: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND: : : IND

: 1989 +: 1990 : 1989 : 1999 : 1988 : 1989 : 41990

: ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
cr: 1,730 1,880 1,614 1,525 2,971 2,793 2,867
FL 6,700 7,000 2,650 2,750 17,152 17,755 19,250
CA 40,000 43,000 2,180 2,250 85,880 87,200 96,750
IN: 6,100 6,400 2,170 2,100 10,945 13,237 13,440
KY =: 178,050 194,800 2,059 2,197 355,024 366,551 428,010
MD : — 7,300 7,100 1,110 1,330 11,970 8,103 9,443
Mo: 480 470 1,554 1,528 767 746 718
M1/: 2,500 2,500 2,180 2,150 4,422 5,450 5,375
NC: 266,700 285,500 2,029 2,133 552,627 541,056 608,950
OH =: = 9,100 9,100 1,750 1,950 14,497 15,925 17,745
PA: 9,500 10,000 1,887 1,963 18,175 17,925 19,630
SC: 48,000 51,000 2,160 2,050 100,125 103,680 104,550
TN : 45,500 47,050 1,754 2,116 93,142 79,820 99,565
VA : 49,590 53,280 1,892 1,970 92,177 93,814 104,940
Wwi/: 1,450 1,800 1,300 1,600 2,720 1,885 2,880
WI: ~~ «5,700 6,700 1,998 1,975 6,906 11,391 13,235
US : 678,400 727,580 2,016 2,127 1,369,500 1,367,331 1,547,348

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-20

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD


Production of pears other than Bartlett, in the Pacific Coast States, is
forecast at 358 thousand tons, unchanged from the August 1 forecast and
virtually unchanged fran the 1989 crop. Harvest of a good quality crop in
California is in progress. Picking of Anjou and Comice varieties began the
last week of August in Oregon. Washington growers have just started picking.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 5.48 million tons, virtually

from the August 1 forecast but 8 percent below last year's
production. Only California, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, and Washington
had the opportunity to change their August 1 forecast. The August 1 forecast
was carried forward for the remaining States.

Califarnia's production, at 4.96 million tons, is unchanged from last
month but 8 percent below last year. ‘The California raisin variety grape
forecast is 2.25 million tons, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 12
percent below 1989 output. Harvesting of raisin-type grapes for raisins is
significantly ahead of past years with approximately 90 percent of the crop on
trays. Quality is reported good with a high sugar level.

The California wine variety grape forecast of 2.10 million tons is
unchanged fram August 1 but 4 percent below 1989 output. Wine grape harvest
has begun but is approximately 35 percent behind last year's pace. Quality is
good.

The California table grape forecast is 610 thousand tons, the same as
August 1 but 3 percent below the 1989 crop. Table grape harvest continues
with excellent quality reported.

The Washington all grape forecast, at 200 thousand tons, is dowm 9
percent from the August 1 forecast and 13 percent below 1989 production.
Central Washington's hottest weather in 20 years has caused berry size to be
smaller than desired. Wine grape harvest was expected to start after Labor
Day with Concord harvest to begin about mid-September.

The New York grape forecast is 145 thousand tons, 3 percent below last
month and 5 percent less than the 1989 season. Some Concords and Niagaras
were ready to be picked in the Hudson Valley by early September.

Michigan's forecast of 58.0 thousand tons is unchanged from last month
but 35 percent above the 1989 production. Harvest of early wine grapes is
underway. Niagara harvest is expected to begin about mid-September. Concord
harvest should begin by late September.

The Pennsylvania forecast is 53.0 thousand tons, unchanged from August
1 but 12 percent below the 1989 season. Harvest began during late August.
Berry size is good but small bunches are being reported.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune production (dried basis) is forecast at

150 thousand tons, down 6 percent from the July 1 forecast
and 34 percent less than 1989. Harvest is nearing completion. Fruit quality
and size have been good. Some cracking of fruit occurred but most dropped
before harvest.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and
Washington is forecast at 45.3 thousand tons, unchanged from August 1 but up
3 percent from the 1989 crop. Harvest in Idaho is about half complete.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-12 NASS, USDA


Yields are expected to average 2,043 pounds per harvested acre, down 383
pounds from 1989 and down 406 pounds from last month.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina) is expected to total 2.04 billion pounds, down 23 percent from
1989 and 24 percent below the August 1 forecast. Yield for the 4-State area
is expected to average 1,877 pounds per acre, 697 pounds less than last year.
High temperatures and sparse rainfall during August significantly lowered
expected yields. The Georgia crop has infestations of spider mites, corn
earworms, lessor cornstalk borers, and recently, fall armyworms. This State's
crop condition was rated 5 percent good, 34 percent fair and 61 percent poor
or very poor as of September 2. Sencar ant OF Georgia's crop was combined By
September 2, slightly ahead of average.

The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 709 million
pounds, up 15 percent fram last year, and virtually unchanged from the August
1 forecast. Yield per harvested acre, at 2,737 pounds, is 201 pounds above
last year's yield. North Carolina's crop received adequate rain during the
month. Disease problems are occurring in both States.

The Southwest peamut crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected
to total 813 million pounds, up 10 percent from last year and virtually
unchanged from the 809 million pounds forecast on August 1. Yields are
expected to average 2,044 pounds per acre, 90 pounds above last year's yield.
Development of the Oklahoma crop was aided by recent hot temperatures. Peanut
harvest continued in early central Texas fields. Some dryland fields were
wilting due to extreme heat and dry conditions.

SUMMER POTATOES: This year's crop of summer potatoes is now forecast at 24.5

million cwt, 3 percent below last month's forecast but up 11

from last year and 22 percent above 1988. The average yield dropped

5 cwt from last month to 245 cwt per acre. That yield, however, is above a

year ago by 3 percent. Harvest is anticipated from 100 thousand acres, up 7
percent from last year and 9 percent above two years ago.

Harvest is nearly finished in the Eastern Atlantic States. Delaware was
91 percent complete by September 2nd and Maryland, 97 percent complete.
Virginia and New Jersey wound up their season with good weather and quality.
High temperatures delayed digging in Alabama, but there was little loss of
quality and yield. Texas growers were mostly finished by September 1, with
good quality but small sizes. Growers in Illinois and Nebraska are about
halfway through harvest. Good crops are reported in both States. Excellent
conditions benefitted Michigan's summer crop where harvesting is virtually
camplete.

Serious flooding in Iowa damaged potatoes extensively. Cooler weather
in Minnesota should help produce a good crop. California lost some potatoes
to heat. Harvest remains active in San Joaquin and Santa Barbara Counties.

FALL POTATOES, 1989 FINAL: Season ending revisions for the 1989 fall potato

crop place production at 325 million cwt, up 4
percent from 1988 but 6 percent below 1987. Harvested acreage totaled 1.09
million acres in 1989, up 1 percent from 1988 but 1 percent below 1987. The

average yield was 299 cwt per acre, up 7 cwt from a year earlier but 15 cwt
below 1987.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-8 NASS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
STATE >: IND : > IND : : > IND
3 1989 : 19990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 H 1989 : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL 3 570 450 21.0 19.0 14,250 11,970 8,550
AR: 3,200 3,050 24.0 23.0 83,200 76,800 70,150
DE : 250 195 29.0 32.0 6,075 7,250 6,240
FL 1/ : 120 75 22.0 25.0 3,335 2,640 1,875
CA 3 1,100 860 26.0 19.0 22,500 28,600 16,340
IL 3 8,850 9,100 40.0 38.0 234,900 354,000 345,800
IN H 4,550 4,250 37.0 37.0 115,500 168,350 157,250
TA : 8,280 7,900 39.0 39.0 251,100 322,920 308,100
Ks 3 1,850 1,950 27.0 28.0 46,000 49,950 54,600
KY 3 1,170 1,210 31.5 30.0 24,115 36,855 36,300
IA : 1,600 1,700 21.0 24.0 56,550 33,600 40,800
MD 3 550 495 30.0 33.0 14,105 16,500 16,335
MI : 1,080 1,140 36.0 37.0 35,090 38,880 42,180
MN 3 5,000 4,500 37.0 36.0 124,800 185,000 162,000
MS : 2,000 2,000 20.0 20.0 49,500 40,000 40,000
MO : 4,350 4,100 28.5 28.0 112,095 123,975 114,800
NE 3 2,560 2,350 32. 35.0 70,800 81,920 82,250
NI1/: 113 108 32.0 34.0 2,781 3,616 3,672
NC : 1,550 1,350 27.0 26.0 35,370 41,850 35,100
ND 3 630 445 22.0 25.0 12,420 13,860 11,125
cH 3 3,980 3,680 32.0 36.0 99,900 127,360 132,480
OK 1/: 285 230 24.0 20.0 4,860 6,840 4,600
PA 1/: 305 275 34.0 35.0 7,840 10,370 9,625
se Hy 960 790 21.0 19.0 18,565 20,160 15,010
sD 3 1,880 1,920 26.0 27.0 41,520 48,880 51,840
IN H 1,240 1,250 24.0 23.0 31,980 29,760 28,750
TM 3: 415 230 30.0 28.0 6,300 12,450 6,440
VA 3 540 530 32.0 31.0 14,420 17,280 16,430
WI : 410 420 37.0 38.0 8,970 15,170 15,960
US : 59,388 56,553 32.4 32.4 1,548,841 1,926,806 1,834,602

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-14

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE : AVERAGE : 1989 : 1990 3: STATE : AVERAGE : 1989 : 1990
3 1979-88 : 3 3s 3 1979-88 : 3
3 PERCENT 33 3 PERCENT

AL 3 72 85 45 3: NV 3 79 62 63
AZ 3 82 64 70 33 NH : 86 93 90
AR 2 «67 82 53. 3: NJ 2 «73 97 97
CA 2 «82 60 43° :: NM 2 «84 67 74
co : 80 71 77 3: NY 3 76 76 83
cT : 78 96 94 33 NC 3 71 92 74
DE 3 68 75 90 :: ND : 66 45 47
FL 2 84 84 76 3: OH 3 76 85 97
GA 2 «67 86 51 3: OK 2 70 93 72
ID 2 78 72 67 2: OR 2 79 83 69
IL 3 72 76 84 :: PA : 71 80 90
IN 3 75 90 91 :: RI : 85 90 96
TA 3 73 54 92 33 SC 3 66 87 57
KS 3 75 76 83 3: SD 3 71 45 71
KY 3 75 95 83 3: IN 3 73 91 59
IA 2 678 82 56 3: TX 2 «61 62 57
ME : 84 84 86 23 UT : 83 45 53
MD 3 67 73 90 i: V0 3 83 86 88
MA 3 83 93 89 2: VA H 75 97 85
MI 3 78 84 91 3: WA : 77 80 82
MN 3 676 54 75 3: W 2 «72 93 85
MS 3 75 87 55 i: WO Hy 78 76 88
MO 3 67 84 77 33 W 3 78 62 88
ur 3 «67 89 773s :

NE : 78 47 76 °#3::US 3: 73 72 71

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64;
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-24

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


The crop in that State varies considerably as same growers reported extensive
hail damage and sunburn while others reported a good crop. Picking of Stanley
plums in Michigan is underway. Although the overall crop is small, fruit size
is good. Harvesting of early varieties in Oregon began near the end of July
and continued through August. Fruit size was small fram those pickings. Size
is expected to be better in later varieties. In Washington, harvest is
camplete on early varieties and nearing completion on later varieties.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: Harvesting of early variety almonds was active by

the end of August. The apple and fig harvests
continued. Early August heat caused Granny Smith apple sizing to slow. The
summer citrus harvest was slow. Dates were dusted and bagged. Picking of
grapes for fresh market continued, while picking of grapes for wine and
raisins was just beginning. Grape vineyards continued to be treated to
control leafhoppers, mildew, worms, and mites. The stonefruit harvest slowed
somewhat by month's end with more than 90 percent of Freestone peaches, plums,
and nectarines packed. The Clingstone peach harvest progressed, while
orchards were treated to control oriental fruit moth and peach twig borer.
Harvesting of prunes was active. New crop Navel oranges were reported to be
sizing well. The Bartlett and winter pear harvests were nearly complete by
month's end. Pistachio orchards were treated to control worms and insects.
Some pistachio growers began shaking trees at month's end. Walnut orchards
were treated for codling moth, husk fly, and mites. Heat during the month
caused some walnut orchards to sunburn, while other orchards were whitewashed
for sunburn protection.

HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS) : The 1990 hazelnut (filbert) production in Oregon and

Washington is estimated at 21.0 thousand tons (in-shell
basis). This production level is 62 percent above last year and the third
largest on record. The Oregon crop is expected to total 20.7 thousand tons,

while Washington growers are expected to harvest 300 tons.

Pollination was much better than occurred with last year's freeze
damaged crop. Adequate rainfall during May and early June resulted in good to
excellent nut sizing and vigorous tree growth. Since early July, above
average temperatures and limited precipitation have caused the crop to develop
very rapidly. Should warm, dry weather continue through September, harvest
will be one to three weeks earlier than normal.

WALNUTS: The September 1 forecast for California walnut production is 225

thousand tons (in-shell basis), 2 percent below last year but 8
percent above the 1988 crop. This year's walmut crop is being affected by
sunburn and drought, especially in the southern San Joaquin Valley. Nut set
is above a year earlier but similar to 1988. Sizes are variable because of a
mild spring and hot summer. The 1990 bearing acreage forecast is 178 thousand
acres, up 1 percent from the previous season. Harvest is expected to begin by
mid-September.

PISTACHIOS: The California pistachio production forecast is a record high 115

million pounds (in-shell basis), almost 3 times greater than last
season's crop and 22 percent above the previous record high established in
1988. The large increase is primarily due to the alternate bearing cycle of
the pistachio tree. Bearing acreage also increased 6 percent fram 1989 to
51.5 thousand acres.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-13 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

1,000

7,527,152 7,850,164 8,118,117
617,860 546,835 572,405
403,443 402,523 409,483

2,035,818 2,705,558 2,755,484

92,229 108,019 220,505
489,747 543,252 580,692
154,487 158,120 158,967

1,926,806 1,836,017 1,834,602

3,989,995 4,177,500 3,557,500
12,195.6 " 14,864.4  14,722.4
12;503.9 14,424.9  14,297.9

691.7 439.5 424.5

4,676.9 5,775.4 5,733.2
24,333 33,542 31,446
22,155 25,308 24,521.

370,444

1,367,331 1,524,273 1,547,348
25,129 28,107 27,295
29,426 24,908 24,738

917.0 938.0 938.5

5,930.9 5,503.5 5,478.5
226.0 4/ 160.0. _ 150.

44.0 45.3 45.3

13.0 5/ 21.0 21.0
250,500 221,000
19,000 115,000

229.0 4/ 220.0 225.0

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ 1989 REVISED. 3/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION
AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. ‘THE 1979-88 AVERAGE IS 73 PERCENT. 4/ JULY 1, 1990.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

: YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCTION
AND 3 : INDI : : INDICATED
UNIT. : 1989 «=: 19901/ : 1989 : 1990 1/
: 1,000
BU: 54.4 59.0 373,778 365,337
WINTER WHEAT a 3 35.1 41.0 1,453,842 2,054,287
ALL HAY TON : 2.29 2.40 145,445 148, 462
‘ALFALFA wo: 2.98 3.30 77,208
ALL OTHER moog 1.82 1.80 68,237
POTATOES :
WINTER own: 212 180 2,764
SPRING #235 253 20,852
FALL 2/ "3 324,673
HOPS IB: 1,717 1,701 59,326.4
APPLES, COMM'L ” : 965,600
‘PEACHES "os 2,333,300
‘SWEET CHERRIES TON : 194.5
‘TART CHERRIES IB: 274,700.0
APRICOTS TON: 117.)
.
(CALIF) " 200.0
PLUMS (CALIF) 3 213.0
OLIVES (CALIF) eo: 123.0 95.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) 1B: 490,000 655,000

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1989 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 aA-5 NASS, USDA


Prospects deteriorated fram August 1 in the Gulf Coast States and the Dakotas
due to hot, dry conditions.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990

BILLION BUSHELS

2.50

2.19 2.10

1.99 194 1.94 1.94
2.00 186 1.83

1.64 1.55

1.50

1.00

0.50

0.00
81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90

YEAR

COTTON: All cotton production is forecast at 14.7 million bales, dam 1

percent fram the August 1 forecast but 21 percent above last year's
production. Of the total, Upland production is expected to account for 14.3
million bales, while Pima production will total 425 thousand bales.

Growers expect to harvest 11.5 million acres, up 20 percent from 1989
and virtually unchanged from the August estimate. Yield is expected to
average 616 pounds per acre, 6 pounds below the initial August 1 forecast but
2 pounds above last year.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast to be 4.80
million bales, 8 percent above last month and 58 percent greater than 1989.
In Texas, cotton harvest progressed favorably in southern areas of the State.
Mostly hot, dry conditions aided crop maturity and harvest with only slight
delays resulting from showers. Cotton on the Texas plains, and the Oklahoma
crop, benefitted fram mostly hot days and cotton developed rapidly.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and
Tennessee) expect to produce 4.83 million bales, down 4 percent from August
but up 20 percent from 1989. Hot, dry weather during the past month caused
yield prospects to decline in Louisiana.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-6 NASS, USDA


: AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
CLASS AND TYPE 3
3 : IN : : IND : : IND
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990
: ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED 3
TYPE 11, OLD AND 3
MIDOLE BELTS :
NC : 98,000 104,000 1,945 2,050 190,610 213,200
VA : 37,000 40,000 1,935 2,000 71,595 80,000
US : 135,000 144,000 1,942 2,036 262,205 293,200
TYPE 12, EASTERN NC :
BELT :
Nc 2: 127,000 137,000 2,090 2,200 265,430 301,400
TYPE 13, NC BORDER & :
Sc BELT 3
ne 3: 34,000 36,000 2,120 2,125 72,080 76,500
sc 2: 48,000 51,000 2,160 2,050 103,680 104,550
Us : 82,000 87,000 2,143 2,081 175,760 181,050
TYPE 14, GA-FL BELT :
FL 3 6,700 7,000 2,650 2,750 17,755 19,250
GA : 40,000 43,000 2,180 2,250 87,200 96,750
us : 46,700 50,000 2,247 2,320 104,955 116,000
TOTAL 11-14 2: 390,700 418,000 2,069 2,133 808,350 891,650
CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED 3
TYPE 21, VA BELT 3
VA : 2,000 2,200 1,240 1,300 2,480 2,860
TYPE 22, EASTERN 3
DISTRICT :
KY 2 3,100 3,500 1,930 2,100 5,983 7,350
IN : 6,500 7,000 1,920 2,200 12,480 15,400
US 3 9,600 10,500 1,923 2,167 18,463 22,750
TYPE 23, WESTERN :
DISTRICT :
KY 3 3,000 3,200 2,290 2,300 6,870 7,360
TMN : 500 550 2,220 2,300 1,110 1,265
US Hy 3,500 3,750 2,280 2,300 7,980 8,625
TOTAL 21-23 : 15,100 16,450 1,915 2,081 28,923 34,235
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED 3
CLASS 3A, LIGHT 3
AIR-CURED :
TYPE 31, BURLEY H
In 3 6,100 6,400 2,170 2,100 13,237 13,440
KY 3 169,000 185,000 2,060 2,200 348,140 407,000
mw l/ 3 2,500 2,500 2,180 2,150 5,450 5,375
NC 2 7,700 8,500 1,680 2,100 12,936 17,850
OH : 9,100 9,100 1,750 1,950 15,925 17,745
IN : 38,000 39,000 1,720 2,100 65,360 81,900
VA : 10,500 11,000 1,870 2,000 19,635 22,000
w i 2 1,450 1,800 1,300 1,600 1,885 2,880
Us 2: 244,350 263,300 1,975 2,158 482,568 568,190
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD :
BELT :
MD : 7,300 7,100 1,110 1,330 8,103 9,443
PA : 4,000 3,700 1,800 1,900 7,200 7,030
us : 11,300 10,800 1,354 1,525 15,303 16,473
TOTAL 31-32 2 255,650 274,100 1,947 2,133 497,871 584,663

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARILER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-21

CONTINUED

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


PRUNES AND PLUMS

: PRODUCTION
STATE AND CROP : TOTAL 1/ :
: : IND
: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: TONS
(DRIED BASIS) :
cA : 151,000 226,000 150,000
AND :
D : : 6,500 6,500 6,800
MI : 11,000 13,000 6,000
OR : 21,000 11,000 20,000
WA : 13,500 13,500 12,500
TOTAL : 52,000 44,000 45,300

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): 1988-3,900;
1989-2,150.

NUTS
: PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE : UTILIZED :
: : IND
: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: TONS (IN-SHELL BASIS)
HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS) 1/ :
OR : 16,300 12,800 20,700
WA : 200 200 300
TOTAL : 16,500 13,000 21,000
WALNUTS yo:
cA : 209,000 229,000 225,000
PISTACHIO NUTS yo: 1,000 POUNDS
CA : (IN-SHELL BASIS)
MARKETABLE IN-SHELL : 76,100 33,000 2/
SHELLING STOCK : 17,900 6,000 2/
TOTAL : 94,000 39,000 115,000

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ PRODUCTION BY TYPE OF SALE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN THE "NON-CITRUS FRUIT AND
NUTS-PRELIMINARY" TO BE RELEASED IN JANUARY 1991.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A~27 NASS, USDA


SUGARBEETS 1/

3 AREA HARVESTED : YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
STATE : : 3 3 3 : :
3 1989 2 1990 : 1989 3 1990 3: «©1988 2 1989 : 1990
H 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
CA : 169.0 165.0 27.3 27.0 5,300 4,614 4,455
fee} z 40.0 40.0 22.8 22.0 880 912 880
ID 3 177.0 187.0 22.8 24.5 4,084 4,038 4,582
MI : 150.0 157.0 17.1 20.0 2,393 2,565 3,140
MN : 341.0 362.0 16.0 15.5 4,743 5,456 5,611
Mr 3 51.9 55.0 19.9 20.5 1,032 1,033 1,128
NE 2 62.4 71.6 18.7 20.5 1,319 1,167 1,468
NM 2 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 9 2/ 2/
ND 3 180.1 190.0 15.7 16.0 2,580 2,828 3,040
OH 3 11.9 19.0 16.7 20.0 234 199 380
OR H 15.2 16.0 25.7 26.0 376 391 416
TX 3 35.3 41.0 21.0 22.0 723 743 902
wy : 59.3 63.4 19.2 19.5 1,137 1,139 1,236
OTH 3/: 1.6 2.2 27.5 25.9 44 57
US 2 1,294.7 1,369.2 19.4 19.9 24,810 25,129 27,295

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED

BEETS IN CA.

2/ INCLUDED IN OTHER TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.

3/ INCLUDES NM AND WA.

ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD 1/ : PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND
3 1989 : 1990 3: 1989 : 1990 2 ©1988 : #1989 2 1990
3 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
FL 3 420.0 422.0 31.4 31.5 13,304 13,188 13,293
HI Hy 81.4 81.0 89.4 91.9 7,804 7,277 7,444
IA : 315.0 170.0 25.7 18.0 7,708 8,083 3,060
TM 3 35.5 36.2 24.7 26.0 1,088 878 941
US : 851.9 709.2 34.5 34.9 29,904 29,426 24,738
1/ NET TONS.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-23 NASS, USDA


Twenty-eight percent of Mississippi's crop was rated good to excellent on
September 2, compared with 82 percent on August 5. ‘The condition of
Tennessee's crop for these same dates was 13 percent and 53 percent,
respectively. By September 2, boll opening in Arkansas was 8 percent, 31
points behind average.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico)
iss expected to total 3.56 million bales, down 1 percent from August but up 5
percent from 1989. The California crop is in good to excellent condition.
Final irrigation was applied to most fields. Arizona's yield prospects
declined during the past month. Fifty-six percent of Arizona's crop was rated
good to excellent by September 2. One month earlier the entire crop was rated
good to excellent. Yields in this region are expected to average 1,192 pounds
per acre, down 28 pounds from 1989.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North
Carolina, and South Carolina) puts production at 1.06 million bales, down 17
percent from the August forecast but 3 percent above 1989 production. Except
for North Carolina, this region also experienced hot, dry weather during the
past month, reducing potential yields. In Geargia, adverse weather conditions
were further aggravated by heavy insect activity. A 181 pound per acre
decrease in yield from last year is the result. Regional yields are expected
to average 134 pounds less than in 1989.

Bureau of the Census reports 582,536 running bales ginned prior to
1, compared with 382,250 running bales for the same date last year
and 803,797 running bales in 1988.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1990, based on a 3 year average lint-seed ratio,
is expected to total 5.73 million tons, up 23 percent from the
1989 production of 4.68 million tons.

DRY EDIBLE BEANS: Production is forecast at 31.4 million cwt, 6 percent below

the August 1 forecast but up 29 percent fram last year.
Drought and heat damaged beans in the Northern and Central Plains States
causing potential yield losses from Minnesota to Colorado. Area for harvest
is estimated at 2.13 million acres, up 26 percent from last year and 57
percent above two years ago. Expected yields fell 98 pounds during August to
an average of 1,478 pounds per acre. This yield is still above the last two
years.

Harvest is just underway in most States. Some cracking of beans during
threshing has resulted from the hot August weather. North Dakota farmers
had harvested 20 percent of their beans by September 1, compared with a 7
Percent average. Colorado, on the other hand, is late with only 9 percent
harvested. Idaho harvest was 9 percent along by the first of the month. In
Wyoming, development is late with windrowing and threshing just starting.

harvest started the last week of August. New York and Michigan
growers anticipate excellent crop yields as both States begin harvest.

PEANUTS: Production is forecast at 3.56 billion pounds, down 11 percent fron

last year and down 15 percent from the August 1 forecast. Harvested
area, estimated at 1.74 million acres, 6 percent above last year, is the
largest acreage for harvest since 1951.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B7 NASS, USDA


SEASONAL : AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
GROUP :
AND : : : 3 2 ?
STATE : 1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1990: 1988 +: 1989 1990
: 1,000 ACRES cur 1,000 cwr
SUMMER :
AL 3 7.5 6.8 170 160 693 1,275 1,088
cA : 6.1 5.6 360 330 ©: 1,918 2,196 1,848
fee) : 6.7 6.9 320 280 © =1,861 2,144 1,932
DE 3 7.2 8.2 160 245 1,806 1,152 2,009
cat : 3.3 3.2 260 270 736 858 864
TA 3 1.5 1.2 175 140 289 263 168
TMD : 1.8 1.8 175 180 460 315 324
MI : 10.0 11.5 230 250 1,620 2,300 2,875
MN : 6.3 6.1 300 300 1,482 1,890 1,830
MO 3/ 3 5.8 165 957
NE 2 2.3 2.3 260 280 690 598 644
No : 4.8 4.4 185 230 «1,014 888 1,012
NM 125 12.5 350 350 3,060 4,025 4,375
Ne : 1.4 1.4 90 100 168 126 140
1N : 0.6 2/ 100 2/ 59 60 2/
TM : 10.5 11.5 250 220. © 2,250 2,625 2,530
VA : 12.0 11.0 120 175 2,048 1,440 1,925
TOTAL : 93.5 100.2 237 245 20,154 22,155 24,521
FALL 1/ 4/
cA : 16.2 16.4 400 6,105 6,440
foe) : 61.5 65.0 335 19,040 20,603
cr : 0.3 2/ 210 235 63
D :
10 SWOO : 17.0 20.0 395 7,200 6,715
OTHER CO 4: «336.0 373.0 285 95,410 95,760
IN 3 4.0 4.1 240 756 960
ME : 80.0 80.0 275 22,000 22,000
MA 3 2.5 2.6 240 572 600
MI : 30.0 33.0 245 7,820 7,350
Ny : 66.0 68.0 210 12/075 13, 860
Mr 3 8.1 8.9 275 2,156 2,228
NE 2 7.9 7.0 320 2,128 2,528
NV : 8.0 7.0 325 2,480 2,600
NY :
LONG IS: 7.3 6.3 260 1,992 1,898
UPSTATE =: 21.5 20.5 220 4,800 4,730
ND : 137.0 142.0 110 15,525 15,070
OH : 7.9 7.8 185 1,697 1,462
oR :
MALHEUR: 5.2 6.8 390 2,400 2,028
OTHERCO : 44.8 45.2 475 18,335 21,280
PA : 20.5 22.5 230 3,690 4,715
RI : 1.2 1.2 250 300 300
sD : 9.0 9.0 220 1,600 1,980
Ur : 6.1 6.3 245, 1,617 1,495
WA : 118.0 129.0 545, 63,250 64,310
WI : 68.0 68.0 340 20,000 23,120
Wy : 2.2 2.2 275 475 578
TOTAL : 1,086.0 1,151.8 299 313,558 324,673
Us + 1,281.5 1,359.6 289 356,438 370,444

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. ESTIMATES
FOR 1990 YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR FALL POTATOES WILL BE PUBLISHED NOVEMBER 8,
1990. 2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED. 3/ ESTIMATES BEGUN IN 1990. 4/ 1989
REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-18 NASS, USDA


: AREA HARVESTED YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : : 3 IND

3 1989 : 1990 :; 1989 =: 1990 : 1988 2 1989 3 1990

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AZ1/: 12 15 103.0 99.0 1,352 1,236 1,485
all: 240 200 56.0 52.0 17,080 13,440 10,400
co 3 160 150 76.0 75.0 11,725 12,160 11,250
DE 1/ : 40 27 55.0 50.0 2,160 2,200 1,350
ID : 850 780 70.0 72.0 51,000 59,500 56,160
Ks 1/: 18 21 32.0 42.0 2,975 576 882
RY 1/: 17 13 67.0 52.0 1,078 1,139 676
MD 1/: 80 63 50.0 68.0 4,761 4,000 4,284
MI 1/: 40 43 58.0 60.0 1,216 2,320 2,580
MN : 800 800 55.0 60.0 27,200 44,000 48,000
ur 3 1,600 1,500 43.0 35.0 30,000 68,800 52,500
NE 1/: 25 22 26.0 35.0 1,920 650 770
NWi1/: 11 11 90.0 75.0 960 990 825
NI 1/: 8 5 59.0 60.0 603 472 300
MM: 5 2/ 75.0 2/ 390 375 2/
NC 1/: 43 35 48.0 51.0 2,856 2,064 1,785
ND 3 2,650 2,550 37.0 51.0 45,150 98,050 130,050
OK i/: 20 18 45.0 38.0 768 900 684
OR H 180 125 67.0 70.0 14,800 12,060 8,750
PA1/: 85 60 59.0 68.0 3,630 5,015 4,080
sc 1/: 10 13 56.0 54.0 840 560 702
sD 3 550 580 35.0 45.0 8,100 19,250 26,100
TTM 1/: 15 10 32.0 42.0 540 480 420
ur : 114 105 79.0 79.0 9,625 9,006 8,295
VA 1/: 75 85 65.0 66.0 5,325 4,875 5,610
WA: 490 340 58.0 58.0 34,720 28,420 19,720
WI : 65 50 57.0 54.0 2,550 3,705 2,700
wy : 100 125 72.0 73.0 6,670 7,200 9,125
US : 8,303 7,746 48.6 52.9 289,994 403,443 409,483

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-10

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

USDA, NASS


Yields in the leading States and bushel changes from last month are: Iowa
135, up 7; Illinois 134, up 6; Nebraska 132, up 2; Minnesota 125, up 5;
Indiana 132, up 4; Qhio 125, up 5; Wisconsin 115, up 4; Michigan 115, up 5;
South Dakota 81, up 1; and Missouri 103, up 6.

Above normal temperatures the last of August accelerated development,
but it still lagged behind normal in most of the major producing States. By
September 2, 7 percent of the crop was mature, 19 points behind normal.
Harvest had begun as far north as Kentucky.

SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast at 572 million bushels, down 7

from 1989 but up 5 percent from August 1. Area
for grain is 9.26 million acres, down 17 percent from last year. Yield
prospects have improved from last month due largely to a 7 bushel per acre
increase in both Kansas and Nebraska. The U.S. average yield is now forecast
at 61.8 bushels per acre, up 2.7 bushels per acre from August 1 and up 6.4
bushels from last season.

Hot, dry weather the last two weeks of August advanced the maturity of
the Kansas sorghum crop to 98 percent headed and 25 percent turning color as
of September 2. This advancement has lessened early freeze concerns somewhat.
Nebraska's major producing districts have enjoyed normal moisture levels since
the crop started to head. Harvest of the Texas sorghum crops was progressing
well in the Hill Country and Blacklands. The crop was turning color and
maturing rapidly in the Plains.

Harvest is about 10 days ahead of average in Louisiana; growers are
expecting a record high average yield. Oklahoma's crop is rated in good
condition although crop development trails well behind average progress.

BARLEY: Total production is forecast to be 409 million bushels, up 2 percent

from last month and 1 percent above the 1989 crop. ‘The expected
yield per acre is forecast at 52.9 bushels compared with last month's 52.0
bushels and last season's average of 48.6 bushels. Forecast yield is up fram
last month in North Dakota but down in Washington. Area harvested and to be
harvested, at 7.75 million acres, is 7 percent below last year's 8.30 million
acres.

As of September 2, the North Dakota harvest was virtually complete with
99 percent of the crop combined. The remaining 1 percent has been swathed,
but remains to be combined. The harvest was about one week ahead of average.

ALL WHEAT: Total production is forecast to be 2.76 billion bushels, up 35

percent from last year and up 2 percent from August 1. Yield is
39.4 bushels per acre, equaling the record high of 1983. The U.S. average
yield is up 6.6 bushels per acre from 1989 and 0.7 of a bushel higher than
August 1. Area for grain is still expected to total 69.9 million acres, up 12
percent from a year ago.

DORUM WHEAT: Production for 1990 is forecast at 121 million bushels, up 31

percent from 1989 and up 12 percent from August 1. Yield
prospects improved from the August 1 forecast in the Dakotas and Minnesota.
Yields are now expected to average 34.4 bushels per acre for the U.S., up 3.5
bushels from last month and 9.3 bushels per acre above a year ago.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-4 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
. (SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
ABNORMALLY.
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CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

B-1

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


UNTTED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~ YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

(METRIC UNITS)
: YIELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
2 : : INDICATED 1990
CROP : 3 3
3 3 1989s) AUG 1: SEP 1
METRIC TONS

CORN FOR GRAIN 7.29 7.64 191,198,470 199,403,350 206,209,670
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 3.48 3.88 15,694,370 13,890,250 14,539,760
2.61 2.84 8,783,930 8,763,690 8,915,440
ALL WHEAT 2.20 2.65 65,405,890 73,633,230 74,991,990
DURIM 1.69 2.32 2,510,060 2,939,800 3,279,610
OTHER SPRING 1.94 2.40 13,328,730 14,784,900 15,803,850
RICE 6.44 6.32 7,007,410 7,172,200 7,210,620
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 2.18 2.18 52,439,070 49,968,190 49,929,680
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 2.72 2.29 1,809,820 1,894,870 1,613,650
ALL COTTON 69 +69 2,655,270 3,236,330 3,205,400
UPLAND -68 68 2,504,670 3,140,640 3,112,980
AMER-PIMA 1.00 1.00 150,600 95,690 92,420

4,242,810 5,239,350 5,201,070
1.61 1.66 1,103,730 1,521,390 1,426,370

SUMMER 26.56 27.43 1,004,930 1,147,950 1,112,250

TOTAL 1/ 32.40 16,803,050
‘TOBACCO 2.26 2.38 620,210 691,400 701,870
SUGARBEETS 43.51 44.69 22,796,640 25,498,240 24,761,610
SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND 77.43 78.19 26,694,820 22,596,160 22,441,940
PEARS 831,890 850,940 851,390
GRAPES 5,380,420 4,992,690 4,969,970
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 205,020 2/ 145,150 136,080
PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) 39,920 41,100 41,100
HAZELNUTS (FILBERTS) 11,790 3/ 19,050 19,050

113,620 100,240

PISTACHIO NUTS (CALIF) 17,690 52,160

WALNUTS (CALIF) 207,750 2/ 199,580 204,120
1/ 1989 REVISED. 2/ JULY 1, 1990, 3/ MID-AUGUST 1990.
UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

(MEIRIC UNITS)

: YOELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION
CROP :

3 : INDICATED : : INDICATED
: 1989 : 19901/ : 1989 +: 19902/
: METRIC TONS
2 1.95 2.12 5,425,370 5,302,850
> 2.36 2.76 39,567,200 55,908,530
: 5.14 5.39 131,945,490 134,682,460
2 6.67 7.39 70,041,920 74,540,650
2 4.08 4.04 61,903,570 60,141,810
3 23.65 20.14 125,370 107,550
z 26.29 28.31 945,830 1,081,500
: 33.51 14,726,920
: 192 1.91 26,910 27,470
: 4,520,320 4,401,210
: 1,058,370 962,210
: 176,450 110,770
: 124,600 101,970
: 106,140 110,860
: 181,440 185,970
: 193/230 190,510
: +580 86,180
: 222,260 297,100

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1989 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

SEPTEMBER 1990 A-7 NASS, USDA


(METRIC UNITS)
AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED 1/
cROP : : : . : INDICATED
: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 +: 1990
HECTARES
CORN 29,257,470 30,138,880 26,216,220 26,989,180
SORGHUM 5,116,090 4,324,110 4,513,510 3,747,430
BARLEY 3,713,030 3,349,620 3,360,140 3,134,730
ALL WHEAT 31,005,330 31,293,050 25,151,080 28,282,170
DURUM 1,534,180 1,444,740 1,486,430 1,416,420
OTHER SPRING 7,176,370 6,769,650 6,882,560 6,589,970
RICE 1,105,210 1,159,440 1,087,400 1,140,420
SOYBEANS 24,552,540 23,360,730 24,033,730 22,886,430
PEANUTS 2/ 673,890 716,300 665,590 704,770
ALL COTTON 4,284,290 4,981,410 3,859,810 4,639,690
UPLAND 4,131,760 4,885,620 3,709,390 4,547,420
AMER-PIMA 152,530 95,790 150,420 92,270
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 751,750 898,010 683,890 861,140
POTATOES
SUMMER 39,340 42,210 37,840 40,550
TOTAL 3/ 528,120 558,190 518,610 550,220
TOBACCO 274,540 294,440
SUGARBEETS 535,890 565,390 523,950 554,100
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND 344,760 287,010

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, EIC.
2/ 1990 PLANTED REVISED. 3/ 1989 REVISED.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

(METRIC UNITS)
AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
CROP : : . : : INDICATED
2 1989 :  19901/ : 1989 : 1990 1/
HECTARES
OATS 4,888,660 4,216,870 2,781,840 2,503,820
WINTER WHEAT 22,294,780 23,078,660 16,782,090 20,275,780
RYE 815,050 683,930 193,850 175,230
FLAXSEED 84,980 97,130 © 71,630 93,890
SUNFLOWER 760,820 781,050 738,960 754,340
ALL HAY 25,655,320 24,983,130
ALFALFA 10,497,250 10,086,900
ALL OTHER 15,158,070 14,896,230
POTATOES

WINTER 5,300 5,460 5,300 5,340
SPRING 37,350 38,650 35,980 38,200
FALL 2/ 446,130 471,870 439,490 466,120
SWEETPOTATOES 36,220 38,240 34,800 37,110
HOPS : 13,980 14,410

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST. 2/ 1989 REVISED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-6 NASS, USDA


AREA PLANTED, POTATOES

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1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

3/ ESTIMATES BHGUN IN 1990.
4] 1989 REVISED.

AGRICUTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA

A-19

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990


: AREA HARVESTED: YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND

: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 +: 1989 +: 1990

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AL 1/: 30 25 50.0 45.0 1,025 1,500 1,125
AZ: 3 2/ 80.0 2/ 400 240 2/
ARO: 340 270 62.0 62.0 21,080 21,080 16,740
CA: 9 2/ 90.0 2/ 1,200 810 2/
oO : 325 230 35.0 42.0 8,280 11,375 9,660
GA1/: 50 40 40.0 36.0 1,400 2,000 1,440
m : 140 130 83.0 80.0 6,000 11,620 10,400
KS : 3,750 2,800 53.0 68.0 204,600 198,750 190,400
KY 1/: 9 30 80.0 78.0 550 720 2,340
IA: 95 85 65.0 70.0 5,850 6,175 5,950
MS: 85 75 53.0 65.0 8,680 4,505 4,875
Mw: 570 520. 79.0 80.0 38,070 45,030 41,600
NE: 1,650 1,400 62.0 82.0 103,360 102,300 114,800
Mo: 250 100 50.0 60.0 8,700 12,500 6,000
NC 1/: 60 40 54.0 50.0 2,310 3,240 2,000
OK: 360 350 49.0 46. 16,200 17,640 16,100
sc 1/: 10 15 45.0 35.0 256 450 525
sx: 290 300 40.0 53.0 11,000 11,600 15,900
N 1/: 27 50 75.0 75.0 2,275 2,025 3,750
TM +: 3,100 2,800 53.0 46.0 135,450 164,300 128,800
US : 11,153 9,260 55.4 61.8 576,686 617,860 572,405

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-9 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION : PRODUCTION
BOXES : TON EQUIVALENT
UTILIZED : UTILIZED:
IND: : IND
1988-89 : 1989-90 : 1990-91 : 1988-89: 1989-90:1990-92
1,000 ‘UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
550 380 21 14
34,000 44,100 40,000 1,275 1,654 1,500
85,300 68,100 3,839 3,064
1,200 1,050 51 44
121,050 113,630 5,186 4,776
1,150 1,190 43 44
24,900 29,000 934 1,087
61,300 42,100 2,758 1,895
650 155 28 7
88,000 72,445 3,763 3,033
1,700 1,570 64 58
58,900 73,100 2,209 2,741
146,600 110,200 6,597 4,959
1,850 1,205 79 51
209,050 186,075 8,949 7,809
3,750 1,400 169 63
SEEDLESS
FL 27,700 18,000 1,177 765
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED
SEEDLESS
FL : 23,700 16,300 1,007 693
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT :
FL 3,350 1,400 142 60
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
AZ 1,950 2,200 63 70
cA
3,500 3,700 112 118
4,500 5,000 151 167
8,000 8,700 263 285
54,750 35,700 2,326 1,518
4,800 2,000 192 80
69,500 48,600 2,844 1,953
650 600 25 22
2,040 1,600 76 61
2,900 1,700 138 81
5,590 3,900 239 164
3,800 2,900 144 110
16,200 15,700 615 596
us : 20,000 18,600 759 706
'TANGELOS :
FL : 3,800 2,950 171 132

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS. PER BOX: ORANGES-CA & AZ-75, FL-90,
TX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CA DESERT & AZ-64, CA OTHER-67, FI-85, TX-80; LEMONS-76;
TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CA & AZ-75, FL-95. 3/ NAVEL AND MISCEL-
LANBOUS VARIETIES IN CA AND AZ. EARLY AND MID-SEASON VARIETIES IN FL AND TX,
INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN TX. 4/ FL "ALL TANGERINES” IN-
CLUDE SUNBURST TANGERINES BHGINNING WITH THE 1989-90 SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-25 NASS, USDA


Agriculture
Production — a
Fading Saas
Siecee et
‘Wathingon, D.C

RELEASED: September 12, 1990
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

Corn for Grain production, as of September 1, is forecast at 8.12 billion

bushels, up 3 percent fran last month and 8 percent above the 1989 crop.
The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at a record high 121.7 bushels, up
4 bushels fram last month and 5.5 bushels above the 1989 yield. Above normal
temperatures the last of August accelerated development, but progress still
lagged normal in most major States.

Soybean production is forecast at 1.83 billion bushels, down 5 percent from

last year and essentially unchanged from August 1. Yield is estimated
at 32.4 bushels per acre, unchanged from 1989 and 0.1 of a bushel below last
month. By months end, approximately 90 percent of the soybean acreage was
setting pods and 13 percent was dropping leaves, 3 and 6 percent behind normal
respectively.

Sorgmm for Grain production is forecast at 572 million bushels, dow 7

percent from 1989 but up 5 percent fram August 1. The U.S, average yield
is forecast at 61.8 bushels per acre, up 6.4 bushels fram last season and up
2.7 bushels from August 1. As of September 2, the crop was 98 percent headed
and 46 percent of the acreage was turning colar.

All Wheat production is forecast at 2.76 billion bushels, up 35 percent fran

last year and up 2 percent from August 1. Yield is 39.4 bushels per acre
equaling the record high of 1983. Area for grain is expected to total 69.9
Million acres, up 12 percent from a year ago.

All Cotton production is forecast at 14.7 million bales, down 1 percent from

August, but up 21 percent from 1989. Prospects improved in Texas and
Oklahoma, but declined in all other regions, especially the Southeast.

Ce Pr 2-2 (9-90) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


: WINTER : SPRING
YEAR : HARD : SOFT : : HARD : : TOTAL

: RED : RED : WHTE : RED : DURIM: WHITE

: 1,000 BUSHELS
1988 : 881,883 472,662 207,365 181,202 44,831 24,258 1,812,201
1989 : 711,110 548,049 194,683 433,455 92,229 56,292 2,035,818
1990 2/ : 1,227,417 539,888 286,982 551,081 120,505 29,611 2,755,484

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETAL ACREAGE SURVEY DATA AVAILABLE
FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. UNLESS UNUSUAL SITUATIONS DICTATE, THE PREVIOUS
END-OF-SEASON CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE USED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST SEASON.

2/ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1990.

DURUM WHEAT
: AREA HARVESTED: YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND

: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 +: 1990 : 1988 +: 1989 : 1990

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AZ af: 84 44 90.0 92.0 4,300 7,560 4,048
CA 1/: 105 57 83.0 95.0 5,605 8,715 5,415
MN : 29 29 36.0 43.0 840 1,044,247
Mr : 335 235 18:0 14:0 2,070 6,030 3,290
ND : 3,000 3,050 22:0 34:0 31,200 66,000 103,700
SD : ‘120 85 24:0 33.0 816 2,880 —«.2, 805
US + 3,673 3,500 25.2 34.4 44,831 92,229 120,505
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT
: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND

: 1989 : 1999 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
oO WV: 70 40 70.0 70.0 3,640 4,900 ~—-2, 800
1D : B60 450 62.0 62.0 24,700 34,720 27,900
MN : 2,550 2,750 38.0 48.0 49,450 96,900 132,000
Mr : 3,400 2,700 25.0 21.0 18,000 85,000 56,700
NV o1/: 9 8 80.0 60.0 780 720 480
ND : 7,250 7,850 24:0 35.0 70,500 174,000 274,750
OR 1/: 105 62 47.0 55.0 4,940 4,935 3,410
SD : 2,050 —-2, 100 22:0 32.0 15,600 45,100 67,200
ur 1 22 28 45.0 50.0 1,188 990 1,400
WA 970 280 43.0 48.0 16,120 41,710 13,440
Wl: 10 7 31.0 36.0 152 310 252
W of: in 9 42.0 40.0 390 462 360
US + 17,007 16,284 28.8 35.7 205,460 489,747 580,692
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

SEPTEMBER 1990 A-12 NASS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : 3 > IND

: 1989 : 1990 : 1989 3 1990 : 1988 2 1989 3 1990

: 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
AL l/: 220 200 30.0 30.0 8,600 6,600 6,000
AZ 4: 118 98 90.9 93.7 7,730 10,722 9,178
AR 1/: 1,200 1,300 44.0 36.0 56,710 52,800 46,800
CA 1/: 675 607 77.9 79.6 46,275 52,605 48,315
© 1/: 2,270 2,590 27.4 33. 79,540 62,100 86,950
DE 1/: 74 60 42.0 51.0 3,276 3,108 3,060
FL 1/: 65 60 29.0 34.0 2,520 1,885 2,040
GA 1/: 700 590 32.0 36.0 21,500 22,400 21,240
ID : 1,370 1,370 66.7 72.7 75,520 91,420 99,660
IL if: 1,780 1,950 59.0 47.0 67,500 105,020 91,650
IN 1/3: 880 970 59.0 52.0 35,000 51,920 50,440
IA ld: 70 70 47.0 47.0 1,225 3,290 3,290
KS 1/3: 8,900 11,800 24.0 40.0 323,000 213,600 472,000
KY 1/: 450 500 50.0 37.0 20,520 22,500 18,500
IA 1/: 350 390 31.0 33.0 11,070 10,850 12,870
MD 1/: 215 190 40.0 53.0 9,010 8,600 10,070
MI 1/: 640 750 53.0 56.0 26,040 33,920 42,000
MN : 2,699 2,854 38.0 47.5 51,730 102,504 135,647
MS 1/: 450 520 34.0 30.0 20,700 15,300 15,600
MO 1/: 1,850 2,000 47.0 38.0 75,950 86,950 76,000
Mr : 5,235 5,535 27.7 27.3 59,970 145,030 150,990
NE 1/: 2,050 2,250 27.0 38.0 72,000 55,350 85,500
NV 1/: 15 14 80.0 66.4 1,340 1,200 930
NO 1/: 35 29 39.0 43.0 1,395 1,365 1,247
NM 1/: 160 300 20.0 30.0 6,960 3,200 9,000
NY 1/: 130 145 45.0 49.0 4,950 5,850 7,105
Nc 1/: 630 550 34.0 41.0 24,000 21,420 22,550
ND 2: 10,330 11,070 23.5 34.6 103,390 242,320 383,380
CH lf: 1,230 1,350 51.0 59.0 46,000 62,730 79,650
OK 1/3: 5,700 6,300 27.0 33.0 172,800 153,900 207,900
OR i/: 920 972 58.5 59.7 51,800 53,835 58,010
PA l/: 215 210 37.0 48.0 9,010 7,955 10,080
sc l/: 435 385 41.0 38.0 14,030 17,835 14,630
SD 2: 3,520 3,885 23.6 34.2 38,006 83,080 132,905
1 1/: 450 490 42.0 34.0 21,500 18,900 16,660
TX 1/: 3,000 4,200 20.0 31.0 89,600 60,000 130,200
Ur 1/: 177 178 33.6 39.9 6,768 5,950 7,100
WA 1/: 275 260 46.0 49.0 10,400 12,650 12,740
WA 2 2,270 2,480 48.7 63.1 124,620 110,610 156,440
Ww i1/: 12 13 43.0 45.0 414 516 585
WI o1/: 180 192 51.8 53.3 5,152 9,320 10,612

“WY olf: 204 209 23.1 28.5 4,680 4,708 5,960

US 2: 62,149 69,886 32.8 39.4 1,812,201 2,035,818 2,755,484

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-11 NASS, USDA


Area devoted to Papaya production totaled 3,745 acres, 3 percent lower
than July and’ 7 pencekt eid last August. Harvested area, totaling 2,395
acres, waS 1 percent lower than last month and 4 percent below a year ago.

INDEX

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE

COFFEE .....2see005 A-29
FOR GRAIN

HARIRI ISAIRIARIERIR IARI RII IRIS IARI III IIIA IR III III IAI ARISTA IAI RIAA IIIA IIIS,
NOTICE

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports
be directed to ee P.O. Box 1608, ille, MD. 20849-1608
or oat S000 C7,

‘The net issue of this report will be published October 11, 1990 and will
inc:

Indicated area harvested, yield, and production as of October 1 for corn
for Pk gen cotton, rice, sorghum for grain, hay, dry edible beans, Gry

Austrian winter peas lentils, soybeans for beans, peanui
for mute, s sin lower, tobacco (by and “classes) , sugarbeets, sugar-
cane for’ sugar and seed; indica’ cottonseed production.

Indicated production of rice by classes Ws S.), commercial apples,
prunes and plums | Idaho Michigan, Oregon, Washington), hazelnuts
tebe) pecans, and se eiek Grane fruits; Papaya acrea 2 pre and
f Production ‘cups of crops for
Petion’ of pastures and ranges. aa

Revised 1989 acrt 1 ¥ield, and production for beans and sunflower
and 1990 wis winter toes. Acreage, yield, and ion of wheat, oats, ;
barley, and or 1990 including revised data for 1989. Revised
acreage, xiela. and production for dry edible peas, Austrian winter peas, :
and lentils for 1!

FN eer eee eee raornradadininblininbnbnbibiinbnbnbiininbibinbiianininie

HEE EEE EEE

Coe Pee eee ee ee ee ee ee

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CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-15 NASS, USDA

7
9U.S.GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1990-26)-600:20273/FAS


Crop development lagged behind normal in Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri
but was near or ahead of normal in the other major producing States. Lack of
moisture stressed the crop in the Delta and Southeast during mst of August.
About, mid"August, rain provided some relief in the Carolinas. BY eorgia,
August, was underway in Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas,
Touisiana and Mississipp! and continued in Texas. On September 2, 36 percent
of the acreage was opening bolls in the 14 major producing States, 1 point
ahead of normal.

Sorghum condition was good to fair. in, early August, harvest was
underway in Texas. Crop development lagged behind nommal in the central Great
Plains during the month. By September 2, 46 percent of the acreage was in the
coloring stage in the 12 major producing States, 12 points behind normal.
Harvest was 56 percent complete in Texas.

Early in August, winter wheat harvest was still active in the Pacific
and northern Great Plains. By mid-August, harvest was nearly
complete. Late in August, winter wheat seeding for the 1991 harvest was
underway in the central and southern Great Plains. Moisture was needed to
improve crop germination and emergence. Spring wheat harvest was active
during August. By September 2 in the five majar producing States, spring
wheat harvest was 92 percent complete, 8 points ahead of narmal. Harvest was
nearly complete in Minnesota and was complete in South Dakota.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast to be 8.12 billion

bushels, up 3 percent from last month and 8 percent above the
1989 crop. The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at a record high 121.7
bushels, up 4 bushels from last month and 5.5 bushels above the 1989 average
y: .

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION
1981 - 1990

BILLION BUSHELS

10 8.88

8.12 8.24 8.23 8.12

81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90
YEAR

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD


AUGUST WEATHER SUMMARY

Stagnant weather systems in early and late August brought rainfall of 4
to over 12 inches along the Atlantic Coast States. Thunder-storms caused
severe weather and heavy rains in much of the Corn Belt and parts of the Great
Plains. At mid-August, swollen water levels from torrential downpours
threatened to rupture dams on Lakes Manitau and Tomah in northern Indiana. On
the 28th, tornadoes devastated northern Illinois. Hot, dry conditions
prevailed across the Delta and Southeast. Temperatures were abnormally high
in the West during the first half of the month, while a late-summer heat wave
baked the Central and Southern States at month's end.

AUGUST CROP DEVELOPMENT

Early in August, beneficial rains fell in the central Great Plains and
along the Atlantic Coast. Soil moisture was adequate in the Corn Belt, but
rain was needed in the Delta, the northern Great Plains, and the Pacific
Northwest. Below-normal temperatures slowed crop development in the eastern
two-thirds of the Nation. About mid-August, rain brought some relief in
portions of the Delta and Southeast. Soil moisture remained short in the
northern Great Plains, but rain improved crop conditions in the Pacific
Northwest. Continued periodic rains kept soil moisture adequate or adequate
to surplus in the Corn Belt through the end of August. In the central and
southern Great Plains, soil moisture was adequate to short during most of
August, but rain was needed near the end of the month for winter wheat
seeding. Late in August, lack of moisture stressed crops in the Delta and
Southeast, especially in Alabama and Mississippi. Above-normal temperatures
advanced crop development near the end of the month.

Corn was in good to fair condition. Early in August, below-normal
temperatures slowed crop development, especially in Illinois, Iowa, and
Missouri. Lack of moisture stressed the crop in portions of South Dakota.
Hail caused some damage in Nebraska. Late in August, above-normal
temperatures accelerated crop development in the Corn Belt, but it was still
behind normal. By September 2, in the 17 major producing States, 41 percent
of the acreage was in the dent stage or beyond, 31 percentage points behind
the 5-year average. Seven percent was mature, 19 points behind normal. The
percentage in the dent stage lagged more than 40 points behind normal in
Illinois, Indiana, and Minnesota. Crop condition was good to excellent in
Illinois and Iowa and good to fair in Nebraska.

Soybeans were in good to fair condition. Below-normal temperatures
slowed crop development early in the month. Lack of moisture stressed the
crop in the Delta and Southeast. About mid-August, rain improved the
condition in portions of the Southeast. Crop condition was good in Illinois
and good to fair in Iowa. Above-normal temperatures improved crop development
in late August, but lack of moisture was still a problem in the Delta and
Southeast. Crop condition was fair to poor in the Delta. Crop development
still lagged behind normal in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Missouri. By
September 2, in the 19 major producing States, 90 percent of the acreage was
setting pods, 3 points behind normal. ‘Three percent was dropping leaves, 6
points behind normal.

Cotten was in good to fair condition. Early in August, harvest was
active in Texas and defoliation in preparation for harvest was underway in
southern California.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-2 NASS, USDA


a

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
IND: : IND : : : IND
1990 : 1989 : 1999 : 1988 : 1989 +: 1990
1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL 210 81.0 60.0 7,480 14,580 12,600
AZ 10 145.0 155.0 2,015 1,885 1,550
AR 73 122.0 105.0 6,000 7,076 7,665
cA 160 160.0 160.0 27,115 27,200 25,600
fo) 840 145.0 150.0 128,000 134,850 126,000
cr
DE 172 100.0 104.0 9,800 13,300 17,888
FL 75 74.0 71.0 3,770 5,920 5,325
GA 585 95.0 62.0 31,000 52,250 36,270
ID 40 125.0 120.0 6,500 6,250 4,800
IL 10,400 123.0 134.0 700,800 1,322,250 1,393,600
IN 5,450 133.0 132.0 415,000 691,600 719,400
IA 12,300 118.0 135.0 898,800 1,445,500 1,660,500
ks 1,450 125.0 130.0 143,750 155,000 188,500
KY 1,200 116.0 97.0 80,300 136,880 116,400
IA 220 95.0 110.0 11,875 12,540 24,200
ME
MD 450 110.0 104.0 27,300 44,000 46,800
MA
MI 2,050 213.0 115.0 212,000 222,610 235,750
MN 6,100 125.0 125.0 347,800 700,000 762,500
MS 140 70.0 75.0 9,000 9,800 10,500
ive) 1,950 96.0 103.0 153,520 219,840 200,850
Mr 6 80.0 93.0 2,200 320 558
NE 7,300 120.0 132.0 818,400 852,000 963,600
NH
No 75 102.0 107.0 5,530 7,242 8,025
NM 65 155.0 140.0 8,525 9,765 9,100
NY 610 93.0 105.0 45,900 53,010 64,050
Nc 1,070 93.0 63.0 81,480 88,350 67,410
ND 600 75.0 75.0 22,040 34,875 45,000
OH 3,400 118.0 125.0 255,000 342,200 425,000
OK 75 118.0 100.0 6,840 9,204 7,500
OR 22 160.0 155.0 3,002 3,520 3,410
PA 980 103.0 110.0 59,150 98,880 107,800
RI
sc 345 91.0 50.0 19,430 30,940 17,250
sD 2,800 72.0 81.0 132,000 190,800 226,800
N 500 107.0 80.0 38,690 56,710 40,000
TM 1,500 106.0 95.0 129,600 148,400 142,500
ur 18 132.0 137.0 2,728 2,640 2,466
vr
VA 375 110.0 90.0 23,305 40,150 33,750
WA 80 175.0 175.0 13,600 15,750 14,000
w 50 95.0 95.0 2,320 4,370 4,750
Wo 2,900 111.0 115.0 130,650 310,800 333,500
wy 45 95.0 110.0 6,466 3,895 4,950

66,691 116.2 121.7 4,928,681 7,527,152 8,118,117

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
A-8 NASS, USDA


TOBACOO BY CLASS AND TYPE ~ CONTINUED

AREA HARVESTED : YIELD H PRODUCTION
CLASS AND TYPE
: IND : : IND : : IND
: 1989 : 1999 : 1989: 1990 : 1989 3: 1990
ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CLASS 3, AIR-CURED
CLASS 3B, DARK
AIR-CURED
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER
BELT
KY 1,950 2,100 1,850 2,000 3,608 4,200
IN 500 500 1,740 2,000 870 1,000
US 2,450 2,600 1,828 2,000 4,478 5,200
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER
BELT
KY 1,000 1,000 1,950 2,100 1,950 2,100
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED
BELT
VA 90 so 61,155 1,000 104 80
TOTAL 35-37 3,540 3,680 1,845 2,005 6,532 7,380
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF
PA 5,500 6,300 1,950 2,000 10,725 12,600
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER
CLASS 5A, CT VALLEY
BINDER
TYPE 51, CT VALLEY
BROADLEAF
cr 630 630 1,700 1,475 1,071 929
MA 3 100 90 1,850 1,850 185 167
Us 3 730 720 =«=1,721 1,522 1,256 1,096
CLASS 5B, WI BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WI :
wr 3,600 4,100 2,155 2,150 7,758 8,815
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WI
WI 2,100 2,600 1,730 1,700 3,633 4,420
TOTAL 54-55 5,700 6,700 1,998 1,975 11,391 13,235
TOTAL 51-55 6,430 7,420 1,967 1,931 12,647 14,331
CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER
TYPE 61, CT VALLEY
SHADE-GROWN
cT 1,100 1,250 1,565 1,550 1,722 1,938
MA 380 380 861,475 1,450 561 551
us 1,480 1,630 1,543 1,527 2,283 2,489
ALL CIGAR TYPES
TOTAL 41-61 13,410 15,350 1,913 1,917 25,655 29,420
ALL TOBACCO 678,400 727,580 2,016 2,127 1,367,331 1,547,348

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-22

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

NASS, USDA


The Tennessee crop was 40 percent harvested by September 2, slightly
behind schedule. A good crop is in store.

The dark fire-cured crop is forecast at 34.2 million pounds, up 18
percent from last year and 2 percent above expectations of a month ago. The
increase from a year ago resulted from a 9 percent larger acreage and a 166
pound per acre higher yield.

Southern Maryland type tobacco is expected to total 16.5 million pounds,
the same forecast as a month ago and up 8 percent fram 1989. With the area
for harvest off 4 percent from a year ago, the larger production is coming
from a yield that is expected to be 171 pounds per acre above the average a
year earlier.

The dark air-cured tobacco crop of 7.38 million pounds is up 13 percent
from a year ago. The forecast is up 1 percent from a month earlier.

All cigar-type production is expected to total 29.4 million pounds in
1990, 15 percent more than last year and 4 percent above last month's
expectations. Campared with last year, filler is 17 percent higher, binder is
up 13 percent, and wrapper shows a 9 percent increase.

SUGARBEETS: ‘The September 1 sugarbeet production forecast of 27.3 million

tons is down 3 percent from August 1 but 9 percent above last
year's harvest. ‘The increase from a year ago is the cambined result of higher
yields and a 6 percent increase in acreage. Yields are expected to average
19.9 tons per acre nationally, compared with 19.4 tons in 1989. Production is
expected to be up in all States except California and Colorado.

Outlook in the Red River valley of Minnesota and North Dakota deterio-
rated from last month with short soil moisture in much of the growing area.
Expected production is still above last year's total.

In Idaho, a few fields have been harvested. The crop is expected to be
13 percent larger than a year ago.

In California, nematodes and rhizonania are more of a problem since some
pesticides were removed from the market. Same reduced yields are a result.
Significant damage fran army worms is expected in the spring 1991 harvest
areas.

In Michigan, abundant moisture in August more than offset the effects of
lower temperatures. Growers and factory officials are hoping for favorable
harvest weather.

Wyaming harvest is expected to begin in mid-September. In some areas,
irrigation water may be shut off by mid-September and could adversely affect
later yields.

SUGARCANE: Sugarcane production is forecast at 24.7 million tons, 1

less than the August 1 forecast and 16 percent below last year's
output. Acreage is off 17 percent fram a year ago reflecting the sharp 46
percent drop in Louisiana caused by last winter's freeze. The yield forecast
of 34.9 tons per acre is 0.2 of a ton lower than a month ago but 0.4 of a ton
higher than the 1989 average yield. Output in all States except Louisiana is
expected to be larger than a year earlier.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-10 NASS, USDA


In Florida, dry areas recovered with recent rains. Due to the Christmas
freeze, the oldest ratoon crops will only be 10 to 11 months old when
harvested, compared with the usual 12 to 13 months. None will be over 10 1/2
months when the first plants open up in mid-October.

Hawaiian weather during August was mostly favorable with abundant
sunshine and daily temperatures in the lower 90's. Irrigation requirements
were heavy.

Louisiana sugarcane growth in August was limited by lack of moisture.
Same growers are waiting for rain before beginning or continuing planting.

Rain in the Rio Grande Valley in Texas brought much needed moisture.
Crop development is currently good.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: ‘The pasture and range feed condition on

September 1, for the 48 contiguous States,
was 71 percent of normal, down 1 point from September 1, 1989 and 2 points
below the 1979-88 average for the date. Conditions were better than last year
in 25 States, below last year in 22 States, and unchanged in one State. No
States were in the extreme drought range, but three States (Alabama,
California, and North Dakota) were in the severe drought range. Arkansas,
Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas reported
conditions in the very poor range. Nevada and Utah were the only other States
in the very poor range.

FLORIDA CITRUS: This State's groves and trees remain in very good to excel-

lent condition. In spite of the below normal rainfall during
August, soil moisture has been adequate in most locations. New crop fruit
contimes to make excellent progress. Fresh fruit packing houses have already
packed and shipped red and white grapefruit, early oranges, and K-early citrus
fruit. These are the earliest shipments of early maturing varieties in recent
years. Several of the early harvested crops have well advanced maturity
levels for late August. Caretakers have been busy cutting cover crops,
spraying fresh fruit blocks, applying fertilizer, and pruning badly frozen
trees.

CALIFORNIA NAVEL ORANGES: The initial forecast for the 1990-91 California
Navel orange crop is 40.0 million boxes, 9

less than last season's record high production but 18 percent above the 1988-

89 level. The crop is maturing well with good size. Picking should begin

during October in Kern County.

PEARS: The final forecast for the U.S. crop is 939 thousand tons, up slightly
from the August 1 forecast and 2 percent more than 1989.

Harvest is underway in Michigan and New York. In New York, warm
temperatures and adequate rainfall provided favorable conditions for crop
development.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
550 thousand tons, unchanged from last month but 5 percent more than last
year. California's harvest is nearing completion. Quality has been good.
Picking is complete in Oregon. Harvest of an excellent crop in Washington is
nearing the end.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 Beil NASS, USDA


z PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE 3 UTILIZED $
: 3 IND
: 1988 : 1989 3 1990
: 1,000 POUNDS
PECANS IMPROVED 1 2
AL : 6,000 13,000 6,000
AR 3 1,900 100 50
CA 3 2,200 2,000 3,000
FL : 3,400 4,000 2,100
CA 3 95,000 69,000 65,000
IA 3 4,500 2,500 1,500
MS : 6,500 5,500 2,500
TMM : 26,000 29,000 30,000
NC 3 3,500 300 500
OK 3 2,500 1,000 800
sc 3 4,000 600 700
TM : 30,000 34,000 41,000
us : 185,500 161,000 153,150
PECANS NATIVE & 3
AL : 4,000 9,000 4,000
AR 3 1,100 900 350
FL : 2,600 3,000 1,500
G 3 15,000 16,000 15,000
IA : 17,500 11,500 3,500
MS : 3,500 3,000 1,500
NC 3 2,000 400 500
OK 3 44,500 8,000 4,200
sc : 2,500 400 400
1TMX : 30,000 21,000 19,000
US : 122,700 73,200 49,950
ALL PECANS :
AL : 10,000 22,000 10,000
AR : 3,000 1,000 400
cA : 2,200 2,000 3,000
FL : 6,000 7,000 3,600
GA : 110,000 85,000 80,000
IA 3 22,000 14,000 5,000
MS : 10,000 8,500 4,000
NM : 26,000 29,000 30,000
NC 3 5,500 700 1,000
OK : 47,000 9,000 5,000
sc : 6,500 1,000 1,100
TM H 60,000 55,000 60,000
OTH STS 2/3: 16,300 17,900
US Hy 308,200 250,500 221,000

1/ BUDDED, GRAFTED, OR TOPWORKED VARIETIES.
2/ AZ, KS, MD, AND TN BEGINNING WITH THE 1989 CROP. NO BREAKDOWN BEIWEEN
IMPROVED VARIETIES AND NATIVE AND SEEDLING VARIETIES AVAILABLE.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-28 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

(DOMESTIC UNITS)

: AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED 1/
CROP : : : : INDICATED
: 1989 2 1990 3 1989 : 1990
3 1,000 ACRES
CORN : 72,296 74,474 64,781 66,691
SORGHUM 3 12,642 10,685 11,153 9,260
BARLEY 3 9,175 8,277 8,303 7,746
ALL WHEAT > «676,615 77,326 62,149 69,886
DURUM : 3,791 3,570 3,673 3,500
OTHER SPRING 3 17,733 16,728 17,007 16,284
RICE : 2,731.0 2,865.0 2,687.0 2,818.0
SOYBEANS : 60,670 57,725 59,388 56,553
PEANUTS 2/ : 1,665.2 1,770.0 1,644.7 1,741.5
ALL COTTON 3 10,586.6 12,309.2 9,537.7 11,464.8
UPLAND 3 20,209.7 12,072.5 9,166.0 11,236.8
AMER-PIMA 3 376.9 236.7 371.7 228.0
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 3 1,857.6 2,219.0 1,689.9 2,127.9
POTATOES t
SUMMER 3 97.2 104.3 93.5 100.2
TOTAL 3/ : 1,305.0 1,379.3 1,281.5 1,359.6
TOBACOO 3 678.4 727.6
SUGARBEETS : 1,324.2 1,397.1 1,294.7 1,369.2
SUGARCANE FOR 3
SUGAR AND SEED 3 851.9 709.2

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

2/ 1990 PLANTED REVISED. 3/ 1989 REVISED.
UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
: ‘AREA PLANTED : ‘AREA HARVESTED
cROP : : : : INDICATED
: 1989 :  19903/ : 1989 +: 1990 1/
: 1,000 ACRES
oars : 12,080 10,420 6,874 6,187
WINTER WHEAT : 55,091 57,028 41,469 50,102
RYE : 2,014 1,690 479 433
FLAXSED : 210 240 177 232
SUNFLOWER : 1,880 2,930 1,826 1,864
ALL HAY : 63,395 61,734
ALFALFA : 25,939 24,925
ALL OTHER : 37,456 36,809
POTATOES :
WINTER : 13.1 13.5 13.1 13.2
SPRING : 92.3 95.5 88.9 94.4
FALL 2/ : 1,102.4 1,166.0 1,086.0 1,151.8
> B95 94:5 86.0 91.7
HOPS : 34.5 35.6

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-4

2/ 1989 REVISED.

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


Hy AREA HARVESTED Hy YIELD Hy PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : : IND : : IND: : : IND

: 1989 : 1990 +: 1989: 1999: 1988 : 1989 : 1990

: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND:
AL : 322.0 398.0 571 458 380.0 383.0 380.0
AZ : 239.0 344.0 1,303 1,298 865.0 649.0 930.0
AR : 595.0 720.0 687 733 1,044.0 851.0 1,100.0
CA : 2,040.0 1,040.0 1,228 1,177 2,824.0 2,661.0 2,550.0
FL 3/ : 25.0 29.5 557 750 34.2 29.0 46.1
GA : 260.0 320.0 631 450 370.0 342.0 300.0
KS 3/ : 0.4 1.3 240 406 0.7 0.2 11
IA : 620.0 770.0 672 686 948.0 868.0 1,100.0
MS : 1,020.0 1,180.0 732 732 «1,825.0 1,555.0 1,800.0
MO : 209.0 235.0 618 592 306.0 269.0 290.0
NM : 55.0 50.0 698 768 102.0 80.0 80.0
NC : 110.0 200.0 615 552 133.0 141.0 230.0
OK : 340.0 360.0 244 400 303.0 173.0 300.0
sc : 118.0 159.0 626 438 140.0 154.0 145.0
IN : 460.0 525.0 497 494 584.0 476.0 540.0
TM : 3,750.0 4,900.0 367 441 5,215.0 2,870.0 4,500.0
VA 3/ : 2.6 5.0 498 547 3.4 2.7 5.7
Us : 9,166.0 11,236.8 602 611 15,077.3 11,503.9 14,297.9
AMER-PIMA:
AZ : 244.5 123.5 936 913 241.0 477.0 235.0
CA : 17.9 25.5 1,078 1,099 3.2 40.2 58.4
MS 4/3: 12 1.0 436 528 1.0 121
NM : 30.2 20.0 707 720 23.5 44.5 30.0
TM : 78.0 58.0 794 828 66.5 129.0 100.0
Us : 371.7 228.0 893 894 334.2 691.7 424.5
ALL :
AL : 322.0 398.0 571 458 380.0 383.0 380.0
AZ 2 483.5 467.5 1,118 1,196 1,106.0 1,126.0 1,165.0
AR : 595.0 720.0 687 733° 1,044.0 851.0 1,100.0
CA : 1,057.9 1,065.5 1,226 1,175 2,827.2 2,701.2 2,608.4
FL : 25.0 29.5 557 750 34.2 29.0 46.1
CA : 260.0 320.0 631 450 370.0 342.0 300.0
Ks : 0.4 1.3 240 406 0.7 0.2 12
TA : 620.0 770.0 672 686 948.0 868.0 1,100.0
MS : 1,022.1 1,181.0 731 732 1,825.0 1,556.0 1,801.1
ive) : 209.0 235.0 618 592 306.0 269.0 290.0
NM : 85.2 70.0 701 754 125.5 124.5 110.0
NC : 110.0 200.0 615 552 133.0 141.0 230.0
OK : 340.0 360.0 244 400 303.0 173.0 300.0
sc : 118.0 159.0 626 438 140.0 154.0 145.0
TM : 460.0 525.0 497 494 584.0 476.0 540.0
TM : 3,828.0 4,958.0 376 445 5,281.5 2,999.0 4,600.0
VA : 2.6 5.0 498 547 3.4 2.7 5.7

a
n

9,537.7 11,464.8 614 616 15,411.5 12,195.6 14,722.4

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED.

2/ 480-1B. NET WEIGHT BALES.

3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.
4/ ESTIMATES BEGAN IN 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-15 NASS, USDA



: AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION 1/
STATE :
: : IND : : IN: : : IND
: 1989 +: 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989: 1990
: 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
AL: 239.0 239.0 2,250 1,700 561,680 537,750 406,300
FL: 87.0 92.0 2,470 2,100 228,600 214,890 193,200
GA: 685.0 740.0 2,700 1,900 1,801,550 1,849,500 1,406,000
NM: 18.2 20.0 2,400 2,600 30,552 43,680 52,000
NO: 152.0 163.0 2,435 2,700 419,985 370,120 440,100
OK 3: 98.0 108.0 2,150 2,300 225,040 210,700 248,400
sco: 12.5 13.5 2,600 2,200 32,110 32,500 29,700
TM : 262.0 270.0 1,850 1,900 417,500 484,700 513,000
VA: 91.0 96.0 2,705 2,800 263,900 246,155 268,800
US : 1,644.7 1,741.5 2,426 2,043 3,980,917 3,989,995 3,557,500
1/ ESTIMATES COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.
POTATOES
SEASONAL : AREA HARVESTED : YIELD PRODUCTION
GROUP :
AND 3 : : 3 : 3 3
STATE : 1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1999: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: 1,000 ACRES or 1,000 Cwr
WINTER 1/ :
cA : 5.5 5.5 240 235 =—«-1,196 1,320 1,293
FL : 7.6 77 190 140 =, 420 1,444 1,078
TOTAL : 23.1 13.2 211 180 2,616 2,764 2,371
SPRING 1/ : :
AL : 5.4 5.7 240 150 662 1,296 855
AZ : 5.8 6.2 315 290 =—-1,246 1,827 1,798
CA : 21.0 22.5 375 375 7,546 7,875 8,438
FL 3
HASTINGS : 28.0 28.7 195 240 = 6,228 5,460 6,888
OTHER : 7.0 8.3 200 220 525 1,400 1,826
IA 2 0.3 / 90 2/ 20 27 2/
NC : 15.6 16.2 140 180 =. 2,736 2,184 2,916
1X : 5.8 6.8 135 165 1,147 783 1,122
TOTAL : 88.9 94.4 235 253 20,110 20,852 23,843
FOOINOTES ON NEXT PAGE. (CONTINUE)
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-17 USDA, NASS


RELIABILITY OF SEPTEMBER 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

forecasts in this repart are based primarily on yield
about, September. 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports

from farmers for all crops ¢ Field cbservations and measurements for
carn, soybeans, cotton, wheat. Farmers provided crop con-
ditions and probable yield information for crops on farms and for their
localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts

in a probability sample. ‘These are subject to samp-
ling and non-sampling errors that are common surveys. inpor-
tantly, Production forecasts are subject to change due to future weather

the
eff and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly
affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in

petasee, the TRoct Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
Srp te ao ig shown below for selected crops: a

Also Shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the September 1 faecest and the final extinats. Using

:ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR: : 10-YEAR RECORD OF
z tes BEIWEEN FORECAST
3 90% CONFIDENCE:
CROP AND 3 3 LEVEL
wir ?PERCENT: NO. OF YEARS

4.1 7.0 6 4
CORN FOR 2S. 8.8 6 A
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU: 4.1 7.1 6 4
BU: 3.6 6.4 4 6
ALL WHEAT is 0.9 1.6 6 a
DURUM BU: 4.7 8.2 5 6
OTHER SPRING 2 2.1 3.6 4 6
RICE CT: 3.4 5.9 8 2
SOYBEANS FOR 3
BEANS is 407 8.1 4 6
COTTON BALES 2/: 6.4 1.2 4 6
DRY EDIBLE 3
BEANS CWT: 5.6 9.7 s 5



ALL POTATOES, 1989: U.S. potato farmers produced 370 million cwt of potatoes

in 1989 from the four seasonal groups. This is 4 percent
above 1988 but 5 percent below 1987. Harvested area totaled 1.28 million
acres in 1989, up 2 percent from 1988 but 1 percent below 1987. Average U.S.
yield was 289 cwt, up 6 cwt from 1988 but 12 cwt short of 1987.

TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco production for 1990 is forecast to be 1.55 billion

pounds, up 2 percent from last month and 13 percent above 1989.
Since August 1, the outlook improved in 9 of the 16 producing States and
declined in 3 States. The higher production from a year ago is the combined
result of a 7 percent increase in acreage for harvest and higher yields.
Yield per acre is expected to average 2,127 pounds per acre, up 25 pounds from
the August 1 forecast and 111 pounds above last year's average.

Flue-cured production is expected to reach 892 million pounds, up 10

from a year ago and 2 percent above last month's forecast. Yield per
acre, at 2,133 pounds, is up 64 pounds from last year's average yield. Acres
for harvest are up 7 percent from 1989.

In North Carolina, August precipitation maintained prospects in the 01d
and Middle belts and increased prospects in the Eastern and Border belts.
Harvest was about 69 percent complete as of September 2, compared with 65
percent a year earlier and the average of 60 percent. The crop remaining to
be harvested is in mostly good condition.

South Carolina's harvest was very active during August and by September
1 had moved past the 80 percent completion mark. This is about the same as
last year and the 5 year average.

In Georgia, the hot, dry weather of the previous two months continued.
Soil moisture supplies were rated 52 percent short as of the end of August.
Harvesting was 92 percent complete as of September 2. The condition of the
remaining crop dropped slightly near the end of the month.

Timely rains in Virginia during late July and August have improved the
crop. Over half of the crop has been harvested.

The harvest season is over in Florida. The tobacco markets will be open
through the end of September.

Burley output is now expected to total 568 million pounds, 18 percent
above a year ago and fractionally above the forecast on August 1. The change
from last year reflects an 8 percent acreage increase and an average yield
that is expected to be 183 pounds per acre above 1989. Average yield per acre
is now expected to be 2,158 pounds compared with an outlook for 2,153 pounds
on August 1 and the 1,975 pounds realized last year.

In Kentucky, tobacco remaining in the field was in mostly fair to good
condition. The crop continues in various stages of development with farmers
topping late tobacco at the same time they are harvesting and housing their
early tobacco. Black shank, blue mold, and aphids have caused varying degrees
of problems. Burley was 35 percent cut as of September 2, compared with 44
percent last year and a 49 percent average. Tobacco still in the field needs
rain.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-9 NASS, USDA


: PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE : TOTAL 1/ :
: : 1990
: 1988 : 1989 :
: TONS
TABLE TYPE :
cA : 770,000 630,000 610,000
GRAPES WINE TYPE :
CA : 2,180,000 2,190,000 2,100,000
GRAPES RAISIN TYPE 2s:
CA : 2,570,000 2,570,000 2,250,000
ALL GRAPES :
AZ 3/ oo: 25,500 26,500 29,000
AR 3/ 7,000 6,500 6,300
CA : 5,520,000 5,390,000 4,960,000
CA 3/3 2,500 2,800 3,000
MI : 53,000 43,000 58,000
ive) 3/3: 3,250 3,600 1,750
NY : 157,000 152,000 145,000
NC 3/3 3,300 1,700 3,000
OH 3/3: 8,900 8,000 9,000
oR 3/-4/: 7,750 7,450 10,000
PA : 63,000 60,000 53,000
sc 3/: 500 300 400
WA : 182,000 229,000 200,000
US : 6,033,700 5,930,850 5,478,450

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): 1988-1,600;
1989-800.

2/ FRESH BASIS.

3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

4/ OR INCLUDED BEGINNING WITH 1988 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A~26 NASS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
‘ UNITED STATES, 1981-90 (1977=100)

: PRODUCTION
YEAR = H 3 HAY : 2 : : 3

3ALL 1/: FEED : AND : FOOD : SUGAR: COTTON : TOBACCO: OIL

3 : GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS ; 3 + CROPS
1981: 117 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982 : 117 122 109 138 96 85 104 121
1983 : 87 67 100 116 93 54 75 91
1984 3: 110 115 107 129 95 90 90 106
1985 : 116 133 106 121 95 93 79 117
1986 : 107 123 107 106 106 68 61 107
1987 3 106 106 101 107 111 103 62 108
1988 2 921 73 88 98 105 107 72 89
1989 3: 106 108 100 107 105 85 71 106
1990: 112 115 102 138 102 102 81 102

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE GROUPS
OF CROPS SHOWN.

HRARIREERERERER IRIE ARRIETA AAAI IA IITA AAT AIA IAAI AAA ARIAT IAI IIR
* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with *
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. ‘These data *

* were prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which *
* consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington *
* headquarters. *
* *
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* Rich Allen, Chairperson, *
* L. Duane Jewell, Secretary, *
* *
* Jeffrey T. Bailey, Stephen Pavilasek Jr., *
* Thomas R. Birkett, Darwin E. Ransom, *
* James E. Brewster, Stephen C. Ropel, *
* APPROVED: Arvin R. Budge, James K. Sands, *
* William N. Dowty, Marlowe L. Schlegel, *
* a), _ Thoms L. Gregory, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, *
* Van B. Johnson, James L. Smith, *
* — Debra K. Kenerson, Charles A. Van Lahr, *
* George R. Knight, Herbert L. Vanderberry, *
* Thomas E. Kurtz, Frederic A. Vogel, *
* Roger D. Latham, Paul M. Williamson, *
* Jerry M. Midden, John D. Witzig. *
* of Agriculture *

RRIRERRRIRIARE IARI IIIA IIIS ISAT ISIS ISOS AISI IS III ISIN ISAS IRI IAI III

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-2 NASS, USDA


As of September 2, 81 percent of North Dakota's durum wheat was
harvested, about a week ahead of the average but a week behind the drought
stressed crop of 1989. Harvest is complete in South Dakota and Minnesota. As

the harvest progressed, producers found yields better than were expected
earlier.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production for 1990 is forecast to be 581 million bus-

hels, up 19 percent from 1989 and 7 percent higher than
the August 1 forecast. This is a record high production level, 6 percent
above the previous record set in 1982. The U.S. yield is expected to average
a record high 35.7 bushels per acre, up 6.9 bushels per acre from last year
and 2.3 bushels more than the August 1 forecast. Increased yields in the
Dakotas, Minnesota, and Montana more than offset declines in Idaho and
Washington's yields. Harvested yields were mich better than expected in
Minnesota and North Dakota.

Ninety-two percent of the spring wheat acreage in the major producing
States (Idaho, Minnesota, Montana, North and South Dakota, and Washington) was
harvested as of September 2. This compares with the 5-year average of 84
percent in the six States. South Dakota's harvest finished on schedule in

. Minnesota's harvest neared completion and North Dakota's had advanced

August.
to 93 percent by September 2.

RICE: The 1990 U. S. rice production is forecast at 159 million cwt, 1 per-

cent above last month and 3 percent above last year. Yield is expected
to average 5,641 pounds per acre, up 30 pounds from last month but down 108
pounds from last year. Louisiana's yield increased 150 pounds from last month
to a record high 4,800 pounds per acre. Yields in all other States were
unchanged from last month. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.82 million
acres, unchanged from August 1 but up 131 thousand acres from 1989.

As of September 2, rice heading was nearly complete. Harvest was 25
percent camplete, 2 points above last year, but 2 points below average. All
States report good yields with Texas and Louisiana reporting about 75 percent
harvested. California reports fields being drained in preparation for
harvest. Cooler temperatures have slowed crop development.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.83 billion bushels, down 5 percent fram

last year and essentially unchanged from the August 1 forecast.
Yield is estimated to be 32.4 bushels per acre, unchanged from 1989 and 0.1 of
a bushel below last month. Area for harvest, at 56.6 million acres, is 5

percent below 1989 and unchanged from August 1, 1990.

Yield increases from August 1 are forecast in 7 States, while 10 States
forecast yield declines. No change in yield was indicated in 8 States. In
the Corn Belt and Plains States, changes in yields were mixed from August 1.
In the Delta and Gulf Coast regions, yields were below the August 1 estimates
as hot and, especially, dry conditions prevailed during August.

Rainfall amounts in the Corn Belt during August were above normal over
the eastern portion and below normal in most western areas. Cooler than
normal temperatures during the first two weeks of August kept crop development
behind nommal. By month's end, however, temperatures were above nomal
allowing the crop to approach normal development. Ninety percent of the U.S.
acreage was setting pods and 13 percent was dropping leaves, 3 and 6
percentage points behind normal, respectively, by September 2.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-5 NASS, USDA


This increase in production stems from the increase in total clusters
per tree, which are up 25 percent from 1988, while nuts per cluster are down
4 percent for the same period. Quality is expected to be Harvest will
begin in early September and should be in full swing by mid-September

PECANS: ‘The September 1 forecast for the U. S. pecan crop is 221 million
pounds (in-shell basis), 12 percent below last year's production.

The Georgia pecan forecast is 80.0 million pounds, 6 percent below 1989. .
2 freeze in April caught many many pecan trees in full bloan, causing a light nut
set. Hot and dry weather during most of the summer then caused a heavy nut
drop. Nut sizes are expected to be small because of the drought. The Alabama
forecast is 10.0 million pounds, 55 percent less than last year's production.
Drought conditions during August, cambined with 1990 being the low producing
year in the alternate bearing cycle, are the main contributors for the drastic
drop.

Arkansas expects to produce 400 thousand pounds, only 40 percent of last
's total. The crop was plagued by too mich rain in April and May followed
by hot, dry conditions in August and early September. California production
is forecast at 3.00 million pounds, 50 percent above last year. The crop is
in good condition with harvest anticipated to begin by mid-October. The
Florida crop, at 3.60 million pounds, is 49 percent below last year's
production. The crop was hurt by dry weather in the Panhandle and Northern
Peninsula. A spring freeze also caused poor nut set. ‘The pecan forecast for
Louisiana is 5.00 million pounds, down 64 percent from the 1989 crop. This
expected production is the lowest since 1984. Late spring freezes hurt trees
during bloom and problems from insects, disease, and dry weather have
contributed to the poor prospects. The Mississippi crop is forecast at 4,00
million pounds, 53 voroent below last season. An April freeze, along with
frosts, greatly damaged this year's crop. The current drought has
further damaged any potential crop that was not killed by the freeze. Disease
and eerie arind aeons are also prevalent. New Mexico's forecast is 30.0 million
3 percent from last season. Production in eastern New Mexico is
CO ebed to be above last year's weather reduced crop. The North Carolina
crop forecast is for 1.00 million pounds, a 43 percent increase from last
season's freeze reduced crop. This year's production was again hurt by a late
spring freeze during bloom plus above normal fron tt conditions
during June and early July. Oklahama's forecast is 5.00 million pounds, 56
percent of last season's crop. A hard December freeze and heavy May rains
during pollination attributed to this low production. The South Carolina
forecast is 1.10 million pounds, up 10 percent from last year's extremely low
crop. Spring freeze during bloom reduced nut set, while dry summer weather
caused excessive nut droppage. The Texas pecan: forecast is 60.0 million
pounds, up 9 percent from the 1989 production. Hot and dry weather conditions
have caused an above normal drop to the native and seedling crop; however,
irrigated improved varieties look good. ‘Insect problems were low during the
spring, but were increasing ing by summer. The "Other States" forecast of 17.9
million pounds is 10 percent higher than last season. Arizona, Kansas,
Missouri, and Tennessee are included in this production forecast. Arizona has
experienced ideal weather conditions. This is also the "high" year of the
alternate bearing cycle for most Arizona pecan trees. Kansas experienced a
December freeze that caused considerable damage to trees.

PAPAYAS: Fresh papaya production, from Hawaii, is estimated at 6.14 million

pounds for August. This is 86 percent more than July and 16 percent
more than August 1989. Year-to-date fresh sales trail the same January
through August period of 1989 by 5 percent. Major producing areas experienced
mostly sunny skies with light scattered showers.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 B-14 NASS, USDA


COFFEE

PRODUCTION 1/
STATE
: 1ge7-1988 = :—s«1988-1989| = :_~=—S:1989-1990
1,000 POUNDS
HI 1,800 2,000 3,200
1/ PARCHMENT BASIS.
PEARS
PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE : TOTAL 1/ :
3 < IND
: 1988 : 1989 : 1990
: TONS
BARTLETT
cA > 291,000 298,000 310,000
R : 68,000 67,000 75,000
WA > 147,000 157,000 165,000
TOTAL : 506,000 522,000 550,000
BARTLETT :
cA : 11,000 17,000 18,000
mR : 145,000 148,000 140,000
wa : 163,000 192,000 200,000
TOTAL : 319,000 357,000 358,000
ALL :
A : 302,000 315,000 328,000
oo 2/ : 3,800 4,000 2,500
cr 2/ : 1/650 1/400 1/300
MI H 6,000 8,000 5,000
NY : 17/300 16,500 15,500
OR : 213,000 215,000 215,000
PA 2, 5,100 5,500 4,000
ur 2 t 2,000 2,600 2/200
wa : 310,000 349,000 365,000
Us : 860,850 917,000 938,500

1/ INCUUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): US 1988 -
450; 1989 ~ 300. 2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER
FORECAST:

: AREA 3 FRESH PRODUCTION
MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP: HARVESTED 2 3 :
H 3 1989 +: 1990 :
: i989: «61990 =: #1989 : 1990 : : : 1990
3 ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
JUL : 4,335 3,875 2,495 2,420 5,130 3,300
AUG : 4,025 3,745 2,505 2,395 5,290 6,140
SEP: 4,035 2,550 5,165 vy
or : 4,070 2,625 6,130 1
NOV: 4,060 2,735 6,270 sW]
DEC: 4,100 2,745 5,530 y/
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-AUG 40,905 38,720
1/ FOUR MONTH FORECAST TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

SEPTEMBER 1990 A-29 NASS, USDA


RICE

3 AREA HARVESTED : YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : 3 : IND

: 1989 : 1999 : 1989: 1990: 1988 3 1989 3 1990

3 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 Cwr
AR  : 1,140.0 1,210.0 5,600 5,350 64,735 63,840 64,735
CA 3 410.0 385.0 7,900 7,700 29,840 32,390 29,645
IA : 485.0 565.0 4,430 4,800 24,080 21,488 27,120
MS 3 235.0 235.0 5,700 5,600 13,780 13,395 13,160
Ml/: 79.0 65.0 5,200 4,900 4,182 4,108 3,185
TM : 338.0 358.0 5,700 5,900 23,280 19,266 21,122
US : 2,687.0 2,818.0 5,749 5,641 159,897 154,487 158,967

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

YEAR : LONG GRAIN :; MEDIUM GRAIN: SHORT GRAIN : ALL

: 1,000 CWr
1988 : 119,364 36,891 3,642 159,897
1989 : 109,541 41,126 3,820 154,487
1990 1/ 109, 662 48,025 1,280 158,967

1/ INDICATED SEPTEMBER 1, 1990, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
SEPTEMBER 1990 A-13 NASS, USDA


COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION
STATE
3 1988 : 1989 H IND 1990
: 1,000 TONS
US 3 6,061.8 4,676.9 5,733.2
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/
: AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD H PRODUCTION
STATE : : IND : : IND : : : IND
3 1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 ;: 1989 : 1990
3 1,000 ACRES POUNDS 1,000 CWr
LARGE LIMA 3
cA : 32.0 25.0 1,910 1,840 574 611 460
BABY LIMA :
CA : 35.0 25.0 2,120 2,200 673 742 550
:
CA 3 117.0 115.0 1,780 1,840 1,638 2,083 2,116
ALL :
cA : 184.0 165.0 1,867 1,895 2,885 3,436 3,126
foe) : 185.0 220.0 1,680 1,600 2,558 3,108 3,520
ID : 168.0 178.0 2,050 2,000 2,249 3,444 3,560
KS 2/: 21.0 38.0 1,550 1,750 310 326 665
MI : 300.0 350.0 1,500 1,500 2,142 4,500 5,250
MN : 70.0 130.0 1,300 1,200 480 910 1,560
ur 2/3: 5.9 14.0 2,200 2,300 76 130 322
NE : 208.0 245.0 1,680 1,900 3,764 3,494 4,655
NM 2/: 14.0 14.0 2,000 2,000 319 280 280
NY 3 31.0 35.0 1,450 1,700 325 450 595
ND : 410.0 600.0 600 900 2,701 2,460 5,400
OR as: 9.9 2,200 218
1X 2/3 23.0 1,400 322
ur 2/3 5.0 6.0 300 400 26 15 24
WA : 43.0 49.0 2,160 2,000 742 929 980
WY : 45.0 51.0 1,890 1,900 676 851 969
US : 1,689.9 2,127.9 1,440 1,478 19,253 24,333 31,446

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.

2/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION
SEPTEMBER 1990

A-16

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
USDA, NASS