Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1994-95 and Forecasted February 1, 1996 1/
Utilized Production Utilized Production
Boxes Ton Equivalent

Crop and State poot+
: 1993-94

~ 1,000 Boxes 2/

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/ :
AZ 4/ : 700 400 650 26 15 24
CA 4/ > 36,600 35,000 40,000 1,372 1,313 1,500
FL : 107,300 119,700 126,000 4,829 5,387 5,670
TX 3 480 950 900 21 40 38
US : 145,080 156,050 167,550 6,248 6,755 7,232
Valencia :
AZ 4/ : 1,200 650 800 45 24 30
CA 4/ : 27,000 26,000 28,000 1,013 976 1,050
FL : 67,100 85,700 80,000 3,020 3,857 3,600
TX : 70 105 150 3 4 6
us : 95,370 112,455 108,950 4,081 4,861 4,686
All 3
AZ 4/ : 1,900 1,050 1,450 71 39 54
CA 4/ : 63,600 61,000 68,000 2,385 2,289 2,550
FL : 174,400 205,400 206,000 7,849 9,244 9,270
TX 3 550 1,055 1,050 24 44 44
us : 240,450 268,505 276,500 10,329 11,616 11,918
Temples 3
FL : 2,250 2,550 2,200 101 114 99
Grapefruit :
White Seedless
FL : 24,500 25,700 24,000 1,042 1,092 1,020
Colored Seediess
FL : 25,500 28,700 29,000 1,084 1,220 1,233
Other :
FL : 1,050 1,300 1,000 45 55 43
All 3
AZ 4/ : 1,750 1,400 1,200 59 47 40
CA 4/ 5/ :
Desert 3 3,400 3,300 114 ill
Other Areas 3 5,900 6,000 197 201
Total 3 9,300 9,300 7,500 311 312 251
FL : 51,050 55,700 54,000 2,171 2,367 2,296
TX 2 3,000 4,650 4,400 120 186 176
us > 65,100 71,050 67,100 2,661 2,912 2,763
Tangerines :
AZ 4/ 3 1,000 650 750 37 25 28
CA 4/ : 2,300 2,200 2,400 86 82 90
FL 3 4,100 3,550 4,450 195 168 211
us 3 7,400 6,400 7,600 318 275 329
Lemons 4/ :
AZ : 5,200 3,600 5,000 197 137 190
CA : 20,700 20,500 22,000 787 779 836
us > 25,900 24,100 27,000 984 916 1,026
Tangelos :
FL 3 3,350 3,150 2,600 150 142 117
K-Early Citrus :
FL 2 210 120 160 9 5 7
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

February 1996 5 NASS, USDA


the freezing temperatures of January 8 and 9 indicated no significant damage due
to icing. Many caretakers used irrigation during the month to maintain good
tree condition. Harvesting crews had near ideal weather for picking. Movement
of early and mid oranges during January was very active with most of these going
to the processors. Harvest of all seedless grapefruit for both fresh and
processing continued strong with most of the fresh packing coming from the lower
east coast. Early tangerine and tangelo harvest was nearly completed by the end
of the month. Movement of Temples was increasing at the end of the month.
Utilization of Navels through the end of January totaled 5.1 million boxes.
Harvest of early and midseason oranges without Navels was 102.6 million boxes.

Texas Citrus: Harvest continued without delays during January. More grapefruit

went to the processors because of irregular shape, mostly
sheepnose. Grove care companies remained busy with normal operations. Weather
conditions were good during the month, however high irrigation demands will
lower availability of water going into spring.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.46 million pounds for
January. This was 6 percent lower than December and 14 percent lower
than a year ago.

January weather conditions were variable with a mix of sunshine, record high
temperatures, and soaking rains. Papaya ringspot virus remained a serious
problem in the major papaya producing area of the state. Orchard conditions
ranged from poor to good depending on the severity of the virus.

Area in papaya production totaled 3,765 acres. This was 1 percent lower than
last month but 4 percent higher than last January. Harvested area, totaling
2,355 acres, was 2 percent lower than December and 1 percent lower than January
1995.

California Fruits and Nuts: Pruning, dormant spraying, and fumigation were
active in vineyards and deciduous orchards between storms throughout January.
New and replacement trees were planted. Early bud swell in many trees was
reported.

California Citrus: Grapefruit picking in the desert area was active during

January with smooth texture and good quality reported.
Defects included sheepnose and wind scar. Lemons were harvested throughout the
growing area. Wind scar was a concern to growers but overall quality was good.
Navel orange picking gained momentum with approximately one third of the crop
picked by February 1. Rind breakdown, scar, puff, crease, and decay were
problems. Valencia oranges were maturing well with picking expected to begin in
the desert area by late February. Minneola harvest continued with good to
excellent quality.

Walnuts, 1995 Revised: The 1995 California walnut production has been revised
to 234,000 tons, up 6 percent from January's preliminary estimate and up 1
percent from last year’s production of 232,000 tons. Estimates for 1995 price
and value will be published on July 8, 1996.

Almonds, 1995 Revised: The 1995 California almond production remains unchanged
from January's preliminary estimate of 370 million pounds (shelled basis). This
level of production is down from last year's record high crop of 735 million
pounds. Value of utilized production for 1995 was $888 million, Gown 1 percent
from 1994's value of $900 million.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
February 1996 10 NASS, USDA


California Nut Crops: Bearing Acreage, Yield, Production,
Price, and value by Crop, 1993-94 and Revised 1995

Bearing Acreage

Crop
Walnuts :
(English) : 176,000 171,000 170,000 1.48 1.36 1.38
: Pounds (Shelled Basis)
Almonds : 402,000 403,000 390,000 1,220 1,820 949
Production
: - Dollars per Ton --
Walnuts :
(English) 2/ : 260,000 232,000 234,000 1,390 1,000
2 ococcteso- 1,000 Pounds ------- ~--- Dollars per Pound ---
: (Shelled Basis)
Almonds 3/ : 490,000 735,000 370,000 1.94 1,25 2.50
: 1,000 Dollars
walnuts :
(English) 2/ : 361,400 232,000
Almonds 3/ : 930,618 900,375 888,000

1/ Yield based on utilized production.

2/ Price and value estimates for 1995 will be published on July 8, 1996.

3/ Price and value estimates are based on the edible portion of the crop only.
Included in production are inedible quantities of no value as follows:
1993 - 10.3 million pounds, 1994 - 14.7 million pounds,
1995 - 14.8 million pounds.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
February 1996 7 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes

1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL~90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67,
FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76, tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90;
tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95.

3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

5/ California Desert and Other Areas Grapefruit forecasts combined to All
Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1995-96

-- 1,000 Pounds --

Dec 3,790 2,415 3,675
Jan 3,620 3,765 2,375 2,355 4,005 3,460
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

February 1996 6 NASS, USDA


Sugarcane: The 1995 production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at

30.9 million tons. This is unchanged from the last forecast
published in the “Crop Production 1995 Summary” released in mid-January and
virtually unchanged from last years output. The Florida forecast was evaluated
and resulted in no change in production. The forecasts for Hawaii, Louisiana,
and Texas were carried forward from the previous forecast.

Rain early in the month in Florida's sugarcane growing region left some fields
wet but did not slow the harvest. Mostly favorable weather during the month has
allowed the harvest to make good progress. By the end of January one-third of
Florida's sugarcane remained in the field awaiting harvest. The sugarcane mills
anticipate the harvest to be completed in mid-March. Sugarcane planting was
winding down and was expected to be completed by the end of February.

Low temperatures in early January and later in the month caused light damage to
the top leaves, but did not adversely affect expected yields.

Temples: The February 1 forecast for the 1995-96 Florida temple production was
unchanged from January at 2.20 million boxes (99,000 tons), down

14 percent from last season. Harvest of temples increased with about

00 thousand boxes moved by the end of the month.

Grapefruit: The February 1 forecast of the 1995-96 U.S. grapefruit crop is

2.76 million tons, unchanged from last month but down 5 percent
from last season. The forecasts of all three types of Florida grapefruit
remained unchanged from January at 54.0 million boxes (2.30 million tons), down
3 percent from last season. Average fruit size was at near record levels and
fruit quality remained good. The Florida white seedless grapefruit forecast is
24.0 million boxes (1.02 million tons), a decrease of 7 percent from the 1994-95
crop. The colored seedless forecast is 29.0 million boxes (1.23 miliion tons),
an increase of 1 percent from a year ago. The seedy grapefruit crop is expected
to be 1.00 million boxes (43,000 tons), 23 percent fewer than last year. Nearly
20 million boxes of all seedless grapefruit were picked through the end of
January.

The Texas grapefruit forecast, at 4.40 million boxes (176,000 tons) , is
unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last year. The forecast of
California's crop is carried forward from January at 7.50 million boxes

(251,000 tons), 19 percent below last season. Arizona's forecast is also carried
forward from last month and is expected to be 1.20 million boxes (40,000 tons),
14 percent below the 1994-95 crop.

Tangerines: The 1995-96 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 329,000 tons,

2 percent more than last month and 20 percent more than last year.
The Florida tangerine forecast is 4.45 million boxes (211,000 tons), up
3 percent from January and 25 percent from last year. Over 3.4 million boxes of
tangerines were picked. California’s tangerine forecast was carried forward
from January at 2.40 million boxes (90,000 tons), 9 percent more than last
season. The Arizona forecast was also carried forward from last month at
750,000 boxes (28,000 tons), 15 percent more than last season.

Tangelos: The 1995-96 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 2.60 million boxes

(117,000 tons), down 4 percent from last month and down 17 percent
from last year’s production. There were nearly 2.4 million boxes of tangelos
utilized by month’s end.

Florida Citrus: The first two days of January were very wet in contrast to the
rest of the month which was very dry. Field reports following

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
February 1996 9 NASS, USDA


Ey National

Crop PO scsi
Production United States

Service
Department of
Agriculture

Washington,

Released February 9, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(MASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For
information on “Crop Production” call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m.
to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics,
information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information
Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. Forecast refer to
February 1, 1996.

Record Large Orange Crop

All orange production, expected to be the largest crop on record, is forecast at
11.9 million tons, equal to the previous forecast but 3 percent above last
season. Although this forecast reflects the effects of the cold temperatures on
January 8 and 9, it does not reflect effects of freezing weather in Florida
after February 1. Florida's forecast is 206 million boxes (9.27 million tons),
unchanged from January’s forecast but slightly above last season. Early and
mid-season varieties are expected to produce a record high 126 million boxes
(5.67 million tons), the same as the previous forecast but 5 percent above last
year. The Valencia forecast remains at 80.0 million boxes (3.60 million tons),
down 7 percent from a year ago.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1995-96 season is
forecast at 1.47 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, the same as January’s
forecast. Projections for the early and mid-season varieties are 1.44 gallons
per box, up from last month’s 1.42 gallons per box but equal to last year’s
yield. The Valencia crop is expected to yield 1.55 gallons per box, unchanged
from last month but down from 1.58 gallons per box a year ago. The final 1994-
95 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.50 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees
Brix. The forecast projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus
Processors Association.

Cr Pr 2-2 (2-96)


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To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C.,
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employment opportunity employer.

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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
February 1996 i2 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
March 12, 1996.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720~3843
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526
Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068
Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944
Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215
Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157
Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412
Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits (202) 720-7688

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

February 1996 11 NASS, USDA


January Weather Summary: Record snowfall buried the Northeast through

January 12, setting the stage for major river flooding
on January 19-21. A blizzard spun through the Plains on January 17-18,
signaling a pattern change that ended a mid-month warm spell, fueled heavy
snowfall in the upper Midwest, and rejuvenated northern California's wet season.
Arctic air pooled over Alaska and western Canada during January, finally surging

into the North-Central States at month's end.

Pulses of cold air into the Plains held monthly temperatures below normal as far
south as northern Texas. Closer to the cold core, the northern Plains
experienced temperatures 5 to 12 degrees F below normal. Meanwhile, warm
(temperatures 2 to 5 degrees F above normal), wet (precipitation greater than
twice normal) conditions combined to spark very heavy snow from California's
Sierra Nevada to Utah's Wasatch Range. The moisture content of the Sierra
Nevada snowpack, which stood at only about one-third of normal on January 11,
soared to 85 percent (%) of normal by month's end. Elsewhere, heavy snow fell
in the northern Plains and upper Midwest after mid-month, while early-month snow
in the East yielded to heavy rain thereafter, resulting in monthly totals
greater than 8 inches from central Mississippi to southeastern New York.

Although more than 90% of the East's snow fell by January 12, all-time monthly
records were broken in Harrisburg, PA (38.9 inches) and Providence, RI

(37.4 inches). In Iowa, however, 93% of Waterloo's January-record 24.2 inches
of snow fell after January 17. Farther west, monthly snowfall totals of

45.7 inches in Elko, NV and 45.0 inches in Salt Lake City, UT were less than a
half-foot short of all-time records. The central and southern Plains’ dry speil
continued through a fourth consecutive month, however, further stressing poorly
established winter wheat, as monthly totals were a tenth of an inch or less in
locations such as Amarillo, TX (0.07 inches), Oklahoma City, OK (0.08 inches),
and Wichita, KS (0.10 inches). In southern Texas, only a trace of rain fell in
San Antonio and Del Rio. Extremely dry weather also covered the Southwest, with
monthly totals in Arizona as low as 0.19 inches in Flagstaff and 0.01 inches in
Tucson. In contrast, totals in the East were more than 4 inches above normal in
Birmingham, AL (9.59 inches) and Scranton, PA (6.40 inches). Early-month
rainfall in southern Florida ended a 2-month dry spell and boosted monthly
totals to 5.42 inches (272% of normal) in Tampa and 5.39 inches (234% of normal)
in Orlando. Totals in the West included 14.74 inches (186% of normal) in
Eugene, OR and 18.66 inches (150% of normal) at Blue Canyon, CA.

The month's two most impressive storms were a pair of blizzards. The first
dumped record snowfall from the Ohio Valley into the Middle Atlantic States on
January 6-8, including a State-record total of 35 inches in White House Station,
NJ. Ten days later, a potent storm swept away a week-long "January thaw" that
produced nearly 150 daily-record highs across the Western and Central States.
The storm induced blizzard conditions in the North-Central States and buffeted
wheat stands in the central and southern Plains with winds up to 66 mph (at
Dodge City, KS). Record warmth (almost 50 daily records on January 17-18)
overspread the East just long enough to melt nearly all of the deep snowpack,
and in combination with up to 4 inches of rain, created one of the region's
worst mid-winter floods on record. During the month's final days, cold air
began to seep into the North-Central and Northwestern States. In International
Falls, MN, lows dipped to -30 degrees F or below on 10 days during the month,
including four daily records. Heavy snow, including a monthly total of

21.4 inches in Spokane, WA, insulated winter wheat in the Northwest. Even near
sea-level, 10.5 inches fell on Seattle, WA.

The snow "drought" continued in much of Alaska, where Anchorage tallied only
2.5 inches and Fairbanks received 5.4 inches. Respective season-to-date totals
(through January 31) in those two cities were 31.7 and 34.8 inches below normal.
In Juneau, no precipitation fell after January 12, their third-longest dry spell
{19 days) on record, while monthly temperatures averaged 8 degrees F below
normal, their coldest month since January 1982. In Fairbanks, lows fell to

-35 degrees F or lower on 16 days and monthly temperatures averaged 7 degrees F
below normal. In contrast, Hawaii's monthly departures ranged from +1 to

44 degrees F.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
February 1996 8 NASS, USDA


Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production
by Use, State, and United States, 1994-95

Area Harvested Yield 1/ Production 1/

- 1,000 Acres ---

For Sugar

FL : 423.0 427.0 33.6 34.0 14,216 14,518
HI 2/ : 64.3 46.0 81.9 90.0 5,266 4,140
LA 2/ 3 352.0 368.0 24.4 25.4 8,589 9,347
TX 2/ : 42.4 41.3 31.5 33.4 1,334 1,381
US 881.7 882.3 33.4 33.3 29,405 29,386
For Seed
FL 21.0 18.0 34,3 34.0 721 612
HI 2/ 5.0 4.0 19.5 27.5 98 110
LA 2/ 28.0 32.0 24.4 25.4 683 813
TX 2/ 1.1 1.0 20.0 23.0 22 23
us 55.1 55.0 27.7 28.3 1,524 1,558
For Sugar
and Seed
FL 444.0 445.0 33.6 34.0 14,937 15,130
HI 2/ 69.3 50.0 77.4 85.0 5,364 4,250
LA 2/ 380.0 400.0 24.4 25.4 9,272 10,160
TX 2/ H 43.5 42.3 31.2 33.2 1,356 1,404
us 2 936.8 937.3 33.0 33.0 30,929 30,944
i/ Net tons.
2/ Current estimate carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

February 1996 4 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

Sugarcane for :
Sugar and Seed + 936.8 937.3

Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994-95
(Domestic Units)

Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95
(Metric Units)
Area Planted Area Harvested
Crop

2 Hectares
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed 379,110 379,320

Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994-95
(Metric Units)

Yield per Hectare Production
“1995 =; S994 99S
— Metric Tons
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed 74.01 74.01 28,058,320 28,071,920
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

February 1996 3 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Production, United States,
1995 and Forecasted February 1, 1996

Production - Domestic

: Jan 1, : Feb 1,
1995-96 1995-96

Crop and Unit

Citrus Fruits 1/ :
Oranges Ton : 11,616 11,918
Grapefruit eo: 2,912 2,763
: Production - Metric
Oranges 10,537,860 10,811,830 10,811,830
Grapefruit 2,641,720 2,506,550 2,506,550

1/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

by the Acting Secretary of

This report was approved on February 9, 1995,
Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural

Statistics Board.

VAR Gabe (CL, Me~

Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Karl N. Stauber Rich Allen

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop Production
February 1996 2


Keep Up with Changing Farm Prospects.

Attend USDA’s Agricultural Outlook Forum '96 for
the latest assessment of farm and commodity pros-
pects. Policy makers and leading analysts will discuss
the impact of tight commodity supplies and new farm
policies. Agriculture officials from key trading nations
have been invited to discuss trade issues.

Act Now To Attend. For registration information call
(202) 401-9139 or fax (202) 401-7304. For program
details call (202) 720-3050, or call (202) 219-0296 from
your fax machine and request document 66666.

®
a

ow

WO Agricultural

&@ Outlook

# Forum’96

February 21 and 22, 1996

Want News from the Forum? Audio and video tapes, Washington, D.C.
a printed proceedings and speeches on Internet will be
available right after the Forum. Call (202) 720-3050
for details. On the Web: http://www.econ.ag.gov/ Presented by the
U.S. Department of Agriculture
eee , 6 2
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