1,000 ACRES

LONG GRAIN
ARK 997.0 975.0 987.0 965.0
CALIF 55.0 20.0 54.0 20.0
LA 325.0 305.0 324.0 304.0
MISS 190.0 180.0 188.0 178.0
MO 71.0 67.0 71.0 67.0
TEX 327.0 288.0 326.0 287.0
us 1,965.0 1,835.0 1,950.0 1,621.0

MEDIUM GRAIN

ARK 58.0 71.0 56.0 71.0
CALIF 270.0 270.0 267.0 270.0
LA 140.0 115.0 139.0 114.0
MO 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TEX 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0
us 472.0 459.0 468.0 458.0
SHORT GRAIN
ARK 5.0 4.0 5.0 4.0
CALIF 80.0 50.0 79.0 50.0
us 85.0 54.0 84.0 54.0
ALL
ARK 1,060.0 1,050.0 1,050.0 1,040.0
CALIF 405.0 340.0 400.0 340.0
LA 465.0 420.0 463.0 418.0
MISS 190.0 180.0 188.0 178.0
MO 72.0 68.0 72.0 68.0
TEX 330.0 290.0 329.0 289.0
us 2,522.0 2,348.0 2,502.0 2,333.0
PEANUTS

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

: 220.0 200.0 218.0
3 78.0 72.0 70.0
3 650.0 593.0 645.0
3 12.0 12.4 12.0
: 145.0 154.0 143.0
OKLA 3 87.0 100.0 83.0 95.0
sc : 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
TEX Hy 252.0 200.0 245.0 190.0
VA f] 96.0 95.0 96.0 94.0
us : 1,490.4 1,512.0 1,467.4 1,479.0

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-20 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT: Production js forecast at 1.55 billion bushels (42.3 million
metric tons) as of July 1, 1986. This is a 15 percent drop from

1985 and the lowest production level in 8 years. Yields are expected to
average 36.0 bushels per acre, 2.1 bushels under 1985 yields and 0.8 of a
bushel less than the June 1 forecast.

Seeded area is estimated at 53.9 million acres (21.8 million hectares),
off 7 percent from the 57.8 million acres (23.4 million hectares) seeded for
1985. Harvested area is placed at 43.2 million acres (17.5 million hectares),
down 10 percent from last year. The current estimate is up 1 percent from the
dune 1 forecast.

Heading was nearing completion in the 20 major producing States by the end
of June. Harvest progress neared 60 percent complete by July 1 in the same
States, ahead of both last year and the 5-year average.

California's harvest reached 75 percent by July 3; average yields are
reported. Rarvest is gaining momentum across eastern Colorado, Combining
neared completion in Kansas by July 1 as favorable harvest weather prevailed.
Cool temperature and excessive moisture during June lowered Michigan's yield
prospects; crop development progress is near average. Montana's winter wheat
is maturing early. Condition of Ohio's crop varies widely; scab, septoria,
and rust damage is reported. Rains interrupted Oklahoma's harvest; quality
will exceed 1985, but the delay has caused declines in pre-harvest expecta-
tions. South Dakota's crop is rated in good to excellent condition. The
Texas harvest is progressing wel) in the Plains and winding down in the
Cross-Timbers and northern Blacklands. Soil moisture shortages have stressed
Washington's crop as conditions declined during June.

DURUM WHEAT: Planted area for 1986 is estimated at 2.88 million acres (1.17
million hectares), down 10 percent from 1985, Area for grain is

expected to total 2.82 million acres (1.14 million hectares), off 9 percent

from last year. :

Most of Montana's durum was seeded and emerged by June 1; conditions are
good to excellent. Seeding started early in North Dakota, but rains postponed
completion until June 1. Crop development equals average progress. South
Dakota's crop is in good condition. Harvest was underway in Arizona, early
yields are rated above average.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Seeded area is estimated at 15.2 million acres (6.15 mil-

lion hectares), up 4 percent from last year. Area for
grain is expected to total 14.9 million acres (6.03 million hectares) based on
conditions as of June 1, 1986. This is a 9 percent increase from the 1985
harvested acres.

By June 1, seeding had progressed to 95 percent completion in the major
producing States, slightly behind the average progress. Emergence had pro-~
gressed to 79 percent, trailing average progress by 6 points. Ample moisture
during May got Montana's crop off ta a good start; condition is mostly good.
Seeding started early in North Dakota and was then delayed for 2 or 3 weeks by
rain. Open weather held long enough following the delay for products to wrap
up seeding around June 1. Soil moisture is adequate and crop development is
slightly ahead of average. South Dakota's crop condition ranged from fair to
excellent. Seeding and development trail average progress due to cold, damp
weather.

RICE: Rice growers seeded 2.35 million acres (950 thousand hectares), in 1986,
down 7 percent from the 2.52 million acres (1.02 million hectares)
planted in 1985, Farmers plan to harvest 2,33 million acres (944 thousand
hectares) compared with 2.50 mitlion acres (1.01 million hectares) harvested
in 1985, Decrease from 1985 in planted acreage are shown for all States --~
Arkansas, 1 percent; California, 16 percent; Louisiana, 10 percent;

Mississippi, 5 percent; Missouri, 6 percent; Texas, 12 percent.

Long grain seeding is down 7 percent from 1985. Medium grain acres
Planted are down 3 percent while short grain declined 36 percent from last
year.

On June 1, rice was 97 percent seeded, 6 points ahead of the average.
Seeding was finished in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas, with Arkansas only
2 points from completion. Rice had emerged on 89 percent of the acreage ---
10 points ahead of normal.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-7 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



1986 SPRING CROP PROGRESS

Abnormally warm temperatures prevailed across much of the Nation during
January. Ample snow cover protected wheat from bitter cold across the
northern third of the Nation early in the month, Warm temperatures melted
much of the snow during the month leaving some areas in the northern Rockies
and northern Great Plains with less than desired snow cover. By month's end,
snow had vanished from the central Plains and lower Corn Belt. The above-
normal temperatures were ideal for growth but the lack of moisture limited
growth in most areas, Farmers continued harvesting 1985 row crops during most
of January. Land preparation was active in the Southeast. Near the end of
January, farmers were spreading lime and fertilizer as far north as Indiana.
A cold outbreak dipped into Florida the last week of January, but temperatures
warmed immediately, which lessened the damage to crops and fruit. Citrus
received slushy ice but there was very little foliage and tree damage.
Vegetable damage was limited mostly to outer-leaf tip burn.

Land preparation progressed rapidly for spring planting in California and
Arizona the first half of February. Heavy rain and flooding halted most field
activity in northern and central California but fieldwork continued its fast
pace in Arizona. By midmonth cotton seeding was underway in Arizona. Wetness
slowed field activity in the Southeast the first half of the month. As soils
dried, fieldwork picked up considerably. By months' end corn planting was 15
percent finished in Texas, compared with 3 percent normally. Seeding of corn
was just underway in Georgia and 2 percent of Louisiana's acreage was in the
ground. Sorghum seeding reached 4 percent completion in Texas. Fruit
producers pruned and applied dormant sprays to orchards in the Northwest and
in the South. Fruit trees had reached the bloom stage as far north as Utah by
the end of February. Winter wheat was mostly good to fair during February.
By month's end, wheat was greening as far north as Oregon and was jointing in
Arizona, Oklahoma, and Texas. In the central and southern Great Plains,
warmth promoted growth but it was slowed somewhat by insufficient moisture.

Warm, and mostly dry weather advanced land preparation throughout the
Southeast, the Delta, and central and southern Great Plains at the beginning
and end of March, Precipitation during the middle of the month slowed
fieldwork across nearly all the eastern half of the Nation, especially in the
Southeast. Early in the month, soil moisture was generally adequate, except
in the Southeast and the Plains States from Texas to North Dakota. Warm
weather promoted small grain growth across the Nation but the lack of moisture
in the Plains States limited growth.

Wheat development ranged from greening in Minnesota to heading in the
southeast as the month ended. Corn planting was underway, at the beginning of
March, from Texas to Georgia. By the end of the month, 12 States across the
southern half of the Nation were planting corn. Most areas reported seedings
ahead of normal as Texas, Louisiana, and Georgia were 70 percent, 69 percent,
and 52 percent completed, respectively. Sorghum seeding had progressed as far
north as Qklahoma and was as high as 61 percent planted in Texas. Some
replanting was necessary in Texas because of dryness. Cotton seeding was
underway in Arizona, California, and Texas. In Arizona, cotton planting was
35 percent complete, 5 points ahead of last year. Cotton seeding was
completed on 9 percent of the acreage in Texas, and in California 20 percent
of the desert acreage was planted by the end of the month. Rice was 36
percent planted in Texas, well ahead of the 22 percent average. Rice planting
was slightly ahead of normal in Louisiana and Mississippi. Tobacco
transplanting advanced to 23 percent complete in Georgia by the end of the
month. Seedbed preparation and seeding was active from Virginia to Kentucky.
Transplanting and replanting was active in Florida. Vegetable planting and
harvesting continued in the West and South. Frost and freezing temperatures
hurt Florida's vegetable crop early in the month, but conditions improved by
month's end,

Wetness delayed land preparation and seeding in the Corn Belt, central and
northern Great Plains, and Rockies during most of April. Winter-like
temperatures slowed growth and germination during the month across the Rockies
and northern Plains. The fourth week of April, freezing temperatures slowed
crop growth, prevented germination, and damaged fruit crops in the Pacific
Northwest, the central and northern Great Plains, the Corn Belt, and from the
Northeast as far south as north Georgia, Fruit crops were damaged severely in
some areas, but damage to small grains was not heavy. Land preparation
progressed well in the Southeast but dryness slowed small grain planting and
development. The lack of moisture plagued the Southeast and Texas most of
April. Corn planting, at the beginning of April, was limited mostly to the
southern States but was underway as far north as Kansas. On April 27,
Planting neared completion in the Southeast. Nationally, 16 percent of the
acreage was seeded, 5 points ahead of normal. Seeding was underway in al?

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-3 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


Louisiana acreage is up 10 percent, leading the increases. Florida and
Hawaii are up 2 and 1 percent, respectively. Acreage in Texas is expected to
decline 2 percent.

A late freeze and cool weather in Florida during the spring have slowed
early growth. Louisiana sugarcane is reported in good condition, though some
smut is reported. Hawaii fields for sugar production are generally in good
condition with adequate irrigation water.

APPLES: The Nation's forecast, at 7.69 billion pounds (3.49 million metric

tons), is 3 percent tess than 1985 and 8 percent less than 1984.
Declines from 1985 in the Eastern and Central States more than offset
increased production in the Western States.

The forecast for the Eastern States, at 3.07 billion pounds, is down 3
percent from last year. The North Carolina crop, forecast at 130 million
pounds, is down 53 percent from 1985. Late April and early May freezes,
combined with the drought, have taken their toll on North Carolina apples.
New York's forecast of 1.01 billion pounds is down 10 percent from a year
ago. Frost damage limited production prospects in western New York. Set and
fruit development have been erratic in eastern New York. Pennsylvania, at 610
million pounds, is up 4 percent from 1985. The crop is in good condition. A
heavy set made thinning necessary. Growers in the southeastern part of the
State need rain. In other areas, rain has caused mildew problems. Virginia,
at 500 million pounds, is up 27 percent from last year. Harvest of Lodi
apples was expected to start about July 1 and Rambo's about August 1.

The Central States forecast, at 1.06 billion pounds, is down 35 percent
from 1985. Michigan, the leading State in the region, is forecast at 700
million pounds, down 36 percent from a year ago. Late April and early May
frosts reduced prospects for early varieties in Michigan. Weather had been
ideal for the later varieties. Quality is expected to be good. Late April
frosts also damaged the Illinois and Ohio crops. Since April, the weather has
been favorable for fruit production in Itlinois, The Ohio crop has suffered
hail damage as well as frost damage.

The Western States are forecast at 3.56 billion pounds, up 13 percent from
last year. Washington is forecast at 2.75 billion pounds, up 34 percent from
1985. Orchards came through the winter in good condition despite record low
November temperatures. Several below-freezing nights in April kept
orchardists busy with frost control. Minimal damage occurred. Pollination
conditions were unfavorable because cold, windy weather reduced bee activity.
The crop look good and better than average quality is expected. California's
forecast of 525 million pounds js down 15 percent from a year ago. Fruit
quatity is expected to be normal. The crop in the Santa Cruz area is
developing ahead of normal. New bearing acreage in the Central Valley could
increase Granny Smith production,

PEACHES: U.S. peach production is forecast at 2.31 billion pounds (1.05

million metric tons), down 1 percent from June 1 but up 8 percent
from last year, The Freestone crop, which excludes California Clingstone
peaches that are mostly canned, is expected to total 1.38 billion pounds (627
thousand metric tons), down 2 percent from the June 1 forecast but 19 percent
more than last year.

Production in the nine Southern States is forecast at 441 million pounds,
down 8 percent from the June 1 forecast but 18 percent more than last year's
crop. Increased production prospects in Arkansas and North Carolina could not
offset drought-induced declines in Georgia and South Carolina.

Production of California Clingstone peaches is expected to total 930
million pounds (422 thousand metric tons), unchanged from the June 1 forecast
but 6 percent below the 1985 level. Harvest is active throughout the State.
There has been no major problems but growers are concerned about brown rot and
shothole infestation.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 3.50 million pounds

(1590 metric tons) in July. Output is expected to decrease 26
percent in August to 2.60 million pounds (1180 metric tons). An upturn to
2.80 million pounds (1270 metric tons) is anticipated for September, with a
further increase to 3.20 million pounds (1450 metric tons) expected during
October.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-12 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


SORGHUM

AREA PLANTED

'
!
t
1
1
t
'
'
t
'
'
'
1
1
'

1,000 ACRES

ALA : 270 170 230 140
ARIZ : 18 12 16 10
ARK 3 940 625 920 605
CALIF : 42 30 36 26
COLO : 370 330 320 280
GA 3 175 110 138 80
tLe t 500 230 470 200
KANS 3 4,800 4,500 4,200 4,000
KY : 150 143

LA : 425 450 410 430
MISS 3 650 250 620 240
MO : 1,450 1,250 1,410 1,100
NEBR 2 2,100 1,650 1,920 1,500
N MEX 3 305 240 290 220
nc 2 90 85 62 52
OKLA t 580 500 900 450
sc : 80 66 47 40
S$ DAK : 560 450 375 350
TENN t 480 180 465 165
TEX : 4,300 3,900 4,100 3,700
us 18,285 14,998 16,672 13,653

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE AVERAGE : 1985 1986
1975-84 3 1975-84 +

83
1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-1 ra; SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-14 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA




: ALL 3 ALFALFA AND ALL
: HAY : ALFALFA MIXTURES OTHER
STATE : AREA HARVESTED 3 AREA HARVESTED AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES
2
ALA i: 700 680 700 680
ARIZ = 167 177 145 155 22 22
ARK: 992 950 42 30 950 920
CALIF: 1,570 1,680 1,030 1,080 540 600
COLO : 1,445 1,325 820 725 625 600
CONN : 90 91 24 22 66 69
DEL: 22 24 7 8 15 16
FLA: 240 240 240 240
GA 8 495 440 495 440
IDAHO: 1,320 1,380 1,020 1,060 300 320
WLR og 1,160 1,100 800 630 360 470
IND = 795 820 410 430 385 390
|OWA : 2,150 2,360 1,550 1,610 600 750
KANS = 2,710 2,600 1,010 1,000 1,700 1,600
KY 3 1,850 1,855 250 255 1,600 1,600
LA Fy 320 300 15 15 305 285
MAINE: 222 220 26 24 196 196
MD 3 230 240 75 78 155 162
MASS : 121 123 30 28 91 95
MICH = 1,750 1,770 1,400 1,400 350 370
MINN : 2,725 2,950 1,825 1,950 900 1,000
MISS : 650 550 650 550
MO 3 3,400 3,450 450 370 2,950 3,080
MONT : 1,950 2,250 950 1,300 1,000 950
NEBR + 3,300 3,150 1,406 1,300 1,900 1,850
NEV: 495 540 235 230 260 310
NH 88 85 20 16 68 69
NJ 118 120 43 43 75 77
N MEX: 330 320 250 240 80 80
NY os 2,230 2,160 930 840 1,300 1,320
NC : 415 410 45 30 370 380
N DAK: 2,950 2,900 1,500 1,550 1,450 1,350
OHIO : 1,450 1,500 700 750 750 750
OKLA : 2,100 1,960 400 410 1,700 1,550
OREG : 1,080 1,160 450 480 630 680
PA 3 1,990 2,000 840 840 1,150 1,160
Rios 10 9 3 3 7 6
sc : 205 200 205 200
S DAK: 3,500 4,100 1,900 2,200 1,600 1,900
TENN 1,620 1,380 120 100 1,500 1,280
TEX : 3,500 3,270 190 170 3,310 3,100
UTAH : 605 615 460 460 145 155
VT : 445 435 120 100 325 335
VA : 1,008 1,063 88 93 920 970
WASH : 800 770 450 430 350 340
WVA: 610 590 110 110 500 480
WIS: 3,600 3,680 3,100 3,150 500 530
WYO : 1,030 1,110 440 470 590 640
US 3: 60,553 61,102 25,673 26,185 34,880 34,917

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-24 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


RYE: Area for 1986 grain harvest is estimated at 681 thousand acres (276 thou-

sand hectares), 5 percent below the 1985 level. Georgia's crop has
suffered through freezing temperatures, dry soils, frost, a record cold April,
and a May drought. Harvest has started in Indiana. The North Dakota crop is
progressing ahead of normal after an early winter; soil moisture is adequate.
South Dakota's rye also wintered well.

SOYBEANS: The area planted to soybeans is estimated at 61.8 million acres

(25.0 million hectares), down 2 percent from 1985 and 9 percent be-
low the 1984 plantings. The estimate is less than one half of one percent
below the March 1 prospective acreage.

The North Central States accounted for 43.9 million acres (17.8 million
hectares), a 2 percent increase from last year. The acreage increases were
recorded in South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa and Missouri. The 12.2
million acres (4.93 million hectares) planted in the South Central States are
down 7 percent, 900 thousand fewer acres than planted in 1985.

Plantings in the Atlantic region, totaling 5.74 million acres (2.32
million hectares), fell 16 percent from 1985.

Soybean plantings were two percentage points ahead of normal, nationwide,
on June 1. Seeding lagged behind normal in the Southeast because of dry soil
conditions early in the planting season. Cool, wet weather in the North also
delayed plantings but good plantings conditions prevailed in much of the
Midwest during May. As of June 1, 56 percent of the acreage had been planted
compared with 74 percent in 1985 and a 54 percent average. The crop is in
mostly fair to good condition.

FLAXSEED: Planted area totaled 695 thousand acres (281 thousand hectares), up

percent from 1985 and 25 percent from 1984. Harvested area
estimated at 669 thousand acres (271 thousand hectares), increased 15 percent
from 1985 and 24 percent from 1984.

North Dakota's planted acres are up 20 percent from last year and account
for 79 percent of the U.S. total. Minnesota's acreage is down 42 percent from
last year while South Dakota's acreage is up 10 percent. Planting progress
lagged behind normal due to rains in early May. In North Oakota planting
progress was near normal on June 1, but in South Dakota progress was behind
the average.

PEANUTS: Peanut planted area is estimated at 1.51 million acres (612 thousand
hectares), up 1 percent from the 1.49 millfon acres (603 thousand
hectares) planted in 1985,

Area for harvest is estimated at 1.48 million acres (599 thousand
hectares), 1 percent above last year. Ory conditions during planting in the
Southeast and the uncertainty of individual farm quotas resulted in more area
being planted after June 1 than normal.

Southeastern growers planted 960 thousand acres, 8 percent above 1985. As
of June 1, planting progress was as follows: Alabama, 65 percent complete
compared with an average of 98 percent; Florida peanut plantings were about 2
weeks behind normal; Georgia, 87 percent complete compared with 96 percent
average; and South Carolina, 82 percent compared with an average of 97
percent.

In Virginia and North Carotina, plantings are expected to total 240
thousand acres, down 4 percent from last year. Planting in North Carolina
became active in late April and was virtually complete by the end of May. In
Virginia, plantings were also virtually complete by dune 1 and the crop was
rated in good to excellent condition,

Southwest growers planted 312 thousand acres, down 11 percent from 1985.
In Oklahoma, peanuts were nearly 60 percent planted by June 1? and 38 percent
of the Texas crop had been planted.

SUNFLOWER: Planted area of sunflower for all purposes in_the 4-State area of
North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, and Texas is estimated at
1.90 million acres (767 thousand hectares), down 38 percent from 1985 and 50
percent below 1984. Oil varieties are expected to total 1.65 million acres
{666 thousand hectares), down 41 percent from last year. Sunflower for oil
represents 87 percent of the total sunflower acreage planted in 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-8 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~ YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

CROP : H : INDICATED
AND : tINDICATED: «=§«--|-_ teen wenn e nn nn ne nnnennn-en
UNIT : 1985 : 1986 : 1985 > JUNI, : JUL 1,
: : : 1986 : 1986
1,000
WINTER WHEAT BU : 38.1 36.0 1,827,195 1,578,277 = 1,553,026
SUMMER POTATOES CWT: = 244 221 27,794 21,946
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO :
TYPES 11-14 LB: 2,241 2,135 800,258 697,700
PASTURE AND RANGE .
FEED 1/ PCT: 77 83
APPLES, COM'L LB: 7,949,000 7,687,000
PEACHES "os 2,148,300 2,346,900 2,312,400
PEARS TON: 746.9 714.5
SWEET CHERRIES 2/ " : 132.9 132.6 128.5
TART CHERRIES 2/_ LB: 286,200 185,000 186,000
APRICOTS TON: 131.5 84.2 69.1
NECTARINES (CALIF) " : 211.0 195.0 195.0
PLUMS (CALIF) “oy 166.5 130.0 130.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)" : 139.0 100.0 100.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB : 465,000 250,000 265,000
WALNUTS (CALIF) TON: 219.0 195.0
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ : 1984-85 1985-86 1985-86
ORANGES BOX: 158,350 179,710 176,210
GRAPEFRUIT nos 56,600 58,770 58,470
LEMONS mos 25,800 19,650 18,550

1/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1975-84 AVERAGE
IS 82 PERCENT. 2/ ESTIMATES IN JUN 1 COLUMN INCLUDE FORECASTS IN THE GREAT
LAKES STATES AS OF MID-LATE JUNE. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST
YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-5 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

IR JULY 5, 1986
j
WU?

SCABNORMALLY
= “PRY

SANE SS = — ©) sravorascy\
Exe! ) Moist \
)

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DRY

CROP MOISTURE:
Cepicrs sy0er Tem (oP 0 soot t ra
ABRORAL DATRESS O8 TETVESS AFTECTING Acai a

RESPONDS RAPIDUT, CAN CHANGE CONSIDERABLY WEEK 10
‘EERE, ARO. nD(citis womMAL CONDITIONS AT THE BEGIRO
Nina" aND AND OF THE GROWING SEASON.

0989. . -APPLICARLA IN WGASUEING THE SHORT TELE.
Were-focerex, sTazvs OF DRYNESS OM FETNESS AFFECTING ©
EASON CHOPS AND PLELD OPERATIONS.

Limitations...
Rooten chor

Fhow a Serogr
PORES ARE AYERAC(RG SELON ABOUT 53°?)

APPLICABLE TO GERMINATING 250
ABLE TO. EXTRACT.

“AAT NOT af suaiow
fates are OW ‘THE DEEP OR SUBSOTL wos
ROFILE, 8

HOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY —scsnd on peetennory ses

DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)
JULY 5, 1986

cy
MODERATE

MODERATE XTREME
SEVERE
:; 8 EXTREME,
a" ==) 7 “ \ i MODERATE
rs —“y
‘MOIST: BB, i PEA)
& “MQDERATE
DROUGHT SEVERTY NDEX (PALMEROT prptcrs Fa
UTES, THAR) 9ORAAL oF eats; } :
Nisporog seaved, causa CITTUE PRow vant 70" TEES? 7
‘Ta wOLITTRE, SUWOTF

earnisa ce
Soren antas GF GROOT H i
fma'stares OF waren SUPPLIES TH AODIFeRS, RESEATO(RS, AD
etarrariona. 18 sor GENERALLY UNOICATIVE OF suORT raw CrRE YEDES)

FIELD opFRAT Ions CTELS 19 INDICATED BY THE CROP SOTSTURE DEE). NOAA/ISDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY

even pelmnary pes

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-1 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

ALA : 1,080 780 1,030 750

ARK : 3,750 3,700 3,700 3,650
OEL 3 245 235 240 230
FLA 3 260 190 230 180
GA : 1,800 1,250 1,550 1,150
ILL : 9,100 9,000 9,000 8,950
IND : 4,500 4,300 4,460 4,250
IOWA : 8,200 8,700 8,150 8,600
KANS 3 1,500 1,850 1,410 1,760
KY 3 1,260 1,100 1,230 1,070
LA : 2,250 1,950 2,100 1,900
MD : 410 385 400 380
MICH : 1,100 1,000 1,080 980
MINN H 5,100 5,000 5,000 4,950
MISS : 2,700 2,600 2,620 2,550
MO : 5,300 5,700 5,230 5,600
NEBR : 2,400 2,500 2,360 2,450
NJ 3 130 120 129 118
NC : 1,800 1,700 1,700 1,630
N DAK : 500 500 490 490
OHIO 3 3,900 3,700 3,870 3,650
OKLA H 210 250 190 230
PA t 175 185 170 180
sc 2 1,290 1,020 1,230 1,000
S DAK 2 1,280 1,350 1,270 1,340
TENN : 1,500 1,550 1,460 1,500
TEX 3 320 240 290 210
VA : 720 650 695 635

WIS 3 350 330 300 320

PERCENT OF SOYBEAN ACREAGE PLANTED
FOLLOWING ANOTHER CROP, SELECTED STATES 1/

V/ OBTAINED FROM AREA FRAME SAMPLES. THESE DATA DO NOT REPRESENT
OFFICIAL ESTIMATES OF THE AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD BUT PROVIDE RAW DATA
AS OBTAINED FROM SURVEY RESPONDENTS. THE PURPOSE OF THESE DATA IS TO PORTRAY
TRENDS IN SOYBEAN PRODUCTION *RACTICES.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-21 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

1,000 ACRES

FLA 398.7 405.0
HAW 89.4 90.0
LA 250.0 275.0
TEX 31.9 31.4
US 770.0 801.4

SUGARBEETS 1/

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

2 1,000 ACRES

CALIF : 206.0 200.0 203.0 197.0
COLO 3 2.9 37.5 2.5 33.0
IDAHO 3 153.0 161.0 152.0 160.0
MICH : 124.0 137.0 118.0 134.0
MINN 3 278.0 315.0 276.0 312.0
MONT 3 43.5 47.6 42.7 46.7
NEBR : 59.1 60.6 53.2 58.0
N DAK : 144.8 163.0 144.2 162.0
OHIO : 13.1 15.5 12.7 14.5
OREG : 11.9 12.4 11.8 12.2
TEX 38.0 37.2 37.0 37.0
WYO

: 50.2 50.7 49.4 50.5

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-27 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


COTTON

CROP AREA PLANTED
AND prc ene ee nee nnn nner e ne ne
STATE :

1,000 ACRES

UPLAND 3
ALA t 330.0 340.0 329.0
ARIZ : 360.0 260.0 359.0
ARK : 465.0 460.0 440.0
CALIF 3 1,330.0 1,020.0 1,320.0
FLA 3 24.5 22.0 22.5
GA 3 255.0 235.0 245.0
KANS 3 8 1.2 6
LA : 640.0 600.0 630.0
MISS : 1,050.0 1,050.0 1,040.0
MO 3 152.0 165.0 150.0
N MEX 4 70.0 50.0 54.0
NC t 88.0 84.0 87.0
OKLA 3 370.0 370.0 360.0
sc 3 124.0 115.0 122.0
TENN : 340.0 300.0 335.0
TEX : 5,000.0 4,500.0 4,650.0
VA 3 1.3 1.4 1.3
us 2 10,600.6 9,573.6 10,145.4
AMER-P IMA 3
ARIZ 3 56.5 73.0 56.3
N MEX : 8.0 10.0 7.9
TEX z 19.5 15.0 19.4
us : 84.0 98.0 83.6
ALL 3
ALA : 330.0 340.0 329.0
ARIZ & 416.5 333.0 415.3
ARK : 465.0 460.0 440.0
CALIF > 1,330.0 1,020.0 1,320.0
FLA 3 24.5 22.0 22.5
GA : 255.0 235.0 245.0
KANS 2 8 1.2 6
LA : 640.0 600.0 630.0
MISS : 1,050.0 1,050.0 1,040.0
MO : 152.0 165.0 150.0
N MEX 2 78.0 60.0 61.9
nc : 88.0 84.0 87.0
OKLA : 370.0 370.0 360.0
sc : 124.0 115.0 122.0
TENN 3 340.0 300.0 335.0
TEX : 5,019.5 4,515.0 4,669.4
VA : 1.3 1.4 1.3

1/ ESTIMATES TO BE RELEASED AUGUST 12,1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-23 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


SPRING WEATHER REVIEW
March through May 1986

HIGHLIGHTS: The very dry weather that prevailed all winter along the east
coast and from the lower Mississippi Valley to the mid-Atlantic States
continued through the spring. Shower activity began to increase as the season
ended, especially from the lower Mississippi Valley through the Tennessee
Valley. However, most of the area from maryland southward had only isolated,
light showers. Early and mid-March freezing temperatures damaged early
blooming fruit trees in the Southeast. As the season ended, a late cold
outbreak brought record-cold temperatures to the lower Missouri Valley and
from the Great Lakes into the Southeast. The record-low temperatures were
above freezing in the Southeast. Persistant rain in the northern Great Plains
early in the season delayed planting and fieldwork, but a drying period before
the end of the season allowed late work to resume. Thunderstorm season began
in May, and most of the Nation experienced these storms, Severe weather
included the usual spate of tornadoes from the Great Plains through the Ohio
Valley and the Southeast. Average temperatures for the season were warmer than
normal in all of the Nation except Florida.

MARCH...Unusually dry weather continued in the East. Precipitation was also
much less than normal in the southern Great Plains and the central Rockies.
One of the more serious dry areas was the western slopes of the Appalachians
where the greatest incidence of brush fires seemed to occur. Rain was
excessive in California except for the desert Southwest. Above-normal rain
also fell along the western slopes of the Rockies and in parts of the Great
Basin. Although copious rain fell in the Northwest, it was less than the
normal rain. Snow was heavy in the western mountains early in the month, but,
as the month ended, rain was the dominant precipitation. Snow fel? at only the
highest locations. Although freezing temperatures damaged early blooming fruit
trees in the South and Southeast early in the month and again at midmonth, the
average monthly temperature was well above normal in most of the Nation except
Florida.

APRIL...Precipitation was adequate to excessive through most of the Great
Plains. However, parts of the southern Plains from southeastern Texas to
western Texas and northward through western Kansas were far too dry. Persis-
tant rain in the northern Plains slowed planting and other fieldwork. Ory
weather continued in the southeastern quarter of the Nation. The area from
the lower Mississippi Valley to the lower Ohio Valley and eastward had less
than half the normal rain. A late-season cold outbreak pushed into the upper
Mississippi Valley late in the month and spread southeastward. Temperatures
dropped to the low twenties from the upper Mississippi Valley to the upper
Ohio Valley and into Kentucky, Unusually warm weather followed the cold
outbreak.

MAY...Thunderstorm season gripped the Nation. Showers and thunderstorms
occurred in nearly all parts of the country. Only the extreme Southwest was
free of the storms. The most severe weather was from central Texas into
Alabama, from Texas to Towa, and from Arkansas through the Ohio Valley. The
showers were welcome in the very dry east coast States, but much more precipi-
tation is needed. Some parts of the Southeast and mid-Atlantic States had only
light, isolated showers. Beneficial showers also fell in western Texas. Dry
weather for much of the month in the northern Plains allowed that area to drain
and dry so work could progress. It was dry all month from the Red River Valley
of the North through the upper Great Lakes. Most of the Nation was warmer than
normal, but it was a little cooler than normal through most of the Rockies and
adjacent High Plains.

JUNE WEATHER SUMMARY

Seasonal flow of moisture into the Southwest left the western part of that
area drier than normal, but heavy thunderstorms dropped well above-normal
precipitation from New Mexico along the eastern slopes of the Rockies.
Above-normal precipitation also accumulated from the western end of the Corn
Belt and the western Great Lakes, through the upper Ohio Valley and New York
to southern New England. Thunderstorms were frequent across central Texas and
the lower Mississippi Valley. Hurricane Bonnie moved into southeastern Texas
and spread heavy rain through eastern Texas, northern Louisiana, southern
Arkansas, and then from north central Mississippi into western Tennessee.
Precipitation was much less than normal from Alabama to New Jersey and to the
Atlantic Coast. A few welcome showers fell along the coast, but inland areas
remained very dry. Temperatures were cooler than normal in the Northeast and
in the southern Rockies and western Texas. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint
Agricultural Weather Facility.)

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-2 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED

: IND
1986 : 1985 1986
1,000 ACRES

ALA 340 400 220
ARIZ 101 112 99
ARK 850 570 760
CALIF 730 830 675
coLo 3,360 3,522 2,955
DEL 40 43 34
FLA 120 130 100
GA 640 825 550
1DAHO 1,430 1,350 1,310
ran 1,300 750 820
IND 900 700 700
OWA 90 112 60
KANS 11,500 11,400 10,200
kY 440 310 270
LA 240 210 210
up 160 133 140
MICH 750 750 700
MINN 3,065 2,683 2,964
MISS 250 300 200
Mo 1,050 1,280 590
MONT 5,150 3,960 4,937
NEBR 2,300 2,300 2,000
NEV 26 24 23
NJ 40 37 34
N MEX 740 570 500
NY 165 145 155
nc 525 760 460
N DAK , 9,320 8,870 9,130
OHIO : 1,000 1,150 950 1,050
OKLA : 7,800 7,400 5,500 5,200
OREG : 1,140 1,090 1,065 1,015
PA : 220 230 210
sc : 460 325 430
S DAK : 4,170 4,065 3,755
TENN 3 340 430 250
TEX : 8,100 8,100 5,850
UTAH : 274 275 260
vA : 340 220 285
WASH : 2,850 2,580 2,690
WA : 10 11 8
WIS : 170 160 157
wo 3 311 349 248
us : 75,575 72,007 64,734

vy INCLUDES AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

DURUM WHEAT

1,000 ACRES

ARIZ 47 52 46 51
CALIF 85 80 80 75

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A~18 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED, UNITED STATES, 1977-86 - CONTINUED

POTATOES SWEETPOTATOES

1977 1,398.9 1,360.2 111.8 107.1
1978 1,401.0 1,374.5 115.7 112.2
1979 1,295.4 1,258.3 117.9 114.2
1980 1,175.4 1,147.8 107.8 102.2
1981: 1,255.3 1,232.4 113.2 109.8
1982: 1,302.8 1,266.9 118.7 115.4
1983: 1,272.1 1,242.5 105,3 102.4
1984 1,336.9 1,301.0 106.4 103.5
1985 1,404.9 1,357.0 110.2 105.3
1986 1,246.9 1,222.8 98.3 95.1
: sSUGARCANE FOR: PRINCIPAL
TOBACCO : SUGARBEETS :SUGAR & SEED : CROPS
1,000 ACRES

W77 965.8 1,272.6 1,216.2 759.4 344,873 333,282
1978: 963.7 1,305.4 1,269.2 743.7 336,438 326,423
1979: 827.7 1,160.7 1,119.7 732.7 345,803 336,736
1980: 921.0 1,231.3 1,189.5 732.7 355,677 340,103
1981: 976.6 1,251.6 1,228.1 755.4 363, 167 354,295
1982: 912.7 1,054.2 1,026.8 741.7 358,708 349,644
1983: 789.2 1,081.4 1,055.8 767.7 309, 536 293,944
1984: 791.7 1,123.6 747.3 345,110 335,732
1985: 689.0 1,124.5 770.0 342,232 331,001
1986: 1,237.5 801.4 326,408 6'

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, OATS, BARLEY AND SORGHUM FOR GRAIN. 2/ WHEAT, RYE,
RICE. 3/ MINN, N DAK, S DAK, AND TEX. 4/ CROP ACREAGES INCLUDED ARE
PLANTED FOR: CORN, SORGHUM, OATS, BARLEY, DURUM AND OTHER SPRING WHEAT, RICE,
SOYBEANS, FLAXSEED, PEANUTS, SUNFLOWER, COTTON, DRY EDIBLE BEANS, POTATOES,
SWEETPOTATOES, AND SUGARBEETS; HARVESTED ACREAGE FOR: WINTER WHEAT, RYE, ALL
HAY, TOBACCO, AND SUGARCANE. 5/ CROP ACREAGES INCLUDED ARE: CORN, SORGHUM,
OATS, BARLEY, WHEAT, RICE, RYE, SOYBEANS, FLAXSEED, PEANUTS, SUNFLOWER, COTTON
(CURRENT YEAR DERIVED BY SUBTRACTING AVERAGE ABANDONMENT FROM PLANTED
ACREAGE), ALL HAY, ORY EDIBLE BEANS, POTATOES, SWEETPOTATOES, TOBACCO,
SUGARCANE, AND SUGARBEETS.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-10 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL GROUP
AND

WINTER :
TOTAL We
SPRING :
TOTAL Vi

SUMMER
ALA
CALIF
coLo
DEL
TLL
IND
IOWA
MD
MICH
MINN
NEBR

4
°
g
>
2

FALL ast

IDAHO-10 SW CO :
-OTHER CO : 3
IND :

MAINE
MASS
MICH
MINN
MONT
NEBR
NEV
N Y-LONG IS
- UPSTATE 3
N DAK 3 1
OHIO 2
OREG-MALHEUR CO :
<OTHER CO):

US 2/
1/ ESTIMATE FOR CURRE

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

87.0

ANU LW RON DADCONRNO

B AVN—NDONAW=—H-wWarnn~

©

+2
+0
A
+0
0
+6
+0
3
0
0
0
9
+0
12.9
5
0
3
7
3
0
35
0
5
+3
0
25
+0

12.3

75.6

Hwanan-—

Bon
BR WOON CAHRNRODVEROawW

C= ws ©
©

>
Sn
AVA RACHRYOBOMINCONERONAIND

+
Qa
= wa Rw NR ©

SOSH ROAUNDVOUNLOWNDOOWONDOOOS

264

180
375
300
280
285
140
206
200
220
275
280

275
115
310
150
220
200

390

265
380

261

120
350
300
200
250

220
170
225
275
275

325
100

130
240
90

2,640

23,798

955
2,916
1,988
1,265

636

216

210

296
2,560
1,680

572
1,828
2,639

348

342

270
2,825
1,540

23,086

7,280
17,225
315
9,380
77,220
750
21,360
580
12,540
13,775
13924
2,480
3,300
3,577
6,630
20,615
2,418
3,960
195565
5,160
598
1,820
1,728
63
56,925
21,350
550

313,088
362,612

PRODUCTION

1,000 CWT

2,691

22,986

1,404
2,700
2,220
1,820
855
266
330
320
3,036
1,788
700
2,464
2,860
265
341
375
2,750
3,300

27,794

7,878
173920
350
10,875
91,640
624
27,160
825
12,100
143145
1,890
2,173
3,105
3,870
6,125
23,630
2,465
4,066
22,635
5,720
700
1,920
1,658
66
62,370
24,130
245

350,285
403,756

YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ COMBINED WITH “FALL”.
3/ YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR 1986 TO BE RELEASED NOVEMBER 10,
4/ INCLUDES AREA PREVIOUSLY CLASSIFIED AS "SUMMER".

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 17

986

A-33

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

1986.

19,763

876
2,310
23160
1,380
725
27
374
272
2,880
1,705

1,823
2,795
190
260
2,376
13215

21,946

NASS, USDA


BARTLETT

CALIF 3 302,000 282,000 290,000
OREG 2 44,000 75,000 50,000
WASH 2 101,000 111,000 118,000
TOTAL : 447,000 468,000 458,000
EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
CALIF Fy 10,000 10,500 11,000
OREG z 106,000 118,000 100,000
WASH 3 103,000 114,000 105,000
TOTAL 2 219,000 242,500 216,000
ALL z
CALIF : 312,000 292,500 301,000
COLO 2 6,000 1,500
CONN 2 1,550 1,550
MICH z 8,000 11,000
NY FY 16,000 21,500
OREG 2 193,000 150,000
PA 3 2,300 3,000
UTAH : 2,500 1,900
WASH : 204,000 225,000 223,000
t
us : 709,550 746,850 714,450

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS)
1964-12,800, 1985-150.

MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

PRODUCTION

CROP AND STATE

PLUMS z

CALIF 2 225,000 166,500 130,000
PRUNES (DRIED BASIS) :

CALIF : 148,000 139,000 100,000
GRAPES TABLE TYPE 2

CALIF : 475,000 580,000 550,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE z

CALIF : 1,900,000 2,140,000 1,850,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE 2/ t

CALIF 2 2,295,000 2,483,000 2,000,000
ALL GRAPES 3

CALIF 2 4,670,000 5,203,000 4,400,000
APRICOTS 2

CALIF t 123,000 128,000 65,000

UTAK 2 800 1,100 1,000

WASH 2 3,400 2,400 3,100

us z 127,200 131,500 69,100
NECTARINES :

CALIF : 183,000 211,000 195,000
WALNUTS :

CALIF 213,000 219,000 195,000

1,000 POUNDS

ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS)
CALIF

465,000 265,000

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS):
APRICOTS - 1984-10,120,1985-25,170; GRAPES (CALIF) - 1984~-14,000.
2/ FRESH BASIS.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-30 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~ YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE

: INDICATED :
1986

PRODUCTION

CROP
1985
WINTER WHEAT 2.56
SUMMER POTATOES 27.35
FLUE-CURED TOBACCO
TYPES 11-14 2.51
APPLES, COM'L
PEACHES
PEARS

SWEET CHERRIES 1/
TART CHERRIES 1/
APRICOTS

NECTARINES (CALIF)
PLUMS (CALIF) :
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF):
ALMONDS (CALIF)
WALNUTS (CALIF)

CITRUS FRUITS 2/
ORANGES

GRAPEFRUIT
LEMONS

2.42
24.74

2.39

INDICATED
1985 JUN 1, UL 1,
1986 1986
METRIC: TONS
49,728,100 42,953,660 42,266,440
1,260,710 995,450
362,990 316,470
3,605,590 3,486,750
974,450 1,064,530 1,048,880
677,580 648, 180
120, 560 120,290 116,570
129,820 83,910 84,370
119,290 76,380 62,690
191,420 176,900 176,900
151,050 117,930 117,930
126, 100 90,720 90,720
210,920 113,400 120,200
198,670 176,900
1984-85 1985-86 1985-86
6,095,370 6,955,390 6,809,330
2;068,380 2,160,910 2,150,940
889,040 677,670 639,570

1/ ESTIMATES IN JUN 1 COLUMN INCLUDE FORECASTS IN THE GREAT LAKES STATES AS

OF MID-JUNE.

2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS

WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986

A-7

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED

FOR ALL PURPOSES : AREA HARVESTED 1/
CROP
IND
1985 1986 1985 1986
HECTARES
CORN : 33,730,100 31,017,870 30,405,980 28,083,870
SORGHUM : 7,399,760 6,069,540 6,746,990 5,525,230
OATS : 5,370,240 5,984, 150 3,297,820 3,050, 150
BARLEY : 5,303,870 5,361,330 4,675,380 5,064, 700
ALL WHEAT : 30,584,450 29,140,510 26,197,200 24,644,810
WINTER : 23,371,660 21,824,930 19,406,100 _—-17,478, 160
DURUM : 1,297,840 1, 166, 320 1,252,110 1,141,630
OTHER SPRING : 5,914,950 6,149,260 5,538,990 6,025,020
RICE : 1,020,630 950,210 1,012,530 944,140
RYE : 1,037,220 956,690 290, 160 275,590
SOYBEANS : 25,548,080 25,024,010 24,922,430 24, 565,900
FLAXSEED : 250,910 281,260 236,340 270,740
PEANUTS : 603, 150 611,890 593,840 598,540
SUNFLOWER : 1,236,330 766,890 1,150,940 749,490
ALL COTTON : 4,323,950 3,914,000 4,139,570
UPLAND : 4,289,960 3,874,340 4,105,740
AMER-P IMA : 33,990 39,660 33,830
ALL HAY : 24,505,200 24,727,370
ALFALFA : 10,389,610 10,596,810
ALL OTHER : 14,115,590 14,130,560
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 637,750 697,690 601,530 671,180
POTATOES :
SUMMER : 47,590 41,040 46,090 40,230
FALL : 478,380 427,550 462,520 419,060
TOTAL : 568,550 504,610 549, 160 494,850
SWEETPOTATOES : 44,600 39,780 42,610 38,490
ALL TOBACCO : 278, 830 249,050
FLUE-CUREO :

TYPES 11-14 : 144,510 132,250
SUGARBEETS : 455,070 500,800 446,170 492,470
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 311,610 324,320

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-6 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


RYE

AREA PLANTED 1/

STATE
1,000 ACRES
COLO 13 15 2 2
DEL 29 30 3 4
GA 450 425 90 95
tLe 50 45 8 7
IND 35 35 W 10
1OWA 25 20 6 4
KANS 60 64 12 W
KY 50 46 2 2
MD 45 46 6 9
MICH 135 145 21 23
MINN 145 100 110 50
MO 38 20 3 3
NEBR 175 140 54 50
NJ 58 58 10 10
NY 110 105 12 13
NC 160 160 35 35
N DAK 100 125 80 115
OHIO 40 40 4 6
OKLA : 180 170 36 38
OREG : 20 20 3 5
PA 8 70 75 20 18
sc : 90 80 28 28

1/ AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

1985 : 1986 : 1985 1986

1,000 ACRES

COLO 74 60 72 55
IDAHO 500 480 480 460
MINN 2,450 2,850 2,370 2,800
MONT 3,000 2,850 2,400 2,790
NEV 17 16 15 14
N DAK 5,850 6,300 5,730 6,200
OREG 110 120 105 115
S DAK 2,230 2,100 2,150 2,050
UTAH a4 40 40 38
WASH 300 330 290 320
Wis 20 20 17 18
WYO 21 29 18 28
us 14,616 15,195 13,687 14,888

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-19 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED, UNITED STATES, 1977-86 - CONTINUED

YEAR : 3 2 : HARVESTED
: PLANTED : HARVESTED : HARVESTED : HARVESTED 2/ : PLANTED : FOR BEANS
~~ ee eeTOO0 ACRES sti(“‘CSé;S;*;*;*~*~TMS
1977: 2,261.0 2,249.0 677 69,612 58,978 57,830
1978: 2.99310 2970.0 926 60,391 64,708 63,663
1979: 2289010  2°869.0 850 66.173 712411702343
1980: 3,380.0 3,312.0 650 75,087 69,930 67,813
1981: 33827:0 33792.0 685 853119 67.543 66.163
1982: 3,295:0 3262.0 677 81,876 707884 69.442
1983: 2,190.0 2,169.0 896 64,455 63,779 62,525
1984: 2830.0 2802.0 981 702711 67.755 66.113
1985: 2752210 2502.0 717 67,953 63,130 61,584
1986: 2,348.0 2333.0 681 63,912 61.835 60,703
FLAXSEED PEANUTS SUNFLOWER 3/
rr HARVESTED: sst=<CS~SS*é‘i=CS*ét‘~*
PLANTED : HARVESTED : PLANTED : FOR NUTS : PLANTED : HARVESTED
— wo TSOO0 ACRES iti‘; «CS”*é‘<CS~*~*:
1977: 1,330 1,239 1,540.6 1,512.4 2,321 2,205
1978 =: = 710 687 12540.8 1.50921 27340 22798
1979 =: ~~ 922 878 12545.9 1.519.7 5,555 52410
1980: 759 663 12521.4 1239918 32910 33683
1981 : 605 577 1514.0 13488.7 37865 3381]
1982 =: ~~ 780 735 V3i4 1.27714 42815 4724
1983 =: 605 580 Vaio 1237315 37110 35063
1984: 555 538 12562.6 1,531.0 37754 37692
1985 : 620 584 124904 1246724 37055 27844
1986: 695 669 13512.0  12479.0 12395 13352
PLANTED
1,000 ACRES
1977: 13,679.5 13,275.3 60,988 1,402.7 1,269.9
1978: 13437521 122400.0 62,113 13503.9 1454.4
1979: 133977.5 122830.9 61,279 134270 13387.7
1980: 14,533.8 13,214.8 58,870 139200 1859.0
1981: 14233021 13384122 59,599 27390.0 27270.0
1982: ~—(117345.4 97733.9 59.812 13924.5 1277720
1983: _72926.3 7347.5 59,717 12180.0 12138.7
1984: (11214524 10237911 613445 135010 12460:3
1985 =: 107684.6 10;229:0 602553 12575.9 12486.4
1986:  97671.6 61,102 1372420 1658.5
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-10. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-9 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
CROP AND tenn nn enn n nnn enn nee nnn nen een n nnn ene n nnn enn enn nnn n nen nenne

STATE 3 : IND
1986 1985 1986

1,000 ACRES

LARGE LIMA
CALIF 44.0 32.0 43.0 31.0
BABY LIMA
CALIF 27.0 30.0 26.0 29.0
OTHER
CALIF 105.0 98.0 104.0 95.0
ALL
CALIF 176.0 160.0 173.0 155.0
COLO 225.0 230.0 220.0 225.0
IDAHO 120.0 135.0 118.0 133.0
KANS 17.0 21.0 16.0 20.0
MICH 440.0 500.0 410.0 480.0
MINN 68.0 65.0 62.0 61.0
MONT 3.4 3.0 3.0 2.7
NEBR 160.0 215.0 146.0 205.0
NY 35.0 34.0 33.0 33.0
N DAK 260.0 290.0 237.0 275.0
UTAH 8.5 9.0 8.4 8.8
WASH 34.0 29.0 33.0 28.0
WYO 29.0 33.0 27.0 32.0
us 1,575.9 1,724.0 1,486.4 1,658.5

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.

TOBACCO BY STATES

AREA HARVESTED

STATE

2,000 2,000
: 6,100 5,800
GA : 36,000 33,000
: 6,100

159,100
18,000
480
2,300
228,000
7,300
11,000
40,000
54,000
39,800
1,800
6,700

615,380

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-25 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


C @ Agricuiturat United States
ro Statistics Department of
Board Agriculture
H National Agricultural Washington, D.C. 20250
ro u Cc | oO n Statistics Service

RELEASED: July 11, 1986
3108 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at 1.55 billion bushels (42.3 million
metric tons), down 15 percent from 1985, and the lowest level in 8 years
The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast is 1.47 to
1.64 billion bushels.

CORN planted for all purposes is estimated at 76.6 million acres (31.0 million
hectares), down 8 percent from last year. Growers expect to harvest 69.4
million acres (28.1 million hectares) for grain, down 8 percent from last
year. This is 91 percent of the planted acres.

SOYBEAN area planted is expected to total 61.8 million acres (25.0 million
hectares), down 2 percent from 1985. As of June 1, 1986, 56 percent of
the acreage had been planted compared with a 54 percent average.

COTTON area planted is estimated at 9.67 million acres (3.9) million hectares),
down 9 percent from 1985 and 13 percent from 1984.

FALL POTATO growers have planted 17.06 million acres (428 thousand hectares) of
potatoes this year, down 1] percent from last year and the lowest acreage
since 1980.

SUMMER POTATO production is forecast at 21.9 million cwt (995 thousand metric
tons), 21 percent below last year and 5 percent below 1984.

APPLE production is forecast at 7.69 billion pounds (3.49 million metric tons),
down 3 percent from last year and 8 percent from 1984.

PEACH production is estimated at 2.31 billion pounds (1.05 million metric
tons), down 1 percent from June 1 but up 8 percent from last year.

PEAR production is forecast at 714.5 thousand tons (648 thousand metric tons),
a decrease of 4 percent from 1985 but up ] percent from 1984.

ORI RII IIR: kkk * a + shee: FIR IIIT IIR IIIA

NOTICE

PLANTED AND HARVESTED ACREAGES OF MAJOR CROPS ARE
INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT.

te kk OF

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room *
5829-South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447~ *
2021). *

) *
This report and other statistical, economic, marketing and news reports*
are available as soon as possible following release through USDA's EDI *
SERVICE. For more information, call or write: Russell Forte, (202) *

447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250. *
foe tock ke PIII IIR IAI: *

Hk HF HH EH HH OF

CrPr 2-2 (7-86) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127



TART CHERRIES: The U.S. forecast totals 186 million pounds (84.4 thousand
metric tons), down 35 percent from 1985 and 32 percent from
1984. The Great Lakes States expect to harvest 166 million pounds, 36 percent
Jess than both the 1985 and 1984 crop. Harvest has started in Utah, The tart
cherry crop suffered more frost damage than the sweet cherry crop in Oregon.

APRICOTS: The final forecast for U.S. apricots is 69.1 thousand tons (62.7

thousand metric tons), down 18 percent from the June 1 forecast and
47 percent lower than 1985 production. California's crop forecast is 65.0
thousand tons, down 19 percent from June 1 and 49 percent tess than last
year. The harvest of California apricots is nearly complete. Harvest began
about two weeks ahead of normal and will finish 17 to 21% days ahead of
normal. Sizes have improved slightly as harvest progressed and overall sizes
are good. However, fruit quality is only fair with wind scarring and brown
rot affecting the crop. The production estimates for Utah and Washington
remain at 1000 and 3100 tons, respectively.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine forecast remains at 195 thousand tons,

(177 thousand metric tons), 8 percent less than last year, but 7
percent above 1984. Harvest is in full swing with Firebrite, Spring Red, and
most other early varieties being picked. Flavortop, Niagara, and Sunbrand
varieties are now increasing in harvest activity. Quality continues good and
price has been reported improved due to the lighter crop.

DRIED PRUNES: California's forecast, at 10D thousand tons (90.7 thousand

metric tons), iS unchanged from June 1? but 28 percent below
last year. The crop is in good condition but scab could develop into a
serious problem. The normal May drop occurred in June because of mild
temperatures. Maturity of the crop is 8 to 10 days ahead of normal. Harvest
may begin as early as the first week of August.

PLUMS: California production is forecast at 130 thousand tons (118 thousand
metric tons), unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 22 percent less
than 1985. The crop is developing normally. Size and quality are good.

ALMONDS: The final forecast for the 1986 California almond crop is 265

million pounds (120 thousand metric tons) shelled basis, up 6
percent from the June 1 forecast but 43 percent lower than the 1985 crop.
This year's harvest is expected to be less than one-half of the record high
production level of 1984. The final forecast is based on the results of an
objective measurement survey conducted in June. The survey shows that the
statewide average number of nuts set per tree is down 50 percent from last
year. Nut sets are extremely variable throughout the State while nut sizes
are generally extremely large this year. Blanking percentage is higher in
some varieties, particularly the Nonpareil and Ne Plus. Nut deformity is
reported as higher than normal which may be partially attributable to the
larger nut sizes.

WALNUTS: The first forecast for California walnuts is 195 thousand tons (177

thousand metric tons), 11 percent below last year's production and 8
percent below 1984. Untimely April showers during the pollination period
reduced the nut set, especially in early varieties such as Payne and Ashley.
Hartley and other midseason varieties and late season varieties such as
Franquette have good to excellent sets of nuts that should size very well.
Overall, sizes should be large due to the smaller sets this year. Because of
the light crop, many growers did not spray for blight which is expected to be
significant this year. California has had only a few days of hot weather
making growing conditions since pollination ideal. Sunburn is not currently a
concern,

ORANGES: The final forecast for U.S. all oranges is 176 million boxes, (6.81
million metric tons), down 2 percent from June 1 but 11 percent

higher than last season. The Florida all orange forecast is 119 million
boxes, down 3 percent from June 1 but 15 percent more than last season. The
final Florida Valencia forecast is 55.0 million boxes, 12 percent above last
season. Harvest was about 98 percent complete by the end of June.
California's Valencia forecast remains at 21.0 million boxes, 19 percent below
last season's crop. Harvest is 40 percent complete.

The U.S. all orange harvest on July 1 was 92 percent complete compared
with 90 percent as of duly 1 a year ago. The July 1 U.S. all orange forecast
has deviated from actual production by an average of 1.88 million boxes over
the past ten seasons, ranging from no deviation in 1978-79 to 5.88 million
boxes in 1982-83,

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-14 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, 1985 AND 1986

: 1,000 ACRES
ALA 3 500 340
ARIZ : 67 49
ARK t 650 850
CALIF : 800 650
COLO 3 3,700 3,300
DEL : 45 40
FLA 3 160 120
GA 3 950 640
IDAHO : 1,000 950
ILL 3 850 1,300
IND : 770 900
1OWA 3 120 90
KANS 3 12,400 11,500
KY : 430 440
LA 3 250 240
MD : 140 160
MICH t 770 750
MINN : 350 180
MISs 2 380 250
MO 3 1,500 1,050
MONT : 2,460 2,150
NEBR 3 2,600 2,300
NEV : 10 10
NJ : 45 40
N MEX : 730 740
NY 3 155 165
NC 3 800 525
N DAK : 750 520
OHIO : 1,000 1,150
OKLA : 7,800 7,400
OREG : 1,030 970
PA 3 220 230
sc 2 460 325
S DAK : 1,850 1,900
TENN : 340 430
TEX : 8,100 8,100
UTAH : 230 235
VA 3 340 220
WASH 3 2,550 2,250
WoVA : 10 "1
Wis : 150 140
Wyo : 290 320

1/ AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-12 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, PRINCIPAL CROPS BY STATES, 1986 WITH COMPARISONS * 1/

1,000 ACRES

ALA 2 3,759 3,451 2,829
ARIZ : 900 816 685
ARK 3 8,705 7,879 7,675
CALIF : 6,152 6,025 5,496
COLO 3 6,830 6,983 6,244
CONN 3 158 160 158
DEL : 555 568 539
FLA : 1,361 1,415 1,314
GA 3 5,853 5,473 4,329
HAW 3 95 89 90
1DAHO 2 4,925 4,843 4,646
TLL 3 23,929 23,721 23,060
IND : 12,630 12,497 12,241
1OWA : 25,477 25,970 25,926
KANS a 21,750 22,080 21,333
KY : 5,777 5,558 5,246
LA : 4,980 4,804 4,677
MAINE Hy 404 415 393
MD : 1,649 1,668 1,604
MASS : 175 171 169
MICH 3 7,794 7,804 7,485
MINN : 21,387 21,486 20,865
MISS : 6,420 5,706 5,046
MO : 14,812 14,430 13,868
MONT 3 9,666 9,264 10,038
NEBR : 18,905 18,879 17,725
NEV : 601 570 613
NH z 115 116 112
NJ 3 482 ‘ 474 464
N MEX z 1,333 1,416 1,243
NY : 4,095 4,110 3,845
NC 3 5,562 5,655 4,945
N DAK 3 21,351 21,455 20,906
OHIO : 10,690 10,926 10,449
OKLA 3 8,899 9,188 8,753
OREG 2 2,779 2,797 2,829
PA 3 4,581 4,604 4,486
RI : 17 17 15
sc 2 2,981 2,884 2,415
S DAK : 16,665 16,124 16,083
TENN : 5,514 5,205 4,702
TEX 3 22,246 22,610 19,778
UTAH 1,138 1,162 1,156
VT : 553 555 540
VA : 3,198 3,104 2,893
WASH 3 4,846 5,121 4,536
WeVA : 774 744 713
Wis 3 9,683 9,499 9,426
WYO : 1,961 1,743 1,825
us 3 345,110 342,232 326,408

* STATES MAY NOT ADD TO U.S. DUE TO ROUNDING.

1/ CROP ACREAGES INCLUDED ARE PLANTED FOR: CORN, SORGHUM, OATS, BARLEY, DURUM
AND OTHER SPRING WHEAT, RICE, SOYBEANS, FLAXSEED, PEANUTS, SUNFLOWER, COTTON,
ORY EDIBLE BEANS, POTATOES, SWEETPOTATOES, AND SUGARBEETS; HARVESTED ACREAGE
FOR: WINTER WHEAT, RYE, ALL HAY, TOBACCO, AND SUGARCANE.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-11 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


California dry bean acreage planted is down 9 percent from 1985.
Washington acreage is off 15 percent, but growing weather has been favorable.
Minnesota and New York acreages are down 4 and 3 percent, respectively.
Kansas farmers planted 24 percent more acreage to dry beans this year and
Wyoming growers increased plantings 14 percent from 1985.

POTATOES: U.S. farmers have planted a total (all four seasons) of 1.25
million acres (505 thousand hectares) of potatoes this year, down
11 percent from last year and 7 percent below 1984.

Area for harvest is forecast at 1.22 million acres (495 thousand
hectares), down 10 percent from last year and 6 percent below 1984. This
places potato acreage at its lowest level since 1980.

FALL POTATOES: Area planted to fall potatoes is estimated at 1.06 million
acres (428 thousand hectares), down 117 percent from last year

and 6 percent below 1984. Area for harvest is forecast at 1.04 million acres

(419 thousand hectares), off 9 percent from last year and 5 percent below 1984.

The SEVEN EASTERN STATES expect to harvest 144 thousand acres (58.1
thousand hectares) of potatoes this year, 12 percent below last year and 8
percent less than 1984, Maine acreage, at 84.0 thousand acres, is down 13
percent from last year and the lowest in 84 years. New York acreage, at 32.4
thousand acres, is down 13 percent from last year. Long Island should harvest
8.90 thousand acres, the lowest of record. Upstate harvest will cover 23.5
thousand acres, down 4 percent from last year. Pennsylvania growers expect to
dig 21.5 thousand acres of potatoes, off 2 percent from last year.

EIGHT CENTRAL STATES expect to harvest 324 thousand acres (131 thousand
hectares), down 7 percent from last year and 6 percent from 1984. Minnesota
acreage is up 1 percent from last year but decreases from 1985 are shown in
the remaining major states as follow: North Dakota, 11 percent; Wisconsin,
10 percent; and Michigan, 9 percent.

The NINE WESTERN STATES expect to harvest 568 thousand acres (230 thousand
hectares) of potatoes in 1986. This is down 10 percent from 1985 and 4
percent from 1984, Idaho acreage is expected to total 307 thousand acres,
down 11 percent from last year. Oregon, at 51.0 thousand acres, anticipates a
16 percent decline. Malheur County Oregon and Idaho's 10 southwest Counties
are cutting back sharply by 36 and 41 percent, respectively.

SUMMER POTATOES: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 21.9 million

cwt (995 thousand metric tons), down 21 percent from last
year and 5 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest is estimated at 99.4
thousand acres (40.2 thousand hectares), off 13 percent from last year and 7
percent below 1984. The average yield is expected to drop 23 cwt from last
year to 22) cwt per acre.

Ory weather has hurt potatoes in the Southeast and up the Atlantic Coast
to New Jersey. Particularly hard hit are the lighter soils of the Delmarva
pennisula. Harvest is underway in Alabama, Virginia, and a few fields in New
Jersey.

Yields across the Midwest are expected to be near last year's level where
growing conditions have been favorable. Texas and New Mexico anticipate
higher yields than last year as timely rains and good growing weather have
prevailed. Harvest started two weeks early with the California White Rose
variety.

SWEETPOTATOES: Planted area of sweetpotatoes is estimated at 98.3 thousand

acres (39.8 thousand hectares) for 1986, down 11 percent from
last year and 8 percent below 1984. Harvest is expected from 95.1 thousand
acres (38.5 thousand hectares), 10 percent fewer than Jast year and 8 percent
below two years ago. All producing States expect acreage cutbacks from last
year.

Dry weather has diminished soil moisture across the Southeast and up the
Atlantic Coast. In some cases, planting was delayed as growers waited for
rains. In Texas and Louisiana, heavy rains around June 1 brought fietd work
to a standstill and caused some crop damage. Rain is still needed, however,
from the Southeast to New Jersey.

Louisiana growers planted 21.0 thousand acres, down 9 percent from last

year. Plantings were hampered by drought, then wet soil during the
transplanting season.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-10 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CHERRIES

SWEET
CALIF 37,200 23,500 7,500
'DAHO 2,800 2,200 2,000
MICH 33,000 31,000 17,000
MONT 2,300 4,600 1,000
NY 2,400 2,000 2,800
OREG 31,000 29,000 37,000
PA 2/ 900 500 800
UTAH 4,200 2,200 2,400
WASK 68,000 37,900 58,000
TOTAL 181,800 132,900 128,500
MILLION POUNDS
TART
COLO 2/ 5
MICH 2/ 145.0
NY 2/ 9.0
OREG 5.0
PA 2/ 8.0
UTAH 15.0
Wis 2/ 3.5
TOTAL 186.0

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD: U S SWEET CHERRIES
(TONS), 1984 -17,550, 1985-6,000,, U S TART CHERRIES (MILLION POUNDS),
1984~15.7, 1985-6.0.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

1,000 ACRES “1,000 AC

WINTER 1/

20.4 18.0
TOTAL 13.2 12.3 56.5 52.5
CONN 1.4 1.0
SPRING 1/ IDAHO-10 SW CO 30.0 17.0
3 -OTHER CO : 325.0 293.0
TOTAL : 92.0 76.7 IND : 2.8 3/ 4.9
: MAINE 98.0 85.0
SUMMER : MASS. 3.3 2.9
ALA : 7.5 MICH 46.0 42.0
CALIF 6.6 MINN 78.5 74.0
COLO 7.4 MONT 7.9 7.6
DEL 7.0 NEBR 8.5 7.1
TLL 3.0 NEV 9.0 8.0
IND ar N Y-LONG IS 13.0 9.0
IOWA 1.7 -UPSTATE 25.0 24.0
MD : 1.7 N DAK : 145.0 128.0
MICH : 13.0 OHTO : 9.5  3/ 10.2
MINN 6.3 OREG-MALHEUR CO : 11.0 7.0
NEBR 3 2.3 -OTHER CO : 51.0 45.0
NJ 8.2 i 22.5 22.0
N MEX 8.7 3 2.5 1.6
NC 2.0 : 14.0 13.0
OHIO : ar 6.6 6.4
TENN 2.0 3 a]
TEX 3 10.0 : 127.0 117.0
VA : 14.0 65.0 58.0
t 2.4 2.2

TOTAL :
5

\/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRE YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ COMBINED WITH "FALL".

3/ INCLUDES AREA PREVIOUSLY CLASSIFIED AS "SUMMER".

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-32 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1985-86 yield projection of

Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice is
1.38 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This yield computation is
projected to the final amount reported by the Florida Citrus Processors
Association at the end of the harvest season. The 1984-85 freeze-reduced
final season average yield was 1.37582 gallons per box. In 1983-84, the FCOJ
final yield was 1.28931 gallons per box which was also affected by freezing
weather.

GRAPEFRUIT: The final forecast for the 1985-86 U.S. grapefruit crop is 58.5

million boxes (2.15 million metric tons), 1 percent less than
dune 1 but 3 percent above 1984-85, Harvest is 94 percent complete.
Remaining supplies will come from California as Florida harvest is virtually
complete.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona crop is expected to total nearly 18.6

million boxes (640 thousand metric tons), down 6 percent from the
June 1 forecast and 28 percent below the 1984-85 season. Harvest is 84
percent complete. Remaining supplies will come from California.

CITRUS HARVEST AND UTILIZATION: By July 1, 162 million boxes of oranges were

harvested, 92 percent of the U.S. crop, com-
pared with 142 million boxes or 90 percent on July 1, 1985. Processors had
used 73 percent of oranges harvested by July 1, 1986, the same percentage as
on July 1 a year ago.

Grapefruit harvest was 94 percent complete by July 1, compared with 95
percent on July 1 last year. Processors had used 53 percent of the total crop
harvested by July 1, 1986, compared with 59 percent a year earlier.

Lemon harvest at the first of the month was 84 percent complete, compared
with 94 percent last season. Processors had utilized 38 percent of the crop
harvested, compared with 55 percent by July 1 last year.

CITRUS CROP - HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO JULY 1

CROP twa nnn eno o-oo nnn ene ee nnn ne nn en nnn ee eee eee nen n eee -e

REMAINING 3 3 REMAINING
FOR : FRESH:PROCESSED: TOTAL:

HARVEST

THOUSAND BOXES
ORANGES : 38,617 103,433 142,050 16,300 44,160 117,965 162,125 14,085
GRAPEFRUIT: 21,728 31,872 53,600 3,000 25,510 29,331 54,841 3,629
LEMONS 10,792 13,433 24,225 1,575 9,770 5,880 15,650 2,900

1/ REVISED FOR GRAPEFRUIT.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-15 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION
CROP BOXES

PRODUCTION
TON EQUIVALENT

INDICATED
1985-86

1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID
& NAVEL 3
ARIZ 4 550 650 600 21 25 23
CALIF 33,700 26,000 33,300 1,264 975 1,249
FLA 4 69,700 55,000 64,200 3,136 2,475 2,889
TEX 4/5 2,400 0 200 102 CY) 9
us 106,350 81,650 98,300 4,523 3,475 4,170
ORANGES, VALENCIA
ARIZ 1,250 1,800 1,800 47 68 68
CALIF 14,800 26,000 21,000 556 975 788
FLA 47,000 48,900 55,000 2,115 2,201 2,475
TEX 4/5/ 110 0 110 5 0 5
us 63,160 76,700 77,910 2,723 3,244 3,336
ALL ORANGES
ARIZ 1,800 2,450 2,400 68 93 91
CALIF 48,500 52,000 54,300 1,820 1,950 2,037
FLA : 116,700 103,900 119,200 5,251 4,676 5,364
TEX 4/5/3 2,510 0 310 107 0 14
us : 169,510 158,350 176,210 7,246 6,719 7,506
TEMPLES :
FLA : 2,900 3,250 2,950 130 146 133
GRAPEFRUIT,WHITE =:
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 23,000 24,800 25,600 978 1,054 1,088
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK =:
SEEDLESS :
: 13,400 16,300 18,000 569 693 765
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT:
FLA : 4,500 2,900 3,150 191 123 134
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ARIZ i 2,270 3,700 3,000 72 118 96
CALIF :
DESERT : 3,340 3,900 4,000 107 124 128
OTHER AREAS: 3,900 5,000 4,500 131 168 15
TOTAL : 7,240 8,900 8,500 238 292 279
FLA : 40,900 44,000 46,750 1,738 1,870 1,987
TEX 4/5/+ 3,200 0 220 128 0 9
us : 53,610 56,600 58,470 2,176 2,280 2,371
TANGERINES 3
ARIZ als 1,150 700 700 43 26 26
CALIF 4/3 1,850 1,680 1,800 70 63 68
FLA 4/: 2,000 1,050 1,150 95 50 55
us : 5,000 3,430 3,650 208 139 149
LEMONS :
ARIZ 4/: 4,000 6,000 3,050 152 228 116
CALIF : 17,250 19,800 15,500 655 752 589
us : 21,250 25,800 18,550 807 980 705
TANGELOS 2
FLA 4/ 3,600 3,600 2,950 162 162 133

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST 1S COMPLETED.
2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,FLA-90,
TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ2-64, CALIF
OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-80; LEMONS~76; TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES- CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA, EARLY AND MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
5/ DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DECEMBER 1983, NO COMMERCIAL SUPPLIES
WERE HARVESTED FOR THE 1984-85 TEXAS CITRUS CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-31 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED, UNITED STATES, 1977-86

SORGHUM

YEAR : HARVESTED
feeennnnnan n-ne n eee ee ne! FOR
HARVESTED : GRAIN
: 1,000 ACRES
1977: 84,328 81,537 71,614 16 636 16,192 13,797
1978 =: = 81,675 80,987 71,930 16,197 15,583 13,410
1979: 81,394 80,777 72,400 15,277 14,876 12,901
1980 : 84,043 82,844 72,961 15,639 14,659 12,513
1981: 84,097 83,192 74,524 15,930 15,487 13,677
1982 : 81,857 81,278 72,719 16,028 15,654 14,137
1983: 60,217 59,597 51,483 11,880 11,387 10,001
1984 : 80,543 79,786 71,915 17,254 16,643 15,355
1985 : 83,348 82,591 75,134 18,285 17,983 16,672
1986 : 76,646 75,900 69,396 14,998 14,600 13,653
OATS BARLEY FEED GRAINS
PLANTED : HARVESTED : PLANTED : HARVESTED HARVESTED 1/
"7,000 ACRES
1977: 17,732 13,485 10,778 9,728 108,624
1978 : 16,407 11,126 9,989 9,248 105,714
1979 : 13,960 9,682 8,116 75527 102,510
1980 : 13,381 8,657 8,320 75260 101,391
1981 =: 13,632 9,407 9,618 9,038 106,646
1982: 13,951 10,258 9,549 9,013 106,127
1983: 20,289 9,072 10,422 9,731 80,287
1984 =: 12,414 8,163 11,957 11,231 106,664
1985 : 13,270 83149 133106 113553 1113508
1986 =: 14,787 7,537 13,248 12,515 103,101
WHEAT
WINTER DURUM OTHER SPRING
1,000 ACRES
1977 48,772 3,183 3,025 15,758 14,889
1978 38,491 4,110 4,024 14,330 13,980
1979 43,427 4,042 3,932 15,595 15,095
1980 51,635 5,525 4,840 17,492 14,650
1981 58,476 5,776 5,655 16,928 16,511
1982 57,633 4,290 4,177 16,426 16,127
1983 47,584 2,565 2,492 113749 11,314
1984 51,513 3,277 3,219 12,517 12,196
1985 47953 3,207 3,094 14,616 13,687
1986 43,189 2,882 2,821 15,195 14,888
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-10...=~=~*~C*é“‘;O*“‘S;S;SSNS*‘;«C*;*;*S CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-8 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


SUNFLOWER

AREA HARVESTED

AREA PLANTED
STATE AND :
VARIETAL TYPE :

? 1,000 ACRES
ole :
MINN t 220 130 196 122
N DAK t 1,970 1,080 1,820 1,060
S DAK : 517 396 497 388
TEX : 100 40 95 38
us : 2,807 1,646 2,608 1,608
NON-OIL :
MINN : 25 25 23 24
N DAK : 220 220 210 216
S DAK : 3 4 3 4
us : 248 249 236 244
ALL :
MINN 2 245 155 219 146
N DAK t 2,190 1,300 2,030 1276
S DAK 2 520 400 500 392
TEX : 100 40 95 38
us : 3,055 1,895 2,844 1,852

1,000 ACRES

MINN : 60 35 50 34

N DAK : 460 550 445 530

S$ DAK : 100 110 89 105
:

us : 620 695 584 669

ALL OATS H 8,500 6,500
ALL BARLEY 3 13,000 8,300
MIXED GRAIN CROPS : 700 400
GRAIN HAY OR SILAGE 2/ 3/ : 7,800 7,200
GRASS HAY OR SILAGE 3/ 3 13,200 16,000
POTATOES 3 610 620

1/__ ESTIMATES ARE PROVIDED TO MEET SPECIAL NEEDS OF DATA USERS FOR CROP AND
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION STATISTICS. ESTIMATES ARE EXCLUDED FROM COMMODITY DATA
TABLES. 2/ INCLUDED IN THE ABOVE GRAIN CROP ESTIMATES. 3/ AREA HARVESTED.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-22 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


JUNE CROP PROGRESS

Ory weather persisted in the Southeast during most of June. The inadequate
moisture hampered seeding, germination, and slowed growth but forced rapid
maturity of small grains. Early in the month, dry weather came to the northern
Great Plains which allowed farmers to catch up on seeding. The warm tempera-
tures spurred crop development. The Corn Belt was wet the first half of the
month but drier weather the second half pushed wheat harvest ahead of normal
and slowed the spread of disease. However, small grain disease was widespread
throughout most of the Corn Belt as thé month ended.

Corn planting was virtually complete by June 1. All major producing States
were at least 92 percent seeded except Minnesota and South Dakota. Corn was 62
percent planted in South Dakota compared with 84 percent normally. By June 29,
5 percent of the corn acreage was silking, 3 points ahead of normal. Corn was
silking in 7 of the major producing States and as far north as Illinois. At
the end of June, corn was mostly good to fair in the Corn Belt and cejtral and
northern Great Plains. Crop conditions declined rapidly in the Southeast to
mostly poor to fair. Hot, dry weather from the Appalachian States to Georgia
stressed corn as it entered the critical pollination stage the last week of
dune. Corn development was further along in the Southeast. Sixty percent of
Georgia's corn was in the dough stage and 18 percent had reached dent. In
Texas, 11 percent was mature and in Louisiana, 6 percent was mature.

By the end of June, soybeans were mostly planted except in the Southeast.
Oryness hampered planting, germination, and growth in the Southeast. Seeding
lagged behind normal in Georgia, North Carotina, and South Carolina. Soybeans
were blooming and setting pods fn Illinois and blooming in Louisiana.

By mid-June cotton planting was finished in all States except Georgia,
Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas. However, planting was virtually complete in
Georgia and Tennessee. As June ended, planting was nearly finished in Texas
but only 85 percent of Okiahoma's cotton acreage had been planted. In the
major producing States, bolls were present on 9 percent of the acreage,
equaling the average but 4 points behind last year. forty-four percent of the
cotton acreage was squaring compared with 38 percent normally.

In the 11 major producing States, sorghum was 95 percent planted by the
end of June. This compares with 95 percent planted in 1985 and 92 percent
normally. Sorghum was 58 percent headed and 4 percent harvested in Texas.
Louisiana's sorghum was 55 percent headed.

On June 29, rice was 8 percent headed, 2 points below the average.
Heading was limited to Louisiana and Texas. Normally, rice would be heading
in Mississippi by June 29. High winds and heavy rain caused some lodging in
Texas the last week of June.

Winter wheat harvest soared the last two weeks of June, going from 16
percent harvested on June 15 to 57 percent harvested on June 29. Harvest
neared completion in most southeastern States and in the Delta to Oklahoma.
Kansas wheat was 85 percent harvested, more than 4 times greater than normal.
Harvest, at 9 percent finished, was just underway in Nebraska. Harvest was
nearly 3 times greater than normal in Illinois. Wetness caused widespread
disease problems in Indiana, Ohio, and Michigan. Spring wheat was 33 percent
headed compared with 49 percent in 1985 and the 37 percent average. Heading
was behind normal in all States except North Dakata.

CORN: Corn planted for all purposes is estimated at 76.6 million acres (31.0

million hectares), down 8 percent from last year and 2 percent less than
the March 1 intentions. All regions show a decline in planted acres from last
year. The major producing North Central region shows an 8 percent decline in
planted acres. This region accounts for 80 percent of the total corn planted
acres. The largest acreage declines were: Towa - 1.60 million; Illinois =
1.10 million; Minnesota - 900 thousand; and Nebraska - 600 thousand.

In the southern States, plantings are expected to decline 5 percent from
last year. In North Carolina a 200 thousand acre decline is shown and in
Texas a 200 thousand acre decrease. Georgia is down 180 thousand acres.
Louisiana's corn acreage more than doubled from last year, up 230 thousand
acres to 450 thousand. Their corn is being used for poultry and catfish food.

In the West, Colorado's planted acres are down 55 thousand, California's
is off 50 thousand and Idaho is down 45 thousand. In the Northeast, New York
is expecting a 160 thousand acre decline and Pennsylvania‘s planted acres are
down 110 thousand.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-5 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


Growers expect to harvest 69.4 million acres (28.1 million hectares) for
grain, down 8 percent from last year. This is 91 percent of the planted acres.

Planting of the corn crop got off to a good start and progress was running
well ahead of normal. By dune 1, 94 percent of the corn crop was planted
compared with 98 percent last year and the average of 89 percent. With the
exception of the Southeastern States, most areas throughout the country
received ample rainfall following ptanting and the corn crop is in generally
good condition.

SORGHUM: Sorghum planted for all purposes is estimated at 15.0 million acres
(6.07 million hectares), a decrease of 18 percent from last year.

Kansas, Texas, Nebraska, and Missouri account for 75 percent of the total
sorghum planted for all purposes in the U.S. in 1986. Plantings, or intentions
to plant, in these States are: 4.50 million acres in Kansas, down 300 thousand
acres from 1985; 3.90 million acres in Texas, down 400 thousand acres; 1.65
million in Nebraska, down 450 thousand acres; and 1.15 million acres in
Missouri, down 300 thouand acres.

Large decreases in planted acreage occurred in all estimating States with
the exception of Louisiana, where an increase of 6 percent is shown.

Sorghum to be harvested for grain is estimated at 13.7 million acres (5.53
million hectares), down 18 percent from a year ago.

By the end of May, planting progress was equa? to or ahead of normal in
all of the major States, except South Dakota and Texas. Growers in Oklahoma
have had difficulty getting the crop planted due to prolonged wet weather.
Sorghum planting on the Texas High Plains has been hampered by wet conditions
while some harvesting is underway in the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley.
Except for southern States, most major sorghum growing areas have received
ample moisture, The crop is in generally fair to good condition.

OATS: The area of oats planted last fall and this spring totaled 14.8 million

acres, (5.98 million hectares), up 11 percent from 1985 and 19 percent
above 1984. Oats were planted as a cover crop on diverted acreage under the
farm program and this is the reason for the large increase. Iowa has the most
planted acreage--2.50 million acres, up 900 thousand from last year.
Illinois, with 1.40 million acres, is up 800 thousand acres from 1985. South
Dakota's planted acreage declined 400 thousand acres from 1985 to total 1.50
million for 1986. The States of Iowa, Minnesota, South Dakota, and Illinois
accounted for nearly half of the Nation's oats planted acreage.

Area to be harvested for grain is expected to total 7.54 million acres
(3.05 million hectares). This is 8 percent below the previous year and the
lowest oats acreage for harvest since estimates were begun in 1866.

Planting of the oat crop got off to a good start in most States. Heavy
rains slowed seeding in the Dakotas. Dry soils are affecting the crop in the
Southeast.

BARLEY: Seeding of barley last fall and this spring totaled 13.2 million acres

(5.36 million hectares), up 1 percent from last year, and the most
planted acres since 1963. The leading State, North Dakota is expecting 3.70
million acres of barley planted this year, up 200 thousand acres from last
year. South Dakota is expecting 2 120 thousand acre increase and Montana is
up 50 thousand acres. Washington's planted acres are down 250 thousand and
Idaho's are down 140 thousand acres from 1985.

The area to be harvested for grain is expected to total 12.5 million
acres (5.06 million hectares}. This fs an 8 percent increase from last year.

Seeding of barley in the Dakota's, Minnesota, and Montana got off to a
good start early in the season but then was delayed by rain for about three
weeks. Good weather finally moved in and allowed seeding to be virtually
completed by June 1, slightly ahead of normal. Soil moisture has continued to
be mostly adequate and the crop is in generally good condition in this
region. In Washington, the crop was planted under generally good conditions
but hot, dry weather in early June has resulted in some stress of the crop.

ALL WHEAT: Area seeded last fall and this spring for the 1986 crop is esti-

mated at 72.0 million acres (29,1 miltion hectares), 5 percent
less than 1985. Area for grain is expected to total 60.9 million acres (24.6
million hectares), down 6 percent from last year. This would be the lowest
harvested area since 1978.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-6 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/

3 PRODUCTION
STATE TOTAL 2/
INDICATED
1986
MILLION POUNDS

ARK fy 8.0 16.0 10.0
CALIF ’ 520.0 620.0 525.0
COLO 3 65.0 110.0 18.0
CONN Fy 47.0 42.0 40.0
DEL : 24.0 19.0 21.0
GA 3 50.0 20.0 30.0
IDAHO fn 135.0 131.0 110.0
TLL 3 90.0 106.0 95.0
IND 8 64.0 75.0 31.0
1OWA 3 5.0 13.5 6.5
KANS : 5.0 15.0 6.5
KY : 18.0 17.0 5.0
MAINE 3 70.0 85.0 85.0
MD Hy 80.0 80.0 85.0
MASS z 97.0 89.0 97.0
MICH 3 770.0 1,100.0 700.0
MINN : 15.0 23.0 17.0
MO : 40.0 62.0 37.0
NH 3 50.0 56.0 50.0
NJ t 110.0 105.0 105.0
N MEX t 8.0 10.0 8.0
NY : 1,020.0 1,120.0 1,010.0
NC 3 360.0 275.0 130.0
OHIO. 3 135.0 145.0 90.0
OREG 3 130.0 160.0 105.0
PA : 575.0 585.0 610.0
Rt : 5.0 4.0 4.0
sc 3 45.0 16.0 30.0
TENN : 11.0 8.5 6.0
UTAH 3 45.0 57.0 40.0
VT 3 41.0 49.0 44.0
VA : 465.0 395.0 500.0
WASH 3 2,950.0 2,050.0 2,750.0
WVA 3 225.0 230.0 230.0
Wis 3 53.0 60.0 56.0
us 3 8,331.0 7,949.0 7,687.0

1/ 1N ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES.
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(MILLION POUNDS): UNITED STATES 1984~14.9,1985-87.7.

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

FRESH PRODUCTION

: FORECAST
1986

1985 =: 1986

1,000 POUNDS

MAY 3,890 2,820 2,380 3,914 4,810
JUN 4,000 2,695 2,395 3,619 3,740
JUL 2,725 5,134 3,500
AUG 2,625 3,989 2,600
SEP 2,345 3,722 2,800
oct 2,410 4,594 3,200
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-JUN 25,070 24,395

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-28 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
AREA PLANTED :
FOR ALL PURPOSES : AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP
INDICATED
: 1985 1986 1985 1986
: 1,000 ACRES
CORN : 83,348 76,646 75,134 69,396
SORGHUM > 18,285 14,998 16,672 13,653
OATS : 13,270 14, 787 8,149 7,537
BARLEY : 13,106 135248 113553 12,515
ALL. WHEAT : 75,575 72,007 64,734 60,898
WINTER : 57,752 53,930 47,953 43,189
DURUM : 3,207 2,882 3,094 2,821
OTHER SPRING : 14,616 15,195 13,687 14,888
RICE : 2,522.0 2,348.0 2,502.0 2,333.0
RYE : 2,563 2,364 77 681
SOYBEANS : 63,130 61,835 61,584 60,703
FLAXSEED : 620 695 584 669
PEANUTS : 1,490.4 1,512.0 1,467.4 1,479.0
SUNFLOWER : 3,055 1,895 > 2,844 1,852
ALL COTTON : -10,684.6 9,671.6 10,229.0
UPLAND :  10,600.6 95573.6 10,145.4
AMER-PIMA : 84.0 98.0 83.6
ALL HAY : 60,553 61,102
ALFALFA : 25,673 26,185
ALL OTHER : 34,880 34,917
DRY EBIBLE BEANS: 1,575.9 1,724.0 1,486.4 1,658.5
POTATOES :
SUMMER : 117.6 101.4 113.9 99.4
FALL : 1,182.1 1,056.5 1,142.9 1,035.5
TOTAL : 1,404.9 1,246.9 1,357.0 1,222.8
SWEETPOTATOES : 110.2 98.3 105.3 95.1
ALL TOBACCO : 689.0 615.4
FLUE-CURED :
TYPES 11-14 : 357.1 326.8

SUGARBEETS : 1,124.5 1,237.5 1,102.5 1,216.9
SUGARCANE FOR H
SUGAR AND SEED

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E, GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-4 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


Fresh papaya utilization during June is estimated at 3.74 million pounds
(1700 metric tons), 22 percent less than the previous month but 3 percent more
than last year. A strike by workers of the inland boatmen's union caused some
disruption of Interisland Barge Service resulting in Tower than anticipated
output during the first half of June. Area devoted to papaya production
totaled 4000 acres (1620 hectares) in June, 3 percent above last month and 8
percent more than last June. Harvested area totaled 2395 acres (970 hectares)
in June, up 1 percent from May but 11 percent below a year ago.

PEARS: The Nation's forecast is for 714.5 thousand tons (648 thousand metric
tons), down 4 percent from last year but 1 percent more than the 1984
crop.

BARTLETT tonnage in California, Oregon and Washington is forecast at 458
thousand tons (415 thousand metric tons), a 2 percent decrease from 1985.
California harvest started June 28. The crop is reported to be in good to
excellent condition and is sizing well. Quality is good, but there is some
wind damage and russetting. Orchards are being thinned in Washington.

Production of other than BARTLETTS in the Pacific Coast States is forecast
at 216 thousand tons (196 thousand metric tons), an 11 percent decline from
last year. California's crop is in good condition. Most varieties bloomed
Properly and did not suffer from heavy February rains. April frosts reduced
the Oregon crop.

Growers in California, Michigan, New york, and Pennsylvania anticipate
larger crops. Sets have been generally good weather cooperative. Poor spring
weather hampered pollination and set in Utah.

GRAPES: The California grape crop is expected to total 4.40 million tons
(3.99 million metric tons), 15 percent below 1985 and 6 percent Tess
than the 1984 crop.

Raisin type grape production in California is forecast at 2.00 million
tons, 19 percent less than last year and 13 percent below 1984. The forecast
excludes production from 50.0 thousand acres of Thompson Seedless grapes which
are enrolled in the voluntary raisin diversion program and will not produce a
crop this year. Raisin type grape development was nearly two weeks ahead of
normal on Juty 1. Bunch counts and sizes were normal. Mildew has been a
problem in many vineyards and growers were actively dusting with sulfur to
prevent further damage. Berry size is smaller than normal.

The forecast for table type grapes in California is 550 thousand tons, 5
percent below last year but 16 percent above 1984. Statewide, harvest is
expected to run nearly two weeks ahead of normal. Table grape harvest in the
Coachella Valley was one of the earliest ever. Harvest began in late April
and was nearing completion by July 1}.

The California wine type grape forecast is 1.85 million tons, 14 percent
below 1985 and 3 percent less than two years ago. Bearing acreage is
virtually the same this year as a year ago. A number of vineyards are in a
maintenance or abandoned condition. Production will be severely limited in
these vineyards, which are not expected to be harvested. California wine
grapes were nearly two weeks ahead of normal development by July 1. Numerous
vineyards were treated for varying levels of mildew during the past few
weeks. Berries began reaching the varation stage (berry softening) which will
retard further mildew damage. Cluster counts registered in normal ranges, but
berry sizes were generally smaller than usual. A limited amount of berry burn
was reported following extremely hot weather in Tate June.

SWEET CHERRIES: The U.S. forecast of 129 thousand tons (117 thousand metric

tons) is 3 percent Tess than 1985 and 29 percent below 1984.
Large decreases in California and Michigan were only partially offset by
increases in Washington and Oregon.

The Pacific Coast States expect 103 thousand tons compared with 90.4
thousand tons in 1985, Harvest was complete in June in California. Prospects
are very good in the Dallas area of Oregon. Set was good in the Willamette
Valley, but the set was light in the Milton-Freewater area. An excellent crop
of cherries is being harvested in Washington. The berries are firm with
excellent color and have escaped rain damage. Harvest began in late June in
Michigan. Heavy rains prior to and during harvest caused fruit to crack.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-13 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


North Carolina growers reduced plantings 15 percent from Tast year,
although planting progressed well through the season. The crop is rated
mostly good to fair since transplanting.

TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco area harvested in 1986 is expected to total 615
thousand acres (249 thousand hectares), off 11 percent from 1985 and

the lowest since 1874. All 3 classifications (flue-cured, burley, and all

other) recorded declines from 1985 and are reflecting reduced quotas for 1986.

Flue-cured area for harvest, at a record low 327 thousand acres (132
thousand hectares), is down 8 percent from the previous record low of 357 thou-
sand acres (145 thousand hectares) harvested in 1985. North Carolina, with
two-thirds of the acreage, is down 9 percent from 1985. South Carolina,
Georgia, Virginia, and Florida are down 7, 8, 7, and 5 percent, respectively.

Production of flue-cured tobacco is expected to total? 698 million pounds
(316 thousand metric tons), 13 percent below last year, 19 percent less than. in
1985, and the least since 1941. Production decreased 11 to 14 percent from
1985 in all 5 producing States. Yields are expected to average 2135 pounds per
acre, 106 pounds less than in 1985 and off 71 pounds from 1984.

The North Carolina crop required more resetting than usual due to drought
and hail. Irrigated fields look very good. Plants in non-irrigated fields are
uneven and blooming at a very low height. Harvest is underway in some areas.
Over half of South Carolina's acreage was topped by the end of June. Dry
weather has slowed maturity. Major producing areas had sufficient rain but
some areas need additional rain. Rainfall in Georgia has varied widely. Much
use has been made of irrigation water. Considerable spread is expected between
irrigated and dryland yields.

Burley area for harvest declined 13 percent to 221 thousand acres (89.6
thousand hectares). Kentucky with nearly two-thirds of the acreage is down 15
percent from 1985. Tennessee, the next ranking State, declined 12 percent.
Transplanting of the Kentucky crop was lagging behind usual progress on June }
but progressed rapidly during June.

All other types totaled 67.2 thousand acres (27.2 thousand hectares).
This is 13 percent less than in 1985. The dry spring delayed planting of
Maryland tobacco. Setting in Wisconsin progressed rapidly with favorable
moisture.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEEO CONDITION: On July 1, the pasture and range feed condi-

tion was 83 percent, 6 points above July 1,
1985 and 1 point more than the 1975-84 average for the date. During June,
pasture and range conditions improved in 21 States, declined in 23 States, and
were unchanged in 4 States. Conditions are the worst in the Southeastern
States, particularly in Georgia and the Carolinas where their pasture and
range condition is in the severe drought range. Conditions continued to
decline in the middle Atlantic States. New Jersey, Detaware, and Virginia
conditions are in the very poor range and Maryland in the severe drought
range. Condition improved substantially in Florida following the rain in
dune. Their condition on June 1 was 39 percent and on July 1 it is 86
percent. Rain was also beneficial for the pastures in most of the rest of the
country and most States are in the good to excellent range.

SUGARBEETS: Area of sugarbeets planted in 1986 is estimated at 1.24 miltion

acres (501 thousand hectares), 10 percent more than 1985. Beets
are being grown in 12 States this year, the same as last year. Ten of these
12 producing States have increased acreage from a year ago. States with
increases from 1985 in excess of 10 thousand acres are: Minnesota, 37
thousand; Colorado 34.6 thousand; North Dakota, 18.2 thousand; and Michigan,
13° thousand. Two plants in Colorado that did not operate in 1985 are
reopening for the 1986 crop.

Planting in the Red River Valley of North Dakota and Minnesota commercial
slightly later than usual due to rain. Moisture supplies there have been
mostly adequate. More acreage than usual was replanted in Idaho due to frost
kilt. The Michigan crop was in the ground by the end of the first week of
May, about 10 days earlier than normal.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED: Growers intend to harvest a record high 801

thousand acres (324 thousand hectares) of sugar-
cane for sugar and seed in 1986. This acreage is 4 percent more than harvested
in 1985 and, if realized, will surpass the previous record high of 774 thousand
acres (313 thousand hectares) harvested in 1975.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 Bell AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


OATS

AREA PLANTED 1/ AREA HARVESTED
STATE ES la lalla eat attache ate atatetatate atetaatetetatataatatat atte atatetatatettatetateteatetetetataetatated

3 : 3 3 IND

3 1985 : 1986 3 1985 3 1986

z 1,000 ACRES
ALA 3 80 60 35 30
ARK Hy 22 40 17 34
CALIF : 340 360 45 50
COLO : 115 90 55 40
GA Wt5 60 45 40
IDAHO 70 60 40 30
tLe : 600 1,400 160 200
IND 3 180 400 110 90
1OWA : 1,600 2,500 760 630
KANS 3 250 310 200 240
KY : 28 35 9 12
MAINE 51 47 46 43
MD 3 17 19 15 7
MICH : 420 350 390 320
MINN 3 1,550 1,600 100 850
MO 3 170 190 105 110
MONT 3 225 250 70 163
NEBR : 550 700 380 360
NJ 3 6 6 5 5
NY : 270 230 230 190
nC 105 95 62 55
N DAK 1,175 1,100 840 900
OHIO 340 260 310 160
OKLA 155 200 65 90
OREG 3 140 140 100 95
PA 3 320 290 300 270
sc : 70 55 42 32
S DAK : 1,900 1,500 1,420 1,200
TEX 2 1,200 1,000 300 250
UTAH 2 26 24 13 12
VA 3 50 37 14 14
WASH 3 70 70 33 33
WoVA 2 14 17 8 10
Wis : 950 1,200 780 900
WYO 3 96 92 45 62
us 13,270 14,787 8,149 7,537

1/ INCLUDES AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-15 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA : 400 220 32.0 25.0 14,820 12,800 5,500
ARIZ : 66 48 90.0 94.0 5,580 5,940 4,512
ARK : 570 760 32.0 42.0 61,600 18,260 31,920
CALIF : 750 600 82.0 75.0 52,440 61,500 45,000
coLo : 3,450 2,900 39.0 34.0 110,400 134,550 98,600
DEL : 34 48.0 36.0 2,009 2,064 1,224
FLA Ws 130 100 33.0. 31.0 4,290 3,100
GA : 825 550 31.0 26.0 31,150 25,575 14,300
tDAHO : 870 850 53.0 63.0 56,700 46,110 53,550
TUL : 750 820 49.0 44.0 70,400 36,750 36,080
700 700 53.0 45.0 48,300 37,100 31,500
112 60 48.0 38.0 3,600 5,376 2,280
11,400 10,200 38.0 = 32.0 © 431,200 433,200 326, 400
310 270 «34.0 34.0 = 19,000 = 10, 540 9,180
210 210 34.0 «35.0 13,120 7,140 7,350
133 140 49.0 42.0 6,020 6,517 5,880
750 700 60.0 57.0 45,600 45,000 39,900
280 130 37.0 40.0 15,480 10,360 5,200
300 200 «31.0 «931.0 += -25,080 9,300 6,200
1,280 590 39.0 34.0 84,050 49,920 20,060
1,400 2,000 16.0 34.0 66,960 22,400 68,000
2,300 2,000 39.0 39.0 81,000 89,700 78,000
9 9 80.0 85.0 640 720 765
37 34 52.0 40.0 1,677 1,924 1,360
570 500 36.0. 22.0» 11,960 = 20,520 11, 000
145 155 58.0 552.0 7,820 8,410 8,060
760 460 29.0 30.0 26,660 22,040 13,800
450 480 35.0 40.0 22,000 15,750 19,200
950 1,050 62.0 46.0 48,400 58,900 48,300
5,500 5,200 30.0 29.0 190,800 165,000 150,800
960 900 54.0 58.0 51,840 52,200
210 220 48.0 44.0 10,080, 9,680
430 300 «29.0 27.0 12,470 8,100
1,520 1,780 29.0 42.0 44,080 74,760
250 325 32.0 34.0 8,000 11,050
5,850 4,800 32.0 24.0 187,200 115,200
220 32.0 32.0 7,040 7,200
285 37.0 38.0 10,545 6,840
2,400 48.0 50.0 115,200 105,000
8 43.0 35.0 344 315
140 55.0 57.0 7,700 7,410
230 5,060 8,250

47,953

7 ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

1,000 BUSHELS

1,250,597 531,370 278,299 408,801 103,439 22,271 2,594,777
1,230,075 368,026 229,094 460,262 112,510 24,798 2,424,765
1,040,168 291,418 221,420

/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT 5-YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. THE 5-YEAR VARIETAL

SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
2/ INDICATED JULY 1, 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-17 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF JULY 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based on acreage surveys
conducted around June 1 and yield surveys conducted around July 1. The
acreage estimates in this report include acres planted, harvested at the time
of the survey, and intended for harvesting later. The July 1 yield surveys
include mailed reports from farmers and actual field observations. Farmers
provided appraisals of crop conditions and probable yield information for
wheat on their farms and for their localities. Objective yield surveys
provided smatl plot observations, counts and measurements in a probability
sample of wheat fields. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling
type errors that are common to all surveys. More importantly, the production
forecasts are subject to change due to future weather effects and other
factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the winter wheat
production forecasts in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error", a
statistical measure based on past performance, is provided below. This is
computed by expressing the deviations between the July 1 production forecast
and the final estimate as a percent of the final estimate and averaging the
squared percentage deviations for the 1966-85 twenty-year period; the square
root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error".
Probability statements can be made concerning expected difference in the
current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that
factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those
influencing recent years.

The “Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production
forecast is 3.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the
current production forecast of 1.55 billion bushels will not be above or below
the final estimate by more than 3.1 percent or approximately 48.1 million
bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 5.4 percent or approximately 83.9 million bushels.
Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 35.6 million bushels, ranging
from 1 million to 54 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the
final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply that the July 1
winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-3 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


major producing States, except South Dakota and Wisconsin. Near the end of
April, cotton was 28 percent seeded in the 14 major producing States, a little
behind 1985, but 1 point in front of normal. Planting was ahead of, or
equaled, the norm in al) States, except California, Georgia, and South
Carolina. Dryness caused seeding delays in Georgia and South Carolina. The
11 major sorghum producing States seeded one-fourth of their acreage by the
end of April. Normally 22 percent would have been seeded. Seeding was
limited mostly to the South, but a few acres had been seeded in Missouri and
Oklahoma. Rice seeding progressed rapidly throughout the Delta and in Texas
during the month. On April 27, seeding was 56 percent finished, 18 points
ahead of normal. Seeding was almost finished in Mississippi and Texas but was
just beginning in California. Soybeans were planted as far north as
Pennsylvania on April 27. Seeding was just beginning in Georgia, Mississippi,
Ohio, and Virginia. Missouri's soybean acreage was 3 percent seeded compared
with 2 percent normally. Wetness delayed spring wheat seeding during most of
April, especially in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota. Twenty-two
percent of the acreage was seeded, 13 points behind normal. Planting Jagged
13, 26, and 35 points behind normal in North Dakota, Minnesota, and South
Dakota, respectively.

During May, rain slowed seeding in the northern Great Plains and northern
Rocky Mountain States while dryness hampered seeding and germination in the
Southeast. Dryness persisted in the Southeast and along much of the east
coast during most of May. Much needed moisture came to the Southeast the last
week of May. At the beginning of May, corn was 35 percent seeded, 10 points
ahead of normal but 9 points behind Ttast year. Within one week, planting
nearly doubled to 64 percent finished. Planting continued ahead of normal
throughout the month and was 94 percent finished on June 1, 5 points above the
average. Poor germination caused some replanting in the Corn Belt and in the
Southeast during the month. Corn was silking across the south and reached the
soft-dough stage in Texas, as the month ended. Soybeans were 56 percent
seeded on June 1, compared with 74 percent in 1985 and 54 percent normally.
Planting lagged behind normal in the Southeast and in a few Corn Belt States.
The 11 major sorghum producing States had planted 61 percent of their acreage
by the end of May, 7 points slower than in 1985 but 8 points faster than
average. Planting exceeded, or equaled, the average in all States, except
South Dakota and Texas. Wetness delayed planting in South Dakota and dryness
caused delays in Texas. South Dakota's sorghum was 24 percent seeded by
June 1, compared with the 42 percent average. Sorghum was turning color in
Texas. Cotton planting fell behind normal at mid-month and remained behind
normal the rest of the month. By June 1, 76 percent of the acreage was
planted, 6 points behind normal. Seeding was 10 points behind normal in
Alabama, 12 points behind in Texas and 15 points behind in Georgia. At
month's end, crop conditions varied from mostly good in the Delta and
Southwest to mostly fair in the Southeast. Cotton was poor to fair in
Missourt. Insects were becoming an increasing threat in Texas, Arkansas, and
Arizona. At the end of May, winter wheat was mostly good, except in the
Southeast, where conditions were mostly fair to good. The crop was 82 percent
headed in the 20 major producing States, 8 points ahead of average but 2
points behind last year. Wheat was 10 percent harvested in Oklahoma, 30
percent in Georgia, 54 percent in Louisiana, 55 percent in Arizona, and 34
percent harvested in Texas. Rain slowed spring wheat seeding the first half
of May but seeding progressed rapidly the last two weeks of May. Spring wheat
seeding began the month 24 points behind normal, As the month ended, seeding
was 95 percent finished, 2 points behind normal. Plants were emerged on 79
percent of the acreage. Rice was 97 percent seeded on June 1, 6 points above
normal. Ten percent of the rice acreage in California remained to be seeded
on that date. Rice was heading in Texas. Insufficient moisture caused peanut
planting to lag behind normal in the Southeast during May. By the end of May,
seeding in Alabama and Georgia was 65 and 87 percent finished, respectively.
Seeding was 33 points behind normal in Alabama and 9 points behind normal in
Georgia. Seeding was virtually complete in North Carolina and Virginia.

The percentage of major U.S. crop acreages planted by June 1 are shown
below:

ACREAGE PLANTED BY JUNE 2, U.S., 1982-86

CORN : 83 82 86 98 94
SORGHUM : 43 40 46 65 61
SOYBEANS 3 52 42 44 74 56
COTTON : 77 72 76 87 76
SPRING WHEAT : 87 96 98 100 95

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-4 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CLASS AND TYPE

: ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED

TYPES 11-14

FLA 6,100 5,800 2,675 2,500 17,920 16,318

GA 36,000 33,000 2,280 2,200 85,500 82,080

Nc 42,000 220,000 2,223 2,130 569,050 537,860

sc 43,000 40,000 2,300 2,150 105,515 98,900 86,000
vA 30,000 28,000 2,170 2,000 86,640 65,100 56,000
us 357,100 326,800 2,241 2,135 864,625 800,258 697,700

CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AUR-CURED

TYPE 31

tND 6,500 6,100

KY 170,000 145,000

mo 2,500 2,300

Nc 8,700 8,000

OHIO 7,100 6,800

TENN 49,000 43,000

vA 9,500 8,400

WA 1,800 1,800

us

ALL OTHER CLASSES

:

:

$255,100 221,400
AND TYPES :
:

SWEETPOTATOES

AREA PLANTED

1985

1,000 ACRES

=~

Ww SYLBUONUSSO=A®

2
@

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986

A-26

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


ACREAGE DATA SOURCES AND RELIABILITY

The acreage portion of this report is based on surveys conducted about
June 1 using a probability area frame survey with a sample of nearly 16,000
land area segments, a probability list sample in the 27 major producing States
of about 40,000 growers, and a mail survey with responses from about 30,000
growers in the other States. Data for some commodities are also obtained from
Processors. For the area frame survey, trained interviewers collect the data
by personal enumeration, accounting for all land area within the boundaries of
the sample segments and recording acreages devoted to each crop or use,
including intended acres for crops not fully planted. Growers responding
voluntarily to the mail and probability list surveys provide acreages for the
individual crops grown or intended to be grown on their farms.

These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that
are common to all surveys. Sampling variability is present because crop
acreages are obtained from only a sample of producers rather than from al}
producers. Non-sampling errors cannot be measured directly but may occur due
to mistakes in reporting and recording, data omissions or duplications, errors
in processing, and other reasons. To minimize non-sampling type errors,
rigorous quality controls are used in the data collection process, and all
reported and summary data are carefully reviewed for consistency and
reasonableness.

Sampling errors are for the probability area frame survey. Relative
standard errors are presented in the table below for some of the major crop
acreages at the U.S. level. Used as measure of survey reliability, a relative
standard error of 2 percent means chances are about 2 out of 3 that the survey
estimate will be within 2 percent of the complete coverage value if the same
procedures were used to survey all producers, or 9 chances in 10 that the
estimate will be within 3,3 percent of the complete coverage value. These
sampling errors provide some guidance as to the reliability of the data, but
cannot be applied directly to the acreages published in this report since the
Agricultural Statistics Board estimates represent a composite of information
from more than a single survey source.

RELATIVE SAMPLING ERRORS FOR U.S. PLANTED ACREAGES
NASS AREA FRAME SURVEY

JUNE 1986
CROP. SAMPLING ERROR-PERCENT
BARLEY... .. eee eee 3

CORN seessseeeeee
COTTON (UPLAND) . .
HAY, ALL (FOR HARVEST) .
OATS ...

SORGHUM sees
SOYBEANS ......
WHEAT - WINTER

DURUM .....-eeeee

FEES ISIE IF IO IO ITSO IG ICICI IOS TOTO IISA ITO IOI SS IA II IAI
* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were

* prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

*

*

*

*

*
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* Raymond R. Hancock, Chairperson, *
* L. Duane Jewell, Secretary, *
*APPROVE D: Rich OD. Allen, John D. Witzig, *
* Maurice E. Johnson, Larry E. Snipes, *
* Carrol D. Spencer, Robert L. Addison, *
* dames E. Brewster, Leland E. Brown, *
* Arvin R. Budge, Jerry 0. Campbell, *
* William C. Dobbs, William N. Dowdy, *
*! a S. Radley Edwards, William G. Hamlin, = #
* . - James G. Hand, Phillip R. H. Hardy, *
* n Craig M. Hayes, G. Douglas Hicks, *
* George W. Hill, Clifton D. James, *
* Doyle C. Johnson, Stephen A. Kellogg, *
* Gary A. Nelson, Steve J. Pscodna, *
* Darwin E. Ransom, Joseph P. Ross, *
* Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, Peter G. Truckor. *
* SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE *
JESSIE HIG SIC IOS SCIOTO IOS ICI IG IIA TOIT IIIT TATA O T AIO ISIS ITA II IOI OIA.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-2 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


INDEX

ACREAGES, 10 YEARS ..ceeceseeeevee Decne ence renee nsceceseseeeeeses eeeeee
APPLES, COMMERCIAL .... ees
AREA PLANTED, BY STATES, . aes
BARLEY ...ceeececceceeeeeee . eee

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE ..
CHERRIES .......
CITRUS FRUIT

CORN ..eseeee .
COTTON ....ccee ences .
CROP MOISTURE MAPS . .
FLAXSEED .....eeeeee .
HAY .. .

OATS ssceacveeees
PAPAYAS-HAWAIT ..
PEACHES .......

PEANUTS .
PEARS ...
POTATOES
RICE ...
RYE ..

SORGHUM .....
SOYBEANS ....

SUGARBEETS ......006 seeeeee
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED
SUNFLOWER ..sesecceeeesvscees

TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE .
TOBACCO, BY STATES .
US SUMMARY . :
WHEAT, ALL ....... . .
WHEAT, BY CLASSES
WHEAT, DURUM .......
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING
WHEAT, WINTER .....ceeeseeeeee seen eee ec ects eeneeeeeeeeeeeneeeeee seveeee

PAGE

14
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U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFPICE: 1986-l190-916 14O4W0/ES

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-16 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


FALL POTATOES: PERCENT OF ACREAGE PLANTED BY TYPE OF POTATOES,
11 MAJOR STATES, 1986 CROP

COLO 7 2 91 100
IDAHO 100 100
MAINE 68 32 100
MICH : 1 63 36 100
MINN 3 22 41 37 100
NY : 100 100
N DAK : 21 62 V7 100
OREG 3 100 100
PA 100 100
WASH : 100 100
WIS 2 13 31 56 100
11 STATE TOTAL: 6 27 67 100

1/ PREDOMINANT TYPE SHOWN MAY INCLUDE SMALL PORTION OF OTHER TYPE(S)
CONSTITUTING LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF STATE'S TOTAL.

FALL POTATOES: ACRES PLANTED FOR CERTIFIED SEED POTATOES, BY STATES 1/

1985 CROP 1986 CROP
STATE : ENTERED FOR : : PERCENT : ENTERED FOR
: CERTIFICATION : CERTIFIED : CERTIFIED  : CERTIFICATION

ACRES PERCENT ACRES
CALIF: 1,900 1,787 94 1,800
COLO : 14,132 11,901 84 12,000
IDAHO: 55,078 55,069 100 53,000
MAINE =: 33,357 30,763 92 27,000
MICH : 4,056 3,999 99 4,392
MINN : 25,614 24,025 94 21,636
MONT : 73629 7,629 100 7,321
NEBR : 6,097 5,506 90 4,393
NY 3 1,996 1,967 99 1,661
NDAK oo: 33,620 32,982 98 30,678
OREG : 5,417 4,885 90 4,200
PA : 549 549 100 370
S DAK: 1,281 1,241 97 1,280
UTAH : 367 tt 232 63 300
WASH : 2,260 2,260 100 2,000
WIS : 11,421 11,115 97 10,500
Wyo : 300 179 60 179
TOTAL : 205,074 196,089 96 182,710

1/ DATA SUPPLIED BY STATE SEED CERTIFICATION OFFICIALS.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-34 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


Planted area decreased in all States with North Dakota having the most
substantial acreage reduction, planting 890 thousand fewer acres than the
previous year. Planting was delayed by cool wet weather early in May but was
less than a week behind normal by June 1.

COTTON: United States planted area of all cotton is expected to total 9.67

million acres (3.91 million hectares), down 9 percent from 1985
plantings. Upland area is estimated at 9.57 million acres (3.87 million
hectares) and American-Pima at 98.0 thousand acres (39.7 thousand hectares).
By June 1, about 76 percent of the intended acreage was planted.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, South
Carolina), growers planted 774 thousand acres, down 3 percent from 1985.
Planting got off to a slow start in South Carolina due to fluctuating
temperatures and unusually low soil moisture. In North Carolina, although
behind last year, plantings were ahead of normal. Plantings in Alabama and

Georgia began about on schedule, but quickly fell behind due to drought
conditions throughout April and May.

Area planted to cotton in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana,
Mississippi, Missouri, Tennessee) is estimated at 2.58 million acres, down 3
percent from last year. Planting was slightly ahead of normal in this region
as of June 1 and the condition of the crop ranged from mostly poor in Missouri
to fair to good in other States. Heavy rains during the last half of May in
Missouri resulted in some abandonment,

Oklahoma and Texas Upland acreage is estimated at 4.87 million acres, 9
percent below 1985. Planting in Oklahoma was behind last year and normal, due
to heavy spring rains and cool temperatures causing replanting three times in
some areas. In Texas, cotton planting got off to a good start in March and
was ahead of schedule for a while, but was delayed by rain in the Blacklands
and dry weather first, then heavy rains in west Texas.

Upland growers in the Western States (Arizona, California, New Mexico)
planted 1.33 million acres, down 24 percent from 1985. Planting was complete
in California by dune 1 and was almost complete in Arizona, while New Mexico
plantings were behind last year.

HAY: Growers expect to harvest 61.1 million acres (24.7 million hectares) of
all hay during 1986. This is 1 percent more than the 60.6 million acres
(24.5 million hectares) harvested last year.

Area of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures for harvest is estimated at 26.2
million acres (10.6 million hectares), up 2 percent from the 25.7 million
acres (10.4 million hectares) harvested last year. States with the largest
acreage are: Wisconsin--3.15 million acres--up 2 percent from last year;
South Dakota--2.20 million acres--up 16 percent; and Minnesota--1.95 million
acres--up 7 percent.

All other hay area for harvest in 1986 is estimated at 34.9 million acres
(14.1 million hectares), virtually unchanged from 1985. States with the
largest acreage are: Texas--3.10 million acres--down 6 percent; Missouri--3.08
miliion acres--up 4 percent; and South Dakota--1.90 million acres--up 19
percent.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Dry bean planted area is set at 1.72 million acres (698

thousand hectares), 9 percent above last year and 15 percent
above two years ago. Major States showing increases include Michigan,
Nebraska, North Dakota, Colorado, and Idaho. Eight States have acreage
increases; five planted fewer acres. Area for harvest is forecast at 1.66
million acres (671 thousand hectares), a gain of 12 percent from Yast year and
14 percent above 1984,

Michigan farmers cut back from earlier plans, but should have 14 percent
more dry bean planted area than last year. Planting was 80 percent completed
by June 22 and was expected to be finished by early July. Heavy June rains
caused some fields to have "dead spots". In North Dakota, planting started
late but caught up by the end of May. Planted acreage gained 12 percent from
last year. Nebraska planting was virtually complete by June 25. Considerable
rainfall the last week in May resulted in some replanting but the moisture
generally helped germination. Nebraska farmers planted 34 percent more dry
eans this year than last. Idaho growers increased acreage 13 percent this
year. High prices from 1985 dry beans helped encourage the increase.
Colorado planting was delayed by wet fields and was still behind normal in
mid-June. Acreage is expected to be up 2 percent from last year and the crop
is rated mostly good.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 B-9 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CROP
AND
STATE

PEACHES

ALA

ARK

CAL 1 F-FREESTONE
COLO
CONN 2/
DEL 2/
GA

IDAHO 2/
VEL

IND 2/
KANS 2/
ky 2/
LA 2/
MD

MASS 2/
MICH
MISS 2/
MO 2/
NJ

NY

NC

OHIO 2/
OKLA 2/
OREG 2/
PA

sc
TENN 2/
TEX

UTAH 2/
VA

WASH
WeVA

TOTAL ABOVE

CLINGSTONE 3/
CALIF

ALL
us

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS

N

NUN ANON
CODDDDDSCROO~NOOSCSOSOOWOOOWNOMNOON

es

hou
MOPNWOOURO WHOM o

SUWUWAN = DOs

1,617.3

1,042.0
2,659.3

INDICATED
1986
MILLION POUNDS

1.5 6.0
5.0 8.0
486.0 460.0
15.0 6.5
3.0 3.0
1.2 2.1
90.0 105.0
11.0 10.0
4/ 20.0

4/ 4.0
3.5 4.5
4 4.0
6.5 al
1.0 21.0
2.1 2.1
55.0 45.0
2.5 3
4/ 13.0
95.0 105.0
17.5 16.8
2.0 25.0
4/ 2.5
8.0 7.0
15.5 13.0
40.0 100.0
230.0 280.0
4/ 5.0
30.0 10.0
11.0 11.5
2.0 32.0
29.0 38.0
4/ 22.0
1,163.3 1,382.4
985.0 930.0
2,148.3 2,312.4

UNITED STATES, EXCLUDING CALIF CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1984-115.4; 1985-33.4.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ CALIF CLINGSTONE 1S OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY

DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS):

1984-76.0; 1985-67.5.

4/ NO SIGNIFICANT COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION DUE TO FROST.

CROP PRODUCTION,

JULY 1986

A-29

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


ALA ’ 370 340 325 300
ARIZ : 29 25 21 17
ARK 3 80 90 73 85
CALIF 3 550 500 320 270
COLO 3 875 820 745 700
CONN 3 67 64 0 0
DEL 185 180 175 170
FLA 2 240 240 190 190
GA : 1,080 900 975 830
IDAHO t 175 130 80 55
ILL : 11,600 10,500 11,370 10,300
IND : 6,300 6,000 6,150 5,850
1OWA : 13,900 12,300 13,550 12,000
KANS 2 1,200 1,450 1,080 1,250
KY 8 1,740 1,730 1,560 1,570
LA Hy 220 450 205 430
MAINE : 44 41 0 0
MD H 745 700 640 610
MASS 3 46 43 0 0
MICH 3 3,100 2,900 2,730 2,500
MINN & 7,300 6,400 6,300 5,800
MISS : 160 210 115 170
MO : 2,600 2,550 2,480 2,400
MONT : 84 80 "1 10
NEBR 7,800 7,200 7,450 6,850
NH 28 27 0 0
NJ 3 140 135 114 105
N MEX : 92 80 65 50
NY : 1,380 1,220 720 640
nc 2 1,820 1,600 1,625 1,420
N DAK 3 1,000 880 560 600
OHIO 3 4,250 3,900 4,030 3,700
OKLA 3 80 70 58 50
OREG 3 70 65 40 35
PA Fy 1,780 1,670 1,380 1,340
RI : 4 4

sc : 560 550 520 510
S DAK : 3,510 3,200 3,000 2,700
TENN : 950 910 810 770
TEX : 1,550 1,350 1,490 1,250
UTAH : 80 72 16 16
VT : 110 105 0 0
vA H 740 710 550 510
WASH : 190 170 135 120
WeVA 2 110 95 73 75
wis H 4,300 3,900 3,350 3,100
WYO 3 114 90 53 48
us 3 83,348 76,646 75,134 69,396

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-13 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA




BARLEY

AREA PLANTED 1/
STATE Poca e cen n nnn ne aerate

1,000 ACRES
ARIZ : 67 32 62 31
CALIF : 500 470 420 400
COLO : 360 390 340 370
DEL : 63 55 57 50
IDAHO H 1,280 1,140 1,240 1,110
KANS 2 190 390 170 350
KY 3 32 25 26 20
MD 3 103 90 96 82
MICH Hy 39 50 38 48
MINN A 1,200 1,200 1,075 1,000
MONT : 2,350 2,400 1,500 2,300
NEBR : 145 190 120 170
NEV z 40 40 37 37
NJ 3 21 29 17 16
N MEX : 18 22 15 18
NC : 78 53 66 47
N DAK : 3,500 3,700 3,350 3,650
OKLA z 70 65 50 50
OREG 3 360 375 350 365
PA 3 75 70 70 65
sc 3 36 24 32 21
S DAK 3 780 900 720 870
TEX 3 70 70 50 50
UTAH 3 172 165 159 155
VA 2 130 90 100 75
WASH : 1,200 950 1,180 920
Wis 3 57 95 53 85
WYO : 170 168 160 160
3 13,106 13,248 11,553

1/ INCLUDES AREA PLANTED IN PRECEDING FALL.

CROP PRODUCTION, JULY 1986 A-16 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA