANBERRIES BBL: 2,407.3 2,160.0 2,138.0
FILBERTS TON: 7.2 11.0 1.0
CITRUS FRUITS 4/ : 1976-77 1977-78 1977-78
‘ORANGES BOK: “TEE, 250 7820 Z2T,820
LEMONS mo: 25,600 25,300 25,300

7 YTELD IN POUNDS. 27 PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE T966-75 AVERAGE IS
79 PERCENT, 3/ SEPTEMBER 1, 1977. 4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND” ENDS
WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
DOMESTIC UNITS

CROP AND UNIT > T976

voz: 1976s gray 1978s t977
: T,000 ACRES T,000
OATS 2 12,392 14,400 45.4 52.7 562,452 758,669
BARLEY : 8,417 9,600 44.8 42.2 377,264 404,917
ALL WHEAT i 70,824 66,639 30.3 30.4 2,147,408 2,027,316
WINTER "4 493535 48,551 31.6 315 73566,074 1,528,848
DURUM mE 43584 3,071 29.4 26.8 391 82,212
OTHER SPRING “16,705 15,017 26.7 27.7 446,420 416,260
RYE " "B04 785 23.2
FLAXSEED a) 1,465 n
ALL HAY TON : 60,915 61,659 2.
ALFALFA HAY "26,556 277658 2.
ALL OTHER RAY "5 343359 34,001 VW
DRY EDIBLE PEAS CHT 2/: 125.0 165.0
POTATOES :
WINTER > a 13.4
SPRING : 99.0 91:3
SUMMER 2 120.1 116.5
SWEETPPOTATOES " : 119.6 115.6
PEPPERMINT FOR OIL = LB: 72.2 83,7
SPEARMINT FOR OIL "ob 2819 345
HOPS “30.9 30.5
APPLES, COM'L es
PEACHES mg
PEARS TON:
GRAPES "oy
SWEET CHERRIES "
TART CHERRIES LB
APRICOTS TON
NECTARINES (CALIF) "
PLUMS (CALIF) "
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) "
PECANS Bo:
ALMONDS (CALIF) TON: -0 5.0
WALNUTS wos . ,
‘T/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST EXCEPT CHERRIES END-OF-SEASON ESTIMATES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE
STATE 1966-75

76 average :
1976: STATE fees =: 1978: 1977
PERCENT PERCENT

AVAILABLE WHEAT PASTURE
NOVEMBER 1, 1976-77

PERCENT OF SEEDED PERCENT OF ? ACRES “OF WHEAT
WHEAT WITH SEEDED : PASTURE REQUIRED
STATE SUFFICIENT. WHEAT BEING TO CARRY A 400
GROWTH TO PASTURE A PASTURED POUND CALF
WOT, 2 NOVI, =: NOT, =: NOV, = NOT, —:~—«sNOVT,
1976s 197, 1 1976's 1977s 1976. 1977
PERCENT PERCENT ACRES
WESTERN KANSAS 4 24 1 5 9 6
WESTERN OKLAHOMA 8 7 2 3 8 8
TEXAS PANHANDLE 18 12 7 3 6 8

AVERAGE FOR WHEAT
PASTURE REGION =; 8.) 19.5, 20 4,0 8.1 7.0

¥ TESS THAN 1.0 PERCENT.

WHEAT PASTURE: On November 1, almost 20 percent of the fall seeded wheat in the three-State area of

Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas had sufficient growth to support grazing, more than twice as
much as last year, About 4 percent of the seeded acreage was being pastured on November 1 compared with
about 2 percent last fall. Forage supplies were rated as mostly fair.

KANSAS (WESTERN): About 95 percent of the fall wheat seeding was completed by November 1, the same as
Jast year, Almost one-fourth of the seeded acreage had sufficient growth for pas~
turing. Available forage was rated mostly fair with a few areas rated poor to good.

OKLAHOMA (WESTERN): Many growers seeded early to provide some fall grazing but a dry September limited
root development. By Novenber 1, 17 percent of the acreage had sufficient growth

for grazing, more than double the last two years. About 3 percent of the acreage was being pastured

compared with 2 percent last year. The available supply ot forage was rated mostly tair to poor,

TEXAS (PANHANDLE AND LOW PLAINS): About 80 percent of the acreage had been seeded by November 1, behind

last year and normal. Much of the Plains area was seeded in dry soils
and needs rain to either germinate or for further root devetopment before grazing can occur. Only 12
percent of the seeded acreage had sufficient growth to pasture, down from last year's 18 percent but near
the 1975 percentage. About 3 percent of the acreage was being pastured, below last year's 7 percent but
the same as two years ago. Available forage was rated mostly poor.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 8-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP_REPORT SUMMARY

The “all crops" production index (1967=100) is a record 128, according to the
Feed grains, oi] crops, cotton, and hay and forage increased
from a year ago while food grains, sugar crops and tobacco declined.

Crop Reporting Board.

INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
1967-77 (1967=100)

UNITED STATES,

YEAR PRODUCTION
HAY :
ALL > FEED ° : FOOD SUGAR ? OIL
: : : : corTon : TOBACCO :

J/ : GRAINS ; Forage . GRAINS : CROPS : CROPS
1967 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 300
1968 103 95 99 106 113 148 87 114
1969 104 99 100 98 115 137 91 116
1970 101 89 99 91 114 139 97 7
1971 2 116 105 107 116 145 86 121
1972 113 W2 104 102 127 187 88 131
1973 120 115 109 113 112 175 88 155
1974 109 93 104 122 104 158 101 127
1975 121 4 108 142 131 112 110 153
1976 122 ng 102 140 131 142 108 130
1977 128 124 106, am} 118 186 98 168

T7 INCLUDES ia SEEDS, PASTURE SEEDS AND COVER-CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS
TROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

information on selected agricu)tura) commodities.
adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from
the Statistical Reporting Service's field offices and Washington headquarters.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related

These data were prepared and

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

8. M. Graham, Chairman,
M. L. Koehn, Secretary,
APPROVED: J. W. Kirkbride, F. E. Rolf,
E. L. Park, R. HK. Axvig,
D. J. Buckner, A. R. Davis, Jr,
H, J. Delong, W. N. Dowdy,
oo J. R. Garrett, R. L. Freie,
} NN DE. Hamilton, J. R. Gibson,
C. J. Koines, T. W. Jean,
G. H. Moody, R. F. Kriesel,
C. D. Spillmann, &. L. Schulte,
H. J. Tippett, W. J. Walker,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE W. W. Wilken.
CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-2 CROP REPORTING 30ARD, SRS, USDA





CORN FOR GRAIN: PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE
ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1975-1977

STATE: NUMBER — ROW WIDTH (INCHES) V7 - "AVERAGE
AND bor 2 908 F306. } 32.6 | 34.6- | 36.6- | 38.6 240.6% | ROW
YEAR © sates? PR. ? 32.5 5 $36.5 $38.5 ' 40:5 ‘GREATER ? WIDTH
: NUMBER PERCENT OF SAMPLES INCHES
colo’ = 1975: (108) 63.9187 2B 4.6 3.7 4.6 3.7 31.7
1976 : 124 64.5 17.8 3.2 4.0 4.9 4.0 V6 31.4
1977: 123 «69.1 «19.5 3,3 41 ‘8 3.3 30.8
GA 1975 : 95 11 37.9 47.3 10.5 3.2 37.3
1976 : 95 1.0 5.3 30.5 45.3 «18.8 2.1 37.0
1977: 73 1.4 38.4 34.3 20.6 5.5 37.2
IL 1975: 232 0-17.20 8.6 44.0 16.4 1.3 35.8
1976 : 225 24.9 8.9 ‘9 9:8 38.2 16.9 4 35,
1977: 200 23.5 6.5 6 45 37.0 17.0 V0 35.4
IND 1975: 180 © 26.1 8300017 W700 37.2 «12.8 2.2 35,
1976 : 184 © 28.3 8.1 1.6 1438.6 12.0 34.8
WF: 5 28.6 40.3 13 9.7 34.9 43.7 ww 34.8
TOMA 1975: 190 11.1 74 10.5 42,0 21.6 7.4 37,0
1976 : 186 16.7 64 1.6 8.6 47.8 16.7 21236.
1977: 207 ~—-15.0 5.8 ‘5 8.7 43.5 20.8 5.8 36.6
KANS. 1975 : 132 49.2 15.9 8 9.1 15.9 7.6 1.5 32.6
1976 : 150 54.7 20.0 2.0 9.4 7:3 5.3 1.3 32.0
1977: 143 $5.2 22.4 7 7.7 6.3 7.0 7 31.9
Ky 1975: 108 7.4 12.0 8.3 37.1 26.9 8.3 37.0
1976 : 122 18.0 9.8 2.5 8.2 33.6 20.5 7.4 36.
1977: 106 = 12.3 7.600 4.7 13.2 34.9 18.9 85 36.4
MICH 1975: 91 31.8 8.8 2.2 1.1 29.7 20.9 5.5 34.9
1976 : 101 26.7 10.9 2.0 10.9: 21.8 20.8 6.9 35.1
1977: 95 33.7 16.8 3.2 74 17:9 19.0 2.1 33.9

EE FOOTNOTES AT END OF TABLE.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Dry bean production for 1977 is forecast at 15.9 million cwt., down one per-

cent from October 1 and 8 percent below the 1976 output. Acreage for harvest,
now estimated at 1.3 million acres, is 15 percent below last year. This year's yield, at 1,252
pounds, compares with 1,259 pounds last month and 1,159 pounds in 1976.

In Michigan, frequent rains and wet fields delayed completion of dry bean harvest and caused
some large losses of beans. Harvest was only 75 percent complete by November 1, Several weeks of
rain in New York caused extensive abandonment and yield reductions from sprouting, pod splitting,
overmaturity and discoloration. Wet weather also lowered bean quality in North Dakota. In
California, volume harvesting was well along in most areas, but completion of harvest was lagging
because of coo) weather and slow ripening. The Idaho bean crop, while lighter than expected
earlier, was of very good quality, Harvest was completed with little weather damage. Colorado
yields on irrigated beans were normal to above while yields were extremely low in dryland areas
with many acres in the southwest abandoned. Harvest was virtually complete in Nebraska and
Wyoming. Washington bean yields were hurt by hot weather in August and frequent rains in late
September, but still averaged above a year ago.

POTATOES: Production of fall potatoes for the United States is forecast at 303.4 million cwt.,
slightly below the October 1 forecast and 1 percent lower than the record 306.9
million cwt. produced last year. The 1977 crop is the second largest crop of record. Area for
harvest is placed at 1.13 million acres, 1 percent below last year. Yields nationally are fore-
cast at 269 cwt. per acre, unchanged from last year but 5 cwt. above the 1975 average yield.

In the eight Eastern States, production is forecast at 50.8 million cwt., slightly larger
than the 50.6 million cwt. produced last year, The crop is expected to be harvested from 202,600
acres compared with 199,500 acres in 1976. The yield per acre is placed at 251 cwt., 3 cwt.
below last year.

Frequent rains during the first half of October in Maine delayed harvest and caused addition-
al abandonment of acreage. Improved weather conditions in late October as wel? as the lack of a
hard freeze allowed growers to harvest areas that they had expected earlier in the month to aban-
don. The excessive water has caused some concern about the storage condition of the crop, Ex-
cellent weather during the last week of October on Long Island, New York enabled growers to near-
ly complete their potato harvest. In up-State New York, abandoned acreage is widespread in al
major producing areas due to the excessive rainfall during most of October. The quality of the
Pennsylvania potato crop was adversly affected by wet fields during harvest. Harvest was about
93 percent complete on November

Production in the eight Central States is forecast at 64.9 million cwt., 13 percent greater
than the 57.3 million cwt. produced Tast year. Area for harvest is estimated at 315,100 acres,
5 percent above last year. The yield per acre is placed at 206 cwt., 15 cwt. per acre above

6.

Poor weather conditions during harvest in Michigan delayed digging and caused some addition-
al acreage to be abandoned. Harvest is complete in Wisconsin, Minnesota and North Dakota with no
serious delays due to weather conditions.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 187.7 million cwt., 6 percent less than the
199.0 million cwt. produced during 1976. Harvested area is placed at 612,100 acres, 5 percent
Tess than last year. The average yield at 307 cwt. is 3 cwt. per acre less than 1976.

In Colorado, harvest progressed with near perfect weather conditions. Yields varied greatly
across the San Luis Valley. Harvest was virtually complete in Idaho by the end of October.
Weather conditions during harvest were favorable and the crop went into storage in good condition. -
Harvest was mostly complete in Washington by the end of October. The quality of the crop is
average with no unusual disease problems reported. Weather conditions were excellent in Oregon
during the latter part of the growing season, and good conditions prevailed during harvest.

TOBACCO: The Nation's tobacco production is forecast at 1,918 million pounds as of November 1,

up 1 percent from October 1, but 10 percent below the 1976 crop. Flue-cured production
is down 15 percent and burley is down 5 percent from a year earlier. Yield per acre is forecast
at 1,987 pounds compared with 2,045 in 1976.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1977 A-130 + CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED if YIELD ' PRODUCTION
: : : IND ¢ 7 % IND ¢ t + IND
H 1975 4 1976 1 1977 + 1975 ¢ 1976 $ \977 ¢ 1975 3 1976 4 1977
+ 1000 ACRES BUSHELS 14000 BUSHELS
'
660 796 725 $340 6240 2700 349980 499352 199305
12 28 50 3340 6060 6900 396 16680 36000
38 45 45 5040 5600 4500 146900 29520 10980
254 290 250 109.0 11020 11060 279686 319900 274500
Ses 600 620 93.0 104.0 104.0 489825 624400 649480
190 21s 205 9140 8540 5400 179290 189275 119070
394 S04 Soo 45.0 6000 2000 179730 309240 105000
15860 24160 1st00 55.0 62.0 2260 1039400 1339920 249200
25 2g 26 83.0 R560 B00 20075 29465 20210
10,810 115690 104900 116.0 10760 10940 192535960 162507830 191889100
5630 64300 69200 9860 11060 10260 5519740 6934000 6329400
129300 129750 129200 90.0 90.0 88.0 1910749000 191479500 190734600
14640 15790 14700 84.0 9540 9860 337+760 1709050 1669600
19140 15360 19400 770 10240 9160 874780 1386720 1279400
60 87 80 52.0 68.0 4540 39120 59916 34600
$50 630 620 91d 9208 7200 500050 579330 449640
1s9lo 21050 25050 8020 69.0 85.0 1529800 1419450 1744250
59820 54600 59900 7040 5940 10240 © 4074400 © 3300400 601 800
1465 172 160 4140-4740 3600 59945 89084 60480
29700 29850 29700 63.0 6160 79.0 1709200 1739850 2134300
10 ll 12 73.0 75.0 72.0 730 825 B64
S920 64200 60350 85.0 83.0 102.0 503%200 9149600 6479700
83 100 104 81.0 86.0 84.0 69723 8+600 89736
70 8B 95 100.0 10540 = 10060 79000 992460 99500
466 492 530 3540 7700 83.0 399610 379884 434990
14590 15880 19600 67.0 80.0 53.0 1069530 1509400 849800
132 180 190 51.0 4000 500 60732 79200 94500
35490 35920 36750 9200 101460 «20340 © 3224080 © 3954920 ©3886 4250
85 a 85 B0.0 9500 86.0 61800 81645 74310
il iL un 85.0 9000 8540 935 990 935
14080 19150 19150 8240-9040 88.0 889560 1039500 =: 1018200
550 667 S70 63.0 7000 3300 349650 469690 164810
29250 14200 29000 37.0 3160 59.0 839250 379200 118000
TENN 1st 61s 715 750 6040 79.0 6840 369900 569485 514000
TEX : 14100 19500 14600 10340 12040 10540 1134300 = 1809000 = 1684000
UTAR 1/t 15 1S 12 110-0 9000 10040 19650 19350 19200
VT +
va + 565 615 580 86.0 76.0 5540 48590 460 740 329900
WASH 1/1 34 46 4S 104.0 10540 10640 39836 49620 49770
WA 1st 65 61 59 85.0 88.0 76.0 59525 59368 49486
WIS. : 25390 29180 29600 83.0 6860 10440 1984370 1484240 © 2704400
Wyo l/s 18 19 20 8000 87-0 8060 19440 19653 49600
us 2 679222 719085 = 6940553 BB 8764 — 9145 597974048 642164032 613661866

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION. NOVEMBER 1977 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA