Cr Pr 2-2 (6-01)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released June 12, 2001, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. 

For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Winter Wheat Production Down 15 Percent from 2000

All Orange Production Unchanged from May 1 Forecast

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.32 billion bushels, down 2 percent from the May 1 forecast and

15 percent below 2000 to the lowest level since 1978. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast

at 41.2 bushels per acre, down 0.6 bushels from the last forecast. Grain area totals 32.1 million acres,

unchanged from May 1. 

Hard Red production is down slightly from a month ago to 717 million bushels. White Winter is down

3 percent from last month. Soft Red is down 3 percent from the last forecast and now totals

396 million bushels.

The U.S. all orange June 1 forecast is 12.4 million tons, unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 5 percent

below last season’s final utilization of 13.0 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast is 224 million boxes

(10.1 million tons), the same as last month but 4 percent lower than the previous season final utilization. The

early and midseason orange forecast remains at 128 million boxes (5.76 million tons) but is 4 percent below

the 1999-2000 final utilization. Harvest is complete. Florida’s Valencia forecast, at 96.0 million boxes

(4.32 million tons), is unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 3 percent lower than last season’s final

utilization. Harvest is 80 percent complete, nearly the same pace as last season, but behind the 10-season

average of 89 percent complete. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried

forward from the May 1 forecasts.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield projection is unchanged from last month at

1.58 gallons per box of 42.0 degrees Brix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.54 gallons per box as

reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The late type Valencia yield projection, at 1.65 gallons

per box, is also unchanged from a month ago.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on June 12, 2001.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Keith J. Collins

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Frederic A. Vogel
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Apricots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Cherries, Sweet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Citrus ................................................................................7

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25

Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

Maple Syrup . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Peaches ...............................................................................6

Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15

Pears, Bartlett ..........................................................................8

Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31

Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

Sugarcane . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

Wheat, Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Wheat, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 4 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2000 2001 2000

2001

2000 2001

May 1 Jun 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

MD

MI

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

1,100

350

2,350

63

200

730

920

510

9,400

420

200

500

235

950

1,350

1,650

140

550

1,110

4,200

730

195

185

1,280

380

2,200

205

1,800

170

949

35,022

1,040

380

2,050

58

220

710

770

480

8,400

340

180

540

170

780

1,090

1,700

120

550

990

3,600

690

160

220

550

350

2,900

175

1,750

160

965

32,088

54.0

70.0

29.0

66.0

54.0

90.0

57.0

69.0

37.0

57.0

63.0

72.0

55.0

52.0

33.0

36.0

53.0

50.0

72.0

34.0

62.0

53.0

49.0

42.0

55.0

30.0

63.0

73.0

24.0

46.8

44.6

53.0

75.0

34.0

59.0

48.0

80.0

54.0

66.0

34.0

58.0

59.0

70.0

48.0

50.0

34.0

36.0

55.0

45.0

70.0

27.0

54.0

53.0

40.0

33.0

55.0

30.0

62.0

63.0

29.0

43.9

41.8

51.0

75.0

34.0

59.0

48.0

77.0

54.0

66.0

34.0

56.0

59.0

68.0

50.0

50.0

29.0

36.0

50.0

36.0

65.0

27.0

50.0

48.0

42.0

33.0

55.0

32.0

57.0

63.0

26.0

43.9

41.2

59,400

24,500

68,150

4,158

10,800

65,700

52,440

35,190

347,800

23,940

12,600

36,000

12,925

49,400

44,550

59,400

7,420

27,500

79,920

142,800

45,260

10,335

9,065

53,760

20,900

66,000

12,915

131,400

4,080

44,425

1,562,733

53,040

28,500

69,700

3,422

10,560

54,670

41,580

31,680

285,600

19,040

10,620

36,720

8,500

39,000

31,610

61,200

6,000

19,800

64,350

97,200

34,500

7,680

9,240

18,150

19,250

92,800

9,975

110,250

4,160

42,329

1,321,126

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary."
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 5 NASS, USDA

Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2000 2001 2000

2001

2000 2001

May 1 Jun 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

MT

ND

Oth

 Sts 2

US

85

97

470

2,900

20

3,572

80

81

95.0

100.0

28.0

27.0

28.5

30.7

91.0

100.0

93.0

100.0

8,075

9,700

13,160

78,300

570

109,805

7,440

8,100

 1 Area harvested for the U.S. and remaining States will be published in "Acreage" released June 29, 2001. Yield and production

will be published in "Crop Production" released July 11, 2001. 2 Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary."

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1999-2000

and Forecasted June 1, 2001 1

Year

Winter Spring

Hard Total

Red

Soft

Red White Hard

Red White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

1999

2000

2001

1,050,747

843,664

717,242

454,261

470,866

396,221

191,572

248,203

207,663

447,908

498,485

55,200

52,417

99,322

109,805

2,299,010

2,223,440

 1 Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used

throughout the forecast season. Spring wheat production by class and total production will be published in "Crop Production"

released July 11, 2001.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 6 NASS, USDA

Sweet Cherries: Total Production by State, and Total,

1999-2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001

State

Total Production

1999 2000 2001 1

Tons Tons Tons

 CA

 OR

 WA

 Total

81,000

50,000

67,000

198,000

39,900

55,000

95,000

189,900

60,000

40,000

100,000

200,000

 1 The first production forecast for sweet cherries in ID, MI, MT, NY, PA, and UT and tart cherries in CO, MI, NY, OR, PA, UT,

WA, and WI will be published in "Cherry Production" released on June 21, 2001.

Peaches: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,

1999-2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001

State

Total Production

1999 2000 2001

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

CA - Freestone

GA

SC

Total

CA - Clingstone 1

Total

763.0

110.0

160.0

1,033.0

1,059.0

2,092.0

801.0

115.0

150.0

1,066.0

1,064.0

2,130.0

780.0

135.0

90.0

1,005.0

1,050.0

2,055.0

 1 CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 7 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

1998-1999, 1999-2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 Valencia

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 5

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 Other 5

 FL

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 4 6

 CA 4 6

 FL

 US

Lemons 4

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

K-Early Citrus

 FL

550

21,000

112,000

1,250

134,800

600

15,000

74,000

180

89,780

1,150

36,000

186,000

1,430

224,580

1,800

17,800

28,700

550

750

7,300

47,050

6,100

61,200

950

1,500

4,950

7,400

3,450

16,200

19,650

2,550

80

600

40,000

134,000

1,540

176,140

500

24,000

99,000

200

123,700

1,100

64,000

233,000

1,740

299,840

1,950

20,900

31,900

600

450

7,000

53,400

5,930

66,780

850

2,300

7,000

10,150

3,100

19,600

22,700

2,200

110

450

34,000

128,000

2,000

164,450

550

23,000

96,000

210

119,760

1,000

57,000

224,000

2,210

284,210

1,250

19,000

27,500

650

7,200

46,500

6,700

61,050

650

2,600

5,600

8,850

3,200

22,000

25,200

2,100

40

21

787

5,040

53

5,901

22

563

3,330

8

3,923

43

1,350

8,370

61

9,824

81

757

1,220

23

25

244

2,000

244

2,513

36

56

235

327

131

616

747

115

4

22

1,500

6,030

66

7,618

19

900

4,455

8

5,382

41

2,400

10,485

74

13,000

88

888

1,356

25

15

235

2,269

237

2,756

32

86

333

451

118

745

863

99

5

17

1,275

5,760

85

7,137

21

863

4,320

9

5,213

38

2,138

10,080

94

12,350

56

808

1,169

22

241

1,977

268

2,508

24

98

266

388

122

836

958

95

2

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early

Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5 "Other" seedy grapefruit estimates discontinued after 1999-2000 crop. Included with white seedless beginning with the 2000-01

crop. 6 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 8 NASS, USDA

Bartlett Pears: Total Production by State and Total,

1999-2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001

State

Total Production

1999 2000 2001

Tons Tons Tons

CA

OR

WA

Total

311,000

66,000

210,000

587,000

286,000

60,000

170,000

516,000

240,000

58,000

195,000

493,000

Miscellaneous Fruits, California: Total Production by Crop,

1999-2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001

Crop

Total Production

1999 2000 2001

Tons Tons Tons

Prunes (Dried Basis)

Apricots

178,000

85,000

219,000

93,000

155,000

95,000

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2000-2001

Month

Area Fresh Production

Total in Crop Harvested 2000 2001

2000 2001 2000 2001

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Apr

May

3,090

3,075

2,845

2,805

1,655

1,670

2,025

2,030

4,700

4,625

4,065

4,570
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 9 NASS, USDA

Hops: Area Harvested by Variety, State, and United States,

1999-2000 and Forecasted June 1, 2001

State

and

Variety

Area Harvested Strung for Harvest

1999 2000 2001

Acres Acres Acres

ID

 Chinook

 Cluster

 Galena

 Horizon

 Mt. Hood

 Nugget

 Willamette

 Zeus

 Other Varieties

 Total

OR

 Fuggle

 Golding

 Mt. Hood

 Millenium

 Nugget

 Perle

 Santiam

 Sterling

 Tettnanger

 Willamette

 Other Varieties

 Total

WA

 Cascade

 Chelan

 Chinook

 Cluster

 Columbus/Tomahawk

 Galena

 Golding

 Hallertauer

 Horizon

 Magnum

 Millenium

 Mt. Hood

 Northern Brewer

 Nugget

 Perle

 Tettnanger

 Tillicum

 Vanguard

 Willamette

 YCR-5(WarriorTM)

 Zeus

 Other Varieties

 Total

 US

202

417

625

7

32

89

248

201

1,541

3,362

98

110

253

 -

2,153

406

 -

 -

88

2,321

393

5,822

906

 *

791

1,321

4,374

5,282

35

 *

268

99

 -

384

 *

4,195

273

129

 *

 *

3,364

 -

1,520

2,135

25,076

34,260

170

198

535

 -

53

68

194

403

1,700

3,321

63

115

250

 -

2,308

402

17

62

 *

2,142

460

5,819

996

 *

670

939

4,594

5,044

36

 *

316

73

 *

367

 *

4,597

275

 *

 *

 *

3,563

 *

1,994

3,516

26,980

36,120

120

184

552

 -

32

54

215

477

1,785

3,419

 *

 *

257

117

2,268

491

 *

91

 *

2,434

445

6,103

1,003

304

515

534

4,808

4,374

45

76

338

42

1,376

333

90

4,076

209

60

369

54

3,570

1,233

2,186

590

26,185

35,707

- Unknown or none.

* Included in Other Varieties to avoid disclosure of individual operations.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 10 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, Production,

Price, and Value by State and United States, 1999-2000 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield

1999 2000 2 1999 2000 2 1999 2000 2

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH

OR

WA

WY

US

110.0

72.1

211.0

194.0

480.0

61.8

72.7

251.6

1.8

20.1

27.5

58.0

1,560.6

98.0

71.5

212.0

189.0

490.0

60.7

78.2

258.0

1.2

17.2

28.4

61.0

1,565.2

108.0

68.5

210.0

190.0

470.0

61.7

66.2

247.0

1.7

19.7

27.4

57.1

1,527.3

93.5

53.6

191.0

166.0

430.0

55.2

54.8

232.0

0.8

14.0

27.3

56.1

1,374.3

32.0

21.3

24.3

18.6

20.1

23.8

19.0

20.8

19.5

25.1

30.1

21.1

21.9

32.5

22.5

29.3

20.5

21.5

23.9

20.3

22.1

21.0

29.5

29.4

20.6

23.6

Production Price per Ton Value of Production

1999 2000 2 1999 2000 3 1999 2000 3

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH

OR

WA

WY

US

3,456

1,459

5,103

3,534

9,447

1,468

1,258

5,138

33

494

825

1,205

33,420

3,039

1,206

5,596

3,403

9,245

1,319

1,112

5,127

17

413

803

1,156

32,436

36.80

31.40

42.30

32.80

36.70

40.40

33.20

38.00

32.70

41.10

32.40

39.00

37.20

127,181

45,813

215,857

115,915

346,705

59,307

41,766

195,244

1,079

20,303

26,730

46,995

1,242,895

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2 Revised. 3 Estimates are not available. U.S. marketing year average price, value of production, and parity price will be published in

"Agricultural Prices" released July 31, 2001. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values" to be released February 2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 11 NASS, USDA

Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price,

and Value by State and United States, 1999-2000

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

1999 2000 2 1999 2000 2 1999 2000 2

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

For Sugar

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

For Seed

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

For Sugar

 and Seed

 FL

 HI

 LA

 TX

 US

443.0

35.4

435.0

28.0

941.4

17.0

1.9

30.0

3.0

51.9

460.0

37.3

465.0

31.0

993.3

427.0

32.6

465.0

45.5

970.1

18.0

1.8

35.0

0.8

55.6

445.0

34.4

500.0

46.3

1,025.7

35.0

81.7

32.7

34.1

35.7

35.0

35.8

32.7

26.0

33.2

35.0

79.4

32.7

33.3

35.5

38.3

72.5

29.7

38.8

35.4

38.4

37.8

29.7

30.0

32.8

38.3

70.7

29.7

38.6

35.2

15,505

2,892

14,225

955

33,577

595

68

981

78

1,722

16,100

2,960

15,206

1,033

35,299

16,354

2,364

13,811

1,765

34,294

691

68

1,040

24

1,823

17,045

2,432

14,851

1,789

36,117

For Sugar For Sugar and Seed

Price per Ton Value of Production Value of Production 3

1999 2000 4 1999 2000 4 1999 2000 4

Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

27.20

30.00

22.90

26.10

25.60

421,736

86,760

325,753

24,926

859,175

437,920

88,800

348,218

26,962

901,900

 1 Yield and production refer to net weight. 2 Revised. 3 Price per ton of cane for sugar used in evaluating value of production for seed. 4 Estimates are not available. U.S. marketing year average price, value of production, and parity price will be published in

"Agricultural Prices" released July 31, 2001. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values" to be released February 2002.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 12 NASS, USDA

Maple Syrup: Production, Price, and Value

by State and United States, 2000-2001 1

State

Production Average Price

per Gallon

Value of

Production

2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001

1,000 Gallons 1,000 Gallons Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

CT

ME

MA

MI

NH

NY

OH

PA

VT

WI

US

7

250

39

44

75

210

34

47

460

65

1,231

9

200

34

60

45

193

96

69

275

68

1,049

43.90

14.20

37.80

35.10

38.10

29.00

34.30

28.40

30.00

27.70

27.60

45.00

15.00

38.00

31.40

39.00

26.00

28.60

25.40

31.50

25.10

26.90

307

3,550

1,474

1,544

2,858

6,090

1,166

1,335

13,800

1,800

33,924

405

3,000

1,292

1,884

1,755

5,018

2,746

1,753

8,663

1,707

28,223

 1 Price and value for 2000 are revised. Price and value for 2001 are preliminary.

Maple Syrup: Percent of Sales by Type and State, 1999-2000

State

Retail Wholesale and Bulk

1999 2000 1999 2000

Percent Percent Percent Percent

CT

ME

MA

MI

NH

NY

OH

PA

VT

WI

75

10

70

45

70

47

58

52

40

52

75

5

65

62

75

45

68

53

45

47

25

90

30

55

30

53

42

48

60

48

25

95

35

38

25

55

32

47

55

53
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 13 NASS, USDA

Maple Syrup: Price by Type of Sales and Size of Container

by State, 1999-2000 1

Type

and

State

Gallons 1/2 Gallons Quarts Pints 1/2 Pints

1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000

Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars

Retail

 CT

 ME

 MA

 MI

 NH

 NY

 OH

 PA

 VT

 WI

Wholesale

 CT 2

 ME

 MA

 MI

 NH

 NY

 OH

 PA

 VT

 WI

36.40

29.00

34.20

31.50

33.50

29.70

29.00

27.50

30.70

27.20

30.20

26.80

26.90

26.10

29.40

25.50

26.20

26.70

25.40

27.10

36.70

31.60

33.90

32.00

33.90

28.10

28.80

29.00

31.60

27.60

24.50

28.60

29.50

23.70

24.30

27.20

27.10

26.40

25.30

20.60

15.70

20.00

17.40

19.00

16.60

16.60

16.10

18.10

15.10

16.90

14.50

15.40

15.50

15.70

14.80

14.30

14.40

15.40

14.90

20.10

17.90

19.20

18.50

18.80

16.50

16.60

17.00

18.00

15.20

18.00

13.20

15.70

15.60

15.50

14.20

15.00

14.90

15.30

14.50

12.00

9.50

11.40

9.60

11.20

9.35

10.10

9.25

10.50

8.00

9.10

8.00

8.50

8.30

8.60

7.90

8.20

8.28

8.60

7.90

11.70

10.00

11.20

9.70

11.30

9.80

9.90

9.90

10.50

8.10

9.10

7.50

9.00

7.60

8.30

7.65

8.50

8.20

8.60

8.40

7.00

5.50

6.50

6.00

6.50

5.95

6.30

5.76

6.70

4.80

5.30

4.70

4.65

4.40

5.00

4.70

5.10

5.06

5.15

4.60

7.30

6.20

6.70

6.10

6.60

6.35

6.10

5.80

6.60

4.10

5.60

4.60

5.10

4.50

4.90

4.55

5.40

4.70

5.10

4.30

4.70

3.70

4.15

4.10

4.00

3.65

4.10

3.60

4.30

3.20

3.45

3.65

3.00

3.00

3.00

2.05

3.65

3.15

3.25

2.80

4.60

4.50

4.10

4.00

3.90

3.95

4.40

3.60

4.30

2.40

3.50

3.50

3.00

2.50

2.90

2.75

3.70

2.90

3.40

2.70

Bulk All Grades Bulk All Grades All Sales

1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000

Dollars per Pound Dollars per Pound Dollars per Gallon Dollars per Gallon Equivalent per Gallon Equivalent per Gallon

Bulk

 CT

 ME

 MA

 MI

 NH

 NY

 OH

 PA

 VT

 WI

1.40

1.45

1.50

1.50

1.55

1.35

1.80

1.40

1.80

1.50

1.10

1.00

1.30

1.80

1.40

1.35

1.45

1.30

1.60

1.40

15.40

16.00

16.60

16.90

17.10

14.80

19.60

15.40

19.80

16.80

12.10

11.00

14.30

19.60

15.40

15.00

15.80

14.40

17.60

15.30

42.80

19.40

38.80

28.20

37.40

27.30

30.00

26.00

29.00

23.70

43.90

14.20

37.80

35.10

38.10

29.00

34.30

28.40

30.00

27.70

 1 Prices for 1999 are revised. 2 Data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 14 NASS, USDA

Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield,

and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 1999 2000

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

CA

GA

LA

MS

NJ

NC

SC

TX

VA

US

3.3

10.0

0.7

24.0

10.5

1.0

37.0

1.2

5.6

0.5

93.8

3.3

10.5

0.6

25.0

12.7

1.2

38.0

0.7

5.5

0.5

98.0

3.2

10.0

0.6

23.0

10.3

1.0

29.0

0.5

5.0

0.5

83.1

3.2

10.5

0.5

24.0

12.3

1.2

37.0

0.6

5.1

0.5

94.9

Yield Production

1999 2000 1999 2000

Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AL

CA

GA

LA

MS

NJ

NC

SC

TX

VA

US

130

240

100

150

150

100

130

95

70

190

147

145

250

140

130

120

100

150

85

45

175

145

416

2,400

60

3,450

1,545

100

3,770

48

350

95

12,234

464

2,625

70

3,120

1,476

120

5,550

51

230

88

13,794

 1 2000 Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 15 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 1999-2000 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

1999 2000 1999 2000

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

207.0

102.0

546.0

22.0

126.0

83.0

11.5

360.0

77.0

1,534.5

190.0

94.0

494.0

27.3

123.0

97.0

10.5

425.0

76.0

1,536.8

206.0

94.0

544.0

22.0

124.0

79.0

11.0

280.0

76.0

1,436.0

182.0

86.0

492.0

26.0

123.0

67.0

10.0

275.0

75.0

1,336.0

Yield Production

1999 2000 1999 2000

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

2,175

2,770

2,575

2,800

2,410

2,400

2,300

3,310

2,870

2,667

1,490

2,485

2,700

2,115

2,750

1,800

2,950

2,540

2,805

2,444

448,050

260,380

1,400,800

61,600

298,840

189,600

25,300

926,800

218,120

3,829,490

271,180

213,710

1,328,400

54,990

338,250

120,600

29,500

698,500

210,375

3,265,505

 1 2000 revised for NM, TX, and US based on final administrative data.

Peanuts: Price and Value by State

and United States, 1999-2000 1

State Price per Pound Value of Production

1999 2000 1999 2000

Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

AL

FL

GA

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

0.268

0.232

0.272

0.274

0.276

0.280

0.267

0.206

0.275

0.254

0.264

0.251

0.265

0.293

0.266

0.291

0.223

0.227

0.260

0.257

120,077

60,408

381,018

16,878

82,480

53,088

6,755

190,921

59,983

971,608

71,592

53,641

352,026

16,112

89,975

35,095

6,579

158,560

54,698

838,278

 1 2000 revised for NM, TX, and US.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 16 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2000 2001 2000 2001

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,844.0

79,545.0

4,477.0

440.0

3,060.0

1,335.0

9,195.0

62,529.0

43,348.0

3,937.0

15,244.0

1,567.0

536.0

46.0

1,536.8

4.0

215.0

74,496.0

2,792.0

15,517.2

15,347.0

170.2

1,565.2

5.2

1,756.2

188.0

217.0

1,387.3

17.2

77.4

64.7

1,228.0

98.0

5,321.0

76,693.0

4,425.0

3,090.0

9,368.0

60,299.0

41,336.0

3,462.0

15,501.0

1,892.0

1,465.0

76,657.0

2,732.0

15,614.0

15,394.0

220.0

1,432.5

1,452.9

16.8

74.1

96.2

5,201.0

72,732.0

5,868.0

59,854.0

23,077.0

36,777.0

2,324.0

370.0

3,039.0

302.0

7,723.0

265.0

53,028.0

35,022.0

3,572.0

14,434.0

1,509.0

517.0

42.9

1,336.0

3.9

197.0

72,718.0

2,629.0

13,053.0

12,884.0

169.0

1,374.3

1,025.7

472.4

4.1

1,606.4

179.0

214.0

6.8

0.3

36.1

89.5

1,351.6

17.0

75.6

61.8

1,197.2

21.7

94.9

0.5

63,771.0

2,204.0

32,088.0

457.7

35.7

14.0

72.5

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2001 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 17 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2000 2001 2000 2001

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

61.1

137.1

16.8

2.54

3.48

1.95

64.2

19.8

6,281

28.5

60.9

10.8

41.9

44.6

30.7

38.2

1,337

20.8

852

2,444

1,474

1,434

38.1

1,363

632

626

1,105

23.6

35.2

2,229

1,780

1,646

1,955

1,415

1,340

50,000

1,871

77

382

292

290

303

393

101

145

41.2

285

269

317,865

9,968,358

98,538

152,183

80,347

71,836

149,195

7,320

190,872

8,619

470,070

2,863

2,223,440

1,562,733

109,805

550,902

2,016,951

6,436

10,730

36,570

3,265,505

5,750

282,545

2,769,665

3,584,339

17,188.3

16,799.2

389.1

32,436

36,117

1,052,998

73

26,440

3,499

3,029

680

9,100

13,500

67,577

6,926

516,083

4,960

21,921

18,698

470,504

2,199

13,794

7,000

1,321,126

3,990

19,500

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2001 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 18 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1999-2001

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

1999 2000 2001

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Non-Citrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lb

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,513

4

747

9,824

115

327

81

10,630.7

90.5

24,500.0

6,236.4

142.0

42,400.0

2,525.7

1,015.5

178.0

22.9

833,000

40.0

406,100

123,000

283.0

1,188

2,756

5

863

13,000

99

451

88

10,598.0

99.9

29,000.0

7,315.3

53.0

54,500.0

2,610.9

975.2

219.0

23.9

703,000

24.0

206,600

243,000

239.0

1,231

2,508

2

958

12,350

95

388

56

155.0

875,000

1,049

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2001 crop year. 2 Production years are 1998-1999, 1999-2000, and 2000-2001.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 19 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2000 2001 2000 2001

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,365,010

32,191,070

1,811,800

178,060

1,238,350

540,260

3,721,120

25,304,860

17,542,500

1,593,260

6,169,090

634,150

216,910

18,620

621,930

1,620

87,010

30,147,790

1,129,890

6,279,660

6,210,780

68,880

633,420

2,100

710,720

76,080

87,820

561,430

6,960

31,320

26,180

496,960

39,660

2,153,360

31,036,890

1,790,750

1,250,490

3,791,140

24,402,400

16,728,270

1,401,040

6,273,100

765,670

592,870

31,022,320

1,105,610

6,318,830

6,229,800

89,030

579,720

587,970

6,800

29,990

38,930

2,104,790

29,433,910

2,374,720

24,222,320

9,339,030

14,883,280

940,500

149,740

1,229,850

122,220

3,125,420

107,240

21,459,900

14,173,050

1,445,550

5,841,300

610,680

209,220

17,360

540,670

1,580

79,720

29,428,250

1,063,930

5,282,420

5,214,030

68,390

556,170

415,090

191,190

1,660

650,090

72,440

86,600

2,750

110

14,620

36,220

546,980

6,880

30,590

25,010

484,490

8,780

38,410

190

25,807,490

891,940

12,985,690

185,210

14,450

5,670

29,340

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2001 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 20 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2000 2001 2000 2001

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.29

8.60

37.64

5.70

7.80

4.38

2.30

1.11

7.04

1.79

3.82

24.22

2.82

3.00

2.07

2.57

1.50

1.30

0.96

2.74

1.65

1.61

2.56

1.53

0.71

0.70

1.24

52.91

78.93

2.50

2.00

1.84

2.19

1.59

1.50

56.04

2.10

0.09

42.80

32.70

32.50

33.91

44.05

0.11

16.29

2.77

31.94

30.15

6,920,690

253,207,960

89,392,170

138,058,100

72,889,570

65,168,520

2,165,560

166,010

8,657,810

218,930

11,940,330

2,597,270

60,512,120

42,530,620

2,988,400

14,993,100

914,870

5,838,280

272,550

16,590

1,481,210

2,610

128,160

75,377,930

1,625,830

3,742,310

3,657,590

84,720

29,425,440

32,764,790

477,630

3,310

1,199,300

158,710

137,390

30,840

4,130

6,120

30,650

3,140

23,409,130

224,980

994,320

848,130

21,341,700

1,000

625,690

3,180

35,955,160

180,980

884,510

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2001 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 21 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1999-2001

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

1999 2000 2001

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL)

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Non-Citrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,279,760

3,630

677,670

8,912,180

104,330

296,650

73,480

4,822,000

82,100

11,110

5,657,530

128,820

19,230

1,145,640

921,200

161,480

20,770

377,840

36,290

184,200

55,790

256,730

5,940

2,500,200

4,540

782,900

11,793,400

89,810

409,140

79,830

4,807,170

90,630

13,150

6,636,300

48,080

24,720

1,184,280

884,640

198,670

21,680

318,880

21,770

93,710

110,220

216,820

6,150

2,275,220

1,810

869,080

11,203,730

86,180

351,990

50,800

140,610

396,890

5,240

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2001 crop year. 2 Production years are 1998-1999, 1999-2000, and 2000-2001.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 22 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 23 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 24 NASS, USDA

May Weather Summary

May featured a number of significant precipitation events, triggered by: 1) an early-month storm system that

traversed the Plains and Midwest on the heels of three similar systems in April; 2) moisture overrunning a

stalled front, aligned from Michigan southeastward to the Mid-Atlantic region for several days around midmonth; and 3) two very slow-moving storm systems that took about a week apiece to edge across the Midwest

and Northeast, starting around May 20. The late-month storms brought an abrupt end to warm conditions in

the Plains and Midwest, and produced widespread, locally heavy rainfall and scattered severe thunderstorms

from the Plains eastward. Monthly temperatures averaged within 3 degrees F of normal at most locations

from the Plains eastward, except on the Montana High Plains (up to 7 degrees F above normal). Meanwhile,

heat intensified across the West, boosting May temperatures as much as 10 degrees F above normal in parts of

California, the Great Basin, and the Southwest.

Following the fourth and final Plains/Midwestern storm system in early May, summer crop planting advanced

rapidly under a warm, dry, windy weather regime. However, the late-month return of cool, showery weather

to the Nation’s mid-section slowed final planting operations and crop emergence and establishment. On the

central and southern Plains, widespread thunderstorms after mid-month stabilized the condition of the

troubled winter wheat crop but caused localized wind, hail, and flood damage. On the drought-affected

northern High Plains, however, dry, breezy conditions and rapid temperature fluctuations further stressed

pastures and small grains. Mostly dry, often hot weather prevailed in the West, increasing irrigation and

electrical demands, depleting topsoil moisture, and increasing stress on dryland crops. Farther east, muchneeded rainfall eased dryness in the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic region, and interior South. Drought persisted,

however, in the Gulf Coast and southern Atlantic regions, stressing non-irrigated summer crops, further

reducing freshwater reserves, and increasing the threat of wildfires. Beneficial showers developed across

southern and eastern Florida, however, toward month’s end. Unfavorably dry weather also continued to

affect parts of New England.

May Agricultural Summary

Wet weather hindered planting progress in the northern and western Corn Belt, especially early in the month. 

In the upper Mississippi Valley, growers took advantage of less-than-ideal periods of dry weather near

mid-month and the end of the month to prepare fields and plant crops. In the eastern Corn Belt, dry

conditions aided a near-record planting pace until mid-month, but topsoil moisture shortages fostered slow

and uneven crop emergence in some areas. After mid-month, cold weather and saturated soils replaced

moisture shortages as the main deterrent to crop development in the eastern Corn Belt. Across most of the

lower Mississippi Valley, Southeast, and southern Great Plains, alternating periods of wet and dry weather

provided adequate opportunities to plant crops. However, planting was delayed by moisture shortages along

parts of the Gulf Coast and southern Atlantic Coastal Plains most of the month. In addition, wet weather

hampered planting in parts of the interior Southeast during the second half of the month. Dry weather aided

field activities in the Southwest and across most of the northern High Plains and Pacific Northwest. 

However, small grain crops on the High Plains suffered due to moisture shortages.

Corn planting progressed far ahead of normal east of the Mississippi River and well behind normal in the

upper Mississippi Valley early in the month. In Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio, planting progressed at a near-

-record pace and planting was nearly complete by mid-month. At the other extreme, planting progressed at a

very slow pace in Minnesota until mid-month, when a period of dry weather allowed growers to plant more

than one-half of their acreage during the week that ended May 20. Planting progressed behind normal across

the majority of the Great Plains before mid-month, but by the end of the month, planting was slightly ahead of

normal in most areas. Fields that were planted in the western Corn Belt had ample moisture for germination,

while fields in the eastern Corn Belt struggled through early-month moisture shortages. A wet weather

pattern emerged over the eastern Corn Belt near mid-month that erased most moisture shortages and by the

end of the month, many fields exhibited signs of excessive moisture. Also, below-normal temperatures that

accompanied the wet weather slowed plant growth.

Soybean planting progressed ahead of normal in the eastern Corn Belt due to the rapid corn planting pace. 

On May 13, about three-fourths of the crop was planted in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio, more than double the

normal pace for that date. In Kentucky and Michigan, about one-half of the crop was planted by mid-month. 

In the western Corn Belt, planting was delayed by prolonged wetness until mid-month, when growers in Iowa,
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 25 NASS, USDA

Minnesota, and Nebraska seeded about one-third of their acreage during the week that ended May 20. 

Planting also accelerated in the northern Great Plains after mid-month. In North and South Dakota, more than

one-half of the acreage was planted during the second half of the month. By the end of the month,

three-fourths of the Nation’s soybean acreage was planted. Fields quickly emerged in the eastern Corn Belt,

despite early-month moisture shortages. Well over half of the acreage was emerged in Indiana and Ohio by

May 20. After mid-month, frequent showers and thunderstorms eliminated most moisture shortages, but cool,

wet weather and crusted soils hindered emergence and slowed growth. At the end of May, just over one-half

of the acreage was emerged.

Above-normal temperatures promoted rapid development of the Nation’s winter wheat crop during most of

the first 3 weeks of the month. Until May 20, fields entered the heading stage well ahead of normal in the

Corn Belt and slightly ahead of normal in the central and southern Great Plains. From May 20 to the end of

the month, cold over night temperatures curtailed development in the Corn Belt and adjacent areas in the

northern Great Plains. Development lagged in the Pacific Northwest at the end of the month even though

temperatures averaged slightly above normal. Moisture shortages stressed fields in the northern Great Plains

and Pacific Northwest, while periods of cold, wet weather hampered development in the central Great Plains. 

Harvest began along the Gulf Coast near the beginning of the month and progressed northward into the Texas

High Plains and Oklahoma by the end of the month.

Small grain seeding lagged behind normal until mid-month, but progressed ahead of normal after mid-month. 

Oat seeding was complete in Ohio by May 6 and nearly complete in Iowa and Nebraska by May 13. Wet

weather delayed oat seeding in Minnesota and Wisconsin early in the month, and progress lagged behind

normal throughout the remainder of the month. Barley and spring wheat seeding progressed at a normal rate

in the Pacific Northwest, but soil moisture shortages hindered progress on the northern High Plains while

moisture surpluses hampered progress in the upper Mississippi Valley.

Cotton planting progressed slightly ahead of normal through most of the month. Rain delays were more

numerous in interior areas of the southern Great Plains, lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast. Planting

delays due to moisture shortages were mostly confined to areas along the Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coastal

Plain. Dry conditions aided planting in the Southwest.

Sorghum planting also advanced ahead of normal throughout the month. Planting was most advanced in the

lower Mississippi Valley, where seeding was nearly complete by the end of the month. In Oklahoma,

planting remained ahead of normal despite frequent rain delays. Dry weather aided rapid progress in the Corn

Belt until mid-month. After mid-month, wet weather slowed planting in the Corn Belt, but progress remained

ahead of normal in Illinois and Missouri. In the northern Great Plains, the planting season did not begin until

mid-month due to wet weather.

Most of the rice acreage along the Gulf Coast and interior Mississippi Delta was planted by May 6. In

California, planting progressed ahead of normal and was nearly complete by the end of the month. 

Above-normal temperatures aided emergence and stimulated growth until mid-month. After mid-month,

below-normal temperatures slowed development in the lower Mississippi Valley for several days, but above

normal heat continued to promote rapid growth in Texas and California.

Winter Wheat: Area for 2001 grain harvest is forecast at 32.1 million acres, unchanged from May 1, but

down 8 percent from 2000. This is the smallest winter wheat area since 1957. As of June 3, heading had

reached 83 percent in the 18 major States. Harvest progress was at 3 percent, ranging from none in most

States to 26 percent in Texas.

Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the 6 Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas,

Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are well below last year’s final counts. Indicated average head

weights are above last year’s level. Kansas received widespread showers throughout May. The month of

May brought seasonal temperatures and above average moisture to Colorado, conditions that were favorable

for a crop that began the growing season with mediocre to poor stands. The crop continues to progress in

mostly fair to good condition, but is still about a week behind the usual pace. The Montana crop condition

plummeted during May due to damaging winds and dry soil. As of June 3, 77 percent of the Montana crop

was rated poor to very poor. Crop conditions remained stable in Nebraska during May, where plant

development is slightly behind normal. Harvest began in late May in Oklahoma, but extremely heavy rainfall
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 26 NASS, USDA

over Memorial Day weekend limited harvest progress. As of June 3, twenty-six percent of the Texas crop had

been harvested. The remaining wheat was rated mainly fair to good.

Soft Red Winter yields are mostly unchanged or lower than last month. The exceptions are Mississippi and

South Carolina where warm dry weather during the first 3 weeks of May accelerated crop development. Dry

weather and insect pressure during early May in Arkansas lowered yield prospects. The crop in Missouri is

about a week ahead of normal. Rain and humidity are a concern for Illinois growers. Cool temperatures have

limited any major disease problems in Indiana. Recent rains in Kentucky have caused some lodging. The

Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern States registered decreased yield expectations. Yield prospects in North

Carolina are declining as the impact of a cold snap in mid-April is becoming more evident. Collective head

count forecasts are below last year’s level in the Soft Red Objective Yield States of Illinois, Missouri, and

Ohio. Indicated average head weights are also down from last year.

The Pacific Northwest States’ (Washington, Oregon, and Idaho) winter wheat crop condition declined slightly

during May. Warm, dry weather during May has reduced yield expectations for Idaho dryland farmers. In

Oregon, the irrigated acres are still looking good where irrigation water is available, however hot dry weather

has stressed most of the dryland wheat. The Washington crop is a little stressed, but progressing well.

Durum Wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 15.5 million

bushels. This is up 1 percent from May 1, but down 13 percent from their 2000 total of 17.8 million. 

Arizona harvest was nearly 20 percent complete by June 1. Harvest in the California Imperial Valley was

active throughout May, and was approximately 95 percent complete by June 1. San Joaquin Valley harvest

should begin in early June.

Peaches: The 2001 peach crop in California, Georgia, and South Carolina is forecast at 2.06 billion pounds,

down 4 percent from 2000 and 2 percent below two years ago. Freestone peach production in the three States

is forecast at 1.01 billion pounds, 6 percent below last year and down 3 percent from 1999. Hail damage in

California and freezing weather in South Carolina are responsible for the decrease in Freestone production.

The California Freestone crop is forecast at 780 million pounds, up 1 percent from the May 1 forecast but

3 percent below 2000. The Freestone peach crop harvest is progressing well after April hail storms caused

sporadic damage across the State. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.05 billion pounds, up

5 percent from the May 1 forecast but 1 percent below 2000. The crop had favorable weather during bloom

but experienced damage from frost and hail later in the season. Crop set is heavy in the early varieties and

lighter in the late varieties. Harvest is set to begin by late June.

The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 90.0 million pounds, down 40 percent from last year and

44 percent below 1999. A late freeze has severely reduced the crop size. Some operators report a complete

crop loss while others were not at all affected. Harvest is 10 percent complete which is normal for this time of

year.

Georgia’s peach crop is forecast at 135 million pounds, up 17 percent from 2000 and 23 percent greater than

the 1999 crop. Most of the major peach production areas missed late freezes, but northern areas experienced

some freeze losses. Rainfall in recent weeks has eased drought conditions, and peach size is expected to be

larger than last year.

Bartlett Pears: Production of Bartlett Pears for 2001 in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at

493,000 tons. This is down 4 percent from last year and 16 percent below 1999.

Production in California is forecast at 240,000 tons, down 16 percent from 2000 and 23 percent less than

1999. Frost and hail damage during early spring reduced production. However, fruit quality and size are

good. In Oregon, growers expect to harvest 58,000 tons, down 3 percent from last year and 12 percent below

1999. Oregon’s growing season overall has been fair as little frost damage has occurred. Washington’s

Bartlett crop is forecast at 195,000 tons, up 15 percent from 2000 but down 7 percent from two years ago. 

Washington weather conditions have been favorable and pollination has been good. Rainfall amounts are

below average statewide and growers are concerned about irrigation supplies throughout the late summer

months.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 27 NASS, USDA

Sweet Cherries: The 2001 sweet cherry production for California, Oregon and Washington is forecast at

200,000 tons, up 5 percent from 2000 and 1 percent above 1999. Washington’s 2001 production is forecast

at a record high 100,000 tons, 5 percent above last year and 49 percent more than 1999. Even though crop

conditions throughout the State are mixed, this record high is driven by more bearing acres coming into

production. The California crop, at 60,000 tons, is 50 percent larger than last year but 26 percent below two

years ago. California sweet cherries experienced excellent weather conditions during bloom resulting in a

heavy set. Despite record warm May temperatures, growers are picking an excellent quality crop with good

flavor. Sweet cherry production in Oregon is forecasted to be 40,000 tons.

Prunes: California’s 2001 production is forecast at 155,000 tons, 29 percent below last year and 13 percent

less than 1999. The crop experienced favorable weather conditions during bloom. These conditions,

however, did not result in a heavy fruit set. The crop was also reduced by freezing temperatures and hail

during April.

Apricots: California’s 2001 production is forecast at 95,000 tons, 2 percent above last year and 12 percent

greater than 1999. Harvest is proceeding normally with no adverse weather conditions to affect the crop. 

There is some concern over small fruit size.

Florida Citrus: The first two weeks of May were hot and dry. Scattered rains during the third week of the

month fell on most areas of Florida’s citrus belt. By the end of May, there were several thunderstorms in all

citrus growing counties. Some of the caretakers were able to cease irrigating, which allowed them to repair

and perform general maintenance on their irrigation equipment. Caretakers have also been spraying,

fertilizing, hedging, and topping trees, along with cutting cover crops and applying herbicides. 

Harvest of Valencia oranges was very active during May. However, labor was becoming scarce by the end of

the month as many of the pickers moved north to work on other crops. Grapefruit movement slowed during

the month as supplies and demand were both decreasing. The Honey tangerine harvest is virtually complete.

There is plenty of new growth in most well cared for groves. New crop fruit is making good progress. Most

oranges are near golf ball size. Grapefruit range from golf ball to baseball size. Temples, tangerines, and

tangelos are in the marble to golf ball size range.

California Citrus: The Navel orange harvest was virtually complete by June 1. Valencia orange and lemon

picking was active throughout the citrus growing areas. Grapefruit harvest was active in the desert areas. 

New crop fruit was developing on the citrus trees.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit and nut growers conducted late spring cultural activities

during May. Some of these activities included irrigation and spraying pesticides for weed, insect, and fungus

control. Record high temperatures during May accelerated tree fruit maturity. Grape vine growth and bloom

continued. Grape growers applied growth regulators to increase fruit size. Harvesting of many fruit crops

began during May. Table grapes were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Apricots, nectarines, freestone

peaches, and plums were also harvested. Cherries were picked and excellent quality was evident. Strawberry

picking continued. Olive and pomegranate trees were in full bloom. Mid and late season varieties of

nectarines, plums, and peaches were thinned. Insecticides and fungicides were applied to apple and almond

trees. Walnut orchards were treated for weeds, blight, and codling moth.

Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2000-01 grapefruit crop for the United States is 2.51 million tons, down

4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 9 percent less than last season’s utilized production. The Florida

grapefruit forecast is 46.5 million boxes (1.98 million tons), 5 percent less than the May 1 forecast and

13 percent lower than the previous season. The all white grapefruit forecast, which includes seedless and

seedy varieties, is reduced to 19.0 million boxes (808,000 tons), 5 percent less than last month’s forecast and

12 percent below last season. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 27.5 million boxes (1.17 million

tons), down 5 percent from the previous forecast and 14 percent below the final utilization from a season ago. 

Harvest is winding down. The route survey shows only 93 percent of the white and 87 percent of the colored

rows have been completely harvested. However, weekly movement has been rapidly declining, indicating

that all rows may not be picked. Most large packinghouses have closed for the season and only a few

processors are running noticeable quantities of grapefruit. Forecasts for Arizona, California, and Texas are

carried forward from the April forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 28 NASS, USDA

K-Early Citrus: The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast for 2000-01 remains at 40,000 boxes (1,800 tons),

unchanged from May but 70,000 boxes fewer than last season. Harvest is complete. This production equals

the record low utilization of the 1997-98 season. Peak use of 600,000 boxes was recorded in three

consecutive seasons beginning with the 1978-79 season. However, demand for this fruit has become

minimal.

Tangerines: The 2000-01 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 388,000 tons, unchanged from last month, but

14 percent below last season’s record high utilization of 451,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine crop remains

unchanged from the May 1 forecast of 5.60 million boxes (266,000 tons). This is 20 percent less than the

record high use of 7.00 million boxes (333,000 tons) last season. The early tangerine harvest is complete. 

The late season Honey tangerine harvest is virtually complete. Arizona and California forecasts are carried

forward from the April forecast.

Tangelos: Florida’s tangelo forecast for 2000-01 is 2.10 million boxes (94,500 tons), unchanged from the

May 1 forecast but 5 percent lower than last season. Tangelo production peaked at 6.40 million boxes in the

1979-80 season and has declined slowly over the last 20 seasons. In the 1996-97 season, the utilized

production was 3.95 million boxes and it has decreased in each subsequent season.

Temples: Florida’s Temple forecast continues at 1.25 million boxes (56,000 tons), the same as in May, but

36 percent lower than the 1.95 million boxes (88,000 tons) recorded last season. Recent weekly utilization

has shown little movement. Below freezing weather in December and the lack of demand have caused this

season to be the lowest recorded utilization since the series began in the 1953-54 season. The largest crop, at

6.00 million boxes, was recorded in 1979-80.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production for May is estimated at 4.57 million pounds, 12 percent higher

than April but 1 percent below May 2000 production. Close monitoring for Papaya Ringspot virus has kept

the incidence of infected trees low. Area in crop totaled 2,805 acres, 1 percent less than last month and

9 percent fewer acres than a year ago. Harvested area, at 2,030 acres, was virtually unchanged from April but

22 percent higher than last May. Weather conditions in May were variable with showers and sunshine over

major papaya producing areas.

Hops: Area strung for harvest this year in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho is forecast at 35,707 acres,

1 percent less than the previous year acreage but 4 percent higher than the 1999 acreage. Washington, at

26,185 acres strung for harvest, accounts for 73 percent of the total acreage in 2001. Oregon hop growers

plan to harvest 6,103 acres, 17 percent of the total acreage. Idaho hop growers account for the remaining

10 percent, at 3,419 acres strung for harvest. Both Oregon and Idaho increased acreage from last year, at

5 percent and 3 percent, respectively.

Vine growth has been mostly normal and growers are pleased with the current crop quality. Most mature

varieties are one half to the wire. Drought in Washington could be a major issue this summer in the Yakima

Valley. Currently, however, most growers have found sufficient water resources from wells, shifting to drip

irrigation, buying water, or trading water rights. Idaho also has some of the same water issues as Washington. 

Oregon doesn’t appear to have the same difficulties at this time. Throughout the Pacific Northwest, powdery

mildew is not as prevalent as it was a year ago, although some treatments have been required.

Sugar Crops: Sugarbeet production in 2000 is revised to 32.4 million tons, 3 percent below the record

production in 1999 and fractionally lower than the end of season estimate. Area harvested totaled a revised

1.374 million acres, down 10 percent from the previous year, mostly due to PIK reductions. The yield is a

record 23.6 tons per acre, 1.7 tons above the 1999 yield of 21.9 tons. The Idaho yield is a record high

29.3 tons due to early planting and an ideal growing season that extended into October. California also

achieved a record yield due to the extended growing season. In North Dakota, the yield is 0.1 ton below the

1998 record and in Minnesota, the yield is the highest in 13 years.

Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2000 is revised to a record 36.1 million tons, 2 percent above

the previous record established in 1999, but 1 percent below the March 1 estimate. Area harvested for sugar

production totaled 970,100 acres, 3 percent above a year ago, but 1 percent below March 1. Compared with

March 1, a 10,000 acre reduction was more than offset by a yield increase of 1.2 tons in Florida. However,

acreage reductions in Hawaii and Texas and yield reductions in Hawaii and Louisiana more than offset a yield
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 29 NASS, USDA

increase in Texas and the production increase in Florida. Area for sugar and seed totaled 1.026 million acres,

up 3 percent from 1999. The estimated yield for sugar and seed production is revised to 35.2 tons per acre,

0.3 tons below the 1999 yield.

Sweet Potatoes: The revised estimate of 2000 sweet potato production is 13.8 million cwt, up 1 percent from

the annual estimate made in January and 13 percent above the 1999 crop. Harvested acreage, at 94,900 acres,

was up 1 percent from January and 14 percent above a year earlier. The average yield of 145 cwt per acre

was unchanged from the January estimate but 2 cwt below the 1999 average yield. The sweet potato crop in

California, at 2.63 million cwt, was 8 percent larger than earlier estimated. The South Carolina estimate, at

51,000 cwt, was reduced by 27 percent.

Maple Syrup: The 2001 U.S. maple syrup production totaled 1.05 million gallons, down 15 percent from

last year’s production of 1.23 million gallons. The average price per gallon for 2001 is $26.90, down 70 cents

from last year’s price of $27.60. The preliminary value of production, at $28.2 million, is down 17 percent

from 2000. 

Vermont again led all States in production, with 275,000 gallons, a decrease of 40 percent from last season. 

Maine was second with 200,000 gallons, down 20 percent from last year. New York’s production, at

193,000 gallons, decreased 8 percent from 2000. Production decreases in these three States are attributed to

very cold temperatures which limited good sap flow and syrup production. Ohio produced 96,000 gallons,

almost triple last year’s estimate of 34,000 gallons. Temperatures in Ohio were mostly favorable with warm

days and cold nights enhancing sap flow. Also, the season lasted 34 days in 2001 compared to 20 days in

2000.

The 2001 maple syrup production in Massachusetts and New Hampshire was down 13 percent and

40 percent, respectively, from last season. A reduction in number of taps and cold weather combined to

reduce production in both States. However, Connecticut and Pennsylvania’s production was up 29 percent

and 47 percent, respectively. Production was also up in Michigan by 36 percent and Wisconsin by 5 percent. 

Temperatures for the most part were favorable in these States.

Nationally, number of taps was down 3 percent. The biggest percentage changes from last year were in

Massachusetts and New Hampshire where producers did not set as many taps because of deep snow pack and

cold temperatures. 

Temperatures were generally favorable for good sap flow and syrup production in Connecticut, Michigan,

Ohio, and Pennsylvania. In all other producing States, temperatures were unfavorable. Overall, the season

lasted an average of 29 days. This compares to 27 days in 2000 and 31 days in 1999. Season length ranged

from 25 days in both Maine and New Hampshire to 35 days in Connecticut.

Yield per tap was mixed among the ten States. Six States showed an increase over last year. However, Maine

and Vermont, the two largest producing states, had significant decreases in their average yields. Overall,

yield per tap was down 12 percent from last year. 

Sugar content of the sap was better than the previous year as approximately 41 gallons of sap was required to

produce a gallon of syrup. This is in contrast with 46 gallons of sap to produce one gallon of syrup in 2000. 

More light syrup was produced than last year but most was of medium color.

Peanuts: Peanut acreage, yield, and production estimates were published in the April 2001 “Crop

Production” report pending final administrative data for New Mexico and Texas. Revised U.S. peanut

production for 2000, based on final administrative data, totaled 3.27 billion pounds, down 15 percent from the

1999 crop and down 1 percent from the January estimate. Planted area totaled 1.54 million acres, up less than

1 percent from 1999. Harvested acreage totaled 1.34 million acres, a decrease of 7 percent from 1999. The

U.S. yield per harvested acre averaged 2,444 pounds, down 223 pounds from 1999.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) totaled 1.84 billion

pounds, down 14 percent from 1999. Yield in the 4-State area averaged 2,393 pounds, down 103 pounds

from a year earlier. Georgia remained the leading peanut producer with 41 percent of the total U.S. peanut

production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 30 NASS, USDA

Virginia and North Carolina growers produced 549 million pounds of peanuts in 2000, up 6 percent from

1999. Yields averaged 2,771 pounds, 186 pounds above 1999.

The Southwest crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) totaled 874 million pounds, 26 percent below the

1999 total. Area harvested in the 3-State area was down 3 percent from a year ago. Yields averaged

2,375 pounds per acre, 717 pounds below the 1999 average.

The 2000 marketing year average price received by farmers for peanuts was 25.7 cents per pound, up

0.3 cents per pound from 1999. The value of production for the 2000 crop totaled $838 million, down

14 percent from a year ago.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 31 NASS, USDA

Reliability of June 1 Crop Production Forecast

Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between May 25 and

June 1 to gather information on expected yield as of June 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in ten

States that accounted for 67 percent of the 2000 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to

update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected

winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts

such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number

of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a

projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm

operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal

interviewers. Approximately 6,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions

about probable yield. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications

of average yields as the season progresses.

Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the June 1 forecast was conducted in

Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearing

trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and

fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and

Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July.

Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were

reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed

considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State

Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). 

The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published June 1 forecasts.

Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for

errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida State Statistical Office submits

its analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida

survey data and their analyses to prepare the published June 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in

Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The June 1 orange production forecasts

for these three States are carried forward from April.

Revision Policy: The June 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the

end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports,

millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other

administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September’s Citrus

Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing

season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are

made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

June 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 winter wheat production forecast is 5.1 percent. This means

that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final

estimate by more than 5.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference

will not exceed 8.7 percent. Differences between the June 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 32 NASS, USDA

estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 75 million bushels, ranging from 8 million to 242 million

bushels. The June 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not

imply that the June 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 orange production forecast is 1.6 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate

by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 2.8 percent. Differences between the June 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past

20 years have averaged 127,000 tons, ranging from 5,000 tons to 368,000 tons. The June 1 forecast for

oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. The difference does not imply that the

June 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2001 33 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Rhonda Brandt - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234

Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops,

Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Nuts, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Fresh Vegetables, Mushrooms (202) 720-3250

Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries,

Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288

Jim Smith - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Peas (202) 720-2127

Darin Jantzi - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Jim Smith - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery (202) 720-2127

Biz Wallingsford - Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on July 11, 2001.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis

of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital

or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require

alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should

contact the USDA’s TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten

Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or

TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:

INTERNET ACCESS

All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet

and go to the NASS Home Page at: http:/www.usda.gov/nass/. Select “Today’s Reports” or Publications

and then Reports by Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject.

E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION

There are two options for subscribing via e-mail. All NASS reports are available by subscription free of

charge direct to your e-mail address. 1) Starting with the NASS Home Page at http:/www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing

e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. 2) If

you do NOT have Internet access, send an e-mail message to: usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu. In

the body of the message type the word: list.

AUTOFAX ACCESS

NASSFax service is available for some reports from your fax machine. Please call 202-720-2000, using the

handset attached to your fax. Respond to the voice prompts. Document 0411 is a list of available reports.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS

CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada)

Other areas, please call 703-834-0125 FAX: 703-834-0110

(Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or

services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:

nass@nass.usda.gov.