ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY
PRODUCTION

3 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS

ARIZ : 145 155 7.10 7.70 1,008 1,030 1,194
ARK z 42 30 2.60 2.70 88 109 81
CALIF 3 1,030 1,080 6.50 6.60 6,630 6,695 7,128
COLO : 820 725 3.30 3.20 2,387 2,706 2,320
CONN : 24 22 2.60 2.65 62 62 58
DEL 3 7 8 3.90 3.00 26 27 24
IDAHO 3 1,020 1,060 3.50 3.70 3,938 3,570 3,922
ILL : 800 630 4.10 4.10 3,040 3,280 2,583
{ND 3 410 430 3.90 4.10 1,554 1,599 1,763
lOWA 8 1,550 1,610 3.75 3.90 6,600 5,813 6,279
KANS : 1,010 1,000 3.90 3.70 3,264 3,939 3,700
KY : 250 255 3.60 3.10 736 900 791
LA : 15 15 2.60 2.50 29 39 38
MAINE 8 26 24 2.60 2.65 70 68 64
MD 75 78 4.00 2.65 296 300 207
MASS : 30 28 2.90 2.95 84 87 83
MICH 1,400 1,400 3.60 4.10 4,620 5,040 5,740
MINN 2 1,825 1,950 3.30 3.80 6,460 6,023 7,410
MO : 450 370 3.00 3.00 1,238 1,350 1,110
MONT 3 950 1,300 1.80 2.30 2,415 1,710 2,990
NEBR 3 1,400 1,300 3.40 3.40 5,280 4,760 4,420
NEV Hy 235 230 4.10 4.10 940 964 943
NH 3 20 16 2.90 3.00 53 58 48
NJ 3 43 43 3.90 3.50 167 168 151
N MEX 2 250 240 5.20 5.20 1,326 1,300 1,248
NY : 930 840 2.80 2.90 2,726 2,604 2,436
NC z 45 30 2.60 2.00 104 117 60
N DAK : 1,500 1,550 1.40 2.30 2,713 2,100 3,565
OHIO 2 700 750 4.00 3.90 2,220 2,800 2,925
OKLA 2 400 410 3.90 3.70 1,156 1,560 1,517
OREG 3 450 480 4.05 4.05 1,825 1,823 1,944
PA 2 840 840 3.30 3.20 2,688 2,772 2,688
Rt : 3 3 2.70 2.70 8 8 8
S DAK : 1,900 2,200 1.70 2.30 5,704 3,230 5,060
TENN 2 120 100 3.80 2.20 450 456 220
TEX : 190 170 4.70 4.40 855 893 748
UTAH 3 460 460 3.90 3.70 1,880 1,794 1,702
VT 3 120 100 2.50 2.60 288 300 260
VA : 88 93 3.00 2.00 264 264 186
WASH 3 450 430 3.90 4.20 2,043 1,755 1,806
WeVA 3 110 110 3.00 2.80 280 330 308
Wis 3 3,100 3,150 3.20 3.60 11,340 9,920 11,340
WYO : 440 470 2.20 2.50 1,250 968 1,175
us 2 85,291

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-20 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


APPLES: The Nation's apple forecast, at 7.85 billion pounds (3.56 million

metric tons), is 2 percent more than the July 1 forecast but 1
percent less than 1985 production. The increase in Washington from July 1
more than offset any declines in other States.

Production in the Eastern States is forecast at 3.05 billion pounds, down
1 percent from July 1 and 4 percent from last year. Decreased prospects in
New Jersey, Maryland and North Carolina more than offset increased prospects
in Connecticut and Rhode Island. The effects of the drought are beginning to
become apparent in Maryland and North Carolina while the impact of frost
damage is becoming more evident in New Jersey. Apples are sizing well in New
York. Growing conditions were generally favorable in Pennsylvania, where
disease and insect problems have been minimal. Harvest is ahead of last year
in Virginia, with about 18 percent of the crop havested.

The crop in the Central States, forecast at 1.06 billion pounds, is
virtually unchanged from July 1 and 35 percent less than 1985. The forecasts
for Illinois and Missouri are down from July 1 while the Ohio and Wisconsin
forecasts are up. Hot weather slowed sizing of fruit in Illinois. In
Missouri, the extent of the freeze damage is now evident. Harvest of early
varieties is winding down in Michigan. Quality is good in the early
varieties. Timely rains helped increase fruit size.

The Western States expect 3.74 billion pounds, up 5 percent from July 1?
and 19 percent more than 1985. Increased production prospects in Washington
and Oregon more than offset declines in California. Apples sized extremely
well in Washington during July. Orchardists are anticipating good size and
shape for the red delicious crop. The golden delicious crop is spotty because
of an unfavorable set.

PEACHES: Production is forecast at 2.28 billion pounds (1.03 million metric

tons), down 2 percent from July 1 but up 6 percent from 1985.
Excluding California Clingstone peaches, the U.S. crop is forecast at 1.35
billion pounds (611 thousand metric tons), down 3 percent from July 1 but up
16 percent from last year.

California Clingstone crop, at 930 million pounds (422 thousand metric
tons), is the same as the July 1 forecast but 6 percent below 1985
Production. The crop was about half picked by August 1.

California's Freestone forecast of 460 million pounds is the same as July
1 but is 5 percent less than last year. The crop was approximately 80 percent
picked by August 1, about 10 days ahead of normal fruit quality has been good.

South Carolina's forecast of 250 million pounds is down 11 percent from
duly 1 but is 9 percent above last year's crop. Dry, hot weather has
continued to hurt the crop, by reducing the size of the fruit. Harvest was
around 85 percent complete by August 1. In New Jersey, harvest of early
varieties is one week ahead of normal, while mid-season harvest began about
August 1. Rain during July was beneficial to the crop. Both fruit size and
quality are good. The Pennsylvania peach crop is in very good condition, with
harvest running about 10 days ahead of normal.

PEARS: The production forecast of 723.5 thousand tons (656 thousand metric
tons) is up 1 percent from July 1, but down 3 percent from last year.

Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
463 thousand tons (420 thousand metric tons), up 1 percent from Juty 1 but
down 1 percent from last year. The California crop is in good condition.
Harvest is nearly 60 percent complete statewide but is complete in the
Sacramento River District. Sugar levels are reported to be good. There are
some problems with russetting and "limb rub". Harvest has begun in the
Medford area of Oregon. Fruit sizes have been smaller than desired. Part of
the fruit in the Hood River Valley is of good size and quality while other
fruit shows considerable marking. The Willamette Valley crop is about
normal. Picking is expected to begin the first week of August in Washington.
Good volumes is expected by mid-August.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-10 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



Yields in the upper midwest generally increased from a year ago.
Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Wisconsin are
forecasting higher yields for 1986. All other States are reporting yield
reductions except South Dakota and Texas, which are unchanged, and Louisiana,
up 1 bushel from last year's difficult-to-harvest crop. Decreases from 1985
yields are: Alabama, 10.0 bushels; Georgia and Tennessee, both 9.0 bushels;
Arkansas, 8.5 bushels; Virginia, 7.0 bushels; Kentucky and South Carolina,
both 6.0 bushels.

Yield increased in 8 States, decreased in 19 States, and remained
unchanged in 2 States from the previous year.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 3.55 billion pounds (1.61 million metric

tons), down 14 percent from last year and 19 percent from the record
high crop of 1984. Harvested area is estimated at 1.47 million acres (596
thousand hectares) less than_a one half of 1 percent increase from 1985 but
down 4 percent from 1984. This year's yield is expected to average 2414
pounds per acre, a drop of 396 pounds from Yast year and 464 pounds below the
record high yield of 2878 pounds set in 1984,

Production in the southeastern states (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina) is expected to total 2.36 billion pounds, down 14 percent from
last year. Growers expect to harvest 945 thousand acres, 8 percent above a
year ago. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 2499 pounds per
acre, 650 pounds below last year. The much publicized drought and record high
temperatures in the area have taken its toll on yields. Scattered showers
during the end of July did little to relieve the drought stressed condition of
the crop.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 648 million pounds, down
12 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 230 thousand
acres, down 8 percent from 1985. This year's yield is expected to average
2819 pounds per acre, down 124 pounds from last year. Despite dry conditions
in the area, growers remain optimistic for a good crop.

The Southwest crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total
543 million pounds, down 13 percent from 1985. Area harvested is expected to
reach 297 thousand acres, down 13 percent from last year. Yields should
average 1828 pounds per acre, 10 pounds below last year. Growing conditions
thus far in 1986 have been favorable for the peanut crop.

COTTON: Production is forecast for the 1986 season at 10.7 million bales, a

decrease of 21 percent from the 1985 crop. The forecast is for 10.5
million bates of Upland and 199 thousand bales of American-Pima. Excluding
the 1983 PIK crop, the 1986 crop is the lowest since 1976.

Planted area of 9.59 million acres (3.88 million hectares) is 10 percent
lower than last year and growers expect to harvest 8.94 million acres (3.62
million hectares}, down 13 percent from last year. Expected yield per
harvested acre is 573 pounds, 57 pounds below last year's record high yield.

In Texas and Oklahoma, Upland production is forecast at 3.16 million
bales, a decrease of 25 percent from last year. Texas harvest is in full
swing in the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley and should soon begin in
southcentral Texas. Hot, dry conditions during July caused rapid maturity and
bolls are opening fast. On the Plains, dryland cotton needs moisture but
irrigated acreage is looking good. In Oklahoma, the hot, dry conditions
during late duly caused stress on dryland cotton. However, these conditions
have been favorable for irrigated cotton.

The crop in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri
and Tennessee) is forecast at 3.50 million bales, 6 percent below last year.
Due to hot, dry weather in the area since the end of June, condition of the
crop in most States at the end of July was fair to good. However in Louisiana
and Mississippi, condition ranged from very poor in some areas to excellent in
others.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-6 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA





WINTER WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED : 3 PRODUCTION

2 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ALA t 400 220 32.0 25.0 14,820 12,800 5,500
ARIZ 1/2 66 48 90.0 94.0 5,580 5,940 4,512
ARK : 570 815 32.0 42.0 61,600 18,240 34,230
CALIF : 750 600 82.0 75.0 52,440 61,500 45,000
COLO z 3,450 2,900 39.0 34.0 110,400 134,550 98,600
DEL 1/ 43 34 48.0 36.0 2,009 2,064 1,224
FLA 1/2/ ¢ 130 100 33.0 31.0 4,290 3,100
L GA 2 825 550 31.0 26.0 31,150 25,575 14,300
IDAHO : 870 850 53.0 60.0 56,700 46,110 51,000
HLL : 750 820 49.0 44.0 70,400 36,750 36,080
'ND : 700 700 53.0 42.0 48,300 37,100 29,400
1OWA 1/ 3 112 60 48.0 38.0 3,600 5,376 2,280
KANS 3 11,400 10,200 38.0 32.0 431,200 433,200 326,400
ky : 310 270 34.0 34.0 19,000 10,540 9,180
LA i 210 210 34.0 35.0 13,120 7,140 7,350
MD / 3 133 140 49.0 42.0 6,020 6,517 5,880
MICH 750 700 60.0 48.0 45,600 45,000 33,600
- MINN 1/ 280 130 37.0 40.0 15,480 10,360 5,200
MISS : 300 200 31.0 31.0 25,080 9,300 6,200
MO : 1,280 590 39.0 32.0 84,050 49,920 18,880
MONT : 1,400 2,000 16.0 34.0 66,960 22,400 68,000
NEBR t 2,300 2,000 39.0 39.0 81,000 89,700 78,000
NEV V7 3 9 9 80.0 85.0 640 720 765
NJ WV : 37 34 52.0 40.0 1,677 1,924 1,360
N MEX 1/ 570 500 36.0 22.0 11,960 20,520 11,000
NY I/ o¢ 145 155 58.0 52.0 7,820 8,410 8,060
nC : 760 460 29.0 30.0 26,660 22,040 13,800
N DAK 1/ : 450 480 35.0 40.0 22,000 15,750 19,200
OHIO 2 950 1,050 62.0 46.0 48,400 58,900 48,300
OKLA 3 5,500 5,200 30.0 29.0 190,800 165,000 150,800
OREG : 960 900 54.0 58.0 66,150 51,840 52,200
PA V/ 2 210 220 48.0 44.0 8,360 10,080 9,680
sc 1/3 430 300 29.0 27.0 14,440 12,470 8,100
S DAK : 1,520 1,780 29.0 36.0 61,200 44,080 64,080
TENN : 250 325 32.0 34.0 21,400 8,000 11,050
TEX : 5,850 4,800 32.0 24.0 150,000 187,200 115,200
UTAH 1/ 220 225 32.0 32.0 6,435 7,040 7,200
VA : 285 180 37.0 38.0 12,375 10,545 6,840
WASH 3 2,400 2,100 48.0 50.0 148,800 115,200 105,000
WVA 1/ Hy 8 9 43.0 35.0 400 344 315
wis If 140 130 55.0 57.0 8,960 7,700 7,410
wo 1/  : 230 250 22.0 33.0 7,280 5,060 8,250
us : 47,953 43,244 38.1 35.4 2,060,266 1,827,195 1,532,526

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-14 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND

TYPE ~ CONTINUED

CLASS AND TYPE

CLASS 3, A1R-CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT
KY
TENN
us
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT
KY
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED
BELT

VA
TOTAL 35-37
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF
PA
TYPE 42-44 OHIO=-MIAMI
VALLEY TYPES
OHIO 2/
TOTAL 41-44 2/
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER
CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY
BINDER
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY
BROADLEAF
CONN
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY
HAVANA SEED
MASS
TOTAL 51-52
CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS
Wis
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS
WIs
TOTAL 54-55
TOTAL 51-55
CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER
TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY
SHADE~GROWN
CONN
MASS
us
ALL CIGAR TYPES
TOTAL 41-61
ALL TOBACCO 1/

1,000

130
1,130

3,900

4,300
8,200
9,330

1,000
360
1,360

19,510
688,020

3,200
900
4,100

1,900

7,600

500
8,100

1,000

130
1,130

3,300

3,400
6,700
7,830

980
350
1,330

17,260
615,310

2,050
2,090
2,058

1,950

2,050
1,959

POUNDS

1,750
1,600
1,717

1,800

1,000
1,725

1,940

1,900
1,938

8,405
2,299
10,704

4,485

230
15,419

15,600

1,681
17,281

1,800

255
2,055

9,497

8,063
17,560
19,615

1,515
526
2,041

38,937
1,511,220

1,000 POUNDS

5,600
1,440
7,040

3,420

150
10,610

14,744

950
15,694

1,700

254
1,954

7,590

6,630
14,220
16,174

1,401
504
1,905

33,773
1,195,119

1/1985 REVISED.

2/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPES GROWN IN OHIO.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986

A-24

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


Other than Bartlett pears are forecast at 220 thousand tons (200 thousand
metric tons), up 2 percent from July 1 but 9 percent less than the 1985 crop.
The California crop remains in very good condition. Quality and size are
excellent. Harvest is in full swing for many varieties. Picking should start
about mid-August in Oregon. The crop is about two weeks ahead of normal in
the Medford area. Prospects are varied the Hood River Valley. In Washington,
the fruit sized well with the cooler than normal weather.

A large crop of excellent quality is expected in Michigan. In New York,
bartlett harvest is active. Yields have been excellent.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 4.94 million tons (4.48 million
metric tons), 12 percent below last year and 5 percent less than 1984.

The California grape crop is expected to total 4.45 million tons, 14
percent lower than 1985 and 5 percent below 1984. The forecast is based on
the results of an objective measurement survey conducted last month including
raisin, table, and wine varieties. The raisin varfety crop forecast is 1.90
million tons, 5 percent less than the July 1 forecast and 23 percent below
last year. The 1986 harvest of raisin variety grapes got underway in late
duly, one of the earliest starts of record. Like most California fruit
commodities this season, maturity was nearly two weeks ahead of normal. Early
reports of average yields indicate that the crop is picking out light. Berry
sizes are smaller than average and bunches are loose in many vineyards.
Powdery mildew has been a continuing problem for many growers this year and has
contributed to the smaller crop size. Hot, above normal temperatures the
first week of August have restricted berry growth in the San Joaquin Vatley.
Approximately 50.0 thousand acres of Thompson seedless grapes are enrolled in
the raisin industry diversion program and will not produce a crop in 1986. An
additional 5.10 thousand acres will not be harvested due to pullouts and
abandonment before the 1986 harvest. The remaining bearing acreage for
harvest in 1986 stands at 231 thousand acres.

The forecast of California table variety grapes is 550 thousand tons,
unchanged from the July 1 forecast but 5 percent below last year. The
objective measurement survey showed 3.30 thousand acres of bearing age grapes
would not be harvested because of abandonment or preharvest pullouts. The
August forecast is based on 81.0 thousand bearing acres. By the first week of
August over one-third of the table grapes being shipped for fresh market had
been harvested. Picking was running approximately two weeks ahead of the
normal pace. .

Numerous table grape vineyards have experienced more mildew problems than
normal. Additional pruning and dusting with sulfur have been required to
combat the fungus. Wineries in the San Joaquin Valley began ‘crushing grapes
in late July. Crushing of table varieties will accelerate by the 15th of
August. Splitting of berries was reported in a number of Flame Seedless
vineyards in the San Joaquin Valley.

The forecast for California wine variety grapes is 2.00 million tons, up 8
percent from the initial forecast on July 1 but 7 percent below 1985
production. Harvest of wine grapes began in late July. Maturity of the crop
has been well ahead of normal during the entire growing season and this is one
of the earliest harvests ever recorded. Powdery mildew has been a serious
probem for growers. Extra measures have been required (sulfur treatments,
special pruning, etc.) to keep the fungus under control. Harvest progress was
beginning to accelerate during the first week of August and most major San
Joaquin Valley wineries were expected to be in operation by August 10th.
Based on the objective measurement survey completed in July, an estimated 20.6
thousand acres of wine grapes will not be harvested in 1986 due to pullouts
and abandonment. The acreage that will be harvested is estimated at 300.
thousand acres.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-11 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE

PRODUCTION

cROP
AND SINDICATED! == two nnn nnn nnan een nee eee
UNIT : 1986 1985 duL 1 AUG 1,
1986 : 1986
: 1,000
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 118.0 120.4 8,865,006 8,316,156
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " 66.7 63.7 1,112,571 860,034
OATS "oo: 63.6 58.8 518,626 443,183
BARLEY "3 51.0 52.2 §89,183 650,046
ALL WHEAT 3 37.5 35.5 2,424,765 2,164,738
WINTER soos 38.1 35.4 1,827,195 1,553,026 1,532,526
DURUM "3 36.4 36.1 112,510 101,774
OTHER SPRING "og 35.4 35.7 485,060 530,438
RICE CWT 1/: 5,437 5,368 136,042 125,247
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS BU =: 34.1 32.9 2,098,531 1,979,468
PEANUTS FOR NUTS LB: 2,810 2,414 = 4,122,787 3,552,750
ALL COTTON BALE 1/: 630 573 13,432.2 10,676.4
UPLAND "1/2 628 569 13,277.1 10,477.4
AMER-PIMA "tf: agt 952 155.7 .
COTTONSEED TON : 5,279 4,205
ALL HAY « 2.46 2.52 148,959 153,408
ALFALFA « 3.32 3.52 85,291 92,243
ALL OTHER "3 1.83 1.76 63,668 61,165
ORY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1/: 1,498 1,577 22,268 25,950
SUMMER POTATOES CWT : 244 218 27,794 21,946 215811
TOBACCO LB 2,196 1,942 1,511,220 1,195,119
SUGARBEETS TON 20.5 20.5 22,636 25,032
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED ® 36.6 37.2 28,213 29,850
HOPS LB 1,769 1,810 49,713 455245
PASTURE AND
RANGE FEED 2/ PCT 70 76
APPLES, COM'L LB 7,949,000 7,687,000 7,845,000
PEACHES ® 2,148,300 2,312,400 2,277,400
PEARS TON 746.9 714.5 723.5
GRAPES « 5,604.7 4,935.5
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) . 50.7 46.5
WALNUTS (CALIF) * 219.0 195.0 195.0
OLIVES (CALIF) . 96.0 100.0
1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF

MONTH. THE 1975~84 AVERAGE IS 75 PERCENT.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE

CROP AND UNIT INDICATED INDICATED
1985 1986 1/ 1985 1986 1/
POTATOES
WINTER cwT 204 231 2,691 2,843
SPRING " 264 261 22,986 19,763
FALL “ 306 350,285
SWEET CHERRIES. TON 132.9 128.5
TART CHERRIES LB 286,200 186,000
APRICOTS TON 131.5 69.1
NECTARINES (CALIF) “ 211.0 195.0
PLUMS (CALIF) “ 166.5 130.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF)* 139.0 100.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB 465,000 265,000

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-5 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



Sorghum development ended the month of July ahead of last year, with
heading 62 percent finished by August 3 compared with 48 percent last year and
45 percent normally. Heading, however, lagged behind last year in Mississippi,
Oklahoma, South Dakota, and Texas. Harvest has been underway in Texas and was
44 percent complete by August 3 compared with 36 percent last year and 41
percent average.

OATS: Production is forecast at 443 million bushels (6.43 million metric

tons), down 15 percent from last year and 6 percent below the 1984 pro-
duction. The 1986 production is the smallest production in the 20th century.
Area harvested for grain, at 7.54 million acres (3.05 million hectares) is 8
percent below both of the past two years and is the smallest acreage harvested
since estimates were started in 1866. Average yield is forecast at 58.8
bushels per acre, down 4.8 bushels from the record high set last year. This
year's yield is the second highest of record, and 0.8 of a bushel above 1984's
yield.

Yields were down sharply from last year in the Southeastern States,
reflecting the dry spring and summer in that area while lower yields in
midwestern States reflect low quality and test weights caused by diseases.

BARLEY: The first forecast of 1986 Production indicates a record high U.S.

crop of 650 million bushels (14.2 million metric tons), 10 percent
above last year's total of 589 million bushels (12.8 million metric tons) and
8 percent above the previous record high of 599 million bushels (13.0 mitlion
metric tons) set in 1984. Average yield is forecast at 52.2 bushels per acre,
2 percent higher than last year's yield but well below the record high yield
of 57.2 bushels per acre set in 1982. Area harvested and to be harvested is
expected to total 12.5 million acres (5.04 million hectares), 8 percent above
last year and the highest harvested acreage total since 1961.

As of August 1, harvest was just getting under way in the major production
areas of the northern plains, was progressing well in other parts of the west
to midwest, and was about wrapped up in the east.

Production is expected to be up 207 percent from last year's drought
stricken crop in Montana---the Nation's second largest producing State, and up
9 percent in North Dakota-~--the largest producer. Montana experienced wet,
cool weather during July which limited crop progress but the crop is rated
good. North Dakota reports excessive moisture in major growing areas, leading
to some disease problems, but otherwise excellent conditions. Idaho,
Minnesota and Washington, ranking third, fourth and fifth, are showing
production declines from 1985. Idaho's acreage is off from last year,
bringing production down 6 percent. Minnesota yields and acreage are off,
drawing production down 10 percent, In Washington, dry June weather coupled
with sharply lower acreage is holding production down 27 percent from last
year.

ALL WHEAT: Total production is forecast at 2.16 billion bushels (58.9 million

metric tons), down 11 percent from 1985. Harvested area for
grain, at 60.9 milttion acres (24.6 mittion hectares), is off 6 percent from a
year ago. Yields are expected to average 35.5 bushels per acre, 2.0 bushels
in less than 1985.

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 1.53 billion bushels (41.7 million

metric tons), 16 percent less than last year and 1 percent less
than the July 1 forecast. Area for grain harvest is 43.2 million acres (17.5
million hectares), down 10 percent from 1985.

Yields average 35.4 bushels per acre, 2.7 bushels below a year ago and 0.6
of a bushel below July 1, 1986. This would be the lowest winter wheat yield
since 1978.

Harvest had progressed to 91 percent completion in the 20 major producing
States by August 3, slightly ahead of average. Most of the remaining activity
will be in the Pacific Northwest where progress is well ahead of the 5-year
averages.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-4 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


ALL OTHER HAY

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

: 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,006 TONS
ALA : 700 500 2.20 1.00 1,360 1,540 500
ARIZ : 22 22 3.60 4.50 100 79 99
ARK 3 950 920 1.80 1.70 1,471 1,710 1,564
CALIF : 540 600 2.40 2.50 1,224 1,296 1,500
COLO 625 600 1.50 1.45 924 938 870
CONN 66 69 1.85 2.00 150 122 138
DEL 15 16 2.10 1.90 30 32 30
FLA 240 240 2.60 2.60 696 624 624
GA 495 400 2.50 1.30 1,320 1,238 520
IDAHO 300 320 1.70 2.00 805 510 640
TLL 360 470 2.20 2.20 840 792 1,034
IND 385 390 2.30 2.30 7390 886 897
1OWA 600 750 2.20 2.40 1,250 1,320 1,800
KANS 1,700 1,600 1.80 1.80 2,635 3,060 2,880
KY 1,600 1,600 2.00 1.80 2,610 3,200 2,880
LA 305 285 2.30 2.30 787 702 656
MAINE 196 196 1.80 1.85 340 353 363
MD 155 162 2.35 2.00 338 364 324
MASS 91 95 2.10 2.40 216 191 228
MICH 350 370 1.90 2.10 665 665 777
MINN 900 1,000 2.20 2.40 1,980 1,980 2,400
MISS 650 550 2.00 2.00 1,292 1,309 1,100
MO 2,950 3,080 1.75 1.60 5,100 5,1ES 4,928
MONT 1,000 950 1.05 1.35 1,365 1,050 1,283
NEBR 1,900 1,850 1.05 1.20 2,415 1,995 2,220
NEV 260 310 1.30 1.40 406 338 434
NH 68 69 2.15 2.10 148 146 145
Nd 75 77 2.20 2.15 150 165 166
N MEX 80 80 1.70 4.70 162 136 136
NY 1,300 1,320 2.05 2.10 2,640 2,665 2,772
NC 370 380 1.70 1.35 629 629 513
N DAK 1,450 1,350 1.15 1.50 1,755 1,668 2,025
OHIO 750 750 2.40 2.20 1,575 1,800 1,650
OKLA 1,700 1,550 1.90 1.80 2,400 3,230 2,790
OREG 630 680 1.85 1.95 1,287 1,166 1,326
PA 1,150 1,160 2.20 2.20 2,394 2,530 2,552
RI 7 6 1,85 2.00 15 13 12
sc 205 200 2.40 1.00 529 492 200
S DAK 1,600 1,900 1.00 1.20 2,379 1,600 2,280
TENN 1,500 1,280 1,80 1.05 2,228 2,700 1,344
TEX 3,310 3,100 2.20 2.10 4,560 7,282 6,510
UTAH 145 155 2.00 2.00 280 290 310
VT 325 335 2.00 2.00 650 650 670
VA 920 970 1.50 1.10 1,552 1,380 1,067
WASH 350 340 2.40 2.70 878 840 918
WVA 500 480 1.80 1.70 848 900 816
Wis 500 530 2.40 2.60 1,430 1,200 1,378
WYO 590 640 1.25 1.40 945 738 896
us 34,880 34,697 1.83 1.76 60,543 63,668 61,165

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-21 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


APPLES,

=z
5

4
m
z
z
w
N

COMMERCIAL 1/

1/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES.
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD

(MILLION POUNDS): UNITED STATES 1984-14.9,1985-87.7.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

AREA HARVESTED

IND

CALIF 2/

IDAHO 3.1 2.5
OREG 5.5 5.1
WASH 19.5 17.4
us 28.1 25.0

POUNDS
1,630 1,610
1,490 1,600
1,870 1,900
+769 «1,810

PRODUCTION
TOTAL 2/ :
INDICATED
1986
MILLION POUNDS
8.0 16.0 10.0
520.0 620.0 500.0
65.0 110.0 18.0
47.0 42.0 43.0
24.0 19.0 21.0
50.0 20.0 30.0
135.0 131.0 110.0
90.0 106.0 92.0
64.0 75.0 31.0
5.0 13.5 6.5
5.0 15.0 6.5
18.0 17.0 5.0
70.0 85.0 85.0
80.0 80.0 80.0
97.0 89.0 97.0
770.0 1,100.0
15.0 23.0
40.0 62.0
50.0 56.0
110.0 105.0
8.0 10.0
1,020.0 1,120.0
360.0 275.0
135.0 145.0
130.0 160.0
575.0 585.0
5.0 4.0
45.0 16.0
14.0 8.5
45.0 57.0
41.0 49.0
465.0 395.0
2,950.0 2,050.0
225.0 230.0
53.0 60.0
8,331.0 7,949.0

PRODUCTION 1/

1,000 POUNDS
200
5,425 5,053 4,025
6,958 8,195 8,160
43,584 36,465 33,060
56,167 49,713 45,245

1/ INCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS):

1984-WASH 10,000, 1985-WASH 40,000.
2/ 1985 AND 1986 DATA COMBINED WITH WASHINGTON TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF

INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986

A-27

AGRICULTURAL

STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS,

USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND. TYPE

1985 1986 1985 1986 1985 : 1986
3 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
3
CLASS 1, FLUE~CURED 3
TYPE 11, OLD AND 3
MIDDLE BELTS :
nec 2 91,000 83,000 2,135 1,750 194,285 145,250
VA + 30,000 28,000 2,170 1,900 65,100 53,200
us 2 121,000 111,000 2,144 1,788 259,385 198,450
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC
BELT :
Lia 2: 119,000 108,000 2,305 2,200 274,295 237,600
TYPE 13, NC BORDER & ¢
S$ C BELT 3
nc : 32,000 29,000 2,165 2,000 69,280 58,000
sc 2 43,000 40,000 2,300 2,100 98,900 84,000
us 75,000 69,000 2,242 2,058 168,180 142,000
TYPE 14, GA-FLA BELT
FLA 6,100 5,800 2,675 2,500 16,318 14,500
GA 36,000 33,000 2,280 2,150 82,080 70,950
us 42,100 38,800 2,337 2,202 98,398 85,450
TOTAL 11-14 357,100 326,800 2,241 2,030 800,258 663,500

t
:
:
:

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT
VA

3,600 3,200 1,245 930 4,482 2,976
TYPE 22, EASTERN
DISTRICT
KY 5,200 4,700 2,045 1,700 10,634 7,990
TENN 10,800 9,400 2,210 1,650 23,868 15,510
us 16,000 14,100 2,156 1,667 34,502 23,500
TYPE 23, WESTERN
DISTRICT
KY 4,700 4,300 2,050 1,800 9,635 7,740
TENN 810 700 2,180 1,650 1,766 1,155
us : 5,510 5,000 2,069 1,779 11,404 8,895
TOTAL 21-23 : 25,110 22,300 2,007 1,586 50,385 35,371
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED :
CLASS 3A, LIGHT :
ATR-CURED :
TYPE 31, BURLEY :
IND Fy 6,500 6,100 2,240 2,200 14,560 13,420
KY 2 170,000 145,000 2,325 2,050 395,250 297,250
MO : 2,500 2,300 2,180 2,150 5,450 4,945
NC : 8,700 8,000 2,145 1,700 18,662 13,600
OHIO 7,100 6,800 2,150 2,000 15,265 13,600
TENN 49,000 43,000 2,030 1,500 99,470 64,500
VA 9,500 8,400 2,240 1,700 21,280 14,280
WA 1,800 1,800 1,880 1,860 3,384 3,348
Us 255,100 221,400 2,247 1,919 573,321 424,943
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD
BELT 1/
MD 20,000 18,000 1,330 1,150 26,600 20,700
PA 3,500 3,400 1,800 1,830 6,300 6,222
us 23,500 21,400 1,400 1,258 32,900 26,922
TOTAL 31-32 278,600 242,800 2,176 1,861 606,221 451,865
SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE A-24. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-23 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


DURUM WHEAT: Production is forecast at 102 million bushels (2.77 million
metric tons), down 10 percent from the 1985 production of 113
million bushels (3.06 million metric tons). Yields are expected to avérage
36.1 bushels per acre, 0.3 of a bushel below 1985. Area for harvest as grain
is 2.82 million acres (1.14 million hectares), 9 percent less than last year.

The Arizona-California durum area was virtually all harvested by July 1.
Wet weather delayed Minnesota's crop development 3-4 weeks. About half of
Montana's durum was turning color by August 1; grasshopper damage was reported
in the northeastern counties. North Dakota's early seeding start was
interrupted by 3 weeks of rain, but was eventually completed slightly behind
average. Most of the State has enjoyed abundant moisture throughout the
growing season. Development had progressed ahead of average until recent
rains. Harvest had started as of August 3.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production for 1986 is forecast at 530 million bushels

(14.4 million metric tons), the second highest production
level of record and 9 percent above last season's 485 million bushels (13.2
million metric tons). Producers expect to harvest 14.8 million acres (6.00
million hectares), up 8 percent from 1985. The expected average yield, at a
record high 35.7 bushels per acre, is up 0.3 of a bushel from the previous
record high yield set in 1985. Only 7 percent of the crop had been harvested
by August 3 in the five major States compared with 14 percent in 1985 and the
average of 13. The potential crop in Montana is much better than last
season's drought-stricken crop. Minnesota and North Dakota were late
planting. Conditions are rated aS mostly fair to good in the five major
States.

RICE: The 1986 rice production is forecast at 125 million hundredweight (5.68

million metric tons), 8 percent below 1985 and 10 percent below 1984.
Other than in 1983 when the PIK program was in effect, this would be the
smallest production since 1977. The smaller production resulted from lower
yields and fewer acres for harvest than in 1985.

Area for harvest is estimated at 2.33 million acres (944 thousand
hectares), 7 percent below a year ago and 17 percent below 1984. All States
expect to harvest less acreage than in 1985.

Yield is expected to average 5368 pounds, 69 pounds below the record high
5437 pounds set last year. This would be the second largest yield of record.
Record yields are anticipated in California, Louisiana, and Texas.

On August 3rd rice was 66 percent headed and 7 percent harvested. Heading
was 25 points ahead of normal and harvest was slightly ahead of normal.
Heading was ahead of normal in all States except California. Harvest lagged 7
points behind normal in Texas but was 6 points ahead of normal in Louisiana.
Harvest was underway in all States except California and Mississippi.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.98 billion bushels (53.9 million metric
tons), 6 percent below last year but 6 percent above 1984. Yield
is forecast at 32.9 bushels per acre, 1.2 bushels lower than last year's 34.1

bushels but 4.8 bushels above the 1984 average yield. Area for harvest, at
60.2 million acres (24.3 million hectares) is down 2 percent from 1985 and 1

percent less than the June 1} forecast.

Soybean growing conditions have been mostly good in the Midwest with
record high yields expected in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, and North Dakota. In
the South and Southeast, growing conditions have been mostly fair to poor.
Drought conditions in the Southeast have caused farmers to abandon acres and
have reduced expected yields significantly from last year. Crop development
naS progressed ahead of normal alt year. As of August 3, 78 percent of the
acreage had bloomed compared with 79 percent last year and an average of 70
percent. August precipitation will be a critical factor in pod development,
particularly in the South and Southeast.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-5 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION

z AREA HARVESTED YIELD 3 PRODUCTION 1/

1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND :
ALA : 329.0 347.0 795 498 447.0 545.0 360.0
ARIZ 359.0 259.0 1,241 1,353 1,097.0 928.0 730.0
ARK 440.0 440.0 167 709 612.0 703.0 650.0
CALIF 1,320.0 1,010.0 1,132 1,093 2,913.0 3,114.0 2,300.0
FLA 22.5 21.5 693 670 30.0 32.5 30.0
GA 245.0 210.0 725 423 281.0 370.0 185.0
KANS +6 1.0 320 576 3 4 1.2
LA 630.0 593.0 565 648 1,056.0 742.0 800.0
MISS 1,040.0 1,025.0 764 749 1,650.0 1,655.0 1,600.0
MoO 150.0 160.0 653 480 187.0 204.0 160.0
N MEX 54.0 42.0 631 686 87.0 71.0 60.0
nc 87.0 79.0 646 456 120.0 117.0 75.0
OKLA 360.0 350.0 380 357 183.0 285.0 260.0
sc 122.0 113.0 708 340 170.0 180.0 80.0
TENN 335.0 290.0 600 472 337.0 419.0 285.0
TEX 4,650.0 3,900.0 404 357 3,680.0 3,910.0 2,900.0
vA 1.3 1.4 443 41 11 1.2 1.2
us 10,145.4 8,841.9 628 569 12,851.4 13,277.1 10,477.4
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ 56.3 72.5 927 1,026 88.1 108.7 155.0
N MEX 7.9 10.0 687 720 12.4 11.3 15.0
TEX 19.4 17.8 868 782 29.9 35.1 29.0
Us 83.6 100.3 891 952 130.4 155.1 199.0
ALL
ALA 329.0 347.0 795 498 447.0 545.0 360.0
ARIZ : 415.3 331.5 1,198 1,281 1,185.1 1,036.7 885.0
ARK : 440.0 440.0 767 709 612.0 703.0 650.0
CALIF : 1,320.0 1,010.0 1,132 1,093 2,913.0 3,114.0 2,300.0
FLA 22.5 21.5 693 670 30.0 32.5 30.0
GA 245.0 210.0 725 423 281.0 370.0 185.0
KANS 6 1.0 320 576 3 4 1.2
LA 630.0 593.0 565 648 1,056.0 742.0 800.0
MISS 1,040.0 1,025.0 764 749° 1,650.0 1,655.0 1,600.0
Mo 150.0 160.0 653 480 187.0 204.0 160.0
N MEX 61.9 52.0 638 692 99.4 82.3 75.0
nC 87.0 79.0 646 456 120.0 117.0 75.0
OKLA 360.0 350.0 380 357 183.0 285.0 260.0
sc : 122.0 113.0 708 340 170.0 180.0 80.0
TENN : 335.0 290.0 600 472 337.0 419.0 285.0
TEX 4,669.4 3,917.8 406 359 3,709.9 3,945.1 2,929.0
VA 1.3 1.4 443 ait tet 1.2 1.2
us 10,229.0 8,942.2 630 573 12,981.8 13,432.2 10,676.4

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-18 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


1/ ESTIMATES

CROP

z AREA HARVESTED

PRODUCTION,

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

2 IND =
1985 : 1986 :
1,000 ACRES
230 90
16 10
320 595
36 26
320 280
138 65
470 200
4,200 4,000
143 65
410 360
620 240
1,410 1,100
1,920 1,500
290 220
62 50
500 450
47 38
375 350
465 165

AUGUST 1986

DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984.

A-10

BUSHELS
55.0 45.0
81.0 87.0
72.0 56.0
83.0 85.0
35.0 33.0
48.0 30.0
77.0 80.0
69.0 69.0
80.0 75.0
68.0 790.0
64.0 64.0
83.0 81.0
80.0 80.0
48.0 46.0
52.0 28.0
45.0 45.0
47.0 28.0
40.0 47.0
80.0 55.0
59.0 55.0

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

63.7

9,000
1,360
42,480
3,936
15,910
4,746
19,665
845

660
216,750
9,200
17,485
23,680
91,770
121,600
15,400
3,025
18,000
1,564
18,565
20,800
209,350
450
866,241

PRODUCTION

12,650
1,296
66,240
2,988
11,200
6,624
36,190

289,800
11,440
27,880
39,680
117,030
153,600
13,920
3,224
22,500
2,209
15,000
37,200

241,900

1,112,571

1,000 BUSHELS

4,050
870
33,320
2,210
9,240
1,950
16,000

276,000
4,875
25,200
15,360
89,100
120,000
10,120
1,400
20,250
1,064
16,450
9,075
203,500

860,034

NASS, USDA


JULY WEATHER SUMMARY

Dry weather persisted in the southeastern States and across the South to
southern Texas and through Oklahoma. Most of the drought area in the
Southeast had between 50 and 75 percent of normal rain, but some parts had
little or none. Exacerbating the drought, a heat wave lasted most of the
month from the central Ptains across Arkansas to the Southeast from Georgia to
North Carolina. Above-normal rain fell through the Corn Bett, the northern
Plains, and the Northeast. Monsoon-type showers produced above-normal amounts
of rain from Arizona and New Mexico northward into the Rockies. (Prepared by
NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility.)

JULY CROP DEVELOPMENT

Inadequate moisture and above-norma) temperatures plagued the Southeast
during July. Crop condition declined steadily during the month, especially
when temperatures approached or exceeded the century mark. The situation was
completely reversed in the Corn Belt and central and northern Plains as
adequate moisture pushed crop development ahead of schedule during most of
duly. Near the end of July the dryness began spreading, reaching into the
Delta and central Great Plains and in a few Corn Belt States.

Corn condition varied across the Nation as the month ended. Condition was
mostly good to excellent in the Corn Belt and central and northern Great
Plains. Adequate moisture pushed development ahead of normal. In the
Southeast, corn was mostly poor. On August 3, 92 percent of the corn acreage
was silking compared with 89 percent jin 1985 and 80 percent normally.
Thirty-three percent of the acreage reached the dough stage, 13 points ahead
of average. Hot, dry weather forced early maturity across the Southeast. As
the month ended, harvest was underway in Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia,
Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas.

Soybeans were mostly good to excellent in the Corn Belt and northern and
central Plains during July. Inadequate moisture and high temperatures caused
crop condition to decline in the Delta and in the Southeast. In the Delta,
soybeans went from fair to good at the beginning of July to fair to poor at
the end of the month. The mostly fair condition in the Southeast declined to
mostly poor to fair. In the 19 major producing States, 78 percent of the
acreage was blooming and 44 percent was setting pods. At this time last year,
blooms and pods were present on 79 and 43 percent of the acreage,
respectively. Normally, 70 percent would be blooming and 33 percent would be
setting pods.

Sorghum was 62 percent headed compared with 48 percent last year and 45
percent average. Heading was 10 points behind normal in South Dakota and 2
points behind in Texas. Harvest was 44 percent finished in Texas.

Cotton was good to fair during duly. However, the condition varied
greatly by regions. Condition ranged from fair in the Southeast to mostly
good in the Southwest. Inadequate moisture plagued cotton in the Southeast
the entire month and was becoming a problem near the end of the month in the
Delta. On August 3rd, squares were present on 93 percent of the acreage, just
slightly behind normal. Two-thirds of the acres planted were setting bolls
compared with 74 percent in 1985 and 66 percent normally. Bolls were opening
in Arizona, Georgia, and Texas. Harvest was 4 percent finished in Texas.

The 20 major wheat producing States had combined 91 percent of their crop,
equaling last year but 2 points ahead of normal, Harvest was complete or
neared completion in all States except Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and
Washington. Spring wheat was 7 percent harvested, 7 points below last year
and 6 points below average. In South Dakota, 26 percent of the acreage was
combined compared with 43 percent both last year and average. Harvest was
underway in all States.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-2 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



FARM NUMBERS: DECLINE FROM 1985

The number of farms in the United States in 1986 is estimated at 2.21
million, down 3 percent from the 2,28 million in 1985 and 9 percent from the
2.43 million in 1981. The number of farms declined from 1 to 2 percent per
year from 1981 through 1985.

Total land in farms for 1986 is 1,007 million acres, down 0.7 of one
percent from a year ago and down 2.6 percent from 1981. Land in farms has
declined every year since reaching its peak at 1,206 million acres in 1954.

Since the number of farms dectined at a faster rate than land in farms the
average size of farms increased from 425 acres in 1981 to 455 acres in 1986.

The proportion of farms with annual sales between $40,000 and $100,000
declined from 1985 while the proportion of farms in the $10,000 to $39,999
range remained stable. The percentage of small farms, those with sales less
than $10,000 increased, while the proportion of large farms, with annual sates
in excess of $100,000 was unchanged. The small farms still account for only
12 percent of total land in farms. In contrast, the farms with sales over
$100,000 account for nearly half of the total farm land. The average size of
small farms showed little change in 1986. Farms with sales from $10,000 to
$39,999 increased in size, while those with sales between $40,000 and $100,000
declined in size. Farms with sales greater than $100,000, on the average,
were larger in size.

NUMBER OF FARMS AND LAND IN FARMS, UNITED STATES, JUNE 1, 1981-86

YEAR : NUMBER OF : LAND IN : AVERAGE SIZE

: FARMS : FARMS : OF FARMS

THOUSANDS THOUSAND ACRES ACRES
1981 : 2,434 1,034,190 425
1982 : 23401 1,0273795 428
1983 : 23370 1,024,195 432
1984 : 25328 1,019,378 438
1985 : 2.275 1,014,383 446
1986 1/ : 23214 1,007,363 455

1/ PRELIMINARY.

PERCENT OF FARMS, LAND IN FARMS, AND AVERAGE SIZE, BY ECONOMIC CLASS,
UNITED STATES, JUNE 1, 1985-86

PERCENT OF TOTAL AVERAGE

ECONOMIC CLASS SIZE OF
GROSS VALUE FARMS

OF SALES =§«-_—_—__ fe wenn en ne nn nn nnn nen nnn nnn nnn ene ne een ene ee ee eee

PERCENT ACRES

$ 1,000-$ 2,499 25.1 26.2 3.8 4.0 67 70
$ 2,500-$ 4,999 14.3 13.9 3.6 3.3 112 108
$ 5,000-$ 9,999 11.8 12.0 4.6 4.7 176 178
$ 10,000-$ 19,999 10.7 10.7 6.8 7.2 283 306
$ 20,000-$ 39,999 10.1 10.1 9.4 10.9 417 491
$ 40,000-$ 99,999 14.2 13.3 24.3 20.4 760 698
$100, 000-$249,999 9.7 9.5 25.5 25.8 1,172 1,235
$250,000 4.1 4.3 22.0 23.7 2,419 2,507

TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 446 455

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-30 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~- YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION
2 INDICATED

cROP : = INDICATED! fern eee wenn no-one ene

1985 : 1986 : 1985 : JUL 1, AUG 1,

: H 1986 1986

METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN : 7.41 7.85 225,181,520 211,240,090
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 4.19 4.00 28,260,610 21,845,870
OATS 3 2.28 2.11 7,527,840 6,432,780

BARLEY H 2.74 2.81 12,827,950 14,153,080
ALL WHEAT : 2.52 2.39 65,991,290 58,914,510

WINTER H 2.56 2.38 49,728,100 42,266,440 41,708,520

DURUM : 2.45 2.43 3,062,020 2,769,830

OTHER SPRING : 2.38 2.40 13,201,170 14,436,160
RICE : 6.09 6.02 6,170,760 5,681,110
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 2.29 2.21 57,112,650 53,872,290
PEANUTS FOR NUTS : 3.15 2.71 1,870,050 1,611,490
ALL COTTON H 0.71 0.64 2,924,500 2,324,500

UPLAND 7 0.70 0.64 2,890,730 2,281,170

AMER-PIMA H 1.00 1.07 33,770 43,330
COTTONSEED H 4,789,030 3,814,710
ALL HAY H 5.51 5.65 135,133,330 139,169,390

ALFALFA 3 7.45 7.90 77,374,690 83,681,440

ALL OTHER H 4.09 3.95 57,758,640 55,487,950
ORY EDIBLE BEANS : 1.68 1.77 1,010,050 1,177,070
SUMMER POTATOES : 27,35 24.42 1,260,710 995,450 989,330
TOBACCO 2 2.46 2.18 685,470 542,090
SUGARBEETS 3 46.03 45.84 20,535,030 22,708,650
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 82.14 83.50 25,594,400 27,079,460
HOPS H 1.98 2.03 22,550 20,520
APPLES, COM'L : 3,605,590 3,486,750 3,558,410
PEACHES : 974,450 1,048,880 1,033,010
PEARS : 677,580 648,180 656,350
GRAPES 3 5,084,500 4,477,410
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) : 45,990 42,180
WALNUTS (CALIF) : 198,670 176,900 176,900
OLIVES (CALIF) 87,090 90,720

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

INDICATED
1986 1/

INDICATED
1986 1/

1985
METRIC TONS

POTATOES 3
WINTER : 22.86 25.90 122,060 128,960
SPRING : 29.6) 29.30 1,042,620 896,430
FALL : 34.35 15,888,580
SWEET CHERRIES H 120,560 116,570
TART CHERRIES : 129,820 84,370
APRICOTS ‘ 119,290 62,690
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 191,420 176,900
PLUMS (CALIF) 151,050 117,930
DRIED PRUNES :
(CALIF) 3 126,100 90,720
ALMONDS (CALIF) 3 210,920 120,200

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-7 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP INDICATED
1985 1986 1985 1986
HECTARES
CORN 33,730,100 31,017,870 30,405,980 27,962,460
SORGHUM 7,399,760 6,059,420 6,746,990 5,464,930
OATS 5,370,240 5,984,150 3,297,820 3,050, 150
BARLEY 5 303,870 5,361,330 4,675,380 5,040,430
ALL WHEAT 30,584,450 29,140,510 26,197,200 24,646,830
WINTER 23,371,660 21,824,930 19,406,100 17,500,410
DURUM : 1,297,840 1,166,320 1,252,110 1,141,630
OTHER SPRING : 5,914,950 6,149,260 5,538,990 6,004,790
RICE : 1,020,630 950,210 1,012,530 944,140
SOYBEANS 25,548,080 25,024,010 24,922,430 24,347,360
PEANUTS 603,150 609 ,060 593,840 595,700
ALL COTTON 4,323,950 3,881,220 4,139,570 3,618,820
UPLAND 4,289,960 3,840,350 4,105,740 3,578,230
AMER-PIMA 33,990 40,870 33,830 40,590
ALL HAY 24,505,200 24,638,340
ALFALFA 10,389,610 10,596,810
ALL OTHER 14,115,590 14,041,530
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 637,750 688,380 601,530 665,920
SUMMER POTATOES 47,590 41,200 46 ,090 40,510
TOBACCO 278,430 249,010
SUGARBEETS 455 ,070 501,010 446,170 495,340
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED 311,610 324,320
HOPS 11,370 10,120

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP INDICATED
1985 1986 1/ 1986 1/
HECTARES

RYE 1,037 ,220 956,690 290,160 275,590

FLAXSEED 250,910 281,260 236,340 270,740
POTATOES

WINTER 5,340 4,980 5,340 4,980

SPRING 37,230 31,040 35,210 30,590

FALL 478,380 427,550 462,520 419,060

SWEETPOTATOES 44,600 39,780 42,610 38,490

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986

A-6

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


ALL HAY

STATE EF teeta hahahaha atetatatateiatateetatatad haha iat ate aaah a aka tata iatenata ae aietatatetetetaiatatel --

: IND

: 1986 :

z 1,000 ACRES 1,000 TONS
ALA 3 700 500 2.20 1.00 1,360 1,540 500
ARIZ : 167 177 6.64 7.31 1,108 1,109 1,293
ARK : 992 950 1.83 1.73 1,559 1,819 1,645
CALIF 3 1,570 1,680 5.09 5.14 7,854 7,991 8,628
COLO 3 1,445 1,325 2.52 2.41 3,311 3,644 3,190
CONN : 90 91 2.04 2.15 212 184 196
DEL : 22 24 2.68 2.25 56 59 54
FLA : 240 240 2.60 2.60 696 624 624
GA : 495 400 2.50 1.30 1,320 1,238 520
IDAHO : 1,320 1,380 3.09 3.31 4,743 4,080 4,562
TLL 3 1,160 1,100 3.51 3.29 3,880 4,072 3,617
(ND : 795 820 3.13 3.24 2,344 2,485 2,660
1OWA : 2,150 2,360 3.32 3.42 7,850 7,133 8,079
KANS : 2,710 2,600 2.58 2.53 5,899 6,999 6,580
KY : 1,850 1,855 2.22 1.98 3,346 4,100 3,671
LA 2 320 300 2.32 2.31 816 741 694
MAINE A 222 220 1.90 1.94 410 421 427
MD : 230 240 2.89 2.21 634 664 531
MASS : 121 123 2.30 2.53 300 278 311
MICH Hy 1,750 1,770 3.26 3.68 5,285 5,705 6,517
MINN : 2,725 2,950 2.94 3.33 8,440 8,003 9,810
MISS : 650 550 2.00 2.00 1,292 1,300 1,100
MO : 3,400 3,450 1.92 1.75 6,338 6,513 6,038
MONT : 1,950 2,250 1.42 1.90 3,780 2,760 4,273
NEBR : 3,300 3,150 2.05 2.11 7,695 6,755 6,640
NEV : 495 540 2.63 2.55 1,346 1,302 1,377
NH 88 85 2.32 2.27 201 204 193
NJ 118 120 2.82 2.64 317 333 317
N MEX 330 320 4.35 4.33 1,488 1,436 1,384
NY 2,230 2,160 2.36 2.41 5,366 5,269 5,208
NC 415 410 1.80 1.40 733 746 573
N DAK 2,950 2,900 1.28 1.93 4,468 3,768 5,590
OH10 1,450 1,500 3.17 3.05 3,795 4,600 4,575
OKLA 2,100 1,960 2.28 2.20 3,556 4,790 4,307
OREG 1,080 1,160 2.77 2.82 3,112 2,989 3,270
PA 1,990 2,000 2.66 2.62 5,082 5,302 5,240
RI 10 9 2.10 2.22 23 21 20
sc 205 200 2.40 1.00 529 492 200
S DAK 3,500 4,100 1.38 1.79 8,083 4,830 7,340
TENN 1,620 1,380 1.95 1.13 2,678 3,156 1,564
TEX 3,500 3,270 2.34 2.22 5,415 8,175 7,258
UTAH 605 615 3.44 3.27 2,160 2,084 2,012
VT 445 435 2.13 2.14 938 950 930
VA 1,008 1,063 1.63 1.18 1,816 1,644 1,253
WASH 800 770 3.24 3.54 2,921 2,595 2,724
WoVA 610 590 2.02 1.91 1,128 1,230 1,124
WIS 3,600 3,680 3.09 3.46 12,770 11,120 12,718
WYO 1,030 1,110 1,66 1.87 2,195 1,706 2,071
us 60,553 60,882 2.46 2.52 150,648 148,959 153,408

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-19 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



STATE

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986

/

1/

/

CORN FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED

1985 1986 :

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
: 325 300 75.0 55.0 25,025 24,375 16,500
: 21 17 105.0 115.0 3,250 2,205 1,955
2 73 85 108.0 112.0 4,655 7,884 9,520
3 320 270 145.0 145.0 51,000 46,400 39,150
3 745 700 139.0 137.0 91,120 103,555 95,900
Hy 175 170 109.0 65.0 16,950 19,075 11,050
190 180 65.0 60.0 13,650 12,350 10,800
975 730 84.0 60.0 80,770 81,900 43,800
80 55 125.0 130.0 8,850 10,000 7,150
11,370 10,300 135.0 142.0 1,247,160 1,534,950 1,462,600
6,150 5,850 123.0 132.0 705,510 756,450 772,200
13,550 12,000 126.0 135.0 1,444,800 1,707,300 1,620,000
1,080 1,250 130.0 132.0 119,375 140,400 165,000
1,560 1,570 102.0 88.0 146,000 159,120 138,160
205 430 114.0 120.0 9,430 23,370 51,600
640 610 110.0 60.0 69,620 70,400 36,600
2,730 2,500 105.0 112.0 220,080 286,650 280,000
6,300 5,700 115.0 122.0 689,080 724,500 695,400
145 170 68.0 78.0 4,900 7,820 13,260
2,480 2,400 110.0 113.0 154,400 272,800 271,200
1 10 95.0 105.0 1,380 1,045 1,050
7,450 6,850 128.0 130.0 806,200 953,600 890,500
114 105 110.0 95.0 11,663 12,540 9,975
65 50 155.0 155.0 9,450 10,075 7,750
720 640 95.0 97.0 60,970 68,400 62,080
1,625 1,360 79.0 60.0 145,800 128,375 81,600
560 600 72.0 80.0 41,580 40,320 48,000
4,030 3,700 127.0 128.0 460,200 511,810 473,600
58 50 106.0 110.0 5,250 6,148 5,500
40 35 165.0 175.0 6,678 6,600 6,125
1,380 1,340 110.0 100.0 148,500 151,800 134,000
520 480 88.0 45.0 34,866 45,760 21,600
3,000 2,700 84.0 88.0 186,260 252,000 237,600
810 770 98.0 75.0 65,550 79,380 57,750
1,490 1,250 105.0 105.0 144,150 156,450 131,250
16 16 1t5.¢ tt5.0 1,888 1,840 1,840
550 510 99.0 41.0 56,160 54,450 20,910
135 120 160.0 150.0 23,250 21,600 18,000
2 73 75 105.06 95.0 8,100 7,665 7,125
3,350 3,100 107.0 114.0 344,500 358,450 353,400
48 97.0 6,000 5,194 4,656

A-9

1S FOR SILAGE,

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

120.4 7,674,020 8,865,006 8,316,156

NASS, USDA


2,000
6,100

36,000

6,500

186,300

20,000

490

2,500

NC : 250,700
OHIO : 7,920
PA t/t 11,500
sc : 43,000
TENN : 61,710
vA : 43,300
WVA : 1,800
ws : 8,200
US t/ + 688,020

CALIF 203.0
coLo 2.5
1 DAKO 152.0
KANS 0
MICH 118.0
MINN 276.0
MONT 42.7
NEBR 53.2
N DAK 144.2
OHIO 12.7
OREG 11.8
TEX 37.0
wyo 49.4
us 7102.5

1/ RELATES To YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST. EXCEPT FOR

ACRES

TOBACCO BY STATES

AREA HARVESTED

1,980
5,800
33,000
6,100
159,100
18,000
480
2,300
228,000
7,300
11,000
40,000
54,000
39,750
1,800
6,700
615,310

197.0
35.0
160.0

136.0
343.0
46.7
59.0
162.0
15.0
12.8
37.0
50.5
1,224.0

1,658
2,675
2,280
2,240
2,300
1,330
1,594
2,180
2,220
2,140
1,904
2,300
2,065
2,104
1,880
2,141
2,196

POUNDS

1,566
2,500
2,150
2,200
2,024
1,150
1,579
2,150
1,993
1,993
1,906
2,100
1,530
1,776
1,860
2,122

2,824
17,920
85,500
18,792

530,088
30,360

785
5,844

590,026
26,507
22,370

105,515

154,646

115,897

4,488
16,400

PRODUCTION

1, 000 POUNDS

3,315
16,318
82,080
14,560

428,403
26,600

781
5,450

556,522
16,946
21,900
98,900

127,403
91,092

3,384
17,560

1985 :

3,101
14,500
70,950
13,420

322,000
20,700
758
4,945
454,450
14,550
20,966
84,000
82,605
70,606

3,348
14,220

1,942 1,727,962 1,511,220 1,195,119

OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

398.7
89.4
250.0
31.9
770.0

1,000 ACRES

5,088
964
3,312
122
2,117
4,340
416
1,480
2,309
201
307
824
654
22,134

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986

Ao25

1,000 TONS

1,037
22,636

13,117
8,129
6, gag

61
28, 213

2,856
5,321
934
1,357
2,754
300
352
833
1,061
25,032

29,850

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


Agricultural United States
ro my Statistics Department of
Board Agriculture
H National Agricultural Washington, D.C. 20250
ro u Cc ] fe] n Statistics Service

RELEASED: August 12, 1986
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

ALL WHEAT production is forecast at 2.16 billion bushels (58.9 million metric
tons), 11 percent less than 1985. The 90 percent confidence interval for
this production forecast is 2.10 to 2.23 billion bushels.

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at 8.32 billion bushels (211 million
metric tons), down 6 percent from Jast year's crop but stil] the second
largest of record. Yield is forecast at a record high 120.4 bushels per
acre. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast is
7.09 to 9.54 billion bushels.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) is expected to total
254 million metric tons, down 7 percent from 1985.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.98 billion bushels (53.9 million metric
tons), 6 percent below last year but 6 percent above 1984. The 90 percent
confidence interval for this production forecast is 1.75 to 2.21 billion
bushels.

ALL COTTON production is forecast for the 1986 season at 10.7 million bales, a
decrease of 21 percent from the 1985 crop. The 90 percent confidence in-
terval for this production forecast is 9.1 to 12.3 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.20 billion pounds (542 thousand metric
tons), 21 percent below 1985 and the smallest crop since 1936,

PEANUT production is forecast at 3.55 billion pounds (1.61 million metric
tons), down 14 percent from last year and 19 percent below the record high
1984 crop.

NUMBER OF FARMS in the U.S. in 1986 is estimated at 2.21 million, down 3 per-
cent from 1985. Land in farms declined 7.02 million acres from the pre-
vious year. Average size of farms increased from 446 last year to 455
acres in 1986.

HRI IRI II IK IAAI IAI III IIIT II IIIT ISIS I IAI III ISI IIS SII ISSIR II ISIE II ISIAH IIA.

* NOTICE

*

* Revisions have been made in the 1986 planted acreage estimates for

* cotton, sorghum, peanuts, sugarbeets, dry edible beans and summer

* potatoes -- shown on Page A-8. These revisions are based on regularly
* scheduled August 1 surveys and administrative data.

*

* The first forecast for the 1986 U.S. filbert crop will be published in
* FILBERT PRODUCTION to be released August 25, 1986.

*

OF RO OF

FRI IIR I IARI I IIR IIIA IIIS IRI IASI III III I IIS II III AISI IIIS ISO IIS III SII II

CrPr 2-2 (8-86) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127




BARLEY

STATE
BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ARIZ 97.0 100.0 5,353 6,014 3,100
CALIF 59.0 57.0 28,980 24,780 22,800
COLO 64.0 60.0 20,150 21,760 22,200
DEL 58.0 61.0 2,750 3,306 3,050
IDAHO 58.0 61.0 88,440 71,920 67,710
KANS 44.0 38.0 6,665 7,480 11,020
kY 35.0 31.0 1,110 910 620
MD 57.0 63.0 5,510 5,472 5,166
MICH 68.0 63.0 2,040 2,584 3,024
MINN 66.0 64.0 61,750 70,950 64,000
MONT 20.0 40.0 59,080 30,000 92,000
NEBR 32.0 41.0 2,652 3,840 6,970
NEV 80.0 80.0 3,330 2,960 2,960
NJ 63.0 58.0 825 1,071 928
N MEX 70.0 75.0 1,500 1,050 1,350
Nc 40.0 34.0 4,032 2,640 1,598
N DAK 55.0 55.0 153,700 184,250 200,750
OKLA 38.0 36.0 2,050 1,900 1,800
OREG 55.0 57.0 17,360 19,250 20,805
PA 62.0 60.0 3,640 4,340 3,900
sc 38.0 30.0 1,560 1,216 630
S_DAK 45.0 45.0 30,345 32,400 39,150
TEX 45.0 42.0 2,000 2,250 2,100
UTAH 74.0 75.0 11,607 11,766 11,625
VA 48.0 50.0 5,760 4,800 3,750
WASH 48.0 45.0 63,700 56,640 41,400
WVA 1/ 265

wis 58.0 56.0 2,650 3,074 4,760
Wyo 66.0 68.0 10,400 10,560 10,880
us 51.0 52.2 599,204 589,183 650,046

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-12 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


z
°

1,000 ACRES

35 30
17 34
45 50
55 40
45 40
40 30
160 200
110 90
760 630
200 240
9 12
46 43
15 V7
390 320
1,100 850
105 110
70 163
380 360
5 5
230 190
62 55
840 900
310 160
65 90
100 95
300 270
42 32
1,420 1,200
300 250
13 12
14 14
33 33
8 10
780 900
45 62
8,149 7,537

IND

985 1986
BUSHELS

41.0 33.0
65.0 66.0
67.0 63.0
53.0 52.0
45.0 37.0
53.0 67.0
78.0 75.0
69.0 71.0
76.0 60.0
56.0 54.0
45.0 39.0
73.0 65.0
60.0 53.0
67.0 70.0
70.0 62.0
55.0 48.0
33.0 46.0

60.0 60.0
63.0 50.0

77.0 75.0
42.0 40.0
53.0 59.0
85.0 76.0
43.0 45.0
92.0 92.0
70.0 62.0
38.0 33.0
56.0 50.0
50.0 35.0
69.0 70.0
47.0 45.0
65.0 65.0
61.0 54.0
66.0 63.0
45.0 53.0
63.6 58.8

1984 :

1,000 BUSHELS

1,440
1,960
3,450
2,750
3,300
2,992
11,385
4,960
47,360
6,360
252
2,240
855
21,700
78,000
1,584
3,885
15,680
336
10,620
3,944
49,980
13,860
3,680
6,600
15,960
2,320
86,800
235
8,750
871
564
2,040
408
53,320
3,220

473,661

1,435
1,105
3,015
2,915
2,025
2,120
12,480
7,590
57,760
11,200
405
3,358
900
26,130
77,000
5,775
2,310
22,800
315
17,710
2,604
44,520
26,230
2,795
9,200
21,000
1,596
79,520

15,000
897

658
2,145
488
51,480
2,025
518,626

1,056
60,000

8,750
840

630
2,145
540
56,700
3,286
443,183

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984,

CROP PRODUCTION,

AUGUST 1986

A-11

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


WALNUTS: The forecast for California walnuts continues at 195 thousand tons
(177 thousand metric tons), 11 percent below last year and 8 percent
less than the 1984 production. The recent hot weather has not had a serious
impact on the 1986 California walnut crop. Temperatures have exceeded 100
degrees for the last week but the impact will be on the quality of the nuts
rather than the quantity of the nuts. The high temperatures will cause the
kernels to darken and lower the grade of the walnuts. No unusual droppage has
been seen or is expected due to the hot weather. The early varieties such as
Ashleys and the Paynes are expected to have one of the lightest crops ever,
due to spring pollination problems. The later varieties such as the Hartleys
and the Franquettes have a very good to excellent crop. Sunburn damage is
epxected to be normal this year. Blight damage could be higher than normal
due to reduced sprayings by the growers resulting from the lighter crop volume.

OLIVES: The California olive crop is forecast at 100 thousand tons (90.7

thousand metric tons), 4 percent higher than 1985 production. The
1986 olive crop is reported to have good quality with maturity about two weeks
ahead of normal this year. Yields for Manzanillo, the major variety, are
expected to be better than Tast year. However, yields for Sevitlano are
Predicted to be poor while Ascolano and Mission variety yields are about the
Same as last year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-13 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
AUGUST 2, 1986
ABNORMALLY
A ISSUED WEEKLY
‘ABNORMALLY. =
EXcessivel DRY- ¢ ° EXCESSIVELY
ABNORMALLY RY ,
~—MOIST.
‘00 WE?
FAVORABLY
MOIST
NORMALLY SLIGHTLY ~
uit ory EXSESSIVELY" XCESSIVELY
ISLIGHTL a PRY
_\ ORY
~~ Nextessi : —“ABNORMALLY, : BNORMALLY
. OR EXTREMELY; RY! ORY
RY: SEVERELY
AVORABLY R
MOIST st He RS,
Excetsiy N RTREMELY
SOP MOISTURE wan xeeasivety-——
{wot DRYNESS On FETRESS AFPECTING Gaia ;
Tarr THDLCLEnS wonuAl CoMDIvIONG oy TaN BEOTES FAyor
Far do rests soto ca ’ Yor’
ae. areetcames, Is MAASUBING THE SHORT TEE, ”
EASON Choe’ AND TLmLD opmharions. NSS A7P#CTING ¥4 ATREMELY BNORMALLY
TIMITATIONS...MAY NOT 8% APPLICABLE TO GEUMINATING AND SHALLOW ‘SEVERELY MOIST
(hod “Wulcn aux GHARLE TO ExTRAcT THE DEEP Of SUSSO(L MoI
Facw A Seroor phorrin, OR TOR Cool. SEASGH CROPS GROWING TEEN THAPERATM DRY
anvcoto rams Cmorras, TEARS) Da0GEE Off SPLLGE" MULCH AME’ SESTOTIO <==) MOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY 4. snr porn
pr rox onsuars SuvEaiiy HOEK. =
DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)
AUGUST 2, 1986
ISSUED TWICE A.MONTH-
=
fa
Moist
a 2 ¥ s
= MOIST
MODERAT MOIST
SEVERE
EvVeRE == ?
> TREME
+. EMI =
:
MODERATE ‘SEVERE
A ie :
[DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX PALMERS ozicrs MODERATE
ome “cMaras - TRARSY ABMOUMAL Darmasd GE VEPAESS| =
\asvomos suawt, unos Circus Fuow Yaar co vant; =, SEVERE
|ARD REFLECTS LONG TERM MOI! }, RECHARGE,
ako Gap PaRCUATION, AD’ WELL 42 EVARGIRANSPTEATION.
APPLIC MBASURING DISRUPTIVE KYFECTS 2
loarmeis‘on warsuse 8 WATER SENSITIVE HOOMOMIES; ONSIOHATING DIS—
neTES aakas OF CaOOGET OF TETNESS; UD
[emi stares OF Saran GUPPLIES I AQUIPaRS, SAGIRVOIRS, AxD STREAMS.
enrearions.-18, Mor GRMERALLY INDICArTYE OY SNORT TREN (7eY HERES)
YIXLD OPERATIONS (THIS IS INDICATED BY TRE CROP MOISTURE INDEX). NOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Send on penne reper

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-1 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



1984 1985 1986 2/ 1984 1985 1986 2/

NUMBER 1,000 ACRES
ALA : 54,000 54,000 52,000 11,500 11,500 11,000
ALAS : 650 680 670 1,560 1,450 1,410
ARIZ : 8,300 8,500 8,600 37,500 37,500 37,500
ARK 3 55,000 53,000 50,000 16,100 16,000 15,700
CALIF : 78,000 79,000 79,000 33,000 32,900 32,800
coLo : 27,000 26,700 26,600 34,600 34,400 34,200
CONN 3 4,100 4,000 3,800 480 480 450
DEL : 3,600 3,500 3,200 660 650 640
FLA 3 40,000 39,000 39,000 13,000 13,000 13,000
GA 3 51,000 50,000 49,000 13,500 13,500 13,000
HAW : 4,600 4,600 4,400 1,950 1,950 1,950
IDAHO : 24,600 24,600 24,000 14,700 14,500 14,000
ILL : 94,000 90,000 87,000 28,700 28,700 28,700
IND : 82,000 80,000 78,000 16,400 16,400 16,200
IOWA : 113,000 111,000 109,000 33,600 33,600 33,600
KANS 3 74,000 72,000 70,000 48,000 48,000 47,900
KY : 101,000 100,000 99,000 14,500 14,500 14,500
LA Hy 36,000 36,000 36,000 10,100 10,100 10,000
MAINE : 8,000 7,800 7,800 1,560 1,520 1,520
MD : 17,800 17,500 17,000 2,700 2,600 2,500
MASS : 6,100 6,000 6,000 680 680 680
MICH : 63,000 62,000 61,000 11,400 11,400 11,300
MINN : 101,000 96,000 93,000 30,400 30,400 30,000
MISS t 50,000 48,000 46,000 14,200 14,100 14,000
MO : 117,000 115,000 115,000 31,000 30,800 30,700
MONT. 2 23,900 23,800 23,600 61,100 61,000 61,000
NEBR : 60,000 59,000 57,000 47,200 47,200 47,200
NEV : 2,600 2,500 2,400 8,800 8,800 8,800
NH : 3,400 3,400 3,200 545 540 520
NJ : 9,100 8,700 8,300 970 940 920
N MEX 3 14,000 13,800 13,600 45,800 45,000 44,600
NY 3 47,000 44,000 42,000 9,400 9,100 8,700
NC : 79,000 76,000 73,000 11,000 10,800 10,800
N DAK : 35,500 34,000 33,000 41,000 40,900 40,700
OHIO : 90,000 89,000 88,000 15,800 15,800 15,800
OK : 73,000 71,000 71,000 33,000 33,000 33,000
OREG : 37,000 37,000 37,000 18,000 18,000 17,900
PA : 58,000 58,000 56,500 8,700 8,700 8,500
RI 3 750 750 750 73 73 73
sc Hy 28,000 27,500 27,500 5,600 5,500 5,500
S DAK 3 37,000 36,500 36,000 44,500 44,500 44,500
TENN 3 97,000 98,000 96,000 13,400 13,400 13,000
TEX : 187,000 177,000 160,000 136,800 135,500 134,000
UTAH 2 14,000 13,900 13,700 11,800 11,600 11,400
VT : 7,300 7,000 7,000 1,700 1,600 1,600
VA : 56,000 54,000 50,000 9,700 9,600 9,600
WASH H 38,000 38,000 38,000 16,100 16,100 16,000
WVA : 22,000 21,000 21,000 3,800 3,600 3,600
wis 2 86,000 83,000 82,000 18,000 17,700 17,600
WYO 3 9,100 9,000 8,800 34,800 34,800 34,800
us 22,328,400 2,274,730 2,214,420 1,019,378 1,014,383 1,007,363

1/__A FARM IS A PLACE AS OF JUNE 1 THAT SELLS OR COULD SELL $1,000 OF AGRICUL-
TURAL PRODUCTS DURING THE YEAR. 2/ PRELIMINARY.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-31 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


BY STATES, 1986; UNITED STATES, 1984-86

: 3 SUMMER : DRY EDIBLE SUGAR-
: SORGHUM : PEANUTS

STATE =: : POTATOES : BEANS BEETS
UPLAND :AMER-PIMA: : :
1,000 ACRES
ALA :  *350.0 170 220.0 7.5
ARIZ : 260.0 73.0 12
ARK : 460.0 *670
CALIF : 1,020.0 30 6.6 160.0 200.0
colo): 330 7.4 230.0 37.5
DEL : 7.0
FLA : 22.0 78.0
GA :  *230.0 110 650.0
IDAHO: 135.0 161.0
ILL : 230 3.0
IND :
IOWA: 1.7
KANS : 1.2 4,500 21.0
KY : 70
LA : 600.0 *380
MD : 1.7
MICH: 13.0 *480.0 137.0
MINN : 6.3 65.0 315.0
MISS  : 1,050.0 250
MO > *180.0 1,150
MONT : 3.0 47.6
NEBR: 1,650 2.3 215.0 60.6
NEV :
NJ : 8.2
N MEX: 50.0 10.0 240 12.0 *9.1
NY : *31.0
NC : *80.0 85 145.0 2.0
N DAK : 290.0 163.0
OHIO): 15.5
OKLA: 370.0 500 100.0
OREG : *12.9
PA :
sc : 115.0 66 12.0
S DAK : 450
TENN : 300.0 180 2.0
TEX 2*4,400.0 *18.0 3,900 200.0 10.0 37.2
UTAH : 9.0
VA : 1.4 *88.0 14.0
WASH : 29.0
WIS :
Wyo : 33.0 50.7
YEAR UNITED STATES
1984 = :11,065.3 80.1 17,254 1,562.6 111.5 1,501.0 1,123.6
1985 = 10, 600.6 84.0 18,285 1,490.4 117.6 1,575.3 1,124.5
1986* : 9,489.6 101.0 14,973 1,505.0 101.8 1,701.0 1,238.0

* UPDATED FROM "CROP PRODUCTION" REPORT RELEASED JULY 11, 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-8 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

AREA HARVESTED YIELD 2 PRODUCTION

’ 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWT
LARGE LIMA :
CALIF 43.0 17.0 2,120 2,200 648 912 374
BABY LIMA
CALIF 26.0 30.0 2,460 2,400 546 640 720
OTHER
CALIF 104.0 108.0 1,840 1,860 2,024 1,914 2,009
ALL
CALIF 173.0 155.0 2,003 2,002 3,218 3,466 3,103
COLO 220.0 225.0 1,340 1,380 2,394 2,948 3,105
IDAHO 118.0 133.0 1,700 1,800 2,470 2,006 2,394
KANS 16.0 20.0 1,700 1,650 204 272 330
MICH 410.0 470.0 1,320 1,500 4,290 5,412 7,050
MINN 3 62.0 61.0 1,400 1,500 700 868 915
MONT : 3.0 2.7 1,900 1,900 152 57 51
NEBR 2 146.0 205.0 1,850 1,850 3,230 2,701 3,793
NY 2 33.0 30.0 900 1,100 372 297 330
N DAK 2 237.0 275.0 1,270 1,300 2,520 3,010 3,575
UTAH : 8.4 8.8 480 550 54 40 48
WASH t 33.0 28.0 2,150 2,200 710
WYO t 2,000 481
1,577 22,268

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.

SUMMER POTATOES

AREA HARVESTED 3 PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CWT
ALA : 7.8 7.3 1,404 913
CALIF 7.2 6.6 2,700 2,409
COLO 7.4 7.2 2,220 2,160
DEL 6.5 6.9 1,820 1,311
TLL V/ 3.0 2.9 855 725
SND 1.9 af 266 2)
OWA 1/ 1.6 1.7 330 374
MD V/ 1.6 1.6 320 272
MICH 13.8 12.8 3,036 2,880
MINN 6.5 6.2 1,788 1,705
NEBR 1/ 2.5 2.2 700 605
NJ 8.8 8.1 2,464 1,823
N MEX 10.4 8.9 2,860 2,715
NC 2.3 1.9 265 171
OHIO 1.1 2/ 341 2/
TENN 1/ 2.5 2.0 375 260
TEX 2 12.5 9.9 2,750 2,376
VA 3 16.5 13.9 3,300 112
us 1 27,794 Bit

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ COMBINED WITH “FALLTM. ESTIMATES FOR 1986 FALL

POTATOES WILL BE IN CROP PRODUCTION TO BE RELEASED

NOVEMBER 10, 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-22 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


SUMMER POTATOES: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 21.8 million cwt

(9 thousand metric tons), down 22 percent from last year
and 1 percent below the July 1 forecast. Area for harvest is set at 100
thousand acres (40.5 thousand hectares), down 12 percent from last year.
Average yield projections have slipped to 238 cwt per acre, down 3 cwt from
July 1 and 26 cwt below last year.

Potato fields have been devastated by drought conditions in Atlantic and
Southeastern States. Virginia's production estimate now stands at 1.17
million cwt, down two thirds from last year. The average yield fell from 200
cwt per acre last year to 80 cwt this year. Harvest was nearly finished by
the first of August. New Jersey harvest is underway, but production
projections are down 26 percent from last year. Delaware's output is down 28
percent, as size of non-irrigated potatoes is down. Heavy drought damage hit
the North Carolina mountain region, where most of the potatoes are grown.
Production is down 35 percent from last year. Tennessee and Alabama producers
have experienced similar cuts in production.

Michigan and Minnesota, on the other hand, reported excessive rains, with
some damage in Michigan. With acreage down in both States, production will be
within 5 percent of last year. Harvest in the Texas High Plains made good
Progress in July due to open weather. Quality has been good as well as
yields. California harvest started in mid-July and will continue into
September. Quality has been good to excellent.

TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 1.20 billion pounds (542

thousand metric tons), 21 percent below 1985, 31 percent below 1984,
and the smallest crop since 1936. The tower production from a year ago is the
combined result of reduced acreage plus lower yields, with drought limiting
the crop in some major areas. Yield is expected to average 1942 pounds per
acre compared with 2196 pounds per acre in 1985. Acres for harvest is off 11
percent from last year.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 664 million pounds (301 thousand
metric tons), 17 percent below 1985 and down 23 percent from 1984. This would
be the smallest crop since 1941. Yield per acre, at 2030 pounds, is 211 pounds
less than the previous year. Area for harvest, at 327 thousand acres (132
thousand hectares), is off 8 percent from 1985.

In North Carolina, prospects declined during July due to drought,
especially in the Old and Middle Belts. Harvest is 20 percent complete
compared with 13 percent last year and the 5-year average of 27 percent.
South Carolina's harvest was in full swing the Ttast half of July and was 25
percent complete by month's end, considerably behind the 5-year average of 36
percent, Hot, dry weather slowed both growth and maturity. Harvest moved
past the midpoint in Georgia. Very little harvest has occurred in Virginia.
Auaaee harvest was very active in July and is expected to be complete by mid-
ugust.

Burley output is expected to total 425 million pounds (193 thousand metric
tons), 26 percent below last year and 40 percent below the 712 million pounds
(323 thousand metric tons) produced in 1984. Production is down from 1985 in
all producing States. Yield is expected to average 1919 pounds per acre, 328
pounds below last year. Growers expect to harvest 221 thousand acres (89.6
thousand hectares), 13 percent fewer than in 1985.

The Kentucky crop is expected to be down 25 percent, with acreage off 15
percent and yield per acre 275 pounds below last year. Tennessee yield
Prospects are generally poor due to lack of moisture on the very late
transplanted crop. North Carolina prospects have been sharply reduced by
prolonged drought. Disease and insect pressure has been light.

Fire-cured production is forecast at 35.4 million pounds (16.0 thousand
metric tons), 30 percent below 1985, Acreage is down 11 percent. Yield is
expected to average 1586 pounds per acre compared with 2007 pounds the
previous year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-8 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



Southern Maryland Type 32 production, at 26.9 million pounds (12.2 thou-
sand metric tons), is down 18 percent from 1985. Acreage for harvest declined
9 percent from a year ago. Yield per acre is off 142 pounds.

Growers of dark air-cured tobacco expect to harvest 6150 acres (2490
hectares), with a production of 10.6 million pounds (4810 metric tons).
Acreage is off 20 percent and production is 31 percent below a year ago.

All cigar-type production is expected to total 33.8 million pounds (15.3
thousand metric tons), 13 percent less than in 1985. Cigar-filler production
declined 9 percent, binder production is 18 percent lower, and cigar-wrapper
production is down 7 percent from a year ago.

SUGARBEETS: The sugarbeet production forecast, at 25.0 million tons (22.7

million metric tons), is 11 percent more than 1985. The higher
production is the result of increased acreage. All but 2 of the 12 producing
States expect to harvest a larger acreage than a year ago. Expected area
harvested, at 1.22 million acres (495 thousand hectares), is up 117 percent
from 1985. Average yield is forecast at 20.5 tons per acre, the same as last
year.

Planting in Red River Valley of North Dakota and Minnesota was late but
subsequent development has been brisk with plentiful moisture and growing
degree days. The California crop shows a 2 percent production decline from
last year. Mild temperatures have been excellent for growth. Harvest started
about July 1. The Michigan crop is in excellent condition in the thumb and
central part of the State and condition in the southeast is good. Nebraska
beets are in good to excellent condition. Insect damage has been light, while
some treatment for leaf spot was required.

SUGARCANE: Sugarcane production for sugar and seed in 1986 is forecast at

29.9 million tons(27.1 million metric tons), up 6 percent from
Tast year. The larger tonnage than in 1985 is the combined result of higher
yields and more acreage. Harvested area is expected to total 801 thousand
acres (324 thousand hectares), an increase of 4 percent the forecasted yield
of 37.2 tons per acre is 0.6 of a ton above 1985.

Florida's sugarcane is in generally good condition. Weather was not
favorable for optimum growth during the first half of the year, but improved
during June and July. In Hawaii, cane production from most mills for the
first 6 months of 1986 is ahead of the same period a year ago. The increase
reflects better weather and continued improvement in management practices and
varieties grown.

The Louisiana crop is in good condition. A 10 percent increase in acreage
plus a 3-ton higher yield per acre is expected to push production up 24
percent. Hot dry weather in the Rio Grande Valley of Texas has prompted
steady irrigation. Yield outlook is good.

HOPS: The production forecast of 45.2 million pounds (20.5 thousand metric

tons) is 9 percent less than the 1985 crop and 19 percent below 1984.
Area for harvest, at 25.0 thousand acres (10.1 thousand hectares), is 11
percent less than last year. The yield, at 1810 pounds per acre, is up 41
pounds from last year.

Weather conditions have been erratic this season in Washington. Hops got
off to a good start but alternating hot and cold spells have slowed growth.
Harvest is expected to start about August 25.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The August 1 pasture and range feed condi-

tion is rated at 76 percent, 6 points better
than August 1 a year ago, 7 points below July 1, but 1 point better than the
1975-84 average for the date. Compared with July 1, conditions improved in 13
States, deteriorated in 33, and remained unchanged in 2.

Extreme drought conditions existed in Maryland, North Carolina, South
Carolina, and Georgia while severe drought conditions were evident in Delaware,
Virginia, and Alabama. Good to excellent conditions were reported throughout
most of the West, Midwest, and Great Lakes regions although pronounced seasonal
drying lowered ratings across the midwest.

CROP PRODUCTION. AUGUST 1986 B-9 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


PEACHES

:
ALA 2/ : 22.0 6.0
2 23.0 8.0
CAL IF-~FREESTONE : 457.0 460.0
coLo : 12.0 6.5
CONN 2/ : 2.7 3.0
DEL 2/ : 2.0 2.1
GA 2/ : 150.0 105.0
IDAHO 2/ : 7.5 10.0
ay 3 16.0 21.0
IND 2/ : +7 4.0
KANS  2/ : 2.5 4.5
KY 2/ : 3.0 4.0
LA 2/ : 7.0 at
MD : 19.0 19.0
MASS 2/ 1 1.9 241
WICH : 45.0 45.0
MISS 2/ : 5.0 3
Mo 2/ : 15.0 13.0
wd t 50.0 105.0
NY : 11.0 16.8
NC 2/ 1 43.0 25.0
OHIO 2/ ! 47 2.5
OKLA 2/ : 9.0 7.0
OREG 2/ 1 14.9 13.0
PA : 85.0 100.0
sc : 480.0 250.0
TENN 2/ 1 10.0 5.0
TEX 2/ : 23.0 10.0
UTAH 2/ 1 12.0 11.5
vA : 34.0 28.0
WASH : 38.0 38.0
WYA : 17.0 22.0
:
TOTAL ABOVE + 1,617.3 1,347.4
CLINGSTONE 3/ :
CALIF : 1,042.0 985.0 930.0
ALL :
us #265943 2,148.3 2,277.4

17 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED WOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS):
UNITED STATES, EXCLUDING CALIF CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1984-115.43; 1985-33.4.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

3/ CALIF CLINGSTONE 1S OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY
DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS): 1984~-76.0; 1985~67.5.

4/ NO SIGNIFICANT COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION DUE TO FROST.

WALNUTS

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-2B AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/

CROP : 3 : : INDICATED
1985: 1986 =: «1985: 1986
1,000 ACRES
CORN : 83,348 76,646 75,134 69,096
SORGHUM : 18,285 14,973 16,672 13,504
OATS : 13,270 14,787 8,149 7,537
BARLEY : 13,106 13,248 11,553 12,455
ALL WHEAT : 75,575 72,007 64,734 60,903
WINTER > 57,752 53,930 47,953 43,244
DURUM : 3,207 2,882 3,094 2,821
OTHER SPRING : 14,616 15,195 13,687 14,838
RICE : 2,522.0 2,348.0 2,502.0 2,333.0
SOYBEANS > 63,130 61,835 61,584 60,163
PEANUTS : 1,490.4 1,505.0 1,467.4 1,472.0
ALL COTTON :  10,684.6 9,590.6 10,229.0 8,942.2
UPLAND :  10,600.6 9,489.6 10, 145.4 8,841.9
AMER-PIMA : 84.0 101.0 83.6 100.3
ALL HAY : 60,553 60,882
ALFALFA ; : 25,673 26,185
ALL OTHER : 34,880 34,697
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1,575.9 1,701.0 1,486.4 1,645.5
SUMMER POTATOES : 117.6 101.8 113.9 100.1
TOBACCO : 688.0 615.3
SUGARBEETS > 1,124.5 1,238.0 1,102.5 1,224.0
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 770.0 801.4
HOPS : 28.1 25.0

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.£., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP : : : : INDICATED
1985 : 1986 1/  : 1985 : 1986 1/
H 1,000 ACRES

RYE : 2,563 2,364 7 681
FLAXSEED 3 620 695 584 669
POTATOES :

WINTER 2 13.2 12.3 13.2 12.3

SPRING 3 92.0 76.7 87.0 75.6

FALL : 1,182.1 1,056.5 1,142.9 1,035.5
SWEETPOTATOES : 110.2 98.3 105.3 95.1

1/_ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-4 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA




INDEX

PAGE
APPLES, COMMERCIAL ....ccccseccessceccetacercceeeseeeceeseecceesaeees A-27
AREA PLANTED, BY STATES, 1986 . . A- 8
BARLEY ...... seeceesceeeseees A-12
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .. A-22
CORN FOR GRAIN . A- 9
COTTON ...... . A-18
COTTONSEED .......ee0e A-18
FARMS AND LAND IN FARMS A-30
GRAPES ....cceecceeeee . A-29
HAY, ALL ..ccacceccecscesceecseeeces : A-19
ALFALFA & ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY A-20
HAY, ALL OTHER . A-21
HOPS . A-27
OATS . seeeeeeeeenes AAV
OLIVES .....00- ve tenses A-28
PAPAYAS-HAWAII A-26

PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION A-26
CROP MOISTURE MAPS ......ee0 B- ]
PEACHES ..ceseecoeee A-28
PEANUTS FOR NUTS . A-16
PEARS ...ceeeee A-29
POTATOES, SUMME! A~22
PRUNES & PLUMS .. A-26
RICE oes eeeeee A-16
RICE, BY CLASSES ....ce cee ec eee n cent ence eee eceteeeeeceeees A-16
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN ....eeeeeee A-10
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS . A-17
SUGARBEETS .......-- . . A-25
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR A-25
TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE . A-23
TOBACCO, BY STATES ........ A-25
US SUMMARY se eeeeee A- 4
WALNUTS . A-28
WHEAT, ALL ..cceeceeeeveeee A-13
WHEAT, BY CLASSES .. . A-15
WHEAT, DURUM ....... A-15
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING A-15
WHEAT, WINTER .ccccccccccnscccnncccncccresesceseeseesseees ererrer res A-14

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should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room *
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are available as soon as possible following release through USDA's EDI *
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Ob Oe OOF

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-14 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA

&U,S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE :1966-490-916 140525/NASS


DURUM WHEAT

AREA HA
STATE

ARIZ : 46
CALIF : 80
MINN : 33
MONT : 160
N DAK : 2,690
S DAK : 85
us : 3,094

RVESTED

BUSHELS

84.0 87.0
92.0 90.0
52.0 46.0
9.0 25.0
35.5 34.0
31.0 32.0
36.4 36.1

PRODUCTION

1,000 BUSHELS

3,864 4,437
7,360 6,750
1,716 1,564
1,440 3,675
95,495 83,300
2,635 2,048
112,510 101,774

1,000
COLO 72
IDAHO 3 480
MINN 3 2,370
MONT 3 2,400
NEV : 15
N DAK 2 5,730
OREG 2 105
S DAK 3 2,150
UTAK 2 40
WASH 3 290
WIS 3 17
Wyo : 18
us : 13,687

ACRES

55
460
2,800
2,740
14
6,200
115
2,050
38
320
18

28
14,838

BUSHELS
66.0 64.0
54.0 57.0
55.0 45.0
11.0 26.0
70.0 70.0
37.0 35.0
40.0 44.0
30.0 30.0
42.0 40.0
45.0 49.0
40.0 41.0
26.0 35.0
35.4 35.7

WHITE

792
431,072

DURUM

1,000 BUSHELS

4,752
25,920 26,220
130,350 126,000
26,400 71,240

1,050 980
212,010 217,000
4,200 5,060
64,500 61,500
1,680 1,520
13,050 15,680
680 738
468 980

: WHITE

1984 1,250,597
1985 1,230,075
1986 2/: 1,028,586

531,370
368,026
289,294

1,000

278,299
229,094
214,646

BUSHELS

408,801
460,262
503,131

103,439
112,510
101,774

22,271 2,594,777
24,798 2,424,765
27,307

2,164,738

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED

INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES.

THE 5

SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED ANNUALLY AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY

AT 5-YEAR
AVAILABLE.
2/ INDICATED AUGUST 1

» 1986.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986

A-15

-YEAR VARIETAL
INFORMATION BECOMES

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION,

AREA HARVEST!

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

PRODUCTION

£D

YIELD

2 4
1985 : 1

ND 3:
986 : 1984

1,000 BUSHELS

IND ¢
1986 :

1,000 ACRES
1,030 750
3,700 3,550
240 230
230 170
1,550 850
9,000 8,950
4,460 4,250
8,150 8,600
1,410 1,760
1,230 1,070
2,100 1,900
400 380
1,080 980
5,000 4,950
2,620 2,550
5,230 5,600
2,360 2,450
129 118
1,700 1,600
490 490
3,870 3,650
190 230
170 180
1,230 900
1,270 1,340
1,460 1,500
290 210
695 635
300 320

61,584 60,163

AUGUST 1986

A-17

BUSHELS

27.0
26.5
30.0
26.0
24.0
42.5
43.5
38.0
31.0
34.0
21.0
32.0
32.0
32.0
27.0
34.5
36.0
34.0
23.0
26.0
41.5
23.0
35.0
20.0
32.0
31.0
25.0
25.0
32.0
34.1

28,770
101,400

6,000

7,800
40,000
284,130
150,075
264,600
27,825
28.0 42,340
22.0 66,825
24.0 12,325
35.0 32,130
34.0 172,920
21.0 76,800
33.0 108,650
37.0 66,300
26.0 4,123
20.0 46,540
29.0 17,020
39.0 137,605
21.0 4,180
30.0 5,950
14.0 29,800
32.0 31,280
22.0 48,100
25.0 11,890
18.0 21,535
33.0 13,950

S00000000

Nepa-nno—
WOOWUW ON

27,810
98,050
7,200
5,980
37,200
382,500
185,090
309,700

160,605
4,370
5,950

24,600
40,640
45,260
7,250
17,375
9,600

12,750
63,900
6,210
3,910
12,750
384,850
170,000
344,000
51,040
29,960
41,800
9,120
34,300
168,300
53,550
184,800
90,650
3,068
32,000
14,210
142,350
4,830
5,400
12,600
42,880
33,000
5,250
11,430
10,560

32.9 1,860,863 2,098,531 1,979,468

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about August 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports from
farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, cotton and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions
and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their
localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts
and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to
sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More
importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for setected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the August 1 production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1966-85 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error“ for the August 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 8.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current production forecast of 8,316 million bushets will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 8.5 percent or approximately
707 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level}
that the difference will not exceed 14.7 percent or approximately 1,222
mittion bushels,

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn
again aS an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 424 million bushels, ranging
from 6 million to 1,062 million bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 7 times and above 3 times. This does not imply that the
August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS

OOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR

10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

: 190% CONFIDENCE
CROP AND : : LEVEL
UNIT PERCENT: --~----== see

2 ELOW
SMALL: LARGE:FINAL

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT: 1 30 8 2
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 6 1,062 7 3
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU: 6 78 8 2
OATS BU: ia) 55 3 7
BARLEY BU: 2 45 6 4
ALL WHEAT BU: 1 67 7 3
WINTER BU: 2 32 6 4
DURUM BU: 1 15 5 5
OTHER SPRING 4 49 7 3
RICE 0 5 5
SOYBEANS FOR
BEANS 8 4 6
COTTON 8 5 5

V7 CORN FOR GRAIN,- SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-3 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



Growers in the Western States (Arizona, California and New Mexico) expect
to harvest 3.09 million bales of Upland cotton, 25 percent below last year.
The Arizona and California cotton crops progressed rapidly in July under
favorable conditions. In California, pest problems have demanded much more
spraying than required for last year's crop.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina
and South Carolina) is forecast at 700 thousand bales, down 42 percent from
last year. Drought conditions throughout the growing season have seriously
hampered the normal development of the crop in atl States except North
Carolina. Also, record setting temperatures at the end of July caused
additional stress to the crop.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1986, based on a three year average lint-

seed ratio, is forecast at 4.21 million tons (3.81 million metric
tons), 20 percent below the 1985 production of 5.28 million tons, (4.79
million metric tons).

ALL HAY: Production is forecast at a record high 153 million tons (139 million

metric tons), up 3 percent from last year. Area for harvest
totaling 60.9 million acres (24.6 million hectares) is up 1 percent from last
year's 60.6 million acres (24.5 million hectares). The forecast average yield
of 2.52 tons per acre is up .06 of a ton from last year and, if realized,
would be a new United States record high. Increased alfalfa acreage with
excellent yields across most of the major western and Great Lakes hay States
has more than offset the reduced production due to drought evident throughout
the southeastern region.

ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES: United States production is forecast at a record

high 92.2 million tons (83.7 million metric
tons), 2 percent above the previous record high established in 1984 and 8
percent above last year. The total area cut and to be cut, at 26.2 million
acres (10.6 million hectares), is 2 percent above last year but 2 percent
below 1984. Yield per acre is expected to average a record high 3.52 tons per
acre, surpassing the previous record of 3.38 tons set in 1982 by 4 percent and
exceeding last year's 3.32 ton average by 6 percent.

ALL OTHER HAY: Production of all other hay is expected to total 61.2 million

tons (55.5 million metric tons), 4 percent below 1985. Area
for harvest, at 34.7 million acres (14.0 million hectares), is down 1} percent
from last year. Yield is expected to average 1.76 tons per acre, off 4
percent from the record high yield of 1.83 tons per acre set in 1985,

DRY BEANS: Production is forecast at 26.0 million cwt (1.18 million metric

tons), up 17 percent from last year and 23 percent above 1984.
Area for harvest has been adjusted to 1.65 million acres (666 thousand
hectares), down 1 percent from the June Acreage Survey, but is 11 percent
above last year and 13 percent above two years ago. The average yield is
forecast at a record high 1,577 pounds per acre, up 79 pounds from the
previous record high set last year.

California's 1986 dry bean crop has developed very well. Planting has
just been completed. Beans in Colorado were 65 percent in flower by August 3,
a little ahead of normal. Growing conditions are good and crop development is
at a good rate. Idaho beans are setting pods very well in the important Magic
Valley area. Heat stress and grasshoppers are less of a problem than they
were last year. In Nebraska, Wyoming, and Kansas, fields are in mostly good
condition with little damage from disease or weather. Montana prospects are
very good.

Michigan growing conditions are ideat, with record yields expected in most
areas if current conditions continue. In Minnesota, development is ahead of
normal and harvest should start before the end of August. North Dakota fields
are also ahead of normal, after a late start. Rainfall has been adequate to
excessive with some droun-outs. Warm weather, however, helped the crop exceed
the normal growing pace.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-7 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION t/

AVERAGE AVERAGE
1975-84 1975-84
PERCENT

74 83 60 83
73 83 76 90
72 77 82 61
79 72 81 93
76 77 W7 89
75 78 76 30
76 73 52 94
81 83 84 81
70 73 80 74
87 87 64 82
75 83 82 68
79 84 103 86
75 69 68 25
76 74 38 94
81 78 72 66
77 64 76 70
83 80 84 86
77 76 80 88
79 79 73 39
7 84 58 76
77 83 87 70
79 77 61 86
69 86 49 92
80

77 75 70 76

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65~79; VERY POOR, 50-6. SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

1/ UNCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): OREG 1984,1,000; 1985-4,000.

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

1,000 POUNDS

2,395 3,619 3,740

23380 53134 4,080
3,989 2,600
3,722 2,800
4,594 3,200
35383 3,800

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-26 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1976-86 (1977=100)

1977 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 : 102 108 106 93 101 76 106 105
1979 2 113 116 108 108 94 102 80 129
1980 : 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981 : 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982 : 117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983 : 88 67 100 WW7 93 55 75 91
1984 2111 116 107 129 95 91 90 106
1985 : 116 333 106 121 97 93 79 WW
1986 : 110 124 108 109 105 74 62 109

1/_ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
Raymond R. Hancock, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,

APPROVED: Rich D, Allen, John D. Witzig,
Robert L. Addison, David J. Aune,
Douglas C. Bond, James E. Brewster,
Arvin R. Budge, William C. Dobbs,
William N. Dowdy, S. Radley Edwards,
William G. Hamlin, Phillip R. H. Hardy,
. Craig M. Hayes, James A. Heep,
Hoke & hepa — G. Douglas Wicks, Clifton D. dames,
Doyle C. Johnson, Stephen A. Kellogg,
Garry D. Kepley, Curtis E. Lund,
Douglas C. Marousek, Gary A. Nelson,
Martin J. Owens, Darwin E. Ransom,

Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, Larry E. Snipes,
Carrol D. Spencer.

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE
bance a nnn ane nnn ee nn ne ne nn nnn nnn ee nn ne enn nnn nnn wen ene n eee

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-2 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: The first forecast of the 1986 corn for grain crop is set at
8.32 billion bushels (211 million metric tons), 6 percent
below last year's crop but the second largest crop of record.

The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at a record high 120.4 bushels
per acre, up 2.4 bushels from the previous record high set last year. Yields
in the major corn producing States are all at record highs. The yield in the
leading States and bushel change from last year follow: Illinois 142, up 7;
Indiana 132, up 9; Towa 135 up 9; Minnesota 122, up 7; Nebraska 130, up 2;
Ohio 128, up 1; and Wisconsin 114, up 7. The weather conditions throughout
the Corn Belt have been ideal for growing corn. The crop was planted ahead of
normal and had excellent growing conditions all summer with adequate
rainfall, In the southeastern States, the severe drought continues. Although
some rain was received, it did very Jittle to improve the mostly poor
condition. Yields in the southeastern States are down substantially from last
year.

The area to harvested for grain is expected to total 69.1 million acres
(28.0 mitlion hectares), down 8 percent from last year. Planting of the 1986
corn crop got off to a good start and progress ran well ahead of normal
throughout the season. In most areas the crop is considered to be 10 days to
2 weeks ahead of normal. Ample and timely rainfall and ideal temperatures
were received throughout most of the Midwest resulting in near ideal growing
conditions and record high yields. The southeastern States are experiencing
one of the worst droughts in history and their yields are down substantially
from last year.

Harvest is underway in some areas of Texas, Louisiana and Georgia.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

ILO SES
. —

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at 860 million bushels (21.8 million

metric tons), down 23 percent from last year's record high
level of 1.11 billion bushels (28.3 million metric tons). Area for grain
harvest is estimated at 13.5 million acres (5.46 million hectares), down 19
percent from 1985. Planted acreage in Arkansas is revised to 670 thousand
acres, up 45 thousand acres from the June 1 estimate; Louisiana's planted area,
at 380 thousand acres, is estimated downward 70 thousand acres. The U.S.
average yield per acre is forecast at 63.7 bushels, 3.0 bushels below last
year's record high level. Due to the drought in the Southeast, yields are
down substantially in the South Atlantic States, and in Arkansas, and
ennessee,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-3 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA


The estimate for Arizona is a record high 24.0 thousand tons, 30 percent
above last year. Perlette grape harvest began the middle of May, followed by
Flame Seedless and Thompson Seedless. Late shipments were still occurring
near the end of July. Quality of the crop was very good. The forecast for
Michigan is 35.0 thousand tons, 31 percent below a year ago. This decrease is
due to heavy spring frosts and rain during bloom. The New York all grape
forecast is 185 thousand tons, up 27 percent from last year. Early high
temperatures and excess moisture have put the 1986 grape crop ahead of normal
in most areas of the State. Berries are already full size, but moisture has
meant mildew problems--partly because moisture spreads infection quickly and
partly because heavy rains washed off protective sprays. Fruit set was good
despite rains during bloom, yet the overall crop is about average, possibly
from the stress of last year's drought conditions.

Pennsylvania's 1986 grape production is forecast at 58.0 thousand tons, up
8.00 thousand tons from 1985. Average date of full bloom for Pennsylvania
grapes in 1986 was June 12, the same as last year's date. Growers in the
major producing areas are reporting excessive moisture and high humidity where
black rot and mildew have become a problem. Overall cluster development is
reported good and abundant.

Washington's all grape forecast is 160 thousand tons, up 38 percent from
last year. Concord production is forecast at 140 thousand tons and wine grape
production at 20.0 thousand tons. Washington Concord crop should yield better
than last year's frost-damaged crop. According to trade contacts, cluster
count is slightly above average but berry count is down. During bloom the
last of May and early June, temperatures reached 105 degrees. The hot
temperatures plus some 2,4-D drift, has caused heavy berry drop. Wine grape
vineyards generally escaped winter damage except for a few low areas.
Vineyards in the Mattawa area have weathered freezes in 1985-86 better than
others in central Washington.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon and Washington is
expected to total 46.5 thousand tons (42.2 thousand metric
tons), 8 percent less than last year and 11 percent below 1984,

Idaho expects 6000 tons, up 33 percent from 1985. Crop prospects are up
despite frost and hail damage and the crop is developing ahead of normal.

Michigan's crop is forecast at 10.0 thousand tons, down 9 percent from
last year. An excellent quality crop with large sized fruit is expected.
Harvest is expected to begin in early August.

The Oregon forecast of 22.0 thousand tons is down 12 percent from 1985.
Much of the reduction was due to winter damage to trees in the Milton-Freewater
area. The crop in the western part of the State is ahead of normal because of
favorable early weather conditions. Harvest has begun.

Washington's forecast, at 8500 tons, is down 17 percent from last year.
There was some winter damage to trees but the major cause of the decreased
production is the extremely heavy June drop. Harvest of early varieties will
begin in early August.

PAPAYAS: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is forecast at 2.60 million

pounds (1180 metric tons) in August. A steady rise in production is
anticipated over the next three months with September's total expected to
reach 2.80 million pounds (1270 metric tons), followed by an increase to 3.20
million pounds (1450 metric tons) in October. Another increase to 3,80
million pounds (1720 metric tons) is forecast for November.

Fresh utilization during July is estimated at 4.08 million pounds (1850
metric tons), 9 percent more than Tast month, but 21 percent below the level
produced tast July. Year-to-date fresh output is 6 percent less than the
Tevel recorded over the same period a year ago. Total crop area of 4025 acres
{1630 hectares) is 1 percent more than June and 8 percent more than July last
year. Harvested area, at 2380 acres (960 hectares), is 1 percent lower than
the previous month and 13 percent less than last July.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 B-12 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



BARTLETT :
CALIF : 302,000
OREG : 44,000
WASH : 101,000
TOTAL : 447,000

EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
CALIF : 10,000
OREG : 106,000
WASH : 103,000
TOTAL : 219,000

ALL :
CALIF : 312,000
COLO 2/ : 4,600
CONN 2/ : 1,450
MICH : 11,000
NY : 20,000
OREG : 150,000
PA 2/ : 3,300
UTAH 2/ : 3,200
WASH : 204,000
us : 709,550

282,000

75,000
111,000
468,000

10,500
118,000
114,000
242,500

292,500
6,000
1,550
8,000

16,000

193,000
2,300
2,500

225,000

746,850

290,000

55,000
118,000
463,000

10,000
105,000
105,000
220,000

300,000
1,500
1,550

11,000
21,500

160,000
3,000
1,900

223,000

723,450

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): U S

1984-12,800, 1985-150.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

GRAPES
PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE Perce ene nen n enn ene e eer e nnn nenennnne eonennene------
: TOTAL 1/ :
feeee nnn e enn n nee e nnn en enn n es IND
: 1984 : 1985 : 1986
: TONS
TABLE TYPE z
CALIF : 475,000 580,000 550,000
WINE TYPE :
CALIF : 1,900,000 2,140,000 2,000,000
RAISIN TYPE 2/:
CALIF : 2,295,000 2,483,000 1,900,000
ALL GRAPES :
ARIZ : 14,000 18,500 24,000
ARK : 9,000 8,000 6,000
CALIF : 4,670,000 5,203,000 4,450,000
GA : 2,700 2,100 2,000
MICH : 49,000 51,000 35,000
MO : 3,100 900 2,300
NY : 198,000 146,000 185,000
NC : 5,900 1,500 2,500
OHIO : 11,200 7,000 10,000
PA : 60,000 50,000 58,000
sc : 2,500 600 700
WASH : 168,500 116,100 160,000
us + 5,193,900 5,604,700 4,935,500

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD

(TONS): U S$ 1984-25,100, 1985-100,
2/ FRESH BASIS,

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-29 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA



:

DEL 1/ :
FLA 1/2/ 3
:

OWA 1/

MD /

z
=
m
bed
~N

°
x
=
>

WYVA Vf

i
a
>
=

1,000 ACRES
400 220
112 99
570 815
830 675
3,522 2,955
43 34
130 100
825 550
1,350 1,310
750 820
700 700
112 60
11,400 10,200
310 270
210 210
133 140
750 700
2,683 2,964
300 200
1,280 590
3,960 4,887
2,300 2,000
24 23
37 34
570 500
145 155
760 460
8,870 9,130
950 1,050
5,500 5,200
1,065 1,015
210 220
430 300
3,755 3,894
250 325
5,850 4,800
260 263
285 180
2,690 2,420
8 3
157 148
248 278

BUSHELS

32.0
87.5
32.0
83.0
39.6
48.0
33.0
31.0
53.4
49.0
53.0
48.0
38.0
34.0
34.0
49.0
60.0
53.1
31.0
39.0
12.7
39.0
73.8
52.0
36.0
58.0
29.0
36.4
62.0
30.0
52.6
48.0
29.0
29.6
32.0
32.0
33.5
37.0
47.7
43.9
53.4
22.3
37.5

25.0
90.4
42.0
76.7
34.6
36.0
31.0
26.0
58.9
44.0
42.0
38.0
32.0
34.0
35.0
42.0
48.0
44.8
31.0
32.0
29.2
39.0
75.9
40.0
22.0
52.0
30.0
35.0
46.0
29.0
56.4
44.0
27.0
32.8
34.0
24.0
33.2
38.0
49.9
35.0
55.1

33.2

14,820
12,780
61,600
61,840
115,020
2,009

31,150
81,400
70,400
48,300
3,600
431,200
19,000
13,120
6,020
45,600
120,711
25,080
84,050
104,655
81,000
1,840
1,677
11,960
7,820
26,660
284,190
48,400
190,800
68,945
8,360
14,440
126,038
21,400
150,000
8,055
12,375
160,350
499
9,640
8,072

1,000 BUSHELS

12,800
9,804
18,240
68,860
139,302
2,064
4,290
25,575
72,030
36,750
37,100
5,376
433,200
10,540
7,140
6,517
45,000
142,426
9,300
49,920
50,240
89,700
1,770
1,924
20,520
8,410
22,040
323,255
58,900
165,000
56,040
10,080
12,470
111,215
8,000
187,200
8,720
10,545
128,250
344
8,380
5,528

35.5 2,594,777 2,424,765

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION,

AUGUST 1986

A-13

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA

5,500
8,949
34,230
51,750
102,120
1,224
3,100
14,300
77,220
36,080
29,400
2,280
326,400
9,180
7,350
5,880
33,600
132,764
6,200
18,880
142,915
78,000
1,745
1,360
11,000
8,060
13,800
319,500
48,300
150,800
57,260
9,680
8,100
127,628
11,050
115,200
8,720
6,840
120,680
315
8,148
9,230
2,164,738



AREA HARVESTED

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

IND

'

ALA : 200.0
FLA 2 72.0
GA 8 593.0
N MEX : 12.4
nc 3 154.0
OKLA : 83.0
sc 3 12.0
TEX : 245.0
vA : 96.0
us

1,000 ACRES

218.0
70.0
645.0
12.0
143.0
95.0
12.0
190.0
87.0

ARK 3 1,050.0 1,040.0
CALIF Hy 400.0 340.0
LA : 463.0 418.0
MISS z 188.0 178.0
MO 2 72.0 68.0
TEX : 329.0 289.0
us

POUNDS
2,950 2,200 648,550
3,000 2,600 246,400
3,240 2,600 2,160,000
2,580 2,500 32,190
2,935 2,800 449,500
2,060 2,000 189,000
2,850 1,900 39,150
1,725 1,700 371,295
2,955 2,850 269,660
2,414 4

POUNDS
5,200 5,000
7,400 7,500
4,370 4,450
5,350 5,200
4,810 4,600
5,490 5,800
5,437 5,368

1,000 POU

590,000
216,000
1,921,320
31,992
451,990
170,980
34,200
422,625

NDS

479,600
182,000
1,677,000
30,000
400,400
190,000
22,800
323,000
247,950

PRODUCTIO

RICE PRODUCTION By CLASSES, UNITED STATES

9,256
3,128
16,762
125,247

YEAR : LONG GRAIN MEDIUM GRAIN SHORT GRAIN ALL
1,000 CWT

1984 96,029 35,304 7,477 138,810

1985 100,938 28,680 6,424 136,042

1986 1/ : 91,365 29,546 4,336 125,247

1/ INDICATED AUGUST 1, 1986, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1986 A-16 AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD, NASS, USDA